{"unit_id": "reply:1996323202839241207", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-03T20:58:36+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS 700%+ growth from $900m-1.1B ARR to ~$8B+ ARR on 20-30% EBIT margins. Then there's 4 subsidiaries like this one, growing 100%+ Y/Y", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Defends NBIS valuation: 700%+ ARR growth to $8B+ with 20-30% EBIT margins makes PE the wrong metric; implicitly bullish.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TravisNott Hmm, $NBIS 700%+ growth from $900m-1.1B ARR to ~$8B+ ARR on 20-30% EBIT margins.\n\nThen there's 4 subsidiaries like this one, growing 100%+ Y/Y, and burned capex for FSD development. \n\nprobably wrong metric to use unless you're value investing vs. looking at growth.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $NBIS is trading over 100x PE….the question is, what are you smoking? lol", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TravisNott", "ret_m1d": -0.024969685265102903, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.024969685265102903, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.021518866854694507, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.025838245601834675, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003450818410408396, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0008685603367317718, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.039223665129732854, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.039223665129732854, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03849260897573448, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.033491020179764686, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0007310561539983773, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005732644949968169, "ret_p1w": -0.0538819442955466, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0538819442955466, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05926294841396429, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07073246834962588, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005381004118417687, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016850524054079274, "ret_p1m": -0.15381112635995964, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15381112635995964, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1538769169260591, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.17961763261918973, "bench_spy_p1m": 6.57905660994551e-05, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02580650625923009, "ret_p3m": -0.07996356832928131, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07996356832928131, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08657017978752057, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10707721687827598, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006606611458239264, "bench_c_p3m": 0.027113648548994673, "ret_p6m": 1.2881116106707249, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.2881116106707249, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.1784351467745322, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.2682104876915048, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10967646389619268, "bench_c_p6m": 0.019901122979220087, "price_path": [-0.3382, -0.3524, -0.0323, -0.0559, -0.0984, -0.086, -0.0805, -0.0959, -0.0489, -0.0485, 0.0039, 0.0776, 0.0898, 0.1447, 0.0912, 0.0888, 0.1142, 0.135, 0.1687, 0.2724, 0.2938, 0.263, 0.1899, 0.2333, 0.3409, 0.3099, 0.3694, 0.2955, 0.272, 0.2438, 0.1468, 0.1019, 0.0542, -0.003, 0.0732, 0.1854, 0.268, 0.2316, 0.2647, 0.2554, 0.3225, 0.2179, 0.1175, 0.1828, 0.1063, 0.1249, 0.1115, 0.0334, -0.0461, -0.104, -0.1555, -0.1308, -0.0847, -0.0389, -0.1444, -0.1583, -0.071, -0.1015, -0.0428, -0.0428, -0.0409, 0.0124, -0.025, 0.0, 0.0392, -0.0089, 0.0143, -0.0254, -0.0539, -0.0469, -0.1135, -0.1797, -0.1817, -0.2373, -0.2106, -0.0956, -0.0575, -0.0899, -0.0788, -0.0788, -0.1145, -0.1302, -0.139, -0.1538, -0.1538, -0.0907, -0.0616, 0.0133, -0.0274, -0.0164, -0.01, 0.085, 0.0658, 0.0309, 0.0502, 0.0992, 0.0992, 0.0037, -0.0005, -0.0209, -0.0447, -0.0754, -0.0106, 0.0153, -0.0405, -0.1388, -0.1088, -0.0907, -0.1671, -0.2532, -0.1296, -0.0611, -0.0721, -0.1042, -0.0929, -0.0092, -0.0092, -0.0142, 0.0291, 0.0878, -0.0101, 0.0171, 0.037, 0.0728, 0.0603, -0.0781, -0.08, -0.1225, -0.0115, -0.0331, -0.0969, -0.0402, -0.0252, 0.1322, 0.0922, 0.1418, 0.3127, 0.176, 0.1985, 0.2285, 0.189, 0.154, 0.1616, 0.1635, 0.0713, 0.0192, -0.0673, 0.0489, 0.0306, 0.1001, 0.1001, 0.1377, 0.1868, 0.2636, 0.3782, 0.4655, 0.5625, 0.6371, 0.6859, 0.6715, 0.5886, 0.609, 0.5826, 0.5784, 0.5879, 0.4877, 0.4654, 0.3699, 0.4273, 0.3974, 0.5618, 0.7835, 0.7784, 0.9722, 0.8679, 0.7898, 0.8813, 0.8107, 1.0953, 1.2356, 1.2234, 1.0204, 0.9989, 0.9391, 1.2233, 1.1711, 1.1711, 1.1033, 1.1064, 1.2881]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1996560529679327449", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-04T12:41:39+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I've never ever, Ever seen a company grow forward revenue: 700%+ Y/Y. and while owning 4 hyper growth subsidiaries concurrently scaling >100% Y/Y each", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author is an early investor in RKLB, HOOD, CRDO; bullish on NBIS as uniquely exceptional — 700%+ forward revenue growth with 4 hyper-growth subsidiaries each scaling >100% Y/Y.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm an early investor in hyper-growth companies.\n\n$RKLB for space. \n\n$HOOD for fintech. \n\n$CRDO for connectivity. \n\nBut I've never\n\never, Ever\n\nseen a company grow forward revenue: 700%+ Y/Y. \n\nand while owning 4 hyper growth subsidiaries concurrently scaling >100% Y/Y each. https://t.co/iqU2jWf41O", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "WHAT IS THE MARKET SMOKING??? \n\nWall Street sent $UBER, a $180B+ company, up 3.4%, $6B+ today off of its self-driving cars.\n\nBut $NBIS, the parent company of the self-driving cars Uber uses, got sent down -3% and is now worth less than $24B. https://t.co/ahpz7B0mwx", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.037743237039195354, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.037743237039195354, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.037012714937874724, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03204326798802326, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0007305221013206298, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0056999690511720935, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04630352135139426, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04630352135139426, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.048203058194103754, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05787620789334924, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0018995368427094927, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01157268654195498, "ret_p1w": -0.08287941653242248, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08287941653242248, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08986372802094755, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09168845961150662, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0069843114885250746, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008809043079084145, "ret_p1m": -0.1250000556619234, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1250000556619234, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12616709723127684, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13785479425109315, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.001167041569353433, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012854738589169745, "ret_p3m": -0.15564201872585848, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15564201872585848, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.15264719202417698, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17768087339773553, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0029948267016814967, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02203885467187705, "ret_p6m": 1.2479570960862838, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.2479570960862838, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.136328655143323, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.242387434399348, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11162844094296087, "bench_c_p6m": 0.005569661686935845, "price_path": [-0.3768, -0.0689, -0.0915, -0.1324, -0.1205, -0.1152, -0.1301, -0.0848, -0.0844, -0.0339, 0.037, 0.0486, 0.1015, 0.05, 0.0477, 0.0722, 0.0921, 0.1246, 0.2244, 0.2449, 0.2154, 0.1449, 0.1868, 0.2903, 0.2605, 0.3177, 0.2466, 0.224, 0.1969, 0.1035, 0.0603, 0.0144, -0.0407, 0.0327, 0.1407, 0.2201, 0.1851, 0.2169, 0.208, 0.2726, 0.1719, 0.0753, 0.1381, 0.0646, 0.0825, 0.0696, -0.0056, -0.0821, -0.1378, -0.1874, -0.1636, -0.1193, -0.0752, -0.1767, -0.1901, -0.106, -0.1354, -0.0789, -0.0789, -0.0771, -0.0258, -0.0618, -0.0377, 0.0, -0.0463, -0.024, -0.0622, -0.0896, -0.0829, -0.147, -0.2107, -0.2125, -0.2661, -0.2404, -0.1298, -0.0931, -0.1242, -0.1135, -0.1135, -0.148, -0.163, -0.1715, -0.1857, -0.1857, -0.125, -0.097, -0.0249, -0.0641, -0.0535, -0.0474, 0.0441, 0.0256, -0.008, 0.0106, 0.0577, 0.0577, -0.0341, -0.0382, -0.0579, -0.0807, -0.1103, -0.048, -0.0231, -0.0768, -0.1713, -0.1424, -0.125, -0.1985, -0.2814, -0.1625, -0.0965, -0.1071, -0.138, -0.1271, -0.0466, -0.0466, -0.0514, -0.0097, 0.0468, -0.0475, -0.0213, -0.0021, 0.0323, 0.0202, -0.1129, -0.1147, -0.1556, -0.0488, -0.0696, -0.131, -0.0765, -0.062, 0.0894, 0.051, 0.0987, 0.2631, 0.1316, 0.1533, 0.1821, 0.1442, 0.1104, 0.1178, 0.1196, 0.0308, -0.0193, -0.1025, 0.0093, -0.0083, 0.0586, 0.0586, 0.0947, 0.142, 0.216, 0.3262, 0.4102, 0.5035, 0.5753, 0.6223, 0.6084, 0.5286, 0.5482, 0.5229, 0.5189, 0.528, 0.4315, 0.4101, 0.3182, 0.3734, 0.3446, 0.5028, 0.7161, 0.7113, 0.8978, 0.7974, 0.7223, 0.8103, 0.7423, 1.0162, 1.1513, 1.1395, 0.9442, 0.9234, 0.866, 1.1394, 1.0892, 1.0892, 1.0239, 1.0269, 1.2018, 1.248]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1996560529679327449", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-04T12:41:39+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$RKLB for space.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author is an early investor in RKLB, HOOD, CRDO; bullish on NBIS as uniquely exceptional — 700%+ forward revenue growth with 4 hyper-growth subsidiaries each scaling >100% Y/Y.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm an early investor in hyper-growth companies.\n\n$RKLB for space. \n\n$HOOD for fintech. \n\n$CRDO for connectivity. \n\nBut I've never\n\never, Ever\n\nseen a company grow forward revenue: 700%+ Y/Y. \n\nand while owning 4 hyper growth subsidiaries concurrently scaling >100% Y/Y each. https://t.co/iqU2jWf41O", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "WHAT IS THE MARKET SMOKING??? \n\nWall Street sent $UBER, a $180B+ company, up 3.4%, $6B+ today off of its self-driving cars.\n\nBut $NBIS, the parent company of the self-driving cars Uber uses, got sent down -3% and is now worth less than $24B. https://t.co/ahpz7B0mwx", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.09418670876613122, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09418670876613122, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09345618666481059, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08902589363825286, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0007305221013206298, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00516081512787836, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006380365272917743, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006380365272917743, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008279902115627236, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0036064098075568873, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0018995368427094927, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0027739554653608556, "ret_p1w": 0.28681385768204093, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.28681385768204093, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.27982954619351585, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2692665711760738, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0069843114885250746, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017547286505967152, "ret_p1m": 0.5391938324449244, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5391938324449244, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5380267908755709, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5165430820060244, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.001167041569353433, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02265075043889997, "ret_p3m": 0.42049825340639657, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.42049825340639657, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.42349308010807807, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2848238489178285, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0029948267016814967, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13567440448856805, "ret_p6m": 1.9062183275615787, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.9062183275615787, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.7945898866186178, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.7823480668602816, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11162844094296087, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12387026070129714, "price_path": [-0.0332, -0.0474, -0.0648, -0.019, 0.0804, 0.0946, -0.043, -0.0261, -0.0444, -0.032, 0.0089, 0.0717, -0.0138, -0.0555, -0.063, -0.0478, -0.0296, -0.0284, 0.0628, 0.1375, 0.1849, 0.2459, 0.3229, 0.3454, 0.3016, 0.3251, 0.378, 0.4031, 0.3571, 0.3423, 0.3642, 0.3247, 0.2268, 0.2876, 0.3077, 0.3291, 0.2913, 0.3401, 0.2339, 0.2757, 0.2425, 0.1458, 0.1428, 0.0049, 0.046, 0.0512, 0.0379, 0.0122, -0.0835, -0.0776, -0.1227, -0.1335, -0.1165, -0.2003, -0.1837, -0.1402, -0.1371, -0.1507, -0.1507, -0.1464, -0.1823, -0.1513, -0.0942, 0.0, -0.0064, 0.0444, 0.0822, 0.1651, 0.2868, 0.2455, 0.1223, 0.124, 0.093, 0.2137, 0.4284, 0.5708, 0.5633, 0.5633, 0.5633, 0.431, 0.4203, 0.427, 0.413, 0.413, 0.5392, 0.5827, 0.7426, 0.7031, 0.6828, 0.7187, 0.7804, 0.7537, 0.8594, 0.8384, 0.9506, 0.9506, 0.806, 0.7788, 0.7821, 0.8007, 0.6301, 0.7622, 0.794, 0.7355, 0.6218, 0.5019, 0.6461, 0.4809, 0.3433, 0.4649, 0.5362, 0.459, 0.4102, 0.337, 0.366, 0.366, 0.4156, 0.5074, 0.5511, 0.4353, 0.4221, 0.4173, 0.4219, 0.4715, 0.3996, 0.4375, 0.4205, 0.4566, 0.4179, 0.4201, 0.4478, 0.3962, 0.4576, 0.3848, 0.3857, 0.4444, 0.5919, 0.4073, 0.457, 0.3618, 0.3774, 0.3383, 0.4762, 0.3356, 0.2342, 0.1622, 0.3008, 0.3271, 0.3719, 0.3719, 0.3707, 0.3433, 0.3992, 0.3518, 0.3784, 0.4304, 0.4628, 0.4908, 0.6798, 0.7176, 0.812, 0.7549, 0.8238, 0.7136, 0.6139, 0.6668, 0.5919, 0.5601, 0.6713, 0.5963, 0.6267, 0.5953, 0.7146, 0.5917, 1.1363, 1.3769, 1.3812, 1.5147, 1.6848, 1.5272, 1.6567, 1.5787, 1.7199, 1.541, 1.7498, 1.7498, 1.9005, 2.0429, 1.9984, 1.9062]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1996560529679327449", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-12-04T12:41:39+00:00", "symbol": "HOOD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$HOOD for fintech.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author is an early investor in RKLB, HOOD, CRDO; bullish on NBIS as uniquely exceptional — 700%+ forward revenue growth with 4 hyper-growth subsidiaries each scaling >100% Y/Y.", "resolved_tickers": ["HOOD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm an early investor in hyper-growth companies.\n\n$RKLB for space. \n\n$HOOD for fintech. \n\n$CRDO for connectivity. \n\nBut I've never\n\never, Ever\n\nseen a company grow forward revenue: 700%+ Y/Y. \n\nand while owning 4 hyper growth subsidiaries concurrently scaling >100% Y/Y each. https://t.co/iqU2jWf41O", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "WHAT IS THE MARKET SMOKING??? \n\nWall Street sent $UBER, a $180B+ company, up 3.4%, $6B+ today off of its self-driving cars.\n\nBut $NBIS, the parent company of the self-driving cars Uber uses, got sent down -3% and is now worth less than $24B. https://t.co/ahpz7B0mwx", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.025094852607646656, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.025094852607646656, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.024364330506326026, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02304494097369547, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0007305221013206298, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0020499116339511847, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.037423437513044444, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.037423437513044444, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03932297435575394, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.037796161756547875, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0018995368427094927, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0003727242435034306, "ret_p1w": -0.09994167197722537, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09994167197722537, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10692598346575044, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12249105847727948, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0069843114885250746, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022549386500054114, "ret_p1m": -0.15954189126387586, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15954189126387586, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1607089328332293, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.18678718734122934, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.001167041569353433, "bench_c_p1m": 0.027245296077353487, "ret_p3m": -0.445068582734794, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.445068582734794, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4420737560331125, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4027462396516647, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0029948267016814967, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04232234308312932, "ret_p6m": -0.3120805238390748, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3120805238390748, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4237089647820357, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.28163595158388444, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11162844094296087, "bench_c_p6m": -0.030444572255190372, "price_path": [-0.1444, -0.1355, -0.1431, -0.141, -0.1609, -0.1623, -0.1437, -0.1345, -0.118, -0.0897, -0.0889, -0.0794, -0.075, -0.1053, -0.1116, -0.0026, 0.0445, 0.015, 0.0629, 0.0845, 0.0524, 0.0578, 0.1006, 0.1122, 0.0137, 0.0263, -0.0155, -0.0214, -0.0411, -0.0523, -0.0093, -0.0382, -0.0719, -0.0201, 0.0198, 0.0641, 0.0669, 0.0563, 0.0072, 0.0708, 0.073, -0.002, 0.0394, -0.073, -0.049, -0.0088, -0.0376, -0.0299, -0.1134, -0.1064, -0.154, -0.1662, -0.138, -0.2252, -0.2172, -0.1613, -0.1569, -0.0648, -0.0648, -0.0627, -0.101, -0.0812, -0.0251, 0.0, -0.0374, -0.0047, -0.01, -0.0104, -0.0999, -0.1282, -0.1592, -0.129, -0.1552, -0.1453, -0.1148, -0.1073, -0.1228, -0.1214, -0.1214, -0.1382, -0.1433, -0.1578, -0.1749, -0.1749, -0.1595, -0.101, -0.1122, -0.1467, -0.1582, -0.1591, -0.1427, -0.1228, -0.127, -0.195, -0.2067, -0.2067, -0.2283, -0.2273, -0.2249, -0.2195, -0.2194, -0.2323, -0.2457, -0.2615, -0.2743, -0.3441, -0.3648, -0.4119, -0.4698, -0.3958, -0.3685, -0.3755, -0.4312, -0.4812, -0.4458, -0.4458, -0.4497, -0.4513, -0.4481, -0.4448, -0.4764, -0.4646, -0.4344, -0.4204, -0.4467, -0.4253, -0.4451, -0.4003, -0.4123, -0.4376, -0.4211, -0.4271, -0.426, -0.4447, -0.4646, -0.4506, -0.4357, -0.4536, -0.459, -0.4829, -0.4712, -0.4961, -0.4708, -0.4868, -0.5184, -0.5247, -0.4945, -0.4885, -0.4974, -0.4974, -0.491, -0.4919, -0.476, -0.4885, -0.4953, -0.4772, -0.423, -0.363, -0.3664, -0.338, -0.3341, -0.3695, -0.3549, -0.3906, -0.382, -0.3876, -0.4013, -0.4806, -0.4683, -0.4626, -0.4416, -0.4381, -0.4233, -0.4435, -0.4381, -0.4107, -0.429, -0.4401, -0.4113, -0.4373, -0.4372, -0.459, -0.4473, -0.4462, -0.4628, -0.4628, -0.4595, -0.4439, -0.3811, -0.3121]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1996560529679327449", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-12-04T12:41:39+00:00", "symbol": "CRDO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$CRDO for connectivity.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author is an early investor in RKLB, HOOD, CRDO; bullish on NBIS as uniquely exceptional — 700%+ forward revenue growth with 4 hyper-growth subsidiaries each scaling >100% Y/Y.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRDO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm an early investor in hyper-growth companies.\n\n$RKLB for space. \n\n$HOOD for fintech. \n\n$CRDO for connectivity. \n\nBut I've never\n\never, Ever\n\nseen a company grow forward revenue: 700%+ Y/Y. \n\nand while owning 4 hyper growth subsidiaries concurrently scaling >100% Y/Y each. https://t.co/iqU2jWf41O", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "WHAT IS THE MARKET SMOKING??? \n\nWall Street sent $UBER, a $180B+ company, up 3.4%, $6B+ today off of its self-driving cars.\n\nBut $NBIS, the parent company of the self-driving cars Uber uses, got sent down -3% and is now worth less than $24B. https://t.co/ahpz7B0mwx", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04571083548618171, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04571083548618171, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04644135758750234, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03805042062873909, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0007305221013206298, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007660414857442621, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.026973275106135564, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.026973275106135564, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.028872811948845056, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.034772022057792284, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0018995368427094927, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007798746951656721, "ret_p1w": -0.14619719884997373, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.14619719884997373, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1531815103384988, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1718886180441359, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0069843114885250746, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02569141919416218, "ret_p1m": -0.20837937944835416, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.20837937944835416, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2095464210177076, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.24394782869139653, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.001167041569353433, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035568449243042366, "ret_p3m": -0.46219321226778987, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.46219321226778987, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.45919838556610837, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5470295596435522, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0029948267016814967, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08483634737576229, "ret_p6m": 0.30460977873153183, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.30460977873153183, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.19298133778857096, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.35687702545337796, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11162844094296087, "bench_c_p6m": 0.6614868041849098, "price_path": [-0.1846, -0.1763, -0.0937, -0.1194, -0.1046, -0.0936, -0.0912, -0.0911, -0.0476, -0.0628, -0.093, -0.1031, -0.1743, -0.1989, -0.21, -0.193, -0.1952, -0.199, -0.1729, -0.2048, -0.1852, -0.2417, -0.1772, -0.1645, -0.2326, -0.1715, -0.2828, -0.2737, -0.2454, -0.2062, -0.1617, -0.2031, -0.2417, -0.1655, -0.1402, -0.1435, -0.1036, -0.052, -0.079, 0.037, -0.0015, -0.0923, -0.0429, -0.1005, -0.0957, -0.0595, -0.1239, -0.1138, -0.2099, -0.1957, -0.1953, -0.2286, -0.2158, -0.2553, -0.2622, -0.1662, -0.1478, -0.0935, -0.0935, -0.0184, -0.0541, 0.0416, 0.0457, 0.0, -0.027, -0.0109, -0.0588, -0.1268, -0.1462, -0.2046, -0.215, -0.2243, -0.2586, -0.2341, -0.1702, -0.1712, -0.183, -0.1699, -0.1699, -0.1995, -0.2002, -0.199, -0.2047, -0.2047, -0.2084, -0.2249, -0.2651, -0.2207, -0.2174, -0.1686, -0.1374, -0.108, -0.1331, -0.1758, -0.1655, -0.1655, -0.1531, -0.2308, -0.2533, -0.264, -0.2924, -0.2838, -0.2833, -0.2844, -0.3075, -0.3369, -0.3848, -0.4641, -0.458, -0.3843, -0.3179, -0.2554, -0.2903, -0.3269, -0.3288, -0.3288, -0.3102, -0.293, -0.2778, -0.3143, -0.3143, -0.3321, -0.3176, -0.3672, -0.3794, -0.3687, -0.4622, -0.4332, -0.3658, -0.3929, -0.3589, -0.3791, -0.3593, -0.3833, -0.3495, -0.354, -0.4248, -0.4378, -0.4081, -0.4285, -0.4191, -0.4456, -0.4257, -0.4669, -0.4736, -0.5146, -0.4812, -0.4698, -0.4393, -0.4393, -0.4337, -0.4097, -0.3908, -0.4034, -0.339, -0.2574, -0.1183, -0.0695, -0.1215, -0.1118, -0.0353, 0.0133, 0.0474, 0.0255, 0.078, -0.0023, -0.0829, -0.0285, -0.0382, 0.0191, -0.0048, 0.0699, 0.096, 0.0407, 0.0419, 0.162, 0.0976, 0.0467, 0.02, -0.0484, -0.1362, -0.0659, 0.0114, 0.0689, 0.2072, 0.2072, 0.2251, 0.2228, 0.229, 0.3046]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2010587880180293647", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-12T05:41:20+00:00", "symbol": "VLN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is a crazy valuation... you don't have companies trading close to 1:1 marketcap, cash/assets if they have no debt, $80m fwd revenue off 63% gross margins, 69.1% on their robotics/industrial vertical", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long VLN: high-margin fabless semi at ~1x EV/revenue with strong robotics growth; bear cases (insider sales, Israeli co.) dismissed as superficial.", "resolved_tickers": ["VLN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Nice thesis on $VLN! Similar thoughts where you have an extremely high margin fabless semi trading (with t1 customers) trading close to a ridiculous 2 ev/revenue.\n\nDon’t think people quite understand that you don’t have companies trading close to 1:1 marketcap, cash/assets if they have no debt, $80m fwd revenue off 63% gross margins, 69.1% on their robotics/industrial vertical (75%+ of revenue growing 40% y/y).\n\nPeople are just citing “insider sales” or “Israeli company” as bear cases without looking at the financials. \n\nThis is a crazy valuation", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Here's the quick investment thesis on a recent small cap that came to my attention Friday. Thank you to @aleabitoreddit and @Gubloinvestor for taking the time to share it with their followers.\n\nIf you've already seen it, keep scrolling but for those who haven't the name is $VLN", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MitchMartan98", "ret_m1d": 0.07359310844371292, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07359310844371292, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07516109979748642, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07727918438675141, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0015679913537735013, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0036860759430384915, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012987000923330161, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012987000923330161, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014986476029200446, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01076001298232776, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019994751058702853, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0022269879410024007, "ret_p1w": -0.1385281130603636, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1385281130603636, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1334932848998024, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.16343470932083937, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.005034828160561222, "bench_c_p1w": 0.024906596260475755, "ret_p1m": -0.32900433302555665, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.32900433302555665, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3246312130634772, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.36509711439897574, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0043731199620794525, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03609278137341909, "ret_p3m": -0.419913391094622, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.419913391094622, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4006470825098737, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5214082805760099, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.019266308584748315, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10149488948138785, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2035, -0.2338, -0.2597, -0.2208, -0.2338, -0.2511, -0.2381, -0.2294, -0.2424, -0.2381, -0.2597, -0.2641, -0.2078, -0.2554, -0.3117, -0.2814, -0.3247, -0.316, -0.3074, -0.2208, -0.2641, -0.2554, -0.2468, -0.3247, -0.342, -0.3723, -0.3853, -0.3506, -0.3377, -0.3333, -0.3203, -0.3203, -0.3074, -0.3203, -0.316, -0.2771, -0.2727, -0.2727, -0.2641, -0.2641, -0.2727, -0.2944, -0.3117, -0.3333, -0.3377, -0.3593, -0.3593, -0.355, -0.368, -0.3939, -0.4026, -0.4026, -0.3766, -0.3896, -0.4026, -0.3853, -0.3853, -0.3247, -0.3203, -0.3117, -0.329, -0.3247, 0.0736, 0.0, 0.013, -0.0952, -0.0952, -0.1385, -0.1385, -0.1602, -0.1515, -0.0909, -0.1515, -0.2035, -0.2035, -0.2338, -0.2381, -0.2641, -0.2771, -0.3074, -0.3333, -0.381, -0.3333, -0.342, -0.329, -0.3333, -0.3506, -0.342, -0.342, -0.368, -0.355, -0.355, -0.3463, -0.3593, -0.3377, -0.3333, -0.3074, -0.3593, -0.3593, -0.3766, -0.3766, -0.3939, -0.4156, -0.4156, -0.4026, -0.381, -0.4156, -0.4242, -0.4242, -0.4199, -0.4589, -0.4459, -0.4719, -0.4545, -0.4589, -0.4545, -0.4719, -0.4892, -0.5195, -0.5108, -0.4935, -0.4848, -0.4848, -0.4848, -0.4892, -0.4329, -0.4199, -0.4242, -0.4156, -0.4026, -0.3636, -0.329, -0.342, -0.3636, -0.3506, -0.303, -0.2857, -0.2251, -0.303, -0.3463, -0.3463, -0.0606, 0.013, -0.026, 0.0476, 0.0823, 0.0433, 0.2078, 0.2338, 0.1688, 0.2771, 0.4589, 0.3203, 0.2208, 0.1515, 0.2554, 0.3247, 0.3939, 0.3939, 0.4113, 0.3636, 0.5152, 0.5281, 0.5281, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1991243565696184723", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-19T20:33:56+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "incredibly undervalued at $94... Stock should be easily trading $140+ right now... $400 PT", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS with $400 PT; calls it undervalued at $94, says it should trade $140+ now on 2026 revenue projections of $2.1B/quarter.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "For starters it's incredibly undervalued at $94. Q1 would need to have many DCs burn down for it to justify current prices.\n\nHowever, for it to be in line with my $400 PT, $NBIS needs to be executing current guidance eg.moving toward 2.5 GW capacity, 1GW capacity connected, revenue projections.\n\nWe're expecting $2.1B/quarter 2026 Q4 for $NBIS which is absolutely mindblowing growth.\n\nMarket prices in forward growth, but it's more of how long in the future it prices in. \n\nFor Nebius, it's like it's wearing blindfolds. Stock should be easily trading $140+ right now if markets take 2026 projections seriously.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit thanks for the reply, what do you think Q1 has to look like for $NBIS to justify the price it is currently at?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "zackslab", "ret_m1d": -0.04764908797557821, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04764908797557821, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.043800754714345747, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05322514712814286, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0038483332612324617, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00557605915256465, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.10970863930426211, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.10970863930426211, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.09446639384446254, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.09873641615168005, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015242245459799575, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010972223152582061, "ret_p1w": -0.003997025924453168, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.003997025924453168, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.029727862326241694, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03340611972454799, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.025730836401788526, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02940909380009482, "ret_p1m": -0.17860527412895333, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17860527412895333, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19949167377293875, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.22609158638674665, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02088639964398542, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04748631225779332, "ret_p3m": 0.030924607666390047, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.030924607666390047, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0009702501959494292, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0028998244709086407, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031894857862339476, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03382443213729869, "ret_p6m": 1.326180652218138, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.326180652218138, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.1906599980079682, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.2661567872788608, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1355206542101699, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06002386493927725, "price_path": [-0.2744, -0.2635, -0.2587, -0.2626, -0.2422, -0.2814, -0.2814, -0.3087, -0.3095, -0.3172, -0.3113, -0.3262, 0.0068, -0.0177, -0.0618, -0.049, -0.0432, -0.0593, -0.0104, -0.01, 0.0446, 0.1213, 0.1339, 0.191, 0.1354, 0.1328, 0.1594, 0.1809, 0.2161, 0.324, 0.3462, 0.3142, 0.238, 0.2833, 0.3952, 0.363, 0.4248, 0.348, 0.3236, 0.2942, 0.1932, 0.1465, 0.0969, 0.0373, 0.1167, 0.2334, 0.3193, 0.2815, 0.3159, 0.3062, 0.376, 0.2672, 0.1627, 0.2307, 0.1512, 0.1705, 0.1565, 0.0752, -0.0075, -0.0677, -0.1213, -0.0956, -0.0476, 0.0, -0.1097, -0.1242, -0.0333, -0.0651, -0.004, -0.004, -0.0021, 0.0534, 0.0145, 0.0405, 0.0813, 0.0312, 0.0553, 0.0141, -0.0156, -0.0083, -0.0776, -0.1465, -0.1485, -0.2064, -0.1786, -0.059, -0.0194, -0.053, -0.0414, -0.0414, -0.0787, -0.095, -0.1041, -0.1195, -0.1195, -0.0539, -0.0236, 0.0544, 0.012, 0.0235, 0.0301, 0.129, 0.109, 0.0727, 0.0927, 0.1437, 0.1437, 0.0444, 0.04, 0.0187, -0.006, -0.038, 0.0295, 0.0564, -0.0017, -0.1039, -0.0727, -0.0539, -0.1334, -0.223, -0.0944, -0.023, -0.0345, -0.0679, -0.0562, 0.0309, 0.0309, 0.0258, 0.0708, 0.1319, 0.03, 0.0583, 0.079, 0.1162, 0.1032, -0.0408, -0.0427, -0.087, 0.0285, 0.0061, -0.0604, -0.0014, 0.0143, 0.178, 0.1364, 0.1881, 0.3658, 0.2236, 0.2471, 0.2782, 0.2372, 0.2007, 0.2087, 0.2106, 0.1147, 0.0605, -0.0296, 0.0914, 0.0724, 0.1446, 0.1446, 0.1838, 0.2349, 0.3148, 0.434, 0.5249, 0.6257, 0.7034, 0.7542, 0.7391, 0.6529, 0.6741, 0.6467, 0.6424, 0.6523, 0.5479, 0.5248, 0.4254, 0.4851, 0.454, 0.625, 0.8557, 0.8504, 1.0521, 0.9435, 0.8623, 0.9575, 0.884, 1.1802, 1.3262]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2001150093735682396", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-17T04:38:56+00:00", "symbol": "cloud and data center sector", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if it passes, it's probably the biggest tailwind for the Neocloud + Datacenters space and incredibly bullish for the whole sector", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish on Neocloud and datacenter sector if the bill passes the House; potentially the biggest tailwind for the space.", "resolved_tickers": ["VRT", "EQIX", "DBRG", "CRWV", "NBIS"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Cloud/data center basket: Vertiv, Equinix, CoreWeave, Nebius", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Last week of December for a timeline estimate.\n\nRegards like Bernie Sanders are pushing back on it though. I laughed at @pepemoonboy comment underneath and it’s so true given Bernie’s lack of understanding of AI and infrastructure a pivotal national security risk.  \n\nThere’s no need for all the bureaucracy and state-by-state political games when China is on the precipice of building critical frontier models. \n\nBut if it passes, it’s probably the biggest tailwind for the Neocloud + Datacenters space and incredibly bullish for the whole sector.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit When is it going through the House?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "halldj00", "ret_m1d": 0.05214177407781828, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05214177407781828, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04101572718250335, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04101572718250335, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011126046895314934, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011126046895314934, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.021918787955335594, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.021918787955335594, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014367455377720727, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014367455377720727, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0075513325776148665, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0075513325776148665, "ret_p1w": 0.11888318556391378, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11888318556391378, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08757545358483956, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08757545358483956, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.031307731979074216, "bench_c_p1w": 0.031307731979074216, "ret_p1m": 0.24797611853393184, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.24797611853393184, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.21388989185334303, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.21388989185334303, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.034086226680588805, "bench_c_p1m": 0.034086226680588805, "ret_p3m": 0.4628689567048478, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4628689567048478, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4634543504587156, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4634543504587156, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0005853937538677911, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0005853937538677911, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2351, 0.2976, 0.2822, 0.299, 0.2534, 0.2328, 0.2502, 0.3092, 0.3334, 0.3616, 0.36, 0.3544, 0.3114, 0.374, 0.4121, 0.3803, 0.4284, 0.4112, 0.4349, 0.4087, 0.3608, 0.3282, 0.3068, 0.2683, 0.3185, 0.3826, 0.4294, 0.4042, 0.4364, 0.4041, 0.4233, 0.3771, 0.2933, 0.3153, 0.2499, 0.2368, 0.256, 0.1641, 0.1189, 0.0536, 0.0442, 0.0328, 0.0424, 0.0574, -0.0069, -0.0026, 0.0443, 0.0258, 0.0564, 0.0564, 0.0672, 0.0848, 0.0718, 0.0929, 0.124, 0.199, 0.2071, 0.2022, 0.1856, 0.1928, 0.1103, 0.0723, 0.0521, 0.0, 0.0219, 0.1112, 0.1329, 0.1148, 0.1189, 0.1189, 0.1086, 0.1181, 0.1125, 0.0985, 0.0985, 0.1572, 0.156, 0.1854, 0.1652, 0.1546, 0.1742, 0.2337, 0.2291, 0.2242, 0.248, 0.2862, 0.2862, 0.2356, 0.2421, 0.229, 0.2288, 0.2393, 0.3, 0.3058, 0.276, 0.217, 0.2148, 0.221, 0.1674, 0.1153, 0.2298, 0.2797, 0.268, 0.3281, 0.3415, 0.3608, 0.3608, 0.3548, 0.3721, 0.3909, 0.3442, 0.3627, 0.4065, 0.427, 0.4161, 0.3257, 0.3221, 0.2818, 0.3365, 0.31, 0.2722, 0.3234, 0.3394, 0.4049, 0.3834, 0.3912, 0.4629, 0.4181, 0.4196, 0.4276, 0.3975, 0.3926, 0.4174, 0.4393, 0.3604, 0.3274, 0.2653, 0.3482, 0.3628, 0.3964, 0.3964, 0.4028, 0.4321, 0.4931, 0.5451, 0.6083, 0.6733, 0.7287, 0.7326, 0.7268, 0.7192, 0.74, 0.7211, 0.7353, 0.7476, 0.6991, 0.6927, 0.6202, 0.6668, 0.6791, 0.7453, 0.8263, 0.8456, 0.9546, 0.8681, 0.8034, 0.8705, 0.8276, 0.9165, 0.9714, 0.9343, 0.8294, 0.7849, 0.771, 0.8788, 0.8646, 0.8646, 0.8424, 0.8307, 0.8788, 0.9004, 0.9004, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1982440878900969919", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-26T13:35:12+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm still bullish on Neoclouds across the board from $IREN to $CIFR", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still bullish on Neoclouds broadly (IREN, CIFR); singles out NBIS as top asymmetric pick on gross margin moat; cautious on CRWV due to interest debt.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thanks, just wanted to add I'm still bullish on Neoclouds across the board from $IREN to $CIFR. Short term there might be higher upside due to narratives around capacity but I'd expect markets to care about margins more when it comes time to execution + earning reports. \n\nIn terms of raw asymmetrical upside, $NBIS is the obvious winner due to gross margin moat on their operational side ( $CRWV would have been up there if it weren't for interest debt). \n\nAnd I added some quantitative data in the post showing why margins > capacity and/or middleware.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit 100%, excellent write up and analysis! Love your work thank you", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Matriarch_111", "ret_m1d": -0.03215873836881211, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03215873836881211, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.020498589425048674, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.028033473816390764, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004125264552421348, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.039544541918764, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.039544541918764, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.042200540875355075, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03316916586003127, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006375376058732729, "ret_p1w": 0.04246810627715236, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04246810627715236, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04524082586242595, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0645944793271267, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022126373049974335, "ret_p1m": -0.2695798925827233, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2695798925827233, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2546654506846936, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.25476647211453674, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.014813420468186567, "ret_p3m": -0.1958762880546734, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1958762880546734, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20430525526611998, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20840337820819355, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01252709015352016, "ret_p6m": -0.30497000071257774, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.30497000071257774, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.33831456717471897, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2941425250379808, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010827475674596965, "price_path": [-0.7517, -0.7521, -0.763, -0.7464, -0.7469, -0.7181, -0.7143, -0.7161, -0.7235, -0.7257, -0.7272, -0.7064, -0.697, -0.6814, -0.7118, -0.696, -0.6986, -0.6703, -0.6443, -0.6463, -0.656, -0.6455, -0.5926, -0.5926, -0.5521, -0.5659, -0.5979, -0.5976, -0.597, -0.5355, -0.4825, -0.4945, -0.4775, -0.4285, -0.4391, -0.4168, -0.4411, -0.4054, -0.3553, -0.3573, -0.2747, -0.2877, -0.3559, -0.2933, -0.2779, -0.2756, -0.2765, -0.2236, -0.1114, -0.0509, -0.0754, -0.0175, -0.0803, -0.0131, 0.0703, 0.046, -0.0486, -0.0657, -0.0888, -0.1507, -0.2025, -0.1405, -0.0322, 0.0, -0.0395, -0.0703, -0.1042, -0.0652, 0.0425, 0.0252, 0.1757, 0.0303, -0.0402, -0.0742, -0.1171, -0.1429, -0.2514, -0.2865, -0.2705, -0.2483, -0.2948, -0.3311, -0.3497, -0.2539, -0.2696, -0.2545, -0.2545, -0.2643, -0.2539, -0.3673, -0.3236, -0.2853, -0.312, -0.287, -0.2793, -0.3242, -0.3239, -0.3825, -0.4541, -0.437, -0.4802, -0.4491, -0.3858, -0.3531, -0.3527, -0.3541, -0.3541, -0.3799, -0.3936, -0.4107, -0.4188, -0.4188, -0.343, -0.2577, -0.2936, -0.3287, -0.2971, -0.2917, -0.2256, -0.1846, -0.1863, -0.2016, -0.1103, -0.1103, -0.1651, -0.1771, -0.1959, -0.1279, -0.1943, -0.0769, -0.0315, -0.0792, -0.1731, -0.1833, -0.1631, -0.3085, -0.3878, -0.3564, -0.2899, -0.3394, -0.3434, -0.3841, -0.3504, -0.3504, -0.3696, -0.3525, -0.3339, -0.3848, -0.3482, -0.3007, -0.3225, -0.3193, -0.3699, -0.3631, -0.4022, -0.3254, -0.3826, -0.4353, -0.4024, -0.4134, -0.3541, -0.3634, -0.3602, -0.3085, -0.339, -0.3505, -0.359, -0.3647, -0.3513, -0.3673, -0.3625, -0.4238, -0.4601, -0.5135, -0.4725, -0.4755, -0.465, -0.465, -0.4595, -0.4501, -0.4333, -0.4298, -0.395, -0.3373, -0.2711, -0.2488, -0.266, -0.2596, -0.2503, -0.305]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1982440878900969919", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-26T13:35:12+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm still bullish on Neoclouds across the board from $IREN to $CIFR", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still bullish on Neoclouds broadly (IREN, CIFR); singles out NBIS as top asymmetric pick on gross margin moat; cautious on CRWV due to interest debt.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thanks, just wanted to add I'm still bullish on Neoclouds across the board from $IREN to $CIFR. Short term there might be higher upside due to narratives around capacity but I'd expect markets to care about margins more when it comes time to execution + earning reports. \n\nIn terms of raw asymmetrical upside, $NBIS is the obvious winner due to gross margin moat on their operational side ( $CRWV would have been up there if it weren't for interest debt). \n\nAnd I added some quantitative data in the post showing why margins > capacity and/or middleware.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit 100%, excellent write up and analysis! Love your work thank you", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Matriarch_111", "ret_m1d": 0.005842206744696377, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005842206744696377, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.017502355688459814, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0239693602614649, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.018127153516768524, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.028237673086773385, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.028237673086773385, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.030893672043364462, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03813722322910784, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009899550142334457, "ret_p1w": 0.10808175337890424, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10808175337890424, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11085447296417783, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09834943885231096, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009732314526593289, "ret_p1m": -0.14703020073775575, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14703020073775575, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13211575883972604, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0850234511328678, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.062006749604887945, "ret_p3m": -0.15335936638141245, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15335936638141245, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.16178833359285905, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12392620505308272, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": -0.029433161328329738, "ret_p6m": -0.12171372388353252, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.12171372388353252, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.15505829034567375, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1592872886201938, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03757356473666129, "price_path": [-0.7347, -0.7342, -0.76, -0.7473, -0.7561, -0.7463, -0.7629, -0.7687, -0.7683, -0.7702, -0.7614, -0.741, -0.7463, -0.7055, -0.7196, -0.7103, -0.7128, -0.6894, -0.6767, -0.6534, -0.6597, -0.6582, -0.628, -0.628, -0.5949, -0.6052, -0.6397, -0.6339, -0.6241, -0.5511, -0.501, -0.5146, -0.4718, -0.4718, -0.4396, -0.3973, -0.4231, -0.4021, -0.3204, -0.3111, -0.3116, -0.4323, -0.4416, -0.3841, -0.387, -0.3866, -0.3277, -0.2843, -0.2532, -0.2332, -0.1431, -0.1241, -0.1738, -0.0097, 0.017, 0.0239, -0.0886, -0.0867, -0.0307, -0.12, -0.2157, -0.1599, 0.0058, 0.0, -0.0282, -0.0463, -0.0716, -0.092, 0.1081, 0.0959, 0.203, 0.057, 0.0073, -0.0433, -0.091, -0.1538, -0.2731, -0.3009, -0.3014, -0.2902, -0.2882, -0.2911, -0.3111, -0.1865, -0.147, -0.0677, -0.0677, -0.0093, -0.0414, -0.1412, -0.093, -0.0346, -0.0613, -0.0516, -0.0477, -0.1003, -0.0808, -0.1699, -0.2824, -0.2702, -0.2994, -0.2624, -0.2108, -0.2045, -0.2254, -0.2103, -0.2103, -0.2605, -0.2658, -0.2897, -0.2814, -0.2814, -0.2113, -0.1159, -0.1461, -0.2171, -0.1943, -0.1904, -0.1392, -0.1115, -0.1173, -0.147, -0.0847, -0.0847, -0.1276, -0.1373, -0.1534, -0.1446, -0.1972, -0.0871, -0.0764, -0.1383, -0.223, -0.2303, -0.2084, -0.3062, -0.3817, -0.2829, -0.184, -0.1675, -0.2074, -0.2162, -0.2006, -0.2006, -0.2386, -0.2493, -0.2308, -0.2868, -0.259, -0.1665, -0.1913, -0.1977, -0.2405, -0.2327, -0.2838, -0.2191, -0.2624, -0.3369, -0.3033, -0.3204, -0.313, -0.3325, -0.3145, -0.2629, -0.2653, -0.2858, -0.2872, -0.3179, -0.2751, -0.2756, -0.2269, -0.3014, -0.3308, -0.415, -0.3734, -0.3846, -0.3759, -0.3759, -0.35, -0.3179, -0.2493, -0.2035, -0.1952, -0.1353, -0.1018, -0.1237, -0.1558, -0.057, -0.0609, -0.1217]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1982440878900969919", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-26T13:35:12+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS is the obvious winner due to gross margin moat on their operational side", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still bullish on Neoclouds broadly (IREN, CIFR); singles out NBIS as top asymmetric pick on gross margin moat; cautious on CRWV due to interest debt.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thanks, just wanted to add I'm still bullish on Neoclouds across the board from $IREN to $CIFR. Short term there might be higher upside due to narratives around capacity but I'd expect markets to care about margins more when it comes time to execution + earning reports. \n\nIn terms of raw asymmetrical upside, $NBIS is the obvious winner due to gross margin moat on their operational side ( $CRWV would have been up there if it weren't for interest debt). \n\nAnd I added some quantitative data in the post showing why margins > capacity and/or middleware.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit 100%, excellent write up and analysis! Love your work thank you", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Matriarch_111", "ret_m1d": -0.0651359176358719, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0651359176358719, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05347576869210846, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.051394016667661524, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013741900968210374, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02870125540430646, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02870125540430646, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.031357254360897535, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.023750721096447047, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004950534307859411, "ret_p1w": -0.03954396135218685, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03954396135218685, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.036771241766913265, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.009072772543005425, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": -0.030471188809181426, "ret_p1m": -0.291397615903933, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.291397615903933, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2764831740059033, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2669865978192385, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02441101808469448, "ret_p3m": -0.22785618880266678, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22785618880266678, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23628515601411337, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.22330124633290094, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": -0.004554942469765844, "ret_p6m": 0.24810653488691647, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.24810653488691647, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.21476196842477524, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.24166768131940364, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": 0.006438853567512837, "price_path": [-0.5911, -0.5661, -0.5854, -0.5681, -0.5602, -0.5608, -0.4793, -0.4516, -0.44, -0.3994, -0.4369, -0.4542, -0.429, -0.4217, -0.4643, -0.4621, -0.4724, -0.4501, -0.4418, -0.4381, -0.4411, -0.4257, -0.4553, -0.4553, -0.476, -0.4766, -0.4825, -0.478, -0.4893, -0.2369, -0.2554, -0.2889, -0.2792, -0.2748, -0.287, -0.2499, -0.2496, -0.2082, -0.1501, -0.1406, -0.0973, -0.1394, -0.1414, -0.1213, -0.1049, -0.0783, 0.0035, 0.0203, -0.0039, -0.0616, -0.0273, 0.0575, 0.0331, 0.08, 0.0217, 0.0032, -0.0191, -0.0956, -0.131, -0.1686, -0.2137, -0.1536, -0.0651, 0.0, -0.0287, -0.0026, -0.01, 0.043, -0.0395, -0.1187, -0.0672, -0.1275, -0.1128, -0.1234, -0.185, -0.2477, -0.2934, -0.334, -0.3145, -0.2782, -0.242, -0.3252, -0.3362, -0.2673, -0.2914, -0.2451, -0.2451, -0.2436, -0.2015, -0.231, -0.2114, -0.1804, -0.2184, -0.2001, -0.2314, -0.2538, -0.2483, -0.3009, -0.3531, -0.3546, -0.3985, -0.3774, -0.2868, -0.2567, -0.2822, -0.2735, -0.2735, -0.3017, -0.314, -0.321, -0.3327, -0.3327, -0.2829, -0.2599, -0.2008, -0.233, -0.2243, -0.2192, -0.1443, -0.1595, -0.187, -0.1718, -0.1331, -0.1331, -0.2084, -0.2118, -0.2279, -0.2466, -0.2708, -0.2197, -0.1993, -0.2433, -0.3208, -0.2971, -0.2829, -0.3431, -0.4111, -0.3136, -0.2595, -0.2682, -0.2936, -0.2846, -0.2186, -0.2186, -0.2225, -0.1884, -0.1421, -0.2193, -0.1979, -0.1822, -0.154, -0.1638, -0.273, -0.2744, -0.308, -0.2204, -0.2374, -0.2878, -0.2431, -0.2312, -0.1071, -0.1386, -0.0995, 0.0352, -0.0726, -0.0548, -0.0312, -0.0623, -0.0899, -0.0839, -0.0824, -0.1551, -0.1962, -0.2645, -0.1728, -0.1872, -0.1324, -0.1324, -0.1028, -0.064, -0.0034, 0.0869, 0.1558, 0.2322, 0.2911, 0.3296, 0.3182, 0.2528, 0.2689, 0.2481]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1978511244710617534", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-15T17:20:14+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "No news dips are always a nice gift $NBIS. (Added calls at~$122.9)", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Added calls on NBIS at ~$122.9, treating the no-news dip as a buying opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "No news dips are always a nice gift $NBIS.\n\n(Added calls at~$122.9) https://t.co/LmgjK3uoog", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The Great Soybean/Seed Oil Crash, personal thoughts and explanations:\n\nStrong Buy\n$ALAB\n$CRDO\n$NBIS\n$WLAC\n$LTC\n$TSM\n$BTC\n(+ same as tax harvest stocks last time)\n$AMZN\n$SMCI\n_\n\nBuy\n$AMD\n$FLNC\n$SEI\n$BZAI\n$NKLR\n$IREN\n$WULF\n$CIFR\n$CRWV\n$BITF\n$WYFI\n$SLNH\n$BITF\n$RBRK\n$GLXY\n$GRAB\n$SEA", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.018437511179127286, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.018437511179127286, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.022857412102326946, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02545663561504896, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00441990092319966, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007019124435921675, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.022172779741935766, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.022172779741935766, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01536251858795179, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011514210341831754, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006810261153983976, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010658569400104012, "ret_p1w": -0.21624412849493624, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.21624412849493624, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.22019810157945974, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.21832384935349303, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003953973084523499, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0020797208585567883, "ret_p1m": -0.2956370025932544, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2956370025932544, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3059653003869398, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.265567683000522, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010328297793685381, "bench_c_p1m": -0.030069319592732402, "ret_p3m": -0.14702376007940443, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14702376007940443, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1951981516370762, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.16895231924591925, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04817439155767178, "bench_c_p3m": 0.021928559166514816, "ret_p6m": 0.08344591788290523, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.08344591788290523, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.05546597760361438, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08686219341531143, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.02797994027929085, "bench_c_p6m": -0.003416275532406199, "price_path": [-0.5805, -0.5838, -0.5946, -0.5877, -0.5855, -0.5918, -0.5808, -0.5995, -0.5924, -0.5674, -0.5867, -0.5695, -0.5616, -0.5622, -0.481, -0.4534, -0.4418, -0.4013, -0.4387, -0.4559, -0.4308, -0.4235, -0.466, -0.4638, -0.4741, -0.4518, -0.4435, -0.4399, -0.4429, -0.4275, -0.457, -0.457, -0.4777, -0.4783, -0.4841, -0.4797, -0.4909, -0.2393, -0.2578, -0.2912, -0.2815, -0.2771, -0.2893, -0.2523, -0.252, -0.2108, -0.1528, -0.1433, -0.1001, -0.1422, -0.1441, -0.1241, -0.1078, -0.0812, 0.0003, 0.0171, -0.0071, -0.0646, -0.0304, 0.0541, 0.0298, 0.0765, 0.0184, 0.0, -0.0222, -0.0985, -0.1338, -0.1713, -0.2162, -0.1563, -0.0681, -0.0032, -0.0318, -0.0058, -0.0131, 0.0397, -0.0426, -0.1215, -0.0702, -0.1303, -0.1156, -0.1262, -0.1876, -0.2501, -0.2956, -0.3361, -0.3167, -0.2805, -0.2445, -0.3273, -0.3383, -0.2696, -0.2937, -0.2475, -0.2475, -0.246, -0.2041, -0.2335, -0.2139, -0.183, -0.2209, -0.2027, -0.2338, -0.2562, -0.2507, -0.3031, -0.3552, -0.3567, -0.4004, -0.3794, -0.289, -0.2591, -0.2845, -0.2758, -0.2758, -0.3039, -0.3162, -0.3231, -0.3348, -0.3348, -0.2851, -0.2623, -0.2034, -0.2354, -0.2267, -0.2217, -0.147, -0.1621, -0.1895, -0.1744, -0.1359, -0.1359, -0.2109, -0.2143, -0.2303, -0.249, -0.2731, -0.2222, -0.2019, -0.2457, -0.323, -0.2994, -0.2851, -0.3452, -0.4129, -0.3157, -0.2619, -0.2705, -0.2958, -0.2869, -0.2211, -0.2211, -0.225, -0.191, -0.1448, -0.2218, -0.2004, -0.1848, -0.1566, -0.1665, -0.2753, -0.2767, -0.3102, -0.2229, -0.2398, -0.2901, -0.2455, -0.2336, -0.1099, -0.1414, -0.1024, 0.0319, -0.0755, -0.0578, -0.0343, -0.0652, -0.0928, -0.0868, -0.0854, -0.1578, -0.1988, -0.2668, -0.1754, -0.1898, -0.1352, -0.1352, -0.1056, -0.067, -0.0066, 0.0834]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1981986108675366940", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-25T07:28:06+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "just feel like $NBIS is a generational opportunity right now, especially on the 30% drop", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "NBIS is a generational opportunity on the 30% dip and will strongly outperform; also sees upside in IREN.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@YNWA_AB Yeah I normally don't do much single-stock posts, but just feel like $NBIS is a generational opportunity right now, especially on the 30% drop. \n\nI see the upside for $IREN and others, but feel like Nebius will strong outperform.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit This. I also sold off my iren at $68 and now have a large $NBIS position as I see it being a winner over the next 12 months. You get the business plus investments in various other businesses. Talented team as well.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "YNWA_AB", "ret_m1d": -0.0651359176358719, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0651359176358719, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05347576869210846, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.051394016667661524, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013741900968210374, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02870125540430646, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02870125540430646, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.031357254360897535, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.023750721096447047, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004950534307859411, "ret_p1w": -0.03954396135218685, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03954396135218685, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.036771241766913265, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.009072772543005425, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": -0.030471188809181426, "ret_p1m": -0.291397615903933, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.291397615903933, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2764831740059033, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2669865978192385, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02441101808469448, "ret_p3m": -0.22785618880266678, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22785618880266678, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23628515601411337, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.22330124633290094, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": -0.004554942469765844, "ret_p6m": 0.24810653488691647, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.24810653488691647, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.21476196842477524, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.24166768131940364, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": 0.006438853567512837, "price_path": [-0.5911, -0.5661, -0.5854, -0.5681, -0.5602, -0.5608, -0.4793, -0.4516, -0.44, -0.3994, -0.4369, -0.4542, -0.429, -0.4217, -0.4643, -0.4621, -0.4724, -0.4501, -0.4418, -0.4381, -0.4411, -0.4257, -0.4553, -0.4553, -0.476, -0.4766, -0.4825, -0.478, -0.4893, -0.2369, -0.2554, -0.2889, -0.2792, -0.2748, -0.287, -0.2499, -0.2496, -0.2082, -0.1501, -0.1406, -0.0973, -0.1394, -0.1414, -0.1213, -0.1049, -0.0783, 0.0035, 0.0203, -0.0039, -0.0616, -0.0273, 0.0575, 0.0331, 0.08, 0.0217, 0.0032, -0.0191, -0.0956, -0.131, -0.1686, -0.2137, -0.1536, -0.0651, 0.0, -0.0287, -0.0026, -0.01, 0.043, -0.0395, -0.1187, -0.0672, -0.1275, -0.1128, -0.1234, -0.185, -0.2477, -0.2934, -0.334, -0.3145, -0.2782, -0.242, -0.3252, -0.3362, -0.2673, -0.2914, -0.2451, -0.2451, -0.2436, -0.2015, -0.231, -0.2114, -0.1804, -0.2184, -0.2001, -0.2314, -0.2538, -0.2483, -0.3009, -0.3531, -0.3546, -0.3985, -0.3774, -0.2868, -0.2567, -0.2822, -0.2735, -0.2735, -0.3017, -0.314, -0.321, -0.3327, -0.3327, -0.2829, -0.2599, -0.2008, -0.233, -0.2243, -0.2192, -0.1443, -0.1595, -0.187, -0.1718, -0.1331, -0.1331, -0.2084, -0.2118, -0.2279, -0.2466, -0.2708, -0.2197, -0.1993, -0.2433, -0.3208, -0.2971, -0.2829, -0.3431, -0.4111, -0.3136, -0.2595, -0.2682, -0.2936, -0.2846, -0.2186, -0.2186, -0.2225, -0.1884, -0.1421, -0.2193, -0.1979, -0.1822, -0.154, -0.1638, -0.273, -0.2744, -0.308, -0.2204, -0.2374, -0.2878, -0.2431, -0.2312, -0.1071, -0.1386, -0.0995, 0.0352, -0.0726, -0.0548, -0.0312, -0.0623, -0.0899, -0.0839, -0.0824, -0.1551, -0.1962, -0.2645, -0.1728, -0.1872, -0.1324, -0.1324, -0.1028, -0.064, -0.0034, 0.0869, 0.1558, 0.2322, 0.2911, 0.3296, 0.3182, 0.2528, 0.2689, 0.2481]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1981986108675366940", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-25T07:28:06+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I see the upside for $IREN and others", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "NBIS is a generational opportunity on the 30% dip and will strongly outperform; also sees upside in IREN.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@YNWA_AB Yeah I normally don't do much single-stock posts, but just feel like $NBIS is a generational opportunity right now, especially on the 30% drop. \n\nI see the upside for $IREN and others, but feel like Nebius will strong outperform.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit This. I also sold off my iren at $68 and now have a large $NBIS position as I see it being a winner over the next 12 months. You get the business plus investments in various other businesses. Talented team as well.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "YNWA_AB", "ret_m1d": -0.03215873836881211, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03215873836881211, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.020498589425048674, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.028033473816390764, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004125264552421348, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.039544541918764, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.039544541918764, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.042200540875355075, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03316916586003127, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006375376058732729, "ret_p1w": 0.04246810627715236, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04246810627715236, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04524082586242595, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0645944793271267, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022126373049974335, "ret_p1m": -0.2695798925827233, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2695798925827233, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2546654506846936, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.25476647211453674, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.014813420468186567, "ret_p3m": -0.1958762880546734, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1958762880546734, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20430525526611998, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20840337820819355, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01252709015352016, "ret_p6m": -0.30497000071257774, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.30497000071257774, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.33831456717471897, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2941425250379808, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010827475674596965, "price_path": [-0.7517, -0.7521, -0.763, -0.7464, -0.7469, -0.7181, -0.7143, -0.7161, -0.7235, -0.7257, -0.7272, -0.7064, -0.697, -0.6814, -0.7118, -0.696, -0.6986, -0.6703, -0.6443, -0.6463, -0.656, -0.6455, -0.5926, -0.5926, -0.5521, -0.5659, -0.5979, -0.5976, -0.597, -0.5355, -0.4825, -0.4945, -0.4775, -0.4285, -0.4391, -0.4168, -0.4411, -0.4054, -0.3553, -0.3573, -0.2747, -0.2877, -0.3559, -0.2933, -0.2779, -0.2756, -0.2765, -0.2236, -0.1114, -0.0509, -0.0754, -0.0175, -0.0803, -0.0131, 0.0703, 0.046, -0.0486, -0.0657, -0.0888, -0.1507, -0.2025, -0.1405, -0.0322, 0.0, -0.0395, -0.0703, -0.1042, -0.0652, 0.0425, 0.0252, 0.1757, 0.0303, -0.0402, -0.0742, -0.1171, -0.1429, -0.2514, -0.2865, -0.2705, -0.2483, -0.2948, -0.3311, -0.3497, -0.2539, -0.2696, -0.2545, -0.2545, -0.2643, -0.2539, -0.3673, -0.3236, -0.2853, -0.312, -0.287, -0.2793, -0.3242, -0.3239, -0.3825, -0.4541, -0.437, -0.4802, -0.4491, -0.3858, -0.3531, -0.3527, -0.3541, -0.3541, -0.3799, -0.3936, -0.4107, -0.4188, -0.4188, -0.343, -0.2577, -0.2936, -0.3287, -0.2971, -0.2917, -0.2256, -0.1846, -0.1863, -0.2016, -0.1103, -0.1103, -0.1651, -0.1771, -0.1959, -0.1279, -0.1943, -0.0769, -0.0315, -0.0792, -0.1731, -0.1833, -0.1631, -0.3085, -0.3878, -0.3564, -0.2899, -0.3394, -0.3434, -0.3841, -0.3504, -0.3504, -0.3696, -0.3525, -0.3339, -0.3848, -0.3482, -0.3007, -0.3225, -0.3193, -0.3699, -0.3631, -0.4022, -0.3254, -0.3826, -0.4353, -0.4024, -0.4134, -0.3541, -0.3634, -0.3602, -0.3085, -0.339, -0.3505, -0.359, -0.3647, -0.3513, -0.3673, -0.3625, -0.4238, -0.4601, -0.5135, -0.4725, -0.4755, -0.465, -0.465, -0.4595, -0.4501, -0.4333, -0.4298, -0.395, -0.3373, -0.2711, -0.2488, -0.266, -0.2596, -0.2503, -0.305]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972140817080053892", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-28T03:26:26+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Not a fan of $CRWV as much because of 9% interest on their debt", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Cautious on CRWV due to 9% debt cost; prefers NBIS on balance sheet; notes NVDA backstop for CRWV.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Veganhippo21 That's fair. Not a fan of $CRWV as much because of 9% interest on their debt but to each their own. \n\n$NVDA is backstopping CRWV more than the others but I liked $NBIS balance sheet a lot more.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I added 12,000 shares of $crwv \nThey are second to none \nAlso, will add 8,000 share more this shutdown", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Veganhippo21", "ret_m1d": -0.017793016363905956, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.017793016363905956, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.014990525947783162, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.014990525947783162, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.11696057666567183, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.11696057666567183, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.11319370990655986, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.11319370990655986, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "ret_p1w": 0.09247477775776125, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09247477775776125, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08052629637534858, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08052629637534858, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "ret_p1m": 0.10022858917035693, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10022858917035693, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06500078242778762, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06500078242778762, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "ret_p3m": -0.3562683242936131, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3562683242936131, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.39957230890576634, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.39957230890576634, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "ret_p6m": -0.322396352287489, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.322396352287489, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3121793458755471, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3121793458755471, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "price_path": [0.2387, 0.3484, 0.3484, 0.3035, 0.2361, 0.2492, 0.1287, 0.0271, 0.0804, 0.1475, 0.1675, 0.0791, 0.0041, 0.0195, 0.0592, 0.0288, -0.0206, -0.0563, -0.0999, -0.1125, -0.1602, -0.0685, -0.15, -0.1348, -0.0872, -0.1002, -0.0118, 0.0574, 0.1409, 0.2141, -0.0389, -0.1878, -0.1841, -0.2099, -0.2418, -0.253, -0.259, -0.2329, -0.246, -0.2541, -0.2089, -0.161, -0.159, -0.159, -0.2382, -0.2664, -0.286, -0.2729, -0.2365, -0.182, -0.0439, -0.0802, -0.0862, -0.0167, -0.0308, -0.0135, -0.0092, 0.0191, 0.0874, 0.0683, 0.0888, 0.0338, -0.0178, 0.0, 0.117, 0.1186, 0.1263, 0.1001, 0.0925, 0.0515, 0.1425, 0.1678, 0.1299, 0.1559, 0.0942, 0.1365, 0.1569, 0.1171, 0.0371, 0.0207, -0.0081, 0.0067, 0.0819, 0.1105, 0.1002, 0.1421, 0.0697, 0.0913, 0.031, -0.0553, -0.0661, -0.1272, -0.1511, -0.138, -0.2786, -0.3027, -0.3606, -0.3686, -0.3852, -0.3887, -0.3885, -0.4351, -0.4152, -0.3993, -0.4181, -0.3936, -0.3936, -0.4032, -0.371, -0.3794, -0.3523, -0.3001, -0.2793, -0.2961, -0.26, -0.2804, -0.2868, -0.3586, -0.4095, -0.4327, -0.4731, -0.4476, -0.3226, -0.3076, -0.3449, -0.3563, -0.3563, -0.3763, -0.3885, -0.3968, -0.4155, -0.4155, -0.3526, -0.3727, -0.3639, -0.3701, -0.3708, -0.3459, -0.266, -0.286, -0.2671, -0.2245, -0.1738, -0.1738, -0.2228, -0.2324, -0.2508, -0.2411, -0.1976, -0.1115, -0.1347, -0.1876, -0.2394, -0.2741, -0.2649, -0.327, -0.3907, -0.2658, -0.21, -0.2237, -0.2234, -0.2189, -0.2161, -0.2161, -0.2573, -0.2209, -0.2071, -0.2715, -0.2586, -0.1895, -0.2, -0.2032, -0.3506, -0.363, -0.3978, -0.3511, -0.3893, -0.4043, -0.3927, -0.3885, -0.331, -0.3482, -0.338, -0.2992, -0.3297, -0.324, -0.3417, -0.335, -0.331, -0.3224]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972140817080053892", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-28T03:26:26+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NVDA is backstopping CRWV more than the others", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Cautious on CRWV due to 9% debt cost; prefers NBIS on balance sheet; notes NVDA backstop for CRWV.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Veganhippo21 That's fair. Not a fan of $CRWV as much because of 9% interest on their debt but to each their own. \n\n$NVDA is backstopping CRWV more than the others but I liked $NBIS balance sheet a lot more.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I added 12,000 shares of $crwv \nThey are second to none \nAlso, will add 8,000 share more this shutdown", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Veganhippo21", "ret_m1d": -0.02012652464071829, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02012652464071829, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017324034224595497, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017324034224595497, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.026010341701790507, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.026010341701790507, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02224347494267853, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02224347494267853, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "ret_p1w": 0.020291339324061797, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.020291339324061797, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.008342857941649129, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.008342857941649129, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "ret_p1m": 0.10547149503197861, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10547149503197861, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0702436882894093, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0702436882894093, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "ret_p3m": 0.03723116702726181, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.03723116702726181, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.006072817584891421, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.006072817584891421, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "ret_p6m": -0.03646289898957855, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.03646289898957855, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.026245892577636654, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.026245892577636654, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "price_path": [-0.1353, -0.1238, -0.1238, -0.1299, -0.1202, -0.1044, -0.0977, -0.0931, -0.0978, -0.0614, -0.0577, -0.0487, -0.052, -0.0576, -0.0815, -0.0609, -0.0447, -0.046, -0.0281, -0.0349, -0.0142, -0.0219, -0.0448, -0.0102, -0.0198, -0.0134, -0.006, 0.0046, 0.0011, 0.0071, -0.0015, 0.0009, -0.0078, 0.0008, -0.0342, -0.0355, -0.0378, -0.0213, -0.0113, -0.0005, -0.0014, -0.0093, -0.0422, -0.0422, -0.0609, -0.0618, -0.0561, -0.0816, -0.0745, -0.061, -0.0249, -0.0257, -0.0222, -0.0225, -0.0383, -0.0636, -0.0308, -0.0285, 0.0097, -0.0188, -0.0268, -0.0229, -0.0201, 0.0, 0.026, 0.0296, 0.0387, 0.0317, 0.0203, 0.0175, 0.0399, 0.0589, 0.0072, 0.0356, -0.01, -0.0111, -0.0002, 0.0075, 0.0043, -0.0038, -0.0086, 0.0017, 0.0243, 0.053, 0.1055, 0.1385, 0.1157, 0.1135, 0.1376, 0.0926, 0.0735, 0.0343, 0.0346, 0.0946, 0.0622, 0.0657, 0.0276, 0.0458, 0.0261, -0.0027, 0.0257, -0.0067, -0.0163, 0.0038, -0.0222, -0.0087, -0.0087, -0.0267, -0.0106, -0.0021, -0.0124, 0.0085, 0.0031, 0.0204, 0.0172, 0.0107, -0.005, -0.0375, -0.0305, -0.0227, -0.0599, -0.0423, -0.0047, 0.0102, 0.0405, 0.0372, 0.0372, 0.0478, 0.0351, 0.0313, 0.0256, 0.0256, 0.0386, 0.0345, 0.0297, 0.04, 0.0176, 0.0166, 0.017, 0.0218, 0.0071, 0.0287, 0.0241, 0.0241, -0.0207, 0.0081, 0.0165, 0.0321, 0.0255, 0.0367, 0.0532, 0.0587, 0.0511, 0.0207, -0.0082, -0.0421, -0.0548, 0.0196, 0.0451, 0.0368, 0.0452, 0.028, 0.0053, 0.0053, 0.0172, 0.0338, 0.0333, 0.0439, 0.0534, 0.0605, 0.0755, 0.0168, -0.0256, 0.0035, -0.0098, 0.0066, 0.0082, -0.0221, 0.0045, 0.0161, 0.0231, 0.0072, -0.0087, 0.0076, 0.0005, -0.0079, -0.018, -0.0502, -0.034, -0.0365]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972140817080053892", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-09-28T03:26:26+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I liked $NBIS balance sheet a lot more", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Cautious on CRWV due to 9% debt cost; prefers NBIS on balance sheet; notes NVDA backstop for CRWV.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Veganhippo21 That's fair. Not a fan of $CRWV as much because of 9% interest on their debt but to each their own. \n\n$NVDA is backstopping CRWV more than the others but I liked $NBIS balance sheet a lot more.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I added 12,000 shares of $crwv \nThey are second to none \nAlso, will add 8,000 share more this shutdown", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Veganhippo21", "ret_m1d": -0.022863402690541768, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.022863402690541768, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.020060912274418974, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01965792073995065, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003205481950591116, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01859912356794835, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01859912356794835, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014832256808836375, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0201175336178111, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0015184100498627506, "ret_p1w": 0.13355108925491654, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.13355108925491654, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12160260787250388, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15075906719363552, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017207977938718977, "ret_p1m": 0.10533478934648022, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10533478934648022, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0701069826039109, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12195232126657751, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016617531920097295, "ret_p3m": -0.17319909050862348, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17319909050862348, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2165030751207767, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17254361511278626, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0006554753958372128, "ret_p6m": 0.042551282793175105, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.042551282793175105, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.052768289205117, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09910514292146178, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.05655386012828667, "price_path": [-0.5466, -0.5441, -0.5441, -0.566, -0.5727, -0.5822, -0.5788, -0.5981, -0.5287, -0.5143, -0.5163, -0.5129, -0.521, -0.5249, -0.5372, -0.5293, -0.5268, -0.5339, -0.5214, -0.5427, -0.5347, -0.5062, -0.5282, -0.5085, -0.4995, -0.5002, -0.4075, -0.376, -0.3627, -0.3165, -0.3592, -0.3789, -0.3502, -0.3419, -0.3904, -0.3879, -0.3996, -0.3742, -0.3647, -0.3606, -0.364, -0.3464, -0.3801, -0.3801, -0.4037, -0.4044, -0.4111, -0.406, -0.4188, -0.1316, -0.1527, -0.1908, -0.1797, -0.1747, -0.1886, -0.1464, -0.1461, -0.099, -0.0328, -0.022, 0.0273, -0.0207, -0.0229, 0.0, 0.0186, 0.0489, 0.142, 0.1611, 0.1336, 0.0679, 0.1069, 0.2034, 0.1756, 0.229, 0.1627, 0.1416, 0.1163, 0.0292, -0.0111, -0.0539, -0.1052, -0.0368, 0.0639, 0.138, 0.1053, 0.135, 0.1267, 0.1869, 0.093, 0.0029, 0.0615, -0.0071, 0.0096, -0.0024, -0.0726, -0.1439, -0.1959, -0.2421, -0.2199, -0.1786, -0.1375, -0.2321, -0.2446, -0.1662, -0.1936, -0.1409, -0.1409, -0.1393, -0.0914, -0.1249, -0.1025, -0.0673, -0.1105, -0.0897, -0.1253, -0.1509, -0.1446, -0.2044, -0.2638, -0.2656, -0.3155, -0.2915, -0.1884, -0.1541, -0.1832, -0.1732, -0.1732, -0.2053, -0.2194, -0.2273, -0.2406, -0.2406, -0.1839, -0.1578, -0.0905, -0.1271, -0.1172, -0.1115, -0.0262, -0.0435, -0.0748, -0.0575, -0.0135, -0.0135, -0.0992, -0.103, -0.1213, -0.1426, -0.1702, -0.112, -0.0888, -0.1389, -0.2271, -0.2001, -0.1839, -0.2525, -0.3298, -0.2188, -0.1573, -0.1672, -0.1961, -0.1859, -0.1108, -0.1108, -0.1152, -0.0764, -0.0237, -0.1116, -0.0872, -0.0693, -0.0372, -0.0484, -0.1727, -0.1743, -0.2125, -0.1129, -0.1322, -0.1895, -0.1386, -0.1251, 0.0161, -0.0198, 0.0248, 0.1781, 0.0554, 0.0757, 0.1025, 0.0671, 0.0357, 0.0426]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1989444193044066544", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-14T21:23:52+00:00", "symbol": "WULF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$40B in capex going to neoclouds like $WULF / $CIFR", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on WULF/CIFR as neocloud beneficiaries of Google's $40B data-center capex; broader market selloff seen as overdone.", "resolved_tickers": ["WULF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@KobeissiLetter Another $40B in capex going to neoclouds like $WULF / $CIFR and the data center buildout by $GOOGL.\n\nMeanwhile markets are selling off indiscriminately for the wrong reasons. https://t.co/S9wmV8d1XD", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "BREAKING: Google, $GOOGL, announces plans to invest $40 billion in 3 new data centers in Texas.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "KobeissiLetter", "ret_m1d": 0.06278439931099422, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06278439931099422, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06262060372605727, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06262060372605727, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005459546939607929, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005459546939607929, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014775980368852526, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014775980368852526, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "ret_p1w": 0.02729756114492976, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02729756114492976, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.046495901885605484, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.046495901885605484, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "ret_p1m": 0.13648771894809464, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13648771894809464, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12339110631935446, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12339110631935446, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "ret_p3m": 0.45859881897109034, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.45859881897109034, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4257460653553691, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4257460653553691, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "bench_c_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "ret_p6m": 1.1264787375746819, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.1264787375746819, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.0199504009841642, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.0199504009841642, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "price_path": [-0.2011, -0.1556, -0.1638, -0.1665, -0.1874, -0.1592, -0.1692, -0.141, -0.1401, -0.1401, -0.1237, -0.1829, -0.1929, -0.1692, -0.1629, -0.0628, -0.04, -0.0318, -0.0209, -0.0455, -0.0045, 0.0328, 0.0164, -0.0009, 0.0455, 0.0227, 0.0373, -0.0018, -0.0146, 0.0555, 0.0391, 0.0437, 0.0537, 0.0846, 0.0892, 0.101, 0.1192, 0.2366, 0.2293, 0.2739, 0.4067, 0.4076, 0.2611, 0.2675, 0.2602, 0.1956, 0.1483, 0.172, 0.2475, 0.2411, 0.4504, 0.3194, 0.3485, 0.4104, 0.465, 0.3658, 0.3976, 0.2994, 0.2684, 0.3012, 0.1256, 0.1501, 0.0628, 0.0, 0.0055, 0.0919, 0.1128, 0.0519, 0.0273, 0.1492, 0.2684, 0.3503, 0.3503, 0.4113, 0.3922, 0.2939, 0.313, 0.374, 0.3194, 0.3612, 0.4186, 0.434, 0.4404, 0.3039, 0.1365, 0.182, 0.0528, 0.0728, 0.1392, 0.1347, 0.1301, 0.1201, 0.1201, 0.0692, 0.0391, 0.0146, 0.0455, 0.0455, 0.1592, 0.2393, 0.1993, 0.1365, 0.1683, 0.192, 0.2566, 0.2866, 0.293, 0.2584, 0.2602, 0.2602, 0.2129, 0.1938, 0.1729, 0.2848, 0.2548, 0.3931, 0.3749, 0.323, 0.2166, 0.2229, 0.3467, 0.263, 0.0846, 0.3003, 0.515, 0.5132, 0.4586, 0.4477, 0.4795, 0.4795, 0.4722, 0.3995, 0.4076, 0.3658, 0.4268, 0.5978, 0.6306, 0.6269, 0.4759, 0.4577, 0.3412, 0.3985, 0.3858, 0.2511, 0.2602, 0.3057, 0.3849, 0.3348, 0.3348, 0.4932, 0.4595, 0.3922, 0.4322, 0.374, 0.4732, 0.4759, 0.5341, 0.3967, 0.3549, 0.2466, 0.313, 0.3176, 0.354, 0.354, 0.4149, 0.5077, 0.6424, 0.7316, 0.717, 0.7698, 0.9063, 0.7898, 0.7571, 0.8781, 0.8653, 0.7989, 0.8699, 0.8535, 0.8207, 0.95, 0.8926, 0.8217, 0.9773, 0.939, 1.0282, 1.1374, 1.3421, 1.1856, 1.1283, 1.1265]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1989444193044066544", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-14T21:23:52+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$40B in capex going to neoclouds like $WULF / $CIFR", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on WULF/CIFR as neocloud beneficiaries of Google's $40B data-center capex; broader market selloff seen as overdone.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@KobeissiLetter Another $40B in capex going to neoclouds like $WULF / $CIFR and the data center buildout by $GOOGL.\n\nMeanwhile markets are selling off indiscriminately for the wrong reasons. https://t.co/S9wmV8d1XD", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "BREAKING: Google, $GOOGL, announces plans to invest $40 billion in 3 new data centers in Texas.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "KobeissiLetter", "ret_m1d": 0.039693639423834526, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.039693639423834526, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03952984383889757, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.045107562737243145, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0054139233134086195, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0006963283737175807, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0006963283737175807, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008620105055527016, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014955175456109027, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015651503829826607, "ret_p1w": -0.014623958437862794, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.014623958437862794, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.004574382302812929, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03725871220724131, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0518826706451041, "ret_p1m": 0.026462404145269014, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.026462404145269014, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.013365791516528835, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03878237722964417, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012319973084375158, "ret_p3m": 0.13370481029750447, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.13370481029750447, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10085205668178321, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.139869257288889, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "bench_c_p3m": -0.00616444699138452, "ret_p6m": 0.41225634899061614, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.41225634899061614, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3057280124000985, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.17421152105138193, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2380448279392342, "price_path": [-0.5989, -0.5857, -0.5891, -0.5557, -0.5376, -0.5042, -0.5132, -0.5111, -0.468, -0.468, -0.4206, -0.4352, -0.4847, -0.4763, -0.4624, -0.3579, -0.2862, -0.3057, -0.2444, -0.2444, -0.1985, -0.1379, -0.1748, -0.1448, -0.0279, -0.0146, -0.0153, -0.188, -0.2013, -0.1191, -0.1233, -0.1226, -0.0383, 0.0237, 0.0682, 0.0968, 0.2256, 0.2528, 0.1818, 0.4164, 0.4547, 0.4645, 0.3036, 0.3064, 0.3865, 0.2587, 0.1219, 0.2016, 0.4387, 0.4304, 0.39, 0.3642, 0.328, 0.2987, 0.585, 0.5675, 0.7208, 0.5118, 0.4408, 0.3684, 0.3001, 0.2103, 0.0397, 0.0, -0.0007, 0.0153, 0.0181, 0.0139, -0.0146, 0.1636, 0.2201, 0.3336, 0.3336, 0.4171, 0.3712, 0.2284, 0.2974, 0.3809, 0.3426, 0.3565, 0.3621, 0.2869, 0.3148, 0.1873, 0.0265, 0.0439, 0.0021, 0.055, 0.1288, 0.1379, 0.1079, 0.1295, 0.1295, 0.0578, 0.0501, 0.016, 0.0279, 0.0279, 0.1281, 0.2646, 0.2214, 0.1198, 0.1525, 0.1581, 0.2312, 0.2709, 0.2625, 0.2201, 0.3092, 0.3092, 0.2479, 0.234, 0.211, 0.2235, 0.1483, 0.3057, 0.321, 0.2326, 0.1114, 0.101, 0.1323, -0.0077, -0.1156, 0.0258, 0.1671, 0.1908, 0.1337, 0.1212, 0.1435, 0.1435, 0.0891, 0.0738, 0.1003, 0.0202, 0.0599, 0.1922, 0.1567, 0.1476, 0.0864, 0.0975, 0.0244, 0.117, 0.055, -0.0515, -0.0035, -0.0279, -0.0174, -0.0453, -0.0195, 0.0543, 0.0508, 0.0216, 0.0195, -0.0244, 0.0369, 0.0362, 0.1058, -0.0007, -0.0428, -0.1633, -0.1038, -0.1198, -0.1072, -0.1072, -0.0703, -0.0244, 0.0738, 0.1393, 0.1511, 0.2368, 0.2848, 0.2535, 0.2075, 0.3489, 0.3433, 0.2563, 0.3538, 0.3015, 0.2674, 0.2646, 0.2019, 0.1783, 0.2354, 0.1866, 0.2458, 0.539, 0.5258, 0.4405, 0.4311, 0.4123]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1989444193044066544", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-11-14T21:23:52+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "markets are selling off indiscriminately for the wrong reasons", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on WULF/CIFR as neocloud beneficiaries of Google's $40B data-center capex; broader market selloff seen as overdone.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@KobeissiLetter Another $40B in capex going to neoclouds like $WULF / $CIFR and the data center buildout by $GOOGL.\n\nMeanwhile markets are selling off indiscriminately for the wrong reasons. https://t.co/S9wmV8d1XD", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "BREAKING: Google, $GOOGL, announces plans to invest $40 billion in 3 new data centers in Texas.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "KobeissiLetter", "ret_m1d": 0.007814494343079126, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007814494343079126, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0076506987581421715, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0024251162596533593, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0053893780834257665, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.031149299925982143, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.031149299925982143, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04046573335522674, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0324967134176356, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0013474134916534597, "ret_p1w": 0.08411413232446474, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08411413232446474, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10331247306514046, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07899422314521032, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005119909179254423, "ret_p1m": 0.11581201565707011, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11581201565707011, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10271540302832993, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0687448263756838, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04706718928138631, "ret_p3m": 0.1257312925264078, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1257312925264078, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09287853891068654, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.073742347165763, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0519889453606448, "ret_p6m": 0.40793743363130264, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.40793743363130264, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.301409097040785, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.363077999564281, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04485943406702164, "price_path": [-0.2714, -0.2795, -0.278, -0.2551, -0.2464, -0.2513, -0.25, -0.235, -0.2304, -0.2304, -0.2361, -0.1663, -0.1603, -0.1506, -0.1533, -0.1331, -0.1347, -0.1304, -0.1288, -0.0897, -0.0913, -0.0972, -0.0882, -0.0785, -0.0864, -0.0895, -0.1059, -0.1108, -0.1081, -0.1171, -0.1205, -0.114, -0.1111, -0.1124, -0.094, -0.1109, -0.115, -0.1262, -0.1441, -0.1167, -0.112, -0.0918, -0.0903, -0.0836, -0.0718, -0.0939, -0.0894, -0.0844, -0.0597, -0.0258, -0.0323, -0.0067, 0.0183, 0.0173, 0.0264, 0.0041, 0.0286, 0.0302, 0.0088, 0.0495, 0.0539, 0.0373, 0.0078, 0.0, 0.0311, 0.0285, 0.0593, 0.0472, 0.0841, 0.1526, 0.1701, 0.1575, 0.1575, 0.1584, 0.1392, 0.1425, 0.1564, 0.1491, 0.1623, 0.1357, 0.1479, 0.1592, 0.1311, 0.1197, 0.1158, 0.1098, 0.0742, 0.095, 0.112, 0.1215, 0.138, 0.1371, 0.1371, 0.135, 0.1351, 0.1362, 0.1331, 0.1331, 0.1409, 0.1459, 0.138, 0.1656, 0.1782, 0.1895, 0.2014, 0.2163, 0.2158, 0.2047, 0.1947, 0.1947, 0.1657, 0.1888, 0.1966, 0.1872, 0.2065, 0.2111, 0.2164, 0.2245, 0.2236, 0.2442, 0.2298, 0.2057, 0.1992, 0.1688, 0.1741, 0.1533, 0.1257, 0.1186, 0.1068, 0.1068, 0.0934, 0.0981, 0.0964, 0.1403, 0.1277, 0.1255, 0.1328, 0.1128, 0.1286, 0.1097, 0.099, 0.0974, 0.0892, 0.0807, 0.1099, 0.1123, 0.1183, 0.0997, 0.0951, 0.107, 0.1264, 0.1147, 0.1126, 0.0904, 0.0943, 0.0522, 0.054, 0.0177, -0.0061, -0.0092, 0.0418, 0.0774, 0.0715, 0.0715, 0.0868, 0.1066, 0.1496, 0.1538, 0.1493, 0.164, 0.206, 0.2213, 0.2173, 0.2378, 0.2224, 0.2038, 0.2293, 0.2277, 0.2477, 0.2692, 0.2672, 0.2677, 0.394, 0.3973, 0.3884, 0.4072, 0.442, 0.4418, 0.452, 0.4079]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1960217004843110858", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-26T05:45:27+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is probably a good indicator to buy Bitcoin | $IBIT at $110k if people are telling you to panic sell at bottoms instead of tops", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author uses Schiff's bearish call as a contrarian buy signal for Bitcoin/IBIT around $110k.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is probably a good indicator to buy Bitcoin | $IBIT at $110k if people are telling you to panic sell at bottoms instead of tops.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Bitcoin just dropped below $109K, down 13% from its high less than two weeks ago. Given all the hype and corporate buying, this weakness should be cause for concern. At a minimum, a decline to about $75K is in play, just below $MSTR's average cost. Sell now and buy back lower.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.015011313181568564, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.015011313181568564, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010841735007058206, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004169578174510358, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.005193022862549412, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005193022862549412, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007471536144558755, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0022785132820093423, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.005385116353172514, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.005385116353172514, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.002194408358993649, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0075795247121661635, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": 0.01364883996215438, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.01364883996215438, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.013899112619734533, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.027547952581888913, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.23892069871998234, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.23892069871998234, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.26325133177687676, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024330633056894424, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.40586992706177316, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.40586992706177316, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4757227405610436, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06985281349927042, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0551, -0.0698, -0.053, -0.057, -0.0632, -0.0915, -0.0663, -0.0135, -0.0138, -0.0279, -0.0525, -0.0511, -0.0448, -0.0644, -0.0619, -0.0637, -0.076, -0.0557, -0.0515, -0.0397, -0.0433, -0.0422, -0.0417, -0.0546, -0.0263, -0.0193, -0.0337, -0.0313, -0.0255, -0.0043, 0.0374, 0.0511, 0.072, 0.0534, 0.062, 0.067, 0.0555, 0.0504, 0.0733, 0.0622, 0.0587, 0.0522, 0.0548, 0.0547, 0.0539, 0.0354, 0.0136, 0.0292, 0.0209, 0.0288, 0.0509, 0.0437, 0.062, 0.0749, 0.1032, 0.0586, 0.05, 0.0398, 0.0092, 0.0221, 0.0055, 0.0454, -0.015, 0.0, -0.0052, 0.0066, -0.0303, -0.0228, -0.0054, -0.0007, -0.0097, -0.0103, 0.0024, -0.0024, 0.0193, 0.0331, 0.0385, 0.0326, 0.0451, 0.0417, 0.0477, 0.0348, 0.0085, 0.0019, 0.0136, -0.0246, -0.0187, 0.0232, 0.0202, 0.0612, 0.0794, 0.0936, 0.1158, 0.0863, 0.1033, 0.0886, 0.0126, 0.031, 0.0118, -0.0091, -0.0323, -0.0477, -0.0109, -0.0297, -0.0368, -0.0155, -0.0069, 0.0207, 0.0103, -0.0156, -0.0313, -0.0201, -0.047, -0.0913, -0.0708, -0.0939, -0.0754, -0.0519, -0.0788, -0.0907, -0.1083, -0.1557, -0.1763, -0.1686, -0.1819, -0.2251, -0.2389, -0.2105, -0.2188, -0.1904, -0.1835, -0.1868, -0.2279, -0.1829, -0.1635, -0.1759, -0.2005, -0.1893, -0.1709, -0.1769, -0.1725, -0.1926, -0.227, -0.2143, -0.2295, -0.2356, -0.212, -0.2085, -0.2181, -0.2164, -0.2197, -0.2191, -0.2206, -0.2091, -0.2173, -0.2064, -0.1955, -0.1603, -0.1617, -0.1833, -0.1858, -0.1904, -0.1843, -0.1474, -0.133, -0.1454, -0.1456, -0.1722, -0.2101, -0.2006, -0.1998, -0.1994, -0.2105, -0.203, -0.2023, -0.2437, -0.2475, -0.2962, -0.3235, -0.3469, -0.4392, -0.3689, -0.3728, -0.3847, -0.4008, -0.4077, -0.3841, -0.3842, -0.3963, -0.4059]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1960217004843110858", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-08-26T05:45:27+00:00", "symbol": "IBIT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is probably a good indicator to buy Bitcoin | $IBIT at $110k if people are telling you to panic sell at bottoms instead of tops", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author uses Schiff's bearish call as a contrarian buy signal for Bitcoin/IBIT around $110k.", "resolved_tickers": ["IBIT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is probably a good indicator to buy Bitcoin | $IBIT at $110k if people are telling you to panic sell at bottoms instead of tops.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Bitcoin just dropped below $109K, down 13% from its high less than two weeks ago. Given all the hype and corporate buying, this weakness should be cause for concern. At a minimum, a decline to about $75K is in play, just below $MSTR's average cost. Sell now and buy back lower.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0034864882935945474, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0034864882935945474, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0006830898809158104, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0006830898809158104, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004169578174510358, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004169578174510358, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008716371870965745, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008716371870965745, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006437858588956402, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006437858588956402, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0022785132820093423, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0022785132820093423, "ret_p1w": -0.0020601783924175665, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0020601783924175665, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.005519346319748597, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.005519346319748597, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0075795247121661635, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0075795247121661635, "ret_p1m": 0.02091917158073442, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.02091917158073442, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.006628781001154493, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.006628781001154493, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.027547952581888913, "bench_c_p1m": 0.027547952581888913, "ret_p3m": -0.23977809222330115, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.23977809222330115, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2641087252801956, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2641087252801956, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024330633056894424, "bench_c_p3m": 0.024330633056894424, "ret_p6m": -0.40507128647675883, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.40507128647675883, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.47492409997602925, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.47492409997602925, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06985281349927042, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06985281349927042, "price_path": [-0.0493, -0.0577, -0.0593, -0.0428, -0.0548, -0.0829, -0.0609, -0.0211, -0.0128, -0.02, -0.038, -0.0532, -0.0206, -0.0571, -0.0655, -0.0655, -0.0702, -0.0702, -0.0482, -0.0289, -0.0311, -0.0377, -0.03, -0.0517, -0.0108, -0.0144, -0.0144, -0.0269, -0.0203, 0.0076, 0.0222, 0.0651, 0.0805, 0.0485, 0.075, 0.0721, 0.0567, 0.0512, 0.0748, 0.0664, 0.0723, 0.0517, 0.0634, 0.0572, 0.0518, 0.051, 0.0177, 0.0333, 0.023, 0.0382, 0.0591, 0.048, 0.0719, 0.0769, 0.1068, 0.0623, 0.0529, 0.0468, 0.0173, 0.0285, 0.0094, 0.0499, -0.0035, 0.0, 0.0087, 0.0076, -0.0263, -0.0263, -0.0021, 0.0106, -0.0119, 0.0051, 0.0095, 0.0019, 0.0227, 0.0306, 0.052, 0.038, 0.0518, 0.0407, 0.0578, 0.036, 0.0087, 0.0049, 0.0209, -0.0158, -0.0184, 0.0296, 0.0301, 0.0577, 0.0899, 0.1063, 0.1298, 0.0956, 0.1103, 0.0894, 0.0491, 0.0429, 0.0128, 0.0011, -0.0265, -0.0417, -0.0027, 0.0062, -0.03, -0.0086, -0.0043, 0.0345, 0.022, -0.0055, -0.0428, -0.0127, -0.0407, -0.0938, -0.0662, -0.0926, -0.0669, -0.0461, -0.0753, -0.0873, -0.119, -0.1525, -0.1743, -0.1655, -0.196, -0.2241, -0.2398, -0.1986, -0.2146, -0.1913, -0.1913, -0.183, -0.2314, -0.1811, -0.1642, -0.1678, -0.1967, -0.1835, -0.1624, -0.1681, -0.1743, -0.1886, -0.2288, -0.2122, -0.2281, -0.2399, -0.209, -0.2062, -0.2132, -0.2162, -0.2162, -0.2138, -0.2174, -0.2103, -0.2132, -0.2132, -0.1927, -0.1528, -0.1688, -0.1832, -0.1835, -0.1892, -0.178, -0.151, -0.1214, -0.1442, -0.1404, -0.1404, -0.1956, -0.19, -0.197, -0.1965, -0.2132, -0.1976, -0.1995, -0.2456, -0.2474, -0.2992, -0.3138, -0.3412, -0.4279, -0.3712, -0.3643, -0.3824, -0.3932, -0.4128, -0.3824, -0.3824, -0.3916, -0.4051]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1993316755113226373", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-25T13:52:03+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Pretty sure institutions know $NBIS is gearing up to become the next hyperscaler. We went from 38% institutional ownership last quarter to 44% this quarter... now at 48.8%-50.42%... institutions tend to acquire that 55-75% sweet spot before having massive ramps up", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish NBIS: rising institutional ownership from 38% to ~50% mirrors pattern seen before massive ramps; MSCI inclusion adding further inflows.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Pretty sure institutions know $NBIS is gearing up to become the next hyperscaler. \n\nWe went from 38% institutional ownership last quarter to 44% this quarter from 13F filings.\n\nNow from Bloomberg terminal data, we're now at 48.8%-50.42% institutional ownership of $NBIS (with likely more after MSCI inclusion yesterday + more inflows the next week or two). \n\nAs I said before with good companies like $HOOD, institutions tend to acquire that 55-75% sweet spot before having massive ramps up. \n\nInstitutions are buying retail capitulation, but just through dark pools.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit NBIS- Future AI hyperscaler", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Spiralout_one", "ret_m1d": 0.03397844695978325, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03397844695978325, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04329679014557941, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04526459276269024, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009318343185796163, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011286145802906988, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06536909729444051, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06536909729444051, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.058465613843813546, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0639693631606244, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006903483450626968, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0013997341338161107, "ret_p1w": 0.08517101630010582, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08517101630010582, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07552685437537643, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07703460819148278, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009644161924729389, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008136408108623039, "ret_p1m": 0.025315032285438965, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.025315032285438965, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.00046193128397042926, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01118795944809503, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.025776963569409395, "bench_c_p1m": 0.036502991733533996, "ret_p3m": 0.10171018446087654, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10171018446087654, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0773447080434968, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07652974935288959, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02436547641737974, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025180435107986954, "ret_p6m": 1.158190968180325, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.158190968180325, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.0538227600869985, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.135902775041199, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10436820809332659, "bench_c_p6m": 0.02228819313912611, "price_path": [-0.1895, -0.2313, -0.2313, -0.2606, -0.2614, -0.2697, -0.2634, -0.2793, 0.077, 0.0507, 0.0035, 0.0172, 0.0234, 0.0062, 0.0585, 0.059, 0.1173, 0.1994, 0.2129, 0.274, 0.2144, 0.2117, 0.2401, 0.2632, 0.3007, 0.4162, 0.4399, 0.4057, 0.3243, 0.3726, 0.4923, 0.4579, 0.5241, 0.4418, 0.4157, 0.3843, 0.2763, 0.2264, 0.1733, 0.1096, 0.1944, 0.3193, 0.4112, 0.3707, 0.4075, 0.3972, 0.4719, 0.3554, 0.2437, 0.3164, 0.2313, 0.252, 0.2371, 0.1501, 0.0617, -0.0028, -0.0601, -0.0326, 0.0187, 0.0696, -0.0477, -0.0632, 0.034, 0.0, 0.0654, 0.0654, 0.0674, 0.1268, 0.0852, 0.113, 0.1566, 0.1031, 0.1288, 0.0847, 0.053, 0.0608, -0.0134, -0.0871, -0.0892, -0.1511, -0.1214, 0.0065, 0.0489, 0.0129, 0.0253, 0.0253, -0.0145, -0.032, -0.0417, -0.0582, -0.0582, 0.012, 0.0444, 0.1278, 0.0825, 0.0947, 0.1018, 0.2076, 0.1862, 0.1474, 0.1688, 0.2233, 0.2233, 0.1171, 0.1124, 0.0897, 0.0632, 0.029, 0.1011, 0.13, 0.0678, -0.0415, -0.0081, 0.012, -0.073, -0.1689, -0.0313, 0.045, 0.0327, -0.003, 0.0096, 0.1027, 0.1027, 0.0972, 0.1454, 0.2107, 0.1017, 0.132, 0.1541, 0.194, 0.18, 0.026, 0.024, -0.0234, 0.1001, 0.0762, 0.0051, 0.0682, 0.0849, 0.2601, 0.2156, 0.2708, 0.461, 0.3088, 0.3339, 0.3672, 0.3234, 0.2843, 0.2929, 0.2949, 0.1923, 0.1343, 0.038, 0.1674, 0.1471, 0.2243, 0.2243, 0.2662, 0.3209, 0.4064, 0.5339, 0.6311, 0.739, 0.822, 0.8764, 0.8603, 0.768, 0.7907, 0.7614, 0.7568, 0.7673, 0.6557, 0.631, 0.5246, 0.5885, 0.5552, 0.7382, 0.9849, 0.9793, 1.195, 1.0789, 0.992, 1.0938, 1.0152, 1.332, 1.4882, 1.4746, 1.2486, 1.2247, 1.1582]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1985023374633193967", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-02T16:37:07+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "lol we have similar longs now that I added $META the other day", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author added META and went long TSM (harder than NVDA) as live held positions.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@pepemoonboy lol we have similar longs now that I added $META the other day. I just went harder on $TSM instead of $NVDA. \n\nWhat convinced you on $NBIS?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$NBIS is my newest high conviction stock.\n\nI’m scooping more up on any major dip.\n\nAI is the future.\n\n$HOOD remains as the pillar of my portfolio.\n\nContinuing to add $META and $NVDA on big drops as well.\n\nHolding my $BTC and never selling.\n\nThat’s my current strategy.\n\nNot https://t.co/TSjfqOUqUu", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "pepemoonboy", "ret_m1d": 0.016684632697255397, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016684632697255397, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.018557894255465168, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005944237284952525, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010740395412302872, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0162927162989287, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0162927162989287, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004439176356481167, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00942592052354052, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006866795775388179, "ret_p1w": -0.00933025629108264, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.00933025629108264, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.006549737528599442, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.006601167682431797, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0027290886086508426, "ret_p1m": 0.014724475485859312, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.014724475485859312, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.017373217385107997, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.000286574656039873, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014437900829819439, "ret_p3m": 0.15869613402467087, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15869613402467087, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1400366379835909, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1006997563605021, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05799637766416876, "ret_p6m": 0.054496224449217534, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.054496224449217534, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.007078651236480438, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.028919164368235828, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "bench_c_p6m": 0.025577060080981706, "price_path": [0.2097, 0.1938, 0.2055, 0.2002, 0.238, 0.2224, 0.2256, 0.2305, 0.2025, 0.1776, 0.1717, 0.1582, 0.1828, 0.1805, 0.1817, 0.1712, 0.177, 0.1576, 0.1576, 0.152, 0.155, 0.1732, 0.1791, 0.1789, 0.1999, 0.1784, 0.1767, 0.184, 0.1983, 0.2207, 0.2156, 0.2227, 0.2198, 0.1999, 0.1846, 0.1928, 0.1744, 0.1663, 0.1657, 0.1516, 0.1249, 0.1401, 0.1142, 0.1222, 0.1182, 0.1257, 0.1502, 0.106, 0.1223, 0.1112, 0.1252, 0.1166, 0.1242, 0.1481, 0.1498, 0.1501, 0.151, 0.1578, 0.1774, 0.1783, 0.1787, 0.0451, 0.0167, 0.0, -0.0163, -0.0028, -0.0294, -0.0251, -0.0093, -0.0167, -0.045, -0.0436, -0.0443, -0.056, -0.0628, -0.0743, -0.0761, -0.0682, -0.0387, -0.0023, -0.0064, -0.0064, 0.0161, 0.005, 0.0147, 0.003, 0.0374, 0.056, 0.0456, 0.0302, 0.0195, 0.0235, 0.0102, 0.0162, 0.0313, 0.0193, 0.0428, 0.0339, 0.0382, 0.0435, 0.0476, 0.0476, 0.041, 0.0337, 0.0451, 0.0359, 0.0359, 0.0207, 0.0339, 0.0368, 0.018, 0.0139, 0.0249, 0.0075, -0.0096, -0.034, -0.0257, -0.0266, -0.0266, -0.0519, -0.038, 0.0164, 0.0339, 0.0552, 0.0562, 0.0495, 0.1587, 0.1245, 0.1086, 0.0855, 0.0499, 0.0518, 0.0381, 0.0628, 0.0526, 0.0494, 0.0198, 0.004, 0.004, 0.0033, 0.0095, 0.0119, 0.029, 0.0001, 0.0033, 0.0259, 0.0311, 0.0172, 0.0257, 0.0281, 0.0479, 0.0367, 0.012, 0.016, 0.0265, 0.0277, 0.0016, -0.0368, -0.0144, -0.022, -0.0329, -0.047, -0.0675, -0.0512, -0.0687, -0.0656, -0.14, -0.1742, -0.1575, -0.1013, -0.0902, -0.0977, -0.0977, -0.0999, -0.0967, -0.0381, -0.013, -0.0107, -0.0033, 0.0406, 0.0549, 0.0632, 0.0815, 0.0538, 0.0506, 0.0598, 0.0353, 0.0603, 0.0659, 0.0545]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1985023374633193967", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-02T16:37:07+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I just went harder on $TSM instead of $NVDA", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author added META and went long TSM (harder than NVDA) as live held positions.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@pepemoonboy lol we have similar longs now that I added $META the other day. I just went harder on $TSM instead of $NVDA. \n\nWhat convinced you on $NBIS?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$NBIS is my newest high conviction stock.\n\nI’m scooping more up on any major dip.\n\nAI is the future.\n\n$HOOD remains as the pillar of my portfolio.\n\nContinuing to add $META and $NVDA on big drops as well.\n\nHolding my $BTC and never selling.\n\nThat’s my current strategy.\n\nNot https://t.co/TSjfqOUqUu", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "pepemoonboy", "ret_m1d": -0.014531198633646158, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014531198633646158, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012657937075436387, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012657937075436387, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03545892694762087, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03545892694762087, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02360538700517334, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02360538700517334, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "bench_c_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "ret_p1w": -0.03145711995918976, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03145711995918976, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.028676601196706564, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.028676601196706564, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "ret_p1m": -0.04188806938706735, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04188806938706735, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.039239327487818665, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.039239327487818665, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "ret_p3m": 0.11679675869437034, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11679675869437034, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09813726265329037, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09813726265329037, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "ret_p6m": 0.294061901029939, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.294061901029939, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2466443278172019, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2466443278172019, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "bench_c_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "price_path": [-0.2434, -0.2067, -0.2092, -0.2084, -0.2012, -0.2105, -0.212, -0.2189, -0.2106, -0.2391, -0.2525, -0.2567, -0.2382, -0.2296, -0.2194, -0.2176, -0.2209, -0.2451, -0.2451, -0.2532, -0.2434, -0.2309, -0.2041, -0.1917, -0.1795, -0.1484, -0.1534, -0.152, -0.1453, -0.1404, -0.138, -0.1188, -0.1312, -0.1057, -0.0727, -0.0792, -0.0925, -0.1033, -0.1038, -0.0839, -0.0538, -0.0549, -0.0416, -0.0081, -0.0355, -0.0011, -0.0163, -0.0794, -0.0065, -0.0293, -0.0005, -0.0165, -0.0321, -0.0235, -0.0339, -0.0524, -0.0463, -0.0325, -0.0217, -0.0109, 0.0008, -0.0054, -0.0145, 0.0, -0.0355, -0.0368, -0.0512, -0.0602, -0.0315, -0.0449, -0.0467, -0.0743, -0.0657, -0.075, -0.0884, -0.0738, -0.0897, -0.0977, -0.0663, -0.0662, -0.0489, -0.0489, -0.0438, -0.0564, -0.0419, -0.0309, -0.0391, -0.0333, -0.0098, -0.0048, 0.0173, 0.0027, -0.0395, -0.0536, -0.0565, -0.0891, -0.0637, -0.0496, -0.0354, -0.0233, -0.0172, -0.0172, -0.0039, -0.0103, -0.0147, -0.0005, -0.0005, 0.0512, 0.0599, 0.0769, 0.0482, 0.046, 0.0644, 0.0912, 0.0894, 0.0759, 0.1237, 0.1262, 0.1262, 0.076, 0.0726, 0.0767, 0.1014, 0.0943, 0.1128, 0.1258, 0.1168, 0.0872, 0.1227, 0.1043, 0.0714, 0.0878, 0.1474, 0.169, 0.1903, 0.2304, 0.2107, 0.205, 0.205, 0.1979, 0.1915, 0.1853, 0.2187, 0.2171, 0.2688, 0.2753, 0.2393, 0.232, 0.214, 0.1615, 0.1756, 0.1639, 0.1146, 0.1469, 0.1416, 0.1662, 0.1075, 0.1127, 0.119, 0.1412, 0.12, 0.1174, 0.0859, 0.1163, 0.1321, 0.147, 0.0756, 0.0777, 0.0439, 0.1147, 0.1263, 0.1183, 0.1183, 0.1272, 0.139, 0.2069, 0.2055, 0.2224, 0.219, 0.253, 0.2372, 0.1984, 0.222, 0.208, 0.214, 0.2779, 0.2621, 0.3274, 0.3358, 0.2941]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1969858558574670206", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-21T20:17:33+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "NBIS has a clear path to $60b+ marketcap from $24b and why I'm taking a $1M position", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS with $1M position; sees path to $60B+ market cap from $24B on MSFT+NVDA backing.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$ALAB went from $96 to $244, a 154% increase since I called it out 2 months ago (though a tad overvalued now) \n\nSimilar thesis with $NBIS is happening now with backing from $MSFT + $NVDA.\n\nNBIS has a clear path to $60b+ marketcap from $24b and why I’m taking a $1M position.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I just bought long term ~$175k+ positions in $ALAB and plan to scale this to ~$500k as a potential $50B+ moonshot.  \n\nNVDA-like profit margins (76%), 144%+ Y/Y growth, customers like NVDA, AWS, MSFT, GOOGL, NVDA, AMD at 16B market cap. \n\nUnreal customers + growth/margins. https://t.co/bRCBgtoGSB", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06838650112454847, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06838650112454847, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06367767858332152, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07188632065539091, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0047088225412269535, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0034998195308424407, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011257078750597227, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011257078750597227, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01670064513942604, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012690665647306032, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005443566388828813, "bench_c_p1d": -0.001433586896708805, "ret_p1w": 0.03395875045402419, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03395875045402419, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0386975813257846, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.034211679241166526, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004738830871760413, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0002529287871423369, "ret_p1m": -0.02176359970012043, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02176359970012043, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.028436771240072378, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.005487703476814709, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.00667317153995195, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01627589622330572, "ret_p3m": -0.2674484291212419, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2674484291212419, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.28188952396505595, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24965457165159954, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014441094843814062, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01779385746964235, "ret_p6m": 0.09127583017082053, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.09127583017082053, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08238010911942428, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.11519637919076353, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.008895721051396244, "bench_c_p6m": -0.023920549019943005, "price_path": [-0.5448, -0.5066, -0.5137, -0.481, -0.528, -0.5312, -0.5286, -0.5286, -0.5512, -0.5582, -0.568, -0.5644, -0.5844, -0.5127, -0.4978, -0.4999, -0.4963, -0.5048, -0.5087, -0.5215, -0.5133, -0.5107, -0.5181, -0.5052, -0.5272, -0.5189, -0.4894, -0.5122, -0.4918, -0.4825, -0.4832, -0.3873, -0.3548, -0.3411, -0.2933, -0.3374, -0.3578, -0.3281, -0.3195, -0.3697, -0.3671, -0.3792, -0.3529, -0.3432, -0.3388, -0.3424, -0.3242, -0.3591, -0.3591, -0.3835, -0.3841, -0.3911, -0.3858, -0.3991, -0.1021, -0.1239, -0.1633, -0.1519, -0.1467, -0.1611, -0.1174, -0.1171, -0.0684, 0.0, 0.0113, 0.0622, 0.0126, 0.0103, 0.034, 0.0532, 0.0845, 0.1808, 0.2006, 0.172, 0.1041, 0.1445, 0.2443, 0.2156, 0.2707, 0.2022, 0.1804, 0.1542, 0.0642, 0.0225, -0.0218, -0.0749, -0.0041, 0.1, 0.1766, 0.1429, 0.1735, 0.1649, 0.2272, 0.1301, 0.037, 0.0976, 0.0266, 0.0439, 0.0314, -0.0411, -0.1148, -0.1686, -0.2163, -0.1934, -0.1507, -0.1082, -0.206, -0.2189, -0.1379, -0.1662, -0.1117, -0.1117, -0.11, -0.0605, -0.0952, -0.072, -0.0356, -0.0803, -0.0588, -0.0956, -0.122, -0.1156, -0.1774, -0.2388, -0.2406, -0.2922, -0.2674, -0.1608, -0.1254, -0.1554, -0.1451, -0.1451, -0.1783, -0.1929, -0.201, -0.2148, -0.2148, -0.1562, -0.1292, -0.0597, -0.0975, -0.0872, -0.0813, 0.0068, -0.011, -0.0433, -0.0255, 0.02, 0.02, -0.0686, -0.0725, -0.0915, -0.1135, -0.142, -0.0819, -0.0579, -0.1097, -0.2008, -0.173, -0.1562, -0.2271, -0.307, -0.1923, -0.1287, -0.1389, -0.1688, -0.1583, -0.0806, -0.0806, -0.0852, -0.045, 0.0095, -0.0814, -0.0562, -0.0377, -0.0045, -0.0161, -0.1446, -0.1462, -0.1857, -0.0827, -0.1027, -0.162, -0.1094, -0.0954, 0.0506, 0.0135, 0.0596, 0.2181, 0.0913]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1974148034104786961", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-03T16:22:23+00:00", "symbol": "RDDT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the sell off was stupid since its immaterial to earnings", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "ChatGPT citation drop is immaterial to earnings; selloff was unwarranted, implying RDDT is a buy.", "resolved_tickers": ["RDDT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So I was saying nobody cares that ChatGPT cites Reddit less because nobody visits $RDDT through ChatGPT.\n\nSo the sell off was stupid since its immaterial to earnings.\n\nWhat was i saying about network effect in that since everyone is on Reddit, its hard for someone to make a Reddit competitor, which is really easy to code.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Sorry if this is a dumb question, but when you say network effect moat, does that mean that the more users and content the platform has, the more difficult it is for the platform to lose that base? So in this case, Reddit likely wouldn't lose users over the ChatGPT narrative?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Neat_Lama", "ret_m1d": -0.030308874863862023, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.030308874863862023, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03032364244416197, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.030824316643251803, "bench_spy_m1d": 1.4767580299945848e-05, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0005154417793897803, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.017229691689240045, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.017229691689240045, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.020815920599576154, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01826070719267059, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003586228910336109, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0010310155034305435, "ret_p1w": -0.04174707540485689, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04174707540485689, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.017554293357831763, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.010902506269785062, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02419278204702513, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03084456913507183, "ret_p1m": -0.010714291763516126, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.010714291763516126, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03182872124877889, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.013342780631413254, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.021114429485262765, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02405707239492938, "ret_p3m": 0.10941118968552965, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10941118968552965, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0874076784869342, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09470971874676781, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02200351119859545, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01470147093876184, "ret_p6m": -0.4009169928490627, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4009169928490627, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3506463150262993, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.33446056239124966, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0502706778227634, "bench_c_p6m": -0.06645643045781302, "price_path": [-0.2956, -0.2971, -0.3098, -0.2973, -0.2935, -0.3012, -0.3035, -0.3122, -0.2846, -0.294, -0.2963, -0.2949, -0.2851, -0.2777, -0.2683, -0.3009, -0.2793, -0.225, -0.0896, -0.0263, -0.0391, 0.0271, 0.0223, 0.0398, 0.0654, 0.0812, 0.1331, 0.175, 0.1897, 0.1668, 0.1013, 0.0539, 0.0553, 0.0488, 0.0605, 0.059, 0.0188, 0.0885, 0.0863, 0.0863, 0.0621, 0.0769, 0.1202, 0.1583, 0.1099, 0.1593, 0.2501, 0.2574, 0.2273, 0.2724, 0.287, 0.2861, 0.3065, 0.2764, 0.2431, 0.146, 0.1375, 0.1233, 0.1588, 0.1679, 0.11, -0.0222, -0.0303, 0.0, -0.0172, -0.0062, -0.0237, 0.0217, -0.0417, -0.017, -0.0524, -0.0311, -0.0397, -0.0591, -0.0228, -0.0072, -0.049, -0.0308, 0.0338, 0.0581, 0.0278, 0.0172, -0.0617, 0.0084, -0.0107, -0.0938, -0.0528, -0.1137, -0.0609, -0.0145, 0.0049, -0.0211, -0.0858, -0.067, -0.0948, -0.1038, -0.0937, -0.1222, -0.1145, -0.0589, 0.0544, 0.0017, 0.0017, 0.0447, 0.0782, 0.0751, 0.0658, 0.075, 0.1299, 0.1436, 0.1395, 0.1492, 0.1271, 0.0848, 0.0545, 0.0811, 0.0972, 0.1165, 0.1254, 0.1252, 0.0899, 0.09, 0.09, 0.0896, 0.1325, 0.1263, 0.1094, 0.1094, 0.1674, 0.1778, 0.225, 0.2331, 0.2256, 0.1803, 0.1777, 0.2497, 0.2181, 0.104, 0.1149, 0.1149, 0.0876, 0.0141, 0.0354, 0.0564, 0.031, -0.0526, -0.0679, -0.0828, -0.13, -0.145, -0.2017, -0.2631, -0.271, -0.3251, -0.3159, -0.2762, -0.3278, -0.3674, -0.326, -0.326, -0.328, -0.2883, -0.2947, -0.2752, -0.3125, -0.3143, -0.2777, -0.27, -0.2963, -0.29, -0.2969, -0.2891, -0.3034, -0.3273, -0.3298, -0.3527, -0.3382, -0.3617, -0.3612, -0.3243, -0.3034, -0.3109, -0.3334, -0.325, -0.3197, -0.3431, -0.3261, -0.3858, -0.412, -0.4009]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2009642945574760550", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-09T15:06:30+00:00", "symbol": "VLN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "hope it rerates to $500m MC, which was my base case projection if things go as planned", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long VLN; base case is a rerate to $500M market cap on markets mispricing the stock.", "resolved_tickers": ["VLN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Jetson_Dad Thanks, I’m just posting my own thesis on what I found with the markets mispricing from $VLN with novel information synthesis.\n\nAny premiums aside hope it rerates to $500m MC, which was my base case projection if things go as planned.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thank you! I think this is a banger.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Jetson_Dad", "ret_m1d": -0.37096776984608737, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.37096776984608737, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.36439787640680144, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.3446587667058081, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006569893439285934, "bench_c_m1d": -0.026309003140279286, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06854841733326134, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06854841733326134, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07011887114503312, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07224813070073988, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0015704538117717881, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003699713367478541, "ret_p1w": -0.19758064748717397, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.19758064748717397, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.19410836617330818, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2262791043822514, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.003472281313865788, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02869845689507744, "ret_p1m": -0.3870967865982611, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3870967865982611, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.38692395731858265, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.4318786390753073, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00017282927967843253, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04478185247704625, "ret_p3m": -0.471774220683696, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.471774220683696, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.44841378636724327, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5583576750317217, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.02336043431645274, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08658345434802572, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2661, -0.2581, -0.2863, -0.3105, -0.2742, -0.2863, -0.3024, -0.2903, -0.2823, -0.2944, -0.2903, -0.3105, -0.3145, -0.2621, -0.3065, -0.3589, -0.3306, -0.371, -0.3629, -0.3548, -0.2742, -0.3145, -0.3065, -0.2984, -0.371, -0.3871, -0.4153, -0.4274, -0.3952, -0.3831, -0.379, -0.3669, -0.3669, -0.3548, -0.3669, -0.3629, -0.3266, -0.3226, -0.3226, -0.3145, -0.3145, -0.3226, -0.3427, -0.3589, -0.379, -0.3831, -0.4032, -0.4032, -0.3992, -0.4113, -0.4355, -0.4435, -0.4435, -0.4194, -0.4315, -0.4435, -0.4274, -0.4274, -0.371, -0.3669, -0.3589, -0.375, -0.371, 0.0, -0.0685, -0.0565, -0.1573, -0.1573, -0.1976, -0.1976, -0.2177, -0.2097, -0.1532, -0.2097, -0.2581, -0.2581, -0.2863, -0.2903, -0.3145, -0.3266, -0.3548, -0.379, -0.4234, -0.379, -0.3871, -0.375, -0.379, -0.3952, -0.3871, -0.3871, -0.4113, -0.3992, -0.3992, -0.3911, -0.4032, -0.3831, -0.379, -0.3548, -0.4032, -0.4032, -0.4194, -0.4194, -0.4355, -0.4556, -0.4556, -0.4435, -0.4234, -0.4556, -0.4637, -0.4637, -0.4597, -0.496, -0.4839, -0.5081, -0.4919, -0.496, -0.4919, -0.5081, -0.5242, -0.5524, -0.5444, -0.5282, -0.5202, -0.5202, -0.5202, -0.5242, -0.4718, -0.4597, -0.4637, -0.4556, -0.4435, -0.4073, -0.375, -0.3871, -0.4073, -0.3952, -0.3508, -0.3347, -0.2782, -0.3508, -0.3911, -0.3911, -0.125, -0.0565, -0.0927, -0.0242, 0.0081, -0.0282, 0.125, 0.1492, 0.0887, 0.1895, 0.3589, 0.2298, 0.1371, 0.0726, 0.1694, 0.2339, 0.2984, 0.2984, 0.3145, 0.2702, 0.4113, 0.4234, 0.4234, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1967994245362630899", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-16T16:49:26+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Good time to buy the HIMS dip on the 8% drop. But aside from weekly macro should go up $60+.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Buy HIMS dip; FDA news seen as immaterial, targets $60+. RKLB flagged negatively on dilution.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "FDA news is immaterial since it's just $HIMS is strongly worded letter to modify their advertisements and has nothing to do with fundamentals. \n\nCompared to $RKLB that had dilution and dropped 10%. \n\nGood time to buy the HIMS dip on the 8% drop. Only main worry is macro tomorrow for a sell the news event.\n\nBut aside from weekly macro should go up $60+.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit what do you think about $HIMS dropping so much today? are people shorting because of the FDA news?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mattia030339", "ret_m1d": 0.06032618847797999, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06032618847797999, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05894749752093542, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05894749752093542, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0013786909570445705, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0013786909570445705, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010611140145487696, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010611140145487696, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009368704852939058, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009368704852939058, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012424352925486382, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012424352925486382, "ret_p1w": 0.10041266794337966, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10041266794337966, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09276304551426096, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09276304551426096, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007649622429118708, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007649622429118708, "ret_p1m": 0.23324816416286387, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.23324816416286387, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.22262078190370582, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.22262078190370582, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010627382259158047, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010627382259158047, "ret_p3m": -0.2688151005943702, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2688151005943702, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3046486616422237, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3046486616422237, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03583356104785351, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03583356104785351, "ret_p6m": -0.4914521620915785, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4914521620915785, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.522072008787635, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.522072008787635, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030619846696056552, "bench_c_p6m": 0.030619846696056552, "price_path": [0.2, 0.2619, -0.1751, -0.156, -0.1863, -0.0906, -0.0291, -0.0204, -0.0576, -0.0674, -0.0572, -0.0572, -0.0485, -0.0379, 0.0069, -0.0122, -0.059, 0.0224, -0.0084, 0.0189, -0.0177, -0.01, -0.0646, -0.0173, 0.1401, 0.1264, 0.1328, 0.1531, 0.1843, 0.2877, 0.3005, 0.2291, 0.2448, 0.091, 0.0047, 0.0031, 0.0206, -0.0179, -0.0576, -0.0503, -0.0739, -0.0957, -0.1138, -0.1712, -0.1476, -0.1362, -0.1242, -0.1552, -0.1089, -0.1352, -0.133, -0.1678, -0.1678, -0.1839, -0.1264, -0.0546, -0.0487, -0.0246, -0.0609, -0.0611, 0.0171, 0.0906, 0.0603, 0.0, -0.0106, 0.1043, 0.1362, 0.1338, 0.1004, 0.0464, 0.0782, 0.1476, 0.1617, 0.1146, 0.1065, 0.1372, 0.0324, 0.076, 0.1391, 0.1431, 0.1446, 0.0601, 0.0755, 0.0615, 0.2332, 0.1623, -0.0218, 0.0092, -0.0301, -0.0674, -0.0472, -0.0415, -0.0523, -0.0741, -0.0837, -0.1342, -0.1067, -0.1277, -0.1592, -0.1407, -0.1841, -0.1938, -0.1934, -0.2189, -0.2332, -0.2916, -0.2733, -0.3008, -0.2875, -0.2959, -0.3394, -0.3179, -0.2576, -0.2712, -0.2454, -0.2454, -0.2187, -0.2629, -0.2865, -0.2716, -0.2136, -0.2297, -0.2313, -0.2175, -0.2556, -0.2578, -0.2688, -0.2877, -0.2757, -0.3128, -0.3168, -0.3012, -0.3113, -0.3162, -0.3187, -0.3187, -0.3258, -0.3299, -0.3508, -0.362, -0.362, -0.3435, -0.3179, -0.3032, -0.3032, -0.3344, -0.3773, -0.3645, -0.3673, -0.3846, -0.3863, -0.3834, -0.3834, -0.4013, -0.4323, -0.4003, -0.418, -0.405, -0.4168, -0.4366, -0.413, -0.4677, -0.4804, -0.4981, -0.5205, -0.5386, -0.5477, -0.6202, -0.6612, -0.672, -0.6895, -0.6797, -0.6797, -0.6803, -0.6887, -0.6891, -0.6929, -0.6952, -0.6962, -0.6891, -0.6935, -0.7147, -0.6762, -0.6891, -0.6768, -0.688, -0.6907, -0.5646, -0.5388, -0.4915]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1967994245362630899", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-16T16:49:26+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$RKLB that had dilution and dropped 10%", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Buy HIMS dip; FDA news seen as immaterial, targets $60+. RKLB flagged negatively on dilution.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "FDA news is immaterial since it's just $HIMS is strongly worded letter to modify their advertisements and has nothing to do with fundamentals. \n\nCompared to $RKLB that had dilution and dropped 10%. \n\nGood time to buy the HIMS dip on the 8% drop. Only main worry is macro tomorrow for a sell the news event.\n\nBut aside from weekly macro should go up $60+.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit what do you think about $HIMS dropping so much today? are people shorting because of the FDA news?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mattia030339", "ret_m1d": 0.14382478859697367, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.14382478859697367, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1424460976399291, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1408609067688147, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0013786909570445705, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0029638818281589874, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.017673889682456867, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.017673889682456867, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.018916324975005505, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.022218515255269522, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012424352925486382, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004544625572812655, "ret_p1w": 0.11990689054083448, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11990689054083448, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11225726811171577, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10777313120787646, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007649622429118708, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012133759332958016, "ret_p1m": 0.4661868601782819, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.4661868601782819, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.4555594779191239, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.4569630625264789, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010627382259158047, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009223797651803034, "ret_p3m": 0.3015134526115597, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3015134526115597, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2656798915637062, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2649095932694221, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03583356104785351, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03660385934213761, "ret_p6m": 0.5231241551771568, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5231241551771568, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4925043084811003, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3983587230483041, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030619846696056552, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12476543212885272, "price_path": [-0.4105, -0.3642, -0.3062, -0.2918, -0.3153, -0.2351, -0.2511, -0.2429, -0.2734, -0.2448, -0.2452, -0.2452, -0.1771, -0.18, -0.1716, -0.1724, -0.1739, -0.0854, -0.056, 0.0094, 0.0865, 0.0877, -0.0012, -0.0077, 0.0403, 0.0187, 0.0039, -0.0452, -0.0731, -0.017, -0.028, -0.0515, -0.0573, -0.0528, -0.0666, -0.0642, -0.0541, -0.0471, -0.0807, -0.0899, -0.0939, -0.063, -0.0482, -0.1339, -0.1387, -0.121, -0.0606, -0.0005, 0.0187, -0.0211, 0.0141, 0.0287, 0.0287, 0.0437, -0.0786, -0.0901, -0.0297, 0.0103, -0.0046, -0.0228, 0.0251, 0.129, 0.1438, 0.0, 0.0177, -0.0014, 0.0115, 0.0543, 0.1199, 0.0306, -0.013, -0.0208, -0.005, 0.0141, 0.0153, 0.1106, 0.1887, 0.2382, 0.3019, 0.3824, 0.4059, 0.3601, 0.3847, 0.4399, 0.4662, 0.4181, 0.4027, 0.4255, 0.3843, 0.2819, 0.3455, 0.3665, 0.3889, 0.3493, 0.4004, 0.2894, 0.3331, 0.2983, 0.1974, 0.1942, 0.0501, 0.093, 0.0985, 0.0846, 0.0577, -0.0422, -0.0361, -0.0833, -0.0945, -0.0767, -0.1644, -0.147, -0.1015, -0.0983, -0.1125, -0.1125, -0.1081, -0.1455, -0.1131, -0.0534, 0.045, 0.0383, 0.0913, 0.1309, 0.2175, 0.3447, 0.3015, 0.1728, 0.1745, 0.1421, 0.2683, 0.4926, 0.6414, 0.6336, 0.6336, 0.6336, 0.4954, 0.4842, 0.4912, 0.4766, 0.4766, 0.6084, 0.6539, 0.8209, 0.7797, 0.7585, 0.796, 0.8605, 0.8326, 0.9431, 0.921, 1.0383, 1.0383, 0.8872, 0.8588, 0.8622, 0.8817, 0.7035, 0.8415, 0.8747, 0.8135, 0.6948, 0.5695, 0.7202, 0.5475, 0.4037, 0.5307, 0.6052, 0.5246, 0.4736, 0.3972, 0.4275, 0.4275, 0.4793, 0.5752, 0.6209, 0.4998, 0.4861, 0.481, 0.4859, 0.5377, 0.4626, 0.5022, 0.4844, 0.5221, 0.4816, 0.484, 0.513, 0.459, 0.5231]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1983549684317815177", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-29T15:01:11+00:00", "symbol": "WULF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "i personally like $WULF and $GLXY on there", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author personally likes WULF and GLXY among the crypto/energy stocks mentioned.", "resolved_tickers": ["WULF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thanks! I'm not here to make any argument for individual stocks here like $APLD, $GLXY, $API, $NNE and others that you mentioned.\n\nI just wanted to give a broader overview of macro and how you could position with the examples above.\n\nIf those are your top picks, then great! (i personally like $WULF and $GLXY on there)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Glad I found you, great write up. Went through several of your posts but did not find anything on some favs (WULF, HOND (now IMSR), APLD, GLXY, NNE, ASPI, OKLO, Quantum stocks. Are you avoiding those?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Sierra_Econ0001", "ret_m1d": 0.09931031588850359, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.09931031588850359, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0997904722674976, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0997904722674976, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0004801563789940122, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0004801563789940122, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.022068944470635676, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.022068944470635676, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03306708840771255, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03306708840771255, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010998143937076876, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010998143937076876, "ret_p1w": 0.05931032115015489, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05931032115015489, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07358177961734247, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07358177961734247, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014271458467187581, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014271458467187581, "ret_p1m": 0.023448286385371775, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.023448286385371775, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.034664675103973974, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.034664675103973974, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0112163887186022, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0112163887186022, "ret_p3m": -0.04896551987220499, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.04896551987220499, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0597117536093299, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0597117536093299, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01074623373712491, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01074623373712491, "ret_p6m": 0.404827644085062, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.404827644085062, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3683216501671618, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3683216501671618, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.036505993917900215, "bench_c_p6m": 0.036505993917900215, "price_path": [-0.6717, -0.6628, -0.651, -0.6448, -0.6593, -0.6531, -0.6276, -0.6386, -0.6234, -0.3993, -0.3814, -0.3531, -0.3945, -0.36, -0.3662, -0.3683, -0.3841, -0.3628, -0.3703, -0.349, -0.3483, -0.3483, -0.3359, -0.3807, -0.3883, -0.3703, -0.3655, -0.2897, -0.2724, -0.2662, -0.2579, -0.2766, -0.2455, -0.2172, -0.2297, -0.2428, -0.2076, -0.2248, -0.2138, -0.2434, -0.2531, -0.2, -0.2124, -0.209, -0.2014, -0.1779, -0.1745, -0.1655, -0.1517, -0.0628, -0.0683, -0.0345, 0.0662, 0.0669, -0.0441, -0.0393, -0.0448, -0.0938, -0.1297, -0.1117, -0.0545, -0.0593, 0.0993, 0.0, 0.0221, 0.069, 0.1103, 0.0352, 0.0593, -0.0152, -0.0386, -0.0138, -0.1469, -0.1283, -0.1945, -0.2421, -0.2379, -0.1724, -0.1566, -0.2028, -0.2214, -0.129, -0.0386, 0.0234, 0.0234, 0.0697, 0.0552, -0.0193, -0.0048, 0.0414, 0.0, 0.0317, 0.0752, 0.0869, 0.0917, -0.0117, -0.1386, -0.1041, -0.2021, -0.1869, -0.1366, -0.14, -0.1434, -0.151, -0.151, -0.1897, -0.2124, -0.231, -0.2076, -0.2076, -0.1214, -0.0607, -0.091, -0.1386, -0.1145, -0.0966, -0.0476, -0.0248, -0.02, -0.0462, -0.0448, -0.0448, -0.0807, -0.0952, -0.111, -0.0262, -0.049, 0.0559, 0.0421, 0.0028, -0.0779, -0.0731, 0.0207, -0.0428, -0.1779, -0.0145, 0.1483, 0.1469, 0.1055, 0.0972, 0.1214, 0.1214, 0.1159, 0.0607, 0.0669, 0.0352, 0.0814, 0.211, 0.2359, 0.2331, 0.1186, 0.1048, 0.0166, 0.06, 0.0503, -0.0517, -0.0448, -0.0103, 0.0497, 0.0117, 0.0117, 0.1317, 0.1062, 0.0552, 0.0855, 0.0414, 0.1166, 0.1186, 0.1628, 0.0586, 0.0269, -0.0552, -0.0048, -0.0014, 0.0262, 0.0262, 0.0724, 0.1428, 0.2448, 0.3124, 0.3014, 0.3414, 0.4448, 0.3566, 0.3317, 0.4234, 0.4138, 0.3634, 0.4172, 0.4048]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1983549684317815177", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-29T15:01:11+00:00", "symbol": "GLXY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "i personally like $WULF and $GLXY on there", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author personally likes WULF and GLXY among the crypto/energy stocks mentioned.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLXY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thanks! I'm not here to make any argument for individual stocks here like $APLD, $GLXY, $API, $NNE and others that you mentioned.\n\nI just wanted to give a broader overview of macro and how you could position with the examples above.\n\nIf those are your top picks, then great! (i personally like $WULF and $GLXY on there)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Glad I found you, great write up. Went through several of your posts but did not find anything on some favs (WULF, HOND (now IMSR), APLD, GLXY, NNE, ASPI, OKLO, Quantum stocks. Are you avoiding those?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Sierra_Econ0001", "ret_m1d": 0.02360693393212454, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02360693393212454, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.024087090311118553, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006329110406345206, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0004801563789940122, "bench_c_m1d": 0.017277823525779334, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.063134757556776, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.063134757556776, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.052136613619699124, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06582239108898746, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010998143937076876, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002687633532211464, "ret_p1w": -0.13697501315719762, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.13697501315719762, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.12270355469001004, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.14676572565302037, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014271458467187581, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009790712495822751, "ret_p1m": -0.2797145333158253, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2797145333158253, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2684981445972231, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2962244404419654, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0112163887186022, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01650990712614009, "ret_p3m": -0.14136699355993665, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14136699355993665, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.15211322729706156, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17029135216950864, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01074623373712491, "bench_c_p3m": 0.028924358609571987, "ret_p6m": -0.27861651203687243, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.27861651203687243, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.31512250595477265, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.28165442063325186, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.036505993917900215, "bench_c_p6m": 0.003037908596379424, "price_path": [-0.2621, -0.207, -0.2402, -0.2495, -0.2289, -0.2374, -0.2182, -0.2341, -0.2221, -0.2158, -0.2838, -0.2646, -0.3386, -0.3272, -0.3442, -0.2981, -0.3261, -0.3214, -0.3299, -0.3272, -0.3552, -0.3552, -0.3368, -0.3305, -0.3711, -0.3552, -0.3352, -0.2704, -0.2841, -0.2075, -0.1847, -0.1554, -0.1263, -0.0939, -0.092, -0.0977, -0.0752, -0.0903, -0.0587, -0.1184, -0.1518, -0.0587, -0.0719, -0.0165, 0.0025, -0.0074, 0.0662, 0.0865, 0.1362, 0.1589, 0.081, 0.1318, 0.1293, 0.1507, 0.0955, 0.0371, 0.0884, 0.1765, 0.025, 0.0596, 0.0931, 0.1131, 0.0236, 0.0, -0.0631, -0.039, -0.0425, -0.1444, -0.137, -0.1661, -0.1337, -0.1274, -0.1562, -0.1416, -0.2523, -0.277, -0.3127, -0.2978, -0.2929, -0.3404, -0.3571, -0.3198, -0.3006, -0.2797, -0.2797, -0.2701, -0.3192, -0.3039, -0.2575, -0.2432, -0.2998, -0.2838, -0.1916, -0.1897, -0.1803, -0.2657, -0.3264, -0.3327, -0.3739, -0.3821, -0.3412, -0.3245, -0.325, -0.3294, -0.3294, -0.3577, -0.3643, -0.3747, -0.3862, -0.3862, -0.3206, -0.2781, -0.2841, -0.2998, -0.3, -0.3154, -0.3003, -0.2638, -0.2262, -0.1219, -0.0582, -0.0582, -0.1189, -0.1093, -0.1512, -0.1243, -0.1414, -0.0892, -0.1243, -0.1776, -0.2243, -0.2742, -0.3967, -0.4466, -0.5377, -0.4576, -0.4194, -0.4183, -0.44, -0.4469, -0.4054, -0.4054, -0.4153, -0.4035, -0.4063, -0.4181, -0.4417, -0.4087, -0.3733, -0.3977, -0.4348, -0.4035, -0.4323, -0.3319, -0.3761, -0.4358, -0.41, -0.4008, -0.4109, -0.4337, -0.3865, -0.3659, -0.3549, -0.4076, -0.4222, -0.4312, -0.4043, -0.4153, -0.4145, -0.4617, -0.5059, -0.5292, -0.4935, -0.5232, -0.5158, -0.5158, -0.4982, -0.4886, -0.4785, -0.4194, -0.4054, -0.3824, -0.3489, -0.3401, -0.3294, -0.2907, -0.2643, -0.3151, -0.2643, -0.2786]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1999242313735016715", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-11T22:18:06+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "AAOI already has direct hyperscaler customers with $MSFT and $AMZN... Amazon has a financial incentive in $AAOI like $ALAB, but Astera is already a $30B company, while AAOI is a $2.5B MC", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AAOI: direct hyperscaler customers (MSFT, AMZN), Amazon equity incentive like ALAB, but only $2.5B MC vs ALAB's $30B — significantly undervalued.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I've looked into $POET but didn't like it as much compared to $AAOI given AAOI already has direct hyperscaler customers with $MSFT and $AMZN.  \n\n$POET had Celestial that got acquired $MRVL, where Celestial used poet’s interposer to connect tpus/trainium, and Marvell sells that to hyperscalers.   \n\nBut it's not quite the same de-risking few hops away as direct massive volume orders from $AMZN and $MSFT and equity agreements that Amazon has like they did with $ALAB.   \n\nAmazon has a financial incentive in $AAOI like $ALAB, but Astera is already a $30B company, while AAOI is a $2.5B MC.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit How about $Poet ? Did you have a look at it as well", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "krishnaasw22479", "ret_m1d": -0.0368942776389628, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0368942776389628, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03457273162559127, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03457273162559127, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.11729070367091099, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.11729070367091099, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.10653873474337705, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.10653873474337705, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "ret_p1w": -0.19465858354155574, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.19465858354155574, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1762305939531975, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1762305939531975, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "ret_p1m": -0.06277529731427245, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06277529731427245, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07286121901034692, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07286121901034692, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "ret_p3m": 2.317455916194293, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.317455916194293, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.3319501478226834, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.3319501478226834, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "bench_c_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1861, -0.2035, -0.1886, -0.2004, -0.2018, -0.1591, -0.2274, -0.2651, -0.2748, -0.2905, -0.2858, -0.2861, -0.2175, -0.2296, -0.231, -0.0697, -0.1373, -0.1129, -0.1088, -0.2525, -0.1988, -0.2159, -0.0928, -0.1426, -0.1211, -0.06, -0.0804, -0.1747, -0.1355, -0.0636, 0.0248, 0.0151, -0.0231, -0.0344, -0.0209, -0.0903, -0.1878, -0.1324, -0.1988, -0.2134, -0.3001, -0.3461, -0.3409, -0.4243, -0.409, -0.4045, -0.4248, -0.4254, -0.4634, -0.4334, -0.3813, -0.3742, -0.296, -0.296, -0.2627, -0.2695, -0.2836, -0.2938, -0.2775, -0.2679, -0.2335, -0.1635, -0.0369, 0.0, -0.1173, -0.1768, -0.2026, -0.2528, -0.1947, -0.1377, 0.0764, 0.1189, 0.1289, 0.1289, 0.0234, 0.0118, -0.0083, -0.0402, -0.0402, 0.0903, -0.0366, 0.0631, 0.0478, -0.0911, -0.0628, -0.0716, -0.0589, -0.0509, 0.0187, 0.0198, 0.0198, 0.0809, 0.0567, 0.0504, -0.0165, -0.0394, 0.0295, 0.2453, 0.0895, 0.2007, 0.2159, 0.2698, 0.0986, 0.0498, 0.2197, 0.3191, 0.3351, 0.3326, 0.2112, 0.2241, 0.2241, 0.209, 0.196, 0.2935, 0.4229, 0.4857, 0.5493, 0.6002, 0.4782, 1.3191, 1.8224, 1.625, 1.7453, 1.7847, 1.6316, 2.0457, 2.3175, 2.497, 1.9237, 1.6655, 1.59, 1.3769, 1.5504, 1.8062, 1.4102, 1.6366, 2.136, 2.1501, 1.6823, 1.704, 1.3455, 1.329, 1.3775, 1.861, 1.861, 1.9584, 2.239, 2.6536, 2.6702, 3.1465, 3.2178, 3.0306, 2.9248, 3.3315, 3.3893, 3.5008, 3.1457, 3.114, 2.7921, 3.465, 3.0138, 2.7792, 3.2079, 3.5253, 4.0526, 3.7627, 3.9716, 3.9157, 3.3378, 3.1008, 4.0909, 4.1839, 5.1426, 4.6049, 4.2412, 3.7704, 3.7172, 3.5501, 3.8681, 3.997, 3.997, 3.8904, 3.9513, 3.6536, 3.3615, 3.3615, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1968012441838817569", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-16T18:01:44+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$HIMS would likely recover faster", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "days", "summary": "HIMS favored for dip recovery over RKLB; both seen as dip buys but HIMS dip (ad-wording letter) more immaterial than RKLB's $750M share sale.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "For dip buying day-trading, the diff vs. the 8%+ $HIMS and $RKLB drop is that one was a strongly worded letter that has no material affect.    \n\nThe other is selling $750 million on the open market.     \n\nNot saying don't buy the $RKLB dip, but $HIMS would likely recover faster. https://t.co/vWkt6GaYN7", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Good time to buy the 8% dip on $HIMS since strongly worded letters about changing up ad wording is immaterial to earnings. \n\nShort interest availability also decreased.\n\nMain short term risk is sell the news from rate cut, but PT $60+ still holds from 42% SI and growing revenue. https://t.co/pxf4DaepzM", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.06032618847797999, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06032618847797999, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05894749752093542, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05894749752093542, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0013786909570445705, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0013786909570445705, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010611140145487696, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010611140145487696, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009368704852939058, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009368704852939058, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012424352925486382, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012424352925486382, "ret_p1w": 0.10041266794337966, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10041266794337966, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09276304551426096, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09276304551426096, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007649622429118708, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007649622429118708, "ret_p1m": 0.23324816416286387, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.23324816416286387, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.22262078190370582, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.22262078190370582, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010627382259158047, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010627382259158047, "ret_p3m": -0.2688151005943702, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2688151005943702, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3046486616422237, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3046486616422237, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03583356104785351, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03583356104785351, "ret_p6m": -0.4914521620915785, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4914521620915785, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.522072008787635, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.522072008787635, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030619846696056552, "bench_c_p6m": 0.030619846696056552, "price_path": [0.2, 0.2619, -0.1751, -0.156, -0.1863, -0.0906, -0.0291, -0.0204, -0.0576, -0.0674, -0.0572, -0.0572, -0.0485, -0.0379, 0.0069, -0.0122, -0.059, 0.0224, -0.0084, 0.0189, -0.0177, -0.01, -0.0646, -0.0173, 0.1401, 0.1264, 0.1328, 0.1531, 0.1843, 0.2877, 0.3005, 0.2291, 0.2448, 0.091, 0.0047, 0.0031, 0.0206, -0.0179, -0.0576, -0.0503, -0.0739, -0.0957, -0.1138, -0.1712, -0.1476, -0.1362, -0.1242, -0.1552, -0.1089, -0.1352, -0.133, -0.1678, -0.1678, -0.1839, -0.1264, -0.0546, -0.0487, -0.0246, -0.0609, -0.0611, 0.0171, 0.0906, 0.0603, 0.0, -0.0106, 0.1043, 0.1362, 0.1338, 0.1004, 0.0464, 0.0782, 0.1476, 0.1617, 0.1146, 0.1065, 0.1372, 0.0324, 0.076, 0.1391, 0.1431, 0.1446, 0.0601, 0.0755, 0.0615, 0.2332, 0.1623, -0.0218, 0.0092, -0.0301, -0.0674, -0.0472, -0.0415, -0.0523, -0.0741, -0.0837, -0.1342, -0.1067, -0.1277, -0.1592, -0.1407, -0.1841, -0.1938, -0.1934, -0.2189, -0.2332, -0.2916, -0.2733, -0.3008, -0.2875, -0.2959, -0.3394, -0.3179, -0.2576, -0.2712, -0.2454, -0.2454, -0.2187, -0.2629, -0.2865, -0.2716, -0.2136, -0.2297, -0.2313, -0.2175, -0.2556, -0.2578, -0.2688, -0.2877, -0.2757, -0.3128, -0.3168, -0.3012, -0.3113, -0.3162, -0.3187, -0.3187, -0.3258, -0.3299, -0.3508, -0.362, -0.362, -0.3435, -0.3179, -0.3032, -0.3032, -0.3344, -0.3773, -0.3645, -0.3673, -0.3846, -0.3863, -0.3834, -0.3834, -0.4013, -0.4323, -0.4003, -0.418, -0.405, -0.4168, -0.4366, -0.413, -0.4677, -0.4804, -0.4981, -0.5205, -0.5386, -0.5477, -0.6202, -0.6612, -0.672, -0.6895, -0.6797, -0.6797, -0.6803, -0.6887, -0.6891, -0.6929, -0.6952, -0.6962, -0.6891, -0.6935, -0.7147, -0.6762, -0.6891, -0.6768, -0.688, -0.6907, -0.5646, -0.5388, -0.4915]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1968012441838817569", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-16T18:01:44+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Not saying don't buy the $RKLB dip", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "days", "summary": "HIMS favored for dip recovery over RKLB; both seen as dip buys but HIMS dip (ad-wording letter) more immaterial than RKLB's $750M share sale.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "For dip buying day-trading, the diff vs. the 8%+ $HIMS and $RKLB drop is that one was a strongly worded letter that has no material affect.    \n\nThe other is selling $750 million on the open market.     \n\nNot saying don't buy the $RKLB dip, but $HIMS would likely recover faster. https://t.co/vWkt6GaYN7", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Good time to buy the 8% dip on $HIMS since strongly worded letters about changing up ad wording is immaterial to earnings. \n\nShort interest availability also decreased.\n\nMain short term risk is sell the news from rate cut, but PT $60+ still holds from 42% SI and growing revenue. https://t.co/pxf4DaepzM", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.14382478859697367, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.14382478859697367, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.1424460976399291, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.1408609067688147, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0013786909570445705, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0029638818281589874, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.017673889682456867, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.017673889682456867, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.018916324975005505, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.022218515255269522, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012424352925486382, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004544625572812655, "ret_p1w": 0.11990689054083448, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11990689054083448, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11225726811171577, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10777313120787646, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007649622429118708, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012133759332958016, "ret_p1m": 0.4661868601782819, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4661868601782819, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4555594779191239, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4569630625264789, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010627382259158047, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009223797651803034, "ret_p3m": 0.3015134526115597, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3015134526115597, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2656798915637062, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2649095932694221, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03583356104785351, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03660385934213761, "ret_p6m": 0.5231241551771568, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5231241551771568, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4925043084811003, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3983587230483041, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030619846696056552, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12476543212885272, "price_path": [-0.4105, -0.3642, -0.3062, -0.2918, -0.3153, -0.2351, -0.2511, -0.2429, -0.2734, -0.2448, -0.2452, -0.2452, -0.1771, -0.18, -0.1716, -0.1724, -0.1739, -0.0854, -0.056, 0.0094, 0.0865, 0.0877, -0.0012, -0.0077, 0.0403, 0.0187, 0.0039, -0.0452, -0.0731, -0.017, -0.028, -0.0515, -0.0573, -0.0528, -0.0666, -0.0642, -0.0541, -0.0471, -0.0807, -0.0899, -0.0939, -0.063, -0.0482, -0.1339, -0.1387, -0.121, -0.0606, -0.0005, 0.0187, -0.0211, 0.0141, 0.0287, 0.0287, 0.0437, -0.0786, -0.0901, -0.0297, 0.0103, -0.0046, -0.0228, 0.0251, 0.129, 0.1438, 0.0, 0.0177, -0.0014, 0.0115, 0.0543, 0.1199, 0.0306, -0.013, -0.0208, -0.005, 0.0141, 0.0153, 0.1106, 0.1887, 0.2382, 0.3019, 0.3824, 0.4059, 0.3601, 0.3847, 0.4399, 0.4662, 0.4181, 0.4027, 0.4255, 0.3843, 0.2819, 0.3455, 0.3665, 0.3889, 0.3493, 0.4004, 0.2894, 0.3331, 0.2983, 0.1974, 0.1942, 0.0501, 0.093, 0.0985, 0.0846, 0.0577, -0.0422, -0.0361, -0.0833, -0.0945, -0.0767, -0.1644, -0.147, -0.1015, -0.0983, -0.1125, -0.1125, -0.1081, -0.1455, -0.1131, -0.0534, 0.045, 0.0383, 0.0913, 0.1309, 0.2175, 0.3447, 0.3015, 0.1728, 0.1745, 0.1421, 0.2683, 0.4926, 0.6414, 0.6336, 0.6336, 0.6336, 0.4954, 0.4842, 0.4912, 0.4766, 0.4766, 0.6084, 0.6539, 0.8209, 0.7797, 0.7585, 0.796, 0.8605, 0.8326, 0.9431, 0.921, 1.0383, 1.0383, 0.8872, 0.8588, 0.8622, 0.8817, 0.7035, 0.8415, 0.8747, 0.8135, 0.6948, 0.5695, 0.7202, 0.5475, 0.4037, 0.5307, 0.6052, 0.5246, 0.4736, 0.3972, 0.4275, 0.4275, 0.4793, 0.5752, 0.6209, 0.4998, 0.4861, 0.481, 0.4859, 0.5377, 0.4626, 0.5022, 0.4844, 0.5221, 0.4816, 0.484, 0.513, 0.459, 0.5231]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1991509461442425276", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-20T14:10:30+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "More likely $22+ next month than sub $10. Long-term hyperscaler revenue visibility, so it's pretty de-risked.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish CIFR to $22+ next month on $830M GOOGL/Fluidstack contract; hyperscaler revenue visibility de-risks the name.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "bruh, $CIFR just signed a $830m 10y contract with $GOOGL through Fluidstack. More likely $22+ next month than sub $10.\n\nLong-term hyperscaler revenue visibility, so it's pretty de-risked. Just slower revenue ramp compared to full-stack offerings + BTC price drag since it holds Bitcoin on its balance sheet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit send $CIFR sub $10", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "noD7R", "ret_m1d": 0.004120842322335783, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004120842322335783, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011357325165582521, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.028287677039769088, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.015478167487918304, "bench_c_m1d": 0.03240851936210487, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.028159394867463883, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.028159394867463883, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.038120617844096705, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03201760280229271, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009961222976632822, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003858207934828828, "ret_p1w": 0.3152471886422108, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.3152471886422108, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.27363991855707304, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2725134202822146, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.04160727008513776, "bench_c_p1w": 0.042733768359996205, "ret_p1m": 0.11332408085874168, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11332408085874168, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06724026672430883, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05067475408858968, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.046083814134432854, "bench_c_p1m": 0.062649326770152, "ret_p3m": 0.07417581679812102, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07417581679812102, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.02461841971075307, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04759812549793474, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04955739708736795, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02657769130018628, "ret_p6m": 0.3962911633103685, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3962911633103685, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2570657329881323, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09739845279560488, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13922543032223622, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2988927105147636, "price_path": [-0.544, -0.511, -0.5199, -0.5179, -0.4753, -0.4753, -0.4286, -0.443, -0.4918, -0.4835, -0.4698, -0.3668, -0.296, -0.3152, -0.2548, -0.2548, -0.2095, -0.1497, -0.1861, -0.1566, -0.0412, -0.0282, -0.0288, -0.1992, -0.2122, -0.1312, -0.1353, -0.1346, -0.0515, 0.0096, 0.0536, 0.0817, 0.2088, 0.2356, 0.1655, 0.397, 0.4348, 0.4444, 0.2857, 0.2885, 0.3674, 0.2414, 0.1065, 0.1851, 0.419, 0.4107, 0.3709, 0.3455, 0.3098, 0.2809, 0.5632, 0.546, 0.6971, 0.4911, 0.421, 0.3496, 0.2823, 0.1937, 0.0254, -0.0137, -0.0144, 0.0014, 0.0041, 0.0, -0.0282, 0.1477, 0.2033, 0.3152, 0.3152, 0.3977, 0.3523, 0.2115, 0.2795, 0.362, 0.3242, 0.3379, 0.3434, 0.2692, 0.2967, 0.171, 0.0124, 0.0295, -0.0117, 0.0405, 0.1133, 0.1223, 0.0927, 0.114, 0.114, 0.0433, 0.0357, 0.0021, 0.0137, 0.0137, 0.1126, 0.2473, 0.2047, 0.1044, 0.1367, 0.1422, 0.2143, 0.2534, 0.2452, 0.2033, 0.2912, 0.2912, 0.2308, 0.217, 0.1944, 0.2067, 0.1326, 0.2878, 0.3029, 0.2157, 0.0962, 0.0859, 0.1168, -0.0213, -0.1277, 0.0117, 0.1511, 0.1745, 0.1181, 0.1058, 0.1277, 0.1277, 0.0742, 0.0591, 0.0852, 0.0062, 0.0453, 0.1758, 0.1408, 0.1319, 0.0714, 0.0824, 0.0103, 0.1016, 0.0405, -0.0646, -0.0172, -0.0412, -0.0309, -0.0584, -0.033, 0.0398, 0.0364, 0.0076, 0.0055, -0.0378, 0.0227, 0.022, 0.0907, -0.0144, -0.056, -0.1748, -0.1161, -0.1319, -0.1195, -0.1195, -0.0831, -0.0378, 0.0591, 0.1236, 0.1353, 0.2198, 0.2672, 0.2363, 0.1909, 0.3304, 0.3249, 0.239, 0.3352, 0.2837, 0.25, 0.2473, 0.1854, 0.1621, 0.2184, 0.1703, 0.2287, 0.5179, 0.5048, 0.4207, 0.4114, 0.3929, 0.3777, 0.4588, 0.5309, 0.3963]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1975690333410468151", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-07T22:30:56+00:00", "symbol": "WYFI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "there's room to grow across all Neoclouds and there's more room for re-rating considering the small $1.3B market cap size", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on Neoclouds broadly; WYFI has cost and infrastructure edge, but all three names have re-rating room given small caps.", "resolved_tickers": ["WYFI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "True. Jokes aside (sorry to scare @DeepValueBagger) $WYFI's edge is probably converting facilities for 40% lower cost than greenfield (built from scratch) data centers that others need to build, and they're not lease heavy. \n\nIt's also pure play HPC compared to miners. \n\nDownside is they don't build their own orchestration stack like $NBIS or scale as fast as $IREN. But they own the infrastructure instead of leasing. Vertically integrated HPC infrastructure for hardware and psychical only. \n\nI'm just going off the assumption there's room to grow across all Neoclouds and there's more room for re-rating considering the small $1.3B market cap size.\n\nThe analysts at Clear Street that gave a $51 PT probably do a better job with number crunching so I'd just refer to them.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What if youre so blind to the risk that you end up making money?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "__visionxry__", "ret_m1d": 0.008920583631648382, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.008920583631648382, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005199294730923398, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0021998059620136345, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003721288900724984, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006720777669634748, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.019625329362176425, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.019625329362176425, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.013662276949384156, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0020882783718469966, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005963052412792269, "bench_c_p1d": 0.017537050990329428, "ret_p1w": 0.11923872120643786, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11923872120643786, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12953586197408662, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13383545205118785, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01029714076764876, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014596730844749994, "ret_p1m": -0.08831403884548183, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08831403884548183, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10095752267275937, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12125303713778457, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012643483827277535, "bench_c_p1m": 0.032938998292302735, "ret_p3m": -0.4995539878331239, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4995539878331239, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5235686627287943, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5113074486999469, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02401467489567044, "bench_c_p3m": 0.011753460866823051, "ret_p6m": -0.654177825005561, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.654177825005561, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.6390100294149099, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.6012698442039266, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.015167795590651068, "bench_c_p6m": -0.05290798080163439, "price_path": [null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, -0.5177, -0.545, -0.5626, -0.5418, -0.485, -0.4695, -0.4918, -0.4442, -0.4939, -0.5028, -0.5031, -0.4918, -0.5076, -0.504, -0.4975, -0.4942, -0.4972, -0.4972, -0.4674, -0.5031, -0.5165, -0.5141, -0.5242, -0.4532, -0.2988, -0.3883, -0.4068, -0.4056, -0.4267, -0.377, -0.3039, -0.218, -0.1668, -0.1653, -0.2194, -0.2985, -0.3211, -0.2049, -0.1921, -0.0488, 0.0015, -0.0723, 0.0089, 0.0, 0.0196, 0.0033, -0.0178, 0.1635, 0.1192, 0.0907, -0.0651, -0.0999, -0.0485, -0.1127, -0.1745, -0.1381, 0.0122, 0.0993, 0.0062, 0.0045, -0.0419, 0.0107, -0.03, -0.094, -0.0883, -0.1659, -0.1451, -0.1362, -0.2325, -0.3238, -0.4092, -0.4648, -0.4573, -0.4987, -0.4823, -0.4829, -0.4844, -0.4477, -0.4701, -0.4106, -0.4106, -0.3628, -0.4148, -0.4335, -0.4222, -0.3732, -0.4222, -0.4276, -0.4065, -0.4306, -0.4451, -0.446, -0.5477, -0.5516, -0.5787, -0.5748, -0.5022, -0.4555, -0.4761, -0.4841, -0.4841, -0.5073, -0.5201, -0.5376, -0.5302, -0.5302, -0.4996, -0.4773, -0.4731, -0.5019, -0.4737, -0.4731, -0.4445, -0.452, -0.3797, -0.4517, -0.4211, -0.4211, -0.43, -0.3958, -0.4145, -0.402, -0.3895, -0.3577, -0.3411, -0.3452, -0.4199, -0.4205, -0.4514, -0.5204, -0.5718, -0.448, -0.4098, -0.4252, -0.4413, -0.4591, -0.4225, -0.4225, -0.4526, -0.4814, -0.4695, -0.4978, -0.4942, -0.4761, -0.4481, -0.4496, -0.499, -0.4838, -0.5352, -0.4963, -0.526, -0.5391, -0.5299, -0.5281, -0.4903, -0.5013, -0.5317, -0.5296, -0.5439, -0.565, -0.5501, -0.5882, -0.5715, -0.5795, -0.5632, -0.6383, -0.6795, -0.667, -0.6459, -0.6542]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1975690333410468151", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-07T22:30:56+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "there's room to grow across all Neoclouds and there's more room for re-rating", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on Neoclouds broadly; WYFI has cost and infrastructure edge, but all three names have re-rating room given small caps.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "True. Jokes aside (sorry to scare @DeepValueBagger) $WYFI's edge is probably converting facilities for 40% lower cost than greenfield (built from scratch) data centers that others need to build, and they're not lease heavy. \n\nIt's also pure play HPC compared to miners. \n\nDownside is they don't build their own orchestration stack like $NBIS or scale as fast as $IREN. But they own the infrastructure instead of leasing. Vertically integrated HPC infrastructure for hardware and psychical only. \n\nI'm just going off the assumption there's room to grow across all Neoclouds and there's more room for re-rating considering the small $1.3B market cap size.\n\nThe analysts at Clear Street that gave a $51 PT probably do a better job with number crunching so I'd just refer to them.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What if youre so blind to the risk that you end up making money?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "__visionxry__", "ret_m1d": 0.06151236772204682, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06151236772204682, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05779107882132184, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05763499988358456, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003721288900724984, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0038773678384622645, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.036533586773572324, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.036533586773572324, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030570534360780055, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04066930907077948, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005963052412792269, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004135722297207156, "ret_p1w": 0.08878502310274072, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08878502310274072, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09908216387038948, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10145087525266994, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01029714076764876, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012665852149929213, "ret_p1m": -0.005947297930262496, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.005947297930262496, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01859078175754003, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.016799472423983497, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012643483827277535, "bench_c_p1m": -0.022746770354245993, "ret_p3m": -0.23576891010628387, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.23576891010628387, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2597835850019543, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24626742967899928, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02401467489567044, "bench_c_p3m": 0.010498519572715415, "ret_p6m": -0.13381478681708003, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13381478681708003, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.11864699122642897, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.09845601848176999, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.015167795590651068, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03535876833531004, "price_path": [-0.6055, -0.6236, -0.5586, -0.5452, -0.5471, -0.5438, -0.5515, -0.5551, -0.5666, -0.5592, -0.5568, -0.5636, -0.5518, -0.5718, -0.5642, -0.5376, -0.5582, -0.5398, -0.5313, -0.5319, -0.4451, -0.4156, -0.4032, -0.36, -0.3999, -0.4184, -0.3915, -0.3837, -0.4291, -0.4268, -0.4377, -0.4139, -0.4051, -0.4012, -0.4044, -0.3879, -0.4195, -0.4195, -0.4416, -0.4422, -0.4485, -0.4438, -0.4557, -0.1867, -0.2065, -0.2422, -0.2319, -0.2272, -0.2402, -0.2007, -0.2003, -0.1562, -0.0943, -0.0841, -0.038, -0.0829, -0.085, -0.0636, -0.0461, -0.0178, 0.0694, 0.0873, 0.0615, 0.0, 0.0365, 0.1269, 0.1009, 0.1509, 0.0888, 0.0691, 0.0454, -0.0362, -0.0739, -0.114, -0.1621, -0.098, -0.0037, 0.0657, 0.0351, 0.0629, 0.0551, 0.1115, 0.0235, -0.0608, -0.0059, -0.0702, -0.0545, -0.0658, -0.1315, -0.1983, -0.247, -0.2902, -0.2695, -0.2308, -0.1923, -0.2809, -0.2926, -0.2192, -0.2449, -0.1955, -0.1955, -0.194, -0.1491, -0.1805, -0.1596, -0.1266, -0.167, -0.1476, -0.1809, -0.2048, -0.199, -0.255, -0.3106, -0.3122, -0.359, -0.3365, -0.2399, -0.2079, -0.2351, -0.2257, -0.2257, -0.2558, -0.269, -0.2764, -0.2888, -0.2888, -0.2358, -0.2113, -0.1483, -0.1826, -0.1733, -0.168, -0.0881, -0.1042, -0.1336, -0.1174, -0.0762, -0.0762, -0.1564, -0.16, -0.1771, -0.1971, -0.2229, -0.1685, -0.1467, -0.1936, -0.2762, -0.251, -0.2358, -0.3, -0.3724, -0.2685, -0.2109, -0.2201, -0.2472, -0.2376, -0.1673, -0.1673, -0.1715, -0.1351, -0.0857, -0.1681, -0.1452, -0.1285, -0.0984, -0.1089, -0.2252, -0.2268, -0.2625, -0.1692, -0.1873, -0.241, -0.1934, -0.1807, -0.0485, -0.0821, -0.0404, 0.1032, -0.0116, 0.0073, 0.0325, -0.0007, -0.0302, -0.0237, -0.0222, -0.0997, -0.1434, -0.2161, -0.1184, -0.1338]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1975690333410468151", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-07T22:30:56+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "there's room to grow across all Neoclouds and there's more room for re-rating", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on Neoclouds broadly; WYFI has cost and infrastructure edge, but all three names have re-rating room given small caps.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "True. Jokes aside (sorry to scare @DeepValueBagger) $WYFI's edge is probably converting facilities for 40% lower cost than greenfield (built from scratch) data centers that others need to build, and they're not lease heavy. \n\nIt's also pure play HPC compared to miners. \n\nDownside is they don't build their own orchestration stack like $NBIS or scale as fast as $IREN. But they own the infrastructure instead of leasing. Vertically integrated HPC infrastructure for hardware and psychical only. \n\nI'm just going off the assumption there's room to grow across all Neoclouds and there's more room for re-rating considering the small $1.3B market cap size.\n\nThe analysts at Clear Street that gave a $51 PT probably do a better job with number crunching so I'd just refer to them.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What if youre so blind to the risk that you end up making money?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "__visionxry__", "ret_m1d": -0.0637159579398705, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0637159579398705, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06743724684059549, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06241409189131775, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003721288900724984, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0013018660485527578, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.025778212463051342, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.025778212463051342, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03174126487584361, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.020942709996997988, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005963052412792269, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004835502466053354, "ret_p1w": 0.12775611566844836, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12775611566844836, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.13805325643609712, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1376128867887616, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01029714076764876, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009856771120313246, "ret_p1m": 0.23881328281539504, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.23881328281539504, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2261697989881175, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.26057268611951434, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012643483827277535, "bench_c_p1m": -0.021759403304119296, "ret_p3m": -0.30771724138016343, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.30771724138016343, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.33173191627583387, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.33286100981187605, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02401467489567044, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02514376843171262, "ret_p6m": -0.44730869027367237, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.44730869027367237, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4321408946830213, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.37473701071548104, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.015167795590651068, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07257167955819133, "price_path": [-0.7239, -0.7369, -0.7198, -0.7263, -0.7194, -0.7074, -0.7091, -0.7057, -0.6986, -0.6921, -0.7059, -0.7127, -0.7312, -0.744, -0.7383, -0.7388, -0.7503, -0.7328, -0.7333, -0.703, -0.6989, -0.7009, -0.7087, -0.7109, -0.7125, -0.6907, -0.6808, -0.6643, -0.6963, -0.6796, -0.6824, -0.6526, -0.6252, -0.6273, -0.6376, -0.6265, -0.5707, -0.5707, -0.528, -0.5426, -0.5764, -0.576, -0.5754, -0.5105, -0.4548, -0.4674, -0.4494, -0.3979, -0.409, -0.3855, -0.4112, -0.3735, -0.3207, -0.3228, -0.2357, -0.2495, -0.3213, -0.2554, -0.2391, -0.2367, -0.2377, -0.1819, -0.0637, 0.0, -0.0258, 0.0352, -0.031, 0.0399, 0.1278, 0.1021, 0.0024, -0.0156, -0.0399, -0.1051, -0.1597, -0.0944, 0.0198, 0.0537, 0.012, -0.0204, -0.0561, -0.0151, 0.0984, 0.0803, 0.2388, 0.0856, 0.0113, -0.0245, -0.0697, -0.097, -0.2113, -0.2482, -0.2314, -0.208, -0.257, -0.2952, -0.3149, -0.2138, -0.2304, -0.2145, -0.2145, -0.2249, -0.2138, -0.3333, -0.2873, -0.2469, -0.2751, -0.2487, -0.2406, -0.2879, -0.2876, -0.3494, -0.4248, -0.4068, -0.4523, -0.4196, -0.3528, -0.3184, -0.3179, -0.3194, -0.3194, -0.3466, -0.3611, -0.3791, -0.3876, -0.3876, -0.3077, -0.2179, -0.2557, -0.2927, -0.2594, -0.2537, -0.184, -0.1409, -0.1427, -0.1587, -0.0626, -0.0626, -0.1203, -0.1329, -0.1527, -0.0811, -0.1511, -0.0274, 0.0204, -0.0298, -0.1287, -0.1394, -0.1182, -0.2714, -0.3549, -0.3218, -0.2518, -0.304, -0.3082, -0.351, -0.3155, -0.3155, -0.3358, -0.3178, -0.2982, -0.3518, -0.3132, -0.2631, -0.2862, -0.2827, -0.3361, -0.329, -0.3701, -0.2892, -0.3495, -0.405, -0.3703, -0.382, -0.3194, -0.3293, -0.3259, -0.2714, -0.3035, -0.3157, -0.3246, -0.3306, -0.3165, -0.3333, -0.3283, -0.3928, -0.4311, -0.4874, -0.4442, -0.4473]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972772543510757710", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-29T21:16:41+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Still think it rallies to $16", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish CIFR with $16 price target; calls already up $12k since Friday.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Neat_Lama Same here! One of my $CIFR strikes is up $12k since Friday. \n\nStill think it rallies to $16. https://t.co/4IbuWFsvaA", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Master, my $CIFR calls cooked today 🤝", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Neat_Lama", "ret_m1d": -0.09328058395930305, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09328058395930305, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09047809354318026, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08796551066294789, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005315073296355166, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0047430409289889175, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0047430409289889175, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008509907688100893, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010200900396175938, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005457859467187021, "ret_p1w": 0.21264826997442654, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.21264826997442654, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.20069978859201387, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1867144587877414, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02593381118668514, "ret_p1m": 0.5778655878561747, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5778655878561747, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5426377811136054, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5007064737373843, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0771591141187904, "ret_p3m": 0.2822134231209563, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2822134231209563, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.23890943850880308, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.236860256046181, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": 0.045353167074775325, "ret_p6m": 0.17628462949864776, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.17628462949864776, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.18650163591058966, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.20224649576629916, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0259618662676514, "price_path": [-0.551, -0.5217, -0.5217, -0.5423, -0.5233, -0.5051, -0.5067, -0.536, -0.5233, -0.5281, -0.5043, -0.4925, -0.4972, -0.5059, -0.4514, -0.4719, -0.4743, -0.4885, -0.513, -0.551, -0.5692, -0.5684, -0.6103, -0.5897, -0.604, -0.5881, -0.615, -0.6245, -0.6237, -0.6269, -0.6126, -0.5794, -0.5881, -0.5217, -0.5447, -0.5296, -0.5336, -0.4957, -0.4751, -0.4372, -0.4474, -0.4451, -0.396, -0.396, -0.3423, -0.3589, -0.415, -0.4055, -0.3897, -0.2711, -0.1897, -0.2119, -0.1423, -0.1423, -0.0901, -0.0213, -0.0632, -0.0292, 0.1036, 0.1186, 0.1178, -0.0783, -0.0933, 0.0, -0.0047, -0.004, 0.0917, 0.1621, 0.2126, 0.2451, 0.3913, 0.4221, 0.3415, 0.6079, 0.6514, 0.6625, 0.4798, 0.483, 0.5739, 0.4289, 0.2735, 0.364, 0.6332, 0.6237, 0.5779, 0.5486, 0.5075, 0.4743, 0.7992, 0.7794, 0.9534, 0.7162, 0.6356, 0.5534, 0.4759, 0.3739, 0.1802, 0.1352, 0.1344, 0.1526, 0.1557, 0.151, 0.1186, 0.3209, 0.385, 0.5138, 0.5138, 0.6087, 0.5565, 0.3945, 0.4727, 0.5676, 0.5241, 0.5399, 0.5462, 0.4609, 0.4925, 0.3478, 0.1652, 0.185, 0.1375, 0.1976, 0.2814, 0.2917, 0.2577, 0.2822, 0.2822, 0.2008, 0.1921, 0.1534, 0.1668, 0.1668, 0.2806, 0.4356, 0.3866, 0.2711, 0.3083, 0.3146, 0.3976, 0.4427, 0.4332, 0.385, 0.4862, 0.4862, 0.4166, 0.4008, 0.3747, 0.3889, 0.3036, 0.4822, 0.4996, 0.3992, 0.2617, 0.2498, 0.2854, 0.1265, 0.004, 0.1644, 0.3249, 0.3518, 0.287, 0.2727, 0.298, 0.298, 0.2364, 0.219, 0.249, 0.1581, 0.2032, 0.3534, 0.313, 0.3028, 0.2332, 0.2458, 0.1628, 0.268, 0.1976, 0.0767, 0.1312, 0.1036, 0.1154, 0.0838, 0.113, 0.1968, 0.1929, 0.1597, 0.1573, 0.1075, 0.1771, 0.1763]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2008501407247376433", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-06T11:30:26+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I actually like $COHR more than $LITE right now", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefers COHR over LITE; highest conviction long is NBIS.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ManglaniAkshay @LogicalThesis So I actually like $COHR more than $LITE right now and sold my LITE positions at ~$385. \n\nI did some internal research the other day and found some potential issues but didn't publish it yet.\n\nThat being said it's still a good long but not as high conviction as $NBIS.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @LogicalThesis Damn even with $LITE $COHR down 10% yesterday??", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ManglaniAkshay", "ret_m1d": -0.03992581513384785, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03992581513384785, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0340137916485318, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0340137916485318, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005912023485316054, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005912023485316054, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01282780632288183, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01282780632288183, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009604449530654424, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009604449530654424, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0032233567922274053, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0032233567922274053, "ret_p1w": -0.02101901920676774, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02101901920676774, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.023852239775103423, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.023852239775103423, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028332205683356815, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0028332205683356815, "ret_p1m": 0.08701251525702025, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08701251525702025, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09513610687409868, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09513610687409868, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00812359161707843, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00812359161707843, "ret_p3m": 0.3299675588602422, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3299675588602422, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3793870255431395, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3793870255431395, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04941946668289732, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04941946668289732, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3697, -0.4276, -0.4069, -0.4366, -0.4312, -0.4026, -0.4006, -0.3808, -0.3777, -0.4056, -0.374, -0.3337, -0.3046, -0.3084, -0.2888, -0.3163, -0.3202, -0.32, -0.337, -0.3064, -0.1793, -0.204, -0.1411, -0.186, -0.1929, -0.2789, -0.2822, -0.2836, -0.2883, -0.2636, -0.3014, -0.2813, -0.2179, -0.2332, -0.2066, -0.2066, -0.1538, -0.1577, -0.1505, -0.1193, -0.0863, -0.0635, -0.0425, -0.0071, 0.0172, 0.0226, -0.0812, -0.0807, -0.0974, -0.1219, -0.0948, -0.0427, -0.0161, -0.0115, -0.0141, -0.0141, -0.0123, -0.0262, -0.0376, -0.0491, -0.0491, 0.0011, -0.0399, 0.0, -0.0128, -0.108, -0.0827, -0.046, -0.021, -0.0515, 0.0095, -0.0158, -0.0158, -0.0033, 0.0379, 0.0444, 0.0146, 0.0188, 0.1025, 0.1393, 0.112, 0.0931, 0.1459, 0.1807, 0.087, 0.0779, 0.1729, 0.2491, 0.1765, 0.1524, 0.1133, 0.1191, 0.1191, 0.1332, 0.1534, 0.1977, 0.2786, 0.2822, 0.313, 0.3801, 0.2887, 0.3339, 0.5399, 0.4467, 0.416, 0.3079, 0.2144, 0.2999, 0.3427, 0.2952, 0.243, 0.2506, 0.2744, 0.2663, 0.3251, 0.4197, 0.3066, 0.3139, 0.403, 0.4015, 0.2534, 0.2543, 0.1316, 0.2272, 0.2766, 0.33, 0.33, 0.3045, 0.3142, 0.4517, 0.464, 0.5842, 0.5864, 0.6147, 0.5878, 0.6898, 0.7774, 0.7903, 0.7711, 0.8055, 0.7396, 0.7314, 0.6564, 0.566, 0.5709, 0.6471, 0.6975, 0.6995, 0.7296, 0.7756, 0.6444, 0.7272, 0.9561, 0.9268, 1.0798, 1.0861, 0.9703, 0.8692, 0.8218, 0.8469, 0.9473, 0.9451, 0.9451, 0.9646, 0.9586, 0.9419, 0.8622, 0.8622, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2008501407247376433", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-06T11:30:26+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "not as high conviction as $NBIS", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefers COHR over LITE; highest conviction long is NBIS.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ManglaniAkshay @LogicalThesis So I actually like $COHR more than $LITE right now and sold my LITE positions at ~$385. \n\nI did some internal research the other day and found some potential issues but didn't publish it yet.\n\nThat being said it's still a good long but not as high conviction as $NBIS.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @LogicalThesis Damn even with $LITE $COHR down 10% yesterday??", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ManglaniAkshay", "ret_m1d": -0.07392254779160456, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07392254779160456, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06801052430628851, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07750218658436059, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005912023485316054, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0035796387927560236, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.040203500251205226, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.040203500251205226, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03698014345897782, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.038157936455975316, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0032233567922274053, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00204556379522991, "ret_p1w": 0.051775763687262666, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.051775763687262666, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.048942543118926984, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.055525920490119174, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028332205683356815, "bench_c_p1w": -0.003750156802856508, "ret_p1m": -0.17807261427100196, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17807261427100196, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16994902265392353, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.17355545258568128, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00812359161707843, "bench_c_p1m": -0.004517161685320681, "ret_p3m": 0.08559459311556727, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08559459311556727, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1350140597984646, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.13054096180929564, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04941946668289732, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04494636869372837, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3232, 0.2927, 0.3514, 0.2784, 0.2553, 0.2275, 0.1317, 0.0874, 0.0403, -0.0162, 0.0591, 0.1698, 0.2513, 0.2154, 0.248, 0.2388, 0.3051, 0.2018, 0.1028, 0.1672, 0.0918, 0.1101, 0.0969, 0.0198, -0.0587, -0.1158, -0.1666, -0.1423, -0.0968, -0.0516, -0.1556, -0.1694, -0.0832, -0.1133, -0.0554, -0.0554, -0.0536, -0.0009, -0.0378, -0.0132, 0.0255, -0.0219, 0.0009, -0.0382, -0.0663, -0.0595, -0.1252, -0.1905, -0.1924, -0.2473, -0.221, -0.1075, -0.0699, -0.1019, -0.0909, -0.0909, -0.1262, -0.1417, -0.1503, -0.165, -0.165, -0.1027, -0.0739, 0.0, -0.0402, -0.0293, -0.023, 0.0707, 0.0518, 0.0174, 0.0364, 0.0847, 0.0847, -0.0095, -0.0137, -0.0338, -0.0573, -0.0876, -0.0236, 0.0019, -0.0532, -0.1501, -0.1205, -0.1027, -0.1781, -0.2631, -0.1411, -0.0734, -0.0843, -0.116, -0.1048, -0.0222, -0.0222, -0.0271, 0.0156, 0.0735, -0.0231, 0.0037, 0.0233, 0.0587, 0.0463, -0.0903, -0.0921, -0.1341, -0.0245, -0.0458, -0.1088, -0.0529, -0.038, 0.1173, 0.0778, 0.1268, 0.2954, 0.1605, 0.1828, 0.2123, 0.1734, 0.1388, 0.1463, 0.1481, 0.0572, 0.0058, -0.0796, 0.0351, 0.0171, 0.0856, 0.0856, 0.1227, 0.1712, 0.247, 0.36, 0.4462, 0.5419, 0.6155, 0.6637, 0.6494, 0.5676, 0.5878, 0.5618, 0.5577, 0.567, 0.4681, 0.4461, 0.3519, 0.4085, 0.379, 0.5412, 0.76, 0.755, 0.9462, 0.8433, 0.7663, 0.8565, 0.7868, 1.0677, 1.2062, 1.1941, 0.9938, 0.9726, 0.9136, 1.194, 1.1426, 1.1426, 1.0756, 1.0787, 1.258, 1.3054, 1.3054, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1989258180552175977", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-14T09:04:43+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Nebius ( $NBIS ): 🟢 Strongly Positive (7/10)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Institutional flow analysis rates NBIS/WULF/CIFR/CLSK positively and IREN negatively based on 13F ownership structure and fund type.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Institutional Flow assessment for 13F Neocloud filings:\n\n· Nebius ( $NBIS ): 🟢 Strongly Positive (7/10)\n· WULF ( $WULF ): 🟢 Highly Positive (8.5/10)\n· IREN ( $IREN ): 🔴 Very Negative (3/10)\n· CIFR ( $CIFR ): 🟢 Highly Positive (8.0/10)\n· Coreweave ( $CRWV ):  🟡 Neutral (5.5/10)\n· Cleanspark ( $CLSK ): 🟢 Highly Positive (9.0/10)\n\n_\n\nTLDR Summary Updates: \n\n$NBIS\n· Strong overall quantitative growth in institutional ownership, driven by a mix of solid, long-term institutional buyers alongside high activity from quantitative funds and hedge funds.\n\n$WULF\n· Structurally stable and secure institutional base, characterized by large, long-only asset managers like Vanguard and BlackRock who hold high conviction in the stock.\n\n$IREN\n· Ownership is dominated by high-frequency traders, market makers, and quant funds (eg. Jane Street, Citadel). This structure is viewed negatively as it suggests less stable, short-term holding pressure and a lack of conviction from long-term institutions.\n\n$CIFR\n· Excellent institutional setup marked by inclusion in major indices (passive demand) and strong, conviction-based buying from active funds, highlighted by a massive stake increase from Alyeska.\n\n$CRWV\n· High trading volume suggests significant market interest, but ownership is currently highly concentrated, with a notable presence of market-makers, leading to a neutral score that implies balanced risk/reward in the flow.\n\n$CLSK\n· Considered the best institutional structure in the group, combining broad, supportive passive index inclusion with aggressive, high-conviction active accumulation, suggesting the lowest qualitative risk.\n\n_\n\nComments:\n\nEg. \" Bullish - Jane Street + Citadel own x  of $IREN \" (hint: it's not positive). Especially when long term holders like FMR (Fidelity): 2.12M shares, trimmed large percent of stakes.  \n\nThe type of fund matters eg:\n\nPassive (Most Positive)\nVanguard, BlackRock index, State Street, Geode, etc\n\nLong  (Positive)\nFidelity, T. Rowe, Wellington, BIT, etc\n\nHedge Fund (Neutral to Positive)\nAlyeska, Coatue, Millennium, etc\n \nQuant/MM (Negative)\nJane Street, Citadel, Susquehanna, SIG, Two Sigma, etc\n\nThis is a subjective framework when scoring how positive flows were just from this quarter (not overall ownership).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "We're seeing a sector crash in high-beta AI stocks, with  names down 30-45%+ in 1M & 10%+ today.\n\nThis includes direct beneficiaries of Mag7 Capex :\n\n- Nebius ( $NBIS ): $3B $META deal / $8B forward ARR.\n\n- TeraWulf ( $WULF ):  <$50B Antrophic DC + JV FS/ $GOOGL\n\n- Iren ( $IREN https://t.co/fAodtM0F4s", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.06092885183275798, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06092885183275798, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.060765056247821025, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05553947374933221, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0053893780834257665, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02920759414251739, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02920759414251739, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03852402757176199, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03055500763417085, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0013474134916534597, "ret_p1w": -0.003351673165289948, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.003351673165289948, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.015846667575385776, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.00847158234454437, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005119909179254423, "ret_p1m": -0.028728770643726698, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.028728770643726698, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.041825383272466876, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07579595992511301, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04706718928138631, "ret_p3m": 0.060689485746484806, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.060689485746484806, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.027836732130763542, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.008700540385840005, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0519889453606448, "ret_p6m": 1.227675413742134, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.227675413742134, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.1211470771516163, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.1828159796751123, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04485943406702164, "price_path": [-0.1957, -0.1924, -0.2078, -0.1743, -0.1618, -0.1563, -0.1609, -0.1377, -0.1822, -0.1822, -0.2133, -0.2141, -0.223, -0.2163, -0.2332, 0.1458, 0.1179, 0.0676, 0.0822, 0.0888, 0.0705, 0.1262, 0.1266, 0.1888, 0.276, 0.2904, 0.3554, 0.2921, 0.2892, 0.3194, 0.3439, 0.3839, 0.5067, 0.532, 0.4956, 0.4089, 0.4604, 0.5877, 0.5511, 0.6215, 0.534, 0.5062, 0.4728, 0.3579, 0.3048, 0.2483, 0.1805, 0.2708, 0.4036, 0.5014, 0.4583, 0.4975, 0.4865, 0.566, 0.4421, 0.3232, 0.4005, 0.31, 0.3321, 0.3161, 0.2236, 0.1295, 0.0609, 0.0, 0.0292, 0.0838, 0.138, 0.0132, -0.0034, 0.1001, 0.0639, 0.1335, 0.1335, 0.1356, 0.1988, 0.1545, 0.1841, 0.2305, 0.1736, 0.201, 0.1541, 0.1203, 0.1286, 0.0497, -0.0287, -0.031, -0.0968, -0.0652, 0.0709, 0.116, 0.0777, 0.0909, 0.0909, 0.0485, 0.0299, 0.0195, 0.002, 0.002, 0.0767, 0.1112, 0.1999, 0.1517, 0.1647, 0.1723, 0.2848, 0.262, 0.2207, 0.2435, 0.3015, 0.3015, 0.1885, 0.1835, 0.1593, 0.1312, 0.0948, 0.1715, 0.2022, 0.1361, 0.0198, 0.0553, 0.0767, -0.0138, -0.1158, 0.0306, 0.1118, 0.0988, 0.0607, 0.0741, 0.1732, 0.1732, 0.1673, 0.2186, 0.2881, 0.1721, 0.2043, 0.2279, 0.2703, 0.2554, 0.0916, 0.0894, 0.039, 0.1705, 0.145, 0.0693, 0.1365, 0.1543, 0.3406, 0.2933, 0.352, 0.5543, 0.3925, 0.4192, 0.4546, 0.4079, 0.3664, 0.3755, 0.3777, 0.2685, 0.2068, 0.1044, 0.242, 0.2204, 0.3026, 0.3026, 0.3471, 0.4053, 0.4963, 0.6319, 0.7353, 0.8501, 0.9385, 0.9963, 0.9792, 0.881, 0.9052, 0.874, 0.869, 0.8803, 0.7616, 0.7352, 0.6221, 0.6901, 0.6547, 0.8493, 1.1118, 1.1058, 1.3353, 1.2118, 1.1193, 1.2277]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1989258180552175977", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-14T09:04:43+00:00", "symbol": "WULF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "WULF ( $WULF ): 🟢 Highly Positive (8.5/10)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Institutional flow analysis rates NBIS/WULF/CIFR/CLSK positively and IREN negatively based on 13F ownership structure and fund type.", "resolved_tickers": ["WULF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Institutional Flow assessment for 13F Neocloud filings:\n\n· Nebius ( $NBIS ): 🟢 Strongly Positive (7/10)\n· WULF ( $WULF ): 🟢 Highly Positive (8.5/10)\n· IREN ( $IREN ): 🔴 Very Negative (3/10)\n· CIFR ( $CIFR ): 🟢 Highly Positive (8.0/10)\n· Coreweave ( $CRWV ):  🟡 Neutral (5.5/10)\n· Cleanspark ( $CLSK ): 🟢 Highly Positive (9.0/10)\n\n_\n\nTLDR Summary Updates: \n\n$NBIS\n· Strong overall quantitative growth in institutional ownership, driven by a mix of solid, long-term institutional buyers alongside high activity from quantitative funds and hedge funds.\n\n$WULF\n· Structurally stable and secure institutional base, characterized by large, long-only asset managers like Vanguard and BlackRock who hold high conviction in the stock.\n\n$IREN\n· Ownership is dominated by high-frequency traders, market makers, and quant funds (eg. Jane Street, Citadel). This structure is viewed negatively as it suggests less stable, short-term holding pressure and a lack of conviction from long-term institutions.\n\n$CIFR\n· Excellent institutional setup marked by inclusion in major indices (passive demand) and strong, conviction-based buying from active funds, highlighted by a massive stake increase from Alyeska.\n\n$CRWV\n· High trading volume suggests significant market interest, but ownership is currently highly concentrated, with a notable presence of market-makers, leading to a neutral score that implies balanced risk/reward in the flow.\n\n$CLSK\n· Considered the best institutional structure in the group, combining broad, supportive passive index inclusion with aggressive, high-conviction active accumulation, suggesting the lowest qualitative risk.\n\n_\n\nComments:\n\nEg. \" Bullish - Jane Street + Citadel own x  of $IREN \" (hint: it's not positive). Especially when long term holders like FMR (Fidelity): 2.12M shares, trimmed large percent of stakes.  \n\nThe type of fund matters eg:\n\nPassive (Most Positive)\nVanguard, BlackRock index, State Street, Geode, etc\n\nLong  (Positive)\nFidelity, T. Rowe, Wellington, BIT, etc\n\nHedge Fund (Neutral to Positive)\nAlyeska, Coatue, Millennium, etc\n \nQuant/MM (Negative)\nJane Street, Citadel, Susquehanna, SIG, Two Sigma, etc\n\nThis is a subjective framework when scoring how positive flows were just from this quarter (not overall ownership).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "We're seeing a sector crash in high-beta AI stocks, with  names down 30-45%+ in 1M & 10%+ today.\n\nThis includes direct beneficiaries of Mag7 Capex :\n\n- Nebius ( $NBIS ): $3B $META deal / $8B forward ARR.\n\n- TeraWulf ( $WULF ):  <$50B Antrophic DC + JV FS/ $GOOGL\n\n- Iren ( $IREN https://t.co/fAodtM0F4s", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.06278439931099422, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06278439931099422, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06262060372605727, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06262060372605727, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005459546939607929, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005459546939607929, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014775980368852526, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014775980368852526, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "ret_p1w": 0.02729756114492976, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02729756114492976, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.046495901885605484, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.046495901885605484, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "ret_p1m": 0.13648771894809464, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13648771894809464, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12339110631935446, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12339110631935446, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "ret_p3m": 0.45859881897109034, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.45859881897109034, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4257460653553691, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4257460653553691, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "bench_c_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "ret_p6m": 1.1264787375746819, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.1264787375746819, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.0199504009841642, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.0199504009841642, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "price_path": [-0.2011, -0.1556, -0.1638, -0.1665, -0.1874, -0.1592, -0.1692, -0.141, -0.1401, -0.1401, -0.1237, -0.1829, -0.1929, -0.1692, -0.1629, -0.0628, -0.04, -0.0318, -0.0209, -0.0455, -0.0045, 0.0328, 0.0164, -0.0009, 0.0455, 0.0227, 0.0373, -0.0018, -0.0146, 0.0555, 0.0391, 0.0437, 0.0537, 0.0846, 0.0892, 0.101, 0.1192, 0.2366, 0.2293, 0.2739, 0.4067, 0.4076, 0.2611, 0.2675, 0.2602, 0.1956, 0.1483, 0.172, 0.2475, 0.2411, 0.4504, 0.3194, 0.3485, 0.4104, 0.465, 0.3658, 0.3976, 0.2994, 0.2684, 0.3012, 0.1256, 0.1501, 0.0628, 0.0, 0.0055, 0.0919, 0.1128, 0.0519, 0.0273, 0.1492, 0.2684, 0.3503, 0.3503, 0.4113, 0.3922, 0.2939, 0.313, 0.374, 0.3194, 0.3612, 0.4186, 0.434, 0.4404, 0.3039, 0.1365, 0.182, 0.0528, 0.0728, 0.1392, 0.1347, 0.1301, 0.1201, 0.1201, 0.0692, 0.0391, 0.0146, 0.0455, 0.0455, 0.1592, 0.2393, 0.1993, 0.1365, 0.1683, 0.192, 0.2566, 0.2866, 0.293, 0.2584, 0.2602, 0.2602, 0.2129, 0.1938, 0.1729, 0.2848, 0.2548, 0.3931, 0.3749, 0.323, 0.2166, 0.2229, 0.3467, 0.263, 0.0846, 0.3003, 0.515, 0.5132, 0.4586, 0.4477, 0.4795, 0.4795, 0.4722, 0.3995, 0.4076, 0.3658, 0.4268, 0.5978, 0.6306, 0.6269, 0.4759, 0.4577, 0.3412, 0.3985, 0.3858, 0.2511, 0.2602, 0.3057, 0.3849, 0.3348, 0.3348, 0.4932, 0.4595, 0.3922, 0.4322, 0.374, 0.4732, 0.4759, 0.5341, 0.3967, 0.3549, 0.2466, 0.313, 0.3176, 0.354, 0.354, 0.4149, 0.5077, 0.6424, 0.7316, 0.717, 0.7698, 0.9063, 0.7898, 0.7571, 0.8781, 0.8653, 0.7989, 0.8699, 0.8535, 0.8207, 0.95, 0.8926, 0.8217, 0.9773, 0.939, 1.0282, 1.1374, 1.3421, 1.1856, 1.1283, 1.1265]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1989258180552175977", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-11-14T09:04:43+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IREN ( $IREN ): 🔴 Very Negative (3/10)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Institutional flow analysis rates NBIS/WULF/CIFR/CLSK positively and IREN negatively based on 13F ownership structure and fund type.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Institutional Flow assessment for 13F Neocloud filings:\n\n· Nebius ( $NBIS ): 🟢 Strongly Positive (7/10)\n· WULF ( $WULF ): 🟢 Highly Positive (8.5/10)\n· IREN ( $IREN ): 🔴 Very Negative (3/10)\n· CIFR ( $CIFR ): 🟢 Highly Positive (8.0/10)\n· Coreweave ( $CRWV ):  🟡 Neutral (5.5/10)\n· Cleanspark ( $CLSK ): 🟢 Highly Positive (9.0/10)\n\n_\n\nTLDR Summary Updates: \n\n$NBIS\n· Strong overall quantitative growth in institutional ownership, driven by a mix of solid, long-term institutional buyers alongside high activity from quantitative funds and hedge funds.\n\n$WULF\n· Structurally stable and secure institutional base, characterized by large, long-only asset managers like Vanguard and BlackRock who hold high conviction in the stock.\n\n$IREN\n· Ownership is dominated by high-frequency traders, market makers, and quant funds (eg. Jane Street, Citadel). This structure is viewed negatively as it suggests less stable, short-term holding pressure and a lack of conviction from long-term institutions.\n\n$CIFR\n· Excellent institutional setup marked by inclusion in major indices (passive demand) and strong, conviction-based buying from active funds, highlighted by a massive stake increase from Alyeska.\n\n$CRWV\n· High trading volume suggests significant market interest, but ownership is currently highly concentrated, with a notable presence of market-makers, leading to a neutral score that implies balanced risk/reward in the flow.\n\n$CLSK\n· Considered the best institutional structure in the group, combining broad, supportive passive index inclusion with aggressive, high-conviction active accumulation, suggesting the lowest qualitative risk.\n\n_\n\nComments:\n\nEg. \" Bullish - Jane Street + Citadel own x  of $IREN \" (hint: it's not positive). Especially when long term holders like FMR (Fidelity): 2.12M shares, trimmed large percent of stakes.  \n\nThe type of fund matters eg:\n\nPassive (Most Positive)\nVanguard, BlackRock index, State Street, Geode, etc\n\nLong  (Positive)\nFidelity, T. Rowe, Wellington, BIT, etc\n\nHedge Fund (Neutral to Positive)\nAlyeska, Coatue, Millennium, etc\n \nQuant/MM (Negative)\nJane Street, Citadel, Susquehanna, SIG, Two Sigma, etc\n\nThis is a subjective framework when scoring how positive flows were just from this quarter (not overall ownership).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "We're seeing a sector crash in high-beta AI stocks, with  names down 30-45%+ in 1M & 10%+ today.\n\nThis includes direct beneficiaries of Mag7 Capex :\n\n- Nebius ( $NBIS ): $3B $META deal / $8B forward ARR.\n\n- TeraWulf ( $WULF ):  <$50B Antrophic DC + JV FS/ $GOOGL\n\n- Iren ( $IREN https://t.co/fAodtM0F4s", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04916977887671181, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04916977887671181, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04900598329177486, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03906487034650952, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010104908530202295, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.022428314416290007, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.022428314416290007, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.031744747845534604, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04149401623884885, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "bench_c_p1d": -0.019065701822558845, "ret_p1w": -0.08863490845425614, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08863490845425614, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06943656771358042, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07376361114817953, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014871297306076614, "ret_p1m": -0.23485011085821472, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.23485011085821472, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2479467234869549, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2832772311723931, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "bench_c_p1m": 0.048427120314178396, "ret_p3m": -0.07979298788370837, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07979298788370837, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11264574149942963, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08883645736695056, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "bench_c_p3m": 0.009043469483242195, "ret_p6m": 0.1893466205787826, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1893466205787826, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08281828398826496, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.20511627869549376, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "bench_c_p6m": -0.01576965811671116, "price_path": [-0.5961, -0.5739, -0.5775, -0.5378, -0.5014, -0.5042, -0.5179, -0.5031, -0.4289, -0.4289, -0.3722, -0.3916, -0.4365, -0.4361, -0.4352, -0.3489, -0.2747, -0.2916, -0.2676, -0.1991, -0.2139, -0.1827, -0.2167, -0.1667, -0.0964, -0.0992, 0.0166, -0.0017, -0.0973, -0.0095, 0.0121, 0.0153, 0.014, 0.0882, 0.2454, 0.3302, 0.2959, 0.377, 0.289, 0.3832, 0.5001, 0.466, 0.3334, 0.3095, 0.2771, 0.1903, 0.1177, 0.2047, 0.3565, 0.4016, 0.3461, 0.303, 0.2556, 0.3101, 0.4611, 0.4369, 0.6478, 0.444, 0.3453, 0.2976, 0.2374, 0.2012, 0.0492, 0.0, 0.0224, 0.0535, -0.0116, -0.0625, -0.0886, 0.0457, 0.0237, 0.0449, 0.0449, 0.0311, 0.0457, -0.1132, -0.052, 0.0017, -0.0358, -0.0006, 0.0101, -0.0528, -0.0524, -0.1346, -0.2349, -0.2109, -0.2715, -0.2279, -0.1391, -0.0934, -0.0927, -0.0947, -0.0947, -0.1309, -0.1501, -0.174, -0.1855, -0.1855, -0.0791, 0.0403, -0.0099, -0.0592, -0.0149, -0.0073, 0.0854, 0.1428, 0.1404, 0.119, 0.2469, 0.2469, 0.1702, 0.1533, 0.127, 0.2223, 0.1292, 0.2937, 0.3573, 0.2905, 0.1589, 0.1447, 0.173, -0.0308, -0.1419, -0.0979, -0.0047, -0.0742, -0.0798, -0.1367, -0.0895, -0.0895, -0.1165, -0.0925, -0.0664, -0.1378, -0.0865, -0.0198, -0.0505, -0.0459, -0.1169, -0.1074, -0.1622, -0.0546, -0.1347, -0.2085, -0.1624, -0.1779, -0.0947, -0.1078, -0.1033, -0.0308, -0.0735, -0.0897, -0.1016, -0.1096, -0.0908, -0.1132, -0.1065, -0.1924, -0.2433, -0.3181, -0.2607, -0.2648, -0.2502, -0.2502, -0.2424, -0.2292, -0.2057, -0.2008, -0.152, -0.0712, 0.0216, 0.0528, 0.0287, 0.0377, 0.0507, -0.0259, 0.0436, 0.1218, 0.0921, 0.0429, -0.0416, -0.0757, -0.0185, -0.0153, 0.0671, 0.1805, 0.3151, 0.226, 0.3198, 0.1893]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1989258180552175977", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-11-14T09:04:43+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CIFR ( $CIFR ): 🟢 Highly Positive (8.0/10)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Institutional flow analysis rates NBIS/WULF/CIFR/CLSK positively and IREN negatively based on 13F ownership structure and fund type.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Institutional Flow assessment for 13F Neocloud filings:\n\n· Nebius ( $NBIS ): 🟢 Strongly Positive (7/10)\n· WULF ( $WULF ): 🟢 Highly Positive (8.5/10)\n· IREN ( $IREN ): 🔴 Very Negative (3/10)\n· CIFR ( $CIFR ): 🟢 Highly Positive (8.0/10)\n· Coreweave ( $CRWV ):  🟡 Neutral (5.5/10)\n· Cleanspark ( $CLSK ): 🟢 Highly Positive (9.0/10)\n\n_\n\nTLDR Summary Updates: \n\n$NBIS\n· Strong overall quantitative growth in institutional ownership, driven by a mix of solid, long-term institutional buyers alongside high activity from quantitative funds and hedge funds.\n\n$WULF\n· Structurally stable and secure institutional base, characterized by large, long-only asset managers like Vanguard and BlackRock who hold high conviction in the stock.\n\n$IREN\n· Ownership is dominated by high-frequency traders, market makers, and quant funds (eg. Jane Street, Citadel). This structure is viewed negatively as it suggests less stable, short-term holding pressure and a lack of conviction from long-term institutions.\n\n$CIFR\n· Excellent institutional setup marked by inclusion in major indices (passive demand) and strong, conviction-based buying from active funds, highlighted by a massive stake increase from Alyeska.\n\n$CRWV\n· High trading volume suggests significant market interest, but ownership is currently highly concentrated, with a notable presence of market-makers, leading to a neutral score that implies balanced risk/reward in the flow.\n\n$CLSK\n· Considered the best institutional structure in the group, combining broad, supportive passive index inclusion with aggressive, high-conviction active accumulation, suggesting the lowest qualitative risk.\n\n_\n\nComments:\n\nEg. \" Bullish - Jane Street + Citadel own x  of $IREN \" (hint: it's not positive). Especially when long term holders like FMR (Fidelity): 2.12M shares, trimmed large percent of stakes.  \n\nThe type of fund matters eg:\n\nPassive (Most Positive)\nVanguard, BlackRock index, State Street, Geode, etc\n\nLong  (Positive)\nFidelity, T. Rowe, Wellington, BIT, etc\n\nHedge Fund (Neutral to Positive)\nAlyeska, Coatue, Millennium, etc\n \nQuant/MM (Negative)\nJane Street, Citadel, Susquehanna, SIG, Two Sigma, etc\n\nThis is a subjective framework when scoring how positive flows were just from this quarter (not overall ownership).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "We're seeing a sector crash in high-beta AI stocks, with  names down 30-45%+ in 1M & 10%+ today.\n\nThis includes direct beneficiaries of Mag7 Capex :\n\n- Nebius ( $NBIS ): $3B $META deal / $8B forward ARR.\n\n- TeraWulf ( $WULF ):  <$50B Antrophic DC + JV FS/ $GOOGL\n\n- Iren ( $IREN https://t.co/fAodtM0F4s", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.039693639423834526, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.039693639423834526, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03952984383889757, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.045107562737243145, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0054139233134086195, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0006963283737175807, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0006963283737175807, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008620105055527016, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014955175456109027, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015651503829826607, "ret_p1w": -0.014623958437862794, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.014623958437862794, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.004574382302812929, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03725871220724131, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0518826706451041, "ret_p1m": 0.026462404145269014, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.026462404145269014, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.013365791516528835, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03878237722964417, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012319973084375158, "ret_p3m": 0.13370481029750447, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.13370481029750447, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10085205668178321, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.139869257288889, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "bench_c_p3m": -0.00616444699138452, "ret_p6m": 0.41225634899061614, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.41225634899061614, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3057280124000985, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.17421152105138193, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2380448279392342, "price_path": [-0.5989, -0.5857, -0.5891, -0.5557, -0.5376, -0.5042, -0.5132, -0.5111, -0.468, -0.468, -0.4206, -0.4352, -0.4847, -0.4763, -0.4624, -0.3579, -0.2862, -0.3057, -0.2444, -0.2444, -0.1985, -0.1379, -0.1748, -0.1448, -0.0279, -0.0146, -0.0153, -0.188, -0.2013, -0.1191, -0.1233, -0.1226, -0.0383, 0.0237, 0.0682, 0.0968, 0.2256, 0.2528, 0.1818, 0.4164, 0.4547, 0.4645, 0.3036, 0.3064, 0.3865, 0.2587, 0.1219, 0.2016, 0.4387, 0.4304, 0.39, 0.3642, 0.328, 0.2987, 0.585, 0.5675, 0.7208, 0.5118, 0.4408, 0.3684, 0.3001, 0.2103, 0.0397, 0.0, -0.0007, 0.0153, 0.0181, 0.0139, -0.0146, 0.1636, 0.2201, 0.3336, 0.3336, 0.4171, 0.3712, 0.2284, 0.2974, 0.3809, 0.3426, 0.3565, 0.3621, 0.2869, 0.3148, 0.1873, 0.0265, 0.0439, 0.0021, 0.055, 0.1288, 0.1379, 0.1079, 0.1295, 0.1295, 0.0578, 0.0501, 0.016, 0.0279, 0.0279, 0.1281, 0.2646, 0.2214, 0.1198, 0.1525, 0.1581, 0.2312, 0.2709, 0.2625, 0.2201, 0.3092, 0.3092, 0.2479, 0.234, 0.211, 0.2235, 0.1483, 0.3057, 0.321, 0.2326, 0.1114, 0.101, 0.1323, -0.0077, -0.1156, 0.0258, 0.1671, 0.1908, 0.1337, 0.1212, 0.1435, 0.1435, 0.0891, 0.0738, 0.1003, 0.0202, 0.0599, 0.1922, 0.1567, 0.1476, 0.0864, 0.0975, 0.0244, 0.117, 0.055, -0.0515, -0.0035, -0.0279, -0.0174, -0.0453, -0.0195, 0.0543, 0.0508, 0.0216, 0.0195, -0.0244, 0.0369, 0.0362, 0.1058, -0.0007, -0.0428, -0.1633, -0.1038, -0.1198, -0.1072, -0.1072, -0.0703, -0.0244, 0.0738, 0.1393, 0.1511, 0.2368, 0.2848, 0.2535, 0.2075, 0.3489, 0.3433, 0.2563, 0.3538, 0.3015, 0.2674, 0.2646, 0.2019, 0.1783, 0.2354, 0.1866, 0.2458, 0.539, 0.5258, 0.4405, 0.4311, 0.4123]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1989258180552175977", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-11-14T09:04:43+00:00", "symbol": "CLSK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Cleanspark ( $CLSK ): 🟢 Highly Positive (9.0/10)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Institutional flow analysis rates NBIS/WULF/CIFR/CLSK positively and IREN negatively based on 13F ownership structure and fund type.", "resolved_tickers": ["CLSK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Institutional Flow assessment for 13F Neocloud filings:\n\n· Nebius ( $NBIS ): 🟢 Strongly Positive (7/10)\n· WULF ( $WULF ): 🟢 Highly Positive (8.5/10)\n· IREN ( $IREN ): 🔴 Very Negative (3/10)\n· CIFR ( $CIFR ): 🟢 Highly Positive (8.0/10)\n· Coreweave ( $CRWV ):  🟡 Neutral (5.5/10)\n· Cleanspark ( $CLSK ): 🟢 Highly Positive (9.0/10)\n\n_\n\nTLDR Summary Updates: \n\n$NBIS\n· Strong overall quantitative growth in institutional ownership, driven by a mix of solid, long-term institutional buyers alongside high activity from quantitative funds and hedge funds.\n\n$WULF\n· Structurally stable and secure institutional base, characterized by large, long-only asset managers like Vanguard and BlackRock who hold high conviction in the stock.\n\n$IREN\n· Ownership is dominated by high-frequency traders, market makers, and quant funds (eg. Jane Street, Citadel). This structure is viewed negatively as it suggests less stable, short-term holding pressure and a lack of conviction from long-term institutions.\n\n$CIFR\n· Excellent institutional setup marked by inclusion in major indices (passive demand) and strong, conviction-based buying from active funds, highlighted by a massive stake increase from Alyeska.\n\n$CRWV\n· High trading volume suggests significant market interest, but ownership is currently highly concentrated, with a notable presence of market-makers, leading to a neutral score that implies balanced risk/reward in the flow.\n\n$CLSK\n· Considered the best institutional structure in the group, combining broad, supportive passive index inclusion with aggressive, high-conviction active accumulation, suggesting the lowest qualitative risk.\n\n_\n\nComments:\n\nEg. \" Bullish - Jane Street + Citadel own x  of $IREN \" (hint: it's not positive). Especially when long term holders like FMR (Fidelity): 2.12M shares, trimmed large percent of stakes.  \n\nThe type of fund matters eg:\n\nPassive (Most Positive)\nVanguard, BlackRock index, State Street, Geode, etc\n\nLong  (Positive)\nFidelity, T. Rowe, Wellington, BIT, etc\n\nHedge Fund (Neutral to Positive)\nAlyeska, Coatue, Millennium, etc\n \nQuant/MM (Negative)\nJane Street, Citadel, Susquehanna, SIG, Two Sigma, etc\n\nThis is a subjective framework when scoring how positive flows were just from this quarter (not overall ownership).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "We're seeing a sector crash in high-beta AI stocks, with  names down 30-45%+ in 1M & 10%+ today.\n\nThis includes direct beneficiaries of Mag7 Capex :\n\n- Nebius ( $NBIS ): $3B $META deal / $8B forward ARR.\n\n- TeraWulf ( $WULF ):  <$50B Antrophic DC + JV FS/ $GOOGL\n\n- Iren ( $IREN https://t.co/fAodtM0F4s", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.09306564785941451, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.09306564785941451, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.09290185227447756, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08296073932921222, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010104908530202295, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03193434126382555, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03193434126382555, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.022617907834580953, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012868639441266705, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "bench_c_p1d": -0.019065701822558845, "ret_p1w": -0.11222632222897355, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11222632222897355, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09302798148829783, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09735502492289694, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014871297306076614, "ret_p1m": 0.08713502923194505, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08713502923194505, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07403841660320487, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.038707908917766654, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "bench_c_p1m": 0.048427120314178396, "ret_p3m": -0.12226278721933714, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.12226278721933714, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1551155408350584, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13130625670257934, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "bench_c_p3m": 0.009043469483242195, "ret_p6m": 0.3047445384090155, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3047445384090155, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.19821620181849786, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.32051419652572666, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "bench_c_p6m": -0.01576965811671116, "price_path": [-0.146, -0.1341, -0.1487, -0.104, -0.1378, -0.1168, -0.1259, -0.1286, -0.1359, -0.1359, -0.1204, -0.1387, -0.1715, -0.1569, -0.1633, -0.1177, -0.0849, -0.0693, -0.0557, -0.0611, 0.0219, 0.0438, 0.2281, 0.2427, 0.2536, 0.2692, 0.3184, 0.2482, 0.1825, 0.3568, 0.323, 0.3312, 0.3814, 0.4544, 0.5903, 0.6387, 0.7318, 0.833, 0.7591, 0.8285, 1.0055, 1.1168, 0.8239, 0.7815, 0.8613, 0.7126, 0.5383, 0.6122, 0.7669, 0.8431, 0.7473, 0.7235, 0.6141, 0.6241, 0.5894, 0.4799, 0.5128, 0.4051, 0.4206, 0.3714, 0.2815, 0.2162, 0.0931, 0.0, -0.0319, -0.0137, -0.0675, -0.1077, -0.1122, 0.0474, 0.0785, 0.2272, 0.2272, 0.3777, 0.2847, 0.2509, 0.3221, 0.3714, 0.2514, 0.2673, 0.3549, 0.3257, 0.3522, 0.2801, 0.0871, 0.0821, 0.0474, 0.0219, 0.0976, 0.104, 0.0502, 0.0401, 0.0401, -0.0046, -0.0219, -0.0493, -0.0766, -0.0766, 0.0538, 0.1223, 0.094, 0.0885, 0.094, 0.0593, 0.0912, 0.1451, 0.2172, 0.1615, 0.2199, 0.2199, 0.1642, 0.1688, 0.2035, 0.2509, 0.135, 0.2108, 0.2272, 0.1487, 0.0803, 0.0073, 0.0365, -0.0675, -0.2459, -0.0803, -0.0703, -0.0849, -0.1223, -0.1505, -0.1013, -0.1013, -0.1533, -0.1542, -0.104, -0.1195, -0.104, -0.0557, -0.0465, -0.0474, -0.0922, -0.0374, -0.0976, -0.0274, -0.0922, -0.1597, -0.1232, -0.1214, -0.1049, -0.1286, -0.1095, -0.0858, -0.0776, -0.0985, -0.1031, -0.1423, -0.0894, -0.1259, -0.0912, -0.1515, -0.2099, -0.2536, -0.2235, -0.2135, -0.198, -0.198, -0.1697, -0.1734, -0.0985, -0.0693, -0.0858, -0.0182, 0.0283, 0.0274, 0.042, 0.0922, 0.0995, 0.0502, 0.1141, 0.1159, 0.1642, 0.1177, 0.0757, 0.0374, 0.1432, 0.1104, 0.1697, 0.2235, 0.323, 0.2755, 0.2956, 0.3047]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2003476197028852074", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-23T14:42:02+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "AAOI MC is a fraction of MRVL and LITE as a microcap, making the Maia opportunity far more transformative for its stock... If AAOI captures a portion Maia optical BOM, they triple or quadruple their ARR from one client alone by 2027", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish AAOI and MRVL as top beneficiaries of MSFT Maia 300 ramp; also long LITE and TSM as secondary optical/foundry winners into late 2026-2027.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Personal Research: $MSFT Maia 300 supply chain.\n\nOn a $MRVL report, UBS est. 1M+ Maia by 2027. \n\nAn est. of $18B+ is estimated to flow down to suppliers from Maia ASIC ramp. \n\nHere's where it goes:\n\n1.  $MRVL - $8-12B revenue (~30-40% margin) as the prime beneficary. They design the digital plumbing (SerDes, interconnects), buy the HBM4 memory from SK Hynix, pay TSMC for the 2nm wafers and CoWoS packaging, and sell the finished module to Microsoft.\n\nWe'll likely see a large re-rating in Marvell when it comes time for Maia ramp late 2026, early 2027, especially given how much revenue this brings in.  \n\n2. The Optical Fabric: ~$3 Billion to $4 Billion\n\nPrimary Beneficiaries: Applied Optoelectronics ( $AAOI ), Coherent ( $COHR ), Innolight\n\nMaia clusters require a 1:1 or higher ratio of transceivers to GPUs. For 1.6T speeds (required for Maia 300), the optical content per node is estimated at $3,000+ (approx. 6x 800G/1.6T modules per accelerator).\n\nHere AAOI Wins Big: Unlike $MRVL (which is $70B), $AAOI is a $2.5B company. Capturing even 20-30% of this $3B pie ($600M-$900M) would triple + their current ARR, but the amount captured is dependent on their InP Texas Fab scaling (could be a lot more or less). \n\nSo Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) and Marvell's optical DSP business are the silent winners, riding the 1.6T upgrade cycle required to interconnect these massive chips.\n\nCompanies like $TSM gain another $3-4B revenue, but that's medium volume compared to their $100B+ revenue. (just speaking to how much of a giant TSM is)\n\nFor the silicon BOM breakdown:\n\n1. Compute Logic (ASIC) - TSM + Intel Foundry/18A\n\nMarvell (Design), TSMC, Intel, ARM/Synopsys? ($2,800 - $3,500)\n\n2. Memory (est. HBM4? (6-8 stacks), estimate). \n\nSK Hynix, Samsung ($3,360 - $4,500)\n\n3. I/O & Cache Die - TSMC N5/N4\n\nMarvell, TSMC ($400 - $600)\n\n4. Advanced Packaging - CoWoS-L / Foveros Direct\n\nTSMC, Intel ($900-$1300)\n\n5. Thermal Solution - Microfluidic Cold Plate / TIM ($200-400)\n\n6. Misc (High-Current Inductors, Caps)  ($150-$200)\n\nTotal Silicon BOM: $7,860 - $10,550\n\nThis is really high level doesn't go into Passive/Substrate/Lid (Ibiden, Unimicron), Test & Assembly (Advantest, Teradyne), etc. \n\nNow if we look deeper at optical BOM and what $MSFT is doing with hollow core fiber and OCS:\n\nDSP / SerDes IP: $MRVL ($800 - $1,200)\nSiPh Engine (CPO): Marvell / Intel  ($600 - $900)\nLaser Source (ELS): $AAOI, $LITE ($300 - $600)\nTransceiver Assembly: $AAOI, Innolight ($400 - $600)\nFiber Cabling: Hollow Core Fiber / MPO ( $MSFT) ($200 - $300)\n\nTotal Optical BOM~$2,300 - $3,600~25% of Total System Cost\n\nWe've established $LITE and Innolight as the two major players in photonics already (within $NVDA and every single hyperscaler ASIC) \n\nHowever, $AAOI MC is a fraction of $MRVL and $LITE as a microcap, making the Maia opportunity far more transformative for its stock.\n\nSometing also to note is Fubon Research est Maia300 chip is set to start prod in late 2026 with about  300,000 to 400,000 units, increasing to 1.2 to 1.5 million units in 2027, but we're just going with the ~1M figure from UBS. (so might ramp up more)\n\nBut the shift to 1.6T and the specific requirement for high-power lasers for hollow-core/OCS networks is a big tailwind. If AAOI captures a portion Maia optical BOM, they triple or quadruple their ARR from one client alone by 2027 (not including $AMZN). \n\nRisk: The primary risk is qualification failure. If their lasers fail Microsoft’s rigorous reliability testing, they could be replaced by $LITE overnight.\n\nHowever, Maia 300 ramp signals the start of the hyperscaler ASIC trade and key suppliers are there. \n\nThe companies that benefit the most from this specific ASIC late 2026-2027? \n\nLooks like $AAOI, $MRVL, $TSM, and SK Hynix. \n\nWarning: This is speculative research + modeling given public materials + deep research + mapping. There is no public breakdown and news of this information, do not treat it as a fact.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$AAOI is up 24% and $LITE is 5% since my thesis today.\n\nFrom BOM analysis, LITE ($27B) is levered toward TPU Ironwood due to OCS but benefits from NVDA + all ASICs.\n\nAAOI ($2.5B), is levered toward MSFT MAIA ramp and Amazon Trainium.\n\nInP like HBM, will be a bottleneck for 2026 https://t.co/TcZ6FUXRkx", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03801668779893841, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03801668779893841, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03346702699962789, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03346702699962789, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004549660799310518, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004549660799310518, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008858282868066558, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008858282868066558, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005340662562534071, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005340662562534071, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0035176203055324873, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0035176203055324873, "ret_p1w": -0.11368107778716019, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11368107778716019, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11230021988314987, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11230021988314987, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0013808579040103242, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0013808579040103242, "ret_p1m": -0.05561019575479753, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05561019575479753, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05188903190562544, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05188903190562544, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0037211638491720933, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0037211638491720933, "ret_p3m": 1.1540354879489731, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.1540354879489731, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.2087170873101596, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.2087170873101596, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.05468159936118644, "bench_c_p3m": -0.05468159936118644, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3519, -0.3659, -0.3617, -0.362, -0.3007, -0.3115, -0.3127, -0.1686, -0.229, -0.2072, -0.2035, -0.3319, -0.284, -0.2992, -0.1892, -0.2338, -0.2146, -0.1599, -0.1781, -0.2624, -0.2274, -0.1631, -0.0842, -0.0928, -0.127, -0.1371, -0.125, -0.187, -0.2741, -0.2247, -0.284, -0.297, -0.3745, -0.4156, -0.4109, -0.4855, -0.4718, -0.4678, -0.486, -0.4865, -0.5204, -0.4936, -0.4471, -0.4407, -0.3708, -0.3708, -0.341, -0.3472, -0.3597, -0.3688, -0.3543, -0.3457, -0.315, -0.2525, -0.1393, -0.1063, -0.2111, -0.2643, -0.2874, -0.3322, -0.2803, -0.2293, -0.038, 0.0, 0.0089, 0.0089, -0.0854, -0.0957, -0.1137, -0.1422, -0.1422, -0.0256, -0.139, -0.05, -0.0636, -0.1877, -0.1624, -0.1703, -0.159, -0.1518, -0.0896, -0.0886, -0.0886, -0.034, -0.0556, -0.0613, -0.1211, -0.1415, -0.08, 0.1129, -0.0263, 0.0731, 0.0866, 0.1348, -0.0182, -0.0618, 0.0901, 0.1789, 0.1932, 0.1909, 0.0824, 0.094, 0.094, 0.0805, 0.0689, 0.156, 0.2717, 0.3278, 0.3846, 0.4301, 0.3211, 1.0726, 1.5224, 1.346, 1.4535, 1.4887, 1.3519, 1.7219, 1.9648, 2.1252, 1.6129, 1.3821, 1.3147, 1.1243, 1.2793, 1.5079, 1.154, 1.3563, 1.8027, 1.8152, 1.3971, 1.4166, 1.0962, 1.0814, 1.1248, 1.5568, 1.5568, 1.6439, 1.8947, 2.2653, 2.28, 2.7057, 2.7694, 2.6021, 2.5076, 2.8711, 2.9227, 3.0224, 2.705, 2.6767, 2.389, 2.9904, 2.5871, 2.3775, 2.7606, 3.0443, 3.5155, 3.2564, 3.4432, 3.3932, 2.8767, 2.6649, 3.5497, 3.6329, 4.4897, 4.0091, 3.6841, 3.2633, 3.2158, 3.0664, 3.3506, 3.4658, 3.4658, 3.3706, 3.425, 3.159, 2.8979, 2.8979, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2003476197028852074", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-23T14:42:02+00:00", "symbol": "MRVL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We'll likely see a large re-rating in Marvell when it comes time for Maia ramp late 2026, early 2027, especially given how much revenue this brings in", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish AAOI and MRVL as top beneficiaries of MSFT Maia 300 ramp; also long LITE and TSM as secondary optical/foundry winners into late 2026-2027.", "resolved_tickers": ["MRVL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Personal Research: $MSFT Maia 300 supply chain.\n\nOn a $MRVL report, UBS est. 1M+ Maia by 2027. \n\nAn est. of $18B+ is estimated to flow down to suppliers from Maia ASIC ramp. \n\nHere's where it goes:\n\n1.  $MRVL - $8-12B revenue (~30-40% margin) as the prime beneficary. They design the digital plumbing (SerDes, interconnects), buy the HBM4 memory from SK Hynix, pay TSMC for the 2nm wafers and CoWoS packaging, and sell the finished module to Microsoft.\n\nWe'll likely see a large re-rating in Marvell when it comes time for Maia ramp late 2026, early 2027, especially given how much revenue this brings in.  \n\n2. The Optical Fabric: ~$3 Billion to $4 Billion\n\nPrimary Beneficiaries: Applied Optoelectronics ( $AAOI ), Coherent ( $COHR ), Innolight\n\nMaia clusters require a 1:1 or higher ratio of transceivers to GPUs. For 1.6T speeds (required for Maia 300), the optical content per node is estimated at $3,000+ (approx. 6x 800G/1.6T modules per accelerator).\n\nHere AAOI Wins Big: Unlike $MRVL (which is $70B), $AAOI is a $2.5B company. Capturing even 20-30% of this $3B pie ($600M-$900M) would triple + their current ARR, but the amount captured is dependent on their InP Texas Fab scaling (could be a lot more or less). \n\nSo Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) and Marvell's optical DSP business are the silent winners, riding the 1.6T upgrade cycle required to interconnect these massive chips.\n\nCompanies like $TSM gain another $3-4B revenue, but that's medium volume compared to their $100B+ revenue. (just speaking to how much of a giant TSM is)\n\nFor the silicon BOM breakdown:\n\n1. Compute Logic (ASIC) - TSM + Intel Foundry/18A\n\nMarvell (Design), TSMC, Intel, ARM/Synopsys? ($2,800 - $3,500)\n\n2. Memory (est. HBM4? (6-8 stacks), estimate). \n\nSK Hynix, Samsung ($3,360 - $4,500)\n\n3. I/O & Cache Die - TSMC N5/N4\n\nMarvell, TSMC ($400 - $600)\n\n4. Advanced Packaging - CoWoS-L / Foveros Direct\n\nTSMC, Intel ($900-$1300)\n\n5. Thermal Solution - Microfluidic Cold Plate / TIM ($200-400)\n\n6. Misc (High-Current Inductors, Caps)  ($150-$200)\n\nTotal Silicon BOM: $7,860 - $10,550\n\nThis is really high level doesn't go into Passive/Substrate/Lid (Ibiden, Unimicron), Test & Assembly (Advantest, Teradyne), etc. \n\nNow if we look deeper at optical BOM and what $MSFT is doing with hollow core fiber and OCS:\n\nDSP / SerDes IP: $MRVL ($800 - $1,200)\nSiPh Engine (CPO): Marvell / Intel  ($600 - $900)\nLaser Source (ELS): $AAOI, $LITE ($300 - $600)\nTransceiver Assembly: $AAOI, Innolight ($400 - $600)\nFiber Cabling: Hollow Core Fiber / MPO ( $MSFT) ($200 - $300)\n\nTotal Optical BOM~$2,300 - $3,600~25% of Total System Cost\n\nWe've established $LITE and Innolight as the two major players in photonics already (within $NVDA and every single hyperscaler ASIC) \n\nHowever, $AAOI MC is a fraction of $MRVL and $LITE as a microcap, making the Maia opportunity far more transformative for its stock.\n\nSometing also to note is Fubon Research est Maia300 chip is set to start prod in late 2026 with about  300,000 to 400,000 units, increasing to 1.2 to 1.5 million units in 2027, but we're just going with the ~1M figure from UBS. (so might ramp up more)\n\nBut the shift to 1.6T and the specific requirement for high-power lasers for hollow-core/OCS networks is a big tailwind. If AAOI captures a portion Maia optical BOM, they triple or quadruple their ARR from one client alone by 2027 (not including $AMZN). \n\nRisk: The primary risk is qualification failure. If their lasers fail Microsoft’s rigorous reliability testing, they could be replaced by $LITE overnight.\n\nHowever, Maia 300 ramp signals the start of the hyperscaler ASIC trade and key suppliers are there. \n\nThe companies that benefit the most from this specific ASIC late 2026-2027? \n\nLooks like $AAOI, $MRVL, $TSM, and SK Hynix. \n\nWarning: This is speculative research + modeling given public materials + deep research + mapping. There is no public breakdown and news of this information, do not treat it as a fact.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$AAOI is up 24% and $LITE is 5% since my thesis today.\n\nFrom BOM analysis, LITE ($27B) is levered toward TPU Ironwood due to OCS but benefits from NVDA + all ASICs.\n\nAAOI ($2.5B), is levered toward MSFT MAIA ramp and Amazon Trainium.\n\nInP like HBM, will be a bottleneck for 2026 https://t.co/TcZ6FUXRkx", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03284669688694852, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03284669688694852, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.028297036087638006, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.028297036087638006, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004549660799310518, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004549660799310518, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.013572119559687179, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.013572119559687179, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.017089739865219666, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.017089739865219666, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0035176203055324873, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0035176203055324873, "ret_p1w": -0.010492591988558675, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.010492591988558675, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.00911173408454835, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.00911173408454835, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0013808579040103242, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0013808579040103242, "ret_p1m": -0.05783070160398884, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05783070160398884, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05410953775481675, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05410953775481675, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0037211638491720933, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0037211638491720933, "ret_p3m": 0.0033446345757381923, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0033446345757381923, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05802623393692463, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05802623393692463, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.05468159936118644, "bench_c_p3m": -0.05468159936118644, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0448, -0.0521, -0.061, -0.0418, -0.0439, -0.0175, -0.0173, 0.0135, -0.0088, 0.0543, 0.0335, -0.0236, 0.0195, -0.0167, 0.0138, 0.0063, 0.0031, -0.021, -0.039, -0.0756, -0.056, -0.0405, 0.0117, 0.0089, 0.0282, 0.0102, 0.0691, 0.0307, -0.001, 0.0595, 0.0644, 0.037, 0.0633, 0.0188, 0.0188, -0.0018, -0.014, -0.0482, -0.1026, -0.0725, -0.1255, -0.1167, -0.0444, -0.0485, 0.0005, 0.0005, 0.0196, 0.039, 0.0594, 0.1428, 0.1199, 0.1281, 0.0493, 0.0139, 0.0546, 0.02, -0.0371, -0.039, -0.0412, -0.0682, -0.0366, -0.0409, -0.0328, 0.0, -0.0136, -0.0136, -0.0153, -0.0219, -0.0105, -0.0308, -0.0308, 0.0195, 0.0291, 0.0063, -0.0347, -0.0482, -0.0502, -0.054, -0.0521, -0.0731, -0.0826, -0.0817, -0.0817, -0.0892, -0.0578, -0.0516, -0.0843, -0.0667, -0.0535, -0.0456, -0.0716, -0.0993, -0.1022, -0.1378, -0.1585, -0.153, -0.0837, -0.0601, -0.064, -0.0716, -0.1071, -0.1028, -0.1028, -0.0982, -0.0973, -0.0914, -0.0929, -0.1122, -0.1053, -0.0764, -0.095, -0.0676, -0.0771, -0.1154, -0.1087, -0.1362, 0.0223, 0.0574, 0.0649, 0.0322, 0.0006, 0.0028, 0.0452, 0.0362, 0.0, 0.0218, 0.0033, 0.029, 0.0541, 0.1236, 0.1149, 0.0829, 0.0022, 0.1305, 0.2179, 0.2225, 0.2225, 0.2499, 0.2484, 0.3063, 0.3688, 0.4672, 0.4993, 0.5282, 0.537, 0.523, 0.5951, 0.6882, 0.7278, 0.7964, 0.8905, 0.8763, 0.8066, 0.7497, 0.7879, 0.8859, 0.8836, 0.8688, 0.927, 0.9658, 0.8272, 0.9427, 0.9508, 0.8784, 1.032, 1.0849, 1.0199, 0.929, 1.0128, 1.1331, 1.1775, 1.2419, 1.2419, 1.3781, 1.269, 1.339, 1.3409, 1.3409, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2003476197028852074", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-12-23T14:42:02+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "LITE is levered toward TPU Ironwood due to OCS but benefits from NVDA + all ASICs", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish AAOI and MRVL as top beneficiaries of MSFT Maia 300 ramp; also long LITE and TSM as secondary optical/foundry winners into late 2026-2027.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Personal Research: $MSFT Maia 300 supply chain.\n\nOn a $MRVL report, UBS est. 1M+ Maia by 2027. \n\nAn est. of $18B+ is estimated to flow down to suppliers from Maia ASIC ramp. \n\nHere's where it goes:\n\n1.  $MRVL - $8-12B revenue (~30-40% margin) as the prime beneficary. They design the digital plumbing (SerDes, interconnects), buy the HBM4 memory from SK Hynix, pay TSMC for the 2nm wafers and CoWoS packaging, and sell the finished module to Microsoft.\n\nWe'll likely see a large re-rating in Marvell when it comes time for Maia ramp late 2026, early 2027, especially given how much revenue this brings in.  \n\n2. The Optical Fabric: ~$3 Billion to $4 Billion\n\nPrimary Beneficiaries: Applied Optoelectronics ( $AAOI ), Coherent ( $COHR ), Innolight\n\nMaia clusters require a 1:1 or higher ratio of transceivers to GPUs. For 1.6T speeds (required for Maia 300), the optical content per node is estimated at $3,000+ (approx. 6x 800G/1.6T modules per accelerator).\n\nHere AAOI Wins Big: Unlike $MRVL (which is $70B), $AAOI is a $2.5B company. Capturing even 20-30% of this $3B pie ($600M-$900M) would triple + their current ARR, but the amount captured is dependent on their InP Texas Fab scaling (could be a lot more or less). \n\nSo Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) and Marvell's optical DSP business are the silent winners, riding the 1.6T upgrade cycle required to interconnect these massive chips.\n\nCompanies like $TSM gain another $3-4B revenue, but that's medium volume compared to their $100B+ revenue. (just speaking to how much of a giant TSM is)\n\nFor the silicon BOM breakdown:\n\n1. Compute Logic (ASIC) - TSM + Intel Foundry/18A\n\nMarvell (Design), TSMC, Intel, ARM/Synopsys? ($2,800 - $3,500)\n\n2. Memory (est. HBM4? (6-8 stacks), estimate). \n\nSK Hynix, Samsung ($3,360 - $4,500)\n\n3. I/O & Cache Die - TSMC N5/N4\n\nMarvell, TSMC ($400 - $600)\n\n4. Advanced Packaging - CoWoS-L / Foveros Direct\n\nTSMC, Intel ($900-$1300)\n\n5. Thermal Solution - Microfluidic Cold Plate / TIM ($200-400)\n\n6. Misc (High-Current Inductors, Caps)  ($150-$200)\n\nTotal Silicon BOM: $7,860 - $10,550\n\nThis is really high level doesn't go into Passive/Substrate/Lid (Ibiden, Unimicron), Test & Assembly (Advantest, Teradyne), etc. \n\nNow if we look deeper at optical BOM and what $MSFT is doing with hollow core fiber and OCS:\n\nDSP / SerDes IP: $MRVL ($800 - $1,200)\nSiPh Engine (CPO): Marvell / Intel  ($600 - $900)\nLaser Source (ELS): $AAOI, $LITE ($300 - $600)\nTransceiver Assembly: $AAOI, Innolight ($400 - $600)\nFiber Cabling: Hollow Core Fiber / MPO ( $MSFT) ($200 - $300)\n\nTotal Optical BOM~$2,300 - $3,600~25% of Total System Cost\n\nWe've established $LITE and Innolight as the two major players in photonics already (within $NVDA and every single hyperscaler ASIC) \n\nHowever, $AAOI MC is a fraction of $MRVL and $LITE as a microcap, making the Maia opportunity far more transformative for its stock.\n\nSometing also to note is Fubon Research est Maia300 chip is set to start prod in late 2026 with about  300,000 to 400,000 units, increasing to 1.2 to 1.5 million units in 2027, but we're just going with the ~1M figure from UBS. (so might ramp up more)\n\nBut the shift to 1.6T and the specific requirement for high-power lasers for hollow-core/OCS networks is a big tailwind. If AAOI captures a portion Maia optical BOM, they triple or quadruple their ARR from one client alone by 2027 (not including $AMZN). \n\nRisk: The primary risk is qualification failure. If their lasers fail Microsoft’s rigorous reliability testing, they could be replaced by $LITE overnight.\n\nHowever, Maia 300 ramp signals the start of the hyperscaler ASIC trade and key suppliers are there. \n\nThe companies that benefit the most from this specific ASIC late 2026-2027? \n\nLooks like $AAOI, $MRVL, $TSM, and SK Hynix. \n\nWarning: This is speculative research + modeling given public materials + deep research + mapping. There is no public breakdown and news of this information, do not treat it as a fact.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$AAOI is up 24% and $LITE is 5% since my thesis today.\n\nFrom BOM analysis, LITE ($27B) is levered toward TPU Ironwood due to OCS but benefits from NVDA + all ASICs.\n\nAAOI ($2.5B), is levered toward MSFT MAIA ramp and Amazon Trainium.\n\nInP like HBM, will be a bottleneck for 2026 https://t.co/TcZ6FUXRkx", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.006375677440837002, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006375677440837002, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01092533824014752, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01092533824014752, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004549660799310518, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004549660799310518, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.021966417194139387, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.021966417194139387, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0184487968886069, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0184487968886069, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0035176203055324873, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0035176203055324873, "ret_p1w": -0.04189362905683658, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04189362905683658, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.040512771152826255, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.040512771152826255, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0013808579040103242, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0013808579040103242, "ret_p1m": -0.06445368210595159, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06445368210595159, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0607325182567795, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0607325182567795, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0037211638491720933, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0037211638491720933, "ret_p3m": 0.8232620967681585, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.8232620967681585, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.877943696129345, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.877943696129345, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.05468159936118644, "bench_c_p3m": -0.05468159936118644, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5893, -0.5851, -0.5803, -0.58, -0.5576, -0.5618, -0.5772, -0.5855, -0.5944, -0.579, -0.5876, -0.6138, -0.5856, -0.5953, -0.5959, -0.5787, -0.5747, -0.5844, -0.5794, -0.592, -0.5651, -0.5372, -0.4998, -0.4879, -0.4469, -0.4834, -0.4797, -0.4848, -0.5138, -0.3992, -0.3813, -0.3802, -0.3292, -0.3483, -0.3449, -0.4144, -0.4008, -0.3752, -0.3613, -0.3059, -0.398, -0.3403, -0.2273, -0.2482, -0.2043, -0.2043, -0.1607, -0.1793, -0.2184, -0.2179, -0.1537, -0.1445, -0.1158, -0.0699, -0.0553, -0.0395, -0.1628, -0.1361, -0.1839, -0.1734, -0.1298, -0.0412, 0.0064, 0.0, 0.022, 0.022, 0.0087, -0.0382, -0.0419, -0.0486, -0.0486, -0.0034, -0.0784, 0.0258, 0.0141, -0.1011, -0.0929, -0.1227, -0.0673, -0.144, -0.1139, -0.163, -0.163, -0.0789, -0.0645, -0.085, -0.1245, -0.1419, -0.0432, -0.0062, -0.0154, 0.0114, 0.093, 0.1231, 0.2017, 0.302, 0.4248, 0.4898, 0.4484, 0.4819, 0.5061, 0.4526, 0.4526, 0.5498, 0.5339, 0.6407, 0.7237, 0.7416, 0.7766, 0.8672, 0.7475, 0.8092, 1.0218, 0.7925, 0.7573, 0.6799, 0.4415, 0.6538, 0.7346, 0.7346, 0.5903, 0.6068, 0.6129, 0.6767, 0.809, 0.9931, 0.8233, 0.8816, 1.0701, 1.0061, 0.778, 0.8139, 0.6902, 0.814, 0.9737, 1.1344, 1.1344, 0.9934, 1.1057, 1.3128, 1.308, 1.3162, 1.2487, 1.2013, 1.127, 1.3005, 1.3078, 1.3105, 1.1603, 1.255, 1.186, 1.2757, 1.219, 1.0427, 1.2155, 1.3291, 1.452, 1.5198, 1.5672, 1.4374, 1.304, 1.3329, 1.7183, 1.5615, 1.6596, 1.5859, 1.5056, 1.2843, 1.2975, 1.2407, 1.4896, 1.4442, 1.4442, 1.351, 1.3291, 1.2215, 1.2069, 1.2069, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2003476197028852074", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-12-23T14:42:02+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Companies like TSM gain another $3-4B revenue", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish AAOI and MRVL as top beneficiaries of MSFT Maia 300 ramp; also long LITE and TSM as secondary optical/foundry winners into late 2026-2027.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Personal Research: $MSFT Maia 300 supply chain.\n\nOn a $MRVL report, UBS est. 1M+ Maia by 2027. \n\nAn est. of $18B+ is estimated to flow down to suppliers from Maia ASIC ramp. \n\nHere's where it goes:\n\n1.  $MRVL - $8-12B revenue (~30-40% margin) as the prime beneficary. They design the digital plumbing (SerDes, interconnects), buy the HBM4 memory from SK Hynix, pay TSMC for the 2nm wafers and CoWoS packaging, and sell the finished module to Microsoft.\n\nWe'll likely see a large re-rating in Marvell when it comes time for Maia ramp late 2026, early 2027, especially given how much revenue this brings in.  \n\n2. The Optical Fabric: ~$3 Billion to $4 Billion\n\nPrimary Beneficiaries: Applied Optoelectronics ( $AAOI ), Coherent ( $COHR ), Innolight\n\nMaia clusters require a 1:1 or higher ratio of transceivers to GPUs. For 1.6T speeds (required for Maia 300), the optical content per node is estimated at $3,000+ (approx. 6x 800G/1.6T modules per accelerator).\n\nHere AAOI Wins Big: Unlike $MRVL (which is $70B), $AAOI is a $2.5B company. Capturing even 20-30% of this $3B pie ($600M-$900M) would triple + their current ARR, but the amount captured is dependent on their InP Texas Fab scaling (could be a lot more or less). \n\nSo Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) and Marvell's optical DSP business are the silent winners, riding the 1.6T upgrade cycle required to interconnect these massive chips.\n\nCompanies like $TSM gain another $3-4B revenue, but that's medium volume compared to their $100B+ revenue. (just speaking to how much of a giant TSM is)\n\nFor the silicon BOM breakdown:\n\n1. Compute Logic (ASIC) - TSM + Intel Foundry/18A\n\nMarvell (Design), TSMC, Intel, ARM/Synopsys? ($2,800 - $3,500)\n\n2. Memory (est. HBM4? (6-8 stacks), estimate). \n\nSK Hynix, Samsung ($3,360 - $4,500)\n\n3. I/O & Cache Die - TSMC N5/N4\n\nMarvell, TSMC ($400 - $600)\n\n4. Advanced Packaging - CoWoS-L / Foveros Direct\n\nTSMC, Intel ($900-$1300)\n\n5. Thermal Solution - Microfluidic Cold Plate / TIM ($200-400)\n\n6. Misc (High-Current Inductors, Caps)  ($150-$200)\n\nTotal Silicon BOM: $7,860 - $10,550\n\nThis is really high level doesn't go into Passive/Substrate/Lid (Ibiden, Unimicron), Test & Assembly (Advantest, Teradyne), etc. \n\nNow if we look deeper at optical BOM and what $MSFT is doing with hollow core fiber and OCS:\n\nDSP / SerDes IP: $MRVL ($800 - $1,200)\nSiPh Engine (CPO): Marvell / Intel  ($600 - $900)\nLaser Source (ELS): $AAOI, $LITE ($300 - $600)\nTransceiver Assembly: $AAOI, Innolight ($400 - $600)\nFiber Cabling: Hollow Core Fiber / MPO ( $MSFT) ($200 - $300)\n\nTotal Optical BOM~$2,300 - $3,600~25% of Total System Cost\n\nWe've established $LITE and Innolight as the two major players in photonics already (within $NVDA and every single hyperscaler ASIC) \n\nHowever, $AAOI MC is a fraction of $MRVL and $LITE as a microcap, making the Maia opportunity far more transformative for its stock.\n\nSometing also to note is Fubon Research est Maia300 chip is set to start prod in late 2026 with about  300,000 to 400,000 units, increasing to 1.2 to 1.5 million units in 2027, but we're just going with the ~1M figure from UBS. (so might ramp up more)\n\nBut the shift to 1.6T and the specific requirement for high-power lasers for hollow-core/OCS networks is a big tailwind. If AAOI captures a portion Maia optical BOM, they triple or quadruple their ARR from one client alone by 2027 (not including $AMZN). \n\nRisk: The primary risk is qualification failure. If their lasers fail Microsoft’s rigorous reliability testing, they could be replaced by $LITE overnight.\n\nHowever, Maia 300 ramp signals the start of the hyperscaler ASIC trade and key suppliers are there. \n\nThe companies that benefit the most from this specific ASIC late 2026-2027? \n\nLooks like $AAOI, $MRVL, $TSM, and SK Hynix. \n\nWarning: This is speculative research + modeling given public materials + deep research + mapping. There is no public breakdown and news of this information, do not treat it as a fact.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$AAOI is up 24% and $LITE is 5% since my thesis today.\n\nFrom BOM analysis, LITE ($27B) is levered toward TPU Ironwood due to OCS but benefits from NVDA + all ASICs.\n\nAAOI ($2.5B), is levered toward MSFT MAIA ramp and Amazon Trainium.\n\nInP like HBM, will be a bottleneck for 2026 https://t.co/TcZ6FUXRkx", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.012359121300918097, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.012359121300918097, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.007809460501607579, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.007809460501607579, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004549660799310518, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004549660799310518, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006229853767608873, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.006229853767608873, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0027122334620763855, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0027122334620763855, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0035176203055324873, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0035176203055324873, "ret_p1w": 0.008856535482360872, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.008856535482360872, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.010237393386371196, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.010237393386371196, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0013808579040103242, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0013808579040103242, "ret_p1m": 0.09823193928301599, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09823193928301599, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10195310313218808, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10195310313218808, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0037211638491720933, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0037211638491720933, "ret_p3m": 0.11186291992562802, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11186291992562802, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.16654451928681446, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.16654451928681446, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.05468159936118644, "bench_c_p3m": -0.05468159936118644, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0708, -0.0819, -0.0824, -0.062, -0.0312, -0.0324, -0.0187, 0.0156, -0.0125, 0.0227, 0.0071, -0.0574, 0.0173, -0.0061, 0.0234, 0.007, -0.009, -0.0002, -0.0109, -0.0298, -0.0236, -0.0094, 0.0017, 0.0127, 0.0246, 0.0184, 0.009, 0.0239, -0.0124, -0.0138, -0.0286, -0.0378, -0.0083, -0.0221, -0.024, -0.0522, -0.0434, -0.0529, -0.0666, -0.0517, -0.068, -0.0762, -0.044, -0.0439, -0.0262, -0.0262, -0.021, -0.0338, -0.019, -0.0077, -0.0162, -0.0102, 0.0138, 0.019, 0.0416, 0.0266, -0.0165, -0.031, -0.0339, -0.0673, -0.0413, -0.0269, -0.0124, 0.0, 0.0062, 0.0062, 0.0198, 0.0134, 0.0089, 0.0234, 0.0234, 0.0763, 0.0852, 0.1026, 0.0732, 0.0709, 0.0898, 0.1173, 0.1154, 0.1016, 0.1505, 0.1531, 0.1531, 0.1017, 0.0982, 0.1024, 0.1277, 0.1204, 0.1394, 0.1527, 0.1435, 0.1132, 0.1496, 0.1307, 0.097, 0.1138, 0.1748, 0.1969, 0.2188, 0.2598, 0.2396, 0.2337, 0.2337, 0.2265, 0.2199, 0.2136, 0.2478, 0.2461, 0.299, 0.3057, 0.2689, 0.2614, 0.243, 0.1892, 0.2037, 0.1916, 0.1412, 0.1743, 0.1688, 0.194, 0.1339, 0.1393, 0.1457, 0.1684, 0.1467, 0.1441, 0.1119, 0.143, 0.1592, 0.1744, 0.1013, 0.1034, 0.0688, 0.1413, 0.1532, 0.145, 0.145, 0.1541, 0.1662, 0.2357, 0.2343, 0.2515, 0.2481, 0.2829, 0.2667, 0.2271, 0.2512, 0.2368, 0.243, 0.3084, 0.2923, 0.3591, 0.3676, 0.325, 0.33, 0.3375, 0.343, 0.3563, 0.3319, 0.4167, 0.3986, 0.3903, 0.3662, 0.3416, 0.3501, 0.4107, 0.3655, 0.3371, 0.3259, 0.3563, 0.375, 0.3661, 0.3661, 0.3924, 0.4276, 0.4348, 0.4131, 0.4131, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1980132285346410776", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-20T04:41:40+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS, $WLAC, then splitting $NVO into $TSM + $AMZN calls 6 months out sounds beautiful", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS, WLAC, TSM, AMZN (6-month calls) on 2x rate cuts + seasonal tailwinds post-correction.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@capybara_830 Honestly $NBIS, $WLAC, then splitting $NVO into $TSM + $AMZN calls 6 months out sounds beautiful. \n\nThere’s 2x rate cuts and a recent correction going into the best seasonal months. Now’s the best time to go long if any.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I remember you once mentioning that, the small accounts should avoid diversifying and make few high conviction picks. \n\nDo you still have the same stance in a volatile market? I’m mostly in NBIS, WLAC and NVO, but thinking to sell NVO and go long on amzn. any thoughts?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "capybara_830", "ret_m1d": 0.04073396735235102, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04073396735235102, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05102738630141501, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.051917693225524975, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010293418949063993, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011183725873173955, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.043302763492689245, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.043302763492689245, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04328785901121346, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.046829967539421924, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4904481475785936e-05, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0035272040467326793, "ret_p1w": 0.15073394775390625, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.15073394775390625, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1299682560780684, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14281927338018385, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02076569167583786, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007914674373722397, "ret_p1m": -0.16935778976580418, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16935778976580418, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15264392252651282, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13124699608279966, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016713867239291358, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03811079368300452, "ret_p3m": -0.046926585906142515, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.046926585906142515, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08116684322149981, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04990505064625661, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03424025731535729, "bench_c_p3m": 0.002978464740114095, "ret_p6m": 0.4856880957927179, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4856880957927179, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4452974081858949, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.47647862917762884, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04039068760682296, "bench_c_p6m": 0.009209466615089035, "price_path": [-0.524, -0.5215, -0.5287, -0.5161, -0.5376, -0.5294, -0.5006, -0.5229, -0.503, -0.4939, -0.4946, -0.4008, -0.369, -0.3556, -0.3089, -0.352, -0.3719, -0.3429, -0.3345, -0.3836, -0.381, -0.3928, -0.3672, -0.3576, -0.3534, -0.3569, -0.3391, -0.3732, -0.3732, -0.3971, -0.3977, -0.4045, -0.3994, -0.4123, -0.1218, -0.1432, -0.1817, -0.1706, -0.1655, -0.1795, -0.1369, -0.1365, -0.0889, -0.022, -0.011, 0.0388, -0.0097, -0.0119, 0.0112, 0.03, 0.0606, 0.1548, 0.1741, 0.1462, 0.0798, 0.1193, 0.2169, 0.1888, 0.2428, 0.1757, 0.1544, 0.1288, 0.0407, 0.0, -0.0433, -0.0952, -0.0261, 0.0758, 0.1507, 0.1177, 0.1477, 0.1393, 0.2002, 0.1052, 0.0141, 0.0734, 0.004, 0.0209, 0.0087, -0.0622, -0.1343, -0.1869, -0.2336, -0.2112, -0.1694, -0.1278, -0.2235, -0.2361, -0.1569, -0.1846, -0.1313, -0.1313, -0.1296, -0.0812, -0.1151, -0.0925, -0.0569, -0.1006, -0.0795, -0.1155, -0.1414, -0.135, -0.1955, -0.2556, -0.2573, -0.3078, -0.2836, -0.1793, -0.1447, -0.174, -0.1639, -0.1639, -0.1964, -0.2106, -0.2186, -0.2321, -0.2321, -0.1748, -0.1483, -0.0804, -0.1173, -0.1073, -0.1016, -0.0153, -0.0328, -0.0644, -0.0469, -0.0025, -0.0025, -0.0891, -0.0929, -0.1115, -0.133, -0.1609, -0.1021, -0.0786, -0.1293, -0.2184, -0.1912, -0.1748, -0.2441, -0.3223, -0.2101, -0.1479, -0.1579, -0.1871, -0.1768, -0.1008, -0.1008, -0.1053, -0.0661, -0.0128, -0.1017, -0.077, -0.0589, -0.0264, -0.0378, -0.1634, -0.165, -0.2037, -0.1029, -0.1225, -0.1805, -0.129, -0.1153, 0.0275, -0.0088, 0.0362, 0.1913, 0.0672, 0.0877, 0.1149, 0.0791, 0.0472, 0.0542, 0.0559, -0.0278, -0.075, -0.1536, -0.0481, -0.0647, -0.0017, -0.0017, 0.0325, 0.0771, 0.1468, 0.2507, 0.33, 0.418, 0.4857]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1980132285346410776", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-20T04:41:40+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "splitting $NVO into $TSM + $AMZN calls 6 months out sounds beautiful", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS, WLAC, TSM, AMZN (6-month calls) on 2x rate cuts + seasonal tailwinds post-correction.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@capybara_830 Honestly $NBIS, $WLAC, then splitting $NVO into $TSM + $AMZN calls 6 months out sounds beautiful. \n\nThere’s 2x rate cuts and a recent correction going into the best seasonal months. Now’s the best time to go long if any.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I remember you once mentioning that, the small accounts should avoid diversifying and make few high conviction picks. \n\nDo you still have the same stance in a volatile market? I’m mostly in NBIS, WLAC and NVO, but thinking to sell NVO and go long on amzn. any thoughts?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "capybara_830", "ret_m1d": -0.00880086477946096, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00880086477946096, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0014925541696030331, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0014925541696030331, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010293418949063993, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010293418949063993, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01071542729821462, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01071542729821462, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010700522816738833, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010700522816738833, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4904481475785936e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -1.4904481475785936e-05, "ret_p1w": 0.0018475621075773052, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0018475621075773052, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.018918129568260555, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.018918129568260555, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02076569167583786, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02076569167583786, "ret_p1m": -0.06647626180585897, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06647626180585897, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.049762394566567614, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.049762394566567614, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016713867239291358, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016713867239291358, "ret_p3m": 0.15069639711988936, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15069639711988936, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11645613980453207, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.11645613980453207, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03424025731535729, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03424025731535729, "ret_p6m": 0.283133739108439, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.283133739108439, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.24274305150161601, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.24274305150161601, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04039068760682296, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04039068760682296, "price_path": [-0.1952, -0.191, -0.1776, -0.1871, -0.1919, -0.1866, -0.1909, -0.2124, -0.1997, -0.2216, -0.2253, -0.1876, -0.1902, -0.1894, -0.182, -0.1915, -0.193, -0.2001, -0.1916, -0.2208, -0.2345, -0.2388, -0.2198, -0.2111, -0.2006, -0.1987, -0.2021, -0.2269, -0.2269, -0.2352, -0.2252, -0.2124, -0.1849, -0.1723, -0.1598, -0.1279, -0.133, -0.1316, -0.1248, -0.1197, -0.1173, -0.0976, -0.1103, -0.0842, -0.0504, -0.0571, -0.0707, -0.0818, -0.0822, -0.0618, -0.031, -0.0322, -0.0185, 0.0158, -0.0123, 0.0229, 0.0073, -0.0572, 0.0174, -0.0059, 0.0235, 0.0072, -0.0088, 0.0, -0.0107, -0.0296, -0.0234, -0.0092, 0.0018, 0.0129, 0.0248, 0.0185, 0.0092, 0.0241, -0.0123, -0.0136, -0.0284, -0.0376, -0.0082, -0.0219, -0.0238, -0.0521, -0.0433, -0.0527, -0.0665, -0.0515, -0.0679, -0.076, -0.0439, -0.0437, -0.026, -0.026, -0.0208, -0.0337, -0.0188, -0.0076, -0.016, -0.01, 0.014, 0.0192, 0.0418, 0.0268, -0.0164, -0.0308, -0.0338, -0.0672, -0.0412, -0.0268, -0.0122, 0.0002, 0.0064, 0.0064, 0.02, 0.0135, 0.009, 0.0235, 0.0235, 0.0765, 0.0854, 0.1028, 0.0734, 0.0711, 0.09, 0.1175, 0.1156, 0.1018, 0.1507, 0.1533, 0.1533, 0.1019, 0.0984, 0.1026, 0.1279, 0.1206, 0.1396, 0.1529, 0.1437, 0.1134, 0.1498, 0.1309, 0.0971, 0.1139, 0.175, 0.1971, 0.219, 0.26, 0.2398, 0.234, 0.234, 0.2267, 0.2201, 0.2138, 0.248, 0.2464, 0.2993, 0.3059, 0.2692, 0.2616, 0.2432, 0.1894, 0.2039, 0.1919, 0.1414, 0.1745, 0.1691, 0.1942, 0.1341, 0.1395, 0.1459, 0.1686, 0.1469, 0.1443, 0.1121, 0.1432, 0.1594, 0.1746, 0.1015, 0.1036, 0.069, 0.1415, 0.1534, 0.1452, 0.1452, 0.1543, 0.1664, 0.2359, 0.2345, 0.2518, 0.2483, 0.2831]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1980132285346410776", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-10-20T04:41:40+00:00", "symbol": "AMZN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "splitting $NVO into $TSM + $AMZN calls 6 months out sounds beautiful", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS, WLAC, TSM, AMZN (6-month calls) on 2x rate cuts + seasonal tailwinds post-correction.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMZN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@capybara_830 Honestly $NBIS, $WLAC, then splitting $NVO into $TSM + $AMZN calls 6 months out sounds beautiful. \n\nThere’s 2x rate cuts and a recent correction going into the best seasonal months. Now’s the best time to go long if any.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I remember you once mentioning that, the small accounts should avoid diversifying and make few high conviction picks. \n\nDo you still have the same stance in a volatile market? I’m mostly in NBIS, WLAC and NVO, but thinking to sell NVO and go long on amzn. any thoughts?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "capybara_830", "ret_m1d": -0.015890625042952355, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.015890625042952355, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.005597206093888363, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0080186064860166, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010293418949063993, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007872018556935756, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.025637486886977978, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.025637486886977978, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.025652391368453764, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.013406201571756204, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4904481475785936e-05, "bench_c_p1d": 0.012231285315221774, "ret_p1w": 0.04845715862987521, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04845715862987521, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.027691466954037347, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02814222601780858, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02076569167583786, "bench_c_p1w": 0.020314932612066627, "ret_p1m": 0.028039576145679757, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.028039576145679757, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.044753443384971114, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07789565044811542, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016713867239291358, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04985607430243566, "ret_p3m": 0.10024019482868862, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10024019482868862, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06599993751333133, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05958361666312073, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03424025731535729, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04065657816556789, "ret_p6m": 0.15031415921624736, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.15031415921624736, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1099234716094244, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.16076669978555458, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04039068760682296, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010452540569307223, "price_path": [0.0546, 0.0728, 0.0691, 0.0753, 0.0671, 0.0633, 0.0814, -0.008, -0.0223, -0.0126, 0.0269, 0.0307, 0.0287, 0.0223, 0.0231, 0.0373, 0.067, 0.0672, 0.0693, 0.0533, 0.0339, 0.0253, 0.0571, 0.0529, 0.0565, 0.0584, 0.0698, 0.0578, 0.0578, 0.0409, 0.0439, 0.0887, 0.0732, 0.0894, 0.1005, 0.064, 0.0622, 0.0539, 0.0691, 0.0812, 0.0699, 0.0681, 0.0693, 0.0515, 0.0195, 0.0172, 0.0077, 0.0152, 0.0263, 0.0143, 0.0192, 0.0274, 0.014, 0.0204, 0.0245, 0.0404, 0.052, -0.0005, 0.0166, -0.0004, -0.0042, -0.0093, -0.0159, 0.0, 0.0256, 0.0068, 0.0213, 0.0357, 0.0485, 0.059, 0.0638, 0.0295, 0.1281, 0.1733, 0.1517, 0.1558, 0.1227, 0.129, 0.1475, 0.1507, 0.128, 0.0975, 0.0841, 0.0757, 0.028, 0.0287, 0.003, 0.0194, 0.0453, 0.0609, 0.0586, 0.0586, 0.0773, 0.0804, 0.0829, 0.0734, 0.0583, 0.0603, 0.0481, 0.0528, 0.0707, 0.0637, 0.0449, 0.028, 0.0281, 0.0221, 0.0475, 0.0502, 0.0552, 0.0723, 0.0734, 0.0734, 0.0741, 0.072, 0.0741, 0.0662, 0.0662, 0.0463, 0.0766, 0.1129, 0.1159, 0.1377, 0.1427, 0.1385, 0.1207, 0.0932, 0.1002, 0.1046, 0.1046, 0.0671, 0.0685, 0.0825, 0.1048, 0.1013, 0.1303, 0.1226, 0.1166, 0.1054, 0.1223, 0.1023, 0.0763, 0.0287, -0.0285, -0.0358, -0.044, -0.0573, -0.078, -0.0817, -0.0817, -0.0708, -0.054, -0.0537, -0.0294, -0.0518, -0.0366, -0.027, -0.0395, -0.0299, -0.0374, -0.0358, 0.0016, 0.0114, -0.0151, -0.0138, -0.0099, -0.0177, -0.0321, -0.0407, -0.0219, -0.0059, -0.0305, -0.0357, -0.0513, -0.0293, -0.0427, -0.022, -0.0413, -0.0792, -0.0717, -0.0379, -0.0273, -0.031, -0.031, -0.017, -0.0125, 0.022, 0.0793, 0.1012, 0.1081, 0.1503]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1991422970313732326", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-20T08:26:49+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "might be a fun rally upward to match fundamentals from $7-9B ARR projections. There's too many catalysts coming up like few hundred - low billion inflow from MSCI in 4 days. This is extremely large relative to marketcap/float.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long NBIS on MSCI inflows, blowout earnings, AI rally, dealer hedging unwind, and institution accumulation of ~50% float pointing to rally toward $7-9B ARR valuation.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "agreed, not a good idea to write $NBIS CC's though so close to ITM on a 35% drop + blowout earnings.  \n\nThere's too many catalysts coming up like few hundred - low billion inflow from MSCI in 4 days. This is extremely large relative to marketcap/float. \n\nThen we have AI rally in-tact in time for December and mechanical flows upward from all the dealer hedging downward the past two weeks. Now that we've hit the bottom with retail capitulation and institution managed to accumulate ~50% of the float (according to some live metrics) was ~44-46% from official 13F filings though, might be a fun rally upward to match fundamentals from $7-9B ARR projections.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $nbis going nuts. Might have to roll my CCs. Crazy bounce.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "rioferdy838", "ret_m1d": 0.1232277927739609, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.1232277927739609, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.1077496252860426, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.11213384434355711, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.015478167487918304, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011093948430403788, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01630431549349398, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01630431549349398, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.026265538470126804, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.033854587903919264, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009961222976632822, "bench_c_p1d": 0.017550272410425283, "ret_p1w": 0.11873822216717711, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11873822216717711, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07713095208203935, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07790891696667535, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.04160727008513776, "bench_c_p1w": 0.040829305200501764, "ret_p1m": 0.05694706674836891, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05694706674836891, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.010863252613936059, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0026146271537543786, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.046083814134432854, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05956169390212329, "ret_p3m": 0.15217388169066082, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15217388169066082, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10261648460329287, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10852236985260055, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04955739708736795, "bench_c_p3m": 0.043651511838060264, "ret_p6m": 1.5985350192276249, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.5985350192276249, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.4593095889053886, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.5361777913650392, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13922543032223622, "bench_c_p6m": 0.062357227862585685, "price_path": [-0.1727, -0.1673, -0.1718, -0.1489, -0.1928, -0.1928, -0.2235, -0.2244, -0.2331, -0.2265, -0.2431, 0.1309, 0.1034, 0.0538, 0.0682, 0.0747, 0.0566, 0.1115, 0.112, 0.1733, 0.2595, 0.2736, 0.3378, 0.2753, 0.2724, 0.3022, 0.3264, 0.3659, 0.4871, 0.5121, 0.4761, 0.3906, 0.4414, 0.5671, 0.531, 0.6004, 0.5141, 0.4866, 0.4537, 0.3403, 0.2878, 0.232, 0.1652, 0.2543, 0.3854, 0.4819, 0.4394, 0.478, 0.4672, 0.5456, 0.4233, 0.306, 0.3823, 0.293, 0.3147, 0.299, 0.2077, 0.1148, 0.0471, -0.013, 0.0158, 0.0697, 0.1232, 0.0, -0.0163, 0.0858, 0.0501, 0.1187, 0.1187, 0.1209, 0.1832, 0.1395, 0.1687, 0.2146, 0.1583, 0.1854, 0.1391, 0.1057, 0.1139, 0.036, -0.0414, -0.0436, -0.1086, -0.0774, 0.0569, 0.1015, 0.0637, 0.0767, 0.0767, 0.0349, 0.0165, 0.0063, -0.011, -0.011, 0.0627, 0.0968, 0.1843, 0.1367, 0.1496, 0.157, 0.2681, 0.2456, 0.2049, 0.2274, 0.2846, 0.2846, 0.1731, 0.1681, 0.1443, 0.1165, 0.0806, 0.1563, 0.1866, 0.1213, 0.0065, 0.0416, 0.0627, -0.0266, -0.1272, 0.0172, 0.0974, 0.0845, 0.0469, 0.0601, 0.158, 0.158, 0.1522, 0.2027, 0.2714, 0.1569, 0.1887, 0.212, 0.2538, 0.2391, 0.0774, 0.0753, 0.0255, 0.1552, 0.1301, 0.0554, 0.1217, 0.1393, 0.3232, 0.2765, 0.3345, 0.5341, 0.3744, 0.4008, 0.4357, 0.3897, 0.3487, 0.3576, 0.3598, 0.252, 0.1912, 0.09, 0.2259, 0.2045, 0.2857, 0.2857, 0.3296, 0.3871, 0.4768, 0.6107, 0.7128, 0.8261, 0.9133, 0.9703, 0.9534, 0.8566, 0.8804, 0.8496, 0.8448, 0.8559, 0.7387, 0.7127, 0.601, 0.6681, 0.6332, 0.8253, 1.0844, 1.0784, 1.3049, 1.183, 1.0918, 1.1987, 1.1161, 1.4488, 1.6128, 1.5985]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2011120231255851493", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-13T16:56:42+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$META is just printing money", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long META; FCF/profitability accounting optics depressed price but fundamentals are strong, with seasonal pattern potentially repeating.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It is, i believe it’s largely due to accounting optics regarding FCF/profitability but $META is just printing money.\n\nAlso if we voodoo chart from last year, it looks shockingly similar with a drop from oct-> Nov and rally Jan 15th onward last year. Again, trend charting is all fake but they do work out sometimes.\n\nBut main thesis is just how markets react to accounting optics.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Great minds think alike!!! Sold this CSP at market open. I think $META is one if the best opportunities in the market right now https://t.co/mEMZ9pJJRy", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "pepemoonboy", "ret_m1d": 0.017239873955249285, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.017239873955249285, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01523639293896184, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011593496566688177, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002003481016287445, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005646377388561108, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.024671631819543127, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.024671631819543127, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.019756394477924544, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02253285349778744, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0049152373416185835, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0021387783217556855, "ret_p1w": -0.042735632615598984, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.042735632615598984, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01939932639202524, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.013477375657072188, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023336306223573744, "bench_c_p1w": -0.029258256958526796, "ret_p1m": 0.05957941460084837, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05957941460084837, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06218832427350407, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06086265540264146, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026089096726557015, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0012832408017930952, "ret_p3m": -0.0010945767343011337, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0010945767343011337, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.01685718128478364, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.020946416516865796, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.017951758019084774, "bench_c_p3m": -0.02204099325116693, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1274, 0.1351, 0.1592, 0.161, 0.1612, 0.1621, 0.169, 0.1887, 0.1897, 0.1901, 0.0552, 0.0265, 0.0097, -0.0068, 0.0069, -0.0201, -0.0157, 0.0002, -0.0072, -0.0358, -0.0344, -0.0351, -0.0469, -0.0537, -0.0654, -0.0672, -0.0591, -0.0294, 0.0073, 0.0032, 0.0032, 0.0259, 0.0147, 0.0245, 0.0127, 0.0474, 0.0662, 0.0557, 0.0401, 0.0293, 0.0334, 0.02, 0.026, 0.0413, 0.0292, 0.0529, 0.0439, 0.0482, 0.0536, 0.0578, 0.0578, 0.051, 0.0437, 0.0552, 0.046, 0.046, 0.0306, 0.0439, 0.0468, 0.0279, 0.0237, 0.0348, 0.0172, 0.0, -0.0247, -0.0163, -0.0172, -0.0172, -0.0427, -0.0287, 0.0262, 0.0438, 0.0654, 0.0664, 0.0596, 0.1699, 0.1353, 0.1193, 0.096, 0.0601, 0.062, 0.0481, 0.0731, 0.0628, 0.0596, 0.0297, 0.0138, 0.0138, 0.013, 0.0192, 0.0217, 0.0389, 0.0098, 0.013, 0.0358, 0.0411, 0.0271, 0.0356, 0.038, 0.0581, 0.0467, 0.0218, 0.0258, 0.0364, 0.0377, 0.0112, -0.0275, -0.0049, -0.0125, -0.0236, -0.0378, -0.0585, -0.042, -0.0597, -0.0566, -0.1316, -0.1663, -0.1493, -0.0926, -0.0814, -0.089, -0.089, -0.0912, -0.088, -0.0288, -0.0034, -0.0011, 0.0063, 0.0507, 0.0651, 0.0735, 0.092, 0.064, 0.0607, 0.07, 0.0454, 0.0705, 0.0762, 0.0647, 0.0612, -0.0296, -0.0346, -0.0319, -0.0406, -0.028, -0.0218, -0.0332, -0.0503, -0.0437, -0.0221, -0.0192, -0.0259, -0.0307, -0.0443, -0.0404, -0.0367, -0.0322, -0.0322, -0.0289, 0.0075, 0.0075, 0.0031, 0.0031, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2008808147755168039", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-07T07:49:18+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "本格的な変動は $SNDKやメモリ市場で起きた事例のように、1〜2ヶ月後にボトルネックが生じた際に起こるでしょう。時価総額は依然として非常に小さく、メディアでの報道も皆無です。ここにいる皆さんは、単に市場より一足早く参入しているに過ぎません", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish AXTI: today's +20% understates the move; real surge expected in 1–2 months as export-regulation bottleneck hits; tiny market cap, no media coverage yet.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "ja", "tweet_text": "本日の輸出規制により $AXTI が独占状態となったことを考えれば、今日の+20%を超える上昇はもっと大きくあるべきだったと考えていました！\n\nしかし、本格的な変動は $SNDKやメモリ市場で起きた事例のように、1〜2ヶ月後にボトルネックが生じた際に起こるでしょう。\n時価総額は依然として非常に小さく、メディアでの報道も皆無です。ここにいる皆さんは、単に市場より一足早く参入しているに過ぎません", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "ここで紹介させていただいた\n\n$AXTI\n\n20%の爆上げなのじゃ😍 https://t.co/uJdIOl9VYT", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "beauty_oe", "ret_m1d": -0.16341768703091564, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.16341768703091564, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1666514674512254, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.17017059902952703, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003233780420309751, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006752911998611388, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07133966278773185, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07133966278773185, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07144119546971761, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08702710291990967, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00010153268198576093, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01568744013217782, "ret_p1w": -0.08336790452086706, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08336790452086706, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08449896439781379, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09201685051033226, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0011310598769467273, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008648945989465195, "ret_p1m": -0.1526337707181883, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1526337707181883, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13528987632921796, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14237461066893464, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017343894388970327, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010259160049253646, "ret_p3m": 0.7416010209654871, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7416010209654871, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.7834387873600864, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.7131349093728574, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04183776639459935, "bench_c_p3m": 0.028466111592629684, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.8328, -0.8092, -0.8105, -0.8096, -0.7955, -0.8129, -0.7964, -0.7856, -0.7951, -0.7852, -0.7487, -0.7433, -0.7263, -0.7068, -0.6964, -0.6703, -0.6491, -0.6458, -0.6226, -0.6321, -0.6076, -0.567, -0.562, -0.5446, -0.567, -0.567, -0.5749, -0.5894, -0.5807, -0.608, -0.6296, -0.6126, -0.6172, -0.5666, -0.5666, -0.5562, -0.5525, -0.5122, -0.5238, -0.4981, -0.5197, -0.4728, -0.3795, -0.3567, -0.3206, -0.3857, -0.3849, -0.4608, -0.4873, -0.4189, -0.3924, -0.3687, -0.3928, -0.3774, -0.3774, -0.3625, -0.3949, -0.3447, -0.3219, -0.3219, -0.3049, -0.3086, -0.1634, 0.0, 0.0713, -0.0465, -0.0776, -0.1078, -0.0834, 0.0668, -0.0838, -0.0838, -0.112, -0.1796, -0.2567, -0.2783, -0.2617, -0.2866, -0.3019, -0.3206, -0.231, -0.1315, -0.1813, -0.2223, -0.1526, -0.0021, 0.1518, 0.01, 0.1116, 0.0282, 0.0054, 0.0054, -0.0373, -0.0236, -0.0124, 0.231, 0.1792, 0.455, 0.6993, 0.5396, 0.572, 0.9212, 0.7321, 0.623, 0.6093, 0.3426, 0.5993, 0.8374, 0.9643, 0.9382, 1.0265, 1.0071, 0.8399, 1.0224, 1.4094, 1.2497, 1.6727, 1.8387, 1.7934, 1.4268, 1.5147, 1.1871, 1.3633, 0.9552, 1.1916, 1.1916, 0.7416, 0.8855, 1.2057, 1.618, 1.662, 1.7561, 1.7914, 1.6101, 2.392, 2.4243, 2.2667, 2.1095, 2.606, 2.1219, 2.1589, 1.9096, 1.8499, 1.9477, 2.2858, 2.9818, 3.3965, 3.4608, 3.348, 3.4969, 3.8262, 4.2182, 4.0975, 4.0577, 3.769, 4.134, 3.3915, 3.6819, 3.3389, 4.0195, 4.8411, 4.8411, 4.4998, 4.0921, 3.7988, 3.2787, 3.2787, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2005922423988715702", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-30T08:42:28+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AXTI probably had the most direct exposure to this over Sumitomo and others", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish AXTI as the most direct play on the coming Indium supply chokepoint, with a bidding war expected mid-2026.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just to make a correction to the Indium price above \n\n6N grade Indium (Jan 2024, Jan 2025, Dec 2025) ~$680 / kg -> ~$840 / kg  -> ~$1,110 – $1,350 / kg  \n\n7N grade Indium \n~$1,150 / kg -> ~$1,800 / kg -> $3,450+ / kg  \n1.6T requires 7N.  \n\nSo prices have already started to ramp up, but I expect the huge chokepoint to come mid 2026.  \n\nNot sure where the price goes, I just expect a bidding war to secure materials and $AXTI probably had the most direct exposure to this over Sumitomo and others.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit 50 to 70x easy peasy by 2030.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "B38B37", "ret_m1d": -0.07658227997088995, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07658227997088995, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07780487361546973, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07905948649570971, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012225936445797725, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002477206524819753, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03481013823388324, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03481013823388324, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04221910560727393, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.043562973820986506, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.007408967373390696, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00875283558710327, "ret_p1w": 0.27658226789906326, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.27658226789906326, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2695955603533693, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.20966972015208563, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006986707545693971, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06691254774697764, "ret_p1m": 0.0651898557302033, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0651898557302033, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.052948507691537916, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08157188405819715, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01224134803866539, "bench_c_p1m": 0.14676173978840046, "ret_p3m": 2.8373417934304035, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.8373417934304035, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.9118506090396923, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.807229760965231, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0745088156092889, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03011203246517291, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7025, -0.6753, -0.6582, -0.6639, -0.6639, -0.669, -0.7449, -0.7089, -0.7108, -0.7095, -0.688, -0.7146, -0.6892, -0.6728, -0.6873, -0.6722, -0.6165, -0.6082, -0.5823, -0.5525, -0.5367, -0.4968, -0.4646, -0.4595, -0.4241, -0.4386, -0.4013, -0.3392, -0.3316, -0.3051, -0.3392, -0.3392, -0.3513, -0.3734, -0.3601, -0.4019, -0.4348, -0.4089, -0.4158, -0.3386, -0.3386, -0.3228, -0.3171, -0.2557, -0.2734, -0.2342, -0.2671, -0.1956, -0.0532, -0.0184, 0.0367, -0.0627, -0.0614, -0.1772, -0.2177, -0.1133, -0.0728, -0.0367, -0.0734, -0.05, -0.05, -0.0272, -0.0766, 0.0, 0.0348, 0.0348, 0.0608, 0.0551, 0.2766, 0.5259, 0.6348, 0.4551, 0.4076, 0.3614, 0.3987, 0.6278, 0.3981, 0.3981, 0.3551, 0.2519, 0.1342, 0.1013, 0.1266, 0.0886, 0.0652, 0.0367, 0.1734, 0.3253, 0.2494, 0.1867, 0.293, 0.5228, 0.7576, 0.5411, 0.6962, 0.569, 0.5342, 0.5342, 0.469, 0.4899, 0.507, 0.8785, 0.7994, 1.2203, 1.593, 1.3494, 1.3987, 1.9316, 1.643, 1.4766, 1.4557, 1.0487, 1.4405, 1.8038, 1.9975, 1.9576, 2.0924, 2.0627, 1.8076, 2.0861, 2.6766, 2.4329, 3.0785, 3.3316, 3.2627, 2.7032, 2.8373, 2.3373, 2.6063, 1.9835, 2.3443, 2.3443, 1.6576, 1.8772, 2.3658, 2.9949, 3.062, 3.2057, 3.2595, 2.9829, 4.1759, 4.2253, 3.9848, 3.7449, 4.5025, 3.7639, 3.8203, 3.4399, 3.3487, 3.4981, 4.0139, 5.0759, 5.7089, 5.807, 5.6348, 5.862, 6.3646, 6.9627, 6.7785, 6.7177, 6.2772, 6.8342, 5.7013, 6.1443, 5.6209, 6.6595, 7.9133, 7.9133, 7.3924, 6.7703, 6.3228, 5.5291, 5.5291, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1989570829882216941", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-15T05:47:04+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS seems the best isolated in those terms because of their strong balance sheet, convertible note structure", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish NBIS as best-positioned AI infrastructure name: strong balance sheet and convertible note structure isolate it from credit/contagion pressures affecting peers.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yeah I made another post about credit tightening and contagion from OpenAI in one of my other posts but $NBIS seems the best isolated in those terms because of their strong balance sheet, convertible note structure. \n\nIt’s mostly indiscriminate sector selloff on top of the something structural mainly affecting $CRWV, $ORCL and related co like $APLD. But given Nebius is high-beta, it can drop from $130 to $90 in 1 trading week but it can also go back to the same price in a short time.\n\nIf we go from the GPU depreciation short argument many others like $CIFR are also isolated because they just do colo, so a lot of the selloffs don’t make sense.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @babyfolio I thought it was panic selling but looking at the bond markets (for APLD) and CDS (for CRWV), some of the selling is from contagion. \n\nWith that said I’m still accumulating NBIS.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "rickwong888", "ret_m1d": -0.028378720006289493, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.028378720006289493, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03778276560027605, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02972795147062146, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.009404045593986554, "bench_c_m1d": 0.001349231464331968, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.053035559206290994, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.053035559206290994, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.061433111976391674, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04736900806043187, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00839755277010068, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005666551145859122, "ret_p1w": 0.0688531976949256, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0688531976949256, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06425634256313084, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.052393347345248475, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004596855131794753, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01645985034967712, "ret_p1m": -0.058502049456895966, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.058502049456895966, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07833175621938437, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10770162010072437, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019829706762488408, "bench_c_p1m": 0.049199570643828405, "ret_p3m": 0.04361479243531097, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04361479243531097, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.01715551154792272, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.009155934671352783, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026459280887388248, "bench_c_p3m": 0.034458857763958184, "ret_p6m": 1.083158799922375, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.083158799922375, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.9679167086598945, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.0343549651656587, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11524209126248053, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04880383475671635, "price_path": [-0.2153, -0.2303, -0.1977, -0.1856, -0.1803, -0.1847, -0.1621, -0.2054, -0.2054, -0.2356, -0.2365, -0.2451, -0.2385, -0.2549, 0.1133, 0.0862, 0.0373, 0.0515, 0.0579, 0.0401, 0.0942, 0.0947, 0.155, 0.2398, 0.2538, 0.3169, 0.2554, 0.2526, 0.2819, 0.3058, 0.3446, 0.4639, 0.4885, 0.4531, 0.3689, 0.4189, 0.5427, 0.5071, 0.5755, 0.4905, 0.4635, 0.431, 0.3194, 0.2677, 0.2128, 0.147, 0.2347, 0.3638, 0.4588, 0.417, 0.455, 0.4443, 0.5215, 0.4011, 0.2856, 0.3608, 0.2729, 0.2943, 0.2788, 0.1889, 0.0975, 0.0308, -0.0284, 0.0, 0.053, 0.1057, -0.0156, -0.0316, 0.0689, 0.0337, 0.1013, 0.1013, 0.1034, 0.1648, 0.1218, 0.1505, 0.1956, 0.1403, 0.1669, 0.1213, 0.0885, 0.0965, 0.0199, -0.0563, -0.0585, -0.1225, -0.0918, 0.0405, 0.0843, 0.0471, 0.0599, 0.0599, 0.0187, 0.0007, -0.0094, -0.0265, -0.0265, 0.0462, 0.0797, 0.1659, 0.119, 0.1317, 0.139, 0.2483, 0.2262, 0.1861, 0.2082, 0.2646, 0.2646, 0.1548, 0.1499, 0.1264, 0.0991, 0.0637, 0.1383, 0.1681, 0.1039, -0.0092, 0.0254, 0.0462, -0.0418, -0.1408, 0.0014, 0.0803, 0.0676, 0.0306, 0.0436, 0.1399, 0.1399, 0.1342, 0.184, 0.2516, 0.1389, 0.1702, 0.1931, 0.2342, 0.2198, 0.0606, 0.0585, 0.0095, 0.1372, 0.1125, 0.039, 0.1042, 0.1215, 0.3026, 0.2566, 0.3137, 0.5102, 0.353, 0.3789, 0.4134, 0.368, 0.3276, 0.3365, 0.3386, 0.2325, 0.1726, 0.073, 0.2068, 0.1857, 0.2656, 0.2656, 0.3089, 0.3654, 0.4538, 0.5856, 0.6861, 0.7976, 0.8835, 0.9396, 0.923, 0.8276, 0.8511, 0.8208, 0.816, 0.8269, 0.7116, 0.686, 0.5761, 0.6421, 0.6077, 0.7968, 1.0519, 1.0461, 1.269, 1.149, 1.0592, 1.1645, 1.0832]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1995543748353347989", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-01T17:21:19+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm initiating a new position in $LITE, in the event the TPU becomes the dominant ASIC for inference. Lumentum is primary beneficiary of Google's commitment to OCS", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Initiating long LITE as primary beneficiary of Google TPU v7 OCS buildout; less commoditization risk than standard transceiver market.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Analysis of the $GOOGL TPU v7 Ironwood Suppliers. \n\nHere's the list of what comapnies are the most materially impacted by the Google's TPU buildout.  \n\n+ the TPU stock I'm taking a position on. \n\n[Critical] Design/IP:\n- Broadcom [ $AVGO ]: co-designs and implements Google’s TPU ASICs\n\n[Critical/High] Semiconductor Fab:\n- #1 Taiwan Semi [ $TSM ]: TPUv7 is fabbed at TSMC 3nm\n-  #2 Samsung Electronics: Secondary memory & foundry partner\n\n[Critical/High] Memory:\n- #1 SK Hynix: HBM3E for TPUv7 Ironwood \n- #2 Samsung Electronics: ~TPUv7-specific reporting emphasizes SK hynix + Samsung.\n\n[High] Optical Networking:\n- Lumentum [ $LITE ]: Google uses extensively uses Optical Circuit Switching (OCS)\n-  Coherent [ $COHR ]: OCS player but weaker\n\n[High] Power Management ICs:\n- Monolithic [ $MPWR ]: This is speculative that Vicor will be replaced by $MPWR, from earnings mentioning TPU \n\n[Medium] Thermal Management:\n- Vertiv [ $VRT ]: Vertiv supplies the CDUs that act as the heart of the liquid cooling system, pumping coolant to the cold plates on the TPU chips\n\n- Modine [ $MOD ]: More speculative that they provide provides the massive chillers and air handling units (AHUs) \n\n[Medium] Interconnects:\n- TTM Technologies [ $TTMI ], $ANET, Unimicron, Ibiden\n\n______\n\nThe buildout of the Google TPU v7 \"Ironwood\" represents the construction of a parallel silicon ecosystem designed to break the monopoly of $NVDA GPU.\n\nThe material impact is most concentrated in Broadcom (as the silicon architect and commercial vehicle), the Memory Complex (SK Hynix/Samsung), and the Optical/Power sectors (Lumentum/Vertiv) and was created from public evidence but is largely dependent on adoption, vendor shares, and competitive responses actually play out. \n\nFrom this supply chain research, I'm initiating a new position in $LITE, in the event the TPU becomes the dominant ASIC for inference. \n\nLumentum is primary beneficiary of Google’s commitment to OCS and form the core of the \"Apollo\" OCS switches used in TPU pods. \n\nThe ramping of TPU v7 clusters translates directly to unit volume for Lumentum’s optical switch modules. And because OCS is a bespoke architecture unique to Google’s hyperscale approach, Lumentum faces less commoditization pressure here than in the standard transceiver market.\n\nHowever all companies in this supply chain are set to benefit if the TPU v7 scales up from Anthropic, Meta, Apple, and others buying the $GOOGL ASIC.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Nvidia ( $NVDA ) reported a blowout Q3 FY2026 revenue of $57.01 billion (+62.5% YoY). \n\nAnd guided $65B+ Q4 ($3B+ beat), and $500B+ USD in Blackwell/Rubin rev through CY 2026.\n\nDespite that, the stock dropped 12%. \n\nIs $NVDA a strong buy now? 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{"unit_id": "orig:1983961328932024491", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-30T18:16:55+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Easy buy for me", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish META on stellar core earnings and EPS beat; views AI capex ROI concerns as narrative noise.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DiscountedBTC For $META their core earnings were stellar and if you ignore the one time tax they strongly beat EPS.\n\nIt’s just an argument of whether AI capex is going into a black hole or will have ROI but that’s just narratives.\n\nEasy buy for me", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.12783760853035342, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.12783760853035342, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.11671716030302748, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.11060527127304076, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01112044822732594, "bench_c_m1d": 0.017232337257312658, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0271880753086835, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0271880753086835, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03046817504076227, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.031474263216923815, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0032800997320787673, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004286187908240313, "ret_p1w": -0.07131610032755076, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07131610032755076, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05731256289781883, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.054521086689985454, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014003537429731927, "bench_c_p1w": -0.016795013637565304, "ret_p1m": -0.02778819201129268, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02778819201129268, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03302472207244789, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03714789811047614, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005236530061155209, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009359706099183462, "ret_p3m": 0.01057634595342738, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.01057634595342738, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.01548170245765923, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.015302317866079607, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02605804841108661, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025878663819506986, "ret_p6m": 0.0145377399744413, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0145377399744413, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.04161618056548577, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0026416026067876963, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05615392053992707, "bench_c_p6m": 0.017179342581228996, "price_path": [0.1641, 0.1448, 0.1575, 0.1423, 0.1535, 0.1484, 0.1846, 0.1697, 0.1727, 0.1774, 0.1506, 0.1268, 0.1212, 0.1082, 0.1318, 0.1295, 0.1307, 0.1206, 0.1262, 0.1076, 0.1076, 0.1022, 0.1052, 0.1225, 0.1282, 0.128, 0.1481, 0.1275, 0.1259, 0.133, 0.1466, 0.1681, 0.1631, 0.1699, 0.1671, 0.1481, 0.1334, 0.1413, 0.1237, 0.116, 0.1154, 0.1019, 0.0763, 0.0909, 0.0662, 0.0738, 0.0699, 0.0771, 0.1006, 0.0583, 0.0739, 0.0633, 0.0766, 0.0684, 0.0757, 0.0986, 0.1002, 0.1004, 0.1013, 0.1079, 0.1266, 0.1275, 0.1278, 0.0, -0.0272, -0.0432, -0.0587, -0.0458, -0.0713, -0.0672, -0.0521, -0.0591, -0.0862, -0.0849, -0.0855, -0.0967, -0.1032, -0.1143, -0.116, -0.1084, -0.0802, -0.0454, -0.0493, -0.0493, -0.0278, -0.0384, -0.0291, -0.0403, -0.0074, 0.0104, 0.0005, -0.0143, -0.0245, -0.0206, -0.0334, -0.0277, -0.0132, -0.0247, -0.0022, -0.0107, -0.0066, -0.0015, 0.0024, 0.0024, -0.004, -0.0109, 0.0, -0.0088, -0.0088, -0.0233, -0.0107, -0.008, -0.0259, -0.0298, -0.0193, -0.036, -0.0523, -0.0757, -0.0678, -0.0686, -0.0686, -0.0928, -0.0795, -0.0275, -0.0108, 0.0097, 0.0106, 0.0042, 0.1087, 0.0759, 0.0608, 0.0387, 0.0046, 0.0064, -0.0067, 0.017, 0.0072, 0.0041, -0.0242, -0.0393, -0.0393, -0.04, -0.0341, -0.0318, -0.0154, -0.0431, -0.04, -0.0184, -0.0134, -0.0266, -0.0186, -0.0163, 0.0027, -0.008, -0.0316, -0.0278, -0.0178, -0.0166, -0.0417, -0.0784, -0.057, -0.0642, -0.0747, -0.0882, -0.1078, -0.0921, -0.1089, -0.1059, -0.1771, -0.2099, -0.1938, -0.1401, -0.1294, -0.1366, -0.1366, -0.1388, -0.1357, -0.0796, -0.0556, -0.0534, -0.0463, -0.0043, 0.0094, 0.0173, 0.0349, 0.0083, 0.0052, 0.0141, -0.0093, 0.0145]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1982489896016286125", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-26T16:49:58+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "That's why Nebius has highest asymmetrical upside", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Highest conviction long NBIS on software-stack moat; bullish all crypto-miner HPC names; transitioning off middleware like CRWV seen as moat risk for CRWV; ORCL cited as positive analog.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is about HPC not bitcoin mining…\n\nJust to summarize again, the point was miner margins will always be less than $NBIS because of middleware.\n\nAnd how the transition off of middleware like $CRWV is an incredibly high moat (looking at $ORCL).\n\nAnd if we go into the numbers, software stack > capacity due to how revenue translates more into profit vs. high revenue and no profit (ORCL)\n\nThat’s why Nebius has highest asymmetrical upside. I’m still bullish every crypto miner HPC", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What other crypto miners have these kinds of margins? Stands to reason IRENs margins in HPC can still be strong. And yes I’m talking about current margins- if BTC collapses then IREN margins go down the drain. Very bullish both.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "YungAds_", "ret_m1d": -0.0651359176358719, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0651359176358719, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05347576869210846, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.051394016667661524, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013741900968210374, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02870125540430646, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02870125540430646, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.031357254360897535, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.023750721096447047, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004950534307859411, "ret_p1w": -0.03954396135218685, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03954396135218685, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.036771241766913265, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.009072772543005425, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": -0.030471188809181426, "ret_p1m": -0.291397615903933, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.291397615903933, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2764831740059033, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2669865978192385, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02441101808469448, "ret_p3m": -0.22785618880266678, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22785618880266678, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23628515601411337, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.22330124633290094, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": -0.004554942469765844, "ret_p6m": 0.24810653488691647, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.24810653488691647, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.21476196842477524, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.24166768131940364, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": 0.006438853567512837, "price_path": [-0.5911, -0.5661, -0.5854, -0.5681, -0.5602, -0.5608, -0.4793, -0.4516, -0.44, -0.3994, -0.4369, -0.4542, -0.429, -0.4217, -0.4643, -0.4621, -0.4724, -0.4501, -0.4418, -0.4381, -0.4411, -0.4257, -0.4553, -0.4553, -0.476, -0.4766, -0.4825, -0.478, -0.4893, -0.2369, -0.2554, -0.2889, -0.2792, -0.2748, -0.287, -0.2499, -0.2496, -0.2082, -0.1501, -0.1406, -0.0973, -0.1394, -0.1414, -0.1213, -0.1049, -0.0783, 0.0035, 0.0203, -0.0039, -0.0616, -0.0273, 0.0575, 0.0331, 0.08, 0.0217, 0.0032, -0.0191, -0.0956, -0.131, -0.1686, -0.2137, -0.1536, -0.0651, 0.0, -0.0287, -0.0026, -0.01, 0.043, -0.0395, -0.1187, -0.0672, -0.1275, -0.1128, -0.1234, -0.185, -0.2477, -0.2934, -0.334, -0.3145, -0.2782, -0.242, -0.3252, -0.3362, -0.2673, -0.2914, -0.2451, -0.2451, -0.2436, -0.2015, -0.231, -0.2114, -0.1804, -0.2184, -0.2001, -0.2314, -0.2538, -0.2483, -0.3009, -0.3531, -0.3546, -0.3985, -0.3774, -0.2868, -0.2567, -0.2822, -0.2735, -0.2735, -0.3017, -0.314, -0.321, -0.3327, -0.3327, -0.2829, -0.2599, -0.2008, -0.233, -0.2243, -0.2192, -0.1443, -0.1595, -0.187, -0.1718, -0.1331, -0.1331, -0.2084, -0.2118, -0.2279, -0.2466, -0.2708, -0.2197, -0.1993, -0.2433, -0.3208, -0.2971, -0.2829, -0.3431, -0.4111, -0.3136, -0.2595, -0.2682, -0.2936, -0.2846, -0.2186, -0.2186, -0.2225, -0.1884, -0.1421, -0.2193, -0.1979, -0.1822, -0.154, -0.1638, -0.273, -0.2744, -0.308, -0.2204, -0.2374, -0.2878, -0.2431, -0.2312, -0.1071, -0.1386, -0.0995, 0.0352, -0.0726, -0.0548, -0.0312, -0.0623, -0.0899, -0.0839, -0.0824, -0.1551, -0.1962, -0.2645, -0.1728, -0.1872, -0.1324, -0.1324, -0.1028, -0.064, -0.0034, 0.0869, 0.1558, 0.2322, 0.2911, 0.3296, 0.3182, 0.2528, 0.2689, 0.2481]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1982489896016286125", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-26T16:49:58+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the transition off of middleware like $CRWV is an incredibly high moat", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Highest conviction long NBIS on software-stack moat; bullish all crypto-miner HPC names; transitioning off middleware like CRWV seen as moat risk for CRWV; ORCL cited as positive analog.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is about HPC not bitcoin mining…\n\nJust to summarize again, the point was miner margins will always be less than $NBIS because of middleware.\n\nAnd how the transition off of middleware like $CRWV is an incredibly high moat (looking at $ORCL).\n\nAnd if we go into the numbers, software stack > capacity due to how revenue translates more into profit vs. high revenue and no profit (ORCL)\n\nThat’s why Nebius has highest asymmetrical upside. I’m still bullish every crypto miner HPC", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What other crypto miners have these kinds of margins? Stands to reason IRENs margins in HPC can still be strong. And yes I’m talking about current margins- if BTC collapses then IREN margins go down the drain. Very bullish both.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "YungAds_", "ret_m1d": -0.025797402394663216, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.025797402394663216, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.014137253450899778, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.014137253450899778, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.009260580107634642, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009260580107634642, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011916579064225719, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011916579064225719, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "ret_p1w": -0.0715860505551974, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0715860505551974, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06881333096992381, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06881333096992381, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "ret_p1m": -0.4760399662301438, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4760399662301438, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.46112552433211407, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.46112552433211407, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "ret_p3m": -0.3253711409483283, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3253711409483283, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3338001081597749, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3338001081597749, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "ret_p6m": -0.15360865994050799, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.15360865994050799, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.18695322640264922, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.18695322640264922, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "price_path": [-0.2438, -0.1612, -0.2346, -0.2209, -0.178, -0.1898, -0.1101, -0.0478, 0.0273, 0.0933, -0.1345, -0.2687, -0.2653, -0.2885, -0.3173, -0.3274, -0.3327, -0.3092, -0.321, -0.3283, -0.2876, -0.2445, -0.2427, -0.2427, -0.314, -0.3394, -0.357, -0.3452, -0.3124, -0.2634, -0.1391, -0.1718, -0.1771, -0.1146, -0.1272, -0.1117, -0.1078, -0.0823, -0.0208, -0.038, -0.0196, -0.0691, -0.1155, -0.0995, 0.0058, 0.0073, 0.0143, -0.0093, -0.0162, -0.0531, 0.0288, 0.0516, 0.0174, 0.0409, -0.0147, 0.0234, 0.0417, 0.006, -0.0661, -0.0808, -0.1068, -0.0935, -0.0258, 0.0, -0.0093, 0.0284, -0.0367, -0.0173, -0.0716, -0.1493, -0.159, -0.2141, -0.2356, -0.2238, -0.3504, -0.3721, -0.4242, -0.4314, -0.4463, -0.4495, -0.4494, -0.4913, -0.4734, -0.4591, -0.476, -0.454, -0.454, -0.4626, -0.4336, -0.4412, -0.4167, -0.3698, -0.351, -0.3662, -0.3337, -0.3521, -0.3578, -0.4224, -0.4682, -0.4892, -0.5256, -0.5026, -0.39, -0.3765, -0.4101, -0.4203, -0.4203, -0.4383, -0.4494, -0.4569, -0.4737, -0.4737, -0.417, -0.4351, -0.4272, -0.4328, -0.4334, -0.411, -0.339, -0.357, -0.34, -0.3017, -0.256, -0.256, -0.3002, -0.3088, -0.3254, -0.3166, -0.2775, -0.1999, -0.2208, -0.2685, -0.3151, -0.3463, -0.3381, -0.3939, -0.4513, -0.3389, -0.2886, -0.301, -0.3007, -0.2966, -0.2941, -0.2941, -0.3312, -0.2985, -0.2861, -0.344, -0.3324, -0.2702, -0.2797, -0.2824, -0.4153, -0.4264, -0.4577, -0.4157, -0.4501, -0.4635, -0.4531, -0.4494, -0.3976, -0.4131, -0.4039, -0.369, -0.3964, -0.3913, -0.4072, -0.4012, -0.3976, -0.3898, -0.3563, -0.4087, -0.4502, -0.4918, -0.4306, -0.4235, -0.3956, -0.3956, -0.4051, -0.3735, -0.3466, -0.3238, -0.2503, -0.1895, -0.1386, -0.1277, -0.1213, -0.1412, -0.1369, -0.1536]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1982489896016286125", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-26T16:49:58+00:00", "symbol": "ORCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "looking at $ORCL", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Highest conviction long NBIS on software-stack moat; bullish all crypto-miner HPC names; transitioning off middleware like CRWV seen as moat risk for CRWV; ORCL cited as positive analog.", "resolved_tickers": ["ORCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is about HPC not bitcoin mining…\n\nJust to summarize again, the point was miner margins will always be less than $NBIS because of middleware.\n\nAnd how the transition off of middleware like $CRWV is an incredibly high moat (looking at $ORCL).\n\nAnd if we go into the numbers, software stack > capacity due to how revenue translates more into profit vs. high revenue and no profit (ORCL)\n\nThat’s why Nebius has highest asymmetrical upside. I’m still bullish every crypto miner HPC", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What other crypto miners have these kinds of margins? Stands to reason IRENs margins in HPC can still be strong. And yes I’m talking about current margins- if BTC collapses then IREN margins go down the drain. Very bullish both.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "YungAds_", "ret_m1d": 0.006858567469858912, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006858567469858912, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01851871641362235, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01851871641362235, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0020256212057793155, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0020256212057793155, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004681620162370392, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004681620162370392, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "ret_p1w": -0.0836885772160606, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0836885772160606, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08091585763078701, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08091585763078701, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "ret_p1m": -0.2998222725802643, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2998222725802643, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2849078306822346, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2849078306822346, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "ret_p3m": -0.36513502613754056, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.36513502613754056, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.37356399334898716, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.37356399334898716, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "ret_p6m": -0.3522269284974482, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3522269284974482, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3855714949595894, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3855714949595894, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "price_path": [-0.111, -0.0997, -0.1329, -0.1041, -0.093, -0.0903, -0.1153, -0.1129, -0.1036, -0.0994, -0.1338, -0.131, -0.1192, -0.1164, -0.1677, -0.1661, -0.1729, -0.1615, -0.1649, -0.1691, -0.1635, -0.1475, -0.1978, -0.1978, -0.2007, -0.2073, -0.2089, -0.1741, -0.154, -0.1432, 0.1648, 0.0921, 0.0365, 0.0718, 0.0878, 0.0693, 0.0523, 0.095, 0.1641, 0.1133, 0.0943, 0.0335, 0.0056, 0.0031, -0.0023, 0.0253, 0.0244, 0.0151, 0.0344, 0.0083, 0.0239, 0.0553, 0.0411, 0.0946, 0.0625, 0.079, 0.1123, 0.0352, -0.015, -0.0222, -0.0311, -0.0047, 0.0069, 0.0, -0.002, -0.0217, -0.0871, -0.0668, -0.0837, -0.1181, -0.1105, -0.1336, -0.1498, -0.1442, -0.1608, -0.1934, -0.2268, -0.2081, -0.2187, -0.2165, -0.1985, -0.2513, -0.2937, -0.2883, -0.2998, -0.2716, -0.2716, -0.2823, -0.2859, -0.2854, -0.2618, -0.2383, -0.2268, -0.2163, -0.2128, -0.2075, -0.2934, -0.3249, -0.3429, -0.3296, -0.3658, -0.3602, -0.3178, -0.295, -0.3058, -0.2982, -0.2982, -0.2964, -0.3057, -0.2992, -0.3074, -0.3074, -0.3045, -0.3156, -0.3115, -0.3147, -0.326, -0.2927, -0.2707, -0.2792, -0.3102, -0.3236, -0.3191, -0.3191, -0.3589, -0.3805, -0.3651, -0.3688, -0.35, -0.3768, -0.3843, -0.3978, -0.4136, -0.4297, -0.4489, -0.4774, -0.5137, -0.4911, -0.4421, -0.4303, -0.44, -0.4425, -0.4294, -0.4294, -0.4514, -0.4436, -0.4422, -0.4724, -0.4965, -0.4793, -0.4731, -0.4644, -0.4819, -0.4682, -0.4691, -0.4571, -0.4485, -0.455, -0.46, -0.4677, -0.4188, -0.4329, -0.4473, -0.4443, -0.4488, -0.4552, -0.4459, -0.4667, -0.4501, -0.4759, -0.4797, -0.4912, -0.5024, -0.5054, -0.4758, -0.4825, -0.4784, -0.4784, -0.4814, -0.4899, -0.4881, -0.5071, -0.5063, -0.4436, -0.4172, -0.3928, -0.3623, -0.3741, -0.3651, -0.3522]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1982489896016286125", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-10-26T16:49:58+00:00", "symbol": "crypto miners HPC", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm still bullish every crypto miner HPC", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Highest conviction long NBIS on software-stack moat; bullish all crypto-miner HPC names; transitioning off middleware like CRWV seen as moat risk for CRWV; ORCL cited as positive analog.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR", "CORZ", "RIOT", "MARA", "HUT"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Crypto miner/HPC basket: Cipher, Core Scientific, Riot, Marathon", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is about HPC not bitcoin mining…\n\nJust to summarize again, the point was miner margins will always be less than $NBIS because of middleware.\n\nAnd how the transition off of middleware like $CRWV is an incredibly high moat (looking at $ORCL).\n\nAnd if we go into the numbers, software stack > capacity due to how revenue translates more into profit vs. high revenue and no profit (ORCL)\n\nThat’s why Nebius has highest asymmetrical upside. I’m still bullish every crypto miner HPC", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What other crypto miners have these kinds of margins? Stands to reason IRENs margins in HPC can still be strong. And yes I’m talking about current margins- if BTC collapses then IREN margins go down the drain. Very bullish both.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "YungAds_", "ret_m1d": -0.026704229850166915, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.026704229850166915, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015044080906403478, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.008577076333398392, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.018127153516768524, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.021224422464572477, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.021224422464572477, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.023880421421163554, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.031123972606906934, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009899550142334457, "ret_p1w": 0.03527835922422131, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03527835922422131, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0380510788094949, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02554604469762802, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009732314526593289, "ret_p1m": -0.2730636348840775, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2730636348840775, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.25814919298604777, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.21105688527918953, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.062006749604887945, "ret_p3m": -0.1735870671282494, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1735870671282494, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.182016034339696, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.14415390579991966, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": -0.029433161328329738, "ret_p6m": -0.04151617604799318, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.04151617604799318, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.07486074251013441, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.07908974078465447, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03757356473666129, "price_path": [-0.4491, -0.4443, -0.4908, -0.4637, -0.4716, -0.4603, -0.464, -0.477, -0.4681, -0.4551, -0.4601, -0.4458, -0.4546, -0.4251, -0.4521, -0.4439, -0.4526, -0.4261, -0.4305, -0.4043, -0.4033, -0.3976, -0.3908, -0.3908, -0.3813, -0.3938, -0.4191, -0.4169, -0.41, -0.3512, -0.3102, -0.3213, -0.2995, -0.2817, -0.2528, -0.2334, -0.2245, -0.2288, -0.1994, -0.2193, -0.2023, -0.267, -0.2668, -0.1997, -0.2049, -0.1948, -0.167, -0.155, -0.1062, -0.1132, -0.0753, -0.0568, -0.1, -0.0157, 0.015, 0.048, -0.0466, -0.0572, -0.013, -0.0571, -0.147, -0.1123, -0.0267, 0.0, -0.0212, -0.0058, -0.0455, -0.0393, 0.0353, -0.0312, -0.0111, -0.0932, -0.1061, -0.1152, -0.1776, -0.2159, -0.306, -0.3176, -0.3216, -0.3047, -0.3224, -0.3542, -0.3626, -0.2858, -0.2731, -0.2368, -0.2368, -0.1901, -0.2139, -0.2636, -0.2278, -0.2003, -0.2197, -0.2066, -0.193, -0.2035, -0.1953, -0.2509, -0.3317, -0.3314, -0.3478, -0.3355, -0.2778, -0.2508, -0.2589, -0.2506, -0.2506, -0.2839, -0.2934, -0.3192, -0.3232, -0.3232, -0.2509, -0.184, -0.1902, -0.2117, -0.1999, -0.1867, -0.1546, -0.1363, -0.1446, -0.1643, -0.1038, -0.1038, -0.1432, -0.1496, -0.1736, -0.1484, -0.178, -0.1082, -0.101, -0.1425, -0.2076, -0.2141, -0.2002, -0.2735, -0.3749, -0.2644, -0.209, -0.2232, -0.2397, -0.265, -0.2309, -0.2309, -0.2575, -0.2493, -0.2224, -0.2492, -0.2481, -0.1899, -0.198, -0.2034, -0.2305, -0.2293, -0.2901, -0.2279, -0.2598, -0.3237, -0.296, -0.296, -0.2746, -0.2924, -0.2855, -0.2566, -0.2577, -0.2805, -0.273, -0.311, -0.2595, -0.2627, -0.2339, -0.2887, -0.3308, -0.3888, -0.3448, -0.3414, -0.3177, -0.3177, -0.2989, -0.2677, -0.1882, -0.161, -0.1474, -0.1016, -0.0794, -0.0886, -0.0854, -0.0347, -0.0185, -0.0415]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2002968528643854846", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-22T05:04:45+00:00", "symbol": "CRCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$19B for a money printer and issuer of the currency that's used for the digital dollar is vastly undervalued and I myself am piling in at $86", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long CRCL at $86; author argues $19B market cap is vastly undervalued for the issuer of the digital dollar standard with USDC network-effect moat.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’d be impressed if ChatGPT could write comparisons between OF and card networks alongside personal experiences regarding stablecoin investments in the private sector.\n\nInstitutions did not balk at $31, $CRCL was vastly oversubscribed and the GENIUS act for stablecoins was passed after IPO.\n\nIf you read the post, the moat is network effect given its the standard for settlement and digital dollars.\n\nThere could be hundreds of other stablecoins from Paxos USD, PayPal USD, SOFI USD, and others but that doesn’t mean it will get widespread adoption. \n\nUSDC and USDT are already the duopoly and digital standard. \n\nI also wrote this was the qualitative thesis. On companies like $RKLB that aren’t standard companies (like Circle) I would argue traditional valuation methods shouldn’t be used.\n\nThat being said, $19B for a money printer and issuer of the currency that’s used for the digital dollar is vastly undervalued and I myself am piling in at $86.\n\nI’m just sharing my thesis, you’re free to take the other side of the trade. And I’d encourage you to back up your words!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Did ChatGPT write this? Where is the analysis that justifies this valuation?!? Why did all the institutions balk at $31 but now retail should pile in at $86? What is the moat of USDC versus LITERALLY every other bank that can offer a stablecoin? This is a SHORT.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Fins_and_wins", "ret_m1d": -0.010000031569908363, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010000031569908363, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.003808710554574213, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0021294617922437142, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012129493362152077, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.049080421184671374, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.049080421184671374, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05365087600310425, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.051068826359376596, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001988405174705221, "ret_p1w": -0.07459767659505212, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07459767659505212, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07900744787033964, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07459767659505212, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0, "ret_p1m": -0.16436785116963004, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16436785116963004, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15378123648411934, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1260453753501216, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03832247581950843, "ret_p3m": 0.4750574923109734, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4750574923109734, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5116067426212588, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5894826274491245, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "bench_c_p3m": -0.11442513513815111, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.5124, 0.4329, 0.4597, 0.5363, 0.5239, 0.4831, 0.7209, 0.6756, 0.707, 0.7094, 0.7294, 0.7297, 0.528, 0.5801, 0.5455, 0.5457, 0.4766, 0.4539, 0.5036, 0.4925, 0.4344, 0.4926, 0.6328, 0.647, 0.5645, 0.5143, 0.4105, 0.4595, 0.3547, 0.2787, 0.2992, 0.1495, 0.1855, 0.1966, 0.1299, -0.008, -0.0536, -0.0587, -0.1197, -0.1195, -0.1986, -0.2307, -0.1801, -0.1639, -0.1941, -0.1651, -0.1651, -0.0813, -0.1271, -0.1099, -0.0082, 0.0053, -0.0159, -0.0349, 0.0216, 0.0162, 0.018, -0.0406, -0.1326, -0.046, -0.0897, -0.0691, -0.01, 0.0, -0.0491, -0.0501, -0.0501, -0.0659, -0.0746, -0.0817, -0.0885, -0.0885, -0.0406, -0.0253, -0.0247, -0.0737, -0.0599, -0.0471, -0.0471, -0.0407, -0.0253, -0.1195, -0.0964, -0.0964, -0.1644, -0.1651, -0.1799, -0.1801, -0.1851, -0.1959, -0.1628, -0.2236, -0.2652, -0.3234, -0.3545, -0.3672, -0.4226, -0.3444, -0.3092, -0.3132, -0.3349, -0.3491, -0.3099, -0.3099, -0.2917, -0.2741, -0.2883, -0.2756, -0.2969, -0.2946, -0.0444, 0.0024, -0.0409, 0.1051, 0.1452, 0.21, 0.2154, 0.1714, 0.2855, 0.3574, 0.2967, 0.3124, 0.3262, 0.4463, 0.5208, 0.5269, 0.4751, 0.4486, 0.4556, 0.1629, 0.1938, 0.1295, 0.0766, 0.0334, 0.0967, 0.043, 0.0375, 0.0375, 0.0592, 0.0818, 0.0855, -0.0218, 0.012, 0.1343, 0.2125, 0.2129, 0.2352, 0.2174, 0.2225, 0.1037, 0.1995, 0.1495, 0.1455, 0.097, 0.0845, 0.0984, 0.0446, 0.146, 0.3739, 0.3125, 0.4, 0.3017, 0.3066, 0.5145, 0.4213, 0.4548, 0.4239, 0.3103, 0.2803, 0.2762, 0.283, 0.3205, 0.3002, 0.3002, 0.1974, 0.1798, 0.2441, 0.2989, 0.2989, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1996964360087031854", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-05T15:26:19+00:00", "symbol": "ASML.AS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it's a good long term compounder as the sole EUV supplier", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long ASML long-term as sole EUV supplier / compounder, though not the most direct AI capex beneficiary.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASML.AS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I didn't include $ASML since they track fab cycles rather than the whole AI capex trade which $TSM or Samsung Electronics does (foundry + memory + misc)\n\nBut it's a good long term compounder as the sole EUV supplier vs. chasing the most direct beneficaries of the next TPU/Blackwell Cycle/LLM-agent buildout.\n \nI'm sure you can swap out any one of the above with ASML", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Well-cooked!\n\nI'd love a spot for $ASML in here as well", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TacticzH", "ret_m1d": 0.005989920291023854, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005989920291023854, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007885855734507063, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.013728317441492721, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018959354434832099, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0077383971504688676, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012190065169622066, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012190065169622066, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.015194342684296758, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0008570766984226097, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0030042775146746914, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011332988471199457, "ret_p1w": -0.027637645932617638, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.027637645932617638, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.021906243560760208, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0006264884446657293, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00573140237185743, "bench_c_p1w": -0.028264134377283368, "ret_p1m": 0.10676757103576362, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10676757103576362, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10084343298187126, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06740397775825668, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005924138053892358, "bench_c_p1m": 0.039363593277506936, "ret_p3m": 0.26251605488908636, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.26251605488908636, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.26038029645806393, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1639434749904718, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0021357584310224276, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09857257989861457, "ret_p6m": 0.4604084536288715, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4604084536288715, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.35088758844707835, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1882211058049923, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10952086518179316, "bench_c_p6m": 0.6486295594338638, "price_path": [-0.2833, -0.2865, -0.2804, -0.2764, -0.2349, -0.2312, -0.2269, -0.1671, -0.1674, -0.1495, -0.14, -0.1524, -0.1485, -0.1474, -0.134, -0.1313, -0.1174, -0.0794, -0.0768, -0.0587, -0.0823, -0.1065, -0.1086, -0.1462, -0.1146, -0.1119, -0.0842, -0.0796, -0.0814, -0.0569, -0.0666, -0.0873, -0.0688, -0.0618, -0.0474, -0.0464, -0.0338, -0.0148, -0.0352, -0.0264, -0.0353, -0.0473, -0.0592, -0.0849, -0.0682, -0.068, -0.0628, -0.0737, -0.0814, -0.079, -0.0904, -0.0683, -0.0649, -0.1236, -0.0975, -0.0959, -0.0445, -0.0572, -0.0507, -0.0262, -0.0131, 0.0124, 0.006, 0.0, 0.0122, 0.0014, -0.0059, -0.0112, -0.0276, -0.0216, -0.0452, -0.0815, -0.0619, -0.0525, -0.0584, -0.0509, -0.0553, -0.0553, -0.0553, -0.0471, -0.0349, -0.0317, -0.0317, 0.0365, 0.1068, 0.115, 0.1053, 0.0645, 0.1366, 0.1417, 0.1587, 0.1393, 0.2079, 0.2266, 0.1774, 0.198, 0.2135, 0.2362, 0.2381, 0.2379, 0.2795, 0.2551, 0.2526, 0.2774, 0.2871, 0.2509, 0.1986, 0.2081, 0.2545, 0.2678, 0.2554, 0.2709, 0.2415, 0.2526, 0.2575, 0.2619, 0.3099, 0.3029, 0.3212, 0.3145, 0.3294, 0.3557, 0.2968, 0.2979, 0.2737, 0.2225, 0.2625, 0.248, 0.207, 0.2076, 0.2627, 0.2615, 0.2421, 0.2413, 0.26, 0.2562, 0.2533, 0.2297, 0.1872, 0.2368, 0.2644, 0.2749, 0.2267, 0.2063, 0.1701, 0.1777, 0.2497, 0.2217, 0.2217, 0.2217, 0.172, 0.276, 0.2993, 0.3364, 0.3257, 0.3513, 0.2943, 0.2865, 0.309, 0.3101, 0.3017, 0.3151, 0.2878, 0.3178, 0.2788, 0.2358, 0.2577, 0.2891, 0.2891, 0.2522, 0.2961, 0.3763, 0.371, 0.3914, 0.3769, 0.3349, 0.3995, 0.4416, 0.3779, 0.3334, 0.3172, 0.4058, 0.4186, 0.4859, 0.5087, 0.4657, 0.4515, 0.4669, 0.4604, 0.4604]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2007649811621880238", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-04T03:06:30+00:00", "symbol": "RMLFF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$RMLFF (Rusoro) - ~3x return driven by the CITGO Auction in the USA (High probability, lower multiple)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long Venezuela-exposure plays on regime change/nation-building thesis: RMLFF (~3x CITGO auction), GRZ.V (~45x mining rights swap), plus COP/CVX/XOM/TDW/OI as creditor beneficiaries.", "resolved_tickers": ["RMLFF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Gold'", "bench_c_industry": "Gold", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "US now has control over Venezuela $17T+ Oil and $2T+ Mineral reserves. \n\nThis is the Gold Rush of 2026.\n\nIf your first thought was profiting on the situation, here's how:\n\n$GRZ.V ($289.61M) | $RMLFF ($582m) - $8.1B+ in claims from Gold Reserves. Over 45 times (4500%+) upside in  pure assets if the full amount gets paid out to Gold Mining LTD.\n\nGold Reserves ( $GRZ.V) - Basically, Gold Reserve filed a new $7 billion claim (Gold Reserve v. Venezuela II) for the expropriation of their stake in the Siembra Minera project (Brisas/Cristinas mines). They already won a $1.1B arbitral award, which is 5x their share price (floor).\n\nBut, the full claim is unlikely as in a US-led reconstruction, Venezuela won't have the cash to pay $8.1B.\n\nInstead, Gold Reserve would swap these massive debts for control of Siembra Minera rights back, one of the largest undeveloped gold/copper deposits on earth. Which presents extremely considerable upside (but this is higher risk). \n\nRusoro Mining ( $RMLFF ) – The \"Citgo Auction\" \n\nCurrent Market Cap: ~$582M USD Claim Value: ~$1.87 Billion (including interest)\n\nUnlike many others, Rusoro has attached its claim to the ongoing Delaware Court auction of PDV Holding. If the CITGO auction clears at a reasonable price, Rusoro gets paid in US Dollars, likely in 2025. \n\nThis would result in a cash injection of ~$1.8B into a company trading at ~$580M. This implies a ~200% to 300% return from current levels\n\nTLDR: $RMLFF (Rusoro) - ~3x return driven by the CITGO Auction in the USA (High probability, lower multiple).\n\nTLDR: $GRZ (Gold Reserve) - potential ~45x return driven by Regime Change/Nation Building and swapping debt for mining rights (Lower probability, massive multiple).\n\nWhat else?\n\nConocoPhillips ( $COP, $119B MC) - Owed $10B+. They are the \"whale\" of creditors. This is extremely considerable amount of assets, but less impactful compared to $GRZ.V.\n\nChevron $CVX - Never fully left. They have been operating under a special OFAC license (General License 41).\n\nExxonMobil $XOM - Claims ~$1.6B\n\nTidewater ( $TDW ): Claims ~$80M\n\nO-I Glass ( $OI ): Claims ~$700M, 35% cash injection relative to market cap. This is a sleeper hit. If they get their $700M from the Citgo sale, it dramatically improves their balance sheet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "US has now toppled Maduro's regime in Venezuela.\n\nEveryone's first thought is:\n\nHow do I profit off Nation Building in Venezuela?\n\nHere's how:\n\n1. Distressed Debt + Bonds ( $ASHM, $HLI, $LAZ )\n\n2x–3x multiple from \"pure play\" distressed Venezuelan debt owned by Ashmore $ASHM. https://t.co/GUdvm1WNUS", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.13548382283745497, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.13548382283745497, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12886777266852967, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1256082868531515, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006616050168925303, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009875535984303463, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007741912956911956, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007741912956911956, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01368909633000126, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.027492820405915386, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005947183373089304, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01975090744900343, "ret_p1w": -0.02580642779585396, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02580642779585396, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03662478756645304, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0674551412607799, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010818359770599084, "bench_c_p1w": 0.041648713464925935, "ret_p1m": 0.0709677533478199, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0709677533478199, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06833580344270351, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.017482180786756896, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.002631949905116393, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0884499341345768, "ret_p3m": 0.16645162848354556, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.16645162848354556, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.21021781842391707, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07941475322411873, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.043766189940371514, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08703687525942683, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1484, 0.1355, 0.12, 0.1471, 0.129, 0.1174, 0.1432, 0.1484, 0.1574, 0.1497, 0.1523, 0.1355, 0.1548, 0.1226, 0.12, 0.1097, 0.1226, 0.1097, 0.1174, 0.1226, 0.1032, 0.0658, 0.0581, 0.0323, 0.0116, 0.0013, 0.0258, 0.0323, 0.0129, 0.0129, 0.049, 0.0323, 0.0052, 0.0052, 0.1226, 0.04, 0.04, 0.0503, 0.0142, -0.0077, -0.0013, -0.0129, -0.031, -0.0348, -0.0645, -0.0942, -0.0968, -0.0968, -0.1084, -0.1484, -0.1742, -0.1742, -0.0826, -0.0813, -0.0955, -0.1019, -0.1019, -0.1123, -0.1226, -0.1252, -0.1226, -0.1226, -0.1355, 0.0, -0.0077, 0.0039, 0.0258, 0.071, -0.0258, 0.1097, 0.169, 0.2129, 0.2039, 0.2039, 0.2335, 0.2452, 0.2439, 0.2439, 0.249, 0.2206, 0.2129, 0.2129, 0.1613, 0.1006, 0.071, 0.0684, 0.0194, -0.0052, 0.0194, 0.0348, 0.0413, -0.0065, 0.0077, 0.0077, -0.009, -0.0206, -0.0039, 0.0155, -0.0258, -0.0194, -0.0194, -0.0194, -0.0039, -0.0013, -0.0129, 0.0065, 0.0335, 0.0942, 0.1329, 0.1394, 0.1148, 0.0877, 0.08, 0.0735, 0.0774, 0.0774, 0.0916, 0.089, 0.0839, 0.1019, 0.0981, 0.1084, 0.1613, 0.1574, 0.1368, 0.1832, 0.1665, 0.1665, 0.1613, 0.0748, 0.0, -0.0129, -0.009, 0.0245, 0.009, 0.0168, 0.0129, 0.009, 0.0258, 0.0271, 0.0194, 0.0168, 0.0129, -0.0645, -0.0065, -0.0232, 0.1019, 0.0323, 0.0, -0.0323, 0.0, 0.0723, 0.0645, 0.071, 0.0826, 0.0826, 0.071, 0.0839, 0.0839, 0.0735, 0.0968, 0.0452, 0.0594, 0.0594, 0.0271, 0.0426, 0.0697, 0.0968, 0.0968, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2007649811621880238", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-04T03:06:30+00:00", "symbol": "GRZ.V", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$GRZ (Gold Reserve) - potential ~45x return driven by Regime Change/Nation Building and swapping debt for mining rights", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long Venezuela-exposure plays on regime change/nation-building thesis: RMLFF (~3x CITGO auction), GRZ.V (~45x mining rights swap), plus COP/CVX/XOM/TDW/OI as creditor beneficiaries.", "resolved_tickers": ["GRZ.V"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='V')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "US now has control over Venezuela $17T+ Oil and $2T+ Mineral reserves. \n\nThis is the Gold Rush of 2026.\n\nIf your first thought was profiting on the situation, here's how:\n\n$GRZ.V ($289.61M) | $RMLFF ($582m) - $8.1B+ in claims from Gold Reserves. Over 45 times (4500%+) upside in  pure assets if the full amount gets paid out to Gold Mining LTD.\n\nGold Reserves ( $GRZ.V) - Basically, Gold Reserve filed a new $7 billion claim (Gold Reserve v. Venezuela II) for the expropriation of their stake in the Siembra Minera project (Brisas/Cristinas mines). They already won a $1.1B arbitral award, which is 5x their share price (floor).\n\nBut, the full claim is unlikely as in a US-led reconstruction, Venezuela won't have the cash to pay $8.1B.\n\nInstead, Gold Reserve would swap these massive debts for control of Siembra Minera rights back, one of the largest undeveloped gold/copper deposits on earth. Which presents extremely considerable upside (but this is higher risk). \n\nRusoro Mining ( $RMLFF ) – The \"Citgo Auction\" \n\nCurrent Market Cap: ~$582M USD Claim Value: ~$1.87 Billion (including interest)\n\nUnlike many others, Rusoro has attached its claim to the ongoing Delaware Court auction of PDV Holding. If the CITGO auction clears at a reasonable price, Rusoro gets paid in US Dollars, likely in 2025. \n\nThis would result in a cash injection of ~$1.8B into a company trading at ~$580M. This implies a ~200% to 300% return from current levels\n\nTLDR: $RMLFF (Rusoro) - ~3x return driven by the CITGO Auction in the USA (High probability, lower multiple).\n\nTLDR: $GRZ (Gold Reserve) - potential ~45x return driven by Regime Change/Nation Building and swapping debt for mining rights (Lower probability, massive multiple).\n\nWhat else?\n\nConocoPhillips ( $COP, $119B MC) - Owed $10B+. They are the \"whale\" of creditors. This is extremely considerable amount of assets, but less impactful compared to $GRZ.V.\n\nChevron $CVX - Never fully left. They have been operating under a special OFAC license (General License 41).\n\nExxonMobil $XOM - Claims ~$1.6B\n\nTidewater ( $TDW ): Claims ~$80M\n\nO-I Glass ( $OI ): Claims ~$700M, 35% cash injection relative to market cap. This is a sleeper hit. If they get their $700M from the Citgo sale, it dramatically improves their balance sheet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "US has now toppled Maduro's regime in Venezuela.\n\nEveryone's first thought is:\n\nHow do I profit off Nation Building in Venezuela?\n\nHere's how:\n\n1. Distressed Debt + Bonds ( $ASHM, $HLI, $LAZ )\n\n2x–3x multiple from \"pure play\" distressed Venezuelan debt owned by Ashmore $ASHM. https://t.co/GUdvm1WNUS", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.48358866379694876, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.48358866379694876, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.47697261362802346, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.47697261362802346, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006616050168925303, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006616050168925303, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.048139996045486244, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.048139996045486244, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04219281267239694, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04219281267239694, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005947183373089304, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005947183373089304, "ret_p1w": 0.18161923250088563, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.18161923250088563, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.17080087273028655, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.17080087273028655, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010818359770599084, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010818359770599084, "ret_p1m": -0.030634647278767635, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.030634647278767635, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03326659718388403, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03326659718388403, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.002631949905116393, "bench_c_p1m": 0.002631949905116393, "ret_p3m": 0.2319474623551685, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2319474623551685, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.27571365229554, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.27571365229554, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.043766189940371514, "bench_c_p3m": -0.043766189940371514, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5449, -0.5186, -0.5427, -0.5427, -0.5208, -0.5295, -0.5405, -0.5558, -0.5536, -0.5514, -0.5952, -0.5908, -0.5755, -0.5558, -0.5295, -0.5208, -0.5208, -0.5186, -0.4967, -0.4726, -0.4486, -0.4858, -0.5186, -0.5295, -0.5558, -0.5602, -0.5689, -0.5755, -0.5842, -0.6083, -0.6193, -0.6389, -0.628, -0.5996, -0.5602, -0.5952, -0.6521, -0.6193, -0.5667, -0.5864, -0.5449, -0.5317, -0.5186, -0.5602, -0.5711, -0.523, -0.5405, -0.547, -0.5536, -0.5646, -0.4967, -0.5186, -0.5142, -0.5186, -0.5295, -0.4858, -0.4858, -0.4858, -0.5252, -0.5142, -0.5011, -0.5011, -0.4836, 0.0, 0.0481, 0.1028, 0.1816, 0.1969, 0.1816, 0.1729, 0.1772, 0.1794, 0.2144, 0.1969, 0.2144, 0.2254, 0.221, 0.1991, 0.1663, 0.1794, 0.1554, 0.1685, 0.1291, 0.0722, -0.0306, -0.0766, -0.0919, -0.1028, -0.07, -0.0328, 0.0284, 0.0832, 0.0897, 0.0897, 0.0941, 0.0941, 0.1204, 0.1269, 0.0788, 0.116, 0.1597, 0.1554, 0.1597, 0.1772, 0.116, 0.1641, 0.2582, 0.4551, 0.5098, 0.6193, 0.6586, 0.5427, 0.4048, 0.407, 0.3786, 0.3042, 0.3348, 0.3107, 0.3085, 0.2144, 0.2538, 0.2254, 0.2144, 0.2254, 0.1904, 0.2473, 0.2319, 0.2319, 0.2473, 0.2254, 0.2495, 0.2276, 0.291, 0.2582, 0.2582, 0.3107, 0.2932, 0.2582, 0.2823, 0.2691, 0.2429, 0.2035, 0.2035, 0.1816, 0.1816, 0.1707, 0.1816, 0.2035, 0.2254, 0.3282, 0.4333, 0.4201, 0.4989, 0.4858, 0.4158, 0.3479, 0.4289, 0.477, 0.477, 0.4551, 0.4748, 0.4223, 0.4004, 0.3457, 0.4048, 0.4201, 0.3895, 0.4114, 0.4114, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2007649811621880238", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-04T03:06:30+00:00", "symbol": "COP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "ConocoPhillips ( $COP, $119B MC) - Owed $10B+. They are the \"whale\" of creditors.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long Venezuela-exposure plays on regime change/nation-building thesis: RMLFF (~3x CITGO auction), GRZ.V (~45x mining rights swap), plus COP/CVX/XOM/TDW/OI as creditor beneficiaries.", "resolved_tickers": ["COP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas E&P'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas E&P", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "US now has control over Venezuela $17T+ Oil and $2T+ Mineral reserves. \n\nThis is the Gold Rush of 2026.\n\nIf your first thought was profiting on the situation, here's how:\n\n$GRZ.V ($289.61M) | $RMLFF ($582m) - $8.1B+ in claims from Gold Reserves. Over 45 times (4500%+) upside in  pure assets if the full amount gets paid out to Gold Mining LTD.\n\nGold Reserves ( $GRZ.V) - Basically, Gold Reserve filed a new $7 billion claim (Gold Reserve v. Venezuela II) for the expropriation of their stake in the Siembra Minera project (Brisas/Cristinas mines). They already won a $1.1B arbitral award, which is 5x their share price (floor).\n\nBut, the full claim is unlikely as in a US-led reconstruction, Venezuela won't have the cash to pay $8.1B.\n\nInstead, Gold Reserve would swap these massive debts for control of Siembra Minera rights back, one of the largest undeveloped gold/copper deposits on earth. Which presents extremely considerable upside (but this is higher risk). \n\nRusoro Mining ( $RMLFF ) – The \"Citgo Auction\" \n\nCurrent Market Cap: ~$582M USD Claim Value: ~$1.87 Billion (including interest)\n\nUnlike many others, Rusoro has attached its claim to the ongoing Delaware Court auction of PDV Holding. If the CITGO auction clears at a reasonable price, Rusoro gets paid in US Dollars, likely in 2025. \n\nThis would result in a cash injection of ~$1.8B into a company trading at ~$580M. This implies a ~200% to 300% return from current levels\n\nTLDR: $RMLFF (Rusoro) - ~3x return driven by the CITGO Auction in the USA (High probability, lower multiple).\n\nTLDR: $GRZ (Gold Reserve) - potential ~45x return driven by Regime Change/Nation Building and swapping debt for mining rights (Lower probability, massive multiple).\n\nWhat else?\n\nConocoPhillips ( $COP, $119B MC) - Owed $10B+. They are the \"whale\" of creditors. This is extremely considerable amount of assets, but less impactful compared to $GRZ.V.\n\nChevron $CVX - Never fully left. They have been operating under a special OFAC license (General License 41).\n\nExxonMobil $XOM - Claims ~$1.6B\n\nTidewater ( $TDW ): Claims ~$80M\n\nO-I Glass ( $OI ): Claims ~$700M, 35% cash injection relative to market cap. This is a sleeper hit. If they get their $700M from the Citgo sale, it dramatically improves their balance sheet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "US has now toppled Maduro's regime in Venezuela.\n\nEveryone's first thought is:\n\nHow do I profit off Nation Building in Venezuela?\n\nHere's how:\n\n1. Distressed Debt + Bonds ( $ASHM, $HLI, $LAZ )\n\n2x–3x multiple from \"pure play\" distressed Venezuelan debt owned by Ashmore $ASHM. https://t.co/GUdvm1WNUS", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.025201608337845238, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.025201608337845238, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.018585558168919936, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0012432222614738864, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006616050168925303, "bench_c_m1d": -0.026444830599319125, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.021068479292423836, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.021068479292423836, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02701566266551314, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0055896636163421665, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005947183373089304, "bench_c_p1d": -0.026658142908766003, "ret_p1w": -0.03729834285981104, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03729834285981104, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.048116702630410124, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02556878618338554, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010818359770599084, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011729556676425501, "ret_p1m": 0.057560529351603495, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.057560529351603495, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0549285794464871, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0443801541043114, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.002631949905116393, "bench_c_p1m": 0.1019406834559149, "ret_p3m": 0.32596498630957615, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.32596498630957615, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.36973117624994767, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.054113310178421026, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.043766189940371514, "bench_c_p3m": 0.27185167613115513, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0636, -0.0816, -0.1247, -0.1133, -0.1194, -0.1237, -0.1319, -0.1362, -0.1304, -0.1369, -0.127, -0.1003, -0.1208, -0.1142, -0.1331, -0.1203, -0.1197, -0.1125, -0.1154, -0.122, -0.1241, -0.1444, -0.1327, -0.1188, -0.0942, -0.1104, -0.1069, -0.0874, -0.1056, -0.096, -0.1131, -0.1182, -0.1193, -0.1173, -0.1268, -0.1221, -0.1221, -0.1059, -0.0901, -0.0999, -0.0745, -0.0613, -0.0555, -0.0637, -0.0582, -0.0242, -0.0251, -0.0369, -0.0488, -0.085, -0.0427, -0.0703, -0.0732, -0.0594, -0.0652, -0.0746, -0.0746, -0.0772, -0.0662, -0.0514, -0.0564, -0.0564, -0.0252, 0.0, -0.0211, -0.053, -0.0048, -0.017, -0.0373, -0.0276, 0.0115, -0.0027, -0.0102, -0.0102, -0.0371, -0.0207, -0.0234, -0.0086, -0.0076, 0.0068, 0.0221, 0.0363, 0.0507, 0.0261, 0.0576, 0.0846, 0.0583, 0.0849, 0.0958, 0.0837, 0.1211, 0.1172, 0.1233, 0.1233, 0.0966, 0.1228, 0.1337, 0.1229, 0.1163, 0.1235, 0.1176, 0.1246, 0.1527, 0.2012, 0.2041, 0.1749, 0.1868, 0.1893, 0.1889, 0.1597, 0.1889, 0.2217, 0.2383, 0.2325, 0.2482, 0.2562, 0.2802, 0.2894, 0.2921, 0.3141, 0.3098, 0.3537, 0.3593, 0.35, 0.341, 0.3042, 0.326, 0.326, 0.3373, 0.3387, 0.2721, 0.2543, 0.245, 0.2559, 0.2068, 0.2081, 0.235, 0.1789, 0.183, 0.2217, 0.2455, 0.2635, 0.237, 0.2362, 0.263, 0.3029, 0.2778, 0.2515, 0.269, 0.2528, 0.2079, 0.1671, 0.1568, 0.1826, 0.2064, 0.2015, 0.2176, 0.2528, 0.2746, 0.2804, 0.2523, 0.2338, 0.2329, 0.2329, 0.193, 0.1783, 0.1769, 0.1665, 0.1665, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2007649811621880238", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-01-04T03:06:30+00:00", "symbol": "CVX", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Chevron $CVX - Never fully left. They have been operating under a special OFAC license", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long Venezuela-exposure plays on regime change/nation-building thesis: RMLFF (~3x CITGO auction), GRZ.V (~45x mining rights swap), plus COP/CVX/XOM/TDW/OI as creditor beneficiaries.", "resolved_tickers": ["CVX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "US now has control over Venezuela $17T+ Oil and $2T+ Mineral reserves. \n\nThis is the Gold Rush of 2026.\n\nIf your first thought was profiting on the situation, here's how:\n\n$GRZ.V ($289.61M) | $RMLFF ($582m) - $8.1B+ in claims from Gold Reserves. Over 45 times (4500%+) upside in  pure assets if the full amount gets paid out to Gold Mining LTD.\n\nGold Reserves ( $GRZ.V) - Basically, Gold Reserve filed a new $7 billion claim (Gold Reserve v. Venezuela II) for the expropriation of their stake in the Siembra Minera project (Brisas/Cristinas mines). They already won a $1.1B arbitral award, which is 5x their share price (floor).\n\nBut, the full claim is unlikely as in a US-led reconstruction, Venezuela won't have the cash to pay $8.1B.\n\nInstead, Gold Reserve would swap these massive debts for control of Siembra Minera rights back, one of the largest undeveloped gold/copper deposits on earth. Which presents extremely considerable upside (but this is higher risk). \n\nRusoro Mining ( $RMLFF ) – The \"Citgo Auction\" \n\nCurrent Market Cap: ~$582M USD Claim Value: ~$1.87 Billion (including interest)\n\nUnlike many others, Rusoro has attached its claim to the ongoing Delaware Court auction of PDV Holding. If the CITGO auction clears at a reasonable price, Rusoro gets paid in US Dollars, likely in 2025. \n\nThis would result in a cash injection of ~$1.8B into a company trading at ~$580M. This implies a ~200% to 300% return from current levels\n\nTLDR: $RMLFF (Rusoro) - ~3x return driven by the CITGO Auction in the USA (High probability, lower multiple).\n\nTLDR: $GRZ (Gold Reserve) - potential ~45x return driven by Regime Change/Nation Building and swapping debt for mining rights (Lower probability, massive multiple).\n\nWhat else?\n\nConocoPhillips ( $COP, $119B MC) - Owed $10B+. They are the \"whale\" of creditors. This is extremely considerable amount of assets, but less impactful compared to $GRZ.V.\n\nChevron $CVX - Never fully left. They have been operating under a special OFAC license (General License 41).\n\nExxonMobil $XOM - Claims ~$1.6B\n\nTidewater ( $TDW ): Claims ~$80M\n\nO-I Glass ( $OI ): Claims ~$700M, 35% cash injection relative to market cap. This is a sleeper hit. If they get their $700M from the Citgo sale, it dramatically improves their balance sheet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "US has now toppled Maduro's regime in Venezuela.\n\nEveryone's first thought is:\n\nHow do I profit off Nation Building in Venezuela?\n\nHere's how:\n\n1. Distressed Debt + Bonds ( $ASHM, $HLI, $LAZ )\n\n2x–3x multiple from \"pure play\" distressed Venezuelan debt owned by Ashmore $ASHM. https://t.co/GUdvm1WNUS", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.048520085298902504, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.048520085298902504, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0419040351299772, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0419040351299772, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006616050168925303, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006616050168925303, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.044614047709269355, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.044614047709269355, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05056123108235866, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05056123108235866, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005947183373089304, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005947183373089304, "ret_p1w": -0.00921581930039983, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.00921581930039983, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.020034179070998914, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.020034179070998914, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010818359770599084, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010818359770599084, "ret_p1m": 0.08660347730346363, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08660347730346363, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08397152739834723, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08397152739834723, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.002631949905116393, "bench_c_p1m": 0.002631949905116393, "ret_p3m": 0.22622145050459164, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.22622145050459164, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.26998764044496315, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.26998764044496315, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.043766189940371514, "bench_c_p3m": -0.043766189940371514, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0721, -0.0847, -0.1013, -0.0829, -0.0802, -0.0819, -0.0843, -0.0761, -0.0676, -0.0718, -0.061, -0.055, -0.0611, -0.0628, -0.0697, -0.0639, -0.0734, -0.048, -0.0703, -0.0742, -0.0786, -0.0769, -0.0643, -0.0605, -0.057, -0.0746, -0.061, -0.0486, -0.0655, -0.0624, -0.0742, -0.0826, -0.0847, -0.0861, -0.0935, -0.0875, -0.0875, -0.0776, -0.069, -0.083, -0.0748, -0.0707, -0.0845, -0.0924, -0.0937, -0.0759, -0.0801, -0.0846, -0.0857, -0.1044, -0.0875, -0.0986, -0.0983, -0.0857, -0.0814, -0.0815, -0.0815, -0.0844, -0.0785, -0.0704, -0.0698, -0.0698, -0.0485, 0.0, -0.0446, -0.0528, -0.0281, -0.0106, -0.0092, 0.0001, 0.0207, 0.0141, 0.0147, 0.0147, 0.0088, 0.0176, 0.0171, 0.0175, 0.0223, 0.0317, 0.0371, 0.0448, 0.0796, 0.0621, 0.0866, 0.1061, 0.0939, 0.1038, 0.1144, 0.1124, 0.1341, 0.1132, 0.1214, 0.1214, 0.1127, 0.1332, 0.1388, 0.1335, 0.1396, 0.1422, 0.1353, 0.1349, 0.151, 0.1685, 0.1634, 0.1465, 0.1703, 0.1706, 0.1675, 0.1481, 0.182, 0.2139, 0.213, 0.2131, 0.2201, 0.224, 0.2414, 0.2432, 0.2647, 0.2744, 0.2643, 0.2806, 0.3013, 0.2986, 0.2751, 0.2166, 0.2262, 0.2262, 0.2255, 0.2421, 0.1888, 0.1732, 0.162, 0.1819, 0.1526, 0.1396, 0.1595, 0.1339, 0.1293, 0.1462, 0.1483, 0.1561, 0.1414, 0.1388, 0.1608, 0.1846, 0.1913, 0.1748, 0.185, 0.1872, 0.1411, 0.1247, 0.1193, 0.1385, 0.146, 0.1463, 0.1502, 0.1777, 0.2087, 0.2268, 0.1899, 0.1879, 0.1906, 0.1906, 0.1488, 0.1344, 0.1383, 0.1348, 0.1348, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2007649811621880238", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-01-04T03:06:30+00:00", "symbol": "XOM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "ExxonMobil $XOM - Claims ~$1.6B", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long Venezuela-exposure plays on regime change/nation-building thesis: RMLFF (~3x CITGO auction), GRZ.V (~45x mining rights swap), plus COP/CVX/XOM/TDW/OI as creditor beneficiaries.", "resolved_tickers": ["XOM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas Integrated'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas Integrated", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "US now has control over Venezuela $17T+ Oil and $2T+ Mineral reserves. \n\nThis is the Gold Rush of 2026.\n\nIf your first thought was profiting on the situation, here's how:\n\n$GRZ.V ($289.61M) | $RMLFF ($582m) - $8.1B+ in claims from Gold Reserves. Over 45 times (4500%+) upside in  pure assets if the full amount gets paid out to Gold Mining LTD.\n\nGold Reserves ( $GRZ.V) - Basically, Gold Reserve filed a new $7 billion claim (Gold Reserve v. Venezuela II) for the expropriation of their stake in the Siembra Minera project (Brisas/Cristinas mines). They already won a $1.1B arbitral award, which is 5x their share price (floor).\n\nBut, the full claim is unlikely as in a US-led reconstruction, Venezuela won't have the cash to pay $8.1B.\n\nInstead, Gold Reserve would swap these massive debts for control of Siembra Minera rights back, one of the largest undeveloped gold/copper deposits on earth. Which presents extremely considerable upside (but this is higher risk). \n\nRusoro Mining ( $RMLFF ) – The \"Citgo Auction\" \n\nCurrent Market Cap: ~$582M USD Claim Value: ~$1.87 Billion (including interest)\n\nUnlike many others, Rusoro has attached its claim to the ongoing Delaware Court auction of PDV Holding. If the CITGO auction clears at a reasonable price, Rusoro gets paid in US Dollars, likely in 2025. \n\nThis would result in a cash injection of ~$1.8B into a company trading at ~$580M. This implies a ~200% to 300% return from current levels\n\nTLDR: $RMLFF (Rusoro) - ~3x return driven by the CITGO Auction in the USA (High probability, lower multiple).\n\nTLDR: $GRZ (Gold Reserve) - potential ~45x return driven by Regime Change/Nation Building and swapping debt for mining rights (Lower probability, massive multiple).\n\nWhat else?\n\nConocoPhillips ( $COP, $119B MC) - Owed $10B+. They are the \"whale\" of creditors. This is extremely considerable amount of assets, but less impactful compared to $GRZ.V.\n\nChevron $CVX - Never fully left. They have been operating under a special OFAC license (General License 41).\n\nExxonMobil $XOM - Claims ~$1.6B\n\nTidewater ( $TDW ): Claims ~$80M\n\nO-I Glass ( $OI ): Claims ~$700M, 35% cash injection relative to market cap. This is a sleeper hit. If they get their $700M from the Citgo sale, it dramatically improves their balance sheet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "US has now toppled Maduro's regime in Venezuela.\n\nEveryone's first thought is:\n\nHow do I profit off Nation Building in Venezuela?\n\nHere's how:\n\n1. Distressed Debt + Bonds ( $ASHM, $HLI, $LAZ )\n\n2x–3x multiple from \"pure play\" distressed Venezuelan debt owned by Ashmore $ASHM. https://t.co/GUdvm1WNUS", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.021617717357446664, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.021617717357446664, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015001667188521361, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0048271132418724605, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006616050168925303, "bench_c_m1d": -0.026444830599319125, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03438088864353406, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03438088864353406, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04032807201662336, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007722745734768055, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005947183373089304, "bench_c_p1d": -0.026658142908766003, "ret_p1w": -0.010609442801321256, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.010609442801321256, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02142780257192034, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.001120113875104245, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010818359770599084, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011729556676425501, "ret_p1m": 0.14653791708173092, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14653791708173092, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14390596717661452, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.044597233625816024, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.002631949905116393, "bench_c_p1m": 0.1019406834559149, "ret_p3m": 0.29037221624255594, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.29037221624255594, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.33413840618292745, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.018520540111400807, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.043766189940371514, "bench_c_p3m": 0.27185167613115513, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0983, -0.1071, -0.1244, -0.1124, -0.112, -0.1174, -0.1251, -0.1124, -0.1088, -0.1087, -0.0929, -0.0828, -0.0875, -0.0832, -0.0904, -0.0791, -0.093, -0.0957, -0.1004, -0.0974, -0.101, -0.0946, -0.073, -0.0651, -0.0528, -0.0659, -0.0606, -0.0484, -0.0613, -0.0505, -0.0639, -0.0665, -0.066, -0.0749, -0.0866, -0.0845, -0.0845, -0.0753, -0.0696, -0.0796, -0.0603, -0.0656, -0.0704, -0.0748, -0.0567, -0.0464, -0.0464, -0.0522, -0.0606, -0.0852, -0.0634, -0.0704, -0.0692, -0.0575, -0.0474, -0.049, -0.049, -0.0499, -0.0385, -0.0349, -0.04, -0.04, -0.0216, 0.0, -0.0344, -0.0548, -0.0195, -0.006, -0.0106, 0.0094, 0.0386, 0.0301, 0.0361, 0.0361, 0.0407, 0.0658, 0.066, 0.0767, 0.0756, 0.0915, 0.0975, 0.1209, 0.128, 0.104, 0.1465, 0.1773, 0.1653, 0.189, 0.2062, 0.2092, 0.2409, 0.204, 0.1921, 0.1921, 0.1739, 0.21, 0.2123, 0.1827, 0.2106, 0.1986, 0.197, 0.1928, 0.2246, 0.2384, 0.2192, 0.2031, 0.2106, 0.2142, 0.2081, 0.1895, 0.2172, 0.2329, 0.2537, 0.2626, 0.2753, 0.2655, 0.2701, 0.2822, 0.2939, 0.328, 0.311, 0.3284, 0.3731, 0.3769, 0.3624, 0.2911, 0.2904, 0.2904, 0.3119, 0.3162, 0.2545, 0.245, 0.2247, 0.2257, 0.1984, 0.1966, 0.2204, 0.1759, 0.1859, 0.1914, 0.2005, 0.2088, 0.1958, 0.19, 0.209, 0.242, 0.2393, 0.2266, 0.2342, 0.2437, 0.194, 0.1771, 0.1609, 0.202, 0.2096, 0.2171, 0.2269, 0.2767, 0.2975, 0.3142, 0.2635, 0.2555, 0.2525, 0.2525, 0.2112, 0.1957, 0.1881, 0.1744, 0.1744, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2007649811621880238", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2026-01-04T03:06:30+00:00", "symbol": "TDW", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Tidewater ( $TDW ): Claims ~$80M", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long Venezuela-exposure plays on regime change/nation-building thesis: RMLFF (~3x CITGO auction), GRZ.V (~45x mining rights swap), plus COP/CVX/XOM/TDW/OI as creditor beneficiaries.", "resolved_tickers": ["TDW"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas Equipment & Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas Equipment & Services", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "US now has control over Venezuela $17T+ Oil and $2T+ Mineral reserves. \n\nThis is the Gold Rush of 2026.\n\nIf your first thought was profiting on the situation, here's how:\n\n$GRZ.V ($289.61M) | $RMLFF ($582m) - $8.1B+ in claims from Gold Reserves. Over 45 times (4500%+) upside in  pure assets if the full amount gets paid out to Gold Mining LTD.\n\nGold Reserves ( $GRZ.V) - Basically, Gold Reserve filed a new $7 billion claim (Gold Reserve v. Venezuela II) for the expropriation of their stake in the Siembra Minera project (Brisas/Cristinas mines). They already won a $1.1B arbitral award, which is 5x their share price (floor).\n\nBut, the full claim is unlikely as in a US-led reconstruction, Venezuela won't have the cash to pay $8.1B.\n\nInstead, Gold Reserve would swap these massive debts for control of Siembra Minera rights back, one of the largest undeveloped gold/copper deposits on earth. Which presents extremely considerable upside (but this is higher risk). \n\nRusoro Mining ( $RMLFF ) – The \"Citgo Auction\" \n\nCurrent Market Cap: ~$582M USD Claim Value: ~$1.87 Billion (including interest)\n\nUnlike many others, Rusoro has attached its claim to the ongoing Delaware Court auction of PDV Holding. If the CITGO auction clears at a reasonable price, Rusoro gets paid in US Dollars, likely in 2025. \n\nThis would result in a cash injection of ~$1.8B into a company trading at ~$580M. This implies a ~200% to 300% return from current levels\n\nTLDR: $RMLFF (Rusoro) - ~3x return driven by the CITGO Auction in the USA (High probability, lower multiple).\n\nTLDR: $GRZ (Gold Reserve) - potential ~45x return driven by Regime Change/Nation Building and swapping debt for mining rights (Lower probability, massive multiple).\n\nWhat else?\n\nConocoPhillips ( $COP, $119B MC) - Owed $10B+. They are the \"whale\" of creditors. This is extremely considerable amount of assets, but less impactful compared to $GRZ.V.\n\nChevron $CVX - Never fully left. They have been operating under a special OFAC license (General License 41).\n\nExxonMobil $XOM - Claims ~$1.6B\n\nTidewater ( $TDW ): Claims ~$80M\n\nO-I Glass ( $OI ): Claims ~$700M, 35% cash injection relative to market cap. This is a sleeper hit. If they get their $700M from the Citgo sale, it dramatically improves their balance sheet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "US has now toppled Maduro's regime in Venezuela.\n\nEveryone's first thought is:\n\nHow do I profit off Nation Building in Venezuela?\n\nHere's how:\n\n1. Distressed Debt + Bonds ( $ASHM, $HLI, $LAZ )\n\n2x–3x multiple from \"pure play\" distressed Venezuelan debt owned by Ashmore $ASHM. https://t.co/GUdvm1WNUS", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.005196313751367088, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005196313751367088, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01181236392029239, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03164114435068621, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006616050168925303, "bench_c_m1d": -0.026444830599319125, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02501923133114592, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02501923133114592, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.019072047958056615, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05167737423991192, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005947183373089304, "bench_c_p1d": -0.026658142908766003, "ret_p1w": 0.1018091033244104, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1018091033244104, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09099074355381132, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1135386600008359, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010818359770599084, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011729556676425501, "ret_p1m": 0.25769822220127425, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.25769822220127425, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.25506627229615786, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.15575753874535936, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.002631949905116393, "bench_c_p1m": 0.1019406834559149, "ret_p3m": 0.6239414692105618, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6239414692105618, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.6677076591509333, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3520897930794067, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.043766189940371514, "bench_c_p3m": 0.27185167613115513, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0192, -0.0169, -0.0766, -0.0448, -0.0487, -0.0289, -0.0566, -0.0704, -0.0804, -0.0899, -0.0739, -0.0104, -0.051, -0.0631, -0.0633, -0.0493, -0.0293, -0.0264, -0.0017, -0.0214, -0.0146, -0.0194, 0.0181, 0.0523, 0.1339, 0.0525, 0.1059, 0.1311, 0.0876, 0.1005, 0.0772, 0.0085, 0.0344, 0.0285, 0.0044, 0.0135, 0.0135, 0.0396, 0.056, 0.0516, 0.1499, 0.1451, 0.1091, 0.098, 0.1199, 0.1001, 0.1116, 0.0724, 0.087, 0.016, 0.0235, -0.0281, -0.031, -0.0137, -0.0171, -0.0227, -0.0227, -0.0314, -0.0289, -0.0233, -0.0279, -0.0279, 0.0052, 0.0, 0.025, 0.0185, 0.0912, 0.0874, 0.1018, 0.0941, 0.1353, 0.1232, 0.1057, 0.1057, 0.0926, 0.1467, 0.1411, 0.162, 0.1873, 0.2206, 0.1732, 0.2023, 0.2027, 0.244, 0.2577, 0.2989, 0.2194, 0.2769, 0.3012, 0.3201, 0.3695, 0.3006, 0.3458, 0.3458, 0.3453, 0.3749, 0.4213, 0.4122, 0.5187, 0.5287, 0.5117, 0.4936, 0.5285, 0.5371, 0.6873, 0.6128, 0.545, 0.4971, 0.5589, 0.4808, 0.4725, 0.4704, 0.4773, 0.4292, 0.4654, 0.4486, 0.4296, 0.3949, 0.4519, 0.48, 0.4977, 0.555, 0.5858, 0.576, 0.608, 0.6059, 0.6239, 0.6239, 0.642, 0.6599, 0.6905, 0.6876, 0.657, 0.6903, 0.622, 0.6091, 0.6237, 0.6407, 0.6361, 0.6141, 0.6482, 0.6478, 0.7036, 0.7537, 0.668, 0.7, 0.7192, 0.6907, 0.6759, 0.6361, 0.5727, 0.4985, 0.562, 0.5652, 0.5685, 0.5606, 0.5733, 0.5849, 0.6416, 0.6143, 0.6274, 0.5627, 0.526, 0.526, 0.5154, 0.4452, 0.4378, 0.4144, 0.4144, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2007649811621880238", "ticker_idx": 6, "ts": "2026-01-04T03:06:30+00:00", "symbol": "OI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "O-I Glass ( $OI ): Claims ~$700M, 35% cash injection relative to market cap. This is a sleeper hit.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long Venezuela-exposure plays on regime change/nation-building thesis: RMLFF (~3x CITGO auction), GRZ.V (~45x mining rights swap), plus COP/CVX/XOM/TDW/OI as creditor beneficiaries.", "resolved_tickers": ["OI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Packaging & Containers", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "US now has control over Venezuela $17T+ Oil and $2T+ Mineral reserves. \n\nThis is the Gold Rush of 2026.\n\nIf your first thought was profiting on the situation, here's how:\n\n$GRZ.V ($289.61M) | $RMLFF ($582m) - $8.1B+ in claims from Gold Reserves. Over 45 times (4500%+) upside in  pure assets if the full amount gets paid out to Gold Mining LTD.\n\nGold Reserves ( $GRZ.V) - Basically, Gold Reserve filed a new $7 billion claim (Gold Reserve v. Venezuela II) for the expropriation of their stake in the Siembra Minera project (Brisas/Cristinas mines). They already won a $1.1B arbitral award, which is 5x their share price (floor).\n\nBut, the full claim is unlikely as in a US-led reconstruction, Venezuela won't have the cash to pay $8.1B.\n\nInstead, Gold Reserve would swap these massive debts for control of Siembra Minera rights back, one of the largest undeveloped gold/copper deposits on earth. Which presents extremely considerable upside (but this is higher risk). \n\nRusoro Mining ( $RMLFF ) – The \"Citgo Auction\" \n\nCurrent Market Cap: ~$582M USD Claim Value: ~$1.87 Billion (including interest)\n\nUnlike many others, Rusoro has attached its claim to the ongoing Delaware Court auction of PDV Holding. If the CITGO auction clears at a reasonable price, Rusoro gets paid in US Dollars, likely in 2025. \n\nThis would result in a cash injection of ~$1.8B into a company trading at ~$580M. This implies a ~200% to 300% return from current levels\n\nTLDR: $RMLFF (Rusoro) - ~3x return driven by the CITGO Auction in the USA (High probability, lower multiple).\n\nTLDR: $GRZ (Gold Reserve) - potential ~45x return driven by Regime Change/Nation Building and swapping debt for mining rights (Lower probability, massive multiple).\n\nWhat else?\n\nConocoPhillips ( $COP, $119B MC) - Owed $10B+. They are the \"whale\" of creditors. This is extremely considerable amount of assets, but less impactful compared to $GRZ.V.\n\nChevron $CVX - Never fully left. They have been operating under a special OFAC license (General License 41).\n\nExxonMobil $XOM - Claims ~$1.6B\n\nTidewater ( $TDW ): Claims ~$80M\n\nO-I Glass ( $OI ): Claims ~$700M, 35% cash injection relative to market cap. This is a sleeper hit. If they get their $700M from the Citgo sale, it dramatically improves their balance sheet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "US has now toppled Maduro's regime in Venezuela.\n\nEveryone's first thought is:\n\nHow do I profit off Nation Building in Venezuela?\n\nHere's how:\n\n1. Distressed Debt + Bonds ( $ASHM, $HLI, $LAZ )\n\n2x–3x multiple from \"pure play\" distressed Venezuelan debt owned by Ashmore $ASHM. https://t.co/GUdvm1WNUS", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.005901649350025573, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005901649350025573, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0007144008188997297, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0007144008188997297, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006616050168925303, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006616050168925303, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.039999977487032545, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.039999977487032545, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03405279411394324, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03405279411394324, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005947183373089304, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005947183373089304, "ret_p1w": 0.02032789636830823, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02032789636830823, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.009509536597709145, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.009509536597709145, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010818359770599084, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010818359770599084, "ret_p1m": 0.03213113253233857, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03213113253233857, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.029499182627222176, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.029499182627222176, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.002631949905116393, "bench_c_p1m": 0.002631949905116393, "ret_p3m": -0.32131145039542774, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.32131145039542774, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.27754526045505623, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.27754526045505623, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.043766189940371514, "bench_c_p3m": -0.043766189940371514, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1908, -0.2197, -0.2374, -0.2505, -0.238, -0.2282, -0.2085, -0.1987, -0.1987, -0.202, -0.1941, -0.179, -0.1738, -0.198, -0.2085, -0.24, -0.2485, -0.2597, -0.2289, -0.2262, -0.1167, -0.1344, -0.1554, -0.158, -0.143, -0.1534, -0.1285, -0.1351, -0.1593, -0.158, -0.1672, -0.1666, -0.1344, -0.1711, -0.139, -0.118, -0.118, -0.1161, -0.1246, -0.1272, -0.0846, -0.0898, -0.0544, -0.0734, -0.0715, -0.0308, -0.0184, 0.0131, 0.0236, -0.0066, -0.0059, -0.017, -0.0393, -0.0275, -0.0236, -0.0184, -0.0184, -0.0203, -0.0184, -0.0262, -0.0321, -0.0321, -0.0059, 0.0, 0.04, -0.0052, 0.0052, 0.0151, 0.0203, 0.0295, 0.0433, 0.0367, 0.0098, 0.0098, -0.0243, 0.0, 0.0098, 0.0243, 0.0177, -0.0026, -0.0144, 0.0013, 0.002, 0.023, 0.0321, 0.0866, 0.0774, 0.0905, 0.0767, 0.0748, 0.0216, -0.0111, -0.0302, -0.0302, -0.04, -0.017, -0.0059, 0.0085, -0.0334, -0.0275, -0.1554, -0.1397, -0.1213, -0.1193, -0.1777, -0.1856, -0.2151, -0.2538, -0.2387, -0.2354, -0.2557, -0.28, -0.3036, -0.3128, -0.2977, -0.318, -0.3213, -0.3534, -0.3174, -0.3043, -0.2905, -0.3102, -0.3279, -0.3318, -0.3108, -0.3043, -0.3213, -0.3213, -0.3259, -0.3246, -0.297, -0.2984, -0.2944, -0.2826, -0.2898, -0.3056, -0.3174, -0.2859, -0.2826, -0.3069, -0.3148, -0.2997, -0.2984, -0.3056, -0.3285, -0.4328, -0.4026, -0.3777, -0.4059, -0.4262, -0.4039, -0.4092, -0.3908, -0.4066, -0.4243, -0.4111, -0.4184, -0.4525, -0.4525, -0.4361, -0.4138, -0.4092, -0.421, -0.421, -0.4046, -0.3961, -0.4026, -0.4262, -0.4262, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2009318848277909826", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-08T17:38:39+00:00", "symbol": "AVAV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I really like $AVAV. They won a $800m+ contract earlier last Dec, and then made the kamikaze switchblade drones that successfully disabled Venezuelan air defenses. Given the success and $1.5T+ in defense spending, they'll likely be a huge winner, and upside is there given its small MC.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AVAV: $800M+ contract win, combat-proven Switchblade drones, defense spending tailwinds, small-cap upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["AVAV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It's not 10x but I really like $AVAV. \n\nThey won a $800m+ contract earlier last Dec, and then made the kamikaze switchblade drones that successfully disabled Venezuelan air defenses. \n\nGiven the success and $1.5T+ in defense spending, they'll likely be a huge winner, and upside is there given its small MC.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What else is in your 10X basket", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "octo_data", "ret_m1d": -0.07676246847367607, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07676246847367607, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07686401146559407, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06927041378892784, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0001015429919180022, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007492054684748228, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0580647010536155, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0580647010536155, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05145135865952288, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.047076487930105104, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006613342394092614, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010988213123510393, "ret_p1w": 0.09743163468717042, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09743163468717042, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0934723456159301, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06240642472516322, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003959289071240324, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0350252099620072, "ret_p1m": -0.2544062541220097, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2544062541220097, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.25601603008479523, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3356323246724541, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0016097759627855535, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0812260705504444, "ret_p3m": -0.4583429651787666, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4583429651787666, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.41702419864918294, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4868851494600207, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04131876652958366, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0285421842812541, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1881, 0.1643, 0.1152, 0.0845, 0.0163, 0.0553, 0.0934, 0.0296, 0.056, 0.0973, 0.102, 0.1014, 0.1035, 0.0605, 0.0723, 0.0664, 0.0583, 0.0166, -0.0485, -0.0444, -0.0321, -0.0489, -0.0627, -0.1434, -0.1558, -0.1777, -0.1856, -0.1871, -0.2058, -0.2099, -0.197, -0.1927, -0.1907, -0.1907, -0.1899, -0.2527, -0.2319, -0.2121, -0.1667, -0.193, -0.1812, -0.1842, -0.289, -0.276, -0.3072, -0.3178, -0.3198, -0.3359, -0.3313, -0.2955, -0.2597, -0.243, -0.2443, -0.2443, -0.2608, -0.2777, -0.2927, -0.2988, -0.2988, -0.2573, -0.1378, -0.081, -0.0768, 0.0, 0.0581, 0.0746, 0.0548, 0.1068, 0.0974, 0.1389, 0.1389, -0.0408, -0.0734, -0.0952, -0.1079, -0.1226, -0.1026, -0.1102, -0.15, -0.193, -0.2173, -0.1726, -0.2541, -0.3133, -0.2544, -0.2047, -0.2368, -0.2944, -0.3184, -0.293, -0.293, -0.2376, -0.2305, -0.1835, -0.2329, -0.2424, -0.2398, -0.2601, -0.2474, -0.2688, -0.3961, -0.3382, -0.3435, -0.3606, -0.3338, -0.3411, -0.3577, -0.3978, -0.3858, -0.3997, -0.3858, -0.355, -0.3743, -0.3873, -0.4268, -0.402, -0.4313, -0.4231, -0.4321, -0.4654, -0.487, -0.4694, -0.4681, -0.4656, -0.4656, -0.4514, -0.4583, -0.4581, -0.4849, -0.479, -0.4365, -0.4361, -0.4248, -0.4145, -0.4451, -0.4283, -0.391, -0.3909, -0.4147, -0.431, -0.4326, -0.4424, -0.4681, -0.4347, -0.4638, -0.4774, -0.5168, -0.4945, -0.5125, -0.5121, -0.5175, -0.5105, -0.5333, -0.5209, -0.542, -0.5318, -0.5355, -0.525, -0.5272, -0.4949, -0.4949, -0.4716, -0.4745, -0.3785, -0.3992, -0.3992, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2009616296388997534", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-09T13:20:36+00:00", "symbol": "AVGO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Wow that's immediately bullish for $AVGO", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "TPU v8 shipping is immediately bullish for AVGO as a supply-chain beneficiary.", "resolved_tickers": ["AVGO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@jukan05 Wow that’s immediately bullish for $AVGO. Do you have the info of the v8 supply chain/bom by any chance?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Bernstein: TPU v8 is already shipping. https://t.co/l7CXh00WC9", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jukan05", "ret_m1d": -0.03620599568416272, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03620599568416272, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.029636102244876783, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009896992543883432, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006569893439285934, "bench_c_m1d": -0.026309003140279286, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02098735903982818, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02098735903982818, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01941690522805639, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01728764567234964, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0015704538117717881, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003699713367478541, "ret_p1w": 0.019537931302266998, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.019537931302266998, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.023010212616132786, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.009160525592810442, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.003472281313865788, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02869845689507744, "ret_p1m": -0.0029857324893615145, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0029857324893615145, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.002812903209683082, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04776758496640776, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00017282927967843253, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04478185247704625, "ret_p3m": 0.01853937753860402, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.01853937753860402, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.04189981185505676, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0680440768094217, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.02336043431645274, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08658345434802572, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0043, 0.0165, 0.0247, 0.0107, 0.0104, -0.0086, -0.0154, -0.0039, 0.0246, 0.0475, 0.0791, 0.1167, 0.0892, 0.0694, 0.049, 0.0183, 0.0386, 0.0288, 0.011, 0.0369, 0.0183, 0.0277, -0.0163, -0.0092, -0.0086, -0.0148, 0.0254, 0.0034, -0.0157, 0.0935, 0.114, 0.1503, 0.1503, 0.1659, 0.117, 0.104, 0.1012, 0.1024, 0.1291, 0.1605, 0.1755, 0.1948, 0.1757, 0.0414, -0.0168, -0.0125, -0.0567, -0.0456, -0.0152, -0.0102, 0.0126, 0.0152, 0.0152, 0.0208, 0.0128, 0.0141, 0.0033, 0.0033, 0.0077, -0.0045, -0.0035, -0.0043, -0.0362, 0.0, 0.021, 0.0279, -0.0147, -0.0057, 0.0195, 0.0195, -0.0359, -0.0469, -0.0565, -0.0722, -0.0583, -0.0353, -0.034, -0.0413, -0.0396, -0.0402, -0.0714, -0.107, -0.0999, -0.0349, -0.003, -0.0131, -0.0064, -0.04, -0.0574, -0.0574, -0.036, -0.0332, -0.0318, -0.0357, -0.0424, -0.0565, -0.0367, -0.0675, -0.0737, -0.0758, -0.0902, -0.0795, -0.0354, -0.042, 0.0023, -0.0069, -0.0099, -0.0261, -0.0661, -0.0581, -0.0686, -0.0842, -0.0728, -0.0999, -0.0631, -0.0754, -0.0739, -0.1012, -0.1266, -0.1477, -0.1009, -0.0893, -0.0863, -0.0863, -0.0866, -0.0299, 0.0185, 0.031, 0.0793, 0.1031, 0.1061, 0.1524, 0.1575, 0.181, 0.1609, 0.1683, 0.2277, 0.2199, 0.2281, 0.2148, 0.1615, 0.1778, 0.2126, 0.2238, 0.2099, 0.2414, 0.2359, 0.1984, 0.2491, 0.2445, 0.218, 0.2107, 0.2775, 0.2351, 0.2221, 0.1941, 0.2135, 0.2043, 0.203, 0.203, 0.2259, 0.2255, 0.2392, 0.2978, 0.2978, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1971326956924002802", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-25T21:32:26+00:00", "symbol": "TGT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It would probably still go up anyway, maybe a few percent rather than 15% in a day. Lot of my hedge fund/buyside-sellside friends think it's undervalued at current prices too.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "TGT likely goes up from here; friends on buy/sell-side also see it as undervalued at current prices.", "resolved_tickers": ["TGT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLP", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Discount Stores'", "bench_c_industry": "Discount Stores", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@iamsattam Yeah I got lucky with the guidance timing. It would probably still go up anyway, maybe a few percent rather than 15% in a day. \n\nLot of my hedge fund/buyside-sellside friends think it's undervalued at current prices too.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit The 8% jump came the day they confirmed their guidance coinciding with being 6 days before the ex-div day. You think TGT might have something similar (15% for 100)?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "iamsattam", "ret_m1d": 0.013426640667469014, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.013426640667469014, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008791760169460039, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.003782794501612896, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004634880498008975, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009643846165856118, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008147727129928839, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008147727129928839, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.002418582762934607, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005704644627489097, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005729144366994232, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002443082502439742, "ret_p1w": 0.027197632986953657, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.027197632986953657, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.010223343943649654, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.025011617618018622, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016974289043304003, "bench_c_p1w": 0.002186015368935035, "ret_p1m": 0.08170771297977919, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08170771297977919, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05253057683557483, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06473461930660407, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.029177136144204363, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01697309367317512, "ret_p3m": 0.09580741693137917, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09580741693137917, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.047265700068587435, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0911545515377965, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04854171686279174, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0046528653935826725, "ret_p6m": 0.3295165055096716, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3295165055096716, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.33831072672186147, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2758689317212111, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.008794221212189868, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05364757378846052, "price_path": [0.1199, 0.179, 0.1971, 0.1814, 0.1814, 0.1534, 0.1581, 0.1629, 0.1891, 0.1834, 0.1906, 0.1604, 0.1505, 0.1767, 0.1745, 0.1547, 0.2095, 0.2196, 0.2013, 0.204, 0.2083, 0.1827, 0.1709, 0.1409, 0.1327, 0.1329, 0.1629, 0.1965, 0.1996, 0.1966, 0.1808, 0.2063, 0.2091, 0.1964, 0.1822, 0.2044, 0.2091, 0.1325, 0.1138, 0.1389, 0.1146, 0.1029, 0.1242, 0.111, 0.1014, 0.1014, 0.0608, 0.0598, 0.0639, 0.0692, 0.05, 0.0433, 0.0418, 0.0503, 0.0324, 0.0163, 0.0296, 0.0205, 0.0262, 0.0114, -0.0067, -0.001, 0.0134, 0.0, 0.0081, 0.0194, 0.0294, 0.023, 0.0272, 0.0217, 0.0209, 0.0244, 0.0372, 0.0225, -0.0185, 0.0023, 0.0209, 0.0433, 0.0336, 0.0425, 0.0504, 0.0833, 0.079, 0.0816, 0.0817, 0.122, 0.1144, 0.0801, 0.0663, 0.064, 0.0495, 0.0326, 0.0551, 0.0231, 0.0471, 0.0412, 0.051, 0.068, 0.053, 0.0447, 0.0282, 0.0288, 0.0003, -0.0276, 0.0182, -0.0176, 0.0061, 0.0435, 0.0435, 0.053, 0.0616, 0.0513, 0.0565, 0.0643, 0.0713, 0.0814, 0.0879, 0.0995, 0.1268, 0.1282, 0.1337, 0.135, 0.1458, 0.151, 0.1389, 0.1063, 0.0958, 0.1217, 0.1217, 0.1568, 0.14, 0.1322, 0.1359, 0.1359, 0.168, 0.1864, 0.212, 0.2047, 0.2356, 0.2262, 0.2334, 0.2623, 0.2762, 0.2914, 0.2931, 0.2931, 0.2706, 0.2322, 0.2376, 0.2562, 0.2081, 0.2097, 0.1823, 0.195, 0.2256, 0.2728, 0.2934, 0.3262, 0.2881, 0.3427, 0.3424, 0.3158, 0.3454, 0.3228, 0.3589, 0.3589, 0.368, 0.3577, 0.3577, 0.3698, 0.3305, 0.356, 0.3668, 0.3475, 0.3357, 0.3285, 0.418, 0.4096, 0.4129, 0.4179, 0.4103, 0.4173, 0.3943, 0.3587, 0.3774, 0.374, 0.3706, 0.3505, 0.3437, 0.3295]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1995662307431715111", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-02T01:12:26+00:00", "symbol": "SMCI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SMCI is a beneficiary", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Both SMCI and DELL are poised to benefit from the massive data center growth boom.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMCI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ejdisokqaloa Yeah, I wasn't saying $NBIS was a customer of $SMCI but after re-reading, might sound like it. \n\nPost was using others as a reference to DC sector growth + boom. And how $SMCI is a beneficiary.\n\nThe market is huge, so $SMCI, $DELL and others all are poised to do well.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.014884620465411613, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.014884620465411613, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01673349546892422, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02508161166597278, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018488750035126067, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010196991200561167, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02308633592049847, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02308633592049847, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01962356812723809, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0207012307058152, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0034627677932603795, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0023851052146832696, "ret_p1w": 0.06379108158029512, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06379108158029512, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06157554785994224, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.040493465236337345, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00221553372035288, "bench_c_p1w": 0.023297616343957772, "ret_p1m": -0.11087478475696944, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11087478475696944, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11440357093378262, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10768343189520813, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.003528786176813181, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0031913528617613096, "ret_p3m": -0.01609959929453586, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.01609959929453586, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.02561786504113628, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.02316440724853086, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.009518265746600418, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03926400654306672, "ret_p6m": 0.1600850774874909, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1600850774874909, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.05267514889902691, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.11844513580214011, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10740992858846399, "bench_c_p6m": 0.278530213289631, "price_path": [0.2363, 0.2275, 0.2163, 0.3038, 0.3338, 0.3351, 0.367, 0.3785, 0.3642, 0.3639, 0.3955, 0.3916, 0.4238, 0.4274, 0.4034, 0.4046, 0.3919, 0.4083, 0.4563, 0.5914, 0.5948, 0.5784, 0.6592, 0.6728, 0.7825, 0.7612, 0.6057, 0.6631, 0.6133, 0.6385, 0.6355, 0.5851, 0.6719, 0.6652, 0.5948, 0.4557, 0.4669, 0.5665, 0.5905, 0.6005, 0.5301, 0.5784, 0.5416, 0.4399, 0.2767, 0.2254, 0.2078, 0.2208, 0.1792, 0.1516, 0.0659, 0.1063, 0.0358, 0.0601, 0.0246, -0.0413, -0.0222, 0.0122, -0.0134, -0.0027, -0.0027, 0.0283, 0.0149, 0.0, 0.0231, 0.0398, 0.0538, 0.0744, 0.0638, 0.0601, 0.0334, -0.0179, -0.0471, -0.0383, -0.0936, -0.1078, -0.055, -0.0562, -0.0656, -0.072, -0.072, -0.0693, -0.0863, -0.0993, -0.1109, -0.1109, -0.0595, -0.0866, -0.0723, -0.0884, -0.0917, -0.0838, -0.0851, -0.1312, -0.1413, -0.1063, -0.0085, -0.0085, -0.0459, -0.0207, -0.0143, -0.0371, -0.0644, -0.0522, -0.0519, -0.0851, -0.1157, -0.0975, -0.0987, 0.0255, -0.0629, 0.0444, 0.0185, 0.0125, -0.0267, -0.0756, -0.0723, -0.0723, -0.0854, -0.0975, -0.0231, -0.0152, -0.0671, -0.0544, 0.0207, -0.0194, -0.0161, -0.0331, -0.068, -0.0082, -0.0207, -0.0489, -0.0286, -0.0343, -0.0343, -0.0614, -0.0659, -0.0322, -0.0428, -0.0781, -0.0647, -0.3764, -0.3445, -0.3247, -0.2694, -0.3253, -0.3326, -0.3603, -0.3083, -0.3162, -0.2947, -0.2947, -0.3302, -0.3114, -0.2901, -0.2947, -0.2327, -0.2111, -0.1738, -0.171, -0.1373, -0.1324, -0.1248, -0.1364, -0.1136, -0.1874, -0.1166, -0.154, -0.1722, -0.2005, -0.1677, -0.1771, -0.1519, -0.1546, 0.0529, 0.0213, 0.0744, 0.0182, -0.0039, -0.0279, 0.0033, -0.0571, -0.0629, -0.0717, 0.0164, 0.0164, 0.0808, 0.0808, 0.127, 0.1601]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1995662307431715111", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-02T01:12:26+00:00", "symbol": "DELL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SMCI, $DELL and others all are poised to do well", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Both SMCI and DELL are poised to benefit from the massive data center growth boom.", "resolved_tickers": ["DELL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ejdisokqaloa Yeah, I wasn't saying $NBIS was a customer of $SMCI but after re-reading, might sound like it. \n\nPost was using others as a reference to DC sector growth + boom. And how $SMCI is a beneficiary.\n\nThe market is huge, so $SMCI, $DELL and others all are poised to do well.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.028392884766213378, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.028392884766213378, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02654400976270077, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01819589356565221, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018488750035126067, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010196991200561167, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.017065063310147788, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.017065063310147788, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.020527831103408167, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.019450168524831057, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0034627677932603795, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0023851052146832696, "ret_p1w": 0.016697333438269846, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.016697333438269846, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.014481799717916966, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.006600282905687926, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00221553372035288, "bench_c_p1w": 0.023297616343957772, "ret_p1m": -0.07407139161105492, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07407139161105492, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0776001777878681, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0708800387492936, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.003528786176813181, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0031913528617613096, "ret_p3m": 0.09398913184088387, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09398913184088387, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08447086609428345, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1332531383839506, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.009518265746600418, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03926400654306672, "ret_p6m": 1.2626301415466004, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.2626301415466004, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.1552202129581364, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.9840999282569693, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10740992858846399, "bench_c_p6m": 0.278530213289631, "price_path": [-0.0716, -0.0851, -0.0985, -0.111, -0.0878, -0.0811, -0.0835, -0.0706, -0.0642, -0.0447, -0.0317, -0.0329, -0.0055, -0.0154, -0.0318, -0.0401, -0.0416, -0.0186, 0.0391, 0.0971, 0.0802, 0.0316, 0.0684, 0.1058, 0.2059, 0.143, 0.1036, 0.1243, 0.0904, 0.1265, 0.109, 0.0964, 0.0838, 0.0992, 0.1043, 0.1345, 0.1669, 0.193, 0.2128, 0.2034, 0.1843, 0.1917, 0.1777, 0.1375, 0.1211, 0.0973, 0.0791, 0.0496, 0.0207, 0.035, -0.0148, -0.0161, -0.0991, -0.0975, -0.1219, -0.1364, -0.0989, -0.0642, -0.0738, -0.0198, -0.0198, -0.0191, -0.0284, 0.0, -0.0171, 0.0224, 0.0218, 0.0328, 0.0167, 0.0344, 0.0195, -0.0439, -0.04, -0.0162, -0.0593, -0.0957, -0.0701, -0.0687, -0.0613, -0.0557, -0.0557, -0.0494, -0.0624, -0.0591, -0.0741, -0.0741, -0.0599, -0.0878, -0.0884, -0.1168, -0.1284, -0.1128, -0.1139, -0.1198, -0.127, -0.1198, -0.1134, -0.1134, -0.1794, -0.1633, -0.1344, -0.1472, -0.1435, -0.1529, -0.1333, -0.1246, -0.1545, -0.1197, -0.1345, -0.0984, -0.1475, -0.1057, -0.1067, -0.0691, -0.0827, -0.1665, -0.132, -0.132, -0.1423, -0.1372, -0.1204, -0.0967, -0.1198, -0.1151, -0.0878, -0.1027, 0.094, 0.1344, 0.0726, 0.0867, 0.0825, 0.0822, 0.0824, 0.0624, 0.0887, 0.1075, 0.1201, 0.1565, 0.1304, 0.1023, 0.1581, 0.1648, 0.216, 0.307, 0.3594, 0.2989, 0.2693, 0.2165, 0.2126, 0.2513, 0.2882, 0.2882, 0.2794, 0.3127, 0.3702, 0.3406, 0.3136, 0.4021, 0.3631, 0.3097, 0.4265, 0.4521, 0.5089, 0.5737, 0.5907, 0.5721, 0.6014, 0.6005, 0.5261, 0.5241, 0.5485, 0.5575, 0.5684, 0.6031, 0.7697, 0.7065, 0.9302, 0.8307, 0.7707, 0.8072, 0.837, 0.7933, 0.764, 0.7434, 0.8003, 0.8734, 1.1876, 1.1876, 1.2609, 1.2626]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1988632241229250795", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-12T15:37:27+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I ended up using this time to increase my position at $96. A business growing from 700%+ Y/Y is definitely not being priced correctly and largely off of fear from broader macro and sector correction.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Added to NBIS at $96; 700%+ YoY growth mispriced due to macro/sector fear, not fundamentals.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Northland ended up increasing their PT to $211 (Outperform) just now, but the $6 increase is likely just a random bump.\n\nAs you mentioned, we both  were modelling ~$5-7B ARR, and $NBIS just strongly blew out numbers with their earnings to a guided $7-9B figure. \n\nUnfortunately there's a sector short/sell-off from $CRWV to $IREN but fundamentals are detached from stock price right now with the 20% selloff this week.\n\nI ended up using this time to increase my position at $96. A business growing from 700%+ Y/Y is definitely not being priced correctly and largely off of fear from broader macro and sector correction.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit When Northland set their $205 PT in September, they modeled $2–4B ARR for 2026, fair at the time.  \n\nBut back in August, we modeled $6–7B ARR in our research, arguing that $NBIS' megawatt intensity and software attach would push them ahead of schedule.  \n\nFast forward to this", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "yianisz", "ret_m1d": 0.0832980135598822, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0832980135598822, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.083854192531305, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07748515706567716, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005561789714227938, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005812856494205043, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06072491860820306, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06072491860820306, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04413089862797648, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04654488419080138, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.016594019980226582, "bench_c_p1d": -0.014180034417401677, "ret_p1w": 0.007524364983892973, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.007524364983892973, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03788821579391388, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.028221942929920973, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03036385081002091, "bench_c_p1w": -0.020697577946028, "ret_p1m": -0.0008478362710598875, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0008478362710598875, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.009320313900171073, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02964823305990516, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008472477629111186, "bench_c_p1m": 0.028800396788845273, "ret_p3m": -0.01568464759813948, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.01568464759813948, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03415244818606167, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.048434132168942434, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01846780058792219, "bench_c_p3m": 0.032749484570802956, "ret_p6m": 0.9581390745793523, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.9581390745793523, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.8815117682936946, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.9176618377965287, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07662730628565773, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04047723678282367, "price_path": [-0.241, -0.2312, -0.2879, -0.285, -0.2986, -0.269, -0.2579, -0.2531, -0.2571, -0.2365, -0.276, -0.276, -0.3035, -0.3043, -0.3121, -0.3062, -0.3211, 0.0144, -0.0103, -0.0548, -0.0419, -0.036, -0.0522, -0.003, -0.0025, 0.0525, 0.1297, 0.1424, 0.2, 0.1439, 0.1414, 0.1681, 0.1898, 0.2252, 0.3339, 0.3563, 0.3241, 0.2474, 0.2929, 0.4057, 0.3733, 0.4356, 0.3581, 0.3335, 0.3039, 0.2022, 0.1552, 0.1051, 0.0451, 0.1251, 0.2427, 0.3293, 0.2911, 0.3258, 0.316, 0.3864, 0.2767, 0.1715, 0.2399, 0.1598, 0.1793, 0.1652, 0.0833, 0.0, -0.0607, -0.1147, -0.0888, -0.0405, 0.0075, -0.103, -0.1176, -0.0261, -0.0581, 0.0035, 0.0035, 0.0054, 0.0614, 0.0221, 0.0483, 0.0894, 0.039, 0.0633, 0.0217, -0.0082, -0.0008, -0.0707, -0.1401, -0.1421, -0.2004, -0.1724, -0.0519, -0.012, -0.0459, -0.0342, -0.0342, -0.0717, -0.0882, -0.0974, -0.1129, -0.1129, -0.0467, -0.0162, 0.0623, 0.0196, 0.0312, 0.0378, 0.1375, 0.1173, 0.0808, 0.1009, 0.1523, 0.1523, 0.0522, 0.0478, 0.0264, 0.0015, -0.0307, 0.0372, 0.0643, 0.0058, -0.0972, -0.0657, -0.0467, -0.1269, -0.2171, -0.0875, -0.0157, -0.0272, -0.0609, -0.0491, 0.0387, 0.0387, 0.0335, 0.0788, 0.1404, 0.0377, 0.0662, 0.0871, 0.1246, 0.1115, -0.0336, -0.0355, -0.0801, 0.0362, 0.0137, -0.0533, 0.0061, 0.0219, 0.1869, 0.145, 0.197, 0.3761, 0.2328, 0.2565, 0.2878, 0.2465, 0.2097, 0.2178, 0.2197, 0.123, 0.0685, -0.0223, 0.0996, 0.0804, 0.1532, 0.1532, 0.1927, 0.2442, 0.3247, 0.4448, 0.5364, 0.638, 0.7162, 0.7674, 0.7522, 0.6653, 0.6867, 0.6591, 0.6547, 0.6647, 0.5596, 0.5362, 0.4361, 0.4963, 0.4649, 0.6372, 0.8696, 0.8643, 1.0675, 0.9581]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1973695110299926836", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-02T10:22:38+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm personally in $NBIS, $CIFR, $IREN right now", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Currently holds NBIS, CIFR, and IREN as neocloud plays.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Pacheca12345 I'm personally in $NBIS, $CIFR, $IREN right now. Looking at $WULF next since short interest is high but $GOOGL happens to own 14% of it.\n\n$CRWV obviously market leader so far, $WYFI, $SLNH, $GRRR, are more speculative ones.\n\nLot of people like $BITF, $CLSK, $HIVE on their pivot.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit can you name more examples of these tiny new Neocloud companies you fancy?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Pacheca12345", "ret_m1d": -0.0815126869972923, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0815126869972923, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08036220858520382, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08374542506568405, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011504784120884848, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0022327380683917486, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01676333172566702, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01676333172566702, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01677809908788863, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01727850796170094, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4767362221612679e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0005151762360339207, "ret_p1w": 0.05378562401954223, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05378562401954223, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.050886634886761595, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06692429946603051, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028989891327806383, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01313867544648828, "ret_p1m": 0.03932632453820406, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03932632453820406, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.020139760379656257, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05340956667881569, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019186564158547803, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01408324214061163, "ret_p3m": -0.3233495168787698, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3233495168787698, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.35296633318039683, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.34243886359072817, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029616816301627047, "bench_c_p3m": 0.019089346711958388, "ret_p6m": -0.1990148765007319, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1990148765007319, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.15191616328831792, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.12412626613538336, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04709871321241399, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07488861036534855, "price_path": [-0.6199, -0.6258, -0.6341, -0.6311, -0.648, -0.5873, -0.5747, -0.5765, -0.5734, -0.5806, -0.5839, -0.5947, -0.5878, -0.5856, -0.5919, -0.5809, -0.5996, -0.5925, -0.5676, -0.5869, -0.5696, -0.5617, -0.5623, -0.4811, -0.4536, -0.442, -0.4015, -0.4389, -0.4561, -0.431, -0.4237, -0.4662, -0.464, -0.4742, -0.452, -0.4437, -0.4401, -0.4431, -0.4277, -0.4572, -0.4572, -0.4779, -0.4784, -0.4843, -0.4799, -0.4911, -0.2395, -0.258, -0.2914, -0.2817, -0.2773, -0.2895, -0.2526, -0.2522, -0.211, -0.1531, -0.1436, -0.1004, -0.1424, -0.1444, -0.1243, -0.108, -0.0815, 0.0, 0.0168, -0.0074, -0.0649, -0.0307, 0.0538, 0.0295, 0.0762, 0.0181, -0.0003, -0.0225, -0.0988, -0.134, -0.1715, -0.2165, -0.1566, -0.0684, -0.0035, -0.0321, -0.0061, -0.0134, 0.0393, -0.0429, -0.1218, -0.0705, -0.1305, -0.1159, -0.1265, -0.1879, -0.2503, -0.2959, -0.3363, -0.3169, -0.2807, -0.2447, -0.3276, -0.3385, -0.2699, -0.2939, -0.2477, -0.2477, -0.2463, -0.2043, -0.2337, -0.2141, -0.1833, -0.2211, -0.2029, -0.2341, -0.2565, -0.251, -0.3033, -0.3554, -0.3569, -0.4006, -0.3796, -0.2893, -0.2593, -0.2847, -0.276, -0.276, -0.3041, -0.3164, -0.3233, -0.335, -0.335, -0.2854, -0.2625, -0.2036, -0.2356, -0.227, -0.222, -0.1473, -0.1624, -0.1898, -0.1747, -0.1362, -0.1362, -0.2112, -0.2145, -0.2306, -0.2492, -0.2734, -0.2225, -0.2021, -0.246, -0.3232, -0.2996, -0.2854, -0.3454, -0.4131, -0.316, -0.2621, -0.2708, -0.296, -0.2871, -0.2213, -0.2213, -0.2252, -0.1912, -0.1451, -0.2221, -0.2007, -0.185, -0.1569, -0.1668, -0.2755, -0.277, -0.3104, -0.2232, -0.2401, -0.2903, -0.2457, -0.2339, -0.1102, -0.1417, -0.1026, 0.0316, -0.0758, -0.0581, -0.0346, -0.0655, -0.0931, -0.0871, -0.0856, -0.1581, -0.199]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1973695110299926836", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-02T10:22:38+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm personally in $NBIS, $CIFR, $IREN right now", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Currently holds NBIS, CIFR, and IREN as neocloud plays.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Pacheca12345 I'm personally in $NBIS, $CIFR, $IREN right now. Looking at $WULF next since short interest is high but $GOOGL happens to own 14% of it.\n\n$CRWV obviously market leader so far, $WYFI, $SLNH, $GRRR, are more speculative ones.\n\nLot of people like $BITF, $CLSK, $HIVE on their pivot.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit can you name more examples of these tiny new Neocloud companies you fancy?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Pacheca12345", "ret_m1d": -0.08761766845627339, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08761766845627339, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0864671900441849, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08223603430409199, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011504784120884848, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005381634152181403, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0644460074298201, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0644460074298201, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06446077479204171, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06947816259763362, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4767362221612679e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0050321551678135235, "ret_p1w": 0.3026791618024789, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.3026791618024789, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.29978017266969825, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2885611946793829, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028989891327806383, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014117967123095987, "ret_p1m": 0.3504706047683024, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3504706047683024, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3312840406097546, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2997298494124674, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019186564158547803, "bench_c_p1m": 0.050740755355835, "ret_p3m": 0.05648078995444661, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05648078995444661, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.02686397365281956, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03865468825884255, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029616816301627047, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017826101695604057, "ret_p6m": -0.00470677277933218, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.00470677277933218, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.04239194043308181, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08476177213368996, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04709871321241399, "bench_c_p6m": -0.08946854491302214, "price_path": [-0.5807, -0.5634, -0.5467, -0.5482, -0.5749, -0.5634, -0.5677, -0.546, -0.5351, -0.5395, -0.5474, -0.4975, -0.5163, -0.5185, -0.5315, -0.5539, -0.5887, -0.6054, -0.6046, -0.643, -0.6242, -0.6372, -0.6227, -0.6474, -0.656, -0.6553, -0.6582, -0.6452, -0.6148, -0.6227, -0.5619, -0.5829, -0.5692, -0.5728, -0.538, -0.5192, -0.4844, -0.4938, -0.4917, -0.4468, -0.4468, -0.3975, -0.4127, -0.4642, -0.4555, -0.441, -0.3324, -0.2578, -0.2781, -0.2143, -0.2143, -0.1665, -0.1035, -0.1419, -0.1108, 0.0109, 0.0246, 0.0239, -0.1557, -0.1694, -0.084, -0.0883, -0.0876, 0.0, 0.0644, 0.1108, 0.1405, 0.2744, 0.3027, 0.2288, 0.4728, 0.5127, 0.5228, 0.3555, 0.3584, 0.4417, 0.3088, 0.1665, 0.2495, 0.496, 0.4873, 0.4453, 0.4185, 0.3809, 0.3505, 0.6481, 0.63, 0.7893, 0.572, 0.4982, 0.4229, 0.3519, 0.2585, 0.0811, 0.0398, 0.0391, 0.0558, 0.0587, 0.0543, 0.0246, 0.21, 0.2686, 0.3867, 0.3867, 0.4736, 0.4258, 0.2773, 0.349, 0.4359, 0.3961, 0.4106, 0.4164, 0.3382, 0.3671, 0.2346, 0.0673, 0.0854, 0.042, 0.097, 0.1738, 0.1832, 0.1521, 0.1745, 0.1745, 0.0999, 0.092, 0.0565, 0.0688, 0.0688, 0.1731, 0.315, 0.2701, 0.1644, 0.1984, 0.2042, 0.2802, 0.3215, 0.3128, 0.2686, 0.3613, 0.3613, 0.2976, 0.2831, 0.2592, 0.2723, 0.1941, 0.3577, 0.3736, 0.2817, 0.1557, 0.1448, 0.1774, 0.0319, -0.0804, 0.0666, 0.2136, 0.2382, 0.1789, 0.1658, 0.189, 0.189, 0.1325, 0.1166, 0.1441, 0.0608, 0.1021, 0.2397, 0.2028, 0.1933, 0.1296, 0.1412, 0.0652, 0.1615, 0.097, -0.0138, 0.0362, 0.0109, 0.0217, -0.0072, 0.0196, 0.0963, 0.0927, 0.0623, 0.0601, 0.0145, 0.0782, 0.0775, 0.1499, 0.0391, -0.0047]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1973695110299926836", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-02T10:22:38+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm personally in $NBIS, $CIFR, $IREN right now", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Currently holds NBIS, CIFR, and IREN as neocloud plays.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Pacheca12345 I'm personally in $NBIS, $CIFR, $IREN right now. Looking at $WULF next since short interest is high but $GOOGL happens to own 14% of it.\n\n$CRWV obviously market leader so far, $WYFI, $SLNH, $GRRR, are more speculative ones.\n\nLot of people like $BITF, $CLSK, $HIVE on their pivot.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit can you name more examples of these tiny new Neocloud companies you fancy?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Pacheca12345", "ret_m1d": 0.001276081937619633, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.001276081937619633, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.002426560349708118, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0005263740316090448, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011504784120884848, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0007497079060105882, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07316032737598555, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07316032737598555, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07317509473820716, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06622493423911258, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4767362221612679e-05, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006935393136872969, "ret_p1w": 0.35793274888364124, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.35793274888364124, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.3550337597508606, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.3584950839046287, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028989891327806383, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0005623350209874589, "ret_p1m": 0.29200339022900423, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.29200339022900423, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.27281682607045643, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.31037271242670494, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019186564158547803, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01836932219770071, "ret_p3m": -0.185453022879827, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.185453022879827, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.21506983918145406, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.22336970757698693, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029616816301627047, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03791668469715992, "ret_p6m": -0.25372182452214265, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.25372182452214265, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.20662311130972866, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.15763408093017994, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04709871321241399, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0960877435919627, "price_path": [-0.6395, -0.6408, -0.6393, -0.6378, -0.6548, -0.6325, -0.641, -0.6319, -0.6161, -0.6185, -0.614, -0.6046, -0.5961, -0.6142, -0.6231, -0.6474, -0.6642, -0.6567, -0.6574, -0.6725, -0.6495, -0.6501, -0.6104, -0.6051, -0.6076, -0.6178, -0.6208, -0.6229, -0.5942, -0.5812, -0.5597, -0.6017, -0.5798, -0.5834, -0.5442, -0.5083, -0.5111, -0.5246, -0.51, -0.4368, -0.4368, -0.3809, -0.4, -0.4443, -0.4439, -0.443, -0.3579, -0.2848, -0.3014, -0.2778, -0.2101, -0.2248, -0.194, -0.2276, -0.1782, -0.1089, -0.1117, 0.0026, -0.0155, -0.1097, -0.0232, -0.0019, 0.0013, 0.0, 0.0732, 0.2282, 0.3118, 0.278, 0.3579, 0.2712, 0.3641, 0.4794, 0.4458, 0.315, 0.2914, 0.2595, 0.1739, 0.1023, 0.188, 0.3377, 0.3822, 0.3275, 0.285, 0.2382, 0.292, 0.4409, 0.4171, 0.6251, 0.4241, 0.3267, 0.2797, 0.2203, 0.1846, 0.0347, -0.0138, 0.0083, 0.0389, -0.0253, -0.0755, -0.1012, 0.0313, 0.0096, 0.0304, 0.0304, 0.0168, 0.0313, -0.1255, -0.0651, -0.0121, -0.0491, -0.0145, -0.0038, -0.0659, -0.0655, -0.1465, -0.2454, -0.2218, -0.2816, -0.2386, -0.151, -0.1059, -0.1053, -0.1072, -0.1072, -0.1429, -0.1618, -0.1855, -0.1967, -0.1967, -0.0919, 0.0259, -0.0236, -0.0722, -0.0285, -0.0211, 0.0704, 0.127, 0.1246, 0.1036, 0.2297, 0.2297, 0.154, 0.1374, 0.1114, 0.2054, 0.1136, 0.2758, 0.3386, 0.2726, 0.1429, 0.1289, 0.1567, -0.0442, -0.1538, -0.1104, -0.0185, -0.087, -0.0925, -0.1487, -0.1021, -0.1021, -0.1287, -0.1051, -0.0793, -0.1497, -0.0991, -0.0334, -0.0636, -0.0591, -0.1291, -0.1197, -0.1738, -0.0676, -0.1466, -0.2195, -0.174, -0.1893, -0.1072, -0.1202, -0.1157, -0.0442, -0.0863, -0.1023, -0.114, -0.1219, -0.1034, -0.1255, -0.1189, -0.2035, -0.2537]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1986898017086279888", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-07T20:46:16+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Just DCA'd calls on $META after reading through earnings + news", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "DCA'd into META calls after reviewing earnings and news; ongoing bullish position.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Eh, might dip again going if Gov shutdown prolongs, who knows. I've been out with a pretty bad cold this week so haven't been spending much time looking at markets + reading X. \n\nJust DCA'd calls on $META after reading through earnings + news, but otherwise pretty nonchalant few days for me.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Hmm I woke up and saw all the high beta growth stocks down massively, decided to wait till end of day to see what happens before buying in and now the dip is gone. Ended up doing nothing lol", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": -0.004455463021318828, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004455463021318828, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0034719237418192606, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0070421602185052334, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009835392794995679, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002586697197186405, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.016165164844166524, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.016165164844166524, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0005608215361720958, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005728995383343705, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015604343307994428, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01043616946082282, "ret_p1w": -0.019703633235976237, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.019703633235976237, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.021134435424737696, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01274618692876095, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0014308021887614597, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006957446307215287, "ret_p1m": 0.07252576902414765, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07252576902414765, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05365747683567812, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03550854108795498, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018868292188469526, "bench_c_p1m": 0.037017227936192665, "ret_p3m": 0.07692596652463157, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07692596652463157, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.051220379324419696, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.031719208825291334, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025705587200211877, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04520675769934024, "ret_p6m": -0.01653363442880673, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.01653363442880673, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.09273437158468112, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.05879165184084667, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07620073715587439, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04225801741203994, "price_path": [0.2698, 0.2539, 0.2572, 0.2622, 0.2335, 0.2079, 0.2019, 0.188, 0.2132, 0.2108, 0.2121, 0.2013, 0.2073, 0.1874, 0.1874, 0.1816, 0.1847, 0.2034, 0.2095, 0.2092, 0.2308, 0.2087, 0.207, 0.2145, 0.2292, 0.2522, 0.2469, 0.2542, 0.2512, 0.2307, 0.215, 0.2235, 0.2046, 0.1963, 0.1957, 0.1812, 0.1538, 0.1694, 0.1429, 0.1511, 0.147, 0.1546, 0.1798, 0.1345, 0.1512, 0.1398, 0.1542, 0.1453, 0.1531, 0.1777, 0.1794, 0.1797, 0.1806, 0.1876, 0.2077, 0.2087, 0.209, 0.072, 0.0428, 0.0257, 0.009, 0.0229, -0.0045, 0.0, 0.0162, 0.0086, -0.0204, -0.019, -0.0197, -0.0317, -0.0386, -0.0505, -0.0524, -0.0442, -0.0139, 0.0233, 0.0191, 0.0191, 0.0422, 0.0308, 0.0408, 0.0288, 0.064, 0.0832, 0.0725, 0.0567, 0.0457, 0.0499, 0.0362, 0.0423, 0.0579, 0.0456, 0.0696, 0.0605, 0.0649, 0.0704, 0.0746, 0.0746, 0.0678, 0.0603, 0.072, 0.0626, 0.0626, 0.047, 0.0605, 0.0635, 0.0442, 0.04, 0.0513, 0.0334, 0.0159, -0.0091, -0.0006, -0.0015, -0.0015, -0.0275, -0.0133, 0.0425, 0.0605, 0.0824, 0.0833, 0.0765, 0.1885, 0.1534, 0.1372, 0.1135, 0.0769, 0.0789, 0.0648, 0.0902, 0.0797, 0.0764, 0.0461, 0.0299, 0.0299, 0.0291, 0.0354, 0.038, 0.0555, 0.0258, 0.0291, 0.0523, 0.0576, 0.0434, 0.0521, 0.0545, 0.0749, 0.0634, 0.0381, 0.0422, 0.0529, 0.0542, 0.0273, -0.0121, 0.0109, 0.0032, -0.008, -0.0225, -0.0435, -0.0268, -0.0447, -0.0415, -0.1178, -0.153, -0.1358, -0.0782, -0.0668, -0.0745, -0.0745, -0.0768, -0.0735, -0.0133, 0.0124, 0.0148, 0.0223, 0.0674, 0.082, 0.0905, 0.1094, 0.0809, 0.0776, 0.0871, 0.062, 0.0876, 0.0934, 0.0816, 0.0781, -0.0141, -0.0192, -0.0165]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1973831319101845660", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-02T19:23:53+00:00", "symbol": "DOCN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I might add $DOCN in my port actually to see where it goes", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Considering adding DOCN on AI cloud pivot potential.", "resolved_tickers": ["DOCN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@jesnix7 It has potential since it's pivoting to AI cloud. I might add $DOCN in my port actually to see where it goes", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Any thoughts on $DOCN in this context?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jesnix7", "ret_m1d": -0.07336606095986886, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07336606095986886, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07221558254778038, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07221558254778038, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011504784120884848, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0011504784120884848, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0346163829573789, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0346163829573789, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03460161559515729, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03460161559515729, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4767362221612679e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -1.4767362221612679e-05, "ret_p1w": 0.02144153579656427, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02144153579656427, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.018542546663783632, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.018542546663783632, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028989891327806383, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0028989891327806383, "ret_p1m": 0.05037460111234249, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05037460111234249, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.031188036953794684, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.031188036953794684, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019186564158547803, "bench_c_p1m": 0.019186564158547803, "ret_p3m": 0.26065617130523755, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.26065617130523755, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2310393550036105, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2310393550036105, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029616816301627047, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029616816301627047, "ret_p6m": 1.1033324746733069, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.1033324746733069, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.150431187885721, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.150431187885721, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04709871321241399, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04709871321241399, "price_path": [-0.2542, -0.239, -0.2294, -0.2366, -0.2707, -0.2643, -0.2694, -0.265, -0.2472, -0.2374, -0.2472, -0.2565, -0.2555, -0.2576, -0.256, -0.247, -0.2648, -0.2818, -0.2803, -0.3351, -0.3022, -0.1007, -0.0579, -0.1131, -0.1462, -0.2364, -0.2237, -0.1798, -0.2111, -0.1981, -0.1811, -0.202, -0.2196, -0.2253, -0.1855, -0.1971, -0.2049, -0.164, -0.1382, -0.1573, -0.1573, -0.1767, -0.1723, -0.1702, -0.1537, -0.1395, -0.1134, -0.1168, -0.0555, -0.078, -0.0447, -0.0615, -0.0635, -0.0387, -0.0553, -0.0258, -0.0452, -0.0617, -0.0925, -0.0933, -0.085, -0.1175, -0.0734, 0.0, -0.0346, -0.0083, -0.0108, -0.0225, 0.0214, -0.0367, 0.0212, 0.0457, 0.1224, 0.1129, 0.0697, 0.0617, 0.0263, 0.007, 0.0232, 0.0191, 0.0431, 0.0263, 0.023, -0.0199, 0.0504, 0.0703, 0.0028, 0.1834, 0.2162, 0.2782, 0.3348, 0.2917, 0.2495, 0.1674, 0.1842, 0.1509, 0.1369, 0.139, 0.1155, 0.1317, 0.1664, 0.1599, 0.1658, 0.1658, 0.1501, 0.1462, 0.1527, 0.1855, 0.1948, 0.2477, 0.2785, 0.2844, 0.3079, 0.2702, 0.2312, 0.1826, 0.148, 0.1341, 0.1857, 0.2276, 0.2712, 0.264, 0.2702, 0.2702, 0.2793, 0.2746, 0.2607, 0.2431, 0.2431, 0.265, 0.3074, 0.3952, 0.3836, 0.3555, 0.3743, 0.4293, 0.4051, 0.3614, 0.3661, 0.363, 0.363, 0.2924, 0.3105, 0.4027, 0.3849, 0.5226, 0.5564, 0.5562, 0.45, 0.4273, 0.5451, 0.5066, 0.4795, 0.4895, 0.6254, 0.6724, 0.6554, 0.612, 0.6476, 0.7608, 0.7608, 0.7479, 0.7789, 0.7613, 0.6438, 0.5304, 0.6208, 0.5311, 0.4017, 0.4482, 0.5045, 0.4312, 0.35, 0.3906, 0.4066, 0.4862, 0.6019, 0.7745, 0.7107, 0.7729, 0.8602, 1.0044, 1.1307, 1.2049, 1.1351, 1.2222, 1.1937, 1.2475, 1.2118, 1.1033]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972072020256215389", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-27T22:53:03+00:00", "symbol": "neoclouds", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "fastest runup in the next 8-12 months since most people and markets still don't see the opportunity with all these tiny 3-5B companies powering AI compute for Google Cloud or Microsoft Azure yet", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish small neocloud companies (3-5B market caps) powering MSFT Azure and GOOGL Cloud; asymmetric return potential over next 2 years with fastest runup in 8-12 months.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV", "NBIS", "CIFR", "CORZ"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Neocloud basket of HPC/AI cloud infrastructure names", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Probably fastest runup in the next 8-12 months since most people and markets still don't see the opportunity with all these tiny 3-5B companies powering AI compute for Google Cloud or Microsoft Azure yet until one of their earning reports.\n\nThese are contracts already locked in like 5Y for 17 Billion but markets are always forward looking so after 4 years if it looks like they'll start to pivot off like how apple did with Qualcomm, we'll see a revaluation.\n\nBut in the meantime 26B mc for a company powering $MSFT azure and 4B MC for a company powering $GOOGL cloud is hilarious forward rev potential and asymmetrical return next 2 years.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Great write up my lord. For neoclouds generally would you be concerned about possible contraction in AI hyperscaler capex in a few years? I don't see it happening anytime soon, but could. Is there a time frame that you think would be good for taking profits and reducing exposure.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": -0.040408652720395094, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.040408652720395094, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0376061623042723, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0376061623042723, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.041503942856120885, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.041503942856120885, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03773707609700891, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03773707609700891, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "ret_p1w": 0.11803552683563151, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11803552683563151, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10608704545321884, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10608704545321884, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "ret_p1m": 0.23567259417594938, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.23567259417594938, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.20044478743338007, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.20044478743338007, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "ret_p3m": -0.08720299931429146, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08720299931429146, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1305069839264447, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1305069839264447, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "ret_p6m": -0.03281451196587393, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.03281451196587393, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.02259750555393203, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.02259750555393203, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "price_path": [-0.2114, -0.1697, -0.1697, -0.2373, -0.2627, -0.2658, -0.2991, -0.3463, -0.2973, -0.2752, -0.2625, -0.2873, -0.311, -0.3114, -0.2879, -0.2985, -0.3079, -0.3212, -0.3353, -0.3613, -0.3777, -0.3404, -0.3896, -0.3613, -0.3445, -0.3436, -0.3015, -0.2779, -0.2518, -0.2144, -0.3029, -0.337, -0.3268, -0.3088, -0.3372, -0.3395, -0.3491, -0.3302, -0.3241, -0.3104, -0.3002, -0.2811, -0.2768, -0.2768, -0.2941, -0.3115, -0.3315, -0.3246, -0.3103, -0.1866, -0.1159, -0.1464, -0.1233, -0.098, -0.094, -0.0606, -0.063, -0.0375, 0.0372, 0.0365, 0.0539, -0.0234, -0.0404, 0.0, 0.0415, 0.0501, 0.1011, 0.1129, 0.118, 0.0878, 0.1631, 0.2086, 0.1789, 0.2753, 0.2503, 0.2728, 0.222, 0.1814, 0.1713, 0.1263, 0.0468, 0.094, 0.2237, 0.2547, 0.2357, 0.2561, 0.2252, 0.2489, 0.3112, 0.2454, 0.3017, 0.1925, 0.1648, 0.1315, 0.031, -0.031, -0.1254, -0.1535, -0.1543, -0.1311, -0.1205, -0.1604, -0.1728, -0.0839, -0.0824, -0.0218, -0.0218, 0.0102, 0.0129, -0.0493, -0.0068, 0.0464, 0.0304, 0.0437, 0.0425, 0.0074, 0.0163, -0.0653, -0.1566, -0.1658, -0.217, -0.1753, -0.0823, -0.0647, -0.0943, -0.0872, -0.0872, -0.1246, -0.1364, -0.1569, -0.1623, -0.1623, -0.0833, -0.0324, -0.0248, -0.0722, -0.0543, -0.0384, 0.0285, 0.0384, 0.0314, 0.0366, 0.0972, 0.0972, 0.0385, 0.0289, 0.0115, 0.0224, 0.0088, 0.1023, 0.1002, 0.0399, -0.0417, -0.0483, -0.035, -0.1303, -0.2154, -0.0876, 0.007, 0.0018, -0.0222, -0.0309, 0.0001, 0.0001, -0.0355, -0.0205, 0.0139, -0.0567, -0.042, 0.0314, 0.0298, 0.0222, -0.0777, -0.085, -0.1411, -0.0705, -0.1002, -0.1649, -0.1313, -0.1295, -0.0613, -0.0868, -0.0622, 0.0137, -0.0335, -0.0363, -0.0327, -0.062, -0.0404, -0.0328]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1993657309986509242", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-26T12:25:17+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Nebius [ $NBIS ] is the most undervalued growth company right now. And it has the potential to become the next $GOOGL at a $21B market cap.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long NBIS as deeply undervalued growth co; Avride subsidiary (83%-owned, Level 4 robotaxi) is unrecognized and could exceed current $21B market cap within 2 years.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Nebius [ $NBIS ] core business is insanity. 700%+ Y/Y growth to $7-9B+ ARR in 1Y.\n\nWhat's more insane is this.  \n\nTheir subsidiary can outgrow their main business 🤯\n \nHere's why:  \n\n$GOOGL Waymo, $TSLA, $AMZN Zoox, Motional, $NBIS Avride are the only 5 FSD US Robotaxi companies right now.\n\nYes $NBIS Avride is one of the 5.   \n\n- And 1 of 4 with FSD Level 4 - fully driverless, the same level as Waymo.   \n\n- And 1 of 3 that are commercialized with FSD level 4 (Motional is R&D phase) \n\nTesla [ $TSLA ] robotaxis for perspective is only at Level 2 (requires human oversight).  \n\nPeople want to buy robotaxi companies because as Cathie Wood puts it “Robotaxis could represent 90% of $TSLA ‘s value).\n\nSo they buy exposure to the segment through trillion dollar companies like Waymo through the $3.6T $GOOGL and $1.4T $TSLA.  \n\nBut there's a Level 4 FSD robotaxi company that is just about to compete with Waymo through $UBER:\n\nThat name is Avride, a $6 billion subsidiary company that $NBIS owns 83% of, and one that the market completely has missed. Avride is an \n\nThe $6B valuation was based off a Seeking Alpha analyst report (August 2025) that benchmarked Avride against Nuro's Series E valuation. Just in Jan 2025 it was estimated to be valued at $3.4 billion, growing almost double in just 6 months time (reflecting Avride's momentum with Uber and Hyundai). \n\nKey recent developments supporting the current valuation:  \n\n- 2017: Avride founded though Yandex Self Driving Group  \n\n- 2017-2024: Development...\n\n- October 2024: Multi-year Uber partnership for delivery robots and robotaxis  \n\n- March 2025: Hyundai MOU for co-development of Level 4 autonomous vehicles  \n\n- October 2025: Up to $375 million in strategic investment from Uber and Nebius  \n\n- By EOY 2025: Dallas Texas Robotaxi Launch with Uber  We’re now seeing 7 years of R&D starting commercialization ramp (like Waymo), through $UBER this year. \n\nand you can get this hyper scaling self-driving FSD level 4 robotaxi company. As discounted spare change of $NBIS at a $21B marketcap. 🚗\n\nSeeing how Avride is growing triple digits Y/Y and we’re seeing the company finally commercialize after 7 years of capex into research, there’s a nonzero chance it becomes valued way more than the Nebius current market cap in 2 years.  \n\nWe've seen Waymo grow from a $45B marketcap (October 2024, $5.6B raised) to over $200B+ (DA Davison suggested valuation). \n\nAvride is now only at $6B and a small change of $NBIS's marketcap. But it's at the precipice of growth with $UBER, just like how Waymo started out in SF but now it's everywhere. \n\nNebius ( $NBIS ) is the misunderstood growth company in the market. But being early to the next generation companies is where the highest returns are made as an investor", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Nebius [ $NBIS ] is the most undervalued growth company right now. \n\nAnd it has the potential to become the next $GOOGL at a $21B market cap. There's one simple reason:\n\nIt's portfolio companies are mindblowing.\n\nThe most incredible example on this concept is the company $FTX. https://t.co/PSlKgjjP8D", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06135816916451642, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06135816916451642, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05450201704657076, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05996039154774202, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0068561521179456575, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0013977776167743983, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.04467204159337279, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04467204159337279, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03847796056855057, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.038818428543512695, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006194081024822218, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005853613049860096, "ret_p1m": -0.03759642091245263, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03759642091245263, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0563405015805456, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07265061196442191, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018744080668092966, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035054191051969275, "ret_p3m": 0.06251978050806972, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06251978050806972, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05556591171807934, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05139391075443167, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006953868789990381, "bench_c_p3m": 0.011125869753638051, "ret_p6m": 1.3226316084622867, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.3226316084622867, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.2236600628888836, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.3017723468774232, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09897154557340304, "bench_c_p6m": 0.02085926158486351, "price_path": [-0.2785, -0.2785, -0.3059, -0.3067, -0.3145, -0.3086, -0.3235, 0.0109, -0.0137, -0.0581, -0.0452, -0.0394, -0.0555, -0.0064, -0.006, 0.0488, 0.1258, 0.1385, 0.1958, 0.1399, 0.1374, 0.164, 0.1857, 0.2209, 0.3293, 0.3516, 0.3195, 0.243, 0.2884, 0.4008, 0.3685, 0.4306, 0.3534, 0.3289, 0.2994, 0.198, 0.1511, 0.1013, 0.0415, 0.1211, 0.2384, 0.3246, 0.2866, 0.3212, 0.3114, 0.3816, 0.2723, 0.1674, 0.2356, 0.1558, 0.1752, 0.1612, 0.0795, -0.0035, -0.064, -0.1178, -0.092, -0.0438, 0.004, -0.1061, -0.1207, -0.0295, -0.0614, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0019, 0.0577, 0.0186, 0.0447, 0.0856, 0.0354, 0.0596, 0.0182, -0.0116, -0.0043, -0.0739, -0.1431, -0.1451, -0.2032, -0.1753, -0.0552, -0.0154, -0.0492, -0.0376, -0.0376, -0.075, -0.0914, -0.1005, -0.116, -0.116, -0.0501, -0.0196, 0.0586, 0.0161, 0.0276, 0.0342, 0.1335, 0.1134, 0.077, 0.0971, 0.1483, 0.1483, 0.0486, 0.0441, 0.0228, -0.002, -0.0341, 0.0336, 0.0606, 0.0023, -0.1003, -0.069, -0.0501, -0.1299, -0.2199, -0.0907, -0.0191, -0.0306, -0.0642, -0.0524, 0.0351, 0.0351, 0.0299, 0.0751, 0.1364, 0.0341, 0.0625, 0.0833, 0.1207, 0.1076, -0.037, -0.0389, -0.0833, 0.0326, 0.0101, -0.0566, 0.0026, 0.0184, 0.1828, 0.141, 0.1928, 0.3713, 0.2285, 0.2521, 0.2833, 0.2422, 0.2055, 0.2135, 0.2154, 0.1191, 0.0647, -0.0257, 0.0958, 0.0767, 0.1492, 0.1492, 0.1885, 0.2398, 0.3201, 0.4398, 0.531, 0.6323, 0.7102, 0.7612, 0.7461, 0.6595, 0.6809, 0.6533, 0.649, 0.6589, 0.5541, 0.5309, 0.4311, 0.4911, 0.4598, 0.6315, 0.8631, 0.8579, 1.0603, 0.9513, 0.8698, 0.9654, 0.8915, 1.1889, 1.3355, 1.3227, 1.1107, 1.0882, 1.0258, 1.3226]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1973801383355953192", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-02T17:24:55+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I personally like $NBIS the best.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author's top compute picks: NBIS #1, CIFR #2 on favorable risk/reward, IREN speculative but expects hyperscaler contract soon.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I personally like $NBIS the best. \n\n$CIFR is close second, since it's like Nebius-light to me in terms of contracts + dilution. Risk reward was great given marketcap size. \n\n$IREN is more speculative since they don't have any hyperscaler contracts locked in but I'd expect them to have one soon.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I'm only in NBIS of the compute companies and am trying to figure out which other ones to get into. You make it difficult to choose 😂 tempted to just go all in with NBIS", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "foogleman1234", "ret_m1d": -0.0815126869972923, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0815126869972923, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08036220858520382, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08374542506568405, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011504784120884848, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0022327380683917486, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01676333172566702, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01676333172566702, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01677809908788863, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01727850796170094, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4767362221612679e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0005151762360339207, "ret_p1w": 0.05378562401954223, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05378562401954223, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.050886634886761595, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06692429946603051, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028989891327806383, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01313867544648828, "ret_p1m": 0.03932632453820406, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03932632453820406, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.020139760379656257, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05340956667881569, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019186564158547803, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01408324214061163, "ret_p3m": -0.3233495168787698, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3233495168787698, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.35296633318039683, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.34243886359072817, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029616816301627047, "bench_c_p3m": 0.019089346711958388, "ret_p6m": -0.1990148765007319, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1990148765007319, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.15191616328831792, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.12412626613538336, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04709871321241399, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07488861036534855, "price_path": [-0.6199, -0.6258, -0.6341, -0.6311, -0.648, -0.5873, -0.5747, -0.5765, -0.5734, -0.5806, -0.5839, -0.5947, -0.5878, -0.5856, -0.5919, -0.5809, -0.5996, -0.5925, -0.5676, -0.5869, -0.5696, -0.5617, -0.5623, -0.4811, -0.4536, -0.442, -0.4015, -0.4389, -0.4561, -0.431, -0.4237, -0.4662, -0.464, -0.4742, -0.452, -0.4437, -0.4401, -0.4431, -0.4277, -0.4572, -0.4572, -0.4779, -0.4784, -0.4843, -0.4799, -0.4911, -0.2395, -0.258, -0.2914, -0.2817, -0.2773, -0.2895, -0.2526, -0.2522, -0.211, -0.1531, -0.1436, -0.1004, -0.1424, -0.1444, -0.1243, -0.108, -0.0815, 0.0, 0.0168, -0.0074, -0.0649, -0.0307, 0.0538, 0.0295, 0.0762, 0.0181, -0.0003, -0.0225, -0.0988, -0.134, -0.1715, -0.2165, -0.1566, -0.0684, -0.0035, -0.0321, -0.0061, -0.0134, 0.0393, -0.0429, -0.1218, -0.0705, -0.1305, -0.1159, -0.1265, -0.1879, -0.2503, -0.2959, -0.3363, -0.3169, -0.2807, -0.2447, -0.3276, -0.3385, -0.2699, -0.2939, -0.2477, -0.2477, -0.2463, -0.2043, -0.2337, -0.2141, -0.1833, -0.2211, -0.2029, -0.2341, -0.2565, -0.251, -0.3033, -0.3554, -0.3569, -0.4006, -0.3796, -0.2893, -0.2593, -0.2847, -0.276, -0.276, -0.3041, -0.3164, -0.3233, -0.335, -0.335, -0.2854, -0.2625, -0.2036, -0.2356, -0.227, -0.222, -0.1473, -0.1624, -0.1898, -0.1747, -0.1362, -0.1362, -0.2112, -0.2145, -0.2306, -0.2492, -0.2734, -0.2225, -0.2021, -0.246, -0.3232, -0.2996, -0.2854, -0.3454, -0.4131, -0.316, -0.2621, -0.2708, -0.296, -0.2871, -0.2213, -0.2213, -0.2252, -0.1912, -0.1451, -0.2221, -0.2007, -0.185, -0.1569, -0.1668, -0.2755, -0.277, -0.3104, -0.2232, -0.2401, -0.2903, -0.2457, -0.2339, -0.1102, -0.1417, -0.1026, 0.0316, -0.0758, -0.0581, -0.0346, -0.0655, -0.0931, -0.0871, -0.0856, -0.1581, -0.199]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1973801383355953192", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-02T17:24:55+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$CIFR is close second, since it's like Nebius-light to me in terms of contracts + dilution. Risk reward was great given marketcap size.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author's top compute picks: NBIS #1, CIFR #2 on favorable risk/reward, IREN speculative but expects hyperscaler contract soon.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I personally like $NBIS the best. \n\n$CIFR is close second, since it's like Nebius-light to me in terms of contracts + dilution. Risk reward was great given marketcap size. \n\n$IREN is more speculative since they don't have any hyperscaler contracts locked in but I'd expect them to have one soon.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I'm only in NBIS of the compute companies and am trying to figure out which other ones to get into. You make it difficult to choose 😂 tempted to just go all in with NBIS", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "foogleman1234", "ret_m1d": -0.08761766845627339, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08761766845627339, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0864671900441849, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08223603430409199, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011504784120884848, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005381634152181403, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0644460074298201, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0644460074298201, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06446077479204171, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06947816259763362, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4767362221612679e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0050321551678135235, "ret_p1w": 0.3026791618024789, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.3026791618024789, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.29978017266969825, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2885611946793829, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028989891327806383, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014117967123095987, "ret_p1m": 0.3504706047683024, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3504706047683024, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3312840406097546, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2997298494124674, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019186564158547803, "bench_c_p1m": 0.050740755355835, "ret_p3m": 0.05648078995444661, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05648078995444661, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.02686397365281956, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03865468825884255, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029616816301627047, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017826101695604057, "ret_p6m": -0.00470677277933218, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.00470677277933218, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.04239194043308181, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08476177213368996, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04709871321241399, "bench_c_p6m": -0.08946854491302214, "price_path": [-0.5807, -0.5634, -0.5467, -0.5482, -0.5749, -0.5634, -0.5677, -0.546, -0.5351, -0.5395, -0.5474, -0.4975, -0.5163, -0.5185, -0.5315, -0.5539, -0.5887, -0.6054, -0.6046, -0.643, -0.6242, -0.6372, -0.6227, -0.6474, -0.656, -0.6553, -0.6582, -0.6452, -0.6148, -0.6227, -0.5619, -0.5829, -0.5692, -0.5728, -0.538, -0.5192, -0.4844, -0.4938, -0.4917, -0.4468, -0.4468, -0.3975, -0.4127, -0.4642, -0.4555, -0.441, -0.3324, -0.2578, -0.2781, -0.2143, -0.2143, -0.1665, -0.1035, -0.1419, -0.1108, 0.0109, 0.0246, 0.0239, -0.1557, -0.1694, -0.084, -0.0883, -0.0876, 0.0, 0.0644, 0.1108, 0.1405, 0.2744, 0.3027, 0.2288, 0.4728, 0.5127, 0.5228, 0.3555, 0.3584, 0.4417, 0.3088, 0.1665, 0.2495, 0.496, 0.4873, 0.4453, 0.4185, 0.3809, 0.3505, 0.6481, 0.63, 0.7893, 0.572, 0.4982, 0.4229, 0.3519, 0.2585, 0.0811, 0.0398, 0.0391, 0.0558, 0.0587, 0.0543, 0.0246, 0.21, 0.2686, 0.3867, 0.3867, 0.4736, 0.4258, 0.2773, 0.349, 0.4359, 0.3961, 0.4106, 0.4164, 0.3382, 0.3671, 0.2346, 0.0673, 0.0854, 0.042, 0.097, 0.1738, 0.1832, 0.1521, 0.1745, 0.1745, 0.0999, 0.092, 0.0565, 0.0688, 0.0688, 0.1731, 0.315, 0.2701, 0.1644, 0.1984, 0.2042, 0.2802, 0.3215, 0.3128, 0.2686, 0.3613, 0.3613, 0.2976, 0.2831, 0.2592, 0.2723, 0.1941, 0.3577, 0.3736, 0.2817, 0.1557, 0.1448, 0.1774, 0.0319, -0.0804, 0.0666, 0.2136, 0.2382, 0.1789, 0.1658, 0.189, 0.189, 0.1325, 0.1166, 0.1441, 0.0608, 0.1021, 0.2397, 0.2028, 0.1933, 0.1296, 0.1412, 0.0652, 0.1615, 0.097, -0.0138, 0.0362, 0.0109, 0.0217, -0.0072, 0.0196, 0.0963, 0.0927, 0.0623, 0.0601, 0.0145, 0.0782, 0.0775, 0.1499, 0.0391, -0.0047]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1973801383355953192", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-02T17:24:55+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$IREN is more speculative since they don't have any hyperscaler contracts locked in but I'd expect them to have one soon.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author's top compute picks: NBIS #1, CIFR #2 on favorable risk/reward, IREN speculative but expects hyperscaler contract soon.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I personally like $NBIS the best. \n\n$CIFR is close second, since it's like Nebius-light to me in terms of contracts + dilution. Risk reward was great given marketcap size. \n\n$IREN is more speculative since they don't have any hyperscaler contracts locked in but I'd expect them to have one soon.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I'm only in NBIS of the compute companies and am trying to figure out which other ones to get into. You make it difficult to choose 😂 tempted to just go all in with NBIS", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "foogleman1234", "ret_m1d": 0.001276081937619633, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.001276081937619633, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.002426560349708118, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0005263740316090448, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011504784120884848, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0007497079060105882, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07316032737598555, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07316032737598555, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07317509473820716, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06622493423911258, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4767362221612679e-05, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006935393136872969, "ret_p1w": 0.35793274888364124, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.35793274888364124, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.3550337597508606, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.3584950839046287, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028989891327806383, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0005623350209874589, "ret_p1m": 0.29200339022900423, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.29200339022900423, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.27281682607045643, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.31037271242670494, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019186564158547803, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01836932219770071, "ret_p3m": -0.185453022879827, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.185453022879827, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.21506983918145406, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.22336970757698693, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029616816301627047, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03791668469715992, "ret_p6m": -0.25372182452214265, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.25372182452214265, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.20662311130972866, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.15763408093017994, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04709871321241399, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0960877435919627, "price_path": [-0.6395, -0.6408, -0.6393, -0.6378, -0.6548, -0.6325, -0.641, -0.6319, -0.6161, -0.6185, -0.614, -0.6046, -0.5961, -0.6142, -0.6231, -0.6474, -0.6642, -0.6567, -0.6574, -0.6725, -0.6495, -0.6501, -0.6104, -0.6051, -0.6076, -0.6178, -0.6208, -0.6229, -0.5942, -0.5812, -0.5597, -0.6017, -0.5798, -0.5834, -0.5442, -0.5083, -0.5111, -0.5246, -0.51, -0.4368, -0.4368, -0.3809, -0.4, -0.4443, -0.4439, -0.443, -0.3579, -0.2848, -0.3014, -0.2778, -0.2101, -0.2248, -0.194, -0.2276, -0.1782, -0.1089, -0.1117, 0.0026, -0.0155, -0.1097, -0.0232, -0.0019, 0.0013, 0.0, 0.0732, 0.2282, 0.3118, 0.278, 0.3579, 0.2712, 0.3641, 0.4794, 0.4458, 0.315, 0.2914, 0.2595, 0.1739, 0.1023, 0.188, 0.3377, 0.3822, 0.3275, 0.285, 0.2382, 0.292, 0.4409, 0.4171, 0.6251, 0.4241, 0.3267, 0.2797, 0.2203, 0.1846, 0.0347, -0.0138, 0.0083, 0.0389, -0.0253, -0.0755, -0.1012, 0.0313, 0.0096, 0.0304, 0.0304, 0.0168, 0.0313, -0.1255, -0.0651, -0.0121, -0.0491, -0.0145, -0.0038, -0.0659, -0.0655, -0.1465, -0.2454, -0.2218, -0.2816, -0.2386, -0.151, -0.1059, -0.1053, -0.1072, -0.1072, -0.1429, -0.1618, -0.1855, -0.1967, -0.1967, -0.0919, 0.0259, -0.0236, -0.0722, -0.0285, -0.0211, 0.0704, 0.127, 0.1246, 0.1036, 0.2297, 0.2297, 0.154, 0.1374, 0.1114, 0.2054, 0.1136, 0.2758, 0.3386, 0.2726, 0.1429, 0.1289, 0.1567, -0.0442, -0.1538, -0.1104, -0.0185, -0.087, -0.0925, -0.1487, -0.1021, -0.1021, -0.1287, -0.1051, -0.0793, -0.1497, -0.0991, -0.0334, -0.0636, -0.0591, -0.1291, -0.1197, -0.1738, -0.0676, -0.1466, -0.2195, -0.174, -0.1893, -0.1072, -0.1202, -0.1157, -0.0442, -0.0863, -0.1023, -0.114, -0.1219, -0.1034, -0.1255, -0.1189, -0.2035, -0.2537]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1949825690960023810", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-28T13:34:05+00:00", "symbol": "ALAB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I just bought long term ~$175k+ positions in $ALAB and plan to scale this to ~$500k as a potential $50B+ moonshot", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long ALAB with $175K position scaling to $500K; thesis: Mag7 customer base, 150%+ growth, 76% margins, next 1000% on AI infra buildout.", "resolved_tickers": ["ALAB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The reason why $ALAB is taking off is because Astera is   the only small cap company in existence with systemic exposure to 5 of the Mag7. \n\n1. ALAB's customer base is literally Mag 7: $GOOGL, $MSFT, $NVDA, $META, and $AMZN. \n\n2. They're growing at astounding rates ~150%+ y/y, with 76% margins (with higher margins than NVDA, one of the highest in the semi market).\n\n3. Capex is still increasing for AI spend, as seen with $GOOGL earnings.\n\nNVDA started at a 150B market cap -> 4 TRILLION+ because hyperscalers needed GPUs. We're the start of this effect with ALAB for the AI supply chain, and it's starting at a small 20B market cap.\n\nWe could see this being the next 1000% if they execute properly and AI infrastructure buildout continues.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I just bought long term ~$175k+ positions in $ALAB and plan to scale this to ~$500k as a potential $50B+ moonshot.  \n\nNVDA-like profit margins (76%), 144%+ Y/Y growth, customers like NVDA, AWS, MSFT, GOOGL, NVDA, AMD at 16B market cap. \n\nUnreal customers + growth/margins. https://t.co/bRCBgtoGSB", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.014671500605000776, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014671500605000776, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014922760479996966, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0012195703533847135, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0002512598749961903, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013451930251616062, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04546553205077508, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04546553205077508, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04282797983220832, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0505785114359254, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0026375522185667633, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005112979385150318, "ret_p1w": 0.11189028039146631, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11189028039146631, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12094926190763022, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.11607682640224037, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009058981516163911, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0041865460107740615, "ret_p1m": 0.43941953378342546, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.43941953378342546, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4265140534963088, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4210948728287316, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012905480287116688, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018324660954693872, "ret_p3m": 0.31914546847187375, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.31914546847187375, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.26155380597032263, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1359328950303098, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05759166250155112, "bench_c_p3m": 0.18321257344156394, "ret_p6m": 0.48125752099605634, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.48125752099605634, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4113509355520435, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.13743014203774395, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06990658544401285, "bench_c_p6m": 0.3438273789583124, "price_path": [-0.4735, -0.442, -0.4255, -0.4184, -0.4247, -0.4269, -0.4225, -0.426, -0.3528, -0.2925, -0.2692, -0.2568, -0.27, -0.2722, -0.2385, -0.257, -0.2398, -0.2372, -0.2372, -0.2137, -0.2224, -0.2212, -0.2687, -0.2509, -0.2335, -0.2324, -0.2688, -0.2684, -0.2555, -0.2627, -0.2379, -0.2395, -0.2767, -0.2318, -0.251, -0.1977, -0.1977, -0.2497, -0.3071, -0.2966, -0.2775, -0.2103, -0.2663, -0.2711, -0.2853, -0.286, -0.268, -0.268, -0.2775, -0.2559, -0.195, -0.2179, -0.2269, -0.2719, -0.2555, -0.2588, -0.2104, -0.1767, -0.0174, -0.0576, -0.0368, -0.0191, -0.0147, 0.0, -0.0455, 0.0389, 0.1022, 0.0568, 0.1119, 0.0926, 0.4058, 0.3776, 0.4452, 0.4464, 0.5478, 0.561, 0.5372, 0.4982, 0.5029, 0.379, 0.3902, 0.4311, 0.4437, 0.4039, 0.4394, 0.4446, 0.5248, 0.4688, 0.4688, 0.4046, 0.4237, 0.5151, 0.5413, 0.742, 0.7291, 0.8571, 0.8775, 0.8501, 0.8645, 0.9249, 1.0103, 1.0305, 0.9766, 0.9129, 0.855, 0.6547, 0.6174, 0.5944, 0.6026, 0.5784, 0.5679, 0.6896, 0.6182, 0.78, 0.7098, 0.7683, 0.8173, 0.6623, 0.6085, 0.3023, 0.3016, 0.3184, 0.2882, 0.2601, 0.2697, 0.2483, 0.3191, 0.3299, 0.3727, 0.3563, 0.3996, 0.3668, 0.5049, 0.5442, 0.4455, 0.4667, 0.3126, 0.3341, 0.4006, 0.3507, 0.272, 0.1646, 0.1636, 0.1398, 0.1247, 0.1448, 0.1229, 0.1431, 0.1911, 0.1671, 0.2432, 0.2432, 0.2702, 0.3316, 0.1523, 0.2293, 0.2294, 0.2997, 0.4167, 0.3469, 0.3246, 0.4002, 0.1999, 0.1581, 0.1684, 0.1305, 0.176, 0.3253, 0.3915, 0.361, 0.3702, 0.3702, 0.3483, 0.3713, 0.3772, 0.3411, 0.3411, 0.4475, 0.3471, 0.2979, 0.3363, 0.2634, 0.3108, 0.3911, 0.4555, 0.3877, 0.4063, 0.4672, 0.4672, 0.4813]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2010000327123317051", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-10T14:46:36+00:00", "symbol": "VLN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's just me posting about the genuine mispricing and why I'm long", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long VLN on claimed deep mispricing: $80M+ revenue, NVDA-like margins, $93.5M cash, yet trades at 2.5x EV/rev vs 14-18x peers.", "resolved_tickers": ["VLN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I think a lot of it comes from an extreme lack of understanding.   \n\nPeople are welcome to fact check everything from financials posted to the -$82m technical glitch that Stonegate, Streetwise, and scanners all posted.   \n\n$VLN isn't some random pump and dump Chinese penny stock, they have $80m+ forward revenue off 69-70% $NVDA like margins for their robotics vertical (majority of revenue) and $95M cash + $11m Inventory. \n\nIt's not unknown either, Samsung, Mobileye, Mercedes, Logitech, Siemens, and many other OEMs and robotics + AI companies are $VLN's customers. \n\nVLN trades at ~2.5 EV/revenue at $2.5 while Lattice, Macom, and similar companies they all trade at 14-18x.\n\nIt's just me posting about the genuine mispricing and why I'm long. Markets can price it in however they want and I really encourage people to do the research themselves. \n\nAlso most of all, this information discovery helps all the employees at this suppressed chipmaker start to grow again if markets start to make corrections based on misinformation about the inventory burn.\n\n---\n\n@illyquid correction* $93.5m cash on hand + $11m inventory.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.07359310844371292, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07359310844371292, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07516109979748642, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07727918438675141, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0015679913537735013, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0036860759430384915, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012987000923330161, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012987000923330161, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014986476029200446, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01076001298232776, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019994751058702853, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0022269879410024007, "ret_p1w": -0.1385281130603636, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1385281130603636, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1334932848998024, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.16343470932083937, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.005034828160561222, "bench_c_p1w": 0.024906596260475755, "ret_p1m": -0.32900433302555665, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.32900433302555665, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3246312130634772, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.36509711439897574, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0043731199620794525, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03609278137341909, "ret_p3m": -0.419913391094622, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.419913391094622, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4006470825098737, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5214082805760099, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.019266308584748315, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10149488948138785, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2035, -0.2338, -0.2597, -0.2208, -0.2338, -0.2511, -0.2381, -0.2294, -0.2424, -0.2381, -0.2597, -0.2641, -0.2078, -0.2554, -0.3117, -0.2814, -0.3247, -0.316, -0.3074, -0.2208, -0.2641, -0.2554, -0.2468, -0.3247, -0.342, -0.3723, -0.3853, -0.3506, -0.3377, -0.3333, -0.3203, -0.3203, -0.3074, -0.3203, -0.316, -0.2771, -0.2727, -0.2727, -0.2641, -0.2641, -0.2727, -0.2944, -0.3117, -0.3333, -0.3377, -0.3593, -0.3593, -0.355, -0.368, -0.3939, -0.4026, -0.4026, -0.3766, -0.3896, -0.4026, -0.3853, -0.3853, -0.3247, -0.3203, -0.3117, -0.329, -0.3247, 0.0736, 0.0, 0.013, -0.0952, -0.0952, -0.1385, -0.1385, -0.1602, -0.1515, -0.0909, -0.1515, -0.2035, -0.2035, -0.2338, -0.2381, -0.2641, -0.2771, -0.3074, -0.3333, -0.381, -0.3333, -0.342, -0.329, -0.3333, -0.3506, -0.342, -0.342, -0.368, -0.355, -0.355, -0.3463, -0.3593, -0.3377, -0.3333, -0.3074, -0.3593, -0.3593, -0.3766, -0.3766, -0.3939, -0.4156, -0.4156, -0.4026, -0.381, -0.4156, -0.4242, -0.4242, -0.4199, -0.4589, -0.4459, -0.4719, -0.4545, -0.4589, -0.4545, -0.4719, -0.4892, -0.5195, -0.5108, -0.4935, -0.4848, -0.4848, -0.4848, -0.4892, -0.4329, -0.4199, -0.4242, -0.4156, -0.4026, -0.3636, -0.329, -0.342, -0.3636, -0.3506, -0.303, -0.2857, -0.2251, -0.303, -0.3463, -0.3463, -0.0606, 0.013, -0.026, 0.0476, 0.0823, 0.0433, 0.2078, 0.2338, 0.1688, 0.2771, 0.4589, 0.3203, 0.2208, 0.1515, 0.2554, 0.3247, 0.3939, 0.3939, 0.4113, 0.3636, 0.5152, 0.5281, 0.5281, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1985216187245248650", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-03T05:23:17+00:00", "symbol": "ALAB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd personally hold them into next year, maybe trim a tiny bit", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Hold ALAB and CRDO into next year on connectivity/data-center buildout; MINT offers asymmetric upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["ALAB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@soulbiri1 $ALAB + $CRDO 15%+ increase was expected due to connectivity going insane like memory $MU/Sk Hynix on data center buildout.\n\nI'd personally hold them into next year, maybe trim a tiny bit.\n\n$MINT was just asymmetrical upside.  To @Neat_Lama, here's another song #2 of the album. https://t.co/yvd68BBX0R", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I'm debating taking profits on $ALAB and $CRDO (bought both thanks to your strong buy rating on a previous post) and rolling it into $MINT. Good idea?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": -0.02547507279707406, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02547507279707406, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02360181123886429, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017062018795674483, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008413054001399578, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06394863309733034, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06394863309733034, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05209509315488281, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.027510517454859662, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03643811564247068, "ret_p1w": -0.09302564362363264, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09302564362363264, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09024512486114944, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0730584268817781, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019967216741854532, "ret_p1m": -0.25381079419942976, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.25381079419942976, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.25116205230018107, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.23559169456921347, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "bench_c_p1m": -0.018219099630216284, "ret_p3m": -0.1623511758252858, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1623511758252858, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18101067186636577, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.30635317998059675, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "bench_c_p3m": 0.14400200415531095, "ret_p6m": -0.04306744677983465, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.04306744677983465, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.09048501999257175, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3889795694861835, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "bench_c_p6m": 0.34591212270634886, "price_path": [-0.0896, -0.1079, -0.0641, -0.0633, 0.0023, 0.0109, -0.0045, -0.0298, -0.0268, -0.107, -0.0998, -0.0732, -0.0651, -0.0909, -0.0679, -0.0645, -0.0126, -0.0489, -0.0489, -0.0904, -0.078, -0.0188, -0.0019, 0.1281, 0.1197, 0.2026, 0.2158, 0.1981, 0.2074, 0.2466, 0.3018, 0.3149, 0.28, 0.2388, 0.2012, 0.0716, 0.0474, 0.0325, 0.0378, 0.0221, 0.0153, 0.0942, 0.0479, 0.1527, 0.1072, 0.1451, 0.1768, 0.0765, 0.0416, -0.1567, -0.1571, -0.1462, -0.1658, -0.184, -0.1778, -0.1916, -0.1458, -0.1388, -0.1111, -0.1217, -0.0937, -0.1149, -0.0255, 0.0, -0.0639, -0.0502, -0.15, -0.1361, -0.093, -0.1253, -0.1763, -0.2458, -0.2465, -0.2619, -0.2717, -0.2587, -0.2729, -0.2598, -0.2287, -0.2442, -0.1949, -0.1949, -0.1774, -0.1377, -0.2538, -0.2039, -0.2039, -0.1583, -0.0826, -0.1278, -0.1422, -0.0932, -0.223, -0.2501, -0.2434, -0.2679, -0.2385, -0.1418, -0.0989, -0.1187, -0.1127, -0.1127, -0.1269, -0.112, -0.1082, -0.1316, -0.1316, -0.0626, -0.1276, -0.1595, -0.1346, -0.1818, -0.1511, -0.0991, -0.0574, -0.1014, -0.0893, -0.0499, -0.0499, -0.0408, -0.0812, -0.0794, -0.1143, -0.1478, -0.1077, -0.1235, -0.1624, -0.2137, -0.2042, -0.1725, -0.2448, -0.2544, -0.1133, -0.0203, -0.0454, -0.2498, -0.3392, -0.3249, -0.3249, -0.3543, -0.3236, -0.3077, -0.323, -0.3305, -0.3297, -0.331, -0.3492, -0.3797, -0.3707, -0.4268, -0.4061, -0.3736, -0.3777, -0.3615, -0.3919, -0.349, -0.3741, -0.3719, -0.3345, -0.334, -0.3405, -0.3414, -0.3942, -0.3534, -0.3644, -0.3718, -0.4069, -0.4129, -0.4766, -0.4279, -0.4449, -0.3885, -0.3885, -0.3841, -0.3788, -0.3451, -0.3242, -0.2219, -0.1293, -0.1094, -0.1016, -0.1083, -0.0914, -0.0823, 0.0021, 0.0131, 0.0312, 0.1111, 0.0265, -0.0431]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1985216187245248650", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-03T05:23:17+00:00", "symbol": "CRDO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd personally hold them into next year, maybe trim a tiny bit", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Hold ALAB and CRDO into next year on connectivity/data-center buildout; MINT offers asymmetric upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRDO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@soulbiri1 $ALAB + $CRDO 15%+ increase was expected due to connectivity going insane like memory $MU/Sk Hynix on data center buildout.\n\nI'd personally hold them into next year, maybe trim a tiny bit.\n\n$MINT was just asymmetrical upside.  To @Neat_Lama, here's another song #2 of the album. https://t.co/yvd68BBX0R", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I'm debating taking profits on $ALAB and $CRDO (bought both thanks to your strong buy rating on a previous post) and rolling it into $MINT. Good idea?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": 0.03864036620418099, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03864036620418099, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04051362776239076, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.047053420205580565, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008413054001399578, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09084368754182881, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09084368754182881, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07899014759938128, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05440557189935813, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03643811564247068, "ret_p1w": -0.05801591985689314, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05801591985689314, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05523540109440994, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03804870311503861, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019967216741854532, "ret_p1m": 0.043179822177328964, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.043179822177328964, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04582856407657765, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06139892180754525, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "bench_c_p1m": -0.018219099630216284, "ret_p3m": -0.28327058426616447, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.28327058426616447, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.30193008030724444, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4272725884214754, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "bench_c_p3m": 0.14400200415531095, "ret_p6m": -0.08148804954849143, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.08148804954849143, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.12890562276122852, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4274001722548403, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "bench_c_p6m": 0.34591212270634886, "price_path": [-0.3504, -0.3369, -0.3334, -0.3436, -0.3059, -0.3294, -0.3505, -0.3537, -0.3427, -0.4115, -0.4133, -0.3863, -0.3687, -0.3611, -0.3351, -0.3206, -0.2703, -0.3188, -0.3188, -0.3121, -0.3093, -0.2582, -0.2204, -0.1833, -0.175, -0.0923, -0.118, -0.1032, -0.0922, -0.0898, -0.0897, -0.0461, -0.0613, -0.0916, -0.1017, -0.1731, -0.1976, -0.2088, -0.1917, -0.1939, -0.1978, -0.1717, -0.2036, -0.1839, -0.2405, -0.1759, -0.1633, -0.2315, -0.1702, -0.2817, -0.2725, -0.2442, -0.205, -0.1604, -0.2019, -0.2405, -0.1642, -0.1389, -0.1422, -0.1022, -0.0505, -0.0776, 0.0386, 0.0, -0.0908, -0.0414, -0.0991, -0.0943, -0.058, -0.1226, -0.1124, -0.2086, -0.1944, -0.1941, -0.2274, -0.2146, -0.2542, -0.261, -0.1649, -0.1465, -0.0921, -0.0921, -0.0168, -0.0526, 0.0432, 0.0473, 0.0016, -0.0255, -0.0094, -0.0573, -0.1254, -0.1449, -0.2033, -0.2138, -0.2231, -0.2575, -0.2329, -0.1689, -0.17, -0.1817, -0.1686, -0.1686, -0.1982, -0.199, -0.1977, -0.2034, -0.2034, -0.2072, -0.2236, -0.264, -0.2194, -0.2162, -0.1673, -0.136, -0.1066, -0.1318, -0.1745, -0.1642, -0.1642, -0.1518, -0.2296, -0.2521, -0.2628, -0.2913, -0.2827, -0.2822, -0.2833, -0.3065, -0.3359, -0.3838, -0.4633, -0.4572, -0.3833, -0.3168, -0.2542, -0.2892, -0.3258, -0.3277, -0.3277, -0.3091, -0.2919, -0.2767, -0.3132, -0.3133, -0.3311, -0.3165, -0.3663, -0.3785, -0.3677, -0.4614, -0.4324, -0.3648, -0.392, -0.3579, -0.3782, -0.3583, -0.3824, -0.3485, -0.353, -0.4239, -0.4369, -0.4072, -0.4276, -0.4182, -0.4448, -0.4248, -0.4661, -0.4728, -0.5139, -0.4803, -0.469, -0.4384, -0.4384, -0.4328, -0.4088, -0.3899, -0.4025, -0.338, -0.2562, -0.1169, -0.068, -0.1202, -0.1104, -0.0338, 0.0148, 0.049, 0.0271, 0.0797, -0.0008, -0.0815]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1985344573531619737", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-03T13:53:26+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this was a material de-risking event for $IREN and deserves re-rating", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "IREN deserves re-rating after de-risking event; NBIS deal margins superior to IREN's on normalized basis.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@moninvestor Like what they say with hands, the bigger the better (~$19B $NBIS vs ~9B $IREN).\n\nHalf-joking aside, this was a material de-risking event for $IREN and deserves re-rating. Will need more time to do valuations\n\n(This was the tierlist maker if any other finx wanted to make one) https://t.co/oefhQy7Trn\n\n---\n\nAfter looking into it more, looks like $NBIS's deal with $MSFT was largely better than $IREN's in terms of profitability and margins when normalized to 300 MW.\n\n It's not purely about revenue, since if you're not generating FCF from it, it's not that useful.   \n\nFor $IREN: \n$9.7bn total contract value \n$5.8bn GPU capex, including ancillaries \n~38% gross margin.  \n\n$NBIS\n51.76%+ gross margin.\n\nI need to do more calculations to verify, this was just a quick deep-research calculation in terms of deal differences.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.10332103321033215, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10332103321033215, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.10144777165212238, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.10753956645400609, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004218533243673939, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01653140585360935, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01653140585360935, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004677865911161816, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0217086564081882, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005177250554578849, "ret_p1w": -0.11188194584582567, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11188194584582567, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10910142708334247, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12760582463574355, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015723878789917878, "ret_p1m": -0.3930627463928448, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3930627463928448, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3904140044935961, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.4062937683424098, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013231021949565047, "ret_p3m": -0.11675276527545553, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11675276527545553, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1354122613165355, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1471872809874556, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "bench_c_p3m": 0.030434515712000065, "ret_p6m": -0.34405906086038396, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.34405906086038396, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.39147663407312105, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.34690997950694125, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0028509186465572878, "price_path": [-0.7296, -0.7259, -0.7277, -0.7348, -0.7368, -0.7383, -0.7184, -0.7094, -0.6944, -0.7235, -0.7083, -0.7108, -0.6837, -0.6587, -0.6607, -0.67, -0.6599, -0.6092, -0.6092, -0.5703, -0.5836, -0.6143, -0.614, -0.6134, -0.5544, -0.5036, -0.5151, -0.4987, -0.4518, -0.462, -0.4406, -0.4639, -0.4297, -0.3815, -0.3835, -0.3042, -0.3168, -0.3821, -0.3221, -0.3073, -0.3051, -0.306, -0.2552, -0.1476, -0.0896, -0.1131, -0.0576, -0.1178, -0.0533, 0.0267, 0.0034, -0.0874, -0.1038, -0.1259, -0.1853, -0.235, -0.1755, -0.0716, -0.0407, -0.0787, -0.1082, -0.1407, -0.1033, 0.0, -0.0165, 0.1278, -0.0117, -0.0793, -0.1119, -0.1531, -0.1779, -0.2819, -0.3156, -0.3002, -0.279, -0.3235, -0.3584, -0.3762, -0.2843, -0.2993, -0.2849, -0.2849, -0.2943, -0.2843, -0.3931, -0.3511, -0.3144, -0.3401, -0.316, -0.3086, -0.3517, -0.3514, -0.4077, -0.4763, -0.4599, -0.5014, -0.4716, -0.4108, -0.3795, -0.379, -0.3804, -0.3804, -0.4052, -0.4183, -0.4347, -0.4425, -0.4425, -0.3697, -0.288, -0.3224, -0.3561, -0.3258, -0.3206, -0.2571, -0.2179, -0.2195, -0.2341, -0.1466, -0.1466, -0.1991, -0.2106, -0.2286, -0.1634, -0.2272, -0.1145, -0.071, -0.1168, -0.2068, -0.2165, -0.1972, -0.3367, -0.4127, -0.3826, -0.3188, -0.3663, -0.3702, -0.4092, -0.3768, -0.3768, -0.3953, -0.3789, -0.361, -0.4099, -0.3748, -0.3292, -0.3501, -0.347, -0.3956, -0.3891, -0.4266, -0.3529, -0.4077, -0.4583, -0.4267, -0.4373, -0.3804, -0.3894, -0.3863, -0.3367, -0.3659, -0.377, -0.3851, -0.3906, -0.3777, -0.3931, -0.3885, -0.4472, -0.4821, -0.5333, -0.494, -0.4968, -0.4868, -0.4868, -0.4815, -0.4725, -0.4564, -0.453, -0.4196, -0.3643, -0.3008, -0.2794, -0.2959, -0.2897, -0.2809, -0.3333, -0.2858, -0.2322, -0.2525, -0.2862, -0.3441]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1985344573531619737", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-03T13:53:26+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS's deal with $MSFT was largely better than $IREN's in terms of profitability and margins", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "IREN deserves re-rating after de-risking event; NBIS deal margins superior to IREN's on normalized basis.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@moninvestor Like what they say with hands, the bigger the better (~$19B $NBIS vs ~9B $IREN).\n\nHalf-joking aside, this was a material de-risking event for $IREN and deserves re-rating. Will need more time to do valuations\n\n(This was the tierlist maker if any other finx wanted to make one) https://t.co/oefhQy7Trn\n\n---\n\nAfter looking into it more, looks like $NBIS's deal with $MSFT was largely better than $IREN's in terms of profitability and margins when normalized to 300 MW.\n\n It's not purely about revenue, since if you're not generating FCF from it, it's not that useful.   \n\nFor $IREN: \n$9.7bn total contract value \n$5.8bn GPU capex, including ancillaries \n~38% gross margin.  \n\n$NBIS\n51.76%+ gross margin.\n\nI need to do more calculations to verify, this was just a quick deep-research calculation in terms of deal differences.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.08591355523068556, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08591355523068556, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08778681678889533, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07517315981838268, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010740395412302872, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08242716198685718, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08242716198685718, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07057362204440965, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.075560366211469, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006866795775388179, "ret_p1w": -0.08732467971995872, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08732467971995872, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08454416095747552, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08459559111130788, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0027290886086508426, "ret_p1m": -0.19938577263277246, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.19938577263277246, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19673703073352378, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2138236734625919, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014437900829819439, "ret_p3m": -0.21216898231591608, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21216898231591608, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23082847835699605, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.27016535998008484, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05799637766416876, "ret_p6m": 0.12484430259595736, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.12484430259595736, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.07742672938322026, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09926724251497565, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "bench_c_p6m": 0.025577060080981706, "price_path": [-0.5427, -0.4579, -0.4291, -0.417, -0.3747, -0.4137, -0.4317, -0.4055, -0.3979, -0.4423, -0.4399, -0.4507, -0.4274, -0.4188, -0.415, -0.4181, -0.402, -0.4329, -0.4329, -0.4545, -0.4551, -0.4612, -0.4565, -0.4682, -0.2054, -0.2248, -0.2596, -0.2495, -0.245, -0.2577, -0.2191, -0.2187, -0.1756, -0.1151, -0.1052, -0.0601, -0.104, -0.106, -0.0851, -0.0681, -0.0403, 0.0448, 0.0623, 0.0371, -0.023, 0.0127, 0.101, 0.0756, 0.1244, 0.0638, 0.0445, 0.0213, -0.0584, -0.0952, -0.1344, -0.1814, -0.1188, -0.0266, 0.0412, 0.0113, 0.0384, 0.0308, 0.0859, 0.0, -0.0824, -0.0288, -0.0916, -0.0763, -0.0873, -0.1515, -0.2167, -0.2643, -0.3065, -0.2863, -0.2484, -0.2108, -0.2974, -0.3089, -0.2372, -0.2622, -0.214, -0.214, -0.2125, -0.1687, -0.1994, -0.1789, -0.1467, -0.1862, -0.1672, -0.1997, -0.2231, -0.2174, -0.2721, -0.3265, -0.328, -0.3737, -0.3518, -0.2574, -0.2261, -0.2527, -0.2435, -0.2435, -0.2729, -0.2858, -0.293, -0.3052, -0.3052, -0.2533, -0.2294, -0.1679, -0.2014, -0.1923, -0.1871, -0.1091, -0.1248, -0.1535, -0.1377, -0.0975, -0.0975, -0.1758, -0.1793, -0.1961, -0.2156, -0.2408, -0.1876, -0.1663, -0.2122, -0.2929, -0.2682, -0.2533, -0.3161, -0.3868, -0.2853, -0.229, -0.2381, -0.2645, -0.2552, -0.1864, -0.1864, -0.1905, -0.155, -0.1067, -0.1872, -0.1649, -0.1485, -0.1191, -0.1294, -0.243, -0.2445, -0.2795, -0.1883, -0.206, -0.2585, -0.2119, -0.1996, -0.0703, -0.1032, -0.0624, 0.0779, -0.0344, -0.0159, 0.0087, -0.0237, -0.0525, -0.0462, -0.0447, -0.1204, -0.1631, -0.2342, -0.1387, -0.1537, -0.0967, -0.0967, -0.0658, -0.0255, 0.0376, 0.1317, 0.2034, 0.283, 0.3442, 0.3843, 0.3725, 0.3044, 0.3212, 0.2995, 0.2961, 0.3039, 0.2215, 0.2033, 0.1248]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1990394386341933363", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-17T12:19:36+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Not just a buy but incredibly strong buy!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Strong buy on NBIS: detached from fundamentals to the upside + MSCI inflow catalyst of few hundred million to low billion incoming.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@YodaStockInvest $NBIS is incredibly detached from fundamentals right now and we have MSCI few hundred million-low billion inflow in a week.\n\nNot just a buy but incredibly strong buy! \n\nThat being said most assets are dropping like flies across the board right now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $NBIS is a BUY", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "YodaStockInvest", "ret_m1d": -0.028378720006289493, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.028378720006289493, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03778276560027605, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02972795147062146, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.009404045593986554, "bench_c_m1d": 0.001349231464331968, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.053035559206290994, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.053035559206290994, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.061433111976391674, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04736900806043187, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00839755277010068, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005666551145859122, "ret_p1w": 0.0688531976949256, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0688531976949256, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06425634256313084, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.052393347345248475, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004596855131794753, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01645985034967712, "ret_p1m": -0.058502049456895966, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.058502049456895966, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07833175621938437, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10770162010072437, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019829706762488408, "bench_c_p1m": 0.049199570643828405, "ret_p3m": 0.04361479243531097, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04361479243531097, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.01715551154792272, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.009155934671352783, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026459280887388248, "bench_c_p3m": 0.034458857763958184, "ret_p6m": 1.083158799922375, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.083158799922375, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.9679167086598945, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.0343549651656587, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11524209126248053, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04880383475671635, "price_path": [-0.2153, -0.2303, -0.1977, -0.1856, -0.1803, -0.1847, -0.1621, -0.2054, -0.2054, -0.2356, -0.2365, -0.2451, -0.2385, -0.2549, 0.1133, 0.0862, 0.0373, 0.0515, 0.0579, 0.0401, 0.0942, 0.0947, 0.155, 0.2398, 0.2538, 0.3169, 0.2554, 0.2526, 0.2819, 0.3058, 0.3446, 0.4639, 0.4885, 0.4531, 0.3689, 0.4189, 0.5427, 0.5071, 0.5755, 0.4905, 0.4635, 0.431, 0.3194, 0.2677, 0.2128, 0.147, 0.2347, 0.3638, 0.4588, 0.417, 0.455, 0.4443, 0.5215, 0.4011, 0.2856, 0.3608, 0.2729, 0.2943, 0.2788, 0.1889, 0.0975, 0.0308, -0.0284, 0.0, 0.053, 0.1057, -0.0156, -0.0316, 0.0689, 0.0337, 0.1013, 0.1013, 0.1034, 0.1648, 0.1218, 0.1505, 0.1956, 0.1403, 0.1669, 0.1213, 0.0885, 0.0965, 0.0199, -0.0563, -0.0585, -0.1225, -0.0918, 0.0405, 0.0843, 0.0471, 0.0599, 0.0599, 0.0187, 0.0007, -0.0094, -0.0265, -0.0265, 0.0462, 0.0797, 0.1659, 0.119, 0.1317, 0.139, 0.2483, 0.2262, 0.1861, 0.2082, 0.2646, 0.2646, 0.1548, 0.1499, 0.1264, 0.0991, 0.0637, 0.1383, 0.1681, 0.1039, -0.0092, 0.0254, 0.0462, -0.0418, -0.1408, 0.0014, 0.0803, 0.0676, 0.0306, 0.0436, 0.1399, 0.1399, 0.1342, 0.184, 0.2516, 0.1389, 0.1702, 0.1931, 0.2342, 0.2198, 0.0606, 0.0585, 0.0095, 0.1372, 0.1125, 0.039, 0.1042, 0.1215, 0.3026, 0.2566, 0.3137, 0.5102, 0.353, 0.3789, 0.4134, 0.368, 0.3276, 0.3365, 0.3386, 0.2325, 0.1726, 0.073, 0.2068, 0.1857, 0.2656, 0.2656, 0.3089, 0.3654, 0.4538, 0.5856, 0.6861, 0.7976, 0.8835, 0.9396, 0.923, 0.8276, 0.8511, 0.8208, 0.816, 0.8269, 0.7116, 0.686, 0.5761, 0.6421, 0.6077, 0.7968, 1.0519, 1.0461, 1.269, 1.149, 1.0592, 1.1645, 1.0832]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1981029571500834930", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-22T16:07:10+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm confident $NBIS will recover purely based off of fundamentals and existing contracts. So I use this time to add more.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Adding to NBIS during drawdown; confident in recovery based on fundamentals and existing contracts.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thanks! I personally don't mind a 32% drawdown as much since I'm confident $NBIS will recover purely based off of fundamentals and existing contracts. So I use this time to add more.\n\nBut a lot of retail are probably worried because they bought off momentum.\n\nSo I'm trying my best to spread awareness of fundamentals + tactics MMs/insitutions use to build up portfolio sizing so people can make clearer decisions.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @genZinvest0r Appreciate sharing your insights with us. Keep it up! \nAlso, it's unfair to cry on your sharing because of the down days.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jeanli28", "ret_m1d": 0.05739196790796086, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05739196790796086, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.052165891093566064, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04865795143168117, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005226076814394798, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008734016476279693, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07645508725955352, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07645508725955352, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07052519606905383, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07982761972858643, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005929891190499692, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0033725324690329073, "ret_p1w": 0.2685053233630823, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2685053233630823, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.23917013427122158, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2628844137812947, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.029335189091860725, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005620909581787625, "ret_p1m": -0.14175626614873638, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14175626614873638, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11889015789478707, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09272476616029002, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.022866108253949302, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04903149998844636, "ret_p3m": 0.10251470623389292, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10251470623389292, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06372503900472015, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10335486794227966, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.038789667229172764, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0008401617083867441, "ret_p6m": 0.6765361157285201, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6765361157285201, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.619849690724092, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.6423340376147957, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05668642500442811, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03420207811372444, "price_path": [-0.4791, -0.4651, -0.4889, -0.4799, -0.4481, -0.4727, -0.4507, -0.4406, -0.4414, -0.3378, -0.3026, -0.2878, -0.2362, -0.2838, -0.3058, -0.2738, -0.2644, -0.3187, -0.3159, -0.3289, -0.3005, -0.29, -0.2853, -0.2892, -0.2695, -0.3072, -0.3072, -0.3336, -0.3343, -0.3418, -0.3361, -0.3504, -0.0294, -0.053, -0.0956, -0.0832, -0.0777, -0.0932, -0.046, -0.0456, 0.007, 0.0809, 0.0931, 0.1481, 0.0945, 0.0921, 0.1176, 0.1384, 0.1723, 0.2763, 0.2977, 0.2669, 0.1935, 0.2371, 0.345, 0.3139, 0.3736, 0.2994, 0.2759, 0.2476, 0.1503, 0.1053, 0.0574, 0.0, 0.0765, 0.189, 0.2719, 0.2353, 0.2685, 0.2592, 0.3265, 0.2216, 0.1209, 0.1864, 0.1097, 0.1284, 0.1149, 0.0365, -0.0432, -0.1013, -0.1529, -0.1282, -0.0819, -0.036, -0.1418, -0.1557, -0.0681, -0.0988, -0.0398, -0.0398, -0.038, 0.0155, -0.022, 0.003, 0.0424, -0.0059, 0.0173, -0.0224, -0.051, -0.044, -0.1108, -0.1772, -0.1792, -0.2349, -0.2082, -0.0929, -0.0547, -0.0871, -0.0759, -0.0759, -0.1118, -0.1276, -0.1364, -0.1512, -0.1512, -0.0879, -0.0587, 0.0164, -0.0244, -0.0134, -0.007, 0.0883, 0.0691, 0.0341, 0.0534, 0.1025, 0.1025, 0.0068, 0.0025, -0.0179, -0.0418, -0.0726, -0.0076, 0.0184, -0.0376, -0.1362, -0.1061, -0.0879, -0.1646, -0.251, -0.127, -0.0582, -0.0693, -0.1015, -0.0901, -0.0062, -0.0062, -0.0112, 0.0322, 0.0912, -0.0071, 0.0202, 0.0402, 0.076, 0.0635, -0.0753, -0.0772, -0.1199, -0.0085, -0.0301, -0.0942, -0.0373, -0.0222, 0.1356, 0.0955, 0.1453, 0.3167, 0.1796, 0.2022, 0.2322, 0.1927, 0.1575, 0.1652, 0.167, 0.0745, 0.0223, -0.0645, 0.0521, 0.0338, 0.1034, 0.1034, 0.1411, 0.1904, 0.2675, 0.3824, 0.47, 0.5672, 0.6421, 0.691, 0.6765]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1990736540532887956", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-18T10:59:12+00:00", "symbol": "BMNR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "With many companies like $BMNR, you're better off holding the underlying $ETH asset", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefer ETH directly over BMNR; MARA less compelling vs direct BTC; MSTR is exception among crypto holding companies due to BTC accumulation scale.", "resolved_tickers": ["BMNR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you look at historical patterns such as grayscale investments, which was the way to get crypto exposure from holding companies pre-ETF, they traded way under-NAV for the longest time.\n\nWith many companies like $BMNR, you’re better off holding the underlying $ETH asset. With $MARA it’s a mix of holding $BTC as well as the mining business + optionally to transition to HPC.\n\nI would only argue $MSTR is an exception to holding companies due to how much $BTC they’ve accumulated and the potential for nationalization for the US government to get exposure to Bitcoin.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "With crypto fear index at 15 (lowest YTD), this could be the moment to accumulate quality risk.\n\nIf you’re betting on a 2026 crypto resurgence, NAV-levered equities offer asymmetric upside.\n\n$BMNR $MSTR $MARA https://t.co/NIl3Iity8D", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "yianisz", "ret_m1d": -0.04120185026980838, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04120185026980838, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04967051913358511, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04275928421368902, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00846866886377673, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0015574339438806373, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09603461093491916, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09603461093491916, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09989781107775608, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09973333865976752, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00386320014283692, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0036987277248483608, "ret_p1w": -0.10439891232638054, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10439891232638054, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12703261738295735, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.12717491380704005, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022633705056576803, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022776001480659502, "ret_p1m": -0.09143080525935088, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09143080525935088, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1085802595775649, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.15489206269495015, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01714945431821402, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06346125743559927, "ret_p3m": -0.35049080190455184, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.35049080190455184, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3863720761291778, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.35945565324275175, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03588127422462595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.008964851338199908, "ret_p6m": -0.34367339624231763, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.34367339624231763, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.47465255469461975, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.34486553391609276, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13097915845230212, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0011921376737751288, "price_path": [0.4786, 0.6571, 0.5366, 0.5474, 0.426, 0.4117, 0.3513, 0.3513, 0.3163, 0.3897, 0.307, 0.3024, 0.3566, 0.3817, 0.4126, 0.4805, 0.7066, 0.6453, 0.7327, 0.768, 0.8575, 0.8987, 0.7069, 0.688, 0.6084, 0.5356, 0.5644, 0.6487, 0.6087, 0.6221, 0.7503, 0.755, 0.9585, 0.834, 0.8587, 0.8309, 0.6255, 0.7612, 0.6394, 0.6667, 0.5824, 0.5443, 0.6667, 0.6063, 0.4879, 0.5239, 0.5616, 0.6639, 0.6276, 0.5415, 0.3801, 0.4452, 0.3278, 0.2224, 0.2831, 0.1577, 0.2463, 0.2748, 0.2265, 0.2568, 0.1329, 0.0657, -0.0412, 0.0, -0.096, -0.1939, -0.1945, -0.0366, -0.1044, -0.0167, -0.0167, 0.026, -0.1035, -0.0115, 0.0428, 0.1252, 0.0551, 0.1106, 0.215, 0.2519, 0.1893, 0.0802, -0.0409, -0.0273, -0.0914, -0.119, -0.0282, -0.0366, -0.0772, -0.0905, -0.0905, -0.1227, -0.1156, -0.141, -0.1587, -0.1587, -0.0335, 0.0335, 0.0018, -0.0592, -0.0307, -0.0685, -0.0353, -0.0326, 0.0121, -0.0434, -0.0344, -0.0344, -0.1249, -0.0905, -0.1044, -0.1075, -0.1385, -0.0911, -0.0818, -0.1726, -0.2222, -0.2935, -0.3074, -0.3709, -0.4608, -0.3657, -0.3353, -0.3818, -0.3967, -0.3883, -0.3505, -0.3505, -0.3756, -0.3858, -0.3815, -0.3762, -0.4044, -0.3976, -0.3338, -0.3666, -0.4118, -0.3678, -0.3936, -0.3455, -0.3694, -0.4149, -0.3585, -0.3576, -0.3477, -0.3632, -0.3635, -0.2752, -0.2801, -0.3365, -0.3449, -0.3511, -0.3409, -0.3554, -0.3418, -0.3967, -0.4301, -0.4329, -0.3871, -0.3898, -0.3973, -0.3973, -0.3616, -0.375, -0.3331, -0.3468, -0.3406, -0.3334, -0.3344, -0.3077, -0.3046, -0.2888, -0.3018, -0.3272, -0.2777, -0.3183, -0.3139, -0.3322, -0.3344, -0.3598, -0.3369, -0.322, -0.2938, -0.2842, -0.2901, -0.3183, -0.313, -0.2867, -0.3285, -0.3437]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1990736540532887956", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-18T10:59:12+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "you're better off holding the underlying $ETH asset", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefer ETH directly over BMNR; MARA less compelling vs direct BTC; MSTR is exception among crypto holding companies due to BTC accumulation scale.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you look at historical patterns such as grayscale investments, which was the way to get crypto exposure from holding companies pre-ETF, they traded way under-NAV for the longest time.\n\nWith many companies like $BMNR, you’re better off holding the underlying $ETH asset. With $MARA it’s a mix of holding $BTC as well as the mining business + optionally to transition to HPC.\n\nI would only argue $MSTR is an exception to holding companies due to how much $BTC they’ve accumulated and the potential for nationalization for the US government to get exposure to Bitcoin.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "With crypto fear index at 15 (lowest YTD), this could be the moment to accumulate quality risk.\n\nIf you’re betting on a 2026 crypto resurgence, NAV-levered equities offer asymmetric upside.\n\n$BMNR $MSTR $MARA https://t.co/NIl3Iity8D", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "yianisz", "ret_m1d": -0.031521244755006395, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.031521244755006395, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.039989913618783124, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00846866886377673, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.031991314382848524, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.031991314382848524, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.035854514525685444, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00386320014283692, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.05284784957021427, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05284784957021427, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07548155462679107, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022633705056576803, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.09336452121145222, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09336452121145222, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11051397552966624, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01714945431821402, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.3440470329170693, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3440470329170693, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.37992830714169523, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03588127422462595, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.277108039089655, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.277108039089655, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4080871975419571, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13097915845230212, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3523, 0.547, 0.4003, 0.4731, 0.442, 0.4432, 0.3962, 0.3815, 0.385, 0.425, 0.3765, 0.3791, 0.3795, 0.3798, 0.3926, 0.4285, 0.5099, 0.4495, 0.4421, 0.4706, 0.4697, 0.4316, 0.3458, 0.3338, 0.33, 0.2387, 0.2923, 0.3504, 0.3276, 0.3933, 0.4371, 0.4457, 0.5011, 0.4253, 0.4498, 0.399, 0.2306, 0.3594, 0.321, 0.2768, 0.2471, 0.2272, 0.2747, 0.2414, 0.2194, 0.2347, 0.2599, 0.3193, 0.2751, 0.2499, 0.2182, 0.2319, 0.1535, 0.0543, 0.0968, 0.0606, 0.1, 0.1426, 0.0936, 0.0929, 0.0352, -0.0061, -0.0315, 0.0, -0.032, -0.0932, -0.1144, -0.0545, -0.0528, -0.0305, -0.0347, -0.029, -0.1034, -0.04, 0.022, 0.0036, -0.0316, 0.0007, 0.0634, 0.0648, 0.0365, -0.0124, -0.0508, -0.0508, -0.0934, -0.0948, -0.0464, -0.0374, -0.0511, -0.0568, -0.0703, -0.0632, -0.0603, -0.0485, -0.0499, -0.0393, 0.0005, 0.033, 0.0554, 0.014, -0.006, -0.0128, -0.0098, 0.0638, 0.0742, 0.0622, 0.0552, 0.0204, -0.06, -0.0461, -0.0555, -0.0543, -0.0629, -0.0323, -0.0373, -0.0976, -0.1347, -0.2493, -0.2867, -0.3136, -0.4167, -0.3393, -0.3264, -0.3533, -0.3786, -0.3766, -0.344, -0.3603, -0.3621, -0.3743, -0.3762, -0.3695, -0.4059, -0.4067, -0.3421, -0.351, -0.3818, -0.3509, -0.3651, -0.3191, -0.3367, -0.3664, -0.3618, -0.3477, -0.3431, -0.3362, -0.3299, -0.2471, -0.2577, -0.2944, -0.3156, -0.3127, -0.3109, -0.3097, -0.3058, -0.3405, -0.3624, -0.3521, -0.3261, -0.3152, -0.3414, -0.3425, -0.3251, -0.2822, -0.2986, -0.299, -0.2811, -0.2409, -0.2561, -0.2445, -0.2479, -0.2248, -0.2587, -0.2546, -0.2392, -0.2534, -0.2585, -0.2625, -0.2669, -0.2784, -0.2775, -0.2651, -0.2487, -0.2439, -0.2473, -0.2664, -0.2613, -0.2509, -0.2716, -0.2771]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1990736540532887956", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-11-18T10:59:12+00:00", "symbol": "MARA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "With $MARA it's a mix of holding $BTC as well as the mining business", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefer ETH directly over BMNR; MARA less compelling vs direct BTC; MSTR is exception among crypto holding companies due to BTC accumulation scale.", "resolved_tickers": ["MARA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you look at historical patterns such as grayscale investments, which was the way to get crypto exposure from holding companies pre-ETF, they traded way under-NAV for the longest time.\n\nWith many companies like $BMNR, you’re better off holding the underlying $ETH asset. With $MARA it’s a mix of holding $BTC as well as the mining business + optionally to transition to HPC.\n\nI would only argue $MSTR is an exception to holding companies due to how much $BTC they’ve accumulated and the potential for nationalization for the US government to get exposure to Bitcoin.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "With crypto fear index at 15 (lowest YTD), this could be the moment to accumulate quality risk.\n\nIf you’re betting on a 2026 crypto resurgence, NAV-levered equities offer asymmetric upside.\n\n$BMNR $MSTR $MARA https://t.co/NIl3Iity8D", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "yianisz", "ret_m1d": -0.03114477121168735, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03114477121168735, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03961344007546408, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03961344007546408, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00846866886377673, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00846866886377673, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06565654254691888, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06565654254691888, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0695197426897558, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0695197426897558, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00386320014283692, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00386320014283692, "ret_p1w": -0.05976431239962032, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05976431239962032, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08239801745619713, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08239801745619713, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022633705056576803, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022633705056576803, "ret_p1m": -0.16414139650510473, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.16414139650510473, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.18129085082331875, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.18129085082331875, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01714945431821402, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01714945431821402, "ret_p3m": -0.33333333333333337, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.33333333333333337, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3692146075579593, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3692146075579593, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03588127422462595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03588127422462595, "ret_p6m": 0.07323231289379706, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.07323231289379706, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.05774684555850507, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.05774684555850507, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13097915845230212, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13097915845230212, "price_path": [0.3056, 0.3712, 0.2963, 0.3333, 0.3342, 0.3434, 0.3451, 0.3451, 0.3519, 0.3375, 0.2719, 0.2786, 0.2795, 0.3409, 0.335, 0.3224, 0.3729, 0.367, 0.4756, 0.4596, 0.5572, 0.5396, 0.5446, 0.4907, 0.4848, 0.3527, 0.3577, 0.5707, 0.537, 0.5665, 0.5816, 0.5842, 0.7315, 0.7045, 0.7003, 0.7003, 0.5699, 0.7037, 0.8721, 0.9226, 0.7062, 0.6473, 0.7449, 0.6894, 0.612, 0.6178, 0.6448, 0.6465, 0.5892, 0.5892, 0.4949, 0.5379, 0.4992, 0.399, 0.4419, 0.3434, 0.3359, 0.3114, 0.2315, 0.213, 0.0758, 0.0093, -0.0311, 0.0, -0.0657, -0.138, -0.1524, -0.0564, -0.0598, -0.0648, -0.0648, -0.0059, -0.0303, 0.0025, 0.0497, 0.0471, -0.0118, 0.0143, 0.0311, 0.0034, -0.0034, -0.0303, -0.0993, -0.1002, -0.1641, -0.1843, -0.1431, -0.1473, -0.17, -0.1633, -0.1633, -0.1928, -0.2012, -0.2146, -0.2441, -0.2441, -0.1658, -0.1086, -0.1322, -0.1515, -0.1212, -0.1397, -0.1035, -0.0783, -0.0648, -0.1027, -0.0438, -0.0438, -0.1271, -0.1111, -0.1338, -0.1162, -0.1599, -0.1145, -0.1271, -0.17, -0.2003, -0.2323, -0.2382, -0.303, -0.4335, -0.3064, -0.3215, -0.3552, -0.3636, -0.3897, -0.3333, -0.3333, -0.3678, -0.3687, -0.33, -0.3291, -0.3367, -0.3224, -0.2786, -0.2887, -0.2475, -0.2045, -0.271, -0.218, -0.2618, -0.3258, -0.271, -0.2786, -0.2803, -0.2626, -0.2155, -0.2231, -0.2222, -0.2492, -0.2239, -0.2879, -0.25, -0.3056, -0.303, -0.2778, -0.3249, -0.3434, -0.3131, -0.3232, -0.2668, -0.2668, -0.2551, -0.2458, -0.2003, -0.186, -0.197, -0.1279, -0.117, -0.1187, -0.0278, -0.0236, -0.021, -0.0547, -0.0034, -0.0067, -0.0202, -0.0589, -0.0724, -0.0976, 0.0093, -0.0354, -0.0042, 0.0236, 0.0968, 0.069, 0.0892, 0.1271, 0.0707, 0.0732]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1990736540532887956", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-11-18T10:59:12+00:00", "symbol": "MSTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I would only argue $MSTR is an exception to holding companies due to how much $BTC they've accumulated and the potential for nationalization", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefer ETH directly over BMNR; MARA less compelling vs direct BTC; MSTR is exception among crypto holding companies due to BTC accumulation scale.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you look at historical patterns such as grayscale investments, which was the way to get crypto exposure from holding companies pre-ETF, they traded way under-NAV for the longest time.\n\nWith many companies like $BMNR, you’re better off holding the underlying $ETH asset. With $MARA it’s a mix of holding $BTC as well as the mining business + optionally to transition to HPC.\n\nI would only argue $MSTR is an exception to holding companies due to how much $BTC they’ve accumulated and the potential for nationalization for the US government to get exposure to Bitcoin.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "With crypto fear index at 15 (lowest YTD), this could be the moment to accumulate quality risk.\n\nIf you’re betting on a 2026 crypto resurgence, NAV-levered equities offer asymmetric upside.\n\n$BMNR $MSTR $MARA https://t.co/NIl3Iity8D", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "yianisz", "ret_m1d": -0.05502903633886469, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05502903633886469, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06349770520264142, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06349770520264142, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00846866886377673, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00846866886377673, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09816248913051095, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09816248913051095, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.10202568927334787, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.10202568927334787, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00386320014283692, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00386320014283692, "ret_p1w": -0.1673597683733563, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1673597683733563, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1899934734299331, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1899934734299331, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022633705056576803, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022633705056576803, "ret_p1m": -0.22446807293966686, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.22446807293966686, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.24161752725788088, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.24161752725788088, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01714945431821402, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01714945431821402, "ret_p3m": -0.35261120451093475, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.35261120451093475, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3884924787355607, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3884924787355607, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03588127422462595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03588127422462595, "ret_p6m": -0.1391199412374302, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1391199412374302, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.27009909968973234, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.27009909968973234, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13097915845230212, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13097915845230212, "price_path": [0.6324, 0.7318, 0.6596, 0.699, 0.6541, 0.6385, 0.6171, 0.6171, 0.6519, 0.597, 0.5841, 0.6241, 0.5953, 0.5886, 0.5786, 0.5765, 0.6027, 0.5851, 0.6204, 0.5943, 0.6882, 0.6671, 0.6244, 0.585, 0.5634, 0.4541, 0.4945, 0.5784, 0.5581, 0.6364, 0.7037, 0.7003, 0.7393, 0.588, 0.5996, 0.5488, 0.4738, 0.5255, 0.4539, 0.435, 0.3725, 0.4017, 0.4343, 0.4599, 0.3579, 0.3778, 0.3979, 0.4295, 0.3764, 0.3315, 0.231, 0.3032, 0.2798, 0.1943, 0.2331, 0.147, 0.1699, 0.1551, 0.1187, 0.0861, 0.0084, -0.0341, -0.055, 0.0, -0.0982, -0.1435, -0.1755, -0.1342, -0.1674, -0.1507, -0.1507, -0.1432, -0.1711, -0.1232, -0.089, -0.1005, -0.1345, -0.1118, -0.0861, -0.1072, -0.1136, -0.1468, -0.2162, -0.19, -0.2245, -0.2348, -0.203, -0.2054, -0.2366, -0.2325, -0.2325, -0.2321, -0.2486, -0.2475, -0.2652, -0.2652, -0.24, -0.2035, -0.2361, -0.2175, -0.1926, -0.2392, -0.2155, -0.1635, -0.1328, -0.1735, -0.16, -0.16, -0.2252, -0.2079, -0.2216, -0.2113, -0.2235, -0.2187, -0.2338, -0.3076, -0.2761, -0.3248, -0.3556, -0.3758, -0.4826, -0.3475, -0.3306, -0.3569, -0.3904, -0.4052, -0.3526, -0.3526, -0.3778, -0.3946, -0.374, -0.3663, -0.4018, -0.3974, -0.3441, -0.3549, -0.3738, -0.3344, -0.3584, -0.2919, -0.3239, -0.3543, -0.3281, -0.3305, -0.3311, -0.3359, -0.3246, -0.2867, -0.2733, -0.3203, -0.3315, -0.344, -0.3317, -0.3412, -0.3272, -0.3572, -0.3906, -0.4128, -0.3965, -0.4063, -0.4206, -0.4206, -0.3825, -0.4017, -0.3796, -0.3769, -0.3779, -0.36, -0.3355, -0.3059, -0.2798, -0.1948, -0.174, -0.2071, -0.1327, -0.166, -0.173, -0.1818, -0.1987, -0.2351, -0.2, -0.1433, -0.1112, -0.0962, -0.0966, -0.1304, -0.0929, -0.0525, -0.1082, -0.1391]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1996967974046232748", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-05T15:40:41+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Highest asymmetrical upside possible because they have 4 subsidaries like robotaxis growing 100%+ Y/Y alongside their core operational DC business. It's just a waiting game until market prices in parts", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS on robotaxi/DC upside; cautious/avoid IREN near-term on dilution risk; long CIFR on hyperscaler backstop + BTC; long TE on energy theme.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Okay so from my perspective\n\n$NBIS - Highest asymmetrical upside possible because they have 4 subsidaries like robotaxis growing 100%+ Y/Y alongside their core operational DC business. It's just a waiting game until market prices in parts (eg. $UBER rose a ton from self driving cars with Avride, but $NBIS had no movement but owns Avride). \n\nI really really like robotaxis and Avride. I don't know how markets aren't seeing this opportunity (maybe we're just early, institutions accumulated over 52% of the float last i checked though from 38%, so some are probably aware). \n\n$IREN - highest possible upside, but biggest risk of them all. Just for their $MSFT deal they had to dilute and pay for $5.8B+ worth of hardware just to do the deal and ended up spending up $2m/mw in costs just for expedited buildout. However, that was just to monetize a small amount of capacity and they're going the AI cloud route instead of colo buying GPUS, unlike $CIFR. I'd be extremely worried as an investor if they kept doing GPU offerings because of execution uncertainty and extreme, extreme amount of dilution to monetize that \"3 GW pipeline\". Maybe it would be better off waiting another few months because near term investors are harmed the most. \n\n $CIFR - probably safest one in the neocloud sector since they are backstopped by $AMZN and $GOOGL, large amounts of bitcoin on balance sheet for next halving event, and are doing slower revenue growth but higher margin colo offerings with revenue visibility from hyperscaler deals\n\n$TE - energy is a good play. \n\nYour portfolio is incredibly volatile lol (can swing -50%) but it's fine if you're born from the depths of wsb reddit, crypto, and options.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit This is definitely a good breakdown but would u say if its a smaller portfolio ~100k you can position yourself aggressively by getting 30-30-30 with $NBIS, $IREN and $CIFR and then a bit of $TE?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "moderndayvenom", "ret_m1d": 0.048551632923093946, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.048551632923093946, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.050447568366577156, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.059991924556032306, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018959354434832099, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01144029163293836, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.023357822257676686, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.023357822257676686, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.026362099772351377, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030785460100627104, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0030042775146746914, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007427637842950419, "ret_p1w": -0.1055691388970793, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1055691388970793, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09983773652522188, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10061740218695459, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00573140237185743, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004951736710124721, "ret_p1m": -0.05314156503284473, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05314156503284473, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05906570308673709, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0616893501607082, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005924138053892358, "bench_c_p1m": 0.008547785127863472, "ret_p3m": -0.0026520005487810083, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0026520005487810083, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.004787758979803436, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0201075362016786, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0021357584310224276, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01745553565289759, "ret_p6m": 1.3570990838423294, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.3570990838423294, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.2475782186605362, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.363033432342327, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10952086518179316, "bench_c_p6m": -0.005934348499997744, "price_path": [-0.0237, -0.0474, -0.0903, -0.0778, -0.0722, -0.0878, -0.0404, -0.04, 0.013, 0.0873, 0.0996, 0.1549, 0.101, 0.0985, 0.1242, 0.1451, 0.1792, 0.2839, 0.3054, 0.2744, 0.2005, 0.2444, 0.3529, 0.3217, 0.3817, 0.3071, 0.2835, 0.255, 0.1571, 0.1118, 0.0636, 0.0059, 0.0828, 0.196, 0.2794, 0.2427, 0.276, 0.2666, 0.3344, 0.2288, 0.1275, 0.1934, 0.1163, 0.135, 0.1215, 0.0426, -0.0375, -0.096, -0.1479, -0.123, -0.0765, -0.0303, -0.1367, -0.1508, -0.0626, -0.0934, -0.0342, -0.0342, -0.0323, 0.0215, -0.0162, 0.009, 0.0486, 0.0, 0.0234, -0.0166, -0.0454, -0.0384, -0.1056, -0.1724, -0.1743, -0.2304, -0.2035, -0.0875, -0.0491, -0.0817, -0.0705, -0.0705, -0.1066, -0.1224, -0.1313, -0.1462, -0.1462, -0.0825, -0.0531, 0.0224, -0.0187, -0.0075, -0.0011, 0.0948, 0.0754, 0.0402, 0.0596, 0.109, 0.109, 0.0127, 0.0085, -0.0121, -0.0361, -0.0671, -0.0017, 0.0244, -0.0319, -0.1311, -0.1008, -0.0825, -0.1596, -0.2465, -0.1218, -0.0526, -0.0637, -0.0962, -0.0848, -0.0003, -0.0003, -0.0053, 0.0384, 0.0976, -0.0012, 0.0262, 0.0463, 0.0824, 0.0698, -0.0699, -0.0717, -0.1146, -0.0027, -0.0244, -0.0888, -0.0316, -0.0164, 0.1423, 0.102, 0.1521, 0.3245, 0.1866, 0.2093, 0.2395, 0.1997, 0.1643, 0.1721, 0.1739, 0.0809, 0.0284, -0.059, 0.0583, 0.0399, 0.11, 0.11, 0.1479, 0.1975, 0.275, 0.3906, 0.4787, 0.5765, 0.6518, 0.701, 0.6865, 0.6028, 0.6234, 0.5968, 0.5926, 0.6022, 0.501, 0.4786, 0.3822, 0.4401, 0.4099, 0.5758, 0.7995, 0.7944, 0.9899, 0.8846, 0.8059, 0.8982, 0.8269, 1.1141, 1.2557, 1.2434, 1.0386, 1.0168, 0.9565, 1.2433, 1.1906, 1.1906, 1.1222, 1.1254, 1.3086, 1.3571, 1.3571]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1996967974046232748", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-05T15:40:41+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Maybe it would be better off waiting another few months because near term investors are harmed the most", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS on robotaxi/DC upside; cautious/avoid IREN near-term on dilution risk; long CIFR on hyperscaler backstop + BTC; long TE on energy theme.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Okay so from my perspective\n\n$NBIS - Highest asymmetrical upside possible because they have 4 subsidaries like robotaxis growing 100%+ Y/Y alongside their core operational DC business. It's just a waiting game until market prices in parts (eg. $UBER rose a ton from self driving cars with Avride, but $NBIS had no movement but owns Avride). \n\nI really really like robotaxis and Avride. I don't know how markets aren't seeing this opportunity (maybe we're just early, institutions accumulated over 52% of the float last i checked though from 38%, so some are probably aware). \n\n$IREN - highest possible upside, but biggest risk of them all. Just for their $MSFT deal they had to dilute and pay for $5.8B+ worth of hardware just to do the deal and ended up spending up $2m/mw in costs just for expedited buildout. However, that was just to monetize a small amount of capacity and they're going the AI cloud route instead of colo buying GPUS, unlike $CIFR. I'd be extremely worried as an investor if they kept doing GPU offerings because of execution uncertainty and extreme, extreme amount of dilution to monetize that \"3 GW pipeline\". Maybe it would be better off waiting another few months because near term investors are harmed the most. \n\n $CIFR - probably safest one in the neocloud sector since they are backstopped by $AMZN and $GOOGL, large amounts of bitcoin on balance sheet for next halving event, and are doing slower revenue growth but higher margin colo offerings with revenue visibility from hyperscaler deals\n\n$TE - energy is a good play. \n\nYour portfolio is incredibly volatile lol (can swing -50%) but it's fine if you're born from the depths of wsb reddit, crypto, and options.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit This is definitely a good breakdown but would u say if its a smaller portfolio ~100k you can position yourself aggressively by getting 30-30-30 with $NBIS, $IREN and $CIFR and then a bit of $TE?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "moderndayvenom", "ret_m1d": 0.038917506466044305, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.038917506466044305, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.040813441909527515, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03929009183794696, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018959354434832099, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00037258537190265617, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03645719305508366, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03645719305508366, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03946147056975835, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04018297509550828, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0030042775146746914, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003725782040424619, "ret_p1w": -0.10243789107900048, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10243789107900048, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09670648870714305, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1260966321232071, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00573140237185743, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02365874104420662, "ret_p1m": 0.07895331394046212, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07895331394046212, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07302917588656976, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.029657860836724836, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005924138053892358, "bench_c_p1m": 0.049295453103737286, "ret_p3m": -0.0194587105725732, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0194587105725732, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.02159446900359563, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.017799181510274376, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0021357584310224276, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03725789208284758, "ret_p6m": 0.4211586270775425, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4211586270775425, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3116377618957493, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.45196444150235937, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10952086518179316, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03080581442481689, "price_path": [-0.3248, -0.2478, -0.2653, -0.2404, -0.1693, -0.1847, -0.1523, -0.1877, -0.1358, -0.0628, -0.0658, 0.0544, 0.0353, -0.0637, 0.0273, 0.0497, 0.053, 0.0517, 0.1286, 0.2917, 0.3796, 0.344, 0.4281, 0.3368, 0.4346, 0.5558, 0.5205, 0.3829, 0.3581, 0.3245, 0.2345, 0.1592, 0.2494, 0.4068, 0.4536, 0.3961, 0.3514, 0.3022, 0.3588, 0.5153, 0.4903, 0.709, 0.4977, 0.3952, 0.3458, 0.2834, 0.2458, 0.0881, 0.0371, 0.0604, 0.0926, 0.0251, -0.0277, -0.0548, 0.0845, 0.0617, 0.0837, 0.0837, 0.0693, 0.0845, -0.0803, -0.0168, 0.0389, 0.0, 0.0365, 0.0476, -0.0177, -0.0172, -0.1024, -0.2064, -0.1816, -0.2445, -0.1993, -0.1071, -0.0597, -0.059, -0.0611, -0.0611, -0.0986, -0.1185, -0.1434, -0.1552, -0.1552, -0.045, 0.079, 0.0268, -0.0243, 0.0217, 0.0295, 0.1257, 0.1852, 0.1827, 0.1606, 0.2932, 0.2932, 0.2136, 0.1962, 0.1689, 0.2677, 0.1711, 0.3418, 0.4077, 0.3384, 0.202, 0.1872, 0.2165, 0.0051, -0.11, -0.0644, 0.0322, -0.0398, -0.0456, -0.1047, -0.0557, -0.0557, -0.0837, -0.0588, -0.0318, -0.1058, -0.0526, 0.0166, -0.0152, -0.0105, -0.0841, -0.0743, -0.1311, -0.0195, -0.1025, -0.1792, -0.1313, -0.1474, -0.0611, -0.0747, -0.07, 0.0051, -0.0391, -0.0559, -0.0682, -0.0765, -0.057, -0.0803, -0.0734, -0.1624, -0.2152, -0.2928, -0.2333, -0.2375, -0.2223, -0.2223, -0.2143, -0.2006, -0.1762, -0.1711, -0.1206, -0.0367, 0.0595, 0.0919, 0.0669, 0.0763, 0.0897, 0.0103, 0.0823, 0.1635, 0.1326, 0.0816, -0.006, -0.0414, 0.0179, 0.0212, 0.1067, 0.2243, 0.3639, 0.2715, 0.3688, 0.2335, 0.265, 0.234, 0.3062, 0.1841, 0.1286, 0.0678, 0.1789, 0.2986, 0.2711, 0.2711, 0.3371, 0.5173, 0.4326, 0.4212, 0.4212]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1996967974046232748", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-12-05T15:40:41+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "probably safest one in the neocloud sector since they are backstopped by $AMZN and $GOOGL, large amounts of bitcoin on balance sheet for next halving event", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS on robotaxi/DC upside; cautious/avoid IREN near-term on dilution risk; long CIFR on hyperscaler backstop + BTC; long TE on energy theme.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Okay so from my perspective\n\n$NBIS - Highest asymmetrical upside possible because they have 4 subsidaries like robotaxis growing 100%+ Y/Y alongside their core operational DC business. It's just a waiting game until market prices in parts (eg. $UBER rose a ton from self driving cars with Avride, but $NBIS had no movement but owns Avride). \n\nI really really like robotaxis and Avride. I don't know how markets aren't seeing this opportunity (maybe we're just early, institutions accumulated over 52% of the float last i checked though from 38%, so some are probably aware). \n\n$IREN - highest possible upside, but biggest risk of them all. Just for their $MSFT deal they had to dilute and pay for $5.8B+ worth of hardware just to do the deal and ended up spending up $2m/mw in costs just for expedited buildout. However, that was just to monetize a small amount of capacity and they're going the AI cloud route instead of colo buying GPUS, unlike $CIFR. I'd be extremely worried as an investor if they kept doing GPU offerings because of execution uncertainty and extreme, extreme amount of dilution to monetize that \"3 GW pipeline\". Maybe it would be better off waiting another few months because near term investors are harmed the most. \n\n $CIFR - probably safest one in the neocloud sector since they are backstopped by $AMZN and $GOOGL, large amounts of bitcoin on balance sheet for next halving event, and are doing slower revenue growth but higher margin colo offerings with revenue visibility from hyperscaler deals\n\n$TE - energy is a good play. \n\nYour portfolio is incredibly volatile lol (can swing -50%) but it's fine if you're born from the depths of wsb reddit, crypto, and options.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit This is definitely a good breakdown but would u say if its a smaller portfolio ~100k you can position yourself aggressively by getting 30-30-30 with $NBIS, $IREN and $CIFR and then a bit of $TE?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "moderndayvenom", "ret_m1d": 0.028526930366839176, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.028526930366839176, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.030422865810322386, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03579153446193706, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018959354434832099, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007264604095097882, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01037338425663803, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01037338425663803, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.013377661771312721, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0033473745462848647, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0030042775146746914, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007026009710353165, "ret_p1w": -0.11566397148157748, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11566397148157748, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10993256910972005, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0958140876371727, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00573140237185743, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01984988384440478, "ret_p1m": -0.05809132776686976, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05809132776686976, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06401546582076212, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.046081450836066074, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005924138053892358, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012009876930803687, "ret_p3m": -0.16804977467466498, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.16804977467466498, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1701855331056874, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12338471798084005, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0021357584310224276, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04466505669382492, "ret_p6m": 0.22665968756482924, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.22665968756482924, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.11713882238303608, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.07994067226806711, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10952086518179316, "bench_c_p6m": 0.30660035983289635, "price_path": [-0.5218, -0.4684, -0.4829, -0.4372, -0.4372, -0.403, -0.3579, -0.3854, -0.3631, -0.2759, -0.2661, -0.2666, -0.3952, -0.4051, -0.3439, -0.347, -0.3465, -0.2837, -0.2376, -0.2044, -0.1831, -0.0871, -0.0669, -0.1198, 0.055, 0.0835, 0.0908, -0.029, -0.027, 0.0327, -0.0625, -0.1644, -0.105, 0.0716, 0.0654, 0.0353, 0.0161, -0.0109, -0.0327, 0.1805, 0.1675, 0.2816, 0.126, 0.0731, 0.0192, -0.0316, -0.0985, -0.2256, -0.2552, -0.2557, -0.2438, -0.2417, -0.2448, -0.2661, -0.1333, -0.0913, -0.0067, -0.0067, 0.0555, 0.0213, -0.0851, -0.0337, 0.0285, 0.0, 0.0104, 0.0145, -0.0415, -0.0207, -0.1157, -0.2355, -0.2225, -0.2536, -0.2142, -0.1592, -0.1525, -0.1748, -0.1587, -0.1587, -0.2121, -0.2178, -0.2433, -0.2344, -0.2344, -0.1598, -0.0581, -0.0902, -0.166, -0.1416, -0.1374, -0.083, -0.0534, -0.0596, -0.0913, -0.0249, -0.0249, -0.0705, -0.0809, -0.098, -0.0887, -0.1447, -0.0275, -0.0161, -0.082, -0.1722, -0.18, -0.1566, -0.2609, -0.3413, -0.236, -0.1307, -0.1131, -0.1556, -0.1649, -0.1483, -0.1483, -0.1888, -0.2002, -0.1805, -0.2401, -0.2106, -0.112, -0.1385, -0.1452, -0.1909, -0.1826, -0.237, -0.168, -0.2142, -0.2936, -0.2578, -0.2759, -0.2682, -0.2889, -0.2697, -0.2147, -0.2173, -0.2391, -0.2407, -0.2733, -0.2277, -0.2282, -0.1763, -0.2557, -0.2871, -0.3768, -0.3325, -0.3444, -0.3351, -0.3351, -0.3076, -0.2733, -0.2002, -0.1515, -0.1426, -0.0788, -0.043, -0.0664, -0.1006, 0.0047, 0.0005, -0.0643, 0.0083, -0.0306, -0.056, -0.0581, -0.1048, -0.1224, -0.0799, -0.1162, -0.0721, 0.1463, 0.1364, 0.0729, 0.0659, 0.0519, 0.0405, 0.1017, 0.1561, 0.0545, -0.0083, -0.0249, 0.0104, 0.1162, 0.1395, 0.1395, 0.194, 0.305, 0.2754, 0.2267, 0.2267]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1996967974046232748", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-12-05T15:40:41+00:00", "symbol": "TE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "energy is a good play", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS on robotaxi/DC upside; cautious/avoid IREN near-term on dilution risk; long CIFR on hyperscaler backstop + BTC; long TE on energy theme.", "resolved_tickers": ["TE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Okay so from my perspective\n\n$NBIS - Highest asymmetrical upside possible because they have 4 subsidaries like robotaxis growing 100%+ Y/Y alongside their core operational DC business. It's just a waiting game until market prices in parts (eg. $UBER rose a ton from self driving cars with Avride, but $NBIS had no movement but owns Avride). \n\nI really really like robotaxis and Avride. I don't know how markets aren't seeing this opportunity (maybe we're just early, institutions accumulated over 52% of the float last i checked though from 38%, so some are probably aware). \n\n$IREN - highest possible upside, but biggest risk of them all. Just for their $MSFT deal they had to dilute and pay for $5.8B+ worth of hardware just to do the deal and ended up spending up $2m/mw in costs just for expedited buildout. However, that was just to monetize a small amount of capacity and they're going the AI cloud route instead of colo buying GPUS, unlike $CIFR. I'd be extremely worried as an investor if they kept doing GPU offerings because of execution uncertainty and extreme, extreme amount of dilution to monetize that \"3 GW pipeline\". Maybe it would be better off waiting another few months because near term investors are harmed the most. \n\n $CIFR - probably safest one in the neocloud sector since they are backstopped by $AMZN and $GOOGL, large amounts of bitcoin on balance sheet for next halving event, and are doing slower revenue growth but higher margin colo offerings with revenue visibility from hyperscaler deals\n\n$TE - energy is a good play. \n\nYour portfolio is incredibly volatile lol (can swing -50%) but it's fine if you're born from the depths of wsb reddit, crypto, and options.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit This is definitely a good breakdown but would u say if its a smaller portfolio ~100k you can position yourself aggressively by getting 30-30-30 with $NBIS, $IREN and $CIFR and then a bit of $TE?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "moderndayvenom", "ret_m1d": -0.12349910799552055, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.12349910799552055, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12160317255203734, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12160317255203734, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018959354434832099, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018959354434832099, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03259006169929379, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03259006169929379, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.035594339213968484, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.035594339213968484, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0030042775146746914, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0030042775146746914, "ret_p1w": -0.08233276592709737, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08233276592709737, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07660136355523994, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07660136355523994, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00573140237185743, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00573140237185743, "ret_p1m": 0.4065179959818086, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4065179959818086, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.40059385792791624, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.40059385792791624, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005924138053892358, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005924138053892358, "ret_p3m": 0.21783876458770024, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.21783876458770024, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2157030061566778, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2157030061566778, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0021357584310224276, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0021357584310224276, "ret_p6m": 0.8113208503961429, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.8113208503961429, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.7017999852143497, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.7017999852143497, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10952086518179316, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10952086518179316, "price_path": [-0.6672, -0.6792, -0.6775, -0.681, -0.6947, -0.6998, -0.6964, -0.681, -0.6655, -0.6518, -0.6844, -0.6226, -0.6106, -0.6226, -0.6003, -0.6261, -0.5901, -0.5952, -0.566, -0.5197, -0.5094, -0.4974, -0.3431, -0.3756, -0.3997, -0.3122, -0.1012, -0.1955, -0.259, -0.1835, -0.2316, -0.295, -0.3636, -0.4048, -0.3431, -0.3654, -0.3825, -0.3756, -0.3619, -0.4134, -0.3688, -0.2985, -0.3688, -0.3465, -0.2281, -0.2436, -0.3396, -0.4014, -0.4237, -0.4545, -0.4751, -0.5043, -0.5334, -0.5334, -0.4614, -0.4357, -0.3413, -0.3413, -0.2933, -0.2333, -0.187, -0.2247, -0.1235, 0.0, 0.0326, 0.1544, 0.0549, 0.0069, -0.0823, -0.1321, -0.0669, -0.0703, 0.0326, 0.1029, 0.2521, 0.2196, 0.2093, 0.2093, 0.1664, 0.1012, 0.1149, 0.1458, 0.1458, 0.3448, 0.4065, 0.3122, 0.2487, 0.1681, 0.1904, 0.2367, 0.3482, 0.3482, 0.271, 0.4014, 0.4014, 0.4202, 0.3413, 0.4357, 0.458, 0.3962, 0.5643, 0.6278, 0.5232, 0.4288, 0.4854, 0.5592, 0.3259, 0.247, 0.4185, 0.3105, 0.2882, 0.175, 0.0652, 0.0497, 0.0497, 0.1046, 0.1081, 0.0823, 0.0652, 0.0789, 0.2161, 0.2384, 0.2504, 0.0566, 0.1732, 0.1166, 0.2178, 0.1681, 0.1527, 0.2281, 0.3688, 0.3962, 0.3276, 0.307, 0.3242, 0.3362, 0.2573, 0.3225, 0.1321, 0.1732, 0.1338, 0.1458, 0.0772, -0.012, -0.036, -0.247, -0.2316, -0.2813, -0.2813, -0.3053, -0.3259, -0.2847, -0.283, -0.1955, -0.1235, -0.1664, -0.084, -0.1441, -0.1372, -0.1458, -0.1269, -0.0755, -0.0755, -0.0926, -0.0892, -0.1595, -0.1612, -0.1767, -0.1166, -0.1252, -0.084, -0.0961, -0.1166, 0.0566, 0.036, 0.0034, -0.0377, -0.0172, -0.0274, 0.2007, 0.1801, 0.4923, 0.4957, 0.3859, 0.3859, 0.7925, 0.8799, 0.8559, 0.8113, 0.8113]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1973857698942009502", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-02T21:08:42+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$RKLB 350B marketcap to match SpaceX", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "5-year targets: RKLB to $350B market cap (matching SpaceX); Bitcoin to $400k.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@sunny21704 @WaggaDoo $RKLB 350B marketcap to match SpaceX. Bitcoin $400k", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @WaggaDoo What are your 5 year PTs for both of them?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "sunny21704", "ret_m1d": -0.08576329131519878, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08576329131519878, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08461281290311029, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08316942858360943, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011504784120884848, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002593862731589347, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07032587270558355, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07032587270558355, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07034064006780516, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06896392051968414, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4767362221612679e-05, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0013619521858994066, "ret_p1w": 0.26586614491516203, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.26586614491516203, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2629671557823814, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2717675062400414, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028989891327806383, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005901361324879395, "ret_p1m": 0.2003048995048673, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2003048995048673, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1811183353463195, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1947276465558545, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019186564158547803, "bench_c_p1m": 0.00557725294901279, "ret_p3m": 0.34267191365043614, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.34267191365043614, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3130550973488091, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3248006475058811, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029616816301627047, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01787126614455503, "ret_p6m": 0.16123497022398747, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.16123497022398747, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.20833368343640146, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.12236247704793746, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04709871321241399, "bench_c_p6m": 0.038872493176050016, "price_path": [-0.259, -0.2617, -0.254, -0.2548, -0.2561, -0.1765, -0.15, -0.0911, -0.0217, -0.0206, -0.1006, -0.1065, -0.0633, -0.0827, -0.0961, -0.1403, -0.1654, -0.1149, -0.1248, -0.146, -0.1511, -0.1471, -0.1595, -0.1574, -0.1483, -0.142, -0.1723, -0.1805, -0.1841, -0.1563, -0.1429, -0.2201, -0.2245, -0.2085, -0.1542, -0.1001, -0.0827, -0.1185, -0.0869, -0.0738, -0.0738, -0.0602, -0.1704, -0.1807, -0.1264, -0.0903, -0.1037, -0.1201, -0.077, 0.0166, 0.0299, -0.0996, -0.0837, -0.1008, -0.0892, -0.0507, 0.0084, -0.072, -0.1113, -0.1184, -0.1041, -0.0869, -0.0858, 0.0, 0.0703, 0.1149, 0.1723, 0.2447, 0.2659, 0.2247, 0.2468, 0.2966, 0.3202, 0.2769, 0.263, 0.2836, 0.2464, 0.1543, 0.2115, 0.2304, 0.2506, 0.215, 0.2609, 0.161, 0.2003, 0.169, 0.0781, 0.0753, -0.0545, -0.0158, -0.0109, -0.0234, -0.0476, -0.1376, -0.1321, -0.1746, -0.1847, -0.1687, -0.2476, -0.2319, -0.191, -0.1881, -0.2009, -0.2009, -0.1969, -0.2306, -0.2014, -0.1477, -0.0591, -0.0651, -0.0173, 0.0183, 0.0962, 0.2108, 0.1719, 0.056, 0.0576, 0.0284, 0.142, 0.344, 0.478, 0.4709, 0.4709, 0.4709, 0.3465, 0.3364, 0.3427, 0.3295, 0.3295, 0.4483, 0.4892, 0.6396, 0.6024, 0.5834, 0.6171, 0.6752, 0.6501, 0.7496, 0.7298, 0.8353, 0.8353, 0.6993, 0.6737, 0.6768, 0.6943, 0.5338, 0.6581, 0.688, 0.6329, 0.526, 0.4132, 0.5489, 0.3934, 0.264, 0.3783, 0.4454, 0.3728, 0.3269, 0.2581, 0.2853, 0.2853, 0.332, 0.4183, 0.4595, 0.3505, 0.3381, 0.3335, 0.3379, 0.3846, 0.3169, 0.3526, 0.3366, 0.3705, 0.3341, 0.3362, 0.3623, 0.3137, 0.3715, 0.303, 0.3038, 0.3591, 0.4978, 0.3242, 0.3709, 0.2813, 0.296, 0.2592, 0.389, 0.2567, 0.1612]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1973857698942009502", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-02T21:08:42+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin $400k", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "5-year targets: RKLB to $350B market cap (matching SpaceX); Bitcoin to $400k.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@sunny21704 @WaggaDoo $RKLB 350B marketcap to match SpaceX. Bitcoin $400k", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @WaggaDoo What are your 5 year PTs for both of them?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "sunny21704", "ret_m1d": -0.016840461906335036, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.016840461906335036, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01568998349424655, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011504784120884848, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.013136036748664148, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013136036748664148, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.013150804110885761, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4767362221612679e-05, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": 0.008487880749399102, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.008487880749399102, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.005588891616618463, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028989891327806383, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.09218576232678011, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09218576232678011, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11137232648532791, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019186564158547803, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.2672422013541482, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2672422013541482, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.29685901765577527, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029616816301627047, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.450300931540931, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.450300931540931, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.403202218328517, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04709871321241399, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1026, -0.0972, -0.0775, -0.0389, -0.0262, -0.0069, -0.0241, -0.0161, -0.0115, -0.0222, -0.0269, -0.0057, -0.016, -0.0192, -0.0252, -0.0228, -0.0229, -0.0236, -0.0408, -0.061, -0.0465, -0.0542, -0.0468, -0.0264, -0.0331, -0.0162, -0.0042, 0.0221, -0.0192, -0.0272, -0.0367, -0.065, -0.0531, -0.0685, -0.0315, -0.0875, -0.0736, -0.0784, -0.0674, -0.1017, -0.0947, -0.0786, -0.0742, -0.0825, -0.0831, -0.0713, -0.0758, -0.0557, -0.0429, -0.0379, -0.0434, -0.0318, -0.0349, -0.0294, -0.0414, -0.0657, -0.0718, -0.0609, -0.0964, -0.0909, -0.052, -0.0549, -0.0168, 0.0, 0.0131, 0.0337, 0.0064, 0.0222, 0.0085, -0.0619, -0.0448, -0.0627, -0.082, -0.1035, -0.1178, -0.0836, -0.1011, -0.1077, -0.0879, -0.0799, -0.0544, -0.064, -0.088, -0.1025, -0.0922, -0.1171, -0.1582, -0.1391, -0.1606, -0.1434, -0.1217, -0.1465, -0.1576, -0.1739, -0.2178, -0.2369, -0.2298, -0.2421, -0.2821, -0.2949, -0.2686, -0.2763, -0.2499, -0.2436, -0.2466, -0.2847, -0.243, -0.225, -0.2365, -0.2593, -0.2489, -0.2319, -0.2375, -0.2334, -0.252, -0.2839, -0.2721, -0.2862, -0.2918, -0.2699, -0.2667, -0.2757, -0.274, -0.2771, -0.2766, -0.2779, -0.2672, -0.2749, -0.2647, -0.2547, -0.2221, -0.2233, -0.2434, -0.2457, -0.25, -0.2443, -0.2101, -0.1968, -0.2082, -0.2085, -0.2331, -0.2682, -0.2594, -0.2587, -0.2583, -0.2686, -0.2617, -0.261, -0.2993, -0.3029, -0.348, -0.3733, -0.3949, -0.4804, -0.4154, -0.419, -0.43, -0.4449, -0.4513, -0.4294, -0.4295, -0.4407, -0.4496, -0.4452, -0.4365, -0.4646, -0.469, -0.4369, -0.4411, -0.4541, -0.4301, -0.4341, -0.3975, -0.413, -0.4354, -0.4332, -0.4206, -0.4183, -0.4159, -0.4119, -0.3797, -0.3875, -0.4096, -0.4207, -0.4156, -0.4124, -0.4157, -0.4091, -0.43, -0.4503]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1971368130019721449", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-26T00:16:03+00:00", "symbol": "UNH", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd expect it to go up after earnings + $BRK posting updates on their portfolio holdings", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Expects UNH to rise after earnings and BRK portfolio update disclosure.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLV", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Healthcare Plans'", "bench_c_industry": "Healthcare Plans", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MakhmudovAkbar It's fine to hold. Not a screaming buy like $260 but I'd expect it to go up after earnings + $BRK posting updates on their portfolio holdings.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What are your thoughts on UNH? Bought Apr’26 $350 calls when it was $280. The upcoming earnings they either say everything is fine and they’re getting along with gov which I hope they skyrocket or they don’t and it tanks", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PositionJournal", "ret_m1d": 0.004301403854688468, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004301403854688468, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009997912103537399, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.014412039786741881, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0056965082488489305, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010110635932053413, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0031969431435792117, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0031969431435792117, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00038657670243935627, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00024495586088035814, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028103664411398555, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0029519872826988536, "ret_p1w": 0.04684968644257825, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04684968644257825, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03568353230305443, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02193266195437671, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01116615413952382, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06878234839695496, "ret_p1m": 0.06364803534850161, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06364803534850161, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.028260846412410112, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01657332054663274, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035387188936091496, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08022135589513435, "ret_p3m": -0.04155288219793618, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.04155288219793618, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08778893331635096, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.19626479147258824, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04623605111841478, "bench_c_p3m": 0.15471190927465206, "ret_p6m": -0.20523757693161848, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.20523757693161848, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2011453361436586, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2826115301065776, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.004092240787959889, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0773739531749591, "price_path": [-0.0581, -0.1117, -0.1089, -0.1089, -0.1229, -0.1113, -0.1252, -0.135, -0.1217, -0.1319, -0.1575, -0.1553, -0.168, -0.1837, -0.1852, -0.1765, -0.1552, -0.1954, -0.1883, -0.1852, -0.246, -0.2317, -0.2793, -0.3133, -0.304, -0.2751, -0.2902, -0.2934, -0.2754, -0.2711, -0.2446, -0.215, -0.2159, -0.122, -0.1091, -0.1213, -0.134, -0.1239, -0.1121, -0.1195, -0.1323, -0.1224, -0.127, -0.1051, -0.1051, -0.1082, -0.1108, -0.1036, -0.0891, -0.0751, 0.0048, 0.0015, 0.0213, 0.0181, 0.0111, -0.0125, -0.0072, -0.0269, -0.0215, -0.0081, 0.0105, 0.0225, 0.0043, 0.0, 0.0032, 0.0035, 0.0123, 0.028, 0.0468, 0.0427, 0.0569, 0.0751, 0.0686, 0.0303, 0.0424, 0.0461, 0.0496, 0.0366, 0.0364, 0.0593, 0.0619, 0.0506, 0.0476, 0.0535, 0.0636, 0.0691, 0.0325, 0.0019, -0.0073, -0.0299, -0.0385, -0.0475, -0.0654, -0.0577, -0.0654, -0.0483, -0.0146, -0.0336, -0.0646, -0.0685, -0.0886, -0.1017, -0.0946, -0.0701, -0.0727, -0.0517, -0.0418, -0.0418, -0.0416, -0.0607, -0.0568, -0.0127, -0.0308, -0.0383, -0.0531, -0.0532, -0.0392, -0.0148, 0.0002, -0.002, -0.0222, -0.0297, -0.0399, -0.042, -0.0486, -0.0497, -0.0416, -0.0416, -0.0291, -0.0376, -0.0282, -0.0342, -0.0342, -0.0157, 0.0007, 0.021, -0.0002, 0.0148, 0.0064, -0.0037, -0.023, -0.02, -0.0083, -0.0315, -0.0315, -0.0098, 0.0175, 0.0371, 0.0424, 0.0288, -0.1729, -0.1397, -0.1448, -0.1605, -0.1644, -0.1685, -0.1927, -0.2143, -0.1906, -0.1933, -0.2006, -0.184, -0.168, -0.1422, -0.1422, -0.1542, -0.1568, -0.1517, -0.1515, -0.1739, -0.1985, -0.1685, -0.1613, -0.1419, -0.1371, -0.1538, -0.1458, -0.1551, -0.1618, -0.1592, -0.1675, -0.1589, -0.1831, -0.1682, -0.1582, -0.1521, -0.1616, -0.1731, -0.1874, -0.2052]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2012096646994076025", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-16T09:36:38+00:00", "symbol": "SSYS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This was priced as a dying hardware company but now they're the likely frame of every humanoid robot.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish SSYS: mispriced as dying hardware co, now positioned as likely structural frame supplier for humanoid robots.", "resolved_tickers": ["SSYS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Definitely not lol. That’s HFT or institutional algorithms with $SSYS. I’ve noticed that they track my X posts nowadays\n\nAlso I do post quite a lot of new information discovery/synthesis. This was priced as a dying hardware company but now they’re the likely frame of every humanoid robot.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Wow was that pump you entering the play or was that institutional algos scraping your post?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "rioferdy838", "ret_m1d": 0.03842719582667331, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03842719582667331, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.037588619214244945, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03952586853310225, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0008385766124283656, "bench_c_m1d": -0.001098672706428938, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.011617441076092416, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.011617441076092416, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.00810412627220225, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.007977825447871845, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0035133148038901663, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0036396156282205716, "ret_p1m": -0.019660350456148667, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.019660350456148667, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.005332520888328474, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.021954815927404114, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014327829567820194, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04161516638355278, "ret_p3m": -0.23860582866332614, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.23860582866332614, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2533407797879452, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2720276370437691, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014734951124619089, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03342180838044295, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1037, 0.0098, 0.0527, 0.0715, 0.0643, 0.0304, -0.008, -0.0366, -0.0509, -0.0536, -0.118, -0.1197, -0.1546, -0.151, -0.1421, -0.1492, -0.1475, -0.1662, -0.2002, -0.2377, -0.2404, -0.2502, -0.2672, -0.2368, -0.2332, -0.2368, -0.2279, -0.2279, -0.2145, -0.2288, -0.2181, -0.1975, -0.1805, -0.1912, -0.1859, -0.1796, -0.1698, -0.1564, -0.1618, -0.1868, -0.1895, -0.1948, -0.1895, -0.2002, -0.1734, -0.1832, -0.1886, -0.1886, -0.2002, -0.2127, -0.2207, -0.2243, -0.2243, -0.1948, -0.1296, -0.0769, -0.0992, -0.0697, -0.0777, -0.0688, -0.1072, -0.0947, 0.0384, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0259, -0.0054, 0.0277, -0.0116, -0.0214, 0.0009, -0.0125, 0.0045, -0.0438, -0.0063, -0.0223, -0.0545, -0.0867, 0.0054, 0.0152, 0.0045, 0.008, -0.0214, -0.0197, -0.0197, -0.0465, -0.0366, -0.0384, -0.0661, -0.0947, -0.1099, -0.1197, -0.1162, -0.1394, -0.1358, -0.1564, -0.1242, -0.1868, -0.2172, -0.2324, -0.2592, -0.2583, -0.2681, -0.2967, -0.2842, -0.2788, -0.3029, -0.3056, -0.3208, -0.3021, -0.2815, -0.2779, -0.2931, -0.3172, -0.3369, -0.3021, -0.2922, -0.2878, -0.2878, -0.2824, -0.2824, -0.2592, -0.2556, -0.2538, -0.2368, -0.2449, -0.2386, -0.2288, -0.2145, -0.2118, -0.2252, -0.2189, -0.2422, -0.2297, -0.2306, -0.2341, -0.2431, -0.2073, -0.2038, -0.2189, -0.1993, -0.1734, -0.2672, -0.2386, -0.2368, -0.2324, -0.235, -0.2163, -0.235, -0.2645, -0.277, -0.2529, -0.2377, -0.1939, -0.1939, -0.1367, -0.1144, -0.1046, -0.0581, -0.0581, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1975370987094090009", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-07T01:21:58+00:00", "symbol": "SMCI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "undervalued, great buy based on their forward revenue projections", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish SMCI: undervalued with strong forward revenue projections if numbers are accurate.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMCI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@LiquidB_B undervalued, great buy based on their forward revenue projections (if they're not making stuff up)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Love these updates ... any thoughts on SMCI? Thanks.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LiquidB_B", "ret_m1d": -0.008171432094301379, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.008171432094301379, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011892720995026362, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014892209763936126, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003721288900724984, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006720777669634748, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06555294407765988, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06555294407765988, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05958989166486761, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04801589308733045, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005963052412792269, "bench_c_p1d": 0.017537050990329428, "ret_p1w": -0.03559104948854519, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03559104948854519, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02529390872089643, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.020994318643795196, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01029714076764876, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014596730844749994, "ret_p1m": -0.2367895585216957, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2367895585216957, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.24943304234897323, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.26972855681399843, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012643483827277535, "bench_c_p1m": 0.032938998292302735, "ret_p3m": -0.43780644169165583, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.43780644169165583, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4618211165873263, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4495599025584789, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02401467489567044, "bench_c_p3m": 0.011753460866823051, "ret_p6m": -0.5912474967564336, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5912474967564336, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5760797011657826, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5383395159547992, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.015167795590651068, "bench_c_p6m": -0.05290798080163439, "price_path": [-0.0855, -0.1059, -0.097, -0.0345, -0.0336, -0.0421, -0.0599, -0.0648, -0.0946, -0.0612, -0.0463, -0.0109, 0.0904, 0.0646, 0.1024, 0.0708, 0.0285, 0.0574, 0.0398, -0.1504, -0.1525, -0.1901, -0.1792, -0.1569, -0.1634, -0.174, -0.1761, -0.1672, -0.2148, -0.2263, -0.2317, -0.2032, -0.1997, -0.1945, -0.1872, -0.2016, -0.2457, -0.2457, -0.2595, -0.2718, -0.2609, -0.2662, -0.2729, -0.2206, -0.2027, -0.2019, -0.1829, -0.176, -0.1845, -0.1847, -0.1658, -0.1681, -0.1489, -0.1467, -0.1611, -0.1603, -0.168, -0.1582, -0.1295, -0.0487, -0.0467, -0.0565, -0.0082, 0.0, 0.0656, 0.0528, -0.0401, -0.0058, -0.0356, -0.0205, -0.0223, -0.0525, -0.0005, -0.0045, -0.0467, -0.1298, -0.1231, -0.0636, -0.0492, -0.0432, -0.0853, -0.0565, -0.0784, -0.1393, -0.2368, -0.2675, -0.278, -0.2702, -0.2951, -0.3116, -0.3628, -0.3387, -0.3808, -0.3663, -0.3875, -0.4269, -0.4155, -0.395, -0.4102, -0.4038, -0.4038, -0.3853, -0.3933, -0.4022, -0.3884, -0.3784, -0.3701, -0.3577, -0.3641, -0.3663, -0.3822, -0.4129, -0.4304, -0.4251, -0.4581, -0.4667, -0.4351, -0.4358, -0.4414, -0.4453, -0.4453, -0.4436, -0.4538, -0.4616, -0.4685, -0.4685, -0.4378, -0.454, -0.4454, -0.4551, -0.4571, -0.4523, -0.4531, -0.4807, -0.4867, -0.4658, -0.4073, -0.4073, -0.4296, -0.4146, -0.4107, -0.4244, -0.4407, -0.4334, -0.4333, -0.4531, -0.4714, -0.4605, -0.4612, -0.387, -0.4398, -0.3757, -0.3911, -0.3948, -0.4182, -0.4474, -0.4454, -0.4454, -0.4532, -0.4605, -0.416, -0.4113, -0.4423, -0.4347, -0.3899, -0.4138, -0.4118, -0.422, -0.4429, -0.4071, -0.4146, -0.4315, -0.4193, -0.4227, -0.4227, -0.4389, -0.4416, -0.4215, -0.4278, -0.4489, -0.4409, -0.6272, -0.6081, -0.5963, -0.5633, -0.5967, -0.6011, -0.6176, -0.5865, -0.5912]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1998100000103161989", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-08T18:38:57+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Medium term impact should be incredibly bullish on growth assets, especially Neocloud sector that involve debt for growth like $CRWV", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Medium-term bullish on Neocloud names CRWV, IREN, NBIS as yen carry unwind resolves and rate cuts benefit debt-fueled growth assets.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Short term unwinding from yen carry trade (Japan rate hike, fed cut), which was slightly negative. \n\nMedium term impact should be incredibly bullish on growth assets, especially Neocloud sector that involve debt for growth like $CRWV, $IREN, $NBIS.\n\nDon't see any fundamentals slowing, so great time to go long imo", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.023886888207516055, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.023886888207516055, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.020873557812089993, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.020873557812089993, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0030133303954260615, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0030133303954260615, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05125238761394657, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05125238761394657, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05211544279156377, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05211544279156377, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0008630551776172002, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0008630551776172002, "ret_p1w": -0.16106214904585237, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.16106214904585237, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.15682005147338807, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.15682005147338807, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004242097572464298, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004242097572464298, "ret_p1m": -0.09624299197542319, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09624299197542319, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11119875411231617, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11119875411231617, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01495576213689298, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01495576213689298, "ret_p3m": -0.1324211323263842, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1324211323263842, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1319723651834659, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1319723651834659, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0004487671429183049, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0004487671429183049, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3583, 0.3067, 0.2982, 0.3969, 0.377, 0.4014, 0.4076, 0.4478, 0.5449, 0.5177, 0.5468, 0.4687, 0.3954, 0.4207, 0.5869, 0.5892, 0.6002, 0.563, 0.5521, 0.4939, 0.6231, 0.6591, 0.6052, 0.6422, 0.5545, 0.6146, 0.6436, 0.5871, 0.4733, 0.4501, 0.4092, 0.4302, 0.537, 0.5777, 0.5631, 0.6226, 0.5197, 0.5504, 0.4647, 0.3422, 0.3268, 0.2399, 0.2061, 0.2246, 0.0249, -0.0094, -0.0916, -0.103, -0.1265, -0.1315, -0.1313, -0.1975, -0.1692, -0.1466, -0.1734, -0.1386, -0.1386, -0.1521, -0.1064, -0.1184, -0.0798, -0.0057, 0.0239, 0.0, 0.0513, 0.0223, 0.0132, -0.0887, -0.1611, -0.1941, -0.2515, -0.2152, -0.0376, -0.0163, -0.0693, -0.0855, -0.0855, -0.1139, -0.1313, -0.1431, -0.1696, -0.1696, -0.0802, -0.1088, -0.0962, -0.1051, -0.1061, -0.0707, 0.0428, 0.0144, 0.0413, 0.1017, 0.1738, 0.1738, 0.1041, 0.0906, 0.0644, 0.0782, 0.14, 0.2623, 0.2294, 0.1541, 0.0806, 0.0313, 0.0443, -0.0438, -0.1344, 0.043, 0.1223, 0.1029, 0.1033, 0.1097, 0.1136, 0.1136, 0.0552, 0.1068, 0.1264, 0.0349, 0.0533, 0.1514, 0.1365, 0.1321, -0.0775, -0.095, -0.1445, -0.0782, -0.1324, -0.1536, -0.1372, -0.1313, -0.0496, -0.074, -0.0595, -0.0044, -0.0478, -0.0397, -0.0647, -0.0553, -0.0496, -0.0373, 0.0155, -0.0671, -0.1325, -0.1982, -0.1017, -0.0904, -0.0464, -0.0464, -0.0615, -0.0116, 0.0308, 0.0668, 0.1827, 0.2786, 0.359, 0.3763, 0.3864, 0.3549, 0.3617, 0.3353, 0.4209, 0.3615, 0.2771, 0.2994, 0.2237, 0.3241, 0.2941, 0.38, 0.4544, 0.483, 0.6, 0.494, 0.3236, 0.33, 0.2494, 0.2907, 0.3244, 0.2442, 0.2033, 0.1574, 0.1744, 0.2474, 0.2232, 0.2232, 0.2279, 0.2091, 0.2391, 0.2701, 0.2701, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1998100000103161989", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-08T18:38:57+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "especially Neocloud sector that involve debt for growth like $CRWV, $IREN, $NBIS", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Medium-term bullish on Neocloud names CRWV, IREN, NBIS as yen carry unwind resolves and rate cuts benefit debt-fueled growth assets.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Short term unwinding from yen carry trade (Japan rate hike, fed cut), which was slightly negative. \n\nMedium term impact should be incredibly bullish on growth assets, especially Neocloud sector that involve debt for growth like $CRWV, $IREN, $NBIS.\n\nDon't see any fundamentals slowing, so great time to go long imo", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03517481792723309, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03517481792723309, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.038188148322659154, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03891453333214967, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0030133303954260615, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003739715404916577, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01078981437966342, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01078981437966342, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01165286955728062, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014529529784579887, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0008630551776172002, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003739715404916466, "ret_p1w": -0.2343547814974506, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.2343547814974506, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2301126839249863, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2625896723752329, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004242097572464298, "bench_c_p1w": 0.028234890877782304, "ret_p1m": -0.009279246952090592, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.009279246952090592, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.024235009088983572, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06756503433561067, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01495576213689298, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05828578738352008, "ret_p3m": -0.1341173960320069, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1341173960320069, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1336686288890886, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09539361753159692, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0004487671429183049, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03872377850040998, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2743, -0.2911, -0.2672, -0.1985, -0.2134, -0.1821, -0.2162, -0.1662, -0.0958, -0.0986, 0.0173, -0.0011, -0.0967, -0.0088, 0.0127, 0.016, 0.0147, 0.0889, 0.2462, 0.331, 0.2967, 0.3779, 0.2898, 0.3841, 0.5011, 0.467, 0.3343, 0.3103, 0.2779, 0.1911, 0.1185, 0.2054, 0.3574, 0.4025, 0.347, 0.3038, 0.2564, 0.311, 0.462, 0.4379, 0.6489, 0.445, 0.3461, 0.2984, 0.2382, 0.202, 0.0498, 0.0006, 0.0231, 0.0542, -0.011, -0.0619, -0.088, 0.0464, 0.0244, 0.0455, 0.0455, 0.0317, 0.0464, -0.1126, -0.0514, 0.0024, -0.0352, 0.0, 0.0108, -0.0522, -0.0518, -0.134, -0.2344, -0.2104, -0.271, -0.2274, -0.1385, -0.0928, -0.0921, -0.0941, -0.0941, -0.1303, -0.1495, -0.1735, -0.1849, -0.1849, -0.0785, 0.041, -0.0093, -0.0586, -0.0142, -0.0067, 0.0861, 0.1435, 0.1411, 0.1198, 0.2477, 0.2477, 0.1709, 0.1541, 0.1278, 0.2231, 0.1299, 0.2946, 0.3582, 0.2913, 0.1597, 0.1454, 0.1737, -0.0302, -0.1413, -0.0973, -0.0041, -0.0736, -0.0792, -0.1362, -0.0889, -0.0889, -0.1159, -0.0919, -0.0658, -0.1372, -0.0859, -0.0192, -0.0498, -0.0453, -0.1163, -0.1068, -0.1616, -0.0539, -0.1341, -0.208, -0.1618, -0.1774, -0.0941, -0.1073, -0.1027, -0.0302, -0.0729, -0.0891, -0.101, -0.109, -0.0902, -0.1126, -0.106, -0.1918, -0.2428, -0.3177, -0.2603, -0.2644, -0.2497, -0.2497, -0.2419, -0.2287, -0.2052, -0.2003, -0.1515, -0.0706, 0.0222, 0.0535, 0.0293, 0.0384, 0.0514, -0.0252, 0.0442, 0.1226, 0.0928, 0.0436, -0.041, -0.0751, -0.0179, -0.0147, 0.0678, 0.1813, 0.3159, 0.2268, 0.3207, 0.1901, 0.2205, 0.1905, 0.2603, 0.1424, 0.0889, 0.0302, 0.1375, 0.2529, 0.2264, 0.2264, 0.29, 0.464, 0.3822, 0.3712, 0.3712, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1998100000103161989", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-12-08T18:38:57+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "especially Neocloud sector that involve debt for growth like $CRWV, $IREN, $NBIS", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Medium-term bullish on Neocloud names CRWV, IREN, NBIS as yen carry unwind resolves and rate cuts benefit debt-fueled growth assets.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Short term unwinding from yen carry trade (Japan rate hike, fed cut), which was slightly negative. \n\nMedium term impact should be incredibly bullish on growth assets, especially Neocloud sector that involve debt for growth like $CRWV, $IREN, $NBIS.\n\nDon't see any fundamentals slowing, so great time to go long imo", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02282468726935205, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02282468726935205, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.025838017664778112, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.030307907764036024, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0030133303954260615, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007483220494683973, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03907104652052318, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03907104652052318, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03820799134290598, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0401892068779276, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0008630551776172002, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0011181603574044185, "ret_p1w": -0.19126883376041615, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.19126883376041615, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.18702673618795185, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.19393518058786896, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004242097572464298, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0026663468274528146, "ret_p1m": -0.0008970792947529116, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0008970792947529116, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.015852841431645892, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.013367770515331667, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01495576213689298, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012470691220578756, "ret_p3m": -0.04664607016609468, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.04664607016609468, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04619730302317637, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06869522814115059, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0004487671429183049, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02204915797505591, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0692, -0.111, -0.0989, -0.0934, -0.1086, -0.0623, -0.0619, -0.0102, 0.0625, 0.0745, 0.1286, 0.0758, 0.0735, 0.0986, 0.119, 0.1523, 0.2546, 0.2756, 0.2453, 0.1731, 0.216, 0.322, 0.2915, 0.3501, 0.2773, 0.2542, 0.2264, 0.1307, 0.0864, 0.0394, -0.017, 0.0581, 0.1687, 0.2502, 0.2143, 0.2469, 0.2377, 0.3039, 0.2007, 0.1018, 0.1662, 0.0908, 0.1091, 0.0959, 0.0188, -0.0595, -0.1166, -0.1673, -0.143, -0.0976, -0.0524, -0.1564, -0.1701, -0.084, -0.1141, -0.0562, -0.0562, -0.0544, -0.0018, -0.0387, -0.0141, 0.0246, -0.0228, 0.0, -0.0391, -0.0672, -0.0603, -0.126, -0.1913, -0.1932, -0.248, -0.2217, -0.1083, -0.0708, -0.1027, -0.0917, -0.0917, -0.127, -0.1424, -0.1511, -0.1657, -0.1657, -0.1035, -0.0748, -0.0009, -0.0411, -0.0302, -0.0239, 0.0698, 0.0508, 0.0164, 0.0354, 0.0837, 0.0837, -0.0104, -0.0146, -0.0347, -0.0581, -0.0884, -0.0245, 0.001, -0.054, -0.1509, -0.1213, -0.1035, -0.1788, -0.2637, -0.1418, -0.0743, -0.0851, -0.1168, -0.1057, -0.0231, -0.0231, -0.028, 0.0147, 0.0726, -0.024, 0.0028, 0.0224, 0.0577, 0.0454, -0.0911, -0.0929, -0.1349, -0.0254, -0.0466, -0.1096, -0.0537, -0.0389, 0.1163, 0.0768, 0.1258, 0.2942, 0.1595, 0.1817, 0.2112, 0.1723, 0.1377, 0.1453, 0.1471, 0.0562, 0.0049, -0.0804, 0.0342, 0.0161, 0.0846, 0.0846, 0.1217, 0.1701, 0.2459, 0.3588, 0.4449, 0.5405, 0.6141, 0.6622, 0.648, 0.5662, 0.5864, 0.5604, 0.5563, 0.5656, 0.4668, 0.4448, 0.3506, 0.4073, 0.3778, 0.5398, 0.7584, 0.7534, 0.9445, 0.8416, 0.7647, 0.8549, 0.7852, 1.0659, 1.2042, 1.1922, 0.992, 0.9708, 0.9119, 1.1921, 1.1406, 1.1406, 1.0738, 1.0768, 1.256, 1.3033, 1.3033, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1968427635890913694", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-17T21:31:34+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "For $RKLB just hold it for 5-8 years, should be $350B market cap like SpaceX one day", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long RKLB for 5-8 years; sees $350B market cap potential akin to SpaceX.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@vicecarloans $UPWK, $HOOD, $IREN, and would be 16 17 18 lol. \n\nFor $RKLB just hold it for 5-8 years, should be $350B market cap like SpaceX one day.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit what about $UPWK", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "vicecarloans", "ret_m1d": -0.01736694815661588, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01736694815661588, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.018610929014886146, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.021932321642522012, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.001243980858270266, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004565373485906132, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.018718833020043624, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.018718833020043624, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.023391278162373963, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.029371235142995777, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004672445142330339, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010652402122952154, "ret_p1w": 0.012687120890671588, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.012687120890671588, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0069939615341276795, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0011812168136007273, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005693159356543909, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011505904077070861, "ret_p1m": 0.3935107622380529, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3935107622380529, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.388517377131012, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.38632316797617294, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0049933851070409485, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0071875942618799815, "ret_p3m": 0.15245419586533804, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15245419586533804, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11689905283275137, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10945695651113518, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03555514303258667, "bench_c_p3m": 0.042997239354202854, "ret_p6m": 0.4220049946508553, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4220049946508553, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.40577245445725674, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3204370380132837, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.016232540193598544, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10156795663757157, "price_path": [-0.3752, -0.3182, -0.3041, -0.3272, -0.2483, -0.2641, -0.256, -0.286, -0.2579, -0.2583, -0.2583, -0.1913, -0.1943, -0.1859, -0.1868, -0.1882, -0.1013, -0.0724, -0.0081, 0.0676, 0.0688, -0.0185, -0.025, 0.0223, 0.001, -0.0135, -0.0618, -0.0892, -0.0341, -0.0449, -0.068, -0.0736, -0.0693, -0.0828, -0.0805, -0.0705, -0.0636, -0.0967, -0.1057, -0.1096, -0.0792, -0.0647, -0.1489, -0.1537, -0.1362, -0.077, -0.0179, 0.001, -0.0381, -0.0035, 0.0108, 0.0108, 0.0256, -0.0946, -0.1059, -0.0466, -0.0073, -0.0218, -0.0397, 0.0073, 0.1094, 0.124, -0.0174, 0.0, -0.0187, -0.006, 0.036, 0.1005, 0.0127, -0.0302, -0.0379, -0.0223, -0.0035, -0.0023, 0.0913, 0.1681, 0.2167, 0.2793, 0.3584, 0.3814, 0.3365, 0.3606, 0.4149, 0.4407, 0.3935, 0.3783, 0.4008, 0.3602, 0.2597, 0.3222, 0.3428, 0.3648, 0.3259, 0.376, 0.2671, 0.3099, 0.2758, 0.1766, 0.1735, 0.0318, 0.074, 0.0795, 0.0657, 0.0393, -0.0589, -0.0528, -0.0992, -0.1102, -0.0928, -0.1789, -0.1618, -0.1171, -0.114, -0.1279, -0.1279, -0.1235, -0.1604, -0.1285, -0.0699, 0.0268, 0.0203, 0.0724, 0.1113, 0.1963, 0.3213, 0.2789, 0.1525, 0.1541, 0.1223, 0.2463, 0.4667, 0.6129, 0.6052, 0.6052, 0.6052, 0.4694, 0.4584, 0.4653, 0.4509, 0.4509, 0.5805, 0.6252, 0.7893, 0.7488, 0.728, 0.7648, 0.8282, 0.8007, 0.9093, 0.8877, 1.0029, 1.0029, 0.8544, 0.8265, 0.8299, 0.849, 0.6739, 0.8095, 0.8421, 0.782, 0.6653, 0.5422, 0.6903, 0.5206, 0.3794, 0.5042, 0.5774, 0.4981, 0.448, 0.3729, 0.4027, 0.4027, 0.4536, 0.5478, 0.5928, 0.4738, 0.4603, 0.4553, 0.4601, 0.511, 0.4372, 0.4761, 0.4586, 0.4956, 0.4559, 0.4582, 0.4867, 0.4337, 0.4967, 0.422]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2001118807742624115", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-17T02:34:37+00:00", "symbol": "Coinbase", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "True long term winners will be vertically integrated infrastructure with money transmitter licenses (Coinbase)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long Coinbase as a vertically integrated crypto infrastructure winner that can actually disrupt traditional finance, unlike app-layer wrappers.", "resolved_tickers": ["COIN"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Coinbase Global trades as COIN on NASDAQ", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Financial Data & Stock Exchanges'", "bench_c_industry": "Financial Data & Stock Exchanges", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Extremely disagree with the thesis. \n\nEveryone building YC fast-go-to-market \"sick app with world-class UX\" like crypto cards are just building extra friction on top of Visa network.\n\nPeople building \"sick blockchain neobanks\" with crypto on-ramps on top of Zerohash on top of Moonpay on top of X wrapper on top are just wrappers on top of wrappers.\n\nMargins don't go down. Nothing changes in the industry. \n\nPeople are still paying 1.5% for Stablecoins Stripe via Bridge. People are still paying .8% for a Bitcoin on-ramp through IBKR via Zerohash. \n\nMerchants are still paying 2.2%-2.9% through the POS terminal, even though USDC  SOL is probably 1 cent. \n\nIf  (stablecoin infrastructure) or wanted to start building applications themselves like Apple from remittance/3pp or Neobanks, via they could easily wipe out the fancy UI apps everything on top. \n\nAnd they should. \n\nTrue long term winners will be vertically integrated infrastructure with money transmitter licenses (Coinbase), banking charters (Circle), and others to actually disrupt traditional finance. \n\nNot fancy application UIs that just add to the current mess, and fix nothing.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Just skimmed the new Delphi report on 2026 apps and it perfectly aligns with how we at Moonrock Capital see the next decade of investing in this space.\n\nAs crypto infrastructure becomes cheap, commoditized, and interchangeable, the center of gravity shifts upward: value will https://t.co/uUc8pnpTtn", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "sjdedic", "ret_m1d": 0.034481338649258175, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.034481338649258175, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02335529175394324, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03429835598105524, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011126046895314934, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00018298266820293563, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02043492953550141, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02043492953550141, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.027986262113116278, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.018787451632525043, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0075513325776148665, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016474779029763686, "ret_p1w": -0.018264493506188417, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.018264493506188417, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04957222548526263, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04196532712676748, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.031307731979074216, "bench_c_p1w": 0.023700833620579065, "ret_p1m": -0.020107308296896997, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.020107308296896997, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0541935349774858, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.018826359187349206, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.034086226680588805, "bench_c_p1m": -0.001280949109547791, "ret_p3m": -0.16736964948839095, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.16736964948839095, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.16678425573452316, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07295819936553616, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0005853937538677911, "bench_c_p3m": -0.09441145012285479, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.4024, 0.3594, 0.3107, 0.3177, 0.2559, 0.2801, 0.3677, 0.3821, 0.4176, 0.5237, 0.5562, 0.581, 0.5389, 0.5859, 0.5848, 0.462, 0.4619, 0.3987, 0.3772, 0.3524, 0.3761, 0.4078, 0.3867, 0.3118, 0.3218, 0.4516, 0.4801, 0.4547, 0.4276, 0.3453, 0.4078, 0.3531, 0.2585, 0.3076, 0.209, 0.266, 0.302, 0.245, 0.2449, 0.1595, 0.163, 0.0809, 0.0721, 0.0536, -0.0247, -0.0155, 0.0482, 0.0407, 0.0851, 0.0851, 0.1172, 0.0641, 0.0781, 0.134, 0.1223, 0.1046, 0.1229, 0.1358, 0.1265, 0.1017, 0.0953, 0.0255, 0.0345, 0.0, -0.0204, 0.0038, 0.0152, -0.0077, -0.0183, -0.0183, -0.0299, -0.0427, -0.0516, -0.0739, -0.0739, -0.0314, 0.0439, 0.0261, 0.0071, 0.0057, -0.014, -0.005, 0.0348, 0.0478, -0.0201, -0.0124, -0.0124, -0.0674, -0.0707, -0.0862, -0.1116, -0.1258, -0.1366, -0.1423, -0.1843, -0.2025, -0.2307, -0.2643, -0.3095, -0.4016, -0.3238, -0.3151, -0.3345, -0.3726, -0.4222, -0.3271, -0.3271, -0.3201, -0.3282, -0.3204, -0.2983, -0.3438, -0.3365, -0.2467, -0.2585, -0.2799, -0.2414, -0.2532, -0.1444, -0.1576, -0.1924, -0.1818, -0.1952, -0.1866, -0.2087, -0.1993, -0.1674, -0.1391, -0.1716, -0.169, -0.1912, -0.1784, -0.2586, -0.2584, -0.29, -0.3401, -0.3415, -0.2849, -0.2916, -0.2978, -0.2978, -0.2842, -0.2826, -0.283, -0.3078, -0.3126, -0.2853, -0.2448, -0.1978, -0.1817, -0.155, -0.1333, -0.1976, -0.1554, -0.1894, -0.1819, -0.1946, -0.2051, -0.2558, -0.231, -0.2168, -0.1687, -0.1902, -0.1893, -0.2098, -0.1762, -0.113, -0.1497, -0.1736, -0.1318, -0.1997, -0.2242, -0.2078, -0.2166, -0.2073, -0.2424, -0.2424, -0.2628, -0.2883, -0.2537, -0.2259, -0.2259, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1975994220235444451", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-08T18:38:28+00:00", "symbol": "HUT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "based on those figures they both would look promising", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Both HUT and SLNH look promising based on their pipeline figures; author in 5 neoclouds expecting them to go up.", "resolved_tickers": ["HUT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@NoahIAvest I’m in like 5 neoclouds right now. I’m sure they’ll all go up together just need to pick the ones you have highest conviction on.\n\nI haven’t done enough research on $HUT or $SLNH to give an option but based on those figures they both would look promising.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @aleabitoreddit Thoughts on Cryptominers and early development \"neoclouds\" like $HUT and $SLNH with 10.6 GW and 2.8 GW pipelines. I mean a good chance they get bought by the larger players down the line but still more of an opportunity to be early.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "NoahIAvest", "ret_m1d": -0.06434975403754928, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06434975403754928, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05842204884152835, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05842204884152835, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005927705196020927, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005927705196020927, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03946193265570841, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03946193265570841, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04235894103494586, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04235894103494586, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0028970083792374535, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0028970083792374535, "ret_p1w": 0.20874443255178798, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.20874443255178798, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.22054047652306408, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.22054047652306408, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011796043971276093, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011796043971276093, "ret_p1m": -0.027578466016092595, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.027578466016092595, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.023418712892858018, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.023418712892858018, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0041597531232345775, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0041597531232345775, "ret_p3m": 0.3060538563426016, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3060538563426016, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2813296115432049, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2813296115432049, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024724244799396722, "bench_c_p3m": 0.024724244799396722, "ret_p6m": 0.0786996021595634, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0786996021595634, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0988236332945609, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0988236332945609, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0201240311349975, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0201240311349975, "price_path": [-0.5105, -0.504, -0.5166, -0.5013, -0.504, -0.5152, -0.5215, -0.5202, -0.5146, -0.526, -0.543, -0.5442, -0.5583, -0.5556, -0.524, -0.5565, -0.5249, -0.5455, -0.5361, -0.5511, -0.5638, -0.5388, -0.5161, -0.4987, -0.4664, -0.4771, -0.4525, -0.5072, -0.4998, -0.5209, -0.476, -0.4742, -0.4191, -0.4092, -0.4056, -0.4007, -0.4007, -0.3857, -0.3796, -0.4258, -0.4309, -0.4287, -0.343, -0.3061, -0.2834, -0.2726, -0.2333, -0.2146, -0.1527, -0.1619, -0.1874, -0.1509, -0.2058, -0.1511, -0.2179, -0.2565, -0.2187, -0.2195, -0.1809, -0.1247, -0.1009, -0.0713, -0.0643, 0.0, 0.0395, -0.0231, 0.1011, 0.1198, 0.2087, 0.0937, 0.0865, 0.1193, 0.052, -0.1291, -0.0888, 0.0686, 0.1166, 0.1262, 0.1641, 0.089, 0.1359, 0.2332, 0.0787, 0.0538, -0.0276, -0.0002, 0.0576, -0.0155, -0.0643, -0.1924, -0.1717, -0.1547, -0.133, -0.1583, -0.243, -0.23, -0.1197, -0.104, -0.05, -0.05, 0.009, -0.0231, -0.1552, -0.1027, -0.0401, -0.0487, -0.0374, 0.007, 0.0323, 0.0482, -0.0738, -0.2054, -0.1738, -0.0996, -0.1348, -0.0108, 0.1298, 0.1765, 0.1839, 0.1839, 0.113, 0.0948, 0.0377, 0.03, 0.03, 0.1496, 0.3061, 0.3083, 0.2978, 0.2993, 0.3462, 0.3697, 0.3785, 0.3087, 0.2843, 0.3374, 0.3374, 0.307, 0.3215, 0.2359, 0.3054, 0.2643, 0.3865, 0.4484, 0.3796, 0.2518, 0.2596, 0.3233, 0.2146, -0.0027, 0.1897, 0.2756, 0.2309, 0.1933, 0.1428, 0.2078, 0.2078, 0.187, 0.2021, 0.23, 0.2067, 0.2114, 0.3271, 0.2399, 0.2291, 0.1935, 0.1821, 0.0673, 0.2155, 0.1516, 0.0554, 0.0928, 0.1027, 0.1462, 0.0883, 0.0834, 0.1478, 0.1612, 0.1067, 0.1242, 0.0641, 0.187, 0.1939, 0.2471, 0.1341, 0.0629, -0.0422, 0.0518, 0.0619, 0.0787]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1975994220235444451", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-08T18:38:28+00:00", "symbol": "SLNH", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "based on those figures they both would look promising", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Both HUT and SLNH look promising based on their pipeline figures; author in 5 neoclouds expecting them to go up.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLNH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@NoahIAvest I’m in like 5 neoclouds right now. I’m sure they’ll all go up together just need to pick the ones you have highest conviction on.\n\nI haven’t done enough research on $HUT or $SLNH to give an option but based on those figures they both would look promising.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @aleabitoreddit Thoughts on Cryptominers and early development \"neoclouds\" like $HUT and $SLNH with 10.6 GW and 2.8 GW pipelines. I mean a good chance they get bought by the larger players down the line but still more of an opportunity to be early.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "NoahIAvest", "ret_m1d": -0.2826855031390376, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.2826855031390376, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.2767577979430167, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.2767577979430167, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005927705196020927, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005927705196020927, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09187279062635845, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09187279062635845, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.088975782247121, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.088975782247121, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0028970083792374535, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0028970083792374535, "ret_p1w": 0.5159010874583398, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.5159010874583398, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.5276971314296159, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.5276971314296159, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011796043971276093, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011796043971276093, "ret_p1m": 0.07420496247645292, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07420496247645292, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0783647155996875, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0783647155996875, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0041597531232345775, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0041597531232345775, "ret_p3m": -0.4098939921886321, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4098939921886321, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4346182369880288, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4346182369880288, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024724244799396722, "bench_c_p3m": 0.024724244799396722, "ret_p6m": -0.7491166085925047, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.7491166085925047, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.7289925774575072, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.7289925774575072, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0201240311349975, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0201240311349975, "price_path": [-0.4664, -0.6078, -0.7314, -0.7739, -0.788, -0.7774, -0.7845, -0.7739, -0.7986, -0.7986, -0.8092, -0.8233, -0.8304, -0.8375, -0.8375, -0.8481, -0.8375, -0.8339, -0.8375, -0.8233, -0.8375, -0.841, -0.8163, -0.8057, -0.7986, -0.8163, -0.8163, -0.841, -0.8481, -0.841, -0.8304, -0.8304, -0.8233, -0.8304, -0.8339, -0.8339, -0.8339, -0.8269, -0.8233, -0.8375, -0.8304, -0.8163, -0.8127, -0.7915, -0.7527, -0.7456, -0.6714, -0.6537, -0.6502, -0.6961, -0.6184, -0.258, -0.1625, 0.2367, 0.0389, -0.0283, -0.1095, -0.1696, -0.1025, -0.1272, -0.2155, -0.364, -0.2827, 0.0, -0.0919, -0.1484, -0.2014, -0.0141, 0.5159, 0.4806, 0.5618, 0.3958, 0.2297, 0.2049, 0.265, 0.0777, 0.0247, 0.0283, 0.1378, 0.0707, 0.2332, 0.2332, 0.0707, 0.2155, 0.0742, -0.0777, -0.0954, -0.1625, -0.2544, -0.3463, -0.4099, -0.3675, -0.3145, -0.3569, -0.4346, -0.4664, -0.4099, -0.4452, -0.4558, -0.4558, -0.3958, -0.424, -0.4417, -0.3781, -0.3251, -0.4134, -0.4346, -0.3428, -0.3039, -0.2544, -0.3251, -0.4947, -0.4947, -0.5477, -0.5512, -0.4735, -0.4558, -0.4558, -0.4558, -0.4558, -0.5018, -0.5336, -0.5724, -0.5866, -0.5866, -0.5018, -0.4099, -0.371, -0.3852, -0.3922, -0.4134, -0.4205, -0.3958, -0.3993, -0.4346, -0.4099, -0.4099, -0.4452, -0.4876, -0.53, -0.53, -0.5477, -0.523, -0.5512, -0.5901, -0.6254, -0.6219, -0.6007, -0.6502, -0.7314, -0.6396, -0.629, -0.6537, -0.6714, -0.6784, -0.689, -0.689, -0.6996, -0.6961, -0.6749, -0.682, -0.689, -0.6749, -0.6466, -0.6678, -0.6926, -0.6678, -0.6926, -0.6643, -0.6961, -0.7279, -0.735, -0.7208, -0.7032, -0.7244, -0.7244, -0.7208, -0.7173, -0.735, -0.735, -0.7491, -0.7385, -0.7491, -0.7208, -0.7491, -0.7809, -0.7845, -0.7491, -0.7633, -0.7491]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2009702902420652084", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-09T19:04:45+00:00", "symbol": "VLN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$VLN looks like an algorithmic short trade about to go terribly wrong", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long VLN: ticker-collision error keeps algo pricing wrong; napkin math implies $7.30 vs $2.28 on $130M 5x EV/Sales + $93.5M net cash.", "resolved_tickers": ["VLN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$VLN looks like an algorithmic short trade about to go terribly wrong.\n\nNot all algorithms read X, and are still modeling the company off -$82 million cash off the balance sheet from ticker collision typos.\n\nEven napkin math would be ~$7.30 (from $2.28 currently) share price.\n\nFrom forward 2027, $130M 5x EV/Sales + $93.5M net cash. On top of that VLN has $NVDA like margins for their robotics and non-automotive vertical. \n\nThis is a lightweight, high-margin fabless semi in premium verticles with a $93m+ cash pile and $11m+ in inventory. \n\nYet algorithms are pricing in <1Y runway with massive cash burns. \n\nThis is starting to look like one of the few instances where ticker collision goes terribly wrong for algorithms and amazingly right for retail who spotted this early on X.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I've initiated a position in $VLN ($155M MC).\n\nThis one is wild.\n\nValens is a AI semi for self-driving cars and robotics. \n\nI've found that markets messed up on VLS from a ticker collision data error. \n\nAnd missed new CES 2026 info this week. \n\nVLN has:  \n\n1. $93.5M in Cash, 0 https://t.co/tqHBH77c2O", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.37096776984608737, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.37096776984608737, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.36439787640680144, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.3446587667058081, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006569893439285934, "bench_c_m1d": -0.026309003140279286, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06854841733326134, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06854841733326134, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07011887114503312, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07224813070073988, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0015704538117717881, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003699713367478541, "ret_p1w": -0.19758064748717397, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.19758064748717397, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.19410836617330818, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2262791043822514, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.003472281313865788, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02869845689507744, "ret_p1m": -0.3870967865982611, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3870967865982611, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.38692395731858265, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.4318786390753073, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00017282927967843253, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04478185247704625, "ret_p3m": -0.471774220683696, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.471774220683696, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.44841378636724327, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5583576750317217, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.02336043431645274, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08658345434802572, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2661, -0.2581, -0.2863, -0.3105, -0.2742, -0.2863, -0.3024, -0.2903, -0.2823, -0.2944, -0.2903, -0.3105, -0.3145, -0.2621, -0.3065, -0.3589, -0.3306, -0.371, -0.3629, -0.3548, -0.2742, -0.3145, -0.3065, -0.2984, -0.371, -0.3871, -0.4153, -0.4274, -0.3952, -0.3831, -0.379, -0.3669, -0.3669, -0.3548, -0.3669, -0.3629, -0.3266, -0.3226, -0.3226, -0.3145, -0.3145, -0.3226, -0.3427, -0.3589, -0.379, -0.3831, -0.4032, -0.4032, -0.3992, -0.4113, -0.4355, -0.4435, -0.4435, -0.4194, -0.4315, -0.4435, -0.4274, -0.4274, -0.371, -0.3669, -0.3589, -0.375, -0.371, 0.0, -0.0685, -0.0565, -0.1573, -0.1573, -0.1976, -0.1976, -0.2177, -0.2097, -0.1532, -0.2097, -0.2581, -0.2581, -0.2863, -0.2903, -0.3145, -0.3266, -0.3548, -0.379, -0.4234, -0.379, -0.3871, -0.375, -0.379, -0.3952, -0.3871, -0.3871, -0.4113, -0.3992, -0.3992, -0.3911, -0.4032, -0.3831, -0.379, -0.3548, -0.4032, -0.4032, -0.4194, -0.4194, -0.4355, -0.4556, -0.4556, -0.4435, -0.4234, -0.4556, -0.4637, -0.4637, -0.4597, -0.496, -0.4839, -0.5081, -0.4919, -0.496, -0.4919, -0.5081, -0.5242, -0.5524, -0.5444, -0.5282, -0.5202, -0.5202, -0.5202, -0.5242, -0.4718, -0.4597, -0.4637, -0.4556, -0.4435, -0.4073, -0.375, -0.3871, -0.4073, -0.3952, -0.3508, -0.3347, -0.2782, -0.3508, -0.3911, -0.3911, -0.125, -0.0565, -0.0927, -0.0242, 0.0081, -0.0282, 0.125, 0.1492, 0.0887, 0.1895, 0.3589, 0.2298, 0.1371, 0.0726, 0.1694, 0.2339, 0.2984, 0.2984, 0.3145, 0.2702, 0.4113, 0.4234, 0.4234, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1973106368988193095", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-30T19:23:11+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "just because META and other hyperscalers are looking for compute now this is insanely bullish for $IREN $NBIS", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Hyperscaler compute demand is insanely bullish for IREN and NBIS as neocloud beneficiaries.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I had $CRWV yesterday $122.5, and sold it $138.1 today.  \n\nJust got lucky with timing. I didn't have enough time to do a deep dive into the META contract yet, but just because META and other hyperscalers are looking for compute now this is insanely bullish for $IREN $NBIS. \n\nI did sell but I'll probably spend an hour or two to look into the contract + valuation after I eat some salad. \n\nPersonally I've always liked the other neoclouds more than crwv just cause of debt interest, but maybe the meta contracts would make me reconsider this as a long, ill need to look into it more", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Does the META 14B contract for $CRWV change your outlook for them? At what level would you consider taking a position?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": -0.02130833141907551, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02130833141907551, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017555600696578133, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.026134786389221287, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003752730722497377, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004826454970145777, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0031962822267948, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0031962822267948, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00021119505784183978, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012106649644634593, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0034074772846366397, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008910367417839793, "ret_p1w": 0.31429788843136364, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.31429788843136364, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.3098846888957927, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.31615417331170226, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004413199535570955, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0018562848803386212, "ret_p1m": 0.2874493453238216, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2874493453238216, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.25561102602529706, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3204918447408086, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03183831929852454, "bench_c_p1m": -0.033042499416987, "ret_p3m": -0.14127426006822397, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14127426006822397, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18055759612126132, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1773684264024631, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.039283336053037354, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03609416633423912, "ret_p6m": -0.11719582280491525, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.11719582280491525, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1087595499830134, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.041030216394593366, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.008436272821901847, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07616560641032188, "price_path": [-0.6416, -0.6416, -0.6388, -0.6401, -0.6386, -0.6371, -0.6542, -0.6318, -0.6403, -0.6312, -0.6154, -0.6177, -0.6133, -0.6039, -0.5954, -0.6135, -0.6224, -0.6467, -0.6635, -0.6561, -0.6567, -0.6719, -0.6488, -0.6495, -0.6096, -0.6043, -0.6069, -0.6171, -0.6201, -0.6222, -0.5934, -0.5804, -0.5588, -0.6009, -0.5789, -0.5826, -0.5434, -0.5074, -0.5101, -0.5237, -0.5091, -0.4358, -0.4358, -0.3797, -0.3989, -0.4432, -0.4428, -0.4419, -0.3567, -0.2834, -0.3, -0.2764, -0.2086, -0.2233, -0.1924, -0.2261, -0.1766, -0.1072, -0.11, 0.0045, -0.0136, -0.108, -0.0213, 0.0, 0.0032, 0.0019, 0.0752, 0.2306, 0.3143, 0.2804, 0.3605, 0.2736, 0.3667, 0.4822, 0.4485, 0.3175, 0.2938, 0.2619, 0.1761, 0.1044, 0.1903, 0.3403, 0.3848, 0.3301, 0.2874, 0.2406, 0.2945, 0.4436, 0.4198, 0.6282, 0.4268, 0.3292, 0.2821, 0.2227, 0.1869, 0.0367, -0.0119, 0.0102, 0.0409, -0.0234, -0.0737, -0.0995, 0.0332, 0.0115, 0.0324, 0.0324, 0.0188, 0.0332, -0.1238, -0.0633, -0.0102, -0.0473, -0.0126, -0.0019, -0.0641, -0.0637, -0.1449, -0.244, -0.2203, -0.2802, -0.2372, -0.1494, -0.1042, -0.1036, -0.1055, -0.1055, -0.1413, -0.1602, -0.1839, -0.1952, -0.1952, -0.0901, 0.0279, -0.0217, -0.0704, -0.0266, -0.0192, 0.0724, 0.1291, 0.1268, 0.1057, 0.232, 0.232, 0.1562, 0.1396, 0.1136, 0.2078, 0.1157, 0.2783, 0.3411, 0.2751, 0.1451, 0.131, 0.159, -0.0424, -0.1521, -0.1087, -0.0166, -0.0852, -0.0908, -0.147, -0.1004, -0.1004, -0.127, -0.1033, -0.0776, -0.1481, -0.0974, -0.0315, -0.0618, -0.0573, -0.1274, -0.118, -0.1722, -0.0658, -0.145, -0.218, -0.1724, -0.1877, -0.1055, -0.1185, -0.114, -0.0424, -0.0846, -0.1006, -0.1123, -0.1202, -0.1016, -0.1238, -0.1172]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1973106368988193095", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-30T19:23:11+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "just because META and other hyperscalers are looking for compute now this is insanely bullish for $IREN $NBIS", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Hyperscaler compute demand is insanely bullish for IREN and NBIS as neocloud beneficiaries.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I had $CRWV yesterday $122.5, and sold it $138.1 today.  \n\nJust got lucky with timing. I didn't have enough time to do a deep dive into the META contract yet, but just because META and other hyperscalers are looking for compute now this is insanely bullish for $IREN $NBIS. \n\nI did sell but I'll probably spend an hour or two to look into the contract + valuation after I eat some salad. \n\nPersonally I've always liked the other neoclouds more than crwv just cause of debt interest, but maybe the meta contracts would make me reconsider this as a long, ill need to look into it more", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Does the META 14B contract for $CRWV change your outlook for them? At what level would you consider taking a position?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": -0.018259512636138342, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.018259512636138342, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014506781913640965, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01978023176120358, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003752730722497377, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0015207191250652397, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02974974674581876, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02974974674581876, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.026342269461182122, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04377360146618792, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0034074772846366397, "bench_c_p1d": -0.014023854720369155, "ret_p1w": 0.04836555150561783, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04836555150561783, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04395235197004688, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06788067932989972, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004413199535570955, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019515127824281886, "ret_p1m": 0.11427809935582678, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11427809935582678, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08243978005730224, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.13185008247203667, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03183831929852454, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01757198311620989, "ret_p3m": -0.2198272115714005, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2198272115714005, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.25911054762443786, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2196744455628039, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.039283336053037354, "bench_c_p3m": -0.00015276600859659428, "ret_p6m": 0.025118017094003076, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.025118017094003076, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.03355428991590492, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.07760134694928789, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.008436272821901847, "bench_c_p6m": -0.05248332985528481, "price_path": [-0.5524, -0.5524, -0.5739, -0.5805, -0.5898, -0.5864, -0.6054, -0.5373, -0.5232, -0.5252, -0.5218, -0.5298, -0.5335, -0.5456, -0.5379, -0.5354, -0.5424, -0.5302, -0.5511, -0.5432, -0.5152, -0.5368, -0.5175, -0.5086, -0.5093, -0.4183, -0.3874, -0.3744, -0.329, -0.3709, -0.3902, -0.3621, -0.3539, -0.4015, -0.399, -0.4105, -0.3856, -0.3763, -0.3722, -0.3756, -0.3583, -0.3915, -0.3915, -0.4146, -0.4152, -0.4218, -0.4169, -0.4294, -0.1474, -0.1682, -0.2056, -0.1947, -0.1898, -0.2034, -0.162, -0.1617, -0.1154, -0.0505, -0.0398, 0.0086, -0.0386, -0.0407, -0.0183, 0.0, 0.0297, 0.1211, 0.1399, 0.1129, 0.0484, 0.0867, 0.1814, 0.1542, 0.2066, 0.1414, 0.1208, 0.0959, 0.0104, -0.0291, -0.0712, -0.1216, -0.0544, 0.0444, 0.1172, 0.0852, 0.1143, 0.1061, 0.1652, 0.073, -0.0154, 0.0421, -0.0252, -0.0088, -0.0207, -0.0895, -0.1595, -0.2106, -0.2559, -0.2342, -0.1936, -0.1532, -0.2461, -0.2584, -0.1814, -0.2083, -0.1566, -0.1566, -0.155, -0.108, -0.1409, -0.1189, -0.0844, -0.1267, -0.1064, -0.1413, -0.1664, -0.1602, -0.2189, -0.2773, -0.279, -0.328, -0.3044, -0.2032, -0.1696, -0.1981, -0.1883, -0.1883, -0.2198, -0.2336, -0.2414, -0.2544, -0.2544, -0.1988, -0.1732, -0.1072, -0.143, -0.1333, -0.1277, -0.044, -0.0609, -0.0917, -0.0747, -0.0315, -0.0315, -0.1156, -0.1194, -0.1373, -0.1583, -0.1854, -0.1283, -0.1055, -0.1546, -0.2412, -0.2148, -0.1988, -0.2661, -0.342, -0.2331, -0.1727, -0.1824, -0.2107, -0.2008, -0.127, -0.127, -0.1314, -0.0933, -0.0415, -0.1278, -0.1039, -0.0863, -0.0548, -0.0658, -0.1878, -0.1894, -0.2269, -0.1291, -0.148, -0.2043, -0.1544, -0.1411, -0.0024, -0.0377, 0.0061, 0.1566, 0.0362, 0.056, 0.0824, 0.0477, 0.0167, 0.0235, 0.0251]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1990688297128247469", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-18T07:47:29+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the lingering execution risk that led me to DG $IREN", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Downgraded IREN due to execution risk in full-stack HPC AI cloud pivot vs CRWV and ORCL incumbents.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I don't use full-stack and vertically integrated interchangeably, my wording is very precise when I talk about $ORCL.  \n\n$NBIS does mixed to expand margins. \n\nThe main issue with $IREN is that they're doing full-stack where software orchestration is an incredible and misunderstood moat and it increases execution risk by magnitudes. \n\nIf you get it right you have the highest margins/revenue in the industry. But $CRWV spent years and billions in acquisitions to get it right and the CEO said on call that software was their moat. \n\nIt's hard to convince the market that $IREN, which is doing a brand new pivot into HPC AI cloud, will have better full-stack that $CRWV spent years building and that $ORCL a $500B+ company failed ot do so far. This is the lingering execution risk that led me to DG $IREN.\n\nBut of course if they get it spot-on (which is difficult), then it has incredibly high return potential.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit ORCL is not full stack. They’re leasing DC’s galore.\n\nAnd didn’t CRWV’s result highlight the same problems NBIS might face? Relying on third parties for timely DC delivery might be problematic?\n\nThus IREN as the only full stack IaaS provider in that list is the only one that", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PerssoJP", "ret_m1d": -0.02947796666711955, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02947796666711955, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03794663553089628, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.031035400611000186, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00846866886377673, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0015574339438806373, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.061821836998956825, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.061821836998956825, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06568503714179375, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06552056472380519, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00386320014283692, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0036987277248483608, "ret_p1w": -0.028249688772232773, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.028249688772232773, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.050883393828809576, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.051025690252892275, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022633705056576803, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022776001480659502, "ret_p1m": -0.3084953974524225, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3084953974524225, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3256448517706365, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.37195665488802176, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01714945431821402, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06346125743559927, "ret_p3m": -0.13572154473925513, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.13572154473925513, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.17160281896388108, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.14468639607745504, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03588127422462595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.008964851338199908, "ret_p6m": 0.12937563750738534, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.12937563750738534, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0016035209449167809, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.12818349983361021, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13097915845230212, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0011921376737751288, "price_path": [-0.599, -0.5613, -0.5267, -0.5294, -0.5424, -0.5284, -0.4579, -0.4579, -0.4041, -0.4225, -0.4651, -0.4647, -0.4639, -0.382, -0.3116, -0.3275, -0.3048, -0.2397, -0.2538, -0.2242, -0.2565, -0.209, -0.1423, -0.1449, -0.035, -0.0524, -0.1431, -0.0598, -0.0393, -0.0362, -0.0375, 0.033, 0.1822, 0.2626, 0.2301, 0.3071, 0.2235, 0.313, 0.424, 0.3916, 0.2657, 0.243, 0.2123, 0.1299, 0.061, 0.1435, 0.2876, 0.3304, 0.2778, 0.2368, 0.1918, 0.2436, 0.3869, 0.364, 0.5642, 0.3707, 0.277, 0.2317, 0.1746, 0.1402, -0.0041, -0.0508, -0.0295, 0.0, -0.0618, -0.1101, -0.1349, -0.0074, -0.0282, -0.0082, -0.0082, -0.0213, -0.0074, -0.1582, -0.1001, -0.0491, -0.0847, -0.0514, -0.0411, -0.1009, -0.1005, -0.1785, -0.2737, -0.251, -0.3085, -0.2671, -0.1828, -0.1394, -0.1388, -0.1406, -0.1406, -0.175, -0.1932, -0.216, -0.2268, -0.2268, -0.1259, -0.0125, -0.0602, -0.107, -0.0649, -0.0577, 0.0303, 0.0847, 0.0825, 0.0622, 0.1836, 0.1836, 0.1107, 0.0948, 0.0698, 0.1603, 0.0719, 0.228, 0.2884, 0.225, 0.1001, 0.0866, 0.1134, -0.08, -0.1855, -0.1437, -0.0553, -0.1212, -0.1265, -0.1806, -0.1357, -0.1357, -0.1613, -0.1386, -0.1138, -0.1816, -0.1329, -0.0696, -0.0987, -0.0944, -0.1617, -0.1527, -0.2047, -0.1026, -0.1786, -0.2487, -0.2049, -0.2197, -0.1406, -0.1531, -0.1488, -0.08, -0.1206, -0.1359, -0.1472, -0.1548, -0.1369, -0.1582, -0.1519, -0.2334, -0.2817, -0.3527, -0.2983, -0.3021, -0.2882, -0.2882, -0.2809, -0.2684, -0.2461, -0.2414, -0.1951, -0.1183, -0.0303, -0.0006, -0.0235, -0.0149, -0.0027, -0.0753, -0.0094, 0.0649, 0.0366, -0.01, -0.0903, -0.1226, -0.0684, -0.0653, 0.0129, 0.1206, 0.2483, 0.1638, 0.2528, 0.129, 0.1578, 0.1294]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1967226669296672956", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-14T13:59:21+00:00", "symbol": "LTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LTC has not and launch is Oct 2nd. It's profitable to buy dips during leverage liquidations", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long LTC into Oct 2nd ETF launch; hasn't yet front-run like SOL, dip is a buy opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["LTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you see this without a wide market drop:\n\n1. Traders with 10-50x leverage got liquidated. \n\n2. LTC ETF will get denied.\n\nIt's prob #1.\n\n$SOL already got frontran (up 20%+ in 7D). $LTC has not and launch is Oct 2nd. \n\nIt's profitable to buy dips during leverage liquidations https://t.co/95GmmYW9LR", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.038445793729443345, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.038445793729443345, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04374155178644723, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005295758057003885, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.01102906490955502, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01102906490955502, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012405857694836708, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0013767927852816886, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.06997325159572798, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06997325159572798, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08174318610330722, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011769934507579238, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.1442659034521474, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1442659034521474, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14904113828132615, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.004775234829178743, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.2709637961478033, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2709637961478033, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.31661402782208414, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04565023167428084, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.5267254048419365, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5267254048419365, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5572197398560506, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030494335014114027, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2524, -0.2518, -0.2714, -0.2519, -0.2547, -0.2559, -0.2592, -0.2544, -0.2443, -0.2684, -0.2327, -0.2177, -0.2365, -0.2434, -0.2293, -0.2029, -0.1668, -0.1717, -0.1601, -0.1534, -0.1431, -0.1069, -0.1064, 0.0182, 0.0522, -0.014, -0.0129, 0.0003, -0.0456, -0.0461, -0.0285, -0.0664, -0.0627, 0.0653, 0.057, 0.0485, 0.0786, 0.0887, 0.0572, 0.1466, 0.1511, 0.0661, 0.0463, 0.0345, -0.0114, 0.0197, 0.0076, 0.0792, -0.0381, -0.0025, -0.0144, -0.0002, -0.034, -0.046, -0.0185, -0.0073, -0.0236, -0.0147, -0.0094, -0.0161, 0.0333, 0.0183, 0.0384, 0.0, 0.011, 0.0286, 0.0394, 0.0031, -0.07, -0.067, -0.0718, -0.1021, -0.0803, -0.061, -0.0605, 0.0118, 0.0515, 0.0593, 0.04, 0.0289, 0.0427, 0.1068, -0.1508, -0.1249, -0.1443, -0.1615, -0.1933, -0.208, -0.1728, -0.1854, -0.1921, -0.1735, -0.1526, -0.1266, -0.1499, -0.1338, -0.1793, -0.1607, -0.2319, -0.2487, -0.2129, -0.2354, -0.1054, -0.0842, -0.1241, -0.1427, -0.1493, -0.143, -0.1981, -0.1593, -0.1838, -0.233, -0.274, -0.2488, -0.2505, -0.2365, -0.2386, -0.259, -0.3181, -0.2722, -0.2442, -0.2655, -0.2926, -0.2626, -0.2433, -0.2573, -0.271, -0.28, -0.3181, -0.3052, -0.3327, -0.3471, -0.3188, -0.3233, -0.3239, -0.3343, -0.3349, -0.3247, -0.312, -0.3078, -0.3252, -0.2983, -0.2809, -0.2655, -0.2622, -0.2826, -0.2859, -0.2849, -0.3316, -0.3134, -0.3255, -0.3661, -0.3385, -0.3784, -0.4106, -0.3987, -0.4013, -0.402, -0.3871, -0.3851, -0.3902, -0.419, -0.4257, -0.4727, -0.4791, -0.4833, -0.5545, -0.5161, -0.5219, -0.5313, -0.5409, -0.5333, -0.5159, -0.5162, -0.5263, -0.5316, -0.5372, -0.5148, -0.5495, -0.5503, -0.5019, -0.5112, -0.5207, -0.5207, -0.5186, -0.5009, -0.5125, -0.5271, -0.5279, -0.5267]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1979213219794493616", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-17T15:49:38+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS leaps should print", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS via LEAPs; expects a rally similar to HOOD's move from low to $100+.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@soulbiri1 $NBIS leaps should print, reminds me of the time $HOOD went from $40 to $29 then went on a rally to $100+. \n\nI trade on my own conviction!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Started buying some LEAPs at your recommended strike and expiry. Will watch and buy more if the market is flat/down by EOD. Really appreciate the call out on your purchase my lord!! https://t.co/sRP649LPDS", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": 0.08462621886031485, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08462621886031485, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0902705730832929, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.09132538239345689, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005644354222978043, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0066991635331420385, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.039139653965536425, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.039139653965536425, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04954012936515806, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05044987019660496, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010400475399621634, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011310216231068537, "ret_p1w": 0.033674185583672855, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.033674185583672855, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01431811481476264, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.028367095940674547, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.019356070768910216, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005307089642998308, "ret_p1m": -0.24206627726983898, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.24206627726983898, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.24399278397695, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.20935347611561617, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.001926506707111031, "bench_c_p1m": -0.032712801154222815, "ret_p3m": -0.10102255675101868, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.10102255675101868, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1431813825021272, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11909807305190456, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04215882575110852, "bench_c_p3m": 0.018075516300885885, "ret_p6m": 0.3624823186902406, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3624823186902406, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.32392576113931737, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3570942618932518, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.03855655755092324, "bench_c_p6m": 0.005388056796988838, "price_path": [-0.5503, -0.5427, -0.5402, -0.5472, -0.535, -0.5557, -0.5479, -0.5202, -0.5416, -0.5225, -0.5137, -0.5144, -0.4243, -0.3937, -0.3808, -0.3359, -0.3774, -0.3965, -0.3687, -0.3605, -0.4077, -0.4052, -0.4166, -0.3919, -0.3828, -0.3787, -0.3821, -0.365, -0.3977, -0.3977, -0.4207, -0.4213, -0.4278, -0.4229, -0.4353, -0.1562, -0.1767, -0.2138, -0.203, -0.1982, -0.2117, -0.1707, -0.1703, -0.1246, -0.0603, -0.0497, -0.0019, -0.0485, -0.0506, -0.0284, -0.0103, 0.0191, 0.1096, 0.1282, 0.1014, 0.0376, 0.0755, 0.1693, 0.1423, 0.1941, 0.1297, 0.1092, 0.0846, 0.0, -0.0391, -0.0807, -0.1306, -0.0642, 0.0337, 0.1057, 0.074, 0.1028, 0.0947, 0.1532, 0.062, -0.0256, 0.0314, -0.0353, -0.019, -0.0308, -0.0989, -0.1682, -0.2187, -0.2636, -0.2421, -0.2019, -0.1619, -0.2539, -0.266, -0.1899, -0.2165, -0.1653, -0.1653, -0.1637, -0.1172, -0.1498, -0.128, -0.0938, -0.1358, -0.1156, -0.1501, -0.175, -0.1689, -0.227, -0.2847, -0.2864, -0.3349, -0.3116, -0.2114, -0.1782, -0.2064, -0.1967, -0.1967, -0.2279, -0.2415, -0.2492, -0.2621, -0.2621, -0.2071, -0.1817, -0.1164, -0.1519, -0.1423, -0.1367, -0.0539, -0.0706, -0.101, -0.0842, -0.0415, -0.0415, -0.1247, -0.1284, -0.1462, -0.167, -0.1938, -0.1373, -0.1147, -0.1633, -0.249, -0.2228, -0.2071, -0.2737, -0.3488, -0.241, -0.1812, -0.1908, -0.2189, -0.209, -0.136, -0.136, -0.1403, -0.1026, -0.0514, -0.1368, -0.1131, -0.0957, -0.0645, -0.0755, -0.1961, -0.1977, -0.2348, -0.138, -0.1568, -0.2125, -0.1631, -0.1499, -0.0127, -0.0476, -0.0043, 0.1447, 0.0255, 0.0451, 0.0712, 0.0368, 0.0063, 0.013, 0.0145, -0.0658, -0.1112, -0.1867, -0.0853, -0.1013, -0.0407, -0.0407, -0.0079, 0.0349, 0.1019, 0.2018, 0.2779, 0.3625]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1965488346320564694", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-09T18:51:53+00:00", "symbol": "TSSI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Lot of room to run given that it dropped from the $30s", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Long TSSI, MRVL, SMCI as follow-the-leader plays on beaten-down names with room to run in the semi/AI rally.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSSI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "And $TSSI up 5.2% 2 hours later after I posted. \n\nIt’s almost free money playing follow the leader on stocks that are down a ton like $MRVL, $SMCI. \n\nLot of room to run given that it dropped from the $30s. https://t.co/Ud9FgrAbz8", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Bought $40K of $TSSI now that the Semi rally extended back to server racks like $SMCI.\n\nDown from $31 -&gt; $13.6, good chance for a rebound for small caps given the rest of semis/AI from $TSM, $CREDO, $NBIS, $AVGO, $MRVL, $ALAB and others have rallied. https://t.co/jWkww0Avro", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06041666031987558, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06041666031987558, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05811016691958526, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05849451233653735, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023064934002903215, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0019221479833382293, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1083333653432359, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1083333653432359, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10544251106423119, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09020570261397975, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028908542790047065, "bench_c_p1d": 0.018127662729256144, "ret_p1w": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.014869400454635473, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.026494347360606074, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014869400454635473, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026494347360606074, "ret_p1m": 0.4180555984193908, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4180555984193908, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.380157703699187, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.32110982170011915, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03789789472020377, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09694577671927163, "ret_p3m": -0.40069442062098237, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.40069442062098237, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.45798999203818247, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5071119005388953, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0572955714172001, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10641747991791295, "ret_p6m": -0.3083333123613281, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3083333123613281, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.36788701170926497, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3653325928116684, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05955369934793686, "bench_c_p6m": 0.056999280450340306, "price_path": [0.4208, 0.2771, 0.5, 0.5132, 0.6507, 0.6507, 0.7785, 0.8722, 0.9778, 0.8868, 1.1597, 1.1007, 1.0021, 0.8479, 0.9653, 0.9507, 0.9507, 1.0111, 0.8569, 0.7076, 0.5917, 0.4243, 0.4806, 0.4292, 0.5361, 0.4958, 0.6097, 0.7542, 0.7639, 0.7944, 0.8715, 1.0104, 0.8931, 0.6451, 0.7438, 0.8889, 0.8813, 1.0319, 1.0118, 0.9965, 0.5354, 0.3993, 0.3076, 0.2917, 0.2396, 0.2236, 0.1208, 0.0583, 0.0174, 0.0764, 0.0465, 0.0694, 0.0326, 0.1111, 0.0833, 0.0715, -0.0326, -0.0326, -0.0944, -0.1403, -0.1014, -0.0479, -0.0604, 0.0, 0.1083, 0.0896, 0.0938, 0.1111, 0.0, 0.0549, 0.0542, 0.1049, 0.2917, 0.2743, 0.2132, 0.216, 0.2264, 0.284, 0.2576, 0.3028, 0.316, 0.2479, 0.2472, 0.3521, 0.4181, 0.3806, 0.2271, 0.3007, 0.2743, 0.2542, 0.1903, 0.125, 0.1729, 0.1938, 0.1271, 0.184, 0.266, 0.2681, 0.2361, 0.225, 0.25, 0.4069, 0.341, 0.2583, 0.2229, 0.134, 0.1535, 0.1792, 0.1188, 0.1222, 0.059, -0.4, -0.441, -0.4493, -0.475, -0.4618, -0.4618, -0.441, -0.4243, -0.3472, -0.3472, -0.3312, -0.366, -0.3819, -0.3681, -0.3431, -0.4007, -0.3896, -0.3931, -0.4118, -0.4236, -0.4736, -0.5042, -0.4806, -0.516, -0.4937, -0.4757, -0.4618, -0.4764, -0.4819, -0.4819, -0.5062, -0.5194, -0.5153, -0.509, -0.509, -0.466, -0.4313, -0.3903, -0.4236, -0.4042, -0.4076, -0.3569, -0.3354, -0.266, -0.225, -0.1632, -0.1632, -0.2278, -0.2069, -0.2243, -0.2222, -0.284, -0.2479, -0.2729, -0.266, -0.2917, -0.2986, -0.3354, -0.3896, -0.4597, -0.3694, -0.3632, -0.4056, -0.4062, -0.4437, -0.4347, -0.4347, -0.4486, -0.441, -0.4451, -0.459, -0.475, -0.4132, -0.4, -0.3847, -0.2826, -0.3028, -0.3201, -0.3083]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1965488346320564694", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-09T18:51:53+00:00", "symbol": "MRVL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "playing follow the leader on stocks that are down a ton like $MRVL, $SMCI", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Long TSSI, MRVL, SMCI as follow-the-leader plays on beaten-down names with room to run in the semi/AI rally.", "resolved_tickers": ["MRVL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "And $TSSI up 5.2% 2 hours later after I posted. \n\nIt’s almost free money playing follow the leader on stocks that are down a ton like $MRVL, $SMCI. \n\nLot of room to run given that it dropped from the $30s. https://t.co/Ud9FgrAbz8", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Bought $40K of $TSSI now that the Semi rally extended back to server racks like $SMCI.\n\nDown from $31 -&gt; $13.6, good chance for a rebound for small caps given the rest of semis/AI from $TSM, $CREDO, $NBIS, $AVGO, $MRVL, $ALAB and others have rallied. https://t.co/jWkww0Avro", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01256726746758463, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01256726746758463, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01026077406729431, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01026077406729431, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023064934002903215, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0023064934002903215, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0038899256814346472, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0038899256814346472, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0009990714024299407, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0009990714024299407, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028908542790047065, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0028908542790047065, "ret_p1w": 0.030221457591690593, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.030221457591690593, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01535205713705512, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01535205713705512, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014869400454635473, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014869400454635473, "ret_p1m": 0.38390198599489533, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.38390198599489533, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.34600409127469156, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.34600409127469156, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03789789472020377, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03789789472020377, "ret_p3m": 0.4807824634396731, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4807824634396731, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.423486892022473, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.423486892022473, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0572955714172001, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0572955714172001, "ret_p6m": 0.16992714065703662, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.16992714065703662, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.11037344130909976, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.11037344130909976, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05955369934793686, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05955369934793686, "price_path": [0.041, 0.0044, 0.0527, 0.0463, 0.1204, 0.1204, 0.0989, 0.0581, 0.1243, 0.1351, 0.1955, 0.1535, 0.157, 0.1397, 0.11, 0.1239, 0.1239, 0.0696, 0.0756, 0.0802, 0.0966, 0.0878, 0.0848, 0.0833, 0.06, 0.0773, 0.1168, 0.0931, 0.077, 0.0962, 0.1077, 0.1103, 0.1357, 0.1421, 0.2229, 0.2024, 0.1139, 0.145, 0.1465, 0.1269, 0.1348, 0.1571, 0.1562, 0.1641, 0.1867, 0.1825, 0.1399, 0.1481, 0.0782, 0.0655, 0.0654, 0.0922, 0.0914, 0.111, 0.1189, 0.1554, -0.0594, -0.0594, -0.0335, -0.0678, -0.041, -0.0525, -0.0126, 0.0, 0.0039, -0.0037, 0.0076, 0.0088, 0.0302, 0.0619, 0.1106, 0.111, 0.13, 0.1164, 0.1982, 0.2539, 0.2443, 0.2326, 0.2578, 0.2551, 0.2896, 0.2899, 0.3303, 0.3012, 0.3839, 0.3567, 0.2817, 0.3383, 0.2908, 0.3308, 0.3209, 0.3167, 0.2851, 0.2615, 0.2134, 0.2392, 0.2595, 0.3281, 0.3243, 0.3496, 0.326, 0.4034, 0.3529, 0.3113, 0.3908, 0.3972, 0.3612, 0.3957, 0.3374, 0.3374, 0.3103, 0.2942, 0.2493, 0.1779, 0.2174, 0.148, 0.1595, 0.2544, 0.249, 0.3133, 0.3133, 0.3384, 0.3639, 0.3907, 0.5001, 0.47, 0.4808, 0.3773, 0.3309, 0.3844, 0.3389, 0.264, 0.2615, 0.2586, 0.2231, 0.2646, 0.2589, 0.2695, 0.3127, 0.2948, 0.2948, 0.2926, 0.2839, 0.2989, 0.2722, 0.2722, 0.3383, 0.3508, 0.3209, 0.2671, 0.2493, 0.2468, 0.2418, 0.2442, 0.2167, 0.2042, 0.2054, 0.2054, 0.1955, 0.2367, 0.245, 0.202, 0.2251, 0.2424, 0.2528, 0.2186, 0.1824, 0.1785, 0.1317, 0.1046, 0.1118, 0.2027, 0.2337, 0.2287, 0.2186, 0.172, 0.1777, 0.1777, 0.1837, 0.1849, 0.1927, 0.1908, 0.1654, 0.1744, 0.2123, 0.1879, 0.2239, 0.2114, 0.1612, 0.1699]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1965488346320564694", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-09-09T18:51:53+00:00", "symbol": "SMCI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "playing follow the leader on stocks that are down a ton like $MRVL, $SMCI", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Long TSSI, MRVL, SMCI as follow-the-leader plays on beaten-down names with room to run in the semi/AI rally.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMCI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "And $TSSI up 5.2% 2 hours later after I posted. \n\nIt’s almost free money playing follow the leader on stocks that are down a ton like $MRVL, $SMCI. \n\nLot of room to run given that it dropped from the $30s. https://t.co/Ud9FgrAbz8", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Bought $40K of $TSSI now that the Semi rally extended back to server racks like $SMCI.\n\nDown from $31 -&gt; $13.6, good chance for a rebound for small caps given the rest of semis/AI from $TSM, $CREDO, $NBIS, $AVGO, $MRVL, $ALAB and others have rallied. https://t.co/jWkww0Avro", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06710152321259388, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06710152321259388, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06479502981230356, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06517937522925565, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023064934002903215, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0019221479833382293, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0230662097088139, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0230662097088139, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.020175355429809194, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004938546979557756, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028908542790047065, "bench_c_p1d": 0.018127662729256144, "ret_p1w": 0.04636537193299928, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04636537193299928, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.031495971478363805, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.019871024572393203, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014869400454635473, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026494347360606074, "ret_p1m": 0.36719484642554323, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.36719484642554323, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.32929695170533946, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2702490697062716, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03789789472020377, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09694577671927163, "ret_p3m": -0.19175209443953634, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.19175209443953634, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24904766585673643, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2981695743574493, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0572955714172001, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10641747991791295, "ret_p6m": -0.2392823178286444, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2392823178286444, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.29883601717658126, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2962815982789847, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05955369934793686, "bench_c_p6m": 0.056999280450340306, "price_path": [0.0103, -0.0317, 0.0179, 0.0044, 0.0361, 0.0361, 0.0559, -0.0473, -0.0019, 0.086, 0.1479, 0.1086, 0.1419, 0.0997, 0.1356, 0.1314, 0.1314, 0.0976, 0.1442, 0.1654, 0.1733, 0.1473, 0.1587, 0.2388, 0.24, 0.229, 0.2062, 0.1999, 0.1617, 0.2046, 0.2237, 0.2691, 0.3991, 0.366, 0.4145, 0.374, 0.3197, 0.3567, 0.3341, 0.0902, 0.0874, 0.0391, 0.0531, 0.0818, 0.0734, 0.0599, 0.0571, 0.0685, 0.0075, -0.0072, -0.0142, 0.0224, 0.0268, 0.0336, 0.0429, 0.0245, -0.0322, -0.0322, -0.0499, -0.0657, -0.0517, -0.0585, -0.0671, 0.0, 0.0231, 0.024, 0.0485, 0.0573, 0.0464, 0.0461, 0.0704, 0.0673, 0.092, 0.0948, 0.0764, 0.0774, 0.0676, 0.0801, 0.117, 0.2206, 0.2232, 0.2106, 0.2726, 0.2831, 0.3672, 0.3509, 0.2316, 0.2756, 0.2374, 0.2568, 0.2544, 0.2158, 0.2824, 0.2773, 0.2232, 0.1165, 0.1251, 0.2015, 0.2199, 0.2276, 0.1736, 0.2106, 0.1824, 0.1044, -0.0207, -0.0601, -0.0736, -0.0636, -0.0955, -0.1167, -0.1824, -0.1514, -0.2055, -0.1869, -0.2141, -0.2647, -0.25, -0.2237, -0.2432, -0.2351, -0.2351, -0.2113, -0.2216, -0.233, -0.2153, -0.2025, -0.1918, -0.1759, -0.1841, -0.1869, -0.2074, -0.2467, -0.2691, -0.2623, -0.3048, -0.3157, -0.2752, -0.2761, -0.2833, -0.2882, -0.2882, -0.2861, -0.2992, -0.3092, -0.318, -0.318, -0.2787, -0.2994, -0.2884, -0.3008, -0.3034, -0.2973, -0.2982, -0.3336, -0.3413, -0.3145, -0.2395, -0.2395, -0.2682, -0.2488, -0.2439, -0.2614, -0.2824, -0.2731, -0.2728, -0.2982, -0.3218, -0.3078, -0.3087, -0.2134, -0.2812, -0.199, -0.2188, -0.2234, -0.2535, -0.291, -0.2884, -0.2884, -0.2985, -0.3078, -0.2507, -0.2446, -0.2845, -0.2747, -0.2171, -0.2479, -0.2453, -0.2584, -0.2852, -0.2393]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1981501673362378889", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-23T23:23:08+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "As a trader I'm bullish on a 2 year timeframe, not so much 5Y+ plus", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish NBIS on a 2-year horizon as a structural AI compute beneficiary; bearish beyond 5Y when hyperscaler buildout completes.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Since someone pinged me, I disagree on your fundamental assumption that you're basing TAM off of, but valid points. \n\nAI compute growth is actually a structural market that's growing exponentially right now fro new frontier model LLM usage, and will continue to grow from applied AI applications (robotics, etc). Implying MSFT/Google's 5-10 year contracts confirmed usage contracts \"overflow\" that will vanish (temporary liquidity) is misleading. \n\nIf you wanted to reword it in saying the overflow that Neoclouds captured now might not exist after hyperscalers complete their buildout, sure. I'd agree with you, next 5Y-10Y out I'd be more worried (after GCP 10y contracts end of Azure 5Y contracts end). Especially when $AVGO x Hyperscaler custom asics, TPUs/Tranium, etc + buildout gets complete. (As a trader I'm bullish on a 2 year timeframe, not so much 5Y+ plus).\n\nSecond thing is trying to quantitatively model TAM of something so speculative such as AI buildout is the wrong way to approach it.\n\nOn top of that, the 10-15% figure is overly pessimistic because it ignores repeat-overflow from hyperscalers if AI compute is a growing structural market. But you're going off the assumption grid capacity will catch up, which I disagree, and that's fine.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Again I have a slight problem with these kind of math for $NBiS because it misses the essence in my opinion. \nRight now, Nebius is catching overflow.  hyperscalers are grid-capped and pushing demand outward. That’s what’s inflating the near-term numbers.\nBut that’s a liquidity", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MarkosAAIG", "ret_m1d": -0.07102487429753657, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07102487429753657, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06512993942938017, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07440881923073017, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0058949348681563984, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033839449331936056, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10455913801068295, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10455913801068295, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09638656690605218, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10195610344668782, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008172571104630766, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0026030345639951324, "ret_p1w": 0.16974374549214621, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16974374549214621, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15773046162608217, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.17781315264053088, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01201328386606404, "bench_c_p1w": -0.008069407148384666, "ret_p1m": -0.2157121395621464, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2157121395621464, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19676196118720868, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.18664489805590412, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01895017837493773, "bench_c_p1m": -0.029067241506242292, "ret_p3m": -0.06471366342872564, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06471366342872564, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07635797132099198, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05245634876501981, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.011644307892266337, "bench_c_p3m": -0.012257314663705832, "ret_p6m": 0.4802184812445973, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4802184812445973, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4170656573905107, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.44015893191536004, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0631528238540866, "bench_c_p6m": 0.040059549329237276, "price_path": [-0.5031, -0.5252, -0.5169, -0.4873, -0.5102, -0.4897, -0.4803, -0.4811, -0.3848, -0.3521, -0.3384, -0.2904, -0.3347, -0.3551, -0.3254, -0.3167, -0.3671, -0.3644, -0.3766, -0.3502, -0.3404, -0.3361, -0.3397, -0.3214, -0.3564, -0.3564, -0.3809, -0.3816, -0.3886, -0.3833, -0.3966, -0.0983, -0.1203, -0.1599, -0.1484, -0.1432, -0.1576, -0.1138, -0.1134, -0.0645, 0.0041, 0.0154, 0.0666, 0.0168, 0.0145, 0.0382, 0.0576, 0.089, 0.1857, 0.2055, 0.1769, 0.1087, 0.1492, 0.2494, 0.2206, 0.276, 0.2071, 0.1853, 0.159, 0.0686, 0.0268, -0.0177, -0.071, 0.0, 0.1046, 0.1815, 0.1476, 0.1784, 0.1697, 0.2323, 0.1348, 0.0413, 0.1021, 0.0309, 0.0482, 0.0357, -0.0371, -0.1112, -0.1651, -0.2131, -0.1901, -0.1471, -0.1045, -0.2027, -0.2157, -0.1343, -0.1628, -0.108, -0.108, -0.1063, -0.0566, -0.0915, -0.0682, -0.0317, -0.0765, -0.0549, -0.0918, -0.1184, -0.1119, -0.174, -0.2357, -0.2375, -0.2893, -0.2644, -0.1573, -0.1218, -0.1519, -0.1416, -0.1416, -0.1749, -0.1895, -0.1977, -0.2115, -0.2115, -0.1527, -0.1256, -0.0558, -0.0937, -0.0835, -0.0775, 0.011, -0.0069, -0.0394, -0.0214, 0.0242, 0.0242, -0.0647, -0.0687, -0.0877, -0.1098, -0.1385, -0.0781, -0.054, -0.106, -0.1975, -0.1696, -0.1527, -0.2239, -0.3042, -0.189, -0.1251, -0.1354, -0.1653, -0.1548, -0.0768, -0.0768, -0.0814, -0.0411, 0.0137, -0.0776, -0.0523, -0.0337, -0.0004, -0.0121, -0.141, -0.1427, -0.1824, -0.0789, -0.099, -0.1585, -0.1057, -0.0917, 0.055, 0.0177, 0.064, 0.2232, 0.0958, 0.1168, 0.1447, 0.108, 0.0753, 0.0824, 0.0841, -0.0018, -0.0503, -0.1309, -0.0226, -0.0397, 0.0251, 0.0251, 0.0601, 0.1059, 0.1775, 0.2842, 0.3656, 0.4559, 0.5254, 0.5709, 0.5575, 0.4802]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2005963686578642987", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-30T11:26:26+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "hyperscalers would go upstream. They would directly source 6n-7n from Vital, $DOWA, $AXTI and others that control InP, and give them to fabs like Sumitomo / $COHR or one level higher, buy out stock of InP substrates", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Hyperscalers will go upstream to secure InP supply directly from AXTI, DOWA, and others controlling InP feedstock, making them the key beneficiaries.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$COHR is amazing and probably the leading US company for InP substrate prod with their new 6in wafer fab.   \n\nTwo nuances:  \n\n1. Their production is nowhere close to the scale needed for hyperscalers that $AXTI and Sumitomo currently outputs  \n\n2. They are bottlenecked by upstream InP feedstock needed to grow crystals (owned by Vital, $DOWA, and $AXTI (captive)).   \n\nCEO said in their ER that their capacity was maxed out and limited by InP lasers (and by 1 hop InP needed to produce them)    \n\nMy thought process is that instead of placing more order backlogs with $COHR, hyperscalers would go upstream. They would directly source 6n-7n from Vital, $DOWA, $AXTI and others that control InP, and give them to fabs like Sumitomo / $COHR or one level higher, buy out stock of InP substrates -> hand to $LITE as insurance.   \n\nThat being said a lot of money will likely be poured into Western supply chains but their capacity is nowhere enough since they're still bottlenecked upstream.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What about Coherent/II-VI? They don't produce their own InP substrates?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "1LoneObserver", "ret_m1d": -0.07658227997088995, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07658227997088995, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07780487361546973, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07905948649570971, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012225936445797725, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002477206524819753, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03481013823388324, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03481013823388324, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04221910560727393, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.043562973820986506, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.007408967373390696, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00875283558710327, "ret_p1w": 0.27658226789906326, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.27658226789906326, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2695955603533693, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.20966972015208563, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006986707545693971, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06691254774697764, "ret_p1m": 0.0651898557302033, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0651898557302033, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.052948507691537916, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08157188405819715, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01224134803866539, "bench_c_p1m": 0.14676173978840046, "ret_p3m": 2.8373417934304035, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.8373417934304035, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.9118506090396923, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.807229760965231, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0745088156092889, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03011203246517291, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7025, -0.6753, -0.6582, -0.6639, -0.6639, -0.669, -0.7449, -0.7089, -0.7108, -0.7095, -0.688, -0.7146, -0.6892, -0.6728, -0.6873, -0.6722, -0.6165, -0.6082, -0.5823, -0.5525, -0.5367, -0.4968, -0.4646, -0.4595, -0.4241, -0.4386, -0.4013, -0.3392, -0.3316, -0.3051, -0.3392, -0.3392, -0.3513, -0.3734, -0.3601, -0.4019, -0.4348, -0.4089, -0.4158, -0.3386, -0.3386, -0.3228, -0.3171, -0.2557, -0.2734, -0.2342, -0.2671, -0.1956, -0.0532, -0.0184, 0.0367, -0.0627, -0.0614, -0.1772, -0.2177, -0.1133, -0.0728, -0.0367, -0.0734, -0.05, -0.05, -0.0272, -0.0766, 0.0, 0.0348, 0.0348, 0.0608, 0.0551, 0.2766, 0.5259, 0.6348, 0.4551, 0.4076, 0.3614, 0.3987, 0.6278, 0.3981, 0.3981, 0.3551, 0.2519, 0.1342, 0.1013, 0.1266, 0.0886, 0.0652, 0.0367, 0.1734, 0.3253, 0.2494, 0.1867, 0.293, 0.5228, 0.7576, 0.5411, 0.6962, 0.569, 0.5342, 0.5342, 0.469, 0.4899, 0.507, 0.8785, 0.7994, 1.2203, 1.593, 1.3494, 1.3987, 1.9316, 1.643, 1.4766, 1.4557, 1.0487, 1.4405, 1.8038, 1.9975, 1.9576, 2.0924, 2.0627, 1.8076, 2.0861, 2.6766, 2.4329, 3.0785, 3.3316, 3.2627, 2.7032, 2.8373, 2.3373, 2.6063, 1.9835, 2.3443, 2.3443, 1.6576, 1.8772, 2.3658, 2.9949, 3.062, 3.2057, 3.2595, 2.9829, 4.1759, 4.2253, 3.9848, 3.7449, 4.5025, 3.7639, 3.8203, 3.4399, 3.3487, 3.4981, 4.0139, 5.0759, 5.7089, 5.807, 5.6348, 5.862, 6.3646, 6.9627, 6.7785, 6.7177, 6.2772, 6.8342, 5.7013, 6.1443, 5.6209, 6.6595, 7.9133, 7.9133, 7.3924, 6.7703, 6.3228, 5.5291, 5.5291, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2005963686578642987", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-30T11:26:26+00:00", "symbol": "DOWA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "hyperscalers would go upstream. They would directly source 6n-7n from Vital, $DOWA, $AXTI and others that control InP", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Hyperscalers will go upstream to secure InP supply directly from AXTI, DOWA, and others controlling InP feedstock, making them the key beneficiaries.", "resolved_tickers": ["5714.T"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "DOWA Holdings listed on TSE as 5714.T", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Other Industrial Metals & Mining'", "bench_c_industry": "Other Industrial Metals & Mining", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$COHR is amazing and probably the leading US company for InP substrate prod with their new 6in wafer fab.   \n\nTwo nuances:  \n\n1. Their production is nowhere close to the scale needed for hyperscalers that $AXTI and Sumitomo currently outputs  \n\n2. They are bottlenecked by upstream InP feedstock needed to grow crystals (owned by Vital, $DOWA, and $AXTI (captive)).   \n\nCEO said in their ER that their capacity was maxed out and limited by InP lasers (and by 1 hop InP needed to produce them)    \n\nMy thought process is that instead of placing more order backlogs with $COHR, hyperscalers would go upstream. They would directly source 6n-7n from Vital, $DOWA, $AXTI and others that control InP, and give them to fabs like Sumitomo / $COHR or one level higher, buy out stock of InP substrates -> hand to $LITE as insurance.   \n\nThat being said a lot of money will likely be poured into Western supply chains but their capacity is nowhere enough since they're still bottlenecked upstream.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What about Coherent/II-VI? They don't produce their own InP substrates?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "1LoneObserver", "ret_m1d": 0.01964480169034588, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01964480169034588, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01842220804576611, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01942611293471841, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012225936445797725, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00021868875562747192, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007408967373390696, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008309669981072076, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.007408967373390696, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008309669981072076, "ret_p1w": 0.07925192617044674, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07925192617044674, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07226521862475277, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04054653008824327, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006986707545693971, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03870539608220347, "ret_p1m": 0.2444833145004266, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2444833145004266, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2322419664617612, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1522025248413046, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01224134803866539, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09228078965912201, "ret_p3m": 0.2634553967817097, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2634553967817097, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3379642123909986, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.18916045854662022, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0745088156092889, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07429493823508948, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2776, -0.2774, -0.2706, -0.2651, -0.2434, -0.2376, -0.2676, -0.2676, -0.2614, -0.2399, -0.2457, -0.2343, -0.2372, -0.2457, -0.2491, -0.2409, -0.2281, -0.2186, -0.2637, -0.2523, -0.2404, -0.2465, -0.2465, -0.2466, -0.2597, -0.2676, -0.2643, -0.2357, -0.2476, -0.2024, -0.178, -0.1872, -0.1907, -0.2234, -0.2164, -0.194, -0.2099, -0.2099, -0.2021, -0.1977, -0.1849, -0.1818, -0.1936, -0.1955, -0.186, -0.1819, -0.1784, -0.1725, -0.1771, -0.1254, -0.1316, -0.0936, -0.1059, -0.1204, -0.0584, -0.072, -0.0745, -0.0536, -0.0467, -0.0097, -0.0046, -0.0038, 0.0196, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0143, 0.0793, 0.0873, 0.0697, 0.085, 0.085, 0.1674, 0.1873, 0.1818, 0.1663, 0.2043, 0.2012, 0.2224, 0.2053, 0.2279, 0.2388, 0.2534, 0.2445, 0.2869, 0.2398, 0.1604, 0.236, 0.2898, 0.2395, 0.213, 0.2687, 0.3283, 0.3283, 0.3684, 0.273, 0.2757, 0.2617, 0.2967, 0.3301, 0.3644, 0.3644, 0.4249, 0.4121, 0.4047, 0.5541, 0.5918, 0.4808, 0.3243, 0.3462, 0.3677, 0.2797, 0.3529, 0.3785, 0.3353, 0.3264, 0.2956, 0.2935, 0.3523, 0.2474, 0.2474, 0.172, 0.2134, 0.264, 0.2737, 0.2635, 0.2438, 0.2233, 0.2983, 0.2482, 0.2735, 0.2768, 0.3036, 0.3852, 0.3681, 0.3665, 0.3552, 0.4081, 0.4081, 0.4501, 0.3951, 0.3713, 0.3916, 0.3699, 0.3538, 0.35, 0.3304, 0.3626, 0.3626, 0.327, 0.3293, 0.3293, 0.3293, 0.3293, 0.3791, 0.4256, 0.4508, 0.4494, 0.4921, 0.4039, 0.6301, 0.558, 0.4522, 0.4179, 0.4235, 0.455, 0.5314, 0.5251, 0.5188, 0.4746, 0.4424, 0.4543, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2002598244229230903", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-21T04:33:22+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I didn't realize how instrumental it was to $NVDA blackwell, $GOOGL TPUs, and $AMZN Trainium chips. Insane how it's part the core of single GPU/TPU/ASIC from every hyperscaler (hence why it's high-conviction)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "High-conviction long LITE as core to every hyperscaler GPU/TPU/ASIC; bullish CRDO on ALAB-like margins, triple-digit growth, and hyperscaler connectivity exposure.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thanks for the $LITE shoutout.   I didn't realize how instrumental it was to $NVDA blackwell, $GOOGL TPUs, and $AMZN Trainium chips.   \n\nInsane how it's part the core of single GPU/TPU/ASIC from every hyperscaler (hence why it's high-conviction)  \n\nAs for $CRDO, similar ground to $ALAB regarding high-Nvidia like margins, triple digit Y/Y growth, and hyperscaler dependencies for connectivity.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Hey @aleabitoreddit I was trying to get your attention back in September about $LITE, and now I’m going to try and get your attention for $CRDO 😆 what do you think about Credo? 👀", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "itsthesquonky", "ret_m1d": -0.04732228371797842, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04732228371797842, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04113096270264427, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04113096270264427, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006335285702701143, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006335285702701143, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010905740521134022, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010905740521134022, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "ret_p1w": -0.044295730263061106, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.044295730263061106, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04870550153834863, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04870550153834863, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "ret_p1m": -0.08476971862273575, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08476971862273575, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07418310393722505, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07418310393722505, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "ret_p3m": 0.9804298635804474, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.9804298635804474, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.016979113890733, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.016979113890733, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6082, -0.5919, -0.5877, -0.583, -0.5827, -0.5604, -0.5646, -0.5798, -0.5881, -0.5969, -0.5817, -0.5902, -0.6163, -0.5882, -0.5979, -0.5984, -0.5813, -0.5774, -0.5871, -0.5821, -0.5946, -0.5678, -0.5401, -0.5029, -0.4912, -0.4504, -0.4867, -0.483, -0.4881, -0.5169, -0.403, -0.3852, -0.3841, -0.3334, -0.3524, -0.349, -0.4181, -0.4046, -0.3791, -0.3654, -0.3102, -0.4018, -0.3444, -0.2322, -0.2529, -0.2093, -0.2093, -0.166, -0.1845, -0.2233, -0.2229, -0.1591, -0.15, -0.1214, -0.0758, -0.0612, -0.0456, -0.1681, -0.1416, -0.1891, -0.1786, -0.1353, -0.0473, 0.0, -0.0063, 0.0155, 0.0155, 0.0023, -0.0443, -0.048, -0.0546, -0.0546, -0.0097, -0.0842, 0.0193, 0.0077, -0.1068, -0.0986, -0.1283, -0.0732, -0.1494, -0.1195, -0.1683, -0.1683, -0.0848, -0.0704, -0.0908, -0.13, -0.1473, -0.0493, -0.0125, -0.0216, 0.005, 0.086, 0.116, 0.1941, 0.2938, 0.4158, 0.4803, 0.4392, 0.4725, 0.4965, 0.4434, 0.4434, 0.54, 0.5242, 0.6303, 0.7128, 0.7306, 0.7653, 0.8554, 0.7364, 0.7978, 1.009, 0.7811, 0.7462, 0.6693, 0.4323, 0.6433, 0.7236, 0.7236, 0.5802, 0.5966, 0.6026, 0.6661, 0.7975, 0.9804, 0.8117, 0.8697, 1.057, 0.9934, 0.7667, 0.8024, 0.6795, 0.8025, 0.9612, 1.1209, 1.1209, 0.9808, 1.0923, 1.2982, 1.2933, 1.3015, 1.2345, 1.1873, 1.1135, 1.2859, 1.2932, 1.2959, 1.1466, 1.2407, 1.1722, 1.2613, 1.205, 1.0298, 1.2015, 1.3144, 1.4365, 1.5038, 1.5509, 1.422, 1.2894, 1.3181, 1.7011, 1.5453, 1.6428, 1.5695, 1.4897, 1.2699, 1.283, 1.2265, 1.4738, 1.4287, 1.4287, 1.3361, 1.3143, 1.2074, 1.1929, 1.1929, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2002598244229230903", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-21T04:33:22+00:00", "symbol": "CRDO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "similar ground to $ALAB regarding high-Nvidia like margins, triple digit Y/Y growth, and hyperscaler dependencies for connectivity", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "High-conviction long LITE as core to every hyperscaler GPU/TPU/ASIC; bullish CRDO on ALAB-like margins, triple-digit growth, and hyperscaler connectivity exposure.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRDO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thanks for the $LITE shoutout.   I didn't realize how instrumental it was to $NVDA blackwell, $GOOGL TPUs, and $AMZN Trainium chips.   \n\nInsane how it's part the core of single GPU/TPU/ASIC from every hyperscaler (hence why it's high-conviction)  \n\nAs for $CRDO, similar ground to $ALAB regarding high-Nvidia like margins, triple digit Y/Y growth, and hyperscaler dependencies for connectivity.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Hey @aleabitoreddit I was trying to get your attention back in September about $LITE, and now I’m going to try and get your attention for $CRDO 😆 what do you think about Credo? 👀", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "itsthesquonky", "ret_m1d": 0.0012671897980027769, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0012671897980027769, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007458510813336927, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01398615574676687, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012718965948764094, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.014205714606713271, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014205714606713271, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01877616942514615, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.023824817574901958, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009619102968188686, "ret_p1w": -0.03494734832495261, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03494734832495261, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03935711960024013, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04748551650675148, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01253816818179887, "ret_p1m": 0.021875408335935154, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.021875408335935154, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03246202302144585, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06344569647331944, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08532110480925459, "ret_p3m": -0.2857810151114317, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2857810151114317, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24923176480114628, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3836959442897818, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0979149291783501, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0037, -0.0333, -0.0468, -0.0262, -0.0289, -0.0335, -0.0021, -0.0405, -0.0168, -0.085, -0.0071, 0.0081, -0.0741, -0.0003, -0.1347, -0.1236, -0.0894, -0.0422, 0.0115, -0.0385, -0.085, 0.0069, 0.0374, 0.0335, 0.0816, 0.1439, 0.1112, 0.2513, 0.2047, 0.0953, 0.1549, 0.0854, 0.0912, 0.1349, 0.0571, 0.0694, -0.0466, -0.0295, -0.0291, -0.0692, -0.0538, -0.1014, -0.1097, 0.0061, 0.0283, 0.0938, 0.0938, 0.1845, 0.1413, 0.2568, 0.2618, 0.2066, 0.1741, 0.1934, 0.1357, 0.0536, 0.0302, -0.0402, -0.0528, -0.064, -0.1054, -0.0758, 0.0013, 0.0, -0.0142, 0.0017, 0.0017, -0.0341, -0.0349, -0.0335, -0.0403, -0.0403, -0.0448, -0.0647, -0.1133, -0.0596, -0.0557, 0.0032, 0.0409, 0.0763, 0.046, -0.0055, 0.0069, 0.0069, 0.0219, -0.0719, -0.099, -0.1119, -0.1462, -0.1359, -0.1353, -0.1365, -0.1645, -0.1999, -0.2576, -0.3534, -0.346, -0.257, -0.1769, -0.1015, -0.1437, -0.1878, -0.1901, -0.1901, -0.1677, -0.1469, -0.1286, -0.1726, -0.1727, -0.1941, -0.1766, -0.2365, -0.2512, -0.2382, -0.3511, -0.3161, -0.2348, -0.2675, -0.2265, -0.2508, -0.227, -0.2559, -0.2151, -0.2205, -0.306, -0.3216, -0.2858, -0.3104, -0.2991, -0.3311, -0.307, -0.3568, -0.3648, -0.4144, -0.3739, -0.3603, -0.3234, -0.3234, -0.3167, -0.2878, -0.265, -0.2802, -0.2024, -0.1039, 0.0639, 0.1228, 0.06, 0.0717, 0.164, 0.2226, 0.2638, 0.2374, 0.3008, 0.2038, 0.1066, 0.1723, 0.1605, 0.2297, 0.2009, 0.291, 0.3225, 0.2558, 0.2572, 0.402, 0.3243, 0.2629, 0.2308, 0.1483, 0.0422, 0.1271, 0.2204, 0.2898, 0.4566, 0.4566, 0.4782, 0.4755, 0.4829, 0.5742, 0.5742, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1984293587295866986", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-31T16:17:12+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS has the highest asymmetrical upside, since miners may struggle with margins at scale", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS as highest-upside full-stack Neocloud; bearish on miners/baremetal operators including CIFR, IREN, WULF on margin compression at scale; CRWV also struggling vs NBIS.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Markets are starting to price in:\n\nA divergence between AWS-style full-stack Neoclouds like $NBIS and miners such as $CIFR, $BITF, $CLSK, and others.\n\nThis is the reason I sold off $IREN $WULF and others, and consolidated into Nebius.\n\nWhy?\n\n💹 Margins > ⚡️Capacity.\n\nJust today:\n\nThe CTO of Nebius stated:\n\n“Almost no Neocloud in the market is actually a cloud. As in a bunch of baremetal with a ton of third-party software slapped on top.”\n\nProvocative? Absolutely not — if you take the term “cloud” seriously, not just as slapping on a bunch of hardware boxes.\n\nDanila explained how baremetal operators will soon discover the challenges Nebius has already solved at scale.\n\nAnd that’s exactly why I stated $NBIS has the highest asymmetrical upside, since miners may struggle with margins at scale.\n\nWe’ve also seen a Forbes article by Nebius Co-Founder Roman Chernin, summarize how the AI economy requires a new, full-stack, AI-native infrastructure, not the stitched-together systems:\n\n“You can buy racks from one supplier, cable them together... but in the long term, economics, flexibility and speed depend on you controlling your own stack.”\n\n“If you control the stack, you control the product, the performance, and the economics.”\n\n_\n\nThis doesn’t mean there’s no room for other HPC companies like $WYFI, $APLD, $WULF, and others to grow, and the Neocloud segment is just beginning its run-up (especially when we look at $META or $AMZN earnings).\n\nHowever, during the speculation phase, we’ve already priced in capacity buildout with miners - most are already up 50–200%+.\n\nBut when it comes to execution, those who control the full stack will win on margins.\n\nWe’ve seen $CRWV figure that out firsthand, spending billions on software acquisitions and still maintaining lower utilization than $NBIS (as per the whitepaper).\n\nWe’ve also seen how an $800B hyperscaler (Oracle) failed to build out its stack, running at 14% gross margins.\n\nIf Oracle couldn’t fully integrate its software, and CoreWeave is still spending years trying to do so,  how will small miners pivot?\n\nArguments from “Type-1 only” operators will find out the hard way what margin compression at scale looks like.\n\nAs the Forbes article concludes:\n\n“At the end of the day, if you’re just cabling the boxes or building service on top of infrastructure you don’t control, you’re limited in the game of scale and efficiency.”\n\n $NBIS already has that full stack today.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The harsh reality is:\n\nMany of these HPC miner pivots will fail.\n\nThe lack of asymmetrical upside is why I sold off miners like $CIFR, $IREN, $WYFI, and $WULF and into full-stack AWS Neoclouds like $NBIS\n\nHowever, miners that pivot well like $CRWV have very high upside 📈\n\nWhy? https://t.co/AS0xuiBv0Y", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.050756815833121416, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.050756815833121416, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04748743997990279, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04648892092443235, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0032693758532186257, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004267894908689063, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07911638529315024, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07911638529315024, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08099316254604116, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06849012017002576, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0018767772528909266, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010626265123124479, "ret_p1w": -0.14936559739287236, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.14936559739287236, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.13310601427789193, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12584850260579827, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.016259583114980436, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02351709478707409, "ret_p1m": -0.23444430577295872, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.23444430577295872, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.23181993148162117, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.23479268488380212, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00262437429133755, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0003483791108433998, "ret_p3m": -0.23230396971103717, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.23230396971103717, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.25490449325395415, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.252493572483945, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.022600523542916973, "bench_c_p3m": 0.020189602772907822, "ret_p6m": 0.10808743768531115, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.10808743768531115, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.05357288123210524, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09288248523113452, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05451455645320591, "bench_c_p6m": 0.015204952454176635, "price_path": [-0.5783, -0.5789, -0.5008, -0.4742, -0.4631, -0.4242, -0.4601, -0.4767, -0.4525, -0.4455, -0.4864, -0.4843, -0.4941, -0.4727, -0.4648, -0.4612, -0.4641, -0.4493, -0.4778, -0.4778, -0.4976, -0.4982, -0.5038, -0.4995, -0.5103, -0.2683, -0.2861, -0.3182, -0.3089, -0.3047, -0.3164, -0.2808, -0.2805, -0.2409, -0.1851, -0.176, -0.1345, -0.1749, -0.1767, -0.1575, -0.1418, -0.1163, -0.0378, -0.0217, -0.0449, -0.1003, -0.0674, 0.0139, -0.0095, 0.0355, -0.0204, -0.0381, -0.0595, -0.1329, -0.1668, -0.2029, -0.2461, -0.1885, -0.1037, -0.0412, -0.0687, -0.0437, -0.0508, 0.0, -0.0791, -0.155, -0.1056, -0.1634, -0.1494, -0.1595, -0.2186, -0.2787, -0.3225, -0.3614, -0.3428, -0.3079, -0.2733, -0.353, -0.3636, -0.2975, -0.3206, -0.2762, -0.2762, -0.2748, -0.2344, -0.2627, -0.2438, -0.2142, -0.2506, -0.2331, -0.263, -0.2846, -0.2793, -0.3297, -0.3798, -0.3812, -0.4233, -0.4031, -0.3162, -0.2873, -0.3118, -0.3034, -0.3034, -0.3305, -0.3423, -0.349, -0.3602, -0.3602, -0.3124, -0.2904, -0.2338, -0.2646, -0.2562, -0.2514, -0.1796, -0.1941, -0.2205, -0.2059, -0.1689, -0.1689, -0.241, -0.2442, -0.2597, -0.2776, -0.3009, -0.2519, -0.2323, -0.2745, -0.3488, -0.3261, -0.3124, -0.3702, -0.4353, -0.3418, -0.29, -0.2983, -0.3227, -0.3141, -0.2508, -0.2508, -0.2545, -0.2218, -0.1774, -0.2515, -0.2309, -0.2159, -0.1888, -0.1983, -0.3029, -0.3043, -0.3365, -0.2526, -0.2688, -0.3172, -0.2743, -0.2629, -0.1439, -0.1741, -0.1366, -0.0074, -0.1108, -0.0937, -0.0711, -0.1009, -0.1274, -0.1216, -0.1202, -0.19, -0.2293, -0.2948, -0.2068, -0.2207, -0.1682, -0.1682, -0.1397, -0.1026, -0.0445, 0.0421, 0.1082, 0.1815, 0.2379, 0.2748, 0.2639, 0.2012, 0.2166, 0.1967, 0.1935, 0.2007, 0.1249, 0.1081]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1984293587295866986", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-31T16:17:12+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "sold off miners like $CIFR, $IREN, $WYFI, and $WULF", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS as highest-upside full-stack Neocloud; bearish on miners/baremetal operators including CIFR, IREN, WULF on margin compression at scale; CRWV also struggling vs NBIS.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Markets are starting to price in:\n\nA divergence between AWS-style full-stack Neoclouds like $NBIS and miners such as $CIFR, $BITF, $CLSK, and others.\n\nThis is the reason I sold off $IREN $WULF and others, and consolidated into Nebius.\n\nWhy?\n\n💹 Margins > ⚡️Capacity.\n\nJust today:\n\nThe CTO of Nebius stated:\n\n“Almost no Neocloud in the market is actually a cloud. As in a bunch of baremetal with a ton of third-party software slapped on top.”\n\nProvocative? Absolutely not — if you take the term “cloud” seriously, not just as slapping on a bunch of hardware boxes.\n\nDanila explained how baremetal operators will soon discover the challenges Nebius has already solved at scale.\n\nAnd that’s exactly why I stated $NBIS has the highest asymmetrical upside, since miners may struggle with margins at scale.\n\nWe’ve also seen a Forbes article by Nebius Co-Founder Roman Chernin, summarize how the AI economy requires a new, full-stack, AI-native infrastructure, not the stitched-together systems:\n\n“You can buy racks from one supplier, cable them together... but in the long term, economics, flexibility and speed depend on you controlling your own stack.”\n\n“If you control the stack, you control the product, the performance, and the economics.”\n\n_\n\nThis doesn’t mean there’s no room for other HPC companies like $WYFI, $APLD, $WULF, and others to grow, and the Neocloud segment is just beginning its run-up (especially when we look at $META or $AMZN earnings).\n\nHowever, during the speculation phase, we’ve already priced in capacity buildout with miners - most are already up 50–200%+.\n\nBut when it comes to execution, those who control the full stack will win on margins.\n\nWe’ve seen $CRWV figure that out firsthand, spending billions on software acquisitions and still maintaining lower utilization than $NBIS (as per the whitepaper).\n\nWe’ve also seen how an $800B hyperscaler (Oracle) failed to build out its stack, running at 14% gross margins.\n\nIf Oracle couldn’t fully integrate its software, and CoreWeave is still spending years trying to do so,  how will small miners pivot?\n\nArguments from “Type-1 only” operators will find out the hard way what margin compression at scale looks like.\n\nAs the Forbes article concludes:\n\n“At the end of the day, if you’re just cabling the boxes or building service on top of infrastructure you don’t control, you’re limited in the game of scale and efficiency.”\n\n $NBIS already has that full stack today.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The harsh reality is:\n\nMany of these HPC miner pivots will fail.\n\nThe lack of asymmetrical upside is why I sold off miners like $CIFR, $IREN, $WYFI, and $WULF and into full-stack AWS Neoclouds like $NBIS\n\nHowever, miners that pivot well like $CRWV have very high upside 📈\n\nWhy? https://t.co/AS0xuiBv0Y", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.022520111790063524, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.022520111790063524, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02578948764328215, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.023484435084969446, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0032693758532186257, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0009643232949059222, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.2203753723548576, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.2203753723548576, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.21849859510196668, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.21628460607354372, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0018767772528909266, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0040907662813138845, "ret_p1w": 0.10938342934336776, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10938342934336776, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1256430124583482, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1510223494519053, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.016259583114980436, "bench_c_p1w": -0.041638920108537536, "ret_p1m": 0.055764125297569356, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.055764125297569356, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.058388499588906906, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10342266182832394, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00262437429133755, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04765853653075458, "ret_p3m": 0.01715816093134248, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.01715816093134248, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.005442362611574492, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.023035800467396617, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.022600523542916973, "bench_c_p3m": -0.005877639536054136, "ret_p6m": -0.02627344670995646, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.02627344670995646, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08078800316316237, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09726931940625427, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05451455645320591, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07099587269629781, "price_path": [-0.7314, -0.7206, -0.7389, -0.7453, -0.7448, -0.7469, -0.7373, -0.7147, -0.7206, -0.6756, -0.6912, -0.681, -0.6836, -0.6579, -0.644, -0.6182, -0.6252, -0.6236, -0.5903, -0.5903, -0.5539, -0.5651, -0.6032, -0.5968, -0.5861, -0.5056, -0.4504, -0.4654, -0.4182, -0.4182, -0.3828, -0.3362, -0.3646, -0.3416, -0.2515, -0.2413, -0.2418, -0.3748, -0.385, -0.3217, -0.3249, -0.3244, -0.2595, -0.2118, -0.1775, -0.1555, -0.0563, -0.0354, -0.0901, 0.0906, 0.1201, 0.1276, 0.0038, 0.0059, 0.0676, -0.0308, -0.1362, -0.0748, 0.1078, 0.1013, 0.0702, 0.0504, 0.0225, 0.0, 0.2204, 0.207, 0.3249, 0.1641, 0.1094, 0.0536, 0.0011, -0.0681, -0.1995, -0.23, -0.2306, -0.2182, -0.2161, -0.2193, -0.2413, -0.104, -0.0606, 0.0268, 0.0268, 0.0912, 0.0558, -0.0542, -0.0011, 0.0633, 0.0338, 0.0445, 0.0488, -0.0091, 0.0123, -0.0858, -0.2097, -0.1962, -0.2284, -0.1877, -0.1308, -0.1239, -0.1469, -0.1303, -0.1303, -0.1855, -0.1914, -0.2177, -0.2086, -0.2086, -0.1314, -0.0263, -0.0595, -0.1378, -0.1126, -0.1083, -0.052, -0.0214, -0.0279, -0.0606, 0.008, 0.008, -0.0391, -0.0499, -0.0676, -0.0579, -0.1158, 0.0054, 0.0172, -0.0509, -0.1442, -0.1523, -0.1282, -0.2359, -0.319, -0.2102, -0.1013, -0.0831, -0.1271, -0.1367, -0.1196, -0.1196, -0.1614, -0.1732, -0.1528, -0.2145, -0.1839, -0.082, -0.1094, -0.1164, -0.1635, -0.155, -0.2113, -0.1399, -0.1877, -0.2697, -0.2327, -0.2515, -0.2434, -0.2649, -0.245, -0.1882, -0.1909, -0.2134, -0.215, -0.2488, -0.2016, -0.2021, -0.1485, -0.2306, -0.263, -0.3558, -0.3099, -0.3223, -0.3126, -0.3126, -0.2842, -0.2488, -0.1732, -0.1228, -0.1137, -0.0477, -0.0107, -0.0349, -0.0702, 0.0386, 0.0343, -0.0327, 0.0424, 0.0021, -0.0241, -0.0263]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1984293587295866986", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-31T16:17:12+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "sold off $IREN $WULF and others, and consolidated into Nebius", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS as highest-upside full-stack Neocloud; bearish on miners/baremetal operators including CIFR, IREN, WULF on margin compression at scale; CRWV also struggling vs NBIS.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Markets are starting to price in:\n\nA divergence between AWS-style full-stack Neoclouds like $NBIS and miners such as $CIFR, $BITF, $CLSK, and others.\n\nThis is the reason I sold off $IREN $WULF and others, and consolidated into Nebius.\n\nWhy?\n\n💹 Margins > ⚡️Capacity.\n\nJust today:\n\nThe CTO of Nebius stated:\n\n“Almost no Neocloud in the market is actually a cloud. As in a bunch of baremetal with a ton of third-party software slapped on top.”\n\nProvocative? Absolutely not — if you take the term “cloud” seriously, not just as slapping on a bunch of hardware boxes.\n\nDanila explained how baremetal operators will soon discover the challenges Nebius has already solved at scale.\n\nAnd that’s exactly why I stated $NBIS has the highest asymmetrical upside, since miners may struggle with margins at scale.\n\nWe’ve also seen a Forbes article by Nebius Co-Founder Roman Chernin, summarize how the AI economy requires a new, full-stack, AI-native infrastructure, not the stitched-together systems:\n\n“You can buy racks from one supplier, cable them together... but in the long term, economics, flexibility and speed depend on you controlling your own stack.”\n\n“If you control the stack, you control the product, the performance, and the economics.”\n\n_\n\nThis doesn’t mean there’s no room for other HPC companies like $WYFI, $APLD, $WULF, and others to grow, and the Neocloud segment is just beginning its run-up (especially when we look at $META or $AMZN earnings).\n\nHowever, during the speculation phase, we’ve already priced in capacity buildout with miners - most are already up 50–200%+.\n\nBut when it comes to execution, those who control the full stack will win on margins.\n\nWe’ve seen $CRWV figure that out firsthand, spending billions on software acquisitions and still maintaining lower utilization than $NBIS (as per the whitepaper).\n\nWe’ve also seen how an $800B hyperscaler (Oracle) failed to build out its stack, running at 14% gross margins.\n\nIf Oracle couldn’t fully integrate its software, and CoreWeave is still spending years trying to do so,  how will small miners pivot?\n\nArguments from “Type-1 only” operators will find out the hard way what margin compression at scale looks like.\n\nAs the Forbes article concludes:\n\n“At the end of the day, if you’re just cabling the boxes or building service on top of infrastructure you don’t control, you’re limited in the game of scale and efficiency.”\n\n $NBIS already has that full stack today.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The harsh reality is:\n\nMany of these HPC miner pivots will fail.\n\nThe lack of asymmetrical upside is why I sold off miners like $CIFR, $IREN, $WYFI, and $WULF and into full-stack AWS Neoclouds like $NBIS\n\nHowever, miners that pivot well like $CRWV have very high upside 📈\n\nWhy? https://t.co/AS0xuiBv0Y", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0416460704411008, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0416460704411008, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.038376694587882176, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03897280641695278, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0032693758532186257, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0026732640241480254, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.11522633744855959, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.11522633744855959, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.11334956019566866, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.11942714942725108, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0018767772528909266, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004200811978691488, "ret_p1w": 0.02683129330230849, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02683129330230849, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.043090876417288926, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01900238043653557, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.016259583114980436, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007828912865772919, "ret_p1m": -0.20181067195939428, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.20181067195939428, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.19918629766805673, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.21174006428610903, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00262437429133755, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009929392326714748, "ret_p3m": 0.03604936011043591, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03604936011043591, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.01344883656751894, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.020674032665900066, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.022600523542916973, "bench_c_p3m": 0.015375327444535847, "ret_p6m": -0.2039506072370113, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2039506072370113, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2584651636902172, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.20181838804655372, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05451455645320591, "bench_c_p6m": -0.002132219190457585, "price_path": [-0.7292, -0.6984, -0.6943, -0.6963, -0.7042, -0.7065, -0.7081, -0.6859, -0.6759, -0.6592, -0.6917, -0.6747, -0.6775, -0.6472, -0.6194, -0.6216, -0.632, -0.6207, -0.5641, -0.5641, -0.5208, -0.5356, -0.5699, -0.5695, -0.5689, -0.503, -0.4464, -0.4593, -0.441, -0.3886, -0.4, -0.3761, -0.4021, -0.364, -0.3103, -0.3124, -0.224, -0.238, -0.3109, -0.244, -0.2275, -0.225, -0.226, -0.1694, -0.0494, 0.0153, -0.0109, 0.051, -0.0161, 0.0558, 0.145, 0.119, 0.0178, -0.0005, -0.0252, -0.0914, -0.1468, -0.0805, 0.0354, 0.0698, 0.0275, -0.0054, -0.0416, 0.0, 0.1152, 0.0968, 0.2578, 0.1022, 0.0268, -0.0095, -0.0555, -0.0831, -0.1992, -0.2367, -0.2196, -0.1959, -0.2456, -0.2844, -0.3044, -0.2018, -0.2186, -0.2025, -0.2025, -0.213, -0.2018, -0.3231, -0.2764, -0.2354, -0.264, -0.2372, -0.229, -0.277, -0.2767, -0.3394, -0.416, -0.3977, -0.444, -0.4107, -0.3429, -0.308, -0.3075, -0.309, -0.309, -0.3366, -0.3513, -0.3695, -0.3783, -0.3783, -0.2971, -0.2059, -0.2443, -0.2819, -0.2481, -0.2423, -0.1715, -0.1277, -0.1295, -0.1458, -0.0482, -0.0482, -0.1068, -0.1197, -0.1398, -0.067, -0.1381, -0.0125, 0.036, -0.015, -0.1154, -0.1263, -0.1047, -0.2602, -0.345, -0.3114, -0.2403, -0.2933, -0.2976, -0.3411, -0.305, -0.305, -0.3256, -0.3073, -0.2874, -0.3419, -0.3027, -0.2519, -0.2752, -0.2718, -0.3259, -0.3187, -0.3605, -0.2784, -0.3395, -0.3959, -0.3607, -0.3725, -0.309, -0.319, -0.3156, -0.2602, -0.2928, -0.3052, -0.3142, -0.3203, -0.306, -0.3231, -0.318, -0.3835, -0.4224, -0.4795, -0.4357, -0.4388, -0.4277, -0.4277, -0.4217, -0.4117, -0.3937, -0.39, -0.3528, -0.291, -0.2202, -0.1964, -0.2148, -0.2079, -0.198, -0.2565, -0.2035, -0.1437, -0.1664, -0.204]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1984293587295866986", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-10-31T16:17:12+00:00", "symbol": "WULF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "sold off miners like $CIFR, $IREN, $WYFI, and $WULF", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS as highest-upside full-stack Neocloud; bearish on miners/baremetal operators including CIFR, IREN, WULF on margin compression at scale; CRWV also struggling vs NBIS.", "resolved_tickers": ["WULF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Markets are starting to price in:\n\nA divergence between AWS-style full-stack Neoclouds like $NBIS and miners such as $CIFR, $BITF, $CLSK, and others.\n\nThis is the reason I sold off $IREN $WULF and others, and consolidated into Nebius.\n\nWhy?\n\n💹 Margins > ⚡️Capacity.\n\nJust today:\n\nThe CTO of Nebius stated:\n\n“Almost no Neocloud in the market is actually a cloud. As in a bunch of baremetal with a ton of third-party software slapped on top.”\n\nProvocative? Absolutely not — if you take the term “cloud” seriously, not just as slapping on a bunch of hardware boxes.\n\nDanila explained how baremetal operators will soon discover the challenges Nebius has already solved at scale.\n\nAnd that’s exactly why I stated $NBIS has the highest asymmetrical upside, since miners may struggle with margins at scale.\n\nWe’ve also seen a Forbes article by Nebius Co-Founder Roman Chernin, summarize how the AI economy requires a new, full-stack, AI-native infrastructure, not the stitched-together systems:\n\n“You can buy racks from one supplier, cable them together... but in the long term, economics, flexibility and speed depend on you controlling your own stack.”\n\n“If you control the stack, you control the product, the performance, and the economics.”\n\n_\n\nThis doesn’t mean there’s no room for other HPC companies like $WYFI, $APLD, $WULF, and others to grow, and the Neocloud segment is just beginning its run-up (especially when we look at $META or $AMZN earnings).\n\nHowever, during the speculation phase, we’ve already priced in capacity buildout with miners - most are already up 50–200%+.\n\nBut when it comes to execution, those who control the full stack will win on margins.\n\nWe’ve seen $CRWV figure that out firsthand, spending billions on software acquisitions and still maintaining lower utilization than $NBIS (as per the whitepaper).\n\nWe’ve also seen how an $800B hyperscaler (Oracle) failed to build out its stack, running at 14% gross margins.\n\nIf Oracle couldn’t fully integrate its software, and CoreWeave is still spending years trying to do so,  how will small miners pivot?\n\nArguments from “Type-1 only” operators will find out the hard way what margin compression at scale looks like.\n\nAs the Forbes article concludes:\n\n“At the end of the day, if you’re just cabling the boxes or building service on top of infrastructure you don’t control, you’re limited in the game of scale and efficiency.”\n\n $NBIS already has that full stack today.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The harsh reality is:\n\nMany of these HPC miner pivots will fail.\n\nThe lack of asymmetrical upside is why I sold off miners like $CIFR, $IREN, $WYFI, and $WULF and into full-stack AWS Neoclouds like $NBIS\n\nHowever, miners that pivot well like $CRWV have very high upside 📈\n\nWhy? https://t.co/AS0xuiBv0Y", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04387098743069562, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04387098743069562, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04060161157747699, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04060161157747699, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0032693758532186257, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0032693758532186257, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03870970203030488, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03870970203030488, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.036832924777413956, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.036832924777413956, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0018767772528909266, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0018767772528909266, "ret_p1w": -0.10064518836236769, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10064518836236769, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08438560524738725, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08438560524738725, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.016259583114980436, "bench_c_p1w": -0.016259583114980436, "ret_p1m": -0.012903213500976562, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.012903213500976562, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.010278839209639012, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.010278839209639012, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00262437429133755, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00262437429133755, "ret_p3m": -0.025161312472435693, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.025161312472435693, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.047761836015352666, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.047761836015352666, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.022600523542916973, "bench_c_p3m": 0.022600523542916973, "ret_p6m": 0.3825806648500505, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3825806648500505, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3280661083968446, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3280661083968446, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05451455645320591, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05451455645320591, "price_path": [-0.6735, -0.6677, -0.6813, -0.6755, -0.6516, -0.6619, -0.6477, -0.4381, -0.4213, -0.3948, -0.4335, -0.4013, -0.4071, -0.409, -0.4239, -0.4039, -0.411, -0.391, -0.3903, -0.3903, -0.3787, -0.4206, -0.4277, -0.411, -0.4065, -0.3355, -0.3194, -0.3135, -0.3058, -0.3232, -0.2942, -0.2677, -0.2794, -0.2916, -0.2587, -0.2748, -0.2645, -0.2923, -0.3013, -0.2516, -0.2632, -0.26, -0.2529, -0.231, -0.2277, -0.2194, -0.2065, -0.1232, -0.1284, -0.0968, -0.0026, -0.0019, -0.1058, -0.1013, -0.1065, -0.1523, -0.1858, -0.169, -0.1155, -0.12, 0.0284, -0.0645, -0.0439, 0.0, 0.0387, -0.0316, -0.009, -0.0787, -0.1006, -0.0774, -0.2019, -0.1845, -0.2465, -0.291, -0.2871, -0.2258, -0.211, -0.2542, -0.2716, -0.1852, -0.1006, -0.0426, -0.0426, 0.0006, -0.0129, -0.0826, -0.069, -0.0258, -0.0645, -0.0348, 0.0058, 0.0168, 0.0213, -0.0755, -0.1942, -0.1619, -0.2535, -0.2394, -0.1923, -0.1955, -0.1987, -0.2058, -0.2058, -0.2419, -0.2632, -0.2806, -0.2587, -0.2587, -0.1781, -0.1213, -0.1497, -0.1942, -0.1716, -0.1548, -0.109, -0.0877, -0.0832, -0.1077, -0.1065, -0.1065, -0.14, -0.1535, -0.1684, -0.089, -0.1103, -0.0123, -0.0252, -0.0619, -0.1374, -0.1329, -0.0452, -0.1045, -0.231, -0.0781, 0.0742, 0.0729, 0.0342, 0.0265, 0.049, 0.049, 0.0439, -0.0077, -0.0019, -0.0316, 0.0116, 0.1329, 0.1561, 0.1535, 0.0465, 0.0335, -0.049, -0.0084, -0.0174, -0.1129, -0.1065, -0.0742, -0.0181, -0.0535, -0.0535, 0.0587, 0.0348, -0.0129, 0.0155, -0.0258, 0.0445, 0.0465, 0.0877, -0.0097, -0.0394, -0.1161, -0.069, -0.0658, -0.04, -0.04, 0.0032, 0.069, 0.1645, 0.2277, 0.2174, 0.2548, 0.3516, 0.269, 0.2458, 0.3316, 0.3226, 0.2755, 0.3258, 0.3142, 0.291, 0.3826]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1984293587295866986", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-10-31T16:17:12+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CoreWeave is still spending years trying to do so, how will small miners pivot", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS as highest-upside full-stack Neocloud; bearish on miners/baremetal operators including CIFR, IREN, WULF on margin compression at scale; CRWV also struggling vs NBIS.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Markets are starting to price in:\n\nA divergence between AWS-style full-stack Neoclouds like $NBIS and miners such as $CIFR, $BITF, $CLSK, and others.\n\nThis is the reason I sold off $IREN $WULF and others, and consolidated into Nebius.\n\nWhy?\n\n💹 Margins > ⚡️Capacity.\n\nJust today:\n\nThe CTO of Nebius stated:\n\n“Almost no Neocloud in the market is actually a cloud. As in a bunch of baremetal with a ton of third-party software slapped on top.”\n\nProvocative? Absolutely not — if you take the term “cloud” seriously, not just as slapping on a bunch of hardware boxes.\n\nDanila explained how baremetal operators will soon discover the challenges Nebius has already solved at scale.\n\nAnd that’s exactly why I stated $NBIS has the highest asymmetrical upside, since miners may struggle with margins at scale.\n\nWe’ve also seen a Forbes article by Nebius Co-Founder Roman Chernin, summarize how the AI economy requires a new, full-stack, AI-native infrastructure, not the stitched-together systems:\n\n“You can buy racks from one supplier, cable them together... but in the long term, economics, flexibility and speed depend on you controlling your own stack.”\n\n“If you control the stack, you control the product, the performance, and the economics.”\n\n_\n\nThis doesn’t mean there’s no room for other HPC companies like $WYFI, $APLD, $WULF, and others to grow, and the Neocloud segment is just beginning its run-up (especially when we look at $META or $AMZN earnings).\n\nHowever, during the speculation phase, we’ve already priced in capacity buildout with miners - most are already up 50–200%+.\n\nBut when it comes to execution, those who control the full stack will win on margins.\n\nWe’ve seen $CRWV figure that out firsthand, spending billions on software acquisitions and still maintaining lower utilization than $NBIS (as per the whitepaper).\n\nWe’ve also seen how an $800B hyperscaler (Oracle) failed to build out its stack, running at 14% gross margins.\n\nIf Oracle couldn’t fully integrate its software, and CoreWeave is still spending years trying to do so,  how will small miners pivot?\n\nArguments from “Type-1 only” operators will find out the hard way what margin compression at scale looks like.\n\nAs the Forbes article concludes:\n\n“At the end of the day, if you’re just cabling the boxes or building service on top of infrastructure you don’t control, you’re limited in the game of scale and efficiency.”\n\n $NBIS already has that full stack today.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The harsh reality is:\n\nMany of these HPC miner pivots will fail.\n\nThe lack of asymmetrical upside is why I sold off miners like $CIFR, $IREN, $WYFI, and $WULF and into full-stack AWS Neoclouds like $NBIS\n\nHowever, miners that pivot well like $CRWV have very high upside 📈\n\nWhy? https://t.co/AS0xuiBv0Y", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.019819078769058196, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.019819078769058196, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01654970291583957, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01654970291583957, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0032693758532186257, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0032693758532186257, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05526891517444332, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05526891517444332, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05714569242733425, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05714569242733425, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0018767772528909266, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0018767772528909266, "ret_p1w": -0.22212252700871715, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.22212252700871715, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.20586294389373672, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.20586294389373672, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.016259583114980436, "bench_c_p1w": -0.016259583114980436, "ret_p1m": -0.4236781565384381, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4236781565384381, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.42105378224710055, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.42105378224710055, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00262437429133755, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00262437429133755, "ret_p3m": -0.20709003575219342, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.20709003575219342, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2296905592951104, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2296905592951104, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.022600523542916973, "bench_c_p3m": 0.022600523542916973, "ret_p6m": -0.1619176431693956, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1619176431693956, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.21643219962260152, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.21643219962260152, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05451455645320591, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05451455645320591, "price_path": [-0.1636, -0.1755, -0.0945, -0.0311, 0.0454, 0.1125, -0.1193, -0.2558, -0.2523, -0.276, -0.3053, -0.3155, -0.321, -0.2971, -0.3091, -0.3165, -0.2751, -0.2312, -0.2294, -0.2294, -0.3019, -0.3278, -0.3457, -0.3337, -0.3004, -0.2505, -0.1239, -0.1572, -0.1627, -0.099, -0.1119, -0.0961, -0.0921, -0.0662, -0.0036, -0.0211, -0.0023, -0.0527, -0.1, -0.0837, 0.0235, 0.025, 0.0321, 0.0081, 0.001, -0.0365, 0.0469, 0.0701, 0.0353, 0.0592, 0.0026, 0.0414, 0.0601, 0.0236, -0.0497, -0.0647, -0.0911, -0.0776, -0.0087, 0.0176, 0.0082, 0.0465, -0.0198, 0.0, -0.0553, -0.1343, -0.1443, -0.2003, -0.2221, -0.2102, -0.3389, -0.3611, -0.4141, -0.4214, -0.4366, -0.4398, -0.4397, -0.4824, -0.4641, -0.4496, -0.4668, -0.4444, -0.4444, -0.4531, -0.4237, -0.4314, -0.4065, -0.3587, -0.3396, -0.355, -0.322, -0.3407, -0.3465, -0.4122, -0.4589, -0.4802, -0.5172, -0.4938, -0.3793, -0.3656, -0.3997, -0.4101, -0.4101, -0.4285, -0.4397, -0.4473, -0.4644, -0.4644, -0.4068, -0.4252, -0.4171, -0.4228, -0.4235, -0.4006, -0.3274, -0.3457, -0.3284, -0.2894, -0.2429, -0.2429, -0.2879, -0.2966, -0.3135, -0.3046, -0.2648, -0.1859, -0.2071, -0.2556, -0.303, -0.3348, -0.3265, -0.3833, -0.4417, -0.3273, -0.2761, -0.2887, -0.2884, -0.2843, -0.2817, -0.2817, -0.3194, -0.2861, -0.2735, -0.3325, -0.3206, -0.2573, -0.267, -0.2698, -0.405, -0.4163, -0.4482, -0.4054, -0.4404, -0.4541, -0.4435, -0.4397, -0.387, -0.4027, -0.3934, -0.3579, -0.3858, -0.3806, -0.3968, -0.3907, -0.387, -0.3791, -0.345, -0.3983, -0.4405, -0.4828, -0.4206, -0.4134, -0.3849, -0.3849, -0.3947, -0.3625, -0.3351, -0.3119, -0.2372, -0.1753, -0.1235, -0.1123, -0.1058, -0.1261, -0.1218, -0.1387, -0.0835, -0.1218, -0.1763, -0.1619]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1971370201938804800", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-26T00:24:17+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd sell $ETH at $3900 if I still had positions in it still", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Would sell ETH at $3900; sees better opportunities elsewhere and would not buy the dip above $3K.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@StockSavvyShay I'd sell $ETH at $3900 if I still had positions in it still. $BMNR tracks ETH so no point of buying it if you don't believe in the underlying asset. \n\nIt could rebound to $4k+ if you're swing trading. I would not buy the dip above $3k+ otherwise\n\nBetter opportunities outside", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "People are panicking that $ETH just slipped into a bear market.\n\nTom Lee, Druckenmiller, Thiel, Griffin &amp; Fink are backing Ethereum at the same time the U.S. govt needs stablecoins to support treasury demand. Most of that supply sits on ETH.\n\nSmells like opportunity under $4K. https://t.co/TUnCe1tDea", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "StockSavvyShay", "ret_m1d": -0.041516007776179475, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.041516007776179475, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.035819499527330545, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0056965082488489305, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.044960083169817366, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.044960083169817366, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04214971672867751, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028103664411398555, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": 0.11868086359219587, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11868086359219587, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10751470945267205, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01116615413952382, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": 0.02087127594300564, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02087127594300564, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.014515912993085855, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035387188936091496, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.27015055413778133, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.27015055413778133, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3163866052561961, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04623605111841478, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.46674783136189546, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.46674783136189546, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.46265559057393557, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.004092240787959889, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4039, -0.3629, -0.358, -0.3784, -0.3699, -0.3519, -0.3135, -0.2679, -0.2671, -0.2534, -0.222, -0.1646, -0.1385, -0.1206, -0.0675, -0.071, -0.1006, -0.0812, -0.0765, -0.0616, -0.0601, -0.0564, -0.084, -0.1357, -0.0785, -0.1051, -0.0872, -0.0301, -0.0065, 0.0473, 0.1375, 0.1785, 0.1269, 0.1001, 0.0685, 0.0093, 0.074, 0.0464, 0.1971, 0.0835, 0.1399, 0.1158, 0.1168, 0.0803, 0.069, 0.0717, 0.1027, 0.0651, 0.0672, 0.0674, 0.0677, 0.0776, 0.1054, 0.1683, 0.1216, 0.1159, 0.138, 0.1373, 0.1078, 0.0414, 0.0321, 0.0291, -0.0415, 0.0, 0.045, 0.0273, 0.0781, 0.112, 0.1187, 0.1615, 0.1029, 0.1218, 0.0826, -0.0478, 0.0519, 0.0222, -0.012, -0.035, -0.0504, -0.0137, -0.0394, -0.0564, -0.0446, -0.0251, 0.0209, -0.0133, -0.0328, -0.0574, -0.0468, -0.1074, -0.1842, -0.1513, -0.1793, -0.1488, -0.1158, -0.1538, -0.1543, -0.199, -0.231, -0.2506, -0.2262, -0.251, -0.2984, -0.3147, -0.2684, -0.2671, -0.2498, -0.2531, -0.2487, -0.3062, -0.2572, -0.2092, -0.2234, -0.2506, -0.2256, -0.1771, -0.176, -0.1979, -0.2358, -0.2655, -0.2655, -0.2984, -0.2995, -0.2621, -0.2552, -0.2657, -0.2702, -0.2806, -0.2751, -0.2729, -0.2638, -0.2648, -0.2566, -0.2258, -0.2006, -0.1833, -0.2153, -0.2308, -0.2361, -0.2338, -0.1769, -0.1688, -0.1781, -0.1835, -0.2104, -0.2726, -0.2619, -0.2691, -0.2683, -0.2749, -0.2512, -0.255, -0.3017, -0.3304, -0.4191, -0.4481, -0.4689, -0.5486, -0.4887, -0.4788, -0.4996, -0.5192, -0.5176, -0.4924, -0.505, -0.5064, -0.5159, -0.5173, -0.5121, -0.5402, -0.5409, -0.4909, -0.4978, -0.5216, -0.4977, -0.5087, -0.4731, -0.4867, -0.5097, -0.5062, -0.4952, -0.4917, -0.4863, -0.4815, -0.4174, -0.4256, -0.454, -0.4704, -0.4681, -0.4667]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1970882823944077317", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-24T16:07:37+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "risk/reward of a short squeeze is worth holding. $HIMS makes all its major moves in 2-3 days randomly every few months. It's one of those things you need to be patient on.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long HIMS; holds for short-squeeze upside, expects major moves over coming months.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@mattia030339 @soulbiri1 $HIMS short share is extremely low. It's being actively shorted, which is probably one of the main reasons why it dropped today.\n\n---\n\n@mattia030339 @soulbiri1 I've always maintained risk/reward of a short squeeze is worth holding.\n\n$HIMS makes all its major moves in 2-3 days randomly every few months. It's one of those things you need to be patient on.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.05164319248826299, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05164319248826299, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04845140393441261, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04845140393441261, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003191788553850383, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003191788553850383, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.030422515152765506, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.030422515152765506, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03503601264123757, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03503601264123757, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0046134974884720625, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0046134974884720625, "ret_p1w": 0.057464814521897, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.057464814521897, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.046346942947932845, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.046346942947932845, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011117871573964155, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011117871573964155, "ret_p1m": -0.08938963984099912, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08938963984099912, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10551431866356198, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10551431866356198, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.016124678822562855, "bench_c_p1m": 0.016124678822562855, "ret_p3m": -0.3417840518861869, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3417840518861869, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3807398237579839, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3807398237579839, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.038955771871796996, "bench_c_p3m": 0.038955771871796996, "ret_p6m": -0.5462910826777069, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5462910826777069, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5472737999820457, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5472737999820457, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0009827173043388537, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0009827173043388537, "price_path": [-0.0721, -0.0638, -0.0993, -0.1087, -0.099, -0.099, -0.0907, -0.0806, -0.0377, -0.056, -0.1007, -0.0229, -0.0524, -0.0263, -0.0612, -0.0539, -0.1061, -0.0608, 0.0896, 0.0764, 0.0826, 0.102, 0.1318, 0.2306, 0.2428, 0.1746, 0.1897, 0.0426, -0.0398, -0.0413, -0.0246, -0.0614, -0.0993, -0.0924, -0.1149, -0.1358, -0.1531, -0.2079, -0.1854, -0.1745, -0.163, -0.1927, -0.1484, -0.1735, -0.1715, -0.2047, -0.2047, -0.2201, -0.1651, -0.0965, -0.0909, -0.0678, -0.1025, -0.1027, -0.028, 0.0423, 0.0133, -0.0443, -0.0545, 0.0554, 0.0858, 0.0836, 0.0516, 0.0, 0.0304, 0.0967, 0.1102, 0.0652, 0.0575, 0.0868, -0.0133, 0.0284, 0.0886, 0.0924, 0.0939, 0.0131, 0.0278, 0.0145, 0.1786, 0.1108, -0.0652, -0.0355, -0.0731, -0.1087, -0.0894, -0.0839, -0.0943, -0.1151, -0.1243, -0.1726, -0.1463, -0.1664, -0.1964, -0.1788, -0.2203, -0.2295, -0.2291, -0.2535, -0.2672, -0.323, -0.3055, -0.3318, -0.3191, -0.3271, -0.3686, -0.3482, -0.2905, -0.3035, -0.2789, -0.2789, -0.2533, -0.2956, -0.3181, -0.3038, -0.2485, -0.2638, -0.2654, -0.2522, -0.2886, -0.2907, -0.3012, -0.3192, -0.3078, -0.3433, -0.347, -0.3322, -0.3418, -0.3465, -0.3489, -0.3489, -0.3557, -0.3596, -0.3795, -0.3902, -0.3902, -0.3726, -0.3482, -0.3341, -0.3341, -0.3639, -0.4049, -0.3927, -0.3953, -0.4118, -0.4135, -0.4107, -0.4107, -0.4278, -0.4575, -0.4269, -0.4438, -0.4314, -0.4426, -0.4616, -0.4391, -0.4913, -0.5035, -0.5204, -0.5418, -0.5591, -0.5677, -0.637, -0.6762, -0.6866, -0.7033, -0.6939, -0.6939, -0.6945, -0.7025, -0.7029, -0.7065, -0.7087, -0.7097, -0.7029, -0.707, -0.7273, -0.6905, -0.7029, -0.6911, -0.7018, -0.7044, -0.5838, -0.5592, -0.514, -0.5523, -0.5348, -0.5328, -0.5309, -0.5653, -0.5463]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1973458076994007226", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-01T18:40:45+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We'll likely see CIFR increase like NBIS after the dip. It followed the same pattern where it rose 32%, then dropped 18%, and now it's beginning it's ascent similar to NBIS.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long CIFR on post-dip ascent pattern mirroring NBIS; also long ORCL post-earnings-dip for massive rally on changed fundamentals.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I make fun of charting but sometimes it's genuinely helpful for pattern based reasoning (not TA). \n\nHistory doesn't repeat itself but it often rhymes for companies in similar sectors.   \n\nWith things material to fundamentals: \n \nEg. $NBIS (64->100->86) vs. $CIFR (+32% into -18% into rise) post $17B MSFT deal and GOOGL 3B deal.   \n\nWe'll likely see CIFR increase like NBIS after the dip. \n\nIt followed the same pattern where it rose 32%, then dropped 18%, and now it's beginning it's ascent similar to NBIS. \n\nSame thing can be said about AVGO post earnings (then dip, then massive rally) and ORCL now (great earnings, dip, then massive rally), because fundamentals changed.  \n\nThought I'd bring some Reddit style charting to X but this is one of the times generally when charting helps imo.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Lot of inspirational trader mindsets going around X lately like:\n \n\"It will pay off. Be Patient\". All BS. \n\nTraders consider sector momentum, catalysts, valuation, pullbacks, macro, IV, option flows, etc. \n\nHere's my mindset for short term trading for various stocks: \n\n1. $NBIS -", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0007936689348472248, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0007936689348472248, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0026022368778717553, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00890351749302698, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00339590581271898, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009697186427874205, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09603174615188648, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09603174615188648, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09487994261469357, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09062099330740825, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001151803537192908, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005410752844478228, "ret_p1w": 0.3968253848113594, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.3968253848113594, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.38985404867701523, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.3754986923840158, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006971336134344197, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02132669242734364, "ret_p1m": 0.5134919934502256, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5134919934502256, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.49646746847391277, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.45808467581664836, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017024524976312794, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0554073176335772, "ret_p3m": 0.19682535453598526, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.19682535453598526, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.16476236907370545, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.17025477772483089, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032062985462279814, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02657057681115438, "ret_p6m": 0.13888888468397576, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.13888888468397576, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.16834036246912631, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.20525124578237874, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02945147778515056, "bench_c_p6m": -0.06636236109840299, "price_path": [-0.5198, -0.5405, -0.5214, -0.5032, -0.5048, -0.5341, -0.5214, -0.5262, -0.5024, -0.4905, -0.4952, -0.504, -0.4492, -0.4698, -0.4722, -0.4865, -0.5111, -0.5492, -0.5675, -0.5667, -0.6087, -0.5881, -0.6024, -0.5865, -0.6135, -0.623, -0.6222, -0.6254, -0.6111, -0.5778, -0.5865, -0.5198, -0.5429, -0.5278, -0.5317, -0.4937, -0.473, -0.4349, -0.4452, -0.4429, -0.3937, -0.3937, -0.3397, -0.3563, -0.4127, -0.4032, -0.3873, -0.2683, -0.1865, -0.2087, -0.1389, -0.1389, -0.0865, -0.0175, -0.0595, -0.0254, 0.1079, 0.123, 0.1222, -0.0746, -0.0897, 0.004, -0.0008, 0.0, 0.096, 0.1667, 0.2175, 0.25, 0.3968, 0.4278, 0.3468, 0.6143, 0.6579, 0.669, 0.4857, 0.4889, 0.5802, 0.4345, 0.2786, 0.3694, 0.6397, 0.6302, 0.5841, 0.5548, 0.5135, 0.4802, 0.8063, 0.7865, 0.9611, 0.723, 0.6421, 0.5595, 0.4817, 0.3794, 0.1849, 0.1397, 0.1389, 0.1571, 0.1603, 0.1556, 0.123, 0.3262, 0.3905, 0.5198, 0.5198, 0.6151, 0.5627, 0.4, 0.4786, 0.5738, 0.5302, 0.546, 0.5524, 0.4667, 0.4984, 0.3532, 0.1698, 0.1897, 0.1421, 0.2024, 0.2865, 0.2968, 0.2627, 0.2873, 0.2873, 0.2056, 0.1968, 0.1579, 0.1714, 0.1714, 0.2857, 0.4413, 0.3921, 0.2762, 0.3135, 0.3198, 0.4032, 0.4484, 0.4389, 0.3905, 0.4921, 0.4921, 0.4222, 0.4063, 0.3802, 0.3944, 0.3087, 0.4881, 0.5056, 0.4048, 0.2667, 0.2548, 0.2905, 0.131, 0.0079, 0.169, 0.3302, 0.3571, 0.2921, 0.2778, 0.3032, 0.3032, 0.2413, 0.2238, 0.254, 0.1627, 0.2079, 0.3587, 0.3183, 0.3079, 0.2381, 0.2508, 0.1675, 0.273, 0.2024, 0.081, 0.1357, 0.1079, 0.1198, 0.0881, 0.1175, 0.2016, 0.1976, 0.1643, 0.1619, 0.1119, 0.1817, 0.181, 0.2603, 0.1389]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1973458076994007226", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-01T18:40:45+00:00", "symbol": "ORCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "ORCL now (great earnings, dip, then massive rally), because fundamentals changed", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long CIFR on post-dip ascent pattern mirroring NBIS; also long ORCL post-earnings-dip for massive rally on changed fundamentals.", "resolved_tickers": ["ORCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I make fun of charting but sometimes it's genuinely helpful for pattern based reasoning (not TA). \n\nHistory doesn't repeat itself but it often rhymes for companies in similar sectors.   \n\nWith things material to fundamentals: \n \nEg. $NBIS (64->100->86) vs. $CIFR (+32% into -18% into rise) post $17B MSFT deal and GOOGL 3B deal.   \n\nWe'll likely see CIFR increase like NBIS after the dip. \n\nIt followed the same pattern where it rose 32%, then dropped 18%, and now it's beginning it's ascent similar to NBIS. \n\nSame thing can be said about AVGO post earnings (then dip, then massive rally) and ORCL now (great earnings, dip, then massive rally), because fundamentals changed.  \n\nThought I'd bring some Reddit style charting to X but this is one of the times generally when charting helps imo.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Lot of inspirational trader mindsets going around X lately like:\n \n\"It will pay off. Be Patient\". All BS. \n\nTraders consider sector momentum, catalysts, valuation, pullbacks, macro, IV, option flows, etc. \n\nHere's my mindset for short term trading for various stocks: \n\n1. $NBIS -", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.026884892634543633, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.026884892634543633, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.023488986821824653, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.023488986821824653, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00339590581271898, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00339590581271898, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0007957529757989246, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0007957529757989246, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0019475565129918326, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0019475565129918326, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001151803537192908, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001151803537192908, "ret_p1w": -0.0013146899170850546, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0013146899170850546, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.008286026051429252, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.008286026051429252, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006971336134344197, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006971336134344197, "ret_p1m": -0.10959541649691595, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10959541649691595, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12661994147322875, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12661994147322875, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017024524976312794, "bench_c_p1m": 0.017024524976312794, "ret_p3m": -0.3227948479225281, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3227948479225281, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3548578333848079, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3548578333848079, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032062985462279814, "bench_c_p3m": 0.032062985462279814, "ret_p6m": -0.5036988624680879, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5036988624680879, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.47424738468293737, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.47424738468293737, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02945147778515056, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02945147778515056, "price_path": [-0.1806, -0.1981, -0.1903, -0.1858, -0.1869, -0.2022, -0.2067, -0.187, -0.1651, -0.1393, -0.1507, -0.1573, -0.1761, -0.163, -0.1598, -0.1519, -0.1429, -0.135, -0.1329, -0.1219, -0.1543, -0.1262, -0.1154, -0.1127, -0.1371, -0.1348, -0.1257, -0.1216, -0.1551, -0.1524, -0.1409, -0.1382, -0.1882, -0.1867, -0.1932, -0.1821, -0.1855, -0.1896, -0.1841, -0.1685, -0.2176, -0.2176, -0.2204, -0.2268, -0.2284, -0.1945, -0.1748, -0.1644, 0.1361, 0.0652, 0.011, 0.0454, 0.061, 0.0429, 0.0263, 0.068, 0.1354, 0.0859, 0.0673, 0.008, -0.0192, -0.0216, -0.0269, 0.0, -0.0008, -0.0099, 0.0089, -0.0165, -0.0013, 0.0293, 0.0154, 0.0676, 0.0364, 0.0524, 0.0849, 0.0097, -0.0393, -0.0463, -0.0549, -0.0293, -0.018, -0.0246, -0.0266, -0.0458, -0.1096, -0.0898, -0.1063, -0.1398, -0.1324, -0.155, -0.1707, -0.1653, -0.1815, -0.2132, -0.2459, -0.2276, -0.2379, -0.2358, -0.2183, -0.2697, -0.3111, -0.3058, -0.3171, -0.2896, -0.2896, -0.3, -0.3035, -0.303, -0.28, -0.2571, -0.2458, -0.2356, -0.2322, -0.227, -0.3108, -0.3415, -0.3591, -0.3461, -0.3814, -0.376, -0.3346, -0.3124, -0.3229, -0.3155, -0.3155, -0.3137, -0.3228, -0.3165, -0.3244, -0.3244, -0.3217, -0.3325, -0.3284, -0.3316, -0.3427, -0.3101, -0.2887, -0.297, -0.3272, -0.3402, -0.3359, -0.3359, -0.3747, -0.3957, -0.3808, -0.3843, -0.366, -0.3922, -0.3995, -0.4126, -0.428, -0.4438, -0.4625, -0.4903, -0.5257, -0.5037, -0.4558, -0.4443, -0.4538, -0.4562, -0.4435, -0.4435, -0.4649, -0.4573, -0.456, -0.4854, -0.5089, -0.4921, -0.486, -0.4776, -0.4947, -0.4813, -0.4822, -0.4705, -0.4621, -0.4684, -0.4733, -0.4808, -0.4331, -0.4469, -0.461, -0.458, -0.4624, -0.4686, -0.4595, -0.4798, -0.4636, -0.4888, -0.4925, -0.5037]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2004936335702753729", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-27T15:24:07+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the multi-trillion dollar AI scaling are tethered to some obscure $700m company $AXTI and $SMTOY", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long AXTI and SMTOY as duopoly chokepoint on InP substrates powering AI photonics buildout; LITE and COHR benefit from price spikes as downstream transceiver makers.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The \"InP Chokepoint\": The Bottleneck of the AI Buildout explanation:\n\nThe future of $NVDA Blackwell, $META MTAI, $GOOGL TPU, and $MSFT Maia ramp is tied to:\n\nA $700M small cap $AXTI and $SMTOY. \n\nThe AI \"Growth\" story ends in 2026 if there's no solution to InP. \n\nHere's why:\n\nThe AI industry started its migrating to photonics for future ASIC/GPU deployments, because copper is hitting a physical limit. \n\nHowever, in doing so, hyperscalers traded the common material for InP (Indium Phosphide), when there's only a few factories capable of producing 6-inch InP wafers at the purity levels required for lasers.\n\nLet's take for example Google and their TPU v7 Ironwood program:\n\nGoogle uses Optical Circuit Switching (OCS), in simpler terms, switchboards made of light. For every one of those TPUs in the pod to talk, they require InP-based lasers. $LITE, which works with Google on this, largely depends on InP substrate (eg. AXT/Sumitomo) to make them.  \n\nIf they don't have it Google's entire Ironwood program doesn't just \"slow down\", it hits the wall.\n\nModern ASICs/GPUs from  $NVDA GB series, $AMZN Trainium, $MSFT Maia, $META MTAI have all made the same bet: Light is the way forward.\n\nNow, here's the issue. \n\nThe entire Western AI roadmap is currently tethered to a $700M small-cap and a single Japanese company that produce majority of the world's InP substrates required for photonics. \n\nIt's currently a duopoly (rough estimates majority supply ~60% between AXT + Sumitomo), with recent estimates of ~70%+ coming from Sumitomo Electric, AXT, Freiberger, JX, and Visual Photonics Epitaxy (filling in the gaps). \n\nRegardless, the entire future AI supply chain is thinner than a needle:\n\n- Moomoo Research: InP market is in a state of \"global scramble\" and \"serious supply shortage\" NVIDIA GB200 rollout (scale-out still requires tons of InP, not NVL72 within-the-rack comm). \n\n- Demand for high-speed transceivers today probably exceeds the supply by almost a factor of two (LightCounting)\n\n- Seeing record booking, but explicitly \"supply-constrained by InP lasers\" ( $COHR CEO Q3 ER)\n\n- McKinsey: 40% to 60% shortfall for 800G modules and a 30% to 40% shortfall for 1.6T modules.\n\nAnd these reports are likely understanding + very conserative given the demand ramp. Even going off Microsoft's projections on Maia ramp, ( est. 1M+ Maia by 2027 on UBS $MRVL note), with 2 million+ units of 1.6T transceivers over the next year, this volume is so large it represents a double-digit percentage of global substrate output.\n\nThe projected \"exponential growth\" of AI is about to collide with the reality of critical material production. So, the \"Ironwood\", \"MTIA\" and \"Maia\" ramps aren't just ambitious, they may be impossible under current material constraints. \n\nEven if $COHR, JX Nippon, Sumitomo, $AXTI, and others, ramp up at maximum capacity (eg. $COHR / JX -> 6-inch InP wafers for 4x capacity), they still might not be able to meet the increasing demand from hyperscalers. Especailly with demand spikes occurring, eg. just for $NVDA alone (GB200/GB300 revisions). \n\nThere are technical solutions like silicon photonics is one solution to bridge the gap, but this still largely requires an external InP laser as the light source. TFLN or quantum dot lasers are many many years away. \n\nThere's probably no escaping the InP requirements for the next few years. \n\nSo, the mismatch between chip design and material availability has created a strategic chokepoint, where if you go to the very bottom of the supply chain, very few companies control a majority of allocations, pricing, and supply. This is especially dangerous when compounded with geopolitical risks on US/China relations + export controls. \n\nThat being said, here's what's probably what's going to happen:\n\n- Price Spikes: Prices from $AXTI, JX, Sumitomo will spike significantly -> $LITE, $COHR, Innolight (also increases prices from pass down)\n\n- Hyperscalers will directly stockpile materials, bypassing traditional component procurement and buying InP substrate inventory from $AXTI, JX Nippon, Sumitomo, and directly to consign to transceiver manufacturers like $LITE.  \n\n(eg. Meta would bypass transceiver companies and go directly to AXT or Sumitomo)\n\n- Hyperscalers will buy out production allocation ( like $NVDA that has already aggressively \"locked in\" EML capacity (manufactured on InP substrates). \n\nBuying a substrate manufacturer or production allocation would become a necessity to so others like $NVDA or $GOOGL doesn't starve them out.\n\nAs TPU v7 and and as other hyperscalers ramp up in 2026-2027, we will likely enter a \"hunger games\" phase for substrates where only each hyperscaler will be cannibalizing each other's growth for resource allocation. \n\nCompanies like $NVDA (with record amounts of pre-allocation), might ramp be okay for the time being, but others programs would likely face major delays. \n\nThoughts:\n\n1. Some hyperscalers might be fine ( $NVDA). Others like $GOOGL and $MSFT will need to buy out materials + allocation before others do. \n\n2. Industry needs to double down on engineering shifts like copper life extension and more material efficient ways like SiPh.\n\n3. Move to 6-inch wafers for yields (eases things, but still not enough to meet demand)\n\nSo the way things are now, the multi-trillion dollar AI scaling are tethered to some obscure $700m company $AXTI and $SMTOY. It seems inevitable that AI will hit the physical ceiling because of InP substrate capacity unless architectures change. \n\nIn 2024, the bottleneck was GPUs. In 2025, it was HBM. In 2026, the primary constraint will likely be the optical interconnect, and specifically, the InP substrates that power them. \n\nThis has now become the hidden bottleneck of the AI buildout.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Warning: The entire AI industry will likely be bottlenecked by two companies:\n\n1. $AXTI ($700M) \n2. $SMTOY ($31.7B)\n\nWhich both control 60–70%+ of the world's InP substrates.\n\nFuture $NVDA, $GOOGL TPU v7 pods, $META, $MSFT, $AMZN hyperscaler clusters require InP-based lasers and https://t.co/8mqrgONJbb", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.053461255984486034, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.053461255984486034, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04988488291347637, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.048930919268866724, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003576373071009664, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00453033671561931, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0829335178541688, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0829335178541688, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08415461858875106, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08540460299076469, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012211007345822589, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0024710851365958852, "ret_p1w": 0.14256339286858166, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.14256339286858166, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14275237698110377, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10582633129221697, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0001889841125221059, "bench_c_p1w": 0.036737061576364693, "ret_p1m": 0.17888969040816738, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.17888969040816738, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1677826029700944, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.060716082998414356, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011107087438072982, "bench_c_p1m": 0.11817360740975302, "ret_p3m": 3.010280857410069, "ret_signed_p3m": 3.010280857410069, "alpha_spy_p3m": 3.069884257700485, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.9646203723246023, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.05960340029041622, "bench_c_p3m": 0.045660485085466496, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6635, -0.6779, -0.6484, -0.6299, -0.6361, -0.6361, -0.6415, -0.7238, -0.6847, -0.6868, -0.6854, -0.6621, -0.6909, -0.6635, -0.6456, -0.6614, -0.645, -0.5846, -0.5757, -0.5476, -0.5154, -0.4983, -0.4551, -0.4202, -0.4147, -0.3763, -0.392, -0.3516, -0.2844, -0.2762, -0.2474, -0.2844, -0.2844, -0.2975, -0.3215, -0.3071, -0.3523, -0.3879, -0.3598, -0.3674, -0.2838, -0.2838, -0.2666, -0.2605, -0.194, -0.2132, -0.1707, -0.2063, -0.1289, 0.0254, 0.0631, 0.1227, 0.0151, 0.0164, -0.109, -0.1528, -0.0398, 0.0041, 0.0432, 0.0034, 0.0288, 0.0288, 0.0535, 0.0, 0.0829, 0.1206, 0.1206, 0.1487, 0.1426, 0.3825, 0.6525, 0.7704, 0.5757, 0.5243, 0.4743, 0.5147, 0.7629, 0.5141, 0.5141, 0.4674, 0.3557, 0.2282, 0.1926, 0.22, 0.1789, 0.1535, 0.1227, 0.2707, 0.4352, 0.353, 0.2851, 0.4003, 0.6491, 0.9034, 0.669, 0.8369, 0.6991, 0.6614, 0.6614, 0.5908, 0.6134, 0.6319, 1.0343, 0.9486, 1.4044, 1.8081, 1.5442, 1.5977, 2.1748, 1.8622, 1.682, 1.6594, 1.2186, 1.6429, 2.0363, 2.2461, 2.2029, 2.3489, 2.3167, 2.0404, 2.342, 2.9815, 2.7176, 3.4167, 3.6909, 3.6162, 3.0103, 3.1556, 2.6141, 2.9054, 2.231, 2.6217, 2.6217, 1.878, 2.1158, 2.645, 3.3263, 3.3989, 3.5545, 3.6127, 3.3132, 4.6052, 4.6587, 4.3982, 4.1385, 4.9589, 4.159, 4.22, 3.8081, 3.7094, 3.8711, 4.4297, 5.5798, 6.2653, 6.3715, 6.1851, 6.4311, 6.9753, 7.623, 7.4236, 7.3578, 6.8807, 7.4839, 6.257, 6.7368, 6.17, 7.2947, 8.6525, 8.6525, 8.0884, 7.4147, 6.9301, 6.0706, 6.0706, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2004936335702753729", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-27T15:24:07+00:00", "symbol": "SMTOY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the multi-trillion dollar AI scaling are tethered to some obscure $700m company $AXTI and $SMTOY", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long AXTI and SMTOY as duopoly chokepoint on InP substrates powering AI photonics buildout; LITE and COHR benefit from price spikes as downstream transceiver makers.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMTOY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Parts'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Parts", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The \"InP Chokepoint\": The Bottleneck of the AI Buildout explanation:\n\nThe future of $NVDA Blackwell, $META MTAI, $GOOGL TPU, and $MSFT Maia ramp is tied to:\n\nA $700M small cap $AXTI and $SMTOY. \n\nThe AI \"Growth\" story ends in 2026 if there's no solution to InP. \n\nHere's why:\n\nThe AI industry started its migrating to photonics for future ASIC/GPU deployments, because copper is hitting a physical limit. \n\nHowever, in doing so, hyperscalers traded the common material for InP (Indium Phosphide), when there's only a few factories capable of producing 6-inch InP wafers at the purity levels required for lasers.\n\nLet's take for example Google and their TPU v7 Ironwood program:\n\nGoogle uses Optical Circuit Switching (OCS), in simpler terms, switchboards made of light. For every one of those TPUs in the pod to talk, they require InP-based lasers. $LITE, which works with Google on this, largely depends on InP substrate (eg. AXT/Sumitomo) to make them.  \n\nIf they don't have it Google's entire Ironwood program doesn't just \"slow down\", it hits the wall.\n\nModern ASICs/GPUs from  $NVDA GB series, $AMZN Trainium, $MSFT Maia, $META MTAI have all made the same bet: Light is the way forward.\n\nNow, here's the issue. \n\nThe entire Western AI roadmap is currently tethered to a $700M small-cap and a single Japanese company that produce majority of the world's InP substrates required for photonics. \n\nIt's currently a duopoly (rough estimates majority supply ~60% between AXT + Sumitomo), with recent estimates of ~70%+ coming from Sumitomo Electric, AXT, Freiberger, JX, and Visual Photonics Epitaxy (filling in the gaps). \n\nRegardless, the entire future AI supply chain is thinner than a needle:\n\n- Moomoo Research: InP market is in a state of \"global scramble\" and \"serious supply shortage\" NVIDIA GB200 rollout (scale-out still requires tons of InP, not NVL72 within-the-rack comm). \n\n- Demand for high-speed transceivers today probably exceeds the supply by almost a factor of two (LightCounting)\n\n- Seeing record booking, but explicitly \"supply-constrained by InP lasers\" ( $COHR CEO Q3 ER)\n\n- McKinsey: 40% to 60% shortfall for 800G modules and a 30% to 40% shortfall for 1.6T modules.\n\nAnd these reports are likely understanding + very conserative given the demand ramp. Even going off Microsoft's projections on Maia ramp, ( est. 1M+ Maia by 2027 on UBS $MRVL note), with 2 million+ units of 1.6T transceivers over the next year, this volume is so large it represents a double-digit percentage of global substrate output.\n\nThe projected \"exponential growth\" of AI is about to collide with the reality of critical material production. So, the \"Ironwood\", \"MTIA\" and \"Maia\" ramps aren't just ambitious, they may be impossible under current material constraints. \n\nEven if $COHR, JX Nippon, Sumitomo, $AXTI, and others, ramp up at maximum capacity (eg. $COHR / JX -> 6-inch InP wafers for 4x capacity), they still might not be able to meet the increasing demand from hyperscalers. Especailly with demand spikes occurring, eg. just for $NVDA alone (GB200/GB300 revisions). \n\nThere are technical solutions like silicon photonics is one solution to bridge the gap, but this still largely requires an external InP laser as the light source. TFLN or quantum dot lasers are many many years away. \n\nThere's probably no escaping the InP requirements for the next few years. \n\nSo, the mismatch between chip design and material availability has created a strategic chokepoint, where if you go to the very bottom of the supply chain, very few companies control a majority of allocations, pricing, and supply. This is especially dangerous when compounded with geopolitical risks on US/China relations + export controls. \n\nThat being said, here's what's probably what's going to happen:\n\n- Price Spikes: Prices from $AXTI, JX, Sumitomo will spike significantly -> $LITE, $COHR, Innolight (also increases prices from pass down)\n\n- Hyperscalers will directly stockpile materials, bypassing traditional component procurement and buying InP substrate inventory from $AXTI, JX Nippon, Sumitomo, and directly to consign to transceiver manufacturers like $LITE.  \n\n(eg. Meta would bypass transceiver companies and go directly to AXT or Sumitomo)\n\n- Hyperscalers will buy out production allocation ( like $NVDA that has already aggressively \"locked in\" EML capacity (manufactured on InP substrates). \n\nBuying a substrate manufacturer or production allocation would become a necessity to so others like $NVDA or $GOOGL doesn't starve them out.\n\nAs TPU v7 and and as other hyperscalers ramp up in 2026-2027, we will likely enter a \"hunger games\" phase for substrates where only each hyperscaler will be cannibalizing each other's growth for resource allocation. \n\nCompanies like $NVDA (with record amounts of pre-allocation), might ramp be okay for the time being, but others programs would likely face major delays. \n\nThoughts:\n\n1. Some hyperscalers might be fine ( $NVDA). Others like $GOOGL and $MSFT will need to buy out materials + allocation before others do. \n\n2. Industry needs to double down on engineering shifts like copper life extension and more material efficient ways like SiPh.\n\n3. Move to 6-inch wafers for yields (eases things, but still not enough to meet demand)\n\nSo the way things are now, the multi-trillion dollar AI scaling are tethered to some obscure $700m company $AXTI and $SMTOY. It seems inevitable that AI will hit the physical ceiling because of InP substrate capacity unless architectures change. \n\nIn 2024, the bottleneck was GPUs. In 2025, it was HBM. In 2026, the primary constraint will likely be the optical interconnect, and specifically, the InP substrates that power them. \n\nThis has now become the hidden bottleneck of the AI buildout.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Warning: The entire AI industry will likely be bottlenecked by two companies:\n\n1. $AXTI ($700M) \n2. $SMTOY ($31.7B)\n\nWhich both control 60–70%+ of the world's InP substrates.\n\nFuture $NVDA, $GOOGL TPU v7 pods, $META, $MSFT, $AMZN hyperscaler clusters require InP-based lasers and https://t.co/8mqrgONJbb", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.010583320055908785, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010583320055908785, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014159693126918449, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.020513043659877384, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003576373071009664, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009929723603968599, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005660830327095967, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005660830327095967, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004439729592513708, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00160625012094473, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012211007345822589, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004054580206151237, "ret_p1w": 0.05906959507970733, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05906959507970733, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05925857919222943, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06362068676922861, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0001889841125221059, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0045510916895212805, "ret_p1m": 0.09229633033268225, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09229633033268225, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08118924289460927, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0770708427010307, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011107087438072982, "bench_c_p1m": 0.015225487631651546, "ret_p3m": 0.43514643958624766, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.43514643958624766, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4947498398766639, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5327995387977692, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.05960340029041622, "bench_c_p3m": -0.09765309921152154, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3084, -0.3008, -0.2968, -0.2791, -0.2749, -0.2641, -0.257, -0.2897, -0.2801, -0.2926, -0.2759, -0.2638, -0.2594, -0.2488, -0.2653, -0.2825, -0.2582, -0.2555, -0.235, -0.225, -0.1971, -0.1479, -0.0967, -0.0911, -0.0396, -0.0418, -0.017, -0.0615, -0.0295, -0.0581, -0.0468, -0.016, 0.0017, 0.0192, -0.0625, -0.0564, -0.0305, -0.0881, -0.0864, -0.0357, -0.0386, -0.0386, -0.0342, 0.0071, 0.0406, 0.0829, 0.0549, 0.0628, 0.0908, 0.1186, 0.1009, 0.0743, 0.0251, 0.0473, -0.0111, -0.0121, -0.0281, 0.0052, 0.0566, 0.0445, 0.0303, 0.0303, -0.0106, 0.0, -0.0057, -0.0185, -0.0185, 0.0074, 0.0591, 0.0145, 0.0389, 0.0064, 0.0148, 0.0377, 0.0094, -0.0017, 0.0325, 0.0524, 0.0524, 0.0098, 0.0539, 0.0477, 0.0317, 0.0359, 0.0923, 0.13, 0.1058, 0.0765, 0.1036, 0.177, 0.2373, 0.1538, 0.2309, 0.3488, 0.3862, 0.4187, 0.3982, 0.4, 0.4, 0.41, 0.411, 0.4612, 0.5516, 0.5769, 0.7167, 0.7376, 0.5936, 0.6288, 0.6911, 0.6441, 0.6365, 0.5161, 0.4871, 0.4984, 0.5826, 0.6377, 0.5777, 0.5929, 0.6111, 0.4876, 0.4977, 0.5353, 0.4551, 0.4989, 0.5198, 0.5786, 0.4351, 0.4108, 0.3286, 0.3586, 0.4799, 0.4595, 0.4595, 0.4777, 0.4351, 0.6458, 0.6323, 0.6761, 0.5757, 0.5855, 0.4792, 0.5752, 0.5796, 0.5636, 0.5619, 0.6862, 0.57, 0.5727, 0.5279, 0.5336, 0.5356, 0.654, 0.5681, 0.5653, 0.6035, 0.6921, 0.7467, 0.8132, 0.8341, 0.7657, 1.0086, 0.8949, 0.7256, 0.7347, 0.6643, 0.6864, 0.7384, 0.8169, 0.8169, 0.8661, 0.874, 0.8806, 0.9134, 0.9134, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2004936335702753729", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-12-27T15:24:07+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Price Spikes: Prices from $AXTI, JX, Sumitomo will spike significantly -> $LITE, $COHR", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long AXTI and SMTOY as duopoly chokepoint on InP substrates powering AI photonics buildout; LITE and COHR benefit from price spikes as downstream transceiver makers.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The \"InP Chokepoint\": The Bottleneck of the AI Buildout explanation:\n\nThe future of $NVDA Blackwell, $META MTAI, $GOOGL TPU, and $MSFT Maia ramp is tied to:\n\nA $700M small cap $AXTI and $SMTOY. \n\nThe AI \"Growth\" story ends in 2026 if there's no solution to InP. \n\nHere's why:\n\nThe AI industry started its migrating to photonics for future ASIC/GPU deployments, because copper is hitting a physical limit. \n\nHowever, in doing so, hyperscalers traded the common material for InP (Indium Phosphide), when there's only a few factories capable of producing 6-inch InP wafers at the purity levels required for lasers.\n\nLet's take for example Google and their TPU v7 Ironwood program:\n\nGoogle uses Optical Circuit Switching (OCS), in simpler terms, switchboards made of light. For every one of those TPUs in the pod to talk, they require InP-based lasers. $LITE, which works with Google on this, largely depends on InP substrate (eg. AXT/Sumitomo) to make them.  \n\nIf they don't have it Google's entire Ironwood program doesn't just \"slow down\", it hits the wall.\n\nModern ASICs/GPUs from  $NVDA GB series, $AMZN Trainium, $MSFT Maia, $META MTAI have all made the same bet: Light is the way forward.\n\nNow, here's the issue. \n\nThe entire Western AI roadmap is currently tethered to a $700M small-cap and a single Japanese company that produce majority of the world's InP substrates required for photonics. \n\nIt's currently a duopoly (rough estimates majority supply ~60% between AXT + Sumitomo), with recent estimates of ~70%+ coming from Sumitomo Electric, AXT, Freiberger, JX, and Visual Photonics Epitaxy (filling in the gaps). \n\nRegardless, the entire future AI supply chain is thinner than a needle:\n\n- Moomoo Research: InP market is in a state of \"global scramble\" and \"serious supply shortage\" NVIDIA GB200 rollout (scale-out still requires tons of InP, not NVL72 within-the-rack comm). \n\n- Demand for high-speed transceivers today probably exceeds the supply by almost a factor of two (LightCounting)\n\n- Seeing record booking, but explicitly \"supply-constrained by InP lasers\" ( $COHR CEO Q3 ER)\n\n- McKinsey: 40% to 60% shortfall for 800G modules and a 30% to 40% shortfall for 1.6T modules.\n\nAnd these reports are likely understanding + very conserative given the demand ramp. Even going off Microsoft's projections on Maia ramp, ( est. 1M+ Maia by 2027 on UBS $MRVL note), with 2 million+ units of 1.6T transceivers over the next year, this volume is so large it represents a double-digit percentage of global substrate output.\n\nThe projected \"exponential growth\" of AI is about to collide with the reality of critical material production. So, the \"Ironwood\", \"MTIA\" and \"Maia\" ramps aren't just ambitious, they may be impossible under current material constraints. \n\nEven if $COHR, JX Nippon, Sumitomo, $AXTI, and others, ramp up at maximum capacity (eg. $COHR / JX -> 6-inch InP wafers for 4x capacity), they still might not be able to meet the increasing demand from hyperscalers. Especailly with demand spikes occurring, eg. just for $NVDA alone (GB200/GB300 revisions). \n\nThere are technical solutions like silicon photonics is one solution to bridge the gap, but this still largely requires an external InP laser as the light source. TFLN or quantum dot lasers are many many years away. \n\nThere's probably no escaping the InP requirements for the next few years. \n\nSo, the mismatch between chip design and material availability has created a strategic chokepoint, where if you go to the very bottom of the supply chain, very few companies control a majority of allocations, pricing, and supply. This is especially dangerous when compounded with geopolitical risks on US/China relations + export controls. \n\nThat being said, here's what's probably what's going to happen:\n\n- Price Spikes: Prices from $AXTI, JX, Sumitomo will spike significantly -> $LITE, $COHR, Innolight (also increases prices from pass down)\n\n- Hyperscalers will directly stockpile materials, bypassing traditional component procurement and buying InP substrate inventory from $AXTI, JX Nippon, Sumitomo, and directly to consign to transceiver manufacturers like $LITE.  \n\n(eg. Meta would bypass transceiver companies and go directly to AXT or Sumitomo)\n\n- Hyperscalers will buy out production allocation ( like $NVDA that has already aggressively \"locked in\" EML capacity (manufactured on InP substrates). \n\nBuying a substrate manufacturer or production allocation would become a necessity to so others like $NVDA or $GOOGL doesn't starve them out.\n\nAs TPU v7 and and as other hyperscalers ramp up in 2026-2027, we will likely enter a \"hunger games\" phase for substrates where only each hyperscaler will be cannibalizing each other's growth for resource allocation. \n\nCompanies like $NVDA (with record amounts of pre-allocation), might ramp be okay for the time being, but others programs would likely face major delays. \n\nThoughts:\n\n1. Some hyperscalers might be fine ( $NVDA). Others like $GOOGL and $MSFT will need to buy out materials + allocation before others do. \n\n2. Industry needs to double down on engineering shifts like copper life extension and more material efficient ways like SiPh.\n\n3. Move to 6-inch wafers for yields (eases things, but still not enough to meet demand)\n\nSo the way things are now, the multi-trillion dollar AI scaling are tethered to some obscure $700m company $AXTI and $SMTOY. It seems inevitable that AI will hit the physical ceiling because of InP substrate capacity unless architectures change. \n\nIn 2024, the bottleneck was GPUs. In 2025, it was HBM. In 2026, the primary constraint will likely be the optical interconnect, and specifically, the InP substrates that power them. \n\nThis has now become the hidden bottleneck of the AI buildout.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Warning: The entire AI industry will likely be bottlenecked by two companies:\n\n1. $AXTI ($700M) \n2. $SMTOY ($31.7B)\n\nWhich both control 60–70%+ of the world's InP substrates.\n\nFuture $NVDA, $GOOGL TPU v7 pods, $META, $MSFT, $AMZN hyperscaler clusters require InP-based lasers and https://t.co/8mqrgONJbb", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04873729737804844, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04873729737804844, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.045160924307038774, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.045160924307038774, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003576373071009664, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003576373071009664, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00383777336088309, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00383777336088309, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.002616672626300831, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.002616672626300831, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012211007345822589, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012211007345822589, "ret_p1w": -0.041759475511405575, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.041759475511405575, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04157049139888347, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04157049139888347, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0001889841125221059, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0001889841125221059, "ret_p1m": -0.0052333049733309656, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0052333049733309656, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.016340392411403948, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.016340392411403948, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011107087438072982, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011107087438072982, "ret_p3m": 0.8485816668146366, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.8485816668146366, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.9081850671050529, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.9081850671050529, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.05960340029041622, "bench_c_p3m": -0.05960340029041622, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.54, -0.5444, -0.5604, -0.569, -0.5782, -0.5623, -0.5712, -0.5985, -0.5691, -0.5792, -0.5798, -0.5619, -0.5578, -0.5679, -0.5627, -0.5758, -0.5478, -0.5188, -0.4799, -0.4676, -0.4249, -0.4629, -0.4591, -0.4644, -0.4945, -0.3754, -0.3568, -0.3556, -0.3025, -0.3224, -0.3188, -0.3912, -0.377, -0.3503, -0.336, -0.2783, -0.374, -0.3141, -0.1966, -0.2183, -0.1726, -0.1726, -0.1273, -0.1467, -0.1873, -0.1869, -0.1201, -0.1106, -0.0806, -0.033, -0.0177, -0.0014, -0.1295, -0.1018, -0.1515, -0.1405, -0.0952, -0.0032, 0.0463, 0.0397, 0.0626, 0.0626, 0.0487, 0.0, -0.0038, -0.0108, -0.0108, 0.0362, -0.0418, 0.0666, 0.0544, -0.0653, -0.0569, -0.0879, -0.0303, -0.11, -0.0787, -0.1298, -0.1298, -0.0423, -0.0273, -0.0486, -0.0897, -0.1078, -0.0052, 0.0333, 0.0237, 0.0516, 0.1364, 0.1677, 0.2494, 0.3537, 0.4814, 0.5489, 0.5059, 0.5408, 0.5659, 0.5103, 0.5103, 0.6114, 0.5949, 0.7059, 0.7921, 0.8108, 0.8472, 0.9414, 0.8169, 0.8811, 1.1021, 0.8637, 0.8271, 0.7467, 0.4987, 0.7195, 0.8035, 0.8035, 0.6534, 0.6706, 0.6769, 0.7433, 0.8808, 1.0722, 0.8957, 0.9563, 1.1524, 1.0857, 0.8486, 0.886, 0.7573, 0.886, 1.0521, 1.2192, 1.2192, 1.0726, 1.1893, 1.4047, 1.3996, 1.4081, 1.338, 1.2887, 1.2115, 1.3918, 1.3995, 1.4023, 1.2461, 1.3445, 1.2729, 1.3661, 1.3072, 1.1239, 1.3035, 1.4216, 1.5494, 1.6198, 1.6692, 1.5342, 1.3955, 1.4256, 1.8263, 1.6633, 1.7653, 1.6886, 1.6051, 1.3751, 1.3888, 1.3297, 1.5885, 1.5413, 1.5413, 1.4444, 1.4216, 1.3097, 1.2945, 1.2945, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2004936335702753729", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-12-27T15:24:07+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Price Spikes: Prices from $AXTI, JX, Sumitomo will spike significantly -> $LITE, $COHR", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long AXTI and SMTOY as duopoly chokepoint on InP substrates powering AI photonics buildout; LITE and COHR benefit from price spikes as downstream transceiver makers.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The \"InP Chokepoint\": The Bottleneck of the AI Buildout explanation:\n\nThe future of $NVDA Blackwell, $META MTAI, $GOOGL TPU, and $MSFT Maia ramp is tied to:\n\nA $700M small cap $AXTI and $SMTOY. \n\nThe AI \"Growth\" story ends in 2026 if there's no solution to InP. \n\nHere's why:\n\nThe AI industry started its migrating to photonics for future ASIC/GPU deployments, because copper is hitting a physical limit. \n\nHowever, in doing so, hyperscalers traded the common material for InP (Indium Phosphide), when there's only a few factories capable of producing 6-inch InP wafers at the purity levels required for lasers.\n\nLet's take for example Google and their TPU v7 Ironwood program:\n\nGoogle uses Optical Circuit Switching (OCS), in simpler terms, switchboards made of light. For every one of those TPUs in the pod to talk, they require InP-based lasers. $LITE, which works with Google on this, largely depends on InP substrate (eg. AXT/Sumitomo) to make them.  \n\nIf they don't have it Google's entire Ironwood program doesn't just \"slow down\", it hits the wall.\n\nModern ASICs/GPUs from  $NVDA GB series, $AMZN Trainium, $MSFT Maia, $META MTAI have all made the same bet: Light is the way forward.\n\nNow, here's the issue. \n\nThe entire Western AI roadmap is currently tethered to a $700M small-cap and a single Japanese company that produce majority of the world's InP substrates required for photonics. \n\nIt's currently a duopoly (rough estimates majority supply ~60% between AXT + Sumitomo), with recent estimates of ~70%+ coming from Sumitomo Electric, AXT, Freiberger, JX, and Visual Photonics Epitaxy (filling in the gaps). \n\nRegardless, the entire future AI supply chain is thinner than a needle:\n\n- Moomoo Research: InP market is in a state of \"global scramble\" and \"serious supply shortage\" NVIDIA GB200 rollout (scale-out still requires tons of InP, not NVL72 within-the-rack comm). \n\n- Demand for high-speed transceivers today probably exceeds the supply by almost a factor of two (LightCounting)\n\n- Seeing record booking, but explicitly \"supply-constrained by InP lasers\" ( $COHR CEO Q3 ER)\n\n- McKinsey: 40% to 60% shortfall for 800G modules and a 30% to 40% shortfall for 1.6T modules.\n\nAnd these reports are likely understanding + very conserative given the demand ramp. Even going off Microsoft's projections on Maia ramp, ( est. 1M+ Maia by 2027 on UBS $MRVL note), with 2 million+ units of 1.6T transceivers over the next year, this volume is so large it represents a double-digit percentage of global substrate output.\n\nThe projected \"exponential growth\" of AI is about to collide with the reality of critical material production. So, the \"Ironwood\", \"MTIA\" and \"Maia\" ramps aren't just ambitious, they may be impossible under current material constraints. \n\nEven if $COHR, JX Nippon, Sumitomo, $AXTI, and others, ramp up at maximum capacity (eg. $COHR / JX -> 6-inch InP wafers for 4x capacity), they still might not be able to meet the increasing demand from hyperscalers. Especailly with demand spikes occurring, eg. just for $NVDA alone (GB200/GB300 revisions). \n\nThere are technical solutions like silicon photonics is one solution to bridge the gap, but this still largely requires an external InP laser as the light source. TFLN or quantum dot lasers are many many years away. \n\nThere's probably no escaping the InP requirements for the next few years. \n\nSo, the mismatch between chip design and material availability has created a strategic chokepoint, where if you go to the very bottom of the supply chain, very few companies control a majority of allocations, pricing, and supply. This is especially dangerous when compounded with geopolitical risks on US/China relations + export controls. \n\nThat being said, here's what's probably what's going to happen:\n\n- Price Spikes: Prices from $AXTI, JX, Sumitomo will spike significantly -> $LITE, $COHR, Innolight (also increases prices from pass down)\n\n- Hyperscalers will directly stockpile materials, bypassing traditional component procurement and buying InP substrate inventory from $AXTI, JX Nippon, Sumitomo, and directly to consign to transceiver manufacturers like $LITE.  \n\n(eg. Meta would bypass transceiver companies and go directly to AXT or Sumitomo)\n\n- Hyperscalers will buy out production allocation ( like $NVDA that has already aggressively \"locked in\" EML capacity (manufactured on InP substrates). \n\nBuying a substrate manufacturer or production allocation would become a necessity to so others like $NVDA or $GOOGL doesn't starve them out.\n\nAs TPU v7 and and as other hyperscalers ramp up in 2026-2027, we will likely enter a \"hunger games\" phase for substrates where only each hyperscaler will be cannibalizing each other's growth for resource allocation. \n\nCompanies like $NVDA (with record amounts of pre-allocation), might ramp be okay for the time being, but others programs would likely face major delays. \n\nThoughts:\n\n1. Some hyperscalers might be fine ( $NVDA). Others like $GOOGL and $MSFT will need to buy out materials + allocation before others do. \n\n2. Industry needs to double down on engineering shifts like copper life extension and more material efficient ways like SiPh.\n\n3. Move to 6-inch wafers for yields (eases things, but still not enough to meet demand)\n\nSo the way things are now, the multi-trillion dollar AI scaling are tethered to some obscure $700m company $AXTI and $SMTOY. It seems inevitable that AI will hit the physical ceiling because of InP substrate capacity unless architectures change. \n\nIn 2024, the bottleneck was GPUs. In 2025, it was HBM. In 2026, the primary constraint will likely be the optical interconnect, and specifically, the InP substrates that power them. \n\nThis has now become the hidden bottleneck of the AI buildout.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Warning: The entire AI industry will likely be bottlenecked by two companies:\n\n1. $AXTI ($700M) \n2. $SMTOY ($31.7B)\n\nWhich both control 60–70%+ of the world's InP substrates.\n\nFuture $NVDA, $GOOGL TPU v7 pods, $META, $MSFT, $AMZN hyperscaler clusters require InP-based lasers and https://t.co/8mqrgONJbb", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.014284186261843024, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.014284186261843024, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01070781319083336, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01070781319083336, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003576373071009664, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003576373071009664, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011691919711744325, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011691919711744325, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010470818977162066, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010470818977162066, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012211007345822589, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012211007345822589, "ret_p1w": -0.014072603967753228, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.014072603967753228, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.013883619855231122, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.013883619855231122, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0001889841125221059, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0001889841125221059, "ret_p1m": 0.13215530188821667, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13215530188821667, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12104821445014369, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12104821445014369, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011107087438072982, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011107087438072982, "ret_p3m": 0.28711241025814904, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.28711241025814904, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.34671581054856526, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.34671581054856526, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.05960340029041622, "bench_c_p3m": -0.05960340029041622, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3935, -0.4033, -0.3991, -0.3928, -0.3992, -0.3828, -0.3527, -0.4122, -0.3909, -0.4214, -0.4159, -0.3865, -0.3845, -0.3641, -0.361, -0.3896, -0.3571, -0.3157, -0.2858, -0.2898, -0.2696, -0.2979, -0.3019, -0.3017, -0.3191, -0.2877, -0.1572, -0.1826, -0.118, -0.1641, -0.1711, -0.2595, -0.2629, -0.2643, -0.2691, -0.2438, -0.2826, -0.2619, -0.1969, -0.2125, -0.1853, -0.1853, -0.131, -0.135, -0.1277, -0.0955, -0.0617, -0.0382, -0.0167, 0.0196, 0.0446, 0.0502, -0.0565, -0.0559, -0.0731, -0.0983, -0.0704, -0.0169, 0.0104, 0.0151, 0.0124, 0.0124, 0.0143, 0.0, -0.0117, -0.0235, -0.0235, 0.0281, -0.0141, 0.0269, 0.0138, -0.084, -0.058, -0.0203, 0.0053, -0.026, 0.0367, 0.0107, 0.0107, 0.0235, 0.0658, 0.0725, 0.0419, 0.0462, 0.1322, 0.1699, 0.142, 0.1225, 0.1768, 0.2125, 0.1163, 0.107, 0.2045, 0.2827, 0.2082, 0.1834, 0.1433, 0.1492, 0.1492, 0.1637, 0.1845, 0.2299, 0.313, 0.3167, 0.3483, 0.4173, 0.3234, 0.3699, 0.5814, 0.4856, 0.4541, 0.3431, 0.2471, 0.3349, 0.3789, 0.3301, 0.2764, 0.2843, 0.3087, 0.3004, 0.3608, 0.4579, 0.3418, 0.3493, 0.4407, 0.4392, 0.2871, 0.2881, 0.162, 0.2602, 0.311, 0.3658, 0.3658, 0.3396, 0.3496, 0.4908, 0.5034, 0.6268, 0.6291, 0.6581, 0.6305, 0.7353, 0.8253, 0.8385, 0.8188, 0.8541, 0.7865, 0.7781, 0.701, 0.6081, 0.6132, 0.6914, 0.7432, 0.7453, 0.7762, 0.8235, 0.6887, 0.7737, 1.0087, 0.9787, 1.1358, 1.1423, 1.0233, 0.9195, 0.8709, 0.8966, 0.9998, 0.9975, 0.9975, 1.0175, 1.0113, 0.9942, 0.9123, 0.9123, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1976062161572270081", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-08T23:08:27+00:00", "symbol": "FLY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I like $FLY. Reminds me exactly of how $RKLB started. I'm holding this one for years", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long FLY for years; compares early trajectory to RKLB, holding despite usually disliking speculative companies.", "resolved_tickers": ["FLY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@soulbiri1 I normally don’t like speculative companies this much lol but I like $FLY.\n\nReminds me exactly of how $RKLB started. I’m holding this one for years", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thanks for the share, love the ticker it already gives bullish vibes", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": -0.0825806279336253, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0825806279336253, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07665292273760438, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07665292273760438, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005927705196020927, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005927705196020927, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.030322597872826318, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.030322597872826318, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.027425589493588864, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.027425589493588864, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0028970083792374535, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0028970083792374535, "ret_p1w": -0.045161278017105566, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.045161278017105566, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03336523404582947, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03336523404582947, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011796043971276093, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011796043971276093, "ret_p1m": -0.3764516153643208, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3764516153643208, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.37229186224108624, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.37229186224108624, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0041597531232345775, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0041597531232345775, "ret_p3m": -0.16870966265278475, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.16870966265278475, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.19343390745218147, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.19343390745218147, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024724244799396722, "bench_c_p3m": 0.024724244799396722, "ret_p6m": 0.06225807436050901, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.06225807436050901, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08238210549550651, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08238210549550651, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0201240311349975, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0201240311349975, "price_path": [null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.9468, 0.6184, 0.7297, 0.6602, 0.6371, 0.5913, 0.5271, 0.5684, 0.4671, 0.4603, 0.4926, 0.4874, 0.4427, 0.4532, 0.5171, 0.521, 0.4635, 0.4635, 0.4268, 0.4316, 0.3813, 0.3752, 0.38, 0.4368, 0.3797, 0.3861, 0.4113, 0.4148, 0.4145, 0.3987, 0.4587, 0.4581, 0.5974, 0.3529, 0.3084, 0.2148, 0.1606, 0.1923, -0.0542, -0.1397, -0.1355, -0.1171, -0.0616, -0.0826, 0.0, -0.0303, -0.0852, -0.0361, -0.0294, -0.0452, -0.0952, -0.1497, -0.1252, -0.091, -0.1535, -0.1626, -0.1316, -0.1132, -0.1687, -0.1919, -0.2113, -0.2174, -0.2329, -0.2629, -0.2742, -0.3765, -0.3632, -0.3794, -0.3829, -0.4094, -0.309, -0.2597, -0.3716, -0.3626, -0.3735, -0.4542, -0.4587, -0.4561, -0.4406, -0.4377, -0.4377, -0.4287, -0.4577, -0.4226, -0.4016, -0.3477, -0.361, -0.3829, -0.3723, -0.3129, -0.2416, -0.2871, -0.3432, -0.3458, -0.4023, -0.3526, -0.2048, -0.0774, -0.1465, -0.1277, -0.1277, -0.2471, -0.2387, -0.2671, -0.2784, -0.2784, -0.2335, -0.1687, -0.1468, -0.1177, -0.0971, -0.0287, -0.0181, -0.0977, -0.0319, -0.0403, 0.0777, 0.0777, -0.0213, -0.0677, -0.0026, -0.0603, -0.1871, -0.0532, -0.069, -0.1261, -0.1871, -0.2626, -0.1916, -0.2126, -0.2776, -0.2297, -0.2029, -0.2581, -0.3284, -0.3829, -0.3774, -0.3774, -0.3426, -0.3074, -0.3055, -0.3555, -0.3555, -0.3323, -0.3435, -0.3055, -0.3784, -0.3252, -0.3271, -0.3097, -0.3426, -0.3635, -0.3306, -0.3745, -0.3355, -0.2506, -0.2429, -0.2281, -0.2071, -0.2519, -0.2594, -0.251, -0.2255, -0.2345, -0.1119, -0.1352, -0.2353, -0.2381, -0.0816, -0.04, 0.0623]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1987659186923262350", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-09T23:10:53+00:00", "symbol": "LTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Yeah worth holding $LTC. I was just about to comment it's working its way back up. I'm still holding mine.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still holding LTC; says it's working back up and worth holding given ETF catalyst and altcoin rally environment.", "resolved_tickers": ["LTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Indigo_Pilot Yeah worth holding $LTC. I was just about to comment it's working its way back up.\n\nThere's quite a lot of random altcoin rallies like $ZEC, probably wouldn't want to miss Litecoin, especially that it has an ETF now. \n\nI'm still holding mine.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Appreciate your analysis! Do you think it's still worth holding $LTC? The catalyst passed, and the coin still hasn't moved much.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Indigo_Pilot", "ret_m1d": -0.023173826432540734, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.023173826432540734, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.007809237445880246, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015364588986660488, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.04351930134467685, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04351930134467685, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04580854133123369, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0022892399865568347, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.12438069176547661, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12438069176547661, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10123850585746297, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023142185908013646, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.17368973388718623, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17368973388718623, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.17603770467059643, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0023479707834102026, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.5135552054254209, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.5135552054254209, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5108878183756876, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0026673870497332386, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.45895859055853816, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.45895859055853816, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5271247781758702, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06816618761733206, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.257, 0.1641, 0.1425, 0.1296, 0.0795, 0.1135, 0.1002, 0.1784, 0.0503, 0.0892, 0.0762, 0.0917, 0.0548, 0.0417, 0.0717, 0.084, 0.0662, 0.0758, 0.0817, 0.0743, 0.1283, 0.1119, 0.1339, 0.0919, 0.104, 0.1231, 0.135, 0.0953, 0.0155, 0.0188, 0.0136, -0.0195, 0.0043, 0.0253, 0.0259, 0.1048, 0.1482, 0.1566, 0.1356, 0.1235, 0.1385, 0.2086, -0.0727, -0.0444, -0.0656, -0.0844, -0.1191, -0.1352, -0.0968, -0.1105, -0.1178, -0.0975, -0.0747, -0.0463, -0.0717, -0.0541, -0.1038, -0.0836, -0.1613, -0.1796, -0.1406, -0.1651, -0.0232, 0.0, -0.0435, -0.0639, -0.0711, -0.0642, -0.1244, -0.082, -0.1087, -0.1625, -0.2073, -0.1797, -0.1816, -0.1663, -0.1686, -0.1909, -0.2554, -0.2053, -0.1747, -0.198, -0.2275, -0.1948, -0.1737, -0.189, -0.2039, -0.2138, -0.2554, -0.2413, -0.2714, -0.2871, -0.2562, -0.2611, -0.2617, -0.2731, -0.2737, -0.2626, -0.2488, -0.2441, -0.2632, -0.2337, -0.2148, -0.1979, -0.1944, -0.2166, -0.2203, -0.2191, -0.2702, -0.2503, -0.2635, -0.3079, -0.2777, -0.3213, -0.3564, -0.3434, -0.3462, -0.347, -0.3307, -0.3286, -0.3341, -0.3656, -0.3729, -0.4243, -0.4312, -0.4358, -0.5136, -0.4716, -0.478, -0.4882, -0.4987, -0.4904, -0.4714, -0.4718, -0.4828, -0.4886, -0.4946, -0.4702, -0.5081, -0.509, -0.4561, -0.4662, -0.4767, -0.4766, -0.4743, -0.455, -0.4676, -0.4836, -0.4845, -0.4832, -0.4746, -0.4763, -0.4692, -0.4364, -0.4425, -0.4621, -0.4673, -0.4609, -0.4658, -0.4589, -0.4566, -0.4763, -0.4848, -0.4895, -0.4826, -0.4836, -0.4985, -0.4894, -0.4862, -0.4683, -0.4821, -0.4769, -0.4725, -0.4755, -0.4788, -0.4709, -0.459, -0.458, -0.4718, -0.4669, -0.4667, -0.4603, -0.4576, -0.4669, -0.4653, -0.4693, -0.4705, -0.4684, -0.4727, -0.459]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1995865990341496999", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-02T14:41:48+00:00", "symbol": "PL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Planet Labs, a lesser known, small cap $3.5B space company, has huge upside with this deal. a full constellation would bring in $250 million to $1 billion+", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long PL as primary beneficiary of Google's Project Suncatcher space datacenter initiative; long RKLB as a highest-conviction play on the launch provider angle.", "resolved_tickers": ["PL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Google ( $GOOGL ) CEO recently unveiled: Project Suncatcher, a project to create datacenters in space in 2027. \n\nNext generation TPUs will run on solar-powered satellite constellations to scale ML flows. \n\nThe biggest beneficiary?\n\nPlanet Labs ( $PL ) and by derivative $RKLB and SpaceX. \n\nPlanet Labs, a lesser known, small cap $3.5B space company, has huge upside with this deal. \n\nPlanet labs will deploy two prototype satellites for Google, targeting a launch by early 2027. The launch providers that $PL uses are $RKLB (January 2018 and October 2020) and SpaceX. One of which (Rocketlab) reminds one of my highest conviction longs. \n\nFor $PL revenue is likely in the small $10-$40M range. But a full constellation would bring in $250 million to $1 billion+ (and more at scale) if the prototype goes well. \n\nAre you riding the $GOOGL supplier train?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.005947378570606787, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005947378570606787, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0040985035670941805, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0026934592255026812, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018488750035126067, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008640837796109468, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02039080388988901, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02039080388988901, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01692803609662863, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.010898637171341763, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0034627677932603795, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009492166718547246, "ret_p1w": 0.09090906144514466, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09090906144514466, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08869352772479178, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08763591783721258, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00221553372035288, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003273143607932072, "ret_p1m": 0.6754459257770784, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6754459257770784, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6719171396002652, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.6565188836606204, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.003528786176813181, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018927042116458015, "ret_p3m": 1.0509769286988706, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.0509769286988706, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.0414586629522702, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.8874084995937137, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.009518265746600418, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1635684291051569, "ret_p6m": 3.2888698027992813, "ret_signed_p6m": 3.2888698027992813, "alpha_spy_p6m": 3.1814598742108173, "alpha_c_p6m": 3.140739173361654, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10740992858846399, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14813062943762745, "price_path": [-0.4511, -0.4452, -0.1793, -0.2336, -0.2379, -0.1784, -0.1691, -0.1623, -0.1716, -0.1308, -0.0986, -0.0561, -0.0561, 0.0238, 0.0136, 0.0161, 0.0365, 0.0867, 0.1028, 0.1699, 0.2617, 0.3008, 0.2948, 0.3322, 0.3254, 0.3305, 0.2489, 0.2957, 0.2557, 0.2821, 0.124, 0.1138, 0.1521, 0.0969, 0.062, 0.1003, 0.1563, 0.1308, 0.0909, 0.096, 0.0926, 0.1427, 0.1206, 0.079, 0.1257, 0.0586, 0.0884, 0.1376, 0.0595, 0.0569, -0.0306, -0.0314, -0.0476, -0.0272, 0.0017, -0.0459, -0.0518, -0.0195, -0.0034, -0.0042, -0.0042, 0.011, -0.0059, 0.0, 0.0204, 0.0994, 0.085, 0.1003, 0.0909, 0.0994, 0.4843, 0.5497, 0.5336, 0.5191, 0.3993, 0.486, 0.6296, 0.7502, 0.7613, 0.7264, 0.7264, 0.6449, 0.6882, 0.6771, 0.6754, 0.6754, 0.7341, 0.8173, 0.8556, 0.921, 0.9065, 0.9295, 1.1614, 1.1512, 1.271, 1.4027, 1.4452, 1.4452, 1.3789, 1.2413, 1.2141, 1.2889, 1.198, 1.3849, 1.3687, 1.2387, 1.1215, 0.9414, 1.0348, 0.8496, 0.7358, 0.8912, 1.0408, 0.9363, 0.8394, 0.8097, 0.9048, 0.9048, 0.887, 1.017, 1.1334, 1.0306, 1.0204, 1.0994, 1.0926, 1.175, 1.051, 1.2396, 1.1495, 1.209, 1.0892, 1.1478, 1.1937, 1.158, 1.1614, 1.1215, 1.1062, 1.0901, 1.3008, 1.1079, 1.2906, 1.8743, 1.8734, 1.7043, 2.0051, 1.7528, 1.6219, 1.3696, 1.3747, 1.6092, 2.0484, 2.0484, 1.9754, 1.9881, 2.1054, 1.9082, 1.9456, 1.9159, 1.8828, 1.9235, 2.3891, 2.2693, 2.1861, 2.2311, 2.3534, 2.2532, 2.011, 2.0119, 1.9762, 1.8955, 2.141, 2.1351, 2.2744, 2.1546, 2.3721, 1.9941, 2.3169, 2.5548, 2.4562, 2.4613, 2.6568, 2.5361, 2.5353, 2.5336, 2.6245, 2.6092, 2.7681, 2.7681, 3.1054, 3.2889]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1995865990341496999", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-02T14:41:48+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Rocketlab reminds one of my highest conviction longs", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long PL as primary beneficiary of Google's Project Suncatcher space datacenter initiative; long RKLB as a highest-conviction play on the launch provider angle.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Google ( $GOOGL ) CEO recently unveiled: Project Suncatcher, a project to create datacenters in space in 2027. \n\nNext generation TPUs will run on solar-powered satellite constellations to scale ML flows. \n\nThe biggest beneficiary?\n\nPlanet Labs ( $PL ) and by derivative $RKLB and SpaceX. \n\nPlanet Labs, a lesser known, small cap $3.5B space company, has huge upside with this deal. \n\nPlanet labs will deploy two prototype satellites for Google, targeting a launch by early 2027. The launch providers that $PL uses are $RKLB (January 2018 and October 2020) and SpaceX. One of which (Rocketlab) reminds one of my highest conviction longs. \n\nFor $PL revenue is likely in the small $10-$40M range. But a full constellation would bring in $250 million to $1 billion+ (and more at scale) if the prototype goes well. \n\nAre you riding the $GOOGL supplier train?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03651557370586622, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03651557370586622, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.034666698702353616, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.027874735909756754, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018488750035126067, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008640837796109468, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06730309289087955, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06730309289087955, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06384032509761917, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0578109261723323, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0034627677932603795, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009492166718547246, "ret_p1w": 0.27517895845840346, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.27517895845840346, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2729634247380506, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2719058148504714, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00221553372035288, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003273143607932072, "ret_p1m": 0.6649164581329252, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6649164581329252, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.661387671956112, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.6459894160164672, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.003528786176813181, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018927042116458015, "ret_p3m": 0.6491645813292517, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6491645813292517, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.6396463155826513, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4855961522240948, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.009518265746600418, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1635684291051569, "ret_p6m": 2.5854412949066785, "ret_signed_p6m": 2.5854412949066785, "alpha_spy_p6m": 2.4780313663182145, "alpha_c_p6m": 2.437310665469051, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10740992858846399, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14813062943762745, "price_path": [0.026, 0.094, 0.1391, 0.1224, 0.1019, 0.1558, 0.273, 0.2897, 0.1276, 0.1475, 0.126, 0.1406, 0.1888, 0.2628, 0.1621, 0.1129, 0.1041, 0.122, 0.1434, 0.1449, 0.2523, 0.3403, 0.3962, 0.468, 0.5587, 0.5852, 0.5337, 0.5613, 0.6236, 0.6532, 0.599, 0.5816, 0.6074, 0.5609, 0.4455, 0.5172, 0.5408, 0.5661, 0.5215, 0.579, 0.4539, 0.5031, 0.464, 0.3501, 0.3465, 0.184, 0.2325, 0.2387, 0.2229, 0.1926, 0.08, 0.0869, 0.0337, 0.021, 0.0411, -0.0578, -0.0382, 0.0131, 0.0167, 0.0007, 0.0007, 0.0057, -0.0365, 0.0, 0.0673, 0.1783, 0.1708, 0.2305, 0.2752, 0.3728, 0.5162, 0.4675, 0.3224, 0.3243, 0.2878, 0.4301, 0.6831, 0.8508, 0.842, 0.842, 0.842, 0.6862, 0.6735, 0.6814, 0.6649, 0.6649, 0.8136, 0.8649, 1.0532, 1.0067, 0.9828, 1.0251, 1.0979, 1.0663, 1.1909, 1.1661, 1.2983, 1.2983, 1.1279, 1.0959, 1.0998, 1.1217, 0.9208, 1.0764, 1.1138, 1.0449, 0.911, 0.7697, 0.9396, 0.7449, 0.5828, 0.726, 0.81, 0.7191, 0.6616, 0.5754, 0.6095, 0.6095, 0.668, 0.7761, 0.8277, 0.6912, 0.6757, 0.6699, 0.6754, 0.7339, 0.6492, 0.6938, 0.6737, 0.7162, 0.6706, 0.6733, 0.706, 0.6451, 0.7174, 0.6317, 0.6327, 0.7019, 0.8757, 0.6582, 0.7167, 0.6045, 0.6229, 0.5768, 0.7394, 0.5737, 0.4542, 0.3695, 0.5327, 0.5637, 0.6165, 0.6165, 0.615, 0.5828, 0.6487, 0.5928, 0.6241, 0.6854, 0.7236, 0.7566, 0.9792, 1.0239, 1.1351, 1.0678, 1.1489, 1.0191, 0.9017, 0.964, 0.8757, 0.8382, 0.9692, 0.8809, 0.9167, 0.8797, 1.0203, 0.8754, 1.5172, 1.8007, 1.8057, 1.963, 2.1635, 1.9778, 2.1303, 2.0384, 2.2048, 1.994, 2.2401, 2.2401, 2.4177, 2.5854]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1973198262946738588", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-01T01:28:20+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm pretty confident RKLB will grow into SpaceX's marketcap in due time whether it's 4 years or 10 years but that's a 10x from here", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long RKLB targeting a 10x to SpaceX's ~$350B market cap over 4–10 years; clear second-place in space launch.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Neat_Lama nooo, SpaceX is already a $350B company, there's almost no second place aside from $RKLB sitting at 22B.\n\nI'm pretty confident RKLB will grow into SpaceX's marketcap in due time whether it's 4 years or 10 years but that's a 10x from here.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit These are very confusing times. I saw the same thing, but my dad was talking about selling his $RKLB because of the uncertainty and he's always wrong. 🤷‍♂️", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Neat_Lama", "ret_m1d": -0.00125081033487906, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00125081033487906, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00214509547783992, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004046489271858245, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00339590581271898, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0027956789369791846, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09380862800682754, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09380862800682754, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09265682446963464, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0912080196541527, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001151803537192908, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002600608352674838, "ret_p1w": 0.36147583691131846, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.36147583691131846, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.35450450077697426, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.3498374905867567, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006971336134344197, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011638346324561732, "ret_p1m": 0.26996032142382287, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.26996032142382287, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2529357964475101, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2641735934713163, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017024524976312794, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005786727952506565, "ret_p3m": 0.46174694522040793, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.46174694522040793, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4296839597581281, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.43829265248455096, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032062985462279814, "bench_c_p3m": 0.023454292735856974, "ret_p6m": 0.3746091466211501, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3746091466211501, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.40406062440630064, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.31949182324513514, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02945147778515056, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05511732337601494, "price_path": [-0.2566, -0.1895, -0.1924, -0.1841, -0.1849, -0.1864, -0.0992, -0.0703, -0.0058, 0.07, 0.0713, -0.0163, -0.0227, 0.0246, 0.0033, -0.0113, -0.0596, -0.0871, -0.0319, -0.0427, -0.0659, -0.0715, -0.0671, -0.0807, -0.0784, -0.0684, -0.0615, -0.0946, -0.1036, -0.1076, -0.0771, -0.0625, -0.147, -0.1518, -0.1343, -0.0748, -0.0156, 0.0033, -0.0359, -0.0013, 0.0131, 0.0131, 0.0279, -0.0926, -0.1038, -0.0444, -0.005, -0.0196, -0.0375, 0.0096, 0.1119, 0.1265, -0.0151, 0.0023, -0.0165, -0.0038, 0.0384, 0.103, 0.015, -0.0279, -0.0356, -0.02, -0.0013, 0.0, 0.0938, 0.1707, 0.2195, 0.2823, 0.3615, 0.3846, 0.3396, 0.3638, 0.4182, 0.444, 0.3967, 0.3815, 0.404, 0.3634, 0.2626, 0.3252, 0.3458, 0.3679, 0.329, 0.3792, 0.27, 0.3129, 0.2787, 0.1793, 0.1762, 0.0342, 0.0765, 0.0819, 0.0682, 0.0417, -0.0567, -0.0507, -0.0971, -0.1082, -0.0907, -0.177, -0.1599, -0.1151, -0.1119, -0.1259, -0.1259, -0.1215, -0.1584, -0.1265, -0.0678, 0.0292, 0.0226, 0.0748, 0.1138, 0.1991, 0.3244, 0.2818, 0.1551, 0.1568, 0.1249, 0.2491, 0.4701, 0.6166, 0.6089, 0.6089, 0.6089, 0.4728, 0.4617, 0.4686, 0.4542, 0.4542, 0.5841, 0.6289, 0.7934, 0.7528, 0.7319, 0.7688, 0.8324, 0.8049, 0.9137, 0.892, 1.0075, 1.0075, 0.8587, 0.8307, 0.8341, 0.8532, 0.6777, 0.8136, 0.8464, 0.7861, 0.6692, 0.5458, 0.6942, 0.5241, 0.3825, 0.5076, 0.581, 0.5016, 0.4513, 0.3761, 0.4059, 0.4059, 0.457, 0.5514, 0.5964, 0.4772, 0.4636, 0.4586, 0.4634, 0.5145, 0.4405, 0.4795, 0.462, 0.4991, 0.4592, 0.4615, 0.4901, 0.4369, 0.5001, 0.4253, 0.4261, 0.4866, 0.6383, 0.4484, 0.4995, 0.4015, 0.4176, 0.3773, 0.5193, 0.3746]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1988280279187026322", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-11T16:18:53+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Demand for $NBIS full stack infrastructure is immense and $MSFT + $META proved it. Yeah this just means when they contract more, they'll increase ARR and maybe even beat their $7-9B ARR projection.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long NBIS: surging demand from MSFT and META signals ARR will beat $7-9B projection as capacity expands.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Dylanwith86 Yeah this just means when they contract more, they'll increase ARR and maybe even beat their $7-9B ARR projection. 2 months ago it was ~$5B with just $MSFT.\n\nDemand for $NBIS full stack infrastructure is immense and $MSFT + $META proved it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Even with the dilution the numbers are insane. Another deal worth 3B that was only size limited since they are essentially sold out of current capacity.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Dylanwith86", "ret_m1d": 0.07562116645693662, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07562116645693662, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07790517779341222, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08367715698290779, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0022840113364756, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008055990525971168, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07689298098696984, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07689298098696984, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07744946946558229, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07111371851615012, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005564884786124491, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005779262470819724, "ret_p1w": -0.11426335517212038, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11426335517212038, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08070553613602638, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09333522120495286, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.033557819036094005, "bench_c_p1w": -0.020928133967167528, "ret_p1m": -0.08442579514531079, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08442579514531079, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0911169579698673, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10955721246618133, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006691162824556507, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02513141732087054, "ret_p3m": -0.15769910540088283, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15769910540088283, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17184363692646742, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1746409985754659, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014144531525584592, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016941893174583056, "ret_p6m": 0.9085305616135924, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.9085305616135924, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.8279910769496042, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.8743308936187839, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08053948466398819, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03419966799480845, "price_path": [-0.3303, -0.2994, -0.2904, -0.3427, -0.34, -0.3526, -0.3252, -0.315, -0.3105, -0.3142, -0.2952, -0.3316, -0.3316, -0.3571, -0.3578, -0.365, -0.3595, -0.3733, -0.0636, -0.0864, -0.1275, -0.1155, -0.1102, -0.1251, -0.0796, -0.0792, -0.0285, 0.0428, 0.0546, 0.1077, 0.056, 0.0536, 0.0783, 0.0983, 0.131, 0.2314, 0.252, 0.2223, 0.1514, 0.1935, 0.2976, 0.2677, 0.3252, 0.2537, 0.231, 0.2037, 0.1098, 0.0663, 0.0202, -0.0352, 0.0385, 0.1471, 0.2271, 0.1918, 0.2238, 0.2148, 0.2798, 0.1785, 0.0814, 0.1446, 0.0706, 0.0886, 0.0756, 0.0, -0.0769, -0.1329, -0.1827, -0.1589, -0.1143, -0.0699, -0.172, -0.1855, -0.101, -0.1305, -0.0737, -0.0737, -0.0719, -0.0203, -0.0564, -0.0323, 0.0057, -0.0409, -0.0185, -0.0568, -0.0844, -0.0777, -0.1421, -0.2062, -0.2081, -0.2619, -0.2361, -0.1248, -0.0879, -0.1193, -0.1085, -0.1085, -0.1431, -0.1583, -0.1668, -0.1811, -0.1811, -0.12, -0.0919, -0.0194, -0.0588, -0.0481, -0.042, 0.05, 0.0314, -0.0023, 0.0163, 0.0637, 0.0637, -0.0287, -0.0328, -0.0525, -0.0755, -0.1053, -0.0426, -0.0175, -0.0715, -0.1666, -0.1375, -0.12, -0.194, -0.2773, -0.1577, -0.0914, -0.102, -0.1331, -0.1222, -0.0412, -0.0412, -0.046, -0.0041, 0.0527, -0.0421, -0.0158, 0.0035, 0.0382, 0.026, -0.1079, -0.1097, -0.1509, -0.0434, -0.0643, -0.1261, -0.0712, -0.0566, 0.0956, 0.0569, 0.105, 0.2703, 0.138, 0.1599, 0.1888, 0.1507, 0.1167, 0.1241, 0.1259, 0.0367, -0.0137, -0.0974, 0.0151, -0.0026, 0.0646, 0.0646, 0.101, 0.1485, 0.2229, 0.3337, 0.4182, 0.512, 0.5842, 0.6315, 0.6175, 0.5373, 0.557, 0.5315, 0.5275, 0.5367, 0.4396, 0.4181, 0.3257, 0.3812, 0.3523, 0.5113, 0.7259, 0.721, 0.9085]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1976517136857354520", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-10T05:16:21+00:00", "symbol": "SNAP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SNAP is fundamentally undervalued at 14B marketcap IF AND ONLY IF they monetized memories and optimized Google Cloud OPex (which they will 1y from now)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long SNAP: fundamentally undervalued at $14B if monetization of memories and Google Cloud opex optimization materialize within a year; 2027 timeline makes sense.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNAP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SNAP is fundamentally undervalued at 14B marketcap IF AND ONLY IF they monetized memories and optimized Google Cloud OPex (which they will 1y from now).  \n\nIt's just a waiting game until the market prices it in, which could be awhile. So 2027 makes sense.\n\nI'll post my $FLY DD tomorrow morning.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Got in $FLY. \nWas thinking $7C Jan2027 for SNAP. Wdyt?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "capybara_830", "ret_m1d": 0.077120808284316, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.077120808284316, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.049342184522930044, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0583265440562688, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.027778623761385957, "bench_c_m1d": 0.018794264228047197, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03470436679244826, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03470436679244826, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.019360292099239507, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.025484562176719017, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015344074693208754, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009219804615729243, "ret_p1w": -0.01670952582713625, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01670952582713625, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.034120996462481235, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03568118562545386, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017411470635344983, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01897165979831761, "ret_p1m": 0.11696649691958916, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11696649691958916, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07344562218005812, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11271118153633686, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.043520874739531035, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0042553153832523005, "ret_p3m": 0.10796910708199392, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10796910708199392, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0488626763281963, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06657671658955233, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05910643075379762, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04139239049244159, "ret_p6m": -0.39460155383941853, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.39460155383941853, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4093973371563209, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3917611825557996, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.014795783316902344, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0028403712836189143, "price_path": [0.2185, 0.2416, 0.2738, 0.2866, 0.2699, 0.3303, 0.2943, 0.2519, 0.2558, 0.2455, 0.1992, 0.1979, 0.2121, 0.1632, 0.2172, 0.2069, 0.0, -0.0308, -0.0476, -0.0758, -0.0656, -0.0591, -0.09, -0.081, -0.0566, -0.0771, -0.0797, -0.0938, -0.0746, -0.1003, -0.0977, -0.1015, -0.0874, -0.0823, -0.0823, -0.0578, -0.0681, -0.0887, -0.0604, -0.072, -0.0643, -0.0938, -0.063, -0.0566, -0.0411, -0.0051, 0.027, 0.0848, 0.0488, 0.0964, 0.0823, 0.0566, 0.0707, 0.063, 0.0797, -0.009, -0.009, 0.0566, 0.0977, 0.0951, 0.045, 0.0835, 0.0771, 0.0, 0.0347, 0.018, 0.0167, -0.0026, -0.0167, -0.0064, 0.009, -0.0013, 0.0116, 0.0219, 0.0167, -0.0051, -0.0051, -0.0231, 0.0026, 0.0051, -0.0398, -0.0617, 0.0296, 0.0553, 0.117, 0.126, 0.1684, 0.1028, 0.1015, 0.0514, 0.0604, 0.0321, 0.0, -0.0116, -0.0129, -0.018, -0.0219, -0.0219, -0.0129, -0.018, -0.0206, -0.0154, -0.0026, 0.0167, 0.0321, 0.018, 0.018, -0.018, -0.0604, -0.0668, -0.0527, -0.036, -0.0193, -0.027, 0.0206, 0.0039, 0.009, 0.009, 0.0103, 0.0129, 0.0373, 0.0373, 0.0373, 0.045, 0.0604, 0.1298, 0.108, 0.0797, 0.0553, 0.0527, 0.027, 0.0154, -0.0026, -0.0321, -0.0321, -0.0553, -0.0527, -0.0154, -0.0206, -0.0283, -0.0411, -0.0141, -0.0694, -0.1093, -0.144, -0.2159, -0.2404, -0.3419, -0.329, -0.3329, -0.3278, -0.3586, -0.3805, -0.3792, -0.3792, -0.392, -0.3728, -0.3573, -0.3393, -0.3663, -0.3612, -0.3483, -0.3239, -0.3303, -0.3239, -0.3252, -0.3098, -0.3136, -0.3368, -0.3406, -0.3689, -0.3753, -0.4023, -0.4139, -0.3985, -0.4023, -0.4062, -0.4139, -0.4242, -0.4203, -0.4396, -0.4229, -0.4846, -0.4949, -0.4833, -0.4087, -0.3702, -0.4049, -0.4049, -0.3946]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1988238877061255449", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-11T13:34:22+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Even by December $NBIS can easily break $150", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "NBIS can break $150 by December; bullish near-term price target.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Neomeldir Even by December $NBIS can easily break $150. It just depends on when the company wants to sell shares on the market through their ATM (if they decide to do so)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Do you think short-term (like by Feb/Mar) NBIS can break $150 or will the short-term pressure due to dilution affect the price of the stock?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Neomeldir", "ret_m1d": 0.07562116645693662, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07562116645693662, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07790517779341222, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08367715698290779, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0022840113364756, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008055990525971168, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07689298098696984, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07689298098696984, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07744946946558229, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07111371851615012, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005564884786124491, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005779262470819724, "ret_p1w": -0.11426335517212038, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11426335517212038, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08070553613602638, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09333522120495286, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.033557819036094005, "bench_c_p1w": -0.020928133967167528, "ret_p1m": -0.08442579514531079, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08442579514531079, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0911169579698673, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10955721246618133, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006691162824556507, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02513141732087054, "ret_p3m": -0.15769910540088283, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15769910540088283, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17184363692646742, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1746409985754659, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014144531525584592, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016941893174583056, "ret_p6m": 0.9085305616135924, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.9085305616135924, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.8279910769496042, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.8743308936187839, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08053948466398819, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03419966799480845, "price_path": [-0.3303, -0.2994, -0.2904, -0.3427, -0.34, -0.3526, -0.3252, -0.315, -0.3105, -0.3142, -0.2952, -0.3316, -0.3316, -0.3571, -0.3578, -0.365, -0.3595, -0.3733, -0.0636, -0.0864, -0.1275, -0.1155, -0.1102, -0.1251, -0.0796, -0.0792, -0.0285, 0.0428, 0.0546, 0.1077, 0.056, 0.0536, 0.0783, 0.0983, 0.131, 0.2314, 0.252, 0.2223, 0.1514, 0.1935, 0.2976, 0.2677, 0.3252, 0.2537, 0.231, 0.2037, 0.1098, 0.0663, 0.0202, -0.0352, 0.0385, 0.1471, 0.2271, 0.1918, 0.2238, 0.2148, 0.2798, 0.1785, 0.0814, 0.1446, 0.0706, 0.0886, 0.0756, 0.0, -0.0769, -0.1329, -0.1827, -0.1589, -0.1143, -0.0699, -0.172, -0.1855, -0.101, -0.1305, -0.0737, -0.0737, -0.0719, -0.0203, -0.0564, -0.0323, 0.0057, -0.0409, -0.0185, -0.0568, -0.0844, -0.0777, -0.1421, -0.2062, -0.2081, -0.2619, -0.2361, -0.1248, -0.0879, -0.1193, -0.1085, -0.1085, -0.1431, -0.1583, -0.1668, -0.1811, -0.1811, -0.12, -0.0919, -0.0194, -0.0588, -0.0481, -0.042, 0.05, 0.0314, -0.0023, 0.0163, 0.0637, 0.0637, -0.0287, -0.0328, -0.0525, -0.0755, -0.1053, -0.0426, -0.0175, -0.0715, -0.1666, -0.1375, -0.12, -0.194, -0.2773, -0.1577, -0.0914, -0.102, -0.1331, -0.1222, -0.0412, -0.0412, -0.046, -0.0041, 0.0527, -0.0421, -0.0158, 0.0035, 0.0382, 0.026, -0.1079, -0.1097, -0.1509, -0.0434, -0.0643, -0.1261, -0.0712, -0.0566, 0.0956, 0.0569, 0.105, 0.2703, 0.138, 0.1599, 0.1888, 0.1507, 0.1167, 0.1241, 0.1259, 0.0367, -0.0137, -0.0974, 0.0151, -0.0026, 0.0646, 0.0646, 0.101, 0.1485, 0.2229, 0.3337, 0.4182, 0.512, 0.5842, 0.6315, 0.6175, 0.5373, 0.557, 0.5315, 0.5275, 0.5367, 0.4396, 0.4181, 0.3257, 0.3812, 0.3523, 0.5113, 0.7259, 0.721, 0.9085]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1973088061710897649", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-30T18:10:26+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's always a good time, just cost average and don't all in $NBIS in a single day", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS; advises cost averaging rather than waiting for a correction.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@jakub_cyferski It's always a good time, just cost average and don't all in $NBIS in a single day.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Good time for $NBIS right now or wait for correct?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jakub_cyferski", "ret_m1d": -0.018259512636138342, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.018259512636138342, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014506781913640965, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01978023176120358, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003752730722497377, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0015207191250652397, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02974974674581876, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02974974674581876, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.026342269461182122, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04377360146618792, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0034074772846366397, "bench_c_p1d": -0.014023854720369155, "ret_p1w": 0.04836555150561783, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04836555150561783, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04395235197004688, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06788067932989972, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004413199535570955, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019515127824281886, "ret_p1m": 0.11427809935582678, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11427809935582678, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08243978005730224, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.13185008247203667, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03183831929852454, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01757198311620989, "ret_p3m": -0.2198272115714005, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2198272115714005, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.25911054762443786, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2196744455628039, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.039283336053037354, "bench_c_p3m": -0.00015276600859659428, "ret_p6m": 0.025118017094003076, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.025118017094003076, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.03355428991590492, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.07760134694928789, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.008436272821901847, "bench_c_p6m": -0.05248332985528481, "price_path": [-0.5524, -0.5524, -0.5739, -0.5805, -0.5898, -0.5864, -0.6054, -0.5373, -0.5232, -0.5252, -0.5218, -0.5298, -0.5335, -0.5456, -0.5379, -0.5354, -0.5424, -0.5302, -0.5511, -0.5432, -0.5152, -0.5368, -0.5175, -0.5086, -0.5093, -0.4183, -0.3874, -0.3744, -0.329, -0.3709, -0.3902, -0.3621, -0.3539, -0.4015, -0.399, -0.4105, -0.3856, -0.3763, -0.3722, -0.3756, -0.3583, -0.3915, -0.3915, -0.4146, -0.4152, -0.4218, -0.4169, -0.4294, -0.1474, -0.1682, -0.2056, -0.1947, -0.1898, -0.2034, -0.162, -0.1617, -0.1154, -0.0505, -0.0398, 0.0086, -0.0386, -0.0407, -0.0183, 0.0, 0.0297, 0.1211, 0.1399, 0.1129, 0.0484, 0.0867, 0.1814, 0.1542, 0.2066, 0.1414, 0.1208, 0.0959, 0.0104, -0.0291, -0.0712, -0.1216, -0.0544, 0.0444, 0.1172, 0.0852, 0.1143, 0.1061, 0.1652, 0.073, -0.0154, 0.0421, -0.0252, -0.0088, -0.0207, -0.0895, -0.1595, -0.2106, -0.2559, -0.2342, -0.1936, -0.1532, -0.2461, -0.2584, -0.1814, -0.2083, -0.1566, -0.1566, -0.155, -0.108, -0.1409, -0.1189, -0.0844, -0.1267, -0.1064, -0.1413, -0.1664, -0.1602, -0.2189, -0.2773, -0.279, -0.328, -0.3044, -0.2032, -0.1696, -0.1981, -0.1883, -0.1883, -0.2198, -0.2336, -0.2414, -0.2544, -0.2544, -0.1988, -0.1732, -0.1072, -0.143, -0.1333, -0.1277, -0.044, -0.0609, -0.0917, -0.0747, -0.0315, -0.0315, -0.1156, -0.1194, -0.1373, -0.1583, -0.1854, -0.1283, -0.1055, -0.1546, -0.2412, -0.2148, -0.1988, -0.2661, -0.342, -0.2331, -0.1727, -0.1824, -0.2107, -0.2008, -0.127, -0.127, -0.1314, -0.0933, -0.0415, -0.1278, -0.1039, -0.0863, -0.0548, -0.0658, -0.1878, -0.1894, -0.2269, -0.1291, -0.148, -0.2043, -0.1544, -0.1411, -0.0024, -0.0377, 0.0061, 0.1566, 0.0362, 0.056, 0.0824, 0.0477, 0.0167, 0.0235, 0.0251]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1975376488645169406", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-07T01:43:50+00:00", "symbol": "SEI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SEI is probably the best on the 6.7% drop after hours", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish SEI on after-hours dip and FLNC at current levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["SEI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas Equipment & Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas Equipment & Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DigestingX $SEI is probably the best on the 6.7% drop after hours. I like $FLNC too.\n\n$EOSE idk much about yet, I'm just trusting the DD of others.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Still think they’re good buys at these levels or just holding for now?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DigestingX", "ret_m1d": 0.06129401047514138, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06129401047514138, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0575727215744164, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0628583558624558, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003721288900724984, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0015643453873144253, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09443809017063964, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09443809017063964, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08847503775784737, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10024865189058185, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005963052412792269, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005810561719942209, "ret_p1w": 0.19750286464312206, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.19750286464312206, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.20780000541077082, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.23236701384684721, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01029714076764876, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03486414920372516, "ret_p1m": 0.21362090281649815, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21362090281649815, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2009774189892206, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2367518558166427, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012643483827277535, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02313095300014456, "ret_p3m": 0.14345478526986621, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.14345478526986621, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11944011037419577, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.11453222339553193, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02401467489567044, "bench_c_p3m": 0.028922561874334285, "ret_p6m": 0.26505633022403585, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.26505633022403585, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2802241258146869, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.07277502977765349, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.015167795590651068, "bench_c_p6m": 0.33783136000168934, "price_path": [-0.3057, -0.2944, -0.2808, -0.3127, -0.3242, -0.3439, -0.3398, -0.3543, -0.3606, -0.3348, -0.2346, -0.265, -0.2625, -0.2355, -0.2478, -0.2611, -0.3213, -0.302, -0.3052, -0.2842, -0.3077, -0.3217, -0.3134, -0.3066, -0.3676, -0.381, -0.3735, -0.3801, -0.3936, -0.3857, -0.3649, -0.3518, -0.3527, -0.3247, -0.3299, -0.2826, -0.2855, -0.2855, -0.3244, -0.3898, -0.4009, -0.4018, -0.4131, -0.4364, -0.3357, -0.3147, -0.2973, -0.2717, -0.2697, -0.2449, -0.1775, -0.1457, -0.0933, -0.1146, -0.151, -0.1328, -0.0985, -0.0608, -0.0926, -0.0393, 0.0309, 0.0134, 0.0613, 0.0, 0.0944, 0.0826, 0.0211, 0.1787, 0.1975, 0.2463, 0.2295, 0.1662, 0.1614, 0.1126, 0.0531, 0.0829, 0.156, 0.0931, 0.1253, 0.1805, 0.2057, 0.2084, 0.2252, 0.2193, 0.2136, 0.2141, 0.1512, 0.1432, 0.1385, 0.0736, 0.0202, 0.0263, 0.0381, -0.0177, 0.0102, -0.064, -0.0277, 0.0415, 0.0602, 0.0586, 0.0586, 0.0872, 0.1081, 0.1455, 0.2089, 0.2518, 0.2568, 0.2172, 0.2215, 0.2431, 0.2304, 0.0481, -0.009, -0.0078, -0.0754, -0.0204, 0.0229, 0.0338, 0.0213, 0.0254, 0.0254, 0.0158, 0.0142, 0.0488, 0.0459, 0.0459, 0.1435, 0.2035, 0.2024, 0.1623, 0.1501, 0.2094, 0.1678, 0.2008, 0.1835, 0.2604, 0.2938, 0.2938, 0.2504, 0.2968, 0.2957, 0.2217, 0.183, 0.2263, 0.2233, 0.2784, 0.2556, 0.2929, 0.2875, 0.0984, 0.049, 0.1735, 0.2049, 0.2044, 0.2224, 0.171, 0.2884, 0.2884, 0.1953, 0.1557, 0.1371, 0.1202, 0.1528, 0.2163, 0.2563, 0.1594, 0.1291, 0.1218, 0.0829, 0.1382, 0.1478, 0.1139, 0.125, 0.2322, 0.2623, 0.2163, 0.1859, 0.2997, 0.4411, 0.5636, 0.5025, 0.4096, 0.3884, 0.3912, 0.3987, 0.3786, 0.3189, 0.2051, 0.2888, 0.2651]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1975376488645169406", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-07T01:43:50+00:00", "symbol": "FLNC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I like $FLNC too", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish SEI on after-hours dip and FLNC at current levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["FLNC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DigestingX $SEI is probably the best on the 6.7% drop after hours. I like $FLNC too.\n\n$EOSE idk much about yet, I'm just trusting the DD of others.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Still think they’re good buys at these levels or just holding for now?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DigestingX", "ret_m1d": 0.10339843189186237, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.10339843189186237, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.09967714299113739, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.09967714299113739, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003721288900724984, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003721288900724984, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08170644401118032, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08170644401118032, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07574339159838805, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07574339159838805, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005963052412792269, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005963052412792269, "ret_p1w": 0.33405646165725833, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.33405646165725833, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.3443536024249071, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.3443536024249071, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01029714076764876, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01029714076764876, "ret_p1m": 0.4981922941184016, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4981922941184016, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.48554881029112407, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.48554881029112407, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012643483827277535, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012643483827277535, "ret_p3m": 0.6637744291986805, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6637744291986805, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.63975975430301, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.63975975430301, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02401467489567044, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02401467489567044, "ret_p6m": -0.05856829142521969, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.05856829142521969, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.04340049583456862, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.04340049583456862, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.015167795590651068, "bench_c_p6m": -0.015167795590651068, "price_path": [-0.3803, -0.4093, -0.4259, -0.3984, -0.402, -0.4042, -0.3521, -0.3109, -0.2617, -0.3174, -0.3232, -0.3218, -0.3608, -0.389, -0.4071, -0.4129, -0.4375, -0.3868, -0.3818, -0.389, -0.3442, -0.3355, -0.3391, -0.4671, -0.4541, -0.453, -0.4252, -0.4172, -0.4346, -0.4591, -0.5054, -0.4548, -0.4599, -0.4519, -0.4736, -0.4396, -0.4649, -0.4649, -0.4989, -0.5119, -0.5119, -0.4541, -0.4787, -0.5098, -0.5112, -0.4982, -0.4939, -0.4657, -0.4577, -0.462, -0.4273, -0.3232, -0.2336, -0.2617, -0.1916, -0.1518, -0.1388, -0.1757, -0.2191, -0.0275, -0.0564, -0.0029, 0.1034, 0.0, 0.0817, 0.0774, -0.0535, 0.149, 0.3341, 0.5503, 0.4158, 0.325, 0.3341, 0.1757, 0.1005, 0.1591, 0.4114, 0.355, 0.3087, 0.4664, 0.4801, 0.5184, 0.5047, 0.3868, 0.4982, 0.4331, 0.5033, 0.5756, 0.4989, 0.389, 0.175, 0.295, 0.2458, 0.2307, 0.2155, 0.1215, 0.1135, 0.1424, 0.2126, 0.3731, 0.3731, 0.4201, 0.402, 0.4432, 0.4353, 0.6876, 0.7325, 0.6529, 0.731, 0.7216, 0.8648, 0.6045, 0.556, 0.5409, 0.3427, 0.3962, 0.4432, 0.4787, 0.4223, 0.4338, 0.4338, 0.4613, 0.444, 0.436, 0.4302, 0.4302, 0.6638, 0.6088, 0.5785, 0.4866, 0.5315, 0.6775, 0.6833, 0.7223, 0.6377, 0.8438, 0.9581, 0.9581, 0.8445, 0.9046, 0.9718, 0.9479, 0.961, 1.0564, 1.2408, 1.2827, 1.2249, 1.2336, 1.3304, 1.0962, 0.3702, 0.4056, 0.4027, 0.3731, 0.2668, 0.261, 0.3348, 0.3348, 0.2856, 0.2603, 0.1974, 0.1967, 0.162, 0.1923, 0.1808, 0.1714, 0.1236, 0.0933, 0.0788, 0.1424, 0.1396, 0.0687, 0.1352, 0.2205, 0.2372, 0.1873, 0.1844, 0.2133, 0.1931, 0.1562, 0.1591, 0.094, 0.1106, 0.1678, 0.1822, 0.0817, 0.0231, -0.06, -0.0051, -0.0586]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2011496801548058735", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-14T17:53:03+00:00", "symbol": "LPTH", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I've initiated positions in $LPTH ($621M). Lightpath is incredible... So I personally went long on Lightpath as military contractors will rely on them in the future for advanced weapons.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Initiated long in LPTH; sole Western alternative to Chinese germanium glass for modern weapons/drones, expanding margins, $90M+ backlog, and growing defence contractor adoption.", "resolved_tickers": ["LPTH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I've initiated positions in $LPTH ($621M).\n\nLightpath is incredible.\n\nEvery modern thermal weapon (Missiles, Drones) requires Germanium glass, which China owns (70%)\n\nLPTH is the only US alternative with: Black Diamond\n\nUsers?\n\n- $ONDS\n- L3Harris\n- Lockheed\n- Andruil (likely)\n- $UMAC\n- RTX/Raytheon or Northrop Grumman for the most recent $18.2M contract.\n\nOndas: Iron Drone Raider(counter-UAS interceptor drone) and Optimus uses LPTH for Thermal Camera Cores.\n\nL3Harris SPEIR uses Lightpath for Infrared Camera Assemblies on Arleigh Burke-class Destroyers.\n\nLockheed Martin Stinger Missles and M-SHORAD uses Lightpath for Missile Seeker Optics.\n\nAnduril likely uses Lightpath for The Ghost (Autonomous Drone) for Uncooled LWIR (Long Wave Infrared) Cameras.\n\nUnusual Machines uses Lightpath for Attack Drones (Molded Thermal Lenses). \n\nRTX or Northrop (one of them) uses Lightpath for Advanced Tactical Pods or Next-Gen Missile Seekers suing Infrared Camera Systems. \n\nThis literally is the only Western alternative required for modern weaponry and drones.\n\nLightpath now has an amazing balance sheet: \n\n~$75–80 million in cash (with -$5M debt)\n-FY 2025 $37.2 Million. FY 2026 est. ~$61.6 Million\n- FY 2025 Gross 27.2%, FY 2026 35-40% by year-end.\n- FY 2025 Backlog ~$40 Million. FY 2026 Backlog $90+ Million.\n\nThey are sold out. Expanding margins. And majority of the top US defence contractors now use Lightpath as a Western alternative to China's supply chain of Germanium glass. \n\nAbsolutely incredible company, I don't say this very often. \n \nSo I personally went long on Lightpath as military contractors will rely on them in the future for advanced weapons.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I've initiated a position in $VLN ($155M MC).\n\nThis one is wild.\n\nValens is a AI semi for self-driving cars and robotics. \n\nI've found that markets messed up on VLS from a ticker collision data error. \n\nAnd missed new CES 2026 info this week. \n\nVLN has:  \n\n1. $93.5M in Cash, 0 https://t.co/tqHBH77c2O", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.11866967113733051, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11866967113733051, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12360918737360316, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12360918737360316, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004939516236272645, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004939516236272645, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004535107182040088, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004535107182040088, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007258321578569538, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007258321578569538, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027232143965294497, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0027232143965294497, "ret_p1w": 0.03099023547034241, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03099023547034241, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03817486547027504, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03817486547027504, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007184629999932635, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007184629999932635, "ret_p1m": -0.056689344365103755, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.056689344365103755, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.043522383787262475, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.043522383787262475, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01316696057784128, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01316696057784128, "ret_p3m": 0.08919125820138318, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08919125820138318, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09264780255064686, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09264780255064686, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0034565443492636794, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0034565443492636794, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4376, -0.3401, -0.3726, -0.4444, -0.3968, -0.3613, -0.3621, -0.3621, -0.3802, -0.3741, -0.3439, -0.3832, -0.4308, -0.4082, -0.424, -0.4172, -0.4119, -0.3923, -0.4429, -0.4966, -0.4936, -0.486, -0.4837, -0.4921, -0.5329, -0.5306, -0.4868, -0.4777, -0.4769, -0.4769, -0.4444, -0.458, -0.4014, -0.3689, -0.3182, -0.3348, -0.3394, -0.3348, -0.3333, -0.3107, -0.3878, -0.4339, -0.446, -0.48, -0.4573, -0.4225, -0.3553, -0.3416, -0.3175, -0.3175, -0.3182, -0.2222, -0.2018, -0.1837, -0.1837, -0.1141, -0.1164, -0.1293, -0.0779, -0.0454, -0.0673, -0.0937, -0.1187, 0.0, -0.0045, -0.0499, -0.0499, 0.0582, 0.031, 0.0831, -0.0597, -0.2268, -0.1497, -0.1474, -0.1315, -0.2124, -0.2063, -0.1769, -0.2895, -0.3152, -0.2018, -0.1436, -0.1678, -0.2237, -0.0567, -0.1293, -0.1293, -0.155, -0.1504, 0.028, -0.093, -0.1534, -0.0937, -0.1104, -0.158, -0.2116, -0.0922, -0.0945, -0.1081, -0.1436, -0.1633, -0.1618, -0.1633, -0.1769, -0.1708, -0.2056, -0.1686, -0.0937, -0.1179, -0.1315, -0.2041, -0.1353, -0.1028, -0.0967, -0.1693, -0.2827, -0.2963, -0.2419, -0.2275, -0.1701, -0.1701, -0.1315, -0.1716, -0.1247, -0.0809, -0.0302, 0.0892, 0.0801, 0.0597, 0.1277, 0.0703, 0.0809, 0.0726, 0.1073, 0.1051, 0.2162, 0.0574, -0.0401, -0.0786, -0.0317, 0.0355, -0.068, -0.0854, -0.0272, -0.0907, -0.13, -0.031, -0.0771, -0.0839, -0.0816, -0.1293, -0.0597, 0.0491, 0.0317, 0.0794, 0.2812, 0.2812, 0.2275, 0.3311, 0.3719, 0.2834, 0.2834, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1980895306335285430", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-22T07:13:38+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "having raw capacity doesn't always translate to good profit margins like what $NBIS already has (71.2% gross from last ER, if I remember correctly) being full stack + operational efficiency + diversified smbs", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS on full-stack efficiency and 71% gross margins; bearish on raw-capacity plays IREN, ORCL, CRWV as margin struggles show GPU buildouts don't translate to profits.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yeah I’d agree with the breakdown. But think you’re focusing on the wrong thing (external competitive advantage).\n\nTheir full stack software + diversified customer base with startups, SMBs, helps their own opex, which is the moat in and of itself.\n\nYou mention miners like $IREN but if we look at $ORCL they were struggling with margins and buildout/pivot that didn’t translate (gpu utilization after buildout, etc). Having other software layers also reduces margins and $CRWV found that out firsthand, which is why they spent billions on acquisitions recently. \n\nSo having raw capacity doesn’t always translate to good profit margins like what $NBIS already has (71.2% gross from last ER, if I remember correctly) being full stack + operational efficiency + diversified smbs that miners that pivot won’t have.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$NBIS's white paper on the software efficiency of it's AI cloud. I want to acknowledge that this is great for small companies and startups. Medium-large companies will rent from Nebius for their uptime guarantees of 99.9%+ but Nebius software is not a factor for them.\n\nManaged AI", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jiahanjimliu", "ret_m1d": 0.05739196790796086, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05739196790796086, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.052165891093566064, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04865795143168117, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005226076814394798, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008734016476279693, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07645508725955352, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07645508725955352, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07052519606905383, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07982761972858643, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005929891190499692, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0033725324690329073, "ret_p1w": 0.2685053233630823, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2685053233630823, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.23917013427122158, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2628844137812947, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.029335189091860725, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005620909581787625, "ret_p1m": -0.14175626614873638, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14175626614873638, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11889015789478707, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09272476616029002, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.022866108253949302, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04903149998844636, "ret_p3m": 0.10251470623389292, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10251470623389292, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06372503900472015, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10335486794227966, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.038789667229172764, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0008401617083867441, "ret_p6m": 0.6765361157285201, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6765361157285201, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.619849690724092, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.6423340376147957, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05668642500442811, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03420207811372444, "price_path": [-0.4791, -0.4651, -0.4889, -0.4799, -0.4481, -0.4727, -0.4507, -0.4406, -0.4414, -0.3378, -0.3026, -0.2878, -0.2362, -0.2838, -0.3058, -0.2738, -0.2644, -0.3187, -0.3159, -0.3289, -0.3005, -0.29, -0.2853, -0.2892, -0.2695, -0.3072, -0.3072, -0.3336, -0.3343, -0.3418, -0.3361, -0.3504, -0.0294, -0.053, -0.0956, -0.0832, -0.0777, -0.0932, -0.046, -0.0456, 0.007, 0.0809, 0.0931, 0.1481, 0.0945, 0.0921, 0.1176, 0.1384, 0.1723, 0.2763, 0.2977, 0.2669, 0.1935, 0.2371, 0.345, 0.3139, 0.3736, 0.2994, 0.2759, 0.2476, 0.1503, 0.1053, 0.0574, 0.0, 0.0765, 0.189, 0.2719, 0.2353, 0.2685, 0.2592, 0.3265, 0.2216, 0.1209, 0.1864, 0.1097, 0.1284, 0.1149, 0.0365, -0.0432, -0.1013, -0.1529, -0.1282, -0.0819, -0.036, -0.1418, -0.1557, -0.0681, -0.0988, -0.0398, -0.0398, -0.038, 0.0155, -0.022, 0.003, 0.0424, -0.0059, 0.0173, -0.0224, -0.051, -0.044, -0.1108, -0.1772, -0.1792, -0.2349, -0.2082, -0.0929, -0.0547, -0.0871, -0.0759, -0.0759, -0.1118, -0.1276, -0.1364, -0.1512, -0.1512, -0.0879, -0.0587, 0.0164, -0.0244, -0.0134, -0.007, 0.0883, 0.0691, 0.0341, 0.0534, 0.1025, 0.1025, 0.0068, 0.0025, -0.0179, -0.0418, -0.0726, -0.0076, 0.0184, -0.0376, -0.1362, -0.1061, -0.0879, -0.1646, -0.251, -0.127, -0.0582, -0.0693, -0.1015, -0.0901, -0.0062, -0.0062, -0.0112, 0.0322, 0.0912, -0.0071, 0.0202, 0.0402, 0.076, 0.0635, -0.0753, -0.0772, -0.1199, -0.0085, -0.0301, -0.0942, -0.0373, -0.0222, 0.1356, 0.0955, 0.1453, 0.3167, 0.1796, 0.2022, 0.2322, 0.1927, 0.1575, 0.1652, 0.167, 0.0745, 0.0223, -0.0645, 0.0521, 0.0338, 0.1034, 0.1034, 0.1411, 0.1904, 0.2675, 0.3824, 0.47, 0.5672, 0.6421, 0.691, 0.6765]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1980895306335285430", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-22T07:13:38+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "miners like $IREN but if we look at $ORCL they were struggling with margins and buildout/pivot that didn't translate", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS on full-stack efficiency and 71% gross margins; bearish on raw-capacity plays IREN, ORCL, CRWV as margin struggles show GPU buildouts don't translate to profits.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yeah I’d agree with the breakdown. But think you’re focusing on the wrong thing (external competitive advantage).\n\nTheir full stack software + diversified customer base with startups, SMBs, helps their own opex, which is the moat in and of itself.\n\nYou mention miners like $IREN but if we look at $ORCL they were struggling with margins and buildout/pivot that didn’t translate (gpu utilization after buildout, etc). Having other software layers also reduces margins and $CRWV found that out firsthand, which is why they spent billions on acquisitions recently. \n\nSo having raw capacity doesn’t always translate to good profit margins like what $NBIS already has (71.2% gross from last ER, if I remember correctly) being full stack + operational efficiency + diversified smbs that miners that pivot won’t have.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$NBIS's white paper on the software efficiency of it's AI cloud. I want to acknowledge that this is great for small companies and startups. Medium-large companies will rent from Nebius for their uptime guarantees of 99.9%+ but Nebius software is not a factor for them.\n\nManaged AI", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jiahanjimliu", "ret_m1d": 0.06492374580147797, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06492374580147797, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.059697668987083174, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.059201794656427165, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005226076814394798, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005721951145050808, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07775417011238162, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07775417011238162, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07182427892188192, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07565609445044097, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005929891190499692, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002098075661940646, "ret_p1w": 0.16573405430103239, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.16573405430103239, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.13639886520917166, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.17221886866291036, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.029335189091860725, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0064848143618779774, "ret_p1m": -0.16129655247942798, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.16129655247942798, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.13843044422547868, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.13612015824874346, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.022866108253949302, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025176394230684518, "ret_p3m": 0.11557008782856215, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11557008782856215, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07678042059938939, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07360424472637206, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.038789667229172764, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04196584310219009, "ret_p6m": -0.07968359873066189, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.07968359873066189, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.13637002373509, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08064174612449504, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05668642500442811, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0009581473938331531, "price_path": [-0.6581, -0.6801, -0.6954, -0.6886, -0.6892, -0.7029, -0.682, -0.6826, -0.6465, -0.6417, -0.644, -0.6533, -0.656, -0.6579, -0.6319, -0.6201, -0.6005, -0.6386, -0.6188, -0.622, -0.5865, -0.5539, -0.5564, -0.5687, -0.5555, -0.4891, -0.4891, -0.4384, -0.4557, -0.4959, -0.4955, -0.4947, -0.4175, -0.3511, -0.3662, -0.3448, -0.2834, -0.2967, -0.2688, -0.2992, -0.2545, -0.1916, -0.1941, -0.0905, -0.1069, -0.1924, -0.1138, -0.0945, -0.0916, -0.0928, -0.0264, 0.1142, 0.19, 0.1594, 0.2319, 0.1532, 0.2375, 0.3421, 0.3116, 0.1929, 0.1715, 0.1426, 0.0649, 0.0, 0.0778, 0.2136, 0.2539, 0.2043, 0.1657, 0.1233, 0.1721, 0.3072, 0.2855, 0.4742, 0.2919, 0.2036, 0.1609, 0.1071, 0.0747, -0.0614, -0.1053, -0.0853, -0.0575, -0.1158, -0.1613, -0.1846, -0.0644, -0.0841, -0.0652, -0.0652, -0.0776, -0.0644, -0.2066, -0.1518, -0.1038, -0.1374, -0.1059, -0.0963, -0.1526, -0.1522, -0.2257, -0.3155, -0.294, -0.3483, -0.3093, -0.2298, -0.1889, -0.1883, -0.19, -0.19, -0.2225, -0.2396, -0.261, -0.2713, -0.2713, -0.1762, -0.0693, -0.1142, -0.1583, -0.1187, -0.1119, -0.0289, 0.0224, 0.0203, 0.0012, 0.1156, 0.1156, 0.0469, 0.0318, 0.0083, 0.0936, 0.0102, 0.1574, 0.2144, 0.1545, 0.0369, 0.0241, 0.0494, -0.1329, -0.2323, -0.1929, -0.1096, -0.1717, -0.1767, -0.2277, -0.1854, -0.1854, -0.2095, -0.1881, -0.1648, -0.2286, -0.1827, -0.1231, -0.1505, -0.1464, -0.2099, -0.2014, -0.2504, -0.1542, -0.2258, -0.2919, -0.2506, -0.2645, -0.19, -0.2018, -0.1978, -0.1329, -0.1711, -0.1856, -0.1962, -0.2034, -0.1866, -0.2066, -0.2007, -0.2774, -0.323, -0.3899, -0.3386, -0.3423, -0.3292, -0.3292, -0.3222, -0.3104, -0.2894, -0.285, -0.2414, -0.169, -0.0861, -0.0581, -0.0797]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1980895306335285430", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-22T07:13:38+00:00", "symbol": "ORCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ORCL they were struggling with margins and buildout/pivot that didn't translate (gpu utilization after buildout, etc)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS on full-stack efficiency and 71% gross margins; bearish on raw-capacity plays IREN, ORCL, CRWV as margin struggles show GPU buildouts don't translate to profits.", "resolved_tickers": ["ORCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yeah I’d agree with the breakdown. But think you’re focusing on the wrong thing (external competitive advantage).\n\nTheir full stack software + diversified customer base with startups, SMBs, helps their own opex, which is the moat in and of itself.\n\nYou mention miners like $IREN but if we look at $ORCL they were struggling with margins and buildout/pivot that didn’t translate (gpu utilization after buildout, etc). Having other software layers also reduces margins and $CRWV found that out firsthand, which is why they spent billions on acquisitions recently. \n\nSo having raw capacity doesn’t always translate to good profit margins like what $NBIS already has (71.2% gross from last ER, if I remember correctly) being full stack + operational efficiency + diversified smbs that miners that pivot won’t have.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$NBIS's white paper on the software efficiency of it's AI cloud. I want to acknowledge that this is great for small companies and startups. Medium-large companies will rent from Nebius for their uptime guarantees of 99.9%+ but Nebius software is not a factor for them.\n\nManaged AI", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jiahanjimliu", "ret_m1d": 0.00913214190073508, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00913214190073508, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0039060650863402824, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0039060650863402824, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005226076814394798, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005226076814394798, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.027176717356869107, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.027176717356869107, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.021246826166369415, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.021246826166369415, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005929891190499692, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005929891190499692, "ret_p1w": 0.009682257363044844, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.009682257363044844, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01965293172881588, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01965293172881588, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.029335189091860725, "bench_c_p1w": 0.029335189091860725, "ret_p1m": -0.22727944311423232, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.22727944311423232, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.204413334860283, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.204413334860283, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.022866108253949302, "bench_c_p1m": -0.022866108253949302, "ret_p3m": -0.29731122481039884, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.29731122481039884, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3361008920395716, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3361008920395716, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.038789667229172764, "bench_c_p3m": 0.038789667229172764, "ret_p6m": -0.3419059378010292, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3419059378010292, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3985923628054573, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3985923628054573, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05668642500442811, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05668642500442811, "price_path": [-0.1026, -0.0931, -0.0848, -0.0825, -0.0709, -0.1051, -0.0754, -0.0639, -0.0612, -0.0869, -0.0845, -0.0749, -0.0706, -0.106, -0.1031, -0.091, -0.0881, -0.141, -0.1394, -0.1464, -0.1346, -0.1381, -0.1425, -0.1366, -0.1201, -0.1721, -0.1721, -0.1751, -0.1819, -0.1835, -0.1477, -0.1269, -0.1158, 0.2021, 0.1271, 0.0697, 0.1062, 0.1227, 0.1035, 0.086, 0.1301, 0.2014, 0.149, 0.1293, 0.0666, 0.0378, 0.0352, 0.0297, 0.0581, 0.0573, 0.0476, 0.0676, 0.0407, 0.0567, 0.0891, 0.0745, 0.1296, 0.0966, 0.1135, 0.1479, 0.0684, 0.0166, 0.0091, 0.0, 0.0272, 0.0391, 0.0321, 0.03, 0.0097, -0.0578, -0.0369, -0.0543, -0.0898, -0.082, -0.1058, -0.1225, -0.1167, -0.1339, -0.1675, -0.202, -0.1827, -0.1936, -0.1913, -0.1729, -0.2273, -0.271, -0.2655, -0.2774, -0.2483, -0.2483, -0.2593, -0.263, -0.2625, -0.2381, -0.2139, -0.202, -0.1912, -0.1875, -0.1821, -0.2707, -0.3033, -0.3218, -0.3081, -0.3455, -0.3397, -0.2959, -0.2724, -0.2836, -0.2757, -0.2757, -0.2739, -0.2834, -0.2767, -0.2852, -0.2852, -0.2822, -0.2937, -0.2894, -0.2927, -0.3044, -0.27, -0.2473, -0.2561, -0.288, -0.3019, -0.2973, -0.2973, -0.3384, -0.3606, -0.3448, -0.3485, -0.3291, -0.3568, -0.3646, -0.3785, -0.3948, -0.4114, -0.4312, -0.4607, -0.4981, -0.4748, -0.4242, -0.412, -0.4221, -0.4246, -0.4111, -0.4111, -0.4338, -0.4257, -0.4244, -0.4555, -0.4804, -0.4626, -0.4562, -0.4473, -0.4653, -0.4512, -0.4521, -0.4397, -0.4308, -0.4375, -0.4427, -0.4506, -0.4002, -0.4147, -0.4296, -0.4265, -0.4312, -0.4377, -0.4281, -0.4496, -0.4325, -0.4591, -0.463, -0.4748, -0.4864, -0.4896, -0.459, -0.466, -0.4617, -0.4617, -0.4648, -0.4735, -0.4717, -0.4913, -0.4904, -0.4257, -0.3985, -0.3734, -0.3419]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1980895306335285430", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-10-22T07:13:38+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$CRWV found that out firsthand, which is why they spent billions on acquisitions recently", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS on full-stack efficiency and 71% gross margins; bearish on raw-capacity plays IREN, ORCL, CRWV as margin struggles show GPU buildouts don't translate to profits.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yeah I’d agree with the breakdown. But think you’re focusing on the wrong thing (external competitive advantage).\n\nTheir full stack software + diversified customer base with startups, SMBs, helps their own opex, which is the moat in and of itself.\n\nYou mention miners like $IREN but if we look at $ORCL they were struggling with margins and buildout/pivot that didn’t translate (gpu utilization after buildout, etc). Having other software layers also reduces margins and $CRWV found that out firsthand, which is why they spent billions on acquisitions recently. \n\nSo having raw capacity doesn’t always translate to good profit margins like what $NBIS already has (71.2% gross from last ER, if I remember correctly) being full stack + operational efficiency + diversified smbs that miners that pivot won’t have.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$NBIS's white paper on the software efficiency of it's AI cloud. I want to acknowledge that this is great for small companies and startups. Medium-large companies will rent from Nebius for their uptime guarantees of 99.9%+ but Nebius software is not a factor for them.\n\nManaged AI", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jiahanjimliu", "ret_m1d": 0.029046316257334004, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.029046316257334004, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.023820239442939206, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.023820239442939206, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005226076814394798, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005226076814394798, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0148934220091681, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0148934220091681, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008963530818668408, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008963530818668408, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005929891190499692, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005929891190499692, "ret_p1w": 0.15140289707317023, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.15140289707317023, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1220677079813095, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1220677079813095, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.029335189091860725, "bench_c_p1w": 0.029335189091860725, "ret_p1m": -0.4305109867551249, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4305109867551249, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4076448785011756, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4076448785011756, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.022866108253949302, "bench_c_p1m": -0.022866108253949302, "ret_p3m": -0.16703690962121087, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.16703690962121087, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.20582657685038364, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.20582657685038364, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.038789667229172764, "bench_c_p3m": 0.038789667229172764, "ret_p6m": -0.01620999951033264, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.01620999951033264, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.07289642451476075, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.07289642451476075, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05668642500442811, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05668642500442811, "price_path": [-0.0486, -0.0926, -0.1052, -0.1534, -0.0609, -0.1431, -0.1277, -0.0797, -0.0929, -0.0037, 0.066, 0.1502, 0.224, -0.031, -0.1812, -0.1774, -0.2035, -0.2357, -0.2469, -0.2529, -0.2266, -0.2399, -0.248, -0.2024, -0.1542, -0.1521, -0.1521, -0.232, -0.2604, -0.2802, -0.2669, -0.2302, -0.1753, -0.0361, -0.0727, -0.0787, -0.0087, -0.0229, -0.0055, -0.0012, 0.0274, 0.0963, 0.077, 0.0977, 0.0422, -0.0098, 0.0081, 0.1261, 0.1277, 0.1355, 0.1091, 0.1014, 0.0601, 0.1518, 0.1773, 0.1391, 0.1653, 0.1031, 0.1457, 0.1663, 0.1262, 0.0455, 0.029, 0.0, 0.0149, 0.0907, 0.1196, 0.1092, 0.1514, 0.0784, 0.1002, 0.0394, -0.0476, -0.0585, -0.1201, -0.1442, -0.131, -0.2727, -0.297, -0.3554, -0.3634, -0.3802, -0.3837, -0.3835, -0.4305, -0.4104, -0.3944, -0.4134, -0.3887, -0.3887, -0.3983, -0.3659, -0.3744, -0.347, -0.2944, -0.2734, -0.2904, -0.254, -0.2746, -0.281, -0.3533, -0.4047, -0.4281, -0.4689, -0.4431, -0.317, -0.302, -0.3396, -0.351, -0.351, -0.3712, -0.3835, -0.3919, -0.4108, -0.4108, -0.3473, -0.3676, -0.3587, -0.3649, -0.3657, -0.3406, -0.26, -0.2802, -0.2611, -0.2182, -0.167, -0.167, -0.2165, -0.2261, -0.2447, -0.2349, -0.1911, -0.1043, -0.1276, -0.181, -0.2332, -0.2682, -0.2589, -0.3215, -0.3857, -0.2599, -0.2036, -0.2174, -0.2171, -0.2125, -0.2097, -0.2097, -0.2512, -0.2146, -0.2007, -0.2656, -0.2525, -0.1829, -0.1935, -0.1967, -0.3453, -0.3578, -0.3929, -0.3458, -0.3843, -0.3994, -0.3877, -0.3835, -0.3256, -0.3429, -0.3326, -0.2935, -0.3243, -0.3185, -0.3363, -0.3296, -0.3256, -0.3169, -0.2794, -0.338, -0.3844, -0.431, -0.3625, -0.3546, -0.3233, -0.3233, -0.334, -0.2986, -0.2685, -0.243, -0.1607, -0.0927, -0.0356, -0.0234, -0.0162]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2011123205386486188", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-13T17:08:31+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$META seems like a screaming buy to me, as this looks like an optics issue rather than fundamentals", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Screaming buy on META: optics-driven selloff, not fundamentals; $18.6B net profit, still wildly profitable despite AI capex fears, 700%+ q/q income growth expected.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$META seems like a screaming buy to me, as this looks like an optics issue rather than fundamentals.\n\nLast quarter, they had a whopping $18.6B in net profit but reported $2.71B from BBB one time accounting. Everyone was fearful of FCF due AI capex but numbers wise they’re still wildly profitable. \n\nShould work in reverse with optics when people see a 700%+ q/q income growth when they don’t do tax normalization.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$META\n\nfeels like the street doesn’t trust Zucks at all\n\nthey are going to have a great Q4, obviously undervalued at 18x fwd compared to other Mag 7s, just announced a new compute initiative (maybe new cloud biz) and acquired Manus which is bringing real agentic workflows to https://t.co/fl805VTfUE", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "amitisinvesting", "ret_m1d": 0.017239873955249285, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.017239873955249285, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01523639293896184, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011593496566688177, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002003481016287445, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005646377388561108, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.024671631819543127, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.024671631819543127, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.019756394477924544, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02253285349778744, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0049152373416185835, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0021387783217556855, "ret_p1w": -0.042735632615598984, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.042735632615598984, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01939932639202524, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.013477375657072188, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023336306223573744, "bench_c_p1w": -0.029258256958526796, "ret_p1m": 0.05957941460084837, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05957941460084837, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06218832427350407, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06086265540264146, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026089096726557015, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0012832408017930952, "ret_p3m": -0.0010945767343011337, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0010945767343011337, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.01685718128478364, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.020946416516865796, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.017951758019084774, "bench_c_p3m": -0.02204099325116693, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1274, 0.1351, 0.1592, 0.161, 0.1612, 0.1621, 0.169, 0.1887, 0.1897, 0.1901, 0.0552, 0.0265, 0.0097, -0.0068, 0.0069, -0.0201, -0.0157, 0.0002, -0.0072, -0.0358, -0.0344, -0.0351, -0.0469, -0.0537, -0.0654, -0.0672, -0.0591, -0.0294, 0.0073, 0.0032, 0.0032, 0.0259, 0.0147, 0.0245, 0.0127, 0.0474, 0.0662, 0.0557, 0.0401, 0.0293, 0.0334, 0.02, 0.026, 0.0413, 0.0292, 0.0529, 0.0439, 0.0482, 0.0536, 0.0578, 0.0578, 0.051, 0.0437, 0.0552, 0.046, 0.046, 0.0306, 0.0439, 0.0468, 0.0279, 0.0237, 0.0348, 0.0172, 0.0, -0.0247, -0.0163, -0.0172, -0.0172, -0.0427, -0.0287, 0.0262, 0.0438, 0.0654, 0.0664, 0.0596, 0.1699, 0.1353, 0.1193, 0.096, 0.0601, 0.062, 0.0481, 0.0731, 0.0628, 0.0596, 0.0297, 0.0138, 0.0138, 0.013, 0.0192, 0.0217, 0.0389, 0.0098, 0.013, 0.0358, 0.0411, 0.0271, 0.0356, 0.038, 0.0581, 0.0467, 0.0218, 0.0258, 0.0364, 0.0377, 0.0112, -0.0275, -0.0049, -0.0125, -0.0236, -0.0378, -0.0585, -0.042, -0.0597, -0.0566, -0.1316, -0.1663, -0.1493, -0.0926, -0.0814, -0.089, -0.089, -0.0912, -0.088, -0.0288, -0.0034, -0.0011, 0.0063, 0.0507, 0.0651, 0.0735, 0.092, 0.064, 0.0607, 0.07, 0.0454, 0.0705, 0.0762, 0.0647, 0.0612, -0.0296, -0.0346, -0.0319, -0.0406, -0.028, -0.0218, -0.0332, -0.0503, -0.0437, -0.0221, -0.0192, -0.0259, -0.0307, -0.0443, -0.0404, -0.0367, -0.0322, -0.0322, -0.0289, 0.0075, 0.0075, 0.0031, 0.0031, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1976662977106596031", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-10T14:55:53+00:00", "symbol": "FLY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I just find $FLY to be an interesting 10x moonshot at this valuation in the chance it works in the next year or two", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long FLY as 10x moonshot on reusable medium-lift success with Northrop co-development; also holds RKLB but sees better risk/reward in FLY at 4.4B MC vs RKLB's 32B+.", "resolved_tickers": ["FLY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "People have been asking for my $FLY thesis since my Reddit post, so here it is:\n\nFirefly is a rocket company like $RKLB, and is developing a reusable medium-lift rocket.\n\nThe only one that exists is SpaceX.\n\nThey target 2026-2027, and if they succeed, the company would re-rate to a 30-70B market cap, 1000-2000% from here (4.4B MC)\n\nMore details:\n\nThe 30-70B marketcap estimate is priced off $RKLB multiples, and only on medium-lift working. (I'm ignoring other business segments and current $1B+ revenue backlog).\n\nIn a year with medium-lift: ~$0.9–1.3B revenue, with 30–40% gross margins at workable cadence (8–12 flights). Falcon-class pricing support this.\n\nSo now the only question is, can FLY make it work? \n\nAfter Fly's individual company latest launch failure, the stock dropped 50% and the market is already pricing in the feature of failure. The bears are pointing to Alpha's failures for execution risk. HOWEVER, they're pricing the risk in completely wrong... \n\nThe question they should be asking is, whether both Northrop + Firefly can make this work?\n\nThis is a CO-DEVELOPMENT between Northrop, one of America's largest military contractors for Aerospace with some tiny $4B marketcap launch company.\n\nNorthrop literally had its own medium-lift rocket before but they had to sunset it. Northrop’s prior launcher, Antares 230 worked before Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine, then the supply chain was cut off.\n\nHowever, Northrop faced an existential problem: it couldn’t build its own first stage anymore. So they went looking for a U.S. partner with ready-made propulsion and structures for the sake of time: Firefly.\n\n-> Motivation: Firefly’s Miranda engines offered a plug-and-play replacement to immediately build a medium lift launcher.\n\nAnd now you have a medium lift launcher in 2026-2027 that Firefly monetizes (because Northrop took a stake in the company), just need to make it re-usable, which is the hard part. \n\nBut Northrop doesn’t just “help.” It structurally lowers risk across every aspect across the board. And Northrop’s system + Firefly’s new-space engines hits a scarce, high-demand moat (U.S. medium-lift with reuse), already validated by TacRS and a $1B+ backlog + US golden dome defense system catalyst.\n\nSo, risk reward of buying Firefly on the company succeeding on Medium-Lift Launcher and developing a huge moat to be the next SpaceX, is decent. \n\n(I also have $RKLB in my portfolio too, I just see the opportunity of succeeding in reusable Medium Lift to be higher than normal because it medium-lift already existed with Northrop). \n\nObviously Rocketlab has a higher probability of success achieving reusable medium lift, but that's already priced into its 32B+ marketcap, compared to a 4.4B Fly marketcap. \n\nI just find $FLY to be an interesting 10x moonshot at this valuation in the chance it works in the next year or two. Also I just really like rockets.\n\nI also had Grok calculate the odds since XAI is owned by Rocketman himself. \n_\n\nOutput:\n\nBy end-2027, Rocket Lab has a 90%+ chance of achieving reusable medium-lift flights (likely by mid-2026), driven by their head start, proven execution, and in-house control. \n\nFirefly/Northrop reaches 75–80% probability, bolstered by Northrop’s legacy but tempered by Firefly’s newer operational track record. The extra year narrows the gap—Firefly could match or exceed Neutron’s cadence by late 2027 if Antares 330 flies on time and Miranda engines scale.\n\nIn the event they both get it to work (big if), RKLB could re-rate to $60B marketcap, and $FLY could re-rate to 40B marketcap, just because of TAM of Space rapidly increasing from national security risks and corporate sector buildout, just might need to wait another year.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The NeoCloud Thesis: Hyperscaler Capex Funnel\n\nWhy I'm putting $1.5M+ into Neoclouds, and why this might be a 200-300%+ return.\n\n🔹 Buckets\n\nMag7 contracts: $CRWV, $NBIS ✅, $WULF, $CIFR ✅\n\nWith compute: $IREN ✅, $BITF\n\nSpeculative: $WYFI, $GRRR ✅, $SLNH\n\nMiners pivoting to", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.05994354086756659, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05994354086756659, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.032164917106180635, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.032164917106180635, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.027778623761385957, "bench_c_m1d": 0.027778623761385957, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0535965626834376, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0535965626834376, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.038252487990228845, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.038252487990228845, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015344074693208754, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015344074693208754, "ret_p1w": -0.07052186025941021, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07052186025941021, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08793333089475519, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08793333089475519, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017411470635344983, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017411470635344983, "ret_p1m": -0.32157971237506056, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.32157971237506056, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3651005871145916, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3651005871145916, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.043520874739531035, "bench_c_p1m": 0.043520874739531035, "ret_p3m": -0.035613547501588516, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.035613547501588516, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09471997825538614, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09471997825538614, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05910643075379762, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05910643075379762, "ret_p6m": 0.22884336121631277, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.22884336121631277, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.21404757789941042, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.21404757789941042, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.014795783316902344, "bench_c_p6m": 0.014795783316902344, "price_path": [null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 1.128, 0.769, 0.8907, 0.8147, 0.7895, 0.7394, 0.6693, 0.7144, 0.6037, 0.5963, 0.6315, 0.6259, 0.577, 0.5885, 0.6583, 0.6626, 0.5998, 0.5998, 0.5596, 0.5649, 0.5099, 0.5032, 0.5085, 0.5705, 0.5081, 0.5152, 0.5427, 0.5465, 0.5462, 0.5289, 0.5945, 0.5938, 0.7461, 0.4788, 0.4302, 0.3279, 0.2687, 0.3032, 0.0339, -0.0596, -0.055, -0.0349, 0.0257, 0.0028, 0.0931, 0.0599, 0.0, 0.0536, 0.061, 0.0437, -0.0109, -0.0705, -0.0437, -0.0063, -0.0748, -0.0846, -0.0508, -0.0307, -0.0913, -0.1167, -0.1379, -0.1446, -0.1615, -0.1943, -0.2066, -0.3184, -0.3039, -0.3216, -0.3255, -0.3544, -0.2447, -0.1908, -0.3131, -0.3032, -0.3152, -0.4034, -0.4083, -0.4055, -0.3886, -0.3854, -0.3854, -0.3755, -0.4073, -0.3688, -0.3459, -0.287, -0.3015, -0.3255, -0.3138, -0.2489, -0.171, -0.2207, -0.2821, -0.2849, -0.3466, -0.2923, -0.1308, 0.0085, -0.067, -0.0465, -0.0465, -0.177, -0.1678, -0.1989, -0.2112, -0.2112, -0.1622, -0.0913, -0.0673, -0.0356, -0.013, 0.0617, 0.0733, -0.0138, 0.0582, 0.049, 0.1781, 0.1781, 0.0698, 0.019, 0.0903, 0.0272, -0.1114, 0.0349, 0.0176, -0.0448, -0.1114, -0.1939, -0.1164, -0.1393, -0.2103, -0.158, -0.1287, -0.189, -0.2659, -0.3255, -0.3195, -0.3195, -0.2814, -0.2429, -0.2408, -0.2955, -0.2955, -0.2701, -0.2824, -0.2408, -0.3205, -0.2623, -0.2645, -0.2454, -0.2814, -0.3043, -0.2683, -0.3163, -0.2736, -0.1809, -0.1724, -0.1562, -0.1333, -0.1823, -0.1904, -0.1812, -0.1534, -0.1633, -0.0293, -0.0547, -0.1641, -0.1671, 0.0039, 0.0494, 0.1611, 0.1611, 0.2288]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1976662977106596031", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-10T14:55:53+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I also have $RKLB in my portfolio too", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long FLY as 10x moonshot on reusable medium-lift success with Northrop co-development; also holds RKLB but sees better risk/reward in FLY at 4.4B MC vs RKLB's 32B+.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "People have been asking for my $FLY thesis since my Reddit post, so here it is:\n\nFirefly is a rocket company like $RKLB, and is developing a reusable medium-lift rocket.\n\nThe only one that exists is SpaceX.\n\nThey target 2026-2027, and if they succeed, the company would re-rate to a 30-70B market cap, 1000-2000% from here (4.4B MC)\n\nMore details:\n\nThe 30-70B marketcap estimate is priced off $RKLB multiples, and only on medium-lift working. (I'm ignoring other business segments and current $1B+ revenue backlog).\n\nIn a year with medium-lift: ~$0.9–1.3B revenue, with 30–40% gross margins at workable cadence (8–12 flights). Falcon-class pricing support this.\n\nSo now the only question is, can FLY make it work? \n\nAfter Fly's individual company latest launch failure, the stock dropped 50% and the market is already pricing in the feature of failure. The bears are pointing to Alpha's failures for execution risk. HOWEVER, they're pricing the risk in completely wrong... \n\nThe question they should be asking is, whether both Northrop + Firefly can make this work?\n\nThis is a CO-DEVELOPMENT between Northrop, one of America's largest military contractors for Aerospace with some tiny $4B marketcap launch company.\n\nNorthrop literally had its own medium-lift rocket before but they had to sunset it. Northrop’s prior launcher, Antares 230 worked before Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine, then the supply chain was cut off.\n\nHowever, Northrop faced an existential problem: it couldn’t build its own first stage anymore. So they went looking for a U.S. partner with ready-made propulsion and structures for the sake of time: Firefly.\n\n-> Motivation: Firefly’s Miranda engines offered a plug-and-play replacement to immediately build a medium lift launcher.\n\nAnd now you have a medium lift launcher in 2026-2027 that Firefly monetizes (because Northrop took a stake in the company), just need to make it re-usable, which is the hard part. \n\nBut Northrop doesn’t just “help.” It structurally lowers risk across every aspect across the board. And Northrop’s system + Firefly’s new-space engines hits a scarce, high-demand moat (U.S. medium-lift with reuse), already validated by TacRS and a $1B+ backlog + US golden dome defense system catalyst.\n\nSo, risk reward of buying Firefly on the company succeeding on Medium-Lift Launcher and developing a huge moat to be the next SpaceX, is decent. \n\n(I also have $RKLB in my portfolio too, I just see the opportunity of succeeding in reusable Medium Lift to be higher than normal because it medium-lift already existed with Northrop). \n\nObviously Rocketlab has a higher probability of success achieving reusable medium lift, but that's already priced into its 32B+ marketcap, compared to a 4.4B Fly marketcap. \n\nI just find $FLY to be an interesting 10x moonshot at this valuation in the chance it works in the next year or two. Also I just really like rockets.\n\nI also had Grok calculate the odds since XAI is owned by Rocketman himself. \n_\n\nOutput:\n\nBy end-2027, Rocket Lab has a 90%+ chance of achieving reusable medium-lift flights (likely by mid-2026), driven by their head start, proven execution, and in-house control. \n\nFirefly/Northrop reaches 75–80% probability, bolstered by Northrop’s legacy but tempered by Firefly’s newer operational track record. The extra year narrows the gap—Firefly could match or exceed Neutron’s cadence by late 2027 if Antares 330 flies on time and Miranda engines scale.\n\nIn the event they both get it to work (big if), RKLB could re-rate to $60B marketcap, and $FLY could re-rate to 40B marketcap, just because of TAM of Space rapidly increasing from national security risks and corporate sector buildout, just might need to wait another year.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The NeoCloud Thesis: Hyperscaler Capex Funnel\n\nWhy I'm putting $1.5M+ into Neoclouds, and why this might be a 200-300%+ return.\n\n🔹 Buckets\n\nMag7 contracts: $CRWV, $NBIS ✅, $WULF, $CIFR ✅\n\nWith compute: $IREN ✅, $BITF\n\nSpeculative: $WYFI, $GRRR ✅, $SLNH\n\nMiners pivoting to", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.033613382522703183, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.033613382522703183, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005834758761317227, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.010998234391736528, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.027778623761385957, "bench_c_m1d": 0.022615148130966656, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01805160277236939, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01805160277236939, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.002707528079160637, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.007644531335157412, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015344074693208754, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010407071437211979, "ret_p1w": 0.03127909181476163, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03127909181476163, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.013867621179416645, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01907091269222594, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017411470635344983, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01220817912253569, "ret_p1m": -0.19234360721228272, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.19234360721228272, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.23586448195181375, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.22102940190751663, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.043520874739531035, "bench_c_p1m": 0.028685794695233913, "ret_p3m": 0.3084344699025383, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3084344699025383, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2493280391487407, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.24429510366423224, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05910643075379762, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06413936623830607, "ret_p6m": 0.05306560721062059, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.05306560721062059, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.03826982389371825, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.051923893327181725, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.014795783316902344, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10498950053780232, "price_path": [-0.3059, -0.2579, -0.2012, -0.2003, -0.2656, -0.2705, -0.2351, -0.251, -0.2619, -0.298, -0.3185, -0.2773, -0.2854, -0.3027, -0.3069, -0.3036, -0.3137, -0.312, -0.3045, -0.2994, -0.3242, -0.3308, -0.3338, -0.3111, -0.3002, -0.3632, -0.3668, -0.3537, -0.3094, -0.2652, -0.251, -0.2803, -0.2544, -0.2437, -0.2437, -0.2326, -0.3226, -0.331, -0.2866, -0.2572, -0.2681, -0.2815, -0.2463, -0.1699, -0.159, -0.2648, -0.2518, -0.2658, -0.2563, -0.2249, -0.1766, -0.2423, -0.2744, -0.2801, -0.2684, -0.2544, -0.2535, -0.1835, -0.1261, -0.0896, -0.0428, 0.0163, 0.0336, 0.0, 0.0181, 0.0587, 0.078, 0.0426, 0.0313, 0.0481, 0.0177, -0.0575, -0.0107, 0.0047, 0.0212, -0.0079, 0.0296, -0.052, -0.0199, -0.0454, -0.1197, -0.122, -0.228, -0.1964, -0.1923, -0.2026, -0.2224, -0.2958, -0.2913, -0.326, -0.3343, -0.3212, -0.3856, -0.3729, -0.3394, -0.3371, -0.3475, -0.3475, -0.3442, -0.3718, -0.348, -0.3041, -0.2317, -0.2366, -0.1976, -0.1685, -0.1049, -0.0114, -0.0431, -0.1377, -0.1365, -0.1603, -0.0675, 0.0974, 0.2068, 0.2011, 0.2011, 0.2011, 0.0994, 0.0912, 0.0963, 0.0856, 0.0856, 0.1825, 0.216, 0.3388, 0.3084, 0.2929, 0.3204, 0.3679, 0.3473, 0.4286, 0.4124, 0.4986, 0.4986, 0.3875, 0.3666, 0.3691, 0.3834, 0.2524, 0.3539, 0.3783, 0.3333, 0.246, 0.1539, 0.2647, 0.1377, 0.0321, 0.1254, 0.1802, 0.1209, 0.0834, 0.0272, 0.0495, 0.0495, 0.0876, 0.1581, 0.1917, 0.1027, 0.0926, 0.0889, 0.0924, 0.1306, 0.0753, 0.1044, 0.0913, 0.119, 0.0893, 0.091, 0.1124, 0.0727, 0.1198, 0.064, 0.0646, 0.1097, 0.223, 0.0812, 0.1194, 0.0462, 0.0582, 0.0282, 0.1341, 0.0261, -0.0518, -0.1071, -0.0006, 0.0196, 0.054, 0.054, 0.0531]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1982022999382675836", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-25T09:54:41+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "But I'll put that into $NBIS. Capacity helps scale revenue, but it wouldn't matter as much if they can't achieve high margins that Nebius will produce", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Exited HPC miners, rotating into NBIS on superior margin thesis; bearish on CRWV and HPC miner pivots as unable to achieve high margins.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "No, I held almost every Neocloud up until this week. But ended up selling HPC miners Friday after consolidating more information that came out eg. $ORCL buildout failing, $NBIS new whitepaper 2 days ago, $CRWV recent acquisitions, more insights into margin calculations. \n\nBut I'll put that into $NBIS. \n\nPeople are too bullish on HPC miner pivots when $ORCL had 14% for that segment and they just look at Coreweave. \n\nCapacity helps scale revenue, but it wouldn't matter as much if they can't achieve high margins that Nebius will produce", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0651359176358719, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0651359176358719, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05347576869210846, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.051394016667661524, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013741900968210374, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02870125540430646, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02870125540430646, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.031357254360897535, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.023750721096447047, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004950534307859411, "ret_p1w": -0.03954396135218685, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03954396135218685, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.036771241766913265, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.009072772543005425, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": -0.030471188809181426, "ret_p1m": -0.291397615903933, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.291397615903933, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2764831740059033, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2669865978192385, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02441101808469448, "ret_p3m": -0.22785618880266678, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22785618880266678, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23628515601411337, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.22330124633290094, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": -0.004554942469765844, "ret_p6m": 0.24810653488691647, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.24810653488691647, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.21476196842477524, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.24166768131940364, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": 0.006438853567512837, "price_path": [-0.5911, -0.5661, -0.5854, -0.5681, -0.5602, -0.5608, -0.4793, -0.4516, -0.44, -0.3994, -0.4369, -0.4542, -0.429, -0.4217, -0.4643, -0.4621, -0.4724, -0.4501, -0.4418, -0.4381, -0.4411, -0.4257, -0.4553, -0.4553, -0.476, -0.4766, -0.4825, -0.478, -0.4893, -0.2369, -0.2554, -0.2889, -0.2792, -0.2748, -0.287, -0.2499, -0.2496, -0.2082, -0.1501, -0.1406, -0.0973, -0.1394, -0.1414, -0.1213, -0.1049, -0.0783, 0.0035, 0.0203, -0.0039, -0.0616, -0.0273, 0.0575, 0.0331, 0.08, 0.0217, 0.0032, -0.0191, -0.0956, -0.131, -0.1686, -0.2137, -0.1536, -0.0651, 0.0, -0.0287, -0.0026, -0.01, 0.043, -0.0395, -0.1187, -0.0672, -0.1275, -0.1128, -0.1234, -0.185, -0.2477, -0.2934, -0.334, -0.3145, -0.2782, -0.242, -0.3252, -0.3362, -0.2673, -0.2914, -0.2451, -0.2451, -0.2436, -0.2015, -0.231, -0.2114, -0.1804, -0.2184, -0.2001, -0.2314, -0.2538, -0.2483, -0.3009, -0.3531, -0.3546, -0.3985, -0.3774, -0.2868, -0.2567, -0.2822, -0.2735, -0.2735, -0.3017, -0.314, -0.321, -0.3327, -0.3327, -0.2829, -0.2599, -0.2008, -0.233, -0.2243, -0.2192, -0.1443, -0.1595, -0.187, -0.1718, -0.1331, -0.1331, -0.2084, -0.2118, -0.2279, -0.2466, -0.2708, -0.2197, -0.1993, -0.2433, -0.3208, -0.2971, -0.2829, -0.3431, -0.4111, -0.3136, -0.2595, -0.2682, -0.2936, -0.2846, -0.2186, -0.2186, -0.2225, -0.1884, -0.1421, -0.2193, -0.1979, -0.1822, -0.154, -0.1638, -0.273, -0.2744, -0.308, -0.2204, -0.2374, -0.2878, -0.2431, -0.2312, -0.1071, -0.1386, -0.0995, 0.0352, -0.0726, -0.0548, -0.0312, -0.0623, -0.0899, -0.0839, -0.0824, -0.1551, -0.1962, -0.2645, -0.1728, -0.1872, -0.1324, -0.1324, -0.1028, -0.064, -0.0034, 0.0869, 0.1558, 0.2322, 0.2911, 0.3296, 0.3182, 0.2528, 0.2689, 0.2481]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1982022999382675836", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-25T09:54:41+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "ended up selling HPC miners Friday after consolidating more information that came out eg. $ORCL buildout failing, $NBIS new whitepaper 2 days ago, $CRWV recent acquisitions, more insights into margin calculations", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Exited HPC miners, rotating into NBIS on superior margin thesis; bearish on CRWV and HPC miner pivots as unable to achieve high margins.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "No, I held almost every Neocloud up until this week. But ended up selling HPC miners Friday after consolidating more information that came out eg. $ORCL buildout failing, $NBIS new whitepaper 2 days ago, $CRWV recent acquisitions, more insights into margin calculations. \n\nBut I'll put that into $NBIS. \n\nPeople are too bullish on HPC miner pivots when $ORCL had 14% for that segment and they just look at Coreweave. \n\nCapacity helps scale revenue, but it wouldn't matter as much if they can't achieve high margins that Nebius will produce", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.025797402394663216, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.025797402394663216, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.014137253450899778, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.014137253450899778, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.009260580107634642, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009260580107634642, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011916579064225719, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011916579064225719, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "ret_p1w": -0.0715860505551974, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0715860505551974, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06881333096992381, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06881333096992381, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "ret_p1m": -0.4760399662301438, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4760399662301438, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.46112552433211407, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.46112552433211407, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "ret_p3m": -0.3253711409483283, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3253711409483283, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3338001081597749, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3338001081597749, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "ret_p6m": -0.15360865994050799, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.15360865994050799, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.18695322640264922, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.18695322640264922, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "price_path": [-0.2438, -0.1612, -0.2346, -0.2209, -0.178, -0.1898, -0.1101, -0.0478, 0.0273, 0.0933, -0.1345, -0.2687, -0.2653, -0.2885, -0.3173, -0.3274, -0.3327, -0.3092, -0.321, -0.3283, -0.2876, -0.2445, -0.2427, -0.2427, -0.314, -0.3394, -0.357, -0.3452, -0.3124, -0.2634, -0.1391, -0.1718, -0.1771, -0.1146, -0.1272, -0.1117, -0.1078, -0.0823, -0.0208, -0.038, -0.0196, -0.0691, -0.1155, -0.0995, 0.0058, 0.0073, 0.0143, -0.0093, -0.0162, -0.0531, 0.0288, 0.0516, 0.0174, 0.0409, -0.0147, 0.0234, 0.0417, 0.006, -0.0661, -0.0808, -0.1068, -0.0935, -0.0258, 0.0, -0.0093, 0.0284, -0.0367, -0.0173, -0.0716, -0.1493, -0.159, -0.2141, -0.2356, -0.2238, -0.3504, -0.3721, -0.4242, -0.4314, -0.4463, -0.4495, -0.4494, -0.4913, -0.4734, -0.4591, -0.476, -0.454, -0.454, -0.4626, -0.4336, -0.4412, -0.4167, -0.3698, -0.351, -0.3662, -0.3337, -0.3521, -0.3578, -0.4224, -0.4682, -0.4892, -0.5256, -0.5026, -0.39, -0.3765, -0.4101, -0.4203, -0.4203, -0.4383, -0.4494, -0.4569, -0.4737, -0.4737, -0.417, -0.4351, -0.4272, -0.4328, -0.4334, -0.411, -0.339, -0.357, -0.34, -0.3017, -0.256, -0.256, -0.3002, -0.3088, -0.3254, -0.3166, -0.2775, -0.1999, -0.2208, -0.2685, -0.3151, -0.3463, -0.3381, -0.3939, -0.4513, -0.3389, -0.2886, -0.301, -0.3007, -0.2966, -0.2941, -0.2941, -0.3312, -0.2985, -0.2861, -0.344, -0.3324, -0.2702, -0.2797, -0.2824, -0.4153, -0.4264, -0.4577, -0.4157, -0.4501, -0.4635, -0.4531, -0.4494, -0.3976, -0.4131, -0.4039, -0.369, -0.3964, -0.3913, -0.4072, -0.4012, -0.3976, -0.3898, -0.3563, -0.4087, -0.4502, -0.4918, -0.4306, -0.4235, -0.3956, -0.3956, -0.4051, -0.3735, -0.3466, -0.3238, -0.2503, -0.1895, -0.1386, -0.1277, -0.1213, -0.1412, -0.1369, -0.1536]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2000691553673863673", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-15T22:16:52+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "markets are suddenly forgetting how much capacity was a bottleneck for hyperscalers", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish IREN: market wrongly discounting capacity constraints that remain a real bottleneck for hyperscalers.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Market is valuing a forward $8B ARR company, 20-30% EBIT margin company with: \n\n- 4 separate subsidaries from robotaxi companies to DBs all growing triple digits Y/Y. \n(Two of which can be worth more than the current market cap in a 1-2 year bull case)\n\nAt $19B. \n\nAs for $IREN, markets are suddenly forgetting how much capacity was a bottleneck for hyperscalers.\n\nMarket is taking too much Tylenol.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Is there an opportunity in the market or is the market right?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "tradesbycam", "ret_m1d": 0.13105979667061218, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.13105979667061218, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.12954662265172256, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.13178721554829353, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0015131740188896181, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0007274188776813517, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03128524872245819, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03128524872245819, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0340175463177369, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03765009393113561, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00273229759527871, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0063648452086774165, "ret_p1w": 0.1848929384985425, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1848929384985425, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.17589721318584006, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.17537582820152098, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00899572531270243, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009517110297021514, "ret_p1m": 0.4935175412103965, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4935175412103965, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.47135005130468555, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5038915167994616, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022167489905710935, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010373975589065165, "ret_p3m": 0.16600900410488517, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.16600900410488517, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1846681773695773, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2749258468886464, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.01865917326469213, "bench_c_p3m": -0.10891684278376124, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0682, 0.0237, 0.0891, 0.1809, 0.1773, 0.3286, 0.3047, 0.1798, 0.2945, 0.3227, 0.3269, 0.3253, 0.4222, 0.6277, 0.7384, 0.6936, 0.7996, 0.6846, 0.8078, 0.9605, 0.916, 0.7427, 0.7114, 0.6691, 0.5557, 0.4608, 0.5744, 0.7728, 0.8317, 0.7593, 0.7029, 0.6409, 0.7122, 0.9095, 0.878, 1.1536, 0.8873, 0.7582, 0.6959, 0.6172, 0.5699, 0.3712, 0.3069, 0.3362, 0.3768, 0.2917, 0.2252, 0.1911, 0.3667, 0.3379, 0.3656, 0.3656, 0.3475, 0.3667, 0.159, 0.239, 0.3092, 0.2601, 0.3061, 0.3202, 0.2379, 0.2384, 0.1311, 0.0, 0.0313, -0.0479, 0.009, 0.1251, 0.1849, 0.1857, 0.1832, 0.1832, 0.1359, 0.1108, 0.0795, 0.0645, 0.0645, 0.2035, 0.3596, 0.294, 0.2296, 0.2875, 0.2974, 0.4185, 0.4935, 0.4904, 0.4625, 0.6297, 0.6297, 0.5293, 0.5073, 0.4729, 0.5975, 0.4758, 0.6908, 0.774, 0.6866, 0.5147, 0.4961, 0.533, 0.2666, 0.1215, 0.179, 0.3007, 0.21, 0.2026, 0.1282, 0.19, 0.19, 0.1547, 0.186, 0.2201, 0.1268, 0.1939, 0.281, 0.241, 0.2469, 0.1542, 0.1666, 0.095, 0.2356, 0.1309, 0.0344, 0.0947, 0.0744, 0.1832, 0.166, 0.1719, 0.2666, 0.2108, 0.1897, 0.1742, 0.1638, 0.1883, 0.159, 0.1677, 0.0555, -0.011, -0.1088, -0.0338, -0.0392, -0.02, -0.02, -0.0099, 0.0073, 0.038, 0.0445, 0.1082, 0.2139, 0.3351, 0.376, 0.3444, 0.3563, 0.3732, 0.2731, 0.3639, 0.4662, 0.4273, 0.363, 0.2525, 0.208, 0.2827, 0.2869, 0.3946, 0.5428, 0.7187, 0.6023, 0.7249, 0.5544, 0.5941, 0.555, 0.646, 0.4921, 0.4222, 0.3455, 0.4856, 0.6364, 0.6017, 0.6017, 0.6849, 0.9121, 0.8052, 0.7909, 0.7909, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1982008829857661117", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-25T08:58:23+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Software utilization/orchestration is a moat and matters ~30–70 TIMES more than cheap power", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "NBIS's software/orchestration moat matters far more than power cost advantages held by IREN and CIFR; miners face huge speculative risk building out full stack.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NBIS has access to cheap power, but it might not be as cheap as $IREN or $CIFR. But just to give you a sense of why it matters a lot less:\n\nSoftware utilization/orchestration is a moat and matters ~30–70 TIMES more than cheap power. (someone pls fact check the math)\n\nA H100 burns ~0.84 kW. At $0.05 / kWh, that’s $0.04 / GPU-hour; even at $0.10 / kWh it’s $0.08 / GPU-hour. \n\nWith rental prices of ~$4 / GPU-hour, power is just 1–2 % of revenue. But going from 50% to 85% utilization changes revenue per GPU by +70%, swinging margins massively.\n\nThen again if you have all the components like $CRWV (aside from their bad debt), then that's a different story, but it's a huge speculative gamble that all the miners can build that out.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0651359176358719, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0651359176358719, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05347576869210846, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.051394016667661524, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013741900968210374, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02870125540430646, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02870125540430646, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.031357254360897535, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.023750721096447047, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004950534307859411, "ret_p1w": -0.03954396135218685, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03954396135218685, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.036771241766913265, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.009072772543005425, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": -0.030471188809181426, "ret_p1m": -0.291397615903933, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.291397615903933, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2764831740059033, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2669865978192385, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02441101808469448, "ret_p3m": -0.22785618880266678, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22785618880266678, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23628515601411337, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.22330124633290094, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": -0.004554942469765844, "ret_p6m": 0.24810653488691647, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.24810653488691647, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.21476196842477524, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.24166768131940364, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": 0.006438853567512837, "price_path": [-0.5911, -0.5661, -0.5854, -0.5681, -0.5602, -0.5608, -0.4793, -0.4516, -0.44, -0.3994, -0.4369, -0.4542, -0.429, -0.4217, -0.4643, -0.4621, -0.4724, -0.4501, -0.4418, -0.4381, -0.4411, -0.4257, -0.4553, -0.4553, -0.476, -0.4766, -0.4825, -0.478, -0.4893, -0.2369, -0.2554, -0.2889, -0.2792, -0.2748, -0.287, -0.2499, -0.2496, -0.2082, -0.1501, -0.1406, -0.0973, -0.1394, -0.1414, -0.1213, -0.1049, -0.0783, 0.0035, 0.0203, -0.0039, -0.0616, -0.0273, 0.0575, 0.0331, 0.08, 0.0217, 0.0032, -0.0191, -0.0956, -0.131, -0.1686, -0.2137, -0.1536, -0.0651, 0.0, -0.0287, -0.0026, -0.01, 0.043, -0.0395, -0.1187, -0.0672, -0.1275, -0.1128, -0.1234, -0.185, -0.2477, -0.2934, -0.334, -0.3145, -0.2782, -0.242, -0.3252, -0.3362, -0.2673, -0.2914, -0.2451, -0.2451, -0.2436, -0.2015, -0.231, -0.2114, -0.1804, -0.2184, -0.2001, -0.2314, -0.2538, -0.2483, -0.3009, -0.3531, -0.3546, -0.3985, -0.3774, -0.2868, -0.2567, -0.2822, -0.2735, -0.2735, -0.3017, -0.314, -0.321, -0.3327, -0.3327, -0.2829, -0.2599, -0.2008, -0.233, -0.2243, -0.2192, -0.1443, -0.1595, -0.187, -0.1718, -0.1331, -0.1331, -0.2084, -0.2118, -0.2279, -0.2466, -0.2708, -0.2197, -0.1993, -0.2433, -0.3208, -0.2971, -0.2829, -0.3431, -0.4111, -0.3136, -0.2595, -0.2682, -0.2936, -0.2846, -0.2186, -0.2186, -0.2225, -0.1884, -0.1421, -0.2193, -0.1979, -0.1822, -0.154, -0.1638, -0.273, -0.2744, -0.308, -0.2204, -0.2374, -0.2878, -0.2431, -0.2312, -0.1071, -0.1386, -0.0995, 0.0352, -0.0726, -0.0548, -0.0312, -0.0623, -0.0899, -0.0839, -0.0824, -0.1551, -0.1962, -0.2645, -0.1728, -0.1872, -0.1324, -0.1324, -0.1028, -0.064, -0.0034, 0.0869, 0.1558, 0.2322, 0.2911, 0.3296, 0.3182, 0.2528, 0.2689, 0.2481]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1982008829857661117", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-25T08:58:23+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it might not be as cheap as $IREN or $CIFR. But just to give you a sense of why it matters a lot less", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "NBIS's software/orchestration moat matters far more than power cost advantages held by IREN and CIFR; miners face huge speculative risk building out full stack.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NBIS has access to cheap power, but it might not be as cheap as $IREN or $CIFR. But just to give you a sense of why it matters a lot less:\n\nSoftware utilization/orchestration is a moat and matters ~30–70 TIMES more than cheap power. (someone pls fact check the math)\n\nA H100 burns ~0.84 kW. At $0.05 / kWh, that’s $0.04 / GPU-hour; even at $0.10 / kWh it’s $0.08 / GPU-hour. \n\nWith rental prices of ~$4 / GPU-hour, power is just 1–2 % of revenue. But going from 50% to 85% utilization changes revenue per GPU by +70%, swinging margins massively.\n\nThen again if you have all the components like $CRWV (aside from their bad debt), then that's a different story, but it's a huge speculative gamble that all the miners can build that out.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03215873836881211, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03215873836881211, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.020498589425048674, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.028033473816390764, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004125264552421348, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.039544541918764, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.039544541918764, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.042200540875355075, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03316916586003127, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006375376058732729, "ret_p1w": 0.04246810627715236, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04246810627715236, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04524082586242595, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0645944793271267, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022126373049974335, "ret_p1m": -0.2695798925827233, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2695798925827233, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2546654506846936, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.25476647211453674, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.014813420468186567, "ret_p3m": -0.1958762880546734, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1958762880546734, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.20430525526611998, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.20840337820819355, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01252709015352016, "ret_p6m": -0.30497000071257774, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.30497000071257774, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.33831456717471897, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2941425250379808, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010827475674596965, "price_path": [-0.7517, -0.7521, -0.763, -0.7464, -0.7469, -0.7181, -0.7143, -0.7161, -0.7235, -0.7257, -0.7272, -0.7064, -0.697, -0.6814, -0.7118, -0.696, -0.6986, -0.6703, -0.6443, -0.6463, -0.656, -0.6455, -0.5926, -0.5926, -0.5521, -0.5659, -0.5979, -0.5976, -0.597, -0.5355, -0.4825, -0.4945, -0.4775, -0.4285, -0.4391, -0.4168, -0.4411, -0.4054, -0.3553, -0.3573, -0.2747, -0.2877, -0.3559, -0.2933, -0.2779, -0.2756, -0.2765, -0.2236, -0.1114, -0.0509, -0.0754, -0.0175, -0.0803, -0.0131, 0.0703, 0.046, -0.0486, -0.0657, -0.0888, -0.1507, -0.2025, -0.1405, -0.0322, 0.0, -0.0395, -0.0703, -0.1042, -0.0652, 0.0425, 0.0252, 0.1757, 0.0303, -0.0402, -0.0742, -0.1171, -0.1429, -0.2514, -0.2865, -0.2705, -0.2483, -0.2948, -0.3311, -0.3497, -0.2539, -0.2696, -0.2545, -0.2545, -0.2643, -0.2539, -0.3673, -0.3236, -0.2853, -0.312, -0.287, -0.2793, -0.3242, -0.3239, -0.3825, -0.4541, -0.437, -0.4802, -0.4491, -0.3858, -0.3531, -0.3527, -0.3541, -0.3541, -0.3799, -0.3936, -0.4107, -0.4188, -0.4188, -0.343, -0.2577, -0.2936, -0.3287, -0.2971, -0.2917, -0.2256, -0.1846, -0.1863, -0.2016, -0.1103, -0.1103, -0.1651, -0.1771, -0.1959, -0.1279, -0.1943, -0.0769, -0.0315, -0.0792, -0.1731, -0.1833, -0.1631, -0.3085, -0.3878, -0.3564, -0.2899, -0.3394, -0.3434, -0.3841, -0.3504, -0.3504, -0.3696, -0.3525, -0.3339, -0.3848, -0.3482, -0.3007, -0.3225, -0.3193, -0.3699, -0.3631, -0.4022, -0.3254, -0.3826, -0.4353, -0.4024, -0.4134, -0.3541, -0.3634, -0.3602, -0.3085, -0.339, -0.3505, -0.359, -0.3647, -0.3513, -0.3673, -0.3625, -0.4238, -0.4601, -0.5135, -0.4725, -0.4755, -0.465, -0.465, -0.4595, -0.4501, -0.4333, -0.4298, -0.395, -0.3373, -0.2711, -0.2488, -0.266, -0.2596, -0.2503, -0.305]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1982008829857661117", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-25T08:58:23+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it might not be as cheap as $IREN or $CIFR. But just to give you a sense of why it matters a lot less", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "NBIS's software/orchestration moat matters far more than power cost advantages held by IREN and CIFR; miners face huge speculative risk building out full stack.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NBIS has access to cheap power, but it might not be as cheap as $IREN or $CIFR. But just to give you a sense of why it matters a lot less:\n\nSoftware utilization/orchestration is a moat and matters ~30–70 TIMES more than cheap power. (someone pls fact check the math)\n\nA H100 burns ~0.84 kW. At $0.05 / kWh, that’s $0.04 / GPU-hour; even at $0.10 / kWh it’s $0.08 / GPU-hour. \n\nWith rental prices of ~$4 / GPU-hour, power is just 1–2 % of revenue. But going from 50% to 85% utilization changes revenue per GPU by +70%, swinging margins massively.\n\nThen again if you have all the components like $CRWV (aside from their bad debt), then that's a different story, but it's a huge speculative gamble that all the miners can build that out.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.005842206744696377, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005842206744696377, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017502355688459814, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0239693602614649, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.018127153516768524, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.028237673086773385, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.028237673086773385, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030893672043364462, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03813722322910784, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009899550142334457, "ret_p1w": 0.10808175337890424, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10808175337890424, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11085447296417783, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09834943885231096, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009732314526593289, "ret_p1m": -0.14703020073775575, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14703020073775575, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.13211575883972604, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0850234511328678, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.062006749604887945, "ret_p3m": -0.15335936638141245, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15335936638141245, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.16178833359285905, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12392620505308272, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": -0.029433161328329738, "ret_p6m": -0.12171372388353252, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.12171372388353252, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.15505829034567375, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1592872886201938, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03757356473666129, "price_path": [-0.7347, -0.7342, -0.76, -0.7473, -0.7561, -0.7463, -0.7629, -0.7687, -0.7683, -0.7702, -0.7614, -0.741, -0.7463, -0.7055, -0.7196, -0.7103, -0.7128, -0.6894, -0.6767, -0.6534, -0.6597, -0.6582, -0.628, -0.628, -0.5949, -0.6052, -0.6397, -0.6339, -0.6241, -0.5511, -0.501, -0.5146, -0.4718, -0.4718, -0.4396, -0.3973, -0.4231, -0.4021, -0.3204, -0.3111, -0.3116, -0.4323, -0.4416, -0.3841, -0.387, -0.3866, -0.3277, -0.2843, -0.2532, -0.2332, -0.1431, -0.1241, -0.1738, -0.0097, 0.017, 0.0239, -0.0886, -0.0867, -0.0307, -0.12, -0.2157, -0.1599, 0.0058, 0.0, -0.0282, -0.0463, -0.0716, -0.092, 0.1081, 0.0959, 0.203, 0.057, 0.0073, -0.0433, -0.091, -0.1538, -0.2731, -0.3009, -0.3014, -0.2902, -0.2882, -0.2911, -0.3111, -0.1865, -0.147, -0.0677, -0.0677, -0.0093, -0.0414, -0.1412, -0.093, -0.0346, -0.0613, -0.0516, -0.0477, -0.1003, -0.0808, -0.1699, -0.2824, -0.2702, -0.2994, -0.2624, -0.2108, -0.2045, -0.2254, -0.2103, -0.2103, -0.2605, -0.2658, -0.2897, -0.2814, -0.2814, -0.2113, -0.1159, -0.1461, -0.2171, -0.1943, -0.1904, -0.1392, -0.1115, -0.1173, -0.147, -0.0847, -0.0847, -0.1276, -0.1373, -0.1534, -0.1446, -0.1972, -0.0871, -0.0764, -0.1383, -0.223, -0.2303, -0.2084, -0.3062, -0.3817, -0.2829, -0.184, -0.1675, -0.2074, -0.2162, -0.2006, -0.2006, -0.2386, -0.2493, -0.2308, -0.2868, -0.259, -0.1665, -0.1913, -0.1977, -0.2405, -0.2327, -0.2838, -0.2191, -0.2624, -0.3369, -0.3033, -0.3204, -0.313, -0.3325, -0.3145, -0.2629, -0.2653, -0.2858, -0.2872, -0.3179, -0.2751, -0.2756, -0.2269, -0.3014, -0.3308, -0.415, -0.3734, -0.3846, -0.3759, -0.3759, -0.35, -0.3179, -0.2493, -0.2035, -0.1952, -0.1353, -0.1018, -0.1237, -0.1558, -0.057, -0.0609, -0.1217]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2006754865351966806", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-01T15:50:18+00:00", "symbol": "PLTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "next evolution $PLTR, that actually replaces the entire human workforce", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish PLTR as the next evolution in foundational AI that replaces entire human workforces, not just a margin tool.", "resolved_tickers": ["PLTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I see $LMND-style AI as a byproduct of companies just trying to improve their margins. I'm more interested in the foundational stuff, next evolution $PLTR, that actually replaces the entire human workforce. \n\nFor coding, as an example (Cursor, Windsurf), they're great but still used as assistance. We're not quite at the jump to zero-supervision AI.  \n\nFor example, in BD, you have a massive loop of outreach and communication that every company needs. The tech is there, but it’s still too fragmented. The goal is a scalable, autonomous system that handles the entire pipeline from outreach, to customer closing across every segment, end-to-end without a human in the loop. \n\nAnd if a private company/public company can make that happen, then I see that being incredibly valuable.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Wow - that’s such a cool overview. What about the real world AI layer? Companies like $LMND employing AI tool chains heavily in end consumer verticals?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "thgstar2", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05563994030744546, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05563994030744546, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05747298004089729, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05747298004089729, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0018330397334518356, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0018330397334518356, "ret_p1w": -0.005007028915040457, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.005007028915040457, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.016137378287531257, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.016137378287531257, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0111303493724908, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0111303493724908, "ret_p1m": -0.17530241160117788, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17530241160117788, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19004014439740358, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.19004014439740358, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0147377327962257, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0147377327962257, "ret_p3m": -0.1770464203696378, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1770464203696378, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13334057478223404, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13334057478223404, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04370584558740376, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04370584558740376, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.01, 0.0249, 0.0327, 0.0434, -0.013, -0.003, 0.0112, 0.0105, 0.0021, 0.0023, 0.0216, 0.0212, -0.0127, 0.0154, 0.0387, 0.0643, 0.0667, 0.1185, 0.0945, 0.1278, 0.1656, 0.0731, 0.0571, -0.0152, 0.001, 0.0892, 0.0743, 0.0361, -0.0316, -0.021, -0.0366, -0.0586, -0.0694, -0.1238, -0.1288, -0.0872, -0.0799, -0.0674, -0.0674, -0.0523, -0.0577, -0.0397, -0.0094, 0.001, 0.0226, 0.021, 0.023, 0.0572, 0.0551, 0.0327, 0.0309, 0.0563, -0.0026, 0.0447, 0.0879, 0.0913, 0.0922, 0.0924, 0.0924, 0.0617, 0.0362, 0.0174, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0556, -0.0209, 0.011, 0.0221, -0.005, -0.0015, 0.0093, 0.0068, 0.0037, -0.0038, -0.0382, -0.0382, -0.0519, -0.0699, -0.0667, -0.0459, -0.0578, -0.0678, -0.1148, -0.1457, -0.1753, -0.1687, -0.1118, -0.215, -0.2686, -0.2354, -0.196, -0.2151, -0.2367, -0.2735, -0.2607, -0.2607, -0.2516, -0.2384, -0.2411, -0.2392, -0.2653, -0.2752, -0.2451, -0.2352, -0.2282, -0.1833, -0.1718, -0.1382, -0.1411, -0.1158, -0.1199, -0.1497, -0.1471, -0.1364, -0.1508, -0.1408, -0.1275, -0.1405, -0.1242, -0.1523, -0.0951, -0.1292, -0.1282, -0.1698, -0.1952, -0.2262, -0.177, -0.1759, -0.1648, -0.1648, -0.1678, -0.1557, -0.2081, -0.2659, -0.2795, -0.2553, -0.2366, -0.2003, -0.1968, -0.1764, -0.1792, -0.1788, -0.1414, -0.2035, -0.195, -0.1949, -0.2057, -0.2238, -0.2174, -0.1895, -0.1785, -0.2354, -0.2473, -0.229, -0.2248, -0.2299, -0.2349, -0.2684, -0.2477, -0.2462, -0.2397, -0.239, -0.2284, -0.2269, -0.2299, -0.2299, -0.2315, -0.2545, -0.1936, -0.1193, -0.1193, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2002109649315844168", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-19T20:11:52+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If $NBIS was $135 today I'd still buying", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still bullish NBIS at $135; held long position despite running out of capital to deploy.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@soulbiri1 Yep. If $NBIS was $135 today I’d still buying - but ran out of dry capital to deploy on the full tail end of the drop sadly. \n\nEnded up buying long term positions in photonics players and Circle though", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit At $88 Nebius is almost at a fair price. Just gotta add 1 in front of the price and it's fair!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": -0.12709594078852937, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.12709594078852937, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1181139035142077, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12666687420637124, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008982037274321675, "bench_c_m1d": -0.000429066582158133, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0421417875144523, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0421417875144523, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03591189523613214, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.037698961542632414, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006229892278320159, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004442825971819886, "ret_p1w": -0.02090322787524601, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02090322787524601, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03518488655764973, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03662514739168643, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01428165868240372, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01572191951644042, "ret_p1m": 0.21540358226770406, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21540358226770406, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.19913836487522674, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2237897218948398, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.016265217392477327, "bench_c_p1m": -0.008386139627135747, "ret_p3m": 0.32528502986729757, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.32528502986729757, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.35343712164587027, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3466721966578209, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.028152091778572697, "bench_c_p3m": -0.021387166790523326, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.205, 0.2657, 0.2066, 0.2039, 0.2321, 0.255, 0.2923, 0.407, 0.4306, 0.3966, 0.3157, 0.3637, 0.4827, 0.4485, 0.5142, 0.4325, 0.4066, 0.3754, 0.2681, 0.2184, 0.1657, 0.1024, 0.1867, 0.3108, 0.4021, 0.3618, 0.3984, 0.3881, 0.4623, 0.3466, 0.2356, 0.3078, 0.2233, 0.2439, 0.229, 0.1426, 0.0548, -0.0093, -0.0662, -0.0389, 0.0121, 0.0627, -0.0539, -0.0693, 0.0273, -0.0065, 0.0585, 0.0585, 0.0605, 0.1195, 0.0781, 0.1057, 0.1491, 0.0959, 0.1215, 0.0777, 0.0462, 0.0539, -0.0198, -0.093, -0.0951, -0.1566, -0.1271, 0.0, 0.0421, 0.0064, 0.0187, 0.0187, -0.0209, -0.0382, -0.048, -0.0643, -0.0643, 0.0055, 0.0377, 0.1205, 0.0755, 0.0876, 0.0947, 0.1998, 0.1785, 0.14, 0.1612, 0.2154, 0.2154, 0.1099, 0.1052, 0.0826, 0.0563, 0.0224, 0.094, 0.1226, 0.0609, -0.0477, -0.0145, 0.0055, -0.079, -0.1743, -0.0376, 0.0382, 0.026, -0.0095, 0.003, 0.0956, 0.0956, 0.0901, 0.1379, 0.2029, 0.0946, 0.1246, 0.1467, 0.1862, 0.1724, 0.0193, 0.0173, -0.0297, 0.093, 0.0692, -0.0015, 0.0613, 0.0779, 0.2519, 0.2077, 0.2626, 0.4515, 0.3004, 0.3253, 0.3584, 0.3148, 0.276, 0.2845, 0.2865, 0.1846, 0.127, 0.0313, 0.1598, 0.1396, 0.2164, 0.2164, 0.258, 0.3123, 0.3973, 0.5239, 0.6205, 0.7277, 0.8102, 0.8642, 0.8482, 0.7565, 0.7791, 0.7499, 0.7454, 0.7559, 0.645, 0.6204, 0.5148, 0.5782, 0.5452, 0.7269, 0.9721, 0.9665, 1.1808, 1.0654, 0.9791, 1.0803, 1.0021, 1.3169, 1.4721, 1.4585, 1.2341, 1.2103, 1.1442, 1.4584, 1.4007, 1.4007, 1.3257, 1.3292, 1.5301, 1.5832, 1.5832, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1990837378387492882", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-18T17:39:53+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS is obviously oversold and due for a violent rebound but maybe frontrunning for Nov 24th MSCI index inflow on top which is a few hundred million to low billions inflow", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long NBIS: oversold + violent rebound expected, amplified by Nov 24 MSCI inflow of hundreds of millions to low billions into a $22B cap.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@rioferdy838 @hereforgoodish2 $NBIS is obviously oversold and due for a violent rebound but maybe frontrunning for Nov 24th MSCI index inflow on top which is a few hundred million to low billions inflow.\n\nThat much makes a huge material difference when Nebius is only a $22B marketcap.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @hereforgoodish2 we're seeing some life in NBIS\n\nLooks like its curling", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "rioferdy838", "ret_m1d": -0.05036445231371456, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05036445231371456, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05883312117749129, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04472983004313924, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00846866886377673, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005634622270575318, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05003312053777531, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05003312053777531, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04616992039493839, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.055578259666548724, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00386320014283692, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005545139128773413, "ret_p1w": -0.018334478079563232, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.018334478079563232, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.040968183136140035, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04060444906175309, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022633705056576803, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022269970982189857, "ret_p1m": -0.16666670879939505, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16666670879939505, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.18381616311760907, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.20244162937366383, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01714945431821402, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03577492057426879, "ret_p3m": 0.08250498282712115, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08250498282712115, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.046623708602495206, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0544132510007489, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03588127422462595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.028091731826372257, "ret_p6m": 1.289264437558833, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.289264437558833, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.1582852791065308, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.2382690045641254, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13097915845230212, "bench_c_p6m": 0.050995432994707546, "price_path": [-0.2691, -0.2381, -0.2266, -0.2216, -0.2258, -0.2043, -0.2454, -0.2454, -0.2741, -0.2749, -0.2831, -0.2769, -0.2925, 0.0572, 0.0315, -0.0149, -0.0014, 0.0046, -0.0123, 0.0391, 0.0395, 0.0969, 0.1774, 0.1906, 0.2506, 0.1922, 0.1895, 0.2174, 0.24, 0.2769, 0.3902, 0.4135, 0.3799, 0.3, 0.3475, 0.465, 0.4312, 0.4961, 0.4154, 0.3898, 0.359, 0.2529, 0.2039, 0.1518, 0.0892, 0.1725, 0.2951, 0.3854, 0.3456, 0.3817, 0.3715, 0.4449, 0.3306, 0.2209, 0.2922, 0.2087, 0.2291, 0.2144, 0.129, 0.0422, -0.0211, -0.0773, -0.0504, 0.0, 0.05, -0.0652, -0.0804, 0.015, -0.0183, 0.0458, 0.0458, 0.0478, 0.1061, 0.0653, 0.0926, 0.1354, 0.0828, 0.1081, 0.0648, 0.0337, 0.0413, -0.0315, -0.1038, -0.1059, -0.1667, -0.1375, -0.0119, 0.0297, -0.0056, 0.0065, 0.0065, -0.0326, -0.0497, -0.0593, -0.0755, -0.0755, -0.0065, 0.0253, 0.1071, 0.0626, 0.0747, 0.0816, 0.1854, 0.1645, 0.1264, 0.1474, 0.2009, 0.2009, 0.0966, 0.092, 0.0697, 0.0437, 0.0102, 0.081, 0.1092, 0.0483, -0.0591, -0.0263, -0.0065, -0.09, -0.1841, -0.049, 0.0258, 0.0138, -0.0213, -0.0089, 0.0825, 0.0825, 0.0771, 0.1244, 0.1885, 0.0815, 0.1112, 0.133, 0.1721, 0.1584, 0.0072, 0.0052, -0.0413, 0.08, 0.0564, -0.0134, 0.0486, 0.0651, 0.237, 0.1933, 0.2475, 0.4342, 0.2848, 0.3095, 0.3422, 0.2991, 0.2608, 0.2692, 0.2712, 0.1704, 0.1135, 0.019, 0.146, 0.126, 0.2019, 0.2019, 0.243, 0.2967, 0.3806, 0.5057, 0.6012, 0.7071, 0.7886, 0.8419, 0.8262, 0.7356, 0.7579, 0.7291, 0.7245, 0.7349, 0.6254, 0.6011, 0.4967, 0.5594, 0.5267, 0.7063, 0.9485, 0.943, 1.1547, 1.0408, 0.9555, 1.0554, 0.9782, 1.2893]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2009908150296826364", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-10T08:40:19+00:00", "symbol": "VLN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "fabless semiconductor at 2.1x Sales, $253m MC with: $93.55M Cash, $10.97M in Inventory, Zero Debt Blended Margins of 63% (GAAP) / 66.7% (Non-GAAP)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish VLN on cheap valuation (2.1x sales), strong balance sheet, 63%+ margins, and robotics segment growing 40%+ with NVDA-like margins.", "resolved_tickers": ["VLN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "You can do fair value calculations yourself and make your own decision. \n\nI provided metrics in the earlier post about $VLN but I’ll just repost them there\n\nfabless semiconductor at 2.1x Sales, $253m MC with:\n\n$93.55M Cash, $10.97M in Inventory, Zero Debt\nBlended Margins of 63% (GAAP) / 66.7% (Non-GAAP).\n- CIB Gross Margin: 69.1%\n\n- Automotive Gross Margin: 43.2% \n\n3. Fwd revenue ~$80M (20%+Y/Y growth)\n\n4. 76.3% of their revenue coming from Robotics segments with $NVDA like 69%-70% gross margins\n\n5. Revenue segments from robotics growing +40.4% while automotive are shrinking 37.9%. The growing part of the business (robotics) is almost two times as profitable as the shrinking part (automotive).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @aleabitoreddit is it too late to buy now?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ArthurBlandina", "ret_m1d": 0.07359310844371292, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07359310844371292, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07516109979748642, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07727918438675141, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0015679913537735013, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0036860759430384915, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012987000923330161, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012987000923330161, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014986476029200446, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01076001298232776, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019994751058702853, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0022269879410024007, "ret_p1w": -0.1385281130603636, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1385281130603636, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1334932848998024, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.16343470932083937, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.005034828160561222, "bench_c_p1w": 0.024906596260475755, "ret_p1m": -0.32900433302555665, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.32900433302555665, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3246312130634772, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.36509711439897574, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0043731199620794525, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03609278137341909, "ret_p3m": -0.419913391094622, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.419913391094622, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4006470825098737, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5214082805760099, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.019266308584748315, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10149488948138785, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2035, -0.2338, -0.2597, -0.2208, -0.2338, -0.2511, -0.2381, -0.2294, -0.2424, -0.2381, -0.2597, -0.2641, -0.2078, -0.2554, -0.3117, -0.2814, -0.3247, -0.316, -0.3074, -0.2208, -0.2641, -0.2554, -0.2468, -0.3247, -0.342, -0.3723, -0.3853, -0.3506, -0.3377, -0.3333, -0.3203, -0.3203, -0.3074, -0.3203, -0.316, -0.2771, -0.2727, -0.2727, -0.2641, -0.2641, -0.2727, -0.2944, -0.3117, -0.3333, -0.3377, -0.3593, -0.3593, -0.355, -0.368, -0.3939, -0.4026, -0.4026, -0.3766, -0.3896, -0.4026, -0.3853, -0.3853, -0.3247, -0.3203, -0.3117, -0.329, -0.3247, 0.0736, 0.0, 0.013, -0.0952, -0.0952, -0.1385, -0.1385, -0.1602, -0.1515, -0.0909, -0.1515, -0.2035, -0.2035, -0.2338, -0.2381, -0.2641, -0.2771, -0.3074, -0.3333, -0.381, -0.3333, -0.342, -0.329, -0.3333, -0.3506, -0.342, -0.342, -0.368, -0.355, -0.355, -0.3463, -0.3593, -0.3377, -0.3333, -0.3074, -0.3593, -0.3593, -0.3766, -0.3766, -0.3939, -0.4156, -0.4156, -0.4026, -0.381, -0.4156, -0.4242, -0.4242, -0.4199, -0.4589, -0.4459, -0.4719, -0.4545, -0.4589, -0.4545, -0.4719, -0.4892, -0.5195, -0.5108, -0.4935, -0.4848, -0.4848, -0.4848, -0.4892, -0.4329, -0.4199, -0.4242, -0.4156, -0.4026, -0.3636, -0.329, -0.342, -0.3636, -0.3506, -0.303, -0.2857, -0.2251, -0.303, -0.3463, -0.3463, -0.0606, 0.013, -0.026, 0.0476, 0.0823, 0.0433, 0.2078, 0.2338, 0.1688, 0.2771, 0.4589, 0.3203, 0.2208, 0.1515, 0.2554, 0.3247, 0.3939, 0.3939, 0.4113, 0.3636, 0.5152, 0.5281, 0.5281, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1991617707075342782", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-20T21:20:38+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "don't think a 40% selloff is warranted for 25bps. \"Fearing an AI bubble\" or 25 BPS doesn't change fundamentals that instrumentally.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NBIS; 40% selloff unwarranted as 25bps or AI-bubble fears don't change fundamentals.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yeah market wide reversal caught me by surprise. $NBIS ended up dropping from $103 to $84 for little reason. \n\nRubner from Citadel was saying it was a purely  algorithmic selloff despite $NVDA massive earnings beat for \"derisking\" purposes. Just so happens tons and tons of open interest expiring tomorrow. \n\nOption flow aside, don't think a 40% selloff is warranted for 25bps. \"Fearing an AI bubble\" or 25 BPS doesn't change fundamentals that instrumentally.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Just bought more NBIS at 84 today, basically all my remaining funds. Hopefully it’s up from here", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "lincoln3_", "ret_m1d": 0.1232277927739609, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.1232277927739609, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.1077496252860426, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.11213384434355711, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.015478167487918304, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011093948430403788, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01630431549349398, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01630431549349398, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.026265538470126804, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.033854587903919264, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009961222976632822, "bench_c_p1d": 0.017550272410425283, "ret_p1w": 0.11873822216717711, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11873822216717711, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07713095208203935, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07790891696667535, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.04160727008513776, "bench_c_p1w": 0.040829305200501764, "ret_p1m": 0.05694706674836891, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05694706674836891, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.010863252613936059, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0026146271537543786, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.046083814134432854, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05956169390212329, "ret_p3m": 0.15217388169066082, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15217388169066082, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10261648460329287, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10852236985260055, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04955739708736795, "bench_c_p3m": 0.043651511838060264, "ret_p6m": 1.5985350192276249, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.5985350192276249, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.4593095889053886, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.5361777913650392, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13922543032223622, "bench_c_p6m": 0.062357227862585685, "price_path": [-0.1727, -0.1673, -0.1718, -0.1489, -0.1928, -0.1928, -0.2235, -0.2244, -0.2331, -0.2265, -0.2431, 0.1309, 0.1034, 0.0538, 0.0682, 0.0747, 0.0566, 0.1115, 0.112, 0.1733, 0.2595, 0.2736, 0.3378, 0.2753, 0.2724, 0.3022, 0.3264, 0.3659, 0.4871, 0.5121, 0.4761, 0.3906, 0.4414, 0.5671, 0.531, 0.6004, 0.5141, 0.4866, 0.4537, 0.3403, 0.2878, 0.232, 0.1652, 0.2543, 0.3854, 0.4819, 0.4394, 0.478, 0.4672, 0.5456, 0.4233, 0.306, 0.3823, 0.293, 0.3147, 0.299, 0.2077, 0.1148, 0.0471, -0.013, 0.0158, 0.0697, 0.1232, 0.0, -0.0163, 0.0858, 0.0501, 0.1187, 0.1187, 0.1209, 0.1832, 0.1395, 0.1687, 0.2146, 0.1583, 0.1854, 0.1391, 0.1057, 0.1139, 0.036, -0.0414, -0.0436, -0.1086, -0.0774, 0.0569, 0.1015, 0.0637, 0.0767, 0.0767, 0.0349, 0.0165, 0.0063, -0.011, -0.011, 0.0627, 0.0968, 0.1843, 0.1367, 0.1496, 0.157, 0.2681, 0.2456, 0.2049, 0.2274, 0.2846, 0.2846, 0.1731, 0.1681, 0.1443, 0.1165, 0.0806, 0.1563, 0.1866, 0.1213, 0.0065, 0.0416, 0.0627, -0.0266, -0.1272, 0.0172, 0.0974, 0.0845, 0.0469, 0.0601, 0.158, 0.158, 0.1522, 0.2027, 0.2714, 0.1569, 0.1887, 0.212, 0.2538, 0.2391, 0.0774, 0.0753, 0.0255, 0.1552, 0.1301, 0.0554, 0.1217, 0.1393, 0.3232, 0.2765, 0.3345, 0.5341, 0.3744, 0.4008, 0.4357, 0.3897, 0.3487, 0.3576, 0.3598, 0.252, 0.1912, 0.09, 0.2259, 0.2045, 0.2857, 0.2857, 0.3296, 0.3871, 0.4768, 0.6107, 0.7128, 0.8261, 0.9133, 0.9703, 0.9534, 0.8566, 0.8804, 0.8496, 0.8448, 0.8559, 0.7387, 0.7127, 0.601, 0.6681, 0.6332, 0.8253, 1.0844, 1.0784, 1.3049, 1.183, 1.0918, 1.1987, 1.1161, 1.4488, 1.6128, 1.5985]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2002411189771677749", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-20T16:10:05+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$RKLB is definitely the most overvalued right now", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "RKLB most overvalued; LITE warrants re-rating on AI chip exposure; NBIS, CRCL, and ALAB are undervalued.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So I’d say $RKLB is definitely the most overvalued right now. \n\n$LITE is edging toward the overbought territory but it definitely warrants a re-rating given how critical it is in TPUv7, Trainium, and Blackwell chips.\n\n$NBIS and $CRCL are most undervalued out of the bunch, then goes $ALAB.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Which of these stocks are currently undervalued?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TrueWealthAngel", "ret_m1d": -0.09065127185100808, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.09065127185100808, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08445995083567392, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07968668626598518, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01096458558502289, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004771150638576804, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004771150638576804, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.009341605457009683, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0043891205319542825, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0003820301066225218, "ret_p1w": -0.09580915554854208, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09580915554854208, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1002189268238296, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0946630652286744, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0011460903198676764, "ret_p1m": 0.14970986658250562, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14970986658250562, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16029648126801632, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10844905615839373, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04126081042411189, "ret_p3m": -0.07246940716212702, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07246940716212702, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.03592015685184158, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.11710486557730704, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04463545841518002, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3721, -0.3987, -0.4035, -0.3938, -0.3822, -0.3814, -0.3234, -0.2758, -0.2456, -0.2068, -0.1578, -0.1435, -0.1714, -0.1564, -0.1228, -0.1068, -0.136, -0.1455, -0.1315, -0.1567, -0.219, -0.1803, -0.1675, -0.1538, -0.1779, -0.1469, -0.2144, -0.1879, -0.209, -0.2705, -0.2725, -0.3603, -0.3341, -0.3308, -0.3393, -0.3556, -0.4165, -0.4128, -0.4415, -0.4484, -0.4375, -0.4909, -0.4803, -0.4526, -0.4507, -0.4593, -0.4593, -0.4566, -0.4794, -0.4597, -0.4233, -0.3634, -0.3674, -0.3351, -0.311, -0.2583, -0.1808, -0.2071, -0.2855, -0.2845, -0.3042, -0.2273, -0.0907, 0.0, -0.0048, -0.0048, -0.0048, -0.089, -0.0958, -0.0916, -0.1005, -0.1005, -0.0201, 0.0076, 0.1093, 0.0842, 0.0713, 0.0941, 0.1335, 0.1164, 0.1838, 0.1703, 0.2418, 0.2418, 0.1497, 0.1324, 0.1345, 0.1464, 0.0378, 0.1219, 0.1421, 0.1048, 0.0325, -0.0438, 0.048, -0.0573, -0.1448, -0.0674, -0.0221, -0.0712, -0.1023, -0.1488, -0.1304, -0.1304, -0.0988, -0.0404, -0.0125, -0.0863, -0.0946, -0.0977, -0.0948, -0.0632, -0.109, -0.0848, -0.0957, -0.0727, -0.0974, -0.0959, -0.0783, -0.1112, -0.0721, -0.1184, -0.1179, -0.0805, 0.0134, -0.1041, -0.0725, -0.1331, -0.1231, -0.148, -0.0602, -0.1497, -0.2143, -0.2601, -0.1719, -0.1551, -0.1266, -0.1266, -0.1274, -0.1448, -0.1092, -0.1394, -0.1225, -0.0894, -0.0687, -0.0509, 0.0694, 0.0935, 0.1536, 0.1172, 0.1611, 0.0909, 0.0275, 0.0611, 0.0134, -0.0068, 0.064, 0.0162, 0.0356, 0.0156, 0.0916, 0.0133, 0.36, 0.5132, 0.5159, 0.6009, 0.7092, 0.6089, 0.6913, 0.6417, 0.7315, 0.6177, 0.7506, 0.7506, 0.8466, 0.9372, 0.9088, 0.8502, 0.8502, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2002411189771677749", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-20T16:10:05+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LITE is edging toward the overbought territory but it definitely warrants a re-rating given how critical it is in TPUv7, Trainium, and Blackwell chips", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "RKLB most overvalued; LITE warrants re-rating on AI chip exposure; NBIS, CRCL, and ALAB are undervalued.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So I’d say $RKLB is definitely the most overvalued right now. \n\n$LITE is edging toward the overbought territory but it definitely warrants a re-rating given how critical it is in TPUv7, Trainium, and Blackwell chips.\n\n$NBIS and $CRCL are most undervalued out of the bunch, then goes $ALAB.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Which of these stocks are currently undervalued?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TrueWealthAngel", "ret_m1d": -0.04732228371797842, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04732228371797842, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04113096270264427, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04113096270264427, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006335285702701143, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006335285702701143, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010905740521134022, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010905740521134022, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "ret_p1w": -0.044295730263061106, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.044295730263061106, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04870550153834863, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04870550153834863, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "ret_p1m": -0.08476971862273575, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08476971862273575, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07418310393722505, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07418310393722505, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "ret_p3m": 0.9804298635804474, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.9804298635804474, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.016979113890733, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.016979113890733, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6082, -0.5919, -0.5877, -0.583, -0.5827, -0.5604, -0.5646, -0.5798, -0.5881, -0.5969, -0.5817, -0.5902, -0.6163, -0.5882, -0.5979, -0.5984, -0.5813, -0.5774, -0.5871, -0.5821, -0.5946, -0.5678, -0.5401, -0.5029, -0.4912, -0.4504, -0.4867, -0.483, -0.4881, -0.5169, -0.403, -0.3852, -0.3841, -0.3334, -0.3524, -0.349, -0.4181, -0.4046, -0.3791, -0.3654, -0.3102, -0.4018, -0.3444, -0.2322, -0.2529, -0.2093, -0.2093, -0.166, -0.1845, -0.2233, -0.2229, -0.1591, -0.15, -0.1214, -0.0758, -0.0612, -0.0456, -0.1681, -0.1416, -0.1891, -0.1786, -0.1353, -0.0473, 0.0, -0.0063, 0.0155, 0.0155, 0.0023, -0.0443, -0.048, -0.0546, -0.0546, -0.0097, -0.0842, 0.0193, 0.0077, -0.1068, -0.0986, -0.1283, -0.0732, -0.1494, -0.1195, -0.1683, -0.1683, -0.0848, -0.0704, -0.0908, -0.13, -0.1473, -0.0493, -0.0125, -0.0216, 0.005, 0.086, 0.116, 0.1941, 0.2938, 0.4158, 0.4803, 0.4392, 0.4725, 0.4965, 0.4434, 0.4434, 0.54, 0.5242, 0.6303, 0.7128, 0.7306, 0.7653, 0.8554, 0.7364, 0.7978, 1.009, 0.7811, 0.7462, 0.6693, 0.4323, 0.6433, 0.7236, 0.7236, 0.5802, 0.5966, 0.6026, 0.6661, 0.7975, 0.9804, 0.8117, 0.8697, 1.057, 0.9934, 0.7667, 0.8024, 0.6795, 0.8025, 0.9612, 1.1209, 1.1209, 0.9808, 1.0923, 1.2982, 1.2933, 1.3015, 1.2345, 1.1873, 1.1135, 1.2859, 1.2932, 1.2959, 1.1466, 1.2407, 1.1722, 1.2613, 1.205, 1.0298, 1.2015, 1.3144, 1.4365, 1.5038, 1.5509, 1.422, 1.2894, 1.3181, 1.7011, 1.5453, 1.6428, 1.5695, 1.4897, 1.2699, 1.283, 1.2265, 1.4738, 1.4287, 1.4287, 1.3361, 1.3143, 1.2074, 1.1929, 1.1929, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2002411189771677749", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-12-20T16:10:05+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS and $CRCL are most undervalued out of the bunch", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "RKLB most overvalued; LITE warrants re-rating on AI chip exposure; NBIS, CRCL, and ALAB are undervalued.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So I’d say $RKLB is definitely the most overvalued right now. \n\n$LITE is edging toward the overbought territory but it definitely warrants a re-rating given how critical it is in TPUv7, Trainium, and Blackwell chips.\n\n$NBIS and $CRCL are most undervalued out of the bunch, then goes $ALAB.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Which of these stocks are currently undervalued?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TrueWealthAngel", "ret_m1d": -0.040437671744227854, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.040437671744227854, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.034246350728893704, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0360144971672961, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004423174576931754, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03432376340678023, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03432376340678023, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.038894218225213106, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04058125083315256, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006257487426372332, "ret_p1w": -0.07712112176891306, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07712112176891306, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08153089304420058, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08766453342417069, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010543411655257628, "ret_p1m": 0.06500050778066457, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06500050778066457, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07558712246617527, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09234494973203389, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "bench_c_p1m": -0.027344441951369314, "ret_p3m": 0.3034430147752307, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3034430147752307, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.33999226508551617, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3336161785269677, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "bench_c_p3m": -0.030173163751736953, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2145, 0.1578, 0.1552, 0.1822, 0.2042, 0.2401, 0.3501, 0.3727, 0.3401, 0.2625, 0.3086, 0.4227, 0.3899, 0.453, 0.3746, 0.3497, 0.3197, 0.2168, 0.1692, 0.1185, 0.0578, 0.1387, 0.2577, 0.3454, 0.3068, 0.3418, 0.332, 0.4032, 0.2922, 0.1857, 0.255, 0.1739, 0.1936, 0.1793, 0.0964, 0.0121, -0.0493, -0.1039, -0.0778, -0.0289, 0.0197, -0.0921, -0.1069, -0.0143, -0.0467, 0.0157, 0.0157, 0.0176, 0.0742, 0.0345, 0.061, 0.1026, 0.0516, 0.0762, 0.0341, 0.0039, 0.0113, -0.0594, -0.1297, -0.1317, -0.1907, -0.1624, -0.0404, 0.0, -0.0343, -0.0225, -0.0225, -0.0605, -0.0771, -0.0865, -0.1022, -0.1022, -0.0352, -0.0043, 0.0752, 0.032, 0.0437, 0.0504, 0.1512, 0.1309, 0.0939, 0.1143, 0.1663, 0.1663, 0.065, 0.0605, 0.0388, 0.0136, -0.019, 0.0498, 0.0772, 0.018, -0.0862, -0.0544, -0.0352, -0.1163, -0.2077, -0.0765, -0.0038, -0.0154, -0.0496, -0.0375, 0.0513, 0.0513, 0.046, 0.0919, 0.1542, 0.0503, 0.0792, 0.1003, 0.1383, 0.125, -0.0219, -0.0238, -0.069, 0.0488, 0.026, -0.0418, 0.0183, 0.0343, 0.2013, 0.1589, 0.2115, 0.3928, 0.2478, 0.2717, 0.3034, 0.2616, 0.2244, 0.2325, 0.2345, 0.1367, 0.0814, -0.0104, 0.1129, 0.0935, 0.1672, 0.1672, 0.2071, 0.2593, 0.3408, 0.4623, 0.555, 0.6578, 0.737, 0.7888, 0.7735, 0.6855, 0.7072, 0.6792, 0.6748, 0.6849, 0.5785, 0.5549, 0.4535, 0.5144, 0.4827, 0.6571, 0.8923, 0.8869, 1.0926, 0.9819, 0.8991, 0.9961, 0.9212, 1.2232, 1.3721, 1.3591, 1.1437, 1.1209, 1.0575, 1.359, 1.3037, 1.3037, 1.2317, 1.235, 1.4278, 1.4787, 1.4787, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2002411189771677749", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-12-20T16:10:05+00:00", "symbol": "CRCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS and $CRCL are most undervalued out of the bunch", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "RKLB most overvalued; LITE warrants re-rating on AI chip exposure; NBIS, CRCL, and ALAB are undervalued.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So I’d say $RKLB is definitely the most overvalued right now. \n\n$LITE is edging toward the overbought territory but it definitely warrants a re-rating given how critical it is in TPUv7, Trainium, and Blackwell chips.\n\n$NBIS and $CRCL are most undervalued out of the bunch, then goes $ALAB.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Which of these stocks are currently undervalued?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TrueWealthAngel", "ret_m1d": -0.010000031569908363, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010000031569908363, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.003808710554574213, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0021294617922437142, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012129493362152077, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.049080421184671374, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.049080421184671374, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05365087600310425, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.051068826359376596, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001988405174705221, "ret_p1w": -0.07459767659505212, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07459767659505212, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07900744787033964, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07459767659505212, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0, "ret_p1m": -0.16436785116963004, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16436785116963004, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15378123648411934, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1260453753501216, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03832247581950843, "ret_p3m": 0.4750574923109734, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4750574923109734, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5116067426212588, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5894826274491245, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "bench_c_p3m": -0.11442513513815111, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.5124, 0.4329, 0.4597, 0.5363, 0.5239, 0.4831, 0.7209, 0.6756, 0.707, 0.7094, 0.7294, 0.7297, 0.528, 0.5801, 0.5455, 0.5457, 0.4766, 0.4539, 0.5036, 0.4925, 0.4344, 0.4926, 0.6328, 0.647, 0.5645, 0.5143, 0.4105, 0.4595, 0.3547, 0.2787, 0.2992, 0.1495, 0.1855, 0.1966, 0.1299, -0.008, -0.0536, -0.0587, -0.1197, -0.1195, -0.1986, -0.2307, -0.1801, -0.1639, -0.1941, -0.1651, -0.1651, -0.0813, -0.1271, -0.1099, -0.0082, 0.0053, -0.0159, -0.0349, 0.0216, 0.0162, 0.018, -0.0406, -0.1326, -0.046, -0.0897, -0.0691, -0.01, 0.0, -0.0491, -0.0501, -0.0501, -0.0659, -0.0746, -0.0817, -0.0885, -0.0885, -0.0406, -0.0253, -0.0247, -0.0737, -0.0599, -0.0471, -0.0471, -0.0407, -0.0253, -0.1195, -0.0964, -0.0964, -0.1644, -0.1651, -0.1799, -0.1801, -0.1851, -0.1959, -0.1628, -0.2236, -0.2652, -0.3234, -0.3545, -0.3672, -0.4226, -0.3444, -0.3092, -0.3132, -0.3349, -0.3491, -0.3099, -0.3099, -0.2917, -0.2741, -0.2883, -0.2756, -0.2969, -0.2946, -0.0444, 0.0024, -0.0409, 0.1051, 0.1452, 0.21, 0.2154, 0.1714, 0.2855, 0.3574, 0.2967, 0.3124, 0.3262, 0.4463, 0.5208, 0.5269, 0.4751, 0.4486, 0.4556, 0.1629, 0.1938, 0.1295, 0.0766, 0.0334, 0.0967, 0.043, 0.0375, 0.0375, 0.0592, 0.0818, 0.0855, -0.0218, 0.012, 0.1343, 0.2125, 0.2129, 0.2352, 0.2174, 0.2225, 0.1037, 0.1995, 0.1495, 0.1455, 0.097, 0.0845, 0.0984, 0.0446, 0.146, 0.3739, 0.3125, 0.4, 0.3017, 0.3066, 0.5145, 0.4213, 0.4548, 0.4239, 0.3103, 0.2803, 0.2762, 0.283, 0.3205, 0.3002, 0.3002, 0.1974, 0.1798, 0.2441, 0.2989, 0.2989, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2002411189771677749", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-12-20T16:10:05+00:00", "symbol": "ALAB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "then goes $ALAB", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "RKLB most overvalued; LITE warrants re-rating on AI chip exposure; NBIS, CRCL, and ALAB are undervalued.", "resolved_tickers": ["ALAB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So I’d say $RKLB is definitely the most overvalued right now. \n\n$LITE is edging toward the overbought territory but it definitely warrants a re-rating given how critical it is in TPUv7, Trainium, and Blackwell chips.\n\n$NBIS and $CRCL are most undervalued out of the bunch, then goes $ALAB.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Which of these stocks are currently undervalued?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TrueWealthAngel", "ret_m1d": -0.0476190560376436, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0476190560376436, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04142773502230945, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03490009008887951, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012718965948764094, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.021955702660980125, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.021955702660980125, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.026526157479413004, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03157480562916881, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009619102968188686, "ret_p1w": -0.014569571664864611, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.014569571664864611, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.018979342940152133, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02710773984666348, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01253816818179887, "ret_p1m": 0.06447691575507575, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06447691575507575, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07506353044058645, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02084418905417884, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08532110480925459, "ret_p3m": -0.26914605937474145, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.26914605937474145, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.232596809064456, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.36706098855309155, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0979149291783501, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1891, 0.1623, 0.1458, 0.1517, 0.1343, 0.1268, 0.2142, 0.1629, 0.2792, 0.2287, 0.2708, 0.3059, 0.1946, 0.1559, -0.0641, -0.0646, -0.0525, -0.0743, -0.0945, -0.0875, -0.1029, -0.052, -0.0443, -0.0136, -0.0253, 0.0058, -0.0178, 0.0815, 0.1097, 0.0388, 0.054, -0.0567, -0.0413, 0.0065, -0.0294, -0.0859, -0.1631, -0.1638, -0.1809, -0.1918, -0.1773, -0.1931, -0.1785, -0.1441, -0.1613, -0.1066, -0.1066, -0.0872, -0.043, -0.1719, -0.1166, -0.1165, -0.066, 0.0181, -0.0321, -0.0481, 0.0063, -0.1377, -0.1678, -0.1604, -0.1876, -0.1549, -0.0476, 0.0, -0.022, -0.0154, -0.0154, -0.0311, -0.0146, -0.0103, -0.0363, -0.0363, 0.0402, -0.0319, -0.0673, -0.0397, -0.0921, -0.058, -0.0003, 0.046, -0.0028, 0.0106, 0.0543, 0.0543, 0.0645, 0.0196, 0.0216, -0.0171, -0.0543, -0.0098, -0.0273, -0.0704, -0.1274, -0.1169, -0.0817, -0.1619, -0.1726, -0.016, 0.0872, 0.0593, -0.1675, -0.2667, -0.2508, -0.2508, -0.2835, -0.2493, -0.2317, -0.2488, -0.2571, -0.2562, -0.2576, -0.2778, -0.3116, -0.3016, -0.3639, -0.3409, -0.3048, -0.3095, -0.2914, -0.3252, -0.2775, -0.3054, -0.303, -0.2615, -0.261, -0.2681, -0.2691, -0.3278, -0.2824, -0.2946, -0.3029, -0.3419, -0.3485, -0.4191, -0.3651, -0.384, -0.3214, -0.3214, -0.3165, -0.3107, -0.2732, -0.25, -0.1365, -0.0337, -0.0117, -0.0031, -0.0105, 0.0083, 0.0184, 0.1121, 0.1242, 0.1444, 0.233, 0.1391, 0.0619, 0.1404, 0.1281, 0.1741, 0.1659, 0.2495, 0.2392, 0.1334, 0.1574, 0.2012, 0.1842, 0.2982, 0.3245, 0.3479, 0.2489, 0.415, 0.6654, 0.7254, 0.7778, 0.7778, 0.8464, 0.8847, 1.0228, 0.9862, 0.9862, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1970165804311388542", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-22T16:38:26+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS is special. Even up 5.75% today, at <$30B market cap, it's a screaming buy on every dip. This is a once-in-a-decade company with fundamentals and forward revenue far outpacing marketcap. Easy high conviction hold to $175+", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "High-conviction long NBIS to $175+; screaming buy on every dip, fundamentals far outpacing market cap.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I rarely repeat-post a stock… but $NBIS is special.\n\nEven up 5.75% today, at &lt;$30B market cap, it’s a screaming buy on every dip.\n\nThis is a once-in-a-decade company with fundamentals and forward revenue far outpacing marketcap. \n\nEasy high conviction hold to $175+ https://t.co/MzjEuxSAkD", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Bought $500K worth of $NBIS.\n\nMy highest conviction stock out of anything for a 1 year time period.\n\n$225 PT https://t.co/buW9CV4WWH", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06838650112454847, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06838650112454847, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06367767858332152, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07188632065539091, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0047088225412269535, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0034998195308424407, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011257078750597227, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011257078750597227, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01670064513942604, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012690665647306032, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005443566388828813, "bench_c_p1d": -0.001433586896708805, "ret_p1w": 0.03395875045402419, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03395875045402419, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0386975813257846, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.034211679241166526, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004738830871760413, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0002529287871423369, "ret_p1m": -0.02176359970012043, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02176359970012043, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.028436771240072378, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.005487703476814709, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.00667317153995195, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01627589622330572, "ret_p3m": -0.2674484291212419, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2674484291212419, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.28188952396505595, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24965457165159954, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014441094843814062, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01779385746964235, "ret_p6m": 0.09127583017082053, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.09127583017082053, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08238010911942428, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.11519637919076353, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.008895721051396244, "bench_c_p6m": -0.023920549019943005, "price_path": [-0.5448, -0.5066, -0.5137, -0.481, -0.528, -0.5312, -0.5286, -0.5286, -0.5512, -0.5582, -0.568, -0.5644, -0.5844, -0.5127, -0.4978, -0.4999, -0.4963, -0.5048, -0.5087, -0.5215, -0.5133, -0.5107, -0.5181, -0.5052, -0.5272, -0.5189, -0.4894, -0.5122, -0.4918, -0.4825, -0.4832, -0.3873, -0.3548, -0.3411, -0.2933, -0.3374, -0.3578, -0.3281, -0.3195, -0.3697, -0.3671, -0.3792, -0.3529, -0.3432, -0.3388, -0.3424, -0.3242, -0.3591, -0.3591, -0.3835, -0.3841, -0.3911, -0.3858, -0.3991, -0.1021, -0.1239, -0.1633, -0.1519, -0.1467, -0.1611, -0.1174, -0.1171, -0.0684, 0.0, 0.0113, 0.0622, 0.0126, 0.0103, 0.034, 0.0532, 0.0845, 0.1808, 0.2006, 0.172, 0.1041, 0.1445, 0.2443, 0.2156, 0.2707, 0.2022, 0.1804, 0.1542, 0.0642, 0.0225, -0.0218, -0.0749, -0.0041, 0.1, 0.1766, 0.1429, 0.1735, 0.1649, 0.2272, 0.1301, 0.037, 0.0976, 0.0266, 0.0439, 0.0314, -0.0411, -0.1148, -0.1686, -0.2163, -0.1934, -0.1507, -0.1082, -0.206, -0.2189, -0.1379, -0.1662, -0.1117, -0.1117, -0.11, -0.0605, -0.0952, -0.072, -0.0356, -0.0803, -0.0588, -0.0956, -0.122, -0.1156, -0.1774, -0.2388, -0.2406, -0.2922, -0.2674, -0.1608, -0.1254, -0.1554, -0.1451, -0.1451, -0.1783, -0.1929, -0.201, -0.2148, -0.2148, -0.1562, -0.1292, -0.0597, -0.0975, -0.0872, -0.0813, 0.0068, -0.011, -0.0433, -0.0255, 0.02, 0.02, -0.0686, -0.0725, -0.0915, -0.1135, -0.142, -0.0819, -0.0579, -0.1097, -0.2008, -0.173, -0.1562, -0.2271, -0.307, -0.1923, -0.1287, -0.1389, -0.1688, -0.1583, -0.0806, -0.0806, -0.0852, -0.045, 0.0095, -0.0814, -0.0562, -0.0377, -0.0045, -0.0161, -0.1446, -0.1462, -0.1857, -0.0827, -0.1027, -0.162, -0.1094, -0.0954, 0.0506, 0.0135, 0.0596, 0.2181, 0.0913]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2002886827422978197", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-21T23:40:06+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm already into quite a bit of micro caps like $AAOI which is leveraged $LITE imo just for the $MSFT Maia ramp", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long AAOI as a leveraged play on MSFT Maia ramp, with Jan 6-8 conference as a near-term catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@itsthesquonky I’ll do some research today on it, thanks for the shout.\n\nI’m already into quite a bit of micro caps like $AAOI which is leveraged $LITE imo just for the $MSFT Maia ramp.\n\nThere’s the conference Jan 6-8 I think which should be a catalyst if Microsoft reveals more news about it", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Nice! I missed that post. I’ve been researching one other company that I didn’t want to mention yet since I’m still learning more about it, but it’s called $ALMU - this company has figured out a way to grow light directly on top of the chips. Worth a look @aleabitoreddit", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "itsthesquonky", "ret_m1d": -0.19887456920609026, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.19887456920609026, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1926832481907561, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1926832481907561, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03951907202210658, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03951907202210658, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.034948617203673704, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.034948617203673704, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "ret_p1w": -0.059982124248184165, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.059982124248184165, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06439189552347169, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06439189552347169, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "ret_p1m": 0.0042204142646937726, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0042204142646937726, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.01480702895020447, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01480702895020447, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "ret_p3m": 1.6069828619156716, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.6069828619156716, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.643532112225957, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.643532112225957, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3173, -0.3263, -0.3408, -0.3365, -0.3367, -0.2731, -0.2843, -0.2856, -0.1357, -0.1985, -0.1759, -0.172, -0.3055, -0.2557, -0.2715, -0.1572, -0.2035, -0.1835, -0.1267, -0.1457, -0.2333, -0.1968, -0.1301, -0.048, -0.0569, -0.0925, -0.103, -0.0904, -0.1549, -0.2454, -0.194, -0.2557, -0.2692, -0.3498, -0.3925, -0.3876, -0.4651, -0.451, -0.4467, -0.4657, -0.4662, -0.5015, -0.4736, -0.4252, -0.4186, -0.346, -0.346, -0.315, -0.3214, -0.3344, -0.3439, -0.3288, -0.3199, -0.2879, -0.2229, -0.1053, -0.071, -0.1799, -0.2352, -0.2592, -0.3058, -0.2518, -0.1989, 0.0, 0.0395, 0.0487, 0.0487, -0.0492, -0.06, -0.0787, -0.1083, -0.1083, 0.0129, -0.105, -0.0124, -0.0266, -0.1556, -0.1293, -0.1375, -0.1257, -0.1183, -0.0536, -0.0526, -0.0526, 0.0042, -0.0183, -0.0242, -0.0863, -0.1076, -0.0436, 0.1569, 0.0121, 0.1155, 0.1296, 0.1797, 0.0206, -0.0247, 0.1331, 0.2255, 0.2403, 0.238, 0.1252, 0.1372, 0.1372, 0.1232, 0.1111, 0.2017, 0.3219, 0.3802, 0.4393, 0.4866, 0.3733, 1.1545, 1.6221, 1.4387, 1.5505, 1.587, 1.4448, 1.8295, 2.082, 2.2488, 1.7162, 1.4763, 1.4062, 1.2082, 1.3694, 1.607, 1.2392, 1.4494, 1.9134, 1.9265, 1.4919, 1.5121, 1.1791, 1.1637, 1.2087, 1.6579, 1.6579, 1.7484, 2.0091, 2.3943, 2.4096, 2.8522, 2.9184, 2.7445, 2.6462, 3.024, 3.0778, 3.1814, 2.8514, 2.822, 2.523, 3.1481, 2.7289, 2.5109, 2.9092, 3.2041, 3.694, 3.4246, 3.6187, 3.5668, 3.0299, 2.8097, 3.7295, 3.816, 4.7066, 4.2071, 3.8692, 3.4318, 3.3824, 3.2271, 3.5226, 3.6423, 3.6423, 3.5433, 3.5998, 3.3233, 3.0519, 3.0519, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1988692667694457178", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-12T19:37:34+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If stocks like NEbius get sold off despite improving fundamentals, it's a buying opportunity", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "NBIS selloff on improving fundamentals is a buy; CRWV near-term headwinds on earnings delays; CIFR and WULF benefit from AWS/Anthropic buildout.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It's a mix of:\n\n- indiscriminate selling of high-beta + AI stocks\n- government shutdown extensions\n- rate cut December odds\n- increased shorts from depreciation accounting \n\nSome like $NBIS were affected by sector selloff despite record high earnings and positives to fundamentals. \n\nOthers like $CRWV were more understandable near term from forward earnings miss from delays. \n\nGenerally ER and updates were very positive from Neoclouds like $CIFR with AWS and $WULF with Antrophic's $50B buildout today. \n\nIf stocks like NEbius get sold off despite improving fundamentals, it's a buying opportunity.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Any thoughts around the selling? Registry is likely a lot of retail still, as the long-only community would not be holders due to relatively small market cap. Just seems that any AI risk-off day, NBIS gets hurt the most…", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PAtrading100", "ret_m1d": 0.0832980135598822, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0832980135598822, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.083854192531305, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07748515706567716, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005561789714227938, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005812856494205043, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06072491860820306, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06072491860820306, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04413089862797648, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04654488419080138, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.016594019980226582, "bench_c_p1d": -0.014180034417401677, "ret_p1w": 0.007524364983892973, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.007524364983892973, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03788821579391388, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.028221942929920973, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03036385081002091, "bench_c_p1w": -0.020697577946028, "ret_p1m": -0.0008478362710598875, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0008478362710598875, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.009320313900171073, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02964823305990516, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008472477629111186, "bench_c_p1m": 0.028800396788845273, "ret_p3m": -0.01568464759813948, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.01568464759813948, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03415244818606167, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.048434132168942434, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01846780058792219, "bench_c_p3m": 0.032749484570802956, "ret_p6m": 0.9581390745793523, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.9581390745793523, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.8815117682936946, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.9176618377965287, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07662730628565773, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04047723678282367, "price_path": [-0.241, -0.2312, -0.2879, -0.285, -0.2986, -0.269, -0.2579, -0.2531, -0.2571, -0.2365, -0.276, -0.276, -0.3035, -0.3043, -0.3121, -0.3062, -0.3211, 0.0144, -0.0103, -0.0548, -0.0419, -0.036, -0.0522, -0.003, -0.0025, 0.0525, 0.1297, 0.1424, 0.2, 0.1439, 0.1414, 0.1681, 0.1898, 0.2252, 0.3339, 0.3563, 0.3241, 0.2474, 0.2929, 0.4057, 0.3733, 0.4356, 0.3581, 0.3335, 0.3039, 0.2022, 0.1552, 0.1051, 0.0451, 0.1251, 0.2427, 0.3293, 0.2911, 0.3258, 0.316, 0.3864, 0.2767, 0.1715, 0.2399, 0.1598, 0.1793, 0.1652, 0.0833, 0.0, -0.0607, -0.1147, -0.0888, -0.0405, 0.0075, -0.103, -0.1176, -0.0261, -0.0581, 0.0035, 0.0035, 0.0054, 0.0614, 0.0221, 0.0483, 0.0894, 0.039, 0.0633, 0.0217, -0.0082, -0.0008, -0.0707, -0.1401, -0.1421, -0.2004, -0.1724, -0.0519, -0.012, -0.0459, -0.0342, -0.0342, -0.0717, -0.0882, -0.0974, -0.1129, -0.1129, -0.0467, -0.0162, 0.0623, 0.0196, 0.0312, 0.0378, 0.1375, 0.1173, 0.0808, 0.1009, 0.1523, 0.1523, 0.0522, 0.0478, 0.0264, 0.0015, -0.0307, 0.0372, 0.0643, 0.0058, -0.0972, -0.0657, -0.0467, -0.1269, -0.2171, -0.0875, -0.0157, -0.0272, -0.0609, -0.0491, 0.0387, 0.0387, 0.0335, 0.0788, 0.1404, 0.0377, 0.0662, 0.0871, 0.1246, 0.1115, -0.0336, -0.0355, -0.0801, 0.0362, 0.0137, -0.0533, 0.0061, 0.0219, 0.1869, 0.145, 0.197, 0.3761, 0.2328, 0.2565, 0.2878, 0.2465, 0.2097, 0.2178, 0.2197, 0.123, 0.0685, -0.0223, 0.0996, 0.0804, 0.1532, 0.1532, 0.1927, 0.2442, 0.3247, 0.4448, 0.5364, 0.638, 0.7162, 0.7674, 0.7522, 0.6653, 0.6867, 0.6591, 0.6547, 0.6647, 0.5596, 0.5362, 0.4361, 0.4963, 0.4649, 0.6372, 0.8696, 0.8643, 1.0675, 0.9581]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1988692667694457178", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-12T19:37:34+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Others like $CRWV were more understandable near term from forward earnings miss from delays", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "NBIS selloff on improving fundamentals is a buy; CRWV near-term headwinds on earnings delays; CIFR and WULF benefit from AWS/Anthropic buildout.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It's a mix of:\n\n- indiscriminate selling of high-beta + AI stocks\n- government shutdown extensions\n- rate cut December odds\n- increased shorts from depreciation accounting \n\nSome like $NBIS were affected by sector selloff despite record high earnings and positives to fundamentals. \n\nOthers like $CRWV were more understandable near term from forward earnings miss from delays. \n\nGenerally ER and updates were very positive from Neoclouds like $CIFR with AWS and $WULF with Antrophic's $50B buildout today. \n\nIf stocks like NEbius get sold off despite improving fundamentals, it's a buying opportunity.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Any thoughts around the selling? Registry is likely a lot of retail still, as the long-only community would not be holders due to relatively small market cap. Just seems that any AI risk-off day, NBIS gets hurt the most…", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PAtrading100", "ret_m1d": 0.034648239188796115, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.034648239188796115, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03520441816021891, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03520441816021891, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005561789714227938, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005561789714227938, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08299196935453612, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08299196935453612, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06639794937430954, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06639794937430954, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.016594019980226582, "bench_c_p1d": -0.016594019980226582, "ret_p1w": -0.12302472314978696, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12302472314978696, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09266087233976605, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09266087233976605, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03036385081002091, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03036385081002091, "ret_p1m": 0.022825669451906228, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.022825669451906228, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.014353191822795042, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.014353191822795042, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008472477629111186, "bench_c_p1m": 0.008472477629111186, "ret_p3m": 0.13297437164662296, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.13297437164662296, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11450657105870077, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11450657105870077, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01846780058792219, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01846780058792219, "ret_p6m": 0.5081352672087589, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5081352672087589, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4315079609231012, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4315079609231012, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07662730628565773, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07662730628565773, "price_path": [0.1702, 0.1331, 0.0873, 0.0713, 0.0627, 0.1002, 0.0814, 0.0698, 0.1346, 0.2032, 0.2061, 0.2061, 0.0926, 0.0521, 0.024, 0.0428, 0.095, 0.1731, 0.3712, 0.3191, 0.3105, 0.4102, 0.39, 0.4147, 0.4209, 0.4615, 0.5595, 0.5321, 0.5615, 0.4826, 0.4086, 0.4342, 0.6019, 0.6042, 0.6154, 0.5778, 0.5668, 0.508, 0.6385, 0.6748, 0.6204, 0.6577, 0.5692, 0.6299, 0.6591, 0.6021, 0.4873, 0.4639, 0.4226, 0.4438, 0.5516, 0.5926, 0.5779, 0.6379, 0.5341, 0.5651, 0.4786, 0.3549, 0.3393, 0.2517, 0.2175, 0.2362, 0.0346, 0.0, -0.083, -0.0945, -0.1182, -0.1233, -0.123, -0.1899, -0.1613, -0.1385, -0.1655, -0.1304, -0.1304, -0.1441, -0.098, -0.11, -0.0711, 0.0037, 0.0336, 0.0095, 0.0612, 0.032, 0.0228, -0.0801, -0.1531, -0.1865, -0.2444, -0.2078, -0.0284, -0.007, -0.0605, -0.0768, -0.0768, -0.1055, -0.123, -0.135, -0.1618, -0.1618, -0.0715, -0.1003, -0.0877, -0.0966, -0.0976, -0.0619, 0.0527, 0.024, 0.0512, 0.1121, 0.1849, 0.1849, 0.1146, 0.1009, 0.0744, 0.0884, 0.1508, 0.2743, 0.241, 0.165, 0.0908, 0.0411, 0.0542, -0.0348, -0.1262, 0.0529, 0.133, 0.1133, 0.1138, 0.1202, 0.1242, 0.1242, 0.0652, 0.1173, 0.1371, 0.0447, 0.0633, 0.1624, 0.1473, 0.1428, -0.0687, -0.0864, -0.1364, -0.0694, -0.1242, -0.1456, -0.129, -0.123, -0.0406, -0.0652, -0.0506, 0.005, -0.0387, -0.0306, -0.0558, -0.0464, -0.0406, -0.0282, 0.0252, -0.0583, -0.1243, -0.1906, -0.0932, -0.0818, -0.0373, -0.0373, -0.0526, -0.0022, 0.0406, 0.0769, 0.194, 0.2908, 0.3719, 0.3893, 0.3995, 0.3678, 0.3746, 0.348, 0.4344, 0.3745, 0.2892, 0.3117, 0.2353, 0.3366, 0.3063, 0.3931, 0.4682, 0.497, 0.6151, 0.5081]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1988692667694457178", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-11-12T19:37:34+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Generally ER and updates were very positive from Neoclouds like $CIFR with AWS", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "NBIS selloff on improving fundamentals is a buy; CRWV near-term headwinds on earnings delays; CIFR and WULF benefit from AWS/Anthropic buildout.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It's a mix of:\n\n- indiscriminate selling of high-beta + AI stocks\n- government shutdown extensions\n- rate cut December odds\n- increased shorts from depreciation accounting \n\nSome like $NBIS were affected by sector selloff despite record high earnings and positives to fundamentals. \n\nOthers like $CRWV were more understandable near term from forward earnings miss from delays. \n\nGenerally ER and updates were very positive from Neoclouds like $CIFR with AWS and $WULF with Antrophic's $50B buildout today. \n\nIf stocks like NEbius get sold off despite improving fundamentals, it's a buying opportunity.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Any thoughts around the selling? Registry is likely a lot of retail still, as the long-only community would not be holders due to relatively small market cap. Just seems that any AI risk-off day, NBIS gets hurt the most…", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PAtrading100", "ret_m1d": 0.07422330137042676, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07422330137042676, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07477948034184956, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07731940811796545, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005561789714227938, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003096106747538685, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.14096656926896856, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.14096656926896856, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.12437254928874197, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.1160276933523936, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.016594019980226582, "bench_c_p1d": -0.024938875916574954, "ret_p1w": -0.15880318805986526, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.15880318805986526, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.12843933724984435, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11474345569917266, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03036385081002091, "bench_c_p1w": -0.044059732360692605, "ret_p1m": 0.08630610313181619, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08630610313181619, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.077833625502705, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.079433593659054, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008472477629111186, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006872509472762189, "ret_p3m": -0.035673127837908325, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.035673127837908325, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.054140928425830515, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.012588146959389479, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01846780058792219, "bench_c_p3m": -0.023084980878518846, "ret_p6m": 0.19016113145945646, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.19016113145945646, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.11353382517379873, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.032304040883575524, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07662730628565773, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15785709057588093, "price_path": [-0.7002, -0.6519, -0.6686, -0.6577, -0.6605, -0.6329, -0.618, -0.5903, -0.5978, -0.5961, -0.5604, -0.5604, -0.5213, -0.5334, -0.5742, -0.5673, -0.5558, -0.4695, -0.4102, -0.4264, -0.3757, -0.3757, -0.3377, -0.2877, -0.3182, -0.2934, -0.1968, -0.1858, -0.1864, -0.3291, -0.34, -0.2722, -0.2756, -0.275, -0.2054, -0.1542, -0.1174, -0.0938, 0.0127, 0.0351, -0.0236, 0.1703, 0.202, 0.21, 0.0771, 0.0794, 0.1456, 0.04, -0.0731, -0.0072, 0.1887, 0.1818, 0.1484, 0.1272, 0.0972, 0.0731, 0.3096, 0.2952, 0.4217, 0.2491, 0.1904, 0.1306, 0.0742, 0.0, -0.141, -0.1738, -0.1743, -0.1611, -0.1588, -0.1623, -0.1858, -0.0386, 0.0081, 0.1018, 0.1018, 0.1709, 0.1329, 0.015, 0.0719, 0.141, 0.1093, 0.1208, 0.1254, 0.0633, 0.0863, -0.019, -0.1519, -0.1375, -0.172, -0.1283, -0.0673, -0.0598, -0.0846, -0.0667, -0.0667, -0.126, -0.1323, -0.1605, -0.1507, -0.1507, -0.0679, 0.0449, 0.0092, -0.0748, -0.0478, -0.0432, 0.0173, 0.0501, 0.0432, 0.0081, 0.0817, 0.0817, 0.0311, 0.0196, 0.0006, 0.0109, -0.0512, 0.0788, 0.0915, 0.0184, -0.0817, -0.0903, -0.0644, -0.1801, -0.2693, -0.1525, -0.0357, -0.0161, -0.0633, -0.0736, -0.0552, -0.0552, -0.1001, -0.1128, -0.0909, -0.1571, -0.1243, -0.015, -0.0443, -0.0518, -0.1024, -0.0932, -0.1536, -0.0771, -0.1283, -0.2163, -0.1766, -0.1968, -0.1881, -0.2112, -0.1899, -0.1289, -0.1318, -0.1559, -0.1577, -0.1939, -0.1433, -0.1438, -0.0863, -0.1743, -0.2091, -0.3087, -0.2595, -0.2727, -0.2624, -0.2624, -0.2319, -0.1939, -0.1128, -0.0587, -0.0489, 0.0219, 0.0616, 0.0357, -0.0023, 0.1145, 0.1099, 0.038, 0.1185, 0.0754, 0.0472, 0.0449, -0.0069, -0.0265, 0.0207, -0.0196, 0.0293, 0.2716, 0.2606, 0.1902]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1988692667694457178", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-11-12T19:37:34+00:00", "symbol": "WULF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$WULF with Antrophic's $50B buildout today", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "NBIS selloff on improving fundamentals is a buy; CRWV near-term headwinds on earnings delays; CIFR and WULF benefit from AWS/Anthropic buildout.", "resolved_tickers": ["WULF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It's a mix of:\n\n- indiscriminate selling of high-beta + AI stocks\n- government shutdown extensions\n- rate cut December odds\n- increased shorts from depreciation accounting \n\nSome like $NBIS were affected by sector selloff despite record high earnings and positives to fundamentals. \n\nOthers like $CRWV were more understandable near term from forward earnings miss from delays. \n\nGenerally ER and updates were very positive from Neoclouds like $CIFR with AWS and $WULF with Antrophic's $50B buildout today. \n\nIf stocks like NEbius get sold off despite improving fundamentals, it's a buying opportunity.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Any thoughts around the selling? Registry is likely a lot of retail still, as the long-only community would not be holders due to relatively small market cap. Just seems that any AI risk-off day, NBIS gets hurt the most…", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PAtrading100", "ret_m1d": -0.02136079512895761, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02136079512895761, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.020804616157534817, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.020804616157534817, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005561789714227938, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005561789714227938, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07594936804365715, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07594936804365715, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05935534806343057, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05935534806343057, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.016594019980226582, "bench_c_p1d": -0.016594019980226582, "ret_p1w": -0.03243677135681522, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03243677135681522, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.00207292054679431, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.00207292054679431, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03036385081002091, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03036385081002091, "ret_p1m": 0.25237337766912793, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.25237337766912793, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.24390090004001674, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.24390090004001674, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008472477629111186, "bench_c_p1m": 0.008472477629111186, "ret_p3m": 0.3172467694849277, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3172467694849277, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2987789688970055, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2987789688970055, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01846780058792219, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01846780058792219, "ret_p6m": 0.9003164402960284, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.9003164402960284, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.8236891340103707, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.8236891340103707, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07662730628565773, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07662730628565773, "price_path": [-0.2903, -0.2579, -0.3054, -0.2658, -0.2729, -0.2753, -0.2935, -0.269, -0.2777, -0.2532, -0.2524, -0.2524, -0.2381, -0.2896, -0.2983, -0.2777, -0.2722, -0.1851, -0.1653, -0.1582, -0.1487, -0.1701, -0.1345, -0.1021, -0.1163, -0.1313, -0.091, -0.1108, -0.0981, -0.1321, -0.1432, -0.0823, -0.0965, -0.0926, -0.0839, -0.057, -0.053, -0.0427, -0.0269, 0.0752, 0.0688, 0.1076, 0.2231, 0.2239, 0.0965, 0.1021, 0.0957, 0.0396, -0.0016, 0.019, 0.0847, 0.0791, 0.2611, 0.1472, 0.1725, 0.2263, 0.2737, 0.1875, 0.2152, 0.1297, 0.1028, 0.1313, -0.0214, 0.0, -0.0759, -0.1305, -0.1258, -0.0506, -0.0324, -0.0854, -0.1068, -0.0008, 0.1028, 0.1741, 0.1741, 0.2271, 0.2104, 0.125, 0.1416, 0.1946, 0.1472, 0.1835, 0.2334, 0.2468, 0.2524, 0.1337, -0.0119, 0.0277, -0.0847, -0.0672, -0.0095, -0.0134, -0.0174, -0.0261, -0.0261, -0.0704, -0.0965, -0.1179, -0.091, -0.091, 0.0079, 0.0775, 0.0427, -0.0119, 0.0158, 0.0364, 0.0926, 0.1187, 0.1242, 0.0941, 0.0957, 0.0957, 0.0546, 0.038, 0.0198, 0.1171, 0.091, 0.2112, 0.1954, 0.1503, 0.0578, 0.0633, 0.1709, 0.0981, -0.057, 0.1305, 0.3172, 0.3157, 0.2682, 0.2587, 0.2864, 0.2864, 0.2801, 0.2168, 0.2239, 0.1875, 0.2405, 0.3892, 0.4177, 0.4146, 0.2832, 0.2674, 0.1661, 0.216, 0.2049, 0.0878, 0.0957, 0.1353, 0.2041, 0.1606, 0.1606, 0.2983, 0.269, 0.2104, 0.2453, 0.1946, 0.2809, 0.2832, 0.3339, 0.2144, 0.178, 0.0839, 0.1416, 0.1456, 0.1772, 0.1772, 0.2302, 0.3109, 0.428, 0.5055, 0.4929, 0.5388, 0.6574, 0.5562, 0.5277, 0.6329, 0.6218, 0.5641, 0.6258, 0.6116, 0.5831, 0.6954, 0.6456, 0.5839, 0.7191, 0.6859, 0.7634, 0.8584, 1.0364, 0.9003]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1980550465889984884", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-21T08:23:22+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "a generational full-stack company growing forward q revenue 1000%+, which owns critical portfolio companies for long term defensibility. I haven't been wrong on any high conviction stocks yet. This is just the beginning", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strongly bullish NBIS as a generational full-stack company with 1000%+ forward revenue growth; author affirms high conviction.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Mitchelldzll Don’t think bagholder is a correct term for $NBIS, a generational full-stack company growing forward q revenue 1000%+, which owns critical portfolio companies for long term defensibility. \n\nI haven’t been wrong on any high conviction stocks yet. This is just the beginning", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I hope you're right. You've created a lot of bag holders", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Mitchelldzll", "ret_m1d": 0.045262766359374096, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.045262766359374096, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04524786165575145, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.048777572966020366, "bench_spy_m1d": 1.4904703622642401e-05, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00351480660664627, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05427690927283124, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05427690927283124, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04907800234539017, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04561851535171679, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0051989069274410715, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008658393921114449, "ret_p1w": 0.16829692421555809, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16829692421555809, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14480482530867644, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.16889705328576543, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.023492098906881642, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0006001290702073447, "ret_p1m": -0.08831990019452474, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08831990019452474, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07541937628962037, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04151318980758534, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01290052390490437, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0468067103869394, "ret_p3m": 0.042673615551673816, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.042673615551673816, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.009284519119612922, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05216489673014646, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.033389096432060894, "bench_c_p3m": -0.009491281178472644, "ret_p6m": 0.5992520735008913, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5992520735008913, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5506360392401897, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5866874758631762, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0486160342607016, "bench_c_p6m": 0.012564597637715114, "price_path": [-0.4998, -0.5074, -0.4942, -0.5167, -0.5082, -0.478, -0.5013, -0.4805, -0.4709, -0.4717, -0.3737, -0.3404, -0.3264, -0.2776, -0.3227, -0.3435, -0.3132, -0.3044, -0.3557, -0.353, -0.3654, -0.3385, -0.3285, -0.3241, -0.3278, -0.3092, -0.3448, -0.3448, -0.3698, -0.3704, -0.3775, -0.3722, -0.3857, -0.0821, -0.1044, -0.1447, -0.133, -0.1277, -0.1424, -0.0978, -0.0974, -0.0477, 0.0222, 0.0338, 0.0858, 0.0351, 0.0328, 0.057, 0.0766, 0.1086, 0.207, 0.2273, 0.1981, 0.1287, 0.1699, 0.272, 0.2426, 0.299, 0.2289, 0.2067, 0.1799, 0.0878, 0.0453, 0.0, -0.0543, 0.018, 0.1245, 0.2028, 0.1683, 0.1997, 0.1908, 0.2545, 0.1553, 0.06, 0.122, 0.0495, 0.0671, 0.0544, -0.0198, -0.0951, -0.1501, -0.1989, -0.1755, -0.1318, -0.0883, -0.1883, -0.2016, -0.1187, -0.1477, -0.092, -0.092, -0.0902, -0.0396, -0.0751, -0.0514, -0.0142, -0.0598, -0.0379, -0.0755, -0.1025, -0.0959, -0.1591, -0.2219, -0.2237, -0.2765, -0.2512, -0.1421, -0.106, -0.1367, -0.1261, -0.1261, -0.16, -0.1749, -0.1833, -0.1973, -0.1973, -0.1374, -0.1098, -0.0387, -0.0774, -0.0669, -0.0609, 0.0292, 0.011, -0.0221, -0.0038, 0.0427, 0.0427, -0.0479, -0.0519, -0.0713, -0.0938, -0.1229, -0.0615, -0.0369, -0.0899, -0.1831, -0.1546, -0.1374, -0.2099, -0.2916, -0.1743, -0.1093, -0.1198, -0.1503, -0.1395, -0.0601, -0.0601, -0.0648, -0.0238, 0.0319, -0.061, -0.0352, -0.0163, 0.0176, 0.0058, -0.1255, -0.1273, -0.1676, -0.0623, -0.0828, -0.1434, -0.0896, -0.0753, 0.074, 0.0361, 0.0831, 0.2452, 0.1156, 0.1369, 0.1653, 0.1279, 0.0946, 0.1019, 0.1037, 0.0162, -0.0332, -0.1153, -0.005, -0.0223, 0.0435, 0.0435, 0.0792, 0.1258, 0.1987, 0.3073, 0.3902, 0.4822, 0.5529, 0.5993]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2009637599661510665", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-09T14:45:15+00:00", "symbol": "VLN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I've initiated a position in $VLN ($155M MC)... The market expected 2026 with high cash burn from inventory risk from a ticker collision typo. Instead, they are likely to get: Revenue and earnings beat... sector average valuations would be $493.5M, from $155m as a conservative base case", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long VLN: argues market mispricing from analyst/scanner ticker-collision typo inflated inventory fears; clean balance sheet, new higher-margin robotics/medical verticals, 4x–8x EV/revenue upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["VLN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I've initiated a position in $VLN ($155M MC).\n\nThis one is wild.\n\nValens is a AI semi for self-driving cars and robotics. \n\nI've found that markets messed up on VLS from a ticker collision data error. \n\nAnd missed new CES 2026 info this week. \n\nVLN has:  \n\n1. $93.5M in Cash, 0 Debt. \n2. ~$11M inventory\n3. High gross margins ~69.1% (CIB/ProAV) margins, 43.2% automotive. \n\nand projected to do $70M+ revenue with blended 63-65% gross margins, jumping from 43% from their automotive pivot from CES.  \n\nAt $155M MC. What? \n\nThis just looked way too off at first glance, so I had to do more research, whether it was revenue collapse, dilution, cashflow problems, or regulatory risk. \n\nWhat happened?\n\nThe mispricing was from an analyst/scanner typo regarding a $82M \"inventory burn\": \n\nVLN is effectively a company with $93.5M Cash and Zero Debt for an EV of ~$65M, while the market has punished it for an \"inventory crisis\" that literally does not exist. \n\nStreetwise's analysis + other scanners around Nov 13, 2025 typo'ed their report when they erroneously stated: \"Inventory of US$82 million remained in line with the end of the second quarter\".\n\nThe market and algorithms that scan for the reports thinks $VLN is sitting on >1 year of dead inventory ($82M) and burnt through their $93.5M cashpile on unsold chips.\n\nWe can mathematically prove this is a typo using the company's official Q3 2025 balance sheet:\n\nTotal Assets: $136.7M\nCash: ~$93.5M\nRemaining Room for Assets: $136.7M - $93.5M = $43.2M.\n\nIf inventory were actually $82M, Total Assets would have to be at least $175M ($93M cash + $82M inv). This inventory figure is mathematically impossible.\n\nAfter looking at their financial reports, they are sitting on just ~2 months of inventory ($11M), only selling what they make.\n\nThe analyst + algorithms wrote spread the report confused Valens Semiconductor (VLN) with Velan Inc. (https://t.co/oJVlzuwtoL), a Canadian industrial valve manufacturer (with that inventory amount). \n\nEven LLMs that read this, completely messed up and required manual review. \n\n $VLN actually only has ~$11M in inventory as a fabless chip company and did not burn through $82M. \n\nThis looks like a genuine market inefficiency because you are looking at a clean balance sheet ($93M cash, $11M inventory, $0 debt) that has been artificially suppressed because of $82M cash burn fears on dead inventory due to the type. \n\n_\n\nNow, the secondary aspect is new CES information that came out. \n\n$VLN spent years and millions on R&D for DSP engines for Mercedes, which presented single customer concentration risk for the automotive segment. \n\nBut from the CES release this week, they've effectively took the same that exact same engine, and managed to sell it to many hot verticals that have the exact same physics problem. They've also managed to scale their previous automotive segment with new T1 automotive OEMs. \n\nBut regarding their (VS6320 vs. VA7000) chipset, they are using the same Core IP (DSP).\n\nMedical Chip: They took the same engine from the auto chip and stripped out the car-specific features to create a Extender for the medical segment . \n\nAnd my favorite is the Machine Vision/Robotics vertical:\n\nThe new information is that with the RGo Robotics partnership they announced, RGo integrated Valens chips which allowed RGo to design robots where the cameras are far away from the brain without signal loss. And at CES they also announced one with CIS Corporation (a Japanese camera maker) for another specific robotics win. \n\nThey've effectively diversified their automotive segment into multiple other high growing + higher margin verticals for robotics computer vision to others. \n\nAgain, the alpha is that their new robotics segments announced at CES, operate on a 6-month sales cycle, not the 5-year automotive cycle. So revenue actually hits this year too. \n\nAlso, analysts were using blended automotive revenue (Mercedes, etc.) has lower gross margins (~42-45%). \n\nThe new growth coming in now (Robotics/Medical via VS6320) has significantly higher margins (VS6320 Gross Margin: ~69-70%), so the the blended gross margins will likely come in significantly higher than street consensus.\n\n_\n\nNow the downside?\n\nExtremely heavy dilution at $11.5 Strike from warrants (which is 10X+ from here). \n\nThis will cap upside if it ever increases 1000% from $1.5 to $11.5 \n_\n\nTLDR: \n\nThe market expected 2026 with high cash burn from inventory risk from a ticker collision typo. Instead, they are likely to get:\n\nRevenue and earnings beat (driven by new verticals and much higher blended margins ~69%+ from new chip).  As well as an $70M+ cashflow beat from the typo. \n\nWe could see $85-$92M revenue off 63-65% blended gross margins and that $82M+ in cash modeled back into this $155m company. \n\nThe algorithms are pricing $VLN as if it has <1 year of runway due to a phantom $82M inventory pile (off of a poison pill data point). So this is my own personal thesis from public information synthesis on why I entered this trade, NFI. \n\nSo while I don't expect this to be a $2B+ company, the current MC is just completely irrational pricing for a \n\n$155M MC semi:\n\n- with $93.5m in cash\n- $11m in inventory,\n- est. $80m+ revenue (growing 20%-30%+ Y/Y)\n- with 60%+ gross blended margins. \n\nFabless semi companies with 60%+ gross margins typically trade at 4x–8x EV/Revenue and sector average valuations would be $493.5M, from $155m as a conservative base case.\n\nJust slight \"AI/Robotics\" Premium, could value it at $653.5M with 7 E/V (~320%+)\n\nTLDR: Found that this company likely got artificially suppressed because of a typo + ticker collision from false $82M inventory burn and is about to enter a newer higher margin + growth cycle from new verticals. \n\nI am taking advantage of a database collision error.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I've initiated a position in $OSS.\n\nI usually never say this but, this one is exciting.\n\nMarkets completely missed this 155M MC Drone Swarm, Ghost Fleet, USVs, Edge AI deploying US DoD contractor. \n\nAnd they especially missed OSS’s involvement in the Venezuela's invasion, that https://t.co/fUBFa0gy8D", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.37096776984608737, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.37096776984608737, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.36439787640680144, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.3446587667058081, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006569893439285934, "bench_c_m1d": -0.026309003140279286, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06854841733326134, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06854841733326134, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07011887114503312, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07224813070073988, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0015704538117717881, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003699713367478541, "ret_p1w": -0.19758064748717397, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.19758064748717397, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.19410836617330818, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2262791043822514, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.003472281313865788, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02869845689507744, "ret_p1m": -0.3870967865982611, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3870967865982611, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.38692395731858265, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.4318786390753073, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00017282927967843253, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04478185247704625, "ret_p3m": -0.471774220683696, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.471774220683696, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.44841378636724327, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5583576750317217, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.02336043431645274, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08658345434802572, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2661, -0.2581, -0.2863, -0.3105, -0.2742, -0.2863, -0.3024, -0.2903, -0.2823, -0.2944, -0.2903, -0.3105, -0.3145, -0.2621, -0.3065, -0.3589, -0.3306, -0.371, -0.3629, -0.3548, -0.2742, -0.3145, -0.3065, -0.2984, -0.371, -0.3871, -0.4153, -0.4274, -0.3952, -0.3831, -0.379, -0.3669, -0.3669, -0.3548, -0.3669, -0.3629, -0.3266, -0.3226, -0.3226, -0.3145, -0.3145, -0.3226, -0.3427, -0.3589, -0.379, -0.3831, -0.4032, -0.4032, -0.3992, -0.4113, -0.4355, -0.4435, -0.4435, -0.4194, -0.4315, -0.4435, -0.4274, -0.4274, -0.371, -0.3669, -0.3589, -0.375, -0.371, 0.0, -0.0685, -0.0565, -0.1573, -0.1573, -0.1976, -0.1976, -0.2177, -0.2097, -0.1532, -0.2097, -0.2581, -0.2581, -0.2863, -0.2903, -0.3145, -0.3266, -0.3548, -0.379, -0.4234, -0.379, -0.3871, -0.375, -0.379, -0.3952, -0.3871, -0.3871, -0.4113, -0.3992, -0.3992, -0.3911, -0.4032, -0.3831, -0.379, -0.3548, -0.4032, -0.4032, -0.4194, -0.4194, -0.4355, -0.4556, -0.4556, -0.4435, -0.4234, -0.4556, -0.4637, -0.4637, -0.4597, -0.496, -0.4839, -0.5081, -0.4919, -0.496, -0.4919, -0.5081, -0.5242, -0.5524, -0.5444, -0.5282, -0.5202, -0.5202, -0.5202, -0.5242, -0.4718, -0.4597, -0.4637, -0.4556, -0.4435, -0.4073, -0.375, -0.3871, -0.4073, -0.3952, -0.3508, -0.3347, -0.2782, -0.3508, -0.3911, -0.3911, -0.125, -0.0565, -0.0927, -0.0242, 0.0081, -0.0282, 0.125, 0.1492, 0.0887, 0.1895, 0.3589, 0.2298, 0.1371, 0.0726, 0.1694, 0.2339, 0.2984, 0.2984, 0.3145, 0.2702, 0.4113, 0.4234, 0.4234, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1986483611202400672", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-06T17:19:34+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Insane forward revenue growth from Neoclouds like $NBIS", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Hold/add to positions in Neoclouds, Mag7, and semis; current dip is short-term noise ahead of recovery when government shutdown ends.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Ignore the noise and hold positions/add in market winners.\n\nYou have:\n\n- Insane forward revenue growth from Neoclouds like $NBIS, $IREN, $CIFR\n- Record high CapEX projections from Mag7 earnings like $META to $MSFT\n- Record high forward revenue projections + margin growth from semiconductors like $TSM.\n\nIf fundamentals are in tact, news headlines like \"The AI Party is Over\" is BS.\n\nWe'll likely see a major recovery when government shutdown ends. \n\nThis is likely a short-term correction pricing in a few things such as no third rate cut (86% -> 70%, still likely) + government shutdown extending past the 16th (53% chance, 30% chance 2 days ago) per contract markets.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "November 4th - Stock Analysis + Macro\n\nFire Sale: $META • $NBIS • $IBIT\n\nStrong Buys: $RDDT • $RKLB • $WLAC • $CIFR • $LTC • $SOL • $CORZ\nMemory: Nanya $2408, SK Hynix $HXSCL, $MU\n\nBuy: $AMZN • $DELL • $SMCI • $ALAB • $CRDO • $TSM • $AMD • $FLNC • $TE\n\nWarnings:", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.06907892351922551, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06907892351922551, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05823322317362689, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.060004129754756885, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010845700345598619, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009074793764468625, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.016812831659755778, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.016812831659755778, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.015828324078378975, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.019392855117495444, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009845075813768034, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0025800234577396663, "ret_p1w": -0.19014989696413687, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.19014989696413687, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.19273080680261945, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.18596845136811946, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0025809098384825813, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004181445596017408, "ret_p1m": -0.10416667828550552, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10416667828550552, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12711126344802115, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1462485844492183, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02294458516251563, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04208190616371277, "ret_p3m": -0.1780884965129541, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1780884965129541, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2098014353106663, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.22898860819988576, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0317129387977122, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05090011168693165, "ret_p6m": 0.41164110057359893, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.41164110057359893, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3304199119118736, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.36652057753800693, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08122118866172534, "bench_c_p6m": 0.045120523035592, "price_path": [-0.3582, -0.3117, -0.3546, -0.3745, -0.3456, -0.3372, -0.3861, -0.3835, -0.3953, -0.3697, -0.3602, -0.356, -0.3595, -0.3417, -0.3757, -0.3757, -0.3995, -0.4001, -0.4069, -0.4018, -0.4147, -0.1254, -0.1467, -0.185, -0.1739, -0.1689, -0.1828, -0.1404, -0.14, -0.0926, -0.026, -0.015, 0.0346, -0.0137, -0.0159, 0.0071, 0.0259, 0.0564, 0.1501, 0.1694, 0.1416, 0.0755, 0.1148, 0.212, 0.184, 0.2378, 0.171, 0.1498, 0.1243, 0.0365, -0.004, -0.0471, -0.0989, -0.03, 0.0715, 0.1461, 0.1132, 0.1431, 0.1347, 0.1954, 0.1008, 0.0101, 0.0691, 0.0, 0.0168, 0.0047, -0.066, -0.1378, -0.1901, -0.2367, -0.2144, -0.1727, -0.1313, -0.2266, -0.2392, -0.1603, -0.1879, -0.1348, -0.1348, -0.1331, -0.0849, -0.1187, -0.0961, -0.0607, -0.1042, -0.0832, -0.1191, -0.1448, -0.1385, -0.1987, -0.2586, -0.2603, -0.3106, -0.2865, -0.1826, -0.1481, -0.1774, -0.1673, -0.1673, -0.1997, -0.2138, -0.2218, -0.2352, -0.2352, -0.1781, -0.1518, -0.0841, -0.1209, -0.1109, -0.1052, -0.0193, -0.0366, -0.0682, -0.0508, -0.0065, -0.0065, -0.0927, -0.0966, -0.115, -0.1365, -0.1643, -0.1057, -0.0823, -0.1328, -0.2216, -0.1944, -0.1781, -0.2472, -0.325, -0.2133, -0.1513, -0.1613, -0.1903, -0.1801, -0.1044, -0.1044, -0.1089, -0.0698, -0.0167, -0.1053, -0.0807, -0.0627, -0.0303, -0.0417, -0.1668, -0.1684, -0.2069, -0.1065, -0.126, -0.1838, -0.1325, -0.1189, 0.0233, -0.0128, 0.0321, 0.1865, 0.063, 0.0833, 0.1104, 0.0747, 0.043, 0.05, 0.0516, -0.0317, -0.0788, -0.157, -0.0519, -0.0684, -0.0057, -0.0057, 0.0283, 0.0727, 0.1422, 0.2457, 0.3247, 0.4123, 0.4797, 0.5238, 0.5108, 0.4359, 0.4543, 0.4305, 0.4267, 0.4353, 0.3447, 0.3246, 0.2382, 0.2901, 0.2631, 0.4116]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1986483611202400672", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-06T17:19:34+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Insane forward revenue growth from Neoclouds like $NBIS, $IREN", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Hold/add to positions in Neoclouds, Mag7, and semis; current dip is short-term noise ahead of recovery when government shutdown ends.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Ignore the noise and hold positions/add in market winners.\n\nYou have:\n\n- Insane forward revenue growth from Neoclouds like $NBIS, $IREN, $CIFR\n- Record high CapEX projections from Mag7 earnings like $META to $MSFT\n- Record high forward revenue projections + margin growth from semiconductors like $TSM.\n\nIf fundamentals are in tact, news headlines like \"The AI Party is Over\" is BS.\n\nWe'll likely see a major recovery when government shutdown ends. \n\nThis is likely a short-term correction pricing in a few things such as no third rate cut (86% -> 70%, still likely) + government shutdown extending past the 16th (53% chance, 30% chance 2 days ago) per contract markets.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "November 4th - Stock Analysis + Macro\n\nFire Sale: $META • $NBIS • $IBIT\n\nStrong Buys: $RDDT • $RKLB • $WLAC • $CIFR • $LTC • $SOL • $CORZ\nMemory: Nanya $2408, SK Hynix $HXSCL, $MU\n\nBuy: $AMZN • $DELL • $SMCI • $ALAB • $CRDO • $TSM • $AMD • $FLNC • $TE\n\nWarnings:", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.14112910255143785, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.14112910255143785, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.13028340220583923, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.13750391782882487, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010845700345598619, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003625184722612973, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0683990155164067, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0683990155164067, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0693835230977835, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07545865145327202, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009845075813768034, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007059635936865316, "ret_p1w": -0.2734468012088078, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.2734468012088078, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2760277110472904, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2843225756231924, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0025809098384825813, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010875774414384587, "ret_p1m": -0.3322879376376746, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3322879376376746, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.35523252280019024, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3565199030613162, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02294458516251563, "bench_c_p1m": 0.024231965423641588, "ret_p3m": -0.18772401234603775, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.18772401234603775, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.21943695114374995, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.21266362992021448, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0317129387977122, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02493961757417673, "ret_p6m": -0.3181003513782873, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3181003513782873, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.39932154004001263, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.31732339498145035, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08122118866172534, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0007769563968369475, "price_path": [-0.7316, -0.7337, -0.7352, -0.7151, -0.7059, -0.6908, -0.7203, -0.7049, -0.7074, -0.68, -0.6547, -0.6567, -0.6661, -0.6559, -0.6045, -0.6045, -0.5653, -0.5787, -0.6098, -0.6095, -0.6089, -0.5491, -0.4978, -0.5094, -0.4928, -0.4453, -0.4556, -0.434, -0.4576, -0.4229, -0.3743, -0.3762, -0.296, -0.3087, -0.3749, -0.3141, -0.2991, -0.2969, -0.2978, -0.2464, -0.1375, -0.0789, -0.1026, -0.0464, -0.1074, -0.0421, 0.0388, 0.0152, -0.0766, -0.0932, -0.1156, -0.1757, -0.226, -0.1658, -0.0606, -0.0294, -0.0678, -0.0977, -0.1305, -0.0927, 0.0118, -0.0049, 0.1411, 0.0, -0.0684, -0.1014, -0.1431, -0.1682, -0.2734, -0.3075, -0.292, -0.2705, -0.3156, -0.3508, -0.3689, -0.2758, -0.2911, -0.2764, -0.2764, -0.286, -0.2758, -0.3859, -0.3435, -0.3063, -0.3323, -0.3079, -0.3005, -0.3441, -0.3438, -0.4007, -0.4701, -0.4536, -0.4955, -0.4654, -0.4038, -0.3722, -0.3717, -0.3731, -0.3731, -0.3981, -0.4114, -0.428, -0.4359, -0.4359, -0.3623, -0.2796, -0.3144, -0.3485, -0.3178, -0.3126, -0.2484, -0.2086, -0.2103, -0.2251, -0.1365, -0.1365, -0.1897, -0.2013, -0.2195, -0.1535, -0.218, -0.1041, -0.06, -0.1063, -0.1974, -0.2073, -0.1877, -0.3289, -0.4058, -0.3753, -0.3108, -0.3589, -0.3628, -0.4022, -0.3695, -0.3695, -0.3881, -0.3716, -0.3535, -0.4029, -0.3674, -0.3212, -0.3424, -0.3393, -0.3884, -0.3819, -0.4198, -0.3453, -0.4008, -0.4519, -0.42, -0.4307, -0.3731, -0.3822, -0.379, -0.3289, -0.3584, -0.3696, -0.3778, -0.3834, -0.3704, -0.3859, -0.3813, -0.4407, -0.476, -0.5278, -0.4881, -0.4909, -0.4807, -0.4807, -0.4754, -0.4662, -0.45, -0.4465, -0.4128, -0.3568, -0.2926, -0.2709, -0.2876, -0.2814, -0.2724, -0.3254, -0.2773, -0.2231, -0.2437, -0.2778, -0.3363, -0.3599, -0.3203, -0.3181]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1986483611202400672", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-11-06T17:19:34+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Record high CapEX projections from Mag7 earnings like $META", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Hold/add to positions in Neoclouds, Mag7, and semis; current dip is short-term noise ahead of recovery when government shutdown ends.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Ignore the noise and hold positions/add in market winners.\n\nYou have:\n\n- Insane forward revenue growth from Neoclouds like $NBIS, $IREN, $CIFR\n- Record high CapEX projections from Mag7 earnings like $META to $MSFT\n- Record high forward revenue projections + margin growth from semiconductors like $TSM.\n\nIf fundamentals are in tact, news headlines like \"The AI Party is Over\" is BS.\n\nWe'll likely see a major recovery when government shutdown ends. \n\nThis is likely a short-term correction pricing in a few things such as no third rate cut (86% -> 70%, still likely) + government shutdown extending past the 16th (53% chance, 30% chance 2 days ago) per contract markets.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "November 4th - Stock Analysis + Macro\n\nFire Sale: $META • $NBIS • $IBIT\n\nStrong Buys: $RDDT • $RKLB • $WLAC • $CIFR • $LTC • $SOL • $CORZ\nMemory: Nanya $2408, SK Hynix $HXSCL, $MU\n\nBuy: $AMZN • $DELL • $SMCI • $ALAB • $CRDO • $TSM • $AMD • $FLNC • $TE\n\nWarnings:", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.027482518636070763, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.027482518636070763, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.016636818290472144, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.018407724871602138, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010845700345598619, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009074793764468625, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004475403013952883, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004475403013952883, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00349089543257608, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00705542647169255, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009845075813768034, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0025800234577396663, "ret_p1w": -0.014621710999082271, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.014621710999082271, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.017202620837564853, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.010440265403064863, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0025809098384825813, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004181445596017408, "ret_p1m": 0.08802146154682733, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08802146154682733, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0650768763843117, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04593955538311456, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02294458516251563, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04208190616371277, "ret_p3m": 0.118467299914923, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.118467299914923, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0867543611172108, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06756718822799135, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0317129387977122, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05090011168693165, "ret_p6m": -0.014818672983937575, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.014818672983937575, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.09603986164566292, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.05993919601952957, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08122118866172534, "bench_c_p6m": 0.045120523035592, "price_path": [0.2366, 0.2755, 0.2595, 0.2628, 0.2678, 0.239, 0.2133, 0.2073, 0.1933, 0.2187, 0.2163, 0.2176, 0.2067, 0.2127, 0.1927, 0.1927, 0.1869, 0.19, 0.2088, 0.2149, 0.2146, 0.2363, 0.2141, 0.2124, 0.22, 0.2347, 0.2578, 0.2525, 0.2598, 0.2568, 0.2362, 0.2205, 0.229, 0.21, 0.2017, 0.2011, 0.1865, 0.159, 0.1747, 0.148, 0.1563, 0.1521, 0.1598, 0.1851, 0.1395, 0.1563, 0.1449, 0.1593, 0.1505, 0.1583, 0.1829, 0.1847, 0.1849, 0.1859, 0.1929, 0.2131, 0.2141, 0.2144, 0.0768, 0.0475, 0.0303, 0.0135, 0.0275, 0.0, 0.0045, 0.0207, 0.0132, -0.016, -0.0146, -0.0153, -0.0274, -0.0343, -0.0462, -0.0481, -0.0399, -0.0095, 0.0279, 0.0237, 0.0237, 0.0469, 0.0354, 0.0455, 0.0334, 0.0688, 0.088, 0.0773, 0.0614, 0.0504, 0.0546, 0.0409, 0.047, 0.0626, 0.0502, 0.0744, 0.0652, 0.0696, 0.0752, 0.0794, 0.0794, 0.0725, 0.0651, 0.0768, 0.0674, 0.0674, 0.0517, 0.0653, 0.0682, 0.0489, 0.0447, 0.056, 0.0381, 0.0205, -0.0047, 0.0038, 0.0029, 0.0029, -0.0231, -0.0089, 0.0472, 0.0652, 0.0872, 0.0882, 0.0813, 0.1938, 0.1586, 0.1423, 0.1185, 0.0817, 0.0837, 0.0696, 0.0951, 0.0845, 0.0813, 0.0507, 0.0345, 0.0345, 0.0337, 0.0401, 0.0426, 0.0602, 0.0304, 0.0337, 0.057, 0.0624, 0.0481, 0.0568, 0.0593, 0.0797, 0.0681, 0.0427, 0.0468, 0.0576, 0.0589, 0.0319, -0.0076, 0.0154, 0.0077, -0.0036, -0.0181, -0.0392, -0.0224, -0.0404, -0.0372, -0.1139, -0.1492, -0.1319, -0.0741, -0.0626, -0.0703, -0.0703, -0.0726, -0.0694, -0.0089, 0.017, 0.0193, 0.0269, 0.0722, 0.0869, 0.0954, 0.1143, 0.0858, 0.0824, 0.0919, 0.0667, 0.0924, 0.0983, 0.0865, 0.0829, -0.0097, -0.0148]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1986483611202400672", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-11-06T17:19:34+00:00", "symbol": "MSFT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Record high CapEX projections from Mag7 earnings like $META to $MSFT", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Hold/add to positions in Neoclouds, Mag7, and semis; current dip is short-term noise ahead of recovery when government shutdown ends.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSFT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Ignore the noise and hold positions/add in market winners.\n\nYou have:\n\n- Insane forward revenue growth from Neoclouds like $NBIS, $IREN, $CIFR\n- Record high CapEX projections from Mag7 earnings like $META to $MSFT\n- Record high forward revenue projections + margin growth from semiconductors like $TSM.\n\nIf fundamentals are in tact, news headlines like \"The AI Party is Over\" is BS.\n\nWe'll likely see a major recovery when government shutdown ends. \n\nThis is likely a short-term correction pricing in a few things such as no third rate cut (86% -> 70%, still likely) + government shutdown extending past the 16th (53% chance, 30% chance 2 days ago) per contract markets.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "November 4th - Stock Analysis + Macro\n\nFire Sale: $META • $NBIS • $IBIT\n\nStrong Buys: $RDDT • $RKLB • $WLAC • $CIFR • $LTC • $SOL • $CORZ\nMemory: Nanya $2408, SK Hynix $HXSCL, $MU\n\nBuy: $AMZN • $DELL • $SMCI • $ALAB • $CRDO • $TSM • $AMD • $FLNC • $TE\n\nWarnings:", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.020237408302989035, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.020237408302989035, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009391707957390416, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009391707957390416, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010845700345598619, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010845700345598619, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0005632485423001654, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0005632485423001654, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0015477561236769688, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0015477561236769688, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009845075813768034, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0009845075813768034, "ret_p1w": 0.012452259481072536, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.012452259481072536, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.009871349642589955, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.009871349642589955, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0025809098384825813, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0025809098384825813, "ret_p1m": -0.026223522623229578, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.026223522623229578, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04916810778574521, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04916810778574521, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02294458516251563, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02294458516251563, "ret_p3m": -0.17123392020244077, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17123392020244077, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20294685900015297, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20294685900015297, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0317129387977122, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0317129387977122, "ret_p6m": -0.16281756480416343, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.16281756480416343, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.24403875346588877, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.24403875346588877, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08122118866172534, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08122118866172534, "price_path": [0.0479, 0.0629, 0.0455, 0.0493, 0.0447, 0.0385, 0.0238, 0.0157, 0.0144, 0.0204, 0.0144, 0.0099, 0.0194, 0.0252, 0.0193, 0.0193, 0.0161, 0.0166, 0.0219, -0.0042, 0.0022, 0.0026, 0.0066, 0.0079, 0.0257, 0.0367, 0.024, 0.026, 0.0228, 0.0419, 0.0349, 0.0244, 0.0263, 0.02, 0.0289, 0.0352, 0.0419, 0.0455, 0.0375, 0.0407, 0.0633, 0.0541, 0.0558, 0.0509, 0.0279, 0.0341, 0.0331, 0.0329, 0.0292, 0.0332, 0.0396, 0.0414, 0.0472, 0.0472, 0.0533, 0.0692, 0.0905, 0.0894, 0.0577, 0.0417, 0.0401, 0.0347, 0.0202, 0.0, -0.0006, 0.0179, 0.0233, 0.0282, 0.0125, 0.0263, 0.0209, -0.0067, -0.0201, -0.0358, -0.0485, -0.0447, -0.0387, -0.0215, -0.0215, -0.0084, -0.019, -0.0124, -0.0372, -0.0309, -0.0262, -0.0104, -0.0084, -0.0355, -0.0256, -0.0356, -0.043, -0.0399, -0.0404, -0.0246, -0.0207, -0.0227, -0.0188, -0.0164, -0.0164, -0.0171, -0.0183, -0.0175, -0.0253, -0.0253, -0.0468, -0.047, -0.0356, -0.0256, -0.0364, -0.034, -0.0383, -0.0514, -0.0742, -0.0796, -0.0732, -0.0732, -0.0839, -0.1049, -0.0908, -0.0609, -0.0522, -0.0314, -0.0293, -0.1263, -0.1328, -0.1467, -0.1712, -0.1652, -0.2066, -0.1915, -0.1664, -0.1671, -0.185, -0.1901, -0.1912, -0.1912, -0.2002, -0.1946, -0.1951, -0.1976, -0.2234, -0.2142, -0.1908, -0.1885, -0.2067, -0.1949, -0.184, -0.1815, -0.1704, -0.1739, -0.173, -0.1804, -0.1821, -0.1882, -0.201, -0.1921, -0.1932, -0.2086, -0.2142, -0.2286, -0.2263, -0.2471, -0.2505, -0.2607, -0.2793, -0.2749, -0.2522, -0.2539, -0.2456, -0.2456, -0.2468, -0.248, -0.2438, -0.2464, -0.2508, -0.2236, -0.2059, -0.1693, -0.1511, -0.146, -0.1555, -0.1432, -0.1255, -0.1602, -0.1423, -0.1418, -0.1329, -0.1426, -0.1763, -0.1628]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1986483611202400672", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-11-06T17:19:34+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Record high forward revenue projections + margin growth from semiconductors like $TSM", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Hold/add to positions in Neoclouds, Mag7, and semis; current dip is short-term noise ahead of recovery when government shutdown ends.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Ignore the noise and hold positions/add in market winners.\n\nYou have:\n\n- Insane forward revenue growth from Neoclouds like $NBIS, $IREN, $CIFR\n- Record high CapEX projections from Mag7 earnings like $META to $MSFT\n- Record high forward revenue projections + margin growth from semiconductors like $TSM.\n\nIf fundamentals are in tact, news headlines like \"The AI Party is Over\" is BS.\n\nWe'll likely see a major recovery when government shutdown ends. \n\nThis is likely a short-term correction pricing in a few things such as no third rate cut (86% -> 70%, still likely) + government shutdown extending past the 16th (53% chance, 30% chance 2 days ago) per contract markets.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "November 4th - Stock Analysis + Macro\n\nFire Sale: $META • $NBIS • $IBIT\n\nStrong Buys: $RDDT • $RKLB • $WLAC • $CIFR • $LTC • $SOL • $CORZ\nMemory: Nanya $2408, SK Hynix $HXSCL, $MU\n\nBuy: $AMZN • $DELL • $SMCI • $ALAB • $CRDO • $TSM • $AMD • $FLNC • $TE\n\nWarnings:", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.015212389735424381, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.015212389735424381, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004366689389825762, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004366689389825762, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010845700345598619, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010845700345598619, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0094729982946693, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0094729982946693, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010457505876046103, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010457505876046103, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009845075813768034, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0009845075813768034, "ret_p1w": -0.02433942042522297, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02433942042522297, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02692033026370555, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02692033026370555, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0025809098384825813, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0025809098384825813, "ret_p1m": 0.018946314866804093, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.018946314866804093, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.003998270295711537, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.003998270295711537, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02294458516251563, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02294458516251563, "ret_p3m": 0.16393453753965992, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.16393453753965992, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.13222159874194772, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.13222159874194772, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0317129387977122, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0317129387977122, "ret_p6m": 0.3824754093525622, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3824754093525622, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.30125422069083685, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.30125422069083685, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08122118866172534, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08122118866172534, "price_path": [-0.1656, -0.1581, -0.1679, -0.1694, -0.1767, -0.168, -0.198, -0.2121, -0.2165, -0.197, -0.188, -0.1773, -0.1753, -0.1788, -0.2043, -0.2043, -0.2129, -0.2025, -0.1894, -0.1611, -0.1481, -0.1352, -0.1024, -0.1077, -0.1062, -0.0992, -0.094, -0.0914, -0.0712, -0.0843, -0.0574, -0.0226, -0.0295, -0.0435, -0.0549, -0.0554, -0.0344, -0.0027, -0.0039, 0.0102, 0.0455, 0.0166, 0.0528, 0.0368, -0.0297, 0.0472, 0.0232, 0.0535, 0.0366, 0.0202, 0.0292, 0.0182, -0.0012, 0.0052, 0.0198, 0.0312, 0.0425, 0.0548, 0.0483, 0.0387, 0.054, 0.0166, 0.0152, 0.0, -0.0095, 0.0208, 0.0067, 0.0048, -0.0243, -0.0153, -0.025, -0.0392, -0.0238, -0.0406, -0.049, -0.0159, -0.0158, 0.0025, 0.0025, 0.0078, -0.0054, 0.0099, 0.0215, 0.0128, 0.0189, 0.0437, 0.049, 0.0723, 0.0568, 0.0124, -0.0025, -0.0055, -0.0399, -0.0131, 0.0017, 0.0167, 0.0294, 0.0358, 0.0358, 0.0498, 0.0432, 0.0385, 0.0535, 0.0535, 0.108, 0.1171, 0.1351, 0.1048, 0.1024, 0.1219, 0.1501, 0.1482, 0.134, 0.1844, 0.187, 0.187, 0.1342, 0.1306, 0.1349, 0.1609, 0.1534, 0.1729, 0.1866, 0.1771, 0.1459, 0.1834, 0.1639, 0.1292, 0.1465, 0.2093, 0.2321, 0.2546, 0.2968, 0.2761, 0.27, 0.27, 0.2626, 0.2558, 0.2494, 0.2845, 0.2828, 0.3373, 0.3441, 0.3063, 0.2985, 0.2796, 0.2242, 0.2391, 0.2267, 0.1748, 0.2088, 0.2032, 0.2291, 0.1673, 0.1728, 0.1795, 0.2028, 0.1805, 0.1778, 0.1446, 0.1766, 0.1933, 0.2089, 0.1337, 0.1359, 0.1003, 0.1749, 0.1872, 0.1787, 0.1787, 0.1881, 0.2005, 0.272, 0.2706, 0.2884, 0.2848, 0.3207, 0.304, 0.2632, 0.288, 0.2732, 0.2796, 0.3469, 0.3303, 0.3991, 0.4079, 0.3639, 0.3691, 0.3769, 0.3825]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1998453391203389533", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-09T18:03:12+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Added very heavily in $TSM today ~$302.5. We've been chopping since record breaking earnings from $TSM just felt it would breakout anytime now.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Heavily added TSM at ~$302.5 expecting breakout post record earnings; added CRCL at ~$87.2 on $19B MC opportunity with USDC growth and crypto rebound.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Added very heavily in $TSM today ~$302.5.\n\nAlso added a decent amount in $CRCL positions at ~$87.2.\n\nWe’ve been chopping since record breaking earnings from $TSM just felt it would breakout anytime now. This is just gut feeling.\n\nAs for $CRCL rate cuts hurt, but the USDC printer keeps on going. Crypto also rebounding from Dec rate cut, and share unlock is done. \n\nSo felt $19B MC was a good opportunity. I wanted to go long on Circle ever since IPO but never got the opportunity to until recently.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Stock position updates:\n\nSitting on high-conviction longs like $NBIS and writing options, relatively lax weekend.\n\nMinor position adds updates from last week:\n\n$LITE - $316.5 (+5.53%) -&gt; ~$335.91\n\nLite benefits from $NVDA Blackwell + $GOOGL v7 TPU rampup \n\n$AMKR - $37.6 (+18.4%) https://t.co/lSRE4AVT18", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.005075696510041472, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005075696510041472, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.005939497195312504, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005939497195312504, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0008638006852710323, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0008638006852710323, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.022181317642156584, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.022181317642156584, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01554914009606767, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01554914009606767, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006632177546088913, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006632177546088913, "ret_p1w": -0.051961211670076723, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.051961211670076723, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.045856193385307, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.045856193385307, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.006105018284769725, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006105018284769725, "ret_p1m": 0.05316343548577951, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05316343548577951, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04060534439542707, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04060534439542707, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012558091090352441, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012558091090352441, "ret_p3m": 0.11995284960520891, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11995284960520891, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1326507735988366, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1326507735988366, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.01269792399362768, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01269792399362768, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1493, -0.148, -0.1412, -0.1363, -0.1339, -0.1146, -0.127, -0.1014, -0.0682, -0.0748, -0.0882, -0.099, -0.0995, -0.0795, -0.0492, -0.0504, -0.037, -0.0033, -0.0309, 0.0037, -0.0116, -0.075, -0.0017, -0.0246, 0.0043, -0.0118, -0.0275, -0.0188, -0.0293, -0.0479, -0.0418, -0.0279, -0.017, -0.0062, 0.0055, -0.0006, -0.0098, 0.0048, -0.0308, -0.0322, -0.0467, -0.0557, -0.0268, -0.0403, -0.0422, -0.0699, -0.0613, -0.0705, -0.084, -0.0693, -0.0854, -0.0934, -0.0619, -0.0617, -0.0443, -0.0443, -0.0392, -0.0518, -0.0373, -0.0262, -0.0345, -0.0286, -0.0051, 0.0, 0.0222, 0.0075, -0.0349, -0.0491, -0.052, -0.0847, -0.0592, -0.0451, -0.0308, -0.0186, -0.0125, -0.0125, 0.0008, -0.0055, -0.01, 0.0043, 0.0043, 0.0562, 0.065, 0.0821, 0.0532, 0.0509, 0.0695, 0.0964, 0.0946, 0.081, 0.129, 0.1316, 0.1316, 0.0812, 0.0778, 0.0819, 0.1067, 0.0995, 0.1181, 0.1312, 0.1221, 0.0924, 0.1281, 0.1096, 0.0765, 0.093, 0.1529, 0.1745, 0.196, 0.2363, 0.2165, 0.2107, 0.2107, 0.2036, 0.1972, 0.191, 0.2245, 0.2229, 0.2748, 0.2814, 0.2453, 0.2379, 0.2198, 0.167, 0.1813, 0.1694, 0.12, 0.1524, 0.1471, 0.1717, 0.1127, 0.118, 0.1244, 0.1466, 0.1254, 0.1228, 0.0911, 0.1217, 0.1376, 0.1525, 0.0808, 0.0828, 0.0489, 0.12, 0.1317, 0.1236, 0.1236, 0.1326, 0.1444, 0.2126, 0.2113, 0.2282, 0.2248, 0.259, 0.2431, 0.2042, 0.2279, 0.2137, 0.2198, 0.284, 0.2682, 0.3338, 0.3421, 0.3002, 0.3052, 0.3126, 0.3179, 0.331, 0.3071, 0.3903, 0.3725, 0.3643, 0.3407, 0.3166, 0.325, 0.3844, 0.34, 0.3122, 0.3011, 0.331, 0.3493, 0.3406, 0.3406, 0.3665, 0.401, 0.408, 0.3868, 0.3868, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1998453391203389533", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-09T18:03:12+00:00", "symbol": "CRCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Added a decent amount in $CRCL positions at ~$87.2. felt $19B MC was a good opportunity. I wanted to go long on Circle ever since IPO but never got the opportunity to until recently.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Heavily added TSM at ~$302.5 expecting breakout post record earnings; added CRCL at ~$87.2 on $19B MC opportunity with USDC growth and crypto rebound.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Added very heavily in $TSM today ~$302.5.\n\nAlso added a decent amount in $CRCL positions at ~$87.2.\n\nWe’ve been chopping since record breaking earnings from $TSM just felt it would breakout anytime now. This is just gut feeling.\n\nAs for $CRCL rate cuts hurt, but the USDC printer keeps on going. Crypto also rebounding from Dec rate cut, and share unlock is done. \n\nSo felt $19B MC was a good opportunity. I wanted to go long on Circle ever since IPO but never got the opportunity to until recently.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Stock position updates:\n\nSitting on high-conviction longs like $NBIS and writing options, relatively lax weekend.\n\nMinor position adds updates from last week:\n\n$LITE - $316.5 (+5.53%) -&gt; ~$335.91\n\nLite benefits from $NVDA Blackwell + $GOOGL v7 TPU rampup \n\n$AMKR - $37.6 (+18.4%) https://t.co/lSRE4AVT18", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05535551666273375, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05535551666273375, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05621931734800478, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.059109270036970196, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0008638006852710323, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003753753374236446, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00528795686130068, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00528795686130068, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.011920134407389593, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016736908263558226, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006632177546088913, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011448951402257546, "ret_p1w": -0.06615658680380809, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06615658680380809, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06005156851903837, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09168209530526972, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.006105018284769725, "bench_c_p1w": 0.025525508501461625, "ret_p1m": -0.09327184036573022, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09327184036573022, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10582993145608266, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14065099776548595, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012558091090352441, "bench_c_p1m": 0.047379157399755734, "ret_p3m": 0.1466022368513329, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1466022368513329, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.15930016084496057, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1941482871125877, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.01269792399362768, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0475460502612548, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.5043, 0.41, 0.5082, 0.5168, 0.4743, 0.5799, 0.6217, 0.5486, 0.4736, 0.4804, 0.4026, 0.4288, 0.5038, 0.4917, 0.4517, 0.6845, 0.6402, 0.6709, 0.6733, 0.6928, 0.6931, 0.4957, 0.5467, 0.5128, 0.5131, 0.4453, 0.4232, 0.4718, 0.461, 0.404, 0.4611, 0.5982, 0.6122, 0.5314, 0.4822, 0.3806, 0.4287, 0.3261, 0.2517, 0.2717, 0.1252, 0.1604, 0.1712, 0.106, -0.029, -0.0736, -0.0786, -0.1383, -0.1382, -0.2156, -0.247, -0.1975, -0.1816, -0.2112, -0.1827, -0.1827, -0.1007, -0.1456, -0.1287, -0.0291, -0.016, -0.0367, -0.0554, 0.0, -0.0053, -0.0035, -0.0609, -0.151, -0.0662, -0.1089, -0.0888, -0.0309, -0.0212, -0.0692, -0.0702, -0.0702, -0.0856, -0.0942, -0.1011, -0.1078, -0.1078, -0.0609, -0.0459, -0.0453, -0.0933, -0.0798, -0.0673, -0.0673, -0.061, -0.0459, -0.1382, -0.1155, -0.1155, -0.182, -0.1827, -0.1972, -0.1975, -0.2023, -0.2129, -0.1805, -0.24, -0.2807, -0.3378, -0.3681, -0.3806, -0.4349, -0.3582, -0.3238, -0.3277, -0.349, -0.3628, -0.3245, -0.3245, -0.3067, -0.2895, -0.3033, -0.291, -0.3118, -0.3095, -0.0646, -0.0188, -0.0612, 0.0817, 0.1209, 0.1844, 0.1897, 0.1466, 0.2583, 0.3286, 0.2692, 0.2847, 0.2982, 0.4157, 0.4886, 0.4946, 0.4439, 0.418, 0.4248, 0.1383, 0.1685, 0.1056, 0.0538, 0.0116, 0.0735, 0.0209, 0.0155, 0.0155, 0.0368, 0.059, 0.0626, -0.0425, -0.0095, 0.1103, 0.1869, 0.1872, 0.209, 0.1916, 0.1967, 0.0803, 0.1742, 0.1252, 0.1213, 0.0738, 0.0615, 0.0752, 0.0225, 0.1217, 0.3448, 0.2848, 0.3704, 0.2742, 0.2789, 0.4824, 0.3912, 0.4241, 0.3938, 0.2826, 0.2533, 0.2492, 0.2559, 0.2925, 0.2727, 0.2727, 0.172, 0.1548, 0.2178, 0.2714, 0.2714, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2009667279139881095", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-09T16:43:11+00:00", "symbol": "VLN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$VLN could have been a $700m growing semiconductor stock but was artificially suppressed by a false $82m capex number. This isn't some random microcap, it's a legitimate growing semi with $93m cash and $70m revenue off 60%+ gross margins.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish VLN: legitimate growing semi with $93m cash, 60%+ margins undervalued due to false capex data suppression.", "resolved_tickers": ["VLN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MitchMartan98 Yeah $VLN could have been a $700m growing semiconductor stock but was artificially suppressed by a false $82m capex number.\n\nThis isn’t some random microcap, it’s a legitimate growing semi with $93m cash and $70m revenue off 60%+ gross margins.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$VLN Not here to pump a stock but I reviewed the math and it checks out. It's up 36% today and it's still really cheap. \n\nA true inefficiency in the market due to human error that likely only happens in micro cap land. With that said, $4 probably in play here.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MitchMartan98", "ret_m1d": -0.37096776984608737, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.37096776984608737, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.36439787640680144, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.3446587667058081, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006569893439285934, "bench_c_m1d": -0.026309003140279286, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06854841733326134, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06854841733326134, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07011887114503312, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07224813070073988, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0015704538117717881, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003699713367478541, "ret_p1w": -0.19758064748717397, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.19758064748717397, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.19410836617330818, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2262791043822514, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.003472281313865788, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02869845689507744, "ret_p1m": -0.3870967865982611, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3870967865982611, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.38692395731858265, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.4318786390753073, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00017282927967843253, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04478185247704625, "ret_p3m": -0.471774220683696, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.471774220683696, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.44841378636724327, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5583576750317217, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.02336043431645274, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08658345434802572, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2661, -0.2581, -0.2863, -0.3105, -0.2742, -0.2863, -0.3024, -0.2903, -0.2823, -0.2944, -0.2903, -0.3105, -0.3145, -0.2621, -0.3065, -0.3589, -0.3306, -0.371, -0.3629, -0.3548, -0.2742, -0.3145, -0.3065, -0.2984, -0.371, -0.3871, -0.4153, -0.4274, -0.3952, -0.3831, -0.379, -0.3669, -0.3669, -0.3548, -0.3669, -0.3629, -0.3266, -0.3226, -0.3226, -0.3145, -0.3145, -0.3226, -0.3427, -0.3589, -0.379, -0.3831, -0.4032, -0.4032, -0.3992, -0.4113, -0.4355, -0.4435, -0.4435, -0.4194, -0.4315, -0.4435, -0.4274, -0.4274, -0.371, -0.3669, -0.3589, -0.375, -0.371, 0.0, -0.0685, -0.0565, -0.1573, -0.1573, -0.1976, -0.1976, -0.2177, -0.2097, -0.1532, -0.2097, -0.2581, -0.2581, -0.2863, -0.2903, -0.3145, -0.3266, -0.3548, -0.379, -0.4234, -0.379, -0.3871, -0.375, -0.379, -0.3952, -0.3871, -0.3871, -0.4113, -0.3992, -0.3992, -0.3911, -0.4032, -0.3831, -0.379, -0.3548, -0.4032, -0.4032, -0.4194, -0.4194, -0.4355, -0.4556, -0.4556, -0.4435, -0.4234, -0.4556, -0.4637, -0.4637, -0.4597, -0.496, -0.4839, -0.5081, -0.4919, -0.496, -0.4919, -0.5081, -0.5242, -0.5524, -0.5444, -0.5282, -0.5202, -0.5202, -0.5202, -0.5242, -0.4718, -0.4597, -0.4637, -0.4556, -0.4435, -0.4073, -0.375, -0.3871, -0.4073, -0.3952, -0.3508, -0.3347, -0.2782, -0.3508, -0.3911, -0.3911, -0.125, -0.0565, -0.0927, -0.0242, 0.0081, -0.0282, 0.125, 0.1492, 0.0887, 0.1895, 0.3589, 0.2298, 0.1371, 0.0726, 0.1694, 0.2339, 0.2984, 0.2984, 0.3145, 0.2702, 0.4113, 0.4234, 0.4234, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1976710335433523330", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-10T18:04:04+00:00", "symbol": "DKNG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Started new $DKNG position - $32.7 (seems pretty good value, 7% drop)", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Initiated/added DKNG, UNH, AMZN on tariff-driven dip, viewing them as least exposed to tariffs.", "resolved_tickers": ["DKNG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Gambling", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "In terms of position changes:\n\nStarted new $DKNG position - $32.7 (seems pretty good value, 7% drop)\nBought $UNH - $356 (3% drop)\nBought $AMZN - $217.8 (4% drop)\n\nJust felt these were the least unaffected by tariffs, especially Draftkings lol.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Also since macro fears randomly appeared today with a Trump tweet, it’s an amazing dip buy opportunity on $SPY 1.65% drop.\n\nJust some examples:\n$AMZN - down 3.7%\n$AMD - down 8.27%\n$HIMS - down 8%\n$SNAP - down 5.1%\n$META - down 3.07%\n\n$WLAC, $NBIS always good to DCA.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.07678195906009311, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07678195906009311, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04900333529870715, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04900333529870715, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.027778623761385957, "bench_c_m1d": 0.027778623761385957, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.027225550374252228, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.027225550374252228, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011881475681043474, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011881475681043474, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015344074693208754, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015344074693208754, "ret_p1w": 0.04313245355293738, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04313245355293738, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.025720982917592394, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.025720982917592394, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017411470635344983, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017411470635344983, "ret_p1m": -0.06576928117167335, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06576928117167335, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10929015591120439, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10929015591120439, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.043520874739531035, "bench_c_p1m": 0.043520874739531035, "ret_p3m": 0.060263117267112865, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.060263117267112865, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0011566865133152415, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0011566865133152415, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05910643075379762, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05910643075379762, "ret_p6m": -0.2994799455323288, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2994799455323288, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.31427572884923116, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.31427572884923116, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.014795783316902344, "bench_c_p6m": 0.014795783316902344, "price_path": [0.3399, 0.3264, 0.3441, 0.3374, 0.3604, 0.3631, 0.3711, 0.3472, 0.3723, 0.3545, 0.3337, 0.3995, 0.3778, 0.3377, 0.3781, 0.3747, 0.3876, 0.3827, 0.3117, 0.3071, 0.3184, 0.3203, 0.3359, 0.3747, 0.398, 0.3772, 0.3965, 0.4099, 0.4433, 0.435, 0.4595, 0.4622, 0.4754, 0.4677, 0.4677, 0.4656, 0.4586, 0.45, 0.4243, 0.4169, 0.4044, 0.3965, 0.4032, 0.3454, 0.3102, 0.3116, 0.3044, 0.3246, 0.3292, 0.3411, 0.3236, 0.3139, 0.3129, 0.2946, 0.2941, 0.1441, 0.0756, 0.0673, 0.082, 0.0701, 0.008, 0.0395, 0.0768, 0.0, 0.0272, 0.0511, 0.086, 0.0765, 0.0431, 0.0278, 0.0284, 0.0615, 0.0615, 0.0095, 0.0083, -0.0468, -0.0624, -0.078, -0.0642, -0.0649, -0.1248, -0.1459, -0.1441, -0.0701, -0.0658, -0.0671, -0.0361, -0.0918, -0.0951, -0.1184, -0.1016, -0.1123, -0.1129, -0.0826, -0.0994, -0.0312, -0.015, -0.015, 0.0144, 0.0361, 0.0281, 0.0569, 0.0765, 0.0401, 0.0878, 0.0688, 0.0593, 0.0673, 0.0866, 0.0887, 0.0566, 0.0416, 0.0459, 0.0465, 0.0676, 0.0566, 0.0541, 0.0541, 0.067, 0.0566, 0.0633, 0.0541, 0.0541, 0.0909, 0.1086, 0.0691, 0.0603, 0.1006, 0.0759, 0.0694, 0.0416, 0.0499, 0.0847, -0.0021, -0.0021, -0.0135, -0.034, -0.0327, -0.0832, -0.0645, -0.0789, -0.0786, -0.0841, -0.1585, -0.1612, -0.1814, -0.1667, -0.2193, -0.1857, -0.1673, -0.1704, -0.1955, -0.2303, -0.3344, -0.3344, -0.309, -0.29, -0.312, -0.3175, -0.3328, -0.3157, -0.2983, -0.2814, -0.2707, -0.2713, -0.2521, -0.2221, -0.2212, -0.2307, -0.2303, -0.231, -0.2178, -0.2181, -0.2086, -0.2385, -0.2285, -0.2267, -0.238, -0.2759, -0.2671, -0.2869, -0.3448, -0.3493, -0.3662, -0.3597, -0.3386, -0.3221, -0.2915, -0.2915, -0.2995]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1976710335433523330", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-10T18:04:04+00:00", "symbol": "UNH", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bought $UNH - $356 (3% drop)", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Initiated/added DKNG, UNH, AMZN on tariff-driven dip, viewing them as least exposed to tariffs.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLV", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Healthcare Plans'", "bench_c_industry": "Healthcare Plans", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "In terms of position changes:\n\nStarted new $DKNG position - $32.7 (seems pretty good value, 7% drop)\nBought $UNH - $356 (3% drop)\nBought $AMZN - $217.8 (4% drop)\n\nJust felt these were the least unaffected by tariffs, especially Draftkings lol.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Also since macro fears randomly appeared today with a Trump tweet, it’s an amazing dip buy opportunity on $SPY 1.65% drop.\n\nJust some examples:\n$AMZN - down 3.7%\n$AMD - down 8.27%\n$HIMS - down 8%\n$SNAP - down 5.1%\n$META - down 3.07%\n\n$WLAC, $NBIS always good to DCA.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03720738655865996, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03720738655865996, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009428762797274004, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.022570851859837537, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.027778623761385957, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014636534698822423, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011734931563918582, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011734931563918582, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.003609143129290171, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012860868820878113, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015344074693208754, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0011259372569595305, "ret_p1w": 0.005923930330869132, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.005923930330869132, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.011487540304475852, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0022388170296638865, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017411470635344983, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008162747360533018, "ret_p1m": -0.09286317796979504, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09286317796979504, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13638405270932608, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1292434353166736, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.043520874739531035, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03638025734687855, "ret_p3m": -0.029626376743697724, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.029626376743697724, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08873280749749535, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15790656632212463, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05910643075379762, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1282801895784269, "ret_p6m": -0.19477064039095648, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.19477064039095648, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.20956642370785883, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2327470672774158, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.014795783316902344, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0379764268864593, "price_path": [-0.1823, -0.1801, -0.1925, -0.2077, -0.2091, -0.2007, -0.18, -0.2191, -0.2121, -0.2092, -0.2682, -0.2542, -0.3004, -0.3335, -0.3245, -0.2964, -0.311, -0.3141, -0.2967, -0.2926, -0.2668, -0.2381, -0.239, -0.1478, -0.1352, -0.1472, -0.1595, -0.1497, -0.1382, -0.1454, -0.1578, -0.1482, -0.1526, -0.1314, -0.1314, -0.1344, -0.137, -0.1299, -0.1159, -0.1023, -0.0247, -0.0279, -0.0088, -0.0118, -0.0186, -0.0415, -0.0364, -0.0555, -0.0502, -0.0372, -0.0192, -0.0076, -0.0252, -0.0294, -0.0263, -0.026, -0.0175, -0.0022, 0.0161, 0.012, 0.0258, 0.0435, 0.0372, 0.0, 0.0117, 0.0153, 0.0188, 0.0061, 0.0059, 0.0282, 0.0307, 0.0197, 0.0168, 0.0226, 0.0324, 0.0376, 0.0021, -0.0275, -0.0365, -0.0584, -0.0668, -0.0755, -0.0929, -0.0854, -0.0929, -0.0763, -0.0436, -0.062, -0.0921, -0.0959, -0.1154, -0.1281, -0.1212, -0.0974, -0.1, -0.0796, -0.0699, -0.0699, -0.0698, -0.0883, -0.0845, -0.0417, -0.0593, -0.0665, -0.081, -0.081, -0.0675, -0.0437, -0.0292, -0.0313, -0.0509, -0.0582, -0.0681, -0.0702, -0.0766, -0.0776, -0.0697, -0.0697, -0.0577, -0.0659, -0.0567, -0.0625, -0.0625, -0.0447, -0.0287, -0.009, -0.0296, -0.015, -0.0232, -0.033, -0.0517, -0.0488, -0.0374, -0.06, -0.06, -0.0389, -0.0124, 0.0066, 0.0117, -0.0014, -0.1972, -0.165, -0.1699, -0.1852, -0.189, -0.193, -0.2164, -0.2374, -0.2144, -0.2171, -0.2241, -0.2079, -0.1924, -0.1674, -0.1674, -0.179, -0.1816, -0.1766, -0.1764, -0.1982, -0.222, -0.1929, -0.1859, -0.1672, -0.1624, -0.1787, -0.1709, -0.1799, -0.1864, -0.1839, -0.192, -0.1836, -0.2071, -0.1927, -0.183, -0.177, -0.1863, -0.1974, -0.2113, -0.2286, -0.2208, -0.2257, -0.2329, -0.2587, -0.2508, -0.2256, -0.2159, -0.2065, -0.2065, -0.1948]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1976710335433523330", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-10T18:04:04+00:00", "symbol": "AMZN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bought $AMZN - $217.8 (4% drop)", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Initiated/added DKNG, UNH, AMZN on tariff-driven dip, viewing them as least exposed to tariffs.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMZN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "In terms of position changes:\n\nStarted new $DKNG position - $32.7 (seems pretty good value, 7% drop)\nBought $UNH - $356 (3% drop)\nBought $AMZN - $217.8 (4% drop)\n\nJust felt these were the least unaffected by tariffs, especially Draftkings lol.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Also since macro fears randomly appeared today with a Trump tweet, it’s an amazing dip buy opportunity on $SPY 1.65% drop.\n\nJust some examples:\n$AMZN - down 3.7%\n$AMD - down 8.27%\n$HIMS - down 8%\n$SNAP - down 5.1%\n$META - down 3.07%\n\n$WLAC, $NBIS always good to DCA.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.05254892375358455, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05254892375358455, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.024770299992198597, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02426476293989621, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.027778623761385957, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02828416081368834, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.017100394188331425, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.017100394188331425, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0017563194951226713, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0052384344283966655, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015344074693208754, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02233882861672809, "ret_p1w": -0.015390312456452837, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.015390312456452837, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03280178309179782, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04017715206508721, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017411470635344983, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02478683960863437, "ret_p1m": 0.14803345889964636, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14803345889964636, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10451258416011533, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10339953408699598, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.043520874739531035, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04463392481265038, "ret_p3m": 0.11642095951318554, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11642095951318554, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05731452875938792, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.057276912151978276, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05910643075379762, "bench_c_p3m": 0.059144047361207264, "ret_p6m": -0.01654574068421888, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.01654574068421888, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.031341524001121224, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.026290801724777157, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.014795783316902344, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04283654240899604, "price_path": [0.0461, 0.0315, 0.0347, 0.0451, 0.0598, 0.0513, 0.0551, 0.0733, 0.0696, 0.0759, 0.0677, 0.0639, 0.082, -0.0075, -0.0218, -0.0121, 0.0275, 0.0312, 0.0292, 0.0228, 0.0236, 0.0379, 0.0675, 0.0678, 0.0699, 0.0538, 0.0344, 0.0258, 0.0576, 0.0535, 0.057, 0.0589, 0.0704, 0.0584, 0.0584, 0.0415, 0.0445, 0.0892, 0.0738, 0.09, 0.1011, 0.0645, 0.0628, 0.0544, 0.0696, 0.0817, 0.0705, 0.0687, 0.0698, 0.052, 0.0201, 0.0177, 0.0082, 0.0158, 0.0268, 0.0148, 0.0197, 0.0279, 0.0145, 0.0209, 0.025, 0.0409, 0.0525, 0.0, 0.0171, 0.0001, -0.0037, -0.0088, -0.0154, 0.0005, 0.0262, 0.0073, 0.0218, 0.0362, 0.049, 0.0595, 0.0644, 0.03, 0.1287, 0.1739, 0.1523, 0.1564, 0.1233, 0.1296, 0.148, 0.1513, 0.1286, 0.098, 0.0847, 0.0763, 0.0286, 0.0292, 0.0036, 0.02, 0.0458, 0.0615, 0.0591, 0.0591, 0.0779, 0.0809, 0.0834, 0.074, 0.0589, 0.0608, 0.0486, 0.0534, 0.0712, 0.0643, 0.0454, 0.0285, 0.0286, 0.0226, 0.048, 0.0507, 0.0557, 0.0729, 0.074, 0.074, 0.0746, 0.0726, 0.0747, 0.0668, 0.0668, 0.0468, 0.0771, 0.1135, 0.1164, 0.1383, 0.1433, 0.1391, 0.1212, 0.0937, 0.1008, 0.1051, 0.1051, 0.0676, 0.069, 0.0831, 0.1053, 0.1019, 0.1308, 0.1231, 0.1172, 0.106, 0.1229, 0.1028, 0.0768, 0.0292, -0.028, -0.0354, -0.0435, -0.0568, -0.0775, -0.0812, -0.0812, -0.0703, -0.0535, -0.0532, -0.0289, -0.0513, -0.0361, -0.0265, -0.0391, -0.0294, -0.0369, -0.0353, 0.0021, 0.0119, -0.0146, -0.0133, -0.0094, -0.0172, -0.0316, -0.0402, -0.0214, -0.0054, -0.03, -0.0352, -0.0508, -0.0288, -0.0422, -0.0215, -0.0408, -0.0787, -0.0713, -0.0374, -0.0268, -0.0305, -0.0305, -0.0165]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2002718408652079206", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-21T12:30:51+00:00", "symbol": "CRCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I built up positions on the drop to $70. very happy hold + multi year long for me", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Holding long CRCL bought at $70, multi-year conviction; bullish on Circle after 70% drawdown from highs.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thanks, I was waiting forever to build long positions on $CRCL. \n\nWe had crypto sector liquidations, float unlock, interest rate cuts, and high beta stock selloff, finally causing a 70% drop from the highs. \n\nNow Circle is finally at a respectable price again, so I built up positions on the drop to $70.\n\nI did originally place buy orders during the IPO but then it just went to $250+. There’s been a lot more positive developments since so from an investor’s perspective, very happy hold + multi year long for me. CSPs is also a good strategy, but I’m a little more greedy trying to capture the upside.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit As always, an absolutely incredible write up. Spot on. I’m selling some CSP’s on $CRCL next week. Juicy premiums as well", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "pepemoonboy", "ret_m1d": -0.010000031569908363, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010000031569908363, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.003808710554574213, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0021294617922437142, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012129493362152077, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.049080421184671374, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.049080421184671374, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05365087600310425, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.051068826359376596, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001988405174705221, "ret_p1w": -0.07459767659505212, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07459767659505212, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07900744787033964, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07459767659505212, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0, "ret_p1m": -0.16436785116963004, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16436785116963004, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15378123648411934, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1260453753501216, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03832247581950843, "ret_p3m": 0.4750574923109734, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4750574923109734, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5116067426212588, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5894826274491245, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "bench_c_p3m": -0.11442513513815111, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.5124, 0.4329, 0.4597, 0.5363, 0.5239, 0.4831, 0.7209, 0.6756, 0.707, 0.7094, 0.7294, 0.7297, 0.528, 0.5801, 0.5455, 0.5457, 0.4766, 0.4539, 0.5036, 0.4925, 0.4344, 0.4926, 0.6328, 0.647, 0.5645, 0.5143, 0.4105, 0.4595, 0.3547, 0.2787, 0.2992, 0.1495, 0.1855, 0.1966, 0.1299, -0.008, -0.0536, -0.0587, -0.1197, -0.1195, -0.1986, -0.2307, -0.1801, -0.1639, -0.1941, -0.1651, -0.1651, -0.0813, -0.1271, -0.1099, -0.0082, 0.0053, -0.0159, -0.0349, 0.0216, 0.0162, 0.018, -0.0406, -0.1326, -0.046, -0.0897, -0.0691, -0.01, 0.0, -0.0491, -0.0501, -0.0501, -0.0659, -0.0746, -0.0817, -0.0885, -0.0885, -0.0406, -0.0253, -0.0247, -0.0737, -0.0599, -0.0471, -0.0471, -0.0407, -0.0253, -0.1195, -0.0964, -0.0964, -0.1644, -0.1651, -0.1799, -0.1801, -0.1851, -0.1959, -0.1628, -0.2236, -0.2652, -0.3234, -0.3545, -0.3672, -0.4226, -0.3444, -0.3092, -0.3132, -0.3349, -0.3491, -0.3099, -0.3099, -0.2917, -0.2741, -0.2883, -0.2756, -0.2969, -0.2946, -0.0444, 0.0024, -0.0409, 0.1051, 0.1452, 0.21, 0.2154, 0.1714, 0.2855, 0.3574, 0.2967, 0.3124, 0.3262, 0.4463, 0.5208, 0.5269, 0.4751, 0.4486, 0.4556, 0.1629, 0.1938, 0.1295, 0.0766, 0.0334, 0.0967, 0.043, 0.0375, 0.0375, 0.0592, 0.0818, 0.0855, -0.0218, 0.012, 0.1343, 0.2125, 0.2129, 0.2352, 0.2174, 0.2225, 0.1037, 0.1995, 0.1495, 0.1455, 0.097, 0.0845, 0.0984, 0.0446, 0.146, 0.3739, 0.3125, 0.4, 0.3017, 0.3066, 0.5145, 0.4213, 0.4548, 0.4239, 0.3103, 0.2803, 0.2762, 0.283, 0.3205, 0.3002, 0.3002, 0.1974, 0.1798, 0.2441, 0.2989, 0.2989, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2004957163857608734", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-27T16:46:52+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "that small $700M MC company $AXTI is probably the only one of the bunch that does this end-to-end by owning Gallium, Indium, etc. on from the initial raw material refining", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "AXTI singled out as the only end-to-end InP substrate supplier, a key bottleneck for AVGO's laser fab.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Grok is likely conflating wafer fab with InP substrate manufacturing. $AVGO's penn fab still requires InP substrates from Sumitomo, $AXTI, or JX to build the lasers (hence the bottleneck) and they're likely customers. \n\nAnd that small $700M MC company $AXTI is probably the only one of the bunch that does this end-to-end by owning Gallium, Indium, etc. on from the initial raw material refining. \n\nSo the \"does not primarily import InP wafers/substrates” part is probably wrong.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Glad I own AVGO ….. https://t.co/S2Sf2vhaA5", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "trusited", "ret_m1d": 0.053461255984486034, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.053461255984486034, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04988488291347637, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.048930919268866724, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003576373071009664, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00453033671561931, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0829335178541688, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0829335178541688, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08415461858875106, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08540460299076469, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012211007345822589, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0024710851365958852, "ret_p1w": 0.14256339286858166, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.14256339286858166, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14275237698110377, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10582633129221697, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0001889841125221059, "bench_c_p1w": 0.036737061576364693, "ret_p1m": 0.17888969040816738, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.17888969040816738, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1677826029700944, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.060716082998414356, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011107087438072982, "bench_c_p1m": 0.11817360740975302, "ret_p3m": 3.010280857410069, "ret_signed_p3m": 3.010280857410069, "alpha_spy_p3m": 3.069884257700485, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.9646203723246023, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.05960340029041622, "bench_c_p3m": 0.045660485085466496, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6635, -0.6779, -0.6484, -0.6299, -0.6361, -0.6361, -0.6415, -0.7238, -0.6847, -0.6868, -0.6854, -0.6621, -0.6909, -0.6635, -0.6456, -0.6614, -0.645, -0.5846, -0.5757, -0.5476, -0.5154, -0.4983, -0.4551, -0.4202, -0.4147, -0.3763, -0.392, -0.3516, -0.2844, -0.2762, -0.2474, -0.2844, -0.2844, -0.2975, -0.3215, -0.3071, -0.3523, -0.3879, -0.3598, -0.3674, -0.2838, -0.2838, -0.2666, -0.2605, -0.194, -0.2132, -0.1707, -0.2063, -0.1289, 0.0254, 0.0631, 0.1227, 0.0151, 0.0164, -0.109, -0.1528, -0.0398, 0.0041, 0.0432, 0.0034, 0.0288, 0.0288, 0.0535, 0.0, 0.0829, 0.1206, 0.1206, 0.1487, 0.1426, 0.3825, 0.6525, 0.7704, 0.5757, 0.5243, 0.4743, 0.5147, 0.7629, 0.5141, 0.5141, 0.4674, 0.3557, 0.2282, 0.1926, 0.22, 0.1789, 0.1535, 0.1227, 0.2707, 0.4352, 0.353, 0.2851, 0.4003, 0.6491, 0.9034, 0.669, 0.8369, 0.6991, 0.6614, 0.6614, 0.5908, 0.6134, 0.6319, 1.0343, 0.9486, 1.4044, 1.8081, 1.5442, 1.5977, 2.1748, 1.8622, 1.682, 1.6594, 1.2186, 1.6429, 2.0363, 2.2461, 2.2029, 2.3489, 2.3167, 2.0404, 2.342, 2.9815, 2.7176, 3.4167, 3.6909, 3.6162, 3.0103, 3.1556, 2.6141, 2.9054, 2.231, 2.6217, 2.6217, 1.878, 2.1158, 2.645, 3.3263, 3.3989, 3.5545, 3.6127, 3.3132, 4.6052, 4.6587, 4.3982, 4.1385, 4.9589, 4.159, 4.22, 3.8081, 3.7094, 3.8711, 4.4297, 5.5798, 6.2653, 6.3715, 6.1851, 6.4311, 6.9753, 7.623, 7.4236, 7.3578, 6.8807, 7.4839, 6.257, 6.7368, 6.17, 7.2947, 8.6525, 8.6525, 8.0884, 7.4147, 6.9301, 6.0706, 6.0706, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1994407117164622234", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-28T14:04:45+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Strong faith it will recover with newfound plot armor in the upcoming month or two. I'm around cost average now after being up a ton but as long as you didn't get margined out of your position, long term it should heavy outperform.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS; expects recovery in 1-2 months with long-term heavy outperformance.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NBIS is just in its training arc after being betrayed by its closest friend Macrosuke.\n\nStrong faith it will recover with newfound plot armor in the upcoming month or two. \n\nI’m around cost average now after being up a ton but as long as you didn’t get margined out of your position, long term it should heavy outperform.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @Neat_Lama Its a heavy bag but i will follow you religiously (bought nbis at 130, lowered it to average 103 the past fwq weeks)", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ngmax856734", "ret_m1d": -0.0018973363546388455, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0018973363546388455, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0035314375301922496, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006162346743929237, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005428773884831095, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008059683098568082, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05565509251012535, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05565509251012535, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06022059793355494, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.060334936408414586, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004565505423429594, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004679843898289238, "ret_p1w": 0.03341412540498245, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03341412540498245, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03004853709484645, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01833484281912301, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003365588310136003, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015079282585859444, "ret_p1m": -0.09307475045237956, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09307475045237956, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10257519457171227, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11804786998054484, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.009500444119332707, "bench_c_p1m": 0.024973119528165277, "ret_p3m": 0.11858332111627679, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11858332111627679, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10130438893562088, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10569526778414295, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017278932180655904, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01288805333213383, "ret_p6m": 1.2638347006920334, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.2638347006920334, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.166532012685483, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.2567853560112525, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0973026880065504, "bench_c_p6m": 0.007049344680780889, "price_path": [-0.3073, -0.308, -0.3158, -0.3099, -0.3248, 0.009, -0.0156, -0.0599, -0.047, -0.0412, -0.0573, -0.0083, -0.0079, 0.0468, 0.1236, 0.1363, 0.1935, 0.1378, 0.1352, 0.1618, 0.1834, 0.2186, 0.3268, 0.349, 0.317, 0.2406, 0.286, 0.3981, 0.3659, 0.4278, 0.3508, 0.3263, 0.2969, 0.1957, 0.1489, 0.0992, 0.0395, 0.119, 0.236, 0.3221, 0.2842, 0.3186, 0.3089, 0.3789, 0.2698, 0.1652, 0.2333, 0.1536, 0.173, 0.159, 0.0775, -0.0054, -0.0658, -0.1194, -0.0937, -0.0456, 0.0021, -0.1078, -0.1224, -0.0313, -0.0631, -0.0019, -0.0019, 0.0, 0.0557, 0.0167, 0.0427, 0.0836, 0.0334, 0.0576, 0.0162, -0.0135, -0.0062, -0.0757, -0.1447, -0.1467, -0.2047, -0.1769, -0.057, -0.0173, -0.051, -0.0394, -0.0394, -0.0767, -0.0931, -0.1022, -0.1177, -0.1177, -0.0519, -0.0215, 0.0566, 0.0141, 0.0256, 0.0323, 0.1313, 0.1113, 0.0749, 0.095, 0.1461, 0.1461, 0.0466, 0.0422, 0.0209, -0.0039, -0.0359, 0.0316, 0.0586, 0.0004, -0.102, -0.0707, -0.0519, -0.1315, -0.2214, -0.0924, -0.021, -0.0325, -0.066, -0.0542, 0.0331, 0.0331, 0.0279, 0.073, 0.1343, 0.0321, 0.0605, 0.0813, 0.1186, 0.1055, -0.0388, -0.0407, -0.0851, 0.0307, 0.0082, -0.0584, 0.0007, 0.0164, 0.1805, 0.1388, 0.1906, 0.3687, 0.2262, 0.2497, 0.2809, 0.2398, 0.2032, 0.2112, 0.2131, 0.117, 0.0627, -0.0275, 0.0937, 0.0746, 0.147, 0.147, 0.1863, 0.2375, 0.3176, 0.437, 0.5281, 0.6292, 0.707, 0.7579, 0.7428, 0.6564, 0.6777, 0.6502, 0.6458, 0.6557, 0.5512, 0.528, 0.4284, 0.4882, 0.457, 0.6284, 0.8596, 0.8543, 1.0564, 0.9476, 0.8662, 0.9616, 0.888, 1.1848, 1.3311, 1.3183, 1.1067, 1.0842, 1.0219, 1.3182, 1.2638, 1.2638]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1981351114655346809", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-23T13:24:52+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm bullish on $NBIS over every other possible Neocloud because of opex costs + margins + fullstack + client base... current $23B marketcap is a firesale that does not price in growth when it should be valued at $39B today. Then there's the upside on 1 more hyperscaler deal though for 4x return in 1 year at a $100B MC", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Strong long NBIS: current $23B market cap is a firesale vs $39B no-growth fair value, with path to $100B+ on one more hyperscaler deal; 4x return in 1 year targeted.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Why I think $NBIS can easily hit ~$400/share or $100B+ market cap in 1 year:\n\nRight now, Nebius trades at a $24B valuation (316%+ increase to $100B).\n\nIf we pretend that there's 0 growth in 2026-2027:\n\nCore Business: $31B–$36.5B\nSum of Parts: $7.1B (40% slashed)\nMidpoint Valuation = $39B valuation (+62.5%)\n\nThis is before factoring in any growth, which could scale it up to $100B.\n\nToday, investors are effectively paying $13B for the core business today, which is on track to grow 1,000% YoY-from $100M in quarterly revenue to $1.3B , with 60-70% gross margins.\n\nMarkets are usually forward looking, but for Nebius, it only looks at the ground.  These are just informal thoughts and a small writeup.\n\nBusiness Valuation:\n__________________\n\nCurrent cash equivalents (post $4.2B) ~ $5.88B\n\nPortfolio Companies: ~$2.68B\n\nClickhouse (28%, $6.35B valuation), Avride (17%, ~$3.1B valuation), Toloka (51%, ~720M valuation) - speculative estimates on Avride/Toloka. Also did not consider Clickhouse updated valuation, which likely grew).\n\nPhysical Assets: ~$2B midpoint\n\nGPUs (~750m-1B), Servers, networking ($400-600m), Land/buildings ($300m-$500m), power/cooling ($200-$300m). Total phyiscal assets sitting between $1.65B-$2.4B\n\nConservative Sum of parts: ~$10.58B (As of today, not considering portfolio companies going up). Nebius has eliminated most debt from the note conversion.  \n\nTypically companies with portfolios never trade 1:1 with NAV, so I just slashed 40% off 10.58B or so when doing calculations which is conservative considering it's mostly cash. \n\n_\n\nBASE CASE WITH NO GROWTH\n\nNow going into the core business:\n\nFY 2026-2027 EST: $1.1B projected FY 2025, + $3.8B from $MSFT (contract / 5) (obviously maybe revenue lag, which is why it's on avg 2026-2027 anyway). \n\nIf Nebius stopped growing completely off their 2025 projections, they would do $4.98B minimum ARR in 2026/2027.\n\nGross margins are sitting at ~71.2% (from last quarter), but likely between 60-70% + management aiming 30% EBITDA.\n\nThese calculations from the core business are if growth stopped completely:\n\nEV/Revenue 6–8×: $31.2B | 41.6B\nEV/EBITDA 15–25×: $23.4B | $39B\n\nForward-looking EV on the base/bear case = $31–42B (revenue) or $23–39B (EBITDA)\n\n(Core Business) + Sum of Parts = $33.58B midpoint no growth case + ~$10.58 * .6 = ~$39B.\n\nAnd now we'll consider that next if Nebius grows.\n__________________\n\nCASE WITH GROWTH:\n\nNow here's how we get to $100B just based on core business.\n\n$NBIS has ~$5B ARR confirmed.\n\nOnly thing Nebius needs is ARR growth to $8–12B: \n\n1 more hyperscaler deal + SMB expansion.\n\nAll it takes is a GCP or Meta deal and we hit that target. (This is just high-level, not going into GPU depreciation arguments, increasing power, execution risk, etc). And I'm bullish on the chances of another hyperscaler deal happening in 1 year time when more Mag7 signed deals recently (eg Meta $14B with CRWV).\n\nAlso everything else would need to stay the same gross margin: ≥60–70% and EBITDA target: ~30%. On the bright side, with the whitepaper, we've also likely seen expanding margins with Nebius.\n\nNBIS is claiming near-100% realized GPU utilization through their whitepaper yesterday, which would justify higher margins and higher revenue per GPU compared to $CRWV or any miner pivot (+ NBIS has no no-toxic interest debt, and a more diversified client base).\n\nTheir software orchestration is a moat in and of itself and not all neoclouds or bitcoin miner pivots can sustain the same high-gross margins. \n\nHappy to argue why full stack, margins, customer diversification with SMBs are important (if you want to compare $IREN GW capacity, or others) -> just look at $ORCL losing $100m+ on buildout. \n\nRegardless, I'm bullish on $NBIS over every other possible Neocloud because of opex costs + margins + fullstack + client base. (Feel free to let me know if I missed anything or calculated wrong, also open to debate)\n\nBut that aside, current $23B marketcap is a firesale that does not price in growth when it should be valued at $39B today. Then there's the upside on 1 more hyperscaler deal though for 4x return in 1 year at a $100B MC .", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The NeoCloud Thesis: Hyperscaler Capex Funnel\n\nWhy I'm putting $1.5M+ into Neoclouds, and why this might be a 200-300%+ return.\n\n🔹 Buckets\n\nMag7 contracts: $CRWV, $NBIS ✅, $WULF, $CIFR ✅\n\nWith compute: $IREN ✅, $BITF\n\nSpeculative: $WYFI, $GRRR ✅, $SLNH\n\nMiners pivoting to", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.07102487429753657, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07102487429753657, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06512993942938017, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07440881923073017, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0058949348681563984, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033839449331936056, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10455913801068295, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10455913801068295, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09638656690605218, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10195610344668782, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008172571104630766, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0026030345639951324, "ret_p1w": 0.16974374549214621, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16974374549214621, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15773046162608217, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.17781315264053088, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01201328386606404, "bench_c_p1w": -0.008069407148384666, "ret_p1m": -0.2157121395621464, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2157121395621464, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19676196118720868, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.18664489805590412, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01895017837493773, "bench_c_p1m": -0.029067241506242292, "ret_p3m": -0.06471366342872564, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06471366342872564, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07635797132099198, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05245634876501981, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.011644307892266337, "bench_c_p3m": -0.012257314663705832, "ret_p6m": 0.4802184812445973, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4802184812445973, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4170656573905107, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.44015893191536004, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0631528238540866, "bench_c_p6m": 0.040059549329237276, "price_path": [-0.5031, -0.5252, -0.5169, -0.4873, -0.5102, -0.4897, -0.4803, -0.4811, -0.3848, -0.3521, -0.3384, -0.2904, -0.3347, -0.3551, -0.3254, -0.3167, -0.3671, -0.3644, -0.3766, -0.3502, -0.3404, -0.3361, -0.3397, -0.3214, -0.3564, -0.3564, -0.3809, -0.3816, -0.3886, -0.3833, -0.3966, -0.0983, -0.1203, -0.1599, -0.1484, -0.1432, -0.1576, -0.1138, -0.1134, -0.0645, 0.0041, 0.0154, 0.0666, 0.0168, 0.0145, 0.0382, 0.0576, 0.089, 0.1857, 0.2055, 0.1769, 0.1087, 0.1492, 0.2494, 0.2206, 0.276, 0.2071, 0.1853, 0.159, 0.0686, 0.0268, -0.0177, -0.071, 0.0, 0.1046, 0.1815, 0.1476, 0.1784, 0.1697, 0.2323, 0.1348, 0.0413, 0.1021, 0.0309, 0.0482, 0.0357, -0.0371, -0.1112, -0.1651, -0.2131, -0.1901, -0.1471, -0.1045, -0.2027, -0.2157, -0.1343, -0.1628, -0.108, -0.108, -0.1063, -0.0566, -0.0915, -0.0682, -0.0317, -0.0765, -0.0549, -0.0918, -0.1184, -0.1119, -0.174, -0.2357, -0.2375, -0.2893, -0.2644, -0.1573, -0.1218, -0.1519, -0.1416, -0.1416, -0.1749, -0.1895, -0.1977, -0.2115, -0.2115, -0.1527, -0.1256, -0.0558, -0.0937, -0.0835, -0.0775, 0.011, -0.0069, -0.0394, -0.0214, 0.0242, 0.0242, -0.0647, -0.0687, -0.0877, -0.1098, -0.1385, -0.0781, -0.054, -0.106, -0.1975, -0.1696, -0.1527, -0.2239, -0.3042, -0.189, -0.1251, -0.1354, -0.1653, -0.1548, -0.0768, -0.0768, -0.0814, -0.0411, 0.0137, -0.0776, -0.0523, -0.0337, -0.0004, -0.0121, -0.141, -0.1427, -0.1824, -0.0789, -0.099, -0.1585, -0.1057, -0.0917, 0.055, 0.0177, 0.064, 0.2232, 0.0958, 0.1168, 0.1447, 0.108, 0.0753, 0.0824, 0.0841, -0.0018, -0.0503, -0.1309, -0.0226, -0.0397, 0.0251, 0.0251, 0.0601, 0.1059, 0.1775, 0.2842, 0.3656, 0.4559, 0.5254, 0.5709, 0.5575, 0.4802]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2009676399905517886", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-09T17:19:26+00:00", "symbol": "VLN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "68-69% margins for robotics vertical, and growing 20-30% with $80m+ revenue from my CES projections is an insane find", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish VLN: lightweight fabless semi in AI/robotics with 68-69% margins, 20-30% growth, $80M+ revenue; sees $700M market cap as fair value vs current ~$7-8.", "resolved_tickers": ["VLN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It’s hilarious $VLN could be valued at $700m today $7-8, and that would be considered normal.\n\nBut everyone thought they blew $82m capex on inventory, which turned out to be a ticker collision. \n\nLightweight fabless semi in AI, huge cash pile, 68-69% margins for robotics vertical, and growing 20-30% with $80m+ revenue from my CES projections is an insane find", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$VLN detailed report\n\ni think we got 10X winner 🥺", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Gubloinvestor", "ret_m1d": -0.37096776984608737, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.37096776984608737, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.36439787640680144, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.3446587667058081, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006569893439285934, "bench_c_m1d": -0.026309003140279286, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06854841733326134, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06854841733326134, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07011887114503312, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07224813070073988, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0015704538117717881, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003699713367478541, "ret_p1w": -0.19758064748717397, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.19758064748717397, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.19410836617330818, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2262791043822514, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.003472281313865788, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02869845689507744, "ret_p1m": -0.3870967865982611, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3870967865982611, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.38692395731858265, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.4318786390753073, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00017282927967843253, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04478185247704625, "ret_p3m": -0.471774220683696, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.471774220683696, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.44841378636724327, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5583576750317217, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.02336043431645274, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08658345434802572, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2661, -0.2581, -0.2863, -0.3105, -0.2742, -0.2863, -0.3024, -0.2903, -0.2823, -0.2944, -0.2903, -0.3105, -0.3145, -0.2621, -0.3065, -0.3589, -0.3306, -0.371, -0.3629, -0.3548, -0.2742, -0.3145, -0.3065, -0.2984, -0.371, -0.3871, -0.4153, -0.4274, -0.3952, -0.3831, -0.379, -0.3669, -0.3669, -0.3548, -0.3669, -0.3629, -0.3266, -0.3226, -0.3226, -0.3145, -0.3145, -0.3226, -0.3427, -0.3589, -0.379, -0.3831, -0.4032, -0.4032, -0.3992, -0.4113, -0.4355, -0.4435, -0.4435, -0.4194, -0.4315, -0.4435, -0.4274, -0.4274, -0.371, -0.3669, -0.3589, -0.375, -0.371, 0.0, -0.0685, -0.0565, -0.1573, -0.1573, -0.1976, -0.1976, -0.2177, -0.2097, -0.1532, -0.2097, -0.2581, -0.2581, -0.2863, -0.2903, -0.3145, -0.3266, -0.3548, -0.379, -0.4234, -0.379, -0.3871, -0.375, -0.379, -0.3952, -0.3871, -0.3871, -0.4113, -0.3992, -0.3992, -0.3911, -0.4032, -0.3831, -0.379, -0.3548, -0.4032, -0.4032, -0.4194, -0.4194, -0.4355, -0.4556, -0.4556, -0.4435, -0.4234, -0.4556, -0.4637, -0.4637, -0.4597, -0.496, -0.4839, -0.5081, -0.4919, -0.496, -0.4919, -0.5081, -0.5242, -0.5524, -0.5444, -0.5282, -0.5202, -0.5202, -0.5202, -0.5242, -0.4718, -0.4597, -0.4637, -0.4556, -0.4435, -0.4073, -0.375, -0.3871, -0.4073, -0.3952, -0.3508, -0.3347, -0.2782, -0.3508, -0.3911, -0.3911, -0.125, -0.0565, -0.0927, -0.0242, 0.0081, -0.0282, 0.125, 0.1492, 0.0887, 0.1895, 0.3589, 0.2298, 0.1371, 0.0726, 0.1694, 0.2339, 0.2984, 0.2984, 0.3145, 0.2702, 0.4113, 0.4234, 0.4234, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2010698748477731165", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-12T13:01:53+00:00", "symbol": "VLN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We'll likely see this come in fruition in the upcoming weeks", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish VLN; expects the thesis to materialize in coming weeks.", "resolved_tickers": ["VLN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@yianisz Great write up on $VLN. Most institutions modeled this wrong but valuebase got it right. \n\nWe’ll likely see this come in fruition in the upcoming weeks", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I went down a rabbit hole on $VLN that most skip.\n\nAt first glance, institutional ownership looked thin. Instead of assuming “smart money isn’t here”\n\nI checked who actually owns the stock. One name came up: Value Base Ltd, holding ~20% of the company via a disclosed activist https://t.co/TV5AxWPzpC", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "yianisz", "ret_m1d": 0.07359310844371292, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07359310844371292, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07516109979748642, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07727918438675141, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0015679913537735013, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0036860759430384915, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012987000923330161, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012987000923330161, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014986476029200446, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01076001298232776, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019994751058702853, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0022269879410024007, "ret_p1w": -0.1385281130603636, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1385281130603636, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1334932848998024, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.16343470932083937, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.005034828160561222, "bench_c_p1w": 0.024906596260475755, "ret_p1m": -0.32900433302555665, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.32900433302555665, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3246312130634772, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.36509711439897574, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0043731199620794525, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03609278137341909, "ret_p3m": -0.419913391094622, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.419913391094622, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4006470825098737, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5214082805760099, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.019266308584748315, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10149488948138785, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2035, -0.2338, -0.2597, -0.2208, -0.2338, -0.2511, -0.2381, -0.2294, -0.2424, -0.2381, -0.2597, -0.2641, -0.2078, -0.2554, -0.3117, -0.2814, -0.3247, -0.316, -0.3074, -0.2208, -0.2641, -0.2554, -0.2468, -0.3247, -0.342, -0.3723, -0.3853, -0.3506, -0.3377, -0.3333, -0.3203, -0.3203, -0.3074, -0.3203, -0.316, -0.2771, -0.2727, -0.2727, -0.2641, -0.2641, -0.2727, -0.2944, -0.3117, -0.3333, -0.3377, -0.3593, -0.3593, -0.355, -0.368, -0.3939, -0.4026, -0.4026, -0.3766, -0.3896, -0.4026, -0.3853, -0.3853, -0.3247, -0.3203, -0.3117, -0.329, -0.3247, 0.0736, 0.0, 0.013, -0.0952, -0.0952, -0.1385, -0.1385, -0.1602, -0.1515, -0.0909, -0.1515, -0.2035, -0.2035, -0.2338, -0.2381, -0.2641, -0.2771, -0.3074, -0.3333, -0.381, -0.3333, -0.342, -0.329, -0.3333, -0.3506, -0.342, -0.342, -0.368, -0.355, -0.355, -0.3463, -0.3593, -0.3377, -0.3333, -0.3074, -0.3593, -0.3593, -0.3766, -0.3766, -0.3939, -0.4156, -0.4156, -0.4026, -0.381, -0.4156, -0.4242, -0.4242, -0.4199, -0.4589, -0.4459, -0.4719, -0.4545, -0.4589, -0.4545, -0.4719, -0.4892, -0.5195, -0.5108, -0.4935, -0.4848, -0.4848, -0.4848, -0.4892, -0.4329, -0.4199, -0.4242, -0.4156, -0.4026, -0.3636, -0.329, -0.342, -0.3636, -0.3506, -0.303, -0.2857, -0.2251, -0.303, -0.3463, -0.3463, -0.0606, 0.013, -0.026, 0.0476, 0.0823, 0.0433, 0.2078, 0.2338, 0.1688, 0.2771, 0.4589, 0.3203, 0.2208, 0.1515, 0.2554, 0.3247, 0.3939, 0.3939, 0.4113, 0.3636, 0.5152, 0.5281, 0.5281, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2011326360762138675", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-14T06:35:47+00:00", "symbol": "MSTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Yeah I'm long $MSTR. It's great since mnav went closer to 1 again. And it got derisked since Bitcoin treasury companies weren't delisted from MSCI recently.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long MSTR as recovery play near mNAV 1 with MSCI delisting risk cleared; Bitcoin directly preferred as safer alternative.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yeah I’m long $MSTR. It’s great since mnav went closer to 1 again. And it got derisked since Bitcoin treasury companies weren’t delisted from MSCI recently.\n\nI’ve been in it since $156, it’s still down 60-70%+ from highs and a good recovery play imo. But of course Bitcoin directly is a lot safer since risks are always there from treasury companies going way under mnav like Grayscale back in the day.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $MSTR", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Infinite_925", "ret_m1d": -0.035353796203400956, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.035353796203400956, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0402933124396736, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0402933124396736, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004939516236272645, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004939516236272645, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04695253489640694, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04695253489640694, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04967574929293639, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04967574929293639, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027232143965294497, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0027232143965294497, "ret_p1w": -0.08654438250149687, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08654438250149687, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07935975250156424, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07935975250156424, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007184629999932635, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007184629999932635, "ret_p1m": -0.314113652238306, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.314113652238306, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3009466916604647, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3009466916604647, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01316696057784128, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01316696057784128, "ret_p3m": -0.26191937066366155, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.26191937066366155, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2584628263143979, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2584628263143979, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0034565443492636794, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0034565443492636794, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.6164, 0.654, 0.6835, 0.5659, 0.5888, 0.612, 0.6485, 0.5872, 0.5355, 0.4196, 0.5029, 0.4759, 0.3773, 0.422, 0.3227, 0.3491, 0.3321, 0.2901, 0.2525, 0.1629, 0.1139, 0.0897, 0.1532, 0.04, -0.0123, -0.0492, -0.0016, -0.0398, -0.0206, -0.0206, -0.012, -0.0441, 0.0112, 0.0505, 0.0372, -0.0019, 0.0243, 0.0539, 0.0296, 0.0221, -0.0161, -0.0962, -0.066, -0.1057, -0.1176, -0.0809, -0.0837, -0.1196, -0.115, -0.115, -0.1144, -0.1335, -0.1323, -0.1527, -0.1527, -0.1236, -0.0815, -0.1191, -0.0976, -0.0689, -0.1227, -0.0954, -0.0354, 0.0, -0.047, -0.0313, -0.0313, -0.1065, -0.0865, -0.1023, -0.0904, -0.1046, -0.099, -0.1164, -0.2015, -0.1652, -0.2214, -0.2569, -0.2802, -0.4034, -0.2476, -0.228, -0.2584, -0.297, -0.3141, -0.2534, -0.2534, -0.2825, -0.3018, -0.2781, -0.2692, -0.3102, -0.3051, -0.2436, -0.2561, -0.2779, -0.2324, -0.2601, -0.1834, -0.2204, -0.2554, -0.2252, -0.2279, -0.2286, -0.2341, -0.2212, -0.1774, -0.162, -0.2162, -0.2291, -0.2435, -0.2294, -0.2402, -0.2242, -0.2587, -0.2972, -0.3228, -0.3041, -0.3153, -0.3318, -0.3318, -0.288, -0.3101, -0.2846, -0.2814, -0.2827, -0.2619, -0.2338, -0.1996, -0.1695, -0.0714, -0.0475, -0.0857, 0.0002, -0.0383, -0.0463, -0.0565, -0.0759, -0.1179, -0.0774, -0.012, 0.0249, 0.0422, 0.0418, 0.0028, 0.0461, 0.0926, 0.0284, -0.0072, 0.0426, -0.0107, -0.0708, -0.082, -0.0754, -0.0807, -0.1084, -0.1084, -0.1082, -0.1401, -0.1544, -0.1129, -0.1129, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2011326360762138675", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-14T06:35:47+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin directly is a lot safer since risks are always there from treasury companies", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long MSTR as recovery play near mNAV 1 with MSCI delisting risk cleared; Bitcoin directly preferred as safer alternative.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yeah I’m long $MSTR. It’s great since mnav went closer to 1 again. And it got derisked since Bitcoin treasury companies weren’t delisted from MSCI recently.\n\nI’ve been in it since $156, it’s still down 60-70%+ from highs and a good recovery play imo. But of course Bitcoin directly is a lot safer since risks are always there from treasury companies going way under mnav like Grayscale back in the day.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $MSTR", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Infinite_925", "ret_m1d": -0.016584731433678224, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.016584731433678224, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02152424766995087, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004939516236272645, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.01421799419905967, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01421799419905967, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01694120859558912, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027232143965294497, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.07791622343405158, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07791622343405158, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07073159343411894, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007184629999932635, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.316802818806292, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.316802818806292, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.30363585822845074, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01316696057784128, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.23155723798121597, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.23155723798121597, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2281006936319523, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0034565443492636794, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0984, 0.1409, 0.1191, 0.111, 0.1356, 0.1455, 0.1773, 0.1653, 0.1354, 0.1174, 0.1303, 0.0992, 0.0481, 0.0718, 0.0451, 0.0665, 0.0935, 0.0626, 0.0488, 0.0286, -0.0261, -0.0499, -0.0411, -0.0564, -0.1062, -0.1221, -0.0893, -0.0989, -0.0661, -0.0582, -0.062, -0.1094, -0.0576, -0.0351, -0.0494, -0.0778, -0.0649, -0.0437, -0.0506, -0.0456, -0.0687, -0.1084, -0.0937, -0.1113, -0.1183, -0.0911, -0.0871, -0.0982, -0.0961, -0.1, -0.0993, -0.101, -0.0877, -0.0972, -0.0846, -0.0721, -0.0314, -0.033, -0.058, -0.0609, -0.0662, -0.0592, -0.0166, 0.0, -0.0142, -0.0145, -0.0451, -0.0889, -0.0779, -0.077, -0.0766, -0.0894, -0.0807, -0.0799, -0.1276, -0.1321, -0.1882, -0.2197, -0.2467, -0.3531, -0.2721, -0.2766, -0.2903, -0.3089, -0.3168, -0.2896, -0.2898, -0.3037, -0.3147, -0.3092, -0.2984, -0.3334, -0.3389, -0.2989, -0.3041, -0.3203, -0.2905, -0.2954, -0.2499, -0.2691, -0.297, -0.2943, -0.2786, -0.2757, -0.2727, -0.2678, -0.2277, -0.2374, -0.265, -0.2787, -0.2724, -0.2684, -0.2725, -0.2643, -0.2903, -0.3156, -0.312, -0.2961, -0.2976, -0.3099, -0.3095, -0.2896, -0.2578, -0.2662, -0.2596, -0.2471, -0.2316, -0.2347, -0.2283, -0.2247, -0.2043, -0.2172, -0.2123, -0.1932, -0.1925, -0.2009, -0.2018, -0.2123, -0.2182, -0.2128, -0.1934, -0.1764, -0.1651, -0.1599, -0.1746, -0.1727, -0.1568, -0.1697, -0.1821, -0.1638, -0.1843, -0.2061, -0.2082, -0.2009, -0.2, -0.2212, -0.2027, -0.2177, -0.233, -0.2413, -0.243, -0.2401, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2010886426200879241", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-13T01:27:39+00:00", "symbol": "005930.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I've liked Samsung Electronics bc it captures a lot of overflow from $TSM and serves as a competitive alternative", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefers Samsung Electronics over MU for TSM overflow/foundry exposure; implies MU is the weaker play.", "resolved_tickers": ["005930.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@drakeondigital I’ve liked Samsung Electronics bc it captures a lot of overflow from $TSM and serves as a competitive alternative.\n\nYou don’t quite get the same exposure there with $MU", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Or just micron", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "drakeondigital", "ret_m1d": 0.008720888554096806, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.008720888554096806, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006717407537809361, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006604551445406948, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002003481016287445, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0021163371086898586, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.019622084588329036, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.019622084588329036, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02453732192994762, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.031773891803170584, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0049152373416185835, "bench_c_p1d": -0.012151807214841548, "ret_p1w": 0.055232521753576735, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.055232521753576735, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07856882797715048, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08690915804272448, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023336306223573744, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03167663628914774, "ret_p1m": 0.21947677627184592, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21947677627184592, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.22208568594450162, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.24343901909063048, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026089096726557015, "bench_c_p1m": -0.023962242818784563, "ret_p3m": 0.5001917341529163, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5001917341529163, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5181434921720011, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5253328719665026, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.017951758019084774, "bench_c_p3m": -0.02514113781358629, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2934, -0.292, -0.2905, -0.2949, -0.2869, -0.3021, -0.2855, -0.2623, -0.2804, -0.2732, -0.2471, -0.2225, -0.1965, -0.2413, -0.2724, -0.2826, -0.292, -0.2724, -0.2515, -0.2544, -0.2565, -0.297, -0.2724, -0.2927, -0.3021, -0.2724, -0.3144, -0.3006, -0.2818, -0.2565, -0.2515, -0.2732, -0.271, -0.2522, -0.2442, -0.2399, -0.216, -0.2081, -0.216, -0.2189, -0.224, -0.2124, -0.2421, -0.2565, -0.2196, -0.2218, -0.2312, -0.2008, -0.1936, -0.1965, -0.1965, -0.1538, -0.1315, -0.1286, -0.1286, -0.1286, -0.0661, 0.0036, 0.0094, 0.0247, 0.0087, 0.0102, 0.0087, 0.0, 0.0196, 0.0458, 0.0821, 0.085, 0.0552, 0.0865, 0.1068, 0.1054, 0.1054, 0.1592, 0.1802, 0.1679, 0.1664, 0.093, 0.2173, 0.2289, 0.1577, 0.1526, 0.2093, 0.2049, 0.2195, 0.298, 0.3169, 0.3169, 0.3169, 0.3169, 0.3808, 0.3815, 0.4026, 0.4535, 0.4789, 0.5843, 0.5734, 0.5734, 0.4179, 0.2515, 0.3924, 0.3677, 0.2609, 0.3656, 0.3808, 0.3656, 0.3336, 0.3714, 0.4092, 0.5153, 0.4571, 0.4491, 0.3539, 0.3786, 0.3735, 0.3089, 0.3089, 0.2839, 0.2176, 0.3811, 0.2992, 0.356, 0.4062, 0.431, 0.533, 0.4856, 0.5002, 0.4638, 0.5038, 0.5366, 0.5839, 0.573, 0.5621, 0.5949, 0.5839, 0.6349, 0.5985, 0.6349, 0.6167, 0.6458, 0.6058, 0.6058, 0.6932, 0.6932, 0.9371, 0.9772, 0.9553, 1.0791, 1.0318, 1.0682, 1.1556, 0.9699, 1.0464, 1.0063, 1.01, 1.1811, 1.1301, 1.1301, 1.1775, 1.2357, 1.1811, 1.3085, 1.5234, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2010886426200879241", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-13T01:27:39+00:00", "symbol": "MU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "You don't quite get the same exposure there with $MU", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefers Samsung Electronics over MU for TSM overflow/foundry exposure; implies MU is the weaker play.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@drakeondigital I’ve liked Samsung Electronics bc it captures a lot of overflow from $TSM and serves as a competitive alternative.\n\nYou don’t quite get the same exposure there with $MU", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Or just micron", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "drakeondigital", "ret_m1d": 0.022890621028567315, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.022890621028567315, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02088714001227987, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.025112660514430396, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002003481016287445, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002222039485863081, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.014136550782735902, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014136550782735902, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.009221313441117318, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0060145864742646715, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0049152373416185835, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00812196430847123, "ret_p1w": 0.07946653019347472, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07946653019347472, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10280283641704846, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08237814395082044, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023336306223573744, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0029116137573457213, "ret_p1m": 0.21355694904042744, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.21355694904042744, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.21616585871308314, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.15417452605243587, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026089096726557015, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05938242298799157, "ret_p3m": 0.2443932569650491, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2443932569650491, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2623450149841339, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12856559051571748, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.017951758019084774, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11582766644933162, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4013, -0.4017, -0.3887, -0.402, -0.4133, -0.3889, -0.3525, -0.3493, -0.344, -0.33, -0.3378, -0.3385, -0.3062, -0.3554, -0.2979, -0.2954, -0.2966, -0.2512, -0.2872, -0.276, -0.2995, -0.2703, -0.2847, -0.3245, -0.3321, -0.4047, -0.387, -0.338, -0.3362, -0.3193, -0.3193, -0.3009, -0.2891, -0.292, -0.3078, -0.33, -0.2987, -0.27, -0.2538, -0.2204, -0.2359, -0.2871, -0.2979, -0.3126, -0.3333, -0.2652, -0.2139, -0.1823, -0.1833, -0.1525, -0.1525, -0.1581, -0.1294, -0.1346, -0.1559, -0.1559, -0.0672, -0.0768, 0.0157, 0.0042, -0.0329, 0.0206, 0.0229, 0.0, -0.0141, -0.0044, 0.0728, 0.0728, 0.0795, 0.1508, 0.1758, 0.1819, 0.1507, 0.2133, 0.2873, 0.2888, 0.227, 0.2948, 0.2405, 0.1221, 0.1324, 0.1673, 0.1342, 0.1039, 0.2136, 0.2243, 0.2175, 0.2175, 0.1823, 0.2449, 0.2343, 0.2663, 0.245, 0.2362, 0.2687, 0.229, 0.2196, 0.2204, 0.1229, 0.1853, 0.1743, 0.0951, 0.1514, 0.1922, 0.2383, 0.1988, 0.2603, 0.3066, 0.3654, 0.3655, 0.3139, 0.2507, 0.1958, 0.1698, 0.13, 0.0513, 0.0565, -0.0479, -0.0004, 0.0884, 0.0836, 0.0836, 0.1177, 0.1171, 0.2034, 0.2471, 0.2444, 0.2621, 0.3777, 0.3498, 0.3528, 0.3464, 0.3267, 0.3296, 0.4423, 0.4253, 0.4696, 0.552, 0.492, 0.534, 0.5301, 0.6042, 0.7055, 0.8942, 0.9722, 0.9132, 1.2096, 1.3531, 1.2681, 1.3777, 1.296, 1.144, 1.0165, 1.0674, 1.1657, 1.2548, 1.222, 1.222, 1.6506, 1.7469, 1.7324, 1.8729, 1.8729, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1988228683942031459", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-11T12:53:52+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Fundamentally doing $9B ARR a year with their margins should bring them to a $100B marketcap anyway. I'd argue stock price should be way up above these levels even factoring in dilution.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS: $9B ARR + margins justify $100B market cap, stock should trade well above current levels even after dilution.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The $2.7B worth of ATM shares for dilution will put short term pressure on $NBIS stock price.\n\nFundamentally doing $9B ARR a year with their margins should bring them to a $100B marketcap anyway.\n\nI'd argue stock price should be way up above these levels even factoring in dilution. (convertible notes were at $138+), and this was before their ridiculous ARR growth and $META deal.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Its nuts. Can't believe the stock is red in premarket. Not moving?\n\nGlad I opened some more CSPs to play earnings.\n\nBut unfortunately I opened some on CRWV too. Big mistake. Got greedy.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "rioferdy838", "ret_m1d": 0.07562116645693662, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07562116645693662, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07790517779341222, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08367715698290779, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0022840113364756, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008055990525971168, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07689298098696984, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07689298098696984, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07744946946558229, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07111371851615012, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005564884786124491, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005779262470819724, "ret_p1w": -0.11426335517212038, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11426335517212038, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08070553613602638, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09333522120495286, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.033557819036094005, "bench_c_p1w": -0.020928133967167528, "ret_p1m": -0.08442579514531079, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08442579514531079, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0911169579698673, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10955721246618133, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006691162824556507, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02513141732087054, "ret_p3m": -0.15769910540088283, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15769910540088283, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17184363692646742, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1746409985754659, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014144531525584592, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016941893174583056, "ret_p6m": 0.9085305616135924, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.9085305616135924, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.8279910769496042, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.8743308936187839, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08053948466398819, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03419966799480845, "price_path": [-0.3303, -0.2994, -0.2904, -0.3427, -0.34, -0.3526, -0.3252, -0.315, -0.3105, -0.3142, -0.2952, -0.3316, -0.3316, -0.3571, -0.3578, -0.365, -0.3595, -0.3733, -0.0636, -0.0864, -0.1275, -0.1155, -0.1102, -0.1251, -0.0796, -0.0792, -0.0285, 0.0428, 0.0546, 0.1077, 0.056, 0.0536, 0.0783, 0.0983, 0.131, 0.2314, 0.252, 0.2223, 0.1514, 0.1935, 0.2976, 0.2677, 0.3252, 0.2537, 0.231, 0.2037, 0.1098, 0.0663, 0.0202, -0.0352, 0.0385, 0.1471, 0.2271, 0.1918, 0.2238, 0.2148, 0.2798, 0.1785, 0.0814, 0.1446, 0.0706, 0.0886, 0.0756, 0.0, -0.0769, -0.1329, -0.1827, -0.1589, -0.1143, -0.0699, -0.172, -0.1855, -0.101, -0.1305, -0.0737, -0.0737, -0.0719, -0.0203, -0.0564, -0.0323, 0.0057, -0.0409, -0.0185, -0.0568, -0.0844, -0.0777, -0.1421, -0.2062, -0.2081, -0.2619, -0.2361, -0.1248, -0.0879, -0.1193, -0.1085, -0.1085, -0.1431, -0.1583, -0.1668, -0.1811, -0.1811, -0.12, -0.0919, -0.0194, -0.0588, -0.0481, -0.042, 0.05, 0.0314, -0.0023, 0.0163, 0.0637, 0.0637, -0.0287, -0.0328, -0.0525, -0.0755, -0.1053, -0.0426, -0.0175, -0.0715, -0.1666, -0.1375, -0.12, -0.194, -0.2773, -0.1577, -0.0914, -0.102, -0.1331, -0.1222, -0.0412, -0.0412, -0.046, -0.0041, 0.0527, -0.0421, -0.0158, 0.0035, 0.0382, 0.026, -0.1079, -0.1097, -0.1509, -0.0434, -0.0643, -0.1261, -0.0712, -0.0566, 0.0956, 0.0569, 0.105, 0.2703, 0.138, 0.1599, 0.1888, 0.1507, 0.1167, 0.1241, 0.1259, 0.0367, -0.0137, -0.0974, 0.0151, -0.0026, 0.0646, 0.0646, 0.101, 0.1485, 0.2229, 0.3337, 0.4182, 0.512, 0.5842, 0.6315, 0.6175, 0.5373, 0.557, 0.5315, 0.5275, 0.5367, 0.4396, 0.4181, 0.3257, 0.3812, 0.3523, 0.5113, 0.7259, 0.721, 0.9085]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1980419770563613097", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-20T23:44:02+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS, $WLAC, and others already had 70% or so gross margins and it's just execution now. It's not just scarcity in chips, there's actually a competitive advantage", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Neocloud thesis: NBIS, WLAC, IREN have durable moats via software orchestration + high gross margins, not just chip scarcity; NVDA benefits from intentional GPU allocation strategy.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Great question! \n\nHyperscalers signed confirmed utilization + spend, for example with $NBIS deal with $MSFT, Microsoft is spending 17-20B over 5 years. \n\nIt's not exactly risking high-capex, since they're spending to pay for capacity since there's a bottleneck. They're still spending tens of billions of dollars, partly because they can't do it themselves and partly because there's a larger risk in high capex upfront. I wrote in my central thesis that Neoclouds + intentional GPU allocation to these Neoclouds were $NVDA's way of maintaining dominance, diversification, and not risking margin compression down the road. \n\nWe've also seen hyperscalers have trouble with buildout on their own, (eg. $ORCL losing $100m), but this just goes to show that there is a huge moat with Neoclouds in terms of software orchestration handling GPU utilization and maintaining high gross margins with how they do their buildout.\n\n$NBIS, $WLAC, and others already had 70% or so gross margins and it's just execution now. It's not just scarcity in chips, there's actually a competitive advantage that these little guys + Bitcoin miners turned HPC ( $IREN), that is the moat.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Master love the huge arr growth here \nBut im concerned about margins and amortization ,\nJust to be the devils advocate \nIs there a chance that hyperscalers just don’t want to risk high capex so they chose nbis?\nOr do we have a moat other than scarcity in chips?\nGenuinely asking:)", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Drunkandmiller", "ret_m1d": 0.04073396735235102, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04073396735235102, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05102738630141501, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.051917693225524975, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010293418949063993, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011183725873173955, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.043302763492689245, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.043302763492689245, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04328785901121346, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.046829967539421924, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4904481475785936e-05, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0035272040467326793, "ret_p1w": 0.15073394775390625, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.15073394775390625, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1299682560780684, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14281927338018385, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02076569167583786, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007914674373722397, "ret_p1m": -0.16935778976580418, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16935778976580418, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15264392252651282, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13124699608279966, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016713867239291358, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03811079368300452, "ret_p3m": -0.046926585906142515, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.046926585906142515, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08116684322149981, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04990505064625661, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03424025731535729, "bench_c_p3m": 0.002978464740114095, "ret_p6m": 0.4856880957927179, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4856880957927179, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4452974081858949, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.47647862917762884, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04039068760682296, "bench_c_p6m": 0.009209466615089035, "price_path": [-0.524, -0.5215, -0.5287, -0.5161, -0.5376, -0.5294, -0.5006, -0.5229, -0.503, -0.4939, -0.4946, -0.4008, -0.369, -0.3556, -0.3089, -0.352, -0.3719, -0.3429, -0.3345, -0.3836, -0.381, -0.3928, -0.3672, -0.3576, -0.3534, -0.3569, -0.3391, -0.3732, -0.3732, -0.3971, -0.3977, -0.4045, -0.3994, -0.4123, -0.1218, -0.1432, -0.1817, -0.1706, -0.1655, -0.1795, -0.1369, -0.1365, -0.0889, -0.022, -0.011, 0.0388, -0.0097, -0.0119, 0.0112, 0.03, 0.0606, 0.1548, 0.1741, 0.1462, 0.0798, 0.1193, 0.2169, 0.1888, 0.2428, 0.1757, 0.1544, 0.1288, 0.0407, 0.0, -0.0433, -0.0952, -0.0261, 0.0758, 0.1507, 0.1177, 0.1477, 0.1393, 0.2002, 0.1052, 0.0141, 0.0734, 0.004, 0.0209, 0.0087, -0.0622, -0.1343, -0.1869, -0.2336, -0.2112, -0.1694, -0.1278, -0.2235, -0.2361, -0.1569, -0.1846, -0.1313, -0.1313, -0.1296, -0.0812, -0.1151, -0.0925, -0.0569, -0.1006, -0.0795, -0.1155, -0.1414, -0.135, -0.1955, -0.2556, -0.2573, -0.3078, -0.2836, -0.1793, -0.1447, -0.174, -0.1639, -0.1639, -0.1964, -0.2106, -0.2186, -0.2321, -0.2321, -0.1748, -0.1483, -0.0804, -0.1173, -0.1073, -0.1016, -0.0153, -0.0328, -0.0644, -0.0469, -0.0025, -0.0025, -0.0891, -0.0929, -0.1115, -0.133, -0.1609, -0.1021, -0.0786, -0.1293, -0.2184, -0.1912, -0.1748, -0.2441, -0.3223, -0.2101, -0.1479, -0.1579, -0.1871, -0.1768, -0.1008, -0.1008, -0.1053, -0.0661, -0.0128, -0.1017, -0.077, -0.0589, -0.0264, -0.0378, -0.1634, -0.165, -0.2037, -0.1029, -0.1225, -0.1805, -0.129, -0.1153, 0.0275, -0.0088, 0.0362, 0.1913, 0.0672, 0.0877, 0.1149, 0.0791, 0.0472, 0.0542, 0.0559, -0.0278, -0.075, -0.1536, -0.0481, -0.0647, -0.0017, -0.0017, 0.0325, 0.0771, 0.1468, 0.2507, 0.33, 0.418, 0.4857]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1980419770563613097", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-20T23:44:02+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin miners turned HPC ( $IREN), that is the moat", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Neocloud thesis: NBIS, WLAC, IREN have durable moats via software orchestration + high gross margins, not just chip scarcity; NVDA benefits from intentional GPU allocation strategy.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Great question! \n\nHyperscalers signed confirmed utilization + spend, for example with $NBIS deal with $MSFT, Microsoft is spending 17-20B over 5 years. \n\nIt's not exactly risking high-capex, since they're spending to pay for capacity since there's a bottleneck. They're still spending tens of billions of dollars, partly because they can't do it themselves and partly because there's a larger risk in high capex upfront. I wrote in my central thesis that Neoclouds + intentional GPU allocation to these Neoclouds were $NVDA's way of maintaining dominance, diversification, and not risking margin compression down the road. \n\nWe've also seen hyperscalers have trouble with buildout on their own, (eg. $ORCL losing $100m), but this just goes to show that there is a huge moat with Neoclouds in terms of software orchestration handling GPU utilization and maintaining high gross margins with how they do their buildout.\n\n$NBIS, $WLAC, and others already had 70% or so gross margins and it's just execution now. It's not just scarcity in chips, there's actually a competitive advantage that these little guys + Bitcoin miners turned HPC ( $IREN), that is the moat.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Master love the huge arr growth here \nBut im concerned about margins and amortization ,\nJust to be the devils advocate \nIs there a chance that hyperscalers just don’t want to risk high capex so they chose nbis?\nOr do we have a moat other than scarcity in chips?\nGenuinely asking:)", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Drunkandmiller", "ret_m1d": 0.025329280126316522, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.025329280126316522, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.035622699075380515, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03688450176199232, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010293418949063993, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011555221635675794, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06796692743855903, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06796692743855903, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06795202295708325, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06683039964067661, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4904481475785936e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -0.001136527797882425, "ret_p1w": 0.09743324086675687, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09743324086675687, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.076667549190919, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08720398047645261, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02076569167583786, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010229260390304251, "ret_p1m": -0.17510980298589918, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17510980298589918, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15839593574660782, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14821076365181862, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016713867239291358, "bench_c_p1m": -0.026899039334080554, "ret_p3m": -0.1237757798034651, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1237757798034651, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1580160371188224, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15730535423492054, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03424025731535729, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03352957443145543, "ret_p6m": -0.20010135164731535, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.20010135164731535, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2404920392541383, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1894567808361597, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04039068760682296, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010644570811155663, "price_path": [-0.6793, -0.6937, -0.7008, -0.72, -0.7334, -0.7275, -0.728, -0.74, -0.7217, -0.7222, -0.6906, -0.6864, -0.6884, -0.6966, -0.6989, -0.7006, -0.6778, -0.6675, -0.6504, -0.6837, -0.6663, -0.6692, -0.6381, -0.6096, -0.6118, -0.6225, -0.6109, -0.5529, -0.5529, -0.5084, -0.5236, -0.5588, -0.5584, -0.5578, -0.4902, -0.4321, -0.4453, -0.4265, -0.3728, -0.3845, -0.36, -0.3867, -0.3475, -0.2925, -0.2947, -0.204, -0.2183, -0.2931, -0.2244, -0.2075, -0.205, -0.206, -0.1479, -0.0248, 0.0415, 0.0147, 0.0782, 0.0093, 0.0831, 0.1746, 0.1479, 0.0441, 0.0253, 0.0, -0.068, -0.1248, -0.0567, 0.0621, 0.0974, 0.054, 0.0203, -0.0169, 0.0258, 0.144, 0.1251, 0.2903, 0.1307, 0.0534, 0.016, -0.0311, -0.0594, -0.1785, -0.217, -0.1994, -0.1751, -0.2261, -0.266, -0.2864, -0.1812, -0.1984, -0.1819, -0.1819, -0.1927, -0.1812, -0.3056, -0.2577, -0.2156, -0.245, -0.2175, -0.2091, -0.2584, -0.258, -0.3224, -0.4009, -0.3821, -0.4296, -0.3955, -0.3259, -0.2901, -0.2896, -0.2911, -0.2911, -0.3195, -0.3345, -0.3533, -0.3622, -0.3622, -0.279, -0.1854, -0.2248, -0.2633, -0.2286, -0.2227, -0.1501, -0.1052, -0.1071, -0.1238, -0.0236, -0.0236, -0.0838, -0.0969, -0.1175, -0.0429, -0.1158, 0.013, 0.0628, 0.0105, -0.0925, -0.1037, -0.0816, -0.2411, -0.3281, -0.2937, -0.2207, -0.2751, -0.2795, -0.324, -0.2871, -0.2871, -0.3082, -0.2894, -0.269, -0.3249, -0.2847, -0.2325, -0.2565, -0.253, -0.3085, -0.3011, -0.344, -0.2597, -0.3224, -0.3803, -0.3441, -0.3563, -0.2911, -0.3014, -0.2979, -0.2411, -0.2746, -0.2872, -0.2965, -0.3028, -0.2881, -0.3056, -0.3004, -0.3676, -0.4075, -0.4661, -0.4211, -0.4243, -0.4129, -0.4129, -0.4068, -0.3965, -0.3781, -0.3742, -0.336, -0.2727, -0.2001]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1980419770563613097", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-10-20T23:44:02+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Neoclouds + intentional GPU allocation to these Neoclouds were $NVDA's way of maintaining dominance, diversification, and not risking margin compression down the road", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Neocloud thesis: NBIS, WLAC, IREN have durable moats via software orchestration + high gross margins, not just chip scarcity; NVDA benefits from intentional GPU allocation strategy.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Great question! \n\nHyperscalers signed confirmed utilization + spend, for example with $NBIS deal with $MSFT, Microsoft is spending 17-20B over 5 years. \n\nIt's not exactly risking high-capex, since they're spending to pay for capacity since there's a bottleneck. They're still spending tens of billions of dollars, partly because they can't do it themselves and partly because there's a larger risk in high capex upfront. I wrote in my central thesis that Neoclouds + intentional GPU allocation to these Neoclouds were $NVDA's way of maintaining dominance, diversification, and not risking margin compression down the road. \n\nWe've also seen hyperscalers have trouble with buildout on their own, (eg. $ORCL losing $100m), but this just goes to show that there is a huge moat with Neoclouds in terms of software orchestration handling GPU utilization and maintaining high gross margins with how they do their buildout.\n\n$NBIS, $WLAC, and others already had 70% or so gross margins and it's just execution now. It's not just scarcity in chips, there's actually a competitive advantage that these little guys + Bitcoin miners turned HPC ( $IREN), that is the moat.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Master love the huge arr growth here \nBut im concerned about margins and amortization ,\nJust to be the devils advocate \nIs there a chance that hyperscalers just don’t want to risk high capex so they chose nbis?\nOr do we have a moat other than scarcity in chips?\nGenuinely asking:)", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Drunkandmiller", "ret_m1d": 0.003175670555116028, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.003175670555116028, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01346908950418002, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01346908950418002, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010293418949063993, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010293418949063993, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008103403516373953, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008103403516373953, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008088499034898167, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008088499034898167, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4904481475785936e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -1.4904481475785936e-05, "ret_p1w": 0.04845598508244486, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04845598508244486, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.027690293406607003, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.027690293406607003, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02076569167583786, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02076569167583786, "ret_p1m": -0.007008333179453041, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.007008333179453041, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.009705534059838317, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.009705534059838317, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016713867239291358, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016713867239291358, "ret_p3m": 0.024202926075399533, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.024202926075399533, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.010037331239957759, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.010037331239957759, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03424025731535729, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03424025731535729, "ret_p6m": 0.07605984568582302, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.07605984568582302, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.03566915807900006, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.03566915807900006, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04039068760682296, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04039068760682296, "price_path": [-0.065, -0.0488, -0.0501, -0.0323, -0.0391, -0.0185, -0.0262, -0.0489, -0.0145, -0.024, -0.0177, -0.0103, 0.0003, -0.0032, 0.0028, -0.0058, -0.0035, -0.012, -0.0035, -0.0384, -0.0397, -0.042, -0.0255, -0.0156, -0.0048, -0.0058, -0.0136, -0.0464, -0.0464, -0.065, -0.0659, -0.0602, -0.0856, -0.0785, -0.0651, -0.0291, -0.0299, -0.0264, -0.0268, -0.0425, -0.0676, -0.035, -0.0327, 0.0053, -0.0231, -0.031, -0.0271, -0.0244, -0.0043, 0.0216, 0.0252, 0.0342, 0.0273, 0.0159, 0.0131, 0.0354, 0.0544, 0.0028, 0.0311, -0.0143, -0.0154, -0.0045, 0.0032, 0.0, -0.0081, -0.0129, -0.0026, 0.0198, 0.0485, 0.1007, 0.1336, 0.1109, 0.1087, 0.1327, 0.0879, 0.0688, 0.0298, 0.0302, 0.0898, 0.0576, 0.0611, 0.0231, 0.0412, 0.0217, -0.007, 0.0212, -0.011, -0.0206, -0.0005, -0.0264, -0.013, -0.013, -0.0309, -0.0149, -0.0065, -0.0167, 0.0041, -0.0012, 0.016, 0.0128, 0.0063, -0.0093, -0.0417, -0.0347, -0.0269, -0.064, -0.0465, -0.009, 0.0058, 0.036, 0.0327, 0.0327, 0.0433, 0.0306, 0.0269, 0.0212, 0.0212, 0.0341, 0.0301, 0.0252, 0.0355, 0.0132, 0.0122, 0.0126, 0.0174, 0.0028, 0.0242, 0.0197, 0.0197, -0.025, 0.0038, 0.0121, 0.0276, 0.021, 0.0323, 0.0487, 0.0541, 0.0465, 0.0163, -0.0125, -0.0462, -0.0589, 0.0152, 0.0406, 0.0324, 0.0406, 0.0236, 0.001, 0.001, 0.0128, 0.0293, 0.0289, 0.0394, 0.0488, 0.056, 0.0708, 0.0124, -0.0298, -0.0008, -0.0141, 0.0022, 0.0039, -0.0263, 0.0001, 0.0117, 0.0187, 0.0028, -0.013, 0.0033, -0.0038, -0.0122, -0.0222, -0.0543, -0.0382, -0.0406, -0.0216, -0.0623, -0.0827, -0.0956, -0.045, -0.0376, -0.0286, -0.0286, -0.0273, -0.0248, -0.003, 0.0071, 0.0329, 0.0366, 0.0761]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2011138294403551561", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-13T18:08:29+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$META is growing 26% Y/Y and their forward P/E is 18.9X... There's just some mispricing in the market right now", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long META: 26% Y/Y growth at 18.9x fwd P/E is mispriced vs WMT at 40x; FCF covers capex fears.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "They're growing ads -> FCF would pay for any capex. FCF was $10B+ Last quarter yet everyone was scared for their lives on spend. \n\n$META is growing 26% Y/Y and their forward P/E is 18.9X.\n\n$WMT is growing in line with inflation with a forward P/E of 40x+.\n\nThere's just some mispricing in the market right now", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What do you think happens if they report good numbers but revise capex up?\n\nPeople don’t like the capex as % of revenue", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "hopefulmetsfan", "ret_m1d": 0.017239873955249285, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.017239873955249285, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01523639293896184, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011593496566688177, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002003481016287445, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005646377388561108, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.024671631819543127, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.024671631819543127, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.019756394477924544, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02253285349778744, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0049152373416185835, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0021387783217556855, "ret_p1w": -0.042735632615598984, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.042735632615598984, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01939932639202524, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.013477375657072188, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023336306223573744, "bench_c_p1w": -0.029258256958526796, "ret_p1m": 0.05957941460084837, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05957941460084837, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06218832427350407, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06086265540264146, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026089096726557015, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0012832408017930952, "ret_p3m": -0.0010945767343011337, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0010945767343011337, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.01685718128478364, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.020946416516865796, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.017951758019084774, "bench_c_p3m": -0.02204099325116693, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1274, 0.1351, 0.1592, 0.161, 0.1612, 0.1621, 0.169, 0.1887, 0.1897, 0.1901, 0.0552, 0.0265, 0.0097, -0.0068, 0.0069, -0.0201, -0.0157, 0.0002, -0.0072, -0.0358, -0.0344, -0.0351, -0.0469, -0.0537, -0.0654, -0.0672, -0.0591, -0.0294, 0.0073, 0.0032, 0.0032, 0.0259, 0.0147, 0.0245, 0.0127, 0.0474, 0.0662, 0.0557, 0.0401, 0.0293, 0.0334, 0.02, 0.026, 0.0413, 0.0292, 0.0529, 0.0439, 0.0482, 0.0536, 0.0578, 0.0578, 0.051, 0.0437, 0.0552, 0.046, 0.046, 0.0306, 0.0439, 0.0468, 0.0279, 0.0237, 0.0348, 0.0172, 0.0, -0.0247, -0.0163, -0.0172, -0.0172, -0.0427, -0.0287, 0.0262, 0.0438, 0.0654, 0.0664, 0.0596, 0.1699, 0.1353, 0.1193, 0.096, 0.0601, 0.062, 0.0481, 0.0731, 0.0628, 0.0596, 0.0297, 0.0138, 0.0138, 0.013, 0.0192, 0.0217, 0.0389, 0.0098, 0.013, 0.0358, 0.0411, 0.0271, 0.0356, 0.038, 0.0581, 0.0467, 0.0218, 0.0258, 0.0364, 0.0377, 0.0112, -0.0275, -0.0049, -0.0125, -0.0236, -0.0378, -0.0585, -0.042, -0.0597, -0.0566, -0.1316, -0.1663, -0.1493, -0.0926, -0.0814, -0.089, -0.089, -0.0912, -0.088, -0.0288, -0.0034, -0.0011, 0.0063, 0.0507, 0.0651, 0.0735, 0.092, 0.064, 0.0607, 0.07, 0.0454, 0.0705, 0.0762, 0.0647, 0.0612, -0.0296, -0.0346, -0.0319, -0.0406, -0.028, -0.0218, -0.0332, -0.0503, -0.0437, -0.0221, -0.0192, -0.0259, -0.0307, -0.0443, -0.0404, -0.0367, -0.0322, -0.0322, -0.0289, 0.0075, 0.0075, 0.0031, 0.0031, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1983168146124292219", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-28T13:45:06+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm still bullish on stocks like $IREN", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still bullish on IREN, WULF, and CIFR as the Neocloud sector expands rapidly.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@theBTCMiningGuy So the point I made was nuanced, I’m still bullish on stocks like $IREN, $WULF, $CIFR and believe the Neocloud sector will expand rapidly. \n\nJust pointing out realistic downside risk in that not all execution will be pretty at scale and I personally changed portfolio positioning", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I suggest studying supply and demand", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BitcoinAIGuy", "ret_m1d": 0.04117269737606022, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04117269737606022, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0438216606888564, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0347564151049502, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002648963312796182, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006416282271110019, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03204101343589949, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03204101343589949, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.032521400475795215, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.015056642867497527, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004803870398957244, "bench_c_p1d": -0.016984370568401963, "ret_p1w": 0.06744631861535644, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06744631861535644, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08465001755089308, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07820319798033304, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017203698935536638, "bench_c_p1w": -0.010756879364976601, "ret_p1m": -0.2238064372926576, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2238064372926576, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.21306504740617616, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.22305156346971544, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010741389886481434, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0007548738229421481, "ret_p3m": -0.09195767433753699, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09195767433753699, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09808021922205379, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09696768099024378, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006122544884516801, "bench_c_p3m": 0.005010006652706789, "ret_p6m": -0.22476768969655248, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.22476768969655248, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2658116117418059, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.21857389043751385, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04104392204525342, "bench_c_p6m": -0.006193799259038624, "price_path": [-0.7419, -0.7533, -0.736, -0.7365, -0.7065, -0.7025, -0.7044, -0.7121, -0.7144, -0.716, -0.6943, -0.6846, -0.6683, -0.6999, -0.6834, -0.6862, -0.6567, -0.6296, -0.6317, -0.6419, -0.6309, -0.5758, -0.5758, -0.5336, -0.5481, -0.5814, -0.5811, -0.5804, -0.5163, -0.4612, -0.4737, -0.4559, -0.405, -0.4161, -0.3928, -0.4181, -0.381, -0.3287, -0.3308, -0.2448, -0.2584, -0.3294, -0.2642, -0.2482, -0.2458, -0.2467, -0.1916, -0.0748, -0.0119, -0.0373, 0.0229, -0.0425, 0.0276, 0.1144, 0.0891, -0.0095, -0.0272, -0.0513, -0.1157, -0.1697, -0.1051, 0.0077, 0.0412, 0.0, -0.032, -0.0673, -0.0268, 0.0854, 0.0674, 0.2241, 0.0727, -0.0006, -0.036, -0.0807, -0.1077, -0.2206, -0.2571, -0.2405, -0.2174, -0.2658, -0.3036, -0.323, -0.2232, -0.2395, -0.2238, -0.2238, -0.2341, -0.2232, -0.3412, -0.2957, -0.2558, -0.2837, -0.2576, -0.2496, -0.2964, -0.2961, -0.3571, -0.4316, -0.4138, -0.4588, -0.4265, -0.3605, -0.3265, -0.326, -0.3275, -0.3275, -0.3544, -0.3686, -0.3864, -0.3949, -0.3949, -0.3159, -0.2272, -0.2645, -0.3011, -0.2682, -0.2626, -0.1937, -0.1511, -0.1528, -0.1687, -0.0737, -0.0737, -0.1307, -0.1432, -0.1628, -0.092, -0.1612, -0.0389, 0.0083, -0.0413, -0.1391, -0.1496, -0.1286, -0.28, -0.3625, -0.3299, -0.2607, -0.3122, -0.3164, -0.3587, -0.3236, -0.3236, -0.3436, -0.3259, -0.3065, -0.3595, -0.3214, -0.2719, -0.2946, -0.2913, -0.344, -0.3369, -0.3776, -0.2977, -0.3572, -0.412, -0.3778, -0.3893, -0.3275, -0.3372, -0.3339, -0.28, -0.3118, -0.3238, -0.3326, -0.3385, -0.3246, -0.3412, -0.3363, -0.4, -0.4378, -0.4934, -0.4508, -0.4539, -0.443, -0.443, -0.4372, -0.4274, -0.41, -0.4063, -0.3701, -0.31, -0.2411, -0.2179, -0.2358, -0.2291, -0.2195, -0.2764, -0.2248]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1983168146124292219", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-28T13:45:06+00:00", "symbol": "WULF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$WULF", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still bullish on IREN, WULF, and CIFR as the Neocloud sector expands rapidly.", "resolved_tickers": ["WULF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@theBTCMiningGuy So the point I made was nuanced, I’m still bullish on stocks like $IREN, $WULF, $CIFR and believe the Neocloud sector will expand rapidly. \n\nJust pointing out realistic downside risk in that not all execution will be pretty at scale and I personally changed portfolio positioning", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I suggest studying supply and demand", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BitcoinAIGuy", "ret_m1d": -0.14429104752870014, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.14429104752870014, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.14164208421590396, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.14164208421590396, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002648963312796182, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002648963312796182, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09033874644234297, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09033874644234297, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.09081913348223869, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.09081913348223869, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004803870398957244, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0004803870398957244, "ret_p1w": -0.058343750061698674, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.058343750061698674, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.041140051126162036, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.041140051126162036, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017203698935536638, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017203698935536638, "ret_p1m": -0.06900874885524677, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06900874885524677, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05826735896876534, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05826735896876534, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010741389886481434, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010741389886481434, "ret_p3m": -0.11417815199092085, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11417815199092085, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12030069687543765, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12030069687543765, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006122544884516801, "bench_c_p3m": 0.006122544884516801, "ret_p6m": 0.28920952183402715, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.28920952183402715, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.24816559978877373, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.24816559978877373, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04104392204525342, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04104392204525342, "price_path": [-0.6763, -0.7014, -0.6932, -0.6826, -0.6769, -0.6901, -0.6844, -0.6612, -0.6713, -0.6575, -0.4536, -0.4373, -0.4115, -0.4492, -0.4178, -0.4235, -0.4253, -0.4398, -0.4203, -0.4272, -0.4078, -0.4072, -0.4072, -0.3959, -0.4366, -0.4435, -0.4272, -0.4228, -0.3538, -0.3381, -0.3325, -0.325, -0.3419, -0.3137, -0.288, -0.2992, -0.3112, -0.2792, -0.2949, -0.2848, -0.3118, -0.3206, -0.2723, -0.2836, -0.2804, -0.2735, -0.2522, -0.2491, -0.2409, -0.2284, -0.1474, -0.1524, -0.1217, -0.0301, -0.0295, -0.1305, -0.1261, -0.1311, -0.1757, -0.2083, -0.192, -0.1399, -0.1443, 0.0, -0.0903, -0.0703, -0.0276, 0.01, -0.0583, -0.0364, -0.1041, -0.1255, -0.1029, -0.224, -0.207, -0.2673, -0.3105, -0.3068, -0.2472, -0.2327, -0.2748, -0.2917, -0.2077, -0.1255, -0.069, -0.069, -0.027, -0.0402, -0.1079, -0.0947, -0.0527, -0.0903, -0.0615, -0.022, -0.0113, -0.0069, -0.101, -0.2164, -0.1851, -0.2742, -0.2604, -0.2146, -0.2177, -0.2208, -0.2277, -0.2277, -0.2629, -0.2836, -0.3005, -0.2792, -0.2792, -0.2008, -0.1455, -0.1731, -0.2164, -0.1945, -0.1782, -0.1336, -0.1129, -0.1085, -0.1324, -0.1311, -0.1311, -0.1637, -0.1769, -0.1913, -0.1142, -0.1349, -0.0395, -0.0521, -0.0878, -0.1612, -0.1568, -0.0715, -0.1292, -0.2522, -0.1035, 0.0445, 0.0433, 0.0056, -0.0019, 0.0201, 0.0201, 0.0151, -0.0351, -0.0295, -0.0583, -0.0163, 0.1016, 0.1242, 0.1217, 0.0176, 0.005, -0.0753, -0.0358, -0.0445, -0.1374, -0.1311, -0.0997, -0.0452, -0.0797, -0.0797, 0.0295, 0.0063, -0.0402, -0.0125, -0.0527, 0.0157, 0.0176, 0.0577, -0.037, -0.0659, -0.1405, -0.0947, -0.0916, -0.0665, -0.0665, -0.0245, 0.0395, 0.1324, 0.1939, 0.1838, 0.2202, 0.3143, 0.234, 0.2114, 0.2949, 0.2861, 0.2403, 0.2892]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1983168146124292219", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-28T13:45:06+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$CIFR", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still bullish on IREN, WULF, and CIFR as the Neocloud sector expands rapidly.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@theBTCMiningGuy So the point I made was nuanced, I’m still bullish on stocks like $IREN, $WULF, $CIFR and believe the Neocloud sector will expand rapidly. \n\nJust pointing out realistic downside risk in that not all execution will be pretty at scale and I personally changed portfolio positioning", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I suggest studying supply and demand", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BitcoinAIGuy", "ret_m1d": 0.02905820930151659, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02905820930151659, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03170717261431277, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03886071900749599, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002648963312796182, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0098025097059794, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.018537021485767302, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.018537021485767302, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.019017408525663027, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02572343415840328, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004803870398957244, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007186412672635978, "ret_p1w": 0.12775557421707928, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12775557421707928, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14495927315261592, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15431533365046834, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017203698935536638, "bench_c_p1w": -0.026559759433389063, "ret_p1m": -0.04058113742963543, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04058113742963543, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.029839747543153994, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01962547687522853, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010741389886481434, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06020661430486396, "ret_p3m": -0.11973945387140184, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11973945387140184, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12586199875591864, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08218527657331509, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006122544884516801, "bench_c_p3m": -0.037554177298086744, "ret_p6m": -0.026052032778877132, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.026052032778877132, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.06709595482413055, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.07603647138972902, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04104392204525342, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04998443861085189, "price_path": [-0.7265, -0.753, -0.74, -0.749, -0.739, -0.756, -0.762, -0.7615, -0.7635, -0.7545, -0.7335, -0.739, -0.6969, -0.7114, -0.7019, -0.7044, -0.6804, -0.6673, -0.6433, -0.6498, -0.6483, -0.6172, -0.6172, -0.5832, -0.5937, -0.6293, -0.6232, -0.6132, -0.5381, -0.4865, -0.5005, -0.4564, -0.4564, -0.4233, -0.3798, -0.4063, -0.3848, -0.3006, -0.2911, -0.2916, -0.4158, -0.4254, -0.3662, -0.3692, -0.3687, -0.3081, -0.2635, -0.2315, -0.2109, -0.1182, -0.0987, -0.1498, 0.019, 0.0466, 0.0536, -0.0621, -0.0601, -0.0025, -0.0944, -0.1929, -0.1355, 0.0351, 0.0291, 0.0, -0.0185, -0.0446, -0.0656, 0.1403, 0.1278, 0.238, 0.0877, 0.0366, -0.0155, -0.0646, -0.1293, -0.252, -0.2806, -0.2811, -0.2695, -0.2675, -0.2705, -0.2911, -0.1628, -0.1222, -0.0406, -0.0406, 0.0195, -0.0135, -0.1162, -0.0666, -0.0065, -0.0341, -0.024, -0.02, -0.0741, -0.0541, -0.1458, -0.2615, -0.249, -0.2791, -0.241, -0.1879, -0.1814, -0.2029, -0.1874, -0.1874, -0.239, -0.2445, -0.269, -0.2605, -0.2605, -0.1884, -0.0902, -0.1212, -0.1944, -0.1708, -0.1668, -0.1142, -0.0857, -0.0917, -0.1222, -0.0581, -0.0581, -0.1022, -0.1122, -0.1288, -0.1197, -0.1738, -0.0606, -0.0496, -0.1132, -0.2004, -0.2079, -0.1854, -0.2861, -0.3637, -0.262, -0.1603, -0.1433, -0.1844, -0.1934, -0.1774, -0.1774, -0.2164, -0.2275, -0.2084, -0.266, -0.2375, -0.1423, -0.1678, -0.1743, -0.2184, -0.2104, -0.263, -0.1964, -0.241, -0.3176, -0.2831, -0.3006, -0.2931, -0.3131, -0.2946, -0.2415, -0.244, -0.265, -0.2665, -0.2981, -0.254, -0.2545, -0.2044, -0.2811, -0.3114, -0.398, -0.3552, -0.3667, -0.3577, -0.3577, -0.3312, -0.2981, -0.2275, -0.1804, -0.1718, -0.1102, -0.0757, -0.0982, -0.1313, -0.0296, -0.0336, -0.0962, -0.0261]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1967561478434943229", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-15T12:09:46+00:00", "symbol": "RUM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I bought a mini position now just cause I'm unsure", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Initiated a small long position in RUM despite uncertainty.", "resolved_tickers": ["RUM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@junyongisusing1 I bought a mini position now just cause I’m unsure https://t.co/ZXzZHFRABT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Have you started any positon in RUM", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "junyongisusing1", "ret_m1d": -0.04444446383651457, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04444446383651457, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.039148705779510684, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.039148705779510684, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005295758057003885, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005295758057003885, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.026143827922748386, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.026143827922748386, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.024767035137466697, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.024767035137466697, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0013767927852816886, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0013767927852816886, "ret_p1w": -0.02352945136363893, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02352945136363893, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03529938587121817, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03529938587121817, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011769934507579238, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011769934507579238, "ret_p1m": 0.048366059841005615, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.048366059841005615, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04359082501182687, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04359082501182687, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.004775234829178743, "bench_c_p1m": 0.004775234829178743, "ret_p3m": -0.05098037406846123, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05098037406846123, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09663060574274207, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09663060574274207, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04565023167428084, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04565023167428084, "ret_p6m": -0.3163398753105129, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3163398753105129, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3468342103246269, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3468342103246269, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030494335014114027, "bench_c_p6m": 0.030494335014114027, "price_path": [0.1569, 0.1569, 0.1163, 0.0797, 0.132, 0.119, 0.2196, 0.2013, 0.1739, 0.1974, 0.2614, 0.2261, 0.2261, 0.1739, 0.1739, 0.1948, 0.2157, 0.1699, 0.1582, 0.149, 0.1673, 0.2523, 0.2719, 0.2928, 0.2523, 0.3098, 0.2706, 0.2379, 0.1869, 0.1281, 0.0993, 0.1033, 0.0536, 0.0954, 0.0941, 0.0732, 0.0523, 0.0301, 0.0614, 0.0353, 0.102, 0.0536, 0.0327, 0.0314, 0.0131, -0.0065, -0.0105, 0.0092, -0.0118, 0.0078, -0.0131, -0.0301, -0.0471, -0.0471, -0.0392, -0.0562, -0.068, -0.0706, -0.0444, -0.0183, -0.0588, -0.0418, -0.0444, 0.0, -0.0261, -0.017, 0.0131, 0.0052, -0.0235, -0.0157, -0.0157, -0.0601, -0.0667, -0.0458, -0.0536, -0.0654, -0.034, 0.119, 0.1098, 0.0288, 0.0693, 0.0366, -0.0248, 0.0248, 0.0484, 0.0458, -0.0196, -0.0706, -0.0418, -0.0458, -0.0928, -0.0719, -0.0667, -0.0641, -0.0784, -0.1098, -0.1216, -0.1033, -0.1869, -0.2078, -0.1922, -0.2301, -0.2301, -0.1425, -0.1974, -0.2052, -0.2588, -0.2627, -0.3137, -0.2719, -0.2889, -0.3046, -0.2562, -0.149, -0.115, -0.1163, -0.1163, -0.115, -0.1203, -0.0719, -0.0039, 0.0092, -0.0693, -0.0588, -0.0549, -0.0536, -0.051, -0.0837, -0.1641, -0.1268, -0.1582, -0.119, -0.098, -0.0745, -0.0928, -0.0915, -0.0915, -0.1281, -0.1412, -0.1425, -0.1739, -0.1739, -0.1673, -0.1621, -0.1216, -0.1359, -0.1333, -0.1163, -0.1582, -0.1699, -0.1791, -0.2105, -0.2105, -0.2105, -0.2484, -0.1908, -0.1752, -0.1948, -0.2209, -0.217, -0.2209, -0.2157, -0.2562, -0.2784, -0.2588, -0.2523, -0.3007, -0.2444, -0.183, -0.1725, -0.1961, -0.2131, -0.2209, -0.2209, -0.2458, -0.2314, -0.2418, -0.2314, -0.2771, -0.2523, -0.2471, -0.2575, -0.2928, -0.281, -0.2941, -0.2745, -0.2667, -0.3582, -0.3059, -0.3163]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2008582578186678307", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-06T16:52:58+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "AXT just became the monopoly of the InP substrates.", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AXTI: China export controls eliminated its only other competitor, making AXT a monopoly in InP substrates for AI hyperscalers.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you’re wondering why $AXTI is up 14%, China probably read this and sent an export control nuke to its only other competitor. \n\nAXT just became the monopoly of the InP substrates. https://t.co/i8FSYPscfx", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Warning: The entire AI industry will likely be bottlenecked by two companies:\n\n1. $AXTI ($700M) \n2. $SMTOY ($31.7B)\n\nWhich both control 60–70%+ of the world's InP substrates.\n\nFuture $NVDA, $GOOGL TPU v7 pods, $META, $MSFT, $AMZN hyperscaler clusters require InP-based lasers and https://t.co/8mqrgONJbb", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.17352503652757012, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.17352503652757012, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.16761301304225407, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1476491815519656, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005912023485316054, "bench_c_m1d": -0.025875854975604518, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.19533963902599827, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.19533963902599827, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.19856299581822567, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.20204725508365173, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0032233567922274053, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006707616057653465, "ret_p1w": 0.06643530726421809, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06643530726421809, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06360208669588241, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.056348098886519926, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028332205683356815, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010087208377698165, "ret_p1m": -0.0704015900308741, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0704015900308741, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.062277998413795665, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.055954435152234305, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00812359161707843, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01444715487863979, "ret_p3m": 1.6197322733127506, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.6197322733127506, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.669151739995648, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.6076069643342745, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04941946668289732, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01212530897847608, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7407, -0.8002, -0.7719, -0.7734, -0.7724, -0.7556, -0.7764, -0.7566, -0.7437, -0.7551, -0.7432, -0.6996, -0.6931, -0.6728, -0.6495, -0.6371, -0.6059, -0.5806, -0.5766, -0.5488, -0.5602, -0.531, -0.4824, -0.4765, -0.4556, -0.4824, -0.4824, -0.4918, -0.5092, -0.4988, -0.5315, -0.5573, -0.5369, -0.5424, -0.4819, -0.4819, -0.4695, -0.465, -0.417, -0.4308, -0.4001, -0.4259, -0.3699, -0.2583, -0.231, -0.1879, -0.2657, -0.2647, -0.3555, -0.3872, -0.3054, -0.2737, -0.2454, -0.2742, -0.2558, -0.2558, -0.238, -0.2766, -0.2167, -0.1894, -0.1894, -0.1691, -0.1735, 0.0, 0.1953, 0.2806, 0.1398, 0.1026, 0.0664, 0.0957, 0.2752, 0.0952, 0.0952, 0.0615, -0.0193, -0.1116, -0.1373, -0.1175, -0.1472, -0.1656, -0.1879, -0.0808, 0.0382, -0.0213, -0.0704, 0.0129, 0.1929, 0.3768, 0.2072, 0.3287, 0.2291, 0.2018, 0.2018, 0.1507, 0.1671, 0.1805, 0.4715, 0.4095, 0.7392, 1.0312, 0.8404, 0.879, 1.2965, 1.0704, 0.94, 0.9236, 0.6049, 0.9118, 1.1963, 1.348, 1.3168, 1.4224, 1.3991, 1.1993, 1.4175, 1.88, 1.6891, 2.1948, 2.3932, 2.3391, 1.9008, 2.0059, 1.6143, 1.825, 1.3371, 1.6197, 1.6197, 1.0818, 1.2538, 1.6366, 2.1294, 2.182, 2.2945, 2.3366, 2.12, 3.0545, 3.0932, 2.9048, 2.7169, 3.3104, 2.7318, 2.7759, 2.4779, 2.4065, 2.5235, 2.9276, 3.7595, 4.2553, 4.3322, 4.1973, 4.3753, 4.769, 5.2375, 5.0932, 5.0456, 4.7005, 5.1368, 4.2494, 4.5964, 4.1864, 5.0, 5.9822, 5.9822, 5.5741, 5.0868, 4.7362, 4.1145, 4.1145, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972773460117201126", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-29T21:20:19+00:00", "symbol": "ETOR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the market is completely pricing $ETOR wrong and it's probably a lot of tax harvesting going on right now", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long ETOR (mispriced, tax harvesting) and VIRT as under-the-radar names that tend to play out well.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETOR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MakhmudovAkbar Yeah lol, I think the market is completely pricing $ETOR wrong and it's probably a lot of tax harvesting going on right now.   \n\nI try and find stuff people don't really touch much like ETOR and VIRT and they usually play out well. Feels like everyone on X is on $BMNR or $NBIS", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Whoa. ETOR, 1.2B cash (inc. investment) and 420M total liabilities and positive operating cash flow.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PositionJournal", "ret_m1d": -0.021195598208373356, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.021195598208373356, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.018393107792250563, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.018393107792250563, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.017146968133424867, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.017146968133424867, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.020913834892536842, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.020913834892536842, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "ret_p1w": -0.018814024385535366, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.018814024385535366, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.030762505767948034, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.030762505767948034, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "ret_p1m": -0.0707311527026252, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0707311527026252, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10595895944519451, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10595895944519451, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "ret_p3m": -0.1438437883803363, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1438437883803363, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18714777299248953, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.18714777299248953, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "ret_p6m": -0.3010240722014327, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3010240722014327, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2908070657894908, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2908070657894908, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "price_path": [0.5104, 0.4949, 0.4949, 0.4578, 0.4596, 0.453, 0.4139, 0.3725, 0.3382, 0.2827, 0.3577, 0.3846, 0.3522, 0.3379, 0.372, 0.4851, 0.5185, 0.5499, 0.5123, 0.4458, 0.4768, 0.428, 0.3834, 0.4115, 0.3804, 0.3406, 0.3425, 0.3796, 0.317, 0.2084, 0.1431, 0.1327, 0.1465, 0.1343, 0.0648, 0.0569, 0.0655, 0.11, 0.0655, 0.0807, 0.0603, 0.0574, 0.0574, 0.0574, 0.1129, 0.1169, 0.0992, 0.105, 0.0941, 0.0814, 0.0152, 0.0572, 0.0512, 0.0324, 0.0343, 0.0221, 0.0462, 0.0514, 0.0722, 0.0422, 0.0105, -0.0229, -0.0212, 0.0, -0.0171, -0.0698, -0.0124, -0.0241, -0.0188, -0.035, -0.0252, -0.0595, -0.0798, -0.0626, -0.0693, -0.0819, -0.0824, -0.1095, -0.0579, -0.055, -0.0981, -0.0941, -0.0648, -0.0414, -0.0707, -0.0972, -0.1079, -0.1174, -0.1315, -0.1798, -0.1853, -0.2029, -0.1693, -0.1015, -0.0179, -0.0157, -0.065, -0.0355, -0.0826, -0.0662, -0.0876, -0.1284, -0.1238, -0.0736, -0.0495, -0.0002, -0.0002, -0.0005, -0.0026, -0.0062, 0.0169, 0.0462, 0.0243, -0.0162, 0.0026, -0.0293, -0.0648, -0.0962, -0.1296, -0.1422, -0.1722, -0.1529, -0.1377, -0.1315, -0.1374, -0.1438, -0.1438, -0.146, -0.1505, -0.1536, -0.1634, -0.1634, -0.1503, -0.1357, -0.1653, -0.2074, -0.2253, -0.247, -0.2389, -0.257, -0.2541, -0.2553, -0.2539, -0.2539, -0.2663, -0.2722, -0.2593, -0.2505, -0.2548, -0.2505, -0.2522, -0.2803, -0.2998, -0.3225, -0.3558, -0.3679, -0.4103, -0.3568, -0.3284, -0.3265, -0.3584, -0.3632, -0.346, -0.346, -0.2124, -0.2417, -0.2617, -0.2574, -0.2727, -0.2679, -0.2274, -0.2312, -0.2696, -0.2696, -0.2501, -0.2227, -0.2212, -0.2422, -0.2479, -0.2613, -0.2641, -0.286, -0.2829, -0.2724, -0.2584, -0.2846, -0.3003, -0.2991, -0.2867, -0.301]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972773460117201126", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-29T21:20:19+00:00", "symbol": "VIRT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I try and find stuff people don't really touch much like ETOR and VIRT and they usually play out well", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long ETOR (mispriced, tax harvesting) and VIRT as under-the-radar names that tend to play out well.", "resolved_tickers": ["VIRT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MakhmudovAkbar Yeah lol, I think the market is completely pricing $ETOR wrong and it's probably a lot of tax harvesting going on right now.   \n\nI try and find stuff people don't really touch much like ETOR and VIRT and they usually play out well. Feels like everyone on X is on $BMNR or $NBIS", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Whoa. ETOR, 1.2B cash (inc. investment) and 420M total liabilities and positive operating cash flow.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PositionJournal", "ret_m1d": -0.018399807113559707, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.018399807113559707, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015597316697436914, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015597316697436914, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010314987907446005, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010314987907446005, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01408185466655798, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01408185466655798, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "ret_p1w": -0.09673811713673042, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09673811713673042, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10868659851914309, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10868659851914309, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "ret_p1m": -0.036241910523391874, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.036241910523391874, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07146971726596119, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07146971726596119, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "ret_p3m": -0.05190284217825136, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05190284217825136, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0952068267904046, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0952068267904046, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "ret_p6m": 0.22316838376734394, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.22316838376734394, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.23338539017928583, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.23338539017928583, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "price_path": [0.2322, 0.2338, 0.2338, 0.243, 0.1864, 0.1923, 0.2211, 0.2186, 0.2419, 0.2244, 0.2374, 0.2508, 0.2286, 0.2064, 0.1817, 0.1973, 0.2133, 0.2253, 0.2031, 0.2208, 0.2416, 0.2236, 0.2022, 0.2034, 0.1889, 0.1767, 0.1767, 0.1765, 0.1654, 0.1673, 0.1596, 0.1596, 0.1582, 0.1493, 0.1415, 0.1479, 0.1526, 0.1657, 0.1751, 0.1964, 0.1845, 0.1751, 0.1687, 0.1687, 0.1528, 0.1558, 0.1271, 0.0842, 0.073, 0.0608, 0.0764, 0.0337, 0.0212, 0.01, -0.0131, -0.0195, -0.0184, -0.0112, -0.0279, -0.0237, -0.0176, -0.0226, -0.0184, 0.0, -0.0103, -0.0488, -0.0452, -0.0622, -0.0967, -0.0973, -0.0845, -0.0739, -0.0742, -0.0803, -0.0658, -0.0633, -0.0772, -0.0736, -0.08, -0.0714, -0.0686, -0.0672, -0.0647, -0.056, -0.0362, -0.0413, -0.0348, -0.0287, -0.0259, -0.0315, -0.0418, -0.0223, -0.0064, 0.0022, -0.0067, 0.0039, -0.0078, -0.0192, -0.0421, -0.0376, -0.0566, -0.0602, -0.0527, -0.0544, -0.0326, -0.0148, -0.0148, -0.0031, -0.0171, -0.0367, -0.0207, -0.005, -0.007, -0.0112, -0.0019, 0.004, -0.0393, -0.0539, -0.0631, -0.0499, -0.0547, -0.0581, -0.0502, -0.0673, -0.0631, -0.0519, -0.0519, -0.0424, -0.0373, -0.0466, -0.0648, -0.0648, -0.085, -0.0536, -0.069, -0.0763, -0.087, -0.0699, -0.048, -0.0443, -0.0126, 0.007, 0.0354, 0.0354, 0.0281, 0.0359, 0.0416, 0.043, 0.0528, 0.0564, 0.0522, 0.1412, 0.1651, 0.1098, 0.075, 0.0615, 0.0724, 0.0814, 0.1019, 0.1053, 0.0646, 0.055, 0.0761, 0.0761, 0.0969, 0.1047, 0.105, 0.1176, 0.1221, 0.1465, 0.1437, 0.1715, 0.169, 0.2062, 0.1755, 0.1591, 0.1543, 0.1577, 0.1839, 0.1588, 0.141, 0.1198, 0.1035, 0.097, 0.1249, 0.1258, 0.1173, 0.1752, 0.2105, 0.2232]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1973808091310538829", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-02T17:51:35+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd expect growth stocks like $NBIS or $ASTS to do well the upcoming months", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Expects NBIS and ASTS to perform well over the upcoming months.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@EestiRadar If you're 18, I'd recommend a high risk portfolio like what you have since you're young and can take risk.\n\nMost people would have that concentration in March at ATHs but I'd expect growth stocks  like $NBIS or $ASTS to do well the upcoming months.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit idk why but i trust you a lot as a week-long follower\n\ni 85% ported NBIS avg 111$, 100 shares, 18 years old no income.\n\nportfolio used to be mag 7 + UNH now it’s NBIS and a sprinkle of CIFR, IREN, ASTS, BITF, ONDS\n\nhope my risk pays off tried to do my own DD only on NBIS", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "EestiRadar", "ret_m1d": -0.0815126869972923, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0815126869972923, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08036220858520382, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08374542506568405, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011504784120884848, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0022327380683917486, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01676333172566702, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01676333172566702, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01677809908788863, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01727850796170094, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4767362221612679e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0005151762360339207, "ret_p1w": 0.05378562401954223, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05378562401954223, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.050886634886761595, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06692429946603051, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028989891327806383, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01313867544648828, "ret_p1m": 0.03932632453820406, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03932632453820406, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.020139760379656257, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05340956667881569, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019186564158547803, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01408324214061163, "ret_p3m": -0.3233495168787698, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3233495168787698, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.35296633318039683, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.34243886359072817, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029616816301627047, "bench_c_p3m": 0.019089346711958388, "ret_p6m": -0.1990148765007319, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1990148765007319, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.15191616328831792, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.12412626613538336, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04709871321241399, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07488861036534855, "price_path": [-0.6199, -0.6258, -0.6341, -0.6311, -0.648, -0.5873, -0.5747, -0.5765, -0.5734, -0.5806, -0.5839, -0.5947, -0.5878, -0.5856, -0.5919, -0.5809, -0.5996, -0.5925, -0.5676, -0.5869, -0.5696, -0.5617, -0.5623, -0.4811, -0.4536, -0.442, -0.4015, -0.4389, -0.4561, -0.431, -0.4237, -0.4662, -0.464, -0.4742, -0.452, -0.4437, -0.4401, -0.4431, -0.4277, -0.4572, -0.4572, -0.4779, -0.4784, -0.4843, -0.4799, -0.4911, -0.2395, -0.258, -0.2914, -0.2817, -0.2773, -0.2895, -0.2526, -0.2522, -0.211, -0.1531, -0.1436, -0.1004, -0.1424, -0.1444, -0.1243, -0.108, -0.0815, 0.0, 0.0168, -0.0074, -0.0649, -0.0307, 0.0538, 0.0295, 0.0762, 0.0181, -0.0003, -0.0225, -0.0988, -0.134, -0.1715, -0.2165, -0.1566, -0.0684, -0.0035, -0.0321, -0.0061, -0.0134, 0.0393, -0.0429, -0.1218, -0.0705, -0.1305, -0.1159, -0.1265, -0.1879, -0.2503, -0.2959, -0.3363, -0.3169, -0.2807, -0.2447, -0.3276, -0.3385, -0.2699, -0.2939, -0.2477, -0.2477, -0.2463, -0.2043, -0.2337, -0.2141, -0.1833, -0.2211, -0.2029, -0.2341, -0.2565, -0.251, -0.3033, -0.3554, -0.3569, -0.4006, -0.3796, -0.2893, -0.2593, -0.2847, -0.276, -0.276, -0.3041, -0.3164, -0.3233, -0.335, -0.335, -0.2854, -0.2625, -0.2036, -0.2356, -0.227, -0.222, -0.1473, -0.1624, -0.1898, -0.1747, -0.1362, -0.1362, -0.2112, -0.2145, -0.2306, -0.2492, -0.2734, -0.2225, -0.2021, -0.246, -0.3232, -0.2996, -0.2854, -0.3454, -0.4131, -0.316, -0.2621, -0.2708, -0.296, -0.2871, -0.2213, -0.2213, -0.2252, -0.1912, -0.1451, -0.2221, -0.2007, -0.185, -0.1569, -0.1668, -0.2755, -0.277, -0.3104, -0.2232, -0.2401, -0.2903, -0.2457, -0.2339, -0.1102, -0.1417, -0.1026, 0.0316, -0.0758, -0.0581, -0.0346, -0.0655, -0.0931, -0.0871, -0.0856, -0.1581, -0.199]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1973808091310538829", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-02T17:51:35+00:00", "symbol": "ASTS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd expect growth stocks like $NBIS or $ASTS to do well the upcoming months", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Expects NBIS and ASTS to perform well over the upcoming months.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASTS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@EestiRadar If you're 18, I'd recommend a high risk portfolio like what you have since you're young and can take risk.\n\nMost people would have that concentration in March at ATHs but I'd expect growth stocks  like $NBIS or $ASTS to do well the upcoming months.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit idk why but i trust you a lot as a week-long follower\n\ni 85% ported NBIS avg 111$, 100 shares, 18 years old no income.\n\nportfolio used to be mag 7 + UNH now it’s NBIS and a sprinkle of CIFR, IREN, ASTS, BITF, ONDS\n\nhope my risk pays off tried to do my own DD only on NBIS", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "EestiRadar", "ret_m1d": -0.13935919777889605, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.13935919777889605, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.13820871936680756, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.13820871936680756, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011504784120884848, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0011504784120884848, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.024183772454012598, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.024183772454012598, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02419853981623421, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02419853981623421, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4767362221612679e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -1.4767362221612679e-05, "ret_p1w": 0.31181977193923616, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.31181977193923616, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.3089207828064555, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.3089207828064555, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028989891327806383, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0028989891327806383, "ret_p1m": 0.21296849392346906, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21296849392346906, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.19378192976492126, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.19378192976492126, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019186564158547803, "bench_c_p1m": 0.019186564158547803, "ret_p3m": 0.1287786603909442, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1287786603909442, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09916184408931716, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09916184408931716, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029616816301627047, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029616816301627047, "ret_p6m": 0.18908696817380255, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.18908696817380255, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.23618568138621654, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.23618568138621654, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04709871321241399, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04709871321241399, "price_path": [-0.3094, -0.3129, -0.3576, -0.3354, -0.3111, -0.2766, -0.2273, -0.2045, -0.1317, -0.1236, -0.1434, -0.1371, -0.1094, -0.0922, -0.1787, -0.1805, -0.1976, -0.1794, -0.1963, -0.2071, -0.2234, -0.2054, -0.2172, -0.2789, -0.2952, -0.3059, -0.2479, -0.2435, -0.2669, -0.2733, -0.2721, -0.3206, -0.3186, -0.3201, -0.2885, -0.2441, -0.2378, -0.2707, -0.2601, -0.2603, -0.2603, -0.263, -0.3165, -0.3673, -0.359, -0.3838, -0.4421, -0.432, -0.42, -0.4148, -0.3807, -0.3889, -0.3774, -0.3736, -0.3183, -0.2616, -0.1717, -0.1762, -0.2535, -0.258, -0.2618, -0.2582, -0.1394, 0.0, 0.0242, 0.1019, 0.1298, 0.2273, 0.3118, 0.2399, 0.3679, 0.4284, 0.4463, 0.3528, 0.2619, 0.2517, 0.1882, 0.0784, 0.084, 0.114, 0.2009, 0.1755, 0.2101, 0.159, 0.213, 0.0753, 0.0588, 0.0638, -0.0133, 0.0458, 0.0384, 0.0261, -0.0252, -0.0713, -0.0719, -0.1445, -0.12, -0.1232, -0.2337, -0.2235, -0.1687, -0.161, -0.1608, -0.1608, -0.1505, -0.2048, -0.1401, -0.0713, 0.0981, 0.1173, 0.1185, 0.101, 0.1948, 0.281, 0.1593, 0.0249, 0.0334, -0.065, -0.0035, 0.1463, 0.3071, 0.2949, 0.1797, 0.1797, 0.0875, 0.0803, 0.1288, 0.0978, 0.0978, 0.2616, 0.3742, 0.4735, 0.2958, 0.3688, 0.4763, 0.4872, 0.4015, 0.4392, 0.5304, 0.7498, 0.7498, 0.6995, 0.5644, 0.7589, 0.7166, 0.5837, 0.6829, 0.8324, 0.8454, 0.6809, 0.5803, 0.7497, 0.5644, 0.4098, 0.5385, 0.5435, 0.4551, 0.4649, 0.2427, 0.2471, 0.2471, 0.255, 0.2761, 0.3059, 0.2122, 0.2681, 0.2972, 0.2449, 0.2963, 0.1969, 0.3138, 0.4008, 0.5854, 0.4187, 0.3524, 0.3567, 0.323, 0.3333, 0.3164, 0.305, 0.3469, 0.4465, 0.3715, 0.4222, 0.3593, 0.3365, 0.3147, 0.4519, 0.328, 0.1891]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1974556379580191069", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-04T19:25:01+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "When you take the same business but for AI compute then funnel it down to $NBIS and others, it will be more profitable than people think after buildout", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NBIS: AI compute cloud will prove more profitable than critics expect, analogous to AWS/Azure/GCP.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@PronkDaniel People said that about it AWS, Azure, GCP and others but they turned out to be the cash cows of Mag7.\n\nWhen you take the same business but for AI compute then funnel it down to $NBIS and others, it will be more profitable than people think after buildout.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I'm seeing people place 10X sales terminal valuations on $NBIS, $IREN &amp; $CRWV.\n\nThese are high-capex businesses that will probably have razor-thin profit margins long-term.\n\nBut let the music play, I guess.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PronkDaniel", "ret_m1d": 0.024331686058298496, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.024331686058298496, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.027905099888647533, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02536163966359417, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003573413830349037, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0010299536052956748, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05794785778525535, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05794785778525535, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.054240365534293455, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05408546586101959, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003707492250961897, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003862391924235764, "ret_p1w": 0.08420044875054766, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08420044875054766, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09696083918837084, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10711698237275302, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012760390437823177, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02291653362220536, "ret_p1m": -0.11525533251555797, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11525533251555797, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12066032886061862, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0834983857493572, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404996345060642, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03175694676620078, "ret_p3m": -0.33003841687685054, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.33003841687685054, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.34838988659386383, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.34369479237732004, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01835146971701329, "bench_c_p3m": 0.013656375500469498, "ret_p6m": -0.1695213693877481, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1695213693877481, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.14336492701560377, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.12715427923932554, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.026156442372144317, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04236709014842255, "price_path": [-0.6314, -0.6284, -0.6454, -0.5842, -0.5716, -0.5733, -0.5703, -0.5775, -0.5808, -0.5917, -0.5848, -0.5825, -0.5888, -0.5778, -0.5966, -0.5895, -0.5644, -0.5838, -0.5664, -0.5584, -0.5591, -0.4773, -0.4495, -0.4378, -0.3971, -0.4347, -0.4521, -0.4268, -0.4194, -0.4622, -0.46, -0.4703, -0.4479, -0.4396, -0.4359, -0.4389, -0.4234, -0.4532, -0.4532, -0.474, -0.4745, -0.4805, -0.476, -0.4873, -0.2339, -0.2525, -0.2861, -0.2764, -0.272, -0.2842, -0.247, -0.2467, -0.2051, -0.1468, -0.1372, -0.0937, -0.1361, -0.138, -0.1178, -0.1014, -0.0747, 0.0074, 0.0243, 0.0, -0.0579, -0.0235, 0.0616, 0.0371, 0.0842, 0.0257, 0.0071, -0.0152, -0.092, -0.1276, -0.1654, -0.2107, -0.1503, -0.0615, 0.0039, -0.0249, 0.0013, -0.0061, 0.0471, -0.0358, -0.1153, -0.0636, -0.1241, -0.1093, -0.12, -0.1818, -0.2448, -0.2906, -0.3314, -0.3118, -0.2753, -0.2391, -0.3226, -0.3336, -0.2644, -0.2886, -0.2421, -0.2421, -0.2407, -0.1984, -0.228, -0.2083, -0.1772, -0.2153, -0.197, -0.2283, -0.2509, -0.2454, -0.2981, -0.3506, -0.3521, -0.3961, -0.375, -0.284, -0.2538, -0.2794, -0.2706, -0.2706, -0.2989, -0.3113, -0.3183, -0.33, -0.33, -0.2801, -0.257, -0.1977, -0.23, -0.2212, -0.2162, -0.1409, -0.1562, -0.1838, -0.1685, -0.1297, -0.1297, -0.2053, -0.2087, -0.2248, -0.2436, -0.268, -0.2167, -0.1962, -0.2404, -0.3182, -0.2944, -0.2801, -0.3406, -0.4088, -0.3109, -0.2566, -0.2653, -0.2908, -0.2818, -0.2155, -0.2155, -0.2195, -0.1852, -0.1387, -0.2163, -0.1947, -0.179, -0.1506, -0.1606, -0.2701, -0.2716, -0.3053, -0.2174, -0.2344, -0.285, -0.2401, -0.2282, -0.1036, -0.1353, -0.096, 0.0393, -0.0689, -0.0511, -0.0274, -0.0586, -0.0864, -0.0803, -0.0788, -0.1518, -0.1931, -0.2616, -0.1695]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1971296246234251640", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-25T19:30:24+00:00", "symbol": "AMZN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AMZN is a great DCA buy right now", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "AMZN is a great DCA buy right now; considering adding calls on dips.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMZN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@__visionxry__ $AMZN is a great DCA buy right now.\n\nSuper tempted to buy calls but just sitting in current positions for a week unless there's some -4% day.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Unfortunately im not that regarded and usually only do shares:( but went 10% amazon just now", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "__visionxry__", "ret_m1d": 0.009443102796327985, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.009443102796327985, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004808222298319009, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0048656345539572765, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004634880498008975, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014308737350285261, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.007471945580644679, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.007471945580644679, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0017428012136504467, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007302506211003701, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005729144366994232, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01477445179164838, "ret_p1w": 0.019527893123143736, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.019527893123143736, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.002553604079839733, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.006065885719445108, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016974289043304003, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013462007403698628, "ret_p1m": 0.027779110643745275, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.027779110643745275, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.001398025500459088, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.021683121974984232, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.029177136144204363, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006095988668761043, "ret_p3m": 0.06413021262701735, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06413021262701735, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.015588495764225607, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.02770558430358938, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04854171686279174, "bench_c_p3m": 0.036424628323427966, "ret_p6m": -0.05858353947679318, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.05858353947679318, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.04978931826460331, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.02740819037899811, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.008794221212189868, "bench_c_p6m": -0.08599172985579129, "price_path": [0.0057, 0.0106, 0.0081, 0.0241, 0.0241, 0.0244, 0.0055, 0.0201, 0.0188, 0.0315, 0.0346, 0.0376, 0.0231, 0.0263, 0.0366, 0.0511, 0.0427, 0.0465, 0.0645, 0.0609, 0.0671, 0.059, 0.0552, 0.0732, -0.0156, -0.0298, -0.0202, 0.0191, 0.0228, 0.0208, 0.0144, 0.0152, 0.0294, 0.0588, 0.059, 0.0612, 0.0452, 0.0259, 0.0174, 0.049, 0.0449, 0.0484, 0.0503, 0.0617, 0.0497, 0.0497, 0.033, 0.0359, 0.0804, 0.065, 0.0811, 0.0921, 0.0558, 0.0541, 0.0458, 0.0609, 0.0729, 0.0617, 0.06, 0.0611, 0.0435, 0.0117, 0.0094, 0.0, 0.0075, 0.0184, 0.0065, 0.0114, 0.0195, 0.0062, 0.0126, 0.0166, 0.0324, 0.044, -0.0082, 0.0088, -0.0081, -0.0118, -0.0169, -0.0234, -0.0077, 0.0178, -0.0009, 0.0135, 0.0278, 0.0404, 0.0509, 0.0557, 0.0216, 0.1195, 0.1643, 0.1429, 0.1469, 0.1141, 0.1204, 0.1387, 0.1419, 0.1194, 0.0891, 0.0758, 0.0675, 0.0202, 0.0208, -0.0046, 0.0116, 0.0373, 0.0528, 0.0505, 0.0505, 0.0691, 0.0721, 0.0746, 0.0652, 0.0502, 0.0522, 0.0401, 0.0448, 0.0625, 0.0556, 0.0369, 0.0201, 0.0202, 0.0143, 0.0395, 0.0422, 0.0471, 0.0641, 0.0652, 0.0652, 0.0659, 0.0638, 0.0659, 0.0581, 0.0581, 0.0383, 0.0683, 0.1044, 0.1073, 0.129, 0.134, 0.1298, 0.1121, 0.0848, 0.0918, 0.0961, 0.0961, 0.0589, 0.0603, 0.0742, 0.0963, 0.0929, 0.1216, 0.114, 0.1081, 0.097, 0.1137, 0.0938, 0.068, 0.0208, -0.0359, -0.0432, -0.0513, -0.0645, -0.085, -0.0887, -0.0887, -0.0779, -0.0612, -0.0609, -0.0369, -0.059, -0.044, -0.0344, -0.0469, -0.0374, -0.0447, -0.0432, -0.0061, 0.0036, -0.0226, -0.0214, -0.0175, -0.0252, -0.0395, -0.048, -0.0294, -0.0135, -0.038, -0.043, -0.0586]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1990827921909674301", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-18T17:02:19+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$IREN has extremely high upside if they get orchestration right on the infrastructure level", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long IREN at $49 on vertical integration, high-capacity GW, and MSFT hyperscaler deal, though execution risk is elevated.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$IREN has extremely high upside if they get orchestration right on the infrastructure level and a $100B+ marketcap ($400) is a tad-overly ambitious but possible. \n\nVertically integrated, high connected GW capacity, and hyperscaler deals like $MSFT make $IREN a buy at $49.\n\nHowever, execution risk is a much, much higher now with the Microsoft deal, now that they decided to buy GPUs. \n\nManaging the full GPU stack, including system integration, software, drivers, and networking (that $ORCL failed to do well) goes far beyond colo.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $IREN is a $400 stock. I've been accumulating since $12/share and have a heavy buy order. Although, I believe we go lower. \n\nEven with solid $NVDA earnings.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JordaanTrades", "ret_m1d": -0.02947796666711955, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02947796666711955, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03794663553089628, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.031035400611000186, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00846866886377673, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0015574339438806373, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.061821836998956825, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.061821836998956825, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06568503714179375, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06552056472380519, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00386320014283692, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0036987277248483608, "ret_p1w": -0.028249688772232773, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.028249688772232773, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.050883393828809576, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.051025690252892275, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022633705056576803, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022776001480659502, "ret_p1m": -0.3084953974524225, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3084953974524225, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3256448517706365, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.37195665488802176, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01714945431821402, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06346125743559927, "ret_p3m": -0.13572154473925513, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.13572154473925513, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17160281896388108, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.14468639607745504, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03588127422462595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.008964851338199908, "ret_p6m": 0.12937563750738534, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.12937563750738534, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0016035209449167809, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.12818349983361021, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13097915845230212, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0011921376737751288, "price_path": [-0.599, -0.5613, -0.5267, -0.5294, -0.5424, -0.5284, -0.4579, -0.4579, -0.4041, -0.4225, -0.4651, -0.4647, -0.4639, -0.382, -0.3116, -0.3275, -0.3048, -0.2397, -0.2538, -0.2242, -0.2565, -0.209, -0.1423, -0.1449, -0.035, -0.0524, -0.1431, -0.0598, -0.0393, -0.0362, -0.0375, 0.033, 0.1822, 0.2626, 0.2301, 0.3071, 0.2235, 0.313, 0.424, 0.3916, 0.2657, 0.243, 0.2123, 0.1299, 0.061, 0.1435, 0.2876, 0.3304, 0.2778, 0.2368, 0.1918, 0.2436, 0.3869, 0.364, 0.5642, 0.3707, 0.277, 0.2317, 0.1746, 0.1402, -0.0041, -0.0508, -0.0295, 0.0, -0.0618, -0.1101, -0.1349, -0.0074, -0.0282, -0.0082, -0.0082, -0.0213, -0.0074, -0.1582, -0.1001, -0.0491, -0.0847, -0.0514, -0.0411, -0.1009, -0.1005, -0.1785, -0.2737, -0.251, -0.3085, -0.2671, -0.1828, -0.1394, -0.1388, -0.1406, -0.1406, -0.175, -0.1932, -0.216, -0.2268, -0.2268, -0.1259, -0.0125, -0.0602, -0.107, -0.0649, -0.0577, 0.0303, 0.0847, 0.0825, 0.0622, 0.1836, 0.1836, 0.1107, 0.0948, 0.0698, 0.1603, 0.0719, 0.228, 0.2884, 0.225, 0.1001, 0.0866, 0.1134, -0.08, -0.1855, -0.1437, -0.0553, -0.1212, -0.1265, -0.1806, -0.1357, -0.1357, -0.1613, -0.1386, -0.1138, -0.1816, -0.1329, -0.0696, -0.0987, -0.0944, -0.1617, -0.1527, -0.2047, -0.1026, -0.1786, -0.2487, -0.2049, -0.2197, -0.1406, -0.1531, -0.1488, -0.08, -0.1206, -0.1359, -0.1472, -0.1548, -0.1369, -0.1582, -0.1519, -0.2334, -0.2817, -0.3527, -0.2983, -0.3021, -0.2882, -0.2882, -0.2809, -0.2684, -0.2461, -0.2414, -0.1951, -0.1183, -0.0303, -0.0006, -0.0235, -0.0149, -0.0027, -0.0753, -0.0094, 0.0649, 0.0366, -0.01, -0.0903, -0.1226, -0.0684, -0.0653, 0.0129, 0.1206, 0.2483, 0.1638, 0.2528, 0.129, 0.1578, 0.1294]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2003129898660192292", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-22T15:45:58+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I've found $LITE to be the most asymmetrical setup since it's central to ironwood (with OCS), blackwell, and other hyperscaler ASICs", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long LITE as asymmetric setup on hyperscaler ASIC optical; long AAOI as extreme alpha / levered play on AMZN Trainium + MSFT Maia with unique InP fab.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Among $LITE, $COHR, Innolight, etc. I've found $LITE to be the most asymmetrical setup since it's central to ironwood (with OCS), blackwell, and other hyperscaler ASICs.  \n\nHowever, $AAOI is extreme alpha. Especially as a levered play on $AMZN Trainium, $MSFT Maia ASICs scale up + one of the only InP fab in US.\n\nAlthough they have $4B $AMZN warrants + purchase agreements, it does seem likely that Dec's orders were Maia-based clusters. There's rumors that $AAOI seems to be developing a new optical interconnect architecture specifically for $MSFT's silicon too.\n\n$AAOI hasn't moved at all, despite hyperscaler ASIC hype + photonic rallies, so it's a hidden gem for sure at $2B MC. However, it is highly levered to $MSFT and $AMZN (which will likely succeed + deploy their own ASICs at scale given their own cloud departments)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "AI data centers don’t just need more GPUs, they need a way to move massive amounts of data between them.\n\nThat’s where optical chips come in.\n\nMcKinsey estimates that by 2029, 800G optical modules will dominate the market, but production may fall 40–60% short of demand.\n\nIn other https://t.co/5RD17yrPQO", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "yianisz", "ret_m1d": -0.04732228371797842, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04732228371797842, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04113096270264427, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04113096270264427, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006335285702701143, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006335285702701143, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010905740521134022, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010905740521134022, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "ret_p1w": -0.044295730263061106, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.044295730263061106, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04870550153834863, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04870550153834863, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "ret_p1m": -0.08476971862273575, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08476971862273575, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07418310393722505, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07418310393722505, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "ret_p3m": 0.9804298635804474, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.9804298635804474, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.016979113890733, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.016979113890733, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6082, -0.5919, -0.5877, -0.583, -0.5827, -0.5604, -0.5646, -0.5798, -0.5881, -0.5969, -0.5817, -0.5902, -0.6163, -0.5882, -0.5979, -0.5984, -0.5813, -0.5774, -0.5871, -0.5821, -0.5946, -0.5678, -0.5401, -0.5029, -0.4912, -0.4504, -0.4867, -0.483, -0.4881, -0.5169, -0.403, -0.3852, -0.3841, -0.3334, -0.3524, -0.349, -0.4181, -0.4046, -0.3791, -0.3654, -0.3102, -0.4018, -0.3444, -0.2322, -0.2529, -0.2093, -0.2093, -0.166, -0.1845, -0.2233, -0.2229, -0.1591, -0.15, -0.1214, -0.0758, -0.0612, -0.0456, -0.1681, -0.1416, -0.1891, -0.1786, -0.1353, -0.0473, 0.0, -0.0063, 0.0155, 0.0155, 0.0023, -0.0443, -0.048, -0.0546, -0.0546, -0.0097, -0.0842, 0.0193, 0.0077, -0.1068, -0.0986, -0.1283, -0.0732, -0.1494, -0.1195, -0.1683, -0.1683, -0.0848, -0.0704, -0.0908, -0.13, -0.1473, -0.0493, -0.0125, -0.0216, 0.005, 0.086, 0.116, 0.1941, 0.2938, 0.4158, 0.4803, 0.4392, 0.4725, 0.4965, 0.4434, 0.4434, 0.54, 0.5242, 0.6303, 0.7128, 0.7306, 0.7653, 0.8554, 0.7364, 0.7978, 1.009, 0.7811, 0.7462, 0.6693, 0.4323, 0.6433, 0.7236, 0.7236, 0.5802, 0.5966, 0.6026, 0.6661, 0.7975, 0.9804, 0.8117, 0.8697, 1.057, 0.9934, 0.7667, 0.8024, 0.6795, 0.8025, 0.9612, 1.1209, 1.1209, 0.9808, 1.0923, 1.2982, 1.2933, 1.3015, 1.2345, 1.1873, 1.1135, 1.2859, 1.2932, 1.2959, 1.1466, 1.2407, 1.1722, 1.2613, 1.205, 1.0298, 1.2015, 1.3144, 1.4365, 1.5038, 1.5509, 1.422, 1.2894, 1.3181, 1.7011, 1.5453, 1.6428, 1.5695, 1.4897, 1.2699, 1.283, 1.2265, 1.4738, 1.4287, 1.4287, 1.3361, 1.3143, 1.2074, 1.1929, 1.1929, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2003129898660192292", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-22T15:45:58+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI is extreme alpha. Especially as a levered play on $AMZN Trainium, $MSFT Maia ASICs scale up + one of the only InP fab in US", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long LITE as asymmetric setup on hyperscaler ASIC optical; long AAOI as extreme alpha / levered play on AMZN Trainium + MSFT Maia with unique InP fab.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Among $LITE, $COHR, Innolight, etc. I've found $LITE to be the most asymmetrical setup since it's central to ironwood (with OCS), blackwell, and other hyperscaler ASICs.  \n\nHowever, $AAOI is extreme alpha. Especially as a levered play on $AMZN Trainium, $MSFT Maia ASICs scale up + one of the only InP fab in US.\n\nAlthough they have $4B $AMZN warrants + purchase agreements, it does seem likely that Dec's orders were Maia-based clusters. There's rumors that $AAOI seems to be developing a new optical interconnect architecture specifically for $MSFT's silicon too.\n\n$AAOI hasn't moved at all, despite hyperscaler ASIC hype + photonic rallies, so it's a hidden gem for sure at $2B MC. However, it is highly levered to $MSFT and $AMZN (which will likely succeed + deploy their own ASICs at scale given their own cloud departments)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "AI data centers don’t just need more GPUs, they need a way to move massive amounts of data between them.\n\nThat’s where optical chips come in.\n\nMcKinsey estimates that by 2029, 800G optical modules will dominate the market, but production may fall 40–60% short of demand.\n\nIn other https://t.co/5RD17yrPQO", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "yianisz", "ret_m1d": -0.19887456920609026, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.19887456920609026, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1926832481907561, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1926832481907561, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03951907202210658, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03951907202210658, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.034948617203673704, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.034948617203673704, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "ret_p1w": -0.059982124248184165, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.059982124248184165, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06439189552347169, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06439189552347169, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "ret_p1m": 0.0042204142646937726, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0042204142646937726, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.01480702895020447, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01480702895020447, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "ret_p3m": 1.6069828619156716, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.6069828619156716, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.643532112225957, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.643532112225957, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3173, -0.3263, -0.3408, -0.3365, -0.3367, -0.2731, -0.2843, -0.2856, -0.1357, -0.1985, -0.1759, -0.172, -0.3055, -0.2557, -0.2715, -0.1572, -0.2035, -0.1835, -0.1267, -0.1457, -0.2333, -0.1968, -0.1301, -0.048, -0.0569, -0.0925, -0.103, -0.0904, -0.1549, -0.2454, -0.194, -0.2557, -0.2692, -0.3498, -0.3925, -0.3876, -0.4651, -0.451, -0.4467, -0.4657, -0.4662, -0.5015, -0.4736, -0.4252, -0.4186, -0.346, -0.346, -0.315, -0.3214, -0.3344, -0.3439, -0.3288, -0.3199, -0.2879, -0.2229, -0.1053, -0.071, -0.1799, -0.2352, -0.2592, -0.3058, -0.2518, -0.1989, 0.0, 0.0395, 0.0487, 0.0487, -0.0492, -0.06, -0.0787, -0.1083, -0.1083, 0.0129, -0.105, -0.0124, -0.0266, -0.1556, -0.1293, -0.1375, -0.1257, -0.1183, -0.0536, -0.0526, -0.0526, 0.0042, -0.0183, -0.0242, -0.0863, -0.1076, -0.0436, 0.1569, 0.0121, 0.1155, 0.1296, 0.1797, 0.0206, -0.0247, 0.1331, 0.2255, 0.2403, 0.238, 0.1252, 0.1372, 0.1372, 0.1232, 0.1111, 0.2017, 0.3219, 0.3802, 0.4393, 0.4866, 0.3733, 1.1545, 1.6221, 1.4387, 1.5505, 1.587, 1.4448, 1.8295, 2.082, 2.2488, 1.7162, 1.4763, 1.4062, 1.2082, 1.3694, 1.607, 1.2392, 1.4494, 1.9134, 1.9265, 1.4919, 1.5121, 1.1791, 1.1637, 1.2087, 1.6579, 1.6579, 1.7484, 2.0091, 2.3943, 2.4096, 2.8522, 2.9184, 2.7445, 2.6462, 3.024, 3.0778, 3.1814, 2.8514, 2.822, 2.523, 3.1481, 2.7289, 2.5109, 2.9092, 3.2041, 3.694, 3.4246, 3.6187, 3.5668, 3.0299, 2.8097, 3.7295, 3.816, 4.7066, 4.2071, 3.8692, 3.4318, 3.3824, 3.2271, 3.5226, 3.6423, 3.6423, 3.5433, 3.5998, 3.3233, 3.0519, 3.0519, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2009200373496496218", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-08T09:47:52+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AXTI's CEO said they control 40% of the InP majority of the supply chain. And the substrate supply chain would likely be monopolized by them after Japan export controls. So one company bottlenecks everything above.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AXTI: controls 40% of InP supply chain, likely monopolizes substrate after Japan export controls, bottlenecking hyperscaler optics, transceivers, LiDAR, and SiPh.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "FYI 7n prices are exploding on SMM (and it trades at an even higher premium in US markets)\n\nIt's a critical material used in:\n- Hyperscaler optics (TPU pods, etc)\n- Optical transceivers (5g, data)\n- LiDAR (robotaxis, drones, military)\n-Optical Modules (interconnect clusters)\n- Silicon photonics laser dies (Nvidia’s future co-packaged optics and Intel/Broadcom SiPh engines use  InP CW laser arrays.)\n\n$AXTI's CEO said they control 40% of the InP majority of the supply chain. And the substrate supply chain would likely be monopolized by them after Japan export controls.\n\nSo one company bottlenecks everything above.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit It's a commodity with low barriers to entry, hence why it is still unprofitable despite memory already ramping production.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "HenryKengie", "ret_m1d": -0.06658921093437264, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06658921093437264, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06669075392629065, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08252666898558814, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0001015429919180022, "bench_c_m1d": 0.015937458051215492, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.10994967715742876, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.10994967715742876, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.11656301955152137, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.1369695461149617, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006613342394092614, "bench_c_p1d": 0.027019868957532944, "ret_p1w": -0.004258637656851416, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.004258637656851416, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.00821792672809174, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05025048991950287, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003959289071240324, "bench_c_p1w": 0.045991852262651456, "ret_p1m": -0.06852498888856806, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06852498888856806, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07013476485135361, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1283434021372133, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0016097759627855535, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05981841324864523, "ret_p3m": 0.7599689980157815, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7599689980157815, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.8012877645453652, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.7047682425571753, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04131876652958366, "bench_c_p3m": 0.055200755458606254, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.8219, -0.8231, -0.8223, -0.8091, -0.8254, -0.8099, -0.7998, -0.8087, -0.7995, -0.7654, -0.7604, -0.7445, -0.7263, -0.7166, -0.6922, -0.6725, -0.6694, -0.6477, -0.6566, -0.6338, -0.5958, -0.5912, -0.5749, -0.5958, -0.5958, -0.6032, -0.6167, -0.6086, -0.6341, -0.6543, -0.6384, -0.6427, -0.5954, -0.5954, -0.5858, -0.5823, -0.5447, -0.5556, -0.5316, -0.5517, -0.5079, -0.4208, -0.3995, -0.3659, -0.4266, -0.4259, -0.4967, -0.5215, -0.4576, -0.4328, -0.4108, -0.4332, -0.4189, -0.4189, -0.405, -0.4352, -0.3883, -0.367, -0.367, -0.3511, -0.3546, -0.2191, -0.0666, 0.0, -0.1099, -0.139, -0.1672, -0.1444, -0.0043, -0.1448, -0.1448, -0.1711, -0.2342, -0.3062, -0.3264, -0.3109, -0.3341, -0.3484, -0.3659, -0.2822, -0.1893, -0.2358, -0.2741, -0.2091, -0.0685, 0.0751, -0.0573, 0.0376, -0.0403, -0.0616, -0.0616, -0.1014, -0.0887, -0.0782, 0.1491, 0.1007, 0.3581, 0.5861, 0.4371, 0.4673, 0.7933, 0.6167, 0.5149, 0.5021, 0.2532, 0.4928, 0.7151, 0.8335, 0.8091, 0.8916, 0.8734, 0.7174, 0.8877, 1.2489, 1.0999, 1.4948, 1.6496, 1.6074, 1.2652, 1.3473, 1.0414, 1.206, 0.825, 1.0457, 1.0457, 0.6256, 0.76, 1.0588, 1.4437, 1.4847, 1.5726, 1.6055, 1.4363, 2.1661, 2.1963, 2.0492, 1.9024, 2.3659, 1.9141, 1.9485, 1.7158, 1.6601, 1.7515, 2.067, 2.7166, 3.1038, 3.1638, 3.0585, 3.1974, 3.5048, 3.8707, 3.758, 3.7209, 3.4514, 3.7921, 3.0991, 3.3701, 3.0499, 3.6852, 4.4522, 4.4522, 4.1336, 3.753, 3.4793, 2.9938, 2.9938, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1994140728533102895", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-27T20:26:13+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "But even if $NBIS were $160 I wouldn't sell it because it's more of how long ahead the market prices in a stock. Forward numbers are just blowout for 2026... core business is probably doing $13B+ ARR in two years... could easily be a $100B+ company in the near future", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Strong long NBIS: wouldn't sell even at $160, blowout 2026 forward numbers, $13B+ ARR in 2 years, $100B+ market cap potential.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yeah $NBIS is an extremely high beta stock capable of moving 30-40% in 1 week timeframes.\n\nEspecially come December when there’s a rate cut + Santa rally (if there’s no yen carry trade shenanigans), could see a straight line up.\n\nBut even if $NBIS were $160 I wouldn’t sell it because it’s more of how long ahead the market prices in a stock. (Right now markets are wearing blindfolds and looking the wrong direction)\n\nForward numbers are just blowout for 2026, and who knows for 2027. When your core business is probably doing $13B+ ARR in two years and all your side businesses are scaling 100%+ Y/Y, could easily be a $100B+ company in the near future.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Gonna happen faster than we think if we mean by market cap.\nCould be by YE2025", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "babyfolio", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0019009430830585483, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0019009430830585483, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0035574632555563923, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00622422630590691, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005458406338614941, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008125169388965459, "ret_p1w": 0.08564790792322552, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08564790792322552, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07871824252335347, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07402809323810788, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006929665399872054, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011619814685117635, "ret_p1m": -0.0749815811643798, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0749815811643798, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09362234586868434, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10898401768209143, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018640764704304535, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03400243651771162, "ret_p3m": 0.08332452409145019, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08332452409145019, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0690516585030807, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06518662201906844, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014272865588369488, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01813790207238175, "ret_p6m": 1.2681381216075018, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.2681381216075018, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.1648459096533572, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.2529063304181431, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10329221195414462, "bench_c_p6m": 0.01523179118935869, "price_path": [-0.2785, -0.3059, -0.3067, -0.3145, -0.3086, -0.3235, 0.0109, -0.0137, -0.0581, -0.0452, -0.0394, -0.0555, -0.0064, -0.006, 0.0488, 0.1258, 0.1385, 0.1958, 0.1399, 0.1374, 0.164, 0.1857, 0.2209, 0.3293, 0.3516, 0.3195, 0.243, 0.2884, 0.4008, 0.3685, 0.4306, 0.3534, 0.3289, 0.2994, 0.198, 0.1511, 0.1013, 0.0415, 0.1211, 0.2384, 0.3246, 0.2866, 0.3212, 0.3114, 0.3816, 0.2723, 0.1674, 0.2356, 0.1558, 0.1752, 0.1612, 0.0795, -0.0035, -0.064, -0.1178, -0.092, -0.0438, 0.004, -0.1061, -0.1207, -0.0295, -0.0614, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0019, 0.0577, 0.0186, 0.0447, 0.0856, 0.0354, 0.0596, 0.0182, -0.0116, -0.0043, -0.0739, -0.1431, -0.1451, -0.2032, -0.1753, -0.0552, -0.0154, -0.0492, -0.0376, -0.0376, -0.075, -0.0914, -0.1005, -0.116, -0.116, -0.0501, -0.0196, 0.0586, 0.0161, 0.0276, 0.0342, 0.1335, 0.1134, 0.077, 0.0971, 0.1483, 0.1483, 0.0486, 0.0441, 0.0228, -0.002, -0.0341, 0.0336, 0.0606, 0.0023, -0.1003, -0.069, -0.0501, -0.1299, -0.2199, -0.0907, -0.0191, -0.0306, -0.0642, -0.0524, 0.0351, 0.0351, 0.0299, 0.0751, 0.1364, 0.0341, 0.0625, 0.0833, 0.1207, 0.1076, -0.037, -0.0389, -0.0833, 0.0326, 0.0101, -0.0566, 0.0026, 0.0184, 0.1828, 0.141, 0.1928, 0.3713, 0.2285, 0.2521, 0.2833, 0.2422, 0.2055, 0.2135, 0.2154, 0.1191, 0.0647, -0.0257, 0.0958, 0.0767, 0.1492, 0.1492, 0.1885, 0.2398, 0.3201, 0.4398, 0.531, 0.6323, 0.7102, 0.7612, 0.7461, 0.6595, 0.6809, 0.6533, 0.649, 0.6589, 0.5541, 0.5309, 0.4311, 0.4911, 0.4598, 0.6315, 0.8631, 0.8579, 1.0603, 0.9513, 0.8698, 0.9654, 0.8915, 1.1889, 1.3355, 1.3227, 1.1107, 1.0882, 1.0258, 1.3226, 1.2681]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1999565528235671806", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-12T19:42:26+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I wanted to add to my $LITE position since that was my lowest right now, so might be a buying opportunity as you mentioned", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Sees today's drop as a buying opportunity in LITE; plans to add to existing position on ASIC/photonics demand spillover thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DigestingX I'm researching $AVGO earnings right now and ASIC demand spillover to photonics like $LITE!\n\nI wanted to add to my $LITE position since that was my lowest right now, so might be a buying opportunity as you mentioned.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What price are you targeting to get more $LITE? Today’s drop seems like a potential opportunity", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DigestingX", "ret_m1d": 0.14718664817641125, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.14718664817641125, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.13631781792372166, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.13631781792372166, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010868830252689587, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010868830252689587, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.031879131010685624, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.031879131010685624, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03339001879343684, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03339001879343684, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0015108877827512135, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0015108877827512135, "ret_p1w": 0.14515179801550593, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.14515179801550593, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14391812991472186, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14391812991472186, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0012336681007840689, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0012336681007840689, "ret_p1m": 0.04784951047208774, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04784951047208774, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02518160191406671, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02518160191406671, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022667908558021033, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022667908558021033, "ret_p3m": 1.071835940664458, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.071835940664458, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.0768692921099574, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.0768692921099574, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.005033351445499434, "bench_c_p3m": -0.005033351445499434, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4731, -0.4964, -0.4713, -0.4798, -0.4922, -0.4944, -0.5291, -0.5094, -0.5044, -0.4988, -0.4984, -0.4716, -0.4766, -0.495, -0.5049, -0.5155, -0.4972, -0.5074, -0.5387, -0.505, -0.5166, -0.5173, -0.4967, -0.492, -0.5036, -0.4976, -0.5127, -0.4805, -0.4472, -0.4025, -0.3883, -0.3394, -0.383, -0.3786, -0.3847, -0.4193, -0.2824, -0.261, -0.2597, -0.1987, -0.2216, -0.2175, -0.3006, -0.2843, -0.2537, -0.2372, -0.1709, -0.2809, -0.212, -0.077, -0.102, -0.0495, -0.0495, 0.0025, -0.0198, -0.0664, -0.0659, 0.0108, 0.0218, 0.0561, 0.1109, 0.1284, 0.1472, 0.0, 0.0319, -0.0253, -0.0126, 0.0394, 0.1452, 0.202, 0.1944, 0.2207, 0.2207, 0.2048, 0.1488, 0.1444, 0.1364, 0.1364, 0.1904, 0.1008, 0.2253, 0.2113, 0.0737, 0.0835, 0.0478, 0.114, 0.0224, 0.0583, -0.0003, -0.0003, 0.1001, 0.1174, 0.0929, 0.0458, 0.025, 0.1428, 0.187, 0.176, 0.2081, 0.3054, 0.3415, 0.4353, 0.5552, 0.7018, 0.7794, 0.73, 0.77, 0.7989, 0.735, 0.735, 0.8511, 0.8322, 0.9597, 1.0588, 1.0803, 1.122, 1.2303, 1.0873, 1.161, 1.4148, 1.141, 1.099, 1.0065, 0.7217, 0.9753, 1.0718, 1.0718, 0.8995, 0.9192, 0.9264, 1.0027, 1.1607, 1.3805, 1.1777, 1.2474, 1.4726, 1.3961, 1.1236, 1.1666, 1.0188, 1.1667, 1.3575, 1.5493, 1.5493, 1.381, 1.515, 1.7625, 1.7567, 1.7665, 1.6859, 1.6292, 1.5405, 1.7477, 1.7565, 1.7597, 1.5803, 1.6934, 1.611, 1.7182, 1.6505, 1.4399, 1.6463, 1.7819, 1.9287, 2.0096, 2.0663, 1.9113, 1.7519, 1.7865, 2.2468, 2.0596, 2.1767, 2.0887, 1.9928, 1.7285, 1.7442, 1.6763, 1.9736, 1.9194, 1.9194, 1.8081, 1.7819, 1.6534, 1.6359, 1.6359, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1968024941112275406", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-16T18:51:24+00:00", "symbol": "ETOR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's genuinely undervalued though at ~22% growth and 18 P/E and market is pricing this wrong. Maybe there will be some random 40% rally once IPO buyers give up.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long ETOR: genuinely undervalued at 22% growth / 18x P/E, market mispricing; potential 40% rally.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETOR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I think $ETOR might have been my only cost-avg loss so far this year 😅. It important to post unrealized losses as well.\n\nI don't think I took into Cathie Wood buying up the stock for @ARKInvest  into my calculations since stocks usually do the reverse when she enters/exits. \n\nBut 756.7M million+ in net cash, 3.6B market cap, and profitable. \n\nIBKR seems to be loved growing at similar rates, but it's often compared to $HOOD or $BULL that's growing at 40%+. \n\nIt's genuinely undervalued though at ~22% growth and 18 P/E and market is pricing this wrong. Maybe there will be some random 40% rally once IPO buyers give up.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Cathie buying $BLSH $ETOR $TOST $FIG, selling $TEM.\n$ARKF $BTC $ETH https://t.co/hpoAkcsf6j", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0018420868176958205, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0018420868176958205, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.003220777774740391, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.003220777774740391, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0013786909570445705, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0013786909570445705, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011743083873975713, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011743083873975713, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010500648581427074, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010500648581427074, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012424352925486382, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012424352925486382, "ret_p1w": 0.007598388534160172, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.007598388534160172, "alpha_spy_p1w": -5.1233894958535586e-05, "alpha_c_p1w": -5.1233894958535586e-05, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007649622429118708, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007649622429118708, "ret_p1m": -0.11236474864895774, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11236474864895774, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12299213090811578, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12299213090811578, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010627382259158047, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010627382259158047, "ret_p3m": -0.12618004843954023, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.12618004843954023, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.16201360948739374, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.16201360948739374, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03583356104785351, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03583356104785351, "ret_p6m": -0.28851026015655457, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.28851026015655457, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3191301068526111, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3191301068526111, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030619846696056552, "bench_c_p6m": 0.030619846696056552, "price_path": [0.4601, 0.37, 0.391, 0.4686, 0.4969, 0.551, 0.4872, 0.5333, 0.4808, 0.4603, 0.4453, 0.4453, 0.4095, 0.4112, 0.4048, 0.367, 0.327, 0.2938, 0.2402, 0.3127, 0.3387, 0.3074, 0.2936, 0.3265, 0.4359, 0.4681, 0.4985, 0.4621, 0.3979, 0.4278, 0.3806, 0.3376, 0.3647, 0.3347, 0.2961, 0.298, 0.3339, 0.2733, 0.1683, 0.1052, 0.0951, 0.1085, 0.0967, 0.0295, 0.0219, 0.0302, 0.0732, 0.0302, 0.0449, 0.0251, 0.0223, 0.0223, 0.0223, 0.076, 0.0799, 0.0627, 0.0684, 0.0578, 0.0456, -0.0184, 0.0221, 0.0163, -0.0018, 0.0, -0.0117, 0.0115, 0.0166, 0.0366, 0.0076, -0.023, -0.0553, -0.0536, -0.0332, -0.0497, -0.1006, -0.0451, -0.0564, -0.0513, -0.067, -0.0576, -0.0907, -0.1103, -0.0937, -0.1002, -0.1124, -0.1128, -0.1391, -0.0891, -0.0863, -0.128, -0.1241, -0.0958, -0.0732, -0.1015, -0.1271, -0.1375, -0.1467, -0.1603, -0.207, -0.2123, -0.2293, -0.1969, -0.1312, -0.0504, -0.0484, -0.096, -0.0675, -0.1131, -0.0972, -0.1179, -0.1573, -0.1529, -0.1043, -0.081, -0.0334, -0.0334, -0.0336, -0.0357, -0.0391, -0.0168, 0.0115, -0.0097, -0.0488, -0.0306, -0.0615, -0.0958, -0.1262, -0.1584, -0.1706, -0.1996, -0.181, -0.1662, -0.1603, -0.166, -0.1722, -0.1722, -0.1743, -0.1787, -0.1817, -0.1911, -0.1911, -0.1784, -0.1644, -0.193, -0.2337, -0.251, -0.2719, -0.2641, -0.2816, -0.2788, -0.28, -0.2786, -0.2786, -0.2906, -0.2963, -0.2839, -0.2754, -0.2795, -0.2754, -0.277, -0.3042, -0.323, -0.3449, -0.3772, -0.3889, -0.4299, -0.3781, -0.3507, -0.3488, -0.3797, -0.3843, -0.3677, -0.3677, -0.2385, -0.2669, -0.2862, -0.2821, -0.2968, -0.2922, -0.2531, -0.2567, -0.2938, -0.2938, -0.2749, -0.2484, -0.2471, -0.2673, -0.2729, -0.2857, -0.2885]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1989729797724148211", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-15T16:18:45+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "For $NBIS it's a validation of high-demand for full-stack infrastructure, not a limitation. They have 2.5 GW contracted capacity and sold out of current capacity. The capacity ramp is a reflection of their $7-$9B ARR estimate. Again they can contract more and increase their ARR and I'd expect them to sell out again", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish NBIS: sold-out capacity validates demand, $7-9B ARR ramp ahead with hyperscaler DC buildouts as tailwind.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "For $NBIS it's a validation of high-demand for full-stack infrastructure, not a limitation.\n\nThey have 2.5 GW contracted capacity and sold out of current capacity. The capacity ramp is a reflection of their $7-$9B ARR estimate. \n\nAgain they can contract more and increase their ARR and I'd expect them to sell out again, especially with Antrophic building $50B DCs and $GOOGL building $40B DCs just this past week.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What's your take on the maximum capacity? \n\nI feel that it's good for $NBIS, but  just as a simple observation, if they are max capacity now, then as long as new data centers aren't being opened in an extremely rapid pace, then their revenue won't grow as aggressively estimated?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "kaltsit99__", "ret_m1d": -0.028378720006289493, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.028378720006289493, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03778276560027605, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02972795147062146, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.009404045593986554, "bench_c_m1d": 0.001349231464331968, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.053035559206290994, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.053035559206290994, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.061433111976391674, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04736900806043187, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00839755277010068, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005666551145859122, "ret_p1w": 0.0688531976949256, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0688531976949256, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06425634256313084, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.052393347345248475, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004596855131794753, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01645985034967712, "ret_p1m": -0.058502049456895966, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.058502049456895966, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07833175621938437, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10770162010072437, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019829706762488408, "bench_c_p1m": 0.049199570643828405, "ret_p3m": 0.04361479243531097, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04361479243531097, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.01715551154792272, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.009155934671352783, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026459280887388248, "bench_c_p3m": 0.034458857763958184, "ret_p6m": 1.083158799922375, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.083158799922375, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.9679167086598945, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.0343549651656587, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11524209126248053, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04880383475671635, "price_path": [-0.2153, -0.2303, -0.1977, -0.1856, -0.1803, -0.1847, -0.1621, -0.2054, -0.2054, -0.2356, -0.2365, -0.2451, -0.2385, -0.2549, 0.1133, 0.0862, 0.0373, 0.0515, 0.0579, 0.0401, 0.0942, 0.0947, 0.155, 0.2398, 0.2538, 0.3169, 0.2554, 0.2526, 0.2819, 0.3058, 0.3446, 0.4639, 0.4885, 0.4531, 0.3689, 0.4189, 0.5427, 0.5071, 0.5755, 0.4905, 0.4635, 0.431, 0.3194, 0.2677, 0.2128, 0.147, 0.2347, 0.3638, 0.4588, 0.417, 0.455, 0.4443, 0.5215, 0.4011, 0.2856, 0.3608, 0.2729, 0.2943, 0.2788, 0.1889, 0.0975, 0.0308, -0.0284, 0.0, 0.053, 0.1057, -0.0156, -0.0316, 0.0689, 0.0337, 0.1013, 0.1013, 0.1034, 0.1648, 0.1218, 0.1505, 0.1956, 0.1403, 0.1669, 0.1213, 0.0885, 0.0965, 0.0199, -0.0563, -0.0585, -0.1225, -0.0918, 0.0405, 0.0843, 0.0471, 0.0599, 0.0599, 0.0187, 0.0007, -0.0094, -0.0265, -0.0265, 0.0462, 0.0797, 0.1659, 0.119, 0.1317, 0.139, 0.2483, 0.2262, 0.1861, 0.2082, 0.2646, 0.2646, 0.1548, 0.1499, 0.1264, 0.0991, 0.0637, 0.1383, 0.1681, 0.1039, -0.0092, 0.0254, 0.0462, -0.0418, -0.1408, 0.0014, 0.0803, 0.0676, 0.0306, 0.0436, 0.1399, 0.1399, 0.1342, 0.184, 0.2516, 0.1389, 0.1702, 0.1931, 0.2342, 0.2198, 0.0606, 0.0585, 0.0095, 0.1372, 0.1125, 0.039, 0.1042, 0.1215, 0.3026, 0.2566, 0.3137, 0.5102, 0.353, 0.3789, 0.4134, 0.368, 0.3276, 0.3365, 0.3386, 0.2325, 0.1726, 0.073, 0.2068, 0.1857, 0.2656, 0.2656, 0.3089, 0.3654, 0.4538, 0.5856, 0.6861, 0.7976, 0.8835, 0.9396, 0.923, 0.8276, 0.8511, 0.8208, 0.816, 0.8269, 0.7116, 0.686, 0.5761, 0.6421, 0.6077, 0.7968, 1.0519, 1.0461, 1.269, 1.149, 1.0592, 1.1645, 1.0832]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1972677721290682505", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-29T14:59:53+00:00", "symbol": "VIRT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I just see risk/reward being good at these levels so bought Calls. Would recommend shares instead.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long VIRT via calls + shares; asymmetric volatility hedge at ~6.6x forward P/E with buyback support and upside in both low- and high-VIX scenarios.", "resolved_tickers": ["VIRT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "As you know, I do value investing too like with Upwork  (+52% in 2 months, P/E 7-> 11.5).\n\nAn interesting stock is $VIRT as an asymmetrical volatility hedge, a stock barely anyone talks about. Clean asymmetry to balance $IREN / $NBIS.\n\n6.6 forward p/e, 5.38b MC, Virtu ~ Citadel, and does market making for a large percentage of retail orders. \n\nCurrent price: $35.19\n\nAgain, nobody is really talks about this stock, so I like testing my a new thesis against the market sometimes. I could be wrong and would love feedback too! \n\nThis is a light DD on why I'm building light call + share positions:\n\n1/ Rate cuts don’t nuke earnings. Virtu’s term loans are floating (financing +2.5%). total $1.545B. −75 bps ≈ ~12M yr interest savings (not all funding prices down but most are floating tho)\n\n2/ Using Q2 as an anchor (EPS $1.65 / adj $1.53; NI ~$293M; rev ~44% YoY).\n\nIf we est EPS 10–12% for lower VIX + ~2.6% for net rate drag -> $1.31–$1.34 EPS/qtr -> $5.22–$5.35 next 12 months\n\n$35.21 / $5.35 = 6.58x forward p/e\n$35.21 / $5.22 = 6.74x forward p/e\n\nEven if we overshoot because of good Q2 quarter as an anchor without rate cuts, EPS $4.78 -> 7.4× forward p/e, is still extremely good.  \n\nOther websites like Value Investing estimate forward p/e to be 6.99 - 8 forward p/e. \n\n3/ There's ~$303M authorization remaining for buybacks off a small 5.2B marketcap.  \n\nIf vol normalizes or spikes, expect both EPS and the multiple to lift from today’s ~6–7×. If not, it's undervalued and you can sit back with buybacks. \n\nIN my opinion Virtu is a great asymmetrical hedge. If VIX stays low and we get rate cuts, VIRT is undervalued + goes up anyway or stays flat/slightly down, other equities go up, and it serves its hedging case. The Nov 2025 market-structure changes probably is the larger risk to payment order flow, which might create some headwind. \n\nRegardless VIX increases and other equities go down, VIRT would get re-rated and goes up.  \n\nI just see risk/reward being good at these levels so bought Calls. Would recommend shares instead. \n\nStarter positions: Call options for Mar 2026 (low 30 IV at entry).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.018399807113559707, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.018399807113559707, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015597316697436914, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015597316697436914, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010314987907446005, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010314987907446005, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01408185466655798, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01408185466655798, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "ret_p1w": -0.09673811713673042, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09673811713673042, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10868659851914309, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10868659851914309, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "ret_p1m": -0.036241910523391874, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.036241910523391874, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07146971726596119, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07146971726596119, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "ret_p3m": -0.05190284217825136, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05190284217825136, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0952068267904046, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0952068267904046, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "ret_p6m": 0.22316838376734394, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.22316838376734394, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.23338539017928583, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.23338539017928583, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "price_path": [0.2322, 0.2338, 0.2338, 0.243, 0.1864, 0.1923, 0.2211, 0.2186, 0.2419, 0.2244, 0.2374, 0.2508, 0.2286, 0.2064, 0.1817, 0.1973, 0.2133, 0.2253, 0.2031, 0.2208, 0.2416, 0.2236, 0.2022, 0.2034, 0.1889, 0.1767, 0.1767, 0.1765, 0.1654, 0.1673, 0.1596, 0.1596, 0.1582, 0.1493, 0.1415, 0.1479, 0.1526, 0.1657, 0.1751, 0.1964, 0.1845, 0.1751, 0.1687, 0.1687, 0.1528, 0.1558, 0.1271, 0.0842, 0.073, 0.0608, 0.0764, 0.0337, 0.0212, 0.01, -0.0131, -0.0195, -0.0184, -0.0112, -0.0279, -0.0237, -0.0176, -0.0226, -0.0184, 0.0, -0.0103, -0.0488, -0.0452, -0.0622, -0.0967, -0.0973, -0.0845, -0.0739, -0.0742, -0.0803, -0.0658, -0.0633, -0.0772, -0.0736, -0.08, -0.0714, -0.0686, -0.0672, -0.0647, -0.056, -0.0362, -0.0413, -0.0348, -0.0287, -0.0259, -0.0315, -0.0418, -0.0223, -0.0064, 0.0022, -0.0067, 0.0039, -0.0078, -0.0192, -0.0421, -0.0376, -0.0566, -0.0602, -0.0527, -0.0544, -0.0326, -0.0148, -0.0148, -0.0031, -0.0171, -0.0367, -0.0207, -0.005, -0.007, -0.0112, -0.0019, 0.004, -0.0393, -0.0539, -0.0631, -0.0499, -0.0547, -0.0581, -0.0502, -0.0673, -0.0631, -0.0519, -0.0519, -0.0424, -0.0373, -0.0466, -0.0648, -0.0648, -0.085, -0.0536, -0.069, -0.0763, -0.087, -0.0699, -0.048, -0.0443, -0.0126, 0.007, 0.0354, 0.0354, 0.0281, 0.0359, 0.0416, 0.043, 0.0528, 0.0564, 0.0522, 0.1412, 0.1651, 0.1098, 0.075, 0.0615, 0.0724, 0.0814, 0.1019, 0.1053, 0.0646, 0.055, 0.0761, 0.0761, 0.0969, 0.1047, 0.105, 0.1176, 0.1221, 0.1465, 0.1437, 0.1715, 0.169, 0.2062, 0.1755, 0.1591, 0.1543, 0.1577, 0.1839, 0.1588, 0.141, 0.1198, 0.1035, 0.097, 0.1249, 0.1258, 0.1173, 0.1752, 0.2105, 0.2232]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1997122660749529353", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-06T01:55:21+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Long $RKLB, Long $NBIS. Space ( $RKLB ) -> SpaceX just got valued at $800B from $350B. Rocketlab will grow into SpaceX's prev valuation from $26B", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long RKLB (grow into SpaceX's prior $350B valuation) and NBIS (Avride alone worth more than current market cap; short sellers mispricing it).", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The market is mispricing the #2 players in the biggest sectors on Earth. \n\nMy thesis on $RKLB = $NBIS Avride\n\n1. Space ( $RKLB ) -> SpaceX just got valued at $800B from $350B. Rocketlab will grow into SpaceX's prev valuation from $26B\n\nIt's just a matter of time.\n\n2. Robotaxis ( $NBIS ) Waymo went from $45B → $200B in 1 year. $NBIS Avride is going to grow into Waymo's previous valuation from $6B. \n\nIt's just a matter of time, whether that's 1 year or 4 years from now. \n\nAnd here is the thing with $NBIS: Avride is just one subsidiary out of multiple, and this company alone could be worth more than the entire market cap today in 2 years.  \n\nBoth the market and short sellers misprice the fact that Nebius owns the fastest growing and hottest sector companies on Earth, all growing 100%+ Y/Y. \n\nLong $RKLB, Long $NBIS.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "A short seller firm @Hedgeye is now shorting Nebius $NBIS. The stock price is now $97.8.\n\nTheir claim? Nebius is Coreweave 2.0.\n\nCoreweave [ $CRWV ]: \n\n- Small diversification in customers, mainly hyperscalers, ~quarter of their backlog is OpenAI. \n\n- $1.8B in cash left\n\n-", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.048584193200058134, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.048584193200058134, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.051597523595484196, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04981478641978199, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0030133303954260615, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012305932197238523, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03626840345379545, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03626840345379545, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03713145863141265, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.043587618678622375, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0008630551776172002, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007319215224826925, "ret_p1w": 0.07467025546115402, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07467025546115402, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07891235303361832, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05782980504454338, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004242097572464298, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01684045041661064, "ret_p1m": 0.6685414369259874, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6685414369259874, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6535856747890945, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.6155268763648194, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01495576213689298, "bench_c_p1m": 0.053014560561168045, "ret_p3m": 0.3576415464616576, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3576415464616576, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3580903136045759, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2393742185326313, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0004487671429183049, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11826732792902628, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1045, -0.0607, 0.0345, 0.0481, -0.0837, -0.0675, -0.0849, -0.0731, -0.0339, 0.0262, -0.0557, -0.0956, -0.1028, -0.0882, -0.0708, -0.0696, 0.0176, 0.0892, 0.1346, 0.193, 0.2667, 0.2882, 0.2463, 0.2688, 0.3194, 0.3435, 0.2995, 0.2853, 0.3062, 0.2684, 0.1747, 0.2329, 0.2521, 0.2727, 0.2364, 0.2832, 0.1815, 0.2215, 0.1897, 0.0972, 0.0943, -0.0378, 0.0016, 0.0066, -0.0062, -0.0308, -0.1224, -0.1168, -0.16, -0.1703, -0.154, -0.2343, -0.2184, -0.1767, -0.1738, -0.1868, -0.1868, -0.1827, -0.217, -0.1874, -0.1327, -0.0425, -0.0486, 0.0, 0.0363, 0.1156, 0.2322, 0.1926, 0.0747, 0.0762, 0.0465, 0.1621, 0.3677, 0.5041, 0.4969, 0.4969, 0.4969, 0.3702, 0.36, 0.3664, 0.353, 0.353, 0.4738, 0.5155, 0.6685, 0.6307, 0.6113, 0.6457, 0.7048, 0.6792, 0.7804, 0.7603, 0.8677, 0.8677, 0.7292, 0.7033, 0.7064, 0.7242, 0.5609, 0.6874, 0.7178, 0.6618, 0.5529, 0.4381, 0.5762, 0.418, 0.2863, 0.4026, 0.4709, 0.397, 0.3503, 0.2803, 0.308, 0.308, 0.3555, 0.4434, 0.4853, 0.3743, 0.3617, 0.3571, 0.3615, 0.409, 0.3402, 0.3765, 0.3602, 0.3947, 0.3576, 0.3598, 0.3863, 0.3369, 0.3957, 0.326, 0.3268, 0.383, 0.5242, 0.3476, 0.3951, 0.3039, 0.3189, 0.2814, 0.4135, 0.2789, 0.1817, 0.1129, 0.2455, 0.2708, 0.3136, 0.3136, 0.3125, 0.2863, 0.3398, 0.2944, 0.3198, 0.3697, 0.4007, 0.4275, 0.6084, 0.6447, 0.7351, 0.6804, 0.7463, 0.6408, 0.5454, 0.596, 0.5242, 0.4938, 0.6003, 0.5285, 0.5576, 0.5275, 0.6418, 0.524, 1.0456, 1.276, 1.2801, 1.4079, 1.5708, 1.4199, 1.5438, 1.4692, 1.6043, 1.4331, 1.633, 1.633, 1.7773, 1.9137, 1.871, 1.7828, 1.7828, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1997122660749529353", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-06T01:55:21+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Long $RKLB, Long $NBIS. Avride is just one subsidiary out of multiple, and this company alone could be worth more than the entire market cap today in 2 years", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long RKLB (grow into SpaceX's prior $350B valuation) and NBIS (Avride alone worth more than current market cap; short sellers mispricing it).", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The market is mispricing the #2 players in the biggest sectors on Earth. \n\nMy thesis on $RKLB = $NBIS Avride\n\n1. Space ( $RKLB ) -> SpaceX just got valued at $800B from $350B. Rocketlab will grow into SpaceX's prev valuation from $26B\n\nIt's just a matter of time.\n\n2. Robotaxis ( $NBIS ) Waymo went from $45B → $200B in 1 year. $NBIS Avride is going to grow into Waymo's previous valuation from $6B. \n\nIt's just a matter of time, whether that's 1 year or 4 years from now. \n\nAnd here is the thing with $NBIS: Avride is just one subsidiary out of multiple, and this company alone could be worth more than the entire market cap today in 2 years.  \n\nBoth the market and short sellers misprice the fact that Nebius owns the fastest growing and hottest sector companies on Earth, all growing 100%+ Y/Y. \n\nLong $RKLB, Long $NBIS.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "A short seller firm @Hedgeye is now shorting Nebius $NBIS. The stock price is now $97.8.\n\nTheir claim? Nebius is Coreweave 2.0.\n\nCoreweave [ $CRWV ]: \n\n- Small diversification in customers, mainly hyperscalers, ~quarter of their backlog is OpenAI. \n\n- $1.8B in cash left\n\n-", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02282468726935205, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02282468726935205, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.025838017664778112, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.030307907764036024, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0030133303954260615, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007483220494683973, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03907104652052318, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03907104652052318, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03820799134290598, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0401892068779276, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0008630551776172002, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0011181603574044185, "ret_p1w": -0.19126883376041615, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.19126883376041615, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.18702673618795185, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.19393518058786896, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004242097572464298, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0026663468274528146, "ret_p1m": -0.0008970792947529116, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0008970792947529116, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.015852841431645892, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.013367770515331667, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01495576213689298, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012470691220578756, "ret_p3m": -0.04664607016609468, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.04664607016609468, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04619730302317637, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06869522814115059, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0004487671429183049, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02204915797505591, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0692, -0.111, -0.0989, -0.0934, -0.1086, -0.0623, -0.0619, -0.0102, 0.0625, 0.0745, 0.1286, 0.0758, 0.0735, 0.0986, 0.119, 0.1523, 0.2546, 0.2756, 0.2453, 0.1731, 0.216, 0.322, 0.2915, 0.3501, 0.2773, 0.2542, 0.2264, 0.1307, 0.0864, 0.0394, -0.017, 0.0581, 0.1687, 0.2502, 0.2143, 0.2469, 0.2377, 0.3039, 0.2007, 0.1018, 0.1662, 0.0908, 0.1091, 0.0959, 0.0188, -0.0595, -0.1166, -0.1673, -0.143, -0.0976, -0.0524, -0.1564, -0.1701, -0.084, -0.1141, -0.0562, -0.0562, -0.0544, -0.0018, -0.0387, -0.0141, 0.0246, -0.0228, 0.0, -0.0391, -0.0672, -0.0603, -0.126, -0.1913, -0.1932, -0.248, -0.2217, -0.1083, -0.0708, -0.1027, -0.0917, -0.0917, -0.127, -0.1424, -0.1511, -0.1657, -0.1657, -0.1035, -0.0748, -0.0009, -0.0411, -0.0302, -0.0239, 0.0698, 0.0508, 0.0164, 0.0354, 0.0837, 0.0837, -0.0104, -0.0146, -0.0347, -0.0581, -0.0884, -0.0245, 0.001, -0.054, -0.1509, -0.1213, -0.1035, -0.1788, -0.2637, -0.1418, -0.0743, -0.0851, -0.1168, -0.1057, -0.0231, -0.0231, -0.028, 0.0147, 0.0726, -0.024, 0.0028, 0.0224, 0.0577, 0.0454, -0.0911, -0.0929, -0.1349, -0.0254, -0.0466, -0.1096, -0.0537, -0.0389, 0.1163, 0.0768, 0.1258, 0.2942, 0.1595, 0.1817, 0.2112, 0.1723, 0.1377, 0.1453, 0.1471, 0.0562, 0.0049, -0.0804, 0.0342, 0.0161, 0.0846, 0.0846, 0.1217, 0.1701, 0.2459, 0.3588, 0.4449, 0.5405, 0.6141, 0.6622, 0.648, 0.5662, 0.5864, 0.5604, 0.5563, 0.5656, 0.4668, 0.4448, 0.3506, 0.4073, 0.3778, 0.5398, 0.7584, 0.7534, 0.9445, 0.8416, 0.7647, 0.8549, 0.7852, 1.0659, 1.2042, 1.1922, 0.992, 0.9708, 0.9119, 1.1921, 1.1406, 1.1406, 1.0738, 1.0768, 1.256, 1.3033, 1.3033, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1982635468249501960", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-27T02:28:25+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS higher margins is an economic inevitability in a years time when rooted in full stack AWS-like margins, while margin delta isn't collapsing as others race to the bottom, it's widening as scale hits", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long NBIS long-term on structural full-stack margin superiority over bare-metal rivals; also short-term bullish on crypto miners pivoting to AI (IREN, WULF, CIFR).", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Great points! But...\n\nYou did base your thesis off misunderstanding gaap vs. non-gaap... which could be confusing to non-accountants and other people on X. \n\n$IREN reported non-GAAP and $NBIS GAAP when you look at hardware-segment profit to full-stack AWS margins.\n\nThe 92% percent was non-GAAP, hardware-specific profit metric that systematically excludes depreciation, data-center overhead, network expenses, support, etc. Hardware Profit Margin is typically calculated solely by deducting direct electricity costs from revenue, ignoring the components of true COGS GAAP. And when you do reporting, COGS omissions and accounting principles matter (eg. why crypto firms have like $MSTR wildly different numbers from crypto reporting like ASU 2023-08, so you don’t compare revenue with crypto holdings to Robinhood).\n\nMeanwhile $NBIS 71.2% gross margins was GAAP and includes colocation fees as part of 29% cost of revenue. So when you look into EBIT margins for the full picture, $NBIS (~30%) is vastly higher because full stack drives profitability. When $IREN scales to the $500M ARR target, they’re forced to incorporate realistic deprecation, data center costs, network expenses, and operations. If you normalize both under consistent accounting, $NBIS’s full-stack model already operates 15–25 points higher in true margin spread.\n\nYou’re right that hyperscale clients bring their own Type-1 stack. BUT... I’ve said this again to other $IREN posts that keep side-stepping this point.\n\nOnce again, Nebius’s Type-2 layer isn't for customer-facing features, it’s optimizing internal OPEX. If enterprises bring their own Type 1 (K8s/Ray), Nebius's internal orchestration (Type 2) still drives its own margins up. That's OPEX moat, it's not what customers use, it's about how efficiently you run the fleet. Think of it like AWS’s Nitro hypervisor but central to how AWS drives >80% utilization and minimal human ops. Nebius’s in-house control plane automates GPU scheduling, telemetry, and firmware lifecycles across mixed SKUs. Every percentage point of utilization is ~1-1.5 points of gross margin expansion. Nebius's in-house orchestration lowers their operating cost base and increases utilization, regardless of whether customers bring their own stack, so it’s not quite one or the other. \n\nLong-term utilization efficiency and automation compound faster than cheap power/capacity and $NBIS full stack drives higher margins long term, while others face margin compression on a race to the ground. As $NBIS scales, the incremental cost of their software proficiency approaches zero, structurally driving margins higher. Conversely, $IREN's dependency model means that as they scale, the licensing fees (3–8% of revenue if you we go with your figure) plus the necessary, unquantified SRE operational costs will remain a permanent drag on profitability, preventing the firm from achieving $NBIS's structural margin ceiling longer on. Licensing costs for outsourced Type 2 solutions are low like your 3-8% figure, but the \"20–30%\" figure is highly relevant when viewed as overhead.\n\n.Going back to GAAP-non-gaap, once $IREN is forced to recognize full GAAP costs at scale, the inevitable 15–30 point margin delta against $NBIS will materialize. I’d agree with you that short-term capacity and infrastructure is a great advantage today, which is why I’m still bullish crypto miners pivoting like $IREN, $WULF, $CIFR, but the software moat during execution, would vastly outperform bare mental infrastructure in the longer term when it comes to converting revenue to profit (and this is pretending $NBIS can’t scale up infra, which they can).\n\n$IREN current advantage is physical integration and cheap capacity, it’s capex-heavy, and subject to power-market tightening. $NBIS advantage is OPEX leverage. $NBIS higher margins is an economic inevitability in a years time when rooted in full stack AWS-like margins, while margin delta isn't collapsing as others race to the bottom, it's widening as scale hits.\n\nCheap power wins next quarter, efficient orchestration becomes the next AWS.\n\n---\n\n@Agrippa_Inv Also not trying to make fun of $IREN retail for confusing GAAP vs non-GAAP when talking about margins then making a whole post surroudning that.\n\nIt's genuinely difficult if you don't do quarterly financial reports, but there's valid points on there about infrastructure/power.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0651359176358719, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0651359176358719, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05347576869210846, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.051394016667661524, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013741900968210374, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02870125540430646, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02870125540430646, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.031357254360897535, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.023750721096447047, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004950534307859411, "ret_p1w": -0.03954396135218685, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03954396135218685, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.036771241766913265, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.009072772543005425, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": -0.030471188809181426, "ret_p1m": -0.291397615903933, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.291397615903933, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2764831740059033, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2669865978192385, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02441101808469448, "ret_p3m": -0.22785618880266678, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22785618880266678, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23628515601411337, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.22330124633290094, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": -0.004554942469765844, "ret_p6m": 0.24810653488691647, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.24810653488691647, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.21476196842477524, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.24166768131940364, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": 0.006438853567512837, "price_path": [-0.5911, -0.5661, -0.5854, -0.5681, -0.5602, -0.5608, -0.4793, -0.4516, -0.44, -0.3994, -0.4369, -0.4542, -0.429, -0.4217, -0.4643, -0.4621, -0.4724, -0.4501, -0.4418, -0.4381, -0.4411, -0.4257, -0.4553, -0.4553, -0.476, -0.4766, -0.4825, -0.478, -0.4893, -0.2369, -0.2554, -0.2889, -0.2792, -0.2748, -0.287, -0.2499, -0.2496, -0.2082, -0.1501, -0.1406, -0.0973, -0.1394, -0.1414, -0.1213, -0.1049, -0.0783, 0.0035, 0.0203, -0.0039, -0.0616, -0.0273, 0.0575, 0.0331, 0.08, 0.0217, 0.0032, -0.0191, -0.0956, -0.131, -0.1686, -0.2137, -0.1536, -0.0651, 0.0, -0.0287, -0.0026, -0.01, 0.043, -0.0395, -0.1187, -0.0672, -0.1275, -0.1128, -0.1234, -0.185, -0.2477, -0.2934, -0.334, -0.3145, -0.2782, -0.242, -0.3252, -0.3362, -0.2673, -0.2914, -0.2451, -0.2451, -0.2436, -0.2015, -0.231, -0.2114, -0.1804, -0.2184, -0.2001, -0.2314, -0.2538, -0.2483, -0.3009, -0.3531, -0.3546, -0.3985, -0.3774, -0.2868, -0.2567, -0.2822, -0.2735, -0.2735, -0.3017, -0.314, -0.321, -0.3327, -0.3327, -0.2829, -0.2599, -0.2008, -0.233, -0.2243, -0.2192, -0.1443, -0.1595, -0.187, -0.1718, -0.1331, -0.1331, -0.2084, -0.2118, -0.2279, -0.2466, -0.2708, -0.2197, -0.1993, -0.2433, -0.3208, -0.2971, -0.2829, -0.3431, -0.4111, -0.3136, -0.2595, -0.2682, -0.2936, -0.2846, -0.2186, -0.2186, -0.2225, -0.1884, -0.1421, -0.2193, -0.1979, -0.1822, -0.154, -0.1638, -0.273, -0.2744, -0.308, -0.2204, -0.2374, -0.2878, -0.2431, -0.2312, -0.1071, -0.1386, -0.0995, 0.0352, -0.0726, -0.0548, -0.0312, -0.0623, -0.0899, -0.0839, -0.0824, -0.1551, -0.1962, -0.2645, -0.1728, -0.1872, -0.1324, -0.1324, -0.1028, -0.064, -0.0034, 0.0869, 0.1558, 0.2322, 0.2911, 0.3296, 0.3182, 0.2528, 0.2689, 0.2481]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1982635468249501960", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-27T02:28:25+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm still bullish crypto miners pivoting like $IREN, $WULF, $CIFR", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long NBIS long-term on structural full-stack margin superiority over bare-metal rivals; also short-term bullish on crypto miners pivoting to AI (IREN, WULF, CIFR).", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Great points! But...\n\nYou did base your thesis off misunderstanding gaap vs. non-gaap... which could be confusing to non-accountants and other people on X. \n\n$IREN reported non-GAAP and $NBIS GAAP when you look at hardware-segment profit to full-stack AWS margins.\n\nThe 92% percent was non-GAAP, hardware-specific profit metric that systematically excludes depreciation, data-center overhead, network expenses, support, etc. Hardware Profit Margin is typically calculated solely by deducting direct electricity costs from revenue, ignoring the components of true COGS GAAP. And when you do reporting, COGS omissions and accounting principles matter (eg. why crypto firms have like $MSTR wildly different numbers from crypto reporting like ASU 2023-08, so you don’t compare revenue with crypto holdings to Robinhood).\n\nMeanwhile $NBIS 71.2% gross margins was GAAP and includes colocation fees as part of 29% cost of revenue. So when you look into EBIT margins for the full picture, $NBIS (~30%) is vastly higher because full stack drives profitability. When $IREN scales to the $500M ARR target, they’re forced to incorporate realistic deprecation, data center costs, network expenses, and operations. If you normalize both under consistent accounting, $NBIS’s full-stack model already operates 15–25 points higher in true margin spread.\n\nYou’re right that hyperscale clients bring their own Type-1 stack. BUT... I’ve said this again to other $IREN posts that keep side-stepping this point.\n\nOnce again, Nebius’s Type-2 layer isn't for customer-facing features, it’s optimizing internal OPEX. If enterprises bring their own Type 1 (K8s/Ray), Nebius's internal orchestration (Type 2) still drives its own margins up. That's OPEX moat, it's not what customers use, it's about how efficiently you run the fleet. Think of it like AWS’s Nitro hypervisor but central to how AWS drives >80% utilization and minimal human ops. Nebius’s in-house control plane automates GPU scheduling, telemetry, and firmware lifecycles across mixed SKUs. Every percentage point of utilization is ~1-1.5 points of gross margin expansion. Nebius's in-house orchestration lowers their operating cost base and increases utilization, regardless of whether customers bring their own stack, so it’s not quite one or the other. \n\nLong-term utilization efficiency and automation compound faster than cheap power/capacity and $NBIS full stack drives higher margins long term, while others face margin compression on a race to the ground. As $NBIS scales, the incremental cost of their software proficiency approaches zero, structurally driving margins higher. Conversely, $IREN's dependency model means that as they scale, the licensing fees (3–8% of revenue if you we go with your figure) plus the necessary, unquantified SRE operational costs will remain a permanent drag on profitability, preventing the firm from achieving $NBIS's structural margin ceiling longer on. Licensing costs for outsourced Type 2 solutions are low like your 3-8% figure, but the \"20–30%\" figure is highly relevant when viewed as overhead.\n\n.Going back to GAAP-non-gaap, once $IREN is forced to recognize full GAAP costs at scale, the inevitable 15–30 point margin delta against $NBIS will materialize. I’d agree with you that short-term capacity and infrastructure is a great advantage today, which is why I’m still bullish crypto miners pivoting like $IREN, $WULF, $CIFR, but the software moat during execution, would vastly outperform bare mental infrastructure in the longer term when it comes to converting revenue to profit (and this is pretending $NBIS can’t scale up infra, which they can).\n\n$IREN current advantage is physical integration and cheap capacity, it’s capex-heavy, and subject to power-market tightening. $NBIS advantage is OPEX leverage. $NBIS higher margins is an economic inevitability in a years time when rooted in full stack AWS-like margins, while margin delta isn't collapsing as others race to the bottom, it's widening as scale hits.\n\nCheap power wins next quarter, efficient orchestration becomes the next AWS.\n\n---\n\n@Agrippa_Inv Also not trying to make fun of $IREN retail for confusing GAAP vs non-GAAP when talking about margins then making a whole post surroudning that.\n\nIt's genuinely difficult if you don't do quarterly financial reports, but there's valid points on there about infrastructure/power.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03215873836881211, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03215873836881211, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.020498589425048674, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.028033473816390764, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004125264552421348, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.039544541918764, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.039544541918764, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.042200540875355075, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03316916586003127, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006375376058732729, "ret_p1w": 0.04246810627715236, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04246810627715236, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04524082586242595, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0645944793271267, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022126373049974335, "ret_p1m": -0.2695798925827233, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2695798925827233, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2546654506846936, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.25476647211453674, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.014813420468186567, "ret_p3m": -0.1958762880546734, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1958762880546734, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20430525526611998, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20840337820819355, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01252709015352016, "ret_p6m": -0.30497000071257774, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.30497000071257774, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.33831456717471897, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2941425250379808, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010827475674596965, "price_path": [-0.7517, -0.7521, -0.763, -0.7464, -0.7469, -0.7181, -0.7143, -0.7161, -0.7235, -0.7257, -0.7272, -0.7064, -0.697, -0.6814, -0.7118, -0.696, -0.6986, -0.6703, -0.6443, -0.6463, -0.656, -0.6455, -0.5926, -0.5926, -0.5521, -0.5659, -0.5979, -0.5976, -0.597, -0.5355, -0.4825, -0.4945, -0.4775, -0.4285, -0.4391, -0.4168, -0.4411, -0.4054, -0.3553, -0.3573, -0.2747, -0.2877, -0.3559, -0.2933, -0.2779, -0.2756, -0.2765, -0.2236, -0.1114, -0.0509, -0.0754, -0.0175, -0.0803, -0.0131, 0.0703, 0.046, -0.0486, -0.0657, -0.0888, -0.1507, -0.2025, -0.1405, -0.0322, 0.0, -0.0395, -0.0703, -0.1042, -0.0652, 0.0425, 0.0252, 0.1757, 0.0303, -0.0402, -0.0742, -0.1171, -0.1429, -0.2514, -0.2865, -0.2705, -0.2483, -0.2948, -0.3311, -0.3497, -0.2539, -0.2696, -0.2545, -0.2545, -0.2643, -0.2539, -0.3673, -0.3236, -0.2853, -0.312, -0.287, -0.2793, -0.3242, -0.3239, -0.3825, -0.4541, -0.437, -0.4802, -0.4491, -0.3858, -0.3531, -0.3527, -0.3541, -0.3541, -0.3799, -0.3936, -0.4107, -0.4188, -0.4188, -0.343, -0.2577, -0.2936, -0.3287, -0.2971, -0.2917, -0.2256, -0.1846, -0.1863, -0.2016, -0.1103, -0.1103, -0.1651, -0.1771, -0.1959, -0.1279, -0.1943, -0.0769, -0.0315, -0.0792, -0.1731, -0.1833, -0.1631, -0.3085, -0.3878, -0.3564, -0.2899, -0.3394, -0.3434, -0.3841, -0.3504, -0.3504, -0.3696, -0.3525, -0.3339, -0.3848, -0.3482, -0.3007, -0.3225, -0.3193, -0.3699, -0.3631, -0.4022, -0.3254, -0.3826, -0.4353, -0.4024, -0.4134, -0.3541, -0.3634, -0.3602, -0.3085, -0.339, -0.3505, -0.359, -0.3647, -0.3513, -0.3673, -0.3625, -0.4238, -0.4601, -0.5135, -0.4725, -0.4755, -0.465, -0.465, -0.4595, -0.4501, -0.4333, -0.4298, -0.395, -0.3373, -0.2711, -0.2488, -0.266, -0.2596, -0.2503, -0.305]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1982635468249501960", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-27T02:28:25+00:00", "symbol": "WULF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm still bullish crypto miners pivoting like $IREN, $WULF, $CIFR", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long NBIS long-term on structural full-stack margin superiority over bare-metal rivals; also short-term bullish on crypto miners pivoting to AI (IREN, WULF, CIFR).", "resolved_tickers": ["WULF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Great points! But...\n\nYou did base your thesis off misunderstanding gaap vs. non-gaap... which could be confusing to non-accountants and other people on X. \n\n$IREN reported non-GAAP and $NBIS GAAP when you look at hardware-segment profit to full-stack AWS margins.\n\nThe 92% percent was non-GAAP, hardware-specific profit metric that systematically excludes depreciation, data-center overhead, network expenses, support, etc. Hardware Profit Margin is typically calculated solely by deducting direct electricity costs from revenue, ignoring the components of true COGS GAAP. And when you do reporting, COGS omissions and accounting principles matter (eg. why crypto firms have like $MSTR wildly different numbers from crypto reporting like ASU 2023-08, so you don’t compare revenue with crypto holdings to Robinhood).\n\nMeanwhile $NBIS 71.2% gross margins was GAAP and includes colocation fees as part of 29% cost of revenue. So when you look into EBIT margins for the full picture, $NBIS (~30%) is vastly higher because full stack drives profitability. When $IREN scales to the $500M ARR target, they’re forced to incorporate realistic deprecation, data center costs, network expenses, and operations. If you normalize both under consistent accounting, $NBIS’s full-stack model already operates 15–25 points higher in true margin spread.\n\nYou’re right that hyperscale clients bring their own Type-1 stack. BUT... I’ve said this again to other $IREN posts that keep side-stepping this point.\n\nOnce again, Nebius’s Type-2 layer isn't for customer-facing features, it’s optimizing internal OPEX. If enterprises bring their own Type 1 (K8s/Ray), Nebius's internal orchestration (Type 2) still drives its own margins up. That's OPEX moat, it's not what customers use, it's about how efficiently you run the fleet. Think of it like AWS’s Nitro hypervisor but central to how AWS drives >80% utilization and minimal human ops. Nebius’s in-house control plane automates GPU scheduling, telemetry, and firmware lifecycles across mixed SKUs. Every percentage point of utilization is ~1-1.5 points of gross margin expansion. Nebius's in-house orchestration lowers their operating cost base and increases utilization, regardless of whether customers bring their own stack, so it’s not quite one or the other. \n\nLong-term utilization efficiency and automation compound faster than cheap power/capacity and $NBIS full stack drives higher margins long term, while others face margin compression on a race to the ground. As $NBIS scales, the incremental cost of their software proficiency approaches zero, structurally driving margins higher. Conversely, $IREN's dependency model means that as they scale, the licensing fees (3–8% of revenue if you we go with your figure) plus the necessary, unquantified SRE operational costs will remain a permanent drag on profitability, preventing the firm from achieving $NBIS's structural margin ceiling longer on. Licensing costs for outsourced Type 2 solutions are low like your 3-8% figure, but the \"20–30%\" figure is highly relevant when viewed as overhead.\n\n.Going back to GAAP-non-gaap, once $IREN is forced to recognize full GAAP costs at scale, the inevitable 15–30 point margin delta against $NBIS will materialize. I’d agree with you that short-term capacity and infrastructure is a great advantage today, which is why I’m still bullish crypto miners pivoting like $IREN, $WULF, $CIFR, but the software moat during execution, would vastly outperform bare mental infrastructure in the longer term when it comes to converting revenue to profit (and this is pretending $NBIS can’t scale up infra, which they can).\n\n$IREN current advantage is physical integration and cheap capacity, it’s capex-heavy, and subject to power-market tightening. $NBIS advantage is OPEX leverage. $NBIS higher margins is an economic inevitability in a years time when rooted in full stack AWS-like margins, while margin delta isn't collapsing as others race to the bottom, it's widening as scale hits.\n\nCheap power wins next quarter, efficient orchestration becomes the next AWS.\n\n---\n\n@Agrippa_Inv Also not trying to make fun of $IREN retail for confusing GAAP vs non-GAAP when talking about margins then making a whole post surroudning that.\n\nIt's genuinely difficult if you don't do quarterly financial reports, but there's valid points on there about infrastructure/power.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.005131942306620729, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005131942306620729, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.016792091250384167, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.016792091250384167, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1686216407015324, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1686216407015324, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.16596564174494133, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.16596564174494133, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "ret_p1w": 0.18035190441554683, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.18035190441554683, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1831246240008204, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1831246240008204, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "ret_p1m": 0.021994078409785844, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.021994078409785844, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03690852030781555, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03690852030781555, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "ret_p3m": -0.054985335859404905, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.054985335859404905, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0634143030708515, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0634143030708515, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "ret_p6m": 0.4494134868142994, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4494134868142994, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.41606892035215814, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.41606892035215814, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "price_path": [-0.6327, -0.6217, -0.651, -0.6415, -0.629, -0.6224, -0.6378, -0.6312, -0.6041, -0.6158, -0.5997, -0.3614, -0.3424, -0.3123, -0.3563, -0.3196, -0.3262, -0.3284, -0.3453, -0.3226, -0.3306, -0.3079, -0.3072, -0.3072, -0.294, -0.3416, -0.3497, -0.3306, -0.3255, -0.2449, -0.2265, -0.2199, -0.2111, -0.2309, -0.1979, -0.1679, -0.1811, -0.195, -0.1576, -0.176, -0.1642, -0.1957, -0.206, -0.1496, -0.1628, -0.1591, -0.151, -0.1261, -0.1224, -0.1129, -0.0982, -0.0037, -0.0095, 0.0264, 0.1334, 0.1342, 0.0161, 0.0213, 0.0154, -0.0367, -0.0748, -0.0557, 0.0051, 0.0, 0.1686, 0.063, 0.0865, 0.1364, 0.1804, 0.1004, 0.1261, 0.0469, 0.022, 0.0484, -0.0931, -0.0733, -0.1437, -0.1943, -0.1899, -0.1202, -0.1034, -0.1525, -0.1723, -0.074, 0.022, 0.088, 0.088, 0.1371, 0.1217, 0.0425, 0.0579, 0.107, 0.063, 0.0968, 0.143, 0.1554, 0.1606, 0.0506, -0.0843, -0.0477, -0.1518, -0.1356, -0.0821, -0.0858, -0.0894, -0.0975, -0.0975, -0.1386, -0.1628, -0.1826, -0.1576, -0.1576, -0.066, -0.0015, -0.0337, -0.0843, -0.0587, -0.0396, 0.0125, 0.0367, 0.0418, 0.0139, 0.0154, 0.0154, -0.0227, -0.0381, -0.055, 0.0352, 0.011, 0.1224, 0.1078, 0.066, -0.0198, -0.0147, 0.085, 0.0176, -0.1261, 0.0477, 0.2207, 0.2192, 0.1752, 0.1664, 0.1921, 0.1921, 0.1862, 0.1276, 0.1342, 0.1004, 0.1496, 0.2874, 0.3138, 0.3109, 0.1891, 0.1745, 0.0806, 0.1268, 0.1166, 0.0081, 0.0154, 0.0521, 0.1158, 0.0755, 0.0755, 0.2031, 0.176, 0.1217, 0.154, 0.107, 0.187, 0.1891, 0.2361, 0.1254, 0.0916, 0.0044, 0.0579, 0.0616, 0.0909, 0.0909, 0.14, 0.2148, 0.3233, 0.3952, 0.3834, 0.426, 0.5359, 0.4421, 0.4157, 0.5132, 0.5029, 0.4494]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1982635468249501960", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-10-27T02:28:25+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm still bullish crypto miners pivoting like $IREN, $WULF, $CIFR", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long NBIS long-term on structural full-stack margin superiority over bare-metal rivals; also short-term bullish on crypto miners pivoting to AI (IREN, WULF, CIFR).", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Great points! But...\n\nYou did base your thesis off misunderstanding gaap vs. non-gaap... which could be confusing to non-accountants and other people on X. \n\n$IREN reported non-GAAP and $NBIS GAAP when you look at hardware-segment profit to full-stack AWS margins.\n\nThe 92% percent was non-GAAP, hardware-specific profit metric that systematically excludes depreciation, data-center overhead, network expenses, support, etc. Hardware Profit Margin is typically calculated solely by deducting direct electricity costs from revenue, ignoring the components of true COGS GAAP. And when you do reporting, COGS omissions and accounting principles matter (eg. why crypto firms have like $MSTR wildly different numbers from crypto reporting like ASU 2023-08, so you don’t compare revenue with crypto holdings to Robinhood).\n\nMeanwhile $NBIS 71.2% gross margins was GAAP and includes colocation fees as part of 29% cost of revenue. So when you look into EBIT margins for the full picture, $NBIS (~30%) is vastly higher because full stack drives profitability. When $IREN scales to the $500M ARR target, they’re forced to incorporate realistic deprecation, data center costs, network expenses, and operations. If you normalize both under consistent accounting, $NBIS’s full-stack model already operates 15–25 points higher in true margin spread.\n\nYou’re right that hyperscale clients bring their own Type-1 stack. BUT... I’ve said this again to other $IREN posts that keep side-stepping this point.\n\nOnce again, Nebius’s Type-2 layer isn't for customer-facing features, it’s optimizing internal OPEX. If enterprises bring their own Type 1 (K8s/Ray), Nebius's internal orchestration (Type 2) still drives its own margins up. That's OPEX moat, it's not what customers use, it's about how efficiently you run the fleet. Think of it like AWS’s Nitro hypervisor but central to how AWS drives >80% utilization and minimal human ops. Nebius’s in-house control plane automates GPU scheduling, telemetry, and firmware lifecycles across mixed SKUs. Every percentage point of utilization is ~1-1.5 points of gross margin expansion. Nebius's in-house orchestration lowers their operating cost base and increases utilization, regardless of whether customers bring their own stack, so it’s not quite one or the other. \n\nLong-term utilization efficiency and automation compound faster than cheap power/capacity and $NBIS full stack drives higher margins long term, while others face margin compression on a race to the ground. As $NBIS scales, the incremental cost of their software proficiency approaches zero, structurally driving margins higher. Conversely, $IREN's dependency model means that as they scale, the licensing fees (3–8% of revenue if you we go with your figure) plus the necessary, unquantified SRE operational costs will remain a permanent drag on profitability, preventing the firm from achieving $NBIS's structural margin ceiling longer on. Licensing costs for outsourced Type 2 solutions are low like your 3-8% figure, but the \"20–30%\" figure is highly relevant when viewed as overhead.\n\n.Going back to GAAP-non-gaap, once $IREN is forced to recognize full GAAP costs at scale, the inevitable 15–30 point margin delta against $NBIS will materialize. I’d agree with you that short-term capacity and infrastructure is a great advantage today, which is why I’m still bullish crypto miners pivoting like $IREN, $WULF, $CIFR, but the software moat during execution, would vastly outperform bare mental infrastructure in the longer term when it comes to converting revenue to profit (and this is pretending $NBIS can’t scale up infra, which they can).\n\n$IREN current advantage is physical integration and cheap capacity, it’s capex-heavy, and subject to power-market tightening. $NBIS advantage is OPEX leverage. $NBIS higher margins is an economic inevitability in a years time when rooted in full stack AWS-like margins, while margin delta isn't collapsing as others race to the bottom, it's widening as scale hits.\n\nCheap power wins next quarter, efficient orchestration becomes the next AWS.\n\n---\n\n@Agrippa_Inv Also not trying to make fun of $IREN retail for confusing GAAP vs non-GAAP when talking about margins then making a whole post surroudning that.\n\nIt's genuinely difficult if you don't do quarterly financial reports, but there's valid points on there about infrastructure/power.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.005842206744696377, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005842206744696377, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.017502355688459814, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0239693602614649, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.018127153516768524, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.028237673086773385, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.028237673086773385, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.030893672043364462, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03813722322910784, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009899550142334457, "ret_p1w": 0.10808175337890424, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10808175337890424, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11085447296417783, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09834943885231096, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009732314526593289, "ret_p1m": -0.14703020073775575, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14703020073775575, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13211575883972604, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0850234511328678, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.062006749604887945, "ret_p3m": -0.15335936638141245, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15335936638141245, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.16178833359285905, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12392620505308272, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": -0.029433161328329738, "ret_p6m": -0.12171372388353252, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.12171372388353252, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.15505829034567375, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1592872886201938, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03757356473666129, "price_path": [-0.7347, -0.7342, -0.76, -0.7473, -0.7561, -0.7463, -0.7629, -0.7687, -0.7683, -0.7702, -0.7614, -0.741, -0.7463, -0.7055, -0.7196, -0.7103, -0.7128, -0.6894, -0.6767, -0.6534, -0.6597, -0.6582, -0.628, -0.628, -0.5949, -0.6052, -0.6397, -0.6339, -0.6241, -0.5511, -0.501, -0.5146, -0.4718, -0.4718, -0.4396, -0.3973, -0.4231, -0.4021, -0.3204, -0.3111, -0.3116, -0.4323, -0.4416, -0.3841, -0.387, -0.3866, -0.3277, -0.2843, -0.2532, -0.2332, -0.1431, -0.1241, -0.1738, -0.0097, 0.017, 0.0239, -0.0886, -0.0867, -0.0307, -0.12, -0.2157, -0.1599, 0.0058, 0.0, -0.0282, -0.0463, -0.0716, -0.092, 0.1081, 0.0959, 0.203, 0.057, 0.0073, -0.0433, -0.091, -0.1538, -0.2731, -0.3009, -0.3014, -0.2902, -0.2882, -0.2911, -0.3111, -0.1865, -0.147, -0.0677, -0.0677, -0.0093, -0.0414, -0.1412, -0.093, -0.0346, -0.0613, -0.0516, -0.0477, -0.1003, -0.0808, -0.1699, -0.2824, -0.2702, -0.2994, -0.2624, -0.2108, -0.2045, -0.2254, -0.2103, -0.2103, -0.2605, -0.2658, -0.2897, -0.2814, -0.2814, -0.2113, -0.1159, -0.1461, -0.2171, -0.1943, -0.1904, -0.1392, -0.1115, -0.1173, -0.147, -0.0847, -0.0847, -0.1276, -0.1373, -0.1534, -0.1446, -0.1972, -0.0871, -0.0764, -0.1383, -0.223, -0.2303, -0.2084, -0.3062, -0.3817, -0.2829, -0.184, -0.1675, -0.2074, -0.2162, -0.2006, -0.2006, -0.2386, -0.2493, -0.2308, -0.2868, -0.259, -0.1665, -0.1913, -0.1977, -0.2405, -0.2327, -0.2838, -0.2191, -0.2624, -0.3369, -0.3033, -0.3204, -0.313, -0.3325, -0.3145, -0.2629, -0.2653, -0.2858, -0.2872, -0.3179, -0.2751, -0.2756, -0.2269, -0.3014, -0.3308, -0.415, -0.3734, -0.3846, -0.3759, -0.3759, -0.35, -0.3179, -0.2493, -0.2035, -0.1952, -0.1353, -0.1018, -0.1237, -0.1558, -0.057, -0.0609, -0.1217]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1949765584989925742", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-28T09:35:15+00:00", "symbol": "IBIT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Not surprised if the US announcement in 2 days changes US policy to inflate Bitcoin $IBIT prices by acquiring more", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Expects imminent US policy announcement to drive Bitcoin/IBIT higher via government accumulation; follow DJT buying lead.", "resolved_tickers": ["IBIT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "🚿thoughts: Not surprised if the US announcement in 2 days changes US policy to inflate Bitcoin $IBIT prices by acquiring more.\n\nTrump just bought 300m in Bitcoin calls today along with 2B in Bitcoin for his $DJT company.\n\nDJT is the new Nancy Pelosi, just follow the lead.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "On the $IBIT WSB trade,  sitting on $44K+ or so unrealized profit after Friday's 3% drop.  \n\n$6557+ in realized profit just from selling covered calls in 2 months.   \n\nSame rate would be ~157K+ over 2 years.  Low risk, asymmetric upside, esp with $DJT buying 2B+ worth. https://t.co/BPa8uSvV1s", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.011028284360616314, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011028284360616314, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011279544235612504, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.011279544235612504, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0002512598749961903, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0002512598749961903, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005812211602342354, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005812211602342354, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.003174659383775591, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.003174659383775591, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0026375522185667633, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0026375522185667633, "ret_p1w": -0.028315969733020085, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.028315969733020085, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.019256988216856175, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.019256988216856175, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009058981516163911, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009058981516163911, "ret_p1m": -0.05961251998452288, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05961251998452288, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07251800027163957, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07251800027163957, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012905480287116688, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012905480287116688, "ret_p3m": -0.0676601669757273, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0676601669757273, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12525182947727842, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12525182947727842, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05759166250155112, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05759166250155112, "ret_p6m": -0.24351714641081323, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.24351714641081323, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3134237318548261, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3134237318548261, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06990658544401285, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06990658544401285, "price_path": [-0.2025, -0.1811, -0.1775, -0.2007, -0.1957, -0.1851, -0.1413, -0.1258, -0.1374, -0.1115, -0.1246, -0.1256, -0.1177, -0.106, -0.0923, -0.0791, -0.0577, -0.0785, -0.0785, -0.0686, -0.094, -0.106, -0.1139, -0.1154, -0.0999, -0.1112, -0.1376, -0.1168, -0.0794, -0.0717, -0.0784, -0.0954, -0.1097, -0.079, -0.1133, -0.1212, -0.1212, -0.1256, -0.1256, -0.1049, -0.0868, -0.0888, -0.0951, -0.0878, -0.1082, -0.0697, -0.0732, -0.0732, -0.0849, -0.0787, -0.0525, -0.0387, 0.0016, 0.0161, -0.014, 0.0109, 0.0082, -0.0063, -0.0115, 0.0107, 0.0028, 0.0083, -0.011, 0.0, -0.0058, -0.0109, -0.0116, -0.0429, -0.0283, -0.038, -0.0237, -0.004, -0.0145, 0.008, 0.0127, 0.0408, -0.001, -0.0098, -0.0156, -0.0434, -0.0328, -0.0508, -0.0127, -0.0629, -0.0596, -0.0514, -0.0525, -0.0844, -0.0844, -0.0615, -0.0496, -0.0708, -0.0548, -0.0507, -0.0578, -0.0383, -0.0308, -0.0107, -0.0238, -0.0109, -0.0213, -0.0052, -0.0258, -0.0514, -0.055, -0.0399, -0.0745, -0.0769, -0.0317, -0.0313, -0.0054, 0.0249, 0.0404, 0.0624, 0.0303, 0.0441, 0.0244, -0.0134, -0.0192, -0.0475, -0.0586, -0.0845, -0.0988, -0.0621, -0.0538, -0.0878, -0.0677, -0.0636, -0.0271, -0.0389, -0.0648, -0.0999, -0.0715, -0.0979, -0.1478, -0.1219, -0.1466, -0.1225, -0.103, -0.1304, -0.1417, -0.1715, -0.2031, -0.2235, -0.2152, -0.244, -0.2703, -0.2851, -0.2463, -0.2614, -0.2395, -0.2395, -0.2317, -0.2772, -0.23, -0.214, -0.2174, -0.2446, -0.2322, -0.2124, -0.2177, -0.2235, -0.237, -0.2748, -0.2592, -0.2741, -0.2852, -0.2562, -0.2535, -0.2601, -0.2629, -0.2629, -0.2607, -0.2641, -0.2574, -0.2601, -0.2601, -0.2408, -0.2033, -0.2183, -0.2319, -0.2322, -0.2376, -0.227, -0.2016, -0.1738, -0.1952, -0.1917, -0.1917, -0.2435]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1949765584989925742", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-07-28T09:35:15+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Not surprised if the US announcement in 2 days changes US policy to inflate Bitcoin $IBIT prices by acquiring more", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Expects imminent US policy announcement to drive Bitcoin/IBIT higher via government accumulation; follow DJT buying lead.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "🚿thoughts: Not surprised if the US announcement in 2 days changes US policy to inflate Bitcoin $IBIT prices by acquiring more.\n\nTrump just bought 300m in Bitcoin calls today along with 2B in Bitcoin for his $DJT company.\n\nDJT is the new Nancy Pelosi, just follow the lead.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "On the $IBIT WSB trade,  sitting on $44K+ or so unrealized profit after Friday's 3% drop.  \n\n$6557+ in realized profit just from selling covered calls in 2 months.   \n\nSame rate would be ~157K+ over 2 years.  Low risk, asymmetric upside, esp with $DJT buying 2B+ worth. https://t.co/BPa8uSvV1s", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0024472760737423993, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0024472760737423993, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0026985359487385896, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0002512598749961903, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -1.9742508661990676e-05, "ret_signed_p1d": -1.9742508661990676e-05, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0026178097099047726, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0026375522185667633, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.02419000561336493, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02419000561336493, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.015131024097201018, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009058981516163911, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.05191305902685461, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05191305902685461, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0648185393139713, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012905480287116688, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.06660830922439565, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06660830922439565, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12419997172594677, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05759166250155112, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.2511231864302981, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2511231864302981, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3210297718743109, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06990658544401285, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2011, -0.1817, -0.1782, -0.1965, -0.1791, -0.1772, -0.1245, -0.1268, -0.1281, -0.1166, -0.122, -0.1202, -0.1224, -0.1045, -0.0944, -0.0699, -0.053, -0.0902, -0.0719, -0.0757, -0.0858, -0.1042, -0.1181, -0.1021, -0.1059, -0.1119, -0.1386, -0.1148, -0.0647, -0.065, -0.0783, -0.1017, -0.1003, -0.0944, -0.113, -0.1106, -0.1123, -0.1239, -0.1047, -0.1007, -0.0896, -0.093, -0.0919, -0.0915, -0.1037, -0.0769, -0.0702, -0.0839, -0.0816, -0.0761, -0.056, -0.0164, -0.0035, 0.0163, -0.0012, 0.0069, 0.0116, 0.0007, -0.0041, 0.0176, 0.007, 0.0038, -0.0024, 0.0, -0.0, -0.0008, -0.0184, -0.039, -0.0242, -0.0321, -0.0246, -0.0036, -0.0105, 0.0068, 0.0191, 0.046, 0.0037, -0.0045, -0.0142, -0.0432, -0.0309, -0.0467, -0.0089, -0.0661, -0.0519, -0.0568, -0.0456, -0.0807, -0.0736, -0.057, -0.0526, -0.0611, -0.0617, -0.0496, -0.0542, -0.0337, -0.0205, -0.0155, -0.021, -0.0092, -0.0123, -0.0067, -0.019, -0.0439, -0.0501, -0.039, -0.0753, -0.0696, -0.0299, -0.0328, 0.0061, 0.0234, 0.0368, 0.0579, 0.0299, 0.046, 0.0321, -0.0399, -0.0225, -0.0408, -0.0606, -0.0826, -0.0972, -0.0622, -0.0801, -0.0868, -0.0666, -0.0584, -0.0323, -0.0421, -0.0667, -0.0816, -0.071, -0.0965, -0.1385, -0.119, -0.141, -0.1234, -0.1011, -0.1266, -0.1379, -0.1546, -0.1995, -0.219, -0.2118, -0.2244, -0.2654, -0.2784, -0.2515, -0.2593, -0.2324, -0.2259, -0.229, -0.268, -0.2253, -0.2069, -0.2186, -0.242, -0.2314, -0.214, -0.2197, -0.2155, -0.2345, -0.2672, -0.2551, -0.2695, -0.2753, -0.2529, -0.2496, -0.2587, -0.2571, -0.2602, -0.2597, -0.2611, -0.2501, -0.2579, -0.2476, -0.2373, -0.2039, -0.2052, -0.2257, -0.2281, -0.2324, -0.2267, -0.1917, -0.178, -0.1897, -0.1899, -0.2151, -0.2511]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1974310600177299618", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-04T03:08:22+00:00", "symbol": "HOOD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Ur right I'd move to sell lol", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author reverts HOOD to sell; bearish after recent 20% run-up.", "resolved_tickers": ["HOOD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@NateWGlass Ur right I'd move to sell lol. It if you're holding it currently might as well keep it for long term capital gains + pull a $PLTR.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What made you upgrade $HOOD to a hold from when you had it at a sell when it was 20% cheaper on Monday?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "NateWGlass", "ret_m1d": 0.03056983106914224, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03056983106914224, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.034143244899491276, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.030197312813490695, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003573413830349037, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00037251825565154384, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005129665335797506, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005129665335797506, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008837157586759403, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0038261022226855346, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003707492250961897, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0013035631131119718, "ret_p1w": -0.024816317533445154, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.024816317533445154, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.012055927095621977, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.005449452398165966, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012760390437823177, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019366865135279188, "ret_p1m": -0.051712129066555756, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.051712129066555756, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0571171254116164, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.027875904686321396, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404996345060642, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02383622438023436, "ret_p3m": -0.2159988716153617, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2159988716153617, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.23435034133237498, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.23948908894490517, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01835146971701329, "bench_c_p3m": 0.023490217329543484, "ret_p6m": -0.5196173181021857, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5196173181021857, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4934608757300414, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4469397874303337, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.026156442372144317, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07267753067185201, "price_path": [-0.3447, -0.3158, -0.3183, -0.3071, -0.31, -0.2843, -0.269, -0.2393, -0.2767, -0.294, -0.2924, -0.2934, -0.2732, -0.2599, -0.2838, -0.2645, -0.2857, -0.3075, -0.2627, -0.269, -0.2676, -0.229, -0.2054, -0.2124, -0.2091, -0.2471, -0.2326, -0.2086, -0.2027, -0.2548, -0.2698, -0.2631, -0.2422, -0.2518, -0.2458, -0.2866, -0.2812, -0.2789, -0.2789, -0.301, -0.3011, -0.2866, -0.2981, -0.187, -0.1786, -0.1858, -0.1838, -0.2026, -0.204, -0.1863, -0.1776, -0.1619, -0.135, -0.1343, -0.1252, -0.121, -0.1498, -0.1558, -0.0523, -0.0075, -0.0355, 0.01, 0.0306, 0.0, 0.0051, 0.0458, 0.0568, -0.0367, -0.0248, -0.0645, -0.0701, -0.0889, -0.0995, -0.0586, -0.0861, -0.1181, -0.0688, -0.031, 0.0111, 0.0138, 0.0037, -0.0429, 0.0175, 0.0195, -0.0517, -0.0123, -0.1191, -0.0964, -0.0581, -0.0855, -0.0782, -0.1576, -0.1508, -0.1961, -0.2077, -0.1809, -0.2638, -0.2562, -0.203, -0.1989, -0.1113, -0.1113, -0.1093, -0.1457, -0.1269, -0.0736, -0.0498, -0.0853, -0.0543, -0.0593, -0.0596, -0.1447, -0.1716, -0.201, -0.1723, -0.1973, -0.1879, -0.1588, -0.1517, -0.1665, -0.1651, -0.1651, -0.1811, -0.186, -0.1997, -0.216, -0.216, -0.2014, -0.1457, -0.1564, -0.1892, -0.2001, -0.201, -0.1854, -0.1665, -0.1705, -0.2351, -0.2462, -0.2462, -0.2667, -0.2658, -0.2635, -0.2584, -0.2583, -0.2705, -0.2832, -0.2982, -0.3104, -0.3768, -0.3964, -0.4411, -0.4962, -0.4259, -0.4, -0.4066, -0.4595, -0.507, -0.4734, -0.4734, -0.4771, -0.4786, -0.4756, -0.4724, -0.5024, -0.4913, -0.4626, -0.4493, -0.4742, -0.4539, -0.4727, -0.4301, -0.4416, -0.4656, -0.45, -0.4556, -0.4545, -0.4723, -0.4913, -0.478, -0.4638, -0.4808, -0.4859, -0.5086, -0.4975, -0.5211, -0.4972, -0.5123, -0.5424, -0.5483, -0.5196]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1983125674455117836", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-28T10:56:20+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I personally just moved profits from miners -> neocloud sector rotation into $NBIS", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Rotated profits into NBIS via neocloud sector play; live long position.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yeah so $FLNC, $SEI, $TE are beneficiaries of data center buildout. Aside from the others, I'm actually down right now ~30% on T1 Energy calls though after the $70M dilution news, but holding a bit longer since it's a decent segment basket for energy. \n\nLot of the recent news is omega bullish too for energy so happy mid term hold. \n\nEspecially with Trump taking stakes in Quantum, Critical Minerals, and possibly American made energy like $TE. \n\nI personally just moved profits from miners -> neocloud sector rotation into $NBIS, not other segments.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit At what point do you start rotating profits from some of the energy stocks you mentioned ($FLNC, $SEI, $TE, etc) into some of your higher conviction plays?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DigestingX", "ret_m1d": 0.029549359107072126, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.029549359107072126, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03219832241986831, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0245741950790046, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002648963312796182, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004975164028067525, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02684065167790939, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02684065167790939, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.026360264638013664, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.029328167827136653, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004803870398957244, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0024875161492272646, "ret_p1w": -0.0926701202154091, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0926701202154091, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07546642127987246, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06033181749219574, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017203698935536638, "bench_c_p1w": -0.032338302723213364, "ret_p1m": -0.22276942445822412, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.22276942445822412, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.21202803457174269, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.20458448069194934, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010741389886481434, "bench_c_p1m": -0.018184943766274775, "ret_p3m": -0.22432899466712652, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22432899466712652, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23045153955164333, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23083650341973594, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006122544884516801, "bench_c_p3m": 0.006507508752609414, "ret_p6m": 0.28162190792849584, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.28162190792849584, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.24057798588324242, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2639601283207009, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04104392204525342, "bench_c_p6m": 0.017661779607794914, "price_path": [-0.5532, -0.5732, -0.5554, -0.5472, -0.5478, -0.4639, -0.4354, -0.4235, -0.3817, -0.4203, -0.4381, -0.4121, -0.4046, -0.4485, -0.4462, -0.4568, -0.4338, -0.4253, -0.4215, -0.4246, -0.4087, -0.4392, -0.4392, -0.4606, -0.4611, -0.4672, -0.4626, -0.4742, -0.2143, -0.2334, -0.2679, -0.2579, -0.2534, -0.2659, -0.2278, -0.2274, -0.1848, -0.125, -0.1152, -0.0706, -0.114, -0.116, -0.0953, -0.0785, -0.0511, 0.0332, 0.0505, 0.0255, -0.0339, 0.0014, 0.0887, 0.0636, 0.1119, 0.0519, 0.0328, 0.0099, -0.0689, -0.1053, -0.1441, -0.1905, -0.1286, -0.0375, 0.0295, 0.0, 0.0268, 0.0193, 0.0738, -0.0112, -0.0927, -0.0396, -0.1017, -0.0866, -0.0975, -0.161, -0.2255, -0.2725, -0.3143, -0.2943, -0.2568, -0.2197, -0.3053, -0.3166, -0.2457, -0.2705, -0.2228, -0.2228, -0.2213, -0.178, -0.2083, -0.188, -0.1562, -0.1953, -0.1765, -0.2087, -0.2318, -0.2261, -0.2802, -0.334, -0.3355, -0.3807, -0.359, -0.2657, -0.2348, -0.261, -0.252, -0.252, -0.281, -0.2938, -0.3009, -0.3129, -0.3129, -0.2617, -0.238, -0.1772, -0.2103, -0.2013, -0.1962, -0.119, -0.1346, -0.1629, -0.1473, -0.1075, -0.1075, -0.185, -0.1885, -0.205, -0.2243, -0.2493, -0.1967, -0.1757, -0.221, -0.3007, -0.2764, -0.2617, -0.3237, -0.3937, -0.2933, -0.2376, -0.2466, -0.2727, -0.2635, -0.1955, -0.1955, -0.1995, -0.1644, -0.1167, -0.1963, -0.1742, -0.158, -0.129, -0.1391, -0.2515, -0.253, -0.2875, -0.1974, -0.2149, -0.2668, -0.2207, -0.2085, -0.0807, -0.1132, -0.0729, 0.0658, -0.0451, -0.0268, -0.0025, -0.0346, -0.063, -0.0568, -0.0553, -0.1302, -0.1725, -0.2427, -0.1483, -0.1632, -0.1068, -0.1068, -0.0763, -0.0364, 0.026, 0.119, 0.1899, 0.2687, 0.3292, 0.3689, 0.3571, 0.2898, 0.3064, 0.285, 0.2816]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2007514976177836145", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-03T18:10:42+00:00", "symbol": "CVX", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ASHM, $CVX, and others will likely see the benefit + re-rate heavily since it does look like we're shifting to nation-building mode faster than expected", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish ASHM and CVX on expected re-rate as US shifts to Venezuela nation-building mode faster than expected.", "resolved_tickers": ["CVX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Great observation. I made a similar point earlier where it might take ~3 months + to topple the defense minster Vladimir Lopez and FANB. \n\nHowever, from Trump's comments on the United States control over Venezuela, $ASHM, $CVX, and others will likely see the benefit + re-rate heavily since it does look like we're shifting to nation-building mode faster than expected.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit The regime is not toppled yet. Maduro was not the regime.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LeapingIntoHell", "ret_m1d": -0.048520085298902504, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.048520085298902504, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0419040351299772, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0419040351299772, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006616050168925303, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006616050168925303, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.044614047709269355, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.044614047709269355, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05056123108235866, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05056123108235866, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005947183373089304, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005947183373089304, "ret_p1w": -0.00921581930039983, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.00921581930039983, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.020034179070998914, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.020034179070998914, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010818359770599084, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010818359770599084, "ret_p1m": 0.08660347730346363, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08660347730346363, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08397152739834723, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08397152739834723, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.002631949905116393, "bench_c_p1m": 0.002631949905116393, "ret_p3m": 0.22622145050459164, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.22622145050459164, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.26998764044496315, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.26998764044496315, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.043766189940371514, "bench_c_p3m": -0.043766189940371514, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0721, -0.0847, -0.1013, -0.0829, -0.0802, -0.0819, -0.0843, -0.0761, -0.0676, -0.0718, -0.061, -0.055, -0.0611, -0.0628, -0.0697, -0.0639, -0.0734, -0.048, -0.0703, -0.0742, -0.0786, -0.0769, -0.0643, -0.0605, -0.057, -0.0746, -0.061, -0.0486, -0.0655, -0.0624, -0.0742, -0.0826, -0.0847, -0.0861, -0.0935, -0.0875, -0.0875, -0.0776, -0.069, -0.083, -0.0748, -0.0707, -0.0845, -0.0924, -0.0937, -0.0759, -0.0801, -0.0846, -0.0857, -0.1044, -0.0875, -0.0986, -0.0983, -0.0857, -0.0814, -0.0815, -0.0815, -0.0844, -0.0785, -0.0704, -0.0698, -0.0698, -0.0485, 0.0, -0.0446, -0.0528, -0.0281, -0.0106, -0.0092, 0.0001, 0.0207, 0.0141, 0.0147, 0.0147, 0.0088, 0.0176, 0.0171, 0.0175, 0.0223, 0.0317, 0.0371, 0.0448, 0.0796, 0.0621, 0.0866, 0.1061, 0.0939, 0.1038, 0.1144, 0.1124, 0.1341, 0.1132, 0.1214, 0.1214, 0.1127, 0.1332, 0.1388, 0.1335, 0.1396, 0.1422, 0.1353, 0.1349, 0.151, 0.1685, 0.1634, 0.1465, 0.1703, 0.1706, 0.1675, 0.1481, 0.182, 0.2139, 0.213, 0.2131, 0.2201, 0.224, 0.2414, 0.2432, 0.2647, 0.2744, 0.2643, 0.2806, 0.3013, 0.2986, 0.2751, 0.2166, 0.2262, 0.2262, 0.2255, 0.2421, 0.1888, 0.1732, 0.162, 0.1819, 0.1526, 0.1396, 0.1595, 0.1339, 0.1293, 0.1462, 0.1483, 0.1561, 0.1414, 0.1388, 0.1608, 0.1846, 0.1913, 0.1748, 0.185, 0.1872, 0.1411, 0.1247, 0.1193, 0.1385, 0.146, 0.1463, 0.1502, 0.1777, 0.2087, 0.2268, 0.1899, 0.1879, 0.1906, 0.1906, 0.1488, 0.1344, 0.1383, 0.1348, 0.1348, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1940482346006073582", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-02T18:46:58+00:00", "symbol": "IBIT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$IBIT $BTC 2026-2027 Leaps have huge upside", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long BTC/IBIT via 2026-2027 LEAPS on low IV, USD inflation, rising global money supply, and post-halving rally cycle; covered calls fund the position.", "resolved_tickers": ["IBIT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Seriously though $IBIT $BTC 2026-2027 Leaps have huge upside\n\nVery low IV (44-55), new bills inflated USD by 10-11%, global monetary supply increasing, historical rallies Jul/August one year after halving. \n\nMeanwhile, selling BTC CCs into weekly high IV = profit despite theta\n\n---\n\nPolymarket also is pricing in 76% odds of Bitcoin reaching $120k this year, so even if Bitcoin only goes up 10% after a few months you still make a lot from leverage + covered calls. \n\nJuly/August is usually the best time to buy before Sept weakness then rebuy Nov/Dec.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04133287555335108, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04133287555335108, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.036820056892391095, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.036820056892391095, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004512818660959983, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004512818660959983, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.003684709211522419, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.003684709211522419, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.011566095166397394, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011566095166397394, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007881385954874975, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007881385954874975, "ret_p1w": 0.018583846461669662, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.018583846461669662, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.012765565364525555, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.012765565364525555, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005818281097144107, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005818281097144107, "ret_p1m": 0.062480000645357414, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.062480000645357414, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0437355680076259, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0437355680076259, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018744432637731512, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018744432637731512, "ret_p3m": 0.0408523410214785, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0408523410214785, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03178847387120998, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03178847387120998, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07264081489268848, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07264081489268848, "ret_p6m": -0.20762575239741687, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.20762575239741687, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3267161886325859, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3267161886325859, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11909043623516902, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11909043623516902, "price_path": [-0.2357, -0.2908, -0.3017, -0.2498, -0.2764, -0.2363, -0.2265, -0.2352, -0.2317, -0.2269, -0.2269, -0.2035, -0.1657, -0.1477, -0.1467, -0.1306, -0.1368, -0.1314, -0.1427, -0.1197, -0.1158, -0.1408, -0.1354, -0.124, -0.0769, -0.0602, -0.0727, -0.0449, -0.059, -0.0601, -0.0516, -0.0389, -0.0242, -0.0101, 0.013, -0.0095, -0.0095, 0.0013, -0.0261, -0.0389, -0.0474, -0.049, -0.0324, -0.0445, -0.0729, -0.0506, -0.0104, -0.0021, -0.0093, -0.0276, -0.0429, -0.0099, -0.0468, -0.0553, -0.0553, -0.0601, -0.0601, -0.0378, -0.0183, -0.0205, -0.0272, -0.0194, -0.0413, 0.0, -0.0037, -0.0037, -0.0163, -0.0096, 0.0186, 0.0333, 0.0767, 0.0923, 0.0599, 0.0867, 0.0838, 0.0682, 0.0626, 0.0865, 0.078, 0.0839, 0.0631, 0.075, 0.0687, 0.0633, 0.0625, 0.0288, 0.0445, 0.0341, 0.0495, 0.0707, 0.0594, 0.0836, 0.0886, 0.1189, 0.0739, 0.0644, 0.0582, 0.0284, 0.0397, 0.0203, 0.0614, 0.0074, 0.0109, 0.0197, 0.0186, -0.0157, -0.0157, 0.0088, 0.0216, -0.0011, 0.016, 0.0205, 0.0128, 0.0338, 0.0418, 0.0634, 0.0493, 0.0633, 0.0521, 0.0694, 0.0473, 0.0197, 0.0159, 0.032, -0.0051, -0.0077, 0.0409, 0.0413, 0.0692, 0.1017, 0.1184, 0.1421, 0.1075, 0.1224, 0.1012, 0.0606, 0.0543, 0.0239, 0.012, -0.0159, -0.0312, 0.0082, 0.0171, -0.0194, 0.0022, 0.0066, 0.0458, 0.0332, 0.0053, -0.0324, -0.0019, -0.0303, -0.0839, -0.0561, -0.0827, -0.0567, -0.0357, -0.0652, -0.0774, -0.1094, -0.1433, -0.1653, -0.1564, -0.1873, -0.2156, -0.2315, -0.1898, -0.206, -0.1825, -0.1825, -0.1741, -0.223, -0.1722, -0.1551, -0.1588, -0.1879, -0.1746, -0.1533, -0.1591, -0.1653, -0.1798, -0.2204, -0.2036, -0.2196, -0.2317, -0.2004, -0.1975, -0.2046, -0.2076, -0.2076]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1940482346006073582", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-07-02T18:46:58+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$IBIT $BTC 2026-2027 Leaps have huge upside. Very low IV (44-55), new bills inflated USD by 10-11%, global monetary supply increasing, historical rallies Jul/August one year after halving", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long BTC/IBIT via 2026-2027 LEAPS on low IV, USD inflation, rising global money supply, and post-halving rally cycle; covered calls fund the position.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Seriously though $IBIT $BTC 2026-2027 Leaps have huge upside\n\nVery low IV (44-55), new bills inflated USD by 10-11%, global monetary supply increasing, historical rallies Jul/August one year after halving. \n\nMeanwhile, selling BTC CCs into weekly high IV = profit despite theta\n\n---\n\nPolymarket also is pricing in 76% odds of Bitcoin reaching $120k this year, so even if Bitcoin only goes up 10% after a few months you still make a lot from leverage + covered calls. \n\nJuly/August is usually the best time to buy before Sept weakness then rebuy Nov/Dec.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02903783574457086, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02903783574457086, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02452501708361088, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004512818660959983, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.007244728772290987, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.007244728772290987, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0006366571825839884, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007881385954874975, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": 0.022664429356322957, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.022664429356322957, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01684614825917885, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005818281097144107, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": 0.06337429622650159, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06337429622650159, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04462986358877008, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018744432637731512, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": 0.05090113078139202, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05090113078139202, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.021739684111296453, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07264081489268848, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.19864700664052293, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.19864700664052293, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.31773744287569194, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11909043623516902, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2298, -0.2721, -0.2994, -0.2415, -0.2685, -0.2338, -0.2234, -0.2314, -0.2281, -0.2201, -0.2242, -0.196, -0.1416, -0.1393, -0.137, -0.1299, -0.1275, -0.1339, -0.1346, -0.1136, -0.1098, -0.1296, -0.1108, -0.1086, -0.0516, -0.0541, -0.0555, -0.0431, -0.0489, -0.047, -0.0493, -0.0299, -0.019, 0.0075, 0.0258, -0.0144, 0.0053, 0.0012, -0.0097, -0.0296, -0.0447, -0.0274, -0.0315, -0.0379, -0.0669, -0.0411, 0.0132, 0.0128, -0.0016, -0.0269, -0.0254, -0.0189, -0.0391, -0.0365, -0.0384, -0.051, -0.0301, -0.0258, -0.0138, -0.0174, -0.0163, -0.0158, -0.029, 0.0, 0.0072, -0.0076, -0.0051, 0.0008, 0.0227, 0.0655, 0.0795, 0.101, 0.0819, 0.0908, 0.0958, 0.084, 0.0788, 0.1023, 0.0909, 0.0873, 0.0806, 0.0833, 0.0833, 0.0824, 0.0634, 0.041, 0.0571, 0.0485, 0.0567, 0.0793, 0.0719, 0.0907, 0.1039, 0.1331, 0.0873, 0.0784, 0.0679, 0.0365, 0.0497, 0.0327, 0.0736, 0.0116, 0.027, 0.0217, 0.0339, -0.0041, 0.0036, 0.0215, 0.0263, 0.0171, 0.0165, 0.0295, 0.0245, 0.0468, 0.0611, 0.0665, 0.0605, 0.0733, 0.0699, 0.076, 0.0627, 0.0357, 0.029, 0.0411, 0.0017, 0.0078, 0.0509, 0.0477, 0.0899, 0.1086, 0.1232, 0.146, 0.1157, 0.1332, 0.118, 0.04, 0.0589, 0.0391, 0.0177, -0.0062, -0.022, 0.0159, -0.0035, -0.0108, 0.0111, 0.02, 0.0483, 0.0376, 0.011, -0.0051, 0.0064, -0.0212, -0.0668, -0.0456, -0.0694, -0.0504, -0.0263, -0.0538, -0.0661, -0.0842, -0.1328, -0.154, -0.1462, -0.1598, -0.2042, -0.2183, -0.1891, -0.1977, -0.1685, -0.1614, -0.1648, -0.207, -0.1608, -0.1408, -0.1536, -0.1789, -0.1674, -0.1485, -0.1547, -0.1502, -0.1708, -0.2061, -0.1931, -0.2087, -0.2149, -0.1907, -0.1871, -0.197, -0.1952, -0.1986]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1975465371047239717", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-07T07:37:01+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "50% Bitcoin", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "5-year growth allocation: 50% Bitcoin, 50% Rocket Lab.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "de", "tweet_text": "@SebastianS79509 @rocket5010 50% Bitcoin | 50% RKLB", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @rocket5010 Serenity, if you had 1 million to invest today for 5 years with a focus on growth but still want to sleep well at night, how would you invest it?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SebastianS79509", "ret_m1d": 0.027180822161542606, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.027180822161542606, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.023459533260817622, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003721288900724984, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.01567280940669602, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01567280940669602, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.009709756993903751, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005963052412792269, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.06860950083099737, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06860950083099737, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05831236006334861, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01029714076764876, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.14458087234880568, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14458087234880568, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1572243561760832, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012643483827277535, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.25941810435078283, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.25941810435078283, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.28343277924645327, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02401467489567044, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.43945838152702177, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.43945838152702177, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4242905859363707, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.015167795590651068, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.045, -0.0324, -0.0132, -0.0303, -0.0223, -0.0178, -0.0284, -0.033, -0.012, -0.0222, -0.0254, -0.0314, -0.029, -0.0291, -0.0298, -0.0469, -0.067, -0.0525, -0.0602, -0.0529, -0.0326, -0.0392, -0.0224, -0.0105, 0.0156, -0.0255, -0.0334, -0.0428, -0.071, -0.0591, -0.0744, -0.0377, -0.0933, -0.0794, -0.0842, -0.0733, -0.1074, -0.1005, -0.0844, -0.0801, -0.0883, -0.0889, -0.0772, -0.0817, -0.0617, -0.0489, -0.044, -0.0495, -0.0379, -0.041, -0.0355, -0.0474, -0.0717, -0.0777, -0.0669, -0.1021, -0.0967, -0.0581, -0.0609, -0.0231, -0.0063, 0.0067, 0.0272, 0.0, 0.0157, 0.0021, -0.0678, -0.0509, -0.0686, -0.0878, -0.1092, -0.1234, -0.0894, -0.1068, -0.1133, -0.0937, -0.0858, -0.0604, -0.0699, -0.0938, -0.1082, -0.0979, -0.1227, -0.1635, -0.1446, -0.1659, -0.1489, -0.1273, -0.1519, -0.1629, -0.1791, -0.2228, -0.2417, -0.2347, -0.2469, -0.2867, -0.2994, -0.2732, -0.2808, -0.2547, -0.2484, -0.2514, -0.2893, -0.2478, -0.2299, -0.2413, -0.264, -0.2537, -0.2368, -0.2423, -0.2383, -0.2567, -0.2884, -0.2767, -0.2907, -0.2963, -0.2746, -0.2714, -0.2803, -0.2786, -0.2817, -0.2812, -0.2825, -0.2719, -0.2795, -0.2694, -0.2594, -0.227, -0.2283, -0.2482, -0.2505, -0.2547, -0.2491, -0.2151, -0.2019, -0.2133, -0.2135, -0.2379, -0.2729, -0.2641, -0.2634, -0.263, -0.2732, -0.2664, -0.2657, -0.3037, -0.3073, -0.3521, -0.3773, -0.3988, -0.4837, -0.4191, -0.4226, -0.4336, -0.4484, -0.4547, -0.433, -0.4332, -0.4443, -0.4531, -0.4487, -0.4401, -0.468, -0.4724, -0.4404, -0.4446, -0.4575, -0.4337, -0.4377, -0.4013, -0.4167, -0.439, -0.4368, -0.4242, -0.422, -0.4196, -0.4157, -0.3836, -0.3913, -0.4134, -0.4244, -0.4193, -0.4161, -0.4194, -0.4129, -0.4336, -0.4538, -0.4509, -0.4382, -0.4395]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1975465371047239717", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-07T07:37:01+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "50% RKLB", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "5-year growth allocation: 50% Bitcoin, 50% Rocket Lab.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "de", "tweet_text": "@SebastianS79509 @rocket5010 50% Bitcoin | 50% RKLB", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @rocket5010 Serenity, if you had 1 million to invest today for 5 years with a focus on growth but still want to sleep well at night, how would you invest it?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SebastianS79509", "ret_m1d": -0.04893510654640143, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04893510654640143, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.052656395447126414, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.054640152656400875, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003721288900724984, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005705046109999445, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06177856187211539, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06177856187211539, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05581550945932312, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.053091391387452225, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005963052412792269, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008687170484663165, "ret_p1w": 0.10599903488342588, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10599903488342588, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11629617565107464, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1125467881917932, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01029714076764876, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006547753308367321, "ret_p1m": -0.0827507769709368, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0827507769709368, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09539426079821434, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07594362194287341, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012643483827277535, "bench_c_p1m": -0.006807155028063394, "ret_p3m": 0.23540887558709667, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.23540887558709667, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.21139420069142623, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.20771948396276607, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02401467489567044, "bench_c_p3m": 0.027689391624330595, "ret_p6m": 0.06519262609261678, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.06519262609261678, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08036042168326785, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0074607588609287845, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.015167795590651068, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07265338495354556, "price_path": [-0.3643, -0.3655, -0.2975, -0.2749, -0.2247, -0.1655, -0.1645, -0.2328, -0.2378, -0.2009, -0.2175, -0.2289, -0.2666, -0.2881, -0.245, -0.2535, -0.2715, -0.2759, -0.2725, -0.283, -0.2813, -0.2735, -0.2681, -0.2939, -0.3009, -0.304, -0.2803, -0.2689, -0.3347, -0.3385, -0.3248, -0.2785, -0.2323, -0.2175, -0.2481, -0.2211, -0.2099, -0.2099, -0.1983, -0.2923, -0.3011, -0.2548, -0.224, -0.2354, -0.2494, -0.2126, -0.1328, -0.1214, -0.2319, -0.2183, -0.233, -0.2231, -0.1902, -0.1398, -0.2084, -0.2419, -0.2479, -0.2357, -0.2211, -0.2201, -0.147, -0.087, -0.0489, 0.0, 0.0618, 0.0798, 0.0447, 0.0636, 0.106, 0.1262, 0.0893, 0.0774, 0.0949, 0.0632, -0.0154, 0.0335, 0.0496, 0.0668, 0.0364, 0.0756, -0.0096, 0.0239, -0.0028, -0.0803, -0.0828, -0.1935, -0.1605, -0.1562, -0.167, -0.1876, -0.2643, -0.2596, -0.2959, -0.3045, -0.2908, -0.3582, -0.3448, -0.3099, -0.3074, -0.3183, -0.3183, -0.3149, -0.3437, -0.3188, -0.273, -0.1974, -0.2025, -0.1618, -0.1314, -0.0649, 0.0328, -0.0003, -0.0992, -0.0979, -0.1227, -0.0258, 0.1465, 0.2608, 0.2548, 0.2548, 0.2548, 0.1486, 0.14, 0.1453, 0.1341, 0.1341, 0.2354, 0.2704, 0.3986, 0.3669, 0.3507, 0.3795, 0.429, 0.4076, 0.4924, 0.4755, 0.5656, 0.5656, 0.4495, 0.4277, 0.4303, 0.4453, 0.3084, 0.4144, 0.4399, 0.3929, 0.3017, 0.2055, 0.3212, 0.1886, 0.0782, 0.1757, 0.233, 0.171, 0.1318, 0.0732, 0.0964, 0.0964, 0.1362, 0.2099, 0.245, 0.152, 0.1414, 0.1375, 0.1413, 0.1811, 0.1234, 0.1538, 0.1401, 0.1691, 0.138, 0.1398, 0.1621, 0.1206, 0.1699, 0.1115, 0.1122, 0.1593, 0.2777, 0.1296, 0.1694, 0.093, 0.1055, 0.0741, 0.1848, 0.072, -0.0094, -0.0671, 0.0441, 0.0652]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2009052378021150795", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-07T23:59:47+00:00", "symbol": "OSS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "There's $1.5T US Gov spending into defense which helps $OSS a LOT. Hard to imagine when they're already backlogged.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish both OSS (defense backlog + $1.5T spend) and AXTI (critical single point of failure for Western AI buildout).", "resolved_tickers": ["OSS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I don't want subscribers or want to sell anything to followers!\n\nMade my profile out of pure interest testing my own thesis against the markets and getting fulfillment in helping others too. \n\nBut to answer your question $OSS and $AXTI are way too different stocks. \n\nThere's $1.5T US Gov spending into defense which helps $OSS a LOT. Hard to imagine when they're already backlogged. \n\nThen $AXTI is single point of failure for the Western AI buildout. \n\nBoth are incredibly interesting, so I wouldn't say one is better than the other.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit wow ! Is OSS better or AXTI?  why don’t you have subscribe button? i would subscribe to you !!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "twplsource", "ret_m1d": -0.18170264919095824, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.18170264919095824, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.184936429611268, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.184936429611268, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003233780420309751, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003233780420309751, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1168996301997518, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1168996301997518, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.11700116288173756, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.11700116288173756, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00010153268198576093, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00010153268198576093, "ret_p1w": 0.48538751593042084, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.48538751593042084, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.4842564560534741, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.4842564560534741, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0011310598769467273, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0011310598769467273, "ret_p1m": 0.022871703658607467, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.022871703658607467, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.040215598047577794, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.040215598047577794, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017343894388970327, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017343894388970327, "ret_p3m": -0.019059732852432676, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.019059732852432676, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.022778033542166676, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.022778033542166676, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04183776639459935, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04183776639459935, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.291, -0.249, -0.2262, -0.1995, -0.2872, -0.3418, -0.3227, -0.3278, -0.3659, -0.3469, -0.3367, -0.3304, -0.3571, -0.3507, -0.3698, -0.3647, -0.3482, -0.4003, -0.2681, -0.3215, -0.3405, -0.31, -0.2872, -0.2961, -0.3443, -0.3507, -0.399, -0.3952, -0.4257, -0.4485, -0.4333, -0.4104, -0.4142, -0.244, -0.244, -0.2262, -0.2478, -0.2287, -0.216, -0.1665, -0.1131, -0.0635, -0.0381, -0.0178, -0.0038, -0.0381, -0.1296, -0.1131, -0.1385, -0.0889, -0.0661, -0.0775, -0.0584, -0.0813, -0.0813, -0.0864, -0.0953, -0.0915, -0.0877, -0.0877, -0.136, -0.1233, -0.1817, 0.0, 0.1169, 0.0254, 0.3278, 0.4358, 0.4854, 0.3787, 0.3545, 0.3545, 0.3698, 0.4828, 0.4409, 0.3469, 0.2859, 0.3355, 0.3164, 0.3494, 0.2567, 0.2135, 0.2122, 0.1385, 0.0229, 0.1741, 0.2262, 0.2097, 0.2008, 0.0864, 0.1055, 0.1055, 0.0521, 0.061, 0.3393, 0.2351, 0.1525, 0.169, 0.1499, 0.1601, 0.0489, 0.0959, 0.0534, 0.0661, 0.0775, 0.0686, 0.1309, 0.1982, 0.2592, 0.2897, 0.2808, 0.2973, 0.3583, 0.4282, 0.305, 0.1207, 0.1703, 0.1487, 0.1537, 0.0851, -0.026, -0.0839, -0.0381, -0.0775, -0.0292, -0.0292, -0.0191, -0.0318, 0.0127, -0.0051, -0.0089, 0.1258, 0.1131, 0.249, 0.2402, 0.2605, 0.2859, 0.2618, 0.3215, 0.2427, 0.2338, 0.2643, 0.1779, 0.1169, 0.2058, 0.2745, 0.2402, 0.2414, 0.9479, 0.9187, 0.9924, 1.0229, 0.9759, 1.0152, 1.1906, 1.0928, 1.0318, 0.9581, 0.9936, 1.0978, 1.2656, 1.2656, 1.216, 1.2313, 1.2757, 1.31, 1.31, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2009052378021150795", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-07T23:59:47+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AXTI is single point of failure for the Western AI buildout.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish both OSS (defense backlog + $1.5T spend) and AXTI (critical single point of failure for Western AI buildout).", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I don't want subscribers or want to sell anything to followers!\n\nMade my profile out of pure interest testing my own thesis against the markets and getting fulfillment in helping others too. \n\nBut to answer your question $OSS and $AXTI are way too different stocks. \n\nThere's $1.5T US Gov spending into defense which helps $OSS a LOT. Hard to imagine when they're already backlogged. \n\nThen $AXTI is single point of failure for the Western AI buildout. \n\nBoth are incredibly interesting, so I wouldn't say one is better than the other.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit wow ! Is OSS better or AXTI?  why don’t you have subscribe button? i would subscribe to you !!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "twplsource", "ret_m1d": -0.16341768703091564, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.16341768703091564, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1666514674512254, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.17017059902952703, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003233780420309751, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006752911998611388, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07133966278773185, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07133966278773185, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07144119546971761, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08702710291990967, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00010153268198576093, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01568744013217782, "ret_p1w": -0.08336790452086706, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08336790452086706, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08449896439781379, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09201685051033226, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0011310598769467273, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008648945989465195, "ret_p1m": -0.1526337707181883, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1526337707181883, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13528987632921796, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14237461066893464, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017343894388970327, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010259160049253646, "ret_p3m": 0.7416010209654871, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7416010209654871, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.7834387873600864, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.7131349093728574, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04183776639459935, "bench_c_p3m": 0.028466111592629684, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.8328, -0.8092, -0.8105, -0.8096, -0.7955, -0.8129, -0.7964, -0.7856, -0.7951, -0.7852, -0.7487, -0.7433, -0.7263, -0.7068, -0.6964, -0.6703, -0.6491, -0.6458, -0.6226, -0.6321, -0.6076, -0.567, -0.562, -0.5446, -0.567, -0.567, -0.5749, -0.5894, -0.5807, -0.608, -0.6296, -0.6126, -0.6172, -0.5666, -0.5666, -0.5562, -0.5525, -0.5122, -0.5238, -0.4981, -0.5197, -0.4728, -0.3795, -0.3567, -0.3206, -0.3857, -0.3849, -0.4608, -0.4873, -0.4189, -0.3924, -0.3687, -0.3928, -0.3774, -0.3774, -0.3625, -0.3949, -0.3447, -0.3219, -0.3219, -0.3049, -0.3086, -0.1634, 0.0, 0.0713, -0.0465, -0.0776, -0.1078, -0.0834, 0.0668, -0.0838, -0.0838, -0.112, -0.1796, -0.2567, -0.2783, -0.2617, -0.2866, -0.3019, -0.3206, -0.231, -0.1315, -0.1813, -0.2223, -0.1526, -0.0021, 0.1518, 0.01, 0.1116, 0.0282, 0.0054, 0.0054, -0.0373, -0.0236, -0.0124, 0.231, 0.1792, 0.455, 0.6993, 0.5396, 0.572, 0.9212, 0.7321, 0.623, 0.6093, 0.3426, 0.5993, 0.8374, 0.9643, 0.9382, 1.0265, 1.0071, 0.8399, 1.0224, 1.4094, 1.2497, 1.6727, 1.8387, 1.7934, 1.4268, 1.5147, 1.1871, 1.3633, 0.9552, 1.1916, 1.1916, 0.7416, 0.8855, 1.2057, 1.618, 1.662, 1.7561, 1.7914, 1.6101, 2.392, 2.4243, 2.2667, 2.1095, 2.606, 2.1219, 2.1589, 1.9096, 1.8499, 1.9477, 2.2858, 2.9818, 3.3965, 3.4608, 3.348, 3.4969, 3.8262, 4.2182, 4.0975, 4.0577, 3.769, 4.134, 3.3915, 3.6819, 3.3389, 4.0195, 4.8411, 4.8411, 4.4998, 4.0921, 3.7988, 3.2787, 3.2787, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2011837062157385907", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-15T16:25:08+00:00", "symbol": "ETOR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Valuation seems a bit absurd when you have Walmart out there at 42.2 p/e", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "ETOR at ~3.9x EV/FCF with $1.2B cash looks deeply undervalued vs Walmart at 42x P/E; implied bullish.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETOR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$ETOR is trading at ~3.9x EV/FCF just putting that out there.\n\n$2.6B MC, $1.2B of it is in cash.\n\nThen they’re doing est. $350-$380m FCF for 2026, modeling 1% interest rate cuts.\n\nAnd growing too.\n\nValuation seems a bit absurd when you have Walmart out there at 42.2 p/e. https://t.co/1k57wE5juP", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0015989522330861483, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0015989522330861483, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004314770873196427, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004314770873196427, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002715818640110279, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002715818640110279, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0019187548789270092, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0019187548789270092, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0027566288698224195, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0027566288698224195, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0008378739908954103, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0008378739908954103, "ret_p1w": -0.00543652298705799, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.00543652298705799, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0007272061147318709, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0007272061147318709, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004709316872326119, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004709316872326119, "ret_p1m": -0.12184206324004299, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12184206324004299, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10668836459706821, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10668836459706821, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.015153698642974778, "bench_c_p1m": -0.015153698642974778, "ret_p3m": 0.1103294119742455, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1103294119742455, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10438260198695026, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10438260198695026, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.005946809987295243, "bench_c_p3m": 0.005946809987295243, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2651, 0.2689, 0.2111, 0.2165, 0.2558, 0.2872, 0.2478, 0.2123, 0.198, 0.1852, 0.1663, 0.1014, 0.094, 0.0704, 0.1154, 0.2066, 0.3188, 0.3217, 0.2555, 0.2952, 0.2319, 0.2539, 0.2251, 0.1705, 0.1765, 0.244, 0.2763, 0.3425, 0.3425, 0.3422, 0.3393, 0.3345, 0.3655, 0.4049, 0.3754, 0.3211, 0.3463, 0.3035, 0.2558, 0.2136, 0.1689, 0.1519, 0.1116, 0.1375, 0.158, 0.1663, 0.1583, 0.1497, 0.1497, 0.1468, 0.1407, 0.1366, 0.1234, 0.1234, 0.141, 0.1605, 0.1209, 0.0643, 0.0403, 0.0112, 0.0221, -0.0022, 0.0016, 0.0, 0.0019, 0.0019, -0.0147, -0.0227, -0.0054, 0.0064, 0.0006, 0.0064, 0.0042, -0.0336, -0.0598, -0.0902, -0.135, -0.1513, -0.2082, -0.1362, -0.0982, -0.0956, -0.1385, -0.1449, -0.1218, -0.1218, 0.0576, 0.0182, -0.0086, -0.0029, -0.0233, -0.0169, 0.0374, 0.0323, -0.0192, -0.0192, 0.007, 0.0438, 0.0457, 0.0176, 0.0099, -0.008, -0.0118, -0.0413, -0.0371, -0.023, -0.0042, -0.0393, -0.0604, -0.0588, -0.0422, -0.0614, -0.0502, -0.039, -0.071, -0.0758, -0.0397, -0.0403, -0.0445, -0.0445, -0.0349, -0.0528, -0.0074, 0.0253, 0.0205, 0.0652, 0.1103, 0.181, 0.2152, 0.2043, 0.2453, 0.1948, 0.204, 0.1829, 0.1711, 0.1637, 0.1705, 0.1433, 0.1378, 0.1804, 0.2251, 0.2443, 0.2347, 0.2229, 0.2274, 0.2392, 0.2028, 0.3204, 0.3297, 0.298, 0.3022, 0.2731, 0.2661, 0.2667, 0.3064, 0.3064, 0.2578, 0.2344, 0.2773, 0.3425, 0.3425, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1968008602121388492", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-16T17:46:29+00:00", "symbol": "LTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LTC is great for the next month!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long LTC (1 month), long NBIS/TSM (1 year); bearish ETH and ALAB as overvalued; SG needs time.", "resolved_tickers": ["LTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DanielTan64198 Yeah $LTC is great for the next month! \n\n $NBIS / $TSM is amazing over the next year. I still think $ETH / $ALAB is a bit overvalued at this point so you closed at a good time. \n\n$SG might need a bit of time to wait.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit ALAB, CRDO were the top two for me that I've closed for now.\n\nStill in UPWK, HIMS, OSCR, been in UNH, and followed your recent callouts for NBIS and TSM. Will jump in a tiny bit into LTC this week with money I trimmed from an ETH position.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DanielTan64198", "ret_m1d": -0.010908751580293585, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010908751580293585, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012287442537338156, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0013786909570445705, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.017343536172889973, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.017343536172889973, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01858597146543861, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012424352925486382, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.07717006101780532, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07717006101780532, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08481968344692403, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007649622429118708, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.17067808010853502, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17067808010853502, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.18130546236769307, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010627382259158047, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.28782481160830553, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.28782481160830553, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.32365837265615904, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03583356104785351, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.5241213726532366, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5241213726532366, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5547412193492931, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030619846696056552, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.26, -0.2794, -0.26, -0.2628, -0.264, -0.2673, -0.2626, -0.2525, -0.2764, -0.2411, -0.2263, -0.2448, -0.2516, -0.2377, -0.2116, -0.1759, -0.1807, -0.1693, -0.1627, -0.1524, -0.1167, -0.1162, 0.0071, 0.0408, -0.0247, -0.0237, -0.0106, -0.056, -0.0565, -0.0391, -0.0766, -0.0729, 0.0536, 0.0455, 0.037, 0.0669, 0.0768, 0.0457, 0.1341, 0.1386, 0.0545, 0.0349, 0.0232, -0.0222, 0.0086, -0.0034, 0.0674, -0.0486, -0.0133, -0.0252, -0.0111, -0.0445, -0.0564, -0.0292, -0.0181, -0.0343, -0.0255, -0.0202, -0.0269, 0.022, 0.0072, 0.0271, -0.0109, 0.0, 0.0173, 0.0281, -0.0079, -0.0801, -0.0772, -0.0819, -0.1119, -0.0903, -0.0713, -0.0707, 0.0008, 0.04, 0.0477, 0.0287, 0.0177, 0.0313, 0.0947, -0.16, -0.1344, -0.1536, -0.1707, -0.2021, -0.2166, -0.1819, -0.1942, -0.2009, -0.1825, -0.1619, -0.1361, -0.1592, -0.1432, -0.1882, -0.1699, -0.2403, -0.2569, -0.2215, -0.2437, -0.1152, -0.0942, -0.1336, -0.1521, -0.1586, -0.1523, -0.2069, -0.1685, -0.1927, -0.2414, -0.2819, -0.2569, -0.2586, -0.2448, -0.247, -0.2671, -0.3255, -0.2801, -0.2525, -0.2736, -0.3003, -0.2706, -0.2515, -0.2654, -0.2789, -0.2878, -0.3255, -0.3127, -0.34, -0.3542, -0.3263, -0.3307, -0.3312, -0.3416, -0.3421, -0.3321, -0.3195, -0.3153, -0.3326, -0.3059, -0.2887, -0.2735, -0.2703, -0.2904, -0.2937, -0.2927, -0.3389, -0.3209, -0.3329, -0.3731, -0.3457, -0.3852, -0.417, -0.4052, -0.4078, -0.4085, -0.3938, -0.3918, -0.3969, -0.4254, -0.4319, -0.4785, -0.4848, -0.4889, -0.5594, -0.5214, -0.5271, -0.5364, -0.5459, -0.5384, -0.5212, -0.5215, -0.5315, -0.5367, -0.5422, -0.5201, -0.5544, -0.5552, -0.5073, -0.5165, -0.526, -0.5259, -0.5238, -0.5063, -0.5178, -0.5322, -0.533, -0.5319, -0.5241]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1968008602121388492", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-16T17:46:29+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS / $TSM is amazing over the next year", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long LTC (1 month), long NBIS/TSM (1 year); bearish ETH and ALAB as overvalued; SG needs time.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DanielTan64198 Yeah $LTC is great for the next month! \n\n $NBIS / $TSM is amazing over the next year. I still think $ETH / $ALAB is a bit overvalued at this point so you closed at a good time. \n\n$SG might need a bit of time to wait.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit ALAB, CRDO were the top two for me that I've closed for now.\n\nStill in UPWK, HIMS, OSCR, been in UNH, and followed your recent callouts for NBIS and TSM. Will jump in a tiny bit into LTC this week with money I trimmed from an ETH position.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DanielTan64198", "ret_m1d": 0.017108339193512512, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.017108339193512512, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01572964823646794, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.013058311442864845, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0013786909570445705, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004050027750647667, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.051995991390036744, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.051995991390036744, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05323842668258538, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04938033763230254, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012424352925486382, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0026156537577342043, "ret_p1w": 0.20541208413166978, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.20541208413166978, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.19776246170255107, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.20285578691908035, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007649622429118708, "bench_c_p1w": 0.002556297212589431, "ret_p1m": 0.4070222677140285, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4070222677140285, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.39639488545487045, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.42995112249092693, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010627382259158047, "bench_c_p1m": -0.022928854776898433, "ret_p3m": -0.01945653424837157, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.01945653424837157, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.055290095296225084, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.006264558343098137, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03583356104785351, "bench_c_p3m": -0.013191975905273434, "ret_p6m": 0.2523202769138344, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2523202769138344, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.22170043021777786, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2584952429756082, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030619846696056552, "bench_c_p6m": -0.006174966061773812, "price_path": [-0.4597, -0.4636, -0.4691, -0.4295, -0.4575, -0.4118, -0.4203, -0.3813, -0.4374, -0.4412, -0.4381, -0.4381, -0.4651, -0.4733, -0.4851, -0.4808, -0.5046, -0.4191, -0.4014, -0.4039, -0.3996, -0.4097, -0.4144, -0.4296, -0.4199, -0.4168, -0.4256, -0.4102, -0.4364, -0.4265, -0.3914, -0.4185, -0.3943, -0.3831, -0.384, -0.2697, -0.2309, -0.2146, -0.1577, -0.2102, -0.2345, -0.1992, -0.1889, -0.2487, -0.2456, -0.26, -0.2287, -0.217, -0.2119, -0.2161, -0.1945, -0.2361, -0.2361, -0.2651, -0.2659, -0.2742, -0.2679, -0.2837, 0.0703, 0.0443, -0.0027, 0.011, 0.0171, 0.0, 0.052, 0.0524, 0.1105, 0.192, 0.2054, 0.2661, 0.207, 0.2043, 0.2325, 0.2554, 0.2927, 0.4075, 0.4311, 0.3971, 0.3161, 0.3642, 0.4832, 0.449, 0.5147, 0.433, 0.407, 0.3758, 0.2685, 0.2188, 0.1661, 0.1028, 0.1871, 0.3112, 0.4025, 0.3623, 0.3989, 0.3886, 0.4628, 0.3471, 0.2361, 0.3083, 0.2238, 0.2443, 0.2295, 0.143, 0.0551, -0.0089, -0.0659, -0.0386, 0.0124, 0.0631, -0.0536, -0.069, 0.0276, -0.0062, 0.0588, 0.0588, 0.0608, 0.1199, 0.0785, 0.1061, 0.1495, 0.0963, 0.1219, 0.078, 0.0465, 0.0542, -0.0195, -0.0927, -0.0948, -0.1563, -0.1268, 0.0003, 0.0425, 0.0067, 0.019, 0.019, -0.0206, -0.0379, -0.0476, -0.064, -0.064, 0.0058, 0.038, 0.1209, 0.0758, 0.088, 0.095, 0.2002, 0.1789, 0.1403, 0.1616, 0.2158, 0.2158, 0.1103, 0.1056, 0.083, 0.0567, 0.0227, 0.0944, 0.123, 0.0613, -0.0474, -0.0142, 0.0058, -0.0787, -0.174, -0.0372, 0.0386, 0.0264, -0.0092, 0.0034, 0.0959, 0.0959, 0.0905, 0.1383, 0.2033, 0.0949, 0.125, 0.147, 0.1866, 0.1728, 0.0197, 0.0177, -0.0294, 0.0934, 0.0696, -0.0011, 0.0616, 0.0783, 0.2523]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1968008602121388492", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-09-16T17:46:29+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS / $TSM is amazing over the next year", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long LTC (1 month), long NBIS/TSM (1 year); bearish ETH and ALAB as overvalued; SG needs time.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DanielTan64198 Yeah $LTC is great for the next month! \n\n $NBIS / $TSM is amazing over the next year. I still think $ETH / $ALAB is a bit overvalued at this point so you closed at a good time. \n\n$SG might need a bit of time to wait.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit ALAB, CRDO were the top two for me that I've closed for now.\n\nStill in UPWK, HIMS, OSCR, been in UNH, and followed your recent callouts for NBIS and TSM. Will jump in a tiny bit into LTC this week with money I trimmed from an ETH position.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DanielTan64198", "ret_m1d": -0.005731500171311521, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005731500171311521, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0071101911283560915, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0071101911283560915, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0013786909570445705, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0013786909570445705, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0027857149381065316, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0027857149381065316, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00402815023065517, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00402815023065517, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012424352925486382, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012424352925486382, "ret_p1w": 0.07879884749387522, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07879884749387522, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07114922506475652, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07114922506475652, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007649622429118708, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007649622429118708, "ret_p1m": 0.16274910134639375, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.16274910134639375, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1521217190872357, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1521217190872357, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010627382259158047, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010627382259158047, "ret_p3m": 0.11740986356202887, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11740986356202887, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08157630251417536, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08157630251417536, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03583356104785351, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03583356104785351, "ret_p6m": 0.3566251420667781, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3566251420667781, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.32600529537072154, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.32600529537072154, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030619846696056552, "bench_c_p6m": 0.030619846696056552, "price_path": [-0.1879, -0.203, -0.2, -0.1628, -0.1527, -0.1479, -0.1305, -0.1385, -0.1453, -0.1114, -0.1068, -0.1068, -0.1283, -0.1332, -0.1181, -0.126, -0.1236, -0.1302, -0.0987, -0.0963, -0.0658, -0.0855, -0.0914, -0.1076, -0.0858, -0.081, -0.0658, -0.0766, -0.082, -0.076, -0.0809, -0.1053, -0.0909, -0.1157, -0.1199, -0.0771, -0.0801, -0.0791, -0.0707, -0.0816, -0.0833, -0.0913, -0.0817, -0.1148, -0.1304, -0.1353, -0.1137, -0.1038, -0.0919, -0.0898, -0.0936, -0.1218, -0.1218, -0.1312, -0.1198, -0.1053, -0.0741, -0.0597, -0.0455, -0.0093, -0.0151, -0.0135, -0.0057, 0.0, 0.0028, 0.0251, 0.0107, 0.0403, 0.0788, 0.0712, 0.0557, 0.0431, 0.0426, 0.0657, 0.1008, 0.0994, 0.115, 0.1539, 0.122, 0.162, 0.1443, 0.071, 0.1558, 0.1293, 0.1627, 0.1442, 0.126, 0.136, 0.1238, 0.1023, 0.1094, 0.1255, 0.1381, 0.1506, 0.1642, 0.1571, 0.1464, 0.1633, 0.1221, 0.1205, 0.1037, 0.0933, 0.1267, 0.1111, 0.109, 0.0769, 0.0869, 0.0761, 0.0605, 0.0775, 0.0589, 0.0496, 0.0862, 0.0863, 0.1065, 0.1065, 0.1124, 0.0978, 0.1146, 0.1274, 0.1178, 0.1246, 0.1519, 0.1578, 0.1835, 0.1664, 0.1174, 0.101, 0.0976, 0.0597, 0.0892, 0.1056, 0.1222, 0.1362, 0.1433, 0.1433, 0.1587, 0.1514, 0.1463, 0.1628, 0.1628, 0.2229, 0.233, 0.2528, 0.2193, 0.2168, 0.2383, 0.2694, 0.2673, 0.2516, 0.3072, 0.3101, 0.3101, 0.2518, 0.2478, 0.2526, 0.2813, 0.273, 0.2946, 0.3097, 0.2992, 0.2648, 0.3061, 0.2847, 0.2464, 0.2654, 0.3348, 0.3599, 0.3847, 0.4314, 0.4084, 0.4018, 0.4018, 0.3935, 0.3861, 0.3789, 0.4178, 0.4159, 0.476, 0.4835, 0.4418, 0.4332, 0.4123, 0.3512, 0.3676, 0.3539, 0.2967, 0.3342, 0.328, 0.3566]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1968008602121388492", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-09-16T17:46:29+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ETH / $ALAB is a bit overvalued at this point", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long LTC (1 month), long NBIS/TSM (1 year); bearish ETH and ALAB as overvalued; SG needs time.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DanielTan64198 Yeah $LTC is great for the next month! \n\n $NBIS / $TSM is amazing over the next year. I still think $ETH / $ALAB is a bit overvalued at this point so you closed at a good time. \n\n$SG might need a bit of time to wait.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit ALAB, CRDO were the top two for me that I've closed for now.\n\nStill in UPWK, HIMS, OSCR, been in UNH, and followed your recent callouts for NBIS and TSM. Will jump in a tiny bit into LTC this week with money I trimmed from an ETH position.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DanielTan64198", "ret_m1d": 0.005163878438303016, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005163878438303016, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.003785187481258445, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0013786909570445705, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.019799637873646025, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.019799637873646025, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.021042073166194664, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012424352925486382, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.07506510684895862, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07506510684895862, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08271472927807733, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007649622429118708, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.11459922153676017, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11459922153676017, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1252266037959182, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010627382259158047, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.3151707631758698, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3151707631758698, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3510043242237233, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03583356104785351, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.5444556720479654, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5444556720479654, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.575075518744022, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030619846696056552, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4401, -0.4655, -0.4622, -0.4564, -0.4628, -0.4635, -0.4618, -0.4479, -0.4658, -0.429, -0.4247, -0.443, -0.4353, -0.4192, -0.3848, -0.3439, -0.3432, -0.3309, -0.3028, -0.2514, -0.228, -0.212, -0.1644, -0.1675, -0.194, -0.1767, -0.1724, -0.159, -0.1577, -0.1544, -0.1792, -0.2254, -0.1742, -0.198, -0.182, -0.1308, -0.1096, -0.0614, 0.0194, 0.0561, 0.0099, -0.0141, -0.0424, -0.0955, -0.0375, -0.0623, 0.0728, -0.029, 0.0215, -0.0, 0.0008, -0.0318, -0.042, -0.0396, -0.0118, -0.0455, -0.0436, -0.0434, -0.0432, -0.0343, -0.0094, 0.047, 0.0052, 0.0, 0.0198, 0.0192, -0.0072, -0.0668, -0.0751, -0.0777, -0.1411, -0.1038, -0.0636, -0.0794, -0.0339, -0.0035, 0.0025, 0.0409, -0.0116, 0.0053, -0.0298, -0.1467, -0.0573, -0.084, -0.1146, -0.1352, -0.149, -0.1161, -0.1392, -0.1544, -0.1438, -0.1263, -0.0851, -0.1158, -0.1333, -0.1553, -0.1458, -0.2001, -0.2689, -0.2395, -0.2645, -0.2372, -0.2076, -0.2416, -0.2421, -0.2822, -0.3108, -0.3284, -0.3066, -0.3287, -0.3712, -0.3859, -0.3444, -0.3432, -0.3277, -0.3306, -0.3267, -0.3782, -0.3343, -0.2913, -0.304, -0.3284, -0.3061, -0.2626, -0.2616, -0.2812, -0.3152, -0.3418, -0.3418, -0.3713, -0.3723, -0.3388, -0.3325, -0.342, -0.3459, -0.3553, -0.3503, -0.3484, -0.3402, -0.3412, -0.3338, -0.3062, -0.2836, -0.2681, -0.2968, -0.3107, -0.3154, -0.3134, -0.2623, -0.2551, -0.2634, -0.2683, -0.2924, -0.3482, -0.3385, -0.345, -0.3442, -0.3502, -0.3289, -0.3324, -0.3742, -0.3999, -0.4794, -0.5054, -0.524, -0.5955, -0.5418, -0.5329, -0.5516, -0.5691, -0.5677, -0.5451, -0.5564, -0.5576, -0.5661, -0.5674, -0.5628, -0.588, -0.5886, -0.5438, -0.55, -0.5713, -0.5499, -0.5597, -0.5278, -0.54, -0.5606, -0.5575, -0.5477, -0.5445]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1968008602121388492", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-09-16T17:46:29+00:00", "symbol": "ALAB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ETH / $ALAB is a bit overvalued at this point", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long LTC (1 month), long NBIS/TSM (1 year); bearish ETH and ALAB as overvalued; SG needs time.", "resolved_tickers": ["ALAB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DanielTan64198 Yeah $LTC is great for the next month! \n\n $NBIS / $TSM is amazing over the next year. I still think $ETH / $ALAB is a bit overvalued at this point so you closed at a good time. \n\n$SG might need a bit of time to wait.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit ALAB, CRDO were the top two for me that I've closed for now.\n\nStill in UPWK, HIMS, OSCR, been in UNH, and followed your recent callouts for NBIS and TSM. Will jump in a tiny bit into LTC this week with money I trimmed from an ETH position.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DanielTan64198", "ret_m1d": -0.031408351316518646, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.031408351316518646, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.032787042273563216, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03127821241167239, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0013786909570445705, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00013013890484625534, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0443486406232696, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0443486406232696, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.045591075915818235, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05072863566284491, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012424352925486382, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006379995039575315, "ret_p1w": -0.03634990125143289, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03634990125143289, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0439995236805516, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0835163856804525, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007649622429118708, "bench_c_p1w": 0.047166484429019606, "ret_p1m": -0.32382008929321693, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.32382008929321693, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.334447471552375, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.43634898815167145, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010627382259158047, "bench_c_p1m": 0.11252889885845452, "ret_p3m": -0.3766488953113105, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3766488953113105, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.41248245635916403, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5293457749968966, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03583356104785351, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1526968796855861, "ret_p6m": -0.4777419381429544, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4777419381429544, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.508361784839011, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.7871975061200547, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030619846696056552, "bench_c_p6m": 0.3094555679771003, "price_path": [-0.5832, -0.6102, -0.6401, -0.6346, -0.6246, -0.5898, -0.6188, -0.6213, -0.6287, -0.6291, -0.6197, -0.6197, -0.6247, -0.6135, -0.5818, -0.5937, -0.5984, -0.6218, -0.6132, -0.615, -0.5898, -0.5723, -0.4896, -0.5104, -0.4996, -0.4904, -0.4881, -0.4805, -0.5041, -0.4603, -0.4274, -0.451, -0.4224, -0.4324, -0.2697, -0.2844, -0.2492, -0.2486, -0.1959, -0.1891, -0.2014, -0.2217, -0.2193, -0.2836, -0.2778, -0.2565, -0.25, -0.2707, -0.2522, -0.2495, -0.2079, -0.237, -0.237, -0.2703, -0.2604, -0.2129, -0.1993, -0.095, -0.1018, -0.0353, -0.0247, -0.0389, -0.0314, 0.0, 0.0443, 0.0548, 0.0268, -0.0062, -0.0363, -0.1404, -0.1598, -0.1717, -0.1675, -0.18, -0.1855, -0.1222, -0.1593, -0.0753, -0.1118, -0.0814, -0.0559, -0.1364, -0.1644, -0.3235, -0.3238, -0.3151, -0.3308, -0.3454, -0.3404, -0.3515, -0.3147, -0.3091, -0.2869, -0.2954, -0.2729, -0.29, -0.2182, -0.1978, -0.2491, -0.2381, -0.3181, -0.307, -0.2724, -0.2983, -0.3392, -0.395, -0.3955, -0.4079, -0.4157, -0.4053, -0.4167, -0.4062, -0.3813, -0.3937, -0.3542, -0.3542, -0.3401, -0.3082, -0.4014, -0.3614, -0.3613, -0.3248, -0.264, -0.3003, -0.3119, -0.2726, -0.3766, -0.3984, -0.393, -0.4127, -0.3891, -0.3115, -0.2771, -0.293, -0.2882, -0.2882, -0.2996, -0.2876, -0.2846, -0.3033, -0.3033, -0.248, -0.3002, -0.3257, -0.3058, -0.3436, -0.319, -0.2773, -0.2439, -0.2791, -0.2694, -0.2378, -0.2378, -0.2305, -0.2629, -0.2615, -0.2895, -0.3163, -0.2842, -0.2969, -0.328, -0.3692, -0.3616, -0.3362, -0.3942, -0.4019, -0.2887, -0.2141, -0.2342, -0.3982, -0.4699, -0.4584, -0.4584, -0.482, -0.4573, -0.4446, -0.4569, -0.463, -0.4623, -0.4633, -0.4779, -0.5024, -0.4952, -0.5402, -0.5236, -0.4975, -0.5008, -0.4878, -0.5122, -0.4777]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1973802254416445724", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-02T17:28:23+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$RKLB $NBIS, $BTC, $TSM are the only four off the top of my head", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Four high-conviction longs: RKLB, NBIS, BTC, TSM; prior longs ALAB and HOOD already ramped so risk/reward less attractive now.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@halldj00 $RKLB $NBIS, $BTC, $TSM are the only four off the top of my head. \n\nBefore it was $ALAB &lt;$100, $HOOD $20 but they already ramped up too fast so risk/reward isn't as good now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Very exciting times for Nebius 🙌. What are your other high conviction longs?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "halldj00", "ret_m1d": -0.08576329131519878, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08576329131519878, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08461281290311029, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08316942858360943, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011504784120884848, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002593862731589347, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07032587270558355, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07032587270558355, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07034064006780516, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06896392051968414, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4767362221612679e-05, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0013619521858994066, "ret_p1w": 0.26586614491516203, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.26586614491516203, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2629671557823814, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2717675062400414, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028989891327806383, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005901361324879395, "ret_p1m": 0.2003048995048673, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2003048995048673, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1811183353463195, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1947276465558545, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019186564158547803, "bench_c_p1m": 0.00557725294901279, "ret_p3m": 0.34267191365043614, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.34267191365043614, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3130550973488091, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3248006475058811, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029616816301627047, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01787126614455503, "ret_p6m": 0.16123497022398747, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.16123497022398747, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.20833368343640146, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.12236247704793746, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04709871321241399, "bench_c_p6m": 0.038872493176050016, "price_path": [-0.259, -0.2617, -0.254, -0.2548, -0.2561, -0.1765, -0.15, -0.0911, -0.0217, -0.0206, -0.1006, -0.1065, -0.0633, -0.0827, -0.0961, -0.1403, -0.1654, -0.1149, -0.1248, -0.146, -0.1511, -0.1471, -0.1595, -0.1574, -0.1483, -0.142, -0.1723, -0.1805, -0.1841, -0.1563, -0.1429, -0.2201, -0.2245, -0.2085, -0.1542, -0.1001, -0.0827, -0.1185, -0.0869, -0.0738, -0.0738, -0.0602, -0.1704, -0.1807, -0.1264, -0.0903, -0.1037, -0.1201, -0.077, 0.0166, 0.0299, -0.0996, -0.0837, -0.1008, -0.0892, -0.0507, 0.0084, -0.072, -0.1113, -0.1184, -0.1041, -0.0869, -0.0858, 0.0, 0.0703, 0.1149, 0.1723, 0.2447, 0.2659, 0.2247, 0.2468, 0.2966, 0.3202, 0.2769, 0.263, 0.2836, 0.2464, 0.1543, 0.2115, 0.2304, 0.2506, 0.215, 0.2609, 0.161, 0.2003, 0.169, 0.0781, 0.0753, -0.0545, -0.0158, -0.0109, -0.0234, -0.0476, -0.1376, -0.1321, -0.1746, -0.1847, -0.1687, -0.2476, -0.2319, -0.191, -0.1881, -0.2009, -0.2009, -0.1969, -0.2306, -0.2014, -0.1477, -0.0591, -0.0651, -0.0173, 0.0183, 0.0962, 0.2108, 0.1719, 0.056, 0.0576, 0.0284, 0.142, 0.344, 0.478, 0.4709, 0.4709, 0.4709, 0.3465, 0.3364, 0.3427, 0.3295, 0.3295, 0.4483, 0.4892, 0.6396, 0.6024, 0.5834, 0.6171, 0.6752, 0.6501, 0.7496, 0.7298, 0.8353, 0.8353, 0.6993, 0.6737, 0.6768, 0.6943, 0.5338, 0.6581, 0.688, 0.6329, 0.526, 0.4132, 0.5489, 0.3934, 0.264, 0.3783, 0.4454, 0.3728, 0.3269, 0.2581, 0.2853, 0.2853, 0.332, 0.4183, 0.4595, 0.3505, 0.3381, 0.3335, 0.3379, 0.3846, 0.3169, 0.3526, 0.3366, 0.3705, 0.3341, 0.3362, 0.3623, 0.3137, 0.3715, 0.303, 0.3038, 0.3591, 0.4978, 0.3242, 0.3709, 0.2813, 0.296, 0.2592, 0.389, 0.2567, 0.1612]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1973802254416445724", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-02T17:28:23+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$RKLB $NBIS, $BTC, $TSM are the only four off the top of my head", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Four high-conviction longs: RKLB, NBIS, BTC, TSM; prior longs ALAB and HOOD already ramped so risk/reward less attractive now.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@halldj00 $RKLB $NBIS, $BTC, $TSM are the only four off the top of my head. \n\nBefore it was $ALAB &lt;$100, $HOOD $20 but they already ramped up too fast so risk/reward isn't as good now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Very exciting times for Nebius 🙌. What are your other high conviction longs?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "halldj00", "ret_m1d": -0.0815126869972923, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0815126869972923, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08036220858520382, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08374542506568405, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011504784120884848, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0022327380683917486, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01676333172566702, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01676333172566702, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01677809908788863, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01727850796170094, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4767362221612679e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0005151762360339207, "ret_p1w": 0.05378562401954223, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05378562401954223, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.050886634886761595, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06692429946603051, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028989891327806383, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01313867544648828, "ret_p1m": 0.03932632453820406, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03932632453820406, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.020139760379656257, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05340956667881569, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019186564158547803, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01408324214061163, "ret_p3m": -0.3233495168787698, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3233495168787698, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.35296633318039683, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.34243886359072817, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029616816301627047, "bench_c_p3m": 0.019089346711958388, "ret_p6m": -0.1990148765007319, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1990148765007319, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.15191616328831792, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.12412626613538336, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04709871321241399, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07488861036534855, "price_path": [-0.6199, -0.6258, -0.6341, -0.6311, -0.648, -0.5873, -0.5747, -0.5765, -0.5734, -0.5806, -0.5839, -0.5947, -0.5878, -0.5856, -0.5919, -0.5809, -0.5996, -0.5925, -0.5676, -0.5869, -0.5696, -0.5617, -0.5623, -0.4811, -0.4536, -0.442, -0.4015, -0.4389, -0.4561, -0.431, -0.4237, -0.4662, -0.464, -0.4742, -0.452, -0.4437, -0.4401, -0.4431, -0.4277, -0.4572, -0.4572, -0.4779, -0.4784, -0.4843, -0.4799, -0.4911, -0.2395, -0.258, -0.2914, -0.2817, -0.2773, -0.2895, -0.2526, -0.2522, -0.211, -0.1531, -0.1436, -0.1004, -0.1424, -0.1444, -0.1243, -0.108, -0.0815, 0.0, 0.0168, -0.0074, -0.0649, -0.0307, 0.0538, 0.0295, 0.0762, 0.0181, -0.0003, -0.0225, -0.0988, -0.134, -0.1715, -0.2165, -0.1566, -0.0684, -0.0035, -0.0321, -0.0061, -0.0134, 0.0393, -0.0429, -0.1218, -0.0705, -0.1305, -0.1159, -0.1265, -0.1879, -0.2503, -0.2959, -0.3363, -0.3169, -0.2807, -0.2447, -0.3276, -0.3385, -0.2699, -0.2939, -0.2477, -0.2477, -0.2463, -0.2043, -0.2337, -0.2141, -0.1833, -0.2211, -0.2029, -0.2341, -0.2565, -0.251, -0.3033, -0.3554, -0.3569, -0.4006, -0.3796, -0.2893, -0.2593, -0.2847, -0.276, -0.276, -0.3041, -0.3164, -0.3233, -0.335, -0.335, -0.2854, -0.2625, -0.2036, -0.2356, -0.227, -0.222, -0.1473, -0.1624, -0.1898, -0.1747, -0.1362, -0.1362, -0.2112, -0.2145, -0.2306, -0.2492, -0.2734, -0.2225, -0.2021, -0.246, -0.3232, -0.2996, -0.2854, -0.3454, -0.4131, -0.316, -0.2621, -0.2708, -0.296, -0.2871, -0.2213, -0.2213, -0.2252, -0.1912, -0.1451, -0.2221, -0.2007, -0.185, -0.1569, -0.1668, -0.2755, -0.277, -0.3104, -0.2232, -0.2401, -0.2903, -0.2457, -0.2339, -0.1102, -0.1417, -0.1026, 0.0316, -0.0758, -0.0581, -0.0346, -0.0655, -0.0931, -0.0871, -0.0856, -0.1581, -0.199]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1973802254416445724", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-02T17:28:23+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$RKLB $NBIS, $BTC, $TSM are the only four off the top of my head", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Four high-conviction longs: RKLB, NBIS, BTC, TSM; prior longs ALAB and HOOD already ramped so risk/reward less attractive now.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@halldj00 $RKLB $NBIS, $BTC, $TSM are the only four off the top of my head. \n\nBefore it was $ALAB &lt;$100, $HOOD $20 but they already ramped up too fast so risk/reward isn't as good now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Very exciting times for Nebius 🙌. What are your other high conviction longs?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "halldj00", "ret_m1d": -0.016840461906335036, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.016840461906335036, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01568998349424655, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011504784120884848, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.013136036748664148, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013136036748664148, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.013150804110885761, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4767362221612679e-05, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": 0.008487880749399102, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.008487880749399102, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.005588891616618463, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028989891327806383, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.09218576232678011, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09218576232678011, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11137232648532791, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019186564158547803, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.2672422013541482, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2672422013541482, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.29685901765577527, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029616816301627047, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.450300931540931, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.450300931540931, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.403202218328517, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04709871321241399, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1026, -0.0972, -0.0775, -0.0389, -0.0262, -0.0069, -0.0241, -0.0161, -0.0115, -0.0222, -0.0269, -0.0057, -0.016, -0.0192, -0.0252, -0.0228, -0.0229, -0.0236, -0.0408, -0.061, -0.0465, -0.0542, -0.0468, -0.0264, -0.0331, -0.0162, -0.0042, 0.0221, -0.0192, -0.0272, -0.0367, -0.065, -0.0531, -0.0685, -0.0315, -0.0875, -0.0736, -0.0784, -0.0674, -0.1017, -0.0947, -0.0786, -0.0742, -0.0825, -0.0831, -0.0713, -0.0758, -0.0557, -0.0429, -0.0379, -0.0434, -0.0318, -0.0349, -0.0294, -0.0414, -0.0657, -0.0718, -0.0609, -0.0964, -0.0909, -0.052, -0.0549, -0.0168, 0.0, 0.0131, 0.0337, 0.0064, 0.0222, 0.0085, -0.0619, -0.0448, -0.0627, -0.082, -0.1035, -0.1178, -0.0836, -0.1011, -0.1077, -0.0879, -0.0799, -0.0544, -0.064, -0.088, -0.1025, -0.0922, -0.1171, -0.1582, -0.1391, -0.1606, -0.1434, -0.1217, -0.1465, -0.1576, -0.1739, -0.2178, -0.2369, -0.2298, -0.2421, -0.2821, -0.2949, -0.2686, -0.2763, -0.2499, -0.2436, -0.2466, -0.2847, -0.243, -0.225, -0.2365, -0.2593, -0.2489, -0.2319, -0.2375, -0.2334, -0.252, -0.2839, -0.2721, -0.2862, -0.2918, -0.2699, -0.2667, -0.2757, -0.274, -0.2771, -0.2766, -0.2779, -0.2672, -0.2749, -0.2647, -0.2547, -0.2221, -0.2233, -0.2434, -0.2457, -0.25, -0.2443, -0.2101, -0.1968, -0.2082, -0.2085, -0.2331, -0.2682, -0.2594, -0.2587, -0.2583, -0.2686, -0.2617, -0.261, -0.2993, -0.3029, -0.348, -0.3733, -0.3949, -0.4804, -0.4154, -0.419, -0.43, -0.4449, -0.4513, -0.4294, -0.4295, -0.4407, -0.4496, -0.4452, -0.4365, -0.4646, -0.469, -0.4369, -0.4411, -0.4541, -0.4301, -0.4341, -0.3975, -0.413, -0.4354, -0.4332, -0.4206, -0.4183, -0.4159, -0.4119, -0.3797, -0.3875, -0.4096, -0.4207, -0.4156, -0.4124, -0.4157, -0.4091, -0.43, -0.4503]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1973802254416445724", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-10-02T17:28:23+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$RKLB $NBIS, $BTC, $TSM are the only four off the top of my head", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Four high-conviction longs: RKLB, NBIS, BTC, TSM; prior longs ALAB and HOOD already ramped so risk/reward less attractive now.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@halldj00 $RKLB $NBIS, $BTC, $TSM are the only four off the top of my head. \n\nBefore it was $ALAB &lt;$100, $HOOD $20 but they already ramped up too fast so risk/reward isn't as good now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Very exciting times for Nebius 🙌. What are your other high conviction longs?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "halldj00", "ret_m1d": 0.0012495587881622416, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0012495587881622416, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0024000372002507264, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0024000372002507264, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011504784120884848, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0011504784120884848, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014161275734339451, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014161275734339451, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014176043096561064, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014176043096561064, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4767362221612679e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -1.4767362221612679e-05, "ret_p1w": 0.04085254162515484, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04085254162515484, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0379535524923742, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0379535524923742, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028989891327806383, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0028989891327806383, "ret_p1m": 0.04276149509943328, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04276149509943328, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.023574930940885475, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.023574930940885475, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019186564158547803, "bench_c_p1m": 0.019186564158547803, "ret_p3m": 0.042618241044704464, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.042618241044704464, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.013001424743077417, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.013001424743077417, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029616816301627047, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029616816301627047, "ret_p6m": 0.14034658321505544, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.14034658321505544, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.18744529642746943, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.18744529642746943, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04709871321241399, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04709871321241399, "price_path": [-0.2071, -0.2116, -0.1978, -0.205, -0.2028, -0.2088, -0.1802, -0.178, -0.1502, -0.1682, -0.1736, -0.1883, -0.1685, -0.1641, -0.1502, -0.1601, -0.165, -0.1595, -0.164, -0.1862, -0.1731, -0.1957, -0.1995, -0.1605, -0.1633, -0.1624, -0.1548, -0.1646, -0.1661, -0.1735, -0.1647, -0.1949, -0.209, -0.2134, -0.1939, -0.1849, -0.174, -0.1721, -0.1756, -0.2012, -0.2012, -0.2098, -0.1994, -0.1862, -0.1578, -0.1447, -0.1318, -0.0989, -0.1042, -0.1027, -0.0956, -0.0904, -0.0879, -0.0676, -0.0807, -0.0537, -0.0187, -0.0257, -0.0397, -0.0512, -0.0516, -0.0306, 0.0012, 0.0, 0.0142, 0.0496, 0.0205, 0.057, 0.0409, -0.0259, 0.0513, 0.0272, 0.0576, 0.0407, 0.0242, 0.0333, 0.0222, 0.0027, 0.0091, 0.0238, 0.0352, 0.0466, 0.0589, 0.0524, 0.0428, 0.0581, 0.0206, 0.0192, 0.0039, -0.0056, 0.0249, 0.0106, 0.0087, -0.0205, -0.0114, -0.0212, -0.0354, -0.0199, -0.0368, -0.0453, -0.012, -0.0119, 0.0064, 0.0064, 0.0118, -0.0015, 0.0138, 0.0255, 0.0167, 0.0229, 0.0478, 0.0531, 0.0765, 0.061, 0.0164, 0.0014, -0.0016, -0.0361, -0.0092, 0.0056, 0.0207, 0.0335, 0.0399, 0.0399, 0.054, 0.0473, 0.0426, 0.0576, 0.0576, 0.1123, 0.1215, 0.1395, 0.1091, 0.1068, 0.1263, 0.1546, 0.1527, 0.1384, 0.189, 0.1916, 0.1916, 0.1386, 0.135, 0.1393, 0.1654, 0.1579, 0.1775, 0.1913, 0.1817, 0.1504, 0.188, 0.1685, 0.1337, 0.151, 0.2141, 0.2369, 0.2595, 0.3019, 0.2811, 0.275, 0.275, 0.2675, 0.2608, 0.2543, 0.2896, 0.2878, 0.3425, 0.3494, 0.3114, 0.3036, 0.2846, 0.229, 0.244, 0.2315, 0.1794, 0.2136, 0.208, 0.234, 0.1718, 0.1774, 0.1841, 0.2075, 0.1851, 0.1824, 0.1491, 0.1812, 0.198, 0.2137, 0.1381, 0.1403]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1974617069355433998", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-04T23:26:10+00:00", "symbol": "VIRT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Still extremely undervalued.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long VIRT; still extremely undervalued despite lower-than-hoped VIX spike, with high volatility correlation as core thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["VIRT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@jamiemints VIX didn’t spike as much as I hoped during government shutdown and now we have two more rate cuts projected. Volatility + $VIRT are highly correlated.\n\nIt was the ideal hedge in case markets ended up tanking for two weeks.\n\nStill extremely undervalued.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I thought previously $VIRT was a strong buy. It is a buy now. Why ?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jamiemints", "ret_m1d": 0.038271488001037746, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.038271488001037746, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04184490183138678, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04184490183138678, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003573413830349037, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003573413830349037, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0006173137920574279, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0006173137920574279, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.003090178458904469, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.003090178458904469, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003707492250961897, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003707492250961897, "ret_p1w": 0.018209743507788367, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.018209743507788367, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.030970133945611544, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.030970133945611544, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012760390437823177, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012760390437823177, "ret_p1m": 0.07222219672269325, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07222219672269325, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06681720037763261, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06681720037763261, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404996345060642, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005404996345060642, "ret_p3m": 0.03534359896682804, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.03534359896682804, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.016992129249814747, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.016992129249814747, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01835146971701329, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01835146971701329, "ret_p6m": 0.3744820623430898, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3744820623430898, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4006385047152341, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4006385047152341, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.026156442372144317, "bench_c_p6m": -0.026156442372144317, "price_path": [0.32, 0.3519, 0.3491, 0.3749, 0.3556, 0.37, 0.3847, 0.3602, 0.3356, 0.3083, 0.3255, 0.3433, 0.3565, 0.3319, 0.3516, 0.3746, 0.3546, 0.331, 0.3322, 0.3163, 0.3028, 0.3028, 0.3025, 0.2902, 0.2923, 0.2837, 0.2837, 0.2822, 0.2724, 0.2638, 0.2709, 0.2761, 0.2905, 0.3009, 0.3246, 0.3114, 0.3009, 0.2938, 0.2938, 0.2762, 0.2796, 0.2478, 0.2003, 0.188, 0.1744, 0.1917, 0.1444, 0.1306, 0.1182, 0.0926, 0.0855, 0.0867, 0.0948, 0.0762, 0.0809, 0.0877, 0.0821, 0.0867, 0.1071, 0.0957, 0.0531, 0.0571, 0.0383, 0.0, -0.0006, 0.0136, 0.0253, 0.025, 0.0182, 0.0343, 0.037, 0.0216, 0.0256, 0.0185, 0.0281, 0.0312, 0.0327, 0.0355, 0.0451, 0.067, 0.0614, 0.0685, 0.0753, 0.0784, 0.0722, 0.0608, 0.0824, 0.1, 0.1096, 0.0997, 0.1114, 0.0985, 0.0858, 0.0605, 0.0654, 0.0444, 0.0404, 0.0488, 0.0469, 0.071, 0.0907, 0.0907, 0.1037, 0.0882, 0.0664, 0.0841, 0.1015, 0.0994, 0.0947, 0.1049, 0.1115, 0.0636, 0.0475, 0.0372, 0.0518, 0.0465, 0.0428, 0.0515, 0.0325, 0.0372, 0.0496, 0.0496, 0.0602, 0.0658, 0.0555, 0.0353, 0.0353, 0.013, 0.0478, 0.0307, 0.0226, 0.0108, 0.0298, 0.054, 0.058, 0.0931, 0.1149, 0.1463, 0.1463, 0.1382, 0.1469, 0.1531, 0.1547, 0.1655, 0.1696, 0.1649, 0.2634, 0.2898, 0.2286, 0.1901, 0.1752, 0.1873, 0.1972, 0.2199, 0.2236, 0.1786, 0.168, 0.1913, 0.1913, 0.2143, 0.223, 0.2233, 0.2373, 0.2423, 0.2693, 0.2662, 0.297, 0.2942, 0.3354, 0.3014, 0.2832, 0.2779, 0.2817, 0.3107, 0.2829, 0.2632, 0.2398, 0.2217, 0.2145, 0.2454, 0.2463, 0.237, 0.301, 0.3401, 0.3542, 0.367, 0.3576, 0.3289, 0.3389, 0.3745]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1982005830536101960", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-25T08:46:28+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "money flow back into Nebius when it comes to execution in 6 months time vs. speculation currently. $NBIS -> highest gross margins out of any Neocloud.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS: highest neocloud gross margins + pricing power translate to capital inflows in ~6 months as execution beats speculation.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I was talking about $NBIS internal moat on reducing opex a ton + increased margins. This translates to pricing power since they can charge less + make more + higher EBITDA they can use for acquisitions + investments (eg. clickhouse)\n\nOracle is ongoing with their buildout and it turned out to lose them $100m+ as per TI. We'll likely see worse gross margins on miners pivoting (CRWV spent years on building out their stack + billions on acquisition) and money flow back into Nebius when it comes to execution in 6 months time vs. speculation currently. \n\n$NBIS -> highest gross margins out of any Neocloud.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What is the moat $NBIS posses over others? What makes the customer stick with them if another neocloud undercuts them in pricing?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "455BAG", "ret_m1d": -0.0651359176358719, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0651359176358719, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05347576869210846, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.051394016667661524, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013741900968210374, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02870125540430646, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02870125540430646, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.031357254360897535, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.023750721096447047, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004950534307859411, "ret_p1w": -0.03954396135218685, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03954396135218685, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.036771241766913265, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.009072772543005425, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": -0.030471188809181426, "ret_p1m": -0.291397615903933, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.291397615903933, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2764831740059033, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2669865978192385, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02441101808469448, "ret_p3m": -0.22785618880266678, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22785618880266678, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23628515601411337, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.22330124633290094, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": -0.004554942469765844, "ret_p6m": 0.24810653488691647, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.24810653488691647, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.21476196842477524, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.24166768131940364, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": 0.006438853567512837, "price_path": [-0.5911, -0.5661, -0.5854, -0.5681, -0.5602, -0.5608, -0.4793, -0.4516, -0.44, -0.3994, -0.4369, -0.4542, -0.429, -0.4217, -0.4643, -0.4621, -0.4724, -0.4501, -0.4418, -0.4381, -0.4411, -0.4257, -0.4553, -0.4553, -0.476, -0.4766, -0.4825, -0.478, -0.4893, -0.2369, -0.2554, -0.2889, -0.2792, -0.2748, -0.287, -0.2499, -0.2496, -0.2082, -0.1501, -0.1406, -0.0973, -0.1394, -0.1414, -0.1213, -0.1049, -0.0783, 0.0035, 0.0203, -0.0039, -0.0616, -0.0273, 0.0575, 0.0331, 0.08, 0.0217, 0.0032, -0.0191, -0.0956, -0.131, -0.1686, -0.2137, -0.1536, -0.0651, 0.0, -0.0287, -0.0026, -0.01, 0.043, -0.0395, -0.1187, -0.0672, -0.1275, -0.1128, -0.1234, -0.185, -0.2477, -0.2934, -0.334, -0.3145, -0.2782, -0.242, -0.3252, -0.3362, -0.2673, -0.2914, -0.2451, -0.2451, -0.2436, -0.2015, -0.231, -0.2114, -0.1804, -0.2184, -0.2001, -0.2314, -0.2538, -0.2483, -0.3009, -0.3531, -0.3546, -0.3985, -0.3774, -0.2868, -0.2567, -0.2822, -0.2735, -0.2735, -0.3017, -0.314, -0.321, -0.3327, -0.3327, -0.2829, -0.2599, -0.2008, -0.233, -0.2243, -0.2192, -0.1443, -0.1595, -0.187, -0.1718, -0.1331, -0.1331, -0.2084, -0.2118, -0.2279, -0.2466, -0.2708, -0.2197, -0.1993, -0.2433, -0.3208, -0.2971, -0.2829, -0.3431, -0.4111, -0.3136, -0.2595, -0.2682, -0.2936, -0.2846, -0.2186, -0.2186, -0.2225, -0.1884, -0.1421, -0.2193, -0.1979, -0.1822, -0.154, -0.1638, -0.273, -0.2744, -0.308, -0.2204, -0.2374, -0.2878, -0.2431, -0.2312, -0.1071, -0.1386, -0.0995, 0.0352, -0.0726, -0.0548, -0.0312, -0.0623, -0.0899, -0.0839, -0.0824, -0.1551, -0.1962, -0.2645, -0.1728, -0.1872, -0.1324, -0.1324, -0.1028, -0.064, -0.0034, 0.0869, 0.1558, 0.2322, 0.2911, 0.3296, 0.3182, 0.2528, 0.2689, 0.2481]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1985986580155163038", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-05T08:24:33+00:00", "symbol": "AMD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AMD has extremely high upside potential (just looking at $NVDA's marketcap) and Sam Altman/Elon confirming AMD has high utility for frontier models is extremely positive", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long AMD on high upside potential and frontier-model utility validation; long HOOD as a generational company with high conviction long-term.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Both good longs, $AMD has extremely high upside potential (just looking at $NVDA's marketcap) and Sam Altman/Elon confirming AMD has high utility for frontier models is extremely positive.\n\n$HOOD generational company. High conviction long term. Short-term I'd argue it's a tad overvalued like $RKLB.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit what do you think about $AMD and $HOOD?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "tonyxsantana", "ret_m1d": -0.024499605389466717, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.024499605389466717, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.021046183642883798, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.021046183642883798, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0034534217465829187, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0034534217465829187, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0726797120896786, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0726797120896786, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0619503788770126, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0619503788770126, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010729333212666003, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010729333212666003, "ret_p1w": 0.009987236024959323, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.009987236024959323, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.001427286893650681, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.001427286893650681, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008559949131308642, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008559949131308642, "ret_p1m": -0.1574142431960489, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1574142431960489, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16746468701523376, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.16746468701523376, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010050443819184851, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010050443819184851, "ret_p3m": -0.03924621709043996, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03924621709043996, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.06859309994723262, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06859309994723262, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029346882856792655, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029346882856792655, "ret_p6m": 0.382943895775673, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.382943895775673, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.31627721099079453, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.31627721099079453, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06666668478487847, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06666668478487847, "price_path": [-0.326, -0.3279, -0.3175, -0.2805, -0.2941, -0.3075, -0.3128, -0.3503, -0.3555, -0.3613, -0.3455, -0.3627, -0.35, -0.348, -0.3423, -0.3655, -0.3655, -0.3668, -0.3675, -0.3688, -0.4104, -0.4093, -0.3921, -0.3776, -0.3927, -0.3814, -0.3713, -0.374, -0.3791, -0.3839, -0.386, -0.3766, -0.3723, -0.3724, -0.3709, -0.3779, -0.3705, -0.3688, -0.3602, -0.3378, -0.3576, -0.2053, -0.1749, -0.081, -0.0914, -0.1616, -0.1557, -0.1492, -0.0692, -0.0849, -0.0907, -0.0615, -0.0714, -0.1018, -0.0833, -0.0133, 0.013, 0.0066, 0.0312, -0.0058, -0.0008, 0.013, -0.0245, 0.0, -0.0727, -0.0889, -0.0482, -0.0734, 0.01, -0.0327, -0.0371, -0.0617, -0.1016, -0.1279, -0.1963, -0.205, -0.161, -0.1958, -0.1642, -0.1642, -0.1514, -0.1427, -0.1603, -0.1511, -0.1574, -0.1497, -0.1374, -0.1354, -0.1362, -0.1362, -0.1777, -0.1902, -0.184, -0.2271, -0.2156, -0.1674, -0.1614, -0.1616, -0.1611, -0.1611, -0.1613, -0.1589, -0.1599, -0.1645, -0.1645, -0.1282, -0.1375, -0.1638, -0.1807, -0.2015, -0.2074, -0.1898, -0.1379, -0.1277, -0.1108, -0.0956, -0.0956, -0.0952, -0.0255, -0.0101, 0.0131, -0.0196, -0.0168, -0.014, -0.0162, -0.0765, -0.0392, -0.0555, -0.219, -0.249, -0.1868, -0.1573, -0.1668, -0.1668, -0.1966, -0.1912, -0.1912, -0.2077, -0.2193, -0.2066, -0.2192, -0.233, -0.1658, -0.1774, -0.2054, -0.2189, -0.2251, -0.2551, -0.2117, -0.2219, -0.2493, -0.2093, -0.2072, -0.2009, -0.2286, -0.2455, -0.2331, -0.2342, -0.2219, -0.1992, -0.2146, -0.2093, -0.1988, -0.1407, -0.205, -0.212, -0.2352, -0.2064, -0.1799, -0.1515, -0.1515, -0.141, -0.1358, -0.0956, -0.0768, -0.044, -0.0371, -0.0049, 0.007, 0.0856, 0.0861, 0.0726, 0.1099, 0.1839, 0.1912, 0.3569, 0.3055, 0.2609, 0.3151, 0.3829]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1985986580155163038", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-05T08:24:33+00:00", "symbol": "HOOD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$HOOD generational company. High conviction long term", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long AMD on high upside potential and frontier-model utility validation; long HOOD as a generational company with high conviction long-term.", "resolved_tickers": ["HOOD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Both good longs, $AMD has extremely high upside potential (just looking at $NVDA's marketcap) and Sam Altman/Elon confirming AMD has high utility for frontier models is extremely positive.\n\n$HOOD generational company. High conviction long term. Short-term I'd argue it's a tad overvalued like $RKLB.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit what do you think about $AMD and $HOOD?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "tonyxsantana", "ret_m1d": -0.03986519403497846, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03986519403497846, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03641177228839554, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03644307521806511, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0034534217465829187, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0034221188169133443, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.10808530571500996, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.10808530571500996, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.09735597250234396, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.10447321548670929, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010729333212666003, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0036120902283006684, "ret_p1w": -0.06667602670459516, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06667602670459516, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0752359758359038, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08701825614236602, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008559949131308642, "bench_c_p1w": 0.020342229437770865, "ret_p1m": -0.037900014447015073, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.037900014447015073, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.047950458266199925, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05805212617273525, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010050443819184851, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02015211172572018, "ret_p3m": -0.3689640205068364, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3689640205068364, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.39831090336362907, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.399740413256234, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029346882856792655, "bench_c_p3m": 0.030776392749397585, "ret_p6m": -0.4884194162313553, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4884194162313553, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5550861010162338, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4880601749524476, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06666668478487847, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0003592412789077404, "price_path": [-0.1955, -0.2026, -0.1993, -0.2376, -0.223, -0.1987, -0.1927, -0.2455, -0.2607, -0.2539, -0.2327, -0.2424, -0.2364, -0.2777, -0.2722, -0.2699, -0.2699, -0.2923, -0.2924, -0.2777, -0.2894, -0.1769, -0.1683, -0.1756, -0.1736, -0.1927, -0.1941, -0.1762, -0.1673, -0.1514, -0.1242, -0.1235, -0.1143, -0.1101, -0.1392, -0.1453, -0.0404, 0.0049, -0.0234, 0.0226, 0.0434, 0.0125, 0.0177, 0.0589, 0.07, -0.0247, -0.0126, -0.0528, -0.0585, -0.0775, -0.0882, -0.0469, -0.0747, -0.1071, -0.0572, -0.0189, 0.0237, 0.0265, 0.0163, -0.031, 0.0302, 0.0323, -0.0399, 0.0, -0.1081, -0.0851, -0.0463, -0.074, -0.0667, -0.147, -0.1402, -0.1861, -0.1978, -0.1707, -0.2546, -0.2469, -0.1931, -0.1889, -0.1002, -0.1002, -0.0982, -0.135, -0.116, -0.062, -0.0379, -0.0739, -0.0425, -0.0475, -0.0479, -0.1341, -0.1613, -0.191, -0.162, -0.1873, -0.1777, -0.1483, -0.1411, -0.1561, -0.1547, -0.1547, -0.1709, -0.1758, -0.1897, -0.2062, -0.2062, -0.1914, -0.135, -0.1458, -0.179, -0.1901, -0.191, -0.1752, -0.1561, -0.1601, -0.2255, -0.2368, -0.2368, -0.2576, -0.2566, -0.2543, -0.2491, -0.249, -0.2614, -0.2743, -0.2894, -0.3018, -0.369, -0.3889, -0.4342, -0.4899, -0.4187, -0.3925, -0.3992, -0.4528, -0.5008, -0.4668, -0.4668, -0.4705, -0.4721, -0.469, -0.4658, -0.4962, -0.4849, -0.4559, -0.4424, -0.4676, -0.4471, -0.4661, -0.423, -0.4346, -0.4589, -0.4431, -0.4488, -0.4477, -0.4657, -0.4849, -0.4714, -0.4571, -0.4743, -0.4795, -0.5025, -0.4912, -0.5152, -0.4909, -0.5062, -0.5366, -0.5427, -0.5136, -0.5079, -0.5164, -0.5164, -0.5102, -0.5112, -0.4959, -0.5079, -0.5144, -0.497, -0.4449, -0.3871, -0.3904, -0.3631, -0.3594, -0.3934, -0.3794, -0.4137, -0.4055, -0.4108, -0.424, -0.5003, -0.4884]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2000688321274712159", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-15T22:04:01+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "probably this was the ideal time to buy if you still have capital", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Neocloud sector (NBIS, IREN, CIFR) at sentiment lows; author calls current levels the ideal entry point.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NBIS ATM offering would probably be around for a long time given the size.\n\nI really hope $NBIS management does this strategically and not during periods of short selling. Shareholders are just trusting management not to endlessly dilute + add selling pressure at this point. \n\nThe $80 stock price is even post-MSCI inflows too. \n\n$NBIS, $IREN, $CIFR and other sentiment for Neocloud sector is extremely low so probably this was the ideal time to buy if you still have capital.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.08072471162223649, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08072471162223649, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07921153760334687, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.080896172428786, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0015131740188896181, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00017146080654950602, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0023416618540237355, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0023416618540237355, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00039063574125497436, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0030280320438993424, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00273229759527871, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0006863701898756069, "ret_p1w": 0.14900177542800863, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.14900177542800863, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1400060501153062, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14498973746976107, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00899572531270243, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004012037958247561, "ret_p1m": 0.2993591458989606, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2993591458989606, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2771916559932497, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.29336770062730033, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022167489905710935, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0059914452716602895, "ret_p3m": 0.33152577924853577, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.33152577924853577, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3501849525132279, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3394765413434061, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.01865917326469213, "bench_c_p3m": -0.007950762094870334, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1595, 0.16, 0.2239, 0.3138, 0.3286, 0.3955, 0.3303, 0.3273, 0.3584, 0.3837, 0.4248, 0.5513, 0.5773, 0.5398, 0.4506, 0.5036, 0.6347, 0.597, 0.6695, 0.5794, 0.5508, 0.5164, 0.3981, 0.3434, 0.2852, 0.2154, 0.3084, 0.4452, 0.5458, 0.5015, 0.5418, 0.5304, 0.6123, 0.4847, 0.3623, 0.442, 0.3488, 0.3715, 0.3551, 0.2598, 0.1629, 0.0923, 0.0296, 0.0597, 0.1158, 0.1717, 0.0431, 0.0261, 0.1326, 0.0954, 0.167, 0.167, 0.1692, 0.2343, 0.1887, 0.2191, 0.2669, 0.2083, 0.2365, 0.1882, 0.1534, 0.1619, 0.0807, 0.0, -0.0023, -0.0701, -0.0376, 0.1025, 0.149, 0.1096, 0.1231, 0.1231, 0.0795, 0.0604, 0.0497, 0.0316, 0.0316, 0.1086, 0.1441, 0.2354, 0.1857, 0.1992, 0.2069, 0.3228, 0.2994, 0.2568, 0.2803, 0.34, 0.34, 0.2237, 0.2185, 0.1936, 0.1647, 0.1272, 0.2062, 0.2377, 0.1697, 0.0499, 0.0865, 0.1086, 0.0154, -0.0896, 0.0611, 0.1447, 0.1313, 0.0921, 0.1059, 0.2079, 0.2079, 0.2019, 0.2546, 0.3262, 0.2068, 0.24, 0.2642, 0.3079, 0.2926, 0.1239, 0.1216, 0.0698, 0.2051, 0.1788, 0.1009, 0.1701, 0.1884, 0.3803, 0.3315, 0.392, 0.6003, 0.4337, 0.4612, 0.4977, 0.4496, 0.4068, 0.4162, 0.4184, 0.306, 0.2425, 0.137, 0.2788, 0.2565, 0.3411, 0.3411, 0.387, 0.4469, 0.5405, 0.6802, 0.7867, 0.9049, 0.9958, 1.0553, 1.0377, 0.9367, 0.9615, 0.9294, 0.9243, 0.9359, 0.8137, 0.7865, 0.6701, 0.7401, 0.7036, 0.904, 1.1743, 1.1681, 1.4044, 1.2772, 1.182, 1.2936, 1.2074, 1.5545, 1.7255, 1.7106, 1.4632, 1.4369, 1.3641, 1.7105, 1.6469, 1.6469, 1.5642, 1.568, 1.7895, 1.848, 1.848, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2000688321274712159", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-15T22:04:01+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS, $IREN, $CIFR and other sentiment for Neocloud sector is extremely low so probably this was the ideal time to buy if you still have capital", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Neocloud sector (NBIS, IREN, CIFR) at sentiment lows; author calls current levels the ideal entry point.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NBIS ATM offering would probably be around for a long time given the size.\n\nI really hope $NBIS management does this strategically and not during periods of short selling. Shareholders are just trusting management not to endlessly dilute + add selling pressure at this point. \n\nThe $80 stock price is even post-MSCI inflows too. \n\n$NBIS, $IREN, $CIFR and other sentiment for Neocloud sector is extremely low so probably this was the ideal time to buy if you still have capital.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.13105979667061218, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.13105979667061218, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.12954662265172256, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.13178721554829353, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0015131740188896181, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0007274188776813517, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03128524872245819, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03128524872245819, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0340175463177369, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03765009393113561, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00273229759527871, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0063648452086774165, "ret_p1w": 0.1848929384985425, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1848929384985425, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.17589721318584006, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.17537582820152098, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00899572531270243, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009517110297021514, "ret_p1m": 0.4935175412103965, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4935175412103965, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.47135005130468555, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5038915167994616, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022167489905710935, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010373975589065165, "ret_p3m": 0.16600900410488517, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.16600900410488517, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1846681773695773, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2749258468886464, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.01865917326469213, "bench_c_p3m": -0.10891684278376124, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0682, 0.0237, 0.0891, 0.1809, 0.1773, 0.3286, 0.3047, 0.1798, 0.2945, 0.3227, 0.3269, 0.3253, 0.4222, 0.6277, 0.7384, 0.6936, 0.7996, 0.6846, 0.8078, 0.9605, 0.916, 0.7427, 0.7114, 0.6691, 0.5557, 0.4608, 0.5744, 0.7728, 0.8317, 0.7593, 0.7029, 0.6409, 0.7122, 0.9095, 0.878, 1.1536, 0.8873, 0.7582, 0.6959, 0.6172, 0.5699, 0.3712, 0.3069, 0.3362, 0.3768, 0.2917, 0.2252, 0.1911, 0.3667, 0.3379, 0.3656, 0.3656, 0.3475, 0.3667, 0.159, 0.239, 0.3092, 0.2601, 0.3061, 0.3202, 0.2379, 0.2384, 0.1311, 0.0, 0.0313, -0.0479, 0.009, 0.1251, 0.1849, 0.1857, 0.1832, 0.1832, 0.1359, 0.1108, 0.0795, 0.0645, 0.0645, 0.2035, 0.3596, 0.294, 0.2296, 0.2875, 0.2974, 0.4185, 0.4935, 0.4904, 0.4625, 0.6297, 0.6297, 0.5293, 0.5073, 0.4729, 0.5975, 0.4758, 0.6908, 0.774, 0.6866, 0.5147, 0.4961, 0.533, 0.2666, 0.1215, 0.179, 0.3007, 0.21, 0.2026, 0.1282, 0.19, 0.19, 0.1547, 0.186, 0.2201, 0.1268, 0.1939, 0.281, 0.241, 0.2469, 0.1542, 0.1666, 0.095, 0.2356, 0.1309, 0.0344, 0.0947, 0.0744, 0.1832, 0.166, 0.1719, 0.2666, 0.2108, 0.1897, 0.1742, 0.1638, 0.1883, 0.159, 0.1677, 0.0555, -0.011, -0.1088, -0.0338, -0.0392, -0.02, -0.02, -0.0099, 0.0073, 0.038, 0.0445, 0.1082, 0.2139, 0.3351, 0.376, 0.3444, 0.3563, 0.3732, 0.2731, 0.3639, 0.4662, 0.4273, 0.363, 0.2525, 0.208, 0.2827, 0.2869, 0.3946, 0.5428, 0.7187, 0.6023, 0.7249, 0.5544, 0.5941, 0.555, 0.646, 0.4921, 0.4222, 0.3455, 0.4856, 0.6364, 0.6017, 0.6017, 0.6849, 0.9121, 0.8052, 0.7909, 0.7909, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2000688321274712159", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-12-15T22:04:01+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS, $IREN, $CIFR and other sentiment for Neocloud sector is extremely low so probably this was the ideal time to buy if you still have capital", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Neocloud sector (NBIS, IREN, CIFR) at sentiment lows; author calls current levels the ideal entry point.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NBIS ATM offering would probably be around for a long time given the size.\n\nI really hope $NBIS management does this strategically and not during periods of short selling. Shareholders are just trusting management not to endlessly dilute + add selling pressure at this point. \n\nThe $80 stock price is even post-MSCI inflows too. \n\n$NBIS, $IREN, $CIFR and other sentiment for Neocloud sector is extremely low so probably this was the ideal time to buy if you still have capital.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.15671638411207023, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.15671638411207023, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.1552032100931806, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.14694830239755707, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0015131740188896181, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009768081714513155, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.016960651552373474, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.016960651552373474, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.019692949147652183, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015133571673757285, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00273229759527871, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001827079878616189, "ret_p1w": 0.10854819581509068, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10854819581509068, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09955247050238825, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08690258952714891, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00899572531270243, "bench_c_p1w": 0.021645606287941765, "ret_p1m": 0.2381275633232638, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2381275633232638, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.21596007341755286, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.20719172036439226, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022167489905710935, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03093584295887153, "ret_p3m": -0.06987786627984838, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06987786627984838, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05121869301515625, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04000480919198923, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.01865917326469213, "bench_c_p3m": -0.029873057087859145, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1601, -0.1961, -0.1669, -0.0529, -0.04, -0.0407, -0.209, -0.2218, -0.1418, -0.1459, -0.1452, -0.0631, -0.0027, 0.0407, 0.0685, 0.194, 0.2205, 0.1513, 0.3799, 0.4172, 0.4267, 0.27, 0.2727, 0.3507, 0.2263, 0.0929, 0.1706, 0.4016, 0.3935, 0.3541, 0.329, 0.2938, 0.2653, 0.5441, 0.5271, 0.6764, 0.4729, 0.4037, 0.3331, 0.2666, 0.1791, 0.0129, -0.0258, -0.0265, -0.0109, -0.0081, -0.0122, -0.04, 0.1336, 0.1886, 0.2992, 0.2992, 0.3806, 0.3358, 0.1967, 0.2639, 0.3453, 0.308, 0.3216, 0.327, 0.2537, 0.2809, 0.1567, 0.0, 0.017, -0.0237, 0.0278, 0.0997, 0.1085, 0.0794, 0.1004, 0.1004, 0.0305, 0.0231, -0.0102, 0.0014, 0.0014, 0.0991, 0.232, 0.19, 0.0909, 0.1228, 0.1282, 0.1995, 0.2381, 0.23, 0.1886, 0.2754, 0.2754, 0.2157, 0.2022, 0.1798, 0.192, 0.1187, 0.272, 0.287, 0.2008, 0.0828, 0.0726, 0.1031, -0.0332, -0.1384, -0.0007, 0.137, 0.1601, 0.1045, 0.0923, 0.114, 0.114, 0.0611, 0.0461, 0.0719, -0.0061, 0.0326, 0.1615, 0.1269, 0.118, 0.0583, 0.0692, -0.002, 0.0882, 0.0278, -0.076, -0.0292, -0.0529, -0.0427, -0.0699, -0.0448, 0.0271, 0.0237, -0.0047, -0.0068, -0.0495, 0.0102, 0.0095, 0.0773, -0.0265, -0.0675, -0.1849, -0.1269, -0.1425, -0.1303, -0.1303, -0.0943, -0.0495, 0.0461, 0.1099, 0.1214, 0.2049, 0.2517, 0.2212, 0.1764, 0.3141, 0.3087, 0.2239, 0.3189, 0.268, 0.2347, 0.232, 0.171, 0.1479, 0.2035, 0.156, 0.2137, 0.4993, 0.4864, 0.4033, 0.3942, 0.3758, 0.3609, 0.441, 0.5122, 0.3792, 0.2972, 0.2754, 0.3216, 0.46, 0.4905, 0.4905, 0.5617, 0.7069, 0.6682, 0.6045, 0.6045, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1968026564081459688", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-16T18:57:51+00:00", "symbol": "ETOR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I do think market is pricing this wrong. $ETOR is similar to $UPWK with large cash positions + profitable. But it's growing at $IBKR rates 20%+ y/y but extremely low market cap.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish ETOR: market mispricing a profitable, cash-rich company growing 20%+ y/y at a very low market cap.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETOR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you look at my history, I usually buy stuff at the very bottom like $GOOGL or short term bottom like with $UPWK when everyone thinks the company will fail. \n\n$ETOR is similar to $UPWK with large cash positions + profitable. But it's growing at $IBKR rates 20%+ y/y but extremely low market cap. \n\nHard to trade against sentiment sometimes, but I do think market is pricing this wrong.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @ARKInvest Maybe the market takes into account that retail doesn't like the fact that its an israely company. I put my etoro position into rocketlab. Feel like etoro is not going anywhere. Might hob back in later", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TPvegaa", "ret_m1d": -0.0018420868176958205, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0018420868176958205, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.003220777774740391, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.003220777774740391, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0013786909570445705, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0013786909570445705, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011743083873975713, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011743083873975713, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010500648581427074, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010500648581427074, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012424352925486382, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012424352925486382, "ret_p1w": 0.007598388534160172, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.007598388534160172, "alpha_spy_p1w": -5.1233894958535586e-05, "alpha_c_p1w": -5.1233894958535586e-05, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007649622429118708, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007649622429118708, "ret_p1m": -0.11236474864895774, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11236474864895774, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12299213090811578, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12299213090811578, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010627382259158047, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010627382259158047, "ret_p3m": -0.12618004843954023, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.12618004843954023, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.16201360948739374, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.16201360948739374, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03583356104785351, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03583356104785351, "ret_p6m": -0.28851026015655457, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.28851026015655457, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3191301068526111, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3191301068526111, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030619846696056552, "bench_c_p6m": 0.030619846696056552, "price_path": [0.4601, 0.37, 0.391, 0.4686, 0.4969, 0.551, 0.4872, 0.5333, 0.4808, 0.4603, 0.4453, 0.4453, 0.4095, 0.4112, 0.4048, 0.367, 0.327, 0.2938, 0.2402, 0.3127, 0.3387, 0.3074, 0.2936, 0.3265, 0.4359, 0.4681, 0.4985, 0.4621, 0.3979, 0.4278, 0.3806, 0.3376, 0.3647, 0.3347, 0.2961, 0.298, 0.3339, 0.2733, 0.1683, 0.1052, 0.0951, 0.1085, 0.0967, 0.0295, 0.0219, 0.0302, 0.0732, 0.0302, 0.0449, 0.0251, 0.0223, 0.0223, 0.0223, 0.076, 0.0799, 0.0627, 0.0684, 0.0578, 0.0456, -0.0184, 0.0221, 0.0163, -0.0018, 0.0, -0.0117, 0.0115, 0.0166, 0.0366, 0.0076, -0.023, -0.0553, -0.0536, -0.0332, -0.0497, -0.1006, -0.0451, -0.0564, -0.0513, -0.067, -0.0576, -0.0907, -0.1103, -0.0937, -0.1002, -0.1124, -0.1128, -0.1391, -0.0891, -0.0863, -0.128, -0.1241, -0.0958, -0.0732, -0.1015, -0.1271, -0.1375, -0.1467, -0.1603, -0.207, -0.2123, -0.2293, -0.1969, -0.1312, -0.0504, -0.0484, -0.096, -0.0675, -0.1131, -0.0972, -0.1179, -0.1573, -0.1529, -0.1043, -0.081, -0.0334, -0.0334, -0.0336, -0.0357, -0.0391, -0.0168, 0.0115, -0.0097, -0.0488, -0.0306, -0.0615, -0.0958, -0.1262, -0.1584, -0.1706, -0.1996, -0.181, -0.1662, -0.1603, -0.166, -0.1722, -0.1722, -0.1743, -0.1787, -0.1817, -0.1911, -0.1911, -0.1784, -0.1644, -0.193, -0.2337, -0.251, -0.2719, -0.2641, -0.2816, -0.2788, -0.28, -0.2786, -0.2786, -0.2906, -0.2963, -0.2839, -0.2754, -0.2795, -0.2754, -0.277, -0.3042, -0.323, -0.3449, -0.3772, -0.3889, -0.4299, -0.3781, -0.3507, -0.3488, -0.3797, -0.3843, -0.3677, -0.3677, -0.2385, -0.2669, -0.2862, -0.2821, -0.2968, -0.2922, -0.2531, -0.2567, -0.2938, -0.2938, -0.2749, -0.2484, -0.2471, -0.2673, -0.2729, -0.2857, -0.2885]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1986890948610301974", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-07T20:18:11+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "extremely bullish that they projected $3.4B ARR from AI cloud. IREN has a lot more capacity left-over so they'll likely scale ARR more going into 2026", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish IREN on $3.4B ARR projection from AI cloud with capacity to scale further into 2026; cautious on margin conversion.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So for $IREN, the amount of comments I've seen bullposting about EPS \"beat\" are the same people who kept trying to quote 92%+ gross margins on AI HPC. It's literally just accounting framing.\n\nEarnings wise, extremely bullish that they projected $3.4B ARR from AI cloud. IREN has a lot more capacity left-over so they'll likely scale ARR more going into 2026. \n\nBut that aside I've always argued capacity -> revenue, but margins/FCF from that revenue is more important. Now it's just a debate how much of that revenue converts into profit, which I don't think we'll know for sure until future earnings come in.  \n\nThat aside IREN earnings seemed great.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Any thoughts on $IREN earnings? Seemed like financials were sound, just hit hard by the correction?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "foogleman1234", "ret_m1d": 0.07342093520255544, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07342093520255544, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.074404474482055, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08043108205478011, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009835392794995679, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007010146852224675, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.035428067671187335, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.035428067671187335, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.051032410979181764, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03902798511825156, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015604343307994428, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003599917447064227, "ret_p1w": -0.25665280317562844, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.25665280317562844, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2580836053643899, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2504004607798189, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0014308021887614597, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006252342395809518, "ret_p1m": -0.2571337069714478, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2571337069714478, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2760019991599173, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2703963420212051, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018868292188469526, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013262635049757332, "ret_p3m": -0.27957682178239796, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.27957682178239796, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.30528240898260983, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3055070021486066, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025705587200211877, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025930180366208644, "ret_p6m": -0.20679707125674585, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.20679707125674585, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.28299780841262023, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1925179065927266, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07620073715587439, "bench_c_p6m": -0.01427916466401924, "price_path": [-0.7142, -0.7158, -0.6941, -0.6844, -0.6681, -0.6997, -0.6832, -0.686, -0.6565, -0.6294, -0.6315, -0.6416, -0.6307, -0.5755, -0.5755, -0.5333, -0.5478, -0.5811, -0.5808, -0.5802, -0.516, -0.4609, -0.4734, -0.4556, -0.4046, -0.4157, -0.3924, -0.4178, -0.3806, -0.3283, -0.3304, -0.2443, -0.2579, -0.329, -0.2637, -0.2477, -0.2453, -0.2462, -0.1911, -0.0742, -0.0112, -0.0367, 0.0236, -0.0418, 0.0282, 0.1151, 0.0898, -0.0088, -0.0266, -0.0507, -0.1152, -0.1691, -0.1045, 0.0083, 0.0418, 0.0006, -0.0314, -0.0667, -0.0261, 0.0861, 0.0681, 0.2249, 0.0734, 0.0, -0.0354, -0.0802, -0.1071, -0.2201, -0.2567, -0.24, -0.2169, -0.2653, -0.3031, -0.3225, -0.2227, -0.239, -0.2233, -0.2233, -0.2336, -0.2227, -0.3408, -0.2953, -0.2554, -0.2833, -0.2571, -0.2491, -0.2959, -0.2956, -0.3567, -0.4312, -0.4134, -0.4585, -0.4261, -0.3601, -0.3261, -0.3256, -0.327, -0.327, -0.354, -0.3682, -0.386, -0.3945, -0.3945, -0.3155, -0.2267, -0.264, -0.3007, -0.2677, -0.2621, -0.1932, -0.1505, -0.1523, -0.1682, -0.0731, -0.0731, -0.1302, -0.1427, -0.1622, -0.0914, -0.1606, -0.0383, 0.009, -0.0407, -0.1385, -0.1491, -0.1281, -0.2796, -0.3621, -0.3294, -0.2602, -0.3118, -0.316, -0.3583, -0.3232, -0.3232, -0.3432, -0.3254, -0.306, -0.3591, -0.3209, -0.2714, -0.2942, -0.2908, -0.3435, -0.3365, -0.3772, -0.2972, -0.3568, -0.4117, -0.3774, -0.3889, -0.327, -0.3368, -0.3334, -0.2796, -0.3113, -0.3233, -0.3322, -0.3381, -0.3241, -0.3408, -0.3358, -0.3996, -0.4375, -0.4931, -0.4505, -0.4535, -0.4426, -0.4426, -0.4368, -0.4271, -0.4096, -0.4059, -0.3697, -0.3096, -0.2406, -0.2174, -0.2353, -0.2286, -0.219, -0.2759, -0.2243, -0.1661, -0.1882, -0.2248, -0.2876, -0.3129, -0.2704, -0.268, -0.2068]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972148572281078088", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-28T03:57:15+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "~$750K $NBIS shares, ~$100k calls ... they'll probably be $1.25M $NBIS", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Held positions: large NBIS (targeting $1.25M), CIFR (targeting $250K shares), plus smaller IREN and GRRR longs.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@realbaggyboy I posted them a day or two ago if you scroll through my history. \n\nRight now: \n~$750K $NBIS shares, ~$100k calls\n~$50k $CIFR calls\n~$15k $IREN calls + shares\n~$100k $GRRR shares. \n\nI move positions around but they'll probably be $1.25M $NBIS and $250k $CIFR shares when I'm done.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Well, what are your positions?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "realbaggyboy", "ret_m1d": -0.022863402690541768, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.022863402690541768, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.020060912274418974, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01965792073995065, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003205481950591116, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01859912356794835, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01859912356794835, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014832256808836375, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0201175336178111, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0015184100498627506, "ret_p1w": 0.13355108925491654, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.13355108925491654, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12160260787250388, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15075906719363552, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017207977938718977, "ret_p1m": 0.10533478934648022, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10533478934648022, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0701069826039109, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12195232126657751, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016617531920097295, "ret_p3m": -0.17319909050862348, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17319909050862348, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2165030751207767, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17254361511278626, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0006554753958372128, "ret_p6m": 0.042551282793175105, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.042551282793175105, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.052768289205117, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09910514292146178, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.05655386012828667, "price_path": [-0.5466, -0.5441, -0.5441, -0.566, -0.5727, -0.5822, -0.5788, -0.5981, -0.5287, -0.5143, -0.5163, -0.5129, -0.521, -0.5249, -0.5372, -0.5293, -0.5268, -0.5339, -0.5214, -0.5427, -0.5347, -0.5062, -0.5282, -0.5085, -0.4995, -0.5002, -0.4075, -0.376, -0.3627, -0.3165, -0.3592, -0.3789, -0.3502, -0.3419, -0.3904, -0.3879, -0.3996, -0.3742, -0.3647, -0.3606, -0.364, -0.3464, -0.3801, -0.3801, -0.4037, -0.4044, -0.4111, -0.406, -0.4188, -0.1316, -0.1527, -0.1908, -0.1797, -0.1747, -0.1886, -0.1464, -0.1461, -0.099, -0.0328, -0.022, 0.0273, -0.0207, -0.0229, 0.0, 0.0186, 0.0489, 0.142, 0.1611, 0.1336, 0.0679, 0.1069, 0.2034, 0.1756, 0.229, 0.1627, 0.1416, 0.1163, 0.0292, -0.0111, -0.0539, -0.1052, -0.0368, 0.0639, 0.138, 0.1053, 0.135, 0.1267, 0.1869, 0.093, 0.0029, 0.0615, -0.0071, 0.0096, -0.0024, -0.0726, -0.1439, -0.1959, -0.2421, -0.2199, -0.1786, -0.1375, -0.2321, -0.2446, -0.1662, -0.1936, -0.1409, -0.1409, -0.1393, -0.0914, -0.1249, -0.1025, -0.0673, -0.1105, -0.0897, -0.1253, -0.1509, -0.1446, -0.2044, -0.2638, -0.2656, -0.3155, -0.2915, -0.1884, -0.1541, -0.1832, -0.1732, -0.1732, -0.2053, -0.2194, -0.2273, -0.2406, -0.2406, -0.1839, -0.1578, -0.0905, -0.1271, -0.1172, -0.1115, -0.0262, -0.0435, -0.0748, -0.0575, -0.0135, -0.0135, -0.0992, -0.103, -0.1213, -0.1426, -0.1702, -0.112, -0.0888, -0.1389, -0.2271, -0.2001, -0.1839, -0.2525, -0.3298, -0.2188, -0.1573, -0.1672, -0.1961, -0.1859, -0.1108, -0.1108, -0.1152, -0.0764, -0.0237, -0.1116, -0.0872, -0.0693, -0.0372, -0.0484, -0.1727, -0.1743, -0.2125, -0.1129, -0.1322, -0.1895, -0.1386, -0.1251, 0.0161, -0.0198, 0.0248, 0.1781, 0.0554, 0.0757, 0.1025, 0.0671, 0.0357, 0.0426]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972148572281078088", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-28T03:57:15+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "~$50k $CIFR calls ... $250k $CIFR shares when I'm done", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Held positions: large NBIS (targeting $1.25M), CIFR (targeting $250K shares), plus smaller IREN and GRRR longs.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@realbaggyboy I posted them a day or two ago if you scroll through my history. \n\nRight now: \n~$750K $NBIS shares, ~$100k calls\n~$50k $CIFR calls\n~$15k $IREN calls + shares\n~$100k $GRRR shares. \n\nI move positions around but they'll probably be $1.25M $NBIS and $250k $CIFR shares when I'm done.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Well, what are your positions?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "realbaggyboy", "ret_m1d": -0.09328058395930305, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09328058395930305, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09047809354318026, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08796551066294789, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005315073296355166, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0047430409289889175, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0047430409289889175, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008509907688100893, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010200900396175938, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005457859467187021, "ret_p1w": 0.21264826997442654, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.21264826997442654, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.20069978859201387, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1867144587877414, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02593381118668514, "ret_p1m": 0.5778655878561747, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5778655878561747, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5426377811136054, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5007064737373843, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0771591141187904, "ret_p3m": 0.2822134231209563, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2822134231209563, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.23890943850880308, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.236860256046181, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": 0.045353167074775325, "ret_p6m": 0.17628462949864776, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.17628462949864776, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.18650163591058966, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.20224649576629916, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0259618662676514, "price_path": [-0.551, -0.5217, -0.5217, -0.5423, -0.5233, -0.5051, -0.5067, -0.536, -0.5233, -0.5281, -0.5043, -0.4925, -0.4972, -0.5059, -0.4514, -0.4719, -0.4743, -0.4885, -0.513, -0.551, -0.5692, -0.5684, -0.6103, -0.5897, -0.604, -0.5881, -0.615, -0.6245, -0.6237, -0.6269, -0.6126, -0.5794, -0.5881, -0.5217, -0.5447, -0.5296, -0.5336, -0.4957, -0.4751, -0.4372, -0.4474, -0.4451, -0.396, -0.396, -0.3423, -0.3589, -0.415, -0.4055, -0.3897, -0.2711, -0.1897, -0.2119, -0.1423, -0.1423, -0.0901, -0.0213, -0.0632, -0.0292, 0.1036, 0.1186, 0.1178, -0.0783, -0.0933, 0.0, -0.0047, -0.004, 0.0917, 0.1621, 0.2126, 0.2451, 0.3913, 0.4221, 0.3415, 0.6079, 0.6514, 0.6625, 0.4798, 0.483, 0.5739, 0.4289, 0.2735, 0.364, 0.6332, 0.6237, 0.5779, 0.5486, 0.5075, 0.4743, 0.7992, 0.7794, 0.9534, 0.7162, 0.6356, 0.5534, 0.4759, 0.3739, 0.1802, 0.1352, 0.1344, 0.1526, 0.1557, 0.151, 0.1186, 0.3209, 0.385, 0.5138, 0.5138, 0.6087, 0.5565, 0.3945, 0.4727, 0.5676, 0.5241, 0.5399, 0.5462, 0.4609, 0.4925, 0.3478, 0.1652, 0.185, 0.1375, 0.1976, 0.2814, 0.2917, 0.2577, 0.2822, 0.2822, 0.2008, 0.1921, 0.1534, 0.1668, 0.1668, 0.2806, 0.4356, 0.3866, 0.2711, 0.3083, 0.3146, 0.3976, 0.4427, 0.4332, 0.385, 0.4862, 0.4862, 0.4166, 0.4008, 0.3747, 0.3889, 0.3036, 0.4822, 0.4996, 0.3992, 0.2617, 0.2498, 0.2854, 0.1265, 0.004, 0.1644, 0.3249, 0.3518, 0.287, 0.2727, 0.298, 0.298, 0.2364, 0.219, 0.249, 0.1581, 0.2032, 0.3534, 0.313, 0.3028, 0.2332, 0.2458, 0.1628, 0.268, 0.1976, 0.0767, 0.1312, 0.1036, 0.1154, 0.0838, 0.113, 0.1968, 0.1929, 0.1597, 0.1573, 0.1075, 0.1771, 0.1763]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972148572281078088", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-09-28T03:57:15+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "~$15k $IREN calls + shares", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Held positions: large NBIS (targeting $1.25M), CIFR (targeting $250K shares), plus smaller IREN and GRRR longs.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@realbaggyboy I posted them a day or two ago if you scroll through my history. \n\nRight now: \n~$750K $NBIS shares, ~$100k calls\n~$50k $CIFR calls\n~$15k $IREN calls + shares\n~$100k $GRRR shares. \n\nI move positions around but they'll probably be $1.25M $NBIS and $250k $CIFR shares when I'm done.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Well, what are your positions?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "realbaggyboy", "ret_m1d": -0.08861309966866204, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08861309966866204, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08581060925253925, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08362508350331566, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004988016165346387, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.021772261993373343, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.021772261993373343, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.018005395234261368, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.026575534186569327, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004803272193195984, "ret_p1w": 0.2573481301173046, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2573481301173046, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.24539964873489195, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2652919787543433, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007943848637038675, "ret_p1m": 0.3590245537601553, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3590245537601553, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.323796747017586, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.38008494008901605, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02106038632886076, "ret_p3m": -0.086000451484742, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.086000451484742, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12930443609689524, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11915726748529021, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": 0.033156816000548206, "ret_p6m": -0.10472461008777711, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.10472461008777711, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.09450760367583522, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0230035156243954, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.08172109446338172, "price_path": [-0.659, -0.6338, -0.6338, -0.631, -0.6323, -0.6307, -0.6292, -0.6466, -0.6238, -0.6325, -0.6231, -0.607, -0.6094, -0.6048, -0.5953, -0.5865, -0.6051, -0.6142, -0.639, -0.6562, -0.6486, -0.6492, -0.6647, -0.6412, -0.6418, -0.6011, -0.5957, -0.5983, -0.6088, -0.6118, -0.614, -0.5846, -0.5713, -0.5492, -0.5922, -0.5698, -0.5735, -0.5334, -0.4966, -0.4995, -0.5133, -0.4984, -0.4235, -0.4235, -0.3662, -0.3858, -0.4311, -0.4307, -0.4298, -0.3427, -0.2678, -0.2848, -0.2606, -0.1914, -0.2064, -0.1748, -0.2092, -0.1587, -0.0877, -0.0906, 0.0263, 0.0078, -0.0886, 0.0, 0.0218, 0.025, 0.0237, 0.0986, 0.2573, 0.3429, 0.3083, 0.3902, 0.3013, 0.3965, 0.5145, 0.4801, 0.3462, 0.322, 0.2894, 0.2017, 0.1285, 0.2162, 0.3695, 0.415, 0.359, 0.3155, 0.2676, 0.3227, 0.4751, 0.4507, 0.6636, 0.4579, 0.3582, 0.31, 0.2493, 0.2127, 0.0592, 0.0096, 0.0322, 0.0636, -0.0022, -0.0536, -0.0799, 0.0557, 0.0335, 0.0549, 0.0549, 0.0409, 0.0557, -0.1047, -0.0429, 0.0113, -0.0266, 0.0089, 0.0198, -0.0438, -0.0433, -0.1263, -0.2275, -0.2034, -0.2645, -0.2206, -0.1309, -0.0847, -0.084, -0.086, -0.086, -0.1226, -0.142, -0.1661, -0.1777, -0.1777, -0.0703, 0.0503, -0.0004, -0.0502, -0.0054, 0.0022, 0.0958, 0.1537, 0.1513, 0.1298, 0.2589, 0.2589, 0.1814, 0.1644, 0.1378, 0.2341, 0.14, 0.3061, 0.3703, 0.3029, 0.17, 0.1557, 0.1842, -0.0216, -0.1337, -0.0893, 0.0048, -0.0653, -0.071, -0.1285, -0.0808, -0.0808, -0.108, -0.0838, -0.0575, -0.1295, -0.0777, -0.0105, -0.0414, -0.0368, -0.1084, -0.0988, -0.1541, -0.0455, -0.1264, -0.201, -0.1544, -0.17, -0.086, -0.0993, -0.0947, -0.0216, -0.0647, -0.081, -0.093, -0.101, -0.0821, -0.1047]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972148572281078088", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-09-28T03:57:15+00:00", "symbol": "GRRR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "~$100k $GRRR shares", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Held positions: large NBIS (targeting $1.25M), CIFR (targeting $250K shares), plus smaller IREN and GRRR longs.", "resolved_tickers": ["GRRR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@realbaggyboy I posted them a day or two ago if you scroll through my history. \n\nRight now: \n~$750K $NBIS shares, ~$100k calls\n~$50k $CIFR calls\n~$15k $IREN calls + shares\n~$100k $GRRR shares. \n\nI move positions around but they'll probably be $1.25M $NBIS and $250k $CIFR shares when I'm done.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Well, what are your positions?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "realbaggyboy", "ret_m1d": 0.022085275826427164, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.022085275826427164, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.024887766242549958, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.024887766242549958, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0518746925783955, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0518746925783955, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.055641559337507474, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.055641559337507474, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "ret_p1w": 0.06163332333126337, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06163332333126337, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0496848419488507, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0496848419488507, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "ret_p1m": -0.19311758643096266, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.19311758643096266, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.22834539317353197, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.22834539317353197, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "ret_p3m": -0.40575243436766095, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.40575243436766095, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4490564189798142, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4490564189798142, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "ret_p6m": -0.460195141266748, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.460195141266748, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4499781348548061, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4499781348548061, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "price_path": [0.1027, 0.0863, 0.0863, 0.0786, 0.0914, 0.2465, 0.0837, 0.0395, 0.0308, 0.0657, 0.0485, 0.0354, -0.0221, -0.0822, -0.0781, -0.0575, -0.0878, -0.0896, -0.1099, -0.1392, -0.1623, -0.1497, -0.1793, -0.1582, -0.1623, -0.1628, -0.1921, -0.1238, -0.1356, -0.1099, -0.096, -0.1371, -0.1027, -0.077, -0.0755, -0.1109, -0.112, -0.074, -0.1084, -0.1284, -0.17, -0.1757, -0.15, -0.15, -0.1412, -0.1325, -0.1217, -0.1115, -0.0652, -0.0508, -0.0878, -0.0781, -0.0688, -0.0842, -0.0889, 0.0308, 0.0529, 0.1037, 0.0714, 0.0411, -0.0139, -0.0354, 0.0221, 0.0, -0.0519, -0.0473, -0.039, -0.0544, 0.0616, 0.0267, 0.0385, -0.0067, -0.0714, -0.0395, -0.076, -0.1073, -0.1387, -0.1294, -0.115, -0.0714, -0.133, -0.1341, -0.1351, -0.1341, -0.1931, -0.1885, -0.2101, -0.1849, -0.1592, -0.2399, -0.2291, -0.2773, -0.2717, -0.2609, -0.2804, -0.3046, -0.3364, -0.3354, -0.3518, -0.2907, -0.2768, -0.3148, -0.3261, -0.3287, -0.3385, -0.3328, -0.3328, -0.2933, -0.3308, -0.3236, -0.282, -0.2044, -0.2311, -0.2342, -0.2496, -0.2712, -0.2357, -0.2943, -0.3498, -0.3338, -0.3888, -0.397, -0.3693, -0.3837, -0.3986, -0.4058, -0.4058, -0.4217, -0.4253, -0.4381, -0.4391, -0.4391, -0.3534, -0.3308, -0.32, -0.3236, -0.3292, -0.3477, -0.3652, -0.3385, -0.3559, -0.2763, -0.2691, -0.2691, -0.2999, -0.2794, -0.2404, -0.2681, -0.2938, -0.2424, -0.2532, -0.2018, -0.2748, -0.3225, -0.3672, -0.4135, -0.4474, -0.3965, -0.3467, -0.3395, -0.3513, -0.3713, -0.3559, -0.3559, -0.3939, -0.4135, -0.4217, -0.4171, -0.4417, -0.4109, -0.4088, -0.4001, -0.3929, -0.36, -0.4099, -0.4104, -0.3693, -0.3549, -0.3801, -0.4171, -0.3955, -0.4248, -0.435, -0.4099, -0.4155, -0.4314, -0.4371, -0.4669, -0.4371, -0.4602]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1996581986472022087", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-04T14:06:54+00:00", "symbol": "TTD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Upgrading $TTD to a buy at $38.6 (-67.5% YTD)... I put fair value in $48-$55 range... I see it recovering to $50, ~31.6% upside at these levels within ~4 months", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Upgrading TTD to Buy at $38.6; DCF-based fair value $48–$55, targets $50 recovery (~31.6% upside) within ~4 months as tax-loss selling abates.", "resolved_tickers": ["TTD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Advertising Agencies", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Upgrading $TTD to a buy at $38.6 (-67.5% YTD)\n\nThe Trade Desk is reasonably priced-slightly undervalued here. \n\n78.1% gross margins, ~2.9B FY revenue 2025, 18% y/y growth, 25% FCF margins.\n\n$1.8B cash, no debt,, 95% customer retention, and $1B in buybacks to offset large stock based compensation. At a $18.67B marketcap. \n\nDefinitely not a hyper growth stock like the earlier mention, but it has good value. Fundamentals are slowing, not dying. \n\nI put fair value in $48-$55 range given dcf of $735m fcf, 12% y/y growth, and a discount rate. \n\nI see it recovering to $50, ~31.6% upside at these levels within ~4 months, when EOY tax harvesting stops mid December.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I'm an early investor in hyper-growth companies.\n\n$RKLB for space. \n\n$HOOD for fintech. \n\n$CRDO for connectivity. \n\nBut I've never\n\never, Ever\n\nseen a company grow forward revenue: 700%+ Y/Y. \n\nand while owning 4 hyper growth subsidiaries concurrently scaling &gt;100% Y/Y each. https://t.co/iqU2jWf41O", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01880553729261758, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01880553729261758, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01807501519129695, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01807501519129695, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0007305221013206298, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0007305221013206298, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.017789092505297477, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.017789092505297477, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.015889555662587984, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015889555662587984, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0018995368427094927, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0018995368427094927, "ret_p1w": -0.05921215010693759, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05921215010693759, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06619646159546266, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06619646159546266, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0069843114885250746, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0069843114885250746, "ret_p1m": -0.04243959933171537, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04243959933171537, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.043606640901068805, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.043606640901068805, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.001167041569353433, "bench_c_p1m": 0.001167041569353433, "ret_p3m": -0.3646759601161995, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3646759601161995, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.361681133414518, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.361681133414518, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0029948267016814967, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0029948267016814967, "ret_p6m": -0.45209656157619615, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.45209656157619615, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.563725002519157, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.563725002519157, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11162844094296087, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11162844094296087, "price_path": [0.3222, 0.3316, 0.1726, 0.1497, 0.1474, 0.1573, 0.1409, 0.153, 0.1164, 0.1301, 0.1728, 0.1909, 0.1911, 0.1883, 0.198, 0.2615, 0.2455, 0.2534, 0.293, 0.31, 0.3504, 0.3593, 0.3741, 0.3746, 0.3306, 0.303, 0.2892, 0.2986, 0.2681, 0.2701, 0.3341, 0.3703, 0.3695, 0.3756, 0.3215, 0.3624, 0.3131, 0.2696, 0.2445, 0.2778, 0.2483, 0.2005, 0.2122, 0.1665, 0.0928, 0.0994, 0.1233, 0.1128, 0.0895, 0.0656, 0.0219, 0.0285, 0.0213, -0.0254, 0.0076, -0.0074, -0.0066, -0.0061, -0.0061, 0.0053, 0.0058, 0.0152, -0.0188, 0.0, 0.0178, 0.0, 0.0013, -0.0033, -0.0592, -0.0686, -0.0803, -0.0689, -0.0554, -0.0524, -0.0531, -0.0524, -0.0485, -0.0313, -0.0313, -0.0264, -0.0244, -0.0313, -0.0353, -0.0353, -0.0424, 0.0193, 0.0099, -0.0178, -0.0521, -0.0524, -0.0623, -0.0562, -0.0564, -0.0793, -0.0983, -0.0983, -0.1321, -0.1022, -0.0643, -0.0712, -0.1408, -0.182, -0.1901, -0.2058, -0.2292, -0.244, -0.3093, -0.307, -0.3332, -0.3128, -0.3128, -0.2851, -0.308, -0.3357, -0.3441, -0.3441, -0.3581, -0.352, -0.3586, -0.3621, -0.3858, -0.3662, -0.3606, -0.3914, -0.3947, -0.382, -0.3647, -0.3604, -0.2429, -0.2559, -0.2742, -0.2971, -0.3067, -0.3259, -0.3052, -0.3118, -0.3629, -0.4015, -0.4025, -0.3873, -0.3914, -0.4323, -0.4417, -0.4475, -0.4592, -0.4407, -0.4234, -0.4414, -0.4396, -0.4396, -0.4356, -0.474, -0.4854, -0.4762, -0.4895, -0.4607, -0.4658, -0.4313, -0.4216, -0.429, -0.3888, -0.4104, -0.4013, -0.4252, -0.3909, -0.4119, -0.4097, -0.3807, -0.4005, -0.384, -0.3875, -0.3746, -0.3898, -0.403, -0.4135, -0.4531, -0.4628, -0.4793, -0.4813, -0.4625, -0.4341, -0.4623, -0.4658, -0.4592, -0.4313, -0.4313, -0.4363, -0.4335, -0.4625, -0.4521]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1996821550692290898", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-05T05:58:51+00:00", "symbol": "AMD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My stance changed on $AMD after LLMs like opus 4.5 beat gpt codex models in coding... I've become more bearish on stuff dependent on OpenAI", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Turned bearish on AMD and OpenAI-dependent names (CRWV, ORCL, MSFT) as OpenAI loses LLM dominance and AMD's OpenAI revenue deal looks unfundable.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My stance changed on $AMD after LLMs like opus 4.5 beat gpt codex models in coding, gemini 3 models beat out chatgpt models in image generation, etc.\n\nA large part of my initial bullishness on $AMD was expecting OpenAI to maintain its dominance in LLMs, IPO, and find a way to generate that $1T+ in capex spend that they promised.\n\nBut it's becoming less and less likely as time goes on, so I've become more bearish on stuff dependent on OpenAI ( $CRWV, $ORCL, $MSFT etc.)\n\nLarge part of $AMD's most recent valuation boost was that tens of billions of dollars revenue deal with OpenAI but I have increasing doubts openai will be able to fund it without getting backstopped by $MSFT or the US gov.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thank you, curious why you didn't include $AMD?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Alex84Crypto", "ret_m1d": -0.009129721897597753, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.009129721897597753, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007233786454114544, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007233786454114544, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018959354434832099, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018959354434832099, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014405649273126597, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014405649273126597, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01740992678780129, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01740992678780129, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0030042775146746914, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0030042775146746914, "ret_p1w": -0.03298620177611544, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03298620177611544, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.027254799404258012, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.027254799404258012, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00573140237185743, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00573140237185743, "ret_p1m": 0.014268021254918217, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.014268021254918217, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.008343883201025859, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.008343883201025859, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005924138053892358, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005924138053892358, "ret_p3m": -0.07294578982171507, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07294578982171507, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0750815482527375, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0750815482527375, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0021357584310224276, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0021357584310224276, "ret_p6m": 1.3677569055173153, "ret_signed_p6m": -1.3677569055173153, "alpha_spy_p6m": -1.2582360403355222, "alpha_c_p6m": -1.2582360403355222, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10952086518179316, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10952086518179316, "price_path": [-0.2851, -0.2681, -0.2858, -0.2725, -0.2606, -0.2638, -0.2698, -0.2755, -0.2779, -0.2669, -0.2618, -0.2619, -0.2601, -0.2684, -0.2597, -0.2577, -0.2476, -0.2213, -0.2445, -0.0654, -0.0296, 0.0807, 0.0684, -0.0141, -0.0071, 0.0006, 0.0946, 0.0761, 0.0693, 0.1036, 0.092, 0.0562, 0.0781, 0.1603, 0.1913, 0.1837, 0.2127, 0.1692, 0.175, 0.1912, 0.1472, 0.176, 0.0905, 0.0714, 0.1193, 0.0897, 0.1877, 0.1376, 0.1323, 0.1035, 0.0565, 0.0256, -0.0548, -0.0651, -0.0134, -0.0543, -0.0171, -0.0171, -0.002, 0.0082, -0.0125, -0.0017, -0.0091, 0.0, 0.0144, 0.0167, 0.0158, 0.0159, -0.033, -0.0477, -0.0404, -0.0911, -0.0776, -0.0208, -0.0139, -0.0141, -0.0134, -0.0134, -0.0137, -0.0108, -0.0121, -0.0175, -0.0175, 0.0252, 0.0143, -0.0166, -0.0365, -0.061, -0.0679, -0.0472, 0.0138, 0.0258, 0.0456, 0.0636, 0.0636, 0.064, 0.146, 0.1641, 0.1914, 0.153, 0.1563, 0.1595, 0.1569, 0.0861, 0.1298, 0.1107, -0.0816, -0.1169, -0.0437, -0.009, -0.0202, -0.0201, -0.0552, -0.0489, -0.0489, -0.0683, -0.0819, -0.067, -0.0818, -0.098, -0.0189, -0.0326, -0.0656, -0.0815, -0.0888, -0.124, -0.0729, -0.085, -0.1172, -0.0701, -0.0676, -0.0603, -0.0928, -0.1128, -0.0981, -0.0994, -0.0849, -0.0583, -0.0763, -0.0701, -0.0578, 0.0106, -0.0651, -0.0733, -0.1006, -0.0667, -0.0356, -0.0022, -0.0022, 0.0101, 0.0163, 0.0635, 0.0857, 0.1242, 0.1324, 0.1702, 0.1842, 0.2766, 0.2772, 0.2614, 0.3052, 0.3922, 0.4008, 0.5957, 0.5352, 0.4828, 0.5466, 0.6263, 0.6541, 0.5669, 0.6299, 0.9332, 0.8739, 1.0883, 1.1048, 1.0567, 1.0439, 1.0631, 0.9457, 0.9314, 0.8996, 1.0534, 1.0626, 1.1448, 1.1448, 1.3117, 1.2734, 1.3769, 1.3678, 1.3678]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1996821550692290898", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-05T05:58:51+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I've become more bearish on stuff dependent on OpenAI ( $CRWV, $ORCL, $MSFT etc.)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Turned bearish on AMD and OpenAI-dependent names (CRWV, ORCL, MSFT) as OpenAI loses LLM dominance and AMD's OpenAI revenue deal looks unfundable.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My stance changed on $AMD after LLMs like opus 4.5 beat gpt codex models in coding, gemini 3 models beat out chatgpt models in image generation, etc.\n\nA large part of my initial bullishness on $AMD was expecting OpenAI to maintain its dominance in LLMs, IPO, and find a way to generate that $1T+ in capex spend that they promised.\n\nBut it's becoming less and less likely as time goes on, so I've become more bearish on stuff dependent on OpenAI ( $CRWV, $ORCL, $MSFT etc.)\n\nLarge part of $AMD's most recent valuation boost was that tens of billions of dollars revenue deal with OpenAI but I have increasing doubts openai will be able to fund it without getting backstopped by $MSFT or the US gov.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thank you, curious why you didn't include $AMD?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Alex84Crypto", "ret_m1d": -0.028878855760209987, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.028878855760209987, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.026982920316726777, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.026982920316726777, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018959354434832099, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018959354434832099, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.023329616271709375, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.023329616271709375, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.020325338757034683, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.020325338757034683, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0030042775146746914, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0030042775146746914, "ret_p1w": -0.10996609714923322, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10996609714923322, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10423469477737579, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10423469477737579, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00573140237185743, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00573140237185743, "ret_p1m": -0.129558347067107, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.129558347067107, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.13548248512099936, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.13548248512099936, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005924138053892358, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005924138053892358, "ret_p3m": -0.0996602802674833, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0996602802674833, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10179603869850573, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10179603869850573, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0021357584310224276, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0021357584310224276, "ret_p6m": 0.24043029438056673, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.24043029438056673, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.13090942919877357, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.13090942919877357, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10952086518179316, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10952086518179316, "price_path": [0.135, 0.3266, 0.2762, 0.268, 0.3643, 0.3448, 0.3687, 0.3747, 0.414, 0.5088, 0.4823, 0.5108, 0.4344, 0.3629, 0.3875, 0.5498, 0.5521, 0.5629, 0.5265, 0.5159, 0.459, 0.5853, 0.6204, 0.5677, 0.6039, 0.5182, 0.5769, 0.6052, 0.5501, 0.439, 0.4163, 0.3763, 0.3968, 0.5011, 0.5409, 0.5266, 0.5847, 0.4843, 0.5143, 0.4306, 0.3109, 0.2958, 0.211, 0.1779, 0.196, 0.001, -0.0325, -0.1128, -0.1239, -0.1469, -0.1518, -0.1515, -0.2162, -0.1886, -0.1665, -0.1926, -0.1587, -0.1587, -0.1719, -0.1273, -0.139, -0.1012, -0.0289, 0.0, -0.0233, 0.0267, -0.0016, -0.0104, -0.11, -0.1806, -0.2129, -0.269, -0.2335, -0.06, -0.0393, -0.0911, -0.1068, -0.1068, -0.1345, -0.1515, -0.1631, -0.189, -0.189, -0.1017, -0.1296, -0.1173, -0.1259, -0.127, -0.0924, 0.0185, -0.0093, 0.017, 0.076, 0.1464, 0.1464, 0.0784, 0.0651, 0.0395, 0.053, 0.1134, 0.2328, 0.2007, 0.1272, 0.0554, 0.0072, 0.0199, -0.0661, -0.1546, 0.0187, 0.0961, 0.0771, 0.0776, 0.0838, 0.0877, 0.0877, 0.0306, 0.081, 0.1001, 0.0108, 0.0288, 0.1246, 0.11, 0.1057, -0.099, -0.1161, -0.1644, -0.0997, -0.1527, -0.1734, -0.1573, -0.1515, -0.0718, -0.0956, -0.0814, -0.0276, -0.07, -0.0621, -0.0865, -0.0773, -0.0718, -0.0598, -0.0082, -0.0889, -0.1528, -0.2169, -0.1227, -0.1117, -0.0686, -0.0686, -0.0834, -0.0347, 0.0068, 0.0419, 0.1552, 0.2488, 0.3273, 0.3442, 0.354, 0.3233, 0.3299, 0.3042, 0.3878, 0.3298, 0.2473, 0.2691, 0.1951, 0.2932, 0.2639, 0.3478, 0.4205, 0.4484, 0.5626, 0.4591, 0.2928, 0.299, 0.2203, 0.2606, 0.2935, 0.2152, 0.1752, 0.1304, 0.147, 0.2183, 0.1947, 0.1947, 0.1992, 0.1809, 0.2102, 0.2404, 0.2404]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1996821550692290898", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-12-05T05:58:51+00:00", "symbol": "ORCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I've become more bearish on stuff dependent on OpenAI ( $CRWV, $ORCL, $MSFT etc.)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Turned bearish on AMD and OpenAI-dependent names (CRWV, ORCL, MSFT) as OpenAI loses LLM dominance and AMD's OpenAI revenue deal looks unfundable.", "resolved_tickers": ["ORCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My stance changed on $AMD after LLMs like opus 4.5 beat gpt codex models in coding, gemini 3 models beat out chatgpt models in image generation, etc.\n\nA large part of my initial bullishness on $AMD was expecting OpenAI to maintain its dominance in LLMs, IPO, and find a way to generate that $1T+ in capex spend that they promised.\n\nBut it's becoming less and less likely as time goes on, so I've become more bearish on stuff dependent on OpenAI ( $CRWV, $ORCL, $MSFT etc.)\n\nLarge part of $AMD's most recent valuation boost was that tens of billions of dollars revenue deal with OpenAI but I have increasing doubts openai will be able to fund it without getting backstopped by $MSFT or the US gov.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thank you, curious why you didn't include $AMD?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Alex84Crypto", "ret_m1d": -0.014936956644299726, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.014936956644299726, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.013041021200816516, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.013041021200816516, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018959354434832099, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018959354434832099, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013604138967252322, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.013604138967252322, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016608416481927013, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016608416481927013, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0030042775146746914, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0030042775146746914, "ret_p1w": -0.12689582889243056, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12689582889243056, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12116442652057313, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.12116442652057313, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00573140237185743, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00573140237185743, "ret_p1m": -0.11485432321841216, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11485432321841216, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12077846127230452, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12077846127230452, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005924138053892358, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005924138053892358, "ret_p3m": -0.2978547273185146, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2978547273185146, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.299990485749537, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.299990485749537, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0021357584310224276, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0021357584310224276, "ret_p6m": 0.0440641279414653, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.0440641279414653, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06545673724032786, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.06545673724032786, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10952086518179316, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10952086518179316, "price_path": [0.1081, 0.5064, 0.4125, 0.3405, 0.3862, 0.4069, 0.3829, 0.3609, 0.4161, 0.5056, 0.4399, 0.4152, 0.3366, 0.3005, 0.2973, 0.2903, 0.326, 0.3249, 0.3128, 0.3378, 0.3041, 0.3242, 0.3648, 0.3464, 0.4156, 0.3742, 0.3954, 0.4386, 0.3389, 0.2739, 0.2646, 0.2531, 0.2872, 0.3022, 0.2933, 0.2907, 0.2653, 0.1807, 0.207, 0.1851, 0.1406, 0.1504, 0.1205, 0.0996, 0.1069, 0.0853, 0.0432, -0.0, 0.0242, 0.0105, 0.0134, 0.0365, -0.0317, -0.0865, -0.0795, -0.0944, -0.058, -0.058, -0.0718, -0.0765, -0.0757, -0.0453, -0.0149, 0.0, 0.0136, 0.0182, 0.025, -0.0861, -0.1269, -0.1501, -0.133, -0.1798, -0.1726, -0.1177, -0.0882, -0.1022, -0.0923, -0.0923, -0.09, -0.102, -0.0936, -0.1042, -0.1042, -0.1005, -0.1149, -0.1095, -0.1137, -0.1284, -0.0852, -0.0568, -0.0678, -0.1078, -0.1251, -0.1194, -0.1194, -0.1709, -0.1987, -0.1789, -0.1836, -0.1593, -0.194, -0.2037, -0.2212, -0.2416, -0.2624, -0.2873, -0.3241, -0.3711, -0.3419, -0.2784, -0.2632, -0.2758, -0.2789, -0.262, -0.262, -0.2905, -0.2803, -0.2786, -0.3176, -0.3488, -0.3266, -0.3185, -0.3073, -0.33, -0.3122, -0.3133, -0.2979, -0.2867, -0.2951, -0.3016, -0.3115, -0.2483, -0.2666, -0.2852, -0.2813, -0.2872, -0.2954, -0.2833, -0.3103, -0.2888, -0.3222, -0.3271, -0.3419, -0.3564, -0.3604, -0.3221, -0.3308, -0.3255, -0.3255, -0.3293, -0.3402, -0.338, -0.3625, -0.3614, -0.2804, -0.2462, -0.2148, -0.1753, -0.1905, -0.1788, -0.1622, -0.133, -0.1848, -0.1987, -0.2002, -0.2326, -0.2424, -0.2537, -0.2054, -0.1663, -0.1429, -0.1028, -0.1002, -0.0939, -0.1036, -0.1361, -0.1225, -0.0954, -0.1078, -0.1371, -0.1609, -0.1299, -0.1225, -0.1118, -0.1118, -0.1072, -0.117, -0.058, 0.0441, 0.0441]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1996821550692290898", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-12-05T05:58:51+00:00", "symbol": "MSFT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I've become more bearish on stuff dependent on OpenAI ( $CRWV, $ORCL, $MSFT etc.)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Turned bearish on AMD and OpenAI-dependent names (CRWV, ORCL, MSFT) as OpenAI loses LLM dominance and AMD's OpenAI revenue deal looks unfundable.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSFT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My stance changed on $AMD after LLMs like opus 4.5 beat gpt codex models in coding, gemini 3 models beat out chatgpt models in image generation, etc.\n\nA large part of my initial bullishness on $AMD was expecting OpenAI to maintain its dominance in LLMs, IPO, and find a way to generate that $1T+ in capex spend that they promised.\n\nBut it's becoming less and less likely as time goes on, so I've become more bearish on stuff dependent on OpenAI ( $CRWV, $ORCL, $MSFT etc.)\n\nLarge part of $AMD's most recent valuation boost was that tens of billions of dollars revenue deal with OpenAI but I have increasing doubts openai will be able to fund it without getting backstopped by $MSFT or the US gov.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thank you, curious why you didn't include $AMD?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Alex84Crypto", "ret_m1d": -0.0048017401859180575, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0048017401859180575, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0029058047424348477, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0029058047424348477, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018959354434832099, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018959354434832099, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01626792904501806, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01626792904501806, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01927220655969275, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01927220655969275, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0030042775146746914, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0030042775146746914, "ret_p1w": -0.009582734265728088, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.009582734265728088, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0038513318938706576, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0038513318938706576, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00573140237185743, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00573140237185743, "ret_p1m": -0.021338670729096787, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.021338670729096787, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.027262808782989145, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.027262808782989145, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005924138053892358, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005924138053892358, "ret_p3m": -0.15944023325982737, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15944023325982737, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1615759916908498, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1615759916908498, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0021357584310224276, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0021357584310224276, "ret_p6m": -0.06398492475000306, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.06398492475000306, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.17350578993179622, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.17350578993179622, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10952086518179316, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10952086518179316, "price_path": [0.0296, 0.0337, 0.035, 0.0534, 0.0647, 0.0516, 0.0536, 0.0504, 0.07, 0.0628, 0.052, 0.0539, 0.0474, 0.0566, 0.0631, 0.07, 0.0736, 0.0654, 0.0688, 0.0919, 0.0825, 0.0843, 0.0792, 0.0556, 0.0619, 0.061, 0.0607, 0.0569, 0.061, 0.0676, 0.0694, 0.0754, 0.0754, 0.0817, 0.098, 0.1198, 0.1188, 0.0861, 0.0697, 0.0681, 0.0625, 0.0477, 0.0269, 0.0264, 0.0453, 0.0509, 0.0559, 0.0397, 0.054, 0.0484, 0.0201, 0.0063, -0.0098, -0.0228, -0.019, -0.0128, 0.0048, 0.0048, 0.0183, 0.0074, 0.0142, -0.0112, -0.0048, 0.0, 0.0163, 0.0183, -0.0095, 0.0006, -0.0096, -0.0173, -0.014, -0.0146, 0.0017, 0.0057, 0.0036, 0.0076, 0.0101, 0.0101, 0.0094, 0.0082, 0.0089, 0.001, 0.001, -0.0212, -0.0213, -0.0096, 0.0006, -0.0105, -0.008, -0.0124, -0.0259, -0.0492, -0.0548, -0.0482, -0.0482, -0.0593, -0.0808, -0.0663, -0.0356, -0.0267, -0.0053, -0.0032, -0.1028, -0.1094, -0.1237, -0.1489, -0.1427, -0.1852, -0.1698, -0.144, -0.1447, -0.1631, -0.1683, -0.1694, -0.1694, -0.1786, -0.1729, -0.1734, -0.176, -0.2024, -0.193, -0.169, -0.1667, -0.1853, -0.1732, -0.1621, -0.1594, -0.1481, -0.1516, -0.1507, -0.1583, -0.1601, -0.1664, -0.1795, -0.1703, -0.1715, -0.1873, -0.193, -0.2078, -0.2055, -0.2268, -0.2303, -0.2408, -0.2599, -0.2554, -0.2321, -0.2338, -0.2253, -0.2253, -0.2265, -0.2277, -0.2235, -0.2261, -0.2307, -0.2027, -0.1845, -0.147, -0.1282, -0.123, -0.1327, -0.1201, -0.1019, -0.1376, -0.1192, -0.1187, -0.1096, -0.1195, -0.1541, -0.1403, -0.142, -0.1466, -0.1413, -0.1271, -0.1389, -0.144, -0.1541, -0.1594, -0.1507, -0.1248, -0.1214, -0.1341, -0.1265, -0.1287, -0.1298, -0.1298, -0.1351, -0.1421, -0.1123, -0.064, -0.064]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1989305291935285653", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-14T12:11:55+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "institutions are just accumulating from $NBIS retail with drops like this. Not everyone is on X though so there's probably a lot of panic selling outside from groups that don't understand their fundamentals and forward growth", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NBIS: institutions accumulating while uninformed retail panic-sells; fundamentals and forward growth misunderstood.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@babyfolio Oh it’s actually 46.3% with some other datasets.\n\nYeah institutions are just accumulating from $NBIS retail with drops like this. Not everyone is on X though so there’s probably a lot of panic selling outside from groups that don’t understand their fundamentals and forward growth https://t.co/2sRhYsKZ5Q", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Absolutely.\nRetail is in panic mode and losing shares", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "babyfolio", "ret_m1d": 0.06092885183275798, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06092885183275798, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.060765056247821025, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05553947374933221, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0053893780834257665, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02920759414251739, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02920759414251739, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03852402757176199, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03055500763417085, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0013474134916534597, "ret_p1w": -0.003351673165289948, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.003351673165289948, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.015846667575385776, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.00847158234454437, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005119909179254423, "ret_p1m": -0.028728770643726698, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.028728770643726698, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.041825383272466876, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07579595992511301, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04706718928138631, "ret_p3m": 0.060689485746484806, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.060689485746484806, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.027836732130763542, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.008700540385840005, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0519889453606448, "ret_p6m": 1.227675413742134, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.227675413742134, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.1211470771516163, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.1828159796751123, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04485943406702164, "price_path": [-0.1957, -0.1924, -0.2078, -0.1743, -0.1618, -0.1563, -0.1609, -0.1377, -0.1822, -0.1822, -0.2133, -0.2141, -0.223, -0.2163, -0.2332, 0.1458, 0.1179, 0.0676, 0.0822, 0.0888, 0.0705, 0.1262, 0.1266, 0.1888, 0.276, 0.2904, 0.3554, 0.2921, 0.2892, 0.3194, 0.3439, 0.3839, 0.5067, 0.532, 0.4956, 0.4089, 0.4604, 0.5877, 0.5511, 0.6215, 0.534, 0.5062, 0.4728, 0.3579, 0.3048, 0.2483, 0.1805, 0.2708, 0.4036, 0.5014, 0.4583, 0.4975, 0.4865, 0.566, 0.4421, 0.3232, 0.4005, 0.31, 0.3321, 0.3161, 0.2236, 0.1295, 0.0609, 0.0, 0.0292, 0.0838, 0.138, 0.0132, -0.0034, 0.1001, 0.0639, 0.1335, 0.1335, 0.1356, 0.1988, 0.1545, 0.1841, 0.2305, 0.1736, 0.201, 0.1541, 0.1203, 0.1286, 0.0497, -0.0287, -0.031, -0.0968, -0.0652, 0.0709, 0.116, 0.0777, 0.0909, 0.0909, 0.0485, 0.0299, 0.0195, 0.002, 0.002, 0.0767, 0.1112, 0.1999, 0.1517, 0.1647, 0.1723, 0.2848, 0.262, 0.2207, 0.2435, 0.3015, 0.3015, 0.1885, 0.1835, 0.1593, 0.1312, 0.0948, 0.1715, 0.2022, 0.1361, 0.0198, 0.0553, 0.0767, -0.0138, -0.1158, 0.0306, 0.1118, 0.0988, 0.0607, 0.0741, 0.1732, 0.1732, 0.1673, 0.2186, 0.2881, 0.1721, 0.2043, 0.2279, 0.2703, 0.2554, 0.0916, 0.0894, 0.039, 0.1705, 0.145, 0.0693, 0.1365, 0.1543, 0.3406, 0.2933, 0.352, 0.5543, 0.3925, 0.4192, 0.4546, 0.4079, 0.3664, 0.3755, 0.3777, 0.2685, 0.2068, 0.1044, 0.242, 0.2204, 0.3026, 0.3026, 0.3471, 0.4053, 0.4963, 0.6319, 0.7353, 0.8501, 0.9385, 0.9963, 0.9792, 0.881, 0.9052, 0.874, 0.869, 0.8803, 0.7616, 0.7352, 0.6221, 0.6901, 0.6547, 0.8493, 1.1118, 1.1058, 1.3353, 1.2118, 1.1193, 1.2277]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1947207626930225347", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-21T08:10:50+00:00", "symbol": "ALAB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I just bought long term ~$175k+ positions in $ALAB and plan to scale this to ~$500k as a potential $50B+ moonshot", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long ALAB scaling to $500k, $50B+ moonshot target on NVDA-like margins/growth; also bullish CREDO on 180% Y/Y growth and Mag7 customers.", "resolved_tickers": ["ALAB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I just bought long term ~$175k+ positions in $ALAB and plan to scale this to ~$500k as a potential $50B+ moonshot.  \n\nNVDA-like profit margins (76%), 144%+ Y/Y growth, customers like NVDA, AWS, MSFT, GOOGL, NVDA, AMD at 16B market cap. \n\nUnreal customers + growth/margins. https://t.co/bRCBgtoGSB\n\n---\n\nALAB reminds me of how Nvidia grew (extremely large GPU profit margins) + serving Mag7. \n\nOnly similar company out growth wise in semis is probably $CREDO with XAI/AWS/MSFT customers with 180% y/y growth. \n\nBoth are amazing investments.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.16211339925487434, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.16211339925487434, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.16022081276470945, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.16142498336695643, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018925864901648826, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0006884158879179036, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04085647512081281, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04085647512081281, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04099949838994499, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.023163459712752243, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00014302326913218089, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017693015408060564, "ret_p1w": 0.01772092602285147, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01772092602285147, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.004727345232178548, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.014622896464488333, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01299358079067292, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0030980295583631356, "ret_p1m": 0.4033964920433095, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4033964920433095, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.38583840340197084, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4021572802199642, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017558088641338676, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0012392118233452987, "ret_p3m": 0.34178360711065325, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.34178360711065325, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2881844378007645, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1600687887400123, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05359916930988873, "bench_c_p3m": 0.18171481837064096, "ret_p6m": 0.4813356178745529, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4813356178745529, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3716307010164952, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.12940873305813283, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10970491685805772, "bench_c_p6m": 0.3519268848164201, "price_path": [-0.5065, -0.4704, -0.4576, -0.4579, -0.4614, -0.4642, -0.4321, -0.4153, -0.4081, -0.4146, -0.4168, -0.4123, -0.4159, -0.3414, -0.28, -0.2562, -0.2437, -0.257, -0.2593, -0.225, -0.2438, -0.2264, -0.2237, -0.2237, -0.1998, -0.2086, -0.2074, -0.2557, -0.2377, -0.2199, -0.2188, -0.2558, -0.2555, -0.2423, -0.2497, -0.2244, -0.226, -0.2638, -0.2181, -0.2378, -0.1834, -0.1834, -0.2364, -0.2949, -0.2841, -0.2647, -0.1963, -0.2533, -0.2582, -0.2726, -0.2734, -0.2551, -0.2551, -0.2647, -0.2428, -0.1807, -0.204, -0.2132, -0.259, -0.2423, -0.2457, -0.1964, -0.1621, 0.0, -0.0409, -0.0198, -0.0017, 0.0028, 0.0177, -0.0286, 0.0573, 0.1217, 0.0756, 0.1316, 0.112, 0.4307, 0.402, 0.4708, 0.4721, 0.5752, 0.5886, 0.5644, 0.5247, 0.5295, 0.4034, 0.4148, 0.4565, 0.4693, 0.4287, 0.4649, 0.4702, 0.5518, 0.4948, 0.4948, 0.4295, 0.4489, 0.542, 0.5686, 0.7729, 0.7597, 0.89, 0.9107, 0.8828, 0.8975, 0.9591, 1.0459, 1.0665, 1.0116, 0.9468, 0.8878, 0.6841, 0.6461, 0.6226, 0.631, 0.6064, 0.5957, 0.7196, 0.6469, 0.8116, 0.7401, 0.7997, 0.8495, 0.6918, 0.637, 0.3254, 0.3247, 0.3418, 0.311, 0.2824, 0.2922, 0.2704, 0.3425, 0.3534, 0.397, 0.3803, 0.4244, 0.391, 0.5315, 0.5716, 0.4711, 0.4927, 0.3359, 0.3577, 0.4254, 0.3746, 0.2945, 0.1852, 0.1842, 0.16, 0.1446, 0.1651, 0.1428, 0.1633, 0.2122, 0.1878, 0.2652, 0.2652, 0.2927, 0.3552, 0.1727, 0.2511, 0.2512, 0.3227, 0.4418, 0.3707, 0.3481, 0.4251, 0.2212, 0.1786, 0.1891, 0.1505, 0.1968, 0.3488, 0.4162, 0.3851, 0.3945, 0.3945, 0.3722, 0.3956, 0.4016, 0.3648, 0.3648, 0.4731, 0.371, 0.3209, 0.36, 0.2858, 0.3341, 0.4158, 0.4813]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1947207626930225347", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-07-21T08:10:50+00:00", "symbol": "CREDO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Both are amazing investments", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long ALAB scaling to $500k, $50B+ moonshot target on NVDA-like margins/growth; also bullish CREDO on 180% Y/Y growth and Mag7 customers.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRDO"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Credo Technology Group trades as CRDO on NASDAQ", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I just bought long term ~$175k+ positions in $ALAB and plan to scale this to ~$500k as a potential $50B+ moonshot.  \n\nNVDA-like profit margins (76%), 144%+ Y/Y growth, customers like NVDA, AWS, MSFT, GOOGL, NVDA, AMD at 16B market cap. \n\nUnreal customers + growth/margins. https://t.co/bRCBgtoGSB\n\n---\n\nALAB reminds me of how Nvidia grew (extremely large GPU profit margins) + serving Mag7. \n\nOnly similar company out growth wise in semis is probably $CREDO with XAI/AWS/MSFT customers with 180% y/y growth. \n\nBoth are amazing investments.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.023710013512810324, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.023710013512810324, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02181742702264544, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02302159762489242, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018925864901648826, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0006884158879179036, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02935029894811736, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02935029894811736, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02949332221724954, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011657283540056795, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00014302326913218089, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017693015408060564, "ret_p1w": 0.1275328948915011, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1275328948915011, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11453931410082818, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.12443486533313797, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01299358079067292, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0030980295583631356, "ret_p1m": 0.11029878236486224, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11029878236486224, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09274069372352356, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10905957054151694, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017558088641338676, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0012392118233452987, "ret_p3m": 0.4260497370552305, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4260497370552305, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3724505677453418, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.24433491868458956, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05359916930988873, "bench_c_p3m": 0.18171481837064096, "ret_p6m": 0.6856069405019574, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6856069405019574, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5759020236438996, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.33368005568553727, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10970491685805772, "bench_c_p6m": 0.3519268848164201, "price_path": [-0.5771, -0.5572, -0.5438, -0.5504, -0.5487, -0.5503, -0.5243, -0.4959, -0.4914, -0.5021, -0.4942, -0.4632, -0.4694, -0.4231, -0.383, -0.3755, -0.3777, -0.3719, -0.3528, -0.3513, -0.3686, -0.3652, -0.3547, -0.3547, -0.3352, -0.345, -0.3333, -0.3633, -0.3456, -0.2488, -0.2014, -0.2375, -0.2379, -0.2575, -0.2842, -0.2517, -0.2235, -0.2324, -0.1731, -0.1674, -0.106, -0.106, -0.1069, -0.1167, -0.0399, -0.037, -0.0072, -0.0235, -0.0329, -0.0851, -0.0665, -0.0222, -0.0222, -0.0314, -0.0249, 0.0193, 0.0162, 0.029, 0.0309, 0.0715, 0.0569, 0.0283, -0.0237, 0.0, -0.0294, 0.0279, 0.0567, 0.0572, 0.1275, 0.1425, 0.2117, 0.1651, 0.1235, 0.198, 0.152, 0.2256, 0.2511, 0.2577, 0.2385, 0.3096, 0.2652, 0.2255, 0.2193, 0.2402, 0.1103, 0.1071, 0.1579, 0.1911, 0.2055, 0.2544, 0.2819, 0.3769, 0.2853, 0.2853, 0.298, 0.3032, 0.3996, 0.4709, 0.5409, 0.5566, 0.7126, 0.6641, 0.692, 0.7128, 0.7174, 0.7176, 0.7998, 0.771, 0.714, 0.6948, 0.5603, 0.5139, 0.4929, 0.5251, 0.5209, 0.5136, 0.5629, 0.5027, 0.5398, 0.433, 0.5549, 0.5788, 0.4501, 0.5657, 0.3552, 0.3726, 0.426, 0.5, 0.5841, 0.5058, 0.433, 0.5769, 0.6247, 0.6186, 0.694, 0.7915, 0.7403, 0.9597, 0.8868, 0.7154, 0.8086, 0.6998, 0.7089, 0.7773, 0.6555, 0.6747, 0.4931, 0.5199, 0.5206, 0.4577, 0.4819, 0.4072, 0.3943, 0.5756, 0.6104, 0.7131, 0.7131, 0.855, 0.7874, 0.9682, 0.9761, 0.8897, 0.8387, 0.869, 0.7787, 0.6501, 0.6134, 0.5031, 0.4834, 0.4658, 0.401, 0.4474, 0.5681, 0.5661, 0.5439, 0.5687, 0.5687, 0.5127, 0.5114, 0.5137, 0.5029, 0.5029, 0.4959, 0.4648, 0.3887, 0.4727, 0.4789, 0.5711, 0.6301, 0.6856]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1982239560269766898", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-26T00:15:14+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Full stack + software orchestration + customer diversity is the moat and why $NBIS will likely come out on top in terms of margins", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS on full-stack moat and margin leadership; bearish CRWV on bad debt, IREN and SLNH on poor pivot margin prospects.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I mention $CRWV in the other comments as the gold standard example crypto miners pivoting to HPC aim for.\n\nEven then $NBIS has higher GPU utilization after CRWV spends billions on software acquisition and years to build it out.\n\nPeople have too much rose-tinted lens on $IREN and other crypto miners pivoting when $ORCL literally had 14% gross margins. Again CRWV spend billions and years on their software buildout and people expect some $140m micro cap like $SLNH to effectively pivot into good margins \n\nCapacity leads to higher potential revenue but it doesn’t mean much if their margins are small. Full stack + software orchestration + customer diversity is the moat and why $NBIS will likely come out on top in terms of margins.  \n(Also didn’t like $CRWV since their bad debt eats into margins too. $NBIS convertible note structure 40%+ OTM is the way to go)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Not one mention of $CRWV ?  They don’t seem to get much attention on X yet seem to be leading the pack at the moment 🤔", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SalesVibes", "ret_m1d": -0.0651359176358719, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0651359176358719, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05347576869210846, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.051394016667661524, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013741900968210374, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02870125540430646, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02870125540430646, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.031357254360897535, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.023750721096447047, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004950534307859411, "ret_p1w": -0.03954396135218685, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03954396135218685, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.036771241766913265, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.009072772543005425, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": -0.030471188809181426, "ret_p1m": -0.291397615903933, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.291397615903933, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2764831740059033, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2669865978192385, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02441101808469448, "ret_p3m": -0.22785618880266678, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22785618880266678, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23628515601411337, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.22330124633290094, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": -0.004554942469765844, "ret_p6m": 0.24810653488691647, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.24810653488691647, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.21476196842477524, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.24166768131940364, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": 0.006438853567512837, "price_path": [-0.5911, -0.5661, -0.5854, -0.5681, -0.5602, -0.5608, -0.4793, -0.4516, -0.44, -0.3994, -0.4369, -0.4542, -0.429, -0.4217, -0.4643, -0.4621, -0.4724, -0.4501, -0.4418, -0.4381, -0.4411, -0.4257, -0.4553, -0.4553, -0.476, -0.4766, -0.4825, -0.478, -0.4893, -0.2369, -0.2554, -0.2889, -0.2792, -0.2748, -0.287, -0.2499, -0.2496, -0.2082, -0.1501, -0.1406, -0.0973, -0.1394, -0.1414, -0.1213, -0.1049, -0.0783, 0.0035, 0.0203, -0.0039, -0.0616, -0.0273, 0.0575, 0.0331, 0.08, 0.0217, 0.0032, -0.0191, -0.0956, -0.131, -0.1686, -0.2137, -0.1536, -0.0651, 0.0, -0.0287, -0.0026, -0.01, 0.043, -0.0395, -0.1187, -0.0672, -0.1275, -0.1128, -0.1234, -0.185, -0.2477, -0.2934, -0.334, -0.3145, -0.2782, -0.242, -0.3252, -0.3362, -0.2673, -0.2914, -0.2451, -0.2451, -0.2436, -0.2015, -0.231, -0.2114, -0.1804, -0.2184, -0.2001, -0.2314, -0.2538, -0.2483, -0.3009, -0.3531, -0.3546, -0.3985, -0.3774, -0.2868, -0.2567, -0.2822, -0.2735, -0.2735, -0.3017, -0.314, -0.321, -0.3327, -0.3327, -0.2829, -0.2599, -0.2008, -0.233, -0.2243, -0.2192, -0.1443, -0.1595, -0.187, -0.1718, -0.1331, -0.1331, -0.2084, -0.2118, -0.2279, -0.2466, -0.2708, -0.2197, -0.1993, -0.2433, -0.3208, -0.2971, -0.2829, -0.3431, -0.4111, -0.3136, -0.2595, -0.2682, -0.2936, -0.2846, -0.2186, -0.2186, -0.2225, -0.1884, -0.1421, -0.2193, -0.1979, -0.1822, -0.154, -0.1638, -0.273, -0.2744, -0.308, -0.2204, -0.2374, -0.2878, -0.2431, -0.2312, -0.1071, -0.1386, -0.0995, 0.0352, -0.0726, -0.0548, -0.0312, -0.0623, -0.0899, -0.0839, -0.0824, -0.1551, -0.1962, -0.2645, -0.1728, -0.1872, -0.1324, -0.1324, -0.1028, -0.064, -0.0034, 0.0869, 0.1558, 0.2322, 0.2911, 0.3296, 0.3182, 0.2528, 0.2689, 0.2481]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1982239560269766898", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-26T00:15:14+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "didn't like $CRWV since their bad debt eats into margins too", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS on full-stack moat and margin leadership; bearish CRWV on bad debt, IREN and SLNH on poor pivot margin prospects.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I mention $CRWV in the other comments as the gold standard example crypto miners pivoting to HPC aim for.\n\nEven then $NBIS has higher GPU utilization after CRWV spends billions on software acquisition and years to build it out.\n\nPeople have too much rose-tinted lens on $IREN and other crypto miners pivoting when $ORCL literally had 14% gross margins. Again CRWV spend billions and years on their software buildout and people expect some $140m micro cap like $SLNH to effectively pivot into good margins \n\nCapacity leads to higher potential revenue but it doesn’t mean much if their margins are small. Full stack + software orchestration + customer diversity is the moat and why $NBIS will likely come out on top in terms of margins.  \n(Also didn’t like $CRWV since their bad debt eats into margins too. $NBIS convertible note structure 40%+ OTM is the way to go)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Not one mention of $CRWV ?  They don’t seem to get much attention on X yet seem to be leading the pack at the moment 🤔", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SalesVibes", "ret_m1d": -0.025797402394663216, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.025797402394663216, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.014137253450899778, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.014137253450899778, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.009260580107634642, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009260580107634642, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011916579064225719, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011916579064225719, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "ret_p1w": -0.0715860505551974, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0715860505551974, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06881333096992381, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06881333096992381, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "ret_p1m": -0.4760399662301438, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4760399662301438, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.46112552433211407, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.46112552433211407, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "ret_p3m": -0.3253711409483283, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3253711409483283, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3338001081597749, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3338001081597749, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "ret_p6m": -0.15360865994050799, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.15360865994050799, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.18695322640264922, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.18695322640264922, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "price_path": [-0.2438, -0.1612, -0.2346, -0.2209, -0.178, -0.1898, -0.1101, -0.0478, 0.0273, 0.0933, -0.1345, -0.2687, -0.2653, -0.2885, -0.3173, -0.3274, -0.3327, -0.3092, -0.321, -0.3283, -0.2876, -0.2445, -0.2427, -0.2427, -0.314, -0.3394, -0.357, -0.3452, -0.3124, -0.2634, -0.1391, -0.1718, -0.1771, -0.1146, -0.1272, -0.1117, -0.1078, -0.0823, -0.0208, -0.038, -0.0196, -0.0691, -0.1155, -0.0995, 0.0058, 0.0073, 0.0143, -0.0093, -0.0162, -0.0531, 0.0288, 0.0516, 0.0174, 0.0409, -0.0147, 0.0234, 0.0417, 0.006, -0.0661, -0.0808, -0.1068, -0.0935, -0.0258, 0.0, -0.0093, 0.0284, -0.0367, -0.0173, -0.0716, -0.1493, -0.159, -0.2141, -0.2356, -0.2238, -0.3504, -0.3721, -0.4242, -0.4314, -0.4463, -0.4495, -0.4494, -0.4913, -0.4734, -0.4591, -0.476, -0.454, -0.454, -0.4626, -0.4336, -0.4412, -0.4167, -0.3698, -0.351, -0.3662, -0.3337, -0.3521, -0.3578, -0.4224, -0.4682, -0.4892, -0.5256, -0.5026, -0.39, -0.3765, -0.4101, -0.4203, -0.4203, -0.4383, -0.4494, -0.4569, -0.4737, -0.4737, -0.417, -0.4351, -0.4272, -0.4328, -0.4334, -0.411, -0.339, -0.357, -0.34, -0.3017, -0.256, -0.256, -0.3002, -0.3088, -0.3254, -0.3166, -0.2775, -0.1999, -0.2208, -0.2685, -0.3151, -0.3463, -0.3381, -0.3939, -0.4513, -0.3389, -0.2886, -0.301, -0.3007, -0.2966, -0.2941, -0.2941, -0.3312, -0.2985, -0.2861, -0.344, -0.3324, -0.2702, -0.2797, -0.2824, -0.4153, -0.4264, -0.4577, -0.4157, -0.4501, -0.4635, -0.4531, -0.4494, -0.3976, -0.4131, -0.4039, -0.369, -0.3964, -0.3913, -0.4072, -0.4012, -0.3976, -0.3898, -0.3563, -0.4087, -0.4502, -0.4918, -0.4306, -0.4235, -0.3956, -0.3956, -0.4051, -0.3735, -0.3466, -0.3238, -0.2503, -0.1895, -0.1386, -0.1277, -0.1213, -0.1412, -0.1369, -0.1536]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1982239560269766898", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-26T00:15:14+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "People have too much rose-tinted lens on $IREN and other crypto miners pivoting", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS on full-stack moat and margin leadership; bearish CRWV on bad debt, IREN and SLNH on poor pivot margin prospects.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I mention $CRWV in the other comments as the gold standard example crypto miners pivoting to HPC aim for.\n\nEven then $NBIS has higher GPU utilization after CRWV spends billions on software acquisition and years to build it out.\n\nPeople have too much rose-tinted lens on $IREN and other crypto miners pivoting when $ORCL literally had 14% gross margins. Again CRWV spend billions and years on their software buildout and people expect some $140m micro cap like $SLNH to effectively pivot into good margins \n\nCapacity leads to higher potential revenue but it doesn’t mean much if their margins are small. Full stack + software orchestration + customer diversity is the moat and why $NBIS will likely come out on top in terms of margins.  \n(Also didn’t like $CRWV since their bad debt eats into margins too. $NBIS convertible note structure 40%+ OTM is the way to go)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Not one mention of $CRWV ?  They don’t seem to get much attention on X yet seem to be leading the pack at the moment 🤔", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SalesVibes", "ret_m1d": -0.03215873836881211, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03215873836881211, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.020498589425048674, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.028033473816390764, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004125264552421348, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.039544541918764, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.039544541918764, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.042200540875355075, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03316916586003127, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006375376058732729, "ret_p1w": 0.04246810627715236, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04246810627715236, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04524082586242595, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0645944793271267, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022126373049974335, "ret_p1m": -0.2695798925827233, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2695798925827233, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2546654506846936, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.25476647211453674, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.014813420468186567, "ret_p3m": -0.1958762880546734, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1958762880546734, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.20430525526611998, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.20840337820819355, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01252709015352016, "ret_p6m": -0.30497000071257774, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.30497000071257774, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.33831456717471897, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2941425250379808, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010827475674596965, "price_path": [-0.7517, -0.7521, -0.763, -0.7464, -0.7469, -0.7181, -0.7143, -0.7161, -0.7235, -0.7257, -0.7272, -0.7064, -0.697, -0.6814, -0.7118, -0.696, -0.6986, -0.6703, -0.6443, -0.6463, -0.656, -0.6455, -0.5926, -0.5926, -0.5521, -0.5659, -0.5979, -0.5976, -0.597, -0.5355, -0.4825, -0.4945, -0.4775, -0.4285, -0.4391, -0.4168, -0.4411, -0.4054, -0.3553, -0.3573, -0.2747, -0.2877, -0.3559, -0.2933, -0.2779, -0.2756, -0.2765, -0.2236, -0.1114, -0.0509, -0.0754, -0.0175, -0.0803, -0.0131, 0.0703, 0.046, -0.0486, -0.0657, -0.0888, -0.1507, -0.2025, -0.1405, -0.0322, 0.0, -0.0395, -0.0703, -0.1042, -0.0652, 0.0425, 0.0252, 0.1757, 0.0303, -0.0402, -0.0742, -0.1171, -0.1429, -0.2514, -0.2865, -0.2705, -0.2483, -0.2948, -0.3311, -0.3497, -0.2539, -0.2696, -0.2545, -0.2545, -0.2643, -0.2539, -0.3673, -0.3236, -0.2853, -0.312, -0.287, -0.2793, -0.3242, -0.3239, -0.3825, -0.4541, -0.437, -0.4802, -0.4491, -0.3858, -0.3531, -0.3527, -0.3541, -0.3541, -0.3799, -0.3936, -0.4107, -0.4188, -0.4188, -0.343, -0.2577, -0.2936, -0.3287, -0.2971, -0.2917, -0.2256, -0.1846, -0.1863, -0.2016, -0.1103, -0.1103, -0.1651, -0.1771, -0.1959, -0.1279, -0.1943, -0.0769, -0.0315, -0.0792, -0.1731, -0.1833, -0.1631, -0.3085, -0.3878, -0.3564, -0.2899, -0.3394, -0.3434, -0.3841, -0.3504, -0.3504, -0.3696, -0.3525, -0.3339, -0.3848, -0.3482, -0.3007, -0.3225, -0.3193, -0.3699, -0.3631, -0.4022, -0.3254, -0.3826, -0.4353, -0.4024, -0.4134, -0.3541, -0.3634, -0.3602, -0.3085, -0.339, -0.3505, -0.359, -0.3647, -0.3513, -0.3673, -0.3625, -0.4238, -0.4601, -0.5135, -0.4725, -0.4755, -0.465, -0.465, -0.4595, -0.4501, -0.4333, -0.4298, -0.395, -0.3373, -0.2711, -0.2488, -0.266, -0.2596, -0.2503, -0.305]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1982239560269766898", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-10-26T00:15:14+00:00", "symbol": "SLNH", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "people expect some $140m micro cap like $SLNH to effectively pivot into good margins", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS on full-stack moat and margin leadership; bearish CRWV on bad debt, IREN and SLNH on poor pivot margin prospects.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLNH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I mention $CRWV in the other comments as the gold standard example crypto miners pivoting to HPC aim for.\n\nEven then $NBIS has higher GPU utilization after CRWV spends billions on software acquisition and years to build it out.\n\nPeople have too much rose-tinted lens on $IREN and other crypto miners pivoting when $ORCL literally had 14% gross margins. Again CRWV spend billions and years on their software buildout and people expect some $140m micro cap like $SLNH to effectively pivot into good margins \n\nCapacity leads to higher potential revenue but it doesn’t mean much if their margins are small. Full stack + software orchestration + customer diversity is the moat and why $NBIS will likely come out on top in terms of margins.  \n(Also didn’t like $CRWV since their bad debt eats into margins too. $NBIS convertible note structure 40%+ OTM is the way to go)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Not one mention of $CRWV ?  They don’t seem to get much attention on X yet seem to be leading the pack at the moment 🤔", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SalesVibes", "ret_m1d": 0.051724086902089406, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.051724086902089406, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06338423584585284, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06338423584585284, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0034482724601392345, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0034482724601392345, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0007922735035481576, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0007922735035481576, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "ret_p1w": 0.20344823957481917, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.20344823957481917, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.20622095916009275, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.20622095916009275, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "ret_p1m": -0.4586206893716783, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4586206893716783, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4437062474736486, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4437062474736486, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "ret_p3m": -0.5413793106283218, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5413793106283218, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5498082778397684, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5498082778397684, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "ret_p6m": -0.5482758966552506, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5482758966552506, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5816204631173918, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5816204631173918, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "price_path": [-0.8414, -0.8414, -0.8517, -0.8414, -0.8379, -0.8414, -0.8276, -0.8414, -0.8448, -0.8207, -0.8103, -0.8034, -0.8207, -0.8207, -0.8448, -0.8517, -0.8448, -0.8345, -0.8345, -0.8276, -0.8345, -0.8379, -0.8379, -0.8379, -0.831, -0.8276, -0.8414, -0.8345, -0.8207, -0.8172, -0.7966, -0.7586, -0.7517, -0.6793, -0.6621, -0.6586, -0.7034, -0.6276, -0.2759, -0.1828, 0.2069, 0.0138, -0.0517, -0.131, -0.1897, -0.1241, -0.1483, -0.2345, -0.3793, -0.3, -0.0241, -0.1138, -0.169, -0.2207, -0.0379, 0.4793, 0.4448, 0.5241, 0.3621, 0.2, 0.1759, 0.2345, 0.0517, 0.0, 0.0034, 0.1103, 0.0448, 0.2034, 0.2034, 0.0448, 0.1862, 0.0483, -0.1, -0.1172, -0.1828, -0.2724, -0.3621, -0.4241, -0.3828, -0.331, -0.3724, -0.4483, -0.4793, -0.4241, -0.4586, -0.469, -0.469, -0.4103, -0.4379, -0.4552, -0.3931, -0.3414, -0.4276, -0.4483, -0.3586, -0.3207, -0.2724, -0.3414, -0.5069, -0.5069, -0.5586, -0.5621, -0.4862, -0.469, -0.469, -0.469, -0.469, -0.5138, -0.5448, -0.5828, -0.5966, -0.5966, -0.5138, -0.4241, -0.3862, -0.4, -0.4069, -0.4276, -0.4345, -0.4103, -0.4138, -0.4483, -0.4241, -0.4241, -0.4586, -0.5, -0.5414, -0.5414, -0.5586, -0.5345, -0.5621, -0.6, -0.6345, -0.631, -0.6103, -0.6586, -0.7379, -0.6483, -0.6379, -0.6621, -0.6793, -0.6862, -0.6966, -0.6966, -0.7069, -0.7034, -0.6828, -0.6897, -0.6966, -0.6828, -0.6552, -0.6759, -0.7, -0.6759, -0.7, -0.6724, -0.7034, -0.7345, -0.7414, -0.7276, -0.7103, -0.731, -0.731, -0.7276, -0.7241, -0.7414, -0.7414, -0.7552, -0.7448, -0.7552, -0.7276, -0.7552, -0.7862, -0.7897, -0.7552, -0.769, -0.7552, -0.7552, -0.7552, -0.7552, -0.7483, -0.7517, -0.7552, -0.6793, -0.6379, -0.6379, -0.6103, -0.6103, -0.5172, -0.5483]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1994033842219569324", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-27T13:21:29+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Wanted to point out the asymmetrical upside with $NBIS by doing a deeper dive about sum of parts that the market severely, severely undervalues", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS: market severely undervalues sum-of-parts including Avride autonomous vehicle division + Clickhouse; $300B+ opportunity competing vs Waymo/Tesla at scale.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I've seen posts about Avride but they're mainly around the small delivery robots! The real value comes from the self-driving FSD level 4 division that $NBIS has been developing since 2017.\n\nPeople namedrop Clickhouse a the golden egg, but the  $300B+ dollar opportunity is with Avride + $UBER  at scale competing vs Waymo / $TSLA. \n\nWanted to point out the asymmetrical upside with $NBIS by doing a deeper dive about sum of parts that the market severely, severely undervalues. \n\nIt's not just \"valued at $X\" and slash a 40% discount on it, it's also about to grow at extremely absurd rates like their core business.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$NBIS great post on Avride,  an autonomous vehicle company that develops and operates self-driving cars and delivery robots, valued at $6B. \n\nNebius owns 83% of Avride", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "CaesarCapitalz", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0019009430830585483, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0019009430830585483, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0035574632555563923, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00622422630590691, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005458406338614941, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008125169388965459, "ret_p1w": 0.08564790792322552, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08564790792322552, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07871824252335347, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07402809323810788, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006929665399872054, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011619814685117635, "ret_p1m": -0.0749815811643798, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0749815811643798, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09362234586868434, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10898401768209143, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018640764704304535, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03400243651771162, "ret_p3m": 0.08332452409145019, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08332452409145019, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0690516585030807, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06518662201906844, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014272865588369488, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01813790207238175, "ret_p6m": 1.2681381216075018, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.2681381216075018, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.1648459096533572, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.2529063304181431, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10329221195414462, "bench_c_p6m": 0.01523179118935869, "price_path": [-0.2785, -0.3059, -0.3067, -0.3145, -0.3086, -0.3235, 0.0109, -0.0137, -0.0581, -0.0452, -0.0394, -0.0555, -0.0064, -0.006, 0.0488, 0.1258, 0.1385, 0.1958, 0.1399, 0.1374, 0.164, 0.1857, 0.2209, 0.3293, 0.3516, 0.3195, 0.243, 0.2884, 0.4008, 0.3685, 0.4306, 0.3534, 0.3289, 0.2994, 0.198, 0.1511, 0.1013, 0.0415, 0.1211, 0.2384, 0.3246, 0.2866, 0.3212, 0.3114, 0.3816, 0.2723, 0.1674, 0.2356, 0.1558, 0.1752, 0.1612, 0.0795, -0.0035, -0.064, -0.1178, -0.092, -0.0438, 0.004, -0.1061, -0.1207, -0.0295, -0.0614, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0019, 0.0577, 0.0186, 0.0447, 0.0856, 0.0354, 0.0596, 0.0182, -0.0116, -0.0043, -0.0739, -0.1431, -0.1451, -0.2032, -0.1753, -0.0552, -0.0154, -0.0492, -0.0376, -0.0376, -0.075, -0.0914, -0.1005, -0.116, -0.116, -0.0501, -0.0196, 0.0586, 0.0161, 0.0276, 0.0342, 0.1335, 0.1134, 0.077, 0.0971, 0.1483, 0.1483, 0.0486, 0.0441, 0.0228, -0.002, -0.0341, 0.0336, 0.0606, 0.0023, -0.1003, -0.069, -0.0501, -0.1299, -0.2199, -0.0907, -0.0191, -0.0306, -0.0642, -0.0524, 0.0351, 0.0351, 0.0299, 0.0751, 0.1364, 0.0341, 0.0625, 0.0833, 0.1207, 0.1076, -0.037, -0.0389, -0.0833, 0.0326, 0.0101, -0.0566, 0.0026, 0.0184, 0.1828, 0.141, 0.1928, 0.3713, 0.2285, 0.2521, 0.2833, 0.2422, 0.2055, 0.2135, 0.2154, 0.1191, 0.0647, -0.0257, 0.0958, 0.0767, 0.1492, 0.1492, 0.1885, 0.2398, 0.3201, 0.4398, 0.531, 0.6323, 0.7102, 0.7612, 0.7461, 0.6595, 0.6809, 0.6533, 0.649, 0.6589, 0.5541, 0.5309, 0.4311, 0.4911, 0.4598, 0.6315, 0.8631, 0.8579, 1.0603, 0.9513, 0.8698, 0.9654, 0.8915, 1.1889, 1.3355, 1.3227, 1.1107, 1.0882, 1.0258, 1.3226, 1.2681]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1969572307627885012", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-21T01:20:05+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "25B marketcap does not align to forward revenue", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NBIS (25B mktcap misaligned with contracted revenue), CRWV, and NVDA as neocloud providers protect GPU moat against hyperscaler in-house competition.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "That's the same 4T+ thesis with $NVDA and their GPUs/ASICs (Google Cloud TPUs, AWS Trainium) when hyperscalers could replace Nvidia. \n\nSame applies to $NBIS. MSFT wouldn't sign a 17B 5 year contract if they could build it out themselves this fast.\n\nIf you read my DD, NBIS, $CRWV are Nvda's strategic solution to keeping their moat. \n\nCRWV, NBIS helps keep hyperscalers from having all the leverage + prevent Azure, others from consolidating compute and compressing margins down the road. \n\nNBIS helps maintain NVDA's moat and why hundreds of billions contracted revenue is already starting to flow from mag7 to the new neocloud providers. 25B marketcap does not align to forward revenue.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Lol big tech are only \"customers\" temporarily until they have their own capacity built out.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "HenryKengie", "ret_m1d": -0.06838650112454847, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06838650112454847, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06367767858332152, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07188632065539091, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0047088225412269535, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0034998195308424407, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011257078750597227, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011257078750597227, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01670064513942604, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012690665647306032, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005443566388828813, "bench_c_p1d": -0.001433586896708805, "ret_p1w": 0.03395875045402419, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03395875045402419, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0386975813257846, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.034211679241166526, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004738830871760413, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0002529287871423369, "ret_p1m": -0.02176359970012043, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02176359970012043, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.028436771240072378, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.005487703476814709, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.00667317153995195, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01627589622330572, "ret_p3m": -0.2674484291212419, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2674484291212419, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.28188952396505595, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24965457165159954, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014441094843814062, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01779385746964235, "ret_p6m": 0.09127583017082053, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.09127583017082053, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08238010911942428, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.11519637919076353, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.008895721051396244, "bench_c_p6m": -0.023920549019943005, "price_path": [-0.5448, -0.5066, -0.5137, -0.481, -0.528, -0.5312, -0.5286, -0.5286, -0.5512, -0.5582, -0.568, -0.5644, -0.5844, -0.5127, -0.4978, -0.4999, -0.4963, -0.5048, -0.5087, -0.5215, -0.5133, -0.5107, -0.5181, -0.5052, -0.5272, -0.5189, -0.4894, -0.5122, -0.4918, -0.4825, -0.4832, -0.3873, -0.3548, -0.3411, -0.2933, -0.3374, -0.3578, -0.3281, -0.3195, -0.3697, -0.3671, -0.3792, -0.3529, -0.3432, -0.3388, -0.3424, -0.3242, -0.3591, -0.3591, -0.3835, -0.3841, -0.3911, -0.3858, -0.3991, -0.1021, -0.1239, -0.1633, -0.1519, -0.1467, -0.1611, -0.1174, -0.1171, -0.0684, 0.0, 0.0113, 0.0622, 0.0126, 0.0103, 0.034, 0.0532, 0.0845, 0.1808, 0.2006, 0.172, 0.1041, 0.1445, 0.2443, 0.2156, 0.2707, 0.2022, 0.1804, 0.1542, 0.0642, 0.0225, -0.0218, -0.0749, -0.0041, 0.1, 0.1766, 0.1429, 0.1735, 0.1649, 0.2272, 0.1301, 0.037, 0.0976, 0.0266, 0.0439, 0.0314, -0.0411, -0.1148, -0.1686, -0.2163, -0.1934, -0.1507, -0.1082, -0.206, -0.2189, -0.1379, -0.1662, -0.1117, -0.1117, -0.11, -0.0605, -0.0952, -0.072, -0.0356, -0.0803, -0.0588, -0.0956, -0.122, -0.1156, -0.1774, -0.2388, -0.2406, -0.2922, -0.2674, -0.1608, -0.1254, -0.1554, -0.1451, -0.1451, -0.1783, -0.1929, -0.201, -0.2148, -0.2148, -0.1562, -0.1292, -0.0597, -0.0975, -0.0872, -0.0813, 0.0068, -0.011, -0.0433, -0.0255, 0.02, 0.02, -0.0686, -0.0725, -0.0915, -0.1135, -0.142, -0.0819, -0.0579, -0.1097, -0.2008, -0.173, -0.1562, -0.2271, -0.307, -0.1923, -0.1287, -0.1389, -0.1688, -0.1583, -0.0806, -0.0806, -0.0852, -0.045, 0.0095, -0.0814, -0.0562, -0.0377, -0.0045, -0.0161, -0.1446, -0.1462, -0.1857, -0.0827, -0.1027, -0.162, -0.1094, -0.0954, 0.0506, 0.0135, 0.0596, 0.2181, 0.0913]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1969572307627885012", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-21T01:20:05+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$CRWV are Nvda's strategic solution to keeping their moat", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NBIS (25B mktcap misaligned with contracted revenue), CRWV, and NVDA as neocloud providers protect GPU moat against hyperscaler in-house competition.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "That's the same 4T+ thesis with $NVDA and their GPUs/ASICs (Google Cloud TPUs, AWS Trainium) when hyperscalers could replace Nvidia. \n\nSame applies to $NBIS. MSFT wouldn't sign a 17B 5 year contract if they could build it out themselves this fast.\n\nIf you read my DD, NBIS, $CRWV are Nvda's strategic solution to keeping their moat. \n\nCRWV, NBIS helps keep hyperscalers from having all the leverage + prevent Azure, others from consolidating compute and compressing margins down the road. \n\nNBIS helps maintain NVDA's moat and why hundreds of billions contracted revenue is already starting to flow from mag7 to the new neocloud providers. 25B marketcap does not align to forward revenue.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Lol big tech are only \"customers\" temporarily until they have their own capacity built out.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "HenryKengie", "ret_m1d": -0.06282365372362908, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06282365372362908, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05811483118240213, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05811483118240213, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0047088225412269535, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0047088225412269535, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.017563584875256, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.017563584875256, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012120018486427186, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012120018486427186, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005443566388828813, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005443566388828813, "ret_p1w": -0.08038729586372617, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08038729586372617, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07564846499196576, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07564846499196576, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004738830871760413, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004738830871760413, "ret_p1m": -0.06132251317978954, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06132251317978954, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06799568471974149, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06799568471974149, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.00667317153995195, "bench_c_p1m": 0.00667317153995195, "ret_p3m": -0.4920062863051934, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4920062863051934, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5064473811490074, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5064473811490074, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014441094843814062, "bench_c_p3m": 0.014441094843814062, "ret_p6m": -0.38362226690661394, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.38362226690661394, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3925179879580102, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3925179879580102, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.008895721051396244, "bench_c_p6m": 0.008895721051396244, "price_path": [0.1972, 0.1865, 0.2009, 0.2239, 0.1705, 0.1392, 0.24, 0.24, 0.1987, 0.1368, 0.1488, 0.038, -0.0555, -0.0064, 0.0552, 0.0736, -0.0077, -0.0766, -0.0624, -0.026, -0.0539, -0.0993, -0.1322, -0.1723, -0.1838, -0.2277, -0.1434, -0.2183, -0.2043, -0.1605, -0.1726, -0.0912, -0.0276, 0.0492, 0.1165, -0.1161, -0.2531, -0.2496, -0.2734, -0.3028, -0.3131, -0.3185, -0.2945, -0.3066, -0.314, -0.2725, -0.2285, -0.2266, -0.2266, -0.2994, -0.3254, -0.3434, -0.3313, -0.2978, -0.2478, -0.1208, -0.1542, -0.1596, -0.0958, -0.1087, -0.0928, -0.0889, -0.0628, 0.0, -0.0176, 0.0013, -0.0493, -0.0967, -0.0804, 0.0272, 0.0287, 0.0358, 0.0117, 0.0047, -0.033, 0.0507, 0.0739, 0.039, 0.063, 0.0062, 0.0451, 0.0639, 0.0273, -0.0463, -0.0613, -0.0878, -0.0742, -0.0051, 0.0212, 0.0118, 0.0503, -0.0163, 0.0036, -0.0519, -0.1312, -0.1412, -0.1974, -0.2193, -0.2073, -0.3366, -0.3588, -0.412, -0.4193, -0.4346, -0.4378, -0.4377, -0.4805, -0.4622, -0.4476, -0.4649, -0.4424, -0.4424, -0.4512, -0.4216, -0.4293, -0.4043, -0.3564, -0.3372, -0.3527, -0.3195, -0.3383, -0.3441, -0.4101, -0.457, -0.4783, -0.5155, -0.492, -0.377, -0.3633, -0.3976, -0.408, -0.408, -0.4264, -0.4377, -0.4453, -0.4625, -0.4625, -0.4046, -0.4231, -0.415, -0.4207, -0.4214, -0.3985, -0.325, -0.3434, -0.326, -0.2869, -0.2402, -0.2402, -0.2853, -0.2941, -0.311, -0.3021, -0.2621, -0.1829, -0.2042, -0.2529, -0.3005, -0.3324, -0.324, -0.3811, -0.4397, -0.3249, -0.2735, -0.2861, -0.2858, -0.2817, -0.2791, -0.2791, -0.317, -0.2836, -0.2709, -0.3301, -0.3182, -0.2547, -0.2644, -0.2672, -0.4028, -0.4142, -0.4462, -0.4033, -0.4384, -0.4522, -0.4415, -0.4377, -0.3848, -0.4006, -0.3912, -0.3556, -0.3836]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1969572307627885012", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-09-21T01:20:05+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NVDA and their GPUs/ASICs... Same applies to $NBIS", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NBIS (25B mktcap misaligned with contracted revenue), CRWV, and NVDA as neocloud providers protect GPU moat against hyperscaler in-house competition.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "That's the same 4T+ thesis with $NVDA and their GPUs/ASICs (Google Cloud TPUs, AWS Trainium) when hyperscalers could replace Nvidia. \n\nSame applies to $NBIS. MSFT wouldn't sign a 17B 5 year contract if they could build it out themselves this fast.\n\nIf you read my DD, NBIS, $CRWV are Nvda's strategic solution to keeping their moat. \n\nCRWV, NBIS helps keep hyperscalers from having all the leverage + prevent Azure, others from consolidating compute and compressing margins down the road. \n\nNBIS helps maintain NVDA's moat and why hundreds of billions contracted revenue is already starting to flow from mag7 to the new neocloud providers. 25B marketcap does not align to forward revenue.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Lol big tech are only \"customers\" temporarily until they have their own capacity built out.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "HenryKengie", "ret_m1d": -0.03779759609247002, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03779759609247002, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03308877355124307, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03308877355124307, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0047088225412269535, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0047088225412269535, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.028212036426306986, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.028212036426306986, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.022768470037478172, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.022768470037478172, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005443566388828813, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005443566388828813, "ret_p1w": -0.009585476552692596, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.009585476552692596, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.004846645680932182, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.004846645680932182, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004738830871760413, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004738830871760413, "ret_p1m": -0.013343535234792259, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.013343535234792259, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02001670677474421, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02001670677474421, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.00667317153995195, "bench_c_p1m": 0.00667317153995195, "ret_p3m": -0.051523951972382354, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.051523951972382354, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.06596504681619642, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06596504681619642, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014441094843814062, "bench_c_p3m": 0.014441094843814062, "ret_p6m": -0.009041083320921683, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.009041083320921683, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.017936804372317927, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.017936804372317927, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.008895721051396244, "bench_c_p6m": 0.008895721051396244, "price_path": [-0.1596, -0.1558, -0.1409, -0.1396, -0.1651, -0.1436, -0.1322, -0.1322, -0.1382, -0.1286, -0.113, -0.1063, -0.1018, -0.1065, -0.0704, -0.0667, -0.0578, -0.0611, -0.0667, -0.0904, -0.0699, -0.0538, -0.0551, -0.0374, -0.0442, -0.0237, -0.0313, -0.0539, -0.0197, -0.0292, -0.0229, -0.0155, -0.005, -0.0085, -0.0025, -0.0111, -0.0087, -0.0173, -0.0088, -0.0435, -0.0448, -0.0471, -0.0307, -0.0208, -0.0101, -0.011, -0.0188, -0.0514, -0.0514, -0.0699, -0.0708, -0.0651, -0.0904, -0.0834, -0.07, -0.0343, -0.0351, -0.0315, -0.0319, -0.0475, -0.0725, -0.0401, -0.0378, 0.0, -0.0282, -0.0362, -0.0322, -0.0295, -0.0096, 0.0162, 0.0198, 0.0288, 0.0218, 0.0105, 0.0078, 0.03, 0.0488, -0.0025, 0.0257, -0.0195, -0.0206, -0.0098, -0.0021, -0.0053, -0.0133, -0.0181, -0.0079, 0.0144, 0.0429, 0.0949, 0.1276, 0.105, 0.1028, 0.1267, 0.0821, 0.0632, 0.0243, 0.0247, 0.0841, 0.052, 0.0555, 0.0177, 0.0357, 0.0163, -0.0123, 0.0158, -0.0162, -0.0258, -0.0058, -0.0315, -0.0182, -0.0182, -0.036, -0.0201, -0.0117, -0.0219, -0.0012, -0.0065, 0.0106, 0.0075, 0.001, -0.0145, -0.0467, -0.0398, -0.032, -0.069, -0.0515, -0.0142, 0.0005, 0.0306, 0.0273, 0.0273, 0.0377, 0.0252, 0.0215, 0.0158, 0.0158, 0.0286, 0.0246, 0.0198, 0.03, 0.0078, 0.0069, 0.0073, 0.012, -0.0025, 0.0188, 0.0143, 0.0143, -0.0301, -0.0015, 0.0068, 0.0222, 0.0156, 0.0268, 0.0431, 0.0485, 0.041, 0.0109, -0.0178, -0.0513, -0.0638, 0.0099, 0.0351, 0.0269, 0.0351, 0.0182, -0.0043, -0.0043, 0.0075, 0.0239, 0.0234, 0.0339, 0.0433, 0.0504, 0.0651, 0.007, -0.0349, -0.0061, -0.0193, -0.003, -0.0014, -0.0315, -0.0052, 0.0064, 0.0133, -0.0025, -0.0182, -0.002, -0.009]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1988993526517100814", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-13T15:33:05+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Nebius ( $NBIS ): $3B $META deal / $8B forward ARR... markets are still panic selling names... despite record forward revenue growth... when the forward growth backs up any market cap projections, it's just a matter of time and execution", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "AI high-beta names like NBIS, WULF, IREN, CIFR, CRDO are panic-sold despite strong fundamentals; author argues the selloff is fear-driven and prices will recover as forward growth supports valuations.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We're seeing a sector crash in high-beta AI stocks, with  names down 30-45%+ in 1M & 10%+ today.\n\nThis includes direct beneficiaries of Mag7 Capex :\n\n- Nebius ( $NBIS ): $3B $META deal / $8B forward ARR.\n\n- TeraWulf ( $WULF ):  <$50B Antrophic DC + JV FS/ $GOOGL\n\n- Iren ( $IREN ): $9B $MSFT HPC\n\n- Cipher ( $CIFR ): 15Y $5.5 billion w/ $AMZN.\n\nthat improved their fundamentals in this past month alone.\n\nBut markets are still panic selling names from $CRDO (-10.33% 1D) to $CIFR (-7.28% 1D) despite record forward revenue growth. \n\nThis is driven over fears from macro (shutdown, Dec rate cut, corporate bond spreads, etc) and false (but nuanced) institutional claims eg. Burry on GPU depreciation, rather than individual fundamentals.\n\nThis wipes away froth from the speculative parts of the AI sector such as $OKLO (energy, -37% 1M), but higher-margin growth names get caught together with it. \n\nI've said this before, but this reminds me of the time $HOOD sold off to $28 from $65 then pulled off a rally to $150. Or when $ALAB sold off from $100 to $50 off all earnings beats, then rallied to $245. \n\nSometimes stock prices get detached from fundamentals when there’s fear in the markets, especially with “AI bubble” fears like what's happening now.\n\nBut when the forward growth backs up any market cap projections, it’s just a matter of time and execution.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "If you have any iota of doubt during this market correction.\n\nRemember this: \n\n$NBIS is a $24B MC company doing $8B forward ARR, targeting 30% EBITDA margins.\n\nNebius core business powers Mag7 Hyperscalers from $MSFT to $META, enterprises from Shopify to Cursor to Accenture, and https://t.co/HmuI6I3eEi", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.06465083532102467, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06465083532102467, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04777680738406542, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05026683528809617, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.016874027936959246, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014384000032928501, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.057429724648833114, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.057429724648833114, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05726595588849592, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05206923626402493, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00016376876033719068, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005360488384808182, "ret_p1w": -0.04501859401350328, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04501859401350328, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.015987589929240098, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.027507619555743323, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02903100408426318, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017510974457759954, "ret_p1m": -0.010605831446931169, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.010605831446931169, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.025069270916061037, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05188166061103383, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.014463439469129868, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04127582916410266, "ret_p3m": 0.03565388423824545, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.03565388423824545, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0027316138424127168, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.018224855120869465, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03292227039583273, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05387873935911491, "ret_p6m": 0.9976306954576823, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.9976306954576823, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.8937976478900276, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.9461435269466756, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10383304756765477, "bench_c_p6m": 0.051487168511006765, "price_path": [-0.1815, -0.2419, -0.2387, -0.2533, -0.2217, -0.21, -0.2048, -0.2091, -0.1872, -0.2292, -0.2292, -0.2585, -0.2593, -0.2676, -0.2613, -0.2772, 0.08, 0.0537, 0.0063, 0.0201, 0.0263, 0.009, 0.0615, 0.0619, 0.1205, 0.2028, 0.2163, 0.2776, 0.2179, 0.2152, 0.2436, 0.2667, 0.3044, 0.4202, 0.444, 0.4097, 0.328, 0.3765, 0.4966, 0.462, 0.5284, 0.4459, 0.4197, 0.3882, 0.2799, 0.2298, 0.1766, 0.1127, 0.1978, 0.323, 0.4152, 0.3746, 0.4115, 0.4011, 0.476, 0.3592, 0.2472, 0.3201, 0.2348, 0.2556, 0.2406, 0.1533, 0.0647, 0.0, -0.0574, -0.0299, 0.0216, 0.0727, -0.045, -0.0606, 0.0369, 0.0028, 0.0684, 0.0684, 0.0704, 0.13, 0.0882, 0.1161, 0.1599, 0.1062, 0.132, 0.0878, 0.056, 0.0637, -0.0106, -0.0845, -0.0867, -0.1487, -0.1189, 0.0094, 0.0519, 0.0158, 0.0282, 0.0282, -0.0117, -0.0292, -0.039, -0.0556, -0.0556, 0.0149, 0.0474, 0.131, 0.0855, 0.0978, 0.1049, 0.211, 0.1896, 0.1506, 0.1721, 0.2268, 0.2268, 0.1203, 0.1155, 0.0927, 0.0662, 0.0319, 0.1043, 0.1331, 0.0709, -0.0388, -0.0053, 0.0149, -0.0704, -0.1665, -0.0285, 0.048, 0.0357, -0.0002, 0.0124, 0.1058, 0.1058, 0.1003, 0.1486, 0.2141, 0.1048, 0.1352, 0.1574, 0.1973, 0.1833, 0.0289, 0.0269, -0.0206, 0.1032, 0.0792, 0.0079, 0.0712, 0.088, 0.2636, 0.219, 0.2744, 0.4651, 0.3125, 0.3377, 0.3711, 0.3271, 0.2879, 0.2965, 0.2985, 0.1956, 0.1375, 0.041, 0.1707, 0.1503, 0.2278, 0.2278, 0.2698, 0.3246, 0.4104, 0.5382, 0.6357, 0.7439, 0.8271, 0.8816, 0.8655, 0.773, 0.7958, 0.7663, 0.7617, 0.7723, 0.6604, 0.6356, 0.5289, 0.593, 0.5596, 0.7431, 0.9905, 0.9849, 1.2012, 1.0847, 0.9976]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1988993526517100814", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-13T15:33:05+00:00", "symbol": "WULF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "TeraWulf ( $WULF ): <$50B Antrophic DC + JV FS/ $GOOGL... markets are still panic selling names... despite record forward revenue growth", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "AI high-beta names like NBIS, WULF, IREN, CIFR, CRDO are panic-sold despite strong fundamentals; author argues the selloff is fear-driven and prices will recover as forward growth supports valuations.", "resolved_tickers": ["WULF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We're seeing a sector crash in high-beta AI stocks, with  names down 30-45%+ in 1M & 10%+ today.\n\nThis includes direct beneficiaries of Mag7 Capex :\n\n- Nebius ( $NBIS ): $3B $META deal / $8B forward ARR.\n\n- TeraWulf ( $WULF ):  <$50B Antrophic DC + JV FS/ $GOOGL\n\n- Iren ( $IREN ): $9B $MSFT HPC\n\n- Cipher ( $CIFR ): 15Y $5.5 billion w/ $AMZN.\n\nthat improved their fundamentals in this past month alone.\n\nBut markets are still panic selling names from $CRDO (-10.33% 1D) to $CIFR (-7.28% 1D) despite record forward revenue growth. \n\nThis is driven over fears from macro (shutdown, Dec rate cut, corporate bond spreads, etc) and false (but nuanced) institutional claims eg. Burry on GPU depreciation, rather than individual fundamentals.\n\nThis wipes away froth from the speculative parts of the AI sector such as $OKLO (energy, -37% 1M), but higher-margin growth names get caught together with it. \n\nI've said this before, but this reminds me of the time $HOOD sold off to $28 from $65 then pulled off a rally to $150. Or when $ALAB sold off from $100 to $50 off all earnings beats, then rallied to $245. \n\nSometimes stock prices get detached from fundamentals when there’s fear in the markets, especially with “AI bubble” fears like what's happening now.\n\nBut when the forward growth backs up any market cap projections, it’s just a matter of time and execution.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "If you have any iota of doubt during this market correction.\n\nRemember this: \n\n$NBIS is a $24B MC company doing $8B forward ARR, targeting 30% EBITDA margins.\n\nNebius core business powers Mag7 Hyperscalers from $MSFT to $META, enterprises from Shopify to Cursor to Accenture, and https://t.co/HmuI6I3eEi", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.08219178194041366, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08219178194041366, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06531775400345441, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06531775400345441, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.016874027936959246, "bench_c_m1d": 0.016874027936959246, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.059075386646339045, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.059075386646339045, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.058911617886001855, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.058911617886001855, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00016376876033719068, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00016376876033719068, "ret_p1w": -0.010273962536277215, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.010273962536277215, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.018757041547985964, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.018757041547985964, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02903100408426318, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02903100408426318, "ret_p1m": 0.22688352305572912, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.22688352305572912, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.21242008358659925, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.21242008358659925, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.014463439469129868, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014463439469129868, "ret_p3m": 0.4238012608096695, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4238012608096695, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3908789904138368, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3908789904138368, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03292227039583273, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03292227039583273, "ret_p6m": 1.0025683885713241, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.0025683885713241, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.8987353410036694, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.8987353410036694, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10383304756765477, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10383304756765477, "price_path": [-0.1969, -0.2483, -0.2055, -0.2132, -0.2158, -0.2354, -0.2089, -0.2183, -0.1918, -0.1909, -0.1909, -0.1755, -0.2312, -0.2406, -0.2183, -0.2123, -0.1182, -0.0967, -0.089, -0.0788, -0.1019, -0.0634, -0.0283, -0.0437, -0.0599, -0.0163, -0.0377, -0.024, -0.0608, -0.0728, -0.0068, -0.0223, -0.018, -0.0086, 0.0205, 0.0248, 0.036, 0.0531, 0.1635, 0.1567, 0.1986, 0.3236, 0.3245, 0.1866, 0.1926, 0.1858, 0.125, 0.0805, 0.1027, 0.1738, 0.1678, 0.3647, 0.2414, 0.2688, 0.3271, 0.3784, 0.2851, 0.3151, 0.2226, 0.1935, 0.2243, 0.0591, 0.0822, 0.0, -0.0591, -0.0539, 0.0274, 0.0471, -0.0103, -0.0334, 0.0813, 0.1935, 0.2705, 0.2705, 0.3279, 0.3099, 0.2175, 0.2354, 0.2928, 0.2414, 0.2808, 0.3348, 0.3493, 0.3553, 0.2269, 0.0693, 0.1122, -0.0094, 0.0094, 0.0719, 0.0676, 0.0634, 0.0539, 0.0539, 0.006, -0.0223, -0.0454, -0.0163, -0.0163, 0.0908, 0.1661, 0.1284, 0.0693, 0.0993, 0.1216, 0.1824, 0.2106, 0.2166, 0.1841, 0.1858, 0.1858, 0.1413, 0.1233, 0.1036, 0.2089, 0.1807, 0.3108, 0.2937, 0.2449, 0.1447, 0.1507, 0.2671, 0.1884, 0.0205, 0.2235, 0.4255, 0.4238, 0.3724, 0.3622, 0.3921, 0.3921, 0.3853, 0.3168, 0.3245, 0.2851, 0.3425, 0.5034, 0.5342, 0.5308, 0.3887, 0.3716, 0.262, 0.3159, 0.3039, 0.1772, 0.1858, 0.2286, 0.3031, 0.256, 0.256, 0.405, 0.3733, 0.3099, 0.3476, 0.2928, 0.3861, 0.3887, 0.4435, 0.3142, 0.2748, 0.1729, 0.2354, 0.2397, 0.274, 0.274, 0.3313, 0.4187, 0.5454, 0.6293, 0.6156, 0.6652, 0.7937, 0.6841, 0.6533, 0.7671, 0.7551, 0.6926, 0.7594, 0.744, 0.7132, 0.8348, 0.7808, 0.714, 0.8604, 0.8245, 0.9084, 1.0111, 1.2038, 1.0565, 1.0026]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1988993526517100814", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-11-13T15:33:05+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Iren ( $IREN ): $9B $MSFT HPC... markets are still panic selling names... despite record forward revenue growth", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "AI high-beta names like NBIS, WULF, IREN, CIFR, CRDO are panic-sold despite strong fundamentals; author argues the selloff is fear-driven and prices will recover as forward growth supports valuations.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We're seeing a sector crash in high-beta AI stocks, with  names down 30-45%+ in 1M & 10%+ today.\n\nThis includes direct beneficiaries of Mag7 Capex :\n\n- Nebius ( $NBIS ): $3B $META deal / $8B forward ARR.\n\n- TeraWulf ( $WULF ):  <$50B Antrophic DC + JV FS/ $GOOGL\n\n- Iren ( $IREN ): $9B $MSFT HPC\n\n- Cipher ( $CIFR ): 15Y $5.5 billion w/ $AMZN.\n\nthat improved their fundamentals in this past month alone.\n\nBut markets are still panic selling names from $CRDO (-10.33% 1D) to $CIFR (-7.28% 1D) despite record forward revenue growth. \n\nThis is driven over fears from macro (shutdown, Dec rate cut, corporate bond spreads, etc) and false (but nuanced) institutional claims eg. Burry on GPU depreciation, rather than individual fundamentals.\n\nThis wipes away froth from the speculative parts of the AI sector such as $OKLO (energy, -37% 1M), but higher-margin growth names get caught together with it. \n\nI've said this before, but this reminds me of the time $HOOD sold off to $28 from $65 then pulled off a rally to $150. Or when $ALAB sold off from $100 to $50 off all earnings beats, then rallied to $245. \n\nSometimes stock prices get detached from fundamentals when there’s fear in the markets, especially with “AI bubble” fears like what's happening now.\n\nBut when the forward growth backs up any market cap projections, it’s just a matter of time and execution.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "If you have any iota of doubt during this market correction.\n\nRemember this: \n\n$NBIS is a $24B MC company doing $8B forward ARR, targeting 30% EBITDA margins.\n\nNebius core business powers Mag7 Hyperscalers from $MSFT to $META, enterprises from Shopify to Cursor to Accenture, and https://t.co/HmuI6I3eEi", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.14491262108821035, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.14491262108821035, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.1280385931512511, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.13188888026999956, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.016874027936959246, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013023740818210783, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04686541670057942, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04686541670057942, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04670164794024223, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.036861595864874586, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00016376876033719068, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010003820835704835, "ret_p1w": -0.10647482307724754, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10647482307724754, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07744381899298436, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07117846428792007, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02903100408426318, "bench_c_p1w": -0.035296358789327464, "ret_p1m": -0.17512847257017117, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17512847257017117, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.18959191203930104, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.21231229950497843, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.014463439469129868, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03718382693480726, "ret_p3m": -0.11757453322299327, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11757453322299327, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.150496803618826, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13186595484767427, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03292227039583273, "bench_c_p3m": 0.014291421624681, "ret_p6m": 0.25796503275307603, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.25796503275307603, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.15413198518542126, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.28243842594495827, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10383304756765477, "bench_c_p6m": -0.024473393191882242, "price_path": [-0.5744, -0.615, -0.5938, -0.5973, -0.5595, -0.5248, -0.5274, -0.5405, -0.5264, -0.4557, -0.4557, -0.4016, -0.4201, -0.4629, -0.4625, -0.4617, -0.3794, -0.3087, -0.3248, -0.302, -0.2366, -0.2508, -0.221, -0.2534, -0.2058, -0.1387, -0.1414, -0.031, -0.0485, -0.1396, -0.0559, -0.0354, -0.0323, -0.0335, 0.0372, 0.1871, 0.2678, 0.2351, 0.3124, 0.2286, 0.3184, 0.4298, 0.3973, 0.2709, 0.2481, 0.2173, 0.1345, 0.0654, 0.1482, 0.2929, 0.3359, 0.283, 0.2419, 0.1967, 0.2487, 0.3926, 0.3696, 0.5706, 0.3764, 0.2822, 0.2368, 0.1794, 0.1449, 0.0, -0.0469, -0.0255, 0.0041, -0.058, -0.1065, -0.1313, -0.0033, -0.0243, -0.0041, -0.0041, -0.0173, -0.0033, -0.1548, -0.0964, -0.0452, -0.081, -0.0475, -0.0372, -0.0972, -0.0968, -0.1751, -0.2707, -0.2479, -0.3057, -0.2641, -0.1794, -0.1359, -0.1353, -0.1371, -0.1371, -0.1716, -0.1899, -0.2127, -0.2236, -0.2236, -0.1223, -0.0084, -0.0563, -0.1033, -0.061, -0.0539, 0.0345, 0.0892, 0.0869, 0.0666, 0.1885, 0.1885, 0.1153, 0.0993, 0.0742, 0.1651, 0.0763, 0.2331, 0.2937, 0.23, 0.1046, 0.0911, 0.118, -0.0763, -0.1821, -0.1402, -0.0514, -0.1176, -0.1229, -0.1772, -0.1322, -0.1322, -0.1579, -0.135, -0.1102, -0.1782, -0.1293, -0.0658, -0.095, -0.0906, -0.1583, -0.1492, -0.2014, -0.0989, -0.1752, -0.2456, -0.2016, -0.2164, -0.1371, -0.1496, -0.1453, -0.0763, -0.117, -0.1324, -0.1437, -0.1513, -0.1334, -0.1548, -0.1484, -0.2302, -0.2787, -0.3501, -0.2954, -0.2993, -0.2853, -0.2853, -0.2779, -0.2654, -0.243, -0.2382, -0.1918, -0.1147, -0.0263, 0.0035, -0.0195, -0.0109, 0.0014, -0.0715, -0.0053, 0.0693, 0.0409, -0.006, -0.0865, -0.119, -0.0645, -0.0615, 0.0171, 0.1252, 0.2534, 0.1686, 0.258]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1988993526517100814", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-11-13T15:33:05+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Cipher ( $CIFR ): 15Y $5.5 billion w/ $AMZN... markets are still panic selling names from $CRDO (-10.33% 1D) to $CIFR (-7.28% 1D) despite record forward revenue growth", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "AI high-beta names like NBIS, WULF, IREN, CIFR, CRDO are panic-sold despite strong fundamentals; author argues the selloff is fear-driven and prices will recover as forward growth supports valuations.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We're seeing a sector crash in high-beta AI stocks, with  names down 30-45%+ in 1M & 10%+ today.\n\nThis includes direct beneficiaries of Mag7 Capex :\n\n- Nebius ( $NBIS ): $3B $META deal / $8B forward ARR.\n\n- TeraWulf ( $WULF ):  <$50B Antrophic DC + JV FS/ $GOOGL\n\n- Iren ( $IREN ): $9B $MSFT HPC\n\n- Cipher ( $CIFR ): 15Y $5.5 billion w/ $AMZN.\n\nthat improved their fundamentals in this past month alone.\n\nBut markets are still panic selling names from $CRDO (-10.33% 1D) to $CIFR (-7.28% 1D) despite record forward revenue growth. \n\nThis is driven over fears from macro (shutdown, Dec rate cut, corporate bond spreads, etc) and false (but nuanced) institutional claims eg. Burry on GPU depreciation, rather than individual fundamentals.\n\nThis wipes away froth from the speculative parts of the AI sector such as $OKLO (energy, -37% 1M), but higher-margin growth names get caught together with it. \n\nI've said this before, but this reminds me of the time $HOOD sold off to $28 from $65 then pulled off a rally to $150. Or when $ALAB sold off from $100 to $50 off all earnings beats, then rallied to $245. \n\nSometimes stock prices get detached from fundamentals when there’s fear in the markets, especially with “AI bubble” fears like what's happening now.\n\nBut when the forward growth backs up any market cap projections, it’s just a matter of time and execution.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "If you have any iota of doubt during this market correction.\n\nRemember this: \n\n$NBIS is a $24B MC company doing $8B forward ARR, targeting 30% EBITDA margins.\n\nNebius core business powers Mag7 Hyperscalers from $MSFT to $META, enterprises from Shopify to Cursor to Accenture, and https://t.co/HmuI6I3eEi", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.16409904926401642, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.16409904926401642, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.14722502132705717, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.13852231843084128, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.016874027936959246, "bench_c_m1d": 0.025576730833175132, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03817820742447897, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03817820742447897, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03801443866414178, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.043621600852471465, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00016376876033719068, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005443393427992493, "ret_p1w": -0.024782309309854034, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.024782309309854034, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.004248694774409145, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.025603195874599693, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02903100408426318, "bench_c_p1w": -0.05038550518445373, "ret_p1m": 0.14199590680181196, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14199590680181196, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1275324673326821, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.13923929326779616, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.014463439469129868, "bench_c_p1m": 0.002756613534015795, "ret_p3m": 0.1453449452068445, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1453449452068445, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11242267481101176, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.14903502308523442, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03292227039583273, "bench_c_p3m": -0.00369007787838993, "ret_p6m": 0.3764232295384804, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3764232295384804, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.27259018197082563, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.14815425171290353, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10383304756765477, "bench_c_p6m": 0.22826897782557687, "price_path": [-0.5948, -0.6142, -0.6015, -0.6048, -0.5727, -0.5553, -0.5231, -0.5318, -0.5298, -0.4883, -0.4883, -0.4427, -0.4568, -0.5044, -0.4963, -0.4829, -0.3825, -0.3135, -0.3322, -0.2733, -0.2733, -0.2291, -0.1708, -0.2063, -0.1775, -0.065, -0.0522, -0.0529, -0.219, -0.2317, -0.1527, -0.1567, -0.1561, -0.075, -0.0154, 0.0275, 0.0549, 0.1788, 0.205, 0.1366, 0.3624, 0.3992, 0.4086, 0.2539, 0.2565, 0.3336, 0.2106, 0.079, 0.1557, 0.3838, 0.3758, 0.3369, 0.3121, 0.2773, 0.2492, 0.5244, 0.5077, 0.6551, 0.4541, 0.3858, 0.3161, 0.2505, 0.1641, 0.0, -0.0382, -0.0388, -0.0234, -0.0208, -0.0248, -0.0522, 0.1192, 0.1735, 0.2827, 0.2827, 0.363, 0.3188, 0.1815, 0.2478, 0.3282, 0.2914, 0.3048, 0.3101, 0.2378, 0.2646, 0.142, -0.0127, 0.004, -0.0362, 0.0147, 0.0857, 0.0944, 0.0656, 0.0864, 0.0864, 0.0174, 0.01, -0.0228, -0.0114, -0.0114, 0.0851, 0.2163, 0.1748, 0.077, 0.1085, 0.1139, 0.1842, 0.2224, 0.2143, 0.1735, 0.2592, 0.2592, 0.2003, 0.1869, 0.1648, 0.1768, 0.1045, 0.2559, 0.2706, 0.1855, 0.069, 0.0589, 0.0891, -0.0455, -0.1494, -0.0134, 0.1226, 0.1453, 0.0904, 0.0784, 0.0998, 0.0998, 0.0476, 0.0328, 0.0583, -0.0188, 0.0194, 0.1467, 0.1125, 0.1038, 0.0449, 0.0556, -0.0147, 0.0743, 0.0147, -0.0877, -0.0415, -0.065, -0.0549, -0.0817, -0.0569, 0.0141, 0.0107, -0.0174, -0.0194, -0.0616, -0.0027, -0.0033, 0.0636, -0.0388, -0.0794, -0.1952, -0.138, -0.1534, -0.1413, -0.1413, -0.1058, -0.0616, 0.0328, 0.0958, 0.1072, 0.1896, 0.2358, 0.2056, 0.1614, 0.2974, 0.292, 0.2083, 0.3021, 0.2518, 0.219, 0.2163, 0.1561, 0.1333, 0.1882, 0.1413, 0.1983, 0.4802, 0.4675, 0.3855, 0.3764]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1988993526517100814", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-11-13T15:33:05+00:00", "symbol": "CRDO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "markets are still panic selling names from $CRDO (-10.33% 1D) to $CIFR (-7.28% 1D) despite record forward revenue growth", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "AI high-beta names like NBIS, WULF, IREN, CIFR, CRDO are panic-sold despite strong fundamentals; author argues the selloff is fear-driven and prices will recover as forward growth supports valuations.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRDO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We're seeing a sector crash in high-beta AI stocks, with  names down 30-45%+ in 1M & 10%+ today.\n\nThis includes direct beneficiaries of Mag7 Capex :\n\n- Nebius ( $NBIS ): $3B $META deal / $8B forward ARR.\n\n- TeraWulf ( $WULF ):  <$50B Antrophic DC + JV FS/ $GOOGL\n\n- Iren ( $IREN ): $9B $MSFT HPC\n\n- Cipher ( $CIFR ): 15Y $5.5 billion w/ $AMZN.\n\nthat improved their fundamentals in this past month alone.\n\nBut markets are still panic selling names from $CRDO (-10.33% 1D) to $CIFR (-7.28% 1D) despite record forward revenue growth. \n\nThis is driven over fears from macro (shutdown, Dec rate cut, corporate bond spreads, etc) and false (but nuanced) institutional claims eg. Burry on GPU depreciation, rather than individual fundamentals.\n\nThis wipes away froth from the speculative parts of the AI sector such as $OKLO (energy, -37% 1M), but higher-margin growth names get caught together with it. \n\nI've said this before, but this reminds me of the time $HOOD sold off to $28 from $65 then pulled off a rally to $150. Or when $ALAB sold off from $100 to $50 off all earnings beats, then rallied to $245. \n\nSometimes stock prices get detached from fundamentals when there’s fear in the markets, especially with “AI bubble” fears like what's happening now.\n\nBut when the forward growth backs up any market cap projections, it’s just a matter of time and execution.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "If you have any iota of doubt during this market correction.\n\nRemember this: \n\n$NBIS is a $24B MC company doing $8B forward ARR, targeting 30% EBITDA margins.\n\nNebius core business powers Mag7 Hyperscalers from $MSFT to $META, enterprises from Shopify to Cursor to Accenture, and https://t.co/HmuI6I3eEi", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.12165092522488696, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.12165092522488696, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.10477689728792772, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.09059130198048915, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.016874027936959246, "bench_c_m1d": 0.031059623244397816, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01797836571587519, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01797836571587519, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01814213447621238, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0175143215071194, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00016376876033719068, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0004640442087557872, "ret_p1w": -0.05750263306182046, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05750263306182046, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.028471628977557284, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0003133347185035884, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02903100408426318, "bench_c_p1w": -0.057189298343316874, "ret_p1m": 0.006715681947267127, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.006715681947267127, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0077477575218627415, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02025490127205276, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.014463439469129868, "bench_c_p1m": 0.026970583219319888, "ret_p3m": -0.057572549165698095, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.057572549165698095, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09049481956153083, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23505485498334944, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03292227039583273, "bench_c_p3m": 0.17748230581765134, "ret_p6m": 0.31867792170058173, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.31867792170058173, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.21484487413292697, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.32943647589466263, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10383304756765477, "bench_c_p6m": 0.6481143975952444, "price_path": [-0.1694, -0.2564, -0.2586, -0.2245, -0.2022, -0.1927, -0.1598, -0.1414, -0.0779, -0.1392, -0.1392, -0.1307, -0.1272, -0.0626, -0.0149, 0.032, 0.0425, 0.147, 0.1145, 0.1332, 0.1471, 0.1502, 0.1503, 0.2054, 0.1861, 0.148, 0.1351, 0.045, 0.0139, -0.0001, 0.0214, 0.0186, 0.0137, 0.0467, 0.0064, 0.0313, -0.0402, 0.0414, 0.0574, -0.0288, 0.0486, -0.0923, -0.0807, -0.0449, 0.0046, 0.0609, 0.0085, -0.0402, 0.0561, 0.0881, 0.084, 0.1345, 0.1999, 0.1656, 0.3125, 0.2637, 0.1489, 0.2113, 0.1384, 0.1445, 0.1903, 0.1088, 0.1217, 0.0, 0.018, 0.0184, -0.0237, -0.0075, -0.0575, -0.0662, 0.0553, 0.0786, 0.1473, 0.1473, 0.2424, 0.1971, 0.3182, 0.3235, 0.2656, 0.2315, 0.2518, 0.1913, 0.1051, 0.0806, 0.0067, -0.0065, -0.0183, -0.0617, -0.0306, 0.0502, 0.0489, 0.034, 0.0506, 0.0506, 0.0132, 0.0122, 0.0138, 0.0066, 0.0066, 0.0019, -0.019, -0.07, -0.0136, -0.0095, 0.0523, 0.0918, 0.1289, 0.0972, 0.0432, 0.0561, 0.0561, 0.0718, -0.0265, -0.0549, -0.0685, -0.1044, -0.0936, -0.093, -0.0943, -0.1236, -0.1608, -0.2213, -0.3218, -0.314, -0.2207, -0.1367, -0.0576, -0.1018, -0.1481, -0.1505, -0.1505, -0.127, -0.1052, -0.086, -0.1321, -0.1322, -0.1547, -0.1363, -0.1992, -0.2146, -0.201, -0.3193, -0.2827, -0.1973, -0.2317, -0.1887, -0.2142, -0.1892, -0.2195, -0.1767, -0.1824, -0.2721, -0.2884, -0.2509, -0.2767, -0.2648, -0.2984, -0.2731, -0.3254, -0.3338, -0.3857, -0.3433, -0.329, -0.2903, -0.2903, -0.2832, -0.253, -0.229, -0.245, -0.1634, -0.0601, 0.1159, 0.1777, 0.1118, 0.1241, 0.2209, 0.2824, 0.3256, 0.2979, 0.3644, 0.2627, 0.1607, 0.2296, 0.2173, 0.2898, 0.2596, 0.3541, 0.3871, 0.3172, 0.3187]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1971602954739462373", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-26T15:49:09+00:00", "symbol": "ORCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If we go at face value of OpenAI deals, $ORCL is a great buy", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish ORCL after dip; OpenAI deals make it a great buy, expects face-ripping rally similar to AVGO pattern.", "resolved_tickers": ["ORCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@__visionxry__ Reminds me of $AVGO earnings, spikes, dips for like a month, then face ripping rally.\n\nProbably more influenced by options rather than fundamentals at this point. \n\nIf we go at face value of OpenAI deals, $ORCL is a great buy", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What do you think of $ORCL after the dip these last few weeks", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "__visionxry__", "ret_m1d": 0.02776416271679194, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02776416271679194, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03346067096564087, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03346067096564087, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0056965082488489305, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0056965082488489305, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.002469374793626522, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.002469374793626522, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0052797412347663775, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0052797412347663775, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028103664411398555, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0028103664411398555, "ret_p1w": 0.009454850546779303, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.009454850546779303, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0017113035927445175, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0017113035927445175, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01116615413952382, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01116615413952382, "ret_p1m": -0.005544564038754363, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.005544564038754363, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04093175297484586, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04093175297484586, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035387188936091496, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035387188936091496, "ret_p3m": -0.3020788018871723, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3020788018871723, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.34831485300558707, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.34831485300558707, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04623605111841478, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04623605111841478, "ret_p6m": -0.4531272905900837, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4531272905900837, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.44903504980212383, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.44903504980212383, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.004092240787959889, "bench_c_p6m": -0.004092240787959889, "price_path": [-0.2292, -0.1904, -0.1645, -0.1645, -0.1824, -0.1745, -0.1699, -0.171, -0.1866, -0.1911, -0.1711, -0.1487, -0.1225, -0.1341, -0.1408, -0.16, -0.1466, -0.1433, -0.1353, -0.1261, -0.1181, -0.1159, -0.1047, -0.1377, -0.1091, -0.098, -0.0954, -0.1202, -0.1179, -0.1086, -0.1044, -0.1386, -0.1358, -0.1241, -0.1213, -0.1723, -0.1707, -0.1774, -0.1661, -0.1695, -0.1737, -0.1681, -0.1522, -0.2023, -0.2023, -0.2052, -0.2117, -0.2133, -0.1787, -0.1587, -0.148, 0.1583, 0.0861, 0.0308, 0.0659, 0.0818, 0.0633, 0.0464, 0.0889, 0.1577, 0.1071, 0.0882, 0.0278, 0.0, -0.0025, -0.0078, 0.0196, 0.0188, 0.0095, 0.0287, 0.0028, 0.0182, 0.0494, 0.0353, 0.0885, 0.0567, 0.073, 0.1061, 0.0295, -0.0205, -0.0276, -0.0364, -0.0102, 0.0013, -0.0055, -0.0076, -0.0271, -0.0922, -0.0719, -0.0888, -0.123, -0.1154, -0.1384, -0.1545, -0.1489, -0.1655, -0.1978, -0.2311, -0.2125, -0.223, -0.2208, -0.203, -0.2554, -0.2976, -0.2922, -0.3037, -0.2757, -0.2757, -0.2863, -0.2899, -0.2893, -0.2659, -0.2426, -0.2311, -0.2206, -0.2171, -0.2119, -0.2973, -0.3287, -0.3465, -0.3333, -0.3693, -0.3638, -0.3216, -0.2989, -0.3097, -0.3021, -0.3021, -0.3003, -0.3095, -0.3031, -0.3112, -0.3112, -0.3084, -0.3194, -0.3153, -0.3185, -0.3298, -0.2966, -0.2748, -0.2832, -0.314, -0.3273, -0.3229, -0.3229, -0.3625, -0.3839, -0.3687, -0.3723, -0.3536, -0.3803, -0.3877, -0.4011, -0.4168, -0.4329, -0.452, -0.4803, -0.5164, -0.4939, -0.4452, -0.4335, -0.4431, -0.4455, -0.4326, -0.4326, -0.4544, -0.4466, -0.4453, -0.4753, -0.4993, -0.4822, -0.476, -0.4674, -0.4848, -0.4712, -0.472, -0.4601, -0.4515, -0.458, -0.463, -0.4706, -0.422, -0.436, -0.4504, -0.4474, -0.4519, -0.4582, -0.4489, -0.4696, -0.4531]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1968821469988925919", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-18T23:36:32+00:00", "symbol": "Russell 2000", "kind": "index", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "growth and small caps tend to surge as cheaper money and debt easing spark risk appetite", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long small caps/Russell 2000 into year-end 2025 on triple Fed rate cut + seasonal tailwinds; author urges frontrunning institutional rotation now.", "resolved_tickers": ["IWM"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Russell 2000 proxied by IWM ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "⚡Why This Triple Rate Cut Near Year-End 2025 Is a ONCE-IN-A-DECADE OPPORTUNITY\n\n100% read this if you're a trader: \n\nWe've only had 3 events like this in 25 years: (2001, 2008–09, 2020).   \n\nHere's what's history shows:\n\n1⃣  With a triple rate cut, growth and small caps tend to surge as cheaper money and debt easing spark risk appetite.\n\n 2⃣ On top of rate cuts, November–December is also one of the strongest periods for equities. We're approaching that period along with frontrunning.   \n\n3⃣  Institutions are only now adjusting to yesterday’s Fed surprise, rotating into growth assets and the Russell 2000 (up 2%+). \n\nFloods of liquidity will eventually flow into growth stocks and small caps. \n\nYou now have a rare chance to frontrun that flow and reposition your portfolio starting today.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.024301593686068323, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.024301593686068323, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.019650878754130074, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019650878754130074, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004650714931938249, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004650714931938249, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007596871147731776, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007596871147731776, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012549745923063793, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012549745923063793, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004952874775332017, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004952874775332017, "ret_p1w": -0.02266789836936789, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02266789836936789, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.019065680882315417, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.019065680882315417, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0036022174870524726, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0036022174870524726, "ret_p1m": -0.005840586040587126, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.005840586040587126, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.011838240514346565, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.011838240514346565, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0059976544737594395, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0059976544737594395, "ret_p3m": 0.02408923835157384, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.02408923835157384, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0038335470286856577, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0038335470286856577, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.027922785380259496, "bench_c_p3m": 0.027922785380259496, "ret_p6m": 0.010524869096091072, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.010524869096091072, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.004743773353524272, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.004743773353524272, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0057810957425668, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0057810957425668, "price_path": [-0.1375, -0.1265, -0.1367, -0.1227, -0.1224, -0.1211, -0.1121, -0.0998, -0.0915, -0.0915, -0.1051, -0.0989, -0.0891, -0.0844, -0.0971, -0.091, -0.1088, -0.0998, -0.088, -0.0945, -0.0982, -0.0907, -0.0768, -0.0895, -0.0862, -0.0872, -0.093, -0.0976, -0.1065, -0.1247, -0.1051, -0.1005, -0.1017, -0.1046, -0.1027, -0.1029, -0.0763, -0.0583, -0.0704, -0.075, -0.0716, -0.0787, -0.082, -0.0797, -0.0436, -0.0537, -0.0458, -0.0391, -0.0379, -0.0422, -0.0422, -0.0474, -0.0483, -0.0364, -0.0316, -0.0297, -0.0354, -0.0371, -0.0193, -0.0293, -0.0252, -0.0268, -0.0243, 0.0, -0.0076, -0.0018, -0.0041, -0.0132, -0.0227, -0.0143, -0.0132, -0.0118, -0.0096, -0.0033, 0.004, 0.008, -0.0028, 0.0077, 0.0012, -0.0288, -0.0018, 0.0125, 0.0224, 0.0009, -0.0058, 0.0136, 0.0088, -0.0061, 0.0065, 0.0187, 0.0223, 0.0168, 0.0082, 0.0, 0.0057, 0.0025, -0.0149, -0.0007, -0.0183, -0.0132, -0.0033, -0.0025, -0.0049, -0.0329, -0.0301, -0.0493, -0.0464, -0.0466, -0.0642, -0.0377, -0.0202, 0.0012, 0.01, 0.01, 0.016, 0.0032, 0.0013, 0.0196, 0.0285, 0.0242, 0.0246, 0.0268, 0.0407, 0.0529, 0.0368, 0.029, 0.0241, 0.0132, 0.0192, 0.0277, 0.0392, 0.033, 0.0356, 0.0356, 0.0303, 0.024, 0.0164, 0.0088, 0.0088, 0.0195, 0.0357, 0.0494, 0.047, 0.0584, 0.0664, 0.0716, 0.071, 0.0786, 0.0881, 0.0891, 0.0891, 0.0761, 0.0974, 0.1056, 0.0852, 0.0818, 0.0849, 0.079, 0.0793, 0.064, 0.0744, 0.0769, 0.0676, 0.0484, 0.0861, 0.0937, 0.0907, 0.0858, 0.0636, 0.0776, 0.0776, 0.0779, 0.0818, 0.0843, 0.0844, 0.0675, 0.0791, 0.0842, 0.09, 0.0713, 0.0811, 0.0624, 0.0727, 0.0522, 0.0281, 0.0393, 0.0383, 0.0362, 0.0139, 0.0105]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1968821469988925919", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-18T23:36:32+00:00", "symbol": "small caps", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Floods of liquidity will eventually flow into growth stocks and small caps", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long small caps/Russell 2000 into year-end 2025 on triple Fed rate cut + seasonal tailwinds; author urges frontrunning institutional rotation now.", "resolved_tickers": ["IWM"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "US small caps proxied by IWM ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "⚡Why This Triple Rate Cut Near Year-End 2025 Is a ONCE-IN-A-DECADE OPPORTUNITY\n\n100% read this if you're a trader: \n\nWe've only had 3 events like this in 25 years: (2001, 2008–09, 2020).   \n\nHere's what's history shows:\n\n1⃣  With a triple rate cut, growth and small caps tend to surge as cheaper money and debt easing spark risk appetite.\n\n 2⃣ On top of rate cuts, November–December is also one of the strongest periods for equities. We're approaching that period along with frontrunning.   \n\n3⃣  Institutions are only now adjusting to yesterday’s Fed surprise, rotating into growth assets and the Russell 2000 (up 2%+). \n\nFloods of liquidity will eventually flow into growth stocks and small caps. \n\nYou now have a rare chance to frontrun that flow and reposition your portfolio starting today.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.024301593686068323, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.024301593686068323, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.019650878754130074, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019650878754130074, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004650714931938249, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004650714931938249, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007596871147731776, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007596871147731776, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012549745923063793, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012549745923063793, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004952874775332017, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004952874775332017, "ret_p1w": -0.02266789836936789, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02266789836936789, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.019065680882315417, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.019065680882315417, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0036022174870524726, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0036022174870524726, "ret_p1m": -0.005840586040587126, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.005840586040587126, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.011838240514346565, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.011838240514346565, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0059976544737594395, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0059976544737594395, "ret_p3m": 0.02408923835157384, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.02408923835157384, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0038335470286856577, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0038335470286856577, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.027922785380259496, "bench_c_p3m": 0.027922785380259496, "ret_p6m": 0.010524869096091072, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.010524869096091072, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.004743773353524272, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.004743773353524272, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0057810957425668, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0057810957425668, "price_path": [-0.1375, -0.1265, -0.1367, -0.1227, -0.1224, -0.1211, -0.1121, -0.0998, -0.0915, -0.0915, -0.1051, -0.0989, -0.0891, -0.0844, -0.0971, -0.091, -0.1088, -0.0998, -0.088, -0.0945, -0.0982, -0.0907, -0.0768, -0.0895, -0.0862, -0.0872, -0.093, -0.0976, -0.1065, -0.1247, -0.1051, -0.1005, -0.1017, -0.1046, -0.1027, -0.1029, -0.0763, -0.0583, -0.0704, -0.075, -0.0716, -0.0787, -0.082, -0.0797, -0.0436, -0.0537, -0.0458, -0.0391, -0.0379, -0.0422, -0.0422, -0.0474, -0.0483, -0.0364, -0.0316, -0.0297, -0.0354, -0.0371, -0.0193, -0.0293, -0.0252, -0.0268, -0.0243, 0.0, -0.0076, -0.0018, -0.0041, -0.0132, -0.0227, -0.0143, -0.0132, -0.0118, -0.0096, -0.0033, 0.004, 0.008, -0.0028, 0.0077, 0.0012, -0.0288, -0.0018, 0.0125, 0.0224, 0.0009, -0.0058, 0.0136, 0.0088, -0.0061, 0.0065, 0.0187, 0.0223, 0.0168, 0.0082, 0.0, 0.0057, 0.0025, -0.0149, -0.0007, -0.0183, -0.0132, -0.0033, -0.0025, -0.0049, -0.0329, -0.0301, -0.0493, -0.0464, -0.0466, -0.0642, -0.0377, -0.0202, 0.0012, 0.01, 0.01, 0.016, 0.0032, 0.0013, 0.0196, 0.0285, 0.0242, 0.0246, 0.0268, 0.0407, 0.0529, 0.0368, 0.029, 0.0241, 0.0132, 0.0192, 0.0277, 0.0392, 0.033, 0.0356, 0.0356, 0.0303, 0.024, 0.0164, 0.0088, 0.0088, 0.0195, 0.0357, 0.0494, 0.047, 0.0584, 0.0664, 0.0716, 0.071, 0.0786, 0.0881, 0.0891, 0.0891, 0.0761, 0.0974, 0.1056, 0.0852, 0.0818, 0.0849, 0.079, 0.0793, 0.064, 0.0744, 0.0769, 0.0676, 0.0484, 0.0861, 0.0937, 0.0907, 0.0858, 0.0636, 0.0776, 0.0776, 0.0779, 0.0818, 0.0843, 0.0844, 0.0675, 0.0791, 0.0842, 0.09, 0.0713, 0.0811, 0.0624, 0.0727, 0.0522, 0.0281, 0.0393, 0.0383, 0.0362, 0.0139, 0.0105]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1968810504954015894", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-18T22:52:57+00:00", "symbol": "SPY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "SPY average +10% to +15%, 1 year later", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish SPY +10–15% over next year on triple Fed rate cut projection + Nov-Dec seasonality; also bullish US small caps/growth.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@sigmazerocap Nothing bad about risk management, but we just got a triple rate cut projection from the last fed meeting.\n\nThis is once-in-awhile opportunity for small caps/growth stocks combined with (Nov-Dec) seasonality. \n\nSPY average +10% to +15%, 1 year later.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Have gone to 25% cash - first time in 3 years (yes I’m always full invested). I’m up way above my self-retirement target and realized there’s no need to be as greedy even if I miss out on some gains.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "sigmazerocap", "ret_m1d": -0.004650714931938249, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004650714931938249, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004650714931938249, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004650714931938249, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004952874775332017, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004952874775332017, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004952874775332017, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004952874775332017, "ret_p1w": -0.0036022174870524726, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0036022174870524726, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0036022174870524726, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0036022174870524726, "ret_p1m": 0.0059976544737594395, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0059976544737594395, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0059976544737594395, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0059976544737594395, "ret_p3m": 0.027922785380259496, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.027922785380259496, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.027922785380259496, "bench_c_p3m": 0.027922785380259496, "ret_p6m": 0.0057810957425668, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0057810957425668, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0057810957425668, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0057810957425668, "price_path": [-0.0938, -0.0838, -0.0833, -0.0761, -0.0715, -0.0671, -0.0674, -0.0631, -0.0557, -0.0557, -0.0628, -0.0633, -0.0577, -0.055, -0.0583, -0.0565, -0.0606, -0.0574, -0.0517, -0.0524, -0.0506, -0.0504, -0.0424, -0.042, -0.038, -0.0382, -0.0408, -0.042, -0.0456, -0.0612, -0.0469, -0.0518, -0.0445, -0.0453, -0.0379, -0.0398, -0.0296, -0.0262, -0.0261, -0.0284, -0.0286, -0.0339, -0.0365, -0.0403, -0.0256, -0.0299, -0.0258, -0.0236, -0.0201, -0.026, -0.026, -0.0332, -0.028, -0.0198, -0.0227, -0.0203, -0.018, -0.0152, -0.007, -0.0073, -0.002, -0.0034, -0.0047, 0.0, 0.005, 0.0097, 0.0042, 0.001, -0.0036, 0.0021, 0.0049, 0.0087, 0.0121, 0.0133, 0.0133, 0.0169, 0.0132, 0.0192, 0.0162, -0.0112, 0.004, 0.0027, 0.0072, 0.0003, 0.006, 0.0165, 0.0164, 0.0112, 0.0172, 0.0255, 0.0376, 0.0403, 0.0408, 0.0294, 0.0328, 0.0347, 0.0224, 0.026, 0.015, 0.016, 0.0318, 0.0342, 0.0348, 0.0176, 0.0174, 0.0079, -0.0005, 0.0033, -0.012, -0.0021, 0.0126, 0.0221, 0.0291, 0.0291, 0.0348, 0.03, 0.032, 0.0355, 0.0363, 0.0382, 0.0351, 0.0342, 0.0411, 0.0435, 0.0323, 0.0307, 0.0279, 0.0166, 0.0243, 0.0336, 0.04, 0.0448, 0.0484, 0.0484, 0.0483, 0.0446, 0.0433, 0.0356, 0.0356, 0.0375, 0.0444, 0.0506, 0.0472, 0.0471, 0.054, 0.0557, 0.0536, 0.0484, 0.0513, 0.0504, 0.0504, 0.029, 0.0409, 0.0463, 0.0467, 0.052, 0.0562, 0.0561, 0.054, 0.0509, 0.0561, 0.0471, 0.0421, 0.0291, 0.0488, 0.0539, 0.0511, 0.0508, 0.0346, 0.0353, 0.0353, 0.037, 0.0422, 0.0395, 0.047, 0.0363, 0.0438, 0.0526, 0.0468, 0.0418, 0.0424, 0.0332, 0.0405, 0.0347, 0.0211, 0.03, 0.0284, 0.0271, 0.0115, 0.0058]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1968810504954015894", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-18T22:52:57+00:00", "symbol": "small caps", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "once-in-awhile opportunity for small caps/growth stocks combined with (Nov-Dec) seasonality", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish SPY +10–15% over next year on triple Fed rate cut projection + Nov-Dec seasonality; also bullish US small caps/growth.", "resolved_tickers": ["IWM"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "US small caps proxied by IWM ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@sigmazerocap Nothing bad about risk management, but we just got a triple rate cut projection from the last fed meeting.\n\nThis is once-in-awhile opportunity for small caps/growth stocks combined with (Nov-Dec) seasonality. \n\nSPY average +10% to +15%, 1 year later.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Have gone to 25% cash - first time in 3 years (yes I’m always full invested). I’m up way above my self-retirement target and realized there’s no need to be as greedy even if I miss out on some gains.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "sigmazerocap", "ret_m1d": -0.024301593686068323, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.024301593686068323, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.019650878754130074, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019650878754130074, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004650714931938249, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004650714931938249, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007596871147731776, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007596871147731776, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012549745923063793, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012549745923063793, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004952874775332017, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004952874775332017, "ret_p1w": -0.02266789836936789, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02266789836936789, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.019065680882315417, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.019065680882315417, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0036022174870524726, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0036022174870524726, "ret_p1m": -0.005840586040587126, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.005840586040587126, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.011838240514346565, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.011838240514346565, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0059976544737594395, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0059976544737594395, "ret_p3m": 0.02408923835157384, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.02408923835157384, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0038335470286856577, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0038335470286856577, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.027922785380259496, "bench_c_p3m": 0.027922785380259496, "ret_p6m": 0.010524869096091072, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.010524869096091072, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.004743773353524272, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.004743773353524272, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0057810957425668, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0057810957425668, "price_path": [-0.1375, -0.1265, -0.1367, -0.1227, -0.1224, -0.1211, -0.1121, -0.0998, -0.0915, -0.0915, -0.1051, -0.0989, -0.0891, -0.0844, -0.0971, -0.091, -0.1088, -0.0998, -0.088, -0.0945, -0.0982, -0.0907, -0.0768, -0.0895, -0.0862, -0.0872, -0.093, -0.0976, -0.1065, -0.1247, -0.1051, -0.1005, -0.1017, -0.1046, -0.1027, -0.1029, -0.0763, -0.0583, -0.0704, -0.075, -0.0716, -0.0787, -0.082, -0.0797, -0.0436, -0.0537, -0.0458, -0.0391, -0.0379, -0.0422, -0.0422, -0.0474, -0.0483, -0.0364, -0.0316, -0.0297, -0.0354, -0.0371, -0.0193, -0.0293, -0.0252, -0.0268, -0.0243, 0.0, -0.0076, -0.0018, -0.0041, -0.0132, -0.0227, -0.0143, -0.0132, -0.0118, -0.0096, -0.0033, 0.004, 0.008, -0.0028, 0.0077, 0.0012, -0.0288, -0.0018, 0.0125, 0.0224, 0.0009, -0.0058, 0.0136, 0.0088, -0.0061, 0.0065, 0.0187, 0.0223, 0.0168, 0.0082, 0.0, 0.0057, 0.0025, -0.0149, -0.0007, -0.0183, -0.0132, -0.0033, -0.0025, -0.0049, -0.0329, -0.0301, -0.0493, -0.0464, -0.0466, -0.0642, -0.0377, -0.0202, 0.0012, 0.01, 0.01, 0.016, 0.0032, 0.0013, 0.0196, 0.0285, 0.0242, 0.0246, 0.0268, 0.0407, 0.0529, 0.0368, 0.029, 0.0241, 0.0132, 0.0192, 0.0277, 0.0392, 0.033, 0.0356, 0.0356, 0.0303, 0.024, 0.0164, 0.0088, 0.0088, 0.0195, 0.0357, 0.0494, 0.047, 0.0584, 0.0664, 0.0716, 0.071, 0.0786, 0.0881, 0.0891, 0.0891, 0.0761, 0.0974, 0.1056, 0.0852, 0.0818, 0.0849, 0.079, 0.0793, 0.064, 0.0744, 0.0769, 0.0676, 0.0484, 0.0861, 0.0937, 0.0907, 0.0858, 0.0636, 0.0776, 0.0776, 0.0779, 0.0818, 0.0843, 0.0844, 0.0675, 0.0791, 0.0842, 0.09, 0.0713, 0.0811, 0.0624, 0.0727, 0.0522, 0.0281, 0.0393, 0.0383, 0.0362, 0.0139, 0.0105]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2005081885563912607", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-28T01:02:28+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI only up 2.9% YTD despite new hyperscaler orders. Tied to hyperscaler deployments like Maia/Tranium", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish on photonics supply chain — AAOI, MRVL, POET, LITE, COHR, AXTI — as bottlenecks emerge like HBM/lithium cycles; demand ramp into 2026-2027.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Agreed, for traders, this should be an interesting opportunity like Lithium in 2021 when EVs came about or HBM currently with Sk Hynix and Micron if people recognized the bottlenecks early.\n\nTons of opportunity ($AAOI only up 2.9% YTD despite new hyperscaler orders. Tied to hyperscaler deployments like Maia/Tranium).\n\n$MRVL with extreme demand but mainly in q4 2026, into 2027 from Maia, down 22% YTD. And $POET as an indirect beneficiary of $MRVL ramp too. \n\nShortages throughout the entire supply chain with InP substrates. $GOOGL ramping up TPU which benefits $LITE and vertical integration + record backlog from $COHR\n\nExtremely absurd players like $AXTI with a $700m marketcap basically being the single point of failure for the future AI ramp. Not quite sure how you place a value on that lol. \n\n$COHR, $LITE and substrate providers are hitting the capacity limits now. We’ll see how much time it takes for his to go to the extremes like memory.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "This post is FULL of valuable insight\n\nIt's clear that there is so much interest in Photonics\n\nIf you share that interest I highly recommend saving this post I tagged and coming back to the comments over time\n\nSo far I have covered topics/companies including:\n\n$AXTI and the InP", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "crux_capital_", "ret_m1d": 0.011428521603954023, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011428521603954023, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007852148532944359, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007852148532944359, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003576373071009664, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003576373071009664, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.019863933122076904, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.019863933122076904, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.018642832387494646, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.018642832387494646, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012211007345822589, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012211007345822589, "ret_p1w": -0.047891110790019176, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.047891110790019176, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04770212667749707, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04770212667749707, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0001889841125221059, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0001889841125221059, "ret_p1m": 0.01741494937818877, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.01741494937818877, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.006307861940115789, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.006307861940115789, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011107087438072982, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011107087438072982, "ret_p3m": 1.6508843039168792, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.6508843039168792, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.7104877042072955, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.7104877042072955, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.05960340029041622, "bench_c_p3m": -0.05960340029041622, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2267, -0.2386, -0.24, -0.0805, -0.1473, -0.1233, -0.1192, -0.2612, -0.2082, -0.225, -0.1034, -0.1527, -0.1314, -0.071, -0.0912, -0.1844, -0.1456, -0.0746, 0.0128, 0.0033, -0.0346, -0.0457, -0.0324, -0.101, -0.1973, -0.1426, -0.2082, -0.2226, -0.3083, -0.3537, -0.3486, -0.431, -0.4159, -0.4114, -0.4316, -0.4321, -0.4697, -0.44, -0.3886, -0.3815, -0.3042, -0.3042, -0.2713, -0.2781, -0.292, -0.302, -0.286, -0.2765, -0.2424, -0.1733, -0.0482, -0.0117, -0.1276, -0.1864, -0.212, -0.2615, -0.2041, -0.1478, 0.0638, 0.1059, 0.1156, 0.1156, 0.0114, 0.0, -0.0199, -0.0514, -0.0514, 0.0776, -0.0479, 0.0506, 0.0355, -0.1018, -0.0737, -0.0824, -0.0699, -0.062, 0.0068, 0.0079, 0.0079, 0.0683, 0.0444, 0.0381, -0.028, -0.0506, 0.0174, 0.2307, 0.0767, 0.1867, 0.2016, 0.255, 0.0857, 0.0376, 0.2054, 0.3037, 0.3195, 0.317, 0.197, 0.2098, 0.2098, 0.1948, 0.182, 0.2784, 0.4063, 0.4683, 0.5312, 0.5815, 0.461, 1.292, 1.7894, 1.5943, 1.7132, 1.7521, 1.6008, 2.0101, 2.2786, 2.4561, 1.8895, 1.6343, 1.5597, 1.3491, 1.5205, 1.7733, 1.382, 1.6057, 2.0993, 2.1132, 1.6509, 1.6724, 1.3181, 1.3018, 1.3497, 1.8275, 1.8275, 1.9238, 2.2011, 2.6109, 2.6272, 3.098, 3.1684, 2.9834, 2.8789, 3.2808, 3.338, 3.4482, 3.0971, 3.0659, 2.7478, 3.4128, 2.9668, 2.735, 3.1586, 3.4724, 3.9935, 3.7069, 3.9135, 3.8582, 3.2871, 3.0528, 4.0313, 4.1233, 5.0707, 4.5393, 4.1799, 3.7146, 3.662, 3.4969, 3.8112, 3.9385, 3.9385, 3.8332, 3.8933, 3.5992, 3.3105, 3.3105, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2005081885563912607", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-28T01:02:28+00:00", "symbol": "MRVL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$MRVL with extreme demand but mainly in q4 2026, into 2027 from Maia, down 22% YTD", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish on photonics supply chain — AAOI, MRVL, POET, LITE, COHR, AXTI — as bottlenecks emerge like HBM/lithium cycles; demand ramp into 2026-2027.", "resolved_tickers": ["MRVL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Agreed, for traders, this should be an interesting opportunity like Lithium in 2021 when EVs came about or HBM currently with Sk Hynix and Micron if people recognized the bottlenecks early.\n\nTons of opportunity ($AAOI only up 2.9% YTD despite new hyperscaler orders. Tied to hyperscaler deployments like Maia/Tranium).\n\n$MRVL with extreme demand but mainly in q4 2026, into 2027 from Maia, down 22% YTD. And $POET as an indirect beneficiary of $MRVL ramp too. \n\nShortages throughout the entire supply chain with InP substrates. $GOOGL ramping up TPU which benefits $LITE and vertical integration + record backlog from $COHR\n\nExtremely absurd players like $AXTI with a $700m marketcap basically being the single point of failure for the future AI ramp. Not quite sure how you place a value on that lol. \n\n$COHR, $LITE and substrate providers are hitting the capacity limits now. We’ll see how much time it takes for his to go to the extremes like memory.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "This post is FULL of valuable insight\n\nIt's clear that there is so much interest in Photonics\n\nIf you share that interest I highly recommend saving this post I tagged and coming back to the comments over time\n\nSo far I have covered topics/companies including:\n\n$AXTI and the InP", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "crux_capital_", "ret_m1d": 0.006762962218067825, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006762962218067825, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.003186589147058161, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.003186589147058161, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003576373071009664, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003576373071009664, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011660516184462955, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011660516184462955, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012881616919045213, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012881616919045213, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012211007345822589, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012211007345822589, "ret_p1w": 0.05212223033458607, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05212223033458607, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05231121444710818, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05231121444710818, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0001889841125221059, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0001889841125221059, "ret_p1m": -0.03230328084009371, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03230328084009371, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04341036827816669, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04341036827816669, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011107087438072982, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011107087438072982, "ret_p3m": 0.13981200554055562, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.13981200554055562, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.19941540583097184, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.19941540583097184, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.05960340029041622, "bench_c_p3m": -0.05960340029041622, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0225, 0.0045, 0.0047, 0.0362, 0.0134, 0.0779, 0.0567, -0.0017, 0.0423, 0.0054, 0.0365, 0.0288, 0.0255, 0.0009, -0.0175, -0.0549, -0.0349, -0.019, 0.0344, 0.0315, 0.0512, 0.0328, 0.0931, 0.0538, 0.0213, 0.0833, 0.0883, 0.0602, 0.0871, 0.0416, 0.0416, 0.0205, 0.008, -0.0269, -0.0826, -0.0518, -0.1059, -0.0969, -0.023, -0.0272, 0.0229, 0.0229, 0.0424, 0.0623, 0.0831, 0.1684, 0.1449, 0.1533, 0.0728, 0.0366, 0.0782, 0.0428, -0.0155, -0.0175, -0.0197, -0.0473, -0.015, -0.0195, -0.0112, 0.0224, 0.0085, 0.0085, 0.0068, 0.0, 0.0117, -0.0091, -0.0091, 0.0423, 0.0521, 0.0288, -0.0131, -0.0269, -0.0289, -0.0328, -0.0309, -0.0524, -0.0621, -0.0611, -0.0611, -0.0688, -0.0367, -0.0303, -0.0638, -0.0458, -0.0323, -0.0243, -0.0509, -0.0791, -0.0821, -0.1185, -0.1397, -0.1341, -0.0632, -0.0391, -0.043, -0.0509, -0.0871, -0.0827, -0.0827, -0.078, -0.0771, -0.071, -0.0726, -0.0923, -0.0853, -0.0558, -0.0748, -0.0468, -0.0565, -0.0955, -0.0888, -0.1169, 0.0452, 0.0811, 0.0887, 0.0553, 0.023, 0.0252, 0.0686, 0.0594, 0.0224, 0.0447, 0.0258, 0.0521, 0.0777, 0.1488, 0.1398, 0.1071, 0.0246, 0.1558, 0.2452, 0.2498, 0.2498, 0.2779, 0.2763, 0.3355, 0.3994, 0.5001, 0.5329, 0.5624, 0.5714, 0.5571, 0.6308, 0.726, 0.7665, 0.8367, 0.9329, 0.9183, 0.8471, 0.7889, 0.8279, 0.9281, 0.9257, 0.9107, 0.9701, 1.0098, 0.8681, 0.9862, 0.9945, 0.9205, 1.0775, 1.1316, 1.0651, 0.9722, 1.0579, 1.1808, 1.2262, 1.2921, 1.2921, 1.4314, 1.3198, 1.3913, 1.3933, 1.3933, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2005081885563912607", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-12-28T01:02:28+00:00", "symbol": "POET Technologies", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$POET as an indirect beneficiary of $MRVL ramp too", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish on photonics supply chain — AAOI, MRVL, POET, LITE, COHR, AXTI — as bottlenecks emerge like HBM/lithium cycles; demand ramp into 2026-2027.", "resolved_tickers": ["POET"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "POET Technologies trades as POET on NASDAQ", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Agreed, for traders, this should be an interesting opportunity like Lithium in 2021 when EVs came about or HBM currently with Sk Hynix and Micron if people recognized the bottlenecks early.\n\nTons of opportunity ($AAOI only up 2.9% YTD despite new hyperscaler orders. Tied to hyperscaler deployments like Maia/Tranium).\n\n$MRVL with extreme demand but mainly in q4 2026, into 2027 from Maia, down 22% YTD. And $POET as an indirect beneficiary of $MRVL ramp too. \n\nShortages throughout the entire supply chain with InP substrates. $GOOGL ramping up TPU which benefits $LITE and vertical integration + record backlog from $COHR\n\nExtremely absurd players like $AXTI with a $700m marketcap basically being the single point of failure for the future AI ramp. Not quite sure how you place a value on that lol. \n\n$COHR, $LITE and substrate providers are hitting the capacity limits now. We’ll see how much time it takes for his to go to the extremes like memory.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "This post is FULL of valuable insight\n\nIt's clear that there is so much interest in Photonics\n\nIf you share that interest I highly recommend saving this post I tagged and coming back to the comments over time\n\nSo far I have covered topics/companies including:\n\n$AXTI and the InP", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "crux_capital_", "ret_m1d": 0.04128440099409603, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04128440099409603, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03770802792308636, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03675406427847672, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003576373071009664, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00453033671561931, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0030581010769374917, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0030581010769374917, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0018370003423552328, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0005870159403416064, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012211007345822589, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0024710851365958852, "ret_p1w": 0.13608560729003827, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.13608560729003827, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.13627459140256037, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09934854571367358, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0001889841125221059, "bench_c_p1w": 0.036737061576364693, "ret_p1m": 0.03822629991715876, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03822629991715876, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.027119212479085775, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07994730749259427, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011107087438072982, "bench_c_p1m": 0.11817360740975302, "ret_p3m": -0.16055048881641876, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.16055048881641876, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.10094708852600254, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20621097390188525, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.05960340029041622, "bench_c_p3m": 0.045660485085466496, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0917, -0.0061, -0.0489, -0.0245, 0.2049, 0.4098, 0.3486, 0.1667, 0.289, 0.3838, 0.2722, 0.156, 0.0734, 0.1606, 0.1391, 0.1269, 0.1177, 0.2584, 0.133, 0.081, 0.0138, -0.0245, -0.0153, 0.0092, -0.0902, -0.0765, -0.1865, -0.1758, -0.1927, -0.1911, -0.2278, -0.2813, -0.3272, -0.3624, -0.344, -0.3502, -0.3578, -0.3471, -0.292, -0.2859, -0.2599, -0.2599, -0.2431, -0.2951, -0.2844, -0.081, -0.026, -0.0749, -0.0474, 0.055, 0.0933, 0.104, -0.0061, -0.0917, -0.0719, -0.0872, -0.0627, 0.0367, 0.1636, 0.0933, 0.0734, 0.0734, 0.0413, 0.0, -0.0031, -0.0321, -0.0321, 0.0948, 0.1361, 0.1239, 0.1391, 0.1131, 0.13, 0.1024, 0.0917, 0.237, 0.2706, 0.2691, 0.2691, 0.2599, 0.2798, 0.0612, 0.0566, -0.0122, 0.0382, -0.0489, -0.0902, -0.1131, -0.107, -0.0765, -0.1422, -0.208, -0.1024, -0.0505, -0.107, -0.1086, -0.1361, -0.1468, -0.1468, -0.156, -0.1468, -0.1483, -0.13, -0.156, -0.0657, -0.0275, -0.0459, -0.0826, 0.0566, 0.0765, 0.0459, 0.0153, -0.0398, 0.0229, 0.0703, 0.1376, 0.1376, 0.0443, 0.0566, 0.0046, -0.055, -0.0474, -0.0933, -0.0734, -0.1223, -0.0673, -0.1606, -0.2064, -0.2232, -0.0917, -0.1437, -0.0657, -0.0657, -0.0703, -0.0887, -0.0489, -0.0703, 0.0765, 0.1162, 0.026, 0.0657, 0.1223, 0.1101, 0.3135, 0.5673, 0.9526, 0.792, 1.3089, 0.2156, 0.2278, 0.0092, 0.0887, 0.1177, 0.0872, 0.4083, 0.4862, 0.4648, 0.6743, 1.1254, 1.0994, 1.1972, 2.1453, 1.4419, 1.1728, 0.9985, 1.2599, 1.2661, 1.2309, 1.2309, 1.0413, 1.0306, 1.0275, 0.8792, 0.8792, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2005081885563912607", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-12-28T01:02:28+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$GOOGL ramping up TPU which benefits $LITE and vertical integration + record backlog from $COHR", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish on photonics supply chain — AAOI, MRVL, POET, LITE, COHR, AXTI — as bottlenecks emerge like HBM/lithium cycles; demand ramp into 2026-2027.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Agreed, for traders, this should be an interesting opportunity like Lithium in 2021 when EVs came about or HBM currently with Sk Hynix and Micron if people recognized the bottlenecks early.\n\nTons of opportunity ($AAOI only up 2.9% YTD despite new hyperscaler orders. Tied to hyperscaler deployments like Maia/Tranium).\n\n$MRVL with extreme demand but mainly in q4 2026, into 2027 from Maia, down 22% YTD. And $POET as an indirect beneficiary of $MRVL ramp too. \n\nShortages throughout the entire supply chain with InP substrates. $GOOGL ramping up TPU which benefits $LITE and vertical integration + record backlog from $COHR\n\nExtremely absurd players like $AXTI with a $700m marketcap basically being the single point of failure for the future AI ramp. Not quite sure how you place a value on that lol. \n\n$COHR, $LITE and substrate providers are hitting the capacity limits now. We’ll see how much time it takes for his to go to the extremes like memory.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "This post is FULL of valuable insight\n\nIt's clear that there is so much interest in Photonics\n\nIf you share that interest I highly recommend saving this post I tagged and coming back to the comments over time\n\nSo far I have covered topics/companies including:\n\n$AXTI and the InP", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "crux_capital_", "ret_m1d": 0.04873729737804844, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04873729737804844, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.045160924307038774, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.045160924307038774, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003576373071009664, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003576373071009664, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00383777336088309, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00383777336088309, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.002616672626300831, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.002616672626300831, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012211007345822589, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012211007345822589, "ret_p1w": -0.041759475511405575, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.041759475511405575, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04157049139888347, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04157049139888347, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0001889841125221059, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0001889841125221059, "ret_p1m": -0.0052333049733309656, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0052333049733309656, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.016340392411403948, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.016340392411403948, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011107087438072982, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011107087438072982, "ret_p3m": 0.8485816668146366, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.8485816668146366, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.9081850671050529, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.9081850671050529, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.05960340029041622, "bench_c_p3m": -0.05960340029041622, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.54, -0.5444, -0.5604, -0.569, -0.5782, -0.5623, -0.5712, -0.5985, -0.5691, -0.5792, -0.5798, -0.5619, -0.5578, -0.5679, -0.5627, -0.5758, -0.5478, -0.5188, -0.4799, -0.4676, -0.4249, -0.4629, -0.4591, -0.4644, -0.4945, -0.3754, -0.3568, -0.3556, -0.3025, -0.3224, -0.3188, -0.3912, -0.377, -0.3503, -0.336, -0.2783, -0.374, -0.3141, -0.1966, -0.2183, -0.1726, -0.1726, -0.1273, -0.1467, -0.1873, -0.1869, -0.1201, -0.1106, -0.0806, -0.033, -0.0177, -0.0014, -0.1295, -0.1018, -0.1515, -0.1405, -0.0952, -0.0032, 0.0463, 0.0397, 0.0626, 0.0626, 0.0487, 0.0, -0.0038, -0.0108, -0.0108, 0.0362, -0.0418, 0.0666, 0.0544, -0.0653, -0.0569, -0.0879, -0.0303, -0.11, -0.0787, -0.1298, -0.1298, -0.0423, -0.0273, -0.0486, -0.0897, -0.1078, -0.0052, 0.0333, 0.0237, 0.0516, 0.1364, 0.1677, 0.2494, 0.3537, 0.4814, 0.5489, 0.5059, 0.5408, 0.5659, 0.5103, 0.5103, 0.6114, 0.5949, 0.7059, 0.7921, 0.8108, 0.8472, 0.9414, 0.8169, 0.8811, 1.1021, 0.8637, 0.8271, 0.7467, 0.4987, 0.7195, 0.8035, 0.8035, 0.6534, 0.6706, 0.6769, 0.7433, 0.8808, 1.0722, 0.8957, 0.9563, 1.1524, 1.0857, 0.8486, 0.886, 0.7573, 0.886, 1.0521, 1.2192, 1.2192, 1.0726, 1.1893, 1.4047, 1.3996, 1.4081, 1.338, 1.2887, 1.2115, 1.3918, 1.3995, 1.4023, 1.2461, 1.3445, 1.2729, 1.3661, 1.3072, 1.1239, 1.3035, 1.4216, 1.5494, 1.6198, 1.6692, 1.5342, 1.3955, 1.4256, 1.8263, 1.6633, 1.7653, 1.6886, 1.6051, 1.3751, 1.3888, 1.3297, 1.5885, 1.5413, 1.5413, 1.4444, 1.4216, 1.3097, 1.2945, 1.2945, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2005081885563912607", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-12-28T01:02:28+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "record backlog from $COHR", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish on photonics supply chain — AAOI, MRVL, POET, LITE, COHR, AXTI — as bottlenecks emerge like HBM/lithium cycles; demand ramp into 2026-2027.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Agreed, for traders, this should be an interesting opportunity like Lithium in 2021 when EVs came about or HBM currently with Sk Hynix and Micron if people recognized the bottlenecks early.\n\nTons of opportunity ($AAOI only up 2.9% YTD despite new hyperscaler orders. Tied to hyperscaler deployments like Maia/Tranium).\n\n$MRVL with extreme demand but mainly in q4 2026, into 2027 from Maia, down 22% YTD. And $POET as an indirect beneficiary of $MRVL ramp too. \n\nShortages throughout the entire supply chain with InP substrates. $GOOGL ramping up TPU which benefits $LITE and vertical integration + record backlog from $COHR\n\nExtremely absurd players like $AXTI with a $700m marketcap basically being the single point of failure for the future AI ramp. Not quite sure how you place a value on that lol. \n\n$COHR, $LITE and substrate providers are hitting the capacity limits now. We’ll see how much time it takes for his to go to the extremes like memory.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "This post is FULL of valuable insight\n\nIt's clear that there is so much interest in Photonics\n\nIf you share that interest I highly recommend saving this post I tagged and coming back to the comments over time\n\nSo far I have covered topics/companies including:\n\n$AXTI and the InP", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "crux_capital_", "ret_m1d": 0.014284186261843024, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.014284186261843024, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01070781319083336, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01070781319083336, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003576373071009664, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003576373071009664, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011691919711744325, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011691919711744325, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010470818977162066, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010470818977162066, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012211007345822589, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012211007345822589, "ret_p1w": -0.014072603967753228, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.014072603967753228, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.013883619855231122, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.013883619855231122, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0001889841125221059, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0001889841125221059, "ret_p1m": 0.13215530188821667, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13215530188821667, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12104821445014369, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12104821445014369, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011107087438072982, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011107087438072982, "ret_p3m": 0.28711241025814904, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.28711241025814904, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.34671581054856526, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.34671581054856526, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.05960340029041622, "bench_c_p3m": -0.05960340029041622, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3935, -0.4033, -0.3991, -0.3928, -0.3992, -0.3828, -0.3527, -0.4122, -0.3909, -0.4214, -0.4159, -0.3865, -0.3845, -0.3641, -0.361, -0.3896, -0.3571, -0.3157, -0.2858, -0.2898, -0.2696, -0.2979, -0.3019, -0.3017, -0.3191, -0.2877, -0.1572, -0.1826, -0.118, -0.1641, -0.1711, -0.2595, -0.2629, -0.2643, -0.2691, -0.2438, -0.2826, -0.2619, -0.1969, -0.2125, -0.1853, -0.1853, -0.131, -0.135, -0.1277, -0.0955, -0.0617, -0.0382, -0.0167, 0.0196, 0.0446, 0.0502, -0.0565, -0.0559, -0.0731, -0.0983, -0.0704, -0.0169, 0.0104, 0.0151, 0.0124, 0.0124, 0.0143, 0.0, -0.0117, -0.0235, -0.0235, 0.0281, -0.0141, 0.0269, 0.0138, -0.084, -0.058, -0.0203, 0.0053, -0.026, 0.0367, 0.0107, 0.0107, 0.0235, 0.0658, 0.0725, 0.0419, 0.0462, 0.1322, 0.1699, 0.142, 0.1225, 0.1768, 0.2125, 0.1163, 0.107, 0.2045, 0.2827, 0.2082, 0.1834, 0.1433, 0.1492, 0.1492, 0.1637, 0.1845, 0.2299, 0.313, 0.3167, 0.3483, 0.4173, 0.3234, 0.3699, 0.5814, 0.4856, 0.4541, 0.3431, 0.2471, 0.3349, 0.3789, 0.3301, 0.2764, 0.2843, 0.3087, 0.3004, 0.3608, 0.4579, 0.3418, 0.3493, 0.4407, 0.4392, 0.2871, 0.2881, 0.162, 0.2602, 0.311, 0.3658, 0.3658, 0.3396, 0.3496, 0.4908, 0.5034, 0.6268, 0.6291, 0.6581, 0.6305, 0.7353, 0.8253, 0.8385, 0.8188, 0.8541, 0.7865, 0.7781, 0.701, 0.6081, 0.6132, 0.6914, 0.7432, 0.7453, 0.7762, 0.8235, 0.6887, 0.7737, 1.0087, 0.9787, 1.1358, 1.1423, 1.0233, 0.9195, 0.8709, 0.8966, 0.9998, 0.9975, 0.9975, 1.0175, 1.0113, 0.9942, 0.9123, 0.9123, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2005081885563912607", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2025-12-28T01:02:28+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AXTI with a $700m marketcap basically being the single point of failure for the future AI ramp", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish on photonics supply chain — AAOI, MRVL, POET, LITE, COHR, AXTI — as bottlenecks emerge like HBM/lithium cycles; demand ramp into 2026-2027.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Agreed, for traders, this should be an interesting opportunity like Lithium in 2021 when EVs came about or HBM currently with Sk Hynix and Micron if people recognized the bottlenecks early.\n\nTons of opportunity ($AAOI only up 2.9% YTD despite new hyperscaler orders. Tied to hyperscaler deployments like Maia/Tranium).\n\n$MRVL with extreme demand but mainly in q4 2026, into 2027 from Maia, down 22% YTD. And $POET as an indirect beneficiary of $MRVL ramp too. \n\nShortages throughout the entire supply chain with InP substrates. $GOOGL ramping up TPU which benefits $LITE and vertical integration + record backlog from $COHR\n\nExtremely absurd players like $AXTI with a $700m marketcap basically being the single point of failure for the future AI ramp. Not quite sure how you place a value on that lol. \n\n$COHR, $LITE and substrate providers are hitting the capacity limits now. We’ll see how much time it takes for his to go to the extremes like memory.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "This post is FULL of valuable insight\n\nIt's clear that there is so much interest in Photonics\n\nIf you share that interest I highly recommend saving this post I tagged and coming back to the comments over time\n\nSo far I have covered topics/companies including:\n\n$AXTI and the InP", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "crux_capital_", "ret_m1d": 0.053461255984486034, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.053461255984486034, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04988488291347637, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.048930919268866724, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003576373071009664, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00453033671561931, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0829335178541688, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0829335178541688, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08415461858875106, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08540460299076469, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012211007345822589, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0024710851365958852, "ret_p1w": 0.14256339286858166, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.14256339286858166, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14275237698110377, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10582633129221697, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0001889841125221059, "bench_c_p1w": 0.036737061576364693, "ret_p1m": 0.17888969040816738, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.17888969040816738, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1677826029700944, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.060716082998414356, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011107087438072982, "bench_c_p1m": 0.11817360740975302, "ret_p3m": 3.010280857410069, "ret_signed_p3m": 3.010280857410069, "alpha_spy_p3m": 3.069884257700485, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.9646203723246023, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.05960340029041622, "bench_c_p3m": 0.045660485085466496, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6635, -0.6779, -0.6484, -0.6299, -0.6361, -0.6361, -0.6415, -0.7238, -0.6847, -0.6868, -0.6854, -0.6621, -0.6909, -0.6635, -0.6456, -0.6614, -0.645, -0.5846, -0.5757, -0.5476, -0.5154, -0.4983, -0.4551, -0.4202, -0.4147, -0.3763, -0.392, -0.3516, -0.2844, -0.2762, -0.2474, -0.2844, -0.2844, -0.2975, -0.3215, -0.3071, -0.3523, -0.3879, -0.3598, -0.3674, -0.2838, -0.2838, -0.2666, -0.2605, -0.194, -0.2132, -0.1707, -0.2063, -0.1289, 0.0254, 0.0631, 0.1227, 0.0151, 0.0164, -0.109, -0.1528, -0.0398, 0.0041, 0.0432, 0.0034, 0.0288, 0.0288, 0.0535, 0.0, 0.0829, 0.1206, 0.1206, 0.1487, 0.1426, 0.3825, 0.6525, 0.7704, 0.5757, 0.5243, 0.4743, 0.5147, 0.7629, 0.5141, 0.5141, 0.4674, 0.3557, 0.2282, 0.1926, 0.22, 0.1789, 0.1535, 0.1227, 0.2707, 0.4352, 0.353, 0.2851, 0.4003, 0.6491, 0.9034, 0.669, 0.8369, 0.6991, 0.6614, 0.6614, 0.5908, 0.6134, 0.6319, 1.0343, 0.9486, 1.4044, 1.8081, 1.5442, 1.5977, 2.1748, 1.8622, 1.682, 1.6594, 1.2186, 1.6429, 2.0363, 2.2461, 2.2029, 2.3489, 2.3167, 2.0404, 2.342, 2.9815, 2.7176, 3.4167, 3.6909, 3.6162, 3.0103, 3.1556, 2.6141, 2.9054, 2.231, 2.6217, 2.6217, 1.878, 2.1158, 2.645, 3.3263, 3.3989, 3.5545, 3.6127, 3.3132, 4.6052, 4.6587, 4.3982, 4.1385, 4.9589, 4.159, 4.22, 3.8081, 3.7094, 3.8711, 4.4297, 5.5798, 6.2653, 6.3715, 6.1851, 6.4311, 6.9753, 7.623, 7.4236, 7.3578, 6.8807, 7.4839, 6.257, 6.7368, 6.17, 7.2947, 8.6525, 8.6525, 8.0884, 7.4147, 6.9301, 6.0706, 6.0706, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1975212830451523855", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-06T14:53:31+00:00", "symbol": "SNAP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it does deserve a re-rating to $10+ imo", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Snap deserves a re-rating to $10+; still prefers other stocks but raises floor view.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNAP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@cmachdop Thanks, thought I'd have some fun with this since it's an update $SNAP needed to do from day 1.\n\nWould still recommend other stocks over Snapchat still but it does deserve a re-rating to $10+ imo", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thank you for your time to teach us and bring us such valuable information.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cmachdop", "ret_m1d": 0.0023473595087817323, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0023473595087817323, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005920773339130769, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.003377313114077407, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003573413830349037, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0010299536052956748, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04577468572403354, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04577468572403354, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04206719347307164, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04191229379979777, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003707492250961897, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003862391924235764, "ret_p1w": -0.05516434762635847, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05516434762635847, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04240395718853529, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03224781400415311, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012760390437823177, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02291653362220536, "ret_p1m": -0.12323950835181352, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12323950835181352, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12864450469687416, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09148256158561274, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404996345060642, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03175694676620078, "ret_p3m": -0.052816988117576846, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.052816988117576846, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07116845783459014, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06647336361804634, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01835146971701329, "bench_c_p3m": 0.013656375500469498, "ret_p6m": -0.4600939369151189, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4600939369151189, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4339374945429746, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.41772684676669636, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.026156442372144317, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04236709014842255, "price_path": [0.0704, 0.0962, 0.0692, 0.1197, 0.1127, 0.1338, 0.1631, 0.1749, 0.1596, 0.2148, 0.1819, 0.1432, 0.1467, 0.1373, 0.0951, 0.0939, 0.1068, 0.0622, 0.1115, 0.1021, -0.0869, -0.115, -0.1303, -0.1561, -0.1467, -0.1408, -0.169, -0.1608, -0.1385, -0.1573, -0.1596, -0.1725, -0.1549, -0.1784, -0.1761, -0.1796, -0.1667, -0.162, -0.162, -0.1397, -0.1491, -0.1678, -0.142, -0.1526, -0.1455, -0.1725, -0.1444, -0.1385, -0.1244, -0.0915, -0.0622, -0.0094, -0.0423, 0.0012, -0.0117, -0.0352, -0.0223, -0.0293, -0.0141, -0.0951, -0.0951, -0.0352, 0.0023, 0.0, -0.0458, -0.0106, -0.0164, -0.0869, -0.0552, -0.0704, -0.0716, -0.0892, -0.1021, -0.0927, -0.0786, -0.088, -0.0763, -0.0669, -0.0716, -0.0915, -0.0915, -0.108, -0.0845, -0.0822, -0.1232, -0.1432, -0.0599, -0.0364, 0.02, 0.0282, 0.0669, 0.007, 0.0059, -0.0399, -0.0317, -0.0575, -0.0869, -0.0974, -0.0986, -0.1033, -0.1068, -0.1068, -0.0986, -0.1033, -0.1056, -0.1009, -0.0892, -0.0716, -0.0575, -0.0704, -0.0704, -0.1033, -0.142, -0.1479, -0.135, -0.1197, -0.1045, -0.1115, -0.0681, -0.0833, -0.0786, -0.0786, -0.0775, -0.0751, -0.0528, -0.0528, -0.0528, -0.0458, -0.0317, 0.0317, 0.0117, -0.0141, -0.0364, -0.0387, -0.0622, -0.0728, -0.0892, -0.1162, -0.1162, -0.1373, -0.135, -0.1009, -0.1056, -0.1127, -0.1244, -0.0998, -0.1502, -0.1866, -0.2183, -0.284, -0.3063, -0.3991, -0.3873, -0.3908, -0.3862, -0.4143, -0.4343, -0.4331, -0.4331, -0.4448, -0.4272, -0.4131, -0.3967, -0.4214, -0.4167, -0.4049, -0.3826, -0.3885, -0.3826, -0.3838, -0.3697, -0.3732, -0.3944, -0.3979, -0.4237, -0.4296, -0.4542, -0.4648, -0.4507, -0.4542, -0.4577, -0.4648, -0.4742, -0.4707, -0.4883, -0.473, -0.5293, -0.5387, -0.5282, -0.4601]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1989192819899265422", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-14T04:45:00+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd say it's likely if there's another rate cut in December and more positive macro developments", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Thinks NBIS recovery to ~$130 by January is likely given a December rate cut and positive macro developments.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Well, $NBIS went from $140 to $94 to $130 in the span of 2-3 weeks. If it can drop 10% a day it can go up 10% a day too. \n\nBut seeing a stock crash 34% in a short amount of time is never fun. \n\nI’d say it’s likely if there’s another rate cut in December and more positive macro developments. But odds dropped from 73% to 53%.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Is there a realistic path for NBIS to recover to around 130 by Jan? Kinda feels like a recovery from here is going to take a while", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "foogleman1234", "ret_m1d": 0.06092885183275798, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06092885183275798, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.060765056247821025, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05553947374933221, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0053893780834257665, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02920759414251739, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02920759414251739, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03852402757176199, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03055500763417085, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0013474134916534597, "ret_p1w": -0.003351673165289948, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.003351673165289948, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.015846667575385776, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.00847158234454437, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005119909179254423, "ret_p1m": -0.028728770643726698, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.028728770643726698, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.041825383272466876, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07579595992511301, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04706718928138631, "ret_p3m": 0.060689485746484806, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.060689485746484806, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.027836732130763542, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.008700540385840005, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0519889453606448, "ret_p6m": 1.227675413742134, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.227675413742134, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.1211470771516163, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.1828159796751123, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04485943406702164, "price_path": [-0.1957, -0.1924, -0.2078, -0.1743, -0.1618, -0.1563, -0.1609, -0.1377, -0.1822, -0.1822, -0.2133, -0.2141, -0.223, -0.2163, -0.2332, 0.1458, 0.1179, 0.0676, 0.0822, 0.0888, 0.0705, 0.1262, 0.1266, 0.1888, 0.276, 0.2904, 0.3554, 0.2921, 0.2892, 0.3194, 0.3439, 0.3839, 0.5067, 0.532, 0.4956, 0.4089, 0.4604, 0.5877, 0.5511, 0.6215, 0.534, 0.5062, 0.4728, 0.3579, 0.3048, 0.2483, 0.1805, 0.2708, 0.4036, 0.5014, 0.4583, 0.4975, 0.4865, 0.566, 0.4421, 0.3232, 0.4005, 0.31, 0.3321, 0.3161, 0.2236, 0.1295, 0.0609, 0.0, 0.0292, 0.0838, 0.138, 0.0132, -0.0034, 0.1001, 0.0639, 0.1335, 0.1335, 0.1356, 0.1988, 0.1545, 0.1841, 0.2305, 0.1736, 0.201, 0.1541, 0.1203, 0.1286, 0.0497, -0.0287, -0.031, -0.0968, -0.0652, 0.0709, 0.116, 0.0777, 0.0909, 0.0909, 0.0485, 0.0299, 0.0195, 0.002, 0.002, 0.0767, 0.1112, 0.1999, 0.1517, 0.1647, 0.1723, 0.2848, 0.262, 0.2207, 0.2435, 0.3015, 0.3015, 0.1885, 0.1835, 0.1593, 0.1312, 0.0948, 0.1715, 0.2022, 0.1361, 0.0198, 0.0553, 0.0767, -0.0138, -0.1158, 0.0306, 0.1118, 0.0988, 0.0607, 0.0741, 0.1732, 0.1732, 0.1673, 0.2186, 0.2881, 0.1721, 0.2043, 0.2279, 0.2703, 0.2554, 0.0916, 0.0894, 0.039, 0.1705, 0.145, 0.0693, 0.1365, 0.1543, 0.3406, 0.2933, 0.352, 0.5543, 0.3925, 0.4192, 0.4546, 0.4079, 0.3664, 0.3755, 0.3777, 0.2685, 0.2068, 0.1044, 0.242, 0.2204, 0.3026, 0.3026, 0.3471, 0.4053, 0.4963, 0.6319, 0.7353, 0.8501, 0.9385, 0.9963, 0.9792, 0.881, 0.9052, 0.874, 0.869, 0.8803, 0.7616, 0.7352, 0.6221, 0.6901, 0.6547, 0.8493, 1.1118, 1.1058, 1.3353, 1.2118, 1.1193, 1.2277]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1971020363703414971", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-25T01:14:09+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm still convinced $200 in 5 months and they'll raise the PT again in March", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS to $200 within 5 months, expects another PT raise in March.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@pepemoonboy That's the spirit! I'm still convinced $200 in 5 months and they'll raise the PT again in March.!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Loaded up on more $NBIS.\n\nNebius Group stock price target raised to $206 from $77 at Northland.\n\nFeels like this one is getting ready to run.\n\nNFA https://t.co/voQifFxi4e", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "pepemoonboy", "ret_m1d": 0.0490087159151118, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0490087159151118, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.044373835417102825, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04559074806214469, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004634880498008975, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0034179678529671076, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.002223508316987033, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.002223508316987033, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007952652683981265, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011964592036006971, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005729144366994232, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009741083719019938, "ret_p1w": 0.16611080136772127, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16611080136772127, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14913651232441727, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.17106683507106002, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016974289043304003, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004956033703338747, "ret_p1m": 0.08634426055236988, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08634426055236988, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.057167124408165515, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09899055789602085, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.029177136144204363, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01264629734365097, "ret_p3m": -0.1659255443488764, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1659255443488764, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.21446726121166815, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17224905388420242, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04854171686279174, "bench_c_p3m": 0.006323509535326011, "ret_p6m": 0.08967945234604224, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.08967945234604224, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.09847367355823211, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.12758993457777956, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.008794221212189868, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03791048223173732, "price_path": [-0.4874, -0.5339, -0.5371, -0.5345, -0.5345, -0.5568, -0.5636, -0.5734, -0.5699, -0.5896, -0.5187, -0.5041, -0.5061, -0.5026, -0.5109, -0.5148, -0.5274, -0.5194, -0.5168, -0.5241, -0.5113, -0.5331, -0.5248, -0.4957, -0.5183, -0.4981, -0.4889, -0.4896, -0.3949, -0.3628, -0.3493, -0.3021, -0.3457, -0.3658, -0.3365, -0.328, -0.3775, -0.3749, -0.3869, -0.3609, -0.3513, -0.347, -0.3506, -0.3326, -0.3671, -0.3671, -0.3911, -0.3918, -0.3986, -0.3935, -0.4065, -0.1132, -0.1348, -0.1737, -0.1624, -0.1573, -0.1715, -0.1284, -0.128, -0.08, -0.0124, -0.0013, 0.049, 0.0, -0.0022, 0.0211, 0.0401, 0.0711, 0.1661, 0.1857, 0.1575, 0.0904, 0.1303, 0.2288, 0.2005, 0.255, 0.1872, 0.1657, 0.1399, 0.051, 0.0098, -0.0339, -0.0863, -0.0165, 0.0863, 0.162, 0.1287, 0.159, 0.1505, 0.212, 0.1161, 0.0241, 0.0839, 0.0139, 0.0309, 0.0186, -0.053, -0.1258, -0.1789, -0.2261, -0.2034, -0.1612, -0.1192, -0.2159, -0.2286, -0.1486, -0.1766, -0.1228, -0.1228, -0.1211, -0.0722, -0.1064, -0.0836, -0.0476, -0.0917, -0.0705, -0.1068, -0.1329, -0.1266, -0.1876, -0.2483, -0.25, -0.301, -0.2765, -0.1712, -0.1363, -0.1659, -0.1557, -0.1557, -0.1885, -0.2029, -0.211, -0.2245, -0.2245, -0.1667, -0.14, -0.0713, -0.1087, -0.0986, -0.0927, -0.0057, -0.0233, -0.0552, -0.0376, 0.0073, 0.0073, -0.0801, -0.084, -0.1027, -0.1245, -0.1527, -0.0933, -0.0696, -0.1207, -0.2108, -0.1832, -0.1667, -0.2367, -0.3156, -0.2023, -0.1395, -0.1496, -0.1791, -0.1687, -0.092, -0.092, -0.0965, -0.0569, -0.0031, -0.0928, -0.0679, -0.0497, -0.0169, -0.0283, -0.1552, -0.1568, -0.1958, -0.0941, -0.1139, -0.1724, -0.1204, -0.1066, 0.0376, 0.0009, 0.0464, 0.203, 0.0777, 0.0984, 0.1258, 0.0897]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972342414066262110", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-28T16:47:30+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "share wise it's hard to see it ever not rising from these levels", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NBIS from current levels; hard to see it not rising.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@12345tgrf I mean if I had to full port something it would be $NBIS. \n\nDepends on your risk tolerance, but share wise it's hard to see it ever not rising from these levels.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thanks for the reply, I’ll be going in full port with shares and a few leaps - as an 18yo college student I can afford to lose it lol. Yolo right?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "12345tgrf", "ret_m1d": -0.022863402690541768, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.022863402690541768, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.020060912274418974, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01965792073995065, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003205481950591116, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01859912356794835, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01859912356794835, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014832256808836375, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0201175336178111, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0015184100498627506, "ret_p1w": 0.13355108925491654, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.13355108925491654, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12160260787250388, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15075906719363552, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017207977938718977, "ret_p1m": 0.10533478934648022, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10533478934648022, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0701069826039109, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12195232126657751, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016617531920097295, "ret_p3m": -0.17319909050862348, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17319909050862348, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2165030751207767, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17254361511278626, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0006554753958372128, "ret_p6m": 0.042551282793175105, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.042551282793175105, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.052768289205117, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09910514292146178, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.05655386012828667, "price_path": [-0.5466, -0.5441, -0.5441, -0.566, -0.5727, -0.5822, -0.5788, -0.5981, -0.5287, -0.5143, -0.5163, -0.5129, -0.521, -0.5249, -0.5372, -0.5293, -0.5268, -0.5339, -0.5214, -0.5427, -0.5347, -0.5062, -0.5282, -0.5085, -0.4995, -0.5002, -0.4075, -0.376, -0.3627, -0.3165, -0.3592, -0.3789, -0.3502, -0.3419, -0.3904, -0.3879, -0.3996, -0.3742, -0.3647, -0.3606, -0.364, -0.3464, -0.3801, -0.3801, -0.4037, -0.4044, -0.4111, -0.406, -0.4188, -0.1316, -0.1527, -0.1908, -0.1797, -0.1747, -0.1886, -0.1464, -0.1461, -0.099, -0.0328, -0.022, 0.0273, -0.0207, -0.0229, 0.0, 0.0186, 0.0489, 0.142, 0.1611, 0.1336, 0.0679, 0.1069, 0.2034, 0.1756, 0.229, 0.1627, 0.1416, 0.1163, 0.0292, -0.0111, -0.0539, -0.1052, -0.0368, 0.0639, 0.138, 0.1053, 0.135, 0.1267, 0.1869, 0.093, 0.0029, 0.0615, -0.0071, 0.0096, -0.0024, -0.0726, -0.1439, -0.1959, -0.2421, -0.2199, -0.1786, -0.1375, -0.2321, -0.2446, -0.1662, -0.1936, -0.1409, -0.1409, -0.1393, -0.0914, -0.1249, -0.1025, -0.0673, -0.1105, -0.0897, -0.1253, -0.1509, -0.1446, -0.2044, -0.2638, -0.2656, -0.3155, -0.2915, -0.1884, -0.1541, -0.1832, -0.1732, -0.1732, -0.2053, -0.2194, -0.2273, -0.2406, -0.2406, -0.1839, -0.1578, -0.0905, -0.1271, -0.1172, -0.1115, -0.0262, -0.0435, -0.0748, -0.0575, -0.0135, -0.0135, -0.0992, -0.103, -0.1213, -0.1426, -0.1702, -0.112, -0.0888, -0.1389, -0.2271, -0.2001, -0.1839, -0.2525, -0.3298, -0.2188, -0.1573, -0.1672, -0.1961, -0.1859, -0.1108, -0.1108, -0.1152, -0.0764, -0.0237, -0.1116, -0.0872, -0.0693, -0.0372, -0.0484, -0.1727, -0.1743, -0.2125, -0.1129, -0.1322, -0.1895, -0.1386, -0.1251, 0.0161, -0.0198, 0.0248, 0.1781, 0.0554, 0.0757, 0.1025, 0.0671, 0.0357, 0.0426]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2001134839685353742", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-17T03:38:19+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is the single biggest de-risking bill/event for the Neocloud sector ( $NBIS, $CRWV, $IREN) this year.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "SPEED Act advancement is the biggest de-risking event for Neocloud sector this year; bullish NBIS, CRWV, IREN on compressed DC timelines, pulled-forward revenue, and FCF acceleration; secondary longs CIFR and WULF on guaranteed power demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just now, the SPEED Act ADVANCES in the House.\n\nThis is the single biggest de-risking bill/event for the Neocloud sector ( $NBIS, $CRWV, $IREN) this year.\n\nHere's why and a rundown: \n\nThe U.S. GOVERNMENT is set to support the AI data center buildout from Oracle down to Nebius on national security grounds for US vs China.\n\nOracle and CoreWeave recently dropped 40%+ (tanking $NBIS $140 -> $79, $IREN $80 -> 35, $CIFR, $24 -> $14 as well) on three core fears:\n\n1. DC Delays & Deferred Revenue\n2. Unsustainable CapEx → No FCF\n3. OpenAI Contagion/Backlog.\n\nThe Speed Act and US Government intervention fixes bear-case points for data center buildout delays and addresses utilization lag profitability issues (margins).  \n\n#1 DC Delays & Deferred Revenue\n\nBear Thesis: Multi-year permitting delays (NEPA, transmission) turned high-value contracts into deferred revenue risk. $CRWV explicitly cited vendor delays for lowering guidance and tanked on earnings shifting a large portion of revenue to from Q1 Q2 2026.   \n\nThe alpha if the Speed Act passes: \n\nMandatory Speed and Litigation Shields.\n\n- The Speed Act mandates strict, non-negotiable deadlines (often 1-2 years) for federal environmental and regulatory reviews. \n\n- The Litigation Shield: The bill drastically shortens the statute of limitations for filing lawsuits against approved permits (e.g., to 150 days) and instructs courts to allow DC buildout to continue even if a permit is temporarily challenged).\n\nThe Result: The timeline from contract signing to \"GPUs on racks -> revenue flowing\" is now compressed and politically de-risked by the Federal Government. \n\nDeferred revenue is pulled forward and fixes delays and deferred profitability/revenue that plagued $CRWV, $APLD, and the Neocloud sector.\n\n#2: Unsustainable CapEx -> No FCF from monetizing the assets\n\nBear Thesis: Companies were spending billions on GPUs and construction ( $ORCL's capex is massive) with utilization drag (from the point of purchasing the GPUs to monetization) largely affecting profitability and FCF. \n\nThis also largely affects AI Cloud vendors (lacking power to turn monetize the GPUs/capex).\n\nAgain This forced companies to take a massive write-down risk due to Utilization Drag (the time the GPU sits idle while the clock runs on depreciation/power-up). This drag is HUGE for profitability on DC segments, as cited in The Information reports on $ORCL's razor-thin AI margins.\n\nThe SPEED Act and the US Government intervention directly de-risks CapEx as the legislative mandate for speed (Fix #1) effectively guarantees that power infrastructure will arrive within a defined, short timeline. \n\nThis certainty allows $NBIS, $CRWV, and $IREN to time the purchase and deployment of billions in GPUs with high confidence that the assets will begin monetizing immediately upon arrival as well as accelerates FCF from reducing utilization drags. \n\nThis structural change flows down the entire industry. It instantly de-risks the major AI Cloud vendors ($AMZN, $MSFT, $ORCL) who can now guarantee their capacity, and it guarantees demand for the Colo/Infra/Energy providers ( $CIFR, $WULF, and others) whose core business is supplying that power capacity.\n\nThe bear case on capex -> FCF + buildout delay timeline has now directly addressed with the Speed ACT. \n\nNow the US government is set accelerate companies like $NBIS, $CRWV, and $IREN as AI Datacenters is now placed on the forefront of the AI national security battle between the United States and China. \n\nWhether it passes legislation in the House is what every investor should be watching, but if does, this is one of the largest (not-talked about) tailwinds for the Neocloud /AI Decenter buildout.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Never thought I’d see $NBIS at $80 or $IREN at $35 again.\n\nThey’re both trading a lot lower than when they first announced Mag7 contracts. https://t.co/boqDYeyXzL", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.07289596053626002, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07289596053626002, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.061769913640945084, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06564264067564163, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011126046895314934, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00725331986061839, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03499005296792057, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03499005296792057, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.027438720390305704, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.029291001726849508, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0075513325776148665, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0056990512410710625, "ret_p1w": 0.20781976062811602, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.20781976062811602, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1765120286490418, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.18483121144126935, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.031307731979074216, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022988549186846674, "ret_p1m": 0.3768721847330805, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3768721847330805, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3427859580524917, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3701696416586826, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.034086226680588805, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006702543074397882, "ret_p3m": 0.7210074401009083, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7210074401009083, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.7215928338547761, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.7219281198232458, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0005853937538677911, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0009206797223374474, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3162, 0.4129, 0.4288, 0.5007, 0.4306, 0.4274, 0.4608, 0.488, 0.5323, 0.6683, 0.6962, 0.6559, 0.56, 0.617, 0.758, 0.7174, 0.7954, 0.6985, 0.6677, 0.6307, 0.5035, 0.4447, 0.3821, 0.3071, 0.407, 0.5541, 0.6624, 0.6147, 0.6581, 0.6459, 0.7339, 0.5967, 0.4651, 0.5507, 0.4505, 0.4749, 0.4573, 0.3548, 0.2506, 0.1747, 0.1072, 0.1396, 0.2, 0.26, 0.1218, 0.1035, 0.218, 0.178, 0.255, 0.255, 0.2574, 0.3274, 0.2783, 0.3111, 0.3625, 0.2994, 0.3298, 0.2778, 0.2404, 0.2496, 0.1622, 0.0754, 0.0729, 0.0, 0.035, 0.1857, 0.2357, 0.1932, 0.2078, 0.2078, 0.1609, 0.1404, 0.1288, 0.1094, 0.1094, 0.1922, 0.2304, 0.3286, 0.2751, 0.2896, 0.2979, 0.4225, 0.3973, 0.3516, 0.3769, 0.4411, 0.4411, 0.316, 0.3104, 0.2836, 0.2525, 0.2122, 0.2972, 0.3311, 0.2579, 0.1291, 0.1685, 0.1922, 0.092, -0.0209, 0.1412, 0.231, 0.2166, 0.1744, 0.1893, 0.299, 0.299, 0.2925, 0.3492, 0.4262, 0.2978, 0.3335, 0.3596, 0.4065, 0.3901, 0.2086, 0.2062, 0.1504, 0.296, 0.2677, 0.184, 0.2583, 0.2781, 0.4844, 0.4319, 0.497, 0.721, 0.5418, 0.5714, 0.6106, 0.5589, 0.5129, 0.523, 0.5254, 0.4045, 0.3362, 0.2228, 0.3752, 0.3512, 0.4423, 0.4423, 0.4916, 0.556, 0.6567, 0.8069, 0.9214, 1.0485, 1.1463, 1.2103, 1.1914, 1.0827, 1.1095, 1.0749, 1.0695, 1.0819, 0.9504, 0.9213, 0.796, 0.8713, 0.8321, 1.0476, 1.3382, 1.3316, 1.5857, 1.4489, 1.3466, 1.4665, 1.3739, 1.7471, 1.9311, 1.915, 1.6489, 1.6207, 1.5423, 1.9149, 1.8465, 1.8465, 1.7576, 1.7617, 1.9999, 2.0628, 2.0628, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2001134839685353742", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-17T03:38:19+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The SPEED Act and US Government intervention fixes bear-case points for data center buildout delays and addresses utilization lag profitability issues", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "SPEED Act advancement is the biggest de-risking event for Neocloud sector this year; bullish NBIS, CRWV, IREN on compressed DC timelines, pulled-forward revenue, and FCF acceleration; secondary longs CIFR and WULF on guaranteed power demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just now, the SPEED Act ADVANCES in the House.\n\nThis is the single biggest de-risking bill/event for the Neocloud sector ( $NBIS, $CRWV, $IREN) this year.\n\nHere's why and a rundown: \n\nThe U.S. GOVERNMENT is set to support the AI data center buildout from Oracle down to Nebius on national security grounds for US vs China.\n\nOracle and CoreWeave recently dropped 40%+ (tanking $NBIS $140 -> $79, $IREN $80 -> 35, $CIFR, $24 -> $14 as well) on three core fears:\n\n1. DC Delays & Deferred Revenue\n2. Unsustainable CapEx → No FCF\n3. OpenAI Contagion/Backlog.\n\nThe Speed Act and US Government intervention fixes bear-case points for data center buildout delays and addresses utilization lag profitability issues (margins).  \n\n#1 DC Delays & Deferred Revenue\n\nBear Thesis: Multi-year permitting delays (NEPA, transmission) turned high-value contracts into deferred revenue risk. $CRWV explicitly cited vendor delays for lowering guidance and tanked on earnings shifting a large portion of revenue to from Q1 Q2 2026.   \n\nThe alpha if the Speed Act passes: \n\nMandatory Speed and Litigation Shields.\n\n- The Speed Act mandates strict, non-negotiable deadlines (often 1-2 years) for federal environmental and regulatory reviews. \n\n- The Litigation Shield: The bill drastically shortens the statute of limitations for filing lawsuits against approved permits (e.g., to 150 days) and instructs courts to allow DC buildout to continue even if a permit is temporarily challenged).\n\nThe Result: The timeline from contract signing to \"GPUs on racks -> revenue flowing\" is now compressed and politically de-risked by the Federal Government. \n\nDeferred revenue is pulled forward and fixes delays and deferred profitability/revenue that plagued $CRWV, $APLD, and the Neocloud sector.\n\n#2: Unsustainable CapEx -> No FCF from monetizing the assets\n\nBear Thesis: Companies were spending billions on GPUs and construction ( $ORCL's capex is massive) with utilization drag (from the point of purchasing the GPUs to monetization) largely affecting profitability and FCF. \n\nThis also largely affects AI Cloud vendors (lacking power to turn monetize the GPUs/capex).\n\nAgain This forced companies to take a massive write-down risk due to Utilization Drag (the time the GPU sits idle while the clock runs on depreciation/power-up). This drag is HUGE for profitability on DC segments, as cited in The Information reports on $ORCL's razor-thin AI margins.\n\nThe SPEED Act and the US Government intervention directly de-risks CapEx as the legislative mandate for speed (Fix #1) effectively guarantees that power infrastructure will arrive within a defined, short timeline. \n\nThis certainty allows $NBIS, $CRWV, and $IREN to time the purchase and deployment of billions in GPUs with high confidence that the assets will begin monetizing immediately upon arrival as well as accelerates FCF from reducing utilization drags. \n\nThis structural change flows down the entire industry. It instantly de-risks the major AI Cloud vendors ($AMZN, $MSFT, $ORCL) who can now guarantee their capacity, and it guarantees demand for the Colo/Infra/Energy providers ( $CIFR, $WULF, and others) whose core business is supplying that power capacity.\n\nThe bear case on capex -> FCF + buildout delay timeline has now directly addressed with the Speed ACT. \n\nNow the US government is set accelerate companies like $NBIS, $CRWV, and $IREN as AI Datacenters is now placed on the forefront of the AI national security battle between the United States and China. \n\nWhether it passes legislation in the House is what every investor should be watching, but if does, this is one of the largest (not-talked about) tailwinds for the Neocloud /AI Decenter buildout.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Never thought I’d see $NBIS at $80 or $IREN at $35 again.\n\nThey’re both trading a lot lower than when they first announced Mag7 contracts. https://t.co/boqDYeyXzL", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.07668468960835151, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07668468960835151, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06555864271303657, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06555864271303657, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011126046895314934, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011126046895314934, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0484894981477888, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0484894981477888, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.040938165570173934, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.040938165570173934, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0075513325776148665, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0075513325776148665, "ret_p1w": 0.22184351692969062, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.22184351692969062, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1905357849506164, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1905357849506164, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.031307731979074216, "bench_c_p1w": 0.031307731979074216, "ret_p1m": 0.47188222531994395, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.47188222531994395, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.43779599863935514, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.43779599863935514, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.034086226680588805, "bench_c_p1m": 0.034086226680588805, "ret_p3m": 0.33013162743783075, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.33013162743783075, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.33071702119169855, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.33071702119169855, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0005853937538677911, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0005853937538677911, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.9343, 1.064, 1.0277, 1.0666, 0.9622, 0.8643, 0.8981, 1.1201, 1.1232, 1.1379, 1.0881, 1.0736, 0.9958, 1.1686, 1.2166, 1.1445, 1.194, 1.0768, 1.1571, 1.1958, 1.1204, 0.9684, 0.9374, 0.8827, 0.9108, 1.0534, 1.1078, 1.0883, 1.1678, 1.0304, 1.0714, 0.9569, 0.7932, 0.7726, 0.6565, 0.6113, 0.6361, 0.3693, 0.3235, 0.2136, 0.1985, 0.167, 0.1603, 0.1607, 0.0722, 0.11, 0.1402, 0.1044, 0.1509, 0.1509, 0.1328, 0.1938, 0.1778, 0.2294, 0.3284, 0.3679, 0.336, 0.4045, 0.3658, 0.3537, 0.2175, 0.1208, 0.0767, 0.0, 0.0485, 0.2858, 0.3142, 0.2434, 0.2218, 0.2218, 0.1839, 0.1607, 0.1448, 0.1094, 0.1094, 0.2288, 0.1907, 0.2074, 0.1957, 0.1943, 0.2415, 0.3932, 0.3552, 0.3912, 0.4719, 0.5682, 0.5682, 0.4751, 0.457, 0.422, 0.4404, 0.523, 0.6864, 0.6424, 0.5419, 0.4437, 0.3778, 0.3952, 0.2775, 0.1565, 0.3935, 0.4995, 0.4734, 0.4741, 0.4826, 0.4878, 0.4878, 0.4098, 0.4787, 0.5049, 0.3826, 0.4073, 0.5383, 0.5184, 0.5125, 0.2325, 0.2091, 0.143, 0.2316, 0.1591, 0.1308, 0.1527, 0.1607, 0.2697, 0.2372, 0.2565, 0.3301, 0.2722, 0.283, 0.2496, 0.2621, 0.2697, 0.2861, 0.3568, 0.2463, 0.1589, 0.0713, 0.2002, 0.2152, 0.2741, 0.2741, 0.2539, 0.3205, 0.3772, 0.4253, 0.5802, 0.7083, 0.8156, 0.8387, 0.8522, 0.8102, 0.8192, 0.784, 0.8984, 0.8191, 0.7063, 0.736, 0.6349, 0.769, 0.7289, 0.8437, 0.9431, 0.9813, 1.1376, 0.996, 0.7684, 0.7769, 0.6692, 0.7244, 0.7694, 0.6623, 0.6076, 0.5462, 0.569, 0.6666, 0.6342, 0.6342, 0.6404, 0.6153, 0.6555, 0.6968, 0.6968, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2001134839685353742", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-12-17T03:38:19+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is the single biggest de-risking bill/event for the Neocloud sector ( $NBIS, $CRWV, $IREN) this year.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "SPEED Act advancement is the biggest de-risking event for Neocloud sector this year; bullish NBIS, CRWV, IREN on compressed DC timelines, pulled-forward revenue, and FCF acceleration; secondary longs CIFR and WULF on guaranteed power demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just now, the SPEED Act ADVANCES in the House.\n\nThis is the single biggest de-risking bill/event for the Neocloud sector ( $NBIS, $CRWV, $IREN) this year.\n\nHere's why and a rundown: \n\nThe U.S. GOVERNMENT is set to support the AI data center buildout from Oracle down to Nebius on national security grounds for US vs China.\n\nOracle and CoreWeave recently dropped 40%+ (tanking $NBIS $140 -> $79, $IREN $80 -> 35, $CIFR, $24 -> $14 as well) on three core fears:\n\n1. DC Delays & Deferred Revenue\n2. Unsustainable CapEx → No FCF\n3. OpenAI Contagion/Backlog.\n\nThe Speed Act and US Government intervention fixes bear-case points for data center buildout delays and addresses utilization lag profitability issues (margins).  \n\n#1 DC Delays & Deferred Revenue\n\nBear Thesis: Multi-year permitting delays (NEPA, transmission) turned high-value contracts into deferred revenue risk. $CRWV explicitly cited vendor delays for lowering guidance and tanked on earnings shifting a large portion of revenue to from Q1 Q2 2026.   \n\nThe alpha if the Speed Act passes: \n\nMandatory Speed and Litigation Shields.\n\n- The Speed Act mandates strict, non-negotiable deadlines (often 1-2 years) for federal environmental and regulatory reviews. \n\n- The Litigation Shield: The bill drastically shortens the statute of limitations for filing lawsuits against approved permits (e.g., to 150 days) and instructs courts to allow DC buildout to continue even if a permit is temporarily challenged).\n\nThe Result: The timeline from contract signing to \"GPUs on racks -> revenue flowing\" is now compressed and politically de-risked by the Federal Government. \n\nDeferred revenue is pulled forward and fixes delays and deferred profitability/revenue that plagued $CRWV, $APLD, and the Neocloud sector.\n\n#2: Unsustainable CapEx -> No FCF from monetizing the assets\n\nBear Thesis: Companies were spending billions on GPUs and construction ( $ORCL's capex is massive) with utilization drag (from the point of purchasing the GPUs to monetization) largely affecting profitability and FCF. \n\nThis also largely affects AI Cloud vendors (lacking power to turn monetize the GPUs/capex).\n\nAgain This forced companies to take a massive write-down risk due to Utilization Drag (the time the GPU sits idle while the clock runs on depreciation/power-up). This drag is HUGE for profitability on DC segments, as cited in The Information reports on $ORCL's razor-thin AI margins.\n\nThe SPEED Act and the US Government intervention directly de-risks CapEx as the legislative mandate for speed (Fix #1) effectively guarantees that power infrastructure will arrive within a defined, short timeline. \n\nThis certainty allows $NBIS, $CRWV, and $IREN to time the purchase and deployment of billions in GPUs with high confidence that the assets will begin monetizing immediately upon arrival as well as accelerates FCF from reducing utilization drags. \n\nThis structural change flows down the entire industry. It instantly de-risks the major AI Cloud vendors ($AMZN, $MSFT, $ORCL) who can now guarantee their capacity, and it guarantees demand for the Colo/Infra/Energy providers ( $CIFR, $WULF, and others) whose core business is supplying that power capacity.\n\nThe bear case on capex -> FCF + buildout delay timeline has now directly addressed with the Speed ACT. \n\nNow the US government is set accelerate companies like $NBIS, $CRWV, and $IREN as AI Datacenters is now placed on the forefront of the AI national security battle between the United States and China. \n\nWhether it passes legislation in the House is what every investor should be watching, but if does, this is one of the largest (not-talked about) tailwinds for the Neocloud /AI Decenter buildout.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Never thought I’d see $NBIS at $80 or $IREN at $35 again.\n\nThey’re both trading a lot lower than when they first announced Mag7 contracts. https://t.co/boqDYeyXzL", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.08318536041550173, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08318536041550173, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0720593135201868, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0830023777472988, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011126046895314934, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00018298266820293563, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.059798713166375084, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.059798713166375084, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05224738058876022, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06144619106935145, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0075513325776148665, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016474779029763686, "ret_p1w": 0.24274721904268026, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.24274721904268026, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.21143948706360605, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2190463854221012, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.031307731979074216, "bench_c_p1w": 0.023700833620579065, "ret_p1m": 0.5361160824390212, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5361160824390212, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5020298557584324, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.537397031548569, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.034086226680588805, "bench_c_p1m": -0.001280949109547791, "ret_p3m": 0.3303730091977346, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3303730091977346, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3309584029516024, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4247844593205894, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0005853937538677911, "bench_c_p3m": -0.09441145012285479, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1439, 0.2404, 0.2365, 0.3955, 0.3703, 0.2392, 0.3597, 0.3893, 0.3937, 0.3919, 0.4938, 0.7096, 0.8259, 0.7789, 0.8902, 0.7694, 0.8988, 1.0592, 1.0124, 0.8304, 0.7975, 0.7531, 0.634, 0.5343, 0.6536, 0.862, 0.9239, 0.8478, 0.7886, 0.7235, 0.7984, 1.0056, 0.9725, 1.262, 0.9822, 0.8467, 0.7812, 0.6986, 0.6489, 0.4402, 0.3727, 0.4035, 0.4461, 0.3567, 0.2869, 0.251, 0.4355, 0.4053, 0.4343, 0.4343, 0.4153, 0.4355, 0.2173, 0.3014, 0.3751, 0.3236, 0.3718, 0.3866, 0.3002, 0.3008, 0.188, 0.0503, 0.0832, 0.0, 0.0598, 0.1818, 0.2445, 0.2454, 0.2427, 0.2427, 0.193, 0.1667, 0.1338, 0.1181, 0.1181, 0.2641, 0.4281, 0.3591, 0.2914, 0.3523, 0.3626, 0.4899, 0.5687, 0.5654, 0.5361, 0.7117, 0.7117, 0.6063, 0.5832, 0.5471, 0.6779, 0.55, 0.7759, 0.8632, 0.7715, 0.5909, 0.5713, 0.6101, 0.3304, 0.1779, 0.2383, 0.3662, 0.2709, 0.2632, 0.185, 0.2499, 0.2499, 0.2128, 0.2457, 0.2815, 0.1835, 0.254, 0.3455, 0.3034, 0.3097, 0.2123, 0.2253, 0.1501, 0.2978, 0.1878, 0.0864, 0.1498, 0.1285, 0.2427, 0.2247, 0.2309, 0.3304, 0.2718, 0.2496, 0.2333, 0.2223, 0.2481, 0.2173, 0.2265, 0.1086, 0.0388, -0.0639, 0.0148, 0.0092, 0.0293, 0.0293, 0.04, 0.058, 0.0903, 0.0971, 0.164, 0.275, 0.4023, 0.4452, 0.4121, 0.4245, 0.4423, 0.3372, 0.4325, 0.54, 0.4991, 0.4316, 0.3156, 0.2688, 0.3472, 0.3517, 0.4648, 0.6205, 0.8052, 0.6829, 0.8117, 0.6326, 0.6744, 0.6332, 0.7288, 0.5672, 0.4938, 0.4133, 0.5604, 0.7188, 0.6824, 0.6824, 0.7697, 1.0083, 0.8961, 0.881, 0.881, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2001134839685353742", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-12-17T03:38:19+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it guarantees demand for the Colo/Infra/Energy providers ( $CIFR, $WULF, and others) whose core business is supplying that power capacity", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "SPEED Act advancement is the biggest de-risking event for Neocloud sector this year; bullish NBIS, CRWV, IREN on compressed DC timelines, pulled-forward revenue, and FCF acceleration; secondary longs CIFR and WULF on guaranteed power demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just now, the SPEED Act ADVANCES in the House.\n\nThis is the single biggest de-risking bill/event for the Neocloud sector ( $NBIS, $CRWV, $IREN) this year.\n\nHere's why and a rundown: \n\nThe U.S. GOVERNMENT is set to support the AI data center buildout from Oracle down to Nebius on national security grounds for US vs China.\n\nOracle and CoreWeave recently dropped 40%+ (tanking $NBIS $140 -> $79, $IREN $80 -> 35, $CIFR, $24 -> $14 as well) on three core fears:\n\n1. DC Delays & Deferred Revenue\n2. Unsustainable CapEx → No FCF\n3. OpenAI Contagion/Backlog.\n\nThe Speed Act and US Government intervention fixes bear-case points for data center buildout delays and addresses utilization lag profitability issues (margins).  \n\n#1 DC Delays & Deferred Revenue\n\nBear Thesis: Multi-year permitting delays (NEPA, transmission) turned high-value contracts into deferred revenue risk. $CRWV explicitly cited vendor delays for lowering guidance and tanked on earnings shifting a large portion of revenue to from Q1 Q2 2026.   \n\nThe alpha if the Speed Act passes: \n\nMandatory Speed and Litigation Shields.\n\n- The Speed Act mandates strict, non-negotiable deadlines (often 1-2 years) for federal environmental and regulatory reviews. \n\n- The Litigation Shield: The bill drastically shortens the statute of limitations for filing lawsuits against approved permits (e.g., to 150 days) and instructs courts to allow DC buildout to continue even if a permit is temporarily challenged).\n\nThe Result: The timeline from contract signing to \"GPUs on racks -> revenue flowing\" is now compressed and politically de-risked by the Federal Government. \n\nDeferred revenue is pulled forward and fixes delays and deferred profitability/revenue that plagued $CRWV, $APLD, and the Neocloud sector.\n\n#2: Unsustainable CapEx -> No FCF from monetizing the assets\n\nBear Thesis: Companies were spending billions on GPUs and construction ( $ORCL's capex is massive) with utilization drag (from the point of purchasing the GPUs to monetization) largely affecting profitability and FCF. \n\nThis also largely affects AI Cloud vendors (lacking power to turn monetize the GPUs/capex).\n\nAgain This forced companies to take a massive write-down risk due to Utilization Drag (the time the GPU sits idle while the clock runs on depreciation/power-up). This drag is HUGE for profitability on DC segments, as cited in The Information reports on $ORCL's razor-thin AI margins.\n\nThe SPEED Act and the US Government intervention directly de-risks CapEx as the legislative mandate for speed (Fix #1) effectively guarantees that power infrastructure will arrive within a defined, short timeline. \n\nThis certainty allows $NBIS, $CRWV, and $IREN to time the purchase and deployment of billions in GPUs with high confidence that the assets will begin monetizing immediately upon arrival as well as accelerates FCF from reducing utilization drags. \n\nThis structural change flows down the entire industry. It instantly de-risks the major AI Cloud vendors ($AMZN, $MSFT, $ORCL) who can now guarantee their capacity, and it guarantees demand for the Colo/Infra/Energy providers ( $CIFR, $WULF, and others) whose core business is supplying that power capacity.\n\nThe bear case on capex -> FCF + buildout delay timeline has now directly addressed with the Speed ACT. \n\nNow the US government is set accelerate companies like $NBIS, $CRWV, and $IREN as AI Datacenters is now placed on the forefront of the AI national security battle between the United States and China. \n\nWhether it passes legislation in the House is what every investor should be watching, but if does, this is one of the largest (not-talked about) tailwinds for the Neocloud /AI Decenter buildout.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Never thought I’d see $NBIS at $80 or $IREN at $35 again.\n\nThey’re both trading a lot lower than when they first announced Mag7 contracts. https://t.co/boqDYeyXzL", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04169558120085948, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04169558120085948, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.030569534305544543, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01895362165596426, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011126046895314934, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02274195954489522, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05281440285442196, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05281440285442196, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.045263070276807094, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03738997617843509, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0075513325776148665, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015424426675986869, "ret_p1w": 0.12717157236767496, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12717157236767496, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09586384038860074, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07600636212005529, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.031307731979074216, "bench_c_p1w": 0.051165210247619664, "ret_p1m": 0.2175121639863824, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2175121639863824, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1834259373057936, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.17238236510053273, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.034086226680588805, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04512979888584967, "ret_p3m": 0.05211952620612781, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05211952620612781, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0527049199599956, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.054985528811425044, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0005853937538677911, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0028660026052972354, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1466, -0.0299, -0.0167, -0.0174, -0.1897, -0.2029, -0.1209, -0.1251, -0.1244, -0.0403, 0.0215, 0.066, 0.0945, 0.2231, 0.2502, 0.1793, 0.4135, 0.4517, 0.4614, 0.3009, 0.3037, 0.3836, 0.2561, 0.1195, 0.1991, 0.4357, 0.4274, 0.3871, 0.3614, 0.3252, 0.296, 0.5817, 0.5643, 0.7172, 0.5087, 0.4378, 0.3655, 0.2974, 0.2078, 0.0375, -0.0021, -0.0028, 0.0132, 0.016, 0.0118, -0.0167, 0.1612, 0.2175, 0.3308, 0.3308, 0.4142, 0.3683, 0.2259, 0.2946, 0.378, 0.3398, 0.3537, 0.3593, 0.2842, 0.312, 0.1849, 0.0243, 0.0417, 0.0, 0.0528, 0.1265, 0.1355, 0.1056, 0.1272, 0.1272, 0.0556, 0.0479, 0.0139, 0.0257, 0.0257, 0.1258, 0.262, 0.2189, 0.1174, 0.1501, 0.1557, 0.2286, 0.2682, 0.2599, 0.2175, 0.3065, 0.3065, 0.2453, 0.2314, 0.2085, 0.221, 0.1459, 0.303, 0.3183, 0.23, 0.1091, 0.0987, 0.13, -0.0097, -0.1174, 0.0236, 0.1647, 0.1883, 0.1313, 0.1188, 0.1411, 0.1411, 0.0869, 0.0716, 0.098, 0.0181, 0.0577, 0.1897, 0.1543, 0.1452, 0.0841, 0.0952, 0.0222, 0.1147, 0.0528, -0.0535, -0.0056, -0.0299, -0.0195, -0.0473, -0.0215, 0.0521, 0.0486, 0.0195, 0.0174, -0.0264, 0.0347, 0.0341, 0.1035, -0.0028, -0.0448, -0.165, -0.1056, -0.1216, -0.1091, -0.1091, -0.0723, -0.0264, 0.0716, 0.1369, 0.1487, 0.2342, 0.2821, 0.2509, 0.205, 0.3461, 0.3405, 0.2536, 0.3509, 0.2988, 0.2648, 0.262, 0.1994, 0.1758, 0.2328, 0.1842, 0.2432, 0.5358, 0.5226, 0.4375, 0.4281, 0.4093, 0.394, 0.476, 0.549, 0.4128, 0.3287, 0.3065, 0.3537, 0.4955, 0.5268, 0.5268, 0.5997, 0.7484, 0.7088, 0.6435, 0.6435, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2001134839685353742", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-12-17T03:38:19+00:00", "symbol": "WULF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it guarantees demand for the Colo/Infra/Energy providers ( $CIFR, $WULF, and others) whose core business is supplying that power capacity", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "SPEED Act advancement is the biggest de-risking event for Neocloud sector this year; bullish NBIS, CRWV, IREN on compressed DC timelines, pulled-forward revenue, and FCF acceleration; secondary longs CIFR and WULF on guaranteed power demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["WULF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just now, the SPEED Act ADVANCES in the House.\n\nThis is the single biggest de-risking bill/event for the Neocloud sector ( $NBIS, $CRWV, $IREN) this year.\n\nHere's why and a rundown: \n\nThe U.S. GOVERNMENT is set to support the AI data center buildout from Oracle down to Nebius on national security grounds for US vs China.\n\nOracle and CoreWeave recently dropped 40%+ (tanking $NBIS $140 -> $79, $IREN $80 -> 35, $CIFR, $24 -> $14 as well) on three core fears:\n\n1. DC Delays & Deferred Revenue\n2. Unsustainable CapEx → No FCF\n3. OpenAI Contagion/Backlog.\n\nThe Speed Act and US Government intervention fixes bear-case points for data center buildout delays and addresses utilization lag profitability issues (margins).  \n\n#1 DC Delays & Deferred Revenue\n\nBear Thesis: Multi-year permitting delays (NEPA, transmission) turned high-value contracts into deferred revenue risk. $CRWV explicitly cited vendor delays for lowering guidance and tanked on earnings shifting a large portion of revenue to from Q1 Q2 2026.   \n\nThe alpha if the Speed Act passes: \n\nMandatory Speed and Litigation Shields.\n\n- The Speed Act mandates strict, non-negotiable deadlines (often 1-2 years) for federal environmental and regulatory reviews. \n\n- The Litigation Shield: The bill drastically shortens the statute of limitations for filing lawsuits against approved permits (e.g., to 150 days) and instructs courts to allow DC buildout to continue even if a permit is temporarily challenged).\n\nThe Result: The timeline from contract signing to \"GPUs on racks -> revenue flowing\" is now compressed and politically de-risked by the Federal Government. \n\nDeferred revenue is pulled forward and fixes delays and deferred profitability/revenue that plagued $CRWV, $APLD, and the Neocloud sector.\n\n#2: Unsustainable CapEx -> No FCF from monetizing the assets\n\nBear Thesis: Companies were spending billions on GPUs and construction ( $ORCL's capex is massive) with utilization drag (from the point of purchasing the GPUs to monetization) largely affecting profitability and FCF. \n\nThis also largely affects AI Cloud vendors (lacking power to turn monetize the GPUs/capex).\n\nAgain This forced companies to take a massive write-down risk due to Utilization Drag (the time the GPU sits idle while the clock runs on depreciation/power-up). This drag is HUGE for profitability on DC segments, as cited in The Information reports on $ORCL's razor-thin AI margins.\n\nThe SPEED Act and the US Government intervention directly de-risks CapEx as the legislative mandate for speed (Fix #1) effectively guarantees that power infrastructure will arrive within a defined, short timeline. \n\nThis certainty allows $NBIS, $CRWV, and $IREN to time the purchase and deployment of billions in GPUs with high confidence that the assets will begin monetizing immediately upon arrival as well as accelerates FCF from reducing utilization drags. \n\nThis structural change flows down the entire industry. It instantly de-risks the major AI Cloud vendors ($AMZN, $MSFT, $ORCL) who can now guarantee their capacity, and it guarantees demand for the Colo/Infra/Energy providers ( $CIFR, $WULF, and others) whose core business is supplying that power capacity.\n\nThe bear case on capex -> FCF + buildout delay timeline has now directly addressed with the Speed ACT. \n\nNow the US government is set accelerate companies like $NBIS, $CRWV, and $IREN as AI Datacenters is now placed on the forefront of the AI national security battle between the United States and China. \n\nWhether it passes legislation in the House is what every investor should be watching, but if does, this is one of the largest (not-talked about) tailwinds for the Neocloud /AI Decenter buildout.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Never thought I’d see $NBIS at $80 or $IREN at $35 again.\n\nThey’re both trading a lot lower than when they first announced Mag7 contracts. https://t.co/boqDYeyXzL", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.12273121121422115, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.12273121121422115, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.11160516431890621, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.11160516431890621, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011126046895314934, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011126046895314934, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.019014716752950633, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.019014716752950633, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011463384175335767, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011463384175335767, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0075513325776148665, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0075513325776148665, "ret_p1w": 0.06395857772783842, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06395857772783842, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0326508457487642, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0326508457487642, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.031307731979074216, "bench_c_p1w": 0.031307731979074216, "ret_p1m": 0.19533278206505367, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.19533278206505367, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.16124655538446486, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.16124655538446486, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.034086226680588805, "bench_c_p1m": 0.034086226680588805, "ret_p3m": 0.41832327400605207, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.41832327400605207, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.41890866775991986, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.41890866775991986, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0005853937538677911, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0005853937538677911, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.051, -0.0069, -0.0285, -0.0147, -0.0519, -0.064, 0.0026, -0.013, -0.0086, 0.0009, 0.0303, 0.0346, 0.0458, 0.0631, 0.1746, 0.1677, 0.21, 0.3362, 0.3371, 0.1979, 0.204, 0.1971, 0.1357, 0.0908, 0.1132, 0.185, 0.1789, 0.3777, 0.2532, 0.2809, 0.3397, 0.3915, 0.2973, 0.3276, 0.2342, 0.2048, 0.236, 0.0691, 0.0925, 0.0095, -0.0501, -0.0449, 0.0372, 0.057, -0.0009, -0.0242, 0.0916, 0.2048, 0.2826, 0.2826, 0.3405, 0.3224, 0.229, 0.2472, 0.3051, 0.2532, 0.293, 0.3475, 0.3621, 0.3682, 0.2385, 0.0795, 0.1227, 0.0, 0.019, 0.0821, 0.0778, 0.0735, 0.064, 0.064, 0.0156, -0.013, -0.0363, -0.0069, -0.0069, 0.1011, 0.1772, 0.1392, 0.0795, 0.1098, 0.1322, 0.1936, 0.2221, 0.2282, 0.1953, 0.1971, 0.1971, 0.1521, 0.134, 0.1141, 0.2204, 0.1919, 0.3232, 0.306, 0.2567, 0.1556, 0.1616, 0.2792, 0.1997, 0.0303, 0.2351, 0.4391, 0.4373, 0.3855, 0.3751, 0.4054, 0.4054, 0.3984, 0.3293, 0.3371, 0.2973, 0.3552, 0.5177, 0.5488, 0.5454, 0.4019, 0.3846, 0.274, 0.3284, 0.3163, 0.1884, 0.1971, 0.2403, 0.3155, 0.2679, 0.2679, 0.4183, 0.3863, 0.3224, 0.3604, 0.3051, 0.3993, 0.4019, 0.4572, 0.3267, 0.2869, 0.1841, 0.2472, 0.2515, 0.2861, 0.2861, 0.344, 0.4322, 0.5601, 0.6448, 0.6309, 0.6811, 0.8107, 0.7001, 0.669, 0.7839, 0.7718, 0.7087, 0.7761, 0.7606, 0.7295, 0.8522, 0.7978, 0.7303, 0.8781, 0.8418, 0.9265, 1.0303, 1.2247, 1.0761, 1.0216, 1.0199, 0.9706, 0.9983, 1.089, 0.9291, 0.8271, 0.8444, 0.8695, 0.981, 0.9723, 0.9723, 1.1763, 1.3111, 1.2818, 1.2092, 1.2092, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2011455204374577469", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-14T15:07:46+00:00", "symbol": "LPTH", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I personally bought $LPTH and $AIRO on 4% drop today", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bought LPTH, AIRO, and VLN on today's dip; live long positions in all three.", "resolved_tickers": ["LPTH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MRonvelwala I personally bought $LPTH and $AIRO on 4% drop today and $VLN on the -8% drop.\n\nLooks like SPY is down -.8% so lot of good opportunities out there from fear.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Any new plays this week? Itching to make money", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MRonvelwala", "ret_m1d": -0.11866967113733051, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11866967113733051, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12360918737360316, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12360918737360316, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004939516236272645, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004939516236272645, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004535107182040088, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004535107182040088, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007258321578569538, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007258321578569538, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027232143965294497, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0027232143965294497, "ret_p1w": 0.03099023547034241, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03099023547034241, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03817486547027504, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03817486547027504, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007184629999932635, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007184629999932635, "ret_p1m": -0.056689344365103755, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.056689344365103755, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.043522383787262475, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.043522383787262475, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01316696057784128, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01316696057784128, "ret_p3m": 0.08919125820138318, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08919125820138318, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09264780255064686, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09264780255064686, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0034565443492636794, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0034565443492636794, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4376, -0.3401, -0.3726, -0.4444, -0.3968, -0.3613, -0.3621, -0.3621, -0.3802, -0.3741, -0.3439, -0.3832, -0.4308, -0.4082, -0.424, -0.4172, -0.4119, -0.3923, -0.4429, -0.4966, -0.4936, -0.486, -0.4837, -0.4921, -0.5329, -0.5306, -0.4868, -0.4777, -0.4769, -0.4769, -0.4444, -0.458, -0.4014, -0.3689, -0.3182, -0.3348, -0.3394, -0.3348, -0.3333, -0.3107, -0.3878, -0.4339, -0.446, -0.48, -0.4573, -0.4225, -0.3553, -0.3416, -0.3175, -0.3175, -0.3182, -0.2222, -0.2018, -0.1837, -0.1837, -0.1141, -0.1164, -0.1293, -0.0779, -0.0454, -0.0673, -0.0937, -0.1187, 0.0, -0.0045, -0.0499, -0.0499, 0.0582, 0.031, 0.0831, -0.0597, -0.2268, -0.1497, -0.1474, -0.1315, -0.2124, -0.2063, -0.1769, -0.2895, -0.3152, -0.2018, -0.1436, -0.1678, -0.2237, -0.0567, -0.1293, -0.1293, -0.155, -0.1504, 0.028, -0.093, -0.1534, -0.0937, -0.1104, -0.158, -0.2116, -0.0922, -0.0945, -0.1081, -0.1436, -0.1633, -0.1618, -0.1633, -0.1769, -0.1708, -0.2056, -0.1686, -0.0937, -0.1179, -0.1315, -0.2041, -0.1353, -0.1028, -0.0967, -0.1693, -0.2827, -0.2963, -0.2419, -0.2275, -0.1701, -0.1701, -0.1315, -0.1716, -0.1247, -0.0809, -0.0302, 0.0892, 0.0801, 0.0597, 0.1277, 0.0703, 0.0809, 0.0726, 0.1073, 0.1051, 0.2162, 0.0574, -0.0401, -0.0786, -0.0317, 0.0355, -0.068, -0.0854, -0.0272, -0.0907, -0.13, -0.031, -0.0771, -0.0839, -0.0816, -0.1293, -0.0597, 0.0491, 0.0317, 0.0794, 0.2812, 0.2812, 0.2275, 0.3311, 0.3719, 0.2834, 0.2834, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2011455204374577469", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-14T15:07:46+00:00", "symbol": "AIRO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I personally bought $LPTH and $AIRO on 4% drop today", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bought LPTH, AIRO, and VLN on today's dip; live long positions in all three.", "resolved_tickers": ["AIRO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MRonvelwala I personally bought $LPTH and $AIRO on 4% drop today and $VLN on the -8% drop.\n\nLooks like SPY is down -.8% so lot of good opportunities out there from fear.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Any new plays this week? Itching to make money", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MRonvelwala", "ret_m1d": -0.02645498411984437, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02645498411984437, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03139450035611702, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.024872095156063256, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004939516236272645, "bench_c_m1d": -0.001582888963781115, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.002267553591020044, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.002267553591020044, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004990767987549494, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011459636556645836, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027232143965294497, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009192082965625792, "ret_p1w": -0.08012089966884506, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08012089966884506, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07293626966891242, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0928438133395918, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007184629999932635, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012722913670746738, "ret_p1m": -0.3114134563955291, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3114134563955291, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2982464958176878, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.36303568238098993, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01316696057784128, "bench_c_p1m": 0.051622225985460846, "ret_p3m": -0.40589566096192076, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.40589566096192076, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4024391166126571, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4603507486649424, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0034565443492636794, "bench_c_p3m": 0.054455087703021654, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3228, 0.381, 0.359, 0.2925, 0.3039, 0.3212, 0.3099, 0.2714, 0.2698, 0.2358, 0.2366, 0.2305, 0.0786, 0.0729, -0.0083, 0.0181, 0.0431, 0.0302, 0.0106, -0.0363, -0.2366, -0.2192, -0.2547, -0.3296, -0.4059, -0.3961, -0.4051, -0.4074, -0.3772, -0.3772, -0.3462, -0.381, -0.3741, -0.3386, -0.2751, -0.2834, -0.2661, -0.2744, -0.2649, -0.2668, -0.3575, -0.3983, -0.4187, -0.4399, -0.4392, -0.393, -0.3122, -0.3046, -0.2933, -0.2933, -0.3394, -0.3726, -0.384, -0.3817, -0.3817, -0.3016, -0.2351, -0.1572, -0.1882, -0.0967, -0.0559, -0.0567, -0.0265, 0.0, -0.0023, 0.0106, 0.0106, -0.0378, -0.0801, -0.0529, -0.0786, -0.1345, -0.1156, -0.1421, -0.1746, -0.2222, -0.2404, -0.2298, -0.2782, -0.359, -0.2714, -0.2366, -0.2797, -0.3039, -0.3114, -0.3046, -0.3046, -0.3084, -0.2925, -0.2283, -0.2963, -0.2706, -0.2389, -0.2517, -0.2313, -0.2593, -0.1912, -0.2396, -0.2381, -0.226, -0.2381, -0.2026, -0.189, -0.2063, -0.2313, -0.26, -0.2389, -0.1973, -0.2457, -0.2472, -0.3061, -0.263, -0.2819, -0.288, -0.3152, -0.3515, -0.3522, -0.4252, -0.3787, -0.3416, -0.3416, -0.3386, -0.3394, -0.3333, -0.3893, -0.4044, -0.4059, -0.3893, -0.3681, -0.3462, -0.39, -0.3507, -0.3651, -0.3424, -0.3764, -0.4006, -0.3787, -0.3983, -0.4331, -0.4225, -0.4392, -0.4528, -0.4596, -0.4384, -0.4543, -0.4452, -0.4006, -0.4082, -0.4082, -0.5, -0.5185, -0.5457, -0.5578, -0.548, -0.5268, -0.5042, -0.5042, -0.4709, -0.449, -0.328, -0.3212, -0.3212, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2011455204374577469", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-14T15:07:46+00:00", "symbol": "VLN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$VLN on the -8% drop", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bought LPTH, AIRO, and VLN on today's dip; live long positions in all three.", "resolved_tickers": ["VLN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MRonvelwala I personally bought $LPTH and $AIRO on 4% drop today and $VLN on the -8% drop.\n\nLooks like SPY is down -.8% so lot of good opportunities out there from fear.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Any new plays this week? Itching to make money", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MRonvelwala", "ret_m1d": 0.11961722979274114, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.11961722979274114, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.1146777135564685, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.11142875901688742, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004939516236272645, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008188470775853718, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0027232143965294497, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02075446744410603, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027232143965294497, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02075446744410603, "ret_p1w": -0.062200900172767914, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.062200900172767914, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05501627017283528, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09716932133624234, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007184629999932635, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03496842116347443, "ret_p1m": -0.2822966212435526, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2822966212435526, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2691296606657113, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3280285099236647, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01316696057784128, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04573188868011213, "ret_p3m": -0.3540669477116093, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3540669477116093, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3506104033623456, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.495665993340869, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0034565443492636794, "bench_c_p3m": 0.14159904562925973, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1818, -0.1388, -0.1531, -0.1722, -0.1579, -0.1483, -0.1627, -0.1579, -0.1818, -0.1866, -0.1244, -0.177, -0.2392, -0.2057, -0.2536, -0.244, -0.2344, -0.1388, -0.1866, -0.177, -0.1675, -0.2536, -0.2727, -0.3062, -0.3206, -0.2823, -0.2679, -0.2632, -0.2488, -0.2488, -0.2344, -0.2488, -0.244, -0.201, -0.1962, -0.1962, -0.1866, -0.1866, -0.1962, -0.2201, -0.2392, -0.2632, -0.2679, -0.2919, -0.2919, -0.2871, -0.3014, -0.3301, -0.3397, -0.3397, -0.311, -0.3254, -0.3397, -0.3206, -0.3206, -0.2536, -0.2488, -0.2392, -0.2584, -0.2536, 0.1866, 0.1053, 0.1196, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0478, -0.0478, -0.0718, -0.0622, 0.0048, -0.0622, -0.1196, -0.1196, -0.1531, -0.1579, -0.1866, -0.201, -0.2344, -0.2632, -0.3158, -0.2632, -0.2727, -0.2584, -0.2632, -0.2823, -0.2727, -0.2727, -0.3014, -0.2871, -0.2871, -0.2775, -0.2919, -0.2679, -0.2632, -0.2344, -0.2919, -0.2919, -0.311, -0.311, -0.3301, -0.3541, -0.3541, -0.3397, -0.3158, -0.3541, -0.3636, -0.3636, -0.3589, -0.4019, -0.3876, -0.4163, -0.3971, -0.4019, -0.3971, -0.4163, -0.4354, -0.4689, -0.4593, -0.4402, -0.4306, -0.4306, -0.4306, -0.4354, -0.3732, -0.3589, -0.3636, -0.3541, -0.3397, -0.2967, -0.2584, -0.2727, -0.2967, -0.2823, -0.2297, -0.2105, -0.1435, -0.2297, -0.2775, -0.2775, 0.0383, 0.1196, 0.0766, 0.1579, 0.1962, 0.1531, 0.3349, 0.3636, 0.2919, 0.4115, 0.6124, 0.4593, 0.3493, 0.2727, 0.3876, 0.4641, 0.5407, 0.5407, 0.5598, 0.5072, 0.6746, 0.689, 0.689, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2011719103812157580", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-15T08:36:24+00:00", "symbol": "LPTH", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Could easily be $10B+ if US companies start using black diamond instead of germanium glass", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish LPTH on broad non-defense applications and potential $10B+ valuation if domestic germanium substitution accelerates.", "resolved_tickers": ["LPTH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$LPTH can supply everything that requires germanium in other sectors like cameras for FSD, space satellites, machine vision for robotics, and everything.\n\nThey’re just backlogged in the defense sector for stinger missiles to ghost drones, which takes priority.\n\nCould easily be $10B+ if US companies start using black diamond instead of germanium glass", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Did some basic digging here and honestly it looks very compelling.  Wish it wasn't up 4X the last 6 months already.  \n\nAre the other applications outside of defense?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "RKLBMan", "ret_m1d": 0.0045557680785728305, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0045557680785728305, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00727158671868311, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00727158671868311, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002715818640110279, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002715818640110279, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04555811526149722, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04555811526149722, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04472024127060181, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04472024127060181, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0008378739908954103, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0008378739908954103, "ret_p1w": 0.08807895525377507, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08807895525377507, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09278827212610119, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09278827212610119, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004709316872326119, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004709316872326119, "ret_p1m": -0.12528470835017536, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12528470835017536, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11013100970720058, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11013100970720058, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.015153698642974778, "bench_c_p1m": -0.015153698642974778, "ret_p3m": 0.08504175239718381, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08504175239718381, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07909494240988857, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07909494240988857, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.005946809987295243, "bench_c_p3m": 0.005946809987295243, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3371, -0.3698, -0.4419, -0.3941, -0.3584, -0.3591, -0.3591, -0.3774, -0.3713, -0.3409, -0.3804, -0.4282, -0.4055, -0.4214, -0.4146, -0.4093, -0.3895, -0.4404, -0.4943, -0.4913, -0.4837, -0.4814, -0.4897, -0.5308, -0.5285, -0.4844, -0.4753, -0.4746, -0.4746, -0.4419, -0.4556, -0.3986, -0.366, -0.3151, -0.3318, -0.3364, -0.3318, -0.3303, -0.3075, -0.385, -0.4313, -0.4434, -0.4776, -0.4548, -0.4199, -0.3523, -0.3386, -0.3144, -0.3144, -0.3151, -0.2187, -0.1982, -0.18, -0.18, -0.1101, -0.1124, -0.1253, -0.0737, -0.041, -0.063, -0.0896, -0.1147, 0.0046, 0.0, -0.0456, -0.0456, 0.063, 0.0357, 0.0881, -0.0554, -0.2232, -0.1458, -0.1435, -0.1276, -0.2088, -0.2027, -0.1731, -0.2863, -0.3121, -0.1982, -0.1397, -0.164, -0.2202, -0.0524, -0.1253, -0.1253, -0.1511, -0.1465, 0.0326, -0.0888, -0.1496, -0.0896, -0.1063, -0.1541, -0.208, -0.0881, -0.0904, -0.104, -0.1397, -0.1595, -0.1579, -0.1595, -0.1731, -0.167, -0.202, -0.1648, -0.0896, -0.1139, -0.1276, -0.2005, -0.1314, -0.0987, -0.0926, -0.1655, -0.2794, -0.2931, -0.2384, -0.224, -0.1663, -0.1663, -0.1276, -0.1678, -0.1207, -0.0767, -0.0258, 0.0942, 0.085, 0.0645, 0.1329, 0.0752, 0.0858, 0.0774, 0.1124, 0.1101, 0.2217, 0.0623, -0.0357, -0.0744, -0.0273, 0.0402, -0.0638, -0.0812, -0.0228, -0.0866, -0.126, -0.0266, -0.0729, -0.0797, -0.0774, -0.1253, -0.0554, 0.0539, 0.0364, 0.0843, 0.287, 0.287, 0.2331, 0.3371, 0.3781, 0.2893, 0.2893, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2010594797262696647", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-12T06:08:49+00:00", "symbol": "VLN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I personally bought because I thought it shouldn't trade close to 1:1 with assets/MC. And even after Friday it's close to 2 EV/revenue while others trade 14-18, given its gross margins are close to 70%", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long VLN; trades at ~2x EV/revenue vs peers at 14-18x with ~70% gross margins, seen as deeply undervalued.", "resolved_tickers": ["VLN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Come to your own conclusion on $VLN!\n\nI personally bought because I thought it shouldn’t trade close to 1:1 with assets/MC. \n\nAnd even after Friday it’s close to 2 EV/revenue while others trade 14-18, given its gross margins are close to 70% (blended margins messes up calculations)\n\nSo that’s just my own personal thesis, it’s not for everyone", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @MitchMartan98 @Gubloinvestor Would u say its a 100% buy for this week or rather taking something else", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Zeynfnr1", "ret_m1d": 0.07359310844371292, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07359310844371292, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07516109979748642, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07727918438675141, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0015679913537735013, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0036860759430384915, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012987000923330161, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012987000923330161, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014986476029200446, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01076001298232776, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019994751058702853, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0022269879410024007, "ret_p1w": -0.1385281130603636, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1385281130603636, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1334932848998024, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.16343470932083937, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.005034828160561222, "bench_c_p1w": 0.024906596260475755, "ret_p1m": -0.32900433302555665, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.32900433302555665, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3246312130634772, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.36509711439897574, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0043731199620794525, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03609278137341909, "ret_p3m": -0.419913391094622, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.419913391094622, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4006470825098737, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5214082805760099, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.019266308584748315, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10149488948138785, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2035, -0.2338, -0.2597, -0.2208, -0.2338, -0.2511, -0.2381, -0.2294, -0.2424, -0.2381, -0.2597, -0.2641, -0.2078, -0.2554, -0.3117, -0.2814, -0.3247, -0.316, -0.3074, -0.2208, -0.2641, -0.2554, -0.2468, -0.3247, -0.342, -0.3723, -0.3853, -0.3506, -0.3377, -0.3333, -0.3203, -0.3203, -0.3074, -0.3203, -0.316, -0.2771, -0.2727, -0.2727, -0.2641, -0.2641, -0.2727, -0.2944, -0.3117, -0.3333, -0.3377, -0.3593, -0.3593, -0.355, -0.368, -0.3939, -0.4026, -0.4026, -0.3766, -0.3896, -0.4026, -0.3853, -0.3853, -0.3247, -0.3203, -0.3117, -0.329, -0.3247, 0.0736, 0.0, 0.013, -0.0952, -0.0952, -0.1385, -0.1385, -0.1602, -0.1515, -0.0909, -0.1515, -0.2035, -0.2035, -0.2338, -0.2381, -0.2641, -0.2771, -0.3074, -0.3333, -0.381, -0.3333, -0.342, -0.329, -0.3333, -0.3506, -0.342, -0.342, -0.368, -0.355, -0.355, -0.3463, -0.3593, -0.3377, -0.3333, -0.3074, -0.3593, -0.3593, -0.3766, -0.3766, -0.3939, -0.4156, -0.4156, -0.4026, -0.381, -0.4156, -0.4242, -0.4242, -0.4199, -0.4589, -0.4459, -0.4719, -0.4545, -0.4589, -0.4545, -0.4719, -0.4892, -0.5195, -0.5108, -0.4935, -0.4848, -0.4848, -0.4848, -0.4892, -0.4329, -0.4199, -0.4242, -0.4156, -0.4026, -0.3636, -0.329, -0.342, -0.3636, -0.3506, -0.303, -0.2857, -0.2251, -0.303, -0.3463, -0.3463, -0.0606, 0.013, -0.026, 0.0476, 0.0823, 0.0433, 0.2078, 0.2338, 0.1688, 0.2771, 0.4589, 0.3203, 0.2208, 0.1515, 0.2554, 0.3247, 0.3939, 0.3939, 0.4113, 0.3636, 0.5152, 0.5281, 0.5281, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972770809073861075", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-29T21:09:47+00:00", "symbol": "GAP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I $GAP since fundamentals are good and it benefits from end of year holiday seasonality", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish GAP on good fundamentals and holiday seasonality tailwind.", "resolved_tickers": ["GAP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@camrinneiss First glance, I $GAP since fundamentals are good and it benefits from end of year holiday seasonality like $LULU.\n\nAlso I like banana republic cashmere stuff so a bit biased. But obviously need more time to delve into tariff impact a bit more on forward revenue", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Talk to me about $GAP I’m bullish", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "camrinneiss", "ret_m1d": 0.030459144142203298, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.030459144142203298, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03326163455832609, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03326163455832609, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0023428776737797197, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0023428776737797197, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0014239890853322557, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0014239890853322557, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "ret_p1w": 0.007966203994119958, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.007966203994119958, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.00398227738829271, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.00398227738829271, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "ret_p1m": 0.15147261902066878, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.15147261902066878, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11624481227809946, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11624481227809946, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "ret_p3m": 0.2539621524752751, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2539621524752751, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.21065816786312186, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.21065816786312186, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "ret_p6m": 0.211286835557847, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.211286835557847, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2215038419697889, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2215038419697889, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "price_path": [0.0495, 0.0569, 0.0569, 0.0541, 0.0546, 0.0609, 0.082, 0.0698, 0.0042, -0.0305, -0.053, -0.0469, -0.0539, -0.0333, -0.0291, -0.0333, -0.0506, -0.0319, -0.044, -0.0694, -0.0783, -0.0881, -0.1172, -0.0853, -0.0867, -0.0604, -0.0581, -0.0722, -0.0769, -0.0422, -0.0089, -0.0216, -0.0305, -0.0201, -0.0295, -0.0276, -0.0066, 0.0037, 0.0075, 0.0112, 0.045, 0.0159, 0.0314, 0.0314, 0.06, 0.0586, 0.1214, 0.1153, 0.1312, 0.1293, 0.1279, 0.1354, 0.0731, 0.1209, 0.0609, 0.0689, 0.0787, 0.0431, 0.0595, 0.0712, 0.0717, 0.0394, 0.0305, 0.0, 0.0023, 0.0145, 0.0187, 0.0117, 0.008, -0.0127, -0.0228, -0.0356, -0.0696, -0.0266, -0.0256, -0.0044, -0.0247, 0.0202, 0.0381, 0.048, 0.024, 0.0877, 0.108, 0.1274, 0.1515, 0.1189, 0.0981, 0.0792, 0.0773, 0.0584, 0.1066, 0.0759, 0.108, 0.1378, 0.1345, 0.1765, 0.1472, 0.1406, 0.1227, 0.1264, 0.109, 0.0891, 0.1789, 0.1689, 0.2563, 0.3002, 0.3002, 0.2785, 0.2988, 0.2686, 0.2681, 0.2521, 0.2544, 0.2053, 0.2351, 0.2606, 0.2629, 0.244, 0.2667, 0.278, 0.2842, 0.2884, 0.3234, 0.2823, 0.2455, 0.254, 0.254, 0.2365, 0.2285, 0.2233, 0.2091, 0.2091, 0.1897, 0.2015, 0.2776, 0.2645, 0.3505, 0.3458, 0.3182, 0.3035, 0.2664, 0.2963, 0.2702, 0.2702, 0.245, 0.2897, 0.293, 0.2878, 0.2674, 0.2735, 0.2821, 0.3163, 0.3296, 0.3624, 0.3467, 0.3786, 0.3401, 0.3843, 0.3149, 0.3154, 0.3049, 0.2921, 0.3149, 0.3149, 0.3116, 0.3315, 0.341, 0.3672, 0.2849, 0.2949, 0.2916, 0.3439, 0.3325, 0.3377, 0.2949, 0.3182, 0.2925, 0.1063, 0.0858, 0.0991, 0.1186, 0.0991, 0.1044, 0.1091, 0.1334, 0.1419, 0.1443, 0.1362, 0.1737, 0.2113]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2009275961003426050", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-08T14:48:14+00:00", "symbol": "AIRO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I personally plan to hold them until EOY in my 10x potential basket", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Holding both AIRO and OSS until EOY in a 10x-potential basket on $1.5T defense spending tailwinds.", "resolved_tickers": ["AIRO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "A tale of two Department of War stocks $AIRO | $OSS.\n\nInformation discovery pays dividends if you couple that with the $1.5T Defense spending tailwinds. \n\nBoth up 50%+ since posting a few days ago. I personally plan to hold them until EOY in my 10x potential basket. https://t.co/7N0ExxEq8c", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I've initiated a position in $OSS.\n\nI usually never say this but, this one is exciting.\n\nMarkets completely missed this 155M MC Drone Swarm, Ghost Fleet, USVs, Edge AI deploying US DoD contractor. \n\nAnd they especially missed OSS’s involvement in the Venezuela's invasion, that https://t.co/fUBFa0gy8D", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.10125523493388089, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10125523493388089, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.10135677792579889, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09376318024913266, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0001015429919180022, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007492054684748228, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.045188282047866846, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.045188282047866846, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03857493965377423, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03420006892435645, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006613342394092614, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010988213123510393, "ret_p1w": 0.10460251212981975, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10460251212981975, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10064322305857942, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06957730216781255, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003959289071240324, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0350252099620072, "ret_p1m": -0.1933053977248922, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1933053977248922, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19491517368767775, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2745314682753366, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0016097759627855535, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0812260705504444, "ret_p3m": -0.2686192543415924, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2686192543415924, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.22730048781200873, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2971614386228465, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04131876652958366, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0285421842812541, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.5523, 0.6803, 0.6326, 0.5732, 0.4644, 0.5289, 0.5046, 0.431, 0.4435, 0.4628, 0.4502, 0.4075, 0.4059, 0.3682, 0.369, 0.3623, 0.1941, 0.1879, 0.0979, 0.1272, 0.1548, 0.1406, 0.1188, 0.0669, -0.1548, -0.1356, -0.1749, -0.2577, -0.3423, -0.3314, -0.3414, -0.3439, -0.3105, -0.3105, -0.2762, -0.3146, -0.3071, -0.2678, -0.1975, -0.2067, -0.1874, -0.1967, -0.1862, -0.1883, -0.2887, -0.3339, -0.3565, -0.3799, -0.3791, -0.328, -0.2385, -0.2301, -0.2176, -0.2176, -0.2686, -0.3054, -0.318, -0.3155, -0.3155, -0.2268, -0.1531, -0.0669, -0.1013, 0.0, 0.0452, 0.0444, 0.0778, 0.1071, 0.1046, 0.1188, 0.1188, 0.0653, 0.0184, 0.0485, 0.0201, -0.0418, -0.0209, -0.0502, -0.0862, -0.1389, -0.159, -0.1473, -0.2008, -0.2904, -0.1933, -0.1548, -0.2025, -0.2293, -0.2377, -0.2301, -0.2301, -0.2343, -0.2167, -0.1456, -0.2209, -0.1925, -0.1573, -0.1715, -0.149, -0.1799, -0.1046, -0.1582, -0.1565, -0.1431, -0.1565, -0.1172, -0.1021, -0.1213, -0.149, -0.1808, -0.1573, -0.1113, -0.1649, -0.1665, -0.2318, -0.1841, -0.205, -0.2117, -0.2418, -0.282, -0.2828, -0.3636, -0.3121, -0.2711, -0.2711, -0.2678, -0.2686, -0.2619, -0.3238, -0.3406, -0.3423, -0.3238, -0.3004, -0.2762, -0.3247, -0.2812, -0.2971, -0.272, -0.3096, -0.3364, -0.3121, -0.3339, -0.3724, -0.3607, -0.3791, -0.3941, -0.4017, -0.3782, -0.3958, -0.3858, -0.3364, -0.3448, -0.3448, -0.4464, -0.4669, -0.4971, -0.5105, -0.4996, -0.4762, -0.451, -0.451, -0.4142, -0.39, -0.2561, -0.2485, -0.2485, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2009275961003426050", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-08T14:48:14+00:00", "symbol": "OSS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I personally plan to hold them until EOY in my 10x potential basket", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Holding both AIRO and OSS until EOY in a 10x-potential basket on $1.5T defense spending tailwinds.", "resolved_tickers": ["OSS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "A tale of two Department of War stocks $AIRO | $OSS.\n\nInformation discovery pays dividends if you couple that with the $1.5T Defense spending tailwinds. \n\nBoth up 50%+ since posting a few days ago. I personally plan to hold them until EOY in my 10x potential basket. https://t.co/7N0ExxEq8c", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I've initiated a position in $OSS.\n\nI usually never say this but, this one is exciting.\n\nMarkets completely missed this 155M MC Drone Swarm, Ghost Fleet, USVs, Edge AI deploying US DoD contractor. \n\nAnd they especially missed OSS’s involvement in the Venezuela's invasion, that https://t.co/fUBFa0gy8D", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.10466440048766501, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10466440048766501, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.10476594347958301, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.10476594347958301, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0001015429919180022, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0001015429919180022, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08191129353281867, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08191129353281867, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08852463592691129, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.08852463592691129, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006613342394092614, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006613342394092614, "ret_p1w": 0.23435727287334696, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.23435727287334696, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.23039798380210663, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.23039798380210663, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003959289071240324, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003959289071240324, "ret_p1m": 0.05119451777224726, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05119451777224726, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04958474180946171, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04958474180946171, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0016097759627855535, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0016097759627855535, "ret_p3m": -0.13310581130506582, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.13310581130506582, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09178704477548216, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09178704477548216, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04131876652958366, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04131876652958366, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3276, -0.3072, -0.2833, -0.3618, -0.4107, -0.3936, -0.3982, -0.4323, -0.4152, -0.4061, -0.4005, -0.4243, -0.4187, -0.4357, -0.4312, -0.4164, -0.463, -0.3447, -0.3925, -0.4096, -0.3823, -0.3618, -0.3697, -0.413, -0.4187, -0.4619, -0.4585, -0.4858, -0.5063, -0.4926, -0.4721, -0.4755, -0.3231, -0.3231, -0.3072, -0.3265, -0.3094, -0.2981, -0.2537, -0.2059, -0.1615, -0.1388, -0.1206, -0.1081, -0.1388, -0.2207, -0.2059, -0.2287, -0.1843, -0.1638, -0.1741, -0.157, -0.1775, -0.1775, -0.182, -0.19, -0.1866, -0.1832, -0.1832, -0.2264, -0.215, -0.2673, -0.1047, 0.0, -0.0819, 0.1889, 0.2856, 0.3299, 0.2344, 0.2127, 0.2127, 0.2264, 0.3276, 0.2901, 0.2059, 0.1513, 0.1957, 0.1786, 0.2082, 0.1251, 0.0865, 0.0853, 0.0193, -0.0842, 0.0512, 0.0978, 0.083, 0.0751, -0.0273, -0.0102, -0.0102, -0.058, -0.0501, 0.1991, 0.1058, 0.0319, 0.0466, 0.0296, 0.0387, -0.0609, -0.0188, -0.0569, -0.0455, -0.0353, -0.0432, 0.0125, 0.0728, 0.1274, 0.1547, 0.1468, 0.1615, 0.2162, 0.2787, 0.1684, 0.0034, 0.0478, 0.0284, 0.033, -0.0284, -0.128, -0.1797, -0.1388, -0.1741, -0.1308, -0.1308, -0.1217, -0.1331, -0.0933, -0.1092, -0.1126, 0.008, -0.0034, 0.1183, 0.1104, 0.1286, 0.1513, 0.1297, 0.1832, 0.1126, 0.1047, 0.132, 0.0546, 0.0, 0.0796, 0.1411, 0.1104, 0.1115, 0.744, 0.7179, 0.7838, 0.8111, 0.7691, 0.8043, 0.9613, 0.8737, 0.8191, 0.7531, 0.785, 0.8783, 1.0284, 1.0284, 0.9841, 0.9977, 1.0375, 1.0683, 1.0683, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1988537251530469620", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-12T09:20:00+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we would now get an 1Y PT: ~$355.00/share (+248.04%) off Nebius's earnings report with $7-9B ARR projected", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Mechanically extrapolates Northland's model using new $7-9B ARR guidance to derive a ~$355 PT (+248%) for NBIS.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Northland announced a $NBIS $205 price target off the assumption of $2-4B ARR for CY2026 back in September.\n\nFrom their same economics used, we would now get an 1Y PT:\n\n~$355.00/share (+248.04%)\n\noff Nebius's earnings report with $7-9B ARR projected \n\nHere's the updated metrics:\n\nNorthland Capital Markets 09/24/2025 report, their CY2026 scenario assumed:\n\nARR: raised from $2-4B\nRevenue: $2.3B\nAdjusted EBITDA: $907M\nEV/Sales multiple: 23.8× for the core AIaaS business.\nShares outstanding: ~290 M\nEquity value per share: $205PT\n\nNew Nebius fundamentals (Q3 2025 release):\n\nCY2026 ARR ≈ $8 B (midpoint), Revenue ≈ $4.6 B, and proportional EBITDA scaing (~$1.8 B).\n\nKeeping their EV/Sales ≈ 23.8×, new core EV ≈ $4.6 B × 23.8 = $109 B. Add the subsidiaries (≈ $7 B total from Northland’s sum of parts) and net cash (~$0.7 B) -> total equity ≈ $117 B → ~$355 PT\n\nIt's a mechanical extrapolation assuming valuation multiples for their analysis, not the analyst updated PT that might change based on dilution/execution risks, etc. \n\n2-3x of $NBIS CY2026 ARR from the analyst's 2-B estimate to the new management guidance midpoint of $8.0 billion mechanically drives the valuation higher\n\nThe updated price target is based on a re-run of the DCF model.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Takeaway from $NBIS earnings so far: \n\nAbsolute. Blowout. Earnings. \n\n$3B $META deal + Cursor new Enterprise clients on top of $17B with $MSFT just 2 months ago. \n\n$7-9B ARR projection is enormous and blew away any expectation.\n\n Insanely Strong Buy $116 (including the ATM). https://t.co/AxWshJhAgJ", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0832980135598822, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0832980135598822, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.083854192531305, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07748515706567716, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005561789714227938, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005812856494205043, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06072491860820306, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06072491860820306, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04413089862797648, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04654488419080138, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.016594019980226582, "bench_c_p1d": -0.014180034417401677, "ret_p1w": 0.007524364983892973, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.007524364983892973, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03788821579391388, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.028221942929920973, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03036385081002091, "bench_c_p1w": -0.020697577946028, "ret_p1m": -0.0008478362710598875, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0008478362710598875, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.009320313900171073, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02964823305990516, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008472477629111186, "bench_c_p1m": 0.028800396788845273, "ret_p3m": -0.01568464759813948, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.01568464759813948, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03415244818606167, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.048434132168942434, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01846780058792219, "bench_c_p3m": 0.032749484570802956, "ret_p6m": 0.9581390745793523, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.9581390745793523, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.8815117682936946, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.9176618377965287, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07662730628565773, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04047723678282367, "price_path": [-0.241, -0.2312, -0.2879, -0.285, -0.2986, -0.269, -0.2579, -0.2531, -0.2571, -0.2365, -0.276, -0.276, -0.3035, -0.3043, -0.3121, -0.3062, -0.3211, 0.0144, -0.0103, -0.0548, -0.0419, -0.036, -0.0522, -0.003, -0.0025, 0.0525, 0.1297, 0.1424, 0.2, 0.1439, 0.1414, 0.1681, 0.1898, 0.2252, 0.3339, 0.3563, 0.3241, 0.2474, 0.2929, 0.4057, 0.3733, 0.4356, 0.3581, 0.3335, 0.3039, 0.2022, 0.1552, 0.1051, 0.0451, 0.1251, 0.2427, 0.3293, 0.2911, 0.3258, 0.316, 0.3864, 0.2767, 0.1715, 0.2399, 0.1598, 0.1793, 0.1652, 0.0833, 0.0, -0.0607, -0.1147, -0.0888, -0.0405, 0.0075, -0.103, -0.1176, -0.0261, -0.0581, 0.0035, 0.0035, 0.0054, 0.0614, 0.0221, 0.0483, 0.0894, 0.039, 0.0633, 0.0217, -0.0082, -0.0008, -0.0707, -0.1401, -0.1421, -0.2004, -0.1724, -0.0519, -0.012, -0.0459, -0.0342, -0.0342, -0.0717, -0.0882, -0.0974, -0.1129, -0.1129, -0.0467, -0.0162, 0.0623, 0.0196, 0.0312, 0.0378, 0.1375, 0.1173, 0.0808, 0.1009, 0.1523, 0.1523, 0.0522, 0.0478, 0.0264, 0.0015, -0.0307, 0.0372, 0.0643, 0.0058, -0.0972, -0.0657, -0.0467, -0.1269, -0.2171, -0.0875, -0.0157, -0.0272, -0.0609, -0.0491, 0.0387, 0.0387, 0.0335, 0.0788, 0.1404, 0.0377, 0.0662, 0.0871, 0.1246, 0.1115, -0.0336, -0.0355, -0.0801, 0.0362, 0.0137, -0.0533, 0.0061, 0.0219, 0.1869, 0.145, 0.197, 0.3761, 0.2328, 0.2565, 0.2878, 0.2465, 0.2097, 0.2178, 0.2197, 0.123, 0.0685, -0.0223, 0.0996, 0.0804, 0.1532, 0.1532, 0.1927, 0.2442, 0.3247, 0.4448, 0.5364, 0.638, 0.7162, 0.7674, 0.7522, 0.6653, 0.6867, 0.6591, 0.6547, 0.6647, 0.5596, 0.5362, 0.4361, 0.4963, 0.4649, 0.6372, 0.8696, 0.8643, 1.0675, 0.9581]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2004730915747217784", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-27T01:47:51+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the Western AI buildout might be held at choke point by an obscure $700m company like $AXTI and $SMTOY... two companies hold all the cards", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AXTI and SMTOY as the two chokepoint suppliers of InP substrates for AI photonics/optical interconnects; single point of failure for 1.6T networking buildout.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "That’s what’s so incredibly alarming, that the Western AI buildout might be held at choke point by an obscure $700m company like $AXTI and $SMTOY.\n\nInP substrates were incredibly niche for telecom, but it’s suddenly a national security emergency as it became the material used for the world’s lasers and optional interconnects. \n\nI’m not quite sure the top level vendors realized this or at least didn’t realize the scale of this issue (eg. Signing agreements with $LITE without going deeper into the material suppliers for Lite), as the supply chain is incredibly becoming choke pointed by two companies. \n\nGoogle’s TPU v7 ramp for example placed an unprecedented strain/dependency on the InP supply chain that simply didn't exist a few months ago, since they use OCS for their chip pods, which is almost all in on photonics. \n\nAs we’ve hit the upper limits with copper, the AI industry's reliance on AXTI is essentially a \"single point of failure” on some small cap that supplies the materials for everything.\n\nI’m not looking at revenue numbers here, this dependency is just absurd, the 1.6T networking just breaks.\n\nI’m not sure where companies go from here, I’m sure they’ll try and hoard materials or secure multi-year agreements but either way two companies hold all the cards.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit for being so essential $AXTI hardly pulls any revenues", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Buncahn", "ret_m1d": 0.053461255984486034, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.053461255984486034, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04988488291347637, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.048930919268866724, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003576373071009664, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00453033671561931, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0829335178541688, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0829335178541688, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08415461858875106, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08540460299076469, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012211007345822589, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0024710851365958852, "ret_p1w": 0.14256339286858166, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.14256339286858166, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14275237698110377, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10582633129221697, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0001889841125221059, "bench_c_p1w": 0.036737061576364693, "ret_p1m": 0.17888969040816738, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.17888969040816738, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1677826029700944, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.060716082998414356, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011107087438072982, "bench_c_p1m": 0.11817360740975302, "ret_p3m": 3.010280857410069, "ret_signed_p3m": 3.010280857410069, "alpha_spy_p3m": 3.069884257700485, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.9646203723246023, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.05960340029041622, "bench_c_p3m": 0.045660485085466496, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6635, -0.6779, -0.6484, -0.6299, -0.6361, -0.6361, -0.6415, -0.7238, -0.6847, -0.6868, -0.6854, -0.6621, -0.6909, -0.6635, -0.6456, -0.6614, -0.645, -0.5846, -0.5757, -0.5476, -0.5154, -0.4983, -0.4551, -0.4202, -0.4147, -0.3763, -0.392, -0.3516, -0.2844, -0.2762, -0.2474, -0.2844, -0.2844, -0.2975, -0.3215, -0.3071, -0.3523, -0.3879, -0.3598, -0.3674, -0.2838, -0.2838, -0.2666, -0.2605, -0.194, -0.2132, -0.1707, -0.2063, -0.1289, 0.0254, 0.0631, 0.1227, 0.0151, 0.0164, -0.109, -0.1528, -0.0398, 0.0041, 0.0432, 0.0034, 0.0288, 0.0288, 0.0535, 0.0, 0.0829, 0.1206, 0.1206, 0.1487, 0.1426, 0.3825, 0.6525, 0.7704, 0.5757, 0.5243, 0.4743, 0.5147, 0.7629, 0.5141, 0.5141, 0.4674, 0.3557, 0.2282, 0.1926, 0.22, 0.1789, 0.1535, 0.1227, 0.2707, 0.4352, 0.353, 0.2851, 0.4003, 0.6491, 0.9034, 0.669, 0.8369, 0.6991, 0.6614, 0.6614, 0.5908, 0.6134, 0.6319, 1.0343, 0.9486, 1.4044, 1.8081, 1.5442, 1.5977, 2.1748, 1.8622, 1.682, 1.6594, 1.2186, 1.6429, 2.0363, 2.2461, 2.2029, 2.3489, 2.3167, 2.0404, 2.342, 2.9815, 2.7176, 3.4167, 3.6909, 3.6162, 3.0103, 3.1556, 2.6141, 2.9054, 2.231, 2.6217, 2.6217, 1.878, 2.1158, 2.645, 3.3263, 3.3989, 3.5545, 3.6127, 3.3132, 4.6052, 4.6587, 4.3982, 4.1385, 4.9589, 4.159, 4.22, 3.8081, 3.7094, 3.8711, 4.4297, 5.5798, 6.2653, 6.3715, 6.1851, 6.4311, 6.9753, 7.623, 7.4236, 7.3578, 6.8807, 7.4839, 6.257, 6.7368, 6.17, 7.2947, 8.6525, 8.6525, 8.0884, 7.4147, 6.9301, 6.0706, 6.0706, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2004730915747217784", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-27T01:47:51+00:00", "symbol": "SMTOY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the Western AI buildout might be held at choke point by an obscure $700m company like $AXTI and $SMTOY... two companies hold all the cards", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AXTI and SMTOY as the two chokepoint suppliers of InP substrates for AI photonics/optical interconnects; single point of failure for 1.6T networking buildout.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMTOY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Parts'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Parts", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "That’s what’s so incredibly alarming, that the Western AI buildout might be held at choke point by an obscure $700m company like $AXTI and $SMTOY.\n\nInP substrates were incredibly niche for telecom, but it’s suddenly a national security emergency as it became the material used for the world’s lasers and optional interconnects. \n\nI’m not quite sure the top level vendors realized this or at least didn’t realize the scale of this issue (eg. Signing agreements with $LITE without going deeper into the material suppliers for Lite), as the supply chain is incredibly becoming choke pointed by two companies. \n\nGoogle’s TPU v7 ramp for example placed an unprecedented strain/dependency on the InP supply chain that simply didn't exist a few months ago, since they use OCS for their chip pods, which is almost all in on photonics. \n\nAs we’ve hit the upper limits with copper, the AI industry's reliance on AXTI is essentially a \"single point of failure” on some small cap that supplies the materials for everything.\n\nI’m not looking at revenue numbers here, this dependency is just absurd, the 1.6T networking just breaks.\n\nI’m not sure where companies go from here, I’m sure they’ll try and hoard materials or secure multi-year agreements but either way two companies hold all the cards.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit for being so essential $AXTI hardly pulls any revenues", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Buncahn", "ret_m1d": -0.010583320055908785, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010583320055908785, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014159693126918449, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.020513043659877384, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003576373071009664, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009929723603968599, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005660830327095967, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005660830327095967, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004439729592513708, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00160625012094473, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012211007345822589, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004054580206151237, "ret_p1w": 0.05906959507970733, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05906959507970733, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05925857919222943, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06362068676922861, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0001889841125221059, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0045510916895212805, "ret_p1m": 0.09229633033268225, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09229633033268225, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08118924289460927, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0770708427010307, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011107087438072982, "bench_c_p1m": 0.015225487631651546, "ret_p3m": 0.43514643958624766, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.43514643958624766, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4947498398766639, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5327995387977692, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.05960340029041622, "bench_c_p3m": -0.09765309921152154, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3084, -0.3008, -0.2968, -0.2791, -0.2749, -0.2641, -0.257, -0.2897, -0.2801, -0.2926, -0.2759, -0.2638, -0.2594, -0.2488, -0.2653, -0.2825, -0.2582, -0.2555, -0.235, -0.225, -0.1971, -0.1479, -0.0967, -0.0911, -0.0396, -0.0418, -0.017, -0.0615, -0.0295, -0.0581, -0.0468, -0.016, 0.0017, 0.0192, -0.0625, -0.0564, -0.0305, -0.0881, -0.0864, -0.0357, -0.0386, -0.0386, -0.0342, 0.0071, 0.0406, 0.0829, 0.0549, 0.0628, 0.0908, 0.1186, 0.1009, 0.0743, 0.0251, 0.0473, -0.0111, -0.0121, -0.0281, 0.0052, 0.0566, 0.0445, 0.0303, 0.0303, -0.0106, 0.0, -0.0057, -0.0185, -0.0185, 0.0074, 0.0591, 0.0145, 0.0389, 0.0064, 0.0148, 0.0377, 0.0094, -0.0017, 0.0325, 0.0524, 0.0524, 0.0098, 0.0539, 0.0477, 0.0317, 0.0359, 0.0923, 0.13, 0.1058, 0.0765, 0.1036, 0.177, 0.2373, 0.1538, 0.2309, 0.3488, 0.3862, 0.4187, 0.3982, 0.4, 0.4, 0.41, 0.411, 0.4612, 0.5516, 0.5769, 0.7167, 0.7376, 0.5936, 0.6288, 0.6911, 0.6441, 0.6365, 0.5161, 0.4871, 0.4984, 0.5826, 0.6377, 0.5777, 0.5929, 0.6111, 0.4876, 0.4977, 0.5353, 0.4551, 0.4989, 0.5198, 0.5786, 0.4351, 0.4108, 0.3286, 0.3586, 0.4799, 0.4595, 0.4595, 0.4777, 0.4351, 0.6458, 0.6323, 0.6761, 0.5757, 0.5855, 0.4792, 0.5752, 0.5796, 0.5636, 0.5619, 0.6862, 0.57, 0.5727, 0.5279, 0.5336, 0.5356, 0.654, 0.5681, 0.5653, 0.6035, 0.6921, 0.7467, 0.8132, 0.8341, 0.7657, 1.0086, 0.8949, 0.7256, 0.7347, 0.6643, 0.6864, 0.7384, 0.8169, 0.8169, 0.8661, 0.874, 0.8806, 0.9134, 0.9134, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2003132436230844831", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-22T15:56:03+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LITE is incredible after seeing how it's in every single ASIC + $NVDA blackwell deployments. Then once you do BOM analysis and model TPU/GPU deployments, it looks undervalued even at ATHs.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long LITE (undervalued even at ATHs on ASIC/Blackwell BOM) and LITE-like AAOI (levered to AMZN/MSFT ASICs, sole US InP fab, $2.5B MC) into 2026 photonics cycle.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yeah $LITE is incredible after seeing how it's in every single ASIC + $NVDA blackwell deployments. \n\nThen once you do BOM analysis and model TPU/GPU deployments, it looks undervalued even at ATHs.\n\nThen there's $AAOI, which is similar to LITE but levered toward AMZN | MSFT ASICs. It's one of the only InP Fabs in US and will scale up depending on how Trainium and Maia do. It's a $2.5B MC too. \n\nPhotonics/Memory is going to be extremely crazy in 2026.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Great note on Lumentum.\n\nI'm taking a deeper dive, but i'm already sold. \n\n$LITE", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "i_Drohi", "ret_m1d": -0.04732228371797842, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04732228371797842, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04113096270264427, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04113096270264427, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006335285702701143, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006335285702701143, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010905740521134022, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010905740521134022, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "ret_p1w": -0.044295730263061106, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.044295730263061106, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04870550153834863, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04870550153834863, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "ret_p1m": -0.08476971862273575, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08476971862273575, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07418310393722505, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07418310393722505, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "ret_p3m": 0.9804298635804474, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.9804298635804474, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.016979113890733, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.016979113890733, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6082, -0.5919, -0.5877, -0.583, -0.5827, -0.5604, -0.5646, -0.5798, -0.5881, -0.5969, -0.5817, -0.5902, -0.6163, -0.5882, -0.5979, -0.5984, -0.5813, -0.5774, -0.5871, -0.5821, -0.5946, -0.5678, -0.5401, -0.5029, -0.4912, -0.4504, -0.4867, -0.483, -0.4881, -0.5169, -0.403, -0.3852, -0.3841, -0.3334, -0.3524, -0.349, -0.4181, -0.4046, -0.3791, -0.3654, -0.3102, -0.4018, -0.3444, -0.2322, -0.2529, -0.2093, -0.2093, -0.166, -0.1845, -0.2233, -0.2229, -0.1591, -0.15, -0.1214, -0.0758, -0.0612, -0.0456, -0.1681, -0.1416, -0.1891, -0.1786, -0.1353, -0.0473, 0.0, -0.0063, 0.0155, 0.0155, 0.0023, -0.0443, -0.048, -0.0546, -0.0546, -0.0097, -0.0842, 0.0193, 0.0077, -0.1068, -0.0986, -0.1283, -0.0732, -0.1494, -0.1195, -0.1683, -0.1683, -0.0848, -0.0704, -0.0908, -0.13, -0.1473, -0.0493, -0.0125, -0.0216, 0.005, 0.086, 0.116, 0.1941, 0.2938, 0.4158, 0.4803, 0.4392, 0.4725, 0.4965, 0.4434, 0.4434, 0.54, 0.5242, 0.6303, 0.7128, 0.7306, 0.7653, 0.8554, 0.7364, 0.7978, 1.009, 0.7811, 0.7462, 0.6693, 0.4323, 0.6433, 0.7236, 0.7236, 0.5802, 0.5966, 0.6026, 0.6661, 0.7975, 0.9804, 0.8117, 0.8697, 1.057, 0.9934, 0.7667, 0.8024, 0.6795, 0.8025, 0.9612, 1.1209, 1.1209, 0.9808, 1.0923, 1.2982, 1.2933, 1.3015, 1.2345, 1.1873, 1.1135, 1.2859, 1.2932, 1.2959, 1.1466, 1.2407, 1.1722, 1.2613, 1.205, 1.0298, 1.2015, 1.3144, 1.4365, 1.5038, 1.5509, 1.422, 1.2894, 1.3181, 1.7011, 1.5453, 1.6428, 1.5695, 1.4897, 1.2699, 1.283, 1.2265, 1.4738, 1.4287, 1.4287, 1.3361, 1.3143, 1.2074, 1.1929, 1.1929, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2003132436230844831", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-22T15:56:03+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI, which is similar to LITE but levered toward AMZN | MSFT ASICs. It's one of the only InP Fabs in US and will scale up depending on how Trainium and Maia do. It's a $2.5B MC too.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long LITE (undervalued even at ATHs on ASIC/Blackwell BOM) and LITE-like AAOI (levered to AMZN/MSFT ASICs, sole US InP fab, $2.5B MC) into 2026 photonics cycle.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yeah $LITE is incredible after seeing how it's in every single ASIC + $NVDA blackwell deployments. \n\nThen once you do BOM analysis and model TPU/GPU deployments, it looks undervalued even at ATHs.\n\nThen there's $AAOI, which is similar to LITE but levered toward AMZN | MSFT ASICs. It's one of the only InP Fabs in US and will scale up depending on how Trainium and Maia do. It's a $2.5B MC too. \n\nPhotonics/Memory is going to be extremely crazy in 2026.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Great note on Lumentum.\n\nI'm taking a deeper dive, but i'm already sold. \n\n$LITE", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "i_Drohi", "ret_m1d": -0.19887456920609026, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.19887456920609026, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1926832481907561, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1926832481907561, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03951907202210658, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03951907202210658, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.034948617203673704, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.034948617203673704, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "ret_p1w": -0.059982124248184165, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.059982124248184165, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06439189552347169, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06439189552347169, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "ret_p1m": 0.0042204142646937726, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0042204142646937726, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.01480702895020447, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01480702895020447, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "ret_p3m": 1.6069828619156716, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.6069828619156716, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.643532112225957, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.643532112225957, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3173, -0.3263, -0.3408, -0.3365, -0.3367, -0.2731, -0.2843, -0.2856, -0.1357, -0.1985, -0.1759, -0.172, -0.3055, -0.2557, -0.2715, -0.1572, -0.2035, -0.1835, -0.1267, -0.1457, -0.2333, -0.1968, -0.1301, -0.048, -0.0569, -0.0925, -0.103, -0.0904, -0.1549, -0.2454, -0.194, -0.2557, -0.2692, -0.3498, -0.3925, -0.3876, -0.4651, -0.451, -0.4467, -0.4657, -0.4662, -0.5015, -0.4736, -0.4252, -0.4186, -0.346, -0.346, -0.315, -0.3214, -0.3344, -0.3439, -0.3288, -0.3199, -0.2879, -0.2229, -0.1053, -0.071, -0.1799, -0.2352, -0.2592, -0.3058, -0.2518, -0.1989, 0.0, 0.0395, 0.0487, 0.0487, -0.0492, -0.06, -0.0787, -0.1083, -0.1083, 0.0129, -0.105, -0.0124, -0.0266, -0.1556, -0.1293, -0.1375, -0.1257, -0.1183, -0.0536, -0.0526, -0.0526, 0.0042, -0.0183, -0.0242, -0.0863, -0.1076, -0.0436, 0.1569, 0.0121, 0.1155, 0.1296, 0.1797, 0.0206, -0.0247, 0.1331, 0.2255, 0.2403, 0.238, 0.1252, 0.1372, 0.1372, 0.1232, 0.1111, 0.2017, 0.3219, 0.3802, 0.4393, 0.4866, 0.3733, 1.1545, 1.6221, 1.4387, 1.5505, 1.587, 1.4448, 1.8295, 2.082, 2.2488, 1.7162, 1.4763, 1.4062, 1.2082, 1.3694, 1.607, 1.2392, 1.4494, 1.9134, 1.9265, 1.4919, 1.5121, 1.1791, 1.1637, 1.2087, 1.6579, 1.6579, 1.7484, 2.0091, 2.3943, 2.4096, 2.8522, 2.9184, 2.7445, 2.6462, 3.024, 3.0778, 3.1814, 2.8514, 2.822, 2.523, 3.1481, 2.7289, 2.5109, 2.9092, 3.2041, 3.694, 3.4246, 3.6187, 3.5668, 3.0299, 2.8097, 3.7295, 3.816, 4.7066, 4.2071, 3.8692, 3.4318, 3.3824, 3.2271, 3.5226, 3.6423, 3.6423, 3.5433, 3.5998, 3.3233, 3.0519, 3.0519, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2003440559772540989", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-23T12:20:26+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI is just a levered long in Trainium and Maia... Esp with rumors $AAOI co-developing by new architecture with Microsoft, they'll likely scale up together... whenever those two kick into gear, we'll likely see more things be re-rated", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long AAOI as levered play on AWS Trainium/Maia + alleged Microsoft ASIC co-development; re-rating seen as inevitable when production ramps EOY 2026–2027.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Uhh $AAOI is just a levered long in Trainium and Maia, since they’re not involved in TPU/Blackwell unlike $LITE from public info.\n\nMaia was pushed backed to 2026, with ramp up in likely EOY into 2027. \n\nEsp with rumors $AAOI co-developing by new architecture with Microsoft, they’ll likely scale up together.\n\nAnyway whenever those two kick into gear, we’ll likely see more things be re-rated. It seems more of an inevitability given every hyperscaler wants their on asic. But main thing is production ramp/execution on the $AAOI side.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thanks for the analysis..so very long $AAOI?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Neon68", "ret_m1d": -0.03801668779893841, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03801668779893841, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03346702699962789, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03346702699962789, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004549660799310518, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004549660799310518, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008858282868066558, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008858282868066558, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005340662562534071, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005340662562534071, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0035176203055324873, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0035176203055324873, "ret_p1w": -0.11368107778716019, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11368107778716019, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11230021988314987, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11230021988314987, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0013808579040103242, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0013808579040103242, "ret_p1m": -0.05561019575479753, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05561019575479753, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05188903190562544, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05188903190562544, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0037211638491720933, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0037211638491720933, "ret_p3m": 1.1540354879489731, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.1540354879489731, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.2087170873101596, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.2087170873101596, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.05468159936118644, "bench_c_p3m": -0.05468159936118644, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3519, -0.3659, -0.3617, -0.362, -0.3007, -0.3115, -0.3127, -0.1686, -0.229, -0.2072, -0.2035, -0.3319, -0.284, -0.2992, -0.1892, -0.2338, -0.2146, -0.1599, -0.1781, -0.2624, -0.2274, -0.1631, -0.0842, -0.0928, -0.127, -0.1371, -0.125, -0.187, -0.2741, -0.2247, -0.284, -0.297, -0.3745, -0.4156, -0.4109, -0.4855, -0.4718, -0.4678, -0.486, -0.4865, -0.5204, -0.4936, -0.4471, -0.4407, -0.3708, -0.3708, -0.341, -0.3472, -0.3597, -0.3688, -0.3543, -0.3457, -0.315, -0.2525, -0.1393, -0.1063, -0.2111, -0.2643, -0.2874, -0.3322, -0.2803, -0.2293, -0.038, 0.0, 0.0089, 0.0089, -0.0854, -0.0957, -0.1137, -0.1422, -0.1422, -0.0256, -0.139, -0.05, -0.0636, -0.1877, -0.1624, -0.1703, -0.159, -0.1518, -0.0896, -0.0886, -0.0886, -0.034, -0.0556, -0.0613, -0.1211, -0.1415, -0.08, 0.1129, -0.0263, 0.0731, 0.0866, 0.1348, -0.0182, -0.0618, 0.0901, 0.1789, 0.1932, 0.1909, 0.0824, 0.094, 0.094, 0.0805, 0.0689, 0.156, 0.2717, 0.3278, 0.3846, 0.4301, 0.3211, 1.0726, 1.5224, 1.346, 1.4535, 1.4887, 1.3519, 1.7219, 1.9648, 2.1252, 1.6129, 1.3821, 1.3147, 1.1243, 1.2793, 1.5079, 1.154, 1.3563, 1.8027, 1.8152, 1.3971, 1.4166, 1.0962, 1.0814, 1.1248, 1.5568, 1.5568, 1.6439, 1.8947, 2.2653, 2.28, 2.7057, 2.7694, 2.6021, 2.5076, 2.8711, 2.9227, 3.0224, 2.705, 2.6767, 2.389, 2.9904, 2.5871, 2.3775, 2.7606, 3.0443, 3.5155, 3.2564, 3.4432, 3.3932, 2.8767, 2.6649, 3.5497, 3.6329, 4.4897, 4.0091, 3.6841, 3.2633, 3.2158, 3.0664, 3.3506, 3.4658, 3.4658, 3.3706, 3.425, 3.159, 2.8979, 2.8979, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972339422277615780", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-28T16:35:37+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$80 is an extremely conservative price target given how fast $IREN and these neoclouds are growing. I'd expect $NBIS at least to double to $225+ so IREN would likely hit $80 before end of year.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "IREN to hit $80 before year-end (conservative); NBIS to double to $225+ on neocloud growth.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@95jG5OcU2mL0OCK $80 is an extremely conservative price target given how fast $IREN and these neoclouds are growing.\n\nI'd expect $NBIS at least to double to $225+ so IREN would likely hit $80 before end of year.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thank u for sharing！Do u think iren will reach 80 dollars at the end of2026？", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "95jG5OcU2mL0OCK", "ret_m1d": -0.08861309966866204, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08861309966866204, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08581060925253925, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08362508350331566, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004988016165346387, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.021772261993373343, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.021772261993373343, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.018005395234261368, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.026575534186569327, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004803272193195984, "ret_p1w": 0.2573481301173046, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2573481301173046, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.24539964873489195, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2652919787543433, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007943848637038675, "ret_p1m": 0.3590245537601553, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3590245537601553, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.323796747017586, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.38008494008901605, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02106038632886076, "ret_p3m": -0.086000451484742, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.086000451484742, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12930443609689524, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11915726748529021, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": 0.033156816000548206, "ret_p6m": -0.10472461008777711, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.10472461008777711, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.09450760367583522, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0230035156243954, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.08172109446338172, "price_path": [-0.659, -0.6338, -0.6338, -0.631, -0.6323, -0.6307, -0.6292, -0.6466, -0.6238, -0.6325, -0.6231, -0.607, -0.6094, -0.6048, -0.5953, -0.5865, -0.6051, -0.6142, -0.639, -0.6562, -0.6486, -0.6492, -0.6647, -0.6412, -0.6418, -0.6011, -0.5957, -0.5983, -0.6088, -0.6118, -0.614, -0.5846, -0.5713, -0.5492, -0.5922, -0.5698, -0.5735, -0.5334, -0.4966, -0.4995, -0.5133, -0.4984, -0.4235, -0.4235, -0.3662, -0.3858, -0.4311, -0.4307, -0.4298, -0.3427, -0.2678, -0.2848, -0.2606, -0.1914, -0.2064, -0.1748, -0.2092, -0.1587, -0.0877, -0.0906, 0.0263, 0.0078, -0.0886, 0.0, 0.0218, 0.025, 0.0237, 0.0986, 0.2573, 0.3429, 0.3083, 0.3902, 0.3013, 0.3965, 0.5145, 0.4801, 0.3462, 0.322, 0.2894, 0.2017, 0.1285, 0.2162, 0.3695, 0.415, 0.359, 0.3155, 0.2676, 0.3227, 0.4751, 0.4507, 0.6636, 0.4579, 0.3582, 0.31, 0.2493, 0.2127, 0.0592, 0.0096, 0.0322, 0.0636, -0.0022, -0.0536, -0.0799, 0.0557, 0.0335, 0.0549, 0.0549, 0.0409, 0.0557, -0.1047, -0.0429, 0.0113, -0.0266, 0.0089, 0.0198, -0.0438, -0.0433, -0.1263, -0.2275, -0.2034, -0.2645, -0.2206, -0.1309, -0.0847, -0.084, -0.086, -0.086, -0.1226, -0.142, -0.1661, -0.1777, -0.1777, -0.0703, 0.0503, -0.0004, -0.0502, -0.0054, 0.0022, 0.0958, 0.1537, 0.1513, 0.1298, 0.2589, 0.2589, 0.1814, 0.1644, 0.1378, 0.2341, 0.14, 0.3061, 0.3703, 0.3029, 0.17, 0.1557, 0.1842, -0.0216, -0.1337, -0.0893, 0.0048, -0.0653, -0.071, -0.1285, -0.0808, -0.0808, -0.108, -0.0838, -0.0575, -0.1295, -0.0777, -0.0105, -0.0414, -0.0368, -0.1084, -0.0988, -0.1541, -0.0455, -0.1264, -0.201, -0.1544, -0.17, -0.086, -0.0993, -0.0947, -0.0216, -0.0647, -0.081, -0.093, -0.101, -0.0821, -0.1047]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972339422277615780", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-28T16:35:37+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd expect $NBIS at least to double to $225+", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "IREN to hit $80 before year-end (conservative); NBIS to double to $225+ on neocloud growth.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@95jG5OcU2mL0OCK $80 is an extremely conservative price target given how fast $IREN and these neoclouds are growing.\n\nI'd expect $NBIS at least to double to $225+ so IREN would likely hit $80 before end of year.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thank u for sharing！Do u think iren will reach 80 dollars at the end of2026？", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "95jG5OcU2mL0OCK", "ret_m1d": -0.022863402690541768, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.022863402690541768, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.020060912274418974, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01965792073995065, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003205481950591116, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01859912356794835, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01859912356794835, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014832256808836375, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0201175336178111, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0015184100498627506, "ret_p1w": 0.13355108925491654, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.13355108925491654, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12160260787250388, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15075906719363552, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017207977938718977, "ret_p1m": 0.10533478934648022, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10533478934648022, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0701069826039109, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12195232126657751, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016617531920097295, "ret_p3m": -0.17319909050862348, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17319909050862348, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2165030751207767, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17254361511278626, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0006554753958372128, "ret_p6m": 0.042551282793175105, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.042551282793175105, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.052768289205117, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09910514292146178, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.05655386012828667, "price_path": [-0.5466, -0.5441, -0.5441, -0.566, -0.5727, -0.5822, -0.5788, -0.5981, -0.5287, -0.5143, -0.5163, -0.5129, -0.521, -0.5249, -0.5372, -0.5293, -0.5268, -0.5339, -0.5214, -0.5427, -0.5347, -0.5062, -0.5282, -0.5085, -0.4995, -0.5002, -0.4075, -0.376, -0.3627, -0.3165, -0.3592, -0.3789, -0.3502, -0.3419, -0.3904, -0.3879, -0.3996, -0.3742, -0.3647, -0.3606, -0.364, -0.3464, -0.3801, -0.3801, -0.4037, -0.4044, -0.4111, -0.406, -0.4188, -0.1316, -0.1527, -0.1908, -0.1797, -0.1747, -0.1886, -0.1464, -0.1461, -0.099, -0.0328, -0.022, 0.0273, -0.0207, -0.0229, 0.0, 0.0186, 0.0489, 0.142, 0.1611, 0.1336, 0.0679, 0.1069, 0.2034, 0.1756, 0.229, 0.1627, 0.1416, 0.1163, 0.0292, -0.0111, -0.0539, -0.1052, -0.0368, 0.0639, 0.138, 0.1053, 0.135, 0.1267, 0.1869, 0.093, 0.0029, 0.0615, -0.0071, 0.0096, -0.0024, -0.0726, -0.1439, -0.1959, -0.2421, -0.2199, -0.1786, -0.1375, -0.2321, -0.2446, -0.1662, -0.1936, -0.1409, -0.1409, -0.1393, -0.0914, -0.1249, -0.1025, -0.0673, -0.1105, -0.0897, -0.1253, -0.1509, -0.1446, -0.2044, -0.2638, -0.2656, -0.3155, -0.2915, -0.1884, -0.1541, -0.1832, -0.1732, -0.1732, -0.2053, -0.2194, -0.2273, -0.2406, -0.2406, -0.1839, -0.1578, -0.0905, -0.1271, -0.1172, -0.1115, -0.0262, -0.0435, -0.0748, -0.0575, -0.0135, -0.0135, -0.0992, -0.103, -0.1213, -0.1426, -0.1702, -0.112, -0.0888, -0.1389, -0.2271, -0.2001, -0.1839, -0.2525, -0.3298, -0.2188, -0.1573, -0.1672, -0.1961, -0.1859, -0.1108, -0.1108, -0.1152, -0.0764, -0.0237, -0.1116, -0.0872, -0.0693, -0.0372, -0.0484, -0.1727, -0.1743, -0.2125, -0.1129, -0.1322, -0.1895, -0.1386, -0.1251, 0.0161, -0.0198, 0.0248, 0.1781, 0.0554, 0.0757, 0.1025, 0.0671, 0.0357, 0.0426]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1992683129497321879", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-23T19:54:14+00:00", "symbol": "S&P500", "kind": "index", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My guess is market reversal this Monday and repricing in + frontrunning December ratecut after markets bulled Fed into cutting", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Expects US market reversal and rally Monday on rate-cut frontrunning, offset uncertainty from yen carry trade unwinding.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPY"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "S&P 500 proxied by SPY ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So the four macro points I talked about was the larger reason for the selloff.\n\nThere was a huge amount of option interest expiring last Friday, and my guess post $NVDA earnings was that it was purely algorithmic driven (and still doesn't make much sense).\n\nThe larger overhang about the cascading crypto margin liqudations caused from Binance, Rate cut odds changing, AI credit stress, and yen carry trade are the main reasons behind the longer sell-off though. \n\nMy guess is market reversal this Monday and repricing in + frontrunning December ratecut after markets bulled Fed into cutting (and after option expirations. However, I don't know how much possible Yen carry trade selloff offsets this.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit So you gonna wait to see what happens in markets next couple weeks or you think things have bottomed and ready to turn with QE and rate cut?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "hereforgoodish2", "ret_m1d": -0.014505014897967627, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014505014897967627, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014505014897967627, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014505014897967627, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009405991442055894, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009405991442055894, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009405991442055894, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009405991442055894, "ret_p1w": 0.01725660219860803, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01725660219860803, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01725660219860803, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01725660219860803, "ret_p1m": 0.031795946537494846, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.031795946537494846, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031795946537494846, "bench_c_p1m": 0.031795946537494846, "ret_p3m": 0.0265765864584675, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0265765864584675, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0265765864584675, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0265765864584675, "ret_p6m": 0.10344662997332854, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.10344662997332854, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10344662997332854, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10344662997332854, "price_path": [-0.0357, -0.0323, -0.0381, -0.0381, -0.0452, -0.04, -0.032, -0.0348, -0.0324, -0.0302, -0.0274, -0.0193, -0.0196, -0.0144, -0.0158, -0.017, -0.0124, -0.0075, -0.0028, -0.0083, -0.0114, -0.016, -0.0103, -0.0076, -0.0038, -0.0004, 0.0007, 0.0007, 0.0043, 0.0006, 0.0065, 0.0036, -0.0235, -0.0085, -0.0097, -0.0053, -0.0121, -0.0065, 0.0038, 0.0038, -0.0014, 0.0045, 0.0127, 0.0247, 0.0274, 0.0279, 0.0166, 0.0199, 0.0218, 0.0097, 0.0132, 0.0024, 0.0033, 0.019, 0.0213, 0.0219, 0.0049, 0.0048, -0.0046, -0.0129, -0.0091, -0.0242, -0.0145, 0.0, 0.0094, 0.0164, 0.0164, 0.0219, 0.0173, 0.0191, 0.0227, 0.0234, 0.0254, 0.0223, 0.0214, 0.0282, 0.0306, 0.0195, 0.0179, 0.0152, 0.004, 0.0116, 0.0207, 0.0271, 0.0318, 0.0354, 0.0354, 0.0353, 0.0316, 0.0304, 0.0227, 0.0227, 0.0246, 0.0314, 0.0376, 0.0342, 0.0341, 0.041, 0.0426, 0.0405, 0.0354, 0.0382, 0.0373, 0.0373, 0.0162, 0.028, 0.0333, 0.0337, 0.0389, 0.0431, 0.043, 0.0409, 0.0378, 0.043, 0.0342, 0.0291, 0.0163, 0.0358, 0.0408, 0.038, 0.0378, 0.0218, 0.0225, 0.0225, 0.0241, 0.0293, 0.0266, 0.034, 0.0234, 0.0309, 0.0396, 0.0338, 0.0288, 0.0294, 0.0204, 0.0276, 0.0218, 0.0084, 0.0173, 0.0156, 0.0144, -0.001, -0.0067, 0.0034, 0.006, -0.008, -0.0104, -0.0246, -0.0144, -0.0177, -0.0122, -0.0299, -0.0464, -0.0496, -0.022, -0.0146, -0.0137, -0.0137, -0.009, -0.0086, 0.0166, 0.0225, 0.0218, 0.0318, 0.0444, 0.0526, 0.0552, 0.068, 0.0658, 0.0589, 0.0696, 0.0654, 0.0737, 0.0755, 0.0703, 0.0701, 0.0808, 0.0838, 0.0798, 0.0885, 0.1036, 0.1002, 0.1093, 0.1118, 0.1101, 0.1164, 0.1252, 0.1116, 0.1108, 0.1034]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1990734576118120856", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-18T10:51:23+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS sits in that sweet spot", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NBIS on highest normalized margins and sweet-spot positioning; CRWV unprofitability attributed to debt interest, not operations, implying underlying strength.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Again it’s very nuanced and I’m just trying to point out what you might be conflating or misunderstanding.\n\n$NBIS and $CRWV have the highest normalized margins but the reason why $CRWV is unprofitable is because of their large debt interest.\n\nIf you remove that from the equation and maintain higher utilization + improve other parts of the multifaceted equation that leads to margin calculations, then that’s where $NBIS sits in that sweet spot was the point I’m making.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit You’re making massive logic leaps (in between some accurate statements and lots of condescending ones). \n\nYou’re praising Nebius and CoreWeave for their software stack, but then you say if it doesn’t convert to FCF or profit it means nothing… CoreWeave has no profit and…", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PerssoJP", "ret_m1d": -0.05036445231371456, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05036445231371456, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05883312117749129, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04472983004313924, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00846866886377673, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005634622270575318, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05003312053777531, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05003312053777531, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04616992039493839, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.055578259666548724, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00386320014283692, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005545139128773413, "ret_p1w": -0.018334478079563232, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.018334478079563232, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.040968183136140035, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04060444906175309, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022633705056576803, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022269970982189857, "ret_p1m": -0.16666670879939505, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16666670879939505, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.18381616311760907, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.20244162937366383, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01714945431821402, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03577492057426879, "ret_p3m": 0.08250498282712115, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08250498282712115, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.046623708602495206, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0544132510007489, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03588127422462595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.028091731826372257, "ret_p6m": 1.289264437558833, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.289264437558833, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.1582852791065308, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.2382690045641254, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13097915845230212, "bench_c_p6m": 0.050995432994707546, "price_path": [-0.2691, -0.2381, -0.2266, -0.2216, -0.2258, -0.2043, -0.2454, -0.2454, -0.2741, -0.2749, -0.2831, -0.2769, -0.2925, 0.0572, 0.0315, -0.0149, -0.0014, 0.0046, -0.0123, 0.0391, 0.0395, 0.0969, 0.1774, 0.1906, 0.2506, 0.1922, 0.1895, 0.2174, 0.24, 0.2769, 0.3902, 0.4135, 0.3799, 0.3, 0.3475, 0.465, 0.4312, 0.4961, 0.4154, 0.3898, 0.359, 0.2529, 0.2039, 0.1518, 0.0892, 0.1725, 0.2951, 0.3854, 0.3456, 0.3817, 0.3715, 0.4449, 0.3306, 0.2209, 0.2922, 0.2087, 0.2291, 0.2144, 0.129, 0.0422, -0.0211, -0.0773, -0.0504, 0.0, 0.05, -0.0652, -0.0804, 0.015, -0.0183, 0.0458, 0.0458, 0.0478, 0.1061, 0.0653, 0.0926, 0.1354, 0.0828, 0.1081, 0.0648, 0.0337, 0.0413, -0.0315, -0.1038, -0.1059, -0.1667, -0.1375, -0.0119, 0.0297, -0.0056, 0.0065, 0.0065, -0.0326, -0.0497, -0.0593, -0.0755, -0.0755, -0.0065, 0.0253, 0.1071, 0.0626, 0.0747, 0.0816, 0.1854, 0.1645, 0.1264, 0.1474, 0.2009, 0.2009, 0.0966, 0.092, 0.0697, 0.0437, 0.0102, 0.081, 0.1092, 0.0483, -0.0591, -0.0263, -0.0065, -0.09, -0.1841, -0.049, 0.0258, 0.0138, -0.0213, -0.0089, 0.0825, 0.0825, 0.0771, 0.1244, 0.1885, 0.0815, 0.1112, 0.133, 0.1721, 0.1584, 0.0072, 0.0052, -0.0413, 0.08, 0.0564, -0.0134, 0.0486, 0.0651, 0.237, 0.1933, 0.2475, 0.4342, 0.2848, 0.3095, 0.3422, 0.2991, 0.2608, 0.2692, 0.2712, 0.1704, 0.1135, 0.019, 0.146, 0.126, 0.2019, 0.2019, 0.243, 0.2967, 0.3806, 0.5057, 0.6012, 0.7071, 0.7886, 0.8419, 0.8262, 0.7356, 0.7579, 0.7291, 0.7245, 0.7349, 0.6254, 0.6011, 0.4967, 0.5594, 0.5267, 0.7063, 0.9485, 0.943, 1.1547, 1.0408, 0.9555, 1.0554, 0.9782, 1.2893]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1990734576118120856", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-18T10:51:23+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$CRWV is unprofitable is because of their large debt interest", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NBIS on highest normalized margins and sweet-spot positioning; CRWV unprofitability attributed to debt interest, not operations, implying underlying strength.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Again it’s very nuanced and I’m just trying to point out what you might be conflating or misunderstanding.\n\n$NBIS and $CRWV have the highest normalized margins but the reason why $CRWV is unprofitable is because of their large debt interest.\n\nIf you remove that from the equation and maintain higher utilization + improve other parts of the multifaceted equation that leads to margin calculations, then that’s where $NBIS sits in that sweet spot was the point I’m making.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit You’re making massive logic leaps (in between some accurate statements and lots of condescending ones). \n\nYou’re praising Nebius and CoreWeave for their software stack, but then you say if it doesn’t convert to FCF or profit it means nothing… CoreWeave has no profit and…", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PerssoJP", "ret_m1d": 0.005740991941464824, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005740991941464824, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0027276769223119057, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0027276769223119057, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00846866886377673, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00846866886377673, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0002669778726172023, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0002669778726172023, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0035962222702197177, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0035962222702197177, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00386320014283692, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00386320014283692, "ret_p1w": -0.04819760396272166, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04819760396272166, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07083130901929846, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07083130901929846, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022633705056576803, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022633705056576803, "ret_p1m": -0.13818422247354745, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.13818422247354745, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15533367679176147, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.15533367679176147, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01714945431821402, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01714945431821402, "ret_p3m": 0.2822429767554049, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2822429767554049, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.24636170253077894, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.24636170253077894, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03588127422462595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03588127422462595, "ret_p6m": 0.4861147568886861, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4861147568886861, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.355135598436384, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.355135598436384, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13097915845230212, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13097915845230212, "price_path": [0.2121, 0.2549, 0.2334, 0.2202, 0.2941, 0.3724, 0.3757, 0.3757, 0.2462, 0.2, 0.168, 0.1895, 0.249, 0.3381, 0.564, 0.5045, 0.4948, 0.6084, 0.5854, 0.6136, 0.6207, 0.667, 0.7788, 0.7475, 0.781, 0.6911, 0.6067, 0.6358, 0.8271, 0.8298, 0.8425, 0.7996, 0.787, 0.72, 0.8689, 0.9103, 0.8482, 0.8908, 0.7899, 0.859, 0.8924, 0.8274, 0.6964, 0.6697, 0.6226, 0.6467, 0.7697, 0.8166, 0.7997, 0.8682, 0.7498, 0.7852, 0.6865, 0.5454, 0.5276, 0.4276, 0.3887, 0.41, 0.1801, 0.1406, 0.0459, 0.0328, 0.0057, 0.0, 0.0003, -0.076, -0.0434, -0.0174, -0.0482, -0.0081, -0.0081, -0.0238, 0.0288, 0.0151, 0.0595, 0.1449, 0.1789, 0.1514, 0.2104, 0.177, 0.1666, 0.0493, -0.034, -0.0721, -0.1382, -0.0964, 0.1081, 0.1326, 0.0716, 0.053, 0.053, 0.0203, 0.0003, -0.0134, -0.0439, -0.0439, 0.059, 0.0262, 0.0406, 0.0304, 0.0292, 0.07, 0.2007, 0.168, 0.1989, 0.2685, 0.3515, 0.3515, 0.2713, 0.2557, 0.2255, 0.2414, 0.3126, 0.4534, 0.4155, 0.3288, 0.2442, 0.1874, 0.2024, 0.1009, -0.0033, 0.2009, 0.2923, 0.2698, 0.2704, 0.2777, 0.2822, 0.2822, 0.215, 0.2744, 0.2969, 0.1916, 0.2128, 0.3258, 0.3085, 0.3035, 0.0622, 0.0421, -0.015, 0.0614, -0.0011, -0.0255, -0.0065, 0.0003, 0.0943, 0.0662, 0.0829, 0.1463, 0.0964, 0.1057, 0.0769, 0.0877, 0.0943, 0.1084, 0.1693, 0.0741, -0.0012, -0.0768, 0.0343, 0.0473, 0.098, 0.098, 0.0806, 0.1381, 0.1869, 0.2283, 0.3618, 0.4722, 0.5648, 0.5846, 0.5963, 0.5601, 0.5678, 0.5375, 0.636, 0.5677, 0.4705, 0.4961, 0.4089, 0.5246, 0.49, 0.5889, 0.6746, 0.7075, 0.8422, 0.7202, 0.524, 0.5314, 0.4386, 0.4861]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1971751289978834956", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-27T01:38:35+00:00", "symbol": "ASTS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd be fine trimming $ASTS after 32% recovery", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Trim ASTS after recovery; still likes LTC and BTC at current prices, wouldn't reduce for NBIS.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASTS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@soulbiri1 Lol the portfolio etf above id be comfortable 1.5x margin.\n\nI'd be fine trimming $ASTS after 32% recovery.\n\nI still like $LTC and $BTC at these prices so I wouldn't trim for more $NBIS.\n\nMake sure to sell CC's!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I listened to the voices. I don't generally use margin to invest but my conviction in Lord Aleabito is strong. I just used 500k of margin in Robinhood to follow this Aleabito portfolio, plus recommended weights.\n\nOnly adjustments that I made:\n-BTC/LTC -&gt; more NBIS\n-ASTS -&gt; CRM https://t.co/j6vJWefycU", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": 0.00511875510276294, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00511875510276294, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.007921245518885733, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.007921245518885733, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004914039265294212, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004914039265294212, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0011471725061822369, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0011471725061822369, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "ret_p1w": 0.4926290192080629, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.4926290192080629, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.48068053782565023, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.48068053782565023, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "ret_p1m": 0.5923422686341986, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.5923422686341986, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.5571144618916293, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.5571144618916293, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "ret_p3m": 0.5980754055673805, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.5980754055673805, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5547714209552272, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5547714209552272, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "ret_p6m": 0.7809173440865516, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.7809173440865516, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.7911343504984935, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.7911343504984935, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "price_path": [-0.0641, -0.0663, -0.0663, -0.0645, -0.0692, -0.1298, -0.0997, -0.0667, -0.0201, 0.0467, 0.0776, 0.1763, 0.1871, 0.1603, 0.1689, 0.2064, 0.2297, 0.1125, 0.1102, 0.087, 0.1116, 0.0887, 0.0741, 0.052, 0.0764, 0.0604, -0.0231, -0.0452, -0.0598, 0.0188, 0.0248, -0.007, -0.0156, -0.0139, -0.0796, -0.077, -0.079, -0.0362, 0.024, 0.0326, -0.0121, 0.0023, 0.002, 0.002, -0.0016, -0.0741, -0.1429, -0.1317, -0.1652, -0.2443, -0.2305, -0.2144, -0.2072, -0.1611, -0.1722, -0.1566, -0.1515, -0.0766, 0.0002, 0.122, 0.1159, 0.0113, 0.0051, 0.0, 0.0049, 0.1658, 0.3546, 0.3874, 0.4926, 0.5305, 0.6626, 0.777, 0.6796, 0.853, 0.9349, 0.9593, 0.8325, 0.7095, 0.6955, 0.6095, 0.4609, 0.4685, 0.509, 0.6267, 0.5923, 0.6392, 0.57, 0.6431, 0.4567, 0.4343, 0.441, 0.3366, 0.4167, 0.4066, 0.39, 0.3204, 0.258, 0.2572, 0.1589, 0.1921, 0.1878, 0.0381, 0.0518, 0.1261, 0.1366, 0.1368, 0.1368, 0.1507, 0.0772, 0.1648, 0.258, 0.4875, 0.5135, 0.5152, 0.4914, 0.6186, 0.7353, 0.5704, 0.3884, 0.3999, 0.2666, 0.3499, 0.5528, 0.7707, 0.7541, 0.5981, 0.5981, 0.4732, 0.4633, 0.5291, 0.4871, 0.4871, 0.709, 0.8616, 0.9961, 0.7553, 0.8542, 0.9998, 1.0145, 0.8984, 0.9496, 1.0731, 1.3704, 1.3704, 1.3022, 1.1192, 1.3827, 1.3253, 1.1454, 1.2797, 1.4822, 1.4998, 1.277, 1.1407, 1.3702, 1.1192, 0.9097, 1.0842, 1.0909, 0.9711, 0.9844, 0.6835, 0.6894, 0.6894, 0.7, 0.7287, 0.769, 0.6421, 0.7179, 0.7572, 0.6863, 0.7559, 0.6214, 0.7797, 0.8976, 1.1476, 0.9218, 0.832, 0.8378, 0.7922, 0.8061, 0.7832, 0.7678, 0.8245, 0.9595, 0.8579, 0.9265, 0.8413, 0.8104, 0.7809]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1971751289978834956", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-27T01:38:35+00:00", "symbol": "LTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I still like $LTC and $BTC at these prices so I wouldn't trim", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Trim ASTS after recovery; still likes LTC and BTC at current prices, wouldn't reduce for NBIS.", "resolved_tickers": ["LTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@soulbiri1 Lol the portfolio etf above id be comfortable 1.5x margin.\n\nI'd be fine trimming $ASTS after 32% recovery.\n\nI still like $LTC and $BTC at these prices so I wouldn't trim for more $NBIS.\n\nMake sure to sell CC's!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I listened to the voices. I don't generally use margin to invest but my conviction in Lord Aleabito is strong. I just used 500k of margin in Robinhood to follow this Aleabito portfolio, plus recommended weights.\n\nOnly adjustments that I made:\n-BTC/LTC -&gt; more NBIS\n-ASTS -&gt; CRM https://t.co/j6vJWefycU", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": -0.020533223399296863, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.020533223399296863, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01773073298317407, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.0005566446048783646, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0005566446048783646, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0032102221542336107, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": 0.10759679564087654, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10759679564087654, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09564831425846387, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.09466957269189402, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09466957269189402, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12989737943446333, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.2916654199588976, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2916654199588976, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.33496940457105084, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.472262138690699, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.472262138690699, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4620451322787571, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1828, -0.1669, -0.1869, -0.1942, -0.1793, -0.1511, -0.1127, -0.1178, -0.1056, -0.0984, -0.0874, -0.0489, -0.0484, 0.0844, 0.1206, 0.0501, 0.0512, 0.0653, 0.0164, 0.0159, 0.0346, -0.0058, -0.0018, 0.1345, 0.1257, 0.1166, 0.1487, 0.1594, 0.1259, 0.2211, 0.2259, 0.1354, 0.1143, 0.1017, 0.0529, 0.086, 0.073, 0.1493, 0.0244, 0.0623, 0.0496, 0.0648, 0.0288, 0.016, 0.0453, 0.0572, 0.0398, 0.0493, 0.055, 0.0478, 0.1004, 0.0845, 0.1059, 0.065, 0.0767, 0.0954, 0.1069, 0.0682, -0.0095, -0.0064, -0.0114, -0.0437, -0.0205, 0.0, 0.0006, 0.0776, 0.1198, 0.1281, 0.1076, 0.0958, 0.1104, 0.1787, -0.0956, -0.068, -0.0887, -0.1071, -0.1409, -0.1565, -0.1191, -0.1324, -0.1396, -0.1198, -0.0976, -0.0698, -0.0947, -0.0775, -0.1259, -0.1062, -0.182, -0.1999, -0.1618, -0.1857, -0.0473, -0.0247, -0.0671, -0.087, -0.094, -0.0873, -0.146, -0.1047, -0.1307, -0.1832, -0.2268, -0.1999, -0.2018, -0.1869, -0.1892, -0.2108, -0.2738, -0.2249, -0.1951, -0.2178, -0.2466, -0.2147, -0.1941, -0.209, -0.2236, -0.2332, -0.2737, -0.26, -0.2893, -0.3047, -0.2746, -0.2793, -0.2799, -0.2911, -0.2917, -0.2809, -0.2673, -0.2628, -0.2814, -0.2527, -0.2341, -0.2177, -0.2143, -0.236, -0.2395, -0.2384, -0.2882, -0.2688, -0.2817, -0.325, -0.2955, -0.3381, -0.3723, -0.3596, -0.3623, -0.3631, -0.3473, -0.3451, -0.3506, -0.3813, -0.3883, -0.4385, -0.4453, -0.4497, -0.5256, -0.4846, -0.4908, -0.5009, -0.5111, -0.503, -0.4845, -0.4848, -0.4955, -0.5012, -0.5071, -0.4832, -0.5203, -0.5211, -0.4695, -0.4794, -0.4896, -0.4895, -0.4873, -0.4684, -0.4808, -0.4963, -0.4972, -0.496, -0.4876, -0.4892, -0.4823, -0.4504, -0.4562, -0.4753, -0.4805, -0.4742, -0.479, -0.4723]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1971751289978834956", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-09-27T01:38:35+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I still like $LTC and $BTC at these prices so I wouldn't trim", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Trim ASTS after recovery; still likes LTC and BTC at current prices, wouldn't reduce for NBIS.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@soulbiri1 Lol the portfolio etf above id be comfortable 1.5x margin.\n\nI'd be fine trimming $ASTS after 32% recovery.\n\nI still like $LTC and $BTC at these prices so I wouldn't trim for more $NBIS.\n\nMake sure to sell CC's!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I listened to the voices. I don't generally use margin to invest but my conviction in Lord Aleabito is strong. I just used 500k of margin in Robinhood to follow this Aleabito portfolio, plus recommended weights.\n\nOnly adjustments that I made:\n-BTC/LTC -&gt; more NBIS\n-ASTS -&gt; CRM https://t.co/j6vJWefycU", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": -0.04097499127413595, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04097499127413595, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03817250085801316, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.003009577997342028, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.003009577997342028, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006776444756454003, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": 0.0904905052150653, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0904905052150653, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07854202383265263, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.012624247528673416, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.012624247528673416, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04785205427124273, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.23746109896785883, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.23746109896785883, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.28076508358001206, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.3835872080028141, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3835872080028141, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3733702015908722, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0484, -0.0415, -0.0556, -0.0533, -0.0476, -0.0269, 0.0139, 0.0272, 0.0476, 0.0295, 0.0379, 0.0427, 0.0315, 0.0266, 0.0489, 0.0381, 0.0347, 0.0283, 0.0308, 0.0308, 0.03, 0.0119, -0.0094, 0.0059, -0.0023, 0.0055, 0.0271, 0.02, 0.0379, 0.0505, 0.0782, 0.0346, 0.0262, 0.0162, -0.0137, -0.0011, -0.0173, 0.0216, -0.0374, -0.0227, -0.0278, -0.0162, -0.0524, -0.045, -0.028, -0.0234, -0.0321, -0.0328, -0.0204, -0.0251, -0.0039, 0.0097, 0.0149, 0.0091, 0.0214, 0.0181, 0.0239, 0.0113, -0.0144, -0.0209, -0.0094, -0.0468, -0.041, 0.0, -0.003, 0.0371, 0.0549, 0.0688, 0.0905, 0.0616, 0.0783, 0.0639, -0.0104, 0.0076, -0.0112, -0.0316, -0.0543, -0.0693, -0.0333, -0.0518, -0.0587, -0.0379, -0.0294, -0.0025, -0.0126, -0.038, -0.0533, -0.0423, -0.0686, -0.112, -0.0919, -0.1145, -0.0964, -0.0735, -0.0997, -0.1113, -0.1285, -0.1748, -0.195, -0.1875, -0.2005, -0.2427, -0.2562, -0.2284, -0.2365, -0.2088, -0.2021, -0.2053, -0.2454, -0.2015, -0.1825, -0.1946, -0.2186, -0.2077, -0.1898, -0.1956, -0.1913, -0.2109, -0.2446, -0.2321, -0.247, -0.253, -0.2299, -0.2265, -0.2359, -0.2342, -0.2375, -0.2369, -0.2383, -0.227, -0.2351, -0.2244, -0.2138, -0.1794, -0.1807, -0.2019, -0.2043, -0.2088, -0.2029, -0.1668, -0.1527, -0.1648, -0.165, -0.191, -0.2281, -0.2187, -0.218, -0.2176, -0.2284, -0.2211, -0.2204, -0.2608, -0.2646, -0.3122, -0.3389, -0.3617, -0.4519, -0.3833, -0.3871, -0.3987, -0.4144, -0.4211, -0.3981, -0.3982, -0.41, -0.4194, -0.4147, -0.4055, -0.4352, -0.4399, -0.4059, -0.4104, -0.4241, -0.3988, -0.403, -0.3644, -0.3808, -0.4044, -0.4021, -0.3888, -0.3863, -0.3838, -0.3797, -0.3456, -0.3538, -0.3772, -0.3889, -0.3835, -0.3801, -0.3836]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1940510479295934762", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-02T20:38:45+00:00", "symbol": "OSCR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Decent idea to buy say 30% of your position after today's 18.75% drop, then have cost averages down to the low, such as ($11.6). I bought a small amount if you ever want to follow along.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Recommends re-entering OSCR after 18.75% drop, buying partial position with potential to cost-average lower; author personally bought a small amount.", "resolved_tickers": ["OSCR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLV", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Healthcare Plans'", "bench_c_industry": "Healthcare Plans", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It's hard to time the exact bottom so if you're re-entering stocks like $OSCR after selling at $22 from $14 after my Reddit DD:\n\nDecent idea to buy say 30% of your position after today's 18.75% drop, then have cost averages down to the low, such as ($11.6). https://t.co/8nh9TLD1Yq\n\n---\n\nDisclosure: I bought a small amount if you ever want to follow along. \n\nBut it's always possible for it to drop back to $13 similar to UNH $375 -&gt; $320 -&gt; $250 before recovering, which is why I never recommend full porting on dips like these.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.23044523046382204, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.23044523046382204, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.23495804912478202, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.22047175058618174, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004512818660959983, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009973479877640301, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.009025362112185409, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.009025362112185409, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016906748067060384, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010059605774830782, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007881385954874975, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0010342436626453733, "ret_p1w": -0.0324910281744758, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0324910281744758, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03830930927161991, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03345138913316503, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005818281097144107, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0009603609586892325, "ret_p1m": -0.1546330035334148, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1546330035334148, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.17337743617114632, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11821157110879688, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018744432637731512, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03642143242461793, "ret_p3m": 0.15102275540251875, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15102275540251875, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07838194050983027, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.14244197020409066, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07264081489268848, "bench_c_p3m": 0.008580785198428087, "ret_p6m": -0.10168474420700269, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.10168474420700269, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2207751804421717, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.26287716308790465, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11909043623516902, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16119241888090197, "price_path": [-0.2178, -0.2455, -0.2948, -0.2467, -0.2629, -0.2437, -0.2527, -0.2509, -0.2569, -0.2762, -0.2762, -0.2996, -0.302, -0.2774, -0.2762, -0.2641, -0.2407, -0.2088, -0.2172, -0.2148, -0.2058, -0.2178, -0.2136, 0.0241, 0.0265, 0.0295, 0.012, 0.0181, -0.0048, -0.0036, 0.0542, 0.0078, -0.009, -0.1059, -0.1354, -0.1474, -0.1474, -0.0969, -0.1643, -0.1697, -0.1697, -0.142, -0.1426, -0.1486, -0.0584, -0.0722, -0.1119, -0.1161, -0.1486, -0.1372, -0.1606, -0.1005, -0.0307, 0.1294, 0.1294, 0.2768, 0.2286, 0.2046, 0.1546, 0.2323, 0.228, 0.29, 0.2304, 0.0, -0.009, -0.009, 0.0114, -0.0042, -0.0325, -0.0656, -0.1348, -0.0927, -0.1023, -0.0764, -0.1655, -0.1925, -0.1805, -0.1155, -0.0451, -0.1456, -0.1306, -0.1173, -0.1673, -0.1576, -0.1546, -0.1829, -0.1673, -0.1685, -0.1372, -0.0878, -0.0698, -0.0608, -0.0987, -0.1017, -0.1167, -0.059, 0.0018, 0.0006, -0.0812, -0.0722, 0.0108, 0.0054, 0.0277, 0.0241, 0.0373, 0.0024, 0.0024, -0.0114, 0.0638, 0.1059, 0.1691, 0.2202, 0.2064, 0.1721, 0.1691, 0.1631, 0.127, 0.0788, 0.0692, 0.1498, 0.1414, 0.1131, 0.0686, 0.1095, 0.0884, 0.1083, 0.151, 0.139, 0.1372, 0.16, 0.3032, 0.3424, 0.352, 0.3117, 0.2359, 0.1294, 0.2274, 0.2449, 0.2437, 0.2653, 0.1667, 0.2142, 0.3099, 0.2256, 0.1805, 0.1606, 0.1835, 0.1757, 0.1378, 0.0884, 0.083, 0.0626, 0.0325, 0.0247, -0.0036, 0.0662, -0.1209, -0.1065, -0.0915, -0.1606, -0.1649, -0.1426, -0.1149, -0.1528, -0.216, -0.1889, -0.0078, 0.0066, 0.0927, 0.0927, 0.0812, 0.0018, 0.0138, 0.0289, 0.0337, 0.009, 0.0066, 0.0205, -0.062, -0.0451, 0.0006, -0.0289, -0.0548, -0.074, -0.1095, -0.1035, -0.0957, -0.1071, -0.1017, -0.1017]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1981043725284626660", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-22T17:03:24+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it's stupid for retail to sell fundamentals will outweigh any mechanical hedging flows", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NBIS: fundamentals will outweigh mechanical hedging-driven selling; retail panic selling is a mistake.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "With $NBIS, retail likely did a lot of CSP + short dated calls from open interest.\n\nWhen MMs act as the counterpart, it exacerbates any movement. In this case, it amplified downward movement, with large hedge fund likely shorting initially at higher prices (probably timed with The Insider hit piece like with $ORCL and the whole sector short). \n\nThere's mechanical hedging from MMs which causes sharply price to drop when Nebius was around $135-$140. \n\nRetail selling their shares after seeing few days of red is just a natural consequence. But it's stupid for retail to sell fundamentals will outweigh any mechanical hedging flows.  \n\nI mentioned in my other post that retail panic selling affects price last traded. Institutions are able to accumulate more without affecting open books through dark pools and block trades.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @DeepValueBagger I've been curious because I don't know much about price action, retail vs institutions etc. Is it really retail that's selling? I thought it was mostly algos trying to follow the trend which ends up in exacerbated price movements. In other words it's just bait for retail to sell?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": 0.05739196790796086, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05739196790796086, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.052165891093566064, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04865795143168117, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005226076814394798, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008734016476279693, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07645508725955352, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07645508725955352, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07052519606905383, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07982761972858643, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005929891190499692, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0033725324690329073, "ret_p1w": 0.2685053233630823, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2685053233630823, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.23917013427122158, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2628844137812947, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.029335189091860725, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005620909581787625, "ret_p1m": -0.14175626614873638, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14175626614873638, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11889015789478707, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09272476616029002, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.022866108253949302, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04903149998844636, "ret_p3m": 0.10251470623389292, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10251470623389292, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06372503900472015, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10335486794227966, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.038789667229172764, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0008401617083867441, "ret_p6m": 0.6765361157285201, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6765361157285201, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.619849690724092, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.6423340376147957, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05668642500442811, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03420207811372444, "price_path": [-0.4791, -0.4651, -0.4889, -0.4799, -0.4481, -0.4727, -0.4507, -0.4406, -0.4414, -0.3378, -0.3026, -0.2878, -0.2362, -0.2838, -0.3058, -0.2738, -0.2644, -0.3187, -0.3159, -0.3289, -0.3005, -0.29, -0.2853, -0.2892, -0.2695, -0.3072, -0.3072, -0.3336, -0.3343, -0.3418, -0.3361, -0.3504, -0.0294, -0.053, -0.0956, -0.0832, -0.0777, -0.0932, -0.046, -0.0456, 0.007, 0.0809, 0.0931, 0.1481, 0.0945, 0.0921, 0.1176, 0.1384, 0.1723, 0.2763, 0.2977, 0.2669, 0.1935, 0.2371, 0.345, 0.3139, 0.3736, 0.2994, 0.2759, 0.2476, 0.1503, 0.1053, 0.0574, 0.0, 0.0765, 0.189, 0.2719, 0.2353, 0.2685, 0.2592, 0.3265, 0.2216, 0.1209, 0.1864, 0.1097, 0.1284, 0.1149, 0.0365, -0.0432, -0.1013, -0.1529, -0.1282, -0.0819, -0.036, -0.1418, -0.1557, -0.0681, -0.0988, -0.0398, -0.0398, -0.038, 0.0155, -0.022, 0.003, 0.0424, -0.0059, 0.0173, -0.0224, -0.051, -0.044, -0.1108, -0.1772, -0.1792, -0.2349, -0.2082, -0.0929, -0.0547, -0.0871, -0.0759, -0.0759, -0.1118, -0.1276, -0.1364, -0.1512, -0.1512, -0.0879, -0.0587, 0.0164, -0.0244, -0.0134, -0.007, 0.0883, 0.0691, 0.0341, 0.0534, 0.1025, 0.1025, 0.0068, 0.0025, -0.0179, -0.0418, -0.0726, -0.0076, 0.0184, -0.0376, -0.1362, -0.1061, -0.0879, -0.1646, -0.251, -0.127, -0.0582, -0.0693, -0.1015, -0.0901, -0.0062, -0.0062, -0.0112, 0.0322, 0.0912, -0.0071, 0.0202, 0.0402, 0.076, 0.0635, -0.0753, -0.0772, -0.1199, -0.0085, -0.0301, -0.0942, -0.0373, -0.0222, 0.1356, 0.0955, 0.1453, 0.3167, 0.1796, 0.2022, 0.2322, 0.1927, 0.1575, 0.1652, 0.167, 0.0745, 0.0223, -0.0645, 0.0521, 0.0338, 0.1034, 0.1034, 0.1411, 0.1904, 0.2675, 0.3824, 0.47, 0.5672, 0.6421, 0.691, 0.6765]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972806045652402563", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-29T23:29:48+00:00", "symbol": "LTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "cost averaging. I think it's undervalued", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still accumulating LTC; believes it is undervalued at current price.", "resolved_tickers": ["LTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@lunapuma28 @robswainept cost averaging. I think it's undervalued", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @robswainept did you sell your LTC? i saw your avg at 112 when you bought", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "lunapuma28", "ret_m1d": -0.020533223399296863, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.020533223399296863, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01773073298317407, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.0005566446048783646, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0005566446048783646, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0032102221542336107, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": 0.10759679564087654, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10759679564087654, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09564831425846387, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.09466957269189402, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09466957269189402, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12989737943446333, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.2916654199588976, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2916654199588976, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.33496940457105084, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.472262138690699, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.472262138690699, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4620451322787571, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1828, -0.1669, -0.1869, -0.1942, -0.1793, -0.1511, -0.1127, -0.1178, -0.1056, -0.0984, -0.0874, -0.0489, -0.0484, 0.0844, 0.1206, 0.0501, 0.0512, 0.0653, 0.0164, 0.0159, 0.0346, -0.0058, -0.0018, 0.1345, 0.1257, 0.1166, 0.1487, 0.1594, 0.1259, 0.2211, 0.2259, 0.1354, 0.1143, 0.1017, 0.0529, 0.086, 0.073, 0.1493, 0.0244, 0.0623, 0.0496, 0.0648, 0.0288, 0.016, 0.0453, 0.0572, 0.0398, 0.0493, 0.055, 0.0478, 0.1004, 0.0845, 0.1059, 0.065, 0.0767, 0.0954, 0.1069, 0.0682, -0.0095, -0.0064, -0.0114, -0.0437, -0.0205, 0.0, 0.0006, 0.0776, 0.1198, 0.1281, 0.1076, 0.0958, 0.1104, 0.1787, -0.0956, -0.068, -0.0887, -0.1071, -0.1409, -0.1565, -0.1191, -0.1324, -0.1396, -0.1198, -0.0976, -0.0698, -0.0947, -0.0775, -0.1259, -0.1062, -0.182, -0.1999, -0.1618, -0.1857, -0.0473, -0.0247, -0.0671, -0.087, -0.094, -0.0873, -0.146, -0.1047, -0.1307, -0.1832, -0.2268, -0.1999, -0.2018, -0.1869, -0.1892, -0.2108, -0.2738, -0.2249, -0.1951, -0.2178, -0.2466, -0.2147, -0.1941, -0.209, -0.2236, -0.2332, -0.2737, -0.26, -0.2893, -0.3047, -0.2746, -0.2793, -0.2799, -0.2911, -0.2917, -0.2809, -0.2673, -0.2628, -0.2814, -0.2527, -0.2341, -0.2177, -0.2143, -0.236, -0.2395, -0.2384, -0.2882, -0.2688, -0.2817, -0.325, -0.2955, -0.3381, -0.3723, -0.3596, -0.3623, -0.3631, -0.3473, -0.3451, -0.3506, -0.3813, -0.3883, -0.4385, -0.4453, -0.4497, -0.5256, -0.4846, -0.4908, -0.5009, -0.5111, -0.503, -0.4845, -0.4848, -0.4955, -0.5012, -0.5071, -0.4832, -0.5203, -0.5211, -0.4695, -0.4794, -0.4896, -0.4895, -0.4873, -0.4684, -0.4808, -0.4963, -0.4972, -0.496, -0.4876, -0.4892, -0.4823, -0.4504, -0.4562, -0.4753, -0.4805, -0.4742, -0.479, -0.4723]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1981012697748787248", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-22T15:00:07+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have the highest conviction in $NBIS, which is why I'm happy to cost average leaps as much as possible", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Highest conviction long NBIS (cost-averaging LEAPs); also long TE on path to 5.2B MC from $700M if it hits half of 2027 EBITDA target.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have the highest conviction in $NBIS, which is why I'm happy to cost average leaps as much as possible. \n\nI don't have the same sentiment as other energy plays, $TE is probably highest though because if it delivers 1/2 of management EBITDA 2027 target, 8× EBITDA multiple would be 5.2B MC from the current $700m MC.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Do you still hold the same sentiment on some of your energy plays like $TE $FLNC $SEI ?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DigestingX", "ret_m1d": 0.05739196790796086, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05739196790796086, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.052165891093566064, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04865795143168117, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005226076814394798, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008734016476279693, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07645508725955352, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07645508725955352, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07052519606905383, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07982761972858643, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005929891190499692, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0033725324690329073, "ret_p1w": 0.2685053233630823, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2685053233630823, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.23917013427122158, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2628844137812947, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.029335189091860725, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005620909581787625, "ret_p1m": -0.14175626614873638, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14175626614873638, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11889015789478707, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09272476616029002, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.022866108253949302, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04903149998844636, "ret_p3m": 0.10251470623389292, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10251470623389292, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06372503900472015, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10335486794227966, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.038789667229172764, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0008401617083867441, "ret_p6m": 0.6765361157285201, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6765361157285201, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.619849690724092, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.6423340376147957, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05668642500442811, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03420207811372444, "price_path": [-0.4791, -0.4651, -0.4889, -0.4799, -0.4481, -0.4727, -0.4507, -0.4406, -0.4414, -0.3378, -0.3026, -0.2878, -0.2362, -0.2838, -0.3058, -0.2738, -0.2644, -0.3187, -0.3159, -0.3289, -0.3005, -0.29, -0.2853, -0.2892, -0.2695, -0.3072, -0.3072, -0.3336, -0.3343, -0.3418, -0.3361, -0.3504, -0.0294, -0.053, -0.0956, -0.0832, -0.0777, -0.0932, -0.046, -0.0456, 0.007, 0.0809, 0.0931, 0.1481, 0.0945, 0.0921, 0.1176, 0.1384, 0.1723, 0.2763, 0.2977, 0.2669, 0.1935, 0.2371, 0.345, 0.3139, 0.3736, 0.2994, 0.2759, 0.2476, 0.1503, 0.1053, 0.0574, 0.0, 0.0765, 0.189, 0.2719, 0.2353, 0.2685, 0.2592, 0.3265, 0.2216, 0.1209, 0.1864, 0.1097, 0.1284, 0.1149, 0.0365, -0.0432, -0.1013, -0.1529, -0.1282, -0.0819, -0.036, -0.1418, -0.1557, -0.0681, -0.0988, -0.0398, -0.0398, -0.038, 0.0155, -0.022, 0.003, 0.0424, -0.0059, 0.0173, -0.0224, -0.051, -0.044, -0.1108, -0.1772, -0.1792, -0.2349, -0.2082, -0.0929, -0.0547, -0.0871, -0.0759, -0.0759, -0.1118, -0.1276, -0.1364, -0.1512, -0.1512, -0.0879, -0.0587, 0.0164, -0.0244, -0.0134, -0.007, 0.0883, 0.0691, 0.0341, 0.0534, 0.1025, 0.1025, 0.0068, 0.0025, -0.0179, -0.0418, -0.0726, -0.0076, 0.0184, -0.0376, -0.1362, -0.1061, -0.0879, -0.1646, -0.251, -0.127, -0.0582, -0.0693, -0.1015, -0.0901, -0.0062, -0.0062, -0.0112, 0.0322, 0.0912, -0.0071, 0.0202, 0.0402, 0.076, 0.0635, -0.0753, -0.0772, -0.1199, -0.0085, -0.0301, -0.0942, -0.0373, -0.0222, 0.1356, 0.0955, 0.1453, 0.3167, 0.1796, 0.2022, 0.2322, 0.1927, 0.1575, 0.1652, 0.167, 0.0745, 0.0223, -0.0645, 0.0521, 0.0338, 0.1034, 0.1034, 0.1411, 0.1904, 0.2675, 0.3824, 0.47, 0.5672, 0.6421, 0.691, 0.6765]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1981012697748787248", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-22T15:00:07+00:00", "symbol": "TE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TE is probably highest though because if it delivers 1/2 of management EBITDA 2027 target, 8× EBITDA multiple would be 5.2B MC from the current $700m MC", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Highest conviction long NBIS (cost-averaging LEAPs); also long TE on path to 5.2B MC from $700M if it hits half of 2027 EBITDA target.", "resolved_tickers": ["TE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have the highest conviction in $NBIS, which is why I'm happy to cost average leaps as much as possible. \n\nI don't have the same sentiment as other energy plays, $TE is probably highest though because if it delivers 1/2 of management EBITDA 2027 target, 8× EBITDA multiple would be 5.2B MC from the current $700m MC.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Do you still hold the same sentiment on some of your energy plays like $TE $FLNC $SEI ?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DigestingX", "ret_m1d": 0.09002430013127527, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.09002430013127527, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08479822331688047, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08479822331688047, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005226076814394798, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005226076814394798, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09732362101540792, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09732362101540792, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.10325351220590762, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.10325351220590762, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005929891190499692, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005929891190499692, "ret_p1w": -0.1240876428988682, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1240876428988682, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.15342283199072893, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.15342283199072893, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.029335189091860725, "bench_c_p1w": 0.029335189091860725, "ret_p1m": -0.3381995279196268, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3381995279196268, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3153334196656775, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3153334196656775, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.022866108253949302, "bench_c_p1m": -0.022866108253949302, "ret_p3m": 0.9878345038660354, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.9878345038660354, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.9490448366368627, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.9490448366368627, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.038789667229172764, "bench_c_p3m": 0.038789667229172764, "ret_p6m": 0.214111827011374, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.214111827011374, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.15742540200694588, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.15742540200694588, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05668642500442811, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05668642500442811, "price_path": [-0.6545, -0.6594, -0.674, -0.6861, -0.7105, -0.7178, -0.6983, -0.6959, -0.6959, -0.691, -0.6886, -0.6983, -0.6959, -0.674, -0.6934, -0.6399, -0.6229, -0.6448, -0.6764, -0.6399, -0.6131, -0.6058, -0.6083, -0.6156, -0.601, -0.5985, -0.5985, -0.5401, -0.5547, -0.5499, -0.5182, -0.5182, -0.528, -0.545, -0.5426, -0.5474, -0.5669, -0.5742, -0.5693, -0.5474, -0.5255, -0.5061, -0.5523, -0.4647, -0.4477, -0.4647, -0.4331, -0.4696, -0.4185, -0.4258, -0.3844, -0.3187, -0.3041, -0.2871, -0.0681, -0.1144, -0.1484, -0.0243, 0.2749, 0.1411, 0.0511, 0.1582, 0.09, 0.0, -0.0973, -0.1557, -0.0681, -0.0998, -0.1241, -0.1144, -0.0949, -0.1679, -0.1046, -0.0049, -0.1046, -0.073, 0.0949, 0.073, -0.0633, -0.1509, -0.1825, -0.2263, -0.2555, -0.2968, -0.3382, -0.3382, -0.236, -0.1995, -0.0657, -0.0657, 0.0024, 0.0876, 0.1533, 0.0998, 0.2433, 0.4185, 0.4647, 0.6375, 0.4964, 0.4282, 0.3017, 0.2311, 0.3236, 0.3187, 0.4647, 0.5645, 0.7762, 0.7299, 0.7153, 0.7153, 0.6545, 0.562, 0.5815, 0.6253, 0.6253, 0.9075, 0.9951, 0.8613, 0.7713, 0.6569, 0.6886, 0.7543, 0.9124, 0.9124, 0.8029, 0.9878, 0.9878, 1.0146, 0.9027, 1.0365, 1.0681, 0.9805, 1.219, 1.309, 1.1606, 1.0268, 1.1071, 1.2117, 0.8808, 0.7689, 1.0122, 0.8589, 0.8273, 0.6667, 0.5109, 0.4891, 0.4891, 0.5669, 0.5718, 0.5353, 0.5109, 0.5304, 0.7251, 0.7567, 0.7737, 0.4988, 0.6642, 0.5839, 0.7275, 0.6569, 0.635, 0.7421, 0.9416, 0.9805, 0.8832, 0.854, 0.8783, 0.8954, 0.7835, 0.8759, 0.6058, 0.6642, 0.6083, 0.6253, 0.528, 0.4015, 0.3674, 0.0681, 0.09, 0.0195, 0.0195, -0.0146, -0.0438, 0.0146, 0.017, 0.1411, 0.2433, 0.1825, 0.2993, 0.2141]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2002904797985542154", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-22T00:51:30+00:00", "symbol": "CRCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If it becomes the digital federal reserve and USDC is the de facto settlement currency of the dollar online, both the network and the issuer is worth way beyond traditional valuations", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish CRCL: argues it should be valued far above fintech comps if USDC becomes the de facto digital dollar settlement currency.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Low interest rates does affect $CRCL and this is the main bear case thesis.\n\nHowever, low interest rates environments would unlock more supply in USDC + more volume/transactional based revenue compared to high interest from treasuries. Circle would need to monetize transactional volume over interest (which makes up 90%+ of their profits)\n\nMy argument above is that people shouldn’t value it like a fintech though. If it becomes the digital federal reserve and USDC is the de facto settlement currency of the dollar online, both the network and the issuer is worth way beyond traditional valuations", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Do you have any concerns about its business model as interest rates keep dropping?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "junglimoney", "ret_m1d": -0.010000031569908363, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010000031569908363, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.003808710554574213, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0021294617922437142, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012129493362152077, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.049080421184671374, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.049080421184671374, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05365087600310425, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.051068826359376596, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001988405174705221, "ret_p1w": -0.07459767659505212, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07459767659505212, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07900744787033964, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07459767659505212, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0, "ret_p1m": -0.16436785116963004, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16436785116963004, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15378123648411934, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1260453753501216, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03832247581950843, "ret_p3m": 0.4750574923109734, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4750574923109734, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5116067426212588, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5894826274491245, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "bench_c_p3m": -0.11442513513815111, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.5124, 0.4329, 0.4597, 0.5363, 0.5239, 0.4831, 0.7209, 0.6756, 0.707, 0.7094, 0.7294, 0.7297, 0.528, 0.5801, 0.5455, 0.5457, 0.4766, 0.4539, 0.5036, 0.4925, 0.4344, 0.4926, 0.6328, 0.647, 0.5645, 0.5143, 0.4105, 0.4595, 0.3547, 0.2787, 0.2992, 0.1495, 0.1855, 0.1966, 0.1299, -0.008, -0.0536, -0.0587, -0.1197, -0.1195, -0.1986, -0.2307, -0.1801, -0.1639, -0.1941, -0.1651, -0.1651, -0.0813, -0.1271, -0.1099, -0.0082, 0.0053, -0.0159, -0.0349, 0.0216, 0.0162, 0.018, -0.0406, -0.1326, -0.046, -0.0897, -0.0691, -0.01, 0.0, -0.0491, -0.0501, -0.0501, -0.0659, -0.0746, -0.0817, -0.0885, -0.0885, -0.0406, -0.0253, -0.0247, -0.0737, -0.0599, -0.0471, -0.0471, -0.0407, -0.0253, -0.1195, -0.0964, -0.0964, -0.1644, -0.1651, -0.1799, -0.1801, -0.1851, -0.1959, -0.1628, -0.2236, -0.2652, -0.3234, -0.3545, -0.3672, -0.4226, -0.3444, -0.3092, -0.3132, -0.3349, -0.3491, -0.3099, -0.3099, -0.2917, -0.2741, -0.2883, -0.2756, -0.2969, -0.2946, -0.0444, 0.0024, -0.0409, 0.1051, 0.1452, 0.21, 0.2154, 0.1714, 0.2855, 0.3574, 0.2967, 0.3124, 0.3262, 0.4463, 0.5208, 0.5269, 0.4751, 0.4486, 0.4556, 0.1629, 0.1938, 0.1295, 0.0766, 0.0334, 0.0967, 0.043, 0.0375, 0.0375, 0.0592, 0.0818, 0.0855, -0.0218, 0.012, 0.1343, 0.2125, 0.2129, 0.2352, 0.2174, 0.2225, 0.1037, 0.1995, 0.1495, 0.1455, 0.097, 0.0845, 0.0984, 0.0446, 0.146, 0.3739, 0.3125, 0.4, 0.3017, 0.3066, 0.5145, 0.4213, 0.4548, 0.4239, 0.3103, 0.2803, 0.2762, 0.283, 0.3205, 0.3002, 0.3002, 0.1974, 0.1798, 0.2441, 0.2989, 0.2989, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2008944566800691442", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-07T16:51:23+00:00", "symbol": "OSS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "wouldn't be surprised if I see this at $1B MC in 6 months if the award goes through", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish OSS targeting $1B market cap in 6 months on anticipated sole-source US Army 360 situational awareness contract award.", "resolved_tickers": ["OSS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@bigbull_0410 Yeah $OSS is one of those wait and see for me to see if I get a 1000%+ out of this. \n\nHonestly wouldn’t be surprised if I see this at $1B MC in 6 months if the award goes through.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit They are in line for a 360 situational awareness contract with the US Army for ~200M. \n\nTesting was done until end of year 2025 and hopefully we should hear about it soon. Importantly, this is a sole source award ( no competitors)- $OSS will rerate soon", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "bigbull_0410", "ret_m1d": -0.18170264919095824, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.18170264919095824, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.184936429611268, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.184936429611268, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003233780420309751, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003233780420309751, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1168996301997518, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1168996301997518, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.11700116288173756, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.11700116288173756, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00010153268198576093, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00010153268198576093, "ret_p1w": 0.48538751593042084, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.48538751593042084, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.4842564560534741, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.4842564560534741, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0011310598769467273, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0011310598769467273, "ret_p1m": 0.022871703658607467, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.022871703658607467, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.040215598047577794, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.040215598047577794, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017343894388970327, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017343894388970327, "ret_p3m": -0.019059732852432676, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.019059732852432676, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.022778033542166676, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.022778033542166676, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04183776639459935, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04183776639459935, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.291, -0.249, -0.2262, -0.1995, -0.2872, -0.3418, -0.3227, -0.3278, -0.3659, -0.3469, -0.3367, -0.3304, -0.3571, -0.3507, -0.3698, -0.3647, -0.3482, -0.4003, -0.2681, -0.3215, -0.3405, -0.31, -0.2872, -0.2961, -0.3443, -0.3507, -0.399, -0.3952, -0.4257, -0.4485, -0.4333, -0.4104, -0.4142, -0.244, -0.244, -0.2262, -0.2478, -0.2287, -0.216, -0.1665, -0.1131, -0.0635, -0.0381, -0.0178, -0.0038, -0.0381, -0.1296, -0.1131, -0.1385, -0.0889, -0.0661, -0.0775, -0.0584, -0.0813, -0.0813, -0.0864, -0.0953, -0.0915, -0.0877, -0.0877, -0.136, -0.1233, -0.1817, 0.0, 0.1169, 0.0254, 0.3278, 0.4358, 0.4854, 0.3787, 0.3545, 0.3545, 0.3698, 0.4828, 0.4409, 0.3469, 0.2859, 0.3355, 0.3164, 0.3494, 0.2567, 0.2135, 0.2122, 0.1385, 0.0229, 0.1741, 0.2262, 0.2097, 0.2008, 0.0864, 0.1055, 0.1055, 0.0521, 0.061, 0.3393, 0.2351, 0.1525, 0.169, 0.1499, 0.1601, 0.0489, 0.0959, 0.0534, 0.0661, 0.0775, 0.0686, 0.1309, 0.1982, 0.2592, 0.2897, 0.2808, 0.2973, 0.3583, 0.4282, 0.305, 0.1207, 0.1703, 0.1487, 0.1537, 0.0851, -0.026, -0.0839, -0.0381, -0.0775, -0.0292, -0.0292, -0.0191, -0.0318, 0.0127, -0.0051, -0.0089, 0.1258, 0.1131, 0.249, 0.2402, 0.2605, 0.2859, 0.2618, 0.3215, 0.2427, 0.2338, 0.2643, 0.1779, 0.1169, 0.2058, 0.2745, 0.2402, 0.2414, 0.9479, 0.9187, 0.9924, 1.0229, 0.9759, 1.0152, 1.1906, 1.0928, 1.0318, 0.9581, 0.9936, 1.0978, 1.2656, 1.2656, 1.216, 1.2313, 1.2757, 1.31, 1.31, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1965277958769443055", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-09T04:55:53+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The 45%+ bump hasn't even fully priced in the deal yet.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "NBIS still underpriced despite 45%+ bump; MSFT deal not fully reflected in the stock.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@__visionxry__ Yep of course. It just 300%+ their yearly revenue, which is insane. \n\nThe 45%+ bump hasn't even fully priced in the deal yet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit You see the big news on NBIS? Multi billion, Multi year long deal with MSFT!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "__visionxry__", "ret_m1d": -0.3307564067943376, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.3307564067943376, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.3284499133940473, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.3251272748805889, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023064934002903215, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005629131913748697, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02434184915733928, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02434184915733928, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.027232703436343986, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016980676654744786, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028908542790047065, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007361172502594493, "ret_p1w": -0.06571250350304936, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06571250350304936, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08058190395768483, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09212625594269352, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014869400454635473, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026413752439644167, "ret_p1m": 0.27455075683401486, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.27455075683401486, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2366528621138111, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2701072145774561, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03789789472020377, "bench_c_p1m": 0.004443542256558741, "ret_p3m": 0.024237355466335098, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.024237355466335098, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.033058215950865, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.006323587545360443, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0572955714172001, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017913767920974655, "ret_p6m": 0.02152107743755649, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.02152107743755649, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.03803262191038037, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.014160920550938316, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05955369934793686, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03568199798849481, "price_path": [-0.4747, -0.5076, -0.4728, -0.4951, -0.4952, -0.4952, -0.4989, -0.504, -0.467, -0.4931, -0.4505, -0.4584, -0.422, -0.4744, -0.478, -0.475, -0.475, -0.5002, -0.5079, -0.5189, -0.5149, -0.5372, -0.4573, -0.4408, -0.4431, -0.4391, -0.4485, -0.4529, -0.4671, -0.458, -0.4551, -0.4633, -0.4489, -0.4735, -0.4642, -0.4314, -0.4567, -0.4341, -0.4236, -0.4245, -0.3177, -0.2814, -0.2662, -0.213, -0.2621, -0.2848, -0.2518, -0.2422, -0.2981, -0.2951, -0.3086, -0.2794, -0.2685, -0.2637, -0.2677, -0.2474, -0.2863, -0.2863, -0.3134, -0.3141, -0.3219, -0.316, -0.3308, 0.0, -0.0243, -0.0682, -0.0555, -0.0497, -0.0657, -0.0171, -0.0167, 0.0375, 0.1137, 0.1262, 0.1829, 0.1277, 0.1252, 0.1515, 0.1729, 0.2078, 0.315, 0.337, 0.3053, 0.2296, 0.2746, 0.3857, 0.3537, 0.4152, 0.3388, 0.3146, 0.2854, 0.1851, 0.1387, 0.0894, 0.0303, 0.1091, 0.225, 0.3104, 0.2728, 0.3069, 0.2973, 0.3667, 0.2586, 0.1548, 0.2223, 0.1433, 0.1626, 0.1487, 0.0679, -0.0142, -0.0741, -0.1272, -0.1018, -0.0541, -0.0068, -0.1158, -0.1302, -0.0399, -0.0715, -0.0108, -0.0108, -0.0089, 0.0463, 0.0076, 0.0334, 0.074, 0.0242, 0.0482, 0.0072, -0.0223, -0.015, -0.0839, -0.1523, -0.1543, -0.2118, -0.1842, -0.0654, -0.026, -0.0594, -0.048, -0.048, -0.0849, -0.1011, -0.1102, -0.1255, -0.1255, -0.0603, -0.0302, 0.0472, 0.0051, 0.0165, 0.0231, 0.1213, 0.1014, 0.0654, 0.0853, 0.1359, 0.1359, 0.0373, 0.0329, 0.0118, -0.0127, -0.0445, 0.0225, 0.0492, -0.0085, -0.11, -0.079, -0.0603, -0.1393, -0.2283, -0.1005, -0.0297, -0.0411, -0.0743, -0.0626, 0.0239, 0.0239, 0.0188, 0.0635, 0.1242, 0.023, 0.0511, 0.0717, 0.1087, 0.0957, -0.0473, -0.0492, -0.0932, 0.0215]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1982018137672630708", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-25T09:35:22+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS > $IREN clear as day for me in terms of asymmetrical upside", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS over IREN: software orchestration moat drives highest asymmetric return; IREN faces large execution/margin risk.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'd disagree, software orchestration is one of the biggest moats possible, which is why $NBIS > $IREN clear as day for me in terms of asymmetrical upside. But to each their own!\n\nI'd agree IREN has slightly higher potential upside due to scale of GW deployed but way way larger execution risk in terms of margins. \n\nWhen it comes to future earning reports with $IREN, I'd expect markets to find out the hard way that the orchestration and customer diversity that Nebius has currently is a massive, massive moat.   \n\n$ORCL one of the largest compute companies lost $100m+ on their most recent buildout as per TI reporting. This was largely due to software + GPU orchestration + customer base. Internal documents show they had ~14% gross margins (NBIS had 71.2% last quarter).  \n\nIf the largest hyperscalers can't get it right, and people keep pointing to $CRWV supporting Bitcoin miner pivots (when they spent billions on software aqusitions) and years on the pivot, then it's probably is a big moat that you're underestimating. \n\nAlso Software utilization/orchestration matters ~30–70x more than cheap power (did the math in another comment). \n\nScale of MW/GW deployed leads to higher upside with miners, sure, but there's no point of speculating whether these bitcoin miners can pivot into high margins when we have $NBIS with the highest asymmetrical return and capacity, was my point.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I would argue software stack is not a moat anymore in the AI era. \nWithout being vertically integrated margins will be $NBIS’s weakness in the long run. \n$IREN will be a better play imo. \nAnyhow, I’m bullish on both names 🟢🤝🏻🐂   \nWill go up together as a sector 📈", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "IRENBULLLL", "ret_m1d": -0.0651359176358719, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0651359176358719, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05347576869210846, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.051394016667661524, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013741900968210374, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02870125540430646, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02870125540430646, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.031357254360897535, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.023750721096447047, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004950534307859411, "ret_p1w": -0.03954396135218685, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03954396135218685, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.036771241766913265, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.009072772543005425, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": -0.030471188809181426, "ret_p1m": -0.291397615903933, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.291397615903933, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2764831740059033, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2669865978192385, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02441101808469448, "ret_p3m": -0.22785618880266678, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22785618880266678, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23628515601411337, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.22330124633290094, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": -0.004554942469765844, "ret_p6m": 0.24810653488691647, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.24810653488691647, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.21476196842477524, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.24166768131940364, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": 0.006438853567512837, "price_path": [-0.5911, -0.5661, -0.5854, -0.5681, -0.5602, -0.5608, -0.4793, -0.4516, -0.44, -0.3994, -0.4369, -0.4542, -0.429, -0.4217, -0.4643, -0.4621, -0.4724, -0.4501, -0.4418, -0.4381, -0.4411, -0.4257, -0.4553, -0.4553, -0.476, -0.4766, -0.4825, -0.478, -0.4893, -0.2369, -0.2554, -0.2889, -0.2792, -0.2748, -0.287, -0.2499, -0.2496, -0.2082, -0.1501, -0.1406, -0.0973, -0.1394, -0.1414, -0.1213, -0.1049, -0.0783, 0.0035, 0.0203, -0.0039, -0.0616, -0.0273, 0.0575, 0.0331, 0.08, 0.0217, 0.0032, -0.0191, -0.0956, -0.131, -0.1686, -0.2137, -0.1536, -0.0651, 0.0, -0.0287, -0.0026, -0.01, 0.043, -0.0395, -0.1187, -0.0672, -0.1275, -0.1128, -0.1234, -0.185, -0.2477, -0.2934, -0.334, -0.3145, -0.2782, -0.242, -0.3252, -0.3362, -0.2673, -0.2914, -0.2451, -0.2451, -0.2436, -0.2015, -0.231, -0.2114, -0.1804, -0.2184, -0.2001, -0.2314, -0.2538, -0.2483, -0.3009, -0.3531, -0.3546, -0.3985, -0.3774, -0.2868, -0.2567, -0.2822, -0.2735, -0.2735, -0.3017, -0.314, -0.321, -0.3327, -0.3327, -0.2829, -0.2599, -0.2008, -0.233, -0.2243, -0.2192, -0.1443, -0.1595, -0.187, -0.1718, -0.1331, -0.1331, -0.2084, -0.2118, -0.2279, -0.2466, -0.2708, -0.2197, -0.1993, -0.2433, -0.3208, -0.2971, -0.2829, -0.3431, -0.4111, -0.3136, -0.2595, -0.2682, -0.2936, -0.2846, -0.2186, -0.2186, -0.2225, -0.1884, -0.1421, -0.2193, -0.1979, -0.1822, -0.154, -0.1638, -0.273, -0.2744, -0.308, -0.2204, -0.2374, -0.2878, -0.2431, -0.2312, -0.1071, -0.1386, -0.0995, 0.0352, -0.0726, -0.0548, -0.0312, -0.0623, -0.0899, -0.0839, -0.0824, -0.1551, -0.1962, -0.2645, -0.1728, -0.1872, -0.1324, -0.1324, -0.1028, -0.064, -0.0034, 0.0869, 0.1558, 0.2322, 0.2911, 0.3296, 0.3182, 0.2528, 0.2689, 0.2481]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1982018137672630708", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-25T09:35:22+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "way way larger execution risk in terms of margins", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS over IREN: software orchestration moat drives highest asymmetric return; IREN faces large execution/margin risk.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'd disagree, software orchestration is one of the biggest moats possible, which is why $NBIS > $IREN clear as day for me in terms of asymmetrical upside. But to each their own!\n\nI'd agree IREN has slightly higher potential upside due to scale of GW deployed but way way larger execution risk in terms of margins. \n\nWhen it comes to future earning reports with $IREN, I'd expect markets to find out the hard way that the orchestration and customer diversity that Nebius has currently is a massive, massive moat.   \n\n$ORCL one of the largest compute companies lost $100m+ on their most recent buildout as per TI reporting. This was largely due to software + GPU orchestration + customer base. Internal documents show they had ~14% gross margins (NBIS had 71.2% last quarter).  \n\nIf the largest hyperscalers can't get it right, and people keep pointing to $CRWV supporting Bitcoin miner pivots (when they spent billions on software aqusitions) and years on the pivot, then it's probably is a big moat that you're underestimating. \n\nAlso Software utilization/orchestration matters ~30–70x more than cheap power (did the math in another comment). \n\nScale of MW/GW deployed leads to higher upside with miners, sure, but there's no point of speculating whether these bitcoin miners can pivot into high margins when we have $NBIS with the highest asymmetrical return and capacity, was my point.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I would argue software stack is not a moat anymore in the AI era. \nWithout being vertically integrated margins will be $NBIS’s weakness in the long run. \n$IREN will be a better play imo. \nAnyhow, I’m bullish on both names 🟢🤝🏻🐂   \nWill go up together as a sector 📈", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "IRENBULLLL", "ret_m1d": -0.03215873836881211, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03215873836881211, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.020498589425048674, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.028033473816390764, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004125264552421348, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.039544541918764, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.039544541918764, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.042200540875355075, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03316916586003127, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006375376058732729, "ret_p1w": 0.04246810627715236, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04246810627715236, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04524082586242595, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0645944793271267, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022126373049974335, "ret_p1m": -0.2695798925827233, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2695798925827233, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2546654506846936, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.25476647211453674, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.014813420468186567, "ret_p3m": -0.1958762880546734, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1958762880546734, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.20430525526611998, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.20840337820819355, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01252709015352016, "ret_p6m": -0.30497000071257774, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.30497000071257774, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.33831456717471897, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2941425250379808, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010827475674596965, "price_path": [-0.7517, -0.7521, -0.763, -0.7464, -0.7469, -0.7181, -0.7143, -0.7161, -0.7235, -0.7257, -0.7272, -0.7064, -0.697, -0.6814, -0.7118, -0.696, -0.6986, -0.6703, -0.6443, -0.6463, -0.656, -0.6455, -0.5926, -0.5926, -0.5521, -0.5659, -0.5979, -0.5976, -0.597, -0.5355, -0.4825, -0.4945, -0.4775, -0.4285, -0.4391, -0.4168, -0.4411, -0.4054, -0.3553, -0.3573, -0.2747, -0.2877, -0.3559, -0.2933, -0.2779, -0.2756, -0.2765, -0.2236, -0.1114, -0.0509, -0.0754, -0.0175, -0.0803, -0.0131, 0.0703, 0.046, -0.0486, -0.0657, -0.0888, -0.1507, -0.2025, -0.1405, -0.0322, 0.0, -0.0395, -0.0703, -0.1042, -0.0652, 0.0425, 0.0252, 0.1757, 0.0303, -0.0402, -0.0742, -0.1171, -0.1429, -0.2514, -0.2865, -0.2705, -0.2483, -0.2948, -0.3311, -0.3497, -0.2539, -0.2696, -0.2545, -0.2545, -0.2643, -0.2539, -0.3673, -0.3236, -0.2853, -0.312, -0.287, -0.2793, -0.3242, -0.3239, -0.3825, -0.4541, -0.437, -0.4802, -0.4491, -0.3858, -0.3531, -0.3527, -0.3541, -0.3541, -0.3799, -0.3936, -0.4107, -0.4188, -0.4188, -0.343, -0.2577, -0.2936, -0.3287, -0.2971, -0.2917, -0.2256, -0.1846, -0.1863, -0.2016, -0.1103, -0.1103, -0.1651, -0.1771, -0.1959, -0.1279, -0.1943, -0.0769, -0.0315, -0.0792, -0.1731, -0.1833, -0.1631, -0.3085, -0.3878, -0.3564, -0.2899, -0.3394, -0.3434, -0.3841, -0.3504, -0.3504, -0.3696, -0.3525, -0.3339, -0.3848, -0.3482, -0.3007, -0.3225, -0.3193, -0.3699, -0.3631, -0.4022, -0.3254, -0.3826, -0.4353, -0.4024, -0.4134, -0.3541, -0.3634, -0.3602, -0.3085, -0.339, -0.3505, -0.359, -0.3647, -0.3513, -0.3673, -0.3625, -0.4238, -0.4601, -0.5135, -0.4725, -0.4755, -0.465, -0.465, -0.4595, -0.4501, -0.4333, -0.4298, -0.395, -0.3373, -0.2711, -0.2488, -0.266, -0.2596, -0.2503, -0.305]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1988227411054653710", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-11T12:48:48+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the $7-9 billion ARR for 2026 alone (which many analysts expected in 2028+), is insanely bullish", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish NBIS long-term: blowout ARR guidance 2-3 years ahead of consensus; dilution is short-term headwind but fundamentals are compelling.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NBIS earnings report blew away expectations with $7-9B ARR and a $3B hyperscaler deal with Meta. \n\nThey also added to their enterprise client list with Cursor. \n\nDespite that, stock is down -1.77% currently before their earnings call.  Why?\n\nDilution~$2.7B 25M share dilution ATM offering that will be filed Nov 12th. \n\nMeaning 2.7B worth of shares (at current prices) can be sold in the open market at current prices vs. convertible notes (preferred structure), which is the most likely reason it's not up 20% by now. \n\nIt affect share price short term, but the company fundamentals after this offering is incredible with amazing forward revenue growth. Eg. look at Rocketlab or others that did this to supplement growth. \n\nWill also delve into financial data given more time. But the $7-9 billion ARR for 2026 alone (which many analysts expected in 2028+), is insanely bullish.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Wow, $NBIS just blew away ARR expectations on growth and just signed a surprisising $3B hyperscaler deal with $META from their ER.\n\nThey now expect $7-9B ARR 2026, which is ~2.1B+ revenue/quarter. \n\nThis is exactly how Nebius grows grow to a $100B MC and $NBIS is a generational https://t.co/A5jCF3rb6K", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.07562116645693662, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07562116645693662, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07790517779341222, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08367715698290779, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0022840113364756, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008055990525971168, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07689298098696984, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07689298098696984, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07744946946558229, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07111371851615012, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005564884786124491, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005779262470819724, "ret_p1w": -0.11426335517212038, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11426335517212038, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08070553613602638, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09333522120495286, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.033557819036094005, "bench_c_p1w": -0.020928133967167528, "ret_p1m": -0.08442579514531079, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08442579514531079, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0911169579698673, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10955721246618133, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006691162824556507, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02513141732087054, "ret_p3m": -0.15769910540088283, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15769910540088283, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17184363692646742, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1746409985754659, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014144531525584592, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016941893174583056, "ret_p6m": 0.9085305616135924, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.9085305616135924, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.8279910769496042, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.8743308936187839, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08053948466398819, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03419966799480845, "price_path": [-0.3303, -0.2994, -0.2904, -0.3427, -0.34, -0.3526, -0.3252, -0.315, -0.3105, -0.3142, -0.2952, -0.3316, -0.3316, -0.3571, -0.3578, -0.365, -0.3595, -0.3733, -0.0636, -0.0864, -0.1275, -0.1155, -0.1102, -0.1251, -0.0796, -0.0792, -0.0285, 0.0428, 0.0546, 0.1077, 0.056, 0.0536, 0.0783, 0.0983, 0.131, 0.2314, 0.252, 0.2223, 0.1514, 0.1935, 0.2976, 0.2677, 0.3252, 0.2537, 0.231, 0.2037, 0.1098, 0.0663, 0.0202, -0.0352, 0.0385, 0.1471, 0.2271, 0.1918, 0.2238, 0.2148, 0.2798, 0.1785, 0.0814, 0.1446, 0.0706, 0.0886, 0.0756, 0.0, -0.0769, -0.1329, -0.1827, -0.1589, -0.1143, -0.0699, -0.172, -0.1855, -0.101, -0.1305, -0.0737, -0.0737, -0.0719, -0.0203, -0.0564, -0.0323, 0.0057, -0.0409, -0.0185, -0.0568, -0.0844, -0.0777, -0.1421, -0.2062, -0.2081, -0.2619, -0.2361, -0.1248, -0.0879, -0.1193, -0.1085, -0.1085, -0.1431, -0.1583, -0.1668, -0.1811, -0.1811, -0.12, -0.0919, -0.0194, -0.0588, -0.0481, -0.042, 0.05, 0.0314, -0.0023, 0.0163, 0.0637, 0.0637, -0.0287, -0.0328, -0.0525, -0.0755, -0.1053, -0.0426, -0.0175, -0.0715, -0.1666, -0.1375, -0.12, -0.194, -0.2773, -0.1577, -0.0914, -0.102, -0.1331, -0.1222, -0.0412, -0.0412, -0.046, -0.0041, 0.0527, -0.0421, -0.0158, 0.0035, 0.0382, 0.026, -0.1079, -0.1097, -0.1509, -0.0434, -0.0643, -0.1261, -0.0712, -0.0566, 0.0956, 0.0569, 0.105, 0.2703, 0.138, 0.1599, 0.1888, 0.1507, 0.1167, 0.1241, 0.1259, 0.0367, -0.0137, -0.0974, 0.0151, -0.0026, 0.0646, 0.0646, 0.101, 0.1485, 0.2229, 0.3337, 0.4182, 0.512, 0.5842, 0.6315, 0.6175, 0.5373, 0.557, 0.5315, 0.5275, 0.5367, 0.4396, 0.4181, 0.3257, 0.3812, 0.3523, 0.5113, 0.7259, 0.721, 0.9085]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2009423554547487107", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-09T00:34:43+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "AXT effectively became a monopoly after China's export controls on Japan 2 days ago... 7n prices have hit ATHs, $AXTI owns the mines all the way to substrate production so many price increases and bifurcation in premiums between western hyperscalers + SMM would increase their bottom line", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long AXTI: effective InP substrate monopoly post-China export controls, vertically integrated mine-to-substrate, ATH feedstock prices, and western hyperscaler premiums boost bottom line.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AXTI secured $100m from Northland for capex expansion, deferred FCF from $5m of contracted revenue from 2024 or early 2025 does not make a material difference.\n\nStock runup was multifaceted:\n\n-> Recognition that InP substrates would bottleneck the AI industry deployment with photonics \n\n-> Recognition that InP substrate production was a duopoly (Sumitomo, $AXTI), with some smaller players like JX\n\n ->Recognition that InP feedstock was another bottleneck for the InP substrate producers ( $AXTI, Vital) with some smaller players like $DOWA. \n\n-> Supply shortage notice from earnings reports like $COHR \n\n-> Recognition that Western hypescalers are paying markups on top of SMM prices ~Dec 24th \n\n-> Recognition that AXT effectively became a monopoly after China's export controls on Japan 2 days ago (which would limit substrate production at scale from AXT's major competitor). Est 3-6 months inventory.\n\n7n prices have hit ATHs, $AXTI owns the mines all the way to substrate production so many price increases and bifurcation in premiums between western hyperscalers + SMM would increase their bottom line.\n\nI personally don't consider contracted backlog and 1 quarter deferred contracted revenue all the way back from 2024 or early 2025 to be material before the entire supply chokepoint started. But to each their own interpretation.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @beauty_oe Isn’t the run up in the stock the expectation of the supply shortage impact ? The problem with this preannounce is that it means export permits will be lumpy and that means less visibility on earnings. Adding to capex also means that fcf worsens…", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MRWahdy", "ret_m1d": 0.12353197828891327, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.12353197828891327, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.1301018717281992, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.14984098142919255, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006569893439285934, "bench_c_m1d": -0.026309003140279286, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03262287983761569, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03262287983761569, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03419333364938748, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.036322593205094234, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0015704538117717881, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003699713367478541, "ret_p1w": -0.03914743921228414, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03914743921228414, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03567515789841835, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06784589610736158, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.003472281313865788, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02869845689507744, "ret_p1m": 0.2079165173655424, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2079165173655424, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.20808934664522083, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.16313466488849615, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00017282927967843253, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04478185247704625, "ret_p3m": 1.31317967962682, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.31317967962682, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.3365401139432729, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.2265962252787943, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.02336043431645274, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08658345434802572, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.8012, -0.8003, -0.7856, -0.8038, -0.7864, -0.7751, -0.7851, -0.7747, -0.7364, -0.7308, -0.7129, -0.6925, -0.6816, -0.6542, -0.632, -0.6285, -0.6042, -0.6142, -0.5885, -0.5459, -0.5407, -0.5224, -0.5459, -0.5459, -0.5542, -0.5694, -0.5602, -0.589, -0.6116, -0.5937, -0.5985, -0.5455, -0.5455, -0.5346, -0.5307, -0.4885, -0.5007, -0.4737, -0.4963, -0.4472, -0.3493, -0.3254, -0.2875, -0.3558, -0.3549, -0.4345, -0.4624, -0.3906, -0.3628, -0.338, -0.3632, -0.3471, -0.3471, -0.3314, -0.3654, -0.3127, -0.2888, -0.2888, -0.271, -0.2749, -0.1227, 0.0487, 0.1235, 0.0, -0.0326, -0.0644, -0.0387, 0.1187, -0.0391, -0.0391, -0.0687, -0.1396, -0.2205, -0.2431, -0.2258, -0.2518, -0.2679, -0.2875, -0.1936, -0.0892, -0.1414, -0.1844, -0.1114, 0.0465, 0.2079, 0.0592, 0.1657, 0.0783, 0.0544, 0.0544, 0.0096, 0.0239, 0.0357, 0.291, 0.2366, 0.5259, 0.7821, 0.6146, 0.6485, 1.0148, 0.8164, 0.702, 0.6877, 0.408, 0.6773, 0.9269, 1.06, 1.0326, 1.1253, 1.1048, 0.9295, 1.1209, 1.5268, 1.3593, 1.803, 1.9769, 1.9295, 1.545, 1.6372, 1.2936, 1.4785, 1.0505, 1.2984, 1.2984, 0.8264, 0.9774, 1.3132, 1.7455, 1.7916, 1.8904, 1.9274, 1.7373, 2.5572, 2.5911, 2.4258, 2.261, 2.7816, 2.274, 2.3127, 2.0513, 1.9887, 2.0913, 2.4458, 3.1757, 3.6107, 3.6781, 3.5598, 3.716, 4.0613, 4.4724, 4.3458, 4.304, 4.0013, 4.3841, 3.6055, 3.91, 3.5502, 4.264, 5.1257, 5.1257, 4.7677, 4.3401, 4.0326, 3.4872, 3.4872, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1970880728994107816", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-24T15:59:17+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This stock is extremely undervalued. Northland just gave a $206 PT, but I've been calling this since it was under $100. I rarely have high-conviction stocks. But NBIS is one of them. $112 -> $200 in 4 months.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "High-conviction long NBIS; $750K+ position, $206 PT from Northland, author's own target $200 in 4 months from ~$112.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$750K+ in $NBIS, with ~$93K+ in unrealized gains in just 5 days. \n\nThis stock is extremely undervalued. Northland just gave a $206 PT, but I’ve been calling this since it was under $100.\n\nI rarely have high-conviction stocks. But NBIS is one of them. \n\n$112 -&gt; $200 in 4 months. https://t.co/wHTRGKlupK", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Thoughts on why I’m scaling my $NBIS position to $1M+ with a $225 PT:\n\nThesis\n______\nWhen MSFT, GOOGL, and Mag7 are your customers like ALAB or CRED (when I took large positions in both sub $100) or before $NVDA or AVGO or TSM took off, a company's forward growth would likely https://t.co/020adNYx0n", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04795549010149591, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04795549010149591, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.051147278655346295, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.056300901697700634, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003191788553850383, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008345411596204722, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04671907408544129, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04671907408544129, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04210557659696923, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.043312748942310075, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0046134974884720625, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003406325143131217, "ret_p1w": 0.02101913965254898, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02101913965254898, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.009901268078584824, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.027150511832574886, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011117871573964155, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006131372180025907, "ret_p1m": -0.06243927832923879, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06243927832923879, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07856395715180164, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04387502207974314, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.016124678822562855, "bench_c_p1m": -0.018564256249495648, "ret_p3m": -0.17663162948917555, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17663162948917555, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.21558740136097254, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17329069239731953, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.038955771871796996, "bench_c_p3m": -0.003340937091856011, "ret_p6m": 0.07321375112919815, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.07321375112919815, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.07223103382485929, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.10662704533083422, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0009827173043388537, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03341329420163608, "price_path": [-0.5422, -0.5113, -0.5557, -0.5587, -0.5562, -0.5562, -0.5775, -0.584, -0.5933, -0.5899, -0.6088, -0.5412, -0.5272, -0.5292, -0.5258, -0.5338, -0.5375, -0.5495, -0.5418, -0.5393, -0.5463, -0.5341, -0.5549, -0.547, -0.5193, -0.5408, -0.5216, -0.5128, -0.5135, -0.4232, -0.3926, -0.3797, -0.3347, -0.3762, -0.3954, -0.3675, -0.3594, -0.4066, -0.4041, -0.4155, -0.3908, -0.3816, -0.3776, -0.3809, -0.3638, -0.3966, -0.3966, -0.4196, -0.4202, -0.4267, -0.4218, -0.4342, -0.1546, -0.1752, -0.2123, -0.2015, -0.1967, -0.2102, -0.1691, -0.1688, -0.1229, -0.0586, -0.048, 0.0, -0.0467, -0.0488, -0.0266, -0.0085, 0.021, 0.1116, 0.1303, 0.1034, 0.0395, 0.0775, 0.1714, 0.1444, 0.1963, 0.1318, 0.1113, 0.0866, 0.0019, -0.0374, -0.079, -0.129, -0.0624, 0.0356, 0.1077, 0.076, 0.1048, 0.0967, 0.1553, 0.0639, -0.0238, 0.0333, -0.0335, -0.0172, -0.029, -0.0972, -0.1667, -0.2173, -0.2622, -0.2407, -0.2004, -0.1604, -0.2525, -0.2647, -0.1884, -0.215, -0.1637, -0.1637, -0.1621, -0.1155, -0.1482, -0.1264, -0.0921, -0.1342, -0.1139, -0.1485, -0.1735, -0.1674, -0.2256, -0.2834, -0.2851, -0.3337, -0.3103, -0.2099, -0.1766, -0.2049, -0.1952, -0.1952, -0.2264, -0.2401, -0.2478, -0.2608, -0.2608, -0.2056, -0.1802, -0.1147, -0.1503, -0.1407, -0.1351, -0.0521, -0.0689, -0.0994, -0.0825, -0.0397, -0.0397, -0.1231, -0.1268, -0.1447, -0.1654, -0.1923, -0.1357, -0.113, -0.1618, -0.2476, -0.2214, -0.2056, -0.2724, -0.3476, -0.2396, -0.1797, -0.1893, -0.2174, -0.2075, -0.1344, -0.1344, -0.1387, -0.1009, -0.0496, -0.1352, -0.1115, -0.0941, -0.0628, -0.0737, -0.1946, -0.1962, -0.2334, -0.1364, -0.1553, -0.2111, -0.1615, -0.1484, -0.0109, -0.0458, -0.0025, 0.1468, 0.0274, 0.0471, 0.0732]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1971445693861724497", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-26T05:24:15+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "might be a good dip buy here", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Views CIFR's convertible note terms as favorable; suggests buying the dip.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@miningstockinfo @CipherInc This is how companies should do dilution imo. Pretty good terms for $CIFR, might be a good dip buy here.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "JUST IN: 💼 @CipherInc has announced a $1.1B offering of 0% convertible senior notes due 2031, up from $800M. The proceeds will aid data center construction and accelerate HPC strategy. Notes mature October 2031 and initial conversion price set at $16.03/share. $CIFR. https://t.co/NINN0ngsa3", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "miningstockinfo", "ret_m1d": 0.01656491507933655, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01656491507933655, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02226142332818548, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01957736193158255, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0056965082488489305, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003012446852245998, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1028770116852955, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1028770116852955, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10006664524415565, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09753353743162485, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028103664411398555, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005343474253670655, "ret_p1w": 0.2816041383644212, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2816041383644212, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2704379842248974, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.26051679090459356, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01116615413952382, "bench_c_p1w": 0.021087347459827654, "ret_p1m": 0.7907585385652331, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.7907585385652331, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.7553713496291417, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.7184589361349065, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035387188936091496, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07229960243032663, "ret_p3m": 0.4141237084344136, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4141237084344136, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3678876573159988, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3631847236253811, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04623605111841478, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05093898480903247, "ret_p6m": 0.29816913658885746, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.29816913658885746, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.30226137737681735, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3131723269356823, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.004092240787959889, "bench_c_p6m": -0.015003190346824846, "price_path": [-0.5728, -0.5048, -0.4725, -0.4725, -0.4952, -0.4743, -0.4542, -0.456, -0.4882, -0.4743, -0.4795, -0.4534, -0.4403, -0.4455, -0.4551, -0.3949, -0.4176, -0.4202, -0.4359, -0.4629, -0.5048, -0.5248, -0.524, -0.5702, -0.5475, -0.5632, -0.5458, -0.5754, -0.5859, -0.585, -0.5885, -0.5728, -0.5362, -0.5458, -0.4725, -0.4978, -0.4813, -0.4856, -0.4438, -0.4211, -0.3793, -0.3906, -0.388, -0.3339, -0.3339, -0.2746, -0.2929, -0.3548, -0.3444, -0.3269, -0.1962, -0.1064, -0.1308, -0.0541, -0.0541, 0.0035, 0.0793, 0.0331, 0.0706, 0.2171, 0.2337, 0.2328, 0.0166, 0.0, 0.1029, 0.0976, 0.0985, 0.204, 0.2816, 0.3374, 0.3731, 0.5344, 0.5684, 0.4795, 0.7733, 0.8213, 0.8335, 0.6321, 0.6356, 0.7358, 0.5759, 0.4045, 0.5044, 0.8012, 0.7908, 0.7402, 0.7079, 0.6626, 0.626, 0.9843, 0.9625, 1.1543, 0.8928, 0.8038, 0.7132, 0.6277, 0.5153, 0.3017, 0.252, 0.2511, 0.2711, 0.2746, 0.2694, 0.2337, 0.4568, 0.5275, 0.6696, 0.6696, 0.7742, 0.7167, 0.5379, 0.6242, 0.7289, 0.6809, 0.6983, 0.7053, 0.6112, 0.646, 0.4865, 0.2851, 0.3069, 0.2546, 0.3208, 0.4133, 0.4246, 0.3871, 0.4141, 0.4141, 0.3243, 0.3147, 0.272, 0.2868, 0.2868, 0.4124, 0.5833, 0.5292, 0.4019, 0.4429, 0.4499, 0.5414, 0.5911, 0.5806, 0.5275, 0.6391, 0.6391, 0.5623, 0.5449, 0.5161, 0.5318, 0.4377, 0.6347, 0.6539, 0.5432, 0.3915, 0.3784, 0.4176, 0.2424, 0.1072, 0.2842, 0.4612, 0.4908, 0.4194, 0.4037, 0.4316, 0.4316, 0.3636, 0.3444, 0.3775, 0.2772, 0.3269, 0.4926, 0.4481, 0.4368, 0.3601, 0.374, 0.2825, 0.3984, 0.3208, 0.1874, 0.2476, 0.2171, 0.2302, 0.1953, 0.2276, 0.32, 0.3156, 0.279, 0.2764, 0.2214, 0.2982]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1990484492038123662", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-17T18:17:38+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$CIFR is actually next favorite Neocloud sector pick", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long CIFR (de-risked AWS/GOOGL colo play) and NBIS (higher upside full-stack Neocloud); downgraded IREN on new GPU fleet risk.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$CIFR is actually next favorite Neocloud sector pick. \n\nI made a tierlist earlier and $NBIS was S+ and $CIFR was S.\n\nBut here's the difference and nuance people might not know:\n\nNebius captures the entire value chain of the AI cloud business. $IREN said it themselves in their ER call that they did full-stack with $MSFT because of to \"higher revenue potential and stronger returns\", while taking on orchestration, software, and deprecation with GPUs purchases vs. colo.\n\n$CIFR is de-risked as you mentioned because of AWS, $GOOGL and finally secure, which is why I love the pick. Doing colo, they avoid purchasing/managing GPU fleets, which is why I downgraded $IREN due to a new risk factor that isn't quite present with $NBIS and wasn't there before.\n\nThere's high-margin, annuity-like revenue for space, power, and cooling for hyperscales. It's one of the lowest-risk adjusted stocks in the sector. \n\nHowever, upside is not anywhere as high. Especially when you look at leases (eg. 10Y-15Y) revenue ramp is a lot slower, and upside is a lot less compared to full-stack pure Neoclouds like $NBIS.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Highest upside derisked play in the space is CIFR at its current price/valuation.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "bzabodyn214", "ret_m1d": 0.0006968135847877921, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0006968135847877921, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.008707232009198762, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015203554923644225, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.009404045593986554, "bench_c_m1d": 0.015900368508432017, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.016027842238480305, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.016027842238480305, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.024425395008580986, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.032280902532915934, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00839755277010068, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01625306029443563, "ret_p1w": 0.16445983555863974, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16445983555863974, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.159862980426845, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1783155842944949, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004596855131794753, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013855748735855156, "ret_p1m": 0.04459925941708498, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04459925941708498, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02476955265459657, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.039381492468566925, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019829706762488408, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0052177669485180544, "ret_p3m": 0.12195121627033467, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12195121627033467, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09549193538294642, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.13886596476408508, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026459280887388248, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01691474849375041, "ret_p6m": 0.39790933328796463, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.39790933328796463, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2826672420254841, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.15912857875842668, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11524209126248053, "bench_c_p6m": 0.23878075452953795, "price_path": [-0.5854, -0.5889, -0.5554, -0.5373, -0.5038, -0.5129, -0.5108, -0.4676, -0.4676, -0.4202, -0.4348, -0.4843, -0.476, -0.462, -0.3575, -0.2857, -0.3052, -0.2439, -0.2439, -0.1979, -0.1373, -0.1742, -0.1443, -0.0272, -0.0139, -0.0146, -0.1875, -0.2007, -0.1185, -0.1226, -0.122, -0.0376, 0.0244, 0.069, 0.0976, 0.2265, 0.2537, 0.1826, 0.4174, 0.4557, 0.4655, 0.3045, 0.3073, 0.3875, 0.2596, 0.1226, 0.2024, 0.4397, 0.4314, 0.3909, 0.3652, 0.3289, 0.2997, 0.5861, 0.5686, 0.722, 0.5129, 0.4418, 0.3693, 0.301, 0.2111, 0.0404, 0.0007, 0.0, 0.016, 0.0188, 0.0146, -0.0139, 0.1645, 0.2209, 0.3345, 0.3345, 0.4181, 0.3721, 0.2293, 0.2983, 0.3819, 0.3436, 0.3575, 0.3631, 0.2878, 0.3157, 0.1882, 0.0272, 0.0446, 0.0028, 0.0557, 0.1296, 0.1387, 0.1087, 0.1303, 0.1303, 0.0585, 0.0509, 0.0167, 0.0286, 0.0286, 0.1289, 0.2655, 0.2223, 0.1206, 0.1533, 0.1589, 0.2321, 0.2718, 0.2634, 0.2209, 0.3101, 0.3101, 0.2488, 0.2348, 0.2118, 0.2244, 0.1491, 0.3066, 0.322, 0.2334, 0.1122, 0.1017, 0.1331, -0.007, -0.115, 0.0265, 0.1679, 0.1916, 0.1345, 0.122, 0.1443, 0.1443, 0.0899, 0.0746, 0.101, 0.0209, 0.0606, 0.193, 0.1575, 0.1484, 0.0871, 0.0983, 0.0251, 0.1178, 0.0557, -0.0509, -0.0028, -0.0272, -0.0167, -0.0446, -0.0188, 0.0551, 0.0516, 0.0223, 0.0202, -0.0237, 0.0376, 0.0369, 0.1066, 0.0, -0.0422, -0.1627, -0.1031, -0.1192, -0.1066, -0.1066, -0.0697, -0.0237, 0.0746, 0.1401, 0.1519, 0.2376, 0.2857, 0.2544, 0.2084, 0.3498, 0.3443, 0.2571, 0.3547, 0.3024, 0.2683, 0.2655, 0.2028, 0.1791, 0.2362, 0.1875, 0.2467, 0.5401, 0.5268, 0.4415, 0.4321, 0.4132, 0.3979]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1990484492038123662", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-17T18:17:38+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS was S+ and $CIFR was S", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long CIFR (de-risked AWS/GOOGL colo play) and NBIS (higher upside full-stack Neocloud); downgraded IREN on new GPU fleet risk.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$CIFR is actually next favorite Neocloud sector pick. \n\nI made a tierlist earlier and $NBIS was S+ and $CIFR was S.\n\nBut here's the difference and nuance people might not know:\n\nNebius captures the entire value chain of the AI cloud business. $IREN said it themselves in their ER call that they did full-stack with $MSFT because of to \"higher revenue potential and stronger returns\", while taking on orchestration, software, and deprecation with GPUs purchases vs. colo.\n\n$CIFR is de-risked as you mentioned because of AWS, $GOOGL and finally secure, which is why I love the pick. Doing colo, they avoid purchasing/managing GPU fleets, which is why I downgraded $IREN due to a new risk factor that isn't quite present with $NBIS and wasn't there before.\n\nThere's high-margin, annuity-like revenue for space, power, and cooling for hyperscales. It's one of the lowest-risk adjusted stocks in the sector. \n\nHowever, upside is not anywhere as high. Especially when you look at leases (eg. 10Y-15Y) revenue ramp is a lot slower, and upside is a lot less compared to full-stack pure Neoclouds like $NBIS.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Highest upside derisked play in the space is CIFR at its current price/valuation.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "bzabodyn214", "ret_m1d": -0.028378720006289493, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.028378720006289493, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03778276560027605, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02972795147062146, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.009404045593986554, "bench_c_m1d": 0.001349231464331968, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.053035559206290994, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.053035559206290994, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.061433111976391674, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04736900806043187, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00839755277010068, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005666551145859122, "ret_p1w": 0.0688531976949256, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0688531976949256, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06425634256313084, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.052393347345248475, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004596855131794753, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01645985034967712, "ret_p1m": -0.058502049456895966, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.058502049456895966, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07833175621938437, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10770162010072437, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019829706762488408, "bench_c_p1m": 0.049199570643828405, "ret_p3m": 0.04361479243531097, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04361479243531097, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.01715551154792272, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.009155934671352783, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026459280887388248, "bench_c_p3m": 0.034458857763958184, "ret_p6m": 1.083158799922375, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.083158799922375, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.9679167086598945, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.0343549651656587, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11524209126248053, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04880383475671635, "price_path": [-0.2153, -0.2303, -0.1977, -0.1856, -0.1803, -0.1847, -0.1621, -0.2054, -0.2054, -0.2356, -0.2365, -0.2451, -0.2385, -0.2549, 0.1133, 0.0862, 0.0373, 0.0515, 0.0579, 0.0401, 0.0942, 0.0947, 0.155, 0.2398, 0.2538, 0.3169, 0.2554, 0.2526, 0.2819, 0.3058, 0.3446, 0.4639, 0.4885, 0.4531, 0.3689, 0.4189, 0.5427, 0.5071, 0.5755, 0.4905, 0.4635, 0.431, 0.3194, 0.2677, 0.2128, 0.147, 0.2347, 0.3638, 0.4588, 0.417, 0.455, 0.4443, 0.5215, 0.4011, 0.2856, 0.3608, 0.2729, 0.2943, 0.2788, 0.1889, 0.0975, 0.0308, -0.0284, 0.0, 0.053, 0.1057, -0.0156, -0.0316, 0.0689, 0.0337, 0.1013, 0.1013, 0.1034, 0.1648, 0.1218, 0.1505, 0.1956, 0.1403, 0.1669, 0.1213, 0.0885, 0.0965, 0.0199, -0.0563, -0.0585, -0.1225, -0.0918, 0.0405, 0.0843, 0.0471, 0.0599, 0.0599, 0.0187, 0.0007, -0.0094, -0.0265, -0.0265, 0.0462, 0.0797, 0.1659, 0.119, 0.1317, 0.139, 0.2483, 0.2262, 0.1861, 0.2082, 0.2646, 0.2646, 0.1548, 0.1499, 0.1264, 0.0991, 0.0637, 0.1383, 0.1681, 0.1039, -0.0092, 0.0254, 0.0462, -0.0418, -0.1408, 0.0014, 0.0803, 0.0676, 0.0306, 0.0436, 0.1399, 0.1399, 0.1342, 0.184, 0.2516, 0.1389, 0.1702, 0.1931, 0.2342, 0.2198, 0.0606, 0.0585, 0.0095, 0.1372, 0.1125, 0.039, 0.1042, 0.1215, 0.3026, 0.2566, 0.3137, 0.5102, 0.353, 0.3789, 0.4134, 0.368, 0.3276, 0.3365, 0.3386, 0.2325, 0.1726, 0.073, 0.2068, 0.1857, 0.2656, 0.2656, 0.3089, 0.3654, 0.4538, 0.5856, 0.6861, 0.7976, 0.8835, 0.9396, 0.923, 0.8276, 0.8511, 0.8208, 0.816, 0.8269, 0.7116, 0.686, 0.5761, 0.6421, 0.6077, 0.7968, 1.0519, 1.0461, 1.269, 1.149, 1.0592, 1.1645, 1.0832]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1990484492038123662", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-11-17T18:17:38+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I downgraded $IREN due to a new risk factor that isn't quite present with $NBIS and wasn't there before", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long CIFR (de-risked AWS/GOOGL colo play) and NBIS (higher upside full-stack Neocloud); downgraded IREN on new GPU fleet risk.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$CIFR is actually next favorite Neocloud sector pick. \n\nI made a tierlist earlier and $NBIS was S+ and $CIFR was S.\n\nBut here's the difference and nuance people might not know:\n\nNebius captures the entire value chain of the AI cloud business. $IREN said it themselves in their ER call that they did full-stack with $MSFT because of to \"higher revenue potential and stronger returns\", while taking on orchestration, software, and deprecation with GPUs purchases vs. colo.\n\n$CIFR is de-risked as you mentioned because of AWS, $GOOGL and finally secure, which is why I love the pick. Doing colo, they avoid purchasing/managing GPU fleets, which is why I downgraded $IREN due to a new risk factor that isn't quite present with $NBIS and wasn't there before.\n\nThere's high-margin, annuity-like revenue for space, power, and cooling for hyperscales. It's one of the lowest-risk adjusted stocks in the sector. \n\nHowever, upside is not anywhere as high. Especially when you look at leases (eg. 10Y-15Y) revenue ramp is a lot slower, and upside is a lot less compared to full-stack pure Neoclouds like $NBIS.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Highest upside derisked play in the space is CIFR at its current price/valuation.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "bzabodyn214", "ret_m1d": -0.021936319740024524, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.021936319740024524, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03134036533401108, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04137258765111962, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.009404045593986554, "bench_c_m1d": 0.019436267911095095, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.030373310089508276, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.030373310089508276, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03877086285960896, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.031928322204737514, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00839755277010068, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0015550121152292373, "ret_p1w": 0.022780042913534082, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.022780042913534082, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01818318778173933, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.014228111955383982, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004596855131794753, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0085519309581501, "ret_p1m": -0.22822188841274238, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.22822188841274238, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2480515951752308, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.29022374308981924, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019829706762488408, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06200185467707686, "ret_p3m": -0.15566338519020417, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15566338519020417, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.18212266607759242, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1638393701134745, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026459280887388248, "bench_c_p3m": 0.008175984923270319, "ret_p6m": 0.19299729076836014, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.19299729076836014, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.07775519950587961, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.18179534036601486, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11524209126248053, "bench_c_p6m": 0.011201950402345284, "price_path": [-0.5832, -0.5868, -0.548, -0.5123, -0.5151, -0.5285, -0.514, -0.4415, -0.4415, -0.386, -0.405, -0.4489, -0.4484, -0.4476, -0.3632, -0.2907, -0.3071, -0.2837, -0.2166, -0.2312, -0.2006, -0.2339, -0.185, -0.1162, -0.119, -0.0057, -0.0236, -0.1171, -0.0312, -0.0101, -0.007, -0.0082, 0.0643, 0.2181, 0.301, 0.2675, 0.3468, 0.2607, 0.3529, 0.4672, 0.4339, 0.3042, 0.2807, 0.2491, 0.1642, 0.0932, 0.1782, 0.3267, 0.3708, 0.3166, 0.2744, 0.228, 0.2814, 0.429, 0.4054, 0.6117, 0.4124, 0.3158, 0.2691, 0.2103, 0.1749, 0.0262, -0.0219, 0.0, 0.0304, -0.0333, -0.0831, -0.1086, 0.0228, 0.0013, 0.0219, 0.0219, 0.0084, 0.0228, -0.1327, -0.0728, -0.0202, -0.057, -0.0226, -0.012, -0.0736, -0.0732, -0.1536, -0.2516, -0.2282, -0.2875, -0.2449, -0.158, -0.1133, -0.1126, -0.1145, -0.1145, -0.15, -0.1687, -0.1922, -0.2033, -0.2033, -0.0993, 0.0175, -0.0316, -0.0798, -0.0365, -0.0291, 0.0616, 0.1177, 0.1154, 0.0945, 0.2196, 0.2196, 0.1445, 0.128, 0.1023, 0.1955, 0.1044, 0.2653, 0.3276, 0.2622, 0.1335, 0.1196, 0.1472, -0.0521, -0.1607, -0.1177, -0.0266, -0.0945, -0.1, -0.1557, -0.1095, -0.1095, -0.1358, -0.1124, -0.0869, -0.1567, -0.1065, -0.0413, -0.0713, -0.0669, -0.1363, -0.127, -0.1806, -0.0753, -0.1537, -0.2259, -0.1808, -0.196, -0.1145, -0.1274, -0.123, -0.0521, -0.0939, -0.1097, -0.1213, -0.1291, -0.1107, -0.1327, -0.1261, -0.2101, -0.2599, -0.3331, -0.2769, -0.281, -0.2666, -0.2666, -0.259, -0.2462, -0.2232, -0.2183, -0.1706, -0.0915, -0.0008, 0.0297, 0.0061, 0.015, 0.0276, -0.0472, 0.0207, 0.0972, 0.0681, 0.02, -0.0626, -0.096, -0.0401, -0.0369, 0.0437, 0.1546, 0.2862, 0.1991, 0.2909, 0.1633, 0.193]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2011116340514542054", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-13T16:41:14+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$META is insanely profitable. That's just narrative. Net income last quarter would be $18.6B (large beat) but reported was $2.71B from big beautiful bill. My guess is when they play reverse uno, with accounting optics next quarter the narrative changes again.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish META: underlying profitability is intact; accounting optics will reverse next quarter, shifting narrative positive.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$META is insanely profitable. That’s just narrative. \n\nWhen I bought $GOOGL longs at $145 everyone was saying search was dying even though numbers say otherwise. \n\nIn Meta’s case they’re printing money and this is just optics. Net income last quarter would be  $18.6B (large beat) but reported was $2.71B from big beautiful bill.\n\nMy guess is when they play reverse uno, with accounting optics next quarter the narrative changes again. \n\nJust wanted to post to see if it turns out right", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Market is pricing in zucks ai infrastructure spend as metaverse 2.0", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "treasury_bill", "ret_m1d": 0.017239873955249285, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.017239873955249285, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01523639293896184, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011593496566688177, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002003481016287445, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005646377388561108, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.024671631819543127, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.024671631819543127, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.019756394477924544, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02253285349778744, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0049152373416185835, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0021387783217556855, "ret_p1w": -0.042735632615598984, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.042735632615598984, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01939932639202524, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.013477375657072188, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023336306223573744, "bench_c_p1w": -0.029258256958526796, "ret_p1m": 0.05957941460084837, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05957941460084837, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06218832427350407, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06086265540264146, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026089096726557015, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0012832408017930952, "ret_p3m": -0.0010945767343011337, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0010945767343011337, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.01685718128478364, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.020946416516865796, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.017951758019084774, "bench_c_p3m": -0.02204099325116693, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1274, 0.1351, 0.1592, 0.161, 0.1612, 0.1621, 0.169, 0.1887, 0.1897, 0.1901, 0.0552, 0.0265, 0.0097, -0.0068, 0.0069, -0.0201, -0.0157, 0.0002, -0.0072, -0.0358, -0.0344, -0.0351, -0.0469, -0.0537, -0.0654, -0.0672, -0.0591, -0.0294, 0.0073, 0.0032, 0.0032, 0.0259, 0.0147, 0.0245, 0.0127, 0.0474, 0.0662, 0.0557, 0.0401, 0.0293, 0.0334, 0.02, 0.026, 0.0413, 0.0292, 0.0529, 0.0439, 0.0482, 0.0536, 0.0578, 0.0578, 0.051, 0.0437, 0.0552, 0.046, 0.046, 0.0306, 0.0439, 0.0468, 0.0279, 0.0237, 0.0348, 0.0172, 0.0, -0.0247, -0.0163, -0.0172, -0.0172, -0.0427, -0.0287, 0.0262, 0.0438, 0.0654, 0.0664, 0.0596, 0.1699, 0.1353, 0.1193, 0.096, 0.0601, 0.062, 0.0481, 0.0731, 0.0628, 0.0596, 0.0297, 0.0138, 0.0138, 0.013, 0.0192, 0.0217, 0.0389, 0.0098, 0.013, 0.0358, 0.0411, 0.0271, 0.0356, 0.038, 0.0581, 0.0467, 0.0218, 0.0258, 0.0364, 0.0377, 0.0112, -0.0275, -0.0049, -0.0125, -0.0236, -0.0378, -0.0585, -0.042, -0.0597, -0.0566, -0.1316, -0.1663, -0.1493, -0.0926, -0.0814, -0.089, -0.089, -0.0912, -0.088, -0.0288, -0.0034, -0.0011, 0.0063, 0.0507, 0.0651, 0.0735, 0.092, 0.064, 0.0607, 0.07, 0.0454, 0.0705, 0.0762, 0.0647, 0.0612, -0.0296, -0.0346, -0.0319, -0.0406, -0.028, -0.0218, -0.0332, -0.0503, -0.0437, -0.0221, -0.0192, -0.0259, -0.0307, -0.0443, -0.0404, -0.0367, -0.0322, -0.0322, -0.0289, 0.0075, 0.0075, 0.0031, 0.0031, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2010981186005549253", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-13T07:44:11+00:00", "symbol": "FLY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$FLY is part of my longs for 2026 given medium lift payload launch with Northrop", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long FLY into 2026 on medium-lift payload launch with Northrop; execution risk acknowledged.", "resolved_tickers": ["FLY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$FLY is part of my longs for 2026 given medium lift payload launch with Northrop. I do like it but obviously the biggest risk is execution related where $RKLB historically had high success.\n\nI actually posted a thesis about it, I just don’t post often about it like $SNAP or others.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Hey @aleabitoreddit any thoughts on $FLY ?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MoJosey123", "ret_m1d": 0.08830894820665236, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08830894820665236, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08630546719036492, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08630546719036492, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002003481016287445, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002003481016287445, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07293532233135691, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07293532233135691, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0778505596729755, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0778505596729755, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0049152373416185835, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0049152373416185835, "ret_p1w": 0.08473367527405773, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08473367527405773, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10806998149763147, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10806998149763147, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023336306223573744, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023336306223573744, "ret_p1m": -0.2556310258869563, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2556310258869563, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2530221162143006, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2530221162143006, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026089096726557015, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0026089096726557015, "ret_p3m": 0.342152371723641, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.342152371723641, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.36010412974272576, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.36010412974272576, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.017951758019084774, "bench_c_p3m": -0.017951758019084774, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0029, -0.0576, -0.0304, 0.0075, -0.0619, -0.0719, -0.0375, -0.0172, -0.0787, -0.1044, -0.1258, -0.1326, -0.1498, -0.1831, -0.1956, -0.3089, -0.2942, -0.3121, -0.3161, -0.3454, -0.2342, -0.1795, -0.3035, -0.2935, -0.3057, -0.3951, -0.4001, -0.3972, -0.3801, -0.3768, -0.3768, -0.3668, -0.399, -0.36, -0.3368, -0.2771, -0.2917, -0.3161, -0.3043, -0.2385, -0.1595, -0.2099, -0.2721, -0.2749, -0.3375, -0.2824, -0.1187, 0.0225, -0.054, -0.0332, -0.0332, -0.1655, -0.1562, -0.1877, -0.2002, -0.2002, -0.1505, -0.0787, -0.0543, -0.0222, 0.0007, 0.0765, 0.0883, 0.0, 0.0729, 0.0636, 0.1945, 0.1945, 0.0847, 0.0332, 0.1055, 0.0415, -0.099, 0.0493, 0.0318, -0.0315, -0.099, -0.1827, -0.104, -0.1273, -0.1993, -0.1462, -0.1166, -0.1777, -0.2556, -0.3161, -0.31, -0.31, -0.2714, -0.2324, -0.2302, -0.2857, -0.2857, -0.2599, -0.2724, -0.2302, -0.311, -0.2521, -0.2542, -0.2349, -0.2714, -0.2946, -0.2581, -0.3068, -0.2635, -0.1695, -0.1609, -0.1444, -0.1212, -0.1709, -0.1791, -0.1698, -0.1416, -0.1516, -0.0157, -0.0415, -0.1525, -0.1555, 0.0179, 0.064, 0.1773, 0.1773, 0.246, 0.2717, 0.3629, 0.3432, 0.3422, 0.3872, 0.3089, 0.345, 0.5792, 0.5631, 0.5299, 0.5048, 0.4819, 0.3779, 0.256, 0.2338, 0.2233, 0.1974, 0.237, 0.2084, 0.1931, 0.1269, 0.2353, 0.157, 0.4187, 0.3672, 0.4058, 0.4076, 0.5152, 0.4455, 0.5713, 0.522, 0.5731, 0.5324, 0.7698, 0.7698, 1.1026, 1.0479, 0.7651, 0.6621, 0.6621, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1989564587830906994", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-15T05:22:16+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I expect weebius to recover!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish NBIS, expects recovery; prefers March-May calls as safer entry.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@soulbiri1 I would catch Omoroi’s falling knife too on $NBIS since everyone deserves love. \n\nMarch-may calls are safer but I expect weebius to recover!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$NBIS Omori's falling knife sign\n\nThe psychological horror +themes of depression and trauma in Omori reminded me of my stock portfolio recently. But taking a close look at my largest holding, I saw a pattern emerge. I decided to catch Omori's falling knife. Bought 10x Jan 28 100C https://t.co/Hz210QIeuI", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": -0.028378720006289493, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.028378720006289493, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03778276560027605, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02972795147062146, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.009404045593986554, "bench_c_m1d": 0.001349231464331968, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.053035559206290994, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.053035559206290994, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.061433111976391674, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04736900806043187, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00839755277010068, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005666551145859122, "ret_p1w": 0.0688531976949256, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0688531976949256, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06425634256313084, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.052393347345248475, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004596855131794753, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01645985034967712, "ret_p1m": -0.058502049456895966, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.058502049456895966, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07833175621938437, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10770162010072437, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019829706762488408, "bench_c_p1m": 0.049199570643828405, "ret_p3m": 0.04361479243531097, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04361479243531097, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.01715551154792272, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.009155934671352783, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026459280887388248, "bench_c_p3m": 0.034458857763958184, "ret_p6m": 1.083158799922375, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.083158799922375, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.9679167086598945, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.0343549651656587, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11524209126248053, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04880383475671635, "price_path": [-0.2153, -0.2303, -0.1977, -0.1856, -0.1803, -0.1847, -0.1621, -0.2054, -0.2054, -0.2356, -0.2365, -0.2451, -0.2385, -0.2549, 0.1133, 0.0862, 0.0373, 0.0515, 0.0579, 0.0401, 0.0942, 0.0947, 0.155, 0.2398, 0.2538, 0.3169, 0.2554, 0.2526, 0.2819, 0.3058, 0.3446, 0.4639, 0.4885, 0.4531, 0.3689, 0.4189, 0.5427, 0.5071, 0.5755, 0.4905, 0.4635, 0.431, 0.3194, 0.2677, 0.2128, 0.147, 0.2347, 0.3638, 0.4588, 0.417, 0.455, 0.4443, 0.5215, 0.4011, 0.2856, 0.3608, 0.2729, 0.2943, 0.2788, 0.1889, 0.0975, 0.0308, -0.0284, 0.0, 0.053, 0.1057, -0.0156, -0.0316, 0.0689, 0.0337, 0.1013, 0.1013, 0.1034, 0.1648, 0.1218, 0.1505, 0.1956, 0.1403, 0.1669, 0.1213, 0.0885, 0.0965, 0.0199, -0.0563, -0.0585, -0.1225, -0.0918, 0.0405, 0.0843, 0.0471, 0.0599, 0.0599, 0.0187, 0.0007, -0.0094, -0.0265, -0.0265, 0.0462, 0.0797, 0.1659, 0.119, 0.1317, 0.139, 0.2483, 0.2262, 0.1861, 0.2082, 0.2646, 0.2646, 0.1548, 0.1499, 0.1264, 0.0991, 0.0637, 0.1383, 0.1681, 0.1039, -0.0092, 0.0254, 0.0462, -0.0418, -0.1408, 0.0014, 0.0803, 0.0676, 0.0306, 0.0436, 0.1399, 0.1399, 0.1342, 0.184, 0.2516, 0.1389, 0.1702, 0.1931, 0.2342, 0.2198, 0.0606, 0.0585, 0.0095, 0.1372, 0.1125, 0.039, 0.1042, 0.1215, 0.3026, 0.2566, 0.3137, 0.5102, 0.353, 0.3789, 0.4134, 0.368, 0.3276, 0.3365, 0.3386, 0.2325, 0.1726, 0.073, 0.2068, 0.1857, 0.2656, 0.2656, 0.3089, 0.3654, 0.4538, 0.5856, 0.6861, 0.7976, 0.8835, 0.9396, 0.923, 0.8276, 0.8511, 0.8208, 0.816, 0.8269, 0.7116, 0.686, 0.5761, 0.6421, 0.6077, 0.7968, 1.0519, 1.0461, 1.269, 1.149, 1.0592, 1.1645, 1.0832]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2009679875880431737", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-09T17:33:15+00:00", "symbol": "VLN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Could easily be priced at $7-$8 today", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "VLN mispriced relative to fundamentals; $70m revenue and $93m cash vs MC implies fair value $7-$8.", "resolved_tickers": ["VLN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SingularityRes Yeah I was looking at semi supply chains for robotics and then their $70m revenue, $93m cash pile and MC just looked extremely, extremely off.\n\nCould easily be priced at $7-$8 today but the ticker collision with the Canadian $VLN just made me laugh.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$VLN seems like a crazy crazy find", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SingularityRes", "ret_m1d": -0.37096776984608737, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.37096776984608737, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.36439787640680144, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.3446587667058081, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006569893439285934, "bench_c_m1d": -0.026309003140279286, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06854841733326134, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06854841733326134, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07011887114503312, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07224813070073988, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0015704538117717881, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003699713367478541, "ret_p1w": -0.19758064748717397, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.19758064748717397, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.19410836617330818, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2262791043822514, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.003472281313865788, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02869845689507744, "ret_p1m": -0.3870967865982611, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3870967865982611, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.38692395731858265, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.4318786390753073, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00017282927967843253, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04478185247704625, "ret_p3m": -0.471774220683696, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.471774220683696, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.44841378636724327, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5583576750317217, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.02336043431645274, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08658345434802572, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2661, -0.2581, -0.2863, -0.3105, -0.2742, -0.2863, -0.3024, -0.2903, -0.2823, -0.2944, -0.2903, -0.3105, -0.3145, -0.2621, -0.3065, -0.3589, -0.3306, -0.371, -0.3629, -0.3548, -0.2742, -0.3145, -0.3065, -0.2984, -0.371, -0.3871, -0.4153, -0.4274, -0.3952, -0.3831, -0.379, -0.3669, -0.3669, -0.3548, -0.3669, -0.3629, -0.3266, -0.3226, -0.3226, -0.3145, -0.3145, -0.3226, -0.3427, -0.3589, -0.379, -0.3831, -0.4032, -0.4032, -0.3992, -0.4113, -0.4355, -0.4435, -0.4435, -0.4194, -0.4315, -0.4435, -0.4274, -0.4274, -0.371, -0.3669, -0.3589, -0.375, -0.371, 0.0, -0.0685, -0.0565, -0.1573, -0.1573, -0.1976, -0.1976, -0.2177, -0.2097, -0.1532, -0.2097, -0.2581, -0.2581, -0.2863, -0.2903, -0.3145, -0.3266, -0.3548, -0.379, -0.4234, -0.379, -0.3871, -0.375, -0.379, -0.3952, -0.3871, -0.3871, -0.4113, -0.3992, -0.3992, -0.3911, -0.4032, -0.3831, -0.379, -0.3548, -0.4032, -0.4032, -0.4194, -0.4194, -0.4355, -0.4556, -0.4556, -0.4435, -0.4234, -0.4556, -0.4637, -0.4637, -0.4597, -0.496, -0.4839, -0.5081, -0.4919, -0.496, -0.4919, -0.5081, -0.5242, -0.5524, -0.5444, -0.5282, -0.5202, -0.5202, -0.5202, -0.5242, -0.4718, -0.4597, -0.4637, -0.4556, -0.4435, -0.4073, -0.375, -0.3871, -0.4073, -0.3952, -0.3508, -0.3347, -0.2782, -0.3508, -0.3911, -0.3911, -0.125, -0.0565, -0.0927, -0.0242, 0.0081, -0.0282, 0.125, 0.1492, 0.0887, 0.1895, 0.3589, 0.2298, 0.1371, 0.0726, 0.1694, 0.2339, 0.2984, 0.2984, 0.3145, 0.2702, 0.4113, 0.4234, 0.4234, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1964019507162382346", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-05T17:35:14+00:00", "symbol": "HOOD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "worth the risk/reward just holding it past inclusion date imo. Down 4%, they have new product lines next Tuesday, and great company all around", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Long HOOD into index inclusion date; bullish on risk/reward with new products next Tuesday.", "resolved_tickers": ["HOOD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MilesTa53993799 I’m day trading $HOOD, I’ll adjust based on how it goes https://t.co/kZQxXl0zjr\n\n---\n\n@MilesTa53993799 Also it’s worth the risk/reward just holding it past inclusion date imo.\n\nDown 4%, they have new product lines next Tuesday, and great company all around lol.\n\nI’m just a short term swing trader", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.016395097897376587, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016395097897376587, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.013490346892948368, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.002259592081960582, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0029047510044282188, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01865468997933717, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.15832097559799374, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.15832097559799374, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.1558642432545747, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.15756723164660347, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0024567323434190325, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0007537439513902733, "ret_p1w": 0.1360987533757716, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1360987533757716, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1203858611561659, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1223433990804712, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0157128922196057, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013755354295300393, "ret_p1m": 0.42479006920331797, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.42479006920331797, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3842609754268591, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4095879658779846, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04052909377645886, "bench_c_p1m": 0.015202103325333338, "ret_p3m": 0.31990122853973757, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.31990122853973757, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.26034660530764486, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.30753486678948616, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05955462323209271, "bench_c_p3m": 0.012366361750251409, "ret_p6m": -0.22192593798225313, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.22192593798225313, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2884806269288216, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1951454779467584, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06655468894656846, "bench_c_p6m": -0.026780460035494724, "price_path": [-0.2839, -0.2604, -0.2707, -0.283, -0.242, -0.2598, -0.2262, -0.2262, -0.2247, -0.2459, -0.19, -0.1827, -0.1652, -0.18, -0.0753, -0.0881, -0.0323, -0.0677, -0.0677, -0.0769, -0.0986, -0.0663, -0.0252, -0.0287, -0.0127, -0.0169, 0.0198, 0.0415, 0.0839, 0.0305, 0.0059, 0.0082, 0.0067, 0.0356, 0.0545, 0.0204, 0.0479, 0.0178, -0.0133, 0.0506, 0.0416, 0.0435, 0.0986, 0.1321, 0.1222, 0.1268, 0.0728, 0.0934, 0.1276, 0.136, 0.0617, 0.0404, 0.0499, 0.0797, 0.0661, 0.0746, 0.0165, 0.0241, 0.0275, 0.0275, -0.004, -0.0042, 0.0164, 0.0, 0.1583, 0.1704, 0.1601, 0.163, 0.1361, 0.1341, 0.1593, 0.1718, 0.1942, 0.2324, 0.2335, 0.2464, 0.2523, 0.2114, 0.2028, 0.3503, 0.4141, 0.3742, 0.439, 0.4683, 0.4248, 0.4321, 0.4901, 0.5058, 0.3724, 0.3894, 0.3328, 0.3249, 0.2982, 0.2831, 0.3412, 0.3021, 0.2565, 0.3267, 0.3806, 0.4406, 0.4444, 0.4301, 0.3637, 0.4497, 0.4526, 0.3511, 0.4072, 0.2551, 0.2875, 0.342, 0.303, 0.3134, 0.2003, 0.2099, 0.1454, 0.1289, 0.167, 0.049, 0.0598, 0.1355, 0.1414, 0.2662, 0.2662, 0.269, 0.2172, 0.244, 0.3199, 0.3539, 0.3032, 0.3475, 0.3403, 0.3399, 0.2186, 0.1802, 0.1384, 0.1793, 0.1437, 0.1571, 0.1985, 0.2086, 0.1876, 0.1895, 0.1895, 0.1667, 0.1598, 0.1402, 0.117, 0.117, 0.1379, 0.2172, 0.202, 0.1553, 0.1397, 0.1385, 0.1607, 0.1876, 0.1819, 0.0899, 0.074, 0.074, 0.0447, 0.0461, 0.0494, 0.0567, 0.0568, 0.0394, 0.0212, -0.0001, -0.0175, -0.112, -0.14, -0.2038, -0.2822, -0.182, -0.1451, -0.1546, -0.2299, -0.2976, -0.2497, -0.2497, -0.2549, -0.2572, -0.2528, -0.2483, -0.2911, -0.2752, -0.2343, -0.2153, -0.2509, -0.2219]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1975612208286736451", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-07T17:20:30+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is an insane opportunity on $NBIS, $WYFI, $IREN, $CIFR, $CRWV and others", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Oracle's GPU-as-a-Service struggles validate neoclouds' competitive moat; bullish NBIS/CRWV/IREN/CIFR/WYFI, bearish ORCL.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Why $ORCL facing challenges with GPU-as-a-Service (from leaks) is actually bullish for neoclouds like Nebius.\n\nHyperscalers struggling with GPU economics strengthens the case for specalized neoclouds.\n\nThis is an insane opportunity on $NBIS, $WYFI, $IREN, $CIFR, $CRWV and others:\n\nTLDR: (from rumors)\n\nOracle faced a loss from:\n\n- Low utilization (idle capacity) before customer ramp\n\n- Massive upfront CapEx (Blackwell GPUs)\n\n- Heavy overhead  \n\n- Discount pricing  \n\nResult: Negative gross margins on GPU compute for Oracle.\n\nThis is negative for Oracle, positive for Neoclouds:  This is just goes to show\n\n1. Proof of Complexity = Validation of Moat.   \n\nNeoclouds like $NBIS do it better and this is an actual competitive moat and margin opportunity (This is why $MSFT went to Nebius to sign a deal instead of building it out themselves).\n\n2. Capital Efficiency Advantage.   \n\nNeoclouds use Leasing / colocation for flexibility (e.g. NBIS in Patmos & Verne), workload allocations to maintain high utilization (while Oracle struggled with utilization).\n\n3. Outsourcing Demand Increases  \n\nOracle and Hyperscalers might shift workloads to Neoclouds and sign more contracts if they have trouble with buildout (eg. MSFT with CRWV)\n\n4. Oracle used discount prices here.  Neoclouds can just price rationally on top of optimizing their margins.\n\n5. Custom Infra Increases Margins  \n\nNeoclouds like Nebius have custom orchestration stacks for GPU scheduling, lot of internal software and automation to maximize utilization and yield to sustain 50-70% gross margins compared to ORCL.\n\nThis is news negative for Oracle and Hyperscaler buildout but actually bullish for specialized neocloud providers like $CRWV, $NBIS, and others.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Monday October 6th Market Close Thoughts:\n\n- $NBIS extremely good dip buy. Down 2.38% after rising 5.78% in the morning. All other Neoclouds from $IREN to $CIFR held their 4%-14%+ gains. Nebius likely influenced by option flow, should play catchup soon and I stand by $225 PT. \n\n-", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.06151236772204682, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06151236772204682, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05779107882132184, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05763499988358456, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003721288900724984, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0038773678384622645, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.036533586773572324, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.036533586773572324, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030570534360780055, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04066930907077948, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005963052412792269, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004135722297207156, "ret_p1w": 0.08878502310274072, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08878502310274072, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09908216387038948, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10145087525266994, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01029714076764876, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012665852149929213, "ret_p1m": -0.005947297930262496, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.005947297930262496, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01859078175754003, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.016799472423983497, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012643483827277535, "bench_c_p1m": -0.022746770354245993, "ret_p3m": -0.23576891010628387, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.23576891010628387, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2597835850019543, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24626742967899928, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02401467489567044, "bench_c_p3m": 0.010498519572715415, "ret_p6m": -0.13381478681708003, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13381478681708003, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.11864699122642897, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.09845601848176999, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.015167795590651068, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03535876833531004, "price_path": [-0.6055, -0.6236, -0.5586, -0.5452, -0.5471, -0.5438, -0.5515, -0.5551, -0.5666, -0.5592, -0.5568, -0.5636, -0.5518, -0.5718, -0.5642, -0.5376, -0.5582, -0.5398, -0.5313, -0.5319, -0.4451, -0.4156, -0.4032, -0.36, -0.3999, -0.4184, -0.3915, -0.3837, -0.4291, -0.4268, -0.4377, -0.4139, -0.4051, -0.4012, -0.4044, -0.3879, -0.4195, -0.4195, -0.4416, -0.4422, -0.4485, -0.4438, -0.4557, -0.1867, -0.2065, -0.2422, -0.2319, -0.2272, -0.2402, -0.2007, -0.2003, -0.1562, -0.0943, -0.0841, -0.038, -0.0829, -0.085, -0.0636, -0.0461, -0.0178, 0.0694, 0.0873, 0.0615, 0.0, 0.0365, 0.1269, 0.1009, 0.1509, 0.0888, 0.0691, 0.0454, -0.0362, -0.0739, -0.114, -0.1621, -0.098, -0.0037, 0.0657, 0.0351, 0.0629, 0.0551, 0.1115, 0.0235, -0.0608, -0.0059, -0.0702, -0.0545, -0.0658, -0.1315, -0.1983, -0.247, -0.2902, -0.2695, -0.2308, -0.1923, -0.2809, -0.2926, -0.2192, -0.2449, -0.1955, -0.1955, -0.194, -0.1491, -0.1805, -0.1596, -0.1266, -0.167, -0.1476, -0.1809, -0.2048, -0.199, -0.255, -0.3106, -0.3122, -0.359, -0.3365, -0.2399, -0.2079, -0.2351, -0.2257, -0.2257, -0.2558, -0.269, -0.2764, -0.2888, -0.2888, -0.2358, -0.2113, -0.1483, -0.1826, -0.1733, -0.168, -0.0881, -0.1042, -0.1336, -0.1174, -0.0762, -0.0762, -0.1564, -0.16, -0.1771, -0.1971, -0.2229, -0.1685, -0.1467, -0.1936, -0.2762, -0.251, -0.2358, -0.3, -0.3724, -0.2685, -0.2109, -0.2201, -0.2472, -0.2376, -0.1673, -0.1673, -0.1715, -0.1351, -0.0857, -0.1681, -0.1452, -0.1285, -0.0984, -0.1089, -0.2252, -0.2268, -0.2625, -0.1692, -0.1873, -0.241, -0.1934, -0.1807, -0.0485, -0.0821, -0.0404, 0.1032, -0.0116, 0.0073, 0.0325, -0.0007, -0.0302, -0.0237, -0.0222, -0.0997, -0.1434, -0.2161, -0.1184, -0.1338]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1975612208286736451", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-07T17:20:30+00:00", "symbol": "WYFI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is an insane opportunity on $NBIS, $WYFI, $IREN, $CIFR, $CRWV and others", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Oracle's GPU-as-a-Service struggles validate neoclouds' competitive moat; bullish NBIS/CRWV/IREN/CIFR/WYFI, bearish ORCL.", "resolved_tickers": ["WYFI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Why $ORCL facing challenges with GPU-as-a-Service (from leaks) is actually bullish for neoclouds like Nebius.\n\nHyperscalers struggling with GPU economics strengthens the case for specalized neoclouds.\n\nThis is an insane opportunity on $NBIS, $WYFI, $IREN, $CIFR, $CRWV and others:\n\nTLDR: (from rumors)\n\nOracle faced a loss from:\n\n- Low utilization (idle capacity) before customer ramp\n\n- Massive upfront CapEx (Blackwell GPUs)\n\n- Heavy overhead  \n\n- Discount pricing  \n\nResult: Negative gross margins on GPU compute for Oracle.\n\nThis is negative for Oracle, positive for Neoclouds:  This is just goes to show\n\n1. Proof of Complexity = Validation of Moat.   \n\nNeoclouds like $NBIS do it better and this is an actual competitive moat and margin opportunity (This is why $MSFT went to Nebius to sign a deal instead of building it out themselves).\n\n2. Capital Efficiency Advantage.   \n\nNeoclouds use Leasing / colocation for flexibility (e.g. NBIS in Patmos & Verne), workload allocations to maintain high utilization (while Oracle struggled with utilization).\n\n3. Outsourcing Demand Increases  \n\nOracle and Hyperscalers might shift workloads to Neoclouds and sign more contracts if they have trouble with buildout (eg. MSFT with CRWV)\n\n4. Oracle used discount prices here.  Neoclouds can just price rationally on top of optimizing their margins.\n\n5. Custom Infra Increases Margins  \n\nNeoclouds like Nebius have custom orchestration stacks for GPU scheduling, lot of internal software and automation to maximize utilization and yield to sustain 50-70% gross margins compared to ORCL.\n\nThis is news negative for Oracle and Hyperscaler buildout but actually bullish for specialized neocloud providers like $CRWV, $NBIS, and others.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Monday October 6th Market Close Thoughts:\n\n- $NBIS extremely good dip buy. Down 2.38% after rising 5.78% in the morning. All other Neoclouds from $IREN to $CIFR held their 4%-14%+ gains. Nebius likely influenced by option flow, should play catchup soon and I stand by $225 PT. \n\n-", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.008920583631648382, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.008920583631648382, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005199294730923398, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0021998059620136345, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003721288900724984, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006720777669634748, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.019625329362176425, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.019625329362176425, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.013662276949384156, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0020882783718469966, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005963052412792269, "bench_c_p1d": 0.017537050990329428, "ret_p1w": 0.11923872120643786, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11923872120643786, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12953586197408662, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13383545205118785, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01029714076764876, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014596730844749994, "ret_p1m": -0.08831403884548183, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08831403884548183, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10095752267275937, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12125303713778457, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012643483827277535, "bench_c_p1m": 0.032938998292302735, "ret_p3m": -0.4995539878331239, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4995539878331239, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5235686627287943, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5113074486999469, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02401467489567044, "bench_c_p3m": 0.011753460866823051, "ret_p6m": -0.654177825005561, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.654177825005561, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.6390100294149099, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.6012698442039266, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.015167795590651068, "bench_c_p6m": -0.05290798080163439, "price_path": [null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, -0.5177, -0.545, -0.5626, -0.5418, -0.485, -0.4695, -0.4918, -0.4442, -0.4939, -0.5028, -0.5031, -0.4918, -0.5076, -0.504, -0.4975, -0.4942, -0.4972, -0.4972, -0.4674, -0.5031, -0.5165, -0.5141, -0.5242, -0.4532, -0.2988, -0.3883, -0.4068, -0.4056, -0.4267, -0.377, -0.3039, -0.218, -0.1668, -0.1653, -0.2194, -0.2985, -0.3211, -0.2049, -0.1921, -0.0488, 0.0015, -0.0723, 0.0089, 0.0, 0.0196, 0.0033, -0.0178, 0.1635, 0.1192, 0.0907, -0.0651, -0.0999, -0.0485, -0.1127, -0.1745, -0.1381, 0.0122, 0.0993, 0.0062, 0.0045, -0.0419, 0.0107, -0.03, -0.094, -0.0883, -0.1659, -0.1451, -0.1362, -0.2325, -0.3238, -0.4092, -0.4648, -0.4573, -0.4987, -0.4823, -0.4829, -0.4844, -0.4477, -0.4701, -0.4106, -0.4106, -0.3628, -0.4148, -0.4335, -0.4222, -0.3732, -0.4222, -0.4276, -0.4065, -0.4306, -0.4451, -0.446, -0.5477, -0.5516, -0.5787, -0.5748, -0.5022, -0.4555, -0.4761, -0.4841, -0.4841, -0.5073, -0.5201, -0.5376, -0.5302, -0.5302, -0.4996, -0.4773, -0.4731, -0.5019, -0.4737, -0.4731, -0.4445, -0.452, -0.3797, -0.4517, -0.4211, -0.4211, -0.43, -0.3958, -0.4145, -0.402, -0.3895, -0.3577, -0.3411, -0.3452, -0.4199, -0.4205, -0.4514, -0.5204, -0.5718, -0.448, -0.4098, -0.4252, -0.4413, -0.4591, -0.4225, -0.4225, -0.4526, -0.4814, -0.4695, -0.4978, -0.4942, -0.4761, -0.4481, -0.4496, -0.499, -0.4838, -0.5352, -0.4963, -0.526, -0.5391, -0.5299, -0.5281, -0.4903, -0.5013, -0.5317, -0.5296, -0.5439, -0.565, -0.5501, -0.5882, -0.5715, -0.5795, -0.5632, -0.6383, -0.6795, -0.667, -0.6459, -0.6542]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1975612208286736451", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-07T17:20:30+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is an insane opportunity on $NBIS, $WYFI, $IREN, $CIFR, $CRWV and others", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Oracle's GPU-as-a-Service struggles validate neoclouds' competitive moat; bullish NBIS/CRWV/IREN/CIFR/WYFI, bearish ORCL.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Why $ORCL facing challenges with GPU-as-a-Service (from leaks) is actually bullish for neoclouds like Nebius.\n\nHyperscalers struggling with GPU economics strengthens the case for specalized neoclouds.\n\nThis is an insane opportunity on $NBIS, $WYFI, $IREN, $CIFR, $CRWV and others:\n\nTLDR: (from rumors)\n\nOracle faced a loss from:\n\n- Low utilization (idle capacity) before customer ramp\n\n- Massive upfront CapEx (Blackwell GPUs)\n\n- Heavy overhead  \n\n- Discount pricing  \n\nResult: Negative gross margins on GPU compute for Oracle.\n\nThis is negative for Oracle, positive for Neoclouds:  This is just goes to show\n\n1. Proof of Complexity = Validation of Moat.   \n\nNeoclouds like $NBIS do it better and this is an actual competitive moat and margin opportunity (This is why $MSFT went to Nebius to sign a deal instead of building it out themselves).\n\n2. Capital Efficiency Advantage.   \n\nNeoclouds use Leasing / colocation for flexibility (e.g. NBIS in Patmos & Verne), workload allocations to maintain high utilization (while Oracle struggled with utilization).\n\n3. Outsourcing Demand Increases  \n\nOracle and Hyperscalers might shift workloads to Neoclouds and sign more contracts if they have trouble with buildout (eg. MSFT with CRWV)\n\n4. Oracle used discount prices here.  Neoclouds can just price rationally on top of optimizing their margins.\n\n5. Custom Infra Increases Margins  \n\nNeoclouds like Nebius have custom orchestration stacks for GPU scheduling, lot of internal software and automation to maximize utilization and yield to sustain 50-70% gross margins compared to ORCL.\n\nThis is news negative for Oracle and Hyperscaler buildout but actually bullish for specialized neocloud providers like $CRWV, $NBIS, and others.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Monday October 6th Market Close Thoughts:\n\n- $NBIS extremely good dip buy. Down 2.38% after rising 5.78% in the morning. All other Neoclouds from $IREN to $CIFR held their 4%-14%+ gains. Nebius likely influenced by option flow, should play catchup soon and I stand by $225 PT. \n\n-", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0637159579398705, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0637159579398705, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06743724684059549, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06241409189131775, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003721288900724984, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0013018660485527578, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.025778212463051342, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.025778212463051342, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03174126487584361, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.020942709996997988, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005963052412792269, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004835502466053354, "ret_p1w": 0.12775611566844836, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12775611566844836, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.13805325643609712, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1376128867887616, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01029714076764876, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009856771120313246, "ret_p1m": 0.23881328281539504, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.23881328281539504, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2261697989881175, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.26057268611951434, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012643483827277535, "bench_c_p1m": -0.021759403304119296, "ret_p3m": -0.30771724138016343, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.30771724138016343, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.33173191627583387, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.33286100981187605, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02401467489567044, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02514376843171262, "ret_p6m": -0.44730869027367237, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.44730869027367237, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4321408946830213, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.37473701071548104, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.015167795590651068, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07257167955819133, "price_path": [-0.7239, -0.7369, -0.7198, -0.7263, -0.7194, -0.7074, -0.7091, -0.7057, -0.6986, -0.6921, -0.7059, -0.7127, -0.7312, -0.744, -0.7383, -0.7388, -0.7503, -0.7328, -0.7333, -0.703, -0.6989, -0.7009, -0.7087, -0.7109, -0.7125, -0.6907, -0.6808, -0.6643, -0.6963, -0.6796, -0.6824, -0.6526, -0.6252, -0.6273, -0.6376, -0.6265, -0.5707, -0.5707, -0.528, -0.5426, -0.5764, -0.576, -0.5754, -0.5105, -0.4548, -0.4674, -0.4494, -0.3979, -0.409, -0.3855, -0.4112, -0.3735, -0.3207, -0.3228, -0.2357, -0.2495, -0.3213, -0.2554, -0.2391, -0.2367, -0.2377, -0.1819, -0.0637, 0.0, -0.0258, 0.0352, -0.031, 0.0399, 0.1278, 0.1021, 0.0024, -0.0156, -0.0399, -0.1051, -0.1597, -0.0944, 0.0198, 0.0537, 0.012, -0.0204, -0.0561, -0.0151, 0.0984, 0.0803, 0.2388, 0.0856, 0.0113, -0.0245, -0.0697, -0.097, -0.2113, -0.2482, -0.2314, -0.208, -0.257, -0.2952, -0.3149, -0.2138, -0.2304, -0.2145, -0.2145, -0.2249, -0.2138, -0.3333, -0.2873, -0.2469, -0.2751, -0.2487, -0.2406, -0.2879, -0.2876, -0.3494, -0.4248, -0.4068, -0.4523, -0.4196, -0.3528, -0.3184, -0.3179, -0.3194, -0.3194, -0.3466, -0.3611, -0.3791, -0.3876, -0.3876, -0.3077, -0.2179, -0.2557, -0.2927, -0.2594, -0.2537, -0.184, -0.1409, -0.1427, -0.1587, -0.0626, -0.0626, -0.1203, -0.1329, -0.1527, -0.0811, -0.1511, -0.0274, 0.0204, -0.0298, -0.1287, -0.1394, -0.1182, -0.2714, -0.3549, -0.3218, -0.2518, -0.304, -0.3082, -0.351, -0.3155, -0.3155, -0.3358, -0.3178, -0.2982, -0.3518, -0.3132, -0.2631, -0.2862, -0.2827, -0.3361, -0.329, -0.3701, -0.2892, -0.3495, -0.405, -0.3703, -0.382, -0.3194, -0.3293, -0.3259, -0.2714, -0.3035, -0.3157, -0.3246, -0.3306, -0.3165, -0.3333, -0.3283, -0.3928, -0.4311, -0.4874, -0.4442, -0.4473]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1975612208286736451", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-10-07T17:20:30+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is an insane opportunity on $NBIS, $WYFI, $IREN, $CIFR, $CRWV and others", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Oracle's GPU-as-a-Service struggles validate neoclouds' competitive moat; bullish NBIS/CRWV/IREN/CIFR/WYFI, bearish ORCL.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Why $ORCL facing challenges with GPU-as-a-Service (from leaks) is actually bullish for neoclouds like Nebius.\n\nHyperscalers struggling with GPU economics strengthens the case for specalized neoclouds.\n\nThis is an insane opportunity on $NBIS, $WYFI, $IREN, $CIFR, $CRWV and others:\n\nTLDR: (from rumors)\n\nOracle faced a loss from:\n\n- Low utilization (idle capacity) before customer ramp\n\n- Massive upfront CapEx (Blackwell GPUs)\n\n- Heavy overhead  \n\n- Discount pricing  \n\nResult: Negative gross margins on GPU compute for Oracle.\n\nThis is negative for Oracle, positive for Neoclouds:  This is just goes to show\n\n1. Proof of Complexity = Validation of Moat.   \n\nNeoclouds like $NBIS do it better and this is an actual competitive moat and margin opportunity (This is why $MSFT went to Nebius to sign a deal instead of building it out themselves).\n\n2. Capital Efficiency Advantage.   \n\nNeoclouds use Leasing / colocation for flexibility (e.g. NBIS in Patmos & Verne), workload allocations to maintain high utilization (while Oracle struggled with utilization).\n\n3. Outsourcing Demand Increases  \n\nOracle and Hyperscalers might shift workloads to Neoclouds and sign more contracts if they have trouble with buildout (eg. MSFT with CRWV)\n\n4. Oracle used discount prices here.  Neoclouds can just price rationally on top of optimizing their margins.\n\n5. Custom Infra Increases Margins  \n\nNeoclouds like Nebius have custom orchestration stacks for GPU scheduling, lot of internal software and automation to maximize utilization and yield to sustain 50-70% gross margins compared to ORCL.\n\nThis is news negative for Oracle and Hyperscaler buildout but actually bullish for specialized neocloud providers like $CRWV, $NBIS, and others.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Monday October 6th Market Close Thoughts:\n\n- $NBIS extremely good dip buy. Down 2.38% after rising 5.78% in the morning. All other Neoclouds from $IREN to $CIFR held their 4%-14%+ gains. Nebius likely influenced by option flow, should play catchup soon and I stand by $225 PT. \n\n-", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02603173634362599, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02603173634362599, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.029753025244350972, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.032752514013260736, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003721288900724984, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006720777669634748, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.11746034168061747, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.11746034168061747, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.1114972892678252, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09992329069028805, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005963052412792269, "bench_c_p1d": 0.017537050990329428, "ret_p1w": 0.3263491675967263, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.3263491675967263, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.33664630836437504, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.34094589844147627, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01029714076764876, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014596730844749994, "ret_p1m": 0.5688888307601687, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5688888307601687, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5562453469328912, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.535949832467866, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012643483827277535, "bench_c_p1m": 0.032938998292302735, "ret_p3m": 0.028571477012028668, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.028571477012028668, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.004556802116358227, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.016818016145205616, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02401467489567044, "bench_c_p3m": 0.011753460866823051, "ret_p6m": -0.19746029566204737, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.19746029566204737, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1822925000713963, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.14455231486041298, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.015167795590651068, "bench_c_p6m": -0.05290798080163439, "price_path": [-0.6038, -0.6273, -0.6171, -0.621, -0.6019, -0.5924, -0.5962, -0.6032, -0.5594, -0.5759, -0.5778, -0.5892, -0.6089, -0.6394, -0.654, -0.6533, -0.687, -0.6705, -0.6819, -0.6692, -0.6908, -0.6984, -0.6978, -0.7003, -0.6889, -0.6622, -0.6692, -0.6159, -0.6343, -0.6222, -0.6254, -0.5949, -0.5784, -0.5479, -0.5562, -0.5543, -0.5149, -0.5149, -0.4717, -0.4851, -0.5302, -0.5225, -0.5098, -0.4146, -0.3492, -0.367, -0.3111, -0.3111, -0.2692, -0.214, -0.2476, -0.2203, -0.1137, -0.1016, -0.1022, -0.2597, -0.2717, -0.1968, -0.2006, -0.2, -0.1232, -0.0667, -0.026, 0.0, 0.1175, 0.1422, 0.0775, 0.2914, 0.3263, 0.3352, 0.1886, 0.1911, 0.2641, 0.1476, 0.0229, 0.0956, 0.3117, 0.3041, 0.2673, 0.2438, 0.2108, 0.1841, 0.4451, 0.4292, 0.5689, 0.3784, 0.3137, 0.2476, 0.1854, 0.1035, -0.0521, -0.0883, -0.0889, -0.0743, -0.0717, -0.0756, -0.1016, 0.061, 0.1124, 0.2159, 0.2159, 0.2921, 0.2502, 0.12, 0.1829, 0.259, 0.2241, 0.2368, 0.2419, 0.1733, 0.1987, 0.0825, -0.0641, -0.0483, -0.0863, -0.0381, 0.0292, 0.0375, 0.0102, 0.0298, 0.0298, -0.0356, -0.0425, -0.0737, -0.0629, -0.0629, 0.0286, 0.153, 0.1137, 0.021, 0.0508, 0.0559, 0.1225, 0.1587, 0.1511, 0.1124, 0.1937, 0.1937, 0.1378, 0.1251, 0.1041, 0.1156, 0.047, 0.1905, 0.2044, 0.1238, 0.0133, 0.0038, 0.0324, -0.0952, -0.1937, -0.0648, 0.0641, 0.0857, 0.0337, 0.0222, 0.0425, 0.0425, -0.007, -0.021, 0.0032, -0.0698, -0.0337, 0.087, 0.0546, 0.0463, -0.0095, 0.0006, -0.066, 0.0184, -0.0381, -0.1352, -0.0914, -0.1137, -0.1041, -0.1295, -0.106, -0.0387, -0.0419, -0.0686, -0.0705, -0.1105, -0.0546, -0.0552, 0.0083, -0.0889, -0.1273, -0.2371, -0.1829, -0.1975]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1975612208286736451", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-10-07T17:20:30+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "bullish for specialized neocloud providers like $CRWV, $NBIS, and others", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Oracle's GPU-as-a-Service struggles validate neoclouds' competitive moat; bullish NBIS/CRWV/IREN/CIFR/WYFI, bearish ORCL.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Why $ORCL facing challenges with GPU-as-a-Service (from leaks) is actually bullish for neoclouds like Nebius.\n\nHyperscalers struggling with GPU economics strengthens the case for specalized neoclouds.\n\nThis is an insane opportunity on $NBIS, $WYFI, $IREN, $CIFR, $CRWV and others:\n\nTLDR: (from rumors)\n\nOracle faced a loss from:\n\n- Low utilization (idle capacity) before customer ramp\n\n- Massive upfront CapEx (Blackwell GPUs)\n\n- Heavy overhead  \n\n- Discount pricing  \n\nResult: Negative gross margins on GPU compute for Oracle.\n\nThis is negative for Oracle, positive for Neoclouds:  This is just goes to show\n\n1. Proof of Complexity = Validation of Moat.   \n\nNeoclouds like $NBIS do it better and this is an actual competitive moat and margin opportunity (This is why $MSFT went to Nebius to sign a deal instead of building it out themselves).\n\n2. Capital Efficiency Advantage.   \n\nNeoclouds use Leasing / colocation for flexibility (e.g. NBIS in Patmos & Verne), workload allocations to maintain high utilization (while Oracle struggled with utilization).\n\n3. Outsourcing Demand Increases  \n\nOracle and Hyperscalers might shift workloads to Neoclouds and sign more contracts if they have trouble with buildout (eg. MSFT with CRWV)\n\n4. Oracle used discount prices here.  Neoclouds can just price rationally on top of optimizing their margins.\n\n5. Custom Infra Increases Margins  \n\nNeoclouds like Nebius have custom orchestration stacks for GPU scheduling, lot of internal software and automation to maximize utilization and yield to sustain 50-70% gross margins compared to ORCL.\n\nThis is news negative for Oracle and Hyperscaler buildout but actually bullish for specialized neocloud providers like $CRWV, $NBIS, and others.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Monday October 6th Market Close Thoughts:\n\n- $NBIS extremely good dip buy. Down 2.38% after rising 5.78% in the morning. All other Neoclouds from $IREN to $CIFR held their 4%-14%+ gains. Nebius likely influenced by option flow, should play catchup soon and I stand by $225 PT. \n\n-", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.038966111939081394, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.038966111939081394, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03524482303835641, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03524482303835641, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003721288900724984, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003721288900724984, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08654811564084475, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08654811564084475, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08058506322805248, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08058506322805248, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005963052412792269, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005963052412792269, "ret_p1w": 0.04059610070018915, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04059610070018915, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05089324146783791, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05089324146783791, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01029714076764876, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01029714076764876, "ret_p1m": -0.11185285614608931, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11185285614608931, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12449633997336684, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12449633997336684, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012643483827277535, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012643483827277535, "ret_p3m": -0.38430490904717196, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.38430490904717196, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4083195839428424, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4083195839428424, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02401467489567044, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02401467489567044, "ret_p6m": -0.39113559476409043, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.39113559476409043, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.37596779917343937, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.37596779917343937, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.015167795590651068, "bench_c_p6m": -0.015167795590651068, "price_path": [0.0734, -0.0232, 0.0275, 0.0913, 0.1103, 0.0262, -0.0451, -0.0304, 0.0073, -0.0216, -0.0685, -0.1025, -0.144, -0.1559, -0.2014, -0.1141, -0.1916, -0.1771, -0.1319, -0.1443, -0.0602, 0.0056, 0.085, 0.1546, -0.0859, -0.2276, -0.224, -0.2486, -0.279, -0.2896, -0.2953, -0.2704, -0.2829, -0.2906, -0.2476, -0.2021, -0.2002, -0.2002, -0.2755, -0.3023, -0.321, -0.3085, -0.2738, -0.2221, -0.0907, -0.1253, -0.1309, -0.0649, -0.0782, -0.0619, -0.0578, -0.0308, 0.0342, 0.016, 0.0355, -0.0168, -0.0659, -0.049, 0.0623, 0.0638, 0.0712, 0.0463, 0.039, 0.0, 0.0865, 0.1106, 0.0745, 0.0993, 0.0406, 0.0808, 0.1002, 0.0624, -0.0137, -0.0293, -0.0567, -0.0426, 0.0289, 0.0561, 0.0463, 0.0862, 0.0173, 0.0379, -0.0195, -0.1015, -0.1119, -0.17, -0.1927, -0.1802, -0.3139, -0.3369, -0.3919, -0.3995, -0.4153, -0.4186, -0.4185, -0.4628, -0.4438, -0.4287, -0.4466, -0.4233, -0.4233, -0.4324, -0.4018, -0.4098, -0.384, -0.3344, -0.3146, -0.3306, -0.2963, -0.3157, -0.3217, -0.39, -0.4384, -0.4605, -0.499, -0.4747, -0.3557, -0.3415, -0.377, -0.3878, -0.3878, -0.4068, -0.4185, -0.4264, -0.4442, -0.4442, -0.3843, -0.4034, -0.395, -0.4009, -0.4016, -0.3779, -0.3019, -0.321, -0.303, -0.2625, -0.2142, -0.2142, -0.2609, -0.27, -0.2875, -0.2783, -0.2369, -0.155, -0.1771, -0.2274, -0.2766, -0.3096, -0.3009, -0.3599, -0.4206, -0.3018, -0.2487, -0.2617, -0.2614, -0.2572, -0.2545, -0.2545, -0.2936, -0.2591, -0.246, -0.3072, -0.2949, -0.2292, -0.2392, -0.2422, -0.3824, -0.3942, -0.4273, -0.3829, -0.4192, -0.4334, -0.4224, -0.4185, -0.3638, -0.3801, -0.3704, -0.3335, -0.3626, -0.3571, -0.3739, -0.3676, -0.3638, -0.3556, -0.3202, -0.3755, -0.4193, -0.4632, -0.3987, -0.3911]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1975612208286736451", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2025-10-07T17:20:30+00:00", "symbol": "ORCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is news negative for Oracle and Hyperscaler buildout", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Oracle's GPU-as-a-Service struggles validate neoclouds' competitive moat; bullish NBIS/CRWV/IREN/CIFR/WYFI, bearish ORCL.", "resolved_tickers": ["ORCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Why $ORCL facing challenges with GPU-as-a-Service (from leaks) is actually bullish for neoclouds like Nebius.\n\nHyperscalers struggling with GPU economics strengthens the case for specalized neoclouds.\n\nThis is an insane opportunity on $NBIS, $WYFI, $IREN, $CIFR, $CRWV and others:\n\nTLDR: (from rumors)\n\nOracle faced a loss from:\n\n- Low utilization (idle capacity) before customer ramp\n\n- Massive upfront CapEx (Blackwell GPUs)\n\n- Heavy overhead  \n\n- Discount pricing  \n\nResult: Negative gross margins on GPU compute for Oracle.\n\nThis is negative for Oracle, positive for Neoclouds:  This is just goes to show\n\n1. Proof of Complexity = Validation of Moat.   \n\nNeoclouds like $NBIS do it better and this is an actual competitive moat and margin opportunity (This is why $MSFT went to Nebius to sign a deal instead of building it out themselves).\n\n2. Capital Efficiency Advantage.   \n\nNeoclouds use Leasing / colocation for flexibility (e.g. NBIS in Patmos & Verne), workload allocations to maintain high utilization (while Oracle struggled with utilization).\n\n3. Outsourcing Demand Increases  \n\nOracle and Hyperscalers might shift workloads to Neoclouds and sign more contracts if they have trouble with buildout (eg. MSFT with CRWV)\n\n4. Oracle used discount prices here.  Neoclouds can just price rationally on top of optimizing their margins.\n\n5. Custom Infra Increases Margins  \n\nNeoclouds like Nebius have custom orchestration stacks for GPU scheduling, lot of internal software and automation to maximize utilization and yield to sustain 50-70% gross margins compared to ORCL.\n\nThis is news negative for Oracle and Hyperscaler buildout but actually bullish for specialized neocloud providers like $CRWV, $NBIS, and others.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Monday October 6th Market Close Thoughts:\n\n- $NBIS extremely good dip buy. Down 2.38% after rising 5.78% in the morning. All other Neoclouds from $IREN to $CIFR held their 4%-14%+ gains. Nebius likely influenced by option flow, should play catchup soon and I stand by $225 PT. \n\n-", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.025858527795320274, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.025858527795320274, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02213723889459529, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02213723889459529, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003721288900724984, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003721288900724984, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.015444886577848482, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.015444886577848482, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009481834165056213, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009481834165056213, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005963052412792269, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005963052412792269, "ret_p1w": 0.05375351204603107, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05375351204603107, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06405065281367983, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06405065281367983, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01029714076764876, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01029714076764876, "ret_p1m": -0.11784264388946197, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11784264388946197, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1304861277167395, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1304861277167395, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012643483827277535, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012643483827277535, "ret_p3m": -0.31026716438777746, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.31026716438777746, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3342818392834479, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3342818392834479, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02401467489567044, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02401467489567044, "ret_p6m": -0.48681887083851494, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.48681887083851494, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.47165107524786387, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.47165107524786387, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.015167795590651068, "bench_c_p6m": -0.015167795590651068, "price_path": [-0.1732, -0.1889, -0.1934, -0.1734, -0.1511, -0.1249, -0.1365, -0.1432, -0.1623, -0.149, -0.1457, -0.1376, -0.1285, -0.1205, -0.1184, -0.1072, -0.1401, -0.1116, -0.1005, -0.0978, -0.1226, -0.1203, -0.111, -0.1069, -0.1409, -0.1382, -0.1265, -0.1237, -0.1746, -0.173, -0.1797, -0.1684, -0.1718, -0.176, -0.1704, -0.1545, -0.2044, -0.2044, -0.2074, -0.2139, -0.2155, -0.181, -0.161, -0.1503, 0.1551, 0.0831, 0.0279, 0.063, 0.0788, 0.0604, 0.0436, 0.0859, 0.1545, 0.1041, 0.0852, 0.0249, -0.0027, -0.0052, -0.0106, 0.0168, 0.016, 0.0067, 0.0259, 0.0, 0.0154, 0.0466, 0.0325, 0.0855, 0.0538, 0.07, 0.1031, 0.0267, -0.0231, -0.0303, -0.0391, -0.013, -0.0015, -0.0083, -0.0103, -0.0298, -0.0947, -0.0745, -0.0913, -0.1254, -0.1178, -0.1408, -0.1568, -0.1513, -0.1677, -0.2, -0.2332, -0.2146, -0.2252, -0.2229, -0.2052, -0.2575, -0.2995, -0.2942, -0.3056, -0.2777, -0.2777, -0.2883, -0.2918, -0.2913, -0.2679, -0.2446, -0.2332, -0.2228, -0.2193, -0.2141, -0.2992, -0.3305, -0.3483, -0.3351, -0.3711, -0.3655, -0.3234, -0.3009, -0.3116, -0.304, -0.304, -0.3022, -0.3114, -0.305, -0.3131, -0.3131, -0.3103, -0.3213, -0.3172, -0.3204, -0.3316, -0.2985, -0.2767, -0.2852, -0.3159, -0.3292, -0.3248, -0.3248, -0.3642, -0.3856, -0.3704, -0.374, -0.3553, -0.382, -0.3894, -0.4028, -0.4184, -0.4344, -0.4535, -0.4817, -0.5177, -0.4953, -0.4467, -0.435, -0.4447, -0.4471, -0.4341, -0.4341, -0.4559, -0.4482, -0.4469, -0.4767, -0.5007, -0.4836, -0.4774, -0.4689, -0.4862, -0.4726, -0.4735, -0.4616, -0.453, -0.4595, -0.4645, -0.4721, -0.4236, -0.4376, -0.4519, -0.4489, -0.4534, -0.4597, -0.4505, -0.4711, -0.4546, -0.4802, -0.484, -0.4954, -0.5065, -0.5095, -0.4802, -0.4868]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1981899259390963848", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-25T01:43:00+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "which is how we get to $100B MC from here in 1 year time", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish NBIS: MSFT deal revenue kicks in Q4 2026/Q1 2027, >1000% Q revenue growth, additional Mag7 deals expected; $100B market cap in 1 year.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yep, there's probably ~12-16 month-ish revenue lag for full recognition but quarterly revenue with $MSFT deal would likely be realized Q4 2026 and Q1 2027.   \n\nWith that Q revenue would increase over 1000%+ Y/Y to $1.225B/quarter (~$4.9B ARR) if Nebius stopped growing completely. \n\nBut of course this is a hyper-scaling company, so I'd expect another Mag7 deal + other enterprise/SMB clients to bring that number up (which is how we get to $100B MC from here in 1 year time)   \n\nAlso, I used EV/Revenue of 6–8× and EV/EBITDA of 15–25, which is conservative not P/S multiple of 10-15.\n\nThis was the core business (eg. $33B core business midpoint + 40% discounted from sum of parts (cash, GPUs, assets like clickhouse), which would put it to ~$39B today midpoint if there's zero growth in any number.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit The $MSFT deal is through 2031 so all of that revenue will not be realized next year. \n\nA P/S multiple of 10-15 is not a given in rational markets for businesses with the margin profile of $NBIS", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LiebermanAustin", "ret_m1d": -0.0651359176358719, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0651359176358719, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05347576869210846, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.051394016667661524, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013741900968210374, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02870125540430646, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02870125540430646, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.031357254360897535, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.023750721096447047, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004950534307859411, "ret_p1w": -0.03954396135218685, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03954396135218685, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.036771241766913265, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.009072772543005425, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": -0.030471188809181426, "ret_p1m": -0.291397615903933, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.291397615903933, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2764831740059033, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2669865978192385, "bench_spy_p1m": 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{"unit_id": "reply:2009198276235448369", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-08T09:39:32+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "buying into the bottleneck with the purest asymmetry play there is (which happens to be a monopoly now)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AXTI as monopoly bottleneck on InP substrates critical to AI photonics ramp; TAM and margins set to expand exponentially as supply shortage kicks in.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "TAM for InP substrates was few hundred million previously since it was a niche telecom commodity.\n\nMost analysts or charters model this wrong since it's not linear.\n\nIt's a game theory supply bottleneck of a critical material that $AXTI controls between all the world's trillion dollar companies that are desperate for allocation. \n\nYou can see both forward TAM and margins increase exponentially like HBM once supply shortage kicks in for $AXTI and InP. I made this comment earlier but this is a summary: \n\n1. Price of 7n Indium feedstock has started to spike on SMM and we're seeing bifurcation between asian supply chains + western ( $AXTI exports to western, which inflates their future margins that aren't already backlogged)\n\nDec 19th: Asian Metal reported that \"Indium ingot suppliers raise offering prices in United States,\" marking the beginning of the specific divergence in Western pricing.\n\nDecember 24, 2025: They subsequently reported that \"Suppliers of indium ingot raise quotes in China,\" confirming that the pricing pressure had solidified across both domestic and export channels by the end of the week.\n\nThis affects the bottom line of InP substrate producers, but $AXTI owns the entire cost structure/supply chain so any price increases just benefit their margins.\n\n2. Hyperscalers/Western supply chains pay premiums for substrates already. They are capacity strained after $NVDA secured EML capacity from $LITE, $COHR, and others.\n\n-> We're already seeing slowdown for $MSFT and other hyperscaler deployments likely because of capacity.\n\n-> They will go upstream to secure materials (which are extremely cheap, bc earlier they were commodities for telecom), then this just becomes game theory allocation wars like HBM. But instead of sk hynix, mu, samsung, and the others. You basically only have $AXTI left that can do it at scale.\n\nEG. $GOOGL especially is heavily dependent on this, and $MSFT alone from maia was est. to take up double digits of the world's capacity if they wanted to ramp up, but there's literally not enough.\n\n3. The biggest thing was that the Japanese InP substrate supply chain got export controlled, effectively making $AXTI the largest InP substrate provider when materials run out on the Sumitomo/JX side.\n\nThis is just pure what value would you place on single company point of failure on the photonics AI ramp. We can argue semantics but if it goes down the entire supply chain does too. eg. CEO was saying they were 40% of inp supply chain before export controls (and before their $100M fundraise to increase capacity).\n\nAnd this huge bottleneck of the entire AI supply chain is valued at $1.3B, while random quantum companies with no material impact are worth $10B+.\n\nIt's impossible to accurately model bottlenecks  and PTs where the few hundred million TAM is suddenly used for every single AI deployment because nobody knows where the substrate or feedstock pricing goes.\n\nFor me it's just buying into the bottleneck with the purest asymmetry play there is (which happens to be a monopoly now).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Feels like its to late now, up almost 1000% last 6 months... whats your PT?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "svartahingsten5", "ret_m1d": -0.06658921093437264, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06658921093437264, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06669075392629065, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08252666898558814, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0001015429919180022, "bench_c_m1d": 0.015937458051215492, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.10994967715742876, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.10994967715742876, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.11656301955152137, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.1369695461149617, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006613342394092614, "bench_c_p1d": 0.027019868957532944, "ret_p1w": -0.004258637656851416, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.004258637656851416, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.00821792672809174, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05025048991950287, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003959289071240324, "bench_c_p1w": 0.045991852262651456, "ret_p1m": -0.06852498888856806, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06852498888856806, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07013476485135361, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1283434021372133, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0016097759627855535, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05981841324864523, "ret_p3m": 0.7599689980157815, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7599689980157815, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.8012877645453652, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.7047682425571753, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04131876652958366, "bench_c_p3m": 0.055200755458606254, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.8219, -0.8231, -0.8223, -0.8091, -0.8254, -0.8099, -0.7998, -0.8087, -0.7995, -0.7654, -0.7604, -0.7445, -0.7263, -0.7166, -0.6922, -0.6725, -0.6694, -0.6477, -0.6566, -0.6338, -0.5958, -0.5912, -0.5749, -0.5958, -0.5958, -0.6032, -0.6167, -0.6086, -0.6341, -0.6543, -0.6384, -0.6427, -0.5954, -0.5954, -0.5858, -0.5823, -0.5447, -0.5556, -0.5316, -0.5517, -0.5079, -0.4208, -0.3995, -0.3659, -0.4266, -0.4259, -0.4967, -0.5215, -0.4576, -0.4328, -0.4108, -0.4332, -0.4189, -0.4189, -0.405, -0.4352, -0.3883, -0.367, -0.367, -0.3511, -0.3546, -0.2191, -0.0666, 0.0, -0.1099, -0.139, -0.1672, -0.1444, -0.0043, -0.1448, -0.1448, -0.1711, -0.2342, -0.3062, -0.3264, -0.3109, -0.3341, -0.3484, -0.3659, -0.2822, -0.1893, -0.2358, -0.2741, -0.2091, -0.0685, 0.0751, -0.0573, 0.0376, -0.0403, -0.0616, -0.0616, -0.1014, -0.0887, -0.0782, 0.1491, 0.1007, 0.3581, 0.5861, 0.4371, 0.4673, 0.7933, 0.6167, 0.5149, 0.5021, 0.2532, 0.4928, 0.7151, 0.8335, 0.8091, 0.8916, 0.8734, 0.7174, 0.8877, 1.2489, 1.0999, 1.4948, 1.6496, 1.6074, 1.2652, 1.3473, 1.0414, 1.206, 0.825, 1.0457, 1.0457, 0.6256, 0.76, 1.0588, 1.4437, 1.4847, 1.5726, 1.6055, 1.4363, 2.1661, 2.1963, 2.0492, 1.9024, 2.3659, 1.9141, 1.9485, 1.7158, 1.6601, 1.7515, 2.067, 2.7166, 3.1038, 3.1638, 3.0585, 3.1974, 3.5048, 3.8707, 3.758, 3.7209, 3.4514, 3.7921, 3.0991, 3.3701, 3.0499, 3.6852, 4.4522, 4.4522, 4.1336, 3.753, 3.4793, 2.9938, 2.9938, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2009187551974707515", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-08T08:56:55+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "all the world's trillion dollar hyperscalers are bottlenecked by such a tiny company in $AXTI. And that company would have a monopoly position in that bottleneck post-export China control ban on Japan. I would estimate that AI supply chains hit a critical state in 3-6 months time", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long AXTI as monopoly bottleneck for hyperscaler InP supply chains; critical shortage seen in 3-6 months as Sumitomo/JX inventory depletes.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is probably the first time in history all the world's trillion dollar hyperscalers are bottlenecked by such a tiny company in $AXTI.\n\nAnd that company would have a monopoly position in that bottleneck post-export China control ban on Japan. \n\nI don't know how markets will evaluate this bottleneck, I'm just simply pointing it out. You should do your own research! \n\nHowever, I would estimate that AI supply chains hit a critical state in 3-6 months time when Sumitomo/JX start running out of inventory and when hyperscalers start to ramp up + realize there's no more capacity for photonic components (by second order effect bc of inp).\n\n$MSFT alone was projected to take up double digits of the entire InP supply chain output from Maia ramp in Q4 2026, 2027, and they haven't even started to ramp up yet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit is this a long term hold for regardless of price action or you have a PT? Thanks", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "teslabulltr", "ret_m1d": -0.06658921093437264, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06658921093437264, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06669075392629065, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08252666898558814, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0001015429919180022, "bench_c_m1d": 0.015937458051215492, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.10994967715742876, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.10994967715742876, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.11656301955152137, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.1369695461149617, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006613342394092614, "bench_c_p1d": 0.027019868957532944, "ret_p1w": -0.004258637656851416, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.004258637656851416, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.00821792672809174, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05025048991950287, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003959289071240324, "bench_c_p1w": 0.045991852262651456, "ret_p1m": -0.06852498888856806, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06852498888856806, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07013476485135361, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1283434021372133, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0016097759627855535, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05981841324864523, "ret_p3m": 0.7599689980157815, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7599689980157815, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.8012877645453652, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.7047682425571753, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04131876652958366, "bench_c_p3m": 0.055200755458606254, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.8219, -0.8231, -0.8223, -0.8091, -0.8254, -0.8099, -0.7998, -0.8087, -0.7995, -0.7654, -0.7604, -0.7445, -0.7263, -0.7166, -0.6922, -0.6725, -0.6694, -0.6477, -0.6566, -0.6338, -0.5958, -0.5912, -0.5749, -0.5958, -0.5958, -0.6032, -0.6167, -0.6086, -0.6341, -0.6543, -0.6384, -0.6427, -0.5954, -0.5954, -0.5858, -0.5823, -0.5447, -0.5556, -0.5316, -0.5517, -0.5079, -0.4208, -0.3995, -0.3659, -0.4266, -0.4259, -0.4967, -0.5215, -0.4576, -0.4328, -0.4108, -0.4332, -0.4189, -0.4189, -0.405, -0.4352, -0.3883, -0.367, -0.367, -0.3511, -0.3546, -0.2191, -0.0666, 0.0, -0.1099, -0.139, -0.1672, -0.1444, -0.0043, -0.1448, -0.1448, -0.1711, -0.2342, -0.3062, -0.3264, -0.3109, -0.3341, -0.3484, -0.3659, -0.2822, -0.1893, -0.2358, -0.2741, -0.2091, -0.0685, 0.0751, -0.0573, 0.0376, -0.0403, -0.0616, -0.0616, -0.1014, -0.0887, -0.0782, 0.1491, 0.1007, 0.3581, 0.5861, 0.4371, 0.4673, 0.7933, 0.6167, 0.5149, 0.5021, 0.2532, 0.4928, 0.7151, 0.8335, 0.8091, 0.8916, 0.8734, 0.7174, 0.8877, 1.2489, 1.0999, 1.4948, 1.6496, 1.6074, 1.2652, 1.3473, 1.0414, 1.206, 0.825, 1.0457, 1.0457, 0.6256, 0.76, 1.0588, 1.4437, 1.4847, 1.5726, 1.6055, 1.4363, 2.1661, 2.1963, 2.0492, 1.9024, 2.3659, 1.9141, 1.9485, 1.7158, 1.6601, 1.7515, 2.067, 2.7166, 3.1038, 3.1638, 3.0585, 3.1974, 3.5048, 3.8707, 3.758, 3.7209, 3.4514, 3.7921, 3.0991, 3.3701, 3.0499, 3.6852, 4.4522, 4.4522, 4.1336, 3.753, 3.4793, 2.9938, 2.9938, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972139608793334241", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-28T03:21:37+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I believe $NBIS to $200. I'm buying every dip to DCA right now.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS with $200 target; buying every dip to DCA.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@pepemoonboy Nice positions! I believe $NBIS to $200. I'm buying every dip to DCA right now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Amazing thesis and overview. I couldn’t agree more with everything you said. I’m buying more $NBIS Monday😎 https://t.co/nC05R0pGR3", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "pepemoonboy", "ret_m1d": -0.022863402690541768, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.022863402690541768, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.020060912274418974, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01965792073995065, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003205481950591116, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01859912356794835, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01859912356794835, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014832256808836375, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0201175336178111, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0015184100498627506, "ret_p1w": 0.13355108925491654, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.13355108925491654, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12160260787250388, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15075906719363552, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017207977938718977, "ret_p1m": 0.10533478934648022, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10533478934648022, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0701069826039109, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12195232126657751, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016617531920097295, "ret_p3m": -0.17319909050862348, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17319909050862348, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2165030751207767, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17254361511278626, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0006554753958372128, "ret_p6m": 0.042551282793175105, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.042551282793175105, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.052768289205117, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09910514292146178, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.05655386012828667, "price_path": [-0.5466, -0.5441, -0.5441, -0.566, -0.5727, -0.5822, -0.5788, -0.5981, -0.5287, -0.5143, -0.5163, -0.5129, -0.521, -0.5249, -0.5372, -0.5293, -0.5268, -0.5339, -0.5214, -0.5427, -0.5347, -0.5062, -0.5282, -0.5085, -0.4995, -0.5002, -0.4075, -0.376, -0.3627, -0.3165, -0.3592, -0.3789, -0.3502, -0.3419, -0.3904, -0.3879, -0.3996, -0.3742, -0.3647, -0.3606, -0.364, -0.3464, -0.3801, -0.3801, -0.4037, -0.4044, -0.4111, -0.406, -0.4188, -0.1316, -0.1527, -0.1908, -0.1797, -0.1747, -0.1886, -0.1464, -0.1461, -0.099, -0.0328, -0.022, 0.0273, -0.0207, -0.0229, 0.0, 0.0186, 0.0489, 0.142, 0.1611, 0.1336, 0.0679, 0.1069, 0.2034, 0.1756, 0.229, 0.1627, 0.1416, 0.1163, 0.0292, -0.0111, -0.0539, -0.1052, -0.0368, 0.0639, 0.138, 0.1053, 0.135, 0.1267, 0.1869, 0.093, 0.0029, 0.0615, -0.0071, 0.0096, -0.0024, -0.0726, -0.1439, -0.1959, -0.2421, -0.2199, -0.1786, -0.1375, -0.2321, -0.2446, -0.1662, -0.1936, -0.1409, -0.1409, -0.1393, -0.0914, -0.1249, -0.1025, -0.0673, -0.1105, -0.0897, -0.1253, -0.1509, -0.1446, -0.2044, -0.2638, -0.2656, -0.3155, -0.2915, -0.1884, -0.1541, -0.1832, -0.1732, -0.1732, -0.2053, -0.2194, -0.2273, -0.2406, -0.2406, -0.1839, -0.1578, -0.0905, -0.1271, -0.1172, -0.1115, -0.0262, -0.0435, -0.0748, -0.0575, -0.0135, -0.0135, -0.0992, -0.103, -0.1213, -0.1426, -0.1702, -0.112, -0.0888, -0.1389, -0.2271, -0.2001, -0.1839, -0.2525, -0.3298, -0.2188, -0.1573, -0.1672, -0.1961, -0.1859, -0.1108, -0.1108, -0.1152, -0.0764, -0.0237, -0.1116, -0.0872, -0.0693, -0.0372, -0.0484, -0.1727, -0.1743, -0.2125, -0.1129, -0.1322, -0.1895, -0.1386, -0.1251, 0.0161, -0.0198, 0.0248, 0.1781, 0.0554, 0.0757, 0.1025, 0.0671, 0.0357, 0.0426]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1981984495013335140", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-25T07:21:41+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I've always been more bullish on $NBIS in terms of asymmetrical upside and thought I should just put my money where my mouth is + focus concentration on it", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS; author concentrating position on asymmetric upside conviction.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@genZinvest0r True, $NBIS investors are just superior. \n\nJokes aside it's not winner takes all eg. cloud (Azure, AWS, GCP, etc).\n\nBut, I've always been more bullish on $NBIS in terms of asymmetrical upside and thought I should just put my money where my mouth is + focus concentration on it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Superior business and superior investors!👑", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "genZinvest0r", "ret_m1d": -0.0651359176358719, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0651359176358719, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05347576869210846, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.051394016667661524, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013741900968210374, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02870125540430646, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02870125540430646, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.031357254360897535, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.023750721096447047, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004950534307859411, "ret_p1w": -0.03954396135218685, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03954396135218685, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.036771241766913265, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.009072772543005425, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": -0.030471188809181426, "ret_p1m": -0.291397615903933, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.291397615903933, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2764831740059033, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2669865978192385, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02441101808469448, "ret_p3m": -0.22785618880266678, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22785618880266678, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23628515601411337, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.22330124633290094, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": -0.004554942469765844, "ret_p6m": 0.24810653488691647, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.24810653488691647, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.21476196842477524, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.24166768131940364, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": 0.006438853567512837, "price_path": [-0.5911, -0.5661, -0.5854, -0.5681, -0.5602, -0.5608, -0.4793, -0.4516, -0.44, -0.3994, -0.4369, -0.4542, -0.429, -0.4217, -0.4643, -0.4621, -0.4724, -0.4501, -0.4418, -0.4381, -0.4411, -0.4257, -0.4553, -0.4553, -0.476, -0.4766, -0.4825, -0.478, -0.4893, -0.2369, -0.2554, -0.2889, -0.2792, -0.2748, -0.287, -0.2499, -0.2496, -0.2082, -0.1501, -0.1406, -0.0973, -0.1394, -0.1414, -0.1213, -0.1049, -0.0783, 0.0035, 0.0203, -0.0039, -0.0616, -0.0273, 0.0575, 0.0331, 0.08, 0.0217, 0.0032, -0.0191, -0.0956, -0.131, -0.1686, -0.2137, -0.1536, -0.0651, 0.0, -0.0287, -0.0026, -0.01, 0.043, -0.0395, -0.1187, -0.0672, -0.1275, -0.1128, -0.1234, -0.185, -0.2477, -0.2934, -0.334, -0.3145, -0.2782, -0.242, -0.3252, -0.3362, -0.2673, -0.2914, -0.2451, -0.2451, -0.2436, -0.2015, -0.231, -0.2114, -0.1804, -0.2184, -0.2001, -0.2314, -0.2538, -0.2483, -0.3009, -0.3531, -0.3546, -0.3985, -0.3774, -0.2868, -0.2567, -0.2822, -0.2735, -0.2735, -0.3017, -0.314, -0.321, -0.3327, -0.3327, -0.2829, -0.2599, -0.2008, -0.233, -0.2243, -0.2192, -0.1443, -0.1595, -0.187, -0.1718, -0.1331, -0.1331, -0.2084, -0.2118, -0.2279, -0.2466, -0.2708, -0.2197, -0.1993, -0.2433, -0.3208, -0.2971, -0.2829, -0.3431, -0.4111, -0.3136, -0.2595, -0.2682, -0.2936, -0.2846, -0.2186, -0.2186, -0.2225, -0.1884, -0.1421, -0.2193, -0.1979, -0.1822, -0.154, -0.1638, -0.273, -0.2744, -0.308, -0.2204, -0.2374, -0.2878, -0.2431, -0.2312, -0.1071, -0.1386, -0.0995, 0.0352, -0.0726, -0.0548, -0.0312, -0.0623, -0.0899, -0.0839, -0.0824, -0.1551, -0.1962, -0.2645, -0.1728, -0.1872, -0.1324, -0.1324, -0.1028, -0.064, -0.0034, 0.0869, 0.1558, 0.2322, 0.2911, 0.3296, 0.3182, 0.2528, 0.2689, 0.2481]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2008885741066375328", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-07T12:57:38+00:00", "symbol": "CRDO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the drop might present an attractive entry point for others who want to go long", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "CRDO drop seen as attractive long entry after misinformation-driven selloff.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRDO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@LongInnovation $CRDO is not a big position for me. More of a swing trade based off misinformation posted about customer about to $MRVL and some keynote shenanigans. \n\nBut the drop might present an attractive entry point for others who want to go long.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What size of your portfolio is this?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LongInnovation", "ret_m1d": -0.05709222022523275, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05709222022523275, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0603260006455425, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06384513222384414, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003233780420309751, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006752911998611388, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004184371190713687, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004184371190713687, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004285903872699448, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01987181132289151, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00010153268198576093, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01568744013217782, "ret_p1w": 0.11234039955950803, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11234039955950803, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1112093396825613, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10369145357004284, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0011310598769467273, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008648945989465195, "ret_p1m": -0.30453902440713654, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.30453902440713654, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2871951300181662, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2942798643578829, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017343894388970327, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010259160049253646, "ret_p3m": -0.27333333982643504, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.27333333982643504, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2314955734318357, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3017994514190647, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04183776639459935, "bench_c_p3m": 0.028466111592629684, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0154, 0.0631, -0.0798, -0.068, -0.0317, 0.0185, 0.0756, 0.0225, -0.027, 0.0707, 0.1032, 0.099, 0.1502, 0.2165, 0.1817, 0.3306, 0.2811, 0.1648, 0.2281, 0.1542, 0.1604, 0.2068, 0.1241, 0.1372, 0.0138, 0.0321, 0.0325, -0.0102, 0.0062, -0.0445, -0.0533, 0.0699, 0.0935, 0.1632, 0.1632, 0.2596, 0.2137, 0.3365, 0.3418, 0.2831, 0.2485, 0.2691, 0.2077, 0.1204, 0.0955, 0.0206, 0.0072, -0.0047, -0.0487, -0.0172, 0.0648, 0.0634, 0.0483, 0.0652, 0.0652, 0.0272, 0.0262, 0.0278, 0.0205, 0.0205, 0.0157, -0.0054, -0.0571, 0.0, 0.0042, 0.0668, 0.1069, 0.1445, 0.1123, 0.0576, 0.0707, 0.0707, 0.0867, -0.013, -0.0418, -0.0556, -0.0921, -0.0811, -0.0804, -0.0818, -0.1115, -0.1492, -0.2106, -0.3124, -0.3045, -0.2099, -0.1248, -0.0445, -0.0894, -0.1363, -0.1387, -0.1387, -0.1149, -0.0928, -0.0733, -0.1201, -0.1202, -0.143, -0.1244, -0.1881, -0.2038, -0.1899, -0.3099, -0.2728, -0.1862, -0.2211, -0.1774, -0.2033, -0.1779, -0.2087, -0.1653, -0.1711, -0.262, -0.2786, -0.2405, -0.2667, -0.2546, -0.2887, -0.263, -0.316, -0.3245, -0.3772, -0.3343, -0.3197, -0.2805, -0.2805, -0.2733, -0.2426, -0.2184, -0.2345, -0.1518, -0.0471, 0.1313, 0.194, 0.1272, 0.1396, 0.2378, 0.3001, 0.3439, 0.3159, 0.3833, 0.2801, 0.1767, 0.2466, 0.2341, 0.3077, 0.277, 0.3728, 0.4063, 0.3354, 0.3369, 0.4909, 0.4083, 0.343, 0.3088, 0.2211, 0.1083, 0.1985, 0.2977, 0.3716, 0.549, 0.549, 0.5719, 0.569, 0.577, 0.674, 0.674, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1983868271377182826", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-30T12:07:09+00:00", "symbol": "LGN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Only negatives I've heard about $LGN so far were debt and something with P/E funds but I haven't looked into it too much", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on Mag7-vendor stocks LGN, ALAB, TSM, CRWV on the thesis that broad Mag7 adoption signals durable demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["LGN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@gunnaosrs Yeah that was my same thesis I was thinking about internally. \n\nOnly negatives I've heard about $LGN so far were debt and something with P/E funds but I haven't looked into it too much.\n\nWhenever a lot of Mag7 uses a business I get really interested (eg. $ALAB, $TSM, $CRWV)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04240909676580662, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04240909676580662, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03128864853848068, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03128864853848068, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01112044822732594, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01112044822732594, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03814304933413659, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03814304933413659, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.034862949602057824, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.034862949602057824, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0032800997320787673, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0032800997320787673, "ret_p1w": -0.08306142246763926, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08306142246763926, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06905788503790733, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06905788503790733, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014003537429731927, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014003537429731927, "ret_p1m": 0.15382688338359918, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.15382688338359918, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14859035332244397, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14859035332244397, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005236530061155209, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005236530061155209, "ret_p3m": 0.25319951164215015, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.25319951164215015, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.22714146323106355, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.22714146323106355, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02605804841108661, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02605804841108661, "ret_p6m": 1.0175659875643737, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.0175659875643737, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.9614120670244466, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.9614120670244466, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05615392053992707, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05615392053992707, "price_path": [null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, -0.2346, -0.2334, -0.2201, -0.2389, -0.2542, -0.2138, -0.1784, -0.1619, -0.1498, -0.195, -0.2053, -0.2191, -0.2269, -0.2055, -0.2479, -0.2053, -0.2329, -0.197, -0.2198, -0.2203, -0.2158, -0.1962, -0.2068, -0.1593, -0.1558, -0.1513, -0.1061, -0.1184, -0.1752, -0.1819, -0.0936, -0.0762, -0.0063, 0.0424, 0.0, 0.0381, 0.0396, -0.0386, -0.0213, -0.0831, -0.1094, -0.0821, -0.0906, -0.079, -0.1639, 0.0105, 0.0068, 0.1275, 0.1149, 0.0279, 0.0231, 0.0989, 0.129, 0.1483, 0.1483, 0.1538, 0.1247, 0.1089, 0.1533, 0.2105, 0.1742, 0.192, 0.2166, 0.1368, 0.1493, 0.0474, 0.0248, 0.0519, 0.0376, 0.0916, 0.1079, 0.1072, 0.1222, 0.1114, 0.1114, 0.1192, 0.1006, 0.0916, 0.0801, 0.0801, 0.1212, 0.1174, 0.1543, 0.2125, 0.0923, 0.1167, 0.1355, 0.1481, 0.1189, 0.1621, 0.2444, 0.2444, 0.1915, 0.2045, 0.2211, 0.2489, 0.2841, 0.2532, 0.2853, 0.2941, 0.1772, 0.194, 0.2462, 0.134, 0.1149, 0.2263, 0.3051, 0.3415, 0.3455, 0.2085, 0.1995, 0.1995, 0.1945, 0.1704, 0.1864, 0.3862, 0.3099, 0.3767, 0.3992, 0.4384, 0.4567, 0.4065, 0.3591, 0.3897, 0.3568, 0.265, 0.2657, 0.2893, 0.2971, 0.2675, 0.2773, 0.3064, 0.3174, 0.2931, 0.2921, 0.2253, 0.3089, 0.335, 0.4005, 0.3295, 0.3739, 0.3523, 0.4168, 0.4956, 0.4725, 0.4725, 0.3824, 0.3797, 0.4489, 0.4994, 0.5859, 0.6407, 0.6577, 0.745, 0.7265, 0.8512, 0.9092, 0.922, 0.9895, 1.0356, 1.0176]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1983868271377182826", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-30T12:07:09+00:00", "symbol": "ALAB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Whenever a lot of Mag7 uses a business I get really interested (eg. $ALAB, $TSM, $CRWV)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on Mag7-vendor stocks LGN, ALAB, TSM, CRWV on the thesis that broad Mag7 adoption signals durable demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["ALAB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@gunnaosrs Yeah that was my same thesis I was thinking about internally. \n\nOnly negatives I've heard about $LGN so far were debt and something with P/E funds but I haven't looked into it too much.\n\nWhenever a lot of Mag7 uses a business I get really interested (eg. $ALAB, $TSM, $CRWV)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02400467114227811, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02400467114227811, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01288422291495217, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01058819506227171, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01112044822732594, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013416476080006401, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10103208089470961, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10103208089470961, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09775198116263084, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10298415287342921, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0032800997320787673, "bench_c_p1d": -0.001952071978719605, "ret_p1w": -0.03963433264375549, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03963433264375549, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02563079521402356, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.004883260115116195, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014003537429731927, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03475107252863929, "ret_p1m": -0.07065759664942017, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07065759664942017, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07589412671057538, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.039178184637671754, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005236530061155209, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03147941201174842, "ret_p3m": 0.008139130635121061, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.008139130635121061, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.017918917775965548, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11499390701746393, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02605804841108661, "bench_c_p3m": 0.12313303765258499, "ret_p6m": 0.2553228694010572, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2553228694010572, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.19916894886113012, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.14136098162607413, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05615392053992707, "bench_c_p6m": 0.39668385102713133, "price_path": [-0.1865, -0.2006, 0.0285, 0.0079, 0.0574, 0.0583, 0.1324, 0.1421, 0.1247, 0.0961, 0.0996, 0.0089, 0.0171, 0.0471, 0.0563, 0.0271, 0.0531, 0.0569, 0.1156, 0.0746, 0.0746, 0.0277, 0.0416, 0.1085, 0.1277, 0.2746, 0.2651, 0.3587, 0.3736, 0.3536, 0.3641, 0.4084, 0.4708, 0.4856, 0.4462, 0.3996, 0.3572, 0.2107, 0.1834, 0.1665, 0.1725, 0.1548, 0.1472, 0.2362, 0.184, 0.3023, 0.251, 0.2938, 0.3296, 0.2162, 0.1768, -0.0472, -0.0477, -0.0354, -0.0575, -0.0781, -0.071, -0.0867, -0.0349, -0.027, 0.0043, -0.0077, 0.024, 0.0, 0.101, 0.1298, 0.0576, 0.0731, -0.0396, -0.0239, 0.0247, -0.0118, -0.0694, -0.1479, -0.1487, -0.1661, -0.1771, -0.1624, -0.1785, -0.1637, -0.1286, -0.1461, -0.0904, -0.0904, -0.0707, -0.0257, -0.1569, -0.1006, -0.1005, -0.0491, 0.0365, -0.0146, -0.0309, 0.0245, -0.1221, -0.1527, -0.1451, -0.1729, -0.1396, -0.0304, 0.0181, -0.0042, 0.0025, 0.0025, -0.0135, 0.0033, 0.0076, -0.0188, -0.0188, 0.059, -0.0144, -0.0504, -0.0223, -0.0756, -0.0409, 0.0178, 0.0649, 0.0153, 0.0289, 0.0734, 0.0734, 0.0838, 0.0381, 0.0401, 0.0006, -0.0372, 0.0081, -0.0097, -0.0536, -0.1116, -0.1009, -0.0651, -0.1467, -0.1577, 0.0018, 0.1069, 0.0785, -0.1524, -0.2534, -0.2373, -0.2373, -0.2705, -0.2357, -0.2178, -0.2352, -0.2436, -0.2427, -0.2442, -0.2647, -0.2991, -0.289, -0.3524, -0.329, -0.2922, -0.297, -0.2786, -0.313, -0.2645, -0.2928, -0.2904, -0.2481, -0.2476, -0.2549, -0.2559, -0.3156, -0.2694, -0.2819, -0.2903, -0.33, -0.3367, -0.4086, -0.3536, -0.3729, -0.3091, -0.3091, -0.3041, -0.2982, -0.26, -0.2364, -0.1209, -0.0162, 0.0062, 0.015, 0.0074, 0.0265, 0.0369, 0.1322, 0.1446, 0.1651, 0.2553]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1983868271377182826", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-30T12:07:09+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Whenever a lot of Mag7 uses a business I get really interested (eg. $ALAB, $TSM, $CRWV)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on Mag7-vendor stocks LGN, ALAB, TSM, CRWV on the thesis that broad Mag7 adoption signals durable demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@gunnaosrs Yeah that was my same thesis I was thinking about internally. \n\nOnly negatives I've heard about $LGN so far were debt and something with P/E funds but I haven't looked into it too much.\n\nWhenever a lot of Mag7 uses a business I get really interested (eg. $ALAB, $TSM, $CRWV)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0061671934857272515, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0061671934857272515, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004953254741598689, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004953254741598689, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01112044822732594, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01112044822732594, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.009201201702040196, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.009201201702040196, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012481301434118963, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012481301434118963, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0032800997320787673, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0032800997320787673, "ret_p1w": -0.04610518556330234, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04610518556330234, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.032101648133570415, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.032101648133570415, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014003537429731927, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014003537429731927, "ret_p1m": -0.03861873486917433, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03861873486917433, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04385526493032954, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04385526493032954, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005236530061155209, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005236530061155209, "ret_p3m": 0.11883586784677913, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11883586784677913, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09277781943569252, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09277781943569252, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02605804841108661, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02605804841108661, "ret_p6m": 0.3346204423337049, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3346204423337049, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.27846652179377784, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.27846652179377784, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05615392053992707, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05615392053992707, "price_path": [-0.2143, -0.2357, -0.2394, -0.2024, -0.205, -0.2041, -0.1969, -0.2063, -0.2077, -0.2147, -0.2063, -0.235, -0.2485, -0.2526, -0.234, -0.2255, -0.2152, -0.2133, -0.2167, -0.241, -0.241, -0.2492, -0.2393, -0.2267, -0.1998, -0.1873, -0.1751, -0.1438, -0.1488, -0.1474, -0.1407, -0.1357, -0.1333, -0.114, -0.1265, -0.1009, -0.0676, -0.0742, -0.0876, -0.0985, -0.0989, -0.0789, -0.0486, -0.0498, -0.0364, -0.0027, -0.0303, 0.0043, -0.011, -0.0744, -0.0011, -0.024, 0.0049, -0.0111, -0.0268, -0.0182, -0.0287, -0.0473, -0.0412, -0.0272, -0.0164, -0.0056, 0.0062, 0.0, -0.0092, 0.0054, -0.0302, -0.0316, -0.0461, -0.0551, -0.0262, -0.0397, -0.0416, -0.0693, -0.0607, -0.0699, -0.0835, -0.0688, -0.0848, -0.0929, -0.0613, -0.0611, -0.0437, -0.0437, -0.0386, -0.0512, -0.0367, -0.0256, -0.0339, -0.028, -0.0045, 0.0006, 0.0228, 0.0081, -0.0343, -0.0485, -0.0514, -0.0841, -0.0586, -0.0445, -0.0302, -0.018, -0.0119, -0.0119, 0.0014, -0.0049, -0.0093, 0.0049, 0.0049, 0.0569, 0.0656, 0.0828, 0.0538, 0.0516, 0.0702, 0.0971, 0.0953, 0.0817, 0.1297, 0.1323, 0.1323, 0.0819, 0.0784, 0.0826, 0.1074, 0.1002, 0.1188, 0.1319, 0.1228, 0.0931, 0.1288, 0.1103, 0.0772, 0.0937, 0.1536, 0.1753, 0.1968, 0.2371, 0.2172, 0.2115, 0.2115, 0.2044, 0.1979, 0.1918, 0.2253, 0.2237, 0.2756, 0.2822, 0.246, 0.2387, 0.2206, 0.1677, 0.182, 0.1702, 0.1207, 0.1531, 0.1478, 0.1725, 0.1134, 0.1187, 0.1251, 0.1473, 0.1261, 0.1235, 0.0918, 0.1224, 0.1383, 0.1532, 0.0814, 0.0835, 0.0496, 0.1207, 0.1324, 0.1243, 0.1243, 0.1333, 0.1451, 0.2134, 0.212, 0.229, 0.2256, 0.2598, 0.2439, 0.2049, 0.2286, 0.2145, 0.2206, 0.2848, 0.269, 0.3346]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1983868271377182826", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-10-30T12:07:09+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Whenever a lot of Mag7 uses a business I get really interested (eg. $ALAB, $TSM, $CRWV)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on Mag7-vendor stocks LGN, ALAB, TSM, CRWV on the thesis that broad Mag7 adoption signals durable demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@gunnaosrs Yeah that was my same thesis I was thinking about internally. \n\nOnly negatives I've heard about $LGN so far were debt and something with P/E funds but I haven't looked into it too much.\n\nWhenever a lot of Mag7 uses a business I get really interested (eg. $ALAB, $TSM, $CRWV)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0676788896873124, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0676788896873124, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05655844145998645, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05655844145998645, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01112044822732594, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01112044822732594, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.020219816913155997, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.020219816913155997, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01693971718107723, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01693971718107723, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0032800997320787673, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0032800997320787673, "ret_p1w": -0.18411412866561383, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.18411412866561383, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1701105912358819, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1701105912358819, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014003537429731927, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014003537429731927, "ret_p1m": -0.4420875621190833, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.4420875621190833, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.4473240921802385, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.4473240921802385, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005236530061155209, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005236530061155209, "ret_p3m": -0.1693880464046027, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1693880464046027, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1954460948156893, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1954460948156893, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02605804841108661, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02605804841108661, "ret_p6m": -0.15962153638521537, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.15962153638521537, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.21577545692514244, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.21577545692514244, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05615392053992707, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05615392053992707, "price_path": [-0.1911, -0.1467, -0.1589, -0.0761, -0.0115, 0.0665, 0.135, -0.1015, -0.2408, -0.2372, -0.2614, -0.2912, -0.3017, -0.3073, -0.2828, -0.2951, -0.3027, -0.2604, -0.2157, -0.2138, -0.2138, -0.2878, -0.3142, -0.3325, -0.3202, -0.2862, -0.2353, -0.1062, -0.1402, -0.1457, -0.0808, -0.0939, -0.0778, -0.0738, -0.0473, 0.0166, -0.0013, 0.0179, -0.0336, -0.0818, -0.0652, 0.0442, 0.0457, 0.053, 0.0285, 0.0213, -0.017, 0.0681, 0.0917, 0.0562, 0.0806, 0.0229, 0.0624, 0.0815, 0.0443, -0.0305, -0.0458, -0.0727, -0.0589, 0.0114, 0.0382, 0.0285, 0.0677, 0.0, 0.0202, -0.0362, -0.1168, -0.127, -0.1841, -0.2064, -0.1942, -0.3256, -0.3482, -0.4023, -0.4097, -0.4252, -0.4285, -0.4284, -0.4719, -0.4533, -0.4384, -0.4561, -0.4332, -0.4332, -0.4421, -0.412, -0.4199, -0.3945, -0.3457, -0.3263, -0.342, -0.3083, -0.3273, -0.3333, -0.4004, -0.448, -0.4697, -0.5075, -0.4836, -0.3667, -0.3527, -0.3876, -0.3982, -0.3982, -0.4169, -0.4284, -0.4361, -0.4536, -0.4536, -0.3948, -0.4136, -0.4053, -0.4111, -0.4118, -0.3885, -0.3138, -0.3325, -0.3148, -0.2751, -0.2276, -0.2276, -0.2735, -0.2824, -0.2996, -0.2906, -0.2499, -0.1694, -0.1911, -0.2406, -0.289, -0.3214, -0.3128, -0.3708, -0.4304, -0.3137, -0.2615, -0.2743, -0.274, -0.2698, -0.2672, -0.2672, -0.3057, -0.2717, -0.2588, -0.319, -0.3069, -0.2423, -0.2522, -0.2551, -0.3929, -0.4045, -0.4371, -0.3934, -0.4291, -0.4431, -0.4322, -0.4284, -0.3746, -0.3907, -0.3811, -0.3449, -0.3734, -0.3681, -0.3846, -0.3784, -0.3746, -0.3665, -0.3318, -0.3862, -0.4292, -0.4724, -0.4089, -0.4015, -0.3725, -0.3725, -0.3824, -0.3496, -0.3217, -0.298, -0.2217, -0.1586, -0.1058, -0.0944, -0.0877, -0.1084, -0.104, -0.1213, -0.065, -0.1041, -0.1596]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1985026979012436235", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-02T16:51:26+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "asymmetrical returns (lowest downside for upside) $TSM wins by an enormous margin", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Favors TSM for best risk-adjusted upside on AI buildout; AMD for raw upside; no reason to own ASML vs alternatives.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Docofgothm @pepemoonboy $ASML tracks fab cycles. $TSM is a measurement of AI buildout as a whole. \n\nNo reason to go with ASML in that case.\n\nIn terms of raw upside, maybe $AMD wins at this point, but asymmetrical returns (lowest downside for upside) $TSM wins by an enormous margin.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @pepemoonboy Huh. Interesting. You make it sound if one would want to initiate a position in pure chip plays, $TSM would be a better bet than $NVDA or $AMD. How do you feel about $ASML lithography monopoly", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Docofgothm", "ret_m1d": -0.014531198633646158, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014531198633646158, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012657937075436387, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012657937075436387, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03545892694762087, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03545892694762087, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02360538700517334, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02360538700517334, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "bench_c_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "ret_p1w": -0.03145711995918976, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03145711995918976, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.028676601196706564, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.028676601196706564, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "ret_p1m": -0.04188806938706735, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04188806938706735, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.039239327487818665, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.039239327487818665, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "ret_p3m": 0.11679675869437034, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11679675869437034, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09813726265329037, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09813726265329037, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "ret_p6m": 0.294061901029939, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.294061901029939, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2466443278172019, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2466443278172019, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "bench_c_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "price_path": [-0.2434, -0.2067, -0.2092, -0.2084, -0.2012, -0.2105, -0.212, -0.2189, -0.2106, -0.2391, -0.2525, -0.2567, -0.2382, -0.2296, -0.2194, -0.2176, -0.2209, -0.2451, -0.2451, -0.2532, -0.2434, -0.2309, -0.2041, -0.1917, -0.1795, -0.1484, -0.1534, -0.152, -0.1453, -0.1404, -0.138, -0.1188, -0.1312, -0.1057, -0.0727, -0.0792, -0.0925, -0.1033, -0.1038, -0.0839, -0.0538, -0.0549, -0.0416, -0.0081, -0.0355, -0.0011, -0.0163, -0.0794, -0.0065, -0.0293, -0.0005, -0.0165, -0.0321, -0.0235, -0.0339, -0.0524, -0.0463, -0.0325, -0.0217, -0.0109, 0.0008, -0.0054, -0.0145, 0.0, -0.0355, -0.0368, -0.0512, -0.0602, -0.0315, -0.0449, -0.0467, -0.0743, -0.0657, -0.075, -0.0884, -0.0738, -0.0897, -0.0977, -0.0663, -0.0662, -0.0489, -0.0489, -0.0438, -0.0564, -0.0419, -0.0309, -0.0391, -0.0333, -0.0098, -0.0048, 0.0173, 0.0027, -0.0395, -0.0536, -0.0565, -0.0891, -0.0637, -0.0496, -0.0354, -0.0233, -0.0172, -0.0172, -0.0039, -0.0103, -0.0147, -0.0005, -0.0005, 0.0512, 0.0599, 0.0769, 0.0482, 0.046, 0.0644, 0.0912, 0.0894, 0.0759, 0.1237, 0.1262, 0.1262, 0.076, 0.0726, 0.0767, 0.1014, 0.0943, 0.1128, 0.1258, 0.1168, 0.0872, 0.1227, 0.1043, 0.0714, 0.0878, 0.1474, 0.169, 0.1903, 0.2304, 0.2107, 0.205, 0.205, 0.1979, 0.1915, 0.1853, 0.2187, 0.2171, 0.2688, 0.2753, 0.2393, 0.232, 0.214, 0.1615, 0.1756, 0.1639, 0.1146, 0.1469, 0.1416, 0.1662, 0.1075, 0.1127, 0.119, 0.1412, 0.12, 0.1174, 0.0859, 0.1163, 0.1321, 0.147, 0.0756, 0.0777, 0.0439, 0.1147, 0.1263, 0.1183, 0.1183, 0.1272, 0.139, 0.2069, 0.2055, 0.2224, 0.219, 0.253, 0.2372, 0.1984, 0.222, 0.208, 0.214, 0.2779, 0.2621, 0.3274, 0.3358, 0.2941]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1985026979012436235", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-02T16:51:26+00:00", "symbol": "AMD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "In terms of raw upside, maybe $AMD wins at this point", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Favors TSM for best risk-adjusted upside on AI buildout; AMD for raw upside; no reason to own ASML vs alternatives.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Docofgothm @pepemoonboy $ASML tracks fab cycles. $TSM is a measurement of AI buildout as a whole. \n\nNo reason to go with ASML in that case.\n\nIn terms of raw upside, maybe $AMD wins at this point, but asymmetrical returns (lowest downside for upside) $TSM wins by an enormous margin.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @pepemoonboy Huh. Interesting. You make it sound if one would want to initiate a position in pure chip plays, $TSM would be a better bet than $NVDA or $AMD. How do you feel about $ASML lithography monopoly", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Docofgothm", "ret_m1d": -0.013595219958696392, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013595219958696392, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01172195840048662, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01172195840048662, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03697281367375582, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03697281367375582, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02511927373130829, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02511927373130829, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "bench_c_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "ret_p1w": -0.060350466155576044, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.060350466155576044, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.057569947393092846, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.057569947393092846, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "ret_p1m": -0.17103789504044975, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17103789504044975, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16838915314120106, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.16838915314120106, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "ret_p3m": -0.02876950277796353, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.02876950277796353, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0474289988190435, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0474289988190435, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "ret_p6m": 0.24479106124660044, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.24479106124660044, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.19737348803386334, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.19737348803386334, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "bench_c_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "price_path": [-0.3718, -0.336, -0.3346, -0.3365, -0.3262, -0.2897, -0.3031, -0.3163, -0.3216, -0.3586, -0.3638, -0.3695, -0.3539, -0.3708, -0.3583, -0.3563, -0.3507, -0.3737, -0.3737, -0.3749, -0.3756, -0.3769, -0.4179, -0.4169, -0.3999, -0.3856, -0.4005, -0.3893, -0.3793, -0.382, -0.387, -0.3918, -0.3938, -0.3846, -0.3803, -0.3804, -0.3789, -0.3859, -0.3785, -0.3769, -0.3683, -0.3463, -0.3658, -0.2154, -0.1854, -0.0928, -0.1031, -0.1723, -0.1665, -0.1601, -0.0811, -0.0966, -0.1023, -0.0735, -0.0833, -0.1133, -0.095, -0.0259, 0.0001, -0.0063, 0.018, -0.0185, -0.0136, 0.0, -0.037, -0.0128, -0.0845, -0.1006, -0.0604, -0.0852, -0.0029, -0.045, -0.0495, -0.0737, -0.1131, -0.139, -0.2065, -0.2152, -0.1718, -0.2061, -0.1749, -0.1749, -0.1622, -0.1536, -0.171, -0.1619, -0.1682, -0.1605, -0.1484, -0.1465, -0.1472, -0.1472, -0.1882, -0.2005, -0.1944, -0.237, -0.2256, -0.178, -0.1722, -0.1723, -0.1718, -0.1718, -0.172, -0.1696, -0.1707, -0.1752, -0.1752, -0.1393, -0.1485, -0.1745, -0.1911, -0.2117, -0.2175, -0.2001, -0.149, -0.1388, -0.1222, -0.1071, -0.1071, -0.1068, -0.0379, -0.0228, 0.0001, -0.0321, -0.0293, -0.0266, -0.0288, -0.0883, -0.0515, -0.0676, -0.229, -0.2586, -0.1972, -0.1681, -0.1775, -0.1774, -0.2069, -0.2015, -0.2015, -0.2179, -0.2293, -0.2168, -0.2292, -0.2428, -0.1764, -0.1879, -0.2156, -0.2289, -0.235, -0.2646, -0.2218, -0.2319, -0.2589, -0.2194, -0.2173, -0.2111, -0.2384, -0.2552, -0.2429, -0.2439, -0.2318, -0.2094, -0.2246, -0.2194, -0.2091, -0.1517, -0.2152, -0.2221, -0.245, -0.2165, -0.1904, -0.1623, -0.1623, -0.152, -0.1468, -0.1072, -0.0886, -0.0563, -0.0494, -0.0176, -0.0059, 0.0717, 0.0722, 0.0589, 0.0957, 0.1687, 0.1759, 0.3395, 0.2888, 0.2448]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1985026979012436235", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-11-02T16:51:26+00:00", "symbol": "ASML", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "No reason to go with ASML in that case", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Favors TSM for best risk-adjusted upside on AI buildout; AMD for raw upside; no reason to own ASML vs alternatives.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASML"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Docofgothm @pepemoonboy $ASML tracks fab cycles. $TSM is a measurement of AI buildout as a whole. \n\nNo reason to go with ASML in that case.\n\nIn terms of raw upside, maybe $AMD wins at this point, but asymmetrical returns (lowest downside for upside) $TSM wins by an enormous margin.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @pepemoonboy Huh. Interesting. You make it sound if one would want to initiate a position in pure chip plays, $TSM would be a better bet than $NVDA or $AMD. How do you feel about $ASML lithography monopoly", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Docofgothm", "ret_m1d": -0.00711459772840406, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00711459772840406, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0052413361701942884, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0052413361701942884, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03438247622678292, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03438247622678292, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.022528936284335388, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.022528936284335388, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "bench_c_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "ret_p1w": -0.026274292085469275, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.026274292085469275, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.023493773322986078, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.023493773322986078, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "ret_p1m": 0.039331921360500344, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.039331921360500344, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04198066325974903, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04198066325974903, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "ret_p3m": 0.36401650963301146, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.36401650963301146, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3453570135919315, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3453570135919315, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "ret_p6m": 0.30238889038800165, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.30238889038800165, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.25497131717526456, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.25497131717526456, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "bench_c_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "price_path": [-0.3535, -0.3327, -0.3241, -0.3251, -0.3059, -0.293, -0.2933, -0.3056, -0.3005, -0.3042, -0.2987, -0.3119, -0.2936, -0.294, -0.2859, -0.2795, -0.2856, -0.3051, -0.3051, -0.3208, -0.3106, -0.295, -0.2686, -0.2549, -0.2466, -0.2579, -0.2475, -0.2385, -0.1885, -0.1781, -0.1838, -0.1319, -0.1278, -0.1038, -0.0984, -0.1139, -0.1115, -0.1097, -0.0993, -0.0942, -0.0612, -0.0361, -0.0341, -0.0238, -0.0621, -0.0757, -0.0825, -0.124, -0.0786, -0.08, -0.0551, -0.046, -0.0369, -0.0249, -0.0409, -0.0535, -0.0302, -0.0333, -0.0082, -0.0152, 0.0038, 0.0081, -0.0071, 0.0, -0.0344, -0.0216, -0.0353, -0.0467, -0.0263, -0.0416, -0.0276, -0.044, -0.0561, -0.0439, -0.0588, -0.0258, -0.0804, -0.094, -0.0741, -0.0596, -0.0242, -0.0242, -0.0064, 0.0198, 0.0393, 0.0695, 0.0406, 0.0306, 0.0496, 0.0418, 0.0492, 0.0525, 0.0132, 0.0197, 0.0087, -0.0482, -0.0286, -0.0101, -0.0092, -0.0047, -0.0012, -0.0012, 0.0056, -0.0008, 0.005, 0.0028, 0.0028, 0.0909, 0.1513, 0.1644, 0.1515, 0.1195, 0.1941, 0.201, 0.1906, 0.1846, 0.2482, 0.2735, 0.2735, 0.243, 0.2749, 0.3076, 0.302, 0.3248, 0.3635, 0.3338, 0.364, 0.3339, 0.3511, 0.3084, 0.2553, 0.2656, 0.3245, 0.34, 0.3268, 0.3475, 0.3205, 0.3202, 0.3202, 0.3326, 0.3785, 0.3694, 0.3794, 0.3948, 0.4058, 0.4328, 0.3739, 0.3615, 0.3361, 0.2774, 0.3135, 0.2843, 0.2134, 0.2741, 0.2985, 0.3015, 0.2686, 0.2631, 0.2911, 0.3039, 0.272, 0.2825, 0.2364, 0.2855, 0.3135, 0.3083, 0.2479, 0.2225, 0.177, 0.2397, 0.2763, 0.2364, 0.2364, 0.2239, 0.2262, 0.3338, 0.3597, 0.3875, 0.4081, 0.4251, 0.3908, 0.3242, 0.3702, 0.3858, 0.3694, 0.355, 0.3307, 0.3682, 0.3474, 0.3024]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1977422815939952669", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-12T17:15:12+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Excited for $NBIS too next week", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish on NBIS heading into next week.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@pepemoonboy Thanks, looks like there was some de-escalation. Excited for $NBIS too next week https://t.co/Vg3ZM4D5eW", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Phenomenal overview as always. Eyeing $NBIS all next week. Gonna be fun", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "pepemoonboy", "ret_m1d": -0.04340768190889632, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04340768190889632, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.028295489819879616, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.034272105522501706, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009135576386394617, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.053964361841674746, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.053964361841674746, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05274270703821804, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06055255031748796, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006588188475813217, "ret_p1w": -0.19533445594579646, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.19533445594579646, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.20779226136273754, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2164167265184983, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "bench_c_p1w": 0.021082270572701844, "ret_p1m": -0.24538612022496853, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.24538612022496853, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.27548987571181494, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.24854845069335885, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0031623304683903175, "ret_p3m": -0.28170678998056553, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.28170678998056553, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3247018920668773, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.31702244801530577, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03531565803474024, "ret_p6m": -0.13332352202031494, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13332352202031494, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.13322335299202304, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.12190395036217228, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "bench_c_p6m": -0.011419571658142669, "price_path": [-0.6065, -0.6036, -0.6103, -0.6134, -0.6234, -0.617, -0.6149, -0.6208, -0.6106, -0.6279, -0.6214, -0.5982, -0.6161, -0.6001, -0.5927, -0.5933, -0.5179, -0.4922, -0.4815, -0.4439, -0.4786, -0.4946, -0.4713, -0.4645, -0.504, -0.5019, -0.5114, -0.4908, -0.4831, -0.4797, -0.4825, -0.4682, -0.4956, -0.4956, -0.5148, -0.5154, -0.5208, -0.5167, -0.5271, -0.2934, -0.3106, -0.3416, -0.3326, -0.3285, -0.3398, -0.3055, -0.3052, -0.2669, -0.2131, -0.2042, -0.1641, -0.2032, -0.2049, -0.1863, -0.1712, -0.1465, -0.0708, -0.0552, -0.0777, -0.1311, -0.0994, -0.0208, -0.0434, 0.0, -0.054, -0.0711, -0.0917, -0.1626, -0.1953, -0.2302, -0.272, -0.2163, -0.1344, -0.074, -0.1006, -0.0765, -0.0833, -0.0343, -0.1107, -0.184, -0.1363, -0.1921, -0.1785, -0.1883, -0.2454, -0.3034, -0.3457, -0.3833, -0.3653, -0.3316, -0.2982, -0.3752, -0.3854, -0.3216, -0.3439, -0.301, -0.301, -0.2996, -0.2607, -0.288, -0.2697, -0.2411, -0.2762, -0.2593, -0.2883, -0.3091, -0.304, -0.3527, -0.401, -0.4024, -0.443, -0.4235, -0.3396, -0.3118, -0.3354, -0.3273, -0.3273, -0.3534, -0.3648, -0.3713, -0.3821, -0.3821, -0.336, -0.3147, -0.26, -0.2898, -0.2817, -0.2771, -0.2077, -0.2217, -0.2472, -0.2331, -0.1973, -0.1973, -0.267, -0.2701, -0.285, -0.3024, -0.3248, -0.2775, -0.2586, -0.2994, -0.3711, -0.3492, -0.336, -0.3918, -0.4547, -0.3644, -0.3143, -0.3224, -0.3459, -0.3376, -0.2765, -0.2765, -0.2801, -0.2485, -0.2056, -0.2771, -0.2573, -0.2427, -0.2166, -0.2257, -0.3268, -0.3281, -0.3592, -0.2782, -0.2939, -0.3405, -0.2991, -0.2881, -0.1732, -0.2024, -0.1662, -0.0414, -0.1412, -0.1248, -0.1029, -0.1317, -0.1573, -0.1517, -0.1504, -0.2177, -0.2557, -0.3189, -0.234, -0.2474, -0.1967, -0.1967, -0.1692, -0.1333]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1995189156801347783", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-30T17:52:18+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I do think both $NBIS and $IREN will be worth more than $CRWV one day", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long NBIS and IREN over CRWV long-term; CRWV is a financial nightmare dragging down the neocloud sector.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yep absolutely. I think algos/market put $NBIS, $IREN in the $CRWV, $NVDA basket right now. \n\nSo any negative hit piece about Coreweave does negatively affects the others. We've finally seen $WULF, $CIFR and others get put into the colo basket (which are relatively unaffected to GPU depreciation arguments), and outperform.  \n\nBut $CRWV is a financial nightmare to put it bluntly, so it does affect the others as long as it's treated as the neocloud sector leader. \n\nAs for $NVDA, TPU arguments from $GOOGL is the strongest bear case I've seen to date though on $NVDA GPU clouds, but these companies already have have 5 year hyperscaler deals locked in from $META, $MSFT. \n\nimo markets will price things in correctly in due time, I do think both $NBIS and $IREN will be worth more than $CRWV one day. but only one of those has self-driving robotaxis lol", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Incredible write-up. I agree with the whole thesis. In the short term, I feel like both $NVDA performance and $CRWV financial structure are affecting $NBIS and $IREN performance.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Ren_aramb", "ret_m1d": -0.052720905630066484, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.052720905630066484, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05730735049238922, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.057422753442149754, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004701847812083271, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.036944628270231594, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.036944628270231594, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.038796927944310666, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04025331122801734, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003308682957785747, "ret_p1w": 0.0017973070637373745, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0017973070637373745, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.003141948190520605, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01047963228719273, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012276939350930105, "ret_p1m": -0.1495756677853144, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1495756677853144, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16246777457768147, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.18286213217720948, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03328646439189509, "ret_p3m": 0.047229112885403435, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.047229112885403435, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.030960854270874583, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.027656878277190877, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "bench_c_p3m": 0.019572234608212558, "ret_p6m": 1.0774837183085886, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.0774837183085886, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.9678303387279186, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.0649106695834534, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "bench_c_p6m": 0.012573048725135205, "price_path": [-0.3445, -0.3519, -0.3463, -0.3604, -0.0442, -0.0675, -0.1094, -0.0973, -0.0918, -0.107, -0.0606, -0.0602, -0.0084, 0.0644, 0.0764, 0.1306, 0.0778, 0.0754, 0.1005, 0.121, 0.1544, 0.2568, 0.2779, 0.2475, 0.1752, 0.2182, 0.3244, 0.2939, 0.3526, 0.2796, 0.2564, 0.2286, 0.1327, 0.0884, 0.0412, -0.0153, 0.06, 0.1708, 0.2524, 0.2165, 0.2491, 0.2399, 0.3062, 0.2029, 0.1037, 0.1682, 0.0928, 0.1111, 0.0979, 0.0207, -0.0578, -0.115, -0.1659, -0.1415, -0.096, -0.0507, -0.1549, -0.1686, -0.0824, -0.1125, -0.0545, -0.0545, -0.0527, 0.0, -0.0369, -0.0123, 0.0265, -0.0211, 0.0018, -0.0373, -0.0655, -0.0586, -0.1244, -0.1898, -0.1917, -0.2466, -0.2203, -0.1067, -0.0691, -0.101, -0.0901, -0.0901, -0.1254, -0.1409, -0.1496, -0.1642, -0.1642, -0.1018, -0.0731, 0.0009, -0.0393, -0.0285, -0.0222, 0.0717, 0.0527, 0.0183, 0.0373, 0.0857, 0.0857, -0.0086, -0.0128, -0.033, -0.0564, -0.0868, -0.0228, 0.0028, -0.0523, -0.1494, -0.1197, -0.1018, -0.1773, -0.2624, -0.1403, -0.0726, -0.0835, -0.1152, -0.104, -0.0214, -0.0214, -0.0263, 0.0165, 0.0745, -0.0223, 0.0046, 0.0243, 0.0596, 0.0472, -0.0895, -0.0913, -0.1333, -0.0237, -0.0449, -0.108, -0.052, -0.0371, 0.1183, 0.0788, 0.1278, 0.2966, 0.1616, 0.1838, 0.2134, 0.1744, 0.1398, 0.1474, 0.1492, 0.0581, 0.0067, -0.0788, 0.036, 0.018, 0.0866, 0.0866, 0.1237, 0.1722, 0.2481, 0.3613, 0.4475, 0.5433, 0.617, 0.6652, 0.6509, 0.569, 0.5892, 0.5632, 0.5591, 0.5684, 0.4694, 0.4474, 0.3531, 0.4098, 0.3802, 0.5426, 0.7616, 0.7566, 0.948, 0.8449, 0.7678, 0.8582, 0.7884, 1.0696, 1.2082, 1.1961, 0.9956, 0.9743, 0.9153, 1.196, 1.1445, 1.1445, 1.0775]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1995189156801347783", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-30T17:52:18+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I do think both $NBIS and $IREN will be worth more than $CRWV one day", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long NBIS and IREN over CRWV long-term; CRWV is a financial nightmare dragging down the neocloud sector.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yep absolutely. I think algos/market put $NBIS, $IREN in the $CRWV, $NVDA basket right now. \n\nSo any negative hit piece about Coreweave does negatively affects the others. We've finally seen $WULF, $CIFR and others get put into the colo basket (which are relatively unaffected to GPU depreciation arguments), and outperform.  \n\nBut $CRWV is a financial nightmare to put it bluntly, so it does affect the others as long as it's treated as the neocloud sector leader. \n\nAs for $NVDA, TPU arguments from $GOOGL is the strongest bear case I've seen to date though on $NVDA GPU clouds, but these companies already have have 5 year hyperscaler deals locked in from $META, $MSFT. \n\nimo markets will price things in correctly in due time, I do think both $NBIS and $IREN will be worth more than $CRWV one day. but only one of those has self-driving robotaxis lol", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Incredible write-up. I agree with the whole thesis. In the short term, I feel like both $NVDA performance and $CRWV financial structure are affecting $NBIS and $IREN performance.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Ren_aramb", "ret_m1d": -0.014023515810224318, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014023515810224318, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.018609960672547055, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.022342682441486406, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008319166631262087, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.15199015243290592, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.15199015243290592, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.153842452106985, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.15104477605452604, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0009453763783798808, "ret_p1w": -0.04433906891023409, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04433906891023409, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04927832416449207, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0554942919273953, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011155223017161209, "ret_p1m": -0.21014646501716616, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.21014646501716616, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.22303857180953324, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2570902403302643, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "bench_c_p1m": 0.046943775313098124, "ret_p3m": -0.08764693447901695, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08764693447901695, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1039151930935458, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08374241000006155, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0039045244789553957, "ret_p6m": 0.23283144380346932, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.23283144380346932, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.12317806422279931, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.24401169255931177, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "bench_c_p6m": -0.011180248755842448, "price_path": [-0.4182, -0.4611, -0.4607, -0.4599, -0.3774, -0.3065, -0.3225, -0.2996, -0.2341, -0.2483, -0.2184, -0.251, -0.2031, -0.1359, -0.1386, -0.0278, -0.0454, -0.1367, -0.0528, -0.0322, -0.0291, -0.0303, 0.0406, 0.191, 0.272, 0.2392, 0.3168, 0.2326, 0.3227, 0.4345, 0.4019, 0.2751, 0.2522, 0.2213, 0.1383, 0.0689, 0.152, 0.2972, 0.3403, 0.2873, 0.246, 0.2007, 0.2528, 0.3972, 0.3741, 0.5758, 0.3809, 0.2865, 0.2409, 0.1833, 0.1487, 0.0033, -0.0437, -0.0223, 0.0074, -0.0549, -0.1035, -0.1285, 0.0, -0.021, -0.0008, -0.0008, -0.014, 0.0, -0.152, -0.0934, -0.0421, -0.078, -0.0443, -0.034, -0.0942, -0.0938, -0.1724, -0.2683, -0.2454, -0.3034, -0.2617, -0.1767, -0.133, -0.1324, -0.1343, -0.1343, -0.1689, -0.1873, -0.2101, -0.2211, -0.2211, -0.1194, -0.0052, -0.0532, -0.1003, -0.058, -0.0507, 0.0379, 0.0928, 0.0905, 0.0701, 0.1924, 0.1924, 0.119, 0.1029, 0.0777, 0.1689, 0.0798, 0.2372, 0.298, 0.2341, 0.1083, 0.0947, 0.1217, -0.0732, -0.1794, -0.1373, -0.0483, -0.1147, -0.12, -0.1745, -0.1293, -0.1293, -0.1551, -0.1322, -0.1072, -0.1755, -0.1264, -0.0627, -0.092, -0.0876, -0.1555, -0.1464, -0.1988, -0.0959, -0.1725, -0.2431, -0.199, -0.2139, -0.1343, -0.1468, -0.1425, -0.0732, -0.114, -0.1295, -0.1409, -0.1485, -0.1305, -0.152, -0.1456, -0.2277, -0.2763, -0.3479, -0.2931, -0.297, -0.2829, -0.2829, -0.2755, -0.2629, -0.2405, -0.2357, -0.1891, -0.1118, -0.0231, 0.0068, -0.0163, -0.0076, 0.0047, -0.0685, -0.0021, 0.0728, 0.0443, -0.0027, -0.0835, -0.1161, -0.0615, -0.0584, 0.0204, 0.1289, 0.2576, 0.1724, 0.2621, 0.1373, 0.1664, 0.1378, 0.2044, 0.0918, 0.0406, -0.0155, 0.087, 0.1974, 0.172, 0.172, 0.2328]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1995189156801347783", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-11-30T17:52:18+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$CRWV is a financial nightmare to put it bluntly", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long NBIS and IREN over CRWV long-term; CRWV is a financial nightmare dragging down the neocloud sector.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yep absolutely. I think algos/market put $NBIS, $IREN in the $CRWV, $NVDA basket right now. \n\nSo any negative hit piece about Coreweave does negatively affects the others. We've finally seen $WULF, $CIFR and others get put into the colo basket (which are relatively unaffected to GPU depreciation arguments), and outperform.  \n\nBut $CRWV is a financial nightmare to put it bluntly, so it does affect the others as long as it's treated as the neocloud sector leader. \n\nAs for $NVDA, TPU arguments from $GOOGL is the strongest bear case I've seen to date though on $NVDA GPU clouds, but these companies already have have 5 year hyperscaler deals locked in from $META, $MSFT. \n\nimo markets will price things in correctly in due time, I do think both $NBIS and $IREN will be worth more than $CRWV one day. but only one of those has self-driving robotaxis lol", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Incredible write-up. I agree with the whole thesis. In the short term, I feel like both $NVDA performance and $CRWV financial structure are affecting $NBIS and $IREN performance.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Ren_aramb", "ret_m1d": -0.051128924692943056, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.051128924692943056, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05571536955526579, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05571536955526579, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.013366192732016335, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013366192732016335, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.015218492406095407, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015218492406095407, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "ret_p1w": 0.11912795997943837, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11912795997943837, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11418870472518039, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11418870472518039, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "ret_p1m": -0.04100695734271331, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04100695734271331, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05389906413508039, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05389906413508039, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "ret_p3m": 0.26693486045316184, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.26693486045316184, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.250666601838633, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.250666601838633, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "ret_p6m": 0.3741240947890423, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3741240947890423, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2644707152083723, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2644707152083723, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "price_path": [0.1664, 0.1352, 0.1561, 0.214, 0.3005, 0.5201, 0.4624, 0.4529, 0.5633, 0.541, 0.5684, 0.5753, 0.6203, 0.7289, 0.6985, 0.7311, 0.6437, 0.5616, 0.5899, 0.7759, 0.7785, 0.7908, 0.7492, 0.737, 0.6718, 0.8165, 0.8567, 0.7964, 0.8378, 0.7397, 0.8069, 0.8393, 0.7761, 0.6488, 0.6229, 0.5771, 0.6006, 0.7201, 0.7656, 0.7493, 0.8159, 0.7008, 0.7351, 0.6392, 0.5021, 0.4848, 0.3876, 0.3497, 0.3705, 0.147, 0.1086, 0.0166, 0.0039, -0.0224, -0.028, -0.0278, -0.1019, -0.0702, -0.0449, -0.0749, -0.0359, -0.0359, -0.0511, 0.0, -0.0134, 0.0298, 0.1128, 0.1459, 0.1191, 0.1765, 0.144, 0.1339, 0.0199, -0.0611, -0.0981, -0.1623, -0.1217, 0.0771, 0.1008, 0.0415, 0.0235, 0.0235, -0.0083, -0.0278, -0.041, -0.0707, -0.0707, 0.0293, -0.0026, 0.0114, 0.0016, 0.0004, 0.04, 0.167, 0.1352, 0.1653, 0.2329, 0.3137, 0.3137, 0.2357, 0.2205, 0.1911, 0.2066, 0.2758, 0.4127, 0.3758, 0.2916, 0.2093, 0.1542, 0.1687, 0.0701, -0.0313, 0.1673, 0.256, 0.2342, 0.2348, 0.2419, 0.2463, 0.2463, 0.1809, 0.2386, 0.2606, 0.1582, 0.1788, 0.2886, 0.2719, 0.2669, 0.0324, 0.0128, -0.0426, 0.0317, -0.0291, -0.0528, -0.0344, -0.0278, 0.0636, 0.0363, 0.0526, 0.1142, 0.0657, 0.0747, 0.0467, 0.0572, 0.0636, 0.0773, 0.1365, 0.044, -0.0292, -0.1026, 0.0053, 0.0179, 0.0672, 0.0672, 0.0504, 0.1062, 0.1536, 0.1939, 0.3236, 0.431, 0.5209, 0.5402, 0.5515, 0.5164, 0.5239, 0.4944, 0.5902, 0.5237, 0.4293, 0.4542, 0.3695, 0.4818, 0.4482, 0.5444, 0.6277, 0.6596, 0.7906, 0.6719, 0.4813, 0.4885, 0.3983, 0.4445, 0.4822, 0.3924, 0.3466, 0.2952, 0.3143, 0.3961, 0.3689, 0.3689, 0.3741]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1949769736562319514", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-28T09:51:44+00:00", "symbol": "PLTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": true, "quote": "Shorting $PLTR, thanks Jim.", "tweet_type": "sarcasm", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Sarcastic inverse of Cramer's PLTR $200 call; author implies going short PLTR.", "resolved_tickers": ["PLTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Shorting $PLTR, thanks Jim. https://t.co/2xKvNnPqvE", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Palantir being pushed up nicely. Right through $150 like a knife through butter. Next stop: $200. Obviously Robinhood roaring, too", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.005827198761668262, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005827198761668262, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005575938886672072, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005575938886672072, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0002512598749961903, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0002512598749961903, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010387631992193946, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010387631992193946, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007750079773627183, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007750079773627183, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0026375522185667633, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0026375522185667633, "ret_p1w": 0.01760830183252371, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01760830183252371, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02666728334868762, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02666728334868762, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009058981516163911, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009058981516163911, "ret_p1m": 0.018938371813418398, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.018938371813418398, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.006032891526301709, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.006032891526301709, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012905480287116688, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012905480287116688, "ret_p3m": 0.14314663127545235, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.14314663127545235, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08555496877390123, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08555496877390123, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05759166250155112, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05759166250155112, "ret_p6m": 0.06745625517550113, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.06745625517550113, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0024503302685117134, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0024503302685117134, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06990658544401285, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06990658544401285, "price_path": [-0.2498, -0.264, -0.2128, -0.2161, -0.3105, -0.3002, -0.2453, -0.257, -0.2497, -0.1886, -0.1754, -0.1885, -0.1796, -0.1998, -0.2045, -0.2363, -0.2254, -0.219, -0.219, -0.2185, -0.2161, -0.2252, -0.1653, -0.1637, -0.1565, -0.1765, -0.2405, -0.191, -0.1635, -0.1588, -0.1361, -0.1437, -0.1297, -0.1043, -0.1247, -0.1135, -0.1135, -0.1304, -0.1138, -0.0928, -0.0949, -0.0863, -0.1719, -0.1366, -0.1723, -0.1632, -0.149, -0.149, -0.1188, -0.1151, -0.0934, -0.0974, -0.0999, -0.0553, -0.0589, -0.0441, -0.0246, -0.0276, -0.0386, -0.0558, -0.0206, -0.0191, 0.0058, 0.0, -0.0104, 0.0046, 0.003, -0.0229, 0.0176, 0.0975, 0.1372, 0.154, 0.1842, 0.1571, 0.1843, 0.1678, 0.1466, 0.1222, 0.1023, -0.0008, -0.0118, -0.0108, 0.0054, -0.0045, 0.0189, -0.0073, 0.0015, -0.0074, -0.0074, -0.005, -0.0189, -0.011, -0.0302, -0.0113, 0.0284, 0.0561, 0.041, 0.0858, 0.0844, 0.0784, 0.0662, 0.1209, 0.1552, 0.1359, 0.1563, 0.1373, 0.1345, 0.1247, 0.1329, 0.1554, 0.1715, 0.1848, 0.0962, 0.1371, 0.1539, 0.1627, 0.1748, 0.1112, 0.1224, 0.1385, 0.1377, 0.1282, 0.1284, 0.1502, 0.1497, 0.1115, 0.1431, 0.1694, 0.1983, 0.2009, 0.2592, 0.2323, 0.2698, 0.3123, 0.2081, 0.1901, 0.1088, 0.127, 0.2263, 0.2095, 0.1665, 0.0903, 0.1022, 0.0847, 0.0599, 0.0478, -0.0135, -0.0192, 0.0277, 0.0359, 0.05, 0.05, 0.0669, 0.0609, 0.0811, 0.1153, 0.1269, 0.1513, 0.1495, 0.1518, 0.1902, 0.1879, 0.1627, 0.1607, 0.1892, 0.1229, 0.1761, 0.2249, 0.2287, 0.2296, 0.2299, 0.2299, 0.1953, 0.1666, 0.1454, 0.1259, 0.1259, 0.0632, 0.1024, 0.1383, 0.1507, 0.1202, 0.1242, 0.1364, 0.1335, 0.13, 0.1215, 0.0828, 0.0828, 0.0675]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1978183356777922651", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-14T19:37:19+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS – Head", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author assembles ideal Neocloud portfolio across NBIS, WLAC, IREN, CIFR, WULF plus TSM, FLNC, GLXY as supporting positions.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "🧙‍♂️ Summoning Exodia, the ideal Neocloud Deck\n\nExodia Deck:\n🧩 $NBIS – Head\n🧩 $WLAC – Left Arm\n🧩 $IREN – Right Arm\n🧩 $CIFR – Left Leg\n🧩 $WULF – Right Leg\n\nPot of Greed Setup:\n🏭 $TSM\n⚡ $FLNC\n🏡 $GLXY\n\nWhen all five are in your port, Sydney Sweeney descends from the Neocloud https://t.co/dlnjgCAIxl", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The NeoCloud Thesis: Hyperscaler Capex Funnel\n\nWhy I'm putting $1.5M+ into Neoclouds, and why this might be a 200-300%+ return.\n\n🔹 Buckets\n\nMag7 contracts: $CRWV, $NBIS ✅, $WULF, $CIFR ✅\n\nWith compute: $IREN ✅, $BITF\n\nSpeculative: $WYFI, $GRRR ✅, $SLNH\n\nMiners pivoting to", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.05704263102257823, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05704263102257823, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.055819481953185646, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06358769935463282, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012231490693925817, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006545068332054593, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.018103723573359765, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.018103723573359765, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.022543246749142765, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.025172464380612714, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004439523175783, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007068740807252949, "ret_p1w": -0.1862660651897412, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1862660651897412, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.19994714881305797, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.20424327555329658, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01368108362331677, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017977210363555374, "ret_p1m": -0.263675340581189, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.263675340581189, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2956130085486798, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2545123119249466, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03193766796749076, "bench_c_p1m": -0.009163028656242411, "ret_p3m": -0.23581736270482678, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.23581736270482678, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2869943239005246, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2681214880913829, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05117696119569781, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03230412538655614, "ret_p6m": -0.02458052318776416, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.02458052318776416, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.05120153402648142, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.02416868812281603, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.026621010838717263, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0004118350649481295, "price_path": [-0.581, -0.5881, -0.5913, -0.602, -0.5952, -0.593, -0.5991, -0.5884, -0.6067, -0.5998, -0.5753, -0.5942, -0.5773, -0.5695, -0.5701, -0.4904, -0.4633, -0.4519, -0.4122, -0.4488, -0.4658, -0.4411, -0.4339, -0.4757, -0.4735, -0.4836, -0.4617, -0.4536, -0.45, -0.453, -0.4378, -0.4669, -0.4669, -0.4872, -0.4877, -0.4935, -0.4891, -0.5001, -0.2531, -0.2712, -0.304, -0.2945, -0.2902, -0.3021, -0.2659, -0.2655, -0.225, -0.1682, -0.1588, -0.1164, -0.1577, -0.1596, -0.1399, -0.1239, -0.0979, -0.0178, -0.0013, -0.025, -0.0815, -0.048, 0.035, 0.0112, 0.057, 0.0, -0.0181, -0.0399, -0.1148, -0.1494, -0.1863, -0.2304, -0.1716, -0.085, -0.0212, -0.0493, -0.0238, -0.031, 0.0208, -0.0599, -0.1374, -0.087, -0.146, -0.1316, -0.142, -0.2023, -0.2637, -0.3084, -0.3481, -0.3291, -0.2935, -0.2581, -0.3395, -0.3503, -0.2829, -0.3064, -0.2611, -0.2611, -0.2597, -0.2185, -0.2474, -0.2281, -0.1978, -0.235, -0.2171, -0.2477, -0.2697, -0.2643, -0.3157, -0.3668, -0.3683, -0.4112, -0.3906, -0.3019, -0.2725, -0.2975, -0.2889, -0.2889, -0.3165, -0.3286, -0.3354, -0.3468, -0.3468, -0.2981, -0.2756, -0.2178, -0.2492, -0.2407, -0.2358, -0.1625, -0.1773, -0.2042, -0.1893, -0.1515, -0.1515, -0.2252, -0.2285, -0.2442, -0.2626, -0.2863, -0.2363, -0.2163, -0.2594, -0.3352, -0.3121, -0.2981, -0.3571, -0.4236, -0.3281, -0.2752, -0.2837, -0.3085, -0.2998, -0.2352, -0.2352, -0.239, -0.2056, -0.1603, -0.2359, -0.2149, -0.1995, -0.1719, -0.1816, -0.2884, -0.2898, -0.3227, -0.237, -0.2536, -0.3029, -0.2591, -0.2475, -0.1261, -0.1569, -0.1186, 0.0133, -0.0922, -0.0748, -0.0517, -0.0822, -0.1092, -0.1033, -0.1019, -0.1731, -0.2133, -0.2801, -0.1903, -0.2044, -0.1508, -0.1508, -0.1218, -0.0839, -0.0246]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1978183356777922651", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-14T19:37:19+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$IREN – Right Arm", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author assembles ideal Neocloud portfolio across NBIS, WLAC, IREN, CIFR, WULF plus TSM, FLNC, GLXY as supporting positions.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "🧙‍♂️ Summoning Exodia, the ideal Neocloud Deck\n\nExodia Deck:\n🧩 $NBIS – Head\n🧩 $WLAC – Left Arm\n🧩 $IREN – Right Arm\n🧩 $CIFR – Left Leg\n🧩 $WULF – Right Leg\n\nPot of Greed Setup:\n🏭 $TSM\n⚡ $FLNC\n🏡 $GLXY\n\nWhen all five are in your port, Sydney Sweeney descends from the Neocloud https://t.co/dlnjgCAIxl", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The NeoCloud Thesis: Hyperscaler Capex Funnel\n\nWhy I'm putting $1.5M+ into Neoclouds, and why this might be a 200-300%+ return.\n\n🔹 Buckets\n\nMag7 contracts: $CRWV, $NBIS ✅, $WULF, $CIFR ✅\n\nWith compute: $IREN ✅, $BITF\n\nSpeculative: $WYFI, $GRRR ✅, $SLNH\n\nMiners pivoting to", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0779183202871706, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0779183202871706, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07914146935656319, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06702419236232782, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012231490693925817, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01089412792484279, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.022714121005097065, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.022714121005097065, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.027153644180880065, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.022714121005097065, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004439523175783, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.20651233996477936, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.20651233996477936, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.22019342358809613, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.19693303802731, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01368108362331677, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009579301937469364, "ret_p1m": -0.19925240486070106, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.19925240486070106, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.23119007282819182, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.20732897625590396, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03193766796749076, "bench_c_p1m": 0.008076571395202903, "ret_p3m": -0.3382691145076079, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3382691145076079, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3894460757033057, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3886969153623133, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05117696119569781, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05042780085470544, "ret_p6m": -0.47052899477129806, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.47052899477129806, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4971500056100153, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.44053371840272415, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.026621010838717263, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02999527636857391, "price_path": [-0.7405, -0.7421, -0.7391, -0.7327, -0.727, -0.7392, -0.7453, -0.7616, -0.773, -0.768, -0.7684, -0.7786, -0.7631, -0.7635, -0.7366, -0.733, -0.7348, -0.7417, -0.7437, -0.7451, -0.7257, -0.7169, -0.7023, -0.7307, -0.7159, -0.7184, -0.6919, -0.6676, -0.6695, -0.6786, -0.6688, -0.6193, -0.6193, -0.5815, -0.5945, -0.6244, -0.6241, -0.6235, -0.566, -0.5165, -0.5277, -0.5118, -0.4661, -0.476, -0.4551, -0.4779, -0.4445, -0.3976, -0.3995, -0.3223, -0.3345, -0.3982, -0.3397, -0.3253, -0.3232, -0.324, -0.2746, -0.1698, -0.1133, -0.1361, -0.0821, -0.1407, -0.0779, 0.0, -0.0227, -0.1111, -0.1271, -0.1486, -0.2065, -0.2549, -0.197, -0.0957, -0.0657, -0.1026, -0.1314, -0.163, -0.1267, -0.026, -0.0421, 0.0985, -0.0374, -0.1032, -0.135, -0.1751, -0.1993, -0.3006, -0.3334, -0.3184, -0.2977, -0.3411, -0.3751, -0.3925, -0.3029, -0.3176, -0.3035, -0.3035, -0.3127, -0.3029, -0.4089, -0.368, -0.3322, -0.3572, -0.3338, -0.3266, -0.3686, -0.3683, -0.4231, -0.4899, -0.474, -0.5144, -0.4853, -0.4261, -0.3956, -0.3952, -0.3965, -0.3965, -0.4206, -0.4334, -0.4494, -0.457, -0.457, -0.3861, -0.3065, -0.34, -0.3728, -0.3433, -0.3383, -0.2765, -0.2382, -0.2398, -0.254, -0.1688, -0.1688, -0.22, -0.2312, -0.2487, -0.1852, -0.2473, -0.1376, -0.0952, -0.1397, -0.2274, -0.2369, -0.2181, -0.3539, -0.428, -0.3986, -0.3365, -0.3828, -0.3866, -0.4245, -0.393, -0.393, -0.411, -0.3951, -0.3777, -0.4252, -0.391, -0.3466, -0.367, -0.364, -0.4113, -0.405, -0.4415, -0.3698, -0.4232, -0.4724, -0.4416, -0.452, -0.3965, -0.4053, -0.4022, -0.3539, -0.3824, -0.3932, -0.4011, -0.4064, -0.3939, -0.4089, -0.4044, -0.4616, -0.4955, -0.5454, -0.5072, -0.5099, -0.5001, -0.5001, -0.495, -0.4862, -0.4705]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1978183356777922651", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-10-14T19:37:19+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$CIFR – Left Leg", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author assembles ideal Neocloud portfolio across NBIS, WLAC, IREN, CIFR, WULF plus TSM, FLNC, GLXY as supporting positions.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "🧙‍♂️ Summoning Exodia, the ideal Neocloud Deck\n\nExodia Deck:\n🧩 $NBIS – Head\n🧩 $WLAC – Left Arm\n🧩 $IREN – Right Arm\n🧩 $CIFR – Left Leg\n🧩 $WULF – Right Leg\n\nPot of Greed Setup:\n🏭 $TSM\n⚡ $FLNC\n🏡 $GLXY\n\nWhen all five are in your port, Sydney Sweeney descends from the Neocloud https://t.co/dlnjgCAIxl", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The NeoCloud Thesis: Hyperscaler Capex Funnel\n\nWhy I'm putting $1.5M+ into Neoclouds, and why this might be a 200-300%+ return.\n\n🔹 Buckets\n\nMag7 contracts: $CRWV, $NBIS ✅, $WULF, $CIFR ✅\n\nWith compute: $IREN ✅, $BITF\n\nSpeculative: $WYFI, $GRRR ✅, $SLNH\n\nMiners pivoting to", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0263283510354283, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0263283510354283, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02755150010482088, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03932971464530721, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012231490693925817, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013001363609878913, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006701833465176943, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.006701833465176943, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.002262310289393943, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.003208905745303303, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004439523175783, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009910739210480246, "ret_p1w": -0.13475340875806308, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.13475340875806308, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.14843449238137985, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.15901542448305905, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01368108362331677, "bench_c_p1w": 0.024262015724995978, "ret_p1m": -0.16802299336691873, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16802299336691873, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19996066133440948, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2121067049251647, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03193766796749076, "bench_c_p1m": 0.044083711558245975, "ret_p3m": -0.20392534003580598, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.20392534003580598, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2551023012315038, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24382919162495942, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05117696119569781, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03990385158915344, "ret_p6m": -0.26184774883550377, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.26184774883550377, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.28846875967422103, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2712708322809494, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.026621010838717263, "bench_c_p6m": 0.009423083445445624, "price_path": [-0.6927, -0.6955, -0.7008, -0.6678, -0.6802, -0.6817, -0.6903, -0.7051, -0.7281, -0.7391, -0.7386, -0.764, -0.7516, -0.7602, -0.7506, -0.7669, -0.7726, -0.7721, -0.7741, -0.7654, -0.7453, -0.7506, -0.7104, -0.7243, -0.7152, -0.7176, -0.6946, -0.6821, -0.6592, -0.6654, -0.664, -0.6343, -0.6343, -0.6017, -0.6118, -0.6458, -0.64, -0.6304, -0.5586, -0.5093, -0.5227, -0.4806, -0.4806, -0.449, -0.4074, -0.4327, -0.4122, -0.3317, -0.3226, -0.3231, -0.4418, -0.4509, -0.3944, -0.3973, -0.3968, -0.3389, -0.2963, -0.2657, -0.2461, -0.1575, -0.1388, -0.1876, -0.0263, 0.0, 0.0067, -0.1039, -0.102, -0.0469, -0.1348, -0.2288, -0.174, -0.011, -0.0168, -0.0445, -0.0622, -0.0871, -0.1072, 0.0895, 0.0775, 0.1829, 0.0393, -0.0096, -0.0594, -0.1063, -0.168, -0.2853, -0.3126, -0.3131, -0.3021, -0.3001, -0.303, -0.3226, -0.2001, -0.1613, -0.0833, -0.0833, -0.0258, -0.0574, -0.1556, -0.1082, -0.0507, -0.0771, -0.0675, -0.0637, -0.1154, -0.0962, -0.1838, -0.2944, -0.2824, -0.3112, -0.2748, -0.224, -0.2178, -0.2384, -0.2236, -0.2236, -0.2729, -0.2781, -0.3016, -0.2934, -0.2934, -0.2245, -0.1307, -0.1604, -0.2303, -0.2078, -0.2039, -0.1537, -0.1264, -0.1321, -0.1613, -0.1, -0.1, -0.1422, -0.1517, -0.1675, -0.1589, -0.2106, -0.1024, -0.0919, -0.1527, -0.236, -0.2432, -0.2216, -0.3179, -0.3921, -0.2949, -0.1977, -0.1814, -0.2207, -0.2293, -0.214, -0.214, -0.2513, -0.2618, -0.2437, -0.2987, -0.2714, -0.1805, -0.2049, -0.2111, -0.2532, -0.2456, -0.2958, -0.2322, -0.2748, -0.348, -0.315, -0.3317, -0.3246, -0.3437, -0.326, -0.2753, -0.2776, -0.2978, -0.2992, -0.3293, -0.2872, -0.2877, -0.2398, -0.3131, -0.342, -0.4248, -0.3839, -0.3949, -0.3863, -0.3863, -0.3609, -0.3293, -0.2618]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1978183356777922651", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-10-14T19:37:19+00:00", "symbol": "WULF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$WULF – Right Leg", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author assembles ideal Neocloud portfolio across NBIS, WLAC, IREN, CIFR, WULF plus TSM, FLNC, GLXY as supporting positions.", "resolved_tickers": ["WULF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "🧙‍♂️ Summoning Exodia, the ideal Neocloud Deck\n\nExodia Deck:\n🧩 $NBIS – Head\n🧩 $WLAC – Left Arm\n🧩 $IREN – Right Arm\n🧩 $CIFR – Left Leg\n🧩 $WULF – Right Leg\n\nPot of Greed Setup:\n🏭 $TSM\n⚡ $FLNC\n🏡 $GLXY\n\nWhen all five are in your port, Sydney Sweeney descends from the Neocloud https://t.co/dlnjgCAIxl", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The NeoCloud Thesis: Hyperscaler Capex Funnel\n\nWhy I'm putting $1.5M+ into Neoclouds, and why this might be a 200-300%+ return.\n\n🔹 Buckets\n\nMag7 contracts: $CRWV, $NBIS ✅, $WULF, $CIFR ✅\n\nWith compute: $IREN ✅, $BITF\n\nSpeculative: $WYFI, $GRRR ✅, $SLNH\n\nMiners pivoting to", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.09443725967299332, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09443725967299332, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0956604087423859, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0956604087423859, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012231490693925817, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012231490693925817, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0006468453335808366, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0006468453335808366, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0037926778422021634, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0037926778422021634, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004439523175783, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004439523175783, "ret_p1w": -0.15006466294305987, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.15006466294305987, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.16374574656637664, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.16374574656637664, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01368108362331677, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01368108362331677, "ret_p1m": -0.1824061893833101, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1824061893833101, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.21434385735080086, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.21434385735080086, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03193766796749076, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03193766796749076, "ret_p3m": -0.15265198259081725, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15265198259081725, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20382894378651506, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20382894378651506, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05117696119569781, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05117696119569781, "ret_p6m": 0.1675290551437807, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1675290551437807, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.14090804430506343, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.14090804430506343, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.026621010838717263, "bench_c_p6m": 0.026621010838717263, "price_path": [-0.6533, -0.6682, -0.6772, -0.6598, -0.6636, -0.6559, -0.6656, -0.6701, -0.6624, -0.6759, -0.6662, -0.6921, -0.6837, -0.6727, -0.6669, -0.6805, -0.6746, -0.6507, -0.6611, -0.6468, -0.4366, -0.4198, -0.3933, -0.4321, -0.3997, -0.4056, -0.4075, -0.4224, -0.4023, -0.4094, -0.3894, -0.3887, -0.3887, -0.3771, -0.4191, -0.4263, -0.4094, -0.4049, -0.3338, -0.3176, -0.3118, -0.304, -0.3215, -0.2924, -0.2658, -0.2775, -0.2898, -0.2568, -0.273, -0.2626, -0.2904, -0.2995, -0.2497, -0.2613, -0.2581, -0.251, -0.229, -0.2257, -0.2173, -0.2044, -0.121, -0.1261, -0.0944, 0.0, 0.0006, -0.1035, -0.099, -0.1041, -0.1501, -0.1837, -0.1669, -0.1132, -0.1177, 0.031, -0.0621, -0.0414, 0.0026, 0.0414, -0.0291, -0.0065, -0.0763, -0.0983, -0.075, -0.1999, -0.1824, -0.2445, -0.2891, -0.2853, -0.2238, -0.2089, -0.2523, -0.2697, -0.1831, -0.0983, -0.0401, -0.0401, 0.0032, -0.0103, -0.0802, -0.0666, -0.0233, -0.0621, -0.0323, 0.0084, 0.0194, 0.0239, -0.0731, -0.1921, -0.1598, -0.2516, -0.2374, -0.1902, -0.1934, -0.1966, -0.2038, -0.2038, -0.24, -0.2613, -0.2788, -0.2568, -0.2568, -0.1759, -0.119, -0.1475, -0.1921, -0.1695, -0.1527, -0.1067, -0.0854, -0.0809, -0.1054, -0.1041, -0.1041, -0.1378, -0.1514, -0.1662, -0.0867, -0.108, -0.0097, -0.0226, -0.0595, -0.1352, -0.1307, -0.0427, -0.1022, -0.229, -0.0757, 0.077, 0.0757, 0.0369, 0.0291, 0.0517, 0.0517, 0.0466, -0.0052, 0.0006, -0.0291, 0.0142, 0.1358, 0.1591, 0.1565, 0.0492, 0.0362, -0.0466, -0.0058, -0.0149, -0.1106, -0.1041, -0.0718, -0.0155, -0.0511, -0.0511, 0.0614, 0.0375, -0.0103, 0.0181, -0.0233, 0.0472, 0.0492, 0.0906, -0.0071, -0.0369, -0.1138, -0.0666, -0.0634, -0.0375, -0.0375, 0.0058, 0.0718, 0.1675]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1978183356777922651", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2025-10-14T19:37:19+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSM", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author assembles ideal Neocloud portfolio across NBIS, WLAC, IREN, CIFR, WULF plus TSM, FLNC, GLXY as supporting positions.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "🧙‍♂️ Summoning Exodia, the ideal Neocloud Deck\n\nExodia Deck:\n🧩 $NBIS – Head\n🧩 $WLAC – Left Arm\n🧩 $IREN – Right Arm\n🧩 $CIFR – Left Leg\n🧩 $WULF – Right Leg\n\nPot of Greed Setup:\n🏭 $TSM\n⚡ $FLNC\n🏡 $GLXY\n\nWhen all five are in your port, Sydney Sweeney descends from the Neocloud https://t.co/dlnjgCAIxl", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The NeoCloud Thesis: Hyperscaler Capex Funnel\n\nWhy I'm putting $1.5M+ into Neoclouds, and why this might be a 200-300%+ return.\n\n🔹 Buckets\n\nMag7 contracts: $CRWV, $NBIS ✅, $WULF, $CIFR ✅\n\nWith compute: $IREN ✅, $BITF\n\nSpeculative: $WYFI, $GRRR ✅, $SLNH\n\nMiners pivoting to", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0234845674205455, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0234845674205455, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.022261418351152917, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.022261418351152917, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012231490693925817, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012231490693925817, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02963445546583099, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02963445546583099, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02519493229004799, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02519493229004799, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004439523175783, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004439523175783, "ret_p1w": -0.004831980828027271, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.004831980828027271, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01851306445134404, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01851306445134404, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01368108362331677, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01368108362331677, "ret_p1m": -0.01797662772947295, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.01797662772947295, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.049914295696963706, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.049914295696963706, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03193766796749076, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03193766796749076, "ret_p3m": 0.0965185059681184, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0965185059681184, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.04534154477242058, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04534154477242058, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05117696119569781, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05117696119569781, "ret_p6m": 0.2432304052289913, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2432304052289913, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.21660939439027405, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.21660939439027405, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.026621010838717263, "bench_c_p6m": 0.026621010838717263, "price_path": [-0.1727, -0.1902, -0.1954, -0.2098, -0.1905, -0.1862, -0.1727, -0.1823, -0.1871, -0.1818, -0.1861, -0.2077, -0.1949, -0.2169, -0.2206, -0.1827, -0.1854, -0.1845, -0.1771, -0.1867, -0.1882, -0.1953, -0.1868, -0.2162, -0.23, -0.2343, -0.2152, -0.2064, -0.1959, -0.194, -0.1974, -0.2223, -0.2223, -0.2307, -0.2206, -0.2077, -0.1801, -0.1674, -0.1548, -0.1227, -0.1279, -0.1265, -0.1196, -0.1145, -0.112, -0.0922, -0.105, -0.0788, -0.0447, -0.0515, -0.0651, -0.0763, -0.0767, -0.0563, -0.0252, -0.0265, -0.0127, 0.0218, -0.0065, 0.029, 0.0133, -0.0516, 0.0235, 0.0, 0.0296, 0.0132, -0.0029, 0.0059, -0.0048, -0.0239, -0.0176, -0.0033, 0.0078, 0.0189, 0.0309, 0.0246, 0.0152, 0.0301, -0.0064, -0.0078, -0.0226, -0.0319, -0.0023, -0.0161, -0.018, -0.0464, -0.0376, -0.0471, -0.0609, -0.0459, -0.0623, -0.0706, -0.0382, -0.038, -0.0202, -0.0202, -0.015, -0.0279, -0.013, -0.0017, -0.0102, -0.0041, 0.02, 0.0252, 0.048, 0.0329, -0.0105, -0.0251, -0.028, -0.0616, -0.0355, -0.021, -0.0063, 0.0061, 0.0124, 0.0124, 0.0261, 0.0196, 0.015, 0.0296, 0.0296, 0.0829, 0.0918, 0.1094, 0.0797, 0.0775, 0.0965, 0.1241, 0.1222, 0.1083, 0.1575, 0.1601, 0.1601, 0.1085, 0.105, 0.1092, 0.1346, 0.1273, 0.1464, 0.1598, 0.1505, 0.12, 0.1566, 0.1376, 0.1037, 0.1206, 0.182, 0.2042, 0.2262, 0.2675, 0.2472, 0.2413, 0.2413, 0.234, 0.2274, 0.2211, 0.2555, 0.2538, 0.307, 0.3137, 0.2767, 0.2691, 0.2506, 0.1965, 0.2111, 0.1989, 0.1482, 0.1815, 0.176, 0.2013, 0.1408, 0.1463, 0.1528, 0.1755, 0.1538, 0.1511, 0.1187, 0.15, 0.1663, 0.1816, 0.108, 0.1102, 0.0754, 0.1483, 0.1603, 0.152, 0.152, 0.1612, 0.1733, 0.2432]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1978183356777922651", "ticker_idx": 6, "ts": "2025-10-14T19:37:19+00:00", "symbol": "FLNC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$FLNC", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author assembles ideal Neocloud portfolio across NBIS, WLAC, IREN, CIFR, WULF plus TSM, FLNC, GLXY as supporting positions.", "resolved_tickers": ["FLNC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "🧙‍♂️ Summoning Exodia, the ideal Neocloud Deck\n\nExodia Deck:\n🧩 $NBIS – Head\n🧩 $WLAC – Left Arm\n🧩 $IREN – Right Arm\n🧩 $CIFR – Left Leg\n🧩 $WULF – Right Leg\n\nPot of Greed Setup:\n🏭 $TSM\n⚡ $FLNC\n🏡 $GLXY\n\nWhen all five are in your port, Sydney Sweeney descends from the Neocloud https://t.co/dlnjgCAIxl", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The NeoCloud Thesis: Hyperscaler Capex Funnel\n\nWhy I'm putting $1.5M+ into Neoclouds, and why this might be a 200-300%+ return.\n\n🔹 Buckets\n\nMag7 contracts: $CRWV, $NBIS ✅, $WULF, $CIFR ✅\n\nWith compute: $IREN ✅, $BITF\n\nSpeculative: $WYFI, $GRRR ✅, $SLNH\n\nMiners pivoting to", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.13875340453963425, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.13875340453963425, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.13997655360902683, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.13997655360902683, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012231490693925817, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012231490693925817, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.16205960148924126, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.16205960148924126, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.15762007831345826, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.15762007831345826, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004439523175783, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004439523175783, "ret_p1w": -0.1186992110296643, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1186992110296643, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.13238029465298107, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.13238029465298107, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01368108362331677, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01368108362331677, "ret_p1m": 0.04119231924693545, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04119231924693545, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.009254651279444692, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.009254651279444692, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03193766796749076, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03193766796749076, "ret_p3m": 0.2574525638796359, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2574525638796359, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.20627560268393808, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.20627560268393808, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05117696119569781, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05117696119569781, "ret_p6m": -0.2888889244973232, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2888889244973232, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.31550993533604044, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.31550993533604044, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.026621010838717263, "bench_c_p6m": 0.026621010838717263, "price_path": [-0.5534, -0.5144, -0.4835, -0.4466, -0.4883, -0.4927, -0.4916, -0.5209, -0.542, -0.5556, -0.5599, -0.5783, -0.5404, -0.5366, -0.542, -0.5084, -0.5019, -0.5046, -0.6005, -0.5908, -0.59, -0.5691, -0.5631, -0.5762, -0.5946, -0.6293, -0.5913, -0.5951, -0.5892, -0.6054, -0.5799, -0.5989, -0.5989, -0.6244, -0.6341, -0.6341, -0.5908, -0.6092, -0.6325, -0.6336, -0.6238, -0.6206, -0.5995, -0.5935, -0.5967, -0.5707, -0.4927, -0.4255, -0.4466, -0.394, -0.3642, -0.3545, -0.3821, -0.4146, -0.271, -0.2927, -0.2526, -0.1729, -0.2504, -0.1892, -0.1924, -0.2905, -0.1388, 0.0, 0.1621, 0.0612, -0.0068, 0.0, -0.1187, -0.1751, -0.1312, 0.058, 0.0157, -0.019, 0.0992, 0.1095, 0.1382, 0.1279, 0.0396, 0.123, 0.0743, 0.1268, 0.181, 0.1236, 0.0412, -0.1192, -0.0293, -0.0661, -0.0775, -0.0889, -0.1593, -0.1653, -0.1436, -0.0911, 0.0293, 0.0293, 0.0645, 0.0509, 0.0818, 0.0759, 0.265, 0.2986, 0.239, 0.2976, 0.2905, 0.3978, 0.2027, 0.1664, 0.155, 0.0065, 0.0466, 0.0818, 0.1084, 0.0661, 0.0748, 0.0748, 0.0954, 0.0824, 0.0764, 0.0721, 0.0721, 0.2472, 0.206, 0.1832, 0.1144, 0.148, 0.2575, 0.2618, 0.2911, 0.2276, 0.3821, 0.4678, 0.4678, 0.3827, 0.4276, 0.478, 0.4602, 0.4699, 0.5415, 0.6797, 0.7111, 0.6678, 0.6743, 0.7469, 0.5713, 0.0271, 0.0537, 0.0515, 0.0293, -0.0504, -0.0547, 0.0005, 0.0005, -0.0363, -0.0553, -0.1024, -0.103, -0.129, -0.1062, -0.1149, -0.122, -0.1577, -0.1805, -0.1913, -0.1436, -0.1458, -0.1989, -0.1491, -0.0851, -0.0726, -0.11, -0.1122, -0.0905, -0.1057, -0.1333, -0.1312, -0.1799, -0.1675, -0.1247, -0.1138, -0.1892, -0.2331, -0.2954, -0.2542, -0.2943, -0.2791, -0.2791, -0.2846, -0.2818, -0.2889]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1978183356777922651", "ticker_idx": 7, "ts": "2025-10-14T19:37:19+00:00", "symbol": "GLXY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$GLXY", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author assembles ideal Neocloud portfolio across NBIS, WLAC, IREN, CIFR, WULF plus TSM, FLNC, GLXY as supporting positions.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLXY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "🧙‍♂️ Summoning Exodia, the ideal Neocloud Deck\n\nExodia Deck:\n🧩 $NBIS – Head\n🧩 $WLAC – Left Arm\n🧩 $IREN – Right Arm\n🧩 $CIFR – Left Leg\n🧩 $WULF – Right Leg\n\nPot of Greed Setup:\n🏭 $TSM\n⚡ $FLNC\n🏡 $GLXY\n\nWhen all five are in your port, Sydney Sweeney descends from the Neocloud https://t.co/dlnjgCAIxl", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The NeoCloud Thesis: Hyperscaler Capex Funnel\n\nWhy I'm putting $1.5M+ into Neoclouds, and why this might be a 200-300%+ return.\n\n🔹 Buckets\n\nMag7 contracts: $CRWV, $NBIS ✅, $WULF, $CIFR ✅\n\nWith compute: $IREN ✅, $BITF\n\nSpeculative: $WYFI, $GRRR ✅, $SLNH\n\nMiners pivoting to", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.002187655661719301, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.002187655661719301, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0009645065923267193, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01308178358656209, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012231490693925817, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01089412792484279, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.018959620585048853, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.018959620585048853, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014520097409265853, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.018959620585048853, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004439523175783, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.04180848921295577, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04180848921295577, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.028127405589639, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05138779115042513, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01368108362331677, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009579301937469364, "ret_p1m": -0.23991247151958472, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.23991247151958472, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2718501394870755, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.24798904291478763, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03193766796749076, "bench_c_p1m": 0.008076571395202903, "ret_p3m": -0.39377732367363694, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.39377732367363694, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.44495428486933475, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4442051245283424, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05117696119569781, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05042780085470544, "ret_p6m": -0.5381623655351648, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5381623655351648, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5647833763738821, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5081670891665909, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.026621010838717263, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02999527636857391, "price_path": [-0.367, -0.3405, -0.3328, -0.2924, -0.2457, -0.2248, -0.2564, -0.2805, -0.3495, -0.2975, -0.3093, -0.3466, -0.2978, -0.3272, -0.3354, -0.3172, -0.3247, -0.3077, -0.3218, -0.3111, -0.3055, -0.3658, -0.3488, -0.4143, -0.4042, -0.4193, -0.3785, -0.4033, -0.3991, -0.4067, -0.4042, -0.429, -0.429, -0.4127, -0.4071, -0.4431, -0.429, -0.4113, -0.3539, -0.3661, -0.2982, -0.2781, -0.2521, -0.2263, -0.1976, -0.1959, -0.201, -0.1811, -0.1945, -0.1665, -0.2194, -0.2489, -0.1665, -0.1782, -0.1291, -0.1123, -0.1211, -0.0559, -0.0379, 0.0061, 0.0263, -0.0428, 0.0022, 0.0, 0.019, -0.0299, -0.0817, -0.0362, 0.0418, -0.0924, -0.0617, -0.0321, -0.0143, -0.0936, -0.1145, -0.1704, -0.149, -0.1522, -0.2423, -0.2358, -0.2615, -0.2329, -0.2273, -0.2528, -0.2399, -0.3379, -0.3597, -0.3913, -0.3782, -0.3738, -0.4159, -0.4307, -0.3977, -0.3807, -0.3622, -0.3622, -0.3537, -0.3972, -0.3836, -0.3425, -0.3298, -0.3799, -0.3658, -0.2842, -0.2825, -0.2742, -0.3498, -0.4035, -0.4091, -0.4456, -0.4528, -0.4166, -0.4018, -0.4023, -0.4062, -0.4062, -0.4312, -0.437, -0.4463, -0.4565, -0.4565, -0.3984, -0.3607, -0.3661, -0.3799, -0.3802, -0.3938, -0.3804, -0.3481, -0.3148, -0.2224, -0.166, -0.166, -0.2197, -0.2112, -0.2484, -0.2246, -0.2397, -0.1935, -0.2246, -0.2718, -0.3131, -0.3573, -0.4657, -0.51, -0.5907, -0.5197, -0.4859, -0.4849, -0.5041, -0.5102, -0.4735, -0.4735, -0.4823, -0.4718, -0.4742, -0.4847, -0.5056, -0.4764, -0.4451, -0.4667, -0.4995, -0.4718, -0.4973, -0.4084, -0.4475, -0.5004, -0.4775, -0.4694, -0.4784, -0.4985, -0.4567, -0.4385, -0.4288, -0.4754, -0.4883, -0.4964, -0.4725, -0.4823, -0.4815, -0.5233, -0.5625, -0.5831, -0.5515, -0.5778, -0.5712, -0.5712, -0.5557, -0.5472, -0.5382]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1981504873943416854", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-23T23:35:51+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I bought $500k+ calls in the last two weeks so I put my money where my mouth is", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Holds $500k+ in call options on NBIS purchased in the last two weeks; high-conviction long.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@accounting_ds Yeah, people can call it crazy but I don't see them taking any positions on $NBIS.\n\nI bought $500k+ calls in the last two weeks so I put my money where my mouth is.\n\nI'm just writing down my train of thoughts in terms of how I developed my conviction.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit This is very reasonable, people will call you crazy though who do no research", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "accounting_ds", "ret_m1d": -0.07102487429753657, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07102487429753657, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06512993942938017, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07440881923073017, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0058949348681563984, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033839449331936056, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10455913801068295, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10455913801068295, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09638656690605218, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10195610344668782, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008172571104630766, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0026030345639951324, "ret_p1w": 0.16974374549214621, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16974374549214621, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15773046162608217, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.17781315264053088, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01201328386606404, "bench_c_p1w": -0.008069407148384666, "ret_p1m": -0.2157121395621464, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2157121395621464, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19676196118720868, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.18664489805590412, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01895017837493773, "bench_c_p1m": -0.029067241506242292, "ret_p3m": -0.06471366342872564, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06471366342872564, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07635797132099198, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05245634876501981, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.011644307892266337, "bench_c_p3m": -0.012257314663705832, "ret_p6m": 0.4802184812445973, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4802184812445973, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4170656573905107, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.44015893191536004, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0631528238540866, "bench_c_p6m": 0.040059549329237276, "price_path": [-0.5031, -0.5252, -0.5169, -0.4873, -0.5102, -0.4897, -0.4803, -0.4811, -0.3848, -0.3521, -0.3384, -0.2904, -0.3347, -0.3551, -0.3254, -0.3167, -0.3671, -0.3644, -0.3766, -0.3502, -0.3404, -0.3361, -0.3397, -0.3214, -0.3564, -0.3564, -0.3809, -0.3816, -0.3886, -0.3833, -0.3966, -0.0983, -0.1203, -0.1599, -0.1484, -0.1432, -0.1576, -0.1138, -0.1134, -0.0645, 0.0041, 0.0154, 0.0666, 0.0168, 0.0145, 0.0382, 0.0576, 0.089, 0.1857, 0.2055, 0.1769, 0.1087, 0.1492, 0.2494, 0.2206, 0.276, 0.2071, 0.1853, 0.159, 0.0686, 0.0268, -0.0177, -0.071, 0.0, 0.1046, 0.1815, 0.1476, 0.1784, 0.1697, 0.2323, 0.1348, 0.0413, 0.1021, 0.0309, 0.0482, 0.0357, -0.0371, -0.1112, -0.1651, -0.2131, -0.1901, -0.1471, -0.1045, -0.2027, -0.2157, -0.1343, -0.1628, -0.108, -0.108, -0.1063, -0.0566, -0.0915, -0.0682, -0.0317, -0.0765, -0.0549, -0.0918, -0.1184, -0.1119, -0.174, -0.2357, -0.2375, -0.2893, -0.2644, -0.1573, -0.1218, -0.1519, -0.1416, -0.1416, -0.1749, -0.1895, -0.1977, -0.2115, -0.2115, -0.1527, -0.1256, -0.0558, -0.0937, -0.0835, -0.0775, 0.011, -0.0069, -0.0394, -0.0214, 0.0242, 0.0242, -0.0647, -0.0687, -0.0877, -0.1098, -0.1385, -0.0781, -0.054, -0.106, -0.1975, -0.1696, -0.1527, -0.2239, -0.3042, -0.189, -0.1251, -0.1354, -0.1653, -0.1548, -0.0768, -0.0768, -0.0814, -0.0411, 0.0137, -0.0776, -0.0523, -0.0337, -0.0004, -0.0121, -0.141, -0.1427, -0.1824, -0.0789, -0.099, -0.1585, -0.1057, -0.0917, 0.055, 0.0177, 0.064, 0.2232, 0.0958, 0.1168, 0.1447, 0.108, 0.0753, 0.0824, 0.0841, -0.0018, -0.0503, -0.1309, -0.0226, -0.0397, 0.0251, 0.0251, 0.0601, 0.1059, 0.1775, 0.2842, 0.3656, 0.4559, 0.5254, 0.5709, 0.5575, 0.4802]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1988237492596994341", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-11T13:28:52+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Insanely Strong Buy $116 (including the ATM)", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Blowout NBIS earnings with $3B META deal and $7-9B ARR; author rates Insanely Strong Buy at $116; META flagged as hyperscaler partner.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Takeaway from $NBIS earnings so far: \n\nAbsolute. Blowout. Earnings. \n\n$3B $META deal + Cursor new Enterprise clients on top of $17B with $MSFT just 2 months ago. \n\n$7-9B ARR projection is enormous and blew away any expectation.\n\n Insanely Strong Buy $116 (including the ATM). https://t.co/AxWshJhAgJ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$NBIS earnings report blew away expectations with $7-9B ARR and a $3B hyperscaler deal with Meta. \n\nThey also added to their enterprise client list with Cursor. \n\nDespite that, stock is down -1.77% currently before their earnings call.  Why?\n\nDilution~$2.7B 25M share dilution ATM https://t.co/X6xn9AmHwS", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.07562116645693662, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07562116645693662, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07790517779341222, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08367715698290779, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0022840113364756, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008055990525971168, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07689298098696984, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07689298098696984, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07744946946558229, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07111371851615012, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005564884786124491, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005779262470819724, "ret_p1w": -0.11426335517212038, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11426335517212038, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08070553613602638, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09333522120495286, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.033557819036094005, "bench_c_p1w": -0.020928133967167528, "ret_p1m": -0.08442579514531079, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08442579514531079, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0911169579698673, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10955721246618133, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006691162824556507, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02513141732087054, "ret_p3m": -0.15769910540088283, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15769910540088283, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17184363692646742, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1746409985754659, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014144531525584592, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016941893174583056, "ret_p6m": 0.9085305616135924, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.9085305616135924, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.8279910769496042, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.8743308936187839, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08053948466398819, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03419966799480845, "price_path": [-0.3303, -0.2994, -0.2904, -0.3427, -0.34, -0.3526, -0.3252, -0.315, -0.3105, -0.3142, -0.2952, -0.3316, -0.3316, -0.3571, -0.3578, -0.365, -0.3595, -0.3733, -0.0636, -0.0864, -0.1275, -0.1155, -0.1102, -0.1251, -0.0796, -0.0792, -0.0285, 0.0428, 0.0546, 0.1077, 0.056, 0.0536, 0.0783, 0.0983, 0.131, 0.2314, 0.252, 0.2223, 0.1514, 0.1935, 0.2976, 0.2677, 0.3252, 0.2537, 0.231, 0.2037, 0.1098, 0.0663, 0.0202, -0.0352, 0.0385, 0.1471, 0.2271, 0.1918, 0.2238, 0.2148, 0.2798, 0.1785, 0.0814, 0.1446, 0.0706, 0.0886, 0.0756, 0.0, -0.0769, -0.1329, -0.1827, -0.1589, -0.1143, -0.0699, -0.172, -0.1855, -0.101, -0.1305, -0.0737, -0.0737, -0.0719, -0.0203, -0.0564, -0.0323, 0.0057, -0.0409, -0.0185, -0.0568, -0.0844, -0.0777, -0.1421, -0.2062, -0.2081, -0.2619, -0.2361, -0.1248, -0.0879, -0.1193, -0.1085, -0.1085, -0.1431, -0.1583, -0.1668, -0.1811, -0.1811, -0.12, -0.0919, -0.0194, -0.0588, -0.0481, -0.042, 0.05, 0.0314, -0.0023, 0.0163, 0.0637, 0.0637, -0.0287, -0.0328, -0.0525, -0.0755, -0.1053, -0.0426, -0.0175, -0.0715, -0.1666, -0.1375, -0.12, -0.194, -0.2773, -0.1577, -0.0914, -0.102, -0.1331, -0.1222, -0.0412, -0.0412, -0.046, -0.0041, 0.0527, -0.0421, -0.0158, 0.0035, 0.0382, 0.026, -0.1079, -0.1097, -0.1509, -0.0434, -0.0643, -0.1261, -0.0712, -0.0566, 0.0956, 0.0569, 0.105, 0.2703, 0.138, 0.1599, 0.1888, 0.1507, 0.1167, 0.1241, 0.1259, 0.0367, -0.0137, -0.0974, 0.0151, -0.0026, 0.0646, 0.0646, 0.101, 0.1485, 0.2229, 0.3337, 0.4182, 0.512, 0.5842, 0.6315, 0.6175, 0.5373, 0.557, 0.5315, 0.5275, 0.5367, 0.4396, 0.4181, 0.3257, 0.3812, 0.3523, 0.5113, 0.7259, 0.721, 0.9085]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1988237492596994341", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-11T13:28:52+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$3B $META deal + Cursor new Enterprise clients on top of $17B with $MSFT just 2 months ago", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Blowout NBIS earnings with $3B META deal and $7-9B ARR; author rates Insanely Strong Buy at $116; META flagged as hyperscaler partner.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Takeaway from $NBIS earnings so far: \n\nAbsolute. Blowout. Earnings. \n\n$3B $META deal + Cursor new Enterprise clients on top of $17B with $MSFT just 2 months ago. \n\n$7-9B ARR projection is enormous and blew away any expectation.\n\n Insanely Strong Buy $116 (including the ATM). https://t.co/AxWshJhAgJ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$NBIS earnings report blew away expectations with $7-9B ARR and a $3B hyperscaler deal with Meta. \n\nThey also added to their enterprise client list with Cursor. \n\nDespite that, stock is down -1.77% currently before their earnings call.  Why?\n\nDilution~$2.7B 25M share dilution ATM https://t.co/X6xn9AmHwS", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.007463152943011586, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007463152943011586, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009747164279487186, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.015519143468982755, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0022840113364756, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008055990525971168, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02881614128990906, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02881614128990906, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.029372629768521508, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.023036878819089335, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005564884786124491, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005779262470819724, "ret_p1w": -0.046868042810101485, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.046868042810101485, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01331022377400748, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.025939908842933956, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.033557819036094005, "bench_c_p1w": -0.020928133967167528, "ret_p1m": 0.03675760522768767, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03675760522768767, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.030066442403131166, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.011626187906817131, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006691162824556507, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02513141732087054, "ret_p3m": 0.05568579276927532, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05568579276927532, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.04154126124369073, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.038743899594692266, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014144531525584592, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016941893174583056, "ret_p6m": -0.021010098055703863, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.021010098055703863, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.10154958271969206, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.05520976605051231, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08053948466398819, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03419966799480845, "price_path": [0.2464, 0.2514, 0.2229, 0.1976, 0.1916, 0.1778, 0.2028, 0.2005, 0.2017, 0.191, 0.197, 0.1772, 0.1772, 0.1715, 0.1746, 0.1931, 0.1991, 0.1989, 0.2202, 0.1984, 0.1966, 0.2041, 0.2186, 0.2414, 0.2362, 0.2434, 0.2404, 0.2202, 0.2046, 0.213, 0.1943, 0.1861, 0.1855, 0.1711, 0.1439, 0.1594, 0.1331, 0.1413, 0.1371, 0.1447, 0.1697, 0.1247, 0.1413, 0.1301, 0.1443, 0.1355, 0.1433, 0.1676, 0.1693, 0.1696, 0.1705, 0.1775, 0.1973, 0.1983, 0.1987, 0.0628, 0.0339, 0.017, 0.0004, 0.0141, -0.013, -0.0086, 0.0075, 0.0, -0.0288, -0.0274, -0.0281, -0.04, -0.0469, -0.0586, -0.0605, -0.0524, -0.0224, 0.0146, 0.0104, 0.0104, 0.0333, 0.022, 0.0319, 0.02, 0.0549, 0.0739, 0.0633, 0.0476, 0.0368, 0.0409, 0.0273, 0.0334, 0.0488, 0.0366, 0.0605, 0.0514, 0.0557, 0.0612, 0.0654, 0.0654, 0.0586, 0.0513, 0.0629, 0.0535, 0.0535, 0.0381, 0.0514, 0.0543, 0.0353, 0.0311, 0.0423, 0.0246, 0.0072, -0.0176, -0.0092, -0.0101, -0.0101, -0.0358, -0.0217, 0.0336, 0.0514, 0.0731, 0.0741, 0.0673, 0.1783, 0.1435, 0.1274, 0.1039, 0.0677, 0.0697, 0.0557, 0.0808, 0.0705, 0.0672, 0.0371, 0.0211, 0.0211, 0.0203, 0.0266, 0.0291, 0.0464, 0.017, 0.0203, 0.0433, 0.0486, 0.0345, 0.0431, 0.0455, 0.0657, 0.0543, 0.0292, 0.0332, 0.0439, 0.0452, 0.0185, -0.0205, 0.0023, -0.0054, -0.0165, -0.0309, -0.0517, -0.0351, -0.0529, -0.0497, -0.1254, -0.1602, -0.1432, -0.0861, -0.0748, -0.0824, -0.0824, -0.0847, -0.0814, -0.0217, 0.0038, 0.0061, 0.0136, 0.0582, 0.0728, 0.0812, 0.0999, 0.0717, 0.0684, 0.0778, 0.0529, 0.0783, 0.084, 0.0724, 0.0688, -0.0226, -0.0276, -0.025, -0.0337, -0.021]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1978292628174286930", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-15T02:51:32+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Gov re-open into rate cut end of month into earnings (huge huge catalyst for most growth stocks) -> Second rate cut in December. -> More Mag7 contracts for Nebius or related companies like Coreweave. -> Earnings report (they should re-rate really hard on this with forward projections)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS into 2025 on multiple catalysts: rate cuts, Mag7 contracts, earnings re-rate, and sum-of-parts IPO progress.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "At least for 2025 on $NBIS\n\nMacro wise\n-> Gov re-open into rate cut end of month into earnings (huge huge catalyst for most growth stocks)\n-> Second rate cut in December. \n\nFundamentals\n-> More Mag7 contracts for Nebius or related companies like Coreweave. \n-> Earnings report (they should re-rate really hard on this with forward projections)\n-> Sum of parts investments moving toward IPO.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Any 2025/early 2026 catalysts you're expecting to push nbis towards your PT? I'm wondering if other neoclouds have more short term potential due to potential contracts, or if there's more news we can expect for NBIS. I guess increasing institutional ownership could push it up too", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "foogleman1234", "ret_m1d": 0.018437511179127286, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.018437511179127286, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.022857412102326946, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02545663561504896, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00441990092319966, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007019124435921675, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.022172779741935766, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.022172779741935766, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01536251858795179, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011514210341831754, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006810261153983976, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010658569400104012, "ret_p1w": -0.21624412849493624, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.21624412849493624, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.22019810157945974, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.21832384935349303, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003953973084523499, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0020797208585567883, "ret_p1m": -0.2956370025932544, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2956370025932544, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3059653003869398, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.265567683000522, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010328297793685381, "bench_c_p1m": -0.030069319592732402, "ret_p3m": -0.14702376007940443, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14702376007940443, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1951981516370762, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.16895231924591925, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04817439155767178, "bench_c_p3m": 0.021928559166514816, "ret_p6m": 0.08344591788290523, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.08344591788290523, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.05546597760361438, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08686219341531143, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.02797994027929085, "bench_c_p6m": -0.003416275532406199, "price_path": [-0.5805, -0.5838, -0.5946, -0.5877, -0.5855, -0.5918, -0.5808, -0.5995, -0.5924, -0.5674, -0.5867, -0.5695, -0.5616, -0.5622, -0.481, -0.4534, -0.4418, -0.4013, -0.4387, -0.4559, -0.4308, -0.4235, -0.466, -0.4638, -0.4741, -0.4518, -0.4435, -0.4399, -0.4429, -0.4275, -0.457, -0.457, -0.4777, -0.4783, -0.4841, -0.4797, -0.4909, -0.2393, -0.2578, -0.2912, -0.2815, -0.2771, -0.2893, -0.2523, -0.252, -0.2108, -0.1528, -0.1433, -0.1001, -0.1422, -0.1441, -0.1241, -0.1078, -0.0812, 0.0003, 0.0171, -0.0071, -0.0646, -0.0304, 0.0541, 0.0298, 0.0765, 0.0184, 0.0, -0.0222, -0.0985, -0.1338, -0.1713, -0.2162, -0.1563, -0.0681, -0.0032, -0.0318, -0.0058, -0.0131, 0.0397, -0.0426, -0.1215, -0.0702, -0.1303, -0.1156, -0.1262, -0.1876, -0.2501, -0.2956, -0.3361, -0.3167, -0.2805, -0.2445, -0.3273, -0.3383, -0.2696, -0.2937, -0.2475, -0.2475, -0.246, -0.2041, -0.2335, -0.2139, -0.183, -0.2209, -0.2027, -0.2338, -0.2562, -0.2507, -0.3031, -0.3552, -0.3567, -0.4004, -0.3794, -0.289, -0.2591, -0.2845, -0.2758, -0.2758, -0.3039, -0.3162, -0.3231, -0.3348, -0.3348, -0.2851, -0.2623, -0.2034, -0.2354, -0.2267, -0.2217, -0.147, -0.1621, -0.1895, -0.1744, -0.1359, -0.1359, -0.2109, -0.2143, -0.2303, -0.249, -0.2731, -0.2222, -0.2019, -0.2457, -0.323, -0.2994, -0.2851, -0.3452, -0.4129, -0.3157, -0.2619, -0.2705, -0.2958, -0.2869, -0.2211, -0.2211, -0.225, -0.191, -0.1448, -0.2218, -0.2004, -0.1848, -0.1566, -0.1665, -0.2753, -0.2767, -0.3102, -0.2229, -0.2398, -0.2901, -0.2455, -0.2336, -0.1099, -0.1414, -0.1024, 0.0319, -0.0755, -0.0578, -0.0343, -0.0652, -0.0928, -0.0868, -0.0854, -0.1578, -0.1988, -0.2668, -0.1754, -0.1898, -0.1352, -0.1352, -0.1056, -0.067, -0.0066, 0.0834]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2009723451163242535", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-09T20:26:24+00:00", "symbol": "VLN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I modeled for ~$7.30 (from $2.5 currently) share price. From forward 2027, $130M 5x EV/Sales + $93.5M net cash.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Modeled $7.30 price target vs $2.50 current on 2027 EV/Sales + net cash; algorithms wrongly shorting due to ticker mix-up adds upside catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["VLN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I mean I modeled for ~$7.30 (from $2.5 currently) share price.\n\nFrom forward 2027, $130M 5x EV/Sales + $93.5M net cash.\n\nI think algorithms piling in to short sell $VLN because they mixed up tickers is just a cherry on top. \n\nThat being said I’m just posting info discovery, markets will decide how to price that in", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Since the algorithms messed up, what price realistically should VLN be at with the correct data", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TomListon2or2", "ret_m1d": -0.37096776984608737, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.37096776984608737, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.36439787640680144, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.3446587667058081, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006569893439285934, "bench_c_m1d": -0.026309003140279286, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06854841733326134, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06854841733326134, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07011887114503312, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07224813070073988, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0015704538117717881, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003699713367478541, "ret_p1w": -0.19758064748717397, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.19758064748717397, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.19410836617330818, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2262791043822514, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.003472281313865788, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02869845689507744, "ret_p1m": -0.3870967865982611, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3870967865982611, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.38692395731858265, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.4318786390753073, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00017282927967843253, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04478185247704625, "ret_p3m": -0.471774220683696, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.471774220683696, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.44841378636724327, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5583576750317217, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.02336043431645274, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08658345434802572, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2661, -0.2581, -0.2863, -0.3105, -0.2742, -0.2863, -0.3024, -0.2903, -0.2823, -0.2944, -0.2903, -0.3105, -0.3145, -0.2621, -0.3065, -0.3589, -0.3306, -0.371, -0.3629, -0.3548, -0.2742, -0.3145, -0.3065, -0.2984, -0.371, -0.3871, -0.4153, -0.4274, -0.3952, -0.3831, -0.379, -0.3669, -0.3669, -0.3548, -0.3669, -0.3629, -0.3266, -0.3226, -0.3226, -0.3145, -0.3145, -0.3226, -0.3427, -0.3589, -0.379, -0.3831, -0.4032, -0.4032, -0.3992, -0.4113, -0.4355, -0.4435, -0.4435, -0.4194, -0.4315, -0.4435, -0.4274, -0.4274, -0.371, -0.3669, -0.3589, -0.375, -0.371, 0.0, -0.0685, -0.0565, -0.1573, -0.1573, -0.1976, -0.1976, -0.2177, -0.2097, -0.1532, -0.2097, -0.2581, -0.2581, -0.2863, -0.2903, -0.3145, -0.3266, -0.3548, -0.379, -0.4234, -0.379, -0.3871, -0.375, -0.379, -0.3952, -0.3871, -0.3871, -0.4113, -0.3992, -0.3992, -0.3911, -0.4032, -0.3831, -0.379, -0.3548, -0.4032, -0.4032, -0.4194, -0.4194, -0.4355, -0.4556, -0.4556, -0.4435, -0.4234, -0.4556, -0.4637, -0.4637, -0.4597, -0.496, -0.4839, -0.5081, -0.4919, -0.496, -0.4919, -0.5081, -0.5242, -0.5524, -0.5444, -0.5282, -0.5202, -0.5202, -0.5202, -0.5242, -0.4718, -0.4597, -0.4637, -0.4556, -0.4435, -0.4073, -0.375, -0.3871, -0.4073, -0.3952, -0.3508, -0.3347, -0.2782, -0.3508, -0.3911, -0.3911, -0.125, -0.0565, -0.0927, -0.0242, 0.0081, -0.0282, 0.125, 0.1492, 0.0887, 0.1895, 0.3589, 0.2298, 0.1371, 0.0726, 0.1694, 0.2339, 0.2984, 0.2984, 0.3145, 0.2702, 0.4113, 0.4234, 0.4234, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1973484964642693270", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-01T20:27:35+00:00", "symbol": "ETOR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ETOR is great on a 5% drop today. Genuinely don't know why it's down so much given they're like 33% cash and growing at $IBKR rates", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish ETOR on today's 5% dip; sees no fundamental reason for the decline given 33% cash + IBKR-rate growth.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETOR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MakhmudovAkbar Yeah $ETOR is great on a 5% drop today. Genuinely don't know why it's down so much given they're like 33% cash and growing at $IBKR rates.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Started a position of about 5% portfolio of 80/20 shares and options in ETOR yesterday. In a room full of smart engineers and business leaders and a billion dollars of cash on hand, they just have to be able to figure something out.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PositionJournal", "ret_m1d": 0.056579595667496374, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.056579595667496374, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.059975501480215354, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.059975501480215354, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00339590581271898, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00339590581271898, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06169994272094548, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06169994272094548, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06054813918375257, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06054813918375257, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001151803537192908, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001151803537192908, "ret_p1w": 0.047875034975381814, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.047875034975381814, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04090369884103762, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04090369884103762, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006971336134344197, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006971336134344197, "ret_p1m": -0.04096267876509674, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04096267876509674, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05798720374140953, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05798720374140953, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017024524976312794, "bench_c_p1m": 0.017024524976312794, "ret_p3m": -0.08678963351659696, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08678963351659696, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11885261897887678, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11885261897887678, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032062985462279814, "bench_c_p3m": 0.032062985462279814, "ret_p6m": -0.23067080950978802, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.23067080950978802, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.20121933172463746, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.20121933172463746, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02945147778515056, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02945147778515056, "price_path": [0.607, 0.5672, 0.5691, 0.562, 0.52, 0.4754, 0.4386, 0.3789, 0.4595, 0.4885, 0.4537, 0.4383, 0.4749, 0.5965, 0.6324, 0.6662, 0.6257, 0.5543, 0.5876, 0.5351, 0.4872, 0.5174, 0.484, 0.4411, 0.4432, 0.4831, 0.4158, 0.299, 0.2289, 0.2176, 0.2325, 0.2194, 0.1446, 0.1362, 0.1454, 0.1933, 0.1454, 0.1618, 0.1398, 0.1367, 0.1367, 0.1367, 0.1964, 0.2007, 0.1816, 0.1879, 0.1761, 0.1626, 0.0914, 0.1365, 0.1301, 0.1098, 0.1119, 0.0988, 0.1247, 0.1303, 0.1526, 0.1203, 0.0863, 0.0504, 0.0522, 0.075, 0.0566, 0.0, 0.0617, 0.0492, 0.0548, 0.0374, 0.0479, 0.011, -0.0108, 0.0077, 0.0005, -0.0131, -0.0136, -0.0428, 0.0128, 0.0159, -0.0305, -0.0261, 0.0054, 0.0305, -0.001, -0.0294, -0.041, -0.0512, -0.0663, -0.1183, -0.1242, -0.1431, -0.107, -0.0341, 0.0558, 0.0581, 0.0051, 0.0369, -0.0138, 0.0038, -0.0192, -0.063, -0.0581, -0.0041, 0.0218, 0.0748, 0.0748, 0.0745, 0.0722, 0.0684, 0.0932, 0.1247, 0.1011, 0.0576, 0.0778, 0.0435, 0.0054, -0.0284, -0.0643, -0.0778, -0.1101, -0.0893, -0.073, -0.0663, -0.0727, -0.0796, -0.0796, -0.0819, -0.0868, -0.0901, -0.1006, -0.1006, -0.0865, -0.0709, -0.1027, -0.148, -0.1672, -0.1905, -0.1818, -0.2012, -0.1982, -0.1994, -0.1979, -0.1979, -0.2112, -0.2176, -0.2038, -0.1943, -0.1989, -0.1943, -0.1961, -0.2263, -0.2473, -0.2716, -0.3075, -0.3205, -0.3661, -0.3085, -0.278, -0.276, -0.3103, -0.3154, -0.297, -0.297, -0.1534, -0.1848, -0.2063, -0.2017, -0.2181, -0.213, -0.1695, -0.1736, -0.2148, -0.2148, -0.1938, -0.1644, -0.1628, -0.1854, -0.1915, -0.2058, -0.2089, -0.2325, -0.2291, -0.2179, -0.2028, -0.2309, -0.2478, -0.2465, -0.2332, -0.2486, -0.2396, -0.2307]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2002907012049645877", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-22T01:00:18+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Both $NBIS Clickhouse and Avride stakes alone can be worth more than $IREN marketcap in a year or two. That being said I'm still bullish on both.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish NBIS (Clickhouse+Avride stakes alone worth more than IREN mktcap in 1-2 yrs, plus main biz) and IREN, though NBIS is the stronger conviction call.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "True. Both $NBIS Clickhouse and Avride stakes alone can be worth more than $IREN marketcap in a year or two.\n\nThat being said I’m still bullish on both. It’s just a bit unfair though Nebius owns 4 subsidiaries from Yandex days growing triple digits y/y.\n\nThat’s not even accounting for their main business line", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$NBIS &gt; $IREN\n\nThanks, @aleabitoreddit for you great work as always!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "retail_mourinho", "ret_m1d": -0.040437671744227854, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.040437671744227854, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.034246350728893704, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0360144971672961, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004423174576931754, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03432376340678023, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03432376340678023, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.038894218225213106, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04058125083315256, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006257487426372332, "ret_p1w": -0.07712112176891306, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07712112176891306, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08153089304420058, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08766453342417069, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010543411655257628, "ret_p1m": 0.06500050778066457, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06500050778066457, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07558712246617527, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09234494973203389, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "bench_c_p1m": -0.027344441951369314, "ret_p3m": 0.3034430147752307, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3034430147752307, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.33999226508551617, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3336161785269677, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "bench_c_p3m": -0.030173163751736953, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2145, 0.1578, 0.1552, 0.1822, 0.2042, 0.2401, 0.3501, 0.3727, 0.3401, 0.2625, 0.3086, 0.4227, 0.3899, 0.453, 0.3746, 0.3497, 0.3197, 0.2168, 0.1692, 0.1185, 0.0578, 0.1387, 0.2577, 0.3454, 0.3068, 0.3418, 0.332, 0.4032, 0.2922, 0.1857, 0.255, 0.1739, 0.1936, 0.1793, 0.0964, 0.0121, -0.0493, -0.1039, -0.0778, -0.0289, 0.0197, -0.0921, -0.1069, -0.0143, -0.0467, 0.0157, 0.0157, 0.0176, 0.0742, 0.0345, 0.061, 0.1026, 0.0516, 0.0762, 0.0341, 0.0039, 0.0113, -0.0594, -0.1297, -0.1317, -0.1907, -0.1624, -0.0404, 0.0, -0.0343, -0.0225, -0.0225, -0.0605, -0.0771, -0.0865, -0.1022, -0.1022, -0.0352, -0.0043, 0.0752, 0.032, 0.0437, 0.0504, 0.1512, 0.1309, 0.0939, 0.1143, 0.1663, 0.1663, 0.065, 0.0605, 0.0388, 0.0136, -0.019, 0.0498, 0.0772, 0.018, -0.0862, -0.0544, -0.0352, -0.1163, -0.2077, -0.0765, -0.0038, -0.0154, -0.0496, -0.0375, 0.0513, 0.0513, 0.046, 0.0919, 0.1542, 0.0503, 0.0792, 0.1003, 0.1383, 0.125, -0.0219, -0.0238, -0.069, 0.0488, 0.026, -0.0418, 0.0183, 0.0343, 0.2013, 0.1589, 0.2115, 0.3928, 0.2478, 0.2717, 0.3034, 0.2616, 0.2244, 0.2325, 0.2345, 0.1367, 0.0814, -0.0104, 0.1129, 0.0935, 0.1672, 0.1672, 0.2071, 0.2593, 0.3408, 0.4623, 0.555, 0.6578, 0.737, 0.7888, 0.7735, 0.6855, 0.7072, 0.6792, 0.6748, 0.6849, 0.5785, 0.5549, 0.4535, 0.5144, 0.4827, 0.6571, 0.8923, 0.8869, 1.0926, 0.9819, 0.8991, 0.9961, 0.9212, 1.2232, 1.3721, 1.3591, 1.1437, 1.1209, 1.0575, 1.359, 1.3037, 1.3037, 1.2317, 1.235, 1.4278, 1.4787, 1.4787, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2002907012049645877", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-22T01:00:18+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm still bullish on both", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish NBIS (Clickhouse+Avride stakes alone worth more than IREN mktcap in 1-2 yrs, plus main biz) and IREN, though NBIS is the stronger conviction call.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "True. Both $NBIS Clickhouse and Avride stakes alone can be worth more than $IREN marketcap in a year or two.\n\nThat being said I’m still bullish on both. It’s just a bit unfair though Nebius owns 4 subsidiaries from Yandex days growing triple digits y/y.\n\nThat’s not even accounting for their main business line", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$NBIS &gt; $IREN\n\nThanks, @aleabitoreddit for you great work as always!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "retail_mourinho", "ret_m1d": -0.05042822788804968, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05042822788804968, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04423690687271553, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.038298734525897604, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012129493362152077, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0007135770371926586, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0007135770371926586, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00385687778124022, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0012748281375125625, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001988405174705221, "ret_p1w": -0.06255949121884652, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06255949121884652, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06696926249413404, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06255949121884652, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0, "ret_p1m": 0.2906754790648076, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2906754790648076, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3012620937503183, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.32899795488431605, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03832247581950843, "ret_p3m": -0.009039035676492668, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.009039035676492668, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.027510214633792773, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10538609946165844, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "bench_c_p3m": -0.11442513513815111, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1213, 0.1011, -0.0043, 0.0925, 0.1163, 0.1199, 0.1185, 0.2003, 0.3737, 0.4672, 0.4294, 0.5188, 0.4217, 0.5257, 0.6546, 0.617, 0.4707, 0.4443, 0.4087, 0.3129, 0.2329, 0.3287, 0.4962, 0.5459, 0.4848, 0.4372, 0.3849, 0.4451, 0.6116, 0.5849, 0.8176, 0.5928, 0.4838, 0.4313, 0.3649, 0.3249, 0.1572, 0.103, 0.1277, 0.162, 0.0902, 0.034, 0.0052, 0.1534, 0.1292, 0.1525, 0.1525, 0.1373, 0.1534, -0.0219, 0.0457, 0.1049, 0.0635, 0.1023, 0.1142, 0.0447, 0.0452, -0.0454, -0.156, -0.1296, -0.1965, -0.1484, -0.0504, 0.0, 0.0007, -0.0014, -0.0014, -0.0414, -0.0626, -0.089, -0.1016, -0.1016, 0.0157, 0.1475, 0.0921, 0.0377, 0.0866, 0.0949, 0.1972, 0.2605, 0.2578, 0.2343, 0.3754, 0.3754, 0.2907, 0.2721, 0.2431, 0.3482, 0.2455, 0.427, 0.4971, 0.4234, 0.2783, 0.2626, 0.2938, 0.069, -0.0535, -0.005, 0.0978, 0.0212, 0.015, -0.0478, 0.0043, 0.0043, -0.0255, 0.001, 0.0297, -0.049, 0.0076, 0.0811, 0.0473, 0.0523, -0.0259, -0.0155, -0.0759, 0.0428, -0.0456, -0.127, -0.0761, -0.0932, -0.0014, -0.0159, -0.0109, 0.069, 0.0219, 0.004, -0.009, -0.0178, 0.0029, -0.0219, -0.0145, -0.1092, -0.1653, -0.2479, -0.1846, -0.1891, -0.1729, -0.1729, -0.1644, -0.1499, -0.1239, -0.1185, -0.0647, 0.0245, 0.1268, 0.1613, 0.1346, 0.1446, 0.1589, 0.0745, 0.151, 0.2374, 0.2046, 0.1503, 0.0571, 0.0195, 0.0825, 0.0861, 0.177, 0.3021, 0.4505, 0.3523, 0.4558, 0.3118, 0.3454, 0.3123, 0.3892, 0.2593, 0.2003, 0.1356, 0.2538, 0.3811, 0.3518, 0.3518, 0.422, 0.6137, 0.5235, 0.5114, 0.5114, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1968686868754469202", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-18T14:41:40+00:00", "symbol": "NFE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Sometimes you just need to blindly trust random X users $NFE", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorsing a bullish call on NFE from another X user; implied long.", "resolved_tickers": ["NFE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas Midstream'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas Midstream", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Sometimes you just need to blindly trust random X users $NFE https://t.co/EAgj6WrbTN", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.11475408394405295, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11475408394405295, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1101033690121147, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1178752668661115, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004650714931938249, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0031211829220585408, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.040983664223788296, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.040983664223788296, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04593653899912031, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02771872387218155, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004952874775332017, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013264940351606747, "ret_p1w": -0.07786887408392063, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07786887408392063, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07426665659686815, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10259115384301287, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0036022174870524726, "bench_c_p1w": 0.024722279759092247, "ret_p1m": -0.21311479013986767, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.21311479013986767, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2191124446136271, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.179715224831283, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0059976544737594395, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03339956530858468, "ret_p3m": -0.5204918321118941, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.5204918321118941, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5484146174921536, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5055292566170633, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.027922785380259496, "bench_c_p3m": -0.014962575494830821, "ret_p6m": -0.5573770419720265, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5573770419720265, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5631581377145933, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.8657805274786994, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0057810957425668, "bench_c_p6m": 0.30840348550667285, "price_path": [-0.1639, -0.041, -0.0656, -0.0246, 0.0246, 0.3607, 0.4877, 0.5902, 0.6803, 0.6803, 0.4672, 0.5574, 0.5164, 0.4426, 0.7008, 0.5943, 0.541, 0.6434, 0.8443, 0.873, 0.7131, 0.6721, 0.5656, 0.6988, 0.5471, 0.6332, 0.3852, 0.2377, 0.1168, 0.1557, 0.2254, 0.3402, 0.2213, 0.2541, 0.1148, 0.0738, 0.0041, 0.0389, -0.0205, -0.0553, -0.0738, -0.0615, -0.0779, -0.0164, 0.082, 0.0697, 0.0533, 0.0656, 0.0779, 0.0082, 0.0082, -0.0369, -0.0574, -0.0369, 0.0041, -0.4262, -0.4262, -0.459, -0.4426, -0.4631, -0.4344, -0.1803, -0.1148, 0.0, -0.041, 0.1926, 0.0082, 0.0533, -0.0779, -0.1352, -0.1762, -0.0943, -0.1066, -0.1189, 0.0082, -0.0041, -0.0287, -0.1066, -0.1557, -0.2336, -0.2213, -0.1762, -0.2213, -0.2582, -0.2131, -0.1926, -0.2254, -0.2705, -0.2746, -0.2951, -0.3566, -0.373, -0.459, -0.4959, -0.4713, -0.5164, -0.4467, -0.3893, -0.4262, -0.4508, -0.4918, -0.5123, -0.5246, -0.5492, -0.5697, -0.5492, -0.5369, -0.5246, -0.4016, -0.5041, -0.5041, -0.541, -0.5, -0.5, -0.5, -0.4631, -0.4918, -0.4344, -0.4262, -0.3566, -0.4221, -0.4303, -0.4426, -0.4672, -0.4836, -0.5123, -0.5205, -0.4672, -0.5123, -0.5041, -0.5205, -0.5205, -0.5287, -0.5287, -0.5205, -0.5246, -0.5492, -0.5328, -0.5328, -0.5451, -0.5533, -0.4795, -0.5, -0.4836, -0.5164, -0.4836, -0.4836, -0.4713, -0.4262, -0.418, -0.418, -0.4467, -0.3648, -0.3033, -0.2869, -0.2951, -0.4303, -0.4426, -0.4508, -0.4549, -0.4631, -0.4385, -0.4549, -0.4918, -0.4836, -0.4836, -0.4918, -0.5041, -0.5082, -0.5, -0.5, -0.4754, -0.4836, -0.4508, -0.5, -0.5041, -0.5287, -0.5492, -0.5328, -0.5533, -0.5205, -0.5123, -0.5492, -0.541, -0.5574, -0.5328, -0.5656, -0.5492, -0.541, -0.5574]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1986892986056384726", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-07T20:26:17+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we'll see a large recovery in high beta stocks like $NBIS, $IREN, or $ASTS once government will re-opens", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Expects a recovery in high-beta names NBIS, IREN, and ASTS tied to government reopening + 74%-priced rate cut next month.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Sure, my speculation was that we'll see a large recovery in high beta stocks like $NBIS, $IREN, or $ASTS once government will re-opens. Since there's a broader tailwind of a rate cut next month priced in at 74%. \n\nSo with the current contract data: \n\nNov 12th-15th: 22% \n\nNov 15th: 51% (~half chance sometime in the next week)\n \nNov 30th: 92%\n\nWe can just see there's a 50% chance government reopens in the next 7 days. \n\nSo we'll get a recovery around then (likely with some frontrunning if chances increase). That's just in terms with estimating recovery.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I’m not sure what to make of the current contract market data — what inference do you draw when given these numbers?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "platochi", "ret_m1d": -0.01653483427457536, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01653483427457536, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015551294995075793, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019121531471761766, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009835392794995679, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002586697197186405, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011951849799104464, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011951849799104464, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.027556193107098892, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.022388019259927283, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015604343307994428, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01043616946082282, "ret_p1w": -0.24928107627666896, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.24928107627666896, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2507118784654304, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.24232362996945367, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0014308021887614597, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006957446307215287, "ret_p1m": -0.09840040499963942, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09840040499963942, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11726869718810895, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1354176329358321, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018868292188469526, "bench_c_p1m": 0.037017227936192665, "ret_p3m": -0.25961538197844847, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.25961538197844847, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.28532096917866034, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3048221396777887, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025705587200211877, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04520675769934024, "ret_p6m": 0.5853702381758781, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5853702381758781, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5091695010200037, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5431122207638381, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07620073715587439, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04225801741203994, "price_path": [-0.3231, -0.3653, -0.3848, -0.3564, -0.3481, -0.3962, -0.3937, -0.4053, -0.3801, -0.3708, -0.3666, -0.3701, -0.3526, -0.3861, -0.3861, -0.4094, -0.41, -0.4167, -0.4117, -0.4243, -0.1398, -0.1608, -0.1985, -0.1875, -0.1826, -0.1964, -0.1546, -0.1542, -0.1076, -0.0421, -0.0313, 0.0175, -0.03, -0.0322, -0.0095, 0.0089, 0.0389, 0.1311, 0.1501, 0.1228, 0.0577, 0.0963, 0.1919, 0.1645, 0.2173, 0.1516, 0.1308, 0.1057, 0.0194, -0.0205, -0.0629, -0.1138, -0.046, 0.0537, 0.1272, 0.0948, 0.1242, 0.1159, 0.1756, 0.0826, -0.0066, 0.0514, -0.0165, 0.0, -0.012, -0.0814, -0.152, -0.2035, -0.2493, -0.2274, -0.1864, -0.1457, -0.2394, -0.2518, -0.1742, -0.2013, -0.1491, -0.1491, -0.1475, -0.1, -0.1333, -0.1111, -0.0762, -0.119, -0.0984, -0.1336, -0.159, -0.1528, -0.212, -0.2708, -0.2726, -0.322, -0.2983, -0.1961, -0.1622, -0.191, -0.1811, -0.1811, -0.2129, -0.2268, -0.2346, -0.2478, -0.2478, -0.1917, -0.1658, -0.0992, -0.1354, -0.1256, -0.12, -0.0355, -0.0526, -0.0836, -0.0665, -0.0229, -0.0229, -0.1077, -0.1115, -0.1297, -0.1508, -0.1781, -0.1205, -0.0975, -0.1471, -0.2345, -0.2078, -0.1917, -0.2596, -0.3362, -0.2263, -0.1653, -0.1751, -0.2037, -0.1937, -0.1192, -0.1192, -0.1237, -0.0852, -0.033, -0.1201, -0.0959, -0.0782, -0.0464, -0.0575, -0.1805, -0.1822, -0.22, -0.1213, -0.1405, -0.1973, -0.1468, -0.1334, 0.0064, -0.0291, 0.015, 0.1669, 0.0454, 0.0654, 0.092, 0.057, 0.0258, 0.0326, 0.0342, -0.0477, -0.094, -0.1709, -0.0676, -0.0838, -0.0221, -0.0221, 0.0113, 0.055, 0.1233, 0.2251, 0.3027, 0.3889, 0.4552, 0.4987, 0.4858, 0.4121, 0.4303, 0.4068, 0.4031, 0.4116, 0.3224, 0.3027, 0.2177, 0.2688, 0.2422, 0.3883, 0.5854]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1986892986056384726", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-07T20:26:17+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we'll see a large recovery in high beta stocks like $NBIS, $IREN, or $ASTS once government will re-opens", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Expects a recovery in high-beta names NBIS, IREN, and ASTS tied to government reopening + 74%-priced rate cut next month.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Sure, my speculation was that we'll see a large recovery in high beta stocks like $NBIS, $IREN, or $ASTS once government will re-opens. Since there's a broader tailwind of a rate cut next month priced in at 74%. \n\nSo with the current contract data: \n\nNov 12th-15th: 22% \n\nNov 15th: 51% (~half chance sometime in the next week)\n \nNov 30th: 92%\n\nWe can just see there's a 50% chance government reopens in the next 7 days. \n\nSo we'll get a recovery around then (likely with some frontrunning if chances increase). That's just in terms with estimating recovery.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I’m not sure what to make of the current contract market data — what inference do you draw when given these numbers?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "platochi", "ret_m1d": 0.07342093520255544, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07342093520255544, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.074404474482055, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08043108205478011, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009835392794995679, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007010146852224675, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.035428067671187335, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.035428067671187335, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.051032410979181764, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03902798511825156, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015604343307994428, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003599917447064227, "ret_p1w": -0.25665280317562844, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.25665280317562844, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2580836053643899, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2504004607798189, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0014308021887614597, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006252342395809518, "ret_p1m": -0.2571337069714478, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2571337069714478, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2760019991599173, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2703963420212051, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018868292188469526, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013262635049757332, "ret_p3m": -0.27957682178239796, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.27957682178239796, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.30528240898260983, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3055070021486066, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025705587200211877, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025930180366208644, "ret_p6m": -0.20679707125674585, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.20679707125674585, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.28299780841262023, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1925179065927266, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07620073715587439, "bench_c_p6m": -0.01427916466401924, "price_path": [-0.7142, -0.7158, -0.6941, -0.6844, -0.6681, -0.6997, -0.6832, -0.686, -0.6565, -0.6294, -0.6315, -0.6416, -0.6307, -0.5755, -0.5755, -0.5333, -0.5478, -0.5811, -0.5808, -0.5802, -0.516, -0.4609, -0.4734, -0.4556, -0.4046, -0.4157, -0.3924, -0.4178, -0.3806, -0.3283, -0.3304, -0.2443, -0.2579, -0.329, -0.2637, -0.2477, -0.2453, -0.2462, -0.1911, -0.0742, -0.0112, -0.0367, 0.0236, -0.0418, 0.0282, 0.1151, 0.0898, -0.0088, -0.0266, -0.0507, -0.1152, -0.1691, -0.1045, 0.0083, 0.0418, 0.0006, -0.0314, -0.0667, -0.0261, 0.0861, 0.0681, 0.2249, 0.0734, 0.0, -0.0354, -0.0802, -0.1071, -0.2201, -0.2567, -0.24, -0.2169, -0.2653, -0.3031, -0.3225, -0.2227, -0.239, -0.2233, -0.2233, -0.2336, -0.2227, -0.3408, -0.2953, -0.2554, -0.2833, -0.2571, -0.2491, -0.2959, -0.2956, -0.3567, -0.4312, -0.4134, -0.4585, -0.4261, -0.3601, -0.3261, -0.3256, -0.327, -0.327, -0.354, -0.3682, -0.386, -0.3945, -0.3945, -0.3155, -0.2267, -0.264, -0.3007, -0.2677, -0.2621, -0.1932, -0.1505, -0.1523, -0.1682, -0.0731, -0.0731, -0.1302, -0.1427, -0.1622, -0.0914, -0.1606, -0.0383, 0.009, -0.0407, -0.1385, -0.1491, -0.1281, -0.2796, -0.3621, -0.3294, -0.2602, -0.3118, -0.316, -0.3583, -0.3232, -0.3232, -0.3432, -0.3254, -0.306, -0.3591, -0.3209, -0.2714, -0.2942, -0.2908, -0.3435, -0.3365, -0.3772, -0.2972, -0.3568, -0.4117, -0.3774, -0.3889, -0.327, -0.3368, -0.3334, -0.2796, -0.3113, -0.3233, -0.3322, -0.3381, -0.3241, -0.3408, -0.3358, -0.3996, -0.4375, -0.4931, -0.4505, -0.4535, -0.4426, -0.4426, -0.4368, -0.4271, -0.4096, -0.4059, -0.3697, -0.3096, -0.2406, -0.2174, -0.2353, -0.2286, -0.219, -0.2759, -0.2243, -0.1661, -0.1882, -0.2248, -0.2876, -0.3129, -0.2704, -0.268, -0.2068]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1986892986056384726", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-11-07T20:26:17+00:00", "symbol": "ASTS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we'll see a large recovery in high beta stocks like $NBIS, $IREN, or $ASTS once government will re-opens", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Expects a recovery in high-beta names NBIS, IREN, and ASTS tied to government reopening + 74%-priced rate cut next month.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASTS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Sure, my speculation was that we'll see a large recovery in high beta stocks like $NBIS, $IREN, or $ASTS once government will re-opens. Since there's a broader tailwind of a rate cut next month priced in at 74%. \n\nSo with the current contract data: \n\nNov 12th-15th: 22% \n\nNov 15th: 51% (~half chance sometime in the next week)\n \nNov 30th: 92%\n\nWe can just see there's a 50% chance government reopens in the next 7 days. \n\nSo we'll get a recovery around then (likely with some frontrunning if chances increase). That's just in terms with estimating recovery.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I’m not sure what to make of the current contract market data — what inference do you draw when given these numbers?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "platochi", "ret_m1d": -0.05651110744533605, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05651110744533605, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05552756816583648, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05552756816583648, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009835392794995679, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0009835392794995679, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007082027400982183, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007082027400982183, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02268637070897661, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02268637070897661, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015604343307994428, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015604343307994428, "ret_p1w": -0.1125885336125595, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1125885336125595, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11401933580132095, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11401933580132095, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0014308021887614597, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0014308021887614597, "ret_p1m": 0.06951867883900009, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06951867883900009, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.050650386650530566, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.050650386650530566, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018868292188469526, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018868292188469526, "ret_p3m": 0.49588085486265543, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.49588085486265543, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.47017526766244355, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.47017526766244355, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025705587200211877, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025705587200211877, "ret_p6m": -0.01098427676562197, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.01098427676562197, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08718501392149636, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08718501392149636, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07620073715587439, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07620073715587439, "price_path": [-0.2808, -0.2766, -0.299, -0.3051, -0.3039, -0.3503, -0.3485, -0.3499, -0.3197, -0.2772, -0.2711, -0.3026, -0.2925, -0.2927, -0.2927, -0.2953, -0.3464, -0.395, -0.3871, -0.4108, -0.4665, -0.4569, -0.4454, -0.4404, -0.4079, -0.4157, -0.4047, -0.4011, -0.3482, -0.294, -0.208, -0.2123, -0.2862, -0.2905, -0.2941, -0.2906, -0.177, -0.0438, -0.0207, 0.0536, 0.0804, 0.1736, 0.2544, 0.1856, 0.308, 0.3658, 0.383, 0.2935, 0.2067, 0.1968, 0.1361, 0.0312, 0.0366, 0.0652, 0.1483, 0.124, 0.1571, 0.1083, 0.1598, 0.0283, 0.0124, 0.0172, -0.0565, 0.0, -0.0071, -0.0188, -0.0679, -0.112, -0.1126, -0.182, -0.1585, -0.1616, -0.2672, -0.2576, -0.2051, -0.1977, -0.1976, -0.1976, -0.1877, -0.2396, -0.1778, -0.112, 0.05, 0.0684, 0.0695, 0.0528, 0.1425, 0.2249, 0.1085, -0.0199, -0.0119, -0.1059, -0.0471, 0.0961, 0.2499, 0.2382, 0.1281, 0.1281, 0.0399, 0.033, 0.0793, 0.0497, 0.0497, 0.2064, 0.3141, 0.409, 0.2391, 0.3089, 0.4116, 0.422, 0.3401, 0.3762, 0.4634, 0.6732, 0.6732, 0.6251, 0.4959, 0.6819, 0.6414, 0.5144, 0.6092, 0.7521, 0.7646, 0.6073, 0.5111, 0.6731, 0.4959, 0.348, 0.4712, 0.4759, 0.3914, 0.4008, 0.1883, 0.1925, 0.1925, 0.2, 0.2203, 0.2487, 0.1591, 0.2126, 0.2404, 0.1903, 0.2395, 0.1445, 0.2563, 0.3395, 0.516, 0.3566, 0.2932, 0.2973, 0.2651, 0.2749, 0.2587, 0.2479, 0.2879, 0.3831, 0.3115, 0.3599, 0.2998, 0.2779, 0.2571, 0.3884, 0.2698, 0.137, 0.0669, 0.1977, 0.2139, 0.3386, 0.3386, 0.3703, 0.3379, 0.3941, 0.324, 0.3716, 0.4304, 0.2801, 0.2561, 0.3144, 0.2362, 0.1707, 0.1564, 0.2236, 0.1382, 0.1042, 0.1158, 0.0389, 0.0095, 0.0681, 0.0246, -0.011]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1995084174223651180", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-30T10:55:08+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS has the highest normalized gross margins and revenue capacity in the market... $NBIS maintains highest asymmetrical upside", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS (highest normalized margins, asymmetric upside) and IREN (48% margin potential via full-stack buildout); short/avoid CRWV on unsustainable $1.3B debt load.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Economics of Neocloud GPU Pricing\n\nWhat happens when you normalize margins across the three major GPU neoclouds, accounting for depreciation and cost structure?\n\n· Nebius ( $NBIS )\n\n· CoreWeave ( $CRWV )\n\n· IREN ( $IREN )\n\nBelow is what the research shows for margins using the same H100s:\n\n35.8% $IREN - Bare-Metal H100\n\n· Revenue: ~$2.50–2.75/GPU-hr -> $7.80M/MW-year\n· COGS: $5.01M/MW  · GPU D&A: $3.50M  · Power: $0.22M  · DC depreciation: $0.47M    · Networking: $0.25M  · Third-party middleware (poolside, WEKA): $0.20M\n\nGross Profit: $2.79M/MW → 35.8% margin\n_\n\n38.1% $NBIS - Full-Stack H100\n\n· Revenue: ~$3.00–3.50/GPU-hr → $9.75M/MW-year\n· COGS: $6.04M/MW    · GPU D&A: $3.50M    · Power (Finland): $0.37M    · Colo (60%): $0.72M    · Ops/platform: $0.40M    · Other: $0.86M\n\nGross Profit: $3.71M/MW → 38.1% margin\n\n-\n\n30.6% $CRWV - Full-Stack H100\n\n· Revenue: ~$2.80–3.25/GPU-hr → $8.90M/MW-year\n· COGS: $6.18M/MW    · GPU D&A: $3.50M    · Power (mixed): $0.42M    · Colo (80%): $0.96M    · Ops: $0.38M    · Other: $0.83M\nGross Profit: $2.72M/MW → 30.6% margin\n\nWe're not modeling based on spot or single-GPU rentals only (it's $2.00/hour on $NBIS website for example).\n\nIt's full-stacked datacenter-scale infrastructure (400 GPUs per MW, full networking, cooling, power, data center costs, maintenance, infini-band/Infiband-class interconnect, etc.), assuming 85% utilization, annualized revenue/MW, using historical pricing, and deriving revenue-per-GPU-hour from that to see the effects of full-stack vs. bare metal. \n_\n\nInterpretation (Standalone Cloud):\n\n· Nebius’s ~25% revenue premium outweighs its higher power + colo costs -> +2.3 pts vs IREN.\n\n· CoreWeave’s ~14% revenue premium doesn’t offset colo exposure ->  ~5 pts below IREN.\n\n_\n\nColocation vs Owned DC Costs:\n\n$IREN (Owned DC):\n\n- $0.47M/MW in DC depreciation\n· No colocation rent\n\n$NBIS / $CRWV (Colo-heavy)\n- Nebius colo: ~$0.72M/MW (60% of racks)\n- CoreWeave colo: ~$0.96M/MW (80%)\nCost delta: IREN saves ~$0.4–0.6M/MW.\n\n_\n\nFull-Stack Pricing as a Moat\n\nRevenue Premiums\n· Nebius: +20–25%\n· CoreWeave: +14%\n· IREN: 0%\n\nCost Structure\n\n· IREN middleware cost: ~$0.20M/MW\n· Nebius/CoreWeave internal stack amortization: ~$0.38–0.40M/MW\n· IREN power + owned DC advantage: ~$0.60M/MW (but not monetized via pricing)\n\n_\n\n$IREN vs $NBIS MSFT deal comparison:\n\nAdded it for fun, for the $MSFT deal alone:\n\n$IREN: 9.3% gross margin\n$NBIS: 40.2% gross margin. \n\n - IREN's MSFT margin (9.3%) is a GPU cost problem (GB300) + contract pricing\n\nHowever, $IREN is likely 15-20% levered IRR, which is the better financial modeling to use (which is still profitable), after financing, like the 20% pre-payment from $MSFT. \n\nLevered IRR is much modelling structure to use lol. \n\nDifferentiators \n\n$IREN  (Bare Metal)\n_\n\n- Cost Advantage via Owned Infrastructure + Low Cost Power\n- Hyperscaler contracts with secured financing and customer prepayments increases levered IRR \n\n$NBIS (Full Stack)\n_\n\n· Revenue premium over bare metal pricing\n· Highest Normalized Margin\n\n$CRWV\n_\n\n· Revenue premium over bare metal pricing\n· Debt load not included here (would further pressure margins)\n\nNotes:\n\n-With Coreweave that typically use different hardware mixes, the normalization math changes. \n\n- Depreciation is normalized to 4 years which may hurt or benefit some in live accounting (eg. $CRWV 6 year schedules $IREN 3 year leases).  \n\n- Debt not included in margin calculation, in that event $CRWV would look a lot worse -$1.3B/year. \n\n- Utilization is normalized to 85%, which hurts $NBIS in normalization calculations given their whitepaper (eg. 100% benchmark performance vs. GPU cloud providers deliver 95–97%.), in live environments it would likely be the highest compared to $CRWV. \n\nTakeaway for HPC segment only:\n\n- $NBIS (38.1%) > $IREN (35.8%) > $CRWV (30.6%) for margins. Nebius is the favorite due to premium pricing from full-stack. \n\n- However, if $IREN can build the software layer right on top of owning the DC costs + doing full-stack iaas, they become the structural leader with a whopping 48.6% Gross Margin over the others, so this is purely execution. \n\n- Utilization is one of the biggest factors in determining gross margins. $NBIS is sold out + diversified (Cursor, Shopify, etc. keep capacity full) and customer base is a moat. \n\n- Debates over \"full-stack vs. bare metal\" converge to slight edge over full-stack . \n\n- Full stack is a moat. Owning the infrastructure is also a moat. Both are converging with $NBIS building out greenfield facilities and $IREN climbing up the full-stack layers (eg. GPU deals instead of doing colo like $CIFR).\n\n_\n\nTLDR: \n\nMargins: $NBIS (38.1%) | $IREN (35.8%) | $CRWV (30.6%)\n\n$NBIS has the highest normalized gross margins and revenue capacity in the market.  \n\n(38.1% $NBIS vs. 35.8% $IREN)\n\n$IREN has the highest margin potential at 48% from owning all parts of the layers if they successfully build $NBIS's software layer on top of their established, low-cost infrastructure moat\n\n(48% $IREN vs. 38.1% $NBIS).\n\n$CRWV....  $1.3B debt interest not included in calculations, stay away medium long term. Margins aren't a problem but unsustainable capital structure is. \n\nAmong all the neocloud players, $NBIS and $IREN are the two clear leaders in the full-stack space. \n\n$NBIS maintains highest asymmetrical upside while $IREN has the highest upside potential.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.052720905630066484, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.052720905630066484, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05730735049238922, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.057422753442149754, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004701847812083271, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.036944628270231594, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.036944628270231594, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.038796927944310666, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04025331122801734, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003308682957785747, "ret_p1w": 0.0017973070637373745, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0017973070637373745, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.003141948190520605, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01047963228719273, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012276939350930105, "ret_p1m": -0.1495756677853144, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1495756677853144, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16246777457768147, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.18286213217720948, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03328646439189509, "ret_p3m": 0.047229112885403435, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.047229112885403435, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.030960854270874583, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.027656878277190877, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "bench_c_p3m": 0.019572234608212558, "ret_p6m": 1.0774837183085886, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.0774837183085886, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.9678303387279186, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.0649106695834534, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "bench_c_p6m": 0.012573048725135205, "price_path": [-0.3445, -0.3519, -0.3463, -0.3604, -0.0442, -0.0675, -0.1094, -0.0973, -0.0918, -0.107, -0.0606, -0.0602, -0.0084, 0.0644, 0.0764, 0.1306, 0.0778, 0.0754, 0.1005, 0.121, 0.1544, 0.2568, 0.2779, 0.2475, 0.1752, 0.2182, 0.3244, 0.2939, 0.3526, 0.2796, 0.2564, 0.2286, 0.1327, 0.0884, 0.0412, -0.0153, 0.06, 0.1708, 0.2524, 0.2165, 0.2491, 0.2399, 0.3062, 0.2029, 0.1037, 0.1682, 0.0928, 0.1111, 0.0979, 0.0207, -0.0578, -0.115, -0.1659, -0.1415, -0.096, -0.0507, -0.1549, -0.1686, -0.0824, -0.1125, -0.0545, -0.0545, -0.0527, 0.0, -0.0369, -0.0123, 0.0265, -0.0211, 0.0018, -0.0373, -0.0655, -0.0586, -0.1244, -0.1898, -0.1917, -0.2466, -0.2203, -0.1067, -0.0691, -0.101, -0.0901, -0.0901, -0.1254, -0.1409, -0.1496, -0.1642, -0.1642, -0.1018, -0.0731, 0.0009, -0.0393, -0.0285, -0.0222, 0.0717, 0.0527, 0.0183, 0.0373, 0.0857, 0.0857, -0.0086, -0.0128, -0.033, -0.0564, -0.0868, -0.0228, 0.0028, -0.0523, -0.1494, -0.1197, -0.1018, -0.1773, -0.2624, -0.1403, -0.0726, -0.0835, -0.1152, -0.104, -0.0214, -0.0214, -0.0263, 0.0165, 0.0745, -0.0223, 0.0046, 0.0243, 0.0596, 0.0472, -0.0895, -0.0913, -0.1333, -0.0237, -0.0449, -0.108, -0.052, -0.0371, 0.1183, 0.0788, 0.1278, 0.2966, 0.1616, 0.1838, 0.2134, 0.1744, 0.1398, 0.1474, 0.1492, 0.0581, 0.0067, -0.0788, 0.036, 0.018, 0.0866, 0.0866, 0.1237, 0.1722, 0.2481, 0.3613, 0.4475, 0.5433, 0.617, 0.6652, 0.6509, 0.569, 0.5892, 0.5632, 0.5591, 0.5684, 0.4694, 0.4474, 0.3531, 0.4098, 0.3802, 0.5426, 0.7616, 0.7566, 0.948, 0.8449, 0.7678, 0.8582, 0.7884, 1.0696, 1.2082, 1.1961, 0.9956, 0.9743, 0.9153, 1.196, 1.1445, 1.1445, 1.0775]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1995084174223651180", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-30T10:55:08+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$IREN has the highest upside potential... if $IREN can build the software layer right on top of owning the DC costs + doing full-stack iaas, they become the structural leader with a whopping 48.6% Gross Margin", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS (highest normalized margins, asymmetric upside) and IREN (48% margin potential via full-stack buildout); short/avoid CRWV on unsustainable $1.3B debt load.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Economics of Neocloud GPU Pricing\n\nWhat happens when you normalize margins across the three major GPU neoclouds, accounting for depreciation and cost structure?\n\n· Nebius ( $NBIS )\n\n· CoreWeave ( $CRWV )\n\n· IREN ( $IREN )\n\nBelow is what the research shows for margins using the same H100s:\n\n35.8% $IREN - Bare-Metal H100\n\n· Revenue: ~$2.50–2.75/GPU-hr -> $7.80M/MW-year\n· COGS: $5.01M/MW  · GPU D&A: $3.50M  · Power: $0.22M  · DC depreciation: $0.47M    · Networking: $0.25M  · Third-party middleware (poolside, WEKA): $0.20M\n\nGross Profit: $2.79M/MW → 35.8% margin\n_\n\n38.1% $NBIS - Full-Stack H100\n\n· Revenue: ~$3.00–3.50/GPU-hr → $9.75M/MW-year\n· COGS: $6.04M/MW    · GPU D&A: $3.50M    · Power (Finland): $0.37M    · Colo (60%): $0.72M    · Ops/platform: $0.40M    · Other: $0.86M\n\nGross Profit: $3.71M/MW → 38.1% margin\n\n-\n\n30.6% $CRWV - Full-Stack H100\n\n· Revenue: ~$2.80–3.25/GPU-hr → $8.90M/MW-year\n· COGS: $6.18M/MW    · GPU D&A: $3.50M    · Power (mixed): $0.42M    · Colo (80%): $0.96M    · Ops: $0.38M    · Other: $0.83M\nGross Profit: $2.72M/MW → 30.6% margin\n\nWe're not modeling based on spot or single-GPU rentals only (it's $2.00/hour on $NBIS website for example).\n\nIt's full-stacked datacenter-scale infrastructure (400 GPUs per MW, full networking, cooling, power, data center costs, maintenance, infini-band/Infiband-class interconnect, etc.), assuming 85% utilization, annualized revenue/MW, using historical pricing, and deriving revenue-per-GPU-hour from that to see the effects of full-stack vs. bare metal. \n_\n\nInterpretation (Standalone Cloud):\n\n· Nebius’s ~25% revenue premium outweighs its higher power + colo costs -> +2.3 pts vs IREN.\n\n· CoreWeave’s ~14% revenue premium doesn’t offset colo exposure ->  ~5 pts below IREN.\n\n_\n\nColocation vs Owned DC Costs:\n\n$IREN (Owned DC):\n\n- $0.47M/MW in DC depreciation\n· No colocation rent\n\n$NBIS / $CRWV (Colo-heavy)\n- Nebius colo: ~$0.72M/MW (60% of racks)\n- CoreWeave colo: ~$0.96M/MW (80%)\nCost delta: IREN saves ~$0.4–0.6M/MW.\n\n_\n\nFull-Stack Pricing as a Moat\n\nRevenue Premiums\n· Nebius: +20–25%\n· CoreWeave: +14%\n· IREN: 0%\n\nCost Structure\n\n· IREN middleware cost: ~$0.20M/MW\n· Nebius/CoreWeave internal stack amortization: ~$0.38–0.40M/MW\n· IREN power + owned DC advantage: ~$0.60M/MW (but not monetized via pricing)\n\n_\n\n$IREN vs $NBIS MSFT deal comparison:\n\nAdded it for fun, for the $MSFT deal alone:\n\n$IREN: 9.3% gross margin\n$NBIS: 40.2% gross margin. \n\n - IREN's MSFT margin (9.3%) is a GPU cost problem (GB300) + contract pricing\n\nHowever, $IREN is likely 15-20% levered IRR, which is the better financial modeling to use (which is still profitable), after financing, like the 20% pre-payment from $MSFT. \n\nLevered IRR is much modelling structure to use lol. \n\nDifferentiators \n\n$IREN  (Bare Metal)\n_\n\n- Cost Advantage via Owned Infrastructure + Low Cost Power\n- Hyperscaler contracts with secured financing and customer prepayments increases levered IRR \n\n$NBIS (Full Stack)\n_\n\n· Revenue premium over bare metal pricing\n· Highest Normalized Margin\n\n$CRWV\n_\n\n· Revenue premium over bare metal pricing\n· Debt load not included here (would further pressure margins)\n\nNotes:\n\n-With Coreweave that typically use different hardware mixes, the normalization math changes. \n\n- Depreciation is normalized to 4 years which may hurt or benefit some in live accounting (eg. $CRWV 6 year schedules $IREN 3 year leases).  \n\n- Debt not included in margin calculation, in that event $CRWV would look a lot worse -$1.3B/year. \n\n- Utilization is normalized to 85%, which hurts $NBIS in normalization calculations given their whitepaper (eg. 100% benchmark performance vs. GPU cloud providers deliver 95–97%.), in live environments it would likely be the highest compared to $CRWV. \n\nTakeaway for HPC segment only:\n\n- $NBIS (38.1%) > $IREN (35.8%) > $CRWV (30.6%) for margins. Nebius is the favorite due to premium pricing from full-stack. \n\n- However, if $IREN can build the software layer right on top of owning the DC costs + doing full-stack iaas, they become the structural leader with a whopping 48.6% Gross Margin over the others, so this is purely execution. \n\n- Utilization is one of the biggest factors in determining gross margins. $NBIS is sold out + diversified (Cursor, Shopify, etc. keep capacity full) and customer base is a moat. \n\n- Debates over \"full-stack vs. bare metal\" converge to slight edge over full-stack . \n\n- Full stack is a moat. Owning the infrastructure is also a moat. Both are converging with $NBIS building out greenfield facilities and $IREN climbing up the full-stack layers (eg. GPU deals instead of doing colo like $CIFR).\n\n_\n\nTLDR: \n\nMargins: $NBIS (38.1%) | $IREN (35.8%) | $CRWV (30.6%)\n\n$NBIS has the highest normalized gross margins and revenue capacity in the market.  \n\n(38.1% $NBIS vs. 35.8% $IREN)\n\n$IREN has the highest margin potential at 48% from owning all parts of the layers if they successfully build $NBIS's software layer on top of their established, low-cost infrastructure moat\n\n(48% $IREN vs. 38.1% $NBIS).\n\n$CRWV....  $1.3B debt interest not included in calculations, stay away medium long term. Margins aren't a problem but unsustainable capital structure is. \n\nAmong all the neocloud players, $NBIS and $IREN are the two clear leaders in the full-stack space. \n\n$NBIS maintains highest asymmetrical upside while $IREN has the highest upside potential.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.014023515810224318, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014023515810224318, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.018609960672547055, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.022342682441486406, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008319166631262087, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.15199015243290592, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.15199015243290592, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.153842452106985, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.15104477605452604, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0009453763783798808, "ret_p1w": -0.04433906891023409, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04433906891023409, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04927832416449207, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0554942919273953, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011155223017161209, "ret_p1m": -0.21014646501716616, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.21014646501716616, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.22303857180953324, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2570902403302643, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "bench_c_p1m": 0.046943775313098124, "ret_p3m": -0.08764693447901695, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08764693447901695, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1039151930935458, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08374241000006155, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0039045244789553957, "ret_p6m": 0.23283144380346932, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.23283144380346932, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.12317806422279931, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.24401169255931177, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "bench_c_p6m": -0.011180248755842448, "price_path": [-0.4182, -0.4611, -0.4607, -0.4599, -0.3774, -0.3065, -0.3225, -0.2996, -0.2341, -0.2483, -0.2184, -0.251, -0.2031, -0.1359, -0.1386, -0.0278, -0.0454, -0.1367, -0.0528, -0.0322, -0.0291, -0.0303, 0.0406, 0.191, 0.272, 0.2392, 0.3168, 0.2326, 0.3227, 0.4345, 0.4019, 0.2751, 0.2522, 0.2213, 0.1383, 0.0689, 0.152, 0.2972, 0.3403, 0.2873, 0.246, 0.2007, 0.2528, 0.3972, 0.3741, 0.5758, 0.3809, 0.2865, 0.2409, 0.1833, 0.1487, 0.0033, -0.0437, -0.0223, 0.0074, -0.0549, -0.1035, -0.1285, 0.0, -0.021, -0.0008, -0.0008, -0.014, 0.0, -0.152, -0.0934, -0.0421, -0.078, -0.0443, -0.034, -0.0942, -0.0938, -0.1724, -0.2683, -0.2454, -0.3034, -0.2617, -0.1767, -0.133, -0.1324, -0.1343, -0.1343, -0.1689, -0.1873, -0.2101, -0.2211, -0.2211, -0.1194, -0.0052, -0.0532, -0.1003, -0.058, -0.0507, 0.0379, 0.0928, 0.0905, 0.0701, 0.1924, 0.1924, 0.119, 0.1029, 0.0777, 0.1689, 0.0798, 0.2372, 0.298, 0.2341, 0.1083, 0.0947, 0.1217, -0.0732, -0.1794, -0.1373, -0.0483, -0.1147, -0.12, -0.1745, -0.1293, -0.1293, -0.1551, -0.1322, -0.1072, -0.1755, -0.1264, -0.0627, -0.092, -0.0876, -0.1555, -0.1464, -0.1988, -0.0959, -0.1725, -0.2431, -0.199, -0.2139, -0.1343, -0.1468, -0.1425, -0.0732, -0.114, -0.1295, -0.1409, -0.1485, -0.1305, -0.152, -0.1456, -0.2277, -0.2763, -0.3479, -0.2931, -0.297, -0.2829, -0.2829, -0.2755, -0.2629, -0.2405, -0.2357, -0.1891, -0.1118, -0.0231, 0.0068, -0.0163, -0.0076, 0.0047, -0.0685, -0.0021, 0.0728, 0.0443, -0.0027, -0.0835, -0.1161, -0.0615, -0.0584, 0.0204, 0.1289, 0.2576, 0.1724, 0.2621, 0.1373, 0.1664, 0.1378, 0.2044, 0.0918, 0.0406, -0.0155, 0.087, 0.1974, 0.172, 0.172, 0.2328]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1995084174223651180", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-11-30T10:55:08+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$CRWV.... $1.3B debt interest not included in calculations, stay away medium long term. Margins aren't a problem but unsustainable capital structure is.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS (highest normalized margins, asymmetric upside) and IREN (48% margin potential via full-stack buildout); short/avoid CRWV on unsustainable $1.3B debt load.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Economics of Neocloud GPU Pricing\n\nWhat happens when you normalize margins across the three major GPU neoclouds, accounting for depreciation and cost structure?\n\n· Nebius ( $NBIS )\n\n· CoreWeave ( $CRWV )\n\n· IREN ( $IREN )\n\nBelow is what the research shows for margins using the same H100s:\n\n35.8% $IREN - Bare-Metal H100\n\n· Revenue: ~$2.50–2.75/GPU-hr -> $7.80M/MW-year\n· COGS: $5.01M/MW  · GPU D&A: $3.50M  · Power: $0.22M  · DC depreciation: $0.47M    · Networking: $0.25M  · Third-party middleware (poolside, WEKA): $0.20M\n\nGross Profit: $2.79M/MW → 35.8% margin\n_\n\n38.1% $NBIS - Full-Stack H100\n\n· Revenue: ~$3.00–3.50/GPU-hr → $9.75M/MW-year\n· COGS: $6.04M/MW    · GPU D&A: $3.50M    · Power (Finland): $0.37M    · Colo (60%): $0.72M    · Ops/platform: $0.40M    · Other: $0.86M\n\nGross Profit: $3.71M/MW → 38.1% margin\n\n-\n\n30.6% $CRWV - Full-Stack H100\n\n· Revenue: ~$2.80–3.25/GPU-hr → $8.90M/MW-year\n· COGS: $6.18M/MW    · GPU D&A: $3.50M    · Power (mixed): $0.42M    · Colo (80%): $0.96M    · Ops: $0.38M    · Other: $0.83M\nGross Profit: $2.72M/MW → 30.6% margin\n\nWe're not modeling based on spot or single-GPU rentals only (it's $2.00/hour on $NBIS website for example).\n\nIt's full-stacked datacenter-scale infrastructure (400 GPUs per MW, full networking, cooling, power, data center costs, maintenance, infini-band/Infiband-class interconnect, etc.), assuming 85% utilization, annualized revenue/MW, using historical pricing, and deriving revenue-per-GPU-hour from that to see the effects of full-stack vs. bare metal. \n_\n\nInterpretation (Standalone Cloud):\n\n· Nebius’s ~25% revenue premium outweighs its higher power + colo costs -> +2.3 pts vs IREN.\n\n· CoreWeave’s ~14% revenue premium doesn’t offset colo exposure ->  ~5 pts below IREN.\n\n_\n\nColocation vs Owned DC Costs:\n\n$IREN (Owned DC):\n\n- $0.47M/MW in DC depreciation\n· No colocation rent\n\n$NBIS / $CRWV (Colo-heavy)\n- Nebius colo: ~$0.72M/MW (60% of racks)\n- CoreWeave colo: ~$0.96M/MW (80%)\nCost delta: IREN saves ~$0.4–0.6M/MW.\n\n_\n\nFull-Stack Pricing as a Moat\n\nRevenue Premiums\n· Nebius: +20–25%\n· CoreWeave: +14%\n· IREN: 0%\n\nCost Structure\n\n· IREN middleware cost: ~$0.20M/MW\n· Nebius/CoreWeave internal stack amortization: ~$0.38–0.40M/MW\n· IREN power + owned DC advantage: ~$0.60M/MW (but not monetized via pricing)\n\n_\n\n$IREN vs $NBIS MSFT deal comparison:\n\nAdded it for fun, for the $MSFT deal alone:\n\n$IREN: 9.3% gross margin\n$NBIS: 40.2% gross margin. \n\n - IREN's MSFT margin (9.3%) is a GPU cost problem (GB300) + contract pricing\n\nHowever, $IREN is likely 15-20% levered IRR, which is the better financial modeling to use (which is still profitable), after financing, like the 20% pre-payment from $MSFT. \n\nLevered IRR is much modelling structure to use lol. \n\nDifferentiators \n\n$IREN  (Bare Metal)\n_\n\n- Cost Advantage via Owned Infrastructure + Low Cost Power\n- Hyperscaler contracts with secured financing and customer prepayments increases levered IRR \n\n$NBIS (Full Stack)\n_\n\n· Revenue premium over bare metal pricing\n· Highest Normalized Margin\n\n$CRWV\n_\n\n· Revenue premium over bare metal pricing\n· Debt load not included here (would further pressure margins)\n\nNotes:\n\n-With Coreweave that typically use different hardware mixes, the normalization math changes. \n\n- Depreciation is normalized to 4 years which may hurt or benefit some in live accounting (eg. $CRWV 6 year schedules $IREN 3 year leases).  \n\n- Debt not included in margin calculation, in that event $CRWV would look a lot worse -$1.3B/year. \n\n- Utilization is normalized to 85%, which hurts $NBIS in normalization calculations given their whitepaper (eg. 100% benchmark performance vs. GPU cloud providers deliver 95–97%.), in live environments it would likely be the highest compared to $CRWV. \n\nTakeaway for HPC segment only:\n\n- $NBIS (38.1%) > $IREN (35.8%) > $CRWV (30.6%) for margins. Nebius is the favorite due to premium pricing from full-stack. \n\n- However, if $IREN can build the software layer right on top of owning the DC costs + doing full-stack iaas, they become the structural leader with a whopping 48.6% Gross Margin over the others, so this is purely execution. \n\n- Utilization is one of the biggest factors in determining gross margins. $NBIS is sold out + diversified (Cursor, Shopify, etc. keep capacity full) and customer base is a moat. \n\n- Debates over \"full-stack vs. bare metal\" converge to slight edge over full-stack . \n\n- Full stack is a moat. Owning the infrastructure is also a moat. Both are converging with $NBIS building out greenfield facilities and $IREN climbing up the full-stack layers (eg. GPU deals instead of doing colo like $CIFR).\n\n_\n\nTLDR: \n\nMargins: $NBIS (38.1%) | $IREN (35.8%) | $CRWV (30.6%)\n\n$NBIS has the highest normalized gross margins and revenue capacity in the market.  \n\n(38.1% $NBIS vs. 35.8% $IREN)\n\n$IREN has the highest margin potential at 48% from owning all parts of the layers if they successfully build $NBIS's software layer on top of their established, low-cost infrastructure moat\n\n(48% $IREN vs. 38.1% $NBIS).\n\n$CRWV....  $1.3B debt interest not included in calculations, stay away medium long term. Margins aren't a problem but unsustainable capital structure is. \n\nAmong all the neocloud players, $NBIS and $IREN are the two clear leaders in the full-stack space. \n\n$NBIS maintains highest asymmetrical upside while $IREN has the highest upside potential.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.051128924692943056, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.051128924692943056, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05571536955526579, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05571536955526579, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.013366192732016335, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013366192732016335, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.015218492406095407, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015218492406095407, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "ret_p1w": 0.11912795997943837, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11912795997943837, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11418870472518039, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11418870472518039, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "ret_p1m": -0.04100695734271331, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04100695734271331, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05389906413508039, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05389906413508039, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "ret_p3m": 0.26693486045316184, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.26693486045316184, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.250666601838633, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.250666601838633, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "ret_p6m": 0.3741240947890423, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3741240947890423, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2644707152083723, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2644707152083723, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "price_path": [0.1664, 0.1352, 0.1561, 0.214, 0.3005, 0.5201, 0.4624, 0.4529, 0.5633, 0.541, 0.5684, 0.5753, 0.6203, 0.7289, 0.6985, 0.7311, 0.6437, 0.5616, 0.5899, 0.7759, 0.7785, 0.7908, 0.7492, 0.737, 0.6718, 0.8165, 0.8567, 0.7964, 0.8378, 0.7397, 0.8069, 0.8393, 0.7761, 0.6488, 0.6229, 0.5771, 0.6006, 0.7201, 0.7656, 0.7493, 0.8159, 0.7008, 0.7351, 0.6392, 0.5021, 0.4848, 0.3876, 0.3497, 0.3705, 0.147, 0.1086, 0.0166, 0.0039, -0.0224, -0.028, -0.0278, -0.1019, -0.0702, -0.0449, -0.0749, -0.0359, -0.0359, -0.0511, 0.0, -0.0134, 0.0298, 0.1128, 0.1459, 0.1191, 0.1765, 0.144, 0.1339, 0.0199, -0.0611, -0.0981, -0.1623, -0.1217, 0.0771, 0.1008, 0.0415, 0.0235, 0.0235, -0.0083, -0.0278, -0.041, -0.0707, -0.0707, 0.0293, -0.0026, 0.0114, 0.0016, 0.0004, 0.04, 0.167, 0.1352, 0.1653, 0.2329, 0.3137, 0.3137, 0.2357, 0.2205, 0.1911, 0.2066, 0.2758, 0.4127, 0.3758, 0.2916, 0.2093, 0.1542, 0.1687, 0.0701, -0.0313, 0.1673, 0.256, 0.2342, 0.2348, 0.2419, 0.2463, 0.2463, 0.1809, 0.2386, 0.2606, 0.1582, 0.1788, 0.2886, 0.2719, 0.2669, 0.0324, 0.0128, -0.0426, 0.0317, -0.0291, -0.0528, -0.0344, -0.0278, 0.0636, 0.0363, 0.0526, 0.1142, 0.0657, 0.0747, 0.0467, 0.0572, 0.0636, 0.0773, 0.1365, 0.044, -0.0292, -0.1026, 0.0053, 0.0179, 0.0672, 0.0672, 0.0504, 0.1062, 0.1536, 0.1939, 0.3236, 0.431, 0.5209, 0.5402, 0.5515, 0.5164, 0.5239, 0.4944, 0.5902, 0.5237, 0.4293, 0.4542, 0.3695, 0.4818, 0.4482, 0.5444, 0.6277, 0.6596, 0.7906, 0.6719, 0.4813, 0.4885, 0.3983, 0.4445, 0.4822, 0.3924, 0.3466, 0.2952, 0.3143, 0.3961, 0.3689, 0.3689, 0.3741]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1991181696180662420", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-19T16:28:05+00:00", "symbol": "LTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it's actually a pretty great buy in my view", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish LTC on real payment usage, upcoming ETF, 7B MC with finite supply, treasury buying, and altcoin pump environment.", "resolved_tickers": ["LTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Oh here’s where my thoughts about $LTC comes in. I run a fintech company and I see Litecoin surprising amount of usage as a payment vehicle across the industry, even when you compare it to USDC, $SOL, $BTC and others.\n\nAnd now when you get a ETF, it’s sitting at 7B MC with finite supply like Bitcoin, + treasury companies that can buy up a lot of supply over time + market randomly pumping altcoins like ZCash, it’s actually a pretty great buy in my view.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit since you mentioned Litecoin, i have strong hesitations on your sanity", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "AISavvyCapital", "ret_m1d": 0.029962268676922754, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.029962268676922754, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.033810601938155216, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0038483332612324617, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.06033035650473062, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06033035650473062, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.045088111044931045, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015242245459799575, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.06462062070614172, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06462062070614172, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09035145710793024, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.025730836401788526, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.20012092424900862, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.20012092424900862, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.22100732389299405, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02088639964398542, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.4073324291397866, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4073324291397866, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4392272870021261, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031894857862339476, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.373771431810471, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.373771431810471, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5092920860206409, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1355206542101699, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3222, 0.1784, 0.2221, 0.2075, 0.2249, 0.1835, 0.1687, 0.2025, 0.2162, 0.1962, 0.2071, 0.2136, 0.2053, 0.2659, 0.2476, 0.2722, 0.2251, 0.2386, 0.2601, 0.2734, 0.2289, 0.1394, 0.1431, 0.1372, 0.1001, 0.1268, 0.1504, 0.151, 0.2396, 0.2882, 0.2977, 0.2742, 0.2606, 0.2774, 0.356, 0.0404, 0.0721, 0.0484, 0.0272, -0.0117, -0.0297, 0.0134, -0.002, -0.0102, 0.0126, 0.0381, 0.0701, 0.0415, 0.0612, 0.0055, 0.0282, -0.0589, -0.0796, -0.0357, -0.0632, 0.096, 0.122, 0.0732, 0.0503, 0.0422, 0.05, -0.0176, 0.03, 0.0, -0.0603, -0.1106, -0.0796, -0.0817, -0.0646, -0.0672, -0.0922, -0.1646, -0.1083, -0.0741, -0.1002, -0.1333, -0.0966, -0.0729, -0.0901, -0.1068, -0.1179, -0.1645, -0.1487, -0.1825, -0.2001, -0.1655, -0.171, -0.1717, -0.1844, -0.1851, -0.1727, -0.1572, -0.1519, -0.1733, -0.1403, -0.119, -0.1001, -0.0961, -0.1211, -0.1252, -0.1239, -0.1811, -0.1588, -0.1737, -0.2234, -0.1896, -0.2385, -0.2779, -0.2633, -0.2665, -0.2674, -0.2491, -0.2467, -0.2529, -0.2882, -0.2964, -0.354, -0.3618, -0.3669, -0.4542, -0.4071, -0.4143, -0.4258, -0.4375, -0.4283, -0.4069, -0.4073, -0.4197, -0.4262, -0.433, -0.4055, -0.4481, -0.4491, -0.3897, -0.4011, -0.4129, -0.4127, -0.4102, -0.3885, -0.4027, -0.4206, -0.4216, -0.4202, -0.4106, -0.4124, -0.4045, -0.3677, -0.3745, -0.3964, -0.4023, -0.3951, -0.4006, -0.3929, -0.3903, -0.4124, -0.422, -0.4272, -0.4194, -0.4206, -0.4373, -0.4271, -0.4235, -0.4034, -0.4189, -0.4131, -0.4081, -0.4116, -0.4152, -0.4064, -0.393, -0.3919, -0.4074, -0.4019, -0.4017, -0.3945, -0.3914, -0.4019, -0.4001, -0.4045, -0.406, -0.4035, -0.4083, -0.393, -0.3897, -0.3924, -0.373, -0.3698, -0.3754, -0.3866, -0.3738]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1976370622633755115", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-09T19:34:10+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS is the next Microsoft in the making. Scaling from $100M quarterly revenue to $2B-3B+ in 1-2 years off 55-75% gross margin. Completely undervalued.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long NBIS: projects revenue scaling to $2-3B+ in 1-2 years, 55-75% gross margins, stakes in next-gen AI infra companies; calls it completely undervalued.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NBIS is the next Microsoft in the making.\n\n- Scaling from $100M quarterly revenue to $2B-3B+ in 1-2 years off 55-75% gross margin\n\n- Large ownership of next generational companies like Clickhouse (powers Anthropic)\n\n- Infrastructure of Mag7 AI Compute. \n\nCompletely undervalued. https://t.co/dOUiOyKkyd", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "People often ask what happens when I get everything right:\n\n1 Year Return: 630.44% 📈\n\nJust genuinely want to help! \n\nI share my analysis and positions openly from $NBIS to $HOOD to $UPWK before any rally. \n\nFeel free to look through my history on X or Reddit. https://t.co/2JGib55O0r", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08021712483872956, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08021712483872956, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08312255025975701, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08596031257485381, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002905425421027452, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005743187736124256, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.023069945511719925, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.023069945511719925, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0039578823873697155, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004622389525244297, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.02702782789908964, "bench_c_p1d": -0.018447555986475628, "ret_p1w": -0.07237634588582709, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07237634588582709, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.056701974494572926, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06585013892941727, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01567437139125416, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006526206956409819, "ret_p1m": -0.16103739979373488, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16103739979373488, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1607542470266894, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13658567193644466, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0002831527670454914, "bench_c_p1m": -0.024451727857290217, "ret_p3m": -0.24427021769428237, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.24427021769428237, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.27808365166513327, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.26854668662036607, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.033813433970850904, "bench_c_p3m": 0.024276468926083705, "ret_p6m": -0.17958383447250825, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.17958383447250825, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.16230675988690502, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.15782279558193002, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.017277074585603236, "bench_c_p6m": -0.021761038890578233, "price_path": [-0.6083, -0.5964, -0.5981, -0.5952, -0.602, -0.6052, -0.6154, -0.6089, -0.6068, -0.6127, -0.6023, -0.62, -0.6133, -0.5896, -0.608, -0.5916, -0.5841, -0.5847, -0.5076, -0.4815, -0.4704, -0.4321, -0.4675, -0.4839, -0.46, -0.4531, -0.4934, -0.4913, -0.5011, -0.4799, -0.4721, -0.4686, -0.4715, -0.4569, -0.4849, -0.4849, -0.5045, -0.5051, -0.5106, -0.5064, -0.517, -0.2783, -0.2959, -0.3276, -0.3184, -0.3142, -0.3258, -0.2907, -0.2904, -0.2513, -0.1963, -0.1873, -0.1463, -0.1862, -0.188, -0.169, -0.1536, -0.1284, -0.051, -0.0351, -0.0581, -0.1126, -0.0802, 0.0, -0.0231, 0.0213, -0.0339, -0.0513, -0.0724, -0.1448, -0.1782, -0.2138, -0.2565, -0.1996, -0.116, -0.0544, -0.0815, -0.0568, -0.0638, -0.0137, -0.0918, -0.1666, -0.1179, -0.1749, -0.161, -0.1711, -0.2293, -0.2886, -0.3318, -0.3702, -0.3518, -0.3174, -0.2832, -0.3619, -0.3723, -0.3071, -0.3299, -0.2861, -0.2861, -0.2848, -0.2449, -0.2728, -0.2542, -0.225, -0.2609, -0.2436, -0.2731, -0.2944, -0.2892, -0.3389, -0.3883, -0.3897, -0.4312, -0.4113, -0.3255, -0.2971, -0.3212, -0.313, -0.313, -0.3396, -0.3513, -0.3579, -0.3689, -0.3689, -0.3218, -0.3001, -0.2443, -0.2747, -0.2664, -0.2617, -0.1908, -0.2051, -0.2312, -0.2168, -0.1803, -0.1803, -0.2514, -0.2546, -0.2698, -0.2875, -0.3105, -0.2621, -0.2428, -0.2845, -0.3577, -0.3353, -0.3218, -0.3788, -0.4431, -0.3509, -0.2998, -0.308, -0.332, -0.3235, -0.2611, -0.2611, -0.2648, -0.2325, -0.1887, -0.2618, -0.2415, -0.2266, -0.1999, -0.2093, -0.3125, -0.3139, -0.3456, -0.2628, -0.2789, -0.3265, -0.2842, -0.273, -0.1556, -0.1855, -0.1484, -0.021, -0.123, -0.1062, -0.0838, -0.1132, -0.1394, -0.1337, -0.1323, -0.2011, -0.2399, -0.3044, -0.2177, -0.2314, -0.1796, -0.1796]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1953193874941460776", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-06T20:38:03+00:00", "symbol": "UPWK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$UPWK is will do some repricing after earnings today + short interest/analyst upgrades. All they needed to do was expand operating margins on their 78% gross margins and they did.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bullish UPWK post-earnings: expects repricing higher on margin expansion, short squeeze, and analyst upgrades at 1.5B mkt cap on $770M revenue.", "resolved_tickers": ["UPWK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$UPWK is will do some repricing after earnings today + short interest/analyst upgrades.\n\nAll they needed to do was expand operating margins on their 78% gross margins and they did.\n\n1.5B company doing 770m FY revenue, growing operating margins, and a strong cash position.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "So for the long term play on Upwork:\n\n$UPWK is trading at a 7.5 P/E with ~$770M in annual revenue, 78% gross margins, and $622M in cash — yet its market cap is only $1.74B.\n\nWho cares about revenue growth when they can just scale operating margins?", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.005857715141547204, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005857715141547204, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0017438369190068137, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0017438369190068137, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007601552060554018, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007601552060554018, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.13640168539393094, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.13640168539393094, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.13723930938995677, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.13723930938995677, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0008376239960258269, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0008376239960258269, "ret_p1w": 0.17907952949618933, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.17907952949618933, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15994180070718578, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15994180070718578, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01913772878900355, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01913772878900355, "ret_p1m": 0.4041841802905761, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4041841802905761, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3783617042444727, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3783617042444727, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.025822476046103437, "bench_c_p1m": 0.025822476046103437, "ret_p3m": 0.3079498212479119, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3079498212479119, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2250545195782767, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2250545195782767, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08289530166963521, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08289530166963521, "ret_p6m": 0.7589958822816327, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.7589958822816327, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.6558943000175887, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.6558943000175887, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10310158226404398, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10310158226404398, "price_path": [0.4126, 0.4561, 0.4644, 0.4552, 0.4301, 0.4427, 0.3849, 0.3774, 0.3573, 0.3573, 0.318, 0.318, 0.3238, 0.3054, 0.3063, 0.2962, 0.313, 0.2636, 0.2762, 0.2628, 0.2887, 0.2954, 0.2854, 0.2192, 0.2109, 0.1573, 0.149, 0.1347, 0.1197, 0.1197, 0.0996, 0.0937, 0.1155, 0.1197, 0.1356, 0.1406, 0.1247, 0.1314, 0.1264, 0.1414, 0.1414, 0.1255, 0.1297, 0.1464, 0.1222, 0.0812, 0.0845, 0.082, 0.1146, 0.1213, 0.1071, 0.1197, 0.1448, 0.1531, 0.1071, 0.0971, 0.0762, 0.0586, 0.01, 0.0008, -0.0167, 0.0075, -0.0059, 0.0, 0.1364, 0.1021, 0.1222, 0.1439, 0.1791, 0.1464, 0.1548, 0.1707, 0.1598, 0.1891, 0.2377, 0.2485, 0.2477, 0.2628, 0.2385, 0.2477, 0.2879, 0.2879, 0.3356, 0.3766, 0.4042, 0.3548, 0.3356, 0.3389, 0.3314, 0.3699, 0.4109, 0.405, 0.431, 0.518, 0.6402, 0.6795, 0.6176, 0.6452, 0.6669, 0.6151, 0.6025, 0.5908, 0.554, 0.482, 0.5197, 0.4452, 0.4561, 0.4301, 0.4946, 0.4586, 0.4059, 0.431, 0.4176, 0.4067, 0.4008, 0.3556, 0.395, 0.3941, 0.3397, 0.349, 0.3389, 0.349, 0.4536, 0.4126, 0.3649, 0.3339, 0.3079, 0.4812, 0.3707, 0.3515, 0.4603, 0.4728, 0.5021, 0.4259, 0.4268, 0.3791, 0.3548, 0.4293, 0.5197, 0.436, 0.4954, 0.5523, 0.6477, 0.6385, 0.6385, 0.6519, 0.6636, 0.718, 0.651, 0.6385, 0.6803, 0.6636, 0.7556, 0.7138, 0.8343, 0.8368, 0.7891, 0.7941, 0.6895, 0.713, 0.7238, 0.7816, 0.7423, 0.7548, 0.7548, 0.7448, 0.6987, 0.636, 0.6586, 0.6586, 0.6603, 0.7255, 0.6962, 0.7456, 0.7088, 0.6778, 0.7071, 0.6946, 0.682, 0.6862, 0.6628, 0.6628, 0.631, 0.6477, 0.7682, 0.8502, 0.8301, 0.7824, 0.7163, 0.759]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1993692988451827923", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-26T14:47:04+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS is a fascinating sum-of-parts disconnect example where a hidden asset yet high growth self-driving robotaxi subsidiary Avride, is severely undervalued within the parent company's MC", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS: robotaxi subsidiary Avride severely undervalued within parent's market cap, a sum-of-parts disconnect.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yeah $NBIS is a fascinating sum-of-parts disconnect example where a hidden asset yet high growth self-driving robotaxi subsidiary Avride, is severely undervalued within the parent company's MC.\n\nIt's very little known to the public. But everyone is dying to get exposure to robotaxi players looking at Waymo or $TSLA.\n\nThis is just one of the side quests Nebius is doing, I was going to do a series on the others, but I personally liked Avride the most given how I'm a fan of self-driving cars.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Wild part of the Nebius story is that the “side quest” might be the main prize.\n\nIf Avride really executes on Level 4 robotaxis with Uber, NBIS stops being just an AI infra play and starts getting valued like a mobility platform.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "burak_finance", "ret_m1d": -0.06135816916451642, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06135816916451642, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05450201704657076, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05996039154774202, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0068561521179456575, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0013977776167743983, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.04467204159337279, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04467204159337279, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03847796056855057, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.038818428543512695, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006194081024822218, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005853613049860096, "ret_p1m": -0.03759642091245263, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03759642091245263, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0563405015805456, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07265061196442191, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018744080668092966, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035054191051969275, "ret_p3m": 0.06251978050806972, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06251978050806972, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05556591171807934, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05139391075443167, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006953868789990381, "bench_c_p3m": 0.011125869753638051, "ret_p6m": 1.3226316084622867, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.3226316084622867, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.2236600628888836, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.3017723468774232, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09897154557340304, "bench_c_p6m": 0.02085926158486351, "price_path": [-0.2785, -0.2785, -0.3059, -0.3067, -0.3145, -0.3086, -0.3235, 0.0109, -0.0137, -0.0581, -0.0452, -0.0394, -0.0555, -0.0064, -0.006, 0.0488, 0.1258, 0.1385, 0.1958, 0.1399, 0.1374, 0.164, 0.1857, 0.2209, 0.3293, 0.3516, 0.3195, 0.243, 0.2884, 0.4008, 0.3685, 0.4306, 0.3534, 0.3289, 0.2994, 0.198, 0.1511, 0.1013, 0.0415, 0.1211, 0.2384, 0.3246, 0.2866, 0.3212, 0.3114, 0.3816, 0.2723, 0.1674, 0.2356, 0.1558, 0.1752, 0.1612, 0.0795, -0.0035, -0.064, -0.1178, -0.092, -0.0438, 0.004, -0.1061, -0.1207, -0.0295, -0.0614, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0019, 0.0577, 0.0186, 0.0447, 0.0856, 0.0354, 0.0596, 0.0182, -0.0116, -0.0043, -0.0739, -0.1431, -0.1451, -0.2032, -0.1753, -0.0552, -0.0154, -0.0492, -0.0376, -0.0376, -0.075, -0.0914, -0.1005, -0.116, -0.116, -0.0501, -0.0196, 0.0586, 0.0161, 0.0276, 0.0342, 0.1335, 0.1134, 0.077, 0.0971, 0.1483, 0.1483, 0.0486, 0.0441, 0.0228, -0.002, -0.0341, 0.0336, 0.0606, 0.0023, -0.1003, -0.069, -0.0501, -0.1299, -0.2199, -0.0907, -0.0191, -0.0306, -0.0642, -0.0524, 0.0351, 0.0351, 0.0299, 0.0751, 0.1364, 0.0341, 0.0625, 0.0833, 0.1207, 0.1076, -0.037, -0.0389, -0.0833, 0.0326, 0.0101, -0.0566, 0.0026, 0.0184, 0.1828, 0.141, 0.1928, 0.3713, 0.2285, 0.2521, 0.2833, 0.2422, 0.2055, 0.2135, 0.2154, 0.1191, 0.0647, -0.0257, 0.0958, 0.0767, 0.1492, 0.1492, 0.1885, 0.2398, 0.3201, 0.4398, 0.531, 0.6323, 0.7102, 0.7612, 0.7461, 0.6595, 0.6809, 0.6533, 0.649, 0.6589, 0.5541, 0.5309, 0.4311, 0.4911, 0.4598, 0.6315, 0.8631, 0.8579, 1.0603, 0.9513, 0.8698, 0.9654, 0.8915, 1.1889, 1.3355, 1.3227, 1.1107, 1.0882, 1.0258, 1.3226]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1988221135759290725", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-11T12:23:52+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Stock should be up way above these levels when markets price this in.", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish NBIS after blowout ARR guidance and surprise $3B META hyperscaler deal; stock should trade much higher as market prices in forward growth.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Wow, $NBIS just blew away ARR expectations on growth and just signed a surprisising $3B hyperscaler deal with $META from their ER.\n\nThey now expect $7-9B ARR 2026, which is ~2.1B+ revenue/quarter. \n\nThis is exactly how Nebius grows grow to a $100B MC and $NBIS is a generational company in the making. \n\nIn terms of general earnings: \n\nEPS: -.52 vs -.4 (Beat by 23%)\nRevenue 155.73m vs. 141.1M (Miss by 6%)\n\nMarkets are forward looking and any short term ER will be overshadowed by its immense forward growth projection.\n\nWill do a deeper rundown when there's more time to process information but so far, this is incredibly huge with a surprise hyperscaler deal.\n\nStock should be up way above these levels when markets price this in.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Why I think $NBIS can easily hit ~$400/share or $100B+ market cap in 1 year:\n\nRight now, Nebius trades at a $24B valuation (316%+ increase to $100B).\n\nIf we pretend that there's 0 growth in 2026-2027:\n\nCore Business: $31B–$36.5B\nSum of Parts: $7.1B (40% 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{"unit_id": "quote:1967998198498333134", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-16T17:05:08+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Good time to buy the 8% dip on $HIMS since strongly worded letters about changing up ad wording is immaterial to earnings. PT $60+ still holds from 42% SI and growing revenue.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Buy the HIMS dip; FDA letter immaterial to earnings, PT $60+ supported by 42% short interest and revenue growth.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Good time to buy the 8% dip on $HIMS since strongly worded letters about changing up ad wording is immaterial to earnings. \n\nShort interest availability also decreased.\n\nMain short term risk is sell the news from rate cut, but PT $60+ still holds from 42% SI and growing revenue. https://t.co/pxf4DaepzM", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "🚨 VERY IMPORTANT: $HIMS IS NOT THE ONLY COMPANY THAT RECEIVED WARNING LETTERS FROM THE FDA\n\n$LLY AND $NVO ALSO RECEIVED LETTERS FOR FALSE &amp; MISLEADING CLAIMS AND MISBRANDED PRODUCTS\n\n$LLY received three letters -- about Zepbound and Mounjaro.\n\nAnd $NVO received one letter --", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.06032618847797999, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06032618847797999, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05894749752093542, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05894749752093542, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0013786909570445705, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0013786909570445705, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010611140145487696, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010611140145487696, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009368704852939058, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009368704852939058, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012424352925486382, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012424352925486382, "ret_p1w": 0.10041266794337966, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10041266794337966, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09276304551426096, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09276304551426096, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007649622429118708, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007649622429118708, "ret_p1m": 0.23324816416286387, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.23324816416286387, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.22262078190370582, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.22262078190370582, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010627382259158047, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010627382259158047, "ret_p3m": -0.2688151005943702, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2688151005943702, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3046486616422237, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3046486616422237, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03583356104785351, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03583356104785351, "ret_p6m": -0.4914521620915785, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4914521620915785, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.522072008787635, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.522072008787635, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030619846696056552, "bench_c_p6m": 0.030619846696056552, "price_path": [0.2, 0.2619, -0.1751, -0.156, -0.1863, -0.0906, -0.0291, -0.0204, -0.0576, -0.0674, -0.0572, -0.0572, -0.0485, -0.0379, 0.0069, -0.0122, -0.059, 0.0224, -0.0084, 0.0189, -0.0177, -0.01, -0.0646, -0.0173, 0.1401, 0.1264, 0.1328, 0.1531, 0.1843, 0.2877, 0.3005, 0.2291, 0.2448, 0.091, 0.0047, 0.0031, 0.0206, -0.0179, -0.0576, -0.0503, -0.0739, -0.0957, -0.1138, -0.1712, -0.1476, -0.1362, -0.1242, -0.1552, -0.1089, -0.1352, -0.133, -0.1678, -0.1678, -0.1839, -0.1264, -0.0546, -0.0487, -0.0246, -0.0609, -0.0611, 0.0171, 0.0906, 0.0603, 0.0, -0.0106, 0.1043, 0.1362, 0.1338, 0.1004, 0.0464, 0.0782, 0.1476, 0.1617, 0.1146, 0.1065, 0.1372, 0.0324, 0.076, 0.1391, 0.1431, 0.1446, 0.0601, 0.0755, 0.0615, 0.2332, 0.1623, -0.0218, 0.0092, -0.0301, -0.0674, -0.0472, -0.0415, -0.0523, -0.0741, -0.0837, -0.1342, -0.1067, -0.1277, -0.1592, -0.1407, -0.1841, -0.1938, -0.1934, -0.2189, -0.2332, -0.2916, -0.2733, -0.3008, -0.2875, -0.2959, -0.3394, -0.3179, -0.2576, -0.2712, -0.2454, -0.2454, -0.2187, -0.2629, -0.2865, -0.2716, -0.2136, -0.2297, -0.2313, -0.2175, -0.2556, -0.2578, -0.2688, -0.2877, -0.2757, -0.3128, -0.3168, -0.3012, -0.3113, -0.3162, -0.3187, -0.3187, -0.3258, -0.3299, -0.3508, -0.362, -0.362, -0.3435, -0.3179, -0.3032, -0.3032, -0.3344, -0.3773, -0.3645, -0.3673, -0.3846, -0.3863, -0.3834, -0.3834, -0.4013, -0.4323, -0.4003, -0.418, -0.405, -0.4168, -0.4366, -0.413, -0.4677, -0.4804, -0.4981, -0.5205, -0.5386, -0.5477, -0.6202, -0.6612, -0.672, -0.6895, -0.6797, -0.6797, -0.6803, -0.6887, -0.6891, -0.6929, -0.6952, -0.6962, -0.6891, -0.6935, -0.7147, -0.6762, -0.6891, -0.6768, -0.688, -0.6907, -0.5646, -0.5388, -0.4915]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1994555219607523362", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-28T23:53:16+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NVDA seems to be a strong mid term dip-buy now on fears, given the exceptional blowout earnings and backlog for the next 2 years", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Strong mid-term dip-buy on NVDA on blowout earnings and 2-year backlog; incidental Buffett $4B+ GOOGL stake flagged as bullish signal.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Nvidia ( $NVDA ) reported a blowout Q3 FY2026 revenue of $57.01 billion (+62.5% YoY). \n\nAnd guided $65B+ Q4 ($3B+ beat), and $500B+ USD in Blackwell/Rubin rev through CY 2026.\n\nDespite that, the stock dropped 12%. \n\nIs $NVDA a strong buy now? Here's the answer:\n\n$GOOGL TPU's program emerged as the first competitive alternative to $NVDA GPUs, with Anthropic committing to over 1 million TPU chips and Meta reportedly in advanced negotiations for billions in TPU purchases. Warren Buffet also recently invested $4B+ into $GOOGL, which is extraordinarily rare given Berkshire's conservative stance to tech investments.  \n\nDespite a record earnings beat, Nvidia's stock has declined in six of the last ten trading sessions and sits roughly 12-15% below its October 29 all-time high of $207.04, when it briefly touched a $5.03 trillion market cap. \n\nAnalyst reaction was overwhelmingly bullish, with price targets raised across the board:\n\n- Evercore ISI raised to $352 from $261\n- Bank of America raised to $275 from $235\n- Citigroup raised to $270 from $220\n- Goldman Sachs raised to $250 from $240\n- Morgan Stanley raised to $235 from $220\n\nBut here's the trillion dollar question: will the emerging custom silicon threat from hyperscalers reduce NVIDIA dominance in AI?\n\nUnlike $AMD, which primarily captures overflow demand when NVIDIA GPUs are unavailable, Google's TPU program represents a fundamentally different competitive dynamic.\n\nTPU v7 Ironwood is the first non-NVIDIA accelerator that achieves performance parity with Blackwell, delivering 4.6 petaflops of FP8 performance (versus B200's 4.5 petaflops) with 192GB HBM3e memory.\n\nIronwood's architectural differentiation is substantial. While NVIDIA's largest cluster configuration is 72 GPUs (NVL72), TPU Ironwood scleaes to 9,216 chip pods.\n\nThe customer wins are significant and growing:\n\n- Anthropic committed to over 1 million TPU chips worth \"tens of billions of dollars,\" with 1 gw of compute capacity coming online.\n\n- Meta is in advanced negotiations to rent TPU capacity from Google Cloud in 2026, with direct hardware purchases for its own data centers planned for 2027.\n\n- Apple revealed that Apple Intelligence foundation models were trained entirely on TPUs using 8,192 TPUv4 chips for server models\n\n- Midjourney switched from GPUs to TPUs and reduced inference costs by 65% (from $2M to $700K monthly)\n\nThe positioning is nuanced. TPUs excel at hyperscale inference with up to 4x better cost-performance for production serving at scale (for now). For training, NVIDIA is the clear advantage. \n\nFor highly optimized inference tasks, TPU architecture might remain more efficient than $NVDA's general-purpose GPU. \n\nHowever, I'm expecting next-gen Nvidia GPUs to leapfrog TPUs for inference in many scenarios. (similar to how LLMs leapfrog each other GPT 5 -> Gemini 3 -> Opus 4.5)\n\nWe're seeing:\n\nGoogle TPU, AWS Trainium, Meta MTIA, Microsoft Maia, and custom hyperscaler chips scale up to reliance on $NVDA. But will the cumulative effect on hyperscalers collectively reducing Nvidia's dominance?\n\nThe answer: No. Not yet. \n\nDominance is secured at least for the next two years. What happens after is only speculation.\n\nJust looking at the numbers: Q3 results confirm the company remains the essential infrastructure provider for AI, with a $500 billion order backlog providing exceptional visibility through 2026.\n\nBut the market appears to be pricing in this nuanced reality 3 years+ from now: long-term competitive uncertainty with custom hyperscaler chips.\n\nNvidia is completely sold out of capacity, and are likely to leapfrog TPU performance in their next generation chips (higher performance for inference while being general purpose). But the custom silicon threat and valuation concerns at 44x earnings remains a headwind.\n\nRegardless, $NVDA seems to be a strong mid term dip-buy now on fears, given the exceptional blowout earnings and backlog for the next 2 years.  \n\nThis is the only thing you need to remember:\n\nNVIDIA is a strong buy as long as it remains the industry’s first choice for AI workloads, with TPUs and AMD GPUs filling gaps when demand exceeds NVIDIA’s supply. \n\nNvidia is maxed out on backlog, and AI demand is not slowing down.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "It’s hard for anyone in the AI space not to be bullish. \n\nCapex is ramping up. Exponentially. \n\nAnd flowing directly down to: \n\nNeoclouds: $CIFR, $NBIS, $WULF, $IREN, \n\nConnectivity: $ALAB, $CRDO, $CLS.\n\nEnergy: $VST, $FLNC, $TE, $EOSe\n\nSemi/foundries: $NVDA, $AMD, $GOOGL, $TSM https://t.co/SHXJPhm4bv", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.018418088117201803, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.018418088117201803, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.023846862002032898, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.023846862002032898, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005428773884831095, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005428773884831095, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.016497252512760685, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.016497252512760685, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02106275793619028, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02106275793619028, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004565505423429594, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004565505423429594, "ret_p1w": 0.03062240798413729, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03062240798413729, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.027256819674001287, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.027256819674001287, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003365588310136003, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003365588310136003, "ret_p1m": 0.06344904789354722, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06344904789354722, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05394860377421451, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05394860377421451, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.009500444119332707, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009500444119332707, "ret_p3m": 0.10492026708745317, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10492026708745317, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08764133490679726, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08764133490679726, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017278932180655904, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017278932180655904, "ret_p6m": 0.2166873099662563, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2166873099662563, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1193846219597059, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1193846219597059, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0973026880065504, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0973026880065504, "price_path": [-0.0352, -0.0361, -0.0302, -0.0564, -0.0491, -0.0353, 0.0018, 0.001, 0.0046, 0.0042, -0.012, -0.0379, -0.0043, -0.0019, 0.0373, 0.0081, -0.0002, 0.0039, 0.0067, 0.0274, 0.0541, 0.0579, 0.0672, 0.06, 0.0482, 0.0454, 0.0684, 0.088, 0.0348, 0.064, 0.0171, 0.016, 0.0272, 0.0351, 0.0319, 0.0235, 0.0185, 0.0292, 0.0523, 0.0819, 0.1358, 0.1697, 0.1463, 0.144, 0.1688, 0.1225, 0.1029, 0.0626, 0.063, 0.1246, 0.0913, 0.0949, 0.0557, 0.0744, 0.0542, 0.0246, 0.0538, 0.0206, 0.0106, 0.0314, 0.0046, 0.0184, 0.0184, 0.0, 0.0165, 0.0252, 0.0146, 0.0361, 0.0306, 0.0484, 0.0451, 0.0384, 0.0223, -0.0111, -0.004, 0.0041, -0.0342, -0.0161, 0.0226, 0.0379, 0.069, 0.0657, 0.0657, 0.0765, 0.0634, 0.0596, 0.0537, 0.0537, 0.067, 0.0629, 0.0579, 0.0685, 0.0455, 0.0445, 0.0449, 0.0498, 0.0347, 0.0568, 0.0522, 0.0522, 0.0061, 0.0358, 0.0444, 0.0603, 0.0536, 0.0651, 0.0821, 0.0877, 0.0799, 0.0487, 0.0189, -0.0158, -0.0289, 0.0476, 0.0737, 0.0653, 0.0738, 0.0562, 0.0329, 0.0329, 0.0451, 0.0621, 0.0616, 0.0725, 0.0823, 0.0896, 0.1049, 0.0446, 0.0011, 0.031, 0.0173, 0.0342, 0.0359, 0.0047, 0.032, 0.044, 0.0511, 0.0348, 0.0185, 0.0353, 0.028, 0.0193, 0.0089, -0.0242, -0.0076, -0.0101, 0.0096, -0.0324, -0.0535, -0.0667, -0.0146, -0.007, 0.0023, 0.0023, 0.0037, 0.0063, 0.0288, 0.0392, 0.0658, 0.0697, 0.1103, 0.1237, 0.1207, 0.1396, 0.1417, 0.1294, 0.1442, 0.128, 0.1768, 0.2239, 0.2045, 0.1823, 0.1276, 0.1213, 0.1215, 0.1103, 0.1743, 0.195, 0.216, 0.2399, 0.2475, 0.276, 0.332, 0.2731, 0.2562, 0.2465, 0.2627, 0.2403, 0.2167, 0.2167]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1994555219607523362", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-28T23:53:16+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Warren Buffet also recently invested $4B+ into $GOOGL, which is extraordinarily rare given Berkshire's conservative stance to tech investments", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Strong mid-term dip-buy on NVDA on blowout earnings and 2-year backlog; incidental Buffett $4B+ GOOGL stake flagged as bullish signal.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Nvidia ( $NVDA ) reported a blowout Q3 FY2026 revenue of $57.01 billion (+62.5% YoY). \n\nAnd guided $65B+ Q4 ($3B+ beat), and $500B+ USD in Blackwell/Rubin rev through CY 2026.\n\nDespite that, the stock dropped 12%. \n\nIs $NVDA a strong buy now? Here's the answer:\n\n$GOOGL TPU's program emerged as the first competitive alternative to $NVDA GPUs, with Anthropic committing to over 1 million TPU chips and Meta reportedly in advanced negotiations for billions in TPU purchases. Warren Buffet also recently invested $4B+ into $GOOGL, which is extraordinarily rare given Berkshire's conservative stance to tech investments.  \n\nDespite a record earnings beat, Nvidia's stock has declined in six of the last ten trading sessions and sits roughly 12-15% below its October 29 all-time high of $207.04, when it briefly touched a $5.03 trillion market cap. \n\nAnalyst reaction was overwhelmingly bullish, with price targets raised across the board:\n\n- Evercore ISI raised to $352 from $261\n- Bank of America raised to $275 from $235\n- Citigroup raised to $270 from $220\n- Goldman Sachs raised to $250 from $240\n- Morgan Stanley raised to $235 from $220\n\nBut here's the trillion dollar question: will the emerging custom silicon threat from hyperscalers reduce NVIDIA dominance in AI?\n\nUnlike $AMD, which primarily captures overflow demand when NVIDIA GPUs are unavailable, Google's TPU program represents a fundamentally different competitive dynamic.\n\nTPU v7 Ironwood is the first non-NVIDIA accelerator that achieves performance parity with Blackwell, delivering 4.6 petaflops of FP8 performance (versus B200's 4.5 petaflops) with 192GB HBM3e memory.\n\nIronwood's architectural differentiation is substantial. While NVIDIA's largest cluster configuration is 72 GPUs (NVL72), TPU Ironwood scleaes to 9,216 chip pods.\n\nThe customer wins are significant and growing:\n\n- Anthropic committed to over 1 million TPU chips worth \"tens of billions of dollars,\" with 1 gw of compute capacity coming online.\n\n- Meta is in advanced negotiations to rent TPU capacity from Google Cloud in 2026, with direct hardware purchases for its own data centers planned for 2027.\n\n- Apple revealed that Apple Intelligence foundation models were trained entirely on TPUs using 8,192 TPUv4 chips for server models\n\n- Midjourney switched from GPUs to TPUs and reduced inference costs by 65% (from $2M to $700K monthly)\n\nThe positioning is nuanced. TPUs excel at hyperscale inference with up to 4x better cost-performance for production serving at scale (for now). For training, NVIDIA is the clear advantage. \n\nFor highly optimized inference tasks, TPU architecture might remain more efficient than $NVDA's general-purpose GPU. \n\nHowever, I'm expecting next-gen Nvidia GPUs to leapfrog TPUs for inference in many scenarios. (similar to how LLMs leapfrog each other GPT 5 -> Gemini 3 -> Opus 4.5)\n\nWe're seeing:\n\nGoogle TPU, AWS Trainium, Meta MTIA, Microsoft Maia, and custom hyperscaler chips scale up to reliance on $NVDA. But will the cumulative effect on hyperscalers collectively reducing Nvidia's dominance?\n\nThe answer: No. Not yet. \n\nDominance is secured at least for the next two years. What happens after is only speculation.\n\nJust looking at the numbers: Q3 results confirm the company remains the essential infrastructure provider for AI, with a $500 billion order backlog providing exceptional visibility through 2026.\n\nBut the market appears to be pricing in this nuanced reality 3 years+ from now: long-term competitive uncertainty with custom hyperscaler chips.\n\nNvidia is completely sold out of capacity, and are likely to leapfrog TPU performance in their next generation chips (higher performance for inference while being general purpose). But the custom silicon threat and valuation concerns at 44x earnings remains a headwind.\n\nRegardless, $NVDA seems to be a strong mid term dip-buy now on fears, given the exceptional blowout earnings and backlog for the next 2 years.  \n\nThis is the only thing you need to remember:\n\nNVIDIA is a strong buy as long as it remains the industry’s first choice for AI workloads, with TPUs and AMD GPUs filling gaps when demand exceeds NVIDIA’s supply. \n\nNvidia is maxed out on backlog, and AI demand is not slowing down.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "It’s hard for anyone in the AI space not to be bullish. \n\nCapex is ramping up. Exponentially. \n\nAnd flowing directly down to: \n\nNeoclouds: $CIFR, $NBIS, $WULF, $IREN, \n\nConnectivity: $ALAB, $CRDO, $CLS.\n\nEnergy: $VST, $FLNC, $TE, $EOSe\n\nSemi/foundries: $NVDA, $AMD, $GOOGL, $TSM https://t.co/SHXJPhm4bv", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0007182108884778993, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0007182108884778993, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004710562996353196, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007341472210090183, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005428773884831095, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008059683098568082, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.016521904620830474, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.016521904620830474, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01195639919740088, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011842060722541237, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004565505423429594, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004679843898289238, "ret_p1w": 0.0034042718897315805, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0034042718897315805, "alpha_spy_p1w": 3.8683579595577555e-05, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.011675010696127863, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003365588310136003, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015079282585859444, "ret_p1m": -0.020035268210964796, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.020035268210964796, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.029535712330297503, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.045008387739130074, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.009500444119332707, "bench_c_p1m": 0.024973119528165277, "ret_p3m": -0.02209798897133497, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.02209798897133497, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.039376921151990874, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0349860423034688, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017278932180655904, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01288805333213383, "ret_p6m": 0.1977334314236019, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1977334314236019, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1004307434170515, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.190684086742821, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0973026880065504, "bench_c_p6m": 0.007049344680780889, "price_path": [-0.3405, -0.2802, -0.2751, -0.2667, -0.269, -0.2516, -0.253, -0.2493, -0.2479, -0.2142, -0.2156, -0.2207, -0.2128, -0.2044, -0.2113, -0.214, -0.2281, -0.2323, -0.23, -0.2378, -0.2407, -0.2351, -0.2327, -0.2337, -0.2178, -0.2324, -0.236, -0.2456, -0.2611, -0.2375, -0.2334, -0.216, -0.2146, -0.2089, -0.1987, -0.2178, -0.2139, -0.2096, -0.1882, -0.159, -0.1646, -0.1425, -0.1209, -0.1218, -0.1139, -0.1332, -0.112, -0.1107, -0.1291, -0.0939, -0.0902, -0.1045, -0.13, -0.1367, -0.1098, -0.1121, -0.0855, -0.096, -0.0641, -0.005, 0.0102, -0.0007, -0.0007, 0.0, -0.0165, -0.0136, -0.0017, -0.008, 0.0034, -0.0195, -0.009, 0.0007, -0.0236, -0.0334, -0.0367, -0.0419, -0.0727, -0.0547, -0.04, -0.0318, -0.0176, -0.0184, -0.0184, -0.0202, -0.02, -0.0191, -0.0218, -0.0218, -0.0151, -0.0107, -0.0176, 0.0063, 0.0171, 0.0269, 0.0372, 0.05, 0.0496, 0.04, 0.0313, 0.0313, 0.0063, 0.0263, 0.033, 0.0249, 0.0415, 0.0456, 0.0501, 0.0571, 0.0563, 0.0741, 0.0617, 0.0408, 0.0353, 0.009, 0.0136, -0.0043, -0.0282, -0.0343, -0.0445, -0.0445, -0.0561, -0.052, -0.0535, -0.0156, -0.0265, -0.0283, -0.0221, -0.0393, -0.0257, -0.042, -0.0512, -0.0526, -0.0597, -0.067, -0.0419, -0.0397, -0.0345, -0.0507, -0.0546, -0.0444, -0.0276, -0.0377, -0.0395, -0.0586, -0.0553, -0.0917, -0.0901, -0.1214, -0.142, -0.1446, -0.1007, -0.0699, -0.075, -0.075, -0.0618, -0.0447, -0.0076, -0.0039, -0.0078, 0.0049, 0.0412, 0.0543, 0.0509, 0.0686, 0.0553, 0.0392, 0.0612, 0.0599, 0.0771, 0.0957, 0.0939, 0.0944, 0.2035, 0.2062, 0.1986, 0.2148, 0.2449, 0.2447, 0.2535, 0.2155, 0.2114, 0.2592, 0.2543, 0.2409, 0.2414, 0.2124, 0.2163, 0.2124, 0.1977, 0.1977]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1981698896826097916", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-24T12:26:49+00:00", "symbol": "UPWK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "misvalued equities like $UPWK trading way trading under 6.5 P/E with large cash balance sheets and growth", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish UPWK as a mispriced equity at sub-6.5x P/E with large cash and growth.", "resolved_tickers": ["UPWK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "They didn't nail anything. \"The present is already priced.\" This is literally wrong. \n\nHe's correct directionally finding alpha, but wanted to use some Instagram style inspirational quote.\n\nIf the present were always correctly priced, nobody would make money exploiting market inefficiencies. \n\nIt was free money arbitraging $BULL shares vs. warrants not too long ago due to markets not pricing things in correctly. Or tons of misvalued equities like $UPWK trading way trading under 6.5 P/E with large cash balance sheets and growth.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Druckenmiller nailed this\n\nThe present is already priced. You have to position where the fundamentals are going\n\nThat is why I leaned into AI &amp; space in 2023 when it became clear compute would become a utility &amp; defense would expand beyond Earth\n\nSee it early &amp; size it correctly https://t.co/jjVtjfTtE8", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "StockSavvyShay", "ret_m1d": 0.007500052452087402, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007500052452087402, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01560637406692389, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01560637406692389, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008106321614836487, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008106321614836487, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.007500052452087402, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.007500052452087402, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004297659571061541, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004297659571061541, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011797712023148943, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011797712023148943, "ret_p1w": -0.003750026226043701, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.003750026226043701, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.010852200464782857, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.010852200464782857, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007102174238739156, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007102174238739156, "ret_p1m": 0.15937495231628418, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.15937495231628418, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.17195529928776787, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.17195529928776787, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012580346971483691, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012580346971483691, "ret_p3m": 0.23062503337860107, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.23062503337860107, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2156006176153633, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2156006176153633, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.015024415763237764, "bench_c_p3m": 0.015024415763237764, "ret_p6m": -0.30687499046325684, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.30687499046325684, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3593008370481361, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3593008370481361, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.052425846584879254, "bench_c_p6m": 0.052425846584879254, "price_path": [-0.2094, -0.2456, -0.2525, -0.2656, -0.2475, -0.2575, -0.2531, -0.1513, -0.1769, -0.1619, -0.1456, -0.1194, -0.1438, -0.1375, -0.1256, -0.1338, -0.1119, -0.0756, -0.0675, -0.0681, -0.0569, -0.075, -0.0681, -0.0381, -0.0381, -0.0025, 0.0281, 0.0488, 0.0119, -0.0025, 0.0, -0.0056, 0.0231, 0.0538, 0.0494, 0.0688, 0.1337, 0.225, 0.2544, 0.2081, 0.2287, 0.245, 0.2062, 0.1969, 0.1881, 0.1606, 0.1069, 0.135, 0.0794, 0.0875, 0.0681, 0.1163, 0.0894, 0.05, 0.0688, 0.0588, 0.0506, 0.0462, 0.0125, 0.0419, 0.0412, 0.0006, 0.0075, 0.0, 0.0075, 0.0856, 0.055, 0.0194, -0.0038, -0.0231, 0.1063, 0.0237, 0.0094, 0.0906, 0.1, 0.1219, 0.065, 0.0656, 0.03, 0.0119, 0.0675, 0.135, 0.0725, 0.1169, 0.1594, 0.2306, 0.2237, 0.2237, 0.2337, 0.2425, 0.2831, 0.2331, 0.2237, 0.255, 0.2425, 0.3112, 0.28, 0.37, 0.3719, 0.3362, 0.34, 0.2619, 0.2794, 0.2875, 0.3306, 0.3012, 0.3106, 0.3106, 0.3031, 0.2687, 0.2219, 0.2387, 0.2387, 0.24, 0.2888, 0.2669, 0.3038, 0.2763, 0.2531, 0.275, 0.2656, 0.2563, 0.2594, 0.2419, 0.2419, 0.2181, 0.2306, 0.3206, 0.3819, 0.3669, 0.3312, 0.2819, 0.3138, 0.2519, 0.2469, 0.1406, 0.0656, 0.1137, 0.1831, 0.1744, -0.0494, -0.0938, -0.1806, -0.1731, -0.1731, -0.2025, -0.1419, -0.1675, -0.1769, -0.2181, -0.1862, -0.1888, -0.1344, -0.1612, -0.18, -0.1794, -0.1606, -0.1681, -0.1719, -0.1669, -0.2262, -0.2244, -0.2588, -0.2369, -0.2531, -0.2281, -0.2444, -0.2906, -0.295, -0.2862, -0.3031, -0.2925, -0.3006, -0.3206, -0.3394, -0.315, -0.3012, -0.3163, -0.3163, -0.2919, -0.3144, -0.3087, -0.3475, -0.3338, -0.3119, -0.3087, -0.2937, -0.3087, -0.2956, -0.3069]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1985898768836018244", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-05T02:35:37+00:00", "symbol": "RDDT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I personally see the path to scale for $RDDT just how it's the 7th most popular website on the internet and it will be around for awhile just due to network effect", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long RDDT on network effects, profitability, and M&A optionality; long RKLB toward $350B+ MC; long HOOD as the comparable fintech compounder.", "resolved_tickers": ["RDDT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yeah quantum was always a bubble, but I don't short  given how irrational they are sometimes. As for the Internet's favorite/most hated community, I personally see the path to scale for $RDDT just how it's the 7th most popular website on the internet and it will be around for awhile just due to network effect.\n\nJust going back to Twitter when it was public, it was valued at $40B, doing $3.7-5B yearly revenue (with negative FCF) growing roughly 20-30% Y/Y.  $RDDT is doing $585m quarterly revenue, 91% gross margins, 236M EBITDA (40% of revenue) ~34B valuation.   \n\nAnd given it's not at the scale of $META where every acquisition has global anti-trust lawyers on their asses, I just see Reddit with the potential to grow like $HOOD where they're printing money so close to after IPO and keeps on expanding margins.  So they can just focus on expanding revenue/acquisitions with their sticky userbase (eg. how Robinhood acquired crypto exchanges).\n\nYeah $RKLB has such a clear trajectory toward $350B+ MC like SpaceX since there's so many applications you can do with Space + huge national security risk so lot of investments will pour into the sector.\n\n---\n\nAlso similar thesis to $HOOD (fintech) for $RDDT (social media)\n\nSticky customer base, extreme profitability -> new product launches for that customer base ->  acquisitions through profitability -> grow revenue.\n\n$RDDT -> sticky customer base, extreme profitability -> new product launches (not really, but kinda in a sense, like selling data for AI)  ->  acquisitions through profitability (missing) -> grow revenue.\n\nReddit only achieved consistent profitability this quarter, so I'm hoping acquisitions through profits would drive forward revenue like how Facebook grew acquiring whatsapp/instagram in the next few quarters.\n\n---\n\nSo for examples:\n\n$RDDT should try and acquire $SNAP then turn it profitable (easy) by cutting AR segments, management, cutting GCP costs. (Regulators wouldn’t block this but they’d block $META acquiring it).\n\nThen go out and launch new products like what X does with banking. Reddit had some sparks of life with their NFT marketplace stuff, but they never followed through.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04330768744571045, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04330768744571045, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.039854265699127533, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03792940699793268, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0034534217465829187, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005378280447777772, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0643501534003107, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0643501534003107, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05362082018764469, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.055356970912207926, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010729333212666003, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008993182488102769, "ret_p1w": 0.033372409992232566, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.033372409992232566, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.024812460860923924, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.032314396487734154, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008559949131308642, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0010580135044984118, "ret_p1m": 0.1349161621802366, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1349161621802366, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12486571836105176, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11402039546639209, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010050443819184851, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02089576671384452, "ret_p3m": -0.09741687450841585, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09741687450841585, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1267637573652085, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1559375187024279, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029346882856792655, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05852064419401204, "ret_p6m": -0.24985992498805276, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.24985992498805276, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.31652660977293123, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.283718049628651, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06666668478487847, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03385812464059823, "price_path": [0.0977, 0.1247, 0.1414, 0.1962, 0.2405, 0.2559, 0.2318, 0.1626, 0.1126, 0.114, 0.1072, 0.1195, 0.118, 0.0756, 0.1491, 0.1468, 0.1468, 0.1212, 0.1369, 0.1826, 0.2228, 0.1718, 0.2238, 0.3198, 0.3275, 0.2956, 0.3433, 0.3586, 0.3577, 0.3793, 0.3475, 0.3123, 0.2098, 0.2008, 0.1859, 0.2234, 0.2329, 0.1718, 0.0323, 0.0237, 0.0557, 0.0375, 0.0492, 0.0307, 0.0786, 0.0116, 0.0378, 0.0004, 0.0229, 0.0138, -0.0067, 0.0316, 0.0481, 0.004, 0.0232, 0.0914, 0.117, 0.0851, 0.0739, -0.0094, 0.0646, 0.0444, -0.0433, 0.0, -0.0644, -0.0086, 0.0404, 0.0608, 0.0334, -0.0349, -0.0151, -0.0444, -0.0539, -0.0433, -0.0733, -0.0652, -0.0065, 0.1132, 0.0575, 0.0575, 0.1029, 0.1382, 0.135, 0.1252, 0.1349, 0.1928, 0.2073, 0.203, 0.2132, 0.1899, 0.1453, 0.1133, 0.1413, 0.1583, 0.1787, 0.1881, 0.1879, 0.1506, 0.1507, 0.1507, 0.1503, 0.1955, 0.189, 0.1712, 0.1712, 0.2324, 0.2434, 0.2932, 0.3018, 0.2939, 0.246, 0.2433, 0.3193, 0.2859, 0.1655, 0.177, 0.177, 0.1482, 0.0706, 0.0931, 0.1152, 0.0884, 0.0002, -0.0159, -0.0317, -0.0815, -0.0974, -0.1572, -0.222, -0.2304, -0.2876, -0.2778, -0.2358, -0.2903, -0.3322, -0.2885, -0.2885, -0.2906, -0.2487, -0.2555, -0.2349, -0.2742, -0.2761, -0.2374, -0.2294, -0.2571, -0.2505, -0.2577, -0.2496, -0.2646, -0.2898, -0.2925, -0.3166, -0.3014, -0.3262, -0.3256, -0.2867, -0.2646, -0.2725, -0.2963, -0.2875, -0.2818, -0.3065, -0.2886, -0.3516, -0.3792, -0.3676, -0.314, -0.3062, -0.3071, -0.3071, -0.2952, -0.2809, -0.2612, -0.295, -0.2881, -0.2391, -0.2126, -0.1925, -0.1723, -0.1654, -0.1528, -0.201, -0.1628, -0.2207, -0.2108, -0.1837, -0.2463, -0.2472, -0.2499]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1985898768836018244", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-05T02:35:37+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$RKLB has such a clear trajectory toward $350B+ MC like SpaceX since there's so many applications you can do with Space + huge national security risk so lot of investments will pour into the sector", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long RDDT on network effects, profitability, and M&A optionality; long RKLB toward $350B+ MC; long HOOD as the comparable fintech compounder.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yeah quantum was always a bubble, but I don't short  given how irrational they are sometimes. As for the Internet's favorite/most hated community, I personally see the path to scale for $RDDT just how it's the 7th most popular website on the internet and it will be around for awhile just due to network effect.\n\nJust going back to Twitter when it was public, it was valued at $40B, doing $3.7-5B yearly revenue (with negative FCF) growing roughly 20-30% Y/Y.  $RDDT is doing $585m quarterly revenue, 91% gross margins, 236M EBITDA (40% of revenue) ~34B valuation.   \n\nAnd given it's not at the scale of $META where every acquisition has global anti-trust lawyers on their asses, I just see Reddit with the potential to grow like $HOOD where they're printing money so close to after IPO and keeps on expanding margins.  So they can just focus on expanding revenue/acquisitions with their sticky userbase (eg. how Robinhood acquired crypto exchanges).\n\nYeah $RKLB has such a clear trajectory toward $350B+ MC like SpaceX since there's so many applications you can do with Space + huge national security risk so lot of investments will pour into the sector.\n\n---\n\nAlso similar thesis to $HOOD (fintech) for $RDDT (social media)\n\nSticky customer base, extreme profitability -> new product launches for that customer base ->  acquisitions through profitability -> grow revenue.\n\n$RDDT -> sticky customer base, extreme profitability -> new product launches (not really, but kinda in a sense, like selling data for AI)  ->  acquisitions through profitability (missing) -> grow revenue.\n\nReddit only achieved consistent profitability this quarter, so I'm hoping acquisitions through profits would drive forward revenue like how Facebook grew acquiring whatsapp/instagram in the next few quarters.\n\n---\n\nSo for examples:\n\n$RDDT should try and acquire $SNAP then turn it profitable (easy) by cutting AR segments, management, cutting GCP costs. (Regulators wouldn’t block this but they’d block $META acquiring it).\n\nThen go out and launch new products like what X does with banking. Reddit had some sparks of life with their NFT marketplace stuff, but they never followed through.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.002658658822173976, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.002658658822173976, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006112080568756895, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006509805286407433, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0034534217465829187, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003851146464233457, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.12070183941165225, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.12070183941165225, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.10997250619898624, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.11672010314252379, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010729333212666003, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003981736269128455, "ret_p1w": -0.11432111232843667, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11432111232843667, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.12288106145974531, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12208885049297136, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008559949131308642, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007767738164534688, "ret_p1m": -0.12495568000463009, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12495568000463009, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13500612382381494, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13677029900712045, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010050443819184851, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011814619002490367, "ret_p3m": 0.3142503355608497, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3142503355608497, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.28490345270405704, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2169670444812859, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029346882856792655, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0972832910795638, "ret_p6m": 0.4624247574266249, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4624247574266249, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.39575807264174645, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3157525624916251, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06666668478487847, "bench_c_p6m": 0.14667219493499983, "price_path": [-0.2079, -0.2021, -0.2302, -0.2379, -0.2412, -0.2153, -0.2029, -0.2747, -0.2788, -0.2639, -0.2134, -0.1631, -0.1469, -0.1803, -0.1508, -0.1386, -0.1386, -0.126, -0.2285, -0.238, -0.1875, -0.154, -0.1664, -0.1817, -0.1416, -0.0546, -0.0422, -0.1626, -0.1478, -0.1638, -0.153, -0.1172, -0.0622, -0.137, -0.1735, -0.1801, -0.1668, -0.1508, -0.1498, -0.07, -0.0046, 0.0369, 0.0902, 0.1576, 0.1772, 0.139, 0.1595, 0.2058, 0.2278, 0.1875, 0.1746, 0.1937, 0.1592, 0.0735, 0.1267, 0.1443, 0.1631, 0.1299, 0.1726, 0.0798, 0.1163, 0.0872, 0.0027, 0.0, -0.1207, -0.0847, -0.0801, -0.0918, -0.1143, -0.198, -0.1928, -0.2324, -0.2418, -0.2269, -0.3002, -0.2857, -0.2476, -0.2449, -0.2568, -0.2568, -0.2531, -0.2845, -0.2574, -0.2074, -0.125, -0.1305, -0.0861, -0.053, 0.0195, 0.126, 0.0899, -0.0179, -0.0165, -0.0436, 0.062, 0.2499, 0.3745, 0.368, 0.368, 0.368, 0.2522, 0.2428, 0.2487, 0.2364, 0.2364, 0.3469, 0.385, 0.5248, 0.4903, 0.4725, 0.5039, 0.558, 0.5346, 0.6271, 0.6086, 0.7068, 0.7068, 0.5803, 0.5565, 0.5594, 0.5757, 0.4264, 0.542, 0.5698, 0.5186, 0.4192, 0.3143, 0.4404, 0.2958, 0.1755, 0.2818, 0.3442, 0.2767, 0.234, 0.17, 0.1953, 0.1953, 0.2387, 0.319, 0.3573, 0.2559, 0.2444, 0.2402, 0.2442, 0.2877, 0.2247, 0.2579, 0.243, 0.2745, 0.2407, 0.2426, 0.2669, 0.2217, 0.2754, 0.2118, 0.2125, 0.2639, 0.3929, 0.2315, 0.2749, 0.1916, 0.2052, 0.171, 0.2917, 0.1687, 0.0799, 0.017, 0.1382, 0.1613, 0.2005, 0.2005, 0.1994, 0.1755, 0.2244, 0.1829, 0.2061, 0.2517, 0.28, 0.3045, 0.4699, 0.503, 0.5856, 0.5356, 0.5959, 0.4995, 0.4123, 0.4585, 0.3929, 0.3651, 0.4624]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1985898768836018244", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-11-05T02:35:37+00:00", "symbol": "HOOD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "similar thesis to $HOOD (fintech) for $RDDT (social media)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long RDDT on network effects, profitability, and M&A optionality; long RKLB toward $350B+ MC; long HOOD as the comparable fintech compounder.", "resolved_tickers": ["HOOD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yeah quantum was always a bubble, but I don't short  given how irrational they are sometimes. As for the Internet's favorite/most hated community, I personally see the path to scale for $RDDT just how it's the 7th most popular website on the internet and it will be around for awhile just due to network effect.\n\nJust going back to Twitter when it was public, it was valued at $40B, doing $3.7-5B yearly revenue (with negative FCF) growing roughly 20-30% Y/Y.  $RDDT is doing $585m quarterly revenue, 91% gross margins, 236M EBITDA (40% of revenue) ~34B valuation.   \n\nAnd given it's not at the scale of $META where every acquisition has global anti-trust lawyers on their asses, I just see Reddit with the potential to grow like $HOOD where they're printing money so close to after IPO and keeps on expanding margins.  So they can just focus on expanding revenue/acquisitions with their sticky userbase (eg. how Robinhood acquired crypto exchanges).\n\nYeah $RKLB has such a clear trajectory toward $350B+ MC like SpaceX since there's so many applications you can do with Space + huge national security risk so lot of investments will pour into the sector.\n\n---\n\nAlso similar thesis to $HOOD (fintech) for $RDDT (social media)\n\nSticky customer base, extreme profitability -> new product launches for that customer base ->  acquisitions through profitability -> grow revenue.\n\n$RDDT -> sticky customer base, extreme profitability -> new product launches (not really, but kinda in a sense, like selling data for AI)  ->  acquisitions through profitability (missing) -> grow revenue.\n\nReddit only achieved consistent profitability this quarter, so I'm hoping acquisitions through profits would drive forward revenue like how Facebook grew acquiring whatsapp/instagram in the next few quarters.\n\n---\n\nSo for examples:\n\n$RDDT should try and acquire $SNAP then turn it profitable (easy) by cutting AR segments, management, cutting GCP costs. (Regulators wouldn’t block this but they’d block $META acquiring it).\n\nThen go out and launch new products like what X does with banking. Reddit had some sparks of life with their NFT marketplace stuff, but they never followed through.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03986519403497846, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03986519403497846, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03641177228839554, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03644307521806511, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0034534217465829187, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0034221188169133443, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.10808530571500996, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.10808530571500996, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.09735597250234396, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.10447321548670929, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010729333212666003, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0036120902283006684, "ret_p1w": -0.06667602670459516, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06667602670459516, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0752359758359038, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08701825614236602, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008559949131308642, "bench_c_p1w": 0.020342229437770865, "ret_p1m": -0.037900014447015073, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.037900014447015073, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.047950458266199925, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05805212617273525, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010050443819184851, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02015211172572018, "ret_p3m": -0.3689640205068364, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3689640205068364, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.39831090336362907, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.399740413256234, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029346882856792655, "bench_c_p3m": 0.030776392749397585, "ret_p6m": -0.4884194162313553, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4884194162313553, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5550861010162338, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4880601749524476, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06666668478487847, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0003592412789077404, "price_path": [-0.1955, -0.2026, -0.1993, -0.2376, -0.223, -0.1987, -0.1927, -0.2455, -0.2607, -0.2539, -0.2327, -0.2424, -0.2364, -0.2777, -0.2722, -0.2699, -0.2699, -0.2923, -0.2924, -0.2777, -0.2894, -0.1769, -0.1683, -0.1756, -0.1736, -0.1927, -0.1941, -0.1762, -0.1673, -0.1514, -0.1242, -0.1235, -0.1143, -0.1101, -0.1392, -0.1453, -0.0404, 0.0049, -0.0234, 0.0226, 0.0434, 0.0125, 0.0177, 0.0589, 0.07, -0.0247, -0.0126, -0.0528, -0.0585, -0.0775, -0.0882, -0.0469, -0.0747, -0.1071, -0.0572, -0.0189, 0.0237, 0.0265, 0.0163, -0.031, 0.0302, 0.0323, -0.0399, 0.0, -0.1081, -0.0851, -0.0463, -0.074, -0.0667, -0.147, -0.1402, -0.1861, -0.1978, -0.1707, -0.2546, -0.2469, -0.1931, -0.1889, -0.1002, -0.1002, -0.0982, -0.135, -0.116, -0.062, -0.0379, -0.0739, -0.0425, -0.0475, -0.0479, -0.1341, -0.1613, -0.191, -0.162, -0.1873, -0.1777, -0.1483, -0.1411, -0.1561, -0.1547, -0.1547, -0.1709, -0.1758, -0.1897, -0.2062, -0.2062, -0.1914, -0.135, -0.1458, -0.179, -0.1901, -0.191, -0.1752, -0.1561, -0.1601, -0.2255, -0.2368, -0.2368, -0.2576, -0.2566, -0.2543, -0.2491, -0.249, -0.2614, -0.2743, -0.2894, -0.3018, -0.369, -0.3889, -0.4342, -0.4899, -0.4187, -0.3925, -0.3992, -0.4528, -0.5008, -0.4668, -0.4668, -0.4705, -0.4721, -0.469, -0.4658, -0.4962, -0.4849, -0.4559, -0.4424, -0.4676, -0.4471, -0.4661, -0.423, -0.4346, -0.4589, -0.4431, -0.4488, -0.4477, -0.4657, -0.4849, -0.4714, -0.4571, -0.4743, -0.4795, -0.5025, -0.4912, -0.5152, -0.4909, -0.5062, -0.5366, -0.5427, -0.5136, -0.5079, -0.5164, -0.5164, -0.5102, -0.5112, -0.4959, -0.5079, -0.5144, -0.497, -0.4449, -0.3871, -0.3904, -0.3631, -0.3594, -0.3934, -0.3794, -0.4137, -0.4055, -0.4108, -0.424, -0.5003, -0.4884]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1980425250929328626", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-21T00:05:49+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I think these $NBIS leaps are going to print! Just a matter of time, I like the OTM $120 strike, good choice", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish on NBIS LEAPs; expects OTM $120 strike calls to print.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@soulbiri1 I think these $NBIS leaps are going to print! Just a matter of time, I like the OTM $120 strike, good choice", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Bought 20 more LEAPs, OTM this time. https://t.co/IdL0D65O4B", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": 0.045262766359374096, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.045262766359374096, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04524786165575145, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.048777572966020366, "bench_spy_m1d": 1.4904703622642401e-05, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00351480660664627, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05427690927283124, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05427690927283124, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04907800234539017, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04561851535171679, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0051989069274410715, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008658393921114449, "ret_p1w": 0.16829692421555809, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16829692421555809, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14480482530867644, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.16889705328576543, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.023492098906881642, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0006001290702073447, "ret_p1m": -0.08831990019452474, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08831990019452474, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07541937628962037, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04151318980758534, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01290052390490437, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0468067103869394, "ret_p3m": 0.042673615551673816, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.042673615551673816, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.009284519119612922, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05216489673014646, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.033389096432060894, "bench_c_p3m": -0.009491281178472644, "ret_p6m": 0.5992520735008913, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5992520735008913, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5506360392401897, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5866874758631762, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0486160342607016, "bench_c_p6m": 0.012564597637715114, "price_path": [-0.4998, -0.5074, -0.4942, -0.5167, -0.5082, -0.478, -0.5013, -0.4805, -0.4709, -0.4717, -0.3737, -0.3404, -0.3264, -0.2776, -0.3227, -0.3435, -0.3132, -0.3044, -0.3557, -0.353, -0.3654, -0.3385, -0.3285, -0.3241, -0.3278, -0.3092, -0.3448, -0.3448, -0.3698, -0.3704, -0.3775, -0.3722, -0.3857, -0.0821, -0.1044, -0.1447, -0.133, -0.1277, -0.1424, -0.0978, -0.0974, -0.0477, 0.0222, 0.0338, 0.0858, 0.0351, 0.0328, 0.057, 0.0766, 0.1086, 0.207, 0.2273, 0.1981, 0.1287, 0.1699, 0.272, 0.2426, 0.299, 0.2289, 0.2067, 0.1799, 0.0878, 0.0453, 0.0, -0.0543, 0.018, 0.1245, 0.2028, 0.1683, 0.1997, 0.1908, 0.2545, 0.1553, 0.06, 0.122, 0.0495, 0.0671, 0.0544, -0.0198, -0.0951, -0.1501, -0.1989, -0.1755, -0.1318, -0.0883, -0.1883, -0.2016, -0.1187, -0.1477, -0.092, -0.092, -0.0902, -0.0396, -0.0751, -0.0514, -0.0142, -0.0598, -0.0379, -0.0755, -0.1025, -0.0959, -0.1591, -0.2219, -0.2237, -0.2765, -0.2512, -0.1421, -0.106, -0.1367, -0.1261, -0.1261, -0.16, -0.1749, -0.1833, -0.1973, -0.1973, -0.1374, -0.1098, -0.0387, -0.0774, -0.0669, -0.0609, 0.0292, 0.011, -0.0221, -0.0038, 0.0427, 0.0427, -0.0479, -0.0519, -0.0713, -0.0938, -0.1229, -0.0615, -0.0369, -0.0899, -0.1831, -0.1546, -0.1374, -0.2099, -0.2916, -0.1743, -0.1093, -0.1198, -0.1503, -0.1395, -0.0601, -0.0601, -0.0648, -0.0238, 0.0319, -0.061, -0.0352, -0.0163, 0.0176, 0.0058, -0.1255, -0.1273, -0.1676, -0.0623, -0.0828, -0.1434, -0.0896, -0.0753, 0.074, 0.0361, 0.0831, 0.2452, 0.1156, 0.1369, 0.1653, 0.1279, 0.0946, 0.1019, 0.1037, 0.0162, -0.0332, -0.1153, -0.005, -0.0223, 0.0435, 0.0435, 0.0792, 0.1258, 0.1987, 0.3073, 0.3902, 0.4822, 0.5529, 0.5993]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1965095562484859268", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-08T16:51:06+00:00", "symbol": "ALAB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I used this time to exit and open up a short. People are probably FOMO buying so good exit liquidity.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Exited long ALAB and opened a short, viewing FOMO buying as exit liquidity after the insane recent run.", "resolved_tickers": ["ALAB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@__visionxry__ Yeah I used this time to exit and open up a short. People are probably FOMO buying so good exit liquidity. \n\nMy cost average was like $99 so can’t complain about 100%+ return in 2 months", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit \"Fred Alger Management LLC Increases Position in Astera Labs, Inc. $ALAB\"\n\nThink this is what sent it up so much today. Its definitely had an insane run lately", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "__visionxry__", "ret_m1d": -0.11522447224432708, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.11522447224432708, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.11277376064336242, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.104297823508963, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0024507116009646612, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010926648735364086, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007450257125769522, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.007450257125769522, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.009762082736573863, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011800764294350286, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002311825610804341, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004350507168580764, "ret_p1w": 0.07029147040070383, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07029147040070383, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.051673442923287016, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.034374699092329486, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01861802747741681, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03591677130837434, "ret_p1m": -0.018509948574846113, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.018509948574846113, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.052640706319352804, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.15519557446405963, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03413075774450669, "bench_c_p1m": 0.1366856258892135, "ret_p3m": -0.2942619611321019, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2942619611321019, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.35199261717867036, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5137413311695788, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05773065604656846, "bench_c_p3m": 0.21947937003747686, "ret_p6m": -0.4919018974985049, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4919018974985049, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.546464833533158, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.814837442990057, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05456293603465312, "bench_c_p6m": 0.3229355454915521, "price_path": [-0.5625, -0.5634, -0.5848, -0.559, -0.5701, -0.5394, -0.5394, -0.5693, -0.6023, -0.5962, -0.5852, -0.5467, -0.5788, -0.5816, -0.5897, -0.5901, -0.5798, -0.5798, -0.5853, -0.5729, -0.5379, -0.551, -0.5562, -0.582, -0.5726, -0.5745, -0.5467, -0.5274, -0.436, -0.459, -0.4471, -0.4369, -0.4344, -0.426, -0.4521, -0.4037, -0.3673, -0.3933, -0.3617, -0.3728, -0.193, -0.2092, -0.1704, -0.1697, -0.1115, -0.1039, -0.1176, -0.14, -0.1373, -0.2084, -0.202, -0.1785, -0.1713, -0.1941, -0.1737, -0.1708, -0.1247, -0.1569, -0.1569, -0.1937, -0.1827, -0.1303, -0.1152, 0.0, -0.0075, 0.066, 0.0777, 0.062, 0.0703, 0.105, 0.154, 0.1656, 0.1347, 0.0981, 0.0648, -0.0501, -0.0715, -0.0848, -0.0801, -0.0939, -0.1, -0.0301, -0.0711, 0.0218, -0.0185, 0.0151, 0.0432, -0.0458, -0.0767, -0.2524, -0.2528, -0.2432, -0.2605, -0.2767, -0.2711, -0.2834, -0.2428, -0.2366, -0.212, -0.2214, -0.1966, -0.2154, -0.1361, -0.1136, -0.1702, -0.1581, -0.2465, -0.2342, -0.196, -0.2247, -0.2698, -0.3315, -0.3321, -0.3457, -0.3544, -0.3429, -0.3554, -0.3438, -0.3163, -0.33, -0.2863, -0.2863, -0.2708, -0.2356, -0.3385, -0.2943, -0.2943, -0.2539, -0.1868, -0.2268, -0.2396, -0.1962, -0.3112, -0.3352, -0.3293, -0.351, -0.3249, -0.2392, -0.2012, -0.2187, -0.2135, -0.2135, -0.226, -0.2128, -0.2094, -0.2302, -0.2302, -0.1691, -0.2267, -0.2549, -0.2329, -0.2747, -0.2475, -0.2014, -0.1645, -0.2034, -0.1927, -0.1578, -0.1578, -0.1497, -0.1855, -0.1839, -0.2149, -0.2446, -0.209, -0.223, -0.2575, -0.303, -0.2946, -0.2665, -0.3305, -0.3391, -0.214, -0.1316, -0.1538, -0.335, -0.4143, -0.4016, -0.4016, -0.4276, -0.4004, -0.3863, -0.3999, -0.4066, -0.4058, -0.407, -0.4231, -0.4501, -0.4422, -0.4919]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1994030560126349683", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-27T13:08:27+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Nebius は市場でも屈指の高成長企業となるのです", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS as a top-growth company with data center and Avride robotaxi (L4, partnered with Uber) as a high-growth hidden subsidiary; TSLA noted as a robotaxi exposure play.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "ja", "tweet_text": "素晴らしい投稿ですね。そして、日本で祝っているなら、ハッピーサンクスギビング！\n\n主張の核心は、ロボタクシーは数兆ドル規模の巨大市場であり、その分野へのエクスポージャーを求めて人々は $TSLA や $GOOGL に投資しているという点です。\n\nしかし、テスラ、アマゾン、グーグル、ヒュンダイの5つの主要プレーヤーのうち、多くの人が知らないもう1社、 $NBIS  傘下の Avride はレベル4の完全自動運転を持っています。そしてこの企業は、7年にわたる開発と研究開発投資を経て $UBER と共に商用化へ向けて動き出し、Waymo や Tesla と競争しようとしています。\n\nこのように、コアであるデータセンタービジネスと並行して超高速で成長する無名の子会社を抱えている場合、Nebius は市場でも屈指の高成長企業となるのです。", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "\"Nebius（ $NBIS ）の中核事業は“常識外れ”だ。\n\n1年で 前年比700％超成長し、ARRは70〜90億ドル に到達。\n\nだが、さらに“常識外れ”なのはここからだ。\n\nNebiusの子会社のほうが、本体を上回る成長を見せる可能性がある。🤯\n\n理由はこうだ：", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "yasutaketin", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0019009430830585483, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0019009430830585483, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0035574632555563923, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00622422630590691, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005458406338614941, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008125169388965459, "ret_p1w": 0.08564790792322552, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08564790792322552, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07871824252335347, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07402809323810788, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006929665399872054, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011619814685117635, "ret_p1m": -0.0749815811643798, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0749815811643798, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09362234586868434, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10898401768209143, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018640764704304535, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03400243651771162, "ret_p3m": 0.08332452409145019, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08332452409145019, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0690516585030807, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06518662201906844, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014272865588369488, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01813790207238175, "ret_p6m": 1.2681381216075018, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.2681381216075018, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.1648459096533572, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.2529063304181431, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10329221195414462, "bench_c_p6m": 0.01523179118935869, "price_path": [-0.2785, -0.3059, -0.3067, -0.3145, -0.3086, -0.3235, 0.0109, -0.0137, -0.0581, -0.0452, -0.0394, -0.0555, -0.0064, -0.006, 0.0488, 0.1258, 0.1385, 0.1958, 0.1399, 0.1374, 0.164, 0.1857, 0.2209, 0.3293, 0.3516, 0.3195, 0.243, 0.2884, 0.4008, 0.3685, 0.4306, 0.3534, 0.3289, 0.2994, 0.198, 0.1511, 0.1013, 0.0415, 0.1211, 0.2384, 0.3246, 0.2866, 0.3212, 0.3114, 0.3816, 0.2723, 0.1674, 0.2356, 0.1558, 0.1752, 0.1612, 0.0795, -0.0035, -0.064, -0.1178, -0.092, -0.0438, 0.004, -0.1061, -0.1207, -0.0295, -0.0614, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0019, 0.0577, 0.0186, 0.0447, 0.0856, 0.0354, 0.0596, 0.0182, -0.0116, -0.0043, -0.0739, -0.1431, -0.1451, -0.2032, -0.1753, -0.0552, -0.0154, -0.0492, -0.0376, -0.0376, -0.075, -0.0914, -0.1005, -0.116, -0.116, -0.0501, -0.0196, 0.0586, 0.0161, 0.0276, 0.0342, 0.1335, 0.1134, 0.077, 0.0971, 0.1483, 0.1483, 0.0486, 0.0441, 0.0228, -0.002, -0.0341, 0.0336, 0.0606, 0.0023, -0.1003, -0.069, -0.0501, -0.1299, -0.2199, -0.0907, -0.0191, -0.0306, -0.0642, -0.0524, 0.0351, 0.0351, 0.0299, 0.0751, 0.1364, 0.0341, 0.0625, 0.0833, 0.1207, 0.1076, -0.037, -0.0389, -0.0833, 0.0326, 0.0101, -0.0566, 0.0026, 0.0184, 0.1828, 0.141, 0.1928, 0.3713, 0.2285, 0.2521, 0.2833, 0.2422, 0.2055, 0.2135, 0.2154, 0.1191, 0.0647, -0.0257, 0.0958, 0.0767, 0.1492, 0.1492, 0.1885, 0.2398, 0.3201, 0.4398, 0.531, 0.6323, 0.7102, 0.7612, 0.7461, 0.6595, 0.6809, 0.6533, 0.649, 0.6589, 0.5541, 0.5309, 0.4311, 0.4911, 0.4598, 0.6315, 0.8631, 0.8579, 1.0603, 0.9513, 0.8698, 0.9654, 0.8915, 1.1889, 1.3355, 1.3227, 1.1107, 1.0882, 1.0258, 1.3226, 1.2681]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1994030560126349683", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-27T13:08:27+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "人々は $TSLA や $GOOGL に投資しているという点です", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS as a top-growth company with data center and Avride robotaxi (L4, partnered with Uber) as a high-growth hidden subsidiary; TSLA noted as a robotaxi exposure play.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "ja", "tweet_text": "素晴らしい投稿ですね。そして、日本で祝っているなら、ハッピーサンクスギビング！\n\n主張の核心は、ロボタクシーは数兆ドル規模の巨大市場であり、その分野へのエクスポージャーを求めて人々は $TSLA や $GOOGL に投資しているという点です。\n\nしかし、テスラ、アマゾン、グーグル、ヒュンダイの5つの主要プレーヤーのうち、多くの人が知らないもう1社、 $NBIS  傘下の Avride はレベル4の完全自動運転を持っています。そしてこの企業は、7年にわたる開発と研究開発投資を経て $UBER と共に商用化へ向けて動き出し、Waymo や Tesla と競争しようとしています。\n\nこのように、コアであるデータセンタービジネスと並行して超高速で成長する無名の子会社を抱えている場合、Nebius は市場でも屈指の高成長企業となるのです。", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "\"Nebius（ $NBIS ）の中核事業は“常識外れ”だ。\n\n1年で 前年比700％超成長し、ARRは70〜90億ドル に到達。\n\nだが、さらに“常識外れ”なのはここからだ。\n\nNebiusの子会社のほうが、本体を上回る成長を見せる可能性がある。🤯\n\n理由はこうだ：", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "yasutaketin", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008415835173881447, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008415835173881447, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.002957428835266507, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.002957428835266507, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005458406338614941, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005458406338614941, "ret_p1w": 0.06552115215629395, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06552115215629395, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.058591486756421896, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.058591486756421896, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006929665399872054, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006929665399872054, "ret_p1m": 0.1139528749572638, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1139528749572638, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09531211025295927, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09531211025295927, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018640764704304535, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018640764704304535, "ret_p3m": -0.04032064848532069, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.04032064848532069, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.054593514073690175, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.054593514073690175, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014272865588369488, "bench_c_p3m": 0.014272865588369488, "ret_p6m": -0.0013361545890153703, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.0013361545890153703, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.10462836654315999, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.10462836654315999, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10329221195414462, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10329221195414462, "price_path": [-0.2173, -0.2279, -0.2168, -0.2064, -0.1776, -0.188, -0.1866, -0.1847, -0.1354, -0.0718, -0.0388, -0.0116, -0.0017, -0.0228, -0.0012, 0.0179, -0.0017, 0.038, -0.0075, 0.0324, 0.039, 0.0425, 0.0771, 0.0221, 0.0076, 0.0625, 0.0153, 0.0284, 0.021, -0.0307, 0.0218, 0.0062, 0.0201, 0.0051, 0.0298, 0.0489, 0.0376, 0.029, 0.0525, 0.0167, 0.0606, 0.0796, 0.0819, 0.0317, 0.0703, 0.098, 0.0414, 0.0832, 0.0453, 0.0069, 0.0437, 0.0306, 0.0094, -0.0576, -0.0521, -0.0414, -0.0594, -0.053, -0.0735, -0.0832, -0.0206, -0.0168, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0084, 0.0083, 0.0062, 0.0473, 0.0655, 0.0666, 0.0305, 0.0436, 0.0583, 0.0476, 0.0759, 0.1142, 0.1484, 0.0954, 0.1331, 0.128, 0.1457, 0.1383, 0.1379, 0.1379, 0.114, 0.0775, 0.0653, 0.0542, 0.0542, 0.0269, 0.0588, 0.015, 0.0113, 0.0216, 0.0432, 0.0525, 0.0483, 0.0296, 0.0281, 0.0256, 0.0256, -0.0172, 0.0114, 0.0534, 0.0527, 0.0202, 0.0101, 0.0114, -0.0235, 0.009, -0.0112, -0.0108, -0.0482, -0.0688, -0.0363, -0.0217, -0.0032, 0.004, -0.0223, -0.0214, -0.0214, -0.0374, -0.0358, -0.0349, -0.0346, -0.0627, -0.0403, -0.0215, -0.0422, -0.0564, -0.0545, -0.0801, -0.0484, -0.0493, -0.07, -0.0654, -0.0641, -0.044, -0.074, -0.0829, -0.0727, -0.064, -0.0792, -0.1085, -0.1374, -0.1072, -0.1021, -0.0952, -0.1277, -0.1518, -0.1671, -0.1285, -0.1062, -0.1547, -0.1547, -0.1729, -0.1874, -0.1953, -0.1898, -0.182, -0.1738, -0.1462, -0.0812, -0.0883, -0.0609, -0.0799, -0.0941, -0.0916, -0.1239, -0.1179, -0.1123, -0.1185, -0.1261, -0.1054, -0.0838, -0.0799, -0.0872, -0.0653, -0.0347, 0.0041, 0.0432, 0.0161, 0.0438, 0.0392, -0.0102, -0.0389, -0.0527, -0.0218, -0.0205, -0.0013]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2011029875361218700", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-13T10:57:40+00:00", "symbol": "OSS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Here's how to profit off US invading Iran. Department of War stocks: $OSS - Edge AI", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long defense pure-plays OSS, AVAV, BA, NOC, RTX, KTOS as direct beneficiaries of anticipated US military intervention in Iran.", "resolved_tickers": ["OSS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Urgent: US Government: “Leave Iran Now”.\n\nThis implies direct US intervention. \n\nThe last event was with GBU-57A/B MOPs.\n\nHere’s how to profit off US invading Iran.\n\nDepartment of War stocks:\n\n$OSS - Edge AI\n$AVAV - Drone Strikes\n$BA, $NOC, $RTX - Bunker Bombs\n$KTOS - Valkyries for drawing enemy fire, jam radars, and lead F-35s and B-21s\n\nIt’s pretty simple. Especially following US invasion of Venezuela. \n\nThere’s likely a lot of market volatility but the largest beneficiaries are pure play War verticals.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.07522127142676172, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07522127142676172, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07722475244304916, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07722475244304916, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002003481016287445, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002003481016287445, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03451321974031529, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03451321974031529, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.039428457081933876, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.039428457081933876, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0049152373416185835, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0049152373416185835, "ret_p1w": -0.04601773884836147, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04601773884836147, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.022681432624787723, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.022681432624787723, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023336306223573744, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023336306223573744, "ret_p1m": -0.163716845154267, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.163716845154267, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1611079354816113, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1611079354816113, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026089096726557015, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0026089096726557015, "ret_p3m": -0.30973450804626823, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.30973450804626823, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.29178275002718346, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.29178275002718346, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.017951758019084774, "bench_c_p3m": -0.017951758019084774, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5035, -0.5416, -0.5283, -0.5319, -0.5584, -0.5451, -0.5381, -0.5336, -0.5522, -0.5478, -0.5611, -0.5575, -0.546, -0.5823, -0.4903, -0.5274, -0.5407, -0.5195, -0.5035, -0.5097, -0.5434, -0.5478, -0.5814, -0.5788, -0.6, -0.6159, -0.6053, -0.5894, -0.592, -0.4735, -0.4735, -0.4611, -0.4761, -0.4628, -0.454, -0.4195, -0.3823, -0.3478, -0.3301, -0.3159, -0.3062, -0.3301, -0.3938, -0.3823, -0.4, -0.3655, -0.3496, -0.3575, -0.3442, -0.3602, -0.3602, -0.3637, -0.3699, -0.3673, -0.3646, -0.3646, -0.3982, -0.3894, -0.4301, -0.3035, -0.2221, -0.2858, -0.0752, 0.0, 0.0345, -0.0398, -0.0566, -0.0566, -0.046, 0.0327, 0.0035, -0.0619, -0.1044, -0.0699, -0.0832, -0.0602, -0.1248, -0.1549, -0.1558, -0.2071, -0.2876, -0.1823, -0.146, -0.1575, -0.1637, -0.2434, -0.2301, -0.2301, -0.2673, -0.2611, -0.0673, -0.1398, -0.1973, -0.1858, -0.1991, -0.192, -0.2695, -0.2367, -0.2664, -0.2575, -0.2496, -0.2558, -0.2124, -0.1655, -0.123, -0.1018, -0.108, -0.0965, -0.054, -0.0053, -0.0912, -0.2195, -0.185, -0.2, -0.1965, -0.2442, -0.3217, -0.3619, -0.3301, -0.3575, -0.3239, -0.3239, -0.3168, -0.3257, -0.2947, -0.3071, -0.3097, -0.2159, -0.2248, -0.1301, -0.1363, -0.1221, -0.1044, -0.1212, -0.0796, -0.1345, -0.1407, -0.1195, -0.1796, -0.2221, -0.1602, -0.1124, -0.1363, -0.1354, 0.3566, 0.3363, 0.3876, 0.4088, 0.3761, 0.4035, 0.5257, 0.4575, 0.415, 0.3637, 0.3885, 0.4611, 0.5779, 0.5779, 0.5434, 0.554, 0.585, 0.6088, 0.6088, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2011029875361218700", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-13T10:57:40+00:00", "symbol": "AVAV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AVAV - Drone Strikes", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long defense pure-plays OSS, AVAV, BA, NOC, RTX, KTOS as direct beneficiaries of anticipated US military intervention in Iran.", "resolved_tickers": ["AVAV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Urgent: US Government: “Leave Iran Now”.\n\nThis implies direct US intervention. \n\nThe last event was with GBU-57A/B MOPs.\n\nHere’s how to profit off US invading Iran.\n\nDepartment of War stocks:\n\n$OSS - Edge AI\n$AVAV - Drone Strikes\n$BA, $NOC, $RTX - Bunker Bombs\n$KTOS - Valkyries for drawing enemy fire, jam radars, and lead F-35s and B-21s\n\nIt’s pretty simple. Especially following US invasion of Venezuela. \n\nThere’s likely a lot of market volatility but the largest beneficiaries are pure play War verticals.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.018743493648055942, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.018743493648055942, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.016740012631768497, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.023865040708864527, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002003481016287445, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0051215470608085845, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04930468631793228, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04930468631793228, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05421992365955086, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04771928784440438, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0049152373416185835, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0015853984735278992, "ret_p1w": -0.0906116968901357, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0906116968901357, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06727539066656196, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08768515188233095, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023336306223573744, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0029265450078047595, "ret_p1m": -0.3310064091445718, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3310064091445718, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3283974994719161, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.39703905325764766, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026089096726557015, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06603264411307586, "ret_p3m": -0.5060737413951766, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.5060737413951766, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4881219833760918, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5548022831672497, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.017951758019084774, "bench_c_p3m": 0.048728541772073086, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0281, -0.0365, 0.0005, 0.0366, -0.0239, 0.0012, 0.0403, 0.0447, 0.0442, 0.0461, 0.0054, 0.0166, 0.011, 0.0034, -0.0362, -0.0979, -0.094, -0.0824, -0.0983, -0.1114, -0.1879, -0.1997, -0.2204, -0.2279, -0.2293, -0.247, -0.251, -0.2387, -0.2347, -0.2327, -0.2327, -0.232, -0.2915, -0.2718, -0.2531, -0.21, -0.2349, -0.2237, -0.2266, -0.326, -0.3136, -0.3432, -0.3533, -0.3551, -0.3704, -0.366, -0.3321, -0.2981, -0.2823, -0.2835, -0.2835, -0.2992, -0.3153, -0.3294, -0.3352, -0.3352, -0.2959, -0.1826, -0.1287, -0.1247, -0.0519, 0.0031, 0.0187, 0.0, 0.0493, 0.0404, 0.0797, 0.0797, -0.0906, -0.1216, -0.1422, -0.1542, -0.1682, -0.1492, -0.1564, -0.1941, -0.2349, -0.258, -0.2156, -0.2929, -0.349, -0.2931, -0.246, -0.2765, -0.331, -0.3538, -0.3298, -0.3298, -0.2772, -0.2704, -0.2259, -0.2727, -0.2818, -0.2793, -0.2986, -0.2865, -0.3067, -0.4275, -0.3726, -0.3776, -0.3938, -0.3684, -0.3753, -0.3911, -0.4291, -0.4177, -0.4309, -0.4177, -0.3885, -0.4068, -0.4191, -0.4566, -0.4331, -0.4608, -0.453, -0.4616, -0.4931, -0.5136, -0.4969, -0.4957, -0.4933, -0.4933, -0.4799, -0.4865, -0.4862, -0.5116, -0.5061, -0.4658, -0.4654, -0.4547, -0.4449, -0.4739, -0.458, -0.4227, -0.4226, -0.4451, -0.4606, -0.462, -0.4714, -0.4957, -0.464, -0.4916, -0.5046, -0.5419, -0.5208, -0.5378, -0.5375, -0.5425, -0.5359, -0.5575, -0.5458, -0.5658, -0.5561, -0.5596, -0.5496, -0.5518, -0.5212, -0.5212, -0.4991, -0.5018, -0.4108, -0.4304, -0.4304, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2011029875361218700", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-13T10:57:40+00:00", "symbol": "BA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$BA, $NOC, $RTX - Bunker Bombs", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long defense pure-plays OSS, AVAV, BA, NOC, RTX, KTOS as direct beneficiaries of anticipated US military intervention in Iran.", "resolved_tickers": ["BA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Urgent: US Government: “Leave Iran Now”.\n\nThis implies direct US intervention. \n\nThe last event was with GBU-57A/B MOPs.\n\nHere’s how to profit off US invading Iran.\n\nDepartment of War stocks:\n\n$OSS - Edge AI\n$AVAV - Drone Strikes\n$BA, $NOC, $RTX - Bunker Bombs\n$KTOS - Valkyries for drawing enemy fire, jam radars, and lead F-35s and B-21s\n\nIt’s pretty simple. Especially following US invasion of Venezuela. \n\nThere’s likely a lot of market volatility but the largest beneficiaries are pure play War verticals.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.019382561578463187, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019382561578463187, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02138604259475063, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02138604259475063, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002003481016287445, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002003481016287445, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007932947933742884, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007932947933742884, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.003017710592124301, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.003017710592124301, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0049152373416185835, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0049152373416185835, "ret_p1w": 0.018196675087754466, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.018196675087754466, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04153298131132821, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04153298131132821, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023336306223573744, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023336306223573744, "ret_p1m": -0.033899032678267216, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.033899032678267216, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.031290123005611514, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.031290123005611514, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026089096726557015, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0026089096726557015, "ret_p3m": -0.11007972943368893, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11007972943368893, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09212797141460416, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09212797141460416, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.017951758019084774, "bench_c_p3m": -0.017951758019084774, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1336, -0.1293, -0.1134, -0.1116, -0.1143, -0.1095, -0.0949, -0.0881, -0.0868, -0.1266, -0.1818, -0.178, -0.1636, -0.1901, -0.1919, -0.1965, -0.2042, -0.2034, -0.2018, -0.2006, -0.2043, -0.2046, -0.2157, -0.2246, -0.2406, -0.2665, -0.2652, -0.2676, -0.254, -0.2357, -0.2357, -0.2272, -0.2375, -0.1602, -0.1718, -0.1745, -0.1744, -0.1565, -0.1807, -0.1874, -0.1793, -0.1643, -0.1597, -0.1547, -0.1563, -0.1484, -0.1246, -0.1133, -0.1133, -0.1079, -0.1079, -0.1149, -0.1116, -0.1065, -0.1122, -0.1122, -0.0686, -0.0671, -0.0602, -0.0672, -0.0702, -0.041, -0.0194, 0.0, -0.0079, 0.013, 0.0128, 0.0128, 0.0182, 0.0226, 0.0281, 0.0311, 0.0159, 0.0, -0.0121, -0.043, -0.0443, -0.0471, -0.0466, -0.0352, -0.0311, -0.0062, 0.0007, -0.008, -0.0339, -0.0213, -0.0065, -0.0065, -0.0021, -0.023, -0.0443, -0.0512, -0.0577, -0.0456, -0.058, -0.0619, -0.0696, -0.0606, -0.0835, -0.0705, -0.092, -0.055, -0.0799, -0.1095, -0.1245, -0.1627, -0.1417, -0.1271, -0.1379, -0.1577, -0.1773, -0.2021, -0.1887, -0.1968, -0.1838, -0.2052, -0.2209, -0.2263, -0.1861, -0.1522, -0.1486, -0.1486, -0.1319, -0.1413, -0.1094, -0.1001, -0.1101, -0.0916, -0.085, -0.0843, -0.105, -0.0866, -0.0796, -0.1038, -0.0543, -0.0425, -0.0495, -0.0541, -0.0566, -0.0836, -0.0635, -0.0702, -0.0951, -0.0825, -0.0598, -0.0553, -0.0294, -0.0259, -0.0314, -0.0162, -0.0627, -0.0984, -0.0979, -0.1208, -0.0914, -0.102, -0.1044, -0.1044, -0.1049, -0.0828, -0.0645, -0.0548, -0.0548, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2011029875361218700", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-01-13T10:57:40+00:00", "symbol": "NOC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$BA, $NOC, $RTX - Bunker Bombs", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long defense pure-plays OSS, AVAV, BA, NOC, RTX, KTOS as direct beneficiaries of anticipated US military intervention in Iran.", "resolved_tickers": ["NOC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Urgent: US Government: “Leave Iran Now”.\n\nThis implies direct US intervention. \n\nThe last event was with GBU-57A/B MOPs.\n\nHere’s how to profit off US invading Iran.\n\nDepartment of War stocks:\n\n$OSS - Edge AI\n$AVAV - Drone Strikes\n$BA, $NOC, $RTX - Bunker Bombs\n$KTOS - Valkyries for drawing enemy fire, jam radars, and lead F-35s and B-21s\n\nIt’s pretty simple. Especially following US invasion of Venezuela. \n\nThere’s likely a lot of market volatility but the largest beneficiaries are pure play War verticals.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.006107107707385984, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006107107707385984, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004103626691098539, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004103626691098539, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002003481016287445, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002003481016287445, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04418864949389523, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04418864949389523, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04910388683551381, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04910388683551381, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0049152373416185835, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0049152373416185835, "ret_p1w": 0.05083934431236381, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05083934431236381, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07417565053593755, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07417565053593755, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023336306223573744, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023336306223573744, "ret_p1m": 0.08525987144600444, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08525987144600444, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08786878111866014, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08786878111866014, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026089096726557015, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0026089096726557015, "ret_p3m": 0.08055602706247411, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08055602706247411, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09850778508155889, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09850778508155889, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.017951758019084774, "bench_c_p3m": -0.017951758019084774, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0463, -0.0534, -0.0415, -0.0457, -0.0502, -0.0355, -0.0358, -0.0511, -0.0525, -0.0685, -0.0787, -0.071, -0.0838, -0.081, -0.0916, -0.0893, -0.0946, -0.1036, -0.0976, -0.1106, -0.1115, -0.1115, -0.1035, -0.0976, -0.1004, -0.0966, -0.0977, -0.0995, -0.0933, -0.097, -0.097, -0.0888, -0.1279, -0.1255, -0.1154, -0.1159, -0.1224, -0.115, -0.1197, -0.1121, -0.1047, -0.0891, -0.0795, -0.0908, -0.098, -0.1055, -0.0912, -0.0653, -0.0726, -0.069, -0.069, -0.0769, -0.0763, -0.0814, -0.0884, -0.0884, -0.0637, -0.0227, -0.0238, -0.0775, -0.0555, -0.0107, 0.0061, 0.0, 0.0442, 0.0465, 0.0662, 0.0662, 0.0508, 0.0618, 0.0718, 0.0759, 0.0567, 0.0851, 0.1017, 0.1117, 0.1067, 0.0952, 0.1271, 0.1027, 0.1135, 0.1337, 0.1159, 0.0951, 0.0853, 0.1112, 0.1232, 0.1232, 0.1209, 0.1588, 0.178, 0.1568, 0.1634, 0.1672, 0.1285, 0.1402, 0.1618, 0.2318, 0.2175, 0.209, 0.1869, 0.2127, 0.1986, 0.1788, 0.1759, 0.1809, 0.1768, 0.1804, 0.1612, 0.1625, 0.1454, 0.1338, 0.0906, 0.0941, 0.1086, 0.1098, 0.089, 0.0771, 0.0942, 0.1179, 0.1267, 0.1267, 0.1159, 0.1075, 0.1026, 0.1076, 0.0806, 0.0927, 0.0908, 0.0884, 0.079, 0.067, 0.0537, -0.0198, -0.0543, -0.0575, -0.0776, -0.0773, -0.0733, -0.0819, -0.0706, -0.0888, -0.0906, -0.1041, -0.1025, -0.1142, -0.1187, -0.1208, -0.1046, -0.115, -0.1201, -0.1328, -0.1179, -0.1077, -0.1144, -0.1154, -0.1089, -0.1089, -0.107, -0.1157, -0.103, -0.0959, -0.0959, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2011029875361218700", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-01-13T10:57:40+00:00", "symbol": "RTX", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$BA, $NOC, $RTX - Bunker Bombs", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long defense pure-plays OSS, AVAV, BA, NOC, RTX, KTOS as direct beneficiaries of anticipated US military intervention in Iran.", "resolved_tickers": ["RTX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Urgent: US Government: “Leave Iran Now”.\n\nThis implies direct US intervention. \n\nThe last event was with GBU-57A/B MOPs.\n\nHere’s how to profit off US invading Iran.\n\nDepartment of War stocks:\n\n$OSS - Edge AI\n$AVAV - Drone Strikes\n$BA, $NOC, $RTX - Bunker Bombs\n$KTOS - Valkyries for drawing enemy fire, jam radars, and lead F-35s and B-21s\n\nIt’s pretty simple. Especially following US invasion of Venezuela. \n\nThere’s likely a lot of market volatility but the largest beneficiaries are pure play War verticals.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0011850734450871148, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0011850734450871148, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0031885544613745598, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00393647361572147, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002003481016287445, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0051215470608085845, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02452589537166272, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02452589537166272, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.029441132713281304, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02294049689813482, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0049152373416185835, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0015853984735278992, "ret_p1w": 0.01174768114213176, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01174768114213176, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.035083987365705505, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01467422614993652, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023336306223573744, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0029265450078047595, "ret_p1m": 0.012520620563103657, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.012520620563103657, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.015129530235759359, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0535120235499722, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026089096726557015, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06603264411307586, "ret_p3m": 0.04199022316388068, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04199022316388068, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.059941981182965454, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.006738318608192406, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.017951758019084774, "bench_c_p3m": 0.048728541772073086, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.194, -0.1894, -0.1752, -0.1119, -0.0866, -0.0791, -0.0831, -0.0801, -0.083, -0.0949, -0.0894, -0.0839, -0.0914, -0.0987, -0.107, -0.1013, -0.0917, -0.0812, -0.0802, -0.0881, -0.1072, -0.0989, -0.0986, -0.1033, -0.1082, -0.1135, -0.1257, -0.1075, -0.113, -0.1076, -0.1076, -0.0988, -0.1343, -0.1303, -0.1321, -0.1173, -0.1184, -0.1162, -0.1141, -0.0998, -0.0858, -0.0795, -0.0617, -0.0729, -0.087, -0.0814, -0.0622, -0.0433, -0.0429, -0.0397, -0.0397, -0.0459, -0.0498, -0.0519, -0.055, -0.055, -0.0352, -0.03, -0.019, -0.043, -0.0356, -0.0288, -0.0012, 0.0, 0.0245, 0.0296, 0.0404, 0.0404, 0.0117, 0.0176, 0.0116, 0.0095, 0.0003, 0.0371, 0.0277, 0.0299, 0.0353, 0.0361, 0.0485, 0.0137, 0.0097, 0.0236, 0.0109, 0.0057, 0.0125, 0.0364, 0.0308, 0.0308, 0.0485, 0.0553, 0.0584, 0.0594, 0.0439, 0.026, 0.0131, 0.0217, 0.0475, 0.0968, 0.0676, 0.0795, 0.0539, 0.0844, 0.0765, 0.0701, 0.0715, 0.0496, 0.0573, 0.0653, 0.0511, 0.0575, 0.0377, 0.0244, 0.0071, 0.0029, 0.0081, -0.003, -0.0193, -0.0325, -0.0028, 0.0066, 0.0143, 0.0143, 0.0257, 0.0232, 0.0519, 0.0504, 0.042, 0.0412, 0.0485, 0.0256, 0.0125, 0.0154, 0.0122, -0.0324, -0.0648, -0.0731, -0.0991, -0.1037, -0.0918, -0.1067, -0.0898, -0.1005, -0.1062, -0.1063, -0.0863, -0.0861, -0.0897, -0.0767, -0.0752, -0.0792, -0.0918, -0.1151, -0.0904, -0.098, -0.0961, -0.0902, -0.0811, -0.0811, -0.0709, -0.0833, -0.071, -0.0674, -0.0674, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2011029875361218700", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2026-01-13T10:57:40+00:00", "symbol": "KTOS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$KTOS - Valkyries for drawing enemy fire, jam radars, and lead F-35s and B-21s", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long defense pure-plays OSS, AVAV, BA, NOC, RTX, KTOS as direct beneficiaries of anticipated US military intervention in Iran.", "resolved_tickers": ["KTOS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Urgent: US Government: “Leave Iran Now”.\n\nThis implies direct US intervention. \n\nThe last event was with GBU-57A/B MOPs.\n\nHere’s how to profit off US invading Iran.\n\nDepartment of War stocks:\n\n$OSS - Edge AI\n$AVAV - Drone Strikes\n$BA, $NOC, $RTX - Bunker Bombs\n$KTOS - Valkyries for drawing enemy fire, jam radars, and lead F-35s and B-21s\n\nIt’s pretty simple. Especially following US invasion of Venezuela. \n\nThere’s likely a lot of market volatility but the largest beneficiaries are pure play War verticals.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.015536256192669629, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.015536256192669629, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017539737208957074, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017539737208957074, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002003481016287445, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002003481016287445, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014868015044666283, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014868015044666283, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.019783252386284866, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.019783252386284866, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0049152373416185835, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0049152373416185835, "ret_p1w": 0.07484122422084205, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07484122422084205, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0981775304444158, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0981775304444158, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023336306223573744, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023336306223573744, "ret_p1m": -0.26678919241343013, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.26678919241343013, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.26418028274077443, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.26418028274077443, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026089096726557015, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0026089096726557015, "ret_p3m": -0.4124624488750276, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4124624488750276, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3945106908559428, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3945106908559428, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.017951758019084774, "bench_c_p3m": -0.017951758019084774, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2598, -0.3057, -0.2762, -0.2431, -0.2959, -0.2539, -0.2384, -0.2426, -0.2501, -0.2381, -0.2624, -0.2432, -0.2391, -0.2464, -0.3534, -0.3952, -0.3495, -0.3386, -0.3603, -0.3593, -0.4012, -0.3948, -0.4133, -0.4123, -0.4097, -0.4378, -0.4225, -0.381, -0.3731, -0.3671, -0.3671, -0.3644, -0.3885, -0.4073, -0.3921, -0.3512, -0.361, -0.3566, -0.3566, -0.3576, -0.342, -0.3655, -0.3797, -0.3892, -0.4172, -0.4036, -0.3703, -0.319, -0.3126, -0.332, -0.332, -0.351, -0.3529, -0.3654, -0.3659, -0.3659, -0.3377, -0.2488, -0.2321, -0.2362, -0.131, -0.0503, -0.0155, 0.0, 0.0149, 0.0404, 0.0919, 0.0919, 0.0748, 0.0073, -0.049, -0.0779, -0.0702, -0.0139, -0.0589, -0.0966, -0.1396, -0.1968, -0.1366, -0.2371, -0.2879, -0.2114, -0.1747, -0.2192, -0.2668, -0.2729, -0.2561, -0.2561, -0.2318, -0.188, -0.1174, -0.1975, -0.2122, -0.2426, -0.263, -0.2304, -0.2802, -0.2422, -0.257, -0.2555, -0.2855, -0.2733, -0.2276, -0.2569, -0.2573, -0.2528, -0.2689, -0.2522, -0.2039, -0.2229, -0.225, -0.2932, -0.301, -0.3527, -0.3319, -0.3664, -0.3991, -0.4547, -0.411, -0.4345, -0.4378, -0.4378, -0.3811, -0.3989, -0.378, -0.4293, -0.4125, -0.3856, -0.3847, -0.3764, -0.3785, -0.407, -0.4167, -0.4274, -0.4269, -0.4527, -0.4883, -0.4724, -0.485, -0.5025, -0.4734, -0.4817, -0.4827, -0.5046, -0.4861, -0.5239, -0.5165, -0.524, -0.5211, -0.5616, -0.5418, -0.5649, -0.5471, -0.5534, -0.5337, -0.5434, -0.5307, -0.5307, -0.5256, -0.5214, -0.4555, -0.4643, -0.4643, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1973796384563474697", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-02T17:05:04+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CIFR is a great buy given its smaller marketcap, high upside", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish both CIFR (great buy, high upside, smaller market cap) and NBIS (preferred for faster revenue ramp).", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@waelanwar1111 CIFR is $NBIS-light in terms of hyperscaler contracts with $GOOGL instead of $MSFT, non-toxic debt. \n\nObviously prefer Nebius because of faster forward revenue ramp, but CIFR is a great buy given its smaller marketcap, high upside.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @DeepValueBagger What do you think about $CIFR? I have small position already at 11.7$", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "waelanwar1111", "ret_m1d": -0.08761766845627339, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08761766845627339, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0864671900441849, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08223603430409199, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011504784120884848, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005381634152181403, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0644460074298201, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0644460074298201, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06446077479204171, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06947816259763362, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4767362221612679e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0050321551678135235, "ret_p1w": 0.3026791618024789, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.3026791618024789, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.29978017266969825, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2885611946793829, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028989891327806383, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014117967123095987, "ret_p1m": 0.3504706047683024, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3504706047683024, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3312840406097546, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2997298494124674, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019186564158547803, "bench_c_p1m": 0.050740755355835, "ret_p3m": 0.05648078995444661, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05648078995444661, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.02686397365281956, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03865468825884255, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029616816301627047, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017826101695604057, "ret_p6m": -0.00470677277933218, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.00470677277933218, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.04239194043308181, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08476177213368996, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04709871321241399, "bench_c_p6m": -0.08946854491302214, "price_path": [-0.5807, -0.5634, -0.5467, -0.5482, -0.5749, -0.5634, -0.5677, -0.546, -0.5351, -0.5395, -0.5474, -0.4975, -0.5163, -0.5185, -0.5315, -0.5539, -0.5887, -0.6054, -0.6046, -0.643, -0.6242, -0.6372, -0.6227, -0.6474, -0.656, -0.6553, -0.6582, -0.6452, -0.6148, -0.6227, -0.5619, -0.5829, -0.5692, -0.5728, -0.538, -0.5192, -0.4844, -0.4938, -0.4917, -0.4468, -0.4468, -0.3975, -0.4127, -0.4642, -0.4555, -0.441, -0.3324, -0.2578, -0.2781, -0.2143, -0.2143, -0.1665, -0.1035, -0.1419, -0.1108, 0.0109, 0.0246, 0.0239, -0.1557, -0.1694, -0.084, -0.0883, -0.0876, 0.0, 0.0644, 0.1108, 0.1405, 0.2744, 0.3027, 0.2288, 0.4728, 0.5127, 0.5228, 0.3555, 0.3584, 0.4417, 0.3088, 0.1665, 0.2495, 0.496, 0.4873, 0.4453, 0.4185, 0.3809, 0.3505, 0.6481, 0.63, 0.7893, 0.572, 0.4982, 0.4229, 0.3519, 0.2585, 0.0811, 0.0398, 0.0391, 0.0558, 0.0587, 0.0543, 0.0246, 0.21, 0.2686, 0.3867, 0.3867, 0.4736, 0.4258, 0.2773, 0.349, 0.4359, 0.3961, 0.4106, 0.4164, 0.3382, 0.3671, 0.2346, 0.0673, 0.0854, 0.042, 0.097, 0.1738, 0.1832, 0.1521, 0.1745, 0.1745, 0.0999, 0.092, 0.0565, 0.0688, 0.0688, 0.1731, 0.315, 0.2701, 0.1644, 0.1984, 0.2042, 0.2802, 0.3215, 0.3128, 0.2686, 0.3613, 0.3613, 0.2976, 0.2831, 0.2592, 0.2723, 0.1941, 0.3577, 0.3736, 0.2817, 0.1557, 0.1448, 0.1774, 0.0319, -0.0804, 0.0666, 0.2136, 0.2382, 0.1789, 0.1658, 0.189, 0.189, 0.1325, 0.1166, 0.1441, 0.0608, 0.1021, 0.2397, 0.2028, 0.1933, 0.1296, 0.1412, 0.0652, 0.1615, 0.097, -0.0138, 0.0362, 0.0109, 0.0217, -0.0072, 0.0196, 0.0963, 0.0927, 0.0623, 0.0601, 0.0145, 0.0782, 0.0775, 0.1499, 0.0391, -0.0047]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1973796384563474697", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-02T17:05:04+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Obviously prefer Nebius because of faster forward revenue ramp", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish both CIFR (great buy, high upside, smaller market cap) and NBIS (preferred for faster revenue ramp).", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@waelanwar1111 CIFR is $NBIS-light in terms of hyperscaler contracts with $GOOGL instead of $MSFT, non-toxic debt. \n\nObviously prefer Nebius because of faster forward revenue ramp, but CIFR is a great buy given its smaller marketcap, high upside.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @DeepValueBagger What do you think about $CIFR? I have small position already at 11.7$", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "waelanwar1111", "ret_m1d": -0.0815126869972923, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0815126869972923, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08036220858520382, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08374542506568405, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011504784120884848, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0022327380683917486, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01676333172566702, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01676333172566702, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01677809908788863, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01727850796170094, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4767362221612679e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0005151762360339207, "ret_p1w": 0.05378562401954223, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05378562401954223, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.050886634886761595, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06692429946603051, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028989891327806383, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01313867544648828, "ret_p1m": 0.03932632453820406, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03932632453820406, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.020139760379656257, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05340956667881569, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019186564158547803, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01408324214061163, "ret_p3m": -0.3233495168787698, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3233495168787698, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.35296633318039683, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.34243886359072817, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029616816301627047, "bench_c_p3m": 0.019089346711958388, "ret_p6m": -0.1990148765007319, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1990148765007319, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.15191616328831792, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.12412626613538336, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04709871321241399, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07488861036534855, "price_path": [-0.6199, -0.6258, -0.6341, -0.6311, -0.648, -0.5873, -0.5747, -0.5765, -0.5734, -0.5806, -0.5839, -0.5947, -0.5878, -0.5856, -0.5919, -0.5809, -0.5996, -0.5925, -0.5676, -0.5869, -0.5696, -0.5617, -0.5623, -0.4811, -0.4536, -0.442, -0.4015, -0.4389, -0.4561, -0.431, -0.4237, -0.4662, -0.464, -0.4742, -0.452, -0.4437, -0.4401, -0.4431, -0.4277, -0.4572, -0.4572, -0.4779, -0.4784, -0.4843, -0.4799, -0.4911, -0.2395, -0.258, -0.2914, -0.2817, -0.2773, -0.2895, -0.2526, -0.2522, -0.211, -0.1531, -0.1436, -0.1004, -0.1424, -0.1444, -0.1243, -0.108, -0.0815, 0.0, 0.0168, -0.0074, -0.0649, -0.0307, 0.0538, 0.0295, 0.0762, 0.0181, -0.0003, -0.0225, -0.0988, -0.134, -0.1715, -0.2165, -0.1566, -0.0684, -0.0035, -0.0321, -0.0061, -0.0134, 0.0393, -0.0429, -0.1218, -0.0705, -0.1305, -0.1159, -0.1265, -0.1879, -0.2503, -0.2959, -0.3363, -0.3169, -0.2807, -0.2447, -0.3276, -0.3385, -0.2699, -0.2939, -0.2477, -0.2477, -0.2463, -0.2043, -0.2337, -0.2141, -0.1833, -0.2211, -0.2029, -0.2341, -0.2565, -0.251, -0.3033, -0.3554, -0.3569, -0.4006, -0.3796, -0.2893, -0.2593, -0.2847, -0.276, -0.276, -0.3041, -0.3164, -0.3233, -0.335, -0.335, -0.2854, -0.2625, -0.2036, -0.2356, -0.227, -0.222, -0.1473, -0.1624, -0.1898, -0.1747, -0.1362, -0.1362, -0.2112, -0.2145, -0.2306, -0.2492, -0.2734, -0.2225, -0.2021, -0.246, -0.3232, -0.2996, -0.2854, -0.3454, -0.4131, -0.316, -0.2621, -0.2708, -0.296, -0.2871, -0.2213, -0.2213, -0.2252, -0.1912, -0.1451, -0.2221, -0.2007, -0.185, -0.1569, -0.1668, -0.2755, -0.277, -0.3104, -0.2232, -0.2401, -0.2903, -0.2457, -0.2339, -0.1102, -0.1417, -0.1026, 0.0316, -0.0758, -0.0581, -0.0346, -0.0655, -0.0931, -0.0871, -0.0856, -0.1581, -0.199]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2009077684853485905", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-08T01:40:21+00:00", "symbol": "OSS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Market will realize that too and re-rate it from commodity status to a high tech dod contractor premium", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish OSS on Bressner sale unlocking pure-play defense re-rating to premium contractor multiple; also bullish AIRO on $1.5T defense spend tailwind.", "resolved_tickers": ["OSS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Nuanced, the Bressner sale is extremely extremely positive. I didn’t enter $OSS originally because that division messed up blended margin calculations.\n\nBut after discovering their pure play defense vertical and margins, I realized it was extraordinarily specialized. Market will realize that too and re-rate it from commodity status to a high tech dod contractor premium.\n\nAlgorithmically they might misunderstand from revenue changes but the people who long the stock will see this as incredibly positive on their position scaling a high margin, demand > capacity vertical. \n\nThen there’s the $1.5T in defense spend following down to this small defense contractor and drone companies like $AIRO, so just bullish all around on the stock (esp as we transition to robotics)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Do you think the sale of Bressner will cause a big revenue hit next earnings (given that it brought in the majority of revenue for the company)? Although it’s now going to be grow margins a lot faster, we know what Wall Street are like", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "bennybigbull", "ret_m1d": -0.10466440048766501, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10466440048766501, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.10476594347958301, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.10476594347958301, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0001015429919180022, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0001015429919180022, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08191129353281867, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08191129353281867, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08852463592691129, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.08852463592691129, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006613342394092614, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006613342394092614, "ret_p1w": 0.23435727287334696, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.23435727287334696, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.23039798380210663, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.23039798380210663, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003959289071240324, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003959289071240324, "ret_p1m": 0.05119451777224726, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05119451777224726, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04958474180946171, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04958474180946171, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0016097759627855535, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0016097759627855535, "ret_p3m": -0.13310581130506582, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.13310581130506582, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09178704477548216, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09178704477548216, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04131876652958366, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04131876652958366, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3276, -0.3072, -0.2833, -0.3618, -0.4107, -0.3936, -0.3982, -0.4323, -0.4152, -0.4061, -0.4005, -0.4243, -0.4187, -0.4357, -0.4312, -0.4164, -0.463, -0.3447, -0.3925, -0.4096, -0.3823, -0.3618, -0.3697, -0.413, -0.4187, -0.4619, -0.4585, -0.4858, -0.5063, -0.4926, -0.4721, -0.4755, -0.3231, -0.3231, -0.3072, -0.3265, -0.3094, -0.2981, -0.2537, -0.2059, -0.1615, -0.1388, -0.1206, -0.1081, -0.1388, -0.2207, -0.2059, -0.2287, -0.1843, -0.1638, -0.1741, -0.157, -0.1775, -0.1775, -0.182, -0.19, -0.1866, -0.1832, -0.1832, -0.2264, -0.215, -0.2673, -0.1047, 0.0, -0.0819, 0.1889, 0.2856, 0.3299, 0.2344, 0.2127, 0.2127, 0.2264, 0.3276, 0.2901, 0.2059, 0.1513, 0.1957, 0.1786, 0.2082, 0.1251, 0.0865, 0.0853, 0.0193, -0.0842, 0.0512, 0.0978, 0.083, 0.0751, -0.0273, -0.0102, -0.0102, -0.058, -0.0501, 0.1991, 0.1058, 0.0319, 0.0466, 0.0296, 0.0387, -0.0609, -0.0188, -0.0569, -0.0455, -0.0353, -0.0432, 0.0125, 0.0728, 0.1274, 0.1547, 0.1468, 0.1615, 0.2162, 0.2787, 0.1684, 0.0034, 0.0478, 0.0284, 0.033, -0.0284, -0.128, -0.1797, -0.1388, -0.1741, -0.1308, -0.1308, -0.1217, -0.1331, -0.0933, -0.1092, -0.1126, 0.008, -0.0034, 0.1183, 0.1104, 0.1286, 0.1513, 0.1297, 0.1832, 0.1126, 0.1047, 0.132, 0.0546, 0.0, 0.0796, 0.1411, 0.1104, 0.1115, 0.744, 0.7179, 0.7838, 0.8111, 0.7691, 0.8043, 0.9613, 0.8737, 0.8191, 0.7531, 0.785, 0.8783, 1.0284, 1.0284, 0.9841, 0.9977, 1.0375, 1.0683, 1.0683, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2009077684853485905", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-08T01:40:21+00:00", "symbol": "AIRO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "just bullish all around on the stock (esp as we transition to robotics)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish OSS on Bressner sale unlocking pure-play defense re-rating to premium contractor multiple; also bullish AIRO on $1.5T defense spend tailwind.", "resolved_tickers": ["AIRO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Nuanced, the Bressner sale is extremely extremely positive. I didn’t enter $OSS originally because that division messed up blended margin calculations.\n\nBut after discovering their pure play defense vertical and margins, I realized it was extraordinarily specialized. Market will realize that too and re-rate it from commodity status to a high tech dod contractor premium.\n\nAlgorithmically they might misunderstand from revenue changes but the people who long the stock will see this as incredibly positive on their position scaling a high margin, demand > capacity vertical. \n\nThen there’s the $1.5T in defense spend following down to this small defense contractor and drone companies like $AIRO, so just bullish all around on the stock (esp as we transition to robotics)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Do you think the sale of Bressner will cause a big revenue hit next earnings (given that it brought in the majority of revenue for the company)? Although it’s now going to be grow margins a lot faster, we know what Wall Street are like", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "bennybigbull", "ret_m1d": -0.10125523493388089, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10125523493388089, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.10135677792579889, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09376318024913266, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0001015429919180022, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007492054684748228, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.045188282047866846, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.045188282047866846, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03857493965377423, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03420006892435645, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006613342394092614, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010988213123510393, "ret_p1w": 0.10460251212981975, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10460251212981975, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10064322305857942, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06957730216781255, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003959289071240324, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0350252099620072, "ret_p1m": -0.1933053977248922, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1933053977248922, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19491517368767775, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2745314682753366, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0016097759627855535, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0812260705504444, "ret_p3m": -0.2686192543415924, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2686192543415924, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.22730048781200873, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2971614386228465, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04131876652958366, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0285421842812541, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.5523, 0.6803, 0.6326, 0.5732, 0.4644, 0.5289, 0.5046, 0.431, 0.4435, 0.4628, 0.4502, 0.4075, 0.4059, 0.3682, 0.369, 0.3623, 0.1941, 0.1879, 0.0979, 0.1272, 0.1548, 0.1406, 0.1188, 0.0669, -0.1548, -0.1356, -0.1749, -0.2577, -0.3423, -0.3314, -0.3414, -0.3439, -0.3105, -0.3105, -0.2762, -0.3146, -0.3071, -0.2678, -0.1975, -0.2067, -0.1874, -0.1967, -0.1862, -0.1883, -0.2887, -0.3339, -0.3565, -0.3799, -0.3791, -0.328, -0.2385, -0.2301, -0.2176, -0.2176, -0.2686, -0.3054, -0.318, -0.3155, -0.3155, -0.2268, -0.1531, -0.0669, -0.1013, 0.0, 0.0452, 0.0444, 0.0778, 0.1071, 0.1046, 0.1188, 0.1188, 0.0653, 0.0184, 0.0485, 0.0201, -0.0418, -0.0209, -0.0502, -0.0862, -0.1389, -0.159, -0.1473, -0.2008, -0.2904, -0.1933, -0.1548, -0.2025, -0.2293, -0.2377, -0.2301, -0.2301, -0.2343, -0.2167, -0.1456, -0.2209, -0.1925, -0.1573, -0.1715, -0.149, -0.1799, -0.1046, -0.1582, -0.1565, -0.1431, -0.1565, -0.1172, -0.1021, -0.1213, -0.149, -0.1808, -0.1573, -0.1113, -0.1649, -0.1665, -0.2318, -0.1841, -0.205, -0.2117, -0.2418, -0.282, -0.2828, -0.3636, -0.3121, -0.2711, -0.2711, -0.2678, -0.2686, -0.2619, -0.3238, -0.3406, -0.3423, -0.3238, -0.3004, -0.2762, -0.3247, -0.2812, -0.2971, -0.272, -0.3096, -0.3364, -0.3121, -0.3339, -0.3724, -0.3607, -0.3791, -0.3941, -0.4017, -0.3782, -0.3958, -0.3858, -0.3364, -0.3448, -0.3448, -0.4464, -0.4669, -0.4971, -0.5105, -0.4996, -0.4762, -0.451, -0.451, -0.4142, -0.39, -0.2561, -0.2485, -0.2485, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1985418007548665992", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-03T18:45:14+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "AWS deal looks amazing on top of their existing $GOOGL deals through Fluidstack. So well deserving of their 20% bump.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long CIFR on AWS+Google deals; short IREN on worse-than-expected margins and asset-purchase model; NBIS deal superior vs IREN on profitability/margins.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "For $CIFR, doesn't matter about current earnings, market prices in forward earnings. And at first glance AWS deal looks amazing on top of their existing $GOOGL deals through Fluidstack. So well deserving of their 20% bump.\n\nFor $IREN on the other hand, the contract worse and worse when you examine it more. \n\nRevenue does not matter. FCF/margins from that revenue is what matters, especially since they're spending $5.8bn GPUs. I've seen some conservative-case calculations where they generate ~Annualized operating profit 98m+/year, which is really low.\n\nEven so optimistically, gross margins are in the <30s or even 20s, and not the 90%+ HPC segments that others are quoting. This is the reality of margins at scale. \n\nIREN is buying the asset, rather than the colocation service people kept claiming $IREN would do. \n\n$NBIS deal with MSFT was extremely better than IREN’s in terms of profitability and margins when normalized to 300 MW. But of course I need to spend more time on modeling.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thoughts on CIFR; they missed targets in their report, and their $5.5B is 15 years!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "iamsattam", "ret_m1d": -0.18057998985149748, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.18057998985149748, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1787067282932877, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.17650588976145865, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004074100090038835, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010984182666340936, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010984182666340936, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0008693572761065971, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015414351979372798, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "bench_c_p1d": -0.026398534645713734, "ret_p1w": -0.13664325918613363, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.13664325918613363, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.13386274042365043, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11551123428013821, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "bench_c_p1w": -0.021132024905995417, "ret_p1m": -0.2249560978798345, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2249560978798345, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.22230735598058582, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.18318871648704038, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04176738139279412, "ret_p3m": -0.22231983370199526, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22231983370199526, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24097932974307523, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.19673451757203964, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "bench_c_p3m": -0.025585316129955626, "ret_p6m": -0.24165201865950103, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.24165201865950103, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.28906959187223813, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.29021615532764855, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04856413666814752, "price_path": [-0.7711, -0.786, -0.7913, -0.7909, -0.7926, -0.7847, -0.7663, -0.7711, -0.7342, -0.7469, -0.7386, -0.7408, -0.7197, -0.7083, -0.6872, -0.6929, -0.6916, -0.6643, -0.6643, -0.6344, -0.6437, -0.6749, -0.6696, -0.6608, -0.5949, -0.5496, -0.562, -0.5233, -0.5233, -0.4943, -0.4561, -0.4793, -0.4605, -0.3866, -0.3783, -0.3787, -0.4877, -0.496, -0.4442, -0.4468, -0.4464, -0.3932, -0.3541, -0.326, -0.308, -0.2267, -0.2096, -0.2544, -0.1063, -0.0822, -0.076, -0.1775, -0.1757, -0.1252, -0.2058, -0.2922, -0.2419, -0.0923, -0.0975, -0.123, -0.1393, -0.1621, -0.1806, 0.0, -0.011, 0.0857, -0.0461, -0.0909, -0.1366, -0.1797, -0.2364, -0.344, -0.3691, -0.3695, -0.3594, -0.3576, -0.3603, -0.3783, -0.2658, -0.2302, -0.1586, -0.1586, -0.1059, -0.1349, -0.225, -0.1815, -0.1287, -0.1529, -0.1441, -0.1406, -0.188, -0.1705, -0.2509, -0.3524, -0.3414, -0.3678, -0.3344, -0.2878, -0.2821, -0.301, -0.2873, -0.2873, -0.3326, -0.3374, -0.359, -0.3515, -0.3515, -0.2882, -0.2021, -0.2293, -0.2935, -0.2728, -0.2693, -0.2232, -0.1982, -0.2034, -0.2302, -0.174, -0.174, -0.2127, -0.2214, -0.2359, -0.228, -0.2755, -0.1762, -0.1665, -0.2223, -0.2988, -0.3054, -0.2856, -0.3739, -0.442, -0.3528, -0.2636, -0.2487, -0.2847, -0.2926, -0.2786, -0.2786, -0.3128, -0.3225, -0.3058, -0.3563, -0.3313, -0.2478, -0.2702, -0.2759, -0.3146, -0.3076, -0.3537, -0.2953, -0.3344, -0.4016, -0.3713, -0.3866, -0.3801, -0.3976, -0.3814, -0.3348, -0.337, -0.3554, -0.3568, -0.3844, -0.3458, -0.3462, -0.3023, -0.3695, -0.3961, -0.4721, -0.4345, -0.4446, -0.4367, -0.4367, -0.4134, -0.3844, -0.3225, -0.2812, -0.2737, -0.2197, -0.1894, -0.2091, -0.2381, -0.1489, -0.1525, -0.2074, -0.1459, -0.1788, -0.2004, -0.2021, -0.2417]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1985418007548665992", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-03T18:45:14+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the contract worse and worse when you examine it more... gross margins are in the <30s or even 20s, and not the 90%+ HPC segments that others are quoting... IREN is buying the asset, rather than the colocation service people kept claiming $IREN would do.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long CIFR on AWS+Google deals; short IREN on worse-than-expected margins and asset-purchase model; NBIS deal superior vs IREN on profitability/margins.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "For $CIFR, doesn't matter about current earnings, market prices in forward earnings. And at first glance AWS deal looks amazing on top of their existing $GOOGL deals through Fluidstack. So well deserving of their 20% bump.\n\nFor $IREN on the other hand, the contract worse and worse when you examine it more. \n\nRevenue does not matter. FCF/margins from that revenue is what matters, especially since they're spending $5.8bn GPUs. I've seen some conservative-case calculations where they generate ~Annualized operating profit 98m+/year, which is really low.\n\nEven so optimistically, gross margins are in the <30s or even 20s, and not the 90%+ HPC segments that others are quoting. This is the reality of margins at scale. \n\nIREN is buying the asset, rather than the colocation service people kept claiming $IREN would do. \n\n$NBIS deal with MSFT was extremely better than IREN’s in terms of profitability and margins when normalized to 300 MW. But of course I need to spend more time on modeling.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thoughts on CIFR; they missed targets in their report, and their $5.5B is 15 years!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "iamsattam", "ret_m1d": -0.10332103321033215, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.10332103321033215, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.10144777165212238, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.10753956645400609, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004218533243673939, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01653140585360935, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01653140585360935, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004677865911161816, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0217086564081882, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005177250554578849, "ret_p1w": -0.11188194584582567, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11188194584582567, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10910142708334247, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.12760582463574355, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015723878789917878, "ret_p1m": -0.3930627463928448, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3930627463928448, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3904140044935961, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4062937683424098, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013231021949565047, "ret_p3m": -0.11675276527545553, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11675276527545553, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1354122613165355, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1471872809874556, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "bench_c_p3m": 0.030434515712000065, "ret_p6m": -0.34405906086038396, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.34405906086038396, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.39147663407312105, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.34690997950694125, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0028509186465572878, "price_path": [-0.7296, -0.7259, -0.7277, -0.7348, -0.7368, -0.7383, -0.7184, -0.7094, -0.6944, -0.7235, -0.7083, -0.7108, -0.6837, -0.6587, -0.6607, -0.67, -0.6599, -0.6092, -0.6092, -0.5703, -0.5836, -0.6143, -0.614, -0.6134, -0.5544, -0.5036, -0.5151, -0.4987, -0.4518, -0.462, -0.4406, -0.4639, -0.4297, -0.3815, -0.3835, -0.3042, -0.3168, -0.3821, -0.3221, -0.3073, -0.3051, -0.306, -0.2552, -0.1476, -0.0896, -0.1131, -0.0576, -0.1178, -0.0533, 0.0267, 0.0034, -0.0874, -0.1038, -0.1259, -0.1853, -0.235, -0.1755, -0.0716, -0.0407, -0.0787, -0.1082, -0.1407, -0.1033, 0.0, -0.0165, 0.1278, -0.0117, -0.0793, -0.1119, -0.1531, -0.1779, -0.2819, -0.3156, -0.3002, -0.279, -0.3235, -0.3584, -0.3762, -0.2843, -0.2993, -0.2849, -0.2849, -0.2943, -0.2843, -0.3931, -0.3511, -0.3144, -0.3401, -0.316, -0.3086, -0.3517, -0.3514, -0.4077, -0.4763, -0.4599, -0.5014, -0.4716, -0.4108, -0.3795, -0.379, -0.3804, -0.3804, -0.4052, -0.4183, -0.4347, -0.4425, -0.4425, -0.3697, -0.288, -0.3224, -0.3561, -0.3258, -0.3206, -0.2571, -0.2179, -0.2195, -0.2341, -0.1466, -0.1466, -0.1991, -0.2106, -0.2286, -0.1634, -0.2272, -0.1145, -0.071, -0.1168, -0.2068, -0.2165, -0.1972, -0.3367, -0.4127, -0.3826, -0.3188, -0.3663, -0.3702, -0.4092, -0.3768, -0.3768, -0.3953, -0.3789, -0.361, -0.4099, -0.3748, -0.3292, -0.3501, -0.347, -0.3956, -0.3891, -0.4266, -0.3529, -0.4077, -0.4583, -0.4267, -0.4373, -0.3804, -0.3894, -0.3863, -0.3367, -0.3659, -0.377, -0.3851, -0.3906, -0.3777, -0.3931, -0.3885, -0.4472, -0.4821, -0.5333, -0.494, -0.4968, -0.4868, -0.4868, -0.4815, -0.4725, -0.4564, -0.453, -0.4196, -0.3643, -0.3008, -0.2794, -0.2959, -0.2897, -0.2809, -0.3333, -0.2858, -0.2322, -0.2525, -0.2862, -0.3441]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1985418007548665992", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-11-03T18:45:14+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS deal with MSFT was extremely better than IREN's in terms of profitability and margins when normalized to 300 MW.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long CIFR on AWS+Google deals; short IREN on worse-than-expected margins and asset-purchase model; NBIS deal superior vs IREN on profitability/margins.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "For $CIFR, doesn't matter about current earnings, market prices in forward earnings. And at first glance AWS deal looks amazing on top of their existing $GOOGL deals through Fluidstack. So well deserving of their 20% bump.\n\nFor $IREN on the other hand, the contract worse and worse when you examine it more. \n\nRevenue does not matter. FCF/margins from that revenue is what matters, especially since they're spending $5.8bn GPUs. I've seen some conservative-case calculations where they generate ~Annualized operating profit 98m+/year, which is really low.\n\nEven so optimistically, gross margins are in the <30s or even 20s, and not the 90%+ HPC segments that others are quoting. This is the reality of margins at scale. \n\nIREN is buying the asset, rather than the colocation service people kept claiming $IREN would do. \n\n$NBIS deal with MSFT was extremely better than IREN’s in terms of profitability and margins when normalized to 300 MW. But of course I need to spend more time on modeling.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thoughts on CIFR; they missed targets in their report, and their $5.5B is 15 years!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "iamsattam", "ret_m1d": 0.08591355523068556, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08591355523068556, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08778681678889533, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07517315981838268, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010740395412302872, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08242716198685718, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08242716198685718, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07057362204440965, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.075560366211469, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006866795775388179, "ret_p1w": -0.08732467971995872, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08732467971995872, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08454416095747552, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08459559111130788, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0027290886086508426, "ret_p1m": -0.19938577263277246, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.19938577263277246, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19673703073352378, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2138236734625919, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014437900829819439, "ret_p3m": -0.21216898231591608, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21216898231591608, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23082847835699605, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.27016535998008484, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05799637766416876, "ret_p6m": 0.12484430259595736, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.12484430259595736, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.07742672938322026, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09926724251497565, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "bench_c_p6m": 0.025577060080981706, "price_path": [-0.5427, -0.4579, -0.4291, -0.417, -0.3747, -0.4137, -0.4317, -0.4055, -0.3979, -0.4423, -0.4399, -0.4507, -0.4274, -0.4188, -0.415, -0.4181, -0.402, -0.4329, -0.4329, -0.4545, -0.4551, -0.4612, -0.4565, -0.4682, -0.2054, -0.2248, -0.2596, -0.2495, -0.245, -0.2577, -0.2191, -0.2187, -0.1756, -0.1151, -0.1052, -0.0601, -0.104, -0.106, -0.0851, -0.0681, -0.0403, 0.0448, 0.0623, 0.0371, -0.023, 0.0127, 0.101, 0.0756, 0.1244, 0.0638, 0.0445, 0.0213, -0.0584, -0.0952, -0.1344, -0.1814, -0.1188, -0.0266, 0.0412, 0.0113, 0.0384, 0.0308, 0.0859, 0.0, -0.0824, -0.0288, -0.0916, -0.0763, -0.0873, -0.1515, -0.2167, -0.2643, -0.3065, -0.2863, -0.2484, -0.2108, -0.2974, -0.3089, -0.2372, -0.2622, -0.214, -0.214, -0.2125, -0.1687, -0.1994, -0.1789, -0.1467, -0.1862, -0.1672, -0.1997, -0.2231, -0.2174, -0.2721, -0.3265, -0.328, -0.3737, -0.3518, -0.2574, -0.2261, -0.2527, -0.2435, -0.2435, -0.2729, -0.2858, -0.293, -0.3052, -0.3052, -0.2533, -0.2294, -0.1679, -0.2014, -0.1923, -0.1871, -0.1091, -0.1248, -0.1535, -0.1377, -0.0975, -0.0975, -0.1758, -0.1793, -0.1961, -0.2156, -0.2408, -0.1876, -0.1663, -0.2122, -0.2929, -0.2682, -0.2533, -0.3161, -0.3868, -0.2853, -0.229, -0.2381, -0.2645, -0.2552, -0.1864, -0.1864, -0.1905, -0.155, -0.1067, -0.1872, -0.1649, -0.1485, -0.1191, -0.1294, -0.243, -0.2445, -0.2795, -0.1883, -0.206, -0.2585, -0.2119, -0.1996, -0.0703, -0.1032, -0.0624, 0.0779, -0.0344, -0.0159, 0.0087, -0.0237, -0.0525, -0.0462, -0.0447, -0.1204, -0.1631, -0.2342, -0.1387, -0.1537, -0.0967, -0.0967, -0.0658, -0.0255, 0.0376, 0.1317, 0.2034, 0.283, 0.3442, 0.3843, 0.3725, 0.3044, 0.3212, 0.2995, 0.2961, 0.3039, 0.2215, 0.2033, 0.1248]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1980413318973333927", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-20T23:18:24+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The -17% dip in $NBIS on no material news doesn't change any conviction. My bull-case PT is still $400. Fundamentals and data center growth have not changed, they've only gotten exponentially better. These are the best times go long and this where generational money is made in markets.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS with $400 PT; -17% dip on no news doesn't change conviction; hyperscaler deals + 1000% Y/Y revenue growth ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The -17% dip in $NBIS on no material news doesn't change any conviction. My bull-case PT is still $400. \n\nWe've seen this move before:\n\n- $ASTS ER drop from $58 -> $36, into $83.\n\n- $GOOGL AI search drop from $170 -> $144 into $257.\n\n- $HOOD Macro drop from $40 -> $28, into $135\n\nWhen fundamentals and industry momentum stay intact, conviction pays off despite any short-term drop.\n\nHyperscalers from META, GOOGL, MSFT, are pouring billions into AI data centers, and Nebius is powering the  cash cows of Mag7 with more hyperscaler deals likely to come. Forward quarterly revenue is set to explode 1000% Y/Y. This type of growth is almost unheard of in history. \n\nInstitutional ownership is low (38.3% of the float) and every trick in the book will be played to acquire more shares off retail as the company grows. \n\nFundamentals and data center growth have not changed, they've only gotten exponentially better. (eg. new Nebius Israel data center announcement today, growing ARR).\n\nThese are the best times go long and this where generational money is made in markets.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Initiated a small position ($50k shares, $50k April calls) in T1 Energy $TE $4.45, partly because I like League of Legends and Faker.\n\nI have energy positions such as $FLNC, SEI and $EOSE (trimmed) that performed very well. \n\nBut like the rest, energy is pointed to benefit from", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04073396735235102, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04073396735235102, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05102738630141501, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.051917693225524975, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010293418949063993, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011183725873173955, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.043302763492689245, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.043302763492689245, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04328785901121346, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.046829967539421924, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4904481475785936e-05, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0035272040467326793, "ret_p1w": 0.15073394775390625, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.15073394775390625, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1299682560780684, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14281927338018385, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02076569167583786, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007914674373722397, "ret_p1m": -0.16935778976580418, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16935778976580418, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15264392252651282, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13124699608279966, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016713867239291358, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03811079368300452, "ret_p3m": -0.046926585906142515, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.046926585906142515, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08116684322149981, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04990505064625661, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03424025731535729, "bench_c_p3m": 0.002978464740114095, "ret_p6m": 0.4856880957927179, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4856880957927179, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4452974081858949, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.47647862917762884, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04039068760682296, "bench_c_p6m": 0.009209466615089035, "price_path": [-0.524, -0.5215, -0.5287, -0.5161, -0.5376, -0.5294, -0.5006, -0.5229, -0.503, -0.4939, -0.4946, -0.4008, -0.369, -0.3556, -0.3089, -0.352, -0.3719, -0.3429, -0.3345, -0.3836, -0.381, -0.3928, -0.3672, -0.3576, -0.3534, -0.3569, -0.3391, -0.3732, -0.3732, -0.3971, -0.3977, -0.4045, -0.3994, -0.4123, -0.1218, -0.1432, -0.1817, -0.1706, -0.1655, -0.1795, -0.1369, -0.1365, -0.0889, -0.022, -0.011, 0.0388, -0.0097, -0.0119, 0.0112, 0.03, 0.0606, 0.1548, 0.1741, 0.1462, 0.0798, 0.1193, 0.2169, 0.1888, 0.2428, 0.1757, 0.1544, 0.1288, 0.0407, 0.0, -0.0433, -0.0952, -0.0261, 0.0758, 0.1507, 0.1177, 0.1477, 0.1393, 0.2002, 0.1052, 0.0141, 0.0734, 0.004, 0.0209, 0.0087, -0.0622, -0.1343, -0.1869, -0.2336, -0.2112, -0.1694, -0.1278, -0.2235, -0.2361, -0.1569, -0.1846, -0.1313, -0.1313, -0.1296, -0.0812, -0.1151, -0.0925, -0.0569, -0.1006, -0.0795, -0.1155, -0.1414, -0.135, -0.1955, -0.2556, -0.2573, -0.3078, -0.2836, -0.1793, -0.1447, -0.174, -0.1639, -0.1639, -0.1964, -0.2106, -0.2186, -0.2321, -0.2321, -0.1748, -0.1483, -0.0804, -0.1173, -0.1073, -0.1016, -0.0153, -0.0328, -0.0644, -0.0469, -0.0025, -0.0025, -0.0891, -0.0929, -0.1115, -0.133, -0.1609, -0.1021, -0.0786, -0.1293, -0.2184, -0.1912, -0.1748, -0.2441, -0.3223, -0.2101, -0.1479, -0.1579, -0.1871, -0.1768, -0.1008, -0.1008, -0.1053, -0.0661, -0.0128, -0.1017, -0.077, -0.0589, -0.0264, -0.0378, -0.1634, -0.165, -0.2037, -0.1029, -0.1225, -0.1805, -0.129, -0.1153, 0.0275, -0.0088, 0.0362, 0.1913, 0.0672, 0.0877, 0.1149, 0.0791, 0.0472, 0.0542, 0.0559, -0.0278, -0.075, -0.1536, -0.0481, -0.0647, -0.0017, -0.0017, 0.0325, 0.0771, 0.1468, 0.2507, 0.33, 0.418, 0.4857]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1989411865429250092", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-14T19:15:24+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "they ended up trying to compete vs $CRWV in the full-stack by buying billions in GPUs... execution risk for IREN skyrocketed immensely", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish IREN on execution risk from full-stack pivot; bullish NBIS on enterprise customers/balance sheet; bullish CIFR as insulated from GPU depreciation concerns.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thanks, yeah I had $IREN as S tier when I did my tierlist earlier but they got downgraded a lot because they ended up trying to compete vs $CRWV in the full-stack by buying billions in GPUs. A lot of IREN holders were arguing colo was most profitable, but in $IREN's earnings call, they literally said they were buying GPUs and doing the full-stack due to \"higher revenue potential and stronger returns\".\n\nIt's much, much harder building out the software layer than people think and the execution risk for IREN skyrocketed immensely. Meanwhile $NBIS and $CRWV already has that nailed down ( $NBIS wins vs. $CRWV per their whitepaper) but Coreweave messed up with interest debt + OpenAI drama.  \n\nUnfortunately we're seeing a whole sector short despite many of the nuances eg. $CIFR not being affected by GPU depreciation arguments. \n\nOr $NBIS having Mag7 + enterprise customers over 5Y periods + strong balance sheet and not affected by AI bubble OpenAI fiasco with $ORCL + credit tightening.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Really appreciate your detailed response! \n\nCoLo is one of the reasons I chose $CIFR over $IREN and why its my second largest holding, I like how they understand its better to play with their strengths\n\nThe way you explain the NeoCloud nuance is great too! I am really interested", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "accounting_ds", "ret_m1d": 0.04916977887671181, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04916977887671181, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04900598329177486, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03906487034650952, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010104908530202295, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.022428314416290007, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.022428314416290007, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.031744747845534604, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04149401623884885, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "bench_c_p1d": -0.019065701822558845, "ret_p1w": -0.08863490845425614, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08863490845425614, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06943656771358042, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07376361114817953, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014871297306076614, "ret_p1m": -0.23485011085821472, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.23485011085821472, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2479467234869549, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2832772311723931, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "bench_c_p1m": 0.048427120314178396, "ret_p3m": -0.07979298788370837, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07979298788370837, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11264574149942963, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08883645736695056, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "bench_c_p3m": 0.009043469483242195, "ret_p6m": 0.1893466205787826, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1893466205787826, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08281828398826496, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.20511627869549376, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "bench_c_p6m": -0.01576965811671116, "price_path": [-0.5961, -0.5739, -0.5775, -0.5378, -0.5014, -0.5042, -0.5179, -0.5031, -0.4289, -0.4289, -0.3722, -0.3916, -0.4365, -0.4361, -0.4352, -0.3489, -0.2747, -0.2916, -0.2676, -0.1991, -0.2139, -0.1827, -0.2167, -0.1667, -0.0964, -0.0992, 0.0166, -0.0017, -0.0973, -0.0095, 0.0121, 0.0153, 0.014, 0.0882, 0.2454, 0.3302, 0.2959, 0.377, 0.289, 0.3832, 0.5001, 0.466, 0.3334, 0.3095, 0.2771, 0.1903, 0.1177, 0.2047, 0.3565, 0.4016, 0.3461, 0.303, 0.2556, 0.3101, 0.4611, 0.4369, 0.6478, 0.444, 0.3453, 0.2976, 0.2374, 0.2012, 0.0492, 0.0, 0.0224, 0.0535, -0.0116, -0.0625, -0.0886, 0.0457, 0.0237, 0.0449, 0.0449, 0.0311, 0.0457, -0.1132, -0.052, 0.0017, -0.0358, -0.0006, 0.0101, -0.0528, -0.0524, -0.1346, -0.2349, -0.2109, -0.2715, -0.2279, -0.1391, -0.0934, -0.0927, -0.0947, -0.0947, -0.1309, -0.1501, -0.174, -0.1855, -0.1855, -0.0791, 0.0403, -0.0099, -0.0592, -0.0149, -0.0073, 0.0854, 0.1428, 0.1404, 0.119, 0.2469, 0.2469, 0.1702, 0.1533, 0.127, 0.2223, 0.1292, 0.2937, 0.3573, 0.2905, 0.1589, 0.1447, 0.173, -0.0308, -0.1419, -0.0979, -0.0047, -0.0742, -0.0798, -0.1367, -0.0895, -0.0895, -0.1165, -0.0925, -0.0664, -0.1378, -0.0865, -0.0198, -0.0505, -0.0459, -0.1169, -0.1074, -0.1622, -0.0546, -0.1347, -0.2085, -0.1624, -0.1779, -0.0947, -0.1078, -0.1033, -0.0308, -0.0735, -0.0897, -0.1016, -0.1096, -0.0908, -0.1132, -0.1065, -0.1924, -0.2433, -0.3181, -0.2607, -0.2648, -0.2502, -0.2502, -0.2424, -0.2292, -0.2057, -0.2008, -0.152, -0.0712, 0.0216, 0.0528, 0.0287, 0.0377, 0.0507, -0.0259, 0.0436, 0.1218, 0.0921, 0.0429, -0.0416, -0.0757, -0.0185, -0.0153, 0.0671, 0.1805, 0.3151, 0.226, 0.3198, 0.1893]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1989411865429250092", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-14T19:15:24+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS having Mag7 + enterprise customers over 5Y periods + strong balance sheet and not affected by AI bubble OpenAI fiasco", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish IREN on execution risk from full-stack pivot; bullish NBIS on enterprise customers/balance sheet; bullish CIFR as insulated from GPU depreciation concerns.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thanks, yeah I had $IREN as S tier when I did my tierlist earlier but they got downgraded a lot because they ended up trying to compete vs $CRWV in the full-stack by buying billions in GPUs. A lot of IREN holders were arguing colo was most profitable, but in $IREN's earnings call, they literally said they were buying GPUs and doing the full-stack due to \"higher revenue potential and stronger returns\".\n\nIt's much, much harder building out the software layer than people think and the execution risk for IREN skyrocketed immensely. Meanwhile $NBIS and $CRWV already has that nailed down ( $NBIS wins vs. $CRWV per their whitepaper) but Coreweave messed up with interest debt + OpenAI drama.  \n\nUnfortunately we're seeing a whole sector short despite many of the nuances eg. $CIFR not being affected by GPU depreciation arguments. \n\nOr $NBIS having Mag7 + enterprise customers over 5Y periods + strong balance sheet and not affected by AI bubble OpenAI fiasco with $ORCL + credit tightening.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Really appreciate your detailed response! \n\nCoLo is one of the reasons I chose $CIFR over $IREN and why its my second largest holding, I like how they understand its better to play with their strengths\n\nThe way you explain the NeoCloud nuance is great too! I am really interested", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "accounting_ds", "ret_m1d": 0.06092885183275798, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06092885183275798, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.060765056247821025, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05553947374933221, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0053893780834257665, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02920759414251739, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02920759414251739, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03852402757176199, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03055500763417085, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0013474134916534597, "ret_p1w": -0.003351673165289948, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.003351673165289948, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.015846667575385776, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.00847158234454437, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005119909179254423, "ret_p1m": -0.028728770643726698, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.028728770643726698, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.041825383272466876, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07579595992511301, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04706718928138631, "ret_p3m": 0.060689485746484806, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.060689485746484806, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.027836732130763542, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.008700540385840005, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0519889453606448, "ret_p6m": 1.227675413742134, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.227675413742134, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.1211470771516163, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.1828159796751123, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04485943406702164, "price_path": [-0.1957, -0.1924, -0.2078, -0.1743, -0.1618, -0.1563, -0.1609, -0.1377, -0.1822, -0.1822, -0.2133, -0.2141, -0.223, -0.2163, -0.2332, 0.1458, 0.1179, 0.0676, 0.0822, 0.0888, 0.0705, 0.1262, 0.1266, 0.1888, 0.276, 0.2904, 0.3554, 0.2921, 0.2892, 0.3194, 0.3439, 0.3839, 0.5067, 0.532, 0.4956, 0.4089, 0.4604, 0.5877, 0.5511, 0.6215, 0.534, 0.5062, 0.4728, 0.3579, 0.3048, 0.2483, 0.1805, 0.2708, 0.4036, 0.5014, 0.4583, 0.4975, 0.4865, 0.566, 0.4421, 0.3232, 0.4005, 0.31, 0.3321, 0.3161, 0.2236, 0.1295, 0.0609, 0.0, 0.0292, 0.0838, 0.138, 0.0132, -0.0034, 0.1001, 0.0639, 0.1335, 0.1335, 0.1356, 0.1988, 0.1545, 0.1841, 0.2305, 0.1736, 0.201, 0.1541, 0.1203, 0.1286, 0.0497, -0.0287, -0.031, -0.0968, -0.0652, 0.0709, 0.116, 0.0777, 0.0909, 0.0909, 0.0485, 0.0299, 0.0195, 0.002, 0.002, 0.0767, 0.1112, 0.1999, 0.1517, 0.1647, 0.1723, 0.2848, 0.262, 0.2207, 0.2435, 0.3015, 0.3015, 0.1885, 0.1835, 0.1593, 0.1312, 0.0948, 0.1715, 0.2022, 0.1361, 0.0198, 0.0553, 0.0767, -0.0138, -0.1158, 0.0306, 0.1118, 0.0988, 0.0607, 0.0741, 0.1732, 0.1732, 0.1673, 0.2186, 0.2881, 0.1721, 0.2043, 0.2279, 0.2703, 0.2554, 0.0916, 0.0894, 0.039, 0.1705, 0.145, 0.0693, 0.1365, 0.1543, 0.3406, 0.2933, 0.352, 0.5543, 0.3925, 0.4192, 0.4546, 0.4079, 0.3664, 0.3755, 0.3777, 0.2685, 0.2068, 0.1044, 0.242, 0.2204, 0.3026, 0.3026, 0.3471, 0.4053, 0.4963, 0.6319, 0.7353, 0.8501, 0.9385, 0.9963, 0.9792, 0.881, 0.9052, 0.874, 0.869, 0.8803, 0.7616, 0.7352, 0.6221, 0.6901, 0.6547, 0.8493, 1.1118, 1.1058, 1.3353, 1.2118, 1.1193, 1.2277]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1989411865429250092", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-11-14T19:15:24+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$CIFR not being affected by GPU depreciation arguments", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish IREN on execution risk from full-stack pivot; bullish NBIS on enterprise customers/balance sheet; bullish CIFR as insulated from GPU depreciation concerns.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thanks, yeah I had $IREN as S tier when I did my tierlist earlier but they got downgraded a lot because they ended up trying to compete vs $CRWV in the full-stack by buying billions in GPUs. A lot of IREN holders were arguing colo was most profitable, but in $IREN's earnings call, they literally said they were buying GPUs and doing the full-stack due to \"higher revenue potential and stronger returns\".\n\nIt's much, much harder building out the software layer than people think and the execution risk for IREN skyrocketed immensely. Meanwhile $NBIS and $CRWV already has that nailed down ( $NBIS wins vs. $CRWV per their whitepaper) but Coreweave messed up with interest debt + OpenAI drama.  \n\nUnfortunately we're seeing a whole sector short despite many of the nuances eg. $CIFR not being affected by GPU depreciation arguments. \n\nOr $NBIS having Mag7 + enterprise customers over 5Y periods + strong balance sheet and not affected by AI bubble OpenAI fiasco with $ORCL + credit tightening.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Really appreciate your detailed response! \n\nCoLo is one of the reasons I chose $CIFR over $IREN and why its my second largest holding, I like how they understand its better to play with their strengths\n\nThe way you explain the NeoCloud nuance is great too! I am really interested", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "accounting_ds", "ret_m1d": 0.039693639423834526, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.039693639423834526, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03952984383889757, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.045107562737243145, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0054139233134086195, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0006963283737175807, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0006963283737175807, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008620105055527016, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014955175456109027, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015651503829826607, "ret_p1w": -0.014623958437862794, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.014623958437862794, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.004574382302812929, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03725871220724131, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0518826706451041, "ret_p1m": 0.026462404145269014, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.026462404145269014, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.013365791516528835, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03878237722964417, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012319973084375158, "ret_p3m": 0.13370481029750447, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.13370481029750447, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10085205668178321, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.139869257288889, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "bench_c_p3m": -0.00616444699138452, "ret_p6m": 0.41225634899061614, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.41225634899061614, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3057280124000985, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.17421152105138193, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2380448279392342, "price_path": [-0.5989, -0.5857, -0.5891, -0.5557, -0.5376, -0.5042, -0.5132, -0.5111, -0.468, -0.468, -0.4206, -0.4352, -0.4847, -0.4763, -0.4624, -0.3579, -0.2862, -0.3057, -0.2444, -0.2444, -0.1985, -0.1379, -0.1748, -0.1448, -0.0279, -0.0146, -0.0153, -0.188, -0.2013, -0.1191, -0.1233, -0.1226, -0.0383, 0.0237, 0.0682, 0.0968, 0.2256, 0.2528, 0.1818, 0.4164, 0.4547, 0.4645, 0.3036, 0.3064, 0.3865, 0.2587, 0.1219, 0.2016, 0.4387, 0.4304, 0.39, 0.3642, 0.328, 0.2987, 0.585, 0.5675, 0.7208, 0.5118, 0.4408, 0.3684, 0.3001, 0.2103, 0.0397, 0.0, -0.0007, 0.0153, 0.0181, 0.0139, -0.0146, 0.1636, 0.2201, 0.3336, 0.3336, 0.4171, 0.3712, 0.2284, 0.2974, 0.3809, 0.3426, 0.3565, 0.3621, 0.2869, 0.3148, 0.1873, 0.0265, 0.0439, 0.0021, 0.055, 0.1288, 0.1379, 0.1079, 0.1295, 0.1295, 0.0578, 0.0501, 0.016, 0.0279, 0.0279, 0.1281, 0.2646, 0.2214, 0.1198, 0.1525, 0.1581, 0.2312, 0.2709, 0.2625, 0.2201, 0.3092, 0.3092, 0.2479, 0.234, 0.211, 0.2235, 0.1483, 0.3057, 0.321, 0.2326, 0.1114, 0.101, 0.1323, -0.0077, -0.1156, 0.0258, 0.1671, 0.1908, 0.1337, 0.1212, 0.1435, 0.1435, 0.0891, 0.0738, 0.1003, 0.0202, 0.0599, 0.1922, 0.1567, 0.1476, 0.0864, 0.0975, 0.0244, 0.117, 0.055, -0.0515, -0.0035, -0.0279, -0.0174, -0.0453, -0.0195, 0.0543, 0.0508, 0.0216, 0.0195, -0.0244, 0.0369, 0.0362, 0.1058, -0.0007, -0.0428, -0.1633, -0.1038, -0.1198, -0.1072, -0.1072, -0.0703, -0.0244, 0.0738, 0.1393, 0.1511, 0.2368, 0.2848, 0.2535, 0.2075, 0.3489, 0.3433, 0.2563, 0.3538, 0.3015, 0.2674, 0.2646, 0.2019, 0.1783, 0.2354, 0.1866, 0.2458, 0.539, 0.5258, 0.4405, 0.4311, 0.4123]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2002392267311739320", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-20T14:54:53+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My 5 high conviction multi-bagger stocks for 2026 are now: $NBIS - AI Compute and Robotaxis", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "High-conviction multi-bagger basket for 2026: long NBIS, RKLB, ALAB, CRCL, LITE across AI compute, space, connectivity, and hyperscaler ASICs.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’ve added 2 new stocks to my extreme growth high conviction basket in my personal portfolio. \n\nI’ve never been wrong before about high conviction stocks on longer timeframes (eg. $HOOD $18 -> $100+)\n\nMy 5 high conviction multi-bagger stocks for 2026 are now:\n\n$NBIS -  AI Compute and Robotaxis\n\n$RKLB - Space\n\n$ALAB - Connectivity\n\nAnd the two new ones are:\n\n$CRCL - Money Printer\n\n$LITE - Hyperscaler ASICs\n\nI’ll do longer DD thesis on Circle and Lite on follow ups. \n\nI’m confident having just these 5 will heavily outperform 99.9% of portfolios.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.040437671744227854, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.040437671744227854, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.034246350728893704, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0360144971672961, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004423174576931754, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03432376340678023, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03432376340678023, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.038894218225213106, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04058125083315256, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006257487426372332, "ret_p1w": -0.07712112176891306, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07712112176891306, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08153089304420058, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08766453342417069, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010543411655257628, "ret_p1m": 0.06500050778066457, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06500050778066457, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07558712246617527, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09234494973203389, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "bench_c_p1m": -0.027344441951369314, "ret_p3m": 0.3034430147752307, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3034430147752307, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.33999226508551617, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3336161785269677, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "bench_c_p3m": -0.030173163751736953, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2145, 0.1578, 0.1552, 0.1822, 0.2042, 0.2401, 0.3501, 0.3727, 0.3401, 0.2625, 0.3086, 0.4227, 0.3899, 0.453, 0.3746, 0.3497, 0.3197, 0.2168, 0.1692, 0.1185, 0.0578, 0.1387, 0.2577, 0.3454, 0.3068, 0.3418, 0.332, 0.4032, 0.2922, 0.1857, 0.255, 0.1739, 0.1936, 0.1793, 0.0964, 0.0121, -0.0493, -0.1039, -0.0778, -0.0289, 0.0197, -0.0921, -0.1069, -0.0143, -0.0467, 0.0157, 0.0157, 0.0176, 0.0742, 0.0345, 0.061, 0.1026, 0.0516, 0.0762, 0.0341, 0.0039, 0.0113, -0.0594, -0.1297, -0.1317, -0.1907, -0.1624, -0.0404, 0.0, -0.0343, -0.0225, -0.0225, -0.0605, -0.0771, -0.0865, -0.1022, -0.1022, -0.0352, -0.0043, 0.0752, 0.032, 0.0437, 0.0504, 0.1512, 0.1309, 0.0939, 0.1143, 0.1663, 0.1663, 0.065, 0.0605, 0.0388, 0.0136, -0.019, 0.0498, 0.0772, 0.018, -0.0862, -0.0544, -0.0352, -0.1163, -0.2077, -0.0765, -0.0038, -0.0154, -0.0496, -0.0375, 0.0513, 0.0513, 0.046, 0.0919, 0.1542, 0.0503, 0.0792, 0.1003, 0.1383, 0.125, -0.0219, -0.0238, -0.069, 0.0488, 0.026, -0.0418, 0.0183, 0.0343, 0.2013, 0.1589, 0.2115, 0.3928, 0.2478, 0.2717, 0.3034, 0.2616, 0.2244, 0.2325, 0.2345, 0.1367, 0.0814, -0.0104, 0.1129, 0.0935, 0.1672, 0.1672, 0.2071, 0.2593, 0.3408, 0.4623, 0.555, 0.6578, 0.737, 0.7888, 0.7735, 0.6855, 0.7072, 0.6792, 0.6748, 0.6849, 0.5785, 0.5549, 0.4535, 0.5144, 0.4827, 0.6571, 0.8923, 0.8869, 1.0926, 0.9819, 0.8991, 0.9961, 0.9212, 1.2232, 1.3721, 1.3591, 1.1437, 1.1209, 1.0575, 1.359, 1.3037, 1.3037, 1.2317, 1.235, 1.4278, 1.4787, 1.4787, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2002392267311739320", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-20T14:54:53+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$RKLB - Space", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "High-conviction multi-bagger basket for 2026: long NBIS, RKLB, ALAB, CRCL, LITE across AI compute, space, connectivity, and hyperscaler ASICs.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’ve added 2 new stocks to my extreme growth high conviction basket in my personal portfolio. \n\nI’ve never been wrong before about high conviction stocks on longer timeframes (eg. $HOOD $18 -> $100+)\n\nMy 5 high conviction multi-bagger stocks for 2026 are now:\n\n$NBIS -  AI Compute and Robotaxis\n\n$RKLB - Space\n\n$ALAB - Connectivity\n\nAnd the two new ones are:\n\n$CRCL - Money Printer\n\n$LITE - Hyperscaler ASICs\n\nI’ll do longer DD thesis on Circle and Lite on follow ups. \n\nI’m confident having just these 5 will heavily outperform 99.9% of portfolios.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.09065127185100808, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09065127185100808, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08445995083567392, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07968668626598518, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01096458558502289, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004771150638576804, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004771150638576804, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009341605457009683, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0043891205319542825, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0003820301066225218, "ret_p1w": -0.09580915554854208, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09580915554854208, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1002189268238296, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0946630652286744, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0011460903198676764, "ret_p1m": 0.14970986658250562, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14970986658250562, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.16029648126801632, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10844905615839373, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04126081042411189, "ret_p3m": -0.07246940716212702, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07246940716212702, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03592015685184158, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11710486557730704, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04463545841518002, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3721, -0.3987, -0.4035, -0.3938, -0.3822, -0.3814, -0.3234, -0.2758, -0.2456, -0.2068, -0.1578, -0.1435, -0.1714, -0.1564, -0.1228, -0.1068, -0.136, -0.1455, -0.1315, -0.1567, -0.219, -0.1803, -0.1675, -0.1538, -0.1779, -0.1469, -0.2144, -0.1879, -0.209, -0.2705, -0.2725, -0.3603, -0.3341, -0.3308, -0.3393, -0.3556, -0.4165, -0.4128, -0.4415, -0.4484, -0.4375, -0.4909, -0.4803, -0.4526, -0.4507, -0.4593, -0.4593, -0.4566, -0.4794, -0.4597, -0.4233, -0.3634, -0.3674, -0.3351, -0.311, -0.2583, -0.1808, -0.2071, -0.2855, -0.2845, -0.3042, -0.2273, -0.0907, 0.0, -0.0048, -0.0048, -0.0048, -0.089, -0.0958, -0.0916, -0.1005, -0.1005, -0.0201, 0.0076, 0.1093, 0.0842, 0.0713, 0.0941, 0.1335, 0.1164, 0.1838, 0.1703, 0.2418, 0.2418, 0.1497, 0.1324, 0.1345, 0.1464, 0.0378, 0.1219, 0.1421, 0.1048, 0.0325, -0.0438, 0.048, -0.0573, -0.1448, -0.0674, -0.0221, -0.0712, -0.1023, -0.1488, -0.1304, -0.1304, -0.0988, -0.0404, -0.0125, -0.0863, -0.0946, -0.0977, -0.0948, -0.0632, -0.109, -0.0848, -0.0957, -0.0727, -0.0974, -0.0959, -0.0783, -0.1112, -0.0721, -0.1184, -0.1179, -0.0805, 0.0134, -0.1041, -0.0725, -0.1331, -0.1231, -0.148, -0.0602, -0.1497, -0.2143, -0.2601, -0.1719, -0.1551, -0.1266, -0.1266, -0.1274, -0.1448, -0.1092, -0.1394, -0.1225, -0.0894, -0.0687, -0.0509, 0.0694, 0.0935, 0.1536, 0.1172, 0.1611, 0.0909, 0.0275, 0.0611, 0.0134, -0.0068, 0.064, 0.0162, 0.0356, 0.0156, 0.0916, 0.0133, 0.36, 0.5132, 0.5159, 0.6009, 0.7092, 0.6089, 0.6913, 0.6417, 0.7315, 0.6177, 0.7506, 0.7506, 0.8466, 0.9372, 0.9088, 0.8502, 0.8502, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2002392267311739320", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-12-20T14:54:53+00:00", "symbol": "ALAB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ALAB - Connectivity", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "High-conviction multi-bagger basket for 2026: long NBIS, RKLB, ALAB, CRCL, LITE across AI compute, space, connectivity, and hyperscaler ASICs.", "resolved_tickers": ["ALAB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’ve added 2 new stocks to my extreme growth high conviction basket in my personal portfolio. \n\nI’ve never been wrong before about high conviction stocks on longer timeframes (eg. $HOOD $18 -> $100+)\n\nMy 5 high conviction multi-bagger stocks for 2026 are now:\n\n$NBIS -  AI Compute and Robotaxis\n\n$RKLB - Space\n\n$ALAB - Connectivity\n\nAnd the two new ones are:\n\n$CRCL - Money Printer\n\n$LITE - Hyperscaler ASICs\n\nI’ll do longer DD thesis on Circle and Lite on follow ups. \n\nI’m confident having just these 5 will heavily outperform 99.9% of portfolios.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0476190560376436, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0476190560376436, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04142773502230945, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03490009008887951, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012718965948764094, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.021955702660980125, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.021955702660980125, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.026526157479413004, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03157480562916881, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009619102968188686, "ret_p1w": -0.014569571664864611, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.014569571664864611, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.018979342940152133, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02710773984666348, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01253816818179887, "ret_p1m": 0.06447691575507575, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06447691575507575, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07506353044058645, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02084418905417884, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08532110480925459, "ret_p3m": -0.26914605937474145, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.26914605937474145, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.232596809064456, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.36706098855309155, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0979149291783501, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1891, 0.1623, 0.1458, 0.1517, 0.1343, 0.1268, 0.2142, 0.1629, 0.2792, 0.2287, 0.2708, 0.3059, 0.1946, 0.1559, -0.0641, -0.0646, -0.0525, -0.0743, -0.0945, -0.0875, -0.1029, -0.052, -0.0443, -0.0136, -0.0253, 0.0058, -0.0178, 0.0815, 0.1097, 0.0388, 0.054, -0.0567, -0.0413, 0.0065, -0.0294, -0.0859, -0.1631, -0.1638, -0.1809, -0.1918, -0.1773, -0.1931, -0.1785, -0.1441, -0.1613, -0.1066, -0.1066, -0.0872, -0.043, -0.1719, -0.1166, -0.1165, -0.066, 0.0181, -0.0321, -0.0481, 0.0063, -0.1377, -0.1678, -0.1604, -0.1876, -0.1549, -0.0476, 0.0, -0.022, -0.0154, -0.0154, -0.0311, -0.0146, -0.0103, -0.0363, -0.0363, 0.0402, -0.0319, -0.0673, -0.0397, -0.0921, -0.058, -0.0003, 0.046, -0.0028, 0.0106, 0.0543, 0.0543, 0.0645, 0.0196, 0.0216, -0.0171, -0.0543, -0.0098, -0.0273, -0.0704, -0.1274, -0.1169, -0.0817, -0.1619, -0.1726, -0.016, 0.0872, 0.0593, -0.1675, -0.2667, -0.2508, -0.2508, -0.2835, -0.2493, -0.2317, -0.2488, -0.2571, -0.2562, -0.2576, -0.2778, -0.3116, -0.3016, -0.3639, -0.3409, -0.3048, -0.3095, -0.2914, -0.3252, -0.2775, -0.3054, -0.303, -0.2615, -0.261, -0.2681, -0.2691, -0.3278, -0.2824, -0.2946, -0.3029, -0.3419, -0.3485, -0.4191, -0.3651, -0.384, -0.3214, -0.3214, -0.3165, -0.3107, -0.2732, -0.25, -0.1365, -0.0337, -0.0117, -0.0031, -0.0105, 0.0083, 0.0184, 0.1121, 0.1242, 0.1444, 0.233, 0.1391, 0.0619, 0.1404, 0.1281, 0.1741, 0.1659, 0.2495, 0.2392, 0.1334, 0.1574, 0.2012, 0.1842, 0.2982, 0.3245, 0.3479, 0.2489, 0.415, 0.6654, 0.7254, 0.7778, 0.7778, 0.8464, 0.8847, 1.0228, 0.9862, 0.9862, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2002392267311739320", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-12-20T14:54:53+00:00", "symbol": "CRCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$CRCL - Money Printer", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "High-conviction multi-bagger basket for 2026: long NBIS, RKLB, ALAB, CRCL, LITE across AI compute, space, connectivity, and hyperscaler ASICs.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’ve added 2 new stocks to my extreme growth high conviction basket in my personal portfolio. \n\nI’ve never been wrong before about high conviction stocks on longer timeframes (eg. $HOOD $18 -> $100+)\n\nMy 5 high conviction multi-bagger stocks for 2026 are now:\n\n$NBIS -  AI Compute and Robotaxis\n\n$RKLB - Space\n\n$ALAB - Connectivity\n\nAnd the two new ones are:\n\n$CRCL - Money Printer\n\n$LITE - Hyperscaler ASICs\n\nI’ll do longer DD thesis on Circle and Lite on follow ups. \n\nI’m confident having just these 5 will heavily outperform 99.9% of portfolios.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.010000031569908363, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010000031569908363, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.003808710554574213, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0021294617922437142, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012129493362152077, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.049080421184671374, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.049080421184671374, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05365087600310425, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.051068826359376596, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001988405174705221, "ret_p1w": -0.07459767659505212, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07459767659505212, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07900744787033964, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07459767659505212, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0, "ret_p1m": -0.16436785116963004, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16436785116963004, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15378123648411934, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1260453753501216, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03832247581950843, "ret_p3m": 0.4750574923109734, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4750574923109734, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5116067426212588, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5894826274491245, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "bench_c_p3m": -0.11442513513815111, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.5124, 0.4329, 0.4597, 0.5363, 0.5239, 0.4831, 0.7209, 0.6756, 0.707, 0.7094, 0.7294, 0.7297, 0.528, 0.5801, 0.5455, 0.5457, 0.4766, 0.4539, 0.5036, 0.4925, 0.4344, 0.4926, 0.6328, 0.647, 0.5645, 0.5143, 0.4105, 0.4595, 0.3547, 0.2787, 0.2992, 0.1495, 0.1855, 0.1966, 0.1299, -0.008, -0.0536, -0.0587, -0.1197, -0.1195, -0.1986, -0.2307, -0.1801, -0.1639, -0.1941, -0.1651, -0.1651, -0.0813, -0.1271, -0.1099, -0.0082, 0.0053, -0.0159, -0.0349, 0.0216, 0.0162, 0.018, -0.0406, -0.1326, -0.046, -0.0897, -0.0691, -0.01, 0.0, -0.0491, -0.0501, -0.0501, -0.0659, -0.0746, -0.0817, -0.0885, -0.0885, -0.0406, -0.0253, -0.0247, -0.0737, -0.0599, -0.0471, -0.0471, -0.0407, -0.0253, -0.1195, -0.0964, -0.0964, -0.1644, -0.1651, -0.1799, -0.1801, -0.1851, -0.1959, -0.1628, -0.2236, -0.2652, -0.3234, -0.3545, -0.3672, -0.4226, -0.3444, -0.3092, -0.3132, -0.3349, -0.3491, -0.3099, -0.3099, -0.2917, -0.2741, -0.2883, -0.2756, -0.2969, -0.2946, -0.0444, 0.0024, -0.0409, 0.1051, 0.1452, 0.21, 0.2154, 0.1714, 0.2855, 0.3574, 0.2967, 0.3124, 0.3262, 0.4463, 0.5208, 0.5269, 0.4751, 0.4486, 0.4556, 0.1629, 0.1938, 0.1295, 0.0766, 0.0334, 0.0967, 0.043, 0.0375, 0.0375, 0.0592, 0.0818, 0.0855, -0.0218, 0.012, 0.1343, 0.2125, 0.2129, 0.2352, 0.2174, 0.2225, 0.1037, 0.1995, 0.1495, 0.1455, 0.097, 0.0845, 0.0984, 0.0446, 0.146, 0.3739, 0.3125, 0.4, 0.3017, 0.3066, 0.5145, 0.4213, 0.4548, 0.4239, 0.3103, 0.2803, 0.2762, 0.283, 0.3205, 0.3002, 0.3002, 0.1974, 0.1798, 0.2441, 0.2989, 0.2989, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2002392267311739320", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-12-20T14:54:53+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LITE - Hyperscaler ASICs", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "High-conviction multi-bagger basket for 2026: long NBIS, RKLB, ALAB, CRCL, LITE across AI compute, space, connectivity, and hyperscaler ASICs.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’ve added 2 new stocks to my extreme growth high conviction basket in my personal portfolio. \n\nI’ve never been wrong before about high conviction stocks on longer timeframes (eg. $HOOD $18 -> $100+)\n\nMy 5 high conviction multi-bagger stocks for 2026 are now:\n\n$NBIS -  AI Compute and Robotaxis\n\n$RKLB - Space\n\n$ALAB - Connectivity\n\nAnd the two new ones are:\n\n$CRCL - Money Printer\n\n$LITE - Hyperscaler ASICs\n\nI’ll do longer DD thesis on Circle and Lite on follow ups. \n\nI’m confident having just these 5 will heavily outperform 99.9% of portfolios.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04732228371797842, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04732228371797842, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04113096270264427, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04113096270264427, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006335285702701143, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006335285702701143, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010905740521134022, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010905740521134022, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "ret_p1w": -0.044295730263061106, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.044295730263061106, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04870550153834863, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04870550153834863, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "ret_p1m": -0.08476971862273575, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08476971862273575, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07418310393722505, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07418310393722505, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "ret_p3m": 0.9804298635804474, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.9804298635804474, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.016979113890733, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.016979113890733, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6082, -0.5919, -0.5877, -0.583, -0.5827, -0.5604, -0.5646, -0.5798, -0.5881, -0.5969, -0.5817, -0.5902, -0.6163, -0.5882, -0.5979, -0.5984, -0.5813, -0.5774, -0.5871, -0.5821, -0.5946, -0.5678, -0.5401, -0.5029, -0.4912, -0.4504, -0.4867, -0.483, -0.4881, -0.5169, -0.403, -0.3852, -0.3841, -0.3334, -0.3524, -0.349, -0.4181, -0.4046, -0.3791, -0.3654, -0.3102, -0.4018, -0.3444, -0.2322, -0.2529, -0.2093, -0.2093, -0.166, -0.1845, -0.2233, -0.2229, -0.1591, -0.15, -0.1214, -0.0758, -0.0612, -0.0456, -0.1681, -0.1416, -0.1891, -0.1786, -0.1353, -0.0473, 0.0, -0.0063, 0.0155, 0.0155, 0.0023, -0.0443, -0.048, -0.0546, -0.0546, -0.0097, -0.0842, 0.0193, 0.0077, -0.1068, -0.0986, -0.1283, -0.0732, -0.1494, -0.1195, -0.1683, -0.1683, -0.0848, -0.0704, -0.0908, -0.13, -0.1473, -0.0493, -0.0125, -0.0216, 0.005, 0.086, 0.116, 0.1941, 0.2938, 0.4158, 0.4803, 0.4392, 0.4725, 0.4965, 0.4434, 0.4434, 0.54, 0.5242, 0.6303, 0.7128, 0.7306, 0.7653, 0.8554, 0.7364, 0.7978, 1.009, 0.7811, 0.7462, 0.6693, 0.4323, 0.6433, 0.7236, 0.7236, 0.5802, 0.5966, 0.6026, 0.6661, 0.7975, 0.9804, 0.8117, 0.8697, 1.057, 0.9934, 0.7667, 0.8024, 0.6795, 0.8025, 0.9612, 1.1209, 1.1209, 0.9808, 1.0923, 1.2982, 1.2933, 1.3015, 1.2345, 1.1873, 1.1135, 1.2859, 1.2932, 1.2959, 1.1466, 1.2407, 1.1722, 1.2613, 1.205, 1.0298, 1.2015, 1.3144, 1.4365, 1.5038, 1.5509, 1.422, 1.2894, 1.3181, 1.7011, 1.5453, 1.6428, 1.5695, 1.4897, 1.2699, 1.283, 1.2265, 1.4738, 1.4287, 1.4287, 1.3361, 1.3143, 1.2074, 1.1929, 1.1929, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2010667066202702177", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-12T10:55:59+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Craig-Hallum re-rates $AXTI to \"Buy\" with a $26 price target, a 160% increase. They stated AXT benefits from a \"trifecta of dynamics\"", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Shares/endorses Craig-Hallum Buy re-rate on AXTI to $26 PT (+160%), with upside scenario to $37.50-$50+ on supply shock / strategic monopoly thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just in: Craig-Hallum re-rates $AXTI to \"Buy\" with a $26 price target, a 160% increase. \n\nThey stated AXT benefits from a \"trifecta of dynamics\" that put:\n\n- constraints on competitors (Sumitomo, JX) \n- while increasing capacity after Northland's Capital raise.\n \nShannon, ranked as the #1 Semiconductor Analyst on WSJ, pegs AXT at $0.75 EPS by 2028, applying a 30x multiple by assuming AXT is a \"normal\" growth company. \n\nCritical defense/AI supply chains (like Heico or specialized chip firms) can easily trade at 50x-60x, which would set $AXTI at a $37.50 PT (for a growth company).\n\nHowever, if the \"Supply Shock\" thesis holds and $AXT becomes a strategic monopoly, the math completely breaks like $MU or Sandisk, and we might see a massive re-rating upward. \n\nThis is a \"Step-Ladder\" valuation, analysts typically walk the target up. If $AXTI goes to $28 next week, he will likely issue a new note raising it to $32.\n\nInstitutions are validating the thesis, but are trailing both the price and alpha on X.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Markets are witnessing a supply shock happen real time with InP. \n\nHere's the timeline this week: \n\nFastmarket Research, 2025: \n\nUS-based $AXTI and Japan's Sumitomo control nearly 80% of the InP market. \n\nChina Commerce Ministry - Jan 6 2026: China announces new export https://t.co/piaM9hnEw2", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.033723021929792596, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.033723021929792596, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0352910132835661, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03740909787283109, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0015679913537735013, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0036860759430384915, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03282372076209894, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03282372076209894, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.030824245656228655, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03505070870310134, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019994751058702853, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0022269879410024007, "ret_p1w": -0.006744587233542543, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.006744587233542543, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0017097590729813206, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0316511834940183, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.005034828160561222, "bench_c_p1w": 0.024906596260475755, "ret_p1m": 0.09487412913968196, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09487412913968196, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09924724910176141, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05878134776626287, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0043731199620794525, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03609278137341909, "ret_p3m": 1.8381294775845798, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.8381294775845798, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.8573957861693282, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.736634588103192, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.019266308584748315, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10149488948138785, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7936, -0.7783, -0.7972, -0.7792, -0.7675, -0.7779, -0.7671, -0.7275, -0.7217, -0.7032, -0.6821, -0.6709, -0.6425, -0.6196, -0.616, -0.5908, -0.6012, -0.5746, -0.5306, -0.5252, -0.5063, -0.5306, -0.5306, -0.5391, -0.5549, -0.5454, -0.5751, -0.5985, -0.58, -0.585, -0.5301, -0.5301, -0.5189, -0.5148, -0.4712, -0.4838, -0.4559, -0.4793, -0.4285, -0.3273, -0.3026, -0.2635, -0.3341, -0.3332, -0.4155, -0.4442, -0.3701, -0.3413, -0.3156, -0.3417, -0.3251, -0.3251, -0.3089, -0.344, -0.2896, -0.2648, -0.2648, -0.2464, -0.2504, -0.0931, 0.0841, 0.1614, 0.0337, 0.0, -0.0328, -0.0063, 0.1565, -0.0067, -0.0067, -0.0373, -0.1106, -0.1942, -0.2176, -0.1996, -0.2266, -0.2433, -0.2635, -0.1664, -0.0585, -0.1124, -0.1569, -0.0814, 0.0818, 0.2487, 0.0949, 0.205, 0.1147, 0.0899, 0.0899, 0.0436, 0.0585, 0.0706, 0.3345, 0.2783, 0.5773, 0.8422, 0.6691, 0.7041, 1.0827, 0.8777, 0.7594, 0.7446, 0.4555, 0.7338, 0.9919, 1.1295, 1.1012, 1.1969, 1.1758, 0.9946, 1.1924, 1.612, 1.4388, 1.8975, 2.0773, 2.0283, 1.6308, 1.7262, 1.371, 1.5621, 1.1196, 1.3759, 1.3759, 0.888, 1.0441, 1.3912, 1.8381, 1.8858, 1.9879, 2.0261, 1.8296, 2.6772, 2.7122, 2.5414, 2.371, 2.9092, 2.3844, 2.4245, 2.1542, 2.0895, 2.1956, 2.5621, 3.3165, 3.7662, 3.8359, 3.7136, 3.875, 4.232, 4.6569, 4.5261, 4.4829, 4.17, 4.5656, 3.7608, 4.0755, 3.7037, 4.4415, 5.3323, 5.3323, 4.9622, 4.5202, 4.2023, 3.6385, 3.6385, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2011389862793171342", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-14T10:48:07+00:00", "symbol": "UAVS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$UAVS is a hidden gem. I'll take positions thanks", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Views UAVS as a hidden gem and intends to take positions.", "resolved_tickers": ["UAVS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@KAnalyser1 Woah $UAVS is a hidden gem. I’ll take positions thanks", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $UAVS , might find it interesting", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "KAnalyser1", "ret_m1d": 0.041420077439480396, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.041420077439480396, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03648056120320775, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.029118787318596073, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004939516236272645, "bench_c_m1d": 0.012301290120884323, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07692314203511275, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07692314203511275, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0796463564316422, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.08217543995504617, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027232143965294497, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005252297919933424, "ret_p1w": -0.2485207467890379, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.2485207467890379, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.24133611678910527, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2423700489374374, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007184629999932635, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006150697851600495, "ret_p1m": -0.40828404370311155, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.40828404370311155, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3951170831252703, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3703435661564054, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01316696057784128, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03794047754670615, "ret_p3m": -0.43195269465183417, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.43195269465183417, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4284961503025705, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4394927502071375, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0034565443492636794, "bench_c_p3m": 0.007540055555303349, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2485, 0.2899, 0.2012, 0.1598, 0.2426, 0.2308, 0.1893, 0.1243, 0.0828, 0.1006, 0.1302, 0.0355, -0.0296, 0.0059, -0.2249, -0.2012, -0.1657, -0.1775, -0.213, -0.2722, -0.2663, -0.3254, -0.3195, -0.3432, -0.3728, -0.3018, -0.2663, -0.2485, -0.2426, -0.2426, -0.2189, -0.3018, -0.2959, -0.2367, -0.1953, -0.2544, -0.284, -0.2426, -0.2899, -0.3136, -0.3373, -0.3728, -0.3728, -0.4497, -0.4734, -0.3905, -0.3728, -0.4142, -0.432, -0.432, -0.4438, -0.4734, -0.5089, -0.5207, -0.5207, -0.2722, -0.1302, -0.1657, -0.2899, 0.0296, 0.0059, -0.0651, 0.0414, 0.0, -0.0769, -0.1479, -0.1479, -0.213, -0.2485, -0.1716, -0.2071, -0.284, -0.2781, -0.3018, -0.3195, -0.3787, -0.3787, -0.355, -0.4024, -0.426, -0.3609, -0.3373, -0.3846, -0.3787, -0.4083, -0.4024, -0.4024, -0.4142, -0.3964, -0.3669, -0.3964, -0.4201, -0.4083, -0.4083, -0.4201, -0.4438, -0.3787, -0.3787, -0.3669, -0.3136, -0.355, -0.3787, -0.3787, -0.3669, -0.3609, -0.3728, -0.4083, -0.3905, -0.3669, -0.3728, -0.4201, -0.4083, -0.3964, -0.4024, -0.4438, -0.4793, -0.4911, -0.4675, -0.4615, -0.4615, -0.4615, -0.4438, -0.4556, -0.4615, -0.4556, -0.4497, -0.432, -0.3846, -0.3787, -0.3373, -0.3195, -0.2959, -0.3136, -0.284, -0.3432, -0.3609, -0.3728, -0.3846, -0.4083, -0.3787, -0.3728, -0.3787, -0.3728, -0.3373, -0.3077, -0.3077, -0.3314, -0.355, -0.3669, -0.3491, -0.3787, -0.4201, -0.4379, -0.4379, -0.426, -0.3964, -0.3964, -0.3787, -0.3728, -0.2959, -0.3077, -0.3077, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1995135523908882764", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-30T14:19:11+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Nebius's MSFT deal gives it ~19–20% higher revenue per MW-year than IREN's MSFT deal", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "NBIS commands higher revenue/MW than IREN today; IREN could close the margin gap if it adds software/IaaS layer.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yep! Definitely some helpful points about the revenue premium. But I think the nuance did show up in the $MSFT deal (which shows the margin difference between $NBIS and $IREN per MW).\n\nNebius’s MSFT deal gives it ~19–20% higher revenue per MW-year than IREN’s MSFT deal. A lot of the gross margin figures are inflated by balance sheet accounting, hence why I made this post to normalize margins. \n\n$IREN 's realized levered irr is probably closer to 20%, it's probably better to use that over the 85% project EBITDA figures since they're spending billions with Dell. \n\n$MSFT values $NBIS full AI cloud platform more from an educated guess (mix of location closer to azure servers and  software). If $IREN closed the software on top level and iaas level, its future margins/contracts could close that gap.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thanks for the thoughtful take! Just wanted to add a few data points to the discussion (all from recent public sources, NFA/DYOR):Revenue premium from software layer", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "GyujinAAIG", "ret_m1d": -0.052720905630066484, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.052720905630066484, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05730735049238922, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.057422753442149754, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004701847812083271, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.036944628270231594, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.036944628270231594, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.038796927944310666, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04025331122801734, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003308682957785747, "ret_p1w": 0.0017973070637373745, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0017973070637373745, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.003141948190520605, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01047963228719273, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012276939350930105, "ret_p1m": -0.1495756677853144, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1495756677853144, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16246777457768147, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.18286213217720948, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03328646439189509, "ret_p3m": 0.047229112885403435, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.047229112885403435, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.030960854270874583, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.027656878277190877, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "bench_c_p3m": 0.019572234608212558, "ret_p6m": 1.0774837183085886, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.0774837183085886, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.9678303387279186, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.0649106695834534, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "bench_c_p6m": 0.012573048725135205, "price_path": [-0.3445, -0.3519, -0.3463, -0.3604, -0.0442, -0.0675, -0.1094, -0.0973, -0.0918, -0.107, -0.0606, -0.0602, -0.0084, 0.0644, 0.0764, 0.1306, 0.0778, 0.0754, 0.1005, 0.121, 0.1544, 0.2568, 0.2779, 0.2475, 0.1752, 0.2182, 0.3244, 0.2939, 0.3526, 0.2796, 0.2564, 0.2286, 0.1327, 0.0884, 0.0412, -0.0153, 0.06, 0.1708, 0.2524, 0.2165, 0.2491, 0.2399, 0.3062, 0.2029, 0.1037, 0.1682, 0.0928, 0.1111, 0.0979, 0.0207, -0.0578, -0.115, -0.1659, -0.1415, -0.096, -0.0507, -0.1549, -0.1686, -0.0824, -0.1125, -0.0545, -0.0545, -0.0527, 0.0, -0.0369, -0.0123, 0.0265, -0.0211, 0.0018, -0.0373, -0.0655, -0.0586, -0.1244, -0.1898, -0.1917, -0.2466, -0.2203, -0.1067, -0.0691, -0.101, -0.0901, -0.0901, -0.1254, -0.1409, -0.1496, -0.1642, -0.1642, -0.1018, -0.0731, 0.0009, -0.0393, -0.0285, -0.0222, 0.0717, 0.0527, 0.0183, 0.0373, 0.0857, 0.0857, -0.0086, -0.0128, -0.033, -0.0564, -0.0868, -0.0228, 0.0028, -0.0523, -0.1494, -0.1197, -0.1018, -0.1773, -0.2624, -0.1403, -0.0726, -0.0835, -0.1152, -0.104, -0.0214, -0.0214, -0.0263, 0.0165, 0.0745, -0.0223, 0.0046, 0.0243, 0.0596, 0.0472, -0.0895, -0.0913, -0.1333, -0.0237, -0.0449, -0.108, -0.052, -0.0371, 0.1183, 0.0788, 0.1278, 0.2966, 0.1616, 0.1838, 0.2134, 0.1744, 0.1398, 0.1474, 0.1492, 0.0581, 0.0067, -0.0788, 0.036, 0.018, 0.0866, 0.0866, 0.1237, 0.1722, 0.2481, 0.3613, 0.4475, 0.5433, 0.617, 0.6652, 0.6509, 0.569, 0.5892, 0.5632, 0.5591, 0.5684, 0.4694, 0.4474, 0.3531, 0.4098, 0.3802, 0.5426, 0.7616, 0.7566, 0.948, 0.8449, 0.7678, 0.8582, 0.7884, 1.0696, 1.2082, 1.1961, 0.9956, 0.9743, 0.9153, 1.196, 1.1445, 1.1445, 1.0775]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1995135523908882764", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-30T14:19:11+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If $IREN closed the software on top level and iaas level, its future margins/contracts could close that gap", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "NBIS commands higher revenue/MW than IREN today; IREN could close the margin gap if it adds software/IaaS layer.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yep! Definitely some helpful points about the revenue premium. But I think the nuance did show up in the $MSFT deal (which shows the margin difference between $NBIS and $IREN per MW).\n\nNebius’s MSFT deal gives it ~19–20% higher revenue per MW-year than IREN’s MSFT deal. A lot of the gross margin figures are inflated by balance sheet accounting, hence why I made this post to normalize margins. \n\n$IREN 's realized levered irr is probably closer to 20%, it's probably better to use that over the 85% project EBITDA figures since they're spending billions with Dell. \n\n$MSFT values $NBIS full AI cloud platform more from an educated guess (mix of location closer to azure servers and  software). If $IREN closed the software on top level and iaas level, its future margins/contracts could close that gap.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thanks for the thoughtful take! Just wanted to add a few data points to the discussion (all from recent public sources, NFA/DYOR):Revenue premium from software layer", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "GyujinAAIG", "ret_m1d": -0.014023515810224318, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014023515810224318, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.018609960672547055, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.022342682441486406, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008319166631262087, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.15199015243290592, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.15199015243290592, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.153842452106985, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.15104477605452604, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0009453763783798808, "ret_p1w": -0.04433906891023409, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04433906891023409, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04927832416449207, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0554942919273953, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011155223017161209, "ret_p1m": -0.21014646501716616, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.21014646501716616, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.22303857180953324, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2570902403302643, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "bench_c_p1m": 0.046943775313098124, "ret_p3m": -0.08764693447901695, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08764693447901695, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1039151930935458, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08374241000006155, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0039045244789553957, "ret_p6m": 0.23283144380346932, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.23283144380346932, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.12317806422279931, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.24401169255931177, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "bench_c_p6m": -0.011180248755842448, "price_path": [-0.4182, -0.4611, -0.4607, -0.4599, -0.3774, -0.3065, -0.3225, -0.2996, -0.2341, -0.2483, -0.2184, -0.251, -0.2031, -0.1359, -0.1386, -0.0278, -0.0454, -0.1367, -0.0528, -0.0322, -0.0291, -0.0303, 0.0406, 0.191, 0.272, 0.2392, 0.3168, 0.2326, 0.3227, 0.4345, 0.4019, 0.2751, 0.2522, 0.2213, 0.1383, 0.0689, 0.152, 0.2972, 0.3403, 0.2873, 0.246, 0.2007, 0.2528, 0.3972, 0.3741, 0.5758, 0.3809, 0.2865, 0.2409, 0.1833, 0.1487, 0.0033, -0.0437, -0.0223, 0.0074, -0.0549, -0.1035, -0.1285, 0.0, -0.021, -0.0008, -0.0008, -0.014, 0.0, -0.152, -0.0934, -0.0421, -0.078, -0.0443, -0.034, -0.0942, -0.0938, -0.1724, -0.2683, -0.2454, -0.3034, -0.2617, -0.1767, -0.133, -0.1324, -0.1343, -0.1343, -0.1689, -0.1873, -0.2101, -0.2211, -0.2211, -0.1194, -0.0052, -0.0532, -0.1003, -0.058, -0.0507, 0.0379, 0.0928, 0.0905, 0.0701, 0.1924, 0.1924, 0.119, 0.1029, 0.0777, 0.1689, 0.0798, 0.2372, 0.298, 0.2341, 0.1083, 0.0947, 0.1217, -0.0732, -0.1794, -0.1373, -0.0483, -0.1147, -0.12, -0.1745, -0.1293, -0.1293, -0.1551, -0.1322, -0.1072, -0.1755, -0.1264, -0.0627, -0.092, -0.0876, -0.1555, -0.1464, -0.1988, -0.0959, -0.1725, -0.2431, -0.199, -0.2139, -0.1343, -0.1468, -0.1425, -0.0732, -0.114, -0.1295, -0.1409, -0.1485, -0.1305, -0.152, -0.1456, -0.2277, -0.2763, -0.3479, -0.2931, -0.297, -0.2829, -0.2829, -0.2755, -0.2629, -0.2405, -0.2357, -0.1891, -0.1118, -0.0231, 0.0068, -0.0163, -0.0076, 0.0047, -0.0685, -0.0021, 0.0728, 0.0443, -0.0027, -0.0835, -0.1161, -0.0615, -0.0584, 0.0204, 0.1289, 0.2576, 0.1724, 0.2621, 0.1373, 0.1664, 0.1378, 0.2044, 0.0918, 0.0406, -0.0155, 0.087, 0.1974, 0.172, 0.172, 0.2328]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1970224716322611675", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-22T20:32:32+00:00", "symbol": "GAP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I do like it and I like Banana Republic personally. It's a stock that benefits from seasonality around this time too", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Likes GAP for seasonal tailwinds and brand appeal around this time of year.", "resolved_tickers": ["GAP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@AndyA143597 For $GAP, I do like it and I like Banana Republic personally. It's a stock that benefits from seasonality around this time too. \n\n$UPWK, $TGT, $UNH, $LULU were value investing port holders but I'll need to look more to see if there's any material impact from macro/tarrifs.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Nice, I'm following you all the way on $NBIS lol\nI recently saw a DD on $GAP on WSB. Do you have any opinion on the stock?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Indigo_Pilot", "ret_m1d": -0.015480069545079411, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.015480069545079411, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010771247003852458, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010771247003852458, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0047088225412269535, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0047088225412269535, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011056909448377894, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011056909448377894, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.016500475837206707, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.016500475837206707, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005443566388828813, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005443566388828813, "ret_p1w": -0.056169885739984826, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.056169885739984826, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05143105486822441, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05143105486822441, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004738830871760413, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004738830871760413, "ret_p1m": -0.010829716219545982, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.010829716219545982, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01750288775949793, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01750288775949793, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.00667317153995195, "bench_c_p1m": 0.00667317153995195, "ret_p3m": 0.21606877312210182, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.21606877312210182, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.20162767827828776, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.20162767827828776, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014441094843814062, "bench_c_p3m": 0.014441094843814062, "ret_p6m": 0.06969352606992762, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.06969352606992762, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06079780501853138, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.06079780501853138, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.008895721051396244, "bench_c_p6m": 0.008895721051396244, "price_path": [-0.0578, -0.0349, -0.0385, -0.0424, -0.0139, -0.0095, -0.0024, -0.0024, -0.0051, -0.0046, 0.0013, 0.0212, 0.0097, -0.0522, -0.0849, -0.1061, -0.1004, -0.107, -0.0876, -0.0836, -0.0876, -0.1039, -0.0862, -0.0977, -0.1216, -0.13, -0.1393, -0.1667, -0.1367, -0.138, -0.1132, -0.111, -0.1243, -0.1287, -0.096, -0.0646, -0.0765, -0.0849, -0.0752, -0.084, -0.0823, -0.0624, -0.0526, -0.0491, -0.0456, -0.0137, -0.0411, -0.0265, -0.0265, 0.0004, -0.0009, 0.0584, 0.0526, 0.0677, 0.0659, 0.0646, 0.0716, 0.0128, 0.0579, 0.0013, 0.0088, 0.0181, -0.0155, 0.0, 0.0111, 0.0115, -0.019, -0.0274, -0.0562, -0.054, -0.0425, -0.0385, -0.0451, -0.0487, -0.0681, -0.0777, -0.0897, -0.1218, -0.0813, -0.0804, -0.0603, -0.0795, -0.0371, -0.0202, -0.0108, -0.0336, 0.0266, 0.0458, 0.0641, 0.0868, 0.056, 0.0364, 0.0186, 0.0168, -0.001, 0.0444, 0.0155, 0.0458, 0.0739, 0.0707, 0.1104, 0.0828, 0.0765, 0.0596, 0.0632, 0.0467, 0.028, 0.1126, 0.1033, 0.1858, 0.2272, 0.2272, 0.2067, 0.2259, 0.1973, 0.1969, 0.1817, 0.184, 0.1376, 0.1657, 0.1898, 0.192, 0.1742, 0.1956, 0.2063, 0.2121, 0.2161, 0.2491, 0.2103, 0.1755, 0.1835, 0.1835, 0.167, 0.1595, 0.1546, 0.1412, 0.1412, 0.1229, 0.134, 0.2058, 0.1935, 0.2747, 0.2702, 0.2442, 0.2303, 0.1953, 0.2235, 0.1989, 0.1989, 0.1751, 0.2173, 0.2204, 0.2155, 0.1962, 0.202, 0.2101, 0.2424, 0.2549, 0.2859, 0.2711, 0.3011, 0.2648, 0.3065, 0.241, 0.2415, 0.2316, 0.2195, 0.241, 0.241, 0.2379, 0.2567, 0.2657, 0.2904, 0.2128, 0.2222, 0.219, 0.2684, 0.2576, 0.2626, 0.2222, 0.2442, 0.2199, 0.0441, 0.0248, 0.0374, 0.0558, 0.0374, 0.0423, 0.0468, 0.0697]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2008706766574678180", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-07T01:06:27+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If $AXTI stopped exporting InP substrates, the AI buildout would not be able to ramp. AXT would effectively become a monopoly once inventory runs out for competitors", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish AXTI: critical InP substrate monopoly for AI buildout, very little permit risk in 2026; near-irreplaceable once competitor inventory depletes.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@gemm_fc Very little risk for 2026 calendar year. Made some comments here.\n\nIf $AXTI stopped exporting InP substrates, the AI buildout would not be able to ramp. \n\nAXT would effectively become a monopoly once inventory runs out for competitors \n\nhttps://t.co/P8LVlt2RkK", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Any risk for AXT's permit on InP?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "gemm_fc", "ret_m1d": -0.16341768703091564, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.16341768703091564, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1666514674512254, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.17017059902952703, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003233780420309751, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006752911998611388, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07133966278773185, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07133966278773185, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07144119546971761, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08702710291990967, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00010153268198576093, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01568744013217782, "ret_p1w": -0.08336790452086706, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08336790452086706, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08449896439781379, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09201685051033226, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0011310598769467273, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008648945989465195, "ret_p1m": -0.1526337707181883, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1526337707181883, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13528987632921796, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14237461066893464, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017343894388970327, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010259160049253646, "ret_p3m": 0.7416010209654871, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7416010209654871, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.7834387873600864, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.7131349093728574, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04183776639459935, "bench_c_p3m": 0.028466111592629684, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.8328, -0.8092, -0.8105, -0.8096, -0.7955, -0.8129, -0.7964, -0.7856, -0.7951, -0.7852, -0.7487, -0.7433, -0.7263, -0.7068, -0.6964, -0.6703, -0.6491, -0.6458, -0.6226, -0.6321, -0.6076, -0.567, -0.562, -0.5446, -0.567, -0.567, -0.5749, -0.5894, -0.5807, -0.608, -0.6296, -0.6126, -0.6172, -0.5666, -0.5666, -0.5562, -0.5525, -0.5122, -0.5238, -0.4981, -0.5197, -0.4728, -0.3795, -0.3567, -0.3206, -0.3857, -0.3849, -0.4608, -0.4873, -0.4189, -0.3924, -0.3687, -0.3928, -0.3774, -0.3774, -0.3625, -0.3949, -0.3447, -0.3219, -0.3219, -0.3049, -0.3086, -0.1634, 0.0, 0.0713, -0.0465, -0.0776, -0.1078, -0.0834, 0.0668, -0.0838, -0.0838, -0.112, -0.1796, -0.2567, -0.2783, -0.2617, -0.2866, -0.3019, -0.3206, -0.231, -0.1315, -0.1813, -0.2223, -0.1526, -0.0021, 0.1518, 0.01, 0.1116, 0.0282, 0.0054, 0.0054, -0.0373, -0.0236, -0.0124, 0.231, 0.1792, 0.455, 0.6993, 0.5396, 0.572, 0.9212, 0.7321, 0.623, 0.6093, 0.3426, 0.5993, 0.8374, 0.9643, 0.9382, 1.0265, 1.0071, 0.8399, 1.0224, 1.4094, 1.2497, 1.6727, 1.8387, 1.7934, 1.4268, 1.5147, 1.1871, 1.3633, 0.9552, 1.1916, 1.1916, 0.7416, 0.8855, 1.2057, 1.618, 1.662, 1.7561, 1.7914, 1.6101, 2.392, 2.4243, 2.2667, 2.1095, 2.606, 2.1219, 2.1589, 1.9096, 1.8499, 1.9477, 2.2858, 2.9818, 3.3965, 3.4608, 3.348, 3.4969, 3.8262, 4.2182, 4.0975, 4.0577, 3.769, 4.134, 3.3915, 3.6819, 3.3389, 4.0195, 4.8411, 4.8411, 4.4998, 4.0921, 3.7988, 3.2787, 3.2787, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2007207971013677388", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-02T21:50:47+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Since AXT is at the center of the InP bottleneck, one year of unhindered ramp is enough of an upside. And Northland prob saw as is the only major pure-play listed on the NASDAQ that gives investors direct exposure to this material bottleneck", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long AXTI as the only NASDAQ pure-play on InP bottleneck with a 12-month China-export-restriction-free runway through Nov 2026.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Something retail probably doesn't know is that China announced a 1Y suspension of its total export ban on gallium and germanium to the US, effective until Nov 27, 2026.  \n\nWith the $AXTI $100m offering, institutions probably interpreted this as a 12 month runway for AXT to capitalize on the InP price frenzy before the \"truce\" expires and China introduces export restrictions.   \n\nSince AXT is at the center of the InP bottleneck, one year of unhindered ramp is enough of an upside. And Northland prob saw as is the only major pure-play listed on the NASDAQ that gives investors direct exposure to this material bottleneck.  \n\nTLDR: The risk is always there, but not likely to be present until Nov 27th next year. Of course if $AXTI cannot export, the AI buildout stalls too and there's more issues to worry about.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What about the possibility of\nChina export restrictions?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Nichola30641241", "ret_m1d": -0.024462997721537816, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.024462997721537816, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.022633311874942552, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01081689336021674, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018296858465952637, "bench_c_m1d": -0.035279891081754555, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0053699374319098325, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0053699374319098325, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012030051247972962, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01686205820663944, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006660113816063129, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011492120774729608, "ret_p1w": 0.37171834469909015, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.37171834469909015, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.3557633300304277, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.32907164245337883, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01595501466866245, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04264670224571132, "ret_p1m": 0.24940335609140107, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.24940335609140107, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2314868759110269, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.15652895330154015, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017916480180374172, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09287440278986092, "ret_p3m": 1.8126490898498897, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.8126490898498897, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.8509126728305862, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.7626356581910365, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03826358298069654, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05001343165885319, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6832, -0.6832, -0.6879, -0.7595, -0.7255, -0.7273, -0.7261, -0.7058, -0.7309, -0.707, -0.6915, -0.7053, -0.6909, -0.6384, -0.6307, -0.6062, -0.5782, -0.5632, -0.5257, -0.4952, -0.4905, -0.457, -0.4708, -0.4356, -0.3771, -0.3699, -0.3449, -0.3771, -0.3771, -0.3884, -0.4093, -0.3968, -0.4362, -0.4672, -0.4427, -0.4493, -0.3765, -0.3765, -0.3616, -0.3562, -0.2983, -0.315, -0.278, -0.3091, -0.2416, -0.1074, -0.0746, -0.0227, -0.1163, -0.1152, -0.2243, -0.2625, -0.1641, -0.1259, -0.0919, -0.1265, -0.1044, -0.1044, -0.0829, -0.1295, -0.0573, -0.0245, -0.0245, 0.0, -0.0054, 0.2035, 0.4385, 0.5412, 0.3717, 0.327, 0.2834, 0.3186, 0.5346, 0.318, 0.318, 0.2774, 0.1802, 0.0692, 0.0382, 0.0621, 0.0263, 0.0042, -0.0227, 0.1062, 0.2494, 0.1778, 0.1187, 0.219, 0.4356, 0.6569, 0.4529, 0.599, 0.4791, 0.4463, 0.4463, 0.3848, 0.4045, 0.4206, 0.7709, 0.6963, 1.0931, 1.4445, 1.2148, 1.2613, 1.7637, 1.4916, 1.3347, 1.315, 0.9314, 1.3007, 1.6432, 1.8258, 1.7882, 1.9153, 1.8872, 1.6468, 1.9093, 2.466, 2.2363, 2.8449, 3.0835, 3.0185, 2.491, 2.6175, 2.1462, 2.3998, 1.8126, 2.1527, 2.1527, 1.5054, 1.7124, 2.173, 2.7661, 2.8294, 2.9648, 3.0155, 2.7548, 3.8795, 3.926, 3.6993, 3.4732, 4.1874, 3.491, 3.5442, 3.1856, 3.0996, 3.2405, 3.7267, 4.7279, 5.3246, 5.4171, 5.2548, 5.469, 5.9427, 6.5066, 6.3329, 6.2757, 5.8604, 6.3854, 5.3174, 5.7351, 5.2416, 6.2208, 7.4027, 7.4027, 6.9117, 6.3252, 5.9033, 5.1551, 5.1551, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2007340991989330098", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-03T06:39:21+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "私は2026年半ばまで保有する予定で、その頃にはHBMと同様の供給逼迫（サプライスクイーズ）が起きると見ています。また、Northlandによる1億ドルの資金調達後は希薄化リスクが低い点も評価しています。", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long AXTI through mid-2026; expects HBM-style supply squeeze in InP substrates, low dilution risk post-Northland raise, and rising margins from vertical cost ownership.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "ja", "tweet_text": "私は個人的に、世界のInP基板（Indium Phosphide substrate）供給能力の約30%、および**インジウム・リン（Indium Phosphide）原料については約25〜30%**をカバーしていると試算しています。\n\n$AXTI CEOが「サプライチェーンの40%を握っている」と発言した点については、彼の方がより内部情報を持っているはずなので、今後の増産を織り込めばその水準に達する可能性はあると思います。一方で、ウェブサイトに記載されている60%という数字はやや過大に見えます。\n\n私は2026年半ばまで保有する予定で、その頃にはHBMと同様の供給逼迫（サプライスクイーズ）が起きると見ています。また、Northlandによる1億ドルの資金調達後は希薄化リスクが低い点も評価しています。\nさらに、一部の非公開・有料データでは、これらのベンダーが欧米向けに価格を引き上げていることが示されており、マージンも上昇すると予想しています。これは見過ごされがちな隠れたアルファ要因で、$AXTIはコスト構造全体を自社で保有しているため、価格上昇はそのまま大幅な利益率改善につながるからです。\n\n最大のリスク要因は中国当局による許認可（パーミッティング）ですが、それこそがこれほど重要なボトルネックを握っていながら時価総額が10億ドル未満に抑えられている理由です。\nもしサプライチェーンがすべて米国に存在していれば、評価額が100億ドル規模になっても不思議ではないと考えています。", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit ありがとう！\n日本の情報元では６割になってた！多分このサイト側のミスだね👇\n確かに、リスクも高いので出来高が落ちれば一旦利確するつもりだよ🧐\n\nhttps://t.co/pR8cQkUei9", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "beauty_oe", "ret_m1d": 0.0053989293446901065, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0053989293446901065, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01201497951361541, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.016760481786569192, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006616050168925303, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011361552441879086, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.209958007437401, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.209958007437401, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.2040108240643117, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.18339480693798582, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005947183373089304, "bench_c_p1d": 0.026563200499415185, "ret_p1w": 0.33413315352920714, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.33413315352920714, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.32331479375860805, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2995188696472717, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010818359770599084, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03461428388193544, "ret_p1m": 0.18416314821677782, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.18416314821677782, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.18153119831166142, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1309572991934025, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.002631949905116393, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05320584902337533, "ret_p3m": 2.1697660414369486, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.1697660414369486, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.2135322313773202, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.130755444945545, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.043766189940371514, "bench_c_p3m": 0.039010596491403815, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6815, -0.6863, -0.7582, -0.7241, -0.7259, -0.7247, -0.7043, -0.7295, -0.7055, -0.6899, -0.7037, -0.6893, -0.6365, -0.6287, -0.6041, -0.5759, -0.5609, -0.5231, -0.4925, -0.4877, -0.4541, -0.4679, -0.4325, -0.3737, -0.3665, -0.3413, -0.3737, -0.3737, -0.3851, -0.4061, -0.3935, -0.4331, -0.4643, -0.4397, -0.4463, -0.3731, -0.3731, -0.3581, -0.3527, -0.2945, -0.3113, -0.2741, -0.3053, -0.2376, -0.1026, -0.0696, -0.0174, -0.1116, -0.1104, -0.2202, -0.2585, -0.1596, -0.1212, -0.087, -0.1218, -0.0996, -0.0996, -0.078, -0.1248, -0.0522, -0.0192, -0.0192, 0.0054, 0.0, 0.21, 0.4463, 0.5495, 0.3791, 0.3341, 0.2903, 0.3257, 0.5429, 0.3251, 0.3251, 0.2843, 0.1866, 0.075, 0.0438, 0.0678, 0.0318, 0.0096, -0.0174, 0.1122, 0.2561, 0.1842, 0.1248, 0.2256, 0.4433, 0.6659, 0.4607, 0.6077, 0.4871, 0.4541, 0.4541, 0.3923, 0.4121, 0.4283, 0.7804, 0.7055, 1.1044, 1.4577, 1.2268, 1.2735, 1.7786, 1.5051, 1.3473, 1.3275, 0.9418, 1.3131, 1.6575, 1.841, 1.8032, 1.931, 1.9028, 1.6611, 1.925, 2.4847, 2.2537, 2.8656, 3.1056, 3.0402, 2.5099, 2.6371, 2.1632, 2.4181, 1.8278, 2.1698, 2.1698, 1.5189, 1.7271, 2.1902, 2.7864, 2.85, 2.9862, 3.0372, 2.775, 3.9058, 3.9526, 3.7247, 3.4973, 4.2154, 3.5153, 3.5687, 3.2082, 3.1218, 3.2633, 3.7522, 4.7588, 5.3587, 5.4517, 5.2885, 5.5039, 5.9802, 6.5471, 6.3725, 6.3149, 5.8974, 6.4253, 5.3515, 5.7714, 5.2753, 6.2597, 7.4481, 7.4481, 6.9544, 6.3647, 5.9406, 5.1884, 5.1884, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1940361849985458270", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-02T10:48:09+00:00", "symbol": "UPWK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I bought $150k+ in shares… Naruto/UPWK is about to have some serious plot armor in the upcoming weeks and months", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bought $150k+ in UPWK; expects significant upside in coming weeks/months based on chart pattern thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["UPWK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Why I bought $150k in $UPWK.\n\nHere is UPWORK, UPWK and my explanation on why I bought $150k+ in shares.\n\nAt first, you see what looks like a CAT. It starts off with the two ears. Looks like a cat right?\n\nWrong. This is the NINE TAILED FOX Pattern, not just any cat. https://t.co/BUYY3BncTs\n\n---\n\nSo as usual with the destruction of the hidden leaf village, UPWK had some rebuilding to do. A massive dump candle hits like Pain himself.\n\nBut what they don’t see… is that the chart needed this. Naruto HAS ARRIVED. You can see his hairline being formed in the chart.\n\n---\n\nWhich means, Naruto/UPWK is about to have some serious plot armor in the upcoming weeks and months.\n\nYou know what comes next. Naruto meets Tsunade. They didn't show this in the show but there's a bouncy entrance and the Chakara Massage. There's a happy ending to Naruto.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.004457683465575846, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004457683465575846, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008970502126535829, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008970502126535829, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004512818660959983, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004512818660959983, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013372979544252761, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013372979544252761, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005491593589377786, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005491593589377786, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007881385954874975, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007881385954874975, "ret_p1w": 0.01783059215735361, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01783059215735361, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.012012311060209502, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.012012311060209502, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005818281097144107, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005818281097144107, "ret_p1m": -0.11144130726217316, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11144130726217316, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13018573989990467, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13018573989990467, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018744432637731512, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018744432637731512, "ret_p3m": 0.41233285104053596, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.41233285104053596, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3396920361478475, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3396920361478475, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07264081489268848, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07264081489268848, "ret_p6m": 0.5579494245113996, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5579494245113996, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4388589882762306, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4388589882762306, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11909043623516902, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11909043623516902, "price_path": [-0.1181, -0.1114, -0.1233, -0.0193, -0.0617, -0.0416, -0.0542, -0.049, -0.0594, -0.0535, -0.0535, -0.0736, -0.0461, -0.0223, 0.0074, 0.0059, -0.0015, -0.0089, -0.023, -0.0111, 0.0015, -0.0104, 0.1679, 0.2088, 0.2221, 0.2541, 0.2927, 0.3001, 0.292, 0.2697, 0.2808, 0.2296, 0.2229, 0.2051, 0.2051, 0.1701, 0.1701, 0.1753, 0.159, 0.1597, 0.1508, 0.1657, 0.1218, 0.133, 0.1211, 0.1441, 0.1501, 0.1412, 0.0825, 0.075, 0.0275, 0.0201, 0.0074, -0.0059, -0.0059, -0.0238, -0.029, -0.0097, -0.0059, 0.0082, 0.0126, -0.0015, 0.0045, 0.0, 0.0134, 0.0134, -0.0007, 0.003, 0.0178, -0.0037, -0.0401, -0.0371, -0.0394, -0.0104, -0.0045, -0.0171, -0.0059, 0.0163, 0.0238, -0.0171, -0.026, -0.0446, -0.0602, -0.1033, -0.1114, -0.127, -0.1055, -0.1174, -0.1122, 0.0089, -0.0215, -0.0037, 0.0156, 0.0468, 0.0178, 0.0253, 0.0394, 0.0297, 0.0557, 0.0988, 0.1085, 0.1077, 0.1211, 0.0996, 0.1077, 0.1434, 0.1434, 0.1857, 0.2221, 0.2467, 0.2028, 0.1857, 0.1887, 0.182, 0.2162, 0.2526, 0.2474, 0.2704, 0.3477, 0.4562, 0.4911, 0.4361, 0.4606, 0.4799, 0.4339, 0.4227, 0.4123, 0.3796, 0.3158, 0.3492, 0.2831, 0.2927, 0.2697, 0.3269, 0.2949, 0.2481, 0.2704, 0.2585, 0.2489, 0.2437, 0.2036, 0.2385, 0.2377, 0.1895, 0.1976, 0.1887, 0.1976, 0.2905, 0.2541, 0.2117, 0.1842, 0.1612, 0.315, 0.2169, 0.1999, 0.2964, 0.3076, 0.3336, 0.266, 0.2667, 0.2244, 0.2028, 0.2689, 0.3492, 0.2749, 0.3276, 0.3782, 0.4629, 0.4547, 0.4547, 0.4666, 0.477, 0.5253, 0.4658, 0.4547, 0.4918, 0.477, 0.5587, 0.5215, 0.6285, 0.6308, 0.5884, 0.5929, 0.5, 0.5208, 0.5305, 0.5817, 0.5468, 0.5579, 0.5579]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2003259964526330053", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-23T00:22:48+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If we see other hyperscalers adopt OCS for optimized performance that the TPU achieved, expect $LITE to re-rate more than they have now given their monopoly in that specific segment", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long LITE (OCS/TPU monopoly), AAOI (MSFT Maia/Amazon Trainium ramp), and COHR as InP/photonics bottleneck plays into 2026-2027 ASIC ramps.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AAOI is up 24% and $LITE is 5% since my thesis today.\n\nFrom BOM analysis, LITE ($27B) is levered toward TPU Ironwood due to OCS but benefits from NVDA + all ASICs.\n\nAAOI ($2.5B), is levered toward MSFT MAIA ramp and Amazon Trainium.\n\nInP like HBM, will be a bottleneck for 2026 as they’re the foundational materials used for lasers in these deployments. \n\nSimilar to memory bottlenecks with Micron and SK Hynix, we’ll likely see attention drawn to InP fabs, such as $AAOI, which happens to be one of the sole ones in America (COHR,Macom)\n\nBut compared to $LITE that is up 362% YTD due to the success of Google’s TPU (from Meta and Anthropic purchase orders), $AAOI is only up 7% YTD.\n\nWe’re largely seeing this because there’s a lack of retail or media attention on the $AMZN Trainium or $MSFT Maia deployments, which are largely expected to ramp up in 2026-2027. \n\nHowever they’re all likely to succeed due to each hyperscaler wanting to lower costs of inference for their own cloud platform.\n\nIf we see other hyperscalers adopt OCS for optimized performance that the TPU achieved, expect $LITE to re-rate more than they have now given their monopoly in that specific segment.\n\nHowever, if we see $MSFT Maia ramp up (given $AAOI is likely developing a new architecture for them), and $AMZN Trainium ramp up ($4B warrant + purchase orders), expect $AAOI to rerate.\n\nPhotonics and InP will be the new bottleneck like memory. \n\nWe’ll likely see investments pour down stream to players like $COHR, Innolight, $LITE, and hidden levered plays on specific hyperscaler ASICs like $AAOI as a theme in 2026.\n\nThe market is currently rewarding the Google TPU supply chain but might be missing other hyperscaler ASIC ramps.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The $LITE thesis: The hidden monopoly in the AI. \n\nLumentum is up 316% YTD, but might be 1000%+ by 2027. \n\nMicron ($300B) or TSM ($1.5T) sit in the center of every TPU/GPU deployed. \n\nBut same with $LITE, but it's a $26B MC. \n\nIn Every, Single, TPU from Google, $LITE makes https://t.co/qSDQrISbv4", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.006375677440837002, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006375677440837002, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01092533824014752, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01092533824014752, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004549660799310518, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004549660799310518, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.021966417194139387, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.021966417194139387, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0184487968886069, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0184487968886069, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0035176203055324873, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0035176203055324873, "ret_p1w": -0.04189362905683658, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04189362905683658, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.040512771152826255, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.040512771152826255, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0013808579040103242, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0013808579040103242, "ret_p1m": -0.06445368210595159, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06445368210595159, 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{"unit_id": "quote:2003259964526330053", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-23T00:22:48+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "expect $AAOI to rerate", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long LITE (OCS/TPU monopoly), AAOI (MSFT Maia/Amazon Trainium ramp), and COHR as InP/photonics bottleneck plays into 2026-2027 ASIC ramps.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AAOI is up 24% and $LITE is 5% since my thesis today.\n\nFrom BOM analysis, LITE ($27B) is levered toward TPU Ironwood due to OCS but benefits from NVDA + all ASICs.\n\nAAOI ($2.5B), is levered toward MSFT MAIA ramp and Amazon Trainium.\n\nInP like HBM, will be a bottleneck for 2026 as they’re the foundational materials used for lasers in these deployments. \n\nSimilar to memory bottlenecks with Micron and SK Hynix, we’ll likely see attention drawn to InP fabs, such as $AAOI, which happens to be one of the sole ones in America (COHR,Macom)\n\nBut compared to $LITE that is up 362% YTD due to the success of Google’s TPU (from Meta and Anthropic purchase orders), $AAOI is only up 7% YTD.\n\nWe’re largely seeing this because there’s a lack of retail or media attention on the $AMZN Trainium or $MSFT Maia deployments, which are largely expected to ramp up in 2026-2027. \n\nHowever they’re all likely to succeed due to each hyperscaler wanting to lower costs of inference for their own cloud platform.\n\nIf we see other hyperscalers adopt OCS for optimized performance that the TPU achieved, expect $LITE to re-rate more than they have now given their monopoly in that specific segment.\n\nHowever, if we see $MSFT Maia ramp up (given $AAOI is likely developing a new architecture for them), and $AMZN Trainium ramp up ($4B warrant + purchase orders), expect $AAOI to rerate.\n\nPhotonics and InP will be the new bottleneck like memory. \n\nWe’ll likely see investments pour down stream to players like $COHR, Innolight, $LITE, and hidden levered plays on specific hyperscaler ASICs like $AAOI as a theme in 2026.\n\nThe market is currently rewarding the Google TPU supply chain but might be missing other hyperscaler ASIC ramps.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The $LITE thesis: The hidden monopoly in the AI. \n\nLumentum is up 316% YTD, but might be 1000%+ by 2027. \n\nMicron ($300B) or TSM ($1.5T) sit in the center of every TPU/GPU deployed. \n\nBut same with $LITE, but it's a $26B MC. \n\nIn Every, Single, TPU from Google, $LITE makes https://t.co/qSDQrISbv4", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03801668779893841, 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"ret_p3m": 1.1540354879489731, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.1540354879489731, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.2087170873101596, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.2087170873101596, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.05468159936118644, "bench_c_p3m": -0.05468159936118644, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3519, -0.3659, -0.3617, -0.362, -0.3007, -0.3115, -0.3127, -0.1686, -0.229, -0.2072, -0.2035, -0.3319, -0.284, -0.2992, -0.1892, -0.2338, -0.2146, -0.1599, -0.1781, -0.2624, -0.2274, -0.1631, -0.0842, -0.0928, -0.127, -0.1371, -0.125, -0.187, -0.2741, -0.2247, -0.284, -0.297, -0.3745, -0.4156, -0.4109, -0.4855, -0.4718, -0.4678, -0.486, -0.4865, -0.5204, -0.4936, -0.4471, -0.4407, -0.3708, -0.3708, -0.341, -0.3472, -0.3597, -0.3688, -0.3543, -0.3457, -0.315, -0.2525, -0.1393, -0.1063, -0.2111, -0.2643, -0.2874, -0.3322, -0.2803, -0.2293, -0.038, 0.0, 0.0089, 0.0089, -0.0854, -0.0957, -0.1137, -0.1422, -0.1422, -0.0256, -0.139, 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{"unit_id": "quote:2003259964526330053", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-12-23T00:22:48+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We'll likely see investments pour down stream to players like $COHR, Innolight, $LITE, and hidden levered plays on specific hyperscaler ASICs like $AAOI as a theme in 2026", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long LITE (OCS/TPU monopoly), AAOI (MSFT Maia/Amazon Trainium ramp), and COHR as InP/photonics bottleneck plays into 2026-2027 ASIC ramps.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AAOI is up 24% and $LITE is 5% since my thesis today.\n\nFrom BOM analysis, LITE ($27B) is levered toward TPU Ironwood due to OCS but benefits from NVDA + all ASICs.\n\nAAOI ($2.5B), is levered toward MSFT MAIA ramp and Amazon Trainium.\n\nInP like HBM, will be a bottleneck for 2026 as they’re the foundational materials used for lasers in these deployments. \n\nSimilar to memory bottlenecks with Micron and SK Hynix, we’ll likely see attention drawn to InP fabs, such as $AAOI, which happens to be one of the sole ones in America (COHR,Macom)\n\nBut compared to $LITE that is up 362% YTD due to the success of Google’s TPU (from Meta and Anthropic purchase orders), $AAOI is only up 7% YTD.\n\nWe’re largely seeing this because there’s a lack of retail or media attention on the $AMZN Trainium or $MSFT Maia deployments, which are largely expected to ramp up in 2026-2027. \n\nHowever they’re all likely to succeed due to each hyperscaler wanting to lower costs of inference for their own cloud platform.\n\nIf we see other hyperscalers adopt OCS for optimized performance that the TPU achieved, expect $LITE to re-rate more than they have now given their monopoly in that specific segment.\n\nHowever, if we see $MSFT Maia ramp up (given $AAOI is likely developing a new architecture for them), and $AMZN Trainium ramp up ($4B warrant + purchase orders), expect $AAOI to rerate.\n\nPhotonics and InP will be the new bottleneck like memory. \n\nWe’ll likely see investments pour down stream to players like $COHR, Innolight, $LITE, and hidden levered plays on specific hyperscaler ASICs like $AAOI as a theme in 2026.\n\nThe market is currently rewarding the Google TPU supply chain but might be missing other hyperscaler ASIC ramps.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The $LITE thesis: The hidden monopoly in the AI. \n\nLumentum is up 316% YTD, but might be 1000%+ by 2027. \n\nMicron ($300B) or TSM ($1.5T) sit in the center of every TPU/GPU deployed. \n\nBut same with $LITE, but it's a $26B MC. \n\nIn Every, Single, TPU from Google, $LITE makes https://t.co/qSDQrISbv4", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00463855429351967, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00463855429351967, "alpha_spy_m1d": -8.889349420915238e-05, "alpha_c_m1d": -8.889349420915238e-05, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004549660799310518, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004549660799310518, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.002605931165498898, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.002605931165498898, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006123551471031385, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006123551471031385, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0035176203055324873, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0035176203055324873, "ret_p1w": -0.026372010670575596, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.026372010670575596, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.024991152766565272, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.024991152766565272, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0013808579040103242, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0013808579040103242, "ret_p1m": 0.04998182019456676, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04998182019456676, "alpha_spy_p1m": 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{"unit_id": "reply:1965478345283658118", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-09T18:12:08+00:00", "symbol": "GME", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd be comfortable selling puts or holding GME stock around current prices. Probably ignore the analysts on this one, seems like good value.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Comfortable holding GME or selling puts at current prices; sees good value, ignores bearish analyst consensus.", "resolved_tickers": ["GME"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Specialty Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Specialty Retail", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@LibertadEterno I'd be comfortable selling puts or holding GME stock around current prices. Probably ignore the analysts on this one, seems like good value. \n\nOtherwise, future really depends on what the CEO wants to do with the massive cash pile.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Appreciate all the analysis. Thoughts on GME?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LibertadEterno", "ret_m1d": -0.01568464759813948, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01568464759813948, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.013378154197849157, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017084732689349402, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023064934002903215, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0014000850912099239, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.033064886884281774, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.033064886884281774, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030174032605277068, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.045029877854898426, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028908542790047065, "bench_c_p1d": -0.011964990970616651, "ret_p1w": 0.11657481908487055, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11657481908487055, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10170541863023508, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08903874875947282, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014869400454635473, "bench_c_p1w": 0.027536070325397732, "ret_p1m": 0.03476047857228437, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03476047857228437, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.003137416147919403, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.029979014130942616, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03789789472020377, "bench_c_p1m": 0.004781464441341754, "ret_p3m": -0.025010604017447036, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.025010604017447036, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08230617543464713, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.042798104933929104, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0572955714172001, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01778750091648207, "ret_p6m": 0.011869465232487109, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.011869465232487109, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.04768423411544975, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.020513502811703388, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05955369934793686, "bench_c_p6m": -0.00864403757921628, "price_path": [-0.0615, -0.0615, -0.0114, -0.0254, -0.0064, -0.0064, -0.0055, -0.0326, -0.0127, -0.0017, 0.0123, 0.0, 0.0339, 0.0038, 0.0153, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0411, -0.0356, -0.017, -0.0208, -0.011, 0.0047, -0.0157, 0.0038, -0.0081, -0.0131, 0.0259, 0.0284, 0.0157, -0.0025, -0.011, -0.0259, -0.0441, -0.0483, -0.0483, -0.0632, -0.0407, -0.0331, -0.0331, -0.0398, -0.056, -0.05, -0.028, -0.0242, -0.0297, -0.0276, -0.0203, -0.0326, -0.0407, -0.0437, -0.0297, -0.0386, -0.0547, -0.0462, -0.0339, -0.05, -0.05, -0.0076, -0.0301, -0.0517, -0.0415, -0.0157, 0.0, 0.0331, 0.0534, 0.0568, 0.0822, 0.1166, 0.1064, 0.0971, 0.1056, 0.1352, 0.1361, 0.1128, 0.0712, 0.12, 0.1535, 0.1564, 0.1738, 0.1539, 0.0759, 0.0619, 0.0322, 0.0348, 0.0203, -0.0123, 0.0, -0.0161, -0.0089, -0.0271, -0.022, -0.0093, -0.0335, -0.0466, 0.0017, -0.0123, -0.0025, -0.0123, -0.0089, -0.0428, -0.0551, -0.0627, -0.0682, -0.067, -0.095, -0.0886, -0.089, -0.0907, -0.0945, -0.1115, -0.1242, -0.131, -0.131, -0.1344, -0.1547, -0.1462, -0.1314, -0.1072, -0.0831, -0.0831, -0.0449, -0.0339, -0.0331, -0.0161, -0.0271, -0.025, -0.0102, -0.0203, -0.0623, -0.0733, -0.1, -0.0636, -0.0555, -0.0237, -0.0437, -0.0458, -0.0784, -0.0937, -0.0873, -0.0873, -0.106, -0.1297, -0.131, -0.1488, -0.1488, -0.1259, -0.1217, -0.1242, -0.0975, -0.092, -0.1, -0.1106, -0.1089, -0.1089, -0.0945, -0.1056, -0.1056, -0.1056, -0.0805, -0.0191, -0.0254, 0.0178, 0.0263, 0.0021, -0.0331, 0.0123, 0.0958, 0.0394, 0.0589, 0.0466, 0.0589, 0.0445, 0.0521, 0.0263, -0.003, -0.0008, -0.0008, -0.014, 0.0119, 0.0131, -0.0068, 0.0021, 0.0076, 0.0267, 0.0216, 0.0187, 0.0259, 0.0097, 0.0119]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1977542975053041945", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-13T01:12:40+00:00", "symbol": "VRT", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "much better risk-reward on stuff like data center buildout since it's almost for sure revenue based on execution with mag7 backstopping companies", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long data center buildout names (IREN, CRWV) and quantum (IONQ) on sector uplift from popular themes; also holds MP in rare minerals; favors data center as best risk-reward.", "resolved_tickers": ["VRT"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Vertiv Holdings trades as VRT; data center context confirms", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Heavily agree, critical minerals are really complex. When I buy stuff like $MP I usually use ChatGPT deep research to help me understand risk-reward tradeoffs better.\n\nBut when I buy random lithium battery small caps and post about it I admit I don’t have domain knowledge. But like your Neocloud post about $IREN usually a popular domain like AI buildout with $CRWV or something like Quantum with $IONQ will uplift an entire sector anyway.\n\nSo risk-reward is sometimes worth it but I wouldn’t follow what I do and wouldn’t put much portfolio weighting into it either.\n\nAnd it’s a much better risk-reward on stuff like data center buildout since it’s almost for sure revenue based on execution with mag7 backstopping companies.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Commentary on the rare minerals stocks\n\nI went deep dive into the rare minerals, basically asking first principle questions to understand the sector better. \n\nMy conclusion is the sector is too complex to invest in. There's all kind of rare minerals (dozen of types), and https://t.co/oHi8jEpOns", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DeepValueBagger", "ret_m1d": -0.05581016631328228, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05581016631328228, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.040697974224265576, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.040697974224265576, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02150842501453032, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02150842501453032, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.020286770211073613, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.020286770211073613, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "ret_p1w": -0.018268172597604604, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.018268172597604604, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.030725978014545685, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.030725978014545685, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "ret_p1m": 0.000279346811241199, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.000279346811241199, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.029824408675605207, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.029824408675605207, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "ret_p3m": -0.10145253518106534, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.10145253518106534, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.14444763726737708, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.14444763726737708, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "ret_p6m": 0.4662587435551919, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4662587435551919, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.46635891258348383, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.46635891258348383, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "bench_c_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "price_path": [-0.2996, -0.2677, -0.2792, -0.2951, -0.3003, -0.2729, -0.2691, -0.2322, -0.2039, -0.203, -0.1948, -0.1868, -0.2092, -0.217, -0.225, -0.2195, -0.2215, -0.2185, -0.219, -0.1973, -0.2326, -0.2599, -0.2568, -0.2422, -0.2793, -0.2877, -0.293, -0.2965, -0.3018, -0.2855, -0.2778, -0.2503, -0.2876, -0.2876, -0.3074, -0.2986, -0.298, -0.3075, -0.3196, -0.2986, -0.2363, -0.2421, -0.2469, -0.2276, -0.2366, -0.2356, -0.2069, -0.1978, -0.1511, -0.2033, -0.2088, -0.2192, -0.2256, -0.1994, -0.1572, -0.0973, -0.097, -0.105, -0.0905, -0.1125, -0.0649, -0.0565, -0.0558, 0.0, -0.0215, 0.0084, -0.0066, -0.0279, -0.0183, -0.0235, -0.0414, 0.0235, 0.0394, 0.0777, 0.0646, 0.1132, 0.0825, 0.0774, 0.0693, 0.0102, 0.0654, 0.0225, 0.0045, 0.0494, 0.0003, -0.0315, -0.0858, -0.0449, -0.069, -0.079, -0.0466, -0.1083, -0.1071, -0.0564, -0.0523, -0.0386, -0.0386, 0.0045, 0.0016, 0.011, -0.0003, 0.0202, 0.0564, 0.0373, -0.0031, 0.0161, -0.0015, -0.0987, -0.0961, -0.1021, -0.1626, -0.1372, -0.1068, -0.0709, -0.0708, -0.0674, -0.0674, -0.0634, -0.0744, -0.0816, -0.0946, -0.0946, -0.0186, -0.0278, -0.0223, -0.0413, -0.1015, -0.0858, -0.0498, -0.0347, -0.0451, -0.0357, -0.0112, -0.0112, -0.021, 0.0142, 0.0122, 0.0199, 0.0128, 0.0574, 0.0829, 0.0904, 0.0405, 0.0619, 0.0627, 0.0203, -0.0066, 0.093, 0.1289, 0.1156, 0.3888, 0.3218, 0.3107, 0.3107, 0.361, 0.3592, 0.3584, 0.3622, 0.3716, 0.4148, 0.4653, 0.4488, 0.4245, 0.4405, 0.3661, 0.4043, 0.3958, 0.3512, 0.4774, 0.5093, 0.4992, 0.4831, 0.4468, 0.4795, 0.5004, 0.4797, 0.5047, 0.4304, 0.431, 0.5143, 0.5437, 0.4109, 0.4035, 0.3093, 0.4007, 0.4499, 0.4606, 0.4606, 0.4463, 0.4663]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1977542975053041945", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-13T01:12:40+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "your Neocloud post about $IREN", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long data center buildout names (IREN, CRWV) and quantum (IONQ) on sector uplift from popular themes; also holds MP in rare minerals; favors data center as best risk-reward.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Heavily agree, critical minerals are really complex. When I buy stuff like $MP I usually use ChatGPT deep research to help me understand risk-reward tradeoffs better.\n\nBut when I buy random lithium battery small caps and post about it I admit I don’t have domain knowledge. But like your Neocloud post about $IREN usually a popular domain like AI buildout with $CRWV or something like Quantum with $IONQ will uplift an entire sector anyway.\n\nSo risk-reward is sometimes worth it but I wouldn’t follow what I do and wouldn’t put much portfolio weighting into it either.\n\nAnd it’s a much better risk-reward on stuff like data center buildout since it’s almost for sure revenue based on execution with mag7 backstopping companies.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Commentary on the rare minerals stocks\n\nI went deep dive into the rare minerals, basically asking first principle questions to understand the sector better. \n\nMy conclusion is the sector is too complex to invest in. There's all kind of rare minerals (dozen of types), and https://t.co/oHi8jEpOns", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DeepValueBagger", "ret_m1d": -0.06813219478436794, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06813219478436794, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05302000269535123, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05863735945104509, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009494835333322849, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08450262270847553, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08450262270847553, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08572427751193223, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07348850558268527, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011014117125790257, "ret_p1w": -0.07670717517561054, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07670717517561054, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08916498059255162, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.079175816287538, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "bench_c_p1w": 0.002468641111927461, "ret_p1m": -0.1053944244755356, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1053944244755356, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.135498179962382, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11583876526228587, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010444340786750272, "ret_p3m": -0.28780790863948646, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.28780790863948646, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3308030107257982, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3530448151821379, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06523690654265146, "ret_p6m": -0.4427813841820073, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4427813841820073, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4426812151537154, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3981864850758211, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04459489910618619, "price_path": [-0.7301, -0.7186, -0.7203, -0.717, -0.7102, -0.7039, -0.7172, -0.7237, -0.7415, -0.7538, -0.7484, -0.7488, -0.7599, -0.7431, -0.7435, -0.7144, -0.7105, -0.7123, -0.7198, -0.722, -0.7236, -0.7025, -0.693, -0.6772, -0.708, -0.6919, -0.6946, -0.6659, -0.6395, -0.6416, -0.6515, -0.6408, -0.5872, -0.5872, -0.5461, -0.5602, -0.5926, -0.5923, -0.5917, -0.5293, -0.4757, -0.4878, -0.4705, -0.421, -0.4317, -0.4091, -0.4337, -0.3976, -0.3467, -0.3488, -0.265, -0.2783, -0.3474, -0.2839, -0.2683, -0.266, -0.2669, -0.2133, -0.0996, -0.0384, -0.0631, -0.0045, -0.0681, 0.0, 0.0845, 0.0599, -0.036, -0.0533, -0.0767, -0.1395, -0.1919, -0.1291, -0.0193, 0.0133, -0.0268, -0.058, -0.0923, -0.0529, 0.0563, 0.0388, 0.1913, 0.044, -0.0274, -0.0619, -0.1054, -0.1316, -0.2415, -0.2771, -0.2608, -0.2384, -0.2855, -0.3223, -0.3411, -0.244, -0.2599, -0.2446, -0.2446, -0.2546, -0.244, -0.3589, -0.3146, -0.2758, -0.3029, -0.2775, -0.2697, -0.3152, -0.3149, -0.3743, -0.4468, -0.4295, -0.4733, -0.4418, -0.3776, -0.3446, -0.3441, -0.3455, -0.3455, -0.3717, -0.3856, -0.4029, -0.4111, -0.4111, -0.3343, -0.2479, -0.2842, -0.3198, -0.2878, -0.2824, -0.2153, -0.1738, -0.1756, -0.191, -0.0985, -0.0985, -0.154, -0.1662, -0.1852, -0.1163, -0.1837, -0.0647, -0.0187, -0.067, -0.1621, -0.1724, -0.152, -0.2993, -0.3796, -0.3478, -0.2805, -0.3307, -0.3347, -0.3759, -0.3418, -0.3418, -0.3612, -0.3439, -0.3251, -0.3767, -0.3396, -0.2914, -0.3135, -0.3103, -0.3616, -0.3547, -0.3943, -0.3165, -0.3744, -0.4278, -0.3944, -0.4057, -0.3455, -0.355, -0.3517, -0.2993, -0.3302, -0.3419, -0.3505, -0.3563, -0.3427, -0.3589, -0.3541, -0.4161, -0.4529, -0.507, -0.4655, -0.4685, -0.4579, -0.4579, -0.4523, -0.4428]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1977542975053041945", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-13T01:12:40+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "a popular domain like AI buildout with $CRWV", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long data center buildout names (IREN, CRWV) and quantum (IONQ) on sector uplift from popular themes; also holds MP in rare minerals; favors data center as best risk-reward.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Heavily agree, critical minerals are really complex. When I buy stuff like $MP I usually use ChatGPT deep research to help me understand risk-reward tradeoffs better.\n\nBut when I buy random lithium battery small caps and post about it I admit I don’t have domain knowledge. But like your Neocloud post about $IREN usually a popular domain like AI buildout with $CRWV or something like Quantum with $IONQ will uplift an entire sector anyway.\n\nSo risk-reward is sometimes worth it but I wouldn’t follow what I do and wouldn’t put much portfolio weighting into it either.\n\nAnd it’s a much better risk-reward on stuff like data center buildout since it’s almost for sure revenue based on execution with mag7 backstopping companies.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Commentary on the rare minerals stocks\n\nI went deep dive into the rare minerals, basically asking first principle questions to understand the sector better. \n\nMy conclusion is the sector is too complex to invest in. There's all kind of rare minerals (dozen of types), and https://t.co/oHi8jEpOns", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DeepValueBagger", "ret_m1d": -0.022525085096681385, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.022525085096681385, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.007412893007664678, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.007412893007664678, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05338227523830952, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05338227523830952, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05216062043485281, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05216062043485281, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "ret_p1w": -0.10281032382853617, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10281032382853617, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11526812924547725, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11526812924547725, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "ret_p1m": -0.37586497361119375, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.37586497361119375, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.40596872909804016, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.40596872909804016, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "ret_p3m": -0.4556559878843357, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4556559878843357, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.49865108997064744, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.49865108997064744, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "ret_p6m": -0.3981076062512552, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3981076062512552, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3980074372229633, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3980074372229633, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "bench_c_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "price_path": [0.01, -0.0664, -0.1313, -0.118, -0.0837, -0.1099, -0.1527, -0.1836, -0.2213, -0.2322, -0.2735, -0.1941, -0.2647, -0.2514, -0.2103, -0.2216, -0.145, -0.0852, -0.013, 0.0503, -0.1685, -0.2974, -0.2941, -0.3165, -0.3441, -0.3538, -0.3589, -0.3363, -0.3477, -0.3547, -0.3156, -0.2742, -0.2724, -0.2724, -0.3409, -0.3653, -0.3823, -0.3709, -0.3394, -0.2923, -0.1729, -0.2043, -0.2094, -0.1493, -0.1615, -0.1466, -0.1428, -0.1183, -0.0592, -0.0758, -0.058, -0.1056, -0.1503, -0.1349, -0.0337, -0.0323, -0.0256, -0.0482, -0.0549, -0.0903, -0.0116, 0.0103, -0.0225, 0.0, -0.0534, -0.0168, 0.0008, -0.0335, -0.1028, -0.1169, -0.1419, -0.1291, -0.064, -0.0393, -0.0482, -0.0119, -0.0746, -0.0559, -0.108, -0.1827, -0.1921, -0.245, -0.2656, -0.2543, -0.3759, -0.3968, -0.4468, -0.4537, -0.4681, -0.4711, -0.471, -0.5113, -0.4941, -0.4803, -0.4966, -0.4754, -0.4754, -0.4837, -0.4559, -0.4631, -0.4396, -0.3945, -0.3765, -0.391, -0.3598, -0.3775, -0.383, -0.4451, -0.4891, -0.5093, -0.5442, -0.5221, -0.4139, -0.401, -0.4333, -0.4431, -0.4431, -0.4604, -0.471, -0.4782, -0.4944, -0.4944, -0.4399, -0.4573, -0.4497, -0.455, -0.4557, -0.4341, -0.365, -0.3823, -0.3659, -0.3291, -0.2852, -0.2852, -0.3276, -0.3359, -0.3519, -0.3435, -0.3058, -0.2313, -0.2514, -0.2972, -0.342, -0.372, -0.3641, -0.4177, -0.4729, -0.3648, -0.3166, -0.3284, -0.3281, -0.3242, -0.3218, -0.3218, -0.3574, -0.326, -0.3141, -0.3698, -0.3586, -0.2988, -0.3079, -0.3106, -0.4382, -0.4489, -0.479, -0.4386, -0.4717, -0.4846, -0.4746, -0.471, -0.4213, -0.4361, -0.4273, -0.3937, -0.4201, -0.4152, -0.4304, -0.4247, -0.4213, -0.4138, -0.3816, -0.4319, -0.4718, -0.5117, -0.453, -0.4461, -0.4193, -0.4193, -0.4285, -0.3981]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1977542975053041945", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-10-13T01:12:40+00:00", "symbol": "IONQ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "something like Quantum with $IONQ will uplift an entire sector anyway", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long data center buildout names (IREN, CRWV) and quantum (IONQ) on sector uplift from popular themes; also holds MP in rare minerals; favors data center as best risk-reward.", "resolved_tickers": ["IONQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Heavily agree, critical minerals are really complex. When I buy stuff like $MP I usually use ChatGPT deep research to help me understand risk-reward tradeoffs better.\n\nBut when I buy random lithium battery small caps and post about it I admit I don’t have domain knowledge. But like your Neocloud post about $IREN usually a popular domain like AI buildout with $CRWV or something like Quantum with $IONQ will uplift an entire sector anyway.\n\nSo risk-reward is sometimes worth it but I wouldn’t follow what I do and wouldn’t put much portfolio weighting into it either.\n\nAnd it’s a much better risk-reward on stuff like data center buildout since it’s almost for sure revenue based on execution with mag7 backstopping companies.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Commentary on the rare minerals stocks\n\nI went deep dive into the rare minerals, basically asking first principle questions to understand the sector better. \n\nMy conclusion is the sector is too complex to invest in. There's all kind of rare minerals (dozen of types), and https://t.co/oHi8jEpOns", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DeepValueBagger", "ret_m1d": -0.139359182876846, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.139359182876846, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1242469907878293, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1155837967264195, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "bench_c_m1d": -0.023775386150426514, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05530507356153047, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05530507356153047, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.054083418758073765, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.042470575922210485, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "bench_c_p1d": -0.012834497639319986, "ret_p1w": -0.2698257851055327, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.2698257851055327, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.28228359052247376, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.28041587410172786, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01059008899619518, "ret_p1m": -0.33706906326384567, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.33706906326384567, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3671728187506921, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.36456137899456953, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02749231573072386, "ret_p3m": -0.385430588213426, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.385430588213426, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.42842569029973776, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3985719951866852, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "bench_c_p3m": 0.013141406973259162, "ret_p6m": -0.6529418803498239, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.6529418803498239, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.652841711321532, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.6194500236953696, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03349185665445431, "price_path": [-0.4696, -0.4538, -0.4334, -0.4588, -0.4891, -0.4728, -0.4652, -0.4741, -0.4842, -0.5063, -0.5142, -0.5143, -0.5356, -0.5144, -0.4881, -0.4977, -0.5068, -0.4902, -0.4526, -0.4762, -0.498, -0.5002, -0.5099, -0.5099, -0.5517, -0.5518, -0.5472, -0.5154, -0.5288, -0.5036, -0.4954, -0.4725, -0.4794, -0.4794, -0.4763, -0.5009, -0.487, -0.4908, -0.5004, -0.464, -0.4657, -0.4268, -0.3226, -0.2799, -0.2416, -0.2028, -0.1861, -0.1423, -0.1236, -0.0847, -0.1003, -0.1542, -0.1804, -0.2172, -0.2508, -0.2315, -0.1522, -0.1073, -0.0378, -0.0348, -0.0949, -0.0559, -0.1394, 0.0, -0.0553, -0.1179, -0.201, -0.2333, -0.2698, -0.2752, -0.3245, -0.2768, -0.2654, -0.235, -0.3038, -0.2556, -0.267, -0.2401, -0.2886, -0.3497, -0.325, -0.3004, -0.278, -0.3255, -0.3371, -0.3823, -0.4469, -0.4253, -0.4178, -0.4016, -0.4167, -0.5005, -0.4919, -0.4304, -0.4267, -0.4287, -0.4287, -0.3994, -0.426, -0.4283, -0.4074, -0.3329, -0.3581, -0.3378, -0.3368, -0.3706, -0.3598, -0.3866, -0.4388, -0.3949, -0.4415, -0.4343, -0.4094, -0.3439, -0.374, -0.3931, -0.3931, -0.4396, -0.4488, -0.448, -0.4534, -0.4534, -0.4303, -0.4066, -0.3817, -0.3936, -0.3854, -0.3976, -0.3793, -0.4038, -0.3802, -0.4206, -0.3812, -0.3812, -0.3829, -0.4113, -0.3991, -0.4244, -0.4717, -0.4459, -0.4421, -0.4733, -0.513, -0.5303, -0.5314, -0.5695, -0.6293, -0.5738, -0.5678, -0.5713, -0.5906, -0.6187, -0.5845, -0.5845, -0.5958, -0.5939, -0.5928, -0.6114, -0.625, -0.6148, -0.5908, -0.502, -0.5326, -0.533, -0.5487, -0.5477, -0.5612, -0.5647, -0.563, -0.5722, -0.5825, -0.5976, -0.5982, -0.5945, -0.5942, -0.6056, -0.6114, -0.6199, -0.5967, -0.6017, -0.6107, -0.6365, -0.6649, -0.6761, -0.6488, -0.6615, -0.6431, -0.6431, -0.6438, -0.6529]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1977542975053041945", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-10-13T01:12:40+00:00", "symbol": "MP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "when I buy stuff like $MP I usually use ChatGPT deep research to help me understand risk-reward tradeoffs better", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long data center buildout names (IREN, CRWV) and quantum (IONQ) on sector uplift from popular themes; also holds MP in rare minerals; favors data center as best risk-reward.", "resolved_tickers": ["MP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Other Industrial Metals & Mining'", "bench_c_industry": "Other Industrial Metals & Mining", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Heavily agree, critical minerals are really complex. When I buy stuff like $MP I usually use ChatGPT deep research to help me understand risk-reward tradeoffs better.\n\nBut when I buy random lithium battery small caps and post about it I admit I don’t have domain knowledge. But like your Neocloud post about $IREN usually a popular domain like AI buildout with $CRWV or something like Quantum with $IONQ will uplift an entire sector anyway.\n\nSo risk-reward is sometimes worth it but I wouldn’t follow what I do and wouldn’t put much portfolio weighting into it either.\n\nAnd it’s a much better risk-reward on stuff like data center buildout since it’s almost for sure revenue based on execution with mag7 backstopping companies.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Commentary on the rare minerals stocks\n\nI went deep dive into the rare minerals, basically asking first principle questions to understand the sector better. \n\nMy conclusion is the sector is too complex to invest in. There's all kind of rare minerals (dozen of types), and https://t.co/oHi8jEpOns", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DeepValueBagger", "ret_m1d": -0.1758889296246524, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1758889296246524, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1607767375356357, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.16024796789504425, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01564096172960816, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03776566441706808, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03776566441706808, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.038987319220524785, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.027791729194434955, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009973935222633123, "ret_p1w": -0.1279191704714655, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1279191704714655, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.14037697588840659, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1358529726594051, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007933802187939598, "ret_p1m": -0.3483063080792288, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3483063080792288, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3784100635660752, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.34037241858672584, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "bench_c_p1m": -0.007933889492502955, "ret_p3m": -0.3576688097887397, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3576688097887397, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.40066391187505146, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.43995816242976815, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08228935264102843, "ret_p6m": -0.4793814122711101, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4793814122711101, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4792812432428182, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.6255307353770049, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1461493231058948, "price_path": [-0.3841, -0.3661, -0.3349, -0.3792, -0.368, -0.3568, -0.3524, -0.3469, -0.3256, -0.3661, -0.3599, -0.353, -0.33, -0.3118, -0.2806, -0.2898, -0.2524, -0.2182, -0.2353, -0.2116, -0.2068, -0.1944, -0.2107, -0.2404, -0.2711, -0.2829, -0.2817, -0.2859, -0.2393, -0.2654, -0.2489, -0.2268, -0.2516, -0.2516, -0.2919, -0.3058, -0.3248, -0.3367, -0.3402, -0.3357, -0.3432, -0.3369, -0.3319, -0.3063, -0.3059, -0.2972, -0.2412, -0.2297, -0.2297, -0.2142, -0.2507, -0.1886, -0.278, -0.2828, -0.2944, -0.2886, -0.2535, -0.2478, -0.2181, -0.224, -0.2574, -0.2395, -0.1759, 0.0, 0.0378, -0.0548, -0.118, -0.1501, -0.1279, -0.2204, -0.2657, -0.2799, -0.2551, -0.3102, -0.3169, -0.3237, -0.3171, -0.3363, -0.3934, -0.4225, -0.4222, -0.4535, -0.3835, -0.3248, -0.3483, -0.3718, -0.3947, -0.3831, -0.4006, -0.3845, -0.3315, -0.4037, -0.4186, -0.3789, -0.3876, -0.3672, -0.3672, -0.3483, -0.3888, -0.36, -0.3824, -0.3499, -0.3468, -0.3562, -0.3707, -0.3895, -0.3687, -0.404, -0.4397, -0.438, -0.4527, -0.4526, -0.4323, -0.4278, -0.4297, -0.4263, -0.4263, -0.4385, -0.4537, -0.4694, -0.4685, -0.4685, -0.4217, -0.3833, -0.3707, -0.3425, -0.3577, -0.3478, -0.3126, -0.3286, -0.271, -0.2983, -0.2744, -0.2744, -0.2807, -0.3199, -0.2808, -0.268, -0.3326, -0.298, -0.2951, -0.3461, -0.3818, -0.3782, -0.3203, -0.363, -0.4051, -0.3556, -0.3394, -0.3442, -0.3627, -0.3972, -0.3895, -0.3895, -0.4009, -0.3905, -0.384, -0.4178, -0.4141, -0.3852, -0.3829, -0.3688, -0.3807, -0.3296, -0.3541, -0.3519, -0.3848, -0.3874, -0.3657, -0.3522, -0.3452, -0.3685, -0.3982, -0.3756, -0.3762, -0.3947, -0.4414, -0.4677, -0.4395, -0.4394, -0.4347, -0.4561, -0.4551, -0.5204, -0.4923, -0.4907, -0.4769, -0.4769, -0.4617, -0.4794]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1970222671431639091", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-22T20:24:24+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I see the potential for it to be a $100B company", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS; sees potential to reach $100B market cap.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@mvcinvesting Congrats on getting into $NBIS early, it’s never easy to spot the right speculative plays.  \n\nI joined a bit later and built a position after the $MSFT deal. I see the potential for it to be a $100B company.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Today, $NBIS reached a new all-time high and became a 4-bagger in my portfolio.\n\nMy first shares were bought on January 13th, with many more added since then.\n\nI also crossed 100% YTD returns.\n\nIt’s been a tough few days on a personal level, but at least something is going well.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mvcinvesting", "ret_m1d": -0.06838650112454847, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06838650112454847, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06367767858332152, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07188632065539091, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0047088225412269535, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0034998195308424407, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011257078750597227, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011257078750597227, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01670064513942604, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012690665647306032, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005443566388828813, "bench_c_p1d": -0.001433586896708805, "ret_p1w": 0.03395875045402419, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03395875045402419, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0386975813257846, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.034211679241166526, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004738830871760413, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0002529287871423369, "ret_p1m": -0.02176359970012043, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02176359970012043, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.028436771240072378, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.005487703476814709, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.00667317153995195, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01627589622330572, "ret_p3m": -0.2674484291212419, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2674484291212419, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.28188952396505595, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24965457165159954, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014441094843814062, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01779385746964235, "ret_p6m": 0.09127583017082053, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.09127583017082053, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08238010911942428, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.11519637919076353, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.008895721051396244, "bench_c_p6m": -0.023920549019943005, "price_path": [-0.5448, -0.5066, -0.5137, -0.481, -0.528, -0.5312, -0.5286, -0.5286, -0.5512, -0.5582, -0.568, -0.5644, -0.5844, -0.5127, -0.4978, -0.4999, -0.4963, -0.5048, -0.5087, -0.5215, -0.5133, -0.5107, -0.5181, -0.5052, -0.5272, -0.5189, -0.4894, -0.5122, -0.4918, -0.4825, -0.4832, -0.3873, -0.3548, -0.3411, -0.2933, -0.3374, -0.3578, -0.3281, -0.3195, -0.3697, -0.3671, -0.3792, -0.3529, -0.3432, -0.3388, -0.3424, -0.3242, -0.3591, -0.3591, -0.3835, -0.3841, -0.3911, -0.3858, -0.3991, -0.1021, -0.1239, -0.1633, -0.1519, -0.1467, -0.1611, -0.1174, -0.1171, -0.0684, 0.0, 0.0113, 0.0622, 0.0126, 0.0103, 0.034, 0.0532, 0.0845, 0.1808, 0.2006, 0.172, 0.1041, 0.1445, 0.2443, 0.2156, 0.2707, 0.2022, 0.1804, 0.1542, 0.0642, 0.0225, -0.0218, -0.0749, -0.0041, 0.1, 0.1766, 0.1429, 0.1735, 0.1649, 0.2272, 0.1301, 0.037, 0.0976, 0.0266, 0.0439, 0.0314, -0.0411, -0.1148, -0.1686, -0.2163, -0.1934, -0.1507, -0.1082, -0.206, -0.2189, -0.1379, -0.1662, -0.1117, -0.1117, -0.11, -0.0605, -0.0952, -0.072, -0.0356, -0.0803, -0.0588, -0.0956, -0.122, -0.1156, -0.1774, -0.2388, -0.2406, -0.2922, -0.2674, -0.1608, -0.1254, -0.1554, -0.1451, -0.1451, -0.1783, -0.1929, -0.201, -0.2148, -0.2148, -0.1562, -0.1292, -0.0597, -0.0975, -0.0872, -0.0813, 0.0068, -0.011, -0.0433, -0.0255, 0.02, 0.02, -0.0686, -0.0725, -0.0915, -0.1135, -0.142, -0.0819, -0.0579, -0.1097, -0.2008, -0.173, -0.1562, -0.2271, -0.307, -0.1923, -0.1287, -0.1389, -0.1688, -0.1583, -0.0806, -0.0806, -0.0852, -0.045, 0.0095, -0.0814, -0.0562, -0.0377, -0.0045, -0.0161, -0.1446, -0.1462, -0.1857, -0.0827, -0.1027, -0.162, -0.1094, -0.0954, 0.0506, 0.0135, 0.0596, 0.2181, 0.0913]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1988644630175547407", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-12T16:26:41+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This company is the at the Center of the whole Artificial Intelligence buildout at $93, and is set to be the next $100B+ company. Do not let broad sell-offs affect your conviction.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Strong long NBIS: $24B MC with $8B forward ARR, 700%+ YoY growth, $10B+ NAV, targeting 30% EBITDA margins; projected next $100B+ company.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you have any iota of doubt during this market correction.\n\nRemember this: \n\n$NBIS is a $24B MC company doing $8B forward ARR, targeting 30% EBITDA margins.\n\nNebius core business powers Mag7 Hyperscalers from $MSFT to $META, enterprises from Shopify to Cursor to Accenture, and Government AI Infrastructure.\n\nThey have $10B+ NAV with hyper-growth portfolio companies powering Cloudflare, Tiktok, Tesla, Netflix and Antrophic.\n\nAnd of course, Nebius is growing 700%+ Y/Y, which is almost unheard of going from $125M quarterly revenue to $2B+ in just 1 year.\n\nThis company is the at the Center of the whole Artificial Intelligence buildout at $93, and is set to be the next  $100B+ company.\n\nDo not let broad sell-offs affect your conviction.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Northland announced a $NBIS $205 price target off the assumption of $2-4B ARR for CY2026 back in September.\n\nFrom their same economics used, we would now get an 1Y PT:\n\n~$355.00/share (+248.04%)\n\noff Nebius's earnings report with $7-9B ARR projected \n\nHere's the updated metrics: https://t.co/D2noDwgafM", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0832980135598822, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0832980135598822, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.083854192531305, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07748515706567716, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005561789714227938, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005812856494205043, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06072491860820306, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06072491860820306, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04413089862797648, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04654488419080138, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.016594019980226582, "bench_c_p1d": -0.014180034417401677, "ret_p1w": 0.007524364983892973, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.007524364983892973, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03788821579391388, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.028221942929920973, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03036385081002091, "bench_c_p1w": -0.020697577946028, "ret_p1m": -0.0008478362710598875, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0008478362710598875, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.009320313900171073, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02964823305990516, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008472477629111186, "bench_c_p1m": 0.028800396788845273, "ret_p3m": -0.01568464759813948, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.01568464759813948, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03415244818606167, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.048434132168942434, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01846780058792219, "bench_c_p3m": 0.032749484570802956, "ret_p6m": 0.9581390745793523, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.9581390745793523, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.8815117682936946, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.9176618377965287, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07662730628565773, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04047723678282367, "price_path": [-0.241, -0.2312, -0.2879, -0.285, -0.2986, -0.269, -0.2579, -0.2531, -0.2571, -0.2365, -0.276, -0.276, -0.3035, -0.3043, -0.3121, -0.3062, -0.3211, 0.0144, -0.0103, -0.0548, -0.0419, -0.036, -0.0522, -0.003, -0.0025, 0.0525, 0.1297, 0.1424, 0.2, 0.1439, 0.1414, 0.1681, 0.1898, 0.2252, 0.3339, 0.3563, 0.3241, 0.2474, 0.2929, 0.4057, 0.3733, 0.4356, 0.3581, 0.3335, 0.3039, 0.2022, 0.1552, 0.1051, 0.0451, 0.1251, 0.2427, 0.3293, 0.2911, 0.3258, 0.316, 0.3864, 0.2767, 0.1715, 0.2399, 0.1598, 0.1793, 0.1652, 0.0833, 0.0, -0.0607, -0.1147, -0.0888, -0.0405, 0.0075, -0.103, -0.1176, -0.0261, -0.0581, 0.0035, 0.0035, 0.0054, 0.0614, 0.0221, 0.0483, 0.0894, 0.039, 0.0633, 0.0217, -0.0082, -0.0008, -0.0707, -0.1401, -0.1421, -0.2004, -0.1724, -0.0519, -0.012, -0.0459, -0.0342, -0.0342, -0.0717, -0.0882, -0.0974, -0.1129, -0.1129, -0.0467, -0.0162, 0.0623, 0.0196, 0.0312, 0.0378, 0.1375, 0.1173, 0.0808, 0.1009, 0.1523, 0.1523, 0.0522, 0.0478, 0.0264, 0.0015, -0.0307, 0.0372, 0.0643, 0.0058, -0.0972, -0.0657, -0.0467, -0.1269, -0.2171, -0.0875, -0.0157, -0.0272, -0.0609, -0.0491, 0.0387, 0.0387, 0.0335, 0.0788, 0.1404, 0.0377, 0.0662, 0.0871, 0.1246, 0.1115, -0.0336, -0.0355, -0.0801, 0.0362, 0.0137, -0.0533, 0.0061, 0.0219, 0.1869, 0.145, 0.197, 0.3761, 0.2328, 0.2565, 0.2878, 0.2465, 0.2097, 0.2178, 0.2197, 0.123, 0.0685, -0.0223, 0.0996, 0.0804, 0.1532, 0.1532, 0.1927, 0.2442, 0.3247, 0.4448, 0.5364, 0.638, 0.7162, 0.7674, 0.7522, 0.6653, 0.6867, 0.6591, 0.6547, 0.6647, 0.5596, 0.5362, 0.4361, 0.4963, 0.4649, 0.6372, 0.8696, 0.8643, 1.0675, 0.9581]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1997034977524121633", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-05T20:06:56+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Nebius is NOT Coreweave 2.0 — highest diversification in the Neocloud market, $4.8B+ in cash, ~$76.6M/yearly from note structure 40%+ OTM at ~2% interest, 4 subsidiaries growing 100% Y/Y", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author rebuts Hedgeye's NBIS short by contrasting it favorably vs CRWV on diversification, cash, and debt structure; implicitly long NBIS, bearish CRWV.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "A short seller firm @Hedgeye is now shorting Nebius $NBIS. The stock price is now $97.8.\n\nTheir claim? Nebius is Coreweave 2.0.\n\nCoreweave [ $CRWV ]: \n\n- Small diversification in customers, mainly hyperscalers, ~quarter of their backlog is OpenAI. \n\n- $1.8B in cash left\n\n- $1.3B+/yearly in debt interest from toxic financing at 8-10% interest.\n\nSame thing as Nebius right? \n\nNebius [ $NBIS ]: \n\n- Highest diversification in the Neocloud market of customers from $META, $MSFT, governments, $SHOP, Mistral, $NOW, and many others. \n\n- $4.8B+ in cash left\n\n- ~$76.6M/yearly from note structure 40%+ OTM at ~2% interest. \n\n- FSD level 4 Robotaxi self driving car segment that is of critical importance to $UBER (last round $375M with $UBER) to compete vs Waymo. \n\n- AI training segments funded by Bezos and used by $AMZN, Anthropic, and others\n\n- 28% in subsidiary that most of the public companies from $TSLA, $NET, Tiktok, $META and so on use\n\n- 4 subsidiaries growing 100% Y/Y alongside their core operational business, with Tripleten/Toloka adding to net income every year.\n\nSame company.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "CALL INVITE -&gt; Adding Tactical Short $NBIS; Growing $MSFT Risk \n\nYou don't want to miss this one. \nhttps://t.co/zo3VjxK8CW", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.048551632923093946, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.048551632923093946, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.050447568366577156, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.059991924556032306, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018959354434832099, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01144029163293836, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.023357822257676686, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.023357822257676686, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.026362099772351377, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030785460100627104, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0030042775146746914, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007427637842950419, "ret_p1w": -0.1055691388970793, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1055691388970793, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09983773652522188, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10061740218695459, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00573140237185743, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004951736710124721, "ret_p1m": -0.05314156503284473, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05314156503284473, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05906570308673709, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0616893501607082, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005924138053892358, "bench_c_p1m": 0.008547785127863472, "ret_p3m": -0.0026520005487810083, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0026520005487810083, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.004787758979803436, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0201075362016786, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0021357584310224276, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01745553565289759, "ret_p6m": 1.3570990838423294, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.3570990838423294, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.2475782186605362, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.363033432342327, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10952086518179316, "bench_c_p6m": -0.005934348499997744, "price_path": [-0.0237, -0.0474, -0.0903, -0.0778, -0.0722, -0.0878, -0.0404, -0.04, 0.013, 0.0873, 0.0996, 0.1549, 0.101, 0.0985, 0.1242, 0.1451, 0.1792, 0.2839, 0.3054, 0.2744, 0.2005, 0.2444, 0.3529, 0.3217, 0.3817, 0.3071, 0.2835, 0.255, 0.1571, 0.1118, 0.0636, 0.0059, 0.0828, 0.196, 0.2794, 0.2427, 0.276, 0.2666, 0.3344, 0.2288, 0.1275, 0.1934, 0.1163, 0.135, 0.1215, 0.0426, -0.0375, -0.096, -0.1479, -0.123, -0.0765, -0.0303, -0.1367, -0.1508, -0.0626, -0.0934, -0.0342, -0.0342, -0.0323, 0.0215, -0.0162, 0.009, 0.0486, 0.0, 0.0234, -0.0166, -0.0454, -0.0384, -0.1056, -0.1724, -0.1743, -0.2304, -0.2035, -0.0875, -0.0491, -0.0817, -0.0705, -0.0705, -0.1066, -0.1224, -0.1313, -0.1462, -0.1462, -0.0825, -0.0531, 0.0224, -0.0187, -0.0075, -0.0011, 0.0948, 0.0754, 0.0402, 0.0596, 0.109, 0.109, 0.0127, 0.0085, -0.0121, -0.0361, -0.0671, -0.0017, 0.0244, -0.0319, -0.1311, -0.1008, -0.0825, -0.1596, -0.2465, -0.1218, -0.0526, -0.0637, -0.0962, -0.0848, -0.0003, -0.0003, -0.0053, 0.0384, 0.0976, -0.0012, 0.0262, 0.0463, 0.0824, 0.0698, -0.0699, -0.0717, -0.1146, -0.0027, -0.0244, -0.0888, -0.0316, -0.0164, 0.1423, 0.102, 0.1521, 0.3245, 0.1866, 0.2093, 0.2395, 0.1997, 0.1643, 0.1721, 0.1739, 0.0809, 0.0284, -0.059, 0.0583, 0.0399, 0.11, 0.11, 0.1479, 0.1975, 0.275, 0.3906, 0.4787, 0.5765, 0.6518, 0.701, 0.6865, 0.6028, 0.6234, 0.5968, 0.5926, 0.6022, 0.501, 0.4786, 0.3822, 0.4401, 0.4099, 0.5758, 0.7995, 0.7944, 0.9899, 0.8846, 0.8059, 0.8982, 0.8269, 1.1141, 1.2557, 1.2434, 1.0386, 1.0168, 0.9565, 1.2433, 1.1906, 1.1906, 1.1222, 1.1254, 1.3086, 1.3571, 1.3571]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1997034977524121633", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-05T20:06:56+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Small diversification in customers, mainly hyperscalers, ~quarter of their backlog is OpenAI. $1.8B in cash left. $1.3B+/yearly in debt interest from toxic financing at 8-10% interest.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author rebuts Hedgeye's NBIS short by contrasting it favorably vs CRWV on diversification, cash, and debt structure; implicitly long NBIS, bearish CRWV.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "A short seller firm @Hedgeye is now shorting Nebius $NBIS. The stock price is now $97.8.\n\nTheir claim? Nebius is Coreweave 2.0.\n\nCoreweave [ $CRWV ]: \n\n- Small diversification in customers, mainly hyperscalers, ~quarter of their backlog is OpenAI. \n\n- $1.8B in cash left\n\n- $1.3B+/yearly in debt interest from toxic financing at 8-10% interest.\n\nSame thing as Nebius right? \n\nNebius [ $NBIS ]: \n\n- Highest diversification in the Neocloud market of customers from $META, $MSFT, governments, $SHOP, Mistral, $NOW, and many others. \n\n- $4.8B+ in cash left\n\n- ~$76.6M/yearly from note structure 40%+ OTM at ~2% interest. \n\n- FSD level 4 Robotaxi self driving car segment that is of critical importance to $UBER (last round $375M with $UBER) to compete vs Waymo. \n\n- AI training segments funded by Bezos and used by $AMZN, Anthropic, and others\n\n- 28% in subsidiary that most of the public companies from $TSLA, $NET, Tiktok, $META and so on use\n\n- 4 subsidiaries growing 100% Y/Y alongside their core operational business, with Tripleten/Toloka adding to net income every year.\n\nSame company.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "CALL INVITE -&gt; Adding Tactical Short $NBIS; Growing $MSFT Risk \n\nYou don't want to miss this one. \nhttps://t.co/zo3VjxK8CW", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.028878855760209987, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.028878855760209987, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.026982920316726777, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.026982920316726777, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018959354434832099, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018959354434832099, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.023329616271709375, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.023329616271709375, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.020325338757034683, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.020325338757034683, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0030042775146746914, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0030042775146746914, "ret_p1w": -0.10996609714923322, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10996609714923322, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10423469477737579, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10423469477737579, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00573140237185743, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00573140237185743, "ret_p1m": -0.129558347067107, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.129558347067107, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.13548248512099936, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.13548248512099936, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005924138053892358, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005924138053892358, "ret_p3m": -0.0996602802674833, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0996602802674833, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10179603869850573, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10179603869850573, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0021357584310224276, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0021357584310224276, "ret_p6m": 0.24043029438056673, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.24043029438056673, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.13090942919877357, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.13090942919877357, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10952086518179316, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10952086518179316, "price_path": [0.135, 0.3266, 0.2762, 0.268, 0.3643, 0.3448, 0.3687, 0.3747, 0.414, 0.5088, 0.4823, 0.5108, 0.4344, 0.3629, 0.3875, 0.5498, 0.5521, 0.5629, 0.5265, 0.5159, 0.459, 0.5853, 0.6204, 0.5677, 0.6039, 0.5182, 0.5769, 0.6052, 0.5501, 0.439, 0.4163, 0.3763, 0.3968, 0.5011, 0.5409, 0.5266, 0.5847, 0.4843, 0.5143, 0.4306, 0.3109, 0.2958, 0.211, 0.1779, 0.196, 0.001, -0.0325, -0.1128, -0.1239, -0.1469, -0.1518, -0.1515, -0.2162, -0.1886, -0.1665, -0.1926, -0.1587, -0.1587, -0.1719, -0.1273, -0.139, -0.1012, -0.0289, 0.0, -0.0233, 0.0267, -0.0016, -0.0104, -0.11, -0.1806, -0.2129, -0.269, -0.2335, -0.06, -0.0393, -0.0911, -0.1068, -0.1068, -0.1345, -0.1515, -0.1631, -0.189, -0.189, -0.1017, -0.1296, -0.1173, -0.1259, -0.127, -0.0924, 0.0185, -0.0093, 0.017, 0.076, 0.1464, 0.1464, 0.0784, 0.0651, 0.0395, 0.053, 0.1134, 0.2328, 0.2007, 0.1272, 0.0554, 0.0072, 0.0199, -0.0661, -0.1546, 0.0187, 0.0961, 0.0771, 0.0776, 0.0838, 0.0877, 0.0877, 0.0306, 0.081, 0.1001, 0.0108, 0.0288, 0.1246, 0.11, 0.1057, -0.099, -0.1161, -0.1644, -0.0997, -0.1527, -0.1734, -0.1573, -0.1515, -0.0718, -0.0956, -0.0814, -0.0276, -0.07, -0.0621, -0.0865, -0.0773, -0.0718, -0.0598, -0.0082, -0.0889, -0.1528, -0.2169, -0.1227, -0.1117, -0.0686, -0.0686, -0.0834, -0.0347, 0.0068, 0.0419, 0.1552, 0.2488, 0.3273, 0.3442, 0.354, 0.3233, 0.3299, 0.3042, 0.3878, 0.3298, 0.2473, 0.2691, 0.1951, 0.2932, 0.2639, 0.3478, 0.4205, 0.4484, 0.5626, 0.4591, 0.2928, 0.299, 0.2203, 0.2606, 0.2935, 0.2152, 0.1752, 0.1304, 0.147, 0.2183, 0.1947, 0.1947, 0.1992, 0.1809, 0.2102, 0.2404, 0.2404]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1965755924452458696", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-10T12:35:09+00:00", "symbol": "S&P500", "kind": "index", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "bullish short term, frontrunning rate cut", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bullish broad market short-term into rate-cut frontrunning, then sell the news on the 17th.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPY"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "S&P 500 proxied by SPY ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@WatcherGuru IMO bullish short term, frontrunning rate cut, then sell the news on 17th.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "JUST IN: 🇺🇸 US PPI falls to 2.6%, lower than expectations.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "WatcherGuru", "ret_m1d": -0.0028825213298839802, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0028825213298839802, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028825213298839802, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0028825213298839802, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008310170355944058, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008310170355944058, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008310170355944058, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008310170355944058, "ret_p1w": 0.010686742799028925, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.010686742799028925, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010686742799028925, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010686742799028925, "ret_p1m": 0.0319080001645915, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0319080001645915, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0319080001645915, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0319080001645915, "ret_p3m": 0.051080641136617366, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.051080641136617366, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.051080641136617366, "bench_c_p3m": 0.051080641136617366, "ret_p6m": 0.05060895068031779, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.05060895068031779, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05060895068031779, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05060895068031779, "price_path": [-0.0873, -0.0787, -0.0865, -0.0867, -0.0867, -0.0888, -0.0798, -0.0697, -0.0691, -0.0619, -0.0572, -0.0527, -0.053, -0.0487, -0.0412, -0.0412, -0.0483, -0.0489, -0.0432, -0.0405, -0.0438, -0.042, -0.0461, -0.0429, -0.0371, -0.0378, -0.0359, -0.0358, -0.0276, -0.0273, -0.0232, -0.0234, -0.026, -0.0272, -0.0309, -0.0467, -0.0323, -0.0372, -0.0298, -0.0306, -0.023, -0.025, -0.0146, -0.0112, -0.0111, -0.0134, -0.0137, -0.019, -0.0216, -0.0255, -0.0106, -0.0149, -0.0108, -0.0086, -0.005, -0.011, -0.011, -0.0183, -0.013, -0.0047, -0.0076, -0.0052, -0.0029, 0.0, 0.0083, 0.008, 0.0133, 0.0119, 0.0107, 0.0154, 0.0204, 0.0253, 0.0197, 0.0164, 0.0118, 0.0175, 0.0204, 0.0243, 0.0277, 0.0289, 0.0289, 0.0326, 0.0288, 0.0349, 0.0319, 0.004, 0.0194, 0.0182, 0.0227, 0.0157, 0.0215, 0.0321, 0.0321, 0.0267, 0.0328, 0.0413, 0.0536, 0.0564, 0.0569, 0.0452, 0.0487, 0.0506, 0.0382, 0.0418, 0.0306, 0.0316, 0.0477, 0.0501, 0.0507, 0.0333, 0.0331, 0.0235, 0.0149, 0.0188, 0.0033, 0.0133, 0.0282, 0.0378, 0.045, 0.045, 0.0507, 0.0459, 0.0479, 0.0515, 0.0522, 0.0542, 0.0511, 0.0502, 0.0571, 0.0596, 0.0482, 0.0466, 0.0438, 0.0323, 0.0401, 0.0495, 0.056, 0.0609, 0.0646, 0.0646, 0.0645, 0.0607, 0.0594, 0.0515, 0.0515, 0.0535, 0.0605, 0.0668, 0.0634, 0.0633, 0.0703, 0.072, 0.0698, 0.0646, 0.0675, 0.0666, 0.0666, 0.0449, 0.0569, 0.0624, 0.0628, 0.0682, 0.0725, 0.0724, 0.0702, 0.067, 0.0724, 0.0633, 0.0581, 0.0449, 0.065, 0.0701, 0.0673, 0.067, 0.0505, 0.0513, 0.0513, 0.053, 0.0583, 0.0555, 0.0631, 0.0523, 0.0599, 0.0689, 0.0629, 0.0578, 0.0584, 0.0491, 0.0565, 0.0506]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1965755924452458696", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-10T12:35:09+00:00", "symbol": "S&P500", "kind": "index", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "sell the news on 17th", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bullish broad market short-term into rate-cut frontrunning, then sell the news on the 17th.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPY"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "S&P 500 proxied by SPY ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@WatcherGuru IMO bullish short term, frontrunning rate cut, then sell the news on 17th.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "JUST IN: 🇺🇸 US PPI falls to 2.6%, lower than expectations.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "WatcherGuru", "ret_m1d": -0.0028825213298839802, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0028825213298839802, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028825213298839802, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0028825213298839802, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008310170355944058, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008310170355944058, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008310170355944058, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008310170355944058, "ret_p1w": 0.010686742799028925, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.010686742799028925, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010686742799028925, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010686742799028925, "ret_p1m": 0.0319080001645915, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0319080001645915, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0319080001645915, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0319080001645915, "ret_p3m": 0.051080641136617366, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.051080641136617366, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.051080641136617366, "bench_c_p3m": 0.051080641136617366, "ret_p6m": 0.05060895068031779, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.05060895068031779, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05060895068031779, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05060895068031779, "price_path": [-0.0873, -0.0787, -0.0865, -0.0867, -0.0867, -0.0888, -0.0798, -0.0697, -0.0691, -0.0619, -0.0572, -0.0527, -0.053, -0.0487, -0.0412, -0.0412, -0.0483, -0.0489, -0.0432, -0.0405, -0.0438, -0.042, -0.0461, -0.0429, -0.0371, -0.0378, -0.0359, -0.0358, -0.0276, -0.0273, -0.0232, -0.0234, -0.026, -0.0272, -0.0309, -0.0467, -0.0323, -0.0372, -0.0298, -0.0306, -0.023, -0.025, -0.0146, -0.0112, -0.0111, -0.0134, -0.0137, -0.019, -0.0216, -0.0255, -0.0106, -0.0149, -0.0108, -0.0086, -0.005, -0.011, -0.011, -0.0183, -0.013, -0.0047, -0.0076, -0.0052, -0.0029, 0.0, 0.0083, 0.008, 0.0133, 0.0119, 0.0107, 0.0154, 0.0204, 0.0253, 0.0197, 0.0164, 0.0118, 0.0175, 0.0204, 0.0243, 0.0277, 0.0289, 0.0289, 0.0326, 0.0288, 0.0349, 0.0319, 0.004, 0.0194, 0.0182, 0.0227, 0.0157, 0.0215, 0.0321, 0.0321, 0.0267, 0.0328, 0.0413, 0.0536, 0.0564, 0.0569, 0.0452, 0.0487, 0.0506, 0.0382, 0.0418, 0.0306, 0.0316, 0.0477, 0.0501, 0.0507, 0.0333, 0.0331, 0.0235, 0.0149, 0.0188, 0.0033, 0.0133, 0.0282, 0.0378, 0.045, 0.045, 0.0507, 0.0459, 0.0479, 0.0515, 0.0522, 0.0542, 0.0511, 0.0502, 0.0571, 0.0596, 0.0482, 0.0466, 0.0438, 0.0323, 0.0401, 0.0495, 0.056, 0.0609, 0.0646, 0.0646, 0.0645, 0.0607, 0.0594, 0.0515, 0.0515, 0.0535, 0.0605, 0.0668, 0.0634, 0.0633, 0.0703, 0.072, 0.0698, 0.0646, 0.0675, 0.0666, 0.0666, 0.0449, 0.0569, 0.0624, 0.0628, 0.0682, 0.0725, 0.0724, 0.0702, 0.067, 0.0724, 0.0633, 0.0581, 0.0449, 0.065, 0.0701, 0.0673, 0.067, 0.0505, 0.0513, 0.0513, 0.053, 0.0583, 0.0555, 0.0631, 0.0523, 0.0599, 0.0689, 0.0629, 0.0578, 0.0584, 0.0491, 0.0565, 0.0506]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1975306224230146316", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-06T21:04:37+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$RKLB is my highest conviction stock over 5 years but it's really overvalued tbh. I just learned to not trade this anymore and hold.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Highest-conviction long hold on RKLB over 5-year horizon despite acknowledging overvaluation.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SpaceSector001 $RKLB is my highest conviction stock over 5 years but it's really overvalued tbh. \n\nI just learned to not trade this anymore and hold.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I have no words.... $RKLB https://t.co/ekKK478r8I", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SpaceSector001", "ret_m1d": -0.040000002608340024, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.040000002608340024, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03642658877799099, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03535874335462341, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003573413830349037, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004641259253716612, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05145296276125144, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05145296276125144, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05516045501221334, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05712564595207981, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003707492250961897, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005672683190828365, "ret_p1w": 0.1182905669905181, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1182905669905181, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.13105095742834127, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1419480926736768, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012760390437823177, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02365752568315871, "ret_p1m": -0.032991458208132984, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.032991458208132984, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.038396454553193626, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.016747001332362732, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404996345060642, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016244456875770252, "ret_p3m": 0.19247866899539257, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.19247866899539257, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.17412719927837927, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1891183509751564, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01835146971701329, "bench_c_p3m": 0.003360318020236175, "ret_p6m": 0.09777779864449787, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.09777779864449787, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.12393424101664219, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.04872265858819258, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.026156442372144317, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04905514005630529, "price_path": [-0.3309, -0.3316, -0.3328, -0.2614, -0.2376, -0.1848, -0.1226, -0.1215, -0.1933, -0.1986, -0.1598, -0.1773, -0.1892, -0.2289, -0.2515, -0.2062, -0.215, -0.234, -0.2386, -0.235, -0.2462, -0.2443, -0.2361, -0.2304, -0.2576, -0.265, -0.2682, -0.2432, -0.2313, -0.3005, -0.3044, -0.2901, -0.2414, -0.1928, -0.1773, -0.2094, -0.181, -0.1692, -0.1692, -0.1571, -0.2559, -0.2651, -0.2164, -0.1841, -0.1961, -0.2108, -0.1721, -0.0882, -0.0762, -0.1924, -0.1781, -0.1935, -0.1831, -0.1485, -0.0956, -0.1677, -0.2029, -0.2092, -0.1964, -0.181, -0.18, -0.1031, -0.04, 0.0, 0.0515, 0.1164, 0.1354, 0.0985, 0.1183, 0.1629, 0.1841, 0.1453, 0.1328, 0.1513, 0.1179, 0.0353, 0.0867, 0.1036, 0.1217, 0.0897, 0.1309, 0.0414, 0.0766, 0.0485, -0.033, -0.0356, -0.152, -0.1173, -0.1128, -0.1241, -0.1458, -0.2265, -0.2215, -0.2597, -0.2687, -0.2544, -0.3251, -0.3111, -0.2744, -0.2718, -0.2832, -0.2832, -0.2797, -0.3099, -0.2838, -0.2356, -0.1561, -0.1615, -0.1186, -0.0867, -0.0168, 0.086, 0.0511, -0.0528, -0.0515, -0.0776, 0.0243, 0.2055, 0.3256, 0.3193, 0.3193, 0.3193, 0.2077, 0.1986, 0.2043, 0.1925, 0.1925, 0.299, 0.3357, 0.4706, 0.4373, 0.4202, 0.4504, 0.5026, 0.48, 0.5692, 0.5515, 0.6462, 0.6462, 0.5241, 0.5012, 0.5039, 0.5197, 0.3757, 0.4872, 0.514, 0.4646, 0.3687, 0.2675, 0.3892, 0.2497, 0.1337, 0.2362, 0.2964, 0.2313, 0.1901, 0.1284, 0.1528, 0.1528, 0.1947, 0.2721, 0.3091, 0.2113, 0.2002, 0.1961, 0.2, 0.2419, 0.1812, 0.2132, 0.1988, 0.2292, 0.1966, 0.1985, 0.2219, 0.1783, 0.2301, 0.1687, 0.1694, 0.219, 0.3434, 0.1877, 0.2296, 0.1492, 0.1624, 0.1294, 0.2458, 0.1272, 0.0415, -0.0191, 0.0978]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1997051147207823830", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-05T21:11:11+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Funds like Hedgeye probably aren't accounting for SOP growth and are vastly underestimating Nebius", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NBIS on Avride undervaluation vs Waymo; also sees UBER benefiting from Avride partnership defensibility.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Probably around $6B now as per the seeking alpha report benchmarked vs Nuro. \n\nBut I'd say Avride is crown jewel of $NBIS, not clickhouse, especially when robotaxi companies like Waymo scaled to a $100B+ valuation in a short time.\n\n$TSLA gained hundreds of billions in value just due robotaxi launch (eg. Cathie Wood said robotaxis could be 90% of tesla's value) and it's a market with extreme upside due to lack of players. \n\nThere's basically just $TSLA, $GOOGL Waymo, $AMZN Zoox, Hyundai... and then $UBER which is trying to defend themselves against robotaxi competition.\n\n$UBER has the upmost importance to scale its defensibility with Avride instead of partnering with Waymo -> funneling customers into the other app. (eg. why they joint invested $375M). \n\nGiven how $NBIS owns 83% of avride, if it scales to ~$45B MC, which was Waymo's valuation BACK in October 2024.... That's literally more than Nebius's marketcap today lol, and it just launched in Texas. \n\nFunds like Hedgeye probably aren't accounting for SOP growth and are vastly underestimating Nebius.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @Hedgeye From what I've seen Avride worth about $3B.  Clickhouse the crown jewel.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "RKLBMan", "ret_m1d": 0.048551632923093946, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.048551632923093946, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.050447568366577156, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.059991924556032306, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018959354434832099, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01144029163293836, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.023357822257676686, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.023357822257676686, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.026362099772351377, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030785460100627104, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0030042775146746914, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007427637842950419, "ret_p1w": -0.1055691388970793, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1055691388970793, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09983773652522188, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10061740218695459, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00573140237185743, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004951736710124721, "ret_p1m": -0.05314156503284473, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05314156503284473, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05906570308673709, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0616893501607082, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005924138053892358, "bench_c_p1m": 0.008547785127863472, "ret_p3m": -0.0026520005487810083, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0026520005487810083, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.004787758979803436, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0201075362016786, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0021357584310224276, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01745553565289759, "ret_p6m": 1.3570990838423294, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.3570990838423294, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.2475782186605362, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.363033432342327, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10952086518179316, "bench_c_p6m": -0.005934348499997744, "price_path": [-0.0237, -0.0474, -0.0903, -0.0778, -0.0722, -0.0878, -0.0404, -0.04, 0.013, 0.0873, 0.0996, 0.1549, 0.101, 0.0985, 0.1242, 0.1451, 0.1792, 0.2839, 0.3054, 0.2744, 0.2005, 0.2444, 0.3529, 0.3217, 0.3817, 0.3071, 0.2835, 0.255, 0.1571, 0.1118, 0.0636, 0.0059, 0.0828, 0.196, 0.2794, 0.2427, 0.276, 0.2666, 0.3344, 0.2288, 0.1275, 0.1934, 0.1163, 0.135, 0.1215, 0.0426, -0.0375, -0.096, -0.1479, -0.123, -0.0765, -0.0303, -0.1367, -0.1508, -0.0626, -0.0934, -0.0342, -0.0342, -0.0323, 0.0215, -0.0162, 0.009, 0.0486, 0.0, 0.0234, -0.0166, -0.0454, -0.0384, -0.1056, -0.1724, -0.1743, -0.2304, -0.2035, -0.0875, -0.0491, -0.0817, -0.0705, -0.0705, -0.1066, -0.1224, -0.1313, -0.1462, -0.1462, -0.0825, -0.0531, 0.0224, -0.0187, -0.0075, -0.0011, 0.0948, 0.0754, 0.0402, 0.0596, 0.109, 0.109, 0.0127, 0.0085, -0.0121, -0.0361, -0.0671, -0.0017, 0.0244, -0.0319, -0.1311, -0.1008, -0.0825, -0.1596, -0.2465, -0.1218, -0.0526, -0.0637, -0.0962, -0.0848, -0.0003, -0.0003, -0.0053, 0.0384, 0.0976, -0.0012, 0.0262, 0.0463, 0.0824, 0.0698, -0.0699, -0.0717, -0.1146, -0.0027, -0.0244, -0.0888, -0.0316, -0.0164, 0.1423, 0.102, 0.1521, 0.3245, 0.1866, 0.2093, 0.2395, 0.1997, 0.1643, 0.1721, 0.1739, 0.0809, 0.0284, -0.059, 0.0583, 0.0399, 0.11, 0.11, 0.1479, 0.1975, 0.275, 0.3906, 0.4787, 0.5765, 0.6518, 0.701, 0.6865, 0.6028, 0.6234, 0.5968, 0.5926, 0.6022, 0.501, 0.4786, 0.3822, 0.4401, 0.4099, 0.5758, 0.7995, 0.7944, 0.9899, 0.8846, 0.8059, 0.8982, 0.8269, 1.1141, 1.2557, 1.2434, 1.0386, 1.0168, 0.9565, 1.2433, 1.1906, 1.1906, 1.1222, 1.1254, 1.3086, 1.3571, 1.3571]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1997051147207823830", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-05T21:11:11+00:00", "symbol": "UBER", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$UBER has the upmost importance to scale its defensibility with Avride instead of partnering with Waymo", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NBIS on Avride undervaluation vs Waymo; also sees UBER benefiting from Avride partnership defensibility.", "resolved_tickers": ["UBER"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Probably around $6B now as per the seeking alpha report benchmarked vs Nuro. \n\nBut I'd say Avride is crown jewel of $NBIS, not clickhouse, especially when robotaxi companies like Waymo scaled to a $100B+ valuation in a short time.\n\n$TSLA gained hundreds of billions in value just due robotaxi launch (eg. Cathie Wood said robotaxis could be 90% of tesla's value) and it's a market with extreme upside due to lack of players. \n\nThere's basically just $TSLA, $GOOGL Waymo, $AMZN Zoox, Hyundai... and then $UBER which is trying to defend themselves against robotaxi competition.\n\n$UBER has the upmost importance to scale its defensibility with Avride instead of partnering with Waymo -> funneling customers into the other app. (eg. why they joint invested $375M). \n\nGiven how $NBIS owns 83% of avride, if it scales to ~$45B MC, which was Waymo's valuation BACK in October 2024.... That's literally more than Nebius's marketcap today lol, and it just launched in Texas. \n\nFunds like Hedgeye probably aren't accounting for SOP growth and are vastly underestimating Nebius.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @Hedgeye From what I've seen Avride worth about $3B.  Clickhouse the crown jewel.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "RKLBMan", "ret_m1d": -0.003613686291694007, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.003613686291694007, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0017177508482107973, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0017177508482107973, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018959354434832099, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018959354434832099, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013688129699707563, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013688129699707563, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.016692407214382254, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.016692407214382254, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0030042775146746914, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0030042775146746914, "ret_p1w": -0.06800261832266108, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06800261832266108, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06227121595080365, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06227121595080365, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00573140237185743, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00573140237185743, "ret_p1m": -0.11585634982929527, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11585634982929527, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12178048788318763, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12178048788318763, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005924138053892358, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005924138053892358, "ret_p3m": -0.16064387010479553, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.16064387010479553, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.16277962853581796, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.16277962853581796, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0021357584310224276, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0021357584310224276, "ret_p6m": -0.2290845186033329, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2290845186033329, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.33860538378512606, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.33860538378512606, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10952086518179316, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10952086518179316, "price_path": [0.0452, 0.0316, 0.0368, 0.05, 0.0825, 0.0713, 0.0178, 0.037, 0.0787, 0.0884, 0.071, 0.0707, 0.0688, 0.0781, 0.0903, 0.0728, 0.0579, 0.0579, 0.0578, 0.0961, 0.071, 0.0872, 0.0512, 0.0228, 0.0302, 0.0321, 0.035, 0.0131, 0.0107, 0.0261, 0.0187, 0.0097, 0.036, 0.0301, 0.0558, 0.045, 0.0486, 0.0566, 0.0567, 0.092, 0.0367, 0.0157, 0.0088, 0.0073, 0.0304, 0.025, 0.0246, 0.005, 0.0033, 0.0087, -0.005, -0.0196, -0.0872, -0.0816, -0.0836, -0.0836, -0.062, -0.062, -0.0414, -0.052, -0.0411, -0.007, -0.0036, 0.0, 0.0137, -0.0246, -0.0784, -0.0644, -0.068, -0.1036, -0.1139, -0.1334, -0.1274, -0.1315, -0.1102, -0.1133, -0.1114, -0.1114, -0.1102, -0.1075, -0.1007, -0.1052, -0.1052, -0.0926, -0.1159, -0.0633, -0.0562, -0.0408, -0.0644, -0.0728, -0.0647, -0.073, -0.076, -0.0708, -0.0708, -0.0832, -0.0773, -0.0959, -0.0987, -0.1023, -0.1104, -0.1264, -0.1053, -0.1234, -0.1148, -0.1466, -0.1905, -0.1764, -0.1812, -0.1906, -0.1951, -0.2224, -0.2201, -0.2336, -0.2336, -0.2277, -0.2031, -0.2013, -0.1912, -0.2256, -0.2184, -0.2025, -0.1809, -0.1741, -0.1683, -0.1638, -0.1606, -0.1739, -0.1773, -0.1914, -0.2076, -0.179, -0.2009, -0.197, -0.1824, -0.1482, -0.1605, -0.175, -0.1909, -0.1774, -0.2078, -0.1997, -0.2274, -0.2424, -0.2345, -0.2123, -0.2147, -0.2133, -0.2133, -0.2097, -0.2145, -0.2074, -0.2136, -0.2282, -0.2078, -0.2016, -0.1537, -0.1625, -0.1555, -0.1514, -0.154, -0.1724, -0.182, -0.1827, -0.1648, -0.1885, -0.1845, -0.183, -0.1774, -0.1904, -0.2012, -0.133, -0.1598, -0.1738, -0.1661, -0.1638, -0.182, -0.1821, -0.1777, -0.1778, -0.1887, -0.1831, -0.1939, -0.2135, -0.2135, -0.2322, -0.2255, -0.2234, -0.2291, -0.2291]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2012076432122630269", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-16T08:16:18+00:00", "symbol": "AMBA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Stuff like $AMBA, which is higher up on the chain might get cut off as Tesla makes their custom chips", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish AMBA: Tesla's custom chip development likely to displace Ambarella from the Optimus supply chain.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMBA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Elon cannot build out Optimus supply chain from scratch since it's impossible. Maybe in 15 years.\n\nHe is likely talking about vertical integration from design/assembly.  \n\nTesla is still bottlenecked by magnets $MP, black diamond from $LPTH, frame materials from $SYSS, linear actuators from Sanhua, and others advanced materials and fab suppliers. \n\nStuff like $AMBA, which is higher up on the chain might get cut off as Tesla makes their custom chips.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thank you for this post :) Elon talks a lot about having to build the Optimus supply chain from scratch, especially regarding actuators. Does that simply mean that Tesla will design the actuators and parts but not necessarily manufacture all of them? I never thought about that.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "garricn", "ret_m1d": -0.06009027616897178, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06009027616897178, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.060928852781400145, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.060928852781400145, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0008385766124283656, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0008385766124283656, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.022406530486106635, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.022406530486106635, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01889321568221647, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01889321568221647, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0035133148038901663, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0035133148038901663, "ret_p1m": -0.036665272070101174, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.036665272070101174, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02233744250228098, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02233744250228098, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014327829567820194, "bench_c_p1m": -0.014327829567820194, "ret_p3m": -0.1686309239226298, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1686309239226298, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.18336587504724888, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.18336587504724888, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014734951124619089, "bench_c_p3m": 0.014734951124619089, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2102, 0.1609, 0.2142, 0.2459, 0.2591, 0.2556, 0.2513, 0.2321, 0.2401, 0.2408, 0.1926, 0.2585, 0.3185, 0.3047, 0.3738, 0.3608, 0.3896, 0.2913, 0.278, 0.223, 0.2089, 0.2722, 0.2123, 0.2533, 0.3032, 0.3236, 0.0751, 0.0751, 0.0793, 0.0319, 0.0343, 0.0201, 0.0339, 0.0781, 0.1158, 0.1385, 0.1497, 0.1515, 0.0953, 0.0738, 0.0473, 0.0182, 0.0252, 0.0551, 0.0595, 0.0473, 0.0439, 0.0439, 0.0388, 0.0195, 0.0151, 0.0307, 0.0307, 0.0936, 0.1219, 0.1733, 0.0263, 0.0298, 0.0076, -0.0023, -0.045, -0.0572, -0.0601, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0435, -0.0023, 0.0049, -0.0224, -0.0246, -0.0346, -0.0297, -0.0412, -0.0682, -0.0851, -0.1237, -0.1161, -0.135, -0.0741, -0.0506, -0.0359, -0.0271, -0.0409, -0.0367, -0.0367, -0.0428, -0.0418, -0.0364, -0.0105, -0.0233, 0.0361, 0.0227, 0.0316, -0.1221, -0.1119, -0.1641, -0.1772, -0.1938, -0.2379, -0.2251, -0.2143, -0.2143, -0.2373, -0.2392, -0.2377, -0.2334, -0.2149, -0.1873, -0.214, -0.2059, -0.2066, -0.213, -0.2337, -0.2657, -0.2922, -0.251, -0.2568, -0.2647, -0.2647, -0.258, -0.2581, -0.2248, -0.2254, -0.2321, -0.21, -0.1823, -0.1686, -0.166, -0.1528, -0.1375, -0.1273, -0.1084, -0.1075, -0.0271, -0.0563, -0.0725, -0.0406, 0.001, 0.0412, 0.029, 0.0819, 0.0982, 0.0806, 0.1101, 0.1599, 0.1376, 0.1945, 0.1791, 0.1809, 0.1477, 0.1158, 0.2076, 0.2169, 0.2738, 0.2738, 0.3614, 0.3179, 0.3362, 0.0502, 0.0502, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1973799361332326443", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-02T17:16:53+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I only have single digit high conviction longs about Nebius is one of them. Be a part of history this time.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "High-conviction long NBIS on locked-in MSFT contracts, more hyperscaler deals coming, and revenue set to ramp from $100M to $1.5-2B quarterly.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I first bought $HOOD at $11.47 and watched it grow 1000%+ to a 125B+ MC. Scaling from $150M to 1B quarterly revenue over years. \n\nI thought this was insane until I saw $NBIS. \n\nThis 30B company is about to go from $100m quarterly revenue to $1.5-2B quarterly revenue the next year or two.\n\nThis type of growth is mind numbing. If you're afraid of buying on a 7%+ increase day, just look at forward revenue ramp. The contracts with MSFT are locked in and there's more hyperscaler contracts coming. \n\nI only have single digit high conviction longs about Nebius is one of them.\n\nBe a part of history this time.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "As expected, with META and their recent 14B deal with CRWV + MSFT with their 17B deal with $NBIS, billions to trillions will pour into Neoclouds from Mag7 when they're unable to handle new AI compute.\n\nExpects companies like AWS, ORCL and others to make more deals soon with https://t.co/KHRSiwoXOY", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0815126869972923, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0815126869972923, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08036220858520382, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08374542506568405, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011504784120884848, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0022327380683917486, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01676333172566702, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01676333172566702, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01677809908788863, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01727850796170094, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4767362221612679e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0005151762360339207, "ret_p1w": 0.05378562401954223, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05378562401954223, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.050886634886761595, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06692429946603051, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028989891327806383, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01313867544648828, "ret_p1m": 0.03932632453820406, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03932632453820406, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.020139760379656257, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05340956667881569, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019186564158547803, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01408324214061163, "ret_p3m": -0.3233495168787698, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3233495168787698, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.35296633318039683, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.34243886359072817, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029616816301627047, "bench_c_p3m": 0.019089346711958388, "ret_p6m": -0.1990148765007319, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1990148765007319, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.15191616328831792, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.12412626613538336, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04709871321241399, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07488861036534855, "price_path": [-0.6199, -0.6258, -0.6341, -0.6311, -0.648, -0.5873, -0.5747, -0.5765, -0.5734, -0.5806, -0.5839, -0.5947, -0.5878, -0.5856, -0.5919, -0.5809, -0.5996, -0.5925, -0.5676, -0.5869, -0.5696, -0.5617, -0.5623, -0.4811, -0.4536, -0.442, -0.4015, -0.4389, -0.4561, -0.431, -0.4237, -0.4662, -0.464, -0.4742, -0.452, -0.4437, -0.4401, -0.4431, -0.4277, -0.4572, -0.4572, -0.4779, -0.4784, -0.4843, -0.4799, -0.4911, -0.2395, -0.258, -0.2914, -0.2817, -0.2773, -0.2895, -0.2526, -0.2522, -0.211, -0.1531, -0.1436, -0.1004, -0.1424, -0.1444, -0.1243, -0.108, -0.0815, 0.0, 0.0168, -0.0074, -0.0649, -0.0307, 0.0538, 0.0295, 0.0762, 0.0181, -0.0003, -0.0225, -0.0988, -0.134, -0.1715, -0.2165, -0.1566, -0.0684, -0.0035, -0.0321, -0.0061, -0.0134, 0.0393, -0.0429, -0.1218, -0.0705, -0.1305, -0.1159, -0.1265, -0.1879, -0.2503, -0.2959, -0.3363, -0.3169, -0.2807, -0.2447, -0.3276, -0.3385, -0.2699, -0.2939, -0.2477, -0.2477, -0.2463, -0.2043, -0.2337, -0.2141, -0.1833, -0.2211, -0.2029, -0.2341, -0.2565, -0.251, -0.3033, -0.3554, -0.3569, -0.4006, -0.3796, -0.2893, -0.2593, -0.2847, -0.276, -0.276, -0.3041, -0.3164, -0.3233, -0.335, -0.335, -0.2854, -0.2625, -0.2036, -0.2356, -0.227, -0.222, -0.1473, -0.1624, -0.1898, -0.1747, -0.1362, -0.1362, -0.2112, -0.2145, -0.2306, -0.2492, -0.2734, -0.2225, -0.2021, -0.246, -0.3232, -0.2996, -0.2854, -0.3454, -0.4131, -0.316, -0.2621, -0.2708, -0.296, -0.2871, -0.2213, -0.2213, -0.2252, -0.1912, -0.1451, -0.2221, -0.2007, -0.185, -0.1569, -0.1668, -0.2755, -0.277, -0.3104, -0.2232, -0.2401, -0.2903, -0.2457, -0.2339, -0.1102, -0.1417, -0.1026, 0.0316, -0.0758, -0.0581, -0.0346, -0.0655, -0.0931, -0.0871, -0.0856, -0.1581, -0.199]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1982942939128180743", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-27T22:50:12+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Lot safer to look at hyperscaler $MSFT type contracts and just focus on $NBIS and co.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on NBIS; prefers it over uncertain SEA-contract exposure, focusing on hyperscaler-backed contracts.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@adenois @RJCcapital Yeah I could be wrong and the stock pulls a random 100% green candle but should just trust my gut about the $1.4B deal with a random SEA company next time. \n\nLot safer to look at hyperscaler $MSFT type contracts and just focus on $NBIS and co.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @RJCcapital Yes I know. I got uncomfortable holding the stock too with the limited visibility into SEA. Was just checking if you know more now. $NBIS is the only stock I bought before you at $20ish. Otherwise your research is the starting point for all my DDs, thanks.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "adenois", "ret_m1d": -0.0651359176358719, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0651359176358719, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05347576869210846, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.051394016667661524, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013741900968210374, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02870125540430646, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02870125540430646, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.031357254360897535, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.023750721096447047, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004950534307859411, "ret_p1w": -0.03954396135218685, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03954396135218685, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.036771241766913265, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.009072772543005425, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": -0.030471188809181426, "ret_p1m": -0.291397615903933, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.291397615903933, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2764831740059033, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2669865978192385, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02441101808469448, "ret_p3m": -0.22785618880266678, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22785618880266678, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23628515601411337, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.22330124633290094, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": -0.004554942469765844, "ret_p6m": 0.24810653488691647, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.24810653488691647, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.21476196842477524, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.24166768131940364, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": 0.006438853567512837, "price_path": [-0.5911, -0.5661, -0.5854, -0.5681, -0.5602, -0.5608, -0.4793, -0.4516, -0.44, -0.3994, -0.4369, -0.4542, -0.429, -0.4217, -0.4643, -0.4621, -0.4724, -0.4501, -0.4418, -0.4381, -0.4411, -0.4257, -0.4553, -0.4553, -0.476, -0.4766, -0.4825, -0.478, -0.4893, -0.2369, -0.2554, -0.2889, -0.2792, -0.2748, -0.287, -0.2499, -0.2496, -0.2082, -0.1501, -0.1406, -0.0973, -0.1394, -0.1414, -0.1213, -0.1049, -0.0783, 0.0035, 0.0203, -0.0039, -0.0616, -0.0273, 0.0575, 0.0331, 0.08, 0.0217, 0.0032, -0.0191, -0.0956, -0.131, -0.1686, -0.2137, -0.1536, -0.0651, 0.0, -0.0287, -0.0026, -0.01, 0.043, -0.0395, -0.1187, -0.0672, -0.1275, -0.1128, -0.1234, -0.185, -0.2477, -0.2934, -0.334, -0.3145, -0.2782, -0.242, -0.3252, -0.3362, -0.2673, -0.2914, -0.2451, -0.2451, -0.2436, -0.2015, -0.231, -0.2114, -0.1804, -0.2184, -0.2001, -0.2314, -0.2538, -0.2483, -0.3009, -0.3531, -0.3546, -0.3985, -0.3774, -0.2868, -0.2567, -0.2822, -0.2735, -0.2735, -0.3017, -0.314, -0.321, -0.3327, -0.3327, -0.2829, -0.2599, -0.2008, -0.233, -0.2243, -0.2192, -0.1443, -0.1595, -0.187, -0.1718, -0.1331, -0.1331, -0.2084, -0.2118, -0.2279, -0.2466, -0.2708, -0.2197, -0.1993, -0.2433, -0.3208, -0.2971, -0.2829, -0.3431, -0.4111, -0.3136, -0.2595, -0.2682, -0.2936, -0.2846, -0.2186, -0.2186, -0.2225, -0.1884, -0.1421, -0.2193, -0.1979, -0.1822, -0.154, -0.1638, -0.273, -0.2744, -0.308, -0.2204, -0.2374, -0.2878, -0.2431, -0.2312, -0.1071, -0.1386, -0.0995, 0.0352, -0.0726, -0.0548, -0.0312, -0.0623, -0.0899, -0.0839, -0.0824, -0.1551, -0.1962, -0.2645, -0.1728, -0.1872, -0.1324, -0.1324, -0.1028, -0.064, -0.0034, 0.0869, 0.1558, 0.2322, 0.2911, 0.3296, 0.3182, 0.2528, 0.2689, 0.2481]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1975933759930388964", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-08T14:38:14+00:00", "symbol": "PYPL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "is it fairly valued with upside? Yep.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "PYPL fairly valued with upside but not a preferred long; lukewarm bullish.", "resolved_tickers": ["PYPL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@fossinvest Uhh just from your thesis I don’t really see $PYPL being a large part of agentic payments mainly due to chargebacks and I have seen anyone use PayPal USD yet.\n\nThat aside is it fairly valued with upside? Yep. \n\nAre there better longs? Yep.\n\nThat’s just my overall take.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What are your thoughts on Paypal? \nhttps://t.co/MQdP3c0cTU", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "fossinvest", "ret_m1d": -0.019965853423614455, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019965853423614455, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014038148227593528, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014038148227593528, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005927705196020927, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005927705196020927, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004991513731473662, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004991513731473662, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.002094505352236209, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.002094505352236209, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0028970083792374535, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0028970083792374535, "ret_p1w": -0.10705372836646332, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10705372836646332, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09525768439518723, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09525768439518723, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011796043971276093, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011796043971276093, "ret_p1m": -0.12964666776686906, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12964666776686906, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12548691464363448, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12548691464363448, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0041597531232345775, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0041597531232345775, "ret_p3m": -0.21940021637314833, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21940021637314833, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24412446117254505, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24412446117254505, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024724244799396722, "bench_c_p3m": 0.024724244799396722, "ret_p6m": -0.40125567153355124, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.40125567153355124, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.38113164039855374, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.38113164039855374, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0201240311349975, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0201240311349975, "price_path": [-0.0627, -0.0294, -0.0416, -0.0415, -0.0298, -0.0257, -0.0172, -0.0017, 0.007, 0.0222, 0.0243, 0.0275, -0.0615, -0.0843, -0.0968, -0.1185, -0.1067, -0.109, -0.0881, -0.1039, -0.1114, -0.1189, -0.1072, -0.0722, -0.0887, -0.0906, -0.0867, -0.093, -0.1057, -0.1127, -0.0818, -0.0874, -0.0782, -0.0851, -0.0797, -0.078, -0.078, -0.0904, -0.0852, -0.1007, -0.1034, -0.1015, -0.111, -0.1378, -0.1164, -0.1214, -0.1185, -0.1219, -0.0986, -0.1, -0.1039, -0.111, -0.1159, -0.1086, -0.1233, -0.116, -0.0847, -0.1191, -0.1244, -0.0946, -0.0904, -0.0636, -0.02, 0.0, -0.005, -0.0826, -0.0955, -0.0917, -0.1071, -0.1324, -0.1145, -0.091, -0.0799, -0.1059, -0.085, -0.0835, -0.0772, -0.0409, -0.0847, -0.1077, -0.0901, -0.1023, -0.132, -0.106, -0.1296, -0.1302, -0.1298, -0.1147, -0.1173, -0.1419, -0.175, -0.187, -0.2027, -0.2086, -0.235, -0.2025, -0.2027, -0.194, -0.186, -0.186, -0.1746, -0.1761, -0.1719, -0.1937, -0.1873, -0.18, -0.1953, -0.1998, -0.1948, -0.1878, -0.1882, -0.2003, -0.1925, -0.2077, -0.2174, -0.2126, -0.2119, -0.2178, -0.2095, -0.2095, -0.2104, -0.2168, -0.2219, -0.2314, -0.2314, -0.2345, -0.2194, -0.2126, -0.2297, -0.2328, -0.2409, -0.2457, -0.2553, -0.2409, -0.253, -0.251, -0.251, -0.2748, -0.2642, -0.2476, -0.2546, -0.2548, -0.2692, -0.288, -0.3008, -0.3063, -0.311, -0.451, -0.4598, -0.4747, -0.4678, -0.4582, -0.4538, -0.4673, -0.4855, -0.4696, -0.4696, -0.4627, -0.4543, -0.4506, -0.4516, -0.42, -0.3809, -0.377, -0.4006, -0.3916, -0.3992, -0.3894, -0.3826, -0.3709, -0.3797, -0.3904, -0.4055, -0.3982, -0.4142, -0.4071, -0.4002, -0.3908, -0.4112, -0.4164, -0.4188, -0.3993, -0.4162, -0.4077, -0.4031, -0.4244, -0.4101, -0.4027, -0.4106, -0.4013]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2008910857003221451", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-07T14:37:26+00:00", "symbol": "OSS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I've initiated a position in $OSS. I usually never say this but, this one is exciting. This looks like an unholy long to me", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Initiated long position in OSS: 45% gross margins, $41M cash vs $155M MC, combat-validated drone/AI defense contractor with 2.4x demand-to-supply backlog.", "resolved_tickers": ["OSS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I've initiated a position in $OSS.\n\nI usually never say this but, this one is exciting.\n\nMarkets completely missed this 155M MC Drone Swarm, Ghost Fleet, USVs, Edge AI deploying US DoD contractor. \n\nAnd they especially missed OSS’s involvement in the Venezuela's invasion, that gave premiums to $AVAV and others. \n\nThis looks like an unholy long to me:\n\n1.  $41M cash (pro forma ets.) / $155M MC (low downside risk).\n2. Pure play Kinetic Defense\n3. 1 : 2.4x supply/demand. (backlogged from high demand)\n4. 45% gross margins. \n\nThe main interest was Venezuela as proof they're actively being used in the US military:\n\n$OSS P-8 Poseidon in Venezuela:\n\n- Flight tracking data confirmed that P-8A Poseidon aircraft from Patrol Squadron 40 (VP-40) were off the coast of Venezuela during the raid to monitor Venezuelan naval movements.\n\nOSS Link: On July 1 2025, OSS announced a $5M urgent order specifically to deliver \"61 Rugged Data Units\" for the P-8A Poseidon.\n\nSOCOM \"Capture Team\":\n\n- The raid to capture leadership was executed by US Special Operations Command (USSOCOM), specifically using maritime insertion teams (likely SEALs/SWCC) and the 160th SOAR (helicopters).\n\nOSS Link: On May 29, 2025, OSS signed a (CRADA) directly with USSOCOM to build edge computers for Maritime Environments. OSS built the battle-tracking servers for the stealth boats used to slip into the Venezuelan coast. \n\n\"Ghost Fleet\" Blockade:\n\n- \"Operation Southern Spear\" is currently using unmanned surface vessels (drone boats) to block oil tankers.\n\nOSS Link: The Navy's \"Task Force 59\" (and the newer 4th Fleet equivalent) uses the $OSS Rigel Edge Supercomputer for these drones because it is one of the few AI servers small enough to fit on a 40-foot robot boat.\n\nThis is literally combat validation in Venezuela. Of a small $155M stock. \n\nBefore everyone treated this company as a commodity like $SMCI (myself included), but I completely missed that their defense vertical (which is pure-play now after the Bressner sale) has 45.6% gross margins. \n\nOnly after I looked into it again after did I realize their other division was completely messing up margin calculations because of blended margins (from just re-selling defense gear).\n\nSo now we have a:\n\n~45% margins, AI military contractor valued at $155M business with $41m cash, with demand outstripping supply 2.4 to 1. \n\nI did an analysis later last year, which looked like $OSS was a supplier for Andruil or $PLTR, and was beginning their ramp up. \n\nLooking at it again post-sale, the 45% margin puts them into extremely stellar territory (compared to eg. Lockheed Martin, 12-14%) or commodity sellers (eg. $SMCI, $DELL 8-14%)\n\nThis is a specialized war-validated defense AI pure-play for drone swarms, ghost fleets, USVs, and others, with extremely high margins, at $155M MC.  \n\nI've found this to be an exciting re-discovery, so I've taken a position.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I’ve taken a position in $AIRO and it’s up +23% since this post 3 days ago. \n\nMarkets still don’t know about this Aerospace &amp; Defense stock, despite $ONDS hype.\n\nIt’s a drone stock ~$300m MC, with $120m+ est. for 2026 (~2.5 fwd p/s)\n\nOthers trade at 30-40+ multiples and bigger https://t.co/HxgEzUXKZE", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.18170264919095824, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.18170264919095824, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.184936429611268, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.184936429611268, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003233780420309751, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003233780420309751, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1168996301997518, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1168996301997518, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.11700116288173756, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.11700116288173756, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00010153268198576093, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00010153268198576093, "ret_p1w": 0.48538751593042084, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.48538751593042084, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.4842564560534741, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.4842564560534741, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0011310598769467273, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0011310598769467273, "ret_p1m": 0.022871703658607467, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.022871703658607467, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.040215598047577794, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.040215598047577794, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017343894388970327, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017343894388970327, "ret_p3m": -0.019059732852432676, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.019059732852432676, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.022778033542166676, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.022778033542166676, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04183776639459935, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04183776639459935, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.291, -0.249, -0.2262, -0.1995, -0.2872, -0.3418, -0.3227, -0.3278, -0.3659, -0.3469, -0.3367, -0.3304, -0.3571, -0.3507, -0.3698, -0.3647, -0.3482, -0.4003, -0.2681, -0.3215, -0.3405, -0.31, -0.2872, -0.2961, -0.3443, -0.3507, -0.399, -0.3952, -0.4257, -0.4485, -0.4333, -0.4104, -0.4142, -0.244, -0.244, -0.2262, -0.2478, -0.2287, -0.216, -0.1665, -0.1131, -0.0635, -0.0381, -0.0178, -0.0038, -0.0381, -0.1296, -0.1131, -0.1385, -0.0889, -0.0661, -0.0775, -0.0584, -0.0813, -0.0813, -0.0864, -0.0953, -0.0915, -0.0877, -0.0877, -0.136, -0.1233, -0.1817, 0.0, 0.1169, 0.0254, 0.3278, 0.4358, 0.4854, 0.3787, 0.3545, 0.3545, 0.3698, 0.4828, 0.4409, 0.3469, 0.2859, 0.3355, 0.3164, 0.3494, 0.2567, 0.2135, 0.2122, 0.1385, 0.0229, 0.1741, 0.2262, 0.2097, 0.2008, 0.0864, 0.1055, 0.1055, 0.0521, 0.061, 0.3393, 0.2351, 0.1525, 0.169, 0.1499, 0.1601, 0.0489, 0.0959, 0.0534, 0.0661, 0.0775, 0.0686, 0.1309, 0.1982, 0.2592, 0.2897, 0.2808, 0.2973, 0.3583, 0.4282, 0.305, 0.1207, 0.1703, 0.1487, 0.1537, 0.0851, -0.026, -0.0839, -0.0381, -0.0775, -0.0292, -0.0292, -0.0191, -0.0318, 0.0127, -0.0051, -0.0089, 0.1258, 0.1131, 0.249, 0.2402, 0.2605, 0.2859, 0.2618, 0.3215, 0.2427, 0.2338, 0.2643, 0.1779, 0.1169, 0.2058, 0.2745, 0.2402, 0.2414, 0.9479, 0.9187, 0.9924, 1.0229, 0.9759, 1.0152, 1.1906, 1.0928, 1.0318, 0.9581, 0.9936, 1.0978, 1.2656, 1.2656, 1.216, 1.2313, 1.2757, 1.31, 1.31, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1967128614098653253", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-14T07:29:43+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$MSFT deal with $NBIS is is confirmed with $17B, since it's Microsoft so NBIS is undervalued", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "NBIS undervalued given confirmed $17B Microsoft deal backing.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@taleino93 @unusual_whales I genuinely don’t know which direction to go with $ORCL.\n\nOracle’s deal was with OpenAi, which doesn’t even have 300B.\n\n$MSFT deal with $NBIS is is confirmed with $17B, since it’s Microsoft so NBIS is undervalued.\n\nTime will tell if OpenAI can pay up.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Do you see the same logic working in $ORCL? To me drawdown looks like 'tutes profit taking, but the $WBD &amp; $PSKY merger may drive retail to pour into $ORCL. Only thing stopping me is the put (bought at ask) interest on $WBD and $PSKY is high today  (@unusual_whales)", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "platochi", "ret_m1d": -0.00604656363125633, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00604656363125633, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0007508055742524444, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007819023205867026, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005295758057003885, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013865586837123356, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.016820567224016703, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.016820567224016703, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.015443774438735014, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012786876034623695, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0013767927852816886, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004033691189393007, "ret_p1w": 0.17194370654208013, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.17194370654208013, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1601737720345009, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.17199790263052117, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011769934507579238, "bench_c_p1w": -5.4196088441038626e-05, "ret_p1m": 0.4088609848981435, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4088609848981435, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.40408575006896474, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4425615630998292, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.004775234829178743, "bench_c_p1m": -0.033700578201685705, "ret_p3m": 0.03649955725858134, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.03649955725858134, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0091506744156995, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05147956330497405, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04565023167428084, "bench_c_p3m": -0.014980006046392713, "ret_p6m": 0.060136337684252306, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.060136337684252306, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.02964200267013828, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.06710529420364353, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030494335014114027, "bench_c_p6m": -0.006968956519391223, "price_path": [-0.4688, -0.4688, -0.4726, -0.478, -0.4391, -0.4666, -0.4217, -0.4301, -0.3917, -0.4469, -0.4506, -0.4476, -0.4476, -0.4741, -0.4822, -0.4937, -0.4896, -0.513, -0.4289, -0.4115, -0.4139, -0.4097, -0.4196, -0.4243, -0.4392, -0.4296, -0.4266, -0.4352, -0.4201, -0.4459, -0.4361, -0.4016, -0.4283, -0.4045, -0.3935, -0.3943, -0.282, -0.2438, -0.2278, -0.1718, -0.2235, -0.2474, -0.2126, -0.2025, -0.2613, -0.2582, -0.2724, -0.2416, -0.2302, -0.2252, -0.2293, -0.208, -0.2489, -0.2489, -0.2775, -0.2783, -0.2864, -0.2802, -0.2957, 0.0523, 0.0267, -0.0195, -0.006, 0.0, -0.0168, 0.0343, 0.0347, 0.0918, 0.1719, 0.1851, 0.2448, 0.1867, 0.184, 0.2117, 0.2343, 0.271, 0.3838, 0.407, 0.3736, 0.294, 0.3412, 0.4582, 0.4246, 0.4892, 0.4089, 0.3834, 0.3527, 0.2471, 0.1983, 0.1464, 0.0842, 0.1671, 0.2891, 0.379, 0.3394, 0.3753, 0.3652, 0.4382, 0.3244, 0.2153, 0.2863, 0.2032, 0.2234, 0.2088, 0.1238, 0.0374, -0.0256, -0.0816, -0.0547, -0.0046, 0.0452, -0.0695, -0.0847, 0.0103, -0.0229, 0.041, 0.041, 0.043, 0.101, 0.0604, 0.0875, 0.1302, 0.0778, 0.103, 0.0599, 0.0289, 0.0365, -0.0359, -0.108, -0.11, -0.1705, -0.1415, -0.0165, 0.025, -0.0102, 0.0019, 0.0019, -0.037, -0.0541, -0.0637, -0.0798, -0.0798, -0.0111, 0.0206, 0.102, 0.0577, 0.0697, 0.0766, 0.18, 0.1591, 0.1212, 0.1421, 0.1954, 0.1954, 0.0916, 0.087, 0.0648, 0.0389, 0.0055, 0.076, 0.1041, 0.0434, -0.0634, -0.0308, -0.0111, -0.0942, -0.1879, -0.0534, 0.0211, 0.0091, -0.0258, -0.0135, 0.0775, 0.0775, 0.0721, 0.1192, 0.183, 0.0765, 0.1061, 0.1277, 0.1667, 0.153, 0.0025, 0.0005, -0.0457, 0.075, 0.0516, -0.0179, 0.0438, 0.0601]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2010790816340709566", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-12T19:07:43+00:00", "symbol": "OSS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I do expect this to be re-rated given the tailwinds from the proposed $1.5T department of war spend", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long OSS: expects re-rating as specialized high-margin ruggedized AI/edge military hardware provider, driven by $1.5T defense spending tailwinds.", "resolved_tickers": ["OSS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thanks for sharing, $OSS is used across many US military deployments already with usage  validation in Venezuela.\n\nMarkets largely ignored this one earlier because of blended margins (thought to be a commodity reseller). And not putting the pieces together from their earlier contracts.\n\nAfter selling off some segments, $OSS now starts to like a specialized, high margin, ruggedized hardware provider for AI and edge military deployments.\n\nThat being said smaller caps do carry risk but I do expect this to be re-rated given the tailwinds from the proposed $1.5T department of war spend.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$OSS thesis is very real.\n\nIt’s a small cap with various risks, but the thread below does a good job explaining what’s going on here. \n\nEdge compute may be one of the largest themes of 2026.\n\nPrototype contract they got last week is what’s probably continuing to bring more", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "amitisinvesting", "ret_m1d": -0.22775121128047982, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.22775121128047982, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.2261832199267063, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.2261832199267063, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0015679913537735013, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0015679913537735013, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08133975090756485, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08133975090756485, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08333922601343513, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08333922601343513, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019994751058702853, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0019994751058702853, "ret_p1w": 0.020095697797121836, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.020095697797121836, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02513052595768306, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02513052595768306, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.005034828160561222, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005034828160561222, "ret_p1m": -0.08899515487808074, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08899515487808074, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08462203491600129, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08462203491600129, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0043731199620794525, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0043731199620794525, "ret_p3m": -0.2507176969741328, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2507176969741328, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2314513883893845, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2314513883893845, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.019266308584748315, "bench_c_p3m": -0.019266308584748315, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3971, -0.4632, -0.5043, -0.49, -0.4938, -0.5225, -0.5081, -0.5005, -0.4957, -0.5158, -0.511, -0.5254, -0.5215, -0.5091, -0.5483, -0.4488, -0.489, -0.5033, -0.4804, -0.4632, -0.4699, -0.5062, -0.511, -0.5474, -0.5445, -0.5675, -0.5847, -0.5732, -0.556, -0.5589, -0.4306, -0.4306, -0.4172, -0.4335, -0.4191, -0.4096, -0.3722, -0.3321, -0.2947, -0.2756, -0.2603, -0.2498, -0.2756, -0.3445, -0.3321, -0.3512, -0.3139, -0.2967, -0.3053, -0.2909, -0.3081, -0.3081, -0.312, -0.3187, -0.3158, -0.3129, -0.3129, -0.3493, -0.3397, -0.3837, -0.2469, -0.1589, -0.2278, 0.0, 0.0813, 0.1187, 0.0383, 0.0201, 0.0201, 0.0316, 0.1167, 0.0852, 0.0144, -0.0316, 0.0057, -0.0086, 0.0163, -0.0536, -0.0861, -0.0871, -0.1426, -0.2297, -0.1158, -0.0766, -0.089, -0.0957, -0.1818, -0.1675, -0.1675, -0.2077, -0.201, 0.0086, -0.0699, -0.1321, -0.1196, -0.134, -0.1263, -0.21, -0.1746, -0.2067, -0.1971, -0.1885, -0.1952, -0.1483, -0.0976, -0.0517, -0.0287, -0.0354, -0.023, 0.023, 0.0756, -0.0172, -0.156, -0.1187, -0.1349, -0.1311, -0.1828, -0.2665, -0.31, -0.2756, -0.3053, -0.2689, -0.2689, -0.2612, -0.2708, -0.2373, -0.2507, -0.2536, -0.1522, -0.1617, -0.0593, -0.066, -0.0507, -0.0316, -0.0498, -0.0048, -0.0641, -0.0708, -0.0478, -0.1129, -0.1589, -0.0919, -0.0402, -0.066, -0.0651, 0.467, 0.445, 0.5005, 0.5234, 0.488, 0.5177, 0.6498, 0.5761, 0.5301, 0.4746, 0.5014, 0.5799, 0.7062, 0.7062, 0.6689, 0.6804, 0.7139, 0.7397, 0.7397, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2003446353784111605", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-23T12:43:27+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "their current penny stock pricing probably doesn't price in their BOM share of every Trainium and Maia cluster they're a part of + InP fab optionally in US", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Cautiously bullish AAOI: current penny-stock price doesn't reflect BOM share in Trainium/Maia clusters and InP fab optionality, if execution risk is overcome.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Well not exactly, they have a history of execution failures with $AMZN dropping them as a client many years ago.\n\nBut if they can execute this time around given their new golden ticket of copper -> photonics and supply constants like memory, their current penny stock pricing probably doesn’t price in their BOM share of every Trainium and Maia cluster they’re a part of + InP fab optionally in US.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit So everything what you write sounds for me we should be long in $AAOI", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Neon68", "ret_m1d": -0.03801668779893841, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03801668779893841, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03346702699962789, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03346702699962789, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004549660799310518, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004549660799310518, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008858282868066558, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008858282868066558, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005340662562534071, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005340662562534071, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0035176203055324873, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0035176203055324873, "ret_p1w": -0.11368107778716019, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11368107778716019, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11230021988314987, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11230021988314987, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0013808579040103242, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0013808579040103242, "ret_p1m": -0.05561019575479753, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05561019575479753, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05188903190562544, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05188903190562544, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0037211638491720933, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0037211638491720933, "ret_p3m": 1.1540354879489731, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.1540354879489731, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.2087170873101596, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.2087170873101596, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.05468159936118644, "bench_c_p3m": -0.05468159936118644, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3519, -0.3659, -0.3617, -0.362, -0.3007, -0.3115, -0.3127, -0.1686, -0.229, -0.2072, -0.2035, -0.3319, -0.284, -0.2992, -0.1892, -0.2338, -0.2146, -0.1599, -0.1781, -0.2624, -0.2274, -0.1631, -0.0842, -0.0928, -0.127, -0.1371, -0.125, -0.187, -0.2741, -0.2247, -0.284, -0.297, -0.3745, -0.4156, -0.4109, -0.4855, -0.4718, -0.4678, -0.486, -0.4865, -0.5204, -0.4936, -0.4471, -0.4407, -0.3708, -0.3708, -0.341, -0.3472, -0.3597, -0.3688, -0.3543, -0.3457, -0.315, -0.2525, -0.1393, -0.1063, -0.2111, -0.2643, -0.2874, -0.3322, -0.2803, -0.2293, -0.038, 0.0, 0.0089, 0.0089, -0.0854, -0.0957, -0.1137, -0.1422, -0.1422, -0.0256, -0.139, -0.05, -0.0636, -0.1877, -0.1624, -0.1703, -0.159, -0.1518, -0.0896, -0.0886, -0.0886, -0.034, -0.0556, -0.0613, -0.1211, -0.1415, -0.08, 0.1129, -0.0263, 0.0731, 0.0866, 0.1348, -0.0182, -0.0618, 0.0901, 0.1789, 0.1932, 0.1909, 0.0824, 0.094, 0.094, 0.0805, 0.0689, 0.156, 0.2717, 0.3278, 0.3846, 0.4301, 0.3211, 1.0726, 1.5224, 1.346, 1.4535, 1.4887, 1.3519, 1.7219, 1.9648, 2.1252, 1.6129, 1.3821, 1.3147, 1.1243, 1.2793, 1.5079, 1.154, 1.3563, 1.8027, 1.8152, 1.3971, 1.4166, 1.0962, 1.0814, 1.1248, 1.5568, 1.5568, 1.6439, 1.8947, 2.2653, 2.28, 2.7057, 2.7694, 2.6021, 2.5076, 2.8711, 2.9227, 3.0224, 2.705, 2.6767, 2.389, 2.9904, 2.5871, 2.3775, 2.7606, 3.0443, 3.5155, 3.2564, 3.4432, 3.3932, 2.8767, 2.6649, 3.5497, 3.6329, 4.4897, 4.0091, 3.6841, 3.2633, 3.2158, 3.0664, 3.3506, 3.4658, 3.4658, 3.3706, 3.425, 3.159, 2.8979, 2.8979, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2002774159869550634", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-21T16:12:24+00:00", "symbol": "COIN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "slightly disagree. It's a lot less versatile than you think as 2026 contract renegotiation with $CRCL is coming up. But that exchange segment would likely get cannibalized by $HOOD and zero fee exchanges like Bitfinex in the long run. And I'm pretty sure Circle will find a way in the long run.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bearish COIN on USDC rev-split risk and exchange cannibalization; prefers Circle as pure-play at $18B and implies HOOD as a beneficiary.", "resolved_tickers": ["COIN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Financial Data & Stock Exchanges'", "bench_c_industry": "Financial Data & Stock Exchanges", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "For $COIN, slighty disagree. It's a lot less versatile than you think as 2026 contract renegotiation with $CRCL is coming up.  \n\nRight now Coinbase benefits from  50% USDC rev split + exchange business. Then there's value derived from Custody (eg. Blackrock ETFs).  But that exchange segment would likely get cannibalized by $HOOD and zero fee exchanges like Bitfinex in the long run.  \n\nAs for that 50% revenue split of the golden egg: there's legal loopholes for Circle to depeg from Coinbase. And I'm pretty sure Circle will find a way in the long run.  \n\nEg. Genius Act, explicitly bans stablecoin issuers from paying interest to holders -> using that to legally stop paying them a split.  \n\nOr the 50/50 split to drop to something like 75/25 from contract negotiation by 2027.   \n\nBut you can get pure play asymmetry with the direct issuer for $18B or the exchange-add on for $66B.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I think Coin is a better play - it's much more versatile and profitable.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Tywinsleeps", "ret_m1d": -0.01121419462582851, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01121419462582851, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0050228736104943605, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0009152987363235665, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012129493362152077, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.022589717557899403, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.022589717557899403, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02716017237633228, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.024578122732604624, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001988405174705221, "ret_p1w": -0.05699874938247762, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05699874938247762, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06140852065776514, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05699874938247762, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0, "ret_p1m": -0.08136344762222014, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08136344762222014, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07077683293670944, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.043040971802711714, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03832247581950843, "ret_p3m": -0.1814844346190725, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1814844346190725, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.14493518430878705, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06705929948092137, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "bench_c_p3m": -0.11442513513815111, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.298, 0.2372, 0.261, 0.3473, 0.3614, 0.3964, 0.5009, 0.533, 0.5574, 0.5159, 0.5622, 0.5611, 0.4401, 0.4401, 0.3778, 0.3566, 0.3322, 0.3555, 0.3868, 0.366, 0.2922, 0.302, 0.4299, 0.458, 0.4329, 0.4063, 0.3252, 0.3868, 0.3329, 0.2397, 0.288, 0.1909, 0.247, 0.2825, 0.2263, 0.2263, 0.1422, 0.1456, 0.0647, 0.056, 0.0379, -0.0393, -0.0302, 0.0326, 0.0251, 0.0689, 0.0689, 0.1005, 0.0482, 0.062, 0.1171, 0.1055, 0.0881, 0.1061, 0.1188, 0.1097, 0.0852, 0.0789, 0.0102, 0.019, -0.015, -0.0351, -0.0112, 0.0, -0.0226, -0.033, -0.033, -0.0444, -0.057, -0.0658, -0.0878, -0.0878, -0.0459, 0.0283, 0.0107, -0.0079, -0.0093, -0.0287, -0.0198, 0.0193, 0.0321, -0.0348, -0.0272, -0.0272, -0.0814, -0.0846, -0.0999, -0.1248, -0.1388, -0.1495, -0.1552, -0.1965, -0.2144, -0.2422, -0.2753, -0.3198, -0.4106, -0.3339, -0.3253, -0.3445, -0.382, -0.4309, -0.3372, -0.3372, -0.3303, -0.3382, -0.3306, -0.3088, -0.3536, -0.3464, -0.258, -0.2696, -0.2906, -0.2528, -0.2644, -0.1572, -0.1702, -0.2044, -0.1941, -0.2073, -0.1987, -0.2205, -0.2113, -0.1798, -0.152, -0.184, -0.1815, -0.2033, -0.1907, -0.2697, -0.2695, -0.3006, -0.35, -0.3514, -0.2956, -0.3022, -0.3084, -0.3084, -0.2949, -0.2933, -0.2937, -0.3182, -0.3229, -0.296, -0.2561, -0.2098, -0.1939, -0.1677, -0.1463, -0.2096, -0.1681, -0.2016, -0.1942, -0.2066, -0.217, -0.2669, -0.2426, -0.2285, -0.1812, -0.2023, -0.2015, -0.2216, -0.1885, -0.1263, -0.1624, -0.186, -0.1448, -0.2117, -0.2358, -0.2196, -0.2284, -0.2192, -0.2538, -0.2538, -0.2739, -0.299, -0.2648, -0.2375, -0.2375, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2002774159869550634", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-21T16:12:24+00:00", "symbol": "CRCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "you can get pure play asymmetry with the direct issuer for $18B", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bearish COIN on USDC rev-split risk and exchange cannibalization; prefers Circle as pure-play at $18B and implies HOOD as a beneficiary.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "For $COIN, slighty disagree. It's a lot less versatile than you think as 2026 contract renegotiation with $CRCL is coming up.  \n\nRight now Coinbase benefits from  50% USDC rev split + exchange business. Then there's value derived from Custody (eg. Blackrock ETFs).  But that exchange segment would likely get cannibalized by $HOOD and zero fee exchanges like Bitfinex in the long run.  \n\nAs for that 50% revenue split of the golden egg: there's legal loopholes for Circle to depeg from Coinbase. And I'm pretty sure Circle will find a way in the long run.  \n\nEg. Genius Act, explicitly bans stablecoin issuers from paying interest to holders -> using that to legally stop paying them a split.  \n\nOr the 50/50 split to drop to something like 75/25 from contract negotiation by 2027.   \n\nBut you can get pure play asymmetry with the direct issuer for $18B or the exchange-add on for $66B.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I think Coin is a better play - it's much more versatile and profitable.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Tywinsleeps", "ret_m1d": -0.010000031569908363, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010000031569908363, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.003808710554574213, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0021294617922437142, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012129493362152077, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.049080421184671374, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.049080421184671374, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05365087600310425, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.051068826359376596, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001988405174705221, "ret_p1w": -0.07459767659505212, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07459767659505212, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07900744787033964, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07459767659505212, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0, "ret_p1m": -0.16436785116963004, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16436785116963004, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15378123648411934, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1260453753501216, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03832247581950843, "ret_p3m": 0.4750574923109734, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4750574923109734, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5116067426212588, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5894826274491245, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "bench_c_p3m": -0.11442513513815111, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.5124, 0.4329, 0.4597, 0.5363, 0.5239, 0.4831, 0.7209, 0.6756, 0.707, 0.7094, 0.7294, 0.7297, 0.528, 0.5801, 0.5455, 0.5457, 0.4766, 0.4539, 0.5036, 0.4925, 0.4344, 0.4926, 0.6328, 0.647, 0.5645, 0.5143, 0.4105, 0.4595, 0.3547, 0.2787, 0.2992, 0.1495, 0.1855, 0.1966, 0.1299, -0.008, -0.0536, -0.0587, -0.1197, -0.1195, -0.1986, -0.2307, -0.1801, -0.1639, -0.1941, -0.1651, -0.1651, -0.0813, -0.1271, -0.1099, -0.0082, 0.0053, -0.0159, -0.0349, 0.0216, 0.0162, 0.018, -0.0406, -0.1326, -0.046, -0.0897, -0.0691, -0.01, 0.0, -0.0491, -0.0501, -0.0501, -0.0659, -0.0746, -0.0817, -0.0885, -0.0885, -0.0406, -0.0253, -0.0247, -0.0737, -0.0599, -0.0471, -0.0471, -0.0407, -0.0253, -0.1195, -0.0964, -0.0964, -0.1644, -0.1651, -0.1799, -0.1801, -0.1851, -0.1959, -0.1628, -0.2236, -0.2652, -0.3234, -0.3545, -0.3672, -0.4226, -0.3444, -0.3092, -0.3132, -0.3349, -0.3491, -0.3099, -0.3099, -0.2917, -0.2741, -0.2883, -0.2756, -0.2969, -0.2946, -0.0444, 0.0024, -0.0409, 0.1051, 0.1452, 0.21, 0.2154, 0.1714, 0.2855, 0.3574, 0.2967, 0.3124, 0.3262, 0.4463, 0.5208, 0.5269, 0.4751, 0.4486, 0.4556, 0.1629, 0.1938, 0.1295, 0.0766, 0.0334, 0.0967, 0.043, 0.0375, 0.0375, 0.0592, 0.0818, 0.0855, -0.0218, 0.012, 0.1343, 0.2125, 0.2129, 0.2352, 0.2174, 0.2225, 0.1037, 0.1995, 0.1495, 0.1455, 0.097, 0.0845, 0.0984, 0.0446, 0.146, 0.3739, 0.3125, 0.4, 0.3017, 0.3066, 0.5145, 0.4213, 0.4548, 0.4239, 0.3103, 0.2803, 0.2762, 0.283, 0.3205, 0.3002, 0.3002, 0.1974, 0.1798, 0.2441, 0.2989, 0.2989, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2002774159869550634", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-12-21T16:12:24+00:00", "symbol": "HOOD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "that exchange segment would likely get cannibalized by $HOOD and zero fee exchanges like Bitfinex in the long run", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bearish COIN on USDC rev-split risk and exchange cannibalization; prefers Circle as pure-play at $18B and implies HOOD as a beneficiary.", "resolved_tickers": ["HOOD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "For $COIN, slighty disagree. It's a lot less versatile than you think as 2026 contract renegotiation with $CRCL is coming up.  \n\nRight now Coinbase benefits from  50% USDC rev split + exchange business. Then there's value derived from Custody (eg. Blackrock ETFs).  But that exchange segment would likely get cannibalized by $HOOD and zero fee exchanges like Bitfinex in the long run.  \n\nAs for that 50% revenue split of the golden egg: there's legal loopholes for Circle to depeg from Coinbase. And I'm pretty sure Circle will find a way in the long run.  \n\nEg. Genius Act, explicitly bans stablecoin issuers from paying interest to holders -> using that to legally stop paying them a split.  \n\nOr the 50/50 split to drop to something like 75/25 from contract negotiation by 2027.   \n\nBut you can get pure play asymmetry with the direct issuer for $18B or the exchange-add on for $66B.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I think Coin is a better play - it's much more versatile and profitable.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Tywinsleeps", "ret_m1d": -0.008335411044921526, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.008335411044921526, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0021440900295873755, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0037940823172305516, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012129493362152077, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.017406266527782654, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.017406266527782654, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.021976721346215533, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.019394671702487876, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001988405174705221, "ret_p1w": -0.040369390622933765, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.040369390622933765, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04477916189822129, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.040369390622933765, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0, "ret_p1m": -0.13557247360402247, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.13557247360402247, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12498585891851177, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09724999778451404, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03832247581950843, "ret_p3m": -0.393969093751771, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.393969093751771, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3574198434414856, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2795439586136199, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "bench_c_p3m": -0.11442513513815111, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0362, 0.0023, -0.0048, 0.1173, 0.1701, 0.137, 0.1907, 0.2149, 0.1789, 0.1849, 0.2329, 0.2459, 0.1356, 0.1496, 0.1028, 0.0963, 0.0741, 0.0616, 0.1097, 0.0774, 0.0396, 0.0977, 0.1424, 0.192, 0.1951, 0.1833, 0.1283, 0.1995, 0.2019, 0.1179, 0.1643, 0.0385, 0.0653, 0.1104, 0.0781, 0.0867, -0.0069, 0.0011, -0.0523, -0.0659, -0.0344, -0.1321, -0.1232, -0.0605, -0.0556, 0.0476, 0.0476, 0.05, 0.0071, 0.0293, 0.0921, 0.1202, 0.0783, 0.1149, 0.109, 0.1086, 0.0083, -0.0235, -0.0581, -0.0243, -0.0537, -0.0426, -0.0083, 0.0, -0.0174, -0.0158, -0.0158, -0.0346, -0.0404, -0.0565, -0.0758, -0.0758, -0.0585, 0.0071, -0.0055, -0.0441, -0.057, -0.058, -0.0396, -0.0174, -0.0221, -0.0982, -0.1114, -0.1114, -0.1356, -0.1344, -0.1317, -0.1257, -0.1256, -0.14, -0.155, -0.1727, -0.1871, -0.2653, -0.2885, -0.3412, -0.4061, -0.3232, -0.2926, -0.3005, -0.3628, -0.4188, -0.3792, -0.3792, -0.3835, -0.3854, -0.3818, -0.378, -0.4134, -0.4003, -0.3664, -0.3507, -0.3802, -0.3562, -0.3784, -0.3282, -0.3417, -0.37, -0.3516, -0.3583, -0.357, -0.378, -0.4003, -0.3846, -0.3679, -0.3879, -0.394, -0.4207, -0.4076, -0.4355, -0.4072, -0.4251, -0.4605, -0.4675, -0.4337, -0.4271, -0.437, -0.437, -0.4298, -0.4308, -0.413, -0.427, -0.4346, -0.4143, -0.3537, -0.2864, -0.2903, -0.2584, -0.2541, -0.2937, -0.2774, -0.3173, -0.3078, -0.314, -0.3293, -0.4182, -0.4043, -0.3981, -0.3744, -0.3705, -0.354, -0.3766, -0.3705, -0.3399, -0.3604, -0.3728, -0.3405, -0.3696, -0.3695, -0.394, -0.3809, -0.3796, -0.3982, -0.3982, -0.3945, -0.3771, -0.3067, -0.2294, -0.2294, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972707052217835614", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-29T16:56:27+00:00", "symbol": "VIRT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Risk reward just seems good to me after looking into it more", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish VIRT via options on low IV; risk/reward looks attractive.", "resolved_tickers": ["VIRT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@__visionxry__ IV is extremely low though options are a bit more illiquid for $VIRT. Spread isn't the worst I've seen. \n\nShares are safest bet but not going to return a 40%, I'm doing options since I like them on low IV stocks. Risk reward just seems good to me after looking into it more. https://t.co/Y5HqyhHixB", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What do you think of the idea of being slightly leveraged (maybe 10% of ports worth) seems like its worth it to pay the interest if you believe the trade is worth it", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "__visionxry__", "ret_m1d": -0.018399807113559707, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.018399807113559707, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015597316697436914, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015597316697436914, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010314987907446005, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010314987907446005, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01408185466655798, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01408185466655798, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "ret_p1w": -0.09673811713673042, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09673811713673042, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10868659851914309, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10868659851914309, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "ret_p1m": -0.036241910523391874, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.036241910523391874, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07146971726596119, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07146971726596119, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "ret_p3m": -0.05190284217825136, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05190284217825136, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0952068267904046, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0952068267904046, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "ret_p6m": 0.22316838376734394, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.22316838376734394, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.23338539017928583, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.23338539017928583, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "price_path": [0.2322, 0.2338, 0.2338, 0.243, 0.1864, 0.1923, 0.2211, 0.2186, 0.2419, 0.2244, 0.2374, 0.2508, 0.2286, 0.2064, 0.1817, 0.1973, 0.2133, 0.2253, 0.2031, 0.2208, 0.2416, 0.2236, 0.2022, 0.2034, 0.1889, 0.1767, 0.1767, 0.1765, 0.1654, 0.1673, 0.1596, 0.1596, 0.1582, 0.1493, 0.1415, 0.1479, 0.1526, 0.1657, 0.1751, 0.1964, 0.1845, 0.1751, 0.1687, 0.1687, 0.1528, 0.1558, 0.1271, 0.0842, 0.073, 0.0608, 0.0764, 0.0337, 0.0212, 0.01, -0.0131, -0.0195, -0.0184, -0.0112, -0.0279, -0.0237, -0.0176, -0.0226, -0.0184, 0.0, -0.0103, -0.0488, -0.0452, -0.0622, -0.0967, -0.0973, -0.0845, -0.0739, -0.0742, -0.0803, -0.0658, -0.0633, -0.0772, -0.0736, -0.08, -0.0714, -0.0686, -0.0672, -0.0647, -0.056, -0.0362, -0.0413, -0.0348, -0.0287, -0.0259, -0.0315, -0.0418, -0.0223, -0.0064, 0.0022, -0.0067, 0.0039, -0.0078, -0.0192, -0.0421, -0.0376, -0.0566, -0.0602, -0.0527, -0.0544, -0.0326, -0.0148, -0.0148, -0.0031, -0.0171, -0.0367, -0.0207, -0.005, -0.007, -0.0112, -0.0019, 0.004, -0.0393, -0.0539, -0.0631, -0.0499, -0.0547, -0.0581, -0.0502, -0.0673, -0.0631, -0.0519, -0.0519, -0.0424, -0.0373, -0.0466, -0.0648, -0.0648, -0.085, -0.0536, -0.069, -0.0763, -0.087, -0.0699, -0.048, -0.0443, -0.0126, 0.007, 0.0354, 0.0354, 0.0281, 0.0359, 0.0416, 0.043, 0.0528, 0.0564, 0.0522, 0.1412, 0.1651, 0.1098, 0.075, 0.0615, 0.0724, 0.0814, 0.1019, 0.1053, 0.0646, 0.055, 0.0761, 0.0761, 0.0969, 0.1047, 0.105, 0.1176, 0.1221, 0.1465, 0.1437, 0.1715, 0.169, 0.2062, 0.1755, 0.1591, 0.1543, 0.1577, 0.1839, 0.1588, 0.141, 0.1198, 0.1035, 0.097, 0.1249, 0.1258, 0.1173, 0.1752, 0.2105, 0.2232]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1953214112500203897", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-06T21:58:28+00:00", "symbol": "UPWK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's an easy low-risk hold until it trades $17-23. $UPWK is high profitable, growing margins, strong cash position and just raised guidance so selling at $13-$14 is stupid.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long UPWK to $17-23 target; profitable, growing margins, strong cash, raised guidance make selling here stupid.", "resolved_tickers": ["UPWK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Alan_24z It's an easy low-risk hold until it trades $17-23. There's too much open interest expiring in 8 days so expect shorting/gamma hedging.\n\n$UPWK is high profitable, growing margins, strong cash position and just raised guidance so selling at $13-$14 is stupid.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Holding to $17?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Alan_24z", "ret_m1d": -0.005857715141547204, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005857715141547204, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0017438369190068137, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0017438369190068137, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007601552060554018, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007601552060554018, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.13640168539393094, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.13640168539393094, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.13723930938995677, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.13723930938995677, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0008376239960258269, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0008376239960258269, "ret_p1w": 0.17907952949618933, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.17907952949618933, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15994180070718578, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15994180070718578, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01913772878900355, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01913772878900355, "ret_p1m": 0.4041841802905761, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4041841802905761, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3783617042444727, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3783617042444727, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.025822476046103437, "bench_c_p1m": 0.025822476046103437, "ret_p3m": 0.3079498212479119, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3079498212479119, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2250545195782767, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2250545195782767, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08289530166963521, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08289530166963521, "ret_p6m": 0.7589958822816327, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.7589958822816327, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.6558943000175887, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.6558943000175887, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10310158226404398, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10310158226404398, "price_path": [0.4126, 0.4561, 0.4644, 0.4552, 0.4301, 0.4427, 0.3849, 0.3774, 0.3573, 0.3573, 0.318, 0.318, 0.3238, 0.3054, 0.3063, 0.2962, 0.313, 0.2636, 0.2762, 0.2628, 0.2887, 0.2954, 0.2854, 0.2192, 0.2109, 0.1573, 0.149, 0.1347, 0.1197, 0.1197, 0.0996, 0.0937, 0.1155, 0.1197, 0.1356, 0.1406, 0.1247, 0.1314, 0.1264, 0.1414, 0.1414, 0.1255, 0.1297, 0.1464, 0.1222, 0.0812, 0.0845, 0.082, 0.1146, 0.1213, 0.1071, 0.1197, 0.1448, 0.1531, 0.1071, 0.0971, 0.0762, 0.0586, 0.01, 0.0008, -0.0167, 0.0075, -0.0059, 0.0, 0.1364, 0.1021, 0.1222, 0.1439, 0.1791, 0.1464, 0.1548, 0.1707, 0.1598, 0.1891, 0.2377, 0.2485, 0.2477, 0.2628, 0.2385, 0.2477, 0.2879, 0.2879, 0.3356, 0.3766, 0.4042, 0.3548, 0.3356, 0.3389, 0.3314, 0.3699, 0.4109, 0.405, 0.431, 0.518, 0.6402, 0.6795, 0.6176, 0.6452, 0.6669, 0.6151, 0.6025, 0.5908, 0.554, 0.482, 0.5197, 0.4452, 0.4561, 0.4301, 0.4946, 0.4586, 0.4059, 0.431, 0.4176, 0.4067, 0.4008, 0.3556, 0.395, 0.3941, 0.3397, 0.349, 0.3389, 0.349, 0.4536, 0.4126, 0.3649, 0.3339, 0.3079, 0.4812, 0.3707, 0.3515, 0.4603, 0.4728, 0.5021, 0.4259, 0.4268, 0.3791, 0.3548, 0.4293, 0.5197, 0.436, 0.4954, 0.5523, 0.6477, 0.6385, 0.6385, 0.6519, 0.6636, 0.718, 0.651, 0.6385, 0.6803, 0.6636, 0.7556, 0.7138, 0.8343, 0.8368, 0.7891, 0.7941, 0.6895, 0.713, 0.7238, 0.7816, 0.7423, 0.7548, 0.7548, 0.7448, 0.6987, 0.636, 0.6586, 0.6586, 0.6603, 0.7255, 0.6962, 0.7456, 0.7088, 0.6778, 0.7071, 0.6946, 0.682, 0.6862, 0.6628, 0.6628, 0.631, 0.6477, 0.7682, 0.8502, 0.8301, 0.7824, 0.7163, 0.759]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1995559972525294001", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-01T18:25:47+00:00", "symbol": "AMKR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "adding positions in $AMKR", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Adding AMKR; names MediaTek, CLS, JBL, and AMKR as TPU v7 supply chain beneficiaries.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMKR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@B38B37 Yeah memory is. Also needed to add MediaTek( I/o chiplet), $CLS, $JBL, and $AMKR (second source for packaging the TPU v7 modules) up there as beneficiaries. \n\nJust goes to show how large the supply chain is. \n\nAlso adding positions in $AMKR as @Mexicancik1 mentioned.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit SK Hynix looks sexy", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "B38B37", "ret_m1d": -0.03577110099991998, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03577110099991998, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.040357545862242716, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.040357545862242716, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07710654813056395, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07710654813056395, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07525424845648487, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07525424845648487, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "ret_p1w": 0.1871378369853911, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1871378369853911, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.18219858173113312, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.18219858173113312, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "ret_p1m": 0.07269889104796956, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07269889104796956, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.059806784255602485, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.059806784255602485, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "ret_p3m": 0.28830073671695144, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.28830073671695144, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2720324781024226, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2720324781024226, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "ret_p6m": 0.9542441090855804, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.9542441090855804, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.8445907295049104, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.8445907295049104, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "price_path": [-0.3694, -0.3564, -0.3471, -0.3421, -0.341, -0.3431, -0.3275, -0.3254, -0.3196, -0.2835, -0.2946, -0.2273, -0.2499, -0.2175, -0.2162, -0.222, -0.2273, -0.2308, -0.2443, -0.2475, -0.2191, -0.2146, -0.2215, -0.19, -0.2117, -0.1889, -0.1884, -0.2512, -0.1929, -0.2075, -0.1712, -0.1653, -0.1709, -0.1447, -0.1481, -0.1847, -0.1526, -0.1317, -0.1208, -0.1479, -0.1338, -0.1542, -0.1447, 0.0026, -0.066, -0.0315, -0.0686, -0.0784, -0.067, -0.0922, -0.0866, -0.1534, -0.1606, -0.1815, -0.1868, -0.1672, -0.2001, -0.1508, -0.1219, -0.1044, -0.0747, -0.0747, -0.0358, 0.0, 0.0771, 0.1664, 0.1465, 0.1478, 0.1871, 0.1845, 0.244, 0.249, 0.1765, 0.1659, 0.0695, 0.0321, 0.0435, 0.0724, 0.0831, 0.0849, 0.0823, 0.0823, 0.0777, 0.0645, 0.0727, 0.0483, 0.0483, 0.1396, 0.2779, 0.3618, 0.3998, 0.3541, 0.3884, 0.3695, 0.3794, 0.2923, 0.3064, 0.2745, 0.2745, 0.3024, 0.4195, 0.3926, 0.3199, 0.338, 0.3472, 0.3531, 0.3276, 0.2833, 0.2798, 0.2278, 0.1648, 0.1755, 0.3106, 0.3945, 0.4195, 0.4914, 0.3698, 0.2607, 0.2607, 0.2437, 0.241, 0.2835, 0.2729, 0.2498, 0.2886, 0.3526, 0.2883, 0.2697, 0.2694, 0.184, 0.2153, 0.1832, 0.1048, 0.1476, 0.1667, 0.1662, 0.0979, 0.1437, 0.1873, 0.2328, 0.2469, 0.2804, 0.2187, 0.2269, 0.3371, 0.3283, 0.2009, 0.1825, 0.0974, 0.1979, 0.2368, 0.2424, 0.2424, 0.2511, 0.2668, 0.3945, 0.4669, 0.5419, 0.6079, 0.6313, 0.5887, 0.6733, 0.7922, 0.8473, 0.8678, 0.9221, 0.9396, 1.0777, 1.0117, 0.8984, 0.8784, 0.8555, 0.8912, 0.8877, 1.0407, 1.0543, 0.9226, 1.038, 1.0402, 0.954, 0.9848, 0.9178, 0.8715, 0.7569, 0.7435, 0.822, 0.7531, 0.7491, 0.7491, 0.9542]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1995559972525294001", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-01T18:25:47+00:00", "symbol": "CLS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "needed to add MediaTek( I/o chiplet), $CLS, $JBL, and $AMKR (second source for packaging the TPU v7 modules) up there as beneficiaries", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Adding AMKR; names MediaTek, CLS, JBL, and AMKR as TPU v7 supply chain beneficiaries.", "resolved_tickers": ["CLS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Electronic Components'", "bench_c_industry": "Electronic Components", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@B38B37 Yeah memory is. Also needed to add MediaTek( I/o chiplet), $CLS, $JBL, and $AMKR (second source for packaging the TPU v7 modules) up there as beneficiaries. \n\nJust goes to show how large the supply chain is. \n\nAlso adding positions in $AMKR as @Mexicancik1 mentioned.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit SK Hynix looks sexy", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "B38B37", "ret_m1d": 0.08179165418944989, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08179165418944989, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07720520932712716, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08224563265667839, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00045397846722849966, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04422523098347564, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04422523098347564, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04607753065755471, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05452727200568819, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01030204102221255, "ret_p1w": 0.07032702513374756, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07032702513374756, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06538776987948958, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03921122557165302, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "bench_c_p1w": 0.031115799562094537, "ret_p1m": -0.05958476461866491, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05958476461866491, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07247687141103198, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07673548974453492, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "bench_c_p1m": 0.017150725125870014, "ret_p3m": -0.12315856411231685, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.12315856411231685, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1394268227268457, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10953098120140004, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "bench_c_p3m": -0.013627582910916813, "ret_p6m": 0.16480824834447616, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.16480824834447616, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.05515486876380615, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1318661456455672, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "bench_c_p6m": 0.29667439399004336, "price_path": [-0.3345, -0.3048, -0.2377, -0.2326, -0.2333, -0.2052, -0.2281, -0.2406, -0.2179, -0.201, -0.2221, -0.2083, -0.2055, -0.1997, -0.1908, -0.2447, -0.2316, -0.2343, -0.2275, -0.2261, -0.2094, -0.2119, -0.266, -0.2608, -0.2531, -0.1994, -0.184, -0.2345, -0.18, -0.2218, -0.1521, -0.121, -0.1316, -0.1409, -0.1686, -0.1491, -0.1119, -0.0683, -0.052, 0.0254, 0.0609, 0.0683, 0.082, 0.0962, 0.0547, 0.1075, 0.0703, 0.0117, 0.0824, 0.0424, 0.0509, -0.0805, -0.0235, -0.0283, -0.058, -0.0185, -0.1134, -0.1203, 0.0131, 0.0295, 0.0436, 0.0436, 0.0818, 0.0, -0.0442, -0.0313, 0.0139, 0.0211, 0.0703, 0.0743, 0.0951, 0.1038, -0.0373, -0.0483, -0.0927, -0.1336, -0.149, -0.0819, -0.0362, -0.0468, -0.0307, -0.0307, -0.0465, -0.0476, -0.0596, -0.0715, -0.0715, -0.0502, -0.0789, -0.042, -0.0393, -0.0935, -0.0505, -0.0115, 0.032, -0.0262, -0.0152, -0.015, -0.015, -0.0239, -0.027, -0.0862, -0.048, -0.0318, 0.0465, 0.0844, -0.0577, -0.1174, -0.1045, -0.0657, -0.1335, -0.0738, -0.034, 0.0026, -0.0642, -0.0713, -0.1369, -0.1184, -0.1184, -0.0996, -0.0847, -0.0849, -0.0807, -0.0681, -0.0692, -0.0766, -0.1232, -0.128, -0.1614, -0.1929, -0.1499, -0.165, -0.2163, -0.1584, -0.1544, -0.1651, -0.168, -0.1725, -0.1503, -0.1144, -0.1407, -0.107, -0.1548, -0.0986, -0.0529, -0.0507, -0.1413, -0.1198, -0.1919, -0.1152, -0.0931, -0.0739, -0.0739, -0.0819, -0.0661, 0.0073, 0.0313, 0.1035, 0.1479, 0.2072, 0.1997, 0.2009, 0.2439, 0.2599, 0.2659, 0.2619, 0.23, 0.2885, 0.3262, 0.1356, 0.1827, 0.2865, 0.3159, 0.3215, 0.3119, 0.3, 0.2099, 0.1796, 0.1967, 0.175, 0.1702, 0.1986, 0.1262, 0.0763, 0.0652, 0.0883, 0.1143, 0.1539, 0.1539, 0.1648]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1995559972525294001", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-12-01T18:25:47+00:00", "symbol": "JBL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "needed to add MediaTek( I/o chiplet), $CLS, $JBL, and $AMKR (second source for packaging the TPU v7 modules) up there as beneficiaries", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Adding AMKR; names MediaTek, CLS, JBL, and AMKR as TPU v7 supply chain beneficiaries.", "resolved_tickers": ["JBL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@B38B37 Yeah memory is. Also needed to add MediaTek( I/o chiplet), $CLS, $JBL, and $AMKR (second source for packaging the TPU v7 modules) up there as beneficiaries. \n\nJust goes to show how large the supply chain is. \n\nAlso adding positions in $AMKR as @Mexicancik1 mentioned.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit SK Hynix looks sexy", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "B38B37", "ret_m1d": 0.0034287752479666977, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0034287752479666977, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0011576696143560383, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0011576696143560383, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009809971649951787, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009809971649951787, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007957671975872715, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.007957671975872715, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "ret_p1w": 0.07347965469272033, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07347965469272033, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06854039943846235, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06854039943846235, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "ret_p1m": 0.10276677974017767, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10276677974017767, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0898746729478106, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0898746729478106, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "ret_p3m": 0.29527817639554965, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.29527817639554965, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2790099177810208, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2790099177810208, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "ret_p6m": 0.8117787710384272, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.8117787710384272, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.7021253914577572, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.7021253914577572, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "price_path": [-0.0327, -0.01, 0.0001, -0.0043, -0.0041, 0.0269, 0.02, 0.019, 0.0285, 0.0155, 0.017, 0.0629, 0.0679, 0.1102, 0.116, 0.0724, 0.0006, 0.0275, 0.0211, 0.0338, 0.0227, 0.0267, -0.038, -0.0375, -0.0355, -0.0169, -0.0255, -0.0766, -0.0484, -0.0451, -0.0152, -0.0016, -0.0035, -0.0288, -0.0426, -0.0539, -0.0167, 0.0113, 0.0055, 0.0212, 0.0583, 0.0543, 0.0515, 0.0487, -0.0041, 0.0384, 0.0237, 0.0173, 0.0437, 0.0048, 0.0184, -0.0393, -0.039, -0.0454, -0.0529, -0.0471, -0.0833, -0.0633, -0.0611, -0.0286, -0.0131, -0.0131, 0.0034, 0.0, 0.0098, 0.0193, 0.0416, 0.048, 0.0735, 0.0862, 0.0951, 0.1155, 0.059, 0.0534, 0.0122, 0.03, 0.0336, 0.0792, 0.0942, 0.1194, 0.1167, 0.1167, 0.1244, 0.119, 0.1028, 0.0859, 0.0859, 0.1448, 0.0641, 0.0685, 0.0689, 0.0563, 0.077, 0.0981, 0.1351, 0.1493, 0.2057, 0.1967, 0.1967, 0.1751, 0.2055, 0.1653, 0.1579, 0.1515, 0.1538, 0.1602, 0.1616, 0.1295, 0.1582, 0.1697, 0.1241, 0.1516, 0.2298, 0.2665, 0.2331, 0.2433, 0.1959, 0.2123, 0.2123, 0.2262, 0.2411, 0.2502, 0.2914, 0.2446, 0.2684, 0.3222, 0.2953, 0.2623, 0.2442, 0.2111, 0.2156, 0.2014, 0.1485, 0.1788, 0.1964, 0.2169, 0.2011, 0.194, 0.229, 0.2497, 0.2322, 0.2638, 0.2082, 0.2684, 0.3213, 0.3492, 0.2583, 0.2438, 0.1789, 0.2654, 0.2955, 0.2793, 0.2793, 0.2741, 0.2998, 0.3678, 0.3958, 0.4267, 0.4547, 0.4575, 0.4527, 0.4772, 0.5324, 0.5733, 0.5895, 0.6025, 0.6126, 0.6275, 0.6234, 0.576, 0.5904, 0.6077, 0.6314, 0.6234, 0.6066, 0.7737, 0.6654, 0.6918, 0.7399, 0.6711, 0.6931, 0.6879, 0.6191, 0.6139, 0.5861, 0.6445, 0.6982, 0.736, 0.736, 0.8118]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1995559972525294001", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-12-01T18:25:47+00:00", "symbol": "MediaTek", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "needed to add MediaTek( I/o chiplet), $CLS, $JBL, and $AMKR (second source for packaging the TPU v7 modules) up there as beneficiaries", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Adding AMKR; names MediaTek, CLS, JBL, and AMKR as TPU v7 supply chain beneficiaries.", "resolved_tickers": ["2454.TW"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "MediaTek Inc listed on TWSE as 2454.TW", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TW')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@B38B37 Yeah memory is. Also needed to add MediaTek( I/o chiplet), $CLS, $JBL, and $AMKR (second source for packaging the TPU v7 modules) up there as beneficiaries. \n\nJust goes to show how large the supply chain is. \n\nAlso adding positions in $AMKR as @Mexicancik1 mentioned.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit SK Hynix looks sexy", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "B38B37", "ret_m1d": -0.034602084765897656, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.034602084765897656, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03918852962822039, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.040527661448985786, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00592557668308813, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.020761285305668453, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.020761285305668453, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.022613584979747525, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.028557965748347458, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007796680442679005, "ret_p1w": -0.0034601998650573007, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0034601998650573007, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.00839945511931528, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.025914627096641163, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022454427231583862, "ret_p1m": -0.017301085440611264, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.017301085440611264, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03019319223297834, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.056393553454716416, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03909246801410515, "ret_p3m": 0.37211336049123633, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.37211336049123633, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3558451018767075, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.13029102463651077, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "bench_c_p3m": 0.24182233585472557, "ret_p6m": 2.0087729987121454, "ret_signed_p6m": 2.0087729987121454, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.8991196191314754, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.3428978523630126, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "bench_c_p6m": 0.6658751463491328, "price_path": [-0.0346, -0.0415, -0.0069, -0.0104, 0.045, 0.0311, 0.0242, 0.0277, 0.0277, 0.0623, 0.045, 0.045, -0.0035, -0.0277, -0.0484, -0.0796, -0.0692, -0.0934, -0.0934, -0.09, -0.1107, -0.1142, -0.0865, -0.0865, -0.083, -0.0761, -0.0692, -0.0692, -0.09, -0.0969, -0.09, -0.0796, -0.0796, -0.0727, -0.0727, -0.0796, -0.1038, -0.1038, -0.0761, -0.09, -0.1003, -0.0934, -0.0934, -0.1003, -0.09, -0.0796, -0.1073, -0.128, -0.1349, -0.1419, -0.1384, -0.1384, -0.1488, -0.1488, -0.1903, -0.1972, -0.1799, -0.2076, -0.2042, -0.1799, -0.1003, -0.0727, -0.0346, 0.0, -0.0208, -0.0311, -0.0277, -0.0138, -0.0035, -0.0173, 0.0104, -0.0346, -0.0277, -0.0173, -0.0173, -0.0138, -0.0173, -0.0242, -0.0311, -0.0381, -0.045, -0.045, -0.0415, -0.0173, -0.0173, -0.0104, -0.0104, 0.0173, 0.0554, 0.0476, 0.0511, 0.0194, 0.0017, 0.0194, 0.0476, 0.0582, 0.0511, 0.0617, 0.0476, 0.0476, 0.0335, 0.0476, 0.1499, 0.2487, 0.2522, 0.2557, 0.2557, 0.2416, 0.2028, 0.2663, 0.2698, 0.2487, 0.2063, 0.291, 0.3016, 0.3086, 0.3086, 0.3086, 0.3086, 0.3086, 0.3086, 0.3086, 0.3086, 0.2663, 0.2875, 0.3192, 0.3721, 0.3721, 0.3404, 0.2804, 0.2134, 0.2522, 0.2451, 0.1746, 0.2028, 0.2451, 0.2592, 0.2134, 0.2063, 0.2204, 0.2204, 0.1852, 0.1993, 0.1464, 0.1428, 0.1428, 0.1217, 0.1181, 0.0652, 0.0511, 0.0335, 0.0335, 0.0335, 0.0335, 0.037, 0.1146, 0.1111, 0.1111, 0.1428, 0.2134, 0.2628, 0.3368, 0.358, 0.3404, 0.4744, 0.619, 0.5626, 0.7178, 0.7178, 0.8448, 0.8166, 0.8412, 0.8412, 1.0247, 1.2257, 1.4197, 1.4127, 1.5608, 1.7372, 1.6102, 1.4656, 1.4021, 1.2998, 1.3986, 1.2257, 1.2786, 1.5044, 1.7231, 1.9947, 2.0088]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1965504562833572317", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-09T19:56:19+00:00", "symbol": "SG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Still down from $40 to $8 but should be able to recover to $10", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Expects SG to recover to $10 from current ~$8 level.", "resolved_tickers": ["SG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Restaurants'", "bench_c_industry": "Restaurants", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Not bad, 5.3%+ in one trading day $SG.\n\nStill down from $40 to $8 but should be able to recover to $10. \n\nOption flows are still a bit wonky next two weeks though. https://t.co/YC5rtbEDy9", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "While people are scared, bought $100k $SG on the drop to $8.22. \n\nNo news, down 8.2%+. Meanwhile markets and high beta stocks like $HOOD, $RKLB, $ALAB, $CREDO, $HIMS, $APP are rising.\n\nBest time to buy is on the extreme fear when retail are selling the shares they bought at $40 https://t.co/vBZhOJF1y0", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.054147494297730914, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.054147494297730914, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05184100089744059, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05554757938894084, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023064934002903215, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0014000850912099239, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0011519901907788288, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0011519901907788288, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0017388640882258777, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01311698116139548, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028908542790047065, "bench_c_p1d": -0.011964990970616651, "ret_p1w": 0.020737251748036645, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.020737251748036645, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.005867851293401172, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.006798818577361088, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014869400454635473, "bench_c_p1w": 0.027536070325397732, "ret_p1m": -0.10483874334735277, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10483874334735277, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14273663806755654, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10962020778869452, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03789789472020377, "bench_c_p1m": 0.004781464441341754, "ret_p3m": -0.22926269331680882, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22926269331680882, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2865582647340089, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2470501942332909, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0572955714172001, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01778750091648207, "ret_p6m": -0.3629032240343498, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3629032240343498, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4224569233822867, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.35425918645513355, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05955369934793686, "bench_c_p6m": -0.00864403757921628, "price_path": [0.5253, 0.4493, 0.4562, 0.409, 0.4159, 0.4159, 0.4136, 0.477, 0.5357, 0.4597, 0.5726, 0.5657, 0.7143, 0.6763, 0.659, 0.6924, 0.6924, 0.5242, 0.5495, 0.5357, 0.5795, 0.5714, 0.5622, 0.4977, 0.5058, 0.5657, 0.6486, 0.6129, 0.7535, 0.8733, 0.6463, 0.7028, 0.5806, 0.5161, 0.5369, 0.4839, 0.3744, 0.4309, 0.4355, 0.4194, 0.4585, 0.1221, 0.1037, 0.1118, 0.1071, 0.0541, 0.0588, 0.0691, 0.0876, 0.0392, 0.0346, 0.076, 0.0484, 0.053, 0.0415, 0.0668, 0.0484, 0.0484, 0.015, 0.0265, 0.0069, 0.0288, -0.0541, 0.0, 0.0012, 0.0012, -0.0219, -0.0323, 0.0207, 0.0035, -0.0058, -0.0104, 0.0219, -0.0392, -0.0415, -0.0588, -0.0611, -0.076, -0.0806, -0.0703, -0.0645, -0.0507, -0.0864, -0.106, -0.1048, -0.0864, -0.1325, -0.1348, -0.1141, -0.1359, -0.1509, -0.1578, -0.144, -0.0645, -0.0899, -0.1429, -0.1498, -0.1659, -0.197, -0.2005, -0.2776, -0.2753, -0.2615, -0.2615, -0.2546, -0.28, -0.3341, -0.3744, -0.3975, -0.3813, -0.3157, -0.2949, -0.341, -0.3145, -0.303, -0.303, -0.2235, -0.2535, -0.2097, -0.2362, -0.2362, -0.2523, -0.2615, -0.235, -0.1993, -0.2051, -0.2293, -0.25, -0.2051, -0.1935, -0.1717, -0.1636, -0.1647, -0.2039, -0.2177, -0.1866, -0.2108, -0.2235, -0.2327, -0.1912, -0.1912, -0.197, -0.2189, -0.2477, -0.2212, -0.2212, -0.2016, -0.1982, -0.1578, -0.1601, -0.1164, -0.0991, -0.0968, -0.1106, -0.0864, -0.068, -0.0818, -0.0818, -0.1947, -0.2016, -0.1889, -0.1751, -0.2327, -0.2546, -0.2581, -0.2938, -0.2926, -0.2938, -0.2984, -0.25, -0.3214, -0.2995, -0.3502, -0.3767, -0.3906, -0.409, -0.4078, -0.4078, -0.3917, -0.3145, -0.3041, -0.3329, -0.3767, -0.3767, -0.3249, -0.2926, -0.3606, -0.379, -0.3859, -0.3629]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1995671552025833927", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-02T01:49:10+00:00", "symbol": "SMCI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "~11 forward p/e for a company growing 60%+ Y/Y is extremely good value", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long SMCI: ~11x forward P/E for 60%+ Y/Y growth from $22B to $36B is extremely good value on AI capex/DC expansion.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMCI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is about forward revenue growth not current. \n\n$SMCI is growing from $22B to $36B in 1 year, which reflects the current AI capex + DC expansion, heavily into 2026.\n\n$DELL is a formidable competitor but it's not quite winner takes all since it's an expanding market. \n\nJust going off management projections, ~11 forward p/e for a company growing 60%+ Y/Y is extremely good value.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.014884620465411613, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.014884620465411613, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01673349546892422, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02508161166597278, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018488750035126067, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010196991200561167, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02308633592049847, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02308633592049847, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01962356812723809, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0207012307058152, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0034627677932603795, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0023851052146832696, "ret_p1w": 0.06379108158029512, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06379108158029512, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06157554785994224, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.040493465236337345, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00221553372035288, "bench_c_p1w": 0.023297616343957772, "ret_p1m": -0.11087478475696944, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11087478475696944, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11440357093378262, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10768343189520813, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.003528786176813181, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0031913528617613096, "ret_p3m": -0.01609959929453586, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.01609959929453586, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.02561786504113628, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.02316440724853086, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.009518265746600418, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03926400654306672, "ret_p6m": 0.1600850774874909, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1600850774874909, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.05267514889902691, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.11844513580214011, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10740992858846399, "bench_c_p6m": 0.278530213289631, "price_path": [0.2363, 0.2275, 0.2163, 0.3038, 0.3338, 0.3351, 0.367, 0.3785, 0.3642, 0.3639, 0.3955, 0.3916, 0.4238, 0.4274, 0.4034, 0.4046, 0.3919, 0.4083, 0.4563, 0.5914, 0.5948, 0.5784, 0.6592, 0.6728, 0.7825, 0.7612, 0.6057, 0.6631, 0.6133, 0.6385, 0.6355, 0.5851, 0.6719, 0.6652, 0.5948, 0.4557, 0.4669, 0.5665, 0.5905, 0.6005, 0.5301, 0.5784, 0.5416, 0.4399, 0.2767, 0.2254, 0.2078, 0.2208, 0.1792, 0.1516, 0.0659, 0.1063, 0.0358, 0.0601, 0.0246, -0.0413, -0.0222, 0.0122, -0.0134, -0.0027, -0.0027, 0.0283, 0.0149, 0.0, 0.0231, 0.0398, 0.0538, 0.0744, 0.0638, 0.0601, 0.0334, -0.0179, -0.0471, -0.0383, -0.0936, -0.1078, -0.055, -0.0562, -0.0656, -0.072, -0.072, -0.0693, -0.0863, -0.0993, -0.1109, -0.1109, -0.0595, -0.0866, -0.0723, -0.0884, -0.0917, -0.0838, -0.0851, -0.1312, -0.1413, -0.1063, -0.0085, -0.0085, -0.0459, -0.0207, -0.0143, -0.0371, -0.0644, -0.0522, -0.0519, -0.0851, -0.1157, -0.0975, -0.0987, 0.0255, -0.0629, 0.0444, 0.0185, 0.0125, -0.0267, -0.0756, -0.0723, -0.0723, -0.0854, -0.0975, -0.0231, -0.0152, -0.0671, -0.0544, 0.0207, -0.0194, -0.0161, -0.0331, -0.068, -0.0082, -0.0207, -0.0489, -0.0286, -0.0343, -0.0343, -0.0614, -0.0659, -0.0322, -0.0428, -0.0781, -0.0647, -0.3764, -0.3445, -0.3247, -0.2694, -0.3253, -0.3326, -0.3603, -0.3083, -0.3162, -0.2947, -0.2947, -0.3302, -0.3114, -0.2901, -0.2947, -0.2327, -0.2111, -0.1738, -0.171, -0.1373, -0.1324, -0.1248, -0.1364, -0.1136, -0.1874, -0.1166, -0.154, -0.1722, -0.2005, -0.1677, -0.1771, -0.1519, -0.1546, 0.0529, 0.0213, 0.0744, 0.0182, -0.0039, -0.0279, 0.0033, -0.0571, -0.0629, -0.0717, 0.0164, 0.0164, 0.0808, 0.0808, 0.127, 0.1601]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1970587170542059531", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-23T20:32:47+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm on the $NBIS train though.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author is currently long NBIS.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SCurveCapital Yeah you were right about $IREN, congrats. I bought 1 share when we were holding $UPWK back at $12 and it was up an enormous amount. \n\nI'm on the $NBIS train though.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$IREN is officially my fourth 10x 🎉🍾\n\nTruly life-changing money. Been a helluva ride the last few years, gentleman!\n\nHere’s to hopefully many more decades of finding alpha together🥂", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SCurveCapital", "ret_m1d": -0.011131767566468054, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011131767566468054, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01660512855923091, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012567412585063775, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005473360992762855, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0014356450185957215, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05037105891888216, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05037105891888216, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05355269237149585, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05864740103362831, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003181633452613686, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008276342114746149, "ret_p1w": 0.041465616556267015, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.041465616556267015, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03698748783357497, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.041803468787482756, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004478128722692043, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0003378522312157406, "ret_p1m": -0.08515769986359101, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08515769986359101, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09207851156514568, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.061764383384825705, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006920811701554674, "bench_c_p1m": -0.023393316478765303, "ret_p3m": -0.17012990211586176, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17012990211586176, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.199368054728571, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15416836202068085, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029238152612709234, "bench_c_p3m": -0.015961540095180915, "ret_p6m": 0.09981441746035724, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.09981441746035724, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.09955147178200963, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.13682175222581228, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.00026294567834761473, "bench_c_p6m": -0.037007334765455036, "price_path": [-0.5121, -0.5191, -0.4867, -0.5333, -0.5365, -0.5339, -0.5339, -0.5562, -0.5631, -0.5728, -0.5693, -0.5891, -0.5181, -0.5034, -0.5055, -0.5019, -0.5103, -0.5142, -0.5268, -0.5187, -0.5161, -0.5235, -0.5107, -0.5325, -0.5242, -0.4951, -0.5176, -0.4975, -0.4882, -0.489, -0.3942, -0.362, -0.3484, -0.3012, -0.3448, -0.3649, -0.3356, -0.3271, -0.3767, -0.3741, -0.3861, -0.3601, -0.3505, -0.3462, -0.3497, -0.3317, -0.3662, -0.3662, -0.3904, -0.391, -0.3979, -0.3927, -0.4058, -0.1121, -0.1337, -0.1726, -0.1613, -0.1562, -0.1704, -0.1273, -0.1269, -0.0788, -0.0111, 0.0, 0.0504, 0.0013, -0.0009, 0.0224, 0.0415, 0.0724, 0.1676, 0.1872, 0.159, 0.0918, 0.1317, 0.2304, 0.202, 0.2566, 0.1888, 0.1673, 0.1414, 0.0523, 0.0111, -0.0327, -0.0852, -0.0152, 0.0878, 0.1635, 0.1301, 0.1605, 0.1519, 0.2135, 0.1175, 0.0254, 0.0853, 0.0152, 0.0323, 0.0199, -0.0518, -0.1247, -0.1778, -0.225, -0.2024, -0.1601, -0.1181, -0.2148, -0.2276, -0.1475, -0.1755, -0.1216, -0.1216, -0.1199, -0.071, -0.1053, -0.0824, -0.0464, -0.0905, -0.0693, -0.1057, -0.1318, -0.1254, -0.1865, -0.2473, -0.2491, -0.3001, -0.2756, -0.1701, -0.1352, -0.1648, -0.1546, -0.1546, -0.1875, -0.2019, -0.2099, -0.2235, -0.2235, -0.1656, -0.1389, -0.0701, -0.1075, -0.0974, -0.0916, -0.0044, -0.022, -0.054, -0.0363, 0.0086, 0.0086, -0.0789, -0.0828, -0.1016, -0.1234, -0.1516, -0.0921, -0.0684, -0.1196, -0.2097, -0.1822, -0.1656, -0.2357, -0.3147, -0.2013, -0.1384, -0.1485, -0.178, -0.1676, -0.0908, -0.0908, -0.0954, -0.0557, -0.0018, -0.0917, -0.0667, -0.0484, -0.0156, -0.0271, -0.1541, -0.1558, -0.1948, -0.0929, -0.1127, -0.1713, -0.1193, -0.1055, 0.0389, 0.0022, 0.0478, 0.2045, 0.0791, 0.0998]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1962880256576242129", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-02T14:08:16+00:00", "symbol": "MRVL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Perfect time to DCA into Marvell positions over the next month", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Buying the 18% post-earnings dip in MRVL via DCA over next month; drop viewed as overreaction.", "resolved_tickers": ["MRVL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$MRVL 18% drop after earnings was a complete overreaction.\n\nPerfect time to DCA into Marvell positions over the next month.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02678015092055286, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02678015092055286, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03424576891225295, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03424576891225295, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007465617991700091, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007465617991700091, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03544884156749695, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03544884156749695, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04086840128090463, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04086840128090463, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0054195597134076845, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0054195597134076845, "ret_p1w": 0.03467488091229143, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03467488091229143, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.018962733807594168, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.018962733807594168, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01571214710469726, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01571214710469726, "ret_p1m": 0.2986068234908241, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2986068234908241, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.25169966606498706, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.25169966606498706, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.046907157425837065, "bench_c_p1m": 0.046907157425837065, "ret_p3m": 0.38481735546127993, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.38481735546127993, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.31451160900138464, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.31451160900138464, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07030574645989529, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07030574645989529, "ret_p6m": 0.25436280236942466, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.25436280236942466, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.16556331550388248, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.16556331550388248, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08879948686554218, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08879948686554218, "price_path": [0.0078, 0.0572, 0.0694, 0.0648, 0.0555, 0.0771, 0.0392, 0.0892, 0.0826, 0.1593, 0.1593, 0.137, 0.0948, 0.1633, 0.1744, 0.2369, 0.1935, 0.1972, 0.1792, 0.1484, 0.1628, 0.1628, 0.1067, 0.1129, 0.1177, 0.1347, 0.1255, 0.1224, 0.1209, 0.0967, 0.1147, 0.1556, 0.131, 0.1144, 0.1342, 0.1461, 0.1488, 0.1751, 0.1817, 0.2653, 0.2441, 0.1525, 0.1847, 0.1862, 0.1659, 0.1741, 0.1972, 0.1963, 0.2045, 0.2279, 0.2235, 0.1794, 0.1879, 0.1156, 0.1025, 0.1023, 0.13, 0.1293, 0.1495, 0.1577, 0.1955, -0.0268, -0.0268, 0.0, -0.0354, -0.0077, -0.0197, 0.0217, 0.0347, 0.0387, 0.0308, 0.0426, 0.0438, 0.0659, 0.0988, 0.1491, 0.1495, 0.1692, 0.1551, 0.2398, 0.2974, 0.2875, 0.2754, 0.3014, 0.2986, 0.3344, 0.3347, 0.3765, 0.3463, 0.4319, 0.4037, 0.3261, 0.3847, 0.3356, 0.3769, 0.3667, 0.3624, 0.3297, 0.3052, 0.2555, 0.2821, 0.3032, 0.3741, 0.3703, 0.3964, 0.372, 0.452, 0.3998, 0.3568, 0.439, 0.4457, 0.4084, 0.4441, 0.3837, 0.3837, 0.3557, 0.3391, 0.2927, 0.2188, 0.2597, 0.1878, 0.1997, 0.2979, 0.2923, 0.3588, 0.3588, 0.3848, 0.4112, 0.4389, 0.5521, 0.521, 0.5321, 0.4251, 0.3771, 0.4324, 0.3853, 0.3078, 0.3052, 0.3023, 0.2655, 0.3085, 0.3026, 0.3136, 0.3582, 0.3397, 0.3397, 0.3374, 0.3284, 0.3439, 0.3164, 0.3164, 0.3847, 0.3977, 0.3667, 0.3111, 0.2927, 0.29, 0.2849, 0.2874, 0.2589, 0.246, 0.2472, 0.2472, 0.237, 0.2796, 0.2882, 0.2437, 0.2675, 0.2855, 0.2962, 0.2609, 0.2234, 0.2193, 0.171, 0.1429, 0.1503, 0.2444, 0.2765, 0.2713, 0.2609, 0.2127, 0.2186, 0.2186, 0.2248, 0.226, 0.2341, 0.232, 0.2058, 0.2151, 0.2544]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1975620920514650366", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-07T17:55:07+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS is the clear winner from news like this since they have a diversified customer base which would offset any buildout/revenue lag. And probably the best software orchestration stack to maximize GPU utilization", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS as clear winner on diversified customer base offsetting buildout lag plus best-in-class GPU orchestration software.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@babyfolio $NBIS is the clear winner from news like this since they have a diversified customer base which would offset any buildout/revenue lag. \n\nAnd probably the best software orchestration stack to maximize GPU utilization", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Aa much as I want to diverse, my conviction at the moment won't let me buy anything that's not $NBIS", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "babyfolio", "ret_m1d": 0.06151236772204682, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06151236772204682, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05779107882132184, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05763499988358456, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003721288900724984, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0038773678384622645, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.036533586773572324, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.036533586773572324, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030570534360780055, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04066930907077948, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005963052412792269, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004135722297207156, "ret_p1w": 0.08878502310274072, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08878502310274072, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09908216387038948, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10145087525266994, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01029714076764876, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012665852149929213, "ret_p1m": -0.005947297930262496, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.005947297930262496, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01859078175754003, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.016799472423983497, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012643483827277535, "bench_c_p1m": -0.022746770354245993, "ret_p3m": -0.23576891010628387, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.23576891010628387, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2597835850019543, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24626742967899928, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02401467489567044, "bench_c_p3m": 0.010498519572715415, "ret_p6m": -0.13381478681708003, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13381478681708003, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.11864699122642897, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.09845601848176999, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.015167795590651068, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03535876833531004, "price_path": [-0.6055, -0.6236, -0.5586, -0.5452, -0.5471, -0.5438, -0.5515, -0.5551, -0.5666, -0.5592, -0.5568, -0.5636, -0.5518, -0.5718, -0.5642, -0.5376, -0.5582, -0.5398, -0.5313, -0.5319, -0.4451, -0.4156, -0.4032, -0.36, -0.3999, -0.4184, -0.3915, -0.3837, -0.4291, -0.4268, -0.4377, -0.4139, -0.4051, -0.4012, -0.4044, -0.3879, -0.4195, -0.4195, -0.4416, -0.4422, -0.4485, -0.4438, -0.4557, -0.1867, -0.2065, -0.2422, -0.2319, -0.2272, -0.2402, -0.2007, -0.2003, -0.1562, -0.0943, -0.0841, -0.038, -0.0829, -0.085, -0.0636, -0.0461, -0.0178, 0.0694, 0.0873, 0.0615, 0.0, 0.0365, 0.1269, 0.1009, 0.1509, 0.0888, 0.0691, 0.0454, -0.0362, -0.0739, -0.114, -0.1621, -0.098, -0.0037, 0.0657, 0.0351, 0.0629, 0.0551, 0.1115, 0.0235, -0.0608, -0.0059, -0.0702, -0.0545, -0.0658, -0.1315, -0.1983, -0.247, -0.2902, -0.2695, -0.2308, -0.1923, -0.2809, -0.2926, -0.2192, -0.2449, -0.1955, -0.1955, -0.194, -0.1491, -0.1805, -0.1596, -0.1266, -0.167, -0.1476, -0.1809, -0.2048, -0.199, -0.255, -0.3106, -0.3122, -0.359, -0.3365, -0.2399, -0.2079, -0.2351, -0.2257, -0.2257, -0.2558, -0.269, -0.2764, -0.2888, -0.2888, -0.2358, -0.2113, -0.1483, -0.1826, -0.1733, -0.168, -0.0881, -0.1042, -0.1336, -0.1174, -0.0762, -0.0762, -0.1564, -0.16, -0.1771, -0.1971, -0.2229, -0.1685, -0.1467, -0.1936, -0.2762, -0.251, -0.2358, -0.3, -0.3724, -0.2685, -0.2109, -0.2201, -0.2472, -0.2376, -0.1673, -0.1673, -0.1715, -0.1351, -0.0857, -0.1681, -0.1452, -0.1285, -0.0984, -0.1089, -0.2252, -0.2268, -0.2625, -0.1692, -0.1873, -0.241, -0.1934, -0.1807, -0.0485, -0.0821, -0.0404, 0.1032, -0.0116, 0.0073, 0.0325, -0.0007, -0.0302, -0.0237, -0.0222, -0.0997, -0.1434, -0.2161, -0.1184, -0.1338]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2011333482144731617", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-14T07:04:05+00:00", "symbol": "UMAC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$UMAC is a great long", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long both UMAC and AIRO; prefers AIRO on $520M MC, $133M cash, no debt, 40% margins, 55%+ growth as AVAV supplier.", "resolved_tickers": ["UMAC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Great choice. $UMAC is a great long. I ended up going with $AIRO when I looked into it earlier but it’s rare you have a $520m mc manufacturer that has\n\n- $133m cash, no debt\n-  40% gross margins\n- growing 55%+ y/y\n\nAs a supplier to $AVAV through $RCAT. Similar to $POET $MRVL situation. \n\nSo lot of upside, I still like $AIRO a lot more personally but to each their own!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $UMAC delivers parts to the guys like $LPTH, $RCAT, $ONDS", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "grigory_azaryan", "ret_m1d": -0.09316399585944979, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09316399585944979, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09810351209572243, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.10546528598033411, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004939516236272645, "bench_c_m1d": 0.012301290120884323, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05626124375049102, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05626124375049102, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05353802935396157, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.051008945830557595, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027232143965294497, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005252297919933424, "ret_p1w": 0.02540835201738756, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02540835201738756, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03259298201732019, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.031559049868988054, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007184629999932635, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006150697851600495, "ret_p1m": -0.2825166869921021, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2825166869921021, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2693497264142608, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.24457620944539593, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01316696057784128, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03794047754670615, "ret_p3m": -0.15305508660320144, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15305508660320144, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.14959854225393776, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1605951421585048, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0034565443492636794, "bench_c_p3m": 0.007540055555303349, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2535, -0.2281, -0.2456, -0.294, -0.2813, -0.2232, -0.0847, -0.1525, -0.0381, -0.0889, -0.0944, -0.1857, -0.2692, -0.2795, -0.3497, -0.3593, -0.3055, -0.343, -0.3509, -0.4162, -0.4344, -0.4809, -0.4525, -0.4743, -0.5306, -0.5233, -0.4864, -0.4912, -0.4852, -0.4852, -0.4707, -0.4888, -0.4555, -0.3763, -0.3382, -0.3545, -0.3291, -0.3164, -0.3636, -0.3418, -0.3938, -0.4501, -0.4374, -0.4743, -0.464, -0.4041, -0.2795, -0.2129, -0.2093, -0.2093, -0.2613, -0.297, -0.2795, -0.2293, -0.2293, -0.1791, -0.0623, -0.0321, -0.1119, -0.0871, -0.1428, -0.1083, -0.0932, 0.0, 0.0563, 0.1198, 0.1198, 0.1295, 0.0254, 0.1071, 0.0103, -0.0786, -0.0145, -0.0169, -0.0756, -0.1621, -0.1779, -0.0678, -0.2299, -0.3291, -0.2275, -0.1573, -0.2377, -0.2698, -0.2825, -0.2789, -0.2789, -0.2656, -0.1894, -0.1252, -0.1869, -0.1645, -0.1948, -0.1869, -0.1676, -0.1742, -0.1404, -0.1609, -0.1119, -0.0768, -0.0048, 0.0454, 0.1192, 0.2002, 0.34, 0.2341, 0.1258, 0.265, 0.2166, 0.1252, -0.1004, -0.0327, -0.0871, -0.101, -0.1869, -0.2874, -0.3285, -0.2498, -0.2535, -0.1773, -0.1773, -0.1706, -0.2045, -0.2226, -0.2492, -0.1712, -0.1531, -0.1537, -0.0672, -0.0375, -0.1476, -0.0659, -0.0702, -0.0048, -0.0242, -0.1137, -0.1034, -0.1234, -0.1688, -0.1174, -0.1416, -0.1645, -0.1779, -0.1373, -0.1833, -0.1881, -0.072, -0.1458, -0.0944, 0.0242, -0.02, -0.1258, -0.1736, -0.1307, -0.1047, 0.0151, 0.0151, 0.0454, 0.1391, 0.7907, 0.9226, 0.9226, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2011333482144731617", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-14T07:04:05+00:00", "symbol": "AIRO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I still like $AIRO a lot more personally", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long both UMAC and AIRO; prefers AIRO on $520M MC, $133M cash, no debt, 40% margins, 55%+ growth as AVAV supplier.", "resolved_tickers": ["AIRO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Great choice. $UMAC is a great long. I ended up going with $AIRO when I looked into it earlier but it’s rare you have a $520m mc manufacturer that has\n\n- $133m cash, no debt\n-  40% gross margins\n- growing 55%+ y/y\n\nAs a supplier to $AVAV through $RCAT. Similar to $POET $MRVL situation. \n\nSo lot of upside, I still like $AIRO a lot more personally but to each their own!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $UMAC delivers parts to the guys like $LPTH, $RCAT, $ONDS", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "grigory_azaryan", "ret_m1d": -0.02645498411984437, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02645498411984437, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03139450035611702, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.024872095156063256, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004939516236272645, "bench_c_m1d": -0.001582888963781115, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.002267553591020044, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.002267553591020044, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004990767987549494, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011459636556645836, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027232143965294497, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009192082965625792, "ret_p1w": -0.08012089966884506, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08012089966884506, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07293626966891242, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0928438133395918, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007184629999932635, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012722913670746738, "ret_p1m": -0.3114134563955291, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3114134563955291, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2982464958176878, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.36303568238098993, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01316696057784128, "bench_c_p1m": 0.051622225985460846, "ret_p3m": -0.40589566096192076, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.40589566096192076, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4024391166126571, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4603507486649424, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0034565443492636794, "bench_c_p3m": 0.054455087703021654, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3228, 0.381, 0.359, 0.2925, 0.3039, 0.3212, 0.3099, 0.2714, 0.2698, 0.2358, 0.2366, 0.2305, 0.0786, 0.0729, -0.0083, 0.0181, 0.0431, 0.0302, 0.0106, -0.0363, -0.2366, -0.2192, -0.2547, -0.3296, -0.4059, -0.3961, -0.4051, -0.4074, -0.3772, -0.3772, -0.3462, -0.381, -0.3741, -0.3386, -0.2751, -0.2834, -0.2661, -0.2744, -0.2649, -0.2668, -0.3575, -0.3983, -0.4187, -0.4399, -0.4392, -0.393, -0.3122, -0.3046, -0.2933, -0.2933, -0.3394, -0.3726, -0.384, -0.3817, -0.3817, -0.3016, -0.2351, -0.1572, -0.1882, -0.0967, -0.0559, -0.0567, -0.0265, 0.0, -0.0023, 0.0106, 0.0106, -0.0378, -0.0801, -0.0529, -0.0786, -0.1345, -0.1156, -0.1421, -0.1746, -0.2222, -0.2404, -0.2298, -0.2782, -0.359, -0.2714, -0.2366, -0.2797, -0.3039, -0.3114, -0.3046, -0.3046, -0.3084, -0.2925, -0.2283, -0.2963, -0.2706, -0.2389, -0.2517, -0.2313, -0.2593, -0.1912, -0.2396, -0.2381, -0.226, -0.2381, -0.2026, -0.189, -0.2063, -0.2313, -0.26, -0.2389, -0.1973, -0.2457, -0.2472, -0.3061, -0.263, -0.2819, -0.288, -0.3152, -0.3515, -0.3522, -0.4252, -0.3787, -0.3416, -0.3416, -0.3386, -0.3394, -0.3333, -0.3893, -0.4044, -0.4059, -0.3893, -0.3681, -0.3462, -0.39, -0.3507, -0.3651, -0.3424, -0.3764, -0.4006, -0.3787, -0.3983, -0.4331, -0.4225, -0.4392, -0.4528, -0.4596, -0.4384, -0.4543, -0.4452, -0.4006, -0.4082, -0.4082, -0.5, -0.5185, -0.5457, -0.5578, -0.548, -0.5268, -0.5042, -0.5042, -0.4709, -0.449, -0.328, -0.3212, -0.3212, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1965416969500520744", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-09T14:08:15+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Huge buying opportunity for $NBIS imo, even despite all time highs. They just tripled their revenue with a 17 Billion Dollar deal and it's only up 25.67% this week. And yes I bought $100k worth of $NBIS since a 35% increase after 300%+ ARR is completely not priced in.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long NBIS; bought $100k, argues 300%+ ARR tripling revenue is not priced in at only +25% on the week; expects another rally ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Huge buying opportunity for $NBIS imo, even despite all time highs.\n\nThey just tripled their revenue with a 17 Billion Dollar deal and it’s only up 25.67% this week.\n\nProbably short to scare of calls/short term holders then another rally down the road. https://t.co/IBXJa46X1Q\n\n---\n\nAnd yes I bought $100k worth of $NBIS since a 35% increase after 300%+ ARR is completely not priced in. https://t.co/TX2gBVlrMy", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.3307564067943376, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.3307564067943376, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.3284499133940473, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.3251272748805889, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023064934002903215, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005629131913748697, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02434184915733928, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02434184915733928, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.027232703436343986, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016980676654744786, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028908542790047065, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007361172502594493, "ret_p1w": -0.06571250350304936, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06571250350304936, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08058190395768483, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09212625594269352, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014869400454635473, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026413752439644167, "ret_p1m": 0.27455075683401486, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.27455075683401486, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2366528621138111, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2701072145774561, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03789789472020377, "bench_c_p1m": 0.004443542256558741, "ret_p3m": 0.024237355466335098, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.024237355466335098, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.033058215950865, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.006323587545360443, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0572955714172001, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017913767920974655, "ret_p6m": 0.02152107743755649, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.02152107743755649, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.03803262191038037, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.014160920550938316, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05955369934793686, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03568199798849481, "price_path": [-0.4747, -0.5076, -0.4728, -0.4951, -0.4952, -0.4952, -0.4989, -0.504, -0.467, -0.4931, -0.4505, -0.4584, -0.422, -0.4744, -0.478, -0.475, -0.475, -0.5002, -0.5079, -0.5189, -0.5149, -0.5372, -0.4573, -0.4408, -0.4431, -0.4391, -0.4485, -0.4529, -0.4671, -0.458, -0.4551, -0.4633, -0.4489, -0.4735, -0.4642, -0.4314, -0.4567, -0.4341, -0.4236, -0.4245, -0.3177, -0.2814, -0.2662, -0.213, -0.2621, -0.2848, -0.2518, -0.2422, -0.2981, -0.2951, -0.3086, -0.2794, -0.2685, -0.2637, -0.2677, -0.2474, -0.2863, -0.2863, -0.3134, -0.3141, -0.3219, -0.316, -0.3308, 0.0, -0.0243, -0.0682, -0.0555, -0.0497, -0.0657, -0.0171, -0.0167, 0.0375, 0.1137, 0.1262, 0.1829, 0.1277, 0.1252, 0.1515, 0.1729, 0.2078, 0.315, 0.337, 0.3053, 0.2296, 0.2746, 0.3857, 0.3537, 0.4152, 0.3388, 0.3146, 0.2854, 0.1851, 0.1387, 0.0894, 0.0303, 0.1091, 0.225, 0.3104, 0.2728, 0.3069, 0.2973, 0.3667, 0.2586, 0.1548, 0.2223, 0.1433, 0.1626, 0.1487, 0.0679, -0.0142, -0.0741, -0.1272, -0.1018, -0.0541, -0.0068, -0.1158, -0.1302, -0.0399, -0.0715, -0.0108, -0.0108, -0.0089, 0.0463, 0.0076, 0.0334, 0.074, 0.0242, 0.0482, 0.0072, -0.0223, -0.015, -0.0839, -0.1523, -0.1543, -0.2118, -0.1842, -0.0654, -0.026, -0.0594, -0.048, -0.048, -0.0849, -0.1011, -0.1102, -0.1255, -0.1255, -0.0603, -0.0302, 0.0472, 0.0051, 0.0165, 0.0231, 0.1213, 0.1014, 0.0654, 0.0853, 0.1359, 0.1359, 0.0373, 0.0329, 0.0118, -0.0127, -0.0445, 0.0225, 0.0492, -0.0085, -0.11, -0.079, -0.0603, -0.1393, -0.2283, -0.1005, -0.0297, -0.0411, -0.0743, -0.0626, 0.0239, 0.0239, 0.0188, 0.0635, 0.1242, 0.023, 0.0511, 0.0717, 0.1087, 0.0957, -0.0473, -0.0492, -0.0932, 0.0215]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2002045564213764291", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-19T15:57:13+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Nothings fundamentally changed (aside from improving) about companies like $NBIS. Aside from the sentiment flipping the switch.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish NBIS on improving fundamentals + likely 2026 hyperscaler acquisition per Wedbush's Dan Ives.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Nothings fundamentally changed (aside from improving) about companies like $NBIS. Aside from the sentiment flipping the switch. \n\nBut suddenly we have people like Dan Ives from Wedbush going out and saying \"Nebius likely gets acquired by a hyperscaler like $GOOGL, $MSFT, $AMZN \" in 2026, which is incredibly bullish.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Bears will start coming out the wood work babbling about dead cats now", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PositionJournal", "ret_m1d": -0.12709594078852937, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.12709594078852937, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1181139035142077, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12666687420637124, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008982037274321675, "bench_c_m1d": -0.000429066582158133, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0421417875144523, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0421417875144523, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03591189523613214, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.037698961542632414, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006229892278320159, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004442825971819886, "ret_p1w": -0.02090322787524601, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02090322787524601, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03518488655764973, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03662514739168643, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01428165868240372, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01572191951644042, "ret_p1m": 0.21540358226770406, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21540358226770406, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.19913836487522674, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2237897218948398, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.016265217392477327, "bench_c_p1m": -0.008386139627135747, "ret_p3m": 0.32528502986729757, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.32528502986729757, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.35343712164587027, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3466721966578209, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.028152091778572697, "bench_c_p3m": -0.021387166790523326, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.205, 0.2657, 0.2066, 0.2039, 0.2321, 0.255, 0.2923, 0.407, 0.4306, 0.3966, 0.3157, 0.3637, 0.4827, 0.4485, 0.5142, 0.4325, 0.4066, 0.3754, 0.2681, 0.2184, 0.1657, 0.1024, 0.1867, 0.3108, 0.4021, 0.3618, 0.3984, 0.3881, 0.4623, 0.3466, 0.2356, 0.3078, 0.2233, 0.2439, 0.229, 0.1426, 0.0548, -0.0093, -0.0662, -0.0389, 0.0121, 0.0627, -0.0539, -0.0693, 0.0273, -0.0065, 0.0585, 0.0585, 0.0605, 0.1195, 0.0781, 0.1057, 0.1491, 0.0959, 0.1215, 0.0777, 0.0462, 0.0539, -0.0198, -0.093, -0.0951, -0.1566, -0.1271, 0.0, 0.0421, 0.0064, 0.0187, 0.0187, -0.0209, -0.0382, -0.048, -0.0643, -0.0643, 0.0055, 0.0377, 0.1205, 0.0755, 0.0876, 0.0947, 0.1998, 0.1785, 0.14, 0.1612, 0.2154, 0.2154, 0.1099, 0.1052, 0.0826, 0.0563, 0.0224, 0.094, 0.1226, 0.0609, -0.0477, -0.0145, 0.0055, -0.079, -0.1743, -0.0376, 0.0382, 0.026, -0.0095, 0.003, 0.0956, 0.0956, 0.0901, 0.1379, 0.2029, 0.0946, 0.1246, 0.1467, 0.1862, 0.1724, 0.0193, 0.0173, -0.0297, 0.093, 0.0692, -0.0015, 0.0613, 0.0779, 0.2519, 0.2077, 0.2626, 0.4515, 0.3004, 0.3253, 0.3584, 0.3148, 0.276, 0.2845, 0.2865, 0.1846, 0.127, 0.0313, 0.1598, 0.1396, 0.2164, 0.2164, 0.258, 0.3123, 0.3973, 0.5239, 0.6205, 0.7277, 0.8102, 0.8642, 0.8482, 0.7565, 0.7791, 0.7499, 0.7454, 0.7559, 0.645, 0.6204, 0.5148, 0.5782, 0.5452, 0.7269, 0.9721, 0.9665, 1.1808, 1.0654, 0.9791, 1.0803, 1.0021, 1.3169, 1.4721, 1.4585, 1.2341, 1.2103, 1.1442, 1.4584, 1.4007, 1.4007, 1.3257, 1.3292, 1.5301, 1.5832, 1.5832, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2002045564213764291", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-19T15:57:13+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Nebius likely gets acquired by a hyperscaler like $GOOGL, $MSFT, $AMZN in 2026, which is incredibly bullish", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish NBIS on improving fundamentals + likely 2026 hyperscaler acquisition per Wedbush's Dan Ives.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Nothings fundamentally changed (aside from improving) about companies like $NBIS. Aside from the sentiment flipping the switch. \n\nBut suddenly we have people like Dan Ives from Wedbush going out and saying \"Nebius likely gets acquired by a hyperscaler like $GOOGL, $MSFT, $AMZN \" in 2026, which is incredibly bullish.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Bears will start coming out the wood work babbling about dead cats now", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PositionJournal", "ret_m1d": -0.12709594078852937, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.12709594078852937, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1181139035142077, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12666687420637124, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008982037274321675, "bench_c_m1d": -0.000429066582158133, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0421417875144523, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0421417875144523, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03591189523613214, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.037698961542632414, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006229892278320159, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004442825971819886, "ret_p1w": -0.02090322787524601, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02090322787524601, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03518488655764973, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03662514739168643, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01428165868240372, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01572191951644042, "ret_p1m": 0.21540358226770406, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21540358226770406, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.19913836487522674, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2237897218948398, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.016265217392477327, "bench_c_p1m": -0.008386139627135747, "ret_p3m": 0.32528502986729757, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.32528502986729757, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.35343712164587027, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3466721966578209, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.028152091778572697, "bench_c_p3m": -0.021387166790523326, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.205, 0.2657, 0.2066, 0.2039, 0.2321, 0.255, 0.2923, 0.407, 0.4306, 0.3966, 0.3157, 0.3637, 0.4827, 0.4485, 0.5142, 0.4325, 0.4066, 0.3754, 0.2681, 0.2184, 0.1657, 0.1024, 0.1867, 0.3108, 0.4021, 0.3618, 0.3984, 0.3881, 0.4623, 0.3466, 0.2356, 0.3078, 0.2233, 0.2439, 0.229, 0.1426, 0.0548, -0.0093, -0.0662, -0.0389, 0.0121, 0.0627, -0.0539, -0.0693, 0.0273, -0.0065, 0.0585, 0.0585, 0.0605, 0.1195, 0.0781, 0.1057, 0.1491, 0.0959, 0.1215, 0.0777, 0.0462, 0.0539, -0.0198, -0.093, -0.0951, -0.1566, -0.1271, 0.0, 0.0421, 0.0064, 0.0187, 0.0187, -0.0209, -0.0382, -0.048, -0.0643, -0.0643, 0.0055, 0.0377, 0.1205, 0.0755, 0.0876, 0.0947, 0.1998, 0.1785, 0.14, 0.1612, 0.2154, 0.2154, 0.1099, 0.1052, 0.0826, 0.0563, 0.0224, 0.094, 0.1226, 0.0609, -0.0477, -0.0145, 0.0055, -0.079, -0.1743, -0.0376, 0.0382, 0.026, -0.0095, 0.003, 0.0956, 0.0956, 0.0901, 0.1379, 0.2029, 0.0946, 0.1246, 0.1467, 0.1862, 0.1724, 0.0193, 0.0173, -0.0297, 0.093, 0.0692, -0.0015, 0.0613, 0.0779, 0.2519, 0.2077, 0.2626, 0.4515, 0.3004, 0.3253, 0.3584, 0.3148, 0.276, 0.2845, 0.2865, 0.1846, 0.127, 0.0313, 0.1598, 0.1396, 0.2164, 0.2164, 0.258, 0.3123, 0.3973, 0.5239, 0.6205, 0.7277, 0.8102, 0.8642, 0.8482, 0.7565, 0.7791, 0.7499, 0.7454, 0.7559, 0.645, 0.6204, 0.5148, 0.5782, 0.5452, 0.7269, 0.9721, 0.9665, 1.1808, 1.0654, 0.9791, 1.0803, 1.0021, 1.3169, 1.4721, 1.4585, 1.2341, 1.2103, 1.1442, 1.4584, 1.4007, 1.4007, 1.3257, 1.3292, 1.5301, 1.5832, 1.5832, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1983957706626232566", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-30T18:02:32+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm also confident on recovery which is why I'm fine with leverage on $META", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holding leveraged call position on META, confident in a recovery.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@blu400_ IV is extremely low. I could buy millions in shares too but with calls, it’s really high leverage for low capital.\n\nI’m also confident on recovery which is why I’m fine with leverage on $META", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit thank you for sharing, do you mind me asking why you buy calls instead of shares if investing 6 figures? Is it for the leverage?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "blu400codes", "ret_m1d": 0.12783760853035342, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.12783760853035342, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.11671716030302748, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.11060527127304076, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01112044822732594, "bench_c_m1d": 0.017232337257312658, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0271880753086835, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0271880753086835, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03046817504076227, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.031474263216923815, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0032800997320787673, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004286187908240313, "ret_p1w": -0.07131610032755076, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07131610032755076, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05731256289781883, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.054521086689985454, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014003537429731927, "bench_c_p1w": -0.016795013637565304, "ret_p1m": -0.02778819201129268, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02778819201129268, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03302472207244789, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03714789811047614, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005236530061155209, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009359706099183462, "ret_p3m": 0.01057634595342738, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.01057634595342738, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.01548170245765923, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.015302317866079607, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02605804841108661, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025878663819506986, "ret_p6m": 0.0145377399744413, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0145377399744413, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.04161618056548577, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0026416026067876963, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05615392053992707, "bench_c_p6m": 0.017179342581228996, "price_path": [0.1641, 0.1448, 0.1575, 0.1423, 0.1535, 0.1484, 0.1846, 0.1697, 0.1727, 0.1774, 0.1506, 0.1268, 0.1212, 0.1082, 0.1318, 0.1295, 0.1307, 0.1206, 0.1262, 0.1076, 0.1076, 0.1022, 0.1052, 0.1225, 0.1282, 0.128, 0.1481, 0.1275, 0.1259, 0.133, 0.1466, 0.1681, 0.1631, 0.1699, 0.1671, 0.1481, 0.1334, 0.1413, 0.1237, 0.116, 0.1154, 0.1019, 0.0763, 0.0909, 0.0662, 0.0738, 0.0699, 0.0771, 0.1006, 0.0583, 0.0739, 0.0633, 0.0766, 0.0684, 0.0757, 0.0986, 0.1002, 0.1004, 0.1013, 0.1079, 0.1266, 0.1275, 0.1278, 0.0, -0.0272, -0.0432, -0.0587, -0.0458, -0.0713, -0.0672, -0.0521, -0.0591, -0.0862, -0.0849, -0.0855, -0.0967, -0.1032, -0.1143, -0.116, -0.1084, -0.0802, -0.0454, -0.0493, -0.0493, -0.0278, -0.0384, -0.0291, -0.0403, -0.0074, 0.0104, 0.0005, -0.0143, -0.0245, -0.0206, -0.0334, -0.0277, -0.0132, -0.0247, -0.0022, -0.0107, -0.0066, -0.0015, 0.0024, 0.0024, -0.004, -0.0109, 0.0, -0.0088, -0.0088, -0.0233, -0.0107, -0.008, -0.0259, -0.0298, -0.0193, -0.036, -0.0523, -0.0757, -0.0678, -0.0686, -0.0686, -0.0928, -0.0795, -0.0275, -0.0108, 0.0097, 0.0106, 0.0042, 0.1087, 0.0759, 0.0608, 0.0387, 0.0046, 0.0064, -0.0067, 0.017, 0.0072, 0.0041, -0.0242, -0.0393, -0.0393, -0.04, -0.0341, -0.0318, -0.0154, -0.0431, -0.04, -0.0184, -0.0134, -0.0266, -0.0186, -0.0163, 0.0027, -0.008, -0.0316, -0.0278, -0.0178, -0.0166, -0.0417, -0.0784, -0.057, -0.0642, -0.0747, -0.0882, -0.1078, -0.0921, -0.1089, -0.1059, -0.1771, -0.2099, -0.1938, -0.1401, -0.1294, -0.1366, -0.1366, -0.1388, -0.1357, -0.0796, -0.0556, -0.0534, -0.0463, -0.0043, 0.0094, 0.0173, 0.0349, 0.0083, 0.0052, 0.0141, -0.0093, 0.0145]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1996820563675983981", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-05T05:54:56+00:00", "symbol": "005930.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I expect their foundry business to grow", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Samsung on foundry growth as capacity alternative to TSMC, with Tesla chip deal as positive signal.", "resolved_tickers": ["005930.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It's for their foundry business not memory as an alternative to $TSM capacity limit.\n\nElon's been shilling Samsung's capabilities recently (eg. $TSLA building out its chips with them), which is a positive signal. It's the clear #2 player, memory takes up majority of their profit but I expect their foundry business to grow", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $MU overtook Samsung as second behind SK for HBU segment (the specialized VRAMs needed for AI loads), but you still like Samsung over $MU here?\n\nI'm still researching more in that part of the thesis so just curious your logic!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Tiger_Strat", "ret_m1d": -0.030442780594672314, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.030442780594672314, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.028546845151189104, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.023178176499574432, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018959354434832099, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007264604095097882, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010147569341131257, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010147569341131257, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.013151846855805949, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0031215596307780924, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0030042775146746914, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007026009710353165, "ret_p1w": 0.00461255790825188, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.00461255790825188, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01034396028010931, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02446244175265666, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00573140237185743, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01984988384440478, "ret_p1m": 0.2801782582835035, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2801782582835035, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.27425412022961115, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2921881352143072, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005924138053892358, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012009876930803687, "ret_p3m": 0.5962830732717368, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5962830732717368, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5941473148407144, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.6409481299655617, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0021357584310224276, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04466505669382492, "ret_p6m": 2.21868135664168, "ret_signed_p6m": 2.21868135664168, "alpha_spy_p6m": 2.1091604914598867, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.9120809968087835, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10952086518179316, "bench_c_p6m": 0.30660035983289635, "price_path": [-0.3433, -0.3332, -0.3259, -0.3075, -0.2974, -0.2708, -0.2818, -0.2625, -0.2625, -0.2331, -0.2221, -0.2157, -0.2092, -0.235, -0.2232, -0.226, -0.2066, -0.172, -0.172, -0.172, -0.172, -0.172, -0.172, -0.1292, -0.1393, -0.155, -0.1236, -0.0987, -0.0969, -0.095, -0.1006, -0.0904, -0.1098, -0.0886, -0.059, -0.0821, -0.0729, -0.0397, -0.0083, 0.0249, -0.0323, -0.072, -0.0849, -0.0969, -0.072, -0.0452, -0.0489, -0.0517, -0.1033, -0.072, -0.0978, -0.1098, -0.072, -0.1255, -0.1079, -0.0839, -0.0517, -0.0452, -0.0729, -0.0701, -0.0461, -0.036, -0.0304, 0.0, 0.0101, 0.0, -0.0037, -0.0101, 0.0046, -0.0332, -0.0517, -0.0046, -0.0074, -0.0194, 0.0194, 0.0286, 0.0249, 0.0249, 0.0793, 0.1078, 0.1115, 0.1115, 0.1115, 0.1912, 0.2802, 0.2876, 0.3071, 0.2867, 0.2885, 0.2867, 0.2755, 0.3006, 0.3339, 0.3803, 0.384, 0.346, 0.3859, 0.4118, 0.41, 0.41, 0.4786, 0.5054, 0.4897, 0.4878, 0.3942, 0.5527, 0.5675, 0.4767, 0.4702, 0.5425, 0.537, 0.5555, 0.6556, 0.6797, 0.6797, 0.6797, 0.6797, 0.7613, 0.7622, 0.7891, 0.854, 0.8864, 1.0208, 1.0069, 1.0069, 0.8086, 0.5963, 0.7761, 0.7446, 0.6083, 0.7418, 0.7613, 0.7418, 0.701, 0.7492, 0.7974, 0.9328, 0.8586, 0.8484, 0.727, 0.7585, 0.752, 0.6695, 0.6695, 0.6377, 0.5531, 0.7617, 0.6572, 0.7296, 0.7937, 0.8253, 0.9554, 0.895, 0.9136, 0.8671, 0.9182, 0.96, 1.0204, 1.0065, 0.9925, 1.0343, 1.0204, 1.0854, 1.039, 1.0854, 1.0622, 1.0993, 1.0483, 1.0483, 1.1597, 1.1597, 1.4709, 1.522, 1.4941, 1.652, 1.5917, 1.6381, 1.7496, 1.5127, 1.6102, 1.5592, 1.5638, 1.7821, 1.7171, 1.7171, 1.7774, 1.8518, 1.7821, 1.9447, 2.2187]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2004597823602655744", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-26T16:58:59+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$600m MC is typically hilarious pocket change if the entire buildout is bottlenecked by one or two companies", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AXTI: at $600M market cap, controls a critical InP substrate bottleneck for AI buildout; hyperscalers have no alternative and prices could rise 5x.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "That’s for you to figure out. \n\nI’m just highlighting how two companies (one of which is worth $600m) happens to be the bottleneck of the entire AI trade in the near future. \n\nHistorically InP substrates were a cheap commodity. And now… they’re not. \n\nIf every single hyperscaler spending hundreds of billions of GPUs/ASICs can’t function without $20m of InP, companies like $AXTI can theoretically raise prices 5x and it would be a rounding error.\n\nThere is a massive geopolitical risk with China for you to consider too but $600m MC is typically hilarious pocket change if the entire buildout is bottlenecked by one or two companies.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Do you think it’s a good idea to invest in bottleneck companies since they essentially control the buildout, or avoid them since they have the power to cripple the buildout?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DigestingX", "ret_m1d": -0.023422228975777948, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.023422228975777948, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.023523654294073104, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.018803052264763198, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00010142531829515633, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00461917671101475, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05074819380474049, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05074819380474049, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04718456559768569, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04623828847880318, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003563628207054803, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004509905325937313, "ret_p1w": 0.0904359371289738, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0904359371289738, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10077910313269656, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07010028212626285, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.010343166003722759, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02033565500271095, "ret_p1m": 0.15810015417011014, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.15810015417011014, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15459450861879387, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06801098538335615, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.003505645551316272, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09008916878675399, "ret_p3m": 3.3819127505264293, "ret_signed_p3m": 3.3819127505264293, "alpha_spy_p3m": 3.427828630459776, "alpha_c_p3m": 3.291276974574475, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04591587993334656, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09063577595195405, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7079, -0.6805, -0.6942, -0.6662, -0.6487, -0.6545, -0.6545, -0.6597, -0.7378, -0.7007, -0.7027, -0.7014, -0.6792, -0.7066, -0.6805, -0.6636, -0.6786, -0.663, -0.6057, -0.5973, -0.5706, -0.54, -0.5237, -0.4828, -0.4496, -0.4444, -0.4079, -0.4229, -0.3845, -0.3208, -0.3129, -0.2856, -0.3208, -0.3208, -0.3331, -0.3559, -0.3422, -0.3852, -0.419, -0.3923, -0.3995, -0.3201, -0.3201, -0.3038, -0.298, -0.2349, -0.2531, -0.2128, -0.2466, -0.1731, -0.0267, 0.0091, 0.0657, -0.0364, -0.0351, -0.1542, -0.1958, -0.0885, -0.0468, -0.0098, -0.0475, -0.0234, -0.0234, 0.0, -0.0507, 0.028, 0.0638, 0.0638, 0.0904, 0.0846, 0.3123, 0.5686, 0.6805, 0.4958, 0.447, 0.3995, 0.4379, 0.6734, 0.4372, 0.4372, 0.393, 0.2869, 0.1659, 0.1321, 0.1581, 0.1191, 0.095, 0.0657, 0.2062, 0.3624, 0.2843, 0.2199, 0.3292, 0.5654, 0.8068, 0.5843, 0.7437, 0.6129, 0.5771, 0.5771, 0.5101, 0.5316, 0.5491, 0.931, 0.8497, 1.2824, 1.6656, 1.4151, 1.4658, 2.0137, 1.717, 1.5459, 1.5244, 1.1061, 1.5088, 1.8822, 2.0813, 2.0403, 2.1789, 2.1483, 1.8861, 2.1724, 2.7794, 2.529, 3.1926, 3.4528, 3.3819, 2.8068, 2.9447, 2.4307, 2.7072, 2.067, 2.4379, 2.4379, 1.7319, 1.9577, 2.46, 3.1067, 3.1757, 3.3234, 3.3787, 3.0943, 4.3208, 4.3715, 4.1243, 3.8777, 4.6565, 3.8972, 3.9551, 3.5641, 3.4704, 3.6239, 4.1542, 5.2459, 5.8966, 5.9974, 5.8204, 6.054, 6.5706, 7.1854, 6.9961, 6.9336, 6.4808, 7.0534, 5.8887, 6.3442, 5.8061, 6.8738, 8.1627, 8.1627, 7.6272, 6.9876, 6.5277, 5.7118, 5.7118, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1988241925770801478", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-11T13:46:29+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS could still scale up more and beat that forward revenue guidance and do $12B ARR next year with a new hyperscaler deal + acquiring more capacity. Nebius is crazy.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish NBIS: ARR guidance raised to $7-9B, with upside to $12B next year on hyperscaler deals + capacity expansion.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@StableBread I was hoping for $5B ARR confirmation, now it’s $7-9B ARR guided. \n\nAnd that’s not even considering that $NBIS could still scale up more and beat that forward revenue guidance and do $12B ARR next year with a new hyperscaler deal + acquiring more capacity.  \n\nNebius is crazy.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I will tell my grandkids about that time I bought $NBIS at $6B market cap 😎👶🏽", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "StableBread", "ret_m1d": 0.07562116645693662, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07562116645693662, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07790517779341222, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08367715698290779, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0022840113364756, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008055990525971168, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07689298098696984, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07689298098696984, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07744946946558229, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07111371851615012, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005564884786124491, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005779262470819724, "ret_p1w": -0.11426335517212038, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11426335517212038, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08070553613602638, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09333522120495286, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.033557819036094005, "bench_c_p1w": -0.020928133967167528, "ret_p1m": -0.08442579514531079, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08442579514531079, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0911169579698673, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10955721246618133, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006691162824556507, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02513141732087054, "ret_p3m": -0.15769910540088283, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15769910540088283, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17184363692646742, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1746409985754659, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014144531525584592, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016941893174583056, "ret_p6m": 0.9085305616135924, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.9085305616135924, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.8279910769496042, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.8743308936187839, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08053948466398819, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03419966799480845, "price_path": [-0.3303, -0.2994, -0.2904, -0.3427, -0.34, -0.3526, -0.3252, -0.315, -0.3105, -0.3142, -0.2952, -0.3316, -0.3316, -0.3571, -0.3578, -0.365, -0.3595, -0.3733, -0.0636, -0.0864, -0.1275, -0.1155, -0.1102, -0.1251, -0.0796, -0.0792, -0.0285, 0.0428, 0.0546, 0.1077, 0.056, 0.0536, 0.0783, 0.0983, 0.131, 0.2314, 0.252, 0.2223, 0.1514, 0.1935, 0.2976, 0.2677, 0.3252, 0.2537, 0.231, 0.2037, 0.1098, 0.0663, 0.0202, -0.0352, 0.0385, 0.1471, 0.2271, 0.1918, 0.2238, 0.2148, 0.2798, 0.1785, 0.0814, 0.1446, 0.0706, 0.0886, 0.0756, 0.0, -0.0769, -0.1329, -0.1827, -0.1589, -0.1143, -0.0699, -0.172, -0.1855, -0.101, -0.1305, -0.0737, -0.0737, -0.0719, -0.0203, -0.0564, -0.0323, 0.0057, -0.0409, -0.0185, -0.0568, -0.0844, -0.0777, -0.1421, -0.2062, -0.2081, -0.2619, -0.2361, -0.1248, -0.0879, -0.1193, -0.1085, -0.1085, -0.1431, -0.1583, -0.1668, -0.1811, -0.1811, -0.12, -0.0919, -0.0194, -0.0588, -0.0481, -0.042, 0.05, 0.0314, -0.0023, 0.0163, 0.0637, 0.0637, -0.0287, -0.0328, -0.0525, -0.0755, -0.1053, -0.0426, -0.0175, -0.0715, -0.1666, -0.1375, -0.12, -0.194, -0.2773, -0.1577, -0.0914, -0.102, -0.1331, -0.1222, -0.0412, -0.0412, -0.046, -0.0041, 0.0527, -0.0421, -0.0158, 0.0035, 0.0382, 0.026, -0.1079, -0.1097, -0.1509, -0.0434, -0.0643, -0.1261, -0.0712, -0.0566, 0.0956, 0.0569, 0.105, 0.2703, 0.138, 0.1599, 0.1888, 0.1507, 0.1167, 0.1241, 0.1259, 0.0367, -0.0137, -0.0974, 0.0151, -0.0026, 0.0646, 0.0646, 0.101, 0.1485, 0.2229, 0.3337, 0.4182, 0.512, 0.5842, 0.6315, 0.6175, 0.5373, 0.557, 0.5315, 0.5275, 0.5367, 0.4396, 0.4181, 0.3257, 0.3812, 0.3523, 0.5113, 0.7259, 0.721, 0.9085]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1968006103700283462", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-16T17:36:33+00:00", "symbol": "UPWK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "definitely undervalued, I still think it's good to hold for a year for long-term capital gain tax", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long UPWK; still undervalued, recommends holding at least a year for long-term gains.", "resolved_tickers": ["UPWK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Lovefist17 Nice! I think $UPWK dipped to high 11's before pulling a face ripping rally to $17+. But definitely undervalued, I still think it's good to hold for a year for long-term capital gain tax.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I followed your upwk DD and bought at 12.9", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Lovefist17", "ret_m1d": -0.01812862333490417, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01812862333490417, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01950731429194874, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01950731429194874, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0013786909570445705, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0013786909570445705, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06081865409229459, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06081865409229459, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06206108938484323, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06206108938484323, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012424352925486382, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012424352925486382, "ret_p1w": 0.14970756776803973, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.14970756776803973, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14205794533892102, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14205794533892102, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007649622429118708, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007649622429118708, "ret_p1m": -0.016959117488769215, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.016959117488769215, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.027586499747927262, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.027586499747927262, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010627382259158047, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010627382259158047, "ret_p3m": 0.2836257469751515, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2836257469751515, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.24779218592729801, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.24779218592729801, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03583356104785351, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03583356104785351, "ret_p6m": -0.27426903096095234, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.27426903096095234, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3048888776570089, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3048888776570089, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030619846696056552, "bench_c_p6m": 0.030619846696056552, "price_path": [-0.2175, -0.2316, -0.2357, -0.2205, -0.2175, -0.2064, -0.2029, -0.214, -0.2094, -0.2129, -0.2023, -0.2023, -0.2135, -0.2105, -0.1988, -0.2158, -0.2444, -0.2421, -0.2439, -0.2211, -0.2164, -0.2263, -0.2175, -0.2, -0.1942, -0.2263, -0.2333, -0.248, -0.2602, -0.2942, -0.3006, -0.3129, -0.2959, -0.3053, -0.3012, -0.2058, -0.2298, -0.2158, -0.2006, -0.176, -0.1988, -0.193, -0.1819, -0.1895, -0.169, -0.1351, -0.1275, -0.1281, -0.1175, -0.1345, -0.1281, -0.1, -0.1, -0.0667, -0.038, -0.0187, -0.0532, -0.0667, -0.0643, -0.0696, -0.0427, -0.014, -0.0181, 0.0, 0.0608, 0.1462, 0.1737, 0.1304, 0.1497, 0.1649, 0.1287, 0.1199, 0.1117, 0.086, 0.0357, 0.062, 0.0099, 0.0175, -0.0006, 0.0444, 0.0193, -0.0175, 0.0, -0.0094, -0.017, -0.0211, -0.0526, -0.0251, -0.0257, -0.0637, -0.0573, -0.0643, -0.0573, 0.0158, -0.0129, -0.0462, -0.0678, -0.086, 0.0351, -0.0421, -0.0556, 0.0205, 0.0292, 0.0497, -0.0035, -0.0029, -0.0363, -0.0532, -0.0012, 0.062, 0.0035, 0.045, 0.0848, 0.1515, 0.145, 0.145, 0.1544, 0.1626, 0.2006, 0.1538, 0.145, 0.1743, 0.1626, 0.2269, 0.1977, 0.2819, 0.2836, 0.2503, 0.2538, 0.1807, 0.1971, 0.2047, 0.245, 0.2175, 0.2263, 0.2263, 0.2193, 0.1871, 0.1433, 0.1591, 0.1591, 0.1602, 0.2058, 0.1854, 0.2199, 0.1942, 0.1725, 0.193, 0.1842, 0.1754, 0.1784, 0.162, 0.162, 0.1398, 0.1515, 0.2357, 0.293, 0.2789, 0.2456, 0.1994, 0.2292, 0.1713, 0.1667, 0.0673, -0.0029, 0.0421, 0.107, 0.0988, -0.1105, -0.152, -0.2333, -0.2263, -0.2263, -0.2538, -0.1971, -0.2211, -0.2298, -0.2684, -0.2386, -0.2409, -0.1901, -0.2152, -0.2327, -0.2322, -0.2146, -0.2216, -0.2251, -0.2205, -0.276, -0.2743]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1990170144337961131", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-16T21:28:32+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "when you price in existing dilution (10% + convertibles), then look at the $4.7B cash on hand, $7B+ in NAV from portfolio company assets like Clickhouse, $8B projected ARR next year with thier margins, it looks completely undervalued", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish NBIS as undervalued on forward ARR/NAV; implicitly bearish CRWV vs NBIS on debt-funded model hurting margins.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I think your comment just pointed out at how crazy $NBIS growth is going from $146m revenue this quarter to $2.1B+ next year a quarter.\n\nSo we look at future growth (next year), rather than current numbers based on $MSFT contract (~$19B, 5 years), $META ($3B, 5 years), and their regular clients (cursor, shopify, etc) + government contracts for revenue.\n\nThey do full stack AI cloud like AWS; how Nebius gets their initial funding for GPUs and infrastructure is share sales (convertible notes, $4B dilution at $138) and 25m share sales anytime. This is much preferred over 9%-10% interest on billions like what $CRWV is doing, since this directly hurts margins over time. \n\nThis immediately adds billions into their balance sheet (they have $4.7B cash now), which they use on GPU purchases, etc. \n\nHowever, majority of the cash needed for scaling comes from contract revenue, $NBIS was doing 50-70% gross margins and projected 20-30% EBIT and is one of the highest margin neoclouds.\n\nThat being said when you price in existing dilution (10% + convertibles), then look at the $4.7B cash on hand, $7B+ in NAV from portfolio company assets like Clickhouse, $8B projected ARR next year with thier margins, it looks completely undervalued.\n\nBut if you look at it at just this current quarter's revenue, it looks overvalued.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I see $146 Mil in revenue for the quarter....Cap is $20Bil. How is this worth 50x+ sales? How could they possibly scale to build these projects at 4Bil, and that is still 5x P/S", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "HH60314271", "ret_m1d": -0.028378720006289493, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.028378720006289493, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03778276560027605, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02972795147062146, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.009404045593986554, "bench_c_m1d": 0.001349231464331968, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.053035559206290994, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.053035559206290994, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.061433111976391674, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04736900806043187, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00839755277010068, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005666551145859122, "ret_p1w": 0.0688531976949256, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0688531976949256, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06425634256313084, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.052393347345248475, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004596855131794753, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01645985034967712, "ret_p1m": -0.058502049456895966, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.058502049456895966, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07833175621938437, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10770162010072437, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019829706762488408, "bench_c_p1m": 0.049199570643828405, "ret_p3m": 0.04361479243531097, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04361479243531097, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.01715551154792272, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.009155934671352783, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026459280887388248, "bench_c_p3m": 0.034458857763958184, "ret_p6m": 1.083158799922375, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.083158799922375, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.9679167086598945, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.0343549651656587, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11524209126248053, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04880383475671635, "price_path": [-0.2153, -0.2303, -0.1977, -0.1856, -0.1803, -0.1847, -0.1621, -0.2054, -0.2054, -0.2356, -0.2365, -0.2451, -0.2385, -0.2549, 0.1133, 0.0862, 0.0373, 0.0515, 0.0579, 0.0401, 0.0942, 0.0947, 0.155, 0.2398, 0.2538, 0.3169, 0.2554, 0.2526, 0.2819, 0.3058, 0.3446, 0.4639, 0.4885, 0.4531, 0.3689, 0.4189, 0.5427, 0.5071, 0.5755, 0.4905, 0.4635, 0.431, 0.3194, 0.2677, 0.2128, 0.147, 0.2347, 0.3638, 0.4588, 0.417, 0.455, 0.4443, 0.5215, 0.4011, 0.2856, 0.3608, 0.2729, 0.2943, 0.2788, 0.1889, 0.0975, 0.0308, -0.0284, 0.0, 0.053, 0.1057, -0.0156, -0.0316, 0.0689, 0.0337, 0.1013, 0.1013, 0.1034, 0.1648, 0.1218, 0.1505, 0.1956, 0.1403, 0.1669, 0.1213, 0.0885, 0.0965, 0.0199, -0.0563, -0.0585, -0.1225, -0.0918, 0.0405, 0.0843, 0.0471, 0.0599, 0.0599, 0.0187, 0.0007, -0.0094, -0.0265, -0.0265, 0.0462, 0.0797, 0.1659, 0.119, 0.1317, 0.139, 0.2483, 0.2262, 0.1861, 0.2082, 0.2646, 0.2646, 0.1548, 0.1499, 0.1264, 0.0991, 0.0637, 0.1383, 0.1681, 0.1039, -0.0092, 0.0254, 0.0462, -0.0418, -0.1408, 0.0014, 0.0803, 0.0676, 0.0306, 0.0436, 0.1399, 0.1399, 0.1342, 0.184, 0.2516, 0.1389, 0.1702, 0.1931, 0.2342, 0.2198, 0.0606, 0.0585, 0.0095, 0.1372, 0.1125, 0.039, 0.1042, 0.1215, 0.3026, 0.2566, 0.3137, 0.5102, 0.353, 0.3789, 0.4134, 0.368, 0.3276, 0.3365, 0.3386, 0.2325, 0.1726, 0.073, 0.2068, 0.1857, 0.2656, 0.2656, 0.3089, 0.3654, 0.4538, 0.5856, 0.6861, 0.7976, 0.8835, 0.9396, 0.923, 0.8276, 0.8511, 0.8208, 0.816, 0.8269, 0.7116, 0.686, 0.5761, 0.6421, 0.6077, 0.7968, 1.0519, 1.0461, 1.269, 1.149, 1.0592, 1.1645, 1.0832]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1990170144337961131", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-16T21:28:32+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "much preferred over 9%-10% interest on billions like what $CRWV is doing, since this directly hurts margins over time", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish NBIS as undervalued on forward ARR/NAV; implicitly bearish CRWV vs NBIS on debt-funded model hurting margins.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I think your comment just pointed out at how crazy $NBIS growth is going from $146m revenue this quarter to $2.1B+ next year a quarter.\n\nSo we look at future growth (next year), rather than current numbers based on $MSFT contract (~$19B, 5 years), $META ($3B, 5 years), and their regular clients (cursor, shopify, etc) + government contracts for revenue.\n\nThey do full stack AI cloud like AWS; how Nebius gets their initial funding for GPUs and infrastructure is share sales (convertible notes, $4B dilution at $138) and 25m share sales anytime. This is much preferred over 9%-10% interest on billions like what $CRWV is doing, since this directly hurts margins over time. \n\nThis immediately adds billions into their balance sheet (they have $4.7B cash now), which they use on GPU purchases, etc. \n\nHowever, majority of the cash needed for scaling comes from contract revenue, $NBIS was doing 50-70% gross margins and projected 20-30% EBIT and is one of the highest margin neoclouds.\n\nThat being said when you price in existing dilution (10% + convertibles), then look at the $4.7B cash on hand, $7B+ in NAV from portfolio company assets like Clickhouse, $8B projected ARR next year with thier margins, it looks completely undervalued.\n\nBut if you look at it at just this current quarter's revenue, it looks overvalued.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I see $146 Mil in revenue for the quarter....Cap is $20Bil. How is this worth 50x+ sales? How could they possibly scale to build these projects at 4Bil, and that is still 5x P/S", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "HH60314271", "ret_m1d": 0.026948078188682834, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.026948078188682834, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01754403259469628, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01754403259469628, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.009404045593986554, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009404045593986554, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005708221090186094, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005708221090186094, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.002689331679914586, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.002689331679914586, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00839755277010068, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00839755277010068, "ret_p1w": -0.022965661952505156, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.022965661952505156, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02756251708429991, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02756251708429991, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004596855131794753, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004596855131794753, "ret_p1m": -0.07739282741728648, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07739282741728648, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09722253417977489, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09722253417977489, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019829706762488408, "bench_c_p1m": 0.019829706762488408, "ret_p3m": 0.2704101237495258, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2704101237495258, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24395084286213753, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24395084286213753, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026459280887388248, "bench_c_p3m": 0.026459280887388248, "ret_p6m": 0.43037299058686895, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.43037299058686895, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3151308993243884, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3151308993243884, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11524209126248053, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11524209126248053, "price_path": [0.2149, 0.2052, 0.2477, 0.2263, 0.2132, 0.2867, 0.3645, 0.3678, 0.3678, 0.2391, 0.1932, 0.1613, 0.1827, 0.2419, 0.3304, 0.555, 0.496, 0.4863, 0.5992, 0.5764, 0.6044, 0.6114, 0.6575, 0.7686, 0.7376, 0.7709, 0.6814, 0.5975, 0.6264, 0.8167, 0.8193, 0.8319, 0.7893, 0.7768, 0.7102, 0.8582, 0.8994, 0.8376, 0.88, 0.7796, 0.8484, 0.8816, 0.8169, 0.6867, 0.6602, 0.6133, 0.6373, 0.7596, 0.8062, 0.7895, 0.8576, 0.7398, 0.775, 0.6769, 0.5366, 0.5189, 0.4195, 0.3807, 0.402, 0.1734, 0.1341, 0.04, 0.0269, 0.0, -0.0057, -0.0054, -0.0812, -0.0489, -0.023, -0.0536, -0.0138, -0.0138, -0.0293, 0.023, 0.0093, 0.0535, 0.1383, 0.1722, 0.1448, 0.2035, 0.1703, 0.16, 0.0433, -0.0396, -0.0774, -0.1431, -0.1016, 0.1018, 0.1261, 0.0654, 0.047, 0.047, 0.0145, -0.0054, -0.019, -0.0494, -0.0494, 0.053, 0.0203, 0.0346, 0.0246, 0.0234, 0.0639, 0.1938, 0.1613, 0.1921, 0.2613, 0.3438, 0.3438, 0.264, 0.2485, 0.2185, 0.2343, 0.3051, 0.4451, 0.4074, 0.3213, 0.2371, 0.1807, 0.1955, 0.0947, -0.009, 0.1941, 0.2849, 0.2626, 0.2631, 0.2704, 0.2749, 0.2749, 0.208, 0.2671, 0.2895, 0.1848, 0.2059, 0.3182, 0.3011, 0.296, 0.0562, 0.0361, -0.0206, 0.0554, -0.0068, -0.0311, -0.0122, -0.0054, 0.088, 0.0601, 0.0767, 0.1398, 0.0901, 0.0994, 0.0708, 0.0815, 0.088, 0.1021, 0.1626, 0.068, -0.0069, -0.082, 0.0284, 0.0413, 0.0917, 0.0917, 0.0745, 0.1316, 0.1801, 0.2213, 0.354, 0.4638, 0.5558, 0.5756, 0.5871, 0.5512, 0.5589, 0.5287, 0.6267, 0.5587, 0.4621, 0.4876, 0.4009, 0.5159, 0.4815, 0.5798, 0.6651, 0.6977, 0.8317, 0.7103, 0.5153, 0.5226, 0.4304]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1991231222509707631", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-19T19:44:53+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$CRWV is oversold, $55B backlog, Neocloud sector leader, backstopped by $NVDA, miss due to DC delays, just shifts revenue down toward later quarters", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "CRWV oversold short-term trade on $55B backlog/NVDA backstop, but not a long-term hold due to OpenAI concentration, high debt, and thin balance sheet.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Accident, didn't feel like editing the post when I read it again.\n\n$CRWV is oversold, $55B backlog, Neocloud sector leader, backstopped by $NVDA, miss due to DC delays, just shifts revenue down toward later quarters.\n\nHowever, I would not hold it ($22B of backlog is OpenAI), high debt interest compared to others that cut into FCF/margins, and low balance sheet eg. $1.8B cash which makes it more susceptible to credit tightening right now (especially with correlation to OpenAI with doesnt have the funding). \n\nI wouldn’t sell it if I had it now at $75, but I wouldn’t long term hold it either (short term trade). I was probably wondering what category that fits in when I made the post earlier.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit How do I simultaneously ‘Hold’ and ‘Avoid’ $CRWV?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mintcitycollect", "ret_m1d": -0.000266906614457163, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.000266906614457163, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0035814266467752987, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0035814266467752987, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0038483332612324617, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0038483332612324617, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07621461858016276, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07621461858016276, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06097237312036319, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06097237312036319, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015242245459799575, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015242245459799575, "ret_p1w": -0.008408933112856176, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.008408933112856176, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0341397695146447, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0341397695146447, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.025730836401788526, "bench_c_p1w": 0.025730836401788526, "ret_p1m": -0.0966363860213032, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0966363860213032, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11752278566528862, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11752278566528862, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02088639964398542, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02088639964398542, "ret_p3m": 0.2819007376235678, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2819007376235678, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.25000587976122834, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.25000587976122834, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031894857862339476, "bench_c_p3m": 0.031894857862339476, "ret_p6m": 0.5244927806903401, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5244927806903401, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3889721264801702, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3889721264801702, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1355206542101699, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1355206542101699, "price_path": [0.2545, 0.233, 0.2198, 0.2938, 0.372, 0.3753, 0.3753, 0.2459, 0.1997, 0.1676, 0.1891, 0.2487, 0.3377, 0.5635, 0.5041, 0.4944, 0.608, 0.585, 0.6132, 0.6203, 0.6666, 0.7783, 0.7471, 0.7806, 0.6906, 0.6062, 0.6353, 0.8266, 0.8293, 0.842, 0.7991, 0.7866, 0.7196, 0.8684, 0.9098, 0.8477, 0.8903, 0.7894, 0.8585, 0.8919, 0.8269, 0.6959, 0.6692, 0.6221, 0.6463, 0.7692, 0.8161, 0.7993, 0.8677, 0.7493, 0.7847, 0.6861, 0.545, 0.5272, 0.4273, 0.3883, 0.4096, 0.1798, 0.1403, 0.0456, 0.0326, 0.0055, -0.0003, 0.0, -0.0762, -0.0436, -0.0176, -0.0485, -0.0084, -0.0084, -0.024, 0.0286, 0.0148, 0.0593, 0.1446, 0.1786, 0.1511, 0.2101, 0.1767, 0.1663, 0.049, -0.0343, -0.0723, -0.1384, -0.0966, 0.1078, 0.1323, 0.0713, 0.0527, 0.0527, 0.02, 0.0, -0.0136, -0.0442, -0.0442, 0.0587, 0.0259, 0.0403, 0.0302, 0.029, 0.0697, 0.2003, 0.1676, 0.1986, 0.2682, 0.3512, 0.3512, 0.271, 0.2553, 0.2252, 0.2411, 0.3122, 0.453, 0.4151, 0.3285, 0.2439, 0.1871, 0.2021, 0.1006, -0.0036, 0.2006, 0.2919, 0.2695, 0.27, 0.2774, 0.2819, 0.2819, 0.2146, 0.274, 0.2966, 0.1913, 0.2125, 0.3254, 0.3082, 0.3031, 0.0619, 0.0418, -0.0152, 0.0611, -0.0013, -0.0258, -0.0068, 0.0, 0.094, 0.0659, 0.0826, 0.146, 0.0961, 0.1054, 0.0766, 0.0874, 0.094, 0.1081, 0.169, 0.0738, -0.0015, -0.077, 0.034, 0.047, 0.0977, 0.0977, 0.0804, 0.1377, 0.1866, 0.228, 0.3615, 0.4718, 0.5643, 0.5842, 0.5958, 0.5597, 0.5674, 0.5371, 0.6356, 0.5673, 0.4701, 0.4957, 0.4086, 0.5242, 0.4896, 0.5885, 0.6742, 0.707, 0.8417, 0.7197, 0.5236, 0.531, 0.4382, 0.4857, 0.5245]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1970876755067261415", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-24T15:43:30+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS will likely be $200+ in 5 months, not 1 year", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Expects NBIS to reach $200+ within 5 months, sooner than the Northland PT implies.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@mvcinvesting $NBIS will likely be $200+ in 5 months, not 1 year.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "JUST IN: Northland raised its Price Target on $NBIS from $77 to $206 and keeps an Outperform rating 🟢\n\nAfter $NBIS announced on September 8 a $17.4B deal with Microsoft to deliver dedicated capacity from its new data center in New Jersey, Northland noted that \"simplistically\" https://t.co/R7WuSUJNdD", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mvcinvesting", "ret_m1d": -0.04795549010149591, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04795549010149591, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.051147278655346295, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.056300901697700634, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003191788553850383, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008345411596204722, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04671907408544129, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04671907408544129, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04210557659696923, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.043312748942310075, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0046134974884720625, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003406325143131217, "ret_p1w": 0.02101913965254898, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02101913965254898, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.009901268078584824, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.027150511832574886, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011117871573964155, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006131372180025907, "ret_p1m": -0.06243927832923879, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06243927832923879, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07856395715180164, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04387502207974314, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.016124678822562855, "bench_c_p1m": -0.018564256249495648, "ret_p3m": -0.17663162948917555, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17663162948917555, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.21558740136097254, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17329069239731953, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.038955771871796996, "bench_c_p3m": -0.003340937091856011, "ret_p6m": 0.07321375112919815, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.07321375112919815, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.07223103382485929, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.10662704533083422, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0009827173043388537, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03341329420163608, "price_path": [-0.5422, -0.5113, -0.5557, -0.5587, -0.5562, -0.5562, -0.5775, -0.584, -0.5933, -0.5899, -0.6088, -0.5412, -0.5272, -0.5292, -0.5258, -0.5338, -0.5375, -0.5495, -0.5418, -0.5393, -0.5463, -0.5341, -0.5549, -0.547, -0.5193, -0.5408, -0.5216, -0.5128, -0.5135, -0.4232, -0.3926, -0.3797, -0.3347, -0.3762, -0.3954, -0.3675, -0.3594, -0.4066, -0.4041, -0.4155, -0.3908, -0.3816, -0.3776, -0.3809, -0.3638, -0.3966, -0.3966, -0.4196, -0.4202, -0.4267, -0.4218, -0.4342, -0.1546, -0.1752, -0.2123, -0.2015, -0.1967, -0.2102, -0.1691, -0.1688, -0.1229, -0.0586, -0.048, 0.0, -0.0467, -0.0488, -0.0266, -0.0085, 0.021, 0.1116, 0.1303, 0.1034, 0.0395, 0.0775, 0.1714, 0.1444, 0.1963, 0.1318, 0.1113, 0.0866, 0.0019, -0.0374, -0.079, -0.129, -0.0624, 0.0356, 0.1077, 0.076, 0.1048, 0.0967, 0.1553, 0.0639, -0.0238, 0.0333, -0.0335, -0.0172, -0.029, -0.0972, -0.1667, -0.2173, -0.2622, -0.2407, -0.2004, -0.1604, -0.2525, -0.2647, -0.1884, -0.215, -0.1637, -0.1637, -0.1621, -0.1155, -0.1482, -0.1264, -0.0921, -0.1342, -0.1139, -0.1485, -0.1735, -0.1674, -0.2256, -0.2834, -0.2851, -0.3337, -0.3103, -0.2099, -0.1766, -0.2049, -0.1952, -0.1952, -0.2264, -0.2401, -0.2478, -0.2608, -0.2608, -0.2056, -0.1802, -0.1147, -0.1503, -0.1407, -0.1351, -0.0521, -0.0689, -0.0994, -0.0825, -0.0397, -0.0397, -0.1231, -0.1268, -0.1447, -0.1654, -0.1923, -0.1357, -0.113, -0.1618, -0.2476, -0.2214, -0.2056, -0.2724, -0.3476, -0.2396, -0.1797, -0.1893, -0.2174, -0.2075, -0.1344, -0.1344, -0.1387, -0.1009, -0.0496, -0.1352, -0.1115, -0.0941, -0.0628, -0.0737, -0.1946, -0.1962, -0.2334, -0.1364, -0.1553, -0.2111, -0.1615, -0.1484, -0.0109, -0.0458, -0.0025, 0.1468, 0.0274, 0.0471, 0.0732]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1965681856214696110", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-10T07:40:49+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSM is a screaming buy. Look at $NVDA rally -> $AVGO rally -> this will flow into TSM. $1.3T -> $1.8T given all the backlogs from Oracle/NBIS, etc.", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Screaming buy on TSM with $1.3T→$1.8T market cap target; NVDA/AVGO rally flow-through + Oracle/NBIS backlog thesis; buying calls on decent IV.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$TSM is a screaming buy.\n\nLook at $NVDA rally -> $AVGO rally -> this will flow into TSM.\n\n$1.3T -> $1.8T given all the backlogs from Oracle/NBIS, etc. after reading all earnings.\n\nI almost never buy calls aside from $GOOG back at $150. But IV is decent ~32 and it’s such a great company.\n\n(Emphasis on dip if you’re copy trading, eg. PCI on 11th into recovery for rate cut).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Taiwan Semiconductor $TSM just reported August Revenue of \n\n- $11.09B up 33.8% YoY\n\nSo far in 2025 (Through August) TSMC has brought in total revenue of \n\n- $80.33B up 37.1% YoY https://t.co/MHJrDBfUYp", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03655356677459942, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03655356677459942, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03367104544471544, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03367104544471544, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028825213298839802, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0028825213298839802, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005874701480938271, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005874701480938271, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.014184871836882329, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.014184871836882329, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008310170355944058, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008310170355944058, "ret_p1w": 0.012206467336799198, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.012206467336799198, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0015197245377702728, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0015197245377702728, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010686742799028925, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010686742799028925, "ret_p1m": 0.15506857443075273, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.15506857443075273, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12316057426616123, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12316057426616123, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0319080001645915, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0319080001645915, "ret_p3m": 0.16273347426250062, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.16273347426250062, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11165283312588326, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.11165283312588326, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.051080641136617366, "bench_c_p3m": 0.051080641136617366, "ret_p6m": 0.3666665681699046, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3666665681699046, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.31605761748958683, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.31605761748958683, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05060895068031779, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05060895068031779, "price_path": [-0.1894, -0.1719, -0.1787, -0.1802, -0.1802, -0.1956, -0.1924, -0.1549, -0.1448, -0.1399, -0.1224, -0.1304, -0.1373, -0.1031, -0.0984, -0.0984, -0.1201, -0.1251, -0.1098, -0.1178, -0.1153, -0.122, -0.0902, -0.0879, -0.057, -0.0769, -0.0829, -0.0992, -0.0772, -0.0723, -0.057, -0.0679, -0.0734, -0.0673, -0.0723, -0.0969, -0.0823, -0.1074, -0.1116, -0.0684, -0.0715, -0.0705, -0.062, -0.073, -0.0746, -0.0828, -0.0731, -0.1065, -0.1223, -0.1271, -0.1054, -0.0954, -0.0834, -0.0812, -0.0851, -0.1135, -0.1135, -0.1231, -0.1115, -0.0969, -0.0654, -0.0509, -0.0366, 0.0, -0.0059, -0.0043, 0.0036, 0.0094, 0.0122, 0.0347, 0.0202, 0.0501, 0.0889, 0.0812, 0.0656, 0.0529, 0.0524, 0.0758, 0.1111, 0.1097, 0.1254, 0.1648, 0.1325, 0.1729, 0.1551, 0.081, 0.1667, 0.1399, 0.1737, 0.1549, 0.1366, 0.1467, 0.1344, 0.1127, 0.1198, 0.1361, 0.1488, 0.1614, 0.1751, 0.1679, 0.1572, 0.1743, 0.1326, 0.131, 0.1141, 0.1035, 0.1373, 0.1215, 0.1194, 0.087, 0.0971, 0.0862, 0.0704, 0.0876, 0.0689, 0.0595, 0.0964, 0.0965, 0.1169, 0.1169, 0.1228, 0.1081, 0.1251, 0.138, 0.1283, 0.1352, 0.1627, 0.1687, 0.1946, 0.1774, 0.1279, 0.1113, 0.1079, 0.0697, 0.0995, 0.116, 0.1327, 0.1469, 0.154, 0.154, 0.1696, 0.1622, 0.157, 0.1737, 0.1737, 0.2344, 0.2446, 0.2646, 0.2308, 0.2282, 0.2499, 0.2814, 0.2792, 0.2634, 0.3195, 0.3224, 0.3224, 0.2635, 0.2595, 0.2644, 0.2933, 0.285, 0.3067, 0.322, 0.3114, 0.2767, 0.3184, 0.2967, 0.2581, 0.2773, 0.3473, 0.3727, 0.3978, 0.4448, 0.4217, 0.4149, 0.4149, 0.4066, 0.3991, 0.3919, 0.4311, 0.4292, 0.4898, 0.4975, 0.4553, 0.4467, 0.4256, 0.3638, 0.3805, 0.3667]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1969091035859931221", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-19T17:27:41+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS is the only company I'd full port for highest ROI at current market rates", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Full-port long NBIS for highest ROI; TSM as the safest full-port alternative for lower-risk investors.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DavidJang0620 $NBIS is the only company I'd full port for highest ROI at current market rates\n\n$TSM is probably the safest full port if you're lower risk\n\n---\n\n@DavidJang0620 $TSM calls*.\n\nMy calls are up 68% right now since I posted. $NBIS is probably up 10%, which is still an extremely good return.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.052260547171492755, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.052260547171492755, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04733208246468823, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04815694863421516, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004928464706804525, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004103598537277597, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07340651590718417, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07340651590718417, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06867541545349609, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07689412942013785, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004731100453688075, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00348761351295368, "ret_p1w": 0.08448292816338321, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08448292816338321, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08731548438653058, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09141608288299907, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0028325562231473755, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006933154719615864, "ret_p1m": 0.09757328244509389, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09757328244509389, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08612236385507366, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12072556935241152, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011450918590020231, "bench_c_p1m": -0.023152286907317632, "ret_p3m": -0.24025779072518816, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.24025779072518816, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2518593683444148, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.21349186697027356, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.011601577619226644, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0267659237549146, "ret_p6m": 0.30752199472065245, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.30752199472065245, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2965126023463669, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.33518395535465373, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.011009392374285554, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02766196063400128, "price_path": [-0.4863, -0.5114, -0.4703, -0.478, -0.4429, -0.4934, -0.4968, -0.494, -0.494, -0.5183, -0.5257, -0.5363, -0.5325, -0.5539, -0.4769, -0.461, -0.4632, -0.4594, -0.4684, -0.4727, -0.4864, -0.4776, -0.4748, -0.4827, -0.4688, -0.4925, -0.4835, -0.4519, -0.4764, -0.4545, -0.4445, -0.4453, -0.3424, -0.3074, -0.2927, -0.2415, -0.2888, -0.3106, -0.2788, -0.2696, -0.3234, -0.3206, -0.3336, -0.3054, -0.2949, -0.2903, -0.2941, -0.2746, -0.3121, -0.3121, -0.3382, -0.3389, -0.3464, -0.3408, -0.3549, -0.0361, -0.0596, -0.1019, -0.0896, -0.0841, -0.0995, -0.0527, -0.0523, 0.0, 0.0734, 0.0855, 0.1402, 0.0869, 0.0845, 0.1099, 0.1305, 0.1641, 0.2674, 0.2887, 0.2581, 0.1852, 0.2285, 0.3356, 0.3048, 0.364, 0.2904, 0.267, 0.2389, 0.1423, 0.0976, 0.05, -0.0069, 0.069, 0.1807, 0.263, 0.2268, 0.2597, 0.2504, 0.3173, 0.2131, 0.1131, 0.1781, 0.102, 0.1205, 0.1071, 0.0293, -0.0498, -0.1075, -0.1588, -0.1342, -0.0883, -0.0427, -0.1477, -0.1616, -0.0746, -0.105, -0.0465, -0.0465, -0.0447, 0.0085, -0.0288, -0.0039, 0.0351, -0.0128, 0.0103, -0.0292, -0.0576, -0.0506, -0.117, -0.183, -0.1849, -0.2403, -0.2137, -0.0992, -0.0612, -0.0934, -0.0824, -0.0824, -0.118, -0.1336, -0.1424, -0.1571, -0.1571, -0.0943, -0.0653, 0.0094, -0.0312, -0.0202, -0.0139, 0.0808, 0.0616, 0.0269, 0.0461, 0.0949, 0.0949, -0.0002, -0.0044, -0.0248, -0.0484, -0.079, -0.0145, 0.0113, -0.0443, -0.1422, -0.1123, -0.0943, -0.1704, -0.2562, -0.133, -0.0647, -0.0757, -0.1077, -0.0965, -0.0131, -0.0131, -0.018, 0.0251, 0.0836, -0.014, 0.0131, 0.0329, 0.0686, 0.0561, -0.0818, -0.0836, -0.126, -0.0154, -0.0369, -0.1005, -0.044, -0.029, 0.1277, 0.0879, 0.1373, 0.3075]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1969091035859931221", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-19T17:27:41+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSM is probably the safest full port if you're lower risk", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Full-port long NBIS for highest ROI; TSM as the safest full-port alternative for lower-risk investors.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DavidJang0620 $NBIS is the only company I'd full port for highest ROI at current market rates\n\n$TSM is probably the safest full port if you're lower risk\n\n---\n\n@DavidJang0620 $TSM calls*.\n\nMy calls are up 68% right now since I posted. $NBIS is probably up 10%, which is still an extremely good return.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.014233563534791438, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.014233563534791438, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.019162028241595963, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.019162028241595963, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004928464706804525, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004928464706804525, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.029297451101016447, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.029297451101016447, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.024566350647328372, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.024566350647328372, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004731100453688075, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004731100453688075, "ret_p1w": 0.03205338078704112, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03205338078704112, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.034885937010188495, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.034885937010188495, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0028325562231473755, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0028325562231473755, "ret_p1m": 0.12394767116526895, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12394767116526895, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11249675257524872, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11249675257524872, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011450918590020231, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011450918590020231, "ret_p3m": 0.048467891704521815, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.048467891704521815, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.03686631408529517, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03686631408529517, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.011601577619226644, "bench_c_p3m": 0.011601577619226644, "ret_p6m": 0.28798480461839504, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.28798480461839504, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2769754122441095, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2769754122441095, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.011009392374285554, "bench_c_p6m": 0.011009392374285554, "price_path": [-0.1717, -0.1617, -0.1569, -0.1398, -0.1476, -0.1544, -0.1208, -0.1163, -0.1163, -0.1375, -0.1424, -0.1275, -0.1353, -0.1329, -0.1394, -0.1082, -0.1059, -0.0757, -0.0952, -0.1011, -0.1171, -0.0955, -0.0907, -0.0757, -0.0864, -0.0917, -0.0858, -0.0906, -0.1148, -0.1005, -0.1251, -0.1292, -0.0869, -0.0899, -0.0889, -0.0806, -0.0913, -0.093, -0.101, -0.0914, -0.1242, -0.1396, -0.1444, -0.1231, -0.1133, -0.1016, -0.0994, -0.1033, -0.1311, -0.1311, -0.1404, -0.1291, -0.1148, -0.0839, -0.0697, -0.0556, -0.0198, -0.0256, -0.024, -0.0163, -0.0106, -0.0079, 0.0142, 0.0, 0.0293, 0.0674, 0.0598, 0.0445, 0.0321, 0.0316, 0.0544, 0.0891, 0.0877, 0.1031, 0.1417, 0.1101, 0.1497, 0.1322, 0.0596, 0.1435, 0.1173, 0.1504, 0.132, 0.1141, 0.1239, 0.1119, 0.0906, 0.0976, 0.1136, 0.126, 0.1384, 0.1518, 0.1448, 0.1343, 0.151, 0.1102, 0.1086, 0.092, 0.0817, 0.1148, 0.0993, 0.0972, 0.0654, 0.0753, 0.0647, 0.0492, 0.0661, 0.0477, 0.0385, 0.0746, 0.0748, 0.0947, 0.0947, 0.1006, 0.0861, 0.1028, 0.1155, 0.1059, 0.1127, 0.1397, 0.1455, 0.1709, 0.154, 0.1056, 0.0893, 0.086, 0.0485, 0.0777, 0.0939, 0.1102, 0.1241, 0.1311, 0.1311, 0.1464, 0.1392, 0.1341, 0.1504, 0.1504, 0.2099, 0.2199, 0.2395, 0.2064, 0.2039, 0.2251, 0.256, 0.2538, 0.2383, 0.2933, 0.2962, 0.2962, 0.2385, 0.2346, 0.2393, 0.2677, 0.2595, 0.2808, 0.2958, 0.2854, 0.2514, 0.2923, 0.271, 0.2331, 0.252, 0.3206, 0.3455, 0.3701, 0.4162, 0.3935, 0.3869, 0.3869, 0.3787, 0.3714, 0.3643, 0.4027, 0.4008, 0.4603, 0.4678, 0.4265, 0.418, 0.3973, 0.3368, 0.3531, 0.3396, 0.2829, 0.32, 0.314, 0.3422, 0.2747, 0.2807, 0.288]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1978716322453492060", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-16T06:55:08+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "TSM is easily going to $450+ with 46% EPS y/y (expanding margins) and 37% revenue growth y/y", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long TSM to $450+ on blowout earnings: 46% EPS growth, 37% revenue growth, expanding margins, beat-and-raise quarter.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$TSM blowout earnings as expected. They’re the center of the whole Neocloud trade and AI Buildout.\n\nTSM is easily going to $450+ with 46% EPS y/y (expanding margins) and 37% revenue growth y/y. (Short term might be a little volatile because of option flow though) \n\n✅ Revenue $32.27B (Est. $31.61B)\n\n✅ EPS: $2.84 (Est. $2.63) \n\nGuidance:\n\n✅ Forward Rev: $32.2B–$33.4B (Est. $32.0B)\n\n✅ Gross Margin: 59–61%\n\nAmazing growth and profit as a mega cap.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The NeoCloud Thesis: Hyperscaler Capex Funnel\n\nWhy I'm putting $1.5M+ into Neoclouds, and why this might be a 200-300%+ return.\n\n🔹 Buckets\n\nMag7 contracts: $CRWV, $NBIS ✅, $WULF, $CIFR ✅\n\nWith compute: $IREN ✅, $BITF\n\nSpeculative: $WYFI, $GRRR ✅, $SLNH\n\nMiners pivoting to", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01624206556204988, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01624206556204988, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00938510672768178, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00938510672768178, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006856958834368099, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006856958834368099, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.015875169925897326, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.015875169925897326, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02155156372619349, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02155156372619349, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0056763938002961645, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0056763938002961645, "ret_p1w": -0.03038284766482957, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03038284766482957, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04721505142741833, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04721505142741833, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01683220376258876, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01683220376258876, "ret_p1m": -0.05009338184747769, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05009338184747769, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06718286442160004, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06718286442160004, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01708948257412235, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01708948257412235, "ret_p3m": 0.10760450308361191, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10760450308361191, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05435299227906332, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05435299227906332, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.053251510804548596, "bench_c_p3m": 0.053251510804548596, "ret_p6m": 0.24282145916799536, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.24282145916799536, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.20847766461864525, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.20847766461864525, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.034343794549350104, "bench_c_p6m": 0.034343794549350104, "price_path": [-0.2059, -0.22, -0.201, -0.1968, -0.1835, -0.1929, -0.1977, -0.1924, -0.1967, -0.218, -0.2054, -0.2271, -0.2308, -0.1934, -0.196, -0.1951, -0.1878, -0.1973, -0.1988, -0.2058, -0.1974, -0.2264, -0.24, -0.2442, -0.2254, -0.2168, -0.2063, -0.2045, -0.2078, -0.2324, -0.2324, -0.2407, -0.2307, -0.218, -0.1908, -0.1782, -0.1658, -0.1341, -0.1392, -0.1378, -0.131, -0.126, -0.1236, -0.1041, -0.1166, -0.0907, -0.0571, -0.0638, -0.0773, -0.0883, -0.0887, -0.0685, -0.0379, -0.0391, -0.0255, 0.0085, -0.0194, 0.0156, 0.0001, -0.064, 0.0102, -0.013, 0.0162, 0.0, -0.0159, -0.0071, -0.0178, -0.0366, -0.0304, -0.0163, -0.0053, 0.0056, 0.0175, 0.0113, 0.002, 0.0167, -0.0193, -0.0207, -0.0354, -0.0445, -0.0152, -0.0289, -0.0307, -0.0588, -0.0501, -0.0595, -0.0731, -0.0583, -0.0745, -0.0826, -0.0507, -0.0506, -0.033, -0.033, -0.0278, -0.0406, -0.0258, -0.0146, -0.023, -0.0171, 0.0068, 0.0119, 0.0344, 0.0195, -0.0234, -0.0378, -0.0407, -0.0738, -0.048, -0.0337, -0.0192, -0.007, -0.0008, -0.0008, 0.0127, 0.0063, 0.0018, 0.0162, 0.0162, 0.0688, 0.0776, 0.095, 0.0657, 0.0635, 0.0823, 0.1095, 0.1076, 0.0939, 0.1425, 0.145, 0.145, 0.0941, 0.0906, 0.0948, 0.1198, 0.1126, 0.1314, 0.1447, 0.1355, 0.1054, 0.1415, 0.1228, 0.0893, 0.106, 0.1666, 0.1885, 0.2103, 0.251, 0.231, 0.2252, 0.2252, 0.2179, 0.2114, 0.2052, 0.2391, 0.2375, 0.29, 0.2966, 0.2601, 0.2526, 0.2343, 0.1809, 0.1953, 0.1833, 0.1333, 0.1661, 0.1607, 0.1857, 0.126, 0.1313, 0.1378, 0.1603, 0.1388, 0.1361, 0.1041, 0.135, 0.1511, 0.1662, 0.0936, 0.0957, 0.0614, 0.1333, 0.1452, 0.137, 0.137, 0.1461, 0.158, 0.2271, 0.2257, 0.2428]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2003267396967309473", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-23T00:52:21+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I first posted about $NBIS at $86 and would still be buying at $125", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Still bullish NBIS at $125; would buy here despite 40% drawdown, expects outperformance over 6-12 months on 700%+ growth and $7-9B forward ARR.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Very fair criticism. I first posted about $NBIS at $86 and would still be buying at $125.\n\nI did not expect a $7-9B forward ARR company growing 700%+ Y/Y, with 4 different subsidiary companies each growing 100%+ Y/Y to drop 40% to a $19B MC. \n\nThere's things that are mispriced 1-3 month short term (especially with larger macro overhang with high-beta asset selloffs from carry trade unwind and temporary credit tightening) but I expect all my high conviction picks to outperform 6-12 months out.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit And $nibs is down like 40% since your thesis", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "slicedchedda", "ret_m1d": 0.03554375898061868, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03554375898061868, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.040093419779929196, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04176233375353944, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004549660799310518, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00621857477292076, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012218132722823682, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012218132722823682, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008700512417291195, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006255139038936486, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0035176203055324873, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005962993683887197, "ret_p1w": -0.05398201350935883, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05398201350935883, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.052601155605348504, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06164872898853624, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0013808579040103242, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007666715479177411, "ret_p1m": 0.09818953778901962, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09818953778901962, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10191070163819171, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12170097680313385, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0037211638491720933, "bench_c_p1m": -0.023511439014114233, "ret_p3m": 0.30645345264216206, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.30645345264216206, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3611350520033485, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.35040948800050176, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.05468159936118644, "bench_c_p3m": -0.043956035358339696, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1989, 0.1963, 0.2243, 0.247, 0.2841, 0.3981, 0.4215, 0.3878, 0.3073, 0.3551, 0.4733, 0.4393, 0.5046, 0.4234, 0.3976, 0.3667, 0.26, 0.2107, 0.1583, 0.0954, 0.1792, 0.3025, 0.3932, 0.3532, 0.3895, 0.3793, 0.4531, 0.3381, 0.2278, 0.2996, 0.2156, 0.236, 0.2213, 0.1354, 0.0481, -0.0156, -0.0721, -0.045, 0.0057, 0.056, -0.0599, -0.0752, 0.0208, -0.0128, 0.0518, 0.0518, 0.0538, 0.1124, 0.0713, 0.0987, 0.1418, 0.089, 0.1144, 0.0709, 0.0395, 0.0472, -0.026, -0.0987, -0.1009, -0.1619, -0.1326, -0.0063, 0.0355, 0.0, 0.0122, 0.0122, -0.0271, -0.0443, -0.054, -0.0703, -0.0703, -0.0009, 0.0311, 0.1134, 0.0686, 0.0808, 0.0877, 0.1922, 0.1711, 0.1327, 0.1539, 0.2077, 0.2077, 0.1029, 0.0982, 0.0758, 0.0497, 0.0159, 0.0871, 0.1155, 0.0542, -0.0538, -0.0208, -0.0009, -0.0849, -0.1795, -0.0437, 0.0317, 0.0195, -0.0158, -0.0033, 0.0886, 0.0886, 0.0832, 0.1307, 0.1953, 0.0876, 0.1175, 0.1394, 0.1787, 0.1649, 0.0129, 0.0109, -0.0359, 0.0861, 0.0624, -0.0078, 0.0545, 0.0711, 0.244, 0.2, 0.2546, 0.4423, 0.2921, 0.3169, 0.3498, 0.3065, 0.2679, 0.2764, 0.2784, 0.1771, 0.1198, 0.0248, 0.1525, 0.1324, 0.2087, 0.2087, 0.25, 0.304, 0.3884, 0.5143, 0.6102, 0.7168, 0.7987, 0.8524, 0.8365, 0.7454, 0.7679, 0.7389, 0.7343, 0.7448, 0.6346, 0.6101, 0.5052, 0.5683, 0.5354, 0.716, 0.9596, 0.954, 1.1669, 1.0523, 0.9666, 1.0671, 0.9894, 1.3022, 1.4564, 1.443, 1.2199, 1.1963, 1.1306, 1.4429, 1.3855, 1.3855, 1.311, 1.3145, 1.5141, 1.5668, 1.5668, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2009436652184457529", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-09T01:26:46+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I place a lot more value on it than $1.3B market cap", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AXTI: controls InP supply chain pricing as a monopoly post-China export controls; TAM expands from ~$100Ms to $10B+ as hyperscalers have no alternative, making $1.3B mkt cap undervalued.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "For Q X P, $AXTI controls both quantity (regulated monopoly) as well as price (monopoly at scale) for the AI buildout with photonics after China's export control on Japan.  \n\nThe death of a duopoly completely changed any former pricing structure there was. \n\nThe TAM of InP was few hundred million because it's a niche telecom product. Now, Google would happily pay billions just so their entire TPU program doesn't stall out. Same goes for Meta, Microsoft, Amazon, Nvidia, and others. Then TAM suddenly goes from few hundred million to $10B+.   \n\nAgain I don't know where this heads, it's impossible to model an extreme scenario that's never happened before (one small cap company controlling two different critical bottlenecks for the trillion AI buildout).  \n\nBut when the company controls majority of the supply chain as well as price structure of a material used for every hyperscaler to scale out their programs, I place a lot more value on it than $1.3B market cap.\n\n---\n\n^ clarification, $AXTI controls the price. Regarding quantity, that was referring to controlling majority of the InP supply chain. \n\nThey have a certain amount of inventory, which obviously is controlled by China for permits.   \n\nPoint was that can double, triple, capacity, but if you control both the supply chain, you can control pricing.  You can have finite material and increase prices 100%+, 500%, 2000%, and hyperscalers would still pay because there's no alternative.   \n\nEven that much increase would only be a few percent increase on TPU cluster BOM because the price was so negligible before.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.12353197828891327, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.12353197828891327, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.1301018717281992, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.14984098142919255, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006569893439285934, "bench_c_m1d": -0.026309003140279286, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03262287983761569, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03262287983761569, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03419333364938748, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.036322593205094234, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0015704538117717881, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003699713367478541, "ret_p1w": -0.03914743921228414, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03914743921228414, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03567515789841835, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06784589610736158, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.003472281313865788, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02869845689507744, "ret_p1m": 0.2079165173655424, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2079165173655424, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.20808934664522083, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.16313466488849615, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00017282927967843253, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04478185247704625, "ret_p3m": 1.31317967962682, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.31317967962682, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.3365401139432729, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.2265962252787943, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.02336043431645274, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08658345434802572, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.8012, -0.8003, -0.7856, -0.8038, -0.7864, -0.7751, -0.7851, -0.7747, -0.7364, -0.7308, -0.7129, -0.6925, -0.6816, -0.6542, -0.632, -0.6285, -0.6042, -0.6142, -0.5885, -0.5459, -0.5407, -0.5224, -0.5459, -0.5459, -0.5542, -0.5694, -0.5602, -0.589, -0.6116, -0.5937, -0.5985, -0.5455, -0.5455, -0.5346, -0.5307, -0.4885, -0.5007, -0.4737, -0.4963, -0.4472, -0.3493, -0.3254, -0.2875, -0.3558, -0.3549, -0.4345, -0.4624, -0.3906, -0.3628, -0.338, -0.3632, -0.3471, -0.3471, -0.3314, -0.3654, -0.3127, -0.2888, -0.2888, -0.271, -0.2749, -0.1227, 0.0487, 0.1235, 0.0, -0.0326, -0.0644, -0.0387, 0.1187, -0.0391, -0.0391, -0.0687, -0.1396, -0.2205, -0.2431, -0.2258, -0.2518, -0.2679, -0.2875, -0.1936, -0.0892, -0.1414, -0.1844, -0.1114, 0.0465, 0.2079, 0.0592, 0.1657, 0.0783, 0.0544, 0.0544, 0.0096, 0.0239, 0.0357, 0.291, 0.2366, 0.5259, 0.7821, 0.6146, 0.6485, 1.0148, 0.8164, 0.702, 0.6877, 0.408, 0.6773, 0.9269, 1.06, 1.0326, 1.1253, 1.1048, 0.9295, 1.1209, 1.5268, 1.3593, 1.803, 1.9769, 1.9295, 1.545, 1.6372, 1.2936, 1.4785, 1.0505, 1.2984, 1.2984, 0.8264, 0.9774, 1.3132, 1.7455, 1.7916, 1.8904, 1.9274, 1.7373, 2.5572, 2.5911, 2.4258, 2.261, 2.7816, 2.274, 2.3127, 2.0513, 1.9887, 2.0913, 2.4458, 3.1757, 3.6107, 3.6781, 3.5598, 3.716, 4.0613, 4.4724, 4.3458, 4.304, 4.0013, 4.3841, 3.6055, 3.91, 3.5502, 4.264, 5.1257, 5.1257, 4.7677, 4.3401, 4.0326, 3.4872, 3.4872, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1979690889527345495", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-18T23:27:43+00:00", "symbol": "FLY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "upside on a 3-4B marketcap could be 5-10x if they got it to work in 2026-2027", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long FLY on NOC co-development reducing execution risk for reusable medium-lift; 5-10x upside potential by 2026-2027; market underpricing NOC's role.", "resolved_tickers": ["FLY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I wrote about it earlier but a TLDR was $FLY was working with Northrop on reuable medium lift and having $NOC co-developing it would reduce any execution risk.\n\nNOC had working expendable medium-lifts already before Russia-Ukraine war and their supply chain fell apart. NOC + Fly = Working medium lift plug and play med kinda ready to go, they just needed to make it re-usable. \n\nThesis was Fly can leapfrog building successful small-lift themselves by piggy backing off of Northrop on reusable medium-lift launchers to complete with falcon9 and upside on a 3-4B marketcap could be 5-10x if they got it to work in 2026-2027. \n\nI also didn't think markets were pricing in Northrop executing on this cause they just keep pointing to FLY's failures but, NOC is one of the largest government aerospace contractors.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Have you looked into $FLY's business / trust their capabilities? Skimmed it and was wary of their execution -- would like your view (I remember you saw it as a potential new RKLB)", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "iamsattam", "ret_m1d": -0.028023606392459044, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.028023606392459044, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01773018744339505, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01773018744339505, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010293418949063993, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010293418949063993, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.039085524820815065, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.039085524820815065, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03910042930229085, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03910042930229085, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4904481475785936e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -1.4904481475785936e-05, "ret_p1w": 0.01364302803964157, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01364302803964157, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.007122663636196291, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.007122663636196291, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02076569167583786, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02076569167583786, "ret_p1m": -0.2713864447859511, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2713864447859511, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.25467257754665973, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.25467257754665973, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016713867239291358, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016713867239291358, "ret_p3m": 0.0969763672338051, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0969763672338051, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0627361099184478, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0627361099184478, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03424025731535729, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03424025731535729, "ret_p6m": 0.349926234419188, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.349926234419188, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.30953554681236506, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.30953554681236506, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04039068760682296, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04039068760682296, "price_path": [null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 1.2253, 0.8499, 0.9771, 0.8977, 0.8713, 0.819, 0.7456, 0.7928, 0.677, 0.6692, 0.7061, 0.7002, 0.6492, 0.6611, 0.7341, 0.7386, 0.6729, 0.6729, 0.6309, 0.6364, 0.5789, 0.5719, 0.5774, 0.6423, 0.5771, 0.5844, 0.6132, 0.6173, 0.6169, 0.5988, 0.6674, 0.6667, 0.826, 0.5465, 0.4956, 0.3886, 0.3267, 0.3628, 0.0811, -0.0166, -0.0118, 0.0092, 0.0726, 0.0487, 0.1431, 0.1084, 0.0457, 0.1018, 0.1095, 0.0914, 0.0343, -0.028, 0.0, 0.0391, -0.0324, -0.0428, -0.0074, 0.0136, -0.0498, -0.0763, -0.0985, -0.1055, -0.1232, -0.1574, -0.1704, -0.2872, -0.2721, -0.2906, -0.2946, -0.3249, -0.2102, -0.1538, -0.2817, -0.2714, -0.2839, -0.3761, -0.3813, -0.3783, -0.3606, -0.3573, -0.3573, -0.347, -0.3802, -0.34, -0.316, -0.2544, -0.2695, -0.2946, -0.2824, -0.2146, -0.1331, -0.1851, -0.2493, -0.2522, -0.3167, -0.26, -0.0911, 0.0546, -0.0243, -0.0029, -0.0029, -0.1394, -0.1298, -0.1622, -0.1751, -0.1751, -0.1239, -0.0498, -0.0247, 0.0085, 0.0321, 0.1103, 0.1224, 0.0313, 0.1066, 0.097, 0.2319, 0.2319, 0.1187, 0.0656, 0.1401, 0.0741, -0.0708, 0.0822, 0.0642, -0.0011, -0.0708, -0.1571, -0.076, -0.0999, -0.1742, -0.1195, -0.0889, -0.1519, -0.2323, -0.2946, -0.2883, -0.2883, -0.2485, -0.2083, -0.2061, -0.2633, -0.2633, -0.2367, -0.2496, -0.2061, -0.2895, -0.2286, -0.2308, -0.2109, -0.2485, -0.2725, -0.2349, -0.285, -0.2404, -0.1434, -0.1346, -0.1176, -0.0937, -0.1449, -0.1534, -0.1438, -0.1147, -0.125, 0.0151, -0.0114, -0.1259, -0.1291, 0.0498, 0.0973, 0.2142, 0.2142, 0.285, 0.3116, 0.4056, 0.3853, 0.3842, 0.4307, 0.3499]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1979690889527345495", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-18T23:27:43+00:00", "symbol": "NOC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I also didn't think markets were pricing in Northrop executing on this", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long FLY on NOC co-development reducing execution risk for reusable medium-lift; 5-10x upside potential by 2026-2027; market underpricing NOC's role.", "resolved_tickers": ["NOC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I wrote about it earlier but a TLDR was $FLY was working with Northrop on reuable medium lift and having $NOC co-developing it would reduce any execution risk.\n\nNOC had working expendable medium-lifts already before Russia-Ukraine war and their supply chain fell apart. NOC + Fly = Working medium lift plug and play med kinda ready to go, they just needed to make it re-usable. \n\nThesis was Fly can leapfrog building successful small-lift themselves by piggy backing off of Northrop on reusable medium-lift launchers to complete with falcon9 and upside on a 3-4B marketcap could be 5-10x if they got it to work in 2026-2027. \n\nI also didn't think markets were pricing in Northrop executing on this cause they just keep pointing to FLY's failures but, NOC is one of the largest government aerospace contractors.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Have you looked into $FLY's business / trust their capabilities? Skimmed it and was wary of their execution -- would like your view (I remember you saw it as a potential new RKLB)", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "iamsattam", "ret_m1d": -0.01245834478401786, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01245834478401786, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.002164925834953868, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.002164925834953868, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010293418949063993, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010293418949063993, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004401964830237248, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004401964830237248, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004387060348761462, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004387060348761462, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4904481475785936e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -1.4904481475785936e-05, "ret_p1w": -0.010049743714021009, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.010049743714021009, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03081543538985887, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03081543538985887, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02076569167583786, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02076569167583786, "ret_p1m": -0.05853814612370456, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05853814612370456, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0418242788844132, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0418242788844132, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016713867239291358, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016713867239291358, "ret_p3m": 0.09179941035485029, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09179941035485029, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.057559153039492994, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.057559153039492994, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03424025731535729, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03424025731535729, "ret_p6m": 0.13799634824010765, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.13799634824010765, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.09760566063328469, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09760566063328469, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04039068760682296, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04039068760682296, "price_path": [-0.0593, -0.0594, -0.0573, -0.0591, -0.0515, -0.0522, -0.0459, -0.0297, -0.0242, -0.0239, -0.0249, -0.0281, -0.0385, -0.0399, -0.039, -0.0369, -0.0342, -0.0338, -0.0323, -0.03, -0.0196, -0.0118, -0.0197, -0.0292, -0.0188, -0.0294, -0.0272, -0.0237, -0.0237, -0.0211, -0.0349, -0.0369, -0.0352, -0.0334, -0.0504, -0.0368, -0.0316, -0.0433, -0.0456, -0.0376, -0.0414, -0.0469, -0.0481, -0.0429, -0.0414, -0.0261, -0.027, -0.0124, -0.0133, 0.0122, 0.0057, 0.005, 0.0125, 0.0274, 0.0326, 0.0597, 0.0548, 0.0357, 0.028, 0.0414, 0.0115, -0.005, -0.0125, 0.0, -0.0044, -0.0092, 0.0062, 0.0059, -0.01, -0.0115, -0.0283, -0.0389, -0.0308, -0.0442, -0.0413, -0.0523, -0.0499, -0.0555, -0.0648, -0.0586, -0.0721, -0.0731, -0.0731, -0.0647, -0.0585, -0.0615, -0.0576, -0.0586, -0.0605, -0.0541, -0.058, -0.058, -0.0494, -0.0902, -0.0877, -0.0771, -0.0777, -0.0844, -0.0767, -0.0816, -0.0737, -0.0659, -0.0497, -0.0397, -0.0515, -0.059, -0.0668, -0.0519, -0.0249, -0.0325, -0.0287, -0.0287, -0.037, -0.0363, -0.0417, -0.049, -0.049, -0.0232, 0.0196, 0.0184, -0.0376, -0.0146, 0.0321, 0.0496, 0.0432, 0.0893, 0.0918, 0.1123, 0.1123, 0.0963, 0.1077, 0.1182, 0.1224, 0.1024, 0.132, 0.1494, 0.1597, 0.1546, 0.1425, 0.1758, 0.1504, 0.1617, 0.1827, 0.1642, 0.1425, 0.1322, 0.1593, 0.1718, 0.1718, 0.1694, 0.2089, 0.229, 0.2068, 0.2137, 0.2176, 0.1774, 0.1895, 0.212, 0.2851, 0.2701, 0.2613, 0.2382, 0.2652, 0.2505, 0.2298, 0.2268, 0.232, 0.2276, 0.2314, 0.2115, 0.2128, 0.1949, 0.1829, 0.1378, 0.1414, 0.1565, 0.1578, 0.1361, 0.1237, 0.1415, 0.1662, 0.1754, 0.1754, 0.1642, 0.1553, 0.1503, 0.1555, 0.1273, 0.14, 0.138]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1983953927390556171", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-30T17:47:31+00:00", "symbol": "MQ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$MQ not a fan because singular dependency on Square if that was the customer for Cash App. Also they can launch their own card offerings in the future.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish MQ on singular Square/Cash App dependency risk; bullish DAVE by comparison.", "resolved_tickers": ["MQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@BarnieTaintpipe I’m aware of them both already. Off the top of my head $MQ not a fan because singular dependency on Square if that was the customer for Cash App. Also they can launch their own card offerings in the future.\n\n$DAVE I liked a lot more", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Look at $MQ $DAVE if you want to expand scope of sector. Newer type of fintech cos and products", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BarnieTaintpipe", "ret_m1d": 0.020270304375678894, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.020270304375678894, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009149856148352953, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009149856148352953, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01112044822732594, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01112044822732594, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.020270304375678894, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.020270304375678894, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016990204643600126, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016990204643600126, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0032800997320787673, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0032800997320787673, "ret_p1w": 0.09909911070945099, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09909911070945099, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11310264813918292, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11310264813918292, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014003537429731927, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014003537429731927, "ret_p1m": 0.0788288063337721, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0788288063337721, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07359227627261689, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07359227627261689, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005236530061155209, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005236530061155209, "ret_p3m": -0.02477480452630154, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.02477480452630154, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05083285293738815, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05083285293738815, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02605804841108661, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02605804841108661, "ret_p6m": -0.02927930467692408, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.02927930467692408, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08543322521685115, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08543322521685115, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05615392053992707, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05615392053992707, "price_path": [0.268, 0.259, 0.2793, 0.5383, 0.4685, 0.4369, 0.4471, 0.464, 0.3919, 0.3986, 0.3896, 0.3671, 0.3468, 0.3378, 0.3919, 0.3896, 0.4054, 0.4133, 0.4347, 0.4336, 0.4336, 0.3896, 0.3919, 0.3761, 0.3851, 0.3694, 0.3514, 0.3288, 0.3446, 0.3131, 0.3063, 0.3041, 0.3063, 0.3086, 0.2815, 0.2905, 0.2523, 0.2387, 0.205, 0.2072, 0.2162, 0.1892, 0.1396, 0.1486, 0.1509, 0.1351, 0.1329, 0.1464, 0.1396, 0.1126, 0.0586, 0.0721, 0.0766, 0.0293, 0.0248, 0.0338, 0.0495, 0.0495, 0.0698, 0.0631, 0.0833, 0.0518, 0.0203, 0.0, 0.0203, 0.0124, 0.0045, 0.009, 0.0991, 0.0428, 0.0766, 0.1351, 0.1329, 0.1171, 0.0991, 0.0631, 0.0766, 0.0856, 0.0405, 0.0676, 0.0743, 0.0653, 0.0653, 0.0653, 0.0788, 0.0664, 0.0495, 0.0676, 0.0676, 0.0495, 0.0586, 0.0856, 0.1126, 0.1239, 0.1126, 0.0856, 0.1081, 0.1081, 0.1194, 0.1419, 0.1441, 0.1194, 0.1104, 0.1104, 0.0946, 0.0991, 0.0833, 0.0698, 0.0698, 0.045, 0.1059, 0.0923, 0.0923, 0.0833, 0.0653, 0.0495, 0.018, 0.0, -0.0068, 0.0045, 0.0045, -0.0293, -0.0068, 0.0113, -0.0023, -0.0068, -0.0248, -0.0293, -0.0608, -0.0698, -0.0631, -0.0968, -0.0923, -0.0968, -0.0473, -0.0541, -0.0293, -0.0653, -0.0946, -0.1171, -0.1171, -0.0946, -0.0811, -0.0676, -0.045, -0.0788, -0.0631, -0.1306, -0.1171, -0.1351, -0.1239, -0.0878, -0.0946, -0.0856, -0.0946, -0.0811, -0.0608, -0.0541, -0.1014, -0.1059, -0.1059, -0.0968, -0.1149, -0.1149, -0.0811, -0.0473, -0.0608, -0.0563, -0.0631, -0.1014, -0.0923, -0.0811, -0.1149, -0.1059, -0.1059, -0.0991, -0.1014, -0.0833, -0.1036, -0.1329, -0.0923, -0.0856, -0.0721, -0.0586, -0.0113, 0.0045, -0.0023, 0.0068, -0.0338, -0.0293]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1983953927390556171", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-30T17:47:31+00:00", "symbol": "DAVE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$DAVE I liked a lot more", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish MQ on singular Square/Cash App dependency risk; bullish DAVE by comparison.", "resolved_tickers": ["DAVE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@BarnieTaintpipe I’m aware of them both already. Off the top of my head $MQ not a fan because singular dependency on Square if that was the customer for Cash App. Also they can launch their own card offerings in the future.\n\n$DAVE I liked a lot more", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Look at $MQ $DAVE if you want to expand scope of sector. Newer type of fintech cos and products", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BarnieTaintpipe", "ret_m1d": 0.08783122082568173, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08783122082568173, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07671077259835579, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07671077259835579, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01112044822732594, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01112044822732594, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06753508405334663, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06753508405334663, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06425498432126786, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06425498432126786, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0032800997320787673, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0032800997320787673, "ret_p1w": -0.0024533313004616586, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0024533313004616586, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.011550206129270268, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.011550206129270268, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014003537429731927, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014003537429731927, "ret_p1m": -0.026407343930584637, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.026407343930584637, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.031643873991739846, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.031643873991739846, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005236530061155209, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005236530061155209, "ret_p3m": -0.20818092467529636, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.20818092467529636, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23423897308638297, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23423897308638297, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02605804841108661, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02605804841108661, "ret_p6m": 0.22473015669901564, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.22473015669901564, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.16857623615908857, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.16857623615908857, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05615392053992707, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05615392053992707, "price_path": [0.0951, 0.0653, -0.1252, -0.1463, -0.1836, -0.1671, -0.1764, -0.1057, -0.1031, -0.1017, -0.0976, -0.1525, -0.1603, -0.1691, -0.1123, -0.1167, -0.0712, -0.073, -0.0283, -0.0489, -0.0489, -0.0626, -0.0865, -0.1275, -0.1317, -0.1293, -0.0313, -0.0443, 0.0031, 0.0234, -0.0234, -0.0443, -0.0245, 0.0161, 0.0641, 0.082, 0.0321, 0.0216, -0.0041, -0.0271, -0.0594, -0.1108, -0.1197, -0.089, -0.0926, -0.1066, -0.095, -0.0721, -0.0781, -0.1299, -0.097, -0.0354, -0.0162, -0.0564, -0.0795, -0.0386, 0.0099, -0.0261, 0.0749, 0.1092, 0.1422, 0.1196, 0.0878, 0.0, 0.0675, 0.0711, 0.0464, 0.086, -0.0025, 0.0503, 0.1017, 0.076, 0.0777, -0.0354, -0.0842, -0.1342, -0.1504, -0.1519, -0.1859, -0.1316, -0.091, -0.0619, -0.0493, -0.0493, -0.0264, -0.0914, -0.096, -0.091, -0.0629, -0.0766, -0.0971, -0.1315, -0.1217, -0.0885, -0.1185, -0.1479, -0.1126, -0.1215, -0.0687, -0.0398, -0.0275, -0.0141, 0.0201, 0.0201, 0.0225, 0.0159, -0.0131, -0.0124, -0.0124, -0.021, 0.0268, 0.0405, 0.0471, 0.0554, 0.0677, -0.0387, -0.0556, -0.1727, -0.1433, -0.1346, -0.1346, -0.1736, -0.1703, -0.1507, -0.1865, -0.179, -0.2082, -0.2199, -0.2354, -0.2698, -0.2206, -0.2417, -0.2725, -0.3045, -0.1827, -0.1737, -0.1724, -0.2434, -0.2411, -0.2092, -0.2092, -0.2122, -0.1945, -0.2049, -0.2126, -0.2614, -0.2448, -0.2309, -0.1421, -0.1379, -0.1123, -0.0688, -0.0603, -0.0266, -0.0306, -0.0123, 0.0052, -0.0039, -0.0505, -0.0542, -0.0646, -0.0624, -0.0807, -0.0612, -0.0641, -0.0393, -0.0793, -0.1926, -0.2011, -0.2196, -0.2441, -0.2234, -0.2263, -0.2296, -0.2296, -0.2237, -0.2614, -0.2043, -0.1887, -0.1729, -0.1296, -0.0465, 0.026, 0.0391, 0.1183, 0.1927, 0.2222, 0.2577, 0.2238, 0.2247]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1995268227912667161", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-30T23:06:30+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "makes $ETH / $BMNR a terrible investment above $4K", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish ETH above $4K: L2/blob compression broke value accrual — burn at ATLs despite ecosystem highs, price no longer scales with network usage.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Ethereum's network itself is growing. But the way Vitalik scaled Ethereum pushed economic value away from the asset. \n\nThat's the sad economic reality that makes $ETH / $BMNR a terrible investment above $4K (it's a good trade).\n\nL2's weakened value accrual for holders because it doesn't work this way with DA and blockspace (10x usage -> 10x DA fees -> 10x burn). Ecosystem usage hits new highs, yet $ETH burn ATLs is exactly what you look at to show this disparity. \n\nCompressed, low-cost blobs mean that billions in L2 activity translate into only a tiny amount of ETH spent on mainnet\n\nMainnet is burning tens of eth a day, down from hundreds/thousands a day before EIP-4844. You're right by saying L2s have genuinely changed ETH's value accrual mechanics... by moving it off of ETH. \n\nYou can argue collateral asset as a investment option and a shift of value accrual. But the main token economics that originally justified ETH as an investment doesn't exist anymore: \n\nETH price as an asset no longer scales proportionately with network usage.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @VitalikButerin @fundstrat Fair to say L2s changed the economics, but “$ETH is a terrible investment” feels too strong.\n\nL2s didn’t kill value accrual, they changed its shape:\n•Every serious L2 still settles to mainnet and pays for data availability in $ETH. If rollups 10x blockspace demand, L1 DA fees", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "EarningsMindset", "ret_m1d": 0.08289279096154756, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08289279096154756, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07830634609922482, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.07062049558248629, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07062049558248629, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06876819590840721, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": 0.1160668216622518, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1160668216622518, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11112756640799382, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": 0.0611486529490981, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0611486529490981, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04825654615673103, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.27619434688681554, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.27619434688681554, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2924626055013444, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.2604577118557324, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2604577118557324, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3701110914364024, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.5893, 0.5352, 0.5381, 0.5385, 0.5388, 0.5532, 0.5932, 0.6839, 0.6166, 0.6083, 0.6402, 0.6391, 0.5966, 0.5009, 0.4876, 0.4833, 0.3815, 0.4413, 0.5061, 0.4806, 0.5539, 0.6027, 0.6123, 0.6741, 0.5896, 0.6169, 0.5603, 0.3724, 0.5161, 0.4733, 0.424, 0.3909, 0.3687, 0.4216, 0.3845, 0.36, 0.3771, 0.4051, 0.4714, 0.4221, 0.394, 0.3586, 0.3739, 0.2865, 0.1758, 0.2232, 0.1829, 0.2268, 0.2744, 0.2197, 0.2189, 0.1545, 0.1084, 0.0801, 0.1153, 0.0796, 0.0113, -0.0123, 0.0545, 0.0563, 0.0813, 0.0765, 0.0829, 0.0, 0.0706, 0.1398, 0.1193, 0.0801, 0.1161, 0.186, 0.1876, 0.156, 0.1014, 0.0586, 0.0586, 0.0111, 0.0096, 0.0635, 0.0735, 0.0583, 0.0519, 0.0369, 0.0448, 0.048, 0.0611, 0.0596, 0.0715, 0.1158, 0.1521, 0.177, 0.1309, 0.1086, 0.101, 0.1043, 0.1864, 0.198, 0.1846, 0.1769, 0.138, 0.0484, 0.0638, 0.0534, 0.0547, 0.0451, 0.0793, 0.0737, 0.0064, -0.0349, -0.1628, -0.2045, -0.2345, -0.3494, -0.2631, -0.2488, -0.2788, -0.307, -0.3047, -0.2684, -0.2865, -0.2886, -0.3022, -0.3043, -0.2968, -0.3374, -0.3383, -0.2663, -0.2762, -0.3105, -0.276, -0.2919, -0.2406, -0.2602, -0.2934, -0.2883, -0.2725, -0.2673, -0.2596, -0.2527, -0.1604, -0.1722, -0.213, -0.2367, -0.2334, -0.2314, -0.2302, -0.2258, -0.2645, -0.2889, -0.2774, -0.2484, -0.2362, -0.2655, -0.2667, -0.2473, -0.1994, -0.2178, -0.2182, -0.1982, -0.1534, -0.1703, -0.1574, -0.1613, -0.1354, -0.1732, -0.1686, -0.1515, -0.1674, -0.173, -0.1775, -0.1824, -0.1953, -0.1943, -0.1804, -0.1621, -0.1568, -0.1605, -0.1818, -0.1761, -0.1646, -0.1877, -0.1938, -0.1854, -0.206, -0.2399, -0.2465, -0.2404, -0.2388, -0.2627, -0.246, -0.2605]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1986895780532396251", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-07T20:37:23+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS only had extremely positive changes to the fundamentals since the $MSFT deal but is trading around the same price on the initial announcement pop", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish NBIS: fundamentals improved significantly (MSFT deal, MSCI inclusion ~Nov 24, Israel HPC, UK data center) but price unchanged — upside ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Hope you don't get margin called (if you're on margin). Otherwise, recovery on leverage should net higher upside.\n\n$NBIS only had extremely positive changes to the fundamentals since the $MSFT deal but is trading around the same price on the initial announcement pop.\n \nMacro aside:\n- Inclusion into MSCI world index fund ~Nov 24th.\n- Government AI HPC deals (Israel)\n- UK Data center.\n \nThere's other minor service launches too like Token Factory but I'd probably put those three above as the biggest changes (latter two for revenue increase, first one for liquidity inflow)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit i lost all my ytd gains leveraging nbis… never again", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mattia030339", "ret_m1d": -0.01653483427457536, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01653483427457536, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015551294995075793, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019121531471761766, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009835392794995679, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002586697197186405, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011951849799104464, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011951849799104464, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.027556193107098892, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.022388019259927283, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015604343307994428, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01043616946082282, "ret_p1w": -0.24928107627666896, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.24928107627666896, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2507118784654304, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.24232362996945367, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0014308021887614597, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006957446307215287, "ret_p1m": -0.09840040499963942, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09840040499963942, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11726869718810895, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1354176329358321, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018868292188469526, "bench_c_p1m": 0.037017227936192665, "ret_p3m": -0.25961538197844847, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.25961538197844847, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.28532096917866034, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3048221396777887, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025705587200211877, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04520675769934024, "ret_p6m": 0.5853702381758781, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5853702381758781, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5091695010200037, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5431122207638381, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07620073715587439, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04225801741203994, "price_path": [-0.3231, -0.3653, -0.3848, -0.3564, -0.3481, -0.3962, -0.3937, -0.4053, -0.3801, -0.3708, -0.3666, -0.3701, -0.3526, -0.3861, -0.3861, -0.4094, -0.41, -0.4167, -0.4117, -0.4243, -0.1398, -0.1608, -0.1985, -0.1875, -0.1826, -0.1964, -0.1546, -0.1542, -0.1076, -0.0421, -0.0313, 0.0175, -0.03, -0.0322, -0.0095, 0.0089, 0.0389, 0.1311, 0.1501, 0.1228, 0.0577, 0.0963, 0.1919, 0.1645, 0.2173, 0.1516, 0.1308, 0.1057, 0.0194, -0.0205, -0.0629, -0.1138, -0.046, 0.0537, 0.1272, 0.0948, 0.1242, 0.1159, 0.1756, 0.0826, -0.0066, 0.0514, -0.0165, 0.0, -0.012, -0.0814, -0.152, -0.2035, -0.2493, -0.2274, -0.1864, -0.1457, -0.2394, -0.2518, -0.1742, -0.2013, -0.1491, -0.1491, -0.1475, -0.1, -0.1333, -0.1111, -0.0762, -0.119, -0.0984, -0.1336, -0.159, -0.1528, -0.212, -0.2708, -0.2726, -0.322, -0.2983, -0.1961, -0.1622, -0.191, -0.1811, -0.1811, -0.2129, -0.2268, -0.2346, -0.2478, -0.2478, -0.1917, -0.1658, -0.0992, -0.1354, -0.1256, -0.12, -0.0355, -0.0526, -0.0836, -0.0665, -0.0229, -0.0229, -0.1077, -0.1115, -0.1297, -0.1508, -0.1781, -0.1205, -0.0975, -0.1471, -0.2345, -0.2078, -0.1917, -0.2596, -0.3362, -0.2263, -0.1653, -0.1751, -0.2037, -0.1937, -0.1192, -0.1192, -0.1237, -0.0852, -0.033, -0.1201, -0.0959, -0.0782, -0.0464, -0.0575, -0.1805, -0.1822, -0.22, -0.1213, -0.1405, -0.1973, -0.1468, -0.1334, 0.0064, -0.0291, 0.015, 0.1669, 0.0454, 0.0654, 0.092, 0.057, 0.0258, 0.0326, 0.0342, -0.0477, -0.094, -0.1709, -0.0676, -0.0838, -0.0221, -0.0221, 0.0113, 0.055, 0.1233, 0.2251, 0.3027, 0.3889, 0.4552, 0.4987, 0.4858, 0.4121, 0.4303, 0.4068, 0.4031, 0.4116, 0.3224, 0.3027, 0.2177, 0.2688, 0.2422, 0.3883, 0.5854]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1992190884432236938", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-22T11:18:14+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "with $CRWV there's short term upside because sell-off was way too much to the $60s", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "CRWV short-term bounce from oversold $60s but medium-long bearish on debt; NBIS favored as diversified full-stack without margin-crushing interest.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you spent just 30 seconds reading the post, you would see I didn't rate $BITF. \n\nWith $CRWV there's short term upside because sell-off was way too much to the $60s. But medium-long term they have way too much debt interest. \n\nWhile $NBIS and $IREN funds through convertibles or little interest cutting into margins every quarter, Coreweave pays over $1.2B+ in annual debt expense interest. \n\nOpenAI also makes up 1/3th of their total backlog, so while they have some defensible hyperscalers ( $META, $MSFT) + $NVDA backstop, building out for OpenAI like $ORCL, presents considerable risk given their lack of revenue + Gemini $GOOGL competition. \n\nSo they are F tier despite being a highly rated full-stack offering due to absurd debt interest cutting into margins + large concentration of backlog from OpenAI (contract uncertainty) that don't affect diversified full-stack offerings like $NBIS.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@babyfolio @aleabitoreddit No its not. CRWV = BITF? You must be joking.\n\nOnly one example: CRWV was mentioned in the NVDA earnings call, not BITF, not CIFR, not NBIS", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "_melonBird", "ret_m1d": -0.026494524302576372, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.026494524302576372, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011989509404608745, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.011989509404608745, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014505014897967627, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014505014897967627, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.031385837044629605, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.031385837044629605, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0407918284866855, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0407918284866855, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009405991442055894, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009405991442055894, "ret_p1w": 0.04701085810061856, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04701085810061856, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02975425590201053, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02975425590201053, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01725660219860803, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01725660219860803, "ret_p1m": 0.09048918206772982, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09048918206772982, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05869323553023498, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05869323553023498, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031795946537494846, "bench_c_p1m": 0.031795946537494846, "ret_p3m": 0.31983697559184554, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.31983697559184554, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.29326038913337804, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.29326038913337804, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0265765864584675, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0265765864584675, "ret_p6m": 0.35611412537852827, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.35611412537852827, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2526674954051997, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2526674954051997, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10344662997332854, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10344662997332854, "price_path": [0.317, 0.3966, 0.4, 0.4, 0.2682, 0.2212, 0.1886, 0.2105, 0.2711, 0.3617, 0.5916, 0.5311, 0.5212, 0.6368, 0.6135, 0.6421, 0.6493, 0.6965, 0.8102, 0.7784, 0.8125, 0.7209, 0.6351, 0.6647, 0.8594, 0.8621, 0.875, 0.8314, 0.8186, 0.7504, 0.9019, 0.944, 0.8808, 0.9242, 0.8215, 0.8918, 0.9258, 0.8596, 0.7264, 0.6992, 0.6512, 0.6758, 0.801, 0.8486, 0.8315, 0.9012, 0.7807, 0.8167, 0.7163, 0.5727, 0.5546, 0.4529, 0.4132, 0.4349, 0.201, 0.1607, 0.0644, 0.0511, 0.0235, 0.0177, 0.0179, -0.0596, -0.0265, 0.0, -0.0314, 0.0094, 0.0094, -0.0065, 0.047, 0.033, 0.0783, 0.1651, 0.1997, 0.1717, 0.2318, 0.1978, 0.1872, 0.0678, -0.017, -0.0557, -0.123, -0.0804, 0.1277, 0.1526, 0.0905, 0.0716, 0.0716, 0.0383, 0.0179, 0.0041, -0.027, -0.027, 0.0777, 0.0443, 0.059, 0.0486, 0.0474, 0.0889, 0.2219, 0.1886, 0.2201, 0.2909, 0.3754, 0.3754, 0.2938, 0.2779, 0.2471, 0.2633, 0.3357, 0.4791, 0.4405, 0.3523, 0.2662, 0.2084, 0.2236, 0.1204, 0.0143, 0.2221, 0.3151, 0.2923, 0.2928, 0.3003, 0.3049, 0.3049, 0.2364, 0.2969, 0.3198, 0.2126, 0.2342, 0.3492, 0.3317, 0.3265, 0.081, 0.0605, 0.0024, 0.0802, 0.0166, -0.0083, 0.011, 0.0179, 0.1136, 0.0851, 0.102, 0.1666, 0.1158, 0.1253, 0.0959, 0.1069, 0.1136, 0.128, 0.1899, 0.0931, 0.0164, -0.0605, 0.0526, 0.0658, 0.1174, 0.1174, 0.0997, 0.1582, 0.2079, 0.25, 0.3859, 0.4982, 0.5924, 0.6126, 0.6245, 0.5876, 0.5955, 0.5647, 0.6649, 0.5954, 0.4965, 0.5226, 0.4338, 0.5515, 0.5163, 0.617, 0.7042, 0.7376, 0.8747, 0.7505, 0.551, 0.5584, 0.464, 0.5124, 0.5518, 0.4579, 0.4099, 0.3561]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1992190884432236938", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-22T11:18:14+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "medium-long term they have way too much debt interest", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "CRWV short-term bounce from oversold $60s but medium-long bearish on debt; NBIS favored as diversified full-stack without margin-crushing interest.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you spent just 30 seconds reading the post, you would see I didn't rate $BITF. \n\nWith $CRWV there's short term upside because sell-off was way too much to the $60s. But medium-long term they have way too much debt interest. \n\nWhile $NBIS and $IREN funds through convertibles or little interest cutting into margins every quarter, Coreweave pays over $1.2B+ in annual debt expense interest. \n\nOpenAI also makes up 1/3th of their total backlog, so while they have some defensible hyperscalers ( $META, $MSFT) + $NVDA backstop, building out for OpenAI like $ORCL, presents considerable risk given their lack of revenue + Gemini $GOOGL competition. \n\nSo they are F tier despite being a highly rated full-stack offering due to absurd debt interest cutting into margins + large concentration of backlog from OpenAI (contract uncertainty) that don't affect diversified full-stack offerings like $NBIS.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@babyfolio @aleabitoreddit No its not. CRWV = BITF? You must be joking.\n\nOnly one example: CRWV was mentioned in the NVDA earnings call, not BITF, not CIFR, not NBIS", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "_melonBird", "ret_m1d": -0.026494524302576372, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.026494524302576372, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.011989509404608745, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011989509404608745, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014505014897967627, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014505014897967627, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.031385837044629605, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.031385837044629605, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0407918284866855, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0407918284866855, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009405991442055894, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009405991442055894, "ret_p1w": 0.04701085810061856, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04701085810061856, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02975425590201053, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02975425590201053, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01725660219860803, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01725660219860803, "ret_p1m": 0.09048918206772982, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09048918206772982, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05869323553023498, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05869323553023498, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031795946537494846, "bench_c_p1m": 0.031795946537494846, "ret_p3m": 0.31983697559184554, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.31983697559184554, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.29326038913337804, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.29326038913337804, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0265765864584675, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0265765864584675, "ret_p6m": 0.35611412537852827, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.35611412537852827, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2526674954051997, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2526674954051997, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10344662997332854, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10344662997332854, "price_path": [0.317, 0.3966, 0.4, 0.4, 0.2682, 0.2212, 0.1886, 0.2105, 0.2711, 0.3617, 0.5916, 0.5311, 0.5212, 0.6368, 0.6135, 0.6421, 0.6493, 0.6965, 0.8102, 0.7784, 0.8125, 0.7209, 0.6351, 0.6647, 0.8594, 0.8621, 0.875, 0.8314, 0.8186, 0.7504, 0.9019, 0.944, 0.8808, 0.9242, 0.8215, 0.8918, 0.9258, 0.8596, 0.7264, 0.6992, 0.6512, 0.6758, 0.801, 0.8486, 0.8315, 0.9012, 0.7807, 0.8167, 0.7163, 0.5727, 0.5546, 0.4529, 0.4132, 0.4349, 0.201, 0.1607, 0.0644, 0.0511, 0.0235, 0.0177, 0.0179, -0.0596, -0.0265, 0.0, -0.0314, 0.0094, 0.0094, -0.0065, 0.047, 0.033, 0.0783, 0.1651, 0.1997, 0.1717, 0.2318, 0.1978, 0.1872, 0.0678, -0.017, -0.0557, -0.123, -0.0804, 0.1277, 0.1526, 0.0905, 0.0716, 0.0716, 0.0383, 0.0179, 0.0041, -0.027, -0.027, 0.0777, 0.0443, 0.059, 0.0486, 0.0474, 0.0889, 0.2219, 0.1886, 0.2201, 0.2909, 0.3754, 0.3754, 0.2938, 0.2779, 0.2471, 0.2633, 0.3357, 0.4791, 0.4405, 0.3523, 0.2662, 0.2084, 0.2236, 0.1204, 0.0143, 0.2221, 0.3151, 0.2923, 0.2928, 0.3003, 0.3049, 0.3049, 0.2364, 0.2969, 0.3198, 0.2126, 0.2342, 0.3492, 0.3317, 0.3265, 0.081, 0.0605, 0.0024, 0.0802, 0.0166, -0.0083, 0.011, 0.0179, 0.1136, 0.0851, 0.102, 0.1666, 0.1158, 0.1253, 0.0959, 0.1069, 0.1136, 0.128, 0.1899, 0.0931, 0.0164, -0.0605, 0.0526, 0.0658, 0.1174, 0.1174, 0.0997, 0.1582, 0.2079, 0.25, 0.3859, 0.4982, 0.5924, 0.6126, 0.6245, 0.5876, 0.5955, 0.5647, 0.6649, 0.5954, 0.4965, 0.5226, 0.4338, 0.5515, 0.5163, 0.617, 0.7042, 0.7376, 0.8747, 0.7505, 0.551, 0.5584, 0.464, 0.5124, 0.5518, 0.4579, 0.4099, 0.3561]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1992190884432236938", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-11-22T11:18:14+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "don't affect diversified full-stack offerings like $NBIS", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "CRWV short-term bounce from oversold $60s but medium-long bearish on debt; NBIS favored as diversified full-stack without margin-crushing interest.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you spent just 30 seconds reading the post, you would see I didn't rate $BITF. \n\nWith $CRWV there's short term upside because sell-off was way too much to the $60s. But medium-long term they have way too much debt interest. \n\nWhile $NBIS and $IREN funds through convertibles or little interest cutting into margins every quarter, Coreweave pays over $1.2B+ in annual debt expense interest. \n\nOpenAI also makes up 1/3th of their total backlog, so while they have some defensible hyperscalers ( $META, $MSFT) + $NVDA backstop, building out for OpenAI like $ORCL, presents considerable risk given their lack of revenue + Gemini $GOOGL competition. \n\nSo they are F tier despite being a highly rated full-stack offering due to absurd debt interest cutting into margins + large concentration of backlog from OpenAI (contract uncertainty) that don't affect diversified full-stack offerings like $NBIS.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@babyfolio @aleabitoreddit No its not. CRWV = BITF? You must be joking.\n\nOnly one example: CRWV was mentioned in the NVDA earnings call, not BITF, not CIFR, not NBIS", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "_melonBird", "ret_m1d": -0.09401522574747101, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09401522574747101, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07951021084950338, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08419309478962045, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014505014897967627, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009822130957850561, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.032861852255905655, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.032861852255905655, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04226784369796155, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.044276829152403385, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009405991442055894, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01141497689649773, "ret_p1w": 0.08977148926027834, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08977148926027834, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07251488706167031, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07348978131197503, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01725660219860803, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016281707948303303, "ret_p1m": -0.020348234118967246, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.020348234118967246, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05214418065646209, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06246872564745665, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031795946537494846, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0421204915284894, "ret_p3m": 0.17094666837463257, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.17094666837463257, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.14437008191616507, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.14880038202328993, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0265765864584675, "bench_c_p3m": 0.022146286351342637, "ret_p6m": 1.1515777197442003, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.1515777197442003, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.0481310897708718, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.119846568058765, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10344662997332854, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03173115168543528, "price_path": [-0.2372, -0.2161, -0.2566, -0.2566, -0.2849, -0.2856, -0.2937, -0.2876, -0.3029, 0.0416, 0.0162, -0.0295, -0.0162, -0.0102, -0.0269, 0.0237, 0.0242, 0.0806, 0.16, 0.173, 0.2321, 0.1745, 0.1719, 0.1993, 0.2217, 0.258, 0.3696, 0.3926, 0.3595, 0.2807, 0.3275, 0.4433, 0.41, 0.474, 0.3945, 0.3692, 0.3388, 0.2344, 0.1861, 0.1347, 0.0731, 0.1552, 0.276, 0.3649, 0.3257, 0.3613, 0.3513, 0.4235, 0.3109, 0.2028, 0.2731, 0.1909, 0.2109, 0.1964, 0.1123, 0.0268, -0.0356, -0.091, -0.0644, -0.0148, 0.0345, -0.079, -0.094, 0.0, -0.0329, 0.0304, 0.0304, 0.0323, 0.0898, 0.0495, 0.0764, 0.1186, 0.0668, 0.0917, 0.0491, 0.0184, 0.0259, -0.0458, -0.1171, -0.1192, -0.179, -0.1503, -0.0266, 0.0145, -0.0203, -0.0084, -0.0084, -0.0469, -0.0638, -0.0732, -0.0892, -0.0892, -0.0212, 0.0101, 0.0908, 0.0469, 0.0588, 0.0656, 0.1679, 0.1472, 0.1097, 0.1304, 0.1831, 0.1831, 0.0804, 0.0758, 0.0539, 0.0283, -0.0048, 0.065, 0.0928, 0.0328, -0.073, -0.0407, -0.0212, -0.1035, -0.1962, -0.0631, 0.0107, -0.0012, -0.0358, -0.0236, 0.0665, 0.0665, 0.0612, 0.1077, 0.1709, 0.0655, 0.0948, 0.1162, 0.1547, 0.1412, -0.0077, -0.0097, -0.0555, 0.064, 0.0408, -0.028, 0.0331, 0.0493, 0.2187, 0.1756, 0.2291, 0.4129, 0.2658, 0.2901, 0.3223, 0.2799, 0.2421, 0.2504, 0.2523, 0.1531, 0.0971, 0.0039, 0.1291, 0.1094, 0.1841, 0.1841, 0.2246, 0.2775, 0.3602, 0.4835, 0.5775, 0.6818, 0.7621, 0.8147, 0.7991, 0.7099, 0.7319, 0.7035, 0.699, 0.7092, 0.6013, 0.5774, 0.4745, 0.5363, 0.5041, 0.6811, 0.9197, 0.9143, 1.1229, 1.0106, 0.9266, 1.025, 0.949, 1.2554, 1.4064, 1.3933, 1.1748, 1.1516]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1970538382406389849", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-23T17:18:55+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS is highest conviction stock I have for a 1 year timeframe", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Highest conviction long NBIS on 1Y basis; prefers RKLB for 5Y hold.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@__visionxry__ $NBIS is highest conviction stock I have for a 1 year timeframe.\n\nI'd be more willing to hold $RKLB on a 5Y timeframe.\n\nHolding a year for long term capital gains is smart unless it randomly pulls a $CRWV and goes up 600% in a short amount of time", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit You still believe in it for the 1Y, 5Y timeframe? I was thinking of holding until long term capital gains at the least", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "__visionxry__", "ret_m1d": -0.011131767566468054, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011131767566468054, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01660512855923091, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012567412585063775, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005473360992762855, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0014356450185957215, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05037105891888216, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05037105891888216, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05355269237149585, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05864740103362831, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003181633452613686, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008276342114746149, "ret_p1w": 0.041465616556267015, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.041465616556267015, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03698748783357497, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.041803468787482756, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004478128722692043, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0003378522312157406, "ret_p1m": -0.08515769986359101, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08515769986359101, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09207851156514568, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.061764383384825705, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006920811701554674, "bench_c_p1m": -0.023393316478765303, "ret_p3m": -0.17012990211586176, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17012990211586176, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.199368054728571, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15416836202068085, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029238152612709234, "bench_c_p3m": -0.015961540095180915, "ret_p6m": 0.09981441746035724, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.09981441746035724, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.09955147178200963, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.13682175222581228, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.00026294567834761473, "bench_c_p6m": -0.037007334765455036, "price_path": [-0.5121, -0.5191, -0.4867, -0.5333, -0.5365, -0.5339, -0.5339, -0.5562, -0.5631, -0.5728, -0.5693, -0.5891, -0.5181, -0.5034, -0.5055, -0.5019, -0.5103, -0.5142, -0.5268, -0.5187, -0.5161, -0.5235, -0.5107, -0.5325, -0.5242, -0.4951, -0.5176, -0.4975, -0.4882, -0.489, -0.3942, -0.362, -0.3484, -0.3012, -0.3448, -0.3649, -0.3356, -0.3271, -0.3767, -0.3741, -0.3861, -0.3601, -0.3505, -0.3462, -0.3497, -0.3317, -0.3662, -0.3662, -0.3904, -0.391, -0.3979, -0.3927, -0.4058, -0.1121, -0.1337, -0.1726, -0.1613, -0.1562, -0.1704, -0.1273, -0.1269, -0.0788, -0.0111, 0.0, 0.0504, 0.0013, -0.0009, 0.0224, 0.0415, 0.0724, 0.1676, 0.1872, 0.159, 0.0918, 0.1317, 0.2304, 0.202, 0.2566, 0.1888, 0.1673, 0.1414, 0.0523, 0.0111, -0.0327, -0.0852, -0.0152, 0.0878, 0.1635, 0.1301, 0.1605, 0.1519, 0.2135, 0.1175, 0.0254, 0.0853, 0.0152, 0.0323, 0.0199, -0.0518, -0.1247, -0.1778, -0.225, -0.2024, -0.1601, -0.1181, -0.2148, -0.2276, -0.1475, -0.1755, -0.1216, -0.1216, -0.1199, -0.071, -0.1053, -0.0824, -0.0464, -0.0905, -0.0693, -0.1057, -0.1318, -0.1254, -0.1865, -0.2473, -0.2491, -0.3001, -0.2756, -0.1701, -0.1352, -0.1648, -0.1546, -0.1546, -0.1875, -0.2019, -0.2099, -0.2235, -0.2235, -0.1656, -0.1389, -0.0701, -0.1075, -0.0974, -0.0916, -0.0044, -0.022, -0.054, -0.0363, 0.0086, 0.0086, -0.0789, -0.0828, -0.1016, -0.1234, -0.1516, -0.0921, -0.0684, -0.1196, -0.2097, -0.1822, -0.1656, -0.2357, -0.3147, -0.2013, -0.1384, -0.1485, -0.178, -0.1676, -0.0908, -0.0908, -0.0954, -0.0557, -0.0018, -0.0917, -0.0667, -0.0484, -0.0156, -0.0271, -0.1541, -0.1558, -0.1948, -0.0929, -0.1127, -0.1713, -0.1193, -0.1055, 0.0389, 0.0022, 0.0478, 0.2045, 0.0791, 0.0998]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1970538382406389849", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-23T17:18:55+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd be more willing to hold $RKLB on a 5Y timeframe", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Highest conviction long NBIS on 1Y basis; prefers RKLB for 5Y hold.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@__visionxry__ $NBIS is highest conviction stock I have for a 1 year timeframe.\n\nI'd be more willing to hold $RKLB on a 5Y timeframe.\n\nHolding a year for long term capital gains is smart unless it randomly pulls a $CRWV and goes up 600% in a short amount of time", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit You still believe in it for the 1Y, 5Y timeframe? I was thinking of holding until long term capital gains at the least", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "__visionxry__", "ret_m1d": -0.05859002991988704, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05859002991988704, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0640633909126499, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05832867759769389, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005473360992762855, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0002613523221931535, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07975810305940745, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07975810305940745, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07657646960679376, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07459596830554815, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003181633452613686, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005162134753859293, "ret_p1w": -0.09450009477262467, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09450009477262467, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09897822349531671, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10227575274841527, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004478128722692043, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007775657975790606, "ret_p1m": 0.14467962202557616, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14467962202557616, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.13775881032402149, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14579044464028723, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006920811701554674, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0011108226147110711, "ret_p3m": 0.3328292732269895, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3328292732269895, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3035911206142803, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3144026804225357, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029238152612709234, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0184265928044538, "ret_p6m": 0.31317338040650067, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.31317338040650067, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.31291043472815305, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.23015102791054076, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.00026294567834761473, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0830223524959599, "price_path": [-0.317, -0.3313, -0.3239, -0.3512, -0.3256, -0.326, -0.326, -0.2652, -0.2678, -0.2603, -0.261, -0.2623, -0.1833, -0.1571, -0.0987, -0.0299, -0.0287, -0.1081, -0.114, -0.0711, -0.0903, -0.1036, -0.1474, -0.1724, -0.1223, -0.1321, -0.1531, -0.1582, -0.1542, -0.1665, -0.1644, -0.1554, -0.1491, -0.1792, -0.1873, -0.1909, -0.1633, -0.1501, -0.2266, -0.231, -0.2151, -0.1612, -0.1075, -0.0903, -0.1259, -0.0945, -0.0815, -0.0815, -0.068, -0.1773, -0.1875, -0.1336, -0.0979, -0.1111, -0.1274, -0.0847, 0.0081, 0.0214, -0.1071, -0.0913, -0.1083, -0.0968, -0.0586, 0.0, -0.0798, -0.1187, -0.1257, -0.1115, -0.0945, -0.0934, -0.0083, 0.0614, 0.1057, 0.1625, 0.2344, 0.2553, 0.2145, 0.2364, 0.2858, 0.3092, 0.2663, 0.2525, 0.2729, 0.2361, 0.1447, 0.2015, 0.2202, 0.2402, 0.2049, 0.2504, 0.1514, 0.1903, 0.1593, 0.0692, 0.0663, -0.0624, -0.024, -0.0191, -0.0316, -0.0556, -0.1448, -0.1393, -0.1814, -0.1915, -0.1756, -0.2538, -0.2383, -0.1977, -0.1949, -0.2075, -0.2075, -0.2036, -0.237, -0.2081, -0.1548, -0.0669, -0.0729, -0.0255, 0.0098, 0.0871, 0.2007, 0.1622, 0.0473, 0.0488, 0.0198, 0.1325, 0.3328, 0.4657, 0.4587, 0.4587, 0.4587, 0.3353, 0.3253, 0.3315, 0.3185, 0.3185, 0.4362, 0.4768, 0.626, 0.5891, 0.5702, 0.6037, 0.6613, 0.6364, 0.735, 0.7154, 0.8201, 0.8201, 0.6851, 0.6598, 0.6628, 0.6802, 0.5211, 0.6443, 0.674, 0.6194, 0.5133, 0.4014, 0.536, 0.3818, 0.2534, 0.3668, 0.4334, 0.3614, 0.3158, 0.2476, 0.2746, 0.2746, 0.3209, 0.4065, 0.4474, 0.3393, 0.327, 0.3224, 0.3268, 0.3731, 0.306, 0.3413, 0.3255, 0.3591, 0.323, 0.3251, 0.351, 0.3028, 0.36, 0.2922, 0.293, 0.3478, 0.4854, 0.3132]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1964079336685744438", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-05T21:32:59+00:00", "symbol": "HOOD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Huge money flows coming into Robinhood given market cap soon. Might be PLTR v2.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish HOOD on S&P 500 inclusion-driven inflows, new product launch, and banking catalyst; compares upside to PLTR.", "resolved_tickers": ["HOOD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$HOOD added to S&amp;P 500.\n\nNew product launch on Tuesday and banking coming soon. \n\nHuge money flows coming into Robinhood given market cap soon. Might be PLTR v2.\n\nThis is just WSB instincts that go into DD! Some of you probably saw my deleted post guessing inclusion lol https://t.co/h8txi6mQD2", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@MilesTa53993799 I’m day trading $HOOD, I’ll adjust based on how it goes https://t.co/kZQxXl0zjr", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.016395097897376587, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016395097897376587, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.013490346892948368, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.002259592081960582, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0029047510044282188, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01865468997933717, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.15832097559799374, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.15832097559799374, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.1558642432545747, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.15756723164660347, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0024567323434190325, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0007537439513902733, "ret_p1w": 0.1360987533757716, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1360987533757716, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1203858611561659, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1223433990804712, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0157128922196057, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013755354295300393, "ret_p1m": 0.42479006920331797, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.42479006920331797, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3842609754268591, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4095879658779846, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04052909377645886, "bench_c_p1m": 0.015202103325333338, "ret_p3m": 0.31990122853973757, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.31990122853973757, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.26034660530764486, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.30753486678948616, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05955462323209271, "bench_c_p3m": 0.012366361750251409, "ret_p6m": -0.22192593798225313, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.22192593798225313, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2884806269288216, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1951454779467584, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06655468894656846, "bench_c_p6m": -0.026780460035494724, "price_path": [-0.2839, -0.2604, -0.2707, -0.283, -0.242, -0.2598, -0.2262, -0.2262, -0.2247, -0.2459, -0.19, -0.1827, -0.1652, -0.18, -0.0753, -0.0881, -0.0323, -0.0677, -0.0677, -0.0769, -0.0986, -0.0663, -0.0252, -0.0287, -0.0127, -0.0169, 0.0198, 0.0415, 0.0839, 0.0305, 0.0059, 0.0082, 0.0067, 0.0356, 0.0545, 0.0204, 0.0479, 0.0178, -0.0133, 0.0506, 0.0416, 0.0435, 0.0986, 0.1321, 0.1222, 0.1268, 0.0728, 0.0934, 0.1276, 0.136, 0.0617, 0.0404, 0.0499, 0.0797, 0.0661, 0.0746, 0.0165, 0.0241, 0.0275, 0.0275, -0.004, -0.0042, 0.0164, 0.0, 0.1583, 0.1704, 0.1601, 0.163, 0.1361, 0.1341, 0.1593, 0.1718, 0.1942, 0.2324, 0.2335, 0.2464, 0.2523, 0.2114, 0.2028, 0.3503, 0.4141, 0.3742, 0.439, 0.4683, 0.4248, 0.4321, 0.4901, 0.5058, 0.3724, 0.3894, 0.3328, 0.3249, 0.2982, 0.2831, 0.3412, 0.3021, 0.2565, 0.3267, 0.3806, 0.4406, 0.4444, 0.4301, 0.3637, 0.4497, 0.4526, 0.3511, 0.4072, 0.2551, 0.2875, 0.342, 0.303, 0.3134, 0.2003, 0.2099, 0.1454, 0.1289, 0.167, 0.049, 0.0598, 0.1355, 0.1414, 0.2662, 0.2662, 0.269, 0.2172, 0.244, 0.3199, 0.3539, 0.3032, 0.3475, 0.3403, 0.3399, 0.2186, 0.1802, 0.1384, 0.1793, 0.1437, 0.1571, 0.1985, 0.2086, 0.1876, 0.1895, 0.1895, 0.1667, 0.1598, 0.1402, 0.117, 0.117, 0.1379, 0.2172, 0.202, 0.1553, 0.1397, 0.1385, 0.1607, 0.1876, 0.1819, 0.0899, 0.074, 0.074, 0.0447, 0.0461, 0.0494, 0.0567, 0.0568, 0.0394, 0.0212, -0.0001, -0.0175, -0.112, -0.14, -0.2038, -0.2822, -0.182, -0.1451, -0.1546, -0.2299, -0.2976, -0.2497, -0.2497, -0.2549, -0.2572, -0.2528, -0.2483, -0.2911, -0.2752, -0.2343, -0.2153, -0.2509, -0.2219]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2010298726221480119", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-11T10:32:20+00:00", "symbol": "VLN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$VLN has 0 debt, $93.5M cash and $11M in inventory. Almost every algorithm or LLM modeled off of contaminated data from $VLN screeners and data sites thinking they will go under in 1 year from $100m in costs from -$82m inventory burn. This is still not corrected yet so we saw a ton of algorithmic shorts on Friday.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Long VLN: algorithmic shorts based on corrupted screener data are wrong; company has 0 debt and $93.5M cash, creating a reversal opportunity as data error gets corrected.", "resolved_tickers": ["VLN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$VLN has 0 debt, $93.5M cash and $11M in inventory.\n\nAlmost every algorithm or LLM modeled off of contaminated data from $VLN screeners and data sites thinking they will go under in 1 year from $100m in costs from -$82m inventory burn.\n\nThis is still not corrected yet so we saw a ton of algorithmic shorts on Friday. \n\nOnly retail on X found out about this early\n\n---\n\n@ENTJ_46 Eg. With opus, ^ they all use contaminated data, and this requires manual review with $VLN https://t.co/wTpg2BTVYn", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.07359310844371292, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07359310844371292, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07516109979748642, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07727918438675141, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0015679913537735013, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0036860759430384915, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012987000923330161, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012987000923330161, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014986476029200446, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01076001298232776, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019994751058702853, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0022269879410024007, "ret_p1w": -0.1385281130603636, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1385281130603636, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1334932848998024, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.16343470932083937, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.005034828160561222, "bench_c_p1w": 0.024906596260475755, "ret_p1m": -0.32900433302555665, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.32900433302555665, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3246312130634772, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.36509711439897574, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0043731199620794525, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03609278137341909, "ret_p3m": -0.419913391094622, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.419913391094622, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4006470825098737, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5214082805760099, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.019266308584748315, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10149488948138785, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2035, -0.2338, -0.2597, -0.2208, -0.2338, -0.2511, -0.2381, -0.2294, -0.2424, -0.2381, -0.2597, -0.2641, -0.2078, -0.2554, -0.3117, -0.2814, -0.3247, -0.316, -0.3074, -0.2208, -0.2641, -0.2554, -0.2468, -0.3247, -0.342, -0.3723, -0.3853, -0.3506, -0.3377, -0.3333, -0.3203, -0.3203, -0.3074, -0.3203, -0.316, -0.2771, -0.2727, -0.2727, -0.2641, -0.2641, -0.2727, -0.2944, -0.3117, -0.3333, -0.3377, -0.3593, -0.3593, -0.355, -0.368, -0.3939, -0.4026, -0.4026, -0.3766, -0.3896, -0.4026, -0.3853, -0.3853, -0.3247, -0.3203, -0.3117, -0.329, -0.3247, 0.0736, 0.0, 0.013, -0.0952, -0.0952, -0.1385, -0.1385, -0.1602, -0.1515, -0.0909, -0.1515, -0.2035, -0.2035, -0.2338, -0.2381, -0.2641, -0.2771, -0.3074, -0.3333, -0.381, -0.3333, -0.342, -0.329, -0.3333, -0.3506, -0.342, -0.342, -0.368, -0.355, -0.355, -0.3463, -0.3593, -0.3377, -0.3333, -0.3074, -0.3593, -0.3593, -0.3766, -0.3766, -0.3939, -0.4156, -0.4156, -0.4026, -0.381, -0.4156, -0.4242, -0.4242, -0.4199, -0.4589, -0.4459, -0.4719, -0.4545, -0.4589, -0.4545, -0.4719, -0.4892, -0.5195, -0.5108, -0.4935, -0.4848, -0.4848, -0.4848, -0.4892, -0.4329, -0.4199, -0.4242, -0.4156, -0.4026, -0.3636, -0.329, -0.342, -0.3636, -0.3506, -0.303, -0.2857, -0.2251, -0.303, -0.3463, -0.3463, -0.0606, 0.013, -0.026, 0.0476, 0.0823, 0.0433, 0.2078, 0.2338, 0.1688, 0.2771, 0.4589, 0.3203, 0.2208, 0.1515, 0.2554, 0.3247, 0.3939, 0.3939, 0.4113, 0.3636, 0.5152, 0.5281, 0.5281, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2012054895684370533", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-16T06:50:43+00:00", "symbol": "SSYS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SSYS is certification monopoly ... $SSYS benefits robotics at scale ... We've now likely hit the inflection point for robotics", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long SSYS: certification monopoly + lightweight structural frame supplier to humanoid robotics, now hitting inflection point as companies scale from prototyping.", "resolved_tickers": ["SSYS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Amazing question! So here's the timeline and what changed:\n\n-> America first policies after Trump election \n\n-> China-US trade tensions, led to companies going to US supply chains ( $SSYS is certification monopoly) from companies like Bambu.\n\n-> 2024-2025ish, Boston Dynamics pivoted from hydraulic Atlas to electric version -> changed from heavy hydraulics to lightweight structural frames using $SSYS.\n\n-> Other research prototypes from Meta Humanoids to others started following suit. \n\n-> There was no scale on humanoids/robotics in 2024-2025. \n\n-> ChatGPT announced their push into robotics today (they're usually leading the charge, eg. securing memory capacity)\n\n->  We've now likely hit the inflection point for robotics, where all these companies formerly in the prototyping stage (with $SSYS as the lightweight structural frame) are now scaling.  \n\n-> $SSYS benefits robotics at scale.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit How has the story changed at all?\n\n These 3d prnting stocks have all been 0s.\n\nBut now magically they are important?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "followplut0", "ret_m1d": 0.03842719582667331, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03842719582667331, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.037588619214244945, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03952586853310225, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0008385766124283656, "bench_c_m1d": -0.001098672706428938, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.011617441076092416, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.011617441076092416, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.00810412627220225, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.007977825447871845, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0035133148038901663, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0036396156282205716, "ret_p1m": -0.019660350456148667, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.019660350456148667, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.005332520888328474, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.021954815927404114, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014327829567820194, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04161516638355278, "ret_p3m": -0.23860582866332614, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.23860582866332614, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2533407797879452, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2720276370437691, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014734951124619089, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03342180838044295, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1037, 0.0098, 0.0527, 0.0715, 0.0643, 0.0304, -0.008, -0.0366, -0.0509, -0.0536, -0.118, -0.1197, -0.1546, -0.151, -0.1421, -0.1492, -0.1475, -0.1662, -0.2002, -0.2377, -0.2404, -0.2502, -0.2672, -0.2368, -0.2332, -0.2368, -0.2279, -0.2279, -0.2145, -0.2288, -0.2181, -0.1975, -0.1805, -0.1912, -0.1859, -0.1796, -0.1698, -0.1564, -0.1618, -0.1868, -0.1895, -0.1948, -0.1895, -0.2002, -0.1734, -0.1832, -0.1886, -0.1886, -0.2002, -0.2127, -0.2207, -0.2243, -0.2243, -0.1948, -0.1296, -0.0769, -0.0992, -0.0697, -0.0777, -0.0688, -0.1072, -0.0947, 0.0384, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0259, -0.0054, 0.0277, -0.0116, -0.0214, 0.0009, -0.0125, 0.0045, -0.0438, -0.0063, -0.0223, -0.0545, -0.0867, 0.0054, 0.0152, 0.0045, 0.008, -0.0214, -0.0197, -0.0197, -0.0465, -0.0366, -0.0384, -0.0661, -0.0947, -0.1099, -0.1197, -0.1162, -0.1394, -0.1358, -0.1564, -0.1242, -0.1868, -0.2172, -0.2324, -0.2592, -0.2583, -0.2681, -0.2967, -0.2842, -0.2788, -0.3029, -0.3056, -0.3208, -0.3021, -0.2815, -0.2779, -0.2931, -0.3172, -0.3369, -0.3021, -0.2922, -0.2878, -0.2878, -0.2824, -0.2824, -0.2592, -0.2556, -0.2538, -0.2368, -0.2449, -0.2386, -0.2288, -0.2145, -0.2118, -0.2252, -0.2189, -0.2422, -0.2297, -0.2306, -0.2341, -0.2431, -0.2073, -0.2038, -0.2189, -0.1993, -0.1734, -0.2672, -0.2386, -0.2368, -0.2324, -0.235, -0.2163, -0.235, -0.2645, -0.277, -0.2529, -0.2377, -0.1939, -0.1939, -0.1367, -0.1144, -0.1046, -0.0581, -0.0581, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1999402332082307456", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-12T08:53:57+00:00", "symbol": "SNAP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Even though I think it's a terribly run company I think it's a good investment now for the valuation", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Despite poor management, SNAP is a good investment at current valuation; bullish on value.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNAP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Interesting take but I disagree. $SNAP should have just scrapped any AR development (like $META for Metaverse) given how much capex spend it is.  \n\nAnd just went out and say: \"We're a social media company\" + compete vs Tiktok/Meta by acquiring social media companies like early stage Facebook (instead of hardware ones) with FCF.\n\n$SNAP would have been a $80B+ company by now but the fact they're not producing more FCF after all these years is just incredibly stupid and a testament to how bad the CEO + vision is.     \n\nBut they did the one thing I wanted Evan to do which was cut GCP costs and monetize memories like ICloud, which they did.  \n\n Even though I think it's a terribly run company I think it's a good investment now for the valuation.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit In my view, Snapchat is capable of doing what $META has failed. The Metaverse done the right way. \n\nThey invest a lot in AR, and they’re going to announce glasses Q1-Q2 if I remember correctly from latest quarter report.\n\nIt’ll be like Pokémon Go mania in 2016 but through various", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "slava_saequus", "ret_m1d": 0.04514362876733169, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04514362876733169, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0342747985146421, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04291287251526832, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010868830252689587, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0022307562520633706, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00683990619549768, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00683990619549768, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005329018412746467, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007011396405896986, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0015108877827512135, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00017149021039930545, "ret_p1w": 0.03556774704747445, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03556774704747445, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03433407894669038, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03582521294921881, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0012336681007840689, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00025746590174435813, "ret_p1m": 0.12038298830261684, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12038298830261684, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09771507974459581, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10853784389672572, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022667908558021033, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011845144405891128, "ret_p3m": -0.33515729527263893, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.33515729527263893, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3301239438271395, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.342268110823553, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.005033351445499434, "bench_c_p3m": 0.007110815550914085, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0588, 0.093, 0.1546, 0.1163, 0.1669, 0.1518, 0.1245, 0.1395, 0.1313, 0.1491, 0.0547, 0.0547, 0.1245, 0.1683, 0.1655, 0.1122, 0.1532, 0.1464, 0.0643, 0.1012, 0.0834, 0.0821, 0.0616, 0.0465, 0.0575, 0.0739, 0.0629, 0.0766, 0.0876, 0.0821, 0.0588, 0.0588, 0.0397, 0.067, 0.0698, 0.0219, -0.0014, 0.0958, 0.1231, 0.1888, 0.1984, 0.2435, 0.1737, 0.1724, 0.119, 0.1286, 0.0985, 0.0643, 0.052, 0.0506, 0.0451, 0.041, 0.041, 0.0506, 0.0451, 0.0424, 0.0479, 0.0616, 0.0821, 0.0985, 0.0834, 0.0834, 0.0451, 0.0, -0.0068, 0.0082, 0.026, 0.0438, 0.0356, 0.0862, 0.0684, 0.0739, 0.0739, 0.0752, 0.078, 0.104, 0.104, 0.104, 0.1122, 0.1286, 0.2025, 0.1792, 0.1491, 0.1231, 0.1204, 0.093, 0.0807, 0.0616, 0.0301, 0.0301, 0.0055, 0.0082, 0.0479, 0.0424, 0.0342, 0.0205, 0.0492, -0.0096, -0.052, -0.0889, -0.1655, -0.1915, -0.2996, -0.2859, -0.29, -0.2845, -0.3174, -0.3406, -0.3393, -0.3393, -0.3529, -0.3324, -0.316, -0.2969, -0.3256, -0.3201, -0.3064, -0.2804, -0.2873, -0.2804, -0.2818, -0.2654, -0.2695, -0.2941, -0.2982, -0.3283, -0.3352, -0.3639, -0.3762, -0.3598, -0.3639, -0.368, -0.3762, -0.3871, -0.383, -0.4036, -0.3858, -0.4514, -0.4624, -0.4501, -0.3707, -0.3297, -0.3666, -0.3666, -0.3557, -0.3434, -0.3529, -0.3228, -0.3406, -0.2955, -0.2339, -0.1737, -0.1765, -0.1751, -0.1792, -0.2285, -0.2011, -0.238, -0.2271, -0.171, -0.186, -0.1819, -0.1696, -0.1395, -0.156, -0.1642, -0.1642, -0.1819, -0.1683, -0.2134, -0.2408, -0.2326, -0.2668, -0.2435, -0.2244, -0.2408, -0.2312, -0.2216, -0.2175, -0.2175, -0.2134, -0.1956, -0.1915, -0.2189, -0.2189, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1981759104831115698", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-24T16:26:04+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Fundamentally, Nebius was very undervalued. My base-case valuation of $NBIS sits near $39B today, with room to reach $100B within a year with another hyperscaler partnership.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS; base-case $39B, path to $100B within a year on hyperscaler partnerships and institutional accumulation via dark pools.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This week retail panic sent $NBIS tumbling to $94.\n\nUnfortunately, many retail are outside this community and sold shares in fear (mixed with MM mechanical hedging) based on stock price dropping alone.\n\nIn the past two days, Nebius is back up over 17%.\n\nThis is why why Conviction + Fundamentals/Knowledge > stock price.\n\nDuring the drop, institutions quietly stepped in and acquired more from darkpools + other methods.\n\n_\n\nFundamentally, Nebius was very undervalued. My base-case valuation of $NBIS sits near $39B today, with room to reach $100B within a year with another hyperscaler partnership. \n\nNebius powers parts of Microsoft Azure and other future hyperscale infrastructure. Institutions know this, and they'll do whatever it takes to grow their ownership in a company at the core of global compute.\n\nIf retail doesn't develop conviction in the stock from fundamentals and understand how institutions play the  game, using dark pools, options flow, and to accumulate shares without moving prices, they'll capitulate purely off of fear instead of material changes.\n\nAs noted in today’s Seeking Alpha piece \"Nebius Pullback, The Smart Money Entry Point\":\n\n\"WhaleStream reports that approximately $100 million of net inflows were concentrated within the $103.90 area, indicating fresh institutional interest.\n\nThis was confirmed by Fintel data (extracted from Nasdaq, FINRA, and Capital IQ),  which records the off-exchange short-volume ratio near 19% and reinforces the thesis of significant Nebius buying through dark  pools by the institutions.\n\nIn practice, this supports the view that much  of the Nebius buying is happening quietly through dark pools, as aligned with the observed build-up of call options.\"\n\nAccumulation is strategic but hidden in plain sight. Don't be shaken off.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Why I think $NBIS can easily hit ~$400/share or $100B+ market cap in 1 year:\n\nRight now, Nebius trades at a $24B valuation (316%+ increase to $100B).\n\nIf we pretend that there's 0 growth in 2026-2027:\n\nCore Business: $31B–$36.5B\nSum of Parts: $7.1B (40% slashed)\nMidpoint", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.09466142138753608, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09466142138753608, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0865550997726996, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09206514502066165, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008106321614836487, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002596276366874428, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06967421132615681, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06967421132615681, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05787649930300787, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05574083933995877, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011797712023148943, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01393337198619804, "ret_p1w": 0.1156404992406066, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1156404992406066, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10853832500186744, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.12204466976286887, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007102174238739156, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006404170522262276, "ret_p1m": -0.21627153460980486, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.21627153460980486, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.20369118763832117, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.19428970588629635, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012580346971483691, "bench_c_p1m": -0.021981828723508512, "ret_p3m": -0.15683096584190137, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15683096584190137, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17185538160513913, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1520805841587075, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.015024415763237764, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0047503816831938606, "ret_p6m": 0.3573256077311022, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3573256077311022, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.30489976114622297, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.32301482208670973, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.052425846584879254, "bench_c_p6m": 0.034310785644392494, "price_path": [-0.5702, -0.5626, -0.5358, -0.5565, -0.538, -0.5295, -0.5302, -0.443, -0.4134, -0.401, -0.3576, -0.3977, -0.4162, -0.3892, -0.3814, -0.427, -0.4246, -0.4356, -0.4117, -0.4029, -0.3989, -0.4022, -0.3856, -0.4174, -0.4174, -0.4395, -0.4401, -0.4464, -0.4417, -0.4537, -0.1837, -0.2036, -0.2394, -0.229, -0.2243, -0.2373, -0.1977, -0.1973, -0.1531, -0.0909, -0.0807, -0.0344, -0.0795, -0.0815, -0.06, -0.0426, -0.0141, 0.0734, 0.0914, 0.0655, 0.0038, 0.0404, 0.1312, 0.1051, 0.1552, 0.0929, 0.0731, 0.0493, -0.0326, -0.0704, -0.1107, -0.159, -0.0947, 0.0, 0.0697, 0.039, 0.0669, 0.059, 0.1156, 0.0274, -0.0573, -0.0022, -0.0667, -0.051, -0.0623, -0.1283, -0.1953, -0.2442, -0.2876, -0.2668, -0.2279, -0.1892, -0.2782, -0.29, -0.2163, -0.242, -0.1925, -0.1925, -0.1909, -0.1459, -0.1775, -0.1564, -0.1233, -0.1639, -0.1444, -0.1778, -0.2019, -0.196, -0.2522, -0.308, -0.3097, -0.3566, -0.334, -0.2371, -0.2049, -0.2322, -0.2228, -0.2228, -0.253, -0.2662, -0.2737, -0.2862, -0.2862, -0.2329, -0.2083, -0.1451, -0.1795, -0.1702, -0.1648, -0.0847, -0.1009, -0.1303, -0.1141, -0.0727, -0.0727, -0.1532, -0.1568, -0.1741, -0.1941, -0.22, -0.1654, -0.1435, -0.1906, -0.2735, -0.2482, -0.2329, -0.2974, -0.37, -0.2657, -0.2079, -0.2172, -0.2443, -0.2348, -0.1642, -0.1642, -0.1683, -0.1318, -0.0823, -0.1649, -0.142, -0.1252, -0.095, -0.1056, -0.2223, -0.2239, -0.2598, -0.1661, -0.1843, -0.2382, -0.1903, -0.1776, -0.0449, -0.0786, -0.0368, 0.1074, -0.0079, 0.0111, 0.0363, 0.0031, -0.0265, -0.02, -0.0185, -0.0963, -0.1402, -0.2132, -0.1151, -0.1306, -0.072, -0.072, -0.0403, 0.0012, 0.066, 0.1626, 0.2363, 0.3181, 0.381, 0.4222, 0.41, 0.3401, 0.3573]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1995182967023718542", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-30T17:27:42+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it was my highest conviction 2 year hold. I just see it as the opportunity of a decade since $NVDA, you don't really see any core company growing its bottom line 700% Y/Y with 4 separate portfolio companies growing 100% Y/Y", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Highest-conviction 2-year long on NBIS: 700% bottom-line growth Y/Y, 4 portfolio companies each +100% Y/Y; opportunity-of-a-decade thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thanks for the feedback, I'll take it to heart and do posts on other stuff as usual!\n\nI posted DD about stuff like $NVDA yesterday but recently as you mentioned it's been mainly about the neocloud sector. I've been focused on it because of how much news there was recently + the huge sell off attracted a lot of attention!\n\nFor $NBIS in specific, it was my highest conviction 2 year hold. I just see it as the opportunity of a decade since $NVDA, you don't really see any core company growing its bottom line 700% Y/Y with 4 separate portfolio companies growing 100% Y/Y. \n\nOne of which happens to be a super cool self-driving robotaxi company (I'm a fan of Waymo, $TSLA robotaxis).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit im curios why your whole X profile became just about neocloud or more in particular nbis. i understand its likely your biggest conviction play i just miss seing your DDs and insights of other companies. that said its obviously your profile and you can do what you want.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "fakeboycarti", "ret_m1d": -0.052720905630066484, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.052720905630066484, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05730735049238922, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.057422753442149754, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004701847812083271, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.036944628270231594, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.036944628270231594, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.038796927944310666, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04025331122801734, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003308682957785747, "ret_p1w": 0.0017973070637373745, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0017973070637373745, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.003141948190520605, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01047963228719273, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012276939350930105, "ret_p1m": -0.1495756677853144, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1495756677853144, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16246777457768147, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.18286213217720948, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03328646439189509, "ret_p3m": 0.047229112885403435, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.047229112885403435, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.030960854270874583, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.027656878277190877, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "bench_c_p3m": 0.019572234608212558, "ret_p6m": 1.0774837183085886, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.0774837183085886, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.9678303387279186, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.0649106695834534, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "bench_c_p6m": 0.012573048725135205, "price_path": [-0.3445, -0.3519, -0.3463, -0.3604, -0.0442, -0.0675, -0.1094, -0.0973, -0.0918, -0.107, -0.0606, -0.0602, -0.0084, 0.0644, 0.0764, 0.1306, 0.0778, 0.0754, 0.1005, 0.121, 0.1544, 0.2568, 0.2779, 0.2475, 0.1752, 0.2182, 0.3244, 0.2939, 0.3526, 0.2796, 0.2564, 0.2286, 0.1327, 0.0884, 0.0412, -0.0153, 0.06, 0.1708, 0.2524, 0.2165, 0.2491, 0.2399, 0.3062, 0.2029, 0.1037, 0.1682, 0.0928, 0.1111, 0.0979, 0.0207, -0.0578, -0.115, -0.1659, -0.1415, -0.096, -0.0507, -0.1549, -0.1686, -0.0824, -0.1125, -0.0545, -0.0545, -0.0527, 0.0, -0.0369, -0.0123, 0.0265, -0.0211, 0.0018, -0.0373, -0.0655, -0.0586, -0.1244, -0.1898, -0.1917, -0.2466, -0.2203, -0.1067, -0.0691, -0.101, -0.0901, -0.0901, -0.1254, -0.1409, -0.1496, -0.1642, -0.1642, -0.1018, -0.0731, 0.0009, -0.0393, -0.0285, -0.0222, 0.0717, 0.0527, 0.0183, 0.0373, 0.0857, 0.0857, -0.0086, -0.0128, -0.033, -0.0564, -0.0868, -0.0228, 0.0028, -0.0523, -0.1494, -0.1197, -0.1018, -0.1773, -0.2624, -0.1403, -0.0726, -0.0835, -0.1152, -0.104, -0.0214, -0.0214, -0.0263, 0.0165, 0.0745, -0.0223, 0.0046, 0.0243, 0.0596, 0.0472, -0.0895, -0.0913, -0.1333, -0.0237, -0.0449, -0.108, -0.052, -0.0371, 0.1183, 0.0788, 0.1278, 0.2966, 0.1616, 0.1838, 0.2134, 0.1744, 0.1398, 0.1474, 0.1492, 0.0581, 0.0067, -0.0788, 0.036, 0.018, 0.0866, 0.0866, 0.1237, 0.1722, 0.2481, 0.3613, 0.4475, 0.5433, 0.617, 0.6652, 0.6509, 0.569, 0.5892, 0.5632, 0.5591, 0.5684, 0.4694, 0.4474, 0.3531, 0.4098, 0.3802, 0.5426, 0.7616, 0.7566, 0.948, 0.8449, 0.7678, 0.8582, 0.7884, 1.0696, 1.2082, 1.1961, 0.9956, 0.9743, 0.9153, 1.196, 1.1445, 1.1445, 1.0775]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1990790641056731439", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-18T14:34:10+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we're nearing the bottom before the December Santa Rally, with institutions buying up leverage trader Bitcoin liquidations to quality stocks like $NBIS in dark pools/block trades", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Author calls current growth-stock selloff a buying opportunity, naming NBIS as quality, with KRKNF and ALAB as best buys since April tariff lows; expects Santa Rally recovery.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Markets are seeing a drop in most growth stocks right now.\n\nIn the past 5 days:\n\n· Cloudflare [ $NET ]: $192.99 (-15.23%)\n· Rocketlab [ $RKLB ]:  $42.50 (-19.35%)\n· Iren [ $IREN ]: $46.6 (-28.74%)\n· Hims [ $HIMS ]: $35.15 (-15.61%)\n\nhave lost their recent gains. Why?\n\nRight now, we're seeing mechanical hedging downward, mixed with live cascading margin liquidations slightly mirroring the crypto markets.\n\nThis is mixed with capitulation based on macro with semi-valid concerns from December rate cut odds, lack of data from Gov shutdown, and AI short reports from several hedge funds. \n\nThe most important thing to note is that: This is despite  improving fundamentals in many individual stocks. \n\nWe've seen companies like:\n\n$NBIS raise ARR guidance from $7-9B from projected analyst $4B marks, and sell off 26.85% this week. \n\nand we've seen\n\n$SNAP lose any gain from post earnings, after blowout revenue guidance from a $400M surprise perplexity deal. \n\nAt this point, we're nearing the bottom before the December Santa Rally, with institutions buying up leverage trader Bitcoin liquidations to quality stocks like $NBIS in dark pools/block trades. \n\nIf forward growth and fundamentals were slowing, continued selling after this drop would be warranted. \n\nHowever, if fundamentals are in tact for many growth stock, this market-wide reset is the best buying opportunity for growth stocks from $KRKNF to $ALAB since the April tariff sell-off.\n\nAs seen with Robinhood [ $HOOD ] data on popular retail stocks with $IREN, retail is heavily selling the bottom at $45-$50, but bought in at the top post $MSFT deal at $80.\n\nRetail is often the ones to chase buying at the top. But capitulate at the bottom after the drop.\n\nThis is the great reset, but not a continued crash leading to a bear market. Stock post-margin liquidations and weak hands moving to long-term investors leads to new highs. \n\nThat being said: what high-beta stock do you think is the most sold off right now?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Nebius [ $NBIS ] at $86.69 is the purest Neocloud and AI-infra asymmetry left. \n\nThis is the highest revenue Neocloud untouched by $CIFR | $WULF and colo providers that has no:\n\n- Plaguing uncertainty that $IREN, $ORCL face from  full-stack execution. \n\n- High interest debt that https://t.co/MlQKV7VJc3", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05036445231371456, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05036445231371456, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05883312117749129, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04472983004313924, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00846866886377673, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005634622270575318, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05003312053777531, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05003312053777531, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04616992039493839, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.055578259666548724, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00386320014283692, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005545139128773413, "ret_p1w": -0.018334478079563232, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.018334478079563232, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.040968183136140035, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04060444906175309, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022633705056576803, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022269970982189857, "ret_p1m": -0.16666670879939505, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16666670879939505, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.18381616311760907, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.20244162937366383, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01714945431821402, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03577492057426879, "ret_p3m": 0.08250498282712115, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08250498282712115, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.046623708602495206, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0544132510007489, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03588127422462595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.028091731826372257, "ret_p6m": 1.289264437558833, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.289264437558833, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.1582852791065308, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.2382690045641254, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13097915845230212, "bench_c_p6m": 0.050995432994707546, "price_path": [-0.2691, -0.2381, -0.2266, -0.2216, -0.2258, -0.2043, -0.2454, -0.2454, -0.2741, -0.2749, -0.2831, -0.2769, -0.2925, 0.0572, 0.0315, -0.0149, -0.0014, 0.0046, -0.0123, 0.0391, 0.0395, 0.0969, 0.1774, 0.1906, 0.2506, 0.1922, 0.1895, 0.2174, 0.24, 0.2769, 0.3902, 0.4135, 0.3799, 0.3, 0.3475, 0.465, 0.4312, 0.4961, 0.4154, 0.3898, 0.359, 0.2529, 0.2039, 0.1518, 0.0892, 0.1725, 0.2951, 0.3854, 0.3456, 0.3817, 0.3715, 0.4449, 0.3306, 0.2209, 0.2922, 0.2087, 0.2291, 0.2144, 0.129, 0.0422, -0.0211, -0.0773, -0.0504, 0.0, 0.05, -0.0652, -0.0804, 0.015, -0.0183, 0.0458, 0.0458, 0.0478, 0.1061, 0.0653, 0.0926, 0.1354, 0.0828, 0.1081, 0.0648, 0.0337, 0.0413, -0.0315, -0.1038, -0.1059, -0.1667, -0.1375, -0.0119, 0.0297, -0.0056, 0.0065, 0.0065, -0.0326, -0.0497, -0.0593, -0.0755, -0.0755, -0.0065, 0.0253, 0.1071, 0.0626, 0.0747, 0.0816, 0.1854, 0.1645, 0.1264, 0.1474, 0.2009, 0.2009, 0.0966, 0.092, 0.0697, 0.0437, 0.0102, 0.081, 0.1092, 0.0483, -0.0591, -0.0263, -0.0065, -0.09, -0.1841, -0.049, 0.0258, 0.0138, -0.0213, -0.0089, 0.0825, 0.0825, 0.0771, 0.1244, 0.1885, 0.0815, 0.1112, 0.133, 0.1721, 0.1584, 0.0072, 0.0052, -0.0413, 0.08, 0.0564, -0.0134, 0.0486, 0.0651, 0.237, 0.1933, 0.2475, 0.4342, 0.2848, 0.3095, 0.3422, 0.2991, 0.2608, 0.2692, 0.2712, 0.1704, 0.1135, 0.019, 0.146, 0.126, 0.2019, 0.2019, 0.243, 0.2967, 0.3806, 0.5057, 0.6012, 0.7071, 0.7886, 0.8419, 0.8262, 0.7356, 0.7579, 0.7291, 0.7245, 0.7349, 0.6254, 0.6011, 0.4967, 0.5594, 0.5267, 0.7063, 0.9485, 0.943, 1.1547, 1.0408, 0.9555, 1.0554, 0.9782, 1.2893]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1990790641056731439", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-18T14:34:10+00:00", "symbol": "KRKNF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this market-wide reset is the best buying opportunity for growth stocks from $KRKNF to $ALAB since the April tariff sell-off", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Author calls current growth-stock selloff a buying opportunity, naming NBIS as quality, with KRKNF and ALAB as best buys since April tariff lows; expects Santa Rally recovery.", "resolved_tickers": ["KRKNF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Scientific & Technical Instruments'", "bench_c_industry": "Scientific & Technical Instruments", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Markets are seeing a drop in most growth stocks right now.\n\nIn the past 5 days:\n\n· Cloudflare [ $NET ]: $192.99 (-15.23%)\n· Rocketlab [ $RKLB ]:  $42.50 (-19.35%)\n· Iren [ $IREN ]: $46.6 (-28.74%)\n· Hims [ $HIMS ]: $35.15 (-15.61%)\n\nhave lost their recent gains. Why?\n\nRight now, we're seeing mechanical hedging downward, mixed with live cascading margin liquidations slightly mirroring the crypto markets.\n\nThis is mixed with capitulation based on macro with semi-valid concerns from December rate cut odds, lack of data from Gov shutdown, and AI short reports from several hedge funds. \n\nThe most important thing to note is that: This is despite  improving fundamentals in many individual stocks. \n\nWe've seen companies like:\n\n$NBIS raise ARR guidance from $7-9B from projected analyst $4B marks, and sell off 26.85% this week. \n\nand we've seen\n\n$SNAP lose any gain from post earnings, after blowout revenue guidance from a $400M surprise perplexity deal. \n\nAt this point, we're nearing the bottom before the December Santa Rally, with institutions buying up leverage trader Bitcoin liquidations to quality stocks like $NBIS in dark pools/block trades. \n\nIf forward growth and fundamentals were slowing, continued selling after this drop would be warranted. \n\nHowever, if fundamentals are in tact for many growth stock, this market-wide reset is the best buying opportunity for growth stocks from $KRKNF to $ALAB since the April tariff sell-off.\n\nAs seen with Robinhood [ $HOOD ] data on popular retail stocks with $IREN, retail is heavily selling the bottom at $45-$50, but bought in at the top post $MSFT deal at $80.\n\nRetail is often the ones to chase buying at the top. But capitulate at the bottom after the drop.\n\nThis is the great reset, but not a continued crash leading to a bear market. Stock post-margin liquidations and weak hands moving to long-term investors leads to new highs. \n\nThat being said: what high-beta stock do you think is the most sold off right now?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Nebius [ $NBIS ] at $86.69 is the purest Neocloud and AI-infra asymmetry left. \n\nThis is the highest revenue Neocloud untouched by $CIFR | $WULF and colo providers that has no:\n\n- Plaguing uncertainty that $IREN, $ORCL face from  full-stack execution. \n\n- High interest debt that https://t.co/MlQKV7VJc3", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.033858254708391544, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.033858254708391544, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.042326923572168274, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05037984134661799, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00846866886377673, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01652158663822645, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.015748016714081325, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.015748016714081325, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.019611216856918245, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.022700583764721838, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00386320014283692, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006952567050640512, "ret_p1w": 0.1154855810573745, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1154855810573745, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0928518760007977, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.11036070321862979, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022633705056576803, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0051248778387447125, "ret_p1m": 0.07611547669511554, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07611547669511554, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05896602237690152, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07701149954907227, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01714945431821402, "bench_c_p1m": -0.000896022853956735, "ret_p3m": 0.41732288096254533, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.41732288096254533, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3814416067379194, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4154831277954556, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03588127422462595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0018397531670897305, "ret_p6m": 0.3622047598862048, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3622047598862048, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2312256014339027, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09109796547760673, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13097915845230212, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2711067944085981, "price_path": [-0.3394, -0.3412, -0.3501, -0.3281, -0.3465, -0.3407, -0.3507, -0.3507, -0.3664, -0.3362, -0.3423, -0.3386, -0.3391, -0.3451, -0.2273, -0.1982, -0.2071, -0.2031, -0.2152, -0.1987, -0.1916, -0.126, -0.1302, -0.1601, -0.1654, -0.1404, -0.1325, -0.1181, -0.1417, -0.136, -0.1024, -0.0748, 0.0525, 0.1286, 0.1864, 0.1312, 0.0656, 0.2325, 0.1648, 0.1375, 0.1129, 0.0892, 0.1307, 0.3047, 0.3727, 0.2992, 0.274, 0.2717, 0.3255, 0.2598, 0.2155, 0.2, 0.0997, 0.063, 0.0551, 0.0026, -0.0105, 0.0735, 0.0281, 0.0438, -0.0394, -0.0273, -0.0339, 0.0, -0.0157, -0.0315, 0.0, 0.0079, 0.1155, 0.1092, 0.1092, 0.1276, 0.0472, 0.0525, 0.1181, 0.1454, 0.1386, 0.1837, 0.1732, 0.2047, 0.1824, 0.1706, 0.1627, 0.1286, 0.0761, 0.1024, 0.1528, 0.147, 0.1942, 0.199, 0.199, 0.2467, 0.2126, 0.2247, 0.2252, 0.2252, 0.2974, 0.3612, 0.3483, 0.39, 0.5092, 0.4908, 0.5879, 0.6509, 0.5003, 0.5197, 0.5115, 0.5115, 0.4436, 0.4357, 0.5249, 0.5984, 0.6299, 0.6955, 0.7394, 0.6483, 0.5459, 0.5785, 0.5643, 0.4567, 0.4436, 0.5643, 0.5669, 0.5827, 0.5354, 0.3997, 0.4173, 0.4173, 0.4593, 0.5722, 0.5643, 0.5879, 0.5315, 0.6562, 0.6483, 0.6955, 0.6352, 0.7693, 0.8005, 0.7514, 0.6913, 0.6115, 0.7795, 0.9843, 0.9239, 0.8583, 0.8058, 0.8399, 0.9318, 0.8383, 0.7585, 0.7008, 0.7693, 0.748, 0.711, 0.5564, 0.5669, 0.4294, 0.5197, 0.5643, 0.5774, 0.5774, 0.622, 0.6063, 0.5958, 0.601, 0.5591, 0.6955, 0.6352, 0.622, 0.7008, 0.6877, 0.6824, 0.5738, 0.6509, 0.5743, 0.5512, 0.5459, 0.4882, 0.4606, 0.5118, 0.4304, 0.4882, 0.3648, 0.3832, 0.378, 0.3383, 0.3333, 0.3071, 0.3622]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1990790641056731439", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-11-18T14:34:10+00:00", "symbol": "ALAB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this market-wide reset is the best buying opportunity for growth stocks from $KRKNF to $ALAB since the April tariff sell-off", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Author calls current growth-stock selloff a buying opportunity, naming NBIS as quality, with KRKNF and ALAB as best buys since April tariff lows; expects Santa Rally recovery.", "resolved_tickers": ["ALAB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Markets are seeing a drop in most growth stocks right now.\n\nIn the past 5 days:\n\n· Cloudflare [ $NET ]: $192.99 (-15.23%)\n· Rocketlab [ $RKLB ]:  $42.50 (-19.35%)\n· Iren [ $IREN ]: $46.6 (-28.74%)\n· Hims [ $HIMS ]: $35.15 (-15.61%)\n\nhave lost their recent gains. Why?\n\nRight now, we're seeing mechanical hedging downward, mixed with live cascading margin liquidations slightly mirroring the crypto markets.\n\nThis is mixed with capitulation based on macro with semi-valid concerns from December rate cut odds, lack of data from Gov shutdown, and AI short reports from several hedge funds. \n\nThe most important thing to note is that: This is despite  improving fundamentals in many individual stocks. \n\nWe've seen companies like:\n\n$NBIS raise ARR guidance from $7-9B from projected analyst $4B marks, and sell off 26.85% this week. \n\nand we've seen\n\n$SNAP lose any gain from post earnings, after blowout revenue guidance from a $400M surprise perplexity deal. \n\nAt this point, we're nearing the bottom before the December Santa Rally, with institutions buying up leverage trader Bitcoin liquidations to quality stocks like $NBIS in dark pools/block trades. \n\nIf forward growth and fundamentals were slowing, continued selling after this drop would be warranted. \n\nHowever, if fundamentals are in tact for many growth stock, this market-wide reset is the best buying opportunity for growth stocks from $KRKNF to $ALAB since the April tariff sell-off.\n\nAs seen with Robinhood [ $HOOD ] data on popular retail stocks with $IREN, retail is heavily selling the bottom at $45-$50, but bought in at the top post $MSFT deal at $80.\n\nRetail is often the ones to chase buying at the top. But capitulate at the bottom after the drop.\n\nThis is the great reset, but not a continued crash leading to a bear market. Stock post-margin liquidations and weak hands moving to long-term investors leads to new highs. \n\nThat being said: what high-beta stock do you think is the most sold off right now?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Nebius [ $NBIS ] at $86.69 is the purest Neocloud and AI-infra asymmetry left. \n\nThis is the highest revenue Neocloud untouched by $CIFR | $WULF and colo providers that has no:\n\n- Plaguing uncertainty that $IREN, $ORCL face from  full-stack execution. \n\n- High interest debt that https://t.co/MlQKV7VJc3", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.013403060922616339, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.013403060922616339, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0049343920588396095, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.007629566791882203, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00846866886377673, "bench_c_m1d": 0.021032627714498542, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.017846833128763562, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.017846833128763562, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.013983632985926642, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0006055571179166552, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00386320014283692, "bench_c_p1d": 0.018452390246680217, "ret_p1w": 0.03770064754702829, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03770064754702829, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.015066942490451485, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01753801873952021, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022633705056576803, "bench_c_p1w": 0.020162628807508076, "ret_p1m": 0.0051605590499916865, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0051605590499916865, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.011988895268222333, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.012691686258103907, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01714945431821402, "bench_c_p1m": 0.017852245308095593, "ret_p3m": -0.07310777405312552, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07310777405312552, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.10898904827775147, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.30023324145250674, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03588127422462595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.22712546739938122, "ret_p6m": 0.6061495805309582, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6061495805309582, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4751704220786561, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.11679820208320835, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13097915845230212, "bench_c_p6m": 0.7229477826141666, "price_path": [0.2724, 0.2836, 0.2482, 0.2798, 0.2844, 0.3557, 0.3059, 0.3059, 0.2489, 0.2658, 0.3471, 0.3704, 0.5489, 0.5373, 0.6512, 0.6693, 0.6449, 0.6578, 0.7115, 0.7874, 0.8053, 0.7575, 0.7008, 0.6493, 0.4713, 0.4381, 0.4176, 0.4249, 0.4034, 0.3941, 0.5023, 0.4388, 0.5826, 0.5202, 0.5722, 0.6158, 0.478, 0.4301, 0.1579, 0.1573, 0.1722, 0.1454, 0.1203, 0.1289, 0.1099, 0.1729, 0.1824, 0.2205, 0.2059, 0.2444, 0.2152, 0.338, 0.373, 0.2852, 0.304, 0.1671, 0.1861, 0.2453, 0.2009, 0.1309, 0.0355, 0.0345, 0.0134, 0.0, 0.0178, -0.0016, 0.0163, 0.059, 0.0377, 0.1054, 0.1054, 0.1294, 0.184, 0.0245, 0.093, 0.0931, 0.1556, 0.2596, 0.1975, 0.1777, 0.245, 0.0669, 0.0297, 0.0388, 0.0052, 0.0456, 0.1783, 0.2372, 0.2101, 0.2182, 0.2182, 0.1988, 0.2192, 0.2245, 0.1924, 0.1924, 0.287, 0.1977, 0.154, 0.1881, 0.1234, 0.1655, 0.2369, 0.2942, 0.2338, 0.2504, 0.3045, 0.3045, 0.317, 0.2615, 0.264, 0.216, 0.1701, 0.2251, 0.2034, 0.1501, 0.0796, 0.0926, 0.1362, 0.0369, 0.0237, 0.2174, 0.3451, 0.3106, 0.03, -0.0927, -0.0731, -0.0731, -0.1135, -0.0712, -0.0495, -0.0705, -0.0808, -0.0797, -0.0815, -0.1064, -0.1483, -0.136, -0.213, -0.1846, -0.1399, -0.1456, -0.1234, -0.1651, -0.1061, -0.1406, -0.1377, -0.0863, -0.0857, -0.0945, -0.0958, -0.1683, -0.1122, -0.1273, -0.1375, -0.1857, -0.1939, -0.2813, -0.2144, -0.2379, -0.1604, -0.1604, -0.1543, -0.1471, -0.1008, -0.0721, 0.0683, 0.1955, 0.2228, 0.2334, 0.2243, 0.2475, 0.26, 0.3759, 0.3909, 0.4159, 0.5255, 0.4094, 0.3139, 0.4109, 0.3958, 0.4527, 0.4424, 0.5459, 0.5332, 0.4023, 0.432, 0.4862, 0.4652, 0.6061]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2007406571752681725", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-03T10:59:57+00:00", "symbol": "CF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the $CF fertilizer/producer play increases margins + benefits since their competitors are stuck", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long CF Industries: Venezuela attack disrupts Trinidad & Tobago ammonia exports, reducing competition and boosting CF margins.", "resolved_tickers": ["CF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Agricultural Inputs'", "bench_c_industry": "Agricultural Inputs", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It’s second order effects, not directly about Venezuela. It encompasses Trinidad & Tobago, which are basically 7m off the coast as the #1 or #2 largest exporter of ammonia in the world.\n\nThe attack on Venezuela might disrupt the two, so the $CF fertilizer/producer play increases margins + benefits since their competitors are stuck.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Fertz are the 7th largest export at 1.4% of total notional value of $200m. All of it is exported to neighbouring countries. No reason for fertz to spike whatsoever.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MARKETCOMACC", "ret_m1d": -0.0016198351262892707, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0016198351262892707, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004996215042636032, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008255700858014192, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006616050168925303, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009875535984303463, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010092375989439462, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010092375989439462, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016039559362528766, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02984328343844289, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005947183373089304, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01975090744900343, "ret_p1w": 0.006603411757943878, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.006603411757943878, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.004214948012655206, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03504530170698206, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010818359770599084, "bench_c_p1w": 0.041648713464925935, "ret_p1m": 0.1525042961950236, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1525042961950236, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1498723462899072, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06405436206044679, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.002631949905116393, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0884499341345768, "ret_p3m": 0.6280069406974915, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6280069406974915, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.671773130637863, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5409700654380647, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.043766189940371514, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08703687525942683, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1233, 0.0975, 0.0818, 0.0925, 0.0742, 0.0582, 0.0283, 0.0343, 0.0395, 0.0316, 0.0643, 0.0767, 0.071, 0.07, 0.0664, 0.0423, 0.0257, 0.0316, 0.0455, 0.0472, 0.0534, 0.0088, 0.016, 0.0261, 0.0364, 0.0497, 0.0445, 0.0596, 0.0054, 0.0108, -0.0192, -0.0308, -0.0214, -0.0324, -0.0321, -0.0231, -0.0231, -0.0194, -0.0057, -0.0161, -0.0121, -0.0004, -0.0297, -0.0374, -0.0444, -0.052, -0.0199, -0.0133, -0.0188, -0.0338, -0.0156, -0.0245, -0.0194, -0.0353, -0.0264, -0.0335, -0.0335, -0.035, -0.0325, -0.0415, -0.0364, -0.0364, -0.0016, 0.0, -0.0101, -0.0345, 0.0133, 0.0292, 0.0066, 0.0325, 0.0597, 0.079, 0.0809, 0.0809, 0.1017, 0.1445, 0.1118, 0.151, 0.1419, 0.143, 0.1609, 0.1716, 0.1616, 0.1194, 0.1525, 0.1799, 0.1378, 0.1542, 0.1829, 0.2, 0.2077, 0.1732, 0.1857, 0.1857, 0.1748, 0.2002, 0.2458, 0.2173, 0.1956, 0.2039, 0.2043, 0.217, 0.2468, 0.3065, 0.3315, 0.3116, 0.3876, 0.4503, 0.3909, 0.3785, 0.5048, 0.7035, 0.623, 0.5323, 0.5443, 0.5874, 0.5728, 0.5645, 0.5054, 0.5898, 0.6047, 0.6604, 0.7092, 0.7236, 0.6264, 0.6031, 0.628, 0.628, 0.6407, 0.6757, 0.5803, 0.4954, 0.5197, 0.5242, 0.4901, 0.5133, 0.5621, 0.4114, 0.4523, 0.5195, 0.5339, 0.5731, 0.5148, 0.5486, 0.5321, 0.588, 0.5557, 0.5368, 0.5769, 0.6038, 0.5001, 0.4866, 0.4407, 0.5592, 0.6333, 0.572, 0.5403, 0.5752, 0.5749, 0.6081, 0.5508, 0.5305, 0.5306, 0.5306, 0.4987, 0.4632, 0.4652, 0.413, 0.413, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1979381796455485450", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-18T02:59:30+00:00", "symbol": "UPWK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's a great stock, nothing wrong with holding, lot of upside.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on UPWK; sees lot of upside, comfortable holding.", "resolved_tickers": ["UPWK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Lxizny It's a great stock, nothing wrong with holding, lot of upside.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @DeepValueBagger What's your current take on $UPWK? Fundamentals are great, but the momentum is no longer there", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Lxizny", "ret_m1d": -0.028194319808244495, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.028194319808244495, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017900900859180502, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017900900859180502, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010293418949063993, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010293418949063993, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0005998937514137825, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0005998937514137825, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0005849892699379966, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0005849892699379966, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4904481475785936e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -1.4904481475785936e-05, "ret_p1w": -0.03299335540152093, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03299335540152093, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05375904707735879, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05375904707735879, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02076569167583786, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02076569167583786, "ret_p1m": 0.024595071717795625, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.024595071717795625, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04130893895708698, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04130893895708698, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016713867239291358, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016713867239291358, "ret_p3m": 0.20875821993457344, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.20875821993457344, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.17451796261921615, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.17451796261921615, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03424025731535729, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03424025731535729, "ret_p6m": -0.3365326713258453, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3365326713258453, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.37692335893266826, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.37692335893266826, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04039068760682296, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04039068760682296, "price_path": [-0.1734, -0.2064, -0.2136, -0.2286, -0.2412, -0.2759, -0.2825, -0.2951, -0.2777, -0.2873, -0.2831, -0.1854, -0.21, -0.1956, -0.18, -0.1548, -0.1782, -0.1722, -0.1608, -0.1686, -0.1476, -0.1128, -0.105, -0.1056, -0.0948, -0.1122, -0.1056, -0.0768, -0.0768, -0.0426, -0.0132, 0.0066, -0.0288, -0.0426, -0.0402, -0.0456, -0.018, 0.0114, 0.0072, 0.0258, 0.0882, 0.1758, 0.204, 0.1596, 0.1794, 0.195, 0.1578, 0.1488, 0.1404, 0.114, 0.0624, 0.0894, 0.036, 0.0438, 0.0252, 0.0714, 0.0456, 0.0078, 0.0258, 0.0162, 0.0084, 0.0042, -0.0282, 0.0, -0.0006, -0.0396, -0.033, -0.0402, -0.033, 0.042, 0.0126, -0.0216, -0.0438, -0.0624, 0.0618, -0.0174, -0.0312, 0.0468, 0.0558, 0.0768, 0.0222, 0.0228, -0.0114, -0.0288, 0.0246, 0.0894, 0.0294, 0.072, 0.1128, 0.1812, 0.1746, 0.1746, 0.1842, 0.1926, 0.2316, 0.1836, 0.1746, 0.2046, 0.1926, 0.2585, 0.2286, 0.3149, 0.3167, 0.2825, 0.2861, 0.2112, 0.228, 0.2358, 0.2771, 0.249, 0.2579, 0.2579, 0.2507, 0.2178, 0.1728, 0.189, 0.189, 0.1902, 0.237, 0.216, 0.2513, 0.225, 0.2028, 0.2238, 0.2148, 0.2058, 0.2088, 0.192, 0.192, 0.1692, 0.1812, 0.2675, 0.3263, 0.3119, 0.2777, 0.2304, 0.2609, 0.2016, 0.1968, 0.0948, 0.0228, 0.069, 0.1356, 0.1272, -0.0876, -0.1302, -0.2136, -0.2064, -0.2064, -0.2346, -0.1764, -0.201, -0.21, -0.2496, -0.219, -0.2214, -0.1692, -0.195, -0.213, -0.2124, -0.1944, -0.2016, -0.2052, -0.2004, -0.2573, -0.2555, -0.2885, -0.2675, -0.2831, -0.2591, -0.2747, -0.3191, -0.3233, -0.3149, -0.3311, -0.3209, -0.3287, -0.3479, -0.3659, -0.3425, -0.3293, -0.3437, -0.3437, -0.3203, -0.3419, -0.3365, -0.3737, -0.3605, -0.3395, -0.3365]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2002402259683192895", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-20T15:34:36+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd say $RKLB and $NBIS next 5 years. I could definitely see Rocketlab at $300B valuation", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long RKLB ($300B target) and NBIS ($200B target) as safer 10x plays; also long AAOI, WLAC, TE as smaller-cap moonshots over 5 years.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So for a “safer” 10x. I’d say $RKLB and $NBIS next 5 years. I could definitely see Rocketlab at $300B valuation and Nebius at $200B one day.\n\nThe chance of a 10x increases the smaller marketcap they are (eg. Sub $2B), and it’s obviously much harder for companies like $HOOD to double in a year. \n\nBut for smaller caps, $AAOI, $WLAC, and $TE are those types of moonshots I like to dabble in.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thanks serenity. Keen to understand if you had to pick three stocks that you think have the highest chance of 10Xing in the next five years, which ones would they be?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "halldj00", "ret_m1d": -0.09065127185100808, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09065127185100808, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08445995083567392, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07968668626598518, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01096458558502289, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004771150638576804, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004771150638576804, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009341605457009683, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0043891205319542825, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0003820301066225218, "ret_p1w": -0.09580915554854208, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09580915554854208, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1002189268238296, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0946630652286744, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0011460903198676764, "ret_p1m": 0.14970986658250562, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14970986658250562, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.16029648126801632, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10844905615839373, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04126081042411189, "ret_p3m": -0.07246940716212702, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07246940716212702, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03592015685184158, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11710486557730704, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04463545841518002, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3721, -0.3987, -0.4035, -0.3938, -0.3822, -0.3814, -0.3234, -0.2758, -0.2456, -0.2068, -0.1578, -0.1435, -0.1714, -0.1564, -0.1228, -0.1068, -0.136, -0.1455, -0.1315, -0.1567, -0.219, -0.1803, -0.1675, -0.1538, -0.1779, -0.1469, -0.2144, -0.1879, -0.209, -0.2705, -0.2725, -0.3603, -0.3341, -0.3308, -0.3393, -0.3556, -0.4165, -0.4128, -0.4415, -0.4484, -0.4375, -0.4909, -0.4803, -0.4526, -0.4507, -0.4593, -0.4593, -0.4566, -0.4794, -0.4597, -0.4233, -0.3634, -0.3674, -0.3351, -0.311, -0.2583, -0.1808, -0.2071, -0.2855, -0.2845, -0.3042, -0.2273, -0.0907, 0.0, -0.0048, -0.0048, -0.0048, -0.089, -0.0958, -0.0916, -0.1005, -0.1005, -0.0201, 0.0076, 0.1093, 0.0842, 0.0713, 0.0941, 0.1335, 0.1164, 0.1838, 0.1703, 0.2418, 0.2418, 0.1497, 0.1324, 0.1345, 0.1464, 0.0378, 0.1219, 0.1421, 0.1048, 0.0325, -0.0438, 0.048, -0.0573, -0.1448, -0.0674, -0.0221, -0.0712, -0.1023, -0.1488, -0.1304, -0.1304, -0.0988, -0.0404, -0.0125, -0.0863, -0.0946, -0.0977, -0.0948, -0.0632, -0.109, -0.0848, -0.0957, -0.0727, -0.0974, -0.0959, -0.0783, -0.1112, -0.0721, -0.1184, -0.1179, -0.0805, 0.0134, -0.1041, -0.0725, -0.1331, -0.1231, -0.148, -0.0602, -0.1497, -0.2143, -0.2601, -0.1719, -0.1551, -0.1266, -0.1266, -0.1274, -0.1448, -0.1092, -0.1394, -0.1225, -0.0894, -0.0687, -0.0509, 0.0694, 0.0935, 0.1536, 0.1172, 0.1611, 0.0909, 0.0275, 0.0611, 0.0134, -0.0068, 0.064, 0.0162, 0.0356, 0.0156, 0.0916, 0.0133, 0.36, 0.5132, 0.5159, 0.6009, 0.7092, 0.6089, 0.6913, 0.6417, 0.7315, 0.6177, 0.7506, 0.7506, 0.8466, 0.9372, 0.9088, 0.8502, 0.8502, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2002402259683192895", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-20T15:34:36+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd say $RKLB and $NBIS next 5 years. I could definitely see Nebius at $200B one day", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long RKLB ($300B target) and NBIS ($200B target) as safer 10x plays; also long AAOI, WLAC, TE as smaller-cap moonshots over 5 years.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So for a “safer” 10x. I’d say $RKLB and $NBIS next 5 years. I could definitely see Rocketlab at $300B valuation and Nebius at $200B one day.\n\nThe chance of a 10x increases the smaller marketcap they are (eg. Sub $2B), and it’s obviously much harder for companies like $HOOD to double in a year. \n\nBut for smaller caps, $AAOI, $WLAC, and $TE are those types of moonshots I like to dabble in.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thanks serenity. Keen to understand if you had to pick three stocks that you think have the highest chance of 10Xing in the next five years, which ones would they be?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "halldj00", "ret_m1d": -0.040437671744227854, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.040437671744227854, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.034246350728893704, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0360144971672961, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004423174576931754, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03432376340678023, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03432376340678023, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.038894218225213106, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04058125083315256, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006257487426372332, "ret_p1w": -0.07712112176891306, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07712112176891306, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08153089304420058, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08766453342417069, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010543411655257628, "ret_p1m": 0.06500050778066457, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06500050778066457, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07558712246617527, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09234494973203389, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "bench_c_p1m": -0.027344441951369314, "ret_p3m": 0.3034430147752307, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3034430147752307, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.33999226508551617, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3336161785269677, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "bench_c_p3m": -0.030173163751736953, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2145, 0.1578, 0.1552, 0.1822, 0.2042, 0.2401, 0.3501, 0.3727, 0.3401, 0.2625, 0.3086, 0.4227, 0.3899, 0.453, 0.3746, 0.3497, 0.3197, 0.2168, 0.1692, 0.1185, 0.0578, 0.1387, 0.2577, 0.3454, 0.3068, 0.3418, 0.332, 0.4032, 0.2922, 0.1857, 0.255, 0.1739, 0.1936, 0.1793, 0.0964, 0.0121, -0.0493, -0.1039, -0.0778, -0.0289, 0.0197, -0.0921, -0.1069, -0.0143, -0.0467, 0.0157, 0.0157, 0.0176, 0.0742, 0.0345, 0.061, 0.1026, 0.0516, 0.0762, 0.0341, 0.0039, 0.0113, -0.0594, -0.1297, -0.1317, -0.1907, -0.1624, -0.0404, 0.0, -0.0343, -0.0225, -0.0225, -0.0605, -0.0771, -0.0865, -0.1022, -0.1022, -0.0352, -0.0043, 0.0752, 0.032, 0.0437, 0.0504, 0.1512, 0.1309, 0.0939, 0.1143, 0.1663, 0.1663, 0.065, 0.0605, 0.0388, 0.0136, -0.019, 0.0498, 0.0772, 0.018, -0.0862, -0.0544, -0.0352, -0.1163, -0.2077, -0.0765, -0.0038, -0.0154, -0.0496, -0.0375, 0.0513, 0.0513, 0.046, 0.0919, 0.1542, 0.0503, 0.0792, 0.1003, 0.1383, 0.125, -0.0219, -0.0238, -0.069, 0.0488, 0.026, -0.0418, 0.0183, 0.0343, 0.2013, 0.1589, 0.2115, 0.3928, 0.2478, 0.2717, 0.3034, 0.2616, 0.2244, 0.2325, 0.2345, 0.1367, 0.0814, -0.0104, 0.1129, 0.0935, 0.1672, 0.1672, 0.2071, 0.2593, 0.3408, 0.4623, 0.555, 0.6578, 0.737, 0.7888, 0.7735, 0.6855, 0.7072, 0.6792, 0.6748, 0.6849, 0.5785, 0.5549, 0.4535, 0.5144, 0.4827, 0.6571, 0.8923, 0.8869, 1.0926, 0.9819, 0.8991, 0.9961, 0.9212, 1.2232, 1.3721, 1.3591, 1.1437, 1.1209, 1.0575, 1.359, 1.3037, 1.3037, 1.2317, 1.235, 1.4278, 1.4787, 1.4787, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2002402259683192895", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-12-20T15:34:36+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI, $WLAC, and $TE are those types of moonshots I like to dabble in", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long RKLB ($300B target) and NBIS ($200B target) as safer 10x plays; also long AAOI, WLAC, TE as smaller-cap moonshots over 5 years.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So for a “safer” 10x. I’d say $RKLB and $NBIS next 5 years. I could definitely see Rocketlab at $300B valuation and Nebius at $200B one day.\n\nThe chance of a 10x increases the smaller marketcap they are (eg. Sub $2B), and it’s obviously much harder for companies like $HOOD to double in a year. \n\nBut for smaller caps, $AAOI, $WLAC, and $TE are those types of moonshots I like to dabble in.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thanks serenity. Keen to understand if you had to pick three stocks that you think have the highest chance of 10Xing in the next five years, which ones would they be?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "halldj00", "ret_m1d": -0.19887456920609026, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.19887456920609026, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1926832481907561, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1926832481907561, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03951907202210658, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03951907202210658, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.034948617203673704, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.034948617203673704, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "ret_p1w": -0.059982124248184165, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.059982124248184165, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06439189552347169, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06439189552347169, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "ret_p1m": 0.0042204142646937726, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0042204142646937726, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.01480702895020447, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01480702895020447, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "ret_p3m": 1.6069828619156716, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.6069828619156716, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.643532112225957, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.643532112225957, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3173, -0.3263, -0.3408, -0.3365, -0.3367, -0.2731, -0.2843, -0.2856, -0.1357, -0.1985, -0.1759, -0.172, -0.3055, -0.2557, -0.2715, -0.1572, -0.2035, -0.1835, -0.1267, -0.1457, -0.2333, -0.1968, -0.1301, -0.048, -0.0569, -0.0925, -0.103, -0.0904, -0.1549, -0.2454, -0.194, -0.2557, -0.2692, -0.3498, -0.3925, -0.3876, -0.4651, -0.451, -0.4467, -0.4657, -0.4662, -0.5015, -0.4736, -0.4252, -0.4186, -0.346, -0.346, -0.315, -0.3214, -0.3344, -0.3439, -0.3288, -0.3199, -0.2879, -0.2229, -0.1053, -0.071, -0.1799, -0.2352, -0.2592, -0.3058, -0.2518, -0.1989, 0.0, 0.0395, 0.0487, 0.0487, -0.0492, -0.06, -0.0787, -0.1083, -0.1083, 0.0129, -0.105, -0.0124, -0.0266, -0.1556, -0.1293, -0.1375, -0.1257, -0.1183, -0.0536, -0.0526, -0.0526, 0.0042, -0.0183, -0.0242, -0.0863, -0.1076, -0.0436, 0.1569, 0.0121, 0.1155, 0.1296, 0.1797, 0.0206, -0.0247, 0.1331, 0.2255, 0.2403, 0.238, 0.1252, 0.1372, 0.1372, 0.1232, 0.1111, 0.2017, 0.3219, 0.3802, 0.4393, 0.4866, 0.3733, 1.1545, 1.6221, 1.4387, 1.5505, 1.587, 1.4448, 1.8295, 2.082, 2.2488, 1.7162, 1.4763, 1.4062, 1.2082, 1.3694, 1.607, 1.2392, 1.4494, 1.9134, 1.9265, 1.4919, 1.5121, 1.1791, 1.1637, 1.2087, 1.6579, 1.6579, 1.7484, 2.0091, 2.3943, 2.4096, 2.8522, 2.9184, 2.7445, 2.6462, 3.024, 3.0778, 3.1814, 2.8514, 2.822, 2.523, 3.1481, 2.7289, 2.5109, 2.9092, 3.2041, 3.694, 3.4246, 3.6187, 3.5668, 3.0299, 2.8097, 3.7295, 3.816, 4.7066, 4.2071, 3.8692, 3.4318, 3.3824, 3.2271, 3.5226, 3.6423, 3.6423, 3.5433, 3.5998, 3.3233, 3.0519, 3.0519, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2002402259683192895", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-12-20T15:34:36+00:00", "symbol": "TE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI, $WLAC, and $TE are those types of moonshots I like to dabble in", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long RKLB ($300B target) and NBIS ($200B target) as safer 10x plays; also long AAOI, WLAC, TE as smaller-cap moonshots over 5 years.", "resolved_tickers": ["TE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So for a “safer” 10x. I’d say $RKLB and $NBIS next 5 years. I could definitely see Rocketlab at $300B valuation and Nebius at $200B one day.\n\nThe chance of a 10x increases the smaller marketcap they are (eg. Sub $2B), and it’s obviously much harder for companies like $HOOD to double in a year. \n\nBut for smaller caps, $AAOI, $WLAC, and $TE are those types of moonshots I like to dabble in.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thanks serenity. Keen to understand if you had to pick three stocks that you think have the highest chance of 10Xing in the next five years, which ones would they be?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "halldj00", "ret_m1d": -0.1191781287212077, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1191781287212077, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11298680770587355, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.11298680770587355, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02602740441864737, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02602740441864737, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03059785923708025, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03059785923708025, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "ret_p1w": -0.12054795773263283, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12054795773263283, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.12495772900792035, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12495772900792035, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "ret_p1m": 0.13424650912751224, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13424650912751224, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14483312381302293, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14483312381302293, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "ret_p3m": 0.056164361191727075, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.056164361191727075, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09271361150201252, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09271361150201252, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6986, -0.689, -0.6986, -0.6808, -0.7014, -0.6726, -0.6767, -0.6534, -0.6164, -0.6082, -0.5986, -0.4753, -0.5014, -0.5205, -0.4507, -0.2822, -0.3575, -0.4082, -0.3479, -0.3863, -0.437, -0.4918, -0.5247, -0.4753, -0.4932, -0.5068, -0.5014, -0.4904, -0.5315, -0.4959, -0.4397, -0.4959, -0.4781, -0.3836, -0.3959, -0.4726, -0.5219, -0.5397, -0.5644, -0.5808, -0.6041, -0.6274, -0.6274, -0.5699, -0.5493, -0.474, -0.474, -0.4356, -0.3877, -0.3507, -0.3808, -0.3, -0.2014, -0.1753, -0.0781, -0.1575, -0.1959, -0.2671, -0.3068, -0.2548, -0.2575, -0.1753, -0.1192, 0.0, -0.026, -0.0342, -0.0342, -0.0685, -0.1205, -0.1096, -0.0849, -0.0849, 0.074, 0.1233, 0.0479, -0.0027, -0.0671, -0.0493, -0.0123, 0.0767, 0.0767, 0.0151, 0.1192, 0.1192, 0.1342, 0.0712, 0.1466, 0.1644, 0.1151, 0.2493, 0.3, 0.2164, 0.1411, 0.1863, 0.2452, 0.0589, -0.0041, 0.1329, 0.0466, 0.0288, -0.0616, -0.1493, -0.1616, -0.1616, -0.1178, -0.1151, -0.1356, -0.1493, -0.1384, -0.0288, -0.011, -0.0014, -0.1562, -0.063, -0.1082, -0.0274, -0.0671, -0.0795, -0.0192, 0.0932, 0.1151, 0.0603, 0.0438, 0.0575, 0.0671, 0.0041, 0.0562, -0.0959, -0.063, -0.0945, -0.0849, -0.1397, -0.211, -0.2301, -0.3986, -0.3863, -0.426, -0.426, -0.4452, -0.4616, -0.4288, -0.4274, -0.3575, -0.3, -0.3342, -0.2685, -0.3164, -0.311, -0.3178, -0.3027, -0.2616, -0.2616, -0.2753, -0.2726, -0.3288, -0.3301, -0.3425, -0.2945, -0.3014, -0.2685, -0.2781, -0.2945, -0.1562, -0.1726, -0.1986, -0.2315, -0.2151, -0.2233, -0.0411, -0.0575, 0.1918, 0.1945, 0.1068, 0.1068, 0.4315, 0.5014, 0.4822, 0.4466, 0.4466, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1982001067698143714", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-25T08:27:32+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS ends up on top due to margins and defensibility. Full stack + software orchestration is a misunderstood moat.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NBIS as top Neocloud on margins, defensibility, and full-stack software moat competitors can't replicate.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Fair, there's a lot of hype around Bitcoin miners. My guess is every Neocloud will go up together anyway. \n\nBut what ends up on top is execution during ER. $NBIS ends up on top due to margins and defensibility.\n\nFull stack + software orchestration is a misunderstood moat. Even $ORCL couldn't get it right and they lost $100m on buildout.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I still have $iren 2026/1 call and call spread. Will turn into $nbis position after.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "bigliu", "ret_m1d": -0.0651359176358719, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0651359176358719, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05347576869210846, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.051394016667661524, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013741900968210374, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02870125540430646, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02870125540430646, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.031357254360897535, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.023750721096447047, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004950534307859411, "ret_p1w": -0.03954396135218685, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03954396135218685, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.036771241766913265, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.009072772543005425, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": -0.030471188809181426, "ret_p1m": -0.291397615903933, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.291397615903933, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2764831740059033, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2669865978192385, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02441101808469448, "ret_p3m": -0.22785618880266678, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22785618880266678, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23628515601411337, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.22330124633290094, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": -0.004554942469765844, "ret_p6m": 0.24810653488691647, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.24810653488691647, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.21476196842477524, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.24166768131940364, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": 0.006438853567512837, "price_path": [-0.5911, -0.5661, -0.5854, -0.5681, -0.5602, -0.5608, -0.4793, -0.4516, -0.44, -0.3994, -0.4369, -0.4542, -0.429, -0.4217, -0.4643, -0.4621, -0.4724, -0.4501, -0.4418, -0.4381, -0.4411, -0.4257, -0.4553, -0.4553, -0.476, -0.4766, -0.4825, -0.478, -0.4893, -0.2369, -0.2554, -0.2889, -0.2792, -0.2748, -0.287, -0.2499, -0.2496, -0.2082, -0.1501, -0.1406, -0.0973, -0.1394, -0.1414, -0.1213, -0.1049, -0.0783, 0.0035, 0.0203, -0.0039, -0.0616, -0.0273, 0.0575, 0.0331, 0.08, 0.0217, 0.0032, -0.0191, -0.0956, -0.131, -0.1686, -0.2137, -0.1536, -0.0651, 0.0, -0.0287, -0.0026, -0.01, 0.043, -0.0395, -0.1187, -0.0672, -0.1275, -0.1128, -0.1234, -0.185, -0.2477, -0.2934, -0.334, -0.3145, -0.2782, -0.242, -0.3252, -0.3362, -0.2673, -0.2914, -0.2451, -0.2451, -0.2436, -0.2015, -0.231, -0.2114, -0.1804, -0.2184, -0.2001, -0.2314, -0.2538, -0.2483, -0.3009, -0.3531, -0.3546, -0.3985, -0.3774, -0.2868, -0.2567, -0.2822, -0.2735, -0.2735, -0.3017, -0.314, -0.321, -0.3327, -0.3327, -0.2829, -0.2599, -0.2008, -0.233, -0.2243, -0.2192, -0.1443, -0.1595, -0.187, -0.1718, -0.1331, -0.1331, -0.2084, -0.2118, -0.2279, -0.2466, -0.2708, -0.2197, -0.1993, -0.2433, -0.3208, -0.2971, -0.2829, -0.3431, -0.4111, -0.3136, -0.2595, -0.2682, -0.2936, -0.2846, -0.2186, -0.2186, -0.2225, -0.1884, -0.1421, -0.2193, -0.1979, -0.1822, -0.154, -0.1638, -0.273, -0.2744, -0.308, -0.2204, -0.2374, -0.2878, -0.2431, -0.2312, -0.1071, -0.1386, -0.0995, 0.0352, -0.0726, -0.0548, -0.0312, -0.0623, -0.0899, -0.0839, -0.0824, -0.1551, -0.1962, -0.2645, -0.1728, -0.1872, -0.1324, -0.1324, -0.1028, -0.064, -0.0034, 0.0869, 0.1558, 0.2322, 0.2911, 0.3296, 0.3182, 0.2528, 0.2689, 0.2481]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972827501341925512", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-30T00:55:04+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I like the stock the best and I'd prob buy TSM over AVGO", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefers TSM over AVGO as foundational play for NVDA/AVGO custom ASIC buildout.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@turnandburn07 $AVGO mirrors nvda's ascent with GPUs but for custom  hyperscaler ASICs. It's always hard to buy things at the top, but sometimes they keep going up.  \n\nEither way, $TSM serves as the foundation for NVDA, AVGO, etc, so I like the stock the best and I'd prob buy TSM over AVGO", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit any thoughts on $AVGO in this range?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "turnandburn07", "ret_m1d": -0.021697878226298983, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.021697878226298983, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017945147503801606, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017945147503801606, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003752730722497377, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003752730722497377, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03286901736627934, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03286901736627934, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0294615400816427, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0294615400816427, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0034074772846366397, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0034074772846366397, "ret_p1w": 0.052776639075210685, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.052776639075210685, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04836343953963973, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04836343953963973, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004413199535570955, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004413199535570955, "ret_p1m": 0.09237708247518617, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09237708247518617, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.060538763176661625, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.060538763176661625, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03183831929852454, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03183831929852454, "ret_p3m": 0.0872481414854207, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0872481414854207, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.04796480543238335, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04796480543238335, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.039283336053037354, "bench_c_p3m": 0.039283336053037354, "ret_p6m": 0.2520008539262093, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2520008539262093, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.26043712674811115, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.26043712674811115, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.008436272821901847, "bench_c_p6m": -0.008436272821901847, "price_path": [-0.1619, -0.1619, -0.182, -0.1867, -0.1725, -0.1799, -0.1776, -0.1838, -0.1543, -0.1521, -0.1234, -0.142, -0.1475, -0.1627, -0.1422, -0.1377, -0.1234, -0.1336, -0.1386, -0.133, -0.1376, -0.1605, -0.1469, -0.1703, -0.1742, -0.134, -0.1368, -0.1359, -0.1281, -0.1382, -0.1398, -0.1474, -0.1383, -0.1694, -0.1841, -0.1886, -0.1684, -0.1591, -0.1479, -0.1459, -0.1496, -0.176, -0.176, -0.1848, -0.1741, -0.1605, -0.1312, -0.1177, -0.1044, -0.0704, -0.0759, -0.0744, -0.0671, -0.0617, -0.0591, -0.0381, -0.0516, -0.0238, 0.0122, 0.0051, -0.0094, -0.0212, -0.0217, 0.0, 0.0329, 0.0316, 0.0462, 0.0827, 0.0528, 0.0903, 0.0737, 0.0049, 0.0845, 0.0596, 0.091, 0.0736, 0.0565, 0.0659, 0.0545, 0.0343, 0.041, 0.0561, 0.0679, 0.0796, 0.0924, 0.0857, 0.0757, 0.0916, 0.0528, 0.0514, 0.0356, 0.0258, 0.0572, 0.0425, 0.0406, 0.0104, 0.0198, 0.0097, -0.0049, 0.011, -0.0064, -0.0151, 0.0192, 0.0193, 0.0382, 0.0382, 0.0438, 0.03, 0.0458, 0.0579, 0.0488, 0.0552, 0.0808, 0.0864, 0.1105, 0.0945, 0.0485, 0.033, 0.0299, -0.0057, 0.0221, 0.0374, 0.0529, 0.0661, 0.0727, 0.0727, 0.0872, 0.0804, 0.0755, 0.091, 0.091, 0.1475, 0.1569, 0.1755, 0.1441, 0.1417, 0.1619, 0.1911, 0.1891, 0.1744, 0.2265, 0.2293, 0.2293, 0.1746, 0.1708, 0.1753, 0.2022, 0.1945, 0.2147, 0.2289, 0.219, 0.1868, 0.2255, 0.2054, 0.1695, 0.1874, 0.2524, 0.276, 0.2993, 0.343, 0.3215, 0.3153, 0.3153, 0.3075, 0.3006, 0.2939, 0.3303, 0.3285, 0.3849, 0.392, 0.3528, 0.3448, 0.3252, 0.2678, 0.2833, 0.2704, 0.2167, 0.2519, 0.2461, 0.2729, 0.2088, 0.2146, 0.2215, 0.2456, 0.2226, 0.2197, 0.1854, 0.2185, 0.2358, 0.252]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1988239709189890515", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-11T13:37:41+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm adding more $NBIS call leaps if price stays around $116 when the market opens. Ridiculously undervalued at these levels given new guidance from earnings report.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Adding NBIS call leaps around $116 open; views it as ridiculously undervalued given new earnings guidance.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@rioferdy838 I'm adding more $NBIS call leaps if price stays around $116 when the market opens. Ridiculously undervalued at these levels given new guidance from earnings report.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Was up 7-8% earlier. Pulling up CRWV, IREN and friends along with it too lol.\n\nIm fully invested in this thing. Thank you @aleabitoreddit for all your analysis and conviction.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "rioferdy838", "ret_m1d": 0.07562116645693662, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07562116645693662, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07790517779341222, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08367715698290779, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0022840113364756, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008055990525971168, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07689298098696984, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07689298098696984, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07744946946558229, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07111371851615012, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005564884786124491, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005779262470819724, "ret_p1w": -0.11426335517212038, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11426335517212038, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08070553613602638, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09333522120495286, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.033557819036094005, "bench_c_p1w": -0.020928133967167528, "ret_p1m": -0.08442579514531079, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08442579514531079, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0911169579698673, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10955721246618133, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006691162824556507, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02513141732087054, "ret_p3m": -0.15769910540088283, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15769910540088283, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17184363692646742, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1746409985754659, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014144531525584592, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016941893174583056, "ret_p6m": 0.9085305616135924, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.9085305616135924, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.8279910769496042, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.8743308936187839, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08053948466398819, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03419966799480845, "price_path": [-0.3303, -0.2994, -0.2904, -0.3427, -0.34, -0.3526, -0.3252, -0.315, -0.3105, -0.3142, -0.2952, -0.3316, -0.3316, -0.3571, -0.3578, -0.365, -0.3595, -0.3733, -0.0636, -0.0864, -0.1275, -0.1155, -0.1102, -0.1251, -0.0796, -0.0792, -0.0285, 0.0428, 0.0546, 0.1077, 0.056, 0.0536, 0.0783, 0.0983, 0.131, 0.2314, 0.252, 0.2223, 0.1514, 0.1935, 0.2976, 0.2677, 0.3252, 0.2537, 0.231, 0.2037, 0.1098, 0.0663, 0.0202, -0.0352, 0.0385, 0.1471, 0.2271, 0.1918, 0.2238, 0.2148, 0.2798, 0.1785, 0.0814, 0.1446, 0.0706, 0.0886, 0.0756, 0.0, -0.0769, -0.1329, -0.1827, -0.1589, -0.1143, -0.0699, -0.172, -0.1855, -0.101, -0.1305, -0.0737, -0.0737, -0.0719, -0.0203, -0.0564, -0.0323, 0.0057, -0.0409, -0.0185, -0.0568, -0.0844, -0.0777, -0.1421, -0.2062, -0.2081, -0.2619, -0.2361, -0.1248, -0.0879, -0.1193, -0.1085, -0.1085, -0.1431, -0.1583, -0.1668, -0.1811, -0.1811, -0.12, -0.0919, -0.0194, -0.0588, -0.0481, -0.042, 0.05, 0.0314, -0.0023, 0.0163, 0.0637, 0.0637, -0.0287, -0.0328, -0.0525, -0.0755, -0.1053, -0.0426, -0.0175, -0.0715, -0.1666, -0.1375, -0.12, -0.194, -0.2773, -0.1577, -0.0914, -0.102, -0.1331, -0.1222, -0.0412, -0.0412, -0.046, -0.0041, 0.0527, -0.0421, -0.0158, 0.0035, 0.0382, 0.026, -0.1079, -0.1097, -0.1509, -0.0434, -0.0643, -0.1261, -0.0712, -0.0566, 0.0956, 0.0569, 0.105, 0.2703, 0.138, 0.1599, 0.1888, 0.1507, 0.1167, 0.1241, 0.1259, 0.0367, -0.0137, -0.0974, 0.0151, -0.0026, 0.0646, 0.0646, 0.101, 0.1485, 0.2229, 0.3337, 0.4182, 0.512, 0.5842, 0.6315, 0.6175, 0.5373, 0.557, 0.5315, 0.5275, 0.5367, 0.4396, 0.4181, 0.3257, 0.3812, 0.3523, 0.5113, 0.7259, 0.721, 0.9085]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1991136649812816342", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-19T13:29:05+00:00", "symbol": "KTOS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I was a fan of $KTOS sub $30 when I looked at it", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Cautiously bullish KTOS sub $30 but conviction lower than prior RKLB bull case; RKLB remains the higher-conviction long.", "resolved_tickers": ["KTOS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I probably can't comment much on defense/energy/battery stocks since it's not my area of expertise. @RJCcapital probably a knows a bit more about energy given how much energy they put in posting about Sydney Sweeney and Duolingo/Antonio. \n\nJokes aside, directionally energy is popular due to AI buildout. As for defense I was a fan of $KTOS sub $30 when I looked at it but it's hard for me to develop the same bullish conviction I did with $RKLB. Some names like $DPRO, I haven't looked into enough yet, but I'll spend some time to research more of the mentions, so thanks for posting!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I’m balls deep in most of your strong buy stocks, especially in META and NBIS. \n\nBtw what do you think of these defence and energy stocks? Almost all of them have fast growing revenue and have huge upside and low downside potential as per analyst estimates. https://t.co/eLI1BldpDg", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Batemanzm75", "ret_m1d": -0.004386551105501124, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004386551105501124, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0005382178442686625, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0005382178442686625, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0038483332612324617, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0038483332612324617, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.047544936994607934, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.047544936994607934, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03230269153480836, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03230269153480836, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015242245459799575, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015242245459799575, "ret_p1w": 0.07216638752315974, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07216638752315974, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04643555112137121, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04643555112137121, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.025730836401788526, "bench_c_p1w": 0.025730836401788526, "ret_p1m": 0.010329749198357607, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.010329749198357607, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.010556650445627813, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.010556650445627813, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02088639964398542, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02088639964398542, "ret_p3m": 0.2602235724654314, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2602235724654314, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2283287146030919, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2283287146030919, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031894857862339476, "bench_c_p3m": 0.031894857862339476, "ret_p6m": -0.22385736670042877, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.22385736670042877, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3593780209105987, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3593780209105987, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1355206542101699, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1355206542101699, "price_path": [-0.056, -0.0533, -0.0371, -0.0389, -0.0306, -0.0683, -0.0683, -0.0648, -0.0873, -0.1002, -0.0829, -0.0924, -0.0865, -0.0709, -0.0425, -0.0208, 0.001, 0.0804, 0.0717, 0.1412, 0.1429, 0.1422, 0.1872, 0.1487, 0.1915, 0.2209, 0.2464, 0.2929, 0.3154, 0.3447, 0.3611, 0.4186, 0.4672, 0.4953, 0.3945, 0.339, 0.3624, 0.3485, 0.2817, 0.254, 0.1762, 0.2261, 0.2823, 0.1929, 0.2639, 0.2902, 0.2831, 0.2704, 0.2906, 0.2495, 0.282, 0.2891, 0.2766, 0.0954, 0.0246, 0.102, 0.1204, 0.0838, 0.0853, 0.0144, 0.0252, -0.0061, -0.0044, 0.0, -0.0475, -0.0216, 0.0487, 0.062, 0.0722, 0.0722, 0.0768, 0.0359, 0.0041, 0.0299, 0.0992, 0.0825, 0.09, 0.09, 0.0883, 0.1148, 0.0749, 0.0508, 0.0348, -0.0127, 0.0103, 0.0668, 0.1537, 0.1646, 0.1316, 0.1316, 0.0995, 0.0962, 0.0751, 0.0741, 0.0741, 0.122, 0.2725, 0.3008, 0.2939, 0.4722, 0.6089, 0.6678, 0.6941, 0.7193, 0.7626, 0.8497, 0.8497, 0.8209, 0.7064, 0.611, 0.562, 0.5752, 0.6706, 0.5943, 0.5305, 0.4576, 0.3607, 0.4627, 0.2923, 0.2063, 0.3359, 0.3982, 0.3228, 0.2421, 0.2318, 0.2602, 0.2602, 0.3014, 0.3755, 0.4953, 0.3596, 0.3345, 0.2831, 0.2485, 0.3038, 0.2195, 0.2837, 0.2587, 0.2612, 0.2104, 0.2311, 0.3085, 0.2588, 0.2582, 0.2659, 0.2386, 0.2669, 0.3487, 0.3165, 0.3129, 0.1974, 0.1842, 0.0965, 0.1317, 0.0734, 0.018, -0.0763, -0.0023, -0.042, -0.0475, -0.0475, 0.0484, 0.0183, 0.0536, -0.0331, -0.0047, 0.0408, 0.0423, 0.0565, 0.0529, 0.0045, -0.0119, -0.03, -0.0291, -0.0729, -0.1332, -0.1063, -0.1275, -0.1572, -0.1078, -0.122, -0.1237, -0.1607, -0.1295, -0.1934, -0.1808, -0.1936, -0.1888, -0.2573, -0.2239]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1991136649812816342", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-19T13:29:05+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it's hard for me to develop the same bullish conviction I did with $RKLB", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Cautiously bullish KTOS sub $30 but conviction lower than prior RKLB bull case; RKLB remains the higher-conviction long.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I probably can't comment much on defense/energy/battery stocks since it's not my area of expertise. @RJCcapital probably a knows a bit more about energy given how much energy they put in posting about Sydney Sweeney and Duolingo/Antonio. \n\nJokes aside, directionally energy is popular due to AI buildout. As for defense I was a fan of $KTOS sub $30 when I looked at it but it's hard for me to develop the same bullish conviction I did with $RKLB. Some names like $DPRO, I haven't looked into enough yet, but I'll spend some time to research more of the mentions, so thanks for posting!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I’m balls deep in most of your strong buy stocks, especially in META and NBIS. \n\nBtw what do you think of these defence and energy stocks? Almost all of them have fast growing revenue and have huge upside and low downside potential as per analyst estimates. https://t.co/eLI1BldpDg", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Batemanzm75", "ret_m1d": -0.019257225427712688, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019257225427712688, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015408892166480226, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01593171805908522, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0038483332612324617, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003325507368627467, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09491057980339002, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09491057980339002, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07966833434359044, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07814967136513462, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015242245459799575, "bench_c_p1d": -0.016760908438255395, "ret_p1w": -0.03874366501814952, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03874366501814952, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06447450141993805, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.055038998339908995, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.025730836401788526, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016295333321759475, "ret_p1m": 0.3736817890003612, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3736817890003612, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3527953893563758, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.34588004087251645, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02088639964398542, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02780174812784475, "ret_p3m": 0.5460798737459358, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5460798737459358, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5141850158835963, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.38368188105992784, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031894857862339476, "bench_c_p3m": 0.16239799268600796, "ret_p6m": 2.038743839924035, "ret_signed_p6m": 2.038743839924035, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.903223185713865, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.8708041859753268, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1355206542101699, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16793965394870813, "price_path": [0.0174, 0.0825, 0.1034, 0.0603, 0.0983, 0.1142, 0.1142, 0.1304, -0.0021, -0.0144, 0.0509, 0.0942, 0.0782, 0.0585, 0.1103, 0.2228, 0.2389, 0.0831, 0.1022, 0.0816, 0.0956, 0.1419, 0.213, 0.1162, 0.069, 0.0605, 0.0777, 0.0983, 0.0997, 0.2029, 0.2875, 0.3411, 0.4101, 0.4972, 0.5227, 0.4732, 0.4998, 0.5596, 0.588, 0.536, 0.5193, 0.544, 0.4993, 0.3885, 0.4574, 0.4801, 0.5044, 0.4615, 0.5167, 0.3966, 0.4438, 0.4062, 0.2969, 0.2934, 0.1373, 0.1839, 0.1898, 0.1747, 0.1456, 0.0374, 0.044, -0.0071, -0.0193, 0.0, -0.0949, -0.0761, -0.0268, -0.0234, -0.0387, -0.0387, -0.0339, -0.0745, -0.0394, 0.0252, 0.1318, 0.1246, 0.182, 0.2249, 0.3187, 0.4564, 0.4097, 0.2703, 0.2721, 0.237, 0.3737, 0.6167, 0.7779, 0.7694, 0.7694, 0.7694, 0.6197, 0.6075, 0.6151, 0.5993, 0.5993, 0.7421, 0.7914, 0.9723, 0.9276, 0.9046, 0.9452, 1.0151, 0.9849, 1.1045, 1.0807, 1.2077, 1.2077, 1.044, 1.0133, 1.017, 1.0381, 0.845, 0.9945, 1.0305, 0.9642, 0.8356, 0.6999, 0.8631, 0.6761, 0.5204, 0.658, 0.7387, 0.6513, 0.5961, 0.5133, 0.5461, 0.5461, 0.6022, 0.7061, 0.7556, 0.6245, 0.6096, 0.6041, 0.6094, 0.6655, 0.5841, 0.627, 0.6077, 0.6486, 0.6048, 0.6073, 0.6387, 0.5802, 0.6497, 0.5674, 0.5683, 0.6348, 0.8017, 0.5928, 0.649, 0.5413, 0.5589, 0.5147, 0.6708, 0.5117, 0.3968, 0.3155, 0.4723, 0.5021, 0.5527, 0.5527, 0.5514, 0.5204, 0.5837, 0.53, 0.5601, 0.619, 0.6557, 0.6873, 0.9012, 0.9441, 1.0509, 0.9862, 1.0642, 0.9395, 0.8267, 0.8865, 0.8017, 0.7657, 0.8916, 0.8067, 0.8411, 0.8056, 0.9406, 0.8015, 1.4179, 1.6903, 1.6951, 1.8462, 2.0387]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1988636168469324003", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-12T15:53:04+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I personally loaded up today. I see Nebius will leapfrogging $CRWV in the next growth/recovery cycle", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS on 700%+ Y/Y ARR blowout vs ~$3B analyst estimates; loaded up today. Expects NBIS to outperform CRWV next cycle.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NBIS exceeded expectations, I haven't seen any analyst model $7-9B ARR, which is just mind blowing growth (700%+ Y/Y). \n\nIndiscriminate selloff right now but:\n\n- Gov shutdown likely ending today\n- $NBIS inflow from index inclusion 24th Nov\n- Santa rally Dec\n-70% rate cut into Dec\n\nFYI the most bullish analysts were projecting ~3B ARR, and Nebius guided 2.5 times that. Fundamentals are detached from stock price right now and I personally loaded up today. \n\nI see Nebius will leapfrogging $CRWV in the next growth/recovery cycle.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Interesting reaction from the market. Like what were the expectations? I think $CRWV crashing took the whole neocloud sector with it.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "455BAG", "ret_m1d": 0.0832980135598822, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0832980135598822, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.083854192531305, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07748515706567716, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005561789714227938, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005812856494205043, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06072491860820306, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06072491860820306, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04413089862797648, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04654488419080138, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.016594019980226582, "bench_c_p1d": -0.014180034417401677, "ret_p1w": 0.007524364983892973, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.007524364983892973, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03788821579391388, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.028221942929920973, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03036385081002091, "bench_c_p1w": -0.020697577946028, "ret_p1m": -0.0008478362710598875, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0008478362710598875, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.009320313900171073, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02964823305990516, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008472477629111186, "bench_c_p1m": 0.028800396788845273, "ret_p3m": -0.01568464759813948, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.01568464759813948, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03415244818606167, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.048434132168942434, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01846780058792219, "bench_c_p3m": 0.032749484570802956, "ret_p6m": 0.9581390745793523, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.9581390745793523, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.8815117682936946, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.9176618377965287, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07662730628565773, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04047723678282367, "price_path": [-0.241, -0.2312, -0.2879, -0.285, -0.2986, -0.269, -0.2579, -0.2531, -0.2571, -0.2365, -0.276, -0.276, -0.3035, -0.3043, -0.3121, -0.3062, -0.3211, 0.0144, -0.0103, -0.0548, -0.0419, -0.036, -0.0522, -0.003, -0.0025, 0.0525, 0.1297, 0.1424, 0.2, 0.1439, 0.1414, 0.1681, 0.1898, 0.2252, 0.3339, 0.3563, 0.3241, 0.2474, 0.2929, 0.4057, 0.3733, 0.4356, 0.3581, 0.3335, 0.3039, 0.2022, 0.1552, 0.1051, 0.0451, 0.1251, 0.2427, 0.3293, 0.2911, 0.3258, 0.316, 0.3864, 0.2767, 0.1715, 0.2399, 0.1598, 0.1793, 0.1652, 0.0833, 0.0, -0.0607, -0.1147, -0.0888, -0.0405, 0.0075, -0.103, -0.1176, -0.0261, -0.0581, 0.0035, 0.0035, 0.0054, 0.0614, 0.0221, 0.0483, 0.0894, 0.039, 0.0633, 0.0217, -0.0082, -0.0008, -0.0707, -0.1401, -0.1421, -0.2004, -0.1724, -0.0519, -0.012, -0.0459, -0.0342, -0.0342, -0.0717, -0.0882, -0.0974, -0.1129, -0.1129, -0.0467, -0.0162, 0.0623, 0.0196, 0.0312, 0.0378, 0.1375, 0.1173, 0.0808, 0.1009, 0.1523, 0.1523, 0.0522, 0.0478, 0.0264, 0.0015, -0.0307, 0.0372, 0.0643, 0.0058, -0.0972, -0.0657, -0.0467, -0.1269, -0.2171, -0.0875, -0.0157, -0.0272, -0.0609, -0.0491, 0.0387, 0.0387, 0.0335, 0.0788, 0.1404, 0.0377, 0.0662, 0.0871, 0.1246, 0.1115, -0.0336, -0.0355, -0.0801, 0.0362, 0.0137, -0.0533, 0.0061, 0.0219, 0.1869, 0.145, 0.197, 0.3761, 0.2328, 0.2565, 0.2878, 0.2465, 0.2097, 0.2178, 0.2197, 0.123, 0.0685, -0.0223, 0.0996, 0.0804, 0.1532, 0.1532, 0.1927, 0.2442, 0.3247, 0.4448, 0.5364, 0.638, 0.7162, 0.7674, 0.7522, 0.6653, 0.6867, 0.6591, 0.6547, 0.6647, 0.5596, 0.5362, 0.4361, 0.4963, 0.4649, 0.6372, 0.8696, 0.8643, 1.0675, 0.9581]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1988636168469324003", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-12T15:53:04+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I see Nebius will leapfrogging $CRWV in the next growth/recovery cycle", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS on 700%+ Y/Y ARR blowout vs ~$3B analyst estimates; loaded up today. Expects NBIS to outperform CRWV next cycle.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NBIS exceeded expectations, I haven't seen any analyst model $7-9B ARR, which is just mind blowing growth (700%+ Y/Y). \n\nIndiscriminate selloff right now but:\n\n- Gov shutdown likely ending today\n- $NBIS inflow from index inclusion 24th Nov\n- Santa rally Dec\n-70% rate cut into Dec\n\nFYI the most bullish analysts were projecting ~3B ARR, and Nebius guided 2.5 times that. Fundamentals are detached from stock price right now and I personally loaded up today. \n\nI see Nebius will leapfrogging $CRWV in the next growth/recovery cycle.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Interesting reaction from the market. Like what were the expectations? I think $CRWV crashing took the whole neocloud sector with it.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "455BAG", "ret_m1d": 0.034648239188796115, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.034648239188796115, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03520441816021891, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03520441816021891, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005561789714227938, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005561789714227938, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08299196935453612, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08299196935453612, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06639794937430954, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06639794937430954, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.016594019980226582, "bench_c_p1d": -0.016594019980226582, "ret_p1w": -0.12302472314978696, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12302472314978696, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09266087233976605, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09266087233976605, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03036385081002091, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03036385081002091, "ret_p1m": 0.022825669451906228, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.022825669451906228, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.014353191822795042, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.014353191822795042, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008472477629111186, "bench_c_p1m": 0.008472477629111186, "ret_p3m": 0.13297437164662296, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.13297437164662296, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11450657105870077, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11450657105870077, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01846780058792219, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01846780058792219, "ret_p6m": 0.5081352672087589, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5081352672087589, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4315079609231012, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4315079609231012, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07662730628565773, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07662730628565773, "price_path": [0.1702, 0.1331, 0.0873, 0.0713, 0.0627, 0.1002, 0.0814, 0.0698, 0.1346, 0.2032, 0.2061, 0.2061, 0.0926, 0.0521, 0.024, 0.0428, 0.095, 0.1731, 0.3712, 0.3191, 0.3105, 0.4102, 0.39, 0.4147, 0.4209, 0.4615, 0.5595, 0.5321, 0.5615, 0.4826, 0.4086, 0.4342, 0.6019, 0.6042, 0.6154, 0.5778, 0.5668, 0.508, 0.6385, 0.6748, 0.6204, 0.6577, 0.5692, 0.6299, 0.6591, 0.6021, 0.4873, 0.4639, 0.4226, 0.4438, 0.5516, 0.5926, 0.5779, 0.6379, 0.5341, 0.5651, 0.4786, 0.3549, 0.3393, 0.2517, 0.2175, 0.2362, 0.0346, 0.0, -0.083, -0.0945, -0.1182, -0.1233, -0.123, -0.1899, -0.1613, -0.1385, -0.1655, -0.1304, -0.1304, -0.1441, -0.098, -0.11, -0.0711, 0.0037, 0.0336, 0.0095, 0.0612, 0.032, 0.0228, -0.0801, -0.1531, -0.1865, -0.2444, -0.2078, -0.0284, -0.007, -0.0605, -0.0768, -0.0768, -0.1055, -0.123, -0.135, -0.1618, -0.1618, -0.0715, -0.1003, -0.0877, -0.0966, -0.0976, -0.0619, 0.0527, 0.024, 0.0512, 0.1121, 0.1849, 0.1849, 0.1146, 0.1009, 0.0744, 0.0884, 0.1508, 0.2743, 0.241, 0.165, 0.0908, 0.0411, 0.0542, -0.0348, -0.1262, 0.0529, 0.133, 0.1133, 0.1138, 0.1202, 0.1242, 0.1242, 0.0652, 0.1173, 0.1371, 0.0447, 0.0633, 0.1624, 0.1473, 0.1428, -0.0687, -0.0864, -0.1364, -0.0694, -0.1242, -0.1456, -0.129, -0.123, -0.0406, -0.0652, -0.0506, 0.005, -0.0387, -0.0306, -0.0558, -0.0464, -0.0406, -0.0282, 0.0252, -0.0583, -0.1243, -0.1906, -0.0932, -0.0818, -0.0373, -0.0373, -0.0526, -0.0022, 0.0406, 0.0769, 0.194, 0.2908, 0.3719, 0.3893, 0.3995, 0.3678, 0.3746, 0.348, 0.4344, 0.3745, 0.2892, 0.3117, 0.2353, 0.3366, 0.3063, 0.3931, 0.4682, 0.497, 0.6151, 0.5081]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1968600241093099849", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-18T08:57:26+00:00", "symbol": "OPAD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I personally just see it's worth the risk reward given OPEN rallying 1700%+ recently and OPAD being a 140m smaller cap adjacent with 29% short interest that hasn't took off yet", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long OPAD as a smaller-cap adjacent play to OPEN's 1700% rally; rate cuts to boost housing/revenue further support the thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["OPAD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLRE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Real Estate Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Real Estate Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I don't have high confidence in $OPAD or $OPEN + small caps so do so at your own risk! \n\nBut I personally just see it's worth the risk reward given OPEN rallying 1700%+ recently and OPAD being a 140m smaller cap adjacent with 29% short interest that hasn't took off yet. (Follow the leader)\n\nIt does need to be a $500m market cap to be more mainstream if people were to post about it on WSB though. \n\n3 projected rate cuts does stimulate sales in the housing market and lower borrowing costs helps with inventory + debt -> higher revenue growth, more net profit.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Invested into OPAD because I trust you 😀", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "robswainept", "ret_m1d": 0.08920178807208701, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08920178807208701, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.09385250300402526, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08991516363130092, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004650714931938249, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0007133755592139135, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.19483565237364142, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.19483565237364142, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.1898827775983094, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.1998285372197588, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004952874775332017, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004992884846117374, "ret_p1w": 0.039906007118081455, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.039906007118081455, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04350822460513393, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04640814166424623, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0036022174870524726, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006502134546164773, "ret_p1m": -0.3145540095286834, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3145540095286834, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.32055166400244284, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.32170729691579436, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0059976544737594395, "bench_c_p1m": 0.007153287387110963, "ret_p3m": -0.6431925119108544, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.6431925119108544, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.6711152972911139, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.6146498628414049, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.027922785380259496, "bench_c_p3m": -0.028542649069449477, "ret_p6m": -0.8183098714912734, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.8183098714912734, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.8240909672338402, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.8415562418327077, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0057810957425668, "bench_c_p6m": 0.023246370341434286, "price_path": [-0.784, -0.784, -0.784, -0.7817, -0.7772, -0.7864, -0.7512, -0.7254, -0.7066, -0.7066, -0.6761, -0.6925, -0.6526, -0.6596, -0.6667, -0.6737, -0.5986, -0.4554, -0.4765, -0.4977, -0.27, -0.3357, -0.4624, -0.5446, -0.5775, -0.6174, -0.6667, -0.6808, -0.7089, -0.7136, -0.7183, -0.7371, -0.7465, -0.7535, -0.7277, -0.7089, -0.6737, -0.6948, -0.6455, -0.6643, -0.6549, -0.6808, -0.6925, -0.6854, -0.6385, -0.1455, -0.1244, -0.2113, 0.4624, 0.2089, 0.2089, 0.1995, 0.169, 0.1455, 0.1995, -0.0023, -0.0117, -0.0962, 0.1737, 0.0188, 0.0023, -0.0305, 0.0892, 0.0, 0.1948, 0.1714, -0.0516, -0.0047, 0.0399, 0.0587, 0.0164, -0.0211, -0.0563, -0.0563, -0.061, -0.0469, -0.1056, -0.2347, -0.2793, -0.3239, -0.2958, -0.2653, -0.3099, -0.3146, -0.3146, -0.2887, -0.3286, -0.4061, -0.3967, -0.3545, -0.3474, -0.3662, -0.4225, -0.446, -0.4507, -0.4601, -0.5939, -0.5728, -0.5845, -0.5775, -0.5305, -0.507, -0.4859, -0.5516, -0.5657, -0.5939, -0.5634, -0.5869, -0.6056, -0.554, -0.5469, -0.5376, -0.5493, -0.5493, -0.5469, -0.5869, -0.5939, -0.5704, -0.5352, -0.5704, -0.5657, -0.5258, -0.5446, -0.5446, -0.5869, -0.6362, -0.6432, -0.6526, -0.6596, -0.6761, -0.6714, -0.6831, -0.6854, -0.6854, -0.6995, -0.7113, -0.7207, -0.716, -0.716, -0.6878, -0.6714, -0.6479, -0.6596, -0.6432, -0.4859, -0.5822, -0.6244, -0.6408, -0.6854, -0.6808, -0.6808, -0.6948, -0.6948, -0.6995, -0.716, -0.73, -0.7254, -0.7277, -0.7582, -0.7606, -0.7535, -0.7653, -0.78, -0.7972, -0.7817, -0.7911, -0.7854, -0.8009, -0.8176, -0.811, -0.811, -0.8195, -0.8099, -0.8099, -0.8075, -0.8099, -0.8169, -0.7937, -0.7981, -0.8169, -0.8162, -0.8237, -0.8211, -0.8239, -0.8239, -0.8225, -0.8192, -0.8127, -0.8218, -0.8183]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1968600241093099849", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-18T08:57:26+00:00", "symbol": "OPEN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "OPEN rallying 1700%+ recently and OPAD being a 140m smaller cap adjacent with 29% short interest that hasn't took off yet. (Follow the leader)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long OPAD as a smaller-cap adjacent play to OPEN's 1700% rally; rate cuts to boost housing/revenue further support the thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["OPEN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I don't have high confidence in $OPAD or $OPEN + small caps so do so at your own risk! \n\nBut I personally just see it's worth the risk reward given OPEN rallying 1700%+ recently and OPAD being a 140m smaller cap adjacent with 29% short interest that hasn't took off yet. (Follow the leader)\n\nIt does need to be a $500m market cap to be more mainstream if people were to post about it on WSB though. \n\n3 projected rate cuts does stimulate sales in the housing market and lower borrowing costs helps with inventory + debt -> higher revenue growth, more net profit.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Invested into OPAD because I trust you 😀", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "robswainept", "ret_m1d": 0.02716302506657242, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02716302506657242, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03181373999851067, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03181373999851067, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004650714931938249, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004650714931938249, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03722333009845202, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03722333009845202, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04217620487378404, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04217620487378404, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004952874775332017, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004952874775332017, "ret_p1w": -0.08551302451489973, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08551302451489973, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08191080702784725, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08191080702784725, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0036022174870524726, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0036022174870524726, "ret_p1m": -0.2796780533529952, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2796780533529952, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.28567570782675467, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.28567570782675467, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0059976544737594395, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0059976544737594395, "ret_p3m": -0.3229375952535033, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3229375952535033, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3508603806337628, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3508603806337628, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.027922785380259496, "bench_c_p3m": 0.027922785380259496, "ret_p6m": -0.5020120706006853, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5020120706006853, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5077931663432521, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5077931663432521, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0057810957425668, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0057810957425668, "price_path": [-0.9467, -0.9447, -0.9485, -0.9459, -0.9439, -0.9464, -0.9432, -0.9431, -0.9386, -0.9386, -0.937, -0.9264, -0.9259, -0.9112, -0.9216, -0.9094, -0.8954, -0.8501, -0.834, -0.7736, -0.6771, -0.7103, -0.7696, -0.7565, -0.7445, -0.7646, -0.7938, -0.7918, -0.8149, -0.7887, -0.7525, -0.7465, -0.8089, -0.8139, -0.8038, -0.7676, -0.7515, -0.7565, -0.6942, -0.6811, -0.6197, -0.6358, -0.6761, -0.6378, -0.496, -0.5433, -0.5272, -0.5956, -0.5704, -0.5523, -0.5523, -0.4879, -0.4839, -0.4004, -0.331, -0.3924, -0.3853, -0.4105, 0.0584, -0.0875, -0.0448, -0.1026, 0.0272, 0.0, -0.0372, -0.1569, -0.2867, -0.172, -0.0855, -0.1137, -0.1751, -0.1982, -0.1891, -0.1942, -0.1841, -0.0664, -0.0654, -0.1459, -0.1811, -0.2384, -0.2686, -0.2314, -0.2575, -0.2847, -0.2797, -0.2586, -0.2998, -0.3139, -0.2928, -0.1982, -0.1791, -0.1982, -0.2304, -0.2616, -0.2183, -0.2364, -0.3038, -0.2726, -0.34, -0.34, -0.1982, -0.1469, -0.0573, -0.1388, -0.1831, -0.2113, -0.2435, -0.327, -0.3803, -0.3209, -0.2264, -0.2213, -0.2173, -0.2173, -0.2254, -0.2817, -0.2968, -0.3018, -0.2374, -0.2807, -0.2907, -0.2545, -0.2958, -0.2907, -0.34, -0.3491, -0.3229, -0.3843, -0.3682, -0.3602, -0.3541, -0.3692, -0.3682, -0.3682, -0.3954, -0.4135, -0.4125, -0.4135, -0.4135, -0.3893, -0.3642, -0.3028, -0.3843, -0.3531, -0.2666, -0.2938, -0.3189, -0.332, -0.3662, -0.329, -0.329, -0.3571, -0.3481, -0.3541, -0.3954, -0.4095, -0.4155, -0.4205, -0.4386, -0.4819, -0.5151, -0.4839, -0.497, -0.5272, -0.5091, -0.503, -0.5282, -0.5211, -0.5594, -0.5528, -0.5528, -0.5644, -0.5342, -0.5322, -0.497, -0.5191, -0.4859, -0.499, -0.4557, -0.4547, -0.492, -0.5, -0.5091, -0.4789, -0.497, -0.4889, -0.496, -0.4698, -0.5131, -0.502]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1970088070092648930", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-22T11:29:33+00:00", "symbol": "LTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I just see a good buying opportunity", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Treats LTC dip as a buying opportunity, citing 95% Polymarket ETF approval odds.", "resolved_tickers": ["LTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@junyongisusing1 I just see a good buying opportunity. Polymarket actually increased etf approval to 95%. \n\nThis was the main event to be looking out for. https://t.co/QB0FIMrUIq", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit LTC dropped 3% today. Any major concern over this", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "junyongisusing1", "ret_m1d": 0.07851910396007233, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07851910396007233, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08322792650129929, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0047088225412269535, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.003205436704431186, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.003205436704431186, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00864900309326, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005443566388828813, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": 0.00963786762863661, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.00963786762863661, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.014376698500397023, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004738830871760413, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.1240629240080281, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1240629240080281, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13073609554798005, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.00667317153995195, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.29798520866052636, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.29798520866052636, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3124263035043404, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014441094843814062, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.45099821750350566, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.45099821750350566, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4598939385549019, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.008895721051396244, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1999, -0.2035, -0.1983, -0.1874, -0.2133, -0.175, -0.1589, -0.1791, -0.1865, -0.1714, -0.1429, -0.1041, -0.1093, -0.0969, -0.0897, -0.0786, -0.0397, -0.0392, 0.0948, 0.1314, 0.0602, 0.0614, 0.0756, 0.0262, 0.0256, 0.0446, 0.0038, 0.0078, 0.1454, 0.1366, 0.1274, 0.1598, 0.1706, 0.1368, 0.2329, 0.2377, 0.1463, 0.125, 0.1123, 0.063, 0.0965, 0.0834, 0.1604, 0.0343, 0.0726, 0.0597, 0.075, 0.0387, 0.0258, 0.0553, 0.0674, 0.0498, 0.0594, 0.0652, 0.0579, 0.111, 0.0949, 0.1166, 0.0752, 0.0871, 0.106, 0.1176, 0.0785, 0.0, 0.0032, -0.0019, -0.0345, -0.0111, 0.0096, 0.0102, 0.0879, 0.1306, 0.139, 0.1183, 0.1064, 0.1211, 0.1901, -0.0869, -0.059, -0.0799, -0.0984, -0.1326, -0.1484, -0.1106, -0.1241, -0.1313, -0.1113, -0.0889, -0.0609, -0.0859, -0.0686, -0.1175, -0.0976, -0.1741, -0.1922, -0.1537, -0.1778, -0.0381, -0.0153, -0.0581, -0.0782, -0.0853, -0.0785, -0.1378, -0.0961, -0.1223, -0.1753, -0.2194, -0.1922, -0.1941, -0.1791, -0.1814, -0.2032, -0.2668, -0.2174, -0.1874, -0.2103, -0.2394, -0.2071, -0.1863, -0.2014, -0.2161, -0.2258, -0.2667, -0.2529, -0.2825, -0.298, -0.2676, -0.2724, -0.273, -0.2842, -0.2848, -0.2739, -0.2603, -0.2557, -0.2744, -0.2455, -0.2268, -0.2102, -0.2067, -0.2286, -0.2322, -0.231, -0.2813, -0.2617, -0.2748, -0.3184, -0.2887, -0.3317, -0.3663, -0.3534, -0.3562, -0.357, -0.341, -0.3388, -0.3443, -0.3753, -0.3824, -0.4331, -0.4399, -0.4444, -0.521, -0.4797, -0.4859, -0.4961, -0.5064, -0.4982, -0.4795, -0.4798, -0.4907, -0.4964, -0.5023, -0.4783, -0.5156, -0.5165, -0.4644, -0.4744, -0.4847, -0.4846, -0.4824, -0.4633, -0.4758, -0.4915, -0.4923, -0.4911, -0.4827, -0.4843, -0.4774, -0.4451, -0.451]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1979087229038530782", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-17T07:28:59+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS - $105-$110", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long NBIS $105-110, TSM $170-175, BTC <$100K, ALAB $100-120, AMZN $200-210 as high-conviction dip-buy levels ahead of rate cut.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We are 12 days away from a rate cut (94.1% odds). MMs enjoy times like these to cleanse the option chain. \n\nIn terms of levels I’m personally looking out for larger sized leveraged trades:\n\n$NBIS - $105-$110\n$TSM - $170-$175\n$BTC - ~<$100K\n$RKlB - $35-$40\n$ALAB - $100-$120\n_\n\nSpecial shoutout to Amazon, which is down 4.6% YTD despite the rally.\n\n$AMZN - $200-$210 ($211 is extremely good now for calls, reminds me of $GOOGL at $145 before the epic rally. Basically around now seems good, but like Google it dropped below levels people expected so might even touch $200)\n\nI’m fine with margin + options on higher conviction stuff, this is just my personal risk tolerance, NFA.\n\nThese times are the best to go long on high conviction.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Macro + Dip thoughts Oct 16th:\n\nThere's a ton going on, eg. $GLD hitting ATHs, but that's a whole different rabbit-hole on the USD. \n\nMain stock drop today was due to a shock from regional banks, so I'll focus on that. \n\nIt's a great buying opportunity on:\n\nNeoclouds with", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.08462621886031485, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08462621886031485, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0902705730832929, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.09132538239345689, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005644354222978043, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0066991635331420385, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.039139653965536425, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.039139653965536425, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04954012936515806, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05044987019660496, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010400475399621634, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011310216231068537, "ret_p1w": 0.033674185583672855, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.033674185583672855, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01431811481476264, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.028367095940674547, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.019356070768910216, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005307089642998308, "ret_p1m": -0.24206627726983898, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.24206627726983898, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.24399278397695, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.20935347611561617, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.001926506707111031, "bench_c_p1m": -0.032712801154222815, "ret_p3m": -0.10102255675101868, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.10102255675101868, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1431813825021272, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11909807305190456, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04215882575110852, "bench_c_p3m": 0.018075516300885885, "ret_p6m": 0.3624823186902406, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3624823186902406, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.32392576113931737, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3570942618932518, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.03855655755092324, "bench_c_p6m": 0.005388056796988838, "price_path": [-0.5503, -0.5427, -0.5402, -0.5472, -0.535, -0.5557, -0.5479, -0.5202, -0.5416, -0.5225, -0.5137, -0.5144, -0.4243, -0.3937, -0.3808, -0.3359, -0.3774, -0.3965, -0.3687, -0.3605, -0.4077, -0.4052, -0.4166, -0.3919, -0.3828, -0.3787, -0.3821, -0.365, -0.3977, -0.3977, -0.4207, -0.4213, -0.4278, -0.4229, -0.4353, -0.1562, -0.1767, -0.2138, -0.203, -0.1982, -0.2117, -0.1707, -0.1703, -0.1246, -0.0603, -0.0497, -0.0019, -0.0485, -0.0506, -0.0284, -0.0103, 0.0191, 0.1096, 0.1282, 0.1014, 0.0376, 0.0755, 0.1693, 0.1423, 0.1941, 0.1297, 0.1092, 0.0846, 0.0, -0.0391, -0.0807, -0.1306, -0.0642, 0.0337, 0.1057, 0.074, 0.1028, 0.0947, 0.1532, 0.062, -0.0256, 0.0314, -0.0353, -0.019, -0.0308, -0.0989, -0.1682, -0.2187, -0.2636, -0.2421, -0.2019, -0.1619, -0.2539, -0.266, -0.1899, -0.2165, -0.1653, -0.1653, -0.1637, -0.1172, -0.1498, -0.128, -0.0938, -0.1358, -0.1156, -0.1501, -0.175, -0.1689, -0.227, -0.2847, -0.2864, -0.3349, -0.3116, -0.2114, -0.1782, -0.2064, -0.1967, -0.1967, -0.2279, -0.2415, -0.2492, -0.2621, -0.2621, -0.2071, -0.1817, -0.1164, -0.1519, -0.1423, -0.1367, -0.0539, -0.0706, -0.101, -0.0842, -0.0415, -0.0415, -0.1247, -0.1284, -0.1462, -0.167, -0.1938, -0.1373, -0.1147, -0.1633, -0.249, -0.2228, -0.2071, -0.2737, -0.3488, -0.241, -0.1812, -0.1908, -0.2189, -0.209, -0.136, -0.136, -0.1403, -0.1026, -0.0514, -0.1368, -0.1131, -0.0957, -0.0645, -0.0755, -0.1961, -0.1977, -0.2348, -0.138, -0.1568, -0.2125, -0.1631, -0.1499, -0.0127, -0.0476, -0.0043, 0.1447, 0.0255, 0.0451, 0.0712, 0.0368, 0.0063, 0.013, 0.0145, -0.0658, -0.1112, -0.1867, -0.0853, -0.1013, -0.0407, -0.0407, -0.0079, 0.0349, 0.1019, 0.2018, 0.2779, 0.3625]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1979087229038530782", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-17T07:28:59+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSM - $170-$175", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long NBIS $105-110, TSM $170-175, BTC <$100K, ALAB $100-120, AMZN $200-210 as high-conviction dip-buy levels ahead of rate cut.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We are 12 days away from a rate cut (94.1% odds). MMs enjoy times like these to cleanse the option chain. \n\nIn terms of levels I’m personally looking out for larger sized leveraged trades:\n\n$NBIS - $105-$110\n$TSM - $170-$175\n$BTC - ~<$100K\n$RKlB - $35-$40\n$ALAB - $100-$120\n_\n\nSpecial shoutout to Amazon, which is down 4.6% YTD despite the rally.\n\n$AMZN - $200-$210 ($211 is extremely good now for calls, reminds me of $GOOGL at $145 before the epic rally. Basically around now seems good, but like Google it dropped below levels people expected so might even touch $200)\n\nI’m fine with margin + options on higher conviction stuff, this is just my personal risk tolerance, NFA.\n\nThese times are the best to go long on high conviction.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Macro + Dip thoughts Oct 16th:\n\nThere's a ton going on, eg. $GLD hitting ATHs, but that's a whole different rabbit-hole on the USD. \n\nMain stock drop today was due to a shock from regional banks, so I'll focus on that. \n\nIt's a great buying opportunity on:\n\nNeoclouds with", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.016131256361758384, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016131256361758384, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.021775610584736427, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.021775610584736427, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005644354222978043, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005644354222978043, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008879007725831833, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008879007725831833, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0015214676737898003, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0015214676737898003, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010400475399621634, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010400475399621634, "ret_p1w": -0.00040661177788969827, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.00040661177788969827, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.019762682546799915, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.019762682546799915, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.019356070768910216, "bench_c_p1w": 0.019356070768910216, "ret_p1m": -0.0442930217099492, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0442930217099492, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04621952841706023, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04621952841706023, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.001926506707111031, "bench_c_p1m": 0.001926506707111031, "ret_p3m": 0.11153953826372809, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11153953826372809, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06938071251261957, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06938071251261957, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04215882575110852, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04215882575110852, "ret_p6m": 0.25935987035011876, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.25935987035011876, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.22080331279919552, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.22080331279919552, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.03855655755092324, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03855655755092324, "price_path": [-0.2075, -0.1881, -0.1838, -0.1703, -0.1799, -0.1847, -0.1794, -0.1837, -0.2054, -0.1926, -0.2147, -0.2184, -0.1804, -0.183, -0.1822, -0.1747, -0.1844, -0.1858, -0.193, -0.1845, -0.2139, -0.2277, -0.232, -0.2129, -0.2041, -0.1935, -0.1916, -0.1951, -0.2201, -0.2201, -0.2284, -0.2183, -0.2054, -0.1777, -0.1649, -0.1523, -0.1202, -0.1253, -0.1239, -0.117, -0.1119, -0.1094, -0.0896, -0.1024, -0.0761, -0.0419, -0.0487, -0.0624, -0.0736, -0.074, -0.0535, -0.0224, -0.0236, -0.0098, 0.0248, -0.0036, 0.032, 0.0163, -0.0489, 0.0265, 0.0029, 0.0326, 0.0161, 0.0, 0.0089, -0.0019, -0.021, -0.0147, -0.0004, 0.0107, 0.0219, 0.0339, 0.0276, 0.0181, 0.0331, -0.0035, -0.0049, -0.0198, -0.0291, 0.0006, -0.0133, -0.0151, -0.0436, -0.0348, -0.0443, -0.0582, -0.0431, -0.0596, -0.0678, -0.0354, -0.0352, -0.0174, -0.0174, -0.0121, -0.0251, -0.0101, 0.0013, -0.0073, -0.0012, 0.023, 0.0282, 0.051, 0.0359, -0.0076, -0.0222, -0.0252, -0.0589, -0.0326, -0.0181, -0.0034, 0.0091, 0.0153, 0.0153, 0.0291, 0.0225, 0.018, 0.0326, 0.0326, 0.0861, 0.095, 0.1126, 0.0829, 0.0806, 0.0997, 0.1274, 0.1255, 0.1115, 0.1609, 0.1635, 0.1635, 0.1117, 0.1082, 0.1124, 0.1379, 0.1306, 0.1497, 0.1632, 0.1538, 0.1233, 0.16, 0.1409, 0.1069, 0.1238, 0.1854, 0.2077, 0.2298, 0.2712, 0.2508, 0.2449, 0.2449, 0.2376, 0.231, 0.2246, 0.2591, 0.2574, 0.3108, 0.3175, 0.2804, 0.2728, 0.2543, 0.2, 0.2146, 0.2024, 0.1516, 0.1849, 0.1794, 0.2048, 0.1442, 0.1496, 0.1561, 0.179, 0.1571, 0.1545, 0.1219, 0.1533, 0.1697, 0.185, 0.1113, 0.1134, 0.0785, 0.1516, 0.1637, 0.1553, 0.1553, 0.1646, 0.1767, 0.2469, 0.2455, 0.2629, 0.2594]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1979087229038530782", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-17T07:28:59+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$BTC - ~<$100K", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long NBIS $105-110, TSM $170-175, BTC <$100K, ALAB $100-120, AMZN $200-210 as high-conviction dip-buy levels ahead of rate cut.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We are 12 days away from a rate cut (94.1% odds). MMs enjoy times like these to cleanse the option chain. \n\nIn terms of levels I’m personally looking out for larger sized leveraged trades:\n\n$NBIS - $105-$110\n$TSM - $170-$175\n$BTC - ~<$100K\n$RKlB - $35-$40\n$ALAB - $100-$120\n_\n\nSpecial shoutout to Amazon, which is down 4.6% YTD despite the rally.\n\n$AMZN - $200-$210 ($211 is extremely good now for calls, reminds me of $GOOGL at $145 before the epic rally. Basically around now seems good, but like Google it dropped below levels people expected so might even touch $200)\n\nI’m fine with margin + options on higher conviction stuff, this is just my personal risk tolerance, NFA.\n\nThese times are the best to go long on high conviction.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Macro + Dip thoughts Oct 16th:\n\nThere's a ton going on, eg. $GLD hitting ATHs, but that's a whole different rabbit-hole on the USD. \n\nMain stock drop today was due to a shock from regional banks, so I'll focus on that. \n\nIt's a great buying opportunity on:\n\nNeoclouds with", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.016138683963760503, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016138683963760503, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.021783038186738546, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005644354222978043, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.03870786330108489, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03870786330108489, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.028307387901463255, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010400475399621634, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": 0.04288745781899861, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04288745781899861, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.023531387050088393, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.019356070768910216, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.1350071621573925, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1350071621573925, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13693366886450353, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.001926506707111031, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.0895901100369485, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0895901100369485, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13174893578805702, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04215882575110852, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.3004021095875755, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3004021095875755, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.33895866713849876, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.03855655755092324, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1271, 0.1154, 0.1118, 0.1049, 0.1076, 0.1076, 0.1067, 0.0873, 0.0644, 0.0808, 0.0721, 0.0804, 0.1036, 0.096, 0.1152, 0.1287, 0.1585, 0.1117, 0.1027, 0.0919, 0.0598, 0.0733, 0.0559, 0.0977, 0.0343, 0.0501, 0.0447, 0.0571, 0.0183, 0.0261, 0.0445, 0.0494, 0.04, 0.0393, 0.0526, 0.0476, 0.0703, 0.0849, 0.0905, 0.0843, 0.0975, 0.0939, 0.1002, 0.0866, 0.059, 0.0521, 0.0644, 0.0242, 0.0305, 0.0745, 0.0713, 0.1144, 0.1335, 0.1484, 0.1717, 0.1407, 0.1586, 0.1431, 0.0634, 0.0827, 0.0625, 0.0405, 0.0161, 0.0, 0.0387, 0.0189, 0.0115, 0.0338, 0.0429, 0.0719, 0.0609, 0.0337, 0.0173, 0.029, 0.0007, -0.0458, -0.0242, -0.0485, -0.0291, -0.0044, -0.0326, -0.0451, -0.0636, -0.1134, -0.135, -0.127, -0.1409, -0.1863, -0.2008, -0.1709, -0.1796, -0.1498, -0.1426, -0.146, -0.1892, -0.142, -0.1215, -0.1346, -0.1604, -0.1487, -0.1294, -0.1357, -0.1311, -0.1521, -0.1883, -0.1749, -0.1909, -0.1973, -0.1725, -0.1689, -0.179, -0.1771, -0.1806, -0.18, -0.1816, -0.1694, -0.1781, -0.1666, -0.1552, -0.1182, -0.1196, -0.1424, -0.145, -0.1499, -0.1435, -0.1047, -0.0896, -0.1025, -0.1028, -0.1307, -0.1705, -0.1605, -0.1597, -0.1593, -0.1709, -0.1631, -0.1623, -0.2058, -0.2098, -0.2609, -0.2896, -0.3142, -0.4111, -0.3373, -0.3414, -0.3539, -0.3708, -0.378, -0.3533, -0.3534, -0.3661, -0.3761, -0.3711, -0.3613, -0.3931, -0.3981, -0.3617, -0.3664, -0.3812, -0.354, -0.3586, -0.3171, -0.3346, -0.36, -0.3575, -0.3432, -0.3406, -0.3379, -0.3334, -0.2969, -0.3057, -0.3308, -0.3433, -0.3376, -0.3339, -0.3377, -0.3302, -0.3539, -0.3769, -0.3736, -0.3591, -0.3606, -0.3717, -0.3713, -0.3532, -0.3243, -0.332, -0.3259, -0.3145, -0.3004]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1979087229038530782", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-10-17T07:28:59+00:00", "symbol": "ALAB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ALAB - $100-$120", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long NBIS $105-110, TSM $170-175, BTC <$100K, ALAB $100-120, AMZN $200-210 as high-conviction dip-buy levels ahead of rate cut.", "resolved_tickers": ["ALAB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We are 12 days away from a rate cut (94.1% odds). MMs enjoy times like these to cleanse the option chain. \n\nIn terms of levels I’m personally looking out for larger sized leveraged trades:\n\n$NBIS - $105-$110\n$TSM - $170-$175\n$BTC - ~<$100K\n$RKlB - $35-$40\n$ALAB - $100-$120\n_\n\nSpecial shoutout to Amazon, which is down 4.6% YTD despite the rally.\n\n$AMZN - $200-$210 ($211 is extremely good now for calls, reminds me of $GOOGL at $145 before the epic rally. Basically around now seems good, but like Google it dropped below levels people expected so might even touch $200)\n\nI’m fine with margin + options on higher conviction stuff, this is just my personal risk tolerance, NFA.\n\nThese times are the best to go long on high conviction.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Macro + Dip thoughts Oct 16th:\n\nThere's a ton going on, eg. $GLD hitting ATHs, but that's a whole different rabbit-hole on the USD. \n\nMain stock drop today was due to a shock from regional banks, so I'll focus on that. \n\nIt's a great buying opportunity on:\n\nNeoclouds with", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.023466833093772843, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.023466833093772843, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.029111187316750886, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02209590785272919, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005644354222978043, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0013709252410436523, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.021839833707848477, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.021839833707848477, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03224030910747011, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0346450773160758, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010400475399621634, "bench_c_p1d": 0.012805243608227324, "ret_p1w": 0.03235292910020027, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03235292910020027, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.012996858331290051, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.008113367124789272, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.019356070768910216, "bench_c_p1w": 0.024239561975410995, "ret_p1m": -0.11520652885185823, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11520652885185823, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11713303555896926, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10782676675511504, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.001926506707111031, "bench_c_p1m": -0.007379762096743181, "ret_p3m": 0.07722150251707949, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07722150251707949, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.03506267676597097, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05908050500037332, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04215882575110852, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1363020075174528, "ret_p6m": 0.043773435441812225, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.043773435441812225, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.005216877890888982, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2534278518867239, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.03855655755092324, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2972012873285361, "price_path": [-0.2684, -0.2523, -0.2385, -0.2351, -0.2237, -0.259, -0.1936, -0.1444, -0.1796, -0.1369, -0.1518, 0.0913, 0.0694, 0.1219, 0.1228, 0.2015, 0.2118, 0.1933, 0.163, 0.1666, 0.0705, 0.0792, 0.111, 0.1207, 0.0898, 0.1174, 0.1214, 0.1837, 0.1402, 0.1402, 0.0904, 0.1052, 0.1762, 0.1965, 0.3523, 0.3422, 0.4416, 0.4574, 0.4362, 0.4474, 0.4943, 0.5606, 0.5762, 0.5344, 0.485, 0.44, 0.2845, 0.2556, 0.2377, 0.2441, 0.2253, 0.2171, 0.3116, 0.2562, 0.3818, 0.3273, 0.3727, 0.4107, 0.2904, 0.2486, 0.011, 0.0104, 0.0235, 0.0, -0.0218, -0.0143, -0.031, 0.024, 0.0324, 0.0656, 0.0529, 0.0865, 0.061, 0.1682, 0.1987, 0.1221, 0.1385, 0.019, 0.0356, 0.0872, 0.0485, -0.0126, -0.0959, -0.0967, -0.1152, -0.1269, -0.1113, -0.1283, -0.1126, -0.0754, -0.094, -0.0349, -0.0349, -0.014, 0.0337, -0.1055, -0.0457, -0.0456, 0.0089, 0.0997, 0.0456, 0.0283, 0.087, -0.0685, -0.101, -0.093, -0.1224, -0.0871, 0.0288, 0.0802, 0.0565, 0.0636, 0.0636, 0.0467, 0.0645, 0.0691, 0.0411, 0.0411, 0.1237, 0.0457, 0.0076, 0.0374, -0.0192, 0.0176, 0.0799, 0.1299, 0.0772, 0.0917, 0.1389, 0.1389, 0.1499, 0.1014, 0.1036, 0.0617, 0.0216, 0.0696, 0.0507, 0.0041, -0.0574, -0.0461, -0.008, -0.0947, -0.1063, 0.0629, 0.1744, 0.1443, -0.1007, -0.2079, -0.1907, -0.1907, -0.226, -0.1891, -0.1701, -0.1885, -0.1975, -0.1965, -0.1981, -0.2198, -0.2564, -0.2456, -0.3129, -0.288, -0.2491, -0.2541, -0.2346, -0.2711, -0.2196, -0.2497, -0.2471, -0.2023, -0.2017, -0.2094, -0.2105, -0.2738, -0.2248, -0.238, -0.247, -0.2891, -0.2962, -0.3725, -0.3141, -0.3346, -0.267, -0.267, -0.2616, -0.2554, -0.2149, -0.1899, -0.0673, 0.0438]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1979087229038530782", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-10-17T07:28:59+00:00", "symbol": "AMZN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AMZN - $200-$210 ($211 is extremely good now for calls", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long NBIS $105-110, TSM $170-175, BTC <$100K, ALAB $100-120, AMZN $200-210 as high-conviction dip-buy levels ahead of rate cut.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMZN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We are 12 days away from a rate cut (94.1% odds). MMs enjoy times like these to cleanse the option chain. \n\nIn terms of levels I’m personally looking out for larger sized leveraged trades:\n\n$NBIS - $105-$110\n$TSM - $170-$175\n$BTC - ~<$100K\n$RKlB - $35-$40\n$ALAB - $100-$120\n_\n\nSpecial shoutout to Amazon, which is down 4.6% YTD despite the rally.\n\n$AMZN - $200-$210 ($211 is extremely good now for calls, reminds me of $GOOGL at $145 before the epic rally. Basically around now seems good, but like Google it dropped below levels people expected so might even touch $200)\n\nI’m fine with margin + options on higher conviction stuff, this is just my personal risk tolerance, NFA.\n\nThese times are the best to go long on high conviction.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Macro + Dip thoughts Oct 16th:\n\nThere's a ton going on, eg. $GLD hitting ATHs, but that's a whole different rabbit-hole on the USD. \n\nMain stock drop today was due to a shock from regional banks, so I'll focus on that. \n\nIt's a great buying opportunity on:\n\nNeoclouds with", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.006712391943467955, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006712391943467955, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.012356746166445998, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.015244119925700628, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005644354222978043, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008531727982232673, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.016147214372026486, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.016147214372026486, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005746738972404852, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008212735449775188, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010400475399621634, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007934478922251298, "ret_p1w": 0.05243153295039771, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05243153295039771, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03307546218148749, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03861017413722623, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.019356070768910216, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01382135881317148, "ret_p1m": 0.09308112305665128, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09308112305665128, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09115461634954025, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11739639422955195, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.001926506707111031, "bench_c_p1m": -0.024315271172900665, "ret_p3m": 0.1108242647127815, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1108242647127815, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06866543896167299, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06575748051764241, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04215882575110852, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0450667841951391, "ret_p6m": 0.12603270254263266, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.12603270254263266, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08747614499170941, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.15021949230050724, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.03855655755092324, "bench_c_p6m": -0.024186789757874583, "price_path": [0.0677, 0.0716, 0.0901, 0.0864, 0.0927, 0.0844, 0.0805, 0.0989, 0.008, -0.0065, 0.0033, 0.0435, 0.0474, 0.0453, 0.0388, 0.0396, 0.0541, 0.0842, 0.0844, 0.0866, 0.0703, 0.0506, 0.0418, 0.0742, 0.0699, 0.0736, 0.0755, 0.0871, 0.0749, 0.0749, 0.0577, 0.0608, 0.1063, 0.0905, 0.107, 0.1183, 0.0812, 0.0794, 0.0709, 0.0863, 0.0986, 0.0872, 0.0854, 0.0866, 0.0685, 0.036, 0.0337, 0.024, 0.0316, 0.0429, 0.0307, 0.0356, 0.044, 0.0304, 0.0369, 0.041, 0.0572, 0.069, 0.0156, 0.033, 0.0157, 0.0119, 0.0067, 0.0, 0.0161, 0.0422, 0.023, 0.0378, 0.0524, 0.0654, 0.0761, 0.081, 0.0461, 0.1464, 0.1923, 0.1703, 0.1744, 0.1408, 0.1472, 0.166, 0.1693, 0.1463, 0.1152, 0.1016, 0.0931, 0.0446, 0.0453, 0.0192, 0.0359, 0.0621, 0.0781, 0.0757, 0.0757, 0.0947, 0.0978, 0.1004, 0.0908, 0.0754, 0.0774, 0.065, 0.0698, 0.088, 0.0809, 0.0617, 0.0446, 0.0447, 0.0386, 0.0644, 0.0672, 0.0722, 0.0897, 0.0908, 0.0908, 0.0914, 0.0893, 0.0915, 0.0835, 0.0835, 0.0632, 0.094, 0.1309, 0.1339, 0.1561, 0.1612, 0.1569, 0.1388, 0.1108, 0.118, 0.1224, 0.1224, 0.0843, 0.0858, 0.1, 0.1226, 0.1191, 0.1485, 0.1407, 0.1347, 0.1233, 0.1404, 0.1201, 0.0936, 0.0453, -0.0128, -0.0203, -0.0285, -0.0421, -0.0631, -0.0669, -0.0669, -0.0558, -0.0387, -0.0384, -0.0138, -0.0365, -0.021, -0.0113, -0.024, -0.0143, -0.0218, -0.0202, 0.0177, 0.0277, 0.0008, 0.0021, 0.0061, -0.0018, -0.0165, -0.0252, -0.0061, 0.0101, -0.0149, -0.0201, -0.036, -0.0136, -0.0272, -0.0062, -0.0258, -0.0643, -0.0567, -0.0224, -0.0116, -0.0153, -0.0153, -0.0012, 0.0034, 0.0385, 0.0967, 0.1189, 0.126]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2011834016409010283", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-15T16:13:02+00:00", "symbol": "ETOR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ETOR valuation looks like a joke at these levels. I ended up buying few hundred thousand worth of myself after doing some slight napkin math calculations. So buying a company at EV/FCF is 3.9x which looks like free real estate.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bought ETOR personally; $2.6B market cap with ~$1.2B cash and ~$360M est. 2026 FCF implies 3.9x EV/FCF — deeply undervalued.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETOR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Fully agree with the thesis and $NODE purchase. $ETOR valuation looks like a joke at these levels.\n\nI ended up buying few hundred thousand worth of myself after doing some slight napkin math calculations.\n\n$2.6B valuation doesn’t make sense when ~$1.2B of it is cash.\n\nThen they’re bringing in est. $350-$370m FCF in 2026, from some calc (fact 1% interest rate cut)\n\nSo buying a company at EV/FCF is 3.9x which looks like free real estate.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "We initiated a position in $ETOR in $NODE. \n\nETOR is a profitable, global retail brokerage with built-in social trading and meaningful balance-sheet float income, not just a crypto trading app.\n\nShares are now ~55% below the first-day IPO close and ~30% down in the last month, https://t.co/oH3PUkAyb4", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "matthew_sigel", "ret_m1d": 0.0015989522330861483, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0015989522330861483, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004314770873196427, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004314770873196427, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002715818640110279, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002715818640110279, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0019187548789270092, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0019187548789270092, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0027566288698224195, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0027566288698224195, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0008378739908954103, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0008378739908954103, "ret_p1w": -0.00543652298705799, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.00543652298705799, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0007272061147318709, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0007272061147318709, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004709316872326119, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004709316872326119, "ret_p1m": -0.12184206324004299, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12184206324004299, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10668836459706821, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10668836459706821, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.015153698642974778, "bench_c_p1m": -0.015153698642974778, "ret_p3m": 0.1103294119742455, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1103294119742455, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10438260198695026, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10438260198695026, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.005946809987295243, "bench_c_p3m": 0.005946809987295243, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2651, 0.2689, 0.2111, 0.2165, 0.2558, 0.2872, 0.2478, 0.2123, 0.198, 0.1852, 0.1663, 0.1014, 0.094, 0.0704, 0.1154, 0.2066, 0.3188, 0.3217, 0.2555, 0.2952, 0.2319, 0.2539, 0.2251, 0.1705, 0.1765, 0.244, 0.2763, 0.3425, 0.3425, 0.3422, 0.3393, 0.3345, 0.3655, 0.4049, 0.3754, 0.3211, 0.3463, 0.3035, 0.2558, 0.2136, 0.1689, 0.1519, 0.1116, 0.1375, 0.158, 0.1663, 0.1583, 0.1497, 0.1497, 0.1468, 0.1407, 0.1366, 0.1234, 0.1234, 0.141, 0.1605, 0.1209, 0.0643, 0.0403, 0.0112, 0.0221, -0.0022, 0.0016, 0.0, 0.0019, 0.0019, -0.0147, -0.0227, -0.0054, 0.0064, 0.0006, 0.0064, 0.0042, -0.0336, -0.0598, -0.0902, -0.135, -0.1513, -0.2082, -0.1362, -0.0982, -0.0956, -0.1385, -0.1449, -0.1218, -0.1218, 0.0576, 0.0182, -0.0086, -0.0029, -0.0233, -0.0169, 0.0374, 0.0323, -0.0192, -0.0192, 0.007, 0.0438, 0.0457, 0.0176, 0.0099, -0.008, -0.0118, -0.0413, -0.0371, -0.023, -0.0042, -0.0393, -0.0604, -0.0588, -0.0422, -0.0614, -0.0502, -0.039, -0.071, -0.0758, -0.0397, -0.0403, -0.0445, -0.0445, -0.0349, -0.0528, -0.0074, 0.0253, 0.0205, 0.0652, 0.1103, 0.181, 0.2152, 0.2043, 0.2453, 0.1948, 0.204, 0.1829, 0.1711, 0.1637, 0.1705, 0.1433, 0.1378, 0.1804, 0.2251, 0.2443, 0.2347, 0.2229, 0.2274, 0.2392, 0.2028, 0.3204, 0.3297, 0.298, 0.3022, 0.2731, 0.2661, 0.2667, 0.3064, 0.3064, 0.2578, 0.2344, 0.2773, 0.3425, 0.3425, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1976034517845692546", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-08T21:18:36+00:00", "symbol": "AMD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if Sam Altman thinks he can use hundreds of billions of dollars worth of $AMD GPUs instead of $NVDA, then AMD might re-rate into a trillion dollar company", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AMD: OpenAI potentially using AMD GPUs at scale could re-rate it to a trillion-dollar company.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@soulbiri1 This is a share-only ETF!\n\nAlso, OpenAI is basically the leader of all foundational AI models.\n\nAnd if Sam Altman thinks he can use hundreds of billions of dollars worth of $AMD GPUs instead of $NVDA, then AMD might re-rate into a trillion dollar company.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Wow 10 percent for $AMD!! Thats huge, do you think LEAPs are a good idea with that for a little more capital efficiency?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": -0.10209714425631866, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10209714425631866, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09616943906029773, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09616943906029773, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005927705196020927, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005927705196020927, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011334684142544904, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011334684142544904, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00843767576330745, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00843767576330745, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0028970083792374535, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0028970083792374535, "ret_p1w": 0.012905453287609614, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.012905453287609614, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.024701497258885707, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.024701497258885707, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011796043971276093, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011796043971276093, "ret_p1m": 0.009084731753387532, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.009084731753387532, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.013244484876622109, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.013244484876622109, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0041597531232345775, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0041597531232345775, "ret_p3m": -0.0614705207913635, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0614705207913635, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08619476559076023, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08619476559076023, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024724244799396722, "bench_c_p3m": 0.024724244799396722, "ret_p6m": -0.07666835517818116, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.07666835517818116, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.05654432404318366, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.05654432404318366, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0201240311349975, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0201240311349975, "price_path": [-0.3784, -0.3792, -0.3394, -0.3204, -0.319, -0.3335, -0.3335, -0.3432, -0.3265, -0.3118, -0.2933, -0.2628, -0.2467, -0.2379, -0.2515, -0.2711, -0.2495, -0.26, -0.3075, -0.2681, -0.2666, -0.2686, -0.2573, -0.2171, -0.2318, -0.2464, -0.2522, -0.293, -0.2987, -0.305, -0.2878, -0.3065, -0.2927, -0.2905, -0.2843, -0.3096, -0.3096, -0.3109, -0.3117, -0.3132, -0.3584, -0.3572, -0.3385, -0.3227, -0.3391, -0.3268, -0.3158, -0.3188, -0.3243, -0.3296, -0.3318, -0.3217, -0.3169, -0.317, -0.3154, -0.3231, -0.315, -0.3132, -0.3037, -0.2795, -0.3009, -0.1352, -0.1021, 0.0, -0.0113, -0.0877, -0.0813, -0.0742, 0.0129, -0.0042, -0.0105, 0.0212, 0.0105, -0.0226, -0.0024, 0.0737, 0.1024, 0.0953, 0.1221, 0.0818, 0.0873, 0.1023, 0.0615, 0.0882, 0.0091, -0.0086, 0.0357, 0.0083, 0.099, 0.0526, 0.0478, 0.0211, -0.0224, -0.051, -0.1254, -0.1349, -0.0871, -0.1249, -0.0905, -0.0905, -0.0765, -0.0671, -0.0863, -0.0762, -0.0831, -0.0747, -0.0613, -0.0592, -0.06, -0.06, -0.1052, -0.1188, -0.112, -0.159, -0.1465, -0.0939, -0.0875, -0.0877, -0.0871, -0.0871, -0.0873, -0.0847, -0.0858, -0.0908, -0.0908, -0.0513, -0.0615, -0.09, -0.1084, -0.1311, -0.1375, -0.1183, -0.0619, -0.0508, -0.0324, -0.0158, -0.0158, -0.0155, 0.0605, 0.0771, 0.1024, 0.0669, 0.0699, 0.0729, 0.0706, 0.005, 0.0455, 0.0278, -0.1502, -0.1828, -0.1151, -0.083, -0.0934, -0.0933, -0.1257, -0.1199, -0.1199, -0.1379, -0.1505, -0.1367, -0.1503, -0.1654, -0.0922, -0.1049, -0.1353, -0.1501, -0.1568, -0.1894, -0.1422, -0.1533, -0.1831, -0.1396, -0.1372, -0.1305, -0.1606, -0.179, -0.1655, -0.1666, -0.1533, -0.1286, -0.1453, -0.1396, -0.1282, -0.0649, -0.135, -0.1425, -0.1678, -0.1364, -0.1076, -0.0767]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2011389274860523548", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-14T10:45:47+00:00", "symbol": "LPTH", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LPTH is incredible, I don't say this often. I would go super long on this.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strongly bullish LPTH; author endorses the Lockheed Martin / NGSRI contract thesis and calls for a large long position.", "resolved_tickers": ["LPTH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@WaltzDisneyz $LPTH is incredible, I don’t say this often. I would go super long on this.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $lpth for several reasons, most pressing one is they'll soon lock in +$100M / year as a provider of optics / blackdiamond (germanium) components to Lockheed Martin as part of the NGSRI offering to the US Armed Forces. What's your take?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "WaltzDisneyz", "ret_m1d": -0.11866967113733051, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11866967113733051, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12360918737360316, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12360918737360316, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004939516236272645, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004939516236272645, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004535107182040088, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004535107182040088, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007258321578569538, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007258321578569538, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027232143965294497, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0027232143965294497, "ret_p1w": 0.03099023547034241, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03099023547034241, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03817486547027504, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03817486547027504, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007184629999932635, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007184629999932635, "ret_p1m": -0.056689344365103755, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.056689344365103755, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.043522383787262475, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.043522383787262475, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01316696057784128, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01316696057784128, "ret_p3m": 0.08919125820138318, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08919125820138318, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09264780255064686, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09264780255064686, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0034565443492636794, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0034565443492636794, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4376, -0.3401, -0.3726, -0.4444, -0.3968, -0.3613, -0.3621, -0.3621, -0.3802, -0.3741, -0.3439, -0.3832, -0.4308, -0.4082, -0.424, -0.4172, -0.4119, -0.3923, -0.4429, -0.4966, -0.4936, -0.486, -0.4837, -0.4921, -0.5329, -0.5306, -0.4868, -0.4777, -0.4769, -0.4769, -0.4444, -0.458, -0.4014, -0.3689, -0.3182, -0.3348, -0.3394, -0.3348, -0.3333, -0.3107, -0.3878, -0.4339, -0.446, -0.48, -0.4573, -0.4225, -0.3553, -0.3416, -0.3175, -0.3175, -0.3182, -0.2222, -0.2018, -0.1837, -0.1837, -0.1141, -0.1164, -0.1293, -0.0779, -0.0454, -0.0673, -0.0937, -0.1187, 0.0, -0.0045, -0.0499, -0.0499, 0.0582, 0.031, 0.0831, -0.0597, -0.2268, -0.1497, -0.1474, -0.1315, -0.2124, -0.2063, -0.1769, -0.2895, -0.3152, -0.2018, -0.1436, -0.1678, -0.2237, -0.0567, -0.1293, -0.1293, -0.155, -0.1504, 0.028, -0.093, -0.1534, -0.0937, -0.1104, -0.158, -0.2116, -0.0922, -0.0945, -0.1081, -0.1436, -0.1633, -0.1618, -0.1633, -0.1769, -0.1708, -0.2056, -0.1686, -0.0937, -0.1179, -0.1315, -0.2041, -0.1353, -0.1028, -0.0967, -0.1693, -0.2827, -0.2963, -0.2419, -0.2275, -0.1701, -0.1701, -0.1315, -0.1716, -0.1247, -0.0809, -0.0302, 0.0892, 0.0801, 0.0597, 0.1277, 0.0703, 0.0809, 0.0726, 0.1073, 0.1051, 0.2162, 0.0574, -0.0401, -0.0786, -0.0317, 0.0355, -0.068, -0.0854, -0.0272, -0.0907, -0.13, -0.031, -0.0771, -0.0839, -0.0816, -0.1293, -0.0597, 0.0491, 0.0317, 0.0794, 0.2812, 0.2812, 0.2275, 0.3311, 0.3719, 0.2834, 0.2834, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1966185091467718795", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-11T17:00:30+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Just buy $TSM, everything above is dependent on it. Undervalued and a monopoly, will likely run from $1.3T -> $1.8T MC based on forward growth + capex from ERs.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long TSM as the undervalued monopoly underlying all major AI/cloud names; targets $1.8T market cap from $1.3T.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you're debating $ORCL vs. $AMZN | $GOOGL, $AMD | $AVGO vs. $NVDA, $NBIS vs. $IREN vs. $WYFI vs. $CRWV\n\nIt's easy. Just buy $TSM, everything above is dependent on it. \n\nUndervalued and a monopoly, will likely run from $1.3T -&gt; $1.8T MC based on forward growth + capex from ERs.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$ORCL inference basically runs on $AMD", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.005909417544941009, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005909417544941009, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.014151098131194084, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.014151098131194084, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008241680586253075, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008241680586253075, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0016221977140851163, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0016221977140851163, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0019568106572319666, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0019568106572319666, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0003346129431468503, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0003346129431468503, "ret_p1w": 0.04085408162731485, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04085408162731485, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.033813638107452526, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.033813638107452526, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007040443519862327, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007040443519862327, "ret_p1m": 0.08742580383439802, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08742580383439802, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0916828292554347, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0916828292554347, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.004257025421036675, "bench_c_p1m": -0.004257025421036675, "ret_p3m": 0.1755713954847642, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1755713954847642, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.13405308948923023, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.13405308948923023, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.041518305995533966, "bench_c_p3m": 0.041518305995533966, "ret_p6m": 0.31658453428753375, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.31658453428753375, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2882913485795031, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2882913485795031, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.028293185708030633, "bench_c_p6m": 0.028293185708030633, "price_path": [-0.167, -0.1738, -0.1754, -0.1754, -0.1908, -0.1877, -0.1499, -0.1397, -0.1348, -0.1172, -0.1252, -0.1322, -0.0978, -0.0931, -0.0931, -0.1149, -0.1199, -0.1046, -0.1126, -0.1101, -0.1168, -0.0848, -0.0825, -0.0514, -0.0715, -0.0775, -0.0939, -0.0718, -0.0669, -0.0514, -0.0624, -0.0679, -0.0618, -0.0668, -0.0915, -0.0769, -0.1021, -0.1064, -0.0629, -0.066, -0.065, -0.0565, -0.0675, -0.0692, -0.0774, -0.0676, -0.1012, -0.1171, -0.122, -0.1001, -0.0901, -0.078, -0.0758, -0.0797, -0.1083, -0.1083, -0.1179, -0.1063, -0.0915, -0.0599, -0.0453, -0.0309, 0.0059, 0.0, 0.0016, 0.0095, 0.0154, 0.0182, 0.0409, 0.0262, 0.0563, 0.0954, 0.0876, 0.0719, 0.0591, 0.0586, 0.0821, 0.1177, 0.1163, 0.1321, 0.1717, 0.1392, 0.1799, 0.1619, 0.0874, 0.1736, 0.1466, 0.1806, 0.1617, 0.1433, 0.1534, 0.1411, 0.1193, 0.1264, 0.1428, 0.1556, 0.1683, 0.1821, 0.1748, 0.164, 0.1812, 0.1393, 0.1377, 0.1207, 0.1101, 0.144, 0.1281, 0.126, 0.0934, 0.1035, 0.0927, 0.0768, 0.0941, 0.0752, 0.0657, 0.1028, 0.103, 0.1235, 0.1235, 0.1295, 0.1146, 0.1317, 0.1447, 0.135, 0.1419, 0.1696, 0.1756, 0.2016, 0.1843, 0.1346, 0.1179, 0.1145, 0.076, 0.106, 0.1226, 0.1394, 0.1536, 0.1608, 0.1608, 0.1765, 0.1691, 0.1639, 0.1806, 0.1806, 0.2417, 0.2519, 0.2721, 0.2381, 0.2355, 0.2573, 0.2889, 0.2867, 0.2708, 0.3273, 0.3302, 0.3302, 0.271, 0.267, 0.2718, 0.301, 0.2926, 0.3144, 0.3298, 0.3191, 0.2842, 0.3262, 0.3044, 0.2655, 0.2849, 0.3553, 0.3808, 0.406, 0.4533, 0.4301, 0.4233, 0.4233, 0.4149, 0.4074, 0.4001, 0.4395, 0.4376, 0.4986, 0.5063, 0.4639, 0.4552, 0.434, 0.3719, 0.3887, 0.3747, 0.3166]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1992678790934446504", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-23T19:37:00+00:00", "symbol": "MSTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Zooming out is even worse for $MSTR", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish MSTR on long-term chart; ETH called a terrible long above $4K, network usage conflated with price.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@a_little_tailor Zooming out is even worse for $MSTR. $BMNR also got nuked -47.1% this month. \n\nFeel bad for folks that went long, $ETH is a terrible long above $4k and following @fundstrat at the $4-5K top  than at $1.5K is unfortunate. \n\nPeople tend to conflate ETH network usage with price. https://t.co/zdO3e8YsTC", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Just zoom out", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "a_little_tailor", "ret_m1d": -0.04769880253784764, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04769880253784764, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03319378763988001, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03319378763988001, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014505014897967627, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014505014897967627, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03825955709113127, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03825955709113127, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04766554853318716, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04766554853318716, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009405991442055894, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009405991442055894, "ret_p1w": -0.042560296039609424, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.042560296039609424, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05981689823821745, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05981689823821745, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01725660219860803, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01725660219860803, "ret_p1m": -0.11818581991065802, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11818581991065802, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14998176644815286, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14998176644815286, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031795946537494846, "bench_c_p1m": 0.031795946537494846, "ret_p3m": -0.27697720172854545, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.27697720172854545, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.30355378818701295, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.30355378818701295, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0265765864584675, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0265765864584675, "ret_p6m": -0.08048474611083678, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.08048474611083678, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.18393137608416532, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.18393137608416532, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10344662997332854, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10344662997332854, "price_path": [0.9105, 0.8925, 0.8678, 0.8678, 0.9081, 0.8446, 0.8297, 0.8759, 0.8426, 0.835, 0.8233, 0.8209, 0.8512, 0.8308, 0.8716, 0.8415, 0.95, 0.9255, 0.8763, 0.8308, 0.8058, 0.6795, 0.7262, 0.8232, 0.7997, 0.8901, 0.9679, 0.964, 1.009, 0.8342, 0.8476, 0.7889, 0.7024, 0.762, 0.6793, 0.6575, 0.5853, 0.619, 0.6567, 0.6863, 0.5684, 0.5914, 0.6146, 0.6512, 0.5898, 0.538, 0.4219, 0.5053, 0.4783, 0.3795, 0.4243, 0.3248, 0.3513, 0.3342, 0.2922, 0.2545, 0.1648, 0.1157, 0.0915, 0.155, 0.0417, -0.0107, -0.0477, 0.0, -0.0383, -0.019, -0.019, -0.0104, -0.0426, 0.0128, 0.0522, 0.0389, -0.0003, 0.026, 0.0556, 0.0313, 0.0238, -0.0145, -0.0947, -0.0645, -0.1042, -0.1162, -0.0794, -0.0822, -0.1182, -0.1135, -0.1135, -0.113, -0.1321, -0.1309, -0.1513, -0.1513, -0.1222, -0.08, -0.1177, -0.0961, -0.0674, -0.1213, -0.0939, -0.0338, 0.0016, -0.0454, -0.0298, -0.0298, -0.1051, -0.0851, -0.1009, -0.089, -0.1031, -0.0975, -0.115, -0.2002, -0.1638, -0.2201, -0.2557, -0.279, -0.4024, -0.2464, -0.2268, -0.2571, -0.2959, -0.313, -0.2522, -0.2522, -0.2813, -0.3007, -0.277, -0.268, -0.309, -0.304, -0.2423, -0.2549, -0.2767, -0.2312, -0.2589, -0.1821, -0.2191, -0.2542, -0.2239, -0.2267, -0.2274, -0.2329, -0.2199, -0.176, -0.1606, -0.2149, -0.2279, -0.2423, -0.2281, -0.239, -0.2229, -0.2575, -0.2961, -0.3217, -0.3029, -0.3142, -0.3307, -0.3307, -0.2868, -0.309, -0.2834, -0.2803, -0.2815, -0.2607, -0.2325, -0.1983, -0.1681, -0.0699, -0.046, -0.0842, 0.0018, -0.0367, -0.0448, -0.055, -0.0745, -0.1165, -0.0759, -0.0104, 0.0266, 0.0439, 0.0435, 0.0045, 0.0478, 0.0944, 0.03, -0.0056, 0.0443, -0.009, -0.0693, -0.0805]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1992678790934446504", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-23T19:37:00+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ETH is a terrible long above $4k", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish MSTR on long-term chart; ETH called a terrible long above $4K, network usage conflated with price.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@a_little_tailor Zooming out is even worse for $MSTR. $BMNR also got nuked -47.1% this month. \n\nFeel bad for folks that went long, $ETH is a terrible long above $4k and following @fundstrat at the $4-5K top  than at $1.5K is unfortunate. \n\nPeople tend to conflate ETH network usage with price. https://t.co/zdO3e8YsTC", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Just zoom out", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "a_little_tailor", "ret_m1d": -0.06333637443181983, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06333637443181983, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0488313595338522, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014505014897967627, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.0017688477411781367, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0017688477411781367, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007637143700877758, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009405991442055894, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.051655678858676946, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.051655678858676946, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06891228105728497, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01725660219860803, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": 0.0036104569469586067, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0036104569469586067, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02818548959053624, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031795946537494846, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.34019974179602086, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.34019974179602086, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.36677632825448836, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0265765864584675, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.2854152786177041, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2854152786177041, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.38886190859103265, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10344662997332854, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.5252, 0.5265, 0.4767, 0.4612, 0.4649, 0.5072, 0.4559, 0.4587, 0.459, 0.4593, 0.4729, 0.5109, 0.5969, 0.5331, 0.5252, 0.5554, 0.5545, 0.5142, 0.4234, 0.4107, 0.4067, 0.3101, 0.3668, 0.4283, 0.4041, 0.4736, 0.5199, 0.5291, 0.5876, 0.5075, 0.5334, 0.4797, 0.3015, 0.4378, 0.3972, 0.3504, 0.319, 0.298, 0.3482, 0.3129, 0.2897, 0.3059, 0.3325, 0.3954, 0.3487, 0.322, 0.2884, 0.3029, 0.22, 0.1151, 0.16, 0.1218, 0.1634, 0.2085, 0.1567, 0.1559, 0.0948, 0.0512, 0.0243, 0.0577, 0.0238, -0.041, -0.0633, 0.0, 0.0018, 0.0254, 0.0209, 0.027, -0.0517, 0.0153, 0.0809, 0.0615, 0.0243, 0.0584, 0.1248, 0.1262, 0.0963, 0.0445, 0.0039, 0.0039, -0.0411, -0.0426, 0.0086, 0.0181, 0.0036, -0.0024, -0.0166, -0.0091, -0.0062, 0.0063, 0.0049, 0.0161, 0.0582, 0.0926, 0.1162, 0.0725, 0.0514, 0.0441, 0.0473, 0.1251, 0.1361, 0.1234, 0.1161, 0.0792, -0.0058, 0.0089, -0.001, 0.0002, -0.0089, 0.0235, 0.0183, -0.0455, -0.0848, -0.206, -0.2456, -0.2741, -0.383, -0.3012, -0.2876, -0.3161, -0.3428, -0.3406, -0.3062, -0.3234, -0.3253, -0.3382, -0.3402, -0.3331, -0.3716, -0.3725, -0.3042, -0.3136, -0.3461, -0.3134, -0.3285, -0.2798, -0.2984, -0.3299, -0.325, -0.3101, -0.3052, -0.2979, -0.2913, -0.2037, -0.2149, -0.2537, -0.2761, -0.273, -0.2711, -0.2699, -0.2658, -0.3025, -0.3256, -0.3147, -0.2872, -0.2757, -0.3034, -0.3046, -0.2862, -0.2408, -0.2582, -0.2586, -0.2396, -0.1971, -0.2132, -0.2009, -0.2046, -0.1801, -0.2159, -0.2116, -0.1953, -0.2104, -0.2157, -0.22, -0.2246, -0.2368, -0.2359, -0.2227, -0.2053, -0.2003, -0.2039, -0.2241, -0.2187, -0.2077, -0.2296, -0.2354, -0.2275, -0.247, -0.2791, -0.2854]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1993640598390383021", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-26T11:18:53+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Yes, I'll make another post explaining why today on $NBIS", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Affirms NBIS could reach $100B market cap; promises follow-up explanation.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@95jG5OcU2mL0OCK Yes, I’ll make another post explaining why today on $NBIS", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit 认真的讲 您认为nbis的市值会前往100B嘛", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "95jG5OcU2mL0OCK", "ret_m1d": -0.06135816916451642, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06135816916451642, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05450201704657076, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05996039154774202, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0068561521179456575, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0013977776167743983, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.04467204159337279, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04467204159337279, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03847796056855057, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.038818428543512695, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006194081024822218, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005853613049860096, "ret_p1m": -0.03759642091245263, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03759642091245263, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0563405015805456, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07265061196442191, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018744080668092966, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035054191051969275, "ret_p3m": 0.06251978050806972, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06251978050806972, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05556591171807934, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05139391075443167, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006953868789990381, "bench_c_p3m": 0.011125869753638051, "ret_p6m": 1.3226316084622867, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.3226316084622867, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.2236600628888836, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.3017723468774232, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09897154557340304, "bench_c_p6m": 0.02085926158486351, "price_path": [-0.2785, -0.2785, -0.3059, -0.3067, -0.3145, -0.3086, -0.3235, 0.0109, -0.0137, -0.0581, -0.0452, -0.0394, -0.0555, -0.0064, -0.006, 0.0488, 0.1258, 0.1385, 0.1958, 0.1399, 0.1374, 0.164, 0.1857, 0.2209, 0.3293, 0.3516, 0.3195, 0.243, 0.2884, 0.4008, 0.3685, 0.4306, 0.3534, 0.3289, 0.2994, 0.198, 0.1511, 0.1013, 0.0415, 0.1211, 0.2384, 0.3246, 0.2866, 0.3212, 0.3114, 0.3816, 0.2723, 0.1674, 0.2356, 0.1558, 0.1752, 0.1612, 0.0795, -0.0035, -0.064, -0.1178, -0.092, -0.0438, 0.004, -0.1061, -0.1207, -0.0295, -0.0614, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0019, 0.0577, 0.0186, 0.0447, 0.0856, 0.0354, 0.0596, 0.0182, -0.0116, -0.0043, -0.0739, -0.1431, -0.1451, -0.2032, -0.1753, -0.0552, -0.0154, -0.0492, -0.0376, -0.0376, -0.075, -0.0914, -0.1005, -0.116, -0.116, -0.0501, -0.0196, 0.0586, 0.0161, 0.0276, 0.0342, 0.1335, 0.1134, 0.077, 0.0971, 0.1483, 0.1483, 0.0486, 0.0441, 0.0228, -0.002, -0.0341, 0.0336, 0.0606, 0.0023, -0.1003, -0.069, -0.0501, -0.1299, -0.2199, -0.0907, -0.0191, -0.0306, -0.0642, -0.0524, 0.0351, 0.0351, 0.0299, 0.0751, 0.1364, 0.0341, 0.0625, 0.0833, 0.1207, 0.1076, -0.037, -0.0389, -0.0833, 0.0326, 0.0101, -0.0566, 0.0026, 0.0184, 0.1828, 0.141, 0.1928, 0.3713, 0.2285, 0.2521, 0.2833, 0.2422, 0.2055, 0.2135, 0.2154, 0.1191, 0.0647, -0.0257, 0.0958, 0.0767, 0.1492, 0.1492, 0.1885, 0.2398, 0.3201, 0.4398, 0.531, 0.6323, 0.7102, 0.7612, 0.7461, 0.6595, 0.6809, 0.6533, 0.649, 0.6589, 0.5541, 0.5309, 0.4311, 0.4911, 0.4598, 0.6315, 0.8631, 0.8579, 1.0603, 0.9513, 0.8698, 0.9654, 0.8915, 1.1889, 1.3355, 1.3227, 1.1107, 1.0882, 1.0258, 1.3226]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2006970261288137153", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-02T06:06:12+00:00", "symbol": "SMCI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Uhh probably $SMCI", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Picks SMCI as top beaten-down January Effect play.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMCI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@odiimichael1 Uhh probably $SMCI. But Figma’s ( $FIG ) tax harvesting situation looks hilarious from retail data https://t.co/xaGvHpBi8m", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit January Effect setups—$HIMS, $SMCI look primed. What's your top beaten-down play? Watching $SNAP too.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "odiimichael1", "ret_m1d": -0.05458652056474278, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05458652056474278, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.052756834718147516, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05229962072110961, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018296858465952637, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0022868998436331722, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.028746751161720763, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.028746751161720763, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03540686497778389, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.030964302885095663, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006660113816063129, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0022175517233749, "ret_p1w": -0.025839769403022017, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.025839769403022017, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.041794784071684465, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0386602781514197, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01595501466866245, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012820508748397685, "ret_p1m": -0.04037467819651552, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04037467819651552, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.058291158376889696, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.047027439241632996, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017916480180374172, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006652761045117472, "ret_p3m": -0.2729327876443234, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2729327876443234, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23466920466362684, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20902251288918838, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03826358298069654, "bench_c_p3m": -0.063910274755135, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.7787, 0.8953, 0.8727, 0.7074, 0.7684, 0.7154, 0.7422, 0.739, 0.6854, 0.7778, 0.7707, 0.6957, 0.5478, 0.5598, 0.6657, 0.6912, 0.7019, 0.6269, 0.6783, 0.6392, 0.531, 0.3576, 0.303, 0.2842, 0.2981, 0.2539, 0.2245, 0.1334, 0.1764, 0.1014, 0.1273, 0.0895, 0.0194, 0.0397, 0.0762, 0.0491, 0.0604, 0.0604, 0.0933, 0.0791, 0.0633, 0.0879, 0.1056, 0.1205, 0.1424, 0.1311, 0.1273, 0.0988, 0.0443, 0.0132, 0.0226, -0.0362, -0.0514, 0.0048, 0.0036, -0.0065, -0.0132, -0.0132, -0.0103, -0.0284, -0.0423, -0.0546, -0.0546, 0.0, -0.0287, -0.0136, -0.0307, -0.0342, -0.0258, -0.0271, -0.0762, -0.0869, -0.0497, 0.0543, 0.0543, 0.0145, 0.0413, 0.0481, 0.0239, -0.0052, 0.0078, 0.0081, -0.0271, -0.0598, -0.0404, -0.0417, 0.0904, -0.0036, 0.1105, 0.083, 0.0766, 0.0349, -0.0171, -0.0136, -0.0136, -0.0275, -0.0404, 0.0388, 0.0472, -0.0081, 0.0055, 0.0853, 0.0426, 0.0462, 0.0281, -0.009, 0.0546, 0.0413, 0.0113, 0.0329, 0.0268, 0.0268, -0.0019, -0.0068, 0.0291, 0.0178, -0.0197, -0.0055, -0.3369, -0.303, -0.282, -0.2232, -0.2826, -0.2904, -0.3198, -0.2645, -0.2729, -0.25, -0.25, -0.2878, -0.2678, -0.2452, -0.25, -0.1841, -0.1612, -0.1214, -0.1185, -0.0827, -0.0775, -0.0694, -0.0817, -0.0575, -0.136, -0.0607, -0.1005, -0.1198, -0.1499, -0.115, -0.125, -0.0982, -0.1011, 0.1195, 0.0859, 0.1424, 0.0827, 0.0591, 0.0336, 0.0669, 0.0026, -0.0036, -0.0129, 0.0807, 0.0807, 0.1492, 0.1492, 0.1983, 0.2335, 0.334, 0.4887, 0.4887, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1985913297665998934", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-05T03:33:21+00:00", "symbol": "DUOL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$DUOL - 50T AI infrastructure for language", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long DUOL, PLTR, and HIMS as future multi-trillion-dollar companies with massive upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["DUOL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@RJCcapital What do you think of my port @DeepValueBagger @RJCcapital they all will be 10T companies\n\n1. $DUOL - 50T AI infrastructure for language\n2. $PLTR - 100x from here - 50T off interest profit.\n3. $HIMS- 500T off 🐔 pills. The world needs it.\n\nIs it worth selling a course too?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Think your portfolio’s built different? It’s not.\n\nI’m offering an exclusive, once-in-a-lifetime 1-on-1 portfolio roasting session with your good friend RJC. \n\nI’ll deliver a complete assessment of your dumbest holdings, rank your worst decisions, and explain why your “long-term https://t.co/YbYmd7N8B6", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "RJCcapital", "ret_m1d": 0.007768708624719567, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007768708624719567, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.011222130371302486, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011222130371302486, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0034534217465829187, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0034534217465829187, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.2549034163562818, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.2549034163562818, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.24417408314361577, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.24417408314361577, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010729333212666003, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010729333212666003, "ret_p1w": -0.2824397749619, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.2824397749619, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2909997240932086, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2909997240932086, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008559949131308642, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008559949131308642, "ret_p1m": -0.27551721851312183, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.27551721851312183, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2855676623323067, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2855676623323067, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010050443819184851, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010050443819184851, "ret_p3m": -0.49261595934901625, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.49261595934901625, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5219628422058089, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5219628422058089, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029346882856792655, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029346882856792655, "ret_p6m": -0.5765710209751143, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5765710209751143, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.6432377057599927, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.6432377057599927, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06666668478487847, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06666668478487847, "price_path": [0.4243, 0.3099, 0.2419, 0.2612, 0.2687, 0.2573, 0.4199, 0.3101, 0.3033, 0.3288, 0.2763, 0.2362, 0.2154, 0.2227, 0.2414, 0.1455, 0.1455, 0.1152, 0.0865, 0.0488, 0.0429, 0.0433, 0.0518, 0.0996, 0.1897, 0.1842, 0.0965, 0.0797, 0.0736, 0.114, 0.1188, 0.1897, 0.1518, 0.1583, 0.2056, 0.2552, 0.2644, 0.2378, 0.1681, 0.2038, 0.2408, 0.2319, 0.2306, 0.3356, 0.2968, 0.2499, 0.2691, 0.2791, 0.3117, 0.2713, 0.2461, 0.2027, 0.2215, 0.1829, 0.2055, 0.1999, 0.1796, 0.1302, 0.049, 0.0108, 0.0408, 0.0189, 0.0078, 0.0, -0.2549, -0.2262, -0.2585, -0.2505, -0.2824, -0.2826, -0.2882, -0.3144, -0.3252, -0.329, -0.3539, -0.3355, -0.3367, -0.3241, -0.2753, -0.2753, -0.2639, -0.2868, -0.2977, -0.2872, -0.2755, -0.2318, -0.2004, -0.1959, -0.2407, -0.2271, -0.2451, -0.2848, -0.2817, -0.2926, -0.2966, -0.2848, -0.2871, -0.3106, -0.3051, -0.3051, -0.3014, -0.3071, -0.3187, -0.3251, -0.3251, -0.3213, -0.2879, -0.3118, -0.322, -0.3313, -0.3206, -0.378, -0.3624, -0.399, -0.4061, -0.4225, -0.4225, -0.4286, -0.4354, -0.4089, -0.4001, -0.4171, -0.4382, -0.4508, -0.4636, -0.4844, -0.4926, -0.5374, -0.5504, -0.5603, -0.5408, -0.5427, -0.5358, -0.5796, -0.5691, -0.5671, -0.5671, -0.569, -0.5675, -0.5727, -0.5656, -0.5918, -0.5791, -0.5706, -0.5483, -0.6116, -0.6123, -0.6092, -0.6301, -0.6095, -0.608, -0.6138, -0.634, -0.62, -0.635, -0.6216, -0.6079, -0.5986, -0.6152, -0.6169, -0.6229, -0.6164, -0.6243, -0.6188, -0.6227, -0.6333, -0.638, -0.6209, -0.6301, -0.6287, -0.6287, -0.6178, -0.6297, -0.6498, -0.6518, -0.6538, -0.6403, -0.6483, -0.6201, -0.6021, -0.6135, -0.5968, -0.6053, -0.5942, -0.6143, -0.6021, -0.6027, -0.5914, -0.5892, -0.5766]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1985913297665998934", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-05T03:33:21+00:00", "symbol": "PLTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$PLTR - 100x from here - 50T off interest profit", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long DUOL, PLTR, and HIMS as future multi-trillion-dollar companies with massive upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["PLTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@RJCcapital What do you think of my port @DeepValueBagger @RJCcapital they all will be 10T companies\n\n1. $DUOL - 50T AI infrastructure for language\n2. $PLTR - 100x from here - 50T off interest profit.\n3. $HIMS- 500T off 🐔 pills. The world needs it.\n\nIs it worth selling a course too?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Think your portfolio’s built different? It’s not.\n\nI’m offering an exclusive, once-in-a-lifetime 1-on-1 portfolio roasting session with your good friend RJC. \n\nI’ll deliver a complete assessment of your dumbest holdings, rank your worst decisions, and explain why your “long-term https://t.co/YbYmd7N8B6", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "RJCcapital", "ret_m1d": 0.015114484773449677, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.015114484773449677, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.018567906520032595, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.018567906520032595, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0034534217465829187, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0034534217465829187, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0683873936249606, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0683873936249606, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0576580604122946, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0576580604122946, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010729333212666003, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010729333212666003, "ret_p1w": -0.01985096247312257, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01985096247312257, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02841091160443121, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02841091160443121, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008559949131308642, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008559949131308642, "ret_p1m": -0.053113337156557416, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.053113337156557416, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06316378097574227, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06316378097574227, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010050443819184851, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010050443819184851, "ret_p3m": -0.21362427191861377, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21362427191861377, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24297115477540643, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24297115477540643, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029346882856792655, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029346882856792655, "ret_p6m": -0.2596593659976999, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2596593659976999, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.32632605078257837, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.32632605078257837, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06666668478487847, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06666668478487847, "price_path": [-0.005, -0.0278, -0.0049, -0.0188, -0.0366, -0.0571, -0.0738, -0.1605, -0.1697, -0.1688, -0.1552, -0.1635, -0.1439, -0.1659, -0.1585, -0.166, -0.166, -0.164, -0.1756, -0.169, -0.1852, -0.1692, -0.1359, -0.1126, -0.1253, -0.0877, -0.0888, -0.0939, -0.1042, -0.0582, -0.0293, -0.0456, -0.0285, -0.0444, -0.0467, -0.055, -0.0481, -0.0292, -0.0157, -0.0045, -0.0789, -0.0445, -0.0305, -0.0231, -0.0129, -0.0663, -0.0569, -0.0434, -0.0441, -0.052, -0.0519, -0.0336, -0.034, -0.066, -0.0395, -0.0174, 0.0068, 0.009, 0.0581, 0.0354, 0.0669, 0.1026, 0.0151, 0.0, -0.0684, -0.0531, 0.0304, 0.0163, -0.0199, -0.0839, -0.0739, -0.0886, -0.1095, -0.1196, -0.1711, -0.1759, -0.1365, -0.1296, -0.1178, -0.1178, -0.1035, -0.1086, -0.0916, -0.0629, -0.0531, -0.0327, -0.0341, -0.0323, 0.0001, -0.0019, -0.023, -0.0247, -0.0008, -0.0565, -0.0118, 0.0292, 0.0324, 0.0332, 0.0334, 0.0334, 0.0043, -0.0198, -0.0376, -0.054, -0.054, -0.1067, -0.0738, -0.0436, -0.0331, -0.0588, -0.0554, -0.0452, -0.0476, -0.0506, -0.0576, -0.0902, -0.0902, -0.1031, -0.1201, -0.1171, -0.0974, -0.1087, -0.1181, -0.1626, -0.1918, -0.2199, -0.2136, -0.1598, -0.2574, -0.3081, -0.2767, -0.2394, -0.2575, -0.2779, -0.3128, -0.3006, -0.3006, -0.2921, -0.2795, -0.2821, -0.2803, -0.3049, -0.3143, -0.2858, -0.2765, -0.2699, -0.2274, -0.2165, -0.1847, -0.1875, -0.1636, -0.1675, -0.1956, -0.1932, -0.1831, -0.1966, -0.1872, -0.1747, -0.187, -0.1715, -0.1981, -0.144, -0.1763, -0.1753, -0.2147, -0.2386, -0.268, -0.2215, -0.2204, -0.2099, -0.2099, -0.2127, -0.2013, -0.2509, -0.3055, -0.3185, -0.2955, -0.2778, -0.2435, -0.2402, -0.2209, -0.2236, -0.2232, -0.1878, -0.2466, -0.2385, -0.2384, -0.2486, -0.2657, -0.2597]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1985913297665998934", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-11-05T03:33:21+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$HIMS- 500T off 🐔 pills. The world needs it.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long DUOL, PLTR, and HIMS as future multi-trillion-dollar companies with massive upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@RJCcapital What do you think of my port @DeepValueBagger @RJCcapital they all will be 10T companies\n\n1. $DUOL - 50T AI infrastructure for language\n2. $PLTR - 100x from here - 50T off interest profit.\n3. $HIMS- 500T off 🐔 pills. The world needs it.\n\nIs it worth selling a course too?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Think your portfolio’s built different? It’s not.\n\nI’m offering an exclusive, once-in-a-lifetime 1-on-1 portfolio roasting session with your good friend RJC. \n\nI’ll deliver a complete assessment of your dumbest holdings, rank your worst decisions, and explain why your “long-term https://t.co/YbYmd7N8B6", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "RJCcapital", "ret_m1d": -0.021495509639808952, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.021495509639808952, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.018042087893226033, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.018042087893226033, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0034534217465829187, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0034534217465829187, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05053736811357945, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05053736811357945, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03980803490091345, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03980803490091345, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010729333212666003, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010729333212666003, "ret_p1w": -0.1077063602510111, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1077063602510111, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11626630938231974, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11626630938231974, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008559949131308642, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008559949131308642, "ret_p1m": -0.08483876339603846, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08483876339603846, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09488920721522331, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09488920721522331, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010050443819184851, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010050443819184851, "ret_p3m": -0.3953807269419082, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3953807269419082, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.42472760979870083, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.42472760979870083, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029346882856792655, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029346882856792655, "ret_p6m": -0.3786873917057332, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3786873917057332, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.44535407649061165, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.44535407649061165, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06666668478487847, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06666668478487847, "price_path": [0.1877, 0.1429, 0.0967, 0.1052, 0.0777, 0.0524, 0.0313, -0.0354, -0.008, 0.0053, 0.0192, -0.0169, 0.037, 0.0064, 0.0089, -0.0316, -0.0316, -0.0503, 0.0167, 0.1002, 0.107, 0.1351, 0.0928, 0.0926, 0.1836, 0.2692, 0.2339, 0.1637, 0.1514, 0.2852, 0.3222, 0.3195, 0.2806, 0.2177, 0.2547, 0.3355, 0.3519, 0.2971, 0.2877, 0.3233, 0.2015, 0.2522, 0.3256, 0.3302, 0.332, 0.2337, 0.2515, 0.2353, 0.4352, 0.3526, 0.1383, 0.1745, 0.1287, 0.0853, 0.1088, 0.1155, 0.1029, 0.0775, 0.0663, 0.0075, 0.0396, 0.0151, -0.0215, 0.0, -0.0505, -0.0617, -0.0613, -0.091, -0.1077, -0.1756, -0.1544, -0.1864, -0.1708, -0.1807, -0.2312, -0.2063, -0.1361, -0.1518, -0.1219, -0.1219, -0.0908, -0.1422, -0.1697, -0.1523, -0.0848, -0.1036, -0.1054, -0.0894, -0.1338, -0.1363, -0.1491, -0.171, -0.1571, -0.2003, -0.2049, -0.1868, -0.1985, -0.2042, -0.2072, -0.2072, -0.2154, -0.2202, -0.2445, -0.2575, -0.2575, -0.236, -0.2063, -0.1891, -0.1891, -0.2255, -0.2753, -0.2605, -0.2637, -0.2838, -0.2858, -0.2824, -0.2824, -0.3032, -0.3394, -0.3021, -0.3227, -0.3076, -0.3213, -0.3444, -0.3169, -0.3805, -0.3954, -0.416, -0.442, -0.4631, -0.4736, -0.558, -0.6058, -0.6183, -0.6387, -0.6273, -0.6273, -0.6279, -0.6378, -0.6382, -0.6426, -0.6453, -0.6465, -0.6382, -0.6433, -0.668, -0.6231, -0.6382, -0.6238, -0.6369, -0.6401, -0.4933, -0.4633, -0.4082, -0.4548, -0.4336, -0.4311, -0.4288, -0.4706, -0.4475, -0.4965, -0.4864, -0.512, -0.5234, -0.523, -0.5568, -0.5705, -0.5253, -0.5463, -0.5623, -0.5623, -0.5351, -0.5541, -0.5566, -0.5484, -0.5557, -0.5164, -0.5115, -0.4445, -0.3828, -0.341, -0.2909, -0.3195, -0.3366, -0.3563, -0.3012, -0.3279, -0.3618, -0.3979, -0.3787]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1977157799164686796", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-11T23:42:07+00:00", "symbol": "AMD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AMD it's a buy for 1Y out when the 100B contract with OpenAI starts ramping up", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Buy AMD on 1Y horizon as OpenAI $100B contract ramps; downgrade MU to hold on China DRAM/NAND exposure.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "For semis like $AMD it’s a buy for 1Y out when the 100B contract with OpenAI starts ramping up.\n\nSome other comment mentioned $MU, they’re more materially affected like $QLCM is to China disputes bc of large dram/nand for memory over there compared to something like $TSM. So would dg it to hold. \n\nOf course I’m not sure how macro risk will play out with Trump being a wild card and all, if tensions ease up things would be re-rated", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $AMD in the strong buy or buy category as well?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DigestingX", "ret_m1d": -0.007023400264860813, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007023400264860813, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008088791824155894, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008088791824155894, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0077164688248525515, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0077164688248525515, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008938123628309258, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008938123628309258, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "ret_p1w": 0.11154236943853912, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11154236943853912, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09908456402159804, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09908456402159804, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "ret_p1m": 0.09749563941426609, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09749563941426609, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06739188392741968, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06739188392741968, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "ret_p3m": -0.054246398634563264, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.054246398634563264, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09724150072087501, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09724150072087501, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "ret_p6m": 0.02361149918485128, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.02361149918485128, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.02371166821314319, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.02371166821314319, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "bench_c_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "price_path": [-0.2603, -0.2588, -0.2746, -0.2746, -0.2851, -0.2669, -0.2509, -0.2308, -0.1976, -0.1801, -0.1705, -0.1853, -0.2066, -0.1832, -0.1946, -0.2463, -0.2034, -0.2017, -0.204, -0.1916, -0.1479, -0.1639, -0.1798, -0.1861, -0.2304, -0.2367, -0.2436, -0.2248, -0.2452, -0.2301, -0.2278, -0.2211, -0.2485, -0.2485, -0.25, -0.2509, -0.2524, -0.3016, -0.3004, -0.28, -0.2628, -0.2807, -0.2673, -0.2553, -0.2586, -0.2646, -0.2703, -0.2728, -0.2617, -0.2565, -0.2566, -0.2548, -0.2632, -0.2544, -0.2524, -0.2422, -0.2157, -0.2391, -0.0587, -0.0227, 0.0884, 0.0761, -0.007, 0.0, 0.0077, 0.1025, 0.0838, 0.077, 0.1115, 0.0999, 0.0638, 0.0858, 0.1687, 0.1998, 0.1922, 0.2214, 0.1775, 0.1834, 0.1998, 0.1554, 0.1844, 0.0983, 0.0791, 0.1273, 0.0975, 0.1962, 0.1457, 0.1404, 0.1114, 0.0641, 0.0329, -0.0481, -0.0584, -0.0063, -0.0475, -0.0101, -0.0101, 0.0051, 0.0154, -0.0055, 0.0055, -0.002, 0.0072, 0.0217, 0.024, 0.0231, 0.0231, -0.0261, -0.0408, -0.0335, -0.0846, -0.071, -0.0138, -0.0068, -0.007, -0.0064, -0.0064, -0.0066, -0.0037, -0.005, -0.0104, -0.0104, 0.0326, 0.0215, -0.0096, -0.0296, -0.0542, -0.0612, -0.0403, 0.021, 0.0332, 0.0531, 0.0712, 0.0712, 0.0716, 0.1542, 0.1724, 0.1999, 0.1612, 0.1645, 0.1678, 0.1652, 0.0938, 0.1379, 0.1187, -0.075, -0.1105, -0.0369, -0.0019, -0.0132, -0.0131, -0.0484, -0.042, -0.042, -0.0616, -0.0753, -0.0603, -0.0752, -0.0916, -0.0119, -0.0257, -0.0589, -0.0749, -0.0822, -0.1177, -0.0663, -0.0784, -0.1108, -0.0635, -0.0609, -0.0536, -0.0863, -0.1064, -0.0917, -0.0929, -0.0784, -0.0515, -0.0697, -0.0635, -0.0511, 0.0178, -0.0585, -0.0667, -0.0942, -0.06, -0.0287, 0.005, 0.005, 0.0174, 0.0236]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1977157799164686796", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-11T23:42:07+00:00", "symbol": "MU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "would dg it to hold", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Buy AMD on 1Y horizon as OpenAI $100B contract ramps; downgrade MU to hold on China DRAM/NAND exposure.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "For semis like $AMD it’s a buy for 1Y out when the 100B contract with OpenAI starts ramping up.\n\nSome other comment mentioned $MU, they’re more materially affected like $QLCM is to China disputes bc of large dram/nand for memory over there compared to something like $TSM. So would dg it to hold. \n\nOf course I’m not sure how macro risk will play out with Trump being a wild card and all, if tensions ease up things would be re-rated", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $AMD in the strong buy or buy category as well?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DigestingX", "ret_m1d": -0.057944683382753825, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.057944683382753825, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04283249129373712, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.015531159408023743, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "bench_c_m1d": -0.04241352397473008, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.029620842004694614, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.029620842004694614, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.028399187201237908, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011225027258885412, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "bench_c_p1d": -0.018395814745809203, "ret_p1w": 0.07262545977689872, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07262545977689872, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.060167654359957634, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05063867502227559, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "bench_c_p1w": 0.021986784754623123, "ret_p1m": 0.25076515273346933, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.25076515273346933, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.22066139724662293, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.21750538559959387, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03325976713387546, "ret_p3m": 0.6971110602338435, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.6971110602338435, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.6541159581475318, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.578172860706957, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11893819952688656, "ret_p6m": 0.9603216992514441, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.9603216992514441, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.960421868279736, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.7796172657991807, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1807044334522634, "price_path": [-0.3964, -0.4128, -0.407, -0.413, -0.4338, -0.4306, -0.4208, -0.4232, -0.4232, -0.4196, -0.4052, -0.4342, -0.4563, -0.4413, -0.4346, -0.4361, -0.42, -0.3836, -0.3586, -0.3377, -0.3557, -0.3505, -0.3734, -0.3595, -0.3673, -0.3924, -0.3997, -0.3899, -0.3964, -0.396, -0.3896, -0.3675, -0.383, -0.383, -0.3858, -0.3845, -0.3561, -0.3189, -0.3185, -0.2989, -0.2742, -0.2194, -0.1849, -0.1821, -0.1766, -0.1706, -0.1244, -0.1564, -0.1466, -0.1373, -0.1616, -0.1869, -0.1847, -0.1503, -0.1326, -0.0557, -0.0474, -0.0256, -0.0094, -0.0367, 0.0196, -0.0023, -0.0579, 0.0, -0.0296, -0.0043, 0.0506, 0.0499, 0.0726, 0.0494, 0.0296, 0.0723, 0.1362, 0.1418, 0.1512, 0.1756, 0.1621, 0.1608, 0.2175, 0.131, 0.232, 0.2363, 0.2342, 0.314, 0.2508, 0.2704, 0.2292, 0.2804, 0.2551, 0.1854, 0.172, 0.0446, 0.0757, 0.1616, 0.1648, 0.1945, 0.1945, 0.2267, 0.2474, 0.2424, 0.2147, 0.1758, 0.2306, 0.2809, 0.3094, 0.368, 0.3408, 0.2509, 0.232, 0.2062, 0.1699, 0.2894, 0.3795, 0.4348, 0.4332, 0.4872, 0.4872, 0.4774, 0.5277, 0.5186, 0.4812, 0.4812, 0.6369, 0.6199, 0.7823, 0.7621, 0.6971, 0.7909, 0.7949, 0.7548, 0.73, 0.747, 0.8825, 0.8825, 0.8942, 1.0193, 1.0633, 1.074, 1.0192, 1.129, 1.2589, 1.2616, 1.1531, 1.272, 1.1767, 0.9689, 0.9871, 1.0483, 0.9902, 0.937, 1.1295, 1.1483, 1.1364, 1.1364, 1.0747, 1.1846, 1.1659, 1.222, 1.1847, 1.1693, 1.2263, 1.1566, 1.14, 1.1416, 0.9704, 1.0798, 1.0605, 0.9217, 1.0204, 1.092, 1.1728, 1.1036, 1.2115, 1.2928, 1.396, 1.3962, 1.3056, 1.1947, 1.0984, 1.0527, 0.9829, 0.8447, 0.8538, 0.6707, 0.754, 0.9098, 0.9014, 0.9014, 0.9613, 0.9603]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1999372215599644781", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-12T06:54:17+00:00", "symbol": "SNAP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SNAP is incredibly undervalued at $7.64. ... 100%%+ upside here going into 2026 - early 2027.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long SNAP: 100%+ upside to 2026-27 on GCP opex cuts, Perplexity deal boosting FCF, and AI revenue streams driving re-rating.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNAP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SNAP is incredibly undervalued at $7.64.\n\n-> Snapchat cutting opex costs with GCP and converting that to revenue.\n\n-> Perplexity deal adding $400m in equity/cash on top of existing revenue.\n\nNet FCF Is estimate from these changes is +$630M (+$190M opex cloud, memory revenue +540M, storage cogs -$100m) late 2026, early 2027. \n\nThe CEO selling $10M in shares is not material, especially when there's $500M in buybacks. \n\n$SNAP doesn't need to be $META, it never will. \n\nAt a $13B marketcap, it just needs to cut costs and improve FCF from its $1.5B-$2B quarterly revenue (~55% gross profit margins).\n\nThen it will be re-rated immensely, even if user counts slows or slightly drops. \n\nRight now tax harvesting is likely ending next two weeks. But if you can wait a whole year, I'm confident Snap will strongly outperform any index once we factor in GCP opex cuts and AI revenue streams. \n\n100%%+ upside here going into 2026 - early 2027.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I entered $ALAB, $NBIS, $TSM, and $LITE because of Mag7 funneling revenue numbers into them.\n\nLite uniquely because of its role in GOOGL TPU v7, AMZN Trainium v3/4, and NVDA Blackwell.\n\nBut there's a new one I found out about.\n\nA small cap &lt;$3B player that fits the thesis:\n\nName https://t.co/uhDf5dVrbY", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04514362876733169, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04514362876733169, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0342747985146421, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04291287251526832, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010868830252689587, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0022307562520633706, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00683990619549768, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00683990619549768, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005329018412746467, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007011396405896986, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0015108877827512135, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00017149021039930545, "ret_p1w": 0.03556774704747445, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03556774704747445, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03433407894669038, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03582521294921881, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0012336681007840689, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00025746590174435813, "ret_p1m": 0.12038298830261684, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12038298830261684, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09771507974459581, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10853784389672572, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022667908558021033, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011845144405891128, "ret_p3m": -0.33515729527263893, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.33515729527263893, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3301239438271395, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.342268110823553, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.005033351445499434, "bench_c_p3m": 0.007110815550914085, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0588, 0.093, 0.1546, 0.1163, 0.1669, 0.1518, 0.1245, 0.1395, 0.1313, 0.1491, 0.0547, 0.0547, 0.1245, 0.1683, 0.1655, 0.1122, 0.1532, 0.1464, 0.0643, 0.1012, 0.0834, 0.0821, 0.0616, 0.0465, 0.0575, 0.0739, 0.0629, 0.0766, 0.0876, 0.0821, 0.0588, 0.0588, 0.0397, 0.067, 0.0698, 0.0219, -0.0014, 0.0958, 0.1231, 0.1888, 0.1984, 0.2435, 0.1737, 0.1724, 0.119, 0.1286, 0.0985, 0.0643, 0.052, 0.0506, 0.0451, 0.041, 0.041, 0.0506, 0.0451, 0.0424, 0.0479, 0.0616, 0.0821, 0.0985, 0.0834, 0.0834, 0.0451, 0.0, -0.0068, 0.0082, 0.026, 0.0438, 0.0356, 0.0862, 0.0684, 0.0739, 0.0739, 0.0752, 0.078, 0.104, 0.104, 0.104, 0.1122, 0.1286, 0.2025, 0.1792, 0.1491, 0.1231, 0.1204, 0.093, 0.0807, 0.0616, 0.0301, 0.0301, 0.0055, 0.0082, 0.0479, 0.0424, 0.0342, 0.0205, 0.0492, -0.0096, -0.052, -0.0889, -0.1655, -0.1915, -0.2996, -0.2859, -0.29, -0.2845, -0.3174, -0.3406, -0.3393, -0.3393, -0.3529, -0.3324, -0.316, -0.2969, -0.3256, -0.3201, -0.3064, -0.2804, -0.2873, -0.2804, -0.2818, -0.2654, -0.2695, -0.2941, -0.2982, -0.3283, -0.3352, -0.3639, -0.3762, -0.3598, -0.3639, -0.368, -0.3762, -0.3871, -0.383, -0.4036, -0.3858, -0.4514, -0.4624, -0.4501, -0.3707, -0.3297, -0.3666, -0.3666, -0.3557, -0.3434, -0.3529, -0.3228, -0.3406, -0.2955, -0.2339, -0.1737, -0.1765, -0.1751, -0.1792, -0.2285, -0.2011, -0.238, -0.2271, -0.171, -0.186, -0.1819, -0.1696, -0.1395, -0.156, -0.1642, -0.1642, -0.1819, -0.1683, -0.2134, -0.2408, -0.2326, -0.2668, -0.2435, -0.2244, -0.2408, -0.2312, -0.2216, -0.2175, -0.2175, -0.2134, -0.1956, -0.1915, -0.2189, -0.2189, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1968014158986924203", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-16T18:08:34+00:00", "symbol": "JD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$JD is a good breakout play honestly", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "JD.com seen as a good breakout play, though author won't trade Chinese stocks personally.", "resolved_tickers": ["JD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Dylanwith86 @Jake__Wujastyk I think you can have watchlist calls on Robinhood, which is what I meant by paper trades. Not really paper trading accounts.\n\nI mean $JD is a good breakout play honestly but I can't find myself to support Chinese stocks.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @Jake__Wujastyk If I’m not mistaken you can’t paper trade options on RH. I image this position is legitimate", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Dylanwith86", "ret_m1d": -0.031403063056643976, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.031403063056643976, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03278175401368855, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03278175401368855, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0013786909570445705, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0013786909570445705, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01526941374370172, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01526941374370172, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01651184903625036, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01651184903625036, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012424352925486382, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012424352925486382, "ret_p1w": -0.05099399610667166, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05099399610667166, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.058643618535790365, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.058643618535790365, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007649622429118708, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007649622429118708, "ret_p1m": -0.04523191345488331, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04523191345488331, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05585929571404136, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05585929571404136, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010627382259158047, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010627382259158047, "ret_p3m": -0.15182944658761255, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15182944658761255, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18766300763546606, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.18766300763546606, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03583356104785351, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03583356104785351, "ret_p6m": -0.19014690638836607, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.19014690638836607, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.22076675308442262, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.22076675308442262, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030619846696056552, "bench_c_p6m": 0.030619846696056552, "price_path": [-0.0637, -0.0942, -0.0899, -0.0614, -0.051, -0.0418, -0.0472, -0.0596, -0.0579, -0.0645, -0.0761, -0.0761, -0.0775, -0.0579, -0.0896, -0.1005, -0.104, -0.1126, -0.0769, -0.0884, -0.0582, -0.0228, -0.0377, -0.0239, -0.0225, -0.0357, -0.0441, -0.0429, -0.0717, -0.0853, -0.0928, -0.1095, -0.089, -0.0971, -0.0971, -0.0853, -0.0928, -0.1017, -0.0746, -0.0634, -0.0902, -0.0867, -0.0847, -0.1, -0.102, -0.1017, -0.0815, -0.0784, -0.0835, -0.1121, -0.1245, -0.1049, -0.1049, -0.0902, -0.1011, -0.1089, -0.0939, -0.0536, -0.0242, -0.04, -0.0089, -0.03, -0.0314, 0.0, 0.0153, 0.0193, 0.0112, -0.0225, -0.051, 0.0035, 0.0133, -0.0061, 0.0268, 0.0078, 0.0421, 0.0366, 0.0199, 0.0346, 0.0052, 0.0078, -0.0213, -0.0824, -0.0421, -0.0576, -0.0452, -0.0568, -0.0472, -0.0274, -0.0542, -0.0648, -0.0441, -0.0438, -0.0147, -0.0052, -0.0101, -0.0386, -0.0481, -0.0556, -0.0833, -0.0769, -0.0795, -0.0841, -0.0951, -0.0893, -0.0997, -0.1152, -0.1556, -0.1489, -0.1515, -0.1681, -0.1821, -0.1665, -0.1628, -0.1605, -0.1524, -0.1524, -0.1406, -0.1389, -0.1343, -0.1394, -0.1432, -0.1386, -0.138, -0.1443, -0.1469, -0.1489, -0.1518, -0.1688, -0.1688, -0.176, -0.1703, -0.1697, -0.1619, -0.1622, -0.1596, -0.1596, -0.153, -0.1567, -0.1729, -0.1731, -0.1731, -0.1492, -0.1458, -0.1472, -0.1636, -0.1452, -0.1515, -0.1147, -0.1392, -0.1406, -0.1527, -0.1674, -0.1674, -0.1824, -0.1625, -0.1357, -0.1403, -0.142, -0.1501, -0.1579, -0.1625, -0.1795, -0.178, -0.1922, -0.2063, -0.2129, -0.1913, -0.193, -0.1832, -0.1855, -0.2071, -0.2181, -0.2181, -0.2126, -0.2103, -0.2143, -0.2103, -0.2155, -0.2071, -0.2066, -0.2227, -0.2357, -0.2409, -0.2613, -0.2682, -0.2662, -0.2213, -0.2086, -0.2011, -0.1901]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1999248269441138721", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-11T22:41:46+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm fully invested already in $AAOI already with relatively small-moderate position sizing for risk management", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds AAOI on Mag7 backstop + 800G transceiver ramp thesis; prefers LITE but hesitant to chase after 46% run.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I was actually looking into $AMZN Trainium benchmarks from a semianalysis post and at Amazon's supply chain. And some friends like @yianisz post about it earlier, so I decided to look deeper at it.  \n\nBut it has ~$4B spend from $AMZN as a backstop as they ramp up Trainium/Inferentia clusters, spend from $MSFT ASIC clusters, and we'll likely see more hyperscaler clients as the industry moves to 800g ramp.\n\nMag7 dependency is incredibly rare coming from a $2.5B marketcap company lol.  \n\nDownside + positive:  Is vertically integrated (higher-margins), since it's lasers are builtin Texas. I see just incredible volume demand, moving forward but: the whole name of the game is execution since they actually have to build out the 800G/1.6T transceivers without messing up. \n\nI'm fully invested already in $AAOI already with relatively small-moderate position sizing for risk management (it's still a small cap with $2.5B MC). \n\nI still like $LITE a lot more, but a bit hard to cost average up on that when it's up 46% this month.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Interesting write, thanks. Never heard of the company, will certainly check. Are you already fully invested or did you start with a small amount?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Kaizen_Investor", "ret_m1d": -0.0368942776389628, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0368942776389628, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03457273162559127, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03457273162559127, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.11729070367091099, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.11729070367091099, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.10653873474337705, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.10653873474337705, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "ret_p1w": -0.19465858354155574, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.19465858354155574, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1762305939531975, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1762305939531975, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "ret_p1m": -0.06277529731427245, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06277529731427245, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07286121901034692, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07286121901034692, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "ret_p3m": 2.317455916194293, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.317455916194293, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.3319501478226834, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.3319501478226834, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "bench_c_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1861, -0.2035, -0.1886, -0.2004, -0.2018, -0.1591, -0.2274, -0.2651, -0.2748, -0.2905, -0.2858, -0.2861, -0.2175, -0.2296, -0.231, -0.0697, -0.1373, -0.1129, -0.1088, -0.2525, -0.1988, -0.2159, -0.0928, -0.1426, -0.1211, -0.06, -0.0804, -0.1747, -0.1355, -0.0636, 0.0248, 0.0151, -0.0231, -0.0344, -0.0209, -0.0903, -0.1878, -0.1324, -0.1988, -0.2134, -0.3001, -0.3461, -0.3409, -0.4243, -0.409, -0.4045, -0.4248, -0.4254, -0.4634, -0.4334, -0.3813, -0.3742, -0.296, -0.296, -0.2627, -0.2695, -0.2836, -0.2938, -0.2775, -0.2679, -0.2335, -0.1635, -0.0369, 0.0, -0.1173, -0.1768, -0.2026, -0.2528, -0.1947, -0.1377, 0.0764, 0.1189, 0.1289, 0.1289, 0.0234, 0.0118, -0.0083, -0.0402, -0.0402, 0.0903, -0.0366, 0.0631, 0.0478, -0.0911, -0.0628, -0.0716, -0.0589, -0.0509, 0.0187, 0.0198, 0.0198, 0.0809, 0.0567, 0.0504, -0.0165, -0.0394, 0.0295, 0.2453, 0.0895, 0.2007, 0.2159, 0.2698, 0.0986, 0.0498, 0.2197, 0.3191, 0.3351, 0.3326, 0.2112, 0.2241, 0.2241, 0.209, 0.196, 0.2935, 0.4229, 0.4857, 0.5493, 0.6002, 0.4782, 1.3191, 1.8224, 1.625, 1.7453, 1.7847, 1.6316, 2.0457, 2.3175, 2.497, 1.9237, 1.6655, 1.59, 1.3769, 1.5504, 1.8062, 1.4102, 1.6366, 2.136, 2.1501, 1.6823, 1.704, 1.3455, 1.329, 1.3775, 1.861, 1.861, 1.9584, 2.239, 2.6536, 2.6702, 3.1465, 3.2178, 3.0306, 2.9248, 3.3315, 3.3893, 3.5008, 3.1457, 3.114, 2.7921, 3.465, 3.0138, 2.7792, 3.2079, 3.5253, 4.0526, 3.7627, 3.9716, 3.9157, 3.3378, 3.1008, 4.0909, 4.1839, 5.1426, 4.6049, 4.2412, 3.7704, 3.7172, 3.5501, 3.8681, 3.997, 3.997, 3.8904, 3.9513, 3.6536, 3.3615, 3.3615, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1999248269441138721", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-11T22:41:46+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I still like $LITE a lot more, but a bit hard to cost average up on that when it's up 46% this month", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds AAOI on Mag7 backstop + 800G transceiver ramp thesis; prefers LITE but hesitant to chase after 46% run.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I was actually looking into $AMZN Trainium benchmarks from a semianalysis post and at Amazon's supply chain. And some friends like @yianisz post about it earlier, so I decided to look deeper at it.  \n\nBut it has ~$4B spend from $AMZN as a backstop as they ramp up Trainium/Inferentia clusters, spend from $MSFT ASIC clusters, and we'll likely see more hyperscaler clients as the industry moves to 800g ramp.\n\nMag7 dependency is incredibly rare coming from a $2.5B marketcap company lol.  \n\nDownside + positive:  Is vertically integrated (higher-margins), since it's lasers are builtin Texas. I see just incredible volume demand, moving forward but: the whole name of the game is execution since they actually have to build out the 800G/1.6T transceivers without messing up. \n\nI'm fully invested already in $AAOI already with relatively small-moderate position sizing for risk management (it's still a small cap with $2.5B MC). \n\nI still like $LITE a lot more, but a bit hard to cost average up on that when it's up 46% this month.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Interesting write, thanks. Never heard of the company, will certainly check. Are you already fully invested or did you start with a small amount?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Kaizen_Investor", "ret_m1d": -0.01636699830102495, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01636699830102495, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014045452287653415, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014045452287653415, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.12830226747354656, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.12830226747354656, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.11755029854601262, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.11755029854601262, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "ret_p1w": -0.09395574135062568, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09395574135062568, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07552775176226745, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07552775176226745, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "ret_p1m": -0.05555103096990033, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05555103096990033, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0656369526659748, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0656369526659748, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "ret_p3m": 0.8060146916440198, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.8060146916440198, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.82050892327241, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.82050892327241, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "bench_c_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5464, -0.5407, -0.561, -0.5391, -0.5465, -0.5573, -0.5593, -0.5895, -0.5724, -0.568, -0.5631, -0.5627, -0.5394, -0.5438, -0.5598, -0.5684, -0.5777, -0.5617, -0.5706, -0.5979, -0.5685, -0.5787, -0.5792, -0.5613, -0.5572, -0.5673, -0.5621, -0.5752, -0.5472, -0.5181, -0.4792, -0.4668, -0.4241, -0.4621, -0.4583, -0.4636, -0.4938, -0.3745, -0.3559, -0.3547, -0.3015, -0.3215, -0.3179, -0.3903, -0.3761, -0.3494, -0.335, -0.2773, -0.3732, -0.3131, -0.1955, -0.2172, -0.1715, -0.1715, -0.1261, -0.1456, -0.1862, -0.1857, -0.1189, -0.1093, -0.0794, -0.0316, -0.0164, 0.0, -0.1283, -0.1005, -0.1503, -0.1393, -0.094, -0.0018, 0.0478, 0.0412, 0.064, 0.064, 0.0502, 0.0014, -0.0024, -0.0094, -0.0094, 0.0377, -0.0404, 0.0681, 0.0559, -0.064, -0.0556, -0.0866, -0.0289, -0.1088, -0.0775, -0.1286, -0.1286, -0.041, -0.0259, -0.0473, -0.0884, -0.1065, -0.0038, 0.0347, 0.0251, 0.0531, 0.138, 0.1693, 0.2511, 0.3556, 0.4835, 0.5511, 0.508, 0.5429, 0.5681, 0.5124, 0.5124, 0.6136, 0.5971, 0.7083, 0.7946, 0.8134, 0.8497, 0.9441, 0.8195, 0.8837, 1.105, 0.8663, 0.8297, 0.7491, 0.5008, 0.7219, 0.806, 0.806, 0.6558, 0.673, 0.6793, 0.7457, 0.8834, 1.0751, 0.8983, 0.9591, 1.1554, 1.0887, 0.8512, 0.8886, 0.7598, 0.8887, 1.055, 1.2223, 1.2223, 1.0755, 1.1923, 1.4081, 1.403, 1.4115, 1.3413, 1.2919, 1.2145, 1.3952, 1.4028, 1.4056, 1.2492, 1.3478, 1.276, 1.3694, 1.3104, 1.1268, 1.3068, 1.425, 1.553, 1.6235, 1.6729, 1.5378, 1.3988, 1.429, 1.8302, 1.667, 1.7691, 1.6924, 1.6088, 1.3784, 1.3921, 1.333, 1.5921, 1.5448, 1.5448, 1.4478, 1.425, 1.3129, 1.2977, 1.2977, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1969227395929641349", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-20T02:29:32+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "RKLB will likely grow into that whether it's 5 years from now or 10", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "5-year longs: RKLB (space growth), BTC/IBIT (gold market cap), TSM (foundry monopoly), HOOD (less so at current levels).", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Hmm, I don't have many but aside from $RKLB, $IBIT, prob $TSM, $HOOD but less so at these levels.\n\nI was long HOOD back at $18 but given its 1000%+ rise already, hard to see it growing into $1T in 5 years due to limits in fintech. But it was always a high conviction long due to consumer base + adding more products eg. Banking.\n\n$RKLB is insanely overvalued right now but Spacex is the best comparison, 350b valuation now and space industry will keep growing cause national security issue + commercialization. RKLB will likely grow into that whether it's 5 years from now or 10\n\nBitcoin will likely keep growing into gold marketcap.  \n\n$TSM is a pure monopoly, no noise like Intel building foundries will likely disrupt that for another 10 years.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @MMerrino569447 Amazing write up! I'm actually curious what your full 5 year timeline list for longs would look like in addition to $RKLB, $IBIT.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": -0.04055411367338024, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04055411367338024, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03584529113215329, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.037220674299938805, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0047088225412269535, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003333439373441438, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06223646634515778, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06223646634515778, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0676800327339866, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06197504570007206, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005443566388828813, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00026142064508571927, "ret_p1w": -0.056213671442683855, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.056213671442683855, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05147484057092344, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05654042216068744, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004738830871760413, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0003267507180035878, "ret_p1m": 0.31298935400045025, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.31298935400045025, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3063161824604983, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3007017808541008, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.00667317153995195, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012287573146349429, "ret_p3m": 0.20297122097803144, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.20297122097803144, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.18853012613421738, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.19297130427136566, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014441094843814062, "bench_c_p3m": 0.009999916706665779, "ret_p6m": 0.5777955063464812, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5777955063464812, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.568899785295085, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4858330421362722, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.008895721051396244, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09196246421020904, "price_path": [-0.3505, -0.2744, -0.2897, -0.2819, -0.3108, -0.2837, -0.2841, -0.2841, -0.2194, -0.2222, -0.2142, -0.215, -0.2164, -0.1325, -0.1046, -0.0426, 0.0305, 0.0317, -0.0526, -0.0588, -0.0133, -0.0337, -0.0478, -0.0944, -0.1209, -0.0677, -0.0781, -0.1004, -0.1058, -0.1016, -0.1146, -0.1124, -0.1028, -0.0962, -0.1281, -0.1367, -0.1405, -0.1112, -0.0972, -0.1785, -0.1831, -0.1662, -0.109, -0.052, -0.0337, -0.0715, -0.0381, -0.0243, -0.0243, -0.01, -0.1261, -0.1369, -0.0797, -0.0418, -0.0558, -0.0731, -0.0277, 0.0709, 0.0849, -0.0515, -0.0347, -0.0528, -0.0406, 0.0, 0.0622, -0.0225, -0.0638, -0.0713, -0.0562, -0.0381, -0.0369, 0.0534, 0.1275, 0.1745, 0.2349, 0.3112, 0.3335, 0.2901, 0.3134, 0.3658, 0.3907, 0.3451, 0.3305, 0.3521, 0.313, 0.2159, 0.2762, 0.2961, 0.3174, 0.2799, 0.3282, 0.223, 0.2644, 0.2315, 0.1357, 0.1327, -0.004, 0.0367, 0.042, 0.0287, 0.0032, -0.0915, -0.0857, -0.1305, -0.1411, -0.1243, -0.2074, -0.1909, -0.1478, -0.1448, -0.1582, -0.1582, -0.154, -0.1895, -0.1588, -0.1022, -0.0088, -0.0152, 0.0351, 0.0727, 0.1548, 0.2754, 0.2345, 0.1124, 0.114, 0.0833, 0.203, 0.4158, 0.5569, 0.5495, 0.5495, 0.5495, 0.4184, 0.4077, 0.4144, 0.4005, 0.4005, 0.5256, 0.5688, 0.7272, 0.688, 0.6679, 0.7035, 0.7647, 0.7382, 0.843, 0.8221, 0.9333, 0.9333, 0.79, 0.7631, 0.7663, 0.7848, 0.6157, 0.7466, 0.7782, 0.7201, 0.6075, 0.4887, 0.6316, 0.4678, 0.3315, 0.4519, 0.5226, 0.4461, 0.3977, 0.3252, 0.3539, 0.3539, 0.4031, 0.4941, 0.5374, 0.4226, 0.4096, 0.4047, 0.4094, 0.4585, 0.3873, 0.4248, 0.408, 0.4437, 0.4053, 0.4075, 0.4351, 0.3839, 0.4447, 0.3726, 0.3734, 0.4316, 0.5778]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1969227395929641349", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-20T02:29:32+00:00", "symbol": "IBIT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin will likely keep growing into gold marketcap", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "5-year longs: RKLB (space growth), BTC/IBIT (gold market cap), TSM (foundry monopoly), HOOD (less so at current levels).", "resolved_tickers": ["IBIT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Hmm, I don't have many but aside from $RKLB, $IBIT, prob $TSM, $HOOD but less so at these levels.\n\nI was long HOOD back at $18 but given its 1000%+ rise already, hard to see it growing into $1T in 5 years due to limits in fintech. But it was always a high conviction long due to consumer base + adding more products eg. Banking.\n\n$RKLB is insanely overvalued right now but Spacex is the best comparison, 350b valuation now and space industry will keep growing cause national security issue + commercialization. RKLB will likely grow into that whether it's 5 years from now or 10\n\nBitcoin will likely keep growing into gold marketcap.  \n\n$TSM is a pure monopoly, no noise like Intel building foundries will likely disrupt that for another 10 years.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @MMerrino569447 Amazing write up! I'm actually curious what your full 5 year timeline list for longs would look like in addition to $RKLB, $IBIT.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": 0.027022799363230154, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.027022799363230154, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03173162190445711, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03173162190445711, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0047088225412269535, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0047088225412269535, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00377064686116646, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00377064686116646, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0016729195276623532, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0016729195276623532, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005443566388828813, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005443566388828813, "ret_p1w": 0.02073840790541892, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02073840790541892, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.025477238777179334, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.025477238777179334, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004738830871760413, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004738830871760413, "ret_p1m": -0.0025137445966447736, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0025137445966447736, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.009186916136596723, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.009186916136596723, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.00667317153995195, "bench_c_p1m": 0.00667317153995195, "ret_p3m": -0.24650435295004647, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.24650435295004647, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.26094544779386053, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.26094544779386053, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014441094843814062, "bench_c_p3m": 0.014441094843814062, "ret_p6m": -0.3358994588463996, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3358994588463996, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.34479517989779584, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.34479517989779584, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.008895721051396244, "bench_c_p6m": 0.008895721051396244, "price_path": [-0.0373, -0.0394, -0.046, -0.0383, -0.0599, -0.0193, -0.0229, -0.0229, -0.0353, -0.0288, -0.0011, 0.0134, 0.0559, 0.0712, 0.0394, 0.0657, 0.0628, 0.0476, 0.0421, 0.0655, 0.0572, 0.063, 0.0426, 0.0542, 0.0481, 0.0427, 0.0419, 0.009, 0.0244, 0.0141, 0.0292, 0.05, 0.039, 0.0627, 0.0676, 0.0973, 0.0531, 0.0438, 0.0377, 0.0085, 0.0196, 0.0006, 0.0408, -0.0121, -0.0086, 0.0, -0.0011, -0.0347, -0.0347, -0.0107, 0.0019, -0.0204, -0.0036, 0.0008, -0.0068, 0.0138, 0.0217, 0.0429, 0.0291, 0.0427, 0.0317, 0.0487, 0.027, 0.0, -0.0038, 0.0121, -0.0244, -0.0269, 0.0207, 0.0212, 0.0485, 0.0804, 0.0968, 0.12, 0.0861, 0.1007, 0.08, 0.0401, 0.0339, 0.0041, -0.0075, -0.0349, -0.05, -0.0113, -0.0025, -0.0383, -0.0171, -0.0129, 0.0256, 0.0132, -0.0141, -0.0511, -0.0212, -0.049, -0.1016, -0.0743, -0.1004, -0.0749, -0.0544, -0.0833, -0.0952, -0.1266, -0.1599, -0.1815, -0.1727, -0.203, -0.2308, -0.2463, -0.2055, -0.2214, -0.1983, -0.1983, -0.1901, -0.238, -0.1882, -0.1714, -0.175, -0.2036, -0.1906, -0.1697, -0.1753, -0.1815, -0.1956, -0.2355, -0.219, -0.2347, -0.2465, -0.2159, -0.213, -0.22, -0.2229, -0.2229, -0.2206, -0.2242, -0.2171, -0.22, -0.22, -0.1997, -0.1601, -0.176, -0.1903, -0.1906, -0.1962, -0.1851, -0.1584, -0.129, -0.1516, -0.1478, -0.1478, -0.2025, -0.197, -0.2039, -0.2035, -0.22, -0.2046, -0.2064, -0.2522, -0.2539, -0.3053, -0.3197, -0.3469, -0.4328, -0.3766, -0.3698, -0.3877, -0.3984, -0.4179, -0.3877, -0.3877, -0.3969, -0.4102, -0.4019, -0.3964, -0.4258, -0.4261, -0.3837, -0.3989, -0.4157, -0.3842, -0.392, -0.3489, -0.3654, -0.3936, -0.3852, -0.3761, -0.3705, -0.3723, -0.3658, -0.3411, -0.3359]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1969227395929641349", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-09-20T02:29:32+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSM is a pure monopoly, no noise like Intel building foundries will likely disrupt that for another 10 years", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "5-year longs: RKLB (space growth), BTC/IBIT (gold market cap), TSM (foundry monopoly), HOOD (less so at current levels).", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Hmm, I don't have many but aside from $RKLB, $IBIT, prob $TSM, $HOOD but less so at these levels.\n\nI was long HOOD back at $18 but given its 1000%+ rise already, hard to see it growing into $1T in 5 years due to limits in fintech. But it was always a high conviction long due to consumer base + adding more products eg. Banking.\n\n$RKLB is insanely overvalued right now but Spacex is the best comparison, 350b valuation now and space industry will keep growing cause national security issue + commercialization. RKLB will likely grow into that whether it's 5 years from now or 10\n\nBitcoin will likely keep growing into gold marketcap.  \n\n$TSM is a pure monopoly, no noise like Intel building foundries will likely disrupt that for another 10 years.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @MMerrino569447 Amazing write up! I'm actually curious what your full 5 year timeline list for longs would look like in addition to $RKLB, $IBIT.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": -0.028463541874778286, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.028463541874778286, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.023754719333551333, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.023754719333551333, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0047088225412269535, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0047088225412269535, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0369732385325241, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0369732385325241, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04241680492135291, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04241680492135291, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005443566388828813, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005443566388828813, "ret_p1w": 0.0022008107871132054, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0022008107871132054, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.006939641658873619, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.006939641658873619, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004738830871760413, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004738830871760413, "ret_p1m": 0.08025536293568103, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08025536293568103, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07358219139572908, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07358219139572908, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.00667317153995195, "bench_c_p1m": 0.00667317153995195, "ret_p3m": 0.047017976233314496, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.047017976233314496, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.032576881389500434, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.032576881389500434, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014441094843814062, "bench_c_p3m": 0.014441094843814062, "ret_p6m": 0.2760575130511693, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2760575130511693, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2671617919997731, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2671617919997731, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.008895721051396244, "bench_c_p6m": 0.008895721051396244, "price_path": [-0.1856, -0.1809, -0.1642, -0.1719, -0.1785, -0.1459, -0.1415, -0.1415, -0.1621, -0.1668, -0.1523, -0.1599, -0.1576, -0.1639, -0.1336, -0.1314, -0.102, -0.121, -0.1267, -0.1422, -0.1212, -0.1166, -0.102, -0.1124, -0.1176, -0.1118, -0.1165, -0.14, -0.1261, -0.15, -0.154, -0.1129, -0.1158, -0.1148, -0.1068, -0.1172, -0.1188, -0.1265, -0.1173, -0.1491, -0.1641, -0.1688, -0.1481, -0.1386, -0.1271, -0.1251, -0.1288, -0.1558, -0.1558, -0.1649, -0.1539, -0.14, -0.11, -0.0962, -0.0825, -0.0477, -0.0533, -0.0518, -0.0443, -0.0388, -0.0361, -0.0146, -0.0285, 0.0, 0.037, 0.0296, 0.0148, 0.0027, 0.0022, 0.0244, 0.0581, 0.0568, 0.0717, 0.1092, 0.0785, 0.117, 0.1, 0.0295, 0.111, 0.0855, 0.1177, 0.0998, 0.0823, 0.092, 0.0803, 0.0596, 0.0664, 0.0819, 0.094, 0.106, 0.1191, 0.1122, 0.102, 0.1182, 0.0786, 0.0771, 0.0609, 0.0509, 0.083, 0.068, 0.066, 0.0351, 0.0447, 0.0344, 0.0194, 0.0357, 0.0179, 0.0089, 0.0441, 0.0442, 0.0636, 0.0636, 0.0693, 0.0552, 0.0714, 0.0837, 0.0745, 0.081, 0.1073, 0.1129, 0.1376, 0.1212, 0.0741, 0.0583, 0.0551, 0.0186, 0.047, 0.0627, 0.0786, 0.0921, 0.0989, 0.0989, 0.1138, 0.1067, 0.1018, 0.1177, 0.1177, 0.1755, 0.1852, 0.2042, 0.1721, 0.1696, 0.1903, 0.2202, 0.2181, 0.2031, 0.2565, 0.2593, 0.2593, 0.2033, 0.1994, 0.204, 0.2316, 0.2237, 0.2444, 0.2589, 0.2488, 0.2158, 0.2555, 0.2348, 0.198, 0.2164, 0.283, 0.3072, 0.3311, 0.3759, 0.3538, 0.3474, 0.3474, 0.3395, 0.3323, 0.3255, 0.3628, 0.361, 0.4187, 0.426, 0.3859, 0.3777, 0.3575, 0.2988, 0.3146, 0.3015, 0.2464, 0.2825, 0.2766, 0.304, 0.2384, 0.2443, 0.2513, 0.2761]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1969227395929641349", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-09-20T02:29:32+00:00", "symbol": "HOOD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "prob $TSM, $HOOD but less so at these levels", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "5-year longs: RKLB (space growth), BTC/IBIT (gold market cap), TSM (foundry monopoly), HOOD (less so at current levels).", "resolved_tickers": ["HOOD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Hmm, I don't have many but aside from $RKLB, $IBIT, prob $TSM, $HOOD but less so at these levels.\n\nI was long HOOD back at $18 but given its 1000%+ rise already, hard to see it growing into $1T in 5 years due to limits in fintech. But it was always a high conviction long due to consumer base + adding more products eg. Banking.\n\n$RKLB is insanely overvalued right now but Spacex is the best comparison, 350b valuation now and space industry will keep growing cause national security issue + commercialization. RKLB will likely grow into that whether it's 5 years from now or 10\n\nBitcoin will likely keep growing into gold marketcap.  \n\n$TSM is a pure monopoly, no noise like Intel building foundries will likely disrupt that for another 10 years.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @MMerrino569447 Amazing write up! I'm actually curious what your full 5 year timeline list for longs would look like in addition to $RKLB, $IBIT.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": -0.000880779973489898, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.000880779973489898, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0038280425677370555, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0022141531139695525, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0047088225412269535, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0013333731404796545, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010489211025669354, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010489211025669354, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.015932777414498167, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01493366940419838, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005443566388828813, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004444458378529026, "ret_p1w": 0.09472337167803069, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09472337167803069, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0994622025497911, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09231591812716311, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004738830871760413, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0024074535508675776, "ret_p1m": 0.05564894693096001, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05564894693096001, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04897577539100806, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0791674174586966, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.00667317153995195, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02351847052773659, "ret_p3m": -0.06189443322376831, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06189443322376831, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07633552806758237, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07189448238891916, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014441094843814062, "bench_c_p3m": 0.010000049165150848, "ret_p6m": -0.3806549855701874, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3806549855701874, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.38955070662158364, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.30164053165713656, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.008895721051396244, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07901445391305084, "price_path": [-0.3374, -0.3232, -0.3352, -0.2503, -0.2607, -0.2155, -0.2441, -0.2441, -0.2517, -0.2692, -0.243, -0.2097, -0.2126, -0.1996, -0.203, -0.1733, -0.1557, -0.1213, -0.1645, -0.1845, -0.1826, -0.1838, -0.1605, -0.1451, -0.1727, -0.1505, -0.1749, -0.2001, -0.1483, -0.1556, -0.1541, -0.1094, -0.0822, -0.0902, -0.0865, -0.1303, -0.1135, -0.0858, -0.079, -0.1392, -0.1565, -0.1489, -0.1247, -0.1357, -0.1288, -0.1759, -0.1697, -0.167, -0.167, -0.1926, -0.1927, -0.176, -0.1893, -0.0609, -0.0512, -0.0595, -0.0572, -0.0789, -0.0806, -0.0601, -0.05, -0.0319, -0.0009, 0.0, 0.0105, 0.0153, -0.0179, -0.0249, 0.0947, 0.1464, 0.1141, 0.1666, 0.1904, 0.1551, 0.161, 0.208, 0.2208, 0.1127, 0.1264, 0.0806, 0.0741, 0.0524, 0.0402, 0.0874, 0.0556, 0.0187, 0.0756, 0.1193, 0.1679, 0.171, 0.1594, 0.1055, 0.1753, 0.1777, 0.0954, 0.1408, 0.0175, 0.0438, 0.088, 0.0564, 0.0648, -0.0269, -0.0191, -0.0714, -0.0848, -0.0539, -0.1496, -0.1408, -0.0794, -0.0746, 0.0265, 0.0265, 0.0288, -0.0132, 0.0085, 0.0701, 0.0976, 0.0565, 0.0924, 0.0866, 0.0862, -0.0121, -0.0432, -0.0771, -0.044, -0.0728, -0.0619, -0.0283, -0.0202, -0.0372, -0.0356, -0.0356, -0.0541, -0.0597, -0.0756, -0.0944, -0.0944, -0.0775, -0.0132, -0.0255, -0.0634, -0.0761, -0.077, -0.059, -0.0372, -0.0418, -0.1164, -0.1293, -0.1293, -0.153, -0.1519, -0.1493, -0.1433, -0.1432, -0.1573, -0.1721, -0.1894, -0.2035, -0.2801, -0.3028, -0.3545, -0.418, -0.3369, -0.3069, -0.3146, -0.3757, -0.4305, -0.3917, -0.3917, -0.3959, -0.3978, -0.3943, -0.3906, -0.4253, -0.4124, -0.3792, -0.3638, -0.3927, -0.3692, -0.3909, -0.3417, -0.355, -0.3827, -0.3646, -0.3712, -0.3699, -0.3905, -0.4124, -0.397, -0.3807]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1991147080920989793", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-19T14:10:32+00:00", "symbol": "TSSI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSSI has high upside on the drop from $30 to $7 since it was an overreaction to temporary Q3 operational scaling bottlenecks and factory cost not underlying demand", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Strong buy TSSI on valuation dislocation; downgrade IREN on GPU orchestration execution risk; secondary longs on SMCI and DELL ramp.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSSI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Sure happy to explain further than the TLDR on why I've downgraded $IREN and upgraded $TSSI a strong buy.  $TSSI has high upside on the drop from $30 to $7 since it was an overreaction to temporary Q3 operational scaling bottlenecks and factory cost not underlying demand. \n\nIt's well capitalized to piggybak off of Dell rampup, which doubled its AI serve guidance to $20B. Likewise $SMCI faced similar issues with short term misses, but massive ramp ups in revenue guidance around Q2 2026 like Dell. With $SMCI, $DELL, $TSSI It's a temporary valuation dislocation on delayed order, primary cataylst for TSSI was FY 2026 Dell AI Rack volume and it's a strong buy on valuadtion dip.  \n\nAs for $IREN, it got DGed on the $MSFT contract due to increased risk from buying billions in GPUs and infrastructure from Dell.   They shifted from original models with colo to buying the GPUs and buying a more full-stack offering (you can debate semantics over this whether you want to call iaas full-stack vs token cloud ).\nScheduling, monitoring allocation, fault recoveriy, cluster prov, container rutime, etc for GPU orchestation needed to deliver compute to $MSFT is not exactly simple. But there's more that $NBIS, $CWV does with model APis, inference runetimes, (platform/runtime layer) on top.   \n\nThere's probably additional debt offerings to raise another few billion+ for the $5.8B capex on top of customer pre-payment + monetizing the rest of their capacity.   \n\nBut going back to the earlier point main concern is execution risk over GPU orchestration and maintaining the stack, which people keep downplaying over and over. If $CRWV said software was their moat, and they spent billions in acquisitions/years to develop, and $ORCL had a lot of trouble with their buildout + maintaining margins, then it's likely challenging than people keep saying to do GPU infrastructure offerings compared to the de-risked models $CIFR / $WULF do, especially with it's a new miner pivot.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $TSSI is a strong buy, but $IREN is a buy?!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MuShannak", "ret_m1d": 0.04894178417454409, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04894178417454409, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05279011743577655, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05584634679064071, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0038483332612324617, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006904562616096621, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.025132282891341173, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.025132282891341173, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04037452835114075, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05652346066090186, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015242245459799575, "bench_c_p1d": -0.031391177769560685, "ret_p1w": 0.24338620233828068, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.24338620233828068, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.21765536593649215, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.23338507506719708, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.025730836401788526, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010001127271083599, "ret_p1m": -0.03571428346165362, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03571428346165362, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05660068310563904, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04322408718034121, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02088639964398542, "bench_c_p1m": 0.007509803718687591, "ret_p3m": 0.076719630282162, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.076719630282162, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.04482477241982252, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08179714242210911, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031894857862339476, "bench_c_p3m": -0.005077512139947116, "ret_p6m": 0.4973544683205726, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4973544683205726, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3618338141104027, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.21610882832739065, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1355206542101699, "bench_c_p6m": 0.281245639993182, "price_path": [1.037, 0.9669, 1.1164, 1.0635, 1.041, 0.8426, 0.8426, 0.7249, 0.6376, 0.7116, 0.8135, 0.7897, 0.9048, 1.1111, 1.0754, 1.0833, 1.1164, 0.9048, 1.0093, 1.0079, 1.1045, 1.4603, 1.4272, 1.3108, 1.3161, 1.336, 1.4458, 1.3955, 1.4815, 1.5066, 1.377, 1.3757, 1.5754, 1.7011, 1.6296, 1.3373, 1.4775, 1.4272, 1.3889, 1.2672, 1.1429, 1.2341, 1.2738, 1.1468, 1.2553, 1.4114, 1.4153, 1.3545, 1.3333, 1.381, 1.6799, 1.5542, 1.3968, 1.3294, 1.1601, 1.1971, 1.246, 1.131, 1.1376, 1.0172, 0.1429, 0.0648, 0.0489, 0.0, 0.0251, 0.0251, 0.0648, 0.0966, 0.2434, 0.2434, 0.2738, 0.2077, 0.1772, 0.2037, 0.2513, 0.1415, 0.1627, 0.1561, 0.1204, 0.0979, 0.0026, -0.0556, -0.0106, -0.078, -0.0357, -0.0013, 0.0251, -0.0026, -0.0132, -0.0132, -0.0595, -0.0847, -0.0767, -0.0648, -0.0648, 0.0172, 0.0833, 0.1614, 0.0979, 0.1349, 0.1283, 0.2249, 0.2659, 0.3981, 0.4762, 0.5939, 0.5939, 0.4709, 0.5106, 0.4775, 0.4815, 0.3638, 0.4325, 0.3849, 0.3981, 0.3492, 0.336, 0.2659, 0.1627, 0.0291, 0.2011, 0.213, 0.1323, 0.131, 0.0595, 0.0767, 0.0767, 0.0503, 0.0648, 0.0569, 0.0304, 0.0, 0.1177, 0.1429, 0.172, 0.3664, 0.328, 0.295, 0.3175, 0.2566, 0.1984, 0.3214, 0.4616, 0.5794, 0.6839, 0.5807, 0.6032, 0.5503, 0.4378, 0.4431, 0.4484, 0.6402, 0.7169, 0.7646, 0.6825, 0.5476, 0.5635, 0.7209, 0.8452, 0.7619, 0.7619, 0.7262, 0.6997, 0.7593, 0.7354, 0.6429, 0.963, 0.9153, 0.877, 0.9802, 0.9722, 0.9365, 0.9153, 1.205, 1.0899, 1.0833, 0.996, 1.0119, 0.877, 1.0265, 0.9828, 0.9259, 1.1032, 1.2606, 1.0952, 0.5899, 0.6138, 0.5384, 0.5317, 0.4974]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1991147080920989793", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-19T14:10:32+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$IREN, it got DGed on the $MSFT contract due to increased risk from buying billions in GPUs and infrastructure from Dell", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Strong buy TSSI on valuation dislocation; downgrade IREN on GPU orchestration execution risk; secondary longs on SMCI and DELL ramp.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Sure happy to explain further than the TLDR on why I've downgraded $IREN and upgraded $TSSI a strong buy.  $TSSI has high upside on the drop from $30 to $7 since it was an overreaction to temporary Q3 operational scaling bottlenecks and factory cost not underlying demand. \n\nIt's well capitalized to piggybak off of Dell rampup, which doubled its AI serve guidance to $20B. Likewise $SMCI faced similar issues with short term misses, but massive ramp ups in revenue guidance around Q2 2026 like Dell. With $SMCI, $DELL, $TSSI It's a temporary valuation dislocation on delayed order, primary cataylst for TSSI was FY 2026 Dell AI Rack volume and it's a strong buy on valuadtion dip.  \n\nAs for $IREN, it got DGed on the $MSFT contract due to increased risk from buying billions in GPUs and infrastructure from Dell.   They shifted from original models with colo to buying the GPUs and buying a more full-stack offering (you can debate semantics over this whether you want to call iaas full-stack vs token cloud ).\nScheduling, monitoring allocation, fault recoveriy, cluster prov, container rutime, etc for GPU orchestation needed to deliver compute to $MSFT is not exactly simple. But there's more that $NBIS, $CWV does with model APis, inference runetimes, (platform/runtime layer) on top.   \n\nThere's probably additional debt offerings to raise another few billion+ for the $5.8B capex on top of customer pre-payment + monetizing the rest of their capacity.   \n\nBut going back to the earlier point main concern is execution risk over GPU orchestration and maintaining the stack, which people keep downplaying over and over. If $CRWV said software was their moat, and they spent billions in acquisitions/years to develop, and $ORCL had a lot of trouble with their buildout + maintaining margins, then it's likely challenging than people keep saying to do GPU infrastructure offerings compared to the de-risked models $CIFR / $WULF do, especially with it's a new miner pivot.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $TSSI is a strong buy, but $IREN is a buy?!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MuShannak", "ret_m1d": 0.06589562562530893, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06589562562530893, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06974395888654139, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06958072317767161, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0038483332612324617, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0036850975523626817, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05149466541701975, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05149466541701975, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03625241995722017, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.042766952044640205, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015242245459799575, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008727713372379542, "ret_p1w": 0.05716776843132121, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05716776843132121, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03143693202953268, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.030208892928977438, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.025730836401788526, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02695887550234377, "ret_p1m": -0.2188523280223338, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2188523280223338, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2397387276663192, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.27664905445632115, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02088639964398542, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05779672643398737, "ret_p3m": -0.07876937521537264, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07876937521537264, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11066423307771212, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08401609264948617, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031894857862339476, "bench_c_p3m": 0.005246717434113535, "ret_p6m": 0.2742744750733723, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2742744750733723, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.13875382086320243, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2709030298369324, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1355206542101699, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0033714452364399516, "price_path": [-0.5324, -0.4955, -0.4984, -0.5122, -0.4973, -0.4222, -0.4222, -0.3648, -0.3845, -0.4298, -0.4294, -0.4285, -0.3413, -0.2662, -0.2832, -0.259, -0.1896, -0.2047, -0.173, -0.2075, -0.1569, -0.0858, -0.0886, 0.0286, 0.01, -0.0866, 0.0022, 0.024, 0.0273, 0.026, 0.101, 0.2601, 0.3458, 0.3111, 0.3932, 0.3042, 0.3995, 0.5178, 0.4833, 0.3491, 0.3249, 0.2922, 0.2043, 0.1309, 0.2189, 0.3725, 0.4181, 0.362, 0.3184, 0.2703, 0.3256, 0.4783, 0.4539, 0.6672, 0.4611, 0.3611, 0.3129, 0.252, 0.2154, 0.0615, 0.0118, 0.0345, 0.0659, 0.0, -0.0515, -0.0779, 0.058, 0.0358, 0.0572, 0.0572, 0.0432, 0.058, -0.1028, -0.0408, 0.0135, -0.0244, 0.0111, 0.022, -0.0417, -0.0412, -0.1244, -0.2258, -0.2016, -0.2629, -0.2189, -0.129, -0.0827, -0.082, -0.084, -0.084, -0.1207, -0.1401, -0.1643, -0.1759, -0.1759, -0.0683, 0.0526, 0.0017, -0.0481, -0.0033, 0.0044, 0.0982, 0.1562, 0.1538, 0.1322, 0.2616, 0.2616, 0.1839, 0.1669, 0.1403, 0.2367, 0.1425, 0.309, 0.3733, 0.3057, 0.1726, 0.1582, 0.1868, -0.0194, -0.1318, -0.0873, 0.007, -0.0633, -0.069, -0.1266, -0.0788, -0.0788, -0.106, -0.0818, -0.0554, -0.1276, -0.0757, -0.0083, -0.0393, -0.0347, -0.1065, -0.0969, -0.1523, -0.0434, -0.1245, -0.1992, -0.1525, -0.1682, -0.084, -0.0973, -0.0927, -0.0194, -0.0626, -0.079, -0.091, -0.0991, -0.0801, -0.1028, -0.096, -0.1828, -0.2343, -0.3101, -0.252, -0.2562, -0.2413, -0.2413, -0.2335, -0.2202, -0.1964, -0.1914, -0.142, -0.0602, 0.0336, 0.0652, 0.0408, 0.05, 0.0631, -0.0144, 0.0559, 0.1351, 0.105, 0.0552, -0.0303, -0.0648, -0.007, -0.0037, 0.0796, 0.1944, 0.3306, 0.2405, 0.3354, 0.2034, 0.2341, 0.2038, 0.2743]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1991147080920989793", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-11-19T14:10:32+00:00", "symbol": "SMCI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SMCI faced similar issues with short term misses, but massive ramp ups in revenue guidance around Q2 2026 like Dell", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Strong buy TSSI on valuation dislocation; downgrade IREN on GPU orchestration execution risk; secondary longs on SMCI and DELL ramp.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMCI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Sure happy to explain further than the TLDR on why I've downgraded $IREN and upgraded $TSSI a strong buy.  $TSSI has high upside on the drop from $30 to $7 since it was an overreaction to temporary Q3 operational scaling bottlenecks and factory cost not underlying demand. \n\nIt's well capitalized to piggybak off of Dell rampup, which doubled its AI serve guidance to $20B. Likewise $SMCI faced similar issues with short term misses, but massive ramp ups in revenue guidance around Q2 2026 like Dell. With $SMCI, $DELL, $TSSI It's a temporary valuation dislocation on delayed order, primary cataylst for TSSI was FY 2026 Dell AI Rack volume and it's a strong buy on valuadtion dip.  \n\nAs for $IREN, it got DGed on the $MSFT contract due to increased risk from buying billions in GPUs and infrastructure from Dell.   They shifted from original models with colo to buying the GPUs and buying a more full-stack offering (you can debate semantics over this whether you want to call iaas full-stack vs token cloud ).\nScheduling, monitoring allocation, fault recoveriy, cluster prov, container rutime, etc for GPU orchestation needed to deliver compute to $MSFT is not exactly simple. But there's more that $NBIS, $CWV does with model APis, inference runetimes, (platform/runtime layer) on top.   \n\nThere's probably additional debt offerings to raise another few billion+ for the $5.8B capex on top of customer pre-payment + monetizing the rest of their capacity.   \n\nBut going back to the earlier point main concern is execution risk over GPU orchestration and maintaining the stack, which people keep downplaying over and over. If $CRWV said software was their moat, and they spent billions in acquisitions/years to develop, and $ORCL had a lot of trouble with their buildout + maintaining margins, then it's likely challenging than people keep saying to do GPU infrastructure offerings compared to the de-risked models $CIFR / $WULF do, especially with it's a new miner pivot.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $TSSI is a strong buy, but $IREN is a buy?!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MuShannak", "ret_m1d": 0.034687281337715925, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.034687281337715925, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03853561459894839, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.041591843953812546, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0038483332612324617, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006904562616096621, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06433442353228302, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06433442353228302, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04909217807248345, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03294324576272234, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015242245459799575, "bench_c_p1d": -0.031391177769560685, "ret_p1w": -0.02668241101084734, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02668241101084734, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.052413247412635866, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03668353828193094, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.025730836401788526, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010001127271083599, "ret_p1m": -0.12926174806327484, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12926174806327484, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15014814770726026, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13677155178196243, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02088639964398542, "bench_c_p1m": 0.007509803718687591, "ret_p3m": -0.094574523273103, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.094574523273103, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12646938113544248, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08949701113315589, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031894857862339476, "bench_c_p3m": -0.005077512139947116, "ret_p6m": -0.02075306173849545, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.02075306173849545, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.15627371594866535, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3019987017316774, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1355206542101699, "bench_c_p6m": 0.281245639993182, "price_path": [0.3009, 0.3066, 0.3151, 0.327, 0.3036, 0.2315, 0.2315, 0.209, 0.1889, 0.2066, 0.198, 0.1871, 0.2725, 0.3018, 0.303, 0.3341, 0.3454, 0.3315, 0.3312, 0.362, 0.3581, 0.3896, 0.3931, 0.3697, 0.3709, 0.3584, 0.3744, 0.4213, 0.5532, 0.5565, 0.5405, 0.6193, 0.6327, 0.7397, 0.7189, 0.5672, 0.6232, 0.5746, 0.5992, 0.5962, 0.547, 0.6318, 0.6253, 0.5565, 0.4207, 0.4317, 0.5289, 0.5523, 0.5621, 0.4933, 0.5405, 0.5046, 0.4053, 0.2461, 0.196, 0.1788, 0.1915, 0.1509, 0.1239, 0.0403, 0.0798, 0.011, 0.0347, 0.0, -0.0643, -0.0457, -0.0122, -0.0371, -0.0267, -0.0267, 0.0036, -0.0095, -0.024, -0.0015, 0.0148, 0.0285, 0.0486, 0.0382, 0.0347, 0.0086, -0.0415, -0.07, -0.0614, -0.1153, -0.1293, -0.0777, -0.0789, -0.0881, -0.0943, -0.0943, -0.0916, -0.1082, -0.121, -0.1322, -0.1322, -0.0821, -0.1085, -0.0946, -0.1103, -0.1135, -0.1058, -0.107, -0.1521, -0.1619, -0.1278, -0.0323, -0.0323, -0.0688, -0.0442, -0.0379, -0.0602, -0.0869, -0.075, -0.0747, -0.107, -0.137, -0.1192, -0.1204, 0.0009, -0.0854, 0.0193, -0.0059, -0.0119, -0.0501, -0.0978, -0.0946, -0.0946, -0.1073, -0.1192, -0.0465, -0.0388, -0.0895, -0.0771, -0.0039, -0.043, -0.0397, -0.0563, -0.0904, -0.032, -0.0442, -0.0717, -0.0519, -0.0575, -0.0575, -0.0839, -0.0883, -0.0554, -0.0658, -0.1002, -0.0872, -0.3913, -0.3602, -0.3409, -0.287, -0.3415, -0.3487, -0.3756, -0.3249, -0.3326, -0.3116, -0.3116, -0.3463, -0.3279, -0.3071, -0.3116, -0.2511, -0.2301, -0.1936, -0.1909, -0.158, -0.1533, -0.1459, -0.1571, -0.1349, -0.2069, -0.1379, -0.1743, -0.1921, -0.2197, -0.1877, -0.1969, -0.1723, -0.1749, 0.0276, -0.0033, 0.0486, -0.0062, -0.0279, -0.0513, -0.0208]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1991147080920989793", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-11-19T14:10:32+00:00", "symbol": "DELL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's well capitalized to piggybak off of Dell rampup, which doubled its AI serve guidance to $20B", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Strong buy TSSI on valuation dislocation; downgrade IREN on GPU orchestration execution risk; secondary longs on SMCI and DELL ramp.", "resolved_tickers": ["DELL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Sure happy to explain further than the TLDR on why I've downgraded $IREN and upgraded $TSSI a strong buy.  $TSSI has high upside on the drop from $30 to $7 since it was an overreaction to temporary Q3 operational scaling bottlenecks and factory cost not underlying demand. \n\nIt's well capitalized to piggybak off of Dell rampup, which doubled its AI serve guidance to $20B. Likewise $SMCI faced similar issues with short term misses, but massive ramp ups in revenue guidance around Q2 2026 like Dell. With $SMCI, $DELL, $TSSI It's a temporary valuation dislocation on delayed order, primary cataylst for TSSI was FY 2026 Dell AI Rack volume and it's a strong buy on valuadtion dip.  \n\nAs for $IREN, it got DGed on the $MSFT contract due to increased risk from buying billions in GPUs and infrastructure from Dell.   They shifted from original models with colo to buying the GPUs and buying a more full-stack offering (you can debate semantics over this whether you want to call iaas full-stack vs token cloud ).\nScheduling, monitoring allocation, fault recoveriy, cluster prov, container rutime, etc for GPU orchestation needed to deliver compute to $MSFT is not exactly simple. But there's more that $NBIS, $CWV does with model APis, inference runetimes, (platform/runtime layer) on top.   \n\nThere's probably additional debt offerings to raise another few billion+ for the $5.8B capex on top of customer pre-payment + monetizing the rest of their capacity.   \n\nBut going back to the earlier point main concern is execution risk over GPU orchestration and maintaining the stack, which people keep downplaying over and over. If $CRWV said software was their moat, and they spent billions in acquisitions/years to develop, and $ORCL had a lot of trouble with their buildout + maintaining margins, then it's likely challenging than people keep saying to do GPU infrastructure offerings compared to the de-risked models $CIFR / $WULF do, especially with it's a new miner pivot.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $TSSI is a strong buy, but $IREN is a buy?!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MuShannak", "ret_m1d": 0.027726708407265432, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.027726708407265432, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.031575041668497894, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.034631271023362054, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0038483332612324617, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006904562616096621, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.016585623149124373, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.016585623149124373, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0013433776893247984, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014805554620436312, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015242245459799575, "bench_c_p1d": -0.031391177769560685, "ret_p1w": 0.11626741128577511, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11626741128577511, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09053657488398659, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10626628401469151, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.025730836401788526, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010001127271083599, "ret_p1m": 0.029820820876119924, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.029820820876119924, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.008934421232134504, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.022311017157432333, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02088639964398542, "bench_c_p1m": 0.007509803718687591, "ret_p3m": -0.011526182007502106, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.011526182007502106, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04342103986984158, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.00644866986755499, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031894857862339476, "bench_c_p3m": -0.005077512139947116, "ret_p6m": 1.0920159096917539, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.0920159096917539, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.956495255481584, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.8107702696985719, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1355206542101699, "bench_c_p6m": 0.281245639993182, "price_path": [0.0921, 0.0935, 0.0934, 0.106, 0.1189, 0.0196, 0.0196, 0.0096, 0.0352, 0.0573, 0.0419, 0.0267, 0.0124, 0.0388, 0.0464, 0.0437, 0.0584, 0.0657, 0.0879, 0.1027, 0.1013, 0.1326, 0.1213, 0.1025, 0.0931, 0.0914, 0.1176, 0.1833, 0.2494, 0.2301, 0.1747, 0.2166, 0.2593, 0.3733, 0.3017, 0.2568, 0.2804, 0.2418, 0.2829, 0.263, 0.2486, 0.2343, 0.2517, 0.2576, 0.2919, 0.3289, 0.3586, 0.3811, 0.3704, 0.3487, 0.3571, 0.3412, 0.2954, 0.2767, 0.2496, 0.2288, 0.1953, 0.1623, 0.1787, 0.122, 0.1205, 0.026, 0.0277, 0.0, -0.0166, 0.0262, 0.0657, 0.0548, 0.1163, 0.1163, 0.117, 0.1065, 0.1388, 0.1194, 0.1643, 0.1636, 0.1762, 0.1578, 0.178, 0.161, 0.0888, 0.0932, 0.1204, 0.0713, 0.0298, 0.059, 0.0606, 0.069, 0.0754, 0.0754, 0.0826, 0.0677, 0.0715, 0.0544, 0.0544, 0.0705, 0.0388, 0.0381, 0.0058, -0.0074, 0.0104, 0.0091, 0.0023, -0.0058, 0.0023, 0.0096, 0.0096, -0.0655, -0.0471, -0.0142, -0.0289, -0.0247, -0.0353, -0.013, -0.0031, -0.0372, 0.0025, -0.0144, 0.0268, -0.0292, 0.0184, 0.0172, 0.0602, 0.0446, -0.0508, -0.0115, -0.0115, -0.0233, -0.0175, 0.0017, 0.0287, 0.0024, 0.0077, 0.0389, 0.0218, 0.2458, 0.2919, 0.2214, 0.2376, 0.2327, 0.2324, 0.2326, 0.2098, 0.2399, 0.2612, 0.2756, 0.317, 0.2873, 0.2553, 0.3189, 0.3265, 0.3847, 0.4884, 0.5481, 0.4792, 0.4455, 0.3853, 0.3809, 0.425, 0.467, 0.467, 0.457, 0.495, 0.5604, 0.5267, 0.4959, 0.5968, 0.5523, 0.4915, 0.6245, 0.6536, 0.7183, 0.7922, 0.8115, 0.7903, 0.8236, 0.8226, 0.7379, 0.7356, 0.7634, 0.7737, 0.7861, 0.8256, 1.0153, 0.9433, 1.1981, 1.0848, 1.0165, 1.0581, 1.092]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1968813225186893857", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-18T23:03:46+00:00", "symbol": "IBIT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm long $IBIT", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long IBIT and LTC; LTC catalysts include rate cuts, LTC reserves, and upcoming ETF, targeting $250+.", "resolved_tickers": ["IBIT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yeah I'm long $IBIT and $LTC. $BKKT only crypto small cap I'd consider re-entering. Never long though because of dilution. \n\nLitecoin gets rate cut tailwind, LTC reserves, and LTC ETF next month as catalysts. Just needs a narrative like $BMNR to go $250+ again.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Crypto but I know you had LTC loaded up. Should be up ~5-6%", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Dylanwith86", "ret_m1d": -0.016179802712429803, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.016179802712429803, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011529087780491554, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.011529087780491554, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004650714931938249, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004650714931938249, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.020674116156074396, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.020674116156074396, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.025626990931406413, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.025626990931406413, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004952874775332017, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004952874775332017, "ret_p1w": -0.06966294420792374, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06966294420792374, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06606072672087127, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06606072672087127, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0036022174870524726, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0036022174870524726, "ret_p1m": -0.09408237871605807, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09408237871605807, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10008003318981751, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10008003318981751, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0059976544737594395, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0059976544737594395, "ret_p3m": -0.2552809125921699, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2552809125921699, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2832036979724294, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2832036979724294, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.027922785380259496, "bench_c_p3m": 0.027922785380259496, "ret_p6m": -0.39520600851108967, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.39520600851108967, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.40098710425365647, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.40098710425365647, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0057810957425668, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0057810957425668, "price_path": [-0.121, -0.1002, -0.082, -0.084, -0.0903, -0.083, -0.1035, -0.0649, -0.0683, -0.0683, -0.0801, -0.0739, -0.0475, -0.0337, 0.0069, 0.0214, -0.0088, 0.0162, 0.0135, -0.001, -0.0063, 0.016, 0.0081, 0.0136, -0.0058, 0.0052, -0.0006, -0.0057, -0.0064, -0.0379, -0.0232, -0.033, -0.0186, 0.0012, -0.0093, 0.0133, 0.018, 0.0463, 0.0042, -0.0046, -0.0105, -0.0384, -0.0277, -0.0458, -0.0075, -0.058, -0.0547, -0.0464, -0.0475, -0.0796, -0.0796, -0.0566, -0.0446, -0.0659, -0.0499, -0.0457, -0.0529, -0.0333, -0.0258, -0.0055, -0.0187, -0.0057, -0.0162, 0.0, -0.0207, -0.0464, -0.05, -0.0349, -0.0697, -0.0721, -0.0267, -0.0262, -0.0001, 0.0303, 0.0458, 0.068, 0.0357, 0.0496, 0.0298, -0.0082, -0.0141, -0.0425, -0.0536, -0.0797, -0.0941, -0.0572, -0.0488, -0.083, -0.0628, -0.0587, -0.022, -0.0339, -0.0599, -0.0951, -0.0667, -0.0932, -0.1434, -0.1173, -0.1422, -0.1179, -0.0983, -0.1258, -0.1372, -0.1672, -0.1989, -0.2195, -0.2111, -0.24, -0.2665, -0.2813, -0.2424, -0.2575, -0.2355, -0.2355, -0.2277, -0.2734, -0.2259, -0.2099, -0.2133, -0.2406, -0.2282, -0.2082, -0.2136, -0.2195, -0.233, -0.271, -0.2553, -0.2703, -0.2815, -0.2523, -0.2496, -0.2562, -0.259, -0.259, -0.2568, -0.2602, -0.2535, -0.2562, -0.2562, -0.2369, -0.1991, -0.2142, -0.2279, -0.2282, -0.2336, -0.2229, -0.1975, -0.1694, -0.191, -0.1874, -0.1874, -0.2396, -0.2343, -0.2409, -0.2404, -0.2562, -0.2415, -0.2433, -0.2869, -0.2885, -0.3375, -0.3513, -0.3772, -0.4592, -0.4055, -0.3991, -0.4162, -0.4264, -0.4449, -0.4162, -0.4162, -0.4249, -0.4376, -0.4297, -0.4244, -0.4524, -0.4527, -0.4123, -0.4268, -0.4428, -0.4128, -0.4202, -0.3792, -0.3949, -0.4217, -0.4138, -0.4051, -0.3997, -0.4015, -0.3952]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1968813225186893857", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-18T23:03:46+00:00", "symbol": "LTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm long $IBIT and $LTC. Litecoin gets rate cut tailwind, LTC reserves, and LTC ETF next month as catalysts. Just needs a narrative like $BMNR to go $250+ again", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long IBIT and LTC; LTC catalysts include rate cuts, LTC reserves, and upcoming ETF, targeting $250+.", "resolved_tickers": ["LTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yeah I'm long $IBIT and $LTC. $BKKT only crypto small cap I'd consider re-entering. Never long though because of dilution. \n\nLitecoin gets rate cut tailwind, LTC reserves, and LTC ETF next month as catalysts. Just needs a narrative like $BMNR to go $250+ again.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Crypto but I know you had LTC loaded up. Should be up ~5-6%", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Dylanwith86", "ret_m1d": -0.010422134745152078, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010422134745152078, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0057714198132138295, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004650714931938249, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.0349674029677276, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0349674029677276, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03992027774305962, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004952874775332017, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.13612377717986468, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.13612377717986468, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1325215596928122, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0036022174870524726, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.23800346185211474, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.23800346185211474, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.24400111632587418, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0059976544737594395, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.3314990802822356, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3314990802822356, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3594218656624951, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.027922785380259496, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.5323474346832011, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5323474346832011, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5381285304257679, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0057810957425668, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2802, -0.2829, -0.2841, -0.2873, -0.2827, -0.2729, -0.2961, -0.2618, -0.2474, -0.2655, -0.2721, -0.2586, -0.2331, -0.1984, -0.2031, -0.192, -0.1855, -0.1755, -0.1408, -0.1403, -0.0204, 0.0123, -0.0513, -0.0503, -0.0376, -0.0818, -0.0823, -0.0654, -0.1018, -0.0982, 0.0249, 0.017, 0.0087, 0.0377, 0.0474, 0.0171, 0.1032, 0.1075, 0.0257, 0.0066, -0.0047, -0.0489, -0.0189, -0.0306, 0.0383, -0.0746, -0.0403, -0.0518, -0.0381, -0.0706, -0.0822, -0.0557, -0.0449, -0.0606, -0.0521, -0.0469, -0.0534, -0.0059, -0.0203, -0.0009, -0.0379, -0.0273, -0.0104, 0.0, -0.035, -0.1052, -0.1024, -0.1069, -0.1361, -0.1152, -0.0966, -0.0961, -0.0265, 0.0116, 0.0191, 0.0006, -0.0101, 0.0032, 0.0649, -0.1829, -0.1581, -0.1767, -0.1933, -0.2239, -0.238, -0.2042, -0.2162, -0.2227, -0.2048, -0.1848, -0.1597, -0.1821, -0.1666, -0.2104, -0.1925, -0.261, -0.2772, -0.2427, -0.2644, -0.1393, -0.1189, -0.1573, -0.1752, -0.1815, -0.1754, -0.2285, -0.1912, -0.2147, -0.2621, -0.3015, -0.2772, -0.2789, -0.2654, -0.2675, -0.2871, -0.3439, -0.2998, -0.2729, -0.2934, -0.3194, -0.2905, -0.2719, -0.2854, -0.2986, -0.3073, -0.3439, -0.3315, -0.358, -0.3719, -0.3447, -0.3489, -0.3495, -0.3595, -0.3601, -0.3503, -0.3381, -0.334, -0.3508, -0.3249, -0.3081, -0.2933, -0.2902, -0.3098, -0.313, -0.312, -0.3569, -0.3394, -0.3511, -0.3902, -0.3636, -0.402, -0.4329, -0.4215, -0.4239, -0.4247, -0.4103, -0.4084, -0.4133, -0.441, -0.4474, -0.4927, -0.4989, -0.5029, -0.5714, -0.5344, -0.54, -0.5491, -0.5583, -0.551, -0.5343, -0.5346, -0.5443, -0.5494, -0.5547, -0.5332, -0.5666, -0.5674, -0.5208, -0.5297, -0.5389, -0.5388, -0.5368, -0.5198, -0.5309, -0.545, -0.5458, -0.5447, -0.5371, -0.5385, -0.5323]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2011337908117258489", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-14T07:21:40+00:00", "symbol": "SOUN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's a solid long but upside is more limited with 23x fwd sales", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Rates SOUN a solid long but flags limited upside at $4.5B valuation / 23x fwd sales.", "resolved_tickers": ["SOUN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My opinion on $SOUN is that it’s already largely priced in with extreme premiums at $4.5b.\n\n$269m cash, debt free. But $14.5M loss q/q ($105m is just optics), growing revenue 68% y/y off $170m fw revenue is decent.\n\nIt’s a solid long but upside is more limited with 23x fwd sales. Who knows I could be wrong", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit SOUN!? Really curious about this one cause I’ve rlly close to buying. Keep the the great work btw", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "predato45575471", "ret_m1d": -0.01773047996451116, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01773047996451116, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.022669996200783804, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.022669996200783804, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004939516236272645, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004939516236272645, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.031914863936120086, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.031914863936120086, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.034638078332649536, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.034638078332649536, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027232143965294497, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0027232143965294497, "ret_p1w": -0.058510626155685475, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.058510626155685475, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05132599615575284, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05132599615575284, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007184629999932635, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007184629999932635, "ret_p1m": -0.3386524632317538, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3386524632317538, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3254855026539125, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3254855026539125, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01316696057784128, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01316696057784128, "ret_p3m": -0.39361699339453704, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.39361699339453704, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.39016044904527336, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.39016044904527336, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0034565443492636794, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0034565443492636794, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.6862, 0.6897, 0.6161, 0.5745, 0.617, 0.594, 0.625, 0.57, 0.609, 0.4956, 0.5621, 0.5168, 0.3413, 0.3936, 0.2615, 0.2535, 0.2775, 0.1915, 0.1738, 0.0833, 0.0789, 0.0133, 0.0222, 0.031, 0.0009, -0.0053, 0.0594, 0.0585, 0.0479, 0.0479, 0.0683, 0.0213, -0.0053, 0.0443, 0.1348, 0.1312, 0.1241, 0.0913, 0.0824, 0.0665, 0.0328, -0.0434, -0.0151, -0.0257, -0.0346, -0.023, -0.0009, -0.0248, -0.0337, -0.0337, -0.0514, -0.0771, -0.1099, -0.1161, -0.1161, -0.0603, -0.0248, -0.0044, -0.0195, -0.023, 0.0417, 0.0257, -0.0177, 0.0, -0.0319, -0.016, -0.016, -0.0736, -0.0585, -0.0337, -0.0842, -0.1277, -0.1188, -0.141, -0.195, -0.25, -0.2535, -0.2677, -0.2846, -0.3484, -0.2411, -0.219, -0.2686, -0.2943, -0.3387, -0.3387, -0.3387, -0.3511, -0.3316, -0.3059, -0.3067, -0.3059, -0.2589, -0.2447, -0.2039, -0.2376, -0.2358, -0.2456, -0.2766, -0.2668, -0.2846, -0.2713, -0.2996, -0.3094, -0.3378, -0.3528, -0.3316, -0.3067, -0.3449, -0.3905, -0.4193, -0.3892, -0.4362, -0.4255, -0.4628, -0.477, -0.4654, -0.391, -0.4078, -0.3989, -0.3989, -0.406, -0.406, -0.398, -0.4193, -0.43, -0.3936, -0.3821, -0.3041, -0.3174, -0.2837, -0.2624, -0.3041, -0.2713, -0.3067, -0.2739, -0.2766, -0.2855, -0.3165, -0.2943, -0.1525, -0.1605, -0.1897, -0.1693, -0.1463, -0.2128, -0.2509, -0.2855, -0.2535, -0.2447, -0.2544, -0.2598, -0.2509, -0.2509, -0.2624, -0.2757, -0.2757, -0.2793, -0.2837, -0.2411, -0.2021, -0.2021, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1996228410109251981", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-03T14:41:55+00:00", "symbol": "UBER", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Probably multiple winners (eg. $LYFT + $UBER) for ridesharing since it's a huge market", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Expects multiple ridesharing winners including Uber and Lyft given the massive market size.", "resolved_tickers": ["UBER"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'd frame it more of $UBER + $NBIS Avride vs. $TSLA vs. $GOOGL Waymo. \n\nTesla has its standalone app. Waymo has a standalone app. Both are competing vs Uber (which has the largest network)\n\nIf I were Uber, I'd grow with Avride on this so they don't just funnel users to Waymo's app. \n\nProbably multiple winners (eg. $LYFT + $UBER) for ridesharing since it's a huge market.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thanks @aleabitoreddit . I’m still sceptical of Avride in competing with companies like Tesla bought I hope I am wrong and and it can win as well as I’m a big holder of Nebius", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "halldj00", "ret_m1d": -0.034296433611437194, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.034296433611437194, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.030845615201028798, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.030845615201028798, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003450818410408396, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003450818410408396, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0034185879747516967, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0034185879747516967, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0026875318207533194, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0026875318207533194, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0007310561539983773, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0007310561539983773, "ret_p1w": -0.07190115373978734, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07190115373978734, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07728215785820503, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07728215785820503, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005381004118417687, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005381004118417687, "ret_p1m": -0.09891928970572728, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09891928970572728, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09898508027182673, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09898508027182673, "bench_spy_p1m": 6.57905660994551e-05, "bench_c_p1m": 6.57905660994551e-05, "ret_p3m": -0.16243938362771315, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.16243938362771315, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.16904599508595242, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.16904599508595242, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006606611458239264, "bench_c_p3m": 0.006606611458239264, "ret_p6m": -0.217909153834692, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.217909153834692, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3275856177308847, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3275856177308847, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10967646389619268, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10967646389619268, "price_path": [0.0034, 0.0406, 0.0526, 0.0389, 0.0441, 0.0575, 0.0901, 0.0788, 0.025, 0.0443, 0.0863, 0.0961, 0.0785, 0.0783, 0.0763, 0.0857, 0.098, 0.0804, 0.0654, 0.0654, 0.0653, 0.1039, 0.0785, 0.0948, 0.0587, 0.03, 0.0375, 0.0394, 0.0423, 0.0203, 0.0179, 0.0333, 0.0259, 0.0169, 0.0433, 0.0374, 0.0633, 0.0524, 0.056, 0.0641, 0.0642, 0.0997, 0.044, 0.0228, 0.0159, 0.0144, 0.0377, 0.0322, 0.0319, 0.0121, 0.0104, 0.0158, 0.002, -0.0127, -0.0807, -0.0751, -0.0771, -0.0771, -0.0554, -0.0554, -0.0346, -0.0453, -0.0343, 0.0, 0.0034, 0.0071, 0.0208, -0.0178, -0.0719, -0.0578, -0.0614, -0.0973, -0.1076, -0.1273, -0.1212, -0.1254, -0.1039, -0.1071, -0.1051, -0.1051, -0.1039, -0.1012, -0.0944, -0.0989, -0.0989, -0.0862, -0.1096, -0.0567, -0.0495, -0.0341, -0.0578, -0.0663, -0.0581, -0.0665, -0.0695, -0.0643, -0.0643, -0.0768, -0.0708, -0.0895, -0.0923, -0.0959, -0.1041, -0.1202, -0.099, -0.1172, -0.1085, -0.1406, -0.1848, -0.1706, -0.1755, -0.1849, -0.1895, -0.2169, -0.2146, -0.2282, -0.2282, -0.2222, -0.1975, -0.1956, -0.1855, -0.2201, -0.2128, -0.1968, -0.1751, -0.1683, -0.1624, -0.1579, -0.1547, -0.1681, -0.1715, -0.1857, -0.202, -0.1732, -0.1953, -0.1913, -0.1767, -0.1421, -0.1546, -0.1692, -0.1852, -0.1716, -0.2022, -0.1941, -0.222, -0.2371, -0.229, -0.2068, -0.2092, -0.2078, -0.2078, -0.2041, -0.209, -0.2018, -0.2081, -0.2228, -0.2022, -0.196, -0.1478, -0.1566, -0.1495, -0.1455, -0.148, -0.1665, -0.1762, -0.1769, -0.1589, -0.1827, -0.1788, -0.1772, -0.1716, -0.1847, -0.1955, -0.1269, -0.1538, -0.168, -0.1602, -0.1579, -0.1762, -0.1763, -0.1719, -0.172, -0.183, -0.1773, -0.1882, -0.208, -0.208, -0.2267, -0.22, -0.2179]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1996228410109251981", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-03T14:41:55+00:00", "symbol": "LYFT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Probably multiple winners (eg. $LYFT + $UBER) for ridesharing since it's a huge market", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Expects multiple ridesharing winners including Uber and Lyft given the massive market size.", "resolved_tickers": ["LYFT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'd frame it more of $UBER + $NBIS Avride vs. $TSLA vs. $GOOGL Waymo. \n\nTesla has its standalone app. Waymo has a standalone app. Both are competing vs Uber (which has the largest network)\n\nIf I were Uber, I'd grow with Avride on this so they don't just funnel users to Waymo's app. \n\nProbably multiple winners (eg. $LYFT + $UBER) for ridesharing since it's a huge market.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thanks @aleabitoreddit . I’m still sceptical of Avride in competing with companies like Tesla bought I hope I am wrong and and it can win as well as I’m a big holder of Nebius", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "halldj00", "ret_m1d": -0.004030459153398613, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004030459153398613, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0005796407429902173, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0005796407429902173, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003450818410408396, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003450818410408396, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008508756592332523, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008508756592332523, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007777700438334145, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.007777700438334145, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0007310561539983773, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0007310561539983773, "ret_p1w": -0.0900134453985364, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0900134453985364, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09539444951695408, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09539444951695408, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005381004118417687, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005381004118417687, "ret_p1m": -0.13255705752736036, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.13255705752736036, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1326228480934598, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1326228480934598, "bench_spy_p1m": 6.57905660994551e-05, "bench_c_p1m": 6.57905660994551e-05, "ret_p3m": -0.38513212766918836, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.38513212766918836, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3917387391274276, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3917387391274276, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006606611458239264, "bench_c_p3m": 0.006606611458239264, "ret_p6m": -0.38110166851578975, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.38110166851578975, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4907781324119824, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4907781324119824, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10967646389619268, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10967646389619268, "price_path": [-0.2539, -0.2069, -0.1764, -0.1509, -0.1796, -0.1661, -0.0846, -0.0958, 0.0228, -0.0166, 0.0112, 0.0134, -0.0112, -0.0121, -0.034, -0.0206, 0.0269, -0.0143, -0.0228, 0.0125, -0.0152, -0.0264, -0.0515, -0.0524, -0.1169, -0.1379, -0.1048, -0.0985, -0.1043, -0.1102, -0.1254, -0.0949, -0.0757, -0.0927, -0.0788, -0.0833, -0.0761, -0.103, -0.1034, -0.1155, -0.0837, -0.0618, -0.1303, -0.1008, -0.0484, -0.013, 0.0622, 0.0828, 0.1003, 0.0658, 0.0363, -0.0336, -0.0282, -0.0502, -0.1151, -0.1142, -0.1097, -0.1209, -0.0972, -0.0972, -0.0582, -0.0399, -0.004, 0.0, 0.0085, 0.0287, 0.0072, -0.0246, -0.09, -0.0811, -0.0878, -0.1438, -0.1406, -0.1411, -0.1106, -0.1303, -0.1066, -0.1223, -0.1218, -0.1218, -0.1191, -0.1424, -0.1352, -0.1326, -0.1326, -0.1137, -0.1424, -0.1106, -0.1205, -0.1294, -0.1397, -0.1182, -0.1379, -0.1527, -0.1545, -0.1791, -0.1791, -0.185, -0.172, -0.185, -0.1984, -0.1948, -0.2145, -0.2297, -0.2051, -0.2445, -0.227, -0.2494, -0.2763, -0.2906, -0.2629, -0.2562, -0.2454, -0.3735, -0.4156, -0.4057, -0.4057, -0.4044, -0.386, -0.3775, -0.3753, -0.4048, -0.3941, -0.3999, -0.3686, -0.3802, -0.3851, -0.4084, -0.3802, -0.4098, -0.4066, -0.3838, -0.4066, -0.4039, -0.4201, -0.4147, -0.3932, -0.3712, -0.3972, -0.4008, -0.3968, -0.4026, -0.4107, -0.4062, -0.418, -0.4241, -0.4335, -0.4044, -0.4048, -0.4026, -0.4026, -0.3865, -0.3833, -0.3972, -0.408, -0.4075, -0.391, -0.386, -0.3435, -0.3408, -0.3305, -0.3542, -0.3395, -0.3533, -0.3717, -0.3623, -0.3511, -0.3632, -0.3578, -0.3663, -0.3542, -0.3704, -0.369, -0.3627, -0.3659, -0.3574, -0.3789, -0.3784, -0.3874, -0.4156, -0.4192, -0.4013, -0.4098, -0.4021, -0.3963, -0.3775, -0.3775, -0.3918, -0.3865, -0.3811]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1968580197139337237", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-18T07:37:48+00:00", "symbol": "ASAN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Not a fan unless you swing trade when it hits $12. High profit margins but they're burning so much for no forward rev growth.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish ASAN on cash burn with no forward rev growth; prefers UPWK for better risk/reward on balance sheet and profitability.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASAN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@LibertadEterno Not a fan unless you swing trade when it hits $12. High profit margins but they're burning so much for no forward rev growth.\n\n $UPWK better risk reward than $ASAN with balance sheet/profitability. \n\nAsana seems like something  where it could improve but not a obvious buy.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thanks for the tip. Could you look into $ASAN? Chart looks prime and the CEO has been buying his own shares relentlessly.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LibertadEterno", "ret_m1d": -0.0438413444299347, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0438413444299347, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.039190629497996454, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.039190629497996454, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004650714931938249, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004650714931938249, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011830207212790933, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011830207212790933, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01678308198812295, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01678308198812295, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004952874775332017, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004952874775332017, "ret_p1w": -0.027139898846810673, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.027139898846810673, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0235376813597582, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0235376813597582, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0036022174870524726, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0036022174870524726, "ret_p1m": -0.029923473110664678, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.029923473110664678, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03592112758442412, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03592112758442412, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0059976544737594395, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0059976544737594395, "ret_p3m": -0.006263058685082923, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.006263058685082923, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.03418584406534242, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03418584406534242, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.027922785380259496, "bench_c_p3m": 0.027922785380259496, "ret_p6m": -0.5121781291086556, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5121781291086556, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5179592248512224, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5179592248512224, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0057810957425668, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0057810957425668, "price_path": [-0.0891, -0.0814, -0.1002, -0.0724, -0.0759, -0.0605, -0.0487, -0.0598, -0.0278, -0.0278, -0.007, 0.0278, 0.0146, 0.0035, -0.0341, -0.016, -0.0466, -0.0195, 0.0028, 0.0445, 0.0313, 0.0459, 0.0522, 0.0397, 0.0369, 0.0459, 0.0585, 0.0682, 0.0216, -0.0251, -0.0007, -0.0181, 0.0202, -0.0167, -0.0578, -0.1093, -0.096, -0.032, -0.0411, -0.0362, -0.0174, -0.0397, -0.048, -0.0466, 0.007, -0.0153, -0.023, -0.0028, 0.0132, 0.016, 0.016, -0.0313, -0.0097, 0.0181, -0.0633, -0.0418, -0.032, -0.0759, -0.0397, -0.0807, -0.0675, -0.0508, -0.0438, 0.0, -0.0118, 0.0049, -0.0111, -0.0146, -0.0271, -0.0334, -0.0536, -0.0703, -0.0765, -0.0626, -0.0501, 0.016, -0.0014, 0.0557, 0.0571, -0.0515, -0.0077, -0.0167, -0.0167, -0.0271, -0.0299, 0.0174, 0.0251, -0.0035, 0.0188, 0.0146, 0.0146, -0.0077, -0.0445, -0.048, -0.0223, -0.0237, -0.0856, -0.0849, -0.0884, -0.0731, -0.0585, -0.0752, -0.1016, -0.1197, -0.1162, -0.1628, -0.1587, -0.1642, -0.1712, -0.1538, -0.151, -0.1357, -0.1322, -0.1322, -0.1037, -0.1113, -0.0682, 0.0042, -0.0146, -0.0132, 0.016, 0.0508, 0.0146, 0.0237, -0.0014, -0.016, -0.0063, 0.0104, 0.0035, 0.0077, 0.0007, -0.0598, -0.0459, -0.0459, -0.0397, -0.0313, -0.0327, -0.0459, -0.0459, -0.0981, -0.1037, -0.0891, -0.0578, -0.0765, -0.0981, -0.0981, -0.1712, -0.2053, -0.199, -0.2394, -0.2394, -0.2519, -0.2568, -0.2234, -0.2248, -0.199, -0.2241, -0.2269, -0.2756, -0.2867, -0.3104, -0.3563, -0.3667, -0.4113, -0.3904, -0.428, -0.428, -0.4788, -0.476, -0.4739, -0.4739, -0.4878, -0.4704, -0.4816, -0.4948, -0.5421, -0.5115, -0.5017, -0.4885, -0.5059, -0.492, -0.4823, -0.4607, -0.4495, -0.4461, -0.4502, -0.4885, -0.5094, -0.5233, -0.5122]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1968580197139337237", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-18T07:37:48+00:00", "symbol": "UPWK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$UPWK better risk reward than $ASAN with balance sheet/profitability.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish ASAN on cash burn with no forward rev growth; prefers UPWK for better risk/reward on balance sheet and profitability.", "resolved_tickers": ["UPWK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@LibertadEterno Not a fan unless you swing trade when it hits $12. High profit margins but they're burning so much for no forward rev growth.\n\n $UPWK better risk reward than $ASAN with balance sheet/profitability. \n\nAsana seems like something  where it could improve but not a obvious buy.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thanks for the tip. Could you look into $ASAN? Chart looks prime and the CEO has been buying his own shares relentlessly.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LibertadEterno", "ret_m1d": -0.07448984507171774, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07448984507171774, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06983913013977949, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06983913013977949, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004650714931938249, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004650714931938249, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02397955633709281, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02397955633709281, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.019026681561760794, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.019026681561760794, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004952874775332017, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004952874775332017, "ret_p1w": -0.015306180539302772, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.015306180539302772, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.011703963052250299, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.011703963052250299, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0036022174870524726, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0036022174870524726, "ret_p1m": -0.1734693649161716, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1734693649161716, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.17946701938993104, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.17946701938993104, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0059976544737594395, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0059976544737594395, "ret_p3m": 0.09387755697839006, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09387755697839006, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06595477159813057, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06595477159813057, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.027922785380259496, "bench_c_p3m": 0.027922785380259496, "ret_p6m": -0.3770408265047497, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3770408265047497, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3828219222473165, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3828219222473165, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0057810957425668, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0057810957425668, "price_path": [-0.3332, -0.3199, -0.3173, -0.3077, -0.3046, -0.3143, -0.3102, -0.3133, -0.3041, -0.3041, -0.3138, -0.3112, -0.301, -0.3158, -0.3408, -0.3388, -0.3403, -0.3204, -0.3163, -0.325, -0.3173, -0.302, -0.2969, -0.325, -0.3311, -0.3439, -0.3546, -0.3842, -0.3898, -0.4005, -0.3857, -0.3939, -0.3903, -0.3071, -0.3281, -0.3158, -0.3026, -0.2811, -0.301, -0.2959, -0.2862, -0.2929, -0.275, -0.2454, -0.2388, -0.2393, -0.2301, -0.2449, -0.2393, -0.2148, -0.2148, -0.1857, -0.1607, -0.1439, -0.174, -0.1857, -0.1837, -0.1883, -0.1648, -0.1398, -0.1434, -0.1276, -0.0745, 0.0, 0.024, -0.0138, 0.0031, 0.0163, -0.0153, -0.023, -0.0301, -0.0526, -0.0964, -0.0735, -0.1189, -0.1122, -0.1281, -0.0888, -0.1107, -0.1429, -0.1276, -0.1357, -0.1423, -0.1459, -0.1735, -0.1495, -0.15, -0.1832, -0.1776, -0.1837, -0.1776, -0.1138, -0.1388, -0.1679, -0.1867, -0.2026, -0.0969, -0.1643, -0.176, -0.1097, -0.102, -0.0842, -0.1306, -0.1301, -0.1592, -0.174, -0.1286, -0.0735, -0.1245, -0.0883, -0.0536, 0.0046, -0.001, -0.001, 0.0071, 0.0143, 0.0474, 0.0066, -0.001, 0.0245, 0.0143, 0.0704, 0.0449, 0.1184, 0.1199, 0.0908, 0.0939, 0.0301, 0.0444, 0.051, 0.0862, 0.0622, 0.0699, 0.0699, 0.0638, 0.0357, -0.0026, 0.0112, 0.0112, 0.0122, 0.052, 0.0342, 0.0643, 0.0418, 0.023, 0.0408, 0.0332, 0.0255, 0.0281, 0.0138, 0.0138, -0.0056, 0.0046, 0.0781, 0.1281, 0.1158, 0.0867, 0.0464, 0.0724, 0.0219, 0.0179, -0.0689, -0.1301, -0.0908, -0.0342, -0.0413, -0.224, -0.2602, -0.3311, -0.325, -0.325, -0.349, -0.2995, -0.3204, -0.3281, -0.3617, -0.3357, -0.3378, -0.2934, -0.3153, -0.3306, -0.3301, -0.3148, -0.3209, -0.324, -0.3199, -0.3684, -0.3668, -0.3949, -0.377]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1984465990105907508", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-01T03:42:16+00:00", "symbol": "WULF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$WULF and $CIFR are the two I'd argue that has higher asymmetrical return compared to other miners just due to Mag7 contract visibility with $GOOGl", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long WULF and CIFR as the highest asymmetric-return HPC miner pivots due to Mag7/Google contract visibility.", "resolved_tickers": ["WULF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yep, I’ve always maintained it’s not winner takes all (GCP, Azure, AWS).\n\n$WULF and $CIFR are the two I’d argue that has higher asymmetrical return compared to other miners just due to Mag7 contract visibility with $GOOGl.\n\nHowever, the sad reality of the situation is not every single HPC miner pivot will be successful, because it’s extremely hard. But some will be and the market will price that in", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $GOOG owns 14% of $WULF and 5% of $CIFR, and they are AI datacenter landlords without GPU depreciation costs, which $NBIS will incur. Anthropic will also use Google TPUs along with Gemini via Fluidstack, which has rented spaces at Lake Mariner and Texas centers. $NBIS will win,", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "someshhh_xyz", "ret_m1d": -0.03726710355611518, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03726710355611518, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.035393841997905406, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.035393841997905406, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06770187122743332, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06770187122743332, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.055848331284985786, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.055848331284985786, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "bench_c_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "ret_p1w": -0.11180125143391739, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11180125143391739, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1090207326714342, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1090207326714342, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "ret_p1m": -0.11677019067680905, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11677019067680905, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11412144877756036, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11412144877756036, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "ret_p3m": -0.09689443370524264, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09689443370524264, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11555392974632261, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11555392974632261, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "ret_p6m": 0.29192538784038025, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.29192538784038025, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.24450781462764315, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.24450781462764315, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "bench_c_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "price_path": [-0.6801, -0.6932, -0.6876, -0.6646, -0.6745, -0.6609, -0.459, -0.4429, -0.4174, -0.4547, -0.4236, -0.4292, -0.4311, -0.4453, -0.4261, -0.4329, -0.4137, -0.413, -0.413, -0.4019, -0.4422, -0.4491, -0.4329, -0.4286, -0.3602, -0.3447, -0.3391, -0.3317, -0.3484, -0.3205, -0.295, -0.3062, -0.318, -0.2863, -0.3019, -0.2919, -0.3186, -0.3273, -0.2795, -0.2907, -0.2876, -0.2807, -0.2596, -0.2565, -0.2484, -0.236, -0.1559, -0.1609, -0.1304, -0.0398, -0.0391, -0.1391, -0.1348, -0.1398, -0.1839, -0.2161, -0.2, -0.1484, -0.1528, -0.0099, -0.0994, -0.0795, -0.0373, 0.0, -0.0677, -0.046, -0.113, -0.1342, -0.1118, -0.2317, -0.2149, -0.2745, -0.3174, -0.3137, -0.2547, -0.2404, -0.282, -0.2988, -0.2155, -0.1342, -0.0783, -0.0783, -0.0366, -0.0497, -0.1168, -0.1037, -0.0621, -0.0994, -0.0708, -0.0317, -0.0211, -0.0168, -0.1099, -0.2242, -0.1932, -0.2814, -0.2677, -0.2224, -0.2255, -0.2286, -0.2354, -0.2354, -0.2702, -0.2907, -0.3075, -0.2863, -0.2863, -0.2087, -0.154, -0.1814, -0.2242, -0.2025, -0.1863, -0.1422, -0.1217, -0.1174, -0.141, -0.1398, -0.1398, -0.172, -0.1851, -0.1994, -0.123, -0.1435, -0.0491, -0.0615, -0.0969, -0.1696, -0.1652, -0.0807, -0.1379, -0.2596, -0.1124, 0.0342, 0.0329, -0.0043, -0.0118, 0.0099, 0.0099, 0.005, -0.0447, -0.0391, -0.0677, -0.0261, 0.0907, 0.113, 0.1106, 0.0075, -0.005, -0.0845, -0.0453, -0.054, -0.146, -0.1398, -0.1087, -0.0547, -0.0888, -0.0888, 0.0193, -0.0037, -0.0497, -0.0224, -0.0621, 0.0056, 0.0075, 0.0472, -0.0466, -0.0752, -0.1491, -0.1037, -0.1006, -0.0758, -0.0758, -0.0342, 0.0292, 0.1211, 0.182, 0.172, 0.2081, 0.3012, 0.2217, 0.1994, 0.282, 0.2733, 0.228, 0.2764, 0.2652, 0.2429, 0.3311, 0.2919]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1984465990105907508", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-01T03:42:16+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$WULF and $CIFR are the two I'd argue that has higher asymmetrical return compared to other miners just due to Mag7 contract visibility with $GOOGl", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long WULF and CIFR as the highest asymmetric-return HPC miner pivots due to Mag7/Google contract visibility.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yep, I’ve always maintained it’s not winner takes all (GCP, Azure, AWS).\n\n$WULF and $CIFR are the two I’d argue that has higher asymmetrical return compared to other miners just due to Mag7 contract visibility with $GOOGl.\n\nHowever, the sad reality of the situation is not every single HPC miner pivot will be successful, because it’s extremely hard. But some will be and the market will price that in", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $GOOG owns 14% of $WULF and 5% of $CIFR, and they are AI datacenter landlords without GPU depreciation costs, which $NBIS will incur. Anthropic will also use Google TPUs along with Gemini via Fluidstack, which has rented spaces at Lake Mariner and Texas centers. $NBIS will win,", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "someshhh_xyz", "ret_m1d": -0.18057998985149748, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.18057998985149748, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1787067282932877, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.17650588976145865, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004074100090038835, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010984182666340936, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010984182666340936, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0008693572761065971, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015414351979372798, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "bench_c_p1d": -0.026398534645713734, "ret_p1w": -0.13664325918613363, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.13664325918613363, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.13386274042365043, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11551123428013821, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "bench_c_p1w": -0.021132024905995417, "ret_p1m": -0.2249560978798345, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2249560978798345, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.22230735598058582, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.18318871648704038, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04176738139279412, "ret_p3m": -0.22231983370199526, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22231983370199526, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24097932974307523, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.19673451757203964, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "bench_c_p3m": -0.025585316129955626, "ret_p6m": -0.24165201865950103, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.24165201865950103, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.28906959187223813, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.29021615532764855, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04856413666814752, "price_path": [-0.7711, -0.786, -0.7913, -0.7909, -0.7926, -0.7847, -0.7663, -0.7711, -0.7342, -0.7469, -0.7386, -0.7408, -0.7197, -0.7083, -0.6872, -0.6929, -0.6916, -0.6643, -0.6643, -0.6344, -0.6437, -0.6749, -0.6696, -0.6608, -0.5949, -0.5496, -0.562, -0.5233, -0.5233, -0.4943, -0.4561, -0.4793, -0.4605, -0.3866, -0.3783, -0.3787, -0.4877, -0.496, -0.4442, -0.4468, -0.4464, -0.3932, -0.3541, -0.326, -0.308, -0.2267, -0.2096, -0.2544, -0.1063, -0.0822, -0.076, -0.1775, -0.1757, -0.1252, -0.2058, -0.2922, -0.2419, -0.0923, -0.0975, -0.123, -0.1393, -0.1621, -0.1806, 0.0, -0.011, 0.0857, -0.0461, -0.0909, -0.1366, -0.1797, -0.2364, -0.344, -0.3691, -0.3695, -0.3594, -0.3576, -0.3603, -0.3783, -0.2658, -0.2302, -0.1586, -0.1586, -0.1059, -0.1349, -0.225, -0.1815, -0.1287, -0.1529, -0.1441, -0.1406, -0.188, -0.1705, -0.2509, -0.3524, -0.3414, -0.3678, -0.3344, -0.2878, -0.2821, -0.301, -0.2873, -0.2873, -0.3326, -0.3374, -0.359, -0.3515, -0.3515, -0.2882, -0.2021, -0.2293, -0.2935, -0.2728, -0.2693, -0.2232, -0.1982, -0.2034, -0.2302, -0.174, -0.174, -0.2127, -0.2214, -0.2359, -0.228, -0.2755, -0.1762, -0.1665, -0.2223, -0.2988, -0.3054, -0.2856, -0.3739, -0.442, -0.3528, -0.2636, -0.2487, -0.2847, -0.2926, -0.2786, -0.2786, -0.3128, -0.3225, -0.3058, -0.3563, -0.3313, -0.2478, -0.2702, -0.2759, -0.3146, -0.3076, -0.3537, -0.2953, -0.3344, -0.4016, -0.3713, -0.3866, -0.3801, -0.3976, -0.3814, -0.3348, -0.337, -0.3554, -0.3568, -0.3844, -0.3458, -0.3462, -0.3023, -0.3695, -0.3961, -0.4721, -0.4345, -0.4446, -0.4367, -0.4367, -0.4134, -0.3844, -0.3225, -0.2812, -0.2737, -0.2197, -0.1894, -0.2091, -0.2381, -0.1489, -0.1525, -0.2074, -0.1459, -0.1788, -0.2004, -0.2021, -0.2417]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1974285194527191391", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-04T01:27:25+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Buy if it drops another few percent intra-day Monday", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Conditional buy on CRWV on further intraday dip Monday; bullish META on improving fundamentals.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Solar_Twelve $CRWV has a lot of bad debt, $META improves fundamentals a lot. \n\nI'd put that on Hold as well, and Buy if it drops another few percent intra-day Monday. A lot of these stocks are great CSP to write on.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit CRWV?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Solar_Twelve", "ret_m1d": 0.007022690621995453, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007022690621995453, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01059610445234449, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01059610445234449, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003573413830349037, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003573413830349037, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03750469961561764, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03750469961561764, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.033797207364655746, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.033797207364655746, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003707492250961897, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003707492250961897, "ret_p1w": 0.058049971306409986, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.058049971306409986, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07081036174423316, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07081036174423316, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012760390437823177, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012760390437823177, "ret_p1m": -0.135226038686301, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.135226038686301, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14063103503136165, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14063103503136165, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404996345060642, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005404996345060642, "ret_p3m": -0.46499815207351947, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.46499815207351947, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.48334962179053276, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.48334962179053276, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01835146971701329, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01835146971701329, "ret_p6m": -0.42121779837058715, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.42121779837058715, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.39506135599844283, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.39506135599844283, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.026156442372144317, "bench_c_p6m": -0.026156442372144317, "price_path": [0.1434, 0.0332, -0.0598, -0.011, 0.0504, 0.0687, -0.0123, -0.0809, -0.0668, -0.0305, -0.0583, -0.1035, -0.1362, -0.1761, -0.1876, -0.2313, -0.1473, -0.222, -0.208, -0.1644, -0.1764, -0.0954, -0.0321, 0.0443, 0.1113, -0.1202, -0.2566, -0.2531, -0.2768, -0.306, -0.3162, -0.3217, -0.2978, -0.3098, -0.3172, -0.2758, -0.2321, -0.2302, -0.2302, -0.3027, -0.3285, -0.3464, -0.3344, -0.3011, -0.2513, -0.1248, -0.1581, -0.1635, -0.1, -0.1128, -0.097, -0.0931, -0.0672, -0.0046, -0.0221, -0.0034, -0.0537, -0.1009, -0.0846, 0.0224, 0.0239, 0.031, 0.007, 0.0, -0.0375, 0.0458, 0.069, 0.0342, 0.058, 0.0016, 0.0403, 0.0589, 0.0226, -0.0507, -0.0657, -0.092, -0.0785, -0.0097, 0.0165, 0.0071, 0.0454, -0.0208, -0.001, -0.0563, -0.1352, -0.1452, -0.2011, -0.2229, -0.211, -0.3396, -0.3617, -0.4147, -0.422, -0.4372, -0.4404, -0.4403, -0.4829, -0.4647, -0.4501, -0.4674, -0.445, -0.445, -0.4537, -0.4243, -0.432, -0.4071, -0.3594, -0.3403, -0.3557, -0.3227, -0.3414, -0.3472, -0.4129, -0.4595, -0.4808, -0.5177, -0.4944, -0.3799, -0.3662, -0.4004, -0.4108, -0.4108, -0.4291, -0.4403, -0.4479, -0.465, -0.465, -0.4074, -0.4258, -0.4177, -0.4234, -0.4241, -0.4013, -0.3281, -0.3464, -0.3291, -0.2902, -0.2437, -0.2437, -0.2886, -0.2973, -0.3142, -0.3053, -0.2655, -0.1867, -0.2079, -0.2564, -0.3038, -0.3355, -0.3272, -0.3839, -0.4423, -0.328, -0.2769, -0.2894, -0.2891, -0.285, -0.2825, -0.2825, -0.3201, -0.2869, -0.2743, -0.3332, -0.3213, -0.2581, -0.2678, -0.2706, -0.4056, -0.4169, -0.4488, -0.4061, -0.441, -0.4547, -0.4441, -0.4403, -0.3877, -0.4034, -0.394, -0.3585, -0.3865, -0.3812, -0.3974, -0.3913, -0.3877, -0.3798, -0.3457, -0.399, -0.4411, -0.4834, -0.4212]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1974285194527191391", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-04T01:27:25+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$META improves fundamentals a lot", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Conditional buy on CRWV on further intraday dip Monday; bullish META on improving fundamentals.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Solar_Twelve $CRWV has a lot of bad debt, $META improves fundamentals a lot. \n\nI'd put that on Hold as well, and Buy if it drops another few percent intra-day Monday. A lot of these stocks are great CSP to write on.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit CRWV?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Solar_Twelve", "ret_m1d": -0.007126298801038433, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007126298801038433, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.003552884970689396, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.006096345195742758, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003573413830349037, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0010299536052956748, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.003605051719678065, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.003605051719678065, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00010244053128383168, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0002573402045576989, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003707492250961897, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003862391924235764, "ret_p1w": 5.586975887839074e-05, "ret_signed_p1w": 5.586975887839074e-05, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.012816260196701568, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02297240338108375, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012760390437823177, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02291653362220536, "ret_p1m": -0.1234385085815608, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1234385085815608, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12884350492662144, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09168156181536002, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404996345060642, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03175694676620078, "ret_p3m": -0.07689635117509308, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07689635117509308, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09524782089210637, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09055272667556258, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01835146971701329, "bench_c_p3m": 0.013656375500469498, "ret_p6m": -0.199219087706637, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.199219087706637, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.17306264533449267, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.15685199755821444, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.026156442372144317, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04236709014842255, "price_path": [0.0232, 0.0155, 0.0019, 0.0067, -0.008, -0.0185, -0.0206, -0.0166, -0.0044, -0.0158, -0.0036, -0.0019, -0.0048, 0.0021, -0.0225, -0.0292, 0.08, 0.0473, 0.0841, 0.0661, 0.078, 0.0638, 0.0742, 0.0694, 0.1031, 0.0893, 0.0921, 0.0965, 0.0715, 0.0493, 0.0441, 0.0321, 0.054, 0.0519, 0.053, 0.0436, 0.0488, 0.0315, 0.0315, 0.0265, 0.0292, 0.0454, 0.0507, 0.0505, 0.0692, 0.05, 0.0485, 0.0551, 0.0678, 0.0878, 0.0832, 0.0895, 0.0869, 0.0692, 0.0555, 0.0629, 0.0465, 0.0393, 0.0388, 0.0262, 0.0023, 0.0159, -0.0071, 0.0, -0.0036, 0.003, 0.0249, -0.0145, 0.0001, -0.0098, 0.0026, -0.005, 0.0018, 0.0231, 0.0246, 0.0248, 0.0256, 0.0317, 0.0491, 0.05, 0.0503, -0.0687, -0.0941, -0.1089, -0.1234, -0.1114, -0.1351, -0.1313, -0.1172, -0.1238, -0.149, -0.1478, -0.1484, -0.1588, -0.1648, -0.1751, -0.1768, -0.1696, -0.1434, -0.111, -0.1146, -0.1146, -0.0946, -0.1045, -0.0958, -0.1063, -0.0756, -0.059, -0.0683, -0.082, -0.0916, -0.088, -0.0998, -0.0945, -0.081, -0.0917, -0.0708, -0.0787, -0.0749, -0.0701, -0.0665, -0.0665, -0.0724, -0.0789, -0.0687, -0.0769, -0.0769, -0.0904, -0.0787, -0.0762, -0.0928, -0.0965, -0.0867, -0.1022, -0.1175, -0.1392, -0.1318, -0.1326, -0.1326, -0.1552, -0.1428, -0.0943, -0.0788, -0.0597, -0.0589, -0.0648, 0.0325, 0.002, -0.0121, -0.0327, -0.0645, -0.0627, -0.075, -0.0529, -0.062, -0.0649, -0.0913, -0.1053, -0.1053, -0.106, -0.1005, -0.0983, -0.0831, -0.1088, -0.106, -0.0858, -0.0812, -0.0936, -0.086, -0.0839, -0.0662, -0.0762, -0.0982, -0.0947, -0.0853, -0.0842, -0.1075, -0.1418, -0.1218, -0.1285, -0.1383, -0.1508, -0.1691, -0.1545, -0.1701, -0.1674, -0.2336, -0.2642, -0.2493, -0.1992]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2009693974181867825", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-09T18:29:16+00:00", "symbol": "VLN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Personal opinion is that it should trade at $7 from $2", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author targets $7 for VLN (from ~$2), citing valuation disconnect not yet recognized by shorts/algos.", "resolved_tickers": ["VLN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@robswainept It’s funny, this is even through over 1.6M shares shorted. \n\nI don’t think some short sellers or some algorithms understood the valuation disconnect with $VLN yet. \n\nPersonal opinion is that it should trade at $7 from $2. https://t.co/1bcz3Zl86j", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit 25% up since this post - legend", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "robswainept", "ret_m1d": -0.37096776984608737, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.37096776984608737, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.36439787640680144, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.3446587667058081, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006569893439285934, "bench_c_m1d": -0.026309003140279286, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06854841733326134, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06854841733326134, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07011887114503312, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07224813070073988, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0015704538117717881, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003699713367478541, "ret_p1w": -0.19758064748717397, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.19758064748717397, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.19410836617330818, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2262791043822514, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.003472281313865788, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02869845689507744, "ret_p1m": -0.3870967865982611, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3870967865982611, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.38692395731858265, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.4318786390753073, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00017282927967843253, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04478185247704625, "ret_p3m": -0.471774220683696, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.471774220683696, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.44841378636724327, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5583576750317217, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.02336043431645274, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08658345434802572, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2661, -0.2581, -0.2863, -0.3105, -0.2742, -0.2863, -0.3024, -0.2903, -0.2823, -0.2944, -0.2903, -0.3105, -0.3145, -0.2621, -0.3065, -0.3589, -0.3306, -0.371, -0.3629, -0.3548, -0.2742, -0.3145, -0.3065, -0.2984, -0.371, -0.3871, -0.4153, -0.4274, -0.3952, -0.3831, -0.379, -0.3669, -0.3669, -0.3548, -0.3669, -0.3629, -0.3266, -0.3226, -0.3226, -0.3145, -0.3145, -0.3226, -0.3427, -0.3589, -0.379, -0.3831, -0.4032, -0.4032, -0.3992, -0.4113, -0.4355, -0.4435, -0.4435, -0.4194, -0.4315, -0.4435, -0.4274, -0.4274, -0.371, -0.3669, -0.3589, -0.375, -0.371, 0.0, -0.0685, -0.0565, -0.1573, -0.1573, -0.1976, -0.1976, -0.2177, -0.2097, -0.1532, -0.2097, -0.2581, -0.2581, -0.2863, -0.2903, -0.3145, -0.3266, -0.3548, -0.379, -0.4234, -0.379, -0.3871, -0.375, -0.379, -0.3952, -0.3871, -0.3871, -0.4113, -0.3992, -0.3992, -0.3911, -0.4032, -0.3831, -0.379, -0.3548, -0.4032, -0.4032, -0.4194, -0.4194, -0.4355, -0.4556, -0.4556, -0.4435, -0.4234, -0.4556, -0.4637, -0.4637, -0.4597, -0.496, -0.4839, -0.5081, -0.4919, -0.496, -0.4919, -0.5081, -0.5242, -0.5524, -0.5444, -0.5282, -0.5202, -0.5202, -0.5202, -0.5242, -0.4718, -0.4597, -0.4637, -0.4556, -0.4435, -0.4073, -0.375, -0.3871, -0.4073, -0.3952, -0.3508, -0.3347, -0.2782, -0.3508, -0.3911, -0.3911, -0.125, -0.0565, -0.0927, -0.0242, 0.0081, -0.0282, 0.125, 0.1492, 0.0887, 0.1895, 0.3589, 0.2298, 0.1371, 0.0726, 0.1694, 0.2339, 0.2984, 0.2984, 0.3145, 0.2702, 0.4113, 0.4234, 0.4234, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1966299022429401402", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-12T00:33:13+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$HIMS probably has more potential near/mid term cause of 42% short interest, if you can catch it on a dip", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish HIMS near/mid term on 42% short interest squeeze potential; buy on dips.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@mattia030339 I’d say do both unless you’re full port. $UPWK went up a ton since i posted so might be a good idea to just get long term capital gains tax on it. \n\nOtherwise $HIMS probably has more potential near/mid term cause of 42% short interest, if you can catch it on a dip.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit for someone still holding $UPWK would it be better to sell it now and hop on $HIMS  or does it still have space to grow? Thanks", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mattia030339", "ret_m1d": -0.06738741763003242, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06738741763003242, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06772214257647868, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06772214257647868, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00033472494644626316, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00033472494644626316, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02774776424373593, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02774776424373593, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.033071716664668016, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.033071716664668016, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005323952420932088, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005323952420932088, "ret_p1w": 0.04180179630313918, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04180179630313918, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.029434856491553196, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.029434856491553196, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012366939811585986, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012366939811585986, "ret_p1m": -0.013873882121867909, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.013873882121867909, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.025234025472156474, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.025234025472156474, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011360143350288565, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011360143350288565, "ret_p3m": -0.3174774582321579, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3174774582321579, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.36625423283380953, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.36625423283380953, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04877677460165164, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04877677460165164, "ret_p6m": -0.600720723470052, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.600720723470052, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.6383689937472914, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.6383689937472914, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.03764827027723938, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03764827027723938, "price_path": [0.0674, 0.1004, 0.1004, 0.1571, -0.2436, -0.2261, -0.2539, -0.1661, -0.1097, -0.1018, -0.1359, -0.1449, -0.1355, -0.1355, -0.1276, -0.1178, -0.0768, -0.0942, -0.1371, -0.0625, -0.0908, -0.0658, -0.0993, -0.0923, -0.1423, -0.0989, 0.0454, 0.0328, 0.0387, 0.0573, 0.0859, 0.1807, 0.1924, 0.127, 0.1414, 0.0004, -0.0787, -0.0802, -0.0641, -0.0995, -0.1359, -0.1292, -0.1508, -0.1708, -0.1874, -0.24, -0.2184, -0.2079, -0.1969, -0.2254, -0.1829, -0.207, -0.205, -0.2369, -0.2369, -0.2517, -0.1989, -0.1332, -0.1277, -0.1056, -0.1389, -0.1391, -0.0674, 0.0, -0.0277, -0.0831, -0.0928, 0.0126, 0.0418, 0.0396, 0.009, -0.0405, -0.0114, 0.0523, 0.0652, 0.022, 0.0146, 0.0427, -0.0533, -0.0133, 0.0445, 0.0481, 0.0495, -0.0279, -0.0139, -0.0267, 0.1308, 0.0658, -0.1031, -0.0746, -0.1106, -0.1449, -0.1263, -0.1211, -0.131, -0.151, -0.1598, -0.2061, -0.1809, -0.2002, -0.229, -0.2121, -0.2519, -0.2607, -0.2604, -0.2838, -0.2969, -0.3505, -0.3337, -0.3589, -0.3467, -0.3544, -0.3942, -0.3746, -0.3193, -0.3317, -0.3081, -0.3081, -0.2836, -0.3241, -0.3458, -0.3321, -0.2789, -0.2937, -0.2951, -0.2825, -0.3175, -0.3195, -0.3295, -0.3468, -0.3359, -0.3699, -0.3735, -0.3593, -0.3685, -0.373, -0.3753, -0.3753, -0.3818, -0.3856, -0.4047, -0.415, -0.415, -0.398, -0.3746, -0.3611, -0.3611, -0.3897, -0.429, -0.4173, -0.4198, -0.4357, -0.4373, -0.4346, -0.4346, -0.451, -0.4795, -0.4501, -0.4663, -0.4544, -0.4652, -0.4834, -0.4618, -0.5119, -0.5236, -0.5398, -0.5604, -0.5769, -0.5852, -0.6517, -0.6894, -0.6993, -0.7153, -0.7063, -0.7063, -0.7068, -0.7146, -0.715, -0.7184, -0.7205, -0.7214, -0.715, -0.7189, -0.7384, -0.7031, -0.715, -0.7036, -0.7139, -0.7164, -0.6007]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1983098049531703390", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-28T09:06:33+00:00", "symbol": "WYFI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm bullish on $WYFI too you know lol", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on WYFI, cheering on the sector for multiple winners.", "resolved_tickers": ["WYFI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@dotsamaenjoyer I'm bullish on $WYFI too you know lol. \n\nTrue, I'm cheering on the whole sector and it would be nice to have as many winners as possible.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Okey i give u that\n\nWyfi to 100 and Nbis to 500 asap", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "dotsamaenjoyer", "ret_m1d": 0.09249412098113918, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.09249412098113918, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.09514308429393536, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.10229663068711858, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002648963312796182, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0098025097059794, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0017730902192808484, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0017730902192808484, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.002253477259176573, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008959502891916826, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004803870398957244, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007186412672635978, "ret_p1w": -0.09958631276707253, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09958631276707253, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08238261383153589, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07302655333368346, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017203698935536638, "bench_c_p1w": -0.026559759433389063, "ret_p1m": -0.4143026121319773, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.4143026121319773, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.40356122224549584, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3540959978271133, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010741389886481434, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06020661430486396, "ret_p3m": -0.40573284516331, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.40573284516331, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4118553900478268, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.36817866786522324, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006122544884516801, "bench_c_p3m": -0.037554177298086744, "ret_p6m": -0.4893616841392351, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4893616841392351, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5304056061844885, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.539346122750087, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04104392204525342, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04998443861085189, "price_path": [null, null, null, null, null, -0.5207, -0.5479, -0.5653, -0.5446, -0.4882, -0.4728, -0.495, -0.4477, -0.497, -0.5059, -0.5062, -0.495, -0.5106, -0.5071, -0.5006, -0.4973, -0.5003, -0.5003, -0.4707, -0.5062, -0.5195, -0.5171, -0.5272, -0.4566, -0.3032, -0.3921, -0.4105, -0.4093, -0.4303, -0.3809, -0.3082, -0.2228, -0.172, -0.1705, -0.2243, -0.3029, -0.3254, -0.2098, -0.1971, -0.0547, -0.0047, -0.078, 0.0027, -0.0062, 0.0133, -0.003, -0.0239, 0.1563, 0.1123, 0.0839, -0.0709, -0.1055, -0.0544, -0.1182, -0.1797, -0.1435, 0.0059, 0.0925, 0.0, -0.0018, -0.0479, 0.0044, -0.0361, -0.0996, -0.094, -0.1711, -0.1504, -0.1415, -0.2373, -0.328, -0.4128, -0.4681, -0.4607, -0.5018, -0.4855, -0.4861, -0.4876, -0.4511, -0.4734, -0.4143, -0.4143, -0.3667, -0.4184, -0.4371, -0.4258, -0.3771, -0.4258, -0.4311, -0.4102, -0.4341, -0.4486, -0.4495, -0.5505, -0.5544, -0.5813, -0.5774, -0.5053, -0.4589, -0.4793, -0.4873, -0.4873, -0.5103, -0.523, -0.5405, -0.5331, -0.5331, -0.5027, -0.4805, -0.4764, -0.505, -0.477, -0.4764, -0.448, -0.4554, -0.3836, -0.4551, -0.4246, -0.4246, -0.4335, -0.3995, -0.4181, -0.4057, -0.3933, -0.3617, -0.3452, -0.3493, -0.4235, -0.4241, -0.4548, -0.5233, -0.5745, -0.4514, -0.4134, -0.4288, -0.4447, -0.4625, -0.4261, -0.4261, -0.456, -0.4846, -0.4728, -0.5009, -0.4973, -0.4793, -0.4515, -0.453, -0.5021, -0.487, -0.5381, -0.4994, -0.529, -0.542, -0.5328, -0.531, -0.4935, -0.5044, -0.5346, -0.5325, -0.5467, -0.5677, -0.5529, -0.5907, -0.5742, -0.5822, -0.5659, -0.6405, -0.6814, -0.669, -0.648, -0.6563, -0.6566, -0.6566, -0.6445, -0.6226, -0.6025, -0.5987, -0.5715, -0.5505, -0.5245, -0.5275, -0.5269, -0.5151, -0.5124, -0.5281, -0.4894]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1976432657497198938", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-09T23:40:40+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS is the only Neocloud that's doing everything right growing revenue and on top of that, their sum of parts might be worth more than the core business down the line, which would drive it to 1000%+ from here", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long NBIS: only Neocloud executing on all fronts; sum-of-parts + core growth could drive 1000%+ return.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NBIS is the only Neocloud that’s doing everything right growing revenue and on top of that, their sum of parts might be worth more than the core business down the line, which would drive it to 1000%+ from here. \n\nBusinesses that have done it while scaling like FTX before they went under would be worth hundreds of billions now even in a downturn. (Eg. ftx owned $HOOD, Anthropic, Dave, Solana, Bitcoin that all went up over 1000%+).\n\nI often compare the fundamentals revenue wise with HOOD though that went $150m quarterly to $1B quarterly with a $130B valuation) because $NBIS would surpass that in just a year or two and started at similar market caps. But like $MSFT they made some great investments like Clickhouse, Toloka, Avride while sustaining their core business.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Comparing to $MSFT is a bit early days haha", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "EndicottInvests", "ret_m1d": -0.08021712483872956, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08021712483872956, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08312255025975701, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08596031257485381, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002905425421027452, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005743187736124256, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.023069945511719925, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.023069945511719925, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0039578823873697155, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004622389525244297, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.02702782789908964, "bench_c_p1d": -0.018447555986475628, "ret_p1w": -0.07237634588582709, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07237634588582709, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.056701974494572926, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06585013892941727, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01567437139125416, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006526206956409819, "ret_p1m": -0.16103739979373488, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16103739979373488, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1607542470266894, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13658567193644466, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0002831527670454914, "bench_c_p1m": -0.024451727857290217, "ret_p3m": -0.24427021769428237, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.24427021769428237, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.27808365166513327, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.26854668662036607, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.033813433970850904, "bench_c_p3m": 0.024276468926083705, "ret_p6m": -0.17958383447250825, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.17958383447250825, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.16230675988690502, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.15782279558193002, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.017277074585603236, "bench_c_p6m": -0.021761038890578233, "price_path": [-0.6083, -0.5964, -0.5981, -0.5952, -0.602, -0.6052, -0.6154, -0.6089, -0.6068, -0.6127, -0.6023, -0.62, -0.6133, -0.5896, -0.608, -0.5916, -0.5841, -0.5847, -0.5076, -0.4815, -0.4704, -0.4321, -0.4675, -0.4839, -0.46, -0.4531, -0.4934, -0.4913, -0.5011, -0.4799, -0.4721, -0.4686, -0.4715, -0.4569, -0.4849, -0.4849, -0.5045, -0.5051, -0.5106, -0.5064, -0.517, -0.2783, -0.2959, -0.3276, -0.3184, -0.3142, -0.3258, -0.2907, -0.2904, -0.2513, -0.1963, -0.1873, -0.1463, -0.1862, -0.188, -0.169, -0.1536, -0.1284, -0.051, -0.0351, -0.0581, -0.1126, -0.0802, 0.0, -0.0231, 0.0213, -0.0339, -0.0513, -0.0724, -0.1448, -0.1782, -0.2138, -0.2565, -0.1996, -0.116, -0.0544, -0.0815, -0.0568, -0.0638, -0.0137, -0.0918, -0.1666, -0.1179, -0.1749, -0.161, -0.1711, -0.2293, -0.2886, -0.3318, -0.3702, -0.3518, -0.3174, -0.2832, -0.3619, -0.3723, -0.3071, -0.3299, -0.2861, -0.2861, -0.2848, -0.2449, -0.2728, -0.2542, -0.225, -0.2609, -0.2436, -0.2731, -0.2944, -0.2892, -0.3389, -0.3883, -0.3897, -0.4312, -0.4113, -0.3255, -0.2971, -0.3212, -0.313, -0.313, -0.3396, -0.3513, -0.3579, -0.3689, -0.3689, -0.3218, -0.3001, -0.2443, -0.2747, -0.2664, -0.2617, -0.1908, -0.2051, -0.2312, -0.2168, -0.1803, -0.1803, -0.2514, -0.2546, -0.2698, -0.2875, -0.3105, -0.2621, -0.2428, -0.2845, -0.3577, -0.3353, -0.3218, -0.3788, -0.4431, -0.3509, -0.2998, -0.308, -0.332, -0.3235, -0.2611, -0.2611, -0.2648, -0.2325, -0.1887, -0.2618, -0.2415, -0.2266, -0.1999, -0.2093, -0.3125, -0.3139, -0.3456, -0.2628, -0.2789, -0.3265, -0.2842, -0.273, -0.1556, -0.1855, -0.1484, -0.021, -0.123, -0.1062, -0.0838, -0.1132, -0.1394, -0.1337, -0.1323, -0.2011, -0.2399, -0.3044, -0.2177, -0.2314, -0.1796, -0.1796]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2009407689349341557", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-08T23:31:40+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "people are overreacting to contracted revenue from over a year ago being deferred by a quarter. I care more about the real-time substrate bottleneck and increasing InP prices than 2024 contracted revenue.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AXTI: 29% AH drop is an overreaction; real-time substrate bottleneck and rising InP prices are the actual bullish catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AXTI TLDR: people are overreacting to contracted revenue from over a year ago being deferred by a quarter.\n\nThere was no forward revenue guidance reported here.\n\nI care more about the real-time substrate bottleneck and increasing InP prices than 2024 contracted revenue.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$AXTI drops 29.54% AHs on:\n\n- Lowered Q4 2025 revenue expectations to a range of $23M midpoint, from $27m-$30m.\n\nThoughts: this is immaterial to the bottleneck issue since price shock just came in end of ~December 27th into January (now). This was former earnings, we care about https://t.co/WM16fh1zuj", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06658921093437264, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06658921093437264, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06669075392629065, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08252666898558814, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0001015429919180022, "bench_c_m1d": 0.015937458051215492, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.10994967715742876, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.10994967715742876, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.11656301955152137, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.1369695461149617, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006613342394092614, "bench_c_p1d": 0.027019868957532944, "ret_p1w": -0.004258637656851416, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.004258637656851416, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.00821792672809174, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05025048991950287, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003959289071240324, "bench_c_p1w": 0.045991852262651456, "ret_p1m": -0.06852498888856806, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06852498888856806, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07013476485135361, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1283434021372133, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0016097759627855535, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05981841324864523, "ret_p3m": 0.7599689980157815, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7599689980157815, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.8012877645453652, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.7047682425571753, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04131876652958366, "bench_c_p3m": 0.055200755458606254, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.8219, -0.8231, -0.8223, -0.8091, -0.8254, -0.8099, -0.7998, -0.8087, -0.7995, -0.7654, -0.7604, -0.7445, -0.7263, -0.7166, -0.6922, -0.6725, -0.6694, -0.6477, -0.6566, -0.6338, -0.5958, -0.5912, -0.5749, -0.5958, -0.5958, -0.6032, -0.6167, -0.6086, -0.6341, -0.6543, -0.6384, -0.6427, -0.5954, -0.5954, -0.5858, -0.5823, -0.5447, -0.5556, -0.5316, -0.5517, -0.5079, -0.4208, -0.3995, -0.3659, -0.4266, -0.4259, -0.4967, -0.5215, -0.4576, -0.4328, -0.4108, -0.4332, -0.4189, -0.4189, -0.405, -0.4352, -0.3883, -0.367, -0.367, -0.3511, -0.3546, -0.2191, -0.0666, 0.0, -0.1099, -0.139, -0.1672, -0.1444, -0.0043, -0.1448, -0.1448, -0.1711, -0.2342, -0.3062, -0.3264, -0.3109, -0.3341, -0.3484, -0.3659, -0.2822, -0.1893, -0.2358, -0.2741, -0.2091, -0.0685, 0.0751, -0.0573, 0.0376, -0.0403, -0.0616, -0.0616, -0.1014, -0.0887, -0.0782, 0.1491, 0.1007, 0.3581, 0.5861, 0.4371, 0.4673, 0.7933, 0.6167, 0.5149, 0.5021, 0.2532, 0.4928, 0.7151, 0.8335, 0.8091, 0.8916, 0.8734, 0.7174, 0.8877, 1.2489, 1.0999, 1.4948, 1.6496, 1.6074, 1.2652, 1.3473, 1.0414, 1.206, 0.825, 1.0457, 1.0457, 0.6256, 0.76, 1.0588, 1.4437, 1.4847, 1.5726, 1.6055, 1.4363, 2.1661, 2.1963, 2.0492, 1.9024, 2.3659, 1.9141, 1.9485, 1.7158, 1.6601, 1.7515, 2.067, 2.7166, 3.1038, 3.1638, 3.0585, 3.1974, 3.5048, 3.8707, 3.758, 3.7209, 3.4514, 3.7921, 3.0991, 3.3701, 3.0499, 3.6852, 4.4522, 4.4522, 4.1336, 3.753, 3.4793, 2.9938, 2.9938, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1997029704969367661", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-05T19:45:59+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": true, "quote": "Great idea to short $NBIS because you think it's the same $CRWV, nice thesis!", "tweet_type": "sarcasm", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Sarcastically mocks Hedgeye's NBIS short by contrasting NBIS's strong fundamentals vs CRWV's debt burden; implicitly long NBIS, bearish CRWV.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Great idea to short $NBIS because you think it's the same $CRWV, nice thesis! \n\n$CRWV -> $1.3B+ yearly debt interest, large backlog from OpenAI, $1.8B in cash left.\n\n$NBIS -> Convertible notes structure where interest doesn't heavily cut into profitability, diversified customer base for high utilization (shopify, cursor, governments, hyperscalers like meta/msft), $4.8B+ in cash for buildout, Robotaxi self driving car segments used by $UBER and scaling up to compete vs Waymo, AI training segments funded by and used by $AMZN, Anthropic, and others, 28% in subsidiary that most of the public companies use, all 4 subsidiaries growing 100% Y/Y - $24B MC. \n\nSame company as Coreweave for sure.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "CALL INVITE -&gt; Adding Tactical Short $NBIS; Growing $MSFT Risk \n\nYou don't want to miss this one. \nhttps://t.co/zo3VjxK8CW", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Hedgeye", "ret_m1d": 0.048551632923093946, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.048551632923093946, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.050447568366577156, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.059991924556032306, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018959354434832099, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01144029163293836, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.023357822257676686, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.023357822257676686, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.026362099772351377, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.030785460100627104, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0030042775146746914, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007427637842950419, "ret_p1w": -0.1055691388970793, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1055691388970793, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09983773652522188, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10061740218695459, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00573140237185743, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004951736710124721, "ret_p1m": -0.05314156503284473, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05314156503284473, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05906570308673709, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0616893501607082, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005924138053892358, "bench_c_p1m": 0.008547785127863472, "ret_p3m": -0.0026520005487810083, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0026520005487810083, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.004787758979803436, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0201075362016786, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0021357584310224276, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01745553565289759, "ret_p6m": 1.3570990838423294, "ret_signed_p6m": -1.3570990838423294, "alpha_spy_p6m": -1.2475782186605362, "alpha_c_p6m": -1.363033432342327, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10952086518179316, "bench_c_p6m": -0.005934348499997744, "price_path": [-0.0237, -0.0474, -0.0903, -0.0778, -0.0722, -0.0878, -0.0404, -0.04, 0.013, 0.0873, 0.0996, 0.1549, 0.101, 0.0985, 0.1242, 0.1451, 0.1792, 0.2839, 0.3054, 0.2744, 0.2005, 0.2444, 0.3529, 0.3217, 0.3817, 0.3071, 0.2835, 0.255, 0.1571, 0.1118, 0.0636, 0.0059, 0.0828, 0.196, 0.2794, 0.2427, 0.276, 0.2666, 0.3344, 0.2288, 0.1275, 0.1934, 0.1163, 0.135, 0.1215, 0.0426, -0.0375, -0.096, -0.1479, -0.123, -0.0765, -0.0303, -0.1367, -0.1508, -0.0626, -0.0934, -0.0342, -0.0342, -0.0323, 0.0215, -0.0162, 0.009, 0.0486, 0.0, 0.0234, -0.0166, -0.0454, -0.0384, -0.1056, -0.1724, -0.1743, -0.2304, -0.2035, -0.0875, -0.0491, -0.0817, -0.0705, -0.0705, -0.1066, -0.1224, -0.1313, -0.1462, -0.1462, -0.0825, -0.0531, 0.0224, -0.0187, -0.0075, -0.0011, 0.0948, 0.0754, 0.0402, 0.0596, 0.109, 0.109, 0.0127, 0.0085, -0.0121, -0.0361, -0.0671, -0.0017, 0.0244, -0.0319, -0.1311, -0.1008, -0.0825, -0.1596, -0.2465, -0.1218, -0.0526, -0.0637, -0.0962, -0.0848, -0.0003, -0.0003, -0.0053, 0.0384, 0.0976, -0.0012, 0.0262, 0.0463, 0.0824, 0.0698, -0.0699, -0.0717, -0.1146, -0.0027, -0.0244, -0.0888, -0.0316, -0.0164, 0.1423, 0.102, 0.1521, 0.3245, 0.1866, 0.2093, 0.2395, 0.1997, 0.1643, 0.1721, 0.1739, 0.0809, 0.0284, -0.059, 0.0583, 0.0399, 0.11, 0.11, 0.1479, 0.1975, 0.275, 0.3906, 0.4787, 0.5765, 0.6518, 0.701, 0.6865, 0.6028, 0.6234, 0.5968, 0.5926, 0.6022, 0.501, 0.4786, 0.3822, 0.4401, 0.4099, 0.5758, 0.7995, 0.7944, 0.9899, 0.8846, 0.8059, 0.8982, 0.8269, 1.1141, 1.2557, 1.2434, 1.0386, 1.0168, 0.9565, 1.2433, 1.1906, 1.1906, 1.1222, 1.1254, 1.3086, 1.3571, 1.3571]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1997029704969367661", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-05T19:45:59+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$CRWV -> $1.3B+ yearly debt interest, large backlog from OpenAI, $1.8B in cash left", "tweet_type": "sarcasm", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Sarcastically mocks Hedgeye's NBIS short by contrasting NBIS's strong fundamentals vs CRWV's debt burden; implicitly long NBIS, bearish CRWV.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Great idea to short $NBIS because you think it's the same $CRWV, nice thesis! \n\n$CRWV -> $1.3B+ yearly debt interest, large backlog from OpenAI, $1.8B in cash left.\n\n$NBIS -> Convertible notes structure where interest doesn't heavily cut into profitability, diversified customer base for high utilization (shopify, cursor, governments, hyperscalers like meta/msft), $4.8B+ in cash for buildout, Robotaxi self driving car segments used by $UBER and scaling up to compete vs Waymo, AI training segments funded by and used by $AMZN, Anthropic, and others, 28% in subsidiary that most of the public companies use, all 4 subsidiaries growing 100% Y/Y - $24B MC. \n\nSame company as Coreweave for sure.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "CALL INVITE -&gt; Adding Tactical Short $NBIS; Growing $MSFT Risk \n\nYou don't want to miss this one. \nhttps://t.co/zo3VjxK8CW", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Hedgeye", "ret_m1d": -0.028878855760209987, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.028878855760209987, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.026982920316726777, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.026982920316726777, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018959354434832099, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018959354434832099, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.023329616271709375, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.023329616271709375, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.020325338757034683, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.020325338757034683, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0030042775146746914, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0030042775146746914, "ret_p1w": -0.10996609714923322, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10996609714923322, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10423469477737579, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10423469477737579, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00573140237185743, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00573140237185743, "ret_p1m": -0.129558347067107, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.129558347067107, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.13548248512099936, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.13548248512099936, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005924138053892358, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005924138053892358, "ret_p3m": -0.0996602802674833, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0996602802674833, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10179603869850573, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10179603869850573, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0021357584310224276, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0021357584310224276, "ret_p6m": 0.24043029438056673, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.24043029438056673, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.13090942919877357, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.13090942919877357, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10952086518179316, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10952086518179316, "price_path": [0.135, 0.3266, 0.2762, 0.268, 0.3643, 0.3448, 0.3687, 0.3747, 0.414, 0.5088, 0.4823, 0.5108, 0.4344, 0.3629, 0.3875, 0.5498, 0.5521, 0.5629, 0.5265, 0.5159, 0.459, 0.5853, 0.6204, 0.5677, 0.6039, 0.5182, 0.5769, 0.6052, 0.5501, 0.439, 0.4163, 0.3763, 0.3968, 0.5011, 0.5409, 0.5266, 0.5847, 0.4843, 0.5143, 0.4306, 0.3109, 0.2958, 0.211, 0.1779, 0.196, 0.001, -0.0325, -0.1128, -0.1239, -0.1469, -0.1518, -0.1515, -0.2162, -0.1886, -0.1665, -0.1926, -0.1587, -0.1587, -0.1719, -0.1273, -0.139, -0.1012, -0.0289, 0.0, -0.0233, 0.0267, -0.0016, -0.0104, -0.11, -0.1806, -0.2129, -0.269, -0.2335, -0.06, -0.0393, -0.0911, -0.1068, -0.1068, -0.1345, -0.1515, -0.1631, -0.189, -0.189, -0.1017, -0.1296, -0.1173, -0.1259, -0.127, -0.0924, 0.0185, -0.0093, 0.017, 0.076, 0.1464, 0.1464, 0.0784, 0.0651, 0.0395, 0.053, 0.1134, 0.2328, 0.2007, 0.1272, 0.0554, 0.0072, 0.0199, -0.0661, -0.1546, 0.0187, 0.0961, 0.0771, 0.0776, 0.0838, 0.0877, 0.0877, 0.0306, 0.081, 0.1001, 0.0108, 0.0288, 0.1246, 0.11, 0.1057, -0.099, -0.1161, -0.1644, -0.0997, -0.1527, -0.1734, -0.1573, -0.1515, -0.0718, -0.0956, -0.0814, -0.0276, -0.07, -0.0621, -0.0865, -0.0773, -0.0718, -0.0598, -0.0082, -0.0889, -0.1528, -0.2169, -0.1227, -0.1117, -0.0686, -0.0686, -0.0834, -0.0347, 0.0068, 0.0419, 0.1552, 0.2488, 0.3273, 0.3442, 0.354, 0.3233, 0.3299, 0.3042, 0.3878, 0.3298, 0.2473, 0.2691, 0.1951, 0.2932, 0.2639, 0.3478, 0.4205, 0.4484, 0.5626, 0.4591, 0.2928, 0.299, 0.2203, 0.2606, 0.2935, 0.2152, 0.1752, 0.1304, 0.147, 0.2183, 0.1947, 0.1947, 0.1992, 0.1809, 0.2102, 0.2404, 0.2404]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2006449819116806486", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-31T19:38:09+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm extremely confident in Nebius outperforming in 2026 and reversing current trends", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Extremely confident NBIS outperforms and reverses current downtrend in 2026, citing diversified high-growth business lines.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NBIS is basically 5 different companies in 1 at this point and one of the most high-beta stocks in the entire market.\n\nExtremely volatile though. It's peers like $CRWV went up 24% in a day the other week off. \n\nNebius also went up 40% in a day on the initial $MSFT deal. And round tripped 100->140 -> 100 all in the span of two weeks. So just extremely volatile and definitely not a stock for the faint of heart.\n\nThat aside I'm extremely confident in Nebius outperforming in 2026 and reversing current trends. It's basically investing in a FSD-level 4 Robotaxi company, a DB that almost every fortune 500 company uses, and other moving parts growing triple digits Y/Y that derive more profit to the core business.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit what do you think of $NBIS chance for reversal?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "vicecarloans", "ret_m1d": 0.01750189720857409, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01750189720857409, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01003762730298674, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0126599243326726, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007464269905587351, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00484197287590149, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.14939366799916365, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.14939366799916365, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.13816064542577844, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15474537013730882, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01123302257338521, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005351702138145176, "ret_p1m": 0.13386299009550484, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13386299009550484, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11608966667528109, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11627889094380106, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017773323420223752, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01758409915170378, "ret_p3m": 0.10220417081457933, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10220417081457933, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.17292231241528322, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1821862184620423, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.07071814160070389, "bench_c_p3m": -0.07998204764746297, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.5289, 0.4926, 0.4061, 0.4575, 0.5846, 0.5481, 0.6183, 0.531, 0.5033, 0.4699, 0.3552, 0.3022, 0.2458, 0.1782, 0.2683, 0.4009, 0.4985, 0.4555, 0.4945, 0.4835, 0.5629, 0.4392, 0.3206, 0.3978, 0.3074, 0.3294, 0.3135, 0.2212, 0.1273, 0.0588, -0.002, 0.0272, 0.0817, 0.1358, 0.0112, -0.0053, 0.0979, 0.0618, 0.1312, 0.1312, 0.1334, 0.1965, 0.1523, 0.1818, 0.2281, 0.1713, 0.1986, 0.1518, 0.1181, 0.1263, 0.0476, -0.0306, -0.0329, -0.0986, -0.0671, 0.0688, 0.1138, 0.0756, 0.0887, 0.0887, 0.0464, 0.0279, 0.0175, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0746, 0.109, 0.1975, 0.1494, 0.1624, 0.1699, 0.2822, 0.2595, 0.2183, 0.2411, 0.299, 0.299, 0.1862, 0.1812, 0.157, 0.129, 0.0926, 0.1692, 0.1998, 0.1339, 0.0177, 0.0532, 0.0746, -0.0157, -0.1175, 0.0286, 0.1096, 0.0966, 0.0586, 0.072, 0.1709, 0.1709, 0.165, 0.2162, 0.2856, 0.1698, 0.202, 0.2255, 0.2678, 0.253, 0.0894, 0.0873, 0.037, 0.1682, 0.1427, 0.0672, 0.1342, 0.152, 0.338, 0.2907, 0.3494, 0.5513, 0.3898, 0.4164, 0.4518, 0.4052, 0.3637, 0.3728, 0.3749, 0.266, 0.2045, 0.1022, 0.2396, 0.218, 0.3, 0.3, 0.3445, 0.4025, 0.4933, 0.6287, 0.7319, 0.8465, 0.9347, 0.9924, 0.9753, 0.8773, 0.9014, 0.8703, 0.8654, 0.8766, 0.7581, 0.7318, 0.6189, 0.6868, 0.6514, 0.8456, 1.1076, 1.1017, 1.3307, 1.2074, 1.1152, 1.2233, 1.1398, 1.4762, 1.642, 1.6276, 1.3877, 1.3622, 1.2916, 1.6274, 1.5658, 1.5658, 1.4856, 1.4893, 1.704, 1.7608, 1.7608, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1984592328108183801", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-01T12:04:17+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "リスクを最小限に抑えつつ大きなリターンを狙うなら、$IREN よりも $NBIS が明らかに優れています。", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Prefers NBIS over IREN for long-term hold: $10B+ NAV, $5.8B cash, MSFT contract with $4.9B ARR, potential $100B market cap; IREN lacks clear enterprise contracts.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "ja", "tweet_text": "Both are good. どちらを選んでも間違いではありません。\nしかし、リスクを最小限に抑えつつ大きなリターンを狙うなら、$IREN よりも $NBIS が明らかに優れています。\n\n彼らの純資産は 100 億ドル以上で、そのうち 58 億ドルが現金、残りは Clickhouse のようなハイパースケーリング中のポートフォリオ企業の株式です。\nClickhouse は Anthropic や $META を支える基盤技術を提供しています。\n\nさらに、$MSFT との契約により、ベースケースでの年間経常収益（ARR）は 49 億ドルに達しています。\n\n仮に成長が完全に止まったとしても、評価額は 400 億ドル以上と見込まれます。\nしかし、四半期ごとの収益成長率が 1000% を超えていることを考えると、もう1件ハイパースケーラーとの契約を獲得すれば、時価総額は 1000 億ドルに達する可能性があると見ています。\n\n一方で $IREN は、キャパシティへの投資という形になりますが、現時点では Poolhouse 以外に企業契約などの明確な見通しがありません。\n\nその点、$NBIS はすでに Microsoft、Shopify、Accenture などの政府機関や企業と直接取引を行っています。", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "ネオクラウド株は長期的な保有を考えてますので、銘柄を間違える訳にはいきません。今は $IREN を選択してますが $NBIS  を徹底的に調査します。\n\n※似たような事業の株を複数持つ投資方法は私はしていません。", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "NcxPYH7iiE6uD86", "ret_m1d": 0.08591355523068556, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08591355523068556, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08778681678889533, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07517315981838268, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010740395412302872, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08242716198685718, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08242716198685718, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07057362204440965, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.075560366211469, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006866795775388179, "ret_p1w": -0.08732467971995872, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08732467971995872, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08454416095747552, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08459559111130788, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0027290886086508426, "ret_p1m": -0.19938577263277246, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.19938577263277246, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19673703073352378, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2138236734625919, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014437900829819439, "ret_p3m": -0.21216898231591608, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21216898231591608, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23082847835699605, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.27016535998008484, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05799637766416876, "ret_p6m": 0.12484430259595736, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.12484430259595736, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.07742672938322026, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09926724251497565, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "bench_c_p6m": 0.025577060080981706, "price_path": [-0.5427, -0.4579, -0.4291, -0.417, -0.3747, -0.4137, -0.4317, -0.4055, -0.3979, -0.4423, -0.4399, -0.4507, -0.4274, -0.4188, -0.415, -0.4181, -0.402, -0.4329, -0.4329, -0.4545, -0.4551, -0.4612, -0.4565, -0.4682, -0.2054, -0.2248, -0.2596, -0.2495, -0.245, -0.2577, -0.2191, -0.2187, -0.1756, -0.1151, -0.1052, -0.0601, -0.104, -0.106, -0.0851, -0.0681, -0.0403, 0.0448, 0.0623, 0.0371, -0.023, 0.0127, 0.101, 0.0756, 0.1244, 0.0638, 0.0445, 0.0213, -0.0584, -0.0952, -0.1344, -0.1814, -0.1188, -0.0266, 0.0412, 0.0113, 0.0384, 0.0308, 0.0859, 0.0, -0.0824, -0.0288, -0.0916, -0.0763, -0.0873, -0.1515, -0.2167, -0.2643, -0.3065, -0.2863, -0.2484, -0.2108, -0.2974, -0.3089, -0.2372, -0.2622, -0.214, -0.214, -0.2125, -0.1687, -0.1994, -0.1789, -0.1467, -0.1862, -0.1672, -0.1997, -0.2231, -0.2174, -0.2721, -0.3265, -0.328, -0.3737, -0.3518, -0.2574, -0.2261, -0.2527, -0.2435, -0.2435, -0.2729, -0.2858, -0.293, -0.3052, -0.3052, -0.2533, -0.2294, -0.1679, -0.2014, -0.1923, -0.1871, -0.1091, -0.1248, -0.1535, -0.1377, -0.0975, -0.0975, -0.1758, -0.1793, -0.1961, -0.2156, -0.2408, -0.1876, -0.1663, -0.2122, -0.2929, -0.2682, -0.2533, -0.3161, -0.3868, -0.2853, -0.229, -0.2381, -0.2645, -0.2552, -0.1864, -0.1864, -0.1905, -0.155, -0.1067, -0.1872, -0.1649, -0.1485, -0.1191, -0.1294, -0.243, -0.2445, -0.2795, -0.1883, -0.206, -0.2585, -0.2119, -0.1996, -0.0703, -0.1032, -0.0624, 0.0779, -0.0344, -0.0159, 0.0087, -0.0237, -0.0525, -0.0462, -0.0447, -0.1204, -0.1631, -0.2342, -0.1387, -0.1537, -0.0967, -0.0967, -0.0658, -0.0255, 0.0376, 0.1317, 0.2034, 0.283, 0.3442, 0.3843, 0.3725, 0.3044, 0.3212, 0.2995, 0.2961, 0.3039, 0.2215, 0.2033, 0.1248]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1984592328108183801", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-01T12:04:17+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$IREN は、キャパシティへの投資という形になりますが、現時点では Poolhouse 以外に企業契約などの明確な見通しがありません。", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Prefers NBIS over IREN for long-term hold: $10B+ NAV, $5.8B cash, MSFT contract with $4.9B ARR, potential $100B market cap; IREN lacks clear enterprise contracts.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "ja", "tweet_text": "Both are good. どちらを選んでも間違いではありません。\nしかし、リスクを最小限に抑えつつ大きなリターンを狙うなら、$IREN よりも $NBIS が明らかに優れています。\n\n彼らの純資産は 100 億ドル以上で、そのうち 58 億ドルが現金、残りは Clickhouse のようなハイパースケーリング中のポートフォリオ企業の株式です。\nClickhouse は Anthropic や $META を支える基盤技術を提供しています。\n\nさらに、$MSFT との契約により、ベースケースでの年間経常収益（ARR）は 49 億ドルに達しています。\n\n仮に成長が完全に止まったとしても、評価額は 400 億ドル以上と見込まれます。\nしかし、四半期ごとの収益成長率が 1000% を超えていることを考えると、もう1件ハイパースケーラーとの契約を獲得すれば、時価総額は 1000 億ドルに達する可能性があると見ています。\n\n一方で $IREN は、キャパシティへの投資という形になりますが、現時点では Poolhouse 以外に企業契約などの明確な見通しがありません。\n\nその点、$NBIS はすでに Microsoft、Shopify、Accenture などの政府機関や企業と直接取引を行っています。", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "ネオクラウド株は長期的な保有を考えてますので、銘柄を間違える訳にはいきません。今は $IREN を選択してますが $NBIS  を徹底的に調査します。\n\n※似たような事業の株を複数持つ投資方法は私はしていません。", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "NcxPYH7iiE6uD86", "ret_m1d": -0.10332103321033215, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.10332103321033215, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.10144777165212238, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.10753956645400609, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004218533243673939, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01653140585360935, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01653140585360935, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004677865911161816, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0217086564081882, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005177250554578849, "ret_p1w": -0.11188194584582567, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11188194584582567, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10910142708334247, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.12760582463574355, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015723878789917878, "ret_p1m": -0.3930627463928448, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3930627463928448, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3904140044935961, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4062937683424098, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013231021949565047, "ret_p3m": -0.11675276527545553, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11675276527545553, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1354122613165355, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1471872809874556, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "bench_c_p3m": 0.030434515712000065, "ret_p6m": -0.34405906086038396, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.34405906086038396, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.39147663407312105, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.34690997950694125, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0028509186465572878, "price_path": [-0.7296, -0.7259, -0.7277, -0.7348, -0.7368, -0.7383, -0.7184, -0.7094, -0.6944, -0.7235, -0.7083, -0.7108, -0.6837, -0.6587, -0.6607, -0.67, -0.6599, -0.6092, -0.6092, -0.5703, -0.5836, -0.6143, -0.614, -0.6134, -0.5544, -0.5036, -0.5151, -0.4987, -0.4518, -0.462, -0.4406, -0.4639, -0.4297, -0.3815, -0.3835, -0.3042, -0.3168, -0.3821, -0.3221, -0.3073, -0.3051, -0.306, -0.2552, -0.1476, -0.0896, -0.1131, -0.0576, -0.1178, -0.0533, 0.0267, 0.0034, -0.0874, -0.1038, -0.1259, -0.1853, -0.235, -0.1755, -0.0716, -0.0407, -0.0787, -0.1082, -0.1407, -0.1033, 0.0, -0.0165, 0.1278, -0.0117, -0.0793, -0.1119, -0.1531, -0.1779, -0.2819, -0.3156, -0.3002, -0.279, -0.3235, -0.3584, -0.3762, -0.2843, -0.2993, -0.2849, -0.2849, -0.2943, -0.2843, -0.3931, -0.3511, -0.3144, -0.3401, -0.316, -0.3086, -0.3517, -0.3514, -0.4077, -0.4763, -0.4599, -0.5014, -0.4716, -0.4108, -0.3795, -0.379, -0.3804, -0.3804, -0.4052, -0.4183, -0.4347, -0.4425, -0.4425, -0.3697, -0.288, -0.3224, -0.3561, -0.3258, -0.3206, -0.2571, -0.2179, -0.2195, -0.2341, -0.1466, -0.1466, -0.1991, -0.2106, -0.2286, -0.1634, -0.2272, -0.1145, -0.071, -0.1168, -0.2068, -0.2165, -0.1972, -0.3367, -0.4127, -0.3826, -0.3188, -0.3663, -0.3702, -0.4092, -0.3768, -0.3768, -0.3953, -0.3789, -0.361, -0.4099, -0.3748, -0.3292, -0.3501, -0.347, -0.3956, -0.3891, -0.4266, -0.3529, -0.4077, -0.4583, -0.4267, -0.4373, -0.3804, -0.3894, -0.3863, -0.3367, -0.3659, -0.377, -0.3851, -0.3906, -0.3777, -0.3931, -0.3885, -0.4472, -0.4821, -0.5333, -0.494, -0.4968, -0.4868, -0.4868, -0.4815, -0.4725, -0.4564, -0.453, -0.4196, -0.3643, -0.3008, -0.2794, -0.2959, -0.2897, -0.2809, -0.3333, -0.2858, -0.2322, -0.2525, -0.2862, -0.3441]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1983545695434162366", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-29T14:45:20+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "With 2 more rate cuts and seasonality tailwind for the next few months, should be really positive for $NBIS", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish NBIS on rate cut tailwinds and seasonal factors over the next few months.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@accounting_ds Congrats, 300%+ return is really amazing YTD. With 2 more rate cuts and seasonality tailwind for the next few months, should be really positive for $NBIS. \n\nYeah just keep doing what you're doing if it's working, no reason to change.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit To keep a long story short concentration is the name of the game for me\n\nStarted this year at 15k and now at 50k from primarily picking 1-2 names at a time and taking advantage of this easy ass bull market\n\nPretty much you nailed it, I have no wealth to preserve anyways so I", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "accounting_ds", "ret_m1d": -0.026139062213840547, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.026139062213840547, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.025658905834846535, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.028632781530138707, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0004801563789940122, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0024937193162981597, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007354102159606524, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007354102159606524, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0036440417774703526, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.009586312164789446, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010998143937076876, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01694041432439597, "ret_p1w": -0.06474819003132681, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06474819003132681, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05047673156413923, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.040068510182443506, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014271458467187581, "bench_c_p1w": -0.024679679848883307, "ret_p1m": -0.24308550282680963, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.24308550282680963, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.23186911410820743, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.22734893023129732, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0112163887186022, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01573657259551231, "ret_p3m": -0.2689048745001176, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2689048745001176, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2796511082372425, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2849101853490611, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01074623373712491, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01600531084894352, "ret_p6m": 0.25563552155877245, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.25563552155877245, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.21912952764087223, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.23967669516447643, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.036505993917900215, "bench_c_p6m": 0.015958826394296022, "price_path": [-0.5843, -0.567, -0.559, -0.5596, -0.4779, -0.4502, -0.4385, -0.3978, -0.4354, -0.4528, -0.4275, -0.4201, -0.4629, -0.4607, -0.471, -0.4486, -0.4403, -0.4366, -0.4396, -0.4241, -0.4539, -0.4539, -0.4747, -0.4752, -0.4811, -0.4767, -0.4879, -0.2349, -0.2535, -0.2871, -0.2773, -0.2729, -0.2851, -0.248, -0.2476, -0.2062, -0.1479, -0.1383, -0.0949, -0.1372, -0.1391, -0.1189, -0.1026, -0.0759, 0.0062, 0.023, -0.0013, -0.0592, -0.0248, 0.0603, 0.0358, 0.0828, 0.0244, 0.0058, -0.0165, -0.0932, -0.1287, -0.1664, -0.2117, -0.1514, -0.0627, 0.0026, -0.0261, 0.0, -0.0074, 0.0457, -0.037, -0.1164, -0.0647, -0.1252, -0.1105, -0.1211, -0.1829, -0.2457, -0.2915, -0.3322, -0.3127, -0.2763, -0.24, -0.3234, -0.3345, -0.2654, -0.2895, -0.2431, -0.2431, -0.2416, -0.1994, -0.229, -0.2093, -0.1783, -0.2163, -0.198, -0.2293, -0.2519, -0.2464, -0.299, -0.3514, -0.3529, -0.3969, -0.3758, -0.2849, -0.2548, -0.2803, -0.2715, -0.2715, -0.2998, -0.3122, -0.3192, -0.3309, -0.3309, -0.281, -0.258, -0.1987, -0.2309, -0.2222, -0.2172, -0.142, -0.1572, -0.1848, -0.1696, -0.1309, -0.1309, -0.2063, -0.2097, -0.2258, -0.2446, -0.2689, -0.2177, -0.1972, -0.2413, -0.319, -0.2953, -0.281, -0.3414, -0.4095, -0.3118, -0.2576, -0.2663, -0.2917, -0.2827, -0.2165, -0.2165, -0.2205, -0.1863, -0.1398, -0.2173, -0.1958, -0.18, -0.1517, -0.1616, -0.2711, -0.2725, -0.3062, -0.2184, -0.2354, -0.2859, -0.2411, -0.2292, -0.1048, -0.1364, -0.0971, 0.038, -0.0701, -0.0523, -0.0286, -0.0598, -0.0875, -0.0815, -0.08, -0.1529, -0.1941, -0.2625, -0.1706, -0.1851, -0.1301, -0.1301, -0.1004, -0.0616, -0.0008, 0.0898, 0.1588, 0.2355, 0.2945, 0.3331, 0.3217, 0.2561, 0.2723, 0.2514, 0.2481, 0.2556]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1965104785255985546", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-08T17:27:45+00:00", "symbol": "MARA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd probably buy $MARA / $RIOT or $WYFI if i had to take a speculative gamble on two though", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Would speculatively buy bitcoin mining stocks MARA, RIOT, or WULF over the next few months.", "resolved_tickers": ["MARA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@__visionxry__ I never entered $IREN. I was just looking at potential of bitcoin mining stocks over the next few months.\n\nI'd probably buy $MARA / $RIOT or $WYFI if i had to take a speculative gamble on two though.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Are you still in on IREN?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "__visionxry__", "ret_m1d": -0.0006579098031133102, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0006579098031133102, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.001792801797851351, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.001792801797851351, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0024507116009646612, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0024507116009646612, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04802634901782521, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04802634901782521, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04571452340702087, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04571452340702087, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002311825610804341, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002311825610804341, "ret_p1w": 0.06842105098048079, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06842105098048079, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04980302350306398, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04980302350306398, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01861802747741681, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01861802747741681, "ret_p1m": 0.33223685882263254, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.33223685882263254, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.29810610107812585, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.29810610107812585, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03413075774450669, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03413075774450669, "ret_p3m": -0.18157896470495227, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.18157896470495227, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23930962075152074, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23930962075152074, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05773065604656846, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05773065604656846, "ret_p6m": -0.4302631607841587, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4302631607841587, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.48482609681881184, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.48482609681881184, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05456293603465312, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05456293603465312, "price_path": [0.0757, 0.0408, -0.0105, 0.0079, -0.0349, -0.0467, -0.0467, -0.0579, -0.0671, -0.0211, -0.0145, 0.0046, -0.0112, 0.0316, 0.0329, 0.1711, 0.1618, 0.1618, 0.102, 0.1526, 0.2145, 0.25, 0.2592, 0.2638, 0.2342, 0.2789, 0.3138, 0.2836, 0.2388, 0.3079, 0.1559, 0.1355, 0.1349, 0.1289, 0.0928, 0.0888, 0.0579, 0.0197, 0.0553, 0.0276, 0.0454, 0.0493, 0.0118, 0.0303, 0.0342, 0.0434, 0.0362, 0.0309, 0.0586, -0.002, 0.0164, 0.0204, 0.0717, 0.0132, 0.0421, 0.0428, 0.05, 0.0513, 0.0513, 0.0566, 0.0454, -0.0059, -0.0007, 0.0, 0.048, 0.0434, 0.0336, 0.073, 0.0684, 0.1533, 0.1408, 0.2171, 0.2033, 0.2072, 0.1651, 0.1605, 0.0572, 0.0612, 0.2276, 0.2013, 0.2243, 0.2362, 0.2382, 0.3533, 0.3322, 0.3289, 0.3289, 0.227, 0.3316, 0.4632, 0.5026, 0.3336, 0.2875, 0.3638, 0.3204, 0.2599, 0.2645, 0.2855, 0.2868, 0.2421, 0.2421, 0.1684, 0.202, 0.1717, 0.0934, 0.127, 0.05, 0.0441, 0.025, -0.0375, -0.052, -0.1592, -0.2112, -0.2428, -0.2184, -0.2697, -0.3263, -0.3375, -0.2625, -0.2651, -0.2691, -0.2691, -0.223, -0.2421, -0.2164, -0.1796, -0.1816, -0.2276, -0.2072, -0.1941, -0.2158, -0.2211, -0.2421, -0.2961, -0.2967, -0.3467, -0.3625, -0.3303, -0.3336, -0.3513, -0.3461, -0.3461, -0.3691, -0.3757, -0.3862, -0.4092, -0.4092, -0.348, -0.3033, -0.3217, -0.3368, -0.3132, -0.3276, -0.2993, -0.2796, -0.2691, -0.2987, -0.2526, -0.2526, -0.3178, -0.3053, -0.323, -0.3092, -0.3434, -0.3079, -0.3178, -0.3513, -0.375, -0.4, -0.4046, -0.4553, -0.5572, -0.4579, -0.4697, -0.4961, -0.5026, -0.523, -0.4789, -0.4789, -0.5059, -0.5066, -0.4763, -0.4757, -0.4816, -0.4704, -0.4362, -0.4441, -0.4118, -0.3783, -0.4303]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1965104785255985546", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-08T17:27:45+00:00", "symbol": "RIOT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd probably buy $MARA / $RIOT or $WYFI if i had to take a speculative gamble on two though", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Would speculatively buy bitcoin mining stocks MARA, RIOT, or WULF over the next few months.", "resolved_tickers": ["RIOT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@__visionxry__ I never entered $IREN. I was just looking at potential of bitcoin mining stocks over the next few months.\n\nI'd probably buy $MARA / $RIOT or $WYFI if i had to take a speculative gamble on two though.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Are you still in on IREN?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "__visionxry__", "ret_m1d": -0.011160686251003304, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011160686251003304, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.008709974650038643, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010407510001655296, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0024507116009646612, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0007531762493480088, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1316964667429843, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1316964667429843, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.12938464113217996, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.1273658123388004, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002311825610804341, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004330654404183898, "ret_p1w": 0.24107149002604933, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.24107149002604933, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.22245346254863252, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.23033905556154144, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01861802747741681, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01073243446450789, "ret_p1m": 0.5974702368809286, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5974702368809286, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5633394791364219, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5817103763922551, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03413075774450669, "bench_c_p1m": 0.015759860488673505, "ret_p3m": 0.15997028566449356, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15997028566449356, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1022396296179251, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.14628845603787477, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05773065604656846, "bench_c_p3m": 0.013681829626618791, "ret_p6m": 0.1376488422045743, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1376488422045743, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08308590616992118, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.16686840274854753, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05456293603465312, "bench_c_p6m": -0.029219560543973233, "price_path": [-0.215, -0.2403, -0.2768, -0.2433, -0.2812, -0.2604, -0.2604, -0.2887, -0.3103, -0.2545, -0.256, -0.218, -0.215, -0.1592, -0.1615, -0.0923, -0.0945, -0.0945, -0.1406, -0.1391, -0.0893, -0.0632, -0.0759, -0.0692, -0.0997, -0.0647, -0.0082, 0.0313, 0.0432, 0.0618, 0.067, 0.093, 0.0818, 0.0796, 0.0119, 0.006, -0.0022, -0.1793, -0.1503, -0.1719, -0.1324, -0.1384, -0.1756, -0.1734, -0.1488, -0.1376, -0.0885, -0.157, -0.0833, -0.1101, -0.0685, -0.0871, -0.0164, -0.0119, 0.0186, 0.0082, 0.0268, 0.0238, 0.0238, 0.0484, 0.0007, -0.0208, -0.0112, 0.0, 0.1317, 0.2202, 0.1644, 0.1823, 0.2411, 0.3036, 0.311, 0.3028, 0.2991, 0.3021, 0.2701, 0.3385, 0.2455, 0.3162, 0.4717, 0.4159, 0.4085, 0.4323, 0.4464, 0.6042, 0.5975, 0.6362, 0.6577, 0.5632, 0.6146, 0.651, 0.6466, 0.4546, 0.4903, 0.6376, 0.5379, 0.4129, 0.5246, 0.5938, 0.7113, 0.6038, 0.6496, 0.5692, 0.4717, 0.5417, 0.4342, 0.4115, 0.2902, 0.2656, 0.2887, 0.2009, 0.1503, 0.0327, 0.0379, 0.0327, 0.0372, -0.0067, -0.0491, -0.0543, 0.0327, 0.0707, 0.1131, 0.1131, 0.2001, 0.1518, 0.1324, 0.1637, 0.16, 0.1116, 0.1131, 0.154, 0.1585, 0.1719, 0.1384, 0.0201, 0.0022, -0.0357, -0.0045, 0.0789, 0.0714, 0.0171, 0.0357, 0.0357, 0.0, -0.0171, -0.0551, -0.0573, -0.0573, 0.0536, 0.1004, 0.1146, 0.1362, 0.1257, 0.1399, 0.224, 0.2463, 0.2879, 0.2329, 0.4315, 0.4315, 0.3467, 0.2835, 0.2708, 0.2857, 0.2076, 0.3058, 0.3058, 0.2626, 0.151, 0.1399, 0.1414, 0.0521, -0.1027, 0.0751, 0.1138, 0.1034, 0.1012, 0.0565, 0.1324, 0.1324, 0.09, 0.1525, 0.2068, 0.1667, 0.1644, 0.2277, 0.2708, 0.2716, 0.2121, 0.2225, 0.1376]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1965104785255985546", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-09-08T17:27:45+00:00", "symbol": "WULF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd probably buy $MARA / $RIOT or $WYFI if i had to take a speculative gamble on two though", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Would speculatively buy bitcoin mining stocks MARA, RIOT, or WULF over the next few months.", "resolved_tickers": ["WULF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@__visionxry__ I never entered $IREN. I was just looking at potential of bitcoin mining stocks over the next few months.\n\nI'd probably buy $MARA / $RIOT or $WYFI if i had to take a speculative gamble on two though.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Are you still in on IREN?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "__visionxry__", "ret_m1d": -0.007608662638636465, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007608662638636465, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.005157951037671804, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005157951037671804, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0024507116009646612, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0024507116009646612, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.11956526133423817, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.11956526133423817, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.11725343572343383, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.11725343572343383, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002311825610804341, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002311825610804341, "ret_p1w": 0.14021739006493172, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.14021739006493172, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12159936258751491, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.12159936258751491, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01861802747741681, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01861802747741681, "ret_p1m": 0.31521746003560325, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.31521746003560325, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.28108670229109656, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.28108670229109656, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03413075774450669, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03413075774450669, "ret_p3m": 0.6413044233177936, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6413044233177936, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5835737672712251, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5835737672712251, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05773065604656846, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05773065604656846, "ret_p6m": 0.6021739213813682, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6021739213813682, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.547610985346715, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.547610985346715, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05456293603465312, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05456293603465312, "price_path": [-0.5207, -0.537, -0.563, -0.5293, -0.5707, -0.5826, -0.5826, -0.5935, -0.612, -0.5826, -0.587, -0.5228, -0.5413, -0.5239, -0.5174, -0.4522, -0.4283, -0.4283, -0.4783, -0.4761, -0.4641, -0.4424, -0.4685, -0.4446, -0.4707, -0.4293, -0.4174, -0.4424, -0.4576, -0.4283, -0.4348, -0.4217, -0.438, -0.4457, -0.4326, -0.4554, -0.4391, -0.4826, -0.4685, -0.45, -0.4402, -0.463, -0.4533, -0.413, -0.4304, -0.4065, -0.0533, -0.025, 0.0196, -0.0457, 0.0087, -0.0011, -0.0043, -0.0293, 0.0043, -0.0076, 0.0261, 0.0272, 0.0272, 0.0467, -0.0239, -0.0359, -0.0076, 0.0, 0.1196, 0.1467, 0.1565, 0.1696, 0.1402, 0.1891, 0.2337, 0.2141, 0.1935, 0.2489, 0.2217, 0.2391, 0.1924, 0.1772, 0.2609, 0.2413, 0.2467, 0.2587, 0.2957, 0.3011, 0.3152, 0.337, 0.4772, 0.4685, 0.5217, 0.6804, 0.6815, 0.5065, 0.5141, 0.5054, 0.4283, 0.3717, 0.4, 0.4902, 0.4826, 0.7326, 0.5761, 0.6109, 0.6848, 0.75, 0.6315, 0.6696, 0.5522, 0.5152, 0.5543, 0.3446, 0.3739, 0.2696, 0.1946, 0.2011, 0.3043, 0.3293, 0.2565, 0.2272, 0.3728, 0.5152, 0.613, 0.613, 0.6859, 0.663, 0.5457, 0.5685, 0.6413, 0.5761, 0.6261, 0.6946, 0.713, 0.7207, 0.5576, 0.3576, 0.412, 0.2576, 0.2815, 0.3609, 0.3554, 0.35, 0.338, 0.338, 0.2772, 0.2413, 0.212, 0.2489, 0.2489, 0.3848, 0.4804, 0.4326, 0.3576, 0.3957, 0.4239, 0.5011, 0.537, 0.5446, 0.5033, 0.5054, 0.5054, 0.4489, 0.4261, 0.4011, 0.5348, 0.4989, 0.6641, 0.6424, 0.5804, 0.4533, 0.4609, 0.6087, 0.5087, 0.2957, 0.5533, 0.8098, 0.8076, 0.7424, 0.7293, 0.7674, 0.7674, 0.7587, 0.6717, 0.6815, 0.6315, 0.7043, 0.9087, 0.9478, 0.9435, 0.763, 0.7413, 0.6022]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1999021996399816973", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-11T07:42:38+00:00", "symbol": "ORCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it's a buying opportunity if fundamentals aren't too materially impacted", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "OpenAI contagion dragging down ORCL, CRWV, AMD creates buying opportunity where fundamentals aren't materially impacted.", "resolved_tickers": ["ORCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "OpenAI was the clear leader before. \n\nNow, Gemini 3.0 surpasses it in image generation. Claude Opus 4.5 surpasses it in coding. Can go down the line. \n\nIt looked like ChatGPT couldn’t be disrupted after they got first movers advantage. Now from similarweb data we can see popularity with Gemini growing vs ChatGPT. And im sure they’re a lot more cost effective as well using in house TPUs for inference.\n\nOpenAI tried making the whole industry dependent on it, by asking Mag7 + government to backstop their contract promises so they all go down the ship together but that ended up flopping.  \n\nAI industry as a whole is not OpenAI, we’ll likely see widespread LLM + growing compute usage from Anthropic, Google, XAi and other vendors as we see more agentic + robotics applications next. \n\nBut right now we’re seeing contagion spread from OpenAI to several companies in the sector $ORCL, $CRWV, maybe $AMD and others few hops away that were building out capacity for their promise capex spend. But it’s taking down other companies isolated from OpenAI (in terms of stock price), which is why it’s a buying opportunity if fundamentals aren’t too materially impacted.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I agree that $ORCL has a higher risk factor because  of OpenAI. But how have other llm’s succeeded in a way that OpenAI hasn’t? If OAI fails then why would the “insatiable” demand continue? I feel like they are all in the same bed together whether we like it or not.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Melissa09744266", "ret_m1d": 0.12149852071919609, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.12149852071919609, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.12382006673256762, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.12382006673256762, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04465683155963751, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04465683155963751, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03390486263210357, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03390486263210357, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "ret_p1w": -0.09464432407058543, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09464432407058543, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0762163344822272, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0762163344822272, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "ret_p1m": 0.0009794444821900061, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0009794444821900061, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.009106477213884467, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.009106477213884467, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "ret_p3m": -0.2466939309339543, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2466939309339543, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23219969930556417, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23219969930556417, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "bench_c_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.5168, 0.5394, 0.5131, 0.4891, 0.5495, 0.6474, 0.5755, 0.5485, 0.4625, 0.423, 0.4195, 0.4119, 0.4509, 0.4497, 0.4365, 0.4638, 0.4269, 0.449, 0.4934, 0.4733, 0.549, 0.5036, 0.5269, 0.5741, 0.465, 0.3939, 0.3837, 0.3712, 0.4084, 0.4248, 0.4151, 0.4123, 0.3845, 0.2919, 0.3206, 0.2967, 0.248, 0.2588, 0.226, 0.2032, 0.2111, 0.1876, 0.1415, 0.0941, 0.1207, 0.1057, 0.1088, 0.1342, 0.0595, -0.0005, 0.0072, -0.0092, 0.0307, 0.0307, 0.0156, 0.0105, 0.0113, 0.0447, 0.0778, 0.0942, 0.1091, 0.1141, 0.1215, 0.0, -0.0447, -0.0701, -0.0513, -0.1025, -0.0946, -0.0346, -0.0024, -0.0177, -0.0068, -0.0068, -0.0043, -0.0175, -0.0082, -0.0198, -0.0198, -0.0158, -0.0315, -0.0256, -0.0302, -0.0463, 0.001, 0.032, 0.02, -0.0238, -0.0427, -0.0365, -0.0365, -0.0928, -0.1233, -0.1016, -0.1067, -0.0801, -0.1181, -0.1287, -0.1478, -0.1702, -0.1929, -0.2201, -0.2605, -0.3118, -0.2799, -0.2104, -0.1938, -0.2076, -0.211, -0.1925, -0.1925, -0.2237, -0.2126, -0.2107, -0.2533, -0.2875, -0.2631, -0.2543, -0.2421, -0.2669, -0.2475, -0.2487, -0.2317, -0.2195, -0.2287, -0.2358, -0.2467, -0.1775, -0.1975, -0.2179, -0.2136, -0.22, -0.229, -0.2158, -0.2453, -0.2218, -0.2583, -0.2637, -0.2799, -0.2958, -0.3001, -0.2582, -0.2677, -0.2619, -0.2619, -0.2662, -0.2781, -0.2756, -0.3025, -0.3013, -0.2126, -0.1752, -0.1408, -0.0976, -0.1142, -0.1015, -0.0833, -0.0513, -0.1081, -0.1232, -0.1249, -0.1603, -0.171, -0.1834, -0.1306, -0.0878, -0.0622, -0.0182, -0.0154, -0.0085, -0.0192, -0.0547, -0.0398, -0.0102, -0.0237, -0.0558, -0.0818, -0.0479, -0.0398, -0.0281, -0.0281, -0.0232, -0.0338, 0.0307, 0.1424, 0.1424, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1999021996399816973", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-11T07:42:38+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it's a buying opportunity if fundamentals aren't too materially impacted", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "OpenAI contagion dragging down ORCL, CRWV, AMD creates buying opportunity where fundamentals aren't materially impacted.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "OpenAI was the clear leader before. \n\nNow, Gemini 3.0 surpasses it in image generation. Claude Opus 4.5 surpasses it in coding. Can go down the line. \n\nIt looked like ChatGPT couldn’t be disrupted after they got first movers advantage. Now from similarweb data we can see popularity with Gemini growing vs ChatGPT. And im sure they’re a lot more cost effective as well using in house TPUs for inference.\n\nOpenAI tried making the whole industry dependent on it, by asking Mag7 + government to backstop their contract promises so they all go down the ship together but that ended up flopping.  \n\nAI industry as a whole is not OpenAI, we’ll likely see widespread LLM + growing compute usage from Anthropic, Google, XAi and other vendors as we see more agentic + robotics applications next. \n\nBut right now we’re seeing contagion spread from OpenAI to several companies in the sector $ORCL, $CRWV, maybe $AMD and others few hops away that were building out capacity for their promise capex spend. But it’s taking down other companies isolated from OpenAI (in terms of stock price), which is why it’s a buying opportunity if fundamentals aren’t too materially impacted.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I agree that $ORCL has a higher risk factor because  of OpenAI. But how have other llm’s succeeded in a way that OpenAI hasn’t? If OAI fails then why would the “insatiable” demand continue? I feel like they are all in the same bed together whether we like it or not.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Melissa09744266", "ret_m1d": 0.008926601432925674, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.008926601432925674, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.011248147446297208, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011248147446297208, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.10059511549347766, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.10059511549347766, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08984314656594372, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.08984314656594372, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "ret_p1w": -0.22545202068510706, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.22545202068510706, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.20702403109674883, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.20702403109674883, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "ret_p1m": -0.08285646705586647, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08285646705586647, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09294238875194094, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09294238875194094, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "ret_p3m": -0.1425955536292406, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1425955536292406, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12810132200085045, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12810132200085045, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "bench_c_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3787, 0.359, 0.3832, 0.3892, 0.4289, 0.5247, 0.4979, 0.5267, 0.4495, 0.3772, 0.4022, 0.5661, 0.5684, 0.5793, 0.5426, 0.5318, 0.4744, 0.602, 0.6374, 0.5842, 0.6207, 0.5342, 0.5935, 0.6221, 0.5664, 0.4541, 0.4312, 0.3908, 0.4115, 0.5169, 0.5571, 0.5427, 0.6014, 0.4999, 0.5302, 0.4456, 0.3247, 0.3095, 0.2237, 0.1903, 0.2086, 0.0116, -0.0223, -0.1035, -0.1147, -0.1379, -0.1428, -0.1426, -0.2079, -0.18, -0.1577, -0.1841, -0.1498, -0.1498, -0.1632, -0.1181, -0.1299, -0.0918, -0.0187, 0.0105, -0.013, 0.0375, 0.0089, 0.0, -0.1006, -0.172, -0.2046, -0.2613, -0.2255, -0.0501, -0.0292, -0.0815, -0.0974, -0.0974, -0.1254, -0.1426, -0.1543, -0.1805, -0.1805, -0.0922, -0.1204, -0.108, -0.1167, -0.1178, -0.0829, 0.0292, 0.0011, 0.0277, 0.0873, 0.1585, 0.1585, 0.0897, 0.0763, 0.0505, 0.0641, 0.1251, 0.2458, 0.2133, 0.139, 0.0665, 0.0179, 0.0307, -0.0563, -0.1457, 0.0294, 0.1077, 0.0885, 0.0889, 0.0952, 0.0991, 0.0991, 0.0414, 0.0924, 0.1117, 0.0214, 0.0396, 0.1364, 0.1217, 0.1173, -0.0895, -0.1068, -0.1556, -0.0902, -0.1437, -0.1647, -0.1484, -0.1426, -0.062, -0.0861, -0.0718, -0.0174, -0.0602, -0.0522, -0.0769, -0.0676, -0.062, -0.0499, 0.0023, -0.0793, -0.1439, -0.2086, -0.1134, -0.1023, -0.0588, -0.0588, -0.0737, -0.0245, 0.0174, 0.0529, 0.1673, 0.262, 0.3413, 0.3583, 0.3683, 0.3373, 0.3439, 0.3179, 0.4024, 0.3438, 0.2605, 0.2824, 0.2077, 0.3068, 0.2772, 0.362, 0.4355, 0.4636, 0.5791, 0.4745, 0.3064, 0.3127, 0.2331, 0.2739, 0.3071, 0.228, 0.1876, 0.1423, 0.1591, 0.2312, 0.2073, 0.2073, 0.2118, 0.1933, 0.2229, 0.2535, 0.2535, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1999021996399816973", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-12-11T07:42:38+00:00", "symbol": "AMD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it's a buying opportunity if fundamentals aren't too materially impacted", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "OpenAI contagion dragging down ORCL, CRWV, AMD creates buying opportunity where fundamentals aren't materially impacted.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "OpenAI was the clear leader before. \n\nNow, Gemini 3.0 surpasses it in image generation. Claude Opus 4.5 surpasses it in coding. Can go down the line. \n\nIt looked like ChatGPT couldn’t be disrupted after they got first movers advantage. Now from similarweb data we can see popularity with Gemini growing vs ChatGPT. And im sure they’re a lot more cost effective as well using in house TPUs for inference.\n\nOpenAI tried making the whole industry dependent on it, by asking Mag7 + government to backstop their contract promises so they all go down the ship together but that ended up flopping.  \n\nAI industry as a whole is not OpenAI, we’ll likely see widespread LLM + growing compute usage from Anthropic, Google, XAi and other vendors as we see more agentic + robotics applications next. \n\nBut right now we’re seeing contagion spread from OpenAI to several companies in the sector $ORCL, $CRWV, maybe $AMD and others few hops away that were building out capacity for their promise capex spend. But it’s taking down other companies isolated from OpenAI (in terms of stock price), which is why it’s a buying opportunity if fundamentals aren’t too materially impacted.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I agree that $ORCL has a higher risk factor because  of OpenAI. But how have other llm’s succeeded in a way that OpenAI hasn’t? If OAI fails then why would the “insatiable” demand continue? I feel like they are all in the same bed together whether we like it or not.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Melissa09744266", "ret_m1d": -4.513619277657366e-05, "ret_signed_m1d": -4.513619277657366e-05, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00227640982059496, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00227640982059496, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.048096437920576274, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.048096437920576274, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.037344468993042335, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.037344468993042335, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "ret_p1w": -0.09199293587573443, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09199293587573443, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0735649462873762, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0735649462873762, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "ret_p1m": -0.0824639620233032, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0824639620233032, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09254988371937767, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09254988371937767, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "ret_p3m": -0.08219300704620758, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08219300704620758, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.06769877541781744, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06769877541781744, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "bench_c_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2722, -0.2753, -0.2812, -0.2868, -0.2892, -0.2784, -0.2734, -0.2734, -0.2717, -0.2799, -0.2713, -0.2693, -0.2593, -0.2335, -0.2563, -0.08, -0.0448, 0.0638, 0.0518, -0.0295, -0.0226, -0.0151, 0.0775, 0.0593, 0.0526, 0.0864, 0.075, 0.0397, 0.0612, 0.1422, 0.1727, 0.1652, 0.1937, 0.1509, 0.1567, 0.1726, 0.1293, 0.1576, 0.0735, 0.0547, 0.1018, 0.0727, 0.1692, 0.1198, 0.1146, 0.0862, 0.04, 0.0096, -0.0696, -0.0797, -0.0288, -0.0691, -0.0325, -0.0325, -0.0176, -0.0075, -0.028, -0.0173, -0.0246, -0.0156, -0.0014, 0.0009, -0.0, 0.0, -0.0481, -0.0625, -0.0554, -0.1053, -0.092, -0.0361, -0.0293, -0.0295, -0.0289, -0.0289, -0.0291, -0.0263, -0.0275, -0.0328, -0.0328, 0.0092, -0.0016, -0.032, -0.0515, -0.0756, -0.0825, -0.0621, -0.0021, 0.0098, 0.0293, 0.047, 0.047, 0.0474, 0.1281, 0.1459, 0.1727, 0.1349, 0.1382, 0.1414, 0.1389, 0.0691, 0.1122, 0.0934, -0.0959, -0.1307, -0.0587, -0.0245, -0.0355, -0.0355, -0.07, -0.0637, -0.0637, -0.0829, -0.0962, -0.0816, -0.0961, -0.1121, -0.0343, -0.0477, -0.0802, -0.0958, -0.103, -0.1377, -0.0874, -0.0993, -0.131, -0.0847, -0.0822, -0.075, -0.107, -0.1266, -0.1122, -0.1134, -0.0992, -0.073, -0.0908, -0.0847, -0.0725, -0.0052, -0.0798, -0.0878, -0.1147, -0.0813, -0.0507, -0.0177, -0.0177, -0.0056, 0.0005, 0.0469, 0.0687, 0.1066, 0.1147, 0.1519, 0.1657, 0.2567, 0.2572, 0.2417, 0.2848, 0.3705, 0.3789, 0.5707, 0.5112, 0.4596, 0.5224, 0.6009, 0.6282, 0.5424, 0.6044, 0.903, 0.8446, 1.0557, 1.0719, 1.0245, 1.0119, 1.0309, 0.9153, 0.9012, 0.8699, 1.0213, 1.0304, 1.1113, 1.1113, 1.2756, 1.2379, 1.3397, 1.3308, 1.3308, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1990452960758042917", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-17T16:12:21+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Nebius is going forward with: $8B midpoint ARR next year, $4.7B+ in cash, diversification in enterprise clients... Nothing even comes close to Nebius in terms of asymmetrical upside.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Strong long NBIS at $86.69 as the purest Neocloud/AI-infra asymmetry with $8B ARR, $4.7B cash, blue-chip clients, no debt or execution overhangs.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Nebius [ $NBIS ] at $86.69 is the purest Neocloud and AI-infra asymmetry left. \n\nThis is the highest revenue Neocloud untouched by $CIFR | $WULF and colo providers that has no:\n\n- Plaguing uncertainty that $IREN, $ORCL face from  full-stack execution. \n\n- High interest debt that $CRWV, $APLD, and others face.\n\n- Revenue uncertainty at scale with Hyperscaler contracts that $CLSK, $BITF, $WYFI, $SLNH, and others lack. \n\nAfter the market-wide drop with the AI sector overrun by fear: \n\nNebius is going forward with: $8B midpoint ARR next year, $4.7B+ in cash, diversification in enterprise clients from ( $META, $MSFT, $ACN, $SHOP, Governments), hyper-growth portfolio companies, and a proven full-stack high-margin business.\n\nWith extreme demand, execution uncertainty (margins), and isolation from current issues plaguing the markets with OpenAI contract dependency and credit tightening:\n\nNothing even comes close to Nebius in terms of asymmetrical upside.\n\nYou are simply just waiting for company execution.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I want whatever the market is smoking with $NBIS.\n\nGoes into earnings:\n\n1. Most bullish analyst projects $4B ARR  \n\n2. Beat that number by 100% with $8B projected\n\n3. Beat contracted capacity guidance by 150%+ to 2.5 GW\n\n4. Announce surprise $3B contract with $META\n\n5. Drops 26%", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.028378720006289493, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.028378720006289493, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03778276560027605, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02972795147062146, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.009404045593986554, "bench_c_m1d": 0.001349231464331968, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.053035559206290994, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.053035559206290994, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.061433111976391674, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04736900806043187, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00839755277010068, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005666551145859122, "ret_p1w": 0.0688531976949256, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0688531976949256, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06425634256313084, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.052393347345248475, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004596855131794753, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01645985034967712, "ret_p1m": -0.058502049456895966, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.058502049456895966, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07833175621938437, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10770162010072437, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019829706762488408, "bench_c_p1m": 0.049199570643828405, "ret_p3m": 0.04361479243531097, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04361479243531097, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.01715551154792272, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.009155934671352783, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026459280887388248, "bench_c_p3m": 0.034458857763958184, "ret_p6m": 1.083158799922375, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.083158799922375, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.9679167086598945, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.0343549651656587, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11524209126248053, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04880383475671635, "price_path": [-0.2153, -0.2303, -0.1977, -0.1856, -0.1803, -0.1847, -0.1621, -0.2054, -0.2054, -0.2356, -0.2365, -0.2451, -0.2385, -0.2549, 0.1133, 0.0862, 0.0373, 0.0515, 0.0579, 0.0401, 0.0942, 0.0947, 0.155, 0.2398, 0.2538, 0.3169, 0.2554, 0.2526, 0.2819, 0.3058, 0.3446, 0.4639, 0.4885, 0.4531, 0.3689, 0.4189, 0.5427, 0.5071, 0.5755, 0.4905, 0.4635, 0.431, 0.3194, 0.2677, 0.2128, 0.147, 0.2347, 0.3638, 0.4588, 0.417, 0.455, 0.4443, 0.5215, 0.4011, 0.2856, 0.3608, 0.2729, 0.2943, 0.2788, 0.1889, 0.0975, 0.0308, -0.0284, 0.0, 0.053, 0.1057, -0.0156, -0.0316, 0.0689, 0.0337, 0.1013, 0.1013, 0.1034, 0.1648, 0.1218, 0.1505, 0.1956, 0.1403, 0.1669, 0.1213, 0.0885, 0.0965, 0.0199, -0.0563, -0.0585, -0.1225, -0.0918, 0.0405, 0.0843, 0.0471, 0.0599, 0.0599, 0.0187, 0.0007, -0.0094, -0.0265, -0.0265, 0.0462, 0.0797, 0.1659, 0.119, 0.1317, 0.139, 0.2483, 0.2262, 0.1861, 0.2082, 0.2646, 0.2646, 0.1548, 0.1499, 0.1264, 0.0991, 0.0637, 0.1383, 0.1681, 0.1039, -0.0092, 0.0254, 0.0462, -0.0418, -0.1408, 0.0014, 0.0803, 0.0676, 0.0306, 0.0436, 0.1399, 0.1399, 0.1342, 0.184, 0.2516, 0.1389, 0.1702, 0.1931, 0.2342, 0.2198, 0.0606, 0.0585, 0.0095, 0.1372, 0.1125, 0.039, 0.1042, 0.1215, 0.3026, 0.2566, 0.3137, 0.5102, 0.353, 0.3789, 0.4134, 0.368, 0.3276, 0.3365, 0.3386, 0.2325, 0.1726, 0.073, 0.2068, 0.1857, 0.2656, 0.2656, 0.3089, 0.3654, 0.4538, 0.5856, 0.6861, 0.7976, 0.8835, 0.9396, 0.923, 0.8276, 0.8511, 0.8208, 0.816, 0.8269, 0.7116, 0.686, 0.5761, 0.6421, 0.6077, 0.7968, 1.0519, 1.0461, 1.269, 1.149, 1.0592, 1.1645, 1.0832]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1965866215265665220", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-10T19:53:24+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Even more volatile upside and less downside risk now.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish HIMS: 42% short float creates asymmetric upside with less downside risk; squeeze setup.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@NighthawkTradez I’m surprised they even managed to borrow 42% of the float to sell short to keep it under $50\n\nThat’s an insane number to buy back given the price is still holding strong.\n\nEven more volatile upside and less downside risk now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "🚨 BREAKING! $HIMS SHORT INTEREST HITS NEW ALL-TIME HIGH!\n\n- 74.6M shares short\n- 42% of float 🔥\n- +4.4M added in 2 weeks\n\nTHIS SQUEEZE IS GOING TO BE VIOLENT!\n\n$HIMS to $100+ https://t.co/7gXYZ4OGqx", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "NighthawkTradez", "ret_m1d": 0.00020933730611139012, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00020933730611139012, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0030918586359953704, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0030918586359953704, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028825213298839802, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0028825213298839802, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08329844378231477, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08329844378231477, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07498827342637071, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07498827342637071, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008310170355944058, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008310170355944058, "ret_p1w": 0.053788190884965115, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.053788190884965115, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04310144808593619, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04310144808593619, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010686742799028925, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010686742799028925, "ret_p1m": 0.21912937396808374, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21912937396808374, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.18722137380349224, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.18722137380349224, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0319080001645915, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0319080001645915, "ret_p3m": -0.18124738527964335, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.18124738527964335, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2323280264162607, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2323280264162607, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.051080641136617366, "bench_c_p3m": 0.051080641136617366, "ret_p6m": -0.6676433545385159, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.6676433545385159, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.7182523052188337, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.7182523052188337, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05060895068031779, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05060895068031779, "price_path": [0.1612, 0.2512, 0.2398, 0.2781, 0.2781, 0.3441, -0.1214, -0.1011, -0.1333, -0.0314, 0.0341, 0.0433, 0.0038, -0.0067, 0.0042, 0.0042, 0.0134, 0.0247, 0.0724, 0.0521, 0.0023, 0.0889, 0.0561, 0.0852, 0.0463, 0.0544, -0.0038, 0.0467, 0.2143, 0.1997, 0.2066, 0.2281, 0.2614, 0.3715, 0.3851, 0.3091, 0.3259, 0.162, 0.0701, 0.0684, 0.0871, 0.046, 0.0038, 0.0115, -0.0136, -0.0368, -0.0561, -0.1172, -0.0921, -0.0799, -0.0672, -0.1003, -0.0509, -0.0789, -0.0766, -0.1136, -0.1136, -0.1308, -0.0695, 0.0069, 0.0132, 0.0389, 0.0002, 0.0, 0.0833, 0.1616, 0.1293, 0.0651, 0.0538, 0.1762, 0.2101, 0.2076, 0.172, 0.1145, 0.1484, 0.2223, 0.2373, 0.1871, 0.1785, 0.2112, 0.0996, 0.1461, 0.2133, 0.2175, 0.2191, 0.1291, 0.1455, 0.1306, 0.3135, 0.238, 0.0419, 0.0749, 0.0331, -0.0067, 0.0149, 0.0209, 0.0094, -0.0138, -0.0241, -0.0779, -0.0486, -0.071, -0.1044, -0.0848, -0.131, -0.1413, -0.1409, -0.1681, -0.1833, -0.2455, -0.226, -0.2553, -0.2411, -0.2501, -0.2964, -0.2735, -0.2093, -0.2237, -0.1963, -0.1963, -0.1679, -0.2149, -0.2401, -0.2242, -0.1624, -0.1796, -0.1812, -0.1666, -0.2072, -0.2095, -0.2212, -0.2413, -0.2285, -0.2681, -0.2723, -0.2558, -0.2664, -0.2717, -0.2744, -0.2744, -0.2819, -0.2863, -0.3085, -0.3204, -0.3204, -0.3008, -0.2735, -0.2578, -0.2578, -0.2911, -0.3368, -0.3231, -0.3261, -0.3445, -0.3464, -0.3432, -0.3432, -0.3623, -0.3954, -0.3612, -0.3801, -0.3663, -0.3788, -0.4, -0.3748, -0.433, -0.4466, -0.4655, -0.4893, -0.5086, -0.5182, -0.5954, -0.6392, -0.6507, -0.6693, -0.6589, -0.6589, -0.6595, -0.6685, -0.6689, -0.6729, -0.6754, -0.6764, -0.6689, -0.6735, -0.6961, -0.6551, -0.6689, -0.6557, -0.6676]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2008633673743298617", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-06T20:16:01+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Wait and see the look on everyone's face when they find out the entire AI buildout will be bottlenecked by the tiny $AXTI ($1B) after the China's new export controls", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AXTI as the $1B monopoly supplier of InP substrates that will bottleneck the entire AI buildout post China export controls.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Nvidia CEO said today that the “Memory Bottleneck is Severe” \n\nSK Hynix ($330B)\n$MU ($355B)\nSamsung ($595B).\n\nWait and see the look on everyone’s face when they find out the entire AI buildout will be bottlenecked by the tiny\n\n$AXTI ($1B) \n\nafter the China’s new export controls. https://t.co/iw6Nhitsry", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "If you’re wondering why $AXTI is up 14%, China probably read this and sent an export control nuke to its only other competitor. \n\nAXT just became the monopoly of the InP substrates. https://t.co/i8FSYPscfx", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.17352503652757012, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.17352503652757012, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.16761301304225407, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1476491815519656, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005912023485316054, "bench_c_m1d": -0.025875854975604518, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.19533963902599827, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.19533963902599827, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.19856299581822567, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.20204725508365173, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0032233567922274053, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006707616057653465, "ret_p1w": 0.06643530726421809, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06643530726421809, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06360208669588241, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.056348098886519926, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028332205683356815, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010087208377698165, "ret_p1m": -0.0704015900308741, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0704015900308741, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.062277998413795665, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.055954435152234305, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00812359161707843, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01444715487863979, "ret_p3m": 1.6197322733127506, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.6197322733127506, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.669151739995648, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.6076069643342745, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04941946668289732, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01212530897847608, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7407, -0.8002, -0.7719, -0.7734, -0.7724, -0.7556, -0.7764, -0.7566, -0.7437, -0.7551, -0.7432, -0.6996, -0.6931, -0.6728, -0.6495, -0.6371, -0.6059, -0.5806, -0.5766, -0.5488, -0.5602, -0.531, -0.4824, -0.4765, -0.4556, -0.4824, -0.4824, -0.4918, -0.5092, -0.4988, -0.5315, -0.5573, -0.5369, -0.5424, -0.4819, -0.4819, -0.4695, -0.465, -0.417, -0.4308, -0.4001, -0.4259, -0.3699, -0.2583, -0.231, -0.1879, -0.2657, -0.2647, -0.3555, -0.3872, -0.3054, -0.2737, -0.2454, -0.2742, -0.2558, -0.2558, -0.238, -0.2766, -0.2167, -0.1894, -0.1894, -0.1691, -0.1735, 0.0, 0.1953, 0.2806, 0.1398, 0.1026, 0.0664, 0.0957, 0.2752, 0.0952, 0.0952, 0.0615, -0.0193, -0.1116, -0.1373, -0.1175, -0.1472, -0.1656, -0.1879, -0.0808, 0.0382, -0.0213, -0.0704, 0.0129, 0.1929, 0.3768, 0.2072, 0.3287, 0.2291, 0.2018, 0.2018, 0.1507, 0.1671, 0.1805, 0.4715, 0.4095, 0.7392, 1.0312, 0.8404, 0.879, 1.2965, 1.0704, 0.94, 0.9236, 0.6049, 0.9118, 1.1963, 1.348, 1.3168, 1.4224, 1.3991, 1.1993, 1.4175, 1.88, 1.6891, 2.1948, 2.3932, 2.3391, 1.9008, 2.0059, 1.6143, 1.825, 1.3371, 1.6197, 1.6197, 1.0818, 1.2538, 1.6366, 2.1294, 2.182, 2.2945, 2.3366, 2.12, 3.0545, 3.0932, 2.9048, 2.7169, 3.3104, 2.7318, 2.7759, 2.4779, 2.4065, 2.5235, 2.9276, 3.7595, 4.2553, 4.3322, 4.1973, 4.3753, 4.769, 5.2375, 5.0932, 5.0456, 4.7005, 5.1368, 4.2494, 4.5964, 4.1864, 5.0, 5.9822, 5.9822, 5.5741, 5.0868, 4.7362, 4.1145, 4.1145, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2008355980858511802", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-06T01:52:33+00:00", "symbol": "CVX", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CVX however is the only one left in Venezuela and basically controls the oil production capacity of the country. But now the US government is likely to subsidize all of that, de-risking the company and just letting it reap in the profits + boost FCF without spend", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish CVX: US government subsidy de-risks Venezuela operations, boosting FCF without capex burden.", "resolved_tickers": ["CVX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "That’s up to you. $CVX however is the only one left in Venezuela and basically controls the  oil production capacity of the country.\n\nMarkets were pricing in Chevron spending billions of capex to realize the value of Venezuela's $17T reserves.\n\nBut now the US government is likely to subsidize all of that, de-risking the company and just letting it reap in the profits + boost FCF without spend (which is net positive for the US too with cheaper oil production).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thank you! Is it still a good time to get into CVX for short term?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mattia030339", "ret_m1d": 0.04669740810224199, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04669740810224199, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05260943158755804, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05260943158755804, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005912023485316054, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005912023485316054, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008560095539955626, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008560095539955626, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00533673874772822, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00533673874772822, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0032233567922274053, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0032233567922274053, "ret_p1w": 0.04682504767114404, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04682504767114404, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.043991827102808356, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.043991827102808356, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028332205683356815, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0028332205683356815, "ret_p1m": 0.1577232716534569, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1577232716534569, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.16584686327053533, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.16584686327053533, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00812359161707843, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00812359161707843, "ret_p3m": 0.2834828140025276, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2834828140025276, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.33290228068542493, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.33290228068542493, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04941946668289732, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04941946668289732, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.042, -0.0593, -0.0401, -0.0373, -0.039, -0.0416, -0.0329, -0.0241, -0.0284, -0.0172, -0.0109, -0.0172, -0.019, -0.0263, -0.0201, -0.0301, -0.0036, -0.0268, -0.0309, -0.0356, -0.0338, -0.0206, -0.0167, -0.0129, -0.0314, -0.0171, -0.0042, -0.0219, -0.0187, -0.0309, -0.0398, -0.0419, -0.0434, -0.0512, -0.0449, -0.0449, -0.0346, -0.0256, -0.0402, -0.0316, -0.0273, -0.0418, -0.05, -0.0514, -0.0328, -0.0372, -0.0418, -0.0431, -0.0625, -0.0448, -0.0565, -0.0562, -0.0431, -0.0385, -0.0386, -0.0386, -0.0417, -0.0355, -0.027, -0.0264, -0.0264, -0.0041, 0.0467, 0.0, -0.0086, 0.0173, 0.0356, 0.0371, 0.0468, 0.0684, 0.0615, 0.0621, 0.0621, 0.056, 0.0651, 0.0646, 0.065, 0.07, 0.0799, 0.0855, 0.0936, 0.1301, 0.1117, 0.1373, 0.1577, 0.1449, 0.1554, 0.1665, 0.1643, 0.187, 0.1652, 0.1738, 0.1738, 0.1647, 0.1861, 0.1919, 0.1865, 0.1928, 0.1956, 0.1883, 0.1879, 0.2047, 0.223, 0.2177, 0.2, 0.225, 0.2252, 0.222, 0.2017, 0.2372, 0.2706, 0.2696, 0.2697, 0.277, 0.2812, 0.2994, 0.3013, 0.3237, 0.3339, 0.3233, 0.3404, 0.3621, 0.3592, 0.3346, 0.2734, 0.2835, 0.2835, 0.2828, 0.3001, 0.2443, 0.2279, 0.2163, 0.2371, 0.2064, 0.1928, 0.2137, 0.1869, 0.1821, 0.1997, 0.2019, 0.2101, 0.1947, 0.1919, 0.215, 0.2399, 0.247, 0.2297, 0.2403, 0.2427, 0.1944, 0.1772, 0.1716, 0.1917, 0.1995, 0.1998, 0.2039, 0.2327, 0.2651, 0.284, 0.2455, 0.2434, 0.2462, 0.2462, 0.2024, 0.1874, 0.1915, 0.1878, 0.1878, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2011524924507385967", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-14T19:44:48+00:00", "symbol": "LPTH", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Maybe $10B+?", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long LPTH as monopoly US-made optical glass supplier to defense contractors; targets $10B+ market cap.", "resolved_tickers": ["LPTH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Jorge89767947 $LPTH a sole source contractor majority of major US defense contractors from Lockheed's Stinger Missiles to Andruil's Ghost drones.\n\nIt's the monopoly over US made and approved glass that the Pentagon requires for US army buildout + reduce dependence on China. \n\nMaybe $10B+?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit It's a 6x in one year. Where do you think the stock could go", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Jorge89767947", "ret_m1d": -0.11866967113733051, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11866967113733051, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12360918737360316, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12360918737360316, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004939516236272645, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004939516236272645, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004535107182040088, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004535107182040088, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007258321578569538, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007258321578569538, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027232143965294497, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0027232143965294497, "ret_p1w": 0.03099023547034241, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03099023547034241, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03817486547027504, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03817486547027504, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007184629999932635, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007184629999932635, "ret_p1m": -0.056689344365103755, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.056689344365103755, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.043522383787262475, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.043522383787262475, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01316696057784128, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01316696057784128, "ret_p3m": 0.08919125820138318, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08919125820138318, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09264780255064686, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09264780255064686, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0034565443492636794, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0034565443492636794, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4376, -0.3401, -0.3726, -0.4444, -0.3968, -0.3613, -0.3621, -0.3621, -0.3802, -0.3741, -0.3439, -0.3832, -0.4308, -0.4082, -0.424, -0.4172, -0.4119, -0.3923, -0.4429, -0.4966, -0.4936, -0.486, -0.4837, -0.4921, -0.5329, -0.5306, -0.4868, -0.4777, -0.4769, -0.4769, -0.4444, -0.458, -0.4014, -0.3689, -0.3182, -0.3348, -0.3394, -0.3348, -0.3333, -0.3107, -0.3878, -0.4339, -0.446, -0.48, -0.4573, -0.4225, -0.3553, -0.3416, -0.3175, -0.3175, -0.3182, -0.2222, -0.2018, -0.1837, -0.1837, -0.1141, -0.1164, -0.1293, -0.0779, -0.0454, -0.0673, -0.0937, -0.1187, 0.0, -0.0045, -0.0499, -0.0499, 0.0582, 0.031, 0.0831, -0.0597, -0.2268, -0.1497, -0.1474, -0.1315, -0.2124, -0.2063, -0.1769, -0.2895, -0.3152, -0.2018, -0.1436, -0.1678, -0.2237, -0.0567, -0.1293, -0.1293, -0.155, -0.1504, 0.028, -0.093, -0.1534, -0.0937, -0.1104, -0.158, -0.2116, -0.0922, -0.0945, -0.1081, -0.1436, -0.1633, -0.1618, -0.1633, -0.1769, -0.1708, -0.2056, -0.1686, -0.0937, -0.1179, -0.1315, -0.2041, -0.1353, -0.1028, -0.0967, -0.1693, -0.2827, -0.2963, -0.2419, -0.2275, -0.1701, -0.1701, -0.1315, -0.1716, -0.1247, -0.0809, -0.0302, 0.0892, 0.0801, 0.0597, 0.1277, 0.0703, 0.0809, 0.0726, 0.1073, 0.1051, 0.2162, 0.0574, -0.0401, -0.0786, -0.0317, 0.0355, -0.068, -0.0854, -0.0272, -0.0907, -0.13, -0.031, -0.0771, -0.0839, -0.0816, -0.1293, -0.0597, 0.0491, 0.0317, 0.0794, 0.2812, 0.2812, 0.2275, 0.3311, 0.3719, 0.2834, 0.2834, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1996965116282393027", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-05T15:29:20+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "100% $NBIS is probably the highest upside portfolio lol", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "NBIS offers highest upside; AVGO and TSM recommended as steadier compounders to track broader sector growth.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MMerrino569447 100% $NBIS is probably the highest upside portfolio lol.   \n\nThat being said it's nice to have some steadier compounders like $AVGO or $TSM to track the broader sector growth so you don't get too scared on the volatility (30-40% drops and increases) like of recent.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I have 100% NBIS. is my portfolio ideal? 😂", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MMerrino569447", "ret_m1d": 0.048551632923093946, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.048551632923093946, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.050447568366577156, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.059991924556032306, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018959354434832099, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01144029163293836, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.023357822257676686, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.023357822257676686, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.026362099772351377, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030785460100627104, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0030042775146746914, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007427637842950419, "ret_p1w": -0.1055691388970793, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1055691388970793, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09983773652522188, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10061740218695459, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00573140237185743, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004951736710124721, "ret_p1m": -0.05314156503284473, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05314156503284473, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05906570308673709, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0616893501607082, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005924138053892358, "bench_c_p1m": 0.008547785127863472, "ret_p3m": -0.0026520005487810083, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0026520005487810083, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.004787758979803436, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0201075362016786, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0021357584310224276, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01745553565289759, "ret_p6m": 1.3570990838423294, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.3570990838423294, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.2475782186605362, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.363033432342327, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10952086518179316, "bench_c_p6m": -0.005934348499997744, "price_path": [-0.0237, -0.0474, -0.0903, -0.0778, -0.0722, -0.0878, -0.0404, -0.04, 0.013, 0.0873, 0.0996, 0.1549, 0.101, 0.0985, 0.1242, 0.1451, 0.1792, 0.2839, 0.3054, 0.2744, 0.2005, 0.2444, 0.3529, 0.3217, 0.3817, 0.3071, 0.2835, 0.255, 0.1571, 0.1118, 0.0636, 0.0059, 0.0828, 0.196, 0.2794, 0.2427, 0.276, 0.2666, 0.3344, 0.2288, 0.1275, 0.1934, 0.1163, 0.135, 0.1215, 0.0426, -0.0375, -0.096, -0.1479, -0.123, -0.0765, -0.0303, -0.1367, -0.1508, -0.0626, -0.0934, -0.0342, -0.0342, -0.0323, 0.0215, -0.0162, 0.009, 0.0486, 0.0, 0.0234, -0.0166, -0.0454, -0.0384, -0.1056, -0.1724, -0.1743, -0.2304, -0.2035, -0.0875, -0.0491, -0.0817, -0.0705, -0.0705, -0.1066, -0.1224, -0.1313, -0.1462, -0.1462, -0.0825, -0.0531, 0.0224, -0.0187, -0.0075, -0.0011, 0.0948, 0.0754, 0.0402, 0.0596, 0.109, 0.109, 0.0127, 0.0085, -0.0121, -0.0361, -0.0671, -0.0017, 0.0244, -0.0319, -0.1311, -0.1008, -0.0825, -0.1596, -0.2465, -0.1218, -0.0526, -0.0637, -0.0962, -0.0848, -0.0003, -0.0003, -0.0053, 0.0384, 0.0976, -0.0012, 0.0262, 0.0463, 0.0824, 0.0698, -0.0699, -0.0717, -0.1146, -0.0027, -0.0244, -0.0888, -0.0316, -0.0164, 0.1423, 0.102, 0.1521, 0.3245, 0.1866, 0.2093, 0.2395, 0.1997, 0.1643, 0.1721, 0.1739, 0.0809, 0.0284, -0.059, 0.0583, 0.0399, 0.11, 0.11, 0.1479, 0.1975, 0.275, 0.3906, 0.4787, 0.5765, 0.6518, 0.701, 0.6865, 0.6028, 0.6234, 0.5968, 0.5926, 0.6022, 0.501, 0.4786, 0.3822, 0.4401, 0.4099, 0.5758, 0.7995, 0.7944, 0.9899, 0.8846, 0.8059, 0.8982, 0.8269, 1.1141, 1.2557, 1.2434, 1.0386, 1.0168, 0.9565, 1.2433, 1.1906, 1.1906, 1.1222, 1.1254, 1.3086, 1.3571, 1.3571]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1996965116282393027", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-05T15:29:20+00:00", "symbol": "AVGO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "steadier compounders like $AVGO or $TSM to track the broader sector growth", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "NBIS offers highest upside; AVGO and TSM recommended as steadier compounders to track broader sector growth.", "resolved_tickers": ["AVGO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MMerrino569447 100% $NBIS is probably the highest upside portfolio lol.   \n\nThat being said it's nice to have some steadier compounders like $AVGO or $TSM to track the broader sector growth so you don't get too scared on the volatility (30-40% drops and increases) like of recent.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I have 100% NBIS. is my portfolio ideal? 😂", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MMerrino569447", "ret_m1d": -0.02360082997762214, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02360082997762214, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02170489453413893, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015862432827153272, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018959354434832099, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0077383971504688676, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02782907712138427, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02782907712138427, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030833354636058963, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.016496088650184815, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0030042775146746914, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011332988471199457, "ret_p1w": -0.07767021164083898, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07767021164083898, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07193880926898155, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.049406077263555614, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00573140237185743, "bench_c_p1w": -0.028264134377283368, "ret_p1m": -0.11829356010447978, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11829356010447978, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12421769815837214, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.15765715338198671, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005924138053892358, "bench_c_p1m": 0.039363593277506936, "ret_p3m": -0.1847643972357006, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1847643972357006, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18690015566672302, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.28333697713431516, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0021357584310224276, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09857257989861457, "ret_p6m": 0.14945627232260805, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.14945627232260805, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.039935407140814894, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.49917328711125575, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10952086518179316, "bench_c_p6m": 0.6486295594338638, "price_path": [-0.1388, -0.0546, -0.08, -0.0794, -0.0686, -0.0791, -0.1144, -0.1165, -0.1176, -0.1318, -0.1315, -0.1305, -0.1387, -0.1428, -0.1597, -0.1546, -0.1457, -0.1334, -0.1329, -0.1403, -0.1379, -0.1146, -0.1159, -0.1681, -0.0859, -0.1182, -0.0997, -0.0925, -0.1048, -0.1051, -0.1219, -0.128, -0.1177, -0.0925, -0.0722, -0.0443, -0.0109, -0.0353, -0.0528, -0.071, -0.0981, -0.0801, -0.0888, -0.1046, -0.0816, -0.0981, -0.0897, -0.1288, -0.1224, -0.122, -0.1275, -0.0918, -0.1113, -0.1282, -0.0315, -0.0134, 0.0188, 0.0188, 0.0326, -0.0107, -0.0222, -0.0247, -0.0236, 0.0, 0.0278, 0.0411, 0.0582, 0.0413, -0.0777, -0.1292, -0.1254, -0.1646, -0.1547, -0.1278, -0.1234, -0.1031, -0.1008, -0.1008, -0.0959, -0.103, -0.1018, -0.1114, -0.1114, -0.1075, -0.1183, -0.1174, -0.1181, -0.1464, -0.1143, -0.0957, -0.0896, -0.1274, -0.1193, -0.097, -0.097, -0.1461, -0.1558, -0.1643, -0.1783, -0.166, -0.1456, -0.1444, -0.1509, -0.1494, -0.1499, -0.1776, -0.2091, -0.2028, -0.1453, -0.117, -0.1259, -0.12, -0.1497, -0.1651, -0.1651, -0.1462, -0.1437, -0.1425, -0.1459, -0.1519, -0.1643, -0.1468, -0.1741, -0.1796, -0.1815, -0.1942, -0.1848, -0.1456, -0.1515, -0.1123, -0.1205, -0.123, -0.1374, -0.1729, -0.1658, -0.1751, -0.1889, -0.1788, -0.2028, -0.1702, -0.1811, -0.1798, -0.2039, -0.2264, -0.2451, -0.2037, -0.1934, -0.1907, -0.1907, -0.191, -0.1408, -0.0979, -0.0869, -0.0441, -0.023, -0.0203, 0.0207, 0.0252, 0.046, 0.0282, 0.0347, 0.0874, 0.0804, 0.0877, 0.076, 0.0287, 0.0431, 0.074, 0.0839, 0.0716, 0.0995, 0.0946, 0.0614, 0.1063, 0.1023, 0.0788, 0.0723, 0.1315, 0.0939, 0.0824, 0.0576, 0.0748, 0.0666, 0.0655, 0.0655, 0.0858, 0.0854, 0.0975, 0.1495, 0.1495]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1996965116282393027", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-12-05T15:29:20+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "steadier compounders like $AVGO or $TSM to track the broader sector growth", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "NBIS offers highest upside; AVGO and TSM recommended as steadier compounders to track broader sector growth.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MMerrino569447 100% $NBIS is probably the highest upside portfolio lol.   \n\nThat being said it's nice to have some steadier compounders like $AVGO or $TSM to track the broader sector growth so you don't get too scared on the volatility (30-40% drops and increases) like of recent.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I have 100% NBIS. is my portfolio ideal? 😂", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MMerrino569447", "ret_m1d": -0.006073620404815738, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006073620404815738, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004177684961332528, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004177684961332528, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018959354434832099, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018959354434832099, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.024260226204434465, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.024260226204434465, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.027264503719109157, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.027264503719109157, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0030042775146746914, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0030042775146746914, "ret_p1w": -0.0064182569491377794, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0064182569491377794, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0006868545772803492, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0006868545772803492, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00573140237185743, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00573140237185743, "ret_p1m": 0.09636246018849226, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09636246018849226, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0904383221345999, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0904383221345999, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005924138053892358, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005924138053892358, "ret_p3m": 0.21608628033153, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.21608628033153, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.21395052190050756, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.21395052190050756, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0021357584310224276, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0021357584310224276, "ret_p6m": 0.42766677623540494, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.42766677623540494, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3181459110536118, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3181459110536118, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10952086518179316, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10952086518179316, "price_path": [-0.1513, -0.1191, -0.1243, -0.1228, -0.1159, -0.1108, -0.1083, -0.0885, -0.1013, -0.075, -0.0408, -0.0475, -0.0613, -0.0725, -0.0729, -0.0524, -0.0212, -0.0224, -0.0086, 0.0261, -0.0023, 0.0333, 0.0175, -0.0477, 0.0277, 0.0041, 0.0339, 0.0174, 0.0012, 0.0101, -0.0007, -0.0198, -0.0135, 0.0008, 0.012, 0.0231, 0.0352, 0.0288, 0.0194, 0.0344, -0.0023, -0.0037, -0.0186, -0.0279, 0.0019, -0.012, -0.0139, -0.0425, -0.0336, -0.0431, -0.057, -0.0419, -0.0584, -0.0667, -0.0342, -0.0341, -0.0162, -0.0162, -0.0109, -0.0239, -0.0089, 0.0025, -0.0061, 0.0, 0.0243, 0.0295, 0.0523, 0.0372, -0.0064, -0.021, -0.024, -0.0577, -0.0315, -0.0169, -0.0022, 0.0103, 0.0166, 0.0166, 0.0303, 0.0238, 0.0192, 0.0339, 0.0339, 0.0874, 0.0964, 0.114, 0.0842, 0.0819, 0.1011, 0.1288, 0.1268, 0.1129, 0.1623, 0.1649, 0.1649, 0.1131, 0.1095, 0.1138, 0.1393, 0.1319, 0.1511, 0.1646, 0.1552, 0.1246, 0.1614, 0.1423, 0.1082, 0.1252, 0.1869, 0.2092, 0.2313, 0.2727, 0.2524, 0.2464, 0.2464, 0.2391, 0.2325, 0.2261, 0.2607, 0.259, 0.3124, 0.3191, 0.282, 0.2744, 0.2558, 0.2014, 0.2161, 0.2039, 0.153, 0.1864, 0.1809, 0.2063, 0.1456, 0.151, 0.1575, 0.1804, 0.1585, 0.1559, 0.1233, 0.1547, 0.1711, 0.1865, 0.1126, 0.1148, 0.0798, 0.153, 0.1651, 0.1567, 0.1567, 0.166, 0.1782, 0.2484, 0.247, 0.2644, 0.2609, 0.2961, 0.2798, 0.2397, 0.2641, 0.2495, 0.2558, 0.3219, 0.3056, 0.3731, 0.3817, 0.3386, 0.3437, 0.3513, 0.3568, 0.3702, 0.3456, 0.4312, 0.413, 0.4046, 0.3802, 0.3554, 0.364, 0.4252, 0.3796, 0.3509, 0.3395, 0.3702, 0.3891, 0.3801, 0.3801, 0.4068, 0.4423, 0.4495, 0.4277, 0.4277]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1987160705137820025", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-08T14:10:06+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Probably a strong forward projections ARR for $NBIS. New UK datacenters, Israel government datacenters that add more immediate ARR with capacity buildout + new contracts. Whitepaper alludes to higher margins from orchestration. Management exudes confidence", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bullish NBIS into earnings: expects strong ARR guidance driven by UK/Israel datacenter contracts, higher orchestration margins, and confident management.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Probably a strong forward projections ARR for $NBIS. \n\nNew UK datacenters, Israel government datacenters that add more immediate ARR with capacity buildout + new contracts.\n\nWhitepaper alludes to higher margins from orchestration. Management exudes confidence which is what shareholders like.\n\nWe’ll see in a few days.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What do you expect $NBIS earnings to look like?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TradingChamp", "ret_m1d": 0.012096424447203713, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.012096424447203713, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0274610134338642, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.022424805176480045, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015364588986660488, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010328380729276332, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07030464704039852, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07030464704039852, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07259388702695535, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07842606362140381, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0022892399865568347, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008121416581005292, "ret_p1w": -0.2180081333025613, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.2180081333025613, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.19486594739454766, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.19946994626134995, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023142185908013646, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01853818704121135, "ret_p1m": -0.12314682730283866, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12314682730283866, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12549479808624886, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1506009217503843, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0023479707834102026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02745409444754565, "ret_p3m": -0.32814911508041644, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.32814911508041644, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3254817280306832, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3573353500066291, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0026673870497332386, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02918623492621264, "ret_p6m": 0.6000000277558699, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6000000277558699, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5318338401385378, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5726825849168786, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06816618761733206, "bench_c_p6m": 0.02731744283899129, "price_path": [-0.3576, -0.3774, -0.3486, -0.3402, -0.3889, -0.3864, -0.3981, -0.3726, -0.3632, -0.359, -0.3624, -0.3448, -0.3786, -0.3786, -0.4023, -0.4029, -0.4096, -0.4045, -0.4174, -0.1294, -0.1506, -0.1888, -0.1777, -0.1727, -0.1866, -0.1443, -0.144, -0.0968, -0.0305, -0.0196, 0.0298, -0.0183, -0.0205, 0.0025, 0.0211, 0.0515, 0.1448, 0.164, 0.1363, 0.0705, 0.1096, 0.2064, 0.1785, 0.232, 0.1655, 0.1444, 0.1191, 0.0317, -0.0086, -0.0516, -0.103, -0.0345, 0.0665, 0.1408, 0.108, 0.1378, 0.1294, 0.1898, 0.0957, 0.0054, 0.0641, -0.0046, 0.0121, 0.0, -0.0703, -0.1418, -0.1939, -0.2402, -0.218, -0.1765, -0.1353, -0.2302, -0.2427, -0.1642, -0.1916, -0.1388, -0.1388, -0.1372, -0.0891, -0.1228, -0.1003, -0.065, -0.1083, -0.0875, -0.1231, -0.1488, -0.1425, -0.2025, -0.262, -0.2638, -0.3138, -0.2898, -0.1864, -0.1521, -0.1812, -0.1712, -0.1712, -0.2034, -0.2175, -0.2254, -0.2387, -0.2387, -0.1819, -0.1557, -0.0883, -0.125, -0.1151, -0.1093, -0.0238, -0.0411, -0.0725, -0.0552, -0.0111, -0.0111, -0.097, -0.1008, -0.1191, -0.1405, -0.1682, -0.1099, -0.0866, -0.1368, -0.2252, -0.1982, -0.1819, -0.2507, -0.3281, -0.2169, -0.1553, -0.1652, -0.1941, -0.1839, -0.1086, -0.1086, -0.1131, -0.0741, -0.0213, -0.1094, -0.0849, -0.067, -0.0348, -0.0461, -0.1706, -0.1723, -0.2106, -0.1107, -0.1301, -0.1875, -0.1365, -0.123, 0.0186, -0.0174, 0.0273, 0.181, 0.058, 0.0783, 0.1052, 0.0698, 0.0382, 0.0451, 0.0467, -0.0362, -0.083, -0.1609, -0.0563, -0.0728, -0.0103, -0.0103, 0.0236, 0.0678, 0.1369, 0.2399, 0.3185, 0.4057, 0.4729, 0.5168, 0.5038, 0.4292, 0.4476, 0.4238, 0.4201, 0.4286, 0.3384, 0.3184, 0.2325, 0.2841, 0.2572, 0.4051, 0.6045, 0.6]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1995282045833220549", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-01T00:01:24+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm bearish also on $BMNR... I will absolutely stay away from the token as an investment", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish ETH and BMNR: Fusaka's cheaper DA reduces L2 fees, kills fee/burn flywheel, removing the key mechanical driver of ETH price appreciation.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So, that just reinforced my point more. L2s get even cheaper data availability, which is good for scaling but doesn't address value accrual to ETH.\n\nI've maintained Ethereum managed to scale. And it's a great network to develop on. But all that at the cost of $ETH appreciation, which is why I'm bearish also on $BMNR.\n\nETH's L2 idea was originally good for ETH price because scarce blockspace + rising usage = fee/burn flywheel.\n\nBut: Fusaka -> more blobs -> cheaper DA -> lower L2 fees. Not good for ETH fee/burn.\n\nToken burn from L1 usage was the #1 mechanical driver of price appreciation (eg. EIP-1559, Merge - > deflationary) before but that disappeared. \n\nUntil that changes, I'll keep using Ethereum as a network but I will absolutely stay away from the token as an investment.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @VitalikButerin @fundstrat Fusaka (Dec 3) → 8x more blobs → L2 fees drop Verkle/Danksharding another 90-95%, TPS &gt;12k. Pectra (Q4 2025) +\nrestaking + based rollups → real value finally\nflows back to ETH → burn flips hard again in the next boom.Problem acknowledged, fix literally shipping in days.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SebastianS79509", "ret_m1d": 0.08289279096154756, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08289279096154756, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07830634609922482, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.07062049558248629, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07062049558248629, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06876819590840721, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": 0.1160668216622518, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1160668216622518, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11112756640799382, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": 0.0611486529490981, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0611486529490981, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04825654615673103, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.27619434688681554, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.27619434688681554, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2924626055013444, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.2604577118557324, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2604577118557324, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3701110914364024, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.5893, 0.5352, 0.5381, 0.5385, 0.5388, 0.5532, 0.5932, 0.6839, 0.6166, 0.6083, 0.6402, 0.6391, 0.5966, 0.5009, 0.4876, 0.4833, 0.3815, 0.4413, 0.5061, 0.4806, 0.5539, 0.6027, 0.6123, 0.6741, 0.5896, 0.6169, 0.5603, 0.3724, 0.5161, 0.4733, 0.424, 0.3909, 0.3687, 0.4216, 0.3845, 0.36, 0.3771, 0.4051, 0.4714, 0.4221, 0.394, 0.3586, 0.3739, 0.2865, 0.1758, 0.2232, 0.1829, 0.2268, 0.2744, 0.2197, 0.2189, 0.1545, 0.1084, 0.0801, 0.1153, 0.0796, 0.0113, -0.0123, 0.0545, 0.0563, 0.0813, 0.0765, 0.0829, 0.0, 0.0706, 0.1398, 0.1193, 0.0801, 0.1161, 0.186, 0.1876, 0.156, 0.1014, 0.0586, 0.0586, 0.0111, 0.0096, 0.0635, 0.0735, 0.0583, 0.0519, 0.0369, 0.0448, 0.048, 0.0611, 0.0596, 0.0715, 0.1158, 0.1521, 0.177, 0.1309, 0.1086, 0.101, 0.1043, 0.1864, 0.198, 0.1846, 0.1769, 0.138, 0.0484, 0.0638, 0.0534, 0.0547, 0.0451, 0.0793, 0.0737, 0.0064, -0.0349, -0.1628, -0.2045, -0.2345, -0.3494, -0.2631, -0.2488, -0.2788, -0.307, -0.3047, -0.2684, -0.2865, -0.2886, -0.3022, -0.3043, -0.2968, -0.3374, -0.3383, -0.2663, -0.2762, -0.3105, -0.276, -0.2919, -0.2406, -0.2602, -0.2934, -0.2883, -0.2725, -0.2673, -0.2596, -0.2527, -0.1604, -0.1722, -0.213, -0.2367, -0.2334, -0.2314, -0.2302, -0.2258, -0.2645, -0.2889, -0.2774, -0.2484, -0.2362, -0.2655, -0.2667, -0.2473, -0.1994, -0.2178, -0.2182, -0.1982, -0.1534, -0.1703, -0.1574, -0.1613, -0.1354, -0.1732, -0.1686, -0.1515, -0.1674, -0.173, -0.1775, -0.1824, -0.1953, -0.1943, -0.1804, -0.1621, -0.1568, -0.1605, -0.1818, -0.1761, -0.1646, -0.1877, -0.1938, -0.1854, -0.206, -0.2399, -0.2465, -0.2404, -0.2388, -0.2627, -0.246, -0.2605]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1995282045833220549", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-01T00:01:24+00:00", "symbol": "BMNR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm bearish also on $BMNR", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish ETH and BMNR: Fusaka's cheaper DA reduces L2 fees, kills fee/burn flywheel, removing the key mechanical driver of ETH price appreciation.", "resolved_tickers": ["BMNR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So, that just reinforced my point more. L2s get even cheaper data availability, which is good for scaling but doesn't address value accrual to ETH.\n\nI've maintained Ethereum managed to scale. And it's a great network to develop on. But all that at the cost of $ETH appreciation, which is why I'm bearish also on $BMNR.\n\nETH's L2 idea was originally good for ETH price because scarce blockspace + rising usage = fee/burn flywheel.\n\nBut: Fusaka -> more blobs -> cheaper DA -> lower L2 fees. Not good for ETH fee/burn.\n\nToken burn from L1 usage was the #1 mechanical driver of price appreciation (eg. EIP-1559, Merge - > deflationary) before but that disappeared. \n\nUntil that changes, I'll keep using Ethereum as a network but I will absolutely stay away from the token as an investment.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @VitalikButerin @fundstrat Fusaka (Dec 3) → 8x more blobs → L2 fees drop Verkle/Danksharding another 90-95%, TPS &gt;12k. Pectra (Q4 2025) +\nrestaking + based rollups → real value finally\nflows back to ETH → burn flips hard again in the next boom.Problem acknowledged, fix literally shipping in days.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SebastianS79509", "ret_m1d": 0.14443673838575366, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.14443673838575366, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.13985029352343092, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.13611757175449157, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008319166631262087, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10262611052949411, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.10262611052949411, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.10077381085541504, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.10357148690787399, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0009453763783798808, "ret_p1w": 0.23878803621202982, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.23878803621202982, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.23384878095777184, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2276328131948686, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011155223017161209, "ret_p1m": -0.041874906054940375, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.041874906054940375, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05476701284730745, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0888186813680385, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "bench_c_p1m": 0.046943775313098124, "ret_p3m": -0.29350368264633675, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.29350368264633675, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3097719412608656, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.28959915816738135, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0039045244789553957, "ret_p6m": -0.3363635284841421, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3363635284841421, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4460169080648121, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.32518327972829963, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "bench_c_p6m": -0.011180248755842448, "price_path": [0.5501, 0.4578, 0.4527, 0.5131, 0.5411, 0.5757, 0.6513, 0.9036, 0.8352, 0.9326, 0.972, 1.0719, 1.1178, 0.9039, 0.8829, 0.7941, 0.7129, 0.745, 0.839, 0.7944, 0.8093, 0.9523, 0.9575, 1.1845, 1.0456, 1.0733, 1.0422, 0.8131, 0.9644, 0.8286, 0.859, 0.765, 0.7225, 0.859, 0.7916, 0.6596, 0.6997, 0.7419, 0.8559, 0.8155, 0.7194, 0.5394, 0.612, 0.481, 0.3635, 0.4312, 0.2913, 0.3901, 0.4219, 0.368, 0.4019, 0.2636, 0.1887, 0.0695, 0.1154, 0.0083, -0.1009, -0.1016, 0.0746, -0.001, 0.0968, 0.0968, 0.1444, 0.0, 0.1026, 0.1631, 0.255, 0.1769, 0.2388, 0.3553, 0.3964, 0.3266, 0.2049, 0.0698, 0.085, 0.0134, -0.0173, 0.0839, 0.0746, 0.0293, 0.0145, 0.0145, -0.0215, -0.0135, -0.0419, -0.0616, -0.0616, 0.0781, 0.1527, 0.1175, 0.0494, 0.0812, 0.039, 0.076, 0.0791, 0.1289, 0.067, 0.077, 0.077, -0.0239, 0.0145, -0.0011, -0.0045, -0.0391, 0.0138, 0.0241, -0.0771, -0.1324, -0.2119, -0.2275, -0.2983, -0.3986, -0.2925, -0.2586, -0.3104, -0.327, -0.3177, -0.2755, -0.2755, -0.3035, -0.3149, -0.3101, -0.3042, -0.3357, -0.3281, -0.2569, -0.2935, -0.344, -0.2949, -0.3236, -0.27, -0.2966, -0.3474, -0.2845, -0.2835, -0.2724, -0.2897, -0.29, -0.1915, -0.1971, -0.26, -0.2693, -0.2762, -0.2648, -0.2811, -0.2659, -0.327, -0.3644, -0.3675, -0.3163, -0.3194, -0.3277, -0.3277, -0.288, -0.3028, -0.2562, -0.2714, -0.2645, -0.2565, -0.2576, -0.2278, -0.2244, -0.2067, -0.2213, -0.2496, -0.1943, -0.2396, -0.2347, -0.2551, -0.2576, -0.2859, -0.2603, -0.2437, -0.2123, -0.2016, -0.2081, -0.2396, -0.2337, -0.2043, -0.251, -0.2679, -0.2396, -0.3132, -0.3526, -0.3561, -0.3298, -0.3222, -0.3474, -0.3474, -0.3364]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1979370681247961235", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-18T02:15:19+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "December strikes like $110-$115 for 2026!", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Holds 2026 LEAPS on NBIS with $110-$115 strikes, wishes had bought more OTM $125 calls.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@babyfolio December strikes like $110-$115 for 2026! \n\nI should have done more OTM $NBIS strikes like $125 now that I think of it. It’s okay though", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What leaps did you buy", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "babyfolio", "ret_m1d": 0.04073396735235102, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04073396735235102, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05102738630141501, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.051917693225524975, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010293418949063993, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011183725873173955, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.043302763492689245, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.043302763492689245, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04328785901121346, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.046829967539421924, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4904481475785936e-05, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0035272040467326793, "ret_p1w": 0.15073394775390625, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.15073394775390625, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1299682560780684, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14281927338018385, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02076569167583786, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007914674373722397, "ret_p1m": -0.16935778976580418, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16935778976580418, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15264392252651282, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13124699608279966, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016713867239291358, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03811079368300452, "ret_p3m": -0.046926585906142515, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.046926585906142515, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08116684322149981, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04990505064625661, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03424025731535729, "bench_c_p3m": 0.002978464740114095, "ret_p6m": 0.4856880957927179, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4856880957927179, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4452974081858949, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.47647862917762884, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04039068760682296, "bench_c_p6m": 0.009209466615089035, "price_path": [-0.524, -0.5215, -0.5287, -0.5161, -0.5376, -0.5294, -0.5006, -0.5229, -0.503, -0.4939, -0.4946, -0.4008, -0.369, -0.3556, -0.3089, -0.352, -0.3719, -0.3429, -0.3345, -0.3836, -0.381, -0.3928, -0.3672, -0.3576, -0.3534, -0.3569, -0.3391, -0.3732, -0.3732, -0.3971, -0.3977, -0.4045, -0.3994, -0.4123, -0.1218, -0.1432, -0.1817, -0.1706, -0.1655, -0.1795, -0.1369, -0.1365, -0.0889, -0.022, -0.011, 0.0388, -0.0097, -0.0119, 0.0112, 0.03, 0.0606, 0.1548, 0.1741, 0.1462, 0.0798, 0.1193, 0.2169, 0.1888, 0.2428, 0.1757, 0.1544, 0.1288, 0.0407, 0.0, -0.0433, -0.0952, -0.0261, 0.0758, 0.1507, 0.1177, 0.1477, 0.1393, 0.2002, 0.1052, 0.0141, 0.0734, 0.004, 0.0209, 0.0087, -0.0622, -0.1343, -0.1869, -0.2336, -0.2112, -0.1694, -0.1278, -0.2235, -0.2361, -0.1569, -0.1846, -0.1313, -0.1313, -0.1296, -0.0812, -0.1151, -0.0925, -0.0569, -0.1006, -0.0795, -0.1155, -0.1414, -0.135, -0.1955, -0.2556, -0.2573, -0.3078, -0.2836, -0.1793, -0.1447, -0.174, -0.1639, -0.1639, -0.1964, -0.2106, -0.2186, -0.2321, -0.2321, -0.1748, -0.1483, -0.0804, -0.1173, -0.1073, -0.1016, -0.0153, -0.0328, -0.0644, -0.0469, -0.0025, -0.0025, -0.0891, -0.0929, -0.1115, -0.133, -0.1609, -0.1021, -0.0786, -0.1293, -0.2184, -0.1912, -0.1748, -0.2441, -0.3223, -0.2101, -0.1479, -0.1579, -0.1871, -0.1768, -0.1008, -0.1008, -0.1053, -0.0661, -0.0128, -0.1017, -0.077, -0.0589, -0.0264, -0.0378, -0.1634, -0.165, -0.2037, -0.1029, -0.1225, -0.1805, -0.129, -0.1153, 0.0275, -0.0088, 0.0362, 0.1913, 0.0672, 0.0877, 0.1149, 0.0791, 0.0472, 0.0542, 0.0559, -0.0278, -0.075, -0.1536, -0.0481, -0.0647, -0.0017, -0.0017, 0.0325, 0.0771, 0.1468, 0.2507, 0.33, 0.418, 0.4857]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1966177690760917211", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-11T16:31:05+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$HIMS is profitable, acquiring companies, small 10B market cap, and with new product launches", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish HIMS: profitable, growing via acquisitions, small-cap with new product launches; shorts squeezed at $50.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@himshouse This reminds me when everyone gave $HOOD a $12 PT when the stock was trading at $18.  \n\nThe 42% short interest are scared when price is holding $50 after they shorted another 6%. \n\n$HIMS is profitable, acquiring companies,  small 10B market cap, and with new product launches.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "🚨 BREAKING: BANK OF AMERICA EXPECTS $HIMS TO BE ABLE TO NAVIGATE THE NEW DTC ADVERTISING REGULATIONS GIVEN ITS STRONG BRAND EQUITY AND FIRST-MOVER ADVANTAGE https://t.co/na9PGuUIlP", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "himshouse", "ret_m1d": -0.07689334759078936, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07689334759078936, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06865166700453629, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06865166700453629, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008241680586253075, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008241680586253075, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07225660354998276, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07225660354998276, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0725912164931296, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0725912164931296, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0003346129431468503, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0003346129431468503, "ret_p1w": 0.08578057545181794, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08578057545181794, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07874013193195561, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07874013193195561, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007040443519862327, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007040443519862327, "ret_p1m": 0.042310713145737644, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.042310713145737644, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04656773856677432, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04656773856677432, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.004257025421036675, "bench_c_p1m": -0.004257025421036675, "ret_p3m": -0.2306800427723682, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2306800427723682, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.27219834876790217, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.27219834876790217, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.041518305995533966, "bench_c_p3m": 0.041518305995533966, "ret_p6m": -0.6959041676674473, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.6959041676674473, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.724197353375478, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.724197353375478, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.028293185708030633, "bench_c_p6m": 0.028293185708030633, "price_path": [0.1549, 0.1445, 0.1799, 0.1799, 0.2407, -0.1889, -0.1702, -0.2, -0.1059, -0.0454, -0.0369, -0.0734, -0.0831, -0.073, -0.073, -0.0645, -0.0541, -0.01, -0.0288, -0.0748, 0.0052, -0.0251, 0.0017, -0.0342, -0.0267, -0.0804, -0.0338, 0.1209, 0.1074, 0.1138, 0.1337, 0.1644, 0.266, 0.2786, 0.2085, 0.2239, 0.0726, -0.0122, -0.0137, 0.0035, -0.0344, -0.0734, -0.0663, -0.0895, -0.1109, -0.1287, -0.1851, -0.1619, -0.1507, -0.1389, -0.1694, -0.1238, -0.1497, -0.1476, -0.1818, -0.1818, -0.1976, -0.141, -0.0705, -0.0647, -0.041, -0.0767, -0.0769, 0.0, 0.0723, 0.0425, -0.0168, -0.0272, 0.0858, 0.1171, 0.1148, 0.0819, 0.0288, 0.0601, 0.1283, 0.1422, 0.0958, 0.0879, 0.118, 0.0151, 0.058, 0.12, 0.1238, 0.1254, 0.0423, 0.0574, 0.0437, 0.2125, 0.1428, -0.0383, -0.0077, -0.0464, -0.0831, -0.0632, -0.0576, -0.0682, -0.0896, -0.0991, -0.1488, -0.1217, -0.1424, -0.1733, -0.1551, -0.1978, -0.2073, -0.2069, -0.232, -0.2461, -0.3035, -0.2855, -0.3126, -0.2995, -0.3078, -0.3505, -0.3294, -0.2701, -0.2834, -0.2581, -0.2581, -0.2318, -0.2753, -0.2985, -0.2838, -0.2268, -0.2427, -0.2442, -0.2307, -0.2682, -0.2703, -0.2811, -0.2997, -0.2879, -0.3244, -0.3282, -0.313, -0.3228, -0.3277, -0.3302, -0.3302, -0.3371, -0.3412, -0.3617, -0.3727, -0.3727, -0.3545, -0.3294, -0.3149, -0.3149, -0.3456, -0.3878, -0.3752, -0.3779, -0.3949, -0.3966, -0.3937, -0.3937, -0.4113, -0.4418, -0.4104, -0.4277, -0.415, -0.4266, -0.4461, -0.4229, -0.4766, -0.4892, -0.5066, -0.5286, -0.5464, -0.5553, -0.6265, -0.6669, -0.6776, -0.6947, -0.6851, -0.6851, -0.6857, -0.694, -0.6944, -0.698, -0.7003, -0.7013, -0.6944, -0.6986, -0.7195, -0.6816, -0.6944, -0.6822, -0.6932, -0.6959]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1971386239388614989", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-26T01:28:00+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS is better to all in instead of $CRWV, similar backlog. NBIS has better fundamentals with 4.1B funding at $138 share vs. 9%-11% rate with CRWV", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefers NBIS over CRWV for all-in; NBIS has better fundamentals and cheaper funding vs CRWV's 9-11% rate.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Only4CBN $NBIS is better to all in instead of $CRWV, similar backlog. From the top of my head NBIS has better fundamentals with 4.1B funding at $138 share vs. 9%-11% rate with CRWV as an example.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit You are a Wizard. \n\nWhat is your opinion on going all in on CRWV at this point?\n\nIs it too expensive?\n\nBut the deals its putting is spectacular.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Only4CBN", "ret_m1d": 0.002228463323721286, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.002228463323721286, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007924971572570216, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011875573732601619, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0056965082488489305, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009647110408880333, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02339836902383552, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02339836902383552, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.020588002582695664, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.020182578916097205, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028103664411398555, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0032157901077383144, "ret_p1w": 0.18830090049526604, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.18830090049526604, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.17713474635574222, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.20336391087767414, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01116615413952382, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015063010382408093, "ret_p1m": 0.1646239912657952, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1646239912657952, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1292368023297037, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1731709492739053, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035387188936091496, "bench_c_p1m": -0.008546958008110117, "ret_p3m": -0.1538532977191014, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1538532977191014, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20008934883751617, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15641150455970876, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04623605111841478, "bench_c_p3m": 0.002558206840607369, "ret_p6m": 0.05988862358776492, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.05988862358776492, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06398086437572481, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09995188413772027, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.004092240787959889, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04006326054995535, "price_path": [-0.5329, -0.536, -0.5334, -0.5334, -0.5558, -0.5627, -0.5724, -0.5689, -0.5887, -0.5176, -0.503, -0.505, -0.5015, -0.5098, -0.5137, -0.5264, -0.5183, -0.5157, -0.523, -0.5102, -0.532, -0.5238, -0.4946, -0.5172, -0.497, -0.4877, -0.4885, -0.3936, -0.3614, -0.3478, -0.3006, -0.3442, -0.3643, -0.335, -0.3265, -0.3761, -0.3735, -0.3855, -0.3595, -0.3499, -0.3456, -0.3491, -0.3311, -0.3656, -0.3656, -0.3898, -0.3904, -0.3973, -0.3921, -0.4052, -0.1112, -0.1329, -0.1719, -0.1605, -0.1554, -0.1696, -0.1265, -0.1261, -0.0779, -0.0102, 0.0009, 0.0513, 0.0022, 0.0, 0.0234, 0.0424, 0.0734, 0.1687, 0.1883, 0.1601, 0.0929, 0.1328, 0.2316, 0.2032, 0.2578, 0.1899, 0.1683, 0.1424, 0.0533, 0.0121, -0.0318, -0.0843, -0.0143, 0.0888, 0.1646, 0.1312, 0.1616, 0.153, 0.2147, 0.1186, 0.0264, 0.0864, 0.0162, 0.0332, 0.0209, -0.0509, -0.1239, -0.1771, -0.2243, -0.2017, -0.1593, -0.1173, -0.2141, -0.2269, -0.1467, -0.1747, -0.1208, -0.1208, -0.1191, -0.0701, -0.1045, -0.0815, -0.0455, -0.0897, -0.0684, -0.1048, -0.131, -0.1246, -0.1858, -0.2466, -0.2484, -0.2994, -0.2749, -0.1694, -0.1344, -0.1641, -0.1539, -0.1539, -0.1867, -0.2011, -0.2092, -0.2228, -0.2228, -0.1648, -0.1381, -0.0693, -0.1067, -0.0966, -0.0907, -0.0034, -0.0211, -0.0531, -0.0354, 0.0096, 0.0096, -0.0781, -0.082, -0.1007, -0.1226, -0.1508, -0.0913, -0.0675, -0.1188, -0.209, -0.1814, -0.1648, -0.235, -0.3141, -0.2006, -0.1376, -0.1477, -0.1773, -0.1669, -0.09, -0.09, -0.0945, -0.0548, -0.0008, -0.0908, -0.0658, -0.0475, -0.0147, -0.0262, -0.1533, -0.155, -0.1941, -0.0921, -0.1119, -0.1706, -0.1185, -0.1046, 0.0399, 0.0032, 0.0487, 0.2057, 0.0801, 0.1008, 0.1283, 0.0921, 0.0599]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1971386239388614989", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-26T01:28:00+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS is better to all in instead of $CRWV", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefers NBIS over CRWV for all-in; NBIS has better fundamentals and cheaper funding vs CRWV's 9-11% rate.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Only4CBN $NBIS is better to all in instead of $CRWV, similar backlog. From the top of my head NBIS has better fundamentals with 4.1B funding at $138 share vs. 9%-11% rate with CRWV as an example.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit You are a Wizard. \n\nWhat is your opinion on going all in on CRWV at this point?\n\nIs it too expensive?\n\nBut the deals its putting is spectacular.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Only4CBN", "ret_m1d": 0.052517928507106015, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.052517928507106015, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.058214436755954946, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.058214436755954946, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0056965082488489305, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0056965082488489305, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.018115342957587988, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.018115342957587988, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.015304976516448132, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.015304976516448132, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028103664411398555, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0028103664411398555, "ret_p1w": 0.12007642835279375, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12007642835279375, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10891027421326993, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10891027421326993, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01116615413952382, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01116615413952382, "ret_p1m": 0.1306298961200274, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1306298961200274, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0952427071839359, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0952427071839359, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035387188936091496, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035387188936091496, "ret_p3m": -0.3446069042155291, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3446069042155291, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.39084295533394386, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.39084295533394386, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04623605111841478, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04623605111841478, "ret_p6m": -0.31892968606758654, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.31892968606758654, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.31483744527962665, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.31483744527962665, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.004092240787959889, "bench_c_p6m": -0.004092240787959889, "price_path": [0.2958, 0.2612, 0.3728, 0.3728, 0.3271, 0.2585, 0.2718, 0.1492, 0.0457, 0.1, 0.1683, 0.1886, 0.0986, 0.0223, 0.038, 0.0784, 0.0474, -0.0028, -0.0392, -0.0836, -0.0964, -0.145, -0.0516, -0.1346, -0.1191, -0.0706, -0.0839, 0.0061, 0.0765, 0.1615, 0.2361, -0.0214, -0.1731, -0.1693, -0.1956, -0.2281, -0.2395, -0.2456, -0.219, -0.2323, -0.2406, -0.1945, -0.1458, -0.1438, -0.1438, -0.2244, -0.2531, -0.2731, -0.2597, -0.2226, -0.1672, -0.0266, -0.0636, -0.0696, 0.0011, -0.0132, 0.0043, 0.0087, 0.0376, 0.1071, 0.0877, 0.1085, 0.0525, 0.0, 0.0181, 0.1372, 0.1389, 0.1468, 0.1201, 0.1123, 0.0706, 0.1632, 0.189, 0.1503, 0.1768, 0.114, 0.1571, 0.1778, 0.1374, 0.0558, 0.0392, 0.0099, 0.0249, 0.1015, 0.1306, 0.1202, 0.1628, 0.0891, 0.1111, 0.0497, -0.0381, -0.0492, -0.1114, -0.1357, -0.1224, -0.2655, -0.2901, -0.349, -0.3572, -0.374, -0.3776, -0.3774, -0.4249, -0.4046, -0.3884, -0.4076, -0.3827, -0.3827, -0.3924, -0.3596, -0.3682, -0.3405, -0.2874, -0.2662, -0.2834, -0.2466, -0.2674, -0.2739, -0.3469, -0.3988, -0.4225, -0.4636, -0.4376, -0.3103, -0.2951, -0.3331, -0.3446, -0.3446, -0.365, -0.3774, -0.3859, -0.4049, -0.4049, -0.3409, -0.3613, -0.3523, -0.3587, -0.3594, -0.3341, -0.2527, -0.2731, -0.2538, -0.2105, -0.1588, -0.1588, -0.2087, -0.2185, -0.2372, -0.2274, -0.1831, -0.0954, -0.119, -0.1729, -0.2256, -0.2609, -0.2516, -0.3148, -0.3797, -0.2525, -0.1957, -0.2097, -0.2093, -0.2048, -0.2019, -0.2019, -0.2438, -0.2068, -0.1928, -0.2584, -0.2451, -0.1748, -0.1856, -0.1887, -0.3389, -0.3514, -0.3869, -0.3394, -0.3783, -0.3935, -0.3817, -0.3774, -0.3189, -0.3364, -0.326, -0.2865, -0.3176, -0.3118, -0.3297, -0.323, -0.3189]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2000330239218737658", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-14T22:21:08+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Still bullish. People seem to forget the $MSFT and $META deals for $NBIS are over half a decade, 100% utilization, and $22 Billion in contract size. They have great medium term defensibility", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Still bullish NBIS on $22B MSFT/META contracts, 100% utilization, multi-year duration, and enterprise defensibility despite space DC concerns.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Still bullish. People seem to forget the $MSFT and $META deals for $NBIS are over half a decade, 100% utilization, and $22 Billion in contract size. They have great medium term defensibility, including all their enterprise users like Cursor or $NET.\n\nDCs in space is more near-term exploratory like quantum right now, not exactly widely commercializable and a source for compute yet.\n\nThat being said I wouldn’t be surprised if $NBIS also owns a space company subsidiary given then already have self-driving car ones lol.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Still bullish on nbis after space data centers?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cluelesscrypta", "ret_m1d": 0.08072471162223649, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08072471162223649, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07921153760334687, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.080896172428786, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0015131740188896181, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00017146080654950602, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0023416618540237355, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0023416618540237355, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00039063574125497436, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0030280320438993424, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00273229759527871, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0006863701898756069, "ret_p1w": 0.14900177542800863, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.14900177542800863, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1400060501153062, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14498973746976107, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00899572531270243, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004012037958247561, "ret_p1m": 0.2993591458989606, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2993591458989606, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2771916559932497, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.29336770062730033, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022167489905710935, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0059914452716602895, "ret_p3m": 0.33152577924853577, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.33152577924853577, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3501849525132279, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3394765413434061, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.01865917326469213, "bench_c_p3m": -0.007950762094870334, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1595, 0.16, 0.2239, 0.3138, 0.3286, 0.3955, 0.3303, 0.3273, 0.3584, 0.3837, 0.4248, 0.5513, 0.5773, 0.5398, 0.4506, 0.5036, 0.6347, 0.597, 0.6695, 0.5794, 0.5508, 0.5164, 0.3981, 0.3434, 0.2852, 0.2154, 0.3084, 0.4452, 0.5458, 0.5015, 0.5418, 0.5304, 0.6123, 0.4847, 0.3623, 0.442, 0.3488, 0.3715, 0.3551, 0.2598, 0.1629, 0.0923, 0.0296, 0.0597, 0.1158, 0.1717, 0.0431, 0.0261, 0.1326, 0.0954, 0.167, 0.167, 0.1692, 0.2343, 0.1887, 0.2191, 0.2669, 0.2083, 0.2365, 0.1882, 0.1534, 0.1619, 0.0807, 0.0, -0.0023, -0.0701, -0.0376, 0.1025, 0.149, 0.1096, 0.1231, 0.1231, 0.0795, 0.0604, 0.0497, 0.0316, 0.0316, 0.1086, 0.1441, 0.2354, 0.1857, 0.1992, 0.2069, 0.3228, 0.2994, 0.2568, 0.2803, 0.34, 0.34, 0.2237, 0.2185, 0.1936, 0.1647, 0.1272, 0.2062, 0.2377, 0.1697, 0.0499, 0.0865, 0.1086, 0.0154, -0.0896, 0.0611, 0.1447, 0.1313, 0.0921, 0.1059, 0.2079, 0.2079, 0.2019, 0.2546, 0.3262, 0.2068, 0.24, 0.2642, 0.3079, 0.2926, 0.1239, 0.1216, 0.0698, 0.2051, 0.1788, 0.1009, 0.1701, 0.1884, 0.3803, 0.3315, 0.392, 0.6003, 0.4337, 0.4612, 0.4977, 0.4496, 0.4068, 0.4162, 0.4184, 0.306, 0.2425, 0.137, 0.2788, 0.2565, 0.3411, 0.3411, 0.387, 0.4469, 0.5405, 0.6802, 0.7867, 0.9049, 0.9958, 1.0553, 1.0377, 0.9367, 0.9615, 0.9294, 0.9243, 0.9359, 0.8137, 0.7865, 0.6701, 0.7401, 0.7036, 0.904, 1.1743, 1.1681, 1.4044, 1.2772, 1.182, 1.2936, 1.2074, 1.5545, 1.7255, 1.7106, 1.4632, 1.4369, 1.3641, 1.7105, 1.6469, 1.6469, 1.5642, 1.568, 1.7895, 1.848, 1.848, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2000330239218737658", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-14T22:21:08+00:00", "symbol": "MSFT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the $MSFT and $META deals for $NBIS are over half a decade, 100% utilization, and $22 Billion in contract size", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Still bullish NBIS on $22B MSFT/META contracts, 100% utilization, multi-year duration, and enterprise defensibility despite space DC concerns.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSFT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Still bullish. People seem to forget the $MSFT and $META deals for $NBIS are over half a decade, 100% utilization, and $22 Billion in contract size. They have great medium term defensibility, including all their enterprise users like Cursor or $NET.\n\nDCs in space is more near-term exploratory like quantum right now, not exactly widely commercializable and a source for compute yet.\n\nThat being said I wouldn’t be surprised if $NBIS also owns a space company subsidiary given then already have self-driving car ones lol.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Still bullish on nbis after space data centers?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cluelesscrypta", "ret_m1d": 0.007813467867266777, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007813467867266777, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006300293848377159, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006300293848377159, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0015131740188896181, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0015131740188896181, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0033065371992535564, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0033065371992535564, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006038834794532266, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006038834794532266, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00273229759527871, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00273229759527871, "ret_p1w": 0.021271251157446214, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.021271251157446214, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.012275525844743784, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.012275525844743784, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00899572531270243, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00899572531270243, "ret_p1m": -0.008740134956143453, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.008740134956143453, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.030907624861854388, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.030907624861854388, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022167489905710935, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022167489905710935, "ret_p3m": -0.151726532369016, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.151726532369016, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13306735910432388, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13306735910432388, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.01865917326469213, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01865917326469213, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0721, 0.0688, 0.0888, 0.0814, 0.0705, 0.0724, 0.0658, 0.0752, 0.0818, 0.0888, 0.0925, 0.0842, 0.0875, 0.1111, 0.1015, 0.1033, 0.0982, 0.0741, 0.0806, 0.0796, 0.0793, 0.0755, 0.0796, 0.0864, 0.0882, 0.0942, 0.0943, 0.1007, 0.1173, 0.1395, 0.1384, 0.1052, 0.0885, 0.0869, 0.0812, 0.0661, 0.045, 0.0444, 0.0637, 0.0693, 0.0745, 0.058, 0.0725, 0.0668, 0.038, 0.024, 0.0076, -0.0057, -0.0017, 0.0046, 0.0225, 0.0225, 0.0362, 0.0251, 0.032, 0.0061, 0.0127, 0.0176, 0.0341, 0.0362, 0.0079, 0.0182, 0.0078, 0.0, 0.0033, 0.0027, 0.0193, 0.0234, 0.0213, 0.0253, 0.0278, 0.0278, 0.0271, 0.0259, 0.0267, 0.0185, 0.0185, -0.004, -0.0041, 0.0078, 0.0182, 0.0069, 0.0094, 0.005, -0.0087, -0.0325, -0.0382, -0.0315, -0.0315, -0.0428, -0.0647, -0.0499, -0.0187, -0.0096, 0.0121, 0.0143, -0.087, -0.0938, -0.1084, -0.134, -0.1277, -0.1709, -0.1552, -0.1289, -0.1296, -0.1484, -0.1537, -0.1548, -0.1548, -0.1642, -0.1584, -0.1589, -0.1615, -0.1884, -0.1789, -0.1544, -0.152, -0.171, -0.1587, -0.1474, -0.1447, -0.1331, -0.1367, -0.1358, -0.1435, -0.1454, -0.1517, -0.165, -0.1558, -0.1569, -0.173, -0.1788, -0.1939, -0.1915, -0.2132, -0.2168, -0.2275, -0.2469, -0.2423, -0.2186, -0.2203, -0.2117, -0.2117, -0.2129, -0.2141, -0.2098, -0.2125, -0.2171, -0.1886, -0.1702, -0.132, -0.1129, -0.1075, -0.1175, -0.1047, -0.0862, -0.1224, -0.1037, -0.1033, -0.0939, -0.104, -0.1392, -0.1252, -0.1269, -0.1316, -0.1262, -0.1118, -0.1237, -0.1289, -0.1393, -0.1447, -0.1357, -0.1094, -0.106, -0.1189, -0.1112, -0.1134, -0.1145, -0.1145, -0.1199, -0.127, -0.0967, -0.0475, -0.0475, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2000330239218737658", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-12-14T22:21:08+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the $MSFT and $META deals for $NBIS are over half a decade, 100% utilization, and $22 Billion in contract size", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Still bullish NBIS on $22B MSFT/META contracts, 100% utilization, multi-year duration, and enterprise defensibility despite space DC concerns.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Still bullish. People seem to forget the $MSFT and $META deals for $NBIS are over half a decade, 100% utilization, and $22 Billion in contract size. They have great medium term defensibility, including all their enterprise users like Cursor or $NET.\n\nDCs in space is more near-term exploratory like quantum right now, not exactly widely commercializable and a source for compute yet.\n\nThat being said I wouldn’t be surprised if $NBIS also owns a space company subsidiary given then already have self-driving car ones lol.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Still bullish on nbis after space data centers?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cluelesscrypta", "ret_m1d": -0.005876376650761572, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005876376650761572, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00738955066965119, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005704915844212066, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0015131740188896181, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00017146080654950602, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01488783345310063, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01488783345310063, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01762013104837934, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014201463263225023, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00273229759527871, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0006863701898756069, "ret_p1w": 0.02160583539447103, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02160583539447103, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0126101100817686, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01759379743622347, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00899572531270243, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004012037958247561, "ret_p1m": -0.02535866718856683, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02535866718856683, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.047526157094277766, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03135011246022712, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022167489905710935, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0059914452716602895, "ret_p3m": -0.014409047627538363, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.014409047627538363, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.004250125637153768, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.006458285532668029, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.01865917326469213, "bench_c_p3m": -0.007950762094870334, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1962, 0.2032, 0.2003, 0.1807, 0.1657, 0.1738, 0.1557, 0.1477, 0.1472, 0.1332, 0.1069, 0.1219, 0.0965, 0.1043, 0.1004, 0.1077, 0.1319, 0.0884, 0.1044, 0.0935, 0.1073, 0.0988, 0.1063, 0.1298, 0.1315, 0.1317, 0.1326, 0.1394, 0.1586, 0.1596, 0.1599, 0.0284, 0.0005, -0.0159, -0.032, -0.0187, -0.0449, -0.0406, -0.0251, -0.0323, -0.0602, -0.0589, -0.0595, -0.071, -0.0777, -0.0891, -0.0909, -0.083, -0.054, -0.0182, -0.0223, -0.0223, -0.0001, -0.0111, -0.0014, -0.013, 0.0208, 0.0392, 0.029, 0.0138, 0.0032, 0.0072, -0.0059, 0.0, 0.0149, 0.0031, 0.0262, 0.0174, 0.0216, 0.0269, 0.0309, 0.0309, 0.0244, 0.0173, 0.0285, 0.0194, 0.0194, 0.0045, 0.0174, 0.0202, 0.0018, -0.0022, 0.0086, -0.0086, -0.0254, -0.0494, -0.0413, -0.0421, -0.0421, -0.067, -0.0534, 0.0002, 0.0174, 0.0384, 0.0393, 0.0328, 0.1402, 0.1065, 0.091, 0.0682, 0.0332, 0.0351, 0.0215, 0.0459, 0.0358, 0.0327, 0.0036, -0.012, -0.012, -0.0127, -0.0066, -0.0042, 0.0126, -0.0158, -0.0127, 0.0095, 0.0147, 0.001, 0.0093, 0.0117, 0.0312, 0.0202, -0.0041, -0.0002, 0.0101, 0.0114, -0.0144, -0.0522, -0.0302, -0.0376, -0.0483, -0.0622, -0.0824, -0.0663, -0.0835, -0.0805, -0.1537, -0.1874, -0.1709, -0.1157, -0.1047, -0.1121, -0.1121, -0.1143, -0.1111, -0.0534, -0.0287, -0.0264, -0.0192, 0.024, 0.0381, 0.0462, 0.0643, 0.037, 0.0338, 0.0429, 0.0188, 0.0434, 0.0489, 0.0377, 0.0343, -0.0542, -0.0591, -0.0565, -0.0649, -0.0527, -0.0466, -0.0577, -0.0743, -0.0679, -0.0469, -0.0441, -0.0506, -0.0553, -0.0685, -0.0648, -0.0612, -0.0567, -0.0567, -0.0535, -0.0181, -0.018, -0.0223, -0.0223, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1994582963313676534", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-29T01:43:30+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NVDA is backlogged for years and people are buying GPUs from $AMD /TPUs from $GOOGL to build out any new capacity. As for Cisco analogy, Cisco's customers were .com bubble companies with no profitability. $NVDA's customers are $META, $AMZN, $GOOGL, $MSFT the most profitable companies in the world. So worst case scenario we might see a correction, not a .com bubble crash.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish NVDA long-term: backlogged for years, customers are world's most profitable cos, Cisco bubble analogy invalid; also notes AMD benefiting from overflow GPU demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Answer is nuanced.\n\nSo two factors:  \n\n1. GPUs get more power efficient.\n\n2. LLMs get more capacity/power efficient.  \n\nFor the LLMs case, we're seeing that on deepseek type models be extremely efficient on stuff that don't require much accuracy. Basic stuff like responding to questions about cooking recipes, or knowledge-base stuff.   \n\nHowever... accuracy increases, especially with complex research questions, scaled with compute. And people like Elon + mag7 realize this, which is why they're just buying up all the GPUs on the market to create superintelligence. And why antrhopic/google is building $40B+ datacenters for more advanced opus and gemini models that require more compute for critical thinking (eg. Genesis Mission)  \n\nFor the GPUs case, every new generation of GPU (e.g., H100 -> B200) offers dramatic improvements in power efficiency and performance per dollar. eg. Blackwell B200 is 30x than the Hopper H100. \n\nIf we go off that assumption, then there would be a massive useless supply of less-efficient H100s and B200s in 2027/2028 creating a used GPU market crash.\n\nHOWEVER: This is if we don't see an exponential demand for new AI capabilities (which we likely will, and what we're seeing now). Because of this exponential demand, TODAY, older models are still used (eg. TPUs from 7 years ago and GPUs from 2020), for lower inference task in lower priority inference tasks. \n\n$NVDA is backlogged for years and people are buying GPUs from $AMD /TPUs from $GOOGL to build out any new capacity.   \n\nAs for Cisco analogy, Cisco's customers were .com bubble companies with no profitability. $NVDA's customers are $META, $AMZN, $GOOGL, $MSFT the most profitable companies in the world.  So worst case scenario we might see a correction, not a .com bubble crash.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Great write up! What’s your thoughts on Nvidia creating a “Cisco” like environment where hyperscalers keeps spending on GPUs to Ngidia, and a risk of possibly blowing too much on AI spend that there’s an oversupply of GPU in the future (when GPU becomes further power efficient)", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "kaltsit99__", "ret_m1d": -0.0162295101850789, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0162295101850789, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.020815955047401635, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.020815955047401635, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008559328912786102, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008559328912786102, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00670702923870703, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00670702923870703, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "ret_p1w": 0.03134909133996655, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03134909133996655, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02640983608570857, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02640983608570857, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "ret_p1m": 0.042410128700367755, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.042410128700367755, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02951802190800068, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02951802190800068, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "ret_p3m": 0.027680540949180266, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.027680540949180266, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.011412282334651414, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.011412282334651414, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "ret_p6m": 0.19432850523535183, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.19432850523535183, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08467512565468183, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08467512565468183, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "price_path": [-0.0517, -0.046, -0.0718, -0.0646, -0.051, -0.0145, -0.0153, -0.0117, -0.0121, -0.028, -0.0535, -0.0205, -0.0181, 0.0205, -0.0083, -0.0164, -0.0124, -0.0096, 0.0107, 0.037, 0.0407, 0.0499, 0.0428, 0.0312, 0.0285, 0.0511, 0.0703, 0.018, 0.0467, 0.0006, -0.0005, 0.0105, 0.0183, 0.0151, 0.0069, 0.002, 0.0124, 0.0352, 0.0643, 0.1173, 0.1507, 0.1277, 0.1254, 0.1498, 0.1043, 0.085, 0.0454, 0.0457, 0.1063, 0.0736, 0.0771, 0.0386, 0.057, 0.0371, 0.008, 0.0367, 0.004, -0.0058, 0.0146, -0.0117, 0.0019, 0.0019, -0.0162, 0.0, 0.0086, -0.0018, 0.0193, 0.0139, 0.0313, 0.0281, 0.0215, 0.0057, -0.0272, -0.0201, -0.0122, -0.0499, -0.0321, 0.006, 0.021, 0.0517, 0.0484, 0.0484, 0.059, 0.0462, 0.0424, 0.0366, 0.0366, 0.0497, 0.0456, 0.0407, 0.0511, 0.0285, 0.0275, 0.028, 0.0328, 0.018, 0.0397, 0.0351, 0.0351, -0.0102, 0.019, 0.0274, 0.0431, 0.0365, 0.0479, 0.0645, 0.07, 0.0624, 0.0317, 0.0024, -0.0318, -0.0446, 0.0306, 0.0563, 0.048, 0.0564, 0.0391, 0.0161, 0.0161, 0.0281, 0.0449, 0.0444, 0.0551, 0.0647, 0.0719, 0.087, 0.0277, -0.0151, 0.0143, 0.0008, 0.0174, 0.0191, -0.0116, 0.0152, 0.027, 0.0341, 0.018, 0.0019, 0.0185, 0.0113, 0.0028, -0.0074, -0.04, -0.0237, -0.0261, -0.0068, -0.0481, -0.0688, -0.0819, -0.0306, -0.0231, -0.014, -0.014, -0.0126, -0.01, 0.0121, 0.0223, 0.0485, 0.0523, 0.0923, 0.1054, 0.1026, 0.1211, 0.1232, 0.1111, 0.1256, 0.1097, 0.1577, 0.2041, 0.1849, 0.1631, 0.1093, 0.1031, 0.1033, 0.0923, 0.1553, 0.1757, 0.1962, 0.2198, 0.2272, 0.2553, 0.3104, 0.2525, 0.2358, 0.2263, 0.2422, 0.2202, 0.1969, 0.1969, 0.1943]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1994582963313676534", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-29T01:43:30+00:00", "symbol": "AMD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "people are buying GPUs from $AMD /TPUs from $GOOGL to build out any new capacity", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish NVDA long-term: backlogged for years, customers are world's most profitable cos, Cisco bubble analogy invalid; also notes AMD benefiting from overflow GPU demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Answer is nuanced.\n\nSo two factors:  \n\n1. GPUs get more power efficient.\n\n2. LLMs get more capacity/power efficient.  \n\nFor the LLMs case, we're seeing that on deepseek type models be extremely efficient on stuff that don't require much accuracy. Basic stuff like responding to questions about cooking recipes, or knowledge-base stuff.   \n\nHowever... accuracy increases, especially with complex research questions, scaled with compute. And people like Elon + mag7 realize this, which is why they're just buying up all the GPUs on the market to create superintelligence. And why antrhopic/google is building $40B+ datacenters for more advanced opus and gemini models that require more compute for critical thinking (eg. Genesis Mission)  \n\nFor the GPUs case, every new generation of GPU (e.g., H100 -> B200) offers dramatic improvements in power efficiency and performance per dollar. eg. Blackwell B200 is 30x than the Hopper H100. \n\nIf we go off that assumption, then there would be a massive useless supply of less-efficient H100s and B200s in 2027/2028 creating a used GPU market crash.\n\nHOWEVER: This is if we don't see an exponential demand for new AI capabilities (which we likely will, and what we're seeing now). Because of this exponential demand, TODAY, older models are still used (eg. TPUs from 7 years ago and GPUs from 2020), for lower inference task in lower priority inference tasks. \n\n$NVDA is backlogged for years and people are buying GPUs from $AMD /TPUs from $GOOGL to build out any new capacity.   \n\nAs for Cisco analogy, Cisco's customers were .com bubble companies with no profitability. $NVDA's customers are $META, $AMZN, $GOOGL, $MSFT the most profitable companies in the world.  So worst case scenario we might see a correction, not a .com bubble crash.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Great write up! What’s your thoughts on Nvidia creating a “Cisco” like environment where hyperscalers keeps spending on GPUs to Ngidia, and a risk of possibly blowing too much on AI spend that there’s an oversupply of GPU in the future (when GPU becomes further power efficient)", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "kaltsit99__", "ret_m1d": -0.010147414376048713, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010147414376048713, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01473385923837145, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01473385923837145, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.020567842767812206, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.020567842767812206, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.022420142441891278, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.022420142441891278, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "ret_p1w": 0.0061430930891002156, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0061430930891002156, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0012038378348422363, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0012038378348422363, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "ret_p1m": -0.020112842552914345, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.020112842552914345, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03300494934528142, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03300494934528142, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "ret_p3m": -0.07317074186837269, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07317074186837269, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08943900048290154, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08943900048290154, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "ret_p6m": 1.2929105717317593, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.2929105717317593, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.1832571921510893, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.1832571921510893, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "price_path": [-0.2622, -0.2638, -0.3122, -0.311, -0.291, -0.274, -0.2916, -0.2784, -0.2667, -0.2698, -0.2758, -0.2814, -0.2838, -0.2729, -0.2678, -0.2679, -0.2662, -0.2744, -0.2657, -0.2638, -0.2537, -0.2277, -0.2507, -0.073, -0.0375, 0.0719, 0.0597, -0.0221, -0.0152, -0.0076, 0.0857, 0.0673, 0.0606, 0.0946, 0.0831, 0.0476, 0.0693, 0.1509, 0.1816, 0.1741, 0.2028, 0.1596, 0.1655, 0.1815, 0.1378, 0.1664, 0.0816, 0.0627, 0.1102, 0.0808, 0.1781, 0.1283, 0.1231, 0.0945, 0.0479, 0.0172, -0.0625, -0.0727, -0.0214, -0.062, -0.0251, -0.0251, -0.0101, 0.0, -0.0206, -0.0098, -0.0172, -0.0081, 0.0061, 0.0085, 0.0076, 0.0076, -0.0409, -0.0554, -0.0482, -0.0985, -0.0851, -0.0288, -0.0219, -0.0221, -0.0215, -0.0215, -0.0217, -0.0189, -0.0201, -0.0255, -0.0255, 0.0169, 0.006, -0.0246, -0.0443, -0.0686, -0.0755, -0.0549, 0.0055, 0.0175, 0.0371, 0.0549, 0.0549, 0.0553, 0.1367, 0.1546, 0.1817, 0.1436, 0.1468, 0.1501, 0.1475, 0.0772, 0.1206, 0.1017, -0.0891, -0.124, -0.0515, -0.0171, -0.0282, -0.0281, -0.0629, -0.0566, -0.0566, -0.0759, -0.0894, -0.0746, -0.0892, -0.1054, -0.0269, -0.0405, -0.0732, -0.089, -0.0962, -0.1311, -0.0805, -0.0924, -0.1244, -0.0777, -0.0752, -0.0679, -0.1002, -0.12, -0.1055, -0.1067, -0.0924, -0.0659, -0.0839, -0.0777, -0.0655, 0.0023, -0.0728, -0.0809, -0.1079, -0.0743, -0.0435, -0.0103, -0.0103, 0.0019, 0.0081, 0.0549, 0.0768, 0.115, 0.1232, 0.1607, 0.1746, 0.2662, 0.2668, 0.2511, 0.2945, 0.3809, 0.3894, 0.5827, 0.5227, 0.4707, 0.534, 0.6131, 0.6406, 0.5542, 0.6166, 0.9175, 0.8587, 1.0713, 1.0877, 1.0399, 1.0272, 1.0463, 0.9298, 0.9157, 0.8841, 1.0367, 1.0458, 1.1274, 1.1274, 1.2929]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1995130617399480565", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-30T13:59:41+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the $NBIS, $CRWV, $IREN margin comparison is a great read", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses bullish Neocloud margin analysis covering NBIS, CRWV, and IREN.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@accounting_ds I think the $NBIS, $CRWV, $IREN margin comparison is a great read because the poster also happens to be super cool", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Fantastic write up and must read for anyone wanting to take their Neocloud investment seriously \n\nThis is exactly why im bullish $NBIS long term and also why Im bullish on $IREN potential", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "accounting_ds", "ret_m1d": -0.052720905630066484, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.052720905630066484, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05730735049238922, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.057422753442149754, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004701847812083271, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.036944628270231594, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.036944628270231594, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.038796927944310666, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04025331122801734, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003308682957785747, "ret_p1w": 0.0017973070637373745, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0017973070637373745, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.003141948190520605, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01047963228719273, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012276939350930105, "ret_p1m": -0.1495756677853144, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1495756677853144, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16246777457768147, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.18286213217720948, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03328646439189509, "ret_p3m": 0.047229112885403435, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.047229112885403435, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.030960854270874583, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.027656878277190877, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "bench_c_p3m": 0.019572234608212558, "ret_p6m": 1.0774837183085886, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.0774837183085886, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.9678303387279186, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.0649106695834534, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "bench_c_p6m": 0.012573048725135205, "price_path": [-0.3445, -0.3519, -0.3463, -0.3604, -0.0442, -0.0675, -0.1094, -0.0973, -0.0918, -0.107, -0.0606, -0.0602, -0.0084, 0.0644, 0.0764, 0.1306, 0.0778, 0.0754, 0.1005, 0.121, 0.1544, 0.2568, 0.2779, 0.2475, 0.1752, 0.2182, 0.3244, 0.2939, 0.3526, 0.2796, 0.2564, 0.2286, 0.1327, 0.0884, 0.0412, -0.0153, 0.06, 0.1708, 0.2524, 0.2165, 0.2491, 0.2399, 0.3062, 0.2029, 0.1037, 0.1682, 0.0928, 0.1111, 0.0979, 0.0207, -0.0578, -0.115, -0.1659, -0.1415, -0.096, -0.0507, -0.1549, -0.1686, -0.0824, -0.1125, -0.0545, -0.0545, -0.0527, 0.0, -0.0369, -0.0123, 0.0265, -0.0211, 0.0018, -0.0373, -0.0655, -0.0586, -0.1244, -0.1898, -0.1917, -0.2466, -0.2203, -0.1067, -0.0691, -0.101, -0.0901, -0.0901, -0.1254, -0.1409, -0.1496, -0.1642, -0.1642, -0.1018, -0.0731, 0.0009, -0.0393, -0.0285, -0.0222, 0.0717, 0.0527, 0.0183, 0.0373, 0.0857, 0.0857, -0.0086, -0.0128, -0.033, -0.0564, -0.0868, -0.0228, 0.0028, -0.0523, -0.1494, -0.1197, -0.1018, -0.1773, -0.2624, -0.1403, -0.0726, -0.0835, -0.1152, -0.104, -0.0214, -0.0214, -0.0263, 0.0165, 0.0745, -0.0223, 0.0046, 0.0243, 0.0596, 0.0472, -0.0895, -0.0913, -0.1333, -0.0237, -0.0449, -0.108, -0.052, -0.0371, 0.1183, 0.0788, 0.1278, 0.2966, 0.1616, 0.1838, 0.2134, 0.1744, 0.1398, 0.1474, 0.1492, 0.0581, 0.0067, -0.0788, 0.036, 0.018, 0.0866, 0.0866, 0.1237, 0.1722, 0.2481, 0.3613, 0.4475, 0.5433, 0.617, 0.6652, 0.6509, 0.569, 0.5892, 0.5632, 0.5591, 0.5684, 0.4694, 0.4474, 0.3531, 0.4098, 0.3802, 0.5426, 0.7616, 0.7566, 0.948, 0.8449, 0.7678, 0.8582, 0.7884, 1.0696, 1.2082, 1.1961, 0.9956, 0.9743, 0.9153, 1.196, 1.1445, 1.1445, 1.0775]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1995130617399480565", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-30T13:59:41+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the $NBIS, $CRWV, $IREN margin comparison is a great read", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses bullish Neocloud margin analysis covering NBIS, CRWV, and IREN.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@accounting_ds I think the $NBIS, $CRWV, $IREN margin comparison is a great read because the poster also happens to be super cool", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Fantastic write up and must read for anyone wanting to take their Neocloud investment seriously \n\nThis is exactly why im bullish $NBIS long term and also why Im bullish on $IREN potential", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "accounting_ds", "ret_m1d": -0.051128924692943056, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.051128924692943056, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05571536955526579, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05571536955526579, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.013366192732016335, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.013366192732016335, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.015218492406095407, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.015218492406095407, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "ret_p1w": 0.11912795997943837, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11912795997943837, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11418870472518039, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.11418870472518039, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "ret_p1m": -0.04100695734271331, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04100695734271331, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05389906413508039, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05389906413508039, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "ret_p3m": 0.26693486045316184, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.26693486045316184, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.250666601838633, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.250666601838633, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "ret_p6m": 0.3741240947890423, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3741240947890423, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2644707152083723, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2644707152083723, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "price_path": [0.1664, 0.1352, 0.1561, 0.214, 0.3005, 0.5201, 0.4624, 0.4529, 0.5633, 0.541, 0.5684, 0.5753, 0.6203, 0.7289, 0.6985, 0.7311, 0.6437, 0.5616, 0.5899, 0.7759, 0.7785, 0.7908, 0.7492, 0.737, 0.6718, 0.8165, 0.8567, 0.7964, 0.8378, 0.7397, 0.8069, 0.8393, 0.7761, 0.6488, 0.6229, 0.5771, 0.6006, 0.7201, 0.7656, 0.7493, 0.8159, 0.7008, 0.7351, 0.6392, 0.5021, 0.4848, 0.3876, 0.3497, 0.3705, 0.147, 0.1086, 0.0166, 0.0039, -0.0224, -0.028, -0.0278, -0.1019, -0.0702, -0.0449, -0.0749, -0.0359, -0.0359, -0.0511, 0.0, -0.0134, 0.0298, 0.1128, 0.1459, 0.1191, 0.1765, 0.144, 0.1339, 0.0199, -0.0611, -0.0981, -0.1623, -0.1217, 0.0771, 0.1008, 0.0415, 0.0235, 0.0235, -0.0083, -0.0278, -0.041, -0.0707, -0.0707, 0.0293, -0.0026, 0.0114, 0.0016, 0.0004, 0.04, 0.167, 0.1352, 0.1653, 0.2329, 0.3137, 0.3137, 0.2357, 0.2205, 0.1911, 0.2066, 0.2758, 0.4127, 0.3758, 0.2916, 0.2093, 0.1542, 0.1687, 0.0701, -0.0313, 0.1673, 0.256, 0.2342, 0.2348, 0.2419, 0.2463, 0.2463, 0.1809, 0.2386, 0.2606, 0.1582, 0.1788, 0.2886, 0.2719, 0.2669, 0.0324, 0.0128, -0.0426, 0.0317, -0.0291, -0.0528, -0.0344, -0.0278, 0.0636, 0.0363, 0.0526, 0.1142, 0.0657, 0.0747, 0.0467, 0.0572, 0.0636, 0.0773, 0.1365, 0.044, -0.0292, -0.1026, 0.0053, 0.0179, 0.0672, 0.0672, 0.0504, 0.1062, 0.1536, 0.1939, 0.3236, 0.431, 0.5209, 0.5402, 0.5515, 0.5164, 0.5239, 0.4944, 0.5902, 0.5237, 0.4293, 0.4542, 0.3695, 0.4818, 0.4482, 0.5444, 0.6277, 0.6596, 0.7906, 0.6719, 0.4813, 0.4885, 0.3983, 0.4445, 0.4822, 0.3924, 0.3466, 0.2952, 0.3143, 0.3961, 0.3689, 0.3689, 0.3741]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1995130617399480565", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-11-30T13:59:41+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the $NBIS, $CRWV, $IREN margin comparison is a great read", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses bullish Neocloud margin analysis covering NBIS, CRWV, and IREN.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@accounting_ds I think the $NBIS, $CRWV, $IREN margin comparison is a great read because the poster also happens to be super cool", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Fantastic write up and must read for anyone wanting to take their Neocloud investment seriously \n\nThis is exactly why im bullish $NBIS long term and also why Im bullish on $IREN potential", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "accounting_ds", "ret_m1d": -0.014023515810224318, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014023515810224318, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.018609960672547055, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.022342682441486406, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008319166631262087, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.15199015243290592, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.15199015243290592, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.153842452106985, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.15104477605452604, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0009453763783798808, "ret_p1w": -0.04433906891023409, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04433906891023409, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04927832416449207, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0554942919273953, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011155223017161209, "ret_p1m": -0.21014646501716616, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.21014646501716616, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.22303857180953324, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2570902403302643, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "bench_c_p1m": 0.046943775313098124, "ret_p3m": -0.08764693447901695, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08764693447901695, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1039151930935458, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08374241000006155, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0039045244789553957, "ret_p6m": 0.23283144380346932, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.23283144380346932, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.12317806422279931, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.24401169255931177, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "bench_c_p6m": -0.011180248755842448, "price_path": [-0.4182, -0.4611, -0.4607, -0.4599, -0.3774, -0.3065, -0.3225, -0.2996, -0.2341, -0.2483, -0.2184, -0.251, -0.2031, -0.1359, -0.1386, -0.0278, -0.0454, -0.1367, -0.0528, -0.0322, -0.0291, -0.0303, 0.0406, 0.191, 0.272, 0.2392, 0.3168, 0.2326, 0.3227, 0.4345, 0.4019, 0.2751, 0.2522, 0.2213, 0.1383, 0.0689, 0.152, 0.2972, 0.3403, 0.2873, 0.246, 0.2007, 0.2528, 0.3972, 0.3741, 0.5758, 0.3809, 0.2865, 0.2409, 0.1833, 0.1487, 0.0033, -0.0437, -0.0223, 0.0074, -0.0549, -0.1035, -0.1285, 0.0, -0.021, -0.0008, -0.0008, -0.014, 0.0, -0.152, -0.0934, -0.0421, -0.078, -0.0443, -0.034, -0.0942, -0.0938, -0.1724, -0.2683, -0.2454, -0.3034, -0.2617, -0.1767, -0.133, -0.1324, -0.1343, -0.1343, -0.1689, -0.1873, -0.2101, -0.2211, -0.2211, -0.1194, -0.0052, -0.0532, -0.1003, -0.058, -0.0507, 0.0379, 0.0928, 0.0905, 0.0701, 0.1924, 0.1924, 0.119, 0.1029, 0.0777, 0.1689, 0.0798, 0.2372, 0.298, 0.2341, 0.1083, 0.0947, 0.1217, -0.0732, -0.1794, -0.1373, -0.0483, -0.1147, -0.12, -0.1745, -0.1293, -0.1293, -0.1551, -0.1322, -0.1072, -0.1755, -0.1264, -0.0627, -0.092, -0.0876, -0.1555, -0.1464, -0.1988, -0.0959, -0.1725, -0.2431, -0.199, -0.2139, -0.1343, -0.1468, -0.1425, -0.0732, -0.114, -0.1295, -0.1409, -0.1485, -0.1305, -0.152, -0.1456, -0.2277, -0.2763, -0.3479, -0.2931, -0.297, -0.2829, -0.2829, -0.2755, -0.2629, -0.2405, -0.2357, -0.1891, -0.1118, -0.0231, 0.0068, -0.0163, -0.0076, 0.0047, -0.0685, -0.0021, 0.0728, 0.0443, -0.0027, -0.0835, -0.1161, -0.0615, -0.0584, 0.0204, 0.1289, 0.2576, 0.1724, 0.2621, 0.1373, 0.1664, 0.1378, 0.2044, 0.0918, 0.0406, -0.0155, 0.087, 0.1974, 0.172, 0.172, 0.2328]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1967414161597755466", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-15T02:24:23+00:00", "symbol": "RUM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I wonder if $RUM would be a good speculative buy in the next dip. RUM earnings likely higher than expected from all newfound conservative engagement + White House streams and stock is more attractive down 42% YTD", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Speculative long RUM on dip: conservative engagement surge + White House streams likely to beat earnings expectations.", "resolved_tickers": ["RUM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It’s extremely sad to trade Charlie Kirk’s passing but I wonder if $RUM would be a good speculative buy in the next dip.\n\nRUM earnings likely higher than expected from all newfound conservative engagement + White House streams and stock is more attractive down 42% YTD. https://t.co/pf8Se71gcR", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Tomorrow, I will have the honor of hosting the Charlie Kirk Show. Please join me as I pay tribute to my friend. \n\n12:00PM ET\nhttps://t.co/oemvxJ18Mq https://t.co/eSMpx8xE3X", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04444446383651457, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04444446383651457, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.039148705779510684, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.039148705779510684, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005295758057003885, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005295758057003885, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.026143827922748386, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.026143827922748386, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.024767035137466697, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.024767035137466697, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0013767927852816886, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0013767927852816886, "ret_p1w": -0.02352945136363893, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02352945136363893, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03529938587121817, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03529938587121817, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011769934507579238, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011769934507579238, "ret_p1m": 0.048366059841005615, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.048366059841005615, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04359082501182687, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04359082501182687, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.004775234829178743, "bench_c_p1m": 0.004775234829178743, "ret_p3m": -0.05098037406846123, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05098037406846123, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09663060574274207, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09663060574274207, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04565023167428084, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04565023167428084, "ret_p6m": -0.3163398753105129, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3163398753105129, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3468342103246269, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3468342103246269, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030494335014114027, "bench_c_p6m": 0.030494335014114027, "price_path": [0.1569, 0.1569, 0.1163, 0.0797, 0.132, 0.119, 0.2196, 0.2013, 0.1739, 0.1974, 0.2614, 0.2261, 0.2261, 0.1739, 0.1739, 0.1948, 0.2157, 0.1699, 0.1582, 0.149, 0.1673, 0.2523, 0.2719, 0.2928, 0.2523, 0.3098, 0.2706, 0.2379, 0.1869, 0.1281, 0.0993, 0.1033, 0.0536, 0.0954, 0.0941, 0.0732, 0.0523, 0.0301, 0.0614, 0.0353, 0.102, 0.0536, 0.0327, 0.0314, 0.0131, -0.0065, -0.0105, 0.0092, -0.0118, 0.0078, -0.0131, -0.0301, -0.0471, -0.0471, -0.0392, -0.0562, -0.068, -0.0706, -0.0444, -0.0183, -0.0588, -0.0418, -0.0444, 0.0, -0.0261, -0.017, 0.0131, 0.0052, -0.0235, -0.0157, -0.0157, -0.0601, -0.0667, -0.0458, -0.0536, -0.0654, -0.034, 0.119, 0.1098, 0.0288, 0.0693, 0.0366, -0.0248, 0.0248, 0.0484, 0.0458, -0.0196, -0.0706, -0.0418, -0.0458, -0.0928, -0.0719, -0.0667, -0.0641, -0.0784, -0.1098, -0.1216, -0.1033, -0.1869, -0.2078, -0.1922, -0.2301, -0.2301, -0.1425, -0.1974, -0.2052, -0.2588, -0.2627, -0.3137, -0.2719, -0.2889, -0.3046, -0.2562, -0.149, -0.115, -0.1163, -0.1163, -0.115, -0.1203, -0.0719, -0.0039, 0.0092, -0.0693, -0.0588, -0.0549, -0.0536, -0.051, -0.0837, -0.1641, -0.1268, -0.1582, -0.119, -0.098, -0.0745, -0.0928, -0.0915, -0.0915, -0.1281, -0.1412, -0.1425, -0.1739, -0.1739, -0.1673, -0.1621, -0.1216, -0.1359, -0.1333, -0.1163, -0.1582, -0.1699, -0.1791, -0.2105, -0.2105, -0.2105, -0.2484, -0.1908, -0.1752, -0.1948, -0.2209, -0.217, -0.2209, -0.2157, -0.2562, -0.2784, -0.2588, -0.2523, -0.3007, -0.2444, -0.183, -0.1725, -0.1961, -0.2131, -0.2209, -0.2209, -0.2458, -0.2314, -0.2418, -0.2314, -0.2771, -0.2523, -0.2471, -0.2575, -0.2928, -0.281, -0.2941, -0.2745, -0.2667, -0.3582, -0.3059, -0.3163]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1965451719078527468", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-09T16:26:20+00:00", "symbol": "TSSI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bought $40K of $TSSI now that the Semi rally extended back to server racks like $SMCI. Down from $31 -> $13.6, good chance for a rebound", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bought $40K TSSI on rebound thesis after drop from $31 to $13.6, as semis/AI rally extends to server racks.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSSI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bought $40K of $TSSI now that the Semi rally extended back to server racks like $SMCI.\n\nDown from $31 -&gt; $13.6, good chance for a rebound for small caps given the rest of semis/AI from $TSM, $CREDO, $NBIS, $AVGO, $MRVL, $ALAB and others have rallied. https://t.co/jWkww0Avro", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06041666031987558, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06041666031987558, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05811016691958526, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05849451233653735, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023064934002903215, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0019221479833382293, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1083333653432359, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1083333653432359, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10544251106423119, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09020570261397975, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028908542790047065, "bench_c_p1d": 0.018127662729256144, "ret_p1w": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.014869400454635473, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.026494347360606074, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014869400454635473, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026494347360606074, "ret_p1m": 0.4180555984193908, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4180555984193908, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.380157703699187, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.32110982170011915, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03789789472020377, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09694577671927163, "ret_p3m": -0.40069442062098237, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.40069442062098237, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.45798999203818247, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5071119005388953, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0572955714172001, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10641747991791295, "ret_p6m": -0.3083333123613281, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3083333123613281, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.36788701170926497, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3653325928116684, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05955369934793686, "bench_c_p6m": 0.056999280450340306, "price_path": [0.4208, 0.2771, 0.5, 0.5132, 0.6507, 0.6507, 0.7785, 0.8722, 0.9778, 0.8868, 1.1597, 1.1007, 1.0021, 0.8479, 0.9653, 0.9507, 0.9507, 1.0111, 0.8569, 0.7076, 0.5917, 0.4243, 0.4806, 0.4292, 0.5361, 0.4958, 0.6097, 0.7542, 0.7639, 0.7944, 0.8715, 1.0104, 0.8931, 0.6451, 0.7438, 0.8889, 0.8813, 1.0319, 1.0118, 0.9965, 0.5354, 0.3993, 0.3076, 0.2917, 0.2396, 0.2236, 0.1208, 0.0583, 0.0174, 0.0764, 0.0465, 0.0694, 0.0326, 0.1111, 0.0833, 0.0715, -0.0326, -0.0326, -0.0944, -0.1403, -0.1014, -0.0479, -0.0604, 0.0, 0.1083, 0.0896, 0.0938, 0.1111, 0.0, 0.0549, 0.0542, 0.1049, 0.2917, 0.2743, 0.2132, 0.216, 0.2264, 0.284, 0.2576, 0.3028, 0.316, 0.2479, 0.2472, 0.3521, 0.4181, 0.3806, 0.2271, 0.3007, 0.2743, 0.2542, 0.1903, 0.125, 0.1729, 0.1938, 0.1271, 0.184, 0.266, 0.2681, 0.2361, 0.225, 0.25, 0.4069, 0.341, 0.2583, 0.2229, 0.134, 0.1535, 0.1792, 0.1188, 0.1222, 0.059, -0.4, -0.441, -0.4493, -0.475, -0.4618, -0.4618, -0.441, -0.4243, -0.3472, -0.3472, -0.3312, -0.366, -0.3819, -0.3681, -0.3431, -0.4007, -0.3896, -0.3931, -0.4118, -0.4236, -0.4736, -0.5042, -0.4806, -0.516, -0.4937, -0.4757, -0.4618, -0.4764, -0.4819, -0.4819, -0.5062, -0.5194, -0.5153, -0.509, -0.509, -0.466, -0.4313, -0.3903, -0.4236, -0.4042, -0.4076, -0.3569, -0.3354, -0.266, -0.225, -0.1632, -0.1632, -0.2278, -0.2069, -0.2243, -0.2222, -0.284, -0.2479, -0.2729, -0.266, -0.2917, -0.2986, -0.3354, -0.3896, -0.4597, -0.3694, -0.3632, -0.4056, -0.4062, -0.4437, -0.4347, -0.4347, -0.4486, -0.441, -0.4451, -0.459, -0.475, -0.4132, -0.4, -0.3847, -0.2826, -0.3028, -0.3201, -0.3083]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1976003923937984892", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-08T19:17:02+00:00", "symbol": "Cipher Mining", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm pretty sure Boost IPO will be a hit, and maybe 1B+ MC, which is around ~2x from here", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish on Boost IPO hitting 1B+ market cap, ~2x upside in 1-3 months.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Cipher Mining Inc trades as CIFR on NASDAQ", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@dubiousnoob I’m pretty sure Boost IPO will be a hit, and maybe 1B+ MC, which is around ~2x from here, even through they haven’t released figures, just estimating based on their clients + margin + revenue growth. \n\nMost people don’t have the patience to wait 1-3 months though", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Im all in\n\nNbis $100k krknf $70k cifr iren bitf $50k each\n\nPray for me", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "dubiousnoob", "ret_m1d": -0.10511365575977549, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10511365575977549, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09918595056375457, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0878788523948647, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005927705196020927, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01723480336491079, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.022159055749740197, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.022159055749740197, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02505606412897765, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.023844690367697985, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0028970083792374535, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016856346179577875, "ret_p1w": 0.19488637675184828, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.19488637675184828, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.20668242072312437, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.21686858073700765, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011796043971276093, "bench_c_p1w": -0.021982203985159376, "ret_p1m": 0.2335226485182449, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2335226485182449, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.23768240164147947, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.23878599313440985, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0041597531232345775, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0052633446161649555, "ret_p3m": 0.03181815078435912, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.03181815078435912, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.007093905984962401, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03529711451279083, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024724244799396722, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0034789637284317054, "ret_p6m": -0.2715909422182833, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2715909422182833, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2514669110832858, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.20981114913698595, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0201240311349975, "bench_c_p6m": -0.06177979308129733, "price_path": [-0.6665, -0.6574, -0.6608, -0.6438, -0.6352, -0.6386, -0.6449, -0.6057, -0.6205, -0.6222, -0.6324, -0.65, -0.6773, -0.6903, -0.6898, -0.7199, -0.7051, -0.7153, -0.704, -0.7233, -0.7301, -0.7295, -0.7318, -0.7216, -0.6977, -0.704, -0.6562, -0.6727, -0.6619, -0.6648, -0.6375, -0.6227, -0.5955, -0.6028, -0.6011, -0.5659, -0.5659, -0.5273, -0.5392, -0.5795, -0.5727, -0.5614, -0.4761, -0.4176, -0.4335, -0.3835, -0.3835, -0.346, -0.2966, -0.3267, -0.3023, -0.2068, -0.196, -0.1966, -0.3375, -0.3483, -0.2813, -0.2847, -0.2841, -0.2153, -0.1648, -0.1284, -0.1051, 0.0, 0.0222, -0.0358, 0.1557, 0.1869, 0.1949, 0.0636, 0.0659, 0.1312, 0.027, -0.0847, -0.0196, 0.1739, 0.167, 0.1341, 0.1131, 0.0835, 0.0597, 0.2932, 0.279, 0.404, 0.2335, 0.1756, 0.1165, 0.0608, -0.0125, -0.1517, -0.1841, -0.1847, -0.1716, -0.1693, -0.1727, -0.196, -0.0506, -0.0045, 0.0881, 0.0881, 0.1562, 0.1188, 0.0023, 0.0585, 0.1267, 0.0955, 0.1068, 0.1114, 0.05, 0.0727, -0.0313, -0.1625, -0.1483, -0.1824, -0.1392, -0.079, -0.0716, -0.096, -0.0784, -0.0784, -0.1369, -0.1432, -0.171, -0.1614, -0.1614, -0.0795, 0.0318, -0.0034, -0.0864, -0.0597, -0.0551, 0.0045, 0.0369, 0.0301, -0.0045, 0.0682, 0.0682, 0.0182, 0.0068, -0.0119, -0.0017, -0.0631, 0.0653, 0.0778, 0.0057, -0.0932, -0.1017, -0.0761, -0.1903, -0.2784, -0.1631, -0.0477, -0.0284, -0.075, -0.0852, -0.067, -0.067, -0.1114, -0.1239, -0.1023, -0.1676, -0.1352, -0.0273, -0.0562, -0.0636, -0.1136, -0.1045, -0.1642, -0.0886, -0.1392, -0.2261, -0.1869, -0.2068, -0.1983, -0.221, -0.2, -0.1398, -0.1426, -0.1665, -0.1682, -0.204, -0.154, -0.1545, -0.0977, -0.1847, -0.219, -0.3173, -0.2688, -0.2818, -0.2716]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2007133630154584128", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-02T16:55:22+00:00", "symbol": "OSS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Stuff like $OSS or $SKYT for edge computing/foundry related apps are probably going to be a hot theme for 2026", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Both OSS and SKYT seen as hot plays on edge computing/foundry apps heading into 2026.", "resolved_tickers": ["OSS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@LawnChairCap Stuff like $OSS or $SKYT for edge computing/foundry related apps are probably going to be a hot theme for 2026", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $OSS gotta be somewhere here", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LawnChairCap", "ret_m1d": 0.055882298080155435, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.055882298080155435, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0577119839267507, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0577119839267507, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018296858465952637, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018296858465952637, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014705867915830284, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014705867915830284, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008045754099767155, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008045754099767155, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006660113816063129, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006660113816063129, "ret_p1w": 0.18676462771571023, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.18676462771571023, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.17080961304704778, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.17080961304704778, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01595501466866245, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01595501466866245, "ret_p1m": 0.40441175336243806, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.40441175336243806, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3864952731820639, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3864952731820639, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017916480180374172, "bench_c_p1m": 0.017916480180374172, "ret_p3m": 0.06764706253592934, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06764706253592934, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10591064551662588, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10591064551662588, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03826358298069654, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03826358298069654, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1485, -0.1485, -0.1221, -0.1794, -0.1309, -0.1044, -0.0735, -0.175, -0.2382, -0.2162, -0.2221, -0.2662, -0.2441, -0.2324, -0.225, -0.2559, -0.2485, -0.2706, -0.2647, -0.2456, -0.3059, -0.1529, -0.2147, -0.2368, -0.2015, -0.175, -0.1853, -0.2412, -0.2485, -0.3044, -0.3, -0.3353, -0.3618, -0.3441, -0.3176, -0.3221, -0.125, -0.125, -0.1044, -0.1294, -0.1074, -0.0926, -0.0353, 0.0265, 0.0838, 0.1132, 0.1368, 0.1529, 0.1132, 0.0074, 0.0265, -0.0029, 0.0544, 0.0809, 0.0676, 0.0897, 0.0632, 0.0632, 0.0574, 0.0471, 0.0515, 0.0559, 0.0559, 0.0, 0.0147, -0.0529, 0.1574, 0.2926, 0.1868, 0.5368, 0.6618, 0.7191, 0.5956, 0.5676, 0.5676, 0.5853, 0.7162, 0.6676, 0.5588, 0.4882, 0.5456, 0.5235, 0.5618, 0.4544, 0.4044, 0.4029, 0.3176, 0.1838, 0.3588, 0.4191, 0.4, 0.3897, 0.2574, 0.2794, 0.2794, 0.2176, 0.2279, 0.55, 0.4294, 0.3338, 0.3529, 0.3309, 0.3426, 0.214, 0.2684, 0.2191, 0.2338, 0.2471, 0.2368, 0.3088, 0.3868, 0.4574, 0.4926, 0.4824, 0.5015, 0.5721, 0.6529, 0.5103, 0.2971, 0.3544, 0.3294, 0.3353, 0.2559, 0.1272, 0.0603, 0.1132, 0.0676, 0.1235, 0.1235, 0.1353, 0.1206, 0.1721, 0.1515, 0.1471, 0.3029, 0.2882, 0.4456, 0.4353, 0.4588, 0.4882, 0.4603, 0.5294, 0.4382, 0.4279, 0.4632, 0.3632, 0.2926, 0.3956, 0.475, 0.4353, 0.4368, 1.2544, 1.2206, 1.3059, 1.3412, 1.2868, 1.3324, 1.5353, 1.4221, 1.3515, 1.2662, 1.3074, 1.4279, 1.6221, 1.6221, 1.5647, 1.5824, 1.6338, 1.6735, 1.6735, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2007133630154584128", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-02T16:55:22+00:00", "symbol": "SKYT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Stuff like $OSS or $SKYT for edge computing/foundry related apps are probably going to be a hot theme for 2026", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Both OSS and SKYT seen as hot plays on edge computing/foundry apps heading into 2026.", "resolved_tickers": ["SKYT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@LawnChairCap Stuff like $OSS or $SKYT for edge computing/foundry related apps are probably going to be a hot theme for 2026", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $OSS gotta be somewhere here", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LawnChairCap", "ret_m1d": -0.1903700579432609, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1903700579432609, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.18854037209666563, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.18854037209666563, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018296858465952637, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018296858465952637, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.12171197080217477, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.12171197080217477, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.11505185698611164, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.11505185698611164, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006660113816063129, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006660113816063129, "ret_p1w": 0.31876948378285985, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.31876948378285985, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.3028144691141974, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.3028144691141974, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01595501466866245, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01595501466866245, "ret_p1m": 0.3963441492953099, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3963441492953099, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.37842766911493575, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.37842766911493575, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017916480180374172, "bench_c_p1m": 0.017916480180374172, "ret_p3m": 0.21043242305553345, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.21043242305553345, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.24869600603623, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.24869600603623, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03826358298069654, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03826358298069654, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1556, -0.1391, -0.1213, -0.2078, -0.1609, -0.1614, -0.1761, -0.2604, -0.3148, -0.2911, -0.3032, -0.3121, -0.2421, -0.2287, -0.2457, -0.2666, -0.2479, -0.2604, -0.2205, -0.2835, -0.3598, -0.3442, -0.1658, -0.1975, 0.0539, -0.0152, -0.0464, -0.214, -0.2318, -0.2595, -0.2996, -0.3348, -0.3955, -0.3776, -0.3411, -0.3397, -0.3504, -0.3504, -0.3139, -0.3192, -0.2474, -0.1841, -0.1761, -0.1984, -0.1543, -0.14, -0.1364, -0.0985, -0.2171, -0.2693, -0.2724, -0.3384, -0.3005, -0.2613, -0.1953, -0.218, -0.2029, -0.2029, -0.1895, -0.1779, -0.1636, -0.1904, -0.1904, 0.0, 0.1217, 0.2608, 0.251, 0.2176, 0.3188, 0.3469, 0.3049, 0.3571, 0.428, 0.4757, 0.4757, 0.5506, 0.5109, 0.4748, 0.3963, 0.4423, 0.4953, 0.4998, 0.4695, 0.4115, 0.3963, 0.4146, 0.3295, 0.2684, 0.3531, 0.3522, 0.3375, 0.3107, 0.2666, 0.3032, 0.3032, 0.2827, 0.2813, 0.2853, 0.2546, 0.2376, 0.2537, 0.284, 0.3745, 0.3134, 0.3366, 0.3308, 0.3067, 0.3027, 0.2893, 0.2849, 0.2849, 0.255, 0.2198, 0.2238, 0.2421, 0.2341, 0.2198, 0.2345, 0.2278, 0.3036, 0.3018, 0.2853, 0.2425, 0.2037, 0.1672, 0.222, 0.2104, 0.2648, 0.2648, 0.2724, 0.2514, 0.2831, 0.2675, 0.2831, 0.2974, 0.3995, 0.4374, 0.4503, 0.4663, 0.49, 0.4971, 0.5288, 0.49, 0.4971, 0.4186, 0.3892, 0.3602, 0.4222, 0.4262, 0.4351, 0.4904, 0.5243, 0.4739, 0.5033, 0.5644, 0.5867, 0.556, 0.597, 0.5479, 0.5288, 0.527, 0.5662, 0.6496, 0.6589, 0.6589, 0.6661, 0.6888, 0.7374, 0.7379, 0.7379, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1971626921973956653", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-26T17:24:23+00:00", "symbol": "IBIT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "buying a decent amount of $IBIT at these levels", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Buying IBIT at current levels; bearish on ETH.", "resolved_tickers": ["IBIT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@3KComeback Yeah buying a decent amount of $IBIT at these levels. I don't like $ETH though.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Over $22 billion in crypto options expiring today.\n\nThe largest quarterly expiries ever.\n\n$BTC and $ETH both saw significant pullbacks this week.\n\nI haven’t invested into crypto yet on my comeback portfolio, but this may be the time for me to start DCA.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "3KComeback", "ret_m1d": 0.0025831425728046753, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0025831425728046753, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008279650821653606, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008279650821653606, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0056965082488489305, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0056965082488489305, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04891835100376607, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04891835100376607, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.046107984562626214, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.046107984562626214, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028103664411398555, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0028103664411398555, "ret_p1w": 0.12705842922784893, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12705842922784893, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11589227508832511, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.11589227508832511, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01116615413952382, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01116615413952382, "ret_p1m": 0.05392315509590051, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05392315509590051, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.018535966159809014, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.018535966159809014, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035387188936091496, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035387188936091496, "ret_p3m": -0.20148530543968823, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.20148530543968823, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.247721356558103, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.247721356558103, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04623605111841478, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04623605111841478, "ret_p6m": -0.35340652042264187, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.35340652042264187, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.349314279634682, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.349314279634682, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.004092240787959889, "bench_c_p6m": -0.004092240787959889, "price_path": [-0.0339, 0.0077, 0.004, 0.004, -0.0087, -0.0019, 0.0265, 0.0413, 0.0851, 0.1007, 0.0681, 0.0951, 0.0922, 0.0765, 0.0709, 0.0949, 0.0864, 0.0923, 0.0714, 0.0833, 0.077, 0.0715, 0.0707, 0.0368, 0.0526, 0.0421, 0.0576, 0.0789, 0.0676, 0.092, 0.097, 0.1275, 0.0822, 0.0727, 0.0664, 0.0363, 0.0478, 0.0283, 0.0696, 0.0152, 0.0187, 0.0276, 0.0265, -0.0081, -0.0081, 0.0166, 0.0295, 0.0066, 0.0239, 0.0284, 0.0207, 0.0418, 0.0499, 0.0717, 0.0575, 0.0715, 0.0602, 0.0777, 0.0554, 0.0276, 0.0237, 0.04, 0.0026, 0.0, 0.0489, 0.0494, 0.0775, 0.1103, 0.1271, 0.151, 0.1161, 0.1311, 0.1098, 0.0688, 0.0625, 0.0318, 0.0199, -0.0082, -0.0237, 0.016, 0.025, -0.0118, 0.01, 0.0144, 0.0539, 0.0412, 0.0131, -0.0249, 0.0058, -0.0228, -0.0768, -0.0488, -0.0756, -0.0494, -0.0283, -0.058, -0.0702, -0.1025, -0.1367, -0.1589, -0.1498, -0.181, -0.2096, -0.2255, -0.1836, -0.1999, -0.1761, -0.1761, -0.1677, -0.217, -0.1658, -0.1485, -0.1522, -0.1816, -0.1682, -0.1468, -0.1526, -0.1589, -0.1734, -0.2144, -0.1974, -0.2136, -0.2257, -0.1942, -0.1913, -0.1984, -0.2015, -0.2015, -0.1991, -0.2028, -0.1955, -0.1984, -0.1984, -0.1776, -0.1369, -0.1532, -0.1679, -0.1682, -0.174, -0.1626, -0.1351, -0.1049, -0.1282, -0.1243, -0.1243, -0.1805, -0.1748, -0.182, -0.1815, -0.1984, -0.1826, -0.1845, -0.2315, -0.2333, -0.2861, -0.3009, -0.3289, -0.4172, -0.3594, -0.3524, -0.3708, -0.3818, -0.4018, -0.3708, -0.3708, -0.3802, -0.3939, -0.3854, -0.3797, -0.4099, -0.4102, -0.3666, -0.3823, -0.3996, -0.3672, -0.3752, -0.331, -0.3479, -0.3768, -0.3683, -0.3589, -0.3531, -0.355, -0.3482, -0.3229, -0.3176, -0.35, -0.3571, -0.3579, -0.3534]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1971626921973956653", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-26T17:24:23+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I don't like $ETH though", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Buying IBIT at current levels; bearish on ETH.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@3KComeback Yeah buying a decent amount of $IBIT at these levels. I don't like $ETH though.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Over $22 billion in crypto options expiring today.\n\nThe largest quarterly expiries ever.\n\n$BTC and $ETH both saw significant pullbacks this week.\n\nI haven’t invested into crypto yet on my comeback portfolio, but this may be the time for me to start DCA.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "3KComeback", "ret_m1d": -0.041516007776179475, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.041516007776179475, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.035819499527330545, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0056965082488489305, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.044960083169817366, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.044960083169817366, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04214971672867751, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028103664411398555, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": 0.11868086359219587, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11868086359219587, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10751470945267205, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01116615413952382, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": 0.02087127594300564, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02087127594300564, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.014515912993085855, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035387188936091496, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.27015055413778133, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.27015055413778133, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3163866052561961, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04623605111841478, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.46674783136189546, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.46674783136189546, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.46265559057393557, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.004092240787959889, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4039, -0.3629, -0.358, -0.3784, -0.3699, -0.3519, -0.3135, -0.2679, -0.2671, -0.2534, -0.222, -0.1646, -0.1385, -0.1206, -0.0675, -0.071, -0.1006, -0.0812, -0.0765, -0.0616, -0.0601, -0.0564, -0.084, -0.1357, -0.0785, -0.1051, -0.0872, -0.0301, -0.0065, 0.0473, 0.1375, 0.1785, 0.1269, 0.1001, 0.0685, 0.0093, 0.074, 0.0464, 0.1971, 0.0835, 0.1399, 0.1158, 0.1168, 0.0803, 0.069, 0.0717, 0.1027, 0.0651, 0.0672, 0.0674, 0.0677, 0.0776, 0.1054, 0.1683, 0.1216, 0.1159, 0.138, 0.1373, 0.1078, 0.0414, 0.0321, 0.0291, -0.0415, 0.0, 0.045, 0.0273, 0.0781, 0.112, 0.1187, 0.1615, 0.1029, 0.1218, 0.0826, -0.0478, 0.0519, 0.0222, -0.012, -0.035, -0.0504, -0.0137, -0.0394, -0.0564, -0.0446, -0.0251, 0.0209, -0.0133, -0.0328, -0.0574, -0.0468, -0.1074, -0.1842, -0.1513, -0.1793, -0.1488, -0.1158, -0.1538, -0.1543, -0.199, -0.231, -0.2506, -0.2262, -0.251, -0.2984, -0.3147, -0.2684, -0.2671, -0.2498, -0.2531, -0.2487, -0.3062, -0.2572, -0.2092, -0.2234, -0.2506, -0.2256, -0.1771, -0.176, -0.1979, -0.2358, -0.2655, -0.2655, -0.2984, -0.2995, -0.2621, -0.2552, -0.2657, -0.2702, -0.2806, -0.2751, -0.2729, -0.2638, -0.2648, -0.2566, -0.2258, -0.2006, -0.1833, -0.2153, -0.2308, -0.2361, -0.2338, -0.1769, -0.1688, -0.1781, -0.1835, -0.2104, -0.2726, -0.2619, -0.2691, -0.2683, -0.2749, -0.2512, -0.255, -0.3017, -0.3304, -0.4191, -0.4481, -0.4689, -0.5486, -0.4887, -0.4788, -0.4996, -0.5192, -0.5176, -0.4924, -0.505, -0.5064, -0.5159, -0.5173, -0.5121, -0.5402, -0.5409, -0.4909, -0.4978, -0.5216, -0.4977, -0.5087, -0.4731, -0.4867, -0.5097, -0.5062, -0.4952, -0.4917, -0.4863, -0.4815, -0.4174, -0.4256, -0.454, -0.4704, -0.4681, -0.4667]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1988669129449254918", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-12T18:04:02+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the forward growth backs up any market cap projections, it's just a matter of time and execution", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NBIS: selloff is fear-driven/detached from fundamentals; forward growth supports higher market cap.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I just got reminded of the time $HOOD sold off to $28 from $65 then pulled off a face ripping rally to $150.\n\nSometimes stock prices get detached from fundamentals when there’s fear in the markets.  This is happening with $NBIS when it gets caught in broader selloffs because of “AI bubble” fears. \n\nYet the forward growth backs up any market cap projections, it’s just a matter of time and execution.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thank you. I am not comfortable after the 50% drawdown with markets at all-time highs. So, this review of fundamentals is extremely timely and helpful.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "CedarDan907", "ret_m1d": 0.0832980135598822, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0832980135598822, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.083854192531305, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07748515706567716, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005561789714227938, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005812856494205043, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06072491860820306, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06072491860820306, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04413089862797648, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04654488419080138, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.016594019980226582, "bench_c_p1d": -0.014180034417401677, "ret_p1w": 0.007524364983892973, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.007524364983892973, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03788821579391388, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.028221942929920973, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03036385081002091, "bench_c_p1w": -0.020697577946028, "ret_p1m": -0.0008478362710598875, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0008478362710598875, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.009320313900171073, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02964823305990516, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008472477629111186, "bench_c_p1m": 0.028800396788845273, "ret_p3m": -0.01568464759813948, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.01568464759813948, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03415244818606167, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.048434132168942434, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01846780058792219, "bench_c_p3m": 0.032749484570802956, "ret_p6m": 0.9581390745793523, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.9581390745793523, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.8815117682936946, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.9176618377965287, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07662730628565773, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04047723678282367, "price_path": [-0.241, -0.2312, -0.2879, -0.285, -0.2986, -0.269, -0.2579, -0.2531, -0.2571, -0.2365, -0.276, -0.276, -0.3035, -0.3043, -0.3121, -0.3062, -0.3211, 0.0144, -0.0103, -0.0548, -0.0419, -0.036, -0.0522, -0.003, -0.0025, 0.0525, 0.1297, 0.1424, 0.2, 0.1439, 0.1414, 0.1681, 0.1898, 0.2252, 0.3339, 0.3563, 0.3241, 0.2474, 0.2929, 0.4057, 0.3733, 0.4356, 0.3581, 0.3335, 0.3039, 0.2022, 0.1552, 0.1051, 0.0451, 0.1251, 0.2427, 0.3293, 0.2911, 0.3258, 0.316, 0.3864, 0.2767, 0.1715, 0.2399, 0.1598, 0.1793, 0.1652, 0.0833, 0.0, -0.0607, -0.1147, -0.0888, -0.0405, 0.0075, -0.103, -0.1176, -0.0261, -0.0581, 0.0035, 0.0035, 0.0054, 0.0614, 0.0221, 0.0483, 0.0894, 0.039, 0.0633, 0.0217, -0.0082, -0.0008, -0.0707, -0.1401, -0.1421, -0.2004, -0.1724, -0.0519, -0.012, -0.0459, -0.0342, -0.0342, -0.0717, -0.0882, -0.0974, -0.1129, -0.1129, -0.0467, -0.0162, 0.0623, 0.0196, 0.0312, 0.0378, 0.1375, 0.1173, 0.0808, 0.1009, 0.1523, 0.1523, 0.0522, 0.0478, 0.0264, 0.0015, -0.0307, 0.0372, 0.0643, 0.0058, -0.0972, -0.0657, -0.0467, -0.1269, -0.2171, -0.0875, -0.0157, -0.0272, -0.0609, -0.0491, 0.0387, 0.0387, 0.0335, 0.0788, 0.1404, 0.0377, 0.0662, 0.0871, 0.1246, 0.1115, -0.0336, -0.0355, -0.0801, 0.0362, 0.0137, -0.0533, 0.0061, 0.0219, 0.1869, 0.145, 0.197, 0.3761, 0.2328, 0.2565, 0.2878, 0.2465, 0.2097, 0.2178, 0.2197, 0.123, 0.0685, -0.0223, 0.0996, 0.0804, 0.1532, 0.1532, 0.1927, 0.2442, 0.3247, 0.4448, 0.5364, 0.638, 0.7162, 0.7674, 0.7522, 0.6653, 0.6867, 0.6591, 0.6547, 0.6647, 0.5596, 0.5362, 0.4361, 0.4963, 0.4649, 0.6372, 0.8696, 0.8643, 1.0675, 0.9581]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1973830314264047997", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-02T19:19:53+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "no, not too late. In fact you're actually early. Most retail will probably find out about it at all time highs next year February lol. Just cost average now even if you see it up 8% today.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Both CIFR and IREN are early buys; expects all-time highs by February; recommends cost averaging now.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@mylifemyrulez22 no, not too late. In fact you're actually early. Most retail will probably find out about it at all time highs next year February lol. \n\nJust cost average now even if you see it up 8% today.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @aleabitoreddit is it too late to enter CIFR/IREN? What’s a goood entry point?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mylifemyrulez22", "ret_m1d": -0.08761766845627339, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08761766845627339, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0864671900441849, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08223603430409199, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011504784120884848, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005381634152181403, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0644460074298201, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0644460074298201, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06446077479204171, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06947816259763362, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4767362221612679e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0050321551678135235, "ret_p1w": 0.3026791618024789, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.3026791618024789, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.29978017266969825, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2885611946793829, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028989891327806383, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014117967123095987, "ret_p1m": 0.3504706047683024, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3504706047683024, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3312840406097546, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2997298494124674, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019186564158547803, "bench_c_p1m": 0.050740755355835, "ret_p3m": 0.05648078995444661, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05648078995444661, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.02686397365281956, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03865468825884255, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029616816301627047, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017826101695604057, "ret_p6m": -0.00470677277933218, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.00470677277933218, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.04239194043308181, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08476177213368996, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04709871321241399, "bench_c_p6m": -0.08946854491302214, "price_path": [-0.5807, -0.5634, -0.5467, -0.5482, -0.5749, -0.5634, -0.5677, -0.546, -0.5351, -0.5395, -0.5474, -0.4975, -0.5163, -0.5185, -0.5315, -0.5539, -0.5887, -0.6054, -0.6046, -0.643, -0.6242, -0.6372, -0.6227, -0.6474, -0.656, -0.6553, -0.6582, -0.6452, -0.6148, -0.6227, -0.5619, -0.5829, -0.5692, -0.5728, -0.538, -0.5192, -0.4844, -0.4938, -0.4917, -0.4468, -0.4468, -0.3975, -0.4127, -0.4642, -0.4555, -0.441, -0.3324, -0.2578, -0.2781, -0.2143, -0.2143, -0.1665, -0.1035, -0.1419, -0.1108, 0.0109, 0.0246, 0.0239, -0.1557, -0.1694, -0.084, -0.0883, -0.0876, 0.0, 0.0644, 0.1108, 0.1405, 0.2744, 0.3027, 0.2288, 0.4728, 0.5127, 0.5228, 0.3555, 0.3584, 0.4417, 0.3088, 0.1665, 0.2495, 0.496, 0.4873, 0.4453, 0.4185, 0.3809, 0.3505, 0.6481, 0.63, 0.7893, 0.572, 0.4982, 0.4229, 0.3519, 0.2585, 0.0811, 0.0398, 0.0391, 0.0558, 0.0587, 0.0543, 0.0246, 0.21, 0.2686, 0.3867, 0.3867, 0.4736, 0.4258, 0.2773, 0.349, 0.4359, 0.3961, 0.4106, 0.4164, 0.3382, 0.3671, 0.2346, 0.0673, 0.0854, 0.042, 0.097, 0.1738, 0.1832, 0.1521, 0.1745, 0.1745, 0.0999, 0.092, 0.0565, 0.0688, 0.0688, 0.1731, 0.315, 0.2701, 0.1644, 0.1984, 0.2042, 0.2802, 0.3215, 0.3128, 0.2686, 0.3613, 0.3613, 0.2976, 0.2831, 0.2592, 0.2723, 0.1941, 0.3577, 0.3736, 0.2817, 0.1557, 0.1448, 0.1774, 0.0319, -0.0804, 0.0666, 0.2136, 0.2382, 0.1789, 0.1658, 0.189, 0.189, 0.1325, 0.1166, 0.1441, 0.0608, 0.1021, 0.2397, 0.2028, 0.1933, 0.1296, 0.1412, 0.0652, 0.1615, 0.097, -0.0138, 0.0362, 0.0109, 0.0217, -0.0072, 0.0196, 0.0963, 0.0927, 0.0623, 0.0601, 0.0145, 0.0782, 0.0775, 0.1499, 0.0391, -0.0047]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1973830314264047997", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-02T19:19:53+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "no, not too late. In fact you're actually early. Most retail will probably find out about it at all time highs next year February lol. Just cost average now even if you see it up 8% today.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Both CIFR and IREN are early buys; expects all-time highs by February; recommends cost averaging now.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@mylifemyrulez22 no, not too late. In fact you're actually early. Most retail will probably find out about it at all time highs next year February lol. \n\nJust cost average now even if you see it up 8% today.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @aleabitoreddit is it too late to enter CIFR/IREN? What’s a goood entry point?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mylifemyrulez22", "ret_m1d": 0.001276081937619633, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.001276081937619633, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.002426560349708118, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0005263740316090448, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011504784120884848, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0007497079060105882, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07316032737598555, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07316032737598555, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07317509473820716, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06622493423911258, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4767362221612679e-05, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006935393136872969, "ret_p1w": 0.35793274888364124, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.35793274888364124, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.3550337597508606, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.3584950839046287, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028989891327806383, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0005623350209874589, "ret_p1m": 0.29200339022900423, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.29200339022900423, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.27281682607045643, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.31037271242670494, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019186564158547803, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01836932219770071, "ret_p3m": -0.185453022879827, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.185453022879827, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.21506983918145406, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.22336970757698693, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029616816301627047, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03791668469715992, "ret_p6m": -0.25372182452214265, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.25372182452214265, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.20662311130972866, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.15763408093017994, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04709871321241399, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0960877435919627, "price_path": [-0.6395, -0.6408, -0.6393, -0.6378, -0.6548, -0.6325, -0.641, -0.6319, -0.6161, -0.6185, -0.614, -0.6046, -0.5961, -0.6142, -0.6231, -0.6474, -0.6642, -0.6567, -0.6574, -0.6725, -0.6495, -0.6501, -0.6104, -0.6051, -0.6076, -0.6178, -0.6208, -0.6229, -0.5942, -0.5812, -0.5597, -0.6017, -0.5798, -0.5834, -0.5442, -0.5083, -0.5111, -0.5246, -0.51, -0.4368, -0.4368, -0.3809, -0.4, -0.4443, -0.4439, -0.443, -0.3579, -0.2848, -0.3014, -0.2778, -0.2101, -0.2248, -0.194, -0.2276, -0.1782, -0.1089, -0.1117, 0.0026, -0.0155, -0.1097, -0.0232, -0.0019, 0.0013, 0.0, 0.0732, 0.2282, 0.3118, 0.278, 0.3579, 0.2712, 0.3641, 0.4794, 0.4458, 0.315, 0.2914, 0.2595, 0.1739, 0.1023, 0.188, 0.3377, 0.3822, 0.3275, 0.285, 0.2382, 0.292, 0.4409, 0.4171, 0.6251, 0.4241, 0.3267, 0.2797, 0.2203, 0.1846, 0.0347, -0.0138, 0.0083, 0.0389, -0.0253, -0.0755, -0.1012, 0.0313, 0.0096, 0.0304, 0.0304, 0.0168, 0.0313, -0.1255, -0.0651, -0.0121, -0.0491, -0.0145, -0.0038, -0.0659, -0.0655, -0.1465, -0.2454, -0.2218, -0.2816, -0.2386, -0.151, -0.1059, -0.1053, -0.1072, -0.1072, -0.1429, -0.1618, -0.1855, -0.1967, -0.1967, -0.0919, 0.0259, -0.0236, -0.0722, -0.0285, -0.0211, 0.0704, 0.127, 0.1246, 0.1036, 0.2297, 0.2297, 0.154, 0.1374, 0.1114, 0.2054, 0.1136, 0.2758, 0.3386, 0.2726, 0.1429, 0.1289, 0.1567, -0.0442, -0.1538, -0.1104, -0.0185, -0.087, -0.0925, -0.1487, -0.1021, -0.1021, -0.1287, -0.1051, -0.0793, -0.1497, -0.0991, -0.0334, -0.0636, -0.0591, -0.1291, -0.1197, -0.1738, -0.0676, -0.1466, -0.2195, -0.174, -0.1893, -0.1072, -0.1202, -0.1157, -0.0442, -0.0863, -0.1023, -0.114, -0.1219, -0.1034, -0.1255, -0.1189, -0.2035, -0.2537]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2010783839594201502", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-12T18:40:00+00:00", "symbol": "OSS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Demand is high/sticky so looked like a great long to me.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long OSS: margins higher than priced in, sticky demand from US military deployments including Abrams/Booker tanks.", "resolved_tickers": ["OSS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Glad $OSS caught your attention, it’s silently used across US deployments like in the thesis above, and more well known ones like modern Abrams and Booker tanks US army land vehicles.\n\nMargins are much higher than people think because originally markets were modeling blended margins. \n\nDemand is high/sticky so looked like a great long to me.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit spent the entire morning looking at it\n\nthere is a real thesis here", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "amitisinvesting", "ret_m1d": -0.22775121128047982, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.22775121128047982, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.2261832199267063, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.2261832199267063, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0015679913537735013, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0015679913537735013, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08133975090756485, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08133975090756485, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08333922601343513, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08333922601343513, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019994751058702853, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0019994751058702853, "ret_p1w": 0.020095697797121836, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.020095697797121836, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02513052595768306, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02513052595768306, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.005034828160561222, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005034828160561222, "ret_p1m": -0.08899515487808074, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08899515487808074, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08462203491600129, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08462203491600129, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0043731199620794525, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0043731199620794525, "ret_p3m": -0.2507176969741328, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2507176969741328, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2314513883893845, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2314513883893845, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.019266308584748315, "bench_c_p3m": -0.019266308584748315, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3971, -0.4632, -0.5043, -0.49, -0.4938, -0.5225, -0.5081, -0.5005, -0.4957, -0.5158, -0.511, -0.5254, -0.5215, -0.5091, -0.5483, -0.4488, -0.489, -0.5033, -0.4804, -0.4632, -0.4699, -0.5062, -0.511, -0.5474, -0.5445, -0.5675, -0.5847, -0.5732, -0.556, -0.5589, -0.4306, -0.4306, -0.4172, -0.4335, -0.4191, -0.4096, -0.3722, -0.3321, -0.2947, -0.2756, -0.2603, -0.2498, -0.2756, -0.3445, -0.3321, -0.3512, -0.3139, -0.2967, -0.3053, -0.2909, -0.3081, -0.3081, -0.312, -0.3187, -0.3158, -0.3129, -0.3129, -0.3493, -0.3397, -0.3837, -0.2469, -0.1589, -0.2278, 0.0, 0.0813, 0.1187, 0.0383, 0.0201, 0.0201, 0.0316, 0.1167, 0.0852, 0.0144, -0.0316, 0.0057, -0.0086, 0.0163, -0.0536, -0.0861, -0.0871, -0.1426, -0.2297, -0.1158, -0.0766, -0.089, -0.0957, -0.1818, -0.1675, -0.1675, -0.2077, -0.201, 0.0086, -0.0699, -0.1321, -0.1196, -0.134, -0.1263, -0.21, -0.1746, -0.2067, -0.1971, -0.1885, -0.1952, -0.1483, -0.0976, -0.0517, -0.0287, -0.0354, -0.023, 0.023, 0.0756, -0.0172, -0.156, -0.1187, -0.1349, -0.1311, -0.1828, -0.2665, -0.31, -0.2756, -0.3053, -0.2689, -0.2689, -0.2612, -0.2708, -0.2373, -0.2507, -0.2536, -0.1522, -0.1617, -0.0593, -0.066, -0.0507, -0.0316, -0.0498, -0.0048, -0.0641, -0.0708, -0.0478, -0.1129, -0.1589, -0.0919, -0.0402, -0.066, -0.0651, 0.467, 0.445, 0.5005, 0.5234, 0.488, 0.5177, 0.6498, 0.5761, 0.5301, 0.4746, 0.5014, 0.5799, 0.7062, 0.7062, 0.6689, 0.6804, 0.7139, 0.7397, 0.7397, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2000208395832602786", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-14T14:16:58+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm convinced on stocks like $NBIS that we're in the period of time where retail bought too many short dated calls and are capitulating with shares like the drops on $TSM or $MU. However fast forward a year, this might be that 3x-4x return", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long NBIS: author sees current retail capitulation as a buying opportunity, expects 3x-4x return within a year similar to TSM/MU patterns.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "FinX is a bubble.\n\nSame with traders on /r/wallstreetbets.\n\nPeople own the same stocks $NBIS, $TE, $ASTS, $HOOD, $RKLB, $IREN, $KRKNF, $ONDS, $SOFI, $AMD, $TSLA and others. \n\nHowever: It’s a positive thing. \n\nI’ve seen this on repeat again and again throughout the years.\n\nShort term when people buy 1-3 months options, they lose money on these “bubbly” and crowded trades.\n\nLong term 1 year later, retail gets these companies directionally right. \n\nAnd this is the most important part. \n\nFor example, $TSM ($140-$150) was the most popular ticker a year or two ago on Reddit when $NVDA was initially taking off back.\n\nRetail got this directionally right, because $TSM was the center of all AI buildout. \n\nShort term, everyone lost money because they bought calls for 2M out and the stock stalled and even dropped to $127. \n\nOne year later it’s up over 100%+ and all those calls would have 10x’ed.\n\nSame with $MU. Reddit knew memory was a huge part of the AI boom and piled in on the same trade. \n\nYet $MU stalled at $100 for an entire year and everyone lost money.\n\nFast forward, memory from Micron to Sk Hynix is the hottest thing now and shot up 200%+ from $65 to $245 . Retail got this right directionally right but capitulated. \n\nI’m convinced on stocks like $NBIS that we’re in the period of time where retail bought too many short dated calls and are capitulating with shares like the drops on $TSM or $MU.\n\nHowever fast forward a year, this might be that 3x-4x return like $TSM or $MU or $HOOD (at $18) where retail was directionally right all along. \n\nI’m confident Finx Retail stock “bubbles” might not be right in shorter timeframes - where OI, macro volatility, and MMs dominate - but are right directionally long term.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Sometimes I have the feeling that FinX is the real bubble.\n\nEveryone seems to own the same tickers:\n$ASTS, $HIMS, $NBIS, $ONDS, $KRKNF, $SOFI, $HOOD, $RKLB, $AMD, $TSLA, you know the list.\n\nBut when you talk to people outside of X, or to real-world investors like Bill Ackman,", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.08072471162223649, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08072471162223649, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07921153760334687, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.080896172428786, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0015131740188896181, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00017146080654950602, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0023416618540237355, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0023416618540237355, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00039063574125497436, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0030280320438993424, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00273229759527871, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0006863701898756069, "ret_p1w": 0.14900177542800863, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.14900177542800863, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1400060501153062, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14498973746976107, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00899572531270243, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004012037958247561, "ret_p1m": 0.2993591458989606, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2993591458989606, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2771916559932497, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.29336770062730033, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022167489905710935, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0059914452716602895, "ret_p3m": 0.33152577924853577, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.33152577924853577, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3501849525132279, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3394765413434061, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.01865917326469213, "bench_c_p3m": -0.007950762094870334, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1595, 0.16, 0.2239, 0.3138, 0.3286, 0.3955, 0.3303, 0.3273, 0.3584, 0.3837, 0.4248, 0.5513, 0.5773, 0.5398, 0.4506, 0.5036, 0.6347, 0.597, 0.6695, 0.5794, 0.5508, 0.5164, 0.3981, 0.3434, 0.2852, 0.2154, 0.3084, 0.4452, 0.5458, 0.5015, 0.5418, 0.5304, 0.6123, 0.4847, 0.3623, 0.442, 0.3488, 0.3715, 0.3551, 0.2598, 0.1629, 0.0923, 0.0296, 0.0597, 0.1158, 0.1717, 0.0431, 0.0261, 0.1326, 0.0954, 0.167, 0.167, 0.1692, 0.2343, 0.1887, 0.2191, 0.2669, 0.2083, 0.2365, 0.1882, 0.1534, 0.1619, 0.0807, 0.0, -0.0023, -0.0701, -0.0376, 0.1025, 0.149, 0.1096, 0.1231, 0.1231, 0.0795, 0.0604, 0.0497, 0.0316, 0.0316, 0.1086, 0.1441, 0.2354, 0.1857, 0.1992, 0.2069, 0.3228, 0.2994, 0.2568, 0.2803, 0.34, 0.34, 0.2237, 0.2185, 0.1936, 0.1647, 0.1272, 0.2062, 0.2377, 0.1697, 0.0499, 0.0865, 0.1086, 0.0154, -0.0896, 0.0611, 0.1447, 0.1313, 0.0921, 0.1059, 0.2079, 0.2079, 0.2019, 0.2546, 0.3262, 0.2068, 0.24, 0.2642, 0.3079, 0.2926, 0.1239, 0.1216, 0.0698, 0.2051, 0.1788, 0.1009, 0.1701, 0.1884, 0.3803, 0.3315, 0.392, 0.6003, 0.4337, 0.4612, 0.4977, 0.4496, 0.4068, 0.4162, 0.4184, 0.306, 0.2425, 0.137, 0.2788, 0.2565, 0.3411, 0.3411, 0.387, 0.4469, 0.5405, 0.6802, 0.7867, 0.9049, 0.9958, 1.0553, 1.0377, 0.9367, 0.9615, 0.9294, 0.9243, 0.9359, 0.8137, 0.7865, 0.6701, 0.7401, 0.7036, 0.904, 1.1743, 1.1681, 1.4044, 1.2772, 1.182, 1.2936, 1.2074, 1.5545, 1.7255, 1.7106, 1.4632, 1.4369, 1.3641, 1.7105, 1.6469, 1.6469, 1.5642, 1.568, 1.7895, 1.848, 1.848, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2012071822481900030", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-16T07:57:59+00:00", "symbol": "LPTH", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LPTH happened to be a coincidental Robotics bottleneck exposure since I bought this for DoD/military bottleneck exposure too", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long SYSS and LPTH as held robotics bottleneck plays; TKR, AMBA, VICR flagged as most interesting US supply chain names; bearish Harmonic Drive Systems on Chinese disruption.", "resolved_tickers": ["LPTH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Boston Dynamics/Optimus/Robotic supply chains TLDR:\n\n- $ALGM ($6.5B) motor/sensing (Optimus) \n- $NOVT ($4.7B) feedback (Atlas, Figure)\n- $VICR ($6.5B) power (Atlas)\n- $OUST ($1.64B) LiDAR (Spot, Atlas)\n- $AMBA ($2.7B) - Chips (Atlas, Figure)\n- $AEHR ($812m) - SiC Test (t2)\n- $RRX ($10.5B) - Joints (Agility, Apollo)\n- $TKR ($6.53B) - Harmonic Strain (t2)\n- $MP ($11.82B) - NdPr magnets (t3)\n- $LSCC ($11.6B) - Sensor Fusion FPGAs (t3)\n\nI'm personally in:\n- $SYSS ($998M) - Skeleton (Optimus, Atlas, Figure)\n- $LPTH ($701M) - Vision (T2)\n\nWas researching these companies after OpenAI's push into robotics yesterday and wanted to do a TLDR format of findings. \n\nAgain, robotics OEMs generally don't publish BOMs, so most of these are confirmed but some are unconfirmed but very likely from cross-referencing public findings. \n\nBut we should see an inflection point for robotics going into 2026-2027. \n\nThoughts:\n\n- Harmonic Drive Systems (6324.T). Was tracking this as the leader but they just got disrupted by China's Leaderdrive that copied their technology and at 40% lower cost.\n\n- Based on this, $TKR (US) is probably the most \"alpha\" up there since through Cone Drive acqusition, they're the primary US-based provider of harmonic gearing vs. Harmonic Drive / Leaderdrive. \n \n- $AMBA and $VICR are probably the most interesting ones outside of $SYSS that I've found in the US supply chains.\n\n- I picked $SYSS as my choice for robotics bottleneck exposure since they're the skeletons/materials for each humanoid on scale up (eg. with Boston Dynamics Atlas as known users) and effective US certification monopoly. \n\n- $LPTH happened to be a coincidental Robotics bottleneck exposure since I bought this for DoD/military bottleneck exposure too . \n\nThese are just the \"under the radar ones\" in the US for the mass production scale-up. Don't own any of them aside from two, but I'm still looking into them. \n\nUnfortunately many supply chains like $TSLA's actuators ($685M order with Sanhua) are still in China. But I expect many of them to flow back to the US, so still looking for alpha in terms of supply chain BOM. \n\nIf I missed any feel free to mention others.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04773272840386622, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04773272840386622, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.046894151791437855, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.046894151791437855, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0008385766124283656, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0008385766124283656, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.010342093683140319, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.010342093683140319, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0068287788792501525, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0068287788792501525, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0035133148038901663, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0035133148038901663, "ret_p1m": -0.08353216090314552, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08353216090314552, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06920433133532533, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06920433133532533, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014327829567820194, "bench_c_p1m": -0.014327829567820194, "ret_p3m": 0.11535408099783018, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11535408099783018, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10061912987321109, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10061912987321109, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014734951124619089, "bench_c_p3m": 0.014734951124619089, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3397, -0.4153, -0.3652, -0.3278, -0.3286, -0.3286, -0.3477, -0.3413, -0.3095, -0.3508, -0.401, -0.3771, -0.3938, -0.3866, -0.3811, -0.3604, -0.4137, -0.4702, -0.467, -0.459, -0.4566, -0.4654, -0.5084, -0.506, -0.4598, -0.4503, -0.4495, -0.4495, -0.4153, -0.4296, -0.3699, -0.3357, -0.2824, -0.2999, -0.3047, -0.2999, -0.2983, -0.2745, -0.3556, -0.4041, -0.4169, -0.4527, -0.4288, -0.3922, -0.3214, -0.3071, -0.2816, -0.2816, -0.2824, -0.1814, -0.1599, -0.1408, -0.1408, -0.0676, -0.07, -0.0835, -0.0294, 0.0048, -0.0183, -0.0461, -0.0724, 0.0525, 0.0477, 0.0, 0.0, 0.1138, 0.0851, 0.14, -0.0103, -0.1862, -0.105, -0.1026, -0.0859, -0.171, -0.1647, -0.1337, -0.2522, -0.2792, -0.1599, -0.0986, -0.1241, -0.183, -0.0072, -0.0835, -0.0835, -0.1106, -0.1058, 0.0819, -0.0453, -0.109, -0.0461, -0.0636, -0.1138, -0.1702, -0.0446, -0.0469, -0.0613, -0.0986, -0.1193, -0.1177, -0.1193, -0.1337, -0.1273, -0.1639, -0.1249, -0.0461, -0.0716, -0.0859, -0.1623, -0.0899, -0.0557, -0.0493, -0.1257, -0.245, -0.2593, -0.2021, -0.187, -0.1265, -0.1265, -0.0859, -0.1281, -0.0788, -0.0326, 0.0207, 0.1464, 0.1368, 0.1154, 0.187, 0.1265, 0.1376, 0.1289, 0.1655, 0.1631, 0.28, 0.113, 0.0103, -0.0302, 0.0191, 0.0899, -0.0191, -0.0374, 0.0239, -0.043, -0.0843, 0.0199, -0.0286, -0.0358, -0.0334, -0.0835, -0.0103, 0.1042, 0.0859, 0.136, 0.3484, 0.3484, 0.292, 0.401, 0.4439, 0.3508, 0.3508, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2012071822481900030", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-16T07:57:59+00:00", "symbol": "TKR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TKR (US) is probably the most \"alpha\" up there since through Cone Drive acqusition, they're the primary US-based provider of harmonic gearing", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long SYSS and LPTH as held robotics bottleneck plays; TKR, AMBA, VICR flagged as most interesting US supply chain names; bearish Harmonic Drive Systems on Chinese disruption.", "resolved_tickers": ["TKR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Tools & Accessories", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Boston Dynamics/Optimus/Robotic supply chains TLDR:\n\n- $ALGM ($6.5B) motor/sensing (Optimus) \n- $NOVT ($4.7B) feedback (Atlas, Figure)\n- $VICR ($6.5B) power (Atlas)\n- $OUST ($1.64B) LiDAR (Spot, Atlas)\n- $AMBA ($2.7B) - Chips (Atlas, Figure)\n- $AEHR ($812m) - SiC Test (t2)\n- $RRX ($10.5B) - Joints (Agility, Apollo)\n- $TKR ($6.53B) - Harmonic Strain (t2)\n- $MP ($11.82B) - NdPr magnets (t3)\n- $LSCC ($11.6B) - Sensor Fusion FPGAs (t3)\n\nI'm personally in:\n- $SYSS ($998M) - Skeleton (Optimus, Atlas, Figure)\n- $LPTH ($701M) - Vision (T2)\n\nWas researching these companies after OpenAI's push into robotics yesterday and wanted to do a TLDR format of findings. \n\nAgain, robotics OEMs generally don't publish BOMs, so most of these are confirmed but some are unconfirmed but very likely from cross-referencing public findings. \n\nBut we should see an inflection point for robotics going into 2026-2027. \n\nThoughts:\n\n- Harmonic Drive Systems (6324.T). Was tracking this as the leader but they just got disrupted by China's Leaderdrive that copied their technology and at 40% lower cost.\n\n- Based on this, $TKR (US) is probably the most \"alpha\" up there since through Cone Drive acqusition, they're the primary US-based provider of harmonic gearing vs. Harmonic Drive / Leaderdrive. \n \n- $AMBA and $VICR are probably the most interesting ones outside of $SYSS that I've found in the US supply chains.\n\n- I picked $SYSS as my choice for robotics bottleneck exposure since they're the skeletons/materials for each humanoid on scale up (eg. with Boston Dynamics Atlas as known users) and effective US certification monopoly. \n\n- $LPTH happened to be a coincidental Robotics bottleneck exposure since I bought this for DoD/military bottleneck exposure too . \n\nThese are just the \"under the radar ones\" in the US for the mass production scale-up. Don't own any of them aside from two, but I'm still looking into them. \n\nUnfortunately many supply chains like $TSLA's actuators ($685M order with Sanhua) are still in China. But I expect many of them to flow back to the US, so still looking for alpha in terms of supply chain BOM. \n\nIf I missed any feel free to mention others.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0019241637189006955, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0019241637189006955, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00108558710647233, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00108558710647233, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0008385766124283656, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0008385766124283656, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.004168857227166978, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.004168857227166978, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.007682172031057144, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.007682172031057144, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0035133148038901663, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0035133148038901663, "ret_p1m": 0.1527525136553487, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1527525136553487, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1670803432231689, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1670803432231689, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014327829567820194, "bench_c_p1m": -0.014327829567820194, "ret_p3m": 0.11242961990748546, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11242961990748546, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09769466878286637, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09769466878286637, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014734951124619089, "bench_c_p3m": 0.014734951124619089, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1773, -0.1928, -0.173, -0.1686, -0.1773, -0.1782, -0.1566, -0.1626, -0.1644, -0.1704, -0.1881, -0.165, -0.1704, -0.1593, -0.1603, -0.1677, -0.1628, -0.1715, -0.1868, -0.208, -0.2089, -0.2037, -0.2066, -0.1754, -0.1497, -0.1318, -0.1303, -0.1303, -0.13, -0.1454, -0.1468, -0.1179, -0.1153, -0.1105, -0.1081, -0.1111, -0.0644, -0.0517, -0.066, -0.0699, -0.0832, -0.1006, -0.0923, -0.0886, -0.0771, -0.0797, -0.0805, -0.0805, -0.0751, -0.0772, -0.0827, -0.1007, -0.1007, -0.0776, -0.0557, -0.0278, -0.0588, -0.0315, -0.0254, -0.0291, -0.02, -0.0175, 0.0019, 0.0, 0.0, -0.031, 0.0036, 0.0112, 0.0042, 0.005, 0.0036, -0.0016, 0.0064, -0.0038, 0.0154, 0.0277, 0.0582, 0.0919, 0.1335, 0.1644, 0.1695, 0.1632, 0.1475, 0.1528, 0.1528, 0.1282, 0.1462, 0.1449, 0.1562, 0.1526, 0.1745, 0.1549, 0.1784, 0.1623, 0.1796, 0.143, 0.1324, 0.1051, 0.069, 0.0786, 0.0958, 0.1081, 0.0692, 0.046, 0.0589, 0.0573, 0.0534, 0.045, 0.0215, 0.0616, 0.0835, 0.0928, 0.0623, 0.0463, 0.0289, 0.0785, 0.0945, 0.0608, 0.0608, 0.0611, 0.0635, 0.1355, 0.1466, 0.1448, 0.1464, 0.1455, 0.1124, 0.1145, 0.1546, 0.163, 0.1663, 0.1452, 0.1657, 0.1496, 0.1657, 0.1462, 0.1425, 0.1892, 0.1689, 0.1488, 0.1757, 0.2837, 0.2477, 0.2651, 0.2589, 0.256, 0.2412, 0.252, 0.2278, 0.2089, 0.1766, 0.2609, 0.2795, 0.2905, 0.2905, 0.3709, 0.3681, 0.364, 0.3769, 0.3769, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2012071822481900030", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-01-16T07:57:59+00:00", "symbol": "AMBA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AMBA and $VICR are probably the most interesting ones outside of $SYSS that I've found in the US supply chains.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long SYSS and LPTH as held robotics bottleneck plays; TKR, AMBA, VICR flagged as most interesting US supply chain names; bearish Harmonic Drive Systems on Chinese disruption.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMBA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Boston Dynamics/Optimus/Robotic supply chains TLDR:\n\n- $ALGM ($6.5B) motor/sensing (Optimus) \n- $NOVT ($4.7B) feedback (Atlas, Figure)\n- $VICR ($6.5B) power (Atlas)\n- $OUST ($1.64B) LiDAR (Spot, Atlas)\n- $AMBA ($2.7B) - Chips (Atlas, Figure)\n- $AEHR ($812m) - SiC Test (t2)\n- $RRX ($10.5B) - Joints (Agility, Apollo)\n- $TKR ($6.53B) - Harmonic Strain (t2)\n- $MP ($11.82B) - NdPr magnets (t3)\n- $LSCC ($11.6B) - Sensor Fusion FPGAs (t3)\n\nI'm personally in:\n- $SYSS ($998M) - Skeleton (Optimus, Atlas, Figure)\n- $LPTH ($701M) - Vision (T2)\n\nWas researching these companies after OpenAI's push into robotics yesterday and wanted to do a TLDR format of findings. \n\nAgain, robotics OEMs generally don't publish BOMs, so most of these are confirmed but some are unconfirmed but very likely from cross-referencing public findings. \n\nBut we should see an inflection point for robotics going into 2026-2027. \n\nThoughts:\n\n- Harmonic Drive Systems (6324.T). Was tracking this as the leader but they just got disrupted by China's Leaderdrive that copied their technology and at 40% lower cost.\n\n- Based on this, $TKR (US) is probably the most \"alpha\" up there since through Cone Drive acqusition, they're the primary US-based provider of harmonic gearing vs. Harmonic Drive / Leaderdrive. \n \n- $AMBA and $VICR are probably the most interesting ones outside of $SYSS that I've found in the US supply chains.\n\n- I picked $SYSS as my choice for robotics bottleneck exposure since they're the skeletons/materials for each humanoid on scale up (eg. with Boston Dynamics Atlas as known users) and effective US certification monopoly. \n\n- $LPTH happened to be a coincidental Robotics bottleneck exposure since I bought this for DoD/military bottleneck exposure too . \n\nThese are just the \"under the radar ones\" in the US for the mass production scale-up. Don't own any of them aside from two, but I'm still looking into them. \n\nUnfortunately many supply chains like $TSLA's actuators ($685M order with Sanhua) are still in China. But I expect many of them to flow back to the US, so still looking for alpha in terms of supply chain BOM. \n\nIf I missed any feel free to mention others.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06009027616897178, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06009027616897178, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.060928852781400145, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.060928852781400145, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0008385766124283656, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0008385766124283656, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.022406530486106635, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.022406530486106635, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01889321568221647, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01889321568221647, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0035133148038901663, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0035133148038901663, "ret_p1m": -0.036665272070101174, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.036665272070101174, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02233744250228098, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02233744250228098, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014327829567820194, "bench_c_p1m": -0.014327829567820194, "ret_p3m": -0.1686309239226298, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1686309239226298, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18336587504724888, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.18336587504724888, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014734951124619089, "bench_c_p3m": 0.014734951124619089, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2102, 0.1609, 0.2142, 0.2459, 0.2591, 0.2556, 0.2513, 0.2321, 0.2401, 0.2408, 0.1926, 0.2585, 0.3185, 0.3047, 0.3738, 0.3608, 0.3896, 0.2913, 0.278, 0.223, 0.2089, 0.2722, 0.2123, 0.2533, 0.3032, 0.3236, 0.0751, 0.0751, 0.0793, 0.0319, 0.0343, 0.0201, 0.0339, 0.0781, 0.1158, 0.1385, 0.1497, 0.1515, 0.0953, 0.0738, 0.0473, 0.0182, 0.0252, 0.0551, 0.0595, 0.0473, 0.0439, 0.0439, 0.0388, 0.0195, 0.0151, 0.0307, 0.0307, 0.0936, 0.1219, 0.1733, 0.0263, 0.0298, 0.0076, -0.0023, -0.045, -0.0572, -0.0601, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0435, -0.0023, 0.0049, -0.0224, -0.0246, -0.0346, -0.0297, -0.0412, -0.0682, -0.0851, -0.1237, -0.1161, -0.135, -0.0741, -0.0506, -0.0359, -0.0271, -0.0409, -0.0367, -0.0367, -0.0428, -0.0418, -0.0364, -0.0105, -0.0233, 0.0361, 0.0227, 0.0316, -0.1221, -0.1119, -0.1641, -0.1772, -0.1938, -0.2379, -0.2251, -0.2143, -0.2143, -0.2373, -0.2392, -0.2377, -0.2334, -0.2149, -0.1873, -0.214, -0.2059, -0.2066, -0.213, -0.2337, -0.2657, -0.2922, -0.251, -0.2568, -0.2647, -0.2647, -0.258, -0.2581, -0.2248, -0.2254, -0.2321, -0.21, -0.1823, -0.1686, -0.166, -0.1528, -0.1375, -0.1273, -0.1084, -0.1075, -0.0271, -0.0563, -0.0725, -0.0406, 0.001, 0.0412, 0.029, 0.0819, 0.0982, 0.0806, 0.1101, 0.1599, 0.1376, 0.1945, 0.1791, 0.1809, 0.1477, 0.1158, 0.2076, 0.2169, 0.2738, 0.2738, 0.3614, 0.3179, 0.3362, 0.0502, 0.0502, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2012071822481900030", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-01-16T07:57:59+00:00", "symbol": "VICR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AMBA and $VICR are probably the most interesting ones outside of $SYSS that I've found in the US supply chains.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long SYSS and LPTH as held robotics bottleneck plays; TKR, AMBA, VICR flagged as most interesting US supply chain names; bearish Harmonic Drive Systems on Chinese disruption.", "resolved_tickers": ["VICR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Boston Dynamics/Optimus/Robotic supply chains TLDR:\n\n- $ALGM ($6.5B) motor/sensing (Optimus) \n- $NOVT ($4.7B) feedback (Atlas, Figure)\n- $VICR ($6.5B) power (Atlas)\n- $OUST ($1.64B) LiDAR (Spot, Atlas)\n- $AMBA ($2.7B) - Chips (Atlas, Figure)\n- $AEHR ($812m) - SiC Test (t2)\n- $RRX ($10.5B) - Joints (Agility, Apollo)\n- $TKR ($6.53B) - Harmonic Strain (t2)\n- $MP ($11.82B) - NdPr magnets (t3)\n- $LSCC ($11.6B) - Sensor Fusion FPGAs (t3)\n\nI'm personally in:\n- $SYSS ($998M) - Skeleton (Optimus, Atlas, Figure)\n- $LPTH ($701M) - Vision (T2)\n\nWas researching these companies after OpenAI's push into robotics yesterday and wanted to do a TLDR format of findings. \n\nAgain, robotics OEMs generally don't publish BOMs, so most of these are confirmed but some are unconfirmed but very likely from cross-referencing public findings. \n\nBut we should see an inflection point for robotics going into 2026-2027. \n\nThoughts:\n\n- Harmonic Drive Systems (6324.T). Was tracking this as the leader but they just got disrupted by China's Leaderdrive that copied their technology and at 40% lower cost.\n\n- Based on this, $TKR (US) is probably the most \"alpha\" up there since through Cone Drive acqusition, they're the primary US-based provider of harmonic gearing vs. Harmonic Drive / Leaderdrive. \n \n- $AMBA and $VICR are probably the most interesting ones outside of $SYSS that I've found in the US supply chains.\n\n- I picked $SYSS as my choice for robotics bottleneck exposure since they're the skeletons/materials for each humanoid on scale up (eg. with Boston Dynamics Atlas as known users) and effective US certification monopoly. \n\n- $LPTH happened to be a coincidental Robotics bottleneck exposure since I bought this for DoD/military bottleneck exposure too . \n\nThese are just the \"under the radar ones\" in the US for the mass production scale-up. Don't own any of them aside from two, but I'm still looking into them. \n\nUnfortunately many supply chains like $TSLA's actuators ($685M order with Sanhua) are still in China. But I expect many of them to flow back to the US, so still looking for alpha in terms of supply chain BOM. \n\nIf I missed any feel free to mention others.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02935687891599481, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02935687891599481, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.030195455528423176, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.030195455528423176, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0008385766124283656, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0008385766124283656, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.022751456446685525, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.022751456446685525, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02626477125057569, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02626477125057569, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0035133148038901663, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0035133148038901663, "ret_p1m": 0.04056579685734918, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04056579685734918, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05489362642516937, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05489362642516937, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014327829567820194, "bench_c_p1m": -0.014327829567820194, "ret_p3m": 0.2957031666771188, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2957031666771188, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.28096821555249973, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.28096821555249973, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014734951124619089, "bench_c_p3m": 0.014734951124619089, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.561, -0.4278, -0.3796, -0.3966, -0.3995, -0.4019, -0.3917, -0.39, -0.3946, -0.3772, -0.4105, -0.367, -0.4061, -0.4167, -0.3836, -0.3823, -0.3705, -0.409, -0.4062, -0.419, -0.4351, -0.4324, -0.4444, -0.4371, -0.4151, -0.4119, -0.4026, -0.4026, -0.4039, -0.4013, -0.3919, -0.3807, -0.3692, -0.3539, -0.3415, -0.3375, -0.3273, -0.3263, -0.3475, -0.3622, -0.3765, -0.3515, -0.3442, -0.3034, -0.2593, -0.273, -0.2764, -0.2764, -0.2593, -0.2527, -0.2414, -0.2687, -0.2687, -0.2203, -0.1084, -0.0731, -0.0695, -0.0919, -0.0505, -0.0718, -0.0752, -0.0304, -0.0294, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0502, 0.0814, 0.1128, 0.0228, 0.0572, 0.0944, 0.111, 0.1444, 0.052, 0.1032, 0.1126, 0.0147, -0.0113, 0.0667, 0.0611, 0.0504, 0.0723, 0.0961, 0.0406, 0.0406, 0.0494, 0.0382, 0.0197, 0.1343, 0.1463, 0.2697, 0.3155, 0.372, 0.3437, 0.3957, 0.3475, 0.3557, 0.2138, 0.0853, 0.1344, 0.1729, 0.1932, 0.1196, 0.1514, 0.2371, 0.3099, 0.28, 0.2685, 0.0978, 0.1547, 0.2043, 0.241, 0.0539, 0.021, -0.0511, 0.0742, 0.0552, 0.0384, 0.0384, 0.0389, 0.0664, 0.2009, 0.2338, 0.2384, 0.2425, 0.2683, 0.2957, 0.3551, 0.4548, 0.4999, 0.6429, 0.7681, 0.7356, 0.825, 0.7922, 0.6593, 0.7127, 0.7966, 0.7905, 0.6748, 0.7748, 0.8704, 0.7437, 0.7112, 1.0881, 0.9518, 1.0635, 0.9385, 0.8259, 0.6615, 0.6242, 0.7627, 0.79, 0.788, 0.788, 1.2214, 1.3074, 1.2824, 1.2341, 1.2341, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2012071822481900030", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2026-01-16T07:57:59+00:00", "symbol": "6324.T", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "they just got disrupted by China's Leaderdrive that copied their technology and at 40% lower cost", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long SYSS and LPTH as held robotics bottleneck plays; TKR, AMBA, VICR flagged as most interesting US supply chain names; bearish Harmonic Drive Systems on Chinese disruption.", "resolved_tickers": ["6324.T"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWJ", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='T')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Boston Dynamics/Optimus/Robotic supply chains TLDR:\n\n- $ALGM ($6.5B) motor/sensing (Optimus) \n- $NOVT ($4.7B) feedback (Atlas, Figure)\n- $VICR ($6.5B) power (Atlas)\n- $OUST ($1.64B) LiDAR (Spot, Atlas)\n- $AMBA ($2.7B) - Chips (Atlas, Figure)\n- $AEHR ($812m) - SiC Test (t2)\n- $RRX ($10.5B) - Joints (Agility, Apollo)\n- $TKR ($6.53B) - Harmonic Strain (t2)\n- $MP ($11.82B) - NdPr magnets (t3)\n- $LSCC ($11.6B) - Sensor Fusion FPGAs (t3)\n\nI'm personally in:\n- $SYSS ($998M) - Skeleton (Optimus, Atlas, Figure)\n- $LPTH ($701M) - Vision (T2)\n\nWas researching these companies after OpenAI's push into robotics yesterday and wanted to do a TLDR format of findings. \n\nAgain, robotics OEMs generally don't publish BOMs, so most of these are confirmed but some are unconfirmed but very likely from cross-referencing public findings. \n\nBut we should see an inflection point for robotics going into 2026-2027. \n\nThoughts:\n\n- Harmonic Drive Systems (6324.T). Was tracking this as the leader but they just got disrupted by China's Leaderdrive that copied their technology and at 40% lower cost.\n\n- Based on this, $TKR (US) is probably the most \"alpha\" up there since through Cone Drive acqusition, they're the primary US-based provider of harmonic gearing vs. Harmonic Drive / Leaderdrive. \n \n- $AMBA and $VICR are probably the most interesting ones outside of $SYSS that I've found in the US supply chains.\n\n- I picked $SYSS as my choice for robotics bottleneck exposure since they're the skeletons/materials for each humanoid on scale up (eg. with Boston Dynamics Atlas as known users) and effective US certification monopoly. \n\n- $LPTH happened to be a coincidental Robotics bottleneck exposure since I bought this for DoD/military bottleneck exposure too . \n\nThese are just the \"under the radar ones\" in the US for the mass production scale-up. Don't own any of them aside from two, but I'm still looking into them. \n\nUnfortunately many supply chains like $TSLA's actuators ($685M order with Sanhua) are still in China. But I expect many of them to flow back to the US, so still looking for alpha in terms of supply chain BOM. \n\nIf I missed any feel free to mention others.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01394170967499786, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01394170967499786, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.014780286287426225, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.013239730432698105, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0008385766124283656, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0007019792422997551, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005069678769797248, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005069678769797248, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005069678769797248, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005069678769797248, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.0709759370480868, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0709759370480868, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06746262224419664, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.060213118117228404, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0035133148038901663, "bench_c_p1w": -0.010762818930858398, "ret_p1m": -0.01647661109859999, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.01647661109859999, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0021487815307797975, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11439419168452292, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014327829567820194, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09791758058592293, "ret_p3m": 0.10538080286767704, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.10538080286767704, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09064585174305795, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06338271914159077, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014734951124619089, "bench_c_p3m": 0.041998083726086266, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1749, -0.1711, -0.2416, -0.2117, -0.2256, -0.2416, -0.2469, -0.27, -0.2771, -0.2771, -0.2616, -0.2913, -0.29, -0.3153, -0.3156, -0.3171, -0.3166, -0.2847, -0.3047, -0.3037, -0.3655, -0.3136, -0.2763, -0.2953, -0.2953, -0.2902, -0.2695, -0.2446, -0.2167, -0.2104, -0.1888, -0.1888, -0.076, -0.0532, -0.0773, -0.0672, -0.0406, -0.0317, 0.0013, -0.0152, -0.0659, -0.0748, -0.1065, -0.1141, -0.0951, -0.1014, -0.1128, -0.1039, -0.1027, -0.0913, -0.0418, -0.0418, -0.0418, -0.0418, -0.0266, -0.0089, -0.0913, -0.0672, -0.1001, -0.1001, -0.0659, -0.0279, -0.0139, 0.0, 0.0051, -0.0253, -0.0152, -0.0444, -0.071, -0.1052, -0.0875, -0.1115, -0.1483, -0.1381, -0.1559, -0.1179, -0.1255, -0.1217, -0.1242, -0.0963, -0.0368, -0.0368, -0.0089, -0.0811, -0.0165, -0.0494, -0.052, -0.033, 0.109, 0.109, 0.1635, 0.1584, 0.1584, 0.1546, 0.1876, 0.1483, 0.0748, 0.1039, 0.0798, -0.0355, 0.0139, 0.0672, 0.076, 0.0659, 0.0849, 0.0596, 0.1052, 0.0482, 0.0482, -0.0304, -0.0152, 0.0317, 0.0279, 0.0304, -0.0369, -0.1195, -0.0712, -0.0941, -0.056, -0.0268, -0.0318, 0.0558, 0.0012, 0.0139, 0.0558, 0.0368, 0.1054, 0.193, 0.1257, 0.1473, 0.141, 0.1143, 0.0851, 0.066, 0.2413, 0.2058, 0.2058, 0.3265, 0.3087, 0.3087, 0.3087, 0.3087, 0.451, 0.5831, 0.6263, 0.6771, 0.7712, 0.6339, 0.8042, 0.728, 0.5323, 0.5043, 0.6644, 0.7813, 0.9465, 1.0329, 0.9948, 0.9541, 0.9821, 1.038, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2000709090276991414", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-15T23:26:33+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "現在、私たちは $NBIS のような銘柄でも同じ状況を目にしていると思います。皆、1年後にはロボタクシーと並んでAI版のアマゾン ウェブ サービス (AWS)** になる潜在的な可能性を見ていますが、今は降伏（キャピチュレーション）/売り抜けの局面なのです。", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "NBIS currently in capitulation like MU was; author implies holding through the selloff leads to major upside over ~1 year as AI-AWS-scale potential plays out.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "ja", "tweet_text": "はい、多くの人が $MU （マイクロン）とメモリがAIチップの構築において中心的な役割を果たすという見解を持っていました。しかし、レポートによるマージン縮小の懸念や、中国関連の懸念があり、人々は自分の見解が実現するのを待つ代わりに、結局は損失を抱えることになってしまいました。\n\n今やメモリは不足しており、初期の人々がずっと正しかったことが証明されました。しかし、彼らはこの大幅な株価上昇の後には、もはやその株を所有していません。\n\n現在、私たちは $NBIS のような銘柄でも同じ状況を目にしていると思います。皆、1年後にはロボタクシーと並んでAI版のアマゾン ウェブ サービス (AWS)** になる潜在的な可能性を見ていますが、今は降伏（キャピチュレーション）/売り抜けの局面なのです。", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I’m remembering $MU. After that amazing earnings report, everyone sold in panic and cut their losses. Now it’s up threefold.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "beauty_oe", "ret_m1d": 0.08072471162223649, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08072471162223649, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07921153760334687, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.080896172428786, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0015131740188896181, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00017146080654950602, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0023416618540237355, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0023416618540237355, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00039063574125497436, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0030280320438993424, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00273229759527871, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0006863701898756069, "ret_p1w": 0.14900177542800863, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.14900177542800863, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1400060501153062, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14498973746976107, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00899572531270243, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004012037958247561, "ret_p1m": 0.2993591458989606, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2993591458989606, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2771916559932497, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.29336770062730033, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022167489905710935, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0059914452716602895, "ret_p3m": 0.33152577924853577, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.33152577924853577, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3501849525132279, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3394765413434061, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.01865917326469213, "bench_c_p3m": -0.007950762094870334, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1595, 0.16, 0.2239, 0.3138, 0.3286, 0.3955, 0.3303, 0.3273, 0.3584, 0.3837, 0.4248, 0.5513, 0.5773, 0.5398, 0.4506, 0.5036, 0.6347, 0.597, 0.6695, 0.5794, 0.5508, 0.5164, 0.3981, 0.3434, 0.2852, 0.2154, 0.3084, 0.4452, 0.5458, 0.5015, 0.5418, 0.5304, 0.6123, 0.4847, 0.3623, 0.442, 0.3488, 0.3715, 0.3551, 0.2598, 0.1629, 0.0923, 0.0296, 0.0597, 0.1158, 0.1717, 0.0431, 0.0261, 0.1326, 0.0954, 0.167, 0.167, 0.1692, 0.2343, 0.1887, 0.2191, 0.2669, 0.2083, 0.2365, 0.1882, 0.1534, 0.1619, 0.0807, 0.0, -0.0023, -0.0701, -0.0376, 0.1025, 0.149, 0.1096, 0.1231, 0.1231, 0.0795, 0.0604, 0.0497, 0.0316, 0.0316, 0.1086, 0.1441, 0.2354, 0.1857, 0.1992, 0.2069, 0.3228, 0.2994, 0.2568, 0.2803, 0.34, 0.34, 0.2237, 0.2185, 0.1936, 0.1647, 0.1272, 0.2062, 0.2377, 0.1697, 0.0499, 0.0865, 0.1086, 0.0154, -0.0896, 0.0611, 0.1447, 0.1313, 0.0921, 0.1059, 0.2079, 0.2079, 0.2019, 0.2546, 0.3262, 0.2068, 0.24, 0.2642, 0.3079, 0.2926, 0.1239, 0.1216, 0.0698, 0.2051, 0.1788, 0.1009, 0.1701, 0.1884, 0.3803, 0.3315, 0.392, 0.6003, 0.4337, 0.4612, 0.4977, 0.4496, 0.4068, 0.4162, 0.4184, 0.306, 0.2425, 0.137, 0.2788, 0.2565, 0.3411, 0.3411, 0.387, 0.4469, 0.5405, 0.6802, 0.7867, 0.9049, 0.9958, 1.0553, 1.0377, 0.9367, 0.9615, 0.9294, 0.9243, 0.9359, 0.8137, 0.7865, 0.6701, 0.7401, 0.7036, 0.904, 1.1743, 1.1681, 1.4044, 1.2772, 1.182, 1.2936, 1.2074, 1.5545, 1.7255, 1.7106, 1.4632, 1.4369, 1.3641, 1.7105, 1.6469, 1.6469, 1.5642, 1.568, 1.7895, 1.848, 1.848, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1965762609623499243", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-10T13:01:42+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it's simply a race to see which hedge funds cover their shorts first - and that's when the short squeeze begins", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish HIMS: 36%+ short interest, profitable fast-growing business, EU expansion imminent — short squeeze catalyst building.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "36%+ short interest means hedge funds are nearing the limits of how much they can borrow to short. Unlike many heavily shorted names, $HIMS isn’t a no-revenue play, it’s a fast-growing, profitable business.\n\nThe company continues to expand with surprise product launches (like today) and will soon serve 1.2M+ customers in the EU to expand forward revenue.\n\nAt this point, it’s simply a race to see which hedge funds cover their shorts first - and that’s when the short squeeze begins.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$HIMS\n\nRemember the commentary:\nFlip the 50 Day MA to support at $50 and Shorts are screwed\n\nThis is what happened to $OSCR when it flipped its own 50 WMA and jumped +29% and still climbing\n\n$HIMS will announce a new product today, more bullish developments.\n\nSo FULLY expect BofA https://t.co/SMX5jvzFiO", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TheLongInvest", "ret_m1d": 0.00020933730611139012, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00020933730611139012, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0030918586359953704, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0030918586359953704, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028825213298839802, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0028825213298839802, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08329844378231477, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08329844378231477, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07498827342637071, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07498827342637071, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008310170355944058, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008310170355944058, "ret_p1w": 0.053788190884965115, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.053788190884965115, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04310144808593619, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04310144808593619, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010686742799028925, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010686742799028925, "ret_p1m": 0.21912937396808374, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21912937396808374, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.18722137380349224, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.18722137380349224, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0319080001645915, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0319080001645915, "ret_p3m": -0.18124738527964335, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.18124738527964335, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2323280264162607, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2323280264162607, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.051080641136617366, "bench_c_p3m": 0.051080641136617366, "ret_p6m": -0.6676433545385159, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.6676433545385159, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.7182523052188337, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.7182523052188337, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05060895068031779, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05060895068031779, "price_path": [0.1612, 0.2512, 0.2398, 0.2781, 0.2781, 0.3441, -0.1214, -0.1011, -0.1333, -0.0314, 0.0341, 0.0433, 0.0038, -0.0067, 0.0042, 0.0042, 0.0134, 0.0247, 0.0724, 0.0521, 0.0023, 0.0889, 0.0561, 0.0852, 0.0463, 0.0544, -0.0038, 0.0467, 0.2143, 0.1997, 0.2066, 0.2281, 0.2614, 0.3715, 0.3851, 0.3091, 0.3259, 0.162, 0.0701, 0.0684, 0.0871, 0.046, 0.0038, 0.0115, -0.0136, -0.0368, -0.0561, -0.1172, -0.0921, -0.0799, -0.0672, -0.1003, -0.0509, -0.0789, -0.0766, -0.1136, -0.1136, -0.1308, -0.0695, 0.0069, 0.0132, 0.0389, 0.0002, 0.0, 0.0833, 0.1616, 0.1293, 0.0651, 0.0538, 0.1762, 0.2101, 0.2076, 0.172, 0.1145, 0.1484, 0.2223, 0.2373, 0.1871, 0.1785, 0.2112, 0.0996, 0.1461, 0.2133, 0.2175, 0.2191, 0.1291, 0.1455, 0.1306, 0.3135, 0.238, 0.0419, 0.0749, 0.0331, -0.0067, 0.0149, 0.0209, 0.0094, -0.0138, -0.0241, -0.0779, -0.0486, -0.071, -0.1044, -0.0848, -0.131, -0.1413, -0.1409, -0.1681, -0.1833, -0.2455, -0.226, -0.2553, -0.2411, -0.2501, -0.2964, -0.2735, -0.2093, -0.2237, -0.1963, -0.1963, -0.1679, -0.2149, -0.2401, -0.2242, -0.1624, -0.1796, -0.1812, -0.1666, -0.2072, -0.2095, -0.2212, -0.2413, -0.2285, -0.2681, -0.2723, -0.2558, -0.2664, -0.2717, -0.2744, -0.2744, -0.2819, -0.2863, -0.3085, -0.3204, -0.3204, -0.3008, -0.2735, -0.2578, -0.2578, -0.2911, -0.3368, -0.3231, -0.3261, -0.3445, -0.3464, -0.3432, -0.3432, -0.3623, -0.3954, -0.3612, -0.3801, -0.3663, -0.3788, -0.4, -0.3748, -0.433, -0.4466, -0.4655, -0.4893, -0.5086, -0.5182, -0.5954, -0.6392, -0.6507, -0.6693, -0.6589, -0.6589, -0.6595, -0.6685, -0.6689, -0.6729, -0.6754, -0.6764, -0.6689, -0.6735, -0.6961, -0.6551, -0.6689, -0.6557, -0.6676]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1989206564859965945", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-14T05:39:37+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Institutions are probably buying the better names eg. $NBIS through dark pools/block trades now after these types of washouts and margin liquidations.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Institutions likely buying NBIS post-washout via dark pools; implied long on dip after margin liquidations.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Missing one or two huge rebound days after a selloff can cost you most of the recovery gains, which is why it’s better to hold through periods of volatility. \n\nIf something crashed like $CIFR -29% or $IREN -34.6% this week, a good quote is “retail is last to sell, last to buy back”\n\nInstitutions are probably buying the better names eg. $NBIS through dark pools/block trades now after these types of washouts and margin liquidations. (Not ones with no fundamentals) if retail decides to sell more.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Sure those pullbacks offer great opportunities, but the question is how long until the knife stops falling... So waiting for a bottom and market structure to form is probably the sensible thing to do, no?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "RaphaelMar88409", "ret_m1d": 0.06092885183275798, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06092885183275798, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.060765056247821025, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05553947374933221, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0053893780834257665, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02920759414251739, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02920759414251739, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03852402757176199, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03055500763417085, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0013474134916534597, "ret_p1w": -0.003351673165289948, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.003351673165289948, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.015846667575385776, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.00847158234454437, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005119909179254423, "ret_p1m": -0.028728770643726698, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.028728770643726698, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.041825383272466876, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07579595992511301, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04706718928138631, "ret_p3m": 0.060689485746484806, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.060689485746484806, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.027836732130763542, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.008700540385840005, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0519889453606448, "ret_p6m": 1.227675413742134, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.227675413742134, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.1211470771516163, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.1828159796751123, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04485943406702164, "price_path": [-0.1957, -0.1924, -0.2078, -0.1743, -0.1618, -0.1563, -0.1609, -0.1377, -0.1822, -0.1822, -0.2133, -0.2141, -0.223, -0.2163, -0.2332, 0.1458, 0.1179, 0.0676, 0.0822, 0.0888, 0.0705, 0.1262, 0.1266, 0.1888, 0.276, 0.2904, 0.3554, 0.2921, 0.2892, 0.3194, 0.3439, 0.3839, 0.5067, 0.532, 0.4956, 0.4089, 0.4604, 0.5877, 0.5511, 0.6215, 0.534, 0.5062, 0.4728, 0.3579, 0.3048, 0.2483, 0.1805, 0.2708, 0.4036, 0.5014, 0.4583, 0.4975, 0.4865, 0.566, 0.4421, 0.3232, 0.4005, 0.31, 0.3321, 0.3161, 0.2236, 0.1295, 0.0609, 0.0, 0.0292, 0.0838, 0.138, 0.0132, -0.0034, 0.1001, 0.0639, 0.1335, 0.1335, 0.1356, 0.1988, 0.1545, 0.1841, 0.2305, 0.1736, 0.201, 0.1541, 0.1203, 0.1286, 0.0497, -0.0287, -0.031, -0.0968, -0.0652, 0.0709, 0.116, 0.0777, 0.0909, 0.0909, 0.0485, 0.0299, 0.0195, 0.002, 0.002, 0.0767, 0.1112, 0.1999, 0.1517, 0.1647, 0.1723, 0.2848, 0.262, 0.2207, 0.2435, 0.3015, 0.3015, 0.1885, 0.1835, 0.1593, 0.1312, 0.0948, 0.1715, 0.2022, 0.1361, 0.0198, 0.0553, 0.0767, -0.0138, -0.1158, 0.0306, 0.1118, 0.0988, 0.0607, 0.0741, 0.1732, 0.1732, 0.1673, 0.2186, 0.2881, 0.1721, 0.2043, 0.2279, 0.2703, 0.2554, 0.0916, 0.0894, 0.039, 0.1705, 0.145, 0.0693, 0.1365, 0.1543, 0.3406, 0.2933, 0.352, 0.5543, 0.3925, 0.4192, 0.4546, 0.4079, 0.3664, 0.3755, 0.3777, 0.2685, 0.2068, 0.1044, 0.242, 0.2204, 0.3026, 0.3026, 0.3471, 0.4053, 0.4963, 0.6319, 0.7353, 0.8501, 0.9385, 0.9963, 0.9792, 0.881, 0.9052, 0.874, 0.869, 0.8803, 0.7616, 0.7352, 0.6221, 0.6901, 0.6547, 0.8493, 1.1118, 1.1058, 1.3353, 1.2118, 1.1193, 1.2277]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1980794559732068397", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-22T00:33:19+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "fair value should be higher. There's been new $NBIS data centers for ARR boost, 3x rate cuts which is a huge catalyst", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NBIS (fair value higher on new data centers + rate cuts), WULF and IREN as beneficiaries of hyperscaler AI demand, and CRWV on META deal.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I respectfully disagree, \"fair value\" should be higher. There's been new $NBIS data centers for ARR boost, 3x rate cuts which is a huge catalyst. \n\nJust now, Anthropic might sign a $20B+ dollar deal with $GOOGL, which is bullish for Clickhouse, $WULF, $IREN, and Neoclouds. $META x $CRWV deals.\n\nGoogle/Mag7 is compute limited, and this is only a bigger catalyst for Nebius (which is still down 5.6% despite this news), which likely has more hyperscaler contracts on the way.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I agree - I do think this is closer to \"fair\" value being we haven't had any significant developments announced since the $MSFT deal.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MktMavPro", "ret_m1d": 0.05739196790796086, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05739196790796086, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.052165891093566064, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04865795143168117, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005226076814394798, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008734016476279693, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07645508725955352, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07645508725955352, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07052519606905383, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07982761972858643, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005929891190499692, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0033725324690329073, "ret_p1w": 0.2685053233630823, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2685053233630823, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.23917013427122158, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2628844137812947, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.029335189091860725, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005620909581787625, "ret_p1m": -0.14175626614873638, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14175626614873638, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11889015789478707, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09272476616029002, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.022866108253949302, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04903149998844636, "ret_p3m": 0.10251470623389292, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10251470623389292, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06372503900472015, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10335486794227966, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.038789667229172764, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0008401617083867441, "ret_p6m": 0.6765361157285201, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6765361157285201, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.619849690724092, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.6423340376147957, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05668642500442811, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03420207811372444, "price_path": [-0.4791, -0.4651, -0.4889, -0.4799, -0.4481, -0.4727, -0.4507, -0.4406, -0.4414, -0.3378, -0.3026, -0.2878, -0.2362, -0.2838, -0.3058, -0.2738, -0.2644, -0.3187, -0.3159, -0.3289, -0.3005, -0.29, -0.2853, -0.2892, -0.2695, -0.3072, -0.3072, -0.3336, -0.3343, -0.3418, -0.3361, -0.3504, -0.0294, -0.053, -0.0956, -0.0832, -0.0777, -0.0932, -0.046, -0.0456, 0.007, 0.0809, 0.0931, 0.1481, 0.0945, 0.0921, 0.1176, 0.1384, 0.1723, 0.2763, 0.2977, 0.2669, 0.1935, 0.2371, 0.345, 0.3139, 0.3736, 0.2994, 0.2759, 0.2476, 0.1503, 0.1053, 0.0574, 0.0, 0.0765, 0.189, 0.2719, 0.2353, 0.2685, 0.2592, 0.3265, 0.2216, 0.1209, 0.1864, 0.1097, 0.1284, 0.1149, 0.0365, -0.0432, -0.1013, -0.1529, -0.1282, -0.0819, -0.036, -0.1418, -0.1557, -0.0681, -0.0988, -0.0398, -0.0398, -0.038, 0.0155, -0.022, 0.003, 0.0424, -0.0059, 0.0173, -0.0224, -0.051, -0.044, -0.1108, -0.1772, -0.1792, -0.2349, -0.2082, -0.0929, -0.0547, -0.0871, -0.0759, -0.0759, -0.1118, -0.1276, -0.1364, -0.1512, -0.1512, -0.0879, -0.0587, 0.0164, -0.0244, -0.0134, -0.007, 0.0883, 0.0691, 0.0341, 0.0534, 0.1025, 0.1025, 0.0068, 0.0025, -0.0179, -0.0418, -0.0726, -0.0076, 0.0184, -0.0376, -0.1362, -0.1061, -0.0879, -0.1646, -0.251, -0.127, -0.0582, -0.0693, -0.1015, -0.0901, -0.0062, -0.0062, -0.0112, 0.0322, 0.0912, -0.0071, 0.0202, 0.0402, 0.076, 0.0635, -0.0753, -0.0772, -0.1199, -0.0085, -0.0301, -0.0942, -0.0373, -0.0222, 0.1356, 0.0955, 0.1453, 0.3167, 0.1796, 0.2022, 0.2322, 0.1927, 0.1575, 0.1652, 0.167, 0.0745, 0.0223, -0.0645, 0.0521, 0.0338, 0.1034, 0.1034, 0.1411, 0.1904, 0.2675, 0.3824, 0.47, 0.5672, 0.6421, 0.691, 0.6765]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1980794559732068397", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-22T00:33:19+00:00", "symbol": "WULF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "bullish for Clickhouse, $WULF, $IREN, and Neoclouds", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NBIS (fair value higher on new data centers + rate cuts), WULF and IREN as beneficiaries of hyperscaler AI demand, and CRWV on META deal.", "resolved_tickers": ["WULF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I respectfully disagree, \"fair value\" should be higher. There's been new $NBIS data centers for ARR boost, 3x rate cuts which is a huge catalyst. \n\nJust now, Anthropic might sign a $20B+ dollar deal with $GOOGL, which is bullish for Clickhouse, $WULF, $IREN, and Neoclouds. $META x $CRWV deals.\n\nGoogle/Mag7 is compute limited, and this is only a bigger catalyst for Nebius (which is still down 5.6% despite this news), which likely has more hyperscaler contracts on the way.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I agree - I do think this is closer to \"fair\" value being we haven't had any significant developments announced since the $MSFT deal.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MktMavPro", "ret_m1d": 0.04120447404747618, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04120447404747618, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03597839723308138, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03597839723308138, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005226076814394798, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005226076814394798, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0206022370237382, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0206022370237382, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01467234583323851, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01467234583323851, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005929891190499692, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005929891190499692, "ret_p1w": 0.14896989948408645, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.14896989948408645, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11963471039222573, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.11963471039222573, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.029335189091860725, "bench_c_p1w": 0.029335189091860725, "ret_p1m": -0.08399361929910376, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08399361929910376, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06112751104515446, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06112751104515446, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.022866108253949302, "bench_c_p1m": -0.022866108253949302, "ret_p3m": 0.09746438249322953, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09746438249322953, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.058674715264056765, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.058674715264056765, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.038789667229172764, "bench_c_p3m": 0.038789667229172764, "ret_p6m": 0.5301109065807987, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5301109065807987, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4734244815763706, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4734244815763706, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05668642500442811, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05668642500442811, "price_path": [-0.5903, -0.5959, -0.5864, -0.603, -0.5911, -0.6228, -0.6125, -0.599, -0.5919, -0.6086, -0.6014, -0.5721, -0.5848, -0.5674, -0.3098, -0.2892, -0.2567, -0.3043, -0.2647, -0.2718, -0.2742, -0.2924, -0.2678, -0.2765, -0.252, -0.2512, -0.2512, -0.2369, -0.2884, -0.2971, -0.2765, -0.271, -0.1838, -0.164, -0.1569, -0.1474, -0.1688, -0.1331, -0.1006, -0.1149, -0.13, -0.0895, -0.1094, -0.0967, -0.1307, -0.1418, -0.0808, -0.0951, -0.0911, -0.0824, -0.0555, -0.0515, -0.0412, -0.0254, 0.0769, 0.0705, 0.1094, 0.225, 0.2258, 0.0983, 0.1038, 0.0975, 0.0412, 0.0, 0.0206, 0.0864, 0.0808, 0.2631, 0.149, 0.1743, 0.2282, 0.2758, 0.1894, 0.2171, 0.1315, 0.1046, 0.1331, -0.0198, 0.0016, -0.0745, -0.1292, -0.1244, -0.0491, -0.0309, -0.084, -0.1054, 0.0008, 0.1046, 0.1759, 0.1759, 0.229, 0.2124, 0.1268, 0.1434, 0.1965, 0.149, 0.1854, 0.2353, 0.2488, 0.2544, 0.1355, -0.0103, 0.0293, -0.0832, -0.0658, -0.0079, -0.0119, -0.0158, -0.0246, -0.0246, -0.0689, -0.0951, -0.1165, -0.0895, -0.0895, 0.0095, 0.0792, 0.0444, -0.0103, 0.0174, 0.038, 0.0943, 0.1204, 0.126, 0.0959, 0.0975, 0.0975, 0.0563, 0.0396, 0.0214, 0.1189, 0.0927, 0.2132, 0.1973, 0.1521, 0.0594, 0.065, 0.1727, 0.0998, -0.0555, 0.1323, 0.3193, 0.3177, 0.2702, 0.2607, 0.2884, 0.2884, 0.2821, 0.2187, 0.2258, 0.1894, 0.2425, 0.3914, 0.42, 0.4168, 0.2853, 0.2694, 0.168, 0.2179, 0.2068, 0.0895, 0.0975, 0.1371, 0.206, 0.1624, 0.1624, 0.3003, 0.271, 0.2124, 0.2472, 0.1965, 0.2829, 0.2853, 0.336, 0.2163, 0.1799, 0.0856, 0.1434, 0.1474, 0.1791, 0.1791, 0.2322, 0.313, 0.4303, 0.5079, 0.4952, 0.5412, 0.6601, 0.5586, 0.5301]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1980794559732068397", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-22T00:33:19+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "bullish for Clickhouse, $WULF, $IREN, and Neoclouds", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NBIS (fair value higher on new data centers + rate cuts), WULF and IREN as beneficiaries of hyperscaler AI demand, and CRWV on META deal.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I respectfully disagree, \"fair value\" should be higher. There's been new $NBIS data centers for ARR boost, 3x rate cuts which is a huge catalyst. \n\nJust now, Anthropic might sign a $20B+ dollar deal with $GOOGL, which is bullish for Clickhouse, $WULF, $IREN, and Neoclouds. $META x $CRWV deals.\n\nGoogle/Mag7 is compute limited, and this is only a bigger catalyst for Nebius (which is still down 5.6% despite this news), which likely has more hyperscaler contracts on the way.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I agree - I do think this is closer to \"fair\" value being we haven't had any significant developments announced since the $MSFT deal.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MktMavPro", "ret_m1d": 0.06492374580147797, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06492374580147797, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.059697668987083174, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.059201794656427165, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005226076814394798, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005721951145050808, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07775417011238162, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07775417011238162, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07182427892188192, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07565609445044097, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005929891190499692, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002098075661940646, "ret_p1w": 0.16573405430103239, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16573405430103239, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.13639886520917166, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.17221886866291036, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.029335189091860725, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0064848143618779774, "ret_p1m": -0.16129655247942798, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16129655247942798, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13843044422547868, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13612015824874346, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.022866108253949302, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025176394230684518, "ret_p3m": 0.11557008782856215, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11557008782856215, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07678042059938939, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07360424472637206, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.038789667229172764, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04196584310219009, "ret_p6m": -0.07968359873066189, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.07968359873066189, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.13637002373509, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08064174612449504, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05668642500442811, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0009581473938331531, "price_path": [-0.6581, -0.6801, -0.6954, -0.6886, -0.6892, -0.7029, -0.682, -0.6826, -0.6465, -0.6417, -0.644, -0.6533, -0.656, -0.6579, -0.6319, -0.6201, -0.6005, -0.6386, -0.6188, -0.622, -0.5865, -0.5539, -0.5564, -0.5687, -0.5555, -0.4891, -0.4891, -0.4384, -0.4557, -0.4959, -0.4955, -0.4947, -0.4175, -0.3511, -0.3662, -0.3448, -0.2834, -0.2967, -0.2688, -0.2992, -0.2545, -0.1916, -0.1941, -0.0905, -0.1069, -0.1924, -0.1138, -0.0945, -0.0916, -0.0928, -0.0264, 0.1142, 0.19, 0.1594, 0.2319, 0.1532, 0.2375, 0.3421, 0.3116, 0.1929, 0.1715, 0.1426, 0.0649, 0.0, 0.0778, 0.2136, 0.2539, 0.2043, 0.1657, 0.1233, 0.1721, 0.3072, 0.2855, 0.4742, 0.2919, 0.2036, 0.1609, 0.1071, 0.0747, -0.0614, -0.1053, -0.0853, -0.0575, -0.1158, -0.1613, -0.1846, -0.0644, -0.0841, -0.0652, -0.0652, -0.0776, -0.0644, -0.2066, -0.1518, -0.1038, -0.1374, -0.1059, -0.0963, -0.1526, -0.1522, -0.2257, -0.3155, -0.294, -0.3483, -0.3093, -0.2298, -0.1889, -0.1883, -0.19, -0.19, -0.2225, -0.2396, -0.261, -0.2713, -0.2713, -0.1762, -0.0693, -0.1142, -0.1583, -0.1187, -0.1119, -0.0289, 0.0224, 0.0203, 0.0012, 0.1156, 0.1156, 0.0469, 0.0318, 0.0083, 0.0936, 0.0102, 0.1574, 0.2144, 0.1545, 0.0369, 0.0241, 0.0494, -0.1329, -0.2323, -0.1929, -0.1096, -0.1717, -0.1767, -0.2277, -0.1854, -0.1854, -0.2095, -0.1881, -0.1648, -0.2286, -0.1827, -0.1231, -0.1505, -0.1464, -0.2099, -0.2014, -0.2504, -0.1542, -0.2258, -0.2919, -0.2506, -0.2645, -0.19, -0.2018, -0.1978, -0.1329, -0.1711, -0.1856, -0.1962, -0.2034, -0.1866, -0.2066, -0.2007, -0.2774, -0.323, -0.3899, -0.3386, -0.3423, -0.3292, -0.3292, -0.3222, -0.3104, -0.2894, -0.285, -0.2414, -0.169, -0.0861, -0.0581, -0.0797]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1980794559732068397", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-10-22T00:33:19+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$META x $CRWV deals", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NBIS (fair value higher on new data centers + rate cuts), WULF and IREN as beneficiaries of hyperscaler AI demand, and CRWV on META deal.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I respectfully disagree, \"fair value\" should be higher. There's been new $NBIS data centers for ARR boost, 3x rate cuts which is a huge catalyst. \n\nJust now, Anthropic might sign a $20B+ dollar deal with $GOOGL, which is bullish for Clickhouse, $WULF, $IREN, and Neoclouds. $META x $CRWV deals.\n\nGoogle/Mag7 is compute limited, and this is only a bigger catalyst for Nebius (which is still down 5.6% despite this news), which likely has more hyperscaler contracts on the way.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I agree - I do think this is closer to \"fair\" value being we haven't had any significant developments announced since the $MSFT deal.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MktMavPro", "ret_m1d": 0.029046316257334004, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.029046316257334004, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.023820239442939206, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.023820239442939206, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005226076814394798, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005226076814394798, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0148934220091681, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0148934220091681, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008963530818668408, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008963530818668408, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005929891190499692, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005929891190499692, "ret_p1w": 0.15140289707317023, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.15140289707317023, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1220677079813095, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1220677079813095, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.029335189091860725, "bench_c_p1w": 0.029335189091860725, "ret_p1m": -0.4305109867551249, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.4305109867551249, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.4076448785011756, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.4076448785011756, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.022866108253949302, "bench_c_p1m": -0.022866108253949302, "ret_p3m": -0.16703690962121087, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.16703690962121087, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20582657685038364, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20582657685038364, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.038789667229172764, "bench_c_p3m": 0.038789667229172764, "ret_p6m": -0.01620999951033264, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.01620999951033264, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.07289642451476075, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.07289642451476075, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05668642500442811, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05668642500442811, "price_path": [-0.0486, -0.0926, -0.1052, -0.1534, -0.0609, -0.1431, -0.1277, -0.0797, -0.0929, -0.0037, 0.066, 0.1502, 0.224, -0.031, -0.1812, -0.1774, -0.2035, -0.2357, -0.2469, -0.2529, -0.2266, -0.2399, -0.248, -0.2024, -0.1542, -0.1521, -0.1521, -0.232, -0.2604, -0.2802, -0.2669, -0.2302, -0.1753, -0.0361, -0.0727, -0.0787, -0.0087, -0.0229, -0.0055, -0.0012, 0.0274, 0.0963, 0.077, 0.0977, 0.0422, -0.0098, 0.0081, 0.1261, 0.1277, 0.1355, 0.1091, 0.1014, 0.0601, 0.1518, 0.1773, 0.1391, 0.1653, 0.1031, 0.1457, 0.1663, 0.1262, 0.0455, 0.029, 0.0, 0.0149, 0.0907, 0.1196, 0.1092, 0.1514, 0.0784, 0.1002, 0.0394, -0.0476, -0.0585, -0.1201, -0.1442, -0.131, -0.2727, -0.297, -0.3554, -0.3634, -0.3802, -0.3837, -0.3835, -0.4305, -0.4104, -0.3944, -0.4134, -0.3887, -0.3887, -0.3983, -0.3659, -0.3744, -0.347, -0.2944, -0.2734, -0.2904, -0.254, -0.2746, -0.281, -0.3533, -0.4047, -0.4281, -0.4689, -0.4431, -0.317, -0.302, -0.3396, -0.351, -0.351, -0.3712, -0.3835, -0.3919, -0.4108, -0.4108, -0.3473, -0.3676, -0.3587, -0.3649, -0.3657, -0.3406, -0.26, -0.2802, -0.2611, -0.2182, -0.167, -0.167, -0.2165, -0.2261, -0.2447, -0.2349, -0.1911, -0.1043, -0.1276, -0.181, -0.2332, -0.2682, -0.2589, -0.3215, -0.3857, -0.2599, -0.2036, -0.2174, -0.2171, -0.2125, -0.2097, -0.2097, -0.2512, -0.2146, -0.2007, -0.2656, -0.2525, -0.1829, -0.1935, -0.1967, -0.3453, -0.3578, -0.3929, -0.3458, -0.3843, -0.3994, -0.3877, -0.3835, -0.3256, -0.3429, -0.3326, -0.2935, -0.3243, -0.3185, -0.3363, -0.3296, -0.3256, -0.3169, -0.2794, -0.338, -0.3844, -0.431, -0.3625, -0.3546, -0.3233, -0.3233, -0.334, -0.2986, -0.2685, -0.243, -0.1607, -0.0927, -0.0356, -0.0234, -0.0162]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1993096893732438100", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-24T23:18:24+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "In the event Avride becomes a $25B business or Clickhouse becomes a $80B business (which are both extremely plausible scenarios given their growth trajectories), those individual stacks would be worth more than the current market cap", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NBIS: subsidiary upside (Avride $25B, Clickhouse $80B) alone could exceed current market cap; healthy cash stack supports DC buildout.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NBIS should have enough to fund buildout through $4.8B cash stack plus $2.5B ATM + any fcf they get from revenue contracts gets put back into buildout.\n\nI think Nebius management were referring to if there was extreme credit tightening, they would sell off portfolio companies, which would make sense in a last ditch scenario.\n\nBut they're in a healthy spot. If I were them I would let them all keep growing, and look for more M&As like what FTX did in the crypto sector, Meta early stage with social media networks alongside their core operational business for more defensibly.\n\nIn the event Avride becomes a $25B business or Clickhouse becomes a $80B business (which are both extremely plausible scenarios given their growth trajectories), those individual stacks would be worth more than the current market cap.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Great write up! \n\nMy only question if what $NBIS does with its subsidiaries, I believe they mentioned that they would sell off certain subs if it meant being able to fund their DC expansion\n\nClickhouse feels like a big mistake to sell and Avride is interesting\n\nAny thoughts?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "accounting_ds", "ret_m1d": -0.09401522574747101, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09401522574747101, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07951021084950338, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08419309478962045, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014505014897967627, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009822130957850561, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.032861852255905655, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.032861852255905655, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04226784369796155, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.044276829152403385, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009405991442055894, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01141497689649773, "ret_p1w": 0.08977148926027834, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08977148926027834, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07251488706167031, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07348978131197503, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01725660219860803, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016281707948303303, "ret_p1m": -0.020348234118967246, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.020348234118967246, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05214418065646209, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06246872564745665, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031795946537494846, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0421204915284894, "ret_p3m": 0.17094666837463257, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.17094666837463257, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.14437008191616507, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.14880038202328993, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0265765864584675, "bench_c_p3m": 0.022146286351342637, "ret_p6m": 1.1515777197442003, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.1515777197442003, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.0481310897708718, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.119846568058765, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10344662997332854, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03173115168543528, "price_path": [-0.2372, -0.2161, -0.2566, -0.2566, -0.2849, -0.2856, -0.2937, -0.2876, -0.3029, 0.0416, 0.0162, -0.0295, -0.0162, -0.0102, -0.0269, 0.0237, 0.0242, 0.0806, 0.16, 0.173, 0.2321, 0.1745, 0.1719, 0.1993, 0.2217, 0.258, 0.3696, 0.3926, 0.3595, 0.2807, 0.3275, 0.4433, 0.41, 0.474, 0.3945, 0.3692, 0.3388, 0.2344, 0.1861, 0.1347, 0.0731, 0.1552, 0.276, 0.3649, 0.3257, 0.3613, 0.3513, 0.4235, 0.3109, 0.2028, 0.2731, 0.1909, 0.2109, 0.1964, 0.1123, 0.0268, -0.0356, -0.091, -0.0644, -0.0148, 0.0345, -0.079, -0.094, 0.0, -0.0329, 0.0304, 0.0304, 0.0323, 0.0898, 0.0495, 0.0764, 0.1186, 0.0668, 0.0917, 0.0491, 0.0184, 0.0259, -0.0458, -0.1171, -0.1192, -0.179, -0.1503, -0.0266, 0.0145, -0.0203, -0.0084, -0.0084, -0.0469, -0.0638, -0.0732, -0.0892, -0.0892, -0.0212, 0.0101, 0.0908, 0.0469, 0.0588, 0.0656, 0.1679, 0.1472, 0.1097, 0.1304, 0.1831, 0.1831, 0.0804, 0.0758, 0.0539, 0.0283, -0.0048, 0.065, 0.0928, 0.0328, -0.073, -0.0407, -0.0212, -0.1035, -0.1962, -0.0631, 0.0107, -0.0012, -0.0358, -0.0236, 0.0665, 0.0665, 0.0612, 0.1077, 0.1709, 0.0655, 0.0948, 0.1162, 0.1547, 0.1412, -0.0077, -0.0097, -0.0555, 0.064, 0.0408, -0.028, 0.0331, 0.0493, 0.2187, 0.1756, 0.2291, 0.4129, 0.2658, 0.2901, 0.3223, 0.2799, 0.2421, 0.2504, 0.2523, 0.1531, 0.0971, 0.0039, 0.1291, 0.1094, 0.1841, 0.1841, 0.2246, 0.2775, 0.3602, 0.4835, 0.5775, 0.6818, 0.7621, 0.8147, 0.7991, 0.7099, 0.7319, 0.7035, 0.699, 0.7092, 0.6013, 0.5774, 0.4745, 0.5363, 0.5041, 0.6811, 0.9197, 0.9143, 1.1229, 1.0106, 0.9266, 1.025, 0.949, 1.2554, 1.4064, 1.3933, 1.1748, 1.1516]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1971988945673375791", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-27T17:22:57+00:00", "symbol": "PYPL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Mar 2026 $60 calls would probably print a decent amount if someone did it", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Mar 2026 $60 calls on PYPL look decent for a trade; not an investment but bullish for options play.", "resolved_tickers": ["PYPL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DeepValueBagger @PaperBozz @FrostyFinances Oh yeah I had the similar thoughts about PayPal. I wouldn't touch $PYPL shares as an investment but it does look decent for trading.\n\nLike Mar 2026 $60 calls would probably print a decent amount if someone did it.\n\n---\n\n@DeepValueBagger @PaperBozz @FrostyFinances IV is 38% which is on the higher end for something like PayPal though so not sure about premium being cheap. When I did $GOOGL calls they were 28% for example or $TSM was 32%.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.034156098605904295, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.034156098605904295, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0313536081897815, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0313536081897815, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0376005266977576, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0376005266977576, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04136739345686957, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04136739345686957, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "ret_p1w": 0.023105660867098532, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.023105660867098532, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.011157179484685864, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.011157179484685864, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "ret_p1m": 0.04793337066420733, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04793337066420733, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.012705563921638019, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.012705563921638019, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "ret_p3m": -0.13635476013225567, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.13635476013225567, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1796587447444089, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1796587447444089, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "ret_p6m": -0.36213597031524036, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.36213597031524036, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.35191896390329847, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.35191896390329847, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "price_path": [0.0951, 0.0992, 0.0992, 0.0933, 0.0768, 0.0739, 0.0864, 0.0241, 0.0604, 0.0471, 0.0472, 0.06, 0.0644, 0.0738, 0.0907, 0.1002, 0.1168, 0.1191, 0.1226, 0.0254, 0.0004, -0.0132, -0.0369, -0.024, -0.0265, -0.0037, -0.021, -0.0291, -0.0373, -0.0245, 0.0136, -0.0043, -0.0065, -0.0022, -0.009, -0.023, -0.0306, 0.0032, -0.0029, 0.0072, -0.0004, 0.0055, 0.0073, 0.0073, -0.0062, -0.0006, -0.0175, -0.0204, -0.0184, -0.0287, -0.058, -0.0346, -0.04, -0.0369, -0.0406, -0.0152, -0.0166, -0.021, -0.0287, -0.034, -0.0261, -0.0422, -0.0342, 0.0, -0.0376, -0.0433, -0.0108, -0.0062, 0.0231, 0.0708, 0.0926, 0.0871, 0.0023, -0.0118, -0.0076, -0.0244, -0.0521, -0.0326, -0.0069, 0.0053, -0.0231, -0.0003, 0.0013, 0.0082, 0.0479, 0.0, -0.0251, -0.0059, -0.0192, -0.0517, -0.0232, -0.0491, -0.0497, -0.0492, -0.0327, -0.0356, -0.0624, -0.0986, -0.1118, -0.1289, -0.1353, -0.1642, -0.1287, -0.1289, -0.1194, -0.1106, -0.1106, -0.0982, -0.0998, -0.0952, -0.1191, -0.112, -0.1041, -0.1208, -0.1257, -0.1202, -0.1126, -0.1131, -0.1263, -0.1178, -0.1343, -0.145, -0.1397, -0.1389, -0.1454, -0.1364, -0.1364, -0.1374, -0.1443, -0.1499, -0.1602, -0.1602, -0.1637, -0.1471, -0.1397, -0.1584, -0.1618, -0.1706, -0.1759, -0.1864, -0.1706, -0.1838, -0.1817, -0.1817, -0.2077, -0.1961, -0.1779, -0.1855, -0.1858, -0.2015, -0.2221, -0.236, -0.2421, -0.2473, -0.4002, -0.4098, -0.4261, -0.4186, -0.4081, -0.4032, -0.418, -0.4379, -0.4204, -0.4204, -0.413, -0.4038, -0.3997, -0.4009, -0.3664, -0.3236, -0.3193, -0.3451, -0.3353, -0.3436, -0.3328, -0.3255, -0.3126, -0.3223, -0.334, -0.3504, -0.3425, -0.36, -0.3522, -0.3447, -0.3344, -0.3567, -0.3624, -0.365, -0.3437, -0.3621]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1973693781888417816", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-02T10:17:21+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "billions to trillions will pour into Neoclouds from Mag7 when they're unable to handle new AI compute", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish on Neocloud sector; singles out CRWV, NBIS, CIFR, IREN as beneficiaries of Mag7 hyperscaler capex overflow into AI compute infrastructure.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "As expected, with META and their recent 14B deal with CRWV + MSFT with their 17B deal with $NBIS, billions to trillions will pour into Neoclouds from Mag7 when they're unable to handle new AI compute.\n\nExpects companies like AWS, ORCL and others to make more deals soon with companies like $CIFR or $IREN soon. \n\nThis is a once in a generation opportunity to buy tiny new Neocloud companies that serve as the infrastructure of multi-trillion Hyperscaler cash cows.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The NeoCloud Thesis: Hyperscaler Capex Funnel\n\nWhy I'm putting $1.5M+ into Neoclouds, and why this might be a 200-300%+ return.\n\n🔹 Buckets\n\nMag7 contracts: $CRWV, $NBIS ✅, $WULF, $CIFR ✅\n\nWith compute: $IREN ✅, $BITF\n\nSpeculative: $WYFI, $GRRR ✅, $SLNH\n\nMiners pivoting to", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.006884035856827397, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006884035856827397, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.005733557444738913, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005733557444738913, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011504784120884848, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0011504784120884848, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02326091821642895, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02326091821642895, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.023246150854207337, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.023246150854207337, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4767362221612679e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -1.4767362221612679e-05, "ret_p1w": 0.03681160747141088, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03681160747141088, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03391261833863024, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03391261833863024, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028989891327806383, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0028989891327806383, "ret_p1m": -0.03108690787052759, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03108690787052759, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.050273472029075394, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.050273472029075394, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019186564158547803, "bench_c_p1m": 0.019186564158547803, "ret_p3m": -0.46449274256609485, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.46449274256609485, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4941095588677219, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4941095588677219, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029616816301627047, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029616816301627047, "ret_p6m": -0.4578985684159873, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4578985684159873, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4107998552035733, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4107998552035733, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04709871321241399, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04709871321241399, "price_path": [0.1572, 0.0975, 0.1091, 0.0021, -0.0881, -0.0408, 0.0188, 0.0365, -0.042, -0.1086, -0.0949, -0.0596, -0.0866, -0.1304, -0.1622, -0.2009, -0.212, -0.2544, -0.173, -0.2454, -0.2318, -0.1896, -0.2012, -0.1226, -0.0612, 0.0129, 0.0779, -0.1467, -0.2789, -0.2756, -0.2986, -0.3269, -0.3368, -0.3421, -0.3189, -0.3306, -0.3378, -0.2976, -0.2551, -0.2533, -0.2533, -0.3236, -0.3487, -0.3661, -0.3544, -0.3221, -0.2738, -0.1512, -0.1834, -0.1887, -0.127, -0.1395, -0.1242, -0.1204, -0.0952, -0.0346, -0.0515, -0.0333, -0.0822, -0.128, -0.1122, -0.0083, -0.0069, 0.0, -0.0233, -0.0301, -0.0664, 0.0143, 0.0368, 0.0031, 0.0262, -0.0286, 0.009, 0.0271, -0.0082, -0.0793, -0.0938, -0.1193, -0.1062, -0.0395, -0.0141, -0.0232, 0.014, -0.0503, -0.0311, -0.0846, -0.1612, -0.1709, -0.2251, -0.2463, -0.2347, -0.3595, -0.3809, -0.4323, -0.4394, -0.4541, -0.4572, -0.4571, -0.4985, -0.4808, -0.4667, -0.4834, -0.4617, -0.4617, -0.4701, -0.4416, -0.4491, -0.4249, -0.3786, -0.3601, -0.3751, -0.343, -0.3612, -0.3668, -0.4305, -0.4757, -0.4964, -0.5322, -0.5096, -0.3986, -0.3853, -0.4184, -0.4285, -0.4285, -0.4462, -0.4571, -0.4645, -0.4811, -0.4811, -0.4252, -0.443, -0.4352, -0.4407, -0.4414, -0.4193, -0.3483, -0.3661, -0.3493, -0.3115, -0.2664, -0.2664, -0.31, -0.3185, -0.3349, -0.3262, -0.2876, -0.2112, -0.2317, -0.2788, -0.3247, -0.3555, -0.3474, -0.4025, -0.4591, -0.3482, -0.2986, -0.3108, -0.3105, -0.3065, -0.3041, -0.3041, -0.3406, -0.3083, -0.2961, -0.3533, -0.3417, -0.2804, -0.2898, -0.2925, -0.4235, -0.4344, -0.4654, -0.4239, -0.4578, -0.4711, -0.4608, -0.4571, -0.4061, -0.4213, -0.4122, -0.3778, -0.4049, -0.3999, -0.4155, -0.4096, -0.4061, -0.3984, -0.3654, -0.417, -0.4579]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1973693781888417816", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-02T10:17:21+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "once in a generation opportunity to buy tiny new Neocloud companies that serve as the infrastructure of multi-trillion Hyperscaler cash cows", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish on Neocloud sector; singles out CRWV, NBIS, CIFR, IREN as beneficiaries of Mag7 hyperscaler capex overflow into AI compute infrastructure.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "As expected, with META and their recent 14B deal with CRWV + MSFT with their 17B deal with $NBIS, billions to trillions will pour into Neoclouds from Mag7 when they're unable to handle new AI compute.\n\nExpects companies like AWS, ORCL and others to make more deals soon with companies like $CIFR or $IREN soon. \n\nThis is a once in a generation opportunity to buy tiny new Neocloud companies that serve as the infrastructure of multi-trillion Hyperscaler cash cows.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The NeoCloud Thesis: Hyperscaler Capex Funnel\n\nWhy I'm putting $1.5M+ into Neoclouds, and why this might be a 200-300%+ return.\n\n🔹 Buckets\n\nMag7 contracts: $CRWV, $NBIS ✅, $WULF, $CIFR ✅\n\nWith compute: $IREN ✅, $BITF\n\nSpeculative: $WYFI, $GRRR ✅, $SLNH\n\nMiners pivoting to", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0815126869972923, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0815126869972923, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08036220858520382, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08374542506568405, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011504784120884848, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0022327380683917486, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01676333172566702, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01676333172566702, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01677809908788863, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01727850796170094, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4767362221612679e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0005151762360339207, "ret_p1w": 0.05378562401954223, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05378562401954223, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.050886634886761595, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06692429946603051, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028989891327806383, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01313867544648828, "ret_p1m": 0.03932632453820406, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03932632453820406, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.020139760379656257, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05340956667881569, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019186564158547803, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01408324214061163, "ret_p3m": -0.3233495168787698, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3233495168787698, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.35296633318039683, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.34243886359072817, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029616816301627047, "bench_c_p3m": 0.019089346711958388, "ret_p6m": -0.1990148765007319, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1990148765007319, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.15191616328831792, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.12412626613538336, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04709871321241399, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07488861036534855, "price_path": [-0.6199, -0.6258, -0.6341, -0.6311, -0.648, -0.5873, -0.5747, -0.5765, -0.5734, -0.5806, -0.5839, -0.5947, -0.5878, -0.5856, -0.5919, -0.5809, -0.5996, -0.5925, -0.5676, -0.5869, -0.5696, -0.5617, -0.5623, -0.4811, -0.4536, -0.442, -0.4015, -0.4389, -0.4561, -0.431, -0.4237, -0.4662, -0.464, -0.4742, -0.452, -0.4437, -0.4401, -0.4431, -0.4277, -0.4572, -0.4572, -0.4779, -0.4784, -0.4843, -0.4799, -0.4911, -0.2395, -0.258, -0.2914, -0.2817, -0.2773, -0.2895, -0.2526, -0.2522, -0.211, -0.1531, -0.1436, -0.1004, -0.1424, -0.1444, -0.1243, -0.108, -0.0815, 0.0, 0.0168, -0.0074, -0.0649, -0.0307, 0.0538, 0.0295, 0.0762, 0.0181, -0.0003, -0.0225, -0.0988, -0.134, -0.1715, -0.2165, -0.1566, -0.0684, -0.0035, -0.0321, -0.0061, -0.0134, 0.0393, -0.0429, -0.1218, -0.0705, -0.1305, -0.1159, -0.1265, -0.1879, -0.2503, -0.2959, -0.3363, -0.3169, -0.2807, -0.2447, -0.3276, -0.3385, -0.2699, -0.2939, -0.2477, -0.2477, -0.2463, -0.2043, -0.2337, -0.2141, -0.1833, -0.2211, -0.2029, -0.2341, -0.2565, -0.251, -0.3033, -0.3554, -0.3569, -0.4006, -0.3796, -0.2893, -0.2593, -0.2847, -0.276, -0.276, -0.3041, -0.3164, -0.3233, -0.335, -0.335, -0.2854, -0.2625, -0.2036, -0.2356, -0.227, -0.222, -0.1473, -0.1624, -0.1898, -0.1747, -0.1362, -0.1362, -0.2112, -0.2145, -0.2306, -0.2492, -0.2734, -0.2225, -0.2021, -0.246, -0.3232, -0.2996, -0.2854, -0.3454, -0.4131, -0.316, -0.2621, -0.2708, -0.296, -0.2871, -0.2213, -0.2213, -0.2252, -0.1912, -0.1451, -0.2221, -0.2007, -0.185, -0.1569, -0.1668, -0.2755, -0.277, -0.3104, -0.2232, -0.2401, -0.2903, -0.2457, -0.2339, -0.1102, -0.1417, -0.1026, 0.0316, -0.0758, -0.0581, -0.0346, -0.0655, -0.0931, -0.0871, -0.0856, -0.1581, -0.199]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1973693781888417816", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-02T10:17:21+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Expects companies like AWS, ORCL and others to make more deals soon with companies like $CIFR or $IREN soon", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish on Neocloud sector; singles out CRWV, NBIS, CIFR, IREN as beneficiaries of Mag7 hyperscaler capex overflow into AI compute infrastructure.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "As expected, with META and their recent 14B deal with CRWV + MSFT with their 17B deal with $NBIS, billions to trillions will pour into Neoclouds from Mag7 when they're unable to handle new AI compute.\n\nExpects companies like AWS, ORCL and others to make more deals soon with companies like $CIFR or $IREN soon. \n\nThis is a once in a generation opportunity to buy tiny new Neocloud companies that serve as the infrastructure of multi-trillion Hyperscaler cash cows.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The NeoCloud Thesis: Hyperscaler Capex Funnel\n\nWhy I'm putting $1.5M+ into Neoclouds, and why this might be a 200-300%+ return.\n\n🔹 Buckets\n\nMag7 contracts: $CRWV, $NBIS ✅, $WULF, $CIFR ✅\n\nWith compute: $IREN ✅, $BITF\n\nSpeculative: $WYFI, $GRRR ✅, $SLNH\n\nMiners pivoting to", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08761766845627339, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08761766845627339, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0864671900441849, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08223603430409199, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011504784120884848, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005381634152181403, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0644460074298201, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0644460074298201, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06446077479204171, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06947816259763362, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4767362221612679e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0050321551678135235, "ret_p1w": 0.3026791618024789, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.3026791618024789, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.29978017266969825, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2885611946793829, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028989891327806383, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014117967123095987, "ret_p1m": 0.3504706047683024, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3504706047683024, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3312840406097546, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2997298494124674, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019186564158547803, "bench_c_p1m": 0.050740755355835, "ret_p3m": 0.05648078995444661, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05648078995444661, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.02686397365281956, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03865468825884255, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029616816301627047, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017826101695604057, "ret_p6m": -0.00470677277933218, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.00470677277933218, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.04239194043308181, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08476177213368996, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04709871321241399, "bench_c_p6m": -0.08946854491302214, "price_path": [-0.5807, -0.5634, -0.5467, -0.5482, -0.5749, -0.5634, -0.5677, -0.546, -0.5351, -0.5395, -0.5474, -0.4975, -0.5163, -0.5185, -0.5315, -0.5539, -0.5887, -0.6054, -0.6046, -0.643, -0.6242, -0.6372, -0.6227, -0.6474, -0.656, -0.6553, -0.6582, -0.6452, -0.6148, -0.6227, -0.5619, -0.5829, -0.5692, -0.5728, -0.538, -0.5192, -0.4844, -0.4938, -0.4917, -0.4468, -0.4468, -0.3975, -0.4127, -0.4642, -0.4555, -0.441, -0.3324, -0.2578, -0.2781, -0.2143, -0.2143, -0.1665, -0.1035, -0.1419, -0.1108, 0.0109, 0.0246, 0.0239, -0.1557, -0.1694, -0.084, -0.0883, -0.0876, 0.0, 0.0644, 0.1108, 0.1405, 0.2744, 0.3027, 0.2288, 0.4728, 0.5127, 0.5228, 0.3555, 0.3584, 0.4417, 0.3088, 0.1665, 0.2495, 0.496, 0.4873, 0.4453, 0.4185, 0.3809, 0.3505, 0.6481, 0.63, 0.7893, 0.572, 0.4982, 0.4229, 0.3519, 0.2585, 0.0811, 0.0398, 0.0391, 0.0558, 0.0587, 0.0543, 0.0246, 0.21, 0.2686, 0.3867, 0.3867, 0.4736, 0.4258, 0.2773, 0.349, 0.4359, 0.3961, 0.4106, 0.4164, 0.3382, 0.3671, 0.2346, 0.0673, 0.0854, 0.042, 0.097, 0.1738, 0.1832, 0.1521, 0.1745, 0.1745, 0.0999, 0.092, 0.0565, 0.0688, 0.0688, 0.1731, 0.315, 0.2701, 0.1644, 0.1984, 0.2042, 0.2802, 0.3215, 0.3128, 0.2686, 0.3613, 0.3613, 0.2976, 0.2831, 0.2592, 0.2723, 0.1941, 0.3577, 0.3736, 0.2817, 0.1557, 0.1448, 0.1774, 0.0319, -0.0804, 0.0666, 0.2136, 0.2382, 0.1789, 0.1658, 0.189, 0.189, 0.1325, 0.1166, 0.1441, 0.0608, 0.1021, 0.2397, 0.2028, 0.1933, 0.1296, 0.1412, 0.0652, 0.1615, 0.097, -0.0138, 0.0362, 0.0109, 0.0217, -0.0072, 0.0196, 0.0963, 0.0927, 0.0623, 0.0601, 0.0145, 0.0782, 0.0775, 0.1499, 0.0391, -0.0047]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1973693781888417816", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-10-02T10:17:21+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Expects companies like AWS, ORCL and others to make more deals soon with companies like $CIFR or $IREN soon", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish on Neocloud sector; singles out CRWV, NBIS, CIFR, IREN as beneficiaries of Mag7 hyperscaler capex overflow into AI compute infrastructure.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "As expected, with META and their recent 14B deal with CRWV + MSFT with their 17B deal with $NBIS, billions to trillions will pour into Neoclouds from Mag7 when they're unable to handle new AI compute.\n\nExpects companies like AWS, ORCL and others to make more deals soon with companies like $CIFR or $IREN soon. \n\nThis is a once in a generation opportunity to buy tiny new Neocloud companies that serve as the infrastructure of multi-trillion Hyperscaler cash cows.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The NeoCloud Thesis: Hyperscaler Capex Funnel\n\nWhy I'm putting $1.5M+ into Neoclouds, and why this might be a 200-300%+ return.\n\n🔹 Buckets\n\nMag7 contracts: $CRWV, $NBIS ✅, $WULF, $CIFR ✅\n\nWith compute: $IREN ✅, $BITF\n\nSpeculative: $WYFI, $GRRR ✅, $SLNH\n\nMiners pivoting to", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.001276081937619633, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.001276081937619633, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.002426560349708118, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0005263740316090448, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011504784120884848, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0007497079060105882, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07316032737598555, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07316032737598555, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07317509473820716, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06622493423911258, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4767362221612679e-05, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006935393136872969, "ret_p1w": 0.35793274888364124, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.35793274888364124, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.3550337597508606, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.3584950839046287, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028989891327806383, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0005623350209874589, "ret_p1m": 0.29200339022900423, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.29200339022900423, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.27281682607045643, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.31037271242670494, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019186564158547803, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01836932219770071, "ret_p3m": -0.185453022879827, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.185453022879827, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.21506983918145406, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.22336970757698693, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029616816301627047, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03791668469715992, "ret_p6m": -0.25372182452214265, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.25372182452214265, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.20662311130972866, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.15763408093017994, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04709871321241399, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0960877435919627, "price_path": [-0.6395, -0.6408, -0.6393, -0.6378, -0.6548, -0.6325, -0.641, -0.6319, -0.6161, -0.6185, -0.614, -0.6046, -0.5961, -0.6142, -0.6231, -0.6474, -0.6642, -0.6567, -0.6574, -0.6725, -0.6495, -0.6501, -0.6104, -0.6051, -0.6076, -0.6178, -0.6208, -0.6229, -0.5942, -0.5812, -0.5597, -0.6017, -0.5798, -0.5834, -0.5442, -0.5083, -0.5111, -0.5246, -0.51, -0.4368, -0.4368, -0.3809, -0.4, -0.4443, -0.4439, -0.443, -0.3579, -0.2848, -0.3014, -0.2778, -0.2101, -0.2248, -0.194, -0.2276, -0.1782, -0.1089, -0.1117, 0.0026, -0.0155, -0.1097, -0.0232, -0.0019, 0.0013, 0.0, 0.0732, 0.2282, 0.3118, 0.278, 0.3579, 0.2712, 0.3641, 0.4794, 0.4458, 0.315, 0.2914, 0.2595, 0.1739, 0.1023, 0.188, 0.3377, 0.3822, 0.3275, 0.285, 0.2382, 0.292, 0.4409, 0.4171, 0.6251, 0.4241, 0.3267, 0.2797, 0.2203, 0.1846, 0.0347, -0.0138, 0.0083, 0.0389, -0.0253, -0.0755, -0.1012, 0.0313, 0.0096, 0.0304, 0.0304, 0.0168, 0.0313, -0.1255, -0.0651, -0.0121, -0.0491, -0.0145, -0.0038, -0.0659, -0.0655, -0.1465, -0.2454, -0.2218, -0.2816, -0.2386, -0.151, -0.1059, -0.1053, -0.1072, -0.1072, -0.1429, -0.1618, -0.1855, -0.1967, -0.1967, -0.0919, 0.0259, -0.0236, -0.0722, -0.0285, -0.0211, 0.0704, 0.127, 0.1246, 0.1036, 0.2297, 0.2297, 0.154, 0.1374, 0.1114, 0.2054, 0.1136, 0.2758, 0.3386, 0.2726, 0.1429, 0.1289, 0.1567, -0.0442, -0.1538, -0.1104, -0.0185, -0.087, -0.0925, -0.1487, -0.1021, -0.1021, -0.1287, -0.1051, -0.0793, -0.1497, -0.0991, -0.0334, -0.0636, -0.0591, -0.1291, -0.1197, -0.1738, -0.0676, -0.1466, -0.2195, -0.174, -0.1893, -0.1072, -0.1202, -0.1157, -0.0442, -0.0863, -0.1023, -0.114, -0.1219, -0.1034, -0.1255, -0.1189, -0.2035, -0.2537]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1980124728724709680", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-20T04:11:38+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS is doing 4-6B forward revenue in 2026 off ~70% gross margins. The market cap is 28B and forward growth fundamentals are there to support valuation.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long NBIS on 4-6B 2026 revenue at 70% margins justifying 28B cap; short RGTI and QBTS as pre-revenue bubble stocks.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The difference is that $NBIS is doing 4-6B forward revenue in 2026 off ~70% gross margins.\n\nThe market cap is 28B and forward growth fundamentals are there to support valuation.\n\nQuantum are pre-revenue with a lot of their income coming from interest instead of revenue. Companies like $RGTI and $QBTS that have no meaningful forward revenue, while being valued at tens of billions is a bubble.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04073396735235102, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04073396735235102, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05102738630141501, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.051917693225524975, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010293418949063993, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011183725873173955, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.043302763492689245, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.043302763492689245, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04328785901121346, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.046829967539421924, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4904481475785936e-05, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0035272040467326793, "ret_p1w": 0.15073394775390625, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.15073394775390625, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1299682560780684, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14281927338018385, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02076569167583786, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007914674373722397, "ret_p1m": -0.16935778976580418, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16935778976580418, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15264392252651282, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13124699608279966, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016713867239291358, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03811079368300452, "ret_p3m": -0.046926585906142515, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.046926585906142515, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08116684322149981, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04990505064625661, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03424025731535729, "bench_c_p3m": 0.002978464740114095, "ret_p6m": 0.4856880957927179, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4856880957927179, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4452974081858949, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.47647862917762884, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04039068760682296, "bench_c_p6m": 0.009209466615089035, "price_path": [-0.524, -0.5215, -0.5287, -0.5161, -0.5376, -0.5294, -0.5006, -0.5229, -0.503, -0.4939, -0.4946, -0.4008, -0.369, -0.3556, -0.3089, -0.352, -0.3719, -0.3429, -0.3345, -0.3836, -0.381, -0.3928, -0.3672, -0.3576, -0.3534, -0.3569, -0.3391, -0.3732, -0.3732, -0.3971, -0.3977, -0.4045, -0.3994, -0.4123, -0.1218, -0.1432, -0.1817, -0.1706, -0.1655, -0.1795, -0.1369, -0.1365, -0.0889, -0.022, -0.011, 0.0388, -0.0097, -0.0119, 0.0112, 0.03, 0.0606, 0.1548, 0.1741, 0.1462, 0.0798, 0.1193, 0.2169, 0.1888, 0.2428, 0.1757, 0.1544, 0.1288, 0.0407, 0.0, -0.0433, -0.0952, -0.0261, 0.0758, 0.1507, 0.1177, 0.1477, 0.1393, 0.2002, 0.1052, 0.0141, 0.0734, 0.004, 0.0209, 0.0087, -0.0622, -0.1343, -0.1869, -0.2336, -0.2112, -0.1694, -0.1278, -0.2235, -0.2361, -0.1569, -0.1846, -0.1313, -0.1313, -0.1296, -0.0812, -0.1151, -0.0925, -0.0569, -0.1006, -0.0795, -0.1155, -0.1414, -0.135, -0.1955, -0.2556, -0.2573, -0.3078, -0.2836, -0.1793, -0.1447, -0.174, -0.1639, -0.1639, -0.1964, -0.2106, -0.2186, -0.2321, -0.2321, -0.1748, -0.1483, -0.0804, -0.1173, -0.1073, -0.1016, -0.0153, -0.0328, -0.0644, -0.0469, -0.0025, -0.0025, -0.0891, -0.0929, -0.1115, -0.133, -0.1609, -0.1021, -0.0786, -0.1293, -0.2184, -0.1912, -0.1748, -0.2441, -0.3223, -0.2101, -0.1479, -0.1579, -0.1871, -0.1768, -0.1008, -0.1008, -0.1053, -0.0661, -0.0128, -0.1017, -0.077, -0.0589, -0.0264, -0.0378, -0.1634, -0.165, -0.2037, -0.1029, -0.1225, -0.1805, -0.129, -0.1153, 0.0275, -0.0088, 0.0362, 0.1913, 0.0672, 0.0877, 0.1149, 0.0791, 0.0472, 0.0542, 0.0559, -0.0278, -0.075, -0.1536, -0.0481, -0.0647, -0.0017, -0.0017, 0.0325, 0.0771, 0.1468, 0.2507, 0.33, 0.418, 0.4857]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1980124728724709680", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-20T04:11:38+00:00", "symbol": "RGTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Companies like $RGTI and $QBTS that have no meaningful forward revenue, while being valued at tens of billions is a bubble.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long NBIS on 4-6B 2026 revenue at 70% margins justifying 28B cap; short RGTI and QBTS as pre-revenue bubble stocks.", "resolved_tickers": ["RGTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The difference is that $NBIS is doing 4-6B forward revenue in 2026 off ~70% gross margins.\n\nThe market cap is 28B and forward growth fundamentals are there to support valuation.\n\nQuantum are pre-revenue with a lot of their income coming from interest instead of revenue. Companies like $RGTI and $QBTS that have no meaningful forward revenue, while being valued at tens of billions is a bubble.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.07088431303346643, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07088431303346643, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08117773198253042, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08191867613096293, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010293418949063993, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011034363097496502, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07642579700614538, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07642579700614538, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0764108925246696, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07694632289657444, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4904481475785936e-05, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0005205258904290577, "ret_p1w": -0.07088431303346632, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07088431303346632, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09165000470930418, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10839435163329625, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02076569167583786, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03751003859982993, "ret_p1m": -0.40637270216463584, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.40637270216463584, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3896588349253445, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.37458812980022826, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016713867239291358, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03178457236440757, "ret_p3m": -0.42969291203551485, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.42969291203551485, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.46393316935087214, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4406970119998468, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03424025731535729, "bench_c_p3m": 0.011004099964331937, "ret_p6m": -0.610482560509984, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.610482560509984, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.6508732481168069, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.6400020700900708, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04039068760682296, "bench_c_p6m": 0.029519509580086867, "price_path": [-0.6273, -0.6317, -0.6435, -0.6405, -0.6659, -0.6728, -0.6652, -0.674, -0.6361, -0.6197, -0.6308, -0.6384, -0.6435, -0.631, -0.626, -0.6019, -0.5849, -0.6156, -0.616, -0.65, -0.6592, -0.6705, -0.6578, -0.6659, -0.6467, -0.6447, -0.6172, -0.6253, -0.6253, -0.6417, -0.6527, -0.6509, -0.6514, -0.6502, -0.619, -0.6262, -0.6146, -0.5592, -0.5565, -0.5382, -0.4923, -0.4288, -0.3415, -0.345, -0.2736, -0.2695, -0.2588, -0.2801, -0.3154, -0.3122, -0.3108, -0.1826, -0.075, -0.0369, 0.0139, -0.0018, 0.0877, 0.0141, 0.2678, 0.2958, 0.3009, 0.1076, 0.0709, 0.0, -0.0764, -0.1674, -0.0858, -0.1032, -0.0709, -0.1441, -0.09, -0.0182, 0.0222, -0.0967, -0.1877, -0.139, -0.2066, -0.2203, -0.2362, -0.275, -0.3466, -0.4181, -0.4117, -0.4299, -0.4064, -0.4121, -0.4736, -0.4553, -0.3865, -0.3978, -0.4096, -0.4096, -0.4096, -0.4586, -0.4486, -0.3988, -0.3059, -0.351, -0.3475, -0.3484, -0.3969, -0.3794, -0.4034, -0.4567, -0.4468, -0.4812, -0.4731, -0.4514, -0.3794, -0.4202, -0.4341, -0.4341, -0.4833, -0.4858, -0.4826, -0.4886, -0.4886, -0.4551, -0.4225, -0.414, -0.4179, -0.417, -0.4292, -0.4105, -0.435, -0.4061, -0.4297, -0.4085, -0.4085, -0.423, -0.4535, -0.4237, -0.4586, -0.4976, -0.4849, -0.4918, -0.5417, -0.5805, -0.5911, -0.5795, -0.6031, -0.6542, -0.5911, -0.5939, -0.6082, -0.6206, -0.6539, -0.6285, -0.6285, -0.64, -0.6264, -0.6167, -0.6324, -0.6301, -0.6195, -0.5929, -0.5696, -0.5978, -0.5915, -0.6084, -0.5899, -0.6082, -0.6073, -0.5936, -0.6077, -0.6089, -0.629, -0.6266, -0.6273, -0.6255, -0.6382, -0.6442, -0.6564, -0.6333, -0.6398, -0.6504, -0.6673, -0.6924, -0.7021, -0.6758, -0.6883, -0.6724, -0.6724, -0.6721, -0.6804, -0.6645, -0.6696, -0.661, -0.6507, -0.6105]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1980124728724709680", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-20T04:11:38+00:00", "symbol": "QBTS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Companies like $RGTI and $QBTS that have no meaningful forward revenue, while being valued at tens of billions is a bubble.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long NBIS on 4-6B 2026 revenue at 70% margins justifying 28B cap; short RGTI and QBTS as pre-revenue bubble stocks.", "resolved_tickers": ["QBTS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The difference is that $NBIS is doing 4-6B forward revenue in 2026 off ~70% gross margins.\n\nThe market cap is 28B and forward growth fundamentals are there to support valuation.\n\nQuantum are pre-revenue with a lot of their income coming from interest instead of revenue. Companies like $RGTI and $QBTS that have no meaningful forward revenue, while being valued at tens of billions is a bubble.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.11424418985037743, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11424418985037743, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12453760879944142, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12527855294787393, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010293418949063993, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011034363097496502, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06424426747502765, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06424426747502765, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06422936299355186, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06476479336545671, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4904481475785936e-05, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0005205258904290577, "ret_p1w": 0.018604632594767967, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.018604632594767967, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0021610590810698938, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.018905406005061964, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02076569167583786, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03751003859982993, "ret_p1m": -0.3334302532537481, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3334302532537481, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.31671638601445673, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3016456808893405, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016713867239291358, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03178457236440757, "ret_p3m": -0.16511633606328135, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.16511633606328135, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.19935659337863865, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1761204360276133, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03424025731535729, "bench_c_p3m": 0.011004099964331937, "ret_p6m": -0.5066860883541511, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5066860883541511, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.547076775960974, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5362055979342379, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04039068760682296, "bench_c_p6m": 0.029519509580086867, "price_path": [-0.4099, -0.4256, -0.4515, -0.4666, -0.4863, -0.5041, -0.5003, -0.5238, -0.5006, -0.468, -0.489, -0.5009, -0.5087, -0.4951, -0.4619, -0.4578, -0.4715, -0.5055, -0.5186, -0.5547, -0.5622, -0.5695, -0.5483, -0.5634, -0.5509, -0.5573, -0.5372, -0.5459, -0.5459, -0.5392, -0.5552, -0.5555, -0.5532, -0.5517, -0.5305, -0.5337, -0.5198, -0.4837, -0.4674, -0.4483, -0.3448, -0.3017, -0.2186, -0.2538, -0.2, -0.1942, -0.2343, -0.2221, -0.2642, -0.2817, -0.2549, -0.1509, -0.0494, 0.018, 0.0384, -0.0044, 0.0195, -0.0401, 0.1808, 0.2517, 0.3017, 0.1762, 0.1142, 0.0, -0.0642, -0.2067, -0.0971, -0.0509, 0.0186, -0.0698, -0.0041, 0.0497, 0.0773, -0.0381, -0.1355, -0.0983, -0.1747, -0.1424, -0.1462, -0.1573, -0.2326, -0.3201, -0.3137, -0.3363, -0.3334, -0.3186, -0.4038, -0.4067, -0.3282, -0.3433, -0.3485, -0.3485, -0.341, -0.3773, -0.3459, -0.2709, -0.1648, -0.2151, -0.1733, -0.1765, -0.2209, -0.1866, -0.2413, -0.3099, -0.2581, -0.3081, -0.2765, -0.2203, -0.0642, -0.1535, -0.2, -0.2, -0.2648, -0.2398, -0.2369, -0.2398, -0.2398, -0.1823, -0.1093, -0.091, -0.1221, -0.1488, -0.1828, -0.1628, -0.1622, -0.1235, -0.1651, -0.1619, -0.1619, -0.214, -0.243, -0.2026, -0.2549, -0.3096, -0.2823, -0.2741, -0.325, -0.3831, -0.3904, -0.3779, -0.4154, -0.4997, -0.3977, -0.3834, -0.4058, -0.4291, -0.4529, -0.4282, -0.4282, -0.464, -0.4456, -0.4366, -0.475, -0.4753, -0.4576, -0.4288, -0.4145, -0.4541, -0.4494, -0.4698, -0.4503, -0.4526, -0.4596, -0.4465, -0.4547, -0.4503, -0.4817, -0.4898, -0.4924, -0.4922, -0.5206, -0.532, -0.5427, -0.5259, -0.5369, -0.5294, -0.5741, -0.5959, -0.6227, -0.5805, -0.6017, -0.5837, -0.5837, -0.589, -0.6006, -0.5765, -0.5968, -0.5858, -0.5741, -0.5067]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1988233521098543397", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-11T13:13:05+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS should be trading at $160+, markets valuing their core business ($2.2B ARR a quarter at $15B right now lol). The tremendous revenue projection outshadows any ATM dilution.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS; current valuation severely underprices $7-9B ARR next year, stock should trade at $160+.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I mean just as things are $7-$9B ARR next year alone is absolutely tremendous. \n\n$NBIS should be trading at $160+, markets valuing their core business ($2.2B ARR a quarter at $15B right now lol). The tremendous revenue projection outshadows any ATM dilution. \n\nThat aside, probably just trust Nebius management on this one. Nice fix would be acquisitions, but they would probably know better.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @aleabitoreddit  Nebius said it would deploy the capacity needed for the Meta contract over the next three months, adding that ​the demand was so strong that the size of the contract had to be ‌limited to the capacity that Nebius had available. \n\nHow to fix this capacity?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "upupuperer", "ret_m1d": 0.07562116645693662, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07562116645693662, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07790517779341222, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08367715698290779, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0022840113364756, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008055990525971168, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07689298098696984, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07689298098696984, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07744946946558229, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07111371851615012, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005564884786124491, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005779262470819724, "ret_p1w": -0.11426335517212038, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11426335517212038, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08070553613602638, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09333522120495286, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.033557819036094005, "bench_c_p1w": -0.020928133967167528, "ret_p1m": -0.08442579514531079, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08442579514531079, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0911169579698673, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10955721246618133, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006691162824556507, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02513141732087054, "ret_p3m": -0.15769910540088283, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15769910540088283, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17184363692646742, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1746409985754659, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014144531525584592, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016941893174583056, "ret_p6m": 0.9085305616135924, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.9085305616135924, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.8279910769496042, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.8743308936187839, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08053948466398819, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03419966799480845, "price_path": [-0.3303, -0.2994, -0.2904, -0.3427, -0.34, -0.3526, -0.3252, -0.315, -0.3105, -0.3142, -0.2952, -0.3316, -0.3316, -0.3571, -0.3578, -0.365, -0.3595, -0.3733, -0.0636, -0.0864, -0.1275, -0.1155, -0.1102, -0.1251, -0.0796, -0.0792, -0.0285, 0.0428, 0.0546, 0.1077, 0.056, 0.0536, 0.0783, 0.0983, 0.131, 0.2314, 0.252, 0.2223, 0.1514, 0.1935, 0.2976, 0.2677, 0.3252, 0.2537, 0.231, 0.2037, 0.1098, 0.0663, 0.0202, -0.0352, 0.0385, 0.1471, 0.2271, 0.1918, 0.2238, 0.2148, 0.2798, 0.1785, 0.0814, 0.1446, 0.0706, 0.0886, 0.0756, 0.0, -0.0769, -0.1329, -0.1827, -0.1589, -0.1143, -0.0699, -0.172, -0.1855, -0.101, -0.1305, -0.0737, -0.0737, -0.0719, -0.0203, -0.0564, -0.0323, 0.0057, -0.0409, -0.0185, -0.0568, -0.0844, -0.0777, -0.1421, -0.2062, -0.2081, -0.2619, -0.2361, -0.1248, -0.0879, -0.1193, -0.1085, -0.1085, -0.1431, -0.1583, -0.1668, -0.1811, -0.1811, -0.12, -0.0919, -0.0194, -0.0588, -0.0481, -0.042, 0.05, 0.0314, -0.0023, 0.0163, 0.0637, 0.0637, -0.0287, -0.0328, -0.0525, -0.0755, -0.1053, -0.0426, -0.0175, -0.0715, -0.1666, -0.1375, -0.12, -0.194, -0.2773, -0.1577, -0.0914, -0.102, -0.1331, -0.1222, -0.0412, -0.0412, -0.046, -0.0041, 0.0527, -0.0421, -0.0158, 0.0035, 0.0382, 0.026, -0.1079, -0.1097, -0.1509, -0.0434, -0.0643, -0.1261, -0.0712, -0.0566, 0.0956, 0.0569, 0.105, 0.2703, 0.138, 0.1599, 0.1888, 0.1507, 0.1167, 0.1241, 0.1259, 0.0367, -0.0137, -0.0974, 0.0151, -0.0026, 0.0646, 0.0646, 0.101, 0.1485, 0.2229, 0.3337, 0.4182, 0.512, 0.5842, 0.6315, 0.6175, 0.5373, 0.557, 0.5315, 0.5275, 0.5367, 0.4396, 0.4181, 0.3257, 0.3812, 0.3523, 0.5113, 0.7259, 0.721, 0.9085]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2011130921211371607", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-13T17:39:11+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "META grew at astounding rates with 26% last quarter because the ROI on their own AI infra for optimizing ad revenue is currently higher than almost any other investment on earth... when they go from a $1.05 EPS to a projected ~$8.30 EPS (690% quarterly jump), I think the narrative will change that their profits > capex", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long META: capex fears overblown, AI infra ROI drives revenue growth, EPS set to surge; GOOGL flagged as past analog where buying the fear worked.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So my thesis was that during first few seconds, $META post-ER was an algorithmic flash crash from BBB not being normalized (despite Meta beating on all fronts). \n\nMinutes around the selloff, news started posting everywhere Meta was dropping due to capex \"fears\", rather than posting their earnings beats. And that became the narrative. But in reality, even with the \"insane\" spending, Meta generated $10.6B in FCF last quarter.\n\nYou're right analysts look past that. But ever since then it became narrative/optics rather than numbers ($18.6B net profit) that kept META where it;s at now.\n\nBut I'd say this time is similar to when everyone was saying $GOOGL search was dying. I remember entering Google longs at $145 because the numbers were saying otherwise. \n\nIf we look at the numbers now, everyone is claiming $META CapEx is out of control ($72B in 2025, ~$100B in 2026) and will eat all the profits. \n\nYet $META grew at astounding rates with 26% last quarter because the ROI on their own AI infra for optimizing ad revenue is currently higher than almost any other investment on earth, so I don't quite think they need an answer. Just point to revenue growth/net profit. \n\nAnd when they go from a $1.05 EPS to a projected ~$8.30 EPS (690% quarterly jump), I think the narrative will change that their profits > capex. \n\nAnalysts (Cantor Fitzgerald, Rosenblatt, Wedbush) have are been giving $800–$1,100 PTs for 2026, sometimes all it takes is a narrative shift from their next er. But we'll see if this is right or not.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Do you think having an answer to capex spend ROI besides ads matters?\n\nI don’t fully think the stock got hit off the tax hit last Q, probably algos played a role but the street would be smart enough to ignore it.\n\nFeels like the re-rating to the downside has been lack of clarity", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "amitisinvesting", "ret_m1d": 0.017239873955249285, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.017239873955249285, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01523639293896184, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011593496566688177, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002003481016287445, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005646377388561108, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.024671631819543127, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.024671631819543127, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.019756394477924544, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02253285349778744, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0049152373416185835, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0021387783217556855, "ret_p1w": -0.042735632615598984, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.042735632615598984, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01939932639202524, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.013477375657072188, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023336306223573744, "bench_c_p1w": -0.029258256958526796, "ret_p1m": 0.05957941460084837, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05957941460084837, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06218832427350407, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06086265540264146, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026089096726557015, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0012832408017930952, "ret_p3m": -0.0010945767343011337, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0010945767343011337, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.01685718128478364, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.020946416516865796, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.017951758019084774, "bench_c_p3m": -0.02204099325116693, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1274, 0.1351, 0.1592, 0.161, 0.1612, 0.1621, 0.169, 0.1887, 0.1897, 0.1901, 0.0552, 0.0265, 0.0097, -0.0068, 0.0069, -0.0201, -0.0157, 0.0002, -0.0072, -0.0358, -0.0344, -0.0351, -0.0469, -0.0537, -0.0654, -0.0672, -0.0591, -0.0294, 0.0073, 0.0032, 0.0032, 0.0259, 0.0147, 0.0245, 0.0127, 0.0474, 0.0662, 0.0557, 0.0401, 0.0293, 0.0334, 0.02, 0.026, 0.0413, 0.0292, 0.0529, 0.0439, 0.0482, 0.0536, 0.0578, 0.0578, 0.051, 0.0437, 0.0552, 0.046, 0.046, 0.0306, 0.0439, 0.0468, 0.0279, 0.0237, 0.0348, 0.0172, 0.0, -0.0247, -0.0163, -0.0172, -0.0172, -0.0427, -0.0287, 0.0262, 0.0438, 0.0654, 0.0664, 0.0596, 0.1699, 0.1353, 0.1193, 0.096, 0.0601, 0.062, 0.0481, 0.0731, 0.0628, 0.0596, 0.0297, 0.0138, 0.0138, 0.013, 0.0192, 0.0217, 0.0389, 0.0098, 0.013, 0.0358, 0.0411, 0.0271, 0.0356, 0.038, 0.0581, 0.0467, 0.0218, 0.0258, 0.0364, 0.0377, 0.0112, -0.0275, -0.0049, -0.0125, -0.0236, -0.0378, -0.0585, -0.042, -0.0597, -0.0566, -0.1316, -0.1663, -0.1493, -0.0926, -0.0814, -0.089, -0.089, -0.0912, -0.088, -0.0288, -0.0034, -0.0011, 0.0063, 0.0507, 0.0651, 0.0735, 0.092, 0.064, 0.0607, 0.07, 0.0454, 0.0705, 0.0762, 0.0647, 0.0612, -0.0296, -0.0346, -0.0319, -0.0406, -0.028, -0.0218, -0.0332, -0.0503, -0.0437, -0.0221, -0.0192, -0.0259, -0.0307, -0.0443, -0.0404, -0.0367, -0.0322, -0.0322, -0.0289, 0.0075, 0.0075, 0.0031, 0.0031, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2011130921211371607", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-13T17:39:11+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I remember entering Google longs at $145 because the numbers were saying otherwise", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long META: capex fears overblown, AI infra ROI drives revenue growth, EPS set to surge; GOOGL flagged as past analog where buying the fear worked.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So my thesis was that during first few seconds, $META post-ER was an algorithmic flash crash from BBB not being normalized (despite Meta beating on all fronts). \n\nMinutes around the selloff, news started posting everywhere Meta was dropping due to capex \"fears\", rather than posting their earnings beats. And that became the narrative. But in reality, even with the \"insane\" spending, Meta generated $10.6B in FCF last quarter.\n\nYou're right analysts look past that. But ever since then it became narrative/optics rather than numbers ($18.6B net profit) that kept META where it;s at now.\n\nBut I'd say this time is similar to when everyone was saying $GOOGL search was dying. I remember entering Google longs at $145 because the numbers were saying otherwise. \n\nIf we look at the numbers now, everyone is claiming $META CapEx is out of control ($72B in 2025, ~$100B in 2026) and will eat all the profits. \n\nYet $META grew at astounding rates with 26% last quarter because the ROI on their own AI infra for optimizing ad revenue is currently higher than almost any other investment on earth, so I don't quite think they need an answer. Just point to revenue growth/net profit. \n\nAnd when they go from a $1.05 EPS to a projected ~$8.30 EPS (690% quarterly jump), I think the narrative will change that their profits > capex. \n\nAnalysts (Cantor Fitzgerald, Rosenblatt, Wedbush) have are been giving $800–$1,100 PTs for 2026, sometimes all it takes is a narrative shift from their next er. But we'll see if this is right or not.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Do you think having an answer to capex spend ROI besides ads matters?\n\nI don’t fully think the stock got hit off the tax hit last Q, probably algos played a role but the street would be smart enough to ignore it.\n\nFeels like the re-rating to the downside has been lack of clarity", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "amitisinvesting", "ret_m1d": -0.012233349067807375, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.012233349067807375, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01423683008409482, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017879726456368483, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002003481016287445, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005646377388561108, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00038695353039874814, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00038695353039874814, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004528283811219835, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0017518247913569374, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0049152373416185835, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0021387783217556855, "ret_p1w": -0.041581097397303424, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.041581097397303424, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01824479117372968, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.012322840438776628, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023336306223573744, "bench_c_p1w": -0.029258256958526796, "ret_p1m": -0.07444124210174397, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07444124210174397, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07183233242908826, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07315800129995087, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026089096726557015, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0012832408017930952, "ret_p3m": -0.05508438486614475, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05508438486614475, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03713262684705998, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.033043391614977824, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.017951758019084774, "bench_c_p3m": -0.02204099325116693, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.252, -0.2466, -0.2369, -0.255, -0.2513, -0.2472, -0.2269, -0.1991, -0.2044, -0.1833, -0.1627, -0.1636, -0.1561, -0.1745, -0.1543, -0.153, -0.1706, -0.1371, -0.1335, -0.1472, -0.1714, -0.1778, -0.1522, -0.1544, -0.129, -0.139, -0.1087, -0.0524, -0.0379, -0.0483, -0.0483, -0.0476, -0.0634, -0.0606, -0.0493, -0.0552, -0.0444, -0.0662, -0.0562, -0.0469, -0.0701, -0.0794, -0.0826, -0.0875, -0.1168, -0.0997, -0.0858, -0.078, -0.0644, -0.0651, -0.0651, -0.0669, -0.0667, -0.0658, -0.0684, -0.0684, -0.062, -0.0578, -0.0644, -0.0416, -0.0313, -0.022, -0.0122, 0.0, -0.0004, -0.0095, -0.0178, -0.0178, -0.0416, -0.0226, -0.0162, -0.0239, -0.0081, -0.0042, 0.0001, 0.0068, 0.006, 0.023, 0.0111, -0.0087, -0.014, -0.039, -0.0347, -0.0518, -0.0744, -0.0803, -0.09, -0.09, -0.1011, -0.0972, -0.0986, -0.0625, -0.0729, -0.0746, -0.0687, -0.0851, -0.0721, -0.0877, -0.0964, -0.0977, -0.1044, -0.1115, -0.0875, -0.0855, -0.0805, -0.0959, -0.0996, -0.0899, -0.0739, -0.0835, -0.0852, -0.1035, -0.1003, -0.1349, -0.1335, -0.1633, -0.1829, -0.1854, -0.1435, -0.1142, -0.119, -0.119, -0.1065, -0.0902, -0.0548, -0.0514, -0.0551, -0.043, -0.0084, 0.0041, 0.0009, 0.0177, 0.005, -0.0103, 0.0107, 0.0094, 0.0258, 0.0435, 0.0418, 0.0423, 0.1461, 0.1488, 0.1415, 0.157, 0.1856, 0.1854, 0.1938, 0.1576, 0.1537, 0.1992, 0.1946, 0.1818, 0.1823, 0.1547, 0.1584, 0.1547, 0.1407, 0.1407, 0.1583, 0.1582, 0.162, 0.1329, 0.1329, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1973219119819583516", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-01T02:51:13+00:00", "symbol": "SPY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "SPY 700+ from tax cuts, 3x rate cuts incoming", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long SPY to 700+ on expected tax cuts and three incoming rate cuts.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@brewmarkets Because we just had a major stock crash just 4-5 months before and rate cut mid-September.\n\nSPY 700+ from tax cuts, 3x rate cuts incoming.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "The S&amp;P 500 just had its best September in 15 years. https://t.co/I6MtkFjEq9", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "brewmarkets", "ret_m1d": -0.00339590581271898, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00339590581271898, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00339590581271898, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00339590581271898, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.001151803537192908, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.001151803537192908, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001151803537192908, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001151803537192908, "ret_p1w": 0.006971336134344197, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.006971336134344197, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006971336134344197, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006971336134344197, "ret_p1m": 0.017024524976312794, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.017024524976312794, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017024524976312794, "bench_c_p1m": 0.017024524976312794, "ret_p3m": 0.032062985462279814, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.032062985462279814, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032062985462279814, "bench_c_p3m": 0.032062985462279814, "ret_p6m": -0.02945147778515056, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.02945147778515056, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02945147778515056, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02945147778515056, "price_path": [-0.0671, -0.074, -0.0745, -0.069, -0.0664, -0.0696, -0.0679, -0.0719, -0.0687, -0.0631, -0.0637, -0.062, -0.0618, -0.0538, -0.0535, -0.0495, -0.0498, -0.0523, -0.0535, -0.057, -0.0725, -0.0584, -0.0632, -0.056, -0.0568, -0.0494, -0.0513, -0.0412, -0.0379, -0.0378, -0.0401, -0.0403, -0.0455, -0.048, -0.0518, -0.0373, -0.0415, -0.0375, -0.0353, -0.0319, -0.0377, -0.0377, -0.0448, -0.0396, -0.0316, -0.0344, -0.032, -0.0298, -0.027, -0.0189, -0.0192, -0.014, -0.0154, -0.0166, -0.012, -0.0071, -0.0024, -0.0078, -0.011, -0.0156, -0.0099, -0.0071, -0.0034, 0.0, 0.0012, 0.0011, 0.0047, 0.001, 0.007, 0.0041, -0.0231, -0.0081, -0.0093, -0.0049, -0.0117, -0.0061, 0.0043, 0.0042, -0.001, 0.005, 0.0132, 0.0251, 0.0278, 0.0283, 0.017, 0.0204, 0.0223, 0.0102, 0.0137, 0.0028, 0.0038, 0.0194, 0.0218, 0.0223, 0.0054, 0.0052, -0.0042, -0.0125, -0.0087, -0.0238, -0.0141, 0.0004, 0.0098, 0.0168, 0.0168, 0.0224, 0.0177, 0.0196, 0.0231, 0.0238, 0.0258, 0.0227, 0.0218, 0.0286, 0.031, 0.0199, 0.0184, 0.0156, 0.0044, 0.012, 0.0212, 0.0275, 0.0322, 0.0359, 0.0359, 0.0358, 0.0321, 0.0308, 0.0232, 0.0232, 0.025, 0.0319, 0.038, 0.0347, 0.0346, 0.0414, 0.043, 0.0409, 0.0358, 0.0386, 0.0378, 0.0378, 0.0167, 0.0284, 0.0338, 0.0341, 0.0394, 0.0435, 0.0434, 0.0414, 0.0382, 0.0434, 0.0346, 0.0296, 0.0167, 0.0362, 0.0412, 0.0385, 0.0382, 0.0222, 0.0229, 0.0229, 0.0246, 0.0297, 0.027, 0.0344, 0.0239, 0.0313, 0.04, 0.0342, 0.0293, 0.0299, 0.0208, 0.028, 0.0223, 0.0089, 0.0177, 0.0161, 0.0148, -0.0006, -0.0063, 0.0038, 0.0065, -0.0076, -0.01, -0.0242, -0.014, -0.0173, -0.0118, -0.0295]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1970496881349546218", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-23T14:34:01+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Screaming buy under $130. $200 PT, 5 months.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Strong long NBIS with $200 PT in 5 months; calls it mispriced at 26B market cap with exceptional forward fundamentals.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NBIS is a once-a-decade stock that can make generational wealth.\n\nIncredible forward revenue and fundamentals, mispriced at 26B market cap.\n\nScreaming buy under $130. \n\n$200 PT, 5 months. https://t.co/VvQclYVdFO", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.011131767566468054, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011131767566468054, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01660512855923091, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012567412585063775, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005473360992762855, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0014356450185957215, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05037105891888216, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05037105891888216, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05355269237149585, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05864740103362831, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003181633452613686, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008276342114746149, "ret_p1w": 0.041465616556267015, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.041465616556267015, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03698748783357497, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.041803468787482756, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004478128722692043, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0003378522312157406, "ret_p1m": -0.08515769986359101, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08515769986359101, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09207851156514568, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.061764383384825705, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006920811701554674, "bench_c_p1m": -0.023393316478765303, "ret_p3m": -0.17012990211586176, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17012990211586176, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.199368054728571, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15416836202068085, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029238152612709234, "bench_c_p3m": -0.015961540095180915, "ret_p6m": 0.09981441746035724, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.09981441746035724, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.09955147178200963, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.13682175222581228, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.00026294567834761473, "bench_c_p6m": -0.037007334765455036, "price_path": [-0.5121, -0.5191, -0.4867, -0.5333, -0.5365, -0.5339, -0.5339, -0.5562, -0.5631, -0.5728, -0.5693, -0.5891, -0.5181, -0.5034, -0.5055, -0.5019, -0.5103, -0.5142, -0.5268, -0.5187, -0.5161, -0.5235, -0.5107, -0.5325, -0.5242, -0.4951, -0.5176, -0.4975, -0.4882, -0.489, -0.3942, -0.362, -0.3484, -0.3012, -0.3448, -0.3649, -0.3356, -0.3271, -0.3767, -0.3741, -0.3861, -0.3601, -0.3505, -0.3462, -0.3497, -0.3317, -0.3662, -0.3662, -0.3904, -0.391, -0.3979, -0.3927, -0.4058, -0.1121, -0.1337, -0.1726, -0.1613, -0.1562, -0.1704, -0.1273, -0.1269, -0.0788, -0.0111, 0.0, 0.0504, 0.0013, -0.0009, 0.0224, 0.0415, 0.0724, 0.1676, 0.1872, 0.159, 0.0918, 0.1317, 0.2304, 0.202, 0.2566, 0.1888, 0.1673, 0.1414, 0.0523, 0.0111, -0.0327, -0.0852, -0.0152, 0.0878, 0.1635, 0.1301, 0.1605, 0.1519, 0.2135, 0.1175, 0.0254, 0.0853, 0.0152, 0.0323, 0.0199, -0.0518, -0.1247, -0.1778, -0.225, -0.2024, -0.1601, -0.1181, -0.2148, -0.2276, -0.1475, -0.1755, -0.1216, -0.1216, -0.1199, -0.071, -0.1053, -0.0824, -0.0464, -0.0905, -0.0693, -0.1057, -0.1318, -0.1254, -0.1865, -0.2473, -0.2491, -0.3001, -0.2756, -0.1701, -0.1352, -0.1648, -0.1546, -0.1546, -0.1875, -0.2019, -0.2099, -0.2235, -0.2235, -0.1656, -0.1389, -0.0701, -0.1075, -0.0974, -0.0916, -0.0044, -0.022, -0.054, -0.0363, 0.0086, 0.0086, -0.0789, -0.0828, -0.1016, -0.1234, -0.1516, -0.0921, -0.0684, -0.1196, -0.2097, -0.1822, -0.1656, -0.2357, -0.3147, -0.2013, -0.1384, -0.1485, -0.178, -0.1676, -0.0908, -0.0908, -0.0954, -0.0557, -0.0018, -0.0917, -0.0667, -0.0484, -0.0156, -0.0271, -0.1541, -0.1558, -0.1948, -0.0929, -0.1127, -0.1713, -0.1193, -0.1055, 0.0389, 0.0022, 0.0478, 0.2045, 0.0791, 0.0998]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1968033164024295829", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-16T19:24:05+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$4.5B+ USD is at risk of infinite loss as HIMS grows and completes it's EU acquisition of 1.2m+ more customers. The news about strongly worded letters about advertisements has no material affect on $HIMS", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish HIMS: 42%+ short interest faces infinite loss as HIMS grows and completes EU acquisition; FDA letters immaterial.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@himshouse Short seller narratives since 42%+ SI and $4.5B+ USD is at risk of infinite loss as HIMS grows and completes it's EU acquisition of 1.2m+ more customers. \n\nThe news about strongly worded letters about advertisements has no material affect on $HIMS.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Pretty insane that the Associated Press put $HIMS in the headline and framed it as the FDA \"taking aim at Hims &amp; Hers\" -- when in reality the FDA sent warning letters to over 100 drug advertisers, including three letters to $LLY and one to $NVO.\n\nYet neither company was mentioned https://t.co/5DSkf86bWp", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "himshouse", "ret_m1d": 0.06032618847797999, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06032618847797999, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05894749752093542, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05894749752093542, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0013786909570445705, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0013786909570445705, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010611140145487696, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010611140145487696, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009368704852939058, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009368704852939058, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012424352925486382, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012424352925486382, "ret_p1w": 0.10041266794337966, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10041266794337966, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09276304551426096, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09276304551426096, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007649622429118708, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007649622429118708, "ret_p1m": 0.23324816416286387, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.23324816416286387, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.22262078190370582, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.22262078190370582, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010627382259158047, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010627382259158047, "ret_p3m": -0.2688151005943702, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2688151005943702, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3046486616422237, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3046486616422237, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03583356104785351, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03583356104785351, "ret_p6m": -0.4914521620915785, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4914521620915785, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.522072008787635, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.522072008787635, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030619846696056552, "bench_c_p6m": 0.030619846696056552, "price_path": [0.2, 0.2619, -0.1751, -0.156, -0.1863, -0.0906, -0.0291, -0.0204, -0.0576, -0.0674, -0.0572, -0.0572, -0.0485, -0.0379, 0.0069, -0.0122, -0.059, 0.0224, -0.0084, 0.0189, -0.0177, -0.01, -0.0646, -0.0173, 0.1401, 0.1264, 0.1328, 0.1531, 0.1843, 0.2877, 0.3005, 0.2291, 0.2448, 0.091, 0.0047, 0.0031, 0.0206, -0.0179, -0.0576, -0.0503, -0.0739, -0.0957, -0.1138, -0.1712, -0.1476, -0.1362, -0.1242, -0.1552, -0.1089, -0.1352, -0.133, -0.1678, -0.1678, -0.1839, -0.1264, -0.0546, -0.0487, -0.0246, -0.0609, -0.0611, 0.0171, 0.0906, 0.0603, 0.0, -0.0106, 0.1043, 0.1362, 0.1338, 0.1004, 0.0464, 0.0782, 0.1476, 0.1617, 0.1146, 0.1065, 0.1372, 0.0324, 0.076, 0.1391, 0.1431, 0.1446, 0.0601, 0.0755, 0.0615, 0.2332, 0.1623, -0.0218, 0.0092, -0.0301, -0.0674, -0.0472, -0.0415, -0.0523, -0.0741, -0.0837, -0.1342, -0.1067, -0.1277, -0.1592, -0.1407, -0.1841, -0.1938, -0.1934, -0.2189, -0.2332, -0.2916, -0.2733, -0.3008, -0.2875, -0.2959, -0.3394, -0.3179, -0.2576, -0.2712, -0.2454, -0.2454, -0.2187, -0.2629, -0.2865, -0.2716, -0.2136, -0.2297, -0.2313, -0.2175, -0.2556, -0.2578, -0.2688, -0.2877, -0.2757, -0.3128, -0.3168, -0.3012, -0.3113, -0.3162, -0.3187, -0.3187, -0.3258, -0.3299, -0.3508, -0.362, -0.362, -0.3435, -0.3179, -0.3032, -0.3032, -0.3344, -0.3773, -0.3645, -0.3673, -0.3846, -0.3863, -0.3834, -0.3834, -0.4013, -0.4323, -0.4003, -0.418, -0.405, -0.4168, -0.4366, -0.413, -0.4677, -0.4804, -0.4981, -0.5205, -0.5386, -0.5477, -0.6202, -0.6612, -0.672, -0.6895, -0.6797, -0.6797, -0.6803, -0.6887, -0.6891, -0.6929, -0.6952, -0.6962, -0.6891, -0.6935, -0.7147, -0.6762, -0.6891, -0.6768, -0.688, -0.6907, -0.5646, -0.5388, -0.4915]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1976434760064065587", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-09T23:49:01+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Might even hit $300 in the next 6 months", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish NBIS to $300 within 6 months; low institutional ownership means buying pressure on dips.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@soulbiri1 @EndicottInvests The institutional ownership of $NBIS is extremely low as well like 38% so they’ll likely try and buy 20% of the float (~normal is 60-75%) on any dip or retail panic. \n\nMight even hit $300 in the next 6 months.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @EndicottInvests Good chance Clickhouse will be worth $NBIS current market cap in 2 years or less", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": -0.08021712483872956, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08021712483872956, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08312255025975701, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08596031257485381, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002905425421027452, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005743187736124256, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.023069945511719925, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.023069945511719925, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0039578823873697155, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004622389525244297, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.02702782789908964, "bench_c_p1d": -0.018447555986475628, "ret_p1w": -0.07237634588582709, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07237634588582709, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.056701974494572926, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06585013892941727, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01567437139125416, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006526206956409819, "ret_p1m": -0.16103739979373488, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16103739979373488, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1607542470266894, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13658567193644466, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0002831527670454914, "bench_c_p1m": -0.024451727857290217, "ret_p3m": -0.24427021769428237, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.24427021769428237, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.27808365166513327, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.26854668662036607, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.033813433970850904, "bench_c_p3m": 0.024276468926083705, "ret_p6m": -0.17958383447250825, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.17958383447250825, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.16230675988690502, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.15782279558193002, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.017277074585603236, "bench_c_p6m": -0.021761038890578233, "price_path": [-0.6083, -0.5964, -0.5981, -0.5952, -0.602, -0.6052, -0.6154, -0.6089, -0.6068, -0.6127, -0.6023, -0.62, -0.6133, -0.5896, -0.608, -0.5916, -0.5841, -0.5847, -0.5076, -0.4815, -0.4704, -0.4321, -0.4675, -0.4839, -0.46, -0.4531, -0.4934, -0.4913, -0.5011, -0.4799, -0.4721, -0.4686, -0.4715, -0.4569, -0.4849, -0.4849, -0.5045, -0.5051, -0.5106, -0.5064, -0.517, -0.2783, -0.2959, -0.3276, -0.3184, -0.3142, -0.3258, -0.2907, -0.2904, -0.2513, -0.1963, -0.1873, -0.1463, -0.1862, -0.188, -0.169, -0.1536, -0.1284, -0.051, -0.0351, -0.0581, -0.1126, -0.0802, 0.0, -0.0231, 0.0213, -0.0339, -0.0513, -0.0724, -0.1448, -0.1782, -0.2138, -0.2565, -0.1996, -0.116, -0.0544, -0.0815, -0.0568, -0.0638, -0.0137, -0.0918, -0.1666, -0.1179, -0.1749, -0.161, -0.1711, -0.2293, -0.2886, -0.3318, -0.3702, -0.3518, -0.3174, -0.2832, -0.3619, -0.3723, -0.3071, -0.3299, -0.2861, -0.2861, -0.2848, -0.2449, -0.2728, -0.2542, -0.225, -0.2609, -0.2436, -0.2731, -0.2944, -0.2892, -0.3389, -0.3883, -0.3897, -0.4312, -0.4113, -0.3255, -0.2971, -0.3212, -0.313, -0.313, -0.3396, -0.3513, -0.3579, -0.3689, -0.3689, -0.3218, -0.3001, -0.2443, -0.2747, -0.2664, -0.2617, -0.1908, -0.2051, -0.2312, -0.2168, -0.1803, -0.1803, -0.2514, -0.2546, -0.2698, -0.2875, -0.3105, -0.2621, -0.2428, -0.2845, -0.3577, -0.3353, -0.3218, -0.3788, -0.4431, -0.3509, -0.2998, -0.308, -0.332, -0.3235, -0.2611, -0.2611, -0.2648, -0.2325, -0.1887, -0.2618, -0.2415, -0.2266, -0.1999, -0.2093, -0.3125, -0.3139, -0.3456, -0.2628, -0.2789, -0.3265, -0.2842, -0.273, -0.1556, -0.1855, -0.1484, -0.021, -0.123, -0.1062, -0.0838, -0.1132, -0.1394, -0.1337, -0.1323, -0.2011, -0.2399, -0.3044, -0.2177, -0.2314, -0.1796, -0.1796]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1975646406804492485", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-07T19:36:23+00:00", "symbol": "WYFI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$WYFI is a great buy", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long WYFI as a great buy; prefers holding BTC over BTBT which trades below NAV.", "resolved_tickers": ["WYFI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@matthew_sigel Yeah $WYFI is a great buy. People should just ignore $BTBT and hold the underlying asset.\n\nCompanies can be below NAV for many reasons, just look at Grayscale and its crypto holdings for many years", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$WYFI has doubled since the August IPO.\n\nAnd Clear Street just doubled their price target to $51 (from $26), citing sector multiple expansion, accelerating demand, and WYFI's faster/cheaper model which is \"resonating\" with clients.\n\nStill trades at ~9× 2028E EV/EBITDA vs. peers https://t.co/st2o8yA48u", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "matthew_sigel", "ret_m1d": 0.008920583631648382, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.008920583631648382, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005199294730923398, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0021998059620136345, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003721288900724984, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006720777669634748, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.019625329362176425, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.019625329362176425, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.013662276949384156, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0020882783718469966, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005963052412792269, "bench_c_p1d": 0.017537050990329428, "ret_p1w": 0.11923872120643786, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11923872120643786, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12953586197408662, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13383545205118785, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01029714076764876, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014596730844749994, "ret_p1m": -0.08831403884548183, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08831403884548183, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10095752267275937, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12125303713778457, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012643483827277535, "bench_c_p1m": 0.032938998292302735, "ret_p3m": -0.4995539878331239, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4995539878331239, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5235686627287943, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5113074486999469, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02401467489567044, "bench_c_p3m": 0.011753460866823051, "ret_p6m": -0.654177825005561, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.654177825005561, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.6390100294149099, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.6012698442039266, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.015167795590651068, "bench_c_p6m": -0.05290798080163439, "price_path": [null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, -0.5177, -0.545, -0.5626, -0.5418, -0.485, -0.4695, -0.4918, -0.4442, -0.4939, -0.5028, -0.5031, -0.4918, -0.5076, -0.504, -0.4975, -0.4942, -0.4972, -0.4972, -0.4674, -0.5031, -0.5165, -0.5141, -0.5242, -0.4532, -0.2988, -0.3883, -0.4068, -0.4056, -0.4267, -0.377, -0.3039, -0.218, -0.1668, -0.1653, -0.2194, -0.2985, -0.3211, -0.2049, -0.1921, -0.0488, 0.0015, -0.0723, 0.0089, 0.0, 0.0196, 0.0033, -0.0178, 0.1635, 0.1192, 0.0907, -0.0651, -0.0999, -0.0485, -0.1127, -0.1745, -0.1381, 0.0122, 0.0993, 0.0062, 0.0045, -0.0419, 0.0107, -0.03, -0.094, -0.0883, -0.1659, -0.1451, -0.1362, -0.2325, -0.3238, -0.4092, -0.4648, -0.4573, -0.4987, -0.4823, -0.4829, -0.4844, -0.4477, -0.4701, -0.4106, -0.4106, -0.3628, -0.4148, -0.4335, -0.4222, -0.3732, -0.4222, -0.4276, -0.4065, -0.4306, -0.4451, -0.446, -0.5477, -0.5516, -0.5787, -0.5748, -0.5022, -0.4555, -0.4761, -0.4841, -0.4841, -0.5073, -0.5201, -0.5376, -0.5302, -0.5302, -0.4996, -0.4773, -0.4731, -0.5019, -0.4737, -0.4731, -0.4445, -0.452, -0.3797, -0.4517, -0.4211, -0.4211, -0.43, -0.3958, -0.4145, -0.402, -0.3895, -0.3577, -0.3411, -0.3452, -0.4199, -0.4205, -0.4514, -0.5204, -0.5718, -0.448, -0.4098, -0.4252, -0.4413, -0.4591, -0.4225, -0.4225, -0.4526, -0.4814, -0.4695, -0.4978, -0.4942, -0.4761, -0.4481, -0.4496, -0.499, -0.4838, -0.5352, -0.4963, -0.526, -0.5391, -0.5299, -0.5281, -0.4903, -0.5013, -0.5317, -0.5296, -0.5439, -0.565, -0.5501, -0.5882, -0.5715, -0.5795, -0.5632, -0.6383, -0.6795, -0.667, -0.6459, -0.6542]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1975646406804492485", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-07T19:36:23+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "hold the underlying asset", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long WYFI as a great buy; prefers holding BTC over BTBT which trades below NAV.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@matthew_sigel Yeah $WYFI is a great buy. People should just ignore $BTBT and hold the underlying asset.\n\nCompanies can be below NAV for many reasons, just look at Grayscale and its crypto holdings for many years", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$WYFI has doubled since the August IPO.\n\nAnd Clear Street just doubled their price target to $51 (from $26), citing sector multiple expansion, accelerating demand, and WYFI's faster/cheaper model which is \"resonating\" with clients.\n\nStill trades at ~9× 2028E EV/EBITDA vs. peers https://t.co/st2o8yA48u", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "matthew_sigel", "ret_m1d": 0.027180822161542606, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.027180822161542606, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.023459533260817622, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003721288900724984, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.01567280940669602, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01567280940669602, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.009709756993903751, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005963052412792269, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.06860950083099737, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06860950083099737, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05831236006334861, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01029714076764876, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.14458087234880568, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14458087234880568, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1572243561760832, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012643483827277535, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.25941810435078283, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.25941810435078283, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.28343277924645327, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02401467489567044, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.43945838152702177, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.43945838152702177, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4242905859363707, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.015167795590651068, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.045, -0.0324, -0.0132, -0.0303, -0.0223, -0.0178, -0.0284, -0.033, -0.012, -0.0222, -0.0254, -0.0314, -0.029, -0.0291, -0.0298, -0.0469, -0.067, -0.0525, -0.0602, -0.0529, -0.0326, -0.0392, -0.0224, -0.0105, 0.0156, -0.0255, -0.0334, -0.0428, -0.071, -0.0591, -0.0744, -0.0377, -0.0933, -0.0794, -0.0842, -0.0733, -0.1074, -0.1005, -0.0844, -0.0801, -0.0883, -0.0889, -0.0772, -0.0817, -0.0617, -0.0489, -0.044, -0.0495, -0.0379, -0.041, -0.0355, -0.0474, -0.0717, -0.0777, -0.0669, -0.1021, -0.0967, -0.0581, -0.0609, -0.0231, -0.0063, 0.0067, 0.0272, 0.0, 0.0157, 0.0021, -0.0678, -0.0509, -0.0686, -0.0878, -0.1092, -0.1234, -0.0894, -0.1068, -0.1133, -0.0937, -0.0858, -0.0604, -0.0699, -0.0938, -0.1082, -0.0979, -0.1227, -0.1635, -0.1446, -0.1659, -0.1489, -0.1273, -0.1519, -0.1629, -0.1791, -0.2228, -0.2417, -0.2347, -0.2469, -0.2867, -0.2994, -0.2732, -0.2808, -0.2547, -0.2484, -0.2514, -0.2893, -0.2478, -0.2299, -0.2413, -0.264, -0.2537, -0.2368, -0.2423, -0.2383, -0.2567, -0.2884, -0.2767, -0.2907, -0.2963, -0.2746, -0.2714, -0.2803, -0.2786, -0.2817, -0.2812, -0.2825, -0.2719, -0.2795, -0.2694, -0.2594, -0.227, -0.2283, -0.2482, -0.2505, -0.2547, -0.2491, -0.2151, -0.2019, -0.2133, -0.2135, -0.2379, -0.2729, -0.2641, -0.2634, -0.263, -0.2732, -0.2664, -0.2657, -0.3037, -0.3073, -0.3521, -0.3773, -0.3988, -0.4837, -0.4191, -0.4226, -0.4336, -0.4484, -0.4547, -0.433, -0.4332, -0.4443, -0.4531, -0.4487, -0.4401, -0.468, -0.4724, -0.4404, -0.4446, -0.4575, -0.4337, -0.4377, -0.4013, -0.4167, -0.439, -0.4368, -0.4242, -0.422, -0.4196, -0.4157, -0.3836, -0.3913, -0.4134, -0.4244, -0.4193, -0.4161, -0.4194, -0.4129, -0.4336, -0.4538, -0.4509, -0.4382, -0.4395]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2008352067765837942", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-06T01:37:00+00:00", "symbol": "CVX", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "US subsidies are basically guaranteed as they are the only U.S. major currently left that can use to immediately deploy these subsidies", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Trump Venezuela oil subsidies bullish for CVX (guaranteed), refiners VLO/PSX/MPC (speculative), and service cos HAL/BKR on pipeline work; market re-rating expected.", "resolved_tickers": ["CVX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just in: \n\n1. Trump likely to Subsidize Oil Firms in Venezuela.\n\n2. Trump is now currently meeting US Oil company leaders to discuss these subsidies and boosting Oil Production immediately\n\nHere’s what companies likely receives the funding and benefits:\n\n$CVX - Chevron US subsidies are basically guaranteed as they are the only U.S. major currently left that can use to immediately deploy these subsidies.\n\nRefiners\n\n$VLO, $PSX and $MPC - These refiners are built to process Venezuelan heavy crude. Subsidies mean the oil flows faster, albeit the exact allocations are more speculative due to multiple players.\n\nService Companies\n\n$HAL, $BKR - These companies don't own the oil but they do fix the pipes. Many of these companies will likely receive subsidizes, as the US fixes extremely old pipelines. \n\nThis is incredibly rewarding for US companies to capitalize on the $17T gold mine of Venezuelan oil reserves, without risking their own capital.\n\nMarkets were initially pricing in high capex spend with a few of these, and now we might see a market re-rating in anticipation of these subsidies.\n\nUS funding oil company spend changes the equation across the board and is bullish for oil firms like Chevron.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04669740810224199, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04669740810224199, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05260943158755804, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05260943158755804, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005912023485316054, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005912023485316054, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008560095539955626, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008560095539955626, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00533673874772822, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00533673874772822, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0032233567922274053, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0032233567922274053, "ret_p1w": 0.04682504767114404, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04682504767114404, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.043991827102808356, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.043991827102808356, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028332205683356815, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0028332205683356815, "ret_p1m": 0.1577232716534569, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1577232716534569, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.16584686327053533, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.16584686327053533, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00812359161707843, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00812359161707843, "ret_p3m": 0.2834828140025276, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2834828140025276, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.33290228068542493, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.33290228068542493, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04941946668289732, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04941946668289732, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.042, -0.0593, -0.0401, -0.0373, -0.039, -0.0416, -0.0329, -0.0241, -0.0284, -0.0172, -0.0109, -0.0172, -0.019, -0.0263, -0.0201, -0.0301, -0.0036, -0.0268, -0.0309, -0.0356, -0.0338, -0.0206, -0.0167, -0.0129, -0.0314, -0.0171, -0.0042, -0.0219, -0.0187, -0.0309, -0.0398, -0.0419, -0.0434, -0.0512, -0.0449, -0.0449, -0.0346, -0.0256, -0.0402, -0.0316, -0.0273, -0.0418, -0.05, -0.0514, -0.0328, -0.0372, -0.0418, -0.0431, -0.0625, -0.0448, -0.0565, -0.0562, -0.0431, -0.0385, -0.0386, -0.0386, -0.0417, -0.0355, -0.027, -0.0264, -0.0264, -0.0041, 0.0467, 0.0, -0.0086, 0.0173, 0.0356, 0.0371, 0.0468, 0.0684, 0.0615, 0.0621, 0.0621, 0.056, 0.0651, 0.0646, 0.065, 0.07, 0.0799, 0.0855, 0.0936, 0.1301, 0.1117, 0.1373, 0.1577, 0.1449, 0.1554, 0.1665, 0.1643, 0.187, 0.1652, 0.1738, 0.1738, 0.1647, 0.1861, 0.1919, 0.1865, 0.1928, 0.1956, 0.1883, 0.1879, 0.2047, 0.223, 0.2177, 0.2, 0.225, 0.2252, 0.222, 0.2017, 0.2372, 0.2706, 0.2696, 0.2697, 0.277, 0.2812, 0.2994, 0.3013, 0.3237, 0.3339, 0.3233, 0.3404, 0.3621, 0.3592, 0.3346, 0.2734, 0.2835, 0.2835, 0.2828, 0.3001, 0.2443, 0.2279, 0.2163, 0.2371, 0.2064, 0.1928, 0.2137, 0.1869, 0.1821, 0.1997, 0.2019, 0.2101, 0.1947, 0.1919, 0.215, 0.2399, 0.247, 0.2297, 0.2403, 0.2427, 0.1944, 0.1772, 0.1716, 0.1917, 0.1995, 0.1998, 0.2039, 0.2327, 0.2651, 0.284, 0.2455, 0.2434, 0.2462, 0.2462, 0.2024, 0.1874, 0.1915, 0.1878, 0.1878, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2008352067765837942", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-06T01:37:00+00:00", "symbol": "VLO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "These refiners are built to process Venezuelan heavy crude. Subsidies mean the oil flows faster, albeit the exact allocations are more speculative due to multiple players", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Trump Venezuela oil subsidies bullish for CVX (guaranteed), refiners VLO/PSX/MPC (speculative), and service cos HAL/BKR on pipeline work; market re-rating expected.", "resolved_tickers": ["VLO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just in: \n\n1. Trump likely to Subsidize Oil Firms in Venezuela.\n\n2. Trump is now currently meeting US Oil company leaders to discuss these subsidies and boosting Oil Production immediately\n\nHere’s what companies likely receives the funding and benefits:\n\n$CVX - Chevron US subsidies are basically guaranteed as they are the only U.S. major currently left that can use to immediately deploy these subsidies.\n\nRefiners\n\n$VLO, $PSX and $MPC - These refiners are built to process Venezuelan heavy crude. Subsidies mean the oil flows faster, albeit the exact allocations are more speculative due to multiple players.\n\nService Companies\n\n$HAL, $BKR - These companies don't own the oil but they do fix the pipes. Many of these companies will likely receive subsidizes, as the US fixes extremely old pipelines. \n\nThis is incredibly rewarding for US companies to capitalize on the $17T gold mine of Venezuelan oil reserves, without risking their own capital.\n\nMarkets were initially pricing in high capex spend with a few of these, and now we might see a market re-rating in anticipation of these subsidies.\n\nUS funding oil company spend changes the equation across the board and is bullish for oil firms like Chevron.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.012901855340946122, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.012901855340946122, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.018813878826262176, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.018813878826262176, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005912023485316054, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005912023485316054, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03135688435971584, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03135688435971584, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03458024115194325, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03458024115194325, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0032233567922274053, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0032233567922274053, "ret_p1w": 0.019464877878893505, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.019464877878893505, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.016631657310557824, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.016631657310557824, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028332205683356815, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0028332205683356815, "ret_p1m": 0.10736525145634634, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10736525145634634, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11548884307342477, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11548884307342477, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00812359161707843, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00812359161707843, "ret_p3m": 0.37758915998070464, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.37758915998070464, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.42700862666360195, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.42700862666360195, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04941946668289732, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04941946668289732, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0969, -0.1191, -0.1002, -0.0959, -0.1026, -0.1282, -0.1205, -0.1072, -0.121, -0.0977, -0.0349, -0.0465, -0.0281, -0.056, -0.0487, -0.0518, -0.0548, -0.0434, -0.0573, -0.0516, -0.0189, -0.021, -0.0012, 0.0082, -0.0103, -0.0201, 0.0132, -0.0055, 0.0336, 0.0052, -0.0418, -0.027, -0.0219, -0.0234, -0.0213, -0.0213, -0.0085, 0.0127, 0.0015, -0.0068, -0.0186, -0.0232, -0.0264, -0.0165, -0.0127, -0.0357, -0.0559, -0.0582, -0.0867, -0.0862, -0.0916, -0.0873, -0.0826, -0.0757, -0.0774, -0.0774, -0.08, -0.0707, -0.0752, -0.0868, -0.0868, -0.0727, 0.0129, 0.0, 0.0314, 0.0732, 0.0393, 0.0076, 0.0195, 0.0462, 0.0354, 0.0291, 0.0291, 0.0362, 0.0556, 0.0484, 0.0495, 0.0281, 0.026, 0.0323, 0.0237, 0.0177, 0.0109, 0.0785, 0.1074, 0.0957, 0.1439, 0.1365, 0.1259, 0.1509, 0.1113, 0.1297, 0.1297, 0.1137, 0.1257, 0.1245, 0.133, 0.114, 0.125, 0.1267, 0.1501, 0.1549, 0.2129, 0.2287, 0.2732, 0.287, 0.2678, 0.2188, 0.2248, 0.304, 0.3309, 0.3014, 0.3126, 0.3317, 0.3458, 0.3662, 0.3537, 0.3398, 0.3644, 0.3237, 0.4004, 0.4353, 0.4125, 0.3945, 0.3627, 0.3776, 0.3776, 0.386, 0.4194, 0.3525, 0.3269, 0.3478, 0.3662, 0.3296, 0.3263, 0.3643, 0.2622, 0.2771, 0.3172, 0.3227, 0.3197, 0.3311, 0.3446, 0.356, 0.4183, 0.4255, 0.3933, 0.4201, 0.4304, 0.3358, 0.3339, 0.3605, 0.4004, 0.3947, 0.3776, 0.3814, 0.4151, 0.459, 0.4822, 0.4322, 0.3671, 0.4004, 0.4004, 0.3692, 0.3629, 0.3884, 0.3883, 0.3883, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2008352067765837942", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-06T01:37:00+00:00", "symbol": "PSX", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "These refiners are built to process Venezuelan heavy crude. Subsidies mean the oil flows faster, albeit the exact allocations are more speculative due to multiple players", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Trump Venezuela oil subsidies bullish for CVX (guaranteed), refiners VLO/PSX/MPC (speculative), and service cos HAL/BKR on pipeline work; market re-rating expected.", "resolved_tickers": ["PSX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just in: \n\n1. Trump likely to Subsidize Oil Firms in Venezuela.\n\n2. Trump is now currently meeting US Oil company leaders to discuss these subsidies and boosting Oil Production immediately\n\nHere’s what companies likely receives the funding and benefits:\n\n$CVX - Chevron US subsidies are basically guaranteed as they are the only U.S. major currently left that can use to immediately deploy these subsidies.\n\nRefiners\n\n$VLO, $PSX and $MPC - These refiners are built to process Venezuelan heavy crude. Subsidies mean the oil flows faster, albeit the exact allocations are more speculative due to multiple players.\n\nService Companies\n\n$HAL, $BKR - These companies don't own the oil but they do fix the pipes. Many of these companies will likely receive subsidizes, as the US fixes extremely old pipelines. \n\nThis is incredibly rewarding for US companies to capitalize on the $17T gold mine of Venezuelan oil reserves, without risking their own capital.\n\nMarkets were initially pricing in high capex spend with a few of these, and now we might see a market re-rating in anticipation of these subsidies.\n\nUS funding oil company spend changes the equation across the board and is bullish for oil firms like Chevron.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02436891389505269, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02436891389505269, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.030280937380368744, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.003019349246565328, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005912023485316054, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02738826314161802, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009001243756270982, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009001243756270982, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012224600548498388, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.020175602621910094, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0032233567922274053, "bench_c_p1d": -0.011174358865639111, "ret_p1w": 0.007683891768710316, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.007683891768710316, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.004850671200374634, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.022114566796523016, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028332205683356815, "bench_c_p1w": 0.029798458565233332, "ret_p1m": 0.13201620058314112, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13201620058314112, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14013979220021955, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02552110112194028, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00812359161707843, "bench_c_p1m": 0.1575373017050814, "ret_p3m": 0.3000999722400133, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3000999722400133, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3495194389229106, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0065855122741298455, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04941946668289732, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3066854845141431, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0488, -0.0802, -0.0582, -0.0506, -0.0598, -0.0686, -0.062, -0.0542, -0.0668, -0.0465, -0.0145, -0.0205, -0.0174, -0.0301, 0.0014, -0.0054, -0.0121, 0.0008, -0.015, -0.0137, 0.0028, 0.001, 0.0061, 0.022, 0.0015, 0.0122, 0.0327, 0.0, 0.0129, -0.0158, -0.0341, -0.0214, -0.0252, -0.0184, -0.0124, -0.0124, 0.0023, 0.0228, 0.0067, 0.0234, 0.0203, 0.0198, 0.0176, 0.0236, 0.0524, 0.0496, 0.0351, 0.0356, -0.0356, -0.0341, -0.055, -0.0568, -0.0561, -0.0551, -0.0603, -0.0603, -0.0651, -0.059, -0.0519, -0.0557, -0.0557, -0.0445, 0.0244, 0.0, 0.009, 0.0554, 0.0403, 0.0161, 0.0077, 0.0347, 0.0246, 0.0119, 0.0119, 0.0133, 0.0365, 0.0386, 0.0358, 0.0274, 0.0246, 0.0397, 0.0544, 0.0506, 0.0409, 0.0837, 0.132, 0.1301, 0.1548, 0.1526, 0.1512, 0.1819, 0.1435, 0.1692, 0.1692, 0.1574, 0.1518, 0.1373, 0.1398, 0.1425, 0.1389, 0.1208, 0.1249, 0.1387, 0.1818, 0.1789, 0.2153, 0.228, 0.2245, 0.2026, 0.1989, 0.2506, 0.2845, 0.2745, 0.28, 0.2743, 0.2745, 0.3158, 0.2946, 0.3042, 0.3585, 0.3376, 0.3576, 0.3892, 0.3636, 0.3441, 0.2959, 0.3001, 0.3001, 0.3084, 0.289, 0.2395, 0.1884, 0.175, 0.1835, 0.1714, 0.1911, 0.2051, 0.1537, 0.1491, 0.1759, 0.1853, 0.177, 0.2015, 0.2108, 0.2184, 0.28, 0.3218, 0.3, 0.3168, 0.33, 0.267, 0.2418, 0.2658, 0.2938, 0.2943, 0.2677, 0.2654, 0.3, 0.3362, 0.3554, 0.3328, 0.2935, 0.3205, 0.3205, 0.2922, 0.2978, 0.3133, 0.3071, 0.3071, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2008352067765837942", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-01-06T01:37:00+00:00", "symbol": "MPC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "These refiners are built to process Venezuelan heavy crude. Subsidies mean the oil flows faster, albeit the exact allocations are more speculative due to multiple players", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Trump Venezuela oil subsidies bullish for CVX (guaranteed), refiners VLO/PSX/MPC (speculative), and service cos HAL/BKR on pipeline work; market re-rating expected.", "resolved_tickers": ["MPC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just in: \n\n1. Trump likely to Subsidize Oil Firms in Venezuela.\n\n2. Trump is now currently meeting US Oil company leaders to discuss these subsidies and boosting Oil Production immediately\n\nHere’s what companies likely receives the funding and benefits:\n\n$CVX - Chevron US subsidies are basically guaranteed as they are the only U.S. major currently left that can use to immediately deploy these subsidies.\n\nRefiners\n\n$VLO, $PSX and $MPC - These refiners are built to process Venezuelan heavy crude. Subsidies mean the oil flows faster, albeit the exact allocations are more speculative due to multiple players.\n\nService Companies\n\n$HAL, $BKR - These companies don't own the oil but they do fix the pipes. Many of these companies will likely receive subsidizes, as the US fixes extremely old pipelines. \n\nThis is incredibly rewarding for US companies to capitalize on the $17T gold mine of Venezuelan oil reserves, without risking their own capital.\n\nMarkets were initially pricing in high capex spend with a few of these, and now we might see a market re-rating in anticipation of these subsidies.\n\nUS funding oil company spend changes the equation across the board and is bullish for oil firms like Chevron.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.026522801040331556, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.026522801040331556, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03243482452564761, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03243482452564761, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005912023485316054, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005912023485316054, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012263812381889894, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012263812381889894, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.015487169174117299, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015487169174117299, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0032233567922274053, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0032233567922274053, "ret_p1w": 0.03186248097568534, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03186248097568534, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.029029260407349655, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.029029260407349655, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028332205683356815, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0028332205683356815, "ret_p1m": 0.14963027183192823, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14963027183192823, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15775386344900666, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.15775386344900666, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00812359161707843, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00812359161707843, "ret_p3m": 0.4255453200298698, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4255453200298698, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4749647867127671, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4749647867127671, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04941946668289732, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04941946668289732, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0951, 0.0561, 0.0708, 0.0691, 0.0733, 0.0576, 0.077, 0.0875, 0.0677, 0.1008, 0.1441, 0.1456, 0.1457, 0.1222, 0.1429, 0.1422, 0.138, 0.1431, 0.073, 0.087, 0.1252, 0.1313, 0.1464, 0.1685, 0.1496, 0.136, 0.1676, 0.1442, 0.1654, 0.1473, 0.1024, 0.1185, 0.1159, 0.1149, 0.1251, 0.1251, 0.1368, 0.1509, 0.1307, 0.1115, 0.1158, 0.118, 0.1129, 0.1192, 0.1225, 0.0979, 0.0901, 0.0885, 0.0374, 0.0239, -0.0136, -0.0123, -0.0332, -0.0236, -0.0275, -0.0275, -0.0395, -0.04, -0.0387, -0.0457, -0.0457, -0.031, 0.0265, 0.0, 0.0123, 0.039, 0.0337, 0.03, 0.0319, 0.0626, 0.0421, 0.0306, 0.0306, 0.0262, 0.0414, 0.0313, 0.0291, 0.0124, 0.008, 0.0093, 0.0312, 0.0339, 0.0381, 0.1007, 0.1496, 0.1491, 0.1912, 0.1986, 0.1979, 0.2243, 0.162, 0.1927, 0.1927, 0.1767, 0.1769, 0.1586, 0.1603, 0.1371, 0.1517, 0.1545, 0.1858, 0.1689, 0.2374, 0.2501, 0.3019, 0.2818, 0.3049, 0.272, 0.2693, 0.3371, 0.3568, 0.3338, 0.3501, 0.3756, 0.3932, 0.3905, 0.3713, 0.3713, 0.4384, 0.4227, 0.4643, 0.4856, 0.4458, 0.44, 0.4045, 0.4255, 0.4255, 0.4236, 0.4473, 0.368, 0.3182, 0.3128, 0.3286, 0.3206, 0.3153, 0.3342, 0.2602, 0.2627, 0.2995, 0.3096, 0.3039, 0.3218, 0.3399, 0.3716, 0.426, 0.4642, 0.4516, 0.4893, 0.5363, 0.4494, 0.4287, 0.4441, 0.4889, 0.4861, 0.4689, 0.4674, 0.504, 0.5305, 0.5511, 0.5295, 0.4706, 0.5075, 0.5075, 0.4684, 0.4625, 0.4878, 0.4727, 0.4727, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2008352067765837942", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-01-06T01:37:00+00:00", "symbol": "HAL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Many of these companies will likely receive subsidizes, as the US fixes extremely old pipelines", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Trump Venezuela oil subsidies bullish for CVX (guaranteed), refiners VLO/PSX/MPC (speculative), and service cos HAL/BKR on pipeline work; market re-rating expected.", "resolved_tickers": ["HAL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just in: \n\n1. Trump likely to Subsidize Oil Firms in Venezuela.\n\n2. Trump is now currently meeting US Oil company leaders to discuss these subsidies and boosting Oil Production immediately\n\nHere’s what companies likely receives the funding and benefits:\n\n$CVX - Chevron US subsidies are basically guaranteed as they are the only U.S. major currently left that can use to immediately deploy these subsidies.\n\nRefiners\n\n$VLO, $PSX and $MPC - These refiners are built to process Venezuelan heavy crude. Subsidies mean the oil flows faster, albeit the exact allocations are more speculative due to multiple players.\n\nService Companies\n\n$HAL, $BKR - These companies don't own the oil but they do fix the pipes. Many of these companies will likely receive subsidizes, as the US fixes extremely old pipelines. \n\nThis is incredibly rewarding for US companies to capitalize on the $17T gold mine of Venezuelan oil reserves, without risking their own capital.\n\nMarkets were initially pricing in high capex spend with a few of these, and now we might see a market re-rating in anticipation of these subsidies.\n\nUS funding oil company spend changes the equation across the board and is bullish for oil firms like Chevron.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.035355195007195084, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.035355195007195084, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04126721849251114, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04126721849251114, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005912023485316054, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005912023485316054, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.014596166025980017, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014596166025980017, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.011372809233752612, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011372809233752612, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0032233567922274053, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0032233567922274053, "ret_p1w": 0.05773602021351909, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05773602021351909, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05490279964518341, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05490279964518341, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028332205683356815, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0028332205683356815, "ret_p1m": 0.11385024420192935, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11385024420192935, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12197383581900778, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12197383581900778, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00812359161707843, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00812359161707843, "ret_p3m": 0.24407784522414322, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.24407784522414322, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.29349731190704054, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.29349731190704054, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04941946668289732, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04941946668289732, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2458, -0.2919, -0.2748, -0.2767, -0.2783, -0.2967, -0.2822, -0.2709, -0.1865, -0.152, -0.1227, -0.1443, -0.1362, -0.142, -0.1143, -0.1311, -0.1349, -0.124, -0.1359, -0.1265, -0.1191, -0.1114, -0.1069, -0.0956, -0.132, -0.1291, -0.1201, -0.142, -0.1365, -0.1472, -0.1742, -0.1678, -0.1726, -0.172, -0.1688, -0.1688, -0.1549, -0.1417, -0.1327, -0.1113, -0.0973, -0.0772, -0.0892, -0.073, -0.0581, -0.0555, -0.0717, -0.0785, -0.1181, -0.1002, -0.1093, -0.1009, -0.0856, -0.0863, -0.0908, -0.0908, -0.0931, -0.0869, -0.0759, -0.0834, -0.0834, -0.0399, 0.0354, 0.0, -0.0146, 0.0435, 0.0584, 0.0347, 0.0577, 0.0717, 0.0633, 0.0564, 0.0564, 0.0399, 0.0821, 0.0937, 0.1012, 0.108, 0.1113, 0.0821, 0.083, 0.0873, 0.0649, 0.0986, 0.1139, 0.0976, 0.1346, 0.132, 0.1035, 0.1362, 0.1122, 0.1015, 0.1015, 0.0934, 0.1278, 0.1473, 0.1388, 0.143, 0.1609, 0.144, 0.1583, 0.1677, 0.1667, 0.1437, 0.1222, 0.1134, 0.1098, 0.1294, 0.1518, 0.1711, 0.1355, 0.0981, 0.1134, 0.1616, 0.1805, 0.2037, 0.1906, 0.2226, 0.2421, 0.2591, 0.2643, 0.3174, 0.2796, 0.2708, 0.2385, 0.2441, 0.2441, 0.2327, 0.262, 0.232, 0.2284, 0.2252, 0.2584, 0.2226, 0.2235, 0.2434, 0.2108, 0.1955, 0.2434, 0.2747, 0.2923, 0.3155, 0.308, 0.3301, 0.3627, 0.3787, 0.3578, 0.3683, 0.3598, 0.3168, 0.275, 0.2982, 0.3122, 0.3591, 0.337, 0.3458, 0.3611, 0.3943, 0.4009, 0.3787, 0.3676, 0.3516, 0.3516, 0.3389, 0.2907, 0.2819, 0.2662, 0.2662, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2008352067765837942", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2026-01-06T01:37:00+00:00", "symbol": "BKR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Many of these companies will likely receive subsidizes, as the US fixes extremely old pipelines", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Trump Venezuela oil subsidies bullish for CVX (guaranteed), refiners VLO/PSX/MPC (speculative), and service cos HAL/BKR on pipeline work; market re-rating expected.", "resolved_tickers": ["BKR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas Equipment & Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas Equipment & Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just in: \n\n1. Trump likely to Subsidize Oil Firms in Venezuela.\n\n2. Trump is now currently meeting US Oil company leaders to discuss these subsidies and boosting Oil Production immediately\n\nHere’s what companies likely receives the funding and benefits:\n\n$CVX - Chevron US subsidies are basically guaranteed as they are the only U.S. major currently left that can use to immediately deploy these subsidies.\n\nRefiners\n\n$VLO, $PSX and $MPC - These refiners are built to process Venezuelan heavy crude. Subsidies mean the oil flows faster, albeit the exact allocations are more speculative due to multiple players.\n\nService Companies\n\n$HAL, $BKR - These companies don't own the oil but they do fix the pipes. Many of these companies will likely receive subsidizes, as the US fixes extremely old pipelines. \n\nThis is incredibly rewarding for US companies to capitalize on the $17T gold mine of Venezuelan oil reserves, without risking their own capital.\n\nMarkets were initially pricing in high capex spend with a few of these, and now we might see a market re-rating in anticipation of these subsidies.\n\nUS funding oil company spend changes the equation across the board and is bullish for oil firms like Chevron.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0062778912571825884, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0062778912571825884, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00036586777186653485, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03366615439880061, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005912023485316054, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02738826314161802, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01093562131050374, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01093562131050374, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007712264518276335, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00023873755513537098, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0032233567922274053, "bench_c_p1d": -0.011174358865639111, "ret_p1w": -0.00830293715682251, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.00830293715682251, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.011136157725158191, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03810139572205584, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028332205683356815, "bench_c_p1w": 0.029798458565233332, "ret_p1m": 0.1982583578268864, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1982583578268864, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.20638194944396482, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04072105612180499, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00812359161707843, "bench_c_p1m": 0.1575373017050814, "ret_p3m": 0.22737496695334847, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.22737496695334847, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2767944336362458, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07931051756079466, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04941946668289732, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3066854845141431, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0348, -0.0922, -0.0831, -0.0964, -0.1037, -0.1003, -0.0894, -0.0672, -0.0577, -0.0467, -0.0146, -0.0467, -0.0608, -0.0354, -0.0261, -0.0209, -0.0243, -0.0196, -0.0691, -0.0474, -0.0423, -0.0306, -0.0117, -0.0087, -0.0375, -0.0379, -0.0132, -0.0304, -0.0267, -0.0182, -0.0265, -0.0101, -0.0004, 0.001, 0.003, 0.003, 0.0166, 0.0158, 0.002, 0.0225, 0.0249, -0.0036, -0.0403, -0.0342, -0.0271, -0.0389, -0.051, -0.0504, -0.0883, -0.0828, -0.0994, -0.0946, -0.0774, -0.0849, -0.0826, -0.0826, -0.0836, -0.081, -0.0666, -0.0778, -0.0778, -0.0454, -0.0063, 0.0, -0.0109, 0.0166, 0.0119, -0.029, -0.0083, 0.0122, 0.0531, 0.048, 0.048, 0.0381, 0.0853, 0.1029, 0.0919, 0.1399, 0.1442, 0.1468, 0.1488, 0.1349, 0.1432, 0.1746, 0.1983, 0.1616, 0.1932, 0.206, 0.1979, 0.2404, 0.2432, 0.2394, 0.2394, 0.2168, 0.251, 0.2717, 0.2646, 0.2943, 0.3156, 0.3174, 0.3193, 0.3266, 0.3178, 0.2713, 0.2375, 0.2235, 0.2158, 0.2217, 0.2062, 0.1987, 0.1363, 0.103, 0.1219, 0.1587, 0.1684, 0.2341, 0.2268, 0.2711, 0.2906, 0.2729, 0.2676, 0.2851, 0.2335, 0.241, 0.2266, 0.2274, 0.2274, 0.2339, 0.2451, 0.2839, 0.2892, 0.2772, 0.2717, 0.2499, 0.2211, 0.2318, 0.2152, 0.2028, 0.2247, 0.2713, 0.3109, 0.4014, 0.39, 0.3756, 0.3987, 0.4162, 0.405, 0.4028, 0.3824, 0.3598, 0.2957, 0.3031, 0.3175, 0.3306, 0.3341, 0.3178, 0.3078, 0.3504, 0.3353, 0.3622, 0.342, 0.3473, 0.3473, 0.361, 0.289, 0.3198, 0.3029, 0.3029, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1995644085563261034", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-02T00:00:01+00:00", "symbol": "SMCI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Upgrading $SMCI to EXTREMELY STRONG BUY at ~$33 (≈$19B MC)... I'm taking long positions since $SMCI looks to be one of the most compelling risk-adjusted 6 month (medium term) trades for 50-100% upside I've seen in the hardware sector.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Upgrades SMCI to strong buy at ~$33; targets 50-100% upside in 6 months on 60%+ YoY growth, margin recovery, and AI DC demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMCI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Upgrading $SMCI to EXTREMELY STRONG BUY at ~$33 (≈$19B MC).\n\n• FY’26 raised to $36B+ revenue (≈60%+ YoY from $22B).\n\n• AI DC build-out (e.g. $NBIS, $IREN, $DGXX) keeps GPU server demand maxed.\n\nThis isn't a $CRDO 272% Y/Y ER story but it's mispriced value. \n\nHere's why:\n\nSMCI dropped on earnings due to two things, fears over margin compression and revenue miss.\n\n_\n\n1. The Q1 2026 “miss” was delayed orders:\n\n• Revenue came in at $5B vs prior $6–7B guide. \n\n• However, all this was, is $1.5B getting pushed into Q2 from customers waiting for Nvidia’s Blackwell Ultra config. And they even **raised FY guidance** from $33B to FY $36B. \n\n2. Margins compression fears:\n\n•  FY 2025 Net Margin: ~5.9% ($1.3B Net Income on $22B Revenue).\n\n• The current margin compression is temporary. As DLC manufacturing moves down the learning curve, unit costs drop and margins climb. Management is targeting ~11% gross margin in the back half of the year, with net margins snapping back toward ~5.5%.\n\nIf margin merely mean-reverts toward ~11% and net margins toward ~5–6% on a $36–38B revenue base, you're looking at $2B+ in earnings. \n\nRevenue: $38.0 Billion\nNet Margin: 5.5% (Recovery Case)\nImplied Net Income: $2.09 Billion\nShare Count: 680 Million (Diluted)\nStock Price: ~$33.85\nP/E Calculation: $33.85 / $3.07 = 11.0x\n\nForward P/E: Approximately 10x-13x, for a stock with 60%+ forward growth. Dirt cheap. \n\n_ \n\n$SMCI doesn’t depend on GPU useful-life accounting games, it sells the racks either way. \n\nAlso post $NVDA, $NBIS, $CRDO, and other AI DC stocks-post ER confirmed the AI boom is not slowing down. \n\n$SMCI is the epicenter of the AI/DC boom, growing 60%+ Y/Y but the market is treating it like it's a $MSTR-like distressed asset.\n\nThus I'm taking long positions since $SMCI looks to be one of the most compelling risk-adjusted 6 month (medium term) trades for 50-100% upside I've seen in the hardware sector.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Analysis of the $GOOGL TPU v7 Ironwood Suppliers. \n\nHere's the list of what comapnies are the most materially impacted by the Google's TPU buildout.  \n\n+ the TPU stock I'm taking a position on. \n\n[Critical] Design/IP:\n- Broadcom [ $AVGO ]: co-designs and implements Google’s TPU https://t.co/mYu8ZDoiMI", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.014884620465411613, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.014884620465411613, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01673349546892422, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02508161166597278, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018488750035126067, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010196991200561167, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02308633592049847, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02308633592049847, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01962356812723809, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0207012307058152, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0034627677932603795, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0023851052146832696, "ret_p1w": 0.06379108158029512, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06379108158029512, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06157554785994224, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.040493465236337345, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00221553372035288, "bench_c_p1w": 0.023297616343957772, "ret_p1m": -0.11087478475696944, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11087478475696944, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11440357093378262, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10768343189520813, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.003528786176813181, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0031913528617613096, "ret_p3m": -0.01609959929453586, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.01609959929453586, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.02561786504113628, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.02316440724853086, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.009518265746600418, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03926400654306672, "ret_p6m": 0.1600850774874909, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1600850774874909, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.05267514889902691, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.11844513580214011, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10740992858846399, "bench_c_p6m": 0.278530213289631, "price_path": [0.2363, 0.2275, 0.2163, 0.3038, 0.3338, 0.3351, 0.367, 0.3785, 0.3642, 0.3639, 0.3955, 0.3916, 0.4238, 0.4274, 0.4034, 0.4046, 0.3919, 0.4083, 0.4563, 0.5914, 0.5948, 0.5784, 0.6592, 0.6728, 0.7825, 0.7612, 0.6057, 0.6631, 0.6133, 0.6385, 0.6355, 0.5851, 0.6719, 0.6652, 0.5948, 0.4557, 0.4669, 0.5665, 0.5905, 0.6005, 0.5301, 0.5784, 0.5416, 0.4399, 0.2767, 0.2254, 0.2078, 0.2208, 0.1792, 0.1516, 0.0659, 0.1063, 0.0358, 0.0601, 0.0246, -0.0413, -0.0222, 0.0122, -0.0134, -0.0027, -0.0027, 0.0283, 0.0149, 0.0, 0.0231, 0.0398, 0.0538, 0.0744, 0.0638, 0.0601, 0.0334, -0.0179, -0.0471, -0.0383, -0.0936, -0.1078, -0.055, -0.0562, -0.0656, -0.072, -0.072, -0.0693, -0.0863, -0.0993, -0.1109, -0.1109, -0.0595, -0.0866, -0.0723, -0.0884, -0.0917, -0.0838, -0.0851, -0.1312, -0.1413, -0.1063, -0.0085, -0.0085, -0.0459, -0.0207, -0.0143, -0.0371, -0.0644, -0.0522, -0.0519, -0.0851, -0.1157, -0.0975, -0.0987, 0.0255, -0.0629, 0.0444, 0.0185, 0.0125, -0.0267, -0.0756, -0.0723, -0.0723, -0.0854, -0.0975, -0.0231, -0.0152, -0.0671, -0.0544, 0.0207, -0.0194, -0.0161, -0.0331, -0.068, -0.0082, -0.0207, -0.0489, -0.0286, -0.0343, -0.0343, -0.0614, -0.0659, -0.0322, -0.0428, -0.0781, -0.0647, -0.3764, -0.3445, -0.3247, -0.2694, -0.3253, -0.3326, -0.3603, -0.3083, -0.3162, -0.2947, -0.2947, -0.3302, -0.3114, -0.2901, -0.2947, -0.2327, -0.2111, -0.1738, -0.171, -0.1373, -0.1324, -0.1248, -0.1364, -0.1136, -0.1874, -0.1166, -0.154, -0.1722, -0.2005, -0.1677, -0.1771, -0.1519, -0.1546, 0.0529, 0.0213, 0.0744, 0.0182, -0.0039, -0.0279, 0.0033, -0.0571, -0.0629, -0.0717, 0.0164, 0.0164, 0.0808, 0.0808, 0.127, 0.1601]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1978250421346140493", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-15T00:03:49+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Institutions do some fun stuff to accumulate another 20% of the float of $NBIS at lower levels. Institutional ownership is 38% (extremely low) (60-80% usually on great companies), and hedge funds are starting to finally realize Nebius will power MSFT Azure and many other frontier models in the future.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NBIS: institutions accumulating at low levels, ownership only 38% vs 60-80% norm, hedge funds recognizing its AI infrastructure role for Azure and frontier models.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Institutions do some fun stuff to accumulate another 20% of the float of $NBIS at lower levels. \n\nInstitutional ownership is 38% (extremely low) (60-80% usually on great companies), and hedge funds are starting to finally realize Nebius will power MSFT Azure and many other frontier models in the future.\n\nSo yeah, not a good idea to sell on the Soybean Seed Oil news, but probably shook off some retail like the Oracle hit piece.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Today was odd that NBIS was down more than others in the same space… oh well. $150 hopefully soon!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JayD428914", "ret_m1d": 0.018437511179127286, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.018437511179127286, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.022857412102326946, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02545663561504896, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00441990092319966, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007019124435921675, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.022172779741935766, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.022172779741935766, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01536251858795179, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011514210341831754, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006810261153983976, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010658569400104012, "ret_p1w": -0.21624412849493624, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.21624412849493624, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.22019810157945974, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.21832384935349303, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003953973084523499, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0020797208585567883, "ret_p1m": -0.2956370025932544, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2956370025932544, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3059653003869398, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.265567683000522, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010328297793685381, "bench_c_p1m": -0.030069319592732402, "ret_p3m": -0.14702376007940443, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14702376007940443, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1951981516370762, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.16895231924591925, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04817439155767178, "bench_c_p3m": 0.021928559166514816, "ret_p6m": 0.08344591788290523, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.08344591788290523, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.05546597760361438, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08686219341531143, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.02797994027929085, "bench_c_p6m": -0.003416275532406199, "price_path": [-0.5805, -0.5838, -0.5946, -0.5877, -0.5855, -0.5918, -0.5808, -0.5995, -0.5924, -0.5674, -0.5867, -0.5695, -0.5616, -0.5622, -0.481, -0.4534, -0.4418, -0.4013, -0.4387, -0.4559, -0.4308, -0.4235, -0.466, -0.4638, -0.4741, -0.4518, -0.4435, -0.4399, -0.4429, -0.4275, -0.457, -0.457, -0.4777, -0.4783, -0.4841, -0.4797, -0.4909, -0.2393, -0.2578, -0.2912, -0.2815, -0.2771, -0.2893, -0.2523, -0.252, -0.2108, -0.1528, -0.1433, -0.1001, -0.1422, -0.1441, -0.1241, -0.1078, -0.0812, 0.0003, 0.0171, -0.0071, -0.0646, -0.0304, 0.0541, 0.0298, 0.0765, 0.0184, 0.0, -0.0222, -0.0985, -0.1338, -0.1713, -0.2162, -0.1563, -0.0681, -0.0032, -0.0318, -0.0058, -0.0131, 0.0397, -0.0426, -0.1215, -0.0702, -0.1303, -0.1156, -0.1262, -0.1876, -0.2501, -0.2956, -0.3361, -0.3167, -0.2805, -0.2445, -0.3273, -0.3383, -0.2696, -0.2937, -0.2475, -0.2475, -0.246, -0.2041, -0.2335, -0.2139, -0.183, -0.2209, -0.2027, -0.2338, -0.2562, -0.2507, -0.3031, -0.3552, -0.3567, -0.4004, -0.3794, -0.289, -0.2591, -0.2845, -0.2758, -0.2758, -0.3039, -0.3162, -0.3231, -0.3348, -0.3348, -0.2851, -0.2623, -0.2034, -0.2354, -0.2267, -0.2217, -0.147, -0.1621, -0.1895, -0.1744, -0.1359, -0.1359, -0.2109, -0.2143, -0.2303, -0.249, -0.2731, -0.2222, -0.2019, -0.2457, -0.323, -0.2994, -0.2851, -0.3452, -0.4129, -0.3157, -0.2619, -0.2705, -0.2958, -0.2869, -0.2211, -0.2211, -0.225, -0.191, -0.1448, -0.2218, -0.2004, -0.1848, -0.1566, -0.1665, -0.2753, -0.2767, -0.3102, -0.2229, -0.2398, -0.2901, -0.2455, -0.2336, -0.1099, -0.1414, -0.1024, 0.0319, -0.0755, -0.0578, -0.0343, -0.0652, -0.0928, -0.0868, -0.0854, -0.1578, -0.1988, -0.2668, -0.1754, -0.1898, -0.1352, -0.1352, -0.1056, -0.067, -0.0066, 0.0834]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1968431919105966479", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-17T21:48:35+00:00", "symbol": "REMX", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I was thinking $REMX or $MP calls", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefers REMX/MP calls and NBIS over alternatives on rare earth geopolitical tailwind and AI/HPC pivot theme.", "resolved_tickers": ["REMX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I do like Rare Earth given geopolitical risk with China. Trump is also deploying $5B to accelerating mining. \n\nI was thinking $REMX or $MP calls, but $UURAF looks promising too, I'll look into it more. Main downside I see is that it's CAD. \n\nNot much of a fan of $NAKA or holding companies under NAV. Grayscale was under NAV for the longest time.  \n\nYeah I knew about $BITF before. I just liked $NBIS more but there's tons of other miners pivoting to AI out there.  THanks for the recs", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $BITF - making the WSB rounds, pivoting from using GPUs to mine BTC to AI/HPC efforts (have some)\n$NAKA - near NAV post PIPE unlock, Trump ties, they own a lot of BTC\n$UURAF - legit sleeper in terms of their RapidSX tech for rare earth processing, IMO 10x in 1yr (10% of my port)", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "platochi", "ret_m1d": -0.008022324050405927, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.008022324050405927, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009266304908676193, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009266304908676193, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.001243980858270266, "bench_c_m1d": 0.001243980858270266, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0032743297268096327, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0032743297268096327, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0013981154155207065, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0013981154155207065, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004672445142330339, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004672445142330339, "ret_p1w": 0.0659790031571259, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0659790031571259, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.060285843800581995, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.060285843800581995, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005693159356543909, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005693159356543909, "ret_p1m": 0.19269800559563932, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.19269800559563932, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.18770462048859837, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.18770462048859837, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0049933851070409485, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0049933851070409485, "ret_p3m": 0.15635223337484971, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15635223337484971, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.12079709034226305, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12079709034226305, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03555514303258667, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03555514303258667, "ret_p6m": 0.5638872363272027, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5638872363272027, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5476546961336042, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5476546961336042, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.016232540193598544, "bench_c_p6m": 0.016232540193598544, "price_path": [-0.3657, -0.3608, -0.3484, -0.3456, -0.3199, -0.325, -0.3356, -0.3397, -0.3176, -0.3147, -0.3147, -0.3351, -0.303, -0.3134, -0.2538, -0.2413, -0.2286, -0.2246, -0.2225, -0.1938, -0.1681, -0.1565, -0.1293, -0.1393, -0.1015, -0.1009, -0.1261, -0.1472, -0.1724, -0.1942, -0.1919, -0.1662, -0.1554, -0.1636, -0.1388, -0.103, -0.0588, -0.0645, -0.0578, -0.0702, -0.0455, -0.0247, -0.0491, -0.0733, -0.0609, -0.036, 0.0025, -0.0242, 0.0139, 0.0102, 0.0326, 0.0326, -0.0028, -0.0082, -0.027, -0.0026, 0.0138, -0.02, -0.0611, -0.036, -0.0311, -0.0021, -0.008, 0.0, 0.0033, 0.0159, 0.0115, 0.0013, 0.066, 0.0964, 0.0781, 0.073, 0.0776, 0.1128, 0.1354, 0.2009, 0.2125, 0.2074, 0.2205, 0.2243, 0.1374, 0.297, 0.3052, 0.2752, 0.1927, 0.1701, 0.187, 0.1397, 0.1251, 0.1506, 0.203, 0.1403, 0.1198, 0.1369, 0.1716, 0.1542, 0.0838, 0.0483, 0.0442, 0.0406, 0.0676, 0.132, 0.1182, 0.12, 0.1369, 0.1495, 0.1801, 0.1735, 0.2063, 0.1523, 0.129, 0.1326, 0.1694, 0.2038, 0.2038, 0.2248, 0.1992, 0.1979, 0.1952, 0.1619, 0.1812, 0.2019, 0.2135, 0.2186, 0.2277, 0.1863, 0.1564, 0.1472, 0.1731, 0.1803, 0.1883, 0.2388, 0.2485, 0.2691, 0.2691, 0.2793, 0.2338, 0.2336, 0.2323, 0.2323, 0.28, 0.3288, 0.3985, 0.4172, 0.3745, 0.4167, 0.481, 0.487, 0.5224, 0.5094, 0.4867, 0.4867, 0.4922, 0.5477, 0.5934, 0.6414, 0.6156, 0.6272, 0.6257, 0.5592, 0.4275, 0.4139, 0.5037, 0.4514, 0.3613, 0.4442, 0.4794, 0.4794, 0.5324, 0.4537, 0.4954, 0.4954, 0.4835, 0.5245, 0.5019, 0.4837, 0.5224, 0.5786, 0.6371, 0.6264, 0.6647, 0.7204, 0.5826, 0.6314, 0.5571, 0.5425, 0.5787, 0.6086, 0.6157, 0.5639]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1968431919105966479", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-17T21:48:35+00:00", "symbol": "MP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I was thinking $REMX or $MP calls", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefers REMX/MP calls and NBIS over alternatives on rare earth geopolitical tailwind and AI/HPC pivot theme.", "resolved_tickers": ["MP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Other Industrial Metals & Mining'", "bench_c_industry": "Other Industrial Metals & Mining", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I do like Rare Earth given geopolitical risk with China. Trump is also deploying $5B to accelerating mining. \n\nI was thinking $REMX or $MP calls, but $UURAF looks promising too, I'll look into it more. Main downside I see is that it's CAD. \n\nNot much of a fan of $NAKA or holding companies under NAV. Grayscale was under NAV for the longest time.  \n\nYeah I knew about $BITF before. I just liked $NBIS more but there's tons of other miners pivoting to AI out there.  THanks for the recs", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $BITF - making the WSB rounds, pivoting from using GPUs to mine BTC to AI/HPC efforts (have some)\n$NAKA - near NAV post PIPE unlock, Trump ties, they own a lot of BTC\n$UURAF - legit sleeper in terms of their RapidSX tech for rare earth processing, IMO 10x in 1yr (10% of my port)", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "platochi", "ret_m1d": -0.01242320359213056, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01242320359213056, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.013667184450400827, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010112104336741479, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.001243980858270266, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002311099255389082, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07962879642614062, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07962879642614062, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07495635128381029, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07962879642614062, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004672445142330339, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.06615785002032681, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06615785002032681, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.060464690663782905, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08230999368306013, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005693159356543909, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01615214366273332, "ret_p1m": 0.2549019518278115, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2549019518278115, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.24990856672077055, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2813370605725477, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0049933851070409485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.026435108744736202, "ret_p3m": -0.20281394599927827, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.20281394599927827, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23836908903186493, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20059355323760542, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03555514303258667, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0022203927616728514, "ret_p6m": -0.10148179953682346, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.10148179953682346, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.117714339730422, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.20577195266130877, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.016232540193598544, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10429015312448531, "price_path": [-0.4351, -0.4528, -0.4775, -0.4701, -0.4613, -0.5076, -0.502, -0.5287, -0.5155, -0.5234, -0.5234, -0.5352, -0.5332, -0.5505, -0.323, -0.3248, -0.2738, -0.1286, -0.1236, -0.098, -0.0537, -0.1167, -0.1007, -0.0849, -0.0786, -0.0708, -0.0404, -0.098, -0.0892, -0.0795, -0.0467, -0.0208, 0.0236, 0.0105, 0.0638, 0.1124, 0.088, 0.1218, 0.1286, 0.1462, 0.123, 0.0808, 0.0371, 0.0204, 0.022, 0.016, 0.0823, 0.0452, 0.0687, 0.1001, 0.0648, 0.0648, 0.0075, -0.0123, -0.0394, -0.0563, -0.0612, -0.0548, -0.0654, -0.0566, -0.0494, -0.013, -0.0124, 0.0, 0.0796, 0.0959, 0.0959, 0.1181, 0.0662, 0.1545, 0.0272, 0.0205, 0.0039, 0.0123, 0.0621, 0.0702, 0.1126, 0.1042, 0.0566, 0.082, 0.1726, 0.4228, 0.4766, 0.3449, 0.2549, 0.2093, 0.2408, 0.1093, 0.0448, 0.0245, 0.0599, -0.0186, -0.028, -0.0377, -0.0283, -0.0557, -0.137, -0.1783, -0.1778, -0.2224, -0.1229, -0.0394, -0.0727, -0.1061, -0.1388, -0.1223, -0.1471, -0.1242, -0.0488, -0.1516, -0.1727, -0.1163, -0.1287, -0.0997, -0.0997, -0.0727, -0.1304, -0.0894, -0.1212, -0.075, -0.0706, -0.084, -0.1046, -0.1314, -0.1018, -0.1519, -0.2028, -0.2004, -0.2212, -0.2211, -0.1922, -0.1859, -0.1886, -0.1837, -0.1837, -0.201, -0.2227, -0.245, -0.2438, -0.2438, -0.1772, -0.1226, -0.1046, -0.0645, -0.0861, -0.072, -0.022, -0.0448, 0.0373, -0.0016, 0.0325, 0.0325, 0.0235, -0.0323, 0.0233, 0.0415, -0.0504, -0.0012, 0.003, -0.0696, -0.1203, -0.1153, -0.0329, -0.0937, -0.1536, -0.0831, -0.06, -0.0669, -0.0932, -0.1423, -0.1314, -0.1314, -0.1476, -0.1328, -0.1235, -0.1717, -0.1663, -0.1253, -0.122, -0.1019, -0.1188, -0.0461, -0.081, -0.0778, -0.1247, -0.1284, -0.0974, -0.0783, -0.0683, -0.1015]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1968431919105966479", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-09-17T21:48:35+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I just liked $NBIS more", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefers REMX/MP calls and NBIS over alternatives on rare earth geopolitical tailwind and AI/HPC pivot theme.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I do like Rare Earth given geopolitical risk with China. Trump is also deploying $5B to accelerating mining. \n\nI was thinking $REMX or $MP calls, but $UURAF looks promising too, I'll look into it more. Main downside I see is that it's CAD. \n\nNot much of a fan of $NAKA or holding companies under NAV. Grayscale was under NAV for the longest time.  \n\nYeah I knew about $BITF before. I just liked $NBIS more but there's tons of other miners pivoting to AI out there.  THanks for the recs", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $BITF - making the WSB rounds, pivoting from using GPUs to mine BTC to AI/HPC efforts (have some)\n$NAKA - near NAV post PIPE unlock, Trump ties, they own a lot of BTC\n$UURAF - legit sleeper in terms of their RapidSX tech for rare earth processing, IMO 10x in 1yr (10% of my port)", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "platochi", "ret_m1d": -0.04942603566514814, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04942603566514814, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.050670016523418404, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04681720570330694, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.001243980858270266, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002608829961841197, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0004251797911225541, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0004251797911225541, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004247265351207785, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0003321868967780528, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004672445142330339, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0007573666879006069, "ret_p1w": 0.20355018232533362, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.20355018232533362, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1978570229687897, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.21188523616061783, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005693159356543909, "bench_c_p1w": -0.008335053835284212, "ret_p1m": 0.3078231135292486, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3078231135292486, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3028297284222077, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3436879925684512, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0049933851070409485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.035864879039202546, "ret_p3m": -0.13754254028016943, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.13754254028016943, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1730976833127561, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12194493646387128, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03555514303258667, "bench_c_p3m": -0.015597603816298156, "ret_p6m": 0.14838434112215992, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.14838434112215992, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.13215180092856138, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.17180869419613498, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.016232540193598544, "bench_c_p6m": -0.023424353073975057, "price_path": [-0.4901, -0.4953, -0.4577, -0.4843, -0.4409, -0.449, -0.4119, -0.4652, -0.4689, -0.4659, -0.4659, -0.4915, -0.4994, -0.5105, -0.5065, -0.5291, -0.4478, -0.431, -0.4334, -0.4293, -0.4389, -0.4433, -0.4578, -0.4486, -0.4456, -0.454, -0.4393, -0.4643, -0.4548, -0.4214, -0.4473, -0.4242, -0.4136, -0.4144, -0.3058, -0.2689, -0.2534, -0.1993, -0.2493, -0.2723, -0.2387, -0.229, -0.2858, -0.2828, -0.2966, -0.2668, -0.2557, -0.2509, -0.2549, -0.2343, -0.2738, -0.2738, -0.3014, -0.3022, -0.3101, -0.3041, -0.3191, 0.0174, -0.0073, -0.052, -0.039, -0.0332, -0.0494, 0.0, 0.0004, 0.0556, 0.1331, 0.1458, 0.2036, 0.1473, 0.1448, 0.1716, 0.1933, 0.2288, 0.3379, 0.3603, 0.328, 0.2511, 0.2968, 0.4099, 0.3773, 0.4398, 0.3621, 0.3375, 0.3078, 0.2058, 0.1586, 0.1084, 0.0483, 0.1284, 0.2464, 0.3332, 0.295, 0.3297, 0.3199, 0.3905, 0.2805, 0.175, 0.2436, 0.1633, 0.1828, 0.1687, 0.0865, 0.003, -0.0579, -0.112, -0.0861, -0.0376, 0.0105, -0.1003, -0.115, -0.0232, -0.0553, 0.0065, 0.0065, 0.0084, 0.0645, 0.0252, 0.0514, 0.0927, 0.0421, 0.0664, 0.0248, -0.0052, 0.0021, -0.0679, -0.1375, -0.1396, -0.198, -0.17, -0.0491, -0.009, -0.043, -0.0314, -0.0314, -0.069, -0.0855, -0.0947, -0.1103, -0.1103, -0.0439, -0.0133, 0.0655, 0.0226, 0.0342, 0.0409, 0.1408, 0.1206, 0.084, 0.1042, 0.1557, 0.1557, 0.0554, 0.0509, 0.0294, 0.0045, -0.0278, 0.0403, 0.0675, 0.0088, -0.0945, -0.0629, -0.0439, -0.1243, -0.2148, -0.0848, -0.0128, -0.0243, -0.0581, -0.0462, 0.0418, 0.0418, 0.0366, 0.0821, 0.1438, 0.0408, 0.0694, 0.0903, 0.128, 0.1148, -0.0307, -0.0326, -0.0774, 0.0393, 0.0167, -0.0505, 0.0091, 0.025, 0.1904, 0.1484]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2000559421894909954", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-15T13:31:49+00:00", "symbol": "UBER", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Robotaxis won't kill if $UBER plays their cards right", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "UBER can survive robotaxi threat if it aggregates non-competing RoboTaxi firms; Waymo/GOOGL poses structural threat to UBER's model.", "resolved_tickers": ["UBER"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Disagree, but it’s nuanced. Robotaxis will ruin $UBER’s business model if it’s Waymo.\n\nUber likely realizes that every link with Waymo will eventually funnel into Waymo’s direct app that will replace/sidestep Uber one day. $GOOGL has no problems subsidizing utilization.\n\nHence $NBIS Avride Texas launch with Uber is a good example of the aggregator model where they allow riders to match with robotaxis of a non-competitive Robotaxi company that they partially own. \n\nAnd this actually benefits the app.\n\nRobotaxis won’t kill if $UBER plays their cards right, but Waymo and Tesla (with direct competitor apps) will if Uber allows customer matching with them + serves as a funnel for their users unto competing apps.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "We agree on @Uber. A well articulated bull thesis on the key issues.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BillAckman", "ret_m1d": 0.03970192982858367, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03970192982858367, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03818875580969405, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03818875580969405, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0015131740188896181, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0015131740188896181, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011483049528433376, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011483049528433376, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008750751933154666, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008750751933154666, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00273229759527871, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00273229759527871, "ret_p1w": -0.007329568405173181, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.007329568405173181, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01632529371787561, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01632529371787561, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00899572531270243, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00899572531270243, "ret_p1m": 0.04336676063142986, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04336676063142986, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02119927072571892, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02119927072571892, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022167489905710935, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022167489905710935, "ret_p3m": -0.10860004059814599, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.10860004059814599, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08994086733345386, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08994086733345386, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.01865917326469213, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01865917326469213, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1355, 0.1569, 0.2034, 0.2141, 0.1947, 0.1945, 0.1923, 0.2027, 0.2163, 0.1968, 0.1802, 0.1802, 0.1801, 0.2228, 0.1947, 0.2128, 0.1727, 0.141, 0.1493, 0.1514, 0.1547, 0.1302, 0.1275, 0.1446, 0.1365, 0.1264, 0.1558, 0.1492, 0.1779, 0.1658, 0.1698, 0.1787, 0.1788, 0.2182, 0.1565, 0.133, 0.1253, 0.1237, 0.1495, 0.1434, 0.143, 0.1212, 0.1192, 0.1252, 0.1099, 0.0937, 0.0183, 0.0246, 0.0224, 0.0224, 0.0464, 0.0464, 0.0694, 0.0575, 0.0698, 0.1077, 0.1115, 0.1156, 0.1308, 0.0881, 0.0281, 0.0437, 0.0397, 0.0, -0.0115, -0.0332, -0.0265, -0.0312, -0.0073, -0.0109, -0.0087, -0.0087, -0.0073, -0.0044, 0.0032, -0.0018, -0.0018, 0.0122, -0.0137, 0.045, 0.0529, 0.07, 0.0437, 0.0343, 0.0434, 0.0341, 0.0308, 0.0365, 0.0365, 0.0227, 0.0293, 0.0086, 0.0055, 0.0015, -0.0076, -0.0254, -0.002, -0.0221, -0.0125, -0.048, -0.097, -0.0812, -0.0866, -0.0971, -0.1021, -0.1325, -0.13, -0.145, -0.145, -0.1384, -0.111, -0.109, -0.0977, -0.1361, -0.128, -0.1103, -0.0862, -0.0787, -0.0722, -0.0672, -0.0636, -0.0784, -0.0822, -0.098, -0.1161, -0.0842, -0.1086, -0.1042, -0.088, -0.0497, -0.0635, -0.0796, -0.0974, -0.0823, -0.1163, -0.1073, -0.1382, -0.1549, -0.146, -0.1213, -0.124, -0.1224, -0.1224, -0.1184, -0.1237, -0.1158, -0.1228, -0.139, -0.1163, -0.1093, -0.0559, -0.0657, -0.0579, -0.0534, -0.0562, -0.0767, -0.0875, -0.0882, -0.0683, -0.0947, -0.0903, -0.0886, -0.0823, -0.0969, -0.1088, -0.0329, -0.0627, -0.0783, -0.0698, -0.0672, -0.0875, -0.0876, -0.0827, -0.0828, -0.0949, -0.0887, -0.1008, -0.1226, -0.1226, -0.1434, -0.136, -0.1336, -0.14, -0.14, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2000559421894909954", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-15T13:31:49+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$GOOGL has no problems subsidizing utilization", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "UBER can survive robotaxi threat if it aggregates non-competing RoboTaxi firms; Waymo/GOOGL poses structural threat to UBER's model.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Disagree, but it’s nuanced. Robotaxis will ruin $UBER’s business model if it’s Waymo.\n\nUber likely realizes that every link with Waymo will eventually funnel into Waymo’s direct app that will replace/sidestep Uber one day. $GOOGL has no problems subsidizing utilization.\n\nHence $NBIS Avride Texas launch with Uber is a good example of the aggregator model where they allow riders to match with robotaxis of a non-competitive Robotaxi company that they partially own. \n\nAnd this actually benefits the app.\n\nRobotaxis won’t kill if $UBER plays their cards right, but Waymo and Tesla (with direct competitor apps) will if Uber allows customer matching with them + serves as a funnel for their users unto competing apps.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "We agree on @Uber. A well articulated bull thesis on the key issues.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BillAckman", "ret_m1d": 0.0034716359869084723, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0034716359869084723, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.001958461968018854, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0036430967934579783, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0015131740188896181, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00017146080654950602, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005353302720950914, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005353302720950914, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0026210051256722044, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006039672910826521, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00273229759527871, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0006863701898756069, "ret_p1w": 0.0050613079936998595, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0050613079936998595, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.00393441731900257, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0010492700354522988, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00899572531270243, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004012037958247561, "ret_p1m": 0.09003316077207879, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09003316077207879, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06786567086636786, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0840417155004185, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022167489905710935, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0059914452716602895, "ret_p3m": -0.014458247231053711, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.014458247231053711, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.004200926033638419, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.006507485136183377, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.01865917326469213, "bench_c_p3m": -0.007950762094870334, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1909, -0.1828, -0.1741, -0.1812, -0.184, -0.1987, -0.2031, -0.2006, -0.2087, -0.2118, -0.206, -0.2034, -0.2045, -0.188, -0.2032, -0.2069, -0.2169, -0.233, -0.2084, -0.2042, -0.1861, -0.1847, -0.1787, -0.1682, -0.1879, -0.1839, -0.1794, -0.1573, -0.1269, -0.1328, -0.1098, -0.0874, -0.0883, -0.0801, -0.1001, -0.0782, -0.0768, -0.0959, -0.0594, -0.0555, -0.0704, -0.0968, -0.1038, -0.0759, -0.0783, -0.0506, -0.0615, -0.0284, 0.0329, 0.0487, 0.0374, 0.0374, 0.0381, 0.021, 0.024, 0.0363, 0.0298, 0.0417, 0.0178, 0.0287, 0.0389, 0.0137, 0.0035, 0.0, -0.0054, -0.0373, -0.0187, -0.0034, 0.0051, 0.0199, 0.019, 0.019, 0.0172, 0.0173, 0.0183, 0.0155, 0.0155, 0.0225, 0.027, 0.0199, 0.0446, 0.0559, 0.066, 0.0767, 0.09, 0.0896, 0.0797, 0.0707, 0.0707, 0.0447, 0.0654, 0.0724, 0.0639, 0.0812, 0.0854, 0.0902, 0.0974, 0.0966, 0.1151, 0.1022, 0.0805, 0.0747, 0.0475, 0.0522, 0.0336, 0.0089, 0.0025, -0.0081, -0.0081, -0.0201, -0.0159, -0.0174, 0.0219, 0.0106, 0.0087, 0.0152, -0.0027, 0.0115, -0.0055, -0.0151, -0.0165, -0.0238, -0.0315, -0.0053, -0.0031, 0.0023, -0.0145, -0.0186, -0.0079, 0.0095, -0.001, -0.0028, -0.0227, -0.0193, -0.057, -0.0554, -0.0879, -0.1093, -0.112, -0.0664, -0.0345, -0.0397, -0.0397, -0.026, -0.0083, 0.0302, 0.034, 0.03, 0.0432, 0.0809, 0.0945, 0.091, 0.1093, 0.0955, 0.0789, 0.1017, 0.1003, 0.1182, 0.1375, 0.1356, 0.1362, 0.2493, 0.2522, 0.2443, 0.2611, 0.2923, 0.2922, 0.3013, 0.2618, 0.2576, 0.3072, 0.3022, 0.2882, 0.2888, 0.2586, 0.2627, 0.2586, 0.2434, 0.2434, 0.2626, 0.2624, 0.2666, 0.2349, 0.2349, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1983152884280951244", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-28T12:44:27+00:00", "symbol": "WULF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$WULF is one of the better ones out of the bunch imo, especially after the new JV that just got announced for $9.5B", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish WULF as one of the better plays; $9.5B JV announcement is sizable and great news given its market cap.", "resolved_tickers": ["WULF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@poemaran Yep! $WULF is one of the better ones out of the bunch imo, especially after the new JV that just got announced for $9.5B.\n\nIt was over 25 years I think so revenue ramp likely really slow (compared to a 5Y deal) but just given the MC it’s really sizable and great news.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $wulf has backing from Google", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "poemaran", "ret_m1d": -0.14429104752870014, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.14429104752870014, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.14164208421590396, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.14164208421590396, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002648963312796182, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002648963312796182, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09033874644234297, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09033874644234297, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.09081913348223869, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.09081913348223869, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004803870398957244, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0004803870398957244, "ret_p1w": -0.058343750061698674, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.058343750061698674, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.041140051126162036, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.041140051126162036, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017203698935536638, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017203698935536638, "ret_p1m": -0.06900874885524677, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06900874885524677, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05826735896876534, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05826735896876534, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010741389886481434, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010741389886481434, "ret_p3m": -0.11417815199092085, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11417815199092085, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12030069687543765, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12030069687543765, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006122544884516801, "bench_c_p3m": 0.006122544884516801, "ret_p6m": 0.28920952183402715, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.28920952183402715, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.24816559978877373, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.24816559978877373, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04104392204525342, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04104392204525342, "price_path": [-0.6763, -0.7014, -0.6932, -0.6826, -0.6769, -0.6901, -0.6844, -0.6612, -0.6713, -0.6575, -0.4536, -0.4373, -0.4115, -0.4492, -0.4178, -0.4235, -0.4253, -0.4398, -0.4203, -0.4272, -0.4078, -0.4072, -0.4072, -0.3959, -0.4366, -0.4435, -0.4272, -0.4228, -0.3538, -0.3381, -0.3325, -0.325, -0.3419, -0.3137, -0.288, -0.2992, -0.3112, -0.2792, -0.2949, -0.2848, -0.3118, -0.3206, -0.2723, -0.2836, -0.2804, -0.2735, -0.2522, -0.2491, -0.2409, -0.2284, -0.1474, -0.1524, -0.1217, -0.0301, -0.0295, -0.1305, -0.1261, -0.1311, -0.1757, -0.2083, -0.192, -0.1399, -0.1443, 0.0, -0.0903, -0.0703, -0.0276, 0.01, -0.0583, -0.0364, -0.1041, -0.1255, -0.1029, -0.224, -0.207, -0.2673, -0.3105, -0.3068, -0.2472, -0.2327, -0.2748, -0.2917, -0.2077, -0.1255, -0.069, -0.069, -0.027, -0.0402, -0.1079, -0.0947, -0.0527, -0.0903, -0.0615, -0.022, -0.0113, -0.0069, -0.101, -0.2164, -0.1851, -0.2742, -0.2604, -0.2146, -0.2177, -0.2208, -0.2277, -0.2277, -0.2629, -0.2836, -0.3005, -0.2792, -0.2792, -0.2008, -0.1455, -0.1731, -0.2164, -0.1945, -0.1782, -0.1336, -0.1129, -0.1085, -0.1324, -0.1311, -0.1311, -0.1637, -0.1769, -0.1913, -0.1142, -0.1349, -0.0395, -0.0521, -0.0878, -0.1612, -0.1568, -0.0715, -0.1292, -0.2522, -0.1035, 0.0445, 0.0433, 0.0056, -0.0019, 0.0201, 0.0201, 0.0151, -0.0351, -0.0295, -0.0583, -0.0163, 0.1016, 0.1242, 0.1217, 0.0176, 0.005, -0.0753, -0.0358, -0.0445, -0.1374, -0.1311, -0.0997, -0.0452, -0.0797, -0.0797, 0.0295, 0.0063, -0.0402, -0.0125, -0.0527, 0.0157, 0.0176, 0.0577, -0.037, -0.0659, -0.1405, -0.0947, -0.0916, -0.0665, -0.0665, -0.0245, 0.0395, 0.1324, 0.1939, 0.1838, 0.2202, 0.3143, 0.234, 0.2114, 0.2949, 0.2861, 0.2403, 0.2892]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1993330916060438702", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-25T14:48:19+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NVDA just had a blowout quarter and absolutely insane Q4 projections. Just go off those revenue projections. $NVDA sells out of Anything they produce.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish NVDA near/mid-term (sells out everything, blowout quarter); AMD mildly positive near-term; TSM medium-term tailwind; CRWV faces long-term headwind from TPU/AMD alternatives.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Amazing question, so I have a really long nuanced thesis regarding Google TPUs. \n\nSUMMARY:  The thing to be worried about is if TPUs and AMD outperform $NVDA long term, so people **PREFER** other GPUs and buy them instead. Not because they ran out of $NVDA GPUs to buy and are forced to go get alternatives.\n\nBut this is a TLDR. Right now it's like $AMD:\n\nPotential competitive alternative to $NVDA, not much of an impact near term to fundamentals.\n\nThis is a long term headwind against NVDA specific-clouds ( $CRWV ) and $NVDA itself (eg. how $META might buy TPUs ). But part of that nuance is because $NVDA is constrained on how much GPUs they can produce lol, otherwise $META might not just buy any TPUs.  \n\nShort-term/mid-term it's not very material to earnings. Medium term tailwind for $TSM, colo providers like $CIFR, GPU agnostic cloud providers. \n\n$NVDA just had a blowout quarter and absolutely insane Q4 projections. Just go off those revenue projections. \n\nSO the nuance what I'm trying to say is people buy $AMD, TPUs because they're capacity straigned. $NVDA sells out of Anything they produce.\n\nIf $NVDA can't sell out of anything they produce, then that's where you get worried about the headwinds and $NVDA story.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What is your opinion of the Google TPUs and its impact on the space?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "defalt1420", "ret_m1d": 0.026599997322424462, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.026599997322424462, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.035918340508220625, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.035918340508220625, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009318343185796163, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009318343185796163, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013721716820289664, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013721716820289664, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006818233369662696, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006818233369662696, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006903483450626968, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006903483450626968, "ret_p1w": 0.020470151382573132, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.020470151382573132, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.010825989457843743, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.010825989457843743, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009644161924729389, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009644161924729389, "ret_p1m": 0.06073839983275442, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06073839983275442, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.034961436263345025, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.034961436263345025, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.025776963569409395, "bench_c_p1m": 0.025776963569409395, "ret_p3m": 0.06754347541762451, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06754347541762451, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.04317799900024477, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04317799900024477, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02436547641737974, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02436547641737974, "ret_p6m": 0.2568582838182092, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2568582838182092, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1524900757248826, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1524900757248826, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10436820809332659, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10436820809332659, "price_path": [0.0132, -0.0205, -0.0205, -0.0396, -0.0405, -0.0347, -0.0608, -0.0535, -0.0398, -0.0028, -0.0037, 0.0, -0.0004, -0.0165, -0.0423, -0.0089, -0.0065, 0.0326, 0.0034, -0.0048, -0.0007, 0.0021, 0.0227, 0.0493, 0.053, 0.0623, 0.0551, 0.0434, 0.0406, 0.0635, 0.0829, 0.03, 0.059, 0.0124, 0.0113, 0.0224, 0.0304, 0.0271, 0.0188, 0.0138, 0.0244, 0.0475, 0.0769, 0.1305, 0.1643, 0.141, 0.1387, 0.1634, 0.1174, 0.0978, 0.0577, 0.0581, 0.1194, 0.0863, 0.0899, 0.0508, 0.0695, 0.0494, 0.0199, 0.0489, 0.0159, 0.006, 0.0266, 0.0, 0.0137, 0.0137, -0.0046, 0.0118, 0.0205, 0.01, 0.0313, 0.0259, 0.0435, 0.0403, 0.0336, 0.0175, -0.0157, -0.0085, -0.0005, -0.0386, -0.0206, 0.0179, 0.0331, 0.0641, 0.0607, 0.0607, 0.0715, 0.0585, 0.0547, 0.0489, 0.0489, 0.0621, 0.058, 0.053, 0.0636, 0.0407, 0.0396, 0.0401, 0.045, 0.03, 0.052, 0.0474, 0.0474, 0.0015, 0.031, 0.0395, 0.0555, 0.0487, 0.0602, 0.0771, 0.0827, 0.0749, 0.0439, 0.0142, -0.0204, -0.0334, 0.0427, 0.0688, 0.0603, 0.0688, 0.0513, 0.0281, 0.0281, 0.0403, 0.0572, 0.0567, 0.0675, 0.0773, 0.0846, 0.0998, 0.0398, -0.0035, 0.0263, 0.0126, 0.0294, 0.0311, 0.0001, 0.0272, 0.0391, 0.0463, 0.03, 0.0138, 0.0305, 0.0232, 0.0146, 0.0043, -0.0287, -0.0122, -0.0146, 0.0049, -0.0369, -0.0578, -0.071, -0.0191, -0.0115, -0.0023, -0.0023, -0.0009, 0.0017, 0.0241, 0.0344, 0.0609, 0.0647, 0.1052, 0.1185, 0.1156, 0.1343, 0.1364, 0.1242, 0.1389, 0.1228, 0.1714, 0.2183, 0.1989, 0.1769, 0.1224, 0.1161, 0.1163, 0.1052, 0.1689, 0.1895, 0.2103, 0.2342, 0.2417, 0.2701, 0.3259, 0.2673, 0.2504, 0.2408, 0.2569]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1993330916060438702", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-25T14:48:19+00:00", "symbol": "AMD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Right now it's like $AMD: Potential competitive alternative to $NVDA, not much of an impact near term to fundamentals.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish NVDA near/mid-term (sells out everything, blowout quarter); AMD mildly positive near-term; TSM medium-term tailwind; CRWV faces long-term headwind from TPU/AMD alternatives.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Amazing question, so I have a really long nuanced thesis regarding Google TPUs. \n\nSUMMARY:  The thing to be worried about is if TPUs and AMD outperform $NVDA long term, so people **PREFER** other GPUs and buy them instead. Not because they ran out of $NVDA GPUs to buy and are forced to go get alternatives.\n\nBut this is a TLDR. Right now it's like $AMD:\n\nPotential competitive alternative to $NVDA, not much of an impact near term to fundamentals.\n\nThis is a long term headwind against NVDA specific-clouds ( $CRWV ) and $NVDA itself (eg. how $META might buy TPUs ). But part of that nuance is because $NVDA is constrained on how much GPUs they can produce lol, otherwise $META might not just buy any TPUs.  \n\nShort-term/mid-term it's not very material to earnings. Medium term tailwind for $TSM, colo providers like $CIFR, GPU agnostic cloud providers. \n\n$NVDA just had a blowout quarter and absolutely insane Q4 projections. Just go off those revenue projections. \n\nSO the nuance what I'm trying to say is people buy $AMD, TPUs because they're capacity straigned. $NVDA sells out of Anything they produce.\n\nIf $NVDA can't sell out of anything they produce, then that's where you get worried about the headwinds and $NVDA story.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What is your opinion of the Google TPUs and its impact on the space?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "defalt1420", "ret_m1d": 0.04327365234390035, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04327365234390035, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05259199552969651, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05259199552969651, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009318343185796163, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009318343185796163, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03934410526484089, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03934410526484089, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03244062181421392, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03244062181421392, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006903483450626968, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006903483450626968, "ret_p1w": 0.04419541257727477, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04419541257727477, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.034551250652545384, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.034551250652545384, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009644161924729389, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009644161924729389, "ret_p1m": 0.04322509189472812, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04322509189472812, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.017448128325318724, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.017448128325318724, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.025776963569409395, "bench_c_p1m": 0.025776963569409395, "ret_p3m": -0.02901087102640798, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.02901087102640798, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05337634744378772, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05337634744378772, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02436547641737974, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02436547641737974, "ret_p6m": 1.1713480617570475, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.1713480617570475, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.066979853663721, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.066979853663721, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10436820809332659, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10436820809332659, "price_path": [-0.1822, -0.211, -0.211, -0.2125, -0.2135, -0.2151, -0.2668, -0.2655, -0.2441, -0.226, -0.2448, -0.2307, -0.2182, -0.2216, -0.2279, -0.2339, -0.2365, -0.2248, -0.2194, -0.2195, -0.2176, -0.2264, -0.2172, -0.2151, -0.2043, -0.1766, -0.2011, -0.0117, 0.0261, 0.1428, 0.1298, 0.0425, 0.0499, 0.058, 0.1575, 0.1379, 0.1307, 0.167, 0.1548, 0.1169, 0.14, 0.227, 0.2597, 0.2517, 0.2823, 0.2363, 0.2425, 0.2596, 0.2131, 0.2435, 0.1532, 0.133, 0.1836, 0.1523, 0.256, 0.2029, 0.1974, 0.1668, 0.1172, 0.0845, -0.0005, -0.0114, 0.0433, 0.0, 0.0393, 0.0393, 0.0553, 0.0661, 0.0442, 0.0556, 0.0478, 0.0574, 0.0727, 0.0751, 0.0742, 0.0742, 0.0226, 0.007, 0.0147, -0.0389, -0.0246, 0.0354, 0.0428, 0.0425, 0.0432, 0.0432, 0.043, 0.046, 0.0447, 0.039, 0.039, 0.0841, 0.0725, 0.0399, 0.0189, -0.007, -0.0144, 0.0076, 0.072, 0.0848, 0.1057, 0.1247, 0.1247, 0.1251, 0.2119, 0.2309, 0.2598, 0.2192, 0.2227, 0.2261, 0.2234, 0.1484, 0.1947, 0.1746, -0.0288, -0.0661, 0.0112, 0.0479, 0.0361, 0.0361, -0.0009, 0.0058, 0.0058, -0.0148, -0.0292, -0.0134, -0.029, -0.0462, 0.0374, 0.0229, -0.0119, -0.0287, -0.0364, -0.0736, -0.0197, -0.0324, -0.0665, -0.0167, -0.0141, -0.0063, -0.0407, -0.0618, -0.0463, -0.0476, -0.0324, -0.0042, -0.0233, -0.0167, -0.0037, 0.0686, -0.0114, -0.0201, -0.0489, -0.0131, 0.0198, 0.0552, 0.0552, 0.0682, 0.0747, 0.1246, 0.148, 0.1888, 0.1974, 0.2374, 0.2522, 0.3499, 0.3506, 0.3339, 0.3801, 0.4722, 0.4812, 0.6873, 0.6234, 0.568, 0.6354, 0.7197, 0.7491, 0.6569, 0.7235, 1.0443, 0.9816, 1.2083, 1.2257, 1.1748, 1.1613, 1.1816, 1.0574, 1.0424, 1.0087, 1.1713]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1993330916060438702", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-11-25T14:48:19+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Medium term tailwind for $TSM", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish NVDA near/mid-term (sells out everything, blowout quarter); AMD mildly positive near-term; TSM medium-term tailwind; CRWV faces long-term headwind from TPU/AMD alternatives.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Amazing question, so I have a really long nuanced thesis regarding Google TPUs. \n\nSUMMARY:  The thing to be worried about is if TPUs and AMD outperform $NVDA long term, so people **PREFER** other GPUs and buy them instead. Not because they ran out of $NVDA GPUs to buy and are forced to go get alternatives.\n\nBut this is a TLDR. Right now it's like $AMD:\n\nPotential competitive alternative to $NVDA, not much of an impact near term to fundamentals.\n\nThis is a long term headwind against NVDA specific-clouds ( $CRWV ) and $NVDA itself (eg. how $META might buy TPUs ). But part of that nuance is because $NVDA is constrained on how much GPUs they can produce lol, otherwise $META might not just buy any TPUs.  \n\nShort-term/mid-term it's not very material to earnings. Medium term tailwind for $TSM, colo providers like $CIFR, GPU agnostic cloud providers. \n\n$NVDA just had a blowout quarter and absolutely insane Q4 projections. Just go off those revenue projections. \n\nSO the nuance what I'm trying to say is people buy $AMD, TPUs because they're capacity straigned. $NVDA sells out of Anything they produce.\n\nIf $NVDA can't sell out of anything they produce, then that's where you get worried about the headwinds and $NVDA story.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What is your opinion of the Google TPUs and its impact on the space?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "defalt1420", "ret_m1d": -0.0001404527991283322, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0001404527991283322, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00917789038666783, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00917789038666783, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009318343185796163, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009318343185796163, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.018547099331712058, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.018547099331712058, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01164361588108509, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01164361588108509, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006903483450626968, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006903483450626968, "ret_p1w": 0.026029148213597697, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.026029148213597697, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01638498628886831, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01638498628886831, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009644161924729389, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009644161924729389, "ret_p1m": 0.05243298094735693, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05243298094735693, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02665601737794754, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02665601737794754, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.025776963569409395, "bench_c_p1m": 0.025776963569409395, "ret_p3m": 0.3051156509690811, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3051156509690811, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.28075017455170137, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.28075017455170137, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02436547641737974, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02436547641737974, "ret_p6m": 0.41857154652652584, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.41857154652652584, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.31420333843319925, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.31420333843319925, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10436820809332659, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10436820809332659, "price_path": [-0.1657, -0.1916, -0.1916, -0.2003, -0.1897, -0.1764, -0.1477, -0.1344, -0.1214, -0.088, -0.0934, -0.0919, -0.0847, -0.0795, -0.0769, -0.0563, -0.0696, -0.0423, -0.0069, -0.0139, -0.0282, -0.0398, -0.0402, -0.0189, 0.0133, 0.012, 0.0264, 0.0622, 0.0328, 0.0697, 0.0534, -0.0141, 0.064, 0.0396, 0.0704, 0.0533, 0.0365, 0.0457, 0.0345, 0.0148, 0.0213, 0.0361, 0.0477, 0.0592, 0.0717, 0.0651, 0.0553, 0.0709, 0.0329, 0.0315, 0.016, 0.0064, 0.0372, 0.0228, 0.0209, -0.0087, 0.0005, -0.0094, -0.0238, -0.0081, -0.0252, -0.0338, -0.0001, 0.0, 0.0185, 0.0185, 0.024, 0.0105, 0.026, 0.0378, 0.029, 0.0353, 0.0604, 0.0658, 0.0894, 0.0737, 0.0286, 0.0135, 0.0104, -0.0245, 0.0027, 0.0177, 0.033, 0.0459, 0.0524, 0.0524, 0.0667, 0.0599, 0.0552, 0.0704, 0.0704, 0.1257, 0.135, 0.1533, 0.1225, 0.1201, 0.1399, 0.1686, 0.1666, 0.1521, 0.2033, 0.206, 0.206, 0.1523, 0.1487, 0.1531, 0.1795, 0.1719, 0.1917, 0.2056, 0.196, 0.1643, 0.2023, 0.1826, 0.1473, 0.1649, 0.2287, 0.2518, 0.2747, 0.3176, 0.2965, 0.2904, 0.2904, 0.2828, 0.276, 0.2694, 0.3051, 0.3034, 0.3587, 0.3657, 0.3272, 0.3193, 0.3001, 0.2438, 0.259, 0.2464, 0.1936, 0.2282, 0.2225, 0.2488, 0.186, 0.1916, 0.1984, 0.222, 0.1994, 0.1966, 0.1629, 0.1954, 0.2124, 0.2283, 0.1519, 0.1541, 0.1179, 0.1937, 0.2062, 0.1975, 0.1975, 0.2071, 0.2197, 0.2924, 0.291, 0.309, 0.3054, 0.3418, 0.3249, 0.2834, 0.3087, 0.2936, 0.3001, 0.3685, 0.3516, 0.4215, 0.4304, 0.3858, 0.3911, 0.3989, 0.4046, 0.4185, 0.3931, 0.4817, 0.4628, 0.4541, 0.4289, 0.4032, 0.4121, 0.4754, 0.4282, 0.3985, 0.3867, 0.4186]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1993330916060438702", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-11-25T14:48:19+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is a long term headwind against NVDA specific-clouds ( $CRWV )", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish NVDA near/mid-term (sells out everything, blowout quarter); AMD mildly positive near-term; TSM medium-term tailwind; CRWV faces long-term headwind from TPU/AMD alternatives.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Amazing question, so I have a really long nuanced thesis regarding Google TPUs. \n\nSUMMARY:  The thing to be worried about is if TPUs and AMD outperform $NVDA long term, so people **PREFER** other GPUs and buy them instead. Not because they ran out of $NVDA GPUs to buy and are forced to go get alternatives.\n\nBut this is a TLDR. Right now it's like $AMD:\n\nPotential competitive alternative to $NVDA, not much of an impact near term to fundamentals.\n\nThis is a long term headwind against NVDA specific-clouds ( $CRWV ) and $NVDA itself (eg. how $META might buy TPUs ). But part of that nuance is because $NVDA is constrained on how much GPUs they can produce lol, otherwise $META might not just buy any TPUs.  \n\nShort-term/mid-term it's not very material to earnings. Medium term tailwind for $TSM, colo providers like $CIFR, GPU agnostic cloud providers. \n\n$NVDA just had a blowout quarter and absolutely insane Q4 projections. Just go off those revenue projections. \n\nSO the nuance what I'm trying to say is people buy $AMD, TPUs because they're capacity straigned. $NVDA sells out of Anything they produce.\n\nIf $NVDA can't sell out of anything they produce, then that's where you get worried about the headwinds and $NVDA story.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What is your opinion of the Google TPUs and its impact on the space?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "defalt1420", "ret_m1d": 0.032402826889158076, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.032402826889158076, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04172117007495424, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04172117007495424, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009318343185796163, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009318343185796163, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04208163783802932, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04208163783802932, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03517815438740235, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03517815438740235, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006903483450626968, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006903483450626968, "ret_p1w": 0.06648895781872732, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06648895781872732, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.056844795893997935, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.056844795893997935, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009644161924729389, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009644161924729389, "ret_p1m": 0.1063262972886807, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1063262972886807, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08054933371927131, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08054933371927131, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.025776963569409395, "bench_c_p1m": 0.025776963569409395, "ret_p3m": 0.25192872568137203, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.25192872568137203, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2275632492639923, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2275632492639923, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02436547641737974, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02436547641737974, "ret_p6m": 0.4206760762888073, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4206760762888073, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.31630786819548073, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.31630786819548073, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10436820809332659, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10436820809332659, "price_path": [0.4419, 0.4454, 0.4454, 0.3093, 0.2608, 0.2271, 0.2497, 0.3122, 0.4058, 0.6431, 0.5807, 0.5705, 0.6899, 0.6657, 0.6953, 0.7028, 0.7514, 0.8688, 0.836, 0.8712, 0.7767, 0.688, 0.7186, 0.9196, 0.9224, 0.9358, 0.8907, 0.8775, 0.8071, 0.9635, 1.007, 0.9418, 0.9865, 0.8805, 0.9531, 0.9882, 0.9199, 0.7823, 0.7542, 0.7047, 0.7301, 0.8593, 0.9085, 0.8909, 0.9628, 0.8384, 0.8756, 0.7719, 0.6236, 0.605, 0.4999, 0.459, 0.4814, 0.2399, 0.1983, 0.0989, 0.0851, 0.0567, 0.0506, 0.0509, -0.0292, 0.005, 0.0324, 0.0, 0.0421, 0.0421, 0.0257, 0.0809, 0.0665, 0.1132, 0.2028, 0.2386, 0.2097, 0.2717, 0.2366, 0.2257, 0.1024, 0.0149, -0.0251, -0.0945, -0.0506, 0.1643, 0.1899, 0.1258, 0.1063, 0.1063, 0.072, 0.0509, 0.0366, 0.0045, 0.0045, 0.1126, 0.0781, 0.0933, 0.0826, 0.0814, 0.1241, 0.2615, 0.2271, 0.2596, 0.3327, 0.42, 0.42, 0.3357, 0.3193, 0.2876, 0.3043, 0.379, 0.527, 0.4872, 0.3961, 0.3072, 0.2476, 0.2633, 0.1567, 0.0471, 0.2617, 0.3577, 0.3341, 0.3347, 0.3424, 0.3472, 0.3472, 0.2765, 0.3389, 0.3626, 0.2519, 0.2742, 0.3929, 0.3748, 0.3695, 0.116, 0.0948, 0.0349, 0.1152, 0.0495, 0.0238, 0.0438, 0.0509, 0.1497, 0.1202, 0.1377, 0.2044, 0.1519, 0.1617, 0.1314, 0.1428, 0.1497, 0.1645, 0.2285, 0.1285, 0.0494, -0.03, 0.0867, 0.1003, 0.1536, 0.1536, 0.1354, 0.1957, 0.247, 0.2905, 0.4308, 0.5468, 0.644, 0.6649, 0.6771, 0.6391, 0.6472, 0.6154, 0.7189, 0.6471, 0.545, 0.5719, 0.4803, 0.6018, 0.5654, 0.6694, 0.7594, 0.7939, 0.9355, 0.8073, 0.6012, 0.6089, 0.5114, 0.5614, 0.6021, 0.5051, 0.4556, 0.4001, 0.4207]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2000684239122260409", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-15T21:47:48+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Nebius is trading like a distressed asset right now", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "NBIS at $80 is mispriced vs deal flow (MSFT $19B, META $3B, Israel gov, Uber); trading like a distressed asset despite major contract wins — implied buy.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Meant when $NBIS annnounced the Microsoft contract they were trading around $90-$100 before rallying to $140. Pre contract it was $65-$75.\n\nNow we’re back at $80 after $MSFT 19B deal, $META $3B deal, Israel gov deal, Cursor/Accenture, $UBER avride robotaxi launch + $375m investment round, and so on.\n\nNebius is trading like a distressed asset right now", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.08072471162223649, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08072471162223649, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07921153760334687, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.080896172428786, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0015131740188896181, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00017146080654950602, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0023416618540237355, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0023416618540237355, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00039063574125497436, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0030280320438993424, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00273229759527871, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0006863701898756069, "ret_p1w": 0.14900177542800863, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.14900177542800863, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1400060501153062, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14498973746976107, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00899572531270243, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004012037958247561, "ret_p1m": 0.2993591458989606, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2993591458989606, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2771916559932497, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.29336770062730033, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022167489905710935, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0059914452716602895, "ret_p3m": 0.33152577924853577, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.33152577924853577, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3501849525132279, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3394765413434061, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.01865917326469213, "bench_c_p3m": -0.007950762094870334, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1595, 0.16, 0.2239, 0.3138, 0.3286, 0.3955, 0.3303, 0.3273, 0.3584, 0.3837, 0.4248, 0.5513, 0.5773, 0.5398, 0.4506, 0.5036, 0.6347, 0.597, 0.6695, 0.5794, 0.5508, 0.5164, 0.3981, 0.3434, 0.2852, 0.2154, 0.3084, 0.4452, 0.5458, 0.5015, 0.5418, 0.5304, 0.6123, 0.4847, 0.3623, 0.442, 0.3488, 0.3715, 0.3551, 0.2598, 0.1629, 0.0923, 0.0296, 0.0597, 0.1158, 0.1717, 0.0431, 0.0261, 0.1326, 0.0954, 0.167, 0.167, 0.1692, 0.2343, 0.1887, 0.2191, 0.2669, 0.2083, 0.2365, 0.1882, 0.1534, 0.1619, 0.0807, 0.0, -0.0023, -0.0701, -0.0376, 0.1025, 0.149, 0.1096, 0.1231, 0.1231, 0.0795, 0.0604, 0.0497, 0.0316, 0.0316, 0.1086, 0.1441, 0.2354, 0.1857, 0.1992, 0.2069, 0.3228, 0.2994, 0.2568, 0.2803, 0.34, 0.34, 0.2237, 0.2185, 0.1936, 0.1647, 0.1272, 0.2062, 0.2377, 0.1697, 0.0499, 0.0865, 0.1086, 0.0154, -0.0896, 0.0611, 0.1447, 0.1313, 0.0921, 0.1059, 0.2079, 0.2079, 0.2019, 0.2546, 0.3262, 0.2068, 0.24, 0.2642, 0.3079, 0.2926, 0.1239, 0.1216, 0.0698, 0.2051, 0.1788, 0.1009, 0.1701, 0.1884, 0.3803, 0.3315, 0.392, 0.6003, 0.4337, 0.4612, 0.4977, 0.4496, 0.4068, 0.4162, 0.4184, 0.306, 0.2425, 0.137, 0.2788, 0.2565, 0.3411, 0.3411, 0.387, 0.4469, 0.5405, 0.6802, 0.7867, 0.9049, 0.9958, 1.0553, 1.0377, 0.9367, 0.9615, 0.9294, 0.9243, 0.9359, 0.8137, 0.7865, 0.6701, 0.7401, 0.7036, 0.904, 1.1743, 1.1681, 1.4044, 1.2772, 1.182, 1.2936, 1.2074, 1.5545, 1.7255, 1.7106, 1.4632, 1.4369, 1.3641, 1.7105, 1.6469, 1.6469, 1.5642, 1.568, 1.7895, 1.848, 1.848, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2006306821632667832", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-31T10:09:56+00:00", "symbol": "MRVL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If you just look at the numbers and ignore the noise from news reporting then $MRVL looks like an extremely solid long", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "MRVL is a solid long on fundamentals; POET and AAOI as indirect beneficiaries via Celestial and Maia.", "resolved_tickers": ["MRVL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$POET indirectly benefits from $MRVL through Celestial. Then there's tons of other photonic players tethered to Maia like $AAOI. \n\nThe timeline is so stupid though, it makes me annoyed:\n\nDec 8: Benchmark downgrades, claims \"high conviction\" Marvell lost Trainium 3/4 to Alchip\n\nDec 9: Stock drops ~10%, CEO goes on CNBC saying \"we didn't lose any business\"\n\nDec 23: Benchmark quietly walks it back. Marvell \"retains a position,\" Alchip added for \"additional design support\"\n\nJust found it insane how Benchmark could make claims like that then silently walk it back after tanking the stock price. \n\nThen The Information does the same but they're already known for their sensational journalism. \n\nIf you just look at the numbers and ignore the noise from news reporting then $MRVL looks like an extremely solid long.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thank you for sharing. I’m in $poet", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LphaFool", "ret_m1d": 0.02094621615740011, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02094621615740011, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01348194625181276, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01348194625181276, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007464269905587351, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007464269905587351, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.0040010171757624, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0040010171757624, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01523403974914761, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01523403974914761, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01123302257338521, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01123302257338521, "ret_p1m": -0.042144928489829314, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.042144928489829314, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.059918251910053066, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.059918251910053066, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017773323420223752, "bench_c_p1m": 0.017773323420223752, "ret_p3m": 0.034045455244131606, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.034045455244131606, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1047635968448355, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1047635968448355, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.07071814160070389, "bench_c_p3m": -0.07071814160070389, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0139, 0.0457, 0.0227, 0.0878, 0.0664, 0.0074, 0.0519, 0.0146, 0.046, 0.0382, 0.0349, 0.0101, -0.0085, -0.0462, -0.026, -0.01, 0.0439, 0.041, 0.0608, 0.0422, 0.1031, 0.0634, 0.0307, 0.0932, 0.0983, 0.0699, 0.0971, 0.0512, 0.0512, 0.0299, 0.0173, -0.018, -0.0741, -0.0431, -0.0977, -0.0886, -0.014, -0.0182, 0.0322, 0.0322, 0.052, 0.072, 0.0931, 0.1791, 0.1554, 0.1639, 0.0826, 0.0461, 0.0881, 0.0524, -0.0065, -0.0085, -0.0107, -0.0386, -0.006, -0.0105, -0.0021, 0.0318, 0.0178, 0.0178, 0.016, 0.0092, 0.0209, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0519, 0.0618, 0.0382, -0.004, -0.018, -0.02, -0.0239, -0.022, -0.0437, -0.0534, -0.0525, -0.0525, -0.0603, -0.0279, -0.0214, -0.0552, -0.0371, -0.0234, -0.0153, -0.0421, -0.0706, -0.0737, -0.1104, -0.1318, -0.1261, -0.0546, -0.0303, -0.0343, -0.0421, -0.0788, -0.0743, -0.0743, -0.0696, -0.0686, -0.0625, -0.064, -0.0839, -0.0769, -0.0471, -0.0663, -0.038, -0.0478, -0.0872, -0.0804, -0.1088, 0.0548, 0.091, 0.0987, 0.065, 0.0324, 0.0346, 0.0784, 0.0691, 0.0318, 0.0543, 0.0352, 0.0617, 0.0876, 0.1593, 0.1503, 0.1173, 0.034, 0.1664, 0.2566, 0.2613, 0.2613, 0.2896, 0.2881, 0.3478, 0.4123, 0.5138, 0.547, 0.5768, 0.5858, 0.5713, 0.6458, 0.7418, 0.7827, 0.8535, 0.9506, 0.9359, 0.864, 0.8053, 0.8447, 0.9458, 0.9434, 0.9282, 0.9882, 1.0282, 0.8852, 1.0044, 1.0128, 0.9381, 1.0966, 1.1511, 1.0841, 0.9903, 1.0768, 1.2008, 1.2467, 1.3131, 1.3131, 1.4537, 1.3411, 1.4133, 1.4153, 1.4153, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2006306821632667832", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-31T10:09:56+00:00", "symbol": "POET Technologies", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$POET indirectly benefits from $MRVL through Celestial", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "MRVL is a solid long on fundamentals; POET and AAOI as indirect beneficiaries via Celestial and Maia.", "resolved_tickers": ["POET"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "POET Technologies trades as POET on NASDAQ", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$POET indirectly benefits from $MRVL through Celestial. Then there's tons of other photonic players tethered to Maia like $AAOI. \n\nThe timeline is so stupid though, it makes me annoyed:\n\nDec 8: Benchmark downgrades, claims \"high conviction\" Marvell lost Trainium 3/4 to Alchip\n\nDec 9: Stock drops ~10%, CEO goes on CNBC saying \"we didn't lose any business\"\n\nDec 23: Benchmark quietly walks it back. Marvell \"retains a position,\" Alchip added for \"additional design support\"\n\nJust found it insane how Benchmark could make claims like that then silently walk it back after tanking the stock price. \n\nThen The Information does the same but they're already known for their sensational journalism. \n\nIf you just look at the numbers and ignore the noise from news reporting then $MRVL looks like an extremely solid long.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thank you for sharing. I’m in $poet", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LphaFool", "ret_m1d": 0.030015807189649912, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.030015807189649912, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02255153728406256, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02118568297710044, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007464269905587351, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008830124212549473, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.17693521312135352, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.17693521312135352, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1657021905479683, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10782132704302283, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01123302257338521, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06911388607833069, "ret_p1m": -0.0600316143792996, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0600316143792996, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07780493779952335, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2193906884712633, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017773323420223752, "bench_c_p1m": 0.1593590740919637, "ret_p3m": -0.19747235625054427, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.19747235625054427, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12675421464984038, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2041365993403843, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.07071814160070389, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0066642430898400384, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0174, 0.0079, 0.2449, 0.4566, 0.3934, 0.2054, 0.3318, 0.4297, 0.3144, 0.1943, 0.109, 0.1991, 0.1769, 0.1643, 0.1548, 0.3002, 0.1706, 0.1169, 0.0474, 0.0079, 0.0174, 0.0427, -0.06, -0.0458, -0.1596, -0.1485, -0.1659, -0.1643, -0.2022, -0.2575, -0.3049, -0.3412, -0.3223, -0.3286, -0.3365, -0.3254, -0.2686, -0.2622, -0.2354, -0.2354, -0.218, -0.2717, -0.2607, -0.0506, 0.0063, -0.0442, -0.0158, 0.09, 0.1295, 0.1406, 0.0269, -0.0616, -0.0411, -0.0569, -0.0316, 0.0711, 0.2022, 0.1295, 0.109, 0.109, 0.0758, 0.0332, 0.03, 0.0, 0.0, 0.1311, 0.1738, 0.1611, 0.1769, 0.1501, 0.1675, 0.139, 0.128, 0.278, 0.3128, 0.3112, 0.3112, 0.3017, 0.3223, 0.0964, 0.0916, 0.0205, 0.0727, -0.0174, -0.06, -0.0837, -0.0774, -0.0458, -0.1137, -0.1817, -0.0727, -0.019, -0.0774, -0.079, -0.1074, -0.1185, -0.1185, -0.128, -0.1185, -0.1201, -0.1011, -0.128, -0.0348, 0.0047, -0.0142, -0.0521, 0.0916, 0.1122, 0.0806, 0.049, -0.0079, 0.0569, 0.1058, 0.1754, 0.1754, 0.079, 0.0916, 0.0379, -0.0237, -0.0158, -0.0632, -0.0427, -0.0932, -0.0363, -0.1327, -0.1801, -0.1975, -0.0616, -0.1153, -0.0348, -0.0348, -0.0395, -0.0585, -0.0174, -0.0395, 0.1122, 0.1532, 0.06, 0.1011, 0.1596, 0.1469, 0.357, 0.6193, 1.0174, 0.8515, 1.3855, 0.2559, 0.2686, 0.0427, 0.1248, 0.1548, 0.1232, 0.455, 0.5355, 0.5134, 0.7299, 1.1959, 1.169, 1.2701, 2.2496, 1.5229, 1.2449, 1.0648, 1.3349, 1.3412, 1.3049, 1.3049, 1.109, 1.0979, 1.0948, 0.9415, 0.9415, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2006306821632667832", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-12-31T10:09:56+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "tons of other photonic players tethered to Maia like $AAOI", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "MRVL is a solid long on fundamentals; POET and AAOI as indirect beneficiaries via Celestial and Maia.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$POET indirectly benefits from $MRVL through Celestial. Then there's tons of other photonic players tethered to Maia like $AAOI. \n\nThe timeline is so stupid though, it makes me annoyed:\n\nDec 8: Benchmark downgrades, claims \"high conviction\" Marvell lost Trainium 3/4 to Alchip\n\nDec 9: Stock drops ~10%, CEO goes on CNBC saying \"we didn't lose any business\"\n\nDec 23: Benchmark quietly walks it back. Marvell \"retains a position,\" Alchip added for \"additional design support\"\n\nJust found it insane how Benchmark could make claims like that then silently walk it back after tanking the stock price. \n\nThen The Information does the same but they're already known for their sensational journalism. \n\nIf you just look at the numbers and ignore the noise from news reporting then $MRVL looks like an extremely solid long.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thank you for sharing. I’m in $poet", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LphaFool", "ret_m1d": 0.0332759560270246, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0332759560270246, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02581168612143725, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02581168612143725, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007464269905587351, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007464269905587351, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.09165231322100076, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09165231322100076, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08041929064761555, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08041929064761555, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01123302257338521, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01123302257338521, "ret_p1m": 0.13511184744712934, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13511184744712934, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11733852402690559, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11733852402690559, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017773323420223752, "bench_c_p1m": 0.017773323420223752, "ret_p3m": 1.4437751276490043, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.4437751276490043, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.5144932692497082, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.5144932692497082, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.07071814160070389, "bench_c_p3m": -0.07071814160070389, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1988, -0.0307, -0.1011, -0.0757, -0.0714, -0.2212, -0.1652, -0.183, -0.0548, -0.1067, -0.0843, -0.0207, -0.0419, -0.1401, -0.0993, -0.0244, 0.0677, 0.0577, 0.0178, 0.006, 0.0201, -0.0522, -0.1538, -0.0961, -0.1652, -0.1804, -0.2708, -0.3187, -0.3133, -0.4002, -0.3843, -0.3795, -0.4007, -0.4013, -0.4409, -0.4096, -0.3554, -0.348, -0.2665, -0.2665, -0.2318, -0.239, -0.2536, -0.2642, -0.2473, -0.2372, -0.2014, -0.1285, 0.0034, 0.0419, -0.0803, -0.1423, -0.1692, -0.2215, -0.1609, -0.1015, 0.1215, 0.1658, 0.1761, 0.1761, 0.0663, 0.0542, 0.0333, 0.0, 0.0, 0.136, 0.0037, 0.1076, 0.0917, -0.0531, -0.0235, -0.0327, -0.0195, -0.0112, 0.0614, 0.0625, 0.0625, 0.1262, 0.101, 0.0944, 0.0247, 0.0009, 0.0726, 0.2975, 0.1351, 0.251, 0.2668, 0.323, 0.1446, 0.0938, 0.2708, 0.3744, 0.391, 0.3884, 0.2619, 0.2754, 0.2754, 0.2596, 0.2461, 0.3477, 0.4825, 0.5479, 0.6142, 0.6672, 0.5402, 1.4162, 1.9406, 1.7349, 1.8603, 1.9013, 1.7418, 2.1733, 2.4564, 2.6434, 2.0462, 1.7771, 1.6985, 1.4765, 1.6572, 1.9237, 1.5112, 1.747, 2.2674, 2.282, 1.7946, 1.8173, 1.4438, 1.4266, 1.4771, 1.9808, 1.9808, 2.0823, 2.3746, 2.8067, 2.8239, 3.3201, 3.3944, 3.1994, 3.0892, 3.5129, 3.5731, 3.6893, 3.3193, 3.2863, 2.9509, 3.652, 3.1819, 2.9375, 3.3841, 3.7149, 4.2642, 3.9621, 4.1799, 4.1216, 3.5195, 3.2725, 4.3041, 4.401, 5.3999, 4.8396, 4.4607, 3.9702, 3.9148, 3.7407, 4.072, 4.2063, 4.2063, 4.0952, 4.1586, 3.8485, 3.5442, 3.5442, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1975334113726079397", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-06T22:55:27+00:00", "symbol": "SPRB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'll hold $30k worth to see where it goes.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holding $30K in SPRB after taking partial profits; remaining position implies continued bullish stance.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPRB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have no words… +$37K on $SPRB in 2 hours ($21K realized). Ended up taking profit on most. \n\nIt’s not much to me but I just find this amusing given the short timeframe and had nobody to share it with. \n\nI’ll hold $30k worth to see where it goes. https://t.co/ywK3ozncPA", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I was looking at $SPRB after @MartinShkreli posted about it and it’s TA-ERT, breakthrough enzyme therapy replacement.\n\nJust from a quick search if SPRB’s TA-ERT is approved and they capture 10-15% market share longer term ($180–$270M ARR) of $1.4B US market... Realistic fair https://t.co/uND2Z1MZ23", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.9323619623646162, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.9323619623646162, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.9287885485342672, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.9287885485342672, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003573413830349037, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003573413830349037, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.400306860815264, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.400306860815264, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.4040143530662259, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.4040143530662259, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003707492250961897, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003707492250961897, "ret_p1w": 0.21940185544075308, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.21940185544075308, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.23216224587857626, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.23216224587857626, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012760390437823177, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012760390437823177, "ret_p1m": -0.1952453423831374, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1952453423831374, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.20065033872819804, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.20065033872819804, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404996345060642, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005404996345060642, "ret_p3m": -0.3319784916592694, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3319784916592694, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3503299613762827, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3503299613762827, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01835146971701329, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01835146971701329, "ret_p6m": -0.4988496814961665, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4988496814961665, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.47269323912402217, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.47269323912402217, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.026156442372144317, "bench_c_p6m": -0.026156442372144317, "price_path": [2.149, 2.149, 2.8391, 3.4431, 3.1842, 3.3568, 3.098, 3.745, 4.0038, 4.1764, 4.3489, 4.2627, 4.047, 3.6587, 4.1332, 3.7019, 3.745, 3.7019, 4.1764, -0.9224, -0.9224, -0.9127, -0.9234, -0.9298, -0.931, -0.9287, -0.9329, -0.9309, -0.9314, -0.9316, -0.9358, -0.9348, -0.9371, -0.939, -0.9417, -0.9426, -0.9425, -0.9463, -0.9463, -0.9426, -0.9375, -0.9326, -0.931, -0.931, -0.931, -0.9256, -0.9325, -0.9049, -0.9248, -0.9265, -0.927, -0.9319, -0.9358, -0.9304, -0.9348, -0.936, -0.9406, -0.9406, -0.9256, -0.9314, -0.9317, -0.934, -0.9324, 0.0, 0.4003, 0.2276, 0.3444, 0.3313, 0.2194, 0.3567, 0.2198, 0.201, 0.2103, 0.1362, -0.0066, 0.0777, -0.0037, 0.0218, -0.0566, -0.0452, -0.0951, -0.1775, -0.1557, -0.1967, -0.1952, -0.0798, -0.0852, -0.0261, -0.1134, -0.136, -0.2163, -0.1367, -0.1845, -0.1654, -0.1181, -0.1488, -0.2131, -0.1948, -0.1794, -0.1981, -0.1564, -0.1564, -0.2331, -0.3627, -0.316, -0.3086, -0.3064, -0.3866, -0.3736, -0.2703, -0.343, -0.322, -0.3604, -0.3814, -0.4018, -0.4184, -0.4113, -0.3962, -0.3649, -0.3578, -0.3558, -0.3558, -0.3425, -0.3689, -0.366, -0.332, -0.332, -0.3044, -0.3702, -0.3821, -0.4012, -0.4348, -0.3866, -0.4034, -0.375, -0.399, -0.4257, -0.4361, -0.4361, -0.452, -0.3948, -0.3463, -0.3748, -0.3659, -0.354, -0.3719, -0.3876, -0.4053, -0.4019, -0.3597, -0.3924, -0.4567, -0.4448, -0.3936, -0.3587, -0.3659, -0.3638, -0.4916, -0.4916, -0.5533, -0.5899, -0.5965, -0.6187, -0.5891, -0.5535, -0.5496, -0.551, -0.5787, -0.5843, -0.5719, -0.5587, -0.5876, -0.5715, -0.5237, -0.5185, -0.5078, -0.5406, -0.5394, -0.5326, -0.5069, -0.5495, -0.5472, -0.5521, -0.5488, -0.5064, -0.4634, -0.47, -0.5166, -0.5512, -0.4988]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1942222651151548657", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-07-07T14:02:19+00:00", "symbol": "SG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bought $SG $13.8 on the 6% drop... $SG (High $13) buy, (~ $12.8) very strong buy", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bought BULL, SG, GME, HIMS on intraday dips; provides cost-averaging levels for GME and SG with specific buy zones.", "resolved_tickers": ["SG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Restaurants'", "bench_c_industry": "Restaurants", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "🔥Fire sale today for stocks. \n\nBought a decent amount of $BULL on the 15% drop 12.28.  \n\nBought $SG  $13.8 on the 6% drop (sometimes drops to low $13/high $12.8, so hold off on major positions).  \n\nBought $GME $23.00 on the 3% drop.   \n\n Bought $HIMS $45.26 on the 5.6% drop.\n\n---\n\nI typically cost average down for swing trading. Some levels I look out for as examples (i don't leverage unless something is extremely oversold)\n\n$GME (sub $20 - buy calls), $21-$22 buy, $23 accumulate\n\n$SG (High $13) buy, (~ $12.8) very strong buy, sub $11 calls.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.11035525991410444, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.11035525991410444, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.10284729333560327, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.09748892536242271, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0075079665785011684, "bench_c_m1d": 0.012866334551681735, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01662889453068117, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01662889453068117, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01717661074842647, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02001712790686694, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0005477162177452977, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0033882333761857675, "ret_p1w": 0.02494337783813627, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02494337783813627, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01828936460944597, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.007315190389805881, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006654013228690303, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01762818744833039, "ret_p1m": -0.058201022731040775, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.058201022731040775, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06994612911026366, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06053620402345028, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01174510637922288, "bench_c_p1m": 0.002335181292409505, "ret_p3m": -0.38624337365725103, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.38624337365725103, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4674370717175542, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4843305445301649, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08119369806030319, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09808717087291385, "ret_p6m": -0.5064247592026331, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5064247592026331, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.619639972404865, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.6127547715032314, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11321521320223193, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10633001230059835, "price_path": [0.7188, 0.6576, 0.5933, 0.5949, 0.5488, 0.4958, 0.3968, 0.3968, 0.2819, 0.2978, 0.3946, 0.4452, 0.455, 0.4565, 0.4429, 0.4724, 0.4875, 0.5752, 0.4769, 0.3553, 0.3522, 0.3734, 0.1512, 0.1822, 0.1935, 0.1807, 0.1512, 0.1361, 0.0771, 0.0869, -0.0287, 0.0023, -0.0317, -0.0317, -0.0476, 0.0204, -0.0355, 0.0144, 0.0174, 0.0658, 0.1187, 0.0506, 0.062, 0.059, 0.0249, -0.0106, 0.0008, -0.0491, -0.0446, -0.0756, -0.0711, -0.0711, -0.0726, -0.031, 0.0076, -0.0423, 0.0317, 0.0272, 0.1247, 0.0998, 0.0884, 0.1104, 0.1104, 0.0, 0.0166, 0.0076, 0.0363, 0.031, 0.0249, -0.0174, -0.0121, 0.0272, 0.0816, 0.0582, 0.1504, 0.229, 0.0801, 0.1172, 0.037, -0.0053, 0.0083, -0.0265, -0.0983, -0.0612, -0.0582, -0.0688, -0.0431, -0.2638, -0.2759, -0.2706, -0.2736, -0.3084, -0.3054, -0.2986, -0.2865, -0.3182, -0.3212, -0.294, -0.3122, -0.3091, -0.3167, -0.3001, -0.3122, -0.3122, -0.3341, -0.3265, -0.3394, -0.325, -0.3794, -0.3439, -0.3432, -0.3432, -0.3583, -0.3651, -0.3303, -0.3416, -0.3477, -0.3507, -0.3296, -0.3696, -0.3711, -0.3825, -0.384, -0.3938, -0.3968, -0.39, -0.3862, -0.3772, -0.4006, -0.4135, -0.4127, -0.4006, -0.4308, -0.4324, -0.4187, -0.4331, -0.4429, -0.4475, -0.4384, -0.3862, -0.4029, -0.4376, -0.4422, -0.4528, -0.4732, -0.4754, -0.5261, -0.5246, -0.5155, -0.5155, -0.511, -0.5276, -0.5631, -0.5896, -0.6047, -0.5941, -0.551, -0.5374, -0.5676, -0.5503, -0.5427, -0.5427, -0.4906, -0.5102, -0.4815, -0.4989, -0.4989, -0.5094, -0.5155, -0.4981, -0.4747, -0.4785, -0.4943, -0.5079, -0.4785, -0.4709, -0.4565, -0.4512, -0.452, -0.4777, -0.4868, -0.4664, -0.4822, -0.4906, -0.4966, -0.4694, -0.4694, -0.4732, -0.4875, -0.5064]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1942222651151548657", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-07-07T14:02:19+00:00", "symbol": "GME", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bought $GME $23.00 on the 3% drop... $GME (sub $20 - buy calls), $21-$22 buy, $23 accumulate", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bought BULL, SG, GME, HIMS on intraday dips; provides cost-averaging levels for GME and SG with specific buy zones.", "resolved_tickers": ["GME"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Specialty Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Specialty Retail", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "🔥Fire sale today for stocks. \n\nBought a decent amount of $BULL on the 15% drop 12.28.  \n\nBought $SG  $13.8 on the 6% drop (sometimes drops to low $13/high $12.8, so hold off on major positions).  \n\nBought $GME $23.00 on the 3% drop.   \n\n Bought $HIMS $45.26 on the 5.6% drop.\n\n---\n\nI typically cost average down for swing trading. Some levels I look out for as examples (i don't leverage unless something is extremely oversold)\n\n$GME (sub $20 - buy calls), $21-$22 buy, $23 accumulate\n\n$SG (High $13) buy, (~ $12.8) very strong buy, sub $11 calls.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.042882373004693664, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.042882373004693664, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.035374406426192495, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03001603845301193, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0075079665785011684, "bench_c_m1d": 0.012866334551681735, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0057470891221684806, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0057470891221684806, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006294805339913778, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.009135322498354248, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0005477162177452977, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0033882333761857675, "ret_p1w": 0.04774535294591331, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04774535294591331, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04109133971722301, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03011716549758292, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006654013228690303, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01762818744833039, "ret_p1m": 0.008399585307682145, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.008399585307682145, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0033455210715407357, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.00606440401527264, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01174510637922288, "bench_c_p1m": 0.002335181292409505, "ret_p3m": 0.20335978353027273, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.20335978353027273, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.12216608546996954, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10527261265735888, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08119369806030319, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09808717087291385, "ret_p6m": -0.09372240320859537, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.09372240320859537, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2069376164108273, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.20005241550919373, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11321521320223193, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10633001230059835, "price_path": [0.1229, 0.1061, 0.1671, 0.1927, 0.1804, 0.1605, 0.1839, 0.1839, 0.1835, 0.229, 0.1989, 0.1972, 0.214, 0.2197, 0.2051, 0.2317, 0.2126, 0.2149, 0.176, 0.1512, 0.1499, 0.1839, 0.2175, 0.2401, 0.2551, 0.2701, 0.2657, 0.2577, 0.233, 0.2604, 0.2401, 0.3643, 0.4602, 0.4602, 0.5477, 0.3798, 0.3073, 0.3174, 0.3546, 0.3307, 0.324, 0.3019, 0.3077, 0.3413, 0.3329, 0.2622, -0.0212, -0.0212, 0.0309, 0.0164, 0.0363, 0.0363, 0.0371, 0.0088, 0.0296, 0.0411, 0.0557, 0.0429, 0.0782, 0.0469, 0.0588, 0.0429, 0.0429, 0.0, 0.0057, 0.0252, 0.0212, 0.0314, 0.0477, 0.0265, 0.0469, 0.0345, 0.0292, 0.0698, 0.0725, 0.0592, 0.0402, 0.0314, 0.0159, -0.0031, -0.0075, -0.0075, -0.023, 0.0004, 0.0084, 0.0084, 0.0013, -0.0155, -0.0093, 0.0137, 0.0177, 0.0119, 0.0141, 0.0217, 0.0088, 0.0004, -0.0027, 0.0119, 0.0027, -0.0141, -0.0053, 0.0075, -0.0093, -0.0093, 0.0349, 0.0115, -0.0111, -0.0004, 0.0265, 0.0429, 0.0774, 0.0986, 0.1021, 0.1286, 0.1645, 0.1538, 0.1441, 0.153, 0.1839, 0.1848, 0.1605, 0.1172, 0.168, 0.2029, 0.206, 0.2241, 0.2034, 0.122, 0.1074, 0.0765, 0.0791, 0.0641, 0.0301, 0.0429, 0.0261, 0.0336, 0.0146, 0.0199, 0.0332, 0.008, -0.0057, 0.0447, 0.0301, 0.0402, 0.0301, 0.0336, -0.0018, -0.0146, -0.0225, -0.0283, -0.027, -0.0561, -0.0495, -0.05, -0.0517, -0.0557, -0.0734, -0.0866, -0.0937, -0.0937, -0.0973, -0.1185, -0.1096, -0.0942, -0.069, -0.0438, -0.0438, -0.004, 0.0075, 0.0084, 0.0261, 0.0146, 0.0168, 0.0323, 0.0217, -0.0221, -0.0336, -0.0615, -0.0234, -0.015, 0.0181, -0.0027, -0.0049, -0.0389, -0.0548, -0.0482, -0.0482, -0.0676, -0.0924, -0.0937]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1942222651151548657", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-07-07T14:02:19+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bought $HIMS $45.26 on the 5.6% drop", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bought BULL, SG, GME, HIMS on intraday dips; provides cost-averaging levels for GME and SG with specific buy zones.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "🔥Fire sale today for stocks. \n\nBought a decent amount of $BULL on the 15% drop 12.28.  \n\nBought $SG  $13.8 on the 6% drop (sometimes drops to low $13/high $12.8, so hold off on major positions).  \n\nBought $GME $23.00 on the 3% drop.   \n\n Bought $HIMS $45.26 on the 5.6% drop.\n\n---\n\nI typically cost average down for swing trading. Some levels I look out for as examples (i don't leverage unless something is extremely oversold)\n\n$GME (sub $20 - buy calls), $21-$22 buy, $23 accumulate\n\n$SG (High $13) buy, (~ $12.8) very strong buy, sub $11 calls.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.009087126050144723, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.009087126050144723, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01659509262864589, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01659509262864589, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0075079665785011684, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0075079665785011684, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01115243568665969, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01115243568665969, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011700151904404987, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011700151904404987, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0005477162177452977, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0005477162177452977, "ret_p1w": 0.07455598403278896, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07455598403278896, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06790197080409865, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06790197080409865, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006654013228690303, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006654013228690303, "ret_p1m": 0.14663367528526727, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14663367528526727, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1348885689060444, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1348885689060444, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01174510637922288, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01174510637922288, "ret_p3m": 0.19516730938251703, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.19516730938251703, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11397361132221384, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.11397361132221384, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08119369806030319, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08119369806030319, "ret_p6m": -0.31763729522984774, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.31763729522984774, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4308525084320797, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4308525084320797, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11321521320223193, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11321521320223193, "price_path": [-0.391, -0.4463, -0.4376, -0.4153, -0.3916, -0.4434, -0.4376, -0.4376, -0.4663, -0.4765, -0.4484, -0.4188, -0.4199, -0.4118, -0.2763, -0.3164, -0.2532, -0.157, -0.1351, 0.0217, 0.0812, 0.0615, 0.0731, 0.1402, 0.3218, 0.2623, 0.2098, 0.3352, 0.2875, 0.2641, 0.1979, 0.1053, 0.1324, 0.1324, 0.102, 0.1016, 0.0822, 0.1681, 0.1724, 0.1303, 0.1072, 0.0898, 0.1634, 0.1743, 0.1411, 0.1888, 0.1803, 0.1458, 0.2346, 0.2235, 0.2613, 0.2613, 0.3263, -0.133, -0.113, -0.1448, -0.0442, 0.0204, 0.0295, -0.0095, -0.0198, -0.0091, -0.0091, 0.0, 0.0112, 0.0582, 0.0382, -0.0109, 0.0746, 0.0421, 0.0708, 0.0324, 0.0405, -0.0169, 0.0328, 0.1983, 0.1838, 0.1906, 0.2119, 0.2447, 0.3534, 0.3668, 0.2918, 0.3083, 0.1466, 0.056, 0.0543, 0.0727, 0.0322, -0.0095, -0.0019, -0.0266, -0.0496, -0.0686, -0.1289, -0.1041, -0.0921, -0.0795, -0.1121, -0.0634, -0.0911, -0.0888, -0.1254, -0.1254, -0.1423, -0.0818, -0.0064, -0.0002, 0.0252, -0.013, -0.0132, 0.069, 0.1462, 0.1144, 0.051, 0.0399, 0.1607, 0.1941, 0.1917, 0.1565, 0.0998, 0.1332, 0.2061, 0.221, 0.1714, 0.1629, 0.1952, 0.0851, 0.1309, 0.1972, 0.2014, 0.203, 0.1142, 0.1303, 0.1157, 0.2962, 0.2216, 0.0281, 0.0607, 0.0194, -0.0198, 0.0014, 0.0074, -0.0039, -0.0268, -0.037, -0.09, -0.0611, -0.0832, -0.1163, -0.0969, -0.1425, -0.1526, -0.1522, -0.1791, -0.1941, -0.2555, -0.2363, -0.2652, -0.2511, -0.26, -0.3057, -0.2831, -0.2197, -0.234, -0.2069, -0.2069, -0.1789, -0.2253, -0.2501, -0.2344, -0.1735, -0.1904, -0.1921, -0.1776, -0.2177, -0.22, -0.2315, -0.2513, -0.2387, -0.2778, -0.2819, -0.2656, -0.2761, -0.2813, -0.284, -0.284, -0.2914, -0.2957, -0.3176]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1996232079890325753", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-03T14:56:30+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS: FSD level 4 robotaxis -> down 3.55% off a $23B marketcap", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Argues NBIS is undervalued vs TSLA: level-4 robotaxi launch barely moves a $23B cap while TSLA's level-2 added $300B to a $1T+ valuation.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Make this make sense...\n\n$TSLA: FSD level 2 robotaxis -&gt; market adds ~$300B off a $1T+ valuation.   \n\n$NBIS: FSD level 4 robotaxis -&gt; down 3.55% off a $23B marketcap. https://t.co/kMGzihza3V", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Just in: Nebius [ $NBIS ] FSD level 4 Robotaxi subsidiary Avride has now launched in Texas in partnership with $UBER.\n\nAfter nearly a decade of development since 2017, Avride is finally taking its self-driving car tech into full commercial operation. https://t.co/DSPRvmNw3f", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.024969685265102903, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.024969685265102903, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.021518866854694507, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.025838245601834675, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003450818410408396, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0008685603367317718, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.039223665129732854, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.039223665129732854, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03849260897573448, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.033491020179764686, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0007310561539983773, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005732644949968169, "ret_p1w": -0.0538819442955466, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0538819442955466, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05926294841396429, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07073246834962588, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005381004118417687, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016850524054079274, "ret_p1m": -0.15381112635995964, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15381112635995964, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1538769169260591, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.17961763261918973, "bench_spy_p1m": 6.57905660994551e-05, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02580650625923009, "ret_p3m": -0.07996356832928131, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07996356832928131, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08657017978752057, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10707721687827598, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006606611458239264, "bench_c_p3m": 0.027113648548994673, "ret_p6m": 1.2881116106707249, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.2881116106707249, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.1784351467745322, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.2682104876915048, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10967646389619268, "bench_c_p6m": 0.019901122979220087, "price_path": [-0.3382, -0.3524, -0.0323, -0.0559, -0.0984, -0.086, -0.0805, -0.0959, -0.0489, -0.0485, 0.0039, 0.0776, 0.0898, 0.1447, 0.0912, 0.0888, 0.1142, 0.135, 0.1687, 0.2724, 0.2938, 0.263, 0.1899, 0.2333, 0.3409, 0.3099, 0.3694, 0.2955, 0.272, 0.2438, 0.1468, 0.1019, 0.0542, -0.003, 0.0732, 0.1854, 0.268, 0.2316, 0.2647, 0.2554, 0.3225, 0.2179, 0.1175, 0.1828, 0.1063, 0.1249, 0.1115, 0.0334, -0.0461, -0.104, -0.1555, -0.1308, -0.0847, -0.0389, -0.1444, -0.1583, -0.071, -0.1015, -0.0428, -0.0428, -0.0409, 0.0124, -0.025, 0.0, 0.0392, -0.0089, 0.0143, -0.0254, -0.0539, -0.0469, -0.1135, -0.1797, -0.1817, -0.2373, -0.2106, -0.0956, -0.0575, -0.0899, -0.0788, -0.0788, -0.1145, -0.1302, -0.139, -0.1538, -0.1538, -0.0907, -0.0616, 0.0133, -0.0274, -0.0164, -0.01, 0.085, 0.0658, 0.0309, 0.0502, 0.0992, 0.0992, 0.0037, -0.0005, -0.0209, -0.0447, -0.0754, -0.0106, 0.0153, -0.0405, -0.1388, -0.1088, -0.0907, -0.1671, -0.2532, -0.1296, -0.0611, -0.0721, -0.1042, -0.0929, -0.0092, -0.0092, -0.0142, 0.0291, 0.0878, -0.0101, 0.0171, 0.037, 0.0728, 0.0603, -0.0781, -0.08, -0.1225, -0.0115, -0.0331, -0.0969, -0.0402, -0.0252, 0.1322, 0.0922, 0.1418, 0.3127, 0.176, 0.1985, 0.2285, 0.189, 0.154, 0.1616, 0.1635, 0.0713, 0.0192, -0.0673, 0.0489, 0.0306, 0.1001, 0.1001, 0.1377, 0.1868, 0.2636, 0.3782, 0.4655, 0.5625, 0.6371, 0.6859, 0.6715, 0.5886, 0.609, 0.5826, 0.5784, 0.5879, 0.4877, 0.4654, 0.3699, 0.4273, 0.3974, 0.5618, 0.7835, 0.7784, 0.9722, 0.8679, 0.7898, 0.8813, 0.8107, 1.0953, 1.2356, 1.2234, 1.0204, 0.9989, 0.9391, 1.2233, 1.1711, 1.1711, 1.1033, 1.1064, 1.2881]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1996232079890325753", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-03T14:56:30+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSLA: FSD level 2 robotaxis -> market adds ~$300B off a $1T+ valuation", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Argues NBIS is undervalued vs TSLA: level-4 robotaxi launch barely moves a $23B cap while TSLA's level-2 added $300B to a $1T+ valuation.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Make this make sense...\n\n$TSLA: FSD level 2 robotaxis -&gt; market adds ~$300B off a $1T+ valuation.   \n\n$NBIS: FSD level 4 robotaxis -&gt; down 3.55% off a $23B marketcap. https://t.co/kMGzihza3V", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Just in: Nebius [ $NBIS ] FSD level 4 Robotaxi subsidiary Avride has now launched in Texas in partnership with $UBER.\n\nAfter nearly a decade of development since 2017, Avride is finally taking its self-driving car tech into full commercial operation. https://t.co/DSPRvmNw3f", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03917267399952018, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03917267399952018, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.035721855589111784, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.035721855589111784, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003450818410408396, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003450818410408396, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.017437455153354264, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.017437455153354264, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016706398999355887, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016706398999355887, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0007310561539983773, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0007310561539983773, "ret_p1w": 0.010543094586596524, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.010543094586596524, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.005162090468178837, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.005162090468178837, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005381004118417687, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005381004118417687, "ret_p1m": 0.006670571364709721, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.006670571364709721, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.006604780798610266, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.006604780798610266, "bench_spy_p1m": 6.57905660994551e-05, "bench_c_p1m": 6.57905660994551e-05, "ret_p3m": -0.09719296203453076, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09719296203453076, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10379957349277003, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10379957349277003, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006606611458239264, "bench_c_p3m": 0.006606611458239264, "ret_p6m": -0.010386319184062964, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.010386319184062964, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.12006278308025564, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.12006278308025564, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10967646389619268, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10967646389619268, "price_path": [-0.2147, -0.2246, -0.2233, -0.2215, -0.1744, -0.1137, -0.0822, -0.0562, -0.0467, -0.0669, -0.0463, -0.028, -0.0468, -0.0088, -0.0523, -0.0142, -0.0079, -0.0045, 0.0285, -0.024, -0.0379, 0.0146, -0.0306, -0.018, -0.0251, -0.0744, -0.0243, -0.0392, -0.0259, -0.0403, -0.0166, 0.0015, -0.0093, -0.0174, 0.005, -0.0291, 0.0127, 0.0309, 0.0331, -0.0149, 0.022, 0.0484, -0.0056, 0.0343, -0.0019, -0.0385, -0.0034, -0.0159, -0.0361, -0.1002, -0.0949, -0.0847, -0.1018, -0.0957, -0.1153, -0.1246, -0.0648, -0.0612, -0.0451, -0.0451, -0.0371, -0.0372, -0.0392, 0.0, 0.0174, 0.0185, -0.016, -0.0035, 0.0105, 0.0003, 0.0274, 0.064, 0.0966, 0.0459, 0.082, 0.0771, 0.094, 0.0869, 0.0865, 0.0865, 0.0637, 0.0289, 0.0172, 0.0067, 0.0067, -0.0194, 0.011, -0.0308, -0.0343, -0.0245, -0.0039, 0.005, 0.001, -0.0169, -0.0183, -0.0207, -0.0207, -0.0615, -0.0342, 0.0059, 0.0052, -0.0258, -0.0355, -0.0342, -0.0676, -0.0366, -0.0558, -0.0555, -0.0912, -0.1109, -0.0798, -0.0659, -0.0482, -0.0413, -0.0664, -0.0656, -0.0656, -0.0808, -0.0793, -0.0784, -0.0782, -0.105, -0.0836, -0.0657, -0.0854, -0.099, -0.0972, -0.1216, -0.0913, -0.0922, -0.1119, -0.1076, -0.1063, -0.0871, -0.1158, -0.1243, -0.1146, -0.1063, -0.1208, -0.1487, -0.1763, -0.1475, -0.1426, -0.1361, -0.1671, -0.1901, -0.2047, -0.1679, -0.1466, -0.1928, -0.1928, -0.2102, -0.224, -0.2317, -0.2264, -0.2189, -0.2111, -0.1848, -0.1226, -0.1295, -0.1032, -0.1214, -0.135, -0.1326, -0.1635, -0.1577, -0.1524, -0.1583, -0.1655, -0.1457, -0.1252, -0.1214, -0.1284, -0.1075, -0.0782, -0.0412, -0.0039, -0.0297, -0.0033, -0.0077, -0.0548, -0.0823, -0.0954, -0.066, -0.0647, -0.0464, -0.0464, -0.0294, -0.0143, -0.0104]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2005918544924664315", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-30T08:27:03+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if companies like $AXTI owns 40% of the entire InP supply chain (source: AXT CEO) and is valued at $700m, what value would you place on it? ... I do expect there to be an immense bottleneck in 2026 both in InP substrates and InP feedstock", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long AXTI as dominant InP substrate supplier facing massive AI-driven supply shock; argues TAM and price could surge multiples on hyperscaler bottleneck in 2026-2027.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "When I made my WSB post, I'm half joking about $AXTI.\n\nBut not about the extreme bottleneck and InP supply shock.  \n\nThis is a call on critical materials game theory. \n\nIf we see many historically at bottlenecks:\n\n1. Dysprosium: ~2,300% increase (~$100/kg -> $2400/kg 2010-11)\n2. Neon Gas: ~1000%-2,000% increase (2022)\n3. Rhodium: ~$3,000/oz -> ~$29,000/oz (~860%)\n\nThe current Indium spike compared to others?\n\n89% : (~$440 / kg -> ~$832 / kg).\n\nCritical materials used for semiconductors like Neon Gas (semi-grade lithography lasers), spiked over 2000% because chipmakers like Intel and Samsung had stockpiled during Ukraine conflicts. They absorbed the cost because neon is a small fraction of the chip's value.\n\nLike Neon, InP is a critical \"enabler\" material. The cost of the wafer is small relative to the cost of the AI cluster ($100 wafer vs $30,000 GPU). Hyperscalers would happily absorb huge price increases rather than delay deployment. We haven't seen that yet with InP, but we likely will. \n\nTraditional analysts and many AI Models do not understand how to model critical bottlenecks because there's not many examples in history where an extremely cheap commodity like InP with few hundred million TAM suddenly became the most critical material for the multi-trillion+ AI buildout. \n\nCurrently, hyperscalers likely placed backlogs on downstream providers Coherent / $LITE, but likely didn't realize that laser production and capacity are backlogged because of materials shortage upstream. \n\nThere is a supply storage both for InP substrates ( $AXTI + Sumitomo + JX production) as well as the Indium Phosphide feedstock ( $AXTI, Vital, $DOWA) where demand exceeds supply by multiple factors. \n\n$NVDA originally contributed to the supply shortage by locking in a large percent of capacity of EML. But shortage is already pre-hyperscaler ramp, where majority of the demand will come in late 2026 into 2027 when Trainium or Maia show up. \n\nBut how do you get around original chokepoint and securing your AI deployment? \n\nBuying out substrate capacity directly from ( $AXTI, Sumitomo) or going one step lower and buying InP feedstock and passing them to substrate producers so Google's TPU program doesn't stall.   \n\nAnd similar to how other critical materials were needed for lithography lasers. Indium Phopshide and InP substates are even more critical to the entire AI buildout:\n\n1. Nvidia: InfiniBand / NVLink (optical - 800G/1.6T EML Transceivers) - Extreme dependency on InP\n2. Google: Jupiter / Apollo (optical - OCS), Extreme dependency\n3. Microsoft: Azure Maia: High (800G DR4/FR4)\n4. Meta: F16 / Artemis (800G) High\n\nand this is not considering other Mag7 companies like $AMZN or other companies scaling out ASICs with photonics. \n\nCurrently, analysts are modeling InP companies based on TAM. For example, the total InP Wafer Market from 2024 is $183M – $205M Straits Research, Mordor Intelligence (2024)\n\n- 6-inch (150mm) Segment TAM: $65m \n- Projected Total InP TAM (2032): $580M – $700M\n\nNow looking at TAM for Laser-Grade Indium Phosphide Feedstock:\n\n- Polycrystalline InP Feedstock TAM: ~$300 Million \n- High-Purity Indium (6N/7N) Only: ~$400 Million\n\nSubstrate Data: Mordor Intelligence (InP Wafer Market 2025-2030) and Straits Research.\nFeedstock Data: Market Report Analytics (Indium Phosphide Polycrystalline Industry Analysis 2025).\n\nThis was an extremely cheap telecom product and now it's one of the most precious materials in the entire supply chain. \n\nIncreasing prices 3000% would only be low single digits of BOM value to $GOOGL TPU deployments or $MSFT MAIA deployments. And the project Microsoft ramp in 2027 alone would take up double digits of all InP capacity.  \n\nLike Intel or semis back in 2022, hyperscalers will likely  buy insurance directly with InP substrates + InP, similar to how semis stockpiled Neon Gas. \n\nIf the \"TAM\" really was a few hundred million, but every single hyperscaler would face deployment delays if they don't secure this material. Then this becomes a game theory bidding war.\n\nIn a $20B TPU deployment is stalled because of a $100 substrate, a hyperscaler would easily pay $10,000 (100 times current prices) for it without hesitation.\n\nThat's why when you look at InP substrate companies and see $50m backlog (from 2024), that same $50m worth of capacity for future ones could be valued at $500m, $5B or more in an extreme scenario. \n\nThis is a \"tail-risk\" investment, extremely reward if hyperscalers get bottlenecked by this material, but not without significant geopolitical risk and dilution. \n\nI don't know what's going to happen, but I do expect there to be an immense bottleneck in 2026 both in InP substrates and InP feedstock. \n\nSo, if companies like $AXTI owns 40% of the entire InP supply chain (source: AXT CEO) and is valued at $700m, what value would you place on it?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "InP substrate shortages emerge as new bottleneck for optical chips\n\nA tightening supply of indium phosphide substrates is emerging as a bottleneck for artificial intelligence data centers and high-speed optical interconnects, prompting compound semiconductor supplier IntelliEPI https://t.co/XcdPA0Wryp", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.07658227997088995, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07658227997088995, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07780487361546973, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07905948649570971, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012225936445797725, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002477206524819753, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03481013823388324, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03481013823388324, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04221910560727393, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.043562973820986506, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.007408967373390696, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00875283558710327, "ret_p1w": 0.27658226789906326, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.27658226789906326, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2695955603533693, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.20966972015208563, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006986707545693971, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06691254774697764, "ret_p1m": 0.0651898557302033, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0651898557302033, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.052948507691537916, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08157188405819715, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01224134803866539, "bench_c_p1m": 0.14676173978840046, "ret_p3m": 2.8373417934304035, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.8373417934304035, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.9118506090396923, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.807229760965231, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0745088156092889, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03011203246517291, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7025, -0.6753, -0.6582, -0.6639, -0.6639, -0.669, -0.7449, -0.7089, -0.7108, -0.7095, -0.688, -0.7146, -0.6892, -0.6728, -0.6873, -0.6722, -0.6165, -0.6082, -0.5823, -0.5525, -0.5367, -0.4968, -0.4646, -0.4595, -0.4241, -0.4386, -0.4013, -0.3392, -0.3316, -0.3051, -0.3392, -0.3392, -0.3513, -0.3734, -0.3601, -0.4019, -0.4348, -0.4089, -0.4158, -0.3386, -0.3386, -0.3228, -0.3171, -0.2557, -0.2734, -0.2342, -0.2671, -0.1956, -0.0532, -0.0184, 0.0367, -0.0627, -0.0614, -0.1772, -0.2177, -0.1133, -0.0728, -0.0367, -0.0734, -0.05, -0.05, -0.0272, -0.0766, 0.0, 0.0348, 0.0348, 0.0608, 0.0551, 0.2766, 0.5259, 0.6348, 0.4551, 0.4076, 0.3614, 0.3987, 0.6278, 0.3981, 0.3981, 0.3551, 0.2519, 0.1342, 0.1013, 0.1266, 0.0886, 0.0652, 0.0367, 0.1734, 0.3253, 0.2494, 0.1867, 0.293, 0.5228, 0.7576, 0.5411, 0.6962, 0.569, 0.5342, 0.5342, 0.469, 0.4899, 0.507, 0.8785, 0.7994, 1.2203, 1.593, 1.3494, 1.3987, 1.9316, 1.643, 1.4766, 1.4557, 1.0487, 1.4405, 1.8038, 1.9975, 1.9576, 2.0924, 2.0627, 1.8076, 2.0861, 2.6766, 2.4329, 3.0785, 3.3316, 3.2627, 2.7032, 2.8373, 2.3373, 2.6063, 1.9835, 2.3443, 2.3443, 1.6576, 1.8772, 2.3658, 2.9949, 3.062, 3.2057, 3.2595, 2.9829, 4.1759, 4.2253, 3.9848, 3.7449, 4.5025, 3.7639, 3.8203, 3.4399, 3.3487, 3.4981, 4.0139, 5.0759, 5.7089, 5.807, 5.6348, 5.862, 6.3646, 6.9627, 6.7785, 6.7177, 6.2772, 6.8342, 5.7013, 6.1443, 5.6209, 6.6595, 7.9133, 7.9133, 7.3924, 6.7703, 6.3228, 5.5291, 5.5291, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972089217410126279", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-28T00:01:23+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Long $NBIS though", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Holds long NBIS (medium-term conviction), CIFR and IREN (medium-term); GRRR treated as a speculative dice roll with no clean directional claim.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@PatientTraderr Yeah green checks mean I have it in my port. I had stuff like $CRWV at $90 and $SLNH too but held them mainly for short term trading.\n\nLong $NBIS though, med term $CIFR, $IREN. $GRRR is kinda throwing a dice roll.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thanks for sharing. The blue checkmark means you have it in your portfolio?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PatientTraderr", "ret_m1d": -0.022863402690541768, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.022863402690541768, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.020060912274418974, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01965792073995065, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003205481950591116, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01859912356794835, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01859912356794835, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014832256808836375, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0201175336178111, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0015184100498627506, "ret_p1w": 0.13355108925491654, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.13355108925491654, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12160260787250388, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15075906719363552, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017207977938718977, "ret_p1m": 0.10533478934648022, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10533478934648022, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0701069826039109, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12195232126657751, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016617531920097295, "ret_p3m": -0.17319909050862348, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17319909050862348, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2165030751207767, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17254361511278626, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0006554753958372128, "ret_p6m": 0.042551282793175105, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.042551282793175105, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.052768289205117, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09910514292146178, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.05655386012828667, "price_path": [-0.5466, -0.5441, -0.5441, -0.566, -0.5727, -0.5822, -0.5788, -0.5981, -0.5287, -0.5143, -0.5163, -0.5129, -0.521, -0.5249, -0.5372, -0.5293, -0.5268, -0.5339, -0.5214, -0.5427, -0.5347, -0.5062, -0.5282, -0.5085, -0.4995, -0.5002, -0.4075, -0.376, -0.3627, -0.3165, -0.3592, -0.3789, -0.3502, -0.3419, -0.3904, -0.3879, -0.3996, -0.3742, -0.3647, -0.3606, -0.364, -0.3464, -0.3801, -0.3801, -0.4037, -0.4044, -0.4111, -0.406, -0.4188, -0.1316, -0.1527, -0.1908, -0.1797, -0.1747, -0.1886, -0.1464, -0.1461, -0.099, -0.0328, -0.022, 0.0273, -0.0207, -0.0229, 0.0, 0.0186, 0.0489, 0.142, 0.1611, 0.1336, 0.0679, 0.1069, 0.2034, 0.1756, 0.229, 0.1627, 0.1416, 0.1163, 0.0292, -0.0111, -0.0539, -0.1052, -0.0368, 0.0639, 0.138, 0.1053, 0.135, 0.1267, 0.1869, 0.093, 0.0029, 0.0615, -0.0071, 0.0096, -0.0024, -0.0726, -0.1439, -0.1959, -0.2421, -0.2199, -0.1786, -0.1375, -0.2321, -0.2446, -0.1662, -0.1936, -0.1409, -0.1409, -0.1393, -0.0914, -0.1249, -0.1025, -0.0673, -0.1105, -0.0897, -0.1253, -0.1509, -0.1446, -0.2044, -0.2638, -0.2656, -0.3155, -0.2915, -0.1884, -0.1541, -0.1832, -0.1732, -0.1732, -0.2053, -0.2194, -0.2273, -0.2406, -0.2406, -0.1839, -0.1578, -0.0905, -0.1271, -0.1172, -0.1115, -0.0262, -0.0435, -0.0748, -0.0575, -0.0135, -0.0135, -0.0992, -0.103, -0.1213, -0.1426, -0.1702, -0.112, -0.0888, -0.1389, -0.2271, -0.2001, -0.1839, -0.2525, -0.3298, -0.2188, -0.1573, -0.1672, -0.1961, -0.1859, -0.1108, -0.1108, -0.1152, -0.0764, -0.0237, -0.1116, -0.0872, -0.0693, -0.0372, -0.0484, -0.1727, -0.1743, -0.2125, -0.1129, -0.1322, -0.1895, -0.1386, -0.1251, 0.0161, -0.0198, 0.0248, 0.1781, 0.0554, 0.0757, 0.1025, 0.0671, 0.0357, 0.0426]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972089217410126279", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-28T00:01:23+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "med term $CIFR", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Holds long NBIS (medium-term conviction), CIFR and IREN (medium-term); GRRR treated as a speculative dice roll with no clean directional claim.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@PatientTraderr Yeah green checks mean I have it in my port. I had stuff like $CRWV at $90 and $SLNH too but held them mainly for short term trading.\n\nLong $NBIS though, med term $CIFR, $IREN. $GRRR is kinda throwing a dice roll.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thanks for sharing. The blue checkmark means you have it in your portfolio?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PatientTraderr", "ret_m1d": -0.09328058395930305, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09328058395930305, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09047809354318026, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08796551066294789, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005315073296355166, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0047430409289889175, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0047430409289889175, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008509907688100893, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010200900396175938, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005457859467187021, "ret_p1w": 0.21264826997442654, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.21264826997442654, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.20069978859201387, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1867144587877414, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02593381118668514, "ret_p1m": 0.5778655878561747, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5778655878561747, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5426377811136054, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5007064737373843, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0771591141187904, "ret_p3m": 0.2822134231209563, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2822134231209563, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.23890943850880308, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.236860256046181, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": 0.045353167074775325, "ret_p6m": 0.17628462949864776, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.17628462949864776, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.18650163591058966, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.20224649576629916, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0259618662676514, "price_path": [-0.551, -0.5217, -0.5217, -0.5423, -0.5233, -0.5051, -0.5067, -0.536, -0.5233, -0.5281, -0.5043, -0.4925, -0.4972, -0.5059, -0.4514, -0.4719, -0.4743, -0.4885, -0.513, -0.551, -0.5692, -0.5684, -0.6103, -0.5897, -0.604, -0.5881, -0.615, -0.6245, -0.6237, -0.6269, -0.6126, -0.5794, -0.5881, -0.5217, -0.5447, -0.5296, -0.5336, -0.4957, -0.4751, -0.4372, -0.4474, -0.4451, -0.396, -0.396, -0.3423, -0.3589, -0.415, -0.4055, -0.3897, -0.2711, -0.1897, -0.2119, -0.1423, -0.1423, -0.0901, -0.0213, -0.0632, -0.0292, 0.1036, 0.1186, 0.1178, -0.0783, -0.0933, 0.0, -0.0047, -0.004, 0.0917, 0.1621, 0.2126, 0.2451, 0.3913, 0.4221, 0.3415, 0.6079, 0.6514, 0.6625, 0.4798, 0.483, 0.5739, 0.4289, 0.2735, 0.364, 0.6332, 0.6237, 0.5779, 0.5486, 0.5075, 0.4743, 0.7992, 0.7794, 0.9534, 0.7162, 0.6356, 0.5534, 0.4759, 0.3739, 0.1802, 0.1352, 0.1344, 0.1526, 0.1557, 0.151, 0.1186, 0.3209, 0.385, 0.5138, 0.5138, 0.6087, 0.5565, 0.3945, 0.4727, 0.5676, 0.5241, 0.5399, 0.5462, 0.4609, 0.4925, 0.3478, 0.1652, 0.185, 0.1375, 0.1976, 0.2814, 0.2917, 0.2577, 0.2822, 0.2822, 0.2008, 0.1921, 0.1534, 0.1668, 0.1668, 0.2806, 0.4356, 0.3866, 0.2711, 0.3083, 0.3146, 0.3976, 0.4427, 0.4332, 0.385, 0.4862, 0.4862, 0.4166, 0.4008, 0.3747, 0.3889, 0.3036, 0.4822, 0.4996, 0.3992, 0.2617, 0.2498, 0.2854, 0.1265, 0.004, 0.1644, 0.3249, 0.3518, 0.287, 0.2727, 0.298, 0.298, 0.2364, 0.219, 0.249, 0.1581, 0.2032, 0.3534, 0.313, 0.3028, 0.2332, 0.2458, 0.1628, 0.268, 0.1976, 0.0767, 0.1312, 0.1036, 0.1154, 0.0838, 0.113, 0.1968, 0.1929, 0.1597, 0.1573, 0.1075, 0.1771, 0.1763]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972089217410126279", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-09-28T00:01:23+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "med term $CIFR, $IREN", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Holds long NBIS (medium-term conviction), CIFR and IREN (medium-term); GRRR treated as a speculative dice roll with no clean directional claim.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@PatientTraderr Yeah green checks mean I have it in my port. I had stuff like $CRWV at $90 and $SLNH too but held them mainly for short term trading.\n\nLong $NBIS though, med term $CIFR, $IREN. $GRRR is kinda throwing a dice roll.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thanks for sharing. The blue checkmark means you have it in your portfolio?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PatientTraderr", "ret_m1d": -0.08861309966866204, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08861309966866204, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08581060925253925, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08362508350331566, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004988016165346387, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.021772261993373343, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.021772261993373343, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.018005395234261368, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.026575534186569327, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004803272193195984, "ret_p1w": 0.2573481301173046, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2573481301173046, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.24539964873489195, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2652919787543433, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007943848637038675, "ret_p1m": 0.3590245537601553, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3590245537601553, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.323796747017586, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.38008494008901605, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02106038632886076, "ret_p3m": -0.086000451484742, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.086000451484742, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12930443609689524, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11915726748529021, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": 0.033156816000548206, "ret_p6m": -0.10472461008777711, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.10472461008777711, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.09450760367583522, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0230035156243954, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.08172109446338172, "price_path": [-0.659, -0.6338, -0.6338, -0.631, -0.6323, -0.6307, -0.6292, -0.6466, -0.6238, -0.6325, -0.6231, -0.607, -0.6094, -0.6048, -0.5953, -0.5865, -0.6051, -0.6142, -0.639, -0.6562, -0.6486, -0.6492, -0.6647, -0.6412, -0.6418, -0.6011, -0.5957, -0.5983, -0.6088, -0.6118, -0.614, -0.5846, -0.5713, -0.5492, -0.5922, -0.5698, -0.5735, -0.5334, -0.4966, -0.4995, -0.5133, -0.4984, -0.4235, -0.4235, -0.3662, -0.3858, -0.4311, -0.4307, -0.4298, -0.3427, -0.2678, -0.2848, -0.2606, -0.1914, -0.2064, -0.1748, -0.2092, -0.1587, -0.0877, -0.0906, 0.0263, 0.0078, -0.0886, 0.0, 0.0218, 0.025, 0.0237, 0.0986, 0.2573, 0.3429, 0.3083, 0.3902, 0.3013, 0.3965, 0.5145, 0.4801, 0.3462, 0.322, 0.2894, 0.2017, 0.1285, 0.2162, 0.3695, 0.415, 0.359, 0.3155, 0.2676, 0.3227, 0.4751, 0.4507, 0.6636, 0.4579, 0.3582, 0.31, 0.2493, 0.2127, 0.0592, 0.0096, 0.0322, 0.0636, -0.0022, -0.0536, -0.0799, 0.0557, 0.0335, 0.0549, 0.0549, 0.0409, 0.0557, -0.1047, -0.0429, 0.0113, -0.0266, 0.0089, 0.0198, -0.0438, -0.0433, -0.1263, -0.2275, -0.2034, -0.2645, -0.2206, -0.1309, -0.0847, -0.084, -0.086, -0.086, -0.1226, -0.142, -0.1661, -0.1777, -0.1777, -0.0703, 0.0503, -0.0004, -0.0502, -0.0054, 0.0022, 0.0958, 0.1537, 0.1513, 0.1298, 0.2589, 0.2589, 0.1814, 0.1644, 0.1378, 0.2341, 0.14, 0.3061, 0.3703, 0.3029, 0.17, 0.1557, 0.1842, -0.0216, -0.1337, -0.0893, 0.0048, -0.0653, -0.071, -0.1285, -0.0808, -0.0808, -0.108, -0.0838, -0.0575, -0.1295, -0.0777, -0.0105, -0.0414, -0.0368, -0.1084, -0.0988, -0.1541, -0.0455, -0.1264, -0.201, -0.1544, -0.17, -0.086, -0.0993, -0.0947, -0.0216, -0.0647, -0.081, -0.093, -0.101, -0.0821, -0.1047]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2011143940536484160", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-13T18:30:55+00:00", "symbol": "SMCI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Great long here IMO, disagree with the other analysts. SMCI looks mispriced.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long SMCI at $28.3; argues Goldman wrong on margins — DLC cycle margins expand over time, stock mispriced with 50%+ revenue growth to $36B by 2026.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMCI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I bought $SMCI as well at $28.3 as well. Have been swing trading it.\n\nGoldman Sachs's analyst report extremely lazy at best.\n\nSMCI raised revenue growth over 50%+ to $36B revenue 2026. Part of that is increased hardware costs from upgrade cycle. \n\nBut they don't seem to understand short term margin pricing to lock in initial DLC cycles, where margins expand over time. They think the forecasted gross margins like 9.5% is permanent, but they should increase over time.  \n\nGreat long here IMO, disagree with the other analysts. SMCI looks mispriced.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I'm really eyeing up SMCI rn, PEG looks delicious, can't tell if I'm just missing something", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "HalalSN", "ret_m1d": 0.05314686844369754, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05314686844369754, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05114338742741009, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05103053133500768, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002003481016287445, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0021163371086898586, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011538458716939926, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011538458716939926, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006623221375321342, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0006133484979016224, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0049152373416185835, "bench_c_p1d": -0.012151807214841548, "ret_p1w": 0.0982517282679134, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0982517282679134, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12158803449148714, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.12992836455706114, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023336306223573744, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03167663628914774, "ret_p1m": 0.12027973734876007, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12027973734876007, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12288864702141578, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14424198016754464, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026089096726557015, "bench_c_p1m": -0.023962242818784563, "ret_p3m": -0.11678322056079116, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11678322056079116, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09883146254170638, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09164208274720487, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.017951758019084774, "bench_c_p3m": -0.02514113781358629, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.8825, 0.8245, 0.9245, 0.9168, 0.8357, 0.6755, 0.6885, 0.8031, 0.8308, 0.8423, 0.7612, 0.8168, 0.7745, 0.6573, 0.4696, 0.4105, 0.3902, 0.4052, 0.3573, 0.3255, 0.2269, 0.2734, 0.1923, 0.2203, 0.1794, 0.1035, 0.1255, 0.165, 0.1357, 0.1479, 0.1479, 0.1836, 0.1682, 0.151, 0.1776, 0.1969, 0.2129, 0.2367, 0.2245, 0.2203, 0.1895, 0.1304, 0.0969, 0.107, 0.0434, 0.0269, 0.0878, 0.0864, 0.0755, 0.0682, 0.0682, 0.0713, 0.0517, 0.0367, 0.0234, 0.0234, 0.0825, 0.0514, 0.0678, 0.0493, 0.0455, 0.0545, 0.0531, 0.0, -0.0115, 0.0287, 0.1413, 0.1413, 0.0983, 0.1273, 0.1346, 0.1084, 0.0769, 0.0909, 0.0913, 0.0531, 0.0178, 0.0388, 0.0374, 0.1804, 0.0787, 0.2021, 0.1724, 0.1654, 0.1203, 0.064, 0.0678, 0.0678, 0.0528, 0.0388, 0.1245, 0.1336, 0.0738, 0.0885, 0.1748, 0.1287, 0.1325, 0.1129, 0.0727, 0.1416, 0.1273, 0.0948, 0.1182, 0.1115, 0.1115, 0.0804, 0.0752, 0.114, 0.1017, 0.0612, 0.0766, -0.2822, -0.2455, -0.2227, -0.1591, -0.2234, -0.2318, -0.2636, -0.2038, -0.2129, -0.1881, -0.1881, -0.229, -0.2073, -0.1829, -0.1881, -0.1168, -0.092, -0.049, -0.0458, -0.007, -0.0014, 0.0073, -0.0059, 0.0203, -0.0647, 0.0168, -0.0262, -0.0472, -0.0797, -0.042, -0.0528, -0.0238, -0.0269, 0.2119, 0.1755, 0.2367, 0.172, 0.1465, 0.1189, 0.1549, 0.0853, 0.0787, 0.0685, 0.1699, 0.1699, 0.2441, 0.2441, 0.2972, 0.3353, 0.4441, 0.6115, 0.6115, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972679568520794566", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-29T15:07:14+00:00", "symbol": "VIRT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I just thought it was undervalued?", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish VIRT: 6.6x forward P/E after ~20% drop, undervalued with floating-debt EPS tailwind from rate cuts.", "resolved_tickers": ["VIRT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$VIRT was on my radar for quite some time. Then it randomly dropped ~20% over the past month or two.\n\nDid some calculations and it was sitting 6.6ish forward p/e. Market maybe made assumptions that triple rate cut lowers VIX because they were more proactive but Virtu has a lot of floating debt so it actually benefits EPS more than expected.\n\nI just thought it was undervalued?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thank you so much for sharing. Oversold, ready to bounce!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "KLX2026", "ret_m1d": -0.018399807113559707, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.018399807113559707, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015597316697436914, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015597316697436914, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010314987907446005, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010314987907446005, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01408185466655798, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01408185466655798, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "ret_p1w": -0.09673811713673042, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09673811713673042, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10868659851914309, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10868659851914309, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "ret_p1m": -0.036241910523391874, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.036241910523391874, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07146971726596119, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07146971726596119, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "ret_p3m": -0.05190284217825136, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05190284217825136, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0952068267904046, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0952068267904046, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "ret_p6m": 0.22316838376734394, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.22316838376734394, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.23338539017928583, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.23338539017928583, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "price_path": [0.2322, 0.2338, 0.2338, 0.243, 0.1864, 0.1923, 0.2211, 0.2186, 0.2419, 0.2244, 0.2374, 0.2508, 0.2286, 0.2064, 0.1817, 0.1973, 0.2133, 0.2253, 0.2031, 0.2208, 0.2416, 0.2236, 0.2022, 0.2034, 0.1889, 0.1767, 0.1767, 0.1765, 0.1654, 0.1673, 0.1596, 0.1596, 0.1582, 0.1493, 0.1415, 0.1479, 0.1526, 0.1657, 0.1751, 0.1964, 0.1845, 0.1751, 0.1687, 0.1687, 0.1528, 0.1558, 0.1271, 0.0842, 0.073, 0.0608, 0.0764, 0.0337, 0.0212, 0.01, -0.0131, -0.0195, -0.0184, -0.0112, -0.0279, -0.0237, -0.0176, -0.0226, -0.0184, 0.0, -0.0103, -0.0488, -0.0452, -0.0622, -0.0967, -0.0973, -0.0845, -0.0739, -0.0742, -0.0803, -0.0658, -0.0633, -0.0772, -0.0736, -0.08, -0.0714, -0.0686, -0.0672, -0.0647, -0.056, -0.0362, -0.0413, -0.0348, -0.0287, -0.0259, -0.0315, -0.0418, -0.0223, -0.0064, 0.0022, -0.0067, 0.0039, -0.0078, -0.0192, -0.0421, -0.0376, -0.0566, -0.0602, -0.0527, -0.0544, -0.0326, -0.0148, -0.0148, -0.0031, -0.0171, -0.0367, -0.0207, -0.005, -0.007, -0.0112, -0.0019, 0.004, -0.0393, -0.0539, -0.0631, -0.0499, -0.0547, -0.0581, -0.0502, -0.0673, -0.0631, -0.0519, -0.0519, -0.0424, -0.0373, -0.0466, -0.0648, -0.0648, -0.085, -0.0536, -0.069, -0.0763, -0.087, -0.0699, -0.048, -0.0443, -0.0126, 0.007, 0.0354, 0.0354, 0.0281, 0.0359, 0.0416, 0.043, 0.0528, 0.0564, 0.0522, 0.1412, 0.1651, 0.1098, 0.075, 0.0615, 0.0724, 0.0814, 0.1019, 0.1053, 0.0646, 0.055, 0.0761, 0.0761, 0.0969, 0.1047, 0.105, 0.1176, 0.1221, 0.1465, 0.1437, 0.1715, 0.169, 0.2062, 0.1755, 0.1591, 0.1543, 0.1577, 0.1839, 0.1588, 0.141, 0.1198, 0.1035, 0.097, 0.1249, 0.1258, 0.1173, 0.1752, 0.2105, 0.2232]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1989414454615052489", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-14T19:25:42+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Hilarious buying opportunity for some", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author argues NBIS, CIFR, WULF, IREN are unfairly punished by irrational sector selloff; calls it a buying opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It's the $CRWV, $ORCL OpenAI Effect. Markets are irrational during fear and views the sector as a  single entity vs. seeing the nuances:\n\nGPU Deprecation - Burry Short Thesis (rapid hardware obsolescence):\n\n$CIFR, $WULF, etc. Literally not affected since they don't buy GPUs and do colo.\n\nCredit Risk - tightening makes all capital-intensive AI buildouts more expensive and fragile.\n\n$NBIS and others... isolated (Strong balance sheet, convertible debt).\n\nFuture Revenue Bubble with OpenAI not having enough\n\n$IREN, $NBIS, $CIFR, $WULF literally not affected since they're backed by Mag7, not OpenAI.  \n\nHilarious buying opportunity for some.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit It's extremely disheartening to see a good company like $NBIS crash from $130 to $80 on no news. Hard for small investors from immigrant backgrounds like myself", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "AgentSaffron", "ret_m1d": 0.06092885183275798, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06092885183275798, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.060765056247821025, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05553947374933221, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0053893780834257665, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02920759414251739, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02920759414251739, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03852402757176199, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03055500763417085, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0013474134916534597, "ret_p1w": -0.003351673165289948, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.003351673165289948, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.015846667575385776, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.00847158234454437, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005119909179254423, "ret_p1m": -0.028728770643726698, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.028728770643726698, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.041825383272466876, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07579595992511301, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04706718928138631, "ret_p3m": 0.060689485746484806, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.060689485746484806, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.027836732130763542, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.008700540385840005, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0519889453606448, "ret_p6m": 1.227675413742134, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.227675413742134, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.1211470771516163, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.1828159796751123, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04485943406702164, "price_path": [-0.1957, -0.1924, -0.2078, -0.1743, -0.1618, -0.1563, -0.1609, -0.1377, -0.1822, -0.1822, -0.2133, -0.2141, -0.223, -0.2163, -0.2332, 0.1458, 0.1179, 0.0676, 0.0822, 0.0888, 0.0705, 0.1262, 0.1266, 0.1888, 0.276, 0.2904, 0.3554, 0.2921, 0.2892, 0.3194, 0.3439, 0.3839, 0.5067, 0.532, 0.4956, 0.4089, 0.4604, 0.5877, 0.5511, 0.6215, 0.534, 0.5062, 0.4728, 0.3579, 0.3048, 0.2483, 0.1805, 0.2708, 0.4036, 0.5014, 0.4583, 0.4975, 0.4865, 0.566, 0.4421, 0.3232, 0.4005, 0.31, 0.3321, 0.3161, 0.2236, 0.1295, 0.0609, 0.0, 0.0292, 0.0838, 0.138, 0.0132, -0.0034, 0.1001, 0.0639, 0.1335, 0.1335, 0.1356, 0.1988, 0.1545, 0.1841, 0.2305, 0.1736, 0.201, 0.1541, 0.1203, 0.1286, 0.0497, -0.0287, -0.031, -0.0968, -0.0652, 0.0709, 0.116, 0.0777, 0.0909, 0.0909, 0.0485, 0.0299, 0.0195, 0.002, 0.002, 0.0767, 0.1112, 0.1999, 0.1517, 0.1647, 0.1723, 0.2848, 0.262, 0.2207, 0.2435, 0.3015, 0.3015, 0.1885, 0.1835, 0.1593, 0.1312, 0.0948, 0.1715, 0.2022, 0.1361, 0.0198, 0.0553, 0.0767, -0.0138, -0.1158, 0.0306, 0.1118, 0.0988, 0.0607, 0.0741, 0.1732, 0.1732, 0.1673, 0.2186, 0.2881, 0.1721, 0.2043, 0.2279, 0.2703, 0.2554, 0.0916, 0.0894, 0.039, 0.1705, 0.145, 0.0693, 0.1365, 0.1543, 0.3406, 0.2933, 0.352, 0.5543, 0.3925, 0.4192, 0.4546, 0.4079, 0.3664, 0.3755, 0.3777, 0.2685, 0.2068, 0.1044, 0.242, 0.2204, 0.3026, 0.3026, 0.3471, 0.4053, 0.4963, 0.6319, 0.7353, 0.8501, 0.9385, 0.9963, 0.9792, 0.881, 0.9052, 0.874, 0.869, 0.8803, 0.7616, 0.7352, 0.6221, 0.6901, 0.6547, 0.8493, 1.1118, 1.1058, 1.3353, 1.2118, 1.1193, 1.2277]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1989414454615052489", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-14T19:25:42+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Hilarious buying opportunity for some", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author argues NBIS, CIFR, WULF, IREN are unfairly punished by irrational sector selloff; calls it a buying opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It's the $CRWV, $ORCL OpenAI Effect. Markets are irrational during fear and views the sector as a  single entity vs. seeing the nuances:\n\nGPU Deprecation - Burry Short Thesis (rapid hardware obsolescence):\n\n$CIFR, $WULF, etc. Literally not affected since they don't buy GPUs and do colo.\n\nCredit Risk - tightening makes all capital-intensive AI buildouts more expensive and fragile.\n\n$NBIS and others... isolated (Strong balance sheet, convertible debt).\n\nFuture Revenue Bubble with OpenAI not having enough\n\n$IREN, $NBIS, $CIFR, $WULF literally not affected since they're backed by Mag7, not OpenAI.  \n\nHilarious buying opportunity for some.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit It's extremely disheartening to see a good company like $NBIS crash from $130 to $80 on no news. Hard for small investors from immigrant backgrounds like myself", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "AgentSaffron", "ret_m1d": 0.039693639423834526, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.039693639423834526, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03952984383889757, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.045107562737243145, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0054139233134086195, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0006963283737175807, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0006963283737175807, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008620105055527016, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014955175456109027, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015651503829826607, "ret_p1w": -0.014623958437862794, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.014623958437862794, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.004574382302812929, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03725871220724131, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0518826706451041, "ret_p1m": 0.026462404145269014, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.026462404145269014, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.013365791516528835, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03878237722964417, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012319973084375158, "ret_p3m": 0.13370481029750447, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.13370481029750447, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10085205668178321, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.139869257288889, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "bench_c_p3m": -0.00616444699138452, "ret_p6m": 0.41225634899061614, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.41225634899061614, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3057280124000985, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.17421152105138193, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2380448279392342, "price_path": [-0.5989, -0.5857, -0.5891, -0.5557, -0.5376, -0.5042, -0.5132, -0.5111, -0.468, -0.468, -0.4206, -0.4352, -0.4847, -0.4763, -0.4624, -0.3579, -0.2862, -0.3057, -0.2444, -0.2444, -0.1985, -0.1379, -0.1748, -0.1448, -0.0279, -0.0146, -0.0153, -0.188, -0.2013, -0.1191, -0.1233, -0.1226, -0.0383, 0.0237, 0.0682, 0.0968, 0.2256, 0.2528, 0.1818, 0.4164, 0.4547, 0.4645, 0.3036, 0.3064, 0.3865, 0.2587, 0.1219, 0.2016, 0.4387, 0.4304, 0.39, 0.3642, 0.328, 0.2987, 0.585, 0.5675, 0.7208, 0.5118, 0.4408, 0.3684, 0.3001, 0.2103, 0.0397, 0.0, -0.0007, 0.0153, 0.0181, 0.0139, -0.0146, 0.1636, 0.2201, 0.3336, 0.3336, 0.4171, 0.3712, 0.2284, 0.2974, 0.3809, 0.3426, 0.3565, 0.3621, 0.2869, 0.3148, 0.1873, 0.0265, 0.0439, 0.0021, 0.055, 0.1288, 0.1379, 0.1079, 0.1295, 0.1295, 0.0578, 0.0501, 0.016, 0.0279, 0.0279, 0.1281, 0.2646, 0.2214, 0.1198, 0.1525, 0.1581, 0.2312, 0.2709, 0.2625, 0.2201, 0.3092, 0.3092, 0.2479, 0.234, 0.211, 0.2235, 0.1483, 0.3057, 0.321, 0.2326, 0.1114, 0.101, 0.1323, -0.0077, -0.1156, 0.0258, 0.1671, 0.1908, 0.1337, 0.1212, 0.1435, 0.1435, 0.0891, 0.0738, 0.1003, 0.0202, 0.0599, 0.1922, 0.1567, 0.1476, 0.0864, 0.0975, 0.0244, 0.117, 0.055, -0.0515, -0.0035, -0.0279, -0.0174, -0.0453, -0.0195, 0.0543, 0.0508, 0.0216, 0.0195, -0.0244, 0.0369, 0.0362, 0.1058, -0.0007, -0.0428, -0.1633, -0.1038, -0.1198, -0.1072, -0.1072, -0.0703, -0.0244, 0.0738, 0.1393, 0.1511, 0.2368, 0.2848, 0.2535, 0.2075, 0.3489, 0.3433, 0.2563, 0.3538, 0.3015, 0.2674, 0.2646, 0.2019, 0.1783, 0.2354, 0.1866, 0.2458, 0.539, 0.5258, 0.4405, 0.4311, 0.4123]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1989414454615052489", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-11-14T19:25:42+00:00", "symbol": "WULF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Hilarious buying opportunity for some", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author argues NBIS, CIFR, WULF, IREN are unfairly punished by irrational sector selloff; calls it a buying opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["WULF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It's the $CRWV, $ORCL OpenAI Effect. Markets are irrational during fear and views the sector as a  single entity vs. seeing the nuances:\n\nGPU Deprecation - Burry Short Thesis (rapid hardware obsolescence):\n\n$CIFR, $WULF, etc. Literally not affected since they don't buy GPUs and do colo.\n\nCredit Risk - tightening makes all capital-intensive AI buildouts more expensive and fragile.\n\n$NBIS and others... isolated (Strong balance sheet, convertible debt).\n\nFuture Revenue Bubble with OpenAI not having enough\n\n$IREN, $NBIS, $CIFR, $WULF literally not affected since they're backed by Mag7, not OpenAI.  \n\nHilarious buying opportunity for some.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit It's extremely disheartening to see a good company like $NBIS crash from $130 to $80 on no news. Hard for small investors from immigrant backgrounds like myself", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "AgentSaffron", "ret_m1d": 0.06278439931099422, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06278439931099422, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06262060372605727, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06262060372605727, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005459546939607929, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005459546939607929, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014775980368852526, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014775980368852526, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "ret_p1w": 0.02729756114492976, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02729756114492976, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.046495901885605484, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.046495901885605484, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "ret_p1m": 0.13648771894809464, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13648771894809464, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12339110631935446, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12339110631935446, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "ret_p3m": 0.45859881897109034, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.45859881897109034, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4257460653553691, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4257460653553691, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "bench_c_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "ret_p6m": 1.1264787375746819, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.1264787375746819, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.0199504009841642, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.0199504009841642, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "price_path": [-0.2011, -0.1556, -0.1638, -0.1665, -0.1874, -0.1592, -0.1692, -0.141, -0.1401, -0.1401, -0.1237, -0.1829, -0.1929, -0.1692, -0.1629, -0.0628, -0.04, -0.0318, -0.0209, -0.0455, -0.0045, 0.0328, 0.0164, -0.0009, 0.0455, 0.0227, 0.0373, -0.0018, -0.0146, 0.0555, 0.0391, 0.0437, 0.0537, 0.0846, 0.0892, 0.101, 0.1192, 0.2366, 0.2293, 0.2739, 0.4067, 0.4076, 0.2611, 0.2675, 0.2602, 0.1956, 0.1483, 0.172, 0.2475, 0.2411, 0.4504, 0.3194, 0.3485, 0.4104, 0.465, 0.3658, 0.3976, 0.2994, 0.2684, 0.3012, 0.1256, 0.1501, 0.0628, 0.0, 0.0055, 0.0919, 0.1128, 0.0519, 0.0273, 0.1492, 0.2684, 0.3503, 0.3503, 0.4113, 0.3922, 0.2939, 0.313, 0.374, 0.3194, 0.3612, 0.4186, 0.434, 0.4404, 0.3039, 0.1365, 0.182, 0.0528, 0.0728, 0.1392, 0.1347, 0.1301, 0.1201, 0.1201, 0.0692, 0.0391, 0.0146, 0.0455, 0.0455, 0.1592, 0.2393, 0.1993, 0.1365, 0.1683, 0.192, 0.2566, 0.2866, 0.293, 0.2584, 0.2602, 0.2602, 0.2129, 0.1938, 0.1729, 0.2848, 0.2548, 0.3931, 0.3749, 0.323, 0.2166, 0.2229, 0.3467, 0.263, 0.0846, 0.3003, 0.515, 0.5132, 0.4586, 0.4477, 0.4795, 0.4795, 0.4722, 0.3995, 0.4076, 0.3658, 0.4268, 0.5978, 0.6306, 0.6269, 0.4759, 0.4577, 0.3412, 0.3985, 0.3858, 0.2511, 0.2602, 0.3057, 0.3849, 0.3348, 0.3348, 0.4932, 0.4595, 0.3922, 0.4322, 0.374, 0.4732, 0.4759, 0.5341, 0.3967, 0.3549, 0.2466, 0.313, 0.3176, 0.354, 0.354, 0.4149, 0.5077, 0.6424, 0.7316, 0.717, 0.7698, 0.9063, 0.7898, 0.7571, 0.8781, 0.8653, 0.7989, 0.8699, 0.8535, 0.8207, 0.95, 0.8926, 0.8217, 0.9773, 0.939, 1.0282, 1.1374, 1.3421, 1.1856, 1.1283, 1.1265]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1989414454615052489", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-11-14T19:25:42+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Hilarious buying opportunity for some", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author argues NBIS, CIFR, WULF, IREN are unfairly punished by irrational sector selloff; calls it a buying opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It's the $CRWV, $ORCL OpenAI Effect. Markets are irrational during fear and views the sector as a  single entity vs. seeing the nuances:\n\nGPU Deprecation - Burry Short Thesis (rapid hardware obsolescence):\n\n$CIFR, $WULF, etc. Literally not affected since they don't buy GPUs and do colo.\n\nCredit Risk - tightening makes all capital-intensive AI buildouts more expensive and fragile.\n\n$NBIS and others... isolated (Strong balance sheet, convertible debt).\n\nFuture Revenue Bubble with OpenAI not having enough\n\n$IREN, $NBIS, $CIFR, $WULF literally not affected since they're backed by Mag7, not OpenAI.  \n\nHilarious buying opportunity for some.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit It's extremely disheartening to see a good company like $NBIS crash from $130 to $80 on no news. Hard for small investors from immigrant backgrounds like myself", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "AgentSaffron", "ret_m1d": 0.04916977887671181, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04916977887671181, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04900598329177486, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03906487034650952, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010104908530202295, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.022428314416290007, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.022428314416290007, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.031744747845534604, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04149401623884885, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "bench_c_p1d": -0.019065701822558845, "ret_p1w": -0.08863490845425614, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08863490845425614, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06943656771358042, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07376361114817953, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014871297306076614, "ret_p1m": -0.23485011085821472, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.23485011085821472, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2479467234869549, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2832772311723931, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "bench_c_p1m": 0.048427120314178396, "ret_p3m": -0.07979298788370837, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07979298788370837, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11264574149942963, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08883645736695056, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "bench_c_p3m": 0.009043469483242195, "ret_p6m": 0.1893466205787826, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1893466205787826, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08281828398826496, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.20511627869549376, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "bench_c_p6m": -0.01576965811671116, "price_path": [-0.5961, -0.5739, -0.5775, -0.5378, -0.5014, -0.5042, -0.5179, -0.5031, -0.4289, -0.4289, -0.3722, -0.3916, -0.4365, -0.4361, -0.4352, -0.3489, -0.2747, -0.2916, -0.2676, -0.1991, -0.2139, -0.1827, -0.2167, -0.1667, -0.0964, -0.0992, 0.0166, -0.0017, -0.0973, -0.0095, 0.0121, 0.0153, 0.014, 0.0882, 0.2454, 0.3302, 0.2959, 0.377, 0.289, 0.3832, 0.5001, 0.466, 0.3334, 0.3095, 0.2771, 0.1903, 0.1177, 0.2047, 0.3565, 0.4016, 0.3461, 0.303, 0.2556, 0.3101, 0.4611, 0.4369, 0.6478, 0.444, 0.3453, 0.2976, 0.2374, 0.2012, 0.0492, 0.0, 0.0224, 0.0535, -0.0116, -0.0625, -0.0886, 0.0457, 0.0237, 0.0449, 0.0449, 0.0311, 0.0457, -0.1132, -0.052, 0.0017, -0.0358, -0.0006, 0.0101, -0.0528, -0.0524, -0.1346, -0.2349, -0.2109, -0.2715, -0.2279, -0.1391, -0.0934, -0.0927, -0.0947, -0.0947, -0.1309, -0.1501, -0.174, -0.1855, -0.1855, -0.0791, 0.0403, -0.0099, -0.0592, -0.0149, -0.0073, 0.0854, 0.1428, 0.1404, 0.119, 0.2469, 0.2469, 0.1702, 0.1533, 0.127, 0.2223, 0.1292, 0.2937, 0.3573, 0.2905, 0.1589, 0.1447, 0.173, -0.0308, -0.1419, -0.0979, -0.0047, -0.0742, -0.0798, -0.1367, -0.0895, -0.0895, -0.1165, -0.0925, -0.0664, -0.1378, -0.0865, -0.0198, -0.0505, -0.0459, -0.1169, -0.1074, -0.1622, -0.0546, -0.1347, -0.2085, -0.1624, -0.1779, -0.0947, -0.1078, -0.1033, -0.0308, -0.0735, -0.0897, -0.1016, -0.1096, -0.0908, -0.1132, -0.1065, -0.1924, -0.2433, -0.3181, -0.2607, -0.2648, -0.2502, -0.2502, -0.2424, -0.2292, -0.2057, -0.2008, -0.152, -0.0712, 0.0216, 0.0528, 0.0287, 0.0377, 0.0507, -0.0259, 0.0436, 0.1218, 0.0921, 0.0429, -0.0416, -0.0757, -0.0185, -0.0153, 0.0671, 0.1805, 0.3151, 0.226, 0.3198, 0.1893]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1969156865667055642", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-19T21:49:16+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "NBIS has the biggest growth potential over the next year", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS as biggest near-term growth play backed by NVDA support + hyperscaler capex; also long NVDA moat, CRWV as beneficiary, and RKLB/IBIT on 5-year horizon.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I agree, hyperscaler chips is the biggest threat to $NVDA's 4T+ empire + GPU providers. But, $NBIS and $CRWV are NVIDIA's solution to protecting it's moat and GPU margin compression. \n\nSo they're supporting companies like NBIS on purpose to diversify demand from hyperscalers and prevent margin compression from Azure, AWS by spreading out dependencies/limit compute to these smaller GPU as a service companies. \n\nWe already saw $MSFT run out of compute for OpenAI so they had to go to GOOGL, CRWV, NBIS and others and build out multi-year contracts, even while building out custom ASICs. \n\n$NBIS also doesn't hinge on one contract since other hyperscalers are on its way but that 17B big contract does give it a lot more assurance. We also haven't seen it fully priced in yet since valuation was ~16B+ before then and now it's $24B after dilution. \n\nI mentioned 1 year timeframe in terms of heaviest upside with triple rate cut helping too. Double rate cut, thesis still stands with NVDA supporting NBIS + capex spend from hyperscalers flowing down to these GPU providers. \n\n3-4 years out, I might be a bit more worried, which is why I always maintained I'm long $RKLB, $IBIT and others on a 5 year timeframe but NBIS has the biggest growth potential over the next year.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Great analysis i have just one question $NBIS growth hinges on one MSFT contract what if ramp, utilization, or renewal disappoints? GPU supply could compress margins, and CRWV, WULF, plus hyperscaler chips threaten the moat. If rate cuts underdeliver, could the multiple drop quik", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MMerrino569447", "ret_m1d": -0.052260547171492755, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.052260547171492755, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04733208246468823, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04815694863421516, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004928464706804525, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004103598537277597, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07340651590718417, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07340651590718417, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06867541545349609, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07689412942013785, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004731100453688075, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00348761351295368, "ret_p1w": 0.08448292816338321, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08448292816338321, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08731548438653058, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09141608288299907, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0028325562231473755, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006933154719615864, "ret_p1m": 0.09757328244509389, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09757328244509389, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08612236385507366, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12072556935241152, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011450918590020231, "bench_c_p1m": -0.023152286907317632, "ret_p3m": -0.24025779072518816, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.24025779072518816, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2518593683444148, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.21349186697027356, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.011601577619226644, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0267659237549146, "ret_p6m": 0.30752199472065245, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.30752199472065245, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2965126023463669, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.33518395535465373, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.011009392374285554, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02766196063400128, "price_path": [-0.4863, -0.5114, -0.4703, -0.478, -0.4429, -0.4934, -0.4968, -0.494, -0.494, -0.5183, -0.5257, -0.5363, -0.5325, -0.5539, -0.4769, -0.461, -0.4632, -0.4594, -0.4684, -0.4727, -0.4864, -0.4776, -0.4748, -0.4827, -0.4688, -0.4925, -0.4835, -0.4519, -0.4764, -0.4545, -0.4445, -0.4453, -0.3424, -0.3074, -0.2927, -0.2415, -0.2888, -0.3106, -0.2788, -0.2696, -0.3234, -0.3206, -0.3336, -0.3054, -0.2949, -0.2903, -0.2941, -0.2746, -0.3121, -0.3121, -0.3382, -0.3389, -0.3464, -0.3408, -0.3549, -0.0361, -0.0596, -0.1019, -0.0896, -0.0841, -0.0995, -0.0527, -0.0523, 0.0, 0.0734, 0.0855, 0.1402, 0.0869, 0.0845, 0.1099, 0.1305, 0.1641, 0.2674, 0.2887, 0.2581, 0.1852, 0.2285, 0.3356, 0.3048, 0.364, 0.2904, 0.267, 0.2389, 0.1423, 0.0976, 0.05, -0.0069, 0.069, 0.1807, 0.263, 0.2268, 0.2597, 0.2504, 0.3173, 0.2131, 0.1131, 0.1781, 0.102, 0.1205, 0.1071, 0.0293, -0.0498, -0.1075, -0.1588, -0.1342, -0.0883, -0.0427, -0.1477, -0.1616, -0.0746, -0.105, -0.0465, -0.0465, -0.0447, 0.0085, -0.0288, -0.0039, 0.0351, -0.0128, 0.0103, -0.0292, -0.0576, -0.0506, -0.117, -0.183, -0.1849, -0.2403, -0.2137, -0.0992, -0.0612, -0.0934, -0.0824, -0.0824, -0.118, -0.1336, -0.1424, -0.1571, -0.1571, -0.0943, -0.0653, 0.0094, -0.0312, -0.0202, -0.0139, 0.0808, 0.0616, 0.0269, 0.0461, 0.0949, 0.0949, -0.0002, -0.0044, -0.0248, -0.0484, -0.079, -0.0145, 0.0113, -0.0443, -0.1422, -0.1123, -0.0943, -0.1704, -0.2562, -0.133, -0.0647, -0.0757, -0.1077, -0.0965, -0.0131, -0.0131, -0.018, 0.0251, 0.0836, -0.014, 0.0131, 0.0329, 0.0686, 0.0561, -0.0818, -0.0836, -0.126, -0.0154, -0.0369, -0.1005, -0.044, -0.029, 0.1277, 0.0879, 0.1373, 0.3075]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1969156865667055642", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-19T21:49:16+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "hyperscaler chips is the biggest threat to $NVDA's 4T+ empire + GPU providers. But, $NBIS and $CRWV are NVIDIA's solution to protecting it's moat", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS as biggest near-term growth play backed by NVDA support + hyperscaler capex; also long NVDA moat, CRWV as beneficiary, and RKLB/IBIT on 5-year horizon.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I agree, hyperscaler chips is the biggest threat to $NVDA's 4T+ empire + GPU providers. But, $NBIS and $CRWV are NVIDIA's solution to protecting it's moat and GPU margin compression. \n\nSo they're supporting companies like NBIS on purpose to diversify demand from hyperscalers and prevent margin compression from Azure, AWS by spreading out dependencies/limit compute to these smaller GPU as a service companies. \n\nWe already saw $MSFT run out of compute for OpenAI so they had to go to GOOGL, CRWV, NBIS and others and build out multi-year contracts, even while building out custom ASICs. \n\n$NBIS also doesn't hinge on one contract since other hyperscalers are on its way but that 17B big contract does give it a lot more assurance. We also haven't seen it fully priced in yet since valuation was ~16B+ before then and now it's $24B after dilution. \n\nI mentioned 1 year timeframe in terms of heaviest upside with triple rate cut helping too. Double rate cut, thesis still stands with NVDA supporting NBIS + capex spend from hyperscalers flowing down to these GPU providers. \n\n3-4 years out, I might be a bit more worried, which is why I always maintained I'm long $RKLB, $IBIT and others on a 5 year timeframe but NBIS has the biggest growth potential over the next year.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Great analysis i have just one question $NBIS growth hinges on one MSFT contract what if ramp, utilization, or renewal disappoints? GPU supply could compress margins, and CRWV, WULF, plus hyperscaler chips threaten the moat. If rate cuts underdeliver, could the multiple drop quik", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MMerrino569447", "ret_m1d": -0.002433796813726685, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.002433796813726685, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00249466789307784, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00249466789307784, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004928464706804525, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004928464706804525, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.039282375453410845, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.039282375453410845, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03455127499972277, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03455127499972277, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004731100453688075, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004731100453688075, "ret_p1w": 0.00860371705108065, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.00860371705108065, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.011436273274228026, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.011436273274228026, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0028325562231473755, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0028325562231473755, "ret_p1m": 0.03379190743556193, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03379190743556193, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0223409888455417, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0223409888455417, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011450918590020231, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011450918590020231, "ret_p3m": -0.0323793620318541, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0323793620318541, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04398093965108074, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04398093965108074, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.011601577619226644, "bench_c_p3m": 0.011601577619226644, "ret_p6m": 0.03718873664126199, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.03718873664126199, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.026179344266976434, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.026179344266976434, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.011009392374285554, "bench_c_p6m": 0.011009392374285554, "price_path": [-0.1629, -0.1266, -0.1226, -0.1071, -0.1058, -0.1323, -0.11, -0.0981, -0.0981, -0.1044, -0.0944, -0.0781, -0.0712, -0.0666, -0.0714, -0.0338, -0.0301, -0.0208, -0.0242, -0.03, -0.0546, -0.0334, -0.0166, -0.018, 0.0004, -0.0066, 0.0147, 0.0067, -0.0168, 0.0188, 0.0089, 0.0155, 0.0231, 0.0341, 0.0305, 0.0367, 0.0278, 0.0302, 0.0213, 0.0302, -0.0059, -0.0072, -0.0096, 0.0074, 0.0177, 0.0288, 0.0278, 0.0198, -0.0141, -0.0141, -0.0334, -0.0343, -0.0284, -0.0547, -0.0474, -0.0335, 0.0037, 0.0028, 0.0065, 0.0061, -0.0101, -0.0361, -0.0024, 0.0, 0.0393, 0.01, 0.0017, 0.0058, 0.0086, 0.0293, 0.0561, 0.0598, 0.0692, 0.062, 0.0502, 0.0474, 0.0704, 0.09, 0.0367, 0.0659, 0.019, 0.0179, 0.0291, 0.0371, 0.0338, 0.0254, 0.0204, 0.0311, 0.0543, 0.0839, 0.1379, 0.1719, 0.1484, 0.1461, 0.171, 0.1246, 0.1049, 0.0646, 0.065, 0.1267, 0.0933, 0.097, 0.0577, 0.0764, 0.0562, 0.0265, 0.0558, 0.0225, 0.0125, 0.0333, 0.0065, 0.0203, 0.0203, 0.0019, 0.0184, 0.0271, 0.0165, 0.038, 0.0325, 0.0503, 0.047, 0.0403, 0.0242, -0.0093, -0.0021, 0.006, -0.0324, -0.0143, 0.0245, 0.0398, 0.071, 0.0676, 0.0676, 0.0785, 0.0654, 0.0616, 0.0557, 0.0557, 0.069, 0.0649, 0.0599, 0.0705, 0.0474, 0.0464, 0.0469, 0.0518, 0.0367, 0.0588, 0.0542, 0.0542, 0.008, 0.0377, 0.0463, 0.0623, 0.0555, 0.0671, 0.0841, 0.0897, 0.0819, 0.0507, 0.0208, -0.014, -0.0271, 0.0495, 0.0757, 0.0672, 0.0758, 0.0582, 0.0348, 0.0348, 0.047, 0.0641, 0.0636, 0.0745, 0.0843, 0.0916, 0.107, 0.0466, 0.003, 0.0329, 0.0192, 0.0361, 0.0378, 0.0066, 0.0339, 0.0459, 0.0531, 0.0367, 0.0204, 0.0372]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1969156865667055642", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-09-19T21:49:16+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS and $CRWV are NVIDIA's solution to protecting it's moat and GPU margin compression", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS as biggest near-term growth play backed by NVDA support + hyperscaler capex; also long NVDA moat, CRWV as beneficiary, and RKLB/IBIT on 5-year horizon.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I agree, hyperscaler chips is the biggest threat to $NVDA's 4T+ empire + GPU providers. But, $NBIS and $CRWV are NVIDIA's solution to protecting it's moat and GPU margin compression. \n\nSo they're supporting companies like NBIS on purpose to diversify demand from hyperscalers and prevent margin compression from Azure, AWS by spreading out dependencies/limit compute to these smaller GPU as a service companies. \n\nWe already saw $MSFT run out of compute for OpenAI so they had to go to GOOGL, CRWV, NBIS and others and build out multi-year contracts, even while building out custom ASICs. \n\n$NBIS also doesn't hinge on one contract since other hyperscalers are on its way but that 17B big contract does give it a lot more assurance. We also haven't seen it fully priced in yet since valuation was ~16B+ before then and now it's $24B after dilution. \n\nI mentioned 1 year timeframe in terms of heaviest upside with triple rate cut helping too. Double rate cut, thesis still stands with NVDA supporting NBIS + capex spend from hyperscalers flowing down to these GPU providers. \n\n3-4 years out, I might be a bit more worried, which is why I always maintained I'm long $RKLB, $IBIT and others on a 5 year timeframe but NBIS has the biggest growth potential over the next year.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Great analysis i have just one question $NBIS growth hinges on one MSFT contract what if ramp, utilization, or renewal disappoints? GPU supply could compress margins, and CRWV, WULF, plus hyperscaler chips threaten the moat. If rate cuts underdeliver, could the multiple drop quik", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MMerrino569447", "ret_m1d": -0.027791135701912273, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.027791135701912273, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.022862670995107748, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.022862670995107748, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004928464706804525, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004928464706804525, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06703503985481785, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06703503985481785, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06230393940112977, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06230393940112977, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004731100453688075, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004731100453688075, "ret_p1w": -0.036200578651016, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.036200578651016, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03336802242786863, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03336802242786863, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0028325562231473755, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0028325562231473755, "ret_p1m": 0.01761970957462733, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.01761970957462733, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.006168790984607098, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.006168790984607098, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011450918590020231, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011450918590020231, "ret_p3m": -0.48302096158722696, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.48302096158722696, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4946225392064536, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4946225392064536, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.011601577619226644, "bench_c_p3m": 0.011601577619226644, "ret_p6m": -0.31234983028477326, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.31234983028477326, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3233592226590588, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3233592226590588, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.011009392374285554, "bench_c_p6m": 0.011009392374285554, "price_path": [0.3825, 0.2774, 0.2661, 0.2814, 0.3059, 0.2489, 0.2155, 0.3231, 0.3231, 0.279, 0.213, 0.2258, 0.1076, 0.0078, 0.0602, 0.126, 0.1456, 0.0589, -0.0147, 0.0004, 0.0393, 0.0095, -0.0389, -0.074, -0.1168, -0.1291, -0.176, -0.0859, -0.1659, -0.151, -0.1043, -0.1171, -0.0303, 0.0376, 0.1195, 0.1913, -0.0569, -0.2031, -0.1993, -0.2247, -0.256, -0.267, -0.2729, -0.2472, -0.2601, -0.2681, -0.2237, -0.1768, -0.1748, -0.1748, -0.2524, -0.2802, -0.2994, -0.2865, -0.2508, -0.1973, -0.0618, -0.0975, -0.1033, -0.0352, -0.0489, -0.032, -0.0278, 0.0, 0.067, 0.0483, 0.0684, 0.0144, -0.0362, -0.0187, 0.096, 0.0976, 0.1052, 0.0795, 0.072, 0.0318, 0.1211, 0.1459, 0.1087, 0.1342, 0.0737, 0.1152, 0.1352, 0.0962, 0.0176, 0.0016, -0.0267, -0.0122, 0.0616, 0.0897, 0.0796, 0.1207, 0.0497, 0.0709, 0.0117, -0.073, -0.0836, -0.1436, -0.167, -0.1542, -0.2921, -0.3158, -0.3726, -0.3804, -0.3967, -0.4001, -0.4, -0.4457, -0.4262, -0.4105, -0.429, -0.405, -0.405, -0.4144, -0.3828, -0.3911, -0.3644, -0.3132, -0.2928, -0.3093, -0.2739, -0.2939, -0.3002, -0.3706, -0.4206, -0.4434, -0.483, -0.458, -0.3353, -0.3206, -0.3572, -0.3683, -0.3683, -0.388, -0.4, -0.4081, -0.4265, -0.4265, -0.3647, -0.3844, -0.3758, -0.3819, -0.3826, -0.3582, -0.2798, -0.2994, -0.2808, -0.2391, -0.1893, -0.1893, -0.2374, -0.2468, -0.2649, -0.2553, -0.2126, -0.1281, -0.1509, -0.2029, -0.2536, -0.2877, -0.2787, -0.3396, -0.4021, -0.2796, -0.2248, -0.2383, -0.2379, -0.2335, -0.2308, -0.2308, -0.2712, -0.2355, -0.222, -0.2852, -0.2725, -0.2047, -0.215, -0.2181, -0.3628, -0.3749, -0.4091, -0.3633, -0.4008, -0.4154, -0.4041, -0.4, -0.3436, -0.3604, -0.3504, -0.3123]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1969156865667055642", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-09-19T21:49:16+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm long $RKLB, $IBIT and others on a 5 year timeframe", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS as biggest near-term growth play backed by NVDA support + hyperscaler capex; also long NVDA moat, CRWV as beneficiary, and RKLB/IBIT on 5-year horizon.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I agree, hyperscaler chips is the biggest threat to $NVDA's 4T+ empire + GPU providers. But, $NBIS and $CRWV are NVIDIA's solution to protecting it's moat and GPU margin compression. \n\nSo they're supporting companies like NBIS on purpose to diversify demand from hyperscalers and prevent margin compression from Azure, AWS by spreading out dependencies/limit compute to these smaller GPU as a service companies. \n\nWe already saw $MSFT run out of compute for OpenAI so they had to go to GOOGL, CRWV, NBIS and others and build out multi-year contracts, even while building out custom ASICs. \n\n$NBIS also doesn't hinge on one contract since other hyperscalers are on its way but that 17B big contract does give it a lot more assurance. We also haven't seen it fully priced in yet since valuation was ~16B+ before then and now it's $24B after dilution. \n\nI mentioned 1 year timeframe in terms of heaviest upside with triple rate cut helping too. Double rate cut, thesis still stands with NVDA supporting NBIS + capex spend from hyperscalers flowing down to these GPU providers. \n\n3-4 years out, I might be a bit more worried, which is why I always maintained I'm long $RKLB, $IBIT and others on a 5 year timeframe but NBIS has the biggest growth potential over the next year.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Great analysis i have just one question $NBIS growth hinges on one MSFT contract what if ramp, utilization, or renewal disappoints? GPU supply could compress margins, and CRWV, WULF, plus hyperscaler chips threaten the moat. If rate cuts underdeliver, could the multiple drop quik", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MMerrino569447", "ret_m1d": -0.012764189132990156, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.012764189132990156, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00783572442618563, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010347853179526245, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004928464706804525, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0024163359534639106, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04226826572642639, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04226826572642639, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.037537165272738315, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03892367737047131, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004731100453688075, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0033445883559550804, "ret_p1w": -0.032015119579063, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.032015119579063, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.029182563355915625, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03260545951135563, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0028325562231473755, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0005903399322926273, "ret_p1m": 0.40929058765174786, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.40929058765174786, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.39783966906172763, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.40253596305377415, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011450918590020231, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006754624597973713, "ret_p3m": 0.12910646684965088, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12910646684965088, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11750488923042424, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12228629367655808, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.011601577619226644, "bench_c_p3m": 0.006820173173092803, "ret_p6m": 0.4921530904475162, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4921530904475162, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.48114369807323065, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.39943377508476274, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.011009392374285554, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09271931536275346, "price_path": [-0.2999, -0.3231, -0.2438, -0.2597, -0.2515, -0.2816, -0.2534, -0.2538, -0.2538, -0.1864, -0.1894, -0.181, -0.1818, -0.1833, -0.0958, -0.0668, -0.0021, 0.0741, 0.0753, -0.0126, -0.019, 0.0285, 0.0071, -0.0075, -0.0561, -0.0837, -0.0282, -0.0391, -0.0624, -0.068, -0.0636, -0.0772, -0.0749, -0.0649, -0.058, -0.0912, -0.1002, -0.1042, -0.0737, -0.059, -0.1438, -0.1486, -0.131, -0.0714, -0.0119, 0.0071, -0.0322, 0.0025, 0.0169, 0.0169, 0.0318, -0.0891, -0.1004, -0.0408, -0.0013, -0.0159, -0.0339, 0.0134, 0.1161, 0.1308, -0.0114, 0.0061, -0.0128, 0.0, 0.0423, 0.1071, 0.0188, -0.0243, -0.032, -0.0163, 0.0025, 0.0038, 0.0979, 0.1751, 0.2241, 0.2871, 0.3666, 0.3898, 0.3446, 0.3689, 0.4235, 0.4495, 0.402, 0.3867, 0.4093, 0.3685, 0.2673, 0.3302, 0.3509, 0.3731, 0.334, 0.3844, 0.2747, 0.3178, 0.2835, 0.1837, 0.1806, 0.0381, 0.0806, 0.086, 0.0722, 0.0456, -0.0531, -0.0471, -0.0937, -0.1048, -0.0873, -0.1739, -0.1567, -0.1117, -0.1086, -0.1226, -0.1226, -0.1182, -0.1553, -0.1232, -0.0642, 0.0331, 0.0265, 0.0789, 0.118, 0.2036, 0.3294, 0.2867, 0.1594, 0.1611, 0.1291, 0.2538, 0.4756, 0.6227, 0.615, 0.615, 0.615, 0.4783, 0.4673, 0.4742, 0.4597, 0.4597, 0.5901, 0.6351, 0.8002, 0.7594, 0.7384, 0.7755, 0.8393, 0.8117, 0.9209, 0.8991, 1.0151, 1.0151, 0.8657, 0.8376, 0.841, 0.8602, 0.684, 0.8205, 0.8533, 0.7928, 0.6755, 0.5516, 0.7006, 0.5298, 0.3877, 0.5133, 0.5869, 0.5072, 0.4568, 0.3813, 0.4112, 0.4112, 0.4624, 0.5572, 0.6024, 0.4827, 0.4691, 0.4641, 0.4689, 0.5202, 0.4459, 0.485, 0.4675, 0.5047, 0.4647, 0.467, 0.4957, 0.4424, 0.5058, 0.4306, 0.4315, 0.4922]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1968742195805978770", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-18T18:21:31+00:00", "symbol": "Russell 2000", "kind": "index", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Russell and small caps should have more time to go up", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Russell/small caps still have upside as 3 rate cuts remain unpriced in.", "resolved_tickers": ["IWM"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Russell 2000 proxied by IWM ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@LibertadEterno So far so good. 3 rate cuts still haven't been priced in yet so Russell and small caps should have more time to go up. https://t.co/GYsPTKvfdK", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Let's hope it keeps up", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LibertadEterno", "ret_m1d": -0.024301593686068323, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.024301593686068323, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.019650878754130074, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019650878754130074, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004650714931938249, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004650714931938249, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007596871147731776, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007596871147731776, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012549745923063793, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012549745923063793, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004952874775332017, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004952874775332017, "ret_p1w": -0.02266789836936789, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02266789836936789, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.019065680882315417, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.019065680882315417, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0036022174870524726, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0036022174870524726, "ret_p1m": -0.005840586040587126, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.005840586040587126, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.011838240514346565, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.011838240514346565, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0059976544737594395, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0059976544737594395, "ret_p3m": 0.02408923835157384, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.02408923835157384, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0038335470286856577, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0038335470286856577, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.027922785380259496, "bench_c_p3m": 0.027922785380259496, "ret_p6m": 0.010524869096091072, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.010524869096091072, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.004743773353524272, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.004743773353524272, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0057810957425668, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0057810957425668, "price_path": [-0.1375, -0.1265, -0.1367, -0.1227, -0.1224, -0.1211, -0.1121, -0.0998, -0.0915, -0.0915, -0.1051, -0.0989, -0.0891, -0.0844, -0.0971, -0.091, -0.1088, -0.0998, -0.088, -0.0945, -0.0982, -0.0907, -0.0768, -0.0895, -0.0862, -0.0872, -0.093, -0.0976, -0.1065, -0.1247, -0.1051, -0.1005, -0.1017, -0.1046, -0.1027, -0.1029, -0.0763, -0.0583, -0.0704, -0.075, -0.0716, -0.0787, -0.082, -0.0797, -0.0436, -0.0537, -0.0458, -0.0391, -0.0379, -0.0422, -0.0422, -0.0474, -0.0483, -0.0364, -0.0316, -0.0297, -0.0354, -0.0371, -0.0193, -0.0293, -0.0252, -0.0268, -0.0243, 0.0, -0.0076, -0.0018, -0.0041, -0.0132, -0.0227, -0.0143, -0.0132, -0.0118, -0.0096, -0.0033, 0.004, 0.008, -0.0028, 0.0077, 0.0012, -0.0288, -0.0018, 0.0125, 0.0224, 0.0009, -0.0058, 0.0136, 0.0088, -0.0061, 0.0065, 0.0187, 0.0223, 0.0168, 0.0082, 0.0, 0.0057, 0.0025, -0.0149, -0.0007, -0.0183, -0.0132, -0.0033, -0.0025, -0.0049, -0.0329, -0.0301, -0.0493, -0.0464, -0.0466, -0.0642, -0.0377, -0.0202, 0.0012, 0.01, 0.01, 0.016, 0.0032, 0.0013, 0.0196, 0.0285, 0.0242, 0.0246, 0.0268, 0.0407, 0.0529, 0.0368, 0.029, 0.0241, 0.0132, 0.0192, 0.0277, 0.0392, 0.033, 0.0356, 0.0356, 0.0303, 0.024, 0.0164, 0.0088, 0.0088, 0.0195, 0.0357, 0.0494, 0.047, 0.0584, 0.0664, 0.0716, 0.071, 0.0786, 0.0881, 0.0891, 0.0891, 0.0761, 0.0974, 0.1056, 0.0852, 0.0818, 0.0849, 0.079, 0.0793, 0.064, 0.0744, 0.0769, 0.0676, 0.0484, 0.0861, 0.0937, 0.0907, 0.0858, 0.0636, 0.0776, 0.0776, 0.0779, 0.0818, 0.0843, 0.0844, 0.0675, 0.0791, 0.0842, 0.09, 0.0713, 0.0811, 0.0624, 0.0727, 0.0522, 0.0281, 0.0393, 0.0383, 0.0362, 0.0139, 0.0105]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1968742195805978770", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-18T18:21:31+00:00", "symbol": "small caps", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Russell and small caps should have more time to go up", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Russell/small caps still have upside as 3 rate cuts remain unpriced in.", "resolved_tickers": ["IWM"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "US small caps proxied by IWM ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@LibertadEterno So far so good. 3 rate cuts still haven't been priced in yet so Russell and small caps should have more time to go up. https://t.co/GYsPTKvfdK", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Let's hope it keeps up", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LibertadEterno", "ret_m1d": -0.024301593686068323, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.024301593686068323, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.019650878754130074, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019650878754130074, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004650714931938249, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004650714931938249, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007596871147731776, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007596871147731776, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012549745923063793, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012549745923063793, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004952874775332017, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004952874775332017, "ret_p1w": -0.02266789836936789, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02266789836936789, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.019065680882315417, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.019065680882315417, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0036022174870524726, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0036022174870524726, "ret_p1m": -0.005840586040587126, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.005840586040587126, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.011838240514346565, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.011838240514346565, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0059976544737594395, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0059976544737594395, "ret_p3m": 0.02408923835157384, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.02408923835157384, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0038335470286856577, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0038335470286856577, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.027922785380259496, "bench_c_p3m": 0.027922785380259496, "ret_p6m": 0.010524869096091072, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.010524869096091072, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.004743773353524272, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.004743773353524272, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0057810957425668, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0057810957425668, "price_path": [-0.1375, -0.1265, -0.1367, -0.1227, -0.1224, -0.1211, -0.1121, -0.0998, -0.0915, -0.0915, -0.1051, -0.0989, -0.0891, -0.0844, -0.0971, -0.091, -0.1088, -0.0998, -0.088, -0.0945, -0.0982, -0.0907, -0.0768, -0.0895, -0.0862, -0.0872, -0.093, -0.0976, -0.1065, -0.1247, -0.1051, -0.1005, -0.1017, -0.1046, -0.1027, -0.1029, -0.0763, -0.0583, -0.0704, -0.075, -0.0716, -0.0787, -0.082, -0.0797, -0.0436, -0.0537, -0.0458, -0.0391, -0.0379, -0.0422, -0.0422, -0.0474, -0.0483, -0.0364, -0.0316, -0.0297, -0.0354, -0.0371, -0.0193, -0.0293, -0.0252, -0.0268, -0.0243, 0.0, -0.0076, -0.0018, -0.0041, -0.0132, -0.0227, -0.0143, -0.0132, -0.0118, -0.0096, -0.0033, 0.004, 0.008, -0.0028, 0.0077, 0.0012, -0.0288, -0.0018, 0.0125, 0.0224, 0.0009, -0.0058, 0.0136, 0.0088, -0.0061, 0.0065, 0.0187, 0.0223, 0.0168, 0.0082, 0.0, 0.0057, 0.0025, -0.0149, -0.0007, -0.0183, -0.0132, -0.0033, -0.0025, -0.0049, -0.0329, -0.0301, -0.0493, -0.0464, -0.0466, -0.0642, -0.0377, -0.0202, 0.0012, 0.01, 0.01, 0.016, 0.0032, 0.0013, 0.0196, 0.0285, 0.0242, 0.0246, 0.0268, 0.0407, 0.0529, 0.0368, 0.029, 0.0241, 0.0132, 0.0192, 0.0277, 0.0392, 0.033, 0.0356, 0.0356, 0.0303, 0.024, 0.0164, 0.0088, 0.0088, 0.0195, 0.0357, 0.0494, 0.047, 0.0584, 0.0664, 0.0716, 0.071, 0.0786, 0.0881, 0.0891, 0.0891, 0.0761, 0.0974, 0.1056, 0.0852, 0.0818, 0.0849, 0.079, 0.0793, 0.064, 0.0744, 0.0769, 0.0676, 0.0484, 0.0861, 0.0937, 0.0907, 0.0858, 0.0636, 0.0776, 0.0776, 0.0779, 0.0818, 0.0843, 0.0844, 0.0675, 0.0791, 0.0842, 0.09, 0.0713, 0.0811, 0.0624, 0.0727, 0.0522, 0.0281, 0.0393, 0.0383, 0.0362, 0.0139, 0.0105]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1985391517637456166", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-03T16:59:59+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "an extremely good -5% dip buy since the whole Neocloud industry is really bullish with hyperscaler contracts announced left and right", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "NBIS dip is a buy; bullish on Neocloud sector amid hyperscaler contract wave.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Wow $IREN and $CIFR just wiped out its gains. For $IREN at least, I guess the market was pricing in a hyperscaler contract already.\n\n$CIFR AWS announcement was a really big surprise to everyone though. \n\n$NBIS just dropped with the rest of the market but an extremely good -5% dip buy since the whole Neocloud industry is really bullish with hyperscaler contracts announced left and right + during ERs.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Like always I lost opportunity 🥲, no $IREN, no $NBIS, no $CIFR", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cmachdop", "ret_m1d": 0.08591355523068556, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08591355523068556, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08778681678889533, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07517315981838268, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010740395412302872, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08242716198685718, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08242716198685718, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07057362204440965, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.075560366211469, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006866795775388179, "ret_p1w": -0.08732467971995872, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08732467971995872, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08454416095747552, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08459559111130788, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0027290886086508426, "ret_p1m": -0.19938577263277246, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.19938577263277246, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19673703073352378, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2138236734625919, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014437900829819439, "ret_p3m": -0.21216898231591608, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21216898231591608, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23082847835699605, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.27016535998008484, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05799637766416876, "ret_p6m": 0.12484430259595736, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.12484430259595736, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.07742672938322026, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09926724251497565, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "bench_c_p6m": 0.025577060080981706, "price_path": [-0.5427, -0.4579, -0.4291, -0.417, -0.3747, -0.4137, -0.4317, -0.4055, -0.3979, -0.4423, -0.4399, -0.4507, -0.4274, -0.4188, -0.415, -0.4181, -0.402, -0.4329, -0.4329, -0.4545, -0.4551, -0.4612, -0.4565, -0.4682, -0.2054, -0.2248, -0.2596, -0.2495, -0.245, -0.2577, -0.2191, -0.2187, -0.1756, -0.1151, -0.1052, -0.0601, -0.104, -0.106, -0.0851, -0.0681, -0.0403, 0.0448, 0.0623, 0.0371, -0.023, 0.0127, 0.101, 0.0756, 0.1244, 0.0638, 0.0445, 0.0213, -0.0584, -0.0952, -0.1344, -0.1814, -0.1188, -0.0266, 0.0412, 0.0113, 0.0384, 0.0308, 0.0859, 0.0, -0.0824, -0.0288, -0.0916, -0.0763, -0.0873, -0.1515, -0.2167, -0.2643, -0.3065, -0.2863, -0.2484, -0.2108, -0.2974, -0.3089, -0.2372, -0.2622, -0.214, -0.214, -0.2125, -0.1687, -0.1994, -0.1789, -0.1467, -0.1862, -0.1672, -0.1997, -0.2231, -0.2174, -0.2721, -0.3265, -0.328, -0.3737, -0.3518, -0.2574, -0.2261, -0.2527, -0.2435, -0.2435, -0.2729, -0.2858, -0.293, -0.3052, -0.3052, -0.2533, -0.2294, -0.1679, -0.2014, -0.1923, -0.1871, -0.1091, -0.1248, -0.1535, -0.1377, -0.0975, -0.0975, -0.1758, -0.1793, -0.1961, -0.2156, -0.2408, -0.1876, -0.1663, -0.2122, -0.2929, -0.2682, -0.2533, -0.3161, -0.3868, -0.2853, -0.229, -0.2381, -0.2645, -0.2552, -0.1864, -0.1864, -0.1905, -0.155, -0.1067, -0.1872, -0.1649, -0.1485, -0.1191, -0.1294, -0.243, -0.2445, -0.2795, -0.1883, -0.206, -0.2585, -0.2119, -0.1996, -0.0703, -0.1032, -0.0624, 0.0779, -0.0344, -0.0159, 0.0087, -0.0237, -0.0525, -0.0462, -0.0447, -0.1204, -0.1631, -0.2342, -0.1387, -0.1537, -0.0967, -0.0967, -0.0658, -0.0255, 0.0376, 0.1317, 0.2034, 0.283, 0.3442, 0.3843, 0.3725, 0.3044, 0.3212, 0.2995, 0.2961, 0.3039, 0.2215, 0.2033, 0.1248]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972703562263306387", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-29T16:42:34+00:00", "symbol": "VIRT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I upped my $VIRT position to $65k or so in OTM calls. 29% IV for some of the higher strikes is such a good entry", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Upped VIRT position to $65k in OTM calls; cites 29% IV at higher strikes as attractive entry.", "resolved_tickers": ["VIRT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ManglaniAkshay Thanks! Yeah I upped my $VIRT position to $65k or so in OTM calls.\n\n29% IV for some of the higher strikes is such a good entry https://t.co/5tyJJhRF6h", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I like this one. Dividend is a plus too.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ManglaniAkshay", "ret_m1d": -0.018399807113559707, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.018399807113559707, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015597316697436914, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015597316697436914, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010314987907446005, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010314987907446005, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01408185466655798, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01408185466655798, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "ret_p1w": -0.09673811713673042, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09673811713673042, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10868659851914309, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10868659851914309, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "ret_p1m": -0.036241910523391874, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.036241910523391874, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07146971726596119, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07146971726596119, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "ret_p3m": -0.05190284217825136, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05190284217825136, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0952068267904046, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0952068267904046, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "ret_p6m": 0.22316838376734394, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.22316838376734394, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.23338539017928583, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.23338539017928583, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "price_path": [0.2322, 0.2338, 0.2338, 0.243, 0.1864, 0.1923, 0.2211, 0.2186, 0.2419, 0.2244, 0.2374, 0.2508, 0.2286, 0.2064, 0.1817, 0.1973, 0.2133, 0.2253, 0.2031, 0.2208, 0.2416, 0.2236, 0.2022, 0.2034, 0.1889, 0.1767, 0.1767, 0.1765, 0.1654, 0.1673, 0.1596, 0.1596, 0.1582, 0.1493, 0.1415, 0.1479, 0.1526, 0.1657, 0.1751, 0.1964, 0.1845, 0.1751, 0.1687, 0.1687, 0.1528, 0.1558, 0.1271, 0.0842, 0.073, 0.0608, 0.0764, 0.0337, 0.0212, 0.01, -0.0131, -0.0195, -0.0184, -0.0112, -0.0279, -0.0237, -0.0176, -0.0226, -0.0184, 0.0, -0.0103, -0.0488, -0.0452, -0.0622, -0.0967, -0.0973, -0.0845, -0.0739, -0.0742, -0.0803, -0.0658, -0.0633, -0.0772, -0.0736, -0.08, -0.0714, -0.0686, -0.0672, -0.0647, -0.056, -0.0362, -0.0413, -0.0348, -0.0287, -0.0259, -0.0315, -0.0418, -0.0223, -0.0064, 0.0022, -0.0067, 0.0039, -0.0078, -0.0192, -0.0421, -0.0376, -0.0566, -0.0602, -0.0527, -0.0544, -0.0326, -0.0148, -0.0148, -0.0031, -0.0171, -0.0367, -0.0207, -0.005, -0.007, -0.0112, -0.0019, 0.004, -0.0393, -0.0539, -0.0631, -0.0499, -0.0547, -0.0581, -0.0502, -0.0673, -0.0631, -0.0519, -0.0519, -0.0424, -0.0373, -0.0466, -0.0648, -0.0648, -0.085, -0.0536, -0.069, -0.0763, -0.087, -0.0699, -0.048, -0.0443, -0.0126, 0.007, 0.0354, 0.0354, 0.0281, 0.0359, 0.0416, 0.043, 0.0528, 0.0564, 0.0522, 0.1412, 0.1651, 0.1098, 0.075, 0.0615, 0.0724, 0.0814, 0.1019, 0.1053, 0.0646, 0.055, 0.0761, 0.0761, 0.0969, 0.1047, 0.105, 0.1176, 0.1221, 0.1465, 0.1437, 0.1715, 0.169, 0.2062, 0.1755, 0.1591, 0.1543, 0.1577, 0.1839, 0.1588, 0.141, 0.1198, 0.1035, 0.097, 0.1249, 0.1258, 0.1173, 0.1752, 0.2105, 0.2232]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1974287830529814876", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-04T01:37:53+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin is always a good buy", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC as always a good buy; avoiding ETH now; prefers underlying assets over treasury proxy companies.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "MSTR = may get nationalized if Bitcoin becomes a treasury play like Gold. BMNR not aligned with US strategic interests.  \n\nWhat I was saying about just buy ETH is avoid treasury companies in general and buy the underlying asset if you like it. But I wouldn't buy ETH now anyway, Bitcoin is always a good buy.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit what's the logic with buy MSTR but sell BMNR? plus you mention just buy ETH. trying to figure this one out.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "thejustinfagan", "ret_m1d": -0.019927451371853477, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019927451371853477, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01635403754150444, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003573413830349037, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.026461574802715715, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.026461574802715715, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.022754082551753818, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003707492250961897, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.07600209013795056, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07600209013795056, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06324169970012739, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012760390437823177, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.18566363007163433, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.18566363007163433, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19106862641669498, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404996345060642, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.2887360000961904, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2887360000961904, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3070874698132037, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01835146971701329, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.4530506770779451, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4530506770779451, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4268942347058008, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.026156442372144317, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1076, -0.0703, -0.058, -0.0393, -0.0559, -0.0482, -0.0438, -0.0541, -0.0586, -0.0381, -0.0481, -0.0512, -0.057, -0.0547, -0.0548, -0.0555, -0.0721, -0.0916, -0.0776, -0.0851, -0.078, -0.0582, -0.0646, -0.0483, -0.0367, -0.0113, -0.0512, -0.059, -0.0681, -0.0956, -0.084, -0.0989, -0.0632, -0.1173, -0.1038, -0.1085, -0.0979, -0.131, -0.1243, -0.1086, -0.1044, -0.1125, -0.113, -0.1017, -0.106, -0.0865, -0.0741, -0.0693, -0.0746, -0.0634, -0.0664, -0.061, -0.0727, -0.0962, -0.1021, -0.0916, -0.1259, -0.1206, -0.083, -0.0857, -0.0489, -0.0326, -0.0199, 0.0, -0.0265, -0.0112, -0.0244, -0.0925, -0.076, -0.0933, -0.112, -0.1328, -0.1466, -0.1135, -0.1305, -0.1368, -0.1177, -0.11, -0.0852, -0.0946, -0.1178, -0.1318, -0.1218, -0.1459, -0.1857, -0.1672, -0.188, -0.1714, -0.1503, -0.1744, -0.1851, -0.2008, -0.2433, -0.2618, -0.2549, -0.2668, -0.3056, -0.3179, -0.2924, -0.2999, -0.2744, -0.2683, -0.2712, -0.3081, -0.2677, -0.2503, -0.2614, -0.2835, -0.2734, -0.257, -0.2624, -0.2584, -0.2764, -0.3073, -0.2959, -0.3095, -0.3149, -0.2938, -0.2907, -0.2993, -0.2977, -0.3007, -0.3002, -0.3015, -0.2912, -0.2985, -0.2887, -0.279, -0.2474, -0.2487, -0.2681, -0.2703, -0.2745, -0.269, -0.2359, -0.223, -0.2341, -0.2343, -0.2581, -0.2921, -0.2836, -0.2829, -0.2825, -0.2925, -0.2858, -0.2851, -0.3222, -0.3256, -0.3692, -0.3937, -0.4147, -0.4974, -0.4344, -0.4379, -0.4486, -0.463, -0.4692, -0.448, -0.4482, -0.459, -0.4675, -0.4633, -0.4549, -0.482, -0.4863, -0.4552, -0.4593, -0.4719, -0.4487, -0.4526, -0.4172, -0.4321, -0.4538, -0.4517, -0.4395, -0.4372, -0.4349, -0.4311, -0.3999, -0.4074, -0.4289, -0.4396, -0.4347, -0.4316, -0.4347, -0.4284, -0.4486, -0.4682, -0.4654, -0.4531]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1974287830529814876", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-04T01:37:53+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I wouldn't buy ETH now anyway", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC as always a good buy; avoiding ETH now; prefers underlying assets over treasury proxy companies.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "MSTR = may get nationalized if Bitcoin becomes a treasury play like Gold. BMNR not aligned with US strategic interests.  \n\nWhat I was saying about just buy ETH is avoid treasury companies in general and buy the underlying asset if you like it. But I wouldn't buy ETH now anyway, Bitcoin is always a good buy.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit what's the logic with buy MSTR but sell BMNR? plus you mention just buy ETH. trying to figure this one out.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "thejustinfagan", "ret_m1d": -0.03688338467063779, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03688338467063779, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03330997084028875, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003573413830349037, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.05047593076900958, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05047593076900958, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.046768438518047684, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003707492250961897, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.09435266040841805, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09435266040841805, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08159226997059488, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012760390437823177, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.29762479381402496, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.29762479381402496, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3030297901590856, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404996345060642, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.359952954808034, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.359952954808034, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3783044245250473, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01835146971701329, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.5510215762503755, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5510215762503755, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5248651338782312, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.026156442372144317, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4089, -0.3697, -0.369, -0.3572, -0.3302, -0.2808, -0.2583, -0.2429, -0.1972, -0.2002, -0.2257, -0.209, -0.2049, -0.1921, -0.1908, -0.1876, -0.2114, -0.2559, -0.2067, -0.2295, -0.2141, -0.165, -0.1446, -0.0983, -0.0207, 0.0146, -0.0298, -0.0529, -0.0801, -0.131, -0.0754, -0.0991, 0.0306, -0.0671, -0.0186, -0.0393, -0.0385, -0.0699, -0.0796, -0.0773, -0.0506, -0.083, -0.0812, -0.081, -0.0808, -0.0722, -0.0483, 0.0059, -0.0343, -0.0393, -0.0203, -0.0209, -0.0463, -0.1034, -0.1114, -0.114, -0.1748, -0.1391, -0.1004, -0.1156, -0.0718, -0.0426, -0.0369, 0.0, -0.0505, -0.0342, -0.068, -0.1802, -0.0944, -0.12, -0.1494, -0.1692, -0.1824, -0.1508, -0.173, -0.1876, -0.1774, -0.1607, -0.1211, -0.1505, -0.1673, -0.1884, -0.1793, -0.2316, -0.2976, -0.2693, -0.2934, -0.2672, -0.2388, -0.2714, -0.2719, -0.3104, -0.3379, -0.3548, -0.3338, -0.3551, -0.3959, -0.41, -0.3701, -0.369, -0.3541, -0.3569, -0.3531, -0.4027, -0.3605, -0.3192, -0.3314, -0.3548, -0.3333, -0.2915, -0.2906, -0.3095, -0.3421, -0.3677, -0.3677, -0.396, -0.3969, -0.3647, -0.3587, -0.3679, -0.3716, -0.3806, -0.3759, -0.374, -0.3661, -0.3671, -0.36, -0.3335, -0.3118, -0.2969, -0.3244, -0.3378, -0.3423, -0.3403, -0.2913, -0.2844, -0.2924, -0.297, -0.3202, -0.3738, -0.3645, -0.3708, -0.37, -0.3757, -0.3553, -0.3586, -0.3988, -0.4235, -0.4999, -0.5248, -0.5427, -0.6114, -0.5598, -0.5513, -0.5692, -0.586, -0.5847, -0.563, -0.5738, -0.575, -0.5832, -0.5844, -0.58, -0.6042, -0.6047, -0.5617, -0.5676, -0.5881, -0.5675, -0.577, -0.5464, -0.5581, -0.5779, -0.5749, -0.5654, -0.5624, -0.5578, -0.5536, -0.4984, -0.5055, -0.5299, -0.544, -0.5421, -0.5409, -0.5401, -0.5375, -0.5606, -0.5752, -0.5683, -0.551]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1967448919467864526", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-15T04:42:30+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I don't have many high conviction stocks but $NBIS is one at $90. Strong Buy on any dip", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "High conviction long NBIS at $90 on forward rev undervaluation; HIMS top pick for 3m on 42% SI squeeze; IREN good but speculative.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I don’t have many high conviction stocks  but $NBIS is one at $90. Strong Buy on any dip\n\n21B MC for a company with so much  forward rev is insane. $IREN is great as well but more speculative atm + needs dilution\n\n$HIMS has the most potential though over the next 3m from 42% SI. https://t.co/Mg9ZN12rRV", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "If I had to buy 5 things for the next month by potential:\n\n1. $HIMS - 42% SI, new product/rate cut catalyst + 1.2M EU customers. Short squeeze inevitable, just a matter of time. \n\n2. $LTC - Frontrun institutions for the ETF launch October 2nd. \n\n3. $NBIS - Should easily be $100+", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00604656363125633, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00604656363125633, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0007508055742524444, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007819023205867026, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005295758057003885, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013865586837123356, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.016820567224016703, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.016820567224016703, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.015443774438735014, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012786876034623695, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0013767927852816886, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004033691189393007, "ret_p1w": 0.17194370654208013, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.17194370654208013, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1601737720345009, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.17199790263052117, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011769934507579238, "bench_c_p1w": -5.4196088441038626e-05, "ret_p1m": 0.4088609848981435, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4088609848981435, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.40408575006896474, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4425615630998292, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.004775234829178743, "bench_c_p1m": -0.033700578201685705, "ret_p3m": 0.03649955725858134, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.03649955725858134, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0091506744156995, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05147956330497405, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04565023167428084, "bench_c_p3m": -0.014980006046392713, "ret_p6m": 0.060136337684252306, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.060136337684252306, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.02964200267013828, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.06710529420364353, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030494335014114027, "bench_c_p6m": -0.006968956519391223, "price_path": [-0.4688, -0.4688, -0.4726, -0.478, -0.4391, -0.4666, -0.4217, -0.4301, -0.3917, -0.4469, -0.4506, -0.4476, -0.4476, -0.4741, -0.4822, -0.4937, -0.4896, -0.513, -0.4289, -0.4115, -0.4139, -0.4097, -0.4196, -0.4243, -0.4392, -0.4296, -0.4266, -0.4352, -0.4201, -0.4459, -0.4361, -0.4016, -0.4283, -0.4045, -0.3935, -0.3943, -0.282, -0.2438, -0.2278, -0.1718, -0.2235, -0.2474, -0.2126, -0.2025, -0.2613, -0.2582, -0.2724, -0.2416, -0.2302, -0.2252, -0.2293, -0.208, -0.2489, -0.2489, -0.2775, -0.2783, -0.2864, -0.2802, -0.2957, 0.0523, 0.0267, -0.0195, -0.006, 0.0, -0.0168, 0.0343, 0.0347, 0.0918, 0.1719, 0.1851, 0.2448, 0.1867, 0.184, 0.2117, 0.2343, 0.271, 0.3838, 0.407, 0.3736, 0.294, 0.3412, 0.4582, 0.4246, 0.4892, 0.4089, 0.3834, 0.3527, 0.2471, 0.1983, 0.1464, 0.0842, 0.1671, 0.2891, 0.379, 0.3394, 0.3753, 0.3652, 0.4382, 0.3244, 0.2153, 0.2863, 0.2032, 0.2234, 0.2088, 0.1238, 0.0374, -0.0256, -0.0816, -0.0547, -0.0046, 0.0452, -0.0695, -0.0847, 0.0103, -0.0229, 0.041, 0.041, 0.043, 0.101, 0.0604, 0.0875, 0.1302, 0.0778, 0.103, 0.0599, 0.0289, 0.0365, -0.0359, -0.108, -0.11, -0.1705, -0.1415, -0.0165, 0.025, -0.0102, 0.0019, 0.0019, -0.037, -0.0541, -0.0637, -0.0798, -0.0798, -0.0111, 0.0206, 0.102, 0.0577, 0.0697, 0.0766, 0.18, 0.1591, 0.1212, 0.1421, 0.1954, 0.1954, 0.0916, 0.087, 0.0648, 0.0389, 0.0055, 0.076, 0.1041, 0.0434, -0.0634, -0.0308, -0.0111, -0.0942, -0.1879, -0.0534, 0.0211, 0.0091, -0.0258, -0.0135, 0.0775, 0.0775, 0.0721, 0.1192, 0.183, 0.0765, 0.1061, 0.1277, 0.1667, 0.153, 0.0025, 0.0005, -0.0457, 0.075, 0.0516, -0.0179, 0.0438, 0.0601]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1967448919467864526", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-15T04:42:30+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$IREN is great as well but more speculative atm", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "High conviction long NBIS at $90 on forward rev undervaluation; HIMS top pick for 3m on 42% SI squeeze; IREN good but speculative.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I don’t have many high conviction stocks  but $NBIS is one at $90. Strong Buy on any dip\n\n21B MC for a company with so much  forward rev is insane. $IREN is great as well but more speculative atm + needs dilution\n\n$HIMS has the most potential though over the next 3m from 42% SI. https://t.co/Mg9ZN12rRV", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "If I had to buy 5 things for the next month by potential:\n\n1. $HIMS - 42% SI, new product/rate cut catalyst + 1.2M EU customers. Short squeeze inevitable, just a matter of time. \n\n2. $LTC - Frontrun institutions for the ETF launch October 2nd. \n\n3. $NBIS - Should easily be $100+", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08562198054483816, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08562198054483816, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08032622248783428, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08785737272010263, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005295758057003885, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0022353921752644723, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.018578315510185517, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.018578315510185517, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01720152272490383, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016342851420361404, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0013767927852816886, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002235464089824113, "ret_p1w": 0.12816376452491718, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12816376452491718, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11639383001733794, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.11889102927621154, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011769934507579238, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009272735248705644, "ret_p1m": 0.8729132660670245, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.8729132660670245, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.8681380312378457, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.8778450227455499, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.004775234829178743, "bench_c_p1m": -0.004931756678525412, "ret_p3m": 0.18309098946716262, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.18309098946716262, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.13744075779288178, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1575577250279776, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04565023167428084, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02553326443918502, "ret_p6m": 0.026386633234826373, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.026386633234826373, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0041077017792876536, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08748330150518768, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030494335014114027, "bench_c_p6m": -0.06109666827036131, "price_path": [-0.7361, -0.7361, -0.7181, -0.713, -0.6893, -0.6804, -0.647, -0.623, -0.6077, -0.5899, -0.5784, -0.5471, -0.5471, -0.5436, -0.5452, -0.5433, -0.5415, -0.563, -0.5347, -0.5455, -0.5339, -0.514, -0.517, -0.5113, -0.4995, -0.4887, -0.5116, -0.5229, -0.5536, -0.5749, -0.5654, -0.5662, -0.5854, -0.5563, -0.5571, -0.5067, -0.5, -0.5032, -0.5162, -0.5199, -0.5226, -0.4863, -0.4698, -0.4425, -0.4957, -0.468, -0.4725, -0.423, -0.3775, -0.381, -0.3981, -0.3796, -0.287, -0.287, -0.2162, -0.2404, -0.2964, -0.2959, -0.2948, -0.1871, -0.0945, -0.1155, -0.0856, 0.0, -0.0186, 0.0205, -0.0221, 0.0404, 0.1282, 0.1247, 0.2693, 0.2464, 0.1271, 0.2367, 0.2636, 0.2676, 0.266, 0.3586, 0.5549, 0.6607, 0.6179, 0.7192, 0.6093, 0.727, 0.8729, 0.8304, 0.6648, 0.6349, 0.5945, 0.4861, 0.3955, 0.504, 0.6936, 0.7499, 0.6807, 0.6268, 0.5676, 0.6357, 0.8242, 0.794, 1.0574, 0.8029, 0.6796, 0.6201, 0.545, 0.4997, 0.3099, 0.2485, 0.2765, 0.3153, 0.234, 0.1704, 0.1379, 0.3056, 0.2781, 0.3045, 0.3045, 0.2873, 0.3056, 0.1072, 0.1836, 0.2507, 0.2038, 0.2477, 0.2612, 0.1826, 0.1831, 0.0805, -0.0447, -0.0148, -0.0905, -0.0361, 0.0749, 0.1319, 0.1327, 0.1303, 0.1303, 0.0851, 0.0611, 0.0312, 0.017, 0.017, 0.1497, 0.2989, 0.2361, 0.1746, 0.2299, 0.2394, 0.3551, 0.4268, 0.4238, 0.3971, 0.5568, 0.5568, 0.461, 0.44, 0.4071, 0.5261, 0.4098, 0.6152, 0.6947, 0.6112, 0.447, 0.4292, 0.4645, 0.21, 0.0714, 0.1263, 0.2426, 0.1559, 0.1489, 0.0778, 0.1368, 0.1368, 0.1031, 0.133, 0.1656, 0.0765, 0.1405, 0.2237, 0.1855, 0.1912, 0.1026, 0.1144, 0.046, 0.1804, 0.0804, -0.0118, 0.0458, 0.0264]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1967448919467864526", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-09-15T04:42:30+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$HIMS has the most potential though over the next 3m from 42% SI", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "High conviction long NBIS at $90 on forward rev undervaluation; HIMS top pick for 3m on 42% SI squeeze; IREN good but speculative.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I don’t have many high conviction stocks  but $NBIS is one at $90. Strong Buy on any dip\n\n21B MC for a company with so much  forward rev is insane. $IREN is great as well but more speculative atm + needs dilution\n\n$HIMS has the most potential though over the next 3m from 42% SI. https://t.co/Mg9ZN12rRV", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "If I had to buy 5 things for the next month by potential:\n\n1. $HIMS - 42% SI, new product/rate cut catalyst + 1.2M EU customers. Short squeeze inevitable, just a matter of time. \n\n2. $LTC - Frontrun institutions for the ETF launch October 2nd. \n\n3. $NBIS - Should easily be $100+", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.028539676457675967, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.028539676457675967, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03383543451467985, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03383543451467985, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005295758057003885, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005295758057003885, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.056893990861975996, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.056893990861975996, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05551719807669431, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05551719807669431, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0013767927852816886, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0013767927852816886, "ret_p1w": 0.06931063272651183, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06931063272651183, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.057540698218932596, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.057540698218932596, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011769934507579238, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011769934507579238, "ret_p1m": 0.0011119602355271763, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0011119602355271763, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0036632745936515665, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0036632745936515665, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.004775234829178743, "bench_c_p1m": 0.004775234829178743, "ret_p3m": -0.30003704413271126, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.30003704413271126, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3456872758069921, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3456872758069921, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04565023167428084, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04565023167428084, "ret_p6m": -0.5650481891852341, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5650481891852341, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5955425241993482, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5955425241993482, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030494335014114027, "bench_c_p6m": 0.030494335014114027, "price_path": [0.1318, 0.1318, 0.1901, -0.222, -0.204, -0.2326, -0.1423, -0.0843, -0.0762, -0.1112, -0.1205, -0.1108, -0.1108, -0.1027, -0.0927, -0.0504, -0.0684, -0.1125, -0.0358, -0.0649, -0.0391, -0.0736, -0.0663, -0.1179, -0.0732, 0.0752, 0.0623, 0.0684, 0.0875, 0.1169, 0.2144, 0.2265, 0.1592, 0.174, 0.0289, -0.0524, -0.0539, -0.0374, -0.0738, -0.1112, -0.1043, -0.1266, -0.1471, -0.1642, -0.2183, -0.1961, -0.1853, -0.174, -0.2033, -0.1596, -0.1844, -0.1824, -0.2152, -0.2152, -0.2304, -0.1761, -0.1084, -0.1029, -0.0801, -0.1143, -0.1145, -0.0408, 0.0285, 0.0, -0.0569, -0.0669, 0.0415, 0.0715, 0.0693, 0.0378, -0.0132, 0.0169, 0.0823, 0.0956, 0.0511, 0.0436, 0.0725, -0.0263, 0.0148, 0.0743, 0.078, 0.0795, -0.0002, 0.0143, 0.0011, 0.1631, 0.0962, -0.0775, -0.0482, -0.0852, -0.1205, -0.1014, -0.096, -0.1062, -0.1268, -0.1358, -0.1835, -0.1575, -0.1774, -0.207, -0.1896, -0.2305, -0.2396, -0.2393, -0.2633, -0.2769, -0.3319, -0.3147, -0.3406, -0.328, -0.336, -0.3769, -0.3567, -0.2999, -0.3126, -0.2884, -0.2884, -0.2632, -0.3049, -0.3271, -0.313, -0.2583, -0.2735, -0.275, -0.262, -0.298, -0.3, -0.3104, -0.3282, -0.3169, -0.3519, -0.3556, -0.341, -0.3504, -0.3551, -0.3575, -0.3575, -0.3642, -0.3681, -0.3877, -0.3983, -0.3983, -0.3808, -0.3567, -0.3428, -0.3428, -0.3723, -0.4127, -0.4007, -0.4033, -0.4196, -0.4212, -0.4185, -0.4185, -0.4353, -0.4646, -0.4344, -0.4511, -0.4388, -0.45, -0.4687, -0.4464, -0.498, -0.51, -0.5267, -0.5478, -0.5649, -0.5734, -0.6418, -0.6805, -0.6907, -0.7072, -0.6979, -0.6979, -0.6985, -0.7064, -0.7068, -0.7103, -0.7126, -0.7135, -0.7068, -0.7109, -0.7309, -0.6946, -0.7068, -0.6951, -0.7057, -0.7083, -0.5893, -0.565]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2008932076264046635", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-07T16:01:45+00:00", "symbol": "OSS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$OSS is incredibly exciting and I couldn't believe my eyes when I saw what they were doing at a $155m MC", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strongly bullish OSS at $155M MC: military deployments, 45% gross margins, $40M+ cash, demand exceeding capacity in a hot sector.", "resolved_tickers": ["OSS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@LawnChairCap $OSS is incredibly exciting and I couldn’t believe my eyes when I saw what they were doing at a $155m MC. \n\nLike already being used in Venezuela by US military, 45% gross margins with a $40m+ cash pile, demand exceeding capacity, extremely hot sector, jeez", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Great write up, welcome to the party", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LawnChairCap", "ret_m1d": -0.18170264919095824, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.18170264919095824, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.184936429611268, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.184936429611268, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003233780420309751, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003233780420309751, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1168996301997518, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1168996301997518, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.11700116288173756, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.11700116288173756, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00010153268198576093, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00010153268198576093, "ret_p1w": 0.48538751593042084, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.48538751593042084, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.4842564560534741, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.4842564560534741, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0011310598769467273, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0011310598769467273, "ret_p1m": 0.022871703658607467, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.022871703658607467, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.040215598047577794, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.040215598047577794, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017343894388970327, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017343894388970327, "ret_p3m": -0.019059732852432676, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.019059732852432676, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.022778033542166676, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.022778033542166676, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04183776639459935, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04183776639459935, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.291, -0.249, -0.2262, -0.1995, -0.2872, -0.3418, -0.3227, -0.3278, -0.3659, -0.3469, -0.3367, -0.3304, -0.3571, -0.3507, -0.3698, -0.3647, -0.3482, -0.4003, -0.2681, -0.3215, -0.3405, -0.31, -0.2872, -0.2961, -0.3443, -0.3507, -0.399, -0.3952, -0.4257, -0.4485, -0.4333, -0.4104, -0.4142, -0.244, -0.244, -0.2262, -0.2478, -0.2287, -0.216, -0.1665, -0.1131, -0.0635, -0.0381, -0.0178, -0.0038, -0.0381, -0.1296, -0.1131, -0.1385, -0.0889, -0.0661, -0.0775, -0.0584, -0.0813, -0.0813, -0.0864, -0.0953, -0.0915, -0.0877, -0.0877, -0.136, -0.1233, -0.1817, 0.0, 0.1169, 0.0254, 0.3278, 0.4358, 0.4854, 0.3787, 0.3545, 0.3545, 0.3698, 0.4828, 0.4409, 0.3469, 0.2859, 0.3355, 0.3164, 0.3494, 0.2567, 0.2135, 0.2122, 0.1385, 0.0229, 0.1741, 0.2262, 0.2097, 0.2008, 0.0864, 0.1055, 0.1055, 0.0521, 0.061, 0.3393, 0.2351, 0.1525, 0.169, 0.1499, 0.1601, 0.0489, 0.0959, 0.0534, 0.0661, 0.0775, 0.0686, 0.1309, 0.1982, 0.2592, 0.2897, 0.2808, 0.2973, 0.3583, 0.4282, 0.305, 0.1207, 0.1703, 0.1487, 0.1537, 0.0851, -0.026, -0.0839, -0.0381, -0.0775, -0.0292, -0.0292, -0.0191, -0.0318, 0.0127, -0.0051, -0.0089, 0.1258, 0.1131, 0.249, 0.2402, 0.2605, 0.2859, 0.2618, 0.3215, 0.2427, 0.2338, 0.2643, 0.1779, 0.1169, 0.2058, 0.2745, 0.2402, 0.2414, 0.9479, 0.9187, 0.9924, 1.0229, 0.9759, 1.0152, 1.1906, 1.0928, 1.0318, 0.9581, 0.9936, 1.0978, 1.2656, 1.2656, 1.216, 1.2313, 1.2757, 1.31, 1.31, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2007653270102388974", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-04T03:20:14+00:00", "symbol": "GRZ.V", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Valuing the sudden return of $19T+ in mineral rights ( $GRZ.V a small $200M company ) has definitely not been priced in yet. So we'll likely see a frenzy for many of these names in overnight trading and market open.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Long GRZ.V: $19T+ Venezuela mineral rights not priced in; expects frenzy at open.", "resolved_tickers": ["GRZ.V"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='V')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is an incredible opportunity for retail investors since institutions were LARGELY caught off guard regarding direct US military takeover of Venezuela.  (classified operation involving Delta Force)\n\nValuing the sudden return of $19T+ in mineral rights ( $GRZ.V a small $200M company ) has definitely not been priced in yet. \n\nSo we'll likely see a frenzy for many of these names in overnight trading and market open. \n\nAgain, this is the new gold rush in 2026, and retail has the opportunity of a lifetime if they find the right tickers.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Crazy alpha", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "crux_capital_", "ret_m1d": -0.48358866379694876, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.48358866379694876, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.47697261362802346, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.47697261362802346, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006616050168925303, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006616050168925303, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.048139996045486244, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.048139996045486244, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04219281267239694, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04219281267239694, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005947183373089304, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005947183373089304, "ret_p1w": 0.18161923250088563, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.18161923250088563, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.17080087273028655, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.17080087273028655, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010818359770599084, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010818359770599084, "ret_p1m": -0.030634647278767635, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.030634647278767635, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03326659718388403, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03326659718388403, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.002631949905116393, "bench_c_p1m": 0.002631949905116393, "ret_p3m": 0.2319474623551685, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2319474623551685, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.27571365229554, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.27571365229554, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.043766189940371514, "bench_c_p3m": -0.043766189940371514, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5449, -0.5186, -0.5427, -0.5427, -0.5208, -0.5295, -0.5405, -0.5558, -0.5536, -0.5514, -0.5952, -0.5908, -0.5755, -0.5558, -0.5295, -0.5208, -0.5208, -0.5186, -0.4967, -0.4726, -0.4486, -0.4858, -0.5186, -0.5295, -0.5558, -0.5602, -0.5689, -0.5755, -0.5842, -0.6083, -0.6193, -0.6389, -0.628, -0.5996, -0.5602, -0.5952, -0.6521, -0.6193, -0.5667, -0.5864, -0.5449, -0.5317, -0.5186, -0.5602, -0.5711, -0.523, -0.5405, -0.547, -0.5536, -0.5646, -0.4967, -0.5186, -0.5142, -0.5186, -0.5295, -0.4858, -0.4858, -0.4858, -0.5252, -0.5142, -0.5011, -0.5011, -0.4836, 0.0, 0.0481, 0.1028, 0.1816, 0.1969, 0.1816, 0.1729, 0.1772, 0.1794, 0.2144, 0.1969, 0.2144, 0.2254, 0.221, 0.1991, 0.1663, 0.1794, 0.1554, 0.1685, 0.1291, 0.0722, -0.0306, -0.0766, -0.0919, -0.1028, -0.07, -0.0328, 0.0284, 0.0832, 0.0897, 0.0897, 0.0941, 0.0941, 0.1204, 0.1269, 0.0788, 0.116, 0.1597, 0.1554, 0.1597, 0.1772, 0.116, 0.1641, 0.2582, 0.4551, 0.5098, 0.6193, 0.6586, 0.5427, 0.4048, 0.407, 0.3786, 0.3042, 0.3348, 0.3107, 0.3085, 0.2144, 0.2538, 0.2254, 0.2144, 0.2254, 0.1904, 0.2473, 0.2319, 0.2319, 0.2473, 0.2254, 0.2495, 0.2276, 0.291, 0.2582, 0.2582, 0.3107, 0.2932, 0.2582, 0.2823, 0.2691, 0.2429, 0.2035, 0.2035, 0.1816, 0.1816, 0.1707, 0.1816, 0.2035, 0.2254, 0.3282, 0.4333, 0.4201, 0.4989, 0.4858, 0.4158, 0.3479, 0.4289, 0.477, 0.477, 0.4551, 0.4748, 0.4223, 0.4004, 0.3457, 0.4048, 0.4201, 0.3895, 0.4114, 0.4114, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1975929128114377050", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-08T14:19:49+00:00", "symbol": "AMD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "New 1Y+ long positions; - $AMD shares at $215", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "New 1Y+ longs in AMD at $215, WYFI at $33, UNH Jan 2027 leaps; DCA into FLNC and RDDT on dips.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Some days there’s not much activity.\n\nNew 1Y+ long positions;\n\n- $AMD shares at $215\n- $WYFi shares at $33\n- UNH 1Y leaps Jan 2027\n\nDCA $FLNC &amp; SEI on drop for high risk energy plays. \n\nDCA RDDT $198 on 4% drop. \n\nTrimmed misc positions for EOY tax harvesting.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Why $ORCL facing challenges with GPU-as-a-Service (from leaks) is actually bullish for neoclouds like Nebius.\n\nHyperscalers struggling with GPU economics strengthens the case for specalized neoclouds.\n\nThis is an insane opportunity on $NBIS, $WYFI, $IREN, $CIFR, $CRWV and others: https://t.co/e89wxXA2kY", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.10209714425631866, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10209714425631866, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09616943906029773, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09616943906029773, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005927705196020927, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005927705196020927, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011334684142544904, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011334684142544904, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00843767576330745, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00843767576330745, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0028970083792374535, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0028970083792374535, "ret_p1w": 0.012905453287609614, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.012905453287609614, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.024701497258885707, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.024701497258885707, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011796043971276093, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011796043971276093, "ret_p1m": 0.009084731753387532, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.009084731753387532, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.013244484876622109, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.013244484876622109, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0041597531232345775, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0041597531232345775, "ret_p3m": -0.0614705207913635, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0614705207913635, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08619476559076023, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08619476559076023, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024724244799396722, "bench_c_p3m": 0.024724244799396722, "ret_p6m": -0.07666835517818116, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.07666835517818116, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.05654432404318366, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.05654432404318366, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0201240311349975, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0201240311349975, "price_path": [-0.3784, -0.3792, -0.3394, -0.3204, -0.319, -0.3335, -0.3335, -0.3432, -0.3265, -0.3118, -0.2933, -0.2628, -0.2467, -0.2379, -0.2515, -0.2711, -0.2495, -0.26, -0.3075, -0.2681, -0.2666, -0.2686, -0.2573, -0.2171, -0.2318, -0.2464, -0.2522, -0.293, -0.2987, -0.305, -0.2878, -0.3065, -0.2927, -0.2905, -0.2843, -0.3096, -0.3096, -0.3109, -0.3117, -0.3132, -0.3584, -0.3572, -0.3385, -0.3227, -0.3391, -0.3268, -0.3158, -0.3188, -0.3243, -0.3296, -0.3318, -0.3217, -0.3169, -0.317, -0.3154, -0.3231, -0.315, -0.3132, -0.3037, -0.2795, -0.3009, -0.1352, -0.1021, 0.0, -0.0113, -0.0877, -0.0813, -0.0742, 0.0129, -0.0042, -0.0105, 0.0212, 0.0105, -0.0226, -0.0024, 0.0737, 0.1024, 0.0953, 0.1221, 0.0818, 0.0873, 0.1023, 0.0615, 0.0882, 0.0091, -0.0086, 0.0357, 0.0083, 0.099, 0.0526, 0.0478, 0.0211, -0.0224, -0.051, -0.1254, -0.1349, -0.0871, -0.1249, -0.0905, -0.0905, -0.0765, -0.0671, -0.0863, -0.0762, -0.0831, -0.0747, -0.0613, -0.0592, -0.06, -0.06, -0.1052, -0.1188, -0.112, -0.159, -0.1465, -0.0939, -0.0875, -0.0877, -0.0871, -0.0871, -0.0873, -0.0847, -0.0858, -0.0908, -0.0908, -0.0513, -0.0615, -0.09, -0.1084, -0.1311, -0.1375, -0.1183, -0.0619, -0.0508, -0.0324, -0.0158, -0.0158, -0.0155, 0.0605, 0.0771, 0.1024, 0.0669, 0.0699, 0.0729, 0.0706, 0.005, 0.0455, 0.0278, -0.1502, -0.1828, -0.1151, -0.083, -0.0934, -0.0933, -0.1257, -0.1199, -0.1199, -0.1379, -0.1505, -0.1367, -0.1503, -0.1654, -0.0922, -0.1049, -0.1353, -0.1501, -0.1568, -0.1894, -0.1422, -0.1533, -0.1831, -0.1396, -0.1372, -0.1305, -0.1606, -0.179, -0.1655, -0.1666, -0.1533, -0.1286, -0.1453, -0.1396, -0.1282, -0.0649, -0.135, -0.1425, -0.1678, -0.1364, -0.1076, -0.0767]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1975929128114377050", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-08T14:19:49+00:00", "symbol": "WYFI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$WYFi shares at $33", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "New 1Y+ longs in AMD at $215, WYFI at $33, UNH Jan 2027 leaps; DCA into FLNC and RDDT on dips.", "resolved_tickers": ["WYFI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Some days there’s not much activity.\n\nNew 1Y+ long positions;\n\n- $AMD shares at $215\n- $WYFi shares at $33\n- UNH 1Y leaps Jan 2027\n\nDCA $FLNC &amp; SEI on drop for high risk energy plays. \n\nDCA RDDT $198 on 4% drop. \n\nTrimmed misc positions for EOY tax harvesting.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Why $ORCL facing challenges with GPU-as-a-Service (from leaks) is actually bullish for neoclouds like Nebius.\n\nHyperscalers struggling with GPU economics strengthens the case for specalized neoclouds.\n\nThis is an insane opportunity on $NBIS, $WYFI, $IREN, $CIFR, $CRWV and others: https://t.co/e89wxXA2kY", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.019247589086917927, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019247589086917927, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.013319883890897, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0020127857220071377, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005927705196020927, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01723480336491079, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01603963903108252, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01603963903108252, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013142630651845066, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.014354004413124732, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0028970083792374535, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016856346179577875, "ret_p1w": 0.06969960122008012, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06969960122008012, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08149564519135621, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0916818052052395, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011796043971276093, "bench_c_p1w": -0.021982203985159376, "ret_p1m": -0.1819772969338468, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1819772969338468, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1778175438106122, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.17671395231768183, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0041597531232345775, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0052633446161649555, "ret_p3m": -0.48731410165272393, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.48731410165272393, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5120383464521207, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4838351379242922, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024724244799396722, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0034789637284317054, "ret_p6m": -0.6611257050069874, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.6611257050069874, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.6410016738719899, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5993459119256901, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0201240311349975, "bench_c_p6m": -0.06177979308129733, "price_path": [null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, -0.527, -0.5538, -0.571, -0.5506, -0.4949, -0.4797, -0.5016, -0.4549, -0.5036, -0.5124, -0.5127, -0.5016, -0.5171, -0.5136, -0.5071, -0.5039, -0.5069, -0.5069, -0.4777, -0.5127, -0.5258, -0.5235, -0.5334, -0.4637, -0.3123, -0.4001, -0.4182, -0.417, -0.4377, -0.389, -0.3173, -0.233, -0.1829, -0.1814, -0.2345, -0.312, -0.3342, -0.2202, -0.2076, -0.0671, -0.0178, -0.0901, -0.0105, -0.0192, 0.0, -0.016, -0.0367, 0.1411, 0.0977, 0.0697, -0.0831, -0.1172, -0.0668, -0.1298, -0.1904, -0.1547, -0.0073, 0.0782, -0.0131, -0.0149, -0.0604, -0.0087, -0.0487, -0.1114, -0.1059, -0.182, -0.1616, -0.1528, -0.2473, -0.3368, -0.4205, -0.4751, -0.4678, -0.5083, -0.4923, -0.4929, -0.4943, -0.4583, -0.4803, -0.422, -0.422, -0.375, -0.4261, -0.4444, -0.4334, -0.3852, -0.4334, -0.4386, -0.4179, -0.4415, -0.4558, -0.4567, -0.5564, -0.5602, -0.5868, -0.583, -0.5118, -0.466, -0.4861, -0.494, -0.494, -0.5168, -0.5293, -0.5465, -0.5392, -0.5392, -0.5092, -0.4873, -0.4832, -0.5115, -0.4838, -0.4832, -0.4552, -0.4625, -0.3917, -0.4622, -0.4322, -0.4322, -0.4409, -0.4074, -0.4258, -0.4135, -0.4013, -0.3701, -0.3537, -0.3578, -0.431, -0.4316, -0.4619, -0.5296, -0.5801, -0.4586, -0.4211, -0.4363, -0.452, -0.4695, -0.4337, -0.4337, -0.4631, -0.4914, -0.4797, -0.5074, -0.5039, -0.4861, -0.4587, -0.4602, -0.5086, -0.4937, -0.5442, -0.506, -0.5351, -0.548, -0.5389, -0.5372, -0.5001, -0.5109, -0.5407, -0.5386, -0.5526, -0.5733, -0.5588, -0.5961, -0.5798, -0.5876, -0.5716, -0.6452, -0.6856, -0.6734, -0.6527, -0.6608, -0.6611]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1975929128114377050", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-08T14:19:49+00:00", "symbol": "UNH", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "UNH 1Y leaps Jan 2027", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "New 1Y+ longs in AMD at $215, WYFI at $33, UNH Jan 2027 leaps; DCA into FLNC and RDDT on dips.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLV", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Healthcare Plans'", "bench_c_industry": "Healthcare Plans", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Some days there’s not much activity.\n\nNew 1Y+ long positions;\n\n- $AMD shares at $215\n- $WYFi shares at $33\n- UNH 1Y leaps Jan 2027\n\nDCA $FLNC &amp; SEI on drop for high risk energy plays. \n\nDCA RDDT $198 on 4% drop. \n\nTrimmed misc positions for EOY tax harvesting.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Why $ORCL facing challenges with GPU-as-a-Service (from leaks) is actually bullish for neoclouds like Nebius.\n\nHyperscalers struggling with GPU economics strengthens the case for specalized neoclouds.\n\nThis is an insane opportunity on $NBIS, $WYFI, $IREN, $CIFR, $CRWV and others: https://t.co/e89wxXA2kY", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01692258902739352, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01692258902739352, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010994883831372593, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014984949338297526, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005927705196020927, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0019376396890959935, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0060283574268149565, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0060283574268149565, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.003131349047577503, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0038139881217192917, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0028970083792374535, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0022143693050956648, "ret_p1w": -0.023707912293404743, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.023707912293404743, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01191186832212865, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0102140693942665, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011796043971276093, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013493842899138242, "ret_p1m": -0.13073103030131572, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.13073103030131572, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12657127717808114, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14062653638910116, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0041597531232345775, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009895506087785444, "ret_p3m": -0.06920537586358677, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06920537586358677, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09392962066298349, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1466410090766349, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024724244799396722, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07743563321304814, "ret_p6m": -0.23958111097375323, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.23958111097375323, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.21945707983875573, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2640173262879212, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0201240311349975, "bench_c_p6m": 0.024436215314167953, "price_path": [-0.1831, -0.1925, -0.2164, -0.2143, -0.2261, -0.2407, -0.2421, -0.234, -0.2142, -0.2516, -0.245, -0.2421, -0.2987, -0.2853, -0.3296, -0.3613, -0.3526, -0.3257, -0.3398, -0.3427, -0.326, -0.322, -0.2973, -0.2698, -0.2707, -0.1833, -0.1713, -0.1827, -0.1945, -0.1851, -0.1742, -0.181, -0.1929, -0.1837, -0.1879, -0.1676, -0.1676, -0.1705, -0.1729, -0.1662, -0.1528, -0.1397, -0.0654, -0.0684, -0.0501, -0.053, -0.0596, -0.0815, -0.0765, -0.0949, -0.0898, -0.0774, -0.0601, -0.049, -0.0659, -0.0699, -0.0669, -0.0666, -0.0584, -0.0438, -0.0263, -0.0301, -0.0169, 0.0, -0.006, -0.0417, -0.0304, -0.027, -0.0237, -0.0358, -0.036, -0.0147, -0.0123, -0.0228, -0.0256, -0.0201, -0.0107, -0.0056, -0.0396, -0.068, -0.0767, -0.0977, -0.1057, -0.114, -0.1307, -0.1236, -0.1307, -0.1148, -0.0834, -0.1011, -0.1299, -0.1335, -0.1523, -0.1644, -0.1578, -0.135, -0.1375, -0.118, -0.1087, -0.1087, -0.1085, -0.1263, -0.1227, -0.0817, -0.0985, -0.1055, -0.1193, -0.1193, -0.1064, -0.0836, -0.0697, -0.0717, -0.0905, -0.0975, -0.107, -0.1089, -0.1151, -0.1161, -0.1085, -0.1085, -0.0969, -0.1048, -0.096, -0.1016, -0.1016, -0.0845, -0.0692, -0.0503, -0.0701, -0.0561, -0.0639, -0.0733, -0.0912, -0.0884, -0.0775, -0.0991, -0.0991, -0.079, -0.0536, -0.0353, -0.0305, -0.043, -0.2306, -0.1998, -0.2045, -0.2191, -0.2228, -0.2266, -0.2491, -0.2692, -0.2471, -0.2497, -0.2564, -0.241, -0.2261, -0.2021, -0.2021, -0.2133, -0.2157, -0.211, -0.2108, -0.2316, -0.2545, -0.2266, -0.2199, -0.2019, -0.1974, -0.2129, -0.2054, -0.2141, -0.2204, -0.2179, -0.2256, -0.2177, -0.2402, -0.2263, -0.217, -0.2113, -0.2202, -0.2309, -0.2442, -0.2608, -0.2532, -0.258, -0.2648, -0.2896, -0.282, -0.2579, -0.2486, -0.2396]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1975929128114377050", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-10-08T14:19:49+00:00", "symbol": "FLNC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "DCA $FLNC & SEI on drop for high risk energy plays", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "New 1Y+ longs in AMD at $215, WYFI at $33, UNH Jan 2027 leaps; DCA into FLNC and RDDT on dips.", "resolved_tickers": ["FLNC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Some days there’s not much activity.\n\nNew 1Y+ long positions;\n\n- $AMD shares at $215\n- $WYFi shares at $33\n- UNH 1Y leaps Jan 2027\n\nDCA $FLNC &amp; SEI on drop for high risk energy plays. \n\nDCA RDDT $198 on 4% drop. \n\nTrimmed misc positions for EOY tax harvesting.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Why $ORCL facing challenges with GPU-as-a-Service (from leaks) is actually bullish for neoclouds like Nebius.\n\nHyperscalers struggling with GPU economics strengthens the case for specalized neoclouds.\n\nThis is an insane opportunity on $NBIS, $WYFI, $IREN, $CIFR, $CRWV and others: https://t.co/e89wxXA2kY", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.07553476681547433, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07553476681547433, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0696070616194534, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0696070616194534, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005927705196020927, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005927705196020927, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004010723226183344, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004010723226183344, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0011137148469458902, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0011137148469458902, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0028970083792374535, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0028970083792374535, "ret_p1w": 0.4331551122584951, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.4331551122584951, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.4449511562297712, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.4449511562297712, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011796043971276093, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011796043971276093, "ret_p1m": 0.32486628638265924, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.32486628638265924, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3290260395058938, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3290260395058938, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0041597531232345775, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0041597531232345775, "ret_p3m": 0.4872994614481303, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4872994614481303, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4625752166487336, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4625752166487336, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024724244799396722, "bench_c_p3m": 0.024724244799396722, "ret_p6m": -0.11096255636224761, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.11096255636224761, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.09083852522725011, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.09083852522725011, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0201240311349975, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0201240311349975, "price_path": [-0.4539, -0.4693, -0.4439, -0.4472, -0.4492, -0.4011, -0.363, -0.3175, -0.369, -0.3743, -0.373, -0.4091, -0.4352, -0.4519, -0.4572, -0.4799, -0.4332, -0.4285, -0.4352, -0.3937, -0.3857, -0.389, -0.5074, -0.4953, -0.4943, -0.4686, -0.4612, -0.4773, -0.5, -0.5428, -0.496, -0.5007, -0.4933, -0.5134, -0.482, -0.5053, -0.5053, -0.5368, -0.5488, -0.5488, -0.4953, -0.518, -0.5468, -0.5481, -0.5361, -0.5321, -0.506, -0.4987, -0.5027, -0.4706, -0.3743, -0.2914, -0.3175, -0.2527, -0.2159, -0.2039, -0.238, -0.2781, -0.1009, -0.1277, -0.0782, 0.0201, -0.0755, 0.0, -0.004, -0.125, 0.0622, 0.2333, 0.4332, 0.3088, 0.2249, 0.2333, 0.0869, 0.0174, 0.0715, 0.3048, 0.2527, 0.2099, 0.3556, 0.3683, 0.4037, 0.391, 0.2821, 0.385, 0.3249, 0.3897, 0.4566, 0.3857, 0.2841, 0.0862, 0.1972, 0.1517, 0.1377, 0.1237, 0.0368, 0.0294, 0.0561, 0.121, 0.2694, 0.2694, 0.3128, 0.2961, 0.3342, 0.3269, 0.5602, 0.6016, 0.5281, 0.6003, 0.5916, 0.7239, 0.4833, 0.4385, 0.4245, 0.2413, 0.2908, 0.3342, 0.367, 0.3148, 0.3255, 0.3255, 0.3509, 0.3349, 0.3275, 0.3222, 0.3222, 0.5381, 0.4873, 0.4592, 0.3743, 0.4158, 0.5508, 0.5561, 0.5922, 0.514, 0.7045, 0.8102, 0.8102, 0.7052, 0.7607, 0.8229, 0.8008, 0.8128, 0.9011, 1.0715, 1.1103, 1.0568, 1.0648, 1.1544, 0.9378, 0.2667, 0.2995, 0.2968, 0.2694, 0.1711, 0.1658, 0.234, 0.234, 0.1885, 0.1651, 0.107, 0.1063, 0.0742, 0.1023, 0.0916, 0.0829, 0.0388, 0.0107, -0.0027, 0.0561, 0.0535, -0.012, 0.0495, 0.1283, 0.1437, 0.0976, 0.0949, 0.1217, 0.1029, 0.0689, 0.0715, 0.0114, 0.0267, 0.0795, 0.0929, 0.0, -0.0541, -0.131, -0.0802, -0.1297, -0.111]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1975929128114377050", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-10-08T14:19:49+00:00", "symbol": "RDDT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "DCA RDDT $198 on 4% drop", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "New 1Y+ longs in AMD at $215, WYFI at $33, UNH Jan 2027 leaps; DCA into FLNC and RDDT on dips.", "resolved_tickers": ["RDDT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Some days there’s not much activity.\n\nNew 1Y+ long positions;\n\n- $AMD shares at $215\n- $WYFi shares at $33\n- UNH 1Y leaps Jan 2027\n\nDCA $FLNC &amp; SEI on drop for high risk energy plays. \n\nDCA RDDT $198 on 4% drop. \n\nTrimmed misc positions for EOY tax harvesting.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Why $ORCL facing challenges with GPU-as-a-Service (from leaks) is actually bullish for neoclouds like Nebius.\n\nHyperscalers struggling with GPU economics strengthens the case for specalized neoclouds.\n\nThis is an insane opportunity on $NBIS, $WYFI, $IREN, $CIFR, $CRWV and others: https://t.co/e89wxXA2kY", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.017944559806663207, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.017944559806663207, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.023872265002684134, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.013791662278550998, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005927705196020927, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004152897528112209, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04651739569143798, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04651739569143798, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04941440407067543, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05222778757492863, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0028970083792374535, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005710391883490651, "ret_p1w": -0.007563393297130294, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.007563393297130294, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.004232650674145799, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.00600603181108772, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011796043971276093, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0015573614860425744, "ret_p1m": -0.0921943473007315, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0921943473007315, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08803459417749693, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06468089461264537, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0041597531232345775, "bench_c_p1m": -0.027513452688086137, "ret_p3m": 0.20643635944244054, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.20643635944244054, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.18171211464304382, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.18436330814730328, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024724244799396722, "bench_c_p3m": 0.022073051295137258, "ret_p6m": -0.3276978371953758, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3276978371953758, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3075738060603783, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.30035067048116404, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0201240311349975, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02734716671421178, "price_path": [-0.2803, -0.2764, -0.2842, -0.2866, -0.2955, -0.2672, -0.2768, -0.2793, -0.2778, -0.2677, -0.2602, -0.2506, -0.2839, -0.2618, -0.2061, -0.0675, -0.0026, -0.0158, 0.052, 0.0471, 0.065, 0.0913, 0.1074, 0.1606, 0.2036, 0.2185, 0.1951, 0.128, 0.0795, 0.0809, 0.0742, 0.0862, 0.0847, 0.0436, 0.1149, 0.1127, 0.1127, 0.0878, 0.1031, 0.1474, 0.1864, 0.1369, 0.1874, 0.2805, 0.288, 0.2571, 0.3033, 0.3182, 0.3173, 0.3382, 0.3074, 0.2732, 0.1738, 0.1651, 0.1506, 0.187, 0.1962, 0.1369, 0.0015, -0.0068, 0.0243, 0.0066, 0.0179, 0.0, 0.0465, -0.0185, 0.0069, -0.0294, -0.0076, -0.0164, -0.0363, 0.0009, 0.0169, -0.0259, -0.0073, 0.0589, 0.0838, 0.0528, 0.0419, -0.0389, 0.0329, 0.0133, -0.0718, -0.0298, -0.0922, -0.0381, 0.0094, 0.0293, 0.0026, -0.0636, -0.0444, -0.0729, -0.0821, -0.0717, -0.1009, -0.093, -0.036, 0.08, 0.0261, 0.0261, 0.0701, 0.1044, 0.1012, 0.0917, 0.1011, 0.1573, 0.1713, 0.1672, 0.1771, 0.1545, 0.1112, 0.0801, 0.1073, 0.1238, 0.1436, 0.1528, 0.1526, 0.1163, 0.1165, 0.1165, 0.1161, 0.16, 0.1536, 0.1363, 0.1363, 0.1958, 0.2064, 0.2547, 0.263, 0.2554, 0.209, 0.2063, 0.28, 0.2476, 0.1308, 0.142, 0.142, 0.114, 0.0388, 0.0606, 0.082, 0.0561, -0.0296, -0.0452, -0.0605, -0.1089, -0.1243, -0.1823, -0.2452, -0.2533, -0.3088, -0.2993, -0.2586, -0.3114, -0.3521, -0.3097, -0.3097, -0.3117, -0.271, -0.2776, -0.2576, -0.2958, -0.2976, -0.2601, -0.2523, -0.2792, -0.2728, -0.2798, -0.2719, -0.2865, -0.3109, -0.3136, -0.3369, -0.3222, -0.3462, -0.3457, -0.3079, -0.2865, -0.2941, -0.3172, -0.3087, -0.3032, -0.3271, -0.3098, -0.3709, -0.3977, -0.3864, -0.3344, -0.3268, -0.3277]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1976685653573431457", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-10T16:25:59+00:00", "symbol": "AMD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I might think $AMD calls should print because they're fabless", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long AMD calls; fabless structure benefits it, and expects tariff/export-control selloff to resolve like April, repricing higher.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I might think $AMD calls should print because they’re fabless but obviously near term it’s a headwind to the semi industry with rare earth export controls.\n\nThis caused a slight correction pricing it in but I think overall selloff reminds me of April where they come to a deal and everything is fine again", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @LibertadEterno Bought $AMD LEAPs for 2028 should  print if it actually rerates to a 1T market cap off OpenAI revenues", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": 0.08371338298794795, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08371338298794795, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05593475922656199, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05593475922656199, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.027778623761385957, "bench_c_m1d": 0.027778623761385957, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.007073077317969245, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.007073077317969245, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008270997375239508, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008270997375239508, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015344074693208754, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015344074693208754, "ret_p1w": 0.08459752652821151, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08459752652821151, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06718605589286653, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06718605589286653, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017411470635344983, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017411470635344983, "ret_p1m": 0.13531876527210285, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13531876527210285, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09179789053257181, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09179789053257181, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.043520874739531035, "bench_c_p1m": 0.043520874739531035, "ret_p3m": -0.0227081887511551, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0227081887511551, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08181461950495272, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08181461950495272, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05910643075379762, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05910643075379762, "ret_p6m": 0.024569562258062172, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.024569562258062172, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.009773778941159827, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.009773778941159827, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.014795783316902344, "bench_c_p6m": 0.014795783316902344, "price_path": [-0.2759, -0.2551, -0.2536, -0.2695, -0.2694, -0.28, -0.2617, -0.2456, -0.2254, -0.1919, -0.1743, -0.1647, -0.1796, -0.201, -0.1774, -0.1889, -0.2409, -0.1978, -0.1961, -0.1983, -0.1859, -0.1418, -0.158, -0.174, -0.1804, -0.225, -0.2313, -0.2382, -0.2194, -0.2398, -0.2247, -0.2223, -0.2155, -0.2432, -0.2432, -0.2447, -0.2456, -0.2471, -0.2967, -0.2954, -0.2749, -0.2576, -0.2756, -0.2621, -0.2501, -0.2533, -0.2594, -0.2651, -0.2676, -0.2564, -0.2513, -0.2514, -0.2496, -0.258, -0.2491, -0.2471, -0.2368, -0.2102, -0.2337, -0.0521, -0.0158, 0.0961, 0.0837, 0.0, 0.0071, 0.0148, 0.1103, 0.0915, 0.0846, 0.1194, 0.1076, 0.0713, 0.0935, 0.1769, 0.2083, 0.2006, 0.23, 0.1859, 0.1918, 0.2082, 0.1636, 0.1928, 0.1061, 0.0867, 0.1353, 0.1053, 0.2047, 0.1538, 0.1485, 0.1192, 0.0716, 0.0403, -0.0413, -0.0517, 0.0007, -0.0408, -0.0031, -0.0031, 0.0122, 0.0226, 0.0016, 0.0126, 0.005, 0.0143, 0.0289, 0.0313, 0.0303, 0.0304, -0.0192, -0.0341, -0.0267, -0.0781, -0.0644, -0.0068, 0.0002, 0.0, 0.0007, 0.0007, 0.0004, 0.0033, 0.002, -0.0034, -0.0034, 0.0399, 0.0288, -0.0026, -0.0227, -0.0476, -0.0546, -0.0336, 0.0282, 0.0405, 0.0606, 0.0788, 0.0788, 0.0792, 0.1624, 0.1807, 0.2084, 0.1694, 0.1728, 0.1761, 0.1735, 0.1016, 0.146, 0.1266, -0.0685, -0.1042, -0.0301, 0.0051, -0.0062, -0.0061, -0.0417, -0.0353, -0.0353, -0.055, -0.0688, -0.0537, -0.0686, -0.0852, -0.0049, -0.0188, -0.0522, -0.0684, -0.0758, -0.1114, -0.0597, -0.0719, -0.1046, -0.0569, -0.0543, -0.0469, -0.0799, -0.1001, -0.0852, -0.0865, -0.0718, -0.0448, -0.0631, -0.0569, -0.0443, 0.025, -0.0518, -0.0601, -0.0878, -0.0534, -0.0218, 0.0121, 0.0121, 0.0246]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1965974018814869915", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-11T03:01:46+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "~42% of the stock is now sold short and they're trapped if buying pressure continued", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish HIMS: 42% short float trapped, continued buying pressure could trigger parabolic squeeze.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Analysis is off. \n\nFor $HIMS it’s mainly because short sellers shorted another 2.5%+ of the float \nto prevent the stock from breaking out from $50 and triggering a parabolic squeeze.\n\n~42% of the stock is now sold short and they’re trapped if buying pressure continued. https://t.co/QvgQu4MQod", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Looks like $HIMS buyers that bought from $41 up to yesterday’s $47 is deciding to sell the news today\n\n$HIMS now flat on the testosterone announcement\n\nStill a lot of traders in this name, many ppl out there don’t plan to hold until 2030 https://t.co/ZZ8vxgSAq6", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.07689334759078936, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07689334759078936, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06865166700453629, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06865166700453629, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008241680586253075, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008241680586253075, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07225660354998276, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07225660354998276, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0725912164931296, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0725912164931296, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0003346129431468503, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0003346129431468503, "ret_p1w": 0.08578057545181794, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08578057545181794, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07874013193195561, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07874013193195561, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007040443519862327, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007040443519862327, "ret_p1m": 0.042310713145737644, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.042310713145737644, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04656773856677432, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04656773856677432, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.004257025421036675, "bench_c_p1m": -0.004257025421036675, "ret_p3m": -0.2306800427723682, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2306800427723682, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.27219834876790217, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.27219834876790217, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.041518305995533966, "bench_c_p3m": 0.041518305995533966, "ret_p6m": -0.6959041676674473, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.6959041676674473, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.724197353375478, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.724197353375478, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.028293185708030633, "bench_c_p6m": 0.028293185708030633, "price_path": [0.1549, 0.1445, 0.1799, 0.1799, 0.2407, -0.1889, -0.1702, -0.2, -0.1059, -0.0454, -0.0369, -0.0734, -0.0831, -0.073, -0.073, -0.0645, -0.0541, -0.01, -0.0288, -0.0748, 0.0052, -0.0251, 0.0017, -0.0342, -0.0267, -0.0804, -0.0338, 0.1209, 0.1074, 0.1138, 0.1337, 0.1644, 0.266, 0.2786, 0.2085, 0.2239, 0.0726, -0.0122, -0.0137, 0.0035, -0.0344, -0.0734, -0.0663, -0.0895, -0.1109, -0.1287, -0.1851, -0.1619, -0.1507, -0.1389, -0.1694, -0.1238, -0.1497, -0.1476, -0.1818, -0.1818, -0.1976, -0.141, -0.0705, -0.0647, -0.041, -0.0767, -0.0769, 0.0, 0.0723, 0.0425, -0.0168, -0.0272, 0.0858, 0.1171, 0.1148, 0.0819, 0.0288, 0.0601, 0.1283, 0.1422, 0.0958, 0.0879, 0.118, 0.0151, 0.058, 0.12, 0.1238, 0.1254, 0.0423, 0.0574, 0.0437, 0.2125, 0.1428, -0.0383, -0.0077, -0.0464, -0.0831, -0.0632, -0.0576, -0.0682, -0.0896, -0.0991, -0.1488, -0.1217, -0.1424, -0.1733, -0.1551, -0.1978, -0.2073, -0.2069, -0.232, -0.2461, -0.3035, -0.2855, -0.3126, -0.2995, -0.3078, -0.3505, -0.3294, -0.2701, -0.2834, -0.2581, -0.2581, -0.2318, -0.2753, -0.2985, -0.2838, -0.2268, -0.2427, -0.2442, -0.2307, -0.2682, -0.2703, -0.2811, -0.2997, -0.2879, -0.3244, -0.3282, -0.313, -0.3228, -0.3277, -0.3302, -0.3302, -0.3371, -0.3412, -0.3617, -0.3727, -0.3727, -0.3545, -0.3294, -0.3149, -0.3149, -0.3456, -0.3878, -0.3752, -0.3779, -0.3949, -0.3966, -0.3937, -0.3937, -0.4113, -0.4418, -0.4104, -0.4277, -0.415, -0.4266, -0.4461, -0.4229, -0.4766, -0.4892, -0.5066, -0.5286, -0.5464, -0.5553, -0.6265, -0.6669, -0.6776, -0.6947, -0.6851, -0.6851, -0.6857, -0.694, -0.6944, -0.698, -0.7003, -0.7013, -0.6944, -0.6986, -0.7195, -0.6816, -0.6944, -0.6822, -0.6932, -0.6959]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1988235288569921638", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-11T13:20:07+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS should be way up from this $7-9B projection", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS; ARR blew away expectations and stock should be way up from current $7-9B valuation on path to $100B.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Asmallfish5 Yeah I was saying in my path to $100B they just needed to do $9-11B ARR, and they hit that projection.\n\nIncredible hold, and even through 10% potential ATM, $NBIS should be way up from this $7-9B projection (I was hoping for $5B+, but this blew away my expectation)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit It trades at only 3x 26 ARR now, but some people are scared by a 10% potential dilution, LOL", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Asmallfish5", "ret_m1d": 0.07562116645693662, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07562116645693662, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07790517779341222, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08367715698290779, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0022840113364756, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008055990525971168, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07689298098696984, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07689298098696984, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07744946946558229, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07111371851615012, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005564884786124491, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005779262470819724, "ret_p1w": -0.11426335517212038, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11426335517212038, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08070553613602638, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09333522120495286, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.033557819036094005, "bench_c_p1w": -0.020928133967167528, "ret_p1m": -0.08442579514531079, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08442579514531079, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0911169579698673, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10955721246618133, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006691162824556507, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02513141732087054, "ret_p3m": -0.15769910540088283, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15769910540088283, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17184363692646742, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1746409985754659, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014144531525584592, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016941893174583056, "ret_p6m": 0.9085305616135924, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.9085305616135924, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.8279910769496042, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.8743308936187839, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08053948466398819, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03419966799480845, "price_path": [-0.3303, -0.2994, -0.2904, -0.3427, -0.34, -0.3526, -0.3252, -0.315, -0.3105, -0.3142, -0.2952, -0.3316, -0.3316, -0.3571, -0.3578, -0.365, -0.3595, -0.3733, -0.0636, -0.0864, -0.1275, -0.1155, -0.1102, -0.1251, -0.0796, -0.0792, -0.0285, 0.0428, 0.0546, 0.1077, 0.056, 0.0536, 0.0783, 0.0983, 0.131, 0.2314, 0.252, 0.2223, 0.1514, 0.1935, 0.2976, 0.2677, 0.3252, 0.2537, 0.231, 0.2037, 0.1098, 0.0663, 0.0202, -0.0352, 0.0385, 0.1471, 0.2271, 0.1918, 0.2238, 0.2148, 0.2798, 0.1785, 0.0814, 0.1446, 0.0706, 0.0886, 0.0756, 0.0, -0.0769, -0.1329, -0.1827, -0.1589, -0.1143, -0.0699, -0.172, -0.1855, -0.101, -0.1305, -0.0737, -0.0737, -0.0719, -0.0203, -0.0564, -0.0323, 0.0057, -0.0409, -0.0185, -0.0568, -0.0844, -0.0777, -0.1421, -0.2062, -0.2081, -0.2619, -0.2361, -0.1248, -0.0879, -0.1193, -0.1085, -0.1085, -0.1431, -0.1583, -0.1668, -0.1811, -0.1811, -0.12, -0.0919, -0.0194, -0.0588, -0.0481, -0.042, 0.05, 0.0314, -0.0023, 0.0163, 0.0637, 0.0637, -0.0287, -0.0328, -0.0525, -0.0755, -0.1053, -0.0426, -0.0175, -0.0715, -0.1666, -0.1375, -0.12, -0.194, -0.2773, -0.1577, -0.0914, -0.102, -0.1331, -0.1222, -0.0412, -0.0412, -0.046, -0.0041, 0.0527, -0.0421, -0.0158, 0.0035, 0.0382, 0.026, -0.1079, -0.1097, -0.1509, -0.0434, -0.0643, -0.1261, -0.0712, -0.0566, 0.0956, 0.0569, 0.105, 0.2703, 0.138, 0.1599, 0.1888, 0.1507, 0.1167, 0.1241, 0.1259, 0.0367, -0.0137, -0.0974, 0.0151, -0.0026, 0.0646, 0.0646, 0.101, 0.1485, 0.2229, 0.3337, 0.4182, 0.512, 0.5842, 0.6315, 0.6175, 0.5373, 0.557, 0.5315, 0.5275, 0.5367, 0.4396, 0.4181, 0.3257, 0.3812, 0.3523, 0.5113, 0.7259, 0.721, 0.9085]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1978965161995309375", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-16T23:23:56+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS 38% when usually sweet spot is 60-75%", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AI infra stocks (NBIS, MSFT, GOOGL, TSM): low institutional ownership + strong fundamentals mean retail panic-selling is a gift for hedge funds; ignore macro noise.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thanks, it's just that there's been an absolute surge in demand for AI compute (Data Centers, Power) from Mag7, and institutional ownership in a lot of these companies are extremely low (eg. $NBIS 38% when usually sweet spot is 60-75%).\n\nRetail might be panic selling-off the future infra of $MSFT or $GOOGL to institutions for wrong reasons (eg. looking at $AMSL for buildout slowdown when AMSL does fab expansions, while ignoring $TSM blowout forward revenue/margin increase literally today) or because of a shock from specific regional banks. If regular people don't understand macro, noise like this help hedge funds accumulate without moving prices much.\n\nIt's better to look if fundamentals + growth are in-tact (it is, and we've underestimated demand before), and ignore hit-pieces such as the ORCL news or short term macro shocks.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Love this analysis brotha. Thank you for putting it together 🙏", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "pepemoonboy", "ret_m1d": 0.02267555993796533, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02267555993796533, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01581860110359723, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011902161523182242, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006856958834368099, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010773398414783086, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07802339404005643, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07802339404005643, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08369978784035259, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.08476773904329915, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0056763938002961645, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006744345003242724, "ret_p1w": -0.13719113400370397, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.13719113400370397, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.15402333776629273, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.14665070334351338, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01683220376258876, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009459569339809404, "ret_p1m": -0.32103380775426504, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.32103380775426504, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3381232903283874, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2961586215163875, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01708948257412235, "bench_c_p1m": -0.024875186237877545, "ret_p3m": -0.14312419115179986, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14312419115179986, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.19637570195634846, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17026278172492992, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.053251510804548596, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02713859057313006, "ret_p6m": 0.17823472157019693, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.17823472157019693, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.14389092702084683, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.17373528573990238, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.034343794549350104, "bench_c_p6m": 0.004499435830294551, "price_path": [-0.5744, -0.5854, -0.5783, -0.5761, -0.5825, -0.5713, -0.5904, -0.5831, -0.5576, -0.5774, -0.5597, -0.5516, -0.5523, -0.4692, -0.441, -0.4291, -0.3878, -0.426, -0.4436, -0.4179, -0.4104, -0.4539, -0.4516, -0.4621, -0.4394, -0.4309, -0.4272, -0.4303, -0.4145, -0.4447, -0.4447, -0.4659, -0.4664, -0.4724, -0.4679, -0.4794, -0.222, -0.241, -0.2751, -0.2652, -0.2607, -0.2732, -0.2354, -0.235, -0.1929, -0.1336, -0.1239, -0.0797, -0.1227, -0.1247, -0.1042, -0.0875, -0.0604, 0.023, 0.0401, 0.0154, -0.0434, -0.0085, 0.078, 0.0532, 0.1009, 0.0415, 0.0227, 0.0, -0.078, -0.1141, -0.1525, -0.1985, -0.1372, -0.047, 0.0194, -0.0098, 0.0167, 0.0093, 0.0632, -0.0209, -0.1016, -0.0491, -0.1105, -0.0956, -0.1064, -0.1692, -0.2331, -0.2797, -0.321, -0.3012, -0.2641, -0.2273, -0.3121, -0.3233, -0.2531, -0.2776, -0.2304, -0.2304, -0.2289, -0.186, -0.2161, -0.196, -0.1645, -0.2032, -0.1846, -0.2164, -0.2394, -0.2337, -0.2873, -0.3405, -0.3421, -0.3868, -0.3653, -0.2729, -0.2423, -0.2683, -0.2593, -0.2593, -0.2881, -0.3007, -0.3078, -0.3197, -0.3197, -0.2689, -0.2455, -0.1853, -0.2181, -0.2092, -0.2041, -0.1277, -0.1431, -0.1712, -0.1557, -0.1163, -0.1163, -0.193, -0.1964, -0.2129, -0.232, -0.2567, -0.2046, -0.1838, -0.2286, -0.3076, -0.2835, -0.2689, -0.3304, -0.3996, -0.3002, -0.2451, -0.254, -0.2798, -0.2707, -0.2034, -0.2034, -0.2074, -0.1726, -0.1254, -0.2042, -0.1823, -0.1663, -0.1375, -0.1476, -0.2589, -0.2603, -0.2945, -0.2053, -0.2226, -0.274, -0.2284, -0.2163, -0.0898, -0.1219, -0.082, 0.0553, -0.0545, -0.0364, -0.0124, -0.0441, -0.0723, -0.0661, -0.0646, -0.1387, -0.1806, -0.2502, -0.1567, -0.1714, -0.1156, -0.1156, -0.0853, -0.0458, 0.0159, 0.108, 0.1782]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1978965161995309375", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-16T23:23:56+00:00", "symbol": "MSFT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Retail might be panic selling-off the future infra of $MSFT or $GOOGL to institutions for wrong reasons", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AI infra stocks (NBIS, MSFT, GOOGL, TSM): low institutional ownership + strong fundamentals mean retail panic-selling is a gift for hedge funds; ignore macro noise.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSFT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thanks, it's just that there's been an absolute surge in demand for AI compute (Data Centers, Power) from Mag7, and institutional ownership in a lot of these companies are extremely low (eg. $NBIS 38% when usually sweet spot is 60-75%).\n\nRetail might be panic selling-off the future infra of $MSFT or $GOOGL to institutions for wrong reasons (eg. looking at $AMSL for buildout slowdown when AMSL does fab expansions, while ignoring $TSM blowout forward revenue/margin increase literally today) or because of a shock from specific regional banks. If regular people don't understand macro, noise like this help hedge funds accumulate without moving prices much.\n\nIt's better to look if fundamentals + growth are in-tact (it is, and we've underestimated demand before), and ignore hit-pieces such as the ORCL news or short term macro shocks.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Love this analysis brotha. Thank you for putting it together 🙏", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "pepemoonboy", "ret_m1d": 0.003557491173953542, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.003557491173953542, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0032994676604145567, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0032994676604145567, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006856958834368099, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006856958834368099, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0038506672486968707, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0038506672486968707, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0018257265515992938, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0018257265515992938, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0056763938002961645, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0056763938002961645, "ret_p1w": 0.01749385959999472, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01749385959999472, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0006616558374059611, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0006616558374059611, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01683220376258876, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01683220376258876, "ret_p1m": -0.002795077307181315, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.002795077307181315, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.019884559881303665, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.019884559881303665, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01708948257412235, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01708948257412235, "ret_p3m": -0.07829998215371681, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07829998215371681, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1315514929582654, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1315514929582654, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.053251510804548596, "bench_c_p3m": 0.053251510804548596, "ret_p6m": -0.2720779022375446, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2720779022375446, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3064216967868947, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3064216967868947, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.034343794549350104, "bench_c_p6m": 0.034343794549350104, "price_path": [-0.0047, -0.014, -0.0128, -0.0031, 0.0025, 0.0001, 0.0002, 0.0015, 0.0411, 0.0228, 0.0453, 0.0299, 0.0244, 0.0164, 0.0187, 0.0182, 0.0328, 0.0159, 0.0196, 0.0151, 0.0091, -0.0052, -0.0131, -0.0144, -0.0086, -0.0144, -0.0187, -0.0095, -0.0039, -0.0096, -0.0096, -0.0127, -0.0122, -0.0071, -0.0325, -0.0262, -0.0258, -0.022, -0.0207, -0.0033, 0.0073, -0.005, -0.0031, -0.0062, 0.0124, 0.0056, -0.0047, -0.0029, -0.009, -0.0003, 0.0058, 0.0124, 0.0158, 0.0081, 0.0112, 0.0332, 0.0242, 0.0259, 0.0211, -0.0013, 0.0048, 0.0038, 0.0036, 0.0, 0.0039, 0.0101, 0.0118, 0.0175, 0.0175, 0.0235, 0.0389, 0.0595, 0.0585, 0.0277, 0.0121, 0.0106, 0.0053, -0.0087, -0.0284, -0.0289, -0.011, -0.0057, -0.0009, -0.0163, -0.0028, -0.0081, -0.0348, -0.0479, -0.0631, -0.0755, -0.0718, -0.0659, -0.0493, -0.0493, -0.0365, -0.0468, -0.0404, -0.0645, -0.0584, -0.0538, -0.0384, -0.0365, -0.0628, -0.0532, -0.0629, -0.0702, -0.0671, -0.0676, -0.0522, -0.0484, -0.0504, -0.0466, -0.0443, -0.0443, -0.0449, -0.0461, -0.0454, -0.0529, -0.0529, -0.0739, -0.074, -0.0629, -0.0532, -0.0637, -0.0614, -0.0656, -0.0783, -0.1004, -0.1057, -0.0995, -0.0995, -0.1099, -0.1303, -0.1165, -0.0875, -0.0791, -0.0589, -0.0568, -0.1511, -0.1574, -0.1709, -0.1947, -0.1889, -0.2291, -0.2145, -0.1901, -0.1907, -0.2081, -0.2131, -0.2141, -0.2141, -0.2228, -0.2175, -0.2179, -0.2203, -0.2454, -0.2365, -0.2137, -0.2115, -0.2292, -0.2177, -0.2072, -0.2047, -0.1939, -0.1973, -0.1964, -0.2036, -0.2053, -0.2113, -0.2236, -0.215, -0.2161, -0.231, -0.2365, -0.2505, -0.2483, -0.2684, -0.2717, -0.2817, -0.2998, -0.2955, -0.2735, -0.275, -0.267, -0.267, -0.2681, -0.2693, -0.2653, -0.2678, -0.2721]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1978965161995309375", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-16T23:23:56+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Retail might be panic selling-off the future infra of $MSFT or $GOOGL to institutions for wrong reasons", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AI infra stocks (NBIS, MSFT, GOOGL, TSM): low institutional ownership + strong fundamentals mean retail panic-selling is a gift for hedge funds; ignore macro noise.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thanks, it's just that there's been an absolute surge in demand for AI compute (Data Centers, Power) from Mag7, and institutional ownership in a lot of these companies are extremely low (eg. $NBIS 38% when usually sweet spot is 60-75%).\n\nRetail might be panic selling-off the future infra of $MSFT or $GOOGL to institutions for wrong reasons (eg. looking at $AMSL for buildout slowdown when AMSL does fab expansions, while ignoring $TSM blowout forward revenue/margin increase literally today) or because of a shock from specific regional banks. If regular people don't understand macro, noise like this help hedge funds accumulate without moving prices much.\n\nIt's better to look if fundamentals + growth are in-tact (it is, and we've underestimated demand before), and ignore hit-pieces such as the ORCL news or short term macro shocks.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Love this analysis brotha. Thank you for putting it together 🙏", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "pepemoonboy", "ret_m1d": -0.0017099984353471376, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0017099984353471376, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.008566957269715236, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012483396850130224, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006856958834368099, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010773398414783086, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.007317288806048428, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.007317288806048428, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.001640895005752263, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0005729438028057032, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0056763938002961645, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006744345003242724, "ret_p1w": 0.006442359253402419, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.006442359253402419, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.010389844509186341, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.003017210086406985, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01683220376258876, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009459569339809404, "ret_p1m": 0.09922055984189404, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09922055984189404, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08213107726777169, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12409574607977159, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01708948257412235, "bench_c_p1m": -0.024875186237877545, "ret_p3m": 0.3369512967629915, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3369512967629915, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2836997859584429, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.30981270618986145, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.053251510804548596, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02713859057313006, "ret_p6m": 0.26330615698480764, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.26330615698480764, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.22896236243545753, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2588067211545131, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.034343794549350104, "bench_c_p6m": 0.004499435830294551, "price_path": [-0.2447, -0.2398, -0.2442, -0.2365, -0.2325, -0.2348, -0.2222, -0.2191, -0.2375, -0.2485, -0.2251, -0.2265, -0.2209, -0.2192, -0.1997, -0.2014, -0.1921, -0.1976, -0.1937, -0.1899, -0.1914, -0.1991, -0.2081, -0.2063, -0.1812, -0.1716, -0.177, -0.1756, -0.1591, -0.1541, -0.1541, -0.1603, -0.0835, -0.077, -0.0663, -0.0693, -0.047, -0.0489, -0.0441, -0.0424, 0.0006, -0.0012, -0.0077, 0.0023, 0.013, 0.0043, 0.0008, -0.0172, -0.0225, -0.0196, -0.0295, -0.0332, -0.0261, -0.0229, -0.0243, -0.0041, -0.0227, -0.0272, -0.0395, -0.0592, -0.0291, -0.0239, -0.0017, 0.0, 0.0073, 0.0202, -0.004, 0.0009, 0.0064, 0.0336, 0.0708, 0.0637, 0.0919, 0.1194, 0.1182, 0.1283, 0.1037, 0.1306, 0.1324, 0.1088, 0.1537, 0.1585, 0.1402, 0.1078, 0.0992, 0.1335, 0.1305, 0.1644, 0.1511, 0.1917, 0.2669, 0.2862, 0.2724, 0.2724, 0.2733, 0.2522, 0.2559, 0.2711, 0.2631, 0.2776, 0.2484, 0.2618, 0.2742, 0.2433, 0.2308, 0.2265, 0.22, 0.1808, 0.2036, 0.2223, 0.2327, 0.2509, 0.2499, 0.2499, 0.2476, 0.2478, 0.2489, 0.2455, 0.2455, 0.2541, 0.2596, 0.2509, 0.2813, 0.295, 0.3075, 0.3206, 0.337, 0.3364, 0.3243, 0.3132, 0.3132, 0.2814, 0.3067, 0.3153, 0.305, 0.3262, 0.3313, 0.3371, 0.346, 0.345, 0.3677, 0.3518, 0.3253, 0.3182, 0.2848, 0.2906, 0.2677, 0.2374, 0.2296, 0.2166, 0.2166, 0.2019, 0.2071, 0.2052, 0.2534, 0.2395, 0.2372, 0.2451, 0.2232, 0.2406, 0.2198, 0.2081, 0.2063, 0.1973, 0.1879, 0.22, 0.2227, 0.2293, 0.2088, 0.2037, 0.2168, 0.2381, 0.2253, 0.223, 0.1986, 0.2029, 0.1566, 0.1585, 0.1187, 0.0925, 0.0891, 0.1451, 0.1843, 0.1778, 0.1778, 0.1946, 0.2164, 0.2636, 0.2683, 0.2633]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1978965161995309375", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-10-16T23:23:56+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSM blowout forward revenue/margin increase literally today", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AI infra stocks (NBIS, MSFT, GOOGL, TSM): low institutional ownership + strong fundamentals mean retail panic-selling is a gift for hedge funds; ignore macro noise.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thanks, it's just that there's been an absolute surge in demand for AI compute (Data Centers, Power) from Mag7, and institutional ownership in a lot of these companies are extremely low (eg. $NBIS 38% when usually sweet spot is 60-75%).\n\nRetail might be panic selling-off the future infra of $MSFT or $GOOGL to institutions for wrong reasons (eg. looking at $AMSL for buildout slowdown when AMSL does fab expansions, while ignoring $TSM blowout forward revenue/margin increase literally today) or because of a shock from specific regional banks. If regular people don't understand macro, noise like this help hedge funds accumulate without moving prices much.\n\nIt's better to look if fundamentals + growth are in-tact (it is, and we've underestimated demand before), and ignore hit-pieces such as the ORCL news or short term macro shocks.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Love this analysis brotha. Thank you for putting it together 🙏", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "pepemoonboy", "ret_m1d": 0.01624206556204988, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01624206556204988, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00938510672768178, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00938510672768178, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006856958834368099, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006856958834368099, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.015875169925897326, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.015875169925897326, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02155156372619349, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02155156372619349, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0056763938002961645, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0056763938002961645, "ret_p1w": -0.03038284766482957, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03038284766482957, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04721505142741833, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04721505142741833, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01683220376258876, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01683220376258876, "ret_p1m": -0.05009338184747769, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05009338184747769, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06718286442160004, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06718286442160004, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01708948257412235, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01708948257412235, "ret_p3m": 0.10760450308361191, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10760450308361191, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05435299227906332, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05435299227906332, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.053251510804548596, "bench_c_p3m": 0.053251510804548596, "ret_p6m": 0.24282145916799536, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.24282145916799536, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.20847766461864525, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.20847766461864525, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.034343794549350104, "bench_c_p6m": 0.034343794549350104, "price_path": [-0.2059, -0.22, -0.201, -0.1968, -0.1835, -0.1929, -0.1977, -0.1924, -0.1967, -0.218, -0.2054, -0.2271, -0.2308, -0.1934, -0.196, -0.1951, -0.1878, -0.1973, -0.1988, -0.2058, -0.1974, -0.2264, -0.24, -0.2442, -0.2254, -0.2168, -0.2063, -0.2045, -0.2078, -0.2324, -0.2324, -0.2407, -0.2307, -0.218, -0.1908, -0.1782, -0.1658, -0.1341, -0.1392, -0.1378, -0.131, -0.126, -0.1236, -0.1041, -0.1166, -0.0907, -0.0571, -0.0638, -0.0773, -0.0883, -0.0887, -0.0685, -0.0379, -0.0391, -0.0255, 0.0085, -0.0194, 0.0156, 0.0001, -0.064, 0.0102, -0.013, 0.0162, 0.0, -0.0159, -0.0071, -0.0178, -0.0366, -0.0304, -0.0163, -0.0053, 0.0056, 0.0175, 0.0113, 0.002, 0.0167, -0.0193, -0.0207, -0.0354, -0.0445, -0.0152, -0.0289, -0.0307, -0.0588, -0.0501, -0.0595, -0.0731, -0.0583, -0.0745, -0.0826, -0.0507, -0.0506, -0.033, -0.033, -0.0278, -0.0406, -0.0258, -0.0146, -0.023, -0.0171, 0.0068, 0.0119, 0.0344, 0.0195, -0.0234, -0.0378, -0.0407, -0.0738, -0.048, -0.0337, -0.0192, -0.007, -0.0008, -0.0008, 0.0127, 0.0063, 0.0018, 0.0162, 0.0162, 0.0688, 0.0776, 0.095, 0.0657, 0.0635, 0.0823, 0.1095, 0.1076, 0.0939, 0.1425, 0.145, 0.145, 0.0941, 0.0906, 0.0948, 0.1198, 0.1126, 0.1314, 0.1447, 0.1355, 0.1054, 0.1415, 0.1228, 0.0893, 0.106, 0.1666, 0.1885, 0.2103, 0.251, 0.231, 0.2252, 0.2252, 0.2179, 0.2114, 0.2052, 0.2391, 0.2375, 0.29, 0.2966, 0.2601, 0.2526, 0.2343, 0.1809, 0.1953, 0.1833, 0.1333, 0.1661, 0.1607, 0.1857, 0.126, 0.1313, 0.1378, 0.1603, 0.1388, 0.1361, 0.1041, 0.135, 0.1511, 0.1662, 0.0936, 0.0957, 0.0614, 0.1333, 0.1452, 0.137, 0.137, 0.1461, 0.158, 0.2271, 0.2257, 0.2428]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1990503753091559925", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-17T19:34:11+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS is ramping up from $146M quarterly revenue -> $2.1B in slightly over 1Y time, which is just mind-numbing growth and only achievable in this decade because of $MSFT $META hyperscaler revenue funnel from AI. Once in a decade opportunity", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long NBIS on mind-numbing revenue ramp to $2.1B quarterly / $8B ARR, powered by MSFT+META hyperscaler AI spend; once-in-a-decade opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Nobody said here $NBIS would do $8B realized revenue in 2026. Not quite sure what you're trying to say or argue. \n\nI've been consistent on $8B midpoint ARR after earnings with likely ~$3.6B-4.2B realized revenue and ~$2.1B quarterly revenue Q4. \n\n$NBIS is ramping up from $146M quarterly revenue -> $2.1B in slightly over 1Y time, which is just mind-numbing growth and only achievable in this decade because of $MSFT $META hyperscaler revenue funnel from AI. \n\nOnce in a decade opportunity, but the distinction you're making isn't necessary since I haven't seen anyone make that confusion in the comments yet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit It will NOT have 8b rev in 26. It will have an annualized rate of 8b at the END of 26. Important distinction", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PantaRhei68", "ret_m1d": -0.028378720006289493, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.028378720006289493, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03778276560027605, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02972795147062146, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.009404045593986554, "bench_c_m1d": 0.001349231464331968, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.053035559206290994, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.053035559206290994, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.061433111976391674, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04736900806043187, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00839755277010068, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005666551145859122, "ret_p1w": 0.0688531976949256, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0688531976949256, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06425634256313084, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.052393347345248475, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004596855131794753, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01645985034967712, "ret_p1m": -0.058502049456895966, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.058502049456895966, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07833175621938437, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10770162010072437, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019829706762488408, "bench_c_p1m": 0.049199570643828405, "ret_p3m": 0.04361479243531097, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04361479243531097, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.01715551154792272, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.009155934671352783, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026459280887388248, "bench_c_p3m": 0.034458857763958184, "ret_p6m": 1.083158799922375, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.083158799922375, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.9679167086598945, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.0343549651656587, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11524209126248053, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04880383475671635, "price_path": [-0.2153, -0.2303, -0.1977, -0.1856, -0.1803, -0.1847, -0.1621, -0.2054, -0.2054, -0.2356, -0.2365, -0.2451, -0.2385, -0.2549, 0.1133, 0.0862, 0.0373, 0.0515, 0.0579, 0.0401, 0.0942, 0.0947, 0.155, 0.2398, 0.2538, 0.3169, 0.2554, 0.2526, 0.2819, 0.3058, 0.3446, 0.4639, 0.4885, 0.4531, 0.3689, 0.4189, 0.5427, 0.5071, 0.5755, 0.4905, 0.4635, 0.431, 0.3194, 0.2677, 0.2128, 0.147, 0.2347, 0.3638, 0.4588, 0.417, 0.455, 0.4443, 0.5215, 0.4011, 0.2856, 0.3608, 0.2729, 0.2943, 0.2788, 0.1889, 0.0975, 0.0308, -0.0284, 0.0, 0.053, 0.1057, -0.0156, -0.0316, 0.0689, 0.0337, 0.1013, 0.1013, 0.1034, 0.1648, 0.1218, 0.1505, 0.1956, 0.1403, 0.1669, 0.1213, 0.0885, 0.0965, 0.0199, -0.0563, -0.0585, -0.1225, -0.0918, 0.0405, 0.0843, 0.0471, 0.0599, 0.0599, 0.0187, 0.0007, -0.0094, -0.0265, -0.0265, 0.0462, 0.0797, 0.1659, 0.119, 0.1317, 0.139, 0.2483, 0.2262, 0.1861, 0.2082, 0.2646, 0.2646, 0.1548, 0.1499, 0.1264, 0.0991, 0.0637, 0.1383, 0.1681, 0.1039, -0.0092, 0.0254, 0.0462, -0.0418, -0.1408, 0.0014, 0.0803, 0.0676, 0.0306, 0.0436, 0.1399, 0.1399, 0.1342, 0.184, 0.2516, 0.1389, 0.1702, 0.1931, 0.2342, 0.2198, 0.0606, 0.0585, 0.0095, 0.1372, 0.1125, 0.039, 0.1042, 0.1215, 0.3026, 0.2566, 0.3137, 0.5102, 0.353, 0.3789, 0.4134, 0.368, 0.3276, 0.3365, 0.3386, 0.2325, 0.1726, 0.073, 0.2068, 0.1857, 0.2656, 0.2656, 0.3089, 0.3654, 0.4538, 0.5856, 0.6861, 0.7976, 0.8835, 0.9396, 0.923, 0.8276, 0.8511, 0.8208, 0.816, 0.8269, 0.7116, 0.686, 0.5761, 0.6421, 0.6077, 0.7968, 1.0519, 1.0461, 1.269, 1.149, 1.0592, 1.1645, 1.0832]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1983099925639639254", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-28T09:14:01+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm bullish on the Neocloud sector like $CIFR and $IREN", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Neocloud sector, long CIFR/IREN/WLAC (moonshot); cautious/bearish on GRRR over suspicious $1.4B contract.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My point is nuanced and I think you're reading past that.\n\nI'm bullish on the Neocloud sector like $CIFR and $IREN. I chose $WLAC as my moonshot pick since it's a small $600M MC. \n\nI personally had every single Neocloud and miner possible in my portfolio, but I personally just decided to consolidate into ones I thought had lower downside risk and high upside. Given that it looked like execution + buildout was harder than anticipated with $ORCL. \n\nI'm can argue positives on every one of them aside from maybe $GRRR due to their $1.4B contract being a bit sus. But if you still have other miners, some are likely to succeed, but it's important to know the trade-offs and risks come time to margins at scale.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Dude you’re pitching a SPAC mini neocloud as a target winner while saying this", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cuantitative", "ret_m1d": 0.02905820930151659, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02905820930151659, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03170717261431277, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03886071900749599, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002648963312796182, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0098025097059794, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.018537021485767302, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.018537021485767302, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.019017408525663027, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02572343415840328, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004803870398957244, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007186412672635978, "ret_p1w": 0.12775557421707928, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12775557421707928, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14495927315261592, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15431533365046834, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017203698935536638, "bench_c_p1w": -0.026559759433389063, "ret_p1m": -0.04058113742963543, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04058113742963543, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.029839747543153994, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01962547687522853, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010741389886481434, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06020661430486396, "ret_p3m": -0.11973945387140184, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11973945387140184, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12586199875591864, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08218527657331509, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006122544884516801, "bench_c_p3m": -0.037554177298086744, "ret_p6m": -0.026052032778877132, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.026052032778877132, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.06709595482413055, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.07603647138972902, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04104392204525342, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04998443861085189, "price_path": [-0.7265, -0.753, -0.74, -0.749, -0.739, -0.756, -0.762, -0.7615, -0.7635, -0.7545, -0.7335, -0.739, -0.6969, -0.7114, -0.7019, -0.7044, -0.6804, -0.6673, -0.6433, -0.6498, -0.6483, -0.6172, -0.6172, -0.5832, -0.5937, -0.6293, -0.6232, -0.6132, -0.5381, -0.4865, -0.5005, -0.4564, -0.4564, -0.4233, -0.3798, -0.4063, -0.3848, -0.3006, -0.2911, -0.2916, -0.4158, -0.4254, -0.3662, -0.3692, -0.3687, -0.3081, -0.2635, -0.2315, -0.2109, -0.1182, -0.0987, -0.1498, 0.019, 0.0466, 0.0536, -0.0621, -0.0601, -0.0025, -0.0944, -0.1929, -0.1355, 0.0351, 0.0291, 0.0, -0.0185, -0.0446, -0.0656, 0.1403, 0.1278, 0.238, 0.0877, 0.0366, -0.0155, -0.0646, -0.1293, -0.252, -0.2806, -0.2811, -0.2695, -0.2675, -0.2705, -0.2911, -0.1628, -0.1222, -0.0406, -0.0406, 0.0195, -0.0135, -0.1162, -0.0666, -0.0065, -0.0341, -0.024, -0.02, -0.0741, -0.0541, -0.1458, -0.2615, -0.249, -0.2791, -0.241, -0.1879, -0.1814, -0.2029, -0.1874, -0.1874, -0.239, -0.2445, -0.269, -0.2605, -0.2605, -0.1884, -0.0902, -0.1212, -0.1944, -0.1708, -0.1668, -0.1142, -0.0857, -0.0917, -0.1222, -0.0581, -0.0581, -0.1022, -0.1122, -0.1288, -0.1197, -0.1738, -0.0606, -0.0496, -0.1132, -0.2004, -0.2079, -0.1854, -0.2861, -0.3637, -0.262, -0.1603, -0.1433, -0.1844, -0.1934, -0.1774, -0.1774, -0.2164, -0.2275, -0.2084, -0.266, -0.2375, -0.1423, -0.1678, -0.1743, -0.2184, -0.2104, -0.263, -0.1964, -0.241, -0.3176, -0.2831, -0.3006, -0.2931, -0.3131, -0.2946, -0.2415, -0.244, -0.265, -0.2665, -0.2981, -0.254, -0.2545, -0.2044, -0.2811, -0.3114, -0.398, -0.3552, -0.3667, -0.3577, -0.3577, -0.3312, -0.2981, -0.2275, -0.1804, -0.1718, -0.1102, -0.0757, -0.0982, -0.1313, -0.0296, -0.0336, -0.0962, -0.0261]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1983099925639639254", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-28T09:14:01+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm bullish on the Neocloud sector like $CIFR and $IREN", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Neocloud sector, long CIFR/IREN/WLAC (moonshot); cautious/bearish on GRRR over suspicious $1.4B contract.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My point is nuanced and I think you're reading past that.\n\nI'm bullish on the Neocloud sector like $CIFR and $IREN. I chose $WLAC as my moonshot pick since it's a small $600M MC. \n\nI personally had every single Neocloud and miner possible in my portfolio, but I personally just decided to consolidate into ones I thought had lower downside risk and high upside. Given that it looked like execution + buildout was harder than anticipated with $ORCL. \n\nI'm can argue positives on every one of them aside from maybe $GRRR due to their $1.4B contract being a bit sus. But if you still have other miners, some are likely to succeed, but it's important to know the trade-offs and risks come time to margins at scale.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Dude you’re pitching a SPAC mini neocloud as a target winner while saying this", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cuantitative", "ret_m1d": 0.04117269737606022, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04117269737606022, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0438216606888564, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0347564151049502, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002648963312796182, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006416282271110019, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03204101343589949, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03204101343589949, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.032521400475795215, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.015056642867497527, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004803870398957244, "bench_c_p1d": -0.016984370568401963, "ret_p1w": 0.06744631861535644, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06744631861535644, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08465001755089308, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07820319798033304, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017203698935536638, "bench_c_p1w": -0.010756879364976601, "ret_p1m": -0.2238064372926576, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2238064372926576, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.21306504740617616, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.22305156346971544, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010741389886481434, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0007548738229421481, "ret_p3m": -0.09195767433753699, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09195767433753699, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09808021922205379, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09696768099024378, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006122544884516801, "bench_c_p3m": 0.005010006652706789, "ret_p6m": -0.22476768969655248, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.22476768969655248, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2658116117418059, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.21857389043751385, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04104392204525342, "bench_c_p6m": -0.006193799259038624, "price_path": [-0.7419, -0.7533, -0.736, -0.7365, -0.7065, -0.7025, -0.7044, -0.7121, -0.7144, -0.716, -0.6943, -0.6846, -0.6683, -0.6999, -0.6834, -0.6862, -0.6567, -0.6296, -0.6317, -0.6419, -0.6309, -0.5758, -0.5758, -0.5336, -0.5481, -0.5814, -0.5811, -0.5804, -0.5163, -0.4612, -0.4737, -0.4559, -0.405, -0.4161, -0.3928, -0.4181, -0.381, -0.3287, -0.3308, -0.2448, -0.2584, -0.3294, -0.2642, -0.2482, -0.2458, -0.2467, -0.1916, -0.0748, -0.0119, -0.0373, 0.0229, -0.0425, 0.0276, 0.1144, 0.0891, -0.0095, -0.0272, -0.0513, -0.1157, -0.1697, -0.1051, 0.0077, 0.0412, 0.0, -0.032, -0.0673, -0.0268, 0.0854, 0.0674, 0.2241, 0.0727, -0.0006, -0.036, -0.0807, -0.1077, -0.2206, -0.2571, -0.2405, -0.2174, -0.2658, -0.3036, -0.323, -0.2232, -0.2395, -0.2238, -0.2238, -0.2341, -0.2232, -0.3412, -0.2957, -0.2558, -0.2837, -0.2576, -0.2496, -0.2964, -0.2961, -0.3571, -0.4316, -0.4138, -0.4588, -0.4265, -0.3605, -0.3265, -0.326, -0.3275, -0.3275, -0.3544, -0.3686, -0.3864, -0.3949, -0.3949, -0.3159, -0.2272, -0.2645, -0.3011, -0.2682, -0.2626, -0.1937, -0.1511, -0.1528, -0.1687, -0.0737, -0.0737, -0.1307, -0.1432, -0.1628, -0.092, -0.1612, -0.0389, 0.0083, -0.0413, -0.1391, -0.1496, -0.1286, -0.28, -0.3625, -0.3299, -0.2607, -0.3122, -0.3164, -0.3587, -0.3236, -0.3236, -0.3436, -0.3259, -0.3065, -0.3595, -0.3214, -0.2719, -0.2946, -0.2913, -0.344, -0.3369, -0.3776, -0.2977, -0.3572, -0.412, -0.3778, -0.3893, -0.3275, -0.3372, -0.3339, -0.28, -0.3118, -0.3238, -0.3326, -0.3385, -0.3246, -0.3412, -0.3363, -0.4, -0.4378, -0.4934, -0.4508, -0.4539, -0.443, -0.443, -0.4372, -0.4274, -0.41, -0.4063, -0.3701, -0.31, -0.2411, -0.2179, -0.2358, -0.2291, -0.2195, -0.2764, -0.2248]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1983099925639639254", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-10-28T09:14:01+00:00", "symbol": "GRRR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I can argue positives on every one of them aside from maybe $GRRR due to their $1.4B contract being a bit sus", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Neocloud sector, long CIFR/IREN/WLAC (moonshot); cautious/bearish on GRRR over suspicious $1.4B contract.", "resolved_tickers": ["GRRR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My point is nuanced and I think you're reading past that.\n\nI'm bullish on the Neocloud sector like $CIFR and $IREN. I chose $WLAC as my moonshot pick since it's a small $600M MC. \n\nI personally had every single Neocloud and miner possible in my portfolio, but I personally just decided to consolidate into ones I thought had lower downside risk and high upside. Given that it looked like execution + buildout was harder than anticipated with $ORCL. \n\nI'm can argue positives on every one of them aside from maybe $GRRR due to their $1.4B contract being a bit sus. But if you still have other miners, some are likely to succeed, but it's important to know the trade-offs and risks come time to margins at scale.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Dude you’re pitching a SPAC mini neocloud as a target winner while saying this", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cuantitative", "ret_m1d": 0.07320181854946917, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07320181854946917, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07585078186226535, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07585078186226535, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002648963312796182, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002648963312796182, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005728844835732216, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005728844835732216, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005248457795836492, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005248457795836492, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004803870398957244, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0004803870398957244, "ret_p1w": -0.05792487875254304, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05792487875254304, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0407211798170064, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0407211798170064, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017203698935536638, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017203698935536638, "ret_p1m": -0.1731381451574865, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1731381451574865, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.16239675527100506, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.16239675527100506, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010741389886481434, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010741389886481434, "ret_p3m": -0.09293443886707864, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09293443886707864, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09905698375159544, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09905698375159544, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006122544884516801, "bench_c_p3m": 0.006122544884516801, "ret_p6m": -0.1419478351684128, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1419478351684128, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.18299175721366623, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.18299175721366623, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04104392204525342, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04104392204525342, "price_path": [0.0538, 0.0172, 0.0433, 0.0382, 0.0376, 0.0013, 0.0859, 0.0713, 0.1031, 0.1203, 0.0694, 0.112, 0.1439, 0.1458, 0.1018, 0.1006, 0.1477, 0.105, 0.0802, 0.0286, 0.0216, 0.0535, 0.0535, 0.0643, 0.0751, 0.0885, 0.1012, 0.1585, 0.1763, 0.1305, 0.1426, 0.154, 0.1349, 0.1292, 0.2775, 0.3049, 0.3679, 0.3278, 0.2903, 0.2222, 0.1954, 0.2667, 0.2393, 0.175, 0.1808, 0.191, 0.1719, 0.3157, 0.2724, 0.2871, 0.2311, 0.1509, 0.1903, 0.1451, 0.1063, 0.0675, 0.0789, 0.0968, 0.1509, 0.0745, 0.0732, 0.0719, 0.0732, 0.0, 0.0057, -0.021, 0.0102, 0.042, -0.0579, -0.0446, -0.1044, -0.0974, -0.084, -0.1082, -0.1381, -0.1776, -0.1763, -0.1967, -0.1209, -0.1038, -0.1509, -0.1649, -0.168, -0.1801, -0.1731, -0.1731, -0.1241, -0.1706, -0.1617, -0.1101, -0.014, -0.0471, -0.0509, -0.07, -0.0968, -0.0528, -0.1254, -0.1941, -0.1744, -0.2425, -0.2527, -0.2183, -0.2362, -0.2546, -0.2635, -0.2635, -0.2833, -0.2877, -0.3036, -0.3049, -0.3049, -0.1986, -0.1706, -0.1572, -0.1617, -0.1687, -0.1916, -0.2132, -0.1801, -0.2018, -0.1031, -0.0942, -0.0942, -0.1324, -0.1069, -0.0586, -0.0929, -0.1248, -0.0611, -0.0745, -0.0108, -0.1012, -0.1604, -0.2158, -0.2731, -0.3151, -0.2521, -0.1903, -0.1814, -0.1961, -0.2209, -0.2018, -0.2018, -0.2489, -0.2731, -0.2833, -0.2775, -0.3081, -0.2699, -0.2673, -0.2565, -0.2476, -0.2069, -0.2686, -0.2693, -0.2183, -0.2005, -0.2317, -0.2775, -0.2508, -0.2871, -0.2998, -0.2686, -0.2756, -0.2954, -0.3024, -0.3393, -0.3024, -0.331, -0.3087, -0.3342, -0.3969, -0.3934, -0.3297, -0.3234, -0.2884, -0.2884, -0.31, -0.3285, -0.2979, -0.3323, -0.3017, -0.2603, -0.2482, -0.2081, -0.2031, -0.177, -0.0955, -0.112, -0.1419]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1971671030247924170", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-26T20:19:40+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I agree with $NBIS to $150-200+ though. There's way too many open interest calls OTM so now things should be interesting.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS to $150-200+ on heavy OTM call open interest creating upside pressure.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@babyfolio Oh yeah they're just for day/swing trading. I don't believe in half of them but overall, should be profitable.\n\nI agree with $NBIS to $150-200+ though. There's way too many open interest calls OTM so now things should be interesting.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Nice trades man, not sure about the rest, but $NBIS will retire us.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "babyfolio", "ret_m1d": 0.002228463323721286, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.002228463323721286, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007924971572570216, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011875573732601619, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0056965082488489305, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009647110408880333, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02339836902383552, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02339836902383552, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.020588002582695664, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.020182578916097205, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028103664411398555, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0032157901077383144, "ret_p1w": 0.18830090049526604, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.18830090049526604, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.17713474635574222, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.20336391087767414, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01116615413952382, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015063010382408093, "ret_p1m": 0.1646239912657952, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1646239912657952, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1292368023297037, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1731709492739053, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035387188936091496, "bench_c_p1m": -0.008546958008110117, "ret_p3m": -0.1538532977191014, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1538532977191014, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20008934883751617, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15641150455970876, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04623605111841478, "bench_c_p3m": 0.002558206840607369, "ret_p6m": 0.05988862358776492, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.05988862358776492, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06398086437572481, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09995188413772027, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.004092240787959889, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04006326054995535, "price_path": [-0.5329, -0.536, -0.5334, -0.5334, -0.5558, -0.5627, -0.5724, -0.5689, -0.5887, -0.5176, -0.503, -0.505, -0.5015, -0.5098, -0.5137, -0.5264, -0.5183, -0.5157, -0.523, -0.5102, -0.532, -0.5238, -0.4946, -0.5172, -0.497, -0.4877, -0.4885, -0.3936, -0.3614, -0.3478, -0.3006, -0.3442, -0.3643, -0.335, -0.3265, -0.3761, -0.3735, -0.3855, -0.3595, -0.3499, -0.3456, -0.3491, -0.3311, -0.3656, -0.3656, -0.3898, -0.3904, -0.3973, -0.3921, -0.4052, -0.1112, -0.1329, -0.1719, -0.1605, -0.1554, -0.1696, -0.1265, -0.1261, -0.0779, -0.0102, 0.0009, 0.0513, 0.0022, 0.0, 0.0234, 0.0424, 0.0734, 0.1687, 0.1883, 0.1601, 0.0929, 0.1328, 0.2316, 0.2032, 0.2578, 0.1899, 0.1683, 0.1424, 0.0533, 0.0121, -0.0318, -0.0843, -0.0143, 0.0888, 0.1646, 0.1312, 0.1616, 0.153, 0.2147, 0.1186, 0.0264, 0.0864, 0.0162, 0.0332, 0.0209, -0.0509, -0.1239, -0.1771, -0.2243, -0.2017, -0.1593, -0.1173, -0.2141, -0.2269, -0.1467, -0.1747, -0.1208, -0.1208, -0.1191, -0.0701, -0.1045, -0.0815, -0.0455, -0.0897, -0.0684, -0.1048, -0.131, -0.1246, -0.1858, -0.2466, -0.2484, -0.2994, -0.2749, -0.1694, -0.1344, -0.1641, -0.1539, -0.1539, -0.1867, -0.2011, -0.2092, -0.2228, -0.2228, -0.1648, -0.1381, -0.0693, -0.1067, -0.0966, -0.0907, -0.0034, -0.0211, -0.0531, -0.0354, 0.0096, 0.0096, -0.0781, -0.082, -0.1007, -0.1226, -0.1508, -0.0913, -0.0675, -0.1188, -0.209, -0.1814, -0.1648, -0.235, -0.3141, -0.2006, -0.1376, -0.1477, -0.1773, -0.1669, -0.09, -0.09, -0.0945, -0.0548, -0.0008, -0.0908, -0.0658, -0.0475, -0.0147, -0.0262, -0.1533, -0.155, -0.1941, -0.0921, -0.1119, -0.1706, -0.1185, -0.1046, 0.0399, 0.0032, 0.0487, 0.2057, 0.0801, 0.1008, 0.1283, 0.0921, 0.0599]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1984992208412721386", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-02T14:33:16+00:00", "symbol": "WYFI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm personally bullish on $WYFI", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Personally bullish WYFI; bearish SLNH — unproven model, dilution-dependent financing, capacity pipeline unlikely to translate to FCF, high downside risk.", "resolved_tickers": ["WYFI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm personally bullish on $WYFI. As for $SLNH,  People keep claiming 2.8 GW pipeline (3 GW capacity with $IREN, etc) but obviously there's downsides. \n\nSo for SLNH: from my understanding, they do curtailed energy monetization, where they build modular data-centers wind or solar farms that produce more energy than the grid can accept.\n\nThey're more of a developer/operator trying to build these sites and negotiate cheap energy access. But we haven't seen this type of model scaled or fully financed yet.\n\nIt's potential capacity. And that doesn't translate into high margins and FCF lot of time. \n\nThere's a reason it's a sub <$300m marketcap and started off sub $70M. If they can convince enough retail to give them money for dilution, and then use that to finance all their capacity pipelines and GPUs, then the risk/reward is worth it.\n\nOtherwise if something happens with the sector or people grow bearish on $SLNH, then the whole plan just goes disappears and the company goes under. \n\nThat's just my personal take, people can't really expect some $80m -> $280m microcap stock to not have downside risk and then just shill 2.8 GW capacity.\n\n---\n\n@_stockResearch Also once again $SLNH is the PERFECT EXAMPLE of why capacity pipelines does not mean FCF/Margins. \n\nYou can have 2.8 GW capacity lined up but that might not translate at scale and there's huge, huge downside risk. \n\nThat's exactly why they're a $280m market cap.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0419988593329752, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0419988593329752, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.043872120891184974, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04607295942301404, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004074100090038835, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06591047482925372, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06591047482925372, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.054056934886806185, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.039511940183539984, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "bench_c_p1d": -0.026398534645713734, "ret_p1w": -0.10944205431394682, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10944205431394682, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10666153555146363, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08831002940795141, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "bench_c_p1w": -0.021132024905995417, "ret_p1m": -0.4160024567493188, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.4160024567493188, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.4133537148500701, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.37423507535652467, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04176738139279412, "ret_p3m": -0.32495397980408924, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.32495397980408924, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3436134758451692, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2993686636741336, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "bench_c_p3m": -0.025585316129955626, "ret_p6m": -0.523605135784867, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.523605135784867, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5710227089976041, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5721692724530145, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04856413666814752, "price_path": [null, -0.5028, -0.531, -0.549, -0.5276, -0.469, -0.4531, -0.4761, -0.427, -0.4782, -0.4874, -0.4877, -0.4761, -0.4923, -0.4887, -0.4819, -0.4785, -0.4816, -0.4816, -0.451, -0.4877, -0.5015, -0.4991, -0.5095, -0.4362, -0.2771, -0.3694, -0.3884, -0.3872, -0.409, -0.3578, -0.2823, -0.1937, -0.141, -0.1395, -0.1953, -0.2768, -0.3001, -0.1803, -0.1671, -0.0193, 0.0325, -0.0435, 0.0402, 0.031, 0.0512, 0.0343, 0.0126, 0.1996, 0.1539, 0.1245, -0.0362, -0.072, -0.019, -0.0852, -0.149, -0.1114, 0.0435, 0.1334, 0.0374, 0.0356, -0.0123, 0.042, 0.0, -0.0659, -0.0601, -0.1401, -0.1186, -0.1094, -0.2088, -0.3029, -0.3909, -0.4482, -0.4405, -0.4831, -0.4663, -0.4669, -0.4684, -0.4306, -0.4537, -0.3924, -0.3924, -0.343, -0.3967, -0.416, -0.4044, -0.3538, -0.4044, -0.4099, -0.3881, -0.4129, -0.428, -0.4289, -0.5337, -0.5377, -0.5656, -0.5616, -0.4868, -0.4387, -0.4598, -0.4681, -0.4681, -0.492, -0.5052, -0.5233, -0.5156, -0.5156, -0.4841, -0.4611, -0.4568, -0.4865, -0.4574, -0.4568, -0.4273, -0.435, -0.3605, -0.4347, -0.4031, -0.4031, -0.4123, -0.3771, -0.3964, -0.3835, -0.3706, -0.3378, -0.3207, -0.325, -0.4019, -0.4025, -0.4344, -0.5055, -0.5586, -0.4309, -0.3915, -0.4074, -0.424, -0.4424, -0.4047, -0.4047, -0.4356, -0.4654, -0.4531, -0.4822, -0.4785, -0.4598, -0.431, -0.4326, -0.4834, -0.4678, -0.5208, -0.4807, -0.5113, -0.5248, -0.5153, -0.5135, -0.4746, -0.4859, -0.5172, -0.515, -0.5297, -0.5515, -0.5362, -0.5754, -0.5582, -0.5665, -0.5497, -0.6271, -0.6695, -0.6567, -0.6349, -0.6435, -0.6438, -0.6438, -0.6312, -0.6085, -0.5877, -0.5837, -0.5555, -0.5337, -0.5067, -0.5098, -0.5092, -0.4969, -0.4942, -0.5104, -0.4703, -0.4874, -0.4926, -0.4994, -0.5236]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1984992208412721386", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-02T14:33:16+00:00", "symbol": "SLNH", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if something happens with the sector or people grow bearish on $SLNH, then the whole plan just goes disappears and the company goes under", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Personally bullish WYFI; bearish SLNH — unproven model, dilution-dependent financing, capacity pipeline unlikely to translate to FCF, high downside risk.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLNH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm personally bullish on $WYFI. As for $SLNH,  People keep claiming 2.8 GW pipeline (3 GW capacity with $IREN, etc) but obviously there's downsides. \n\nSo for SLNH: from my understanding, they do curtailed energy monetization, where they build modular data-centers wind or solar farms that produce more energy than the grid can accept.\n\nThey're more of a developer/operator trying to build these sites and negotiate cheap energy access. But we haven't seen this type of model scaled or fully financed yet.\n\nIt's potential capacity. And that doesn't translate into high margins and FCF lot of time. \n\nThere's a reason it's a sub <$300m marketcap and started off sub $70M. If they can convince enough retail to give them money for dilution, and then use that to finance all their capacity pipelines and GPUs, then the risk/reward is worth it.\n\nOtherwise if something happens with the sector or people grow bearish on $SLNH, then the whole plan just goes disappears and the company goes under. \n\nThat's just my personal take, people can't really expect some $80m -> $280m microcap stock to not have downside risk and then just shill 2.8 GW capacity.\n\n---\n\n@_stockResearch Also once again $SLNH is the PERFECT EXAMPLE of why capacity pipelines does not mean FCF/Margins. \n\nYou can have 2.8 GW capacity lined up but that might not translate at scale and there's huge, huge downside risk. \n\nThat's exactly why they're a $280m market cap.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.13180516816331822, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.13180516816331822, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.11995162822087069, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.11995162822087069, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "bench_c_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "ret_p1w": -0.2664756630991095, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2664756630991095, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.26369514433662633, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.26369514433662633, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "ret_p1m": -0.5472779259031948, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5472779259031948, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5446291840039461, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5446291840039461, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "ret_p3m": -0.6676217869766208, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6676217869766208, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.6862812830177007, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.6862812830177007, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "ret_p6m": -0.6905444011564053, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6905444011564053, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.7379619743691423, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.7379619743691423, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "bench_c_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "price_path": [-0.8682, -0.8567, -0.8682, -0.8711, -0.851, -0.8424, -0.8367, -0.851, -0.851, -0.8711, -0.8768, -0.8711, -0.8625, -0.8625, -0.8567, -0.8625, -0.8653, -0.8653, -0.8653, -0.8596, -0.8567, -0.8682, -0.8625, -0.851, -0.8481, -0.8309, -0.7994, -0.7937, -0.7335, -0.7192, -0.7163, -0.7536, -0.6905, -0.3983, -0.3209, 0.0029, -0.1576, -0.212, -0.2779, -0.3266, -0.2722, -0.2923, -0.3639, -0.4842, -0.4183, -0.1891, -0.2636, -0.3095, -0.3524, -0.2006, 0.2292, 0.2006, 0.2665, 0.1318, -0.0029, -0.0229, 0.0258, -0.1261, -0.1691, -0.1662, -0.0774, -0.1318, 0.0, 0.0, -0.1318, -0.0143, -0.1289, -0.2521, -0.2665, -0.3209, -0.3954, -0.4699, -0.5215, -0.4871, -0.4441, -0.4785, -0.5415, -0.5673, -0.5215, -0.5501, -0.5587, -0.5587, -0.51, -0.533, -0.5473, -0.4957, -0.4527, -0.5244, -0.5415, -0.467, -0.4355, -0.3954, -0.4527, -0.5903, -0.5903, -0.6332, -0.6361, -0.5731, -0.5587, -0.5587, -0.5587, -0.5587, -0.596, -0.6218, -0.6533, -0.6648, -0.6648, -0.596, -0.5215, -0.49, -0.5014, -0.5072, -0.5244, -0.5301, -0.51, -0.5129, -0.5415, -0.5215, -0.5215, -0.5501, -0.5845, -0.6189, -0.6189, -0.6332, -0.6132, -0.6361, -0.6676, -0.6963, -0.6934, -0.6762, -0.7163, -0.7822, -0.7077, -0.6991, -0.7192, -0.7335, -0.7393, -0.7479, -0.7479, -0.7564, -0.7536, -0.7364, -0.7421, -0.7479, -0.7364, -0.7135, -0.7307, -0.7507, -0.7307, -0.7507, -0.7278, -0.7536, -0.7794, -0.7851, -0.7736, -0.7593, -0.7765, -0.7765, -0.7736, -0.7708, -0.7851, -0.7851, -0.7966, -0.788, -0.7966, -0.7736, -0.7966, -0.8223, -0.8252, -0.7966, -0.808, -0.7966, -0.7966, -0.7966, -0.7966, -0.7908, -0.7937, -0.7966, -0.7335, -0.6991, -0.6991, -0.6762, -0.6762, -0.5989, -0.6246, -0.5788, -0.616, -0.6562, -0.6762, -0.6905]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1983469915979096492", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-29T09:44:13+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if you're doing concentration $NBIS is probably the best", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses NBIS as the best concentrated growth bet.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@accounting_ds So it depends on your portfolio size. The smaller it is, the more I'd encourage concentration in growth.\n\nWhen you get to larger sizes, there's no reason to take that much risk, even if there's asymmetrical upside. \n\nBut if you're doing concentration $NBIS is probably the best", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Is it degen to be 75% $NBIS 😏", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "accounting_ds", "ret_m1d": -0.026139062213840547, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.026139062213840547, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.025658905834846535, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.028632781530138707, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0004801563789940122, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0024937193162981597, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007354102159606524, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007354102159606524, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0036440417774703526, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.009586312164789446, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010998143937076876, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01694041432439597, "ret_p1w": -0.06474819003132681, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06474819003132681, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05047673156413923, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.040068510182443506, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014271458467187581, "bench_c_p1w": -0.024679679848883307, "ret_p1m": -0.24308550282680963, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.24308550282680963, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.23186911410820743, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.22734893023129732, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0112163887186022, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01573657259551231, "ret_p3m": -0.2689048745001176, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2689048745001176, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2796511082372425, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2849101853490611, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01074623373712491, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01600531084894352, "ret_p6m": 0.25563552155877245, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.25563552155877245, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.21912952764087223, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.23967669516447643, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.036505993917900215, "bench_c_p6m": 0.015958826394296022, "price_path": [-0.5843, -0.567, -0.559, -0.5596, -0.4779, -0.4502, -0.4385, -0.3978, -0.4354, -0.4528, -0.4275, -0.4201, -0.4629, -0.4607, -0.471, -0.4486, -0.4403, -0.4366, -0.4396, -0.4241, -0.4539, -0.4539, -0.4747, -0.4752, -0.4811, -0.4767, -0.4879, -0.2349, -0.2535, -0.2871, -0.2773, -0.2729, -0.2851, -0.248, -0.2476, -0.2062, -0.1479, -0.1383, -0.0949, -0.1372, -0.1391, -0.1189, -0.1026, -0.0759, 0.0062, 0.023, -0.0013, -0.0592, -0.0248, 0.0603, 0.0358, 0.0828, 0.0244, 0.0058, -0.0165, -0.0932, -0.1287, -0.1664, -0.2117, -0.1514, -0.0627, 0.0026, -0.0261, 0.0, -0.0074, 0.0457, -0.037, -0.1164, -0.0647, -0.1252, -0.1105, -0.1211, -0.1829, -0.2457, -0.2915, -0.3322, -0.3127, -0.2763, -0.24, -0.3234, -0.3345, -0.2654, -0.2895, -0.2431, -0.2431, -0.2416, -0.1994, -0.229, -0.2093, -0.1783, -0.2163, -0.198, -0.2293, -0.2519, -0.2464, -0.299, -0.3514, -0.3529, -0.3969, -0.3758, -0.2849, -0.2548, -0.2803, -0.2715, -0.2715, -0.2998, -0.3122, -0.3192, -0.3309, -0.3309, -0.281, -0.258, -0.1987, -0.2309, -0.2222, -0.2172, -0.142, -0.1572, -0.1848, -0.1696, -0.1309, -0.1309, -0.2063, -0.2097, -0.2258, -0.2446, -0.2689, -0.2177, -0.1972, -0.2413, -0.319, -0.2953, -0.281, -0.3414, -0.4095, -0.3118, -0.2576, -0.2663, -0.2917, -0.2827, -0.2165, -0.2165, -0.2205, -0.1863, -0.1398, -0.2173, -0.1958, -0.18, -0.1517, -0.1616, -0.2711, -0.2725, -0.3062, -0.2184, -0.2354, -0.2859, -0.2411, -0.2292, -0.1048, -0.1364, -0.0971, 0.038, -0.0701, -0.0523, -0.0286, -0.0598, -0.0875, -0.0815, -0.08, -0.1529, -0.1941, -0.2625, -0.1706, -0.1851, -0.1301, -0.1301, -0.1004, -0.0616, -0.0008, 0.0898, 0.1588, 0.2355, 0.2945, 0.3331, 0.3217, 0.2561, 0.2723, 0.2514, 0.2481, 0.2556]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1988881223293497587", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-13T08:06:49+00:00", "symbol": "ORCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Just a TLDR on the GPU depreciation argument for $ORCL, $NBIS and other neoclouds", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Refutes Burry's GPU depreciation thesis: long useful lives support neoclouds (ORCL, NBIS) and NVDA residual value.", "resolved_tickers": ["ORCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just a TLDR on the GPU depreciation argument for $ORCL, $NBIS and other neoclouds, \n\nBurry's general claim: capex of chips on a 2-3 yr product cycle should not result in the extension of useful lives. \n\nThis is incorrect but nuanced:\n\n -> in $GOOGL's case, their TPUs from 7 years ago are still run at 100% utilization.\n\n\" Google says TPU demand is outstripping supply, claims 8yr old hardware iterations have “100% utilization” -Data Center Dynamics  \n\n-> in $NVDA's case A100 (PCIe and SXM4 variants), are still in operation. They were launched in 2020. It's 2025 now. Older models keep their value and still deliver equity. \n\nThey have residual value and still re-sale for a lot 5 years later.  He's wrong on shelf-life, but might be correct in how some hyperscalers stretch the idea of utilization to justify aggressive capex.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Hi new follower (from the dark side of Reddit 🤭) getting clobbered with neo clouds &amp; miners.\n\nSaw recent mention of confusion over the expected lifespan of GPUs sowing doubts among institutional investors.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JGetzes", "ret_m1d": 0.04329636897957956, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04329636897957956, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.026422341042620312, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.026422341042620312, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.016874027936959246, "bench_c_m1d": 0.016874027936959246, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0242680051011952, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0242680051011952, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02443177386153239, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02443177386153239, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00016376876033719068, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00016376876033719068, "ret_p1w": -0.031622089306761136, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.031622089306761136, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0025910852224979575, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0025910852224979575, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02903100408426318, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02903100408426318, "ret_p1m": -0.12685578271048237, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12685578271048237, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14131922217961224, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14131922217961224, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.014463439469129868, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014463439469129868, "ret_p3m": -0.2631675322605149, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2631675322605149, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.29608980265634766, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.29608980265634766, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03292227039583273, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03292227039583273, "ret_p6m": -0.09383582537474122, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.09383582537474122, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.197668872942396, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.197668872942396, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10383304756765477, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10383304756765477, "price_path": [0.1428, 0.0765, 0.0785, 0.0698, 0.0845, 0.0801, 0.0746, 0.082, 0.1027, 0.0375, 0.0375, 0.0337, 0.0252, 0.0232, 0.0681, 0.0942, 0.1081, 0.5065, 0.4125, 0.3406, 0.3863, 0.407, 0.3829, 0.361, 0.4162, 0.5056, 0.4399, 0.4153, 0.3367, 0.3006, 0.2974, 0.2904, 0.3261, 0.325, 0.3129, 0.3379, 0.3042, 0.3243, 0.3649, 0.3465, 0.4157, 0.3743, 0.3955, 0.4386, 0.3389, 0.274, 0.2647, 0.2532, 0.2873, 0.3022, 0.2934, 0.2908, 0.2653, 0.1807, 0.207, 0.1851, 0.1406, 0.1505, 0.1206, 0.0997, 0.1069, 0.0854, 0.0433, 0.0, 0.0243, 0.0105, 0.0134, 0.0366, -0.0316, -0.0865, -0.0795, -0.0944, -0.058, -0.058, -0.0718, -0.0764, -0.0757, -0.0452, -0.0149, 0.0, 0.0137, 0.0182, 0.025, -0.086, -0.1269, -0.1501, -0.1329, -0.1798, -0.1725, -0.1177, -0.0882, -0.1022, -0.0923, -0.0923, -0.09, -0.102, -0.0936, -0.1042, -0.1042, -0.1005, -0.1148, -0.1095, -0.1137, -0.1283, -0.0851, -0.0568, -0.0678, -0.1078, -0.1251, -0.1194, -0.1194, -0.1709, -0.1987, -0.1789, -0.1836, -0.1592, -0.194, -0.2037, -0.2211, -0.2416, -0.2624, -0.2872, -0.3241, -0.371, -0.3418, -0.2784, -0.2632, -0.2757, -0.2789, -0.262, -0.262, -0.2904, -0.2803, -0.2786, -0.3176, -0.3488, -0.3265, -0.3185, -0.3073, -0.3299, -0.3122, -0.3133, -0.2978, -0.2867, -0.2951, -0.3016, -0.3115, -0.2483, -0.2665, -0.2852, -0.2812, -0.2871, -0.2954, -0.2833, -0.3102, -0.2887, -0.3222, -0.3271, -0.3419, -0.3564, -0.3604, -0.3221, -0.3307, -0.3254, -0.3254, -0.3293, -0.3402, -0.338, -0.3625, -0.3614, -0.2803, -0.2462, -0.2147, -0.1753, -0.1904, -0.1788, -0.1622, -0.1329, -0.1848, -0.1987, -0.2002, -0.2325, -0.2424, -0.2537, -0.2054, -0.1663, -0.1429, -0.1027, -0.1001, -0.0938]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1988881223293497587", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-13T08:06:49+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Just a TLDR on the GPU depreciation argument for $ORCL, $NBIS and other neoclouds", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Refutes Burry's GPU depreciation thesis: long useful lives support neoclouds (ORCL, NBIS) and NVDA residual value.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just a TLDR on the GPU depreciation argument for $ORCL, $NBIS and other neoclouds, \n\nBurry's general claim: capex of chips on a 2-3 yr product cycle should not result in the extension of useful lives. \n\nThis is incorrect but nuanced:\n\n -> in $GOOGL's case, their TPUs from 7 years ago are still run at 100% utilization.\n\n\" Google says TPU demand is outstripping supply, claims 8yr old hardware iterations have “100% utilization” -Data Center Dynamics  \n\n-> in $NVDA's case A100 (PCIe and SXM4 variants), are still in operation. They were launched in 2020. It's 2025 now. Older models keep their value and still deliver equity. \n\nThey have residual value and still re-sale for a lot 5 years later.  He's wrong on shelf-life, but might be correct in how some hyperscalers stretch the idea of utilization to justify aggressive capex.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Hi new follower (from the dark side of Reddit 🤭) getting clobbered with neo clouds &amp; miners.\n\nSaw recent mention of confusion over the expected lifespan of GPUs sowing doubts among institutional investors.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JGetzes", "ret_m1d": 0.06465083532102467, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06465083532102467, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04777680738406542, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05026683528809617, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.016874027936959246, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014384000032928501, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.057429724648833114, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.057429724648833114, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05726595588849592, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05206923626402493, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00016376876033719068, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005360488384808182, "ret_p1w": -0.04501859401350328, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04501859401350328, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.015987589929240098, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.027507619555743323, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02903100408426318, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017510974457759954, "ret_p1m": -0.010605831446931169, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.010605831446931169, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.025069270916061037, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05188166061103383, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.014463439469129868, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04127582916410266, "ret_p3m": 0.03565388423824545, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.03565388423824545, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0027316138424127168, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.018224855120869465, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03292227039583273, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05387873935911491, "ret_p6m": 0.9976306954576823, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.9976306954576823, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.8937976478900276, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.9461435269466756, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10383304756765477, "bench_c_p6m": 0.051487168511006765, "price_path": [-0.1815, -0.2419, -0.2387, -0.2533, -0.2217, -0.21, -0.2048, -0.2091, -0.1872, -0.2292, -0.2292, -0.2585, -0.2593, -0.2676, -0.2613, -0.2772, 0.08, 0.0537, 0.0063, 0.0201, 0.0263, 0.009, 0.0615, 0.0619, 0.1205, 0.2028, 0.2163, 0.2776, 0.2179, 0.2152, 0.2436, 0.2667, 0.3044, 0.4202, 0.444, 0.4097, 0.328, 0.3765, 0.4966, 0.462, 0.5284, 0.4459, 0.4197, 0.3882, 0.2799, 0.2298, 0.1766, 0.1127, 0.1978, 0.323, 0.4152, 0.3746, 0.4115, 0.4011, 0.476, 0.3592, 0.2472, 0.3201, 0.2348, 0.2556, 0.2406, 0.1533, 0.0647, 0.0, -0.0574, -0.0299, 0.0216, 0.0727, -0.045, -0.0606, 0.0369, 0.0028, 0.0684, 0.0684, 0.0704, 0.13, 0.0882, 0.1161, 0.1599, 0.1062, 0.132, 0.0878, 0.056, 0.0637, -0.0106, -0.0845, -0.0867, -0.1487, -0.1189, 0.0094, 0.0519, 0.0158, 0.0282, 0.0282, -0.0117, -0.0292, -0.039, -0.0556, -0.0556, 0.0149, 0.0474, 0.131, 0.0855, 0.0978, 0.1049, 0.211, 0.1896, 0.1506, 0.1721, 0.2268, 0.2268, 0.1203, 0.1155, 0.0927, 0.0662, 0.0319, 0.1043, 0.1331, 0.0709, -0.0388, -0.0053, 0.0149, -0.0704, -0.1665, -0.0285, 0.048, 0.0357, -0.0002, 0.0124, 0.1058, 0.1058, 0.1003, 0.1486, 0.2141, 0.1048, 0.1352, 0.1574, 0.1973, 0.1833, 0.0289, 0.0269, -0.0206, 0.1032, 0.0792, 0.0079, 0.0712, 0.088, 0.2636, 0.219, 0.2744, 0.4651, 0.3125, 0.3377, 0.3711, 0.3271, 0.2879, 0.2965, 0.2985, 0.1956, 0.1375, 0.041, 0.1707, 0.1503, 0.2278, 0.2278, 0.2698, 0.3246, 0.4104, 0.5382, 0.6357, 0.7439, 0.8271, 0.8816, 0.8655, 0.773, 0.7958, 0.7663, 0.7617, 0.7723, 0.6604, 0.6356, 0.5289, 0.593, 0.5596, 0.7431, 0.9905, 0.9849, 1.2012, 1.0847, 0.9976]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1988881223293497587", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-11-13T08:06:49+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "A100 (PCIe and SXM4 variants), are still in operation. They were launched in 2020. It's 2025 now. Older models keep their value and still deliver equity. They have residual value and still re-sale for a lot 5 years later", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Refutes Burry's GPU depreciation thesis: long useful lives support neoclouds (ORCL, NBIS) and NVDA residual value.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just a TLDR on the GPU depreciation argument for $ORCL, $NBIS and other neoclouds, \n\nBurry's general claim: capex of chips on a 2-3 yr product cycle should not result in the extension of useful lives. \n\nThis is incorrect but nuanced:\n\n -> in $GOOGL's case, their TPUs from 7 years ago are still run at 100% utilization.\n\n\" Google says TPU demand is outstripping supply, claims 8yr old hardware iterations have “100% utilization” -Data Center Dynamics  \n\n-> in $NVDA's case A100 (PCIe and SXM4 variants), are still in operation. They were launched in 2020. It's 2025 now. Older models keep their value and still deliver equity. \n\nThey have residual value and still re-sale for a lot 5 years later.  He's wrong on shelf-life, but might be correct in how some hyperscalers stretch the idea of utilization to justify aggressive capex.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Hi new follower (from the dark side of Reddit 🤭) getting clobbered with neo clouds &amp; miners.\n\nSaw recent mention of confusion over the expected lifespan of GPUs sowing doubts among institutional investors.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JGetzes", "ret_m1d": 0.03714019570243865, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03714019570243865, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.020266167765479404, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.020266167765479404, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.016874027936959246, "bench_c_m1d": 0.016874027936959246, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.017713769013105507, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.017713769013105507, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.017877537773442698, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.017877537773442698, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00016376876033719068, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00016376876033719068, "ret_p1w": -0.033286940517670005, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.033286940517670005, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.004255936433406826, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.004255936433406826, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02903100408426318, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02903100408426318, "ret_p1m": -0.06331075814604703, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06331075814604703, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0777741976151769, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0777741976151769, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.014463439469129868, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014463439469129868, "ret_p3m": 0.009046844058071768, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.009046844058071768, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.023875426337760963, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.023875426337760963, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03292227039583273, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03292227039583273, "ret_p6m": 0.15179083019674122, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.15179083019674122, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.047957782629086454, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.047957782629086454, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10383304756765477, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10383304756765477, "price_path": [-0.026, -0.0601, -0.0614, -0.0636, -0.0475, -0.0378, -0.0273, -0.0282, -0.0359, -0.0679, -0.0679, -0.0861, -0.087, -0.0814, -0.1062, -0.0993, -0.0862, -0.0511, -0.0519, -0.0484, -0.0488, -0.0641, -0.0887, -0.0568, -0.0545, -0.0174, -0.0451, -0.0529, -0.0491, -0.0464, -0.0268, -0.0015, 0.002, 0.0109, 0.0041, -0.0071, -0.0097, 0.012, 0.0306, -0.0198, 0.0078, -0.0366, -0.0376, -0.027, -0.0195, -0.0226, -0.0305, -0.0352, -0.0252, -0.0032, 0.0248, 0.0758, 0.108, 0.0858, 0.0836, 0.1071, 0.0633, 0.0447, 0.0065, 0.0069, 0.0652, 0.0337, 0.0371, 0.0, 0.0177, -0.0014, -0.0294, -0.0018, -0.0333, -0.0427, -0.0231, -0.0484, -0.0353, -0.0353, -0.0528, -0.0371, -0.0289, -0.0389, -0.0186, -0.0238, -0.007, -0.0101, -0.0164, -0.0317, -0.0633, -0.0565, -0.0489, -0.0851, -0.068, -0.0314, -0.0169, 0.0126, 0.0094, 0.0094, 0.0197, 0.0073, 0.0037, -0.0019, -0.0019, 0.0107, 0.0068, 0.0021, 0.0121, -0.0097, -0.0106, -0.0102, -0.0056, -0.0199, 0.0011, -0.0033, -0.0033, -0.047, -0.0189, -0.0108, 0.0044, -0.002, 0.0089, 0.025, 0.0303, 0.0229, -0.0066, -0.0348, -0.0678, -0.0801, -0.0077, 0.0171, 0.009, 0.0171, 0.0005, -0.0216, -0.0216, -0.0101, 0.006, 0.0056, 0.0159, 0.0252, 0.0321, 0.0466, -0.0105, -0.0517, -0.0234, -0.0364, -0.0204, -0.0188, -0.0483, -0.0225, -0.0111, -0.0043, -0.0198, -0.0353, -0.0194, -0.0263, -0.0345, -0.0443, -0.0757, -0.0599, -0.0623, -0.0437, -0.0835, -0.1034, -0.116, -0.0666, -0.0594, -0.0506, -0.0506, -0.0492, -0.0468, -0.0255, -0.0157, 0.0096, 0.0132, 0.0518, 0.0644, 0.0616, 0.0794, 0.0815, 0.0698, 0.0838, 0.0685, 0.1147, 0.1593, 0.1409, 0.1199, 0.0681, 0.0621, 0.0623, 0.0517, 0.1123, 0.132, 0.1518]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1976042126845853876", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-08T21:48:50+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have $IREN, I'm bullish on IREN", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds IREN and is bullish on it.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@midlevelcruiser yo wtf, I have $IREN, I'm bullish on IREN.\n\nThe thing I didn't like was the 2 week expiry on options for risk management lmao", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "she’s right. Although she probably doesn’t understand $IREN. There are times when the markets run so hot that it pays to have cajones. We’re in one of those rare times 🫡", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "midlevelcruiser", "ret_m1d": 0.026460312007827724, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.026460312007827724, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03238801720384865, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02160131384417152, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005927705196020927, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004858998163656203, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06257277936404315, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06257277936404315, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0654697877432806, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06612344190175268, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0028970083792374535, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0035506625377095258, "ret_p1w": 0.1313030984242043, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1313030984242043, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14309914239548038, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1363487654136345, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011796043971276093, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005045666989430209, "ret_p1m": 0.11432848917356675, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11432848917356675, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11848824229680133, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1348852857524363, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0041597531232345775, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02055679657886955, "ret_p3m": -0.19720416781544559, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.19720416781544559, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2219284126148423, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24983327167133618, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024724244799396722, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05262910385589059, "ret_p6m": -0.421367941929249, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.421367941929249, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4012439107942515, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.35499912085793384, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0201240311349975, "bench_c_p6m": -0.06636882107131514, "price_path": [-0.7299, -0.7124, -0.7191, -0.7119, -0.6996, -0.7014, -0.698, -0.6906, -0.684, -0.6981, -0.7051, -0.7241, -0.7372, -0.7314, -0.7319, -0.7437, -0.7257, -0.7262, -0.6951, -0.691, -0.693, -0.7009, -0.7033, -0.7049, -0.6825, -0.6723, -0.6554, -0.6883, -0.6712, -0.674, -0.6434, -0.6152, -0.6174, -0.628, -0.6166, -0.5593, -0.5593, -0.5156, -0.5305, -0.5652, -0.5648, -0.5642, -0.4976, -0.4403, -0.4533, -0.4348, -0.3819, -0.3934, -0.3693, -0.3956, -0.357, -0.3027, -0.3049, -0.2155, -0.2297, -0.3034, -0.2356, -0.219, -0.2165, -0.2175, -0.1603, -0.0389, 0.0265, 0.0, 0.0626, -0.0053, 0.0674, 0.1576, 0.1313, 0.029, 0.0105, -0.0145, -0.0815, -0.1375, -0.0704, 0.0468, 0.0815, 0.0388, 0.0055, -0.0311, 0.011, 0.1275, 0.1088, 0.2716, 0.1143, 0.0381, 0.0013, -0.0451, -0.0731, -0.1904, -0.2283, -0.211, -0.1871, -0.2373, -0.2766, -0.2967, -0.193, -0.21, -0.1937, -0.1937, -0.2044, -0.193, -0.3157, -0.2684, -0.227, -0.2559, -0.2288, -0.2205, -0.2691, -0.2688, -0.3322, -0.4096, -0.3911, -0.4378, -0.4042, -0.3357, -0.3004, -0.2999, -0.3014, -0.3014, -0.3293, -0.3442, -0.3626, -0.3714, -0.3714, -0.2894, -0.1972, -0.236, -0.274, -0.2398, -0.234, -0.1624, -0.1182, -0.12, -0.1365, -0.0378, -0.0378, -0.097, -0.11, -0.1303, -0.0567, -0.1286, -0.0017, 0.0474, -0.0042, -0.1057, -0.1167, -0.0949, -0.2521, -0.3378, -0.3039, -0.232, -0.2856, -0.2899, -0.3338, -0.2974, -0.2974, -0.3182, -0.2997, -0.2796, -0.3347, -0.2951, -0.2436, -0.2673, -0.2638, -0.3185, -0.3112, -0.3535, -0.2704, -0.3323, -0.3892, -0.3536, -0.3656, -0.3014, -0.3115, -0.308, -0.2521, -0.2851, -0.2976, -0.3067, -0.3129, -0.2984, -0.3157, -0.3105, -0.3768, -0.416, -0.4738, -0.4295, -0.4327, -0.4214]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2009388507341754743", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-08T22:15:27+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "former earnings are immaterial to thesis and these are just known delays that recognizes the same revenue next quarter. Care more about what happens at the inflection point of demand squeeze starting ~Dec 27th onwards", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long AXTI despite 29% AH drop; Q4 miss immaterial, export-control delays just shift revenue to Q1 2026, thesis intact on InP pricing power from Dec-27 demand squeeze.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AXTI drops 29.54% AHs on:\n\n- Lowered Q4 2025 revenue expectations to a range of $23M midpoint, from $27m-$30m.\n\nThoughts: this is immaterial to the bottleneck issue since price shock just came in end of ~December 27th into January (now). This was former earnings, we care about future earning projections with inflated margins from pricing power.\n\n- AXTI received export control delays and expect to recognize the revenue Q1 2026.\n\nThis just realizes the former backlog Q1.  This is not lost revenue. Export controls have known delays and risks.\n\nTLDR: former earnings are immaterial to thesis and these are just known delays that recognizes the same revenue next quarter. \n\nCare more about what happens at the inflection point of demand squeeze starting ~Dec 27th onwards, not former backlogged earnings before the InP craze.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06658921093437264, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06658921093437264, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06669075392629065, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08252666898558814, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0001015429919180022, "bench_c_m1d": 0.015937458051215492, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.10994967715742876, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.10994967715742876, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.11656301955152137, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.1369695461149617, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006613342394092614, "bench_c_p1d": 0.027019868957532944, "ret_p1w": -0.004258637656851416, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.004258637656851416, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.00821792672809174, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05025048991950287, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003959289071240324, "bench_c_p1w": 0.045991852262651456, "ret_p1m": -0.06852498888856806, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06852498888856806, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07013476485135361, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1283434021372133, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0016097759627855535, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05981841324864523, "ret_p3m": 0.7599689980157815, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7599689980157815, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.8012877645453652, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.7047682425571753, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04131876652958366, "bench_c_p3m": 0.055200755458606254, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.8219, -0.8231, -0.8223, -0.8091, -0.8254, -0.8099, -0.7998, -0.8087, -0.7995, -0.7654, -0.7604, -0.7445, -0.7263, -0.7166, -0.6922, -0.6725, -0.6694, -0.6477, -0.6566, -0.6338, -0.5958, -0.5912, -0.5749, -0.5958, -0.5958, -0.6032, -0.6167, -0.6086, -0.6341, -0.6543, -0.6384, -0.6427, -0.5954, -0.5954, -0.5858, -0.5823, -0.5447, -0.5556, -0.5316, -0.5517, -0.5079, -0.4208, -0.3995, -0.3659, -0.4266, -0.4259, -0.4967, -0.5215, -0.4576, -0.4328, -0.4108, -0.4332, -0.4189, -0.4189, -0.405, -0.4352, -0.3883, -0.367, -0.367, -0.3511, -0.3546, -0.2191, -0.0666, 0.0, -0.1099, -0.139, -0.1672, -0.1444, -0.0043, -0.1448, -0.1448, -0.1711, -0.2342, -0.3062, -0.3264, -0.3109, -0.3341, -0.3484, -0.3659, -0.2822, -0.1893, -0.2358, -0.2741, -0.2091, -0.0685, 0.0751, -0.0573, 0.0376, -0.0403, -0.0616, -0.0616, -0.1014, -0.0887, -0.0782, 0.1491, 0.1007, 0.3581, 0.5861, 0.4371, 0.4673, 0.7933, 0.6167, 0.5149, 0.5021, 0.2532, 0.4928, 0.7151, 0.8335, 0.8091, 0.8916, 0.8734, 0.7174, 0.8877, 1.2489, 1.0999, 1.4948, 1.6496, 1.6074, 1.2652, 1.3473, 1.0414, 1.206, 0.825, 1.0457, 1.0457, 0.6256, 0.76, 1.0588, 1.4437, 1.4847, 1.5726, 1.6055, 1.4363, 2.1661, 2.1963, 2.0492, 1.9024, 2.3659, 1.9141, 1.9485, 1.7158, 1.6601, 1.7515, 2.067, 2.7166, 3.1038, 3.1638, 3.0585, 3.1974, 3.5048, 3.8707, 3.758, 3.7209, 3.4514, 3.7921, 3.0991, 3.3701, 3.0499, 3.6852, 4.4522, 4.4522, 4.1336, 3.753, 3.4793, 2.9938, 2.9938, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1976440281315881100", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-10T00:10:58+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm updating my 1Y price target on Nebius to $400, so adding more over time", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long NBIS with $400 1Y PT, adding more; also bullish on CIFR vs other Neocloud names.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@whyp3rk Yeah sitting on $2.1M ish Neocloud exposure right now $1.4M of that is $NBIS, the rest $CIFR, $IREN, $WYFI and misc. I’ve always been more bullish on $NBIS and $CIFR than the others though. \n\nI’m updating my 1Y price target on Nebius to $400, so adding more over time.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Have you adding more shares as the price goes up or sitting? $NBIS", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JordaanTrades", "ret_m1d": 0.023614736188870777, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.023614736188870777, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004163887572515179, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00482047196082358, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.027778623761385957, "bench_c_m1d": 0.018794264228047197, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04537741009202012, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04537741009202012, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030033335398811367, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03615760547629088, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015344074693208754, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009219804615729243, "ret_p1w": -0.12455625221160005, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12455625221160005, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.14196772284694503, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.14352791200991766, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017411470635344983, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01897165979831761, "ret_p1m": -0.15148946292195564, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15148946292195564, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19501033766148668, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.15574477830520794, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.043520874739531035, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0042553153832523005, "ret_p3m": -0.25752432686402926, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.25752432686402926, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3166307576178269, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.29891671735647085, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05910643075379762, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04139239049244159, "ret_p6m": -0.1315017801724062, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1315017801724062, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.14629756348930856, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1286614088887873, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.014795783316902344, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0028403712836189143, "price_path": [-0.5869, -0.5886, -0.5857, -0.5926, -0.5958, -0.6063, -0.5996, -0.5975, -0.6036, -0.5929, -0.6111, -0.6042, -0.58, -0.5987, -0.582, -0.5742, -0.5749, -0.496, -0.4692, -0.4579, -0.4187, -0.4549, -0.4717, -0.4473, -0.4402, -0.4815, -0.4793, -0.4893, -0.4677, -0.4596, -0.4561, -0.459, -0.4441, -0.4728, -0.4728, -0.4928, -0.4934, -0.4991, -0.4948, -0.5056, -0.2613, -0.2793, -0.3117, -0.3023, -0.298, -0.3098, -0.274, -0.2737, -0.2336, -0.1773, -0.1681, -0.1262, -0.167, -0.1689, -0.1494, -0.1336, -0.1078, -0.0286, -0.0123, -0.0358, -0.0917, -0.0585, 0.0236, 0.0, 0.0454, -0.011, -0.0289, -0.0505, -0.1246, -0.1588, -0.1952, -0.2389, -0.1807, -0.0951, -0.032, -0.0598, -0.0346, -0.0417, 0.0096, -0.0703, -0.1469, -0.0971, -0.1554, -0.1412, -0.1515, -0.2111, -0.2718, -0.316, -0.3553, -0.3365, -0.3013, -0.2663, -0.3468, -0.3575, -0.2908, -0.3141, -0.2693, -0.2693, -0.2679, -0.2271, -0.2557, -0.2366, -0.2067, -0.2434, -0.2257, -0.256, -0.2777, -0.2724, -0.3233, -0.3738, -0.3753, -0.4177, -0.3974, -0.3096, -0.2805, -0.3052, -0.2967, -0.2967, -0.324, -0.336, -0.3427, -0.354, -0.354, -0.3058, -0.2836, -0.2264, -0.2575, -0.2491, -0.2443, -0.1717, -0.1864, -0.213, -0.1983, -0.1609, -0.1609, -0.2338, -0.237, -0.2526, -0.2707, -0.2942, -0.2447, -0.225, -0.2676, -0.3426, -0.3196, -0.3058, -0.3642, -0.4299, -0.3355, -0.2832, -0.2916, -0.3162, -0.3075, -0.2436, -0.2436, -0.2474, -0.2144, -0.1695, -0.2443, -0.2236, -0.2084, -0.181, -0.1906, -0.2963, -0.2977, -0.3301, -0.2454, -0.2618, -0.3106, -0.2673, -0.2558, -0.1357, -0.1662, -0.1283, 0.0021, -0.1023, -0.085, -0.0622, -0.0923, -0.1191, -0.1132, -0.1118, -0.1822, -0.2219, -0.288, -0.1993, -0.2132, -0.1602, -0.1602, -0.1315]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1976440281315881100", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-10T00:10:58+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I've always been more bullish on $NBIS and $CIFR than the others though", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long NBIS with $400 1Y PT, adding more; also bullish on CIFR vs other Neocloud names.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@whyp3rk Yeah sitting on $2.1M ish Neocloud exposure right now $1.4M of that is $NBIS, the rest $CIFR, $IREN, $WYFI and misc. I’ve always been more bullish on $NBIS and $CIFR than the others though. \n\nI’m updating my 1Y price target on Nebius to $400, so adding more over time.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Have you adding more shares as the price goes up or sitting? $NBIS", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JordaanTrades", "ret_m1d": 0.06010609894138219, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06010609894138219, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.032327475179996235, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.017683614642166612, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.027778623761385957, "bench_c_m1d": 0.04242248429921558, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.19858579702954882, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.19858579702954882, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.18324172233634006, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.17423137509311304, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015344074693208754, "bench_c_p1d": 0.024354421936435777, "ret_p1w": 0.10548031749881726, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10548031749881726, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08806884686347227, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08170069052304885, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017411470635344983, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02377962697576841, "ret_p1m": 0.15792577569916366, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.15792577569916366, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11440490095963263, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09635741978313406, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.043520874739531035, "bench_c_p1m": 0.061568355916029605, "ret_p3m": -0.052445458200346295, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.052445458200346295, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11155188895414392, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10673802454827241, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05910643075379762, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05429256634792612, "ret_p6m": -0.21331756501816812, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.21331756501816812, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.22811334833507046, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1986818936760114, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.014795783316902344, "bench_c_p6m": -0.014635671342156709, "price_path": [-0.6482, -0.6305, -0.6217, -0.6252, -0.6317, -0.591, -0.6064, -0.6081, -0.6187, -0.637, -0.6653, -0.6788, -0.6783, -0.7095, -0.6942, -0.7048, -0.693, -0.713, -0.7201, -0.7195, -0.7219, -0.7113, -0.6865, -0.693, -0.6435, -0.6606, -0.6494, -0.6523, -0.624, -0.6087, -0.5804, -0.5881, -0.5863, -0.5498, -0.5498, -0.5097, -0.5221, -0.5639, -0.5569, -0.5451, -0.4567, -0.396, -0.4125, -0.3606, -0.3606, -0.3217, -0.2705, -0.3017, -0.2764, -0.1774, -0.1662, -0.1668, -0.3129, -0.3241, -0.2546, -0.2581, -0.2575, -0.1862, -0.1338, -0.0961, -0.0719, 0.0371, 0.0601, 0.0, 0.1986, 0.231, 0.2392, 0.1031, 0.1055, 0.1732, 0.0651, -0.0507, 0.0168, 0.2174, 0.2104, 0.1762, 0.1544, 0.1237, 0.099, 0.3412, 0.3265, 0.4561, 0.2793, 0.2192, 0.1579, 0.1002, 0.0242, -0.1202, -0.1538, -0.1544, -0.1408, -0.1385, -0.142, -0.1662, -0.0153, 0.0324, 0.1285, 0.1285, 0.1992, 0.1603, 0.0395, 0.0978, 0.1685, 0.1361, 0.1479, 0.1526, 0.089, 0.1126, 0.0047, -0.1314, -0.1167, -0.152, -0.1072, -0.0448, -0.0371, -0.0625, -0.0442, -0.0442, -0.1049, -0.1114, -0.1402, -0.1302, -0.1302, -0.0454, 0.0701, 0.0336, -0.0524, -0.0247, -0.02, 0.0418, 0.0754, 0.0684, 0.0324, 0.1078, 0.1078, 0.056, 0.0442, 0.0247, 0.0354, -0.0283, 0.1049, 0.1179, 0.043, -0.0595, -0.0684, -0.0418, -0.1603, -0.2516, -0.132, -0.0124, 0.0077, -0.0407, -0.0513, -0.0324, -0.0324, -0.0784, -0.0913, -0.0689, -0.1367, -0.1031, 0.0088, -0.0212, -0.0289, -0.0807, -0.0713, -0.1332, -0.0548, -0.1072, -0.1974, -0.1567, -0.1774, -0.1685, -0.1921, -0.1703, -0.1078, -0.1108, -0.1355, -0.1373, -0.1744, -0.1226, -0.1232, -0.0642, -0.1544, -0.19, -0.292, -0.2416, -0.2552, -0.2445, -0.2445, -0.2133]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1977819395004277191", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-13T19:31:04+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I think $RKLB will go to $350B market cap one day like SpaceX and it's still $30B now", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long RKLB to $350B market cap (vs $30B now); also flags NBIS, FLNC, WLAC as new opportunities.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@paramdan42454 Stonks always go higher over longer periods of time if they’re fundamentally good.\n\nI think $RKLB will go to $350B market cap one day like SpaceX and it’s still $30B now.\n\nThere’s always new opportunities too if you feel like you missed something like $NBIS $FLNC $WLAC", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Master\nHow do you overcome the feeling of missed out on some stocks?\n\nI wanted a family member to buy me rklb and some other stocks with my money last year when it was around 4$ cuz couldn’t get it since I was underaged\nAnd now alltho I really like rklb I can’t get myself to buy.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Drunkandmiller", "ret_m1d": -0.017731520409388968, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.017731520409388968, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0026193283203722606, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00743164055758927, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010299879851799698, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03989606669831014, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03989606669831014, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.041117721501766846, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.028143804745226708, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011752261953083432, "ret_p1w": 0.029501686933582683, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.029501686933582683, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0170438815166416, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.015900772785412354, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013600914148170329, "ret_p1m": -0.21675323887749232, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.21675323887749232, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.24685699436433872, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2351078735446478, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01835463466715548, "ret_p3m": 0.269948091660029, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.269948091660029, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.22695298957371723, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.20881919733570342, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "bench_c_p3m": 0.061128894324325556, "ret_p6m": 0.013757284485925503, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.013757284485925503, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.01385745351421741, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.07765854628636837, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09141583077229387, "price_path": [-0.271, -0.2154, -0.2145, -0.2787, -0.2834, -0.2487, -0.2643, -0.275, -0.3105, -0.3306, -0.2901, -0.2981, -0.315, -0.3192, -0.316, -0.3259, -0.3242, -0.3169, -0.3118, -0.3361, -0.3427, -0.3456, -0.3233, -0.3126, -0.3745, -0.378, -0.3652, -0.3216, -0.2782, -0.2643, -0.293, -0.2677, -0.2571, -0.2571, -0.2463, -0.3346, -0.3429, -0.2993, -0.2704, -0.2811, -0.2943, -0.2597, -0.1847, -0.174, -0.2778, -0.2651, -0.2788, -0.2695, -0.2386, -0.1912, -0.2557, -0.2872, -0.2929, -0.2814, -0.2677, -0.2667, -0.198, -0.1415, -0.1058, -0.0598, -0.0017, 0.0153, -0.0177, 0.0, 0.0399, 0.0589, 0.0242, 0.013, 0.0295, -0.0003, -0.0742, -0.0283, -0.0131, 0.0031, -0.0255, 0.0113, -0.0688, -0.0373, -0.0624, -0.1353, -0.1376, -0.2417, -0.2106, -0.2067, -0.2168, -0.2362, -0.3083, -0.3039, -0.338, -0.3461, -0.3332, -0.3965, -0.384, -0.3511, -0.3488, -0.3591, -0.3591, -0.3559, -0.3829, -0.3595, -0.3164, -0.2453, -0.2502, -0.2119, -0.1833, -0.1208, -0.0289, -0.0601, -0.153, -0.1518, -0.1752, -0.0841, 0.078, 0.1854, 0.1798, 0.1798, 0.1798, 0.0799, 0.0718, 0.0769, 0.0663, 0.0663, 0.1616, 0.1944, 0.315, 0.2852, 0.2699, 0.297, 0.3436, 0.3234, 0.4032, 0.3873, 0.472, 0.472, 0.3629, 0.3424, 0.3448, 0.3589, 0.2302, 0.3299, 0.3539, 0.3097, 0.2239, 0.1334, 0.2423, 0.1175, 0.0138, 0.1055, 0.1593, 0.101, 0.0642, 0.009, 0.0309, 0.0309, 0.0683, 0.1376, 0.1706, 0.0832, 0.0732, 0.0696, 0.0731, 0.1105, 0.0563, 0.0848, 0.072, 0.0992, 0.07, 0.0717, 0.0926, 0.0537, 0.1, 0.0451, 0.0457, 0.09, 0.2013, 0.0621, 0.0995, 0.0277, 0.0394, 0.0099, 0.114, 0.0079, -0.0686, -0.1229, -0.0183, 0.0015, 0.0353, 0.0353, 0.0344, 0.0138]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1977819395004277191", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-13T19:31:04+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "There's always new opportunities too if you feel like you missed something like $NBIS $FLNC $WLAC", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long RKLB to $350B market cap (vs $30B now); also flags NBIS, FLNC, WLAC as new opportunities.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@paramdan42454 Stonks always go higher over longer periods of time if they’re fundamentally good.\n\nI think $RKLB will go to $350B market cap one day like SpaceX and it’s still $30B now.\n\nThere’s always new opportunities too if you feel like you missed something like $NBIS $FLNC $WLAC", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Master\nHow do you overcome the feeling of missed out on some stocks?\n\nI wanted a family member to buy me rklb and some other stocks with my money last year when it was around 4$ cuz couldn’t get it since I was underaged\nAnd now alltho I really like rklb I can’t get myself to buy.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Drunkandmiller", "ret_m1d": -0.04340768190889632, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04340768190889632, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.028295489819879616, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.034272105522501706, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009135576386394617, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.053964361841674746, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.053964361841674746, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05274270703821804, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06055255031748796, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006588188475813217, "ret_p1w": -0.19533445594579646, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.19533445594579646, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.20779226136273754, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2164167265184983, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "bench_c_p1w": 0.021082270572701844, "ret_p1m": -0.24538612022496853, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.24538612022496853, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.27548987571181494, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.24854845069335885, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0031623304683903175, "ret_p3m": -0.28170678998056553, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.28170678998056553, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3247018920668773, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.31702244801530577, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03531565803474024, "ret_p6m": -0.13332352202031494, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13332352202031494, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.13322335299202304, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.12190395036217228, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "bench_c_p6m": -0.011419571658142669, "price_path": [-0.6065, -0.6036, -0.6103, -0.6134, -0.6234, -0.617, -0.6149, -0.6208, -0.6106, -0.6279, -0.6214, -0.5982, -0.6161, -0.6001, -0.5927, -0.5933, -0.5179, -0.4922, -0.4815, -0.4439, -0.4786, -0.4946, -0.4713, -0.4645, -0.504, -0.5019, -0.5114, -0.4908, -0.4831, -0.4797, -0.4825, -0.4682, -0.4956, -0.4956, -0.5148, -0.5154, -0.5208, -0.5167, -0.5271, -0.2934, -0.3106, -0.3416, -0.3326, -0.3285, -0.3398, -0.3055, -0.3052, -0.2669, -0.2131, -0.2042, -0.1641, -0.2032, -0.2049, -0.1863, -0.1712, -0.1465, -0.0708, -0.0552, -0.0777, -0.1311, -0.0994, -0.0208, -0.0434, 0.0, -0.054, -0.0711, -0.0917, -0.1626, -0.1953, -0.2302, -0.272, -0.2163, -0.1344, -0.074, -0.1006, -0.0765, -0.0833, -0.0343, -0.1107, -0.184, -0.1363, -0.1921, -0.1785, -0.1883, -0.2454, -0.3034, -0.3457, -0.3833, -0.3653, -0.3316, -0.2982, -0.3752, -0.3854, -0.3216, -0.3439, -0.301, -0.301, -0.2996, -0.2607, -0.288, -0.2697, -0.2411, -0.2762, -0.2593, -0.2883, -0.3091, -0.304, -0.3527, -0.401, -0.4024, -0.443, -0.4235, -0.3396, -0.3118, -0.3354, -0.3273, -0.3273, -0.3534, -0.3648, -0.3713, -0.3821, -0.3821, -0.336, -0.3147, -0.26, -0.2898, -0.2817, -0.2771, -0.2077, -0.2217, -0.2472, -0.2331, -0.1973, -0.1973, -0.267, -0.2701, -0.285, -0.3024, -0.3248, -0.2775, -0.2586, -0.2994, -0.3711, -0.3492, -0.336, -0.3918, -0.4547, -0.3644, -0.3143, -0.3224, -0.3459, -0.3376, -0.2765, -0.2765, -0.2801, -0.2485, -0.2056, -0.2771, -0.2573, -0.2427, -0.2166, -0.2257, -0.3268, -0.3281, -0.3592, -0.2782, -0.2939, -0.3405, -0.2991, -0.2881, -0.1732, -0.2024, -0.1662, -0.0414, -0.1412, -0.1248, -0.1029, -0.1317, -0.1573, -0.1517, -0.1504, -0.2177, -0.2557, -0.3189, -0.234, -0.2474, -0.1967, -0.1967, -0.1692, -0.1333]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1977819395004277191", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-13T19:31:04+00:00", "symbol": "FLNC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "There's always new opportunities too if you feel like you missed something like $NBIS $FLNC $WLAC", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long RKLB to $350B market cap (vs $30B now); also flags NBIS, FLNC, WLAC as new opportunities.", "resolved_tickers": ["FLNC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@paramdan42454 Stonks always go higher over longer periods of time if they’re fundamentally good.\n\nI think $RKLB will go to $350B market cap one day like SpaceX and it’s still $30B now.\n\nThere’s always new opportunities too if you feel like you missed something like $NBIS $FLNC $WLAC", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Master\nHow do you overcome the feeling of missed out on some stocks?\n\nI wanted a family member to buy me rklb and some other stocks with my money last year when it was around 4$ cuz couldn’t get it since I was underaged\nAnd now alltho I really like rklb I can’t get myself to buy.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Drunkandmiller", "ret_m1d": -0.17621146194068338, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.17621146194068338, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.16109926985166667, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.16109926985166667, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1611076377787779, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1611076377787779, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.1623292925822346, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.1623292925822346, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "ret_p1w": 0.1611076377787779, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1611076377787779, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14864983236183682, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14864983236183682, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "ret_p1m": 0.30459402733414187, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.30459402733414187, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.27449027184729546, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.27449027184729546, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "ret_p3m": 0.33291377265929234, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.33291377265929234, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2899186705729806, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2899186705729806, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "ret_p6m": -0.1661422458327464, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1661422458327464, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.16604207680445449, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.16604207680445449, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "bench_c_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "price_path": [-0.4795, -0.4814, -0.4361, -0.4003, -0.3575, -0.4059, -0.411, -0.4097, -0.4437, -0.4682, -0.484, -0.489, -0.5104, -0.4663, -0.4619, -0.4682, -0.4292, -0.4216, -0.4248, -0.5362, -0.5249, -0.5239, -0.4997, -0.4928, -0.5079, -0.5293, -0.5695, -0.5255, -0.5299, -0.523, -0.5419, -0.5123, -0.5343, -0.5343, -0.5639, -0.5752, -0.5752, -0.5249, -0.5463, -0.5733, -0.5746, -0.5632, -0.5595, -0.5349, -0.528, -0.5318, -0.5016, -0.411, -0.3329, -0.3575, -0.2964, -0.2618, -0.2505, -0.2826, -0.3203, -0.1536, -0.1787, -0.1322, -0.0396, -0.1296, -0.0585, -0.0623, -0.1762, 0.0, 0.1611, 0.3493, 0.2322, 0.1532, 0.1611, 0.0233, -0.0422, 0.0088, 0.2284, 0.1794, 0.1391, 0.2763, 0.2882, 0.3216, 0.3096, 0.207, 0.304, 0.2473, 0.3084, 0.3713, 0.3046, 0.2089, 0.0227, 0.1271, 0.0843, 0.0711, 0.0579, -0.0239, -0.0308, -0.0057, 0.0554, 0.1951, 0.1951, 0.236, 0.2203, 0.2561, 0.2492, 0.4688, 0.5079, 0.4386, 0.5066, 0.4984, 0.623, 0.3965, 0.3543, 0.3411, 0.1687, 0.2152, 0.2561, 0.287, 0.2379, 0.248, 0.248, 0.2719, 0.2568, 0.2498, 0.2448, 0.2448, 0.4481, 0.4003, 0.3738, 0.2939, 0.3329, 0.46, 0.4651, 0.4991, 0.4254, 0.6048, 0.7042, 0.7042, 0.6054, 0.6576, 0.7162, 0.6954, 0.7067, 0.7898, 0.9503, 0.9868, 0.9364, 0.944, 1.0283, 0.8244, 0.1926, 0.2234, 0.2209, 0.1951, 0.1026, 0.0975, 0.1617, 0.1617, 0.1189, 0.0969, 0.0422, 0.0415, 0.0113, 0.0378, 0.0277, 0.0195, -0.022, -0.0485, -0.061, -0.0057, -0.0082, -0.0699, -0.012, 0.0623, 0.0768, 0.0334, 0.0308, 0.056, 0.0384, 0.0063, 0.0088, -0.0478, -0.0334, 0.0164, 0.0289, -0.0585, -0.1095, -0.1819, -0.134, -0.1806, -0.163, -0.163, -0.1693, -0.1661]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1989408120872079670", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-14T19:00:32+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS is the clear winner with hyperscalers + enterprises + good balance sheet in a matter of time", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "NBIS is the clear Neocloud winner; CRWV burdened by interest debt; ORCL has failed buildout + risky backlog; IREN promising but execution uncertain.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Neocloud isn't winner takes all, it's a whole ecosystem but not everything can become AWS.\n\nWe're seeing $NBIS, $IREN, $CRWV, and $ORCL compete in the true \"Neocloud\", most profitable full stack race to become Azure/AWS. Doing vertical integration, building capacity, buying GPUs, and doing orchestration, and some incubants entering the race. \n\nSo far $NBIS is the clear winner with hyperscalers + enterprises + good balance sheet in a matter of time, $CRWV is swamped with interest debt, $ORCL failed buildout so far and OpenAI as their biggest + risky backlog. $IREN is promising but they have the biggest question mark for execution since it's not the original approach like $CIFR people were expecting with their capacity and software orchestration is much harder than people expect (looking at $ORCL then $CRWV spending billions on software aqusitions).\n\nThen there's $CIFR, $WULF, miners, etc and others do safer colo with their existing capacity while hyperscalers like Amazon plugs in their own GPUs. I still put them as a Neocloud but I guess it's time to make a separate category, but these aren't as affected by Burry's false comments about 2Y GPU deprecation lol.\n\nAnd then we have the rest... undergoing the pivot to HPC, with X amount of future capacity promised and this is becoming increasingly difficult to raise money for this change from credit tightening.\n\nIt's a good thing that we're starting to see emerging winners after the series of recent earnings. Market hasn't priced this in yet but it's a matter of time.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Do you think its good if the pool of players begin to shrink? \n\nProbably best if this industry is not commoditized and only the best can serve the best", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "accounting_ds", "ret_m1d": 0.06092885183275798, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06092885183275798, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.060765056247821025, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05553947374933221, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0053893780834257665, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02920759414251739, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02920759414251739, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03852402757176199, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03055500763417085, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0013474134916534597, "ret_p1w": -0.003351673165289948, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.003351673165289948, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.015846667575385776, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.00847158234454437, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005119909179254423, "ret_p1m": -0.028728770643726698, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.028728770643726698, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.041825383272466876, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07579595992511301, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04706718928138631, "ret_p3m": 0.060689485746484806, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.060689485746484806, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.027836732130763542, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.008700540385840005, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0519889453606448, "ret_p6m": 1.227675413742134, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.227675413742134, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.1211470771516163, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.1828159796751123, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04485943406702164, "price_path": [-0.1957, -0.1924, -0.2078, -0.1743, -0.1618, -0.1563, -0.1609, -0.1377, -0.1822, -0.1822, -0.2133, -0.2141, -0.223, -0.2163, -0.2332, 0.1458, 0.1179, 0.0676, 0.0822, 0.0888, 0.0705, 0.1262, 0.1266, 0.1888, 0.276, 0.2904, 0.3554, 0.2921, 0.2892, 0.3194, 0.3439, 0.3839, 0.5067, 0.532, 0.4956, 0.4089, 0.4604, 0.5877, 0.5511, 0.6215, 0.534, 0.5062, 0.4728, 0.3579, 0.3048, 0.2483, 0.1805, 0.2708, 0.4036, 0.5014, 0.4583, 0.4975, 0.4865, 0.566, 0.4421, 0.3232, 0.4005, 0.31, 0.3321, 0.3161, 0.2236, 0.1295, 0.0609, 0.0, 0.0292, 0.0838, 0.138, 0.0132, -0.0034, 0.1001, 0.0639, 0.1335, 0.1335, 0.1356, 0.1988, 0.1545, 0.1841, 0.2305, 0.1736, 0.201, 0.1541, 0.1203, 0.1286, 0.0497, -0.0287, -0.031, -0.0968, -0.0652, 0.0709, 0.116, 0.0777, 0.0909, 0.0909, 0.0485, 0.0299, 0.0195, 0.002, 0.002, 0.0767, 0.1112, 0.1999, 0.1517, 0.1647, 0.1723, 0.2848, 0.262, 0.2207, 0.2435, 0.3015, 0.3015, 0.1885, 0.1835, 0.1593, 0.1312, 0.0948, 0.1715, 0.2022, 0.1361, 0.0198, 0.0553, 0.0767, -0.0138, -0.1158, 0.0306, 0.1118, 0.0988, 0.0607, 0.0741, 0.1732, 0.1732, 0.1673, 0.2186, 0.2881, 0.1721, 0.2043, 0.2279, 0.2703, 0.2554, 0.0916, 0.0894, 0.039, 0.1705, 0.145, 0.0693, 0.1365, 0.1543, 0.3406, 0.2933, 0.352, 0.5543, 0.3925, 0.4192, 0.4546, 0.4079, 0.3664, 0.3755, 0.3777, 0.2685, 0.2068, 0.1044, 0.242, 0.2204, 0.3026, 0.3026, 0.3471, 0.4053, 0.4963, 0.6319, 0.7353, 0.8501, 0.9385, 0.9963, 0.9792, 0.881, 0.9052, 0.874, 0.869, 0.8803, 0.7616, 0.7352, 0.6221, 0.6901, 0.6547, 0.8493, 1.1118, 1.1058, 1.3353, 1.2118, 1.1193, 1.2277]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1989408120872079670", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-14T19:00:32+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$CRWV is swamped with interest debt", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "NBIS is the clear Neocloud winner; CRWV burdened by interest debt; ORCL has failed buildout + risky backlog; IREN promising but execution uncertain.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Neocloud isn't winner takes all, it's a whole ecosystem but not everything can become AWS.\n\nWe're seeing $NBIS, $IREN, $CRWV, and $ORCL compete in the true \"Neocloud\", most profitable full stack race to become Azure/AWS. Doing vertical integration, building capacity, buying GPUs, and doing orchestration, and some incubants entering the race. \n\nSo far $NBIS is the clear winner with hyperscalers + enterprises + good balance sheet in a matter of time, $CRWV is swamped with interest debt, $ORCL failed buildout so far and OpenAI as their biggest + risky backlog. $IREN is promising but they have the biggest question mark for execution since it's not the original approach like $CIFR people were expecting with their capacity and software orchestration is much harder than people expect (looking at $ORCL then $CRWV spending billions on software aqusitions).\n\nThen there's $CIFR, $WULF, miners, etc and others do safer colo with their existing capacity while hyperscalers like Amazon plugs in their own GPUs. I still put them as a Neocloud but I guess it's time to make a separate category, but these aren't as affected by Burry's false comments about 2Y GPU deprecation lol.\n\nAnd then we have the rest... undergoing the pivot to HPC, with X amount of future capacity promised and this is becoming increasingly difficult to raise money for this change from credit tightening.\n\nIt's a good thing that we're starting to see emerging winners after the series of recent earnings. Market hasn't priced this in yet but it's a matter of time.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Do you think its good if the pool of players begin to shrink? \n\nProbably best if this industry is not commoditized and only the best can serve the best", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "accounting_ds", "ret_m1d": 0.012667990173308441, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.012667990173308441, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012504194588371487, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012504194588371487, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02624093540952277, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02624093540952277, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.016924501980278173, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.016924501980278173, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "ret_p1w": -0.07381074249511577, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07381074249511577, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05461240175444004, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05461240175444004, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "ret_p1m": -0.0647621780856098, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0647621780856098, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07785879071434998, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07785879071434998, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "ret_p3m": 0.2299638156045576, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2299638156045576, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.19711106198883632, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.19711106198883632, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "bench_c_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "ret_p6m": 0.4826783356164317, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4826783356164317, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.37614999902591406, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.37614999902591406, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "price_path": [0.2007, 0.183, 0.1736, 0.215, 0.1942, 0.1814, 0.253, 0.3287, 0.332, 0.332, 0.2066, 0.1618, 0.1308, 0.1516, 0.2093, 0.2955, 0.5142, 0.4567, 0.4473, 0.5573, 0.535, 0.5623, 0.5692, 0.614, 0.7222, 0.692, 0.7244, 0.6373, 0.5556, 0.5838, 0.769, 0.7716, 0.7839, 0.7424, 0.7302, 0.6653, 0.8095, 0.8495, 0.7894, 0.8307, 0.7329, 0.7999, 0.8322, 0.7693, 0.6425, 0.6166, 0.571, 0.5944, 0.7134, 0.7588, 0.7425, 0.8088, 0.6942, 0.7284, 0.6329, 0.4963, 0.4791, 0.3822, 0.3445, 0.3652, 0.1426, 0.1043, 0.0127, 0.0, -0.0262, -0.0318, -0.0315, -0.1054, -0.0738, -0.0486, -0.0785, -0.0397, -0.0397, -0.0548, -0.0039, -0.0172, 0.0259, 0.1085, 0.1414, 0.1148, 0.1719, 0.1396, 0.1295, 0.0159, -0.0648, -0.1016, -0.1656, -0.1251, 0.0729, 0.0966, 0.0375, 0.0195, 0.0195, -0.0122, -0.0315, -0.0447, -0.0743, -0.0743, 0.0253, -0.0065, 0.0075, -0.0023, -0.0035, 0.0359, 0.1625, 0.1308, 0.1608, 0.2282, 0.3086, 0.3086, 0.2309, 0.2157, 0.1865, 0.2019, 0.2708, 0.4072, 0.3705, 0.2866, 0.2046, 0.1497, 0.1642, 0.0659, -0.035, 0.1627, 0.2512, 0.2294, 0.23, 0.2371, 0.2415, 0.2415, 0.1763, 0.2338, 0.2557, 0.1537, 0.1743, 0.2836, 0.2669, 0.262, 0.0284, 0.0089, -0.0463, 0.0277, -0.0328, -0.0565, -0.0381, -0.0315, 0.0595, 0.0323, 0.0485, 0.1099, 0.0615, 0.0706, 0.0427, 0.0531, 0.0595, 0.0732, 0.1321, 0.0399, -0.033, -0.1061, 0.0014, 0.014, 0.0631, 0.0631, 0.0463, 0.1019, 0.1492, 0.1892, 0.3185, 0.4254, 0.515, 0.5343, 0.5455, 0.5105, 0.518, 0.4886, 0.584, 0.5178, 0.4237, 0.4486, 0.3641, 0.4761, 0.4426, 0.5384, 0.6214, 0.6532, 0.7836, 0.6655, 0.4756, 0.4827]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1989408120872079670", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-11-14T19:00:32+00:00", "symbol": "ORCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ORCL failed buildout so far and OpenAI as their biggest + risky backlog", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "NBIS is the clear Neocloud winner; CRWV burdened by interest debt; ORCL has failed buildout + risky backlog; IREN promising but execution uncertain.", "resolved_tickers": ["ORCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Neocloud isn't winner takes all, it's a whole ecosystem but not everything can become AWS.\n\nWe're seeing $NBIS, $IREN, $CRWV, and $ORCL compete in the true \"Neocloud\", most profitable full stack race to become Azure/AWS. Doing vertical integration, building capacity, buying GPUs, and doing orchestration, and some incubants entering the race. \n\nSo far $NBIS is the clear winner with hyperscalers + enterprises + good balance sheet in a matter of time, $CRWV is swamped with interest debt, $ORCL failed buildout so far and OpenAI as their biggest + risky backlog. $IREN is promising but they have the biggest question mark for execution since it's not the original approach like $CIFR people were expecting with their capacity and software orchestration is much harder than people expect (looking at $ORCL then $CRWV spending billions on software aqusitions).\n\nThen there's $CIFR, $WULF, miners, etc and others do safer colo with their existing capacity while hyperscalers like Amazon plugs in their own GPUs. I still put them as a Neocloud but I guess it's time to make a separate category, but these aren't as affected by Burry's false comments about 2Y GPU deprecation lol.\n\nAnd then we have the rest... undergoing the pivot to HPC, with X amount of future capacity promised and this is becoming increasingly difficult to raise money for this change from credit tightening.\n\nIt's a good thing that we're starting to see emerging winners after the series of recent earnings. Market hasn't priced this in yet but it's a matter of time.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Do you think its good if the pool of players begin to shrink? \n\nProbably best if this industry is not commoditized and only the best can serve the best", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "accounting_ds", "ret_m1d": -0.0236930227053197, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0236930227053197, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.023856818290256654, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.023856818290256654, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.013417108625353946, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013417108625353946, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004100675196109349, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004100675196109349, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "ret_p1w": -0.10809963999165861, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10809963999165861, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08890129925098289, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08890129925098289, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "ret_p1m": -0.17020423069220436, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.17020423069220436, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.18330084332094454, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.18330084332094454, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "ret_p3m": -0.29290805543895604, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.29290805543895604, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3257608090546773, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3257608090546773, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "bench_c_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "ret_p6m": -0.12483203296449308, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.12483203296449308, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.23136036955501071, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.23136036955501071, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "price_path": [0.051, 0.053, 0.0445, 0.0588, 0.0545, 0.0492, 0.0563, 0.0765, 0.013, 0.013, 0.0092, 0.001, -0.0011, 0.0428, 0.0683, 0.0819, 0.4708, 0.3791, 0.3088, 0.3535, 0.3737, 0.3502, 0.3287, 0.3827, 0.47, 0.4058, 0.3818, 0.305, 0.2698, 0.2666, 0.2598, 0.2946, 0.2936, 0.2818, 0.3062, 0.2733, 0.2929, 0.3326, 0.3146, 0.3821, 0.3417, 0.3624, 0.4045, 0.3072, 0.2438, 0.2347, 0.2235, 0.2568, 0.2714, 0.2627, 0.2602, 0.2354, 0.1527, 0.1784, 0.1571, 0.1136, 0.1232, 0.094, 0.0736, 0.0807, 0.0597, 0.0186, -0.0237, 0.0, -0.0134, -0.0106, 0.012, -0.0546, -0.1081, -0.1013, -0.1159, -0.0803, -0.0803, -0.0938, -0.0983, -0.0976, -0.0678, -0.0382, -0.0236, -0.0104, -0.0059, 0.0007, -0.1077, -0.1475, -0.1702, -0.1535, -0.1992, -0.1921, -0.1386, -0.1098, -0.1234, -0.1138, -0.1138, -0.1116, -0.1233, -0.1151, -0.1254, -0.1254, -0.1218, -0.1358, -0.1306, -0.1347, -0.149, -0.1068, -0.0791, -0.0899, -0.1289, -0.1458, -0.1403, -0.1403, -0.1905, -0.2177, -0.1983, -0.2029, -0.1792, -0.2131, -0.2225, -0.2396, -0.2595, -0.2799, -0.3041, -0.3401, -0.386, -0.3574, -0.2955, -0.2806, -0.2929, -0.296, -0.2795, -0.2795, -0.3073, -0.2974, -0.2957, -0.3338, -0.3642, -0.3425, -0.3346, -0.3237, -0.3458, -0.3285, -0.3296, -0.3145, -0.3036, -0.3118, -0.3181, -0.3278, -0.2661, -0.2839, -0.3021, -0.2983, -0.304, -0.3121, -0.3003, -0.3266, -0.3056, -0.3382, -0.343, -0.3575, -0.3716, -0.3755, -0.3381, -0.3466, -0.3414, -0.3414, -0.3452, -0.3559, -0.3536, -0.3776, -0.3765, -0.2974, -0.2641, -0.2333, -0.1948, -0.2096, -0.1982, -0.182, -0.1535, -0.2041, -0.2177, -0.2191, -0.2507, -0.2603, -0.2713, -0.2242, -0.186, -0.1632, -0.124, -0.1214, -0.1153, -0.1248]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1989408120872079670", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-11-14T19:00:32+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$IREN is promising but they have the biggest question mark for execution", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "NBIS is the clear Neocloud winner; CRWV burdened by interest debt; ORCL has failed buildout + risky backlog; IREN promising but execution uncertain.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Neocloud isn't winner takes all, it's a whole ecosystem but not everything can become AWS.\n\nWe're seeing $NBIS, $IREN, $CRWV, and $ORCL compete in the true \"Neocloud\", most profitable full stack race to become Azure/AWS. Doing vertical integration, building capacity, buying GPUs, and doing orchestration, and some incubants entering the race. \n\nSo far $NBIS is the clear winner with hyperscalers + enterprises + good balance sheet in a matter of time, $CRWV is swamped with interest debt, $ORCL failed buildout so far and OpenAI as their biggest + risky backlog. $IREN is promising but they have the biggest question mark for execution since it's not the original approach like $CIFR people were expecting with their capacity and software orchestration is much harder than people expect (looking at $ORCL then $CRWV spending billions on software aqusitions).\n\nThen there's $CIFR, $WULF, miners, etc and others do safer colo with their existing capacity while hyperscalers like Amazon plugs in their own GPUs. I still put them as a Neocloud but I guess it's time to make a separate category, but these aren't as affected by Burry's false comments about 2Y GPU deprecation lol.\n\nAnd then we have the rest... undergoing the pivot to HPC, with X amount of future capacity promised and this is becoming increasingly difficult to raise money for this change from credit tightening.\n\nIt's a good thing that we're starting to see emerging winners after the series of recent earnings. Market hasn't priced this in yet but it's a matter of time.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Do you think its good if the pool of players begin to shrink? \n\nProbably best if this industry is not commoditized and only the best can serve the best", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "accounting_ds", "ret_m1d": 0.04916977887671181, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04916977887671181, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04900598329177486, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03906487034650952, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010104908530202295, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.022428314416290007, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.022428314416290007, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.031744747845534604, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04149401623884885, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "bench_c_p1d": -0.019065701822558845, "ret_p1w": -0.08863490845425614, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08863490845425614, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06943656771358042, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07376361114817953, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014871297306076614, "ret_p1m": -0.23485011085821472, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.23485011085821472, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2479467234869549, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2832772311723931, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "bench_c_p1m": 0.048427120314178396, "ret_p3m": -0.07979298788370837, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07979298788370837, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11264574149942963, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08883645736695056, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "bench_c_p3m": 0.009043469483242195, "ret_p6m": 0.1893466205787826, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1893466205787826, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08281828398826496, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.20511627869549376, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "bench_c_p6m": -0.01576965811671116, "price_path": [-0.5961, -0.5739, -0.5775, -0.5378, -0.5014, -0.5042, -0.5179, -0.5031, -0.4289, -0.4289, -0.3722, -0.3916, -0.4365, -0.4361, -0.4352, -0.3489, -0.2747, -0.2916, -0.2676, -0.1991, -0.2139, -0.1827, -0.2167, -0.1667, -0.0964, -0.0992, 0.0166, -0.0017, -0.0973, -0.0095, 0.0121, 0.0153, 0.014, 0.0882, 0.2454, 0.3302, 0.2959, 0.377, 0.289, 0.3832, 0.5001, 0.466, 0.3334, 0.3095, 0.2771, 0.1903, 0.1177, 0.2047, 0.3565, 0.4016, 0.3461, 0.303, 0.2556, 0.3101, 0.4611, 0.4369, 0.6478, 0.444, 0.3453, 0.2976, 0.2374, 0.2012, 0.0492, 0.0, 0.0224, 0.0535, -0.0116, -0.0625, -0.0886, 0.0457, 0.0237, 0.0449, 0.0449, 0.0311, 0.0457, -0.1132, -0.052, 0.0017, -0.0358, -0.0006, 0.0101, -0.0528, -0.0524, -0.1346, -0.2349, -0.2109, -0.2715, -0.2279, -0.1391, -0.0934, -0.0927, -0.0947, -0.0947, -0.1309, -0.1501, -0.174, -0.1855, -0.1855, -0.0791, 0.0403, -0.0099, -0.0592, -0.0149, -0.0073, 0.0854, 0.1428, 0.1404, 0.119, 0.2469, 0.2469, 0.1702, 0.1533, 0.127, 0.2223, 0.1292, 0.2937, 0.3573, 0.2905, 0.1589, 0.1447, 0.173, -0.0308, -0.1419, -0.0979, -0.0047, -0.0742, -0.0798, -0.1367, -0.0895, -0.0895, -0.1165, -0.0925, -0.0664, -0.1378, -0.0865, -0.0198, -0.0505, -0.0459, -0.1169, -0.1074, -0.1622, -0.0546, -0.1347, -0.2085, -0.1624, -0.1779, -0.0947, -0.1078, -0.1033, -0.0308, -0.0735, -0.0897, -0.1016, -0.1096, -0.0908, -0.1132, -0.1065, -0.1924, -0.2433, -0.3181, -0.2607, -0.2648, -0.2502, -0.2502, -0.2424, -0.2292, -0.2057, -0.2008, -0.152, -0.0712, 0.0216, 0.0528, 0.0287, 0.0377, 0.0507, -0.0259, 0.0436, 0.1218, 0.0921, 0.0429, -0.0416, -0.0757, -0.0185, -0.0153, 0.0671, 0.1805, 0.3151, 0.226, 0.3198, 0.1893]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1981211715653292301", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-23T04:10:56+00:00", "symbol": "IONQ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we're less likely to see institutional shorting into adjacent sectors now that the US gov is starting to backstop companies and sectors strategic to national interests", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "US gov backstopping strategic sectors reduces short pressure; bullish on IONQ, RGTI, and NBIS as national-security-relevant plays.", "resolved_tickers": ["IONQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The point of the post was an analysis one step deeper into potential affects on US government taking positions in $IONQ, $RGTI. Previously the US took positions in critical mineral companies + Intel and it’s surprising given that US usually stays away taking equity in private companies. \n\nAI buildout (data center, energy) like $NBIS and other sectors are national security issues. And we’re less likely to see institutional shorting into adjacent sectors now that the US gov is starting to backstop companies and sectors strategic to national interests.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit But NBIS isn’t quantum", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "regard_capital", "ret_m1d": -0.06602658311385068, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06602658311385068, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06013164824569428, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05357380541370049, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0058949348681563984, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012452777700150186, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.015664482430642668, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015664482430642668, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007491911326011902, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00013288699650226832, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008172571104630766, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0155315954341404, "ret_p1w": 0.013474806323954702, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.013474806323954702, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0014615224578906627, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02561352912226167, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01201328386606404, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03908833544621637, "ret_p1m": -0.2974566307079345, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2974566307079345, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.27850645233299676, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2424911862953879, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01895017837493773, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05496544441254658, "ret_p3m": -0.1467070783421378, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1467070783421378, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.15835138623440415, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12948168326689125, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.011644307892266337, "bench_c_p3m": -0.017225395075246563, "ret_p6m": -0.22368197773648313, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.22368197773648313, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.28683480159056973, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.29446504012115327, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0631528238540866, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07078306238467014, "price_path": [-0.2868, -0.3173, -0.3283, -0.3284, -0.3579, -0.3286, -0.2922, -0.3055, -0.318, -0.2951, -0.2431, -0.2757, -0.3059, -0.3089, -0.3224, -0.3224, -0.3802, -0.3803, -0.3739, -0.33, -0.3485, -0.3136, -0.3023, -0.2707, -0.2801, -0.2801, -0.2759, -0.3099, -0.2907, -0.2959, -0.3092, -0.2589, -0.2612, -0.2075, -0.0633, -0.0044, 0.0487, 0.1022, 0.1253, 0.186, 0.2117, 0.2656, 0.2441, 0.1694, 0.1332, 0.0824, 0.0359, 0.0627, 0.1723, 0.2343, 0.3305, 0.3345, 0.2515, 0.3054, 0.19, 0.3827, 0.3062, 0.2196, 0.1048, 0.0601, 0.0096, 0.0022, -0.066, 0.0, 0.0157, 0.0578, -0.0374, 0.0293, 0.0135, 0.0507, -0.0163, -0.1009, -0.0667, -0.0327, -0.0017, -0.0674, -0.0834, -0.1459, -0.2353, -0.2053, -0.195, -0.1726, -0.1935, -0.3094, -0.2975, -0.2124, -0.2073, -0.21, -0.21, -0.1696, -0.2063, -0.2095, -0.1806, -0.0776, -0.1125, -0.0844, -0.083, -0.1297, -0.1149, -0.1519, -0.224, -0.1634, -0.2277, -0.2178, -0.1834, -0.0928, -0.1344, -0.1609, -0.1609, -0.2252, -0.2378, -0.2368, -0.2442, -0.2442, -0.2122, -0.1796, -0.145, -0.1615, -0.1502, -0.1671, -0.1418, -0.1757, -0.143, -0.1989, -0.1443, -0.1443, -0.1467, -0.186, -0.1691, -0.2041, -0.2695, -0.2338, -0.2286, -0.2717, -0.3266, -0.3505, -0.352, -0.4047, -0.4875, -0.4106, -0.4024, -0.4073, -0.4339, -0.4728, -0.4255, -0.4255, -0.4411, -0.4384, -0.4369, -0.4627, -0.4816, -0.4674, -0.4342, -0.3114, -0.3537, -0.3542, -0.3759, -0.3746, -0.3933, -0.3982, -0.3958, -0.4085, -0.4228, -0.4437, -0.4445, -0.4393, -0.4389, -0.4546, -0.4627, -0.4745, -0.4423, -0.4492, -0.4617, -0.4974, -0.5366, -0.5521, -0.5144, -0.5319, -0.5065, -0.5065, -0.5075, -0.5201, -0.5117, -0.527, -0.5151, -0.4987, -0.3977, -0.2715, -0.2474, -0.2237]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1981211715653292301", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-23T04:10:56+00:00", "symbol": "RGTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we're less likely to see institutional shorting into adjacent sectors now that the US gov is starting to backstop companies and sectors strategic to national interests", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "US gov backstopping strategic sectors reduces short pressure; bullish on IONQ, RGTI, and NBIS as national-security-relevant plays.", "resolved_tickers": ["RGTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The point of the post was an analysis one step deeper into potential affects on US government taking positions in $IONQ, $RGTI. Previously the US took positions in critical mineral companies + Intel and it’s surprising given that US usually stays away taking equity in private companies. \n\nAI buildout (data center, energy) like $NBIS and other sectors are national security issues. And we’re less likely to see institutional shorting into adjacent sectors now that the US gov is starting to backstop companies and sectors strategic to national interests.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit But NBIS isn’t quantum", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "regard_capital", "ret_m1d": -0.08927894275613146, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08927894275613146, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08338400788797506, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07682616505598128, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0058949348681563984, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012452777700150186, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.019068090537662785, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.019068090537662785, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02724066164229355, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.034599685971803185, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008172571104630766, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0155315954341404, "ret_p1w": 0.07387294221198681, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07387294221198681, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.061859658345922774, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03478460676577044, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01201328386606404, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03908833544621637, "ret_p1m": -0.40421771876967805, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.40421771876967805, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3852675403947403, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.34925227435713146, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01895017837493773, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05496544441254658, "ret_p3m": -0.36885972974660275, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.36885972974660275, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3805040376388691, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3516343346713562, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.011644307892266337, "bench_c_p3m": -0.017225395075246563, "ret_p6m": -0.4996843324862865, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4996843324862865, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5628371563403731, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5704673948709567, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0631528238540866, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07078306238467014, "price_path": [-0.6068, -0.6345, -0.6421, -0.6338, -0.6434, -0.602, -0.584, -0.5962, -0.6045, -0.6101, -0.5964, -0.5909, -0.5646, -0.5459, -0.5795, -0.58, -0.6171, -0.6272, -0.6396, -0.6257, -0.6345, -0.6136, -0.6113, -0.5813, -0.5901, -0.5901, -0.608, -0.6202, -0.6181, -0.6186, -0.6174, -0.5833, -0.5911, -0.5785, -0.5179, -0.5148, -0.4949, -0.4446, -0.3752, -0.2797, -0.2835, -0.2055, -0.2009, -0.1893, -0.2125, -0.2512, -0.2476, -0.2461, -0.1059, 0.0117, 0.0534, 0.109, 0.0918, 0.1898, 0.1092, 0.3868, 0.4174, 0.4229, 0.2115, 0.1714, 0.0938, 0.0102, -0.0893, 0.0, -0.0191, 0.0163, -0.0638, -0.0047, 0.0739, 0.1181, -0.012, -0.1115, -0.0582, -0.1322, -0.1471, -0.1645, -0.207, -0.2853, -0.3636, -0.3565, -0.3764, -0.3507, -0.357, -0.4242, -0.4042, -0.329, -0.3413, -0.3542, -0.3542, -0.3542, -0.4078, -0.3969, -0.3423, -0.2408, -0.2901, -0.2863, -0.2873, -0.3403, -0.3211, -0.3474, -0.4057, -0.3949, -0.4325, -0.4237, -0.3999, -0.3211, -0.3658, -0.381, -0.381, -0.4348, -0.4376, -0.434, -0.4406, -0.4406, -0.404, -0.3684, -0.359, -0.3633, -0.3623, -0.3757, -0.3552, -0.382, -0.3504, -0.3762, -0.3529, -0.3529, -0.3689, -0.4022, -0.3696, -0.4078, -0.4504, -0.4365, -0.4441, -0.4987, -0.5411, -0.5527, -0.5401, -0.5659, -0.6218, -0.5527, -0.5558, -0.5714, -0.585, -0.6214, -0.5936, -0.5936, -0.6063, -0.5914, -0.5808, -0.5979, -0.5954, -0.5838, -0.5547, -0.5292, -0.56, -0.5532, -0.5717, -0.5515, -0.5714, -0.5704, -0.5555, -0.5709, -0.5722, -0.5941, -0.5916, -0.5924, -0.5904, -0.6042, -0.6108, -0.6242, -0.5989, -0.606, -0.6176, -0.6361, -0.6636, -0.6742, -0.6454, -0.659, -0.6416, -0.6416, -0.6414, -0.6505, -0.633, -0.6386, -0.6292, -0.6179, -0.5739, -0.5174, -0.5088, -0.4997]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1981211715653292301", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-23T04:10:56+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "AI buildout (data center, energy) like $NBIS and other sectors are national security issues. And we're less likely to see institutional shorting into adjacent sectors now that the US gov is starting to backstop companies", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "US gov backstopping strategic sectors reduces short pressure; bullish on IONQ, RGTI, and NBIS as national-security-relevant plays.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The point of the post was an analysis one step deeper into potential affects on US government taking positions in $IONQ, $RGTI. Previously the US took positions in critical mineral companies + Intel and it’s surprising given that US usually stays away taking equity in private companies. \n\nAI buildout (data center, energy) like $NBIS and other sectors are national security issues. And we’re less likely to see institutional shorting into adjacent sectors now that the US gov is starting to backstop companies and sectors strategic to national interests.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit But NBIS isn’t quantum", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "regard_capital", "ret_m1d": -0.07102487429753657, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07102487429753657, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06512993942938017, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07440881923073017, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0058949348681563984, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033839449331936056, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10455913801068295, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10455913801068295, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09638656690605218, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10195610344668782, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008172571104630766, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0026030345639951324, "ret_p1w": 0.16974374549214621, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16974374549214621, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15773046162608217, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.17781315264053088, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01201328386606404, "bench_c_p1w": -0.008069407148384666, "ret_p1m": -0.2157121395621464, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2157121395621464, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19676196118720868, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.18664489805590412, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01895017837493773, "bench_c_p1m": -0.029067241506242292, "ret_p3m": -0.06471366342872564, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06471366342872564, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07635797132099198, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05245634876501981, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.011644307892266337, "bench_c_p3m": -0.012257314663705832, "ret_p6m": 0.4802184812445973, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4802184812445973, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4170656573905107, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.44015893191536004, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0631528238540866, "bench_c_p6m": 0.040059549329237276, "price_path": [-0.5031, -0.5252, -0.5169, -0.4873, -0.5102, -0.4897, -0.4803, -0.4811, -0.3848, -0.3521, -0.3384, -0.2904, -0.3347, -0.3551, -0.3254, -0.3167, -0.3671, -0.3644, -0.3766, -0.3502, -0.3404, -0.3361, -0.3397, -0.3214, -0.3564, -0.3564, -0.3809, -0.3816, -0.3886, -0.3833, -0.3966, -0.0983, -0.1203, -0.1599, -0.1484, -0.1432, -0.1576, -0.1138, -0.1134, -0.0645, 0.0041, 0.0154, 0.0666, 0.0168, 0.0145, 0.0382, 0.0576, 0.089, 0.1857, 0.2055, 0.1769, 0.1087, 0.1492, 0.2494, 0.2206, 0.276, 0.2071, 0.1853, 0.159, 0.0686, 0.0268, -0.0177, -0.071, 0.0, 0.1046, 0.1815, 0.1476, 0.1784, 0.1697, 0.2323, 0.1348, 0.0413, 0.1021, 0.0309, 0.0482, 0.0357, -0.0371, -0.1112, -0.1651, -0.2131, -0.1901, -0.1471, -0.1045, -0.2027, -0.2157, -0.1343, -0.1628, -0.108, -0.108, -0.1063, -0.0566, -0.0915, -0.0682, -0.0317, -0.0765, -0.0549, -0.0918, -0.1184, -0.1119, -0.174, -0.2357, -0.2375, -0.2893, -0.2644, -0.1573, -0.1218, -0.1519, -0.1416, -0.1416, -0.1749, -0.1895, -0.1977, -0.2115, -0.2115, -0.1527, -0.1256, -0.0558, -0.0937, -0.0835, -0.0775, 0.011, -0.0069, -0.0394, -0.0214, 0.0242, 0.0242, -0.0647, -0.0687, -0.0877, -0.1098, -0.1385, -0.0781, -0.054, -0.106, -0.1975, -0.1696, -0.1527, -0.2239, -0.3042, -0.189, -0.1251, -0.1354, -0.1653, -0.1548, -0.0768, -0.0768, -0.0814, -0.0411, 0.0137, -0.0776, -0.0523, -0.0337, -0.0004, -0.0121, -0.141, -0.1427, -0.1824, -0.0789, -0.099, -0.1585, -0.1057, -0.0917, 0.055, 0.0177, 0.064, 0.2232, 0.0958, 0.1168, 0.1447, 0.108, 0.0753, 0.0824, 0.0841, -0.0018, -0.0503, -0.1309, -0.0226, -0.0397, 0.0251, 0.0251, 0.0601, 0.1059, 0.1775, 0.2842, 0.3656, 0.4559, 0.5254, 0.5709, 0.5575, 0.4802]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1965787310894829851", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-10T14:39:52+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Given $HIMS growth + 1.2M customers in Europe, I have high conviction that they'll cover.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "High conviction long HIMS: growth + 1.2M European customers will force shorts to cover.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@jliljliljlil There’s no pt on short squeezes, it’s whenever short interest decreases.\n\nEither there’s a whopping spike that goes up 50%+ or some sustained squeeze over a year like TSLA back in 2020.\n\nGiven $HIMS growth + 1.2M customers in Europe, I have high conviction that they’ll cover.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.00020933730611139012, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00020933730611139012, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0030918586359953704, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0030918586359953704, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028825213298839802, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0028825213298839802, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08329844378231477, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08329844378231477, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07498827342637071, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07498827342637071, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008310170355944058, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008310170355944058, "ret_p1w": 0.053788190884965115, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.053788190884965115, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04310144808593619, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04310144808593619, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010686742799028925, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010686742799028925, "ret_p1m": 0.21912937396808374, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21912937396808374, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.18722137380349224, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.18722137380349224, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0319080001645915, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0319080001645915, "ret_p3m": -0.18124738527964335, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.18124738527964335, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2323280264162607, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2323280264162607, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.051080641136617366, "bench_c_p3m": 0.051080641136617366, "ret_p6m": -0.6676433545385159, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.6676433545385159, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.7182523052188337, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.7182523052188337, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05060895068031779, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05060895068031779, "price_path": [0.1612, 0.2512, 0.2398, 0.2781, 0.2781, 0.3441, -0.1214, -0.1011, -0.1333, -0.0314, 0.0341, 0.0433, 0.0038, -0.0067, 0.0042, 0.0042, 0.0134, 0.0247, 0.0724, 0.0521, 0.0023, 0.0889, 0.0561, 0.0852, 0.0463, 0.0544, -0.0038, 0.0467, 0.2143, 0.1997, 0.2066, 0.2281, 0.2614, 0.3715, 0.3851, 0.3091, 0.3259, 0.162, 0.0701, 0.0684, 0.0871, 0.046, 0.0038, 0.0115, -0.0136, -0.0368, -0.0561, -0.1172, -0.0921, -0.0799, -0.0672, -0.1003, -0.0509, -0.0789, -0.0766, -0.1136, -0.1136, -0.1308, -0.0695, 0.0069, 0.0132, 0.0389, 0.0002, 0.0, 0.0833, 0.1616, 0.1293, 0.0651, 0.0538, 0.1762, 0.2101, 0.2076, 0.172, 0.1145, 0.1484, 0.2223, 0.2373, 0.1871, 0.1785, 0.2112, 0.0996, 0.1461, 0.2133, 0.2175, 0.2191, 0.1291, 0.1455, 0.1306, 0.3135, 0.238, 0.0419, 0.0749, 0.0331, -0.0067, 0.0149, 0.0209, 0.0094, -0.0138, -0.0241, -0.0779, -0.0486, -0.071, -0.1044, -0.0848, -0.131, -0.1413, -0.1409, -0.1681, -0.1833, -0.2455, -0.226, -0.2553, -0.2411, -0.2501, -0.2964, -0.2735, -0.2093, -0.2237, -0.1963, -0.1963, -0.1679, -0.2149, -0.2401, -0.2242, -0.1624, -0.1796, -0.1812, -0.1666, -0.2072, -0.2095, -0.2212, -0.2413, -0.2285, -0.2681, -0.2723, -0.2558, -0.2664, -0.2717, -0.2744, -0.2744, -0.2819, -0.2863, -0.3085, -0.3204, -0.3204, -0.3008, -0.2735, -0.2578, -0.2578, -0.2911, -0.3368, -0.3231, -0.3261, -0.3445, -0.3464, -0.3432, -0.3432, -0.3623, -0.3954, -0.3612, -0.3801, -0.3663, -0.3788, -0.4, -0.3748, -0.433, -0.4466, -0.4655, -0.4893, -0.5086, -0.5182, -0.5954, -0.6392, -0.6507, -0.6693, -0.6589, -0.6589, -0.6595, -0.6685, -0.6689, -0.6729, -0.6754, -0.6764, -0.6689, -0.6735, -0.6961, -0.6551, -0.6689, -0.6557, -0.6676]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1976533824894091656", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-10T06:22:40+00:00", "symbol": "SNAP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Now they do $1.4B+ quarterly revenue and will finally have a net profit from it with +$800M FCF. That will cause the re-rating", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish SNAP on profitability re-rating driven by $1.4B+ quarterly revenue and +$800M FCF, not AR glasses thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNAP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Disagree, Snap is a social media company. Its revenue comes from ads, not AR glasses.\n\nThey have high revenue but are unprofitable because of Google Cloud spend.\n\nThey just needed to convert that Google Cloud cost into revenue (which they did) by deleting memories + charging for them. \n\nNow they do $1.4B+ quarterly revenue and will finally have a net profit from it with +$800M FCF.\n\nThat will cause the re-rating, not trying to create Snap glasses.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @capybara_830 Your analysis is flawed. They are the leader in AR glasses. They will shock the world when they release their consumer specs and they will re rate as a high margin hardware company akin to Apple and iPhone", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "glumyday", "ret_m1d": 0.077120808284316, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.077120808284316, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.049342184522930044, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0583265440562688, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.027778623761385957, "bench_c_m1d": 0.018794264228047197, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03470436679244826, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03470436679244826, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.019360292099239507, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.025484562176719017, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015344074693208754, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009219804615729243, "ret_p1w": -0.01670952582713625, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01670952582713625, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.034120996462481235, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03568118562545386, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017411470635344983, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01897165979831761, "ret_p1m": 0.11696649691958916, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11696649691958916, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07344562218005812, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11271118153633686, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.043520874739531035, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0042553153832523005, "ret_p3m": 0.10796910708199392, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10796910708199392, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0488626763281963, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06657671658955233, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05910643075379762, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04139239049244159, "ret_p6m": -0.39460155383941853, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.39460155383941853, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4093973371563209, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3917611825557996, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.014795783316902344, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0028403712836189143, "price_path": [0.2185, 0.2416, 0.2738, 0.2866, 0.2699, 0.3303, 0.2943, 0.2519, 0.2558, 0.2455, 0.1992, 0.1979, 0.2121, 0.1632, 0.2172, 0.2069, 0.0, -0.0308, -0.0476, -0.0758, -0.0656, -0.0591, -0.09, -0.081, -0.0566, -0.0771, -0.0797, -0.0938, -0.0746, -0.1003, -0.0977, -0.1015, -0.0874, -0.0823, -0.0823, -0.0578, -0.0681, -0.0887, -0.0604, -0.072, -0.0643, -0.0938, -0.063, -0.0566, -0.0411, -0.0051, 0.027, 0.0848, 0.0488, 0.0964, 0.0823, 0.0566, 0.0707, 0.063, 0.0797, -0.009, -0.009, 0.0566, 0.0977, 0.0951, 0.045, 0.0835, 0.0771, 0.0, 0.0347, 0.018, 0.0167, -0.0026, -0.0167, -0.0064, 0.009, -0.0013, 0.0116, 0.0219, 0.0167, -0.0051, -0.0051, -0.0231, 0.0026, 0.0051, -0.0398, -0.0617, 0.0296, 0.0553, 0.117, 0.126, 0.1684, 0.1028, 0.1015, 0.0514, 0.0604, 0.0321, 0.0, -0.0116, -0.0129, -0.018, -0.0219, -0.0219, -0.0129, -0.018, -0.0206, -0.0154, -0.0026, 0.0167, 0.0321, 0.018, 0.018, -0.018, -0.0604, -0.0668, -0.0527, -0.036, -0.0193, -0.027, 0.0206, 0.0039, 0.009, 0.009, 0.0103, 0.0129, 0.0373, 0.0373, 0.0373, 0.045, 0.0604, 0.1298, 0.108, 0.0797, 0.0553, 0.0527, 0.027, 0.0154, -0.0026, -0.0321, -0.0321, -0.0553, -0.0527, -0.0154, -0.0206, -0.0283, -0.0411, -0.0141, -0.0694, -0.1093, -0.144, -0.2159, -0.2404, -0.3419, -0.329, -0.3329, -0.3278, -0.3586, -0.3805, -0.3792, -0.3792, -0.392, -0.3728, -0.3573, -0.3393, -0.3663, -0.3612, -0.3483, -0.3239, -0.3303, -0.3239, -0.3252, -0.3098, -0.3136, -0.3368, -0.3406, -0.3689, -0.3753, -0.4023, -0.4139, -0.3985, -0.4023, -0.4062, -0.4139, -0.4242, -0.4203, -0.4396, -0.4229, -0.4846, -0.4949, -0.4833, -0.4087, -0.3702, -0.4049, -0.4049, -0.3946]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2008532157405552809", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-06T13:32:37+00:00", "symbol": "AIRO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AIRO will recognize it next quarter but that \"huge miss\" caused the selloff since it was misunderstood", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish AIRO: selloff was based on misunderstanding deferred vs lost revenue; expects recognition next quarter.", "resolved_tickers": ["AIRO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Mr__Cause That was deferred revenue, not lost revenue. \n\n$AIRO will recognize it next quarter but that “huge miss” caused the selloff since it was misunderstood.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Dude,. https://t.co/Mb5YpisYBk", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Mr__Cause", "ret_m1d": -0.09237666082601714, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09237666082601714, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08646463734070109, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0789832188951326, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005912023485316054, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013393441930884542, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03677128802145668, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03677128802145668, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03354793122922928, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.017946425962622636, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0032233567922274053, "bench_c_p1d": -0.018824862058834047, "ret_p1w": 0.15515700045725045, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.15515700045725045, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15232377988891477, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14287468107558055, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028332205683356815, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012282319381669904, "ret_p1m": -0.14349771143815626, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14349771143815626, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13537411982107783, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.18898583139896996, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00812359161707843, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0454881199608137, "ret_p3m": -0.21883405057057093, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21883405057057093, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1694145838876736, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2324754055224233, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04941946668289732, "bench_c_p3m": 0.013641354951852369, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.7112, 0.6278, 0.6637, 0.8009, 0.7498, 0.6861, 0.5695, 0.6386, 0.6126, 0.5336, 0.5471, 0.5677, 0.5543, 0.5085, 0.5067, 0.4664, 0.4673, 0.4601, 0.2798, 0.2731, 0.1767, 0.2081, 0.2377, 0.2224, 0.1991, 0.1435, -0.0942, -0.0735, -0.1157, -0.2045, -0.2951, -0.2834, -0.2942, -0.2969, -0.261, -0.261, -0.2242, -0.2655, -0.2574, -0.2152, -0.1399, -0.1498, -0.1291, -0.139, -0.1278, -0.13, -0.2377, -0.2861, -0.3103, -0.3354, -0.3345, -0.2798, -0.1839, -0.1749, -0.1614, -0.1614, -0.2161, -0.2556, -0.2691, -0.2664, -0.2664, -0.1713, -0.0924, 0.0, -0.0368, 0.0717, 0.1202, 0.1193, 0.1552, 0.1865, 0.1839, 0.1991, 0.1991, 0.1417, 0.0915, 0.1238, 0.0933, 0.0269, 0.0493, 0.0179, -0.0206, -0.0771, -0.0987, -0.0861, -0.1435, -0.2395, -0.1354, -0.0942, -0.1453, -0.174, -0.183, -0.1749, -0.1749, -0.1794, -0.1605, -0.0843, -0.165, -0.1345, -0.0969, -0.1121, -0.0879, -0.1211, -0.0404, -0.0978, -0.096, -0.0816, -0.096, -0.0538, -0.0377, -0.0583, -0.0879, -0.122, -0.0969, -0.0475, -0.1049, -0.1067, -0.1767, -0.1256, -0.148, -0.1552, -0.1874, -0.2305, -0.2314, -0.3179, -0.2628, -0.2188, -0.2188, -0.2152, -0.2161, -0.209, -0.2753, -0.2933, -0.2951, -0.2753, -0.2502, -0.2242, -0.2762, -0.2296, -0.2466, -0.2197, -0.2601, -0.2888, -0.2628, -0.2861, -0.3274, -0.3148, -0.3345, -0.3507, -0.3587, -0.3336, -0.3525, -0.3417, -0.2888, -0.2978, -0.2978, -0.4067, -0.4287, -0.461, -0.4753, -0.4637, -0.4386, -0.4117, -0.4117, -0.3722, -0.3462, -0.2027, -0.1946, -0.1946, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972034079425286595", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-27T20:22:17+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I bought some $IREN after the drop. It's more speculative than $NBIS, $CIFR, $WULF, but I'd expect a hyperscaler contract down the road", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bought IREN post-drop on hyperscaler contract expectations; NBIS seen as most asymmetric neocloud play.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@cronked Thanks! late reply, but I bought some $IREN after the drop. It's more speculative than $NBIS, $CIFR, $WULF, but I'd expect a hyperscaler contract down the road. \n\nObviously $NBIS is most asymmetric return but wouldn't be bad to have other neoclouds up there too", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Glad you moved over from Reddit. I have enjoyed your posts. What do you think of $IREN after the drop today? My biggest holding is $NBIS, by the way.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cronked", "ret_m1d": -0.08861309966866204, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08861309966866204, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08581060925253925, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08362508350331566, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004988016165346387, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.021772261993373343, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.021772261993373343, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.018005395234261368, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.026575534186569327, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004803272193195984, "ret_p1w": 0.2573481301173046, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2573481301173046, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.24539964873489195, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2652919787543433, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007943848637038675, "ret_p1m": 0.3590245537601553, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3590245537601553, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.323796747017586, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.38008494008901605, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02106038632886076, "ret_p3m": -0.086000451484742, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.086000451484742, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12930443609689524, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11915726748529021, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": 0.033156816000548206, "ret_p6m": -0.10472461008777711, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.10472461008777711, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.09450760367583522, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0230035156243954, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.08172109446338172, "price_path": [-0.659, -0.6338, -0.6338, -0.631, -0.6323, -0.6307, -0.6292, -0.6466, -0.6238, -0.6325, -0.6231, -0.607, -0.6094, -0.6048, -0.5953, -0.5865, -0.6051, -0.6142, -0.639, -0.6562, -0.6486, -0.6492, -0.6647, -0.6412, -0.6418, -0.6011, -0.5957, -0.5983, -0.6088, -0.6118, -0.614, -0.5846, -0.5713, -0.5492, -0.5922, -0.5698, -0.5735, -0.5334, -0.4966, -0.4995, -0.5133, -0.4984, -0.4235, -0.4235, -0.3662, -0.3858, -0.4311, -0.4307, -0.4298, -0.3427, -0.2678, -0.2848, -0.2606, -0.1914, -0.2064, -0.1748, -0.2092, -0.1587, -0.0877, -0.0906, 0.0263, 0.0078, -0.0886, 0.0, 0.0218, 0.025, 0.0237, 0.0986, 0.2573, 0.3429, 0.3083, 0.3902, 0.3013, 0.3965, 0.5145, 0.4801, 0.3462, 0.322, 0.2894, 0.2017, 0.1285, 0.2162, 0.3695, 0.415, 0.359, 0.3155, 0.2676, 0.3227, 0.4751, 0.4507, 0.6636, 0.4579, 0.3582, 0.31, 0.2493, 0.2127, 0.0592, 0.0096, 0.0322, 0.0636, -0.0022, -0.0536, -0.0799, 0.0557, 0.0335, 0.0549, 0.0549, 0.0409, 0.0557, -0.1047, -0.0429, 0.0113, -0.0266, 0.0089, 0.0198, -0.0438, -0.0433, -0.1263, -0.2275, -0.2034, -0.2645, -0.2206, -0.1309, -0.0847, -0.084, -0.086, -0.086, -0.1226, -0.142, -0.1661, -0.1777, -0.1777, -0.0703, 0.0503, -0.0004, -0.0502, -0.0054, 0.0022, 0.0958, 0.1537, 0.1513, 0.1298, 0.2589, 0.2589, 0.1814, 0.1644, 0.1378, 0.2341, 0.14, 0.3061, 0.3703, 0.3029, 0.17, 0.1557, 0.1842, -0.0216, -0.1337, -0.0893, 0.0048, -0.0653, -0.071, -0.1285, -0.0808, -0.0808, -0.108, -0.0838, -0.0575, -0.1295, -0.0777, -0.0105, -0.0414, -0.0368, -0.1084, -0.0988, -0.1541, -0.0455, -0.1264, -0.201, -0.1544, -0.17, -0.086, -0.0993, -0.0947, -0.0216, -0.0647, -0.081, -0.093, -0.101, -0.0821, -0.1047]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972034079425286595", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-27T20:22:17+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS is most asymmetric return", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bought IREN post-drop on hyperscaler contract expectations; NBIS seen as most asymmetric neocloud play.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@cronked Thanks! late reply, but I bought some $IREN after the drop. It's more speculative than $NBIS, $CIFR, $WULF, but I'd expect a hyperscaler contract down the road. \n\nObviously $NBIS is most asymmetric return but wouldn't be bad to have other neoclouds up there too", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Glad you moved over from Reddit. I have enjoyed your posts. What do you think of $IREN after the drop today? My biggest holding is $NBIS, by the way.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cronked", "ret_m1d": -0.022863402690541768, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.022863402690541768, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.020060912274418974, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01965792073995065, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003205481950591116, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01859912356794835, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01859912356794835, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014832256808836375, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0201175336178111, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0015184100498627506, "ret_p1w": 0.13355108925491654, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.13355108925491654, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12160260787250388, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15075906719363552, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017207977938718977, "ret_p1m": 0.10533478934648022, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10533478934648022, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0701069826039109, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12195232126657751, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016617531920097295, "ret_p3m": -0.17319909050862348, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17319909050862348, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2165030751207767, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17254361511278626, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0006554753958372128, "ret_p6m": 0.042551282793175105, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.042551282793175105, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.052768289205117, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09910514292146178, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.05655386012828667, "price_path": [-0.5466, -0.5441, -0.5441, -0.566, -0.5727, -0.5822, -0.5788, -0.5981, -0.5287, -0.5143, -0.5163, -0.5129, -0.521, -0.5249, -0.5372, -0.5293, -0.5268, -0.5339, -0.5214, -0.5427, -0.5347, -0.5062, -0.5282, -0.5085, -0.4995, -0.5002, -0.4075, -0.376, -0.3627, -0.3165, -0.3592, -0.3789, -0.3502, -0.3419, -0.3904, -0.3879, -0.3996, -0.3742, -0.3647, -0.3606, -0.364, -0.3464, -0.3801, -0.3801, -0.4037, -0.4044, -0.4111, -0.406, -0.4188, -0.1316, -0.1527, -0.1908, -0.1797, -0.1747, -0.1886, -0.1464, -0.1461, -0.099, -0.0328, -0.022, 0.0273, -0.0207, -0.0229, 0.0, 0.0186, 0.0489, 0.142, 0.1611, 0.1336, 0.0679, 0.1069, 0.2034, 0.1756, 0.229, 0.1627, 0.1416, 0.1163, 0.0292, -0.0111, -0.0539, -0.1052, -0.0368, 0.0639, 0.138, 0.1053, 0.135, 0.1267, 0.1869, 0.093, 0.0029, 0.0615, -0.0071, 0.0096, -0.0024, -0.0726, -0.1439, -0.1959, -0.2421, -0.2199, -0.1786, -0.1375, -0.2321, -0.2446, -0.1662, -0.1936, -0.1409, -0.1409, -0.1393, -0.0914, -0.1249, -0.1025, -0.0673, -0.1105, -0.0897, -0.1253, -0.1509, -0.1446, -0.2044, -0.2638, -0.2656, -0.3155, -0.2915, -0.1884, -0.1541, -0.1832, -0.1732, -0.1732, -0.2053, -0.2194, -0.2273, -0.2406, -0.2406, -0.1839, -0.1578, -0.0905, -0.1271, -0.1172, -0.1115, -0.0262, -0.0435, -0.0748, -0.0575, -0.0135, -0.0135, -0.0992, -0.103, -0.1213, -0.1426, -0.1702, -0.112, -0.0888, -0.1389, -0.2271, -0.2001, -0.1839, -0.2525, -0.3298, -0.2188, -0.1573, -0.1672, -0.1961, -0.1859, -0.1108, -0.1108, -0.1152, -0.0764, -0.0237, -0.1116, -0.0872, -0.0693, -0.0372, -0.0484, -0.1727, -0.1743, -0.2125, -0.1129, -0.1322, -0.1895, -0.1386, -0.1251, 0.0161, -0.0198, 0.0248, 0.1781, 0.0554, 0.0757, 0.1025, 0.0671, 0.0357, 0.0426]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2011114186265513999", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-13T16:32:41+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I added positions in $META at $625... looks like a great long here", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bought META at $625; thesis: algorithmic EPS-optics boost into Q4 earnings on 700%+ q/q EPS comp, 26% Y/Y growth, holiday ad revenue seasonality.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I added positions in $META at $625\n\nMy theory:\n\nBig beautiful bill wrecked their last earnings despite record beat. \n\nThis caused an speculated algorithmic selloff from artificially low looking EPS (-80% drop)\n\nThis works in reverse for next earnings.\n\nQ4 earnings -> EPS looks artificially high (eg. 700%+ q/q growth)-> HFT algorithms buy stock.\n\nMeta grew 26% Y/Y and is stupidly profitable despite any capex spend. \n\nSeasonality from Q4 (eg. Ad revenue from holidays) should also be a booster.\n\nHard to bottom time given large open interest on 16th and potential Iran US conflicts, but looks like a great long here. Especially if I want to trade the accounting alpha in how algorithms react. \n\nSounds really stupid but markets work that way sometime with optics. We’ll see if it’s right or not.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.017239873955249285, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.017239873955249285, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01523639293896184, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011593496566688177, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002003481016287445, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005646377388561108, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.024671631819543127, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.024671631819543127, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.019756394477924544, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02253285349778744, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0049152373416185835, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0021387783217556855, "ret_p1w": -0.042735632615598984, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.042735632615598984, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01939932639202524, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.013477375657072188, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023336306223573744, "bench_c_p1w": -0.029258256958526796, "ret_p1m": 0.05957941460084837, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05957941460084837, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06218832427350407, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06086265540264146, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026089096726557015, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0012832408017930952, "ret_p3m": -0.0010945767343011337, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0010945767343011337, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.01685718128478364, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.020946416516865796, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.017951758019084774, "bench_c_p3m": -0.02204099325116693, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1274, 0.1351, 0.1592, 0.161, 0.1612, 0.1621, 0.169, 0.1887, 0.1897, 0.1901, 0.0552, 0.0265, 0.0097, -0.0068, 0.0069, -0.0201, -0.0157, 0.0002, -0.0072, -0.0358, -0.0344, -0.0351, -0.0469, -0.0537, -0.0654, -0.0672, -0.0591, -0.0294, 0.0073, 0.0032, 0.0032, 0.0259, 0.0147, 0.0245, 0.0127, 0.0474, 0.0662, 0.0557, 0.0401, 0.0293, 0.0334, 0.02, 0.026, 0.0413, 0.0292, 0.0529, 0.0439, 0.0482, 0.0536, 0.0578, 0.0578, 0.051, 0.0437, 0.0552, 0.046, 0.046, 0.0306, 0.0439, 0.0468, 0.0279, 0.0237, 0.0348, 0.0172, 0.0, -0.0247, -0.0163, -0.0172, -0.0172, -0.0427, -0.0287, 0.0262, 0.0438, 0.0654, 0.0664, 0.0596, 0.1699, 0.1353, 0.1193, 0.096, 0.0601, 0.062, 0.0481, 0.0731, 0.0628, 0.0596, 0.0297, 0.0138, 0.0138, 0.013, 0.0192, 0.0217, 0.0389, 0.0098, 0.013, 0.0358, 0.0411, 0.0271, 0.0356, 0.038, 0.0581, 0.0467, 0.0218, 0.0258, 0.0364, 0.0377, 0.0112, -0.0275, -0.0049, -0.0125, -0.0236, -0.0378, -0.0585, -0.042, -0.0597, -0.0566, -0.1316, -0.1663, -0.1493, -0.0926, -0.0814, -0.089, -0.089, -0.0912, -0.088, -0.0288, -0.0034, -0.0011, 0.0063, 0.0507, 0.0651, 0.0735, 0.092, 0.064, 0.0607, 0.07, 0.0454, 0.0705, 0.0762, 0.0647, 0.0612, -0.0296, -0.0346, -0.0319, -0.0406, -0.028, -0.0218, -0.0332, -0.0503, -0.0437, -0.0221, -0.0192, -0.0259, -0.0307, -0.0443, -0.0404, -0.0367, -0.0322, -0.0322, -0.0289, 0.0075, 0.0075, 0.0031, 0.0031, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1990475296165016023", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-17T17:41:06+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "That's not hitting a maximum structural capacity ceiling, that's validation of extreme market demand. 1 GW of connected power is projected 2026 and they have 2.5 GW of contracted capacity to support the $7-9B ARR figure.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish NBIS: sold-out 220MW reflects extreme demand, not structural limits; 2.5GW contracted supports $7-9B ARR with continued capacity expansion ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm not sure where this incorrect framing comes from?\n\n$NBIS sold out of 220MW of existing and near-term connected power because any new capacity is being fully allocated. \n\nThat's not hitting a maximum structural capacity ceiling, that's validation of extreme market demand.\n\n1 GW of connected power is projected 2026 and they have 2.5 GW of contracted capacity to support the $7-9B ARR figure.\n\nThat doesn't mean they can't expand their capacity like they've done from 1 GW to 2.5 GW from Q2 to Q3 earnings. They just sell out of any capacity they bring online, and revenue is limited by how much capacity they can bring online.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.028378720006289493, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.028378720006289493, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03778276560027605, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02972795147062146, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.009404045593986554, "bench_c_m1d": 0.001349231464331968, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.053035559206290994, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.053035559206290994, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.061433111976391674, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04736900806043187, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00839755277010068, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005666551145859122, "ret_p1w": 0.0688531976949256, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0688531976949256, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06425634256313084, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.052393347345248475, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004596855131794753, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01645985034967712, "ret_p1m": -0.058502049456895966, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.058502049456895966, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07833175621938437, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10770162010072437, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019829706762488408, "bench_c_p1m": 0.049199570643828405, "ret_p3m": 0.04361479243531097, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04361479243531097, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.01715551154792272, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.009155934671352783, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026459280887388248, "bench_c_p3m": 0.034458857763958184, "ret_p6m": 1.083158799922375, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.083158799922375, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.9679167086598945, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.0343549651656587, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11524209126248053, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04880383475671635, "price_path": [-0.2153, -0.2303, -0.1977, -0.1856, -0.1803, -0.1847, -0.1621, -0.2054, -0.2054, -0.2356, -0.2365, -0.2451, -0.2385, -0.2549, 0.1133, 0.0862, 0.0373, 0.0515, 0.0579, 0.0401, 0.0942, 0.0947, 0.155, 0.2398, 0.2538, 0.3169, 0.2554, 0.2526, 0.2819, 0.3058, 0.3446, 0.4639, 0.4885, 0.4531, 0.3689, 0.4189, 0.5427, 0.5071, 0.5755, 0.4905, 0.4635, 0.431, 0.3194, 0.2677, 0.2128, 0.147, 0.2347, 0.3638, 0.4588, 0.417, 0.455, 0.4443, 0.5215, 0.4011, 0.2856, 0.3608, 0.2729, 0.2943, 0.2788, 0.1889, 0.0975, 0.0308, -0.0284, 0.0, 0.053, 0.1057, -0.0156, -0.0316, 0.0689, 0.0337, 0.1013, 0.1013, 0.1034, 0.1648, 0.1218, 0.1505, 0.1956, 0.1403, 0.1669, 0.1213, 0.0885, 0.0965, 0.0199, -0.0563, -0.0585, -0.1225, -0.0918, 0.0405, 0.0843, 0.0471, 0.0599, 0.0599, 0.0187, 0.0007, -0.0094, -0.0265, -0.0265, 0.0462, 0.0797, 0.1659, 0.119, 0.1317, 0.139, 0.2483, 0.2262, 0.1861, 0.2082, 0.2646, 0.2646, 0.1548, 0.1499, 0.1264, 0.0991, 0.0637, 0.1383, 0.1681, 0.1039, -0.0092, 0.0254, 0.0462, -0.0418, -0.1408, 0.0014, 0.0803, 0.0676, 0.0306, 0.0436, 0.1399, 0.1399, 0.1342, 0.184, 0.2516, 0.1389, 0.1702, 0.1931, 0.2342, 0.2198, 0.0606, 0.0585, 0.0095, 0.1372, 0.1125, 0.039, 0.1042, 0.1215, 0.3026, 0.2566, 0.3137, 0.5102, 0.353, 0.3789, 0.4134, 0.368, 0.3276, 0.3365, 0.3386, 0.2325, 0.1726, 0.073, 0.2068, 0.1857, 0.2656, 0.2656, 0.3089, 0.3654, 0.4538, 0.5856, 0.6861, 0.7976, 0.8835, 0.9396, 0.923, 0.8276, 0.8511, 0.8208, 0.816, 0.8269, 0.7116, 0.686, 0.5761, 0.6421, 0.6077, 0.7968, 1.0519, 1.0461, 1.269, 1.149, 1.0592, 1.1645, 1.0832]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1983095184624861687", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-28T08:55:10+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "transitioned miners and HPC companies that went up 50-300% into likely higher gross-margin Neoclouds like $NBIS", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Rotated into NBIS and Neocloud sector broadly on superior gross margins; warns not all HPC-pivot miners deserve 150%+ re-ratings without execution.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Agreed, I think we'll start to see that soon. It just reminds me of the time when you renamed your company Blockchain and the stock price went up 200% 6 years ago.\n\nI transitioned miners and HPC companies that went up 50-300% into likely higher gross-margin Neoclouds like $NBIS, but everyone has their own interpretation, I'm just sharing what I did from what I've seen with recent developments. \n\nNot every company with MW/GW + repurposing plans that announces HPC deserves a 150%+ increase because capacity doesn't exactly mean profit.   \n\nExecution and margin at scale will cause re-ratings but generally Neocloud sector as a whole is incredibly bullish.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit worked on a few deals in this space and companies always get it wrong:\n\nthe pivot from mining to HPC sounds easy on paper - but you can’t just flip a switch from Bitcoin hash rate to enterprise SLAs\n\nthe market will eventually price that difference in", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ArchegosIntern", "ret_m1d": 0.029549359107072126, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.029549359107072126, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03219832241986831, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0245741950790046, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002648963312796182, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004975164028067525, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02684065167790939, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02684065167790939, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.026360264638013664, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.029328167827136653, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004803870398957244, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0024875161492272646, "ret_p1w": -0.0926701202154091, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0926701202154091, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07546642127987246, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06033181749219574, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017203698935536638, "bench_c_p1w": -0.032338302723213364, "ret_p1m": -0.22276942445822412, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.22276942445822412, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.21202803457174269, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.20458448069194934, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010741389886481434, "bench_c_p1m": -0.018184943766274775, "ret_p3m": -0.22432899466712652, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22432899466712652, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23045153955164333, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23083650341973594, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006122544884516801, "bench_c_p3m": 0.006507508752609414, "ret_p6m": 0.28162190792849584, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.28162190792849584, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.24057798588324242, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2639601283207009, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04104392204525342, "bench_c_p6m": 0.017661779607794914, "price_path": [-0.5532, -0.5732, -0.5554, -0.5472, -0.5478, -0.4639, -0.4354, -0.4235, -0.3817, -0.4203, -0.4381, -0.4121, -0.4046, -0.4485, -0.4462, -0.4568, -0.4338, -0.4253, -0.4215, -0.4246, -0.4087, -0.4392, -0.4392, -0.4606, -0.4611, -0.4672, -0.4626, -0.4742, -0.2143, -0.2334, -0.2679, -0.2579, -0.2534, -0.2659, -0.2278, -0.2274, -0.1848, -0.125, -0.1152, -0.0706, -0.114, -0.116, -0.0953, -0.0785, -0.0511, 0.0332, 0.0505, 0.0255, -0.0339, 0.0014, 0.0887, 0.0636, 0.1119, 0.0519, 0.0328, 0.0099, -0.0689, -0.1053, -0.1441, -0.1905, -0.1286, -0.0375, 0.0295, 0.0, 0.0268, 0.0193, 0.0738, -0.0112, -0.0927, -0.0396, -0.1017, -0.0866, -0.0975, -0.161, -0.2255, -0.2725, -0.3143, -0.2943, -0.2568, -0.2197, -0.3053, -0.3166, -0.2457, -0.2705, -0.2228, -0.2228, -0.2213, -0.178, -0.2083, -0.188, -0.1562, -0.1953, -0.1765, -0.2087, -0.2318, -0.2261, -0.2802, -0.334, -0.3355, -0.3807, -0.359, -0.2657, -0.2348, -0.261, -0.252, -0.252, -0.281, -0.2938, -0.3009, -0.3129, -0.3129, -0.2617, -0.238, -0.1772, -0.2103, -0.2013, -0.1962, -0.119, -0.1346, -0.1629, -0.1473, -0.1075, -0.1075, -0.185, -0.1885, -0.205, -0.2243, -0.2493, -0.1967, -0.1757, -0.221, -0.3007, -0.2764, -0.2617, -0.3237, -0.3937, -0.2933, -0.2376, -0.2466, -0.2727, -0.2635, -0.1955, -0.1955, -0.1995, -0.1644, -0.1167, -0.1963, -0.1742, -0.158, -0.129, -0.1391, -0.2515, -0.253, -0.2875, -0.1974, -0.2149, -0.2668, -0.2207, -0.2085, -0.0807, -0.1132, -0.0729, 0.0658, -0.0451, -0.0268, -0.0025, -0.0346, -0.063, -0.0568, -0.0553, -0.1302, -0.1725, -0.2427, -0.1483, -0.1632, -0.1068, -0.1068, -0.0763, -0.0364, 0.026, 0.119, 0.1899, 0.2687, 0.3292, 0.3689, 0.3571, 0.2898, 0.3064, 0.285, 0.2816]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1983095184624861687", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-28T08:55:10+00:00", "symbol": "Neocloud", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Neocloud sector as a whole is incredibly bullish", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Rotated into NBIS and Neocloud sector broadly on superior gross margins; warns not all HPC-pivot miners deserve 150%+ re-ratings without execution.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV", "NBIS", "CIFR", "CORZ", "BTBT"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Neocloud sector basket of HPC/AI cloud names", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Agreed, I think we'll start to see that soon. It just reminds me of the time when you renamed your company Blockchain and the stock price went up 200% 6 years ago.\n\nI transitioned miners and HPC companies that went up 50-300% into likely higher gross-margin Neoclouds like $NBIS, but everyone has their own interpretation, I'm just sharing what I did from what I've seen with recent developments. \n\nNot every company with MW/GW + repurposing plans that announces HPC deserves a 150%+ increase because capacity doesn't exactly mean profit.   \n\nExecution and margin at scale will cause re-ratings but generally Neocloud sector as a whole is incredibly bullish.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit worked on a few deals in this space and companies always get it wrong:\n\nthe pivot from mining to HPC sounds easy on paper - but you can’t just flip a switch from Bitcoin hash rate to enterprise SLAs\n\nthe market will eventually price that difference in", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ArchegosIntern", "ret_m1d": 0.023634847791755443, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.023634847791755443, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.026283811104551625, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.026283811104551625, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002648963312796182, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002648963312796182, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.018169184056450204, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.018169184056450204, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01768879701655448, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01768879701655448, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004803870398957244, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0004803870398957244, "ret_p1w": -0.03567198918715362, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03567198918715362, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.018468290251616983, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.018468290251616983, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017203698935536638, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017203698935536638, "ret_p1m": -0.25796814591784034, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.25796814591784034, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2472267560313589, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2472267560313589, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010741389886481434, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010741389886481434, "ret_p3m": -0.2315688827143489, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2315688827143489, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2376914275988657, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2376914275988657, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006122544884516801, "bench_c_p3m": 0.006122544884516801, "ret_p6m": -0.06782734245150761, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.06782734245150761, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.10887126449676103, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.10887126449676103, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04104392204525342, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04104392204525342, "price_path": [-0.397, -0.4401, -0.3999, -0.3856, -0.3704, -0.3646, -0.3448, -0.3254, -0.2968, -0.3537, -0.3793, -0.3811, -0.3756, -0.4066, -0.4069, -0.4156, -0.3953, -0.3974, -0.3881, -0.384, -0.3772, -0.3789, -0.3789, -0.3921, -0.4094, -0.422, -0.4159, -0.4044, -0.3098, -0.2533, -0.275, -0.2609, -0.2444, -0.2431, -0.219, -0.2139, -0.1973, -0.1495, -0.1534, -0.1376, -0.194, -0.2051, -0.1678, -0.1483, -0.1275, -0.0847, -0.0791, -0.0632, -0.0887, -0.0263, 0.0037, -0.0275, 0.0403, 0.0268, 0.0383, -0.008, -0.0394, -0.0213, -0.0649, -0.1282, -0.0922, -0.0033, 0.0236, 0.0, 0.0182, -0.0158, 0.0091, 0.0231, -0.0357, 0.0009, -0.078, -0.0877, -0.1122, -0.1846, -0.2295, -0.3037, -0.3274, -0.3337, -0.3139, -0.3182, -0.3525, -0.3574, -0.2939, -0.2978, -0.258, -0.258, -0.2371, -0.2391, -0.2755, -0.2445, -0.2087, -0.2264, -0.219, -0.211, -0.2323, -0.2223, -0.2844, -0.3495, -0.3555, -0.3963, -0.3672, -0.2937, -0.2826, -0.3074, -0.3026, -0.3026, -0.3294, -0.3395, -0.3562, -0.363, -0.363, -0.3046, -0.2675, -0.2599, -0.2883, -0.2765, -0.2666, -0.2185, -0.2098, -0.2132, -0.2101, -0.1688, -0.1688, -0.2148, -0.2208, -0.2383, -0.2316, -0.2385, -0.1734, -0.1788, -0.2194, -0.2749, -0.2838, -0.2765, -0.3447, -0.4132, -0.3145, -0.255, -0.2638, -0.276, -0.2849, -0.2609, -0.2609, -0.2857, -0.2781, -0.2525, -0.3006, -0.2911, -0.2455, -0.2377, -0.2442, -0.3182, -0.3186, -0.3595, -0.3042, -0.3294, -0.3745, -0.3506, -0.3485, -0.3018, -0.3189, -0.3031, -0.2494, -0.2837, -0.2866, -0.2844, -0.3058, -0.2932, -0.2889, -0.2677, -0.3291, -0.3661, -0.4198, -0.3672, -0.3639, -0.3364, -0.3364, -0.3269, -0.3032, -0.2618, -0.2255, -0.1898, -0.1419, -0.1091, -0.0984, -0.1031, -0.0929, -0.0862, -0.1022, -0.0678]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2008914099456164320", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-07T14:50:19+00:00", "symbol": "OSS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm pretty bullish on $OSS though after looking into company, esp. Venezuelan invasion and beneficiaries", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish OSS on Venezuelan invasion theme and likely defense/security beneficiary angle.", "resolved_tickers": ["OSS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@B38B37 $AXTI and $AIRO have been hilarious to watch both are up 50%+ in a week or so.\n\nI’m pretty bullish on $OSS though after looking into company, esp. Venezuelan invasion and beneficiaries.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Followed you with a 1% position, a marketcap that small can't be passed on. Thanks for your insights, already +50% in $GDRZF and $AXTI thanks to you, let's Hope this third one will print too 🔥", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "B38B37", "ret_m1d": -0.18170264919095824, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.18170264919095824, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.184936429611268, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.184936429611268, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003233780420309751, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003233780420309751, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1168996301997518, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1168996301997518, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.11700116288173756, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.11700116288173756, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00010153268198576093, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00010153268198576093, "ret_p1w": 0.48538751593042084, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.48538751593042084, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.4842564560534741, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.4842564560534741, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0011310598769467273, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0011310598769467273, "ret_p1m": 0.022871703658607467, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.022871703658607467, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.040215598047577794, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.040215598047577794, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017343894388970327, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017343894388970327, "ret_p3m": -0.019059732852432676, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.019059732852432676, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.022778033542166676, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.022778033542166676, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04183776639459935, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04183776639459935, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.291, -0.249, -0.2262, -0.1995, -0.2872, -0.3418, -0.3227, -0.3278, -0.3659, -0.3469, -0.3367, -0.3304, -0.3571, -0.3507, -0.3698, -0.3647, -0.3482, -0.4003, -0.2681, -0.3215, -0.3405, -0.31, -0.2872, -0.2961, -0.3443, -0.3507, -0.399, -0.3952, -0.4257, -0.4485, -0.4333, -0.4104, -0.4142, -0.244, -0.244, -0.2262, -0.2478, -0.2287, -0.216, -0.1665, -0.1131, -0.0635, -0.0381, -0.0178, -0.0038, -0.0381, -0.1296, -0.1131, -0.1385, -0.0889, -0.0661, -0.0775, -0.0584, -0.0813, -0.0813, -0.0864, -0.0953, -0.0915, -0.0877, -0.0877, -0.136, -0.1233, -0.1817, 0.0, 0.1169, 0.0254, 0.3278, 0.4358, 0.4854, 0.3787, 0.3545, 0.3545, 0.3698, 0.4828, 0.4409, 0.3469, 0.2859, 0.3355, 0.3164, 0.3494, 0.2567, 0.2135, 0.2122, 0.1385, 0.0229, 0.1741, 0.2262, 0.2097, 0.2008, 0.0864, 0.1055, 0.1055, 0.0521, 0.061, 0.3393, 0.2351, 0.1525, 0.169, 0.1499, 0.1601, 0.0489, 0.0959, 0.0534, 0.0661, 0.0775, 0.0686, 0.1309, 0.1982, 0.2592, 0.2897, 0.2808, 0.2973, 0.3583, 0.4282, 0.305, 0.1207, 0.1703, 0.1487, 0.1537, 0.0851, -0.026, -0.0839, -0.0381, -0.0775, -0.0292, -0.0292, -0.0191, -0.0318, 0.0127, -0.0051, -0.0089, 0.1258, 0.1131, 0.249, 0.2402, 0.2605, 0.2859, 0.2618, 0.3215, 0.2427, 0.2338, 0.2643, 0.1779, 0.1169, 0.2058, 0.2745, 0.2402, 0.2414, 0.9479, 0.9187, 0.9924, 1.0229, 0.9759, 1.0152, 1.1906, 1.0928, 1.0318, 0.9581, 0.9936, 1.0978, 1.2656, 1.2656, 1.216, 1.2313, 1.2757, 1.31, 1.31, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1973102864701726752", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-30T19:09:16+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we'll likely keep seeing a rally upward. So I'd use this time to DCA and buy calls/shares even if it's up 1.53%", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Long NBIS on neocloud rally; cautious long HIMS near $50 support; dip-buy RDDT on 6-7% pullbacks; cost-average AMZN and TSM on dips.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Lot of inspirational trader mindsets going around X lately like:\n \n\"It will pay off. Be Patient\". All BS. \n\nTraders consider sector momentum, catalysts, valuation, pullbacks, macro, IV, option flows, etc. \n\nHere's my mindset for short term trading for various stocks: \n\n1. $NBIS - $111.91, even though it's up 1.53% on the day, CRWV is up 12% off Meta gives them a $14B contract.\n\nSo usually it's bullish for all neoclouds. It spiked to $117 ( i probably would have still held) but pulled back to $111 likely from too much open interest, but we'll likely keep seeing a rally upward. So I'd use this time to DCA and buy calls/shares even if it's up 1.53%\n\nNot \"truly a dip\" but it's more of a dip during a rally. \n\n2. $HIMS - $56.4 Down 4.67%, usually people just blindly buy the dip but this was actually caused from something material, which was Trump launching a direct to consumer GOV drug website. Short interest decreased back to 33% on the rise to $60. \n\nThis dip will likely be used for short covering. I did buy $46 support but sold shortly on a bounce after I just felt like it would go down more. But I just personally prefer bottom entry points so that's probably closer to $50. \n\nI still remember AMZN launching a competitor, HIMS crashed 20% then rose again, I'd expect the same with Trump's program mid term but near term it's a headwind. \n\n3. $RDDT - $228, down 5.45%, no news. Just probably valuation concerns. We saw similar growth stocks like ALAB, CRED, have random 20% pullbacks. Lot of software/social stocks like SNAP down 8.1% off non-material news. Correction is healthy, stocks don't just keep going up, I'd prefer to wait in the $100+ again, rather than $200+ (just personally), but it's actually a better buy than the rest, given RDDT has larger 5-8% pullbacks on random days, just from historical experiences so 6-7% drop is a good buy intra-day and you'd likely see it recover but we might see a lot of growth stocks have a larger correction into massive rally Nov/Dec so might not be an actual bottom. \n\nI don't really look at chart RSI nowadays, just do this based on feelings from experience looking at the stock + IV every day for the past year or two. \n\n4. AMZN - No major macro news, prob government shutdown Oct 1st that might cause some panic for index but it's pretty immaterial. It dropped, 1.35% so I'd buy since it' a good time to cost average. \n\n5. Klarna - $36, 5.3% drop. Sometimes you just go off gut feeling. Below IPO price, no major news. Most IPOs were down like Gemini, etc. If you wanted to build a long term position I'd buy at this level. \n\n6. TSM - $277, I've been guilty of swing trading between $273-$279, so I just buy every drop to $273 and sell at $277-$279 for 2% profit purely with shares. So far I've done this ~2 times with shares. If it drops past $273, I'd just DCA and then if it drops further switch to calls. \n\nThere's no True or False way to do this, everyone kind of has their own approach. (also sorry about CRM, bad earnings got that one wrong, I'll probably cost avg if ti declines further). \n\nBut generally this is just what I'm thinking about when I go down the list of every single stock. Once again, everyone thinks differently, I just wanted to write down how I think if it's helpful to others.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Monday Market Close Thoughts:\n\nExtremely Strong Buy\n$NBIS\n$ETOR\n$LTC\n$VIRT\n\nBuy\n$AMZN\n$SMCI\n$TGT\n$CRM\n$TSM\n$CRDO\n$SG\n$CIFR\n$LULU\n$SLNH\n$ORCL\n$MSTR\n$RIOT\n$MARA\n\nHold\n$IREN\n$HIMS\n$RKLB\n$PYPL\n$MRVL\n$IBIT\n$UPWK\n$GRAB\n$ALAB\n$ASTS\n$SOFI\n$NVDA\n$NVO\n\nSell\n$HOOD\n$TSLA\n$RDDT\n$CRCL\n$PLTR", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.018259512636138342, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.018259512636138342, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014506781913640965, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01978023176120358, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003752730722497377, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0015207191250652397, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02974974674581876, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02974974674581876, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.026342269461182122, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04377360146618792, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0034074772846366397, "bench_c_p1d": -0.014023854720369155, "ret_p1w": 0.04836555150561783, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04836555150561783, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04395235197004688, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06788067932989972, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004413199535570955, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019515127824281886, "ret_p1m": 0.11427809935582678, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11427809935582678, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08243978005730224, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.13185008247203667, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03183831929852454, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01757198311620989, "ret_p3m": -0.2198272115714005, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2198272115714005, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.25911054762443786, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2196744455628039, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.039283336053037354, "bench_c_p3m": -0.00015276600859659428, "ret_p6m": 0.025118017094003076, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.025118017094003076, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.03355428991590492, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.07760134694928789, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.008436272821901847, "bench_c_p6m": -0.05248332985528481, "price_path": [-0.5524, -0.5524, -0.5739, -0.5805, -0.5898, -0.5864, -0.6054, -0.5373, -0.5232, -0.5252, -0.5218, -0.5298, -0.5335, -0.5456, -0.5379, -0.5354, -0.5424, -0.5302, -0.5511, -0.5432, -0.5152, -0.5368, -0.5175, -0.5086, -0.5093, -0.4183, -0.3874, -0.3744, -0.329, -0.3709, -0.3902, -0.3621, -0.3539, -0.4015, -0.399, -0.4105, -0.3856, -0.3763, -0.3722, -0.3756, -0.3583, -0.3915, -0.3915, -0.4146, -0.4152, -0.4218, -0.4169, -0.4294, -0.1474, -0.1682, -0.2056, -0.1947, -0.1898, -0.2034, -0.162, -0.1617, -0.1154, -0.0505, -0.0398, 0.0086, -0.0386, -0.0407, -0.0183, 0.0, 0.0297, 0.1211, 0.1399, 0.1129, 0.0484, 0.0867, 0.1814, 0.1542, 0.2066, 0.1414, 0.1208, 0.0959, 0.0104, -0.0291, -0.0712, -0.1216, -0.0544, 0.0444, 0.1172, 0.0852, 0.1143, 0.1061, 0.1652, 0.073, -0.0154, 0.0421, -0.0252, -0.0088, -0.0207, -0.0895, -0.1595, -0.2106, -0.2559, -0.2342, -0.1936, -0.1532, -0.2461, -0.2584, -0.1814, -0.2083, -0.1566, -0.1566, -0.155, -0.108, -0.1409, -0.1189, -0.0844, -0.1267, -0.1064, -0.1413, -0.1664, -0.1602, -0.2189, -0.2773, -0.279, -0.328, -0.3044, -0.2032, -0.1696, -0.1981, -0.1883, -0.1883, -0.2198, -0.2336, -0.2414, -0.2544, -0.2544, -0.1988, -0.1732, -0.1072, -0.143, -0.1333, -0.1277, -0.044, -0.0609, -0.0917, -0.0747, -0.0315, -0.0315, -0.1156, -0.1194, -0.1373, -0.1583, -0.1854, -0.1283, -0.1055, -0.1546, -0.2412, -0.2148, -0.1988, -0.2661, -0.342, -0.2331, -0.1727, -0.1824, -0.2107, -0.2008, -0.127, -0.127, -0.1314, -0.0933, -0.0415, -0.1278, -0.1039, -0.0863, -0.0548, -0.0658, -0.1878, -0.1894, -0.2269, -0.1291, -0.148, -0.2043, -0.1544, -0.1411, -0.0024, -0.0377, 0.0061, 0.1566, 0.0362, 0.056, 0.0824, 0.0477, 0.0167, 0.0235, 0.0251]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1973102864701726752", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-30T19:09:16+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I just personally prefer bottom entry points so that's probably closer to $50", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Long NBIS on neocloud rally; cautious long HIMS near $50 support; dip-buy RDDT on 6-7% pullbacks; cost-average AMZN and TSM on dips.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Lot of inspirational trader mindsets going around X lately like:\n \n\"It will pay off. Be Patient\". All BS. \n\nTraders consider sector momentum, catalysts, valuation, pullbacks, macro, IV, option flows, etc. \n\nHere's my mindset for short term trading for various stocks: \n\n1. $NBIS - $111.91, even though it's up 1.53% on the day, CRWV is up 12% off Meta gives them a $14B contract.\n\nSo usually it's bullish for all neoclouds. It spiked to $117 ( i probably would have still held) but pulled back to $111 likely from too much open interest, but we'll likely keep seeing a rally upward. So I'd use this time to DCA and buy calls/shares even if it's up 1.53%\n\nNot \"truly a dip\" but it's more of a dip during a rally. \n\n2. $HIMS - $56.4 Down 4.67%, usually people just blindly buy the dip but this was actually caused from something material, which was Trump launching a direct to consumer GOV drug website. Short interest decreased back to 33% on the rise to $60. \n\nThis dip will likely be used for short covering. I did buy $46 support but sold shortly on a bounce after I just felt like it would go down more. But I just personally prefer bottom entry points so that's probably closer to $50. \n\nI still remember AMZN launching a competitor, HIMS crashed 20% then rose again, I'd expect the same with Trump's program mid term but near term it's a headwind. \n\n3. $RDDT - $228, down 5.45%, no news. Just probably valuation concerns. We saw similar growth stocks like ALAB, CRED, have random 20% pullbacks. Lot of software/social stocks like SNAP down 8.1% off non-material news. Correction is healthy, stocks don't just keep going up, I'd prefer to wait in the $100+ again, rather than $200+ (just personally), but it's actually a better buy than the rest, given RDDT has larger 5-8% pullbacks on random days, just from historical experiences so 6-7% drop is a good buy intra-day and you'd likely see it recover but we might see a lot of growth stocks have a larger correction into massive rally Nov/Dec so might not be an actual bottom. \n\nI don't really look at chart RSI nowadays, just do this based on feelings from experience looking at the stock + IV every day for the past year or two. \n\n4. AMZN - No major macro news, prob government shutdown Oct 1st that might cause some panic for index but it's pretty immaterial. It dropped, 1.35% so I'd buy since it' a good time to cost average. \n\n5. Klarna - $36, 5.3% drop. Sometimes you just go off gut feeling. Below IPO price, no major news. Most IPOs were down like Gemini, etc. If you wanted to build a long term position I'd buy at this level. \n\n6. TSM - $277, I've been guilty of swing trading between $273-$279, so I just buy every drop to $273 and sell at $277-$279 for 2% profit purely with shares. So far I've done this ~2 times with shares. If it drops past $273, I'd just DCA and then if it drops further switch to calls. \n\nThere's no True or False way to do this, everyone kind of has their own approach. (also sorry about CRM, bad earnings got that one wrong, I'll probably cost avg if ti declines further). \n\nBut generally this is just what I'm thinking about when I go down the list of every single stock. Once again, everyone thinks differently, I just wanted to write down how I think if it's helpful to others.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Monday Market Close Thoughts:\n\nExtremely Strong Buy\n$NBIS\n$ETOR\n$LTC\n$VIRT\n\nBuy\n$AMZN\n$SMCI\n$TGT\n$CRM\n$TSM\n$CRDO\n$SG\n$CIFR\n$LULU\n$SLNH\n$ORCL\n$MSTR\n$RIOT\n$MARA\n\nHold\n$IREN\n$HIMS\n$RKLB\n$PYPL\n$MRVL\n$IBIT\n$UPWK\n$GRAB\n$ALAB\n$ASTS\n$SOFI\n$NVDA\n$NVO\n\nSell\n$HOOD\n$TSLA\n$RDDT\n$CRCL\n$PLTR", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04231307580271393, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04231307580271393, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.046065806525211306, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.046065806525211306, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003752730722497377, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003752730722497377, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007228487986394083, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007228487986394083, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010635965271030723, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010635965271030723, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0034074772846366397, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0034074772846366397, "ret_p1w": 0.022038081331065662, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.022038081331065662, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.017624881795494707, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.017624881795494707, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004413199535570955, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004413199535570955, "ret_p1m": -0.17789139519455766, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17789139519455766, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2097297144930822, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2097297144930822, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03183831929852454, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03183831929852454, "ret_p3m": -0.39509871941315, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.39509871941315, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.43438205546618736, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.43438205546618736, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.039283336053037354, "bench_c_p3m": 0.039283336053037354, "ret_p6m": -0.6325811053582775, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.6325811053582775, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.6241448325363756, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.6241448325363756, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.008436272821901847, "bench_c_p6m": -0.008436272821901847, "price_path": [-0.1541, -0.1541, -0.1463, -0.1368, -0.0966, -0.1137, -0.1557, -0.0827, -0.1104, -0.0859, -0.1187, -0.1118, -0.1608, -0.1183, 0.0229, 0.0106, 0.0164, 0.0346, 0.0626, 0.1553, 0.1668, 0.1028, 0.1169, -0.0212, -0.0986, -0.1, -0.0843, -0.1188, -0.1544, -0.1479, -0.1691, -0.1886, -0.2049, -0.2563, -0.2352, -0.225, -0.2142, -0.2421, -0.2005, -0.2241, -0.2221, -0.2533, -0.2533, -0.2678, -0.2161, -0.1518, -0.1465, -0.1248, -0.1574, -0.1576, -0.0874, -0.0215, -0.0487, -0.1028, -0.1123, -0.0092, 0.0194, 0.0173, -0.0127, -0.0612, -0.0326, 0.0296, 0.0423, 0.0, -0.0072, 0.0203, -0.0737, -0.0346, 0.022, 0.0256, 0.027, -0.0488, -0.0351, -0.0476, 0.1065, 0.0428, -0.1224, -0.0945, -0.1298, -0.1633, -0.1451, -0.14, -0.1497, -0.1693, -0.1779, -0.2232, -0.1985, -0.2174, -0.2456, -0.229, -0.268, -0.2766, -0.2763, -0.2992, -0.3121, -0.3644, -0.348, -0.3727, -0.3607, -0.3683, -0.4073, -0.388, -0.3339, -0.3461, -0.323, -0.323, -0.299, -0.3387, -0.3598, -0.3464, -0.2944, -0.3089, -0.3103, -0.298, -0.3322, -0.3341, -0.344, -0.3609, -0.3501, -0.3835, -0.387, -0.3731, -0.3821, -0.3865, -0.3888, -0.3888, -0.3951, -0.3988, -0.4175, -0.4275, -0.4275, -0.411, -0.388, -0.3748, -0.3748, -0.4029, -0.4413, -0.4298, -0.4323, -0.4478, -0.4494, -0.4468, -0.4468, -0.4628, -0.4907, -0.4619, -0.4778, -0.4661, -0.4767, -0.4945, -0.4734, -0.5224, -0.5339, -0.5497, -0.5698, -0.586, -0.5941, -0.6592, -0.6961, -0.7057, -0.7214, -0.7126, -0.7126, -0.7132, -0.7207, -0.7211, -0.7244, -0.7266, -0.7274, -0.7211, -0.725, -0.744, -0.7094, -0.7211, -0.71, -0.72, -0.7225, -0.6093, -0.5862, -0.5437, -0.5797, -0.5633, -0.5614, -0.5596, -0.5919, -0.574, -0.6118, -0.604, -0.6238, -0.6326]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1973102864701726752", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-09-30T19:09:16+00:00", "symbol": "RDDT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "6-7% drop is a good buy intra-day and you'd likely see it recover", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Long NBIS on neocloud rally; cautious long HIMS near $50 support; dip-buy RDDT on 6-7% pullbacks; cost-average AMZN and TSM on dips.", "resolved_tickers": ["RDDT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Lot of inspirational trader mindsets going around X lately like:\n \n\"It will pay off. Be Patient\". All BS. \n\nTraders consider sector momentum, catalysts, valuation, pullbacks, macro, IV, option flows, etc. \n\nHere's my mindset for short term trading for various stocks: \n\n1. $NBIS - $111.91, even though it's up 1.53% on the day, CRWV is up 12% off Meta gives them a $14B contract.\n\nSo usually it's bullish for all neoclouds. It spiked to $117 ( i probably would have still held) but pulled back to $111 likely from too much open interest, but we'll likely keep seeing a rally upward. So I'd use this time to DCA and buy calls/shares even if it's up 1.53%\n\nNot \"truly a dip\" but it's more of a dip during a rally. \n\n2. $HIMS - $56.4 Down 4.67%, usually people just blindly buy the dip but this was actually caused from something material, which was Trump launching a direct to consumer GOV drug website. Short interest decreased back to 33% on the rise to $60. \n\nThis dip will likely be used for short covering. I did buy $46 support but sold shortly on a bounce after I just felt like it would go down more. But I just personally prefer bottom entry points so that's probably closer to $50. \n\nI still remember AMZN launching a competitor, HIMS crashed 20% then rose again, I'd expect the same with Trump's program mid term but near term it's a headwind. \n\n3. $RDDT - $228, down 5.45%, no news. Just probably valuation concerns. We saw similar growth stocks like ALAB, CRED, have random 20% pullbacks. Lot of software/social stocks like SNAP down 8.1% off non-material news. Correction is healthy, stocks don't just keep going up, I'd prefer to wait in the $100+ again, rather than $200+ (just personally), but it's actually a better buy than the rest, given RDDT has larger 5-8% pullbacks on random days, just from historical experiences so 6-7% drop is a good buy intra-day and you'd likely see it recover but we might see a lot of growth stocks have a larger correction into massive rally Nov/Dec so might not be an actual bottom. \n\nI don't really look at chart RSI nowadays, just do this based on feelings from experience looking at the stock + IV every day for the past year or two. \n\n4. AMZN - No major macro news, prob government shutdown Oct 1st that might cause some panic for index but it's pretty immaterial. It dropped, 1.35% so I'd buy since it' a good time to cost average. \n\n5. Klarna - $36, 5.3% drop. Sometimes you just go off gut feeling. Below IPO price, no major news. Most IPOs were down like Gemini, etc. If you wanted to build a long term position I'd buy at this level. \n\n6. TSM - $277, I've been guilty of swing trading between $273-$279, so I just buy every drop to $273 and sell at $277-$279 for 2% profit purely with shares. So far I've done this ~2 times with shares. If it drops past $273, I'd just DCA and then if it drops further switch to calls. \n\nThere's no True or False way to do this, everyone kind of has their own approach. (also sorry about CRM, bad earnings got that one wrong, I'll probably cost avg if ti declines further). \n\nBut generally this is just what I'm thinking about when I go down the list of every single stock. Once again, everyone thinks differently, I just wanted to write down how I think if it's helpful to others.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Monday Market Close Thoughts:\n\nExtremely Strong Buy\n$NBIS\n$ETOR\n$LTC\n$VIRT\n\nBuy\n$AMZN\n$SMCI\n$TGT\n$CRM\n$TSM\n$CRDO\n$SG\n$CIFR\n$LULU\n$SLNH\n$ORCL\n$MSTR\n$RIOT\n$MARA\n\nHold\n$IREN\n$HIMS\n$RKLB\n$PYPL\n$MRVL\n$IBIT\n$UPWK\n$GRAB\n$ALAB\n$ASTS\n$SOFI\n$NVDA\n$NVO\n\nSell\n$HOOD\n$TSLA\n$RDDT\n$CRCL\n$PLTR", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.052132657715560526, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.052132657715560526, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.055885388438057904, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05061193859049529, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003752730722497377, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0015207191250652397, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.11909212894237065, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.11909212894237065, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.12249960622700728, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.10506827422200149, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0034074772846366397, "bench_c_p1d": -0.014023854720369155, "ret_p1w": -0.10465675355155457, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10465675355155457, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10906995308712553, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08514162572727269, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004413199535570955, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019515127824281886, "ret_p1m": -0.08356885413124793, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08356885413124793, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11540717342977247, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06599687101503804, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03183831929852454, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01757198311620989, "ret_p3m": -0.018348628722601457, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.018348628722601457, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05763196477563881, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.018195862714004862, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.039283336053037354, "bench_c_p3m": -0.00015276600859659428, "ret_p6m": -0.39288664051550415, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.39288664051550415, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3844503676936023, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.34040331066021934, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.008436272821901847, "bench_c_p6m": -0.05248332985528481, "price_path": [-0.3172, -0.3172, -0.3331, -0.3654, -0.3667, -0.3782, -0.367, -0.3635, -0.3704, -0.3725, -0.3803, -0.3555, -0.3639, -0.3661, -0.3648, -0.3559, -0.3493, -0.3408, -0.3702, -0.3507, -0.3018, -0.1798, -0.1227, -0.1344, -0.0747, -0.079, -0.0633, -0.0402, -0.026, 0.0208, 0.0586, 0.0718, 0.0512, -0.0079, -0.0505, -0.0493, -0.0551, -0.0446, -0.0459, -0.0821, -0.0193, -0.0213, -0.0213, -0.0432, -0.0298, 0.0092, 0.0435, -0.0, 0.0444, 0.1263, 0.1328, 0.1057, 0.1463, 0.1594, 0.1586, 0.1771, 0.15, 0.1199, 0.0324, 0.0248, 0.012, 0.044, 0.0521, 0.0, -0.1191, -0.1264, -0.0991, -0.1146, -0.1047, -0.1204, -0.0795, -0.1367, -0.1144, -0.1463, -0.1271, -0.1349, -0.1524, -0.1196, -0.1056, -0.1432, -0.1268, -0.0687, -0.0467, -0.074, -0.0836, -0.1547, -0.0915, -0.1087, -0.1836, -0.1466, -0.2015, -0.154, -0.1122, -0.0947, -0.1181, -0.1764, -0.1595, -0.1845, -0.1926, -0.1835, -0.2092, -0.2022, -0.1521, -0.05, -0.0975, -0.0975, -0.0588, -0.0287, -0.0314, -0.0398, -0.0315, 0.0179, 0.0303, 0.0266, 0.0353, 0.0154, -0.0227, -0.05, -0.026, -0.0115, 0.0059, 0.0139, 0.0137, -0.0181, -0.018, -0.018, -0.0183, 0.0203, 0.0147, -0.0005, -0.0005, 0.0517, 0.0611, 0.1036, 0.1109, 0.1042, 0.0634, 0.061, 0.1258, 0.0974, -0.0054, 0.0044, 0.0044, -0.0201, -0.0864, -0.0672, -0.0483, -0.0711, -0.1465, -0.1602, -0.1737, -0.2162, -0.2297, -0.2808, -0.3361, -0.3432, -0.392, -0.3837, -0.3479, -0.3944, -0.4301, -0.3928, -0.3928, -0.3946, -0.3588, -0.3646, -0.3471, -0.3806, -0.3822, -0.3492, -0.3424, -0.366, -0.3604, -0.3665, -0.3596, -0.3724, -0.3939, -0.3962, -0.4168, -0.4038, -0.425, -0.4245, -0.3913, -0.3725, -0.3791, -0.3995, -0.3919, -0.3871, -0.4081, -0.3929]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1973102864701726752", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-09-30T19:09:16+00:00", "symbol": "AMZN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It dropped, 1.35% so I'd buy since it's a good time to cost average", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Long NBIS on neocloud rally; cautious long HIMS near $50 support; dip-buy RDDT on 6-7% pullbacks; cost-average AMZN and TSM on dips.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMZN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Lot of inspirational trader mindsets going around X lately like:\n \n\"It will pay off. Be Patient\". All BS. \n\nTraders consider sector momentum, catalysts, valuation, pullbacks, macro, IV, option flows, etc. \n\nHere's my mindset for short term trading for various stocks: \n\n1. $NBIS - $111.91, even though it's up 1.53% on the day, CRWV is up 12% off Meta gives them a $14B contract.\n\nSo usually it's bullish for all neoclouds. It spiked to $117 ( i probably would have still held) but pulled back to $111 likely from too much open interest, but we'll likely keep seeing a rally upward. So I'd use this time to DCA and buy calls/shares even if it's up 1.53%\n\nNot \"truly a dip\" but it's more of a dip during a rally. \n\n2. $HIMS - $56.4 Down 4.67%, usually people just blindly buy the dip but this was actually caused from something material, which was Trump launching a direct to consumer GOV drug website. Short interest decreased back to 33% on the rise to $60. \n\nThis dip will likely be used for short covering. I did buy $46 support but sold shortly on a bounce after I just felt like it would go down more. But I just personally prefer bottom entry points so that's probably closer to $50. \n\nI still remember AMZN launching a competitor, HIMS crashed 20% then rose again, I'd expect the same with Trump's program mid term but near term it's a headwind. \n\n3. $RDDT - $228, down 5.45%, no news. Just probably valuation concerns. We saw similar growth stocks like ALAB, CRED, have random 20% pullbacks. Lot of software/social stocks like SNAP down 8.1% off non-material news. Correction is healthy, stocks don't just keep going up, I'd prefer to wait in the $100+ again, rather than $200+ (just personally), but it's actually a better buy than the rest, given RDDT has larger 5-8% pullbacks on random days, just from historical experiences so 6-7% drop is a good buy intra-day and you'd likely see it recover but we might see a lot of growth stocks have a larger correction into massive rally Nov/Dec so might not be an actual bottom. \n\nI don't really look at chart RSI nowadays, just do this based on feelings from experience looking at the stock + IV every day for the past year or two. \n\n4. AMZN - No major macro news, prob government shutdown Oct 1st that might cause some panic for index but it's pretty immaterial. It dropped, 1.35% so I'd buy since it' a good time to cost average. \n\n5. Klarna - $36, 5.3% drop. Sometimes you just go off gut feeling. Below IPO price, no major news. Most IPOs were down like Gemini, etc. If you wanted to build a long term position I'd buy at this level. \n\n6. TSM - $277, I've been guilty of swing trading between $273-$279, so I just buy every drop to $273 and sell at $277-$279 for 2% profit purely with shares. So far I've done this ~2 times with shares. If it drops past $273, I'd just DCA and then if it drops further switch to calls. \n\nThere's no True or False way to do this, everyone kind of has their own approach. (also sorry about CRM, bad earnings got that one wrong, I'll probably cost avg if ti declines further). \n\nBut generally this is just what I'm thinking about when I go down the list of every single stock. Once again, everyone thinks differently, I just wanted to write down how I think if it's helpful to others.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Monday Market Close Thoughts:\n\nExtremely Strong Buy\n$NBIS\n$ETOR\n$LTC\n$VIRT\n\nBuy\n$AMZN\n$SMCI\n$TGT\n$CRM\n$TSM\n$CRDO\n$SG\n$CIFR\n$LULU\n$SLNH\n$ORCL\n$MSTR\n$RIOT\n$MARA\n\nHold\n$IREN\n$HIMS\n$RKLB\n$PYPL\n$MRVL\n$IBIT\n$UPWK\n$GRAB\n$ALAB\n$ASTS\n$SOFI\n$NVDA\n$NVO\n\nSell\n$HOOD\n$TSLA\n$RDDT\n$CRCL\n$PLTR", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.011841284137170005, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011841284137170005, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.015594014859667382, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007167689108427355, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003752730722497377, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00467359502874265, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004827606336181178, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004827606336181178, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0014201290515445386, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00143172637415101, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0034074772846366397, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006259332710332188, "ret_p1w": 0.01006508804189643, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01006508804189643, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.005651888506325475, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02650651240703561, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004413199535570955, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01644142436513918, "ret_p1m": 0.04886822138551494, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04886822138551494, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0170299020869904, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05091302708933765, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03183831929852454, "bench_c_p1m": -0.002044805703822705, "ret_p3m": 0.0589788974644434, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0589788974644434, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.01969556141140605, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.038348964848545775, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.039283336053037354, "bench_c_p3m": 0.020629932615897628, "ret_p6m": -0.035797241645783684, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.035797241645783684, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.027360968823881837, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.03637501504720564, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.008436272821901847, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07217225669298932, "price_path": [0.0175, 0.0175, 0.0178, -0.001, 0.0135, 0.0123, 0.0248, 0.0279, 0.0309, 0.0165, 0.0196, 0.0299, 0.0443, 0.036, 0.0397, 0.0577, 0.0541, 0.0602, 0.0521, 0.0484, 0.0662, -0.022, -0.0361, -0.0265, 0.0125, 0.0162, 0.0142, 0.0079, 0.0087, 0.0227, 0.052, 0.0522, 0.0543, 0.0384, 0.0193, 0.0108, 0.0422, 0.0381, 0.0416, 0.0435, 0.0548, 0.0429, 0.0429, 0.0263, 0.0292, 0.0734, 0.0581, 0.0741, 0.085, 0.049, 0.0473, 0.0391, 0.054, 0.0659, 0.0549, 0.0531, 0.0542, 0.0367, 0.0052, 0.0029, -0.0065, 0.001, 0.0118, 0.0, 0.0048, 0.0129, -0.0003, 0.0061, 0.0101, 0.0257, 0.0372, -0.0146, 0.0023, -0.0145, -0.0182, -0.0232, -0.0297, -0.0141, 0.0112, -0.0074, 0.0069, 0.0211, 0.0337, 0.0441, 0.0489, 0.015, 0.1123, 0.1568, 0.1355, 0.1395, 0.1069, 0.1131, 0.1313, 0.1345, 0.1122, 0.082, 0.0689, 0.0606, 0.0136, 0.0142, -0.0111, 0.0051, 0.0306, 0.046, 0.0437, 0.0437, 0.0622, 0.0652, 0.0676, 0.0583, 0.0434, 0.0454, 0.0333, 0.038, 0.0556, 0.0488, 0.0301, 0.0135, 0.0136, 0.0077, 0.0327, 0.0354, 0.0404, 0.0572, 0.0583, 0.0583, 0.059, 0.0569, 0.059, 0.0512, 0.0512, 0.0316, 0.0614, 0.0973, 0.1002, 0.1217, 0.1267, 0.1225, 0.1049, 0.0778, 0.0848, 0.089, 0.089, 0.0521, 0.0535, 0.0673, 0.0892, 0.0858, 0.1144, 0.1068, 0.1009, 0.0899, 0.1065, 0.0868, 0.0611, 0.0142, -0.0421, -0.0494, -0.0574, -0.0705, -0.091, -0.0946, -0.0946, -0.0839, -0.0673, -0.067, -0.0431, -0.0651, -0.0501, -0.0407, -0.0531, -0.0436, -0.0509, -0.0494, -0.0125, -0.0029, -0.029, -0.0277, -0.0239, -0.0315, -0.0457, -0.0542, -0.0357, -0.0199, -0.0442, -0.0492, -0.0647, -0.0429, -0.0562, -0.0358]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1973102864701726752", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-09-30T19:09:16+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I just buy every drop to $273 and sell at $277-$279", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Long NBIS on neocloud rally; cautious long HIMS near $50 support; dip-buy RDDT on 6-7% pullbacks; cost-average AMZN and TSM on dips.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Lot of inspirational trader mindsets going around X lately like:\n \n\"It will pay off. Be Patient\". All BS. \n\nTraders consider sector momentum, catalysts, valuation, pullbacks, macro, IV, option flows, etc. \n\nHere's my mindset for short term trading for various stocks: \n\n1. $NBIS - $111.91, even though it's up 1.53% on the day, CRWV is up 12% off Meta gives them a $14B contract.\n\nSo usually it's bullish for all neoclouds. It spiked to $117 ( i probably would have still held) but pulled back to $111 likely from too much open interest, but we'll likely keep seeing a rally upward. So I'd use this time to DCA and buy calls/shares even if it's up 1.53%\n\nNot \"truly a dip\" but it's more of a dip during a rally. \n\n2. $HIMS - $56.4 Down 4.67%, usually people just blindly buy the dip but this was actually caused from something material, which was Trump launching a direct to consumer GOV drug website. Short interest decreased back to 33% on the rise to $60. \n\nThis dip will likely be used for short covering. I did buy $46 support but sold shortly on a bounce after I just felt like it would go down more. But I just personally prefer bottom entry points so that's probably closer to $50. \n\nI still remember AMZN launching a competitor, HIMS crashed 20% then rose again, I'd expect the same with Trump's program mid term but near term it's a headwind. \n\n3. $RDDT - $228, down 5.45%, no news. Just probably valuation concerns. We saw similar growth stocks like ALAB, CRED, have random 20% pullbacks. Lot of software/social stocks like SNAP down 8.1% off non-material news. Correction is healthy, stocks don't just keep going up, I'd prefer to wait in the $100+ again, rather than $200+ (just personally), but it's actually a better buy than the rest, given RDDT has larger 5-8% pullbacks on random days, just from historical experiences so 6-7% drop is a good buy intra-day and you'd likely see it recover but we might see a lot of growth stocks have a larger correction into massive rally Nov/Dec so might not be an actual bottom. \n\nI don't really look at chart RSI nowadays, just do this based on feelings from experience looking at the stock + IV every day for the past year or two. \n\n4. AMZN - No major macro news, prob government shutdown Oct 1st that might cause some panic for index but it's pretty immaterial. It dropped, 1.35% so I'd buy since it' a good time to cost average. \n\n5. Klarna - $36, 5.3% drop. Sometimes you just go off gut feeling. Below IPO price, no major news. Most IPOs were down like Gemini, etc. If you wanted to build a long term position I'd buy at this level. \n\n6. TSM - $277, I've been guilty of swing trading between $273-$279, so I just buy every drop to $273 and sell at $277-$279 for 2% profit purely with shares. So far I've done this ~2 times with shares. If it drops past $273, I'd just DCA and then if it drops further switch to calls. \n\nThere's no True or False way to do this, everyone kind of has their own approach. (also sorry about CRM, bad earnings got that one wrong, I'll probably cost avg if ti declines further). \n\nBut generally this is just what I'm thinking about when I go down the list of every single stock. Once again, everyone thinks differently, I just wanted to write down how I think if it's helpful to others.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Monday Market Close Thoughts:\n\nExtremely Strong Buy\n$NBIS\n$ETOR\n$LTC\n$VIRT\n\nBuy\n$AMZN\n$SMCI\n$TGT\n$CRM\n$TSM\n$CRDO\n$SG\n$CIFR\n$LULU\n$SLNH\n$ORCL\n$MSTR\n$RIOT\n$MARA\n\nHold\n$IREN\n$HIMS\n$RKLB\n$PYPL\n$MRVL\n$IBIT\n$UPWK\n$GRAB\n$ALAB\n$ASTS\n$SOFI\n$NVDA\n$NVO\n\nSell\n$HOOD\n$TSLA\n$RDDT\n$CRCL\n$PLTR", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.021697878226298983, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.021697878226298983, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017945147503801606, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017945147503801606, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003752730722497377, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003752730722497377, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03286901736627934, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03286901736627934, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0294615400816427, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0294615400816427, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0034074772846366397, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0034074772846366397, "ret_p1w": 0.052776639075210685, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.052776639075210685, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04836343953963973, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04836343953963973, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004413199535570955, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004413199535570955, "ret_p1m": 0.09237708247518617, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09237708247518617, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.060538763176661625, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.060538763176661625, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03183831929852454, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03183831929852454, "ret_p3m": 0.0872481414854207, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0872481414854207, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.04796480543238335, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04796480543238335, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.039283336053037354, "bench_c_p3m": 0.039283336053037354, "ret_p6m": 0.2520008539262093, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2520008539262093, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.26043712674811115, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.26043712674811115, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.008436272821901847, "bench_c_p6m": -0.008436272821901847, "price_path": [-0.1619, -0.1619, -0.182, -0.1867, -0.1725, -0.1799, -0.1776, -0.1838, -0.1543, -0.1521, -0.1234, -0.142, -0.1475, -0.1627, -0.1422, -0.1377, -0.1234, -0.1336, -0.1386, -0.133, -0.1376, -0.1605, -0.1469, -0.1703, -0.1742, -0.134, -0.1368, -0.1359, -0.1281, -0.1382, -0.1398, -0.1474, -0.1383, -0.1694, -0.1841, -0.1886, -0.1684, -0.1591, -0.1479, -0.1459, -0.1496, -0.176, -0.176, -0.1848, -0.1741, -0.1605, -0.1312, -0.1177, -0.1044, -0.0704, -0.0759, -0.0744, -0.0671, -0.0617, -0.0591, -0.0381, -0.0516, -0.0238, 0.0122, 0.0051, -0.0094, -0.0212, -0.0217, 0.0, 0.0329, 0.0316, 0.0462, 0.0827, 0.0528, 0.0903, 0.0737, 0.0049, 0.0845, 0.0596, 0.091, 0.0736, 0.0565, 0.0659, 0.0545, 0.0343, 0.041, 0.0561, 0.0679, 0.0796, 0.0924, 0.0857, 0.0757, 0.0916, 0.0528, 0.0514, 0.0356, 0.0258, 0.0572, 0.0425, 0.0406, 0.0104, 0.0198, 0.0097, -0.0049, 0.011, -0.0064, -0.0151, 0.0192, 0.0193, 0.0382, 0.0382, 0.0438, 0.03, 0.0458, 0.0579, 0.0488, 0.0552, 0.0808, 0.0864, 0.1105, 0.0945, 0.0485, 0.033, 0.0299, -0.0057, 0.0221, 0.0374, 0.0529, 0.0661, 0.0727, 0.0727, 0.0872, 0.0804, 0.0755, 0.091, 0.091, 0.1475, 0.1569, 0.1755, 0.1441, 0.1417, 0.1619, 0.1911, 0.1891, 0.1744, 0.2265, 0.2293, 0.2293, 0.1746, 0.1708, 0.1753, 0.2022, 0.1945, 0.2147, 0.2289, 0.219, 0.1868, 0.2255, 0.2054, 0.1695, 0.1874, 0.2524, 0.276, 0.2993, 0.343, 0.3215, 0.3153, 0.3153, 0.3075, 0.3006, 0.2939, 0.3303, 0.3285, 0.3849, 0.392, 0.3528, 0.3448, 0.3252, 0.2678, 0.2833, 0.2704, 0.2167, 0.2519, 0.2461, 0.2729, 0.2088, 0.2146, 0.2215, 0.2456, 0.2226, 0.2197, 0.1854, 0.2185, 0.2358, 0.252]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2003454286651666658", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-23T13:14:58+00:00", "symbol": "MRVL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$MRVL is a great long", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses MRVL as a great long; separately bullish on LITE as the subject of the author's own thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["MRVL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@bricked_trades $MRVL is a great long, I'll write a separate thesis on their role in maia 300. \n\nThis thesis was about $LITE though... So two different stocks.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Leaving out $MRVL a crime\nThey acquired Celestial AI which makes them a real player in opticals and becoming a full stack AI interconnect vendor. \n\nThey now control EVERY layer of how data moves inside a data center from inside the chip, the rack, between racks and buildings.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "bricked_trades", "ret_m1d": -0.03284669688694852, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03284669688694852, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.028297036087638006, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.028297036087638006, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004549660799310518, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004549660799310518, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.013572119559687179, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.013572119559687179, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.017089739865219666, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.017089739865219666, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0035176203055324873, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0035176203055324873, "ret_p1w": -0.010492591988558675, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.010492591988558675, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.00911173408454835, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.00911173408454835, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0013808579040103242, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0013808579040103242, "ret_p1m": -0.05783070160398884, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05783070160398884, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05410953775481675, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05410953775481675, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0037211638491720933, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0037211638491720933, "ret_p3m": 0.0033446345757381923, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0033446345757381923, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05802623393692463, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05802623393692463, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.05468159936118644, "bench_c_p3m": -0.05468159936118644, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0448, -0.0521, -0.061, -0.0418, -0.0439, -0.0175, -0.0173, 0.0135, -0.0088, 0.0543, 0.0335, -0.0236, 0.0195, -0.0167, 0.0138, 0.0063, 0.0031, -0.021, -0.039, -0.0756, -0.056, -0.0405, 0.0117, 0.0089, 0.0282, 0.0102, 0.0691, 0.0307, -0.001, 0.0595, 0.0644, 0.037, 0.0633, 0.0188, 0.0188, -0.0018, -0.014, -0.0482, -0.1026, -0.0725, -0.1255, -0.1167, -0.0444, -0.0485, 0.0005, 0.0005, 0.0196, 0.039, 0.0594, 0.1428, 0.1199, 0.1281, 0.0493, 0.0139, 0.0546, 0.02, -0.0371, -0.039, -0.0412, -0.0682, -0.0366, -0.0409, -0.0328, 0.0, -0.0136, -0.0136, -0.0153, -0.0219, -0.0105, -0.0308, -0.0308, 0.0195, 0.0291, 0.0063, -0.0347, -0.0482, -0.0502, -0.054, -0.0521, -0.0731, -0.0826, -0.0817, -0.0817, -0.0892, -0.0578, -0.0516, -0.0843, -0.0667, -0.0535, -0.0456, -0.0716, -0.0993, -0.1022, -0.1378, -0.1585, -0.153, -0.0837, -0.0601, -0.064, -0.0716, -0.1071, -0.1028, -0.1028, -0.0982, -0.0973, -0.0914, -0.0929, -0.1122, -0.1053, -0.0764, -0.095, -0.0676, -0.0771, -0.1154, -0.1087, -0.1362, 0.0223, 0.0574, 0.0649, 0.0322, 0.0006, 0.0028, 0.0452, 0.0362, 0.0, 0.0218, 0.0033, 0.029, 0.0541, 0.1236, 0.1149, 0.0829, 0.0022, 0.1305, 0.2179, 0.2225, 0.2225, 0.2499, 0.2484, 0.3063, 0.3688, 0.4672, 0.4993, 0.5282, 0.537, 0.523, 0.5951, 0.6882, 0.7278, 0.7964, 0.8905, 0.8763, 0.8066, 0.7497, 0.7879, 0.8859, 0.8836, 0.8688, 0.927, 0.9658, 0.8272, 0.9427, 0.9508, 0.8784, 1.032, 1.0849, 1.0199, 0.929, 1.0128, 1.1331, 1.1775, 1.2419, 1.2419, 1.3781, 1.269, 1.339, 1.3409, 1.3409, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2003454286651666658", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-23T13:14:58+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This thesis was about $LITE though", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses MRVL as a great long; separately bullish on LITE as the subject of the author's own thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@bricked_trades $MRVL is a great long, I'll write a separate thesis on their role in maia 300. \n\nThis thesis was about $LITE though... So two different stocks.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Leaving out $MRVL a crime\nThey acquired Celestial AI which makes them a real player in opticals and becoming a full stack AI interconnect vendor. \n\nThey now control EVERY layer of how data moves inside a data center from inside the chip, the rack, between racks and buildings.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "bricked_trades", "ret_m1d": 0.006375677440837002, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006375677440837002, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01092533824014752, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01092533824014752, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004549660799310518, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004549660799310518, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.021966417194139387, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.021966417194139387, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0184487968886069, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0184487968886069, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0035176203055324873, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0035176203055324873, "ret_p1w": -0.04189362905683658, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04189362905683658, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.040512771152826255, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.040512771152826255, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0013808579040103242, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0013808579040103242, "ret_p1m": -0.06445368210595159, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06445368210595159, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0607325182567795, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0607325182567795, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0037211638491720933, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0037211638491720933, "ret_p3m": 0.8232620967681585, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.8232620967681585, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.877943696129345, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.877943696129345, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.05468159936118644, "bench_c_p3m": -0.05468159936118644, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5893, -0.5851, -0.5803, -0.58, -0.5576, -0.5618, -0.5772, -0.5855, -0.5944, -0.579, -0.5876, -0.6138, -0.5856, -0.5953, -0.5959, -0.5787, -0.5747, -0.5844, -0.5794, -0.592, -0.5651, -0.5372, -0.4998, -0.4879, -0.4469, -0.4834, -0.4797, -0.4848, -0.5138, -0.3992, -0.3813, -0.3802, -0.3292, -0.3483, -0.3449, -0.4144, -0.4008, -0.3752, -0.3613, -0.3059, -0.398, -0.3403, -0.2273, -0.2482, -0.2043, -0.2043, -0.1607, -0.1793, -0.2184, -0.2179, -0.1537, -0.1445, -0.1158, -0.0699, -0.0553, -0.0395, -0.1628, -0.1361, -0.1839, -0.1734, -0.1298, -0.0412, 0.0064, 0.0, 0.022, 0.022, 0.0087, -0.0382, -0.0419, -0.0486, -0.0486, -0.0034, -0.0784, 0.0258, 0.0141, -0.1011, -0.0929, -0.1227, -0.0673, -0.144, -0.1139, -0.163, -0.163, -0.0789, -0.0645, -0.085, -0.1245, -0.1419, -0.0432, -0.0062, -0.0154, 0.0114, 0.093, 0.1231, 0.2017, 0.302, 0.4248, 0.4898, 0.4484, 0.4819, 0.5061, 0.4526, 0.4526, 0.5498, 0.5339, 0.6407, 0.7237, 0.7416, 0.7766, 0.8672, 0.7475, 0.8092, 1.0218, 0.7925, 0.7573, 0.6799, 0.4415, 0.6538, 0.7346, 0.7346, 0.5903, 0.6068, 0.6129, 0.6767, 0.809, 0.9931, 0.8233, 0.8816, 1.0701, 1.0061, 0.778, 0.8139, 0.6902, 0.814, 0.9737, 1.1344, 1.1344, 0.9934, 1.1057, 1.3128, 1.308, 1.3162, 1.2487, 1.2013, 1.127, 1.3005, 1.3078, 1.3105, 1.1603, 1.255, 1.186, 1.2757, 1.219, 1.0427, 1.2155, 1.3291, 1.452, 1.5198, 1.5672, 1.4374, 1.304, 1.3329, 1.7183, 1.5615, 1.6596, 1.5859, 1.5056, 1.2843, 1.2975, 1.2407, 1.4896, 1.4442, 1.4442, 1.351, 1.3291, 1.2215, 1.2069, 1.2069, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1969151544320016527", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-19T21:28:07+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "NBIS becomes a stronger buy and has my highest conviction for 1Y timeframe", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Scaling NBIS to $1M+ with $225 PT on Mag7 customer base, NVDA backing, MSFT $17B contract, rate cuts; also bullish CRWV but prefers NBIS on valuation.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thoughts on why I’m scaling my $NBIS position to $1M+ with a $225 PT:\n\nThesis\n______\nWhen MSFT, GOOGL, and Mag7 are your customers like ALAB or CRED (when I took large positions in both sub $100) or before $NVDA or AVGO or TSM took off, a company's forward growth would likely explode in the 100%'s of percent.\n\nThere are barely any companies in history where Mag7 are dependent on them.\nOn top of that, when NVDA has every incentive to pump your stock as well....\n\nNBIS becomes a stronger buy and has my highest conviction for 1Y timeframe.\n\nMoat + GPU lenders Critical Importance to NVDA\n_______\nNVDA sees other hyperscalers like AMZN, GOOGL building out their own chips and reducing reliance.\n\nAnswer? Build out GPU lenders eg. CRWV, by taking a stake and financing them, so Azure/Cloud/AWS can't replace NVDA.\n\nAccess to GPUs becomes increasingly through these lenders and as we see with OpenAI, they no longer have the compute from MSFT and have to go to GOOGL.\n\nGOOGL also doesn't have enough compute so they go to WULF and others. MSFT goes to CRWV, NBIS and others, and big tech compute flows downstream to these GPU providers.\n\nNVIDIA has every reason to inflate GPU lenders like CoreWeave and NBIS to hedge against hyperscaler custom chips.\n\nAnd without compute, billions of dollars will flow to NBIS with NVDA propping them up.\n\nMacro Tailwind\n_______\n3x rate cut priced into Polymarket.\n\nIf you saw my other post, triple rate cuts only happen once a decade (extremely positive for liquidity flowing into markets) + combined with end of year seasonality, which are positive for equities.\n\nOn top of that, NBIS is a relatively smaller market cap, and relies on financing/debt to grow. When their interest burden drops, financing gets cheaper, and expansion looks more viable.\n\nNBIS is heavily valued on future earnings, and with rate cut projections, far our earnings of billions in rev from MSFT and other clients get marked UP. We're about to see a sharp re-rating after Fed meeting yesterday.\n\nCompany Comparisons\n________\n\nIf I had to choose NBIS -> CRWV -> WULF ->others weighing on potential to speculation tradeoffs.\n\nCRWV - NVDA clearly backing them, already large $63B+ MC. Could go way higher but growth potential with MSFT contract with NBIS, similar backlog, etc. at more than half the marketcap is why I chose them.\n\n$IREN, BITF, RIOT, $GRRR etc. - BTC miners pivoting to compute. I like them but they don't have the same de-risking as MSFT yet.\n\nWULF - I do like them since Google is backing them but NBIS conversion terms and MC relative to potential are better.\n\nFundamentals\n______\nMC: 24.78B (When you compare to CRWV at 61B, which was still down 30% this year), now with similar revenue backlog, it has an easy potential to go to the same marketcap ($243+ a share).\n\nBy 2026, with Microsoft deal accounted for, NBIS could be doing $5-6B total revenue with strong gross margins (≈70%).\n\nIn 2027-2028, total revenue could reach $8-10B+, especially if base business (non-Microsoft) also grows aggressively. All with ~60-75% gross margins.\n\nThis is insane but mainly due to NVDA supporting these GPU companies. Based on valuation, NBIS is more attractive than CRWV and less speculative than IREN or others without MSFT backing giving them 17B.\n\nMisc Thoughts\n___\nThey already raised 4.1B+ and secured capex for the $17B MSFT contract. This was the biggest de-risking event and why I'd invest in NBIS at $90+ compared to something more speculative back at $50.\n\nThere's likely other contracts from hyperscalers coming their way. I'd say easy path to $140, then maybe drop from convertible note, then up to $200.\n\nThere's probably more specifics that I didn't get to like margin compression in a few years operating income depreciation risk etc.\n\nBut this was the core of my investment thesis (macro, fundamentals, industry growth, moat + incentives) when I make investment decisions vs. swing trading and why NBIS is high conviction over the next year.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "HOW TO TRADE LIKE ME – LONG THREAD\n\nI'm known for uncanny accuracy and timing stock breakouts on Reddit + X. \n\nOver the next few weeks I’ll share one post every other day walking through my process so you can see how I think and trade.\n\nDoesn't hurt to read! https://t.co/L21Ewv2iJz", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.052260547171492755, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.052260547171492755, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04733208246468823, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04815694863421516, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004928464706804525, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004103598537277597, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07340651590718417, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07340651590718417, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06867541545349609, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07689412942013785, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004731100453688075, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00348761351295368, "ret_p1w": 0.08448292816338321, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08448292816338321, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08731548438653058, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09141608288299907, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0028325562231473755, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006933154719615864, "ret_p1m": 0.09757328244509389, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09757328244509389, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08612236385507366, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12072556935241152, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011450918590020231, "bench_c_p1m": -0.023152286907317632, "ret_p3m": -0.24025779072518816, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.24025779072518816, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2518593683444148, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.21349186697027356, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.011601577619226644, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0267659237549146, "ret_p6m": 0.30752199472065245, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.30752199472065245, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2965126023463669, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.33518395535465373, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.011009392374285554, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02766196063400128, "price_path": [-0.4863, -0.5114, -0.4703, -0.478, -0.4429, -0.4934, -0.4968, -0.494, -0.494, -0.5183, -0.5257, -0.5363, -0.5325, -0.5539, -0.4769, -0.461, -0.4632, -0.4594, -0.4684, -0.4727, -0.4864, -0.4776, -0.4748, -0.4827, -0.4688, -0.4925, -0.4835, -0.4519, -0.4764, -0.4545, -0.4445, -0.4453, -0.3424, -0.3074, -0.2927, -0.2415, -0.2888, -0.3106, -0.2788, -0.2696, -0.3234, -0.3206, -0.3336, -0.3054, -0.2949, -0.2903, -0.2941, -0.2746, -0.3121, -0.3121, -0.3382, -0.3389, -0.3464, -0.3408, -0.3549, -0.0361, -0.0596, -0.1019, -0.0896, -0.0841, -0.0995, -0.0527, -0.0523, 0.0, 0.0734, 0.0855, 0.1402, 0.0869, 0.0845, 0.1099, 0.1305, 0.1641, 0.2674, 0.2887, 0.2581, 0.1852, 0.2285, 0.3356, 0.3048, 0.364, 0.2904, 0.267, 0.2389, 0.1423, 0.0976, 0.05, -0.0069, 0.069, 0.1807, 0.263, 0.2268, 0.2597, 0.2504, 0.3173, 0.2131, 0.1131, 0.1781, 0.102, 0.1205, 0.1071, 0.0293, -0.0498, -0.1075, -0.1588, -0.1342, -0.0883, -0.0427, -0.1477, -0.1616, -0.0746, -0.105, -0.0465, -0.0465, -0.0447, 0.0085, -0.0288, -0.0039, 0.0351, -0.0128, 0.0103, -0.0292, -0.0576, -0.0506, -0.117, -0.183, -0.1849, -0.2403, -0.2137, -0.0992, -0.0612, -0.0934, -0.0824, -0.0824, -0.118, -0.1336, -0.1424, -0.1571, -0.1571, -0.0943, -0.0653, 0.0094, -0.0312, -0.0202, -0.0139, 0.0808, 0.0616, 0.0269, 0.0461, 0.0949, 0.0949, -0.0002, -0.0044, -0.0248, -0.0484, -0.079, -0.0145, 0.0113, -0.0443, -0.1422, -0.1123, -0.0943, -0.1704, -0.2562, -0.133, -0.0647, -0.0757, -0.1077, -0.0965, -0.0131, -0.0131, -0.018, 0.0251, 0.0836, -0.014, 0.0131, 0.0329, 0.0686, 0.0561, -0.0818, -0.0836, -0.126, -0.0154, -0.0369, -0.1005, -0.044, -0.029, 0.1277, 0.0879, 0.1373, 0.3075]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1969151544320016527", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-19T21:28:07+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CRWV - NVDA clearly backing them, already large $63B+ MC. Could go way higher", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Scaling NBIS to $1M+ with $225 PT on Mag7 customer base, NVDA backing, MSFT $17B contract, rate cuts; also bullish CRWV but prefers NBIS on valuation.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thoughts on why I’m scaling my $NBIS position to $1M+ with a $225 PT:\n\nThesis\n______\nWhen MSFT, GOOGL, and Mag7 are your customers like ALAB or CRED (when I took large positions in both sub $100) or before $NVDA or AVGO or TSM took off, a company's forward growth would likely explode in the 100%'s of percent.\n\nThere are barely any companies in history where Mag7 are dependent on them.\nOn top of that, when NVDA has every incentive to pump your stock as well....\n\nNBIS becomes a stronger buy and has my highest conviction for 1Y timeframe.\n\nMoat + GPU lenders Critical Importance to NVDA\n_______\nNVDA sees other hyperscalers like AMZN, GOOGL building out their own chips and reducing reliance.\n\nAnswer? Build out GPU lenders eg. CRWV, by taking a stake and financing them, so Azure/Cloud/AWS can't replace NVDA.\n\nAccess to GPUs becomes increasingly through these lenders and as we see with OpenAI, they no longer have the compute from MSFT and have to go to GOOGL.\n\nGOOGL also doesn't have enough compute so they go to WULF and others. MSFT goes to CRWV, NBIS and others, and big tech compute flows downstream to these GPU providers.\n\nNVIDIA has every reason to inflate GPU lenders like CoreWeave and NBIS to hedge against hyperscaler custom chips.\n\nAnd without compute, billions of dollars will flow to NBIS with NVDA propping them up.\n\nMacro Tailwind\n_______\n3x rate cut priced into Polymarket.\n\nIf you saw my other post, triple rate cuts only happen once a decade (extremely positive for liquidity flowing into markets) + combined with end of year seasonality, which are positive for equities.\n\nOn top of that, NBIS is a relatively smaller market cap, and relies on financing/debt to grow. When their interest burden drops, financing gets cheaper, and expansion looks more viable.\n\nNBIS is heavily valued on future earnings, and with rate cut projections, far our earnings of billions in rev from MSFT and other clients get marked UP. We're about to see a sharp re-rating after Fed meeting yesterday.\n\nCompany Comparisons\n________\n\nIf I had to choose NBIS -> CRWV -> WULF ->others weighing on potential to speculation tradeoffs.\n\nCRWV - NVDA clearly backing them, already large $63B+ MC. Could go way higher but growth potential with MSFT contract with NBIS, similar backlog, etc. at more than half the marketcap is why I chose them.\n\n$IREN, BITF, RIOT, $GRRR etc. - BTC miners pivoting to compute. I like them but they don't have the same de-risking as MSFT yet.\n\nWULF - I do like them since Google is backing them but NBIS conversion terms and MC relative to potential are better.\n\nFundamentals\n______\nMC: 24.78B (When you compare to CRWV at 61B, which was still down 30% this year), now with similar revenue backlog, it has an easy potential to go to the same marketcap ($243+ a share).\n\nBy 2026, with Microsoft deal accounted for, NBIS could be doing $5-6B total revenue with strong gross margins (≈70%).\n\nIn 2027-2028, total revenue could reach $8-10B+, especially if base business (non-Microsoft) also grows aggressively. All with ~60-75% gross margins.\n\nThis is insane but mainly due to NVDA supporting these GPU companies. Based on valuation, NBIS is more attractive than CRWV and less speculative than IREN or others without MSFT backing giving them 17B.\n\nMisc Thoughts\n___\nThey already raised 4.1B+ and secured capex for the $17B MSFT contract. This was the biggest de-risking event and why I'd invest in NBIS at $90+ compared to something more speculative back at $50.\n\nThere's likely other contracts from hyperscalers coming their way. I'd say easy path to $140, then maybe drop from convertible note, then up to $200.\n\nThere's probably more specifics that I didn't get to like margin compression in a few years operating income depreciation risk etc.\n\nBut this was the core of my investment thesis (macro, fundamentals, industry growth, moat + incentives) when I make investment decisions vs. swing trading and why NBIS is high conviction over the next year.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "HOW TO TRADE LIKE ME – LONG THREAD\n\nI'm known for uncanny accuracy and timing stock breakouts on Reddit + X. \n\nOver the next few weeks I’ll share one post every other day walking through my process so you can see how I think and trade.\n\nDoesn't hurt to read! https://t.co/L21Ewv2iJz", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.027791135701912273, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.027791135701912273, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.022862670995107748, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.022862670995107748, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004928464706804525, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004928464706804525, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06703503985481785, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06703503985481785, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06230393940112977, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06230393940112977, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004731100453688075, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004731100453688075, "ret_p1w": -0.036200578651016, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.036200578651016, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03336802242786863, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03336802242786863, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0028325562231473755, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0028325562231473755, "ret_p1m": 0.01761970957462733, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.01761970957462733, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.006168790984607098, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.006168790984607098, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011450918590020231, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011450918590020231, "ret_p3m": -0.48302096158722696, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.48302096158722696, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4946225392064536, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4946225392064536, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.011601577619226644, "bench_c_p3m": 0.011601577619226644, "ret_p6m": -0.31234983028477326, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.31234983028477326, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3233592226590588, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3233592226590588, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.011009392374285554, "bench_c_p6m": 0.011009392374285554, "price_path": [0.3825, 0.2774, 0.2661, 0.2814, 0.3059, 0.2489, 0.2155, 0.3231, 0.3231, 0.279, 0.213, 0.2258, 0.1076, 0.0078, 0.0602, 0.126, 0.1456, 0.0589, -0.0147, 0.0004, 0.0393, 0.0095, -0.0389, -0.074, -0.1168, -0.1291, -0.176, -0.0859, -0.1659, -0.151, -0.1043, -0.1171, -0.0303, 0.0376, 0.1195, 0.1913, -0.0569, -0.2031, -0.1993, -0.2247, -0.256, -0.267, -0.2729, -0.2472, -0.2601, -0.2681, -0.2237, -0.1768, -0.1748, -0.1748, -0.2524, -0.2802, -0.2994, -0.2865, -0.2508, -0.1973, -0.0618, -0.0975, -0.1033, -0.0352, -0.0489, -0.032, -0.0278, 0.0, 0.067, 0.0483, 0.0684, 0.0144, -0.0362, -0.0187, 0.096, 0.0976, 0.1052, 0.0795, 0.072, 0.0318, 0.1211, 0.1459, 0.1087, 0.1342, 0.0737, 0.1152, 0.1352, 0.0962, 0.0176, 0.0016, -0.0267, -0.0122, 0.0616, 0.0897, 0.0796, 0.1207, 0.0497, 0.0709, 0.0117, -0.073, -0.0836, -0.1436, -0.167, -0.1542, -0.2921, -0.3158, -0.3726, -0.3804, -0.3967, -0.4001, -0.4, -0.4457, -0.4262, -0.4105, -0.429, -0.405, -0.405, -0.4144, -0.3828, -0.3911, -0.3644, -0.3132, -0.2928, -0.3093, -0.2739, -0.2939, -0.3002, -0.3706, -0.4206, -0.4434, -0.483, -0.458, -0.3353, -0.3206, -0.3572, -0.3683, -0.3683, -0.388, -0.4, -0.4081, -0.4265, -0.4265, -0.3647, -0.3844, -0.3758, -0.3819, -0.3826, -0.3582, -0.2798, -0.2994, -0.2808, -0.2391, -0.1893, -0.1893, -0.2374, -0.2468, -0.2649, -0.2553, -0.2126, -0.1281, -0.1509, -0.2029, -0.2536, -0.2877, -0.2787, -0.3396, -0.4021, -0.2796, -0.2248, -0.2383, -0.2379, -0.2335, -0.2308, -0.2308, -0.2712, -0.2355, -0.222, -0.2852, -0.2725, -0.2047, -0.215, -0.2181, -0.3628, -0.3749, -0.4091, -0.3633, -0.4008, -0.4154, -0.4041, -0.4, -0.3436, -0.3604, -0.3504, -0.3123]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2010047332235260390", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-10T17:53:23+00:00", "symbol": "VLN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Re-rating to a standard 10 EV/revenue would be over 3 times+ current prices. This is why it's good to do the fundamental valuation math yourself rather than looking at percentage changes since this looks to be extreme mispricing", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long VLN: trades at 2.4x EV/revenue vs peer 14-18x; re-rating to 10x implies 3x+ upside; extreme mispricing thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["VLN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "You had a $80m forward revenue, $NVDA-margin fabless robotics semi trading close to 1:1 cash/inventory to marketcap.  \n\nEven after 60% run $VLN literally sits at 2.4 EV/revenue, while similar companies trade between 14-18. \n\nRe-rating to a standard 10 EV/revenue would be over 3 times+ current prices.  \n\nThis is why it's good to do the fundamental valuation math yourself rather than looking at percentage changes since this looks to be extreme mispricing from algorithm hallucination.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Even after Friday’s 60% run, there still seems to be significant upside. Manage the risk through position sizing.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Ren_aramb", "ret_m1d": 0.07359310844371292, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07359310844371292, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07516109979748642, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07727918438675141, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0015679913537735013, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0036860759430384915, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012987000923330161, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012987000923330161, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014986476029200446, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01076001298232776, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019994751058702853, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0022269879410024007, "ret_p1w": -0.1385281130603636, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1385281130603636, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1334932848998024, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.16343470932083937, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.005034828160561222, "bench_c_p1w": 0.024906596260475755, "ret_p1m": -0.32900433302555665, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.32900433302555665, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3246312130634772, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.36509711439897574, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0043731199620794525, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03609278137341909, "ret_p3m": -0.419913391094622, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.419913391094622, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4006470825098737, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5214082805760099, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.019266308584748315, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10149488948138785, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2035, -0.2338, -0.2597, -0.2208, -0.2338, -0.2511, -0.2381, -0.2294, -0.2424, -0.2381, -0.2597, -0.2641, -0.2078, -0.2554, -0.3117, -0.2814, -0.3247, -0.316, -0.3074, -0.2208, -0.2641, -0.2554, -0.2468, -0.3247, -0.342, -0.3723, -0.3853, -0.3506, -0.3377, -0.3333, -0.3203, -0.3203, -0.3074, -0.3203, -0.316, -0.2771, -0.2727, -0.2727, -0.2641, -0.2641, -0.2727, -0.2944, -0.3117, -0.3333, -0.3377, -0.3593, -0.3593, -0.355, -0.368, -0.3939, -0.4026, -0.4026, -0.3766, -0.3896, -0.4026, -0.3853, -0.3853, -0.3247, -0.3203, -0.3117, -0.329, -0.3247, 0.0736, 0.0, 0.013, -0.0952, -0.0952, -0.1385, -0.1385, -0.1602, -0.1515, -0.0909, -0.1515, -0.2035, -0.2035, -0.2338, -0.2381, -0.2641, -0.2771, -0.3074, -0.3333, -0.381, -0.3333, -0.342, -0.329, -0.3333, -0.3506, -0.342, -0.342, -0.368, -0.355, -0.355, -0.3463, -0.3593, -0.3377, -0.3333, -0.3074, -0.3593, -0.3593, -0.3766, -0.3766, -0.3939, -0.4156, -0.4156, -0.4026, -0.381, -0.4156, -0.4242, -0.4242, -0.4199, -0.4589, -0.4459, -0.4719, -0.4545, -0.4589, -0.4545, -0.4719, -0.4892, -0.5195, -0.5108, -0.4935, -0.4848, -0.4848, -0.4848, -0.4892, -0.4329, -0.4199, -0.4242, -0.4156, -0.4026, -0.3636, -0.329, -0.342, -0.3636, -0.3506, -0.303, -0.2857, -0.2251, -0.303, -0.3463, -0.3463, -0.0606, 0.013, -0.026, 0.0476, 0.0823, 0.0433, 0.2078, 0.2338, 0.1688, 0.2771, 0.4589, 0.3203, 0.2208, 0.1515, 0.2554, 0.3247, 0.3939, 0.3939, 0.4113, 0.3636, 0.5152, 0.5281, 0.5281, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1995239607672414333", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-30T21:12:46+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ETH as a token is a terrible investment, especially above $4K. Unless there's protocol changes that generate reasonable value accrual to the ETH token from L2 activity, don't bother with ETH as an investment.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish ETH: L2s siphon value from mainnet, revenue collapsed, no economic incentive to hold without protocol changes for value accrual.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Finally, @VitalikButerin perfectly pointed out why I’m bearish on ETH, and @fundstrat’s $BMNR.\n\n$ETH as a token is a terrible investment, especially above $4K.\n\nThis is what Tom Lee, Cathie Wood’s ARK innovation, Vitalik and others didn’t understand: \n\nThere is a disconnect between Ethereum as a network and ETH as a utility token.\n\nEthereum network (that’s growing) does not translate to the token price appreciating. \n\nIf you bought $ETH near the end of 2021, you would have lost money. Meanwhile $BTC price has appreciated close to 300% since then. Why?\n\nLayer 2s.\n\n1. Vitalik encouraged users to move to L2s (like Base) over the past few years. As a result now these networks move billions in volume but all fees go to companies like Coinbase (sequencer) not validators on Ethereum.\n\n2. L2s pay fees to store their data but this is just incredibly minimal compared to the economic value they siphoned off of Ethereum mainnet.\n\nThat’s it. Layer 2s siphoned off profit, activity, while the Ethereum’s network receives barely anything for data storage. Value accrual went to companies like Coinbase, not ETH token holders.\n\nEthereum’s Network usage is at an all-time high, but Mainnet revenue has collapsed and there’s little economic incentive to hold the token as an investment. \n\nUnless there’s protocol changes that generate reasonable value accrual to the ETH token from L2 activity, don’t bother with ETH as an investment.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "You can just build on L1.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.08289279096154756, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08289279096154756, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07830634609922482, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.07062049558248629, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07062049558248629, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06876819590840721, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": 0.1160668216622518, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1160668216622518, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11112756640799382, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": 0.0611486529490981, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0611486529490981, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04825654615673103, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.27619434688681554, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.27619434688681554, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2924626055013444, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.2604577118557324, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2604577118557324, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3701110914364024, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.5893, 0.5352, 0.5381, 0.5385, 0.5388, 0.5532, 0.5932, 0.6839, 0.6166, 0.6083, 0.6402, 0.6391, 0.5966, 0.5009, 0.4876, 0.4833, 0.3815, 0.4413, 0.5061, 0.4806, 0.5539, 0.6027, 0.6123, 0.6741, 0.5896, 0.6169, 0.5603, 0.3724, 0.5161, 0.4733, 0.424, 0.3909, 0.3687, 0.4216, 0.3845, 0.36, 0.3771, 0.4051, 0.4714, 0.4221, 0.394, 0.3586, 0.3739, 0.2865, 0.1758, 0.2232, 0.1829, 0.2268, 0.2744, 0.2197, 0.2189, 0.1545, 0.1084, 0.0801, 0.1153, 0.0796, 0.0113, -0.0123, 0.0545, 0.0563, 0.0813, 0.0765, 0.0829, 0.0, 0.0706, 0.1398, 0.1193, 0.0801, 0.1161, 0.186, 0.1876, 0.156, 0.1014, 0.0586, 0.0586, 0.0111, 0.0096, 0.0635, 0.0735, 0.0583, 0.0519, 0.0369, 0.0448, 0.048, 0.0611, 0.0596, 0.0715, 0.1158, 0.1521, 0.177, 0.1309, 0.1086, 0.101, 0.1043, 0.1864, 0.198, 0.1846, 0.1769, 0.138, 0.0484, 0.0638, 0.0534, 0.0547, 0.0451, 0.0793, 0.0737, 0.0064, -0.0349, -0.1628, -0.2045, -0.2345, -0.3494, -0.2631, -0.2488, -0.2788, -0.307, -0.3047, -0.2684, -0.2865, -0.2886, -0.3022, -0.3043, -0.2968, -0.3374, -0.3383, -0.2663, -0.2762, -0.3105, -0.276, -0.2919, -0.2406, -0.2602, -0.2934, -0.2883, -0.2725, -0.2673, -0.2596, -0.2527, -0.1604, -0.1722, -0.213, -0.2367, -0.2334, -0.2314, -0.2302, -0.2258, -0.2645, -0.2889, -0.2774, -0.2484, -0.2362, -0.2655, -0.2667, -0.2473, -0.1994, -0.2178, -0.2182, -0.1982, -0.1534, -0.1703, -0.1574, -0.1613, -0.1354, -0.1732, -0.1686, -0.1515, -0.1674, -0.173, -0.1775, -0.1824, -0.1953, -0.1943, -0.1804, -0.1621, -0.1568, -0.1605, -0.1818, -0.1761, -0.1646, -0.1877, -0.1938, -0.1854, -0.206, -0.2399, -0.2465, -0.2404, -0.2388, -0.2627, -0.246, -0.2605]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1980287888077312390", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-20T14:59:59+00:00", "symbol": "TE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Initiated a small position ($50k shares, $50k April calls) in T1 Energy $TE $4.45", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Initiated $100k position (shares + April calls) in T1 Energy at $4.45; bullish on data center buildout tailwind and 300% forward revenue growth despite thin margins and debt.", "resolved_tickers": ["TE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Initiated a small position ($50k shares, $50k April calls) in T1 Energy $TE $4.45, partly because I like League of Legends and Faker.\n\nI have energy positions such as $FLNC, SEI and $EOSE (trimmed) that performed very well. \n\nBut like the rest, energy is pointed to benefit from the data center buildout and a $700m MC is a good risk-reward. \n\nI can confidently say I don’t know enough about solar/battery/energy to give a good fundamental thesis but got recommended this from other X users. So I’m not going to try to pretend I have domain expertise in this. \n\nBut generally, when a company Grows forward revenue 300% y/y and starts the year off with 800-900m revenue from almost 0 the previous year, this a positive sign. Even with 25% gross margins, there’s quite a lot of debt 500-600m. But the growth is staggering and a beneficiary of the data center buildout. \n\nSometimes just need to take the leap of faith with a sector and trust DD of peers on X.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "October 20th, Important Rate Cut Trading Week.\n\nPersonal thoughts and explanations: \n\n🛝 = Swing Trade\n\n🐈 = Catalyst Trade\n\n🎇 = 2026 Trade, Tax Harvested\n\nFire Sale\n🔥 $NBIS \n\nStrong Buy\n$TSM\n$AMKR\n$WLAC\n$AMZN\n$LTC 🐈\n$RDDT\n$HIMS 🛝\n$IBIT\n$ALAB\n$CRDO\n$SMCI\n$FLY 🎇\n$SNAP 🎇", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0924369823662422, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0924369823662422, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08214356341717821, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08214356341717821, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010293418949063993, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010293418949063993, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0588235706606518, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0588235706606518, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05880866617917602, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05880866617917602, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4904481475785936e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -1.4904481475785936e-05, "ret_p1w": -0.1953782059784157, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1953782059784157, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.21614389765425357, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.21614389765425357, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02076569167583786, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02076569167583786, "ret_p1m": -0.3571429000753723, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3571429000753723, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.34042903283608095, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.34042903283608095, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016713867239291358, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016713867239291358, "ret_p3m": 0.5567225821652493, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5567225821652493, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.522482324849892, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.522482324849892, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03424025731535729, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03424025731535729, "ret_p6m": 0.02100838231599389, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.02100838231599389, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.01938230529082907, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.01938230529082907, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04039068760682296, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04039068760682296, "price_path": [-0.6702, -0.6891, -0.7017, -0.7059, -0.7185, -0.729, -0.75, -0.7563, -0.7395, -0.7374, -0.7374, -0.7332, -0.7311, -0.7395, -0.7374, -0.7185, -0.7353, -0.6891, -0.6744, -0.6933, -0.7206, -0.6891, -0.666, -0.6597, -0.6618, -0.6681, -0.6555, -0.6534, -0.6534, -0.6029, -0.6155, -0.6113, -0.584, -0.584, -0.5924, -0.6071, -0.605, -0.6092, -0.6261, -0.6324, -0.6282, -0.6092, -0.5903, -0.5735, -0.6134, -0.5378, -0.5231, -0.5378, -0.5105, -0.542, -0.4979, -0.5042, -0.4685, -0.4118, -0.3992, -0.3845, -0.1954, -0.2353, -0.2647, -0.1576, 0.1008, -0.0147, -0.0924, 0.0, -0.0588, -0.1366, -0.2206, -0.271, -0.1954, -0.2227, -0.2437, -0.2353, -0.2185, -0.2815, -0.2269, -0.1408, -0.2269, -0.1996, -0.0546, -0.0735, -0.1912, -0.2668, -0.2941, -0.3319, -0.3571, -0.3929, -0.4286, -0.4286, -0.3403, -0.3088, -0.1933, -0.1933, -0.1345, -0.0609, -0.0042, -0.0504, 0.0735, 0.2248, 0.2647, 0.4139, 0.292, 0.2332, 0.1239, 0.063, 0.1429, 0.1387, 0.2647, 0.3508, 0.5336, 0.4937, 0.4811, 0.4811, 0.4286, 0.3487, 0.3655, 0.4034, 0.4034, 0.6471, 0.7227, 0.6071, 0.5294, 0.4307, 0.458, 0.5147, 0.6513, 0.6513, 0.5567, 0.7164, 0.7164, 0.7395, 0.6429, 0.7584, 0.7857, 0.7101, 0.916, 0.9937, 0.8655, 0.75, 0.8193, 0.9097, 0.6239, 0.5273, 0.7374, 0.605, 0.5777, 0.4391, 0.3046, 0.2857, 0.2857, 0.3529, 0.3571, 0.3256, 0.3046, 0.3214, 0.4895, 0.5168, 0.5315, 0.2941, 0.437, 0.3676, 0.4916, 0.4307, 0.4118, 0.5042, 0.6765, 0.7101, 0.6261, 0.6008, 0.6218, 0.6366, 0.5399, 0.6197, 0.3866, 0.437, 0.3887, 0.4034, 0.3193, 0.2101, 0.1807, -0.0777, -0.0588, -0.1197, -0.1197, -0.1492, -0.1744, -0.1239, -0.1218, -0.0147, 0.0735, 0.021]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1976001305866080372", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-08T19:06:38+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "likely backstopped by $GOOGL in the future", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long WLAC as a SPAC play on Boost Neocloud IPO over 3-month horizon; 75%+ EBITDA margins and 250% rev growth; Google likely backstop adds long GOOGL lean.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "IMO opportunity front running the Boost SPAC Neocloud IPO through $WLAC (OKLO, DJT, etc) if u hv 3 months patience.\n\nBoost works with Fluidstack, likely backstopped by $GOOGL in the future.\n\n75%+ EBITDA gross margin + 250% rev from last year.\n\nEST MC ~$600m, maybe next $CIFR. https://t.co/apzAdfLvMY", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.00466024683711419, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00466024683711419, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010587952033135117, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0005073493090019809, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005927705196020927, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004152897528112209, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.012631867983262879, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.012631867983262879, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009734859604025425, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006921476099772228, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0028970083792374535, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005710391883490651, "ret_p1w": 0.02620391792034149, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02620391792034149, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.037999961891617584, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.027761279406384065, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011796043971276093, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0015573614860425744, "ret_p1m": 0.1640504452715974, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1640504452715974, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.16821019839483198, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.19156389795968354, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0041597531232345775, "bench_c_p1m": -0.027513452688086137, "ret_p3m": 0.2948535406763926, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2948535406763926, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.27012929587699586, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2727804893812553, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024724244799396722, "bench_c_p3m": 0.022073051295137258, "ret_p6m": 0.21074235960060883, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.21074235960060883, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.23086639073560633, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2380895263148206, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0201240311349975, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02734716671421178, "price_path": [-0.264, -0.2585, -0.2567, -0.2527, -0.2502, -0.2442, -0.2236, -0.2185, -0.223, -0.2151, -0.211, -0.2134, -0.2005, -0.1973, -0.2162, -0.2275, -0.2034, -0.2049, -0.1991, -0.1973, -0.1773, -0.1791, -0.1695, -0.1751, -0.1711, -0.1672, -0.1688, -0.1767, -0.1859, -0.1842, -0.1583, -0.1485, -0.154, -0.1526, -0.1356, -0.1304, -0.1304, -0.1368, -0.0579, -0.0512, -0.0402, -0.0433, -0.0204, -0.0223, -0.0174, -0.0156, 0.0286, 0.0267, 0.0201, 0.0303, 0.0413, 0.0323, 0.0288, 0.0103, 0.0048, 0.0078, -0.0023, -0.0062, 0.0011, 0.0044, 0.003, 0.0238, 0.0047, 0.0, -0.0126, -0.0329, -0.0019, 0.0034, 0.0262, 0.028, 0.0355, 0.0488, 0.0239, 0.0289, 0.0346, 0.0625, 0.1008, 0.0934, 0.1224, 0.1507, 0.1495, 0.1598, 0.1346, 0.1623, 0.1641, 0.1398, 0.1859, 0.1909, 0.1721, 0.1388, 0.13, 0.1652, 0.1621, 0.197, 0.1833, 0.225, 0.3023, 0.3222, 0.3079, 0.3079, 0.3089, 0.2873, 0.291, 0.3066, 0.2984, 0.3133, 0.2833, 0.2971, 0.3099, 0.278, 0.2652, 0.2608, 0.2541, 0.2138, 0.2373, 0.2565, 0.2672, 0.2859, 0.2848, 0.2848, 0.2825, 0.2827, 0.2838, 0.2804, 0.2804, 0.2892, 0.2949, 0.2859, 0.3171, 0.3313, 0.3441, 0.3575, 0.3743, 0.3738, 0.3613, 0.3499, 0.3499, 0.3172, 0.3433, 0.3521, 0.3414, 0.3632, 0.3685, 0.3745, 0.3837, 0.3826, 0.4059, 0.3896, 0.3623, 0.355, 0.3207, 0.3267, 0.3032, 0.272, 0.264, 0.2506, 0.2506, 0.2355, 0.2408, 0.2389, 0.2885, 0.2742, 0.2718, 0.28, 0.2574, 0.2753, 0.2539, 0.2418, 0.24, 0.2308, 0.2211, 0.2541, 0.2569, 0.2637, 0.2426, 0.2374, 0.2508, 0.2728, 0.2595, 0.2572, 0.2322, 0.2365, 0.1889, 0.1909, 0.15, 0.123, 0.1196, 0.1771, 0.2174, 0.2107]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1989369285274431834", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-14T16:26:12+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "more durable margins to the T 1 Neoclouds like $NBIS and $CIFR with healthy balance sheets and no high debt interest. This is a massive long term premium the market is currently mispricing + hasn't priced in yet with this sell-off", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS, CIFR, WULF as Tier-1 Neoclouds with healthy balance sheets that will see durable margin expansion vs. weaker competitors in a credit-tightening environment; current sell-off is a mispricing/buying opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Your analysis nails the second-order alpha. Credit tightening hurts the ability of weaker competitors to fund new capacity + improve forward FCF/margins, fundamentally constraining growth. \n\nThis translates to more durable margins to the T 1 Neoclouds like $NBIS and $CIFR with healthy balance sheets and no high debt interest. This is a massive long term premium the market is currently mispricing + hasn't priced in yet with this sell-off.\n\nMag7 capex as we've seen is increasing, but it's funneling into winners eg. $NBIS, $WULF, etc. We're seeing an indiscriminate sell-off due to panic from $CRWV and $ORCL + credit tightening, and this is a buying opportunity and actually a competitive advantage for the least affected Neoclouds.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Actually… the deeper story here is who can survive a credit choke point.\n\nThis washout is exposing the split between capacity speculators and true infra operators. \n\nMag7 capex isn’t slowing but the cost of capital is rising (because risk is rising, liquidity is tightening, and", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "yianisz", "ret_m1d": 0.06092885183275798, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06092885183275798, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.060765056247821025, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05553947374933221, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0053893780834257665, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02920759414251739, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02920759414251739, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03852402757176199, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03055500763417085, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0013474134916534597, "ret_p1w": -0.003351673165289948, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.003351673165289948, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.015846667575385776, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.00847158234454437, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005119909179254423, "ret_p1m": -0.028728770643726698, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.028728770643726698, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.041825383272466876, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07579595992511301, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04706718928138631, "ret_p3m": 0.060689485746484806, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.060689485746484806, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.027836732130763542, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.008700540385840005, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0519889453606448, "ret_p6m": 1.227675413742134, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.227675413742134, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.1211470771516163, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.1828159796751123, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04485943406702164, "price_path": [-0.1957, -0.1924, -0.2078, -0.1743, -0.1618, -0.1563, -0.1609, -0.1377, -0.1822, -0.1822, -0.2133, -0.2141, -0.223, -0.2163, -0.2332, 0.1458, 0.1179, 0.0676, 0.0822, 0.0888, 0.0705, 0.1262, 0.1266, 0.1888, 0.276, 0.2904, 0.3554, 0.2921, 0.2892, 0.3194, 0.3439, 0.3839, 0.5067, 0.532, 0.4956, 0.4089, 0.4604, 0.5877, 0.5511, 0.6215, 0.534, 0.5062, 0.4728, 0.3579, 0.3048, 0.2483, 0.1805, 0.2708, 0.4036, 0.5014, 0.4583, 0.4975, 0.4865, 0.566, 0.4421, 0.3232, 0.4005, 0.31, 0.3321, 0.3161, 0.2236, 0.1295, 0.0609, 0.0, 0.0292, 0.0838, 0.138, 0.0132, -0.0034, 0.1001, 0.0639, 0.1335, 0.1335, 0.1356, 0.1988, 0.1545, 0.1841, 0.2305, 0.1736, 0.201, 0.1541, 0.1203, 0.1286, 0.0497, -0.0287, -0.031, -0.0968, -0.0652, 0.0709, 0.116, 0.0777, 0.0909, 0.0909, 0.0485, 0.0299, 0.0195, 0.002, 0.002, 0.0767, 0.1112, 0.1999, 0.1517, 0.1647, 0.1723, 0.2848, 0.262, 0.2207, 0.2435, 0.3015, 0.3015, 0.1885, 0.1835, 0.1593, 0.1312, 0.0948, 0.1715, 0.2022, 0.1361, 0.0198, 0.0553, 0.0767, -0.0138, -0.1158, 0.0306, 0.1118, 0.0988, 0.0607, 0.0741, 0.1732, 0.1732, 0.1673, 0.2186, 0.2881, 0.1721, 0.2043, 0.2279, 0.2703, 0.2554, 0.0916, 0.0894, 0.039, 0.1705, 0.145, 0.0693, 0.1365, 0.1543, 0.3406, 0.2933, 0.352, 0.5543, 0.3925, 0.4192, 0.4546, 0.4079, 0.3664, 0.3755, 0.3777, 0.2685, 0.2068, 0.1044, 0.242, 0.2204, 0.3026, 0.3026, 0.3471, 0.4053, 0.4963, 0.6319, 0.7353, 0.8501, 0.9385, 0.9963, 0.9792, 0.881, 0.9052, 0.874, 0.869, 0.8803, 0.7616, 0.7352, 0.6221, 0.6901, 0.6547, 0.8493, 1.1118, 1.1058, 1.3353, 1.2118, 1.1193, 1.2277]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1989369285274431834", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-14T16:26:12+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "more durable margins to the T 1 Neoclouds like $NBIS and $CIFR with healthy balance sheets and no high debt interest. This is a massive long term premium the market is currently mispricing + hasn't priced in yet with this sell-off", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS, CIFR, WULF as Tier-1 Neoclouds with healthy balance sheets that will see durable margin expansion vs. weaker competitors in a credit-tightening environment; current sell-off is a mispricing/buying opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Your analysis nails the second-order alpha. Credit tightening hurts the ability of weaker competitors to fund new capacity + improve forward FCF/margins, fundamentally constraining growth. \n\nThis translates to more durable margins to the T 1 Neoclouds like $NBIS and $CIFR with healthy balance sheets and no high debt interest. This is a massive long term premium the market is currently mispricing + hasn't priced in yet with this sell-off.\n\nMag7 capex as we've seen is increasing, but it's funneling into winners eg. $NBIS, $WULF, etc. We're seeing an indiscriminate sell-off due to panic from $CRWV and $ORCL + credit tightening, and this is a buying opportunity and actually a competitive advantage for the least affected Neoclouds.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Actually… the deeper story here is who can survive a credit choke point.\n\nThis washout is exposing the split between capacity speculators and true infra operators. \n\nMag7 capex isn’t slowing but the cost of capital is rising (because risk is rising, liquidity is tightening, and", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "yianisz", "ret_m1d": 0.039693639423834526, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.039693639423834526, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03952984383889757, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.045107562737243145, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0054139233134086195, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0006963283737175807, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0006963283737175807, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008620105055527016, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014955175456109027, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015651503829826607, "ret_p1w": -0.014623958437862794, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.014623958437862794, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.004574382302812929, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03725871220724131, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0518826706451041, "ret_p1m": 0.026462404145269014, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.026462404145269014, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.013365791516528835, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03878237722964417, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012319973084375158, "ret_p3m": 0.13370481029750447, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.13370481029750447, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10085205668178321, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.139869257288889, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "bench_c_p3m": -0.00616444699138452, "ret_p6m": 0.41225634899061614, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.41225634899061614, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3057280124000985, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.17421152105138193, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2380448279392342, "price_path": [-0.5989, -0.5857, -0.5891, -0.5557, -0.5376, -0.5042, -0.5132, -0.5111, -0.468, -0.468, -0.4206, -0.4352, -0.4847, -0.4763, -0.4624, -0.3579, -0.2862, -0.3057, -0.2444, -0.2444, -0.1985, -0.1379, -0.1748, -0.1448, -0.0279, -0.0146, -0.0153, -0.188, -0.2013, -0.1191, -0.1233, -0.1226, -0.0383, 0.0237, 0.0682, 0.0968, 0.2256, 0.2528, 0.1818, 0.4164, 0.4547, 0.4645, 0.3036, 0.3064, 0.3865, 0.2587, 0.1219, 0.2016, 0.4387, 0.4304, 0.39, 0.3642, 0.328, 0.2987, 0.585, 0.5675, 0.7208, 0.5118, 0.4408, 0.3684, 0.3001, 0.2103, 0.0397, 0.0, -0.0007, 0.0153, 0.0181, 0.0139, -0.0146, 0.1636, 0.2201, 0.3336, 0.3336, 0.4171, 0.3712, 0.2284, 0.2974, 0.3809, 0.3426, 0.3565, 0.3621, 0.2869, 0.3148, 0.1873, 0.0265, 0.0439, 0.0021, 0.055, 0.1288, 0.1379, 0.1079, 0.1295, 0.1295, 0.0578, 0.0501, 0.016, 0.0279, 0.0279, 0.1281, 0.2646, 0.2214, 0.1198, 0.1525, 0.1581, 0.2312, 0.2709, 0.2625, 0.2201, 0.3092, 0.3092, 0.2479, 0.234, 0.211, 0.2235, 0.1483, 0.3057, 0.321, 0.2326, 0.1114, 0.101, 0.1323, -0.0077, -0.1156, 0.0258, 0.1671, 0.1908, 0.1337, 0.1212, 0.1435, 0.1435, 0.0891, 0.0738, 0.1003, 0.0202, 0.0599, 0.1922, 0.1567, 0.1476, 0.0864, 0.0975, 0.0244, 0.117, 0.055, -0.0515, -0.0035, -0.0279, -0.0174, -0.0453, -0.0195, 0.0543, 0.0508, 0.0216, 0.0195, -0.0244, 0.0369, 0.0362, 0.1058, -0.0007, -0.0428, -0.1633, -0.1038, -0.1198, -0.1072, -0.1072, -0.0703, -0.0244, 0.0738, 0.1393, 0.1511, 0.2368, 0.2848, 0.2535, 0.2075, 0.3489, 0.3433, 0.2563, 0.3538, 0.3015, 0.2674, 0.2646, 0.2019, 0.1783, 0.2354, 0.1866, 0.2458, 0.539, 0.5258, 0.4405, 0.4311, 0.4123]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1989369285274431834", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-11-14T16:26:12+00:00", "symbol": "WULF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Mag7 capex as we've seen is increasing, but it's funneling into winners eg. $NBIS, $WULF, etc. this is a buying opportunity and actually a competitive advantage for the least affected Neoclouds", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS, CIFR, WULF as Tier-1 Neoclouds with healthy balance sheets that will see durable margin expansion vs. weaker competitors in a credit-tightening environment; current sell-off is a mispricing/buying opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["WULF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Your analysis nails the second-order alpha. Credit tightening hurts the ability of weaker competitors to fund new capacity + improve forward FCF/margins, fundamentally constraining growth. \n\nThis translates to more durable margins to the T 1 Neoclouds like $NBIS and $CIFR with healthy balance sheets and no high debt interest. This is a massive long term premium the market is currently mispricing + hasn't priced in yet with this sell-off.\n\nMag7 capex as we've seen is increasing, but it's funneling into winners eg. $NBIS, $WULF, etc. We're seeing an indiscriminate sell-off due to panic from $CRWV and $ORCL + credit tightening, and this is a buying opportunity and actually a competitive advantage for the least affected Neoclouds.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Actually… the deeper story here is who can survive a credit choke point.\n\nThis washout is exposing the split between capacity speculators and true infra operators. \n\nMag7 capex isn’t slowing but the cost of capital is rising (because risk is rising, liquidity is tightening, and", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "yianisz", "ret_m1d": 0.06278439931099422, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06278439931099422, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06262060372605727, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06262060372605727, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005459546939607929, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005459546939607929, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014775980368852526, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014775980368852526, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "ret_p1w": 0.02729756114492976, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02729756114492976, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.046495901885605484, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.046495901885605484, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "ret_p1m": 0.13648771894809464, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13648771894809464, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12339110631935446, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12339110631935446, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "ret_p3m": 0.45859881897109034, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.45859881897109034, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4257460653553691, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4257460653553691, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "bench_c_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "ret_p6m": 1.1264787375746819, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.1264787375746819, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.0199504009841642, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.0199504009841642, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "price_path": [-0.2011, -0.1556, -0.1638, -0.1665, -0.1874, -0.1592, -0.1692, -0.141, -0.1401, -0.1401, -0.1237, -0.1829, -0.1929, -0.1692, -0.1629, -0.0628, -0.04, -0.0318, -0.0209, -0.0455, -0.0045, 0.0328, 0.0164, -0.0009, 0.0455, 0.0227, 0.0373, -0.0018, -0.0146, 0.0555, 0.0391, 0.0437, 0.0537, 0.0846, 0.0892, 0.101, 0.1192, 0.2366, 0.2293, 0.2739, 0.4067, 0.4076, 0.2611, 0.2675, 0.2602, 0.1956, 0.1483, 0.172, 0.2475, 0.2411, 0.4504, 0.3194, 0.3485, 0.4104, 0.465, 0.3658, 0.3976, 0.2994, 0.2684, 0.3012, 0.1256, 0.1501, 0.0628, 0.0, 0.0055, 0.0919, 0.1128, 0.0519, 0.0273, 0.1492, 0.2684, 0.3503, 0.3503, 0.4113, 0.3922, 0.2939, 0.313, 0.374, 0.3194, 0.3612, 0.4186, 0.434, 0.4404, 0.3039, 0.1365, 0.182, 0.0528, 0.0728, 0.1392, 0.1347, 0.1301, 0.1201, 0.1201, 0.0692, 0.0391, 0.0146, 0.0455, 0.0455, 0.1592, 0.2393, 0.1993, 0.1365, 0.1683, 0.192, 0.2566, 0.2866, 0.293, 0.2584, 0.2602, 0.2602, 0.2129, 0.1938, 0.1729, 0.2848, 0.2548, 0.3931, 0.3749, 0.323, 0.2166, 0.2229, 0.3467, 0.263, 0.0846, 0.3003, 0.515, 0.5132, 0.4586, 0.4477, 0.4795, 0.4795, 0.4722, 0.3995, 0.4076, 0.3658, 0.4268, 0.5978, 0.6306, 0.6269, 0.4759, 0.4577, 0.3412, 0.3985, 0.3858, 0.2511, 0.2602, 0.3057, 0.3849, 0.3348, 0.3348, 0.4932, 0.4595, 0.3922, 0.4322, 0.374, 0.4732, 0.4759, 0.5341, 0.3967, 0.3549, 0.2466, 0.313, 0.3176, 0.354, 0.354, 0.4149, 0.5077, 0.6424, 0.7316, 0.717, 0.7698, 0.9063, 0.7898, 0.7571, 0.8781, 0.8653, 0.7989, 0.8699, 0.8535, 0.8207, 0.95, 0.8926, 0.8217, 0.9773, 0.939, 1.0282, 1.1374, 1.3421, 1.1856, 1.1283, 1.1265]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2007513114720551033", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-03T18:03:18+00:00", "symbol": "CVX", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "companies like $CVX that had assets trapped and are now unlocked", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish ASHM on Venezuela distressed bonds and CVX on unlocked trapped assets following regime change.", "resolved_tickers": ["CVX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Nation building one of the rarest and best opportunities as an investor.  With the regime change, it's now run by the US gov. \n\nVenezuela is a resource gold mine.  \n\nThere's a lot of distressed assets like bonds that $ASHM have, and given little institutions frontran these events (since it was a surprise military action), tons of potential upside by discovering the right companies.\n\nSame with companies like $CVX that had assets trapped and are now unlocked or banks that operated there (look at what happened to Argentina banks/stocks)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Personal advice: don't put your money in corrupted and unstable countries. \n\nYou're welcome.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "despe500", "ret_m1d": -0.048520085298902504, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.048520085298902504, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0419040351299772, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0419040351299772, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006616050168925303, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006616050168925303, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.044614047709269355, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.044614047709269355, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05056123108235866, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05056123108235866, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005947183373089304, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005947183373089304, "ret_p1w": -0.00921581930039983, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.00921581930039983, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.020034179070998914, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.020034179070998914, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010818359770599084, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010818359770599084, "ret_p1m": 0.08660347730346363, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08660347730346363, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08397152739834723, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08397152739834723, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.002631949905116393, "bench_c_p1m": 0.002631949905116393, "ret_p3m": 0.22622145050459164, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.22622145050459164, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.26998764044496315, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.26998764044496315, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.043766189940371514, "bench_c_p3m": -0.043766189940371514, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0721, -0.0847, -0.1013, -0.0829, -0.0802, -0.0819, -0.0843, -0.0761, -0.0676, -0.0718, -0.061, -0.055, -0.0611, -0.0628, -0.0697, -0.0639, -0.0734, -0.048, -0.0703, -0.0742, -0.0786, -0.0769, -0.0643, -0.0605, -0.057, -0.0746, -0.061, -0.0486, -0.0655, -0.0624, -0.0742, -0.0826, -0.0847, -0.0861, -0.0935, -0.0875, -0.0875, -0.0776, -0.069, -0.083, -0.0748, -0.0707, -0.0845, -0.0924, -0.0937, -0.0759, -0.0801, -0.0846, -0.0857, -0.1044, -0.0875, -0.0986, -0.0983, -0.0857, -0.0814, -0.0815, -0.0815, -0.0844, -0.0785, -0.0704, -0.0698, -0.0698, -0.0485, 0.0, -0.0446, -0.0528, -0.0281, -0.0106, -0.0092, 0.0001, 0.0207, 0.0141, 0.0147, 0.0147, 0.0088, 0.0176, 0.0171, 0.0175, 0.0223, 0.0317, 0.0371, 0.0448, 0.0796, 0.0621, 0.0866, 0.1061, 0.0939, 0.1038, 0.1144, 0.1124, 0.1341, 0.1132, 0.1214, 0.1214, 0.1127, 0.1332, 0.1388, 0.1335, 0.1396, 0.1422, 0.1353, 0.1349, 0.151, 0.1685, 0.1634, 0.1465, 0.1703, 0.1706, 0.1675, 0.1481, 0.182, 0.2139, 0.213, 0.2131, 0.2201, 0.224, 0.2414, 0.2432, 0.2647, 0.2744, 0.2643, 0.2806, 0.3013, 0.2986, 0.2751, 0.2166, 0.2262, 0.2262, 0.2255, 0.2421, 0.1888, 0.1732, 0.162, 0.1819, 0.1526, 0.1396, 0.1595, 0.1339, 0.1293, 0.1462, 0.1483, 0.1561, 0.1414, 0.1388, 0.1608, 0.1846, 0.1913, 0.1748, 0.185, 0.1872, 0.1411, 0.1247, 0.1193, 0.1385, 0.146, 0.1463, 0.1502, 0.1777, 0.2087, 0.2268, 0.1899, 0.1879, 0.1906, 0.1906, 0.1488, 0.1344, 0.1383, 0.1348, 0.1348, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1993327956585070661", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-25T14:36:33+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS is hilariously valued at $21 now. Would not be surprised if this is a $40B company not too far in the future.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish NBIS: core business strong, AVride subsidiary adds robotaxi upside, sees path to $40B market cap from current ~$21 valuation.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NBIS core business is insane. \n\nBut what's even more insane is that potential for their subsidiaries to be worth more than their main business in a year lol. There's no public robotaxi companies right now. The only way to get exposure is $TSLA for their robotaxis and $GOOGL for Waymo. \n\nAnd $NBIS has AVride ~$6B valuation 83% ownership, which they partnered with $UBER (also an investor) to compete vs Waymo.Elon's been shilling Robotaxi's as a trillion dollar market. \n\nWould not be surprised if this is a $40B company not too far in the future. \n\nThat being said, $NBIS is hilariously valued at $21 now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit With their history of execution, 2 hyperscaler deals completed and 2026 ARR guide + 2.5 GW goal, if this were trading at $175/share I would be holding/buying still", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Spiralout_one", "ret_m1d": 0.03397844695978325, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03397844695978325, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04329679014557941, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04526459276269024, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009318343185796163, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011286145802906988, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06536909729444051, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06536909729444051, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.058465613843813546, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0639693631606244, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006903483450626968, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0013997341338161107, "ret_p1w": 0.08517101630010582, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08517101630010582, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07552685437537643, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07703460819148278, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009644161924729389, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008136408108623039, "ret_p1m": 0.025315032285438965, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.025315032285438965, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.00046193128397042926, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01118795944809503, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.025776963569409395, "bench_c_p1m": 0.036502991733533996, "ret_p3m": 0.10171018446087654, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10171018446087654, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0773447080434968, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07652974935288959, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02436547641737974, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025180435107986954, "ret_p6m": 1.158190968180325, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.158190968180325, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.0538227600869985, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.135902775041199, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10436820809332659, "bench_c_p6m": 0.02228819313912611, "price_path": [-0.1895, -0.2313, -0.2313, -0.2606, -0.2614, -0.2697, -0.2634, -0.2793, 0.077, 0.0507, 0.0035, 0.0172, 0.0234, 0.0062, 0.0585, 0.059, 0.1173, 0.1994, 0.2129, 0.274, 0.2144, 0.2117, 0.2401, 0.2632, 0.3007, 0.4162, 0.4399, 0.4057, 0.3243, 0.3726, 0.4923, 0.4579, 0.5241, 0.4418, 0.4157, 0.3843, 0.2763, 0.2264, 0.1733, 0.1096, 0.1944, 0.3193, 0.4112, 0.3707, 0.4075, 0.3972, 0.4719, 0.3554, 0.2437, 0.3164, 0.2313, 0.252, 0.2371, 0.1501, 0.0617, -0.0028, -0.0601, -0.0326, 0.0187, 0.0696, -0.0477, -0.0632, 0.034, 0.0, 0.0654, 0.0654, 0.0674, 0.1268, 0.0852, 0.113, 0.1566, 0.1031, 0.1288, 0.0847, 0.053, 0.0608, -0.0134, -0.0871, -0.0892, -0.1511, -0.1214, 0.0065, 0.0489, 0.0129, 0.0253, 0.0253, -0.0145, -0.032, -0.0417, -0.0582, -0.0582, 0.012, 0.0444, 0.1278, 0.0825, 0.0947, 0.1018, 0.2076, 0.1862, 0.1474, 0.1688, 0.2233, 0.2233, 0.1171, 0.1124, 0.0897, 0.0632, 0.029, 0.1011, 0.13, 0.0678, -0.0415, -0.0081, 0.012, -0.073, -0.1689, -0.0313, 0.045, 0.0327, -0.003, 0.0096, 0.1027, 0.1027, 0.0972, 0.1454, 0.2107, 0.1017, 0.132, 0.1541, 0.194, 0.18, 0.026, 0.024, -0.0234, 0.1001, 0.0762, 0.0051, 0.0682, 0.0849, 0.2601, 0.2156, 0.2708, 0.461, 0.3088, 0.3339, 0.3672, 0.3234, 0.2843, 0.2929, 0.2949, 0.1923, 0.1343, 0.038, 0.1674, 0.1471, 0.2243, 0.2243, 0.2662, 0.3209, 0.4064, 0.5339, 0.6311, 0.739, 0.822, 0.8764, 0.8603, 0.768, 0.7907, 0.7614, 0.7568, 0.7673, 0.6557, 0.631, 0.5246, 0.5885, 0.5552, 0.7382, 0.9849, 0.9793, 1.195, 1.0789, 0.992, 1.0938, 1.0152, 1.332, 1.4882, 1.4746, 1.2486, 1.2247, 1.1582]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2010670575228964938", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-12T11:09:56+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "my main thesis is around the InP bottleneck and massive supply shortage that happens in 2-3 months", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long AXTI on InP substrate supply bottleneck and massive shortage expected in 2-3 months.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@_stockResearch Thanks, I'd like to take credit as one of the first ones to publicly post the thesis around $AXTI. \n\nThis is just validation at start, but my main thesis is around the InP bottleneck and massive supply shortage that happens in 2-3 months.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Your research was incredible on this one and in the several tickers you’ve mentioned lately!! Doing a better job than a 10+research teams at a small research firm!! More power to you’n", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "_stockResearch", "ret_m1d": 0.033723021929792596, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.033723021929792596, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0352910132835661, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03740909787283109, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0015679913537735013, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0036860759430384915, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03282372076209894, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03282372076209894, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.030824245656228655, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03505070870310134, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019994751058702853, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0022269879410024007, "ret_p1w": -0.006744587233542543, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.006744587233542543, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0017097590729813206, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0316511834940183, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.005034828160561222, "bench_c_p1w": 0.024906596260475755, "ret_p1m": 0.09487412913968196, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09487412913968196, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09924724910176141, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05878134776626287, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0043731199620794525, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03609278137341909, "ret_p3m": 1.8381294775845798, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.8381294775845798, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.8573957861693282, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.736634588103192, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.019266308584748315, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10149488948138785, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7936, -0.7783, -0.7972, -0.7792, -0.7675, -0.7779, -0.7671, -0.7275, -0.7217, -0.7032, -0.6821, -0.6709, -0.6425, -0.6196, -0.616, -0.5908, -0.6012, -0.5746, -0.5306, -0.5252, -0.5063, -0.5306, -0.5306, -0.5391, -0.5549, -0.5454, -0.5751, -0.5985, -0.58, -0.585, -0.5301, -0.5301, -0.5189, -0.5148, -0.4712, -0.4838, -0.4559, -0.4793, -0.4285, -0.3273, -0.3026, -0.2635, -0.3341, -0.3332, -0.4155, -0.4442, -0.3701, -0.3413, -0.3156, -0.3417, -0.3251, -0.3251, -0.3089, -0.344, -0.2896, -0.2648, -0.2648, -0.2464, -0.2504, -0.0931, 0.0841, 0.1614, 0.0337, 0.0, -0.0328, -0.0063, 0.1565, -0.0067, -0.0067, -0.0373, -0.1106, -0.1942, -0.2176, -0.1996, -0.2266, -0.2433, -0.2635, -0.1664, -0.0585, -0.1124, -0.1569, -0.0814, 0.0818, 0.2487, 0.0949, 0.205, 0.1147, 0.0899, 0.0899, 0.0436, 0.0585, 0.0706, 0.3345, 0.2783, 0.5773, 0.8422, 0.6691, 0.7041, 1.0827, 0.8777, 0.7594, 0.7446, 0.4555, 0.7338, 0.9919, 1.1295, 1.1012, 1.1969, 1.1758, 0.9946, 1.1924, 1.612, 1.4388, 1.8975, 2.0773, 2.0283, 1.6308, 1.7262, 1.371, 1.5621, 1.1196, 1.3759, 1.3759, 0.888, 1.0441, 1.3912, 1.8381, 1.8858, 1.9879, 2.0261, 1.8296, 2.6772, 2.7122, 2.5414, 2.371, 2.9092, 2.3844, 2.4245, 2.1542, 2.0895, 2.1956, 2.5621, 3.3165, 3.7662, 3.8359, 3.7136, 3.875, 4.232, 4.6569, 4.5261, 4.4829, 4.17, 4.5656, 3.7608, 4.0755, 3.7037, 4.4415, 5.3323, 5.3323, 4.9622, 4.5202, 4.2023, 3.6385, 3.6385, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972374366496370860", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-28T18:54:28+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd switch buy a ton of leaps if they ever dropped to that level again on $NBIS", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NBIS; would aggressively buy LEAPS on any dip back to ~$96.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just a reminder that this is all short term capital gains tax! So profits holding a stock might be more than this option selling style. \n\nSometimes it's better to just buy the dip on Weebius/ $NBIS because if it drops 6% in a day then recovers to flat, cause 6% profit is better than premiums from puts. \n\nBut yeah $96 strike is pretty safe, I'd switch buy a ton of leaps if they ever dropped to that level again on $NBIS.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thank you senpai I think I'm going to sell $NBIS $96 puts this week and buy on margin if assigned. I'm catching up in Demon Slayer+the movie right now in order to do my due diligence as a $NBIS investor.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": -0.022863402690541768, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.022863402690541768, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.020060912274418974, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01965792073995065, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003205481950591116, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01859912356794835, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01859912356794835, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014832256808836375, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0201175336178111, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0015184100498627506, "ret_p1w": 0.13355108925491654, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.13355108925491654, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12160260787250388, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15075906719363552, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017207977938718977, "ret_p1m": 0.10533478934648022, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10533478934648022, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0701069826039109, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12195232126657751, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016617531920097295, "ret_p3m": -0.17319909050862348, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17319909050862348, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2165030751207767, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17254361511278626, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0006554753958372128, "ret_p6m": 0.042551282793175105, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.042551282793175105, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.052768289205117, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09910514292146178, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.05655386012828667, "price_path": [-0.5466, -0.5441, -0.5441, -0.566, -0.5727, -0.5822, -0.5788, -0.5981, -0.5287, -0.5143, -0.5163, -0.5129, -0.521, -0.5249, -0.5372, -0.5293, -0.5268, -0.5339, -0.5214, -0.5427, -0.5347, -0.5062, -0.5282, -0.5085, -0.4995, -0.5002, -0.4075, -0.376, -0.3627, -0.3165, -0.3592, -0.3789, -0.3502, -0.3419, -0.3904, -0.3879, -0.3996, -0.3742, -0.3647, -0.3606, -0.364, -0.3464, -0.3801, -0.3801, -0.4037, -0.4044, -0.4111, -0.406, -0.4188, -0.1316, -0.1527, -0.1908, -0.1797, -0.1747, -0.1886, -0.1464, -0.1461, -0.099, -0.0328, -0.022, 0.0273, -0.0207, -0.0229, 0.0, 0.0186, 0.0489, 0.142, 0.1611, 0.1336, 0.0679, 0.1069, 0.2034, 0.1756, 0.229, 0.1627, 0.1416, 0.1163, 0.0292, -0.0111, -0.0539, -0.1052, -0.0368, 0.0639, 0.138, 0.1053, 0.135, 0.1267, 0.1869, 0.093, 0.0029, 0.0615, -0.0071, 0.0096, -0.0024, -0.0726, -0.1439, -0.1959, -0.2421, -0.2199, -0.1786, -0.1375, -0.2321, -0.2446, -0.1662, -0.1936, -0.1409, -0.1409, -0.1393, -0.0914, -0.1249, -0.1025, -0.0673, -0.1105, -0.0897, -0.1253, -0.1509, -0.1446, -0.2044, -0.2638, -0.2656, -0.3155, -0.2915, -0.1884, -0.1541, -0.1832, -0.1732, -0.1732, -0.2053, -0.2194, -0.2273, -0.2406, -0.2406, -0.1839, -0.1578, -0.0905, -0.1271, -0.1172, -0.1115, -0.0262, -0.0435, -0.0748, -0.0575, -0.0135, -0.0135, -0.0992, -0.103, -0.1213, -0.1426, -0.1702, -0.112, -0.0888, -0.1389, -0.2271, -0.2001, -0.1839, -0.2525, -0.3298, -0.2188, -0.1573, -0.1672, -0.1961, -0.1859, -0.1108, -0.1108, -0.1152, -0.0764, -0.0237, -0.1116, -0.0872, -0.0693, -0.0372, -0.0484, -0.1727, -0.1743, -0.2125, -0.1129, -0.1322, -0.1895, -0.1386, -0.1251, 0.0161, -0.0198, 0.0248, 0.1781, 0.0554, 0.0757, 0.1025, 0.0671, 0.0357, 0.0426]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1979214545009938713", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-17T15:54:54+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I've been waiting for a 10%+ drop like this (with no material changes to fundamentals) to buy leaps on $NBIS", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Buying LEAPS on NBIS after 10%+ drop with no fundamental change; bullish on the dip.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DeepValueBagger I've been waiting for a 10%+ drop like this (with no material changes to fundamentals) to buy leaps on $NBIS. \n\nGlad you see the opportunity too.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit That's a great play. Im adding to my leaps", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DeepValueBagger", "ret_m1d": 0.08462621886031485, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08462621886031485, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0902705730832929, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.09132538239345689, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005644354222978043, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0066991635331420385, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.039139653965536425, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.039139653965536425, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04954012936515806, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05044987019660496, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010400475399621634, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011310216231068537, "ret_p1w": 0.033674185583672855, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.033674185583672855, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01431811481476264, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.028367095940674547, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.019356070768910216, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005307089642998308, "ret_p1m": -0.24206627726983898, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.24206627726983898, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.24399278397695, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.20935347611561617, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.001926506707111031, "bench_c_p1m": -0.032712801154222815, "ret_p3m": -0.10102255675101868, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.10102255675101868, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1431813825021272, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11909807305190456, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04215882575110852, "bench_c_p3m": 0.018075516300885885, "ret_p6m": 0.3624823186902406, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3624823186902406, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.32392576113931737, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3570942618932518, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.03855655755092324, "bench_c_p6m": 0.005388056796988838, "price_path": [-0.5503, -0.5427, -0.5402, -0.5472, -0.535, -0.5557, -0.5479, -0.5202, -0.5416, -0.5225, -0.5137, -0.5144, -0.4243, -0.3937, -0.3808, -0.3359, -0.3774, -0.3965, -0.3687, -0.3605, -0.4077, -0.4052, -0.4166, -0.3919, -0.3828, -0.3787, -0.3821, -0.365, -0.3977, -0.3977, -0.4207, -0.4213, -0.4278, -0.4229, -0.4353, -0.1562, -0.1767, -0.2138, -0.203, -0.1982, -0.2117, -0.1707, -0.1703, -0.1246, -0.0603, -0.0497, -0.0019, -0.0485, -0.0506, -0.0284, -0.0103, 0.0191, 0.1096, 0.1282, 0.1014, 0.0376, 0.0755, 0.1693, 0.1423, 0.1941, 0.1297, 0.1092, 0.0846, 0.0, -0.0391, -0.0807, -0.1306, -0.0642, 0.0337, 0.1057, 0.074, 0.1028, 0.0947, 0.1532, 0.062, -0.0256, 0.0314, -0.0353, -0.019, -0.0308, -0.0989, -0.1682, -0.2187, -0.2636, -0.2421, -0.2019, -0.1619, -0.2539, -0.266, -0.1899, -0.2165, -0.1653, -0.1653, -0.1637, -0.1172, -0.1498, -0.128, -0.0938, -0.1358, -0.1156, -0.1501, -0.175, -0.1689, -0.227, -0.2847, -0.2864, -0.3349, -0.3116, -0.2114, -0.1782, -0.2064, -0.1967, -0.1967, -0.2279, -0.2415, -0.2492, -0.2621, -0.2621, -0.2071, -0.1817, -0.1164, -0.1519, -0.1423, -0.1367, -0.0539, -0.0706, -0.101, -0.0842, -0.0415, -0.0415, -0.1247, -0.1284, -0.1462, -0.167, -0.1938, -0.1373, -0.1147, -0.1633, -0.249, -0.2228, -0.2071, -0.2737, -0.3488, -0.241, -0.1812, -0.1908, -0.2189, -0.209, -0.136, -0.136, -0.1403, -0.1026, -0.0514, -0.1368, -0.1131, -0.0957, -0.0645, -0.0755, -0.1961, -0.1977, -0.2348, -0.138, -0.1568, -0.2125, -0.1631, -0.1499, -0.0127, -0.0476, -0.0043, 0.1447, 0.0255, 0.0451, 0.0712, 0.0368, 0.0063, 0.013, 0.0145, -0.0658, -0.1112, -0.1867, -0.0853, -0.1013, -0.0407, -0.0407, -0.0079, 0.0349, 0.1019, 0.2018, 0.2779, 0.3625]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1975348529410503160", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-06T23:52:44+00:00", "symbol": "VIRT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Yeah I'll cost average. Retail trading volumes should be up a ton.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Adding to long VIRT calls via cost averaging; thesis that retail trading volumes are up will be tested at earnings on the 23rd.", "resolved_tickers": ["VIRT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@iPheNoX9 Yeah I’ll cost average. Genuinely don’t understand the drop aside from near-mid term uptrend with lower volatility\n\nRetail trading volumes should be up a ton.\n\nI’ll try my thesis against the market when they release earnings on the 23rd.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Are you buying more $VIRT calls?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "iPheNoX9", "ret_m1d": 0.038271488001037746, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.038271488001037746, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04184490183138678, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04184490183138678, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003573413830349037, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003573413830349037, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0006173137920574279, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0006173137920574279, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.003090178458904469, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.003090178458904469, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003707492250961897, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003707492250961897, "ret_p1w": 0.018209743507788367, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.018209743507788367, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.030970133945611544, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.030970133945611544, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012760390437823177, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012760390437823177, "ret_p1m": 0.07222219672269325, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07222219672269325, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06681720037763261, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06681720037763261, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404996345060642, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005404996345060642, "ret_p3m": 0.03534359896682804, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.03534359896682804, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.016992129249814747, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.016992129249814747, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01835146971701329, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01835146971701329, "ret_p6m": 0.3744820623430898, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3744820623430898, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4006385047152341, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4006385047152341, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.026156442372144317, "bench_c_p6m": -0.026156442372144317, "price_path": [0.32, 0.3519, 0.3491, 0.3749, 0.3556, 0.37, 0.3847, 0.3602, 0.3356, 0.3083, 0.3255, 0.3433, 0.3565, 0.3319, 0.3516, 0.3746, 0.3546, 0.331, 0.3322, 0.3163, 0.3028, 0.3028, 0.3025, 0.2902, 0.2923, 0.2837, 0.2837, 0.2822, 0.2724, 0.2638, 0.2709, 0.2761, 0.2905, 0.3009, 0.3246, 0.3114, 0.3009, 0.2938, 0.2938, 0.2762, 0.2796, 0.2478, 0.2003, 0.188, 0.1744, 0.1917, 0.1444, 0.1306, 0.1182, 0.0926, 0.0855, 0.0867, 0.0948, 0.0762, 0.0809, 0.0877, 0.0821, 0.0867, 0.1071, 0.0957, 0.0531, 0.0571, 0.0383, 0.0, -0.0006, 0.0136, 0.0253, 0.025, 0.0182, 0.0343, 0.037, 0.0216, 0.0256, 0.0185, 0.0281, 0.0312, 0.0327, 0.0355, 0.0451, 0.067, 0.0614, 0.0685, 0.0753, 0.0784, 0.0722, 0.0608, 0.0824, 0.1, 0.1096, 0.0997, 0.1114, 0.0985, 0.0858, 0.0605, 0.0654, 0.0444, 0.0404, 0.0488, 0.0469, 0.071, 0.0907, 0.0907, 0.1037, 0.0882, 0.0664, 0.0841, 0.1015, 0.0994, 0.0947, 0.1049, 0.1115, 0.0636, 0.0475, 0.0372, 0.0518, 0.0465, 0.0428, 0.0515, 0.0325, 0.0372, 0.0496, 0.0496, 0.0602, 0.0658, 0.0555, 0.0353, 0.0353, 0.013, 0.0478, 0.0307, 0.0226, 0.0108, 0.0298, 0.054, 0.058, 0.0931, 0.1149, 0.1463, 0.1463, 0.1382, 0.1469, 0.1531, 0.1547, 0.1655, 0.1696, 0.1649, 0.2634, 0.2898, 0.2286, 0.1901, 0.1752, 0.1873, 0.1972, 0.2199, 0.2236, 0.1786, 0.168, 0.1913, 0.1913, 0.2143, 0.223, 0.2233, 0.2373, 0.2423, 0.2693, 0.2662, 0.297, 0.2942, 0.3354, 0.3014, 0.2832, 0.2779, 0.2817, 0.3107, 0.2829, 0.2632, 0.2398, 0.2217, 0.2145, 0.2454, 0.2463, 0.237, 0.301, 0.3401, 0.3542, 0.367, 0.3576, 0.3289, 0.3389, 0.3745]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1975339306148635133", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-06T23:16:05+00:00", "symbol": "AMD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Both are strong buys", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Strong buys on AMD and NBIS over 5-year hold; NBIS highlighted for asymmetric upside and blowout forward revenue.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@_visionarius Both are strong buys, $NBIS especially given their asymmetrical upside at this marketcap.\n\nTheir forward revenue is hilariously mind blowing.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Do you think it's still worth buying AMD and NBIS now when I want to hold 5 years?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "_visionarius", "ret_m1d": -0.19164502114890114, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.19164502114890114, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1880716073185521, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1880716073185521, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003573413830349037, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003573413830349037, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03828966440477655, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03828966440477655, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.041997156655738443, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.041997156655738443, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003707492250961897, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003707492250961897, "ret_p1w": 0.06239257295264178, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06239257295264178, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07515296339046496, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07515296339046496, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012760390437823177, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012760390437823177, "ret_p1m": 0.22748021604545032, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.22748021604545032, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.22207521970038968, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.22207521970038968, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404996345060642, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005404996345060642, "ret_p3m": 0.05129839774106104, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05129839774106104, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.03294692802404775, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03294692802404775, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01835146971701329, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01835146971701329, "ret_p6m": -0.0013745718367151882, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.0013745718367151882, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.02478187053542913, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.02478187053542913, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.026156442372144317, "bench_c_p6m": -0.026156442372144317, "price_path": [-0.3206, -0.2923, -0.2812, -0.2821, -0.2361, -0.2142, -0.2126, -0.2293, -0.2293, -0.2405, -0.2212, -0.2042, -0.1828, -0.1475, -0.129, -0.1188, -0.1345, -0.1571, -0.1322, -0.1443, -0.1993, -0.1537, -0.1519, -0.1543, -0.1412, -0.0947, -0.1117, -0.1286, -0.1353, -0.1824, -0.189, -0.1964, -0.1765, -0.1981, -0.1821, -0.1796, -0.1725, -0.2017, -0.2017, -0.2032, -0.2041, -0.2058, -0.2581, -0.2567, -0.2351, -0.2168, -0.2358, -0.2216, -0.2089, -0.2123, -0.2187, -0.2248, -0.2274, -0.2156, -0.2102, -0.2102, -0.2083, -0.2172, -0.2079, -0.2058, -0.1949, -0.1668, -0.1916, 0.0, 0.0383, 0.1563, 0.1432, 0.0549, 0.0624, 0.0706, 0.1713, 0.1514, 0.1442, 0.1809, 0.1685, 0.1302, 0.1536, 0.2416, 0.2747, 0.2666, 0.2976, 0.251, 0.2573, 0.2746, 0.2275, 0.2583, 0.1669, 0.1464, 0.1977, 0.166, 0.2709, 0.2172, 0.2116, 0.1807, 0.1305, 0.0974, 0.0113, 0.0003, 0.0557, 0.0119, 0.0517, 0.0517, 0.0678, 0.0788, 0.0566, 0.0682, 0.0602, 0.07, 0.0854, 0.0879, 0.0869, 0.087, 0.0347, 0.019, 0.0268, -0.0275, -0.013, 0.0477, 0.0552, 0.0549, 0.0556, 0.0556, 0.0554, 0.0584, 0.0571, 0.0513, 0.0513, 0.097, 0.0853, 0.0522, 0.031, 0.0048, -0.0027, 0.0195, 0.0847, 0.0976, 0.1188, 0.138, 0.138, 0.1385, 0.2263, 0.2455, 0.2748, 0.2337, 0.2372, 0.2407, 0.2379, 0.1621, 0.2089, 0.1885, -0.0173, -0.055, 0.0232, 0.0603, 0.0484, 0.0485, 0.0109, 0.0177, 0.0177, -0.0031, -0.0176, -0.0017, -0.0175, -0.0349, 0.0497, 0.0351, -0.0001, -0.0172, -0.025, -0.0626, -0.0081, -0.0209, -0.0554, -0.0051, -0.0024, 0.0055, -0.0293, -0.0507, -0.035, -0.0363, -0.0209, 0.0077, -0.0117, -0.0051, 0.0081, 0.0813, 0.0003, -0.0084, -0.0377, -0.0014]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1975339306148635133", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-06T23:16:05+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS especially given their asymmetrical upside at this marketcap. Their forward revenue is hilariously mind blowing.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Strong buys on AMD and NBIS over 5-year hold; NBIS highlighted for asymmetric upside and blowout forward revenue.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@_visionarius Both are strong buys, $NBIS especially given their asymmetrical upside at this marketcap.\n\nTheir forward revenue is hilariously mind blowing.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Do you think it's still worth buying AMD and NBIS now when I want to hold 5 years?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "_visionarius", "ret_m1d": 0.024331686058298496, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.024331686058298496, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.027905099888647533, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02536163966359417, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003573413830349037, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0010299536052956748, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05794785778525535, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05794785778525535, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.054240365534293455, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05408546586101959, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003707492250961897, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003862391924235764, "ret_p1w": 0.08420044875054766, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08420044875054766, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09696083918837084, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10711698237275302, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012760390437823177, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02291653362220536, "ret_p1m": -0.11525533251555797, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11525533251555797, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12066032886061862, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0834983857493572, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404996345060642, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03175694676620078, "ret_p3m": -0.33003841687685054, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.33003841687685054, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.34838988659386383, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.34369479237732004, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01835146971701329, "bench_c_p3m": 0.013656375500469498, "ret_p6m": -0.1695213693877481, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1695213693877481, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.14336492701560377, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.12715427923932554, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.026156442372144317, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04236709014842255, "price_path": [-0.6314, -0.6284, -0.6454, -0.5842, -0.5716, -0.5733, -0.5703, -0.5775, -0.5808, -0.5917, -0.5848, -0.5825, -0.5888, -0.5778, -0.5966, -0.5895, -0.5644, -0.5838, -0.5664, -0.5584, -0.5591, -0.4773, -0.4495, -0.4378, -0.3971, -0.4347, -0.4521, -0.4268, -0.4194, -0.4622, -0.46, -0.4703, -0.4479, -0.4396, -0.4359, -0.4389, -0.4234, -0.4532, -0.4532, -0.474, -0.4745, -0.4805, -0.476, -0.4873, -0.2339, -0.2525, -0.2861, -0.2764, -0.272, -0.2842, -0.247, -0.2467, -0.2051, -0.1468, -0.1372, -0.0937, -0.1361, -0.138, -0.1178, -0.1014, -0.0747, 0.0074, 0.0243, 0.0, -0.0579, -0.0235, 0.0616, 0.0371, 0.0842, 0.0257, 0.0071, -0.0152, -0.092, -0.1276, -0.1654, -0.2107, -0.1503, -0.0615, 0.0039, -0.0249, 0.0013, -0.0061, 0.0471, -0.0358, -0.1153, -0.0636, -0.1241, -0.1093, -0.12, -0.1818, -0.2448, -0.2906, -0.3314, -0.3118, -0.2753, -0.2391, -0.3226, -0.3336, -0.2644, -0.2886, -0.2421, -0.2421, -0.2407, -0.1984, -0.228, -0.2083, -0.1772, -0.2153, -0.197, -0.2283, -0.2509, -0.2454, -0.2981, -0.3506, -0.3521, -0.3961, -0.375, -0.284, -0.2538, -0.2794, -0.2706, -0.2706, -0.2989, -0.3113, -0.3183, -0.33, -0.33, -0.2801, -0.257, -0.1977, -0.23, -0.2212, -0.2162, -0.1409, -0.1562, -0.1838, -0.1685, -0.1297, -0.1297, -0.2053, -0.2087, -0.2248, -0.2436, -0.268, -0.2167, -0.1962, -0.2404, -0.3182, -0.2944, -0.2801, -0.3406, -0.4088, -0.3109, -0.2566, -0.2653, -0.2908, -0.2818, -0.2155, -0.2155, -0.2195, -0.1852, -0.1387, -0.2163, -0.1947, -0.179, -0.1506, -0.1606, -0.2701, -0.2716, -0.3053, -0.2174, -0.2344, -0.285, -0.2401, -0.2282, -0.1036, -0.1353, -0.096, 0.0393, -0.0689, -0.0511, -0.0274, -0.0586, -0.0864, -0.0803, -0.0788, -0.1518, -0.1931, -0.2616, -0.1695]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1988653150644105602", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-12T17:00:33+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$2M+ in $NBIS exposure now, added super heavily at <$96", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Heavily long neocloud/AI infrastructure names NBIS, IREN, CIFR, CORZ, SMCI; sector hilariously oversold, rotating out of low-beta stocks.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@soulbiri1 $2M+ in $NBIS exposure now, added super heavily at &lt;$96. Rebought $IREN at $53.8, $CIFR at $17.3 and initiating $CORZ - $16.3, $SMCI - $38 mid term positions. \n\nThe whole sector is hilariously oversold.\n\nSold off my low-beta stocks today to position heavily back into Neoclouds.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Sold $WLAC here and queued up LEAP orders for $NBIS, hope they get filled...", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": 0.0832980135598822, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0832980135598822, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.083854192531305, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07748515706567716, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005561789714227938, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005812856494205043, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06072491860820306, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06072491860820306, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04413089862797648, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04654488419080138, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.016594019980226582, "bench_c_p1d": -0.014180034417401677, "ret_p1w": 0.007524364983892973, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.007524364983892973, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03788821579391388, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.028221942929920973, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03036385081002091, "bench_c_p1w": -0.020697577946028, "ret_p1m": -0.0008478362710598875, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0008478362710598875, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.009320313900171073, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02964823305990516, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008472477629111186, "bench_c_p1m": 0.028800396788845273, "ret_p3m": -0.01568464759813948, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.01568464759813948, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03415244818606167, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.048434132168942434, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01846780058792219, "bench_c_p3m": 0.032749484570802956, "ret_p6m": 0.9581390745793523, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.9581390745793523, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.8815117682936946, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.9176618377965287, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07662730628565773, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04047723678282367, "price_path": [-0.241, -0.2312, -0.2879, -0.285, -0.2986, -0.269, -0.2579, -0.2531, -0.2571, -0.2365, -0.276, -0.276, -0.3035, -0.3043, -0.3121, -0.3062, -0.3211, 0.0144, -0.0103, -0.0548, -0.0419, -0.036, -0.0522, -0.003, -0.0025, 0.0525, 0.1297, 0.1424, 0.2, 0.1439, 0.1414, 0.1681, 0.1898, 0.2252, 0.3339, 0.3563, 0.3241, 0.2474, 0.2929, 0.4057, 0.3733, 0.4356, 0.3581, 0.3335, 0.3039, 0.2022, 0.1552, 0.1051, 0.0451, 0.1251, 0.2427, 0.3293, 0.2911, 0.3258, 0.316, 0.3864, 0.2767, 0.1715, 0.2399, 0.1598, 0.1793, 0.1652, 0.0833, 0.0, -0.0607, -0.1147, -0.0888, -0.0405, 0.0075, -0.103, -0.1176, -0.0261, -0.0581, 0.0035, 0.0035, 0.0054, 0.0614, 0.0221, 0.0483, 0.0894, 0.039, 0.0633, 0.0217, -0.0082, -0.0008, -0.0707, -0.1401, -0.1421, -0.2004, -0.1724, -0.0519, -0.012, -0.0459, -0.0342, -0.0342, -0.0717, -0.0882, -0.0974, -0.1129, -0.1129, -0.0467, -0.0162, 0.0623, 0.0196, 0.0312, 0.0378, 0.1375, 0.1173, 0.0808, 0.1009, 0.1523, 0.1523, 0.0522, 0.0478, 0.0264, 0.0015, -0.0307, 0.0372, 0.0643, 0.0058, -0.0972, -0.0657, -0.0467, -0.1269, -0.2171, -0.0875, -0.0157, -0.0272, -0.0609, -0.0491, 0.0387, 0.0387, 0.0335, 0.0788, 0.1404, 0.0377, 0.0662, 0.0871, 0.1246, 0.1115, -0.0336, -0.0355, -0.0801, 0.0362, 0.0137, -0.0533, 0.0061, 0.0219, 0.1869, 0.145, 0.197, 0.3761, 0.2328, 0.2565, 0.2878, 0.2465, 0.2097, 0.2178, 0.2197, 0.123, 0.0685, -0.0223, 0.0996, 0.0804, 0.1532, 0.1532, 0.1927, 0.2442, 0.3247, 0.4448, 0.5364, 0.638, 0.7162, 0.7674, 0.7522, 0.6653, 0.6867, 0.6591, 0.6547, 0.6647, 0.5596, 0.5362, 0.4361, 0.4963, 0.4649, 0.6372, 0.8696, 0.8643, 1.0675, 0.9581]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1988653150644105602", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-12T17:00:33+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Rebought $IREN at $53.8", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Heavily long neocloud/AI infrastructure names NBIS, IREN, CIFR, CORZ, SMCI; sector hilariously oversold, rotating out of low-beta stocks.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@soulbiri1 $2M+ in $NBIS exposure now, added super heavily at &lt;$96. Rebought $IREN at $53.8, $CIFR at $17.3 and initiating $CORZ - $16.3, $SMCI - $38 mid term positions. \n\nThe whole sector is hilariously oversold.\n\nSold off my low-beta stocks today to position heavily back into Neoclouds.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Sold $WLAC here and queued up LEAP orders for $NBIS, hope they get filled...", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": 0.030161584958066756, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.030161584958066756, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03071776392948955, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03873250185375343, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005561789714227938, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008570916895686675, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.12657090018841322, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.12657090018841322, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.10997688020818663, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.11371459653684068, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.016594019980226582, "bench_c_p1d": -0.012856303651572532, "ret_p1w": -0.1771992602637784, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1771992602637784, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1468354094537575, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.13788496802757289, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03036385081002091, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03931429223620553, "ret_p1m": -0.2111310947064673, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2111310947064673, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.21960357233557848, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.23348995224063973, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008472477629111186, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022358857534172438, "ret_p3m": -0.17145420298476433, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17145420298476433, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18992200357268652, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17999759016879446, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01846780058792219, "bench_c_p3m": 0.008543387184030138, "ret_p6m": 0.020646278194430545, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.020646278194430545, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.05598102809122718, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0518353624343445, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07662730628565773, "bench_c_p6m": -0.031189084239913956, "price_path": [-0.6465, -0.6283, -0.6637, -0.6452, -0.6483, -0.6153, -0.5849, -0.5873, -0.5987, -0.5864, -0.5246, -0.5246, -0.4774, -0.4935, -0.5309, -0.5305, -0.5298, -0.458, -0.3962, -0.4102, -0.3903, -0.3332, -0.3456, -0.3196, -0.3479, -0.3063, -0.2478, -0.2501, -0.1537, -0.1689, -0.2485, -0.1754, -0.1575, -0.1548, -0.1558, -0.0941, 0.0368, 0.1074, 0.0788, 0.1463, 0.0731, 0.1515, 0.2488, 0.2205, 0.1101, 0.0901, 0.0632, -0.0091, -0.0695, 0.0029, 0.1293, 0.1668, 0.1206, 0.0847, 0.0452, 0.0907, 0.2163, 0.1962, 0.3718, 0.2022, 0.1199, 0.0803, 0.0302, 0.0, -0.1266, -0.1675, -0.1488, -0.123, -0.1772, -0.2196, -0.2413, -0.1294, -0.1478, -0.1302, -0.1302, -0.1417, -0.1294, -0.2618, -0.2108, -0.1661, -0.1973, -0.168, -0.1591, -0.2115, -0.2111, -0.2795, -0.363, -0.3431, -0.3935, -0.3573, -0.2833, -0.2452, -0.2447, -0.2463, -0.2463, -0.2765, -0.2925, -0.3124, -0.3219, -0.3219, -0.2334, -0.1339, -0.1758, -0.2168, -0.1799, -0.1736, -0.0964, -0.0487, -0.0506, -0.0684, 0.0381, 0.0381, -0.0259, -0.0399, -0.0618, 0.0176, -0.06, 0.077, 0.13, 0.0743, -0.0352, -0.047, -0.0235, -0.1932, -0.2856, -0.249, -0.1715, -0.2293, -0.2339, -0.2813, -0.242, -0.242, -0.2645, -0.2445, -0.2228, -0.2822, -0.2395, -0.184, -0.2095, -0.2057, -0.2648, -0.2569, -0.3025, -0.2129, -0.2796, -0.3411, -0.3027, -0.3156, -0.2463, -0.2573, -0.2535, -0.1932, -0.2287, -0.2422, -0.2521, -0.2587, -0.2431, -0.2618, -0.2562, -0.3276, -0.37, -0.4323, -0.3846, -0.388, -0.3758, -0.3758, -0.3693, -0.3583, -0.3388, -0.3346, -0.2941, -0.2268, -0.1496, -0.1235, -0.1436, -0.1361, -0.1253, -0.189, -0.1312, -0.0661, -0.0908, -0.1318, -0.2022, -0.2305, -0.1829, -0.1803, -0.1117, -0.0172, 0.0948, 0.0206]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1988653150644105602", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-11-12T17:00:33+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$CIFR at $17.3", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Heavily long neocloud/AI infrastructure names NBIS, IREN, CIFR, CORZ, SMCI; sector hilariously oversold, rotating out of low-beta stocks.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@soulbiri1 $2M+ in $NBIS exposure now, added super heavily at &lt;$96. Rebought $IREN at $53.8, $CIFR at $17.3 and initiating $CORZ - $16.3, $SMCI - $38 mid term positions. \n\nThe whole sector is hilariously oversold.\n\nSold off my low-beta stocks today to position heavily back into Neoclouds.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Sold $WLAC here and queued up LEAP orders for $NBIS, hope they get filled...", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": 0.07422330137042676, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07422330137042676, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07477948034184956, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07731940811796545, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005561789714227938, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003096106747538685, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.14096656926896856, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.14096656926896856, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.12437254928874197, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.1160276933523936, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.016594019980226582, "bench_c_p1d": -0.024938875916574954, "ret_p1w": -0.15880318805986526, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.15880318805986526, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.12843933724984435, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11474345569917266, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03036385081002091, "bench_c_p1w": -0.044059732360692605, "ret_p1m": 0.08630610313181619, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08630610313181619, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.077833625502705, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.079433593659054, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008472477629111186, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006872509472762189, "ret_p3m": -0.035673127837908325, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.035673127837908325, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.054140928425830515, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.012588146959389479, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01846780058792219, "bench_c_p3m": -0.023084980878518846, "ret_p6m": 0.19016113145945646, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.19016113145945646, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.11353382517379873, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.032304040883575524, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07662730628565773, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15785709057588093, "price_path": [-0.7002, -0.6519, -0.6686, -0.6577, -0.6605, -0.6329, -0.618, -0.5903, -0.5978, -0.5961, -0.5604, -0.5604, -0.5213, -0.5334, -0.5742, -0.5673, -0.5558, -0.4695, -0.4102, -0.4264, -0.3757, -0.3757, -0.3377, -0.2877, -0.3182, -0.2934, -0.1968, -0.1858, -0.1864, -0.3291, -0.34, -0.2722, -0.2756, -0.275, -0.2054, -0.1542, -0.1174, -0.0938, 0.0127, 0.0351, -0.0236, 0.1703, 0.202, 0.21, 0.0771, 0.0794, 0.1456, 0.04, -0.0731, -0.0072, 0.1887, 0.1818, 0.1484, 0.1272, 0.0972, 0.0731, 0.3096, 0.2952, 0.4217, 0.2491, 0.1904, 0.1306, 0.0742, 0.0, -0.141, -0.1738, -0.1743, -0.1611, -0.1588, -0.1623, -0.1858, -0.0386, 0.0081, 0.1018, 0.1018, 0.1709, 0.1329, 0.015, 0.0719, 0.141, 0.1093, 0.1208, 0.1254, 0.0633, 0.0863, -0.019, -0.1519, -0.1375, -0.172, -0.1283, -0.0673, -0.0598, -0.0846, -0.0667, -0.0667, -0.126, -0.1323, -0.1605, -0.1507, -0.1507, -0.0679, 0.0449, 0.0092, -0.0748, -0.0478, -0.0432, 0.0173, 0.0501, 0.0432, 0.0081, 0.0817, 0.0817, 0.0311, 0.0196, 0.0006, 0.0109, -0.0512, 0.0788, 0.0915, 0.0184, -0.0817, -0.0903, -0.0644, -0.1801, -0.2693, -0.1525, -0.0357, -0.0161, -0.0633, -0.0736, -0.0552, -0.0552, -0.1001, -0.1128, -0.0909, -0.1571, -0.1243, -0.015, -0.0443, -0.0518, -0.1024, -0.0932, -0.1536, -0.0771, -0.1283, -0.2163, -0.1766, -0.1968, -0.1881, -0.2112, -0.1899, -0.1289, -0.1318, -0.1559, -0.1577, -0.1939, -0.1433, -0.1438, -0.0863, -0.1743, -0.2091, -0.3087, -0.2595, -0.2727, -0.2624, -0.2624, -0.2319, -0.1939, -0.1128, -0.0587, -0.0489, 0.0219, 0.0616, 0.0357, -0.0023, 0.1145, 0.1099, 0.038, 0.1185, 0.0754, 0.0472, 0.0449, -0.0069, -0.0265, 0.0207, -0.0196, 0.0293, 0.2716, 0.2606, 0.1902]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1988653150644105602", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-11-12T17:00:33+00:00", "symbol": "CORZ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "initiating $CORZ - $16.3", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Heavily long neocloud/AI infrastructure names NBIS, IREN, CIFR, CORZ, SMCI; sector hilariously oversold, rotating out of low-beta stocks.", "resolved_tickers": ["CORZ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@soulbiri1 $2M+ in $NBIS exposure now, added super heavily at &lt;$96. Rebought $IREN at $53.8, $CIFR at $17.3 and initiating $CORZ - $16.3, $SMCI - $38 mid term positions. \n\nThe whole sector is hilariously oversold.\n\nSold off my low-beta stocks today to position heavily back into Neoclouds.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Sold $WLAC here and queued up LEAP orders for $NBIS, hope they get filled...", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": 0.05352792774815107, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05352792774815107, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.054084106719573866, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.054084106719573866, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005561789714227938, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005561789714227938, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07785892001608019, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07785892001608019, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06126490003585361, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06126490003585361, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.016594019980226582, "bench_c_p1d": -0.016594019980226582, "ret_p1w": -0.06386862266577487, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06386862266577487, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.033504771855753956, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.033504771855753956, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03036385081002091, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03036385081002091, "ret_p1m": 0.05839410299798309, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05839410299798309, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0499216253688719, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0499216253688719, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008472477629111186, "bench_c_p1m": 0.008472477629111186, "ret_p3m": 0.1283454157213555, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1283454157213555, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1098776151334333, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1098776151334333, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01846780058792219, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01846780058792219, "ret_p6m": 0.36009731654387056, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.36009731654387056, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.28347001025821283, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.28347001025821283, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07662730628565773, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07662730628565773, "price_path": [-0.1405, -0.1162, -0.1271, -0.1436, -0.1612, -0.1758, -0.1679, -0.146, -0.1363, -0.1271, -0.1271, -0.1271, -0.1484, -0.174, -0.1715, -0.1715, -0.1527, -0.1162, -0.0274, -0.0541, -0.0353, -0.0073, -0.0158, -0.0103, 0.0189, 0.0109, 0.0444, 0.0341, 0.0347, 0.0243, 0.0249, 0.0541, 0.0912, 0.0931, 0.101, 0.0839, 0.0894, 0.0401, 0.0663, 0.0973, 0.1265, 0.1685, 0.1521, 0.2129, 0.1965, 0.1557, 0.1442, 0.1697, 0.0827, 0.0985, 0.1764, 0.2086, 0.222, 0.2634, 0.2616, 0.3102, 0.3929, 0.3224, 0.326, 0.2524, 0.2281, 0.1734, 0.0535, 0.0, -0.0779, -0.0918, -0.1004, -0.0614, -0.0639, -0.0779, -0.104, -0.042, -0.0541, -0.0158, -0.0158, 0.0274, 0.0091, -0.0377, 0.0067, 0.0389, 0.0408, 0.076, 0.0639, 0.0541, 0.0584, 0.0055, -0.0706, -0.104, -0.1746, -0.1144, -0.0511, -0.0395, -0.0584, -0.0529, -0.0529, -0.07, -0.0827, -0.1113, -0.1144, -0.1144, -0.0274, 0.0176, 0.0213, -0.0122, 0.0146, 0.0426, 0.0633, 0.0967, 0.09, 0.0998, 0.149, 0.149, 0.1168, 0.1071, 0.0998, 0.1429, 0.1588, 0.2129, 0.1855, 0.146, 0.0943, 0.087, 0.0791, -0.0176, -0.0988, 0.0225, 0.1283, 0.1028, 0.1004, 0.0633, 0.0852, 0.0852, 0.0481, 0.0505, 0.0937, 0.0523, 0.0274, 0.087, 0.0998, 0.0937, 0.0322, 0.003, -0.0693, -0.0365, -0.0268, -0.0961, -0.0779, -0.0596, 0.0061, -0.0122, 0.003, 0.0322, -0.0012, -0.0055, 0.0024, -0.0383, 0.0085, 0.0249, 0.0371, -0.0395, -0.0833, -0.1539, -0.09, -0.0693, -0.0128, -0.0128, -0.0091, 0.0237, 0.0742, 0.0937, 0.1144, 0.1381, 0.1363, 0.1606, 0.1825, 0.2074, 0.2086, 0.2634, 0.2889, 0.2658, 0.2701, 0.2835, 0.2178, 0.1898, 0.2165, 0.2378, 0.2835, 0.3498, 0.4982, 0.3601]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1988653150644105602", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-11-12T17:00:33+00:00", "symbol": "SMCI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SMCI - $38 mid term positions", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Heavily long neocloud/AI infrastructure names NBIS, IREN, CIFR, CORZ, SMCI; sector hilariously oversold, rotating out of low-beta stocks.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMCI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@soulbiri1 $2M+ in $NBIS exposure now, added super heavily at &lt;$96. Rebought $IREN at $53.8, $CIFR at $17.3 and initiating $CORZ - $16.3, $SMCI - $38 mid term positions. \n\nThe whole sector is hilariously oversold.\n\nSold off my low-beta stocks today to position heavily back into Neoclouds.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Sold $WLAC here and queued up LEAP orders for $NBIS, hope they get filled...", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": 0.02400421659390295, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02400421659390295, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.024560395565325743, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.027100323341441634, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005561789714227938, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003096106747538685, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07438669760418692, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07438669760418692, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05779267762396034, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04944782168761197, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.016594019980226582, "bench_c_p1d": -0.024938875916574954, "ret_p1w": -0.11026115331048003, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11026115331048003, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07989730250045912, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06620142094978743, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03036385081002091, "bench_c_p1w": -0.044059732360692605, "ret_p1m": -0.10261143247970717, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10261143247970717, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11108391010881835, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10948394195246935, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008472477629111186, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006872509472762189, "ret_p3m": -0.11553682631877482, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11553682631877482, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.134004626906697, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09245184544025598, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01846780058792219, "bench_c_p3m": -0.023084980878518846, "ret_p6m": -0.11316277849629686, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.11316277849629686, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.18979008478195458, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2710198690721778, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07662730628565773, "bench_c_p6m": 0.15785709057588093, "price_path": [0.1968, 0.2097, 0.1406, 0.124, 0.1161, 0.1575, 0.1625, 0.1701, 0.1807, 0.1599, 0.0958, 0.0958, 0.0757, 0.0578, 0.0736, 0.0659, 0.0562, 0.1322, 0.1583, 0.1593, 0.187, 0.197, 0.1846, 0.1844, 0.2118, 0.2084, 0.2363, 0.2395, 0.2187, 0.2197, 0.2087, 0.2229, 0.2646, 0.382, 0.3849, 0.3706, 0.4408, 0.4527, 0.5479, 0.5294, 0.3944, 0.4442, 0.4009, 0.4228, 0.4202, 0.3764, 0.4519, 0.4461, 0.3849, 0.264, 0.2738, 0.3603, 0.3812, 0.3899, 0.3287, 0.3706, 0.3387, 0.2503, 0.1087, 0.0641, 0.0488, 0.0601, 0.024, 0.0, -0.0744, -0.0393, -0.1005, -0.0794, -0.1103, -0.1675, -0.1509, -0.1211, -0.1432, -0.134, -0.134, -0.1071, -0.1187, -0.1316, -0.1116, -0.0971, -0.0849, -0.067, -0.0762, -0.0794, -0.1026, -0.1472, -0.1725, -0.1649, -0.2129, -0.2253, -0.1794, -0.1804, -0.1886, -0.1941, -0.1941, -0.1918, -0.2065, -0.2179, -0.2279, -0.2279, -0.1833, -0.2068, -0.1944, -0.2084, -0.2113, -0.2044, -0.2055, -0.2456, -0.2543, -0.224, -0.139, -0.139, -0.1715, -0.1496, -0.144, -0.1638, -0.1875, -0.177, -0.1767, -0.2055, -0.2321, -0.2163, -0.2174, -0.1095, -0.1862, -0.0931, -0.1155, -0.1208, -0.1548, -0.1973, -0.1944, -0.1944, -0.2058, -0.2163, -0.1517, -0.1448, -0.1899, -0.1788, -0.1137, -0.1485, -0.1456, -0.1604, -0.1907, -0.1387, -0.1496, -0.1741, -0.1564, -0.1614, -0.1614, -0.1849, -0.1889, -0.1596, -0.1688, -0.1994, -0.1878, -0.4585, -0.4308, -0.4136, -0.3656, -0.4141, -0.4205, -0.4445, -0.3994, -0.4062, -0.3875, -0.3875, -0.4184, -0.402, -0.3835, -0.3875, -0.3337, -0.315, -0.2825, -0.2801, -0.2509, -0.2466, -0.24, -0.2501, -0.2303, -0.2944, -0.2329, -0.2654, -0.2812, -0.3057, -0.2772, -0.2854, -0.2635, -0.2659, -0.0857, -0.1132]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1975341435345117582", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-06T23:24:32+00:00", "symbol": "VIRT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$VIRT performs better, is currently undervalued, and serves as a hedge, which was my thesis. I'm convinced market is wrong even if VIX isn't high, retail trading activity is strong...forward p/e is really low", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long VIRT: undervalued on low forward P/E, strong retail trading volumes (~25% of flows), profits in extended volatility; market mispricing it.", "resolved_tickers": ["VIRT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "You’re right it’s not 1:1 correlated, I should have done better at pointing out the nuance. So the correct way phrase is $VIRT is very profitable in extended periods of volatility (when VIX is elevated) and it gets priced in the eventually. \n\nSo in a volatile downturn, $VIRT performs better, is currently undervalued, and serves as a hedge, which was my thesis. \n\nI’m convinced market is wrong even if VIX isn’t high, retail trading activity is strong if you look at Robinhood’s data. ($VIRT handles ~25% of retail flows), forward p/e is really low.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit if you track VIRT against VIX, it isn't really correlated - meaning vix can go up while virtu goes down. everyone keep saying its a vix play, I think it's incorrect at least for price action. Yes they make money in time of violent moves in market, but do they go up when vix do?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "GrandpaSandro", "ret_m1d": 0.038271488001037746, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.038271488001037746, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04184490183138678, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04184490183138678, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003573413830349037, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003573413830349037, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0006173137920574279, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0006173137920574279, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.003090178458904469, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.003090178458904469, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003707492250961897, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003707492250961897, "ret_p1w": 0.018209743507788367, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.018209743507788367, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.030970133945611544, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.030970133945611544, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012760390437823177, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012760390437823177, "ret_p1m": 0.07222219672269325, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07222219672269325, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06681720037763261, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06681720037763261, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404996345060642, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005404996345060642, "ret_p3m": 0.03534359896682804, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.03534359896682804, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.016992129249814747, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.016992129249814747, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01835146971701329, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01835146971701329, "ret_p6m": 0.3744820623430898, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3744820623430898, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4006385047152341, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4006385047152341, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.026156442372144317, "bench_c_p6m": -0.026156442372144317, "price_path": [0.32, 0.3519, 0.3491, 0.3749, 0.3556, 0.37, 0.3847, 0.3602, 0.3356, 0.3083, 0.3255, 0.3433, 0.3565, 0.3319, 0.3516, 0.3746, 0.3546, 0.331, 0.3322, 0.3163, 0.3028, 0.3028, 0.3025, 0.2902, 0.2923, 0.2837, 0.2837, 0.2822, 0.2724, 0.2638, 0.2709, 0.2761, 0.2905, 0.3009, 0.3246, 0.3114, 0.3009, 0.2938, 0.2938, 0.2762, 0.2796, 0.2478, 0.2003, 0.188, 0.1744, 0.1917, 0.1444, 0.1306, 0.1182, 0.0926, 0.0855, 0.0867, 0.0948, 0.0762, 0.0809, 0.0877, 0.0821, 0.0867, 0.1071, 0.0957, 0.0531, 0.0571, 0.0383, 0.0, -0.0006, 0.0136, 0.0253, 0.025, 0.0182, 0.0343, 0.037, 0.0216, 0.0256, 0.0185, 0.0281, 0.0312, 0.0327, 0.0355, 0.0451, 0.067, 0.0614, 0.0685, 0.0753, 0.0784, 0.0722, 0.0608, 0.0824, 0.1, 0.1096, 0.0997, 0.1114, 0.0985, 0.0858, 0.0605, 0.0654, 0.0444, 0.0404, 0.0488, 0.0469, 0.071, 0.0907, 0.0907, 0.1037, 0.0882, 0.0664, 0.0841, 0.1015, 0.0994, 0.0947, 0.1049, 0.1115, 0.0636, 0.0475, 0.0372, 0.0518, 0.0465, 0.0428, 0.0515, 0.0325, 0.0372, 0.0496, 0.0496, 0.0602, 0.0658, 0.0555, 0.0353, 0.0353, 0.013, 0.0478, 0.0307, 0.0226, 0.0108, 0.0298, 0.054, 0.058, 0.0931, 0.1149, 0.1463, 0.1463, 0.1382, 0.1469, 0.1531, 0.1547, 0.1655, 0.1696, 0.1649, 0.2634, 0.2898, 0.2286, 0.1901, 0.1752, 0.1873, 0.1972, 0.2199, 0.2236, 0.1786, 0.168, 0.1913, 0.1913, 0.2143, 0.223, 0.2233, 0.2373, 0.2423, 0.2693, 0.2662, 0.297, 0.2942, 0.3354, 0.3014, 0.2832, 0.2779, 0.2817, 0.3107, 0.2829, 0.2632, 0.2398, 0.2217, 0.2145, 0.2454, 0.2463, 0.237, 0.301, 0.3401, 0.3542, 0.367, 0.3576, 0.3289, 0.3389, 0.3745]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1983592088785834368", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-29T17:49:41+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I still think $NBIS hits $400 from $121 and should be trading ~$158 today", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS with $400 price target from $121, believes it should already be at $158; Neocloud sector aided by rate cuts.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@__visionxry__ I still think $NBIS hits $400 from $121 and should be trading ~$158 today. Markets might just waiting until earnings for clearer guidance, even if you can estimate them.\n\nNeocloud sector is probably the biggest beneficiary of rate cuts too so that helps\n\nhttps://t.co/dO6F8PVCIH", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Im about 80% $nbis atm, time will tell if i went too regarded", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "__visionxry__", "ret_m1d": -0.026139062213840547, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.026139062213840547, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.025658905834846535, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.028632781530138707, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0004801563789940122, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0024937193162981597, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007354102159606524, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007354102159606524, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0036440417774703526, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.009586312164789446, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010998143937076876, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01694041432439597, "ret_p1w": -0.06474819003132681, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06474819003132681, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05047673156413923, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.040068510182443506, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014271458467187581, "bench_c_p1w": -0.024679679848883307, "ret_p1m": -0.24308550282680963, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.24308550282680963, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.23186911410820743, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.22734893023129732, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0112163887186022, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01573657259551231, "ret_p3m": -0.2689048745001176, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2689048745001176, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2796511082372425, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2849101853490611, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01074623373712491, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01600531084894352, "ret_p6m": 0.25563552155877245, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.25563552155877245, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.21912952764087223, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.23967669516447643, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.036505993917900215, "bench_c_p6m": 0.015958826394296022, "price_path": [-0.5843, -0.567, -0.559, -0.5596, -0.4779, -0.4502, -0.4385, -0.3978, -0.4354, -0.4528, -0.4275, -0.4201, -0.4629, -0.4607, -0.471, -0.4486, -0.4403, -0.4366, -0.4396, -0.4241, -0.4539, -0.4539, -0.4747, -0.4752, -0.4811, -0.4767, -0.4879, -0.2349, -0.2535, -0.2871, -0.2773, -0.2729, -0.2851, -0.248, -0.2476, -0.2062, -0.1479, -0.1383, -0.0949, -0.1372, -0.1391, -0.1189, -0.1026, -0.0759, 0.0062, 0.023, -0.0013, -0.0592, -0.0248, 0.0603, 0.0358, 0.0828, 0.0244, 0.0058, -0.0165, -0.0932, -0.1287, -0.1664, -0.2117, -0.1514, -0.0627, 0.0026, -0.0261, 0.0, -0.0074, 0.0457, -0.037, -0.1164, -0.0647, -0.1252, -0.1105, -0.1211, -0.1829, -0.2457, -0.2915, -0.3322, -0.3127, -0.2763, -0.24, -0.3234, -0.3345, -0.2654, -0.2895, -0.2431, -0.2431, -0.2416, -0.1994, -0.229, -0.2093, -0.1783, -0.2163, -0.198, -0.2293, -0.2519, -0.2464, -0.299, -0.3514, -0.3529, -0.3969, -0.3758, -0.2849, -0.2548, -0.2803, -0.2715, -0.2715, -0.2998, -0.3122, -0.3192, -0.3309, -0.3309, -0.281, -0.258, -0.1987, -0.2309, -0.2222, -0.2172, -0.142, -0.1572, -0.1848, -0.1696, -0.1309, -0.1309, -0.2063, -0.2097, -0.2258, -0.2446, -0.2689, -0.2177, -0.1972, -0.2413, -0.319, -0.2953, -0.281, -0.3414, -0.4095, -0.3118, -0.2576, -0.2663, -0.2917, -0.2827, -0.2165, -0.2165, -0.2205, -0.1863, -0.1398, -0.2173, -0.1958, -0.18, -0.1517, -0.1616, -0.2711, -0.2725, -0.3062, -0.2184, -0.2354, -0.2859, -0.2411, -0.2292, -0.1048, -0.1364, -0.0971, 0.038, -0.0701, -0.0523, -0.0286, -0.0598, -0.0875, -0.0815, -0.08, -0.1529, -0.1941, -0.2625, -0.1706, -0.1851, -0.1301, -0.1301, -0.1004, -0.0616, -0.0008, 0.0898, 0.1588, 0.2355, 0.2945, 0.3331, 0.3217, 0.2561, 0.2723, 0.2514, 0.2481, 0.2556]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2008880903431586243", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-07T12:38:25+00:00", "symbol": "CRDO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd be personally buying $CRDO at $130 level (which is around now)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Personally buying CRDO at ~$130 after post-earnings drop from $210; sees attractive entry, hedged with photonics.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRDO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If I trade based off my voodoo TA charting, I'd be personally buying $CRDO at $130 level (which is around now).  \n\nDropping from $210 -> $130 post-earnings last month, especially from fake news, makes this an attractive entry. Credo could always drop further, but I'm hedged pretty well with photonics right now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Still holding LEAPs, long and strong", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": -0.05709222022523275, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05709222022523275, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0603260006455425, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06384513222384414, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003233780420309751, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006752911998611388, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004184371190713687, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004184371190713687, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004285903872699448, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01987181132289151, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00010153268198576093, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01568744013217782, "ret_p1w": 0.11234039955950803, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11234039955950803, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1112093396825613, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10369145357004284, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0011310598769467273, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008648945989465195, "ret_p1m": -0.30453902440713654, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.30453902440713654, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2871951300181662, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2942798643578829, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017343894388970327, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010259160049253646, "ret_p3m": -0.27333333982643504, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.27333333982643504, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2314955734318357, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3017994514190647, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04183776639459935, "bench_c_p3m": 0.028466111592629684, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0154, 0.0631, -0.0798, -0.068, -0.0317, 0.0185, 0.0756, 0.0225, -0.027, 0.0707, 0.1032, 0.099, 0.1502, 0.2165, 0.1817, 0.3306, 0.2811, 0.1648, 0.2281, 0.1542, 0.1604, 0.2068, 0.1241, 0.1372, 0.0138, 0.0321, 0.0325, -0.0102, 0.0062, -0.0445, -0.0533, 0.0699, 0.0935, 0.1632, 0.1632, 0.2596, 0.2137, 0.3365, 0.3418, 0.2831, 0.2485, 0.2691, 0.2077, 0.1204, 0.0955, 0.0206, 0.0072, -0.0047, -0.0487, -0.0172, 0.0648, 0.0634, 0.0483, 0.0652, 0.0652, 0.0272, 0.0262, 0.0278, 0.0205, 0.0205, 0.0157, -0.0054, -0.0571, 0.0, 0.0042, 0.0668, 0.1069, 0.1445, 0.1123, 0.0576, 0.0707, 0.0707, 0.0867, -0.013, -0.0418, -0.0556, -0.0921, -0.0811, -0.0804, -0.0818, -0.1115, -0.1492, -0.2106, -0.3124, -0.3045, -0.2099, -0.1248, -0.0445, -0.0894, -0.1363, -0.1387, -0.1387, -0.1149, -0.0928, -0.0733, -0.1201, -0.1202, -0.143, -0.1244, -0.1881, -0.2038, -0.1899, -0.3099, -0.2728, -0.1862, -0.2211, -0.1774, -0.2033, -0.1779, -0.2087, -0.1653, -0.1711, -0.262, -0.2786, -0.2405, -0.2667, -0.2546, -0.2887, -0.263, -0.316, -0.3245, -0.3772, -0.3343, -0.3197, -0.2805, -0.2805, -0.2733, -0.2426, -0.2184, -0.2345, -0.1518, -0.0471, 0.1313, 0.194, 0.1272, 0.1396, 0.2378, 0.3001, 0.3439, 0.3159, 0.3833, 0.2801, 0.1767, 0.2466, 0.2341, 0.3077, 0.277, 0.3728, 0.4063, 0.3354, 0.3369, 0.4909, 0.4083, 0.343, 0.3088, 0.2211, 0.1083, 0.1985, 0.2977, 0.3716, 0.549, 0.549, 0.5719, 0.569, 0.577, 0.674, 0.674, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1995175100459741628", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-30T16:56:27+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I've always been bullish on $IREN and the neocloud sector since my original thesis post!", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Mega bullish on IREN and NBIS (implied as the company with 4 portfolio companies growing 100%+ Y/Y); long neocloud sector.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@babyfolio I've always been bullish on $IREN and the neocloud sector since my original thesis post!  \n\nI just happen to be mega bullish on the one that has 4 portfolio companies growing 100%+ Y/Y alongside it as a side quest.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Beautifully put, $NBIS is going to be the leader.\nAnd I see you're become more bullish on $IREN which is nice", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "babyfolio", "ret_m1d": -0.014023515810224318, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014023515810224318, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.018609960672547055, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.022342682441486406, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008319166631262087, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.15199015243290592, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.15199015243290592, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.153842452106985, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.15104477605452604, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0009453763783798808, "ret_p1w": -0.04433906891023409, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04433906891023409, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04927832416449207, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0554942919273953, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011155223017161209, "ret_p1m": -0.21014646501716616, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.21014646501716616, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.22303857180953324, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2570902403302643, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "bench_c_p1m": 0.046943775313098124, "ret_p3m": -0.08764693447901695, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08764693447901695, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1039151930935458, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08374241000006155, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0039045244789553957, "ret_p6m": 0.23283144380346932, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.23283144380346932, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.12317806422279931, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.24401169255931177, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "bench_c_p6m": -0.011180248755842448, "price_path": [-0.4182, -0.4611, -0.4607, -0.4599, -0.3774, -0.3065, -0.3225, -0.2996, -0.2341, -0.2483, -0.2184, -0.251, -0.2031, -0.1359, -0.1386, -0.0278, -0.0454, -0.1367, -0.0528, -0.0322, -0.0291, -0.0303, 0.0406, 0.191, 0.272, 0.2392, 0.3168, 0.2326, 0.3227, 0.4345, 0.4019, 0.2751, 0.2522, 0.2213, 0.1383, 0.0689, 0.152, 0.2972, 0.3403, 0.2873, 0.246, 0.2007, 0.2528, 0.3972, 0.3741, 0.5758, 0.3809, 0.2865, 0.2409, 0.1833, 0.1487, 0.0033, -0.0437, -0.0223, 0.0074, -0.0549, -0.1035, -0.1285, 0.0, -0.021, -0.0008, -0.0008, -0.014, 0.0, -0.152, -0.0934, -0.0421, -0.078, -0.0443, -0.034, -0.0942, -0.0938, -0.1724, -0.2683, -0.2454, -0.3034, -0.2617, -0.1767, -0.133, -0.1324, -0.1343, -0.1343, -0.1689, -0.1873, -0.2101, -0.2211, -0.2211, -0.1194, -0.0052, -0.0532, -0.1003, -0.058, -0.0507, 0.0379, 0.0928, 0.0905, 0.0701, 0.1924, 0.1924, 0.119, 0.1029, 0.0777, 0.1689, 0.0798, 0.2372, 0.298, 0.2341, 0.1083, 0.0947, 0.1217, -0.0732, -0.1794, -0.1373, -0.0483, -0.1147, -0.12, -0.1745, -0.1293, -0.1293, -0.1551, -0.1322, -0.1072, -0.1755, -0.1264, -0.0627, -0.092, -0.0876, -0.1555, -0.1464, -0.1988, -0.0959, -0.1725, -0.2431, -0.199, -0.2139, -0.1343, -0.1468, -0.1425, -0.0732, -0.114, -0.1295, -0.1409, -0.1485, -0.1305, -0.152, -0.1456, -0.2277, -0.2763, -0.3479, -0.2931, -0.297, -0.2829, -0.2829, -0.2755, -0.2629, -0.2405, -0.2357, -0.1891, -0.1118, -0.0231, 0.0068, -0.0163, -0.0076, 0.0047, -0.0685, -0.0021, 0.0728, 0.0443, -0.0027, -0.0835, -0.1161, -0.0615, -0.0584, 0.0204, 0.1289, 0.2576, 0.1724, 0.2621, 0.1373, 0.1664, 0.1378, 0.2044, 0.0918, 0.0406, -0.0155, 0.087, 0.1974, 0.172, 0.172, 0.2328]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1995175100459741628", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-30T16:56:27+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "mega bullish on the one that has 4 portfolio companies growing 100%+ Y/Y alongside it as a side quest", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Mega bullish on IREN and NBIS (implied as the company with 4 portfolio companies growing 100%+ Y/Y); long neocloud sector.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@babyfolio I've always been bullish on $IREN and the neocloud sector since my original thesis post!  \n\nI just happen to be mega bullish on the one that has 4 portfolio companies growing 100%+ Y/Y alongside it as a side quest.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Beautifully put, $NBIS is going to be the leader.\nAnd I see you're become more bullish on $IREN which is nice", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "babyfolio", "ret_m1d": -0.052720905630066484, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.052720905630066484, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05730735049238922, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.057422753442149754, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004701847812083271, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.036944628270231594, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.036944628270231594, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.038796927944310666, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04025331122801734, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003308682957785747, "ret_p1w": 0.0017973070637373745, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0017973070637373745, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.003141948190520605, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01047963228719273, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012276939350930105, "ret_p1m": -0.1495756677853144, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1495756677853144, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16246777457768147, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.18286213217720948, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03328646439189509, "ret_p3m": 0.047229112885403435, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.047229112885403435, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.030960854270874583, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.027656878277190877, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "bench_c_p3m": 0.019572234608212558, "ret_p6m": 1.0774837183085886, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.0774837183085886, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.9678303387279186, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.0649106695834534, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "bench_c_p6m": 0.012573048725135205, "price_path": [-0.3445, -0.3519, -0.3463, -0.3604, -0.0442, -0.0675, -0.1094, -0.0973, -0.0918, -0.107, -0.0606, -0.0602, -0.0084, 0.0644, 0.0764, 0.1306, 0.0778, 0.0754, 0.1005, 0.121, 0.1544, 0.2568, 0.2779, 0.2475, 0.1752, 0.2182, 0.3244, 0.2939, 0.3526, 0.2796, 0.2564, 0.2286, 0.1327, 0.0884, 0.0412, -0.0153, 0.06, 0.1708, 0.2524, 0.2165, 0.2491, 0.2399, 0.3062, 0.2029, 0.1037, 0.1682, 0.0928, 0.1111, 0.0979, 0.0207, -0.0578, -0.115, -0.1659, -0.1415, -0.096, -0.0507, -0.1549, -0.1686, -0.0824, -0.1125, -0.0545, -0.0545, -0.0527, 0.0, -0.0369, -0.0123, 0.0265, -0.0211, 0.0018, -0.0373, -0.0655, -0.0586, -0.1244, -0.1898, -0.1917, -0.2466, -0.2203, -0.1067, -0.0691, -0.101, -0.0901, -0.0901, -0.1254, -0.1409, -0.1496, -0.1642, -0.1642, -0.1018, -0.0731, 0.0009, -0.0393, -0.0285, -0.0222, 0.0717, 0.0527, 0.0183, 0.0373, 0.0857, 0.0857, -0.0086, -0.0128, -0.033, -0.0564, -0.0868, -0.0228, 0.0028, -0.0523, -0.1494, -0.1197, -0.1018, -0.1773, -0.2624, -0.1403, -0.0726, -0.0835, -0.1152, -0.104, -0.0214, -0.0214, -0.0263, 0.0165, 0.0745, -0.0223, 0.0046, 0.0243, 0.0596, 0.0472, -0.0895, -0.0913, -0.1333, -0.0237, -0.0449, -0.108, -0.052, -0.0371, 0.1183, 0.0788, 0.1278, 0.2966, 0.1616, 0.1838, 0.2134, 0.1744, 0.1398, 0.1474, 0.1492, 0.0581, 0.0067, -0.0788, 0.036, 0.018, 0.0866, 0.0866, 0.1237, 0.1722, 0.2481, 0.3613, 0.4475, 0.5433, 0.617, 0.6652, 0.6509, 0.569, 0.5892, 0.5632, 0.5591, 0.5684, 0.4694, 0.4474, 0.3531, 0.4098, 0.3802, 0.5426, 0.7616, 0.7566, 0.948, 0.8449, 0.7678, 0.8582, 0.7884, 1.0696, 1.2082, 1.1961, 0.9956, 0.9743, 0.9153, 1.196, 1.1445, 1.1445, 1.0775]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1970559386050605381", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-23T18:42:23+00:00", "symbol": "AMZN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AMZN is an great buy here at $220 if you're doing shares.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AMZN at $220 (buy shares, wait $211-216 for calls); also bullish TSM to $1.8T and META to $2.3T among tech giants.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMZN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AMZN is an great buy here at $220 if you're doing shares.  \n\nI'd wait for $211-216 before entering shorter term calls.  Fed meeting today didn't affect odds of 3x rate cut. \n\nIn terms of tech giants my guess is:\n$TSM -&gt; $1.8T\n$META -&gt; $2.3T\n$AMZN -&gt; $3T https://t.co/5KwV6XZWxK", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$NBIS is a once-a-decade stock that can make generational wealth.\n\nIncredible forward revenue and fundamentals, mispriced at 26B market cap.\n\nScreaming buy under $130. \n\n$200 PT, 5 months. https://t.co/VvQclYVdFO", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.031353350362208765, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.031353350362208765, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02587998936944591, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.021854363608067473, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005473360992762855, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009498986754141292, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0022654160880354324, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0022654160880354324, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0009162173645782534, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009326650239005363, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003181633452613686, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007061234150969931, "ret_p1w": -0.005165145915320246, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.005165145915320246, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.009643274638012289, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.012394503155829795, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004478128722692043, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0072293572405095485, "ret_p1m": -0.012505141052363444, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.012505141052363444, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01942595275391812, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.009899265359652576, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006920811701554674, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0026058756927108684, "ret_p3m": 0.03008472288370978, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.03008472288370978, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0008465702710005463, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.005790904250082329, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029238152612709234, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02429381863362745, "ret_p6m": -0.04911427333121732, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.04911427333121732, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.04937721900956493, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.019571638997002205, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.00026294567834761473, "bench_c_p6m": -0.06868591232821952, "price_path": [-0.0163, 0.0117, -0.006, -0.0011, -0.0036, 0.0122, 0.0122, 0.0125, -0.0061, 0.0083, 0.007, 0.0195, 0.0226, 0.0256, 0.0112, 0.0144, 0.0246, 0.0389, 0.0306, 0.0343, 0.0522, 0.0486, 0.0547, 0.0467, 0.043, 0.0607, -0.027, -0.041, -0.0315, 0.0072, 0.011, 0.009, 0.0027, 0.0034, 0.0174, 0.0465, 0.0468, 0.0488, 0.0331, 0.014, 0.0056, 0.0368, 0.0328, 0.0362, 0.0381, 0.0493, 0.0376, 0.0376, 0.021, 0.0239, 0.0678, 0.0526, 0.0686, 0.0794, 0.0436, 0.0419, 0.0337, 0.0486, 0.0604, 0.0494, 0.0477, 0.0488, 0.0314, 0.0, -0.0023, -0.0116, -0.0042, 0.0066, -0.0052, -0.0004, 0.0077, -0.0054, 0.0009, 0.0048, 0.0204, 0.0319, -0.0197, -0.0029, -0.0196, -0.0233, -0.0283, -0.0348, -0.0192, 0.006, -0.0125, 0.0017, 0.0159, 0.0284, 0.0387, 0.0435, 0.0097, 0.1065, 0.1508, 0.1296, 0.1336, 0.1012, 0.1074, 0.1255, 0.1286, 0.1064, 0.0764, 0.0633, 0.0551, 0.0083, 0.009, -0.0162, -0.0001, 0.0252, 0.0406, 0.0383, 0.0383, 0.0567, 0.0597, 0.0621, 0.0529, 0.0381, 0.04, 0.028, 0.0327, 0.0502, 0.0434, 0.0248, 0.0083, 0.0084, 0.0025, 0.0274, 0.0301, 0.035, 0.0518, 0.0529, 0.0529, 0.0535, 0.0515, 0.0536, 0.0458, 0.0458, 0.0262, 0.056, 0.0916, 0.0945, 0.1159, 0.1208, 0.1167, 0.0992, 0.0722, 0.0792, 0.0834, 0.0834, 0.0466, 0.048, 0.0618, 0.0836, 0.0802, 0.1086, 0.101, 0.0952, 0.0842, 0.1008, 0.0811, 0.0556, 0.009, -0.0471, -0.0543, -0.0623, -0.0753, -0.0956, -0.0993, -0.0993, -0.0886, -0.0721, -0.0718, -0.048, -0.07, -0.055, -0.0456, -0.0579, -0.0485, -0.0558, -0.0543, -0.0176, -0.008, -0.034, -0.0327, -0.0289, -0.0365, -0.0507, -0.0591, -0.0406, -0.025, -0.0491]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1970559386050605381", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-23T18:42:23+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSM -> $1.8T", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AMZN at $220 (buy shares, wait $211-216 for calls); also bullish TSM to $1.8T and META to $2.3T among tech giants.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AMZN is an great buy here at $220 if you're doing shares.  \n\nI'd wait for $211-216 before entering shorter term calls.  Fed meeting today didn't affect odds of 3x rate cut. \n\nIn terms of tech giants my guess is:\n$TSM -&gt; $1.8T\n$META -&gt; $2.3T\n$AMZN -&gt; $3T https://t.co/5KwV6XZWxK", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$NBIS is a once-a-decade stock that can make generational wealth.\n\nIncredible forward revenue and fundamentals, mispriced at 26B market cap.\n\nScreaming buy under $130. \n\n$200 PT, 5 months. https://t.co/VvQclYVdFO", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03565495922040085, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03565495922040085, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.041128320213163705, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.041128320213163705, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005473360992762855, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005473360992762855, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00707450607515081, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00707450607515081, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0038928726225371246, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0038928726225371246, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003181633452613686, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003181633452613686, "ret_p1w": -0.012097224121724426, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.012097224121724426, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01657535284441647, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01657535284441647, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004478128722692043, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004478128722692043, "ret_p1m": 0.0218244121854696, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0218244121854696, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.014903600483914925, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.014903600483914925, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006920811701554674, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006920811701554674, "ret_p3m": 0.024831269931205435, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.024831269931205435, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.004406882681503799, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.004406882681503799, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029238152612709234, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029238152612709234, "ret_p6m": 0.2077610404496284, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2077610404496284, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.20749809477128078, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.20749809477128078, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.00026294567834761473, "bench_c_p6m": 0.00026294567834761473, "price_path": [-0.2101, -0.194, -0.2014, -0.2078, -0.1763, -0.1721, -0.1721, -0.1919, -0.1965, -0.1825, -0.1899, -0.1876, -0.1937, -0.1645, -0.1623, -0.134, -0.1523, -0.1578, -0.1728, -0.1526, -0.1481, -0.134, -0.144, -0.1491, -0.1435, -0.148, -0.1706, -0.1573, -0.1803, -0.1842, -0.1445, -0.1473, -0.1464, -0.1386, -0.1487, -0.1502, -0.1577, -0.1488, -0.1795, -0.1939, -0.1984, -0.1785, -0.1693, -0.1583, -0.1562, -0.1598, -0.1859, -0.1859, -0.1947, -0.1841, -0.1706, -0.1417, -0.1284, -0.1152, -0.0817, -0.0871, -0.0856, -0.0784, -0.073, -0.0705, -0.0498, -0.0631, -0.0357, 0.0, -0.0071, -0.0214, -0.0331, -0.0335, -0.0121, 0.0204, 0.0191, 0.0335, 0.0696, 0.04, 0.0771, 0.0607, -0.0073, 0.0714, 0.0468, 0.0778, 0.0606, 0.0438, 0.053, 0.0417, 0.0218, 0.0284, 0.0433, 0.055, 0.0666, 0.0792, 0.0725, 0.0627, 0.0783, 0.0401, 0.0387, 0.0231, 0.0134, 0.0444, 0.0299, 0.028, -0.0018, 0.0075, -0.0025, -0.017, -0.0012, -0.0184, -0.0271, 0.0068, 0.007, 0.0256, 0.0256, 0.0311, 0.0176, 0.0332, 0.0451, 0.0362, 0.0425, 0.0678, 0.0732, 0.097, 0.0812, 0.0358, 0.0205, 0.0175, -0.0177, 0.0097, 0.0248, 0.0402, 0.0532, 0.0598, 0.0598, 0.0741, 0.0673, 0.0625, 0.0778, 0.0778, 0.1336, 0.1429, 0.1613, 0.1303, 0.1279, 0.1478, 0.1767, 0.1747, 0.1602, 0.2117, 0.2144, 0.2144, 0.1604, 0.1567, 0.1611, 0.1877, 0.18, 0.2, 0.214, 0.2043, 0.1724, 0.2107, 0.1908, 0.1553, 0.173, 0.2373, 0.2605, 0.2836, 0.3268, 0.3056, 0.2994, 0.2994, 0.2917, 0.2848, 0.2782, 0.3142, 0.3124, 0.3682, 0.3752, 0.3364, 0.3285, 0.3091, 0.2525, 0.2677, 0.2551, 0.202, 0.2367, 0.231, 0.2575, 0.1942, 0.1999, 0.2067, 0.2306, 0.2078]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1970559386050605381", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-09-23T18:42:23+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$META -> $2.3T", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AMZN at $220 (buy shares, wait $211-216 for calls); also bullish TSM to $1.8T and META to $2.3T among tech giants.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AMZN is an great buy here at $220 if you're doing shares.  \n\nI'd wait for $211-216 before entering shorter term calls.  Fed meeting today didn't affect odds of 3x rate cut. \n\nIn terms of tech giants my guess is:\n$TSM -&gt; $1.8T\n$META -&gt; $2.3T\n$AMZN -&gt; $3T https://t.co/5KwV6XZWxK", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$NBIS is a once-a-decade stock that can make generational wealth.\n\nIncredible forward revenue and fundamentals, mispriced at 26B market cap.\n\nScreaming buy under $130. \n\n$200 PT, 5 months. https://t.co/VvQclYVdFO", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.012920319503158417, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.012920319503158417, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007446958510395563, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011484674484562696, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005473360992762855, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0014356450185957215, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006963202490423814, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.006963202490423814, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0101448359430375, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015239544605169963, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003181633452613686, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008276342114746149, "ret_p1w": -0.027826263743636726, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.027826263743636726, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03230439246632877, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.027488411512420985, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004478128722692043, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0003378522312157406, "ret_p1m": -0.029110437042204174, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.029110437042204174, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03603124874375885, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.005717120563438871, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006920811701554674, "bench_c_p1m": -0.023393316478765303, "ret_p3m": -0.12720769639608387, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.12720769639608387, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1564458490087931, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11124615630090295, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029238152612709234, "bench_c_p3m": -0.015961540095180915, "ret_p6m": -0.1835985001063063, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1835985001063063, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1838614457846539, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.14659116534085126, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.00026294567834761473, "bench_c_p6m": -0.037007334765455036, "price_path": [-0.0394, -0.0295, -0.0236, -0.0485, -0.056, -0.0488, -0.0488, -0.0497, -0.0466, -0.0306, -0.0379, -0.0508, -0.0463, -0.0602, -0.0701, -0.0721, -0.0683, -0.0568, -0.0676, -0.056, -0.0544, -0.0572, -0.0506, -0.074, -0.0803, 0.0232, -0.0078, 0.0271, 0.01, 0.0213, 0.0078, 0.0177, 0.0132, 0.0451, 0.032, 0.0347, 0.0388, 0.0152, -0.0059, -0.0108, -0.0222, -0.0015, -0.0035, -0.0024, -0.0113, -0.0063, -0.0228, -0.0228, -0.0275, -0.0249, -0.0096, -0.0046, -0.0048, 0.013, -0.0052, -0.0066, -0.0004, 0.0116, 0.0305, 0.0262, 0.0322, 0.0297, 0.0129, 0.0, 0.007, -0.0086, -0.0154, -0.0159, -0.0278, -0.0504, -0.0375, -0.0594, -0.0526, -0.056, -0.0497, -0.029, -0.0663, -0.0526, -0.0619, -0.0501, -0.0574, -0.0509, -0.0308, -0.0293, -0.0291, -0.0283, -0.0226, -0.0061, -0.0052, -0.0049, -0.1177, -0.1417, -0.1558, -0.1696, -0.1581, -0.1806, -0.177, -0.1637, -0.1699, -0.1938, -0.1926, -0.1932, -0.2031, -0.2088, -0.2185, -0.2201, -0.2133, -0.1884, -0.1578, -0.1612, -0.1612, -0.1422, -0.1516, -0.1434, -0.1533, -0.1243, -0.1085, -0.1173, -0.1303, -0.1394, -0.1359, -0.1472, -0.1421, -0.1294, -0.1395, -0.1197, -0.1272, -0.1236, -0.119, -0.1156, -0.1156, -0.1212, -0.1273, -0.1177, -0.1255, -0.1255, -0.1383, -0.1272, -0.1248, -0.1406, -0.144, -0.1348, -0.1495, -0.1639, -0.1845, -0.1775, -0.1782, -0.1782, -0.1996, -0.1879, -0.142, -0.1272, -0.1092, -0.1084, -0.114, -0.0218, -0.0507, -0.0641, -0.0836, -0.1137, -0.1121, -0.1236, -0.1028, -0.1114, -0.1141, -0.1391, -0.1524, -0.1524, -0.153, -0.1478, -0.1457, -0.1313, -0.1557, -0.153, -0.1339, -0.1295, -0.1412, -0.1341, -0.1321, -0.1153, -0.1248, -0.1456, -0.1423, -0.1334, -0.1324, -0.1545, -0.1869, -0.168, -0.1743, -0.1836]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2004572018327572855", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-26T15:16:26+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It could be a huge market opportunity for investors for stuff like $AXTI", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "AXTI flagged as a potential major opportunity as InP substrate supplier for photonics; COHR seen as not at the scale needed for AI buildout.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "HBM was a critical bottleneck in 2025 and we've seen that with $MU and SK Hynix.\n\nJust researching components used for future hyperscaler ASIC deployments, the whole industry is moving to photonics. \n\nIf we go to the bottom of that supply chain it's just two companies for INP substrates. Which is absurd to think about. \n\nIt could be a huge market opportunity for investors for stuff like $AXTI, but just in terms of national security risk, it's just a crazy bottleneck that needs to be looked at. There's companies like $COHR, but nowhere near to scale required for AI buildout.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Directionally agree. As AI scales to 800G, 1.6T and CPO, the bottleneck shifts from GPUs to interconnect, putting photonics and InP in the critical path. Supply is concentrated and slow to expand, creating real fragility and pricing power that most models still underestimate.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "HyperAICapital", "ret_m1d": -0.023422228975777948, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.023422228975777948, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.023523654294073104, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.018803052264763198, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00010142531829515633, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00461917671101475, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05074819380474049, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05074819380474049, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04718456559768569, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04623828847880318, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003563628207054803, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004509905325937313, "ret_p1w": 0.0904359371289738, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0904359371289738, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10077910313269656, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07010028212626285, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.010343166003722759, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02033565500271095, "ret_p1m": 0.15810015417011014, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.15810015417011014, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15459450861879387, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06801098538335615, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.003505645551316272, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09008916878675399, "ret_p3m": 3.3819127505264293, "ret_signed_p3m": 3.3819127505264293, "alpha_spy_p3m": 3.427828630459776, "alpha_c_p3m": 3.291276974574475, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04591587993334656, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09063577595195405, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7079, -0.6805, -0.6942, -0.6662, -0.6487, -0.6545, -0.6545, -0.6597, -0.7378, -0.7007, -0.7027, -0.7014, -0.6792, -0.7066, -0.6805, -0.6636, -0.6786, -0.663, -0.6057, -0.5973, -0.5706, -0.54, -0.5237, -0.4828, -0.4496, -0.4444, -0.4079, -0.4229, -0.3845, -0.3208, -0.3129, -0.2856, -0.3208, -0.3208, -0.3331, -0.3559, -0.3422, -0.3852, -0.419, -0.3923, -0.3995, -0.3201, -0.3201, -0.3038, -0.298, -0.2349, -0.2531, -0.2128, -0.2466, -0.1731, -0.0267, 0.0091, 0.0657, -0.0364, -0.0351, -0.1542, -0.1958, -0.0885, -0.0468, -0.0098, -0.0475, -0.0234, -0.0234, 0.0, -0.0507, 0.028, 0.0638, 0.0638, 0.0904, 0.0846, 0.3123, 0.5686, 0.6805, 0.4958, 0.447, 0.3995, 0.4379, 0.6734, 0.4372, 0.4372, 0.393, 0.2869, 0.1659, 0.1321, 0.1581, 0.1191, 0.095, 0.0657, 0.2062, 0.3624, 0.2843, 0.2199, 0.3292, 0.5654, 0.8068, 0.5843, 0.7437, 0.6129, 0.5771, 0.5771, 0.5101, 0.5316, 0.5491, 0.931, 0.8497, 1.2824, 1.6656, 1.4151, 1.4658, 2.0137, 1.717, 1.5459, 1.5244, 1.1061, 1.5088, 1.8822, 2.0813, 2.0403, 2.1789, 2.1483, 1.8861, 2.1724, 2.7794, 2.529, 3.1926, 3.4528, 3.3819, 2.8068, 2.9447, 2.4307, 2.7072, 2.067, 2.4379, 2.4379, 1.7319, 1.9577, 2.46, 3.1067, 3.1757, 3.3234, 3.3787, 3.0943, 4.3208, 4.3715, 4.1243, 3.8777, 4.6565, 3.8972, 3.9551, 3.5641, 3.4704, 3.6239, 4.1542, 5.2459, 5.8966, 5.9974, 5.8204, 6.054, 6.5706, 7.1854, 6.9961, 6.9336, 6.4808, 7.0534, 5.8887, 6.3442, 5.8061, 6.8738, 8.1627, 8.1627, 7.6272, 6.9876, 6.5277, 5.7118, 5.7118, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2004572018327572855", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-26T15:16:26+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "There's companies like $COHR, but nowhere near to scale required for AI buildout", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "AXTI flagged as a potential major opportunity as InP substrate supplier for photonics; COHR seen as not at the scale needed for AI buildout.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "HBM was a critical bottleneck in 2025 and we've seen that with $MU and SK Hynix.\n\nJust researching components used for future hyperscaler ASIC deployments, the whole industry is moving to photonics. \n\nIf we go to the bottom of that supply chain it's just two companies for INP substrates. Which is absurd to think about. \n\nIt could be a huge market opportunity for investors for stuff like $AXTI, but just in terms of national security risk, it's just a crazy bottleneck that needs to be looked at. There's companies like $COHR, but nowhere near to scale required for AI buildout.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Directionally agree. As AI scales to 800G, 1.6T and CPO, the bottleneck shifts from GPUs to interconnect, putting photonics and InP in the critical path. Supply is concentrated and slow to expand, creating real fragility and pricing power that most models still underestimate.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "HyperAICapital", "ret_m1d": -0.0018256107932771437, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0018256107932771437, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0019270361115723, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0019270361115723, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00010142531829515633, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00010142531829515633, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01408302175595133, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01408302175595133, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010519393548896527, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.010519393548896527, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003563628207054803, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003563628207054803, "ret_p1w": 0.013613606268169098, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.013613606268169098, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.023956772271891857, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.023956772271891857, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.010343166003722759, "bench_c_p1w": -0.010343166003722759, "ret_p1m": 0.031504241851009196, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.031504241851009196, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.027998596299692924, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.027998596299692924, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.003505645551316272, "bench_c_p1m": 0.003505645551316272, "ret_p3m": 0.41894432929695435, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.41894432929695435, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4648602092303009, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4648602092303009, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04591587993334656, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04591587993334656, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4381, -0.402, -0.4117, -0.4076, -0.4014, -0.4077, -0.3915, -0.3618, -0.4205, -0.3995, -0.4295, -0.4241, -0.3952, -0.3931, -0.373, -0.37, -0.3982, -0.3662, -0.3254, -0.2959, -0.2998, -0.2799, -0.3078, -0.3117, -0.3115, -0.3287, -0.2978, -0.1691, -0.1941, -0.1304, -0.1758, -0.1828, -0.2699, -0.2733, -0.2746, -0.2794, -0.2544, -0.2927, -0.2723, -0.2082, -0.2236, -0.1967, -0.1967, -0.1432, -0.1472, -0.1399, -0.1083, -0.075, -0.0518, -0.0306, 0.0053, 0.0299, 0.0354, -0.0698, -0.0692, -0.0862, -0.111, -0.0835, -0.0307, -0.0039, 0.0008, -0.0018, -0.0018, 0.0, -0.0141, -0.0256, -0.0373, -0.0373, 0.0136, -0.028, 0.0125, -0.0005, -0.0969, -0.0712, -0.0341, -0.0088, -0.0397, 0.0221, -0.0035, -0.0035, 0.0091, 0.0508, 0.0574, 0.0272, 0.0315, 0.1162, 0.1535, 0.1259, 0.1067, 0.1602, 0.1954, 0.1006, 0.0914, 0.1876, 0.2647, 0.1912, 0.1668, 0.1272, 0.1331, 0.1331, 0.1473, 0.1678, 0.2126, 0.2945, 0.2982, 0.3293, 0.3974, 0.3047, 0.3506, 0.5591, 0.4647, 0.4337, 0.3242, 0.2295, 0.3161, 0.3595, 0.3113, 0.2584, 0.2662, 0.2903, 0.2821, 0.3416, 0.4374, 0.3229, 0.3303, 0.4205, 0.4189, 0.269, 0.27, 0.1457, 0.2425, 0.2925, 0.3465, 0.3465, 0.3208, 0.3306, 0.4698, 0.4822, 0.6039, 0.6061, 0.6348, 0.6076, 0.7108, 0.7996, 0.8126, 0.7932, 0.828, 0.7613, 0.753, 0.6771, 0.5855, 0.5905, 0.6676, 0.7187, 0.7207, 0.7511, 0.7978, 0.6649, 0.7487, 0.9804, 0.9508, 1.1057, 1.1121, 0.9948, 0.8925, 0.8445, 0.8699, 0.9716, 0.9694, 0.9694, 0.9891, 0.983, 0.9661, 0.8854, 0.8854, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1995843935646937370", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-02T13:14:09+00:00", "symbol": "SMCI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SMCI is a stock to trade due to mispricing of forward growth", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "SMCI is mispriced relative to forward growth, making it a trading long.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMCI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MajorOcelot45 For me $SMCI is a stock to trade due to mispricing of forward growth, there’s tons of better long term investments.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Do Supermicro bulls like it for trading or investing? Why not just buy Vertiv instead?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MajorOcelot45", "ret_m1d": 0.014884620465411613, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.014884620465411613, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01673349546892422, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02508161166597278, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018488750035126067, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010196991200561167, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02308633592049847, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02308633592049847, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01962356812723809, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0207012307058152, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0034627677932603795, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0023851052146832696, "ret_p1w": 0.06379108158029512, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06379108158029512, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06157554785994224, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.040493465236337345, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00221553372035288, "bench_c_p1w": 0.023297616343957772, "ret_p1m": -0.11087478475696944, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11087478475696944, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11440357093378262, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10768343189520813, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.003528786176813181, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0031913528617613096, "ret_p3m": -0.01609959929453586, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.01609959929453586, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.02561786504113628, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.02316440724853086, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.009518265746600418, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03926400654306672, "ret_p6m": 0.1600850774874909, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1600850774874909, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.05267514889902691, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.11844513580214011, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10740992858846399, "bench_c_p6m": 0.278530213289631, "price_path": [0.2363, 0.2275, 0.2163, 0.3038, 0.3338, 0.3351, 0.367, 0.3785, 0.3642, 0.3639, 0.3955, 0.3916, 0.4238, 0.4274, 0.4034, 0.4046, 0.3919, 0.4083, 0.4563, 0.5914, 0.5948, 0.5784, 0.6592, 0.6728, 0.7825, 0.7612, 0.6057, 0.6631, 0.6133, 0.6385, 0.6355, 0.5851, 0.6719, 0.6652, 0.5948, 0.4557, 0.4669, 0.5665, 0.5905, 0.6005, 0.5301, 0.5784, 0.5416, 0.4399, 0.2767, 0.2254, 0.2078, 0.2208, 0.1792, 0.1516, 0.0659, 0.1063, 0.0358, 0.0601, 0.0246, -0.0413, -0.0222, 0.0122, -0.0134, -0.0027, -0.0027, 0.0283, 0.0149, 0.0, 0.0231, 0.0398, 0.0538, 0.0744, 0.0638, 0.0601, 0.0334, -0.0179, -0.0471, -0.0383, -0.0936, -0.1078, -0.055, -0.0562, -0.0656, -0.072, -0.072, -0.0693, -0.0863, -0.0993, -0.1109, -0.1109, -0.0595, -0.0866, -0.0723, -0.0884, -0.0917, -0.0838, -0.0851, -0.1312, -0.1413, -0.1063, -0.0085, -0.0085, -0.0459, -0.0207, -0.0143, -0.0371, -0.0644, -0.0522, -0.0519, -0.0851, -0.1157, -0.0975, -0.0987, 0.0255, -0.0629, 0.0444, 0.0185, 0.0125, -0.0267, -0.0756, -0.0723, -0.0723, -0.0854, -0.0975, -0.0231, -0.0152, -0.0671, -0.0544, 0.0207, -0.0194, -0.0161, -0.0331, -0.068, -0.0082, -0.0207, -0.0489, -0.0286, -0.0343, -0.0343, -0.0614, -0.0659, -0.0322, -0.0428, -0.0781, -0.0647, -0.3764, -0.3445, -0.3247, -0.2694, -0.3253, -0.3326, -0.3603, -0.3083, -0.3162, -0.2947, -0.2947, -0.3302, -0.3114, -0.2901, -0.2947, -0.2327, -0.2111, -0.1738, -0.171, -0.1373, -0.1324, -0.1248, -0.1364, -0.1136, -0.1874, -0.1166, -0.154, -0.1722, -0.2005, -0.1677, -0.1771, -0.1519, -0.1546, 0.0529, 0.0213, 0.0744, 0.0182, -0.0039, -0.0279, 0.0033, -0.0571, -0.0629, -0.0717, 0.0164, 0.0164, 0.0808, 0.0808, 0.127, 0.1601]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1976771236215808119", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-10T22:06:04+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "likely a short term tariff shock, mild macro risk, and a overall sell-off from fear, but into recovery", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Tariff selloff is short-term shock; recovery likely into late-Oct rate-cut frontrun; bargain hunt crossfire casualties (CIFR, UNH, DKNG); avoid China-revenue-exposed names like MU, NKE.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Getting Vietnam flashbacks. \n\nJokes aside, markets dropped 3.65%+ after Trump tarrifs Chinese imports by 100% and restricts the export of critical software to China.\n\nThis surprise event was rational repricing but also catalyzed by fear + margin calls (after hours, with $IREN dropping 21% for example, or $BTC dropping to $107k).\n\nWhat this typically foreshadows is slower growth and higher inflation (lower rate cut odds).\n\nHowever, Polymarket and Fed futures data still shows 70-72% of 3 rate cuts by 2025. Midterm elections next year are also generally bullish for stocks. And we're approaching end of season seasonality, which is typically the best for stocks.\n\nAnd of course, many stocks dropped in crossfire without any direct exposure, such as $UNH or $DKNG (eg. Draftkings has nothing to do with China, imports, etc. since it's US sports related, but fell 9.4%)\n\nTLDR: likely a short term tariff shock, mild macro risk, and a overall sell-off from fear, but into recovery. \n\nNow that markets are closed, a lot of money can be made is in times of low liquidity high-spread like after-hours/overnight (during earlier tariffs, $HOOD dropped from $45 to $28 overnight then went on a massive rally to $100+). \n\nRandom events like these are why I don't recommend options as positions can be nuked up in an instant.\n\nIf you have cash positions, go bargain hunting for extreme selloffs, eg. $CIFR dropping 16% to $14, instead of panic selling your own positions. \n\nOtherwise, things like these are usually short term from shock, and we'll likely see a recovery frontrunning rate cut in late October. That of course if the stock isn't materially impacted from China revenue unlike $QLCM, $NKE, $MU, $CDNS, etc.\n\n(I didn't expect the extent of the reaction, lost a decent amount today, but will hold positions).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.07500124728814028, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07500124728814028, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.047222623526754326, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.027778623761385957, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.018166518866759906, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.018166518866759906, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.002822444173551153, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015344074693208754, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.059591183456660146, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.059591183456660146, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07700265409200513, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017411470635344983, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.06375315798520764, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06375315798520764, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10727403272473868, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.043520874739531035, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.19349410365664854, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.19349410365664854, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.25260053441044616, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05910643075379762, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.3917748265027372, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3917748265027372, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.40657060981963955, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.014795783316902344, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0403, 0.0488, 0.0537, 0.0423, 0.0373, 0.0599, 0.0489, 0.0455, 0.0391, 0.0416, 0.0416, 0.0408, 0.0225, 0.0009, 0.0164, 0.0082, 0.016, 0.0378, 0.0307, 0.0487, 0.0615, 0.0895, 0.0454, 0.037, 0.0268, -0.0034, 0.0094, -0.007, 0.0323, -0.0273, -0.0125, -0.0176, -0.0059, -0.0424, -0.035, -0.0178, -0.0132, -0.022, -0.0226, -0.0101, -0.0149, 0.0065, 0.0203, 0.0255, 0.0197, 0.0321, 0.0287, 0.0346, 0.0219, -0.0041, -0.0106, 0.001, -0.0368, -0.0309, 0.0105, 0.0074, 0.048, 0.066, 0.08, 0.1019, 0.0728, 0.0896, 0.075, 0.0, 0.0182, -0.0008, -0.0215, -0.0444, -0.0596, -0.0232, -0.0418, -0.0488, -0.0278, -0.0193, 0.008, -0.0023, -0.0279, -0.0434, -0.0323, -0.0589, -0.1027, -0.0823, -0.1052, -0.0869, -0.0638, -0.0902, -0.102, -0.1194, -0.1662, -0.1866, -0.179, -0.1921, -0.2348, -0.2484, -0.2203, -0.2285, -0.2005, -0.1937, -0.1969, -0.2375, -0.1931, -0.1739, -0.1861, -0.2105, -0.1994, -0.1813, -0.1872, -0.1829, -0.2027, -0.2367, -0.2241, -0.2391, -0.2451, -0.2218, -0.2184, -0.2279, -0.2261, -0.2295, -0.2289, -0.2303, -0.2189, -0.2271, -0.2162, -0.2055, -0.1708, -0.1721, -0.1935, -0.196, -0.2005, -0.1945, -0.158, -0.1438, -0.156, -0.1562, -0.1825, -0.22, -0.2106, -0.2098, -0.2094, -0.2204, -0.213, -0.2123, -0.2531, -0.2569, -0.305, -0.3319, -0.355, -0.4462, -0.3768, -0.3806, -0.3924, -0.4083, -0.4151, -0.3918, -0.3919, -0.4038, -0.4133, -0.4086, -0.3993, -0.4293, -0.434, -0.3997, -0.4042, -0.4181, -0.3925, -0.3968, -0.3578, -0.3743, -0.3982, -0.3958, -0.3823, -0.3799, -0.3773, -0.3732, -0.3388, -0.3471, -0.3707, -0.3825, -0.3771, -0.3736, -0.3771, -0.3701, -0.3924, -0.414, -0.4109, -0.3973, -0.3987, -0.4092, -0.4088, -0.3918]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1976771236215808119", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-10T22:06:04+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "likely a short term tariff shock, mild macro risk, and a overall sell-off from fear, but into recovery", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Tariff selloff is short-term shock; recovery likely into late-Oct rate-cut frontrun; bargain hunt crossfire casualties (CIFR, UNH, DKNG); avoid China-revenue-exposed names like MU, NKE.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Getting Vietnam flashbacks. \n\nJokes aside, markets dropped 3.65%+ after Trump tarrifs Chinese imports by 100% and restricts the export of critical software to China.\n\nThis surprise event was rational repricing but also catalyzed by fear + margin calls (after hours, with $IREN dropping 21% for example, or $BTC dropping to $107k).\n\nWhat this typically foreshadows is slower growth and higher inflation (lower rate cut odds).\n\nHowever, Polymarket and Fed futures data still shows 70-72% of 3 rate cuts by 2025. Midterm elections next year are also generally bullish for stocks. And we're approaching end of season seasonality, which is typically the best for stocks.\n\nAnd of course, many stocks dropped in crossfire without any direct exposure, such as $UNH or $DKNG (eg. Draftkings has nothing to do with China, imports, etc. since it's US sports related, but fell 9.4%)\n\nTLDR: likely a short term tariff shock, mild macro risk, and a overall sell-off from fear, but into recovery. \n\nNow that markets are closed, a lot of money can be made is in times of low liquidity high-spread like after-hours/overnight (during earlier tariffs, $HOOD dropped from $45 to $28 overnight then went on a massive rally to $100+). \n\nRandom events like these are why I don't recommend options as positions can be nuked up in an instant.\n\nIf you have cash positions, go bargain hunting for extreme selloffs, eg. $CIFR dropping 16% to $14, instead of panic selling your own positions. \n\nOtherwise, things like these are usually short term from shock, and we'll likely see a recovery frontrunning rate cut in late October. That of course if the stock isn't materially impacted from China revenue unlike $QLCM, $NKE, $MU, $CDNS, etc.\n\n(I didn't expect the extent of the reaction, lost a decent amount today, but will hold positions).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0682616360232513, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0682616360232513, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04048301226186535, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04602238992600749, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.027778623761385957, "bench_c_m1d": 0.022239246097243814, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07311358371115984, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07311358371115984, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05776950901795108, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06352773229713105, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015344074693208754, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00958585141402879, "ret_p1w": 0.01589427397797616, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01589427397797616, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0015171966573688245, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.015510904836720796, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017411470635344983, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00038336914125536303, "ret_p1m": 0.006692282217134915, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.006692282217134915, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03682859252239612, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.008836860513549594, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.043520874739531035, "bench_c_p1m": 0.015529142730684509, "ret_p3m": -0.2701187942799582, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2701187942799582, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.32922522503375584, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3399876542971091, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05910643075379762, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06986886001715087, "ret_p6m": -0.41224693325977524, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.41224693325977524, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4270427165766776, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.37681040549096223, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.014795783316902344, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03543652776881301, "price_path": [-0.7176, -0.7104, -0.698, -0.6998, -0.6963, -0.689, -0.6823, -0.6965, -0.7035, -0.7226, -0.7358, -0.73, -0.7305, -0.7423, -0.7243, -0.7248, -0.6935, -0.6893, -0.6913, -0.6993, -0.7017, -0.7034, -0.6808, -0.6706, -0.6536, -0.6866, -0.6694, -0.6722, -0.6415, -0.6132, -0.6154, -0.626, -0.6145, -0.557, -0.557, -0.513, -0.528, -0.5628, -0.5625, -0.5618, -0.4949, -0.4373, -0.4504, -0.4318, -0.3786, -0.3902, -0.3659, -0.3923, -0.3535, -0.299, -0.3012, -0.2113, -0.2255, -0.2996, -0.2316, -0.2148, -0.2123, -0.2133, -0.1558, -0.0338, 0.032, 0.0054, 0.0683, 0.0, 0.0731, 0.1638, 0.1374, 0.0345, 0.0159, -0.0092, -0.0765, -0.1328, -0.0654, 0.0524, 0.0873, 0.0443, 0.0109, -0.0259, 0.0164, 0.1335, 0.1148, 0.2784, 0.1203, 0.0437, 0.0067, -0.04, -0.0681, -0.186, -0.2242, -0.2068, -0.1827, -0.2332, -0.2727, -0.293, -0.1887, -0.2058, -0.1894, -0.1894, -0.2001, -0.1887, -0.312, -0.2645, -0.2229, -0.252, -0.2247, -0.2163, -0.2652, -0.2648, -0.3286, -0.4064, -0.3878, -0.4348, -0.401, -0.3321, -0.2966, -0.2961, -0.2976, -0.2976, -0.3257, -0.3406, -0.3592, -0.3681, -0.3681, -0.2856, -0.1929, -0.2319, -0.2701, -0.2357, -0.2299, -0.1579, -0.1134, -0.1153, -0.1318, -0.0326, -0.0326, -0.0922, -0.1052, -0.1256, -0.0517, -0.124, 0.0037, 0.053, 0.0012, -0.1009, -0.1119, -0.09, -0.2481, -0.3343, -0.3002, -0.2279, -0.2817, -0.2861, -0.3303, -0.2936, -0.2936, -0.3145, -0.296, -0.2757, -0.3311, -0.2913, -0.2396, -0.2633, -0.2598, -0.3149, -0.3075, -0.35, -0.2665, -0.3287, -0.386, -0.3502, -0.3622, -0.2976, -0.3078, -0.3043, -0.2481, -0.2812, -0.2938, -0.303, -0.3092, -0.2946, -0.312, -0.3068, -0.3734, -0.4129, -0.471, -0.4265, -0.4296, -0.4183, -0.4183, -0.4122]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1976771236215808119", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-10T22:06:04+00:00", "symbol": "UNH", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "many stocks dropped in crossfire without any direct exposure, such as $UNH", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Tariff selloff is short-term shock; recovery likely into late-Oct rate-cut frontrun; bargain hunt crossfire casualties (CIFR, UNH, DKNG); avoid China-revenue-exposed names like MU, NKE.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLV", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Healthcare Plans'", "bench_c_industry": "Healthcare Plans", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Getting Vietnam flashbacks. \n\nJokes aside, markets dropped 3.65%+ after Trump tarrifs Chinese imports by 100% and restricts the export of critical software to China.\n\nThis surprise event was rational repricing but also catalyzed by fear + margin calls (after hours, with $IREN dropping 21% for example, or $BTC dropping to $107k).\n\nWhat this typically foreshadows is slower growth and higher inflation (lower rate cut odds).\n\nHowever, Polymarket and Fed futures data still shows 70-72% of 3 rate cuts by 2025. Midterm elections next year are also generally bullish for stocks. And we're approaching end of season seasonality, which is typically the best for stocks.\n\nAnd of course, many stocks dropped in crossfire without any direct exposure, such as $UNH or $DKNG (eg. Draftkings has nothing to do with China, imports, etc. since it's US sports related, but fell 9.4%)\n\nTLDR: likely a short term tariff shock, mild macro risk, and a overall sell-off from fear, but into recovery. \n\nNow that markets are closed, a lot of money can be made is in times of low liquidity high-spread like after-hours/overnight (during earlier tariffs, $HOOD dropped from $45 to $28 overnight then went on a massive rally to $100+). \n\nRandom events like these are why I don't recommend options as positions can be nuked up in an instant.\n\nIf you have cash positions, go bargain hunting for extreme selloffs, eg. $CIFR dropping 16% to $14, instead of panic selling your own positions. \n\nOtherwise, things like these are usually short term from shock, and we'll likely see a recovery frontrunning rate cut in late October. That of course if the stock isn't materially impacted from China revenue unlike $QLCM, $NKE, $MU, $CDNS, etc.\n\n(I didn't expect the extent of the reaction, lost a decent amount today, but will hold positions).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03720738655865996, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03720738655865996, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009428762797274004, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.022570851859837537, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.027778623761385957, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014636534698822423, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011734931563918582, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011734931563918582, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.003609143129290171, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012860868820878113, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015344074693208754, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0011259372569595305, "ret_p1w": 0.005923930330869132, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.005923930330869132, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.011487540304475852, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0022388170296638865, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017411470635344983, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008162747360533018, "ret_p1m": -0.09286317796979504, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09286317796979504, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13638405270932608, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1292434353166736, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.043520874739531035, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03638025734687855, "ret_p3m": -0.029626376743697724, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.029626376743697724, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08873280749749535, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15790656632212463, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05910643075379762, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1282801895784269, "ret_p6m": -0.19477064039095648, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.19477064039095648, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.20956642370785883, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2327470672774158, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.014795783316902344, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0379764268864593, "price_path": [-0.1823, -0.1801, -0.1925, -0.2077, -0.2091, -0.2007, -0.18, -0.2191, -0.2121, -0.2092, -0.2682, -0.2542, -0.3004, -0.3335, -0.3245, -0.2964, -0.311, -0.3141, -0.2967, -0.2926, -0.2668, -0.2381, -0.239, -0.1478, -0.1352, -0.1472, -0.1595, -0.1497, -0.1382, -0.1454, -0.1578, -0.1482, -0.1526, -0.1314, -0.1314, -0.1344, -0.137, -0.1299, -0.1159, -0.1023, -0.0247, -0.0279, -0.0088, -0.0118, -0.0186, -0.0415, -0.0364, -0.0555, -0.0502, -0.0372, -0.0192, -0.0076, -0.0252, -0.0294, -0.0263, -0.026, -0.0175, -0.0022, 0.0161, 0.012, 0.0258, 0.0435, 0.0372, 0.0, 0.0117, 0.0153, 0.0188, 0.0061, 0.0059, 0.0282, 0.0307, 0.0197, 0.0168, 0.0226, 0.0324, 0.0376, 0.0021, -0.0275, -0.0365, -0.0584, -0.0668, -0.0755, -0.0929, -0.0854, -0.0929, -0.0763, -0.0436, -0.062, -0.0921, -0.0959, -0.1154, -0.1281, -0.1212, -0.0974, -0.1, -0.0796, -0.0699, -0.0699, -0.0698, -0.0883, -0.0845, -0.0417, -0.0593, -0.0665, -0.081, -0.081, -0.0675, -0.0437, -0.0292, -0.0313, -0.0509, -0.0582, -0.0681, -0.0702, -0.0766, -0.0776, -0.0697, -0.0697, -0.0577, -0.0659, -0.0567, -0.0625, -0.0625, -0.0447, -0.0287, -0.009, -0.0296, -0.015, -0.0232, -0.033, -0.0517, -0.0488, -0.0374, -0.06, -0.06, -0.0389, -0.0124, 0.0066, 0.0117, -0.0014, -0.1972, -0.165, -0.1699, -0.1852, -0.189, -0.193, -0.2164, -0.2374, -0.2144, -0.2171, -0.2241, -0.2079, -0.1924, -0.1674, -0.1674, -0.179, -0.1816, -0.1766, -0.1764, -0.1982, -0.222, -0.1929, -0.1859, -0.1672, -0.1624, -0.1787, -0.1709, -0.1799, -0.1864, -0.1839, -0.192, -0.1836, -0.2071, -0.1927, -0.183, -0.177, -0.1863, -0.1974, -0.2113, -0.2286, -0.2208, -0.2257, -0.2329, -0.2587, -0.2508, -0.2256, -0.2159, -0.2065, -0.2065, -0.1948]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1976771236215808119", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-10-10T22:06:04+00:00", "symbol": "DKNG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "many stocks dropped in crossfire without any direct exposure, such as $UNH or $DKNG", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Tariff selloff is short-term shock; recovery likely into late-Oct rate-cut frontrun; bargain hunt crossfire casualties (CIFR, UNH, DKNG); avoid China-revenue-exposed names like MU, NKE.", "resolved_tickers": ["DKNG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Gambling", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Getting Vietnam flashbacks. \n\nJokes aside, markets dropped 3.65%+ after Trump tarrifs Chinese imports by 100% and restricts the export of critical software to China.\n\nThis surprise event was rational repricing but also catalyzed by fear + margin calls (after hours, with $IREN dropping 21% for example, or $BTC dropping to $107k).\n\nWhat this typically foreshadows is slower growth and higher inflation (lower rate cut odds).\n\nHowever, Polymarket and Fed futures data still shows 70-72% of 3 rate cuts by 2025. Midterm elections next year are also generally bullish for stocks. And we're approaching end of season seasonality, which is typically the best for stocks.\n\nAnd of course, many stocks dropped in crossfire without any direct exposure, such as $UNH or $DKNG (eg. Draftkings has nothing to do with China, imports, etc. since it's US sports related, but fell 9.4%)\n\nTLDR: likely a short term tariff shock, mild macro risk, and a overall sell-off from fear, but into recovery. \n\nNow that markets are closed, a lot of money can be made is in times of low liquidity high-spread like after-hours/overnight (during earlier tariffs, $HOOD dropped from $45 to $28 overnight then went on a massive rally to $100+). \n\nRandom events like these are why I don't recommend options as positions can be nuked up in an instant.\n\nIf you have cash positions, go bargain hunting for extreme selloffs, eg. $CIFR dropping 16% to $14, instead of panic selling your own positions. \n\nOtherwise, things like these are usually short term from shock, and we'll likely see a recovery frontrunning rate cut in late October. That of course if the stock isn't materially impacted from China revenue unlike $QLCM, $NKE, $MU, $CDNS, etc.\n\n(I didn't expect the extent of the reaction, lost a decent amount today, but will hold positions).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.07678195906009311, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07678195906009311, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04900333529870715, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04900333529870715, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.027778623761385957, "bench_c_m1d": 0.027778623761385957, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.027225550374252228, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.027225550374252228, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011881475681043474, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011881475681043474, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015344074693208754, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015344074693208754, "ret_p1w": 0.04313245355293738, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04313245355293738, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.025720982917592394, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.025720982917592394, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017411470635344983, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017411470635344983, "ret_p1m": -0.06576928117167335, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06576928117167335, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10929015591120439, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10929015591120439, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.043520874739531035, "bench_c_p1m": 0.043520874739531035, "ret_p3m": 0.060263117267112865, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.060263117267112865, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0011566865133152415, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0011566865133152415, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05910643075379762, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05910643075379762, "ret_p6m": -0.2994799455323288, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2994799455323288, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.31427572884923116, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.31427572884923116, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.014795783316902344, "bench_c_p6m": 0.014795783316902344, "price_path": [0.3399, 0.3264, 0.3441, 0.3374, 0.3604, 0.3631, 0.3711, 0.3472, 0.3723, 0.3545, 0.3337, 0.3995, 0.3778, 0.3377, 0.3781, 0.3747, 0.3876, 0.3827, 0.3117, 0.3071, 0.3184, 0.3203, 0.3359, 0.3747, 0.398, 0.3772, 0.3965, 0.4099, 0.4433, 0.435, 0.4595, 0.4622, 0.4754, 0.4677, 0.4677, 0.4656, 0.4586, 0.45, 0.4243, 0.4169, 0.4044, 0.3965, 0.4032, 0.3454, 0.3102, 0.3116, 0.3044, 0.3246, 0.3292, 0.3411, 0.3236, 0.3139, 0.3129, 0.2946, 0.2941, 0.1441, 0.0756, 0.0673, 0.082, 0.0701, 0.008, 0.0395, 0.0768, 0.0, 0.0272, 0.0511, 0.086, 0.0765, 0.0431, 0.0278, 0.0284, 0.0615, 0.0615, 0.0095, 0.0083, -0.0468, -0.0624, -0.078, -0.0642, -0.0649, -0.1248, -0.1459, -0.1441, -0.0701, -0.0658, -0.0671, -0.0361, -0.0918, -0.0951, -0.1184, -0.1016, -0.1123, -0.1129, -0.0826, -0.0994, -0.0312, -0.015, -0.015, 0.0144, 0.0361, 0.0281, 0.0569, 0.0765, 0.0401, 0.0878, 0.0688, 0.0593, 0.0673, 0.0866, 0.0887, 0.0566, 0.0416, 0.0459, 0.0465, 0.0676, 0.0566, 0.0541, 0.0541, 0.067, 0.0566, 0.0633, 0.0541, 0.0541, 0.0909, 0.1086, 0.0691, 0.0603, 0.1006, 0.0759, 0.0694, 0.0416, 0.0499, 0.0847, -0.0021, -0.0021, -0.0135, -0.034, -0.0327, -0.0832, -0.0645, -0.0789, -0.0786, -0.0841, -0.1585, -0.1612, -0.1814, -0.1667, -0.2193, -0.1857, -0.1673, -0.1704, -0.1955, -0.2303, -0.3344, -0.3344, -0.309, -0.29, -0.312, -0.3175, -0.3328, -0.3157, -0.2983, -0.2814, -0.2707, -0.2713, -0.2521, -0.2221, -0.2212, -0.2307, -0.2303, -0.231, -0.2178, -0.2181, -0.2086, -0.2385, -0.2285, -0.2267, -0.238, -0.2759, -0.2671, -0.2869, -0.3448, -0.3493, -0.3662, -0.3597, -0.3386, -0.3221, -0.2915, -0.2915, -0.2995]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1976771236215808119", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-10-10T22:06:04+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "go bargain hunting for extreme selloffs, eg. $CIFR dropping 16% to $14", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Tariff selloff is short-term shock; recovery likely into late-Oct rate-cut frontrun; bargain hunt crossfire casualties (CIFR, UNH, DKNG); avoid China-revenue-exposed names like MU, NKE.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Getting Vietnam flashbacks. \n\nJokes aside, markets dropped 3.65%+ after Trump tarrifs Chinese imports by 100% and restricts the export of critical software to China.\n\nThis surprise event was rational repricing but also catalyzed by fear + margin calls (after hours, with $IREN dropping 21% for example, or $BTC dropping to $107k).\n\nWhat this typically foreshadows is slower growth and higher inflation (lower rate cut odds).\n\nHowever, Polymarket and Fed futures data still shows 70-72% of 3 rate cuts by 2025. Midterm elections next year are also generally bullish for stocks. And we're approaching end of season seasonality, which is typically the best for stocks.\n\nAnd of course, many stocks dropped in crossfire without any direct exposure, such as $UNH or $DKNG (eg. Draftkings has nothing to do with China, imports, etc. since it's US sports related, but fell 9.4%)\n\nTLDR: likely a short term tariff shock, mild macro risk, and a overall sell-off from fear, but into recovery. \n\nNow that markets are closed, a lot of money can be made is in times of low liquidity high-spread like after-hours/overnight (during earlier tariffs, $HOOD dropped from $45 to $28 overnight then went on a massive rally to $100+). \n\nRandom events like these are why I don't recommend options as positions can be nuked up in an instant.\n\nIf you have cash positions, go bargain hunting for extreme selloffs, eg. $CIFR dropping 16% to $14, instead of panic selling your own positions. \n\nOtherwise, things like these are usually short term from shock, and we'll likely see a recovery frontrunning rate cut in late October. That of course if the stock isn't materially impacted from China revenue unlike $QLCM, $NKE, $MU, $CDNS, etc.\n\n(I didn't expect the extent of the reaction, lost a decent amount today, but will hold positions).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.06010609894138219, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06010609894138219, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.032327475179996235, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.017683614642166612, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.027778623761385957, "bench_c_m1d": 0.04242248429921558, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.19858579702954882, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.19858579702954882, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.18324172233634006, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.17423137509311304, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015344074693208754, "bench_c_p1d": 0.024354421936435777, "ret_p1w": 0.10548031749881726, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10548031749881726, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08806884686347227, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08170069052304885, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017411470635344983, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02377962697576841, "ret_p1m": 0.15792577569916366, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.15792577569916366, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11440490095963263, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09635741978313406, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.043520874739531035, "bench_c_p1m": 0.061568355916029605, "ret_p3m": -0.052445458200346295, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.052445458200346295, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11155188895414392, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10673802454827241, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05910643075379762, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05429256634792612, "ret_p6m": -0.21331756501816812, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.21331756501816812, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.22811334833507046, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1986818936760114, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.014795783316902344, "bench_c_p6m": -0.014635671342156709, "price_path": [-0.6482, -0.6305, -0.6217, -0.6252, -0.6317, -0.591, -0.6064, -0.6081, -0.6187, -0.637, -0.6653, -0.6788, -0.6783, -0.7095, -0.6942, -0.7048, -0.693, -0.713, -0.7201, -0.7195, -0.7219, -0.7113, -0.6865, -0.693, -0.6435, -0.6606, -0.6494, -0.6523, -0.624, -0.6087, -0.5804, -0.5881, -0.5863, -0.5498, -0.5498, -0.5097, -0.5221, -0.5639, -0.5569, -0.5451, -0.4567, -0.396, -0.4125, -0.3606, -0.3606, -0.3217, -0.2705, -0.3017, -0.2764, -0.1774, -0.1662, -0.1668, -0.3129, -0.3241, -0.2546, -0.2581, -0.2575, -0.1862, -0.1338, -0.0961, -0.0719, 0.0371, 0.0601, 0.0, 0.1986, 0.231, 0.2392, 0.1031, 0.1055, 0.1732, 0.0651, -0.0507, 0.0168, 0.2174, 0.2104, 0.1762, 0.1544, 0.1237, 0.099, 0.3412, 0.3265, 0.4561, 0.2793, 0.2192, 0.1579, 0.1002, 0.0242, -0.1202, -0.1538, -0.1544, -0.1408, -0.1385, -0.142, -0.1662, -0.0153, 0.0324, 0.1285, 0.1285, 0.1992, 0.1603, 0.0395, 0.0978, 0.1685, 0.1361, 0.1479, 0.1526, 0.089, 0.1126, 0.0047, -0.1314, -0.1167, -0.152, -0.1072, -0.0448, -0.0371, -0.0625, -0.0442, -0.0442, -0.1049, -0.1114, -0.1402, -0.1302, -0.1302, -0.0454, 0.0701, 0.0336, -0.0524, -0.0247, -0.02, 0.0418, 0.0754, 0.0684, 0.0324, 0.1078, 0.1078, 0.056, 0.0442, 0.0247, 0.0354, -0.0283, 0.1049, 0.1179, 0.043, -0.0595, -0.0684, -0.0418, -0.1603, -0.2516, -0.132, -0.0124, 0.0077, -0.0407, -0.0513, -0.0324, -0.0324, -0.0784, -0.0913, -0.0689, -0.1367, -0.1031, 0.0088, -0.0212, -0.0289, -0.0807, -0.0713, -0.1332, -0.0548, -0.1072, -0.1974, -0.1567, -0.1774, -0.1685, -0.1921, -0.1703, -0.1078, -0.1108, -0.1355, -0.1373, -0.1744, -0.1226, -0.1232, -0.0642, -0.1544, -0.19, -0.292, -0.2416, -0.2552, -0.2445, -0.2445, -0.2133]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1976771236215808119", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2025-10-10T22:06:04+00:00", "symbol": "MU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if the stock isn't materially impacted from China revenue unlike $QLCM, $NKE, $MU, $CDNS", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Tariff selloff is short-term shock; recovery likely into late-Oct rate-cut frontrun; bargain hunt crossfire casualties (CIFR, UNH, DKNG); avoid China-revenue-exposed names like MU, NKE.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Getting Vietnam flashbacks. \n\nJokes aside, markets dropped 3.65%+ after Trump tarrifs Chinese imports by 100% and restricts the export of critical software to China.\n\nThis surprise event was rational repricing but also catalyzed by fear + margin calls (after hours, with $IREN dropping 21% for example, or $BTC dropping to $107k).\n\nWhat this typically foreshadows is slower growth and higher inflation (lower rate cut odds).\n\nHowever, Polymarket and Fed futures data still shows 70-72% of 3 rate cuts by 2025. Midterm elections next year are also generally bullish for stocks. And we're approaching end of season seasonality, which is typically the best for stocks.\n\nAnd of course, many stocks dropped in crossfire without any direct exposure, such as $UNH or $DKNG (eg. Draftkings has nothing to do with China, imports, etc. since it's US sports related, but fell 9.4%)\n\nTLDR: likely a short term tariff shock, mild macro risk, and a overall sell-off from fear, but into recovery. \n\nNow that markets are closed, a lot of money can be made is in times of low liquidity high-spread like after-hours/overnight (during earlier tariffs, $HOOD dropped from $45 to $28 overnight then went on a massive rally to $100+). \n\nRandom events like these are why I don't recommend options as positions can be nuked up in an instant.\n\nIf you have cash positions, go bargain hunting for extreme selloffs, eg. $CIFR dropping 16% to $14, instead of panic selling your own positions. \n\nOtherwise, things like these are usually short term from shock, and we'll likely see a recovery frontrunning rate cut in late October. That of course if the stock isn't materially impacted from China revenue unlike $QLCM, $NKE, $MU, $CDNS, etc.\n\n(I didn't expect the extent of the reaction, lost a decent amount today, but will hold positions).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.059085891006847246, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.059085891006847246, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03130726724546129, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.001988632181297856, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.027778623761385957, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0610745231881451, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06150879079035709, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06150879079035709, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04616471609714834, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.017216682415164497, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015344074693208754, "bench_c_p1d": 0.044292108375192596, "ret_p1w": 0.11442735404408655, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11442735404408655, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09701588340874157, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06066826174240458, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017411470635344983, "bench_c_p1w": 0.053759092301681966, "ret_p1m": 0.394823763725729, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.394823763725729, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.351302888986198, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2920082082588309, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.043520874739531035, "bench_c_p1m": 0.10281555546689813, "ret_p3m": 0.8705240433195509, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.8705240433195509, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.8114176125657533, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.6834028186524743, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05910643075379762, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1871212246670766, "ret_p6m": 1.0818908507698248, "ret_signed_p6m": -1.0818908507698248, "alpha_spy_p6m": -1.0670950674529225, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.860976900847396, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.014795783316902344, "bench_c_p6m": 0.22091394992242885, "price_path": [-0.339, -0.3593, -0.3767, -0.3705, -0.3769, -0.3989, -0.3956, -0.3851, -0.3877, -0.3878, -0.3839, -0.3686, -0.3994, -0.4228, -0.4069, -0.3998, -0.4014, -0.3844, -0.3457, -0.3191, -0.297, -0.3161, -0.3105, -0.3348, -0.3201, -0.3283, -0.355, -0.3628, -0.3524, -0.3593, -0.3589, -0.352, -0.3286, -0.3451, -0.3451, -0.348, -0.3467, -0.3165, -0.277, -0.2766, -0.2558, -0.2296, -0.1714, -0.1347, -0.1318, -0.126, -0.1195, -0.0706, -0.1045, -0.0941, -0.0842, -0.1101, -0.1369, -0.1345, -0.098, -0.0792, 0.0024, 0.0112, 0.0343, 0.0515, 0.0225, 0.0823, 0.0591, 0.0, 0.0615, 0.0301, 0.0569, 0.1153, 0.1144, 0.1386, 0.1139, 0.0929, 0.1383, 0.2061, 0.212, 0.222, 0.248, 0.2335, 0.2322, 0.2924, 0.2006, 0.3078, 0.3124, 0.3101, 0.3948, 0.3277, 0.3486, 0.3048, 0.3592, 0.3323, 0.2583, 0.2441, 0.1089, 0.1419, 0.2331, 0.2364, 0.268, 0.268, 0.3022, 0.3241, 0.3188, 0.2894, 0.2481, 0.3063, 0.3597, 0.39, 0.4521, 0.4232, 0.3279, 0.3078, 0.2803, 0.2419, 0.3687, 0.4643, 0.5231, 0.5213, 0.5786, 0.5786, 0.5682, 0.6216, 0.612, 0.5723, 0.5723, 0.7376, 0.7196, 0.8919, 0.8705, 0.8015, 0.901, 0.9053, 0.8627, 0.8364, 0.8544, 0.9983, 0.9983, 1.0107, 1.1435, 1.1902, 1.2016, 1.1434, 1.2599, 1.3979, 1.4007, 1.2855, 1.4118, 1.3106, 1.0901, 1.1093, 1.1743, 1.1126, 1.0562, 1.2605, 1.2805, 1.2678, 1.2678, 1.2023, 1.3189, 1.2991, 1.3587, 1.3191, 1.3027, 1.3633, 1.2893, 1.2717, 1.2733, 1.0916, 1.2078, 1.1873, 1.0399, 1.1447, 1.2207, 1.3065, 1.233, 1.3475, 1.4338, 1.5434, 1.5436, 1.4474, 1.3297, 1.2275, 1.1789, 1.1049, 0.9582, 0.9679, 0.7735, 0.8619, 1.0273, 1.0184, 1.0184, 1.0819]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1976771236215808119", "ticker_idx": 6, "ts": "2025-10-10T22:06:04+00:00", "symbol": "NKE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if the stock isn't materially impacted from China revenue unlike $QLCM, $NKE, $MU, $CDNS", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Tariff selloff is short-term shock; recovery likely into late-Oct rate-cut frontrun; bargain hunt crossfire casualties (CIFR, UNH, DKNG); avoid China-revenue-exposed names like MU, NKE.", "resolved_tickers": ["NKE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Footwear & Accessories'", "bench_c_industry": "Footwear & Accessories", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Getting Vietnam flashbacks. \n\nJokes aside, markets dropped 3.65%+ after Trump tarrifs Chinese imports by 100% and restricts the export of critical software to China.\n\nThis surprise event was rational repricing but also catalyzed by fear + margin calls (after hours, with $IREN dropping 21% for example, or $BTC dropping to $107k).\n\nWhat this typically foreshadows is slower growth and higher inflation (lower rate cut odds).\n\nHowever, Polymarket and Fed futures data still shows 70-72% of 3 rate cuts by 2025. Midterm elections next year are also generally bullish for stocks. And we're approaching end of season seasonality, which is typically the best for stocks.\n\nAnd of course, many stocks dropped in crossfire without any direct exposure, such as $UNH or $DKNG (eg. Draftkings has nothing to do with China, imports, etc. since it's US sports related, but fell 9.4%)\n\nTLDR: likely a short term tariff shock, mild macro risk, and a overall sell-off from fear, but into recovery. \n\nNow that markets are closed, a lot of money can be made is in times of low liquidity high-spread like after-hours/overnight (during earlier tariffs, $HOOD dropped from $45 to $28 overnight then went on a massive rally to $100+). \n\nRandom events like these are why I don't recommend options as positions can be nuked up in an instant.\n\nIf you have cash positions, go bargain hunting for extreme selloffs, eg. $CIFR dropping 16% to $14, instead of panic selling your own positions. \n\nOtherwise, things like these are usually short term from shock, and we'll likely see a recovery frontrunning rate cut in late October. That of course if the stock isn't materially impacted from China revenue unlike $QLCM, $NKE, $MU, $CDNS, etc.\n\n(I didn't expect the extent of the reaction, lost a decent amount today, but will hold positions).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04354490851627646, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04354490851627646, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015766284754890503, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015260747702588118, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.027778623761385957, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02828416081368834, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03311860940331779, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03311860940331779, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.017774534710109036, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010779780786589699, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015344074693208754, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02233882861672809, "ret_p1w": 0.03296526056207916, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03296526056207916, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.015553789926734174, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.008178420953444787, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017411470635344983, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02478683960863437, "ret_p1m": -0.06777064796521848, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06777064796521848, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11129152270474951, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11240457277786886, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.043520874739531035, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04463392481265038, "ret_p3m": -0.024476975572145787, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.024476975572145787, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08358340632594341, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08362102293335305, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05910643075379762, "bench_c_p3m": 0.059144047361207264, "ret_p6m": -0.3160807591407583, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3160807591407583, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3308765424576606, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.27324421673176225, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.014795783316902344, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04283654240899604, "price_path": [0.0981, 0.0998, 0.1132, 0.1054, 0.1291, 0.15, 0.1707, 0.1504, 0.1634, 0.2087, 0.1948, 0.1696, 0.1393, 0.1382, 0.1413, 0.1346, 0.1513, 0.1341, 0.1317, 0.1291, 0.1425, 0.1776, 0.1652, 0.1741, 0.1811, 0.1727, 0.1632, 0.162, 0.1956, 0.2076, 0.1997, 0.1907, 0.1885, 0.1802, 0.1802, 0.1391, 0.146, 0.1553, 0.1332, 0.1369, 0.1285, 0.1385, 0.1397, 0.1193, 0.1197, 0.1155, 0.1087, 0.1055, 0.0869, 0.0929, 0.0875, 0.092, 0.0616, 0.0627, 0.0664, 0.0692, 0.1377, 0.1434, 0.1029, 0.0912, 0.0566, 0.0593, 0.0435, 0.0, 0.0331, 0.0371, 0.0497, 0.0248, 0.033, 0.0368, 0.0481, 0.0592, 0.0684, 0.0596, 0.0517, 0.0339, 0.002, -0.0049, -0.0097, -0.0394, -0.0612, -0.0477, -0.0511, -0.0633, -0.0678, -0.0317, -0.0156, 0.0124, -0.0161, -0.0356, -0.0419, -0.0396, -0.0581, -0.0371, -0.0504, -0.0236, -0.0136, -0.0136, -0.009, 0.009, 0.0019, 0.013, 0.0136, 0.0163, -0.0195, -0.0228, 0.0152, 0.0453, 0.0411, 0.0459, 0.0357, 0.0136, 0.0127, -0.0941, -0.1171, -0.1152, -0.0742, -0.0742, -0.0598, -0.0555, -0.0558, -0.0169, -0.0169, -0.0236, -0.0043, 0.0084, -0.0245, 0.007, 0.0172, 0.0129, 0.023, 0.0118, -0.0033, -0.0066, -0.0066, -0.0182, 0.0093, 0.0101, 0.0036, 0.0028, -0.0265, -0.0396, -0.034, -0.0462, -0.0405, -0.0598, -0.009, -0.0325, -0.0137, -0.037, -0.0273, -0.0379, -0.0572, -0.0259, -0.0259, 0.0002, 0.0115, 0.0124, 0.0092, -0.0265, -0.0111, -0.0217, -0.0132, -0.0405, -0.0523, -0.0775, -0.0891, -0.0988, -0.1145, -0.1219, -0.1289, -0.1348, -0.1592, -0.1615, -0.1489, -0.1438, -0.1694, -0.1699, -0.1865, -0.1813, -0.1691, -0.1771, -0.1912, -0.2021, -0.2041, -0.1795, -0.3068, -0.3136, -0.3136, -0.3161]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1981503876554772825", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-23T23:31:53+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS has the highest asymmetrical return out of any Neocloud", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "NBIS top asymmetric return among neoclouds on full-stack software + margin efficiency; IREN has upside from raw GW capacity but lower conviction.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So in terms of raw upside, $IREN is promising just because of pure GW capacity. However, $NBIS has the highest asymmetrical return out of any Neocloud.\n\nWith the recent Nebius whitepaper, they published a bit about GPU utilization, etc. Their full stack software + diversified customer base with startups, SMBs, helps their own opex, which is a misunderstood moat in terms of how they maximize margins from GPUs.\n\nPeople try to frame miners as potential pivots but if we look at $ORCL builtout, they were struggling with margins that didn’t translate (gpu utilization after buildout, etc). Having other software layers like compresses margins and $CRWV found that out firsthand, which is why they spent billions on acquisitions recently.   \n\nSo having raw capacity doesn’t always translate to good profit margins. So being full stack + operational efficiency + diversified smbs gives Nebius a clear edge.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit This is an exciting field of work and thank you for sharing your ideas, coupled with facts. I am learning a lot. By the way, what do you think ,even if Nebius seems more promising, Iren could be the main competitor, especially with the upcoming Sweetwater 1.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Delyoland9", "ret_m1d": -0.07102487429753657, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07102487429753657, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06512993942938017, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07440881923073017, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0058949348681563984, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033839449331936056, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10455913801068295, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10455913801068295, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09638656690605218, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10195610344668782, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008172571104630766, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0026030345639951324, "ret_p1w": 0.16974374549214621, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16974374549214621, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15773046162608217, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.17781315264053088, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01201328386606404, "bench_c_p1w": -0.008069407148384666, "ret_p1m": -0.2157121395621464, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2157121395621464, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19676196118720868, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.18664489805590412, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01895017837493773, "bench_c_p1m": -0.029067241506242292, "ret_p3m": -0.06471366342872564, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06471366342872564, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07635797132099198, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05245634876501981, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.011644307892266337, "bench_c_p3m": -0.012257314663705832, "ret_p6m": 0.4802184812445973, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4802184812445973, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4170656573905107, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.44015893191536004, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0631528238540866, "bench_c_p6m": 0.040059549329237276, "price_path": [-0.5031, -0.5252, -0.5169, -0.4873, -0.5102, -0.4897, -0.4803, -0.4811, -0.3848, -0.3521, -0.3384, -0.2904, -0.3347, -0.3551, -0.3254, -0.3167, -0.3671, -0.3644, -0.3766, -0.3502, -0.3404, -0.3361, -0.3397, -0.3214, -0.3564, -0.3564, -0.3809, -0.3816, -0.3886, -0.3833, -0.3966, -0.0983, -0.1203, -0.1599, -0.1484, -0.1432, -0.1576, -0.1138, -0.1134, -0.0645, 0.0041, 0.0154, 0.0666, 0.0168, 0.0145, 0.0382, 0.0576, 0.089, 0.1857, 0.2055, 0.1769, 0.1087, 0.1492, 0.2494, 0.2206, 0.276, 0.2071, 0.1853, 0.159, 0.0686, 0.0268, -0.0177, -0.071, 0.0, 0.1046, 0.1815, 0.1476, 0.1784, 0.1697, 0.2323, 0.1348, 0.0413, 0.1021, 0.0309, 0.0482, 0.0357, -0.0371, -0.1112, -0.1651, -0.2131, -0.1901, -0.1471, -0.1045, -0.2027, -0.2157, -0.1343, -0.1628, -0.108, -0.108, -0.1063, -0.0566, -0.0915, -0.0682, -0.0317, -0.0765, -0.0549, -0.0918, -0.1184, -0.1119, -0.174, -0.2357, -0.2375, -0.2893, -0.2644, -0.1573, -0.1218, -0.1519, -0.1416, -0.1416, -0.1749, -0.1895, -0.1977, -0.2115, -0.2115, -0.1527, -0.1256, -0.0558, -0.0937, -0.0835, -0.0775, 0.011, -0.0069, -0.0394, -0.0214, 0.0242, 0.0242, -0.0647, -0.0687, -0.0877, -0.1098, -0.1385, -0.0781, -0.054, -0.106, -0.1975, -0.1696, -0.1527, -0.2239, -0.3042, -0.189, -0.1251, -0.1354, -0.1653, -0.1548, -0.0768, -0.0768, -0.0814, -0.0411, 0.0137, -0.0776, -0.0523, -0.0337, -0.0004, -0.0121, -0.141, -0.1427, -0.1824, -0.0789, -0.099, -0.1585, -0.1057, -0.0917, 0.055, 0.0177, 0.064, 0.2232, 0.0958, 0.1168, 0.1447, 0.108, 0.0753, 0.0824, 0.0841, -0.0018, -0.0503, -0.1309, -0.0226, -0.0397, 0.0251, 0.0251, 0.0601, 0.1059, 0.1775, 0.2842, 0.3656, 0.4559, 0.5254, 0.5709, 0.5575, 0.4802]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1981503876554772825", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-23T23:31:53+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$IREN is promising just because of pure GW capacity", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "NBIS top asymmetric return among neoclouds on full-stack software + margin efficiency; IREN has upside from raw GW capacity but lower conviction.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So in terms of raw upside, $IREN is promising just because of pure GW capacity. However, $NBIS has the highest asymmetrical return out of any Neocloud.\n\nWith the recent Nebius whitepaper, they published a bit about GPU utilization, etc. Their full stack software + diversified customer base with startups, SMBs, helps their own opex, which is a misunderstood moat in terms of how they maximize margins from GPUs.\n\nPeople try to frame miners as potential pivots but if we look at $ORCL builtout, they were struggling with margins that didn’t translate (gpu utilization after buildout, etc). Having other software layers like compresses margins and $CRWV found that out firsthand, which is why they spent billions on acquisitions recently.   \n\nSo having raw capacity doesn’t always translate to good profit margins. So being full stack + operational efficiency + diversified smbs gives Nebius a clear edge.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit This is an exciting field of work and thank you for sharing your ideas, coupled with facts. I am learning a lot. By the way, what do you think ,even if Nebius seems more promising, Iren could be the main competitor, especially with the upcoming Sweetwater 1.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Delyoland9", "ret_m1d": -0.07214462469143024, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07214462469143024, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06624968982327384, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0700509417347448, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0058949348681563984, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0020936829566854387, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.12602937412468873, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.12602937412468873, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.11785680302005797, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.1151805094143672, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008172571104630766, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010848864710321537, "ret_p1w": 0.04224848880352905, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04224848880352905, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03023520493746501, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.048148794811232465, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01201328386606404, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005900306007703415, "ret_p1m": -0.24346584568955598, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.24346584568955598, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.22451566731461825, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.22690700978577505, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01895017837493773, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016558835903780933, "ret_p3m": -0.02864307682305789, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.02864307682305789, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.040287384715324226, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04474390813727247, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.011644307892266337, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01610083131421458, "ret_p6m": -0.13856071596663166, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13856071596663166, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.20171353982071827, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.14510233092713853, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0631528238540866, "bench_c_p6m": 0.00654161496050687, "price_path": [-0.7032, -0.7173, -0.7111, -0.7116, -0.7243, -0.705, -0.7055, -0.672, -0.6676, -0.6697, -0.6783, -0.6808, -0.6826, -0.6584, -0.6475, -0.6293, -0.6647, -0.6463, -0.6493, -0.6164, -0.5861, -0.5884, -0.5998, -0.5875, -0.526, -0.526, -0.4789, -0.495, -0.5322, -0.5319, -0.5311, -0.4595, -0.398, -0.4119, -0.3921, -0.3351, -0.3475, -0.3215, -0.3498, -0.3083, -0.2499, -0.2522, -0.1561, -0.1713, -0.2506, -0.1778, -0.1599, -0.1572, -0.1583, -0.0967, 0.0338, 0.1042, 0.0757, 0.143, 0.07, 0.1482, 0.2453, 0.217, 0.1069, 0.087, 0.0602, -0.0119, -0.0721, 0.0, 0.126, 0.1634, 0.1174, 0.0816, 0.0422, 0.0875, 0.2129, 0.1928, 0.3679, 0.1987, 0.1167, 0.0772, 0.0272, -0.0029, -0.1291, -0.1699, -0.1513, -0.1255, -0.1796, -0.2218, -0.2435, -0.1319, -0.1502, -0.1327, -0.1327, -0.1441, -0.1319, -0.2639, -0.213, -0.1685, -0.1996, -0.1704, -0.1615, -0.2137, -0.2134, -0.2816, -0.3648, -0.345, -0.3953, -0.3591, -0.2854, -0.2474, -0.2469, -0.2485, -0.2485, -0.2786, -0.2945, -0.3144, -0.3238, -0.3238, -0.2356, -0.1364, -0.1781, -0.219, -0.1822, -0.176, -0.099, -0.0514, -0.0533, -0.0711, 0.0351, 0.0351, -0.0286, -0.0426, -0.0644, 0.0147, -0.0627, 0.0739, 0.1267, 0.0712, -0.038, -0.0498, -0.0263, -0.1955, -0.2877, -0.2512, -0.1738, -0.2315, -0.2361, -0.2834, -0.2442, -0.2442, -0.2666, -0.2467, -0.225, -0.2843, -0.2417, -0.1864, -0.2118, -0.208, -0.2669, -0.259, -0.3045, -0.2152, -0.2817, -0.343, -0.3047, -0.3176, -0.2485, -0.2594, -0.2556, -0.1955, -0.2309, -0.2444, -0.2542, -0.2608, -0.2453, -0.2639, -0.2583, -0.3296, -0.3718, -0.4339, -0.3863, -0.3897, -0.3776, -0.3776, -0.3711, -0.3602, -0.3407, -0.3366, -0.2961, -0.229, -0.152, -0.126, -0.1461, -0.1386]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1968054549245296871", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-16T20:49:03+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If I had a 5 year timeframe it would be $RKLB then $BTC then $TSM in terms of highest conviction", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "5-year highest-conviction longs: RKLB > BTC > TSM; also bullish NBIS to $200+ in 1-2 years on revenue growth catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@junyongisusing1 If I had a 5 year timeframe it would be $RKLB then $BTC then $TSM in terms of highest conviction. \n\nThis list is just my best guess on return potential from highest to lowest in the next few months.\n\n---\n\nStuff like $NBIS I'd just assume there's going to be a giant catalyst to $200+ in a year or two from revenue growth + forward potential. \n\nThen it might end up like $SMCI in 2-3 years when things settle down with high revenue, lower margins, but  inventory risk and profit growth once all the big tech deploys their own chips with $TSM + $AVGO.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.14382478859697367, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.14382478859697367, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.1424460976399291, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.1408609067688147, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0013786909570445705, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0029638818281589874, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.017673889682456867, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.017673889682456867, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.018916324975005505, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.022218515255269522, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012424352925486382, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004544625572812655, "ret_p1w": 0.11990689054083448, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11990689054083448, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11225726811171577, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10777313120787646, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007649622429118708, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012133759332958016, "ret_p1m": 0.4661868601782819, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4661868601782819, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4555594779191239, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4569630625264789, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010627382259158047, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009223797651803034, "ret_p3m": 0.3015134526115597, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3015134526115597, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2656798915637062, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2649095932694221, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03583356104785351, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03660385934213761, "ret_p6m": 0.5231241551771568, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5231241551771568, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4925043084811003, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3983587230483041, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030619846696056552, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12476543212885272, "price_path": [-0.4105, -0.3642, -0.3062, -0.2918, -0.3153, -0.2351, -0.2511, -0.2429, -0.2734, -0.2448, -0.2452, -0.2452, -0.1771, -0.18, -0.1716, -0.1724, -0.1739, -0.0854, -0.056, 0.0094, 0.0865, 0.0877, -0.0012, -0.0077, 0.0403, 0.0187, 0.0039, -0.0452, -0.0731, -0.017, -0.028, -0.0515, -0.0573, -0.0528, -0.0666, -0.0642, -0.0541, -0.0471, -0.0807, -0.0899, -0.0939, -0.063, -0.0482, -0.1339, -0.1387, -0.121, -0.0606, -0.0005, 0.0187, -0.0211, 0.0141, 0.0287, 0.0287, 0.0437, -0.0786, -0.0901, -0.0297, 0.0103, -0.0046, -0.0228, 0.0251, 0.129, 0.1438, 0.0, 0.0177, -0.0014, 0.0115, 0.0543, 0.1199, 0.0306, -0.013, -0.0208, -0.005, 0.0141, 0.0153, 0.1106, 0.1887, 0.2382, 0.3019, 0.3824, 0.4059, 0.3601, 0.3847, 0.4399, 0.4662, 0.4181, 0.4027, 0.4255, 0.3843, 0.2819, 0.3455, 0.3665, 0.3889, 0.3493, 0.4004, 0.2894, 0.3331, 0.2983, 0.1974, 0.1942, 0.0501, 0.093, 0.0985, 0.0846, 0.0577, -0.0422, -0.0361, -0.0833, -0.0945, -0.0767, -0.1644, -0.147, -0.1015, -0.0983, -0.1125, -0.1125, -0.1081, -0.1455, -0.1131, -0.0534, 0.045, 0.0383, 0.0913, 0.1309, 0.2175, 0.3447, 0.3015, 0.1728, 0.1745, 0.1421, 0.2683, 0.4926, 0.6414, 0.6336, 0.6336, 0.6336, 0.4954, 0.4842, 0.4912, 0.4766, 0.4766, 0.6084, 0.6539, 0.8209, 0.7797, 0.7585, 0.796, 0.8605, 0.8326, 0.9431, 0.921, 1.0383, 1.0383, 0.8872, 0.8588, 0.8622, 0.8817, 0.7035, 0.8415, 0.8747, 0.8135, 0.6948, 0.5695, 0.7202, 0.5475, 0.4037, 0.5307, 0.6052, 0.5246, 0.4736, 0.3972, 0.4275, 0.4275, 0.4793, 0.5752, 0.6209, 0.4998, 0.4861, 0.481, 0.4859, 0.5377, 0.4626, 0.5022, 0.4844, 0.5221, 0.4816, 0.484, 0.513, 0.459, 0.5231]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1968054549245296871", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-16T20:49:03+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If I had a 5 year timeframe it would be $RKLB then $BTC then $TSM in terms of highest conviction", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "5-year highest-conviction longs: RKLB > BTC > TSM; also bullish NBIS to $200+ in 1-2 years on revenue growth catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@junyongisusing1 If I had a 5 year timeframe it would be $RKLB then $BTC then $TSM in terms of highest conviction. \n\nThis list is just my best guess on return potential from highest to lowest in the next few months.\n\n---\n\nStuff like $NBIS I'd just assume there's going to be a giant catalyst to $200+ in a year or two from revenue growth + forward potential. \n\nThen it might end up like $SMCI in 2-3 years when things settle down with high revenue, lower margins, but  inventory risk and profit growth once all the big tech deploys their own chips with $TSM + $AVGO.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01196742856745503, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01196742856745503, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0133461195244996, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0013786909570445705, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.0032066883445814875, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0032066883445814875, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0019642530520328494, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012424352925486382, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.04132622195025282, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04132622195025282, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.048975844379371525, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007649622429118708, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.051864585066202507, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.051864585066202507, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06249196732536055, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010627382259158047, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.22742253105256993, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22742253105256993, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.26325609210042344, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03583356104785351, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.39915296463047967, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.39915296463047967, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4297728113265362, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030619846696056552, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1041, -0.1158, -0.0964, -0.0924, -0.0812, -0.0846, -0.0835, -0.0831, -0.0954, -0.0683, -0.0616, -0.0754, -0.0731, -0.0676, -0.0472, -0.0073, 0.0058, 0.0257, 0.008, 0.0162, 0.0209, 0.0099, 0.0051, 0.027, 0.0164, 0.0131, 0.0068, 0.0093, 0.0092, 0.0085, -0.0093, -0.0302, -0.0152, -0.0231, -0.0155, 0.0056, -0.0013, 0.0162, 0.0285, 0.0556, 0.013, 0.0048, -0.0051, -0.0343, -0.022, -0.0379, 0.0003, -0.0575, -0.0431, -0.0481, -0.0368, -0.0722, -0.065, -0.0483, -0.0438, -0.0524, -0.053, -0.0408, -0.0455, -0.0247, -0.0114, -0.0063, -0.012, 0.0, -0.0032, 0.0025, -0.0099, -0.035, -0.0413, -0.0301, -0.0667, -0.061, -0.0209, -0.0239, 0.0155, 0.0328, 0.0464, 0.0677, 0.0394, 0.0557, 0.0416, -0.0311, -0.0135, -0.0319, -0.0519, -0.0741, -0.0888, -0.0535, -0.0716, -0.0783, -0.058, -0.0497, -0.0233, -0.0333, -0.0581, -0.0731, -0.0624, -0.0881, -0.1305, -0.1108, -0.133, -0.1153, -0.0928, -0.1185, -0.1299, -0.1467, -0.1921, -0.2118, -0.2045, -0.2172, -0.2586, -0.2718, -0.2445, -0.2525, -0.2253, -0.2187, -0.2219, -0.2612, -0.2182, -0.1995, -0.2114, -0.235, -0.2243, -0.2067, -0.2124, -0.2082, -0.2274, -0.2604, -0.2482, -0.2627, -0.2686, -0.246, -0.2427, -0.2519, -0.2502, -0.2534, -0.2528, -0.2542, -0.2432, -0.2511, -0.2406, -0.2302, -0.1965, -0.1978, -0.2185, -0.2209, -0.2253, -0.2195, -0.1842, -0.1704, -0.1822, -0.1825, -0.2079, -0.2442, -0.2351, -0.2343, -0.234, -0.2446, -0.2374, -0.2367, -0.2763, -0.28, -0.3265, -0.3527, -0.3751, -0.4634, -0.3962, -0.3999, -0.4112, -0.4267, -0.4332, -0.4107, -0.4108, -0.4224, -0.4315, -0.4269, -0.418, -0.447, -0.4516, -0.4184, -0.4227, -0.4362, -0.4114, -0.4155, -0.3777, -0.3937, -0.4169, -0.4146, -0.4015, -0.3992]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1968054549245296871", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-09-16T20:49:03+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If I had a 5 year timeframe it would be $RKLB then $BTC then $TSM in terms of highest conviction", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "5-year highest-conviction longs: RKLB > BTC > TSM; also bullish NBIS to $200+ in 1-2 years on revenue growth catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@junyongisusing1 If I had a 5 year timeframe it would be $RKLB then $BTC then $TSM in terms of highest conviction. \n\nThis list is just my best guess on return potential from highest to lowest in the next few months.\n\n---\n\nStuff like $NBIS I'd just assume there's going to be a giant catalyst to $200+ in a year or two from revenue growth + forward potential. \n\nThen it might end up like $SMCI in 2-3 years when things settle down with high revenue, lower margins, but  inventory risk and profit growth once all the big tech deploys their own chips with $TSM + $AVGO.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.005731500171311521, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005731500171311521, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0071101911283560915, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0071101911283560915, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0013786909570445705, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0013786909570445705, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0027857149381065316, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0027857149381065316, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00402815023065517, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00402815023065517, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012424352925486382, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012424352925486382, "ret_p1w": 0.07879884749387522, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07879884749387522, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07114922506475652, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07114922506475652, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007649622429118708, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007649622429118708, "ret_p1m": 0.16274910134639375, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.16274910134639375, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1521217190872357, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1521217190872357, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010627382259158047, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010627382259158047, "ret_p3m": 0.11740986356202887, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11740986356202887, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08157630251417536, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08157630251417536, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03583356104785351, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03583356104785351, "ret_p6m": 0.3566251420667781, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3566251420667781, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.32600529537072154, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.32600529537072154, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030619846696056552, "bench_c_p6m": 0.030619846696056552, "price_path": [-0.1879, -0.203, -0.2, -0.1628, -0.1527, -0.1479, -0.1305, -0.1385, -0.1453, -0.1114, -0.1068, -0.1068, -0.1283, -0.1332, -0.1181, -0.126, -0.1236, -0.1302, -0.0987, -0.0963, -0.0658, -0.0855, -0.0914, -0.1076, -0.0858, -0.081, -0.0658, -0.0766, -0.082, -0.076, -0.0809, -0.1053, -0.0909, -0.1157, -0.1199, -0.0771, -0.0801, -0.0791, -0.0707, -0.0816, -0.0833, -0.0913, -0.0817, -0.1148, -0.1304, -0.1353, -0.1137, -0.1038, -0.0919, -0.0898, -0.0936, -0.1218, -0.1218, -0.1312, -0.1198, -0.1053, -0.0741, -0.0597, -0.0455, -0.0093, -0.0151, -0.0135, -0.0057, 0.0, 0.0028, 0.0251, 0.0107, 0.0403, 0.0788, 0.0712, 0.0557, 0.0431, 0.0426, 0.0657, 0.1008, 0.0994, 0.115, 0.1539, 0.122, 0.162, 0.1443, 0.071, 0.1558, 0.1293, 0.1627, 0.1442, 0.126, 0.136, 0.1238, 0.1023, 0.1094, 0.1255, 0.1381, 0.1506, 0.1642, 0.1571, 0.1464, 0.1633, 0.1221, 0.1205, 0.1037, 0.0933, 0.1267, 0.1111, 0.109, 0.0769, 0.0869, 0.0761, 0.0605, 0.0775, 0.0589, 0.0496, 0.0862, 0.0863, 0.1065, 0.1065, 0.1124, 0.0978, 0.1146, 0.1274, 0.1178, 0.1246, 0.1519, 0.1578, 0.1835, 0.1664, 0.1174, 0.101, 0.0976, 0.0597, 0.0892, 0.1056, 0.1222, 0.1362, 0.1433, 0.1433, 0.1587, 0.1514, 0.1463, 0.1628, 0.1628, 0.2229, 0.233, 0.2528, 0.2193, 0.2168, 0.2383, 0.2694, 0.2673, 0.2516, 0.3072, 0.3101, 0.3101, 0.2518, 0.2478, 0.2526, 0.2813, 0.273, 0.2946, 0.3097, 0.2992, 0.2648, 0.3061, 0.2847, 0.2464, 0.2654, 0.3348, 0.3599, 0.3847, 0.4314, 0.4084, 0.4018, 0.4018, 0.3935, 0.3861, 0.3789, 0.4178, 0.4159, 0.476, 0.4835, 0.4418, 0.4332, 0.4123, 0.3512, 0.3676, 0.3539, 0.2967, 0.3342, 0.328, 0.3566]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1968054549245296871", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-09-16T20:49:03+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS I'd just assume there's going to be a giant catalyst to $200+ in a year or two from revenue growth + forward potential", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "5-year highest-conviction longs: RKLB > BTC > TSM; also bullish NBIS to $200+ in 1-2 years on revenue growth catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@junyongisusing1 If I had a 5 year timeframe it would be $RKLB then $BTC then $TSM in terms of highest conviction. \n\nThis list is just my best guess on return potential from highest to lowest in the next few months.\n\n---\n\nStuff like $NBIS I'd just assume there's going to be a giant catalyst to $200+ in a year or two from revenue growth + forward potential. \n\nThen it might end up like $SMCI in 2-3 years when things settle down with high revenue, lower margins, but  inventory risk and profit growth once all the big tech deploys their own chips with $TSM + $AVGO.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.017108339193512512, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.017108339193512512, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01572964823646794, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.013058311442864845, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0013786909570445705, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004050027750647667, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.051995991390036744, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.051995991390036744, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05323842668258538, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04938033763230254, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012424352925486382, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0026156537577342043, "ret_p1w": 0.20541208413166978, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.20541208413166978, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.19776246170255107, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.20285578691908035, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007649622429118708, "bench_c_p1w": 0.002556297212589431, "ret_p1m": 0.4070222677140285, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4070222677140285, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.39639488545487045, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.42995112249092693, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010627382259158047, "bench_c_p1m": -0.022928854776898433, "ret_p3m": -0.01945653424837157, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.01945653424837157, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.055290095296225084, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.006264558343098137, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03583356104785351, "bench_c_p3m": -0.013191975905273434, "ret_p6m": 0.2523202769138344, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2523202769138344, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.22170043021777786, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2584952429756082, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030619846696056552, "bench_c_p6m": -0.006174966061773812, "price_path": [-0.4597, -0.4636, -0.4691, -0.4295, -0.4575, -0.4118, -0.4203, -0.3813, -0.4374, -0.4412, -0.4381, -0.4381, -0.4651, -0.4733, -0.4851, -0.4808, -0.5046, -0.4191, -0.4014, -0.4039, -0.3996, -0.4097, -0.4144, -0.4296, -0.4199, -0.4168, -0.4256, -0.4102, -0.4364, -0.4265, -0.3914, -0.4185, -0.3943, -0.3831, -0.384, -0.2697, -0.2309, -0.2146, -0.1577, -0.2102, -0.2345, -0.1992, -0.1889, -0.2487, -0.2456, -0.26, -0.2287, -0.217, -0.2119, -0.2161, -0.1945, -0.2361, -0.2361, -0.2651, -0.2659, -0.2742, -0.2679, -0.2837, 0.0703, 0.0443, -0.0027, 0.011, 0.0171, 0.0, 0.052, 0.0524, 0.1105, 0.192, 0.2054, 0.2661, 0.207, 0.2043, 0.2325, 0.2554, 0.2927, 0.4075, 0.4311, 0.3971, 0.3161, 0.3642, 0.4832, 0.449, 0.5147, 0.433, 0.407, 0.3758, 0.2685, 0.2188, 0.1661, 0.1028, 0.1871, 0.3112, 0.4025, 0.3623, 0.3989, 0.3886, 0.4628, 0.3471, 0.2361, 0.3083, 0.2238, 0.2443, 0.2295, 0.143, 0.0551, -0.0089, -0.0659, -0.0386, 0.0124, 0.0631, -0.0536, -0.069, 0.0276, -0.0062, 0.0588, 0.0588, 0.0608, 0.1199, 0.0785, 0.1061, 0.1495, 0.0963, 0.1219, 0.078, 0.0465, 0.0542, -0.0195, -0.0927, -0.0948, -0.1563, -0.1268, 0.0003, 0.0425, 0.0067, 0.019, 0.019, -0.0206, -0.0379, -0.0476, -0.064, -0.064, 0.0058, 0.038, 0.1209, 0.0758, 0.088, 0.095, 0.2002, 0.1789, 0.1403, 0.1616, 0.2158, 0.2158, 0.1103, 0.1056, 0.083, 0.0567, 0.0227, 0.0944, 0.123, 0.0613, -0.0474, -0.0142, 0.0058, -0.0787, -0.174, -0.0372, 0.0386, 0.0264, -0.0092, 0.0034, 0.0959, 0.0959, 0.0905, 0.1383, 0.2033, 0.0949, 0.125, 0.147, 0.1866, 0.1728, 0.0197, 0.0177, -0.0294, 0.0934, 0.0696, -0.0011, 0.0616, 0.0783, 0.2523]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1964086425445691848", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-05T22:01:09+00:00", "symbol": "UPWK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Their stock is incredibly undervalued and all management needs to do is cut out bloat to reach $25", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long UPWK: stock deeply undervalued, margin expansion + $100M buybacks could take it to $25.", "resolved_tickers": ["UPWK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@triforcerytp People turn to freelancing, so positive, unless it’s a major recession. \n\nEven if revenue drops, $UPWK just needs to increase profit margins.\n\nTheir stock is incredibly undervalued and  all management needs to do is cut out bloat to reach $25. $100m in buybacks helps too.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What do you think about the cooling job market's effect on UPWK?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "triforcerytp", "ret_m1d": 0.03644225652412758, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03644225652412758, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03353750551969936, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03353750551969936, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0029047510044282188, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0029047510044282188, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01420633034735308, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01420633034735308, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016663062690772112, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016663062690772112, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0024567323434190325, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0024567323434190325, "ret_p1w": 0.041383573452299816, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.041383573452299816, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.025670681232694115, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.025670681232694115, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0157128922196057, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0157128922196057, "ret_p1m": 0.07473743326488957, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07473743326488957, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03420833948843072, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03420833948843072, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04052909377645886, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04052909377645886, "ret_p3m": 0.2186534213344773, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2186534213344773, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1590987981023846, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1590987981023846, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05955462323209271, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05955462323209271, "ret_p6m": -0.18962325801289626, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.18962325801289626, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2561779469594647, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2561779469594647, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06655468894656846, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06655468894656846, "price_path": [-0.0513, -0.1001, -0.1062, -0.1458, -0.1519, -0.1624, -0.1736, -0.1736, -0.1884, -0.1927, -0.1767, -0.1736, -0.1618, -0.1581, -0.1699, -0.1649, -0.1686, -0.1575, -0.1575, -0.1692, -0.1662, -0.1538, -0.1717, -0.202, -0.1995, -0.2014, -0.1773, -0.1723, -0.1828, -0.1736, -0.155, -0.1489, -0.1828, -0.1902, -0.2057, -0.2187, -0.2545, -0.2613, -0.2742, -0.2563, -0.2662, -0.2619, -0.1612, -0.1865, -0.1717, -0.1557, -0.1297, -0.1538, -0.1476, -0.1359, -0.1439, -0.1223, -0.0865, -0.0784, -0.0791, -0.0679, -0.0859, -0.0791, -0.0494, -0.0494, -0.0142, 0.0161, 0.0364, 0.0, -0.0142, -0.0117, -0.0173, 0.0111, 0.0414, 0.0371, 0.0562, 0.1204, 0.2106, 0.2397, 0.1939, 0.2143, 0.2304, 0.1921, 0.1828, 0.1742, 0.147, 0.0939, 0.1217, 0.0667, 0.0747, 0.0556, 0.1032, 0.0766, 0.0377, 0.0562, 0.0463, 0.0383, 0.034, 0.0006, 0.0296, 0.029, -0.0111, -0.0043, -0.0117, -0.0043, 0.0729, 0.0426, 0.0074, -0.0154, -0.0346, 0.0933, 0.0117, -0.0025, 0.0778, 0.0871, 0.1087, 0.0525, 0.0531, 0.0179, 0.0, 0.055, 0.1217, 0.0599, 0.1038, 0.1458, 0.2162, 0.2094, 0.2094, 0.2193, 0.2279, 0.2681, 0.2187, 0.2094, 0.2403, 0.2279, 0.2959, 0.265, 0.3539, 0.3558, 0.3206, 0.3243, 0.2471, 0.2644, 0.2724, 0.315, 0.286, 0.2952, 0.2952, 0.2878, 0.2539, 0.2075, 0.2242, 0.2242, 0.2254, 0.2736, 0.252, 0.2884, 0.2613, 0.2384, 0.26, 0.2508, 0.2415, 0.2446, 0.2273, 0.2273, 0.2038, 0.2162, 0.3051, 0.3657, 0.3508, 0.3156, 0.2668, 0.2983, 0.2372, 0.2322, 0.1272, 0.0531, 0.1007, 0.1692, 0.1606, -0.0605, -0.1044, -0.1902, -0.1828, -0.1828, -0.2119, -0.1519, -0.1773, -0.1865, -0.2273, -0.1958, -0.1983, -0.1445, -0.1711, -0.1896]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1979201376115921139", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-17T15:02:34+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Personally added $300K in call leaps at this level, 10% drop is a huge buying opportunity imo", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Added $300K in call leaps on NBIS; views 10% drop as a major buying opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Fire sale $NBIS\n\nPersonally added $300K in call leaps at this level, 10% drop is a huge buying opportunity imo. https://t.co/EYYmETApmP", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "We are 12 days away from a rate cut (94.1% odds). MMs enjoy times like these to cleanse the option chain. \n\nIn terms of levels I’m personally looking out for larger sized leveraged trades:\n\n$NBIS - $105-$110\n$TSM - $170-$175\n$BTC - ~&lt;$100K\n$RKlB - $35-$40\n$ALAB - $100-$120\n_ https://t.co/JnuHLd8zMM", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.08462621886031485, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08462621886031485, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0902705730832929, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.09132538239345689, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005644354222978043, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0066991635331420385, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.039139653965536425, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.039139653965536425, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04954012936515806, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05044987019660496, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010400475399621634, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011310216231068537, "ret_p1w": 0.033674185583672855, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.033674185583672855, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01431811481476264, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.028367095940674547, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.019356070768910216, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005307089642998308, "ret_p1m": -0.24206627726983898, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.24206627726983898, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.24399278397695, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.20935347611561617, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.001926506707111031, "bench_c_p1m": -0.032712801154222815, "ret_p3m": -0.10102255675101868, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.10102255675101868, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1431813825021272, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11909807305190456, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04215882575110852, "bench_c_p3m": 0.018075516300885885, "ret_p6m": 0.3624823186902406, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3624823186902406, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.32392576113931737, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3570942618932518, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.03855655755092324, "bench_c_p6m": 0.005388056796988838, "price_path": [-0.5503, -0.5427, -0.5402, -0.5472, -0.535, -0.5557, -0.5479, -0.5202, -0.5416, -0.5225, -0.5137, -0.5144, -0.4243, -0.3937, -0.3808, -0.3359, -0.3774, -0.3965, -0.3687, -0.3605, -0.4077, -0.4052, -0.4166, -0.3919, -0.3828, -0.3787, -0.3821, -0.365, -0.3977, -0.3977, -0.4207, -0.4213, -0.4278, -0.4229, -0.4353, -0.1562, -0.1767, -0.2138, -0.203, -0.1982, -0.2117, -0.1707, -0.1703, -0.1246, -0.0603, -0.0497, -0.0019, -0.0485, -0.0506, -0.0284, -0.0103, 0.0191, 0.1096, 0.1282, 0.1014, 0.0376, 0.0755, 0.1693, 0.1423, 0.1941, 0.1297, 0.1092, 0.0846, 0.0, -0.0391, -0.0807, -0.1306, -0.0642, 0.0337, 0.1057, 0.074, 0.1028, 0.0947, 0.1532, 0.062, -0.0256, 0.0314, -0.0353, -0.019, -0.0308, -0.0989, -0.1682, -0.2187, -0.2636, -0.2421, -0.2019, -0.1619, -0.2539, -0.266, -0.1899, -0.2165, -0.1653, -0.1653, -0.1637, -0.1172, -0.1498, -0.128, -0.0938, -0.1358, -0.1156, -0.1501, -0.175, -0.1689, -0.227, -0.2847, -0.2864, -0.3349, -0.3116, -0.2114, -0.1782, -0.2064, -0.1967, -0.1967, -0.2279, -0.2415, -0.2492, -0.2621, -0.2621, -0.2071, -0.1817, -0.1164, -0.1519, -0.1423, -0.1367, -0.0539, -0.0706, -0.101, -0.0842, -0.0415, -0.0415, -0.1247, -0.1284, -0.1462, -0.167, -0.1938, -0.1373, -0.1147, -0.1633, -0.249, -0.2228, -0.2071, -0.2737, -0.3488, -0.241, -0.1812, -0.1908, -0.2189, -0.209, -0.136, -0.136, -0.1403, -0.1026, -0.0514, -0.1368, -0.1131, -0.0957, -0.0645, -0.0755, -0.1961, -0.1977, -0.2348, -0.138, -0.1568, -0.2125, -0.1631, -0.1499, -0.0127, -0.0476, -0.0043, 0.1447, 0.0255, 0.0451, 0.0712, 0.0368, 0.0063, 0.013, 0.0145, -0.0658, -0.1112, -0.1867, -0.0853, -0.1013, -0.0407, -0.0407, -0.0079, 0.0349, 0.1019, 0.2018, 0.2779, 0.3625]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2005999653045862540", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-30T13:49:21+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I did $AXTI calls furthest date I could go out. I would have done 2027 strikes if they existed.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Holds long-dated AXTI calls as safer leveraged long; would extend to 2027 if available, limiting downside vs outright shares on China export-restriction risk.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yeah that's a huge reason why I did $AXTI calls furthest date I could go out. I would have done 2027 strikes if they existed. \n\nIf China restricts exports, it might get nuked, and you would lose like $1M in shares vs $100k in calls.  \n\nSo this is one of the very, very rare times Calls are actually safer then shares.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Since $AXTI has geopolitical risk and can essentially go to zero whenever China wants, it seems like calls are the way to play it, no?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "FrontRangeHQ", "ret_m1d": -0.07658227997088995, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07658227997088995, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07780487361546973, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07905948649570971, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012225936445797725, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002477206524819753, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03481013823388324, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03481013823388324, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04221910560727393, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.043562973820986506, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.007408967373390696, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00875283558710327, "ret_p1w": 0.27658226789906326, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.27658226789906326, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2695955603533693, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.20966972015208563, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006986707545693971, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06691254774697764, "ret_p1m": 0.0651898557302033, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0651898557302033, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.052948507691537916, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08157188405819715, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01224134803866539, "bench_c_p1m": 0.14676173978840046, "ret_p3m": 2.8373417934304035, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.8373417934304035, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.9118506090396923, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.807229760965231, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0745088156092889, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03011203246517291, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7025, -0.6753, -0.6582, -0.6639, -0.6639, -0.669, -0.7449, -0.7089, -0.7108, -0.7095, -0.688, -0.7146, -0.6892, -0.6728, -0.6873, -0.6722, -0.6165, -0.6082, -0.5823, -0.5525, -0.5367, -0.4968, -0.4646, -0.4595, -0.4241, -0.4386, -0.4013, -0.3392, -0.3316, -0.3051, -0.3392, -0.3392, -0.3513, -0.3734, -0.3601, -0.4019, -0.4348, -0.4089, -0.4158, -0.3386, -0.3386, -0.3228, -0.3171, -0.2557, -0.2734, -0.2342, -0.2671, -0.1956, -0.0532, -0.0184, 0.0367, -0.0627, -0.0614, -0.1772, -0.2177, -0.1133, -0.0728, -0.0367, -0.0734, -0.05, -0.05, -0.0272, -0.0766, 0.0, 0.0348, 0.0348, 0.0608, 0.0551, 0.2766, 0.5259, 0.6348, 0.4551, 0.4076, 0.3614, 0.3987, 0.6278, 0.3981, 0.3981, 0.3551, 0.2519, 0.1342, 0.1013, 0.1266, 0.0886, 0.0652, 0.0367, 0.1734, 0.3253, 0.2494, 0.1867, 0.293, 0.5228, 0.7576, 0.5411, 0.6962, 0.569, 0.5342, 0.5342, 0.469, 0.4899, 0.507, 0.8785, 0.7994, 1.2203, 1.593, 1.3494, 1.3987, 1.9316, 1.643, 1.4766, 1.4557, 1.0487, 1.4405, 1.8038, 1.9975, 1.9576, 2.0924, 2.0627, 1.8076, 2.0861, 2.6766, 2.4329, 3.0785, 3.3316, 3.2627, 2.7032, 2.8373, 2.3373, 2.6063, 1.9835, 2.3443, 2.3443, 1.6576, 1.8772, 2.3658, 2.9949, 3.062, 3.2057, 3.2595, 2.9829, 4.1759, 4.2253, 3.9848, 3.7449, 4.5025, 3.7639, 3.8203, 3.4399, 3.3487, 3.4981, 4.0139, 5.0759, 5.7089, 5.807, 5.6348, 5.862, 6.3646, 6.9627, 6.7785, 6.7177, 6.2772, 6.8342, 5.7013, 6.1443, 5.6209, 6.6595, 7.9133, 7.9133, 7.3924, 6.7703, 6.3228, 5.5291, 5.5291, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1994132289517912347", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-27T19:52:41+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have strong conviction that my thesis is directionally correct in the longer run", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Holds NBIS with high conviction that thesis plays out longer-term despite recent weakness.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Happy Thanksgiving Kohai! I will always appreciate the fridge printout you made.\n\nSorry markets haven’t been to friendly to a lot of the stocks like $NBIS in the past month. I always feel really bad if I post about something and it goes below my cost average too. But I have strong conviction that my thesis is directionally correct in the longer run.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Happy Thanksgiving, Senpai!\n\nI've been thinking about this recently, so perfect timing on the write-up. Thanks for all you do!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Neat_Lama", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0019009430830585483, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0019009430830585483, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0035574632555563923, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00622422630590691, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005458406338614941, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008125169388965459, "ret_p1w": 0.08564790792322552, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08564790792322552, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07871824252335347, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07402809323810788, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006929665399872054, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011619814685117635, "ret_p1m": -0.0749815811643798, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0749815811643798, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09362234586868434, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10898401768209143, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018640764704304535, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03400243651771162, "ret_p3m": 0.08332452409145019, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08332452409145019, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0690516585030807, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06518662201906844, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014272865588369488, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01813790207238175, "ret_p6m": 1.2681381216075018, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.2681381216075018, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.1648459096533572, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.2529063304181431, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10329221195414462, "bench_c_p6m": 0.01523179118935869, "price_path": [-0.2785, -0.3059, -0.3067, -0.3145, -0.3086, -0.3235, 0.0109, -0.0137, -0.0581, -0.0452, -0.0394, -0.0555, -0.0064, -0.006, 0.0488, 0.1258, 0.1385, 0.1958, 0.1399, 0.1374, 0.164, 0.1857, 0.2209, 0.3293, 0.3516, 0.3195, 0.243, 0.2884, 0.4008, 0.3685, 0.4306, 0.3534, 0.3289, 0.2994, 0.198, 0.1511, 0.1013, 0.0415, 0.1211, 0.2384, 0.3246, 0.2866, 0.3212, 0.3114, 0.3816, 0.2723, 0.1674, 0.2356, 0.1558, 0.1752, 0.1612, 0.0795, -0.0035, -0.064, -0.1178, -0.092, -0.0438, 0.004, -0.1061, -0.1207, -0.0295, -0.0614, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0019, 0.0577, 0.0186, 0.0447, 0.0856, 0.0354, 0.0596, 0.0182, -0.0116, -0.0043, -0.0739, -0.1431, -0.1451, -0.2032, -0.1753, -0.0552, -0.0154, -0.0492, -0.0376, -0.0376, -0.075, -0.0914, -0.1005, -0.116, -0.116, -0.0501, -0.0196, 0.0586, 0.0161, 0.0276, 0.0342, 0.1335, 0.1134, 0.077, 0.0971, 0.1483, 0.1483, 0.0486, 0.0441, 0.0228, -0.002, -0.0341, 0.0336, 0.0606, 0.0023, -0.1003, -0.069, -0.0501, -0.1299, -0.2199, -0.0907, -0.0191, -0.0306, -0.0642, -0.0524, 0.0351, 0.0351, 0.0299, 0.0751, 0.1364, 0.0341, 0.0625, 0.0833, 0.1207, 0.1076, -0.037, -0.0389, -0.0833, 0.0326, 0.0101, -0.0566, 0.0026, 0.0184, 0.1828, 0.141, 0.1928, 0.3713, 0.2285, 0.2521, 0.2833, 0.2422, 0.2055, 0.2135, 0.2154, 0.1191, 0.0647, -0.0257, 0.0958, 0.0767, 0.1492, 0.1492, 0.1885, 0.2398, 0.3201, 0.4398, 0.531, 0.6323, 0.7102, 0.7612, 0.7461, 0.6595, 0.6809, 0.6533, 0.649, 0.6589, 0.5541, 0.5309, 0.4311, 0.4911, 0.4598, 0.6315, 0.8631, 0.8579, 1.0603, 0.9513, 0.8698, 0.9654, 0.8915, 1.1889, 1.3355, 1.3227, 1.1107, 1.0882, 1.0258, 1.3226, 1.2681]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2008240303220892044", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-05T18:12:54+00:00", "symbol": "GDRZF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I think I'm holding $GDRZF, just in case", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holding GDRZF on $360M cap vs $1.1B awarded claim + potential 45% stake in major gold/copper deposit.", "resolved_tickers": ["GDRZF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Gold'", "bench_c_industry": "Gold", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@thgstar2 uhh, it's a $360M marketcap. And they literally have an awarded $1.1B claim already but Venezuela didn't pay.\n\nThen there's another one for 45% control over the Siembra Minera, one of the largest gold/copper deposits in the world.\n\nI think I'm holding $GDRZF, just in case.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I’m in Gold Reserve, got lucky because it trades at my German broker so I could buy way before US open … Still a hold for you?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "thgstar2", "ret_m1d": -0.4814814991966251, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.4814814991966251, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.4748654490276998, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.4716059632123216, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006616050168925303, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009875535984303463, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04938274239498086, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04938274239498086, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04343555902189156, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02963183494597743, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005947183373089304, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01975090744900343, "ret_p1w": 0.2006173127945048, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2006173127945048, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1897989530239057, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15896859932957885, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010818359770599084, "bench_c_p1w": 0.041648713464925935, "ret_p1m": 0.0030864168005624304, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0030864168005624304, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.00045446689544603736, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08536351733401437, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.002631949905116393, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0884499341345768, "ret_p3m": 0.24814819039195202, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.24814819039195202, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.29191438033232353, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1611113151325252, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.043766189940371514, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08703687525942683, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5309, -0.5247, -0.5278, -0.5772, -0.517, -0.5247, -0.534, -0.5407, -0.5525, -0.5432, -0.5926, -0.5679, -0.5741, -0.5679, -0.5278, -0.537, -0.5154, -0.534, -0.4969, -0.4846, -0.4494, -0.4722, -0.5185, -0.5216, -0.5525, -0.5525, -0.5525, -0.5679, -0.5802, -0.5988, -0.6296, -0.6389, -0.6451, -0.5679, -0.5741, -0.608, -0.608, -0.612, -0.5802, -0.608, -0.5432, -0.5216, -0.5062, -0.5494, -0.5525, -0.5123, -0.5432, -0.5309, -0.5525, -0.5525, -0.487, -0.5093, -0.463, -0.5123, -0.4969, -0.5062, -0.5062, -0.4722, -0.5031, -0.4907, -0.4799, -0.4799, -0.4815, 0.0, 0.0494, 0.1235, 0.179, 0.2253, 0.2006, 0.1821, 0.1944, 0.1944, 0.2235, 0.2235, 0.2469, 0.25, 0.2407, 0.2346, 0.2006, 0.2191, 0.2346, 0.216, 0.1728, 0.1111, 0.0031, -0.0309, -0.071, -0.071, -0.0309, 0.0259, 0.0494, 0.1235, 0.1358, 0.1358, 0.1265, 0.1512, 0.1543, 0.142, 0.1636, 0.1543, 0.1784, 0.2037, 0.2191, 0.2099, 0.1481, 0.1883, 0.2963, 0.5123, 0.5988, 0.6852, 0.716, 0.608, 0.4815, 0.4815, 0.358, 0.3426, 0.3549, 0.3889, 0.3642, 0.2438, 0.287, 0.2685, 0.2438, 0.2377, 0.2346, 0.2685, 0.2481, 0.2481, 0.2654, 0.2346, 0.2395, 0.2901, 0.3272, 0.287, 0.2988, 0.3426, 0.3117, 0.2963, 0.3287, 0.2994, 0.2809, 0.2346, 0.2398, 0.2404, 0.2346, 0.2037, 0.2191, 0.2315, 0.2623, 0.4043, 0.537, 0.463, 0.5679, 0.5432, 0.4259, 0.3858, 0.3951, 0.5093, 0.4691, 0.4969, 0.5401, 0.4969, 0.4352, 0.4352, 0.4352, 0.4352, 0.4167, 0.4568, 0.4568, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2011725997096518098", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-15T09:03:48+00:00", "symbol": "LPTH", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "you have a pure play contractor that involves majority of US defense contractors and addresses the China bottleneck at $700m", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish LPTH as undervalued pure-play defense contractor with broad US defense exposure and China supply-chain relevance at $700M vs KRKNF's $2B+ for single-customer Anduril exposure.", "resolved_tickers": ["LPTH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Kowalski_Mark_ @pennycheck Appreciate the source on Andruil being a customer of $LPTH.\n\nIt’s interesting ppl buy $KRKNF for single customer exposure in Andruil at $2b+. \n\nBut you have a pure play contractor that involves majority of US defense contractors and addresses the China bottleneck at $700m", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @pennycheck Anduril - Key Customer \n\npage 47 - https://t.co/rz5UO6kXl7", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Kowalski_Mark_", "ret_m1d": 0.0045557680785728305, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0045557680785728305, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00727158671868311, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00727158671868311, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002715818640110279, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002715818640110279, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04555811526149722, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04555811526149722, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04472024127060181, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04472024127060181, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0008378739908954103, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0008378739908954103, "ret_p1w": 0.08807895525377507, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08807895525377507, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09278827212610119, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09278827212610119, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004709316872326119, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004709316872326119, "ret_p1m": -0.12528470835017536, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12528470835017536, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11013100970720058, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11013100970720058, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.015153698642974778, "bench_c_p1m": -0.015153698642974778, "ret_p3m": 0.08504175239718381, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08504175239718381, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07909494240988857, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07909494240988857, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.005946809987295243, "bench_c_p3m": 0.005946809987295243, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3371, -0.3698, -0.4419, -0.3941, -0.3584, -0.3591, -0.3591, -0.3774, -0.3713, -0.3409, -0.3804, -0.4282, -0.4055, -0.4214, -0.4146, -0.4093, -0.3895, -0.4404, -0.4943, -0.4913, -0.4837, -0.4814, -0.4897, -0.5308, -0.5285, -0.4844, -0.4753, -0.4746, -0.4746, -0.4419, -0.4556, -0.3986, -0.366, -0.3151, -0.3318, -0.3364, -0.3318, -0.3303, -0.3075, -0.385, -0.4313, -0.4434, -0.4776, -0.4548, -0.4199, -0.3523, -0.3386, -0.3144, -0.3144, -0.3151, -0.2187, -0.1982, -0.18, -0.18, -0.1101, -0.1124, -0.1253, -0.0737, -0.041, -0.063, -0.0896, -0.1147, 0.0046, 0.0, -0.0456, -0.0456, 0.063, 0.0357, 0.0881, -0.0554, -0.2232, -0.1458, -0.1435, -0.1276, -0.2088, -0.2027, -0.1731, -0.2863, -0.3121, -0.1982, -0.1397, -0.164, -0.2202, -0.0524, -0.1253, -0.1253, -0.1511, -0.1465, 0.0326, -0.0888, -0.1496, -0.0896, -0.1063, -0.1541, -0.208, -0.0881, -0.0904, -0.104, -0.1397, -0.1595, -0.1579, -0.1595, -0.1731, -0.167, -0.202, -0.1648, -0.0896, -0.1139, -0.1276, -0.2005, -0.1314, -0.0987, -0.0926, -0.1655, -0.2794, -0.2931, -0.2384, -0.224, -0.1663, -0.1663, -0.1276, -0.1678, -0.1207, -0.0767, -0.0258, 0.0942, 0.085, 0.0645, 0.1329, 0.0752, 0.0858, 0.0774, 0.1124, 0.1101, 0.2217, 0.0623, -0.0357, -0.0744, -0.0273, 0.0402, -0.0638, -0.0812, -0.0228, -0.0866, -0.126, -0.0266, -0.0729, -0.0797, -0.0774, -0.1253, -0.0554, 0.0539, 0.0364, 0.0843, 0.287, 0.287, 0.2331, 0.3371, 0.3781, 0.2893, 0.2893, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2007113531158908939", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-02T15:35:30+00:00", "symbol": "AIRO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "solid cash position, attractive vertical, drop based on differed revenue not cancelled, low market cap presents good upside. It shouldn't trade like a distressed company because of cash position + just deferred rev.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AIRO: solid $68.8M net cash, 2.1x EV/revenue vs peers, deferred not cancelled revenue, and drone vertical premium justify re-rating from distressed levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["AIRO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Looking @ $AIRO from the fund/vertical not the exec team. For example, @chamath was frowned upon until he got that 20B Groq exit. Or Saylor was a meme until $MSTR pulled off a heist. It does make a large difference, but it's not everything. \n\nIn terms of $AIRO / $ONDS, especially with Russia/Ukraine conflicts + NATO + DoD funneling money into drone segments, the vertical should command a premium (but Airo, trades like it's distressed).\n\nThe RQ-35 Heidrun IP, seemed extremely interesting for GPS-denied environments. But they have a ton of misc companies like training that are just side quests.  \n\nSo similar to $SMCI, there was also backlog delays with caused the crash in Airo (the $6.3M vs $23.7M miss). But the $20m drone shipments was just shifted not cancelled. \n\nNet cash is $68.8M which is extremely solid given its mini $250m MC, and it trades at 2.1x EV to revenue, compared to others like $AVAV at 9.4x. I think $ONDS was like 20-30 off the top of my head. \n\nSo TLDR: solid cash position, attractive vertical, drop based on differed revenue not cancelled, low market cap presents good upside. \n\nIt shouldn't trade like a distressed company because of cash position + just deferred rev.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit You need to drop $AIRO, should  look into the history of their executive team, is a big no go for me. \n\nChirinjeev Kathuria and Mariya Pylypiv specifically. The helped found UPHealth which literally cratered and had to go into bankruptcy. They were forced out and then sued by the", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Para_Capital", "ret_m1d": -0.11471855976183742, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11471855976183742, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11288887391524216, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09661498014286418, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018296858465952637, "bench_c_m1d": -0.018103579618973242, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09523810998259652, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09523810998259652, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08857799616653339, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08340116152851706, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006660113816063129, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011836948454079455, "ret_p1w": 0.3517316104442616, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.3517316104442616, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.33577659577559915, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.3267285279308252, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01595501466866245, "bench_c_p1w": 0.025003082513436414, "ret_p1m": 0.08766238524686432, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08766238524686432, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06974590506649014, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02721170580085075, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017916480180374172, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06045067944601357, "ret_p3m": -0.1103895594540607, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1103895594540607, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07212597647336416, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15414207231998267, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03826358298069654, "bench_c_p3m": 0.043752512865921966, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [1.1629, 1.1461, 1.0649, 0.9643, 1.0076, 1.1732, 1.1115, 1.0346, 0.8939, 0.9773, 0.9459, 0.8506, 0.8669, 0.8918, 0.8755, 0.8203, 0.8182, 0.7695, 0.7706, 0.7619, 0.5444, 0.5363, 0.4199, 0.4578, 0.4935, 0.4751, 0.447, 0.3799, 0.0931, 0.118, 0.0671, -0.04, -0.1494, -0.1353, -0.1483, -0.1515, -0.1082, -0.1082, -0.0639, -0.1136, -0.1039, -0.053, 0.0379, 0.026, 0.0509, 0.039, 0.0525, 0.0498, -0.0801, -0.1385, -0.1677, -0.1981, -0.197, -0.131, -0.0152, -0.0043, 0.0119, 0.0119, -0.0541, -0.1017, -0.118, -0.1147, -0.1147, 0.0, 0.0952, 0.2067, 0.1623, 0.2933, 0.3517, 0.3506, 0.3939, 0.4318, 0.4286, 0.447, 0.447, 0.3777, 0.3171, 0.3561, 0.3193, 0.2392, 0.2662, 0.2284, 0.1818, 0.1136, 0.0877, 0.1028, 0.0335, -0.0823, 0.0433, 0.0931, 0.0314, -0.0032, -0.0141, -0.0043, -0.0043, -0.0097, 0.013, 0.105, 0.0076, 0.0444, 0.0898, 0.0714, 0.1006, 0.0606, 0.158, 0.0887, 0.0909, 0.1082, 0.0909, 0.1418, 0.1613, 0.1364, 0.1006, 0.0595, 0.0898, 0.1494, 0.0801, 0.0779, -0.0065, 0.0552, 0.0281, 0.0195, -0.0195, -0.0714, -0.0725, -0.1769, -0.1104, -0.0574, -0.0574, -0.053, -0.0541, -0.0455, -0.1255, -0.1472, -0.1494, -0.1255, -0.0952, -0.0639, -0.1266, -0.0703, -0.0909, -0.0584, -0.1071, -0.1418, -0.1104, -0.1385, -0.1883, -0.1732, -0.197, -0.2165, -0.2262, -0.1959, -0.2186, -0.2056, -0.1418, -0.1526, -0.1526, -0.2841, -0.3106, -0.3496, -0.3669, -0.3528, -0.3225, -0.29, -0.29, -0.2424, -0.211, -0.0379, -0.0281, -0.0281, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1976075724789514306", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-09T00:02:21+00:00", "symbol": "FLY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Market cap was good, and I like it", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on FLY; military/Northrop contracts, reusable rockets, favorable market cap.", "resolved_tickers": ["FLY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I go through tons of companies every day. I was looking at $DFLI, $83M marketcap Lithium Battery company that just raised $28.75M at the current share price (which is bullish).\n\nTyped in fly, found $FLY. Looked at it, and they have contracts with Northrop Grumman, military contracts,  and were building medium-lift reusable rockets.\n\nMarket cap was good, and I like it", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit How do you find these so quick! Partially joking, but your analysis on these are excellent and I want to say again how much we appreciate the effort.\n\nI’ve still just been scalping $NBIS because it’s simple, and I can DCA if ever came down further. I’m up 22% because of you!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Bobbydoo8", "ret_m1d": 0.03127081007179089, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03127081007179089, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.028365384650763437, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.028365384650763437, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002905425421027452, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002905425421027452, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05655352248149237, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05655352248149237, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02952569458240273, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02952569458240273, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.02702782789908964, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02702782789908964, "ret_p1w": -0.0668662762672082, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0668662762672082, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05119190487595404, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05119190487595404, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01567437139125416, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01567437139125416, "ret_p1m": -0.3433133692007099, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3433133692007099, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3430302164336644, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3430302164336644, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0002831527670454914, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0002831527670454914, "ret_p3m": -0.1200931060259337, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1200931060259337, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1539065399967846, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1539065399967846, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.033813433970850904, "bench_c_p3m": 0.033813433970850904, "ret_p6m": 0.0954757448510628, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0954757448510628, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.11275281943666604, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.11275281943666604, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.017277074585603236, "bench_c_p6m": -0.017277074585603236, "price_path": [null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 1.0077, 0.669, 0.7838, 0.7121, 0.6883, 0.6411, 0.5749, 0.6174, 0.513, 0.506, 0.5393, 0.5339, 0.4879, 0.4987, 0.5645, 0.5685, 0.5093, 0.5093, 0.4714, 0.4764, 0.4245, 0.4182, 0.4232, 0.4817, 0.4228, 0.4295, 0.4554, 0.4591, 0.4587, 0.4424, 0.5043, 0.5037, 0.6474, 0.3952, 0.3493, 0.2528, 0.1969, 0.2295, -0.0246, -0.1128, -0.1084, -0.0895, -0.0323, -0.0539, 0.0313, 0.0, -0.0566, -0.006, 0.001, -0.0153, -0.0669, -0.1231, -0.0978, -0.0625, -0.1271, -0.1364, -0.1045, -0.0855, -0.1427, -0.1667, -0.1866, -0.1929, -0.2089, -0.2399, -0.2515, -0.357, -0.3433, -0.3599, -0.3636, -0.3909, -0.2874, -0.2365, -0.352, -0.3426, -0.354, -0.4371, -0.4418, -0.4391, -0.4232, -0.4202, -0.4202, -0.4108, -0.4408, -0.4045, -0.3829, -0.3273, -0.341, -0.3636, -0.3526, -0.2914, -0.2179, -0.2648, -0.3227, -0.3253, -0.3836, -0.3323, -0.18, -0.0486, -0.1198, -0.1005, -0.1005, -0.2236, -0.2149, -0.2442, -0.2558, -0.2558, -0.2096, -0.1427, -0.1201, -0.0902, -0.0689, 0.0017, 0.0126, -0.0695, -0.0017, -0.0103, 0.1114, 0.1114, 0.0093, -0.0386, 0.0286, -0.0309, -0.1617, -0.0236, -0.0399, -0.0988, -0.1617, -0.2395, -0.1663, -0.188, -0.255, -0.2056, -0.178, -0.2349, -0.3074, -0.3636, -0.358, -0.358, -0.322, -0.2858, -0.2838, -0.3353, -0.3353, -0.3114, -0.323, -0.2838, -0.3589, -0.3041, -0.3061, -0.2881, -0.322, -0.3436, -0.3097, -0.355, -0.3147, -0.2272, -0.2192, -0.2039, -0.1823, -0.2285, -0.2362, -0.2275, -0.2013, -0.2106, -0.0842, -0.1081, -0.2114, -0.2142, -0.0529, -0.01, 0.0955, 0.0955]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1979326152528511459", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-17T23:18:23+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Great time to go long and buy positions IMO after MMs unwind short hedges Monday.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Long NBIS after Monday MM hedge unwind; 10% drop attributed to options mechanics, not fundamentals.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yeah this $NBIS 10% drop was MM hedging + option unwinds (with a mix of retail margin liqudations), not any changes to fundamentals. \n\n-> Lot of people sold puts\n-> Lot of people had calls expiring this week.\n\nYou can see how the stock is completely pinned at $113.5 after hours.\n\nGreat time to go long and buy positions IMO after MMs unwind short hedges Monday.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit sempai, are we going to be okay by EOY? 🥲", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "vicecarloans", "ret_m1d": 0.08462621886031485, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08462621886031485, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0902705730832929, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.09132538239345689, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005644354222978043, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0066991635331420385, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.039139653965536425, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.039139653965536425, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04954012936515806, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05044987019660496, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010400475399621634, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011310216231068537, "ret_p1w": 0.033674185583672855, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.033674185583672855, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01431811481476264, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.028367095940674547, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.019356070768910216, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005307089642998308, "ret_p1m": -0.24206627726983898, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.24206627726983898, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.24399278397695, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.20935347611561617, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.001926506707111031, "bench_c_p1m": -0.032712801154222815, "ret_p3m": -0.10102255675101868, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.10102255675101868, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1431813825021272, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11909807305190456, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04215882575110852, "bench_c_p3m": 0.018075516300885885, "ret_p6m": 0.3624823186902406, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3624823186902406, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.32392576113931737, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3570942618932518, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.03855655755092324, "bench_c_p6m": 0.005388056796988838, "price_path": [-0.5503, -0.5427, -0.5402, -0.5472, -0.535, -0.5557, -0.5479, -0.5202, -0.5416, -0.5225, -0.5137, -0.5144, -0.4243, -0.3937, -0.3808, -0.3359, -0.3774, -0.3965, -0.3687, -0.3605, -0.4077, -0.4052, -0.4166, -0.3919, -0.3828, -0.3787, -0.3821, -0.365, -0.3977, -0.3977, -0.4207, -0.4213, -0.4278, -0.4229, -0.4353, -0.1562, -0.1767, -0.2138, -0.203, -0.1982, -0.2117, -0.1707, -0.1703, -0.1246, -0.0603, -0.0497, -0.0019, -0.0485, -0.0506, -0.0284, -0.0103, 0.0191, 0.1096, 0.1282, 0.1014, 0.0376, 0.0755, 0.1693, 0.1423, 0.1941, 0.1297, 0.1092, 0.0846, 0.0, -0.0391, -0.0807, -0.1306, -0.0642, 0.0337, 0.1057, 0.074, 0.1028, 0.0947, 0.1532, 0.062, -0.0256, 0.0314, -0.0353, -0.019, -0.0308, -0.0989, -0.1682, -0.2187, -0.2636, -0.2421, -0.2019, -0.1619, -0.2539, -0.266, -0.1899, -0.2165, -0.1653, -0.1653, -0.1637, -0.1172, -0.1498, -0.128, -0.0938, -0.1358, -0.1156, -0.1501, -0.175, -0.1689, -0.227, -0.2847, -0.2864, -0.3349, -0.3116, -0.2114, -0.1782, -0.2064, -0.1967, -0.1967, -0.2279, -0.2415, -0.2492, -0.2621, -0.2621, -0.2071, -0.1817, -0.1164, -0.1519, -0.1423, -0.1367, -0.0539, -0.0706, -0.101, -0.0842, -0.0415, -0.0415, -0.1247, -0.1284, -0.1462, -0.167, -0.1938, -0.1373, -0.1147, -0.1633, -0.249, -0.2228, -0.2071, -0.2737, -0.3488, -0.241, -0.1812, -0.1908, -0.2189, -0.209, -0.136, -0.136, -0.1403, -0.1026, -0.0514, -0.1368, -0.1131, -0.0957, -0.0645, -0.0755, -0.1961, -0.1977, -0.2348, -0.138, -0.1568, -0.2125, -0.1631, -0.1499, -0.0127, -0.0476, -0.0043, 0.1447, 0.0255, 0.0451, 0.0712, 0.0368, 0.0063, 0.013, 0.0145, -0.0658, -0.1112, -0.1867, -0.0853, -0.1013, -0.0407, -0.0407, -0.0079, 0.0349, 0.1019, 0.2018, 0.2779, 0.3625]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2002630306944462920", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-21T06:40:46+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "medium-long term I believe $NBIS easily blows past $250 once they achieve management projections in 2026", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long NBIS with $250+ target by 2026 on management projections; author still bullish despite drop from $130 to $75.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yep, you’re correct when I said that $NBIS is an extremely strong buy even at $130 a month ago. I still maintain that today, and would be buying Nebius if it were trading at $125.\n\nI believe the drop to $75 is like the moment when $HOOD dropped to $28 during tariff fears then went to $100+ when retail capitulated.\n\nI do feel extremely guilty if people followed my thesis on Nebius with options that expired this month. I lost a lot of money myself so far on March/May expiry options from the drop.\n\nBut medium-long term I believe $NBIS easily blows past $250 once they achieve management projections in 2026", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $NBIS crashed all the way to $75 after you said it was a \"screaming buy anywhere below $130.\"\n\nThis isn't a criticism of you. I rather like your tweets \n\nIt's just that only God can predict the future.\nNot even the most brilliant traders or investors.\n\n Everything else is .... https://t.co/ammp9HCTs4", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "AgentSaffron", "ret_m1d": -0.040437671744227854, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.040437671744227854, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.034246350728893704, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0360144971672961, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004423174576931754, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03432376340678023, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03432376340678023, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.038894218225213106, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04058125083315256, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006257487426372332, "ret_p1w": -0.07712112176891306, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07712112176891306, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08153089304420058, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08766453342417069, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010543411655257628, "ret_p1m": 0.06500050778066457, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06500050778066457, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07558712246617527, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09234494973203389, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "bench_c_p1m": -0.027344441951369314, "ret_p3m": 0.3034430147752307, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3034430147752307, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.33999226508551617, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3336161785269677, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "bench_c_p3m": -0.030173163751736953, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2145, 0.1578, 0.1552, 0.1822, 0.2042, 0.2401, 0.3501, 0.3727, 0.3401, 0.2625, 0.3086, 0.4227, 0.3899, 0.453, 0.3746, 0.3497, 0.3197, 0.2168, 0.1692, 0.1185, 0.0578, 0.1387, 0.2577, 0.3454, 0.3068, 0.3418, 0.332, 0.4032, 0.2922, 0.1857, 0.255, 0.1739, 0.1936, 0.1793, 0.0964, 0.0121, -0.0493, -0.1039, -0.0778, -0.0289, 0.0197, -0.0921, -0.1069, -0.0143, -0.0467, 0.0157, 0.0157, 0.0176, 0.0742, 0.0345, 0.061, 0.1026, 0.0516, 0.0762, 0.0341, 0.0039, 0.0113, -0.0594, -0.1297, -0.1317, -0.1907, -0.1624, -0.0404, 0.0, -0.0343, -0.0225, -0.0225, -0.0605, -0.0771, -0.0865, -0.1022, -0.1022, -0.0352, -0.0043, 0.0752, 0.032, 0.0437, 0.0504, 0.1512, 0.1309, 0.0939, 0.1143, 0.1663, 0.1663, 0.065, 0.0605, 0.0388, 0.0136, -0.019, 0.0498, 0.0772, 0.018, -0.0862, -0.0544, -0.0352, -0.1163, -0.2077, -0.0765, -0.0038, -0.0154, -0.0496, -0.0375, 0.0513, 0.0513, 0.046, 0.0919, 0.1542, 0.0503, 0.0792, 0.1003, 0.1383, 0.125, -0.0219, -0.0238, -0.069, 0.0488, 0.026, -0.0418, 0.0183, 0.0343, 0.2013, 0.1589, 0.2115, 0.3928, 0.2478, 0.2717, 0.3034, 0.2616, 0.2244, 0.2325, 0.2345, 0.1367, 0.0814, -0.0104, 0.1129, 0.0935, 0.1672, 0.1672, 0.2071, 0.2593, 0.3408, 0.4623, 0.555, 0.6578, 0.737, 0.7888, 0.7735, 0.6855, 0.7072, 0.6792, 0.6748, 0.6849, 0.5785, 0.5549, 0.4535, 0.5144, 0.4827, 0.6571, 0.8923, 0.8869, 1.0926, 0.9819, 0.8991, 0.9961, 0.9212, 1.2232, 1.3721, 1.3591, 1.1437, 1.1209, 1.0575, 1.359, 1.3037, 1.3037, 1.2317, 1.235, 1.4278, 1.4787, 1.4787, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1969569868199707123", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-21T01:10:24+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Now it's pure scaling from here with forward rev compounding hundreds of percent. 25B marketcap does not match forward growth.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS: $17B MSFT contract, $4.1B capex raise, hyperscaler demand, forward rev growth of hundreds of percent not reflected in $25B market cap.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It's not because of a price rally. It's because since then, $NBIS has 17B from $MSFT for multiple years, $4.1B+ now raised for capex last week on good terms, with additional rate cut tailwind projected from 3 days ago.\n\nWe've also seen MSFT be compute strained and OpenAI go to $GOOGL. With other hyperscalers sign deals for more compute and more likely to sign on. \n\nThis all happened recently, before $50 NBIS was speculation and I wouldn't have high conviction in a speculative company unless it was $RKLB. \n\nNow it's pure scaling from here with forward rev compounding hundreds of percent. 25B marketcap does not match forward growth.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Where was your conviction when it was under $50 ?  Everybody is having strong conviction after it reached $90.  TBH, most of them are just attracted by the price rally..", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "walker119298", "ret_m1d": -0.06838650112454847, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06838650112454847, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06367767858332152, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07188632065539091, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0047088225412269535, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0034998195308424407, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011257078750597227, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011257078750597227, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01670064513942604, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012690665647306032, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005443566388828813, "bench_c_p1d": -0.001433586896708805, "ret_p1w": 0.03395875045402419, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03395875045402419, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0386975813257846, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.034211679241166526, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004738830871760413, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0002529287871423369, "ret_p1m": -0.02176359970012043, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02176359970012043, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.028436771240072378, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.005487703476814709, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.00667317153995195, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01627589622330572, "ret_p3m": -0.2674484291212419, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2674484291212419, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.28188952396505595, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24965457165159954, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014441094843814062, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01779385746964235, "ret_p6m": 0.09127583017082053, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.09127583017082053, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08238010911942428, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.11519637919076353, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.008895721051396244, "bench_c_p6m": -0.023920549019943005, "price_path": [-0.5448, -0.5066, -0.5137, -0.481, -0.528, -0.5312, -0.5286, -0.5286, -0.5512, -0.5582, -0.568, -0.5644, -0.5844, -0.5127, -0.4978, -0.4999, -0.4963, -0.5048, -0.5087, -0.5215, -0.5133, -0.5107, -0.5181, -0.5052, -0.5272, -0.5189, -0.4894, -0.5122, -0.4918, -0.4825, -0.4832, -0.3873, -0.3548, -0.3411, -0.2933, -0.3374, -0.3578, -0.3281, -0.3195, -0.3697, -0.3671, -0.3792, -0.3529, -0.3432, -0.3388, -0.3424, -0.3242, -0.3591, -0.3591, -0.3835, -0.3841, -0.3911, -0.3858, -0.3991, -0.1021, -0.1239, -0.1633, -0.1519, -0.1467, -0.1611, -0.1174, -0.1171, -0.0684, 0.0, 0.0113, 0.0622, 0.0126, 0.0103, 0.034, 0.0532, 0.0845, 0.1808, 0.2006, 0.172, 0.1041, 0.1445, 0.2443, 0.2156, 0.2707, 0.2022, 0.1804, 0.1542, 0.0642, 0.0225, -0.0218, -0.0749, -0.0041, 0.1, 0.1766, 0.1429, 0.1735, 0.1649, 0.2272, 0.1301, 0.037, 0.0976, 0.0266, 0.0439, 0.0314, -0.0411, -0.1148, -0.1686, -0.2163, -0.1934, -0.1507, -0.1082, -0.206, -0.2189, -0.1379, -0.1662, -0.1117, -0.1117, -0.11, -0.0605, -0.0952, -0.072, -0.0356, -0.0803, -0.0588, -0.0956, -0.122, -0.1156, -0.1774, -0.2388, -0.2406, -0.2922, -0.2674, -0.1608, -0.1254, -0.1554, -0.1451, -0.1451, -0.1783, -0.1929, -0.201, -0.2148, -0.2148, -0.1562, -0.1292, -0.0597, -0.0975, -0.0872, -0.0813, 0.0068, -0.011, -0.0433, -0.0255, 0.02, 0.02, -0.0686, -0.0725, -0.0915, -0.1135, -0.142, -0.0819, -0.0579, -0.1097, -0.2008, -0.173, -0.1562, -0.2271, -0.307, -0.1923, -0.1287, -0.1389, -0.1688, -0.1583, -0.0806, -0.0806, -0.0852, -0.045, 0.0095, -0.0814, -0.0562, -0.0377, -0.0045, -0.0161, -0.1446, -0.1462, -0.1857, -0.0827, -0.1027, -0.162, -0.1094, -0.0954, 0.0506, 0.0135, 0.0596, 0.2181, 0.0913]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1994580301612552502", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-29T01:32:56+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NVDA is a strong buy. they will likely leapfrog TPU v7 in newer gen chips in due time and their immense backlog provides them near term (2Y) security", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Strong buy NVDA on backlog security (2Y) and expected chip leap over TPU v7; also implicitly bullish GOOGL TPU progress.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yes $NVDA is a strong buy. \n\nHowever to the other viral research posts about $NVDA GPU vs TPU performance, they were falsely comparing older generation TPU v6e to show the current situation on $GOOGL TPU vs $NVDA GPU.\n\nMy post was on newer TPU v7 Ironwood vs $NVDA Blackwell B200 and showing the architectural parity. \n\nThe TPU v7 Ironwood performance leap is so substantial (up to 10x compute jump) that a lot of research going around X is misleading on the inference capabilities and cost savings of TPU. \n\nIn terms of buy thesis, on $NVDA, they will likely leapfrog TPU v7 in newer gen chips in due time and their immense backlog provides them near term (2Y) security.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Yes or no lol", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "itsdsha", "ret_m1d": -0.0162295101850789, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0162295101850789, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.020815955047401635, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.020815955047401635, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008559328912786102, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008559328912786102, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00670702923870703, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00670702923870703, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "ret_p1w": 0.03134909133996655, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03134909133996655, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02640983608570857, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02640983608570857, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "ret_p1m": 0.042410128700367755, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.042410128700367755, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02951802190800068, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02951802190800068, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "ret_p3m": 0.027680540949180266, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.027680540949180266, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.011412282334651414, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.011412282334651414, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "ret_p6m": 0.19432850523535183, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.19432850523535183, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08467512565468183, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08467512565468183, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "price_path": [-0.0517, -0.046, -0.0718, -0.0646, -0.051, -0.0145, -0.0153, -0.0117, -0.0121, -0.028, -0.0535, -0.0205, -0.0181, 0.0205, -0.0083, -0.0164, -0.0124, -0.0096, 0.0107, 0.037, 0.0407, 0.0499, 0.0428, 0.0312, 0.0285, 0.0511, 0.0703, 0.018, 0.0467, 0.0006, -0.0005, 0.0105, 0.0183, 0.0151, 0.0069, 0.002, 0.0124, 0.0352, 0.0643, 0.1173, 0.1507, 0.1277, 0.1254, 0.1498, 0.1043, 0.085, 0.0454, 0.0457, 0.1063, 0.0736, 0.0771, 0.0386, 0.057, 0.0371, 0.008, 0.0367, 0.004, -0.0058, 0.0146, -0.0117, 0.0019, 0.0019, -0.0162, 0.0, 0.0086, -0.0018, 0.0193, 0.0139, 0.0313, 0.0281, 0.0215, 0.0057, -0.0272, -0.0201, -0.0122, -0.0499, -0.0321, 0.006, 0.021, 0.0517, 0.0484, 0.0484, 0.059, 0.0462, 0.0424, 0.0366, 0.0366, 0.0497, 0.0456, 0.0407, 0.0511, 0.0285, 0.0275, 0.028, 0.0328, 0.018, 0.0397, 0.0351, 0.0351, -0.0102, 0.019, 0.0274, 0.0431, 0.0365, 0.0479, 0.0645, 0.07, 0.0624, 0.0317, 0.0024, -0.0318, -0.0446, 0.0306, 0.0563, 0.048, 0.0564, 0.0391, 0.0161, 0.0161, 0.0281, 0.0449, 0.0444, 0.0551, 0.0647, 0.0719, 0.087, 0.0277, -0.0151, 0.0143, 0.0008, 0.0174, 0.0191, -0.0116, 0.0152, 0.027, 0.0341, 0.018, 0.0019, 0.0185, 0.0113, 0.0028, -0.0074, -0.04, -0.0237, -0.0261, -0.0068, -0.0481, -0.0688, -0.0819, -0.0306, -0.0231, -0.014, -0.014, -0.0126, -0.01, 0.0121, 0.0223, 0.0485, 0.0523, 0.0923, 0.1054, 0.1026, 0.1211, 0.1232, 0.1111, 0.1256, 0.1097, 0.1577, 0.2041, 0.1849, 0.1631, 0.1093, 0.1031, 0.1033, 0.0923, 0.1553, 0.1757, 0.1962, 0.2198, 0.2272, 0.2553, 0.3104, 0.2525, 0.2358, 0.2263, 0.2422, 0.2202, 0.1969, 0.1969, 0.1943]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1994580301612552502", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-29T01:32:56+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "TPU v7 Ironwood performance leap is so substantial (up to 10x compute jump)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Strong buy NVDA on backlog security (2Y) and expected chip leap over TPU v7; also implicitly bullish GOOGL TPU progress.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yes $NVDA is a strong buy. \n\nHowever to the other viral research posts about $NVDA GPU vs TPU performance, they were falsely comparing older generation TPU v6e to show the current situation on $GOOGL TPU vs $NVDA GPU.\n\nMy post was on newer TPU v7 Ironwood vs $NVDA Blackwell B200 and showing the architectural parity. \n\nThe TPU v7 Ironwood performance leap is so substantial (up to 10x compute jump) that a lot of research going around X is misleading on the inference capabilities and cost savings of TPU. \n\nIn terms of buy thesis, on $NVDA, they will likely leapfrog TPU v7 in newer gen chips in due time and their immense backlog provides them near term (2Y) security.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Yes or no lol", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "itsdsha", "ret_m1d": 0.016799463758733424, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016799463758733424, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.012213018896410688, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.012097615946650153, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004701847812083271, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0029215910185993454, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0029215910185993454, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0010692913445202734, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0003870919391864014, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003308682957785747, "ret_p1w": -0.0030638614864041402, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0030638614864041402, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.00800311674066212, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.015340800837334245, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012276939350930105, "ret_p1m": -0.0026507336682285443, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0026507336682285443, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01554284046059562, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03593719806012363, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03328646439189509, "ret_p3m": -0.023211048340224805, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.023211048340224805, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03947930695475366, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04278328294843736, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "bench_c_p3m": 0.019572234608212558, "ret_p6m": 0.23664867841313497, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.23664867841313497, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.12699529883246496, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.22407562968799977, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "bench_c_p6m": 0.012573048725135205, "price_path": [-0.2681, -0.2629, -0.2544, -0.2568, -0.239, -0.2405, -0.2367, -0.2353, -0.201, -0.2024, -0.2076, -0.1996, -0.1911, -0.198, -0.2008, -0.2152, -0.2194, -0.2171, -0.225, -0.228, -0.2223, -0.2198, -0.2208, -0.2047, -0.2195, -0.2232, -0.233, -0.2487, -0.2246, -0.2205, -0.2028, -0.2014, -0.1956, -0.1853, -0.2046, -0.2007, -0.1963, -0.1746, -0.1449, -0.1506, -0.128, -0.1061, -0.107, -0.099, -0.1186, -0.0971, -0.0957, -0.1145, -0.0787, -0.0749, -0.0895, -0.1153, -0.1222, -0.0949, -0.0972, -0.0701, -0.0808, -0.0484, 0.0117, 0.0272, 0.0161, 0.0161, 0.0168, 0.0, 0.0029, 0.0151, 0.0087, 0.0203, -0.0031, 0.0076, 0.0176, -0.0072, -0.0171, -0.0205, -0.0258, -0.0571, -0.0388, -0.0239, -0.0156, -0.0011, -0.0019, -0.0019, -0.0037, -0.0036, -0.0027, -0.0054, -0.0054, 0.0015, 0.0059, -0.0011, 0.0232, 0.0342, 0.0441, 0.0546, 0.0676, 0.0672, 0.0575, 0.0487, 0.0487, 0.0232, 0.0435, 0.0504, 0.0421, 0.059, 0.0631, 0.0678, 0.0749, 0.0741, 0.0922, 0.0795, 0.0583, 0.0526, 0.026, 0.0306, 0.0124, -0.0118, -0.0181, -0.0285, -0.0285, -0.0402, -0.0361, -0.0376, 0.0009, -0.0102, -0.012, -0.0057, -0.0232, -0.0093, -0.0259, -0.0353, -0.0367, -0.0439, -0.0514, -0.0258, -0.0236, -0.0183, -0.0347, -0.0387, -0.0283, -0.0113, -0.0215, -0.0233, -0.0428, -0.0394, -0.0764, -0.0748, -0.1067, -0.1276, -0.1303, -0.0856, -0.0543, -0.0594, -0.0594, -0.046, -0.0286, 0.0091, 0.0128, 0.0088, 0.0218, 0.0587, 0.0721, 0.0686, 0.0866, 0.073, 0.0567, 0.079, 0.0777, 0.0952, 0.1141, 0.1123, 0.1128, 0.2237, 0.2265, 0.2187, 0.2352, 0.2658, 0.2656, 0.2746, 0.2359, 0.2318, 0.2803, 0.2754, 0.2618, 0.2623, 0.2328, 0.2367, 0.2328, 0.2179, 0.2179, 0.2366]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1988978855399600168", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-13T14:34:47+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I expect it to recover by Jan. I rotated Jan into March/April expiration and averaged down to $640-ish", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long META via options rolled to Mar/Apr expiration, averaged down to ~$640; expects recovery by January.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Neat_Lama Yeah feeling better. $META extended selloff was unexpected but I expect it to recover by Jan.\n\nI rotated Jan into March/April expiration and averaged down to $640-ish. Still down a lot but I expect it to recover like $NBIS.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Hi Senpai, hope you're feeling better. Any new thoughts on META? Bought a little too much at the beginning of the selloff with Jan exp. and am in a bit of a tight spot right now. 100% on me, just wondering if you have any more thoughts on recovery into year end?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Neat_Lama", "ret_m1d": -0.001442898451585739, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.001442898451585739, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.018316926388544985, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01582689848451424, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.016874027936959246, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014384000032928501, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0007050093657080536, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0007050093657080536, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0005412406053708629, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004655479019100128, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00016376876033719068, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005360488384808182, "ret_p1w": -0.03400615131447704, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03400615131447704, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.004975147230213861, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.016495176856717086, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02903100408426318, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017510974457759954, "ret_p1m": 0.056305217630667315, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.056305217630667315, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.041841778161537446, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.015029388466564653, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.014463439469129868, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04127582916410266, "ret_p3m": 0.10063610229362108, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10063610229362108, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06771383189778835, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.046757362934506164, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03292227039583273, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05387873935911491, "ret_p6m": 0.0012454196444700028, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0012454196444700028, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.10258762792318477, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.05024174886653676, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10383304756765477, "bench_c_p6m": 0.051487168511006765, "price_path": [0.2574, 0.2313, 0.2252, 0.211, 0.2367, 0.2343, 0.2356, 0.2246, 0.2307, 0.2104, 0.2104, 0.2045, 0.2077, 0.2267, 0.2329, 0.2327, 0.2546, 0.2321, 0.2304, 0.2381, 0.253, 0.2764, 0.271, 0.2785, 0.2754, 0.2546, 0.2386, 0.2472, 0.2279, 0.2195, 0.2189, 0.2041, 0.1762, 0.1921, 0.1651, 0.1734, 0.1692, 0.177, 0.2027, 0.1564, 0.1735, 0.1619, 0.1765, 0.1675, 0.1755, 0.2005, 0.2023, 0.2025, 0.2035, 0.2106, 0.2311, 0.2321, 0.2325, 0.0928, 0.0631, 0.0456, 0.0286, 0.0427, 0.0148, 0.0194, 0.0359, 0.0282, -0.0014, 0.0, -0.0007, -0.0129, -0.02, -0.0321, -0.034, -0.0256, 0.0052, 0.0432, 0.0389, 0.0389, 0.0624, 0.0508, 0.061, 0.0487, 0.0847, 0.1042, 0.0933, 0.0772, 0.066, 0.0702, 0.0563, 0.0625, 0.0784, 0.0658, 0.0903, 0.081, 0.0855, 0.0912, 0.0954, 0.0954, 0.0884, 0.0809, 0.0928, 0.0832, 0.0832, 0.0673, 0.0811, 0.0841, 0.0645, 0.0602, 0.0717, 0.0535, 0.0356, 0.0101, 0.0187, 0.0178, 0.0178, -0.0087, 0.0059, 0.0627, 0.081, 0.1033, 0.1043, 0.0974, 0.2115, 0.1758, 0.1592, 0.1351, 0.0978, 0.0998, 0.0854, 0.1113, 0.1006, 0.0973, 0.0663, 0.0498, 0.0498, 0.0491, 0.0555, 0.0581, 0.0759, 0.0457, 0.0491, 0.0727, 0.0781, 0.0636, 0.0725, 0.075, 0.0957, 0.084, 0.0582, 0.0624, 0.0733, 0.0746, 0.0472, 0.0071, 0.0305, 0.0226, 0.0112, -0.0036, -0.025, -0.0079, -0.0262, -0.023, -0.1007, -0.1366, -0.1191, -0.0603, -0.0487, -0.0565, -0.0565, -0.0589, -0.0555, 0.0058, 0.0321, 0.0345, 0.0421, 0.0881, 0.103, 0.1117, 0.1309, 0.1019, 0.0985, 0.1081, 0.0826, 0.1087, 0.1146, 0.1026, 0.099, 0.005, -0.0002, 0.0025, -0.0064, 0.0066, 0.013, 0.0012]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2009176232416669998", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-08T08:11:57+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AXTI is effectively a monopoly for InP, and the single point of failure for the AI buildout for: - Nvidia ($4.6T) - Microsoft ($3.59T) - Meta ($1.64T) - Amazon ($2.57T) - Google ($3.89T) after China's export control ban on Japan.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AXTI as the effective InP monopoly and single point of failure for the entire AI buildout post-China export controls.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AXTI is effectively a monopoly for InP, and the single point of failure for the AI buildout for:\n\n- Nvidia ($4.6T)\n- Microsoft ($3.59T)\n- Meta ($1.64T)\n- Amazon ($2.57T)\n- Google ($3.89T)\n\nafter China's export control ban on Japan.\n\nLooks like markets are starting to find out. https://t.co/rxGkcHYBtS", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Nvidia CEO said today that the “Memory Bottleneck is Severe” \n\nSK Hynix ($330B)\n$MU ($355B)\nSamsung ($595B).\n\nWait and see the look on everyone’s face when they find out the entire AI buildout will be bottlenecked by the tiny\n\n$AXTI ($1B) \n\nafter the China’s new export controls. https://t.co/iw6Nhitsry", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06658921093437264, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06658921093437264, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06669075392629065, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08252666898558814, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0001015429919180022, "bench_c_m1d": 0.015937458051215492, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.10994967715742876, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.10994967715742876, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.11656301955152137, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.1369695461149617, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006613342394092614, "bench_c_p1d": 0.027019868957532944, "ret_p1w": -0.004258637656851416, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.004258637656851416, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.00821792672809174, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05025048991950287, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003959289071240324, "bench_c_p1w": 0.045991852262651456, "ret_p1m": -0.06852498888856806, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06852498888856806, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07013476485135361, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1283434021372133, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0016097759627855535, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05981841324864523, "ret_p3m": 0.7599689980157815, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7599689980157815, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.8012877645453652, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.7047682425571753, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04131876652958366, "bench_c_p3m": 0.055200755458606254, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.8219, -0.8231, -0.8223, -0.8091, -0.8254, -0.8099, -0.7998, -0.8087, -0.7995, -0.7654, -0.7604, -0.7445, -0.7263, -0.7166, -0.6922, -0.6725, -0.6694, -0.6477, -0.6566, -0.6338, -0.5958, -0.5912, -0.5749, -0.5958, -0.5958, -0.6032, -0.6167, -0.6086, -0.6341, -0.6543, -0.6384, -0.6427, -0.5954, -0.5954, -0.5858, -0.5823, -0.5447, -0.5556, -0.5316, -0.5517, -0.5079, -0.4208, -0.3995, -0.3659, -0.4266, -0.4259, -0.4967, -0.5215, -0.4576, -0.4328, -0.4108, -0.4332, -0.4189, -0.4189, -0.405, -0.4352, -0.3883, -0.367, -0.367, -0.3511, -0.3546, -0.2191, -0.0666, 0.0, -0.1099, -0.139, -0.1672, -0.1444, -0.0043, -0.1448, -0.1448, -0.1711, -0.2342, -0.3062, -0.3264, -0.3109, -0.3341, -0.3484, -0.3659, -0.2822, -0.1893, -0.2358, -0.2741, -0.2091, -0.0685, 0.0751, -0.0573, 0.0376, -0.0403, -0.0616, -0.0616, -0.1014, -0.0887, -0.0782, 0.1491, 0.1007, 0.3581, 0.5861, 0.4371, 0.4673, 0.7933, 0.6167, 0.5149, 0.5021, 0.2532, 0.4928, 0.7151, 0.8335, 0.8091, 0.8916, 0.8734, 0.7174, 0.8877, 1.2489, 1.0999, 1.4948, 1.6496, 1.6074, 1.2652, 1.3473, 1.0414, 1.206, 0.825, 1.0457, 1.0457, 0.6256, 0.76, 1.0588, 1.4437, 1.4847, 1.5726, 1.6055, 1.4363, 2.1661, 2.1963, 2.0492, 1.9024, 2.3659, 1.9141, 1.9485, 1.7158, 1.6601, 1.7515, 2.067, 2.7166, 3.1038, 3.1638, 3.0585, 3.1974, 3.5048, 3.8707, 3.758, 3.7209, 3.4514, 3.7921, 3.0991, 3.3701, 3.0499, 3.6852, 4.4522, 4.4522, 4.1336, 3.753, 3.4793, 2.9938, 2.9938, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1984493709522845875", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-01T05:32:25+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$400 PT bull case, so $130 now seems quite undervalued", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NBIS with $400 PT bull case; current ~$130 seen as deeply undervalued with new ATHs expected weekly.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@blu400_ Personally I’d cost average.\n\nEven if $NBIS is near ATH, it’s growing rapidly and it will keep having new ATHs every week.\n\nI’ve maintained $400 PT bull case, so $130 now seems quite undervalued\n\nhttps://t.co/RTbdrjXqtx", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit hi @aleabitoreddit, do you like to fully allocate a position in 1 go, or do it in tranches instead? With $NBIS trading where it is near ath, is is prudent to keep some dry powder for that allocation to catch a dip later, or just allocate and hold. Maybe it's up to the individual", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "blu400codes", "ret_m1d": 0.08591355523068556, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08591355523068556, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08778681678889533, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07517315981838268, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010740395412302872, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08242716198685718, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08242716198685718, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07057362204440965, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.075560366211469, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006866795775388179, "ret_p1w": -0.08732467971995872, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08732467971995872, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08454416095747552, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08459559111130788, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0027290886086508426, "ret_p1m": -0.19938577263277246, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.19938577263277246, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19673703073352378, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2138236734625919, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014437900829819439, "ret_p3m": -0.21216898231591608, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21216898231591608, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23082847835699605, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.27016535998008484, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05799637766416876, "ret_p6m": 0.12484430259595736, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.12484430259595736, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.07742672938322026, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09926724251497565, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "bench_c_p6m": 0.025577060080981706, "price_path": [-0.5427, -0.4579, -0.4291, -0.417, -0.3747, -0.4137, -0.4317, -0.4055, -0.3979, -0.4423, -0.4399, -0.4507, -0.4274, -0.4188, -0.415, -0.4181, -0.402, -0.4329, -0.4329, -0.4545, -0.4551, -0.4612, -0.4565, -0.4682, -0.2054, -0.2248, -0.2596, -0.2495, -0.245, -0.2577, -0.2191, -0.2187, -0.1756, -0.1151, -0.1052, -0.0601, -0.104, -0.106, -0.0851, -0.0681, -0.0403, 0.0448, 0.0623, 0.0371, -0.023, 0.0127, 0.101, 0.0756, 0.1244, 0.0638, 0.0445, 0.0213, -0.0584, -0.0952, -0.1344, -0.1814, -0.1188, -0.0266, 0.0412, 0.0113, 0.0384, 0.0308, 0.0859, 0.0, -0.0824, -0.0288, -0.0916, -0.0763, -0.0873, -0.1515, -0.2167, -0.2643, -0.3065, -0.2863, -0.2484, -0.2108, -0.2974, -0.3089, -0.2372, -0.2622, -0.214, -0.214, -0.2125, -0.1687, -0.1994, -0.1789, -0.1467, -0.1862, -0.1672, -0.1997, -0.2231, -0.2174, -0.2721, -0.3265, -0.328, -0.3737, -0.3518, -0.2574, -0.2261, -0.2527, -0.2435, -0.2435, -0.2729, -0.2858, -0.293, -0.3052, -0.3052, -0.2533, -0.2294, -0.1679, -0.2014, -0.1923, -0.1871, -0.1091, -0.1248, -0.1535, -0.1377, -0.0975, -0.0975, -0.1758, -0.1793, -0.1961, -0.2156, -0.2408, -0.1876, -0.1663, -0.2122, -0.2929, -0.2682, -0.2533, -0.3161, -0.3868, -0.2853, -0.229, -0.2381, -0.2645, -0.2552, -0.1864, -0.1864, -0.1905, -0.155, -0.1067, -0.1872, -0.1649, -0.1485, -0.1191, -0.1294, -0.243, -0.2445, -0.2795, -0.1883, -0.206, -0.2585, -0.2119, -0.1996, -0.0703, -0.1032, -0.0624, 0.0779, -0.0344, -0.0159, 0.0087, -0.0237, -0.0525, -0.0462, -0.0447, -0.1204, -0.1631, -0.2342, -0.1387, -0.1537, -0.0967, -0.0967, -0.0658, -0.0255, 0.0376, 0.1317, 0.2034, 0.283, 0.3442, 0.3843, 0.3725, 0.3044, 0.3212, 0.2995, 0.2961, 0.3039, 0.2215, 0.2033, 0.1248]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1985885989219512580", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-05T01:44:50+00:00", "symbol": "VIRT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I think it's undervalued, especially with buybacks and might be another $UPWK", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long VIRT: trading at ~7x P/E, beat on EPS and revenue, buybacks ongoing; author sees it as undervalued.", "resolved_tickers": ["VIRT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Usually only on short term time-frames I'm wrong but I've always been directionally right for anything higher conviction.\n\nRecently main three were I got wrong were the $LTC ETF catalyst wrong, even after approval it dropped from $113 -> $82.5. Probably one of the weirdest things since it got delayed even despite 95% approval odds from gov shutdown then randomly approved during shutdown (and even I didn't know about it). Then just tanked on broader market high beta sell offs.\n\nThe other was $SG, thought it would rebound from $7.5-$8.3 or so but it's $6.3, there's a huge bear market on anything consumer. So it got affected by $CMG, $CAVA, $KRUS, etc. selloffs. \n\nThe last was $VIRT, especially now with a p/e of 7 or something ridiculous. They reported earnings and $1.05 vs. $0.97 - $1.04 (beat) and $467.0 million revenue vs. $418.4 million - $449.7 million (beat), but still sold off. (This was more of an asymmetrical hedge) but even with fundamentals, I have no clue why it's ~7.5 P/E. People always are like X is a great value investor stock trading at ~15 P/E, this is single digit P/E (but more cyclical on retail trading activity, but $HOOD is reporting record numbers so should be a good proxy). \n\nStill an extreme enigma to me... I think it's undervalued, especially with buybacks and might be another $UPWK.  \n\nOther stuff like nuclear SPACs I bought for fun were half-gambling memes so more understandable if they went down. Usually if I put a thesis behind it then it's more accurate. \n\nStuff like $SNAP, $FLY, and others I've maintained was a 2026 play, so short term doesn't really matter. Things like $WLAC were IPO catalyst plays so high-beta movement during its low float SPAC days doesn't really mean much until the event happens.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit When are you wrong?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "itsdsha", "ret_m1d": 0.010765274115578372, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.010765274115578372, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01421869586216129, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01421869586216129, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0034534217465829187, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0034534217465829187, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02036657382892848, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02036657382892848, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.031095907041594484, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.031095907041594484, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010729333212666003, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010729333212666003, "ret_p1w": 0.04771598260365684, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04771598260365684, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.039156033472348195, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.039156033472348195, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008559949131308642, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008559949131308642, "ret_p1m": 0.0383918250044224, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0383918250044224, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.028341381185237546, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.028341381185237546, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010050443819184851, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010050443819184851, "ret_p3m": 0.15819498891993478, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15819498891993478, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.12884810606314212, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12884810606314212, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029346882856792655, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029346882856792655, "ret_p6m": 0.46303962637736595, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.46303962637736595, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3963729415924875, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3963729415924875, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06666668478487847, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06666668478487847, "price_path": [0.2278, 0.2162, 0.2183, 0.2102, 0.2102, 0.2087, 0.1995, 0.1914, 0.198, 0.2029, 0.2165, 0.2264, 0.2486, 0.2362, 0.2264, 0.2197, 0.2197, 0.2031, 0.2063, 0.1763, 0.1315, 0.1199, 0.1071, 0.1234, 0.0788, 0.0658, 0.0541, 0.03, 0.0233, 0.0244, 0.032, 0.0145, 0.0189, 0.0253, 0.0201, 0.0244, 0.0436, 0.0329, -0.0073, -0.0035, -0.0212, -0.0573, -0.0579, -0.0445, -0.0335, -0.0338, -0.0402, -0.025, -0.0224, -0.037, -0.0332, -0.0399, -0.0308, -0.0279, -0.0265, -0.0239, -0.0148, 0.0058, 0.0006, 0.0073, 0.0137, 0.0166, 0.0108, 0.0, 0.0204, 0.037, 0.046, 0.0367, 0.0477, 0.0355, 0.0236, -0.0003, 0.0044, -0.0154, -0.0192, -0.0113, -0.0131, 0.0096, 0.0282, 0.0282, 0.0404, 0.0258, 0.0053, 0.022, 0.0384, 0.0363, 0.0319, 0.0416, 0.0478, 0.0027, -0.0126, -0.0222, -0.0085, -0.0135, -0.017, -0.0088, -0.0266, -0.0222, -0.0105, -0.0105, -0.0006, 0.0047, -0.005, -0.024, -0.024, -0.0451, -0.0123, -0.0284, -0.036, -0.0471, -0.0293, -0.0064, -0.0026, 0.0305, 0.051, 0.0806, 0.0806, 0.073, 0.0812, 0.087, 0.0885, 0.0987, 0.1025, 0.0981, 0.191, 0.2159, 0.1582, 0.1219, 0.1078, 0.1192, 0.1286, 0.15, 0.1535, 0.111, 0.1011, 0.123, 0.123, 0.1447, 0.1529, 0.1532, 0.1664, 0.1711, 0.1966, 0.1936, 0.2226, 0.22, 0.2589, 0.2268, 0.2097, 0.2047, 0.2082, 0.2356, 0.2094, 0.1908, 0.1687, 0.1516, 0.1449, 0.174, 0.1749, 0.1661, 0.2265, 0.2633, 0.2766, 0.2886, 0.2798, 0.2527, 0.2621, 0.2957, 0.3078, 0.3617, 0.3617, 0.3991, 0.4041, 0.4418, 0.463, 0.4318, 0.4993, 0.5108, 0.4904, 0.489, 0.4922, 0.4896, 0.4079, 0.4215, 0.42, 0.4297, 0.4035, 0.4409, 0.4972, 0.463]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1995184726437695984", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-30T17:34:42+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS 2.5x'd its contracted capacity guidance and achieved near long-term parity with $IREN", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish both NBIS (capacity catch-up) and IREN (front-loaded grid capacity H1 2026); NBIS narrows gap from H2 2026.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So actually as of Q3 earnings, $NBIS 2.5x'd its contracted capacity guidance and achieved near long-term parity with $IREN.\n\nHowever, $IREN has a tremendous amount of value in front loaded grid-connected capacity (now -> H1 2026). But H2 2026 onwards, $NBIS looks like it caught up in that front (3 GW to 2.5 GW contracted power guided as of Q3)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @babyfolio What's your opinion about the capacity of Nebius to get more GW ? \nI like they are confident operating around the world, but surprises me they haven't more Power capacity by now\n\nAnd thx. for sharing the analysis with us", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "AnalysisOp", "ret_m1d": -0.052720905630066484, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.052720905630066484, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05730735049238922, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.057422753442149754, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004701847812083271, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.036944628270231594, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.036944628270231594, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.038796927944310666, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04025331122801734, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003308682957785747, "ret_p1w": 0.0017973070637373745, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0017973070637373745, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.003141948190520605, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01047963228719273, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012276939350930105, "ret_p1m": -0.1495756677853144, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1495756677853144, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16246777457768147, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.18286213217720948, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03328646439189509, "ret_p3m": 0.047229112885403435, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.047229112885403435, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.030960854270874583, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.027656878277190877, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "bench_c_p3m": 0.019572234608212558, "ret_p6m": 1.0774837183085886, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.0774837183085886, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.9678303387279186, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.0649106695834534, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "bench_c_p6m": 0.012573048725135205, "price_path": [-0.3445, -0.3519, -0.3463, -0.3604, -0.0442, -0.0675, -0.1094, -0.0973, -0.0918, -0.107, -0.0606, -0.0602, -0.0084, 0.0644, 0.0764, 0.1306, 0.0778, 0.0754, 0.1005, 0.121, 0.1544, 0.2568, 0.2779, 0.2475, 0.1752, 0.2182, 0.3244, 0.2939, 0.3526, 0.2796, 0.2564, 0.2286, 0.1327, 0.0884, 0.0412, -0.0153, 0.06, 0.1708, 0.2524, 0.2165, 0.2491, 0.2399, 0.3062, 0.2029, 0.1037, 0.1682, 0.0928, 0.1111, 0.0979, 0.0207, -0.0578, -0.115, -0.1659, -0.1415, -0.096, -0.0507, -0.1549, -0.1686, -0.0824, -0.1125, -0.0545, -0.0545, -0.0527, 0.0, -0.0369, -0.0123, 0.0265, -0.0211, 0.0018, -0.0373, -0.0655, -0.0586, -0.1244, -0.1898, -0.1917, -0.2466, -0.2203, -0.1067, -0.0691, -0.101, -0.0901, -0.0901, -0.1254, -0.1409, -0.1496, -0.1642, -0.1642, -0.1018, -0.0731, 0.0009, -0.0393, -0.0285, -0.0222, 0.0717, 0.0527, 0.0183, 0.0373, 0.0857, 0.0857, -0.0086, -0.0128, -0.033, -0.0564, -0.0868, -0.0228, 0.0028, -0.0523, -0.1494, -0.1197, -0.1018, -0.1773, -0.2624, -0.1403, -0.0726, -0.0835, -0.1152, -0.104, -0.0214, -0.0214, -0.0263, 0.0165, 0.0745, -0.0223, 0.0046, 0.0243, 0.0596, 0.0472, -0.0895, -0.0913, -0.1333, -0.0237, -0.0449, -0.108, -0.052, -0.0371, 0.1183, 0.0788, 0.1278, 0.2966, 0.1616, 0.1838, 0.2134, 0.1744, 0.1398, 0.1474, 0.1492, 0.0581, 0.0067, -0.0788, 0.036, 0.018, 0.0866, 0.0866, 0.1237, 0.1722, 0.2481, 0.3613, 0.4475, 0.5433, 0.617, 0.6652, 0.6509, 0.569, 0.5892, 0.5632, 0.5591, 0.5684, 0.4694, 0.4474, 0.3531, 0.4098, 0.3802, 0.5426, 0.7616, 0.7566, 0.948, 0.8449, 0.7678, 0.8582, 0.7884, 1.0696, 1.2082, 1.1961, 0.9956, 0.9743, 0.9153, 1.196, 1.1445, 1.1445, 1.0775]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1995184726437695984", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-30T17:34:42+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$IREN has a tremendous amount of value in front loaded grid-connected capacity (now -> H1 2026)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish both NBIS (capacity catch-up) and IREN (front-loaded grid capacity H1 2026); NBIS narrows gap from H2 2026.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So actually as of Q3 earnings, $NBIS 2.5x'd its contracted capacity guidance and achieved near long-term parity with $IREN.\n\nHowever, $IREN has a tremendous amount of value in front loaded grid-connected capacity (now -> H1 2026). But H2 2026 onwards, $NBIS looks like it caught up in that front (3 GW to 2.5 GW contracted power guided as of Q3)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @babyfolio What's your opinion about the capacity of Nebius to get more GW ? \nI like they are confident operating around the world, but surprises me they haven't more Power capacity by now\n\nAnd thx. for sharing the analysis with us", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "AnalysisOp", "ret_m1d": -0.014023515810224318, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014023515810224318, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.018609960672547055, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.022342682441486406, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008319166631262087, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.15199015243290592, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.15199015243290592, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.153842452106985, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.15104477605452604, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0009453763783798808, "ret_p1w": -0.04433906891023409, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04433906891023409, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04927832416449207, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0554942919273953, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011155223017161209, "ret_p1m": -0.21014646501716616, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.21014646501716616, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.22303857180953324, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2570902403302643, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "bench_c_p1m": 0.046943775313098124, "ret_p3m": -0.08764693447901695, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08764693447901695, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1039151930935458, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08374241000006155, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0039045244789553957, "ret_p6m": 0.23283144380346932, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.23283144380346932, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.12317806422279931, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.24401169255931177, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "bench_c_p6m": -0.011180248755842448, "price_path": [-0.4182, -0.4611, -0.4607, -0.4599, -0.3774, -0.3065, -0.3225, -0.2996, -0.2341, -0.2483, -0.2184, -0.251, -0.2031, -0.1359, -0.1386, -0.0278, -0.0454, -0.1367, -0.0528, -0.0322, -0.0291, -0.0303, 0.0406, 0.191, 0.272, 0.2392, 0.3168, 0.2326, 0.3227, 0.4345, 0.4019, 0.2751, 0.2522, 0.2213, 0.1383, 0.0689, 0.152, 0.2972, 0.3403, 0.2873, 0.246, 0.2007, 0.2528, 0.3972, 0.3741, 0.5758, 0.3809, 0.2865, 0.2409, 0.1833, 0.1487, 0.0033, -0.0437, -0.0223, 0.0074, -0.0549, -0.1035, -0.1285, 0.0, -0.021, -0.0008, -0.0008, -0.014, 0.0, -0.152, -0.0934, -0.0421, -0.078, -0.0443, -0.034, -0.0942, -0.0938, -0.1724, -0.2683, -0.2454, -0.3034, -0.2617, -0.1767, -0.133, -0.1324, -0.1343, -0.1343, -0.1689, -0.1873, -0.2101, -0.2211, -0.2211, -0.1194, -0.0052, -0.0532, -0.1003, -0.058, -0.0507, 0.0379, 0.0928, 0.0905, 0.0701, 0.1924, 0.1924, 0.119, 0.1029, 0.0777, 0.1689, 0.0798, 0.2372, 0.298, 0.2341, 0.1083, 0.0947, 0.1217, -0.0732, -0.1794, -0.1373, -0.0483, -0.1147, -0.12, -0.1745, -0.1293, -0.1293, -0.1551, -0.1322, -0.1072, -0.1755, -0.1264, -0.0627, -0.092, -0.0876, -0.1555, -0.1464, -0.1988, -0.0959, -0.1725, -0.2431, -0.199, -0.2139, -0.1343, -0.1468, -0.1425, -0.0732, -0.114, -0.1295, -0.1409, -0.1485, -0.1305, -0.152, -0.1456, -0.2277, -0.2763, -0.3479, -0.2931, -0.297, -0.2829, -0.2829, -0.2755, -0.2629, -0.2405, -0.2357, -0.1891, -0.1118, -0.0231, 0.0068, -0.0163, -0.0076, 0.0047, -0.0685, -0.0021, 0.0728, 0.0443, -0.0027, -0.0835, -0.1161, -0.0615, -0.0584, 0.0204, 0.1289, 0.2576, 0.1724, 0.2621, 0.1373, 0.1664, 0.1378, 0.2044, 0.0918, 0.0406, -0.0155, 0.087, 0.1974, 0.172, 0.172, 0.2328]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1991467724157984867", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-20T11:24:39+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I've downgraded it", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Downgraded IREN on execution risk from AI cloud pivot; maintains outperform on NBIS for asymmetric upside and diversified client base.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm very precise with my wording. You skipped over \"expected\" while reading discussions about guided contracted capacity.\n\nSo reiterating what I've said above but with a longer explanation: \n\n$IREN's original moat was GW capacity + vertical integration. $NBIS's moat was full-stack. \n\nHowever, Nebius achieved long-term parity with GW capacity that was originally thought to be $IREN's biggest moat. \n\nHere's a helpful explanation:\n- Near term $IREN .66 GW connected vs. 22 GW connected with $NBIS. Today, $IREN has more frontloaded capacity.\n\n- Mid-term, The connected power argument is closing between $NBIS and $IREN with 1 GW 2026 for IREN and 1.4 GW for Nebius.\n\n- Long term, $IREN projects 3 GW power expansion, $NBIS projects 2.5 GW contracted power expansion with Nebius achieving longer term parity with connected power. \n\nNebius management also raised capacity expectations by 150%, and there's a large chance it increases again to exceed other Neocloud companies.  \n\nOn top of that $IREN ended up pivoting to full-stack IAAS instead of lower-risk colo ( $CIFR, $WULF ) for higher revenue potential due to \"higher revenue and margin potential\" as per their ER. \n\nBut looking at $CRWV + $ORCL buildout difficulty with software/orchestration, this immensely raises execution risk for a new pivot with $IREN compared to $NBIS, which has it down + plug and play with existing stack. \n\n$IREN has high upside potential if they get this right, but due to execution risk and credit tightening required for future financing for capacity monetization for their AI cloud pivot, I've downgraded it. \n\nNebius also has a much larger diversified client base as mentioned above for both revenue visibility + defensibility, which is why I maintain outperform on $NBIS due to asymmetrical upside.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Still confusing guidance vs contracted capacity, I see.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "proof_of_thermo", "ret_m1d": 0.054290327676079775, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.054290327676079775, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03881216018816147, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04548577065363757, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.015478167487918304, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008804557022442205, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02783535461677522, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02783535461677522, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03779657759340804, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.038792098211238524, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009961222976632822, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010956743594463303, "ret_p1w": 0.11456175298804783, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11456175298804783, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07295448290291007, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07856095950664055, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.04160727008513776, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03600079348140728, "ret_p1m": -0.08166558435860083, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08166558435860083, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12774939849303368, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.15464539688167978, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.046083814134432854, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07297981252307895, "ret_p3m": -0.057510925461151, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.057510925461151, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10706832254851895, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08240704451648662, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04955739708736795, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02489611905533562, "ret_p6m": 0.21785132597363854, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.21785132597363854, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.07862589565140232, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.20939532862058408, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13922543032223622, "bench_c_p6m": 0.008455997353054467, "price_path": [-0.4681, -0.4711, -0.4857, -0.47, -0.3908, -0.3908, -0.3303, -0.351, -0.3989, -0.3984, -0.3975, -0.3055, -0.2264, -0.2443, -0.2188, -0.1456, -0.1615, -0.1281, -0.1645, -0.1111, -0.0361, -0.0391, 0.0844, 0.0649, -0.037, 0.0566, 0.0796, 0.083, 0.0817, 0.1608, 0.3285, 0.4189, 0.3823, 0.4688, 0.375, 0.4755, 0.6002, 0.5638, 0.4224, 0.3968, 0.3623, 0.2697, 0.1923, 0.285, 0.447, 0.4951, 0.4359, 0.3899, 0.3393, 0.3975, 0.5585, 0.5328, 0.7578, 0.5404, 0.435, 0.3842, 0.32, 0.2813, 0.1192, 0.0667, 0.0906, 0.1238, 0.0543, 0.0, -0.0278, 0.1155, 0.092, 0.1146, 0.1146, 0.0998, 0.1155, -0.0541, 0.0113, 0.0686, 0.0285, 0.066, 0.0775, 0.0104, 0.0108, -0.0768, -0.1838, -0.1583, -0.2229, -0.1764, -0.0817, -0.0329, -0.0322, -0.0343, -0.0343, -0.0729, -0.0934, -0.1189, -0.1311, -0.1311, -0.0177, 0.1097, 0.0561, 0.0036, 0.0508, 0.0589, 0.1578, 0.219, 0.2165, 0.1937, 0.3301, 0.3301, 0.2482, 0.2303, 0.2022, 0.3039, 0.2045, 0.38, 0.4479, 0.3766, 0.2363, 0.2211, 0.2512, 0.0338, -0.0847, -0.0377, 0.0617, -0.0124, -0.0184, -0.0791, -0.0288, -0.0288, -0.0575, -0.032, -0.0041, -0.0803, -0.0255, 0.0455, 0.0129, 0.0177, -0.058, -0.0478, -0.1063, 0.0085, -0.0769, -0.1557, -0.1065, -0.1231, -0.0343, -0.0483, -0.0435, 0.0338, -0.0117, -0.029, -0.0416, -0.0501, -0.0301, -0.0541, -0.0469, -0.1385, -0.1928, -0.2726, -0.2114, -0.2158, -0.2001, -0.2001, -0.1919, -0.1778, -0.1527, -0.1475, -0.0955, -0.0092, 0.0897, 0.1231, 0.0973, 0.107, 0.1208, 0.0391, 0.1132, 0.1967, 0.1649, 0.1125, 0.0223, -0.014, 0.0469, 0.0504, 0.1383, 0.2593, 0.4028, 0.3078, 0.4079, 0.2687, 0.3011, 0.2692, 0.3435, 0.2179]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1991467724157984867", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-20T11:24:39+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I maintain outperform on $NBIS due to asymmetrical upside", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Downgraded IREN on execution risk from AI cloud pivot; maintains outperform on NBIS for asymmetric upside and diversified client base.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm very precise with my wording. You skipped over \"expected\" while reading discussions about guided contracted capacity.\n\nSo reiterating what I've said above but with a longer explanation: \n\n$IREN's original moat was GW capacity + vertical integration. $NBIS's moat was full-stack. \n\nHowever, Nebius achieved long-term parity with GW capacity that was originally thought to be $IREN's biggest moat. \n\nHere's a helpful explanation:\n- Near term $IREN .66 GW connected vs. 22 GW connected with $NBIS. Today, $IREN has more frontloaded capacity.\n\n- Mid-term, The connected power argument is closing between $NBIS and $IREN with 1 GW 2026 for IREN and 1.4 GW for Nebius.\n\n- Long term, $IREN projects 3 GW power expansion, $NBIS projects 2.5 GW contracted power expansion with Nebius achieving longer term parity with connected power. \n\nNebius management also raised capacity expectations by 150%, and there's a large chance it increases again to exceed other Neocloud companies.  \n\nOn top of that $IREN ended up pivoting to full-stack IAAS instead of lower-risk colo ( $CIFR, $WULF ) for higher revenue potential due to \"higher revenue and margin potential\" as per their ER. \n\nBut looking at $CRWV + $ORCL buildout difficulty with software/orchestration, this immensely raises execution risk for a new pivot with $IREN compared to $NBIS, which has it down + plug and play with existing stack. \n\n$IREN has high upside potential if they get this right, but due to execution risk and credit tightening required for future financing for capacity monetization for their AI cloud pivot, I've downgraded it. \n\nNebius also has a much larger diversified client base as mentioned above for both revenue visibility + defensibility, which is why I maintain outperform on $NBIS due to asymmetrical upside.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Still confusing guidance vs contracted capacity, I see.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "proof_of_thermo", "ret_m1d": 0.1232277927739609, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.1232277927739609, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.1077496252860426, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.11213384434355711, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.015478167487918304, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011093948430403788, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01630431549349398, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01630431549349398, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.026265538470126804, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.033854587903919264, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009961222976632822, "bench_c_p1d": 0.017550272410425283, "ret_p1w": 0.11873822216717711, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11873822216717711, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07713095208203935, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07790891696667535, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.04160727008513776, "bench_c_p1w": 0.040829305200501764, "ret_p1m": 0.05694706674836891, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05694706674836891, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.010863252613936059, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0026146271537543786, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.046083814134432854, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05956169390212329, "ret_p3m": 0.15217388169066082, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15217388169066082, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10261648460329287, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10852236985260055, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04955739708736795, "bench_c_p3m": 0.043651511838060264, "ret_p6m": 1.5985350192276249, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.5985350192276249, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.4593095889053886, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.5361777913650392, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13922543032223622, "bench_c_p6m": 0.062357227862585685, "price_path": [-0.1727, -0.1673, -0.1718, -0.1489, -0.1928, -0.1928, -0.2235, -0.2244, -0.2331, -0.2265, -0.2431, 0.1309, 0.1034, 0.0538, 0.0682, 0.0747, 0.0566, 0.1115, 0.112, 0.1733, 0.2595, 0.2736, 0.3378, 0.2753, 0.2724, 0.3022, 0.3264, 0.3659, 0.4871, 0.5121, 0.4761, 0.3906, 0.4414, 0.5671, 0.531, 0.6004, 0.5141, 0.4866, 0.4537, 0.3403, 0.2878, 0.232, 0.1652, 0.2543, 0.3854, 0.4819, 0.4394, 0.478, 0.4672, 0.5456, 0.4233, 0.306, 0.3823, 0.293, 0.3147, 0.299, 0.2077, 0.1148, 0.0471, -0.013, 0.0158, 0.0697, 0.1232, 0.0, -0.0163, 0.0858, 0.0501, 0.1187, 0.1187, 0.1209, 0.1832, 0.1395, 0.1687, 0.2146, 0.1583, 0.1854, 0.1391, 0.1057, 0.1139, 0.036, -0.0414, -0.0436, -0.1086, -0.0774, 0.0569, 0.1015, 0.0637, 0.0767, 0.0767, 0.0349, 0.0165, 0.0063, -0.011, -0.011, 0.0627, 0.0968, 0.1843, 0.1367, 0.1496, 0.157, 0.2681, 0.2456, 0.2049, 0.2274, 0.2846, 0.2846, 0.1731, 0.1681, 0.1443, 0.1165, 0.0806, 0.1563, 0.1866, 0.1213, 0.0065, 0.0416, 0.0627, -0.0266, -0.1272, 0.0172, 0.0974, 0.0845, 0.0469, 0.0601, 0.158, 0.158, 0.1522, 0.2027, 0.2714, 0.1569, 0.1887, 0.212, 0.2538, 0.2391, 0.0774, 0.0753, 0.0255, 0.1552, 0.1301, 0.0554, 0.1217, 0.1393, 0.3232, 0.2765, 0.3345, 0.5341, 0.3744, 0.4008, 0.4357, 0.3897, 0.3487, 0.3576, 0.3598, 0.252, 0.1912, 0.09, 0.2259, 0.2045, 0.2857, 0.2857, 0.3296, 0.3871, 0.4768, 0.6107, 0.7128, 0.8261, 0.9133, 0.9703, 0.9534, 0.8566, 0.8804, 0.8496, 0.8448, 0.8559, 0.7387, 0.7127, 0.601, 0.6681, 0.6332, 0.8253, 1.0844, 1.0784, 1.3049, 1.183, 1.0918, 1.1987, 1.1161, 1.4488, 1.6128, 1.5985]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1975615080479006738", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-07T17:31:54+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS for example is heavily diversified and would likely achieve the high utilization throughout buildout", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS: diversified customer base means better economics and higher utilization vs concentrated peers like ORCL.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yep that's true and just alerts to concentration risk and why Neoclouds (eg. $NBIS) that have heavily diversified customer base would likely have better economics than those that don't.\n\nPart of $ORCL's loss was time between buildout/utilization since virtually all of its deals came from 4-5 customers like OpenAI. Demand exists, but there was revenue lag.  \n\n$NBIS for example is heavily diversified and would likely achieve the high utilization throughout buildout.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I'm reading a lot of fear that this is due to lower than expected demand. ie. \"if there was a lot of demand, then oracle should've been able to price correctly\" - but I think that it takes time to setup the infrastructure &amp; will take time for payments from customers to show. Hby?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "itsthesquonky", "ret_m1d": 0.06151236772204682, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06151236772204682, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05779107882132184, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05763499988358456, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003721288900724984, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0038773678384622645, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.036533586773572324, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.036533586773572324, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030570534360780055, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04066930907077948, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005963052412792269, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004135722297207156, "ret_p1w": 0.08878502310274072, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08878502310274072, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09908216387038948, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10145087525266994, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01029714076764876, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012665852149929213, "ret_p1m": -0.005947297930262496, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.005947297930262496, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01859078175754003, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.016799472423983497, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012643483827277535, "bench_c_p1m": -0.022746770354245993, "ret_p3m": -0.23576891010628387, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.23576891010628387, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2597835850019543, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24626742967899928, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02401467489567044, "bench_c_p3m": 0.010498519572715415, "ret_p6m": -0.13381478681708003, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13381478681708003, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.11864699122642897, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.09845601848176999, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.015167795590651068, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03535876833531004, "price_path": [-0.6055, -0.6236, -0.5586, -0.5452, -0.5471, -0.5438, -0.5515, -0.5551, -0.5666, -0.5592, -0.5568, -0.5636, -0.5518, -0.5718, -0.5642, -0.5376, -0.5582, -0.5398, -0.5313, -0.5319, -0.4451, -0.4156, -0.4032, -0.36, -0.3999, -0.4184, -0.3915, -0.3837, -0.4291, -0.4268, -0.4377, -0.4139, -0.4051, -0.4012, -0.4044, -0.3879, -0.4195, -0.4195, -0.4416, -0.4422, -0.4485, -0.4438, -0.4557, -0.1867, -0.2065, -0.2422, -0.2319, -0.2272, -0.2402, -0.2007, -0.2003, -0.1562, -0.0943, -0.0841, -0.038, -0.0829, -0.085, -0.0636, -0.0461, -0.0178, 0.0694, 0.0873, 0.0615, 0.0, 0.0365, 0.1269, 0.1009, 0.1509, 0.0888, 0.0691, 0.0454, -0.0362, -0.0739, -0.114, -0.1621, -0.098, -0.0037, 0.0657, 0.0351, 0.0629, 0.0551, 0.1115, 0.0235, -0.0608, -0.0059, -0.0702, -0.0545, -0.0658, -0.1315, -0.1983, -0.247, -0.2902, -0.2695, -0.2308, -0.1923, -0.2809, -0.2926, -0.2192, -0.2449, -0.1955, -0.1955, -0.194, -0.1491, -0.1805, -0.1596, -0.1266, -0.167, -0.1476, -0.1809, -0.2048, -0.199, -0.255, -0.3106, -0.3122, -0.359, -0.3365, -0.2399, -0.2079, -0.2351, -0.2257, -0.2257, -0.2558, -0.269, -0.2764, -0.2888, -0.2888, -0.2358, -0.2113, -0.1483, -0.1826, -0.1733, -0.168, -0.0881, -0.1042, -0.1336, -0.1174, -0.0762, -0.0762, -0.1564, -0.16, -0.1771, -0.1971, -0.2229, -0.1685, -0.1467, -0.1936, -0.2762, -0.251, -0.2358, -0.3, -0.3724, -0.2685, -0.2109, -0.2201, -0.2472, -0.2376, -0.1673, -0.1673, -0.1715, -0.1351, -0.0857, -0.1681, -0.1452, -0.1285, -0.0984, -0.1089, -0.2252, -0.2268, -0.2625, -0.1692, -0.1873, -0.241, -0.1934, -0.1807, -0.0485, -0.0821, -0.0404, 0.1032, -0.0116, 0.0073, 0.0325, -0.0007, -0.0302, -0.0237, -0.0222, -0.0997, -0.1434, -0.2161, -0.1184, -0.1338]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1973823646922911942", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-02T18:53:23+00:00", "symbol": "VRT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "both good longs", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Both VRT and RBRK are good longs.", "resolved_tickers": ["VRT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ConvictionLab both good longs", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Great content highly appreciated, any views on $VRT &amp; $RBRK", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ConvictionLab", "ret_m1d": -0.00030934842437280174, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00030934842437280174, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.000841129987715683, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.000841129987715683, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011504784120884848, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0011504784120884848, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008908667876730614, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008908667876730614, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008893900514509001, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008893900514509001, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4767362221612679e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -1.4767362221612679e-05, "ret_p1w": 0.04479100703821981, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04479100703821981, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04189201790543917, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04189201790543917, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028989891327806383, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0028989891327806383, "ret_p1m": 0.19314525452904974, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.19314525452904974, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.17395869037050193, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.17395869037050193, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019186564158547803, "bench_c_p1m": 0.019186564158547803, "ret_p3m": 0.017083117340438658, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.017083117340438658, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.012533698961188389, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.012533698961188389, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029616816301627047, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029616816301627047, "ret_p6m": 0.554215979796667, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.554215979796667, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.601314693009081, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.601314693009081, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04709871321241399, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04709871321241399, "price_path": [-0.2191, -0.2214, -0.2061, -0.2534, -0.2374, -0.2286, -0.2122, -0.2244, -0.189, -0.2018, -0.2194, -0.2251, -0.1948, -0.1906, -0.1498, -0.1184, -0.1174, -0.1083, -0.0995, -0.1243, -0.1329, -0.1418, -0.1357, -0.1379, -0.1346, -0.1352, -0.1111, -0.1502, -0.1804, -0.177, -0.1608, -0.2018, -0.2112, -0.2171, -0.2209, -0.2268, -0.2088, -0.2002, -0.1698, -0.2111, -0.2111, -0.233, -0.2232, -0.2226, -0.2331, -0.2466, -0.2233, -0.1543, -0.1607, -0.166, -0.1446, -0.1546, -0.1535, -0.1218, -0.1116, -0.0599, -0.1177, -0.1239, -0.1353, -0.1424, -0.1134, -0.0667, -0.0003, 0.0, -0.0089, 0.0072, -0.0171, 0.0355, 0.0448, 0.0456, 0.1074, 0.0836, 0.1167, 0.1001, 0.0765, 0.0872, 0.0814, 0.0616, 0.1334, 0.1511, 0.1934, 0.179, 0.2328, 0.1987, 0.1931, 0.1841, 0.1187, 0.1798, 0.1323, 0.1123, 0.1621, 0.1077, 0.0726, 0.0124, 0.0577, 0.031, 0.0199, 0.0557, -0.0126, -0.0112, 0.045, 0.0495, 0.0646, 0.0646, 0.1123, 0.1092, 0.1196, 0.1071, 0.1297, 0.1698, 0.1487, 0.104, 0.1253, 0.1057, -0.0019, 0.001, -0.0057, -0.0727, -0.0445, -0.0109, 0.0289, 0.029, 0.0327, 0.0327, 0.0371, 0.025, 0.0171, 0.0027, 0.0027, 0.0868, 0.0766, 0.0827, 0.0616, -0.0049, 0.0124, 0.0523, 0.0689, 0.0574, 0.0678, 0.095, 0.095, 0.0842, 0.1231, 0.1209, 0.1294, 0.1216, 0.171, 0.1992, 0.2075, 0.1522, 0.176, 0.1768, 0.1298, 0.1001, 0.2104, 0.2502, 0.2354, 0.538, 0.4637, 0.4515, 0.4515, 0.5072, 0.5052, 0.5043, 0.5085, 0.5189, 0.5667, 0.6227, 0.6043, 0.5775, 0.5952, 0.5128, 0.5551, 0.5457, 0.4964, 0.636, 0.6714, 0.6602, 0.6424, 0.6022, 0.6384, 0.6616, 0.6387, 0.6663, 0.584, 0.5847, 0.6769, 0.7095, 0.5624, 0.5542]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1973823646922911942", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-02T18:53:23+00:00", "symbol": "RBRK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "both good longs", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Both VRT and RBRK are good longs.", "resolved_tickers": ["RBRK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ConvictionLab both good longs", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Great content highly appreciated, any views on $VRT &amp; $RBRK", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ConvictionLab", "ret_m1d": -0.01798906471660533, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01798906471660533, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.016838586304516845, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.016838586304516845, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011504784120884848, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0011504784120884848, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.013342896283138006, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.013342896283138006, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013328128920916393, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013328128920916393, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4767362221612679e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -1.4767362221612679e-05, "ret_p1w": 0.02573261817835437, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02573261817835437, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.022833629045573733, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.022833629045573733, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028989891327806383, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0028989891327806383, "ret_p1m": -0.10328812897511985, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10328812897511985, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12247469313366766, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12247469313366766, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019186564158547803, "bench_c_p1m": 0.019186564158547803, "ret_p3m": -0.07231355156394403, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07231355156394403, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.10193036786557108, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10193036786557108, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029616816301627047, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029616816301627047, "ret_p6m": -0.4552061208938153, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4552061208938153, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4081074076814013, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4081074076814013, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04709871321241399, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04709871321241399, "price_path": [0.0704, 0.0349, 0.0911, 0.0262, 0.0071, 0.0226, 0.0405, 0.0423, 0.0356, 0.0497, 0.0309, -0.002, 0.0107, 0.0211, 0.0126, 0.0378, 0.0629, 0.1368, 0.1312, 0.0442, 0.1022, 0.0429, 0.0933, 0.0691, 0.0413, 0.021, 0.0525, 0.0493, 0.0061, 0.0225, 0.0212, 0.0004, 0.0138, 0.0155, 0.0575, 0.0463, 0.0147, 0.0428, 0.1083, 0.065, 0.065, 0.0472, 0.045, 0.0311, 0.0833, 0.139, 0.1735, -0.0384, -0.0721, -0.1125, -0.0994, -0.1065, -0.1197, -0.0705, -0.0442, -0.0411, -0.0295, -0.0574, -0.0232, -0.0213, -0.0071, -0.0201, -0.018, 0.0, -0.0133, -0.0206, -0.0529, 0.0037, 0.0257, -0.0191, -0.0089, -0.0687, -0.0581, -0.0631, -0.0801, -0.0611, -0.0484, -0.0845, -0.0843, -0.0828, -0.0733, -0.0932, -0.1432, -0.1536, -0.1033, -0.097, -0.1351, -0.1381, -0.1478, -0.13, -0.0938, -0.099, -0.119, -0.16, -0.1476, -0.1698, -0.1804, -0.1651, -0.1936, -0.2067, -0.1972, -0.1793, -0.1879, -0.1879, -0.1742, -0.1827, -0.1732, -0.1493, -0.1609, 0.0278, 0.0615, 0.0878, 0.0711, 0.0374, -0.0287, -0.0482, -0.0718, -0.1281, -0.0957, -0.0686, -0.0504, -0.0618, -0.0612, -0.0612, -0.0629, -0.0706, -0.0723, -0.0889, -0.0889, -0.1009, -0.1244, -0.1052, -0.0842, -0.1462, -0.1594, -0.1497, -0.1563, -0.1882, -0.1774, -0.2006, -0.2006, -0.2271, -0.2334, -0.2244, -0.2177, -0.1861, -0.2583, -0.2472, -0.3094, -0.3335, -0.3513, -0.3787, -0.3821, -0.4241, -0.3916, -0.356, -0.3349, -0.3433, -0.3663, -0.3501, -0.3501, -0.3626, -0.352, -0.3548, -0.402, -0.437, -0.3919, -0.3786, -0.3528, -0.381, -0.3604, -0.3582, -0.3463, -0.3343, -0.3189, -0.3189, -0.3335, -0.3147, -0.3564, -0.3635, -0.3844, -0.3798, -0.3794, -0.3934, -0.4129, -0.3903, -0.4273, -0.4379, -0.433, -0.4552]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2011446944866935073", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-14T14:34:57+00:00", "symbol": "UAVS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Stay away from $UAVS until the result of the vote on the 22nd. Buying this stock is effectively donating money to the arbitrage investors.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Avoid UAVS: SEC filings reveal massive dilution structure giving arbitrage investors right to buy $100M shares at 75% discount; retail always loses.", "resolved_tickers": ["UAVS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Warning to retail investors: \n\nStay away from $UAVS until the result of the vote on the 22nd. \n\nI was researching drone stock recs, and found SEC filings where the shady board voted for a wealth transfer from retail to arbitrage.\n\nIt's a drone company that's been getting retail attention because it's used by:\n\nUS Army USACE, NATO (KFOR), and other armed forces with a lot of news published recently.\n\nI was super excited about this potential long for a $75M company, since they pivoted their agricultural use case to drone defense contractor.\n\nHowever, the November 7, 2025 Filing was a massive dilution nuke.\n\nBasically they sold their entire company to arbitrage investors last  year in their Series G round, giving these guys the right to buy $100M  shares at $1.23 or 75% under market price current is.\n\nBack in 2021, the same Series G investors put out false information  about an $AMZN partnership to get retail to buy -> dump shares on  them (Bonitas Research pointed out this news was fake). The entire  company is now controlled by the same arbitrage investors like Alpha  Capital Anstalt.\n\nThese companies control the price too (can easily make this $300M then dilute when retail sees price go up and buys in)\n\nWith this clause, they have effective control of 100%+ of the entire company now where they can issue new shares -> profit 50%+ -> repeat. I almost fell for it while looking into drone stocks. \n\nTLDR: Buying this stock is effectively donating money to the arbitrage investors. The fact the board voted for this structure is alarming.\n\nStocks positive sum game long term where everyone benefits if the thesis is directionally right. In this case, with the current financing structure, every retail investor loses.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "January is wild. \n\nNot even joking, many of my picks are up 60%+ over the past few days.\n\nDidn’t even include $AXTI +60% or $VLN +60% in the charts. \n\nWhile leaving out smaller rallies like $CRDO 25%+ or Intel 25%+.\n\nNeed more 5x stocks for research if you have ideas or a thesis. https://t.co/VWO2l8yn87", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.041420077439480396, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.041420077439480396, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03648056120320775, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.029118787318596073, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004939516236272645, "bench_c_m1d": 0.012301290120884323, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07692314203511275, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07692314203511275, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0796463564316422, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08217543995504617, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027232143965294497, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005252297919933424, "ret_p1w": -0.2485207467890379, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2485207467890379, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.24133611678910527, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2423700489374374, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007184629999932635, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006150697851600495, "ret_p1m": -0.40828404370311155, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.40828404370311155, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3951170831252703, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3703435661564054, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01316696057784128, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03794047754670615, "ret_p3m": -0.43195269465183417, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.43195269465183417, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4284961503025705, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4394927502071375, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0034565443492636794, "bench_c_p3m": 0.007540055555303349, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2485, 0.2899, 0.2012, 0.1598, 0.2426, 0.2308, 0.1893, 0.1243, 0.0828, 0.1006, 0.1302, 0.0355, -0.0296, 0.0059, -0.2249, -0.2012, -0.1657, -0.1775, -0.213, -0.2722, -0.2663, -0.3254, -0.3195, -0.3432, -0.3728, -0.3018, -0.2663, -0.2485, -0.2426, -0.2426, -0.2189, -0.3018, -0.2959, -0.2367, -0.1953, -0.2544, -0.284, -0.2426, -0.2899, -0.3136, -0.3373, -0.3728, -0.3728, -0.4497, -0.4734, -0.3905, -0.3728, -0.4142, -0.432, -0.432, -0.4438, -0.4734, -0.5089, -0.5207, -0.5207, -0.2722, -0.1302, -0.1657, -0.2899, 0.0296, 0.0059, -0.0651, 0.0414, 0.0, -0.0769, -0.1479, -0.1479, -0.213, -0.2485, -0.1716, -0.2071, -0.284, -0.2781, -0.3018, -0.3195, -0.3787, -0.3787, -0.355, -0.4024, -0.426, -0.3609, -0.3373, -0.3846, -0.3787, -0.4083, -0.4024, -0.4024, -0.4142, -0.3964, -0.3669, -0.3964, -0.4201, -0.4083, -0.4083, -0.4201, -0.4438, -0.3787, -0.3787, -0.3669, -0.3136, -0.355, -0.3787, -0.3787, -0.3669, -0.3609, -0.3728, -0.4083, -0.3905, -0.3669, -0.3728, -0.4201, -0.4083, -0.3964, -0.4024, -0.4438, -0.4793, -0.4911, -0.4675, -0.4615, -0.4615, -0.4615, -0.4438, -0.4556, -0.4615, -0.4556, -0.4497, -0.432, -0.3846, -0.3787, -0.3373, -0.3195, -0.2959, -0.3136, -0.284, -0.3432, -0.3609, -0.3728, -0.3846, -0.4083, -0.3787, -0.3728, -0.3787, -0.3728, -0.3373, -0.3077, -0.3077, -0.3314, -0.355, -0.3669, -0.3491, -0.3787, -0.4201, -0.4379, -0.4379, -0.426, -0.3964, -0.3964, -0.3787, -0.3728, -0.2959, -0.3077, -0.3077, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2003244238155481144", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-22T23:20:19+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Markets are starting to realize $LITE's role in every single hyperscaler ASIC deployment + blackwell and when you look at BOM, it's a whopping amount, especially in TPU v7", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish photonics plays: LITE as the leader in hyperscaler ASIC/Blackwell deployments; AAOI levered to Maia and Trainium with upside still ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Not really! Markets are starting to realize $LITE's role in every single hyperscaler ASIC deployment + blackwell and when you look at BOM, it's a whopping amount, especially in TPU v7.\n\nLite is the photonics leader but many there's others like  $AAOI, which are levered to MSFT Maia and AMZN Trainium (which hasn't moved at all yet). \n\nSo opportunity in photonics is there next year.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Seems a bit late, no? Been watching this for a while but…", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "munchPRMR", "ret_m1d": -0.04732228371797842, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04732228371797842, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04113096270264427, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04113096270264427, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006335285702701143, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006335285702701143, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010905740521134022, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010905740521134022, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "ret_p1w": -0.044295730263061106, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.044295730263061106, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04870550153834863, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04870550153834863, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "ret_p1m": -0.08476971862273575, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08476971862273575, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07418310393722505, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07418310393722505, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "ret_p3m": 0.9804298635804474, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.9804298635804474, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.016979113890733, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.016979113890733, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6082, -0.5919, -0.5877, -0.583, -0.5827, -0.5604, -0.5646, -0.5798, -0.5881, -0.5969, -0.5817, -0.5902, -0.6163, -0.5882, -0.5979, -0.5984, -0.5813, -0.5774, -0.5871, -0.5821, -0.5946, -0.5678, -0.5401, -0.5029, -0.4912, -0.4504, -0.4867, -0.483, -0.4881, -0.5169, -0.403, -0.3852, -0.3841, -0.3334, -0.3524, -0.349, -0.4181, -0.4046, -0.3791, -0.3654, -0.3102, -0.4018, -0.3444, -0.2322, -0.2529, -0.2093, -0.2093, -0.166, -0.1845, -0.2233, -0.2229, -0.1591, -0.15, -0.1214, -0.0758, -0.0612, -0.0456, -0.1681, -0.1416, -0.1891, -0.1786, -0.1353, -0.0473, 0.0, -0.0063, 0.0155, 0.0155, 0.0023, -0.0443, -0.048, -0.0546, -0.0546, -0.0097, -0.0842, 0.0193, 0.0077, -0.1068, -0.0986, -0.1283, -0.0732, -0.1494, -0.1195, -0.1683, -0.1683, -0.0848, -0.0704, -0.0908, -0.13, -0.1473, -0.0493, -0.0125, -0.0216, 0.005, 0.086, 0.116, 0.1941, 0.2938, 0.4158, 0.4803, 0.4392, 0.4725, 0.4965, 0.4434, 0.4434, 0.54, 0.5242, 0.6303, 0.7128, 0.7306, 0.7653, 0.8554, 0.7364, 0.7978, 1.009, 0.7811, 0.7462, 0.6693, 0.4323, 0.6433, 0.7236, 0.7236, 0.5802, 0.5966, 0.6026, 0.6661, 0.7975, 0.9804, 0.8117, 0.8697, 1.057, 0.9934, 0.7667, 0.8024, 0.6795, 0.8025, 0.9612, 1.1209, 1.1209, 0.9808, 1.0923, 1.2982, 1.2933, 1.3015, 1.2345, 1.1873, 1.1135, 1.2859, 1.2932, 1.2959, 1.1466, 1.2407, 1.1722, 1.2613, 1.205, 1.0298, 1.2015, 1.3144, 1.4365, 1.5038, 1.5509, 1.422, 1.2894, 1.3181, 1.7011, 1.5453, 1.6428, 1.5695, 1.4897, 1.2699, 1.283, 1.2265, 1.4738, 1.4287, 1.4287, 1.3361, 1.3143, 1.2074, 1.1929, 1.1929, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2003244238155481144", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-22T23:20:19+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI, which are levered to MSFT Maia and AMZN Trainium (which hasn't moved at all yet)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish photonics plays: LITE as the leader in hyperscaler ASIC/Blackwell deployments; AAOI levered to Maia and Trainium with upside still ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Not really! Markets are starting to realize $LITE's role in every single hyperscaler ASIC deployment + blackwell and when you look at BOM, it's a whopping amount, especially in TPU v7.\n\nLite is the photonics leader but many there's others like  $AAOI, which are levered to MSFT Maia and AMZN Trainium (which hasn't moved at all yet). \n\nSo opportunity in photonics is there next year.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Seems a bit late, no? Been watching this for a while but…", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "munchPRMR", "ret_m1d": -0.19887456920609026, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.19887456920609026, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1926832481907561, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1926832481907561, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03951907202210658, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03951907202210658, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.034948617203673704, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.034948617203673704, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "ret_p1w": -0.059982124248184165, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.059982124248184165, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06439189552347169, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06439189552347169, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "ret_p1m": 0.0042204142646937726, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0042204142646937726, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.01480702895020447, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01480702895020447, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "ret_p3m": 1.6069828619156716, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.6069828619156716, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.643532112225957, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.643532112225957, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3173, -0.3263, -0.3408, -0.3365, -0.3367, -0.2731, -0.2843, -0.2856, -0.1357, -0.1985, -0.1759, -0.172, -0.3055, -0.2557, -0.2715, -0.1572, -0.2035, -0.1835, -0.1267, -0.1457, -0.2333, -0.1968, -0.1301, -0.048, -0.0569, -0.0925, -0.103, -0.0904, -0.1549, -0.2454, -0.194, -0.2557, -0.2692, -0.3498, -0.3925, -0.3876, -0.4651, -0.451, -0.4467, -0.4657, -0.4662, -0.5015, -0.4736, -0.4252, -0.4186, -0.346, -0.346, -0.315, -0.3214, -0.3344, -0.3439, -0.3288, -0.3199, -0.2879, -0.2229, -0.1053, -0.071, -0.1799, -0.2352, -0.2592, -0.3058, -0.2518, -0.1989, 0.0, 0.0395, 0.0487, 0.0487, -0.0492, -0.06, -0.0787, -0.1083, -0.1083, 0.0129, -0.105, -0.0124, -0.0266, -0.1556, -0.1293, -0.1375, -0.1257, -0.1183, -0.0536, -0.0526, -0.0526, 0.0042, -0.0183, -0.0242, -0.0863, -0.1076, -0.0436, 0.1569, 0.0121, 0.1155, 0.1296, 0.1797, 0.0206, -0.0247, 0.1331, 0.2255, 0.2403, 0.238, 0.1252, 0.1372, 0.1372, 0.1232, 0.1111, 0.2017, 0.3219, 0.3802, 0.4393, 0.4866, 0.3733, 1.1545, 1.6221, 1.4387, 1.5505, 1.587, 1.4448, 1.8295, 2.082, 2.2488, 1.7162, 1.4763, 1.4062, 1.2082, 1.3694, 1.607, 1.2392, 1.4494, 1.9134, 1.9265, 1.4919, 1.5121, 1.1791, 1.1637, 1.2087, 1.6579, 1.6579, 1.7484, 2.0091, 2.3943, 2.4096, 2.8522, 2.9184, 2.7445, 2.6462, 3.024, 3.0778, 3.1814, 2.8514, 2.822, 2.523, 3.1481, 2.7289, 2.5109, 2.9092, 3.2041, 3.694, 3.4246, 3.6187, 3.5668, 3.0299, 2.8097, 3.7295, 3.816, 4.7066, 4.2071, 3.8692, 3.4318, 3.3824, 3.2271, 3.5226, 3.6423, 3.6423, 3.5433, 3.5998, 3.3233, 3.0519, 3.0519, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1982438769749119304", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-26T13:26:49+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS clearly stands out on top. On top of that, as you mentioned, they also have a great portfolio of subsidaries + hyperscaling companies too that I didn't add in that would lead to a higher upside", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS on superior core operations, subsidiary portfolio, and higher upside; bearish on AI/crypto miners as margin disappointment kills GW-equals-profit speculation.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just wanted to point out a new valuation thesis shifting from power capacity hype to margins due to new information from $NBIS recent whitepaper, $ORCL margin leak, and others.\n\nPeople just assume GW = profit with miners, but in terms of profitability and execution in the future, I'd expect the speculation to die down hard with miners when they find out margins are lower than expected. \n\nI just wanted to do the core operational side comparison, which $NBIS clearly stands out on top. \n\nOn top of that, as you mentioned, they also have a great portfolio of subsidaries + hyperscaling companies too that I didn't add in that would lead to a higher upside.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Not only is their core AI infrastructure business, more bullish than its competitors; but also their subsidiary businesses — AVride, Toloka, Clickhouse stake, ect makes them an absolute NO BRAINIER when picking the best play in this space. $NBIS is the goat 🐐", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Matriarch_111", "ret_m1d": -0.0651359176358719, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0651359176358719, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05347576869210846, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.051394016667661524, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013741900968210374, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02870125540430646, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02870125540430646, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.031357254360897535, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.023750721096447047, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004950534307859411, "ret_p1w": -0.03954396135218685, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03954396135218685, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.036771241766913265, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.009072772543005425, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": -0.030471188809181426, "ret_p1m": -0.291397615903933, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.291397615903933, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2764831740059033, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2669865978192385, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02441101808469448, "ret_p3m": -0.22785618880266678, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22785618880266678, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23628515601411337, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.22330124633290094, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": -0.004554942469765844, "ret_p6m": 0.24810653488691647, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.24810653488691647, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.21476196842477524, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.24166768131940364, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": 0.006438853567512837, "price_path": [-0.5911, -0.5661, -0.5854, -0.5681, -0.5602, -0.5608, -0.4793, -0.4516, -0.44, -0.3994, -0.4369, -0.4542, -0.429, -0.4217, -0.4643, -0.4621, -0.4724, -0.4501, -0.4418, -0.4381, -0.4411, -0.4257, -0.4553, -0.4553, -0.476, -0.4766, -0.4825, -0.478, -0.4893, -0.2369, -0.2554, -0.2889, -0.2792, -0.2748, -0.287, -0.2499, -0.2496, -0.2082, -0.1501, -0.1406, -0.0973, -0.1394, -0.1414, -0.1213, -0.1049, -0.0783, 0.0035, 0.0203, -0.0039, -0.0616, -0.0273, 0.0575, 0.0331, 0.08, 0.0217, 0.0032, -0.0191, -0.0956, -0.131, -0.1686, -0.2137, -0.1536, -0.0651, 0.0, -0.0287, -0.0026, -0.01, 0.043, -0.0395, -0.1187, -0.0672, -0.1275, -0.1128, -0.1234, -0.185, -0.2477, -0.2934, -0.334, -0.3145, -0.2782, -0.242, -0.3252, -0.3362, -0.2673, -0.2914, -0.2451, -0.2451, -0.2436, -0.2015, -0.231, -0.2114, -0.1804, -0.2184, -0.2001, -0.2314, -0.2538, -0.2483, -0.3009, -0.3531, -0.3546, -0.3985, -0.3774, -0.2868, -0.2567, -0.2822, -0.2735, -0.2735, -0.3017, -0.314, -0.321, -0.3327, -0.3327, -0.2829, -0.2599, -0.2008, -0.233, -0.2243, -0.2192, -0.1443, -0.1595, -0.187, -0.1718, -0.1331, -0.1331, -0.2084, -0.2118, -0.2279, -0.2466, -0.2708, -0.2197, -0.1993, -0.2433, -0.3208, -0.2971, -0.2829, -0.3431, -0.4111, -0.3136, -0.2595, -0.2682, -0.2936, -0.2846, -0.2186, -0.2186, -0.2225, -0.1884, -0.1421, -0.2193, -0.1979, -0.1822, -0.154, -0.1638, -0.273, -0.2744, -0.308, -0.2204, -0.2374, -0.2878, -0.2431, -0.2312, -0.1071, -0.1386, -0.0995, 0.0352, -0.0726, -0.0548, -0.0312, -0.0623, -0.0899, -0.0839, -0.0824, -0.1551, -0.1962, -0.2645, -0.1728, -0.1872, -0.1324, -0.1324, -0.1028, -0.064, -0.0034, 0.0869, 0.1558, 0.2322, 0.2911, 0.3296, 0.3182, 0.2528, 0.2689, 0.2481]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1982438769749119304", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-26T13:26:49+00:00", "symbol": "crypto miners", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd expect the speculation to die down hard with miners when they find out margins are lower than expected", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS on superior core operations, subsidiary portfolio, and higher upside; bearish on AI/crypto miners as margin disappointment kills GW-equals-profit speculation.", "resolved_tickers": ["MARA", "RIOT", "CIFR", "CORZ", "HUT"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Crypto miners basket", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just wanted to point out a new valuation thesis shifting from power capacity hype to margins due to new information from $NBIS recent whitepaper, $ORCL margin leak, and others.\n\nPeople just assume GW = profit with miners, but in terms of profitability and execution in the future, I'd expect the speculation to die down hard with miners when they find out margins are lower than expected. \n\nI just wanted to do the core operational side comparison, which $NBIS clearly stands out on top. \n\nOn top of that, as you mentioned, they also have a great portfolio of subsidaries + hyperscaling companies too that I didn't add in that would lead to a higher upside.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Not only is their core AI infrastructure business, more bullish than its competitors; but also their subsidiary businesses — AVride, Toloka, Clickhouse stake, ect makes them an absolute NO BRAINIER when picking the best play in this space. $NBIS is the goat 🐐", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Matriarch_111", "ret_m1d": -0.026704229850166915, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.026704229850166915, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.015044080906403478, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.022578965297745567, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004125264552421348, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.021224422464572477, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.021224422464572477, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.023880421421163554, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014849046405839748, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006375376058732729, "ret_p1w": 0.03527835922422131, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03527835922422131, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0380510788094949, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.057404732274195645, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022126373049974335, "ret_p1m": -0.2730636348840775, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2730636348840775, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.25814919298604777, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2582502144158909, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.014813420468186567, "ret_p3m": -0.1735870671282494, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1735870671282494, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.182016034339696, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.18611415728176955, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01252709015352016, "ret_p6m": -0.04151617604799318, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.04151617604799318, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.07486074251013441, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.030688700373396216, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010827475674596965, "price_path": [-0.4491, -0.4443, -0.4908, -0.4637, -0.4716, -0.4603, -0.464, -0.477, -0.4681, -0.4551, -0.4601, -0.4458, -0.4546, -0.4251, -0.4521, -0.4439, -0.4526, -0.4261, -0.4305, -0.4043, -0.4033, -0.3976, -0.3908, -0.3908, -0.3813, -0.3938, -0.4191, -0.4169, -0.41, -0.3512, -0.3102, -0.3213, -0.2995, -0.2817, -0.2528, -0.2334, -0.2245, -0.2288, -0.1994, -0.2193, -0.2023, -0.267, -0.2668, -0.1997, -0.2049, -0.1948, -0.167, -0.155, -0.1062, -0.1132, -0.0753, -0.0568, -0.1, -0.0157, 0.015, 0.048, -0.0466, -0.0572, -0.013, -0.0571, -0.147, -0.1123, -0.0267, 0.0, -0.0212, -0.0058, -0.0455, -0.0393, 0.0353, -0.0312, -0.0111, -0.0932, -0.1061, -0.1152, -0.1776, -0.2159, -0.306, -0.3176, -0.3216, -0.3047, -0.3224, -0.3542, -0.3626, -0.2858, -0.2731, -0.2368, -0.2368, -0.1901, -0.2139, -0.2636, -0.2278, -0.2003, -0.2197, -0.2066, -0.193, -0.2035, -0.1953, -0.2509, -0.3317, -0.3314, -0.3478, -0.3355, -0.2778, -0.2508, -0.2589, -0.2506, -0.2506, -0.2839, -0.2934, -0.3192, -0.3232, -0.3232, -0.2509, -0.184, -0.1902, -0.2117, -0.1999, -0.1867, -0.1546, -0.1363, -0.1446, -0.1643, -0.1038, -0.1038, -0.1432, -0.1496, -0.1736, -0.1484, -0.178, -0.1082, -0.101, -0.1425, -0.2076, -0.2141, -0.2002, -0.2735, -0.3749, -0.2644, -0.209, -0.2232, -0.2397, -0.265, -0.2309, -0.2309, -0.2575, -0.2493, -0.2224, -0.2492, -0.2481, -0.1899, -0.198, -0.2034, -0.2305, -0.2293, -0.2901, -0.2279, -0.2598, -0.3237, -0.296, -0.296, -0.2746, -0.2924, -0.2855, -0.2566, -0.2577, -0.2805, -0.273, -0.311, -0.2595, -0.2627, -0.2339, -0.2887, -0.3308, -0.3888, -0.3448, -0.3414, -0.3177, -0.3177, -0.2989, -0.2677, -0.1882, -0.161, -0.1474, -0.1016, -0.0794, -0.0886, -0.0854, -0.0347, -0.0185, -0.0415]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1979402377057964058", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-18T04:21:16+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd expect short hedges to unwind Monday and price to go back up, hence why I used this time to buy calls despite elevated IV", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Expects NBIS short hedges to unwind Monday driving price higher; bought calls into the dip.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It's likely MM pinning for $NBIS, you can see this with the price stuck at $113.5 despite any volatility. \n\nI'd expect short hedges to unwind Monday (given MMs bought puts and were short calls -> heavy short into expiration) and price to go back up, hence why I used this time to buy calls despite elevated IV.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Hello. Many think the big drop is an ‘across the board’ selling phenomenon ie across multiple holder types. However, I was thinking that it may just be Lion Partners, who hold 450k shares, as per the last 13F filing, trimming their positions from their funds, after a huge run up", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "WalesbyKris", "ret_m1d": 0.04073396735235102, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04073396735235102, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05102738630141501, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.051917693225524975, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010293418949063993, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011183725873173955, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.043302763492689245, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.043302763492689245, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04328785901121346, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.046829967539421924, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4904481475785936e-05, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0035272040467326793, "ret_p1w": 0.15073394775390625, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.15073394775390625, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1299682560780684, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14281927338018385, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02076569167583786, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007914674373722397, "ret_p1m": -0.16935778976580418, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16935778976580418, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15264392252651282, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13124699608279966, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016713867239291358, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03811079368300452, "ret_p3m": -0.046926585906142515, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.046926585906142515, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08116684322149981, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04990505064625661, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03424025731535729, "bench_c_p3m": 0.002978464740114095, "ret_p6m": 0.4856880957927179, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4856880957927179, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4452974081858949, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.47647862917762884, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04039068760682296, "bench_c_p6m": 0.009209466615089035, "price_path": [-0.524, -0.5215, -0.5287, -0.5161, -0.5376, -0.5294, -0.5006, -0.5229, -0.503, -0.4939, -0.4946, -0.4008, -0.369, -0.3556, -0.3089, -0.352, -0.3719, -0.3429, -0.3345, -0.3836, -0.381, -0.3928, -0.3672, -0.3576, -0.3534, -0.3569, -0.3391, -0.3732, -0.3732, -0.3971, -0.3977, -0.4045, -0.3994, -0.4123, -0.1218, -0.1432, -0.1817, -0.1706, -0.1655, -0.1795, -0.1369, -0.1365, -0.0889, -0.022, -0.011, 0.0388, -0.0097, -0.0119, 0.0112, 0.03, 0.0606, 0.1548, 0.1741, 0.1462, 0.0798, 0.1193, 0.2169, 0.1888, 0.2428, 0.1757, 0.1544, 0.1288, 0.0407, 0.0, -0.0433, -0.0952, -0.0261, 0.0758, 0.1507, 0.1177, 0.1477, 0.1393, 0.2002, 0.1052, 0.0141, 0.0734, 0.004, 0.0209, 0.0087, -0.0622, -0.1343, -0.1869, -0.2336, -0.2112, -0.1694, -0.1278, -0.2235, -0.2361, -0.1569, -0.1846, -0.1313, -0.1313, -0.1296, -0.0812, -0.1151, -0.0925, -0.0569, -0.1006, -0.0795, -0.1155, -0.1414, -0.135, -0.1955, -0.2556, -0.2573, -0.3078, -0.2836, -0.1793, -0.1447, -0.174, -0.1639, -0.1639, -0.1964, -0.2106, -0.2186, -0.2321, -0.2321, -0.1748, -0.1483, -0.0804, -0.1173, -0.1073, -0.1016, -0.0153, -0.0328, -0.0644, -0.0469, -0.0025, -0.0025, -0.0891, -0.0929, -0.1115, -0.133, -0.1609, -0.1021, -0.0786, -0.1293, -0.2184, -0.1912, -0.1748, -0.2441, -0.3223, -0.2101, -0.1479, -0.1579, -0.1871, -0.1768, -0.1008, -0.1008, -0.1053, -0.0661, -0.0128, -0.1017, -0.077, -0.0589, -0.0264, -0.0378, -0.1634, -0.165, -0.2037, -0.1029, -0.1225, -0.1805, -0.129, -0.1153, 0.0275, -0.0088, 0.0362, 0.1913, 0.0672, 0.0877, 0.1149, 0.0791, 0.0472, 0.0542, 0.0559, -0.0278, -0.075, -0.1536, -0.0481, -0.0647, -0.0017, -0.0017, 0.0325, 0.0771, 0.1468, 0.2507, 0.33, 0.418, 0.4857]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972805925204627592", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-29T23:29:20+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "ETH is a strong sell $4k+", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short ETH above $4k: L2s don't deliver enough value to mainnet, too many competitors (Solana, EVM-compatible L1s) siphoning activity.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@robswainept Sure I'll do an Ethereum writeup this weekend. It's a really long thesis, but mainly has to do how L2 don't enough deliver value to ETH mainnet compatible to their tx and how there's too many competitors (eg. Solana) or EVM compatible L1s that siphon off network activity.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Can I ask why you think ETH is a strong sell $4k+ ?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "robswainept", "ret_m1d": -0.043025646523677574, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.043025646523677574, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04022315610755478, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.016926367551390986, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.016926367551390986, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02069323431050296, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": 0.11154649306550946, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11154649306550946, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09959801168309679, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.055741117752731384, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.055741117752731384, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0909689244953007, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.3115142832399148, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3115142832399148, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.35481826785206805, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.48884760839150476, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.48884760839150476, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.47863060197956286, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3903, -0.3856, -0.4052, -0.397, -0.3798, -0.343, -0.2994, -0.2986, -0.2855, -0.2555, -0.2006, -0.1756, -0.1585, -0.1076, -0.111, -0.1393, -0.1208, -0.1162, -0.1019, -0.1005, -0.097, -0.1235, -0.1729, -0.1182, -0.1436, -0.1265, -0.0718, -0.0492, 0.0023, 0.0886, 0.1278, 0.0784, 0.0528, 0.0226, -0.0341, 0.0278, 0.0014, 0.1456, 0.0369, 0.0908, 0.0678, 0.0687, 0.0339, 0.023, 0.0256, 0.0553, 0.0193, 0.0213, 0.0215, 0.0217, 0.0313, 0.0578, 0.1181, 0.0734, 0.0679, 0.089, 0.0883, 0.0601, -0.0034, -0.0123, -0.0151, -0.0828, -0.043, 0.0, -0.0169, 0.0317, 0.0642, 0.0705, 0.1115, 0.0554, 0.0736, 0.036, -0.0888, 0.0067, -0.0218, -0.0545, -0.0765, -0.0912, -0.0561, -0.0808, -0.097, -0.0857, -0.0671, -0.0231, -0.0557, -0.0745, -0.0979, -0.0878, -0.1458, -0.2193, -0.1878, -0.2146, -0.1854, -0.1539, -0.1902, -0.1907, -0.2335, -0.264, -0.2828, -0.2595, -0.2832, -0.3285, -0.3442, -0.2999, -0.2986, -0.2821, -0.2852, -0.281, -0.336, -0.2891, -0.2432, -0.2568, -0.2829, -0.259, -0.2125, -0.2115, -0.2324, -0.2687, -0.2971, -0.2971, -0.3286, -0.3297, -0.2939, -0.2872, -0.2973, -0.3016, -0.3115, -0.3063, -0.3042, -0.2954, -0.2965, -0.2886, -0.2591, -0.235, -0.2185, -0.2491, -0.2639, -0.269, -0.2668, -0.2123, -0.2045, -0.2135, -0.2186, -0.2444, -0.3039, -0.2937, -0.3006, -0.2997, -0.3061, -0.2834, -0.2871, -0.3318, -0.3592, -0.4441, -0.4718, -0.4917, -0.568, -0.5107, -0.5012, -0.5211, -0.5398, -0.5383, -0.5143, -0.5263, -0.5276, -0.5367, -0.538, -0.5331, -0.56, -0.5606, -0.5128, -0.5194, -0.5422, -0.5193, -0.5299, -0.4958, -0.5088, -0.5308, -0.5274, -0.517, -0.5135, -0.5084, -0.5038, -0.4425, -0.4504, -0.4775, -0.4932, -0.491, -0.4897, -0.4888]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2011531528896143665", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-14T20:11:03+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Go omega long on war stocks and oil before the actual event", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Go long oil and defense/war stocks ahead of imminent US attack on Iran; LPTH flagged as a major beneficiary.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Oil proxied by USO ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DesingerGem BREAKING: \"US may attack Iran within the next 24 hours, per Reuters\"\n\n\"US ATTACK IS IMMINENT\"\n\nGo omega long on war stocks and oil before the actual event. \n\n$LPTH is a huge beneficiary of this. https://t.co/byzGakiNrN", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Opinion on market once trump hits Iran?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DesingerGem", "ret_m1d": 0.011981858411636015, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011981858411636015, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00704234217536337, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00704234217536337, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004939516236272645, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004939516236272645, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02038291343469012, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02038291343469012, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02310612783121957, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02310612783121957, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027232143965294497, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0027232143965294497, "ret_p1w": 0.010053652684241854, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.010053652684241854, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01723828268417449, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01723828268417449, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007184629999932635, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007184629999932635, "ret_p1m": 0.051921176303212135, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.051921176303212135, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06508813688105342, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06508813688105342, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01316696057784128, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01316696057784128, "ret_p3m": 0.7693155232171689, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7693155232171689, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.7727720675664326, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.7727720675664326, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0034565443492636794, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0034565443492636794, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0638, -0.0658, -0.0598, -0.0273, 0.0094, 0.0079, 0.007, -0.0168, -0.0112, -0.0124, -0.0007, 0.0018, -0.0094, -0.0218, -0.0238, -0.0186, -0.0128, 0.0015, -0.0388, -0.038, -0.0169, -0.018, -0.0015, -0.0238, -0.0339, -0.0456, -0.0302, -0.0463, -0.0354, -0.0354, -0.0212, -0.0213, -0.0332, -0.0269, -0.0168, -0.0095, -0.0292, -0.0379, -0.0285, -0.0463, -0.0523, -0.065, -0.0887, -0.0638, -0.0746, -0.0631, -0.0397, -0.0318, -0.0332, -0.0332, -0.0569, -0.0413, -0.0395, -0.0475, -0.0475, -0.0503, -0.0329, -0.0565, -0.0664, -0.0285, -0.0252, -0.0132, 0.012, 0.0, -0.0204, -0.0132, -0.0132, -0.0103, 0.0101, -0.0109, 0.0185, 0.012, 0.042, 0.0552, 0.0899, 0.0952, 0.0375, 0.0669, 0.0726, 0.0562, 0.0603, 0.0745, 0.0746, 0.0865, 0.0519, 0.0497, 0.0497, 0.043, 0.0935, 0.1182, 0.1135, 0.1142, 0.1122, 0.0981, 0.0986, 0.1286, 0.2008, 0.2423, 0.261, 0.3264, 0.498, 0.4369, 0.4579, 0.4881, 0.6305, 0.6511, 0.5842, 0.6367, 0.6757, 0.6163, 0.6724, 0.5227, 0.5775, 0.5616, 0.6149, 0.7105, 0.788, 0.7525, 0.709, 0.8995, 0.8995, 0.9135, 0.9017, 0.7157, 0.7485, 0.719, 0.7693, 0.7057, 0.6883, 0.7331, 0.5981, 0.6708, 0.7663, 0.7821, 0.8554, 0.8234, 0.8554, 0.9226, 1.0745, 1.0258, 0.9667, 1.0329, 0.9855, 0.8448, 0.8588, 0.8398, 0.9097, 0.9873, 0.9562, 0.9694, 1.0415, 1.0561, 1.1066, 0.9869, 0.9631, 0.9408, 0.9408, 0.8868, 0.8046, 0.8011, 0.7779, 0.7779, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2011531528896143665", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-14T20:11:03+00:00", "symbol": "LPTH", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LPTH is a huge beneficiary of this", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Go long oil and defense/war stocks ahead of imminent US attack on Iran; LPTH flagged as a major beneficiary.", "resolved_tickers": ["LPTH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DesingerGem BREAKING: \"US may attack Iran within the next 24 hours, per Reuters\"\n\n\"US ATTACK IS IMMINENT\"\n\nGo omega long on war stocks and oil before the actual event. \n\n$LPTH is a huge beneficiary of this. https://t.co/byzGakiNrN", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Opinion on market once trump hits Iran?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DesingerGem", "ret_m1d": -0.11866967113733051, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11866967113733051, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12360918737360316, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12360918737360316, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004939516236272645, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004939516236272645, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004535107182040088, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004535107182040088, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007258321578569538, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007258321578569538, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027232143965294497, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0027232143965294497, "ret_p1w": 0.03099023547034241, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03099023547034241, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03817486547027504, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03817486547027504, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007184629999932635, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007184629999932635, "ret_p1m": -0.056689344365103755, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.056689344365103755, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.043522383787262475, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.043522383787262475, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01316696057784128, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01316696057784128, "ret_p3m": 0.08919125820138318, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08919125820138318, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09264780255064686, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09264780255064686, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0034565443492636794, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0034565443492636794, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4376, -0.3401, -0.3726, -0.4444, -0.3968, -0.3613, -0.3621, -0.3621, -0.3802, -0.3741, -0.3439, -0.3832, -0.4308, -0.4082, -0.424, -0.4172, -0.4119, -0.3923, -0.4429, -0.4966, -0.4936, -0.486, -0.4837, -0.4921, -0.5329, -0.5306, -0.4868, -0.4777, -0.4769, -0.4769, -0.4444, -0.458, -0.4014, -0.3689, -0.3182, -0.3348, -0.3394, -0.3348, -0.3333, -0.3107, -0.3878, -0.4339, -0.446, -0.48, -0.4573, -0.4225, -0.3553, -0.3416, -0.3175, -0.3175, -0.3182, -0.2222, -0.2018, -0.1837, -0.1837, -0.1141, -0.1164, -0.1293, -0.0779, -0.0454, -0.0673, -0.0937, -0.1187, 0.0, -0.0045, -0.0499, -0.0499, 0.0582, 0.031, 0.0831, -0.0597, -0.2268, -0.1497, -0.1474, -0.1315, -0.2124, -0.2063, -0.1769, -0.2895, -0.3152, -0.2018, -0.1436, -0.1678, -0.2237, -0.0567, -0.1293, -0.1293, -0.155, -0.1504, 0.028, -0.093, -0.1534, -0.0937, -0.1104, -0.158, -0.2116, -0.0922, -0.0945, -0.1081, -0.1436, -0.1633, -0.1618, -0.1633, -0.1769, -0.1708, -0.2056, -0.1686, -0.0937, -0.1179, -0.1315, -0.2041, -0.1353, -0.1028, -0.0967, -0.1693, -0.2827, -0.2963, -0.2419, -0.2275, -0.1701, -0.1701, -0.1315, -0.1716, -0.1247, -0.0809, -0.0302, 0.0892, 0.0801, 0.0597, 0.1277, 0.0703, 0.0809, 0.0726, 0.1073, 0.1051, 0.2162, 0.0574, -0.0401, -0.0786, -0.0317, 0.0355, -0.068, -0.0854, -0.0272, -0.0907, -0.13, -0.031, -0.0771, -0.0839, -0.0816, -0.1293, -0.0597, 0.0491, 0.0317, 0.0794, 0.2812, 0.2812, 0.2275, 0.3311, 0.3719, 0.2834, 0.2834, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2001144106513522697", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-17T04:15:09+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "bullish for $NBIS and $CIFR", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "SPEED Act passing is a major positive catalyst for data center companies including NBIS, CIFR, ORCL, CRWV, CoreWeave, APLD, and CORZ by reducing permitting delays and derisking bear cases.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thanks! There were some other posts about the Speed act passing and “bullish for $NBIS and $CIFR”, which is helpful.\n\nBut I just wanted to break down “why” since the DC sector is EXCEPTIONALLY nuanced and interconnected. \n\nSpeed act passing is better than 3x rate cut, since delays are probably one of single biggest issue for probability whe we look at utilization drag, time sensitive depreciation costs, and margins affecting companies like $ORCL and $CRWV. \n\nBear case thesis with delays and “unsustainable capex” gets derisked with this act on direct beneficiaries like Coreweave. And companies downstream from $APLD and $CORZ improve as well from lower counterparty risk.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Great find!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "crux_capital_", "ret_m1d": 0.07289596053626002, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07289596053626002, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.061769913640945084, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06564264067564163, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011126046895314934, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00725331986061839, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03499005296792057, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03499005296792057, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.027438720390305704, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.029291001726849508, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0075513325776148665, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0056990512410710625, "ret_p1w": 0.20781976062811602, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.20781976062811602, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1765120286490418, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.18483121144126935, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.031307731979074216, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022988549186846674, "ret_p1m": 0.3768721847330805, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3768721847330805, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3427859580524917, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3701696416586826, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.034086226680588805, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006702543074397882, "ret_p3m": 0.7210074401009083, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7210074401009083, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.7215928338547761, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.7219281198232458, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0005853937538677911, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0009206797223374474, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3162, 0.4129, 0.4288, 0.5007, 0.4306, 0.4274, 0.4608, 0.488, 0.5323, 0.6683, 0.6962, 0.6559, 0.56, 0.617, 0.758, 0.7174, 0.7954, 0.6985, 0.6677, 0.6307, 0.5035, 0.4447, 0.3821, 0.3071, 0.407, 0.5541, 0.6624, 0.6147, 0.6581, 0.6459, 0.7339, 0.5967, 0.4651, 0.5507, 0.4505, 0.4749, 0.4573, 0.3548, 0.2506, 0.1747, 0.1072, 0.1396, 0.2, 0.26, 0.1218, 0.1035, 0.218, 0.178, 0.255, 0.255, 0.2574, 0.3274, 0.2783, 0.3111, 0.3625, 0.2994, 0.3298, 0.2778, 0.2404, 0.2496, 0.1622, 0.0754, 0.0729, 0.0, 0.035, 0.1857, 0.2357, 0.1932, 0.2078, 0.2078, 0.1609, 0.1404, 0.1288, 0.1094, 0.1094, 0.1922, 0.2304, 0.3286, 0.2751, 0.2896, 0.2979, 0.4225, 0.3973, 0.3516, 0.3769, 0.4411, 0.4411, 0.316, 0.3104, 0.2836, 0.2525, 0.2122, 0.2972, 0.3311, 0.2579, 0.1291, 0.1685, 0.1922, 0.092, -0.0209, 0.1412, 0.231, 0.2166, 0.1744, 0.1893, 0.299, 0.299, 0.2925, 0.3492, 0.4262, 0.2978, 0.3335, 0.3596, 0.4065, 0.3901, 0.2086, 0.2062, 0.1504, 0.296, 0.2677, 0.184, 0.2583, 0.2781, 0.4844, 0.4319, 0.497, 0.721, 0.5418, 0.5714, 0.6106, 0.5589, 0.5129, 0.523, 0.5254, 0.4045, 0.3362, 0.2228, 0.3752, 0.3512, 0.4423, 0.4423, 0.4916, 0.556, 0.6567, 0.8069, 0.9214, 1.0485, 1.1463, 1.2103, 1.1914, 1.0827, 1.1095, 1.0749, 1.0695, 1.0819, 0.9504, 0.9213, 0.796, 0.8713, 0.8321, 1.0476, 1.3382, 1.3316, 1.5857, 1.4489, 1.3466, 1.4665, 1.3739, 1.7471, 1.9311, 1.915, 1.6489, 1.6207, 1.5423, 1.9149, 1.8465, 1.8465, 1.7576, 1.7617, 1.9999, 2.0628, 2.0628, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2001144106513522697", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-17T04:15:09+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "bullish for $NBIS and $CIFR", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "SPEED Act passing is a major positive catalyst for data center companies including NBIS, CIFR, ORCL, CRWV, CoreWeave, APLD, and CORZ by reducing permitting delays and derisking bear cases.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thanks! There were some other posts about the Speed act passing and “bullish for $NBIS and $CIFR”, which is helpful.\n\nBut I just wanted to break down “why” since the DC sector is EXCEPTIONALLY nuanced and interconnected. \n\nSpeed act passing is better than 3x rate cut, since delays are probably one of single biggest issue for probability whe we look at utilization drag, time sensitive depreciation costs, and margins affecting companies like $ORCL and $CRWV. \n\nBear case thesis with delays and “unsustainable capex” gets derisked with this act on direct beneficiaries like Coreweave. And companies downstream from $APLD and $CORZ improve as well from lower counterparty risk.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Great find!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "crux_capital_", "ret_m1d": 0.04169558120085948, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04169558120085948, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.030569534305544543, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01895362165596426, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011126046895314934, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02274195954489522, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05281440285442196, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05281440285442196, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.045263070276807094, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03738997617843509, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0075513325776148665, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015424426675986869, "ret_p1w": 0.12717157236767496, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12717157236767496, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09586384038860074, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07600636212005529, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.031307731979074216, "bench_c_p1w": 0.051165210247619664, "ret_p1m": 0.2175121639863824, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2175121639863824, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1834259373057936, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.17238236510053273, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.034086226680588805, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04512979888584967, "ret_p3m": 0.05211952620612781, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05211952620612781, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0527049199599956, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.054985528811425044, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0005853937538677911, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0028660026052972354, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1466, -0.0299, -0.0167, -0.0174, -0.1897, -0.2029, -0.1209, -0.1251, -0.1244, -0.0403, 0.0215, 0.066, 0.0945, 0.2231, 0.2502, 0.1793, 0.4135, 0.4517, 0.4614, 0.3009, 0.3037, 0.3836, 0.2561, 0.1195, 0.1991, 0.4357, 0.4274, 0.3871, 0.3614, 0.3252, 0.296, 0.5817, 0.5643, 0.7172, 0.5087, 0.4378, 0.3655, 0.2974, 0.2078, 0.0375, -0.0021, -0.0028, 0.0132, 0.016, 0.0118, -0.0167, 0.1612, 0.2175, 0.3308, 0.3308, 0.4142, 0.3683, 0.2259, 0.2946, 0.378, 0.3398, 0.3537, 0.3593, 0.2842, 0.312, 0.1849, 0.0243, 0.0417, 0.0, 0.0528, 0.1265, 0.1355, 0.1056, 0.1272, 0.1272, 0.0556, 0.0479, 0.0139, 0.0257, 0.0257, 0.1258, 0.262, 0.2189, 0.1174, 0.1501, 0.1557, 0.2286, 0.2682, 0.2599, 0.2175, 0.3065, 0.3065, 0.2453, 0.2314, 0.2085, 0.221, 0.1459, 0.303, 0.3183, 0.23, 0.1091, 0.0987, 0.13, -0.0097, -0.1174, 0.0236, 0.1647, 0.1883, 0.1313, 0.1188, 0.1411, 0.1411, 0.0869, 0.0716, 0.098, 0.0181, 0.0577, 0.1897, 0.1543, 0.1452, 0.0841, 0.0952, 0.0222, 0.1147, 0.0528, -0.0535, -0.0056, -0.0299, -0.0195, -0.0473, -0.0215, 0.0521, 0.0486, 0.0195, 0.0174, -0.0264, 0.0347, 0.0341, 0.1035, -0.0028, -0.0448, -0.165, -0.1056, -0.1216, -0.1091, -0.1091, -0.0723, -0.0264, 0.0716, 0.1369, 0.1487, 0.2342, 0.2821, 0.2509, 0.205, 0.3461, 0.3405, 0.2536, 0.3509, 0.2988, 0.2648, 0.262, 0.1994, 0.1758, 0.2328, 0.1842, 0.2432, 0.5358, 0.5226, 0.4375, 0.4281, 0.4093, 0.394, 0.476, 0.549, 0.4128, 0.3287, 0.3065, 0.3537, 0.4955, 0.5268, 0.5268, 0.5997, 0.7484, 0.7088, 0.6435, 0.6435, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2001144106513522697", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-12-17T04:15:09+00:00", "symbol": "ORCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "delays are probably one of single biggest issue for probability whe we look at utilization drag, time sensitive depreciation costs, and margins affecting companies like $ORCL and $CRWV", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "SPEED Act passing is a major positive catalyst for data center companies including NBIS, CIFR, ORCL, CRWV, CoreWeave, APLD, and CORZ by reducing permitting delays and derisking bear cases.", "resolved_tickers": ["ORCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thanks! There were some other posts about the Speed act passing and “bullish for $NBIS and $CIFR”, which is helpful.\n\nBut I just wanted to break down “why” since the DC sector is EXCEPTIONALLY nuanced and interconnected. \n\nSpeed act passing is better than 3x rate cut, since delays are probably one of single biggest issue for probability whe we look at utilization drag, time sensitive depreciation costs, and margins affecting companies like $ORCL and $CRWV. \n\nBear case thesis with delays and “unsustainable capex” gets derisked with this act on direct beneficiaries like Coreweave. And companies downstream from $APLD and $CORZ improve as well from lower counterparty risk.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Great find!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "crux_capital_", "ret_m1d": 0.057099538356531365, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.057099538356531365, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04597349146121643, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04597349146121643, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011126046895314934, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011126046895314934, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008797395622654358, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008797395622654358, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0012460630450394916, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0012460630450394916, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0075513325776148665, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0075513325776148665, "ret_p1w": 0.10663454839858022, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10663454839858022, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.075326816419506, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.075326816419506, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.031307731979074216, "bench_c_p1w": 0.031307731979074216, "ret_p1m": 0.06663591452326467, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06663591452326467, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03254968784267587, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03254968784267587, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.034086226680588805, "bench_c_p1m": 0.034086226680588805, "ret_p3m": -0.1237123973750448, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1237123973750448, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12312700362117701, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12312700362117701, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0005853937538677911, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0005853937538677911, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.7266, 0.8356, 0.7555, 0.7255, 0.6296, 0.5856, 0.5817, 0.5732, 0.6167, 0.6154, 0.6006, 0.6311, 0.59, 0.6145, 0.664, 0.6416, 0.7259, 0.6754, 0.7013, 0.7539, 0.6324, 0.5532, 0.5418, 0.5278, 0.5694, 0.5876, 0.5768, 0.5736, 0.5426, 0.4395, 0.4715, 0.4449, 0.3906, 0.4026, 0.3661, 0.3407, 0.3495, 0.3233, 0.2719, 0.2192, 0.2487, 0.232, 0.2355, 0.2638, 0.1806, 0.1138, 0.1223, 0.1041, 0.1485, 0.1485, 0.1316, 0.126, 0.1269, 0.164, 0.201, 0.2192, 0.2358, 0.2413, 0.2496, 0.1143, 0.0645, 0.0362, 0.0571, 0.0, 0.0088, 0.0757, 0.1116, 0.0946, 0.1066, 0.1066, 0.1094, 0.0948, 0.1051, 0.0922, 0.0922, 0.0967, 0.0792, 0.0857, 0.0806, 0.0627, 0.1153, 0.15, 0.1365, 0.0878, 0.0666, 0.0736, 0.0736, 0.0108, -0.0231, 0.0011, -0.0047, 0.025, -0.0174, -0.0292, -0.0504, -0.0753, -0.1007, -0.131, -0.176, -0.2332, -0.1976, -0.1202, -0.1017, -0.117, -0.1208, -0.1003, -0.1003, -0.1349, -0.1226, -0.1205, -0.168, -0.2061, -0.1789, -0.1691, -0.1555, -0.1831, -0.1615, -0.1628, -0.1439, -0.1303, -0.1406, -0.1485, -0.1606, -0.0835, -0.1058, -0.1285, -0.1237, -0.1309, -0.141, -0.1262, -0.1591, -0.1329, -0.1736, -0.1796, -0.1976, -0.2153, -0.2202, -0.1735, -0.1841, -0.1776, -0.1776, -0.1823, -0.1956, -0.1929, -0.2228, -0.2215, -0.1226, -0.081, -0.0426, 0.0055, -0.013, 0.0012, 0.0214, 0.0571, -0.0061, -0.0231, -0.0249, -0.0643, -0.0763, -0.0901, -0.0312, 0.0165, 0.045, 0.0939, 0.0971, 0.1048, 0.0929, 0.0533, 0.0699, 0.1028, 0.0878, 0.0521, 0.0231, 0.0608, 0.0699, 0.0829, 0.0829, 0.0885, 0.0766, 0.1484, 0.2729, 0.2729, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2001144106513522697", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-12-17T04:15:09+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "delays are probably one of single biggest issue for probability whe we look at utilization drag, time sensitive depreciation costs, and margins affecting companies like $ORCL and $CRWV", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "SPEED Act passing is a major positive catalyst for data center companies including NBIS, CIFR, ORCL, CRWV, CoreWeave, APLD, and CORZ by reducing permitting delays and derisking bear cases.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thanks! There were some other posts about the Speed act passing and “bullish for $NBIS and $CIFR”, which is helpful.\n\nBut I just wanted to break down “why” since the DC sector is EXCEPTIONALLY nuanced and interconnected. \n\nSpeed act passing is better than 3x rate cut, since delays are probably one of single biggest issue for probability whe we look at utilization drag, time sensitive depreciation costs, and margins affecting companies like $ORCL and $CRWV. \n\nBear case thesis with delays and “unsustainable capex” gets derisked with this act on direct beneficiaries like Coreweave. And companies downstream from $APLD and $CORZ improve as well from lower counterparty risk.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Great find!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "crux_capital_", "ret_m1d": 0.07668468960835151, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07668468960835151, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06555864271303657, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06555864271303657, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011126046895314934, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011126046895314934, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0484894981477888, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0484894981477888, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.040938165570173934, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.040938165570173934, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0075513325776148665, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0075513325776148665, "ret_p1w": 0.22184351692969062, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.22184351692969062, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1905357849506164, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1905357849506164, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.031307731979074216, "bench_c_p1w": 0.031307731979074216, "ret_p1m": 0.47188222531994395, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.47188222531994395, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.43779599863935514, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.43779599863935514, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.034086226680588805, "bench_c_p1m": 0.034086226680588805, "ret_p3m": 0.33013162743783075, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.33013162743783075, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.33071702119169855, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.33071702119169855, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0005853937538677911, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0005853937538677911, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.9343, 1.064, 1.0277, 1.0666, 0.9622, 0.8643, 0.8981, 1.1201, 1.1232, 1.1379, 1.0881, 1.0736, 0.9958, 1.1686, 1.2166, 1.1445, 1.194, 1.0768, 1.1571, 1.1958, 1.1204, 0.9684, 0.9374, 0.8827, 0.9108, 1.0534, 1.1078, 1.0883, 1.1678, 1.0304, 1.0714, 0.9569, 0.7932, 0.7726, 0.6565, 0.6113, 0.6361, 0.3693, 0.3235, 0.2136, 0.1985, 0.167, 0.1603, 0.1607, 0.0722, 0.11, 0.1402, 0.1044, 0.1509, 0.1509, 0.1328, 0.1938, 0.1778, 0.2294, 0.3284, 0.3679, 0.336, 0.4045, 0.3658, 0.3537, 0.2175, 0.1208, 0.0767, 0.0, 0.0485, 0.2858, 0.3142, 0.2434, 0.2218, 0.2218, 0.1839, 0.1607, 0.1448, 0.1094, 0.1094, 0.2288, 0.1907, 0.2074, 0.1957, 0.1943, 0.2415, 0.3932, 0.3552, 0.3912, 0.4719, 0.5682, 0.5682, 0.4751, 0.457, 0.422, 0.4404, 0.523, 0.6864, 0.6424, 0.5419, 0.4437, 0.3778, 0.3952, 0.2775, 0.1565, 0.3935, 0.4995, 0.4734, 0.4741, 0.4826, 0.4878, 0.4878, 0.4098, 0.4787, 0.5049, 0.3826, 0.4073, 0.5383, 0.5184, 0.5125, 0.2325, 0.2091, 0.143, 0.2316, 0.1591, 0.1308, 0.1527, 0.1607, 0.2697, 0.2372, 0.2565, 0.3301, 0.2722, 0.283, 0.2496, 0.2621, 0.2697, 0.2861, 0.3568, 0.2463, 0.1589, 0.0713, 0.2002, 0.2152, 0.2741, 0.2741, 0.2539, 0.3205, 0.3772, 0.4253, 0.5802, 0.7083, 0.8156, 0.8387, 0.8522, 0.8102, 0.8192, 0.784, 0.8984, 0.8191, 0.7063, 0.736, 0.6349, 0.769, 0.7289, 0.8437, 0.9431, 0.9813, 1.1376, 0.996, 0.7684, 0.7769, 0.6692, 0.7244, 0.7694, 0.6623, 0.6076, 0.5462, 0.569, 0.6666, 0.6342, 0.6342, 0.6404, 0.6153, 0.6555, 0.6968, 0.6968, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2001144106513522697", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-12-17T04:15:09+00:00", "symbol": "CoreWeave", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bear case thesis with delays and 'unsustainable capex' gets derisked with this act on direct beneficiaries like Coreweave", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "SPEED Act passing is a major positive catalyst for data center companies including NBIS, CIFR, ORCL, CRWV, CoreWeave, APLD, and CORZ by reducing permitting delays and derisking bear cases.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "CoreWeave IPO'd on NASDAQ as CRWV", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thanks! There were some other posts about the Speed act passing and “bullish for $NBIS and $CIFR”, which is helpful.\n\nBut I just wanted to break down “why” since the DC sector is EXCEPTIONALLY nuanced and interconnected. \n\nSpeed act passing is better than 3x rate cut, since delays are probably one of single biggest issue for probability whe we look at utilization drag, time sensitive depreciation costs, and margins affecting companies like $ORCL and $CRWV. \n\nBear case thesis with delays and “unsustainable capex” gets derisked with this act on direct beneficiaries like Coreweave. And companies downstream from $APLD and $CORZ improve as well from lower counterparty risk.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Great find!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "crux_capital_", "ret_m1d": 0.07668468960835151, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07668468960835151, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06555864271303657, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06555864271303657, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011126046895314934, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011126046895314934, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0484894981477888, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0484894981477888, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.040938165570173934, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.040938165570173934, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0075513325776148665, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0075513325776148665, "ret_p1w": 0.22184351692969062, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.22184351692969062, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1905357849506164, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1905357849506164, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.031307731979074216, "bench_c_p1w": 0.031307731979074216, "ret_p1m": 0.47188222531994395, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.47188222531994395, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.43779599863935514, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.43779599863935514, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.034086226680588805, "bench_c_p1m": 0.034086226680588805, "ret_p3m": 0.33013162743783075, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.33013162743783075, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.33071702119169855, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.33071702119169855, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0005853937538677911, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0005853937538677911, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.9343, 1.064, 1.0277, 1.0666, 0.9622, 0.8643, 0.8981, 1.1201, 1.1232, 1.1379, 1.0881, 1.0736, 0.9958, 1.1686, 1.2166, 1.1445, 1.194, 1.0768, 1.1571, 1.1958, 1.1204, 0.9684, 0.9374, 0.8827, 0.9108, 1.0534, 1.1078, 1.0883, 1.1678, 1.0304, 1.0714, 0.9569, 0.7932, 0.7726, 0.6565, 0.6113, 0.6361, 0.3693, 0.3235, 0.2136, 0.1985, 0.167, 0.1603, 0.1607, 0.0722, 0.11, 0.1402, 0.1044, 0.1509, 0.1509, 0.1328, 0.1938, 0.1778, 0.2294, 0.3284, 0.3679, 0.336, 0.4045, 0.3658, 0.3537, 0.2175, 0.1208, 0.0767, 0.0, 0.0485, 0.2858, 0.3142, 0.2434, 0.2218, 0.2218, 0.1839, 0.1607, 0.1448, 0.1094, 0.1094, 0.2288, 0.1907, 0.2074, 0.1957, 0.1943, 0.2415, 0.3932, 0.3552, 0.3912, 0.4719, 0.5682, 0.5682, 0.4751, 0.457, 0.422, 0.4404, 0.523, 0.6864, 0.6424, 0.5419, 0.4437, 0.3778, 0.3952, 0.2775, 0.1565, 0.3935, 0.4995, 0.4734, 0.4741, 0.4826, 0.4878, 0.4878, 0.4098, 0.4787, 0.5049, 0.3826, 0.4073, 0.5383, 0.5184, 0.5125, 0.2325, 0.2091, 0.143, 0.2316, 0.1591, 0.1308, 0.1527, 0.1607, 0.2697, 0.2372, 0.2565, 0.3301, 0.2722, 0.283, 0.2496, 0.2621, 0.2697, 0.2861, 0.3568, 0.2463, 0.1589, 0.0713, 0.2002, 0.2152, 0.2741, 0.2741, 0.2539, 0.3205, 0.3772, 0.4253, 0.5802, 0.7083, 0.8156, 0.8387, 0.8522, 0.8102, 0.8192, 0.784, 0.8984, 0.8191, 0.7063, 0.736, 0.6349, 0.769, 0.7289, 0.8437, 0.9431, 0.9813, 1.1376, 0.996, 0.7684, 0.7769, 0.6692, 0.7244, 0.7694, 0.6623, 0.6076, 0.5462, 0.569, 0.6666, 0.6342, 0.6342, 0.6404, 0.6153, 0.6555, 0.6968, 0.6968, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2001144106513522697", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2025-12-17T04:15:09+00:00", "symbol": "APLD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "companies downstream from $APLD and $CORZ improve as well from lower counterparty risk", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "SPEED Act passing is a major positive catalyst for data center companies including NBIS, CIFR, ORCL, CRWV, CoreWeave, APLD, and CORZ by reducing permitting delays and derisking bear cases.", "resolved_tickers": ["APLD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thanks! There were some other posts about the Speed act passing and “bullish for $NBIS and $CIFR”, which is helpful.\n\nBut I just wanted to break down “why” since the DC sector is EXCEPTIONALLY nuanced and interconnected. \n\nSpeed act passing is better than 3x rate cut, since delays are probably one of single biggest issue for probability whe we look at utilization drag, time sensitive depreciation costs, and margins affecting companies like $ORCL and $CRWV. \n\nBear case thesis with delays and “unsustainable capex” gets derisked with this act on direct beneficiaries like Coreweave. And companies downstream from $APLD and $CORZ improve as well from lower counterparty risk.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Great find!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "crux_capital_", "ret_m1d": 0.10181817141446192, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.10181817141446192, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.09069212451914699, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0790762118695667, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011126046895314934, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02274195954489522, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08636361902410328, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08636361902410328, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07881228644648841, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07093919234811641, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0075513325776148665, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015424426675986869, "ret_p1w": 0.16909087787974975, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16909087787974975, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.13778314590067553, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.11792566763213008, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.031307731979074216, "bench_c_p1w": 0.051165210247619664, "ret_p1m": 0.6009091463955967, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6009091463955967, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5668229197150079, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.555779347509747, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.034086226680588805, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04512979888584967, "ret_p3m": 0.2595454129305752, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2595454129305752, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.260130806684443, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.26241141553587244, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0005853937538677911, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0028660026052972354, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0691, 0.1114, 0.1214, 0.0659, 0.0268, -0.0132, 0.0068, 0.0427, 0.1364, 0.2032, 0.2059, 0.2595, 0.2409, 0.27, 0.3314, 0.545, 0.5564, 0.5927, 0.7164, 0.6655, 0.5564, 0.6318, 0.4791, 0.3918, 0.5173, 0.5195, 0.5614, 0.5605, 0.5645, 0.5432, 0.5755, 0.4941, 0.4118, 0.5041, 0.4127, 0.4082, 0.4291, 0.2986, 0.2005, 0.0482, 0.075, 0.0425, 0.0382, 0.0495, -0.0286, -0.0414, 0.0814, 0.0791, 0.1336, 0.1336, 0.2318, 0.2823, 0.275, 0.3345, 0.4155, 0.4191, 0.4595, 0.4895, 0.4086, 0.3982, 0.2664, 0.0445, 0.1018, 0.0, 0.0864, 0.2659, 0.2627, 0.1855, 0.1691, 0.1691, 0.0932, 0.1277, 0.0945, 0.1145, 0.1145, 0.2777, 0.3727, 0.3755, 0.3436, 0.4518, 0.7127, 0.7368, 0.6686, 0.6409, 0.6009, 0.7, 0.7, 0.6118, 0.5936, 0.5791, 0.7132, 0.6445, 0.8795, 0.8282, 0.7305, 0.54, 0.5818, 0.6682, 0.4336, 0.2657, 0.5886, 0.7391, 0.7032, 0.6636, 0.6441, 0.6036, 0.6036, 0.5255, 0.4505, 0.4332, 0.32, 0.3636, 0.3936, 0.3218, 0.3023, 0.2395, 0.2695, 0.1886, 0.3023, 0.2768, 0.1427, 0.2286, 0.2455, 0.2964, 0.2491, 0.2295, 0.2595, 0.2505, 0.2114, 0.2136, 0.1786, 0.2391, 0.2177, 0.2895, 0.1689, 0.08, -0.0661, 0.0791, 0.1132, 0.1164, 0.1164, 0.145, 0.1445, 0.2632, 0.1623, 0.1936, 0.2545, 0.4305, 0.4005, 0.3677, 0.4332, 0.4632, 0.4236, 0.4741, 0.6523, 0.59, 0.5305, 0.4595, 0.4857, 0.5568, 0.525, 0.6195, 0.8127, 1.0109, 0.8877, 0.875, 1.0268, 0.9968, 1.0673, 1.1232, 0.9345, 0.7791, 0.6645, 0.7964, 1.1827, 1.085, 1.085, 1.0518, 1.2264, 1.2568, 1.1491, 1.1491, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2001144106513522697", "ticker_idx": 6, "ts": "2025-12-17T04:15:09+00:00", "symbol": "CORZ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "companies downstream from $APLD and $CORZ improve as well from lower counterparty risk", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "SPEED Act passing is a major positive catalyst for data center companies including NBIS, CIFR, ORCL, CRWV, CoreWeave, APLD, and CORZ by reducing permitting delays and derisking bear cases.", "resolved_tickers": ["CORZ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thanks! There were some other posts about the Speed act passing and “bullish for $NBIS and $CIFR”, which is helpful.\n\nBut I just wanted to break down “why” since the DC sector is EXCEPTIONALLY nuanced and interconnected. \n\nSpeed act passing is better than 3x rate cut, since delays are probably one of single biggest issue for probability whe we look at utilization drag, time sensitive depreciation costs, and margins affecting companies like $ORCL and $CRWV. \n\nBear case thesis with delays and “unsustainable capex” gets derisked with this act on direct beneficiaries like Coreweave. And companies downstream from $APLD and $CORZ improve as well from lower counterparty risk.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Great find!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "crux_capital_", "ret_m1d": 0.08548267306553803, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08548267306553803, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0743566261702231, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0743566261702231, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011126046895314934, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011126046895314934, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07295510295185048, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07295510295185048, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06540377037423561, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06540377037423561, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0075513325776148665, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0075513325776148665, "ret_p1w": 0.1473839384655864, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1473839384655864, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11607620648651218, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.11607620648651218, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.031307731979074216, "bench_c_p1w": 0.031307731979074216, "ret_p1m": 0.3323507981066507, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3323507981066507, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2982645714260619, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2982645714260619, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.034086226680588805, "bench_c_p1m": 0.034086226680588805, "ret_p3m": 0.2505526672802416, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2505526672802416, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2511380610341094, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2511380610341094, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0005853937538677911, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0005853937538677911, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2248, 0.2653, 0.2528, 0.2535, 0.241, 0.2417, 0.2771, 0.322, 0.3242, 0.3338, 0.3132, 0.3198, 0.2601, 0.2918, 0.3294, 0.3648, 0.4156, 0.3957, 0.4694, 0.4495, 0.4001, 0.3861, 0.4171, 0.3117, 0.3309, 0.4252, 0.4643, 0.4805, 0.5306, 0.5284, 0.5873, 0.6875, 0.6021, 0.6065, 0.5173, 0.4878, 0.4215, 0.2763, 0.2115, 0.1172, 0.1002, 0.0899, 0.1371, 0.1341, 0.1172, 0.0855, 0.1606, 0.1459, 0.1923, 0.1923, 0.2447, 0.2225, 0.1658, 0.2196, 0.2587, 0.2609, 0.3036, 0.2889, 0.2771, 0.2822, 0.2181, 0.126, 0.0855, 0.0, 0.073, 0.1496, 0.1636, 0.1408, 0.1474, 0.1474, 0.1268, 0.1113, 0.0766, 0.073, 0.073, 0.1783, 0.2329, 0.2373, 0.1968, 0.2292, 0.2631, 0.2881, 0.3287, 0.3206, 0.3324, 0.392, 0.392, 0.353, 0.3412, 0.3324, 0.3847, 0.4038, 0.4694, 0.4363, 0.3884, 0.3257, 0.3169, 0.3073, 0.1901, 0.0917, 0.2388, 0.367, 0.336, 0.3331, 0.2881, 0.3147, 0.3147, 0.2697, 0.2727, 0.325, 0.2749, 0.2447, 0.3169, 0.3324, 0.325, 0.2506, 0.2152, 0.1275, 0.1673, 0.1791, 0.0951, 0.1172, 0.1393, 0.2189, 0.1968, 0.2152, 0.2506, 0.21, 0.2049, 0.2144, 0.1651, 0.2218, 0.2417, 0.2564, 0.1636, 0.1105, 0.0251, 0.1024, 0.1275, 0.196, 0.196, 0.2004, 0.2402, 0.3014, 0.325, 0.35, 0.3788, 0.3766, 0.406, 0.4326, 0.4628, 0.4643, 0.5306, 0.5615, 0.5335, 0.5387, 0.5549, 0.4753, 0.4414, 0.4738, 0.4996, 0.5549, 0.6352, 0.815, 0.6478, 0.689, 0.6912, 0.6794, 0.7686, 0.8364, 0.7841, 0.7369, 0.689, 0.7082, 0.829, 0.8615, 0.8615, 0.9433, 1.0044, 1.0457, 0.9786, 0.9786, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972150087817351182", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-28T04:03:16+00:00", "symbol": "HIVE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Looks like $HIVE pivoting into HPC which is really good for forward revenue. It would probably take me an hour or two to really get to know the business but at first glance it looks direction ally promising.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "First-glance bullish on HIVE's pivot into HPC as promising for forward revenue.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIVE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Air_Airia Took me a bit to read into it (eg https://t.co/WlUsSt7YIZ).\n\nLooks like $HIVE pivoting into HPC which is really good for forward revenue. \n\nIt would probably take me an hour or two to really get to know the business but at first glance it looks direction ally promising.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What do you think about $hive", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Air_Airia", "ret_m1d": -0.08571426802088422, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08571426802088422, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08291177760476143, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08072625185553783, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004988016165346387, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0467533271777989, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0467533271777989, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04298646041868692, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05155659937099488, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004803272193195984, "ret_p1w": 0.44675332717779903, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.44675332717779903, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.43480484579538636, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.4546971758148377, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007943848637038675, "ret_p1m": 0.44675332717779903, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.44675332717779903, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4115255204352297, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4678137135066598, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02106038632886076, "ret_p3m": -0.25974026617422397, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.25974026617422397, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3030442507863772, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.29289708217477217, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": 0.033156816000548206, "ret_p6m": -0.467532466728222, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.467532466728222, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4573154603162801, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3858113722648403, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.08172109446338172, "price_path": [-0.4156, -0.4, -0.4, -0.4104, -0.4234, -0.426, -0.3974, -0.4026, -0.4026, -0.439, -0.4286, -0.4234, -0.4208, -0.4104, -0.3506, -0.3766, -0.3896, -0.4104, -0.4234, -0.4416, -0.4312, -0.4442, -0.4727, -0.4623, -0.4623, -0.4494, -0.4545, -0.4623, -0.4494, -0.4416, -0.4208, -0.4156, -0.4234, -0.3844, -0.3792, -0.3766, -0.3948, -0.3455, -0.3143, -0.2597, -0.2364, -0.2364, -0.2338, -0.2338, -0.2338, -0.2519, -0.2961, -0.3091, -0.3247, -0.2234, -0.1896, -0.1221, -0.0104, 0.0286, 0.0078, 0.0078, -0.0026, -0.0156, -0.0078, -0.0312, 0.0519, -0.0701, -0.0857, 0.0, 0.0468, 0.0805, 0.1325, 0.1558, 0.4468, 0.6104, 0.6987, 0.8078, 0.7169, 0.7558, 0.7974, 0.7688, 0.5169, 0.4831, 0.4519, 0.4286, 0.2831, 0.3299, 0.5662, 0.5325, 0.4468, 0.4416, 0.3766, 0.3506, 0.3974, 0.2805, 0.3195, 0.239, 0.2208, 0.2286, 0.2, 0.0649, -0.0494, -0.1403, -0.0753, -0.0961, -0.2, -0.2416, -0.2494, -0.1662, -0.1766, -0.1688, -0.1688, -0.1273, -0.1818, -0.1818, -0.1481, -0.1377, -0.1896, -0.1948, -0.1662, -0.174, -0.1532, -0.2052, -0.2779, -0.2779, -0.3091, -0.3065, -0.2649, -0.2416, -0.2649, -0.2597, -0.2597, -0.2935, -0.2961, -0.3325, -0.3299, -0.3299, -0.2909, -0.2234, -0.2078, -0.2052, -0.1818, -0.1922, -0.1558, -0.0805, -0.1091, -0.1169, -0.0987, -0.0987, -0.1714, -0.161, -0.2026, -0.1636, -0.213, -0.2104, -0.2338, -0.2857, -0.2753, -0.361, -0.3584, -0.4052, -0.4779, -0.3948, -0.3818, -0.4026, -0.4208, -0.4442, -0.426, -0.426, -0.4494, -0.4494, -0.4364, -0.4494, -0.4519, -0.4234, -0.4052, -0.4078, -0.4442, -0.4286, -0.4545, -0.4026, -0.4286, -0.4675, -0.4623, -0.4623, -0.4468, -0.4597, -0.4468, -0.4286, -0.426, -0.4494, -0.4571, -0.4753, -0.4545, -0.4675]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1987610303752970252", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-09T19:56:39+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "focus on stocks that corrected but still have growing fundamentals eg. $NBIS", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish high-beta names NBIS, IREN, ALAB, RDDT on macro tailwinds from govt shutdown resolution and stimulus; also sees ETH recovery underway.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Lot of headline-only posters out there.\n\nI usually try to connect the dots on top of the headlines and fill in the why (it moves markets).\n\nTLDR on the new macro setup (bullish for high-beta names like $NBIS, $IREN, etc):\n\n1⃣ DEAL TO END GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN TAKES SHAPE - Axios (Government shutdown likely ending within ~5 days)\n\nCommentary: Event-contract odds jumped from 27% → 54% in the past hour or two. We're pricing in a near-term resolution.\n\n• Liquidity flows back once government spending resumes.\n\n• Market reprices GDP growth higher.\n\n• Consumer spending picks up immediately.\n\n• Uncertainty fades (markets hate uncertainty).\n\nResult → Expect high-beta and cyclicals to do well when risk appetite comes back.\n\n2️⃣ $2,000 “tariff dividend” proposal to American taxpayers\n\nCommentary: Feels like a mini-version of the COVID stimulus. Those deposits triggered the fastest jumps in retail spending, people were buying everything from Bitcoin to League Skins with that. But at least this came from tariffs.\n\n• Great for assets: more money flowing into the economy.\n\n• Might lead to inflation: more demand pressure, potential Fed pushback later.\n\n• Short-term: Extremely positive for risk assets and growth names. Mid to long-term: Could backfire with inflation and the Fed tightens.\n\n• Usually moves like this aim to ignite markets in the near term, good for anything heavy growth.\n\nResult → Expect frontrunning before the official reopening and a spike once it’s confirmed.\n\nYou can kinda see stuff like $ETH start its recovery from the combination of the two above $3300->$3500 as an example.\n\nAgain I expected things like #2, just due to midterms coming up next year. The party in power usually gets re-elected if markets seem to be doing well (so I'd expect stuff like #2 + fed pressured rate cuts, so markets go up). \n\nOf course this is just new news + speculation, not facts for sure given how volatile decisions are made lol. But generally focus on stocks that corrected but still have growing fundamentals eg. $NBIS, $RDDT, $ALAB, etc.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Pretty disgusting correction across the board.\n\nLast 5 days for high-beta growth stocks:\n\n• $SMCI -26.11%\n• $RKLB -19.85%\n• $CRCL -19.81%\n• $NBIS -19.14%\n• $WYFI -18.55%\n• $ALAB -16.64%\n• $CRDO -16.8%\n• $HOOD -14.36%\n• $ASTS -14.09%\n• $IREN -13.22%\n• $AMD -11.63%\n• https://t.co/TqyTnAWgeb", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.012096424447203713, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.012096424447203713, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0274610134338642, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.022424805176480045, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015364588986660488, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010328380729276332, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07030464704039852, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07030464704039852, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07259388702695535, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07842606362140381, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0022892399865568347, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008121416581005292, "ret_p1w": -0.2180081333025613, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.2180081333025613, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.19486594739454766, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.19946994626134995, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023142185908013646, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01853818704121135, "ret_p1m": -0.12314682730283866, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12314682730283866, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12549479808624886, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1506009217503843, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0023479707834102026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02745409444754565, "ret_p3m": -0.32814911508041644, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.32814911508041644, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3254817280306832, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3573353500066291, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0026673870497332386, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02918623492621264, "ret_p6m": 0.6000000277558699, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6000000277558699, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5318338401385378, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5726825849168786, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06816618761733206, "bench_c_p6m": 0.02731744283899129, "price_path": [-0.3576, -0.3774, -0.3486, -0.3402, -0.3889, -0.3864, -0.3981, -0.3726, -0.3632, -0.359, -0.3624, -0.3448, -0.3786, -0.3786, -0.4023, -0.4029, -0.4096, -0.4045, -0.4174, -0.1294, -0.1506, -0.1888, -0.1777, -0.1727, -0.1866, -0.1443, -0.144, -0.0968, -0.0305, -0.0196, 0.0298, -0.0183, -0.0205, 0.0025, 0.0211, 0.0515, 0.1448, 0.164, 0.1363, 0.0705, 0.1096, 0.2064, 0.1785, 0.232, 0.1655, 0.1444, 0.1191, 0.0317, -0.0086, -0.0516, -0.103, -0.0345, 0.0665, 0.1408, 0.108, 0.1378, 0.1294, 0.1898, 0.0957, 0.0054, 0.0641, -0.0046, 0.0121, 0.0, -0.0703, -0.1418, -0.1939, -0.2402, -0.218, -0.1765, -0.1353, -0.2302, -0.2427, -0.1642, -0.1916, -0.1388, -0.1388, -0.1372, -0.0891, -0.1228, -0.1003, -0.065, -0.1083, -0.0875, -0.1231, -0.1488, -0.1425, -0.2025, -0.262, -0.2638, -0.3138, -0.2898, -0.1864, -0.1521, -0.1812, -0.1712, -0.1712, -0.2034, -0.2175, -0.2254, -0.2387, -0.2387, -0.1819, -0.1557, -0.0883, -0.125, -0.1151, -0.1093, -0.0238, -0.0411, -0.0725, -0.0552, -0.0111, -0.0111, -0.097, -0.1008, -0.1191, -0.1405, -0.1682, -0.1099, -0.0866, -0.1368, -0.2252, -0.1982, -0.1819, -0.2507, -0.3281, -0.2169, -0.1553, -0.1652, -0.1941, -0.1839, -0.1086, -0.1086, -0.1131, -0.0741, -0.0213, -0.1094, -0.0849, -0.067, -0.0348, -0.0461, -0.1706, -0.1723, -0.2106, -0.1107, -0.1301, -0.1875, -0.1365, -0.123, 0.0186, -0.0174, 0.0273, 0.181, 0.058, 0.0783, 0.1052, 0.0698, 0.0382, 0.0451, 0.0467, -0.0362, -0.083, -0.1609, -0.0563, -0.0728, -0.0103, -0.0103, 0.0236, 0.0678, 0.1369, 0.2399, 0.3185, 0.4057, 0.4729, 0.5168, 0.5038, 0.4292, 0.4476, 0.4238, 0.4201, 0.4286, 0.3384, 0.3184, 0.2325, 0.2841, 0.2572, 0.4051, 0.6045, 0.6]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1987610303752970252", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-09T19:56:39+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "bullish for high-beta names like $NBIS, $IREN, etc", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish high-beta names NBIS, IREN, ALAB, RDDT on macro tailwinds from govt shutdown resolution and stimulus; also sees ETH recovery underway.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Lot of headline-only posters out there.\n\nI usually try to connect the dots on top of the headlines and fill in the why (it moves markets).\n\nTLDR on the new macro setup (bullish for high-beta names like $NBIS, $IREN, etc):\n\n1⃣ DEAL TO END GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN TAKES SHAPE - Axios (Government shutdown likely ending within ~5 days)\n\nCommentary: Event-contract odds jumped from 27% → 54% in the past hour or two. We're pricing in a near-term resolution.\n\n• Liquidity flows back once government spending resumes.\n\n• Market reprices GDP growth higher.\n\n• Consumer spending picks up immediately.\n\n• Uncertainty fades (markets hate uncertainty).\n\nResult → Expect high-beta and cyclicals to do well when risk appetite comes back.\n\n2️⃣ $2,000 “tariff dividend” proposal to American taxpayers\n\nCommentary: Feels like a mini-version of the COVID stimulus. Those deposits triggered the fastest jumps in retail spending, people were buying everything from Bitcoin to League Skins with that. But at least this came from tariffs.\n\n• Great for assets: more money flowing into the economy.\n\n• Might lead to inflation: more demand pressure, potential Fed pushback later.\n\n• Short-term: Extremely positive for risk assets and growth names. Mid to long-term: Could backfire with inflation and the Fed tightens.\n\n• Usually moves like this aim to ignite markets in the near term, good for anything heavy growth.\n\nResult → Expect frontrunning before the official reopening and a spike once it’s confirmed.\n\nYou can kinda see stuff like $ETH start its recovery from the combination of the two above $3300->$3500 as an example.\n\nAgain I expected things like #2, just due to midterms coming up next year. The party in power usually gets re-elected if markets seem to be doing well (so I'd expect stuff like #2 + fed pressured rate cuts, so markets go up). \n\nOf course this is just new news + speculation, not facts for sure given how volatile decisions are made lol. But generally focus on stocks that corrected but still have growing fundamentals eg. $NBIS, $RDDT, $ALAB, etc.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Pretty disgusting correction across the board.\n\nLast 5 days for high-beta growth stocks:\n\n• $SMCI -26.11%\n• $RKLB -19.85%\n• $CRCL -19.81%\n• $NBIS -19.14%\n• $WYFI -18.55%\n• $ALAB -16.64%\n• $CRDO -16.8%\n• $HOOD -14.36%\n• $ASTS -14.09%\n• $IREN -13.22%\n• $AMD -11.63%\n• https://t.co/TqyTnAWgeb", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.036729316377319465, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.036729316377319465, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05209390536397995, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04031632090420478, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015364588986660488, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003587004526885318, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04636857546507356, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04636857546507356, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04865781545163039, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05089938327293364, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0022892399865568347, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004530807807860082, "ret_p1w": -0.21206579208637633, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.21206579208637633, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.18892360617836268, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.18337033698622118, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023142185908013646, "bench_c_p1w": -0.028695455100155143, "ret_p1m": -0.22153894668451635, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.22153894668451635, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.22388691746792655, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.22739128247596585, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0023479707834102026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005852335791449503, "ret_p3m": -0.3387069615025584, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3387069615025584, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3360395744528252, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.34826426815109435, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0026673870497332386, "bench_c_p3m": 0.009557306648535935, "ret_p6m": -0.0902442522140714, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.0902442522140714, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.15841043983140346, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0726196902294477, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06816618761733206, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0176245619846237, "price_path": [-0.7053, -0.6829, -0.6728, -0.6559, -0.6887, -0.6716, -0.6744, -0.6438, -0.6158, -0.6179, -0.6285, -0.6171, -0.5599, -0.5599, -0.5162, -0.5312, -0.5657, -0.5654, -0.5647, -0.4983, -0.4411, -0.454, -0.4356, -0.3827, -0.3942, -0.3701, -0.3964, -0.3578, -0.3036, -0.3058, -0.2166, -0.2307, -0.3043, -0.2367, -0.22, -0.2176, -0.2185, -0.1614, -0.0402, 0.0251, -0.0013, 0.0612, -0.0066, 0.066, 0.1561, 0.1298, 0.0276, 0.0091, -0.0158, -0.0827, -0.1386, -0.0716, 0.0454, 0.0801, 0.0374, 0.0042, -0.0324, 0.0096, 0.126, 0.1074, 0.2699, 0.1128, 0.0367, 0.0, -0.0464, -0.0743, -0.1915, -0.2294, -0.2121, -0.1881, -0.2383, -0.2775, -0.2977, -0.1941, -0.2111, -0.1948, -0.1948, -0.2054, -0.1941, -0.3166, -0.2694, -0.228, -0.2569, -0.2298, -0.2215, -0.2701, -0.2697, -0.3331, -0.4103, -0.3919, -0.4386, -0.405, -0.3365, -0.3013, -0.3008, -0.3023, -0.3023, -0.3302, -0.345, -0.3635, -0.3723, -0.3723, -0.2903, -0.1983, -0.237, -0.275, -0.2408, -0.235, -0.1635, -0.1193, -0.1212, -0.1376, -0.0391, -0.0391, -0.0982, -0.1112, -0.1315, -0.058, -0.1298, -0.003, 0.046, -0.0055, -0.1069, -0.1178, -0.0961, -0.2531, -0.3387, -0.3048, -0.233, -0.2865, -0.2908, -0.3347, -0.2983, -0.2983, -0.3191, -0.3006, -0.2805, -0.3355, -0.296, -0.2446, -0.2682, -0.2647, -0.3194, -0.3121, -0.3543, -0.2714, -0.3331, -0.3901, -0.3545, -0.3665, -0.3023, -0.3124, -0.309, -0.2531, -0.286, -0.2985, -0.3076, -0.3138, -0.2993, -0.3166, -0.3115, -0.3776, -0.4168, -0.4745, -0.4303, -0.4334, -0.4221, -0.4221, -0.4162, -0.406, -0.3879, -0.3841, -0.3465, -0.2842, -0.2127, -0.1886, -0.2072, -0.2003, -0.1903, -0.2493, -0.1958, -0.1354, -0.1584, -0.1963, -0.2614, -0.2877, -0.2436, -0.2412, -0.1777, -0.0902]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1987610303752970252", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-11-09T19:56:39+00:00", "symbol": "ALAB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "focus on stocks that corrected but still have growing fundamentals eg. $NBIS, $RDDT, $ALAB", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish high-beta names NBIS, IREN, ALAB, RDDT on macro tailwinds from govt shutdown resolution and stimulus; also sees ETH recovery underway.", "resolved_tickers": ["ALAB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Lot of headline-only posters out there.\n\nI usually try to connect the dots on top of the headlines and fill in the why (it moves markets).\n\nTLDR on the new macro setup (bullish for high-beta names like $NBIS, $IREN, etc):\n\n1⃣ DEAL TO END GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN TAKES SHAPE - Axios (Government shutdown likely ending within ~5 days)\n\nCommentary: Event-contract odds jumped from 27% → 54% in the past hour or two. We're pricing in a near-term resolution.\n\n• Liquidity flows back once government spending resumes.\n\n• Market reprices GDP growth higher.\n\n• Consumer spending picks up immediately.\n\n• Uncertainty fades (markets hate uncertainty).\n\nResult → Expect high-beta and cyclicals to do well when risk appetite comes back.\n\n2️⃣ $2,000 “tariff dividend” proposal to American taxpayers\n\nCommentary: Feels like a mini-version of the COVID stimulus. Those deposits triggered the fastest jumps in retail spending, people were buying everything from Bitcoin to League Skins with that. But at least this came from tariffs.\n\n• Great for assets: more money flowing into the economy.\n\n• Might lead to inflation: more demand pressure, potential Fed pushback later.\n\n• Short-term: Extremely positive for risk assets and growth names. Mid to long-term: Could backfire with inflation and the Fed tightens.\n\n• Usually moves like this aim to ignite markets in the near term, good for anything heavy growth.\n\nResult → Expect frontrunning before the official reopening and a spike once it’s confirmed.\n\nYou can kinda see stuff like $ETH start its recovery from the combination of the two above $3300->$3500 as an example.\n\nAgain I expected things like #2, just due to midterms coming up next year. The party in power usually gets re-elected if markets seem to be doing well (so I'd expect stuff like #2 + fed pressured rate cuts, so markets go up). \n\nOf course this is just new news + speculation, not facts for sure given how volatile decisions are made lol. But generally focus on stocks that corrected but still have growing fundamentals eg. $NBIS, $RDDT, $ALAB, etc.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Pretty disgusting correction across the board.\n\nLast 5 days for high-beta growth stocks:\n\n• $SMCI -26.11%\n• $RKLB -19.85%\n• $CRCL -19.81%\n• $NBIS -19.14%\n• $WYFI -18.55%\n• $ALAB -16.64%\n• $CRDO -16.8%\n• $HOOD -14.36%\n• $ASTS -14.09%\n• $IREN -13.22%\n• $AMD -11.63%\n• https://t.co/TqyTnAWgeb", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04748474582225448, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04748474582225448, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.032120156835593994, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01774590328479697, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015364588986660488, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02973884253745751, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.035627962735674035, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.035627962735674035, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03791720272223087, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01405542086367384, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0022892399865568347, "bench_c_p1d": -0.021572541872000195, "ret_p1w": -0.18619779602106934, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.18619779602106934, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1630556101130557, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1346633809577803, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023142185908013646, "bench_c_p1w": -0.05153441506328904, "ret_p1m": -0.03833316134188458, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03833316134188458, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04068113212529478, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06678987624540034, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0023479707834102026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.028456714903515756, "ret_p3m": -0.17796706107599314, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17796706107599314, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1752996740262599, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24336947782728457, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0026673870497332386, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06540241675129144, "ret_p6m": 0.2414527202826222, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2414527202826222, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.17328653266529015, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.21989343950322748, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06816618761733206, "bench_c_p6m": 0.4613461597858497, "price_path": [0.1145, 0.0976, 0.0697, 0.073, -0.0154, -0.0074, 0.0218, 0.0308, 0.0024, 0.0277, 0.0314, 0.0887, 0.0487, 0.0487, 0.0029, 0.0165, 0.0818, 0.1005, 0.2438, 0.2345, 0.3259, 0.3405, 0.3209, 0.3312, 0.3744, 0.4354, 0.4498, 0.4113, 0.3658, 0.3245, 0.1815, 0.1548, 0.1384, 0.1442, 0.127, 0.1195, 0.2064, 0.1554, 0.2709, 0.2208, 0.2626, 0.2975, 0.1869, 0.1484, -0.0702, -0.0707, -0.0587, -0.0802, -0.1003, -0.0934, -0.1087, -0.0581, -0.0505, -0.0199, -0.0316, -0.0007, -0.0241, 0.0745, 0.1026, 0.0321, 0.0472, -0.0628, -0.0475, 0.0, -0.0356, -0.0918, -0.1685, -0.1692, -0.1862, -0.197, -0.1826, -0.1983, -0.1838, -0.1496, -0.1667, -0.1124, -0.1124, -0.0931, -0.0492, -0.1773, -0.1223, -0.1222, -0.072, 0.0115, -0.0383, -0.0542, -0.0002, -0.1433, -0.1731, -0.1658, -0.1928, -0.1604, -0.0538, -0.0064, -0.0283, -0.0217, -0.0217, -0.0373, -0.0209, -0.0167, -0.0425, -0.0425, 0.0335, -0.0382, -0.0733, -0.0459, -0.0979, -0.0641, -0.0067, 0.0393, -0.0092, 0.0041, 0.0475, 0.0475, 0.0576, 0.013, 0.015, -0.0235, -0.0604, -0.0162, -0.0336, -0.0764, -0.1331, -0.1226, -0.0876, -0.1673, -0.178, -0.0224, 0.0802, 0.0525, -0.1728, -0.2714, -0.2557, -0.2557, -0.2881, -0.2542, -0.2367, -0.2536, -0.2619, -0.261, -0.2624, -0.2824, -0.316, -0.3061, -0.368, -0.3452, -0.3093, -0.3139, -0.296, -0.3296, -0.2822, -0.3099, -0.3075, -0.2663, -0.2657, -0.2728, -0.2739, -0.3321, -0.287, -0.2992, -0.3074, -0.3461, -0.3527, -0.4229, -0.3692, -0.388, -0.3258, -0.3258, -0.3209, -0.3151, -0.2779, -0.2549, -0.1421, -0.04, -0.0181, -0.0095, -0.0169, 0.0018, 0.0119, 0.1049, 0.117, 0.137, 0.225, 0.1318, 0.0551, 0.133, 0.1209, 0.1666, 0.1583, 0.2415]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1987610303752970252", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-11-09T19:56:39+00:00", "symbol": "RDDT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "focus on stocks that corrected but still have growing fundamentals eg. $NBIS, $RDDT, $ALAB", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish high-beta names NBIS, IREN, ALAB, RDDT on macro tailwinds from govt shutdown resolution and stimulus; also sees ETH recovery underway.", "resolved_tickers": ["RDDT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Lot of headline-only posters out there.\n\nI usually try to connect the dots on top of the headlines and fill in the why (it moves markets).\n\nTLDR on the new macro setup (bullish for high-beta names like $NBIS, $IREN, etc):\n\n1⃣ DEAL TO END GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN TAKES SHAPE - Axios (Government shutdown likely ending within ~5 days)\n\nCommentary: Event-contract odds jumped from 27% → 54% in the past hour or two. We're pricing in a near-term resolution.\n\n• Liquidity flows back once government spending resumes.\n\n• Market reprices GDP growth higher.\n\n• Consumer spending picks up immediately.\n\n• Uncertainty fades (markets hate uncertainty).\n\nResult → Expect high-beta and cyclicals to do well when risk appetite comes back.\n\n2️⃣ $2,000 “tariff dividend” proposal to American taxpayers\n\nCommentary: Feels like a mini-version of the COVID stimulus. Those deposits triggered the fastest jumps in retail spending, people were buying everything from Bitcoin to League Skins with that. But at least this came from tariffs.\n\n• Great for assets: more money flowing into the economy.\n\n• Might lead to inflation: more demand pressure, potential Fed pushback later.\n\n• Short-term: Extremely positive for risk assets and growth names. Mid to long-term: Could backfire with inflation and the Fed tightens.\n\n• Usually moves like this aim to ignite markets in the near term, good for anything heavy growth.\n\nResult → Expect frontrunning before the official reopening and a spike once it’s confirmed.\n\nYou can kinda see stuff like $ETH start its recovery from the combination of the two above $3300->$3500 as an example.\n\nAgain I expected things like #2, just due to midterms coming up next year. The party in power usually gets re-elected if markets seem to be doing well (so I'd expect stuff like #2 + fed pressured rate cuts, so markets go up). \n\nOf course this is just new news + speculation, not facts for sure given how volatile decisions are made lol. But generally focus on stocks that corrected but still have growing fundamentals eg. $NBIS, $RDDT, $ALAB, etc.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Pretty disgusting correction across the board.\n\nLast 5 days for high-beta growth stocks:\n\n• $SMCI -26.11%\n• $RKLB -19.85%\n• $CRCL -19.81%\n• $NBIS -19.14%\n• $WYFI -18.55%\n• $ALAB -16.64%\n• $CRDO -16.8%\n• $HOOD -14.36%\n• $ASTS -14.09%\n• $IREN -13.22%\n• $AMD -11.63%\n• https://t.co/TqyTnAWgeb", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04706401143762762, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04706401143762762, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03169942245096713, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.036735630708351286, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015364588986660488, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010328380729276332, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.019687566601672923, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.019687566601672923, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01739832661511609, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011566150020667632, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0022892399865568347, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008121416581005292, "ret_p1w": -0.0814927233982643, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0814927233982643, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.058350537490250654, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06295453635705295, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023142185908013646, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01853818704121135, "ret_p1m": 0.15632498059303845, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.15632498059303845, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15397700980962825, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1288708861454928, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0023479707834102026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02745409444754565, "ret_p3m": -0.2602478023129332, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2602478023129332, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.25758041526319997, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.28943403723914585, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0026673870497332386, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02918623492621264, "ret_p6m": -0.15945931323418772, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.15945931323418772, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.22762550085151978, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.186776756073179, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06816618761733206, "bench_c_p6m": 0.02731744283899129, "price_path": [0.1498, 0.1924, 0.2072, 0.184, 0.1175, 0.0694, 0.0708, 0.0643, 0.0761, 0.0746, 0.0338, 0.1046, 0.1023, 0.1023, 0.0777, 0.0928, 0.1367, 0.1754, 0.1263, 0.1764, 0.2686, 0.276, 0.2454, 0.2912, 0.3059, 0.305, 0.3258, 0.2953, 0.2614, 0.1629, 0.1543, 0.1399, 0.1759, 0.1851, 0.1264, -0.0078, -0.016, 0.0147, -0.0027, 0.0085, -0.0093, 0.0368, -0.0276, -0.0025, -0.0384, -0.0168, -0.0256, -0.0453, -0.0084, 0.0074, -0.035, -0.0165, 0.049, 0.0737, 0.043, 0.0322, -0.0478, 0.0233, 0.0039, -0.0804, -0.0388, -0.1006, -0.0471, 0.0, 0.0197, -0.0067, -0.0723, -0.0533, -0.0815, -0.0906, -0.0804, -0.1093, -0.1014, -0.045, 0.07, 0.0165, 0.0165, 0.0601, 0.0941, 0.0909, 0.0815, 0.0909, 0.1465, 0.1604, 0.1563, 0.1661, 0.1437, 0.1008, 0.0701, 0.097, 0.1134, 0.133, 0.142, 0.1418, 0.1059, 0.1061, 0.1061, 0.1057, 0.1492, 0.1429, 0.1258, 0.1258, 0.1846, 0.1952, 0.243, 0.2513, 0.2437, 0.1977, 0.1951, 0.2681, 0.236, 0.1203, 0.1313, 0.1313, 0.1037, 0.0291, 0.0507, 0.0719, 0.0462, -0.0386, -0.0541, -0.0692, -0.1171, -0.1324, -0.1899, -0.2522, -0.2602, -0.3152, -0.3058, -0.2655, -0.3178, -0.3581, -0.3161, -0.3161, -0.3181, -0.2778, -0.2843, -0.2646, -0.3023, -0.3042, -0.267, -0.2593, -0.2859, -0.2795, -0.2865, -0.2787, -0.2931, -0.3174, -0.3199, -0.3431, -0.3285, -0.3523, -0.3518, -0.3144, -0.2932, -0.3007, -0.3236, -0.3151, -0.3097, -0.3334, -0.3162, -0.3768, -0.4033, -0.3921, -0.3406, -0.3331, -0.334, -0.334, -0.3225, -0.3088, -0.2899, -0.3223, -0.3157, -0.2686, -0.2432, -0.2239, -0.2044, -0.1978, -0.1857, -0.232, -0.1953, -0.2509, -0.2414, -0.2154, -0.2755, -0.2764, -0.279, -0.1847, -0.172, -0.1595]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1987610303752970252", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-11-09T19:56:39+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "You can kinda see stuff like $ETH start its recovery from the combination of the two above $3300->$3500 as an example", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish high-beta names NBIS, IREN, ALAB, RDDT on macro tailwinds from govt shutdown resolution and stimulus; also sees ETH recovery underway.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Lot of headline-only posters out there.\n\nI usually try to connect the dots on top of the headlines and fill in the why (it moves markets).\n\nTLDR on the new macro setup (bullish for high-beta names like $NBIS, $IREN, etc):\n\n1⃣ DEAL TO END GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN TAKES SHAPE - Axios (Government shutdown likely ending within ~5 days)\n\nCommentary: Event-contract odds jumped from 27% → 54% in the past hour or two. We're pricing in a near-term resolution.\n\n• Liquidity flows back once government spending resumes.\n\n• Market reprices GDP growth higher.\n\n• Consumer spending picks up immediately.\n\n• Uncertainty fades (markets hate uncertainty).\n\nResult → Expect high-beta and cyclicals to do well when risk appetite comes back.\n\n2️⃣ $2,000 “tariff dividend” proposal to American taxpayers\n\nCommentary: Feels like a mini-version of the COVID stimulus. Those deposits triggered the fastest jumps in retail spending, people were buying everything from Bitcoin to League Skins with that. But at least this came from tariffs.\n\n• Great for assets: more money flowing into the economy.\n\n• Might lead to inflation: more demand pressure, potential Fed pushback later.\n\n• Short-term: Extremely positive for risk assets and growth names. Mid to long-term: Could backfire with inflation and the Fed tightens.\n\n• Usually moves like this aim to ignite markets in the near term, good for anything heavy growth.\n\nResult → Expect frontrunning before the official reopening and a spike once it’s confirmed.\n\nYou can kinda see stuff like $ETH start its recovery from the combination of the two above $3300->$3500 as an example.\n\nAgain I expected things like #2, just due to midterms coming up next year. The party in power usually gets re-elected if markets seem to be doing well (so I'd expect stuff like #2 + fed pressured rate cuts, so markets go up). \n\nOf course this is just new news + speculation, not facts for sure given how volatile decisions are made lol. But generally focus on stocks that corrected but still have growing fundamentals eg. $NBIS, $RDDT, $ALAB, etc.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Pretty disgusting correction across the board.\n\nLast 5 days for high-beta growth stocks:\n\n• $SMCI -26.11%\n• $RKLB -19.85%\n• $CRCL -19.81%\n• $NBIS -19.14%\n• $WYFI -18.55%\n• $ALAB -16.64%\n• $CRDO -16.8%\n• $HOOD -14.36%\n• $ASTS -14.09%\n• $IREN -13.22%\n• $AMD -11.63%\n• https://t.co/TqyTnAWgeb", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03731551902067343, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03731551902067343, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02195093003401294, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015364588986660488, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.04292544572498369, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04292544572498369, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.045214685711540525, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0022892399865568347, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.15242461693061193, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.15242461693061193, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1292824310225983, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023142185908013646, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.06931420652346143, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06931420652346143, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07166217730687163, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0023479707834102026, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.4895044009432684, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4895044009432684, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4868370138935352, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0026673870497332386, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.33831887059560173, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.33831887059560173, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4064850582129338, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06816618761733206, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3329, 0.2745, 0.2442, 0.2085, 0.1415, 0.2147, 0.1835, 0.3539, 0.2255, 0.2892, 0.262, 0.2631, 0.2219, 0.2091, 0.2121, 0.2471, 0.2046, 0.207, 0.2073, 0.2075, 0.2188, 0.2502, 0.3214, 0.2686, 0.262, 0.287, 0.2862, 0.2529, 0.1778, 0.1673, 0.1639, 0.084, 0.131, 0.1818, 0.1618, 0.2193, 0.2577, 0.2652, 0.3137, 0.2474, 0.2688, 0.2244, 0.0769, 0.1897, 0.1561, 0.1174, 0.0914, 0.074, 0.1155, 0.0864, 0.0672, 0.0806, 0.1026, 0.1546, 0.116, 0.0938, 0.0661, 0.0781, 0.0095, -0.0773, -0.0402, -0.0718, -0.0373, 0.0, -0.0429, -0.0435, -0.0941, -0.1302, -0.1524, -0.1248, -0.1528, -0.2064, -0.225, -0.1726, -0.1711, -0.1515, -0.1552, -0.1502, -0.2153, -0.1599, -0.1056, -0.1217, -0.1525, -0.1242, -0.0693, -0.0681, -0.0929, -0.1357, -0.1693, -0.1693, -0.2065, -0.2078, -0.1655, -0.1576, -0.1696, -0.1745, -0.1863, -0.1801, -0.1776, -0.1673, -0.1685, -0.1592, -0.1244, -0.0959, -0.0764, -0.1125, -0.13, -0.136, -0.1334, -0.069, -0.0599, -0.0704, -0.0765, -0.107, -0.1773, -0.1652, -0.1734, -0.1724, -0.1799, -0.1531, -0.1574, -0.2102, -0.2427, -0.343, -0.3758, -0.3993, -0.4895, -0.4218, -0.4105, -0.4341, -0.4562, -0.4544, -0.4259, -0.4401, -0.4417, -0.4524, -0.454, -0.4482, -0.48, -0.4807, -0.4242, -0.432, -0.4589, -0.4319, -0.4444, -0.4041, -0.4195, -0.4455, -0.4415, -0.4291, -0.4251, -0.419, -0.4136, -0.3411, -0.3504, -0.3825, -0.401, -0.3985, -0.3969, -0.3959, -0.3924, -0.4228, -0.442, -0.4329, -0.4102, -0.4007, -0.4236, -0.4246, -0.4093, -0.3718, -0.3862, -0.3865, -0.3708, -0.3356, -0.3489, -0.3388, -0.3418, -0.3215, -0.3512, -0.3476, -0.3341, -0.3466, -0.3511, -0.3546, -0.3584, -0.3685, -0.3677, -0.3568, -0.3425, -0.3383]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1978426830609682808", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-15T11:44:48+00:00", "symbol": "WYFI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "would rather just get direct exposure to $WYFI", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefers direct WYFI exposure over BTBT; rejects BTBT as proxy due to NAV discount and dilution.", "resolved_tickers": ["WYFI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Rainier_hs A good lesson to learn is that companies trade under NAV all the time. And especially since it's an ETH holding company that dilutes for non HPC purposes, would rather just get direct exposure to $WYFI.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Why not just buy BTBT instead of wyfi? They own 70% of it and you get a little ETH on the side", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Rainier_hs", "ret_m1d": 0.02617227580385806, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02617227580385806, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03059217672705772, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03598575616968547, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00441990092319966, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00981348036582741, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.14285713542861578, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.14285713542861578, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.1360468742746318, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.14359586434986926, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006810261153983976, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0007387289212534842, "ret_p1w": -0.2431842966761174, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.2431842966761174, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2471382697606409, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.24737006843202314, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003953973084523499, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004185771755905732, "ret_p1m": -0.4582878769379505, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.4582878769379505, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.46861617473163586, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.4663427454553969, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010328297793685381, "bench_c_p1m": 0.008054868517446412, "ret_p3m": -0.4907306393195445, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4907306393195445, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5389050308772163, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5249385352693123, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04817439155767178, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03420789594976781, "ret_p6m": -0.6297709975266867, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.6297709975266867, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.6577509378059776, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.6319687779600471, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.02797994027929085, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0021977804333603856, "price_path": [null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, -0.5578, -0.5829, -0.599, -0.5799, -0.5278, -0.5136, -0.5341, -0.4905, -0.536, -0.5442, -0.5444, -0.5341, -0.5485, -0.5453, -0.5393, -0.5363, -0.539, -0.539, -0.5117, -0.5444, -0.5567, -0.5545, -0.5638, -0.4986, -0.3571, -0.4392, -0.4561, -0.455, -0.4744, -0.4288, -0.3618, -0.283, -0.2361, -0.2347, -0.2844, -0.3569, -0.3776, -0.271, -0.2593, -0.1279, -0.0818, -0.1494, -0.075, -0.0832, -0.0652, -0.0802, -0.0995, 0.0668, 0.0262, 0.0, -0.1429, -0.1748, -0.1276, -0.1865, -0.2432, -0.2098, -0.072, 0.0079, -0.0774, -0.0791, -0.1216, -0.0733, -0.1107, -0.1693, -0.1641, -0.2353, -0.2162, -0.208, -0.2963, -0.38, -0.4583, -0.5093, -0.5025, -0.5403, -0.5254, -0.5259, -0.5273, -0.4936, -0.5142, -0.4597, -0.4597, -0.4158, -0.4635, -0.4806, -0.4703, -0.4253, -0.4703, -0.4752, -0.4558, -0.4779, -0.4913, -0.4921, -0.5853, -0.5889, -0.6137, -0.6101, -0.5436, -0.5008, -0.5196, -0.527, -0.527, -0.5483, -0.56, -0.5761, -0.5692, -0.5692, -0.5412, -0.5207, -0.5169, -0.5433, -0.5174, -0.5169, -0.4907, -0.4975, -0.4313, -0.4973, -0.4692, -0.4692, -0.4774, -0.446, -0.4632, -0.4517, -0.4403, -0.4111, -0.3959, -0.3997, -0.4681, -0.4686, -0.497, -0.5603, -0.6074, -0.4939, -0.4588, -0.473, -0.4877, -0.5041, -0.4706, -0.4706, -0.4981, -0.5245, -0.5136, -0.5395, -0.5363, -0.5196, -0.494, -0.4954, -0.5406, -0.5267, -0.5739, -0.5382, -0.5654, -0.5774, -0.569, -0.5673, -0.5327, -0.5428, -0.5706, -0.5687, -0.5818, -0.6011, -0.5875, -0.6224, -0.6071, -0.6145, -0.5995, -0.6683, -0.7061, -0.6947, -0.6753, -0.6829, -0.6832, -0.6832, -0.672, -0.6519, -0.6333, -0.6298]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1990492721447121265", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-17T18:50:21+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS has clear asymmetrical upside over every other company in the Neocloud sector and I'm happy + easily can explain why", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS as top asymmetric Neocloud play; also bullish CIFR, WULF and others in the sector.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@babyfolio True, $NBIS has clear asymmetrical upside over every other company in the Neocloud sector and I'm happy + easily can explain why.\n\nThat doesn't mean I'm not bullish on $CIFR, $WULF, and others though.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Can't stress this enough $NBIS risk reward at this price is just bonkers", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "babyfolio", "ret_m1d": -0.028378720006289493, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.028378720006289493, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03778276560027605, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02972795147062146, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.009404045593986554, "bench_c_m1d": 0.001349231464331968, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.053035559206290994, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.053035559206290994, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.061433111976391674, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04736900806043187, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00839755277010068, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005666551145859122, "ret_p1w": 0.0688531976949256, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0688531976949256, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06425634256313084, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.052393347345248475, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004596855131794753, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01645985034967712, "ret_p1m": -0.058502049456895966, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.058502049456895966, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07833175621938437, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10770162010072437, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019829706762488408, "bench_c_p1m": 0.049199570643828405, "ret_p3m": 0.04361479243531097, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04361479243531097, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.01715551154792272, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.009155934671352783, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026459280887388248, "bench_c_p3m": 0.034458857763958184, "ret_p6m": 1.083158799922375, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.083158799922375, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.9679167086598945, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.0343549651656587, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11524209126248053, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04880383475671635, "price_path": [-0.2153, -0.2303, -0.1977, -0.1856, -0.1803, -0.1847, -0.1621, -0.2054, -0.2054, -0.2356, -0.2365, -0.2451, -0.2385, -0.2549, 0.1133, 0.0862, 0.0373, 0.0515, 0.0579, 0.0401, 0.0942, 0.0947, 0.155, 0.2398, 0.2538, 0.3169, 0.2554, 0.2526, 0.2819, 0.3058, 0.3446, 0.4639, 0.4885, 0.4531, 0.3689, 0.4189, 0.5427, 0.5071, 0.5755, 0.4905, 0.4635, 0.431, 0.3194, 0.2677, 0.2128, 0.147, 0.2347, 0.3638, 0.4588, 0.417, 0.455, 0.4443, 0.5215, 0.4011, 0.2856, 0.3608, 0.2729, 0.2943, 0.2788, 0.1889, 0.0975, 0.0308, -0.0284, 0.0, 0.053, 0.1057, -0.0156, -0.0316, 0.0689, 0.0337, 0.1013, 0.1013, 0.1034, 0.1648, 0.1218, 0.1505, 0.1956, 0.1403, 0.1669, 0.1213, 0.0885, 0.0965, 0.0199, -0.0563, -0.0585, -0.1225, -0.0918, 0.0405, 0.0843, 0.0471, 0.0599, 0.0599, 0.0187, 0.0007, -0.0094, -0.0265, -0.0265, 0.0462, 0.0797, 0.1659, 0.119, 0.1317, 0.139, 0.2483, 0.2262, 0.1861, 0.2082, 0.2646, 0.2646, 0.1548, 0.1499, 0.1264, 0.0991, 0.0637, 0.1383, 0.1681, 0.1039, -0.0092, 0.0254, 0.0462, -0.0418, -0.1408, 0.0014, 0.0803, 0.0676, 0.0306, 0.0436, 0.1399, 0.1399, 0.1342, 0.184, 0.2516, 0.1389, 0.1702, 0.1931, 0.2342, 0.2198, 0.0606, 0.0585, 0.0095, 0.1372, 0.1125, 0.039, 0.1042, 0.1215, 0.3026, 0.2566, 0.3137, 0.5102, 0.353, 0.3789, 0.4134, 0.368, 0.3276, 0.3365, 0.3386, 0.2325, 0.1726, 0.073, 0.2068, 0.1857, 0.2656, 0.2656, 0.3089, 0.3654, 0.4538, 0.5856, 0.6861, 0.7976, 0.8835, 0.9396, 0.923, 0.8276, 0.8511, 0.8208, 0.816, 0.8269, 0.7116, 0.686, 0.5761, 0.6421, 0.6077, 0.7968, 1.0519, 1.0461, 1.269, 1.149, 1.0592, 1.1645, 1.0832]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1990492721447121265", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-17T18:50:21+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": true, "quote": "I'm not bullish on $CIFR, $WULF, and others though", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS as top asymmetric Neocloud play; also bullish CIFR, WULF and others in the sector.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@babyfolio True, $NBIS has clear asymmetrical upside over every other company in the Neocloud sector and I'm happy + easily can explain why.\n\nThat doesn't mean I'm not bullish on $CIFR, $WULF, and others though.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Can't stress this enough $NBIS risk reward at this price is just bonkers", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "babyfolio", "ret_m1d": 0.0006968135847877921, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0006968135847877921, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008707232009198762, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.015203554923644225, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.009404045593986554, "bench_c_m1d": 0.015900368508432017, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.016027842238480305, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.016027842238480305, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.024425395008580986, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.032280902532915934, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00839755277010068, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01625306029443563, "ret_p1w": 0.16445983555863974, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.16445983555863974, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.159862980426845, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1783155842944949, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004596855131794753, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013855748735855156, "ret_p1m": 0.04459925941708498, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04459925941708498, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02476955265459657, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.039381492468566925, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019829706762488408, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0052177669485180544, "ret_p3m": 0.12195121627033467, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.12195121627033467, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09549193538294642, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13886596476408508, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026459280887388248, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01691474849375041, "ret_p6m": 0.39790933328796463, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.39790933328796463, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2826672420254841, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.15912857875842668, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11524209126248053, "bench_c_p6m": 0.23878075452953795, "price_path": [-0.5854, -0.5889, -0.5554, -0.5373, -0.5038, -0.5129, -0.5108, -0.4676, -0.4676, -0.4202, -0.4348, -0.4843, -0.476, -0.462, -0.3575, -0.2857, -0.3052, -0.2439, -0.2439, -0.1979, -0.1373, -0.1742, -0.1443, -0.0272, -0.0139, -0.0146, -0.1875, -0.2007, -0.1185, -0.1226, -0.122, -0.0376, 0.0244, 0.069, 0.0976, 0.2265, 0.2537, 0.1826, 0.4174, 0.4557, 0.4655, 0.3045, 0.3073, 0.3875, 0.2596, 0.1226, 0.2024, 0.4397, 0.4314, 0.3909, 0.3652, 0.3289, 0.2997, 0.5861, 0.5686, 0.722, 0.5129, 0.4418, 0.3693, 0.301, 0.2111, 0.0404, 0.0007, 0.0, 0.016, 0.0188, 0.0146, -0.0139, 0.1645, 0.2209, 0.3345, 0.3345, 0.4181, 0.3721, 0.2293, 0.2983, 0.3819, 0.3436, 0.3575, 0.3631, 0.2878, 0.3157, 0.1882, 0.0272, 0.0446, 0.0028, 0.0557, 0.1296, 0.1387, 0.1087, 0.1303, 0.1303, 0.0585, 0.0509, 0.0167, 0.0286, 0.0286, 0.1289, 0.2655, 0.2223, 0.1206, 0.1533, 0.1589, 0.2321, 0.2718, 0.2634, 0.2209, 0.3101, 0.3101, 0.2488, 0.2348, 0.2118, 0.2244, 0.1491, 0.3066, 0.322, 0.2334, 0.1122, 0.1017, 0.1331, -0.007, -0.115, 0.0265, 0.1679, 0.1916, 0.1345, 0.122, 0.1443, 0.1443, 0.0899, 0.0746, 0.101, 0.0209, 0.0606, 0.193, 0.1575, 0.1484, 0.0871, 0.0983, 0.0251, 0.1178, 0.0557, -0.0509, -0.0028, -0.0272, -0.0167, -0.0446, -0.0188, 0.0551, 0.0516, 0.0223, 0.0202, -0.0237, 0.0376, 0.0369, 0.1066, 0.0, -0.0422, -0.1627, -0.1031, -0.1192, -0.1066, -0.1066, -0.0697, -0.0237, 0.0746, 0.1401, 0.1519, 0.2376, 0.2857, 0.2544, 0.2084, 0.3498, 0.3443, 0.2571, 0.3547, 0.3024, 0.2683, 0.2655, 0.2028, 0.1791, 0.2362, 0.1875, 0.2467, 0.5401, 0.5268, 0.4415, 0.4321, 0.4132, 0.3979]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1975619679554314322", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-07T17:50:11+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm using this opportunity to buy $NBIS", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Buying dips in NBIS and initiating position in WYFI, citing low institutional ownership and accumulation opportunity in AI compute infra.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@babyfolio Yeah I'm using this opportunity to buy $NBIS (-5.37%) and create positions in $WYFI (-3%) now. \n\nInstitutional ownership is low on the infra of mag7 for AI compute so they probably use these opportunities to accumulate from retail.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Absolutely agree with you, thanks $ORCL for sharing that loss that allowed me to add more shares in $NBIS 🙏🙏", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "babyfolio", "ret_m1d": 0.06151236772204682, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06151236772204682, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05779107882132184, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05763499988358456, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003721288900724984, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0038773678384622645, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.036533586773572324, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.036533586773572324, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030570534360780055, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04066930907077948, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005963052412792269, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004135722297207156, "ret_p1w": 0.08878502310274072, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08878502310274072, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09908216387038948, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10145087525266994, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01029714076764876, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012665852149929213, "ret_p1m": -0.005947297930262496, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.005947297930262496, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01859078175754003, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.016799472423983497, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012643483827277535, "bench_c_p1m": -0.022746770354245993, "ret_p3m": -0.23576891010628387, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.23576891010628387, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2597835850019543, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24626742967899928, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02401467489567044, "bench_c_p3m": 0.010498519572715415, "ret_p6m": -0.13381478681708003, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13381478681708003, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.11864699122642897, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.09845601848176999, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.015167795590651068, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03535876833531004, "price_path": [-0.6055, -0.6236, -0.5586, -0.5452, -0.5471, -0.5438, -0.5515, -0.5551, -0.5666, -0.5592, -0.5568, -0.5636, -0.5518, -0.5718, -0.5642, -0.5376, -0.5582, -0.5398, -0.5313, -0.5319, -0.4451, -0.4156, -0.4032, -0.36, -0.3999, -0.4184, -0.3915, -0.3837, -0.4291, -0.4268, -0.4377, -0.4139, -0.4051, -0.4012, -0.4044, -0.3879, -0.4195, -0.4195, -0.4416, -0.4422, -0.4485, -0.4438, -0.4557, -0.1867, -0.2065, -0.2422, -0.2319, -0.2272, -0.2402, -0.2007, -0.2003, -0.1562, -0.0943, -0.0841, -0.038, -0.0829, -0.085, -0.0636, -0.0461, -0.0178, 0.0694, 0.0873, 0.0615, 0.0, 0.0365, 0.1269, 0.1009, 0.1509, 0.0888, 0.0691, 0.0454, -0.0362, -0.0739, -0.114, -0.1621, -0.098, -0.0037, 0.0657, 0.0351, 0.0629, 0.0551, 0.1115, 0.0235, -0.0608, -0.0059, -0.0702, -0.0545, -0.0658, -0.1315, -0.1983, -0.247, -0.2902, -0.2695, -0.2308, -0.1923, -0.2809, -0.2926, -0.2192, -0.2449, -0.1955, -0.1955, -0.194, -0.1491, -0.1805, -0.1596, -0.1266, -0.167, -0.1476, -0.1809, -0.2048, -0.199, -0.255, -0.3106, -0.3122, -0.359, -0.3365, -0.2399, -0.2079, -0.2351, -0.2257, -0.2257, -0.2558, -0.269, -0.2764, -0.2888, -0.2888, -0.2358, -0.2113, -0.1483, -0.1826, -0.1733, -0.168, -0.0881, -0.1042, -0.1336, -0.1174, -0.0762, -0.0762, -0.1564, -0.16, -0.1771, -0.1971, -0.2229, -0.1685, -0.1467, -0.1936, -0.2762, -0.251, -0.2358, -0.3, -0.3724, -0.2685, -0.2109, -0.2201, -0.2472, -0.2376, -0.1673, -0.1673, -0.1715, -0.1351, -0.0857, -0.1681, -0.1452, -0.1285, -0.0984, -0.1089, -0.2252, -0.2268, -0.2625, -0.1692, -0.1873, -0.241, -0.1934, -0.1807, -0.0485, -0.0821, -0.0404, 0.1032, -0.0116, 0.0073, 0.0325, -0.0007, -0.0302, -0.0237, -0.0222, -0.0997, -0.1434, -0.2161, -0.1184, -0.1338]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1975619679554314322", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-07T17:50:11+00:00", "symbol": "WYFI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "create positions in $WYFI (-3%) now", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Buying dips in NBIS and initiating position in WYFI, citing low institutional ownership and accumulation opportunity in AI compute infra.", "resolved_tickers": ["WYFI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@babyfolio Yeah I'm using this opportunity to buy $NBIS (-5.37%) and create positions in $WYFI (-3%) now. \n\nInstitutional ownership is low on the infra of mag7 for AI compute so they probably use these opportunities to accumulate from retail.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Absolutely agree with you, thanks $ORCL for sharing that loss that allowed me to add more shares in $NBIS 🙏🙏", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "babyfolio", "ret_m1d": 0.008920583631648382, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.008920583631648382, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005199294730923398, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0021998059620136345, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003721288900724984, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006720777669634748, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.019625329362176425, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.019625329362176425, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.013662276949384156, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0020882783718469966, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005963052412792269, "bench_c_p1d": 0.017537050990329428, "ret_p1w": 0.11923872120643786, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11923872120643786, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12953586197408662, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13383545205118785, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01029714076764876, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014596730844749994, "ret_p1m": -0.08831403884548183, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08831403884548183, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10095752267275937, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12125303713778457, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012643483827277535, "bench_c_p1m": 0.032938998292302735, "ret_p3m": -0.4995539878331239, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4995539878331239, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5235686627287943, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5113074486999469, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02401467489567044, "bench_c_p3m": 0.011753460866823051, "ret_p6m": -0.654177825005561, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.654177825005561, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.6390100294149099, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.6012698442039266, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.015167795590651068, "bench_c_p6m": -0.05290798080163439, "price_path": [null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, -0.5177, -0.545, -0.5626, -0.5418, -0.485, -0.4695, -0.4918, -0.4442, -0.4939, -0.5028, -0.5031, -0.4918, -0.5076, -0.504, -0.4975, -0.4942, -0.4972, -0.4972, -0.4674, -0.5031, -0.5165, -0.5141, -0.5242, -0.4532, -0.2988, -0.3883, -0.4068, -0.4056, -0.4267, -0.377, -0.3039, -0.218, -0.1668, -0.1653, -0.2194, -0.2985, -0.3211, -0.2049, -0.1921, -0.0488, 0.0015, -0.0723, 0.0089, 0.0, 0.0196, 0.0033, -0.0178, 0.1635, 0.1192, 0.0907, -0.0651, -0.0999, -0.0485, -0.1127, -0.1745, -0.1381, 0.0122, 0.0993, 0.0062, 0.0045, -0.0419, 0.0107, -0.03, -0.094, -0.0883, -0.1659, -0.1451, -0.1362, -0.2325, -0.3238, -0.4092, -0.4648, -0.4573, -0.4987, -0.4823, -0.4829, -0.4844, -0.4477, -0.4701, -0.4106, -0.4106, -0.3628, -0.4148, -0.4335, -0.4222, -0.3732, -0.4222, -0.4276, -0.4065, -0.4306, -0.4451, -0.446, -0.5477, -0.5516, -0.5787, -0.5748, -0.5022, -0.4555, -0.4761, -0.4841, -0.4841, -0.5073, -0.5201, -0.5376, -0.5302, -0.5302, -0.4996, -0.4773, -0.4731, -0.5019, -0.4737, -0.4731, -0.4445, -0.452, -0.3797, -0.4517, -0.4211, -0.4211, -0.43, -0.3958, -0.4145, -0.402, -0.3895, -0.3577, -0.3411, -0.3452, -0.4199, -0.4205, -0.4514, -0.5204, -0.5718, -0.448, -0.4098, -0.4252, -0.4413, -0.4591, -0.4225, -0.4225, -0.4526, -0.4814, -0.4695, -0.4978, -0.4942, -0.4761, -0.4481, -0.4496, -0.499, -0.4838, -0.5352, -0.4963, -0.526, -0.5391, -0.5299, -0.5281, -0.4903, -0.5013, -0.5317, -0.5296, -0.5439, -0.565, -0.5501, -0.5882, -0.5715, -0.5795, -0.5632, -0.6383, -0.6795, -0.667, -0.6459, -0.6542]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2003960052454187418", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-24T22:44:42+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LITE is personally my favorite since it's central to every ASIC + gets much higher BOM share with OCS architectures like TPU", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long LITE as favorite ASIC/OCS play; long AAOI on Maia/Trainium ramp 2026-2027 as hidden opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@jvthed210725 $LITE is personally my favorite since it’s central to every ASIC + gets much higher BOM share with OCS architectures like TPU.\n\n$AAOI is levered Maia and Trainium ramp and we should get Maia 1M+ ramp 2026-2027 as per UBS note + other research firms, so it’s hidden opportunity", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Long $LITE and $AAOI.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JVStewartBuilds", "ret_m1d": -0.02149426519752906, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02149426519752906, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017988975171369437, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017988975171369437, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035052900261596243, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0035052900261596243, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.06902913761097906, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06902913761097906, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.056775028063773214, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.056775028063773214, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01225410954720585, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01225410954720585, "ret_p1m": -0.10464240702224925, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10464240702224925, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10261454962490468, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10261454962490468, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.002027857397344568, "bench_c_p1m": -0.002027857397344568, "ret_p3m": 0.841154747131982, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.841154747131982, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.8892588932781355, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.8892588932781355, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04810414614615344, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04810414614615344, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.594, -0.5894, -0.589, -0.5671, -0.5713, -0.5863, -0.5944, -0.6031, -0.5881, -0.5965, -0.6221, -0.5945, -0.604, -0.6045, -0.5877, -0.5838, -0.5934, -0.5884, -0.6008, -0.5744, -0.5471, -0.5105, -0.4989, -0.4588, -0.4945, -0.4909, -0.4959, -0.5242, -0.4121, -0.3946, -0.3935, -0.3436, -0.3623, -0.3589, -0.427, -0.4136, -0.3886, -0.3751, -0.3208, -0.4109, -0.3544, -0.2439, -0.2643, -0.2214, -0.2214, -0.1787, -0.197, -0.2352, -0.2347, -0.1719, -0.1629, -0.1348, -0.0899, -0.0756, -0.0602, -0.1808, -0.1547, -0.2015, -0.1911, -0.1485, -0.0619, -0.0153, -0.0215, 0.0, 0.0, -0.013, -0.0589, -0.0625, -0.069, -0.069, -0.0248, -0.0982, 0.0038, -0.0077, -0.1204, -0.1124, -0.1416, -0.0874, -0.1624, -0.133, -0.181, -0.181, -0.0987, -0.0846, -0.1046, -0.1433, -0.1603, -0.0638, -0.0276, -0.0366, -0.0103, 0.0695, 0.099, 0.1758, 0.274, 0.3942, 0.4577, 0.4173, 0.4501, 0.4737, 0.4213, 0.4213, 0.5165, 0.501, 0.6055, 0.6866, 0.7042, 0.7384, 0.8271, 0.7099, 0.7703, 0.9783, 0.754, 0.7195, 0.6438, 0.4105, 0.6182, 0.6973, 0.6973, 0.5561, 0.5723, 0.5782, 0.6406, 0.7701, 0.9502, 0.7841, 0.8412, 1.0256, 0.9629, 0.7397, 0.7749, 0.6538, 0.775, 0.9313, 1.0885, 1.0885, 0.9506, 1.0604, 1.2631, 1.2584, 1.2664, 1.2004, 1.1539, 1.0813, 1.251, 1.2582, 1.2608, 1.1139, 1.2065, 1.139, 1.2268, 1.1713, 0.9988, 1.1679, 1.279, 1.3993, 1.4656, 1.512, 1.385, 1.2544, 1.2828, 1.6599, 1.5065, 1.6025, 1.5303, 1.4518, 1.2352, 1.2482, 1.1925, 1.4361, 1.3916, 1.3916, 1.3005, 1.279, 1.1737, 1.1594, 1.1594, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2003960052454187418", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-24T22:44:42+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI is levered Maia and Trainium ramp and we should get Maia 1M+ ramp 2026-2027 as per UBS note + other research firms, so it's hidden opportunity", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long LITE as favorite ASIC/OCS play; long AAOI on Maia/Trainium ramp 2026-2027 as hidden opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@jvthed210725 $LITE is personally my favorite since it’s central to every ASIC + gets much higher BOM share with OCS architectures like TPU.\n\n$AAOI is levered Maia and Trainium ramp and we should get Maia 1M+ ramp 2026-2027 as per UBS note + other research firms, so it’s hidden opportunity", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Long $LITE and $AAOI.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JVStewartBuilds", "ret_m1d": -0.008780502691501546, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.008780502691501546, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.005275212665341922, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005275212665341922, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0035052900261596243, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0035052900261596243, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.14975608267435214, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.14975608267435214, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1375019731271463, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1375019731271463, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01225410954720585, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01225410954720585, "ret_p1m": -0.06951215790539256, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06951215790539256, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06748430050804799, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06748430050804799, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.002027857397344568, "bench_c_p1m": -0.002027857397344568, "ret_p3m": 1.335609808200743, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.335609808200743, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.3837139543468964, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.3837139543468964, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04810414614615344, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04810414614615344, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3715, -0.3673, -0.3676, -0.3068, -0.3176, -0.3188, -0.1759, -0.2357, -0.2141, -0.2105, -0.3378, -0.2902, -0.3054, -0.1963, -0.2405, -0.2215, -0.1673, -0.1854, -0.2689, -0.2341, -0.1705, -0.0922, -0.1007, -0.1346, -0.1446, -0.1327, -0.1941, -0.2805, -0.2315, -0.2902, -0.3032, -0.38, -0.4207, -0.4161, -0.49, -0.4765, -0.4724, -0.4905, -0.491, -0.5246, -0.498, -0.452, -0.4456, -0.3763, -0.3763, -0.3468, -0.3529, -0.3654, -0.3744, -0.36, -0.3515, -0.321, -0.259, -0.1468, -0.1141, -0.218, -0.2707, -0.2937, -0.338, -0.2866, -0.2361, -0.0465, -0.0088, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0934, -0.1037, -0.1215, -0.1498, -0.1498, -0.0341, -0.1466, -0.0583, -0.0718, -0.1949, -0.1698, -0.1776, -0.1663, -0.1593, -0.0976, -0.0966, -0.0966, -0.0424, -0.0639, -0.0695, -0.1288, -0.149, -0.088, 0.1032, -0.0349, 0.0637, 0.0771, 0.1249, -0.0268, -0.07, 0.0805, 0.1685, 0.1827, 0.1805, 0.0729, 0.0844, 0.0844, 0.071, 0.0595, 0.1459, 0.2605, 0.3161, 0.3724, 0.4176, 0.3095, 1.0544, 1.5002, 1.3254, 1.432, 1.4668, 1.3312, 1.698, 1.9388, 2.0978, 1.59, 1.3612, 1.2944, 1.1056, 1.2593, 1.4859, 1.1351, 1.3356, 1.778, 1.7905, 1.3761, 1.3954, 1.0778, 1.0632, 1.1061, 1.5344, 1.5344, 1.6207, 1.8693, 2.2366, 2.2512, 2.6732, 2.7363, 2.5705, 2.4768, 2.8371, 2.8883, 2.9871, 2.6724, 2.6444, 2.3593, 2.9554, 2.5556, 2.3478, 2.7276, 3.0088, 3.4759, 3.219, 3.4041, 3.3546, 2.8427, 2.6327, 3.5098, 3.5922, 4.4415, 3.9651, 3.6429, 3.2259, 3.1788, 3.0307, 3.3124, 3.4266, 3.4266, 3.3322, 3.3861, 3.1224, 2.8637, 2.8637, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2008636261976674661", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-06T20:26:18+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "for 2026-2027 with the current architectures, they'll be heavily reliant on $AXTI", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Near-term bullish on AXTI, LITE, COHR through 2026-2027 as current architectures remain heavily reliant on InP substrates.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@jvthed210725 Not really, the US will engineer around the InP substrates bottleneck eventually.\n\nIt’s just that for 2026-2027 with the current architectures, they’ll be heavily reliant on $AXTI and companies like $LITE, $COHR.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Well-positioned for a multi-year growth run.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JVStewartBuilds", "ret_m1d": -0.17352503652757012, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.17352503652757012, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.16761301304225407, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1476491815519656, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005912023485316054, "bench_c_m1d": -0.025875854975604518, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.19533963902599827, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.19533963902599827, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.19856299581822567, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.20204725508365173, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0032233567922274053, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006707616057653465, "ret_p1w": 0.06643530726421809, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06643530726421809, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06360208669588241, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.056348098886519926, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028332205683356815, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010087208377698165, "ret_p1m": -0.0704015900308741, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0704015900308741, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.062277998413795665, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.055954435152234305, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00812359161707843, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01444715487863979, "ret_p3m": 1.6197322733127506, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.6197322733127506, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.669151739995648, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.6076069643342745, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04941946668289732, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01212530897847608, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7407, -0.8002, -0.7719, -0.7734, -0.7724, -0.7556, -0.7764, -0.7566, -0.7437, -0.7551, -0.7432, -0.6996, -0.6931, -0.6728, -0.6495, -0.6371, -0.6059, -0.5806, -0.5766, -0.5488, -0.5602, -0.531, -0.4824, -0.4765, -0.4556, -0.4824, -0.4824, -0.4918, -0.5092, -0.4988, -0.5315, -0.5573, -0.5369, -0.5424, -0.4819, -0.4819, -0.4695, -0.465, -0.417, -0.4308, -0.4001, -0.4259, -0.3699, -0.2583, -0.231, -0.1879, -0.2657, -0.2647, -0.3555, -0.3872, -0.3054, -0.2737, -0.2454, -0.2742, -0.2558, -0.2558, -0.238, -0.2766, -0.2167, -0.1894, -0.1894, -0.1691, -0.1735, 0.0, 0.1953, 0.2806, 0.1398, 0.1026, 0.0664, 0.0957, 0.2752, 0.0952, 0.0952, 0.0615, -0.0193, -0.1116, -0.1373, -0.1175, -0.1472, -0.1656, -0.1879, -0.0808, 0.0382, -0.0213, -0.0704, 0.0129, 0.1929, 0.3768, 0.2072, 0.3287, 0.2291, 0.2018, 0.2018, 0.1507, 0.1671, 0.1805, 0.4715, 0.4095, 0.7392, 1.0312, 0.8404, 0.879, 1.2965, 1.0704, 0.94, 0.9236, 0.6049, 0.9118, 1.1963, 1.348, 1.3168, 1.4224, 1.3991, 1.1993, 1.4175, 1.88, 1.6891, 2.1948, 2.3932, 2.3391, 1.9008, 2.0059, 1.6143, 1.825, 1.3371, 1.6197, 1.6197, 1.0818, 1.2538, 1.6366, 2.1294, 2.182, 2.2945, 2.3366, 2.12, 3.0545, 3.0932, 2.9048, 2.7169, 3.3104, 2.7318, 2.7759, 2.4779, 2.4065, 2.5235, 2.9276, 3.7595, 4.2553, 4.3322, 4.1973, 4.3753, 4.769, 5.2375, 5.0932, 5.0456, 4.7005, 5.1368, 4.2494, 4.5964, 4.1864, 5.0, 5.9822, 5.9822, 5.5741, 5.0868, 4.7362, 4.1145, 4.1145, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2008636261976674661", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-06T20:26:18+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "companies like $LITE, $COHR", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Near-term bullish on AXTI, LITE, COHR through 2026-2027 as current architectures remain heavily reliant on InP substrates.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@jvthed210725 Not really, the US will engineer around the InP substrates bottleneck eventually.\n\nIt’s just that for 2026-2027 with the current architectures, they’ll be heavily reliant on $AXTI and companies like $LITE, $COHR.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Well-positioned for a multi-year growth run.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JVStewartBuilds", "ret_m1d": -0.10158025331078702, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10158025331078702, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09566822982547096, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09566822982547096, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005912023485316054, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005912023485316054, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011423703868772117, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011423703868772117, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008200347076544712, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008200347076544712, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0032233567922274053, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0032233567922274053, "ret_p1w": -0.09081079370964107, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09081079370964107, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09364401427797675, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09364401427797675, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028332205683356815, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0028332205683356815, "ret_p1m": 0.1714055478224532, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1714055478224532, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.17952913943953164, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.17952913943953164, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00812359161707843, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00812359161707843, "ret_p3m": 1.080619940981331, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.080619940981331, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.1300394076642284, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.1300394076642284, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04941946668289732, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04941946668289732, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.598, -0.6235, -0.596, -0.6055, -0.606, -0.5893, -0.5854, -0.5949, -0.59, -0.6023, -0.576, -0.5488, -0.5124, -0.5008, -0.4608, -0.4964, -0.4928, -0.4978, -0.526, -0.4143, -0.3969, -0.3958, -0.3461, -0.3647, -0.3614, -0.4292, -0.4159, -0.3909, -0.3774, -0.3233, -0.4131, -0.3569, -0.2467, -0.2671, -0.2243, -0.2243, -0.1818, -0.2, -0.2381, -0.2376, -0.1751, -0.1661, -0.138, -0.0933, -0.0791, -0.0637, -0.1839, -0.1578, -0.2045, -0.1942, -0.1517, -0.0654, -0.019, -0.0252, -0.0038, -0.0038, -0.0167, -0.0624, -0.066, -0.0725, -0.0725, -0.0285, -0.1016, 0.0, -0.0114, -0.1237, -0.1157, -0.1448, -0.0908, -0.1656, -0.1363, -0.1841, -0.1841, -0.1021, -0.088, -0.108, -0.1465, -0.1635, -0.0673, -0.0313, -0.0402, -0.014, 0.0654, 0.0948, 0.1714, 0.2692, 0.3889, 0.4522, 0.4119, 0.4446, 0.4681, 0.416, 0.416, 0.5108, 0.4953, 0.5994, 0.6803, 0.6978, 0.7318, 0.8202, 0.7035, 0.7637, 0.9708, 0.7473, 0.713, 0.6376, 0.4052, 0.6121, 0.6909, 0.6909, 0.5502, 0.5664, 0.5722, 0.6344, 0.7634, 0.9429, 0.7773, 0.8342, 1.018, 0.9555, 0.7332, 0.7682, 0.6476, 0.7683, 0.924, 1.0806, 1.0806, 0.9432, 1.0526, 1.2546, 1.2498, 1.2578, 1.1921, 1.1458, 1.0734, 1.2425, 1.2497, 1.2523, 1.1059, 1.1982, 1.131, 1.2184, 1.1632, 0.9913, 1.1597, 1.2704, 1.3902, 1.4563, 1.5025, 1.376, 1.2459, 1.2742, 1.6498, 1.497, 1.5926, 1.5208, 1.4425, 1.2268, 1.2397, 1.1843, 1.4269, 1.3826, 1.3826, 1.2918, 1.2704, 1.1655, 1.1513, 1.1513, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2008636261976674661", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-06T20:26:18+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "companies like $LITE, $COHR", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Near-term bullish on AXTI, LITE, COHR through 2026-2027 as current architectures remain heavily reliant on InP substrates.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@jvthed210725 Not really, the US will engineer around the InP substrates bottleneck eventually.\n\nIt’s just that for 2026-2027 with the current architectures, they’ll be heavily reliant on $AXTI and companies like $LITE, $COHR.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Well-positioned for a multi-year growth run.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JVStewartBuilds", "ret_m1d": -0.03992581513384785, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03992581513384785, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0340137916485318, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0340137916485318, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005912023485316054, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005912023485316054, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01282780632288183, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01282780632288183, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009604449530654424, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009604449530654424, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0032233567922274053, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0032233567922274053, "ret_p1w": -0.02101901920676774, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02101901920676774, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.023852239775103423, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.023852239775103423, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028332205683356815, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0028332205683356815, "ret_p1m": 0.08701251525702025, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08701251525702025, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09513610687409868, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09513610687409868, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00812359161707843, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00812359161707843, "ret_p3m": 0.3299675588602422, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3299675588602422, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3793870255431395, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3793870255431395, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04941946668289732, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04941946668289732, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3697, -0.4276, -0.4069, -0.4366, -0.4312, -0.4026, -0.4006, -0.3808, -0.3777, -0.4056, -0.374, -0.3337, -0.3046, -0.3084, -0.2888, -0.3163, -0.3202, -0.32, -0.337, -0.3064, -0.1793, -0.204, -0.1411, -0.186, -0.1929, -0.2789, -0.2822, -0.2836, -0.2883, -0.2636, -0.3014, -0.2813, -0.2179, -0.2332, -0.2066, -0.2066, -0.1538, -0.1577, -0.1505, -0.1193, -0.0863, -0.0635, -0.0425, -0.0071, 0.0172, 0.0226, -0.0812, -0.0807, -0.0974, -0.1219, -0.0948, -0.0427, -0.0161, -0.0115, -0.0141, -0.0141, -0.0123, -0.0262, -0.0376, -0.0491, -0.0491, 0.0011, -0.0399, 0.0, -0.0128, -0.108, -0.0827, -0.046, -0.021, -0.0515, 0.0095, -0.0158, -0.0158, -0.0033, 0.0379, 0.0444, 0.0146, 0.0188, 0.1025, 0.1393, 0.112, 0.0931, 0.1459, 0.1807, 0.087, 0.0779, 0.1729, 0.2491, 0.1765, 0.1524, 0.1133, 0.1191, 0.1191, 0.1332, 0.1534, 0.1977, 0.2786, 0.2822, 0.313, 0.3801, 0.2887, 0.3339, 0.5399, 0.4467, 0.416, 0.3079, 0.2144, 0.2999, 0.3427, 0.2952, 0.243, 0.2506, 0.2744, 0.2663, 0.3251, 0.4197, 0.3066, 0.3139, 0.403, 0.4015, 0.2534, 0.2543, 0.1316, 0.2272, 0.2766, 0.33, 0.33, 0.3045, 0.3142, 0.4517, 0.464, 0.5842, 0.5864, 0.6147, 0.5878, 0.6898, 0.7774, 0.7903, 0.7711, 0.8055, 0.7396, 0.7314, 0.6564, 0.566, 0.5709, 0.6471, 0.6975, 0.6995, 0.7296, 0.7756, 0.6444, 0.7272, 0.9561, 0.9268, 1.0798, 1.0861, 0.9703, 0.8692, 0.8218, 0.8469, 0.9473, 0.9451, 0.9451, 0.9646, 0.9586, 0.9419, 0.8622, 0.8622, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1999254375601177015", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-11T23:06:02+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this is bullish for $AAOI since $MSFT likely uses them for this fix and all of this ASIC spend will be occur in 2026-2027 + huge beat on forward revenue projections", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long AAOI: MSFT Maia 200 thermal/interconnect fix likely drives AAOI orders, plus AMZN Trainium ramp and 2026-2027 ASIC spend cycle set up a huge beat on forward revenue.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "NP! If we look at mag7 ASICs, $GOOGL TPU v7 Ironwood suppliers had a run after the $META deal.  \n\n$AMZN Trainium is going to ramp up soon like $GOOGL and the recent hyperscaler $AAOI order was likely from them.  \n\nThe alpha for $AAOI is that $MSFT Maia 200 orders were more of R&D spend and they delayed their roadmap (likely due to thermal and interconnect issues eg. 100,000 chips to connect without melting) and standard cabling wasn't working for Maia 200.  \n\nBut this is bullish for $AAOI since $MSFT likely uses them for this fix and all of this ASIC spend will be occur in 2026-2027 + huge beat on forward revenue projections.\n\nBut $AMZN is providing the nice $4B floor for de-risking.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Will look into these, thanks a lot 👍", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DVoskens", "ret_m1d": -0.0368942776389628, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0368942776389628, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03457273162559127, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03457273162559127, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.11729070367091099, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.11729070367091099, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.10653873474337705, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.10653873474337705, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "ret_p1w": -0.19465858354155574, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.19465858354155574, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1762305939531975, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1762305939531975, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "ret_p1m": -0.06277529731427245, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06277529731427245, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07286121901034692, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07286121901034692, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "ret_p3m": 2.317455916194293, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.317455916194293, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.3319501478226834, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.3319501478226834, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "bench_c_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1861, -0.2035, -0.1886, -0.2004, -0.2018, -0.1591, -0.2274, -0.2651, -0.2748, -0.2905, -0.2858, -0.2861, -0.2175, -0.2296, -0.231, -0.0697, -0.1373, -0.1129, -0.1088, -0.2525, -0.1988, -0.2159, -0.0928, -0.1426, -0.1211, -0.06, -0.0804, -0.1747, -0.1355, -0.0636, 0.0248, 0.0151, -0.0231, -0.0344, -0.0209, -0.0903, -0.1878, -0.1324, -0.1988, -0.2134, -0.3001, -0.3461, -0.3409, -0.4243, -0.409, -0.4045, -0.4248, -0.4254, -0.4634, -0.4334, -0.3813, -0.3742, -0.296, -0.296, -0.2627, -0.2695, -0.2836, -0.2938, -0.2775, -0.2679, -0.2335, -0.1635, -0.0369, 0.0, -0.1173, -0.1768, -0.2026, -0.2528, -0.1947, -0.1377, 0.0764, 0.1189, 0.1289, 0.1289, 0.0234, 0.0118, -0.0083, -0.0402, -0.0402, 0.0903, -0.0366, 0.0631, 0.0478, -0.0911, -0.0628, -0.0716, -0.0589, -0.0509, 0.0187, 0.0198, 0.0198, 0.0809, 0.0567, 0.0504, -0.0165, -0.0394, 0.0295, 0.2453, 0.0895, 0.2007, 0.2159, 0.2698, 0.0986, 0.0498, 0.2197, 0.3191, 0.3351, 0.3326, 0.2112, 0.2241, 0.2241, 0.209, 0.196, 0.2935, 0.4229, 0.4857, 0.5493, 0.6002, 0.4782, 1.3191, 1.8224, 1.625, 1.7453, 1.7847, 1.6316, 2.0457, 2.3175, 2.497, 1.9237, 1.6655, 1.59, 1.3769, 1.5504, 1.8062, 1.4102, 1.6366, 2.136, 2.1501, 1.6823, 1.704, 1.3455, 1.329, 1.3775, 1.861, 1.861, 1.9584, 2.239, 2.6536, 2.6702, 3.1465, 3.2178, 3.0306, 2.9248, 3.3315, 3.3893, 3.5008, 3.1457, 3.114, 2.7921, 3.465, 3.0138, 2.7792, 3.2079, 3.5253, 4.0526, 3.7627, 3.9716, 3.9157, 3.3378, 3.1008, 4.0909, 4.1839, 5.1426, 4.6049, 4.2412, 3.7704, 3.7172, 3.5501, 3.8681, 3.997, 3.997, 3.8904, 3.9513, 3.6536, 3.3615, 3.3615, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2002569814720819551", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-21T02:40:24+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm bullish on stablecoins and Bitcoin, and even if Bitcoin is in a downtrend, stablecoins + issuers are isolated", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC despite current downtrend; stablecoin issuers seen as isolated from crypto price weakness.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Good question, stablecoins are actually separate from the BTC downtrend, even though algorithmically this affects the marketcaps of companies/assets in the sector.\n\nUSDC/Tether increases in supply even as crypto prices go down. Institutions sell BTC for USDT/USDC while crypto is in a downtrend instead of holding it in bank accounts. \n\nEspecially in venture capital right now, lightspeed/sequioa/etc. are pouring money into stablecoin related companies like Neobanks, and lot of these investments pay dividends 6 months.-1 year later.\n\nI'll write up a more in-depth thesis in another post but generally, I'm bullish on stablecoins and Bitcoin, and even if Bitcoin is in a downtrend, stablecoins + issuers are isolated.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @Peter_JMarshall how about BTC downtrend right now, do you still think it will going down with the crypto industry?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Patchara_poj", "ret_m1d": -0.0043692252710006985, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0043692252710006985, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0018220957443334518, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.01215974047919599, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01215974047919599, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01673019529762887, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.015277147262906299, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.015277147262906299, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01968691853819382, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.0020240630961013695, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0020240630961013695, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.008562551589409328, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.2099358490479417, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2099358490479417, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17338659873765627, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2807, 0.2323, 0.2398, 0.2928, 0.2889, 0.3408, 0.3638, 0.3817, 0.4098, 0.3725, 0.394, 0.3754, 0.2794, 0.3026, 0.2783, 0.2519, 0.2226, 0.2032, 0.2497, 0.2259, 0.217, 0.2439, 0.2548, 0.2896, 0.2765, 0.2437, 0.2239, 0.2381, 0.2041, 0.148, 0.1741, 0.1448, 0.1682, 0.1978, 0.1639, 0.1489, 0.1267, 0.0668, 0.0407, 0.0504, 0.0336, -0.021, -0.0384, -0.0025, -0.013, 0.0229, 0.0316, 0.0275, -0.0245, 0.0323, 0.0569, 0.0413, 0.0101, 0.0243, 0.0475, 0.0399, 0.0454, 0.0201, -0.0234, -0.0073, -0.0265, -0.0342, -0.0044, 0.0, -0.0122, -0.0099, -0.0142, -0.0134, -0.0153, -0.0007, -0.0111, 0.0027, 0.0164, 0.0609, 0.0592, 0.0318, 0.0287, 0.0229, 0.0305, 0.0772, 0.0954, 0.0798, 0.0795, 0.0459, -0.002, 0.01, 0.011, 0.0115, -0.0025, 0.0069, 0.0078, -0.0444, -0.0493, -0.1108, -0.1453, -0.1748, -0.2914, -0.2027, -0.2076, -0.2226, -0.2429, -0.2516, -0.2219, -0.222, -0.2373, -0.2493, -0.2433, -0.2315, -0.2698, -0.2759, -0.232, -0.2377, -0.2555, -0.2228, -0.2282, -0.1783, -0.1994, -0.23, -0.227, -0.2098, -0.2066, -0.2034, -0.198, -0.154, -0.1646, -0.1949, -0.2099, -0.203, -0.1986, -0.2031, -0.1941, -0.2226, -0.2503, -0.2463, -0.2289, -0.2307, -0.2441, -0.2436, -0.2218, -0.187, -0.1963, -0.189, -0.1753, -0.1583, -0.1617, -0.1546, -0.1507, -0.1284, -0.1426, -0.1372, -0.1162, -0.1155, -0.1247, -0.1257, -0.1372, -0.1437, -0.1377, -0.1165, -0.0979, -0.0855, -0.0798, -0.0958, -0.0938, -0.0764, -0.0905, -0.1041, -0.0841, -0.1065, -0.1304, -0.1327, -0.1247, -0.1238, -0.1469, -0.1267, -0.1431, -0.1599, -0.169, -0.1708, -0.1676, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2005540569888780797", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-29T07:25:07+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AXTI controls a huge percent of the world's InP supply and if those prices gets jacked up from hyperscaler buying direct for insurance-> handing them to $COHR, then it's more of an issue for Sumitomo. And AXT benefits from both layers of the bottlenecks", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AXTI as InP bottleneck beneficiary on hyperscaler demand; COHR also flagged as running at max capacity.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I can see that if you look at China domestic markets only but not western AI ramp. So two things:\n\nOne is extreme ramp in general. Hyperscaler demand will always outstrip supply even with 6-inch InP wafers. So competitive alternative or not, demand doesn’t disappear but might get spread out through competitive alternatives in China’s domestic market.\n\nThe other is vertical integration. You mentioned $DOWA on the western side and especially InP. $AXTI controls a huge percent of the world’s InP supply and if those prices gets jacked up from hyperscaler buying direct for insurance-> handing them to $COHR, then it’s more of an issue for Sumitomo. And AXT benefits from both layers of the bottlenecks.  Xinyao/JFS entering the supply chain just makes adds one more player to the equation so it’s not doom and gloom. Eg memory (sk Hynix; MU, Samsung)  \n\nOf course these points might get thrown out the drain if China export controls and we’re looking at China domestic market only. But generally demand outstrips supply (eg. COHR is at max) even if we add in more players.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Well, I'm scared of Chinese supply coming online\nIf Xinyao enters the supply chain then it's a wrap for AXT\nhttps://t.co/LU4S76rQLs", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "zephyr_z9", "ret_m1d": 0.053461255984486034, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.053461255984486034, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04988488291347637, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.048930919268866724, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003576373071009664, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00453033671561931, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0829335178541688, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0829335178541688, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08415461858875106, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08540460299076469, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012211007345822589, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0024710851365958852, "ret_p1w": 0.14256339286858166, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.14256339286858166, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14275237698110377, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10582633129221697, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0001889841125221059, "bench_c_p1w": 0.036737061576364693, "ret_p1m": 0.17888969040816738, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.17888969040816738, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1677826029700944, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.060716082998414356, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011107087438072982, "bench_c_p1m": 0.11817360740975302, "ret_p3m": 3.010280857410069, "ret_signed_p3m": 3.010280857410069, "alpha_spy_p3m": 3.069884257700485, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.9646203723246023, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.05960340029041622, "bench_c_p3m": 0.045660485085466496, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6635, -0.6779, -0.6484, -0.6299, -0.6361, -0.6361, -0.6415, -0.7238, -0.6847, -0.6868, -0.6854, -0.6621, -0.6909, -0.6635, -0.6456, -0.6614, -0.645, -0.5846, -0.5757, -0.5476, -0.5154, -0.4983, -0.4551, -0.4202, -0.4147, -0.3763, -0.392, -0.3516, -0.2844, -0.2762, -0.2474, -0.2844, -0.2844, -0.2975, -0.3215, -0.3071, -0.3523, -0.3879, -0.3598, -0.3674, -0.2838, -0.2838, -0.2666, -0.2605, -0.194, -0.2132, -0.1707, -0.2063, -0.1289, 0.0254, 0.0631, 0.1227, 0.0151, 0.0164, -0.109, -0.1528, -0.0398, 0.0041, 0.0432, 0.0034, 0.0288, 0.0288, 0.0535, 0.0, 0.0829, 0.1206, 0.1206, 0.1487, 0.1426, 0.3825, 0.6525, 0.7704, 0.5757, 0.5243, 0.4743, 0.5147, 0.7629, 0.5141, 0.5141, 0.4674, 0.3557, 0.2282, 0.1926, 0.22, 0.1789, 0.1535, 0.1227, 0.2707, 0.4352, 0.353, 0.2851, 0.4003, 0.6491, 0.9034, 0.669, 0.8369, 0.6991, 0.6614, 0.6614, 0.5908, 0.6134, 0.6319, 1.0343, 0.9486, 1.4044, 1.8081, 1.5442, 1.5977, 2.1748, 1.8622, 1.682, 1.6594, 1.2186, 1.6429, 2.0363, 2.2461, 2.2029, 2.3489, 2.3167, 2.0404, 2.342, 2.9815, 2.7176, 3.4167, 3.6909, 3.6162, 3.0103, 3.1556, 2.6141, 2.9054, 2.231, 2.6217, 2.6217, 1.878, 2.1158, 2.645, 3.3263, 3.3989, 3.5545, 3.6127, 3.3132, 4.6052, 4.6587, 4.3982, 4.1385, 4.9589, 4.159, 4.22, 3.8081, 3.7094, 3.8711, 4.4297, 5.5798, 6.2653, 6.3715, 6.1851, 6.4311, 6.9753, 7.623, 7.4236, 7.3578, 6.8807, 7.4839, 6.257, 6.7368, 6.17, 7.2947, 8.6525, 8.6525, 8.0884, 7.4147, 6.9301, 6.0706, 6.0706, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2005540569888780797", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-29T07:25:07+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "COHR is at max", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AXTI as InP bottleneck beneficiary on hyperscaler demand; COHR also flagged as running at max capacity.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I can see that if you look at China domestic markets only but not western AI ramp. So two things:\n\nOne is extreme ramp in general. Hyperscaler demand will always outstrip supply even with 6-inch InP wafers. So competitive alternative or not, demand doesn’t disappear but might get spread out through competitive alternatives in China’s domestic market.\n\nThe other is vertical integration. You mentioned $DOWA on the western side and especially InP. $AXTI controls a huge percent of the world’s InP supply and if those prices gets jacked up from hyperscaler buying direct for insurance-> handing them to $COHR, then it’s more of an issue for Sumitomo. And AXT benefits from both layers of the bottlenecks.  Xinyao/JFS entering the supply chain just makes adds one more player to the equation so it’s not doom and gloom. Eg memory (sk Hynix; MU, Samsung)  \n\nOf course these points might get thrown out the drain if China export controls and we’re looking at China domestic market only. But generally demand outstrips supply (eg. COHR is at max) even if we add in more players.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Well, I'm scared of Chinese supply coming online\nIf Xinyao enters the supply chain then it's a wrap for AXT\nhttps://t.co/LU4S76rQLs", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "zephyr_z9", "ret_m1d": 0.014284186261843024, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.014284186261843024, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01070781319083336, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01070781319083336, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003576373071009664, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003576373071009664, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011691919711744325, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011691919711744325, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010470818977162066, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010470818977162066, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012211007345822589, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012211007345822589, "ret_p1w": -0.014072603967753228, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.014072603967753228, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.013883619855231122, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.013883619855231122, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0001889841125221059, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0001889841125221059, "ret_p1m": 0.13215530188821667, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13215530188821667, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12104821445014369, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12104821445014369, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011107087438072982, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011107087438072982, "ret_p3m": 0.28711241025814904, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.28711241025814904, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.34671581054856526, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.34671581054856526, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.05960340029041622, "bench_c_p3m": -0.05960340029041622, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3935, -0.4033, -0.3991, -0.3928, -0.3992, -0.3828, -0.3527, -0.4122, -0.3909, -0.4214, -0.4159, -0.3865, -0.3845, -0.3641, -0.361, -0.3896, -0.3571, -0.3157, -0.2858, -0.2898, -0.2696, -0.2979, -0.3019, -0.3017, -0.3191, -0.2877, -0.1572, -0.1826, -0.118, -0.1641, -0.1711, -0.2595, -0.2629, -0.2643, -0.2691, -0.2438, -0.2826, -0.2619, -0.1969, -0.2125, -0.1853, -0.1853, -0.131, -0.135, -0.1277, -0.0955, -0.0617, -0.0382, -0.0167, 0.0196, 0.0446, 0.0502, -0.0565, -0.0559, -0.0731, -0.0983, -0.0704, -0.0169, 0.0104, 0.0151, 0.0124, 0.0124, 0.0143, 0.0, -0.0117, -0.0235, -0.0235, 0.0281, -0.0141, 0.0269, 0.0138, -0.084, -0.058, -0.0203, 0.0053, -0.026, 0.0367, 0.0107, 0.0107, 0.0235, 0.0658, 0.0725, 0.0419, 0.0462, 0.1322, 0.1699, 0.142, 0.1225, 0.1768, 0.2125, 0.1163, 0.107, 0.2045, 0.2827, 0.2082, 0.1834, 0.1433, 0.1492, 0.1492, 0.1637, 0.1845, 0.2299, 0.313, 0.3167, 0.3483, 0.4173, 0.3234, 0.3699, 0.5814, 0.4856, 0.4541, 0.3431, 0.2471, 0.3349, 0.3789, 0.3301, 0.2764, 0.2843, 0.3087, 0.3004, 0.3608, 0.4579, 0.3418, 0.3493, 0.4407, 0.4392, 0.2871, 0.2881, 0.162, 0.2602, 0.311, 0.3658, 0.3658, 0.3396, 0.3496, 0.4908, 0.5034, 0.6268, 0.6291, 0.6581, 0.6305, 0.7353, 0.8253, 0.8385, 0.8188, 0.8541, 0.7865, 0.7781, 0.701, 0.6081, 0.6132, 0.6914, 0.7432, 0.7453, 0.7762, 0.8235, 0.6887, 0.7737, 1.0087, 0.9787, 1.1358, 1.1423, 1.0233, 0.9195, 0.8709, 0.8966, 0.9998, 0.9975, 0.9975, 1.0175, 1.0113, 0.9942, 0.9123, 0.9123, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1981024895346802907", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-22T15:48:35+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "24B marketcap... for a company scaling hundreds of %+ to $4-6B ARR on ~60-75% gross margins, $5B+ in cash, ownership in the billions for portfolio companies, amidst the US trillion dollar data center buildout is laughable", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS: $24B mktcap is laughably cheap vs. hundreds-%-growth ARR scaling to $4-6B, 60-75% margins, $5B+ cash, and data-center tailwinds; selloff seen as opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Looks like there's also a selloff across all high-beta stocks right now too from $HOOD, $RKLB, to quantum. $NBIS sold off before the others so the 7% drop today on top of the existing 23%+ drop is icing on the cake. \n\n24B marketcap... for a company scaling hundreds of %+ to $4-6B ARR on ~60-75% gross margins, $5B+ in cash, ownership in the billions for portfolio companies, amidst the US trillion dollar data center buildout is laughable. \n\nBut it's times like these where retail sadly gets wiped out or paper-hands just looking at the price vs. fundamentals, and that's how the ownership % goes up over time.  Wouldn't be surprised to see this number go up a lot.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$NBIS Institutional ownership is ~38% and I expect it to go up after this quarter. Keep an eye.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DeepValueBagger", "ret_m1d": 0.05739196790796086, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05739196790796086, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.052165891093566064, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04865795143168117, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005226076814394798, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008734016476279693, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07645508725955352, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07645508725955352, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07052519606905383, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07982761972858643, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005929891190499692, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0033725324690329073, "ret_p1w": 0.2685053233630823, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2685053233630823, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.23917013427122158, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2628844137812947, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.029335189091860725, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005620909581787625, "ret_p1m": -0.14175626614873638, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14175626614873638, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11889015789478707, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09272476616029002, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.022866108253949302, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04903149998844636, "ret_p3m": 0.10251470623389292, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10251470623389292, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06372503900472015, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10335486794227966, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.038789667229172764, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0008401617083867441, "ret_p6m": 0.6765361157285201, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6765361157285201, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.619849690724092, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.6423340376147957, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05668642500442811, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03420207811372444, "price_path": [-0.4791, -0.4651, -0.4889, -0.4799, -0.4481, -0.4727, -0.4507, -0.4406, -0.4414, -0.3378, -0.3026, -0.2878, -0.2362, -0.2838, -0.3058, -0.2738, -0.2644, -0.3187, -0.3159, -0.3289, -0.3005, -0.29, -0.2853, -0.2892, -0.2695, -0.3072, -0.3072, -0.3336, -0.3343, -0.3418, -0.3361, -0.3504, -0.0294, -0.053, -0.0956, -0.0832, -0.0777, -0.0932, -0.046, -0.0456, 0.007, 0.0809, 0.0931, 0.1481, 0.0945, 0.0921, 0.1176, 0.1384, 0.1723, 0.2763, 0.2977, 0.2669, 0.1935, 0.2371, 0.345, 0.3139, 0.3736, 0.2994, 0.2759, 0.2476, 0.1503, 0.1053, 0.0574, 0.0, 0.0765, 0.189, 0.2719, 0.2353, 0.2685, 0.2592, 0.3265, 0.2216, 0.1209, 0.1864, 0.1097, 0.1284, 0.1149, 0.0365, -0.0432, -0.1013, -0.1529, -0.1282, -0.0819, -0.036, -0.1418, -0.1557, -0.0681, -0.0988, -0.0398, -0.0398, -0.038, 0.0155, -0.022, 0.003, 0.0424, -0.0059, 0.0173, -0.0224, -0.051, -0.044, -0.1108, -0.1772, -0.1792, -0.2349, -0.2082, -0.0929, -0.0547, -0.0871, -0.0759, -0.0759, -0.1118, -0.1276, -0.1364, -0.1512, -0.1512, -0.0879, -0.0587, 0.0164, -0.0244, -0.0134, -0.007, 0.0883, 0.0691, 0.0341, 0.0534, 0.1025, 0.1025, 0.0068, 0.0025, -0.0179, -0.0418, -0.0726, -0.0076, 0.0184, -0.0376, -0.1362, -0.1061, -0.0879, -0.1646, -0.251, -0.127, -0.0582, -0.0693, -0.1015, -0.0901, -0.0062, -0.0062, -0.0112, 0.0322, 0.0912, -0.0071, 0.0202, 0.0402, 0.076, 0.0635, -0.0753, -0.0772, -0.1199, -0.0085, -0.0301, -0.0942, -0.0373, -0.0222, 0.1356, 0.0955, 0.1453, 0.3167, 0.1796, 0.2022, 0.2322, 0.1927, 0.1575, 0.1652, 0.167, 0.0745, 0.0223, -0.0645, 0.0521, 0.0338, 0.1034, 0.1034, 0.1411, 0.1904, 0.2675, 0.3824, 0.47, 0.5672, 0.6421, 0.691, 0.6765]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1988104818251211002", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-11T04:41:40+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "markets are undervaluing $NBIS's core business with their existing NAV/assets. If things are on track with just their existing business, should be extremely positive", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bullish NBIS into ER: market undervaluing core business/NAV, down ~20% from highs; execution confirmation should be a positive catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So a lot of people still don't understand $NBIS forward revenue, so having Nebius quantify and confirm financial data like $WULF that FinX are speculating with their existing core business would already be enough of  momentum for next earnings. Since Nebius has already dropped ~20% from highs and markets are undervaluing $NBIS's core business with their existing NAV/assets.\n\nI'd be surprised if they announced another large contract like $CIFR so it's not expected. \n\nI'm more interested in execution, such as margins, etc.  after seeing their whitepaper and buildout/timeline for MSFT. If things are on track with just their existing business, should be extremely positive. \n\nhttps://t.co/2x4vlVv6RU", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thank you for sharing. What are you expecting for tomorrow’s $NBIS ER? Do you think we’ll have an $IREN situation where it just kinda stays neutral? I’ve been pretty disappointed with today’s price action given that earnings are around the corner.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mattia030339", "ret_m1d": 0.07562116645693662, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07562116645693662, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07790517779341222, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08367715698290779, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0022840113364756, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008055990525971168, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07689298098696984, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07689298098696984, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07744946946558229, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07111371851615012, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005564884786124491, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005779262470819724, "ret_p1w": -0.11426335517212038, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11426335517212038, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08070553613602638, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09333522120495286, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.033557819036094005, "bench_c_p1w": -0.020928133967167528, "ret_p1m": -0.08442579514531079, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08442579514531079, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0911169579698673, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10955721246618133, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006691162824556507, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02513141732087054, "ret_p3m": -0.15769910540088283, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15769910540088283, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17184363692646742, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1746409985754659, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014144531525584592, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016941893174583056, "ret_p6m": 0.9085305616135924, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.9085305616135924, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.8279910769496042, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.8743308936187839, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08053948466398819, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03419966799480845, "price_path": [-0.3303, -0.2994, -0.2904, -0.3427, -0.34, -0.3526, -0.3252, -0.315, -0.3105, -0.3142, -0.2952, -0.3316, -0.3316, -0.3571, -0.3578, -0.365, -0.3595, -0.3733, -0.0636, -0.0864, -0.1275, -0.1155, -0.1102, -0.1251, -0.0796, -0.0792, -0.0285, 0.0428, 0.0546, 0.1077, 0.056, 0.0536, 0.0783, 0.0983, 0.131, 0.2314, 0.252, 0.2223, 0.1514, 0.1935, 0.2976, 0.2677, 0.3252, 0.2537, 0.231, 0.2037, 0.1098, 0.0663, 0.0202, -0.0352, 0.0385, 0.1471, 0.2271, 0.1918, 0.2238, 0.2148, 0.2798, 0.1785, 0.0814, 0.1446, 0.0706, 0.0886, 0.0756, 0.0, -0.0769, -0.1329, -0.1827, -0.1589, -0.1143, -0.0699, -0.172, -0.1855, -0.101, -0.1305, -0.0737, -0.0737, -0.0719, -0.0203, -0.0564, -0.0323, 0.0057, -0.0409, -0.0185, -0.0568, -0.0844, -0.0777, -0.1421, -0.2062, -0.2081, -0.2619, -0.2361, -0.1248, -0.0879, -0.1193, -0.1085, -0.1085, -0.1431, -0.1583, -0.1668, -0.1811, -0.1811, -0.12, -0.0919, -0.0194, -0.0588, -0.0481, -0.042, 0.05, 0.0314, -0.0023, 0.0163, 0.0637, 0.0637, -0.0287, -0.0328, -0.0525, -0.0755, -0.1053, -0.0426, -0.0175, -0.0715, -0.1666, -0.1375, -0.12, -0.194, -0.2773, -0.1577, -0.0914, -0.102, -0.1331, -0.1222, -0.0412, -0.0412, -0.046, -0.0041, 0.0527, -0.0421, -0.0158, 0.0035, 0.0382, 0.026, -0.1079, -0.1097, -0.1509, -0.0434, -0.0643, -0.1261, -0.0712, -0.0566, 0.0956, 0.0569, 0.105, 0.2703, 0.138, 0.1599, 0.1888, 0.1507, 0.1167, 0.1241, 0.1259, 0.0367, -0.0137, -0.0974, 0.0151, -0.0026, 0.0646, 0.0646, 0.101, 0.1485, 0.2229, 0.3337, 0.4182, 0.512, 0.5842, 0.6315, 0.6175, 0.5373, 0.557, 0.5315, 0.5275, 0.5367, 0.4396, 0.4181, 0.3257, 0.3812, 0.3523, 0.5113, 0.7259, 0.721, 0.9085]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2006013108817678779", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-30T14:42:49+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If Nebius management scales to 20-30% EBIT margins with their $7-9B ARR target, this seems incredibly, incredibly off at $85 when conservative analysts are throwing out $200+ PTs", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish on Neocloud sector: NBIS deeply undervalued at $85 vs $200+ PT targets, IREN on MSFT deal IRR, CIFR/WULF on hyperscaler colo deals; sector selloff seen as golden opportunity if margins scale.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Neoclouds are in the \"Prove It\" phase. \n\nYou have absurd 700%+ ARR growth rates to $7-9B from $NBIS and $3.4B+ figures from $IREN. \n\nMany have multiple year revenue visibility and backstop from Mag7 Hyperscalers.\n\nHowever, markets have said: \n\n\"This is not an infinite money glitch\". \n\nWhere a stock goes up -> convertible note/dilution -> ARR increases -> repeat. \n\nThey all have funding now, $NBIS sitting on a $4.8B+ cash stack, $IREN sitting on billions from $MSFT prepayment/notes to finish their buildout and turn that into FCF. \n\nDespite tailwinds from the initial SPEED act passing, OpenAI fundraising (for less counterpaty risk), and rate cuts, the recent downtrend seems to combine EoY tax harvesting with short selling, active ATMs, and mainly:\n\nWaiting for proof that these companies can deliver margins at scale from levered IRR projections on $MSFT's IREN deal to Nebius. It seems to comes down to execution and waiting for their next earnings report. \n\nMany retail investors seem to have capitulated during this time but institutional ownership has only gone up (30's from $NBIS to 50's+ now) \n\nBut here's where the asymmetry comes in:\n\nIf Nebius management scales to 20-30% EBIT margins with their $7-9B ARR target, this seems incredibly, incredibly off at $85 when conservative analysts are throwing out $200+ PTs. Especially considering possible Clickhouse ramp/IPO and Avride robotaxi scaling with Uber. \n\nI'm especially bullish thematically too with $IREN levered IRR projections on the Microsoft deal and Neocloud colo players from $CIFR / $WULF $GOOGL deals. \n\nTLDR: If Neoclouds can execute with their projected margins, scale, and create their own moats during this 2-3 year window, then the whole sector selloff seems like a golden opportunity.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.010214896856710842, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.010214896856710842, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00899230321213107, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.013596415307441934, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012225936445797725, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0033815184507310914, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01720084970513469, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01720084970513469, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009791882331743995, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01238220855896155, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.007408967373390696, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0048186411461731415, "ret_p1w": 0.1769402373935831, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1769402373935831, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.16995352984788914, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1850558299127807, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006986707545693971, "bench_c_p1w": -0.008115592519197579, "ret_p1m": 0.17917109855938174, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.17917109855938174, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.16692975052071635, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1921898993024591, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01224134803866539, "bench_c_p1m": -0.013018800743077374, "ret_p3m": 0.18375016863139026, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.18375016863139026, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.25825898424067917, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.275967752281462, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0745088156092889, "bench_c_p3m": -0.09221758365007171, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.4779, 0.5026, 0.4669, 0.3819, 0.4324, 0.5574, 0.5214, 0.5905, 0.5046, 0.4774, 0.4446, 0.3319, 0.2798, 0.2244, 0.1579, 0.2464, 0.3768, 0.4727, 0.4304, 0.4688, 0.458, 0.536, 0.4145, 0.2979, 0.3737, 0.285, 0.3066, 0.2909, 0.2002, 0.1079, 0.0406, -0.0191, 0.0095, 0.0631, 0.1162, -0.0062, -0.0224, 0.079, 0.0436, 0.1118, 0.1118, 0.1139, 0.1759, 0.1324, 0.1614, 0.207, 0.1511, 0.178, 0.132, 0.0989, 0.107, 0.0296, -0.0473, -0.0495, -0.1141, -0.0831, 0.0504, 0.0946, 0.0571, 0.07, 0.07, 0.0284, 0.0102, 0.0, -0.0172, -0.0172, 0.0561, 0.0899, 0.1769, 0.1296, 0.1424, 0.1498, 0.2602, 0.2379, 0.1974, 0.2197, 0.2766, 0.2766, 0.1658, 0.1609, 0.1371, 0.1095, 0.0739, 0.1491, 0.1792, 0.1144, 0.0002, 0.0351, 0.0561, -0.0326, -0.1327, 0.0109, 0.0905, 0.0777, 0.0404, 0.0535, 0.1508, 0.1508, 0.145, 0.1953, 0.2635, 0.1497, 0.1813, 0.2044, 0.246, 0.2314, 0.0707, 0.0686, 0.0191, 0.1481, 0.123, 0.0488, 0.1147, 0.1322, 0.315, 0.2685, 0.3262, 0.5246, 0.3659, 0.392, 0.4268, 0.381, 0.3403, 0.3492, 0.3513, 0.2442, 0.1838, 0.0832, 0.2183, 0.197, 0.2777, 0.2777, 0.3214, 0.3784, 0.4677, 0.6007, 0.7021, 0.8147, 0.9014, 0.9581, 0.9413, 0.845, 0.8687, 0.8381, 0.8333, 0.8443, 0.7278, 0.702, 0.5911, 0.6577, 0.623, 0.8139, 1.0714, 1.0655, 1.2906, 1.1694, 1.0788, 1.185, 1.103, 1.4336, 1.5966, 1.5824, 1.3466, 1.3216, 1.2522, 1.5822, 1.5217, 1.5217, 1.4429, 1.4465, 1.6575, 1.7133, 1.7133, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2006013108817678779", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-30T14:42:49+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm especially bullish thematically too with $IREN levered IRR projections on the Microsoft deal", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish on Neocloud sector: NBIS deeply undervalued at $85 vs $200+ PT targets, IREN on MSFT deal IRR, CIFR/WULF on hyperscaler colo deals; sector selloff seen as golden opportunity if margins scale.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Neoclouds are in the \"Prove It\" phase. \n\nYou have absurd 700%+ ARR growth rates to $7-9B from $NBIS and $3.4B+ figures from $IREN. \n\nMany have multiple year revenue visibility and backstop from Mag7 Hyperscalers.\n\nHowever, markets have said: \n\n\"This is not an infinite money glitch\". \n\nWhere a stock goes up -> convertible note/dilution -> ARR increases -> repeat. \n\nThey all have funding now, $NBIS sitting on a $4.8B+ cash stack, $IREN sitting on billions from $MSFT prepayment/notes to finish their buildout and turn that into FCF. \n\nDespite tailwinds from the initial SPEED act passing, OpenAI fundraising (for less counterpaty risk), and rate cuts, the recent downtrend seems to combine EoY tax harvesting with short selling, active ATMs, and mainly:\n\nWaiting for proof that these companies can deliver margins at scale from levered IRR projections on $MSFT's IREN deal to Nebius. It seems to comes down to execution and waiting for their next earnings report. \n\nMany retail investors seem to have capitulated during this time but institutional ownership has only gone up (30's from $NBIS to 50's+ now) \n\nBut here's where the asymmetry comes in:\n\nIf Nebius management scales to 20-30% EBIT margins with their $7-9B ARR target, this seems incredibly, incredibly off at $85 when conservative analysts are throwing out $200+ PTs. Especially considering possible Clickhouse ramp/IPO and Avride robotaxi scaling with Uber. \n\nI'm especially bullish thematically too with $IREN levered IRR projections on the Microsoft deal and Neocloud colo players from $CIFR / $WULF $GOOGL deals. \n\nTLDR: If Neoclouds can execute with their projected margins, scale, and create their own moats during this 2-3 year window, then the whole sector selloff seems like a golden opportunity.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.028981739750988833, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.028981739750988833, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02775914610640906, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.026444551913758607, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012225936445797725, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002537187837230226, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.013838088507950319, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.013838088507950319, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006429121134559623, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006407886710037336, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.007408967373390696, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007430201797912983, "ret_p1w": 0.19869453686536453, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.19869453686536453, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.19170782931967056, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1765850152364168, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006986707545693971, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022109521628947748, "ret_p1m": 0.6433420334328839, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6433420334328839, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6311006853942185, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.683030299746926, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01224134803866539, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0396882663140421, "ret_p3m": -0.08381198820929836, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08381198820929836, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.009303172600009457, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04529705326277511, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0745088156092889, "bench_c_p3m": -0.12910904147207347, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2277, 0.3175, 0.5078, 0.6104, 0.5689, 0.6671, 0.5606, 0.6747, 0.8162, 0.7749, 0.6144, 0.5854, 0.5462, 0.4411, 0.3533, 0.4585, 0.6423, 0.6969, 0.6298, 0.5775, 0.5201, 0.5862, 0.7689, 0.7397, 0.995, 0.7483, 0.6287, 0.571, 0.4982, 0.4543, 0.2702, 0.2107, 0.2379, 0.2755, 0.1966, 0.135, 0.1034, 0.2661, 0.2394, 0.265, 0.265, 0.2483, 0.2661, 0.0736, 0.1478, 0.2128, 0.1674, 0.2099, 0.223, 0.1467, 0.1473, 0.0478, -0.0736, -0.0446, -0.118, -0.0653, 0.0423, 0.0977, 0.0984, 0.0961, 0.0961, 0.0522, 0.029, 0.0, -0.0138, -0.0138, 0.1149, 0.2595, 0.1987, 0.139, 0.1927, 0.2018, 0.3141, 0.3836, 0.3807, 0.3548, 0.5097, 0.5097, 0.4167, 0.3963, 0.3645, 0.4799, 0.3671, 0.5663, 0.6433, 0.5624, 0.4031, 0.3859, 0.4201, 0.1734, 0.0389, 0.0922, 0.205, 0.1209, 0.1141, 0.0452, 0.1023, 0.1023, 0.0697, 0.0987, 0.1303, 0.0439, 0.106, 0.1867, 0.1496, 0.1551, 0.0692, 0.0807, 0.0144, 0.1446, 0.0477, -0.0418, 0.0141, -0.0047, 0.0961, 0.0802, 0.0856, 0.1734, 0.1217, 0.1021, 0.0877, 0.0781, 0.1008, 0.0736, 0.0817, -0.0222, -0.0838, -0.1744, -0.105, -0.1099, -0.0922, -0.0922, -0.0828, -0.0668, -0.0384, -0.0324, 0.0266, 0.1245, 0.2368, 0.2747, 0.2454, 0.2564, 0.2721, 0.1794, 0.2634, 0.3582, 0.3222, 0.2627, 0.1603, 0.1191, 0.1883, 0.1922, 0.2919, 0.4292, 0.5922, 0.4843, 0.5979, 0.4399, 0.4768, 0.4405, 0.5248, 0.3822, 0.3175, 0.2465, 0.3762, 0.5159, 0.4838, 0.4838, 0.5608, 0.7713, 0.6723, 0.659, 0.659, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2006013108817678779", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-12-30T14:42:49+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Neocloud colo players from $CIFR / $WULF $GOOGL deals", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish on Neocloud sector: NBIS deeply undervalued at $85 vs $200+ PT targets, IREN on MSFT deal IRR, CIFR/WULF on hyperscaler colo deals; sector selloff seen as golden opportunity if margins scale.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Neoclouds are in the \"Prove It\" phase. \n\nYou have absurd 700%+ ARR growth rates to $7-9B from $NBIS and $3.4B+ figures from $IREN. \n\nMany have multiple year revenue visibility and backstop from Mag7 Hyperscalers.\n\nHowever, markets have said: \n\n\"This is not an infinite money glitch\". \n\nWhere a stock goes up -> convertible note/dilution -> ARR increases -> repeat. \n\nThey all have funding now, $NBIS sitting on a $4.8B+ cash stack, $IREN sitting on billions from $MSFT prepayment/notes to finish their buildout and turn that into FCF. \n\nDespite tailwinds from the initial SPEED act passing, OpenAI fundraising (for less counterpaty risk), and rate cuts, the recent downtrend seems to combine EoY tax harvesting with short selling, active ATMs, and mainly:\n\nWaiting for proof that these companies can deliver margins at scale from levered IRR projections on $MSFT's IREN deal to Nebius. It seems to comes down to execution and waiting for their next earnings report. \n\nMany retail investors seem to have capitulated during this time but institutional ownership has only gone up (30's from $NBIS to 50's+ now) \n\nBut here's where the asymmetry comes in:\n\nIf Nebius management scales to 20-30% EBIT margins with their $7-9B ARR target, this seems incredibly, incredibly off at $85 when conservative analysts are throwing out $200+ PTs. Especially considering possible Clickhouse ramp/IPO and Avride robotaxi scaling with Uber. \n\nI'm especially bullish thematically too with $IREN levered IRR projections on the Microsoft deal and Neocloud colo players from $CIFR / $WULF $GOOGL deals. \n\nTLDR: If Neoclouds can execute with their projected margins, scale, and create their own moats during this 2-3 year window, then the whole sector selloff seems like a golden opportunity.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03358463097968167, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03358463097968167, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0323620373351019, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.030421175223934283, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012225936445797725, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003163455755747391, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011651821419877972, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011651821419877972, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.019060788793268668, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.021554891008970234, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.007408967373390696, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009903069589092262, "ret_p1w": 0.2021933332479231, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2021933332479231, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.19520662570222913, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1936657979759535, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006986707545693971, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008527535271969588, "ret_p1m": 0.3002055596270643, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3002055596270643, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2879642115883989, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2739350815858117, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01224134803866539, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0262704780412526, "ret_p3m": -0.05791639877940147, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05791639877940147, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.016592416829887435, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04749910042019978, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0745088156092889, "bench_c_p3m": -0.10541549919960125, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0535, 0.0075, 0.0514, 0.0795, 0.2063, 0.233, 0.1631, 0.3941, 0.4318, 0.4414, 0.2831, 0.2858, 0.3646, 0.2389, 0.1042, 0.1827, 0.416, 0.4078, 0.3681, 0.3427, 0.3071, 0.2783, 0.56, 0.5428, 0.6936, 0.488, 0.4181, 0.3468, 0.2796, 0.1912, 0.0233, -0.0158, -0.0164, -0.0007, 0.0021, -0.0021, -0.0302, 0.1453, 0.2008, 0.3125, 0.3125, 0.3948, 0.3496, 0.209, 0.2769, 0.3592, 0.3215, 0.3352, 0.3406, 0.2666, 0.294, 0.1686, 0.0103, 0.0274, -0.0137, 0.0384, 0.111, 0.1199, 0.0905, 0.1117, 0.1117, 0.0411, 0.0336, 0.0, 0.0117, 0.0117, 0.1103, 0.2447, 0.2022, 0.1021, 0.1343, 0.1398, 0.2118, 0.2509, 0.2426, 0.2008, 0.2886, 0.2886, 0.2282, 0.2145, 0.1919, 0.2042, 0.1302, 0.2851, 0.3002, 0.2132, 0.0939, 0.0836, 0.1145, -0.0233, -0.1295, 0.0096, 0.1487, 0.172, 0.1158, 0.1035, 0.1254, 0.1254, 0.072, 0.0569, 0.0829, 0.0041, 0.0432, 0.1734, 0.1385, 0.1295, 0.0692, 0.0802, 0.0082, 0.0994, 0.0384, -0.0665, -0.0192, -0.0432, -0.0329, -0.0603, -0.035, 0.0377, 0.0343, 0.0055, 0.0034, -0.0398, 0.0206, 0.0199, 0.0884, -0.0164, -0.0579, -0.1765, -0.1179, -0.1337, -0.1213, -0.1213, -0.085, -0.0398, 0.0569, 0.1213, 0.133, 0.2173, 0.2646, 0.2337, 0.1885, 0.3276, 0.3221, 0.2365, 0.3324, 0.281, 0.2474, 0.2447, 0.183, 0.1597, 0.2159, 0.1679, 0.2262, 0.5147, 0.5017, 0.4178, 0.4085, 0.39, 0.3749, 0.4558, 0.5278, 0.3934, 0.3105, 0.2886, 0.3352, 0.475, 0.5058, 0.5058, 0.5778, 0.7245, 0.6854, 0.621, 0.621, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2006013108817678779", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-12-30T14:42:49+00:00", "symbol": "WULF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Neocloud colo players from $CIFR / $WULF $GOOGL deals", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish on Neocloud sector: NBIS deeply undervalued at $85 vs $200+ PT targets, IREN on MSFT deal IRR, CIFR/WULF on hyperscaler colo deals; sector selloff seen as golden opportunity if margins scale.", "resolved_tickers": ["WULF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Neoclouds are in the \"Prove It\" phase. \n\nYou have absurd 700%+ ARR growth rates to $7-9B from $NBIS and $3.4B+ figures from $IREN. \n\nMany have multiple year revenue visibility and backstop from Mag7 Hyperscalers.\n\nHowever, markets have said: \n\n\"This is not an infinite money glitch\". \n\nWhere a stock goes up -> convertible note/dilution -> ARR increases -> repeat. \n\nThey all have funding now, $NBIS sitting on a $4.8B+ cash stack, $IREN sitting on billions from $MSFT prepayment/notes to finish their buildout and turn that into FCF. \n\nDespite tailwinds from the initial SPEED act passing, OpenAI fundraising (for less counterpaty risk), and rate cuts, the recent downtrend seems to combine EoY tax harvesting with short selling, active ATMs, and mainly:\n\nWaiting for proof that these companies can deliver margins at scale from levered IRR projections on $MSFT's IREN deal to Nebius. It seems to comes down to execution and waiting for their next earnings report. \n\nMany retail investors seem to have capitulated during this time but institutional ownership has only gone up (30's from $NBIS to 50's+ now) \n\nBut here's where the asymmetry comes in:\n\nIf Nebius management scales to 20-30% EBIT margins with their $7-9B ARR target, this seems incredibly, incredibly off at $85 when conservative analysts are throwing out $200+ PTs. Especially considering possible Clickhouse ramp/IPO and Avride robotaxi scaling with Uber. \n\nI'm especially bullish thematically too with $IREN levered IRR projections on the Microsoft deal and Neocloud colo players from $CIFR / $WULF $GOOGL deals. \n\nTLDR: If Neoclouds can execute with their projected margins, scale, and create their own moats during this 2-3 year window, then the whole sector selloff seems like a golden opportunity.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.024215288520275546, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.024215288520275546, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.022992694875695774, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.022992694875695774, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012225936445797725, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012225936445797725, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03049328827086617, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03049328827086617, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.037902255644256866, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.037902255644256866, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.007408967373390696, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007408967373390696, "ret_p1w": 0.18206284808044604, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.18206284808044604, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.17507614053475207, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.17507614053475207, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006986707545693971, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006986707545693971, "ret_p1m": 0.3551569662447178, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3551569662447178, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.34291561820605243, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.34291561820605243, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01224134803866539, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01224134803866539, "ret_p3m": 0.3354260854481952, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3354260854481952, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4099349010574841, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4099349010574841, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0745088156092889, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0745088156092889, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0386, 0.0691, 0.0735, 0.0852, 0.1031, 0.2188, 0.2117, 0.2556, 0.3865, 0.3874, 0.243, 0.2493, 0.2422, 0.1785, 0.1318, 0.1552, 0.2296, 0.2233, 0.4296, 0.3004, 0.3291, 0.3901, 0.4439, 0.3462, 0.3776, 0.2807, 0.2502, 0.2825, 0.1094, 0.1336, 0.0475, -0.0143, -0.009, 0.0762, 0.0969, 0.0368, 0.0126, 0.1327, 0.2502, 0.3309, 0.3309, 0.391, 0.3722, 0.2753, 0.2942, 0.3543, 0.3004, 0.3417, 0.3982, 0.4135, 0.4197, 0.2852, 0.1202, 0.165, 0.0377, 0.0574, 0.1229, 0.1184, 0.1139, 0.104, 0.104, 0.0538, 0.0242, 0.0, 0.0305, 0.0305, 0.1426, 0.2215, 0.1821, 0.1202, 0.1516, 0.1749, 0.2386, 0.2682, 0.2744, 0.2404, 0.2422, 0.2422, 0.1955, 0.1767, 0.1561, 0.2664, 0.2368, 0.3731, 0.3552, 0.304, 0.1991, 0.2054, 0.3274, 0.2448, 0.0691, 0.2816, 0.4933, 0.4915, 0.4377, 0.4269, 0.4583, 0.4583, 0.4511, 0.3794, 0.3874, 0.3462, 0.4063, 0.5749, 0.6072, 0.6036, 0.4547, 0.4368, 0.322, 0.3785, 0.3659, 0.2332, 0.2422, 0.287, 0.365, 0.3157, 0.3157, 0.4717, 0.4386, 0.3722, 0.4117, 0.3543, 0.452, 0.4547, 0.5121, 0.3767, 0.3354, 0.2287, 0.2942, 0.2987, 0.3345, 0.3345, 0.3946, 0.4861, 0.6188, 0.7067, 0.6924, 0.7444, 0.8789, 0.7641, 0.7318, 0.8511, 0.8386, 0.7731, 0.843, 0.8269, 0.7946, 0.922, 0.8655, 0.7955, 0.9489, 0.9112, 0.9991, 1.1067, 1.3085, 1.1543, 1.0978, 1.096, 1.0448, 1.0735, 1.1677, 1.0018, 0.896, 0.9139, 0.9399, 1.0556, 1.0466, 1.0466, 1.2583, 1.3982, 1.3677, 1.2924, 1.2924, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1979687339522990150", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-18T23:13:37+00:00", "symbol": "OKLO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "nuclear like $OKLO is hilariously overvalued, no clue why I decided to buy it just as a potential no-revenue meme", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish OKLO: hilariously overvalued no-revenue meme with no fundamental justification.", "resolved_tickers": ["OKLO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Utilities - Independent Power Producers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@iamsattam You're right thanks for the reminder on $NKLR. \n\nLesson learned: I've been saying nuclear like $OKLO is hilariously overvalued, no clue why I decided to buy it just as a potential no-revenue meme. https://t.co/vOKJG56mA5", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit You didn't go NKLR?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "iamsattam", "ret_m1d": 0.02728699311296645, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02728699311296645, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.037580412062030444, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.037580412062030444, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010293418949063993, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010293418949063993, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.12329456293043961, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.12329456293043961, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.12327965844896382, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.12327965844896382, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4904481475785936e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -1.4904481475785936e-05, "ret_p1w": -0.1359321594539109, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1359321594539109, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15669785112974877, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15669785112974877, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02076569167583786, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02076569167583786, "ret_p1m": -0.39245523169230756, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.39245523169230756, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3757413644530162, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3757413644530162, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016713867239291358, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016713867239291358, "ret_p3m": -0.42502360771107517, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.42502360771107517, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.45926386502643246, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.45926386502643246, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03424025731535729, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03424025731535729, "ret_p6m": -0.6316881439355164, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6316881439355164, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.6720788315423394, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.6720788315423394, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04039068760682296, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04039068760682296, "price_path": [-0.5789, -0.531, -0.5253, -0.5253, -0.5535, -0.5245, -0.5185, -0.5505, -0.5196, -0.4713, -0.4775, -0.5013, -0.5264, -0.5482, -0.5066, -0.5132, -0.5369, -0.5532, -0.5662, -0.5887, -0.5815, -0.5776, -0.5575, -0.5524, -0.5328, -0.5398, -0.5103, -0.537, -0.537, -0.5373, -0.5459, -0.5623, -0.5612, -0.5554, -0.5349, -0.5363, -0.4972, -0.48, -0.3984, -0.3975, -0.4009, -0.34, -0.1498, -0.1179, -0.1031, -0.1753, -0.251, -0.3051, -0.2675, -0.2981, -0.2711, -0.1902, -0.1992, -0.1288, -0.1567, -0.1527, -0.1315, -0.0748, 0.0752, 0.0949, 0.0787, 0.0194, 0.0273, 0.0, -0.1233, -0.2448, -0.216, -0.1446, -0.1359, -0.1683, -0.0983, -0.1362, -0.1652, -0.2036, -0.2944, -0.2378, -0.3288, -0.2917, -0.2988, -0.3447, -0.301, -0.361, -0.3865, -0.4004, -0.3925, -0.3533, -0.4467, -0.4456, -0.437, -0.4607, -0.4422, -0.4422, -0.4255, -0.4507, -0.4226, -0.3927, -0.298, -0.3419, -0.3423, -0.3466, -0.3675, -0.3524, -0.4504, -0.4824, -0.4749, -0.5225, -0.5113, -0.4767, -0.4754, -0.4852, -0.4888, -0.4888, -0.5164, -0.5342, -0.5497, -0.5488, -0.5488, -0.5108, -0.4383, -0.3989, -0.3864, -0.3864, -0.3379, -0.3555, -0.3896, -0.3966, -0.425, -0.403, -0.403, -0.4346, -0.4292, -0.4283, -0.449, -0.4825, -0.4639, -0.4065, -0.459, -0.4994, -0.5371, -0.5096, -0.571, -0.6093, -0.553, -0.5281, -0.5632, -0.5836, -0.5981, -0.587, -0.587, -0.5747, -0.5763, -0.5747, -0.5987, -0.6033, -0.5909, -0.583, -0.5657, -0.6042, -0.5933, -0.602, -0.5872, -0.61, -0.6338, -0.6116, -0.6141, -0.6054, -0.6253, -0.633, -0.6247, -0.6194, -0.6435, -0.6561, -0.6607, -0.6463, -0.6544, -0.6525, -0.6743, -0.6842, -0.7134, -0.6882, -0.6978, -0.6974, -0.6974, -0.6934, -0.7071, -0.6843, -0.6998, -0.6841, -0.6609, -0.6317]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972695205305540901", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-29T16:09:22+00:00", "symbol": "VIRT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Even with cuts it's trading at sub 7 p/e with 300m+ in buybacks at 5b marketcap and you can just wait until volatility returns", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish VIRT: sub-7x P/E with $300M+ buybacks at $5B market cap; rate-cut headwind manageable while awaiting vol.", "resolved_tickers": ["VIRT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yep that's correct they get a lot off interest income on EPS. Think interest income was 14% reduction and interest expense was 12% reduction so it was 2.8% or so shaved off income if I'm doing the math correctly.\n\nEven with cuts it's trading at sub 7 p/e with 300m+ in buybacks at 5b marketcap and you can just wait until volatility returns.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit On the rate cut point, wouldn't that also diminish their interest returns from liquid assets, and if so, does that offset some of the benefit from reduced loan payments? \n\nIt looks great here! I really like the point about VIX increasing and VIRT going BRRR", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Neat_Lama", "ret_m1d": -0.018399807113559707, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.018399807113559707, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015597316697436914, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015597316697436914, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010314987907446005, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010314987907446005, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01408185466655798, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01408185466655798, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "ret_p1w": -0.09673811713673042, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09673811713673042, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10868659851914309, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10868659851914309, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "ret_p1m": -0.036241910523391874, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.036241910523391874, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07146971726596119, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07146971726596119, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "ret_p3m": -0.05190284217825136, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05190284217825136, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0952068267904046, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0952068267904046, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "ret_p6m": 0.22316838376734394, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.22316838376734394, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.23338539017928583, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.23338539017928583, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "price_path": [0.2322, 0.2338, 0.2338, 0.243, 0.1864, 0.1923, 0.2211, 0.2186, 0.2419, 0.2244, 0.2374, 0.2508, 0.2286, 0.2064, 0.1817, 0.1973, 0.2133, 0.2253, 0.2031, 0.2208, 0.2416, 0.2236, 0.2022, 0.2034, 0.1889, 0.1767, 0.1767, 0.1765, 0.1654, 0.1673, 0.1596, 0.1596, 0.1582, 0.1493, 0.1415, 0.1479, 0.1526, 0.1657, 0.1751, 0.1964, 0.1845, 0.1751, 0.1687, 0.1687, 0.1528, 0.1558, 0.1271, 0.0842, 0.073, 0.0608, 0.0764, 0.0337, 0.0212, 0.01, -0.0131, -0.0195, -0.0184, -0.0112, -0.0279, -0.0237, -0.0176, -0.0226, -0.0184, 0.0, -0.0103, -0.0488, -0.0452, -0.0622, -0.0967, -0.0973, -0.0845, -0.0739, -0.0742, -0.0803, -0.0658, -0.0633, -0.0772, -0.0736, -0.08, -0.0714, -0.0686, -0.0672, -0.0647, -0.056, -0.0362, -0.0413, -0.0348, -0.0287, -0.0259, -0.0315, -0.0418, -0.0223, -0.0064, 0.0022, -0.0067, 0.0039, -0.0078, -0.0192, -0.0421, -0.0376, -0.0566, -0.0602, -0.0527, -0.0544, -0.0326, -0.0148, -0.0148, -0.0031, -0.0171, -0.0367, -0.0207, -0.005, -0.007, -0.0112, -0.0019, 0.004, -0.0393, -0.0539, -0.0631, -0.0499, -0.0547, -0.0581, -0.0502, -0.0673, -0.0631, -0.0519, -0.0519, -0.0424, -0.0373, -0.0466, -0.0648, -0.0648, -0.085, -0.0536, -0.069, -0.0763, -0.087, -0.0699, -0.048, -0.0443, -0.0126, 0.007, 0.0354, 0.0354, 0.0281, 0.0359, 0.0416, 0.043, 0.0528, 0.0564, 0.0522, 0.1412, 0.1651, 0.1098, 0.075, 0.0615, 0.0724, 0.0814, 0.1019, 0.1053, 0.0646, 0.055, 0.0761, 0.0761, 0.0969, 0.1047, 0.105, 0.1176, 0.1221, 0.1465, 0.1437, 0.1715, 0.169, 0.2062, 0.1755, 0.1591, 0.1543, 0.1577, 0.1839, 0.1588, 0.141, 0.1198, 0.1035, 0.097, 0.1249, 0.1258, 0.1173, 0.1752, 0.2105, 0.2232]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972502603167846835", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-29T03:24:02+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "my thesis was around 'neoclouds' are the next big wave for 2025, 2026", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish on neocloud AI-compute plays NBIS, CRWV, CIFR as the next big wave through 2025-2026.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Good question, don't be ashamed to ask! So Neoclouds is the next generation of cloud infra focused on AI. \n\nYou can think of traditional cloud companies like Amazon Web Services, Microsoft Azure, Google Cloud. They kind of do everything like website hosting, running programming instances, etc.\n\nNeoclouds examples include $NBIS, $CRWV and $CIFR. They're like specialty stores, mainly focused on AI compute. \n\nAnd because AI is getting so high demand with ChatGPT, @grok, and others, my thesis was around \"neoclouds\" are the next big wave for 2025, 2026.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I am so ignorant...is neoclouds a stock? I can't find a ticker anywhere for this stock...", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "blankeymonkey", "ret_m1d": -0.022863402690541768, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.022863402690541768, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.020060912274418974, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01965792073995065, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003205481950591116, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01859912356794835, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01859912356794835, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014832256808836375, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0201175336178111, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0015184100498627506, "ret_p1w": 0.13355108925491654, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.13355108925491654, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12160260787250388, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15075906719363552, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017207977938718977, "ret_p1m": 0.10533478934648022, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10533478934648022, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0701069826039109, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12195232126657751, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016617531920097295, "ret_p3m": -0.17319909050862348, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17319909050862348, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2165030751207767, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17254361511278626, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0006554753958372128, "ret_p6m": 0.042551282793175105, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.042551282793175105, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.052768289205117, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09910514292146178, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.05655386012828667, "price_path": [-0.5466, -0.5441, -0.5441, -0.566, -0.5727, -0.5822, -0.5788, -0.5981, -0.5287, -0.5143, -0.5163, -0.5129, -0.521, -0.5249, -0.5372, -0.5293, -0.5268, -0.5339, -0.5214, -0.5427, -0.5347, -0.5062, -0.5282, -0.5085, -0.4995, -0.5002, -0.4075, -0.376, -0.3627, -0.3165, -0.3592, -0.3789, -0.3502, -0.3419, -0.3904, -0.3879, -0.3996, -0.3742, -0.3647, -0.3606, -0.364, -0.3464, -0.3801, -0.3801, -0.4037, -0.4044, -0.4111, -0.406, -0.4188, -0.1316, -0.1527, -0.1908, -0.1797, -0.1747, -0.1886, -0.1464, -0.1461, -0.099, -0.0328, -0.022, 0.0273, -0.0207, -0.0229, 0.0, 0.0186, 0.0489, 0.142, 0.1611, 0.1336, 0.0679, 0.1069, 0.2034, 0.1756, 0.229, 0.1627, 0.1416, 0.1163, 0.0292, -0.0111, -0.0539, -0.1052, -0.0368, 0.0639, 0.138, 0.1053, 0.135, 0.1267, 0.1869, 0.093, 0.0029, 0.0615, -0.0071, 0.0096, -0.0024, -0.0726, -0.1439, -0.1959, -0.2421, -0.2199, -0.1786, -0.1375, -0.2321, -0.2446, -0.1662, -0.1936, -0.1409, -0.1409, -0.1393, -0.0914, -0.1249, -0.1025, -0.0673, -0.1105, -0.0897, -0.1253, -0.1509, -0.1446, -0.2044, -0.2638, -0.2656, -0.3155, -0.2915, -0.1884, -0.1541, -0.1832, -0.1732, -0.1732, -0.2053, -0.2194, -0.2273, -0.2406, -0.2406, -0.1839, -0.1578, -0.0905, -0.1271, -0.1172, -0.1115, -0.0262, -0.0435, -0.0748, -0.0575, -0.0135, -0.0135, -0.0992, -0.103, -0.1213, -0.1426, -0.1702, -0.112, -0.0888, -0.1389, -0.2271, -0.2001, -0.1839, -0.2525, -0.3298, -0.2188, -0.1573, -0.1672, -0.1961, -0.1859, -0.1108, -0.1108, -0.1152, -0.0764, -0.0237, -0.1116, -0.0872, -0.0693, -0.0372, -0.0484, -0.1727, -0.1743, -0.2125, -0.1129, -0.1322, -0.1895, -0.1386, -0.1251, 0.0161, -0.0198, 0.0248, 0.1781, 0.0554, 0.0757, 0.1025, 0.0671, 0.0357, 0.0426]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972502603167846835", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-29T03:24:02+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "my thesis was around 'neoclouds' are the next big wave for 2025, 2026", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish on neocloud AI-compute plays NBIS, CRWV, CIFR as the next big wave through 2025-2026.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Good question, don't be ashamed to ask! So Neoclouds is the next generation of cloud infra focused on AI. \n\nYou can think of traditional cloud companies like Amazon Web Services, Microsoft Azure, Google Cloud. They kind of do everything like website hosting, running programming instances, etc.\n\nNeoclouds examples include $NBIS, $CRWV and $CIFR. They're like specialty stores, mainly focused on AI compute. \n\nAnd because AI is getting so high demand with ChatGPT, @grok, and others, my thesis was around \"neoclouds\" are the next big wave for 2025, 2026.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I am so ignorant...is neoclouds a stock? I can't find a ticker anywhere for this stock...", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "blankeymonkey", "ret_m1d": -0.017793016363905956, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.017793016363905956, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014990525947783162, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014990525947783162, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.11696057666567183, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.11696057666567183, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.11319370990655986, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.11319370990655986, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "ret_p1w": 0.09247477775776125, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09247477775776125, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08052629637534858, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08052629637534858, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "ret_p1m": 0.10022858917035693, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10022858917035693, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06500078242778762, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06500078242778762, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "ret_p3m": -0.3562683242936131, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3562683242936131, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.39957230890576634, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.39957230890576634, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "ret_p6m": -0.322396352287489, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.322396352287489, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3121793458755471, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3121793458755471, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "price_path": [0.2387, 0.3484, 0.3484, 0.3035, 0.2361, 0.2492, 0.1287, 0.0271, 0.0804, 0.1475, 0.1675, 0.0791, 0.0041, 0.0195, 0.0592, 0.0288, -0.0206, -0.0563, -0.0999, -0.1125, -0.1602, -0.0685, -0.15, -0.1348, -0.0872, -0.1002, -0.0118, 0.0574, 0.1409, 0.2141, -0.0389, -0.1878, -0.1841, -0.2099, -0.2418, -0.253, -0.259, -0.2329, -0.246, -0.2541, -0.2089, -0.161, -0.159, -0.159, -0.2382, -0.2664, -0.286, -0.2729, -0.2365, -0.182, -0.0439, -0.0802, -0.0862, -0.0167, -0.0308, -0.0135, -0.0092, 0.0191, 0.0874, 0.0683, 0.0888, 0.0338, -0.0178, 0.0, 0.117, 0.1186, 0.1263, 0.1001, 0.0925, 0.0515, 0.1425, 0.1678, 0.1299, 0.1559, 0.0942, 0.1365, 0.1569, 0.1171, 0.0371, 0.0207, -0.0081, 0.0067, 0.0819, 0.1105, 0.1002, 0.1421, 0.0697, 0.0913, 0.031, -0.0553, -0.0661, -0.1272, -0.1511, -0.138, -0.2786, -0.3027, -0.3606, -0.3686, -0.3852, -0.3887, -0.3885, -0.4351, -0.4152, -0.3993, -0.4181, -0.3936, -0.3936, -0.4032, -0.371, -0.3794, -0.3523, -0.3001, -0.2793, -0.2961, -0.26, -0.2804, -0.2868, -0.3586, -0.4095, -0.4327, -0.4731, -0.4476, -0.3226, -0.3076, -0.3449, -0.3563, -0.3563, -0.3763, -0.3885, -0.3968, -0.4155, -0.4155, -0.3526, -0.3727, -0.3639, -0.3701, -0.3708, -0.3459, -0.266, -0.286, -0.2671, -0.2245, -0.1738, -0.1738, -0.2228, -0.2324, -0.2508, -0.2411, -0.1976, -0.1115, -0.1347, -0.1876, -0.2394, -0.2741, -0.2649, -0.327, -0.3907, -0.2658, -0.21, -0.2237, -0.2234, -0.2189, -0.2161, -0.2161, -0.2573, -0.2209, -0.2071, -0.2715, -0.2586, -0.1895, -0.2, -0.2032, -0.3506, -0.363, -0.3978, -0.3511, -0.3893, -0.4043, -0.3927, -0.3885, -0.331, -0.3482, -0.338, -0.2992, -0.3297, -0.324, -0.3417, -0.335, -0.331, -0.3224]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972502603167846835", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-09-29T03:24:02+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "my thesis was around 'neoclouds' are the next big wave for 2025, 2026", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish on neocloud AI-compute plays NBIS, CRWV, CIFR as the next big wave through 2025-2026.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Good question, don't be ashamed to ask! So Neoclouds is the next generation of cloud infra focused on AI. \n\nYou can think of traditional cloud companies like Amazon Web Services, Microsoft Azure, Google Cloud. They kind of do everything like website hosting, running programming instances, etc.\n\nNeoclouds examples include $NBIS, $CRWV and $CIFR. They're like specialty stores, mainly focused on AI compute. \n\nAnd because AI is getting so high demand with ChatGPT, @grok, and others, my thesis was around \"neoclouds\" are the next big wave for 2025, 2026.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I am so ignorant...is neoclouds a stock? I can't find a ticker anywhere for this stock...", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "blankeymonkey", "ret_m1d": -0.09328058395930305, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09328058395930305, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09047809354318026, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08796551066294789, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005315073296355166, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0047430409289889175, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0047430409289889175, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008509907688100893, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010200900396175938, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005457859467187021, "ret_p1w": 0.21264826997442654, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.21264826997442654, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.20069978859201387, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1867144587877414, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02593381118668514, "ret_p1m": 0.5778655878561747, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5778655878561747, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5426377811136054, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5007064737373843, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0771591141187904, "ret_p3m": 0.2822134231209563, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2822134231209563, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.23890943850880308, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.236860256046181, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": 0.045353167074775325, "ret_p6m": 0.17628462949864776, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.17628462949864776, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.18650163591058966, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.20224649576629916, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0259618662676514, "price_path": [-0.551, -0.5217, -0.5217, -0.5423, -0.5233, -0.5051, -0.5067, -0.536, -0.5233, -0.5281, -0.5043, -0.4925, -0.4972, -0.5059, -0.4514, -0.4719, -0.4743, -0.4885, -0.513, -0.551, -0.5692, -0.5684, -0.6103, -0.5897, -0.604, -0.5881, -0.615, -0.6245, -0.6237, -0.6269, -0.6126, -0.5794, -0.5881, -0.5217, -0.5447, -0.5296, -0.5336, -0.4957, -0.4751, -0.4372, -0.4474, -0.4451, -0.396, -0.396, -0.3423, -0.3589, -0.415, -0.4055, -0.3897, -0.2711, -0.1897, -0.2119, -0.1423, -0.1423, -0.0901, -0.0213, -0.0632, -0.0292, 0.1036, 0.1186, 0.1178, -0.0783, -0.0933, 0.0, -0.0047, -0.004, 0.0917, 0.1621, 0.2126, 0.2451, 0.3913, 0.4221, 0.3415, 0.6079, 0.6514, 0.6625, 0.4798, 0.483, 0.5739, 0.4289, 0.2735, 0.364, 0.6332, 0.6237, 0.5779, 0.5486, 0.5075, 0.4743, 0.7992, 0.7794, 0.9534, 0.7162, 0.6356, 0.5534, 0.4759, 0.3739, 0.1802, 0.1352, 0.1344, 0.1526, 0.1557, 0.151, 0.1186, 0.3209, 0.385, 0.5138, 0.5138, 0.6087, 0.5565, 0.3945, 0.4727, 0.5676, 0.5241, 0.5399, 0.5462, 0.4609, 0.4925, 0.3478, 0.1652, 0.185, 0.1375, 0.1976, 0.2814, 0.2917, 0.2577, 0.2822, 0.2822, 0.2008, 0.1921, 0.1534, 0.1668, 0.1668, 0.2806, 0.4356, 0.3866, 0.2711, 0.3083, 0.3146, 0.3976, 0.4427, 0.4332, 0.385, 0.4862, 0.4862, 0.4166, 0.4008, 0.3747, 0.3889, 0.3036, 0.4822, 0.4996, 0.3992, 0.2617, 0.2498, 0.2854, 0.1265, 0.004, 0.1644, 0.3249, 0.3518, 0.287, 0.2727, 0.298, 0.298, 0.2364, 0.219, 0.249, 0.1581, 0.2032, 0.3534, 0.313, 0.3028, 0.2332, 0.2458, 0.1628, 0.268, 0.1976, 0.0767, 0.1312, 0.1036, 0.1154, 0.0838, 0.113, 0.1968, 0.1929, 0.1597, 0.1573, 0.1075, 0.1771, 0.1763]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1986691353846469112", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-07T07:05:04+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS is very undervalued at these levels. It's just a high beta stock affected by broader macro. If fundamentals are in tact, then it's a buying opportunity", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "NBIS is undervalued at current levels; macro-driven weakness in a fundamentally intact stock is a buying opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@hereforgoodish $NBIS is very undervalued at these levels. It’s just a high beta stock affected by broader macro. \n\nIf fundamentals are in tact, then it’s a buying opportunity \n\nhttps://t.co/RTbdrjXqtx", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit think it's wise to add more $nbis before earnings at these levels? i want to keep loading the boat but could see it dropping into the 90s again after earnings", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "hereforgoodish", "ret_m1d": -0.01653483427457536, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01653483427457536, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015551294995075793, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019121531471761766, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009835392794995679, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002586697197186405, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011951849799104464, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011951849799104464, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.027556193107098892, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.022388019259927283, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015604343307994428, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01043616946082282, "ret_p1w": -0.24928107627666896, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.24928107627666896, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2507118784654304, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.24232362996945367, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0014308021887614597, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006957446307215287, "ret_p1m": -0.09840040499963942, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09840040499963942, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11726869718810895, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1354176329358321, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018868292188469526, "bench_c_p1m": 0.037017227936192665, "ret_p3m": -0.25961538197844847, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.25961538197844847, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.28532096917866034, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3048221396777887, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025705587200211877, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04520675769934024, "ret_p6m": 0.5853702381758781, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5853702381758781, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5091695010200037, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5431122207638381, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07620073715587439, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04225801741203994, "price_path": [-0.3231, -0.3653, -0.3848, -0.3564, -0.3481, -0.3962, -0.3937, -0.4053, -0.3801, -0.3708, -0.3666, -0.3701, -0.3526, -0.3861, -0.3861, -0.4094, -0.41, -0.4167, -0.4117, -0.4243, -0.1398, -0.1608, -0.1985, -0.1875, -0.1826, -0.1964, -0.1546, -0.1542, -0.1076, -0.0421, -0.0313, 0.0175, -0.03, -0.0322, -0.0095, 0.0089, 0.0389, 0.1311, 0.1501, 0.1228, 0.0577, 0.0963, 0.1919, 0.1645, 0.2173, 0.1516, 0.1308, 0.1057, 0.0194, -0.0205, -0.0629, -0.1138, -0.046, 0.0537, 0.1272, 0.0948, 0.1242, 0.1159, 0.1756, 0.0826, -0.0066, 0.0514, -0.0165, 0.0, -0.012, -0.0814, -0.152, -0.2035, -0.2493, -0.2274, -0.1864, -0.1457, -0.2394, -0.2518, -0.1742, -0.2013, -0.1491, -0.1491, -0.1475, -0.1, -0.1333, -0.1111, -0.0762, -0.119, -0.0984, -0.1336, -0.159, -0.1528, -0.212, -0.2708, -0.2726, -0.322, -0.2983, -0.1961, -0.1622, -0.191, -0.1811, -0.1811, -0.2129, -0.2268, -0.2346, -0.2478, -0.2478, -0.1917, -0.1658, -0.0992, -0.1354, -0.1256, -0.12, -0.0355, -0.0526, -0.0836, -0.0665, -0.0229, -0.0229, -0.1077, -0.1115, -0.1297, -0.1508, -0.1781, -0.1205, -0.0975, -0.1471, -0.2345, -0.2078, -0.1917, -0.2596, -0.3362, -0.2263, -0.1653, -0.1751, -0.2037, -0.1937, -0.1192, -0.1192, -0.1237, -0.0852, -0.033, -0.1201, -0.0959, -0.0782, -0.0464, -0.0575, -0.1805, -0.1822, -0.22, -0.1213, -0.1405, -0.1973, -0.1468, -0.1334, 0.0064, -0.0291, 0.015, 0.1669, 0.0454, 0.0654, 0.092, 0.057, 0.0258, 0.0326, 0.0342, -0.0477, -0.094, -0.1709, -0.0676, -0.0838, -0.0221, -0.0221, 0.0113, 0.055, 0.1233, 0.2251, 0.3027, 0.3889, 0.4552, 0.4987, 0.4858, 0.4121, 0.4303, 0.4068, 0.4031, 0.4116, 0.3224, 0.3027, 0.2177, 0.2688, 0.2422, 0.3883, 0.5854]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1989352983348589023", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-14T15:21:26+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "These types of sell-offs are completely not warranted for companies like $NBIS with $7-9B forward ARR and extremely strong balance sheets. Use this as a buying opportunity for good names", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Buy dip in NBIS, CIFR, WULF on Mag7 contract visibility and strong balance sheets; avoid/underweight CRWV and speculative neoclouds exposed to OpenAI/credit tightening.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We're seeing a live crash in AI + DC stocks right now with $IREN down 37.88% this week to $NBIS down 35.27% this month.\n\nPanic stems from Credit Tightening, High Interest Debt, OpenAI contagion, Macro, and most importantly: Irrational Fear.\n\nHere's what happening real time:\n\n1. Credit Tightening - Companies like $APLD failed to sell bonds (under subscribed) and ended up issuing $2.35B in high yield debt offerings - Bloomberg Nov 14th. The bonds were sold at 97 cents on the dollar, a significant discount, with a yield of approximately 10%.\n\nThe bond deal's risk is primarily tied to Applied Digital's  reliance on $CRWV, which accounts for a substantial portion of its contracted earnings. More institutional cation (eg. Burry short report on GPU depreciation) around the buildout makes it harder for DC's to raise funds.\n\nTightening funding conditions affect the entire ecosystem that issue debt to fund their own buildout.\n\n2. High Interest Debt - Due to credit tightening, bad debt, which $CRWV has to fund expansion, causes $1B+ in losses a year. This cuts into margins and FCF.\n\nLikewise, $APLD and others that raise funds with bad yields face the same future issues and we're seeing a selloff in related companies for risk-management.\n\n3. $1T+ in OpenAI promised funding without balances -\n\nOver $1 trillion+ in capex was promised by OpenAI going to $22.4B+ $CRWV and $300B+ to $ORCL, which they are building capacity for.  The market is now skeptical of these promises from OpenAI due to not having the balances on hand and taking a risk-off approach.\n\nAnd now we're seeing contagion on that buildout from companies like Coreweave spread down to $CORZ and $APLD during this buildout that might rely on $CRWV for future revenue.\n\n4. $CRWV is a sector leaders of AI infrastructure (and partially $ORCL). When the sector leader sell-off, usually others follow suit.\n\n5. Rate Cut odds in December Fall:\n\nOn top of the high interest debt, we're seeing rate cut odds in December drop to a coinflip ~53%. Having higher interest rates make it trouble for interest-debt burdened companies like $CRWV to refinance for stronger FCF.\n\n_\n\nTHE NUANCE and Repositioning:\n\nWe're seeing a broad sell-off across the board. However,  Capex and contracts from Mag7 ( $META, $GOOGL, $AMZN, $MSFT ) are confirmed with their extreme profitability.\n\nThere's an easy way to safely reposition to avoid issues with future revenue growth + debt cycles.\n\n1. Position into Neoclouds with contract visibility with Mag7:\n\n-  $NBIS - $19B $MSFT deal, $3B from $META, broad enterprise support\n- $CIFR - $5.5B Colo deal with $AMZN, $3B deal with $GOOGL\n- $WULF - $3.7B+ deals with $GOOGL and more.\n- $IREN - $9B deal with $MSFT\n\nWe will likely see more capacity speculative companies like $SLNH, $CLSK, and others fall off and consolidation into Neoclouds with visible enterprise contract (low downside risk of future revenue).\n\n2. Position into Neoclouds with no/extremely low interest debt and high balance sheets:\n\nCompanies like $NBIS are isolated from current credit market volatility as they have $4.79 billion in cash and cash equivalents from convertible notes.  Or companies like $CIFR with $1.2B in cash.\n\n3. Avoid companies with direct contracts with OpenAI that's not Mag7.\n_\n\nNeoclouds are the backbone of Mag7 AI compute. This thesis has not changed and we'll likely see some scale to $100B+ companies in the future as the next AWS.\n\nHowever, we're seeing a widespread, indiscriminate sell-off caused by $CRWV, $ORCL, and OpenAI + credit tightening (partially due to incorrect institutional short reports from Burry on GPU depreciation).\n\nThese types of sell-offs are completely not warranted for companies like $NBIS with $7-9B forward ARR and extremely strong balance sheets. But for other speculative companies, it's a well-needed correction.\n\nA good quote is “retail is last to sell, last to buy back”.\n\nIf you think you can sell and come back two weeks later, missing one or two huge rebound days after a selloff can cost you most of the recovery gains.\n\nInstitutions are probably buying the better names right now eg. $NBIS through dark pools/block trades now after these types of washouts and margin liquidations. We've also seen institutional ownership go from 38%-> 43-46% despite share prices dropping.\n\nUse this as a buying opportunity for good names, and hold through these periods of volatility.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Institutional Flow assessment for 13F Neocloud filings:\n\n· Nebius ( $NBIS ): 🟢 Strongly Positive (7/10)\n· WULF ( $WULF ): 🟢 Highly Positive (8.5/10)\n· IREN ( $IREN ): 🔴 Very Negative (3/10)\n· CIFR ( $CIFR ): 🟢 Highly Positive (8.0/10)\n· Coreweave ( $CRWV ):  🟡 Neutral https://t.co/ufRgkCO7qp", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.06092885183275798, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06092885183275798, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.060765056247821025, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05553947374933221, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0053893780834257665, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02920759414251739, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02920759414251739, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03852402757176199, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03055500763417085, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0013474134916534597, "ret_p1w": -0.003351673165289948, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.003351673165289948, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.015846667575385776, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.00847158234454437, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005119909179254423, "ret_p1m": -0.028728770643726698, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.028728770643726698, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.041825383272466876, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07579595992511301, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04706718928138631, "ret_p3m": 0.060689485746484806, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.060689485746484806, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.027836732130763542, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.008700540385840005, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0519889453606448, "ret_p6m": 1.227675413742134, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.227675413742134, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.1211470771516163, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.1828159796751123, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04485943406702164, "price_path": [-0.1957, -0.1924, -0.2078, -0.1743, -0.1618, -0.1563, -0.1609, -0.1377, -0.1822, -0.1822, -0.2133, -0.2141, -0.223, -0.2163, -0.2332, 0.1458, 0.1179, 0.0676, 0.0822, 0.0888, 0.0705, 0.1262, 0.1266, 0.1888, 0.276, 0.2904, 0.3554, 0.2921, 0.2892, 0.3194, 0.3439, 0.3839, 0.5067, 0.532, 0.4956, 0.4089, 0.4604, 0.5877, 0.5511, 0.6215, 0.534, 0.5062, 0.4728, 0.3579, 0.3048, 0.2483, 0.1805, 0.2708, 0.4036, 0.5014, 0.4583, 0.4975, 0.4865, 0.566, 0.4421, 0.3232, 0.4005, 0.31, 0.3321, 0.3161, 0.2236, 0.1295, 0.0609, 0.0, 0.0292, 0.0838, 0.138, 0.0132, -0.0034, 0.1001, 0.0639, 0.1335, 0.1335, 0.1356, 0.1988, 0.1545, 0.1841, 0.2305, 0.1736, 0.201, 0.1541, 0.1203, 0.1286, 0.0497, -0.0287, -0.031, -0.0968, -0.0652, 0.0709, 0.116, 0.0777, 0.0909, 0.0909, 0.0485, 0.0299, 0.0195, 0.002, 0.002, 0.0767, 0.1112, 0.1999, 0.1517, 0.1647, 0.1723, 0.2848, 0.262, 0.2207, 0.2435, 0.3015, 0.3015, 0.1885, 0.1835, 0.1593, 0.1312, 0.0948, 0.1715, 0.2022, 0.1361, 0.0198, 0.0553, 0.0767, -0.0138, -0.1158, 0.0306, 0.1118, 0.0988, 0.0607, 0.0741, 0.1732, 0.1732, 0.1673, 0.2186, 0.2881, 0.1721, 0.2043, 0.2279, 0.2703, 0.2554, 0.0916, 0.0894, 0.039, 0.1705, 0.145, 0.0693, 0.1365, 0.1543, 0.3406, 0.2933, 0.352, 0.5543, 0.3925, 0.4192, 0.4546, 0.4079, 0.3664, 0.3755, 0.3777, 0.2685, 0.2068, 0.1044, 0.242, 0.2204, 0.3026, 0.3026, 0.3471, 0.4053, 0.4963, 0.6319, 0.7353, 0.8501, 0.9385, 0.9963, 0.9792, 0.881, 0.9052, 0.874, 0.869, 0.8803, 0.7616, 0.7352, 0.6221, 0.6901, 0.6547, 0.8493, 1.1118, 1.1058, 1.3353, 1.2118, 1.1193, 1.2277]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1989352983348589023", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-14T15:21:26+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Position into Neoclouds with contract visibility with Mag7: $CIFR - $5.5B Colo deal with $AMZN, $3B deal with $GOOGL", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Buy dip in NBIS, CIFR, WULF on Mag7 contract visibility and strong balance sheets; avoid/underweight CRWV and speculative neoclouds exposed to OpenAI/credit tightening.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We're seeing a live crash in AI + DC stocks right now with $IREN down 37.88% this week to $NBIS down 35.27% this month.\n\nPanic stems from Credit Tightening, High Interest Debt, OpenAI contagion, Macro, and most importantly: Irrational Fear.\n\nHere's what happening real time:\n\n1. Credit Tightening - Companies like $APLD failed to sell bonds (under subscribed) and ended up issuing $2.35B in high yield debt offerings - Bloomberg Nov 14th. The bonds were sold at 97 cents on the dollar, a significant discount, with a yield of approximately 10%.\n\nThe bond deal's risk is primarily tied to Applied Digital's  reliance on $CRWV, which accounts for a substantial portion of its contracted earnings. More institutional cation (eg. Burry short report on GPU depreciation) around the buildout makes it harder for DC's to raise funds.\n\nTightening funding conditions affect the entire ecosystem that issue debt to fund their own buildout.\n\n2. High Interest Debt - Due to credit tightening, bad debt, which $CRWV has to fund expansion, causes $1B+ in losses a year. This cuts into margins and FCF.\n\nLikewise, $APLD and others that raise funds with bad yields face the same future issues and we're seeing a selloff in related companies for risk-management.\n\n3. $1T+ in OpenAI promised funding without balances -\n\nOver $1 trillion+ in capex was promised by OpenAI going to $22.4B+ $CRWV and $300B+ to $ORCL, which they are building capacity for.  The market is now skeptical of these promises from OpenAI due to not having the balances on hand and taking a risk-off approach.\n\nAnd now we're seeing contagion on that buildout from companies like Coreweave spread down to $CORZ and $APLD during this buildout that might rely on $CRWV for future revenue.\n\n4. $CRWV is a sector leaders of AI infrastructure (and partially $ORCL). When the sector leader sell-off, usually others follow suit.\n\n5. Rate Cut odds in December Fall:\n\nOn top of the high interest debt, we're seeing rate cut odds in December drop to a coinflip ~53%. Having higher interest rates make it trouble for interest-debt burdened companies like $CRWV to refinance for stronger FCF.\n\n_\n\nTHE NUANCE and Repositioning:\n\nWe're seeing a broad sell-off across the board. However,  Capex and contracts from Mag7 ( $META, $GOOGL, $AMZN, $MSFT ) are confirmed with their extreme profitability.\n\nThere's an easy way to safely reposition to avoid issues with future revenue growth + debt cycles.\n\n1. Position into Neoclouds with contract visibility with Mag7:\n\n-  $NBIS - $19B $MSFT deal, $3B from $META, broad enterprise support\n- $CIFR - $5.5B Colo deal with $AMZN, $3B deal with $GOOGL\n- $WULF - $3.7B+ deals with $GOOGL and more.\n- $IREN - $9B deal with $MSFT\n\nWe will likely see more capacity speculative companies like $SLNH, $CLSK, and others fall off and consolidation into Neoclouds with visible enterprise contract (low downside risk of future revenue).\n\n2. Position into Neoclouds with no/extremely low interest debt and high balance sheets:\n\nCompanies like $NBIS are isolated from current credit market volatility as they have $4.79 billion in cash and cash equivalents from convertible notes.  Or companies like $CIFR with $1.2B in cash.\n\n3. Avoid companies with direct contracts with OpenAI that's not Mag7.\n_\n\nNeoclouds are the backbone of Mag7 AI compute. This thesis has not changed and we'll likely see some scale to $100B+ companies in the future as the next AWS.\n\nHowever, we're seeing a widespread, indiscriminate sell-off caused by $CRWV, $ORCL, and OpenAI + credit tightening (partially due to incorrect institutional short reports from Burry on GPU depreciation).\n\nThese types of sell-offs are completely not warranted for companies like $NBIS with $7-9B forward ARR and extremely strong balance sheets. But for other speculative companies, it's a well-needed correction.\n\nA good quote is “retail is last to sell, last to buy back”.\n\nIf you think you can sell and come back two weeks later, missing one or two huge rebound days after a selloff can cost you most of the recovery gains.\n\nInstitutions are probably buying the better names right now eg. $NBIS through dark pools/block trades now after these types of washouts and margin liquidations. We've also seen institutional ownership go from 38%-> 43-46% despite share prices dropping.\n\nUse this as a buying opportunity for good names, and hold through these periods of volatility.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Institutional Flow assessment for 13F Neocloud filings:\n\n· Nebius ( $NBIS ): 🟢 Strongly Positive (7/10)\n· WULF ( $WULF ): 🟢 Highly Positive (8.5/10)\n· IREN ( $IREN ): 🔴 Very Negative (3/10)\n· CIFR ( $CIFR ): 🟢 Highly Positive (8.0/10)\n· Coreweave ( $CRWV ):  🟡 Neutral https://t.co/ufRgkCO7qp", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.039693639423834526, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.039693639423834526, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03952984383889757, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.045107562737243145, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0054139233134086195, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0006963283737175807, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0006963283737175807, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008620105055527016, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014955175456109027, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015651503829826607, "ret_p1w": -0.014623958437862794, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.014623958437862794, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.004574382302812929, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03725871220724131, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0518826706451041, "ret_p1m": 0.026462404145269014, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.026462404145269014, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.013365791516528835, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03878237722964417, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012319973084375158, "ret_p3m": 0.13370481029750447, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.13370481029750447, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10085205668178321, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.139869257288889, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "bench_c_p3m": -0.00616444699138452, "ret_p6m": 0.41225634899061614, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.41225634899061614, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3057280124000985, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.17421152105138193, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2380448279392342, "price_path": [-0.5989, -0.5857, -0.5891, -0.5557, -0.5376, -0.5042, -0.5132, -0.5111, -0.468, -0.468, -0.4206, -0.4352, -0.4847, -0.4763, -0.4624, -0.3579, -0.2862, -0.3057, -0.2444, -0.2444, -0.1985, -0.1379, -0.1748, -0.1448, -0.0279, -0.0146, -0.0153, -0.188, -0.2013, -0.1191, -0.1233, -0.1226, -0.0383, 0.0237, 0.0682, 0.0968, 0.2256, 0.2528, 0.1818, 0.4164, 0.4547, 0.4645, 0.3036, 0.3064, 0.3865, 0.2587, 0.1219, 0.2016, 0.4387, 0.4304, 0.39, 0.3642, 0.328, 0.2987, 0.585, 0.5675, 0.7208, 0.5118, 0.4408, 0.3684, 0.3001, 0.2103, 0.0397, 0.0, -0.0007, 0.0153, 0.0181, 0.0139, -0.0146, 0.1636, 0.2201, 0.3336, 0.3336, 0.4171, 0.3712, 0.2284, 0.2974, 0.3809, 0.3426, 0.3565, 0.3621, 0.2869, 0.3148, 0.1873, 0.0265, 0.0439, 0.0021, 0.055, 0.1288, 0.1379, 0.1079, 0.1295, 0.1295, 0.0578, 0.0501, 0.016, 0.0279, 0.0279, 0.1281, 0.2646, 0.2214, 0.1198, 0.1525, 0.1581, 0.2312, 0.2709, 0.2625, 0.2201, 0.3092, 0.3092, 0.2479, 0.234, 0.211, 0.2235, 0.1483, 0.3057, 0.321, 0.2326, 0.1114, 0.101, 0.1323, -0.0077, -0.1156, 0.0258, 0.1671, 0.1908, 0.1337, 0.1212, 0.1435, 0.1435, 0.0891, 0.0738, 0.1003, 0.0202, 0.0599, 0.1922, 0.1567, 0.1476, 0.0864, 0.0975, 0.0244, 0.117, 0.055, -0.0515, -0.0035, -0.0279, -0.0174, -0.0453, -0.0195, 0.0543, 0.0508, 0.0216, 0.0195, -0.0244, 0.0369, 0.0362, 0.1058, -0.0007, -0.0428, -0.1633, -0.1038, -0.1198, -0.1072, -0.1072, -0.0703, -0.0244, 0.0738, 0.1393, 0.1511, 0.2368, 0.2848, 0.2535, 0.2075, 0.3489, 0.3433, 0.2563, 0.3538, 0.3015, 0.2674, 0.2646, 0.2019, 0.1783, 0.2354, 0.1866, 0.2458, 0.539, 0.5258, 0.4405, 0.4311, 0.4123]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1989352983348589023", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-11-14T15:21:26+00:00", "symbol": "WULF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Position into Neoclouds with contract visibility with Mag7: $WULF - $3.7B+ deals with $GOOGL", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Buy dip in NBIS, CIFR, WULF on Mag7 contract visibility and strong balance sheets; avoid/underweight CRWV and speculative neoclouds exposed to OpenAI/credit tightening.", "resolved_tickers": ["WULF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We're seeing a live crash in AI + DC stocks right now with $IREN down 37.88% this week to $NBIS down 35.27% this month.\n\nPanic stems from Credit Tightening, High Interest Debt, OpenAI contagion, Macro, and most importantly: Irrational Fear.\n\nHere's what happening real time:\n\n1. Credit Tightening - Companies like $APLD failed to sell bonds (under subscribed) and ended up issuing $2.35B in high yield debt offerings - Bloomberg Nov 14th. The bonds were sold at 97 cents on the dollar, a significant discount, with a yield of approximately 10%.\n\nThe bond deal's risk is primarily tied to Applied Digital's  reliance on $CRWV, which accounts for a substantial portion of its contracted earnings. More institutional cation (eg. Burry short report on GPU depreciation) around the buildout makes it harder for DC's to raise funds.\n\nTightening funding conditions affect the entire ecosystem that issue debt to fund their own buildout.\n\n2. High Interest Debt - Due to credit tightening, bad debt, which $CRWV has to fund expansion, causes $1B+ in losses a year. This cuts into margins and FCF.\n\nLikewise, $APLD and others that raise funds with bad yields face the same future issues and we're seeing a selloff in related companies for risk-management.\n\n3. $1T+ in OpenAI promised funding without balances -\n\nOver $1 trillion+ in capex was promised by OpenAI going to $22.4B+ $CRWV and $300B+ to $ORCL, which they are building capacity for.  The market is now skeptical of these promises from OpenAI due to not having the balances on hand and taking a risk-off approach.\n\nAnd now we're seeing contagion on that buildout from companies like Coreweave spread down to $CORZ and $APLD during this buildout that might rely on $CRWV for future revenue.\n\n4. $CRWV is a sector leaders of AI infrastructure (and partially $ORCL). When the sector leader sell-off, usually others follow suit.\n\n5. Rate Cut odds in December Fall:\n\nOn top of the high interest debt, we're seeing rate cut odds in December drop to a coinflip ~53%. Having higher interest rates make it trouble for interest-debt burdened companies like $CRWV to refinance for stronger FCF.\n\n_\n\nTHE NUANCE and Repositioning:\n\nWe're seeing a broad sell-off across the board. However,  Capex and contracts from Mag7 ( $META, $GOOGL, $AMZN, $MSFT ) are confirmed with their extreme profitability.\n\nThere's an easy way to safely reposition to avoid issues with future revenue growth + debt cycles.\n\n1. Position into Neoclouds with contract visibility with Mag7:\n\n-  $NBIS - $19B $MSFT deal, $3B from $META, broad enterprise support\n- $CIFR - $5.5B Colo deal with $AMZN, $3B deal with $GOOGL\n- $WULF - $3.7B+ deals with $GOOGL and more.\n- $IREN - $9B deal with $MSFT\n\nWe will likely see more capacity speculative companies like $SLNH, $CLSK, and others fall off and consolidation into Neoclouds with visible enterprise contract (low downside risk of future revenue).\n\n2. Position into Neoclouds with no/extremely low interest debt and high balance sheets:\n\nCompanies like $NBIS are isolated from current credit market volatility as they have $4.79 billion in cash and cash equivalents from convertible notes.  Or companies like $CIFR with $1.2B in cash.\n\n3. Avoid companies with direct contracts with OpenAI that's not Mag7.\n_\n\nNeoclouds are the backbone of Mag7 AI compute. This thesis has not changed and we'll likely see some scale to $100B+ companies in the future as the next AWS.\n\nHowever, we're seeing a widespread, indiscriminate sell-off caused by $CRWV, $ORCL, and OpenAI + credit tightening (partially due to incorrect institutional short reports from Burry on GPU depreciation).\n\nThese types of sell-offs are completely not warranted for companies like $NBIS with $7-9B forward ARR and extremely strong balance sheets. But for other speculative companies, it's a well-needed correction.\n\nA good quote is “retail is last to sell, last to buy back”.\n\nIf you think you can sell and come back two weeks later, missing one or two huge rebound days after a selloff can cost you most of the recovery gains.\n\nInstitutions are probably buying the better names right now eg. $NBIS through dark pools/block trades now after these types of washouts and margin liquidations. We've also seen institutional ownership go from 38%-> 43-46% despite share prices dropping.\n\nUse this as a buying opportunity for good names, and hold through these periods of volatility.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Institutional Flow assessment for 13F Neocloud filings:\n\n· Nebius ( $NBIS ): 🟢 Strongly Positive (7/10)\n· WULF ( $WULF ): 🟢 Highly Positive (8.5/10)\n· IREN ( $IREN ): 🔴 Very Negative (3/10)\n· CIFR ( $CIFR ): 🟢 Highly Positive (8.0/10)\n· Coreweave ( $CRWV ):  🟡 Neutral https://t.co/ufRgkCO7qp", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.06278439931099422, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06278439931099422, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06262060372605727, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06262060372605727, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005459546939607929, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005459546939607929, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014775980368852526, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014775980368852526, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "ret_p1w": 0.02729756114492976, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02729756114492976, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.046495901885605484, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.046495901885605484, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "ret_p1m": 0.13648771894809464, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13648771894809464, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12339110631935446, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12339110631935446, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "ret_p3m": 0.45859881897109034, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.45859881897109034, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4257460653553691, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4257460653553691, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "bench_c_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "ret_p6m": 1.1264787375746819, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.1264787375746819, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.0199504009841642, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.0199504009841642, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "price_path": [-0.2011, -0.1556, -0.1638, -0.1665, -0.1874, -0.1592, -0.1692, -0.141, -0.1401, -0.1401, -0.1237, -0.1829, -0.1929, -0.1692, -0.1629, -0.0628, -0.04, -0.0318, -0.0209, -0.0455, -0.0045, 0.0328, 0.0164, -0.0009, 0.0455, 0.0227, 0.0373, -0.0018, -0.0146, 0.0555, 0.0391, 0.0437, 0.0537, 0.0846, 0.0892, 0.101, 0.1192, 0.2366, 0.2293, 0.2739, 0.4067, 0.4076, 0.2611, 0.2675, 0.2602, 0.1956, 0.1483, 0.172, 0.2475, 0.2411, 0.4504, 0.3194, 0.3485, 0.4104, 0.465, 0.3658, 0.3976, 0.2994, 0.2684, 0.3012, 0.1256, 0.1501, 0.0628, 0.0, 0.0055, 0.0919, 0.1128, 0.0519, 0.0273, 0.1492, 0.2684, 0.3503, 0.3503, 0.4113, 0.3922, 0.2939, 0.313, 0.374, 0.3194, 0.3612, 0.4186, 0.434, 0.4404, 0.3039, 0.1365, 0.182, 0.0528, 0.0728, 0.1392, 0.1347, 0.1301, 0.1201, 0.1201, 0.0692, 0.0391, 0.0146, 0.0455, 0.0455, 0.1592, 0.2393, 0.1993, 0.1365, 0.1683, 0.192, 0.2566, 0.2866, 0.293, 0.2584, 0.2602, 0.2602, 0.2129, 0.1938, 0.1729, 0.2848, 0.2548, 0.3931, 0.3749, 0.323, 0.2166, 0.2229, 0.3467, 0.263, 0.0846, 0.3003, 0.515, 0.5132, 0.4586, 0.4477, 0.4795, 0.4795, 0.4722, 0.3995, 0.4076, 0.3658, 0.4268, 0.5978, 0.6306, 0.6269, 0.4759, 0.4577, 0.3412, 0.3985, 0.3858, 0.2511, 0.2602, 0.3057, 0.3849, 0.3348, 0.3348, 0.4932, 0.4595, 0.3922, 0.4322, 0.374, 0.4732, 0.4759, 0.5341, 0.3967, 0.3549, 0.2466, 0.313, 0.3176, 0.354, 0.354, 0.4149, 0.5077, 0.6424, 0.7316, 0.717, 0.7698, 0.9063, 0.7898, 0.7571, 0.8781, 0.8653, 0.7989, 0.8699, 0.8535, 0.8207, 0.95, 0.8926, 0.8217, 0.9773, 0.939, 1.0282, 1.1374, 1.3421, 1.1856, 1.1283, 1.1265]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1989352983348589023", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-11-14T15:21:26+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Avoid companies with direct contracts with OpenAI that's not Mag7. $CRWV has to fund expansion, causes $1B+ in losses a year. This cuts into margins and FCF", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Buy dip in NBIS, CIFR, WULF on Mag7 contract visibility and strong balance sheets; avoid/underweight CRWV and speculative neoclouds exposed to OpenAI/credit tightening.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We're seeing a live crash in AI + DC stocks right now with $IREN down 37.88% this week to $NBIS down 35.27% this month.\n\nPanic stems from Credit Tightening, High Interest Debt, OpenAI contagion, Macro, and most importantly: Irrational Fear.\n\nHere's what happening real time:\n\n1. Credit Tightening - Companies like $APLD failed to sell bonds (under subscribed) and ended up issuing $2.35B in high yield debt offerings - Bloomberg Nov 14th. The bonds were sold at 97 cents on the dollar, a significant discount, with a yield of approximately 10%.\n\nThe bond deal's risk is primarily tied to Applied Digital's  reliance on $CRWV, which accounts for a substantial portion of its contracted earnings. More institutional cation (eg. Burry short report on GPU depreciation) around the buildout makes it harder for DC's to raise funds.\n\nTightening funding conditions affect the entire ecosystem that issue debt to fund their own buildout.\n\n2. High Interest Debt - Due to credit tightening, bad debt, which $CRWV has to fund expansion, causes $1B+ in losses a year. This cuts into margins and FCF.\n\nLikewise, $APLD and others that raise funds with bad yields face the same future issues and we're seeing a selloff in related companies for risk-management.\n\n3. $1T+ in OpenAI promised funding without balances -\n\nOver $1 trillion+ in capex was promised by OpenAI going to $22.4B+ $CRWV and $300B+ to $ORCL, which they are building capacity for.  The market is now skeptical of these promises from OpenAI due to not having the balances on hand and taking a risk-off approach.\n\nAnd now we're seeing contagion on that buildout from companies like Coreweave spread down to $CORZ and $APLD during this buildout that might rely on $CRWV for future revenue.\n\n4. $CRWV is a sector leaders of AI infrastructure (and partially $ORCL). When the sector leader sell-off, usually others follow suit.\n\n5. Rate Cut odds in December Fall:\n\nOn top of the high interest debt, we're seeing rate cut odds in December drop to a coinflip ~53%. Having higher interest rates make it trouble for interest-debt burdened companies like $CRWV to refinance for stronger FCF.\n\n_\n\nTHE NUANCE and Repositioning:\n\nWe're seeing a broad sell-off across the board. However,  Capex and contracts from Mag7 ( $META, $GOOGL, $AMZN, $MSFT ) are confirmed with their extreme profitability.\n\nThere's an easy way to safely reposition to avoid issues with future revenue growth + debt cycles.\n\n1. Position into Neoclouds with contract visibility with Mag7:\n\n-  $NBIS - $19B $MSFT deal, $3B from $META, broad enterprise support\n- $CIFR - $5.5B Colo deal with $AMZN, $3B deal with $GOOGL\n- $WULF - $3.7B+ deals with $GOOGL and more.\n- $IREN - $9B deal with $MSFT\n\nWe will likely see more capacity speculative companies like $SLNH, $CLSK, and others fall off and consolidation into Neoclouds with visible enterprise contract (low downside risk of future revenue).\n\n2. Position into Neoclouds with no/extremely low interest debt and high balance sheets:\n\nCompanies like $NBIS are isolated from current credit market volatility as they have $4.79 billion in cash and cash equivalents from convertible notes.  Or companies like $CIFR with $1.2B in cash.\n\n3. Avoid companies with direct contracts with OpenAI that's not Mag7.\n_\n\nNeoclouds are the backbone of Mag7 AI compute. This thesis has not changed and we'll likely see some scale to $100B+ companies in the future as the next AWS.\n\nHowever, we're seeing a widespread, indiscriminate sell-off caused by $CRWV, $ORCL, and OpenAI + credit tightening (partially due to incorrect institutional short reports from Burry on GPU depreciation).\n\nThese types of sell-offs are completely not warranted for companies like $NBIS with $7-9B forward ARR and extremely strong balance sheets. But for other speculative companies, it's a well-needed correction.\n\nA good quote is “retail is last to sell, last to buy back”.\n\nIf you think you can sell and come back two weeks later, missing one or two huge rebound days after a selloff can cost you most of the recovery gains.\n\nInstitutions are probably buying the better names right now eg. $NBIS through dark pools/block trades now after these types of washouts and margin liquidations. We've also seen institutional ownership go from 38%-> 43-46% despite share prices dropping.\n\nUse this as a buying opportunity for good names, and hold through these periods of volatility.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Institutional Flow assessment for 13F Neocloud filings:\n\n· Nebius ( $NBIS ): 🟢 Strongly Positive (7/10)\n· WULF ( $WULF ): 🟢 Highly Positive (8.5/10)\n· IREN ( $IREN ): 🔴 Very Negative (3/10)\n· CIFR ( $CIFR ): 🟢 Highly Positive (8.0/10)\n· Coreweave ( $CRWV ):  🟡 Neutral https://t.co/ufRgkCO7qp", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.012667990173308441, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.012667990173308441, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012504194588371487, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012504194588371487, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02624093540952277, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02624093540952277, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.016924501980278173, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.016924501980278173, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "ret_p1w": -0.07381074249511577, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07381074249511577, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05461240175444004, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05461240175444004, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "ret_p1m": -0.0647621780856098, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0647621780856098, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07785879071434998, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07785879071434998, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "ret_p3m": 0.2299638156045576, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2299638156045576, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.19711106198883632, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.19711106198883632, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "bench_c_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "ret_p6m": 0.4826783356164317, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4826783356164317, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.37614999902591406, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.37614999902591406, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "price_path": [0.2007, 0.183, 0.1736, 0.215, 0.1942, 0.1814, 0.253, 0.3287, 0.332, 0.332, 0.2066, 0.1618, 0.1308, 0.1516, 0.2093, 0.2955, 0.5142, 0.4567, 0.4473, 0.5573, 0.535, 0.5623, 0.5692, 0.614, 0.7222, 0.692, 0.7244, 0.6373, 0.5556, 0.5838, 0.769, 0.7716, 0.7839, 0.7424, 0.7302, 0.6653, 0.8095, 0.8495, 0.7894, 0.8307, 0.7329, 0.7999, 0.8322, 0.7693, 0.6425, 0.6166, 0.571, 0.5944, 0.7134, 0.7588, 0.7425, 0.8088, 0.6942, 0.7284, 0.6329, 0.4963, 0.4791, 0.3822, 0.3445, 0.3652, 0.1426, 0.1043, 0.0127, 0.0, -0.0262, -0.0318, -0.0315, -0.1054, -0.0738, -0.0486, -0.0785, -0.0397, -0.0397, -0.0548, -0.0039, -0.0172, 0.0259, 0.1085, 0.1414, 0.1148, 0.1719, 0.1396, 0.1295, 0.0159, -0.0648, -0.1016, -0.1656, -0.1251, 0.0729, 0.0966, 0.0375, 0.0195, 0.0195, -0.0122, -0.0315, -0.0447, -0.0743, -0.0743, 0.0253, -0.0065, 0.0075, -0.0023, -0.0035, 0.0359, 0.1625, 0.1308, 0.1608, 0.2282, 0.3086, 0.3086, 0.2309, 0.2157, 0.1865, 0.2019, 0.2708, 0.4072, 0.3705, 0.2866, 0.2046, 0.1497, 0.1642, 0.0659, -0.035, 0.1627, 0.2512, 0.2294, 0.23, 0.2371, 0.2415, 0.2415, 0.1763, 0.2338, 0.2557, 0.1537, 0.1743, 0.2836, 0.2669, 0.262, 0.0284, 0.0089, -0.0463, 0.0277, -0.0328, -0.0565, -0.0381, -0.0315, 0.0595, 0.0323, 0.0485, 0.1099, 0.0615, 0.0706, 0.0427, 0.0531, 0.0595, 0.0732, 0.1321, 0.0399, -0.033, -0.1061, 0.0014, 0.014, 0.0631, 0.0631, 0.0463, 0.1019, 0.1492, 0.1892, 0.3185, 0.4254, 0.515, 0.5343, 0.5455, 0.5105, 0.518, 0.4886, 0.584, 0.5178, 0.4237, 0.4486, 0.3641, 0.4761, 0.4426, 0.5384, 0.6214, 0.6532, 0.7836, 0.6655, 0.4756, 0.4827]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1989352983348589023", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-11-14T15:21:26+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "other speculative companies, it's a well-needed correction", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Buy dip in NBIS, CIFR, WULF on Mag7 contract visibility and strong balance sheets; avoid/underweight CRWV and speculative neoclouds exposed to OpenAI/credit tightening.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We're seeing a live crash in AI + DC stocks right now with $IREN down 37.88% this week to $NBIS down 35.27% this month.\n\nPanic stems from Credit Tightening, High Interest Debt, OpenAI contagion, Macro, and most importantly: Irrational Fear.\n\nHere's what happening real time:\n\n1. Credit Tightening - Companies like $APLD failed to sell bonds (under subscribed) and ended up issuing $2.35B in high yield debt offerings - Bloomberg Nov 14th. The bonds were sold at 97 cents on the dollar, a significant discount, with a yield of approximately 10%.\n\nThe bond deal's risk is primarily tied to Applied Digital's  reliance on $CRWV, which accounts for a substantial portion of its contracted earnings. More institutional cation (eg. Burry short report on GPU depreciation) around the buildout makes it harder for DC's to raise funds.\n\nTightening funding conditions affect the entire ecosystem that issue debt to fund their own buildout.\n\n2. High Interest Debt - Due to credit tightening, bad debt, which $CRWV has to fund expansion, causes $1B+ in losses a year. This cuts into margins and FCF.\n\nLikewise, $APLD and others that raise funds with bad yields face the same future issues and we're seeing a selloff in related companies for risk-management.\n\n3. $1T+ in OpenAI promised funding without balances -\n\nOver $1 trillion+ in capex was promised by OpenAI going to $22.4B+ $CRWV and $300B+ to $ORCL, which they are building capacity for.  The market is now skeptical of these promises from OpenAI due to not having the balances on hand and taking a risk-off approach.\n\nAnd now we're seeing contagion on that buildout from companies like Coreweave spread down to $CORZ and $APLD during this buildout that might rely on $CRWV for future revenue.\n\n4. $CRWV is a sector leaders of AI infrastructure (and partially $ORCL). When the sector leader sell-off, usually others follow suit.\n\n5. Rate Cut odds in December Fall:\n\nOn top of the high interest debt, we're seeing rate cut odds in December drop to a coinflip ~53%. Having higher interest rates make it trouble for interest-debt burdened companies like $CRWV to refinance for stronger FCF.\n\n_\n\nTHE NUANCE and Repositioning:\n\nWe're seeing a broad sell-off across the board. However,  Capex and contracts from Mag7 ( $META, $GOOGL, $AMZN, $MSFT ) are confirmed with their extreme profitability.\n\nThere's an easy way to safely reposition to avoid issues with future revenue growth + debt cycles.\n\n1. Position into Neoclouds with contract visibility with Mag7:\n\n-  $NBIS - $19B $MSFT deal, $3B from $META, broad enterprise support\n- $CIFR - $5.5B Colo deal with $AMZN, $3B deal with $GOOGL\n- $WULF - $3.7B+ deals with $GOOGL and more.\n- $IREN - $9B deal with $MSFT\n\nWe will likely see more capacity speculative companies like $SLNH, $CLSK, and others fall off and consolidation into Neoclouds with visible enterprise contract (low downside risk of future revenue).\n\n2. Position into Neoclouds with no/extremely low interest debt and high balance sheets:\n\nCompanies like $NBIS are isolated from current credit market volatility as they have $4.79 billion in cash and cash equivalents from convertible notes.  Or companies like $CIFR with $1.2B in cash.\n\n3. Avoid companies with direct contracts with OpenAI that's not Mag7.\n_\n\nNeoclouds are the backbone of Mag7 AI compute. This thesis has not changed and we'll likely see some scale to $100B+ companies in the future as the next AWS.\n\nHowever, we're seeing a widespread, indiscriminate sell-off caused by $CRWV, $ORCL, and OpenAI + credit tightening (partially due to incorrect institutional short reports from Burry on GPU depreciation).\n\nThese types of sell-offs are completely not warranted for companies like $NBIS with $7-9B forward ARR and extremely strong balance sheets. But for other speculative companies, it's a well-needed correction.\n\nA good quote is “retail is last to sell, last to buy back”.\n\nIf you think you can sell and come back two weeks later, missing one or two huge rebound days after a selloff can cost you most of the recovery gains.\n\nInstitutions are probably buying the better names right now eg. $NBIS through dark pools/block trades now after these types of washouts and margin liquidations. We've also seen institutional ownership go from 38%-> 43-46% despite share prices dropping.\n\nUse this as a buying opportunity for good names, and hold through these periods of volatility.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Institutional Flow assessment for 13F Neocloud filings:\n\n· Nebius ( $NBIS ): 🟢 Strongly Positive (7/10)\n· WULF ( $WULF ): 🟢 Highly Positive (8.5/10)\n· IREN ( $IREN ): 🔴 Very Negative (3/10)\n· CIFR ( $CIFR ): 🟢 Highly Positive (8.0/10)\n· Coreweave ( $CRWV ):  🟡 Neutral https://t.co/ufRgkCO7qp", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04916977887671181, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04916977887671181, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04900598329177486, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03906487034650952, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010104908530202295, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.022428314416290007, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.022428314416290007, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.031744747845534604, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04149401623884885, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "bench_c_p1d": -0.019065701822558845, "ret_p1w": -0.08863490845425614, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08863490845425614, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06943656771358042, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07376361114817953, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014871297306076614, "ret_p1m": -0.23485011085821472, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.23485011085821472, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2479467234869549, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2832772311723931, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "bench_c_p1m": 0.048427120314178396, "ret_p3m": -0.07979298788370837, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07979298788370837, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11264574149942963, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08883645736695056, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "bench_c_p3m": 0.009043469483242195, "ret_p6m": 0.1893466205787826, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1893466205787826, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08281828398826496, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.20511627869549376, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "bench_c_p6m": -0.01576965811671116, "price_path": [-0.5961, -0.5739, -0.5775, -0.5378, -0.5014, -0.5042, -0.5179, -0.5031, -0.4289, -0.4289, -0.3722, -0.3916, -0.4365, -0.4361, -0.4352, -0.3489, -0.2747, -0.2916, -0.2676, -0.1991, -0.2139, -0.1827, -0.2167, -0.1667, -0.0964, -0.0992, 0.0166, -0.0017, -0.0973, -0.0095, 0.0121, 0.0153, 0.014, 0.0882, 0.2454, 0.3302, 0.2959, 0.377, 0.289, 0.3832, 0.5001, 0.466, 0.3334, 0.3095, 0.2771, 0.1903, 0.1177, 0.2047, 0.3565, 0.4016, 0.3461, 0.303, 0.2556, 0.3101, 0.4611, 0.4369, 0.6478, 0.444, 0.3453, 0.2976, 0.2374, 0.2012, 0.0492, 0.0, 0.0224, 0.0535, -0.0116, -0.0625, -0.0886, 0.0457, 0.0237, 0.0449, 0.0449, 0.0311, 0.0457, -0.1132, -0.052, 0.0017, -0.0358, -0.0006, 0.0101, -0.0528, -0.0524, -0.1346, -0.2349, -0.2109, -0.2715, -0.2279, -0.1391, -0.0934, -0.0927, -0.0947, -0.0947, -0.1309, -0.1501, -0.174, -0.1855, -0.1855, -0.0791, 0.0403, -0.0099, -0.0592, -0.0149, -0.0073, 0.0854, 0.1428, 0.1404, 0.119, 0.2469, 0.2469, 0.1702, 0.1533, 0.127, 0.2223, 0.1292, 0.2937, 0.3573, 0.2905, 0.1589, 0.1447, 0.173, -0.0308, -0.1419, -0.0979, -0.0047, -0.0742, -0.0798, -0.1367, -0.0895, -0.0895, -0.1165, -0.0925, -0.0664, -0.1378, -0.0865, -0.0198, -0.0505, -0.0459, -0.1169, -0.1074, -0.1622, -0.0546, -0.1347, -0.2085, -0.1624, -0.1779, -0.0947, -0.1078, -0.1033, -0.0308, -0.0735, -0.0897, -0.1016, -0.1096, -0.0908, -0.1132, -0.1065, -0.1924, -0.2433, -0.3181, -0.2607, -0.2648, -0.2502, -0.2502, -0.2424, -0.2292, -0.2057, -0.2008, -0.152, -0.0712, 0.0216, 0.0528, 0.0287, 0.0377, 0.0507, -0.0259, 0.0436, 0.1218, 0.0921, 0.0429, -0.0416, -0.0757, -0.0185, -0.0153, 0.0671, 0.1805, 0.3151, 0.226, 0.3198, 0.1893]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1978434143043084737", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-15T12:13:51+00:00", "symbol": "NKLR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the speculative nuclear reactor stock run continues $NKLR $OKLO $SMR", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Nuclear reactor stocks continuing to run on US Army base-power news; bullish NKLR, OKLO, SMR.", "resolved_tickers": ["NKLR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Utilities - Regulated Electric", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "and... the speculative nuclear reactor stock run continues $NKLR $OKLO $SMR \n\nWSJ: \"US Army to Power Bases with Nuclear Reactors\" https://t.co/COEteFJUeE", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The Great Soybean/Seed Oil Crash, personal thoughts and explanations:\n\nStrong Buy\n$ALAB\n$CRDO\n$NBIS\n$WLAC\n$LTC\n$TSM\n$BTC\n(+ same as tax harvest stocks last time)\n$AMZN\n$SMCI\n_\n\nBuy\n$AMD\n$FLNC\n$SEI\n$BZAI\n$NKLR\n$IREN\n$WULF\n$CIFR\n$CRWV\n$BITF\n$WYFI\n$SLNH\n$BITF\n$RBRK\n$GLXY\n$GRAB\n$SEA", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02905287778028498, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02905287778028498, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03347277870348464, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03347277870348464, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00441990092319966, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00441990092319966, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.25769899487930614, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.25769899487930614, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.25088873372532217, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.25088873372532217, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006810261153983976, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006810261153983976, "ret_p1w": -0.5183032886194341, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.5183032886194341, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.5222572617039576, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.5222572617039576, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003953973084523499, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003953973084523499, "ret_p1m": -0.7234165902323353, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.7234165902323353, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.7337448880260207, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.7337448880260207, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010328297793685381, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010328297793685381, "ret_p3m": -0.6455548966219202, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.6455548966219202, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.693729288179592, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.693729288179592, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04817439155767178, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04817439155767178, "ret_p6m": -0.725159775090225, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.725159775090225, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.7531397153695158, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.7531397153695158, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.02797994027929085, "bench_c_p6m": 0.02797994027929085, "price_path": [null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, -0.2841, -0.3027, -0.1563, -0.0982, -0.093, 0.061, 0.0291, 0.0, -0.2577, -0.233, -0.2528, -0.4858, -0.5183, -0.4486, -0.4985, -0.4346, -0.4614, -0.4852, -0.5293, -0.5119, -0.5584, -0.6188, -0.5869, -0.6322, -0.6188, -0.6351, -0.6549, -0.6688, -0.7234, -0.7327, -0.7629, -0.7257, -0.7333, -0.7525, -0.7408, -0.7531, -0.7443, -0.7478, -0.7478, -0.7292, -0.7536, -0.7304, -0.681, -0.6421, -0.6572, -0.6723, -0.67, -0.6932, -0.6589, -0.6688, -0.7008, -0.6949, -0.7217, -0.7182, -0.7066, -0.7164, -0.7403, -0.7385, -0.7385, -0.7414, -0.7606, -0.7269, -0.7316, -0.7316, -0.6955, -0.6746, -0.6711, -0.6839, -0.6717, -0.6496, -0.6456, -0.6676, -0.6241, -0.613, -0.6136, -0.6136, -0.656, -0.6566, -0.631, -0.6473, -0.674, -0.6752, -0.6746, -0.7037, -0.7106, -0.7333, -0.7252, -0.7525, -0.7728, -0.7414, -0.7327, -0.7403, -0.7327, -0.7484, -0.7548, -0.7548, -0.7496, -0.7594, -0.7501, -0.756, -0.7455, -0.7211, -0.7112, -0.7275, -0.7438, -0.7397, -0.7501, -0.7438, -0.7467, -0.767, -0.7623, -0.7629, -0.7414, -0.7501, -0.7589, -0.7554, -0.7455, -0.7472, -0.7496, -0.7031, -0.717, -0.7147, -0.7106, -0.7246, -0.7374, -0.7461, -0.7304, -0.7374, -0.7368, -0.7368, -0.7374, -0.7513, -0.7397, -0.7252]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1978434143043084737", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-15T12:13:51+00:00", "symbol": "OKLO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the speculative nuclear reactor stock run continues $NKLR $OKLO $SMR", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Nuclear reactor stocks continuing to run on US Army base-power news; bullish NKLR, OKLO, SMR.", "resolved_tickers": ["OKLO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Utilities - Independent Power Producers", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "and... the speculative nuclear reactor stock run continues $NKLR $OKLO $SMR \n\nWSJ: \"US Army to Power Bases with Nuclear Reactors\" https://t.co/COEteFJUeE", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The Great Soybean/Seed Oil Crash, personal thoughts and explanations:\n\nStrong Buy\n$ALAB\n$CRDO\n$NBIS\n$WLAC\n$LTC\n$TSM\n$BTC\n(+ same as tax harvest stocks last time)\n$AMZN\n$SMCI\n_\n\nBuy\n$AMD\n$FLNC\n$SEI\n$BZAI\n$NKLR\n$IREN\n$WULF\n$CIFR\n$CRWV\n$BITF\n$WYFI\n$SLNH\n$BITF\n$RBRK\n$GLXY\n$GRAB\n$SEA", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.015038481392922076, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.015038481392922076, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.019458382316121736, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.019458382316121736, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00441990092319966, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00441990092319966, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05490789404871643, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05490789404871643, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.048097632894732456, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.048097632894732456, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006810261153983976, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006810261153983976, "ret_p1w": -0.29983676581974283, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.29983676581974283, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.30379073890426633, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.30379073890426633, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003953973084523499, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003953973084523499, "ret_p1m": -0.4075542035669777, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.4075542035669777, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.4178825013606631, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.4178825013606631, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010328297793685381, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010328297793685381, "ret_p3m": -0.40254137643600363, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.40254137643600363, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4507157679936754, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4507157679936754, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04817439155767178, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04817439155767178, "ret_p6m": -0.7216717143884797, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.7216717143884797, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.7496516546677705, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.7496516546677705, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.02797994027929085, "bench_c_p6m": 0.02797994027929085, "price_path": [-0.5979, -0.6356, -0.6426, -0.6096, -0.5652, -0.5599, -0.5599, -0.5861, -0.5592, -0.5536, -0.5833, -0.5546, -0.5099, -0.5156, -0.5377, -0.561, -0.5811, -0.5426, -0.5487, -0.5706, -0.5858, -0.5979, -0.6187, -0.612, -0.6084, -0.5898, -0.585, -0.5669, -0.5733, -0.546, -0.5708, -0.5708, -0.5711, -0.579, -0.5943, -0.5932, -0.5878, -0.5688, -0.5701, -0.5339, -0.5179, -0.4423, -0.4414, -0.4446, -0.3881, -0.2118, -0.1822, -0.1685, -0.2354, -0.3056, -0.3557, -0.3209, -0.3493, -0.3243, -0.2492, -0.2576, -0.1924, -0.2182, -0.2144, -0.1949, -0.1422, -0.0032, 0.015, 0.0, -0.0549, -0.0476, -0.0729, -0.1872, -0.2998, -0.2731, -0.207, -0.1989, -0.229, -0.164, -0.1992, -0.2261, -0.2617, -0.3458, -0.2934, -0.3778, -0.3434, -0.35, -0.3925, -0.352, -0.4076, -0.4313, -0.4442, -0.4368, -0.4004, -0.4871, -0.4861, -0.478, -0.5001, -0.4829, -0.4829, -0.4674, -0.4908, -0.4647, -0.437, -0.3492, -0.3899, -0.3902, -0.3942, -0.4136, -0.3996, -0.4904, -0.5201, -0.5132, -0.5574, -0.547, -0.5149, -0.5136, -0.5227, -0.5261, -0.5261, -0.5516, -0.5681, -0.5825, -0.5817, -0.5817, -0.5465, -0.4792, -0.4428, -0.4311, -0.4311, -0.3862, -0.4025, -0.4341, -0.4406, -0.467, -0.4465, -0.4465, -0.4758, -0.4709, -0.47, -0.4892, -0.5202, -0.503, -0.4498, -0.4985, -0.5359, -0.5709, -0.5453, -0.6023, -0.6378, -0.5856, -0.5625, -0.5951, -0.614, -0.6274, -0.6171, -0.6171, -0.6057, -0.6072, -0.6057, -0.6279, -0.6323, -0.6208, -0.6134, -0.5974, -0.6331, -0.623, -0.631, -0.6173, -0.6384, -0.6605, -0.6399, -0.6422, -0.6342, -0.6527, -0.6598, -0.6521, -0.6472, -0.6695, -0.6812, -0.6854, -0.6721, -0.6796, -0.6778, -0.698, -0.7072, -0.7343, -0.7109, -0.7198, -0.7195, -0.7195, -0.7158, -0.7284, -0.7073, -0.7217]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1978434143043084737", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-15T12:13:51+00:00", "symbol": "SMR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the speculative nuclear reactor stock run continues $NKLR $OKLO $SMR", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Nuclear reactor stocks continuing to run on US Army base-power news; bullish NKLR, OKLO, SMR.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "and... the speculative nuclear reactor stock run continues $NKLR $OKLO $SMR \n\nWSJ: \"US Army to Power Bases with Nuclear Reactors\" https://t.co/COEteFJUeE", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The Great Soybean/Seed Oil Crash, personal thoughts and explanations:\n\nStrong Buy\n$ALAB\n$CRDO\n$NBIS\n$WLAC\n$LTC\n$TSM\n$BTC\n(+ same as tax harvest stocks last time)\n$AMZN\n$SMCI\n_\n\nBuy\n$AMD\n$FLNC\n$SEI\n$BZAI\n$NKLR\n$IREN\n$WULF\n$CIFR\n$CRWV\n$BITF\n$WYFI\n$SLNH\n$BITF\n$RBRK\n$GLXY\n$GRAB\n$SEA", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.14299081688210935, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.14299081688210935, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1385709159589097, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1385709159589097, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00441990092319966, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00441990092319966, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.10836610298440263, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.10836610298440263, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.10155584183041866, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.10155584183041866, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006810261153983976, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006810261153983976, "ret_p1w": -0.35017778359735874, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.35017778359735874, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.35413175668188224, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.35413175668188224, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003953973084523499, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003953973084523499, "ret_p1m": -0.5667228245123606, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.5667228245123606, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.5770511223060459, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.5770511223060459, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010328297793685381, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010328297793685381, "ret_p3m": -0.6309189743455006, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.6309189743455006, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.6790933659031724, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.6790933659031724, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04817439155767178, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04817439155767178, "ret_p6m": -0.8259404802991557, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.8259404802991557, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.8539204205784465, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.8539204205784465, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.02797994027929085, "bench_c_p6m": 0.02797994027929085, "price_path": [-0.0595, -0.1495, -0.1683, -0.1044, -0.0449, -0.0329, -0.0457, -0.0835, -0.0547, -0.0603, -0.1684, -0.1881, -0.1553, -0.1404, -0.1638, -0.2635, -0.2841, -0.2856, -0.3019, -0.3275, -0.3361, -0.3453, -0.3889, -0.3676, -0.3732, -0.3442, -0.3281, -0.3258, -0.3419, -0.3172, -0.3515, -0.3515, -0.303, -0.2435, -0.3257, -0.3537, -0.3646, -0.3386, -0.3579, -0.3416, -0.3199, -0.2684, -0.3026, -0.3238, -0.2865, -0.1246, -0.1578, -0.2207, -0.2575, -0.2944, -0.2888, -0.2858, -0.3262, -0.3148, -0.2605, -0.2491, -0.215, -0.2661, -0.285, -0.2399, -0.2656, -0.1574, -0.143, 0.0, -0.1084, -0.1718, -0.1726, -0.2819, -0.3502, -0.297, -0.2938, -0.2755, -0.2117, -0.192, -0.2092, -0.1602, -0.2358, -0.3331, -0.2905, -0.3925, -0.4322, -0.4679, -0.4995, -0.5141, -0.5667, -0.5798, -0.6058, -0.5969, -0.6045, -0.65, -0.6519, -0.6268, -0.6494, -0.6436, -0.6436, -0.6257, -0.6616, -0.6461, -0.6231, -0.5723, -0.5997, -0.5965, -0.601, -0.6197, -0.6028, -0.6567, -0.6742, -0.6796, -0.7056, -0.7045, -0.6992, -0.6925, -0.7011, -0.699, -0.699, -0.7221, -0.729, -0.7322, -0.7348, -0.7348, -0.6947, -0.6485, -0.6337, -0.6356, -0.6319, -0.6161, -0.6309, -0.6401, -0.6289, -0.6463, -0.6221, -0.6221, -0.6444, -0.6304, -0.6137, -0.63, -0.6556, -0.6407, -0.6167, -0.6459, -0.6728, -0.6916, -0.6654, -0.6968, -0.7223, -0.6719, -0.6691, -0.6867, -0.7086, -0.7382, -0.7322, -0.7322, -0.7329, -0.7342, -0.726, -0.7485, -0.7642, -0.7486, -0.7533, -0.7505, -0.7595, -0.7558, -0.7655, -0.7653, -0.772, -0.7816, -0.7724, -0.7748, -0.7683, -0.7799, -0.7792, -0.776, -0.7672, -0.7748, -0.7756, -0.7859, -0.781, -0.7861, -0.7812, -0.7943, -0.8072, -0.8082, -0.7971, -0.808, -0.81, -0.81, -0.8097, -0.8286, -0.8155, -0.8259]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1973533335147389092", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-01T23:39:48+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "seems like a great buy at $40 support, and $54 sell. Usually lower half (dotted line) like $44 is a good buy too", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "RKLB is a buy at $40 support (sell at $54); AMZN is a buy now with leaps below $210.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "How I do swing trading with charts, Part 2:  Short term (few week) + Short-Medium Term (few month). \n\nI'll do long term ones in another post.   \n\nEx 1: $RKLB. Just going off feels on this, seems like a great buy at $40 support, and $54 sell. Usually lower half (dotted line) like $44 is a good buy too cause risk-reward is good but u wont get the actual bottom.  \n\nYou can do it with stuff like Rocketlab since long term if you hold enough, even if it dips past $40 it will likely recover since it's a strong buy fundamentally albeit a tiny overvalued now.   \n\nExample 2: $AMZN - Great buy with shares now. If it ever dips past $210, you can do leaps. Lower than $200 for example, shorter dated calls.   \n\n_ \n\nKnowing fundamentals, macro, and whether catalysts are material or not is really also important. These lines mean nothing if forward revenue falls a lot or industry margins compresses.   \n\nLot of time they drop on more irrational things eg. GOOGL with Apple search, or maybe overall market SPY dipping but in those cases they usually rise up again if there's no difference + company keeps growing.   Again different for everyone, you need to analyze more than the charts when timing bottoms. This is just part of what I do.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I make fun of charting but sometimes it's genuinely helpful for pattern based reasoning (not TA). \n\nHistory doesn't repeat itself but it often rhymes for companies in similar sectors.   \n\nWith things material to fundamentals: \n \nEg. $NBIS (64-&gt;100-&gt;86) vs. $CIFR (+32% into -18% https://t.co/0HEheBEq6B", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00125081033487906, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00125081033487906, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00214509547783992, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004046489271858245, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00339590581271898, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0027956789369791846, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09380862800682754, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09380862800682754, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09265682446963464, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0912080196541527, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001151803537192908, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002600608352674838, "ret_p1w": 0.36147583691131846, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.36147583691131846, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.35450450077697426, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.3498374905867567, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006971336134344197, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011638346324561732, "ret_p1m": 0.26996032142382287, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.26996032142382287, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2529357964475101, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2641735934713163, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017024524976312794, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005786727952506565, "ret_p3m": 0.46174694522040793, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.46174694522040793, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4296839597581281, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.43829265248455096, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032062985462279814, "bench_c_p3m": 0.023454292735856974, "ret_p6m": 0.3746091466211501, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3746091466211501, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.40406062440630064, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.31949182324513514, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02945147778515056, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05511732337601494, "price_path": [-0.2566, -0.1895, -0.1924, -0.1841, -0.1849, -0.1864, -0.0992, -0.0703, -0.0058, 0.07, 0.0713, -0.0163, -0.0227, 0.0246, 0.0033, -0.0113, -0.0596, -0.0871, -0.0319, -0.0427, -0.0659, -0.0715, -0.0671, -0.0807, -0.0784, -0.0684, -0.0615, -0.0946, -0.1036, -0.1076, -0.0771, -0.0625, -0.147, -0.1518, -0.1343, -0.0748, -0.0156, 0.0033, -0.0359, -0.0013, 0.0131, 0.0131, 0.0279, -0.0926, -0.1038, -0.0444, -0.005, -0.0196, -0.0375, 0.0096, 0.1119, 0.1265, -0.0151, 0.0023, -0.0165, -0.0038, 0.0384, 0.103, 0.015, -0.0279, -0.0356, -0.02, -0.0013, 0.0, 0.0938, 0.1707, 0.2195, 0.2823, 0.3615, 0.3846, 0.3396, 0.3638, 0.4182, 0.444, 0.3967, 0.3815, 0.404, 0.3634, 0.2626, 0.3252, 0.3458, 0.3679, 0.329, 0.3792, 0.27, 0.3129, 0.2787, 0.1793, 0.1762, 0.0342, 0.0765, 0.0819, 0.0682, 0.0417, -0.0567, -0.0507, -0.0971, -0.1082, -0.0907, -0.177, -0.1599, -0.1151, -0.1119, -0.1259, -0.1259, -0.1215, -0.1584, -0.1265, -0.0678, 0.0292, 0.0226, 0.0748, 0.1138, 0.1991, 0.3244, 0.2818, 0.1551, 0.1568, 0.1249, 0.2491, 0.4701, 0.6166, 0.6089, 0.6089, 0.6089, 0.4728, 0.4617, 0.4686, 0.4542, 0.4542, 0.5841, 0.6289, 0.7934, 0.7528, 0.7319, 0.7688, 0.8324, 0.8049, 0.9137, 0.892, 1.0075, 1.0075, 0.8587, 0.8307, 0.8341, 0.8532, 0.6777, 0.8136, 0.8464, 0.7861, 0.6692, 0.5458, 0.6942, 0.5241, 0.3825, 0.5076, 0.581, 0.5016, 0.4513, 0.3761, 0.4059, 0.4059, 0.457, 0.5514, 0.5964, 0.4772, 0.4636, 0.4586, 0.4634, 0.5145, 0.4405, 0.4795, 0.462, 0.4991, 0.4592, 0.4615, 0.4901, 0.4369, 0.5001, 0.4253, 0.4261, 0.4866, 0.6383, 0.4484, 0.4995, 0.4015, 0.4176, 0.3773, 0.5193, 0.3746]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1973533335147389092", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-01T23:39:48+00:00", "symbol": "AMZN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Great buy with shares now. If it ever dips past $210, you can do leaps. Lower than $200 for example, shorter dated calls.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "RKLB is a buy at $40 support (sell at $54); AMZN is a buy now with leaps below $210.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMZN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "How I do swing trading with charts, Part 2:  Short term (few week) + Short-Medium Term (few month). \n\nI'll do long term ones in another post.   \n\nEx 1: $RKLB. Just going off feels on this, seems like a great buy at $40 support, and $54 sell. Usually lower half (dotted line) like $44 is a good buy too cause risk-reward is good but u wont get the actual bottom.  \n\nYou can do it with stuff like Rocketlab since long term if you hold enough, even if it dips past $40 it will likely recover since it's a strong buy fundamentally albeit a tiny overvalued now.   \n\nExample 2: $AMZN - Great buy with shares now. If it ever dips past $210, you can do leaps. Lower than $200 for example, shorter dated calls.   \n\n_ \n\nKnowing fundamentals, macro, and whether catalysts are material or not is really also important. These lines mean nothing if forward revenue falls a lot or industry margins compresses.   \n\nLot of time they drop on more irrational things eg. GOOGL with Apple search, or maybe overall market SPY dipping but in those cases they usually rise up again if there's no difference + company keeps growing.   Again different for everyone, you need to analyze more than the charts when timing bottoms. This is just part of what I do.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I make fun of charting but sometimes it's genuinely helpful for pattern based reasoning (not TA). \n\nHistory doesn't repeat itself but it often rhymes for companies in similar sectors.   \n\nWith things material to fundamentals: \n \nEg. $NBIS (64-&gt;100-&gt;86) vs. $CIFR (+32% into -18% https://t.co/0HEheBEq6B", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.004804412523839452, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004804412523839452, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0014085067111204719, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.001415984650985136, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00339590581271898, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006220397174824588, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008067800117406154, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008067800117406154, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006915996580213246, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015283529453130051, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001151803537192908, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007215729335723897, "ret_p1w": 0.02080404403892655, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02080404403892655, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.013832707904582353, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04046063125478805, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006971336134344197, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0196565872158615, "ret_p1m": 0.01010740007336497, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.01010740007336497, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.006917124902947824, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04075349116312499, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017024524976312794, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03064609108976002, "ret_p3m": 0.05185152603102461, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05185152603102461, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.019788540568744795, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.047542824780985926, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032062985462279814, "bench_c_p3m": 0.004308701250038682, "ret_p6m": -0.05933015141631548, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.05933015141631548, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.02987867363116492, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.03443500457581028, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02945147778515056, "bench_c_p6m": -0.09376515599212576, "price_path": [0.0126, 0.0129, -0.0058, 0.0087, 0.0074, 0.0199, 0.0229, 0.0259, 0.0116, 0.0147, 0.0249, 0.0393, 0.031, 0.0347, 0.0526, 0.049, 0.0551, 0.047, 0.0433, 0.0611, -0.0267, -0.0407, -0.0312, 0.0076, 0.0113, 0.0093, 0.003, 0.0038, 0.0178, 0.0469, 0.0471, 0.0492, 0.0334, 0.0144, 0.006, 0.0372, 0.0331, 0.0366, 0.0385, 0.0497, 0.0379, 0.0379, 0.0213, 0.0243, 0.0682, 0.053, 0.0689, 0.0798, 0.044, 0.0422, 0.0341, 0.049, 0.0608, 0.0498, 0.048, 0.0492, 0.0317, 0.0004, -0.0019, -0.0112, -0.0039, 0.007, -0.0048, 0.0, 0.0081, -0.0051, 0.0012, 0.0052, 0.0208, 0.0322, -0.0193, -0.0025, -0.0192, -0.0229, -0.0279, -0.0344, -0.0188, 0.0063, -0.0121, 0.0021, 0.0162, 0.0287, 0.0391, 0.0438, 0.0101, 0.1069, 0.1512, 0.13, 0.134, 0.1016, 0.1078, 0.1259, 0.129, 0.1068, 0.0768, 0.0637, 0.0555, 0.0087, 0.0093, -0.0158, 0.0003, 0.0256, 0.041, 0.0387, 0.0387, 0.0571, 0.0601, 0.0625, 0.0533, 0.0384, 0.0403, 0.0284, 0.033, 0.0505, 0.0437, 0.0252, 0.0087, 0.0087, 0.0029, 0.0278, 0.0305, 0.0354, 0.0522, 0.0533, 0.0533, 0.0539, 0.0519, 0.0539, 0.0462, 0.0462, 0.0266, 0.0563, 0.092, 0.0949, 0.1163, 0.1212, 0.1171, 0.0996, 0.0726, 0.0795, 0.0838, 0.0838, 0.047, 0.0484, 0.0621, 0.084, 0.0806, 0.109, 0.1014, 0.0956, 0.0846, 0.1012, 0.0815, 0.056, 0.0093, -0.0467, -0.054, -0.062, -0.075, -0.0953, -0.099, -0.099, -0.0883, -0.0718, -0.0715, -0.0477, -0.0696, -0.0547, -0.0453, -0.0576, -0.0482, -0.0555, -0.0539, -0.0173, -0.0077, -0.0336, -0.0324, -0.0286, -0.0362, -0.0503, -0.0587, -0.0403, -0.0246, -0.0488, -0.0538, -0.0692, -0.0475, -0.0607, -0.0404, -0.0593]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1982715174957232259", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-27T07:45:09+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm bullish on Neoclouds, including $IREN", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on Neoclouds incl. IREN; highest conviction on NBIS for best risk/reward via its software stack.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm bullish on Neoclouds, including $IREN. If you look at my post history, I've had positions in everything including $WULF, $CIFR, etc. \n\nThe only point I've made was $NBIS has the highest asymmetrical return (lowest risk, highest upside) because of its software stack. \n\nhttps://t.co/TnUqmvvFdd", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @Agrippa_Inv I disagree with your thesis — relying on one company alone isn’t enough to scale AI. The race has just begun, and there will be multiple winners. Just because someone started early doesn’t guarantee they’ll finish first.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DollarCostAvg", "ret_m1d": -0.03215873836881211, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03215873836881211, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.020498589425048674, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.028033473816390764, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004125264552421348, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.039544541918764, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.039544541918764, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.042200540875355075, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03316916586003127, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006375376058732729, "ret_p1w": 0.04246810627715236, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04246810627715236, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04524082586242595, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0645944793271267, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022126373049974335, "ret_p1m": -0.2695798925827233, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2695798925827233, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2546654506846936, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.25476647211453674, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.014813420468186567, "ret_p3m": -0.1958762880546734, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1958762880546734, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20430525526611998, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20840337820819355, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01252709015352016, "ret_p6m": -0.30497000071257774, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.30497000071257774, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.33831456717471897, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2941425250379808, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010827475674596965, "price_path": [-0.7517, -0.7521, -0.763, -0.7464, -0.7469, -0.7181, -0.7143, -0.7161, -0.7235, -0.7257, -0.7272, -0.7064, -0.697, -0.6814, -0.7118, -0.696, -0.6986, -0.6703, -0.6443, -0.6463, -0.656, -0.6455, -0.5926, -0.5926, -0.5521, -0.5659, -0.5979, -0.5976, -0.597, -0.5355, -0.4825, -0.4945, -0.4775, -0.4285, -0.4391, -0.4168, -0.4411, -0.4054, -0.3553, -0.3573, -0.2747, -0.2877, -0.3559, -0.2933, -0.2779, -0.2756, -0.2765, -0.2236, -0.1114, -0.0509, -0.0754, -0.0175, -0.0803, -0.0131, 0.0703, 0.046, -0.0486, -0.0657, -0.0888, -0.1507, -0.2025, -0.1405, -0.0322, 0.0, -0.0395, -0.0703, -0.1042, -0.0652, 0.0425, 0.0252, 0.1757, 0.0303, -0.0402, -0.0742, -0.1171, -0.1429, -0.2514, -0.2865, -0.2705, -0.2483, -0.2948, -0.3311, -0.3497, -0.2539, -0.2696, -0.2545, -0.2545, -0.2643, -0.2539, -0.3673, -0.3236, -0.2853, -0.312, -0.287, -0.2793, -0.3242, -0.3239, -0.3825, -0.4541, -0.437, -0.4802, -0.4491, -0.3858, -0.3531, -0.3527, -0.3541, -0.3541, -0.3799, -0.3936, -0.4107, -0.4188, -0.4188, -0.343, -0.2577, -0.2936, -0.3287, -0.2971, -0.2917, -0.2256, -0.1846, -0.1863, -0.2016, -0.1103, -0.1103, -0.1651, -0.1771, -0.1959, -0.1279, -0.1943, -0.0769, -0.0315, -0.0792, -0.1731, -0.1833, -0.1631, -0.3085, -0.3878, -0.3564, -0.2899, -0.3394, -0.3434, -0.3841, -0.3504, -0.3504, -0.3696, -0.3525, -0.3339, -0.3848, -0.3482, -0.3007, -0.3225, -0.3193, -0.3699, -0.3631, -0.4022, -0.3254, -0.3826, -0.4353, -0.4024, -0.4134, -0.3541, -0.3634, -0.3602, -0.3085, -0.339, -0.3505, -0.359, -0.3647, -0.3513, -0.3673, -0.3625, -0.4238, -0.4601, -0.5135, -0.4725, -0.4755, -0.465, -0.465, -0.4595, -0.4501, -0.4333, -0.4298, -0.395, -0.3373, -0.2711, -0.2488, -0.266, -0.2596, -0.2503, -0.305]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1982715174957232259", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-27T07:45:09+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS has the highest asymmetrical return (lowest risk, highest upside) because of its software stack", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on Neoclouds incl. IREN; highest conviction on NBIS for best risk/reward via its software stack.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm bullish on Neoclouds, including $IREN. If you look at my post history, I've had positions in everything including $WULF, $CIFR, etc. \n\nThe only point I've made was $NBIS has the highest asymmetrical return (lowest risk, highest upside) because of its software stack. \n\nhttps://t.co/TnUqmvvFdd", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @Agrippa_Inv I disagree with your thesis — relying on one company alone isn’t enough to scale AI. The race has just begun, and there will be multiple winners. Just because someone started early doesn’t guarantee they’ll finish first.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DollarCostAvg", "ret_m1d": -0.0651359176358719, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0651359176358719, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05347576869210846, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.051394016667661524, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013741900968210374, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02870125540430646, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02870125540430646, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.031357254360897535, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.023750721096447047, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004950534307859411, "ret_p1w": -0.03954396135218685, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03954396135218685, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.036771241766913265, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.009072772543005425, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": -0.030471188809181426, "ret_p1m": -0.291397615903933, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.291397615903933, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2764831740059033, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2669865978192385, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02441101808469448, "ret_p3m": -0.22785618880266678, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22785618880266678, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23628515601411337, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.22330124633290094, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": -0.004554942469765844, "ret_p6m": 0.24810653488691647, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.24810653488691647, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.21476196842477524, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.24166768131940364, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": 0.006438853567512837, "price_path": [-0.5911, -0.5661, -0.5854, -0.5681, -0.5602, -0.5608, -0.4793, -0.4516, -0.44, -0.3994, -0.4369, -0.4542, -0.429, -0.4217, -0.4643, -0.4621, -0.4724, -0.4501, -0.4418, -0.4381, -0.4411, -0.4257, -0.4553, -0.4553, -0.476, -0.4766, -0.4825, -0.478, -0.4893, -0.2369, -0.2554, -0.2889, -0.2792, -0.2748, -0.287, -0.2499, -0.2496, -0.2082, -0.1501, -0.1406, -0.0973, -0.1394, -0.1414, -0.1213, -0.1049, -0.0783, 0.0035, 0.0203, -0.0039, -0.0616, -0.0273, 0.0575, 0.0331, 0.08, 0.0217, 0.0032, -0.0191, -0.0956, -0.131, -0.1686, -0.2137, -0.1536, -0.0651, 0.0, -0.0287, -0.0026, -0.01, 0.043, -0.0395, -0.1187, -0.0672, -0.1275, -0.1128, -0.1234, -0.185, -0.2477, -0.2934, -0.334, -0.3145, -0.2782, -0.242, -0.3252, -0.3362, -0.2673, -0.2914, -0.2451, -0.2451, -0.2436, -0.2015, -0.231, -0.2114, -0.1804, -0.2184, -0.2001, -0.2314, -0.2538, -0.2483, -0.3009, -0.3531, -0.3546, -0.3985, -0.3774, -0.2868, -0.2567, -0.2822, -0.2735, -0.2735, -0.3017, -0.314, -0.321, -0.3327, -0.3327, -0.2829, -0.2599, -0.2008, -0.233, -0.2243, -0.2192, -0.1443, -0.1595, -0.187, -0.1718, -0.1331, -0.1331, -0.2084, -0.2118, -0.2279, -0.2466, -0.2708, -0.2197, -0.1993, -0.2433, -0.3208, -0.2971, -0.2829, -0.3431, -0.4111, -0.3136, -0.2595, -0.2682, -0.2936, -0.2846, -0.2186, -0.2186, -0.2225, -0.1884, -0.1421, -0.2193, -0.1979, -0.1822, -0.154, -0.1638, -0.273, -0.2744, -0.308, -0.2204, -0.2374, -0.2878, -0.2431, -0.2312, -0.1071, -0.1386, -0.0995, 0.0352, -0.0726, -0.0548, -0.0312, -0.0623, -0.0899, -0.0839, -0.0824, -0.1551, -0.1962, -0.2645, -0.1728, -0.1872, -0.1324, -0.1324, -0.1028, -0.064, -0.0034, 0.0869, 0.1558, 0.2322, 0.2911, 0.3296, 0.3182, 0.2528, 0.2689, 0.2481]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2007472856574373893", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-03T15:23:20+00:00", "symbol": "GHM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$GHM / $MVZ.B - Vacuum Ejectors for extra-heavy crude in Venezulea | Largest banks in Venezuela", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Venezuela regime-change trade: long ASHM/GHM/MVZ.B/ENR/AMTB on restructuring/reconstruction; short CVX on asset risk; long SU as substitute during institutional collapse.", "resolved_tickers": ["GHM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So I'll answer your question on timeline + beneficiaries post-regime change. \n\nIf Defense Minster accepts safe passage/amnesty, then it's a buy signal for stuff like $ASHM, $GHM, or $MVZ.B and companies post regime change.\n\n$ASHM - largest holder of Venezulean debt. Bonds likely 100%+ higher re-rated if theres restructuring.\n\n$GHM / $MVZ.B - Vacuum Ejectors for extra-heavy crude in Venezulea | Largest banks in Venezuela\n\nThere's a lot more companies like $ENR and $AMTB that would profit off the reconstruction too. \n\nBut right now there's now a political transition vacuum after the capture of Maduro. The defense minster Vladimir Lopez and FANB are still hostile with mobilized troops to defend. So, unlike 1989 Panama (~6w), Venezuela is a more \"Iraq-style\" risk, which could last:\n\n~3-18 months. \n\nOtherwise, there's asset risks from Chevron $CVX, while companies like $SU are good substitute during the institutional collapse (alongside the companies mentioned above to maintain the blockade + profit off supply disruption).\n\n---\n\n@poconokid18 Scratch that, looks like regime change will go smoother than expected from Trump's comments. Made a new post about beneficiaries here:\n\nhttps://t.co/wRNq8ntQSt", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0517143249511719, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0517143249511719, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.045098274782246595, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.045098274782246595, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006616050168925303, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006616050168925303, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03157141549246656, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03157141549246656, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03751859886555586, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03751859886555586, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005947183373089304, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005947183373089304, "ret_p1w": 0.030999973842075867, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.030999973842075867, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.020181614071476783, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.020181614071476783, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010818359770599084, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010818359770599084, "ret_p1m": 0.08842860630580351, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08842860630580351, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08579665640068712, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08579665640068712, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.002631949905116393, "bench_c_p1m": 0.002631949905116393, "ret_p3m": 0.1607142857142858, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1607142857142858, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.20448047565465732, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.20448047565465732, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.043766189940371514, "bench_c_p3m": -0.043766189940371514, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1953, -0.1734, -0.2139, -0.1739, -0.1367, -0.0993, -0.1273, -0.1474, -0.117, -0.1364, -0.1579, -0.1244, -0.1089, -0.1536, -0.1371, -0.1351, -0.1114, -0.1101, -0.1103, -0.1147, -0.0864, -0.1123, -0.1091, -0.1143, -0.1501, -0.13, -0.1693, -0.1571, -0.2064, -0.2093, -0.2029, -0.2349, -0.2286, -0.208, -0.1876, -0.182, -0.182, -0.1786, -0.2103, -0.1934, -0.1814, -0.1584, -0.1727, -0.1584, -0.1153, -0.0811, -0.0781, -0.1007, -0.0839, -0.0754, -0.1244, -0.1309, -0.1204, -0.0744, -0.0071, 0.0087, 0.0087, 0.0219, -0.0286, -0.0599, -0.0824, -0.0824, -0.0517, 0.0, -0.0316, -0.0517, -0.0093, 0.0136, 0.031, 0.0421, 0.038, 0.051, 0.0599, 0.0599, 0.035, 0.0647, 0.0699, 0.0743, 0.0893, 0.0077, -0.0111, 0.0143, -0.0011, 0.0469, 0.0884, 0.0456, 0.0536, 0.1891, 0.2151, 0.273, 0.261, 0.1983, 0.2057, 0.2057, 0.1726, 0.1487, 0.14, 0.1573, 0.1079, 0.1714, 0.154, 0.1756, 0.1603, 0.2446, 0.1999, 0.2296, 0.2003, 0.166, 0.2209, 0.2426, 0.219, 0.1564, 0.1436, 0.1443, 0.1686, 0.1519, 0.1811, 0.1419, 0.2027, 0.2133, 0.2231, 0.1171, 0.1161, 0.078, 0.1274, 0.1693, 0.1607, 0.1607, 0.1819, 0.2121, 0.2797, 0.3111, 0.3013, 0.3357, 0.3234, 0.3139, 0.2996, 0.3626, 0.3123, 0.311, 0.3543, 0.3943, 0.3914, 0.3523, 0.3216, 0.2966, 0.36, 0.3543, 0.3383, 0.3983, 0.3814, 0.3869, 0.4027, 0.4046, 0.416, 0.4576, 0.4114, 0.404, 0.3484, 0.3279, 0.3711, 0.3231, 0.3566, 0.3566, 0.4286, 0.4283, 0.4321, 0.4306, 0.4306, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2007472856574373893", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-01-03T15:23:20+00:00", "symbol": "ENR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "There's a lot more companies like $ENR and $AMTB that would profit off the reconstruction too", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Venezuela regime-change trade: long ASHM/GHM/MVZ.B/ENR/AMTB on restructuring/reconstruction; short CVX on asset risk; long SU as substitute during institutional collapse.", "resolved_tickers": ["ENR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So I'll answer your question on timeline + beneficiaries post-regime change. \n\nIf Defense Minster accepts safe passage/amnesty, then it's a buy signal for stuff like $ASHM, $GHM, or $MVZ.B and companies post regime change.\n\n$ASHM - largest holder of Venezulean debt. Bonds likely 100%+ higher re-rated if theres restructuring.\n\n$GHM / $MVZ.B - Vacuum Ejectors for extra-heavy crude in Venezulea | Largest banks in Venezuela\n\nThere's a lot more companies like $ENR and $AMTB that would profit off the reconstruction too. \n\nBut right now there's now a political transition vacuum after the capture of Maduro. The defense minster Vladimir Lopez and FANB are still hostile with mobilized troops to defend. So, unlike 1989 Panama (~6w), Venezuela is a more \"Iraq-style\" risk, which could last:\n\n~3-18 months. \n\nOtherwise, there's asset risks from Chevron $CVX, while companies like $SU are good substitute during the institutional collapse (alongside the companies mentioned above to maintain the blockade + profit off supply disruption).\n\n---\n\n@poconokid18 Scratch that, looks like regime change will go smoother than expected from Trump's comments. Made a new post about beneficiaries here:\n\nhttps://t.co/wRNq8ntQSt", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.039645151403601586, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.039645151403601586, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04626120157252689, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04626120157252689, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006616050168925303, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006616050168925303, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05320808258258758, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05320808258258758, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.047260899209498275, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.047260899209498275, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005947183373089304, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005947183373089304, "ret_p1w": 0.08868020611136118, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08868020611136118, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0778618463407621, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0778618463407621, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010818359770599084, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010818359770599084, "ret_p1m": 0.19770460357005515, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.19770460357005515, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.19507265366493876, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.19507265366493876, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.002631949905116393, "bench_c_p1m": 0.002631949905116393, "ret_p3m": -0.1321284219054537, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1321284219054537, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0883622319650822, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0883622319650822, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.043766189940371514, "bench_c_p3m": -0.043766189940371514, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2557, 0.2516, 0.2085, 0.2172, 0.2244, 0.2321, 0.2454, 0.2767, 0.2454, 0.2911, 0.2783, 0.2583, 0.25, 0.2357, 0.2372, 0.207, 0.19, 0.1916, 0.1926, 0.2064, 0.2352, 0.2111, 0.2229, 0.2218, 0.25, 0.2506, 0.2439, 0.2249, 0.2234, -0.0028, -0.0685, -0.0931, -0.0629, -0.0777, -0.0866, -0.0558, -0.0558, -0.049, -0.0944, -0.1122, -0.0313, -0.0553, -0.0501, -0.0631, -0.0313, 0.0136, 0.0887, 0.0584, 0.0642, 0.0814, 0.0683, 0.0553, 0.0334, 0.0318, 0.0396, 0.0605, 0.0605, 0.0595, 0.0543, 0.0443, 0.0376, 0.0376, 0.0396, 0.0, 0.0532, 0.0532, 0.1017, 0.1283, 0.0887, 0.1038, 0.1231, 0.108, 0.0788, 0.0788, 0.0355, 0.048, 0.0543, 0.0308, 0.0908, 0.1335, 0.0981, 0.1215, 0.1388, 0.1742, 0.1977, 0.2196, 0.2186, 0.2207, 0.1768, 0.1695, 0.2066, 0.1836, 0.1878, 0.1878, 0.1993, 0.2067, 0.1818, 0.1855, 0.1993, 0.1982, 0.1549, 0.1602, 0.1411, 0.0835, 0.0529, 0.0058, 0.0148, 0.0206, -0.0343, -0.0571, -0.0777, -0.1295, -0.1009, -0.1036, -0.0735, -0.1078, -0.1089, -0.1168, -0.0972, -0.1205, -0.1152, -0.0888, -0.1009, -0.1078, -0.1321, -0.129, -0.1321, -0.1321, -0.1089, -0.1173, -0.0624, -0.0232, -0.0084, -0.0021, 0.0037, 0.0185, 0.0354, 0.0825, 0.0819, 0.0439, 0.0581, 0.055, 0.0566, 0.0296, 0.0407, -0.0211, 0.0349, 0.0402, 0.0222, -0.0565, 0.0027, -0.019, -0.0032, -0.0708, -0.065, -0.1004, -0.1173, -0.1115, -0.1258, -0.1422, -0.1066, -0.0684, -0.021, -0.021, -0.0189, 0.0032, -0.0011, -0.0189, -0.0189, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2007472856574373893", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-01-03T15:23:20+00:00", "symbol": "AMTB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "There's a lot more companies like $ENR and $AMTB that would profit off the reconstruction too", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Venezuela regime-change trade: long ASHM/GHM/MVZ.B/ENR/AMTB on restructuring/reconstruction; short CVX on asset risk; long SU as substitute during institutional collapse.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMTB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So I'll answer your question on timeline + beneficiaries post-regime change. \n\nIf Defense Minster accepts safe passage/amnesty, then it's a buy signal for stuff like $ASHM, $GHM, or $MVZ.B and companies post regime change.\n\n$ASHM - largest holder of Venezulean debt. Bonds likely 100%+ higher re-rated if theres restructuring.\n\n$GHM / $MVZ.B - Vacuum Ejectors for extra-heavy crude in Venezulea | Largest banks in Venezuela\n\nThere's a lot more companies like $ENR and $AMTB that would profit off the reconstruction too. \n\nBut right now there's now a political transition vacuum after the capture of Maduro. The defense minster Vladimir Lopez and FANB are still hostile with mobilized troops to defend. So, unlike 1989 Panama (~6w), Venezuela is a more \"Iraq-style\" risk, which could last:\n\n~3-18 months. \n\nOtherwise, there's asset risks from Chevron $CVX, while companies like $SU are good substitute during the institutional collapse (alongside the companies mentioned above to maintain the blockade + profit off supply disruption).\n\n---\n\n@poconokid18 Scratch that, looks like regime change will go smoother than expected from Trump's comments. Made a new post about beneficiaries here:\n\nhttps://t.co/wRNq8ntQSt", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.039473809962402906, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.039473809962402906, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0328577597934776, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0328577597934776, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006616050168925303, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006616050168925303, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004873393158547512, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004873393158547512, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010820576531636816, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010820576531636816, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005947183373089304, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005947183373089304, "ret_p1w": -0.031189172769339524, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.031189172769339524, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04200753253993861, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04200753253993861, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010818359770599084, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010818359770599084, "ret_p1m": 0.08576992059888422, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08576992059888422, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08313797069376783, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08313797069376783, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.002631949905116393, "bench_c_p1m": 0.002631949905116393, "ret_p3m": 0.114119403941628, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.114119403941628, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.15788559388199952, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.15788559388199952, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.043766189940371514, "bench_c_p3m": -0.043766189940371514, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0802, -0.0788, -0.1161, -0.1001, -0.0763, -0.0855, -0.1399, -0.1292, -0.1074, -0.1108, -0.1413, -0.1762, -0.1486, -0.15, -0.1811, -0.1888, -0.1762, -0.1869, -0.1699, -0.1685, -0.1544, -0.1903, -0.1714, -0.1563, -0.1355, -0.1272, -0.1379, -0.1423, -0.1745, -0.1667, -0.1618, -0.1579, -0.1213, -0.1121, -0.077, -0.0814, -0.0814, -0.0833, -0.0702, -0.0814, -0.0541, -0.057, -0.0604, -0.0453, -0.0322, 0.0, -0.0015, -0.0019, -0.0019, -0.0068, -0.0044, 0.0073, -0.0175, -0.0073, -0.018, -0.0141, -0.0141, -0.0224, -0.0239, -0.0361, -0.0492, -0.0492, -0.0395, 0.0, -0.0049, -0.0161, 0.0127, -0.0083, -0.0312, -0.0258, -0.0024, 0.0234, 0.0156, 0.0156, -0.0073, 0.0526, 0.0824, 0.0361, 0.0146, 0.0161, 0.0175, 0.059, 0.0575, 0.0668, 0.0858, 0.1087, 0.1204, 0.1316, 0.1277, 0.1233, 0.1135, 0.0931, 0.098, 0.098, 0.1122, 0.095, 0.0999, 0.1053, 0.0539, 0.0539, 0.0818, 0.0799, 0.0446, 0.0632, 0.0559, 0.0657, 0.0627, 0.0442, 0.0427, 0.0471, 0.0275, 0.0231, 0.0114, 0.0236, 0.0226, -0.0058, 0.0168, 0.0133, 0.0437, 0.0486, 0.0588, 0.0657, 0.051, 0.0603, 0.0784, 0.1048, 0.1141, 0.1141, 0.1361, 0.1347, 0.1684, 0.1851, 0.165, 0.1694, 0.1704, 0.1694, 0.1596, 0.165, 0.1738, 0.1528, 0.1567, 0.1743, 0.1166, 0.1122, 0.118, 0.119, 0.1239, 0.1224, 0.1073, 0.1254, 0.1435, 0.144, 0.1464, 0.1298, 0.1244, 0.1009, 0.1082, 0.0955, 0.1058, 0.093, 0.1053, 0.1004, 0.1033, 0.1033, 0.1254, 0.1092, 0.1019, 0.1161, 0.1161, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2007472856574373893", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2026-01-03T15:23:20+00:00", "symbol": "CVX", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "there's asset risks from Chevron $CVX", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Venezuela regime-change trade: long ASHM/GHM/MVZ.B/ENR/AMTB on restructuring/reconstruction; short CVX on asset risk; long SU as substitute during institutional collapse.", "resolved_tickers": ["CVX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So I'll answer your question on timeline + beneficiaries post-regime change. \n\nIf Defense Minster accepts safe passage/amnesty, then it's a buy signal for stuff like $ASHM, $GHM, or $MVZ.B and companies post regime change.\n\n$ASHM - largest holder of Venezulean debt. Bonds likely 100%+ higher re-rated if theres restructuring.\n\n$GHM / $MVZ.B - Vacuum Ejectors for extra-heavy crude in Venezulea | Largest banks in Venezuela\n\nThere's a lot more companies like $ENR and $AMTB that would profit off the reconstruction too. \n\nBut right now there's now a political transition vacuum after the capture of Maduro. The defense minster Vladimir Lopez and FANB are still hostile with mobilized troops to defend. So, unlike 1989 Panama (~6w), Venezuela is a more \"Iraq-style\" risk, which could last:\n\n~3-18 months. \n\nOtherwise, there's asset risks from Chevron $CVX, while companies like $SU are good substitute during the institutional collapse (alongside the companies mentioned above to maintain the blockade + profit off supply disruption).\n\n---\n\n@poconokid18 Scratch that, looks like regime change will go smoother than expected from Trump's comments. Made a new post about beneficiaries here:\n\nhttps://t.co/wRNq8ntQSt", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.048520085298902504, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.048520085298902504, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0419040351299772, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0419040351299772, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006616050168925303, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006616050168925303, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.044614047709269355, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.044614047709269355, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05056123108235866, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05056123108235866, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005947183373089304, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005947183373089304, "ret_p1w": -0.00921581930039983, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.00921581930039983, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.020034179070998914, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.020034179070998914, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010818359770599084, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010818359770599084, "ret_p1m": 0.08660347730346363, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08660347730346363, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08397152739834723, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08397152739834723, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.002631949905116393, "bench_c_p1m": 0.002631949905116393, "ret_p3m": 0.22622145050459164, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22622145050459164, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.26998764044496315, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.26998764044496315, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.043766189940371514, "bench_c_p3m": -0.043766189940371514, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0721, -0.0847, -0.1013, -0.0829, -0.0802, -0.0819, -0.0843, -0.0761, -0.0676, -0.0718, -0.061, -0.055, -0.0611, -0.0628, -0.0697, -0.0639, -0.0734, -0.048, -0.0703, -0.0742, -0.0786, -0.0769, -0.0643, -0.0605, -0.057, -0.0746, -0.061, -0.0486, -0.0655, -0.0624, -0.0742, -0.0826, -0.0847, -0.0861, -0.0935, -0.0875, -0.0875, -0.0776, -0.069, -0.083, -0.0748, -0.0707, -0.0845, -0.0924, -0.0937, -0.0759, -0.0801, -0.0846, -0.0857, -0.1044, -0.0875, -0.0986, -0.0983, -0.0857, -0.0814, -0.0815, -0.0815, -0.0844, -0.0785, -0.0704, -0.0698, -0.0698, -0.0485, 0.0, -0.0446, -0.0528, -0.0281, -0.0106, -0.0092, 0.0001, 0.0207, 0.0141, 0.0147, 0.0147, 0.0088, 0.0176, 0.0171, 0.0175, 0.0223, 0.0317, 0.0371, 0.0448, 0.0796, 0.0621, 0.0866, 0.1061, 0.0939, 0.1038, 0.1144, 0.1124, 0.1341, 0.1132, 0.1214, 0.1214, 0.1127, 0.1332, 0.1388, 0.1335, 0.1396, 0.1422, 0.1353, 0.1349, 0.151, 0.1685, 0.1634, 0.1465, 0.1703, 0.1706, 0.1675, 0.1481, 0.182, 0.2139, 0.213, 0.2131, 0.2201, 0.224, 0.2414, 0.2432, 0.2647, 0.2744, 0.2643, 0.2806, 0.3013, 0.2986, 0.2751, 0.2166, 0.2262, 0.2262, 0.2255, 0.2421, 0.1888, 0.1732, 0.162, 0.1819, 0.1526, 0.1396, 0.1595, 0.1339, 0.1293, 0.1462, 0.1483, 0.1561, 0.1414, 0.1388, 0.1608, 0.1846, 0.1913, 0.1748, 0.185, 0.1872, 0.1411, 0.1247, 0.1193, 0.1385, 0.146, 0.1463, 0.1502, 0.1777, 0.2087, 0.2268, 0.1899, 0.1879, 0.1906, 0.1906, 0.1488, 0.1344, 0.1383, 0.1348, 0.1348, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2007472856574373893", "ticker_idx": 6, "ts": "2026-01-03T15:23:20+00:00", "symbol": "SU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "companies like $SU are good substitute during the institutional collapse", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Venezuela regime-change trade: long ASHM/GHM/MVZ.B/ENR/AMTB on restructuring/reconstruction; short CVX on asset risk; long SU as substitute during institutional collapse.", "resolved_tickers": ["SU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So I'll answer your question on timeline + beneficiaries post-regime change. \n\nIf Defense Minster accepts safe passage/amnesty, then it's a buy signal for stuff like $ASHM, $GHM, or $MVZ.B and companies post regime change.\n\n$ASHM - largest holder of Venezulean debt. Bonds likely 100%+ higher re-rated if theres restructuring.\n\n$GHM / $MVZ.B - Vacuum Ejectors for extra-heavy crude in Venezulea | Largest banks in Venezuela\n\nThere's a lot more companies like $ENR and $AMTB that would profit off the reconstruction too. \n\nBut right now there's now a political transition vacuum after the capture of Maduro. The defense minster Vladimir Lopez and FANB are still hostile with mobilized troops to defend. So, unlike 1989 Panama (~6w), Venezuela is a more \"Iraq-style\" risk, which could last:\n\n~3-18 months. \n\nOtherwise, there's asset risks from Chevron $CVX, while companies like $SU are good substitute during the institutional collapse (alongside the companies mentioned above to maintain the blockade + profit off supply disruption).\n\n---\n\n@poconokid18 Scratch that, looks like regime change will go smoother than expected from Trump's comments. Made a new post about beneficiaries here:\n\nhttps://t.co/wRNq8ntQSt", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.018315785135179175, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.018315785135179175, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.024931835304104477, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.024931835304104477, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006616050168925303, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006616050168925303, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010498092910711021, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010498092910711021, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004550909537621717, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004550909537621717, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005947183373089304, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005947183373089304, "ret_p1w": 0.04154560957305575, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04154560957305575, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03072724980245667, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03072724980245667, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010818359770599084, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010818359770599084, "ret_p1m": 0.19410313566351434, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.19410313566351434, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.19147118575839794, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.19147118575839794, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.002631949905116393, "bench_c_p1m": 0.002631949905116393, "ret_p3m": 0.48336427380341096, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.48336427380341096, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5271304637437825, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5271304637437825, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.043766189940371514, "bench_c_p3m": -0.043766189940371514, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0878, -0.0983, -0.1179, -0.1072, -0.1208, -0.1266, -0.1383, -0.138, -0.1441, -0.1474, -0.1269, -0.115, -0.1103, -0.1057, -0.1148, -0.1065, -0.1128, -0.1108, -0.1148, -0.1175, -0.0793, -0.0621, -0.048, -0.0369, -0.0154, -0.0121, -0.0257, -0.0092, -0.008, 0.0096, 0.0047, -0.0022, -0.0101, -0.0109, -0.0103, -0.0071, -0.0071, 0.0002, 0.0007, -0.0185, -0.002, 0.0, -0.0116, -0.0165, -0.0219, -0.0134, -0.0103, -0.0089, -0.025, -0.057, -0.0436, -0.0529, -0.0451, -0.0407, -0.036, -0.0342, -0.0342, -0.0371, -0.0232, -0.006, -0.0092, -0.0092, 0.0183, 0.0, 0.0105, 0.0118, 0.0223, 0.0429, 0.0415, 0.0751, 0.109, 0.0938, 0.111, 0.111, 0.1023, 0.1282, 0.1139, 0.1363, 0.143, 0.1622, 0.1838, 0.1992, 0.1832, 0.1762, 0.1941, 0.187, 0.1867, 0.2017, 0.2211, 0.2198, 0.2495, 0.2305, 0.2506, 0.2506, 0.2305, 0.2475, 0.2687, 0.245, 0.2569, 0.2502, 0.2453, 0.2397, 0.2625, 0.2906, 0.2763, 0.2907, 0.2968, 0.2794, 0.292, 0.2893, 0.3116, 0.3449, 0.3413, 0.3645, 0.3803, 0.3951, 0.4253, 0.4341, 0.4224, 0.4431, 0.4564, 0.4627, 0.5005, 0.4852, 0.4881, 0.4618, 0.4834, 0.4834, 0.4874, 0.5034, 0.4528, 0.4269, 0.4503, 0.4595, 0.4307, 0.4174, 0.4365, 0.3767, 0.3879, 0.408, 0.4278, 0.4532, 0.4406, 0.4512, 0.4674, 0.5097, 0.541, 0.5205, 0.5432, 0.5678, 0.4478, 0.4347, 0.4408, 0.4658, 0.4982, 0.4872, 0.5034, 0.5372, 0.5696, 0.5678, 0.5268, 0.5246, 0.5158, 0.5158, 0.4757, 0.4399, 0.4251, 0.4037, 0.4037, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2009446195933139114", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-09T02:04:41+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This $1B company controls two different bottleneck for the AI buildout. I'm buying into the bottleneck like what happened at the start with HBM with $MU and $SNDK, I'm not trying to convince you to as well, just sharing my thesis.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long AXTI: near-monopoly on InP feedstock and substrates after export controls sideline Sumitomo; TAM could inflate to $10B+ as the sole supplier for AI photonics buildout.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just to give some perspective: There's two different bottlenecks. $AXTI sits in the middle of two. \n\nInP Feedstock - Duopoly (Vital, $AXTI with China controlling ~78%-80% of supply). Companies like $DOWA produce extremely low amounts relatively. \n\nInP Substrates - Monopoly ( $AXTI ). Formerly it was a duopoly ( $AXTI, Sumitomo Electric) with 60-70% of InP substrate production. With misc Japanese companies like JX contributing much tinier amounts. However this changed with export controls 2 days ago restricting feedstock and critical material supply to Sumitomo and Japanese companies that produce InP substrates. \n\nThey have inventory, but with the export controls continuing, they will lack the materials to produce substrates at scale and $AXTI becomes the monopoly in 3-6 months, hence the framing.  \n\nThis is not a quantity game. This is game theory on price squeezes based on limited materials. $AXTI owns the mineral mines all the way to refining -> substrate production and the supply chain + cost structure. \n\nThis translates into margins. You were looking at few hundred million TAM that could now inflate to $10B+ just due to pure necessary required for $GOOGL TPUs, $MSFT maia, $NVDA, $META, and so no AI buildout with photonics.  \n\nThis $1B company controls two different bottleneck for the AI buildout. I'm buying into the bottleneck like what happened at the start with HBM with $MU and $SNDK, I'm not trying to convince you to as well, just sharing my thesis.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I’m not fully convinced that a shortage automatically equals big profits. People often jump straight to pricing power, but a shortage is just a condition, not a guaranteed earnings trend. InP is clearly strategic i get that. But they are also not a monopoly. Also the company", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MarkosAAIG", "ret_m1d": 0.12353197828891327, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.12353197828891327, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.1301018717281992, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.14984098142919255, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006569893439285934, "bench_c_m1d": -0.026309003140279286, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03262287983761569, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03262287983761569, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03419333364938748, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.036322593205094234, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0015704538117717881, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003699713367478541, "ret_p1w": -0.03914743921228414, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03914743921228414, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03567515789841835, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06784589610736158, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.003472281313865788, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02869845689507744, "ret_p1m": 0.2079165173655424, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2079165173655424, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.20808934664522083, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.16313466488849615, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00017282927967843253, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04478185247704625, "ret_p3m": 1.31317967962682, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.31317967962682, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.3365401139432729, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.2265962252787943, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.02336043431645274, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08658345434802572, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.8012, -0.8003, -0.7856, -0.8038, -0.7864, -0.7751, -0.7851, -0.7747, -0.7364, -0.7308, -0.7129, -0.6925, -0.6816, -0.6542, -0.632, -0.6285, -0.6042, -0.6142, -0.5885, -0.5459, -0.5407, -0.5224, -0.5459, -0.5459, -0.5542, -0.5694, -0.5602, -0.589, -0.6116, -0.5937, -0.5985, -0.5455, -0.5455, -0.5346, -0.5307, -0.4885, -0.5007, -0.4737, -0.4963, -0.4472, -0.3493, -0.3254, -0.2875, -0.3558, -0.3549, -0.4345, -0.4624, -0.3906, -0.3628, -0.338, -0.3632, -0.3471, -0.3471, -0.3314, -0.3654, -0.3127, -0.2888, -0.2888, -0.271, -0.2749, -0.1227, 0.0487, 0.1235, 0.0, -0.0326, -0.0644, -0.0387, 0.1187, -0.0391, -0.0391, -0.0687, -0.1396, -0.2205, -0.2431, -0.2258, -0.2518, -0.2679, -0.2875, -0.1936, -0.0892, -0.1414, -0.1844, -0.1114, 0.0465, 0.2079, 0.0592, 0.1657, 0.0783, 0.0544, 0.0544, 0.0096, 0.0239, 0.0357, 0.291, 0.2366, 0.5259, 0.7821, 0.6146, 0.6485, 1.0148, 0.8164, 0.702, 0.6877, 0.408, 0.6773, 0.9269, 1.06, 1.0326, 1.1253, 1.1048, 0.9295, 1.1209, 1.5268, 1.3593, 1.803, 1.9769, 1.9295, 1.545, 1.6372, 1.2936, 1.4785, 1.0505, 1.2984, 1.2984, 0.8264, 0.9774, 1.3132, 1.7455, 1.7916, 1.8904, 1.9274, 1.7373, 2.5572, 2.5911, 2.4258, 2.261, 2.7816, 2.274, 2.3127, 2.0513, 1.9887, 2.0913, 2.4458, 3.1757, 3.6107, 3.6781, 3.5598, 3.716, 4.0613, 4.4724, 4.3458, 4.304, 4.0013, 4.3841, 3.6055, 3.91, 3.5502, 4.264, 5.1257, 5.1257, 4.7677, 4.3401, 4.0326, 3.4872, 3.4872, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1966512870251749588", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-12T14:42:58+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "42% short interest on a 11B, profitable, and fast growing company… has the potential to make history on a short squeeze like $OPEN or $GME. The risk reward is worth it.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long HIMS: 42% short interest on profitable fast-growing $11B company sets up historic short squeeze; risk/reward compelling.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I don’t know how to reiterate this enough for $HIMS\n\n42% short interest on a 11B, profitable, and fast growing company… has the potential to make history on a short squeeze like $OPEN or $GME.\n\nThe risk reward is worth it. https://t.co/xoCKXMzdqu", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "🚨 BREAKING: BTIG REITERATES $HIMS BUY RATING, $85 PRICE TARGET\n\nTHE HIGHEST PRICE TARGET ON WALL STREET", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06738741763003242, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06738741763003242, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06772214257647868, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06772214257647868, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00033472494644626316, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00033472494644626316, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02774776424373593, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02774776424373593, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.033071716664668016, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.033071716664668016, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005323952420932088, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005323952420932088, "ret_p1w": 0.04180179630313918, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04180179630313918, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.029434856491553196, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.029434856491553196, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012366939811585986, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012366939811585986, "ret_p1m": -0.013873882121867909, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.013873882121867909, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.025234025472156474, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.025234025472156474, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011360143350288565, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011360143350288565, "ret_p3m": -0.3174774582321579, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3174774582321579, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.36625423283380953, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.36625423283380953, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04877677460165164, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04877677460165164, "ret_p6m": -0.600720723470052, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.600720723470052, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.6383689937472914, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.6383689937472914, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.03764827027723938, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03764827027723938, "price_path": [0.0674, 0.1004, 0.1004, 0.1571, -0.2436, -0.2261, -0.2539, -0.1661, -0.1097, -0.1018, -0.1359, -0.1449, -0.1355, -0.1355, -0.1276, -0.1178, -0.0768, -0.0942, -0.1371, -0.0625, -0.0908, -0.0658, -0.0993, -0.0923, -0.1423, -0.0989, 0.0454, 0.0328, 0.0387, 0.0573, 0.0859, 0.1807, 0.1924, 0.127, 0.1414, 0.0004, -0.0787, -0.0802, -0.0641, -0.0995, -0.1359, -0.1292, -0.1508, -0.1708, -0.1874, -0.24, -0.2184, -0.2079, -0.1969, -0.2254, -0.1829, -0.207, -0.205, -0.2369, -0.2369, -0.2517, -0.1989, -0.1332, -0.1277, -0.1056, -0.1389, -0.1391, -0.0674, 0.0, -0.0277, -0.0831, -0.0928, 0.0126, 0.0418, 0.0396, 0.009, -0.0405, -0.0114, 0.0523, 0.0652, 0.022, 0.0146, 0.0427, -0.0533, -0.0133, 0.0445, 0.0481, 0.0495, -0.0279, -0.0139, -0.0267, 0.1308, 0.0658, -0.1031, -0.0746, -0.1106, -0.1449, -0.1263, -0.1211, -0.131, -0.151, -0.1598, -0.2061, -0.1809, -0.2002, -0.229, -0.2121, -0.2519, -0.2607, -0.2604, -0.2838, -0.2969, -0.3505, -0.3337, -0.3589, -0.3467, -0.3544, -0.3942, -0.3746, -0.3193, -0.3317, -0.3081, -0.3081, -0.2836, -0.3241, -0.3458, -0.3321, -0.2789, -0.2937, -0.2951, -0.2825, -0.3175, -0.3195, -0.3295, -0.3468, -0.3359, -0.3699, -0.3735, -0.3593, -0.3685, -0.373, -0.3753, -0.3753, -0.3818, -0.3856, -0.4047, -0.415, -0.415, -0.398, -0.3746, -0.3611, -0.3611, -0.3897, -0.429, -0.4173, -0.4198, -0.4357, -0.4373, -0.4346, -0.4346, -0.451, -0.4795, -0.4501, -0.4663, -0.4544, -0.4652, -0.4834, -0.4618, -0.5119, -0.5236, -0.5398, -0.5604, -0.5769, -0.5852, -0.6517, -0.6894, -0.6993, -0.7153, -0.7063, -0.7063, -0.7068, -0.7146, -0.715, -0.7184, -0.7205, -0.7214, -0.715, -0.7189, -0.7384, -0.7031, -0.715, -0.7036, -0.7139, -0.7164, -0.6007]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2005523875665444971", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-29T06:18:47+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AXTI owns the whole supply chain, and a huge portion of laser grade inp", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefers AXTI over Sumitomo Electric: AXTI controls InP supply chain; Sumitomo exposed to price hikes and lacks direct exposure.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Sumitomo is subject to hikes in InP prices though if $GOOGL goes direct to $DOWA or others for feedstock. \n\n$AXTI owns the whole supply chain, and a huge portion of laser grade inp. But downside is obviously anuke from China exports. \n\nSumitomo Electric is huge though so you’re not exactly getting the most direct exposure.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Even though I'm not a fan of AXT, it will go up even more (already up 500% this year)\nBut I do like Sumitomo Electric", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "zephyr_z9", "ret_m1d": 0.053461255984486034, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.053461255984486034, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04988488291347637, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.048930919268866724, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003576373071009664, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00453033671561931, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0829335178541688, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0829335178541688, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08415461858875106, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08540460299076469, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012211007345822589, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0024710851365958852, "ret_p1w": 0.14256339286858166, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.14256339286858166, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14275237698110377, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10582633129221697, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0001889841125221059, "bench_c_p1w": 0.036737061576364693, "ret_p1m": 0.17888969040816738, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.17888969040816738, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1677826029700944, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.060716082998414356, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011107087438072982, "bench_c_p1m": 0.11817360740975302, "ret_p3m": 3.010280857410069, "ret_signed_p3m": 3.010280857410069, "alpha_spy_p3m": 3.069884257700485, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.9646203723246023, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.05960340029041622, "bench_c_p3m": 0.045660485085466496, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6635, -0.6779, -0.6484, -0.6299, -0.6361, -0.6361, -0.6415, -0.7238, -0.6847, -0.6868, -0.6854, -0.6621, -0.6909, -0.6635, -0.6456, -0.6614, -0.645, -0.5846, -0.5757, -0.5476, -0.5154, -0.4983, -0.4551, -0.4202, -0.4147, -0.3763, -0.392, -0.3516, -0.2844, -0.2762, -0.2474, -0.2844, -0.2844, -0.2975, -0.3215, -0.3071, -0.3523, -0.3879, -0.3598, -0.3674, -0.2838, -0.2838, -0.2666, -0.2605, -0.194, -0.2132, -0.1707, -0.2063, -0.1289, 0.0254, 0.0631, 0.1227, 0.0151, 0.0164, -0.109, -0.1528, -0.0398, 0.0041, 0.0432, 0.0034, 0.0288, 0.0288, 0.0535, 0.0, 0.0829, 0.1206, 0.1206, 0.1487, 0.1426, 0.3825, 0.6525, 0.7704, 0.5757, 0.5243, 0.4743, 0.5147, 0.7629, 0.5141, 0.5141, 0.4674, 0.3557, 0.2282, 0.1926, 0.22, 0.1789, 0.1535, 0.1227, 0.2707, 0.4352, 0.353, 0.2851, 0.4003, 0.6491, 0.9034, 0.669, 0.8369, 0.6991, 0.6614, 0.6614, 0.5908, 0.6134, 0.6319, 1.0343, 0.9486, 1.4044, 1.8081, 1.5442, 1.5977, 2.1748, 1.8622, 1.682, 1.6594, 1.2186, 1.6429, 2.0363, 2.2461, 2.2029, 2.3489, 2.3167, 2.0404, 2.342, 2.9815, 2.7176, 3.4167, 3.6909, 3.6162, 3.0103, 3.1556, 2.6141, 2.9054, 2.231, 2.6217, 2.6217, 1.878, 2.1158, 2.645, 3.3263, 3.3989, 3.5545, 3.6127, 3.3132, 4.6052, 4.6587, 4.3982, 4.1385, 4.9589, 4.159, 4.22, 3.8081, 3.7094, 3.8711, 4.4297, 5.5798, 6.2653, 6.3715, 6.1851, 6.4311, 6.9753, 7.623, 7.4236, 7.3578, 6.8807, 7.4839, 6.257, 6.7368, 6.17, 7.2947, 8.6525, 8.6525, 8.0884, 7.4147, 6.9301, 6.0706, 6.0706, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2005523875665444971", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-29T06:18:47+00:00", "symbol": "Sumitomo Electric", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Sumitomo is subject to hikes in InP prices though if $GOOGL goes direct to $DOWA or others for feedstock", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefers AXTI over Sumitomo Electric: AXTI controls InP supply chain; Sumitomo exposed to price hikes and lacks direct exposure.", "resolved_tickers": ["5802.T"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Sumitomo Electric Industries listed on TSE as 5802.T", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Parts'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Parts", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Sumitomo is subject to hikes in InP prices though if $GOOGL goes direct to $DOWA or others for feedstock. \n\n$AXTI owns the whole supply chain, and a huge portion of laser grade inp. But downside is obviously anuke from China exports. \n\nSumitomo Electric is huge though so you’re not exactly getting the most direct exposure.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Even though I'm not a fan of AXT, it will go up even more (already up 500% this year)\nBut I do like Sumitomo Electric", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "zephyr_z9", "ret_m1d": -0.012784080505079842, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.012784080505079842, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.016360453576089506, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02271380410904844, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003576373071009664, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009929723603968599, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0017361222038038138, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0017361222038038138, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0005150214692215549, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0023184580023474233, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012211007345822589, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004054580206151237, "ret_p1w": 0.05902776533231768, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05902776533231768, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05921674944483979, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06357885702183896, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0001889841125221059, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0045510916895212805, "ret_p1m": 0.05413505021983411, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05413505021983411, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04302796278176113, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03890956258818257, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011107087438072982, "bench_c_p1m": 0.015225487631651546, "ret_p3m": 0.5601325066188636, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.5601325066188636, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.6197359069092798, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.6577856058303851, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.05960340029041622, "bench_c_p3m": -0.09765309921152154, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3483, -0.3376, -0.3371, -0.312, -0.2953, -0.2846, -0.2693, -0.2842, -0.2842, -0.3168, -0.2997, -0.2828, -0.2964, -0.2776, -0.2844, -0.2907, -0.285, -0.2724, -0.2472, -0.2491, -0.2118, -0.1637, -0.1083, -0.1083, -0.0432, -0.0685, -0.0204, -0.0759, -0.0483, -0.0751, -0.0601, 0.0062, -0.0062, 0.0311, -0.0623, -0.0622, 0.0082, -0.1007, -0.1007, -0.0432, -0.045, -0.039, -0.0308, -0.0009, 0.0361, 0.0794, 0.0606, 0.0535, 0.0955, 0.122, 0.0947, 0.0529, 0.051, 0.0467, -0.0148, -0.0024, -0.0404, -0.0052, 0.0671, 0.0429, 0.0262, 0.0322, -0.0128, 0.0, -0.0017, -0.0017, -0.0017, -0.0017, 0.059, 0.0301, 0.0491, 0.0032, -0.0051, -0.0051, 0.0226, 0.0226, 0.06, 0.0777, 0.0653, 0.0412, 0.0559, 0.0589, 0.0614, 0.0333, 0.0541, 0.1064, 0.0827, 0.0612, 0.0739, 0.2082, 0.2363, 0.169, 0.19, 0.3205, 0.3775, 0.3775, 0.3842, 0.3562, 0.3657, 0.3654, 0.393, 0.471, 0.5385, 0.5385, 0.6398, 0.6911, 0.6162, 0.6375, 0.7148, 0.6296, 0.5696, 0.5743, 0.562, 0.4402, 0.5674, 0.6911, 0.6359, 0.6398, 0.602, 0.5033, 0.5791, 0.5701, 0.5701, 0.4542, 0.4997, 0.6114, 0.5601, 0.4962, 0.4362, 0.3373, 0.4791, 0.4528, 0.5, 0.5227, 0.4667, 0.6461, 0.6612, 0.6883, 0.584, 0.6078, 0.5241, 0.6181, 0.592, 0.592, 0.6437, 0.7075, 0.6285, 0.5982, 0.6054, 0.6261, 0.6261, 0.6261, 0.5798, 0.5798, 0.5798, 0.5798, 0.8104, 0.804, 0.7889, 0.8591, 1.0386, 0.9317, 0.7522, 0.816, 0.7298, 0.6796, 0.7123, 0.8862, 0.9572, 0.9054, 0.9173, 0.9078, 1.0083, 1.112, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1996626010092327115", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-04T17:01:50+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My thesis is that it's just a waiting game and the highest return comes from riding the wave up from the beginning", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long NBIS; early-stage buildout will drive net income ramp in ~1 year, highest returns come from holding from the start.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Currently $NBIS is using a lot of capex to do buildout for its hyperscalers on ai dcs and subsidiaries (eg. Avride) to compete with Waymo. \n\nFor forward earnings, management quoted 20-30% EBIT which the percentage of revenue that becomes operating profit after depreciation (but before tax). Current ebitda was 19% or so if I recall correctly.\n\nWe’ll see net income ramp up immensely in a year or so, this is just early stage (building/scaling year). Otherwise if it were doing $10B ARR today with those margins, we’d be trading at a $100b marketcap. \n\nMy thesis is that it’s just a waiting game and the highest return comes from riding the wave up from the beginning.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit hi @aleabitoreddit, I appreciate all your research on $NBIS. I am invested as well, I am nowhere near as smart as all you analysts on X and elsewhere. My humble question is what about the earnings? Although the revenues are high, the net income seem low. How does that work then.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "blu400codes", "ret_m1d": -0.037743237039195354, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.037743237039195354, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.037012714937874724, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03204326798802326, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0007305221013206298, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0056999690511720935, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04630352135139426, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04630352135139426, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.048203058194103754, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05787620789334924, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0018995368427094927, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01157268654195498, "ret_p1w": -0.08287941653242248, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08287941653242248, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08986372802094755, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09168845961150662, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0069843114885250746, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008809043079084145, "ret_p1m": -0.1250000556619234, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1250000556619234, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12616709723127684, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13785479425109315, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.001167041569353433, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012854738589169745, "ret_p3m": -0.15564201872585848, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15564201872585848, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.15264719202417698, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17768087339773553, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0029948267016814967, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02203885467187705, "ret_p6m": 1.2479570960862838, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.2479570960862838, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.136328655143323, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.242387434399348, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11162844094296087, "bench_c_p6m": 0.005569661686935845, "price_path": [-0.3768, -0.0689, -0.0915, -0.1324, -0.1205, -0.1152, -0.1301, -0.0848, -0.0844, -0.0339, 0.037, 0.0486, 0.1015, 0.05, 0.0477, 0.0722, 0.0921, 0.1246, 0.2244, 0.2449, 0.2154, 0.1449, 0.1868, 0.2903, 0.2605, 0.3177, 0.2466, 0.224, 0.1969, 0.1035, 0.0603, 0.0144, -0.0407, 0.0327, 0.1407, 0.2201, 0.1851, 0.2169, 0.208, 0.2726, 0.1719, 0.0753, 0.1381, 0.0646, 0.0825, 0.0696, -0.0056, -0.0821, -0.1378, -0.1874, -0.1636, -0.1193, -0.0752, -0.1767, -0.1901, -0.106, -0.1354, -0.0789, -0.0789, -0.0771, -0.0258, -0.0618, -0.0377, 0.0, -0.0463, -0.024, -0.0622, -0.0896, -0.0829, -0.147, -0.2107, -0.2125, -0.2661, -0.2404, -0.1298, -0.0931, -0.1242, -0.1135, -0.1135, -0.148, -0.163, -0.1715, -0.1857, -0.1857, -0.125, -0.097, -0.0249, -0.0641, -0.0535, -0.0474, 0.0441, 0.0256, -0.008, 0.0106, 0.0577, 0.0577, -0.0341, -0.0382, -0.0579, -0.0807, -0.1103, -0.048, -0.0231, -0.0768, -0.1713, -0.1424, -0.125, -0.1985, -0.2814, -0.1625, -0.0965, -0.1071, -0.138, -0.1271, -0.0466, -0.0466, -0.0514, -0.0097, 0.0468, -0.0475, -0.0213, -0.0021, 0.0323, 0.0202, -0.1129, -0.1147, -0.1556, -0.0488, -0.0696, -0.131, -0.0765, -0.062, 0.0894, 0.051, 0.0987, 0.2631, 0.1316, 0.1533, 0.1821, 0.1442, 0.1104, 0.1178, 0.1196, 0.0308, -0.0193, -0.1025, 0.0093, -0.0083, 0.0586, 0.0586, 0.0947, 0.142, 0.216, 0.3262, 0.4102, 0.5035, 0.5753, 0.6223, 0.6084, 0.5286, 0.5482, 0.5229, 0.5189, 0.528, 0.4315, 0.4101, 0.3182, 0.3734, 0.3446, 0.5028, 0.7161, 0.7113, 0.8978, 0.7974, 0.7223, 0.8103, 0.7423, 1.0162, 1.1513, 1.1395, 0.9442, 0.9234, 0.866, 1.1394, 1.0892, 1.0892, 1.0239, 1.0269, 1.2018, 1.248]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2003088229147533645", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-22T13:00:24+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LITE and $COHR are basically duopolies in photonics. With $LITE extra leveraged on Google TPU growth.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long LITE (Google TPU leverage), COHR (photonics duopoly), and AAOI (underappreciated MSFT/AMZN hyperscaler ASIC play).", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I only have $LITE and $AAOI lol. But how I'd frame it is $LITE and $COHR are basically duopolies in photonics. \n\nWith $LITE extra leveraged on Google TPU growth.\n\nThen there's $AAOI, extreme alpha + leverage call on $MSFT + $AMZN hyperscaler ASICs. \n\nNo action yet, no major runup (even down 12% this year despite being a photonics player) because there's no investor hype about Amazon Trainium or Microsoft Maia (yet).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit All three of your picks are on point - $LITE, $COHR, $AAOI", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "EccShibaInuInv", "ret_m1d": -0.04732228371797842, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04732228371797842, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04113096270264427, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04113096270264427, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006335285702701143, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006335285702701143, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010905740521134022, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010905740521134022, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "ret_p1w": -0.044295730263061106, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.044295730263061106, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04870550153834863, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04870550153834863, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "ret_p1m": -0.08476971862273575, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08476971862273575, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07418310393722505, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07418310393722505, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "ret_p3m": 0.9804298635804474, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.9804298635804474, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.016979113890733, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.016979113890733, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6082, -0.5919, -0.5877, -0.583, -0.5827, -0.5604, -0.5646, -0.5798, -0.5881, -0.5969, -0.5817, -0.5902, -0.6163, -0.5882, -0.5979, -0.5984, -0.5813, -0.5774, -0.5871, -0.5821, -0.5946, -0.5678, -0.5401, -0.5029, -0.4912, -0.4504, -0.4867, -0.483, -0.4881, -0.5169, -0.403, -0.3852, -0.3841, -0.3334, -0.3524, -0.349, -0.4181, -0.4046, -0.3791, -0.3654, -0.3102, -0.4018, -0.3444, -0.2322, -0.2529, -0.2093, -0.2093, -0.166, -0.1845, -0.2233, -0.2229, -0.1591, -0.15, -0.1214, -0.0758, -0.0612, -0.0456, -0.1681, -0.1416, -0.1891, -0.1786, -0.1353, -0.0473, 0.0, -0.0063, 0.0155, 0.0155, 0.0023, -0.0443, -0.048, -0.0546, -0.0546, -0.0097, -0.0842, 0.0193, 0.0077, -0.1068, -0.0986, -0.1283, -0.0732, -0.1494, -0.1195, -0.1683, -0.1683, -0.0848, -0.0704, -0.0908, -0.13, -0.1473, -0.0493, -0.0125, -0.0216, 0.005, 0.086, 0.116, 0.1941, 0.2938, 0.4158, 0.4803, 0.4392, 0.4725, 0.4965, 0.4434, 0.4434, 0.54, 0.5242, 0.6303, 0.7128, 0.7306, 0.7653, 0.8554, 0.7364, 0.7978, 1.009, 0.7811, 0.7462, 0.6693, 0.4323, 0.6433, 0.7236, 0.7236, 0.5802, 0.5966, 0.6026, 0.6661, 0.7975, 0.9804, 0.8117, 0.8697, 1.057, 0.9934, 0.7667, 0.8024, 0.6795, 0.8025, 0.9612, 1.1209, 1.1209, 0.9808, 1.0923, 1.2982, 1.2933, 1.3015, 1.2345, 1.1873, 1.1135, 1.2859, 1.2932, 1.2959, 1.1466, 1.2407, 1.1722, 1.2613, 1.205, 1.0298, 1.2015, 1.3144, 1.4365, 1.5038, 1.5509, 1.422, 1.2894, 1.3181, 1.7011, 1.5453, 1.6428, 1.5695, 1.4897, 1.2699, 1.283, 1.2265, 1.4738, 1.4287, 1.4287, 1.3361, 1.3143, 1.2074, 1.1929, 1.1929, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2003088229147533645", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-22T13:00:24+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LITE and $COHR are basically duopolies in photonics.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long LITE (Google TPU leverage), COHR (photonics duopoly), and AAOI (underappreciated MSFT/AMZN hyperscaler ASIC play).", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I only have $LITE and $AAOI lol. But how I'd frame it is $LITE and $COHR are basically duopolies in photonics. \n\nWith $LITE extra leveraged on Google TPU growth.\n\nThen there's $AAOI, extreme alpha + leverage call on $MSFT + $AMZN hyperscaler ASICs. \n\nNo action yet, no major runup (even down 12% this year despite being a photonics player) because there's no investor hype about Amazon Trainium or Microsoft Maia (yet).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit All three of your picks are on point - $LITE, $COHR, $AAOI", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "EccShibaInuInv", "ret_m1d": -0.026966143112871377, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.026966143112871377, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.020774822097537227, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.020774822097537227, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004660170748553849, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004660170748553849, "alpha_spy_p1d": 8.971593012097046e-05, "alpha_c_p1d": 8.971593012097046e-05, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "ret_p1w": -0.010262810236284281, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.010262810236284281, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.014672581511571803, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.014672581511571803, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "ret_p1m": 0.012985710764525482, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.012985710764525482, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02357232545003618, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02357232545003618, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "ret_p3m": 0.44292603146436194, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.44292603146436194, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4794752817746474, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4794752817746474, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4422, -0.442, -0.4398, -0.4347, -0.436, -0.3997, -0.4094, -0.4053, -0.399, -0.4054, -0.3891, -0.3594, -0.4183, -0.3972, -0.4273, -0.4219, -0.3928, -0.3908, -0.3706, -0.3675, -0.3959, -0.3637, -0.3228, -0.2932, -0.2971, -0.2771, -0.3051, -0.309, -0.3088, -0.3261, -0.2951, -0.1659, -0.191, -0.127, -0.1726, -0.1797, -0.2671, -0.2704, -0.2718, -0.2766, -0.2515, -0.2899, -0.2695, -0.2051, -0.2206, -0.1936, -0.1936, -0.1399, -0.1439, -0.1366, -0.1048, -0.0714, -0.0481, -0.0268, 0.0092, 0.0339, 0.0394, -0.0662, -0.0656, -0.0826, -0.1076, -0.08, -0.027, 0.0, 0.0047, 0.002, 0.002, 0.0039, -0.0103, -0.0218, -0.0336, -0.0336, 0.0175, -0.0242, 0.0164, 0.0034, -0.0934, -0.0677, -0.0304, -0.005, -0.036, 0.0261, 0.0003, 0.0003, 0.013, 0.0549, 0.0615, 0.0312, 0.0355, 0.1205, 0.1579, 0.1303, 0.111, 0.1647, 0.2, 0.1048, 0.0956, 0.1922, 0.2696, 0.1958, 0.1713, 0.1315, 0.1374, 0.1374, 0.1517, 0.1723, 0.2173, 0.2995, 0.3032, 0.3345, 0.4028, 0.3098, 0.3558, 0.5651, 0.4704, 0.4392, 0.3293, 0.2343, 0.3212, 0.3648, 0.3164, 0.2633, 0.2711, 0.2953, 0.287, 0.3468, 0.4429, 0.328, 0.3355, 0.426, 0.4244, 0.2739, 0.2749, 0.1501, 0.2473, 0.2975, 0.3518, 0.3518, 0.3259, 0.3357, 0.4755, 0.488, 0.6101, 0.6124, 0.6411, 0.6138, 0.7175, 0.8066, 0.8196, 0.8001, 0.8351, 0.7681, 0.7598, 0.6836, 0.5916, 0.5967, 0.674, 0.7253, 0.7274, 0.7579, 0.8047, 0.6713, 0.7555, 0.9881, 0.9584, 1.1139, 1.1203, 1.0026, 0.8998, 0.8517, 0.8772, 0.9793, 0.977, 0.977, 0.9968, 0.9907, 0.9738, 0.8927, 0.8927, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2003088229147533645", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-12-22T13:00:24+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI, extreme alpha + leverage call on $MSFT + $AMZN hyperscaler ASICs. No action yet, no major runup (even down 12% this year despite being a photonics player) because there's no investor hype about Amazon Trainium or Microsoft Maia (yet).", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long LITE (Google TPU leverage), COHR (photonics duopoly), and AAOI (underappreciated MSFT/AMZN hyperscaler ASIC play).", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I only have $LITE and $AAOI lol. But how I'd frame it is $LITE and $COHR are basically duopolies in photonics. \n\nWith $LITE extra leveraged on Google TPU growth.\n\nThen there's $AAOI, extreme alpha + leverage call on $MSFT + $AMZN hyperscaler ASICs. \n\nNo action yet, no major runup (even down 12% this year despite being a photonics player) because there's no investor hype about Amazon Trainium or Microsoft Maia (yet).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit All three of your picks are on point - $LITE, $COHR, $AAOI", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "EccShibaInuInv", "ret_m1d": -0.19887456920609026, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.19887456920609026, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1926832481907561, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1926832481907561, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03951907202210658, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03951907202210658, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.034948617203673704, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.034948617203673704, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "ret_p1w": -0.059982124248184165, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.059982124248184165, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06439189552347169, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06439189552347169, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "ret_p1m": 0.0042204142646937726, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0042204142646937726, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.01480702895020447, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01480702895020447, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "ret_p3m": 1.6069828619156716, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.6069828619156716, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.643532112225957, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.643532112225957, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3173, -0.3263, -0.3408, -0.3365, -0.3367, -0.2731, -0.2843, -0.2856, -0.1357, -0.1985, -0.1759, -0.172, -0.3055, -0.2557, -0.2715, -0.1572, -0.2035, -0.1835, -0.1267, -0.1457, -0.2333, -0.1968, -0.1301, -0.048, -0.0569, -0.0925, -0.103, -0.0904, -0.1549, -0.2454, -0.194, -0.2557, -0.2692, -0.3498, -0.3925, -0.3876, -0.4651, -0.451, -0.4467, -0.4657, -0.4662, -0.5015, -0.4736, -0.4252, -0.4186, -0.346, -0.346, -0.315, -0.3214, -0.3344, -0.3439, -0.3288, -0.3199, -0.2879, -0.2229, -0.1053, -0.071, -0.1799, -0.2352, -0.2592, -0.3058, -0.2518, -0.1989, 0.0, 0.0395, 0.0487, 0.0487, -0.0492, -0.06, -0.0787, -0.1083, -0.1083, 0.0129, -0.105, -0.0124, -0.0266, -0.1556, -0.1293, -0.1375, -0.1257, -0.1183, -0.0536, -0.0526, -0.0526, 0.0042, -0.0183, -0.0242, -0.0863, -0.1076, -0.0436, 0.1569, 0.0121, 0.1155, 0.1296, 0.1797, 0.0206, -0.0247, 0.1331, 0.2255, 0.2403, 0.238, 0.1252, 0.1372, 0.1372, 0.1232, 0.1111, 0.2017, 0.3219, 0.3802, 0.4393, 0.4866, 0.3733, 1.1545, 1.6221, 1.4387, 1.5505, 1.587, 1.4448, 1.8295, 2.082, 2.2488, 1.7162, 1.4763, 1.4062, 1.2082, 1.3694, 1.607, 1.2392, 1.4494, 1.9134, 1.9265, 1.4919, 1.5121, 1.1791, 1.1637, 1.2087, 1.6579, 1.6579, 1.7484, 2.0091, 2.3943, 2.4096, 2.8522, 2.9184, 2.7445, 2.6462, 3.024, 3.0778, 3.1814, 2.8514, 2.822, 2.523, 3.1481, 2.7289, 2.5109, 2.9092, 3.2041, 3.694, 3.4246, 3.6187, 3.5668, 3.0299, 2.8097, 3.7295, 3.816, 4.7066, 4.2071, 3.8692, 3.4318, 3.3824, 3.2271, 3.5226, 3.6423, 3.6423, 3.5433, 3.5998, 3.3233, 3.0519, 3.0519, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1968079550912532886", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-16T22:28:24+00:00", "symbol": "CRCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$CRCL is a great short if it ever trades above 1/2 of $COIN, since interest income is split 50-50", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short CRCL if it ever trades above half of Coinbase's market cap, given interest income is split 50-50.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We agree about irrational markets - but your reading comprehension is about as good as your TA.\n\nThe point you missed: TA is useless when it ignores float + fundamentals. If 1% of float drives MC and 99% unlocks later like $BULL, charts don’t matter.\n\nThe only valuation point I made was that $CRCL is a great short if it ever trades above 1/2 of $COIN, since interest income is split 50-50. I’m bullish on USDC but Circle at $200 today would be worth more than half of Coinbase.\n\nAnyway, drawing a TA while ignoring 10B+ in unlocks & revenue sharing and justifying it by saying \"markets  aren’t rational” is exactly how to lose your followers money.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit The markets are not a rationale place kid. $TSLA is worth a trillion dollars. Nvidia is worth more than the entire country of canada. Dogecoin was worth $88B a one point. Remember $GME? $RIVN sold ~1,000 trucks and was valued higher than $F and $GM combined at IPO. Uber loses", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "investingluc", "ret_m1d": -0.005637523333576255, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005637523333576255, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007016214290620826, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007877995919410297, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0013786909570445705, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0022404725858340413, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.027965316673359775, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.027965316673359775, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.026722881380811137, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.037674127312883776, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012424352925486382, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009708810639524001, "ret_p1w": -0.02848450713918016, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02848450713918016, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03613412956829887, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03552276959629053, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007649622429118708, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007038262457110367, "ret_p1m": -0.002447903249247152, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.002447903249247152, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.013075285508405199, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.000254430309082454, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010627382259158047, "bench_c_p1m": -0.002702333558329606, "ret_p3m": -0.3808322622035226, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3808322622035226, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.41666582325137613, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.41016180339495534, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03583356104785351, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029329541191432718, "ret_p6m": -0.16319264445085335, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.16319264445085335, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1938124911469099, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09630453726278154, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030619846696056552, "bench_c_p6m": -0.06688810718807181, "price_path": [0.4805, 0.7824, 0.9542, 0.6516, 0.4733, 0.5847, 0.3384, 0.3448, 0.4282, 0.3202, 0.4003, 0.4003, 0.5389, 0.5192, 0.4886, 0.5051, 0.3896, 0.5184, 0.4489, 0.7298, 0.7438, 0.66, 0.603, 0.471, 0.5014, 0.4322, 0.4306, 0.375, 0.3474, 0.4131, 0.3613, 0.2469, 0.2226, 0.1418, 0.1995, 0.1344, 0.1797, 0.1955, 0.2107, 0.1361, 0.0328, 0.1072, 0.0502, 0.0031, 0.0223, -0.0223, 0.0017, -0.071, -0.0427, -0.055, -0.0287, -0.021, -0.021, -0.1088, -0.1213, -0.1285, -0.1502, -0.1658, -0.1248, -0.1567, -0.0082, -0.0704, -0.0056, 0.0, -0.028, 0.0416, 0.0692, 0.021, -0.0285, -0.024, -0.0753, -0.058, -0.0085, -0.0165, -0.0429, 0.1106, 0.0814, 0.1016, 0.1032, 0.1161, 0.1162, -0.0139, 0.0197, -0.0026, -0.0024, -0.0471, -0.0617, -0.0297, -0.0368, -0.0743, -0.0367, 0.0537, 0.0629, 0.0096, -0.0228, -0.0898, -0.0581, -0.1257, -0.1748, -0.1616, -0.2581, -0.2349, -0.2278, -0.2708, -0.3598, -0.3892, -0.3926, -0.4319, -0.4318, -0.4828, -0.5035, -0.4709, -0.4604, -0.4799, -0.4612, -0.4612, -0.4071, -0.4367, -0.4256, -0.3599, -0.3512, -0.3649, -0.3772, -0.3407, -0.3442, -0.343, -0.3808, -0.4402, -0.3843, -0.4125, -0.3992, -0.3611, -0.3546, -0.3863, -0.387, -0.387, -0.3972, -0.4028, -0.4074, -0.4118, -0.4118, -0.3808, -0.371, -0.3706, -0.4022, -0.3933, -0.3851, -0.3851, -0.3809, -0.371, -0.4318, -0.4169, -0.4169, -0.4607, -0.4612, -0.4707, -0.4709, -0.4741, -0.481, -0.4597, -0.4989, -0.5258, -0.5634, -0.5834, -0.5916, -0.6274, -0.5769, -0.5542, -0.5568, -0.5708, -0.5799, -0.5546, -0.5546, -0.5429, -0.5316, -0.5407, -0.5325, -0.5463, -0.5448, -0.3833, -0.3531, -0.3811, -0.2868, -0.261, -0.2191, -0.2156, -0.244, -0.1704, -0.124, -0.1632]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1995192101261471838", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-30T18:04:00+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "That's kind of why I've said it has the highest asymmetrical upside of the bunch.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "NBIS highest asymmetrical upside of neocloud peers; IREN executing full-stack transition; CRWV stuck in debt trap with shaky backstop.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Hi great question. So there was an article by Mckinsey on this topic (which I think is terribly written since they use $CRWV as the main anchor). \n\nBut some points holds true, and gives warnings to $IREN and others. Their claims:\n\n- current bare-metal rental business model is weak and fragile\n- avoids overreliance on a few giant customers\n- carve defensible niches (sovereign compute, specialized workloads)\n- consolidate through acquisitions or be a hyperscaler\n\nAre definitely correct, but fail to capture some nuances.\n\nSo for $NBIS:\n\n- Extremely diversified (so this is more as a powerful moat for utilization, which is huge for margin calculations)\n- Full-stack (defensible niche)\n- consolidate through acquisitions (it's aiming to become a hyperscaler, has 4 subsidiary companies growing alongside it)\n\nThat's kind of why I've said it has the highest asymmetrical upside of the bunch. \n\nFor $IREN:\n\n- current bare-metal rental business is a moat as of today. The article is correct in stating long term it's fragile. That's why $IREN is moving up the full-stack ladder doing GPU iaas with $MSFT, and will likely try and build software layers on top (though it's hard)\n- We will see what comes out of this, it's high execution. \n\nFor $CRWV\n\n- idk how they're going to get out of the debt trap tbh\n- they're using $NVDA to backstop it, but it's shaky at best (eg. openai with $1t+ in capex trying to get gov + mag7 to backstop funding)\n\nNeoclouds are a race against time, I agree with the article (which is why I said 2 year high conviction hold, not 5 years + ). \n\nThey have this brilliant window of opportunity of weakness from mag7 -> funnel revenue down -> build long term differentiation and moats. \n\nI don't know what will happen, but we'll see", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit If both NBIS and IREN converge into fully-owned, fully-stacked infra + software, what becomes the real differentiator? Power? Capital? Customer mix?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LydiaLi712898", "ret_m1d": -0.052720905630066484, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.052720905630066484, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05730735049238922, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.057422753442149754, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004701847812083271, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.036944628270231594, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.036944628270231594, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.038796927944310666, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04025331122801734, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003308682957785747, "ret_p1w": 0.0017973070637373745, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0017973070637373745, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.003141948190520605, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01047963228719273, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012276939350930105, "ret_p1m": -0.1495756677853144, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1495756677853144, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16246777457768147, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.18286213217720948, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03328646439189509, "ret_p3m": 0.047229112885403435, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.047229112885403435, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.030960854270874583, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.027656878277190877, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "bench_c_p3m": 0.019572234608212558, "ret_p6m": 1.0774837183085886, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.0774837183085886, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.9678303387279186, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.0649106695834534, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "bench_c_p6m": 0.012573048725135205, "price_path": [-0.3445, -0.3519, -0.3463, -0.3604, -0.0442, -0.0675, -0.1094, -0.0973, -0.0918, -0.107, -0.0606, -0.0602, -0.0084, 0.0644, 0.0764, 0.1306, 0.0778, 0.0754, 0.1005, 0.121, 0.1544, 0.2568, 0.2779, 0.2475, 0.1752, 0.2182, 0.3244, 0.2939, 0.3526, 0.2796, 0.2564, 0.2286, 0.1327, 0.0884, 0.0412, -0.0153, 0.06, 0.1708, 0.2524, 0.2165, 0.2491, 0.2399, 0.3062, 0.2029, 0.1037, 0.1682, 0.0928, 0.1111, 0.0979, 0.0207, -0.0578, -0.115, -0.1659, -0.1415, -0.096, -0.0507, -0.1549, -0.1686, -0.0824, -0.1125, -0.0545, -0.0545, -0.0527, 0.0, -0.0369, -0.0123, 0.0265, -0.0211, 0.0018, -0.0373, -0.0655, -0.0586, -0.1244, -0.1898, -0.1917, -0.2466, -0.2203, -0.1067, -0.0691, -0.101, -0.0901, -0.0901, -0.1254, -0.1409, -0.1496, -0.1642, -0.1642, -0.1018, -0.0731, 0.0009, -0.0393, -0.0285, -0.0222, 0.0717, 0.0527, 0.0183, 0.0373, 0.0857, 0.0857, -0.0086, -0.0128, -0.033, -0.0564, -0.0868, -0.0228, 0.0028, -0.0523, -0.1494, -0.1197, -0.1018, -0.1773, -0.2624, -0.1403, -0.0726, -0.0835, -0.1152, -0.104, -0.0214, -0.0214, -0.0263, 0.0165, 0.0745, -0.0223, 0.0046, 0.0243, 0.0596, 0.0472, -0.0895, -0.0913, -0.1333, -0.0237, -0.0449, -0.108, -0.052, -0.0371, 0.1183, 0.0788, 0.1278, 0.2966, 0.1616, 0.1838, 0.2134, 0.1744, 0.1398, 0.1474, 0.1492, 0.0581, 0.0067, -0.0788, 0.036, 0.018, 0.0866, 0.0866, 0.1237, 0.1722, 0.2481, 0.3613, 0.4475, 0.5433, 0.617, 0.6652, 0.6509, 0.569, 0.5892, 0.5632, 0.5591, 0.5684, 0.4694, 0.4474, 0.3531, 0.4098, 0.3802, 0.5426, 0.7616, 0.7566, 0.948, 0.8449, 0.7678, 0.8582, 0.7884, 1.0696, 1.2082, 1.1961, 0.9956, 0.9743, 0.9153, 1.196, 1.1445, 1.1445, 1.0775]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1995192101261471838", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-30T18:04:00+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$IREN is moving up the full-stack ladder doing GPU iaas with $MSFT, and will likely try and build software layers on top", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "NBIS highest asymmetrical upside of neocloud peers; IREN executing full-stack transition; CRWV stuck in debt trap with shaky backstop.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Hi great question. So there was an article by Mckinsey on this topic (which I think is terribly written since they use $CRWV as the main anchor). \n\nBut some points holds true, and gives warnings to $IREN and others. Their claims:\n\n- current bare-metal rental business model is weak and fragile\n- avoids overreliance on a few giant customers\n- carve defensible niches (sovereign compute, specialized workloads)\n- consolidate through acquisitions or be a hyperscaler\n\nAre definitely correct, but fail to capture some nuances.\n\nSo for $NBIS:\n\n- Extremely diversified (so this is more as a powerful moat for utilization, which is huge for margin calculations)\n- Full-stack (defensible niche)\n- consolidate through acquisitions (it's aiming to become a hyperscaler, has 4 subsidiary companies growing alongside it)\n\nThat's kind of why I've said it has the highest asymmetrical upside of the bunch. \n\nFor $IREN:\n\n- current bare-metal rental business is a moat as of today. The article is correct in stating long term it's fragile. That's why $IREN is moving up the full-stack ladder doing GPU iaas with $MSFT, and will likely try and build software layers on top (though it's hard)\n- We will see what comes out of this, it's high execution. \n\nFor $CRWV\n\n- idk how they're going to get out of the debt trap tbh\n- they're using $NVDA to backstop it, but it's shaky at best (eg. openai with $1t+ in capex trying to get gov + mag7 to backstop funding)\n\nNeoclouds are a race against time, I agree with the article (which is why I said 2 year high conviction hold, not 5 years + ). \n\nThey have this brilliant window of opportunity of weakness from mag7 -> funnel revenue down -> build long term differentiation and moats. \n\nI don't know what will happen, but we'll see", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit If both NBIS and IREN converge into fully-owned, fully-stacked infra + software, what becomes the real differentiator? Power? Capital? Customer mix?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LydiaLi712898", "ret_m1d": -0.014023515810224318, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014023515810224318, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.018609960672547055, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.022342682441486406, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008319166631262087, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.15199015243290592, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.15199015243290592, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.153842452106985, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.15104477605452604, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0009453763783798808, "ret_p1w": -0.04433906891023409, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04433906891023409, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04927832416449207, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0554942919273953, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011155223017161209, "ret_p1m": -0.21014646501716616, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.21014646501716616, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.22303857180953324, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2570902403302643, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "bench_c_p1m": 0.046943775313098124, "ret_p3m": -0.08764693447901695, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08764693447901695, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1039151930935458, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08374241000006155, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0039045244789553957, "ret_p6m": 0.23283144380346932, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.23283144380346932, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.12317806422279931, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.24401169255931177, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "bench_c_p6m": -0.011180248755842448, "price_path": [-0.4182, -0.4611, -0.4607, -0.4599, -0.3774, -0.3065, -0.3225, -0.2996, -0.2341, -0.2483, -0.2184, -0.251, -0.2031, -0.1359, -0.1386, -0.0278, -0.0454, -0.1367, -0.0528, -0.0322, -0.0291, -0.0303, 0.0406, 0.191, 0.272, 0.2392, 0.3168, 0.2326, 0.3227, 0.4345, 0.4019, 0.2751, 0.2522, 0.2213, 0.1383, 0.0689, 0.152, 0.2972, 0.3403, 0.2873, 0.246, 0.2007, 0.2528, 0.3972, 0.3741, 0.5758, 0.3809, 0.2865, 0.2409, 0.1833, 0.1487, 0.0033, -0.0437, -0.0223, 0.0074, -0.0549, -0.1035, -0.1285, 0.0, -0.021, -0.0008, -0.0008, -0.014, 0.0, -0.152, -0.0934, -0.0421, -0.078, -0.0443, -0.034, -0.0942, -0.0938, -0.1724, -0.2683, -0.2454, -0.3034, -0.2617, -0.1767, -0.133, -0.1324, -0.1343, -0.1343, -0.1689, -0.1873, -0.2101, -0.2211, -0.2211, -0.1194, -0.0052, -0.0532, -0.1003, -0.058, -0.0507, 0.0379, 0.0928, 0.0905, 0.0701, 0.1924, 0.1924, 0.119, 0.1029, 0.0777, 0.1689, 0.0798, 0.2372, 0.298, 0.2341, 0.1083, 0.0947, 0.1217, -0.0732, -0.1794, -0.1373, -0.0483, -0.1147, -0.12, -0.1745, -0.1293, -0.1293, -0.1551, -0.1322, -0.1072, -0.1755, -0.1264, -0.0627, -0.092, -0.0876, -0.1555, -0.1464, -0.1988, -0.0959, -0.1725, -0.2431, -0.199, -0.2139, -0.1343, -0.1468, -0.1425, -0.0732, -0.114, -0.1295, -0.1409, -0.1485, -0.1305, -0.152, -0.1456, -0.2277, -0.2763, -0.3479, -0.2931, -0.297, -0.2829, -0.2829, -0.2755, -0.2629, -0.2405, -0.2357, -0.1891, -0.1118, -0.0231, 0.0068, -0.0163, -0.0076, 0.0047, -0.0685, -0.0021, 0.0728, 0.0443, -0.0027, -0.0835, -0.1161, -0.0615, -0.0584, 0.0204, 0.1289, 0.2576, 0.1724, 0.2621, 0.1373, 0.1664, 0.1378, 0.2044, 0.0918, 0.0406, -0.0155, 0.087, 0.1974, 0.172, 0.172, 0.2328]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1995192101261471838", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-11-30T18:04:00+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "idk how they're going to get out of the debt trap tbh", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "NBIS highest asymmetrical upside of neocloud peers; IREN executing full-stack transition; CRWV stuck in debt trap with shaky backstop.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Hi great question. So there was an article by Mckinsey on this topic (which I think is terribly written since they use $CRWV as the main anchor). \n\nBut some points holds true, and gives warnings to $IREN and others. Their claims:\n\n- current bare-metal rental business model is weak and fragile\n- avoids overreliance on a few giant customers\n- carve defensible niches (sovereign compute, specialized workloads)\n- consolidate through acquisitions or be a hyperscaler\n\nAre definitely correct, but fail to capture some nuances.\n\nSo for $NBIS:\n\n- Extremely diversified (so this is more as a powerful moat for utilization, which is huge for margin calculations)\n- Full-stack (defensible niche)\n- consolidate through acquisitions (it's aiming to become a hyperscaler, has 4 subsidiary companies growing alongside it)\n\nThat's kind of why I've said it has the highest asymmetrical upside of the bunch. \n\nFor $IREN:\n\n- current bare-metal rental business is a moat as of today. The article is correct in stating long term it's fragile. That's why $IREN is moving up the full-stack ladder doing GPU iaas with $MSFT, and will likely try and build software layers on top (though it's hard)\n- We will see what comes out of this, it's high execution. \n\nFor $CRWV\n\n- idk how they're going to get out of the debt trap tbh\n- they're using $NVDA to backstop it, but it's shaky at best (eg. openai with $1t+ in capex trying to get gov + mag7 to backstop funding)\n\nNeoclouds are a race against time, I agree with the article (which is why I said 2 year high conviction hold, not 5 years + ). \n\nThey have this brilliant window of opportunity of weakness from mag7 -> funnel revenue down -> build long term differentiation and moats. \n\nI don't know what will happen, but we'll see", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit If both NBIS and IREN converge into fully-owned, fully-stacked infra + software, what becomes the real differentiator? Power? Capital? Customer mix?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LydiaLi712898", "ret_m1d": -0.051128924692943056, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.051128924692943056, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05571536955526579, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05571536955526579, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.013366192732016335, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013366192732016335, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.015218492406095407, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015218492406095407, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "ret_p1w": 0.11912795997943837, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11912795997943837, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11418870472518039, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11418870472518039, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "ret_p1m": -0.04100695734271331, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04100695734271331, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05389906413508039, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05389906413508039, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "ret_p3m": 0.26693486045316184, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.26693486045316184, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.250666601838633, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.250666601838633, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "ret_p6m": 0.3741240947890423, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3741240947890423, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2644707152083723, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2644707152083723, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "price_path": [0.1664, 0.1352, 0.1561, 0.214, 0.3005, 0.5201, 0.4624, 0.4529, 0.5633, 0.541, 0.5684, 0.5753, 0.6203, 0.7289, 0.6985, 0.7311, 0.6437, 0.5616, 0.5899, 0.7759, 0.7785, 0.7908, 0.7492, 0.737, 0.6718, 0.8165, 0.8567, 0.7964, 0.8378, 0.7397, 0.8069, 0.8393, 0.7761, 0.6488, 0.6229, 0.5771, 0.6006, 0.7201, 0.7656, 0.7493, 0.8159, 0.7008, 0.7351, 0.6392, 0.5021, 0.4848, 0.3876, 0.3497, 0.3705, 0.147, 0.1086, 0.0166, 0.0039, -0.0224, -0.028, -0.0278, -0.1019, -0.0702, -0.0449, -0.0749, -0.0359, -0.0359, -0.0511, 0.0, -0.0134, 0.0298, 0.1128, 0.1459, 0.1191, 0.1765, 0.144, 0.1339, 0.0199, -0.0611, -0.0981, -0.1623, -0.1217, 0.0771, 0.1008, 0.0415, 0.0235, 0.0235, -0.0083, -0.0278, -0.041, -0.0707, -0.0707, 0.0293, -0.0026, 0.0114, 0.0016, 0.0004, 0.04, 0.167, 0.1352, 0.1653, 0.2329, 0.3137, 0.3137, 0.2357, 0.2205, 0.1911, 0.2066, 0.2758, 0.4127, 0.3758, 0.2916, 0.2093, 0.1542, 0.1687, 0.0701, -0.0313, 0.1673, 0.256, 0.2342, 0.2348, 0.2419, 0.2463, 0.2463, 0.1809, 0.2386, 0.2606, 0.1582, 0.1788, 0.2886, 0.2719, 0.2669, 0.0324, 0.0128, -0.0426, 0.0317, -0.0291, -0.0528, -0.0344, -0.0278, 0.0636, 0.0363, 0.0526, 0.1142, 0.0657, 0.0747, 0.0467, 0.0572, 0.0636, 0.0773, 0.1365, 0.044, -0.0292, -0.1026, 0.0053, 0.0179, 0.0672, 0.0672, 0.0504, 0.1062, 0.1536, 0.1939, 0.3236, 0.431, 0.5209, 0.5402, 0.5515, 0.5164, 0.5239, 0.4944, 0.5902, 0.5237, 0.4293, 0.4542, 0.3695, 0.4818, 0.4482, 0.5444, 0.6277, 0.6596, 0.7906, 0.6719, 0.4813, 0.4885, 0.3983, 0.4445, 0.4822, 0.3924, 0.3466, 0.2952, 0.3143, 0.3961, 0.3689, 0.3689, 0.3741]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1985877313599521259", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-05T01:10:22+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Use this time to accumulate.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS on ~$5B ARR forward revenue from MSFT contracted capacity + AI HPC; dip is accumulation opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Like the other comments said $NBIS is just high beta and is moving with the markets.\n\nIt's backed by extreme forward revenue growth ~$5B ARR if it doesn't grow and we fast forward a year with the $MSFT contracted capacity and existing AI HPC revenue.\n\nUse this time to accumulate.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Why do you think $NBIS has been dying over the last few days?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Docofgothm", "ret_m1d": -0.055213667388655185, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.055213667388655185, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05176024564207227, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04983538694087741, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0034534217465829187, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005378280447777772, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0646153637486645, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0646153637486645, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0538860305359985, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05562218126056173, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010729333212666003, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008993182488102769, "ret_p1w": -0.19350426828759348, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.19350426828759348, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.20206421741890213, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1945622817920919, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008559949131308642, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0010580135044984118, "ret_p1m": -0.12136749528412127, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12136749528412127, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13141793910330613, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1422632619979658, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010050443819184851, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02089576671384452, "ret_p3m": -0.2464956951956464, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2464956951956464, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.27584257805243906, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.30501633938965844, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029346882856792655, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05852064419401204, "ret_p6m": 0.18145295493623137, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.18145295493623137, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1147862701513529, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.14759483029563314, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06666668478487847, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03385812464059823, "price_path": [-0.4121, -0.3997, -0.3562, -0.3963, -0.4149, -0.3879, -0.38, -0.4257, -0.4233, -0.4344, -0.4104, -0.4015, -0.3976, -0.4009, -0.3843, -0.4161, -0.4161, -0.4383, -0.4389, -0.4452, -0.4404, -0.4525, -0.1819, -0.2018, -0.2377, -0.2273, -0.2226, -0.2356, -0.1959, -0.1956, -0.1512, -0.0889, -0.0786, -0.0322, -0.0774, -0.0795, -0.0579, -0.0404, -0.0119, 0.0758, 0.0938, 0.0679, 0.006, 0.0427, 0.1337, 0.1075, 0.1578, 0.0953, 0.0755, 0.0516, -0.0304, -0.0684, -0.1087, -0.1571, -0.0926, 0.0022, 0.0721, 0.0413, 0.0692, 0.0614, 0.1181, 0.0297, -0.0552, 0.0, -0.0646, -0.0489, -0.0603, -0.1263, -0.1935, -0.2425, -0.286, -0.2651, -0.2262, -0.1874, -0.2766, -0.2884, -0.2145, -0.2403, -0.1907, -0.1907, -0.1891, -0.144, -0.1756, -0.1545, -0.1214, -0.1621, -0.1425, -0.176, -0.2001, -0.1942, -0.2505, -0.3065, -0.3081, -0.3551, -0.3326, -0.2354, -0.2032, -0.2305, -0.2211, -0.2211, -0.2514, -0.2646, -0.2721, -0.2846, -0.2846, -0.2312, -0.2066, -0.1432, -0.1777, -0.1684, -0.163, -0.0826, -0.0989, -0.1284, -0.1121, -0.0707, -0.0707, -0.1514, -0.155, -0.1722, -0.1923, -0.2183, -0.1635, -0.1416, -0.1888, -0.2719, -0.2465, -0.2312, -0.2958, -0.3686, -0.2641, -0.2062, -0.2155, -0.2426, -0.2331, -0.1623, -0.1623, -0.1665, -0.1299, -0.0803, -0.1631, -0.1401, -0.1232, -0.093, -0.1036, -0.2206, -0.2221, -0.2581, -0.1643, -0.1825, -0.2365, -0.1885, -0.1758, -0.0428, -0.0766, -0.0346, 0.1098, -0.0057, 0.0133, 0.0386, 0.0053, -0.0244, -0.0179, -0.0163, -0.0943, -0.1383, -0.2115, -0.1132, -0.1286, -0.0699, -0.0699, -0.0381, 0.0034, 0.0684, 0.1652, 0.2391, 0.321, 0.3841, 0.4254, 0.4132, 0.3431, 0.3603, 0.338, 0.3345, 0.3426, 0.2578, 0.239, 0.1582, 0.2068, 0.1815]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2009411116724896223", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-08T23:45:17+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this is levered to the AI buildout that hit the copper wall and is shifting to photonics with newer interconnects and ASIC architectures. InP substrates is a critical material required for the AI buildout with photonics", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AXTI as a critical InP substrate supplier levered to AI photonics buildout as hyperscalers shift from copper to photonic interconnects.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Sure, I’m not here to convince you I’m just posting my own thesis about $AXTI.\n\nThe nuance I’ll point out is that this is levered to the AI buildout that hit the copper wall and is shifting to photonics with newer interconnects and ASIC architectures.\n\nOnly later on in 2025 did hyperscalers really start securing EML capacity.\n\nInP substrates is a critical material required for the AI buildout with photonics, not previous copper generations or former architectures.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I think it shows that if this company were as invaluable to the process as you claim, they’d have significantly better revenues given we’ve been seeing semi production absolutely ramping for years now. Pass for me", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Buncahn", "ret_m1d": -0.06658921093437264, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06658921093437264, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06669075392629065, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08252666898558814, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0001015429919180022, "bench_c_m1d": 0.015937458051215492, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.10994967715742876, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.10994967715742876, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.11656301955152137, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.1369695461149617, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006613342394092614, "bench_c_p1d": 0.027019868957532944, "ret_p1w": -0.004258637656851416, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.004258637656851416, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.00821792672809174, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05025048991950287, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003959289071240324, "bench_c_p1w": 0.045991852262651456, "ret_p1m": -0.06852498888856806, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06852498888856806, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07013476485135361, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1283434021372133, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0016097759627855535, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05981841324864523, "ret_p3m": 0.7599689980157815, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7599689980157815, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.8012877645453652, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.7047682425571753, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04131876652958366, "bench_c_p3m": 0.055200755458606254, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.8219, -0.8231, -0.8223, -0.8091, -0.8254, -0.8099, -0.7998, -0.8087, -0.7995, -0.7654, -0.7604, -0.7445, -0.7263, -0.7166, -0.6922, -0.6725, -0.6694, -0.6477, -0.6566, -0.6338, -0.5958, -0.5912, -0.5749, -0.5958, -0.5958, -0.6032, -0.6167, -0.6086, -0.6341, -0.6543, -0.6384, -0.6427, -0.5954, -0.5954, -0.5858, -0.5823, -0.5447, -0.5556, -0.5316, -0.5517, -0.5079, -0.4208, -0.3995, -0.3659, -0.4266, -0.4259, -0.4967, -0.5215, -0.4576, -0.4328, -0.4108, -0.4332, -0.4189, -0.4189, -0.405, -0.4352, -0.3883, -0.367, -0.367, -0.3511, -0.3546, -0.2191, -0.0666, 0.0, -0.1099, -0.139, -0.1672, -0.1444, -0.0043, -0.1448, -0.1448, -0.1711, -0.2342, -0.3062, -0.3264, -0.3109, -0.3341, -0.3484, -0.3659, -0.2822, -0.1893, -0.2358, -0.2741, -0.2091, -0.0685, 0.0751, -0.0573, 0.0376, -0.0403, -0.0616, -0.0616, -0.1014, -0.0887, -0.0782, 0.1491, 0.1007, 0.3581, 0.5861, 0.4371, 0.4673, 0.7933, 0.6167, 0.5149, 0.5021, 0.2532, 0.4928, 0.7151, 0.8335, 0.8091, 0.8916, 0.8734, 0.7174, 0.8877, 1.2489, 1.0999, 1.4948, 1.6496, 1.6074, 1.2652, 1.3473, 1.0414, 1.206, 0.825, 1.0457, 1.0457, 0.6256, 0.76, 1.0588, 1.4437, 1.4847, 1.5726, 1.6055, 1.4363, 2.1661, 2.1963, 2.0492, 1.9024, 2.3659, 1.9141, 1.9485, 1.7158, 1.6601, 1.7515, 2.067, 2.7166, 3.1038, 3.1638, 3.0585, 3.1974, 3.5048, 3.8707, 3.758, 3.7209, 3.4514, 3.7921, 3.0991, 3.3701, 3.0499, 3.6852, 4.4522, 4.4522, 4.1336, 3.753, 3.4793, 2.9938, 2.9938, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1971448905490628987", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-26T05:37:01+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "would probably just buy another $300k worth of NBIS at these levels", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Strongly prefers NBIS, would buy $300k more; also sees CIFR drop as overreaction and a buy despite near-term dilution pressure.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "As promised to a follower, looked into $CIFR more. Good buy on the 17.54% drop. It's  ikely an overreaction due to the fact they had 1,414 BTC (-6.32%) on the balance sheet on top of macro. \n\n$3B deal was over 10y, compared to $NBIS $17B for 5 years. 1B+ dilution news just now (1h ago), 0% interest (unlike $CRWV 9%) is really positive. It's at 38%+ above current market rate at $16.06.\n\nThis is how you do dilution. \n\nVery low debt on balance sheet too, there's probably going to be more dilution too but should rise afterward. There's likely going to be short term pressure approaching that number but risk-return shares only is good. \n\nAs of now I'd prefer NBIS > CIFR though and would probably just buy another $300k worth of NBIS at these levels, I'll probably buy a tiny bit but still a solid company.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "So daily thoughts on Sept 25th + market drop if you like my insights: \n\n1. 3x rate cut went from 65% to 56% from data today. This is a lot more material, since people are front-running rate cuts now. \n\nEither way, any rate cut usually lead to large inflows so it's generally", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.002228463323721286, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.002228463323721286, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007924971572570216, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011875573732601619, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0056965082488489305, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009647110408880333, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02339836902383552, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02339836902383552, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.020588002582695664, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.020182578916097205, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028103664411398555, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0032157901077383144, "ret_p1w": 0.18830090049526604, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.18830090049526604, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.17713474635574222, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.20336391087767414, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01116615413952382, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015063010382408093, "ret_p1m": 0.1646239912657952, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1646239912657952, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1292368023297037, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1731709492739053, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035387188936091496, "bench_c_p1m": -0.008546958008110117, "ret_p3m": -0.1538532977191014, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1538532977191014, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20008934883751617, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15641150455970876, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04623605111841478, "bench_c_p3m": 0.002558206840607369, "ret_p6m": 0.05988862358776492, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.05988862358776492, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06398086437572481, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09995188413772027, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.004092240787959889, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04006326054995535, "price_path": [-0.5329, -0.536, -0.5334, -0.5334, -0.5558, -0.5627, -0.5724, -0.5689, -0.5887, -0.5176, -0.503, -0.505, -0.5015, -0.5098, -0.5137, -0.5264, -0.5183, -0.5157, -0.523, -0.5102, -0.532, -0.5238, -0.4946, -0.5172, -0.497, -0.4877, -0.4885, -0.3936, -0.3614, -0.3478, -0.3006, -0.3442, -0.3643, -0.335, -0.3265, -0.3761, -0.3735, -0.3855, -0.3595, -0.3499, -0.3456, -0.3491, -0.3311, -0.3656, -0.3656, -0.3898, -0.3904, -0.3973, -0.3921, -0.4052, -0.1112, -0.1329, -0.1719, -0.1605, -0.1554, -0.1696, -0.1265, -0.1261, -0.0779, -0.0102, 0.0009, 0.0513, 0.0022, 0.0, 0.0234, 0.0424, 0.0734, 0.1687, 0.1883, 0.1601, 0.0929, 0.1328, 0.2316, 0.2032, 0.2578, 0.1899, 0.1683, 0.1424, 0.0533, 0.0121, -0.0318, -0.0843, -0.0143, 0.0888, 0.1646, 0.1312, 0.1616, 0.153, 0.2147, 0.1186, 0.0264, 0.0864, 0.0162, 0.0332, 0.0209, -0.0509, -0.1239, -0.1771, -0.2243, -0.2017, -0.1593, -0.1173, -0.2141, -0.2269, -0.1467, -0.1747, -0.1208, -0.1208, -0.1191, -0.0701, -0.1045, -0.0815, -0.0455, -0.0897, -0.0684, -0.1048, -0.131, -0.1246, -0.1858, -0.2466, -0.2484, -0.2994, -0.2749, -0.1694, -0.1344, -0.1641, -0.1539, -0.1539, -0.1867, -0.2011, -0.2092, -0.2228, -0.2228, -0.1648, -0.1381, -0.0693, -0.1067, -0.0966, -0.0907, -0.0034, -0.0211, -0.0531, -0.0354, 0.0096, 0.0096, -0.0781, -0.082, -0.1007, -0.1226, -0.1508, -0.0913, -0.0675, -0.1188, -0.209, -0.1814, -0.1648, -0.235, -0.3141, -0.2006, -0.1376, -0.1477, -0.1773, -0.1669, -0.09, -0.09, -0.0945, -0.0548, -0.0008, -0.0908, -0.0658, -0.0475, -0.0147, -0.0262, -0.1533, -0.155, -0.1941, -0.0921, -0.1119, -0.1706, -0.1185, -0.1046, 0.0399, 0.0032, 0.0487, 0.2057, 0.0801, 0.1008, 0.1283, 0.0921, 0.0599]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1971448905490628987", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-26T05:37:01+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Good buy on the 17.54% drop. It's likely an overreaction", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Strongly prefers NBIS, would buy $300k more; also sees CIFR drop as overreaction and a buy despite near-term dilution pressure.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "As promised to a follower, looked into $CIFR more. Good buy on the 17.54% drop. It's  ikely an overreaction due to the fact they had 1,414 BTC (-6.32%) on the balance sheet on top of macro. \n\n$3B deal was over 10y, compared to $NBIS $17B for 5 years. 1B+ dilution news just now (1h ago), 0% interest (unlike $CRWV 9%) is really positive. It's at 38%+ above current market rate at $16.06.\n\nThis is how you do dilution. \n\nVery low debt on balance sheet too, there's probably going to be more dilution too but should rise afterward. There's likely going to be short term pressure approaching that number but risk-return shares only is good. \n\nAs of now I'd prefer NBIS > CIFR though and would probably just buy another $300k worth of NBIS at these levels, I'll probably buy a tiny bit but still a solid company.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "So daily thoughts on Sept 25th + market drop if you like my insights: \n\n1. 3x rate cut went from 65% to 56% from data today. This is a lot more material, since people are front-running rate cuts now. \n\nEither way, any rate cut usually lead to large inflows so it's generally", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01656491507933655, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01656491507933655, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02226142332818548, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01957736193158255, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0056965082488489305, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003012446852245998, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1028770116852955, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1028770116852955, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10006664524415565, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09753353743162485, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028103664411398555, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005343474253670655, "ret_p1w": 0.2816041383644212, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2816041383644212, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2704379842248974, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.26051679090459356, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01116615413952382, "bench_c_p1w": 0.021087347459827654, "ret_p1m": 0.7907585385652331, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.7907585385652331, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.7553713496291417, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.7184589361349065, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035387188936091496, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07229960243032663, "ret_p3m": 0.4141237084344136, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4141237084344136, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3678876573159988, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3631847236253811, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04623605111841478, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05093898480903247, "ret_p6m": 0.29816913658885746, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.29816913658885746, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.30226137737681735, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3131723269356823, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.004092240787959889, "bench_c_p6m": -0.015003190346824846, "price_path": [-0.5728, -0.5048, -0.4725, -0.4725, -0.4952, -0.4743, -0.4542, -0.456, -0.4882, -0.4743, -0.4795, -0.4534, -0.4403, -0.4455, -0.4551, -0.3949, -0.4176, -0.4202, -0.4359, -0.4629, -0.5048, -0.5248, -0.524, -0.5702, -0.5475, -0.5632, -0.5458, -0.5754, -0.5859, -0.585, -0.5885, -0.5728, -0.5362, -0.5458, -0.4725, -0.4978, -0.4813, -0.4856, -0.4438, -0.4211, -0.3793, -0.3906, -0.388, -0.3339, -0.3339, -0.2746, -0.2929, -0.3548, -0.3444, -0.3269, -0.1962, -0.1064, -0.1308, -0.0541, -0.0541, 0.0035, 0.0793, 0.0331, 0.0706, 0.2171, 0.2337, 0.2328, 0.0166, 0.0, 0.1029, 0.0976, 0.0985, 0.204, 0.2816, 0.3374, 0.3731, 0.5344, 0.5684, 0.4795, 0.7733, 0.8213, 0.8335, 0.6321, 0.6356, 0.7358, 0.5759, 0.4045, 0.5044, 0.8012, 0.7908, 0.7402, 0.7079, 0.6626, 0.626, 0.9843, 0.9625, 1.1543, 0.8928, 0.8038, 0.7132, 0.6277, 0.5153, 0.3017, 0.252, 0.2511, 0.2711, 0.2746, 0.2694, 0.2337, 0.4568, 0.5275, 0.6696, 0.6696, 0.7742, 0.7167, 0.5379, 0.6242, 0.7289, 0.6809, 0.6983, 0.7053, 0.6112, 0.646, 0.4865, 0.2851, 0.3069, 0.2546, 0.3208, 0.4133, 0.4246, 0.3871, 0.4141, 0.4141, 0.3243, 0.3147, 0.272, 0.2868, 0.2868, 0.4124, 0.5833, 0.5292, 0.4019, 0.4429, 0.4499, 0.5414, 0.5911, 0.5806, 0.5275, 0.6391, 0.6391, 0.5623, 0.5449, 0.5161, 0.5318, 0.4377, 0.6347, 0.6539, 0.5432, 0.3915, 0.3784, 0.4176, 0.2424, 0.1072, 0.2842, 0.4612, 0.4908, 0.4194, 0.4037, 0.4316, 0.4316, 0.3636, 0.3444, 0.3775, 0.2772, 0.3269, 0.4926, 0.4481, 0.4368, 0.3601, 0.374, 0.2825, 0.3984, 0.3208, 0.1874, 0.2476, 0.2171, 0.2302, 0.1953, 0.2276, 0.32, 0.3156, 0.279, 0.2764, 0.2214, 0.2982]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1971323466851967284", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-25T21:18:34+00:00", "symbol": "TGT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd hope for recovery to $100, so I'd probably buy a lot more March calls next month", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish TGT with plans to buy March calls, targeting recovery to $100.", "resolved_tickers": ["TGT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLP", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Discount Stores'", "bench_c_industry": "Discount Stores", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@iamsattam I did the same thing with $UNH buying $225k+ on it, then it went from $320 to $355 the next two days.\n\nI'd hope for recovery to $100, so I'd probably buy a lot more March calls next month. UNH IV was too high at the time, but TGT is low enough.\n\nhttps://t.co/v66nS92o4m", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit If I may, what's your strike price on TGT/when? And will TGT dividends raise the stock sufficiently for it?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "iamsattam", "ret_m1d": 0.013426640667469014, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.013426640667469014, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008791760169460039, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.003782794501612896, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004634880498008975, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009643846165856118, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008147727129928839, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008147727129928839, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.002418582762934607, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005704644627489097, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005729144366994232, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002443082502439742, "ret_p1w": 0.027197632986953657, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.027197632986953657, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.010223343943649654, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.025011617618018622, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016974289043304003, "bench_c_p1w": 0.002186015368935035, "ret_p1m": 0.08170771297977919, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08170771297977919, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05253057683557483, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06473461930660407, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.029177136144204363, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01697309367317512, "ret_p3m": 0.09580741693137917, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09580741693137917, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.047265700068587435, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0911545515377965, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04854171686279174, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0046528653935826725, "ret_p6m": 0.3295165055096716, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3295165055096716, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.33831072672186147, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2758689317212111, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.008794221212189868, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05364757378846052, "price_path": [0.1199, 0.179, 0.1971, 0.1814, 0.1814, 0.1534, 0.1581, 0.1629, 0.1891, 0.1834, 0.1906, 0.1604, 0.1505, 0.1767, 0.1745, 0.1547, 0.2095, 0.2196, 0.2013, 0.204, 0.2083, 0.1827, 0.1709, 0.1409, 0.1327, 0.1329, 0.1629, 0.1965, 0.1996, 0.1966, 0.1808, 0.2063, 0.2091, 0.1964, 0.1822, 0.2044, 0.2091, 0.1325, 0.1138, 0.1389, 0.1146, 0.1029, 0.1242, 0.111, 0.1014, 0.1014, 0.0608, 0.0598, 0.0639, 0.0692, 0.05, 0.0433, 0.0418, 0.0503, 0.0324, 0.0163, 0.0296, 0.0205, 0.0262, 0.0114, -0.0067, -0.001, 0.0134, 0.0, 0.0081, 0.0194, 0.0294, 0.023, 0.0272, 0.0217, 0.0209, 0.0244, 0.0372, 0.0225, -0.0185, 0.0023, 0.0209, 0.0433, 0.0336, 0.0425, 0.0504, 0.0833, 0.079, 0.0816, 0.0817, 0.122, 0.1144, 0.0801, 0.0663, 0.064, 0.0495, 0.0326, 0.0551, 0.0231, 0.0471, 0.0412, 0.051, 0.068, 0.053, 0.0447, 0.0282, 0.0288, 0.0003, -0.0276, 0.0182, -0.0176, 0.0061, 0.0435, 0.0435, 0.053, 0.0616, 0.0513, 0.0565, 0.0643, 0.0713, 0.0814, 0.0879, 0.0995, 0.1268, 0.1282, 0.1337, 0.135, 0.1458, 0.151, 0.1389, 0.1063, 0.0958, 0.1217, 0.1217, 0.1568, 0.14, 0.1322, 0.1359, 0.1359, 0.168, 0.1864, 0.212, 0.2047, 0.2356, 0.2262, 0.2334, 0.2623, 0.2762, 0.2914, 0.2931, 0.2931, 0.2706, 0.2322, 0.2376, 0.2562, 0.2081, 0.2097, 0.1823, 0.195, 0.2256, 0.2728, 0.2934, 0.3262, 0.2881, 0.3427, 0.3424, 0.3158, 0.3454, 0.3228, 0.3589, 0.3589, 0.368, 0.3577, 0.3577, 0.3698, 0.3305, 0.356, 0.3668, 0.3475, 0.3357, 0.3285, 0.418, 0.4096, 0.4129, 0.4179, 0.4103, 0.4173, 0.3943, 0.3587, 0.3774, 0.374, 0.3706, 0.3505, 0.3437, 0.3295]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1996974297118920957", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-05T16:05:49+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "~74% or so cash margins from $CRWV that cover the depreciation", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on AI infra operators: revenue scales past depreciation via utilization; IREN and NBIS seen as better positioned than CRWV (no massive interest debt).", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"Revenue doesn't scale past depreciation\" is wrong,  you're not stating unit pricing (which degrades) vs. operating leverage (which scales) correctly.  \n\nIn the \"front loading\" phase, you have the assets (depreciation is active) but not the full rev yet. As you turn on clsuters for the $MSFT/ $META contract and others, utilization increases and margins expand (variable).\n\nSo \"revenue doesn't scale past depreciation\" is false because revenue absolutely scales past depreciation due to utilization. (depreciation is fixed while revenue is variable)\n\nJust look at ~74% or so cash margins from $CRWV that cover the depreciation. (ignoring $CRWV's massive interest debt which both $IREN and $NBIS dont have).\n\n---\n\nAlso - \"Depreciation only kicks in once the underlying assets (GPUs) are in use.\" - this is nuanced and leans false. \n\nI'm not sure if this is is different for $IREN in specific, but just in general depreciation starts when the asset is available for use, not in use implying your 100% utilization (thresholds), not for cusotmer worklods, or assets actually being in use. \n\n(eg. if we look at $ORCL's report it accounted for utilization lag).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.028878855760209987, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.028878855760209987, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.026982920316726777, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.026982920316726777, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018959354434832099, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018959354434832099, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.023329616271709375, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.023329616271709375, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.020325338757034683, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.020325338757034683, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0030042775146746914, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0030042775146746914, "ret_p1w": -0.10996609714923322, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10996609714923322, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10423469477737579, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10423469477737579, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00573140237185743, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00573140237185743, "ret_p1m": -0.129558347067107, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.129558347067107, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13548248512099936, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13548248512099936, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005924138053892358, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005924138053892358, "ret_p3m": -0.0996602802674833, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0996602802674833, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.10179603869850573, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10179603869850573, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0021357584310224276, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0021357584310224276, "ret_p6m": 0.24043029438056673, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.24043029438056673, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.13090942919877357, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.13090942919877357, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10952086518179316, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10952086518179316, "price_path": [0.135, 0.3266, 0.2762, 0.268, 0.3643, 0.3448, 0.3687, 0.3747, 0.414, 0.5088, 0.4823, 0.5108, 0.4344, 0.3629, 0.3875, 0.5498, 0.5521, 0.5629, 0.5265, 0.5159, 0.459, 0.5853, 0.6204, 0.5677, 0.6039, 0.5182, 0.5769, 0.6052, 0.5501, 0.439, 0.4163, 0.3763, 0.3968, 0.5011, 0.5409, 0.5266, 0.5847, 0.4843, 0.5143, 0.4306, 0.3109, 0.2958, 0.211, 0.1779, 0.196, 0.001, -0.0325, -0.1128, -0.1239, -0.1469, -0.1518, -0.1515, -0.2162, -0.1886, -0.1665, -0.1926, -0.1587, -0.1587, -0.1719, -0.1273, -0.139, -0.1012, -0.0289, 0.0, -0.0233, 0.0267, -0.0016, -0.0104, -0.11, -0.1806, -0.2129, -0.269, -0.2335, -0.06, -0.0393, -0.0911, -0.1068, -0.1068, -0.1345, -0.1515, -0.1631, -0.189, -0.189, -0.1017, -0.1296, -0.1173, -0.1259, -0.127, -0.0924, 0.0185, -0.0093, 0.017, 0.076, 0.1464, 0.1464, 0.0784, 0.0651, 0.0395, 0.053, 0.1134, 0.2328, 0.2007, 0.1272, 0.0554, 0.0072, 0.0199, -0.0661, -0.1546, 0.0187, 0.0961, 0.0771, 0.0776, 0.0838, 0.0877, 0.0877, 0.0306, 0.081, 0.1001, 0.0108, 0.0288, 0.1246, 0.11, 0.1057, -0.099, -0.1161, -0.1644, -0.0997, -0.1527, -0.1734, -0.1573, -0.1515, -0.0718, -0.0956, -0.0814, -0.0276, -0.07, -0.0621, -0.0865, -0.0773, -0.0718, -0.0598, -0.0082, -0.0889, -0.1528, -0.2169, -0.1227, -0.1117, -0.0686, -0.0686, -0.0834, -0.0347, 0.0068, 0.0419, 0.1552, 0.2488, 0.3273, 0.3442, 0.354, 0.3233, 0.3299, 0.3042, 0.3878, 0.3298, 0.2473, 0.2691, 0.1951, 0.2932, 0.2639, 0.3478, 0.4205, 0.4484, 0.5626, 0.4591, 0.2928, 0.299, 0.2203, 0.2606, 0.2935, 0.2152, 0.1752, 0.1304, 0.147, 0.2183, 0.1947, 0.1947, 0.1992, 0.1809, 0.2102, 0.2404, 0.2404]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1996974297118920957", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-05T16:05:49+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$IREN and $NBIS dont have", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on AI infra operators: revenue scales past depreciation via utilization; IREN and NBIS seen as better positioned than CRWV (no massive interest debt).", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"Revenue doesn't scale past depreciation\" is wrong,  you're not stating unit pricing (which degrades) vs. operating leverage (which scales) correctly.  \n\nIn the \"front loading\" phase, you have the assets (depreciation is active) but not the full rev yet. As you turn on clsuters for the $MSFT/ $META contract and others, utilization increases and margins expand (variable).\n\nSo \"revenue doesn't scale past depreciation\" is false because revenue absolutely scales past depreciation due to utilization. (depreciation is fixed while revenue is variable)\n\nJust look at ~74% or so cash margins from $CRWV that cover the depreciation. (ignoring $CRWV's massive interest debt which both $IREN and $NBIS dont have).\n\n---\n\nAlso - \"Depreciation only kicks in once the underlying assets (GPUs) are in use.\" - this is nuanced and leans false. \n\nI'm not sure if this is is different for $IREN in specific, but just in general depreciation starts when the asset is available for use, not in use implying your 100% utilization (thresholds), not for cusotmer worklods, or assets actually being in use. \n\n(eg. if we look at $ORCL's report it accounted for utilization lag).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.038917506466044305, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.038917506466044305, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.040813441909527515, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03929009183794696, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018959354434832099, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00037258537190265617, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03645719305508366, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03645719305508366, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03946147056975835, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04018297509550828, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0030042775146746914, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003725782040424619, "ret_p1w": -0.10243789107900048, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10243789107900048, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09670648870714305, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1260966321232071, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00573140237185743, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02365874104420662, "ret_p1m": 0.07895331394046212, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07895331394046212, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07302917588656976, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.029657860836724836, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005924138053892358, "bench_c_p1m": 0.049295453103737286, "ret_p3m": -0.0194587105725732, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0194587105725732, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.02159446900359563, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.017799181510274376, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0021357584310224276, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03725789208284758, "ret_p6m": 0.4211586270775425, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4211586270775425, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3116377618957493, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.45196444150235937, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10952086518179316, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03080581442481689, "price_path": [-0.3248, -0.2478, -0.2653, -0.2404, -0.1693, -0.1847, -0.1523, -0.1877, -0.1358, -0.0628, -0.0658, 0.0544, 0.0353, -0.0637, 0.0273, 0.0497, 0.053, 0.0517, 0.1286, 0.2917, 0.3796, 0.344, 0.4281, 0.3368, 0.4346, 0.5558, 0.5205, 0.3829, 0.3581, 0.3245, 0.2345, 0.1592, 0.2494, 0.4068, 0.4536, 0.3961, 0.3514, 0.3022, 0.3588, 0.5153, 0.4903, 0.709, 0.4977, 0.3952, 0.3458, 0.2834, 0.2458, 0.0881, 0.0371, 0.0604, 0.0926, 0.0251, -0.0277, -0.0548, 0.0845, 0.0617, 0.0837, 0.0837, 0.0693, 0.0845, -0.0803, -0.0168, 0.0389, 0.0, 0.0365, 0.0476, -0.0177, -0.0172, -0.1024, -0.2064, -0.1816, -0.2445, -0.1993, -0.1071, -0.0597, -0.059, -0.0611, -0.0611, -0.0986, -0.1185, -0.1434, -0.1552, -0.1552, -0.045, 0.079, 0.0268, -0.0243, 0.0217, 0.0295, 0.1257, 0.1852, 0.1827, 0.1606, 0.2932, 0.2932, 0.2136, 0.1962, 0.1689, 0.2677, 0.1711, 0.3418, 0.4077, 0.3384, 0.202, 0.1872, 0.2165, 0.0051, -0.11, -0.0644, 0.0322, -0.0398, -0.0456, -0.1047, -0.0557, -0.0557, -0.0837, -0.0588, -0.0318, -0.1058, -0.0526, 0.0166, -0.0152, -0.0105, -0.0841, -0.0743, -0.1311, -0.0195, -0.1025, -0.1792, -0.1313, -0.1474, -0.0611, -0.0747, -0.07, 0.0051, -0.0391, -0.0559, -0.0682, -0.0765, -0.057, -0.0803, -0.0734, -0.1624, -0.2152, -0.2928, -0.2333, -0.2375, -0.2223, -0.2223, -0.2143, -0.2006, -0.1762, -0.1711, -0.1206, -0.0367, 0.0595, 0.0919, 0.0669, 0.0763, 0.0897, 0.0103, 0.0823, 0.1635, 0.1326, 0.0816, -0.006, -0.0414, 0.0179, 0.0212, 0.1067, 0.2243, 0.3639, 0.2715, 0.3688, 0.2335, 0.265, 0.234, 0.3062, 0.1841, 0.1286, 0.0678, 0.1789, 0.2986, 0.2711, 0.2711, 0.3371, 0.5173, 0.4326, 0.4212, 0.4212]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1996974297118920957", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-12-05T16:05:49+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$IREN and $NBIS dont have", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on AI infra operators: revenue scales past depreciation via utilization; IREN and NBIS seen as better positioned than CRWV (no massive interest debt).", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"Revenue doesn't scale past depreciation\" is wrong,  you're not stating unit pricing (which degrades) vs. operating leverage (which scales) correctly.  \n\nIn the \"front loading\" phase, you have the assets (depreciation is active) but not the full rev yet. As you turn on clsuters for the $MSFT/ $META contract and others, utilization increases and margins expand (variable).\n\nSo \"revenue doesn't scale past depreciation\" is false because revenue absolutely scales past depreciation due to utilization. (depreciation is fixed while revenue is variable)\n\nJust look at ~74% or so cash margins from $CRWV that cover the depreciation. (ignoring $CRWV's massive interest debt which both $IREN and $NBIS dont have).\n\n---\n\nAlso - \"Depreciation only kicks in once the underlying assets (GPUs) are in use.\" - this is nuanced and leans false. \n\nI'm not sure if this is is different for $IREN in specific, but just in general depreciation starts when the asset is available for use, not in use implying your 100% utilization (thresholds), not for cusotmer worklods, or assets actually being in use. \n\n(eg. if we look at $ORCL's report it accounted for utilization lag).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.048551632923093946, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.048551632923093946, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.050447568366577156, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.059991924556032306, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018959354434832099, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01144029163293836, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.023357822257676686, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.023357822257676686, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.026362099772351377, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030785460100627104, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0030042775146746914, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007427637842950419, "ret_p1w": -0.1055691388970793, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1055691388970793, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09983773652522188, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10061740218695459, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00573140237185743, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004951736710124721, "ret_p1m": -0.05314156503284473, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05314156503284473, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05906570308673709, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0616893501607082, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005924138053892358, "bench_c_p1m": 0.008547785127863472, "ret_p3m": -0.0026520005487810083, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0026520005487810083, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.004787758979803436, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0201075362016786, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0021357584310224276, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01745553565289759, "ret_p6m": 1.3570990838423294, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.3570990838423294, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.2475782186605362, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.363033432342327, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10952086518179316, "bench_c_p6m": -0.005934348499997744, "price_path": [-0.0237, -0.0474, -0.0903, -0.0778, -0.0722, -0.0878, -0.0404, -0.04, 0.013, 0.0873, 0.0996, 0.1549, 0.101, 0.0985, 0.1242, 0.1451, 0.1792, 0.2839, 0.3054, 0.2744, 0.2005, 0.2444, 0.3529, 0.3217, 0.3817, 0.3071, 0.2835, 0.255, 0.1571, 0.1118, 0.0636, 0.0059, 0.0828, 0.196, 0.2794, 0.2427, 0.276, 0.2666, 0.3344, 0.2288, 0.1275, 0.1934, 0.1163, 0.135, 0.1215, 0.0426, -0.0375, -0.096, -0.1479, -0.123, -0.0765, -0.0303, -0.1367, -0.1508, -0.0626, -0.0934, -0.0342, -0.0342, -0.0323, 0.0215, -0.0162, 0.009, 0.0486, 0.0, 0.0234, -0.0166, -0.0454, -0.0384, -0.1056, -0.1724, -0.1743, -0.2304, -0.2035, -0.0875, -0.0491, -0.0817, -0.0705, -0.0705, -0.1066, -0.1224, -0.1313, -0.1462, -0.1462, -0.0825, -0.0531, 0.0224, -0.0187, -0.0075, -0.0011, 0.0948, 0.0754, 0.0402, 0.0596, 0.109, 0.109, 0.0127, 0.0085, -0.0121, -0.0361, -0.0671, -0.0017, 0.0244, -0.0319, -0.1311, -0.1008, -0.0825, -0.1596, -0.2465, -0.1218, -0.0526, -0.0637, -0.0962, -0.0848, -0.0003, -0.0003, -0.0053, 0.0384, 0.0976, -0.0012, 0.0262, 0.0463, 0.0824, 0.0698, -0.0699, -0.0717, -0.1146, -0.0027, -0.0244, -0.0888, -0.0316, -0.0164, 0.1423, 0.102, 0.1521, 0.3245, 0.1866, 0.2093, 0.2395, 0.1997, 0.1643, 0.1721, 0.1739, 0.0809, 0.0284, -0.059, 0.0583, 0.0399, 0.11, 0.11, 0.1479, 0.1975, 0.275, 0.3906, 0.4787, 0.5765, 0.6518, 0.701, 0.6865, 0.6028, 0.6234, 0.5968, 0.5926, 0.6022, 0.501, 0.4786, 0.3822, 0.4401, 0.4099, 0.5758, 0.7995, 0.7944, 0.9899, 0.8846, 0.8059, 0.8982, 0.8269, 1.1141, 1.2557, 1.2434, 1.0386, 1.0168, 0.9565, 1.2433, 1.1906, 1.1906, 1.1222, 1.1254, 1.3086, 1.3571, 1.3571]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1977495210063286491", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-12T22:02:52+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$RKLB ($16 | $28) ... I developed my conviction around it", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "High-conviction longs in RKLB, TSM, BTC, HOOD, NBIS, ALAB with multi-year theses; low-conviction long AMD on OpenAI revenue tailwind.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is the first time I'm posting my high conviction list.  \n\nThese are my 6 highest conviction longs and 1 new 1000% moonshot🚀\n\nSorted by first bought and ~when/why I developed conviction.  \n\n5 Years: \n\n$RKLB ($16 | $28) \n\n$TSM ($120 | $245) \n\n$HOOD ($11.27 | $18) \n\n$BTC ($3k | $57k)  \n\n2 Years: \n\n$NBIS ($28 | $99) \n\n$ALAB ($55 | $95)  \n\n1000% Moonshot (don't have high conviction like the others, but I included this I currently believe this has the best chance to 10x)\n\n$WLAC ($13 | $13)  \n\nHere's what changed:  \n\n1. $RKLB -> I knew Space was rapidly growing since Trump announced Space force. I wanted to invest in SpaceX at the time but there was no alternative.  \n\nSo I bought $RKLB when it started getting popular on Reddit. They had a high success rate with small-lift, but aside from that there wasn't anything special.  \n\nAround the $28 mark a few months later, they started developing a medium-lift payload, SpaceX raised a large round at $350B, and I started seeing the potential for RocketLab to grow in that marketcap whether it's 5 years or 10 years (when they were developing Neutron) and I developed my conviction around it.  \n\n2. $TSM -> Always knew that TSMC was fundamental to semiconductors, but didn't build large positions because of Taiwan geopolitical risk.  But around ~$245, America began the biggest build-out of AI infrastructure critical to national security with $NVDA and others hitting all time highs.  \n\nIn the center of it all, there's $TSM. I believe if it's an America company, it would be valued at $3T+.  \n\n3. $BTC -> I always liked Bitcoin, my friends introduced it to me back in college. I used it to pay for digital goods and stuff because Paypal at the time didn't have anonymous payments, and I didn't like sharing my identity to merchants.  \n\nI've always liked Bitcoin as a store of value/payment, but when the US government + Fed finally supported Bitcoin as a alternative to Gold,  it changed to high conviction. \n\nI have a whole really long thesis about why US Gov has a strategic interest in Bitcoin + Stablecoins but I'll post it another day.  \n\n4. $HOOD -> Financial infrastructure is broken. Everyone in the industry knows it.  \n\nI liked Robinhood because all the retail users I know use it. And as someone who runs a fintech company, the speed at which they developed products (even compared to Startups), is astonishing. \n\nFrom credit card products, to banking, to investing, they've actually made everything better and then just ships products to their already-large userbase.  \n\nOf course, there's an upper-cap in how large fintechs grow compared to semi/mega-cap, etc, but it could be a $600B+ company in the future if their banking products succeed and they continue with innovation.  \n\n_  \n\n1. $NBIS - I'm guilty of swing trading it without looking at fundamentals near the beginning.  Everything changed, when Mag7 started signing deals with all the Neoclouds, and Microsoft signing a 17B-19B deal with Nebius completely gave it a new-rerating.  I started looking into fundamentals, the assets they own, and I was blown away at their growth rate. \n\nI believe it could be easily be $400 (100B+ marketcap) in 1-2 years.  \n\n2. $ALAB - They're used by so many Mag7 companies for the Stargate + AI data center buildout. Of course, their revenue numbers are small compared to their current MC but their Margins are like NVDA and they're growing at 100%+ Y/Y, which is amazing.   Who knows how high they'll grow.  \n\n_ \n\n 1. $WLAC - Now for the fun one, if I had to have strong conviction any small cap/penny stock, it would be this. Boost already works with Fluidstack (which built $GOOGL contracts with $CIFR and $WULF already, and boosted their valuations to 4-7B).  \n\nAnd at a $600m IPO now, this could easily grow to 's marketcap. (already made a small thesis post earlier about speculative fundamentals). Hence why I believe this is the most likely 1000% out of anything.  \n\n_\n\nI mention other things like $FLY as a potential 1000% too or $AMD as a great buy due to OpenAI 100B+ forward revenue but it's slightly different compared to having high conviction in terms of just believing in the company/asset.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The NeoCloud Thesis: Hyperscaler Capex Funnel\n\nWhy I'm putting $1.5M+ into Neoclouds, and why this might be a 200-300%+ return.\n\n🔹 Buckets\n\nMag7 contracts: $CRWV, $NBIS ✅, $WULF, $CIFR ✅\n\nWith compute: $IREN ✅, $BITF\n\nSpeculative: $WYFI, $GRRR ✅, $SLNH\n\nMiners pivoting to", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.017731520409388968, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.017731520409388968, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0026193283203722606, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00743164055758927, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010299879851799698, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03989606669831014, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03989606669831014, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.041117721501766846, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.028143804745226708, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011752261953083432, "ret_p1w": 0.029501686933582683, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.029501686933582683, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0170438815166416, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.015900772785412354, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013600914148170329, "ret_p1m": -0.21675323887749232, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.21675323887749232, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.24685699436433872, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2351078735446478, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01835463466715548, "ret_p3m": 0.269948091660029, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.269948091660029, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.22695298957371723, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.20881919733570342, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "bench_c_p3m": 0.061128894324325556, "ret_p6m": 0.013757284485925503, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.013757284485925503, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.01385745351421741, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.07765854628636837, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09141583077229387, "price_path": [-0.271, -0.2154, -0.2145, -0.2787, -0.2834, -0.2487, -0.2643, -0.275, -0.3105, -0.3306, -0.2901, -0.2981, -0.315, -0.3192, -0.316, -0.3259, -0.3242, -0.3169, -0.3118, -0.3361, -0.3427, -0.3456, -0.3233, -0.3126, -0.3745, -0.378, -0.3652, -0.3216, -0.2782, -0.2643, -0.293, -0.2677, -0.2571, -0.2571, -0.2463, -0.3346, -0.3429, -0.2993, -0.2704, -0.2811, -0.2943, -0.2597, -0.1847, -0.174, -0.2778, -0.2651, -0.2788, -0.2695, -0.2386, -0.1912, -0.2557, -0.2872, -0.2929, -0.2814, -0.2677, -0.2667, -0.198, -0.1415, -0.1058, -0.0598, -0.0017, 0.0153, -0.0177, 0.0, 0.0399, 0.0589, 0.0242, 0.013, 0.0295, -0.0003, -0.0742, -0.0283, -0.0131, 0.0031, -0.0255, 0.0113, -0.0688, -0.0373, -0.0624, -0.1353, -0.1376, -0.2417, -0.2106, -0.2067, -0.2168, -0.2362, -0.3083, -0.3039, -0.338, -0.3461, -0.3332, -0.3965, -0.384, -0.3511, -0.3488, -0.3591, -0.3591, -0.3559, -0.3829, -0.3595, -0.3164, -0.2453, -0.2502, -0.2119, -0.1833, -0.1208, -0.0289, -0.0601, -0.153, -0.1518, -0.1752, -0.0841, 0.078, 0.1854, 0.1798, 0.1798, 0.1798, 0.0799, 0.0718, 0.0769, 0.0663, 0.0663, 0.1616, 0.1944, 0.315, 0.2852, 0.2699, 0.297, 0.3436, 0.3234, 0.4032, 0.3873, 0.472, 0.472, 0.3629, 0.3424, 0.3448, 0.3589, 0.2302, 0.3299, 0.3539, 0.3097, 0.2239, 0.1334, 0.2423, 0.1175, 0.0138, 0.1055, 0.1593, 0.101, 0.0642, 0.009, 0.0309, 0.0309, 0.0683, 0.1376, 0.1706, 0.0832, 0.0732, 0.0696, 0.0731, 0.1105, 0.0563, 0.0848, 0.072, 0.0992, 0.07, 0.0717, 0.0926, 0.0537, 0.1, 0.0451, 0.0457, 0.09, 0.2013, 0.0621, 0.0995, 0.0277, 0.0394, 0.0099, 0.114, 0.0079, -0.0686, -0.1229, -0.0183, 0.0015, 0.0353, 0.0353, 0.0344, 0.0138]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1977495210063286491", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-12T22:02:52+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSM ($120 | $245) ... In the center of it all, there's $TSM. I believe if it's an America company, it would be valued at $3T+", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "High-conviction longs in RKLB, TSM, BTC, HOOD, NBIS, ALAB with multi-year theses; low-conviction long AMD on OpenAI revenue tailwind.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is the first time I'm posting my high conviction list.  \n\nThese are my 6 highest conviction longs and 1 new 1000% moonshot🚀\n\nSorted by first bought and ~when/why I developed conviction.  \n\n5 Years: \n\n$RKLB ($16 | $28) \n\n$TSM ($120 | $245) \n\n$HOOD ($11.27 | $18) \n\n$BTC ($3k | $57k)  \n\n2 Years: \n\n$NBIS ($28 | $99) \n\n$ALAB ($55 | $95)  \n\n1000% Moonshot (don't have high conviction like the others, but I included this I currently believe this has the best chance to 10x)\n\n$WLAC ($13 | $13)  \n\nHere's what changed:  \n\n1. $RKLB -> I knew Space was rapidly growing since Trump announced Space force. I wanted to invest in SpaceX at the time but there was no alternative.  \n\nSo I bought $RKLB when it started getting popular on Reddit. They had a high success rate with small-lift, but aside from that there wasn't anything special.  \n\nAround the $28 mark a few months later, they started developing a medium-lift payload, SpaceX raised a large round at $350B, and I started seeing the potential for RocketLab to grow in that marketcap whether it's 5 years or 10 years (when they were developing Neutron) and I developed my conviction around it.  \n\n2. $TSM -> Always knew that TSMC was fundamental to semiconductors, but didn't build large positions because of Taiwan geopolitical risk.  But around ~$245, America began the biggest build-out of AI infrastructure critical to national security with $NVDA and others hitting all time highs.  \n\nIn the center of it all, there's $TSM. I believe if it's an America company, it would be valued at $3T+.  \n\n3. $BTC -> I always liked Bitcoin, my friends introduced it to me back in college. I used it to pay for digital goods and stuff because Paypal at the time didn't have anonymous payments, and I didn't like sharing my identity to merchants.  \n\nI've always liked Bitcoin as a store of value/payment, but when the US government + Fed finally supported Bitcoin as a alternative to Gold,  it changed to high conviction. \n\nI have a whole really long thesis about why US Gov has a strategic interest in Bitcoin + Stablecoins but I'll post it another day.  \n\n4. $HOOD -> Financial infrastructure is broken. Everyone in the industry knows it.  \n\nI liked Robinhood because all the retail users I know use it. And as someone who runs a fintech company, the speed at which they developed products (even compared to Startups), is astonishing. \n\nFrom credit card products, to banking, to investing, they've actually made everything better and then just ships products to their already-large userbase.  \n\nOf course, there's an upper-cap in how large fintechs grow compared to semi/mega-cap, etc, but it could be a $600B+ company in the future if their banking products succeed and they continue with innovation.  \n\n_  \n\n1. $NBIS - I'm guilty of swing trading it without looking at fundamentals near the beginning.  Everything changed, when Mag7 started signing deals with all the Neoclouds, and Microsoft signing a 17B-19B deal with Nebius completely gave it a new-rerating.  I started looking into fundamentals, the assets they own, and I was blown away at their growth rate. \n\nI believe it could be easily be $400 (100B+ marketcap) in 1-2 years.  \n\n2. $ALAB - They're used by so many Mag7 companies for the Stargate + AI data center buildout. Of course, their revenue numbers are small compared to their current MC but their Margins are like NVDA and they're growing at 100%+ Y/Y, which is amazing.   Who knows how high they'll grow.  \n\n_ \n\n 1. $WLAC - Now for the fun one, if I had to have strong conviction any small cap/penny stock, it would be this. Boost already works with Fluidstack (which built $GOOGL contracts with $CIFR and $WULF already, and boosted their valuations to 4-7B).  \n\nAnd at a $600m IPO now, this could easily grow to 's marketcap. (already made a small thesis post earlier about speculative fundamentals). Hence why I believe this is the most likely 1000% out of anything.  \n\n_\n\nI mention other things like $FLY as a potential 1000% too or $AMD as a great buy due to OpenAI 100B+ forward revenue but it's slightly different compared to having high conviction in terms of just believing in the company/asset.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The NeoCloud Thesis: Hyperscaler Capex Funnel\n\nWhy I'm putting $1.5M+ into Neoclouds, and why this might be a 200-300%+ return.\n\n🔹 Buckets\n\nMag7 contracts: $CRWV, $NBIS ✅, $WULF, $CIFR ✅\n\nWith compute: $IREN ✅, $BITF\n\nSpeculative: $WYFI, $GRRR ✅, $SLNH\n\nMiners pivoting to", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.07339306311239524, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07339306311239524, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05828087102337853, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05828087102337853, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02294569763736931, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02294569763736931, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.021724042833912605, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.021724042833912605, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "ret_p1w": -0.01713498670035607, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01713498670035607, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02959279211729715, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02959279211729715, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "ret_p1m": -0.038693934946986364, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.038693934946986364, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06879769043383277, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06879769043383277, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "ret_p3m": 0.052753413811671424, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.052753413811671424, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.00975831172535968, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.00975831172535968, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "ret_p6m": 0.14638280584748697, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.14638280584748697, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.14648297487577888, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.14648297487577888, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "bench_c_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "price_path": [-0.2182, -0.1917, -0.2088, -0.2139, -0.2279, -0.209, -0.2049, -0.1917, -0.2011, -0.2057, -0.2005, -0.2048, -0.2259, -0.2134, -0.2349, -0.2385, -0.2015, -0.2041, -0.2032, -0.196, -0.2054, -0.2068, -0.2138, -0.2055, -0.2342, -0.2476, -0.2518, -0.2332, -0.2246, -0.2143, -0.2125, -0.2158, -0.2402, -0.2402, -0.2483, -0.2385, -0.2259, -0.1989, -0.1865, -0.1742, -0.1429, -0.1479, -0.1465, -0.1398, -0.1348, -0.1324, -0.1131, -0.1255, -0.0999, -0.0666, -0.0732, -0.0866, -0.0975, -0.0979, -0.0779, -0.0476, -0.0488, -0.0353, -0.0016, -0.0293, 0.0054, -0.0099, -0.0734, 0.0, -0.0229, 0.006, -0.0101, -0.0258, -0.0171, -0.0277, -0.0463, -0.0401, -0.0262, -0.0153, -0.0045, 0.0073, 0.0011, -0.0081, 0.0065, -0.0292, -0.0305, -0.0451, -0.0541, -0.0252, -0.0387, -0.0405, -0.0683, -0.0597, -0.0689, -0.0825, -0.0677, -0.0838, -0.0919, -0.0603, -0.0601, -0.0427, -0.0427, -0.0376, -0.0502, -0.0357, -0.0246, -0.0329, -0.027, -0.0034, 0.0017, 0.0239, 0.0092, -0.0332, -0.0475, -0.0503, -0.0831, -0.0576, -0.0434, -0.0291, -0.017, -0.0108, -0.0108, 0.0025, -0.0038, -0.0083, 0.006, 0.006, 0.0581, 0.0668, 0.0839, 0.055, 0.0528, 0.0714, 0.0983, 0.0965, 0.0829, 0.131, 0.1335, 0.1335, 0.083, 0.0796, 0.0837, 0.1086, 0.1014, 0.1201, 0.1332, 0.1241, 0.0943, 0.1301, 0.1115, 0.0783, 0.0949, 0.1548, 0.1766, 0.1981, 0.2384, 0.2186, 0.2128, 0.2128, 0.2057, 0.1992, 0.193, 0.2267, 0.225, 0.277, 0.2836, 0.2474, 0.24, 0.2219, 0.169, 0.1833, 0.1714, 0.1219, 0.1544, 0.149, 0.1738, 0.1147, 0.12, 0.1263, 0.1486, 0.1273, 0.1247, 0.093, 0.1236, 0.1395, 0.1544, 0.0826, 0.0847, 0.0507, 0.1219, 0.1337, 0.1255, 0.1255, 0.1346, 0.1464]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1977495210063286491", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-12T22:02:52+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$BTC ($3k | $57k) ... when the US government + Fed finally supported Bitcoin as a alternative to Gold, it changed to high conviction", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "High-conviction longs in RKLB, TSM, BTC, HOOD, NBIS, ALAB with multi-year theses; low-conviction long AMD on OpenAI revenue tailwind.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is the first time I'm posting my high conviction list.  \n\nThese are my 6 highest conviction longs and 1 new 1000% moonshot🚀\n\nSorted by first bought and ~when/why I developed conviction.  \n\n5 Years: \n\n$RKLB ($16 | $28) \n\n$TSM ($120 | $245) \n\n$HOOD ($11.27 | $18) \n\n$BTC ($3k | $57k)  \n\n2 Years: \n\n$NBIS ($28 | $99) \n\n$ALAB ($55 | $95)  \n\n1000% Moonshot (don't have high conviction like the others, but I included this I currently believe this has the best chance to 10x)\n\n$WLAC ($13 | $13)  \n\nHere's what changed:  \n\n1. $RKLB -> I knew Space was rapidly growing since Trump announced Space force. I wanted to invest in SpaceX at the time but there was no alternative.  \n\nSo I bought $RKLB when it started getting popular on Reddit. They had a high success rate with small-lift, but aside from that there wasn't anything special.  \n\nAround the $28 mark a few months later, they started developing a medium-lift payload, SpaceX raised a large round at $350B, and I started seeing the potential for RocketLab to grow in that marketcap whether it's 5 years or 10 years (when they were developing Neutron) and I developed my conviction around it.  \n\n2. $TSM -> Always knew that TSMC was fundamental to semiconductors, but didn't build large positions because of Taiwan geopolitical risk.  But around ~$245, America began the biggest build-out of AI infrastructure critical to national security with $NVDA and others hitting all time highs.  \n\nIn the center of it all, there's $TSM. I believe if it's an America company, it would be valued at $3T+.  \n\n3. $BTC -> I always liked Bitcoin, my friends introduced it to me back in college. I used it to pay for digital goods and stuff because Paypal at the time didn't have anonymous payments, and I didn't like sharing my identity to merchants.  \n\nI've always liked Bitcoin as a store of value/payment, but when the US government + Fed finally supported Bitcoin as a alternative to Gold,  it changed to high conviction. \n\nI have a whole really long thesis about why US Gov has a strategic interest in Bitcoin + Stablecoins but I'll post it another day.  \n\n4. $HOOD -> Financial infrastructure is broken. Everyone in the industry knows it.  \n\nI liked Robinhood because all the retail users I know use it. And as someone who runs a fintech company, the speed at which they developed products (even compared to Startups), is astonishing. \n\nFrom credit card products, to banking, to investing, they've actually made everything better and then just ships products to their already-large userbase.  \n\nOf course, there's an upper-cap in how large fintechs grow compared to semi/mega-cap, etc, but it could be a $600B+ company in the future if their banking products succeed and they continue with innovation.  \n\n_  \n\n1. $NBIS - I'm guilty of swing trading it without looking at fundamentals near the beginning.  Everything changed, when Mag7 started signing deals with all the Neoclouds, and Microsoft signing a 17B-19B deal with Nebius completely gave it a new-rerating.  I started looking into fundamentals, the assets they own, and I was blown away at their growth rate. \n\nI believe it could be easily be $400 (100B+ marketcap) in 1-2 years.  \n\n2. $ALAB - They're used by so many Mag7 companies for the Stargate + AI data center buildout. Of course, their revenue numbers are small compared to their current MC but their Margins are like NVDA and they're growing at 100%+ Y/Y, which is amazing.   Who knows how high they'll grow.  \n\n_ \n\n 1. $WLAC - Now for the fun one, if I had to have strong conviction any small cap/penny stock, it would be this. Boost already works with Fluidstack (which built $GOOGL contracts with $CIFR and $WULF already, and boosted their valuations to 4-7B).  \n\nAnd at a $600m IPO now, this could easily grow to 's marketcap. (already made a small thesis post earlier about speculative fundamentals). Hence why I believe this is the most likely 1000% out of anything.  \n\n_\n\nI mention other things like $FLY as a potential 1000% too or $AMD as a great buy due to OpenAI 100B+ forward revenue but it's slightly different compared to having high conviction in terms of just believing in the company/asset.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The NeoCloud Thesis: Hyperscaler Capex Funnel\n\nWhy I'm putting $1.5M+ into Neoclouds, and why this might be a 200-300%+ return.\n\n🔹 Buckets\n\nMag7 contracts: $CRWV, $NBIS ✅, $WULF, $CIFR ✅\n\nWith compute: $IREN ✅, $BITF\n\nSpeculative: $WYFI, $GRRR ✅, $SLNH\n\nMiners pivoting to", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.017842384845830117, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.017842384845830117, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00273019275681341, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.01867262888064536, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01867262888064536, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.017450974077188652, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.040618588059206595, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.040618588059206595, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.053076393476147676, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.10647605257660986, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10647605257660986, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13657980806345627, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.21032121430069262, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21032121430069262, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.25331631638700436, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.3758997981524258, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3758997981524258, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3757996291241339, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0301, 0.0349, 0.0237, 0.0188, 0.041, 0.0302, 0.0269, 0.0205, 0.023, 0.023, 0.0222, 0.0042, -0.0169, -0.0017, -0.0098, -0.0021, 0.0193, 0.0123, 0.03, 0.0425, 0.07, 0.0268, 0.0185, 0.0085, -0.0212, -0.0086, -0.0247, 0.0139, -0.0446, -0.0301, -0.0351, -0.0237, -0.0595, -0.0522, -0.0353, -0.0308, -0.0395, -0.0401, -0.0278, -0.0324, -0.0114, 0.0021, 0.0072, 0.0015, 0.0136, 0.0104, 0.0162, 0.0036, -0.0219, -0.0283, -0.0169, -0.054, -0.0482, -0.0076, -0.0105, 0.0293, 0.0469, 0.0607, 0.0823, 0.0536, 0.0701, 0.0558, -0.0178, 0.0, -0.0187, -0.0389, -0.0615, -0.0764, -0.0406, -0.0589, -0.0658, -0.0451, -0.0368, -0.01, -0.0201, -0.0452, -0.0604, -0.0496, -0.0757, -0.1187, -0.0987, -0.1212, -0.1032, -0.0805, -0.1065, -0.1181, -0.1351, -0.1811, -0.2011, -0.1936, -0.2065, -0.2485, -0.2618, -0.2342, -0.2423, -0.2147, -0.2081, -0.2113, -0.2511, -0.2075, -0.1886, -0.2007, -0.2245, -0.2137, -0.1959, -0.2017, -0.1974, -0.2169, -0.2503, -0.2379, -0.2527, -0.2586, -0.2357, -0.2323, -0.2417, -0.2399, -0.2432, -0.2426, -0.2441, -0.2329, -0.2408, -0.2302, -0.2197, -0.1855, -0.1869, -0.2079, -0.2103, -0.2148, -0.2089, -0.1731, -0.1591, -0.1711, -0.1713, -0.1971, -0.2339, -0.2246, -0.2239, -0.2235, -0.2343, -0.227, -0.2263, -0.2664, -0.2702, -0.3174, -0.3439, -0.3665, -0.456, -0.3879, -0.3917, -0.4032, -0.4188, -0.4255, -0.4026, -0.4028, -0.4145, -0.4237, -0.4191, -0.41, -0.4394, -0.4441, -0.4104, -0.4148, -0.4285, -0.4034, -0.4075, -0.3692, -0.3854, -0.4089, -0.4066, -0.3934, -0.391, -0.3885, -0.3843, -0.3506, -0.3587, -0.3819, -0.3935, -0.3882, -0.3848, -0.3882, -0.3814, -0.4032, -0.4245, -0.4214, -0.4081, -0.4094, -0.4197, -0.4194, -0.4026, -0.3759]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1977495210063286491", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-10-12T22:02:52+00:00", "symbol": "HOOD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$HOOD ($11.27 | $18) ... it could be a $600B+ company in the future", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "High-conviction longs in RKLB, TSM, BTC, HOOD, NBIS, ALAB with multi-year theses; low-conviction long AMD on OpenAI revenue tailwind.", "resolved_tickers": ["HOOD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is the first time I'm posting my high conviction list.  \n\nThese are my 6 highest conviction longs and 1 new 1000% moonshot🚀\n\nSorted by first bought and ~when/why I developed conviction.  \n\n5 Years: \n\n$RKLB ($16 | $28) \n\n$TSM ($120 | $245) \n\n$HOOD ($11.27 | $18) \n\n$BTC ($3k | $57k)  \n\n2 Years: \n\n$NBIS ($28 | $99) \n\n$ALAB ($55 | $95)  \n\n1000% Moonshot (don't have high conviction like the others, but I included this I currently believe this has the best chance to 10x)\n\n$WLAC ($13 | $13)  \n\nHere's what changed:  \n\n1. $RKLB -> I knew Space was rapidly growing since Trump announced Space force. I wanted to invest in SpaceX at the time but there was no alternative.  \n\nSo I bought $RKLB when it started getting popular on Reddit. They had a high success rate with small-lift, but aside from that there wasn't anything special.  \n\nAround the $28 mark a few months later, they started developing a medium-lift payload, SpaceX raised a large round at $350B, and I started seeing the potential for RocketLab to grow in that marketcap whether it's 5 years or 10 years (when they were developing Neutron) and I developed my conviction around it.  \n\n2. $TSM -> Always knew that TSMC was fundamental to semiconductors, but didn't build large positions because of Taiwan geopolitical risk.  But around ~$245, America began the biggest build-out of AI infrastructure critical to national security with $NVDA and others hitting all time highs.  \n\nIn the center of it all, there's $TSM. I believe if it's an America company, it would be valued at $3T+.  \n\n3. $BTC -> I always liked Bitcoin, my friends introduced it to me back in college. I used it to pay for digital goods and stuff because Paypal at the time didn't have anonymous payments, and I didn't like sharing my identity to merchants.  \n\nI've always liked Bitcoin as a store of value/payment, but when the US government + Fed finally supported Bitcoin as a alternative to Gold,  it changed to high conviction. \n\nI have a whole really long thesis about why US Gov has a strategic interest in Bitcoin + Stablecoins but I'll post it another day.  \n\n4. $HOOD -> Financial infrastructure is broken. Everyone in the industry knows it.  \n\nI liked Robinhood because all the retail users I know use it. And as someone who runs a fintech company, the speed at which they developed products (even compared to Startups), is astonishing. \n\nFrom credit card products, to banking, to investing, they've actually made everything better and then just ships products to their already-large userbase.  \n\nOf course, there's an upper-cap in how large fintechs grow compared to semi/mega-cap, etc, but it could be a $600B+ company in the future if their banking products succeed and they continue with innovation.  \n\n_  \n\n1. $NBIS - I'm guilty of swing trading it without looking at fundamentals near the beginning.  Everything changed, when Mag7 started signing deals with all the Neoclouds, and Microsoft signing a 17B-19B deal with Nebius completely gave it a new-rerating.  I started looking into fundamentals, the assets they own, and I was blown away at their growth rate. \n\nI believe it could be easily be $400 (100B+ marketcap) in 1-2 years.  \n\n2. $ALAB - They're used by so many Mag7 companies for the Stargate + AI data center buildout. Of course, their revenue numbers are small compared to their current MC but their Margins are like NVDA and they're growing at 100%+ Y/Y, which is amazing.   Who knows how high they'll grow.  \n\n_ \n\n 1. $WLAC - Now for the fun one, if I had to have strong conviction any small cap/penny stock, it would be this. Boost already works with Fluidstack (which built $GOOGL contracts with $CIFR and $WULF already, and boosted their valuations to 4-7B).  \n\nAnd at a $600m IPO now, this could easily grow to 's marketcap. (already made a small thesis post earlier about speculative fundamentals). Hence why I believe this is the most likely 1000% out of anything.  \n\n_\n\nI mention other things like $FLY as a potential 1000% too or $AMD as a great buy due to OpenAI 100B+ forward revenue but it's slightly different compared to having high conviction in terms of just believing in the company/asset.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The NeoCloud Thesis: Hyperscaler Capex Funnel\n\nWhy I'm putting $1.5M+ into Neoclouds, and why this might be a 200-300%+ return.\n\n🔹 Buckets\n\nMag7 contracts: $CRWV, $NBIS ✅, $WULF, $CIFR ✅\n\nWith compute: $IREN ✅, $BITF\n\nSpeculative: $WYFI, $GRRR ✅, $SLNH\n\nMiners pivoting to", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01222623010706314, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01222623010706314, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0028859619819535665, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.002731394773740292, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009494835333322849, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04073070817358315, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04073070817358315, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.039509053370126446, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05174482529937341, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011014117125790257, "ret_p1w": -0.03468858315389689, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03468858315389689, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04714638857083797, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03715722426582435, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "bench_c_p1w": 0.002468641111927461, "ret_p1m": -0.062197899172242055, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.062197899172242055, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09230165465908846, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07264223995899233, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010444340786750272, "ret_p3m": -0.1797696517117221, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1797696517117221, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.22276475379803384, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24500655825437356, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06523690654265146, "ret_p6m": -0.5049047117425001, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5049047117425001, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5048045427142082, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4603098126363139, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04459489910618619, "price_path": [-0.2661, -0.2504, -0.2199, -0.2583, -0.276, -0.2744, -0.2754, -0.2547, -0.241, -0.2656, -0.2458, -0.2675, -0.2899, -0.2439, -0.2504, -0.249, -0.2093, -0.1852, -0.1924, -0.189, -0.2279, -0.213, -0.1884, -0.1824, -0.2359, -0.2512, -0.2444, -0.2229, -0.2327, -0.2266, -0.2684, -0.2629, -0.2605, -0.2605, -0.2832, -0.2833, -0.2685, -0.2803, -0.1663, -0.1577, -0.1651, -0.163, -0.1823, -0.1838, -0.1656, -0.1567, -0.1405, -0.113, -0.1122, -0.1029, -0.0987, -0.1282, -0.1343, -0.0281, 0.0178, -0.0109, 0.0357, 0.0568, 0.0254, 0.0307, 0.0724, 0.0837, -0.0122, 0.0, -0.0407, -0.0464, -0.0657, -0.0766, -0.0347, -0.0628, -0.0957, -0.0451, -0.0063, 0.0368, 0.0396, 0.0293, -0.0186, 0.0434, 0.0455, -0.0276, 0.0128, -0.0967, -0.0734, -0.0341, -0.0622, -0.0547, -0.1361, -0.1292, -0.1756, -0.1875, -0.1601, -0.245, -0.2373, -0.1828, -0.1785, -0.0887, -0.0887, -0.0867, -0.124, -0.1047, -0.05, -0.0256, -0.0621, -0.0302, -0.0353, -0.0357, -0.123, -0.1506, -0.1807, -0.1513, -0.1769, -0.1672, -0.1374, -0.1302, -0.1453, -0.1439, -0.1439, -0.1603, -0.1653, -0.1793, -0.196, -0.196, -0.181, -0.124, -0.1349, -0.1685, -0.1798, -0.1806, -0.1646, -0.1453, -0.1493, -0.2156, -0.227, -0.227, -0.2481, -0.2471, -0.2447, -0.2395, -0.2394, -0.2519, -0.265, -0.2804, -0.2929, -0.3609, -0.3811, -0.4269, -0.4834, -0.4113, -0.3847, -0.3915, -0.4458, -0.4945, -0.46, -0.46, -0.4637, -0.4654, -0.4623, -0.459, -0.4898, -0.4783, -0.4489, -0.4352, -0.4608, -0.44, -0.4593, -0.4156, -0.4274, -0.452, -0.436, -0.4418, -0.4406, -0.4589, -0.4783, -0.4647, -0.4502, -0.4676, -0.4728, -0.4961, -0.4847, -0.509, -0.4844, -0.4999, -0.5307, -0.5368, -0.5074, -0.5016, -0.5102, -0.5102, -0.504, -0.5049]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1977495210063286491", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-10-12T22:02:52+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS ($28 | $99) ... I believe it could be easily be $400 (100B+ marketcap) in 1-2 years", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "High-conviction longs in RKLB, TSM, BTC, HOOD, NBIS, ALAB with multi-year theses; low-conviction long AMD on OpenAI revenue tailwind.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is the first time I'm posting my high conviction list.  \n\nThese are my 6 highest conviction longs and 1 new 1000% moonshot🚀\n\nSorted by first bought and ~when/why I developed conviction.  \n\n5 Years: \n\n$RKLB ($16 | $28) \n\n$TSM ($120 | $245) \n\n$HOOD ($11.27 | $18) \n\n$BTC ($3k | $57k)  \n\n2 Years: \n\n$NBIS ($28 | $99) \n\n$ALAB ($55 | $95)  \n\n1000% Moonshot (don't have high conviction like the others, but I included this I currently believe this has the best chance to 10x)\n\n$WLAC ($13 | $13)  \n\nHere's what changed:  \n\n1. $RKLB -> I knew Space was rapidly growing since Trump announced Space force. I wanted to invest in SpaceX at the time but there was no alternative.  \n\nSo I bought $RKLB when it started getting popular on Reddit. They had a high success rate with small-lift, but aside from that there wasn't anything special.  \n\nAround the $28 mark a few months later, they started developing a medium-lift payload, SpaceX raised a large round at $350B, and I started seeing the potential for RocketLab to grow in that marketcap whether it's 5 years or 10 years (when they were developing Neutron) and I developed my conviction around it.  \n\n2. $TSM -> Always knew that TSMC was fundamental to semiconductors, but didn't build large positions because of Taiwan geopolitical risk.  But around ~$245, America began the biggest build-out of AI infrastructure critical to national security with $NVDA and others hitting all time highs.  \n\nIn the center of it all, there's $TSM. I believe if it's an America company, it would be valued at $3T+.  \n\n3. $BTC -> I always liked Bitcoin, my friends introduced it to me back in college. I used it to pay for digital goods and stuff because Paypal at the time didn't have anonymous payments, and I didn't like sharing my identity to merchants.  \n\nI've always liked Bitcoin as a store of value/payment, but when the US government + Fed finally supported Bitcoin as a alternative to Gold,  it changed to high conviction. \n\nI have a whole really long thesis about why US Gov has a strategic interest in Bitcoin + Stablecoins but I'll post it another day.  \n\n4. $HOOD -> Financial infrastructure is broken. Everyone in the industry knows it.  \n\nI liked Robinhood because all the retail users I know use it. And as someone who runs a fintech company, the speed at which they developed products (even compared to Startups), is astonishing. \n\nFrom credit card products, to banking, to investing, they've actually made everything better and then just ships products to their already-large userbase.  \n\nOf course, there's an upper-cap in how large fintechs grow compared to semi/mega-cap, etc, but it could be a $600B+ company in the future if their banking products succeed and they continue with innovation.  \n\n_  \n\n1. $NBIS - I'm guilty of swing trading it without looking at fundamentals near the beginning.  Everything changed, when Mag7 started signing deals with all the Neoclouds, and Microsoft signing a 17B-19B deal with Nebius completely gave it a new-rerating.  I started looking into fundamentals, the assets they own, and I was blown away at their growth rate. \n\nI believe it could be easily be $400 (100B+ marketcap) in 1-2 years.  \n\n2. $ALAB - They're used by so many Mag7 companies for the Stargate + AI data center buildout. Of course, their revenue numbers are small compared to their current MC but their Margins are like NVDA and they're growing at 100%+ Y/Y, which is amazing.   Who knows how high they'll grow.  \n\n_ \n\n 1. $WLAC - Now for the fun one, if I had to have strong conviction any small cap/penny stock, it would be this. Boost already works with Fluidstack (which built $GOOGL contracts with $CIFR and $WULF already, and boosted their valuations to 4-7B).  \n\nAnd at a $600m IPO now, this could easily grow to 's marketcap. (already made a small thesis post earlier about speculative fundamentals). Hence why I believe this is the most likely 1000% out of anything.  \n\n_\n\nI mention other things like $FLY as a potential 1000% too or $AMD as a great buy due to OpenAI 100B+ forward revenue but it's slightly different compared to having high conviction in terms of just believing in the company/asset.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The NeoCloud Thesis: Hyperscaler Capex Funnel\n\nWhy I'm putting $1.5M+ into Neoclouds, and why this might be a 200-300%+ return.\n\n🔹 Buckets\n\nMag7 contracts: $CRWV, $NBIS ✅, $WULF, $CIFR ✅\n\nWith compute: $IREN ✅, $BITF\n\nSpeculative: $WYFI, $GRRR ✅, $SLNH\n\nMiners pivoting to", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04340768190889632, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04340768190889632, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.028295489819879616, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.034272105522501706, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009135576386394617, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.053964361841674746, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.053964361841674746, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05274270703821804, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06055255031748796, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006588188475813217, "ret_p1w": -0.19533445594579646, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.19533445594579646, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.20779226136273754, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2164167265184983, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "bench_c_p1w": 0.021082270572701844, "ret_p1m": -0.24538612022496853, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.24538612022496853, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.27548987571181494, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.24854845069335885, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0031623304683903175, "ret_p3m": -0.28170678998056553, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.28170678998056553, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3247018920668773, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.31702244801530577, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03531565803474024, "ret_p6m": -0.13332352202031494, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13332352202031494, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.13322335299202304, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.12190395036217228, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "bench_c_p6m": -0.011419571658142669, "price_path": [-0.6065, -0.6036, -0.6103, -0.6134, -0.6234, -0.617, -0.6149, -0.6208, -0.6106, -0.6279, -0.6214, -0.5982, -0.6161, -0.6001, -0.5927, -0.5933, -0.5179, -0.4922, -0.4815, -0.4439, -0.4786, -0.4946, -0.4713, -0.4645, -0.504, -0.5019, -0.5114, -0.4908, -0.4831, -0.4797, -0.4825, -0.4682, -0.4956, -0.4956, -0.5148, -0.5154, -0.5208, -0.5167, -0.5271, -0.2934, -0.3106, -0.3416, -0.3326, -0.3285, -0.3398, -0.3055, -0.3052, -0.2669, -0.2131, -0.2042, -0.1641, -0.2032, -0.2049, -0.1863, -0.1712, -0.1465, -0.0708, -0.0552, -0.0777, -0.1311, -0.0994, -0.0208, -0.0434, 0.0, -0.054, -0.0711, -0.0917, -0.1626, -0.1953, -0.2302, -0.272, -0.2163, -0.1344, -0.074, -0.1006, -0.0765, -0.0833, -0.0343, -0.1107, -0.184, -0.1363, -0.1921, -0.1785, -0.1883, -0.2454, -0.3034, -0.3457, -0.3833, -0.3653, -0.3316, -0.2982, -0.3752, -0.3854, -0.3216, -0.3439, -0.301, -0.301, -0.2996, -0.2607, -0.288, -0.2697, -0.2411, -0.2762, -0.2593, -0.2883, -0.3091, -0.304, -0.3527, -0.401, -0.4024, -0.443, -0.4235, -0.3396, -0.3118, -0.3354, -0.3273, -0.3273, -0.3534, -0.3648, -0.3713, -0.3821, -0.3821, -0.336, -0.3147, -0.26, -0.2898, -0.2817, -0.2771, -0.2077, -0.2217, -0.2472, -0.2331, -0.1973, -0.1973, -0.267, -0.2701, -0.285, -0.3024, -0.3248, -0.2775, -0.2586, -0.2994, -0.3711, -0.3492, -0.336, -0.3918, -0.4547, -0.3644, -0.3143, -0.3224, -0.3459, -0.3376, -0.2765, -0.2765, -0.2801, -0.2485, -0.2056, -0.2771, -0.2573, -0.2427, -0.2166, -0.2257, -0.3268, -0.3281, -0.3592, -0.2782, -0.2939, -0.3405, -0.2991, -0.2881, -0.1732, -0.2024, -0.1662, -0.0414, -0.1412, -0.1248, -0.1029, -0.1317, -0.1573, -0.1517, -0.1504, -0.2177, -0.2557, -0.3189, -0.234, -0.2474, -0.1967, -0.1967, -0.1692, -0.1333]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1977495210063286491", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2025-10-12T22:02:52+00:00", "symbol": "ALAB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ALAB ($55 | $95) ... their Margins are like NVDA and they're growing at 100%+ Y/Y", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "High-conviction longs in RKLB, TSM, BTC, HOOD, NBIS, ALAB with multi-year theses; low-conviction long AMD on OpenAI revenue tailwind.", "resolved_tickers": ["ALAB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is the first time I'm posting my high conviction list.  \n\nThese are my 6 highest conviction longs and 1 new 1000% moonshot🚀\n\nSorted by first bought and ~when/why I developed conviction.  \n\n5 Years: \n\n$RKLB ($16 | $28) \n\n$TSM ($120 | $245) \n\n$HOOD ($11.27 | $18) \n\n$BTC ($3k | $57k)  \n\n2 Years: \n\n$NBIS ($28 | $99) \n\n$ALAB ($55 | $95)  \n\n1000% Moonshot (don't have high conviction like the others, but I included this I currently believe this has the best chance to 10x)\n\n$WLAC ($13 | $13)  \n\nHere's what changed:  \n\n1. $RKLB -> I knew Space was rapidly growing since Trump announced Space force. I wanted to invest in SpaceX at the time but there was no alternative.  \n\nSo I bought $RKLB when it started getting popular on Reddit. They had a high success rate with small-lift, but aside from that there wasn't anything special.  \n\nAround the $28 mark a few months later, they started developing a medium-lift payload, SpaceX raised a large round at $350B, and I started seeing the potential for RocketLab to grow in that marketcap whether it's 5 years or 10 years (when they were developing Neutron) and I developed my conviction around it.  \n\n2. $TSM -> Always knew that TSMC was fundamental to semiconductors, but didn't build large positions because of Taiwan geopolitical risk.  But around ~$245, America began the biggest build-out of AI infrastructure critical to national security with $NVDA and others hitting all time highs.  \n\nIn the center of it all, there's $TSM. I believe if it's an America company, it would be valued at $3T+.  \n\n3. $BTC -> I always liked Bitcoin, my friends introduced it to me back in college. I used it to pay for digital goods and stuff because Paypal at the time didn't have anonymous payments, and I didn't like sharing my identity to merchants.  \n\nI've always liked Bitcoin as a store of value/payment, but when the US government + Fed finally supported Bitcoin as a alternative to Gold,  it changed to high conviction. \n\nI have a whole really long thesis about why US Gov has a strategic interest in Bitcoin + Stablecoins but I'll post it another day.  \n\n4. $HOOD -> Financial infrastructure is broken. Everyone in the industry knows it.  \n\nI liked Robinhood because all the retail users I know use it. And as someone who runs a fintech company, the speed at which they developed products (even compared to Startups), is astonishing. \n\nFrom credit card products, to banking, to investing, they've actually made everything better and then just ships products to their already-large userbase.  \n\nOf course, there's an upper-cap in how large fintechs grow compared to semi/mega-cap, etc, but it could be a $600B+ company in the future if their banking products succeed and they continue with innovation.  \n\n_  \n\n1. $NBIS - I'm guilty of swing trading it without looking at fundamentals near the beginning.  Everything changed, when Mag7 started signing deals with all the Neoclouds, and Microsoft signing a 17B-19B deal with Nebius completely gave it a new-rerating.  I started looking into fundamentals, the assets they own, and I was blown away at their growth rate. \n\nI believe it could be easily be $400 (100B+ marketcap) in 1-2 years.  \n\n2. $ALAB - They're used by so many Mag7 companies for the Stargate + AI data center buildout. Of course, their revenue numbers are small compared to their current MC but their Margins are like NVDA and they're growing at 100%+ Y/Y, which is amazing.   Who knows how high they'll grow.  \n\n_ \n\n 1. $WLAC - Now for the fun one, if I had to have strong conviction any small cap/penny stock, it would be this. Boost already works with Fluidstack (which built $GOOGL contracts with $CIFR and $WULF already, and boosted their valuations to 4-7B).  \n\nAnd at a $600m IPO now, this could easily grow to 's marketcap. (already made a small thesis post earlier about speculative fundamentals). Hence why I believe this is the most likely 1000% out of anything.  \n\n_\n\nI mention other things like $FLY as a potential 1000% too or $AMD as a great buy due to OpenAI 100B+ forward revenue but it's slightly different compared to having high conviction in terms of just believing in the company/asset.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The NeoCloud Thesis: Hyperscaler Capex Funnel\n\nWhy I'm putting $1.5M+ into Neoclouds, and why this might be a 200-300%+ return.\n\n🔹 Buckets\n\nMag7 contracts: $CRWV, $NBIS ✅, $WULF, $CIFR ✅\n\nWith compute: $IREN ✅, $BITF\n\nSpeculative: $WYFI, $GRRR ✅, $SLNH\n\nMiners pivoting to", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03347871485710363, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03347871485710363, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04859090694612034, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07589223883183371, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "bench_c_m1d": -0.04241352397473008, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.1903472959449537, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.1903472959449537, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.189125641141497, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.1719514811991445, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "bench_c_p1d": -0.018395814745809203, "ret_p1w": -0.21660903866645842, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.21660903866645842, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2290668440833995, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.23859582342108154, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "bench_c_p1w": 0.021986784754623123, "ret_p1m": -0.1602766296957312, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1602766296957312, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1903803851825776, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.19353639682960666, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03325976713387546, "ret_p3m": -0.21450410120585195, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21450410120585195, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2574992032921637, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3334423007327385, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11893819952688656, "ret_p6m": -0.40364858120714897, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.40364858120714897, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.40354841217885706, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5843530146594124, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1807044334522634, "price_path": [-0.5392, -0.5091, -0.4881, -0.3891, -0.4141, -0.4012, -0.3902, -0.3874, -0.3783, -0.4066, -0.3541, -0.3147, -0.343, -0.3087, -0.3207, -0.126, -0.1435, -0.1015, -0.1007, -0.0377, -0.0295, -0.0443, -0.0686, -0.0657, -0.1427, -0.1357, -0.1103, -0.1024, -0.1272, -0.1051, -0.1019, -0.052, -0.0869, -0.0869, -0.1267, -0.1149, -0.058, -0.0417, 0.083, 0.075, 0.1546, 0.1672, 0.1502, 0.1592, 0.1968, 0.2498, 0.2624, 0.2289, 0.1893, 0.1533, 0.0288, 0.0056, -0.0088, -0.0037, -0.0187, -0.0252, 0.0505, 0.0061, 0.1067, 0.063, 0.0994, 0.1298, 0.0335, 0.0, -0.1903, -0.1908, -0.1803, -0.1991, -0.2166, -0.2106, -0.2239, -0.1799, -0.1732, -0.1466, -0.1568, -0.1299, -0.1503, -0.0644, -0.0399, -0.1013, -0.0882, -0.1839, -0.1706, -0.1293, -0.1603, -0.2092, -0.2759, -0.2766, -0.2914, -0.3008, -0.2883, -0.3019, -0.2893, -0.2595, -0.2744, -0.2271, -0.2271, -0.2103, -0.1721, -0.2836, -0.2357, -0.2357, -0.192, -0.1192, -0.1626, -0.1765, -0.1295, -0.254, -0.28, -0.2736, -0.2971, -0.2689, -0.1761, -0.1349, -0.1539, -0.1481, -0.1481, -0.1617, -0.1475, -0.1438, -0.1662, -0.1662, -0.1001, -0.1625, -0.1931, -0.1692, -0.2145, -0.185, -0.1351, -0.0951, -0.1373, -0.1257, -0.0879, -0.0879, -0.0791, -0.1179, -0.1162, -0.1497, -0.1818, -0.1433, -0.1585, -0.1958, -0.2451, -0.236, -0.2055, -0.2749, -0.2842, -0.1487, -0.0594, -0.0835, -0.2798, -0.3656, -0.3519, -0.3519, -0.3801, -0.3506, -0.3353, -0.3501, -0.3573, -0.3565, -0.3577, -0.3752, -0.4045, -0.3958, -0.4497, -0.4298, -0.3986, -0.4026, -0.387, -0.4162, -0.375, -0.3991, -0.397, -0.3611, -0.3606, -0.3668, -0.3677, -0.4184, -0.3792, -0.3898, -0.3969, -0.4306, -0.4363, -0.4975, -0.4507, -0.4671, -0.4129, -0.4129, -0.4087, -0.4036]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1977495210063286491", "ticker_idx": 6, "ts": "2025-10-12T22:02:52+00:00", "symbol": "AMD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AMD as a great buy due to OpenAI 100B+ forward revenue", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "High-conviction longs in RKLB, TSM, BTC, HOOD, NBIS, ALAB with multi-year theses; low-conviction long AMD on OpenAI revenue tailwind.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is the first time I'm posting my high conviction list.  \n\nThese are my 6 highest conviction longs and 1 new 1000% moonshot🚀\n\nSorted by first bought and ~when/why I developed conviction.  \n\n5 Years: \n\n$RKLB ($16 | $28) \n\n$TSM ($120 | $245) \n\n$HOOD ($11.27 | $18) \n\n$BTC ($3k | $57k)  \n\n2 Years: \n\n$NBIS ($28 | $99) \n\n$ALAB ($55 | $95)  \n\n1000% Moonshot (don't have high conviction like the others, but I included this I currently believe this has the best chance to 10x)\n\n$WLAC ($13 | $13)  \n\nHere's what changed:  \n\n1. $RKLB -> I knew Space was rapidly growing since Trump announced Space force. I wanted to invest in SpaceX at the time but there was no alternative.  \n\nSo I bought $RKLB when it started getting popular on Reddit. They had a high success rate with small-lift, but aside from that there wasn't anything special.  \n\nAround the $28 mark a few months later, they started developing a medium-lift payload, SpaceX raised a large round at $350B, and I started seeing the potential for RocketLab to grow in that marketcap whether it's 5 years or 10 years (when they were developing Neutron) and I developed my conviction around it.  \n\n2. $TSM -> Always knew that TSMC was fundamental to semiconductors, but didn't build large positions because of Taiwan geopolitical risk.  But around ~$245, America began the biggest build-out of AI infrastructure critical to national security with $NVDA and others hitting all time highs.  \n\nIn the center of it all, there's $TSM. I believe if it's an America company, it would be valued at $3T+.  \n\n3. $BTC -> I always liked Bitcoin, my friends introduced it to me back in college. I used it to pay for digital goods and stuff because Paypal at the time didn't have anonymous payments, and I didn't like sharing my identity to merchants.  \n\nI've always liked Bitcoin as a store of value/payment, but when the US government + Fed finally supported Bitcoin as a alternative to Gold,  it changed to high conviction. \n\nI have a whole really long thesis about why US Gov has a strategic interest in Bitcoin + Stablecoins but I'll post it another day.  \n\n4. $HOOD -> Financial infrastructure is broken. Everyone in the industry knows it.  \n\nI liked Robinhood because all the retail users I know use it. And as someone who runs a fintech company, the speed at which they developed products (even compared to Startups), is astonishing. \n\nFrom credit card products, to banking, to investing, they've actually made everything better and then just ships products to their already-large userbase.  \n\nOf course, there's an upper-cap in how large fintechs grow compared to semi/mega-cap, etc, but it could be a $600B+ company in the future if their banking products succeed and they continue with innovation.  \n\n_  \n\n1. $NBIS - I'm guilty of swing trading it without looking at fundamentals near the beginning.  Everything changed, when Mag7 started signing deals with all the Neoclouds, and Microsoft signing a 17B-19B deal with Nebius completely gave it a new-rerating.  I started looking into fundamentals, the assets they own, and I was blown away at their growth rate. \n\nI believe it could be easily be $400 (100B+ marketcap) in 1-2 years.  \n\n2. $ALAB - They're used by so many Mag7 companies for the Stargate + AI data center buildout. Of course, their revenue numbers are small compared to their current MC but their Margins are like NVDA and they're growing at 100%+ Y/Y, which is amazing.   Who knows how high they'll grow.  \n\n_ \n\n 1. $WLAC - Now for the fun one, if I had to have strong conviction any small cap/penny stock, it would be this. Boost already works with Fluidstack (which built $GOOGL contracts with $CIFR and $WULF already, and boosted their valuations to 4-7B).  \n\nAnd at a $600m IPO now, this could easily grow to 's marketcap. (already made a small thesis post earlier about speculative fundamentals). Hence why I believe this is the most likely 1000% out of anything.  \n\n_\n\nI mention other things like $FLY as a potential 1000% too or $AMD as a great buy due to OpenAI 100B+ forward revenue but it's slightly different compared to having high conviction in terms of just believing in the company/asset.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The NeoCloud Thesis: Hyperscaler Capex Funnel\n\nWhy I'm putting $1.5M+ into Neoclouds, and why this might be a 200-300%+ return.\n\n🔹 Buckets\n\nMag7 contracts: $CRWV, $NBIS ✅, $WULF, $CIFR ✅\n\nWith compute: $IREN ✅, $BITF\n\nSpeculative: $WYFI, $GRRR ✅, $SLNH\n\nMiners pivoting to", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.007023400264860813, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007023400264860813, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008088791824155894, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008088791824155894, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0077164688248525515, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0077164688248525515, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008938123628309258, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008938123628309258, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "ret_p1w": 0.11154236943853912, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11154236943853912, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09908456402159804, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09908456402159804, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "ret_p1m": 0.09749563941426609, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09749563941426609, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06739188392741968, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06739188392741968, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "ret_p3m": -0.054246398634563264, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.054246398634563264, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09724150072087501, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09724150072087501, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "ret_p6m": 0.02361149918485128, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.02361149918485128, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.02371166821314319, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.02371166821314319, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "bench_c_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "price_path": [-0.2603, -0.2588, -0.2746, -0.2746, -0.2851, -0.2669, -0.2509, -0.2308, -0.1976, -0.1801, -0.1705, -0.1853, -0.2066, -0.1832, -0.1946, -0.2463, -0.2034, -0.2017, -0.204, -0.1916, -0.1479, -0.1639, -0.1798, -0.1861, -0.2304, -0.2367, -0.2436, -0.2248, -0.2452, -0.2301, -0.2278, -0.2211, -0.2485, -0.2485, -0.25, -0.2509, -0.2524, -0.3016, -0.3004, -0.28, -0.2628, -0.2807, -0.2673, -0.2553, -0.2586, -0.2646, -0.2703, -0.2728, -0.2617, -0.2565, -0.2566, -0.2548, -0.2632, -0.2544, -0.2524, -0.2422, -0.2157, -0.2391, -0.0587, -0.0227, 0.0884, 0.0761, -0.007, 0.0, 0.0077, 0.1025, 0.0838, 0.077, 0.1115, 0.0999, 0.0638, 0.0858, 0.1687, 0.1998, 0.1922, 0.2214, 0.1775, 0.1834, 0.1998, 0.1554, 0.1844, 0.0983, 0.0791, 0.1273, 0.0975, 0.1962, 0.1457, 0.1404, 0.1114, 0.0641, 0.0329, -0.0481, -0.0584, -0.0063, -0.0475, -0.0101, -0.0101, 0.0051, 0.0154, -0.0055, 0.0055, -0.002, 0.0072, 0.0217, 0.024, 0.0231, 0.0231, -0.0261, -0.0408, -0.0335, -0.0846, -0.071, -0.0138, -0.0068, -0.007, -0.0064, -0.0064, -0.0066, -0.0037, -0.005, -0.0104, -0.0104, 0.0326, 0.0215, -0.0096, -0.0296, -0.0542, -0.0612, -0.0403, 0.021, 0.0332, 0.0531, 0.0712, 0.0712, 0.0716, 0.1542, 0.1724, 0.1999, 0.1612, 0.1645, 0.1678, 0.1652, 0.0938, 0.1379, 0.1187, -0.075, -0.1105, -0.0369, -0.0019, -0.0132, -0.0131, -0.0484, -0.042, -0.042, -0.0616, -0.0753, -0.0603, -0.0752, -0.0916, -0.0119, -0.0257, -0.0589, -0.0749, -0.0822, -0.1177, -0.0663, -0.0784, -0.1108, -0.0635, -0.0609, -0.0536, -0.0863, -0.1064, -0.0917, -0.0929, -0.0784, -0.0515, -0.0697, -0.0635, -0.0511, 0.0178, -0.0585, -0.0667, -0.0942, -0.06, -0.0287, 0.005, 0.005, 0.0174, 0.0236]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1996015888085254517", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-03T00:37:26+00:00", "symbol": "ALAB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "They're both good buys around here, $ALAB especially", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Both tickers are good buys at current levels, with ALAB especially favored after the drop.", "resolved_tickers": ["ALAB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@moderndayvenom @dubiousnoob They’re both good buys around here, $ALAB especially. I don’t remember there being any material changes that caused the drop other than an analyst price target change", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @dubiousnoob But both of these are on your extremely buy signals and now that its dropped so much, im thinking of building out a massive position right now? @aleabitoreddit", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "moderndayvenom", "ret_m1d": -0.06268850858094266, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06268850858094266, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05923769017053426, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04913084406281898, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003450818410408396, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01355766451812368, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 6.553774974382698e-05, "ret_signed_p1d": 6.553774974382698e-05, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0006655184042545503, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0076677167621309605, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0007310561539983773, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0076021790123871336, "ret_p1w": 0.077475425845287, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.077475425845287, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0720944217268693, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.050771770185702225, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005381004118417687, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02670365565958477, "ret_p1m": 0.09088524990394475, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09088524990394475, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0908194593378453, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09944637583903138, "bench_spy_p1m": 6.57905660994551e-05, "bench_c_p1m": -0.008561125935086622, "ret_p3m": -0.20950817670978483, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.20950817670978483, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2161147881680241, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.32830098233946026, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006606611458239264, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11879280562967542, "ret_p6m": 1.2896394323130123, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.2896394323130123, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.1799629684168196, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.638305778602575, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10967646389619268, "bench_c_p6m": 0.6513336537104373, "price_path": [0.2538, 0.417, 0.4065, 0.5106, 0.5272, 0.5049, 0.5167, 0.5658, 0.6353, 0.6517, 0.6079, 0.5561, 0.5089, 0.346, 0.3157, 0.2969, 0.3036, 0.2839, 0.2754, 0.3744, 0.3163, 0.4479, 0.3908, 0.4384, 0.4782, 0.3522, 0.3084, 0.0593, 0.0588, 0.0725, 0.0479, 0.025, 0.0329, 0.0154, 0.073, 0.0818, 0.1166, 0.1033, 0.1385, 0.1118, 0.2241, 0.2561, 0.1758, 0.193, 0.0677, 0.0852, 0.1393, 0.0987, 0.0347, -0.0527, -0.0535, -0.0729, -0.0851, -0.0688, -0.0866, -0.0702, -0.0311, -0.0506, 0.0113, 0.0113, 0.0332, 0.0832, -0.0627, 0.0, 0.0001, 0.0572, 0.1524, 0.0956, 0.0775, 0.139, -0.0239, -0.058, -0.0496, -0.0804, -0.0434, 0.078, 0.1319, 0.1071, 0.1146, 0.1146, 0.0968, 0.1154, 0.1203, 0.0909, 0.0909, 0.1774, 0.0958, 0.0558, 0.087, 0.0277, 0.0663, 0.1316, 0.184, 0.1288, 0.1439, 0.1934, 0.1934, 0.2049, 0.1541, 0.1564, 0.1125, 0.0705, 0.1209, 0.101, 0.0522, -0.0123, -0.0004, 0.0395, -0.0513, -0.0635, 0.1138, 0.2306, 0.1991, -0.0576, -0.17, -0.152, -0.152, -0.1889, -0.1503, -0.1304, -0.1496, -0.1591, -0.158, -0.1597, -0.1825, -0.2208, -0.2095, -0.28, -0.254, -0.2131, -0.2184, -0.198, -0.2362, -0.1822, -0.2138, -0.2111, -0.1641, -0.1635, -0.1715, -0.1727, -0.2391, -0.1877, -0.2016, -0.211, -0.255, -0.2625, -0.3425, -0.2813, -0.3028, -0.2319, -0.2319, -0.2263, -0.2197, -0.1773, -0.1511, -0.0226, 0.0937, 0.1187, 0.1285, 0.1201, 0.1413, 0.1528, 0.2588, 0.2725, 0.2953, 0.3957, 0.2894, 0.202, 0.2908, 0.277, 0.329, 0.3197, 0.4144, 0.4027, 0.283, 0.3101, 0.3597, 0.3405, 0.4694, 0.4993, 0.5258, 0.4136, 0.6017, 0.8851, 0.953, 1.0123, 1.0123, 1.09, 1.1333, 1.2896]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1971668048588558518", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-26T20:07:49+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Added $CIFR $30k worth of Jan calls $11 strike on the 5% drop to $11", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Disclosed live long positions in CIFR, NBIS, IREN miners plus AMZN DCA, RKLB swing, CRDO rebound, BTC long-term, and ETOR undervalued thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Apart from ORCL, $NBIS, $IREN, $CIFR today these were some fun (short term) portfolio adds/trades and entries if you were curious + tiny bit of my reasoning: \n\nGEMI ~$23.9 - fun short term swing trade +- ~5% all the time. Overvalued though MC wise.\n\nAMZN ~$219.78 - DCA for 4 month timeframe. \n\nFigma ~$52.65 - was down like 4-5%, just expected it to recover. Profit margins are like 90% or something stupid off 1B revenue. Fun short term trade\n\nRKLB ~ $46.29 - fun swing trade between $43 -> 53.  \n\nCRDO ~ $142.21 - Just thought it might rebound in Oct, DCA \n\nBTC ~ $109.5k - don't really care about +-5k too much, this is for long term positions.  \n\nKLAR ~ $39.95 - fun swing trade \n\nETOR ~ $40.95 - incredibly undervalued lol. I might end up with $1M of this thing and it will just stay the same price.   \n\nAnd of course sold weekly covered calls on ORCL, CIFR, NBIS, IREN, etc... for way out of money strikes.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Eh I normally don't do calls but risk/reward looks good to me on miners\n\nAdded $CIFR $30k worth of Jan calls $11 strike on the 5% drop to $11.\n\nAdded $NBIS $100k worth of calls, this was just one of the strikes on the 4.6% drop to $103.\n\nAdded $IREN shares $40.13 on the 13% drop. https://t.co/OP9EYjg34h", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01656491507933655, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01656491507933655, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02226142332818548, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01957736193158255, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0056965082488489305, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003012446852245998, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1028770116852955, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1028770116852955, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10006664524415565, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09753353743162485, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028103664411398555, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005343474253670655, "ret_p1w": 0.2816041383644212, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2816041383644212, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2704379842248974, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.26051679090459356, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01116615413952382, "bench_c_p1w": 0.021087347459827654, "ret_p1m": 0.7907585385652331, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.7907585385652331, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.7553713496291417, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.7184589361349065, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035387188936091496, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07229960243032663, "ret_p3m": 0.4141237084344136, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4141237084344136, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3678876573159988, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3631847236253811, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04623605111841478, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05093898480903247, "ret_p6m": 0.29816913658885746, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.29816913658885746, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.30226137737681735, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3131723269356823, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.004092240787959889, "bench_c_p6m": -0.015003190346824846, "price_path": [-0.5728, -0.5048, -0.4725, -0.4725, -0.4952, -0.4743, -0.4542, -0.456, -0.4882, -0.4743, -0.4795, -0.4534, -0.4403, -0.4455, -0.4551, -0.3949, -0.4176, -0.4202, -0.4359, -0.4629, -0.5048, -0.5248, -0.524, -0.5702, -0.5475, -0.5632, -0.5458, -0.5754, -0.5859, -0.585, -0.5885, -0.5728, -0.5362, -0.5458, -0.4725, -0.4978, -0.4813, -0.4856, -0.4438, -0.4211, -0.3793, -0.3906, -0.388, -0.3339, -0.3339, -0.2746, -0.2929, -0.3548, -0.3444, -0.3269, -0.1962, -0.1064, -0.1308, -0.0541, -0.0541, 0.0035, 0.0793, 0.0331, 0.0706, 0.2171, 0.2337, 0.2328, 0.0166, 0.0, 0.1029, 0.0976, 0.0985, 0.204, 0.2816, 0.3374, 0.3731, 0.5344, 0.5684, 0.4795, 0.7733, 0.8213, 0.8335, 0.6321, 0.6356, 0.7358, 0.5759, 0.4045, 0.5044, 0.8012, 0.7908, 0.7402, 0.7079, 0.6626, 0.626, 0.9843, 0.9625, 1.1543, 0.8928, 0.8038, 0.7132, 0.6277, 0.5153, 0.3017, 0.252, 0.2511, 0.2711, 0.2746, 0.2694, 0.2337, 0.4568, 0.5275, 0.6696, 0.6696, 0.7742, 0.7167, 0.5379, 0.6242, 0.7289, 0.6809, 0.6983, 0.7053, 0.6112, 0.646, 0.4865, 0.2851, 0.3069, 0.2546, 0.3208, 0.4133, 0.4246, 0.3871, 0.4141, 0.4141, 0.3243, 0.3147, 0.272, 0.2868, 0.2868, 0.4124, 0.5833, 0.5292, 0.4019, 0.4429, 0.4499, 0.5414, 0.5911, 0.5806, 0.5275, 0.6391, 0.6391, 0.5623, 0.5449, 0.5161, 0.5318, 0.4377, 0.6347, 0.6539, 0.5432, 0.3915, 0.3784, 0.4176, 0.2424, 0.1072, 0.2842, 0.4612, 0.4908, 0.4194, 0.4037, 0.4316, 0.4316, 0.3636, 0.3444, 0.3775, 0.2772, 0.3269, 0.4926, 0.4481, 0.4368, 0.3601, 0.374, 0.2825, 0.3984, 0.3208, 0.1874, 0.2476, 0.2171, 0.2302, 0.1953, 0.2276, 0.32, 0.3156, 0.279, 0.2764, 0.2214, 0.2982]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1971668048588558518", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-26T20:07:49+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Added $NBIS $100k worth of calls", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Disclosed live long positions in CIFR, NBIS, IREN miners plus AMZN DCA, RKLB swing, CRDO rebound, BTC long-term, and ETOR undervalued thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Apart from ORCL, $NBIS, $IREN, $CIFR today these were some fun (short term) portfolio adds/trades and entries if you were curious + tiny bit of my reasoning: \n\nGEMI ~$23.9 - fun short term swing trade +- ~5% all the time. Overvalued though MC wise.\n\nAMZN ~$219.78 - DCA for 4 month timeframe. \n\nFigma ~$52.65 - was down like 4-5%, just expected it to recover. Profit margins are like 90% or something stupid off 1B revenue. Fun short term trade\n\nRKLB ~ $46.29 - fun swing trade between $43 -> 53.  \n\nCRDO ~ $142.21 - Just thought it might rebound in Oct, DCA \n\nBTC ~ $109.5k - don't really care about +-5k too much, this is for long term positions.  \n\nKLAR ~ $39.95 - fun swing trade \n\nETOR ~ $40.95 - incredibly undervalued lol. I might end up with $1M of this thing and it will just stay the same price.   \n\nAnd of course sold weekly covered calls on ORCL, CIFR, NBIS, IREN, etc... for way out of money strikes.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Eh I normally don't do calls but risk/reward looks good to me on miners\n\nAdded $CIFR $30k worth of Jan calls $11 strike on the 5% drop to $11.\n\nAdded $NBIS $100k worth of calls, this was just one of the strikes on the 4.6% drop to $103.\n\nAdded $IREN shares $40.13 on the 13% drop. https://t.co/OP9EYjg34h", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.002228463323721286, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.002228463323721286, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007924971572570216, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011875573732601619, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0056965082488489305, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009647110408880333, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02339836902383552, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02339836902383552, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.020588002582695664, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.020182578916097205, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028103664411398555, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0032157901077383144, "ret_p1w": 0.18830090049526604, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.18830090049526604, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.17713474635574222, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.20336391087767414, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01116615413952382, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015063010382408093, "ret_p1m": 0.1646239912657952, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1646239912657952, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1292368023297037, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1731709492739053, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035387188936091496, "bench_c_p1m": -0.008546958008110117, "ret_p3m": -0.1538532977191014, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1538532977191014, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20008934883751617, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15641150455970876, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04623605111841478, "bench_c_p3m": 0.002558206840607369, "ret_p6m": 0.05988862358776492, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.05988862358776492, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06398086437572481, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09995188413772027, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.004092240787959889, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04006326054995535, "price_path": [-0.5329, -0.536, -0.5334, -0.5334, -0.5558, -0.5627, -0.5724, -0.5689, -0.5887, -0.5176, -0.503, -0.505, -0.5015, -0.5098, -0.5137, -0.5264, -0.5183, -0.5157, -0.523, -0.5102, -0.532, -0.5238, -0.4946, -0.5172, -0.497, -0.4877, -0.4885, -0.3936, -0.3614, -0.3478, -0.3006, -0.3442, -0.3643, -0.335, -0.3265, -0.3761, -0.3735, -0.3855, -0.3595, -0.3499, -0.3456, -0.3491, -0.3311, -0.3656, -0.3656, -0.3898, -0.3904, -0.3973, -0.3921, -0.4052, -0.1112, -0.1329, -0.1719, -0.1605, -0.1554, -0.1696, -0.1265, -0.1261, -0.0779, -0.0102, 0.0009, 0.0513, 0.0022, 0.0, 0.0234, 0.0424, 0.0734, 0.1687, 0.1883, 0.1601, 0.0929, 0.1328, 0.2316, 0.2032, 0.2578, 0.1899, 0.1683, 0.1424, 0.0533, 0.0121, -0.0318, -0.0843, -0.0143, 0.0888, 0.1646, 0.1312, 0.1616, 0.153, 0.2147, 0.1186, 0.0264, 0.0864, 0.0162, 0.0332, 0.0209, -0.0509, -0.1239, -0.1771, -0.2243, -0.2017, -0.1593, -0.1173, -0.2141, -0.2269, -0.1467, -0.1747, -0.1208, -0.1208, -0.1191, -0.0701, -0.1045, -0.0815, -0.0455, -0.0897, -0.0684, -0.1048, -0.131, -0.1246, -0.1858, -0.2466, -0.2484, -0.2994, -0.2749, -0.1694, -0.1344, -0.1641, -0.1539, -0.1539, -0.1867, -0.2011, -0.2092, -0.2228, -0.2228, -0.1648, -0.1381, -0.0693, -0.1067, -0.0966, -0.0907, -0.0034, -0.0211, -0.0531, -0.0354, 0.0096, 0.0096, -0.0781, -0.082, -0.1007, -0.1226, -0.1508, -0.0913, -0.0675, -0.1188, -0.209, -0.1814, -0.1648, -0.235, -0.3141, -0.2006, -0.1376, -0.1477, -0.1773, -0.1669, -0.09, -0.09, -0.0945, -0.0548, -0.0008, -0.0908, -0.0658, -0.0475, -0.0147, -0.0262, -0.1533, -0.155, -0.1941, -0.0921, -0.1119, -0.1706, -0.1185, -0.1046, 0.0399, 0.0032, 0.0487, 0.2057, 0.0801, 0.1008, 0.1283, 0.0921, 0.0599]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1971668048588558518", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-09-26T20:07:49+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Added $IREN shares $40.13 on the 13% drop", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Disclosed live long positions in CIFR, NBIS, IREN miners plus AMZN DCA, RKLB swing, CRDO rebound, BTC long-term, and ETOR undervalued thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Apart from ORCL, $NBIS, $IREN, $CIFR today these were some fun (short term) portfolio adds/trades and entries if you were curious + tiny bit of my reasoning: \n\nGEMI ~$23.9 - fun short term swing trade +- ~5% all the time. Overvalued though MC wise.\n\nAMZN ~$219.78 - DCA for 4 month timeframe. \n\nFigma ~$52.65 - was down like 4-5%, just expected it to recover. Profit margins are like 90% or something stupid off 1B revenue. Fun short term trade\n\nRKLB ~ $46.29 - fun swing trade between $43 -> 53.  \n\nCRDO ~ $142.21 - Just thought it might rebound in Oct, DCA \n\nBTC ~ $109.5k - don't really care about +-5k too much, this is for long term positions.  \n\nKLAR ~ $39.95 - fun swing trade \n\nETOR ~ $40.95 - incredibly undervalued lol. I might end up with $1M of this thing and it will just stay the same price.   \n\nAnd of course sold weekly covered calls on ORCL, CIFR, NBIS, IREN, etc... for way out of money strikes.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Eh I normally don't do calls but risk/reward looks good to me on miners\n\nAdded $CIFR $30k worth of Jan calls $11 strike on the 5% drop to $11.\n\nAdded $NBIS $100k worth of calls, this was just one of the strikes on the 4.6% drop to $103.\n\nAdded $IREN shares $40.13 on the 13% drop. https://t.co/OP9EYjg34h", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.10582895940236292, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.10582895940236292, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.11152546765121185, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.11306987889155085, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0056965082488489305, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007240919489187925, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09722884939035925, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09722884939035925, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0944184829492194, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09221582819424956, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028103664411398555, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0050130211961096904, "ret_p1w": 0.20544668773832742, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.20544668773832742, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1942805335988036, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.20804592622660278, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01116615413952382, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0025992384882753683, "ret_p1m": 0.5525560658424393, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5525560658424393, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5171688769063478, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5623963666980077, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035387188936091496, "bench_c_p1m": -0.009840300855568418, "ret_p3m": 0.0028666729607045305, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0028666729607045305, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04336937815771025, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03546938005735978, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04623605111841478, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03833605301806431, "ret_p6m": 0.0071667279667062544, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0071667279667062544, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.011258968754666143, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0844717125694473, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.004092240787959889, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07730498460274104, "price_path": [-0.6362, -0.6259, -0.5982, -0.5982, -0.5951, -0.5965, -0.5948, -0.5932, -0.6123, -0.5872, -0.5968, -0.5865, -0.5688, -0.5714, -0.5664, -0.5559, -0.5463, -0.5667, -0.5767, -0.6039, -0.6228, -0.6144, -0.6151, -0.6321, -0.6063, -0.607, -0.5624, -0.5564, -0.5592, -0.5707, -0.5741, -0.5764, -0.5442, -0.5296, -0.5054, -0.5526, -0.528, -0.532, -0.4881, -0.4477, -0.4508, -0.466, -0.4496, -0.3674, -0.3674, -0.3046, -0.3261, -0.3758, -0.3753, -0.3743, -0.2788, -0.1966, -0.2152, -0.1887, -0.1128, -0.1292, -0.0946, -0.1323, -0.0769, 0.001, -0.0022, 0.1261, 0.1058, 0.0, 0.0972, 0.1211, 0.1247, 0.1233, 0.2054, 0.3796, 0.4735, 0.4355, 0.5253, 0.4279, 0.5323, 0.6617, 0.624, 0.4771, 0.4505, 0.4147, 0.3186, 0.2382, 0.3344, 0.5026, 0.5526, 0.4912, 0.4434, 0.3908, 0.4513, 0.6185, 0.5917, 0.8254, 0.5996, 0.4902, 0.4374, 0.3708, 0.3306, 0.1622, 0.1077, 0.1326, 0.167, 0.0948, 0.0385, 0.0096, 0.1584, 0.134, 0.1574, 0.1574, 0.1421, 0.1584, -0.0177, 0.0502, 0.1097, 0.0681, 0.107, 0.119, 0.0492, 0.0497, -0.0413, -0.1524, -0.1259, -0.193, -0.1448, -0.0463, 0.0043, 0.005, 0.0029, 0.0029, -0.0373, -0.0585, -0.085, -0.0977, -0.0977, 0.0201, 0.1524, 0.0968, 0.0422, 0.0913, 0.0996, 0.2023, 0.2659, 0.2633, 0.2396, 0.3813, 0.3813, 0.2962, 0.2776, 0.2484, 0.354, 0.2508, 0.4331, 0.5036, 0.4295, 0.2838, 0.268, 0.2993, 0.0736, -0.0495, -0.0007, 0.1025, 0.0256, 0.0194, -0.0437, 0.0086, 0.0086, -0.0213, 0.0053, 0.0342, -0.0449, 0.0119, 0.0858, 0.0518, 0.0569, -0.0217, -0.0112, -0.0719, 0.0473, -0.0414, -0.1233, -0.0721, -0.0893, 0.0029, -0.0117, -0.0067, 0.0736, 0.0263, 0.0084, -0.0048, -0.0136, 0.0072]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1971668048588558518", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-09-26T20:07:49+00:00", "symbol": "AMZN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "AMZN ~$219.78 - DCA for 4 month timeframe", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Disclosed live long positions in CIFR, NBIS, IREN miners plus AMZN DCA, RKLB swing, CRDO rebound, BTC long-term, and ETOR undervalued thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMZN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Apart from ORCL, $NBIS, $IREN, $CIFR today these were some fun (short term) portfolio adds/trades and entries if you were curious + tiny bit of my reasoning: \n\nGEMI ~$23.9 - fun short term swing trade +- ~5% all the time. Overvalued though MC wise.\n\nAMZN ~$219.78 - DCA for 4 month timeframe. \n\nFigma ~$52.65 - was down like 4-5%, just expected it to recover. Profit margins are like 90% or something stupid off 1B revenue. Fun short term trade\n\nRKLB ~ $46.29 - fun swing trade between $43 -> 53.  \n\nCRDO ~ $142.21 - Just thought it might rebound in Oct, DCA \n\nBTC ~ $109.5k - don't really care about +-5k too much, this is for long term positions.  \n\nKLAR ~ $39.95 - fun swing trade \n\nETOR ~ $40.95 - incredibly undervalued lol. I might end up with $1M of this thing and it will just stay the same price.   \n\nAnd of course sold weekly covered calls on ORCL, CIFR, NBIS, IREN, etc... for way out of money strikes.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Eh I normally don't do calls but risk/reward looks good to me on miners\n\nAdded $CIFR $30k worth of Jan calls $11 strike on the 5% drop to $11.\n\nAdded $NBIS $100k worth of calls, this was just one of the strikes on the 4.6% drop to $103.\n\nAdded $IREN shares $40.13 on the 13% drop. https://t.co/OP9EYjg34h", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.007416529674519445, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007416529674519445, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0017200214256705149, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007142815769744737, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0056965082488489305, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014559345444264182, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01087450815780766, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01087450815780766, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008064141716667805, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006494344431956733, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028103664411398555, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004380163725850927, "ret_p1w": -0.0012285206750414224, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0012285206750414224, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.012394674814565243, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.006489251501993976, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01116615413952382, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007717772177035398, "ret_p1m": 0.03271454400464546, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03271454400464546, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.002672644931446033, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.026999375244006085, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035387188936091496, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0057151687606393775, "ret_p3m": 0.05733008541950424, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05733008541950424, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.011094034301089462, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03248393469999855, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04623605111841478, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02484615071950569, "ret_p6m": -0.0438620413285602, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.0438620413285602, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.03976980054060031, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.03369102079170572, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.004092240787959889, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07755306212026591, "price_path": [0.0031, 0.0006, 0.0165, 0.0165, 0.0168, -0.0019, 0.0126, 0.0113, 0.0238, 0.0269, 0.0299, 0.0155, 0.0187, 0.0289, 0.0433, 0.035, 0.0387, 0.0566, 0.0531, 0.0592, 0.0511, 0.0474, 0.0652, -0.0229, -0.037, -0.0274, 0.0115, 0.0152, 0.0132, 0.0069, 0.0077, 0.0217, 0.051, 0.0512, 0.0533, 0.0374, 0.0183, 0.0099, 0.0412, 0.0371, 0.0406, 0.0425, 0.0538, 0.042, 0.042, 0.0253, 0.0283, 0.0723, 0.0571, 0.0731, 0.084, 0.048, 0.0463, 0.0381, 0.053, 0.0649, 0.0539, 0.0521, 0.0532, 0.0357, 0.0042, 0.002, -0.0074, 0.0, 0.0109, -0.001, 0.0039, 0.012, -0.0012, 0.0051, 0.0091, 0.0248, 0.0362, -0.0155, 0.0013, -0.0154, -0.0192, -0.0242, -0.0307, -0.015, 0.0102, -0.0083, 0.006, 0.0202, 0.0327, 0.0431, 0.0479, 0.014, 0.1112, 0.1557, 0.1344, 0.1384, 0.1058, 0.1121, 0.1302, 0.1334, 0.1111, 0.081, 0.0678, 0.0596, 0.0126, 0.0132, -0.012, 0.0041, 0.0296, 0.045, 0.0427, 0.0427, 0.0612, 0.0642, 0.0666, 0.0573, 0.0425, 0.0444, 0.0324, 0.037, 0.0546, 0.0478, 0.0292, 0.0126, 0.0126, 0.0068, 0.0318, 0.0344, 0.0394, 0.0562, 0.0573, 0.0573, 0.058, 0.0559, 0.058, 0.0502, 0.0502, 0.0306, 0.0604, 0.0962, 0.0991, 0.1206, 0.1256, 0.1214, 0.1038, 0.0768, 0.0837, 0.088, 0.088, 0.0511, 0.0525, 0.0662, 0.0882, 0.0848, 0.1133, 0.1057, 0.0999, 0.0888, 0.1055, 0.0857, 0.0601, 0.0132, -0.043, -0.0503, -0.0583, -0.0714, -0.0918, -0.0955, -0.0955, -0.0848, -0.0682, -0.0679, -0.044, -0.066, -0.0511, -0.0416, -0.054, -0.0445, -0.0518, -0.0503, -0.0135, -0.0038, -0.0299, -0.0286, -0.0248, -0.0324, -0.0466, -0.0551, -0.0366, -0.0208, -0.0451, -0.0501, -0.0656, -0.0439]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1971668048588558518", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-09-26T20:07:49+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "RKLB ~ $46.29 - fun swing trade between $43 -> 53", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Disclosed live long positions in CIFR, NBIS, IREN miners plus AMZN DCA, RKLB swing, CRDO rebound, BTC long-term, and ETOR undervalued thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Apart from ORCL, $NBIS, $IREN, $CIFR today these were some fun (short term) portfolio adds/trades and entries if you were curious + tiny bit of my reasoning: \n\nGEMI ~$23.9 - fun short term swing trade +- ~5% all the time. Overvalued though MC wise.\n\nAMZN ~$219.78 - DCA for 4 month timeframe. \n\nFigma ~$52.65 - was down like 4-5%, just expected it to recover. Profit margins are like 90% or something stupid off 1B revenue. Fun short term trade\n\nRKLB ~ $46.29 - fun swing trade between $43 -> 53.  \n\nCRDO ~ $142.21 - Just thought it might rebound in Oct, DCA \n\nBTC ~ $109.5k - don't really care about +-5k too much, this is for long term positions.  \n\nKLAR ~ $39.95 - fun swing trade \n\nETOR ~ $40.95 - incredibly undervalued lol. I might end up with $1M of this thing and it will just stay the same price.   \n\nAnd of course sold weekly covered calls on ORCL, CIFR, NBIS, IREN, etc... for way out of money strikes.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Eh I normally don't do calls but risk/reward looks good to me on miners\n\nAdded $CIFR $30k worth of Jan calls $11 strike on the 5% drop to $11.\n\nAdded $NBIS $100k worth of calls, this was just one of the strikes on the 4.6% drop to $103.\n\nAdded $IREN shares $40.13 on the 13% drop. https://t.co/OP9EYjg34h", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.007998330307111168, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007998330307111168, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.013694838555960098, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01691170216617044, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0056965082488489305, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008913371859059271, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.016212711353491116, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.016212711353491116, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01340234491235126, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.013132437773674788, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028103664411398555, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0030802735798163283, "ret_p1w": 0.21400782285092812, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.21400782285092812, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2028416687114043, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.20201417741205252, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01116615413952382, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0119936454388756, "ret_p1m": 0.4185042180608358, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4185042180608358, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3831170291247443, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3974661809588853, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035387188936091496, "bench_c_p1m": 0.021038037101950513, "ret_p3m": 0.6683960896135586, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6683960896135586, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.6221600384951438, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.6326153056703474, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04623605111841478, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03578078394321116, "ret_p6m": 0.46995249604985867, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.46995249604985867, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.47404473683781856, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.39465978200883267, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.004092240787959889, "bench_c_p6m": 0.075292714041026, "price_path": [-0.2579, -0.2287, -0.2291, -0.2291, -0.1595, -0.1626, -0.1539, -0.1548, -0.1563, -0.0659, -0.0359, 0.0309, 0.1096, 0.1109, 0.0201, 0.0134, 0.0625, 0.0404, 0.0253, -0.0249, -0.0534, 0.0039, -0.0073, -0.0313, -0.0372, -0.0326, -0.0467, -0.0443, -0.0339, -0.0268, -0.0612, -0.0705, -0.0746, -0.043, -0.0279, -0.1154, -0.1204, -0.1022, -0.0406, 0.0208, 0.0404, -0.0002, 0.0357, 0.0506, 0.0506, 0.0659, -0.059, -0.0707, -0.0091, 0.0318, 0.0166, -0.0019, 0.0469, 0.153, 0.1682, 0.0213, 0.0393, 0.0199, 0.0331, 0.0767, 0.1438, 0.0525, 0.008, 0.0, 0.0162, 0.0357, 0.037, 0.1342, 0.214, 0.2646, 0.3297, 0.4118, 0.4358, 0.3891, 0.4142, 0.4706, 0.4974, 0.4483, 0.4326, 0.4559, 0.4137, 0.3092, 0.3742, 0.3956, 0.4185, 0.3781, 0.4302, 0.3169, 0.3614, 0.326, 0.2229, 0.2196, 0.0724, 0.1163, 0.1219, 0.1077, 0.0802, -0.0218, -0.0156, -0.0638, -0.0752, -0.0571, -0.1466, -0.1288, -0.0824, -0.0791, -0.0936, -0.0936, -0.0891, -0.1273, -0.0942, -0.0333, 0.0672, 0.0604, 0.1146, 0.155, 0.2434, 0.3733, 0.3292, 0.1978, 0.1995, 0.1665, 0.2953, 0.5244, 0.6764, 0.6684, 0.6684, 0.6684, 0.5272, 0.5158, 0.5229, 0.508, 0.508, 0.6427, 0.6891, 0.8597, 0.8176, 0.7959, 0.8342, 0.9001, 0.8716, 0.9844, 0.962, 1.0817, 1.0817, 0.9274, 0.8984, 0.9019, 0.9217, 0.7397, 0.8807, 0.9146, 0.8521, 0.7309, 0.6029, 0.7568, 0.5804, 0.4336, 0.5633, 0.6394, 0.5571, 0.505, 0.4269, 0.4578, 0.4578, 0.5108, 0.6087, 0.6554, 0.5318, 0.5177, 0.5125, 0.5175, 0.5705, 0.4937, 0.5342, 0.516, 0.5545, 0.5132, 0.5156, 0.5452, 0.4901, 0.5556, 0.478, 0.4788, 0.5415, 0.6989, 0.5019, 0.5549, 0.4533, 0.47]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1971668048588558518", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2025-09-26T20:07:49+00:00", "symbol": "CRDO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CRDO ~ $142.21 - Just thought it might rebound in Oct, DCA", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Disclosed live long positions in CIFR, NBIS, IREN miners plus AMZN DCA, RKLB swing, CRDO rebound, BTC long-term, and ETOR undervalued thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRDO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Apart from ORCL, $NBIS, $IREN, $CIFR today these were some fun (short term) portfolio adds/trades and entries if you were curious + tiny bit of my reasoning: \n\nGEMI ~$23.9 - fun short term swing trade +- ~5% all the time. Overvalued though MC wise.\n\nAMZN ~$219.78 - DCA for 4 month timeframe. \n\nFigma ~$52.65 - was down like 4-5%, just expected it to recover. Profit margins are like 90% or something stupid off 1B revenue. Fun short term trade\n\nRKLB ~ $46.29 - fun swing trade between $43 -> 53.  \n\nCRDO ~ $142.21 - Just thought it might rebound in Oct, DCA \n\nBTC ~ $109.5k - don't really care about +-5k too much, this is for long term positions.  \n\nKLAR ~ $39.95 - fun swing trade \n\nETOR ~ $40.95 - incredibly undervalued lol. I might end up with $1M of this thing and it will just stay the same price.   \n\nAnd of course sold weekly covered calls on ORCL, CIFR, NBIS, IREN, etc... for way out of money strikes.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Eh I normally don't do calls but risk/reward looks good to me on miners\n\nAdded $CIFR $30k worth of Jan calls $11 strike on the 5% drop to $11.\n\nAdded $NBIS $100k worth of calls, this was just one of the strikes on the 4.6% drop to $103.\n\nAdded $IREN shares $40.13 on the 13% drop. https://t.co/OP9EYjg34h", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.014062897002901753, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.014062897002901753, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.019759405251750684, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01642451967843661, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0056965082488489305, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002361622675534858, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.021549023919992027, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.021549023919992027, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.018738657478852172, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01893893955240844, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028103664411398555, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002610084367583587, "ret_p1w": 0.006576663328728527, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.006576663328728527, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.004589490810795294, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03959811577389294, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01116615413952382, "bench_c_p1w": 0.046174779102621466, "ret_p1m": 0.08416717732137946, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08416717732137946, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.048779988385287965, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03428408066813349, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035387188936091496, "bench_c_p1m": 0.11845125798951295, "ret_p3m": 0.05079416593893926, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05079416593893926, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.004558114820524484, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08432219394127016, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04623605111841478, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13511635988020942, "ret_p6m": -0.2646749887371278, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2646749887371278, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2605827479491679, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4845423737358441, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.004092240787959889, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21986738499871628, "price_path": [-0.3872, -0.3747, -0.3451, -0.3451, -0.3512, -0.3468, -0.3172, -0.3193, -0.3107, -0.3095, -0.2822, -0.292, -0.3112, -0.346, -0.3302, -0.3498, -0.3115, -0.2922, -0.2918, -0.2447, -0.2347, -0.1883, -0.2195, -0.2475, -0.1975, -0.2284, -0.179, -0.162, -0.1576, -0.1704, -0.1228, -0.1525, -0.1791, -0.1832, -0.1692, -0.2563, -0.2584, -0.2244, -0.2021, -0.1925, -0.1597, -0.1413, -0.0777, -0.1391, -0.1391, -0.1306, -0.1271, -0.0625, -0.0148, 0.0322, 0.0427, 0.1471, 0.1147, 0.1334, 0.1473, 0.1504, 0.1505, 0.2056, 0.1863, 0.1481, 0.1352, 0.0451, 0.0141, 0.0, 0.0215, 0.0188, 0.0139, 0.0469, 0.0066, 0.0314, -0.0401, 0.0416, 0.0575, -0.0287, 0.0488, -0.0922, -0.0806, -0.0448, 0.0048, 0.0611, 0.0087, -0.0401, 0.0563, 0.0883, 0.0842, 0.1347, 0.2, 0.1657, 0.3127, 0.2638, 0.149, 0.2115, 0.1386, 0.1447, 0.1905, 0.1089, 0.1218, 0.0001, 0.0181, 0.0185, -0.0236, -0.0073, -0.0574, -0.066, 0.0554, 0.0787, 0.1475, 0.1475, 0.2426, 0.1973, 0.3184, 0.3237, 0.2658, 0.2317, 0.2519, 0.1914, 0.1053, 0.0807, 0.0069, -0.0064, -0.0181, -0.0616, -0.0305, 0.0504, 0.049, 0.0341, 0.0508, 0.0508, 0.0133, 0.0124, 0.0139, 0.0067, 0.0067, 0.002, -0.0188, -0.0698, -0.0135, -0.0094, 0.0524, 0.0919, 0.1291, 0.0973, 0.0433, 0.0563, 0.0563, 0.072, -0.0264, -0.0548, -0.0684, -0.1043, -0.0935, -0.0928, -0.0942, -0.1235, -0.1607, -0.2212, -0.3217, -0.3139, -0.2206, -0.1366, -0.0574, -0.1017, -0.148, -0.1504, -0.1504, -0.1268, -0.1051, -0.0858, -0.132, -0.1321, -0.1546, -0.1362, -0.199, -0.2145, -0.2009, -0.3192, -0.2826, -0.1972, -0.2316, -0.1886, -0.2141, -0.189, -0.2194, -0.1766, -0.1823, -0.272, -0.2883, -0.2508, -0.2766, -0.2647]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1971668048588558518", "ticker_idx": 6, "ts": "2025-09-26T20:07:49+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "BTC ~ $109.5k - don't really care about +-5k too much, this is for long term positions", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Disclosed live long positions in CIFR, NBIS, IREN miners plus AMZN DCA, RKLB swing, CRDO rebound, BTC long-term, and ETOR undervalued thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Apart from ORCL, $NBIS, $IREN, $CIFR today these were some fun (short term) portfolio adds/trades and entries if you were curious + tiny bit of my reasoning: \n\nGEMI ~$23.9 - fun short term swing trade +- ~5% all the time. Overvalued though MC wise.\n\nAMZN ~$219.78 - DCA for 4 month timeframe. \n\nFigma ~$52.65 - was down like 4-5%, just expected it to recover. Profit margins are like 90% or something stupid off 1B revenue. Fun short term trade\n\nRKLB ~ $46.29 - fun swing trade between $43 -> 53.  \n\nCRDO ~ $142.21 - Just thought it might rebound in Oct, DCA \n\nBTC ~ $109.5k - don't really care about +-5k too much, this is for long term positions.  \n\nKLAR ~ $39.95 - fun swing trade \n\nETOR ~ $40.95 - incredibly undervalued lol. I might end up with $1M of this thing and it will just stay the same price.   \n\nAnd of course sold weekly covered calls on ORCL, CIFR, NBIS, IREN, etc... for way out of money strikes.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Eh I normally don't do calls but risk/reward looks good to me on miners\n\nAdded $CIFR $30k worth of Jan calls $11 strike on the 5% drop to $11.\n\nAdded $NBIS $100k worth of calls, this was just one of the strikes on the 4.6% drop to $103.\n\nAdded $IREN shares $40.13 on the 13% drop. https://t.co/OP9EYjg34h", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.006047962429188369, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006047962429188369, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00035145418033943887, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0056965082488489305, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.04272567545300432, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04272567545300432, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.039915309011864464, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028103664411398555, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": 0.11442329342469493, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11442329342469493, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1032571392851711, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01116615413952382, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": 0.04016394504915599, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04016394504915599, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.004776756113064495, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035387188936091496, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.20144287195221733, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.20144287195221733, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2476789230706321, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04623605111841478, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.35363201745010164, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.35363201745010164, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.34953977666214175, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.004092240787959889, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0366, -0.0078, -0.0006, -0.0153, -0.0129, -0.007, 0.0147, 0.0572, 0.0711, 0.0924, 0.0735, 0.0823, 0.0873, 0.0756, 0.0704, 0.0937, 0.0824, 0.0789, 0.0722, 0.0748, 0.0748, 0.074, 0.0551, 0.0329, 0.0488, 0.0404, 0.0484, 0.0709, 0.0636, 0.0822, 0.0953, 0.1242, 0.0788, 0.0701, 0.0596, 0.0284, 0.0416, 0.0247, 0.0653, 0.0038, 0.019, 0.0138, 0.0258, -0.0119, -0.0042, 0.0136, 0.0183, 0.0092, 0.0086, 0.0215, 0.0166, 0.0387, 0.0528, 0.0582, 0.0522, 0.065, 0.0616, 0.0677, 0.0545, 0.0277, 0.021, 0.033, -0.006, 0.0, 0.0427, 0.0396, 0.0814, 0.1, 0.1144, 0.1371, 0.107, 0.1243, 0.1093, 0.0319, 0.0507, 0.031, 0.0098, -0.0139, -0.0296, 0.008, -0.0113, -0.0185, 0.0033, 0.012, 0.0402, 0.0296, 0.0031, -0.0128, -0.0014, -0.0289, -0.074, -0.0531, -0.0767, -0.0578, -0.0339, -0.0612, -0.0734, -0.0913, -0.1396, -0.1606, -0.1528, -0.1663, -0.2104, -0.2244, -0.1954, -0.2039, -0.175, -0.168, -0.1713, -0.2132, -0.1674, -0.1475, -0.1602, -0.1853, -0.1738, -0.1551, -0.1613, -0.1568, -0.1772, -0.2123, -0.1993, -0.2148, -0.221, -0.197, -0.1934, -0.2032, -0.2014, -0.2049, -0.2043, -0.2058, -0.194, -0.2024, -0.1912, -0.1802, -0.1443, -0.1457, -0.1678, -0.1703, -0.175, -0.1688, -0.1312, -0.1165, -0.1291, -0.1293, -0.1564, -0.1951, -0.1854, -0.1846, -0.1842, -0.1955, -0.1879, -0.1871, -0.2292, -0.2332, -0.2828, -0.3106, -0.3344, -0.4285, -0.3569, -0.3609, -0.373, -0.3894, -0.3964, -0.3724, -0.3725, -0.3848, -0.3946, -0.3897, -0.3802, -0.411, -0.4159, -0.3806, -0.3852, -0.3995, -0.3731, -0.3775, -0.3373, -0.3543, -0.379, -0.3765, -0.3626, -0.3601, -0.3575, -0.3531, -0.3177, -0.3262, -0.3506, -0.3628, -0.3572, -0.3536]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1971668048588558518", "ticker_idx": 7, "ts": "2025-09-26T20:07:49+00:00", "symbol": "ETOR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "ETOR ~ $40.95 - incredibly undervalued lol", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Disclosed live long positions in CIFR, NBIS, IREN miners plus AMZN DCA, RKLB swing, CRDO rebound, BTC long-term, and ETOR undervalued thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETOR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Apart from ORCL, $NBIS, $IREN, $CIFR today these were some fun (short term) portfolio adds/trades and entries if you were curious + tiny bit of my reasoning: \n\nGEMI ~$23.9 - fun short term swing trade +- ~5% all the time. Overvalued though MC wise.\n\nAMZN ~$219.78 - DCA for 4 month timeframe. \n\nFigma ~$52.65 - was down like 4-5%, just expected it to recover. Profit margins are like 90% or something stupid off 1B revenue. Fun short term trade\n\nRKLB ~ $46.29 - fun swing trade between $43 -> 53.  \n\nCRDO ~ $142.21 - Just thought it might rebound in Oct, DCA \n\nBTC ~ $109.5k - don't really care about +-5k too much, this is for long term positions.  \n\nKLAR ~ $39.95 - fun swing trade \n\nETOR ~ $40.95 - incredibly undervalued lol. I might end up with $1M of this thing and it will just stay the same price.   \n\nAnd of course sold weekly covered calls on ORCL, CIFR, NBIS, IREN, etc... for way out of money strikes.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Eh I normally don't do calls but risk/reward looks good to me on miners\n\nAdded $CIFR $30k worth of Jan calls $11 strike on the 5% drop to $11.\n\nAdded $NBIS $100k worth of calls, this was just one of the strikes on the 4.6% drop to $103.\n\nAdded $IREN shares $40.13 on the 13% drop. https://t.co/OP9EYjg34h", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0017031556550615168, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0017031556550615168, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.003993352593787414, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.003993352593787414, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0056965082488489305, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0056965082488489305, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02165457998510867, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02165457998510867, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.018844213543968813, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.018844213543968813, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028103664411398555, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0028103664411398555, "ret_p1w": -0.002919682149387981, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.002919682149387981, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.014085836288911802, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.014085836288911802, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01116615413952382, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01116615413952382, "ret_p1m": -0.020681228848616673, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.020681228848616673, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05606841778470817, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05606841778470817, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035387188936091496, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035387188936091496, "ret_p3m": -0.12530408521607062, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.12530408521607062, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1715401363344854, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1715401363344854, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04623605111841478, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04623605111841478, "ret_p6m": -0.2712894920957799, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2712894920957799, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.26719725130782, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.26719725130782, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.004092240787959889, "bench_c_p6m": -0.004092240787959889, "price_path": [0.5647, 0.5431, 0.5273, 0.5273, 0.4894, 0.4912, 0.4844, 0.4445, 0.4022, 0.3672, 0.3105, 0.3871, 0.4146, 0.3815, 0.3669, 0.4017, 0.5173, 0.5513, 0.5835, 0.545, 0.4771, 0.5088, 0.4589, 0.4134, 0.4421, 0.4103, 0.3696, 0.3715, 0.4095, 0.3455, 0.2345, 0.1679, 0.1572, 0.1713, 0.1589, 0.0878, 0.0798, 0.0886, 0.1341, 0.0886, 0.1041, 0.0832, 0.0803, 0.0803, 0.0803, 0.137, 0.1411, 0.123, 0.129, 0.1178, 0.1049, 0.0372, 0.08, 0.074, 0.0547, 0.0567, 0.0443, 0.0689, 0.0742, 0.0954, 0.0647, 0.0324, -0.0017, 0.0, 0.0217, 0.0041, -0.0496, 0.009, -0.0029, 0.0024, -0.0141, -0.0041, -0.0392, -0.0599, -0.0423, -0.0491, -0.062, -0.0625, -0.0903, -0.0375, -0.0345, -0.0786, -0.0745, -0.0445, -0.0207, -0.0506, -0.0776, -0.0886, -0.0983, -0.1127, -0.162, -0.1676, -0.1856, -0.1513, -0.082, 0.0034, 0.0056, -0.0448, -0.0146, -0.0628, -0.046, -0.0679, -0.1095, -0.1049, -0.0535, -0.029, 0.0214, 0.0214, 0.0212, 0.019, 0.0153, 0.0389, 0.0689, 0.0465, 0.0051, 0.0243, -0.0083, -0.0445, -0.0766, -0.1107, -0.1236, -0.1543, -0.1345, -0.119, -0.1127, -0.1187, -0.1253, -0.1253, -0.1275, -0.1321, -0.1353, -0.1453, -0.1453, -0.1319, -0.117, -0.1472, -0.1903, -0.2085, -0.2307, -0.2224, -0.2409, -0.238, -0.2392, -0.2377, -0.2377, -0.2504, -0.2564, -0.2433, -0.2343, -0.2387, -0.2343, -0.236, -0.2647, -0.2847, -0.3078, -0.3418, -0.3543, -0.3976, -0.3428, -0.3139, -0.3119, -0.3445, -0.3494, -0.3319, -0.3319, -0.1954, -0.2253, -0.2457, -0.2414, -0.2569, -0.2521, -0.2107, -0.2146, -0.2538, -0.2538, -0.2338, -0.2058, -0.2044, -0.2258, -0.2316, -0.2453, -0.2482, -0.2706, -0.2674, -0.2567, -0.2423, -0.2691, -0.2852, -0.2839, -0.2713]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1983954542837543061", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-30T17:49:57+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$META will probably recover in a week or two", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "META likely recovers in 1-2 weeks; dip is a one-time tax item, capex concern is just narrative.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@soulbiri1 Yeah great buy, stellar earnings, looks off due to one-time tax.\n\nDon’t like capex spend but it’s just narrative at this point since people are cheering on other mag7 capex spend.\n\n$META will probably recover in a week or two", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Sold at $750 before earnings, now buying back in at a discount. I got totally lucky there 😎", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": 0.12783760853035342, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.12783760853035342, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.11671716030302748, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.11060527127304076, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01112044822732594, "bench_c_m1d": 0.017232337257312658, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0271880753086835, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0271880753086835, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03046817504076227, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.031474263216923815, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0032800997320787673, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004286187908240313, "ret_p1w": -0.07131610032755076, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07131610032755076, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05731256289781883, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.054521086689985454, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014003537429731927, "bench_c_p1w": -0.016795013637565304, "ret_p1m": -0.02778819201129268, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02778819201129268, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03302472207244789, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03714789811047614, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005236530061155209, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009359706099183462, "ret_p3m": 0.01057634595342738, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.01057634595342738, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.01548170245765923, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.015302317866079607, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02605804841108661, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025878663819506986, "ret_p6m": 0.0145377399744413, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0145377399744413, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.04161618056548577, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0026416026067876963, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05615392053992707, "bench_c_p6m": 0.017179342581228996, "price_path": [0.1641, 0.1448, 0.1575, 0.1423, 0.1535, 0.1484, 0.1846, 0.1697, 0.1727, 0.1774, 0.1506, 0.1268, 0.1212, 0.1082, 0.1318, 0.1295, 0.1307, 0.1206, 0.1262, 0.1076, 0.1076, 0.1022, 0.1052, 0.1225, 0.1282, 0.128, 0.1481, 0.1275, 0.1259, 0.133, 0.1466, 0.1681, 0.1631, 0.1699, 0.1671, 0.1481, 0.1334, 0.1413, 0.1237, 0.116, 0.1154, 0.1019, 0.0763, 0.0909, 0.0662, 0.0738, 0.0699, 0.0771, 0.1006, 0.0583, 0.0739, 0.0633, 0.0766, 0.0684, 0.0757, 0.0986, 0.1002, 0.1004, 0.1013, 0.1079, 0.1266, 0.1275, 0.1278, 0.0, -0.0272, -0.0432, -0.0587, -0.0458, -0.0713, -0.0672, -0.0521, -0.0591, -0.0862, -0.0849, -0.0855, -0.0967, -0.1032, -0.1143, -0.116, -0.1084, -0.0802, -0.0454, -0.0493, -0.0493, -0.0278, -0.0384, -0.0291, -0.0403, -0.0074, 0.0104, 0.0005, -0.0143, -0.0245, -0.0206, -0.0334, -0.0277, -0.0132, -0.0247, -0.0022, -0.0107, -0.0066, -0.0015, 0.0024, 0.0024, -0.004, -0.0109, 0.0, -0.0088, -0.0088, -0.0233, -0.0107, -0.008, -0.0259, -0.0298, -0.0193, -0.036, -0.0523, -0.0757, -0.0678, -0.0686, -0.0686, -0.0928, -0.0795, -0.0275, -0.0108, 0.0097, 0.0106, 0.0042, 0.1087, 0.0759, 0.0608, 0.0387, 0.0046, 0.0064, -0.0067, 0.017, 0.0072, 0.0041, -0.0242, -0.0393, -0.0393, -0.04, -0.0341, -0.0318, -0.0154, -0.0431, -0.04, -0.0184, -0.0134, -0.0266, -0.0186, -0.0163, 0.0027, -0.008, -0.0316, -0.0278, -0.0178, -0.0166, -0.0417, -0.0784, -0.057, -0.0642, -0.0747, -0.0882, -0.1078, -0.0921, -0.1089, -0.1059, -0.1771, -0.2099, -0.1938, -0.1401, -0.1294, -0.1366, -0.1366, -0.1388, -0.1357, -0.0796, -0.0556, -0.0534, -0.0463, -0.0043, 0.0094, 0.0173, 0.0349, 0.0083, 0.0052, 0.0141, -0.0093, 0.0145]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1970893117428830323", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-24T16:48:31+00:00", "symbol": "TGT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TGT, $UNH, and $LULU look decent", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Picks TGT, UNH, and LULU as value plays right now.", "resolved_tickers": ["TGT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLP", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Discount Stores'", "bench_c_industry": "Discount Stores", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@taleino93 @SimionAdvisory I do value investing too lol, not just breakouts or swing trading! \n\nIf I had to pick another three right now, $TGT, $UNH, and $LULU look decent.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @SimionAdvisory Just wanted to shoutout @aleabitoreddit for their $UPWK play back in July. Great fundamentals for a great value at $13ish. I'm long $UPWK and expect their partnership with Lifted to pay off in the long run. Based on their next ER, we could easily see $25 EOY.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "platochi", "ret_m1d": -0.014267855046492861, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014267855046492861, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017459643600343244, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01210281840358507, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003191788553850383, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0021650366429077916, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.013248754402810925, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.013248754402810925, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008635256914338862, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.003697023658867038, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0046134974884720625, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009551730743943887, "ret_p1w": 0.009398759166464155, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.009398759166464155, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0017191124075000008, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.012837346775788405, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011117871573964155, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0034385876093242507, "ret_p1m": 0.06726305107171493, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06726305107171493, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.051138372249152075, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.056692479554637965, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.016124678822562855, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010570571517076965, "ret_p3m": 0.09160906571379335, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09160906571379335, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05265329384199635, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09180251150637198, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.038955771871796996, "bench_c_p3m": -0.00019344579257862815, "ret_p6m": 0.32591755632796904, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.32591755632796904, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3249348390236302, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.27360445584203985, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0009827173043388537, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05231310048592919, "price_path": [0.1116, 0.1051, 0.1634, 0.1813, 0.1657, 0.1657, 0.1381, 0.1427, 0.1474, 0.1733, 0.1677, 0.1748, 0.145, 0.1352, 0.1611, 0.159, 0.1394, 0.1935, 0.2035, 0.1854, 0.188, 0.1923, 0.1671, 0.1554, 0.1258, 0.1176, 0.1179, 0.1474, 0.1806, 0.1837, 0.1807, 0.1651, 0.1904, 0.1931, 0.1805, 0.1666, 0.1884, 0.1931, 0.1175, 0.0991, 0.1238, 0.0999, 0.0883, 0.1093, 0.0963, 0.0869, 0.0869, 0.0468, 0.0457, 0.0498, 0.055, 0.0361, 0.0294, 0.028, 0.0363, 0.0187, 0.0028, 0.016, 0.007, 0.0126, -0.002, -0.0198, -0.0143, 0.0, -0.0132, -0.0052, 0.0059, 0.0157, 0.0094, 0.0136, 0.0082, 0.0074, 0.0109, 0.0234, 0.0089, -0.0315, -0.011, 0.0074, 0.0294, 0.0199, 0.0286, 0.0365, 0.069, 0.0647, 0.0673, 0.0674, 0.1071, 0.0996, 0.0658, 0.0522, 0.0499, 0.0356, 0.0189, 0.0411, 0.0095, 0.0332, 0.0274, 0.037, 0.0539, 0.0391, 0.0308, 0.0146, 0.0151, -0.013, -0.0405, 0.0047, -0.0306, -0.0072, 0.0297, 0.0297, 0.0391, 0.0476, 0.0374, 0.0425, 0.0502, 0.0571, 0.0671, 0.0735, 0.085, 0.1119, 0.1133, 0.1187, 0.1199, 0.1306, 0.1358, 0.1238, 0.0916, 0.0813, 0.1069, 0.1069, 0.1415, 0.1249, 0.1172, 0.1208, 0.1208, 0.1525, 0.1707, 0.196, 0.1887, 0.2192, 0.2099, 0.2171, 0.2456, 0.2592, 0.2743, 0.276, 0.276, 0.2537, 0.2159, 0.2212, 0.2395, 0.1921, 0.1937, 0.1666, 0.1792, 0.2094, 0.2559, 0.2762, 0.3087, 0.2711, 0.325, 0.3246, 0.2983, 0.3275, 0.3053, 0.3409, 0.3409, 0.3499, 0.3397, 0.3397, 0.3516, 0.3128, 0.3381, 0.3487, 0.3296, 0.318, 0.3109, 0.3992, 0.3909, 0.3941, 0.3991, 0.3916, 0.3985, 0.3758, 0.3407, 0.3592, 0.3558, 0.3524, 0.3326, 0.3259]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1970893117428830323", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-24T16:48:31+00:00", "symbol": "UNH", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TGT, $UNH, and $LULU look decent", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Picks TGT, UNH, and LULU as value plays right now.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLV", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Healthcare Plans'", "bench_c_industry": "Healthcare Plans", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@taleino93 @SimionAdvisory I do value investing too lol, not just breakouts or swing trading! \n\nIf I had to pick another three right now, $TGT, $UNH, and $LULU look decent.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @SimionAdvisory Just wanted to shoutout @aleabitoreddit for their $UPWK play back in July. Great fundamentals for a great value at $13ish. I'm long $UPWK and expect their partnership with Lifted to pay off in the long run. Based on their next ER, we could easily see $25 EOY.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "platochi", "ret_m1d": -0.011710865500267897, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011710865500267897, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01490265405411828, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015743417883117616, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003191788553850383, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004032552382849719, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01776528122824861, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01776528122824861, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013151783739776546, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0011952081707413686, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0046134974884720625, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01657007305750724, "ret_p1w": -0.009976958985656759, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.009976958985656759, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.021094830559620914, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06188694704650388, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011117871573964155, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05190998806084712, "ret_p1m": 0.024558688581606924, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.024558688581606924, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.00843400975904407, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04619424518627269, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.016124678822562855, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07075293376787961, "ret_p3m": -0.06953693818441098, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06953693818441098, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.10849271005620797, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.21303228848059963, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.038955771871796996, "bench_c_p3m": 0.14349535029618865, "ret_p6m": -0.191266821036153, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.191266821036153, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.19224953834049185, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.27077652493997273, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0009827173043388537, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07950970390381973, "price_path": [-0.1269, -0.1188, -0.0788, -0.1313, -0.1285, -0.1285, -0.1421, -0.1309, -0.1444, -0.154, -0.141, -0.151, -0.176, -0.1738, -0.1863, -0.2016, -0.2031, -0.1946, -0.1738, -0.2131, -0.2061, -0.2031, -0.2626, -0.2485, -0.2951, -0.3284, -0.3193, -0.291, -0.3058, -0.3089, -0.2913, -0.2871, -0.2612, -0.2322, -0.2331, -0.1413, -0.1286, -0.1406, -0.1531, -0.1432, -0.1317, -0.1389, -0.1514, -0.1417, -0.1461, -0.1247, -0.1247, -0.1278, -0.1304, -0.1233, -0.1091, -0.0954, -0.0173, -0.0205, -0.0012, -0.0043, -0.0111, -0.0342, -0.029, -0.0483, -0.043, -0.0299, -0.0117, 0.0, -0.0178, -0.022, -0.0188, -0.0185, -0.01, 0.0054, 0.0238, 0.0198, 0.0337, 0.0515, 0.0451, 0.0076, 0.0195, 0.0231, 0.0265, 0.0138, 0.0136, 0.036, 0.0385, 0.0275, 0.0246, 0.0304, 0.0403, 0.0456, 0.0098, -0.0201, -0.0291, -0.0512, -0.0596, -0.0684, -0.086, -0.0785, -0.0859, -0.0692, -0.0362, -0.0548, -0.0851, -0.0889, -0.1087, -0.1214, -0.1145, -0.0905, -0.0931, -0.0726, -0.0628, -0.0628, -0.0626, -0.0813, -0.0775, -0.0344, -0.0521, -0.0594, -0.0739, -0.074, -0.0604, -0.0364, -0.0218, -0.0239, -0.0437, -0.051, -0.061, -0.0631, -0.0695, -0.0706, -0.0626, -0.0626, -0.0505, -0.0587, -0.0495, -0.0554, -0.0554, -0.0374, -0.0213, -0.0014, -0.0222, -0.0075, -0.0157, -0.0256, -0.0444, -0.0415, -0.03, -0.0528, -0.0528, -0.0316, -0.0049, 0.0143, 0.0195, 0.0062, -0.191, -0.1586, -0.1636, -0.1789, -0.1828, -0.1868, -0.2104, -0.2315, -0.2084, -0.2111, -0.2182, -0.2019, -0.1863, -0.161, -0.161, -0.1728, -0.1753, -0.1703, -0.1701, -0.1921, -0.2161, -0.1867, -0.1797, -0.1608, -0.156, -0.1724, -0.1645, -0.1737, -0.1802, -0.1776, -0.1858, -0.1774, -0.201, -0.1865, -0.1767, -0.1707, -0.18, -0.1913]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1970893117428830323", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-09-24T16:48:31+00:00", "symbol": "LULU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TGT, $UNH, and $LULU look decent", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Picks TGT, UNH, and LULU as value plays right now.", "resolved_tickers": ["LULU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@taleino93 @SimionAdvisory I do value investing too lol, not just breakouts or swing trading! \n\nIf I had to pick another three right now, $TGT, $UNH, and $LULU look decent.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @SimionAdvisory Just wanted to shoutout @aleabitoreddit for their $UPWK play back in July. Great fundamentals for a great value at $13ish. I'm long $UPWK and expect their partnership with Lifted to pay off in the long run. Based on their next ER, we could easily see $25 EOY.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "platochi", "ret_m1d": -0.03286463201389622, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03286463201389622, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.036056420567746605, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.036056420567746605, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003191788553850383, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003191788553850383, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04022992224505295, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04022992224505295, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03561642475658089, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03561642475658089, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0046134974884720625, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0046134974884720625, "ret_p1w": -0.009206527648956242, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.009206527648956242, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.020324399222920397, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.020324399222920397, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011117871573964155, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011117871573964155, "ret_p1m": -0.0008927779322596141, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0008927779322596141, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01701745675482247, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01701745675482247, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.016124678822562855, "bench_c_p1m": 0.016124678822562855, "ret_p3m": 0.1849681601980424, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1849681601980424, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1460123883262454, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1460123883262454, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.038955771871796996, "bench_c_p3m": 0.038955771871796996, "ret_p6m": -0.07616334004860814, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.07616334004860814, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.077146057352947, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.077146057352947, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0009827173043388537, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0009827173043388537, "price_path": [0.3113, 0.3256, 0.3677, 0.3743, 0.382, 0.382, 0.3256, 0.331, 0.3162, 0.3309, 0.3197, 0.2771, 0.2398, 0.2616, 0.3018, 0.2821, 0.2455, 0.2495, 0.25, 0.2202, 0.2244, 0.2085, 0.1943, 0.152, 0.1189, 0.0787, 0.0961, 0.0884, 0.0965, 0.0665, 0.057, 0.0403, 0.0765, 0.1187, 0.0891, 0.1074, 0.1361, 0.1029, 0.1055, 0.1058, 0.1583, 0.1296, 0.1301, 0.147, 0.1443, 0.1282, 0.1282, 0.1171, 0.1077, 0.1499, -0.0637, -0.062, -0.0755, -0.0855, -0.075, -0.108, -0.1074, -0.0942, -0.0878, -0.0528, -0.0536, -0.0324, -0.0329, 0.0, -0.0402, -0.0163, -0.0006, -0.0072, -0.0092, -0.0057, -0.0203, -0.0285, -0.0338, -0.0246, -0.032, -0.0653, -0.0523, -0.0563, -0.0676, -0.0815, -0.0659, -0.0379, 0.0121, -0.0052, -0.0009, -0.0059, 0.0121, 0.0042, -0.0498, -0.0625, -0.0484, -0.0767, -0.1036, -0.0649, -0.0874, -0.073, -0.0495, -0.0525, -0.0464, -0.0533, -0.0477, -0.084, -0.0851, -0.0734, -0.0811, -0.0616, -0.0533, -0.0095, 0.0152, 0.0152, 0.0277, 0.0178, 0.0177, 0.0172, 0.0244, 0.0602, 0.0213, 0.0171, 0.0469, 0.0435, 0.1437, 0.151, 0.1536, 0.1599, 0.2003, 0.1687, 0.185, 0.1867, 0.174, 0.174, 0.166, 0.1859, 0.1755, 0.1595, 0.1595, 0.1763, 0.1851, 0.2046, 0.1813, 0.1839, 0.1377, 0.1664, 0.1823, 0.1335, 0.1439, 0.1264, 0.1264, 0.0532, 0.0593, 0.0862, 0.0661, 0.0757, 0.04, 0.0063, -0.0373, -0.0263, -0.0008, -0.0427, -0.0068, -0.0509, -0.0355, -0.0198, 0.0078, -0.0187, -0.0541, -0.0156, -0.0156, -0.0084, 0.0162, 0.0204, 0.0451, -0.0062, 0.0015, 0.0186, 0.0384, 0.0332, -0.017, -0.0276, -0.0335, -0.0337, -0.0507, -0.0528, -0.0714, -0.0917, -0.1173, -0.1196, -0.1077, -0.1113, -0.0772, -0.0762]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1985309709692535282", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-03T11:34:54+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I still maintain $NBIS $400 bull case 1Y PT but it's good to cost average", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Maintains $400 1Y PT on NBIS with highest asymmetry among Neoclouds; MSFT/GOOGL deals broadly bullish for IREN and Neocloud peers.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I still maintain $NBIS $400 bull case 1Y PT but it’s good to cost average.\n\n$IREN just got a $9B deal from $MSFT today and $GOOGL just announced financing so it’s generally bullish for all Neoclouds. \n\nSeveral miners got de-risked a lot today from the deal, but I’d still say Nebius has highest asymmetry.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit should i buy NBIS at 131? It shot up 5% last friday", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Batemanzm75", "ret_m1d": 0.08591355523068556, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08591355523068556, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08778681678889533, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07517315981838268, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010740395412302872, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08242716198685718, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08242716198685718, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07057362204440965, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.075560366211469, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006866795775388179, "ret_p1w": -0.08732467971995872, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08732467971995872, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08454416095747552, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08459559111130788, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0027290886086508426, "ret_p1m": -0.19938577263277246, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.19938577263277246, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19673703073352378, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2138236734625919, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014437900829819439, "ret_p3m": -0.21216898231591608, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21216898231591608, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23082847835699605, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.27016535998008484, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05799637766416876, "ret_p6m": 0.12484430259595736, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.12484430259595736, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.07742672938322026, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09926724251497565, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "bench_c_p6m": 0.025577060080981706, "price_path": [-0.5427, -0.4579, -0.4291, -0.417, -0.3747, -0.4137, -0.4317, -0.4055, -0.3979, -0.4423, -0.4399, -0.4507, -0.4274, -0.4188, -0.415, -0.4181, -0.402, -0.4329, -0.4329, -0.4545, -0.4551, -0.4612, -0.4565, -0.4682, -0.2054, -0.2248, -0.2596, -0.2495, -0.245, -0.2577, -0.2191, -0.2187, -0.1756, -0.1151, -0.1052, -0.0601, -0.104, -0.106, -0.0851, -0.0681, -0.0403, 0.0448, 0.0623, 0.0371, -0.023, 0.0127, 0.101, 0.0756, 0.1244, 0.0638, 0.0445, 0.0213, -0.0584, -0.0952, -0.1344, -0.1814, -0.1188, -0.0266, 0.0412, 0.0113, 0.0384, 0.0308, 0.0859, 0.0, -0.0824, -0.0288, -0.0916, -0.0763, -0.0873, -0.1515, -0.2167, -0.2643, -0.3065, -0.2863, -0.2484, -0.2108, -0.2974, -0.3089, -0.2372, -0.2622, -0.214, -0.214, -0.2125, -0.1687, -0.1994, -0.1789, -0.1467, -0.1862, -0.1672, -0.1997, -0.2231, -0.2174, -0.2721, -0.3265, -0.328, -0.3737, -0.3518, -0.2574, -0.2261, -0.2527, -0.2435, -0.2435, -0.2729, -0.2858, -0.293, -0.3052, -0.3052, -0.2533, -0.2294, -0.1679, -0.2014, -0.1923, -0.1871, -0.1091, -0.1248, -0.1535, -0.1377, -0.0975, -0.0975, -0.1758, -0.1793, -0.1961, -0.2156, -0.2408, -0.1876, -0.1663, -0.2122, -0.2929, -0.2682, -0.2533, -0.3161, -0.3868, -0.2853, -0.229, -0.2381, -0.2645, -0.2552, -0.1864, -0.1864, -0.1905, -0.155, -0.1067, -0.1872, -0.1649, -0.1485, -0.1191, -0.1294, -0.243, -0.2445, -0.2795, -0.1883, -0.206, -0.2585, -0.2119, -0.1996, -0.0703, -0.1032, -0.0624, 0.0779, -0.0344, -0.0159, 0.0087, -0.0237, -0.0525, -0.0462, -0.0447, -0.1204, -0.1631, -0.2342, -0.1387, -0.1537, -0.0967, -0.0967, -0.0658, -0.0255, 0.0376, 0.1317, 0.2034, 0.283, 0.3442, 0.3843, 0.3725, 0.3044, 0.3212, 0.2995, 0.2961, 0.3039, 0.2215, 0.2033, 0.1248]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1985309709692535282", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-03T11:34:54+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$IREN just got a $9B deal from $MSFT today and $GOOGL just announced financing so it's generally bullish for all Neoclouds", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Maintains $400 1Y PT on NBIS with highest asymmetry among Neoclouds; MSFT/GOOGL deals broadly bullish for IREN and Neocloud peers.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I still maintain $NBIS $400 bull case 1Y PT but it’s good to cost average.\n\n$IREN just got a $9B deal from $MSFT today and $GOOGL just announced financing so it’s generally bullish for all Neoclouds. \n\nSeveral miners got de-risked a lot today from the deal, but I’d still say Nebius has highest asymmetry.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit should i buy NBIS at 131? It shot up 5% last friday", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Batemanzm75", "ret_m1d": -0.10332103321033215, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10332103321033215, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.10144777165212238, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.10753956645400609, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004218533243673939, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01653140585360935, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01653140585360935, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004677865911161816, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0217086564081882, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005177250554578849, "ret_p1w": -0.11188194584582567, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11188194584582567, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10910142708334247, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12760582463574355, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015723878789917878, "ret_p1m": -0.3930627463928448, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3930627463928448, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3904140044935961, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.4062937683424098, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013231021949565047, "ret_p3m": -0.11675276527545553, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11675276527545553, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1354122613165355, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1471872809874556, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "bench_c_p3m": 0.030434515712000065, "ret_p6m": -0.34405906086038396, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.34405906086038396, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.39147663407312105, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.34690997950694125, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0028509186465572878, "price_path": [-0.7296, -0.7259, -0.7277, -0.7348, -0.7368, -0.7383, -0.7184, -0.7094, -0.6944, -0.7235, -0.7083, -0.7108, -0.6837, -0.6587, -0.6607, -0.67, -0.6599, -0.6092, -0.6092, -0.5703, -0.5836, -0.6143, -0.614, -0.6134, -0.5544, -0.5036, -0.5151, -0.4987, -0.4518, -0.462, -0.4406, -0.4639, -0.4297, -0.3815, -0.3835, -0.3042, -0.3168, -0.3821, -0.3221, -0.3073, -0.3051, -0.306, -0.2552, -0.1476, -0.0896, -0.1131, -0.0576, -0.1178, -0.0533, 0.0267, 0.0034, -0.0874, -0.1038, -0.1259, -0.1853, -0.235, -0.1755, -0.0716, -0.0407, -0.0787, -0.1082, -0.1407, -0.1033, 0.0, -0.0165, 0.1278, -0.0117, -0.0793, -0.1119, -0.1531, -0.1779, -0.2819, -0.3156, -0.3002, -0.279, -0.3235, -0.3584, -0.3762, -0.2843, -0.2993, -0.2849, -0.2849, -0.2943, -0.2843, -0.3931, -0.3511, -0.3144, -0.3401, -0.316, -0.3086, -0.3517, -0.3514, -0.4077, -0.4763, -0.4599, -0.5014, -0.4716, -0.4108, -0.3795, -0.379, -0.3804, -0.3804, -0.4052, -0.4183, -0.4347, -0.4425, -0.4425, -0.3697, -0.288, -0.3224, -0.3561, -0.3258, -0.3206, -0.2571, -0.2179, -0.2195, -0.2341, -0.1466, -0.1466, -0.1991, -0.2106, -0.2286, -0.1634, -0.2272, -0.1145, -0.071, -0.1168, -0.2068, -0.2165, -0.1972, -0.3367, -0.4127, -0.3826, -0.3188, -0.3663, -0.3702, -0.4092, -0.3768, -0.3768, -0.3953, -0.3789, -0.361, -0.4099, -0.3748, -0.3292, -0.3501, -0.347, -0.3956, -0.3891, -0.4266, -0.3529, -0.4077, -0.4583, -0.4267, -0.4373, -0.3804, -0.3894, -0.3863, -0.3367, -0.3659, -0.377, -0.3851, -0.3906, -0.3777, -0.3931, -0.3885, -0.4472, -0.4821, -0.5333, -0.494, -0.4968, -0.4868, -0.4868, -0.4815, -0.4725, -0.4564, -0.453, -0.4196, -0.3643, -0.3008, -0.2794, -0.2959, -0.2897, -0.2809, -0.3333, -0.2858, -0.2322, -0.2525, -0.2862, -0.3441]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1976033094932234314", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-08T21:12:57+00:00", "symbol": "AMD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AMD - Just got $100B+ in forward revenue lol, they almost doubled their quarterly revenue overnight and hasn't even been priced in yet. Extremely strong buy", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Strong buy AMD on $100B+ forward revenue rerate; long FLY, WLAC, MU on launch/neocloud/memory themes; trim ORCL on GPU buildout struggles vs neoclouds like NBIS.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Wow I cooked insanely hard with this ETF, everything is up a **** ton.\n\nAnyway, some company changes I'd make + explanations:\n\n$AMD - +10% (rerate)\n$FLY - +3% (new)\n$WLAC - +1% (new)\n$MU - +1% (new)\n$FLNC - .5% (new)\n$SEI - .5% (new)\n$DFLI - - .25% (new)\n\n_\n\nTrim (Tax harvesting)\n\n$ORCL\n$LULU\n$META\n$UPWK\n$ETOR\n$SNAP\nMisc small caps\n\n_\n\nHere's an explanation\n\n$AMD - Just got $100B+ in forward revenue lol, they almost doubled their quarterly revenue overnight and hasn't even been priced in yet. Extremely strong buy\n\n$FLY - $4.4B valuation doing small-medium lift launches like $RKLB. Reminds me of RocketLab when they first started, risk-reward is good.\n\n$WLAC - Neocloud IPO at $600m valuation (low) for something doing 75%+ EBITDA gross margin + 250% rev from last year + likely backstopped by Mag7\n\n$MU - Memory in demand given the amount of infra required by Stargate + OpenAI\n\n$FLNC + $SEI - Energy Play (high risk high reward)\n\n$DLFI - Battery Play (high risk high reward)\n\nTrim\n\n$ORCL - Having trouble with GPU buildout, just goes to show the moat between hyperscalers and Neoclouds like $NBIS. Higher upside just buying Neoclouds.\n\n$LULU, $META, $UPWK, $ETOR, $SNAP. - Hasn't gone up much, we're playing as aggressive as possible with winners and will buy back once tax harvesting is done, eg. swap for $AMD, and higher return triple rate cut returns. \n\nWill buy back near EOY once tax harvesting is done.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I've been getting a lot of stock weighting questions. A portfolio I'd build would be: \n\n30% $NBIS\n6% AMZN\n5.5% TSM\n5% BTC\n5% LULU\n4% UNH\n4% $RKLB\n4% LTC\n3% ORCL\n3% TGT\n3% GRAB\n2% $IREN\n2% META\n2% HOOD\n2% HIMS\n2% AMD\n2% NVO\n1.5% CRDO\n1% BITF\n1% ASTS\n1% SG\n1% UPWK\n1% MP\n1% FOUR\n1%", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.10209714425631866, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10209714425631866, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09616943906029773, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09616943906029773, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005927705196020927, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005927705196020927, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011334684142544904, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011334684142544904, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00843767576330745, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00843767576330745, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0028970083792374535, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0028970083792374535, "ret_p1w": 0.012905453287609614, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.012905453287609614, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.024701497258885707, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.024701497258885707, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011796043971276093, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011796043971276093, "ret_p1m": 0.009084731753387532, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.009084731753387532, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.013244484876622109, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.013244484876622109, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0041597531232345775, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0041597531232345775, "ret_p3m": -0.0614705207913635, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0614705207913635, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08619476559076023, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08619476559076023, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024724244799396722, "bench_c_p3m": 0.024724244799396722, "ret_p6m": -0.07666835517818116, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.07666835517818116, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.05654432404318366, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.05654432404318366, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0201240311349975, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0201240311349975, "price_path": [-0.3784, -0.3792, -0.3394, -0.3204, -0.319, -0.3335, -0.3335, -0.3432, -0.3265, -0.3118, -0.2933, -0.2628, -0.2467, -0.2379, -0.2515, -0.2711, -0.2495, -0.26, -0.3075, -0.2681, -0.2666, -0.2686, -0.2573, -0.2171, -0.2318, -0.2464, -0.2522, -0.293, -0.2987, -0.305, -0.2878, -0.3065, -0.2927, -0.2905, -0.2843, -0.3096, -0.3096, -0.3109, -0.3117, -0.3132, -0.3584, -0.3572, -0.3385, -0.3227, -0.3391, -0.3268, -0.3158, -0.3188, -0.3243, -0.3296, -0.3318, -0.3217, -0.3169, -0.317, -0.3154, -0.3231, -0.315, -0.3132, -0.3037, -0.2795, -0.3009, -0.1352, -0.1021, 0.0, -0.0113, -0.0877, -0.0813, -0.0742, 0.0129, -0.0042, -0.0105, 0.0212, 0.0105, -0.0226, -0.0024, 0.0737, 0.1024, 0.0953, 0.1221, 0.0818, 0.0873, 0.1023, 0.0615, 0.0882, 0.0091, -0.0086, 0.0357, 0.0083, 0.099, 0.0526, 0.0478, 0.0211, -0.0224, -0.051, -0.1254, -0.1349, -0.0871, -0.1249, -0.0905, -0.0905, -0.0765, -0.0671, -0.0863, -0.0762, -0.0831, -0.0747, -0.0613, -0.0592, -0.06, -0.06, -0.1052, -0.1188, -0.112, -0.159, -0.1465, -0.0939, -0.0875, -0.0877, -0.0871, -0.0871, -0.0873, -0.0847, -0.0858, -0.0908, -0.0908, -0.0513, -0.0615, -0.09, -0.1084, -0.1311, -0.1375, -0.1183, -0.0619, -0.0508, -0.0324, -0.0158, -0.0158, -0.0155, 0.0605, 0.0771, 0.1024, 0.0669, 0.0699, 0.0729, 0.0706, 0.005, 0.0455, 0.0278, -0.1502, -0.1828, -0.1151, -0.083, -0.0934, -0.0933, -0.1257, -0.1199, -0.1199, -0.1379, -0.1505, -0.1367, -0.1503, -0.1654, -0.0922, -0.1049, -0.1353, -0.1501, -0.1568, -0.1894, -0.1422, -0.1533, -0.1831, -0.1396, -0.1372, -0.1305, -0.1606, -0.179, -0.1655, -0.1666, -0.1533, -0.1286, -0.1453, -0.1396, -0.1282, -0.0649, -0.135, -0.1425, -0.1678, -0.1364, -0.1076, -0.0767]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1976033094932234314", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-08T21:12:57+00:00", "symbol": "FLY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$FLY - $4.4B valuation doing small-medium lift launches like $RKLB. Reminds me of RocketLab when they first started, risk-reward is good.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Strong buy AMD on $100B+ forward revenue rerate; long FLY, WLAC, MU on launch/neocloud/memory themes; trim ORCL on GPU buildout struggles vs neoclouds like NBIS.", "resolved_tickers": ["FLY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Wow I cooked insanely hard with this ETF, everything is up a **** ton.\n\nAnyway, some company changes I'd make + explanations:\n\n$AMD - +10% (rerate)\n$FLY - +3% (new)\n$WLAC - +1% (new)\n$MU - +1% (new)\n$FLNC - .5% (new)\n$SEI - .5% (new)\n$DFLI - - .25% (new)\n\n_\n\nTrim (Tax harvesting)\n\n$ORCL\n$LULU\n$META\n$UPWK\n$ETOR\n$SNAP\nMisc small caps\n\n_\n\nHere's an explanation\n\n$AMD - Just got $100B+ in forward revenue lol, they almost doubled their quarterly revenue overnight and hasn't even been priced in yet. Extremely strong buy\n\n$FLY - $4.4B valuation doing small-medium lift launches like $RKLB. Reminds me of RocketLab when they first started, risk-reward is good.\n\n$WLAC - Neocloud IPO at $600m valuation (low) for something doing 75%+ EBITDA gross margin + 250% rev from last year + likely backstopped by Mag7\n\n$MU - Memory in demand given the amount of infra required by Stargate + OpenAI\n\n$FLNC + $SEI - Energy Play (high risk high reward)\n\n$DLFI - Battery Play (high risk high reward)\n\nTrim\n\n$ORCL - Having trouble with GPU buildout, just goes to show the moat between hyperscalers and Neoclouds like $NBIS. Higher upside just buying Neoclouds.\n\n$LULU, $META, $UPWK, $ETOR, $SNAP. - Hasn't gone up much, we're playing as aggressive as possible with winners and will buy back once tax harvesting is done, eg. swap for $AMD, and higher return triple rate cut returns. \n\nWill buy back near EOY once tax harvesting is done.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I've been getting a lot of stock weighting questions. A portfolio I'd build would be: \n\n30% $NBIS\n6% AMZN\n5.5% TSM\n5% BTC\n5% LULU\n4% UNH\n4% $RKLB\n4% LTC\n3% ORCL\n3% TGT\n3% GRAB\n2% $IREN\n2% META\n2% HOOD\n2% HIMS\n2% AMD\n2% NVO\n1.5% CRDO\n1% BITF\n1% ASTS\n1% SG\n1% UPWK\n1% MP\n1% FOUR\n1%", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0825806279336253, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0825806279336253, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07665292273760438, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07665292273760438, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005927705196020927, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005927705196020927, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.030322597872826318, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.030322597872826318, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.027425589493588864, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.027425589493588864, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0028970083792374535, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0028970083792374535, "ret_p1w": -0.045161278017105566, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.045161278017105566, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03336523404582947, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03336523404582947, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011796043971276093, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011796043971276093, "ret_p1m": -0.3764516153643208, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3764516153643208, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.37229186224108624, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.37229186224108624, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0041597531232345775, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0041597531232345775, "ret_p3m": -0.16870966265278475, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.16870966265278475, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.19343390745218147, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.19343390745218147, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024724244799396722, "bench_c_p3m": 0.024724244799396722, "ret_p6m": 0.06225807436050901, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.06225807436050901, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08238210549550651, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08238210549550651, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0201240311349975, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0201240311349975, "price_path": [null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.9468, 0.6184, 0.7297, 0.6602, 0.6371, 0.5913, 0.5271, 0.5684, 0.4671, 0.4603, 0.4926, 0.4874, 0.4427, 0.4532, 0.5171, 0.521, 0.4635, 0.4635, 0.4268, 0.4316, 0.3813, 0.3752, 0.38, 0.4368, 0.3797, 0.3861, 0.4113, 0.4148, 0.4145, 0.3987, 0.4587, 0.4581, 0.5974, 0.3529, 0.3084, 0.2148, 0.1606, 0.1923, -0.0542, -0.1397, -0.1355, -0.1171, -0.0616, -0.0826, 0.0, -0.0303, -0.0852, -0.0361, -0.0294, -0.0452, -0.0952, -0.1497, -0.1252, -0.091, -0.1535, -0.1626, -0.1316, -0.1132, -0.1687, -0.1919, -0.2113, -0.2174, -0.2329, -0.2629, -0.2742, -0.3765, -0.3632, -0.3794, -0.3829, -0.4094, -0.309, -0.2597, -0.3716, -0.3626, -0.3735, -0.4542, -0.4587, -0.4561, -0.4406, -0.4377, -0.4377, -0.4287, -0.4577, -0.4226, -0.4016, -0.3477, -0.361, -0.3829, -0.3723, -0.3129, -0.2416, -0.2871, -0.3432, -0.3458, -0.4023, -0.3526, -0.2048, -0.0774, -0.1465, -0.1277, -0.1277, -0.2471, -0.2387, -0.2671, -0.2784, -0.2784, -0.2335, -0.1687, -0.1468, -0.1177, -0.0971, -0.0287, -0.0181, -0.0977, -0.0319, -0.0403, 0.0777, 0.0777, -0.0213, -0.0677, -0.0026, -0.0603, -0.1871, -0.0532, -0.069, -0.1261, -0.1871, -0.2626, -0.1916, -0.2126, -0.2776, -0.2297, -0.2029, -0.2581, -0.3284, -0.3829, -0.3774, -0.3774, -0.3426, -0.3074, -0.3055, -0.3555, -0.3555, -0.3323, -0.3435, -0.3055, -0.3784, -0.3252, -0.3271, -0.3097, -0.3426, -0.3635, -0.3306, -0.3745, -0.3355, -0.2506, -0.2429, -0.2281, -0.2071, -0.2519, -0.2594, -0.251, -0.2255, -0.2345, -0.1119, -0.1352, -0.2353, -0.2381, -0.0816, -0.04, 0.0623]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1976033094932234314", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-10-08T21:12:57+00:00", "symbol": "MU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$MU - Memory in demand given the amount of infra required by Stargate + OpenAI", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Strong buy AMD on $100B+ forward revenue rerate; long FLY, WLAC, MU on launch/neocloud/memory themes; trim ORCL on GPU buildout struggles vs neoclouds like NBIS.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Wow I cooked insanely hard with this ETF, everything is up a **** ton.\n\nAnyway, some company changes I'd make + explanations:\n\n$AMD - +10% (rerate)\n$FLY - +3% (new)\n$WLAC - +1% (new)\n$MU - +1% (new)\n$FLNC - .5% (new)\n$SEI - .5% (new)\n$DFLI - - .25% (new)\n\n_\n\nTrim (Tax harvesting)\n\n$ORCL\n$LULU\n$META\n$UPWK\n$ETOR\n$SNAP\nMisc small caps\n\n_\n\nHere's an explanation\n\n$AMD - Just got $100B+ in forward revenue lol, they almost doubled their quarterly revenue overnight and hasn't even been priced in yet. Extremely strong buy\n\n$FLY - $4.4B valuation doing small-medium lift launches like $RKLB. Reminds me of RocketLab when they first started, risk-reward is good.\n\n$WLAC - Neocloud IPO at $600m valuation (low) for something doing 75%+ EBITDA gross margin + 250% rev from last year + likely backstopped by Mag7\n\n$MU - Memory in demand given the amount of infra required by Stargate + OpenAI\n\n$FLNC + $SEI - Energy Play (high risk high reward)\n\n$DLFI - Battery Play (high risk high reward)\n\nTrim\n\n$ORCL - Having trouble with GPU buildout, just goes to show the moat between hyperscalers and Neoclouds like $NBIS. Higher upside just buying Neoclouds.\n\n$LULU, $META, $UPWK, $ETOR, $SNAP. - Hasn't gone up much, we're playing as aggressive as possible with winners and will buy back once tax harvesting is done, eg. swap for $AMD, and higher return triple rate cut returns. \n\nWill buy back near EOY once tax harvesting is done.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I've been getting a lot of stock weighting questions. A portfolio I'd build would be: \n\n30% $NBIS\n6% AMZN\n5.5% TSM\n5% BTC\n5% LULU\n4% UNH\n4% $RKLB\n4% LTC\n3% ORCL\n3% TGT\n3% GRAB\n2% $IREN\n2% META\n2% HOOD\n2% HIMS\n2% AMD\n2% NVO\n1.5% CRDO\n1% BITF\n1% ASTS\n1% SG\n1% UPWK\n1% MP\n1% FOUR\n1%", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.055204972681472175, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.055204972681472175, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04927726748545125, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.029140840538495638, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005927705196020927, "bench_c_m1d": -0.026064132142976537, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.021420551013971667, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.021420551013971667, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.018523542634734214, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.018935422070154084, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0028970083792374535, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0024851289438175828, "ret_p1w": -0.02340488073003566, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02340488073003566, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.011608836758759566, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.011008515489854598, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011796043971276093, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012396365240181062, "ret_p1m": 0.21262856709063205, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21262856709063205, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.21678832021386663, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1981228409622089, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0041597531232345775, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014505726128423158, "ret_p3m": 0.5888679864399216, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5888679864399216, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5641437416405248, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.49439319217912403, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024724244799396722, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09447479426079752, "ret_p6m": 0.8649734258483615, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.8649734258483615, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.885097456983359, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.7278025170186437, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0201240311349975, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13717090882971772, "price_path": [-0.3668, -0.3969, -0.3893, -0.408, -0.4241, -0.4183, -0.4242, -0.4446, -0.4415, -0.4319, -0.4343, -0.4343, -0.4307, -0.4166, -0.445, -0.4667, -0.452, -0.4454, -0.4469, -0.4312, -0.3955, -0.3709, -0.3504, -0.3681, -0.3629, -0.3854, -0.3718, -0.3794, -0.404, -0.4112, -0.4016, -0.408, -0.4076, -0.4013, -0.3796, -0.3949, -0.3949, -0.3975, -0.3963, -0.3684, -0.332, -0.3315, -0.3123, -0.2881, -0.2344, -0.2005, -0.1978, -0.1924, -0.1865, -0.1412, -0.1725, -0.1629, -0.1538, -0.1777, -0.2025, -0.2003, -0.1666, -0.1492, -0.0738, -0.0657, -0.0443, -0.0284, -0.0552, 0.0, -0.0214, -0.076, -0.0192, -0.0482, -0.0234, 0.0305, 0.0297, 0.0521, 0.0293, 0.0098, 0.0517, 0.1144, 0.1199, 0.1291, 0.1531, 0.1398, 0.1385, 0.1942, 0.1093, 0.2084, 0.2126, 0.2105, 0.2888, 0.2268, 0.2461, 0.2056, 0.2559, 0.231, 0.1626, 0.1495, 0.0246, 0.0551, 0.1394, 0.1424, 0.1716, 0.1716, 0.2032, 0.2235, 0.2185, 0.1914, 0.1532, 0.207, 0.2563, 0.2843, 0.3418, 0.3151, 0.2269, 0.2084, 0.183, 0.1475, 0.2646, 0.353, 0.4073, 0.4057, 0.4586, 0.4586, 0.449, 0.4984, 0.4895, 0.4528, 0.4528, 0.6055, 0.5889, 0.7481, 0.7283, 0.6646, 0.7565, 0.7605, 0.7211, 0.6968, 0.7135, 0.8464, 0.8464, 0.8579, 0.9806, 1.0237, 1.0342, 0.9805, 1.0882, 1.2156, 1.2182, 1.1118, 1.2284, 1.135, 0.9312, 0.9489, 1.009, 0.952, 0.8999, 1.0887, 1.1071, 1.0954, 1.0954, 1.0349, 1.1427, 1.1243, 1.1794, 1.1428, 1.1277, 1.1836, 1.1152, 1.099, 1.1005, 0.9326, 1.04, 1.021, 0.8849, 0.9817, 1.0519, 1.1312, 1.0633, 1.169, 1.2488, 1.35, 1.3502, 1.2614, 1.1526, 1.0582, 1.0133, 0.9449, 0.8093, 0.8183, 0.6387, 0.7204, 0.8732, 0.865]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1976033094932234314", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-10-08T21:12:57+00:00", "symbol": "ORCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ORCL - Having trouble with GPU buildout, just goes to show the moat between hyperscalers and Neoclouds like $NBIS. Higher upside just buying Neoclouds.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Strong buy AMD on $100B+ forward revenue rerate; long FLY, WLAC, MU on launch/neocloud/memory themes; trim ORCL on GPU buildout struggles vs neoclouds like NBIS.", "resolved_tickers": ["ORCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Wow I cooked insanely hard with this ETF, everything is up a **** ton.\n\nAnyway, some company changes I'd make + explanations:\n\n$AMD - +10% (rerate)\n$FLY - +3% (new)\n$WLAC - +1% (new)\n$MU - +1% (new)\n$FLNC - .5% (new)\n$SEI - .5% (new)\n$DFLI - - .25% (new)\n\n_\n\nTrim (Tax harvesting)\n\n$ORCL\n$LULU\n$META\n$UPWK\n$ETOR\n$SNAP\nMisc small caps\n\n_\n\nHere's an explanation\n\n$AMD - Just got $100B+ in forward revenue lol, they almost doubled their quarterly revenue overnight and hasn't even been priced in yet. Extremely strong buy\n\n$FLY - $4.4B valuation doing small-medium lift launches like $RKLB. Reminds me of RocketLab when they first started, risk-reward is good.\n\n$WLAC - Neocloud IPO at $600m valuation (low) for something doing 75%+ EBITDA gross margin + 250% rev from last year + likely backstopped by Mag7\n\n$MU - Memory in demand given the amount of infra required by Stargate + OpenAI\n\n$FLNC + $SEI - Energy Play (high risk high reward)\n\n$DLFI - Battery Play (high risk high reward)\n\nTrim\n\n$ORCL - Having trouble with GPU buildout, just goes to show the moat between hyperscalers and Neoclouds like $NBIS. Higher upside just buying Neoclouds.\n\n$LULU, $META, $UPWK, $ETOR, $SNAP. - Hasn't gone up much, we're playing as aggressive as possible with winners and will buy back once tax harvesting is done, eg. swap for $AMD, and higher return triple rate cut returns. \n\nWill buy back near EOY once tax harvesting is done.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I've been getting a lot of stock weighting questions. A portfolio I'd build would be: \n\n30% $NBIS\n6% AMZN\n5.5% TSM\n5% BTC\n5% LULU\n4% UNH\n4% $RKLB\n4% LTC\n3% ORCL\n3% TGT\n3% GRAB\n2% $IREN\n2% META\n2% HOOD\n2% HIMS\n2% AMD\n2% NVO\n1.5% CRDO\n1% BITF\n1% ASTS\n1% SG\n1% UPWK\n1% MP\n1% FOUR\n1%", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.015209970311534371, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.015209970311534371, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009282265115513444, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009282265115513444, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005927705196020927, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005927705196020927, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03064586239722833, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03064586239722833, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03354287077646578, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03354287077646578, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0028970083792374535, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0028970083792374535, "ret_p1w": 0.05376032406560305, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05376032406560305, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06555636803687914, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06555636803687914, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011796043971276093, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011796043971276093, "ret_p1m": -0.1538541668553789, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1538541668553789, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14969441373214432, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14969441373214432, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0041597531232345775, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0041597531232345775, "ret_p3m": -0.33158650688597846, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.33158650688597846, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3563107516853752, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3563107516853752, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024724244799396722, "bench_c_p3m": 0.024724244799396722, "ret_p6m": -0.4906224880189527, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4906224880189527, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4704984568839552, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4704984568839552, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0201240311349975, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0201240311349975, "price_path": [-0.2012, -0.2056, -0.1859, -0.164, -0.1382, -0.1496, -0.1562, -0.175, -0.1619, -0.1587, -0.1507, -0.1418, -0.1339, -0.1318, -0.1208, -0.1532, -0.1251, -0.1142, -0.1116, -0.136, -0.1337, -0.1246, -0.1205, -0.154, -0.1513, -0.1398, -0.1371, -0.1871, -0.1856, -0.1922, -0.1811, -0.1844, -0.1885, -0.183, -0.1674, -0.2165, -0.2165, -0.2194, -0.2258, -0.2274, -0.1934, -0.1738, -0.1633, 0.1375, 0.0666, 0.0123, 0.0468, 0.0624, 0.0443, 0.0277, 0.0694, 0.1369, 0.0873, 0.0687, 0.0094, -0.0179, -0.0203, -0.0256, 0.0013, 0.0005, -0.0086, 0.0103, -0.0152, 0.0, 0.0306, 0.0168, 0.069, 0.0377, 0.0538, 0.0863, 0.011, -0.038, -0.045, -0.0537, -0.028, -0.0167, -0.0234, -0.0253, -0.0445, -0.1084, -0.0886, -0.1051, -0.1387, -0.1313, -0.1539, -0.1696, -0.1642, -0.1804, -0.2122, -0.2449, -0.2266, -0.2369, -0.2348, -0.2173, -0.2688, -0.3102, -0.3049, -0.3162, -0.2887, -0.2887, -0.2991, -0.3026, -0.3021, -0.279, -0.2561, -0.2449, -0.2346, -0.2311, -0.226, -0.3099, -0.3407, -0.3582, -0.3453, -0.3806, -0.3752, -0.3337, -0.3115, -0.322, -0.3146, -0.3146, -0.3128, -0.3219, -0.3156, -0.3235, -0.3235, -0.3208, -0.3316, -0.3276, -0.3307, -0.3418, -0.3092, -0.2877, -0.2961, -0.3263, -0.3394, -0.335, -0.335, -0.3739, -0.3949, -0.38, -0.3835, -0.3651, -0.3914, -0.3987, -0.4119, -0.4273, -0.443, -0.4618, -0.4896, -0.5251, -0.503, -0.4551, -0.4436, -0.4531, -0.4555, -0.4427, -0.4427, -0.4642, -0.4566, -0.4553, -0.4847, -0.5083, -0.4915, -0.4854, -0.4769, -0.494, -0.4806, -0.4815, -0.4698, -0.4614, -0.4677, -0.4726, -0.4801, -0.4324, -0.4462, -0.4602, -0.4573, -0.4617, -0.4679, -0.4588, -0.4791, -0.4629, -0.4882, -0.4919, -0.503, -0.514, -0.517, -0.4881, -0.4946, -0.4906]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1976033094932234314", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2025-10-08T21:12:57+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Higher upside just buying Neoclouds", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Strong buy AMD on $100B+ forward revenue rerate; long FLY, WLAC, MU on launch/neocloud/memory themes; trim ORCL on GPU buildout struggles vs neoclouds like NBIS.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Wow I cooked insanely hard with this ETF, everything is up a **** ton.\n\nAnyway, some company changes I'd make + explanations:\n\n$AMD - +10% (rerate)\n$FLY - +3% (new)\n$WLAC - +1% (new)\n$MU - +1% (new)\n$FLNC - .5% (new)\n$SEI - .5% (new)\n$DFLI - - .25% (new)\n\n_\n\nTrim (Tax harvesting)\n\n$ORCL\n$LULU\n$META\n$UPWK\n$ETOR\n$SNAP\nMisc small caps\n\n_\n\nHere's an explanation\n\n$AMD - Just got $100B+ in forward revenue lol, they almost doubled their quarterly revenue overnight and hasn't even been priced in yet. Extremely strong buy\n\n$FLY - $4.4B valuation doing small-medium lift launches like $RKLB. Reminds me of RocketLab when they first started, risk-reward is good.\n\n$WLAC - Neocloud IPO at $600m valuation (low) for something doing 75%+ EBITDA gross margin + 250% rev from last year + likely backstopped by Mag7\n\n$MU - Memory in demand given the amount of infra required by Stargate + OpenAI\n\n$FLNC + $SEI - Energy Play (high risk high reward)\n\n$DLFI - Battery Play (high risk high reward)\n\nTrim\n\n$ORCL - Having trouble with GPU buildout, just goes to show the moat between hyperscalers and Neoclouds like $NBIS. Higher upside just buying Neoclouds.\n\n$LULU, $META, $UPWK, $ETOR, $SNAP. - Hasn't gone up much, we're playing as aggressive as possible with winners and will buy back once tax harvesting is done, eg. swap for $AMD, and higher return triple rate cut returns. \n\nWill buy back near EOY once tax harvesting is done.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I've been getting a lot of stock weighting questions. A portfolio I'd build would be: \n\n30% $NBIS\n6% AMZN\n5.5% TSM\n5% BTC\n5% LULU\n4% UNH\n4% $RKLB\n4% LTC\n3% ORCL\n3% TGT\n3% GRAB\n2% $IREN\n2% META\n2% HOOD\n2% HIMS\n2% AMD\n2% NVO\n1.5% CRDO\n1% BITF\n1% ASTS\n1% SG\n1% UPWK\n1% MP\n1% FOUR\n1%", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03524592665375259, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03524592665375259, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.029318221457731664, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0393988241818648, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005927705196020927, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004152897528112209, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08721310975121677, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08721310975121677, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09011011813045422, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09292350163470742, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0028970083792374535, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005710391883490651, "ret_p1w": 0.031393457631595734, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.031393457631595734, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04318950160287183, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03295081911763831, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011796043971276093, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0015573614860425744, "ret_p1m": -0.1029507996606045, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1029507996606045, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09879104653736992, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07543734697251836, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0041597531232345775, "bench_c_p1m": -0.027513452688086137, "ret_p3m": -0.23909834564709276, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.23909834564709276, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2638225904464895, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.26117139694223, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024724244799396722, "bench_c_p3m": 0.022073051295137258, "ret_p6m": -0.1080327893866867, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1080327893866867, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0879087582516892, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.08068562267247492, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0201240311349975, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02734716671421178, "price_path": [-0.6369, -0.5742, -0.5612, -0.563, -0.5599, -0.5673, -0.5707, -0.5819, -0.5748, -0.5725, -0.5789, -0.5676, -0.5869, -0.5796, -0.5539, -0.5738, -0.556, -0.5478, -0.5484, -0.4647, -0.4362, -0.4243, -0.3825, -0.4211, -0.4389, -0.413, -0.4054, -0.4493, -0.447, -0.4575, -0.4346, -0.4261, -0.4223, -0.4254, -0.4095, -0.44, -0.44, -0.4613, -0.4619, -0.468, -0.4634, -0.4749, -0.2154, -0.2345, -0.2689, -0.2589, -0.2544, -0.267, -0.2289, -0.2285, -0.186, -0.1262, -0.1164, -0.0719, -0.1152, -0.1172, -0.0966, -0.0798, -0.0524, 0.0317, 0.049, 0.0241, -0.0352, 0.0, 0.0872, 0.0621, 0.1103, 0.0504, 0.0314, 0.0085, -0.0702, -0.1066, -0.1452, -0.1916, -0.1298, -0.0389, 0.0281, -0.0014, 0.0254, 0.0179, 0.0723, -0.0125, -0.0939, -0.041, -0.103, -0.0879, -0.0988, -0.1621, -0.2266, -0.2735, -0.3152, -0.2952, -0.2579, -0.2207, -0.3062, -0.3175, -0.2467, -0.2715, -0.2239, -0.2239, -0.2224, -0.1791, -0.2094, -0.1892, -0.1574, -0.1964, -0.1776, -0.2098, -0.2329, -0.2272, -0.2812, -0.3349, -0.3365, -0.3816, -0.3599, -0.2667, -0.2358, -0.262, -0.253, -0.253, -0.282, -0.2948, -0.3019, -0.3139, -0.3139, -0.2627, -0.2391, -0.1784, -0.2114, -0.2025, -0.1973, -0.1202, -0.1358, -0.1641, -0.1485, -0.1088, -0.1088, -0.1861, -0.1896, -0.2061, -0.2254, -0.2503, -0.1978, -0.1768, -0.222, -0.3017, -0.2774, -0.2627, -0.3247, -0.3945, -0.2943, -0.2387, -0.2476, -0.2737, -0.2645, -0.1966, -0.1966, -0.2007, -0.1656, -0.118, -0.1974, -0.1753, -0.1592, -0.1302, -0.1403, -0.2525, -0.254, -0.2885, -0.1985, -0.216, -0.2678, -0.2218, -0.2096, -0.082, -0.1144, -0.0742, 0.0643, -0.0465, -0.0282, -0.0039, -0.0359, -0.0643, -0.0581, -0.0566, -0.1314, -0.1736, -0.2438, -0.1495, -0.1643, -0.108]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1989324982233776303", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-14T13:30:10+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm still holding $NBIS and others since im confident in their fundamentals", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still holding NBIS and Neocloud names including CIFR through volatility, confident fundamentals justify the positions despite margin-driven selloff.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yeah premarket on Neoclouds like $CIFR is just disgusting to look at and it's pre $GOOGL deal price with the 10%+ drop premarket. \n\nAnd that's pretending $AMZN colo deal never happened too. Similar thing as you mentioned with $NBIS, approaching pre $MSFT deal. We're seeing a complete detachment from fundamentals across the board due the market crash + panic selling.\n\nRight now, we're likely seeing margin cascading liquidations + mechanical flows downward with short term option expiration on Neoclouds. I'm not using any margin but there's probably margin liquidations across the board given record high usage on brokerages like $IBKR.\n\nBut missing one or two huge rebound days after a selloff can cost the biggest recovery gains, which is why it’s better to hold through periods of volatility. I'm still holding $NBIS and others since im confident in their fundamentals.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Neoclouds still suffering pre-market, it seems gap down to pre-MSFT deal is inevitable at this rate. Are you still holding?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Neomeldir", "ret_m1d": 0.06092885183275798, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06092885183275798, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.060765056247821025, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05553947374933221, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0053893780834257665, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02920759414251739, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02920759414251739, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03852402757176199, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03055500763417085, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0013474134916534597, "ret_p1w": -0.003351673165289948, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.003351673165289948, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.015846667575385776, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.00847158234454437, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005119909179254423, "ret_p1m": -0.028728770643726698, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.028728770643726698, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.041825383272466876, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07579595992511301, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04706718928138631, "ret_p3m": 0.060689485746484806, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.060689485746484806, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.027836732130763542, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.008700540385840005, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0519889453606448, "ret_p6m": 1.227675413742134, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.227675413742134, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.1211470771516163, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.1828159796751123, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04485943406702164, "price_path": [-0.1957, -0.1924, -0.2078, -0.1743, -0.1618, -0.1563, -0.1609, -0.1377, -0.1822, -0.1822, -0.2133, -0.2141, -0.223, -0.2163, -0.2332, 0.1458, 0.1179, 0.0676, 0.0822, 0.0888, 0.0705, 0.1262, 0.1266, 0.1888, 0.276, 0.2904, 0.3554, 0.2921, 0.2892, 0.3194, 0.3439, 0.3839, 0.5067, 0.532, 0.4956, 0.4089, 0.4604, 0.5877, 0.5511, 0.6215, 0.534, 0.5062, 0.4728, 0.3579, 0.3048, 0.2483, 0.1805, 0.2708, 0.4036, 0.5014, 0.4583, 0.4975, 0.4865, 0.566, 0.4421, 0.3232, 0.4005, 0.31, 0.3321, 0.3161, 0.2236, 0.1295, 0.0609, 0.0, 0.0292, 0.0838, 0.138, 0.0132, -0.0034, 0.1001, 0.0639, 0.1335, 0.1335, 0.1356, 0.1988, 0.1545, 0.1841, 0.2305, 0.1736, 0.201, 0.1541, 0.1203, 0.1286, 0.0497, -0.0287, -0.031, -0.0968, -0.0652, 0.0709, 0.116, 0.0777, 0.0909, 0.0909, 0.0485, 0.0299, 0.0195, 0.002, 0.002, 0.0767, 0.1112, 0.1999, 0.1517, 0.1647, 0.1723, 0.2848, 0.262, 0.2207, 0.2435, 0.3015, 0.3015, 0.1885, 0.1835, 0.1593, 0.1312, 0.0948, 0.1715, 0.2022, 0.1361, 0.0198, 0.0553, 0.0767, -0.0138, -0.1158, 0.0306, 0.1118, 0.0988, 0.0607, 0.0741, 0.1732, 0.1732, 0.1673, 0.2186, 0.2881, 0.1721, 0.2043, 0.2279, 0.2703, 0.2554, 0.0916, 0.0894, 0.039, 0.1705, 0.145, 0.0693, 0.1365, 0.1543, 0.3406, 0.2933, 0.352, 0.5543, 0.3925, 0.4192, 0.4546, 0.4079, 0.3664, 0.3755, 0.3777, 0.2685, 0.2068, 0.1044, 0.242, 0.2204, 0.3026, 0.3026, 0.3471, 0.4053, 0.4963, 0.6319, 0.7353, 0.8501, 0.9385, 0.9963, 0.9792, 0.881, 0.9052, 0.874, 0.869, 0.8803, 0.7616, 0.7352, 0.6221, 0.6901, 0.6547, 0.8493, 1.1118, 1.1058, 1.3353, 1.2118, 1.1193, 1.2277]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1989324982233776303", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-14T13:30:10+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Yeah premarket on Neoclouds like $CIFR is just disgusting to look at and it's pre $GOOGL deal price with the 10%+ drop premarket. And that's pretending $AMZN colo deal never happened too", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still holding NBIS and Neocloud names including CIFR through volatility, confident fundamentals justify the positions despite margin-driven selloff.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yeah premarket on Neoclouds like $CIFR is just disgusting to look at and it's pre $GOOGL deal price with the 10%+ drop premarket. \n\nAnd that's pretending $AMZN colo deal never happened too. Similar thing as you mentioned with $NBIS, approaching pre $MSFT deal. We're seeing a complete detachment from fundamentals across the board due the market crash + panic selling.\n\nRight now, we're likely seeing margin cascading liquidations + mechanical flows downward with short term option expiration on Neoclouds. I'm not using any margin but there's probably margin liquidations across the board given record high usage on brokerages like $IBKR.\n\nBut missing one or two huge rebound days after a selloff can cost the biggest recovery gains, which is why it’s better to hold through periods of volatility. I'm still holding $NBIS and others since im confident in their fundamentals.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Neoclouds still suffering pre-market, it seems gap down to pre-MSFT deal is inevitable at this rate. Are you still holding?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Neomeldir", "ret_m1d": 0.039693639423834526, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.039693639423834526, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03952984383889757, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.045107562737243145, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0054139233134086195, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0006963283737175807, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0006963283737175807, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008620105055527016, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014955175456109027, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015651503829826607, "ret_p1w": -0.014623958437862794, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.014623958437862794, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.004574382302812929, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03725871220724131, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0518826706451041, "ret_p1m": 0.026462404145269014, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.026462404145269014, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.013365791516528835, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03878237722964417, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012319973084375158, "ret_p3m": 0.13370481029750447, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.13370481029750447, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10085205668178321, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.139869257288889, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "bench_c_p3m": -0.00616444699138452, "ret_p6m": 0.41225634899061614, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.41225634899061614, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3057280124000985, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.17421152105138193, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2380448279392342, "price_path": [-0.5989, -0.5857, -0.5891, -0.5557, -0.5376, -0.5042, -0.5132, -0.5111, -0.468, -0.468, -0.4206, -0.4352, -0.4847, -0.4763, -0.4624, -0.3579, -0.2862, -0.3057, -0.2444, -0.2444, -0.1985, -0.1379, -0.1748, -0.1448, -0.0279, -0.0146, -0.0153, -0.188, -0.2013, -0.1191, -0.1233, -0.1226, -0.0383, 0.0237, 0.0682, 0.0968, 0.2256, 0.2528, 0.1818, 0.4164, 0.4547, 0.4645, 0.3036, 0.3064, 0.3865, 0.2587, 0.1219, 0.2016, 0.4387, 0.4304, 0.39, 0.3642, 0.328, 0.2987, 0.585, 0.5675, 0.7208, 0.5118, 0.4408, 0.3684, 0.3001, 0.2103, 0.0397, 0.0, -0.0007, 0.0153, 0.0181, 0.0139, -0.0146, 0.1636, 0.2201, 0.3336, 0.3336, 0.4171, 0.3712, 0.2284, 0.2974, 0.3809, 0.3426, 0.3565, 0.3621, 0.2869, 0.3148, 0.1873, 0.0265, 0.0439, 0.0021, 0.055, 0.1288, 0.1379, 0.1079, 0.1295, 0.1295, 0.0578, 0.0501, 0.016, 0.0279, 0.0279, 0.1281, 0.2646, 0.2214, 0.1198, 0.1525, 0.1581, 0.2312, 0.2709, 0.2625, 0.2201, 0.3092, 0.3092, 0.2479, 0.234, 0.211, 0.2235, 0.1483, 0.3057, 0.321, 0.2326, 0.1114, 0.101, 0.1323, -0.0077, -0.1156, 0.0258, 0.1671, 0.1908, 0.1337, 0.1212, 0.1435, 0.1435, 0.0891, 0.0738, 0.1003, 0.0202, 0.0599, 0.1922, 0.1567, 0.1476, 0.0864, 0.0975, 0.0244, 0.117, 0.055, -0.0515, -0.0035, -0.0279, -0.0174, -0.0453, -0.0195, 0.0543, 0.0508, 0.0216, 0.0195, -0.0244, 0.0369, 0.0362, 0.1058, -0.0007, -0.0428, -0.1633, -0.1038, -0.1198, -0.1072, -0.1072, -0.0703, -0.0244, 0.0738, 0.1393, 0.1511, 0.2368, 0.2848, 0.2535, 0.2075, 0.3489, 0.3433, 0.2563, 0.3538, 0.3015, 0.2674, 0.2646, 0.2019, 0.1783, 0.2354, 0.1866, 0.2458, 0.539, 0.5258, 0.4405, 0.4311, 0.4123]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1975373671675084993", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-07T01:32:38+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I just added more shares. 2% drop isn't the most, so added shares on the drop to $126.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Added NBIS shares on the dip to $126; ongoing long position.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@donniedarklano I just added more shares. 2% drop isn't the most, so added shares on the drop to $126. \n\nI added calls when it dropped 6% or so back in the low $100's", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit are you looking to load more nbis calls? or just shares. considering the ‘underperformance’ today compared to others", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "donniedarklano", "ret_m1d": 0.06151236772204682, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06151236772204682, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05779107882132184, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05763499988358456, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003721288900724984, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0038773678384622645, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.036533586773572324, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.036533586773572324, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030570534360780055, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04066930907077948, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005963052412792269, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004135722297207156, "ret_p1w": 0.08878502310274072, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08878502310274072, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09908216387038948, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10145087525266994, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01029714076764876, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012665852149929213, "ret_p1m": -0.005947297930262496, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.005947297930262496, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01859078175754003, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.016799472423983497, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012643483827277535, "bench_c_p1m": -0.022746770354245993, "ret_p3m": -0.23576891010628387, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.23576891010628387, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2597835850019543, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24626742967899928, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02401467489567044, "bench_c_p3m": 0.010498519572715415, "ret_p6m": -0.13381478681708003, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13381478681708003, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.11864699122642897, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.09845601848176999, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.015167795590651068, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03535876833531004, "price_path": [-0.6055, -0.6236, -0.5586, -0.5452, -0.5471, -0.5438, -0.5515, -0.5551, -0.5666, -0.5592, -0.5568, -0.5636, -0.5518, -0.5718, -0.5642, -0.5376, -0.5582, -0.5398, -0.5313, -0.5319, -0.4451, -0.4156, -0.4032, -0.36, -0.3999, -0.4184, -0.3915, -0.3837, -0.4291, -0.4268, -0.4377, -0.4139, -0.4051, -0.4012, -0.4044, -0.3879, -0.4195, -0.4195, -0.4416, -0.4422, -0.4485, -0.4438, -0.4557, -0.1867, -0.2065, -0.2422, -0.2319, -0.2272, -0.2402, -0.2007, -0.2003, -0.1562, -0.0943, -0.0841, -0.038, -0.0829, -0.085, -0.0636, -0.0461, -0.0178, 0.0694, 0.0873, 0.0615, 0.0, 0.0365, 0.1269, 0.1009, 0.1509, 0.0888, 0.0691, 0.0454, -0.0362, -0.0739, -0.114, -0.1621, -0.098, -0.0037, 0.0657, 0.0351, 0.0629, 0.0551, 0.1115, 0.0235, -0.0608, -0.0059, -0.0702, -0.0545, -0.0658, -0.1315, -0.1983, -0.247, -0.2902, -0.2695, -0.2308, -0.1923, -0.2809, -0.2926, -0.2192, -0.2449, -0.1955, -0.1955, -0.194, -0.1491, -0.1805, -0.1596, -0.1266, -0.167, -0.1476, -0.1809, -0.2048, -0.199, -0.255, -0.3106, -0.3122, -0.359, -0.3365, -0.2399, -0.2079, -0.2351, -0.2257, -0.2257, -0.2558, -0.269, -0.2764, -0.2888, -0.2888, -0.2358, -0.2113, -0.1483, -0.1826, -0.1733, -0.168, -0.0881, -0.1042, -0.1336, -0.1174, -0.0762, -0.0762, -0.1564, -0.16, -0.1771, -0.1971, -0.2229, -0.1685, -0.1467, -0.1936, -0.2762, -0.251, -0.2358, -0.3, -0.3724, -0.2685, -0.2109, -0.2201, -0.2472, -0.2376, -0.1673, -0.1673, -0.1715, -0.1351, -0.0857, -0.1681, -0.1452, -0.1285, -0.0984, -0.1089, -0.2252, -0.2268, -0.2625, -0.1692, -0.1873, -0.241, -0.1934, -0.1807, -0.0485, -0.0821, -0.0404, 0.1032, -0.0116, 0.0073, 0.0325, -0.0007, -0.0302, -0.0237, -0.0222, -0.0997, -0.1434, -0.2161, -0.1184, -0.1338]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1965768496354316310", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-10T13:25:06+00:00", "symbol": "UPWK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd put it $20 fair value PT and $25 if acquisitions/existing product increase forward rev. Or if operating margins increase. Either way, holding it", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long UPWK with $20 fair value PT and $25 upside scenario on acquisitions/margin expansion; still holding after trimming.", "resolved_tickers": ["UPWK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I trimmed $UPWK around $16.5-$17 and kept some in case buybacks + acquisitions take it to $20-25.\n\nAt $11-14 it was completely undervalued. At $16 it's still undervalued. \n\nI'd put it $20 fair value PT and $25 if acquisitions/existing product increase forward rev. Or if operating margins increase. Either way, holding it and selling CC's if you're unsure is always a good idea.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Is $UPWK still in the basket of growth stocks that are recovering to ATH in your port? Thinking through how to trim positions in anticipation of rate cuts.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "platochi", "ret_m1d": 0.005656829255251683, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005656829255251683, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008539350585135663, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008539350585135663, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028825213298839802, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0028825213298839802, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.028912696180579234, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.028912696180579234, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.020602525824635176, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.020602525824635176, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008310170355944058, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008310170355944058, "ret_p1w": 0.14016339180537796, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.14016339180537796, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12947664900634903, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.12947664900634903, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010686742799028925, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010686742799028925, "ret_p1m": 0.09553742755132166, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09553742755132166, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06362942738673016, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06362942738673016, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0319080001645915, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0319080001645915, "ret_p3m": 0.24952855760085035, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.24952855760085035, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.198447916464233, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.198447916464233, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.051080641136617366, "bench_c_p3m": 0.051080641136617366, "ret_p6m": -0.16341919878888755, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.16341919878888755, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.21402814946920534, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.21402814946920534, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05060895068031779, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05060895068031779, "price_path": [-0.1307, -0.137, -0.1477, -0.159, -0.159, -0.1741, -0.1785, -0.1622, -0.159, -0.1471, -0.1433, -0.1552, -0.1502, -0.154, -0.1427, -0.1427, -0.1546, -0.1515, -0.1389, -0.1571, -0.1879, -0.1854, -0.1873, -0.1628, -0.1578, -0.1684, -0.159, -0.1402, -0.1339, -0.1684, -0.176, -0.1917, -0.2049, -0.2414, -0.2483, -0.2615, -0.2432, -0.2533, -0.2489, -0.1464, -0.1722, -0.1571, -0.1408, -0.1144, -0.1389, -0.1326, -0.1207, -0.1288, -0.1069, -0.0704, -0.0622, -0.0629, -0.0515, -0.0698, -0.0629, -0.0327, -0.0327, 0.0031, 0.0339, 0.0547, 0.0176, 0.0031, 0.0057, 0.0, 0.0289, 0.0597, 0.0553, 0.0748, 0.1402, 0.2319, 0.2615, 0.215, 0.2357, 0.252, 0.2131, 0.2036, 0.1948, 0.1672, 0.1131, 0.1414, 0.0855, 0.0937, 0.0742, 0.1226, 0.0955, 0.0559, 0.0748, 0.0647, 0.0566, 0.0522, 0.0182, 0.0478, 0.0471, 0.0063, 0.0132, 0.0057, 0.0132, 0.0918, 0.061, 0.0251, 0.0019, -0.0176, 0.1125, 0.0295, 0.0151, 0.0968, 0.1062, 0.1282, 0.071, 0.0717, 0.0358, 0.0176, 0.0735, 0.1414, 0.0786, 0.1232, 0.1659, 0.2376, 0.2307, 0.2307, 0.2407, 0.2495, 0.2904, 0.2401, 0.2307, 0.2621, 0.2495, 0.3187, 0.2872, 0.3777, 0.3796, 0.3438, 0.3476, 0.269, 0.2866, 0.2948, 0.3382, 0.3086, 0.318, 0.318, 0.3105, 0.2759, 0.2288, 0.2458, 0.2458, 0.247, 0.296, 0.274, 0.3111, 0.2835, 0.2602, 0.2822, 0.2728, 0.2634, 0.2665, 0.2489, 0.2489, 0.225, 0.2376, 0.3281, 0.3897, 0.3746, 0.3388, 0.2891, 0.3212, 0.259, 0.2539, 0.1471, 0.0717, 0.1201, 0.1898, 0.181, -0.044, -0.0886, -0.176, -0.1684, -0.1684, -0.198, -0.137, -0.1628, -0.1722, -0.2137, -0.1816, -0.1842, -0.1295, -0.1565, -0.1754, -0.1747, -0.1559, -0.1634]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1996620223248748972", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-04T16:38:51+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's only a matter of time when markets start to price in all its subsidiaries growing triple digits alongside its core operational business too.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NBIS: markets have yet to price in triple-digit growth across subsidiaries + core business; repricing inevitable.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yeah $NBIS is actually the first of its kind. I can’t think of any other reference.\n\nIt’s only a matter of time when markets start to price in all its subsidiaries growing triple digits alongside its core operational business too.\n\n$UBER was the perfect example yesterday, one of the biggest deals for its robotaxi division of all time but barely any movement because algorithms/markets don’t associate avride with Nebius yet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit You haven’t seen 700% growth YoY at this scale like Nebius is guiding for because it’s literally never happened before in the history of the stock market", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MB_Hogan", "ret_m1d": -0.037743237039195354, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.037743237039195354, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.037012714937874724, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03204326798802326, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0007305221013206298, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0056999690511720935, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04630352135139426, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04630352135139426, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.048203058194103754, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05787620789334924, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0018995368427094927, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01157268654195498, "ret_p1w": -0.08287941653242248, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08287941653242248, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08986372802094755, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09168845961150662, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0069843114885250746, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008809043079084145, "ret_p1m": -0.1250000556619234, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1250000556619234, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12616709723127684, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13785479425109315, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.001167041569353433, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012854738589169745, "ret_p3m": -0.15564201872585848, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15564201872585848, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.15264719202417698, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17768087339773553, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0029948267016814967, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02203885467187705, "ret_p6m": 1.2479570960862838, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.2479570960862838, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.136328655143323, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.242387434399348, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11162844094296087, "bench_c_p6m": 0.005569661686935845, "price_path": [-0.3768, -0.0689, -0.0915, -0.1324, -0.1205, -0.1152, -0.1301, -0.0848, -0.0844, -0.0339, 0.037, 0.0486, 0.1015, 0.05, 0.0477, 0.0722, 0.0921, 0.1246, 0.2244, 0.2449, 0.2154, 0.1449, 0.1868, 0.2903, 0.2605, 0.3177, 0.2466, 0.224, 0.1969, 0.1035, 0.0603, 0.0144, -0.0407, 0.0327, 0.1407, 0.2201, 0.1851, 0.2169, 0.208, 0.2726, 0.1719, 0.0753, 0.1381, 0.0646, 0.0825, 0.0696, -0.0056, -0.0821, -0.1378, -0.1874, -0.1636, -0.1193, -0.0752, -0.1767, -0.1901, -0.106, -0.1354, -0.0789, -0.0789, -0.0771, -0.0258, -0.0618, -0.0377, 0.0, -0.0463, -0.024, -0.0622, -0.0896, -0.0829, -0.147, -0.2107, -0.2125, -0.2661, -0.2404, -0.1298, -0.0931, -0.1242, -0.1135, -0.1135, -0.148, -0.163, -0.1715, -0.1857, -0.1857, -0.125, -0.097, -0.0249, -0.0641, -0.0535, -0.0474, 0.0441, 0.0256, -0.008, 0.0106, 0.0577, 0.0577, -0.0341, -0.0382, -0.0579, -0.0807, -0.1103, -0.048, -0.0231, -0.0768, -0.1713, -0.1424, -0.125, -0.1985, -0.2814, -0.1625, -0.0965, -0.1071, -0.138, -0.1271, -0.0466, -0.0466, -0.0514, -0.0097, 0.0468, -0.0475, -0.0213, -0.0021, 0.0323, 0.0202, -0.1129, -0.1147, -0.1556, -0.0488, -0.0696, -0.131, -0.0765, -0.062, 0.0894, 0.051, 0.0987, 0.2631, 0.1316, 0.1533, 0.1821, 0.1442, 0.1104, 0.1178, 0.1196, 0.0308, -0.0193, -0.1025, 0.0093, -0.0083, 0.0586, 0.0586, 0.0947, 0.142, 0.216, 0.3262, 0.4102, 0.5035, 0.5753, 0.6223, 0.6084, 0.5286, 0.5482, 0.5229, 0.5189, 0.528, 0.4315, 0.4101, 0.3182, 0.3734, 0.3446, 0.5028, 0.7161, 0.7113, 0.8978, 0.7974, 0.7223, 0.8103, 0.7423, 1.0162, 1.1513, 1.1395, 0.9442, 0.9234, 0.866, 1.1394, 1.0892, 1.0892, 1.0239, 1.0269, 1.2018, 1.248]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2010651116699029710", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-12T09:52:36+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "AXTI may become the main source for InP wafers at scale and markets are watching this bottleneck unfold real-time. Export control bans hurt their main Japanese competitors in Sumitomo and JX are impacted the most", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long AXTI: China export restrictions hurt Sumitomo/JX feedstock supply, cementing AXTI's dominance in InP substrate market as Western AI customers will have no alternative.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Markets are witnessing a supply shock happen real time with InP. \n\nHere's the timeline this week: \n\nFastmarket Research, 2025: \n\nUS-based $AXTI and Japan's Sumitomo control nearly 80% of the InP market. \n\nChina Commerce Ministry - Jan 6 2026: China announces new export restrictions on \"dual-use\" items to Japan.\n\nJiji via Nippon - Jan 9, 2026: \n\nChinese suppliers have started informing Japanese clients: \"We can no longer export Rare Metals (Japanese group of 31 minerals like Gallium, Indium, Germanium) to Japan.\"\n\nLiu Junhong CGTN - Jan 10th, 2026:\n\n\"When it comes to strategic materials... Japan's dependence on China is relatively high\"\n\nSMM - Jan 12th, 2026:\n\n7N Indium hits record high on SMM at 812.45 ~ 901.04 USD/KG.\n\nCommentary: \n\n$AXTI recently dropped on facing export control issues on pre-earnings this week.\n\nHowever, this is widely misinterpreted, since this a double edged sword that benefits AXT.  \n\nRecent export issues cements AXT's control over the InP substrate market in the medium term from short-term revenue loss (from the inability to export to Japan). \n\nExport control bans hurt their main Japanese competitors in Sumitomo and JX are impacted the most, as they may face a ceiling in from material shortages. \n\nIf Sumitomo runs out of feedstock in a few months, Western AI customers (Nvidia, Broadcom, Lumentum, etc.) will have zero alternative but to buy from AXTI, regardless of the price or permit delays. \n\nWe're already seeing feedstock prices explode real-time as companies scramble for long term inventory. \n\nAXTI may become the main source for InP wafers at scale and markets are watching this bottleneck unfold real-time.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "You're watching the InP \"bottleneck\" play out real time while hyperscalers scramble for material.\n\n7-N Indium (required for photonics) is now parabolically exploding on SMM, reaching daily ATHs in 2026. \n\nThis is a live \"Game Theory\" scenario for materials controlled by $AXTI. https://t.co/3YDMVfjGTx", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.033723021929792596, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.033723021929792596, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0352910132835661, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03740909787283109, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0015679913537735013, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0036860759430384915, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03282372076209894, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03282372076209894, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.030824245656228655, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03505070870310134, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019994751058702853, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0022269879410024007, "ret_p1w": -0.006744587233542543, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.006744587233542543, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0017097590729813206, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0316511834940183, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.005034828160561222, "bench_c_p1w": 0.024906596260475755, "ret_p1m": 0.09487412913968196, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09487412913968196, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09924724910176141, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05878134776626287, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0043731199620794525, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03609278137341909, "ret_p3m": 1.8381294775845798, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.8381294775845798, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.8573957861693282, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.736634588103192, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.019266308584748315, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10149488948138785, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7936, -0.7783, -0.7972, -0.7792, -0.7675, -0.7779, -0.7671, -0.7275, -0.7217, -0.7032, -0.6821, -0.6709, -0.6425, -0.6196, -0.616, -0.5908, -0.6012, -0.5746, -0.5306, -0.5252, -0.5063, -0.5306, -0.5306, -0.5391, -0.5549, -0.5454, -0.5751, -0.5985, -0.58, -0.585, -0.5301, -0.5301, -0.5189, -0.5148, -0.4712, -0.4838, -0.4559, -0.4793, -0.4285, -0.3273, -0.3026, -0.2635, -0.3341, -0.3332, -0.4155, -0.4442, -0.3701, -0.3413, -0.3156, -0.3417, -0.3251, -0.3251, -0.3089, -0.344, -0.2896, -0.2648, -0.2648, -0.2464, -0.2504, -0.0931, 0.0841, 0.1614, 0.0337, 0.0, -0.0328, -0.0063, 0.1565, -0.0067, -0.0067, -0.0373, -0.1106, -0.1942, -0.2176, -0.1996, -0.2266, -0.2433, -0.2635, -0.1664, -0.0585, -0.1124, -0.1569, -0.0814, 0.0818, 0.2487, 0.0949, 0.205, 0.1147, 0.0899, 0.0899, 0.0436, 0.0585, 0.0706, 0.3345, 0.2783, 0.5773, 0.8422, 0.6691, 0.7041, 1.0827, 0.8777, 0.7594, 0.7446, 0.4555, 0.7338, 0.9919, 1.1295, 1.1012, 1.1969, 1.1758, 0.9946, 1.1924, 1.612, 1.4388, 1.8975, 2.0773, 2.0283, 1.6308, 1.7262, 1.371, 1.5621, 1.1196, 1.3759, 1.3759, 0.888, 1.0441, 1.3912, 1.8381, 1.8858, 1.9879, 2.0261, 1.8296, 2.6772, 2.7122, 2.5414, 2.371, 2.9092, 2.3844, 2.4245, 2.1542, 2.0895, 2.1956, 2.5621, 3.3165, 3.7662, 3.8359, 3.7136, 3.875, 4.232, 4.6569, 4.5261, 4.4829, 4.17, 4.5656, 3.7608, 4.0755, 3.7037, 4.4415, 5.3323, 5.3323, 4.9622, 4.5202, 4.2023, 3.6385, 3.6385, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1979659021834657830", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-18T21:21:05+00:00", "symbol": "MSFT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$MSFT signed multi-year contractual reservations for confirmed utilization with many neoclouds (eg. $17-19B with Nebius or with $CRWV)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author defends MSFT and CRWV against short-seller hit-piece narrative, citing tens-of-billions in minimum-utilization cloud contracts as omitted context; implied both are oversold.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSFT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Extremely poorly written and zero-contextualization article. Intentional no-contextualization led to broader selloffs last time they published an Oracle hit-piece @SEC @secpaulsatkins\n\nThe core point - “Escalating compute demands could result in overbuilt servers without sufficient financial returns” - completely omits that $MSFT signed multi-year contractual reservations for confirmed utilization with many neoclouds (eg. $17-19B with Nebius or with $CRWV)\n\nThese are tens-of-billions in minimum-utilization agreements Microsoft signed to scale capacity without “at-will” termination clauses.\n\nBy stripping out that context, this becomes a short seller hit piece + Sam Altman terrible person narrative rather than actual news.\n\n---\n\n@HesterPeirce @SEC_Enforcement @FINRA @CFTC - Investigate whether this media reporting, which materially affects the markets, violates Rule 10b-5. Probe patterns/coordination with external security transactions. \n\nMost recent occurrence was October 7th, \"Internal Oracle Data Show Financial Challenge of Renting Out Nvidia Chips” - speculative reporting lacking context caused tens of billions of dollars in market financial damages. An $8 – 9 billion drop in $ORCL valuation ($291 -> $284), $2B decline in $CRWV, and many other sell-offs in the sector from the article.\n\nIn this event, the article intentionally leaves out extremely important tens of billions of dollars of cloud contracts to frame discussions as a hit-piece on @sama and @satyanadella. \n\nBad journalism that moves markets is egregious but as this market-moving behavior is ongoing, please probe whether unsubstantiated reporting and critical information omission done by The Information is connected to external securities transactions.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.006211401957331719, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006211401957331719, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0040820169917322735, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0040820169917322735, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010293418949063993, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010293418949063993, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0016834246495727179, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0016834246495727179, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0016983291310485038, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0016983291310485038, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4904481475785936e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -1.4904481475785936e-05, "ret_p1w": 0.028502932265690673, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.028502932265690673, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.007737240589852812, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.007737240589852812, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02076569167583786, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02076569167583786, "ret_p1m": -0.04450550945999321, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04450550945999321, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02779164222070185, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02779164222070185, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016713867239291358, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016713867239291358, "ret_p3m": -0.1146989927620109, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1146989927620109, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1489392500773682, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1489392500773682, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03424025731535729, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03424025731535729, "ret_p6m": -0.23616038696422703, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.23616038696422703, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.27655107457105, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.27655107457105, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04039068760682296, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04039068760682296, "price_path": [-0.0227, -0.0131, -0.0076, -0.0099, -0.0098, -0.0085, 0.0306, 0.0125, 0.0348, 0.0195, 0.0141, 0.0062, 0.0085, 0.008, 0.0224, 0.0057, 0.0094, 0.0049, -0.001, -0.0152, -0.023, -0.0243, -0.0185, -0.0242, -0.0285, -0.0194, -0.0138, -0.0195, -0.0195, -0.0226, -0.0221, -0.0171, -0.0422, -0.036, -0.0356, -0.0318, -0.0305, -0.0133, -0.0028, -0.015, -0.0131, -0.0161, 0.0022, -0.0045, -0.0146, -0.0128, -0.0189, -0.0103, -0.0042, 0.0022, 0.0057, -0.002, 0.0011, 0.0228, 0.0139, 0.0156, 0.0109, -0.0113, -0.0053, -0.0062, -0.0065, -0.01, -0.0062, 0.0, 0.0017, 0.0073, 0.0073, 0.0132, 0.0285, 0.0489, 0.0479, 0.0174, 0.002, 0.0005, -0.0048, -0.0186, -0.0381, -0.0386, -0.0209, -0.0157, -0.0109, -0.0261, -0.0128, -0.018, -0.0445, -0.0574, -0.0725, -0.0847, -0.0811, -0.0753, -0.0588, -0.0588, -0.0462, -0.0564, -0.0501, -0.0739, -0.0678, -0.0633, -0.0481, -0.0461, -0.0722, -0.0627, -0.0723, -0.0795, -0.0764, -0.077, -0.0617, -0.058, -0.0599, -0.0562, -0.0539, -0.0539, -0.0545, -0.0557, -0.055, -0.0624, -0.0624, -0.0831, -0.0833, -0.0723, -0.0627, -0.0731, -0.0708, -0.0749, -0.0875, -0.1094, -0.1147, -0.1085, -0.1085, -0.1188, -0.139, -0.1254, -0.0967, -0.0883, -0.0683, -0.0663, -0.1596, -0.1658, -0.1792, -0.2028, -0.197, -0.2368, -0.2223, -0.1982, -0.1988, -0.2161, -0.221, -0.222, -0.222, -0.2306, -0.2253, -0.2258, -0.2282, -0.2529, -0.2441, -0.2216, -0.2194, -0.2369, -0.2256, -0.2151, -0.2127, -0.202, -0.2054, -0.2045, -0.2116, -0.2133, -0.2192, -0.2314, -0.2229, -0.2239, -0.2387, -0.2441, -0.258, -0.2558, -0.2757, -0.279, -0.2889, -0.3068, -0.3025, -0.2807, -0.2823, -0.2743, -0.2743, -0.2755, -0.2766, -0.2727, -0.2751, -0.2794, -0.2531, -0.2362]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1979659021834657830", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-18T21:21:05+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$2B decline in $CRWV", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author defends MSFT and CRWV against short-seller hit-piece narrative, citing tens-of-billions in minimum-utilization cloud contracts as omitted context; implied both are oversold.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Extremely poorly written and zero-contextualization article. Intentional no-contextualization led to broader selloffs last time they published an Oracle hit-piece @SEC @secpaulsatkins\n\nThe core point - “Escalating compute demands could result in overbuilt servers without sufficient financial returns” - completely omits that $MSFT signed multi-year contractual reservations for confirmed utilization with many neoclouds (eg. $17-19B with Nebius or with $CRWV)\n\nThese are tens-of-billions in minimum-utilization agreements Microsoft signed to scale capacity without “at-will” termination clauses.\n\nBy stripping out that context, this becomes a short seller hit piece + Sam Altman terrible person narrative rather than actual news.\n\n---\n\n@HesterPeirce @SEC_Enforcement @FINRA @CFTC - Investigate whether this media reporting, which materially affects the markets, violates Rule 10b-5. Probe patterns/coordination with external security transactions. \n\nMost recent occurrence was October 7th, \"Internal Oracle Data Show Financial Challenge of Renting Out Nvidia Chips” - speculative reporting lacking context caused tens of billions of dollars in market financial damages. An $8 – 9 billion drop in $ORCL valuation ($291 -> $284), $2B decline in $CRWV, and many other sell-offs in the sector from the article.\n\nIn this event, the article intentionally leaves out extremely important tens of billions of dollars of cloud contracts to frame discussions as a hit-piece on @sama and @satyanadella. \n\nBad journalism that moves markets is egregious but as this market-moving behavior is ongoing, please probe whether unsubstantiated reporting and critical information omission done by The Information is connected to external securities transactions.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.07720760071689647, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07720760071689647, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08750101966596047, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08750101966596047, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010293418949063993, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010293418949063993, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01574059529693994, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01574059529693994, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.015725690815464155, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.015725690815464155, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4904481475785936e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -1.4904481475785936e-05, "ret_p1w": 0.07083267883622968, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07083267883622968, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05006698716039182, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05006698716039182, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02076569167583786, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02076569167583786, "ret_p1m": -0.41051469412047836, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.41051469412047836, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.393800826881187, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.393800826881187, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016713867239291358, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016713867239291358, "ret_p3m": -0.25224300360609886, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.25224300360609886, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.28648326092145615, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.28648326092145615, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03424025731535729, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03424025731535729, "ret_p6m": -0.07760113961756232, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.07760113961756232, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.11799182722438528, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.11799182722438528, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04039068760682296, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04039068760682296, "price_path": [-0.0079, -0.0556, -0.09, -0.1321, -0.1442, -0.1902, -0.1018, -0.1804, -0.1657, -0.1198, -0.1324, -0.0471, 0.0196, 0.1001, 0.1707, -0.0732, -0.2169, -0.2132, -0.2382, -0.2689, -0.2797, -0.2855, -0.2603, -0.2729, -0.2807, -0.2371, -0.191, -0.189, -0.189, -0.2654, -0.2926, -0.3115, -0.2988, -0.2637, -0.2112, -0.0781, -0.1131, -0.1188, -0.0519, -0.0654, -0.0488, -0.0446, -0.0173, 0.0486, 0.0301, 0.0499, -0.0031, -0.0529, -0.0357, 0.0771, 0.0786, 0.0861, 0.0608, 0.0534, 0.0139, 0.1017, 0.1261, 0.0895, 0.1146, 0.0551, 0.0959, 0.1155, 0.0772, 0.0, -0.0157, -0.0435, -0.0293, 0.0432, 0.0708, 0.0609, 0.1013, 0.0315, 0.0523, -0.0058, -0.089, -0.0995, -0.1584, -0.1814, -0.1688, -0.3043, -0.3276, -0.3834, -0.3912, -0.4071, -0.4105, -0.4104, -0.4553, -0.4361, -0.4207, -0.4389, -0.4153, -0.4153, -0.4245, -0.3935, -0.4016, -0.3754, -0.3251, -0.3051, -0.3213, -0.2865, -0.3062, -0.3123, -0.3815, -0.4306, -0.453, -0.492, -0.4673, -0.3468, -0.3324, -0.3683, -0.3793, -0.3793, -0.3986, -0.4104, -0.4184, -0.4364, -0.4364, -0.3757, -0.3951, -0.3866, -0.3926, -0.3933, -0.3693, -0.2922, -0.3115, -0.2932, -0.2522, -0.2033, -0.2033, -0.2506, -0.2598, -0.2776, -0.2682, -0.2263, -0.1432, -0.1656, -0.2167, -0.2666, -0.3, -0.2912, -0.351, -0.4125, -0.2921, -0.2382, -0.2515, -0.2511, -0.2468, -0.2441, -0.2441, -0.2838, -0.2488, -0.2355, -0.2976, -0.2851, -0.2185, -0.2286, -0.2316, -0.3738, -0.3857, -0.4193, -0.3743, -0.4111, -0.4255, -0.4144, -0.4104, -0.355, -0.3715, -0.3616, -0.3243, -0.3537, -0.3482, -0.3652, -0.3588, -0.355, -0.3466, -0.3107, -0.3668, -0.4112, -0.4558, -0.3903, -0.3827, -0.3527, -0.3527, -0.363, -0.3291, -0.3003, -0.2759, -0.1972, -0.1321, -0.0776]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1942227925773987991", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-07T14:23:17+00:00", "symbol": "GME", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Maybe like $26 if you're not greedy, $28+ if you are. It usually spikes around earnings so just hold until then usually.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long GME to $26–$28+, expects earnings spike; downside limited by asset value ~$23.", "resolved_tickers": ["GME"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Specialty Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Specialty Retail", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MR61615938 Maybe like $26 if you're not greedy, $28+ if you are. \n\nIt usually spikes around earnings so just hold until then usually. It has enough assets that shares are unlikely to drop too far beneath $23.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Do you have a price target for G. M| E? Any catalyst in the mid to long term that's likely to happen?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MR61615938", "ret_m1d": 0.042882373004693664, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.042882373004693664, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.035374406426192495, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03001603845301193, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0075079665785011684, "bench_c_m1d": 0.012866334551681735, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0057470891221684806, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0057470891221684806, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006294805339913778, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.009135322498354248, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0005477162177452977, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0033882333761857675, "ret_p1w": 0.04774535294591331, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04774535294591331, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04109133971722301, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03011716549758292, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006654013228690303, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01762818744833039, "ret_p1m": 0.008399585307682145, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.008399585307682145, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0033455210715407357, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.00606440401527264, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01174510637922288, "bench_c_p1m": 0.002335181292409505, "ret_p3m": 0.20335978353027273, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.20335978353027273, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.12216608546996954, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10527261265735888, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08119369806030319, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09808717087291385, "ret_p6m": -0.09372240320859537, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.09372240320859537, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2069376164108273, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.20005241550919373, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11321521320223193, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10633001230059835, "price_path": [0.1229, 0.1061, 0.1671, 0.1927, 0.1804, 0.1605, 0.1839, 0.1839, 0.1835, 0.229, 0.1989, 0.1972, 0.214, 0.2197, 0.2051, 0.2317, 0.2126, 0.2149, 0.176, 0.1512, 0.1499, 0.1839, 0.2175, 0.2401, 0.2551, 0.2701, 0.2657, 0.2577, 0.233, 0.2604, 0.2401, 0.3643, 0.4602, 0.4602, 0.5477, 0.3798, 0.3073, 0.3174, 0.3546, 0.3307, 0.324, 0.3019, 0.3077, 0.3413, 0.3329, 0.2622, -0.0212, -0.0212, 0.0309, 0.0164, 0.0363, 0.0363, 0.0371, 0.0088, 0.0296, 0.0411, 0.0557, 0.0429, 0.0782, 0.0469, 0.0588, 0.0429, 0.0429, 0.0, 0.0057, 0.0252, 0.0212, 0.0314, 0.0477, 0.0265, 0.0469, 0.0345, 0.0292, 0.0698, 0.0725, 0.0592, 0.0402, 0.0314, 0.0159, -0.0031, -0.0075, -0.0075, -0.023, 0.0004, 0.0084, 0.0084, 0.0013, -0.0155, -0.0093, 0.0137, 0.0177, 0.0119, 0.0141, 0.0217, 0.0088, 0.0004, -0.0027, 0.0119, 0.0027, -0.0141, -0.0053, 0.0075, -0.0093, -0.0093, 0.0349, 0.0115, -0.0111, -0.0004, 0.0265, 0.0429, 0.0774, 0.0986, 0.1021, 0.1286, 0.1645, 0.1538, 0.1441, 0.153, 0.1839, 0.1848, 0.1605, 0.1172, 0.168, 0.2029, 0.206, 0.2241, 0.2034, 0.122, 0.1074, 0.0765, 0.0791, 0.0641, 0.0301, 0.0429, 0.0261, 0.0336, 0.0146, 0.0199, 0.0332, 0.008, -0.0057, 0.0447, 0.0301, 0.0402, 0.0301, 0.0336, -0.0018, -0.0146, -0.0225, -0.0283, -0.027, -0.0561, -0.0495, -0.05, -0.0517, -0.0557, -0.0734, -0.0866, -0.0937, -0.0937, -0.0973, -0.1185, -0.1096, -0.0942, -0.069, -0.0438, -0.0438, -0.004, 0.0075, 0.0084, 0.0261, 0.0146, 0.0168, 0.0323, 0.0217, -0.0221, -0.0336, -0.0615, -0.0234, -0.015, 0.0181, -0.0027, -0.0049, -0.0389, -0.0548, -0.0482, -0.0482, -0.0676, -0.0924, -0.0937]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1988240351665287432", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-11T13:40:14+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS is a $100B+ company in the making, it's just a matter of time", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long NBIS; ATM dilution is immaterial vs projected growth path to $100B+ market cap.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ravi_nareddy Yeah look at the quoted post. Even factoring that in, it's tiny compared to projected growth. \n\n$NBIS is a $100B+ company in the making, it's just a matter of time.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $NBIS ATM offering 25m shares ~$2.5B / 10% dilution", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ravi_nareddy", "ret_m1d": 0.07562116645693662, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07562116645693662, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07790517779341222, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08367715698290779, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0022840113364756, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008055990525971168, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07689298098696984, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07689298098696984, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07744946946558229, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07111371851615012, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005564884786124491, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005779262470819724, "ret_p1w": -0.11426335517212038, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11426335517212038, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08070553613602638, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09333522120495286, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.033557819036094005, "bench_c_p1w": -0.020928133967167528, "ret_p1m": -0.08442579514531079, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08442579514531079, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0911169579698673, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10955721246618133, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006691162824556507, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02513141732087054, "ret_p3m": -0.15769910540088283, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15769910540088283, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17184363692646742, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1746409985754659, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014144531525584592, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016941893174583056, "ret_p6m": 0.9085305616135924, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.9085305616135924, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.8279910769496042, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.8743308936187839, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08053948466398819, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03419966799480845, "price_path": [-0.3303, -0.2994, -0.2904, -0.3427, -0.34, -0.3526, -0.3252, -0.315, -0.3105, -0.3142, -0.2952, -0.3316, -0.3316, -0.3571, -0.3578, -0.365, -0.3595, -0.3733, -0.0636, -0.0864, -0.1275, -0.1155, -0.1102, -0.1251, -0.0796, -0.0792, -0.0285, 0.0428, 0.0546, 0.1077, 0.056, 0.0536, 0.0783, 0.0983, 0.131, 0.2314, 0.252, 0.2223, 0.1514, 0.1935, 0.2976, 0.2677, 0.3252, 0.2537, 0.231, 0.2037, 0.1098, 0.0663, 0.0202, -0.0352, 0.0385, 0.1471, 0.2271, 0.1918, 0.2238, 0.2148, 0.2798, 0.1785, 0.0814, 0.1446, 0.0706, 0.0886, 0.0756, 0.0, -0.0769, -0.1329, -0.1827, -0.1589, -0.1143, -0.0699, -0.172, -0.1855, -0.101, -0.1305, -0.0737, -0.0737, -0.0719, -0.0203, -0.0564, -0.0323, 0.0057, -0.0409, -0.0185, -0.0568, -0.0844, -0.0777, -0.1421, -0.2062, -0.2081, -0.2619, -0.2361, -0.1248, -0.0879, -0.1193, -0.1085, -0.1085, -0.1431, -0.1583, -0.1668, -0.1811, -0.1811, -0.12, -0.0919, -0.0194, -0.0588, -0.0481, -0.042, 0.05, 0.0314, -0.0023, 0.0163, 0.0637, 0.0637, -0.0287, -0.0328, -0.0525, -0.0755, -0.1053, -0.0426, -0.0175, -0.0715, -0.1666, -0.1375, -0.12, -0.194, -0.2773, -0.1577, -0.0914, -0.102, -0.1331, -0.1222, -0.0412, -0.0412, -0.046, -0.0041, 0.0527, -0.0421, -0.0158, 0.0035, 0.0382, 0.026, -0.1079, -0.1097, -0.1509, -0.0434, -0.0643, -0.1261, -0.0712, -0.0566, 0.0956, 0.0569, 0.105, 0.2703, 0.138, 0.1599, 0.1888, 0.1507, 0.1167, 0.1241, 0.1259, 0.0367, -0.0137, -0.0974, 0.0151, -0.0026, 0.0646, 0.0646, 0.101, 0.1485, 0.2229, 0.3337, 0.4182, 0.512, 0.5842, 0.6315, 0.6175, 0.5373, 0.557, 0.5315, 0.5275, 0.5367, 0.4396, 0.4181, 0.3257, 0.3812, 0.3523, 0.5113, 0.7259, 0.721, 0.9085]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1971373817718243709", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-26T00:38:39+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS shares -> sell $140 covered calls every week", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Hold NBIS shares long while selling covered calls at $140 strike weekly.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SebastianS79509 $NBIS shares -&gt; sell $140 covered calls every week.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thank you for your fast ansver. Got 100k on sideline , what would you do?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SebastianS79509", "ret_m1d": 0.002228463323721286, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.002228463323721286, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007924971572570216, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011875573732601619, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0056965082488489305, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009647110408880333, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02339836902383552, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02339836902383552, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.020588002582695664, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.020182578916097205, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028103664411398555, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0032157901077383144, "ret_p1w": 0.18830090049526604, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.18830090049526604, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.17713474635574222, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.20336391087767414, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01116615413952382, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015063010382408093, "ret_p1m": 0.1646239912657952, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1646239912657952, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1292368023297037, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1731709492739053, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035387188936091496, "bench_c_p1m": -0.008546958008110117, "ret_p3m": -0.1538532977191014, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1538532977191014, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20008934883751617, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15641150455970876, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04623605111841478, "bench_c_p3m": 0.002558206840607369, "ret_p6m": 0.05988862358776492, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.05988862358776492, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06398086437572481, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09995188413772027, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.004092240787959889, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04006326054995535, "price_path": [-0.5329, -0.536, -0.5334, -0.5334, -0.5558, -0.5627, -0.5724, -0.5689, -0.5887, -0.5176, -0.503, -0.505, -0.5015, -0.5098, -0.5137, -0.5264, -0.5183, -0.5157, -0.523, -0.5102, -0.532, -0.5238, -0.4946, -0.5172, -0.497, -0.4877, -0.4885, -0.3936, -0.3614, -0.3478, -0.3006, -0.3442, -0.3643, -0.335, -0.3265, -0.3761, -0.3735, -0.3855, -0.3595, -0.3499, -0.3456, -0.3491, -0.3311, -0.3656, -0.3656, -0.3898, -0.3904, -0.3973, -0.3921, -0.4052, -0.1112, -0.1329, -0.1719, -0.1605, -0.1554, -0.1696, -0.1265, -0.1261, -0.0779, -0.0102, 0.0009, 0.0513, 0.0022, 0.0, 0.0234, 0.0424, 0.0734, 0.1687, 0.1883, 0.1601, 0.0929, 0.1328, 0.2316, 0.2032, 0.2578, 0.1899, 0.1683, 0.1424, 0.0533, 0.0121, -0.0318, -0.0843, -0.0143, 0.0888, 0.1646, 0.1312, 0.1616, 0.153, 0.2147, 0.1186, 0.0264, 0.0864, 0.0162, 0.0332, 0.0209, -0.0509, -0.1239, -0.1771, -0.2243, -0.2017, -0.1593, -0.1173, -0.2141, -0.2269, -0.1467, -0.1747, -0.1208, -0.1208, -0.1191, -0.0701, -0.1045, -0.0815, -0.0455, -0.0897, -0.0684, -0.1048, -0.131, -0.1246, -0.1858, -0.2466, -0.2484, -0.2994, -0.2749, -0.1694, -0.1344, -0.1641, -0.1539, -0.1539, -0.1867, -0.2011, -0.2092, -0.2228, -0.2228, -0.1648, -0.1381, -0.0693, -0.1067, -0.0966, -0.0907, -0.0034, -0.0211, -0.0531, -0.0354, 0.0096, 0.0096, -0.0781, -0.082, -0.1007, -0.1226, -0.1508, -0.0913, -0.0675, -0.1188, -0.209, -0.1814, -0.1648, -0.235, -0.3141, -0.2006, -0.1376, -0.1477, -0.1773, -0.1669, -0.09, -0.09, -0.0945, -0.0548, -0.0008, -0.0908, -0.0658, -0.0475, -0.0147, -0.0262, -0.1533, -0.155, -0.1941, -0.0921, -0.1119, -0.1706, -0.1185, -0.1046, 0.0399, 0.0032, 0.0487, 0.2057, 0.0801, 0.1008, 0.1283, 0.0921, 0.0599]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1979210275011146008", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-17T15:37:56+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS is almost at $OKLO's marketcap. The difference is the latter is pre-revenue and Nebius is set to do $4-6B ARR next year lol", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS vs short OKLO: near-equal market caps but NBIS has $4-6B ARR next year vs OKLO pre-revenue.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@_visionarius Of course! $NBIS is almost at $OKLO's marketcap.\n\nThe difference is the latter is pre-revenue and Nebius is set to do $4-6B ARR next year lol.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Regular shares also worth adding here in your opinion?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "_visionarius", "ret_m1d": 0.08462621886031485, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08462621886031485, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0902705730832929, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.09132538239345689, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005644354222978043, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0066991635331420385, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.039139653965536425, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.039139653965536425, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04954012936515806, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05044987019660496, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010400475399621634, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011310216231068537, "ret_p1w": 0.033674185583672855, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.033674185583672855, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01431811481476264, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.028367095940674547, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.019356070768910216, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005307089642998308, "ret_p1m": -0.24206627726983898, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.24206627726983898, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.24399278397695, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.20935347611561617, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.001926506707111031, "bench_c_p1m": -0.032712801154222815, "ret_p3m": -0.10102255675101868, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.10102255675101868, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1431813825021272, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11909807305190456, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04215882575110852, "bench_c_p3m": 0.018075516300885885, "ret_p6m": 0.3624823186902406, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3624823186902406, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.32392576113931737, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3570942618932518, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.03855655755092324, "bench_c_p6m": 0.005388056796988838, "price_path": [-0.5503, -0.5427, -0.5402, -0.5472, -0.535, -0.5557, -0.5479, -0.5202, -0.5416, -0.5225, -0.5137, -0.5144, -0.4243, -0.3937, -0.3808, -0.3359, -0.3774, -0.3965, -0.3687, -0.3605, -0.4077, -0.4052, -0.4166, -0.3919, -0.3828, -0.3787, -0.3821, -0.365, -0.3977, -0.3977, -0.4207, -0.4213, -0.4278, -0.4229, -0.4353, -0.1562, -0.1767, -0.2138, -0.203, -0.1982, -0.2117, -0.1707, -0.1703, -0.1246, -0.0603, -0.0497, -0.0019, -0.0485, -0.0506, -0.0284, -0.0103, 0.0191, 0.1096, 0.1282, 0.1014, 0.0376, 0.0755, 0.1693, 0.1423, 0.1941, 0.1297, 0.1092, 0.0846, 0.0, -0.0391, -0.0807, -0.1306, -0.0642, 0.0337, 0.1057, 0.074, 0.1028, 0.0947, 0.1532, 0.062, -0.0256, 0.0314, -0.0353, -0.019, -0.0308, -0.0989, -0.1682, -0.2187, -0.2636, -0.2421, -0.2019, -0.1619, -0.2539, -0.266, -0.1899, -0.2165, -0.1653, -0.1653, -0.1637, -0.1172, -0.1498, -0.128, -0.0938, -0.1358, -0.1156, -0.1501, -0.175, -0.1689, -0.227, -0.2847, -0.2864, -0.3349, -0.3116, -0.2114, -0.1782, -0.2064, -0.1967, -0.1967, -0.2279, -0.2415, -0.2492, -0.2621, -0.2621, -0.2071, -0.1817, -0.1164, -0.1519, -0.1423, -0.1367, -0.0539, -0.0706, -0.101, -0.0842, -0.0415, -0.0415, -0.1247, -0.1284, -0.1462, -0.167, -0.1938, -0.1373, -0.1147, -0.1633, -0.249, -0.2228, -0.2071, -0.2737, -0.3488, -0.241, -0.1812, -0.1908, -0.2189, -0.209, -0.136, -0.136, -0.1403, -0.1026, -0.0514, -0.1368, -0.1131, -0.0957, -0.0645, -0.0755, -0.1961, -0.1977, -0.2348, -0.138, -0.1568, -0.2125, -0.1631, -0.1499, -0.0127, -0.0476, -0.0043, 0.1447, 0.0255, 0.0451, 0.0712, 0.0368, 0.0063, 0.013, 0.0145, -0.0658, -0.1112, -0.1867, -0.0853, -0.1013, -0.0407, -0.0407, -0.0079, 0.0349, 0.1019, 0.2018, 0.2779, 0.3625]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1979210275011146008", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-17T15:37:56+00:00", "symbol": "OKLO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the latter is pre-revenue", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS vs short OKLO: near-equal market caps but NBIS has $4-6B ARR next year vs OKLO pre-revenue.", "resolved_tickers": ["OKLO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Utilities - Independent Power Producers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@_visionarius Of course! $NBIS is almost at $OKLO's marketcap.\n\nThe difference is the latter is pre-revenue and Nebius is set to do $4-6B ARR next year lol.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Regular shares also worth adding here in your opinion?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "_visionarius", "ret_m1d": -0.00765040703023101, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00765040703023101, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.002006052807252967, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.002006052807252967, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005644354222978043, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005644354222978043, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.026562190795660023, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.026562190795660023, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03696266619528166, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03696266619528166, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010400475399621634, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010400475399621634, "ret_p1w": -0.16732968015190985, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16732968015190985, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.18668575092082007, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.18668575092082007, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.019356070768910216, "bench_c_p1w": 0.019356070768910216, "ret_p1m": -0.41636574474218957, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.41636574474218957, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4182922514493006, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4182922514493006, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.001926506707111031, "bench_c_p1m": 0.001926506707111031, "ret_p3m": -0.41263234237588653, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.41263234237588653, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.45479116812699505, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.45479116812699505, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04215882575110852, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04215882575110852, "ret_p6m": -0.6698696442364614, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6698696442364614, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.7084262017873847, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.7084262017873847, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.03855655755092324, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03855655755092324, "price_path": [-0.6247, -0.5901, -0.5435, -0.5379, -0.5379, -0.5654, -0.5371, -0.5312, -0.5625, -0.5323, -0.4853, -0.4914, -0.5145, -0.539, -0.5602, -0.5197, -0.5262, -0.5492, -0.5651, -0.5778, -0.5997, -0.5926, -0.5888, -0.5693, -0.5643, -0.5452, -0.552, -0.5233, -0.5493, -0.5493, -0.5496, -0.5579, -0.574, -0.5729, -0.5672, -0.5473, -0.5486, -0.5106, -0.4938, -0.4144, -0.4135, -0.4168, -0.3575, -0.1723, -0.1413, -0.1269, -0.1972, -0.2709, -0.3235, -0.2869, -0.3168, -0.2905, -0.2117, -0.2205, -0.152, -0.1791, -0.1752, -0.1546, -0.0993, 0.0466, 0.0658, 0.05, -0.0077, 0.0, -0.0266, -0.1466, -0.2648, -0.2368, -0.1673, -0.1589, -0.1904, -0.1222, -0.1591, -0.1874, -0.2247, -0.3131, -0.258, -0.3467, -0.3105, -0.3175, -0.3621, -0.3196, -0.3779, -0.4028, -0.4164, -0.4086, -0.3705, -0.4614, -0.4604, -0.4519, -0.4751, -0.457, -0.457, -0.4407, -0.4653, -0.4379, -0.4088, -0.3167, -0.3594, -0.3598, -0.3639, -0.3843, -0.3696, -0.465, -0.4961, -0.4889, -0.5352, -0.5243, -0.4906, -0.4893, -0.4989, -0.5024, -0.5024, -0.5292, -0.5465, -0.5617, -0.5608, -0.5608, -0.5238, -0.4532, -0.4149, -0.4027, -0.4027, -0.3555, -0.3727, -0.4058, -0.4126, -0.4403, -0.4189, -0.4189, -0.4496, -0.4444, -0.4435, -0.4637, -0.4962, -0.4781, -0.4223, -0.4734, -0.5127, -0.5494, -0.5226, -0.5824, -0.6197, -0.5648, -0.5407, -0.5748, -0.5947, -0.6088, -0.598, -0.598, -0.586, -0.5876, -0.586, -0.6093, -0.6139, -0.6018, -0.5941, -0.5773, -0.6147, -0.6041, -0.6126, -0.5982, -0.6204, -0.6435, -0.6219, -0.6243, -0.6159, -0.6353, -0.6428, -0.6347, -0.6295, -0.653, -0.6653, -0.6697, -0.6557, -0.6636, -0.6617, -0.6829, -0.6926, -0.721, -0.6965, -0.7058, -0.7054, -0.7054, -0.7016, -0.7149, -0.6927, -0.7078, -0.6925, -0.6699]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2008334038726050249", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-06T00:25:22+00:00", "symbol": "AIRO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "There's companies like $AIRO too if you feel you missed out, it's $300m mc, with ~$200m or so order backlog for 2025/2026 in drones and $60m+ cashpile. P/S is extremely low compared to others", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "AIRO pitched as undervalued drone play: $300M MC, ~$200M order backlog 2025/2026, $60M+ cash, low P/S vs peers.", "resolved_tickers": ["AIRO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@init_malachi There’s companies like $AIRO too if you feel you missed out, it’s $300m mc, with ~$200m or so order backlog for 2025/2026 in drones and $60m+ cashpile.\n\nP/S is extremely low compared to others, but not really directly involved in the Venezuela takeover", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I am so upset about AVAV. If I was aware they existed public I would have bought years ago", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "init_malachi", "ret_m1d": -0.09237666082601714, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09237666082601714, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08646463734070109, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0789832188951326, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005912023485316054, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013393441930884542, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03677128802145668, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03677128802145668, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03354793122922928, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.017946425962622636, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0032233567922274053, "bench_c_p1d": -0.018824862058834047, "ret_p1w": 0.15515700045725045, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.15515700045725045, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15232377988891477, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14287468107558055, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028332205683356815, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012282319381669904, "ret_p1m": -0.14349771143815626, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14349771143815626, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13537411982107783, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.18898583139896996, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00812359161707843, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0454881199608137, "ret_p3m": -0.21883405057057093, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21883405057057093, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1694145838876736, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2324754055224233, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04941946668289732, "bench_c_p3m": 0.013641354951852369, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.7112, 0.6278, 0.6637, 0.8009, 0.7498, 0.6861, 0.5695, 0.6386, 0.6126, 0.5336, 0.5471, 0.5677, 0.5543, 0.5085, 0.5067, 0.4664, 0.4673, 0.4601, 0.2798, 0.2731, 0.1767, 0.2081, 0.2377, 0.2224, 0.1991, 0.1435, -0.0942, -0.0735, -0.1157, -0.2045, -0.2951, -0.2834, -0.2942, -0.2969, -0.261, -0.261, -0.2242, -0.2655, -0.2574, -0.2152, -0.1399, -0.1498, -0.1291, -0.139, -0.1278, -0.13, -0.2377, -0.2861, -0.3103, -0.3354, -0.3345, -0.2798, -0.1839, -0.1749, -0.1614, -0.1614, -0.2161, -0.2556, -0.2691, -0.2664, -0.2664, -0.1713, -0.0924, 0.0, -0.0368, 0.0717, 0.1202, 0.1193, 0.1552, 0.1865, 0.1839, 0.1991, 0.1991, 0.1417, 0.0915, 0.1238, 0.0933, 0.0269, 0.0493, 0.0179, -0.0206, -0.0771, -0.0987, -0.0861, -0.1435, -0.2395, -0.1354, -0.0942, -0.1453, -0.174, -0.183, -0.1749, -0.1749, -0.1794, -0.1605, -0.0843, -0.165, -0.1345, -0.0969, -0.1121, -0.0879, -0.1211, -0.0404, -0.0978, -0.096, -0.0816, -0.096, -0.0538, -0.0377, -0.0583, -0.0879, -0.122, -0.0969, -0.0475, -0.1049, -0.1067, -0.1767, -0.1256, -0.148, -0.1552, -0.1874, -0.2305, -0.2314, -0.3179, -0.2628, -0.2188, -0.2188, -0.2152, -0.2161, -0.209, -0.2753, -0.2933, -0.2951, -0.2753, -0.2502, -0.2242, -0.2762, -0.2296, -0.2466, -0.2197, -0.2601, -0.2888, -0.2628, -0.2861, -0.3274, -0.3148, -0.3345, -0.3507, -0.3587, -0.3336, -0.3525, -0.3417, -0.2888, -0.2978, -0.2978, -0.4067, -0.4287, -0.461, -0.4753, -0.4637, -0.4386, -0.4117, -0.4117, -0.3722, -0.3462, -0.2027, -0.1946, -0.1946, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1979090868230590891", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-17T07:43:27+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "even at $291 it's an amazing buy", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish TSM at current price as center of the whole AI trade; calls it an amazing buy.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@spybear180 Yeah ~$275. Center of the whole AI trade, even at $291 it’s an amazing buy", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Is that a typo on $TSM", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "spybear180", "ret_m1d": 0.016131256361758384, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016131256361758384, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.021775610584736427, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.021775610584736427, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005644354222978043, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005644354222978043, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008879007725831833, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008879007725831833, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0015214676737898003, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0015214676737898003, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010400475399621634, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010400475399621634, "ret_p1w": -0.00040661177788969827, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.00040661177788969827, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.019762682546799915, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.019762682546799915, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.019356070768910216, "bench_c_p1w": 0.019356070768910216, "ret_p1m": -0.0442930217099492, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0442930217099492, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04621952841706023, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04621952841706023, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.001926506707111031, "bench_c_p1m": 0.001926506707111031, "ret_p3m": 0.11153953826372809, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11153953826372809, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06938071251261957, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06938071251261957, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04215882575110852, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04215882575110852, "ret_p6m": 0.25935987035011876, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.25935987035011876, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.22080331279919552, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.22080331279919552, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.03855655755092324, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03855655755092324, "price_path": [-0.2075, -0.1881, -0.1838, -0.1703, -0.1799, -0.1847, -0.1794, -0.1837, -0.2054, -0.1926, -0.2147, -0.2184, -0.1804, -0.183, -0.1822, -0.1747, -0.1844, -0.1858, -0.193, -0.1845, -0.2139, -0.2277, -0.232, -0.2129, -0.2041, -0.1935, -0.1916, -0.1951, -0.2201, -0.2201, -0.2284, -0.2183, -0.2054, -0.1777, -0.1649, -0.1523, -0.1202, -0.1253, -0.1239, -0.117, -0.1119, -0.1094, -0.0896, -0.1024, -0.0761, -0.0419, -0.0487, -0.0624, -0.0736, -0.074, -0.0535, -0.0224, -0.0236, -0.0098, 0.0248, -0.0036, 0.032, 0.0163, -0.0489, 0.0265, 0.0029, 0.0326, 0.0161, 0.0, 0.0089, -0.0019, -0.021, -0.0147, -0.0004, 0.0107, 0.0219, 0.0339, 0.0276, 0.0181, 0.0331, -0.0035, -0.0049, -0.0198, -0.0291, 0.0006, -0.0133, -0.0151, -0.0436, -0.0348, -0.0443, -0.0582, -0.0431, -0.0596, -0.0678, -0.0354, -0.0352, -0.0174, -0.0174, -0.0121, -0.0251, -0.0101, 0.0013, -0.0073, -0.0012, 0.023, 0.0282, 0.051, 0.0359, -0.0076, -0.0222, -0.0252, -0.0589, -0.0326, -0.0181, -0.0034, 0.0091, 0.0153, 0.0153, 0.0291, 0.0225, 0.018, 0.0326, 0.0326, 0.0861, 0.095, 0.1126, 0.0829, 0.0806, 0.0997, 0.1274, 0.1255, 0.1115, 0.1609, 0.1635, 0.1635, 0.1117, 0.1082, 0.1124, 0.1379, 0.1306, 0.1497, 0.1632, 0.1538, 0.1233, 0.16, 0.1409, 0.1069, 0.1238, 0.1854, 0.2077, 0.2298, 0.2712, 0.2508, 0.2449, 0.2449, 0.2376, 0.231, 0.2246, 0.2591, 0.2574, 0.3108, 0.3175, 0.2804, 0.2728, 0.2543, 0.2, 0.2146, 0.2024, 0.1516, 0.1849, 0.1794, 0.2048, 0.1442, 0.1496, 0.1561, 0.179, 0.1571, 0.1545, 0.1219, 0.1533, 0.1697, 0.185, 0.1113, 0.1134, 0.0785, 0.1516, 0.1637, 0.1553, 0.1553, 0.1646, 0.1767, 0.2469, 0.2455, 0.2629, 0.2594]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1974192651500204264", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-03T19:19:41+00:00", "symbol": "ETOR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ETOR is incredibly undervalued, market pricing a brokerage holding 1b+ cash at a 3.3B market cap, compounding like IBKR screams undervalued", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long ETOR as deeply undervalued brokerage with $1B+ cash; long VIRT as undervalued asymmetric hedge vs growth stocks; cost-averaging both.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETOR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I think $ETOR is incredibly undervalued, market pricing a brokerage holding 1b+ cash at a 3.3B market cap, compounding like IBKR screams undervalued.\n\n$VIRT was more of a hedge against growth stocks but I think it's undervalued. So I said asymmetrical  hedge which was good instead of buying $VIX with higher IV.\n\nI'll cost average both, thesis hasn't changed. Do look at my other posts around positioning though, I wouldn't give more than 5% of my portfolio to either but if there's high conviction maybe up to 30% allocation.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @BaronAfanas Bought VIRT at 35 and ETOR at 42 🤷🏻‍♀️ trusting the process and your DD :) plan to hold both, but if your analysis on them changes, pls provide an update.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LegalEagle123", "ret_m1d": 0.011957093312355394, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011957093312355394, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.011942325732055448, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011942325732055448, "bench_spy_m1d": 1.4767580299945848e-05, "bench_c_m1d": 1.4767580299945848e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00536850227331942, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00536850227331942, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.001782273362983311, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.001782273362983311, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003586228910336109, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003586228910336109, "ret_p1w": -0.05710102925150484, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05710102925150484, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03290824720447971, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03290824720447971, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02419278204702513, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02419278204702513, "ret_p1m": -0.1100536449954066, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1100536449954066, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13116807448066936, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13116807448066936, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.021114429485262765, "bench_c_p1m": 0.021114429485262765, "ret_p3m": -0.14275252658535909, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14275252658535909, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.16475603778395453, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.16475603778395453, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02200351119859545, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02200351119859545, "ret_p6m": -0.29477794188981665, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.29477794188981665, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.24450726406705325, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.24450726406705325, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0502706778227634, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0502706778227634, "price_path": [0.4956, 0.4888, 0.4488, 0.4063, 0.3712, 0.3143, 0.3912, 0.4187, 0.3856, 0.3709, 0.4058, 0.5217, 0.5559, 0.5881, 0.5495, 0.4815, 0.5132, 0.4632, 0.4175, 0.4463, 0.4145, 0.3736, 0.3755, 0.4136, 0.3494, 0.2382, 0.1713, 0.1606, 0.1747, 0.1623, 0.091, 0.083, 0.0918, 0.1374, 0.0918, 0.1074, 0.0864, 0.0835, 0.0835, 0.0835, 0.1403, 0.1445, 0.1263, 0.1323, 0.121, 0.1081, 0.0403, 0.0832, 0.0771, 0.0578, 0.0598, 0.0473, 0.072, 0.0774, 0.0986, 0.0678, 0.0354, 0.0012, 0.0029, 0.0246, 0.0071, -0.0469, 0.012, 0.0, 0.0054, -0.0112, -0.0012, -0.0364, -0.0571, -0.0395, -0.0464, -0.0593, -0.0598, -0.0876, -0.0347, -0.0317, -0.0759, -0.0717, -0.0417, -0.0178, -0.0478, -0.0749, -0.0859, -0.0957, -0.1101, -0.1596, -0.1652, -0.1833, -0.1489, -0.0793, 0.0063, 0.0085, -0.042, -0.0117, -0.06, -0.0432, -0.0652, -0.1069, -0.1022, -0.0508, -0.0261, 0.0244, 0.0244, 0.0242, 0.022, 0.0183, 0.042, 0.072, 0.0495, 0.0081, 0.0273, -0.0054, -0.0417, -0.0739, -0.1081, -0.121, -0.1518, -0.132, -0.1164, -0.1101, -0.1162, -0.1227, -0.1227, -0.1249, -0.1296, -0.1327, -0.1428, -0.1428, -0.1293, -0.1144, -0.1447, -0.1879, -0.2062, -0.2284, -0.2201, -0.2387, -0.2357, -0.2369, -0.2355, -0.2355, -0.2482, -0.2543, -0.2411, -0.2321, -0.2365, -0.2321, -0.2338, -0.2626, -0.2826, -0.3058, -0.3399, -0.3524, -0.3958, -0.3409, -0.3119, -0.3099, -0.3426, -0.3475, -0.3299, -0.3299, -0.193, -0.223, -0.2435, -0.2391, -0.2548, -0.2499, -0.2084, -0.2123, -0.2516, -0.2516, -0.2316, -0.2035, -0.202, -0.2235, -0.2294, -0.243, -0.246, -0.2684, -0.2653, -0.2545, -0.2401, -0.267, -0.2831, -0.2818, -0.2692, -0.2838, -0.2753, -0.2667, -0.2911, -0.2948]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1974192651500204264", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-03T19:19:41+00:00", "symbol": "VIRT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$VIRT was more of a hedge against growth stocks but I think it's undervalued. I'll cost average both, thesis hasn't changed", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long ETOR as deeply undervalued brokerage with $1B+ cash; long VIRT as undervalued asymmetric hedge vs growth stocks; cost-averaging both.", "resolved_tickers": ["VIRT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I think $ETOR is incredibly undervalued, market pricing a brokerage holding 1b+ cash at a 3.3B market cap, compounding like IBKR screams undervalued.\n\n$VIRT was more of a hedge against growth stocks but I think it's undervalued. So I said asymmetrical  hedge which was good instead of buying $VIX with higher IV.\n\nI'll cost average both, thesis hasn't changed. Do look at my other posts around positioning though, I wouldn't give more than 5% of my portfolio to either but if there's high conviction maybe up to 30% allocation.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @BaronAfanas Bought VIRT at 35 and ETOR at 42 🤷🏻‍♀️ trusting the process and your DD :) plan to hold both, but if your analysis on them changes, pls provide an update.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LegalEagle123", "ret_m1d": 0.018133134856069155, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.018133134856069155, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01811836727576921, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01811836727576921, "bench_spy_m1d": 1.4767580299945848e-05, "bench_c_m1d": 1.4767580299945848e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.036860771429562234, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.036860771429562234, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04044700033989834, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04044700033989834, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003586228910336109, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003586228910336109, "ret_p1w": -0.012782332339033253, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.012782332339033253, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.011410449707991877, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.011410449707991877, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02419278204702513, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02419278204702513, "ret_p1m": 0.03864439140592224, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03864439140592224, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.017529961920659476, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.017529961920659476, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.021114429485262765, "bench_c_p1m": 0.021114429485262765, "ret_p3m": -0.00281996478574853, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.00281996478574853, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.02482347598434398, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.02482347598434398, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02200351119859545, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02200351119859545, "ret_p6m": 0.2895031033506359, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2895031033506359, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3397737811733993, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3397737811733993, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0502706778227634, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0502706778227634, "price_path": [0.2651, 0.2713, 0.302, 0.2994, 0.3242, 0.3056, 0.3195, 0.3337, 0.31, 0.2864, 0.2601, 0.2766, 0.2938, 0.3065, 0.2828, 0.3017, 0.3239, 0.3047, 0.2819, 0.2831, 0.2678, 0.2547, 0.2547, 0.2545, 0.2426, 0.2447, 0.2364, 0.2364, 0.2349, 0.2255, 0.2172, 0.224, 0.229, 0.2429, 0.253, 0.2757, 0.263, 0.253, 0.2461, 0.2461, 0.2292, 0.2325, 0.2018, 0.1561, 0.1442, 0.1311, 0.1477, 0.1023, 0.0889, 0.077, 0.0523, 0.0455, 0.0467, 0.0544, 0.0366, 0.041, 0.0476, 0.0422, 0.0467, 0.0663, 0.0553, 0.0143, 0.0181, 0.0, -0.0369, -0.0375, -0.0238, -0.0125, -0.0128, -0.0193, -0.0039, -0.0012, -0.0161, -0.0122, -0.019, -0.0098, -0.0068, -0.0054, -0.0027, 0.0065, 0.0276, 0.0223, 0.0291, 0.0357, 0.0386, 0.0327, 0.0217, 0.0425, 0.0595, 0.0687, 0.0592, 0.0705, 0.058, 0.0458, 0.0214, 0.0262, 0.0059, 0.0021, 0.0101, 0.0083, 0.0315, 0.0505, 0.0505, 0.063, 0.0481, 0.0271, 0.0442, 0.0609, 0.0588, 0.0543, 0.0642, 0.0705, 0.0244, 0.0089, -0.001, 0.013, 0.008, 0.0044, 0.0127, -0.0055, -0.001, 0.0109, 0.0109, 0.0211, 0.0265, 0.0166, -0.0028, -0.0028, -0.0244, 0.0092, -0.0073, -0.0151, -0.0265, -0.0082, 0.0151, 0.019, 0.0528, 0.0738, 0.104, 0.104, 0.0962, 0.1046, 0.1106, 0.1121, 0.1226, 0.1265, 0.122, 0.2168, 0.2423, 0.1833, 0.1462, 0.1319, 0.1435, 0.1531, 0.1749, 0.1785, 0.1351, 0.125, 0.1474, 0.1474, 0.1696, 0.1779, 0.1782, 0.1917, 0.1965, 0.2225, 0.2195, 0.2492, 0.2465, 0.2862, 0.2534, 0.2359, 0.2308, 0.2344, 0.2624, 0.2356, 0.2167, 0.1941, 0.1766, 0.1697, 0.1995, 0.2004, 0.1914, 0.2531, 0.2907, 0.3043, 0.3166, 0.3076, 0.2799, 0.2895]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1973190813418135831", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-01T00:58:44+00:00", "symbol": "LTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "should get a nice boost off the news", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "LTC should get a boost from potential ETF approval, which could come at any time following SEC withdrawal of 19-4b filings.", "resolved_tickers": ["LTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm going off CoinTelegraph data, which is pretty trusted. I wouldn't know how to calculate extensions after filing dates in SEC data.\n\nBut generally if there's a request for withdrawal it means it can be approved any time. No clue why LTC is still $106, maybe  adrop to wipe out leveraged positions, but should get a nice boost off the news.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Great info! Random question, but does the SEC's request for withdrawal of 19-4b filings for the LTC ETF approval process mean a decision could be made at any time now? I can't find info to confirm if the Canary ETF is still set for a decision by October 2.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Neat_Lama", "ret_m1d": -0.07146335862762065, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07146335862762065, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06806745281490167, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00339590581271898, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.03920295327178369, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03920295327178369, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03805114973459078, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001151803537192908, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": 0.030498674427366312, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.030498674427366312, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.023527338293022115, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006971336134344197, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.1888506766699548, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1888506766699548, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2058752016462676, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017024524976312794, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.3200757735157844, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3200757735157844, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.35213875897806424, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032062985462279814, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.5260120393341023, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5260120393341023, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4965605615489518, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02945147778515056, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2454, -0.2522, -0.2383, -0.2122, -0.1765, -0.1813, -0.1699, -0.1633, -0.1531, -0.1174, -0.1169, 0.0063, 0.0399, -0.0255, -0.0244, -0.0114, -0.0567, -0.0573, -0.0399, -0.0773, -0.0737, 0.0528, 0.0447, 0.0362, 0.066, 0.076, 0.0449, 0.1332, 0.1377, 0.0536, 0.0341, 0.0224, -0.0229, 0.0078, -0.0042, 0.0666, -0.0493, -0.0141, -0.0259, -0.0119, -0.0453, -0.0572, -0.03, -0.0189, -0.035, -0.0263, -0.0209, -0.0276, 0.0212, 0.0064, 0.0263, -0.0117, -0.0008, 0.0165, 0.0273, -0.0087, -0.0808, -0.0779, -0.0826, -0.1126, -0.091, -0.072, -0.0715, 0.0, 0.0392, 0.0469, 0.0279, 0.0169, 0.0305, 0.0939, -0.1607, -0.1351, -0.1543, -0.1713, -0.2027, -0.2172, -0.1825, -0.1949, -0.2016, -0.1831, -0.1625, -0.1368, -0.1598, -0.1439, -0.1889, -0.1705, -0.2409, -0.2575, -0.2221, -0.2443, -0.1159, -0.0949, -0.1343, -0.1527, -0.1592, -0.153, -0.2075, -0.1691, -0.1933, -0.242, -0.2825, -0.2575, -0.2592, -0.2454, -0.2475, -0.2677, -0.326, -0.2807, -0.253, -0.2741, -0.3008, -0.2712, -0.2521, -0.266, -0.2795, -0.2884, -0.326, -0.3133, -0.3405, -0.3547, -0.3268, -0.3312, -0.3318, -0.3421, -0.3427, -0.3326, -0.3201, -0.3159, -0.3331, -0.3065, -0.2893, -0.274, -0.2708, -0.291, -0.2943, -0.2932, -0.3394, -0.3214, -0.3334, -0.3735, -0.3462, -0.3857, -0.4175, -0.4057, -0.4082, -0.409, -0.3942, -0.3923, -0.3973, -0.4258, -0.4324, -0.4789, -0.4852, -0.4893, -0.5597, -0.5217, -0.5275, -0.5368, -0.5463, -0.5388, -0.5216, -0.5219, -0.5318, -0.5371, -0.5426, -0.5204, -0.5548, -0.5556, -0.5077, -0.5169, -0.5263, -0.5263, -0.5242, -0.5067, -0.5182, -0.5326, -0.5334, -0.5323, -0.5245, -0.526, -0.5196, -0.4899, -0.4954, -0.5131, -0.5179, -0.512, -0.5165, -0.5102, -0.5082, -0.526]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1947292748563796124", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-21T13:49:04+00:00", "symbol": "ALAB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I actually wouldn't swing trade or take profit on this since I think it's another NVIDIA 500%+ type stock. You don't really see small cap companies growing 150+ Y/Y with 76% profit margins serving Mag7 companies every day.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Hold ALAB for 500%+ upside; rare small-cap with 150%+ growth and 76% margins serving Mag7 customers makes it an NVDA-like compounder.", "resolved_tickers": ["ALAB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Well, $ALAB just shot up 16%.\n\nI actually wouldn't swing trade or take profit on this this since I think it's another NVIDIA 500%+ type stock. \n\nYou don't really see small cap companies growing 150+ Y/Y with 76% profit margins serving Mag7 companies every day.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I just bought long term ~$175k+ positions in $ALAB and plan to scale this to ~$500k as a potential $50B+ moonshot.  \n\nNVDA-like profit margins (76%), 144%+ Y/Y growth, customers like NVDA, AWS, MSFT, GOOGL, NVDA, AMD at 16B market cap. \n\nUnreal customers + growth/margins. https://t.co/bRCBgtoGSB", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.16211339925487434, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.16211339925487434, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.16022081276470945, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.16142498336695643, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018925864901648826, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0006884158879179036, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04085647512081281, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04085647512081281, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04099949838994499, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.023163459712752243, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00014302326913218089, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017693015408060564, "ret_p1w": 0.01772092602285147, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01772092602285147, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.004727345232178548, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.014622896464488333, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01299358079067292, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0030980295583631356, "ret_p1m": 0.4033964920433095, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4033964920433095, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.38583840340197084, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4021572802199642, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017558088641338676, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0012392118233452987, "ret_p3m": 0.34178360711065325, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.34178360711065325, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2881844378007645, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1600687887400123, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05359916930988873, "bench_c_p3m": 0.18171481837064096, "ret_p6m": 0.4813356178745529, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4813356178745529, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3716307010164952, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.12940873305813283, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10970491685805772, "bench_c_p6m": 0.3519268848164201, "price_path": [-0.5065, -0.4704, -0.4576, -0.4579, -0.4614, -0.4642, -0.4321, -0.4153, -0.4081, -0.4146, -0.4168, -0.4123, -0.4159, -0.3414, -0.28, -0.2562, -0.2437, -0.257, -0.2593, -0.225, -0.2438, -0.2264, -0.2237, -0.2237, -0.1998, -0.2086, -0.2074, -0.2557, -0.2377, -0.2199, -0.2188, -0.2558, -0.2555, -0.2423, -0.2497, -0.2244, -0.226, -0.2638, -0.2181, -0.2378, -0.1834, -0.1834, -0.2364, -0.2949, -0.2841, -0.2647, -0.1963, -0.2533, -0.2582, -0.2726, -0.2734, -0.2551, -0.2551, -0.2647, -0.2428, -0.1807, -0.204, -0.2132, -0.259, -0.2423, -0.2457, -0.1964, -0.1621, 0.0, -0.0409, -0.0198, -0.0017, 0.0028, 0.0177, -0.0286, 0.0573, 0.1217, 0.0756, 0.1316, 0.112, 0.4307, 0.402, 0.4708, 0.4721, 0.5752, 0.5886, 0.5644, 0.5247, 0.5295, 0.4034, 0.4148, 0.4565, 0.4693, 0.4287, 0.4649, 0.4702, 0.5518, 0.4948, 0.4948, 0.4295, 0.4489, 0.542, 0.5686, 0.7729, 0.7597, 0.89, 0.9107, 0.8828, 0.8975, 0.9591, 1.0459, 1.0665, 1.0116, 0.9468, 0.8878, 0.6841, 0.6461, 0.6226, 0.631, 0.6064, 0.5957, 0.7196, 0.6469, 0.8116, 0.7401, 0.7997, 0.8495, 0.6918, 0.637, 0.3254, 0.3247, 0.3418, 0.311, 0.2824, 0.2922, 0.2704, 0.3425, 0.3534, 0.397, 0.3803, 0.4244, 0.391, 0.5315, 0.5716, 0.4711, 0.4927, 0.3359, 0.3577, 0.4254, 0.3746, 0.2945, 0.1852, 0.1842, 0.16, 0.1446, 0.1651, 0.1428, 0.1633, 0.2122, 0.1878, 0.2652, 0.2652, 0.2927, 0.3552, 0.1727, 0.2511, 0.2512, 0.3227, 0.4418, 0.3707, 0.3481, 0.4251, 0.2212, 0.1786, 0.1891, 0.1505, 0.1968, 0.3488, 0.4162, 0.3851, 0.3945, 0.3945, 0.3722, 0.3956, 0.4016, 0.3648, 0.3648, 0.4731, 0.371, 0.3209, 0.36, 0.2858, 0.3341, 0.4158, 0.4813]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2008885171156811870", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-07T12:55:22+00:00", "symbol": "SNDK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "full port it into $SNDK and $MU and just not touch it", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author holds full-port positions in SNDK and MU as a buy-and-hold strategy, not timing the bottom.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNDK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thanks, Credo is personally more of a trade for me though.  But it's really hard to time the bottoms when things look like a falling knife ( $CRDO down 35%+ since last month). \n\nMuch easier to just full port it into $SNDK and $MU and just not touch it.  \n\nStuff like $AIRO looked like a falling knife too then recovered 48%, so bottom catching is quite profitable if done right.\n\nWe'll see if my interpretation is correct though, I have a fun time testing my own theories against the markets.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit This is a great breakdown.\nThe selloff looked more like misinterpretation risk than a true demand or product thesis change.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MacroAINotes", "ret_m1d": -0.01111549016551272, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01111549016551272, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014349270585822471, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014349270585822471, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003233780420309751, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003233780420309751, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.053795647542167924, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.053795647542167924, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05369411486018216, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05369411486018216, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00010153268198576093, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00010153268198576093, "ret_p1w": 0.09687181874788853, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09687181874788853, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0957407588709418, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0957407588709418, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0011310598769467273, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0011310598769467273, "ret_p1m": 0.6297092889065892, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6297092889065892, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6470531832955595, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.6470531832955595, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017343894388970327, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017343894388970327, "ret_p3m": 1.049524861088741, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.049524861088741, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.0913626274833406, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.0913626274833406, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04183776639459935, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04183776639459935, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6693, -0.6193, -0.64, -0.5919, -0.592, -0.6036, -0.5813, -0.5778, -0.5844, -0.5275, -0.4735, -0.5008, -0.5035, -0.422, -0.4461, -0.4362, -0.4145, -0.4497, -0.3877, -0.4126, -0.3227, -0.2421, -0.2319, -0.1993, -0.3111, -0.2811, -0.248, -0.3072, -0.3043, -0.4458, -0.4336, -0.3581, -0.3763, -0.3918, -0.3918, -0.3685, -0.4056, -0.4192, -0.4502, -0.3967, -0.3538, -0.3623, -0.3793, -0.3414, -0.3166, -0.4168, -0.429, -0.408, -0.415, -0.3793, -0.3279, -0.3182, -0.3073, -0.2927, -0.2927, -0.2928, -0.3092, -0.3206, -0.3286, -0.3286, -0.2215, -0.2248, -0.0111, 0.0, -0.0538, 0.0675, 0.101, 0.1025, 0.0969, 0.1575, 0.1699, 0.1699, 0.2816, 0.4178, 0.4239, 0.3402, 0.3316, 0.3617, 0.4923, 0.5253, 0.6299, 0.8815, 0.9672, 0.6533, 0.6297, 0.6912, 0.6501, 0.532, 0.6952, 0.7827, 0.7721, 0.7721, 0.6704, 0.6982, 0.7567, 0.8384, 0.8851, 0.806, 0.7886, 0.8438, 0.797, 0.751, 0.5992, 0.6944, 0.5997, 0.4915, 0.6651, 0.7505, 0.8538, 0.7503, 0.8713, 0.9901, 1.0369, 1.1317, 1.1838, 1.0073, 0.9869, 0.9869, 0.9172, 0.706, 0.7418, 0.6192, 0.797, 0.9593, 0.9844, 0.9844, 1.0495, 1.0104, 1.2087, 1.4086, 1.4091, 1.694, 1.6713, 1.5221, 1.6006, 1.6049, 1.5824, 1.5554, 1.7692, 1.6373, 1.7998, 2.0269, 1.835, 2.01, 2.1013, 2.3573, 2.552, 2.9776, 2.988, 2.7899, 3.4189, 3.3771, 3.1069, 3.0933, 2.9108, 2.9812, 2.7703, 2.9125, 2.9387, 3.362, 3.1823, 3.1823, 3.4958, 3.4969, 3.6432, 3.794, 3.794, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2008885171156811870", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-07T12:55:22+00:00", "symbol": "MU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "full port it into $SNDK and $MU and just not touch it", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author holds full-port positions in SNDK and MU as a buy-and-hold strategy, not timing the bottom.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thanks, Credo is personally more of a trade for me though.  But it's really hard to time the bottoms when things look like a falling knife ( $CRDO down 35%+ since last month). \n\nMuch easier to just full port it into $SNDK and $MU and just not touch it.  \n\nStuff like $AIRO looked like a falling knife too then recovered 48%, so bottom catching is quite profitable if done right.\n\nWe'll see if my interpretation is correct though, I have a fun time testing my own theories against the markets.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit This is a great breakdown.\nThe selloff looked more like misinterpretation risk than a true demand or product thesis change.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MacroAINotes", "ret_m1d": 0.011426848156873781, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011426848156873781, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00819306773656403, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004673936158262393, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003233780420309751, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006752911998611388, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03690181592709463, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03690181592709463, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03680028324510887, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.021214375794916807, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00010153268198576093, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01568744013217782, "ret_p1w": -0.01825943547129749, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01825943547129749, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01939049534824422, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.026908381460762687, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0011310598769467273, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008648945989465195, "ret_p1m": 0.12763963645132725, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12763963645132725, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14498353084029758, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1378987965005809, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017343894388970327, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010259160049253646, "ret_p3m": 0.11299871188780286, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11299871188780286, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1548364782824022, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08453260029517318, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04183776639459935, "bench_c_p3m": 0.028466111592629684, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4654, -0.4325, -0.4493, -0.435, -0.4038, -0.4042, -0.3913, -0.4045, -0.4157, -0.3915, -0.3552, -0.3521, -0.3467, -0.3328, -0.3405, -0.3412, -0.3091, -0.3581, -0.3008, -0.2984, -0.2996, -0.2543, -0.2902, -0.279, -0.3024, -0.2734, -0.2877, -0.3273, -0.3349, -0.4072, -0.3895, -0.3408, -0.339, -0.3221, -0.3221, -0.3038, -0.2921, -0.295, -0.3107, -0.3328, -0.3017, -0.2731, -0.2569, -0.2237, -0.2391, -0.2901, -0.3008, -0.3155, -0.3361, -0.2683, -0.2172, -0.1858, -0.1867, -0.156, -0.156, -0.1616, -0.1331, -0.1382, -0.1594, -0.1594, -0.0711, -0.0807, 0.0114, 0.0, -0.0369, 0.0163, 0.0186, -0.0042, -0.0183, -0.0086, 0.0683, 0.0683, 0.075, 0.146, 0.1709, 0.177, 0.1459, 0.2082, 0.2819, 0.2834, 0.2219, 0.2894, 0.2353, 0.1174, 0.1276, 0.1624, 0.1294, 0.0992, 0.2085, 0.2192, 0.2124, 0.2124, 0.1774, 0.2397, 0.2291, 0.261, 0.2398, 0.2311, 0.2634, 0.2239, 0.2145, 0.2153, 0.1182, 0.1803, 0.1693, 0.0906, 0.1466, 0.1872, 0.2331, 0.1938, 0.255, 0.3011, 0.3597, 0.3598, 0.3084, 0.2455, 0.1908, 0.1649, 0.1253, 0.0469, 0.052, -0.0519, -0.0046, 0.0838, 0.0791, 0.0791, 0.113, 0.1125, 0.1984, 0.2419, 0.2392, 0.2568, 0.372, 0.3442, 0.3471, 0.3408, 0.3212, 0.324, 0.4363, 0.4193, 0.4635, 0.5455, 0.4858, 0.5275, 0.5237, 0.5975, 0.6984, 0.8862, 0.964, 0.9052, 1.2003, 1.3433, 1.2586, 1.3677, 1.2864, 1.1351, 1.008, 1.0587, 1.1567, 1.2454, 1.2127, 1.2127, 1.6395, 1.7354, 1.721, 1.8609, 1.8609, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1947298901108957475", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-21T14:13:31+00:00", "symbol": "CRDO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Just bought $100K worth of $CRDO as it's a similar company to $ALAB and also growing at insane rates. I'd hold anyway as it's a solid hyper growth company.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bought $100K CRDO as ALAB analog on hypergrowth; also holding ALAB for 500%+ upside similar to NVDA.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRDO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just bought $100K worth of $CRDO as it's a similar company to $ALAB and also growing at insane rates. \n\nSimilar market segments and it dropped 8% last week. Usually things rise together (eg. $CRWV + $NBIS).\n\nI'd hold anyway as it's a solid hyper growth company. https://t.co/v4kI2fb1Ef", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Well, $ALAB just shot up 16%.\n\nI actually wouldn't swing trade or take profit on this this since I think it's another NVIDIA 500%+ type stock. \n\nYou don't really see small cap companies growing 150+ Y/Y with 76% profit margins serving Mag7 companies every day.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.023710013512810324, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.023710013512810324, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02181742702264544, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02302159762489242, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018925864901648826, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0006884158879179036, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02935029894811736, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02935029894811736, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02949332221724954, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011657283540056795, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00014302326913218089, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017693015408060564, "ret_p1w": 0.1275328948915011, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1275328948915011, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11453931410082818, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.12443486533313797, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01299358079067292, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0030980295583631356, "ret_p1m": 0.11029878236486224, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11029878236486224, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09274069372352356, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10905957054151694, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017558088641338676, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0012392118233452987, "ret_p3m": 0.4260497370552305, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4260497370552305, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3724505677453418, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.24433491868458956, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05359916930988873, "bench_c_p3m": 0.18171481837064096, "ret_p6m": 0.6856069405019574, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6856069405019574, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5759020236438996, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.33368005568553727, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10970491685805772, "bench_c_p6m": 0.3519268848164201, "price_path": [-0.5771, -0.5572, -0.5438, -0.5504, -0.5487, -0.5503, -0.5243, -0.4959, -0.4914, -0.5021, -0.4942, -0.4632, -0.4694, -0.4231, -0.383, -0.3755, -0.3777, -0.3719, -0.3528, -0.3513, -0.3686, -0.3652, -0.3547, -0.3547, -0.3352, -0.345, -0.3333, -0.3633, -0.3456, -0.2488, -0.2014, -0.2375, -0.2379, -0.2575, -0.2842, -0.2517, -0.2235, -0.2324, -0.1731, -0.1674, -0.106, -0.106, -0.1069, -0.1167, -0.0399, -0.037, -0.0072, -0.0235, -0.0329, -0.0851, -0.0665, -0.0222, -0.0222, -0.0314, -0.0249, 0.0193, 0.0162, 0.029, 0.0309, 0.0715, 0.0569, 0.0283, -0.0237, 0.0, -0.0294, 0.0279, 0.0567, 0.0572, 0.1275, 0.1425, 0.2117, 0.1651, 0.1235, 0.198, 0.152, 0.2256, 0.2511, 0.2577, 0.2385, 0.3096, 0.2652, 0.2255, 0.2193, 0.2402, 0.1103, 0.1071, 0.1579, 0.1911, 0.2055, 0.2544, 0.2819, 0.3769, 0.2853, 0.2853, 0.298, 0.3032, 0.3996, 0.4709, 0.5409, 0.5566, 0.7126, 0.6641, 0.692, 0.7128, 0.7174, 0.7176, 0.7998, 0.771, 0.714, 0.6948, 0.5603, 0.5139, 0.4929, 0.5251, 0.5209, 0.5136, 0.5629, 0.5027, 0.5398, 0.433, 0.5549, 0.5788, 0.4501, 0.5657, 0.3552, 0.3726, 0.426, 0.5, 0.5841, 0.5058, 0.433, 0.5769, 0.6247, 0.6186, 0.694, 0.7915, 0.7403, 0.9597, 0.8868, 0.7154, 0.8086, 0.6998, 0.7089, 0.7773, 0.6555, 0.6747, 0.4931, 0.5199, 0.5206, 0.4577, 0.4819, 0.4072, 0.3943, 0.5756, 0.6104, 0.7131, 0.7131, 0.855, 0.7874, 0.9682, 0.9761, 0.8897, 0.8387, 0.869, 0.7787, 0.6501, 0.6134, 0.5031, 0.4834, 0.4658, 0.401, 0.4474, 0.5681, 0.5661, 0.5439, 0.5687, 0.5687, 0.5127, 0.5114, 0.5137, 0.5029, 0.5029, 0.4959, 0.4648, 0.3887, 0.4727, 0.4789, 0.5711, 0.6301, 0.6856]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1947298901108957475", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-07-21T14:13:31+00:00", "symbol": "ALAB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I actually wouldn't swing trade or take profit on this since I think it's another NVIDIA 500%+ type stock", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bought $100K CRDO as ALAB analog on hypergrowth; also holding ALAB for 500%+ upside similar to NVDA.", "resolved_tickers": ["ALAB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just bought $100K worth of $CRDO as it's a similar company to $ALAB and also growing at insane rates. \n\nSimilar market segments and it dropped 8% last week. Usually things rise together (eg. $CRWV + $NBIS).\n\nI'd hold anyway as it's a solid hyper growth company. https://t.co/v4kI2fb1Ef", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Well, $ALAB just shot up 16%.\n\nI actually wouldn't swing trade or take profit on this this since I think it's another NVIDIA 500%+ type stock. \n\nYou don't really see small cap companies growing 150+ Y/Y with 76% profit margins serving Mag7 companies every day.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.16211339925487434, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.16211339925487434, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.16022081276470945, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.16142498336695643, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018925864901648826, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0006884158879179036, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04085647512081281, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04085647512081281, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04099949838994499, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.023163459712752243, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00014302326913218089, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017693015408060564, "ret_p1w": 0.01772092602285147, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01772092602285147, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.004727345232178548, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.014622896464488333, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01299358079067292, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0030980295583631356, "ret_p1m": 0.4033964920433095, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4033964920433095, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.38583840340197084, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4021572802199642, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017558088641338676, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0012392118233452987, "ret_p3m": 0.34178360711065325, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.34178360711065325, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2881844378007645, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1600687887400123, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05359916930988873, "bench_c_p3m": 0.18171481837064096, "ret_p6m": 0.4813356178745529, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4813356178745529, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3716307010164952, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.12940873305813283, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10970491685805772, "bench_c_p6m": 0.3519268848164201, "price_path": [-0.5065, -0.4704, -0.4576, -0.4579, -0.4614, -0.4642, -0.4321, -0.4153, -0.4081, -0.4146, -0.4168, -0.4123, -0.4159, -0.3414, -0.28, -0.2562, -0.2437, -0.257, -0.2593, -0.225, -0.2438, -0.2264, -0.2237, -0.2237, -0.1998, -0.2086, -0.2074, -0.2557, -0.2377, -0.2199, -0.2188, -0.2558, -0.2555, -0.2423, -0.2497, -0.2244, -0.226, -0.2638, -0.2181, -0.2378, -0.1834, -0.1834, -0.2364, -0.2949, -0.2841, -0.2647, -0.1963, -0.2533, -0.2582, -0.2726, -0.2734, -0.2551, -0.2551, -0.2647, -0.2428, -0.1807, -0.204, -0.2132, -0.259, -0.2423, -0.2457, -0.1964, -0.1621, 0.0, -0.0409, -0.0198, -0.0017, 0.0028, 0.0177, -0.0286, 0.0573, 0.1217, 0.0756, 0.1316, 0.112, 0.4307, 0.402, 0.4708, 0.4721, 0.5752, 0.5886, 0.5644, 0.5247, 0.5295, 0.4034, 0.4148, 0.4565, 0.4693, 0.4287, 0.4649, 0.4702, 0.5518, 0.4948, 0.4948, 0.4295, 0.4489, 0.542, 0.5686, 0.7729, 0.7597, 0.89, 0.9107, 0.8828, 0.8975, 0.9591, 1.0459, 1.0665, 1.0116, 0.9468, 0.8878, 0.6841, 0.6461, 0.6226, 0.631, 0.6064, 0.5957, 0.7196, 0.6469, 0.8116, 0.7401, 0.7997, 0.8495, 0.6918, 0.637, 0.3254, 0.3247, 0.3418, 0.311, 0.2824, 0.2922, 0.2704, 0.3425, 0.3534, 0.397, 0.3803, 0.4244, 0.391, 0.5315, 0.5716, 0.4711, 0.4927, 0.3359, 0.3577, 0.4254, 0.3746, 0.2945, 0.1852, 0.1842, 0.16, 0.1446, 0.1651, 0.1428, 0.1633, 0.2122, 0.1878, 0.2652, 0.2652, 0.2927, 0.3552, 0.1727, 0.2511, 0.2512, 0.3227, 0.4418, 0.3707, 0.3481, 0.4251, 0.2212, 0.1786, 0.1891, 0.1505, 0.1968, 0.3488, 0.4162, 0.3851, 0.3945, 0.3945, 0.3722, 0.3956, 0.4016, 0.3648, 0.3648, 0.4731, 0.371, 0.3209, 0.36, 0.2858, 0.3341, 0.4158, 0.4813]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1981480066132693012", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-23T21:57:16+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the contract will play out by late 2026 and into 2027 and their existing numbers + MSFT is at the base case $4.9B ARR, which id estimate is +62.5% from here MC wise if there were no growth", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long NBIS: MSFT contract ramps to $4.9B ARR base case, +62.5% MC upside even with zero growth assumed.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "1. No i said there’s likely some revenue lag on $NBIS $MSFT ramp up but the contract will play out by late 2026 and into 2027 and their existing numbers + MSFT is at the base case $4.9B ARR, which id estimate is +62.5% from here MC wise if there were no growth. \n\nI use 0 growth as an example just to show how structurally \nundervalued the business is as is.\n\n2. This was a high level overview on how we get to $100B MC not a full blown analysis. I mentioned in brackets I didn’t go into GPU depreciation and power capacity. But generally with GPUs even older models keep their value and still deliver equity.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Hi, thanks for the DD, just couple points for the sake of discussion-\n1/ you are assuming a linear ramp-up of the MSFT contract? This might not be realistic, and actually slower ramp up could be expected,\n2/ depreciation of assets (GPU obsolescence) is not factored in?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "OddGabriele", "ret_m1d": -0.07102487429753657, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07102487429753657, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06512993942938017, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07440881923073017, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0058949348681563984, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033839449331936056, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10455913801068295, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10455913801068295, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09638656690605218, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10195610344668782, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008172571104630766, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0026030345639951324, "ret_p1w": 0.16974374549214621, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16974374549214621, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15773046162608217, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.17781315264053088, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01201328386606404, "bench_c_p1w": -0.008069407148384666, "ret_p1m": -0.2157121395621464, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2157121395621464, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19676196118720868, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.18664489805590412, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01895017837493773, "bench_c_p1m": -0.029067241506242292, "ret_p3m": -0.06471366342872564, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06471366342872564, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07635797132099198, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05245634876501981, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.011644307892266337, "bench_c_p3m": -0.012257314663705832, "ret_p6m": 0.4802184812445973, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4802184812445973, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4170656573905107, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.44015893191536004, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0631528238540866, "bench_c_p6m": 0.040059549329237276, "price_path": [-0.5031, -0.5252, -0.5169, -0.4873, -0.5102, -0.4897, -0.4803, -0.4811, -0.3848, -0.3521, -0.3384, -0.2904, -0.3347, -0.3551, -0.3254, -0.3167, -0.3671, -0.3644, -0.3766, -0.3502, -0.3404, -0.3361, -0.3397, -0.3214, -0.3564, -0.3564, -0.3809, -0.3816, -0.3886, -0.3833, -0.3966, -0.0983, -0.1203, -0.1599, -0.1484, -0.1432, -0.1576, -0.1138, -0.1134, -0.0645, 0.0041, 0.0154, 0.0666, 0.0168, 0.0145, 0.0382, 0.0576, 0.089, 0.1857, 0.2055, 0.1769, 0.1087, 0.1492, 0.2494, 0.2206, 0.276, 0.2071, 0.1853, 0.159, 0.0686, 0.0268, -0.0177, -0.071, 0.0, 0.1046, 0.1815, 0.1476, 0.1784, 0.1697, 0.2323, 0.1348, 0.0413, 0.1021, 0.0309, 0.0482, 0.0357, -0.0371, -0.1112, -0.1651, -0.2131, -0.1901, -0.1471, -0.1045, -0.2027, -0.2157, -0.1343, -0.1628, -0.108, -0.108, -0.1063, -0.0566, -0.0915, -0.0682, -0.0317, -0.0765, -0.0549, -0.0918, -0.1184, -0.1119, -0.174, -0.2357, -0.2375, -0.2893, -0.2644, -0.1573, -0.1218, -0.1519, -0.1416, -0.1416, -0.1749, -0.1895, -0.1977, -0.2115, -0.2115, -0.1527, -0.1256, -0.0558, -0.0937, -0.0835, -0.0775, 0.011, -0.0069, -0.0394, -0.0214, 0.0242, 0.0242, -0.0647, -0.0687, -0.0877, -0.1098, -0.1385, -0.0781, -0.054, -0.106, -0.1975, -0.1696, -0.1527, -0.2239, -0.3042, -0.189, -0.1251, -0.1354, -0.1653, -0.1548, -0.0768, -0.0768, -0.0814, -0.0411, 0.0137, -0.0776, -0.0523, -0.0337, -0.0004, -0.0121, -0.141, -0.1427, -0.1824, -0.0789, -0.099, -0.1585, -0.1057, -0.0917, 0.055, 0.0177, 0.064, 0.2232, 0.0958, 0.1168, 0.1447, 0.108, 0.0753, 0.0824, 0.0841, -0.0018, -0.0503, -0.1309, -0.0226, -0.0397, 0.0251, 0.0251, 0.0601, 0.1059, 0.1775, 0.2842, 0.3656, 0.4559, 0.5254, 0.5709, 0.5575, 0.4802]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1981201004931739734", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-23T03:28:23+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "National security names - AI ( $NBIS ) - could see a violent reversal as shorts scramble to cover and MM hedging mechanically goes upward", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "US gov equity stakes in national security firms seen as catalyst for violent short-squeeze reversal across AI, energy, space, minerals, and quantum names.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Breaking: U.S. Government moves to take stakes in quantum computing firms, a huge game-changer.\n\nNational security names - AI ( $NBIS ), Energy ( $TE ), Space ( $RKLB ), Minerals ( $MP ), Quantum ( $RGTI, $IONQ, $QBTS) - could see a violent reversal as shorts scramble to cover and MM hedging mechanically goes upward.\n\nWe now see a clear trend: Washington is deploying billions into national security companies, expanding from critical minerals to quantum computing, and likely to others.  \n\nThe Trump administration buying equity of various firms critical to national security could trigger significant institutional repositioning, as funds and algorithms rethink the risks of shorting assets tied to the U.S. government's buildout of rare earths, quantum, AI, etc. \n\nInstitutions and MMs may short against retail, but they never bet against the U.S. Government's balance sheet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Added $200k worth of $NBIS leaps at $98.8, December $105 2026 strike.\n\nNebius dropping 30%+ in a week from $140 to $97 might make you second-guess yourself, but it’s times like these where conviction matters most.\n\nIf you understand the fundamentals and sector, this is a gift. https://t.co/Yv0s3t1cuy", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.07102487429753657, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07102487429753657, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06512993942938017, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07440881923073017, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0058949348681563984, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033839449331936056, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10455913801068295, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10455913801068295, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09638656690605218, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10195610344668782, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008172571104630766, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0026030345639951324, "ret_p1w": 0.16974374549214621, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16974374549214621, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15773046162608217, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.17781315264053088, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01201328386606404, "bench_c_p1w": -0.008069407148384666, "ret_p1m": -0.2157121395621464, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2157121395621464, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19676196118720868, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.18664489805590412, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01895017837493773, "bench_c_p1m": -0.029067241506242292, "ret_p3m": -0.06471366342872564, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06471366342872564, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07635797132099198, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05245634876501981, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.011644307892266337, "bench_c_p3m": -0.012257314663705832, "ret_p6m": 0.4802184812445973, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4802184812445973, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4170656573905107, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.44015893191536004, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0631528238540866, "bench_c_p6m": 0.040059549329237276, "price_path": [-0.5031, -0.5252, -0.5169, -0.4873, -0.5102, -0.4897, -0.4803, -0.4811, -0.3848, -0.3521, -0.3384, -0.2904, -0.3347, -0.3551, -0.3254, -0.3167, -0.3671, -0.3644, -0.3766, -0.3502, -0.3404, -0.3361, -0.3397, -0.3214, -0.3564, -0.3564, -0.3809, -0.3816, -0.3886, -0.3833, -0.3966, -0.0983, -0.1203, -0.1599, -0.1484, -0.1432, -0.1576, -0.1138, -0.1134, -0.0645, 0.0041, 0.0154, 0.0666, 0.0168, 0.0145, 0.0382, 0.0576, 0.089, 0.1857, 0.2055, 0.1769, 0.1087, 0.1492, 0.2494, 0.2206, 0.276, 0.2071, 0.1853, 0.159, 0.0686, 0.0268, -0.0177, -0.071, 0.0, 0.1046, 0.1815, 0.1476, 0.1784, 0.1697, 0.2323, 0.1348, 0.0413, 0.1021, 0.0309, 0.0482, 0.0357, -0.0371, -0.1112, -0.1651, -0.2131, -0.1901, -0.1471, -0.1045, -0.2027, -0.2157, -0.1343, -0.1628, -0.108, -0.108, -0.1063, -0.0566, -0.0915, -0.0682, -0.0317, -0.0765, -0.0549, -0.0918, -0.1184, -0.1119, -0.174, -0.2357, -0.2375, -0.2893, -0.2644, -0.1573, -0.1218, -0.1519, -0.1416, -0.1416, -0.1749, -0.1895, -0.1977, -0.2115, -0.2115, -0.1527, -0.1256, -0.0558, -0.0937, -0.0835, -0.0775, 0.011, -0.0069, -0.0394, -0.0214, 0.0242, 0.0242, -0.0647, -0.0687, -0.0877, -0.1098, -0.1385, -0.0781, -0.054, -0.106, -0.1975, -0.1696, -0.1527, -0.2239, -0.3042, -0.189, -0.1251, -0.1354, -0.1653, -0.1548, -0.0768, -0.0768, -0.0814, -0.0411, 0.0137, -0.0776, -0.0523, -0.0337, -0.0004, -0.0121, -0.141, -0.1427, -0.1824, -0.0789, -0.099, -0.1585, -0.1057, -0.0917, 0.055, 0.0177, 0.064, 0.2232, 0.0958, 0.1168, 0.1447, 0.108, 0.0753, 0.0824, 0.0841, -0.0018, -0.0503, -0.1309, -0.0226, -0.0397, 0.0251, 0.0251, 0.0601, 0.1059, 0.1775, 0.2842, 0.3656, 0.4559, 0.5254, 0.5709, 0.5575, 0.4802]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1981201004931739734", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-23T03:28:23+00:00", "symbol": "TE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Energy ( $TE ) - could see a violent reversal as shorts scramble to cover", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "US gov equity stakes in national security firms seen as catalyst for violent short-squeeze reversal across AI, energy, space, minerals, and quantum names.", "resolved_tickers": ["TE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Breaking: U.S. Government moves to take stakes in quantum computing firms, a huge game-changer.\n\nNational security names - AI ( $NBIS ), Energy ( $TE ), Space ( $RKLB ), Minerals ( $MP ), Quantum ( $RGTI, $IONQ, $QBTS) - could see a violent reversal as shorts scramble to cover and MM hedging mechanically goes upward.\n\nWe now see a clear trend: Washington is deploying billions into national security companies, expanding from critical minerals to quantum computing, and likely to others.  \n\nThe Trump administration buying equity of various firms critical to national security could trigger significant institutional repositioning, as funds and algorithms rethink the risks of shorting assets tied to the U.S. government's buildout of rare earths, quantum, AI, etc. \n\nInstitutions and MMs may short against retail, but they never bet against the U.S. Government's balance sheet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Added $200k worth of $NBIS leaps at $98.8, December $105 2026 strike.\n\nNebius dropping 30%+ in a week from $140 to $97 might make you second-guess yourself, but it’s times like these where conviction matters most.\n\nIf you understand the fundamentals and sector, this is a gift. https://t.co/Yv0s3t1cuy", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.10781673618721022, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.10781673618721022, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.11371167105536661, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.11371167105536661, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0058949348681563984, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0058949348681563984, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06469002885957265, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06469002885957265, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07286259996420341, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07286259996420341, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008172571104630766, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008172571104630766, "ret_p1w": -0.01886790634044322, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01886790634044322, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03088119020650726, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03088119020650726, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01201328386606404, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01201328386606404, "ret_p1m": -0.26684636101276615, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.26684636101276615, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.24789618263782842, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.24789618263782842, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01895017837493773, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01895017837493773, "ret_p3m": 1.231805834995837, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.231805834995837, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.2201615271035706, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.2201615271035706, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.011644307892266337, "bench_c_p3m": 0.011644307892266337, "ret_p6m": 0.35579519085953293, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.35579519085953293, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2926423670054463, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2926423670054463, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0631528238540866, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0631528238540866, "price_path": [-0.6226, -0.6388, -0.6523, -0.6792, -0.6873, -0.6658, -0.6631, -0.6631, -0.6577, -0.655, -0.6658, -0.6631, -0.6388, -0.6604, -0.6011, -0.5822, -0.6065, -0.6415, -0.6011, -0.5714, -0.5633, -0.566, -0.5741, -0.558, -0.5553, -0.5553, -0.4906, -0.5067, -0.5013, -0.4663, -0.4663, -0.4771, -0.496, -0.4933, -0.4987, -0.5202, -0.5283, -0.5229, -0.4987, -0.4744, -0.4528, -0.504, -0.407, -0.3881, -0.407, -0.372, -0.4124, -0.3558, -0.3639, -0.3181, -0.2453, -0.2291, -0.2102, 0.0323, -0.0189, -0.0566, 0.0809, 0.4124, 0.2642, 0.1644, 0.283, 0.2075, 0.1078, 0.0, -0.0647, 0.0323, -0.0027, -0.0296, -0.0189, 0.0027, -0.0782, -0.0081, 0.1024, -0.0081, 0.027, 0.2129, 0.1887, 0.0377, -0.0593, -0.0943, -0.1429, -0.1752, -0.221, -0.2668, -0.2668, -0.1536, -0.1132, 0.035, 0.035, 0.1105, 0.2049, 0.2776, 0.2183, 0.3774, 0.5714, 0.6226, 0.814, 0.6577, 0.5822, 0.442, 0.3639, 0.4663, 0.4609, 0.6226, 0.7332, 0.9677, 0.9164, 0.9003, 0.9003, 0.8329, 0.7305, 0.752, 0.8005, 0.8005, 1.1132, 1.2102, 1.062, 0.9623, 0.8356, 0.8706, 0.9434, 1.1186, 1.1186, 0.9973, 1.2022, 1.2022, 1.2318, 1.1078, 1.2561, 1.2911, 1.1941, 1.4582, 1.558, 1.3935, 1.2453, 1.3342, 1.4501, 1.0836, 0.9596, 1.2291, 1.0593, 1.0243, 0.8464, 0.6739, 0.6496, 0.6496, 0.7358, 0.7412, 0.7008, 0.6739, 0.6954, 0.9111, 0.9461, 0.965, 0.6604, 0.8437, 0.7547, 0.9137, 0.8356, 0.8113, 0.9299, 1.1509, 1.1941, 1.0863, 1.0539, 1.0809, 1.0997, 0.9757, 1.0782, 0.779, 0.8437, 0.7817, 0.8005, 0.6927, 0.5526, 0.5148, 0.1833, 0.2075, 0.1294, 0.1294, 0.0916, 0.0593, 0.124, 0.1267, 0.2642, 0.3774, 0.31, 0.4394, 0.345, 0.3558]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1981201004931739734", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-23T03:28:23+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Space ( $RKLB ) - could see a violent reversal as shorts scramble to cover", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "US gov equity stakes in national security firms seen as catalyst for violent short-squeeze reversal across AI, energy, space, minerals, and quantum names.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Breaking: U.S. Government moves to take stakes in quantum computing firms, a huge game-changer.\n\nNational security names - AI ( $NBIS ), Energy ( $TE ), Space ( $RKLB ), Minerals ( $MP ), Quantum ( $RGTI, $IONQ, $QBTS) - could see a violent reversal as shorts scramble to cover and MM hedging mechanically goes upward.\n\nWe now see a clear trend: Washington is deploying billions into national security companies, expanding from critical minerals to quantum computing, and likely to others.  \n\nThe Trump administration buying equity of various firms critical to national security could trigger significant institutional repositioning, as funds and algorithms rethink the risks of shorting assets tied to the U.S. government's buildout of rare earths, quantum, AI, etc. \n\nInstitutions and MMs may short against retail, but they never bet against the U.S. Government's balance sheet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Added $200k worth of $NBIS leaps at $98.8, December $105 2026 strike.\n\nNebius dropping 30%+ in a week from $140 to $97 might make you second-guess yourself, but it’s times like these where conviction matters most.\n\nIf you understand the fundamentals and sector, this is a gift. https://t.co/Yv0s3t1cuy", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.047270742213955, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.047270742213955, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0413758073457986, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.034930740833100105, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0058949348681563984, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012340001380854893, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.015573350141924402, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015573350141924402, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007400779037293637, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014733330111593279, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008172571104630766, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0008400200303311234, "ret_p1w": -0.04168635423313782, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04168635423313782, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05369963809920186, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.041105046087443364, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01201328386606404, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0005813081456944591, "ret_p1m": -0.3660531786923743, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3660531786923743, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.34710300031743657, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.33278023130532464, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01895017837493773, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03327294738704967, "ret_p3m": 0.40254843621414493, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.40254843621414493, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3909041283218786, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3423978238367653, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.011644307892266337, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06015061237737962, "ret_p6m": 0.33396261536653915, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.33396261536653915, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.27080979151245255, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.20595191532868462, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0631528238540866, "bench_c_p6m": 0.12801070003785453, "price_path": [-0.2904, -0.3112, -0.2695, -0.2776, -0.2951, -0.2994, -0.2961, -0.3063, -0.3045, -0.297, -0.2918, -0.3168, -0.3236, -0.3266, -0.3036, -0.2926, -0.3563, -0.3599, -0.3467, -0.3019, -0.2572, -0.2429, -0.2725, -0.2463, -0.2355, -0.2355, -0.2243, -0.3152, -0.3237, -0.2789, -0.2492, -0.2602, -0.2737, -0.2382, -0.1609, -0.1499, -0.2568, -0.2437, -0.2578, -0.2482, -0.2165, -0.1677, -0.2341, -0.2665, -0.2723, -0.2605, -0.2463, -0.2454, -0.1746, -0.1166, -0.0798, -0.0324, 0.0274, 0.0448, 0.0109, 0.0291, 0.0702, 0.0897, 0.054, 0.0425, 0.0595, 0.0288, -0.0473, 0.0, 0.0156, 0.0322, 0.0028, 0.0407, -0.0417, -0.0093, -0.0351, -0.1101, -0.1125, -0.2196, -0.1877, -0.1836, -0.194, -0.2139, -0.2882, -0.2836, -0.3187, -0.327, -0.3138, -0.379, -0.3661, -0.3322, -0.3299, -0.3404, -0.3404, -0.3371, -0.365, -0.3409, -0.2965, -0.2234, -0.2283, -0.1889, -0.1595, -0.0952, -0.0006, -0.0327, -0.1284, -0.1271, -0.1512, -0.0574, 0.1093, 0.2199, 0.2141, 0.2141, 0.2141, 0.1114, 0.103, 0.1082, 0.0974, 0.0974, 0.1954, 0.2292, 0.3533, 0.3226, 0.3069, 0.3347, 0.3827, 0.362, 0.4441, 0.4277, 0.5149, 0.5149, 0.4025, 0.3815, 0.384, 0.3985, 0.266, 0.3686, 0.3933, 0.3478, 0.2596, 0.1664, 0.2784, 0.1501, 0.0433, 0.1376, 0.193, 0.1331, 0.0952, 0.0384, 0.0609, 0.0609, 0.0994, 0.1707, 0.2047, 0.1147, 0.1045, 0.1007, 0.1043, 0.1428, 0.087, 0.1164, 0.1032, 0.1312, 0.1011, 0.1029, 0.1244, 0.0843, 0.132, 0.0755, 0.0761, 0.1218, 0.2363, 0.093, 0.1315, 0.0576, 0.0697, 0.0393, 0.1465, 0.0373, -0.0415, -0.0974, 0.0102, 0.0307, 0.0654, 0.0654, 0.0645, 0.0433, 0.0867, 0.0499, 0.0705, 0.1109, 0.1361, 0.1578, 0.3045, 0.334]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1981201004931739734", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-10-23T03:28:23+00:00", "symbol": "MP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Minerals ( $MP ) - could see a violent reversal as shorts scramble to cover", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "US gov equity stakes in national security firms seen as catalyst for violent short-squeeze reversal across AI, energy, space, minerals, and quantum names.", "resolved_tickers": ["MP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Other Industrial Metals & Mining'", "bench_c_industry": "Other Industrial Metals & Mining", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Breaking: U.S. Government moves to take stakes in quantum computing firms, a huge game-changer.\n\nNational security names - AI ( $NBIS ), Energy ( $TE ), Space ( $RKLB ), Minerals ( $MP ), Quantum ( $RGTI, $IONQ, $QBTS) - could see a violent reversal as shorts scramble to cover and MM hedging mechanically goes upward.\n\nWe now see a clear trend: Washington is deploying billions into national security companies, expanding from critical minerals to quantum computing, and likely to others.  \n\nThe Trump administration buying equity of various firms critical to national security could trigger significant institutional repositioning, as funds and algorithms rethink the risks of shorting assets tied to the U.S. government's buildout of rare earths, quantum, AI, etc. \n\nInstitutions and MMs may short against retail, but they never bet against the U.S. Government's balance sheet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Added $200k worth of $NBIS leaps at $98.8, December $105 2026 strike.\n\nNebius dropping 30%+ in a week from $140 to $97 might make you second-guess yourself, but it’s times like these where conviction matters most.\n\nIf you understand the fundamentals and sector, this is a gift. https://t.co/Yv0s3t1cuy", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.019722515174637856, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.019722515174637856, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.025617450042794254, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.031581920080886006, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0058949348681563984, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01185940490624815, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.034477731418104396, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.034477731418104396, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02630516031347363, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0386172764792323, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008172571104630766, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004139545061127903, "ret_p1w": -0.051570473874031686, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.051570473874031686, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06358375774009573, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.015656410736424875, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01201328386606404, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03591406313760681, "ret_p1m": -0.1925492633760736, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1925492633760736, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.17359908500113586, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.15864908421382617, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01895017837493773, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03390017916224741, "ret_p3m": -0.001022639853105467, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.001022639853105467, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.012666947745371804, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08490623342946368, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.011644307892266337, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08388359357635822, "ret_p6m": -0.10898459609013855, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.10898459609013855, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.17213741994422516, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2810525734647966, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0631528238540866, "bench_c_p6m": 0.17206797737465807, "price_path": [-0.0634, -0.1196, -0.111, -0.1015, -0.0695, -0.0443, -0.0009, -0.0137, 0.0383, 0.0858, 0.0619, 0.095, 0.1015, 0.1188, 0.0961, 0.0549, 0.0123, -0.0041, -0.0025, -0.0083, 0.0564, 0.0202, 0.0431, 0.0738, 0.0393, 0.0393, -0.0167, -0.0359, -0.0624, -0.0789, -0.0837, -0.0774, -0.0878, -0.0792, -0.0722, -0.0367, -0.0361, -0.024, 0.0538, 0.0697, 0.0697, 0.0913, 0.0406, 0.1268, 0.0026, -0.0039, -0.0202, -0.012, 0.0367, 0.0446, 0.0859, 0.0777, 0.0313, 0.0561, 0.1445, 0.3888, 0.4412, 0.3126, 0.2248, 0.1803, 0.2111, 0.0827, 0.0197, 0.0, 0.0345, -0.0421, -0.0513, -0.0608, -0.0516, -0.0783, -0.1576, -0.198, -0.1975, -0.2411, -0.1439, -0.0624, -0.095, -0.1275, -0.1594, -0.1433, -0.1676, -0.1452, -0.0716, -0.172, -0.1925, -0.1375, -0.1496, -0.1213, -0.1213, -0.095, -0.1512, -0.1112, -0.1423, -0.0972, -0.0929, -0.1059, -0.1261, -0.1522, -0.1233, -0.1722, -0.2219, -0.2196, -0.2399, -0.2397, -0.2115, -0.2054, -0.208, -0.2032, -0.2032, -0.2202, -0.2413, -0.2631, -0.2619, -0.2619, -0.1969, -0.1436, -0.1261, -0.0869, -0.108, -0.0942, -0.0454, -0.0676, 0.0124, -0.0256, 0.0077, 0.0077, -0.001, -0.0555, -0.0012, 0.0165, -0.0732, -0.0251, -0.021, -0.0919, -0.1414, -0.1364, -0.0561, -0.1154, -0.1738, -0.105, -0.0825, -0.0893, -0.115, -0.1629, -0.1522, -0.1522, -0.168, -0.1535, -0.1445, -0.1915, -0.1863, -0.1462, -0.143, -0.1234, -0.14, -0.069, -0.103, -0.0999, -0.1457, -0.1493, -0.1191, -0.1004, -0.0906, -0.123, -0.1642, -0.1328, -0.1337, -0.1594, -0.2243, -0.2608, -0.2216, -0.2215, -0.2149, -0.2447, -0.2432, -0.334, -0.295, -0.2928, -0.2735, -0.2735, -0.2524, -0.277, -0.2047, -0.2126, -0.193, -0.1702, -0.162, -0.1305, -0.0898, -0.109]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1981201004931739734", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-10-23T03:28:23+00:00", "symbol": "RGTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Quantum ( $RGTI, $IONQ, $QBTS) - could see a violent reversal as shorts scramble to cover", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "US gov equity stakes in national security firms seen as catalyst for violent short-squeeze reversal across AI, energy, space, minerals, and quantum names.", "resolved_tickers": ["RGTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Breaking: U.S. Government moves to take stakes in quantum computing firms, a huge game-changer.\n\nNational security names - AI ( $NBIS ), Energy ( $TE ), Space ( $RKLB ), Minerals ( $MP ), Quantum ( $RGTI, $IONQ, $QBTS) - could see a violent reversal as shorts scramble to cover and MM hedging mechanically goes upward.\n\nWe now see a clear trend: Washington is deploying billions into national security companies, expanding from critical minerals to quantum computing, and likely to others.  \n\nThe Trump administration buying equity of various firms critical to national security could trigger significant institutional repositioning, as funds and algorithms rethink the risks of shorting assets tied to the U.S. government's buildout of rare earths, quantum, AI, etc. \n\nInstitutions and MMs may short against retail, but they never bet against the U.S. Government's balance sheet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Added $200k worth of $NBIS leaps at $98.8, December $105 2026 strike.\n\nNebius dropping 30%+ in a week from $140 to $97 might make you second-guess yourself, but it’s times like these where conviction matters most.\n\nIf you understand the fundamentals and sector, this is a gift. https://t.co/Yv0s3t1cuy", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08927894275613146, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08927894275613146, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08338400788797506, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07682616505598128, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0058949348681563984, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012452777700150186, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.019068090537662785, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.019068090537662785, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02724066164229355, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.034599685971803185, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008172571104630766, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0155315954341404, "ret_p1w": 0.07387294221198681, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07387294221198681, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.061859658345922774, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03478460676577044, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01201328386606404, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03908833544621637, "ret_p1m": -0.40421771876967805, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.40421771876967805, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3852675403947403, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.34925227435713146, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01895017837493773, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05496544441254658, "ret_p3m": -0.36885972974660275, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.36885972974660275, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3805040376388691, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3516343346713562, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.011644307892266337, "bench_c_p3m": -0.017225395075246563, "ret_p6m": -0.4996843324862865, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4996843324862865, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5628371563403731, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5704673948709567, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0631528238540866, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07078306238467014, "price_path": [-0.6068, -0.6345, -0.6421, -0.6338, -0.6434, -0.602, -0.584, -0.5962, -0.6045, -0.6101, -0.5964, -0.5909, -0.5646, -0.5459, -0.5795, -0.58, -0.6171, -0.6272, -0.6396, -0.6257, -0.6345, -0.6136, -0.6113, -0.5813, -0.5901, -0.5901, -0.608, -0.6202, -0.6181, -0.6186, -0.6174, -0.5833, -0.5911, -0.5785, -0.5179, -0.5148, -0.4949, -0.4446, -0.3752, -0.2797, -0.2835, -0.2055, -0.2009, -0.1893, -0.2125, -0.2512, -0.2476, -0.2461, -0.1059, 0.0117, 0.0534, 0.109, 0.0918, 0.1898, 0.1092, 0.3868, 0.4174, 0.4229, 0.2115, 0.1714, 0.0938, 0.0102, -0.0893, 0.0, -0.0191, 0.0163, -0.0638, -0.0047, 0.0739, 0.1181, -0.012, -0.1115, -0.0582, -0.1322, -0.1471, -0.1645, -0.207, -0.2853, -0.3636, -0.3565, -0.3764, -0.3507, -0.357, -0.4242, -0.4042, -0.329, -0.3413, -0.3542, -0.3542, -0.3542, -0.4078, -0.3969, -0.3423, -0.2408, -0.2901, -0.2863, -0.2873, -0.3403, -0.3211, -0.3474, -0.4057, -0.3949, -0.4325, -0.4237, -0.3999, -0.3211, -0.3658, -0.381, -0.381, -0.4348, -0.4376, -0.434, -0.4406, -0.4406, -0.404, -0.3684, -0.359, -0.3633, -0.3623, -0.3757, -0.3552, -0.382, -0.3504, -0.3762, -0.3529, -0.3529, -0.3689, -0.4022, -0.3696, -0.4078, -0.4504, -0.4365, -0.4441, -0.4987, -0.5411, -0.5527, -0.5401, -0.5659, -0.6218, -0.5527, -0.5558, -0.5714, -0.585, -0.6214, -0.5936, -0.5936, -0.6063, -0.5914, -0.5808, -0.5979, -0.5954, -0.5838, -0.5547, -0.5292, -0.56, -0.5532, -0.5717, -0.5515, -0.5714, -0.5704, -0.5555, -0.5709, -0.5722, -0.5941, -0.5916, -0.5924, -0.5904, -0.6042, -0.6108, -0.6242, -0.5989, -0.606, -0.6176, -0.6361, -0.6636, -0.6742, -0.6454, -0.659, -0.6416, -0.6416, -0.6414, -0.6505, -0.633, -0.6386, -0.6292, -0.6179, -0.5739, -0.5174, -0.5088, -0.4997]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1981201004931739734", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2025-10-23T03:28:23+00:00", "symbol": "IONQ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Quantum ( $RGTI, $IONQ, $QBTS) - could see a violent reversal as shorts scramble to cover", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "US gov equity stakes in national security firms seen as catalyst for violent short-squeeze reversal across AI, energy, space, minerals, and quantum names.", "resolved_tickers": ["IONQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Breaking: U.S. Government moves to take stakes in quantum computing firms, a huge game-changer.\n\nNational security names - AI ( $NBIS ), Energy ( $TE ), Space ( $RKLB ), Minerals ( $MP ), Quantum ( $RGTI, $IONQ, $QBTS) - could see a violent reversal as shorts scramble to cover and MM hedging mechanically goes upward.\n\nWe now see a clear trend: Washington is deploying billions into national security companies, expanding from critical minerals to quantum computing, and likely to others.  \n\nThe Trump administration buying equity of various firms critical to national security could trigger significant institutional repositioning, as funds and algorithms rethink the risks of shorting assets tied to the U.S. government's buildout of rare earths, quantum, AI, etc. \n\nInstitutions and MMs may short against retail, but they never bet against the U.S. Government's balance sheet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Added $200k worth of $NBIS leaps at $98.8, December $105 2026 strike.\n\nNebius dropping 30%+ in a week from $140 to $97 might make you second-guess yourself, but it’s times like these where conviction matters most.\n\nIf you understand the fundamentals and sector, this is a gift. https://t.co/Yv0s3t1cuy", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06602658311385068, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06602658311385068, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06013164824569428, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05357380541370049, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0058949348681563984, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012452777700150186, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.015664482430642668, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015664482430642668, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007491911326011902, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00013288699650226832, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008172571104630766, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0155315954341404, "ret_p1w": 0.013474806323954702, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.013474806323954702, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0014615224578906627, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02561352912226167, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01201328386606404, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03908833544621637, "ret_p1m": -0.2974566307079345, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2974566307079345, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.27850645233299676, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2424911862953879, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01895017837493773, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05496544441254658, "ret_p3m": -0.1467070783421378, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1467070783421378, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.15835138623440415, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12948168326689125, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.011644307892266337, "bench_c_p3m": -0.017225395075246563, "ret_p6m": -0.22368197773648313, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.22368197773648313, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.28683480159056973, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.29446504012115327, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0631528238540866, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07078306238467014, "price_path": [-0.2868, -0.3173, -0.3283, -0.3284, -0.3579, -0.3286, -0.2922, -0.3055, -0.318, -0.2951, -0.2431, -0.2757, -0.3059, -0.3089, -0.3224, -0.3224, -0.3802, -0.3803, -0.3739, -0.33, -0.3485, -0.3136, -0.3023, -0.2707, -0.2801, -0.2801, -0.2759, -0.3099, -0.2907, -0.2959, -0.3092, -0.2589, -0.2612, -0.2075, -0.0633, -0.0044, 0.0487, 0.1022, 0.1253, 0.186, 0.2117, 0.2656, 0.2441, 0.1694, 0.1332, 0.0824, 0.0359, 0.0627, 0.1723, 0.2343, 0.3305, 0.3345, 0.2515, 0.3054, 0.19, 0.3827, 0.3062, 0.2196, 0.1048, 0.0601, 0.0096, 0.0022, -0.066, 0.0, 0.0157, 0.0578, -0.0374, 0.0293, 0.0135, 0.0507, -0.0163, -0.1009, -0.0667, -0.0327, -0.0017, -0.0674, -0.0834, -0.1459, -0.2353, -0.2053, -0.195, -0.1726, -0.1935, -0.3094, -0.2975, -0.2124, -0.2073, -0.21, -0.21, -0.1696, -0.2063, -0.2095, -0.1806, -0.0776, -0.1125, -0.0844, -0.083, -0.1297, -0.1149, -0.1519, -0.224, -0.1634, -0.2277, -0.2178, -0.1834, -0.0928, -0.1344, -0.1609, -0.1609, -0.2252, -0.2378, -0.2368, -0.2442, -0.2442, -0.2122, -0.1796, -0.145, -0.1615, -0.1502, -0.1671, -0.1418, -0.1757, -0.143, -0.1989, -0.1443, -0.1443, -0.1467, -0.186, -0.1691, -0.2041, -0.2695, -0.2338, -0.2286, -0.2717, -0.3266, -0.3505, -0.352, -0.4047, -0.4875, -0.4106, -0.4024, -0.4073, -0.4339, -0.4728, -0.4255, -0.4255, -0.4411, -0.4384, -0.4369, -0.4627, -0.4816, -0.4674, -0.4342, -0.3114, -0.3537, -0.3542, -0.3759, -0.3746, -0.3933, -0.3982, -0.3958, -0.4085, -0.4228, -0.4437, -0.4445, -0.4393, -0.4389, -0.4546, -0.4627, -0.4745, -0.4423, -0.4492, -0.4617, -0.4974, -0.5366, -0.5521, -0.5144, -0.5319, -0.5065, -0.5065, -0.5075, -0.5201, -0.5117, -0.527, -0.5151, -0.4987, -0.3977, -0.2715, -0.2474, -0.2237]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1981201004931739734", "ticker_idx": 6, "ts": "2025-10-23T03:28:23+00:00", "symbol": "QBTS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Quantum ( $RGTI, $IONQ, $QBTS) - could see a violent reversal as shorts scramble to cover", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "US gov equity stakes in national security firms seen as catalyst for violent short-squeeze reversal across AI, energy, space, minerals, and quantum names.", "resolved_tickers": ["QBTS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Breaking: U.S. Government moves to take stakes in quantum computing firms, a huge game-changer.\n\nNational security names - AI ( $NBIS ), Energy ( $TE ), Space ( $RKLB ), Minerals ( $MP ), Quantum ( $RGTI, $IONQ, $QBTS) - could see a violent reversal as shorts scramble to cover and MM hedging mechanically goes upward.\n\nWe now see a clear trend: Washington is deploying billions into national security companies, expanding from critical minerals to quantum computing, and likely to others.  \n\nThe Trump administration buying equity of various firms critical to national security could trigger significant institutional repositioning, as funds and algorithms rethink the risks of shorting assets tied to the U.S. government's buildout of rare earths, quantum, AI, etc. \n\nInstitutions and MMs may short against retail, but they never bet against the U.S. Government's balance sheet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Added $200k worth of $NBIS leaps at $98.8, December $105 2026 strike.\n\nNebius dropping 30%+ in a week from $140 to $97 might make you second-guess yourself, but it’s times like these where conviction matters most.\n\nIf you understand the fundamentals and sector, this is a gift. https://t.co/Yv0s3t1cuy", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.12137793352343362, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.12137793352343362, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11548299865527722, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.10892515582328344, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0058949348681563984, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012452777700150186, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0511913099573611, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0511913099573611, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04301873885273033, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0356597145232207, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008172571104630766, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0155315954341404, "ret_p1w": 0.16258857795366533, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16258857795366533, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15057529408760129, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.12350024250744895, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01201328386606404, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03908833544621637, "ret_p1m": -0.34288473282841203, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.34288473282841203, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3239345544534743, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.28791928841586545, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01895017837493773, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05496544441254658, "ret_p3m": -0.12942687120207486, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.12942687120207486, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1410711790943412, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11220147612682829, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.011644307892266337, "bench_c_p3m": -0.017225395075246563, "ret_p6m": -0.3016741498067014, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3016741498067014, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.364826973660788, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3724572121913715, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0631528238540866, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07078306238467014, "price_path": [-0.4092, -0.4311, -0.4507, -0.4466, -0.4726, -0.4469, -0.4108, -0.434, -0.4472, -0.4559, -0.4408, -0.4041, -0.3995, -0.4147, -0.4524, -0.4668, -0.5068, -0.5151, -0.5232, -0.4997, -0.5164, -0.5026, -0.5097, -0.4874, -0.4971, -0.4971, -0.4897, -0.5074, -0.5077, -0.5052, -0.5035, -0.48, -0.4836, -0.4681, -0.4282, -0.4102, -0.3889, -0.2743, -0.2267, -0.1346, -0.1735, -0.114, -0.1075, -0.152, -0.1384, -0.1851, -0.2044, -0.1748, -0.0596, 0.0528, 0.1275, 0.15, 0.1027, 0.1291, 0.0631, 0.3078, 0.3863, 0.4417, 0.3026, 0.2341, 0.1075, 0.0364, -0.1214, 0.0, 0.0512, 0.1281, 0.0303, 0.103, 0.1626, 0.1932, 0.0654, -0.0425, -0.0013, -0.086, -0.0502, -0.0544, -0.0666, -0.15, -0.2469, -0.2399, -0.265, -0.2618, -0.2453, -0.3397, -0.3429, -0.256, -0.2727, -0.2785, -0.2785, -0.2701, -0.3104, -0.2756, -0.1925, -0.075, -0.1307, -0.0844, -0.0879, -0.1372, -0.0992, -0.1597, -0.2357, -0.1784, -0.2337, -0.1986, -0.1365, 0.0364, -0.0625, -0.114, -0.114, -0.1858, -0.1581, -0.1549, -0.1581, -0.1581, -0.0943, -0.0135, 0.0068, -0.0277, -0.0573, -0.095, -0.0728, -0.0721, -0.0293, -0.0753, -0.0718, -0.0718, -0.1294, -0.1616, -0.1169, -0.1748, -0.2354, -0.2051, -0.1961, -0.2524, -0.3168, -0.3249, -0.311, -0.3525, -0.4459, -0.3329, -0.3171, -0.3419, -0.3677, -0.3941, -0.3667, -0.3667, -0.4063, -0.386, -0.376, -0.4185, -0.4189, -0.3992, -0.3674, -0.3516, -0.3954, -0.3902, -0.4127, -0.3912, -0.3938, -0.4015, -0.387, -0.396, -0.3912, -0.4259, -0.435, -0.4379, -0.4375, -0.4691, -0.4816, -0.4936, -0.4749, -0.4871, -0.4788, -0.5283, -0.5525, -0.5821, -0.5354, -0.5589, -0.539, -0.539, -0.5448, -0.5576, -0.5309, -0.5534, -0.5412, -0.5283, -0.4536, -0.33, -0.3071, -0.3017]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1975294794370064468", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-06T20:19:12+00:00", "symbol": "SPRB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": "biotech", "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I bought $50k worth just as a high risk gamble", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Holds $50k in SPRB as a high-risk gamble on TA-ERT catalyst; sees near-term 100%+ runup possible but warns dilution likely caps long-term upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPRB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I was looking at $SPRB after @MartinShkreli posted about it and it’s TA-ERT, breakthrough enzyme therapy replacement.\n\nJust from a quick search if SPRB’s TA-ERT is approved and they capture 10-15% market share longer term ($180–$270M ARR) of $1.4B US market... Realistic fair value today could be ~$280m-630m MC from 2-3x rev calculations. \n\nObviously there’s a lot of risk from clinical failures, commercialization, to dilution but a $85M market cap looks promising?\n\n(disclosure I bought $50k worth just as a high risk gamble)\n\nObviously I’m not an expert in biotech and this is outside my domain, which is why I wanted to see if anyone else with any domain knowledge had feedback or red flags.\n\n---\n\nTLDR: Might go up to $500 temporary strike if there's no dilution just because of TA-ERT catalyst. But it's playing Russian Roulette on dilution days.\n\nSo had some more time to look into things:\n\nFair value $SPRB market cap is = ~$150–200m. ($85M now). In OP's post they claimed $500 PT, which is fair if company doesn't dilute. \n\nHowever:\n\nSPRB has $16.4M in cash equivalents, June 30, 2025, dilution with new shares seems inevitable just because of low cahs balance. Price rise was due to low float + good news (there's no short interest like .16% so not a short squeeze)\n\nAfter issuing new shares + dilution (Market cap at $150m-$200m might normalize share price to ~$50-75), don't really see the $500 figure if dilution is included.  \n\nWe might see another 100%+ runup just because of limited float toward that $500 mark (like how $BULL ran to a $60B MC off low float), but I would be against holding it long term because of russian roulette dilution on a random day. \n\nEither way, I like playing Russian Roulette. Welcome any counterpoints", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.9323619623646162, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.9323619623646162, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.9287885485342672, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.9287885485342672, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003573413830349037, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003573413830349037, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.400306860815264, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.400306860815264, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.4040143530662259, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.4040143530662259, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003707492250961897, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003707492250961897, "ret_p1w": 0.21940185544075308, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.21940185544075308, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.23216224587857626, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.23216224587857626, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012760390437823177, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012760390437823177, "ret_p1m": -0.1952453423831374, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1952453423831374, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.20065033872819804, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.20065033872819804, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404996345060642, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005404996345060642, "ret_p3m": -0.3319784916592694, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3319784916592694, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3503299613762827, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3503299613762827, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01835146971701329, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01835146971701329, "ret_p6m": -0.4988496814961665, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4988496814961665, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.47269323912402217, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.47269323912402217, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.026156442372144317, "bench_c_p6m": -0.026156442372144317, "price_path": [2.149, 2.149, 2.8391, 3.4431, 3.1842, 3.3568, 3.098, 3.745, 4.0038, 4.1764, 4.3489, 4.2627, 4.047, 3.6587, 4.1332, 3.7019, 3.745, 3.7019, 4.1764, -0.9224, -0.9224, -0.9127, -0.9234, -0.9298, -0.931, -0.9287, -0.9329, -0.9309, -0.9314, -0.9316, -0.9358, -0.9348, -0.9371, -0.939, -0.9417, -0.9426, -0.9425, -0.9463, -0.9463, -0.9426, -0.9375, -0.9326, -0.931, -0.931, -0.931, -0.9256, -0.9325, -0.9049, -0.9248, -0.9265, -0.927, -0.9319, -0.9358, -0.9304, -0.9348, -0.936, -0.9406, -0.9406, -0.9256, -0.9314, -0.9317, -0.934, -0.9324, 0.0, 0.4003, 0.2276, 0.3444, 0.3313, 0.2194, 0.3567, 0.2198, 0.201, 0.2103, 0.1362, -0.0066, 0.0777, -0.0037, 0.0218, -0.0566, -0.0452, -0.0951, -0.1775, -0.1557, -0.1967, -0.1952, -0.0798, -0.0852, -0.0261, -0.1134, -0.136, -0.2163, -0.1367, -0.1845, -0.1654, -0.1181, -0.1488, -0.2131, -0.1948, -0.1794, -0.1981, -0.1564, -0.1564, -0.2331, -0.3627, -0.316, -0.3086, -0.3064, -0.3866, -0.3736, -0.2703, -0.343, -0.322, -0.3604, -0.3814, -0.4018, -0.4184, -0.4113, -0.3962, -0.3649, -0.3578, -0.3558, -0.3558, -0.3425, -0.3689, -0.366, -0.332, -0.332, -0.3044, -0.3702, -0.3821, -0.4012, -0.4348, -0.3866, -0.4034, -0.375, -0.399, -0.4257, -0.4361, -0.4361, -0.452, -0.3948, -0.3463, -0.3748, -0.3659, -0.354, -0.3719, -0.3876, -0.4053, -0.4019, -0.3597, -0.3924, -0.4567, -0.4448, -0.3936, -0.3587, -0.3659, -0.3638, -0.4916, -0.4916, -0.5533, -0.5899, -0.5965, -0.6187, -0.5891, -0.5535, -0.5496, -0.551, -0.5787, -0.5843, -0.5719, -0.5587, -0.5876, -0.5715, -0.5237, -0.5185, -0.5078, -0.5406, -0.5394, -0.5326, -0.5069, -0.5495, -0.5472, -0.5521, -0.5488, -0.5064, -0.4634, -0.47, -0.5166, -0.5512, -0.4988]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1978960807141740971", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-16T23:06:38+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "TSM, which is the purest way to measure AI datacenter/AI buildout because they literally make everything lol. And they literally projected high growth + expanded margins.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long TSM as the purest AI buildout proxy; blowout earnings + high growth guidance + margin expansion signal durable upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yeah we already got some insights into future growth with $TSM blowing out high expectations on earnings across the board.\n\nI keep seeing people on X saying semi expansion is slowing by only citing $ASML but they're completely wrong. ASML is a measurement of Fab expansion cycles.\n\nPeople just need to look at TSM, which is the purest way to measure AI datacenter/AI buildout because they literally make everything lol. \n\nAnd they literally projected high growth + expanded margins.\n\nQuantum/Minerals, etc are more speculative. Some might turn out well, but high forward rev/profit on stuff like Neoclouds are the most sustainable and will cause large re-ratings to marketcaps in future earnings reports.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Amazing analysis, and agree that the AI stocks are \"hype with fundamentals\" as opposed to quantum, minerals, etc which are mostly just hype without confirmed forward revenue", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": 0.01624206556204988, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01624206556204988, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00938510672768178, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00938510672768178, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006856958834368099, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006856958834368099, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.015875169925897326, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.015875169925897326, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02155156372619349, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02155156372619349, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0056763938002961645, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0056763938002961645, "ret_p1w": -0.03038284766482957, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03038284766482957, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04721505142741833, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04721505142741833, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01683220376258876, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01683220376258876, "ret_p1m": -0.05009338184747769, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05009338184747769, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06718286442160004, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06718286442160004, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01708948257412235, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01708948257412235, "ret_p3m": 0.10760450308361191, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10760450308361191, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05435299227906332, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05435299227906332, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.053251510804548596, "bench_c_p3m": 0.053251510804548596, "ret_p6m": 0.24282145916799536, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.24282145916799536, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.20847766461864525, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.20847766461864525, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.034343794549350104, "bench_c_p6m": 0.034343794549350104, "price_path": [-0.2059, -0.22, -0.201, -0.1968, -0.1835, -0.1929, -0.1977, -0.1924, -0.1967, -0.218, -0.2054, -0.2271, -0.2308, -0.1934, -0.196, -0.1951, -0.1878, -0.1973, -0.1988, -0.2058, -0.1974, -0.2264, -0.24, -0.2442, -0.2254, -0.2168, -0.2063, -0.2045, -0.2078, -0.2324, -0.2324, -0.2407, -0.2307, -0.218, -0.1908, -0.1782, -0.1658, -0.1341, -0.1392, -0.1378, -0.131, -0.126, -0.1236, -0.1041, -0.1166, -0.0907, -0.0571, -0.0638, -0.0773, -0.0883, -0.0887, -0.0685, -0.0379, -0.0391, -0.0255, 0.0085, -0.0194, 0.0156, 0.0001, -0.064, 0.0102, -0.013, 0.0162, 0.0, -0.0159, -0.0071, -0.0178, -0.0366, -0.0304, -0.0163, -0.0053, 0.0056, 0.0175, 0.0113, 0.002, 0.0167, -0.0193, -0.0207, -0.0354, -0.0445, -0.0152, -0.0289, -0.0307, -0.0588, -0.0501, -0.0595, -0.0731, -0.0583, -0.0745, -0.0826, -0.0507, -0.0506, -0.033, -0.033, -0.0278, -0.0406, -0.0258, -0.0146, -0.023, -0.0171, 0.0068, 0.0119, 0.0344, 0.0195, -0.0234, -0.0378, -0.0407, -0.0738, -0.048, -0.0337, -0.0192, -0.007, -0.0008, -0.0008, 0.0127, 0.0063, 0.0018, 0.0162, 0.0162, 0.0688, 0.0776, 0.095, 0.0657, 0.0635, 0.0823, 0.1095, 0.1076, 0.0939, 0.1425, 0.145, 0.145, 0.0941, 0.0906, 0.0948, 0.1198, 0.1126, 0.1314, 0.1447, 0.1355, 0.1054, 0.1415, 0.1228, 0.0893, 0.106, 0.1666, 0.1885, 0.2103, 0.251, 0.231, 0.2252, 0.2252, 0.2179, 0.2114, 0.2052, 0.2391, 0.2375, 0.29, 0.2966, 0.2601, 0.2526, 0.2343, 0.1809, 0.1953, 0.1833, 0.1333, 0.1661, 0.1607, 0.1857, 0.126, 0.1313, 0.1378, 0.1603, 0.1388, 0.1361, 0.1041, 0.135, 0.1511, 0.1662, 0.0936, 0.0957, 0.0614, 0.1333, 0.1452, 0.137, 0.137, 0.1461, 0.158, 0.2271, 0.2257, 0.2428]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1975368928877847031", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-07T01:13:47+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS is undervalued relative to forward revenue. Easy buy at 31B MC.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long NBIS: undervalued at $31B MC vs projected 6-8B ARR at 50-70% margins in 1-2 years; one more hyperscaler deal could push to $10B ARR.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@chicfryrice No, I'd actually say $NBIS is undervalued relative to forward revenue. \n\nIt's already projected to do 6-8B ARR 50-70% gross margins in 1-2 years, which is stupidly high growth (from 400m ARR).\n\nOne more hyperscaler contract and it could bump to $10B.  Easy buy at 31B MC.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Is NBIS too expensive here?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "chicfryrice", "ret_m1d": 0.06151236772204682, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06151236772204682, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05779107882132184, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05763499988358456, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003721288900724984, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0038773678384622645, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.036533586773572324, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.036533586773572324, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030570534360780055, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04066930907077948, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005963052412792269, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004135722297207156, "ret_p1w": 0.08878502310274072, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08878502310274072, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09908216387038948, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10145087525266994, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01029714076764876, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012665852149929213, "ret_p1m": -0.005947297930262496, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.005947297930262496, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01859078175754003, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.016799472423983497, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012643483827277535, "bench_c_p1m": -0.022746770354245993, "ret_p3m": -0.23576891010628387, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.23576891010628387, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2597835850019543, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24626742967899928, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02401467489567044, "bench_c_p3m": 0.010498519572715415, "ret_p6m": -0.13381478681708003, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13381478681708003, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.11864699122642897, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.09845601848176999, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.015167795590651068, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03535876833531004, "price_path": [-0.6055, -0.6236, -0.5586, -0.5452, -0.5471, -0.5438, -0.5515, -0.5551, -0.5666, -0.5592, -0.5568, -0.5636, -0.5518, -0.5718, -0.5642, -0.5376, -0.5582, -0.5398, -0.5313, -0.5319, -0.4451, -0.4156, -0.4032, -0.36, -0.3999, -0.4184, -0.3915, -0.3837, -0.4291, -0.4268, -0.4377, -0.4139, -0.4051, -0.4012, -0.4044, -0.3879, -0.4195, -0.4195, -0.4416, -0.4422, -0.4485, -0.4438, -0.4557, -0.1867, -0.2065, -0.2422, -0.2319, -0.2272, -0.2402, -0.2007, -0.2003, -0.1562, -0.0943, -0.0841, -0.038, -0.0829, -0.085, -0.0636, -0.0461, -0.0178, 0.0694, 0.0873, 0.0615, 0.0, 0.0365, 0.1269, 0.1009, 0.1509, 0.0888, 0.0691, 0.0454, -0.0362, -0.0739, -0.114, -0.1621, -0.098, -0.0037, 0.0657, 0.0351, 0.0629, 0.0551, 0.1115, 0.0235, -0.0608, -0.0059, -0.0702, -0.0545, -0.0658, -0.1315, -0.1983, -0.247, -0.2902, -0.2695, -0.2308, -0.1923, -0.2809, -0.2926, -0.2192, -0.2449, -0.1955, -0.1955, -0.194, -0.1491, -0.1805, -0.1596, -0.1266, -0.167, -0.1476, -0.1809, -0.2048, -0.199, -0.255, -0.3106, -0.3122, -0.359, -0.3365, -0.2399, -0.2079, -0.2351, -0.2257, -0.2257, -0.2558, -0.269, -0.2764, -0.2888, -0.2888, -0.2358, -0.2113, -0.1483, -0.1826, -0.1733, -0.168, -0.0881, -0.1042, -0.1336, -0.1174, -0.0762, -0.0762, -0.1564, -0.16, -0.1771, -0.1971, -0.2229, -0.1685, -0.1467, -0.1936, -0.2762, -0.251, -0.2358, -0.3, -0.3724, -0.2685, -0.2109, -0.2201, -0.2472, -0.2376, -0.1673, -0.1673, -0.1715, -0.1351, -0.0857, -0.1681, -0.1452, -0.1285, -0.0984, -0.1089, -0.2252, -0.2268, -0.2625, -0.1692, -0.1873, -0.241, -0.1934, -0.1807, -0.0485, -0.0821, -0.0404, 0.1032, -0.0116, 0.0073, 0.0325, -0.0007, -0.0302, -0.0237, -0.0222, -0.0997, -0.1434, -0.2161, -0.1184, -0.1338]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2011499385285460336", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-14T18:03:19+00:00", "symbol": "LPTH", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LPTH is genuinely incredible. They own the monopoly on the alternative to a critical raw material that China just choked off. This is incredibly early alpha at a $600m MC.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long LPTH: monopoly on Black Diamond (Germanium substitute) via exclusive NRL license; Raytheon/Lockheed/L3Harris likely switchers from Chinese supply chains.", "resolved_tickers": ["LPTH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$LPTH is genuinely incredible. They own the monopoly on the alternative to a critical raw material that China just choked off.\n\nChina produces ~60-70% of the world’s Germanium + just export controlled. And Lightpath happens to have the only workaround (similar to InP with $AXTI).\n\nThey own the proprietary material called Black Diamond (Chalcogenide glass) with the exclusive license with the U.S. Naval Research Laboratory.\n\nBlack Diamond = performs like Germanium but uses zero Germanium.\n\nRaytheon, Lockheed, and L3Harris will likely switch from Chinese supply chains to LightPath’s Black Diamond for their missile/drone programs. This is incredibly early alpha at a $600m MC.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Nuts, looks like algos are hunting your posts. Kudos, your dd is legendary 👏🏼", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "platochi", "ret_m1d": -0.11866967113733051, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11866967113733051, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12360918737360316, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12360918737360316, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004939516236272645, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004939516236272645, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004535107182040088, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004535107182040088, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007258321578569538, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007258321578569538, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027232143965294497, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0027232143965294497, "ret_p1w": 0.03099023547034241, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03099023547034241, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03817486547027504, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03817486547027504, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007184629999932635, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007184629999932635, "ret_p1m": -0.056689344365103755, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.056689344365103755, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.043522383787262475, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.043522383787262475, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01316696057784128, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01316696057784128, "ret_p3m": 0.08919125820138318, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08919125820138318, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09264780255064686, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09264780255064686, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0034565443492636794, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0034565443492636794, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4376, -0.3401, -0.3726, -0.4444, -0.3968, -0.3613, -0.3621, -0.3621, -0.3802, -0.3741, -0.3439, -0.3832, -0.4308, -0.4082, -0.424, -0.4172, -0.4119, -0.3923, -0.4429, -0.4966, -0.4936, -0.486, -0.4837, -0.4921, -0.5329, -0.5306, -0.4868, -0.4777, -0.4769, -0.4769, -0.4444, -0.458, -0.4014, -0.3689, -0.3182, -0.3348, -0.3394, -0.3348, -0.3333, -0.3107, -0.3878, -0.4339, -0.446, -0.48, -0.4573, -0.4225, -0.3553, -0.3416, -0.3175, -0.3175, -0.3182, -0.2222, -0.2018, -0.1837, -0.1837, -0.1141, -0.1164, -0.1293, -0.0779, -0.0454, -0.0673, -0.0937, -0.1187, 0.0, -0.0045, -0.0499, -0.0499, 0.0582, 0.031, 0.0831, -0.0597, -0.2268, -0.1497, -0.1474, -0.1315, -0.2124, -0.2063, -0.1769, -0.2895, -0.3152, -0.2018, -0.1436, -0.1678, -0.2237, -0.0567, -0.1293, -0.1293, -0.155, -0.1504, 0.028, -0.093, -0.1534, -0.0937, -0.1104, -0.158, -0.2116, -0.0922, -0.0945, -0.1081, -0.1436, -0.1633, -0.1618, -0.1633, -0.1769, -0.1708, -0.2056, -0.1686, -0.0937, -0.1179, -0.1315, -0.2041, -0.1353, -0.1028, -0.0967, -0.1693, -0.2827, -0.2963, -0.2419, -0.2275, -0.1701, -0.1701, -0.1315, -0.1716, -0.1247, -0.0809, -0.0302, 0.0892, 0.0801, 0.0597, 0.1277, 0.0703, 0.0809, 0.0726, 0.1073, 0.1051, 0.2162, 0.0574, -0.0401, -0.0786, -0.0317, 0.0355, -0.068, -0.0854, -0.0272, -0.0907, -0.13, -0.031, -0.0771, -0.0839, -0.0816, -0.1293, -0.0597, 0.0491, 0.0317, 0.0794, 0.2812, 0.2812, 0.2275, 0.3311, 0.3719, 0.2834, 0.2834, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1969118539882602839", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-19T19:16:59+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "scaling this to $1M on the next dip", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Scaling NBIS position to $1M on next dip; bullish into end of 2026.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@babyfolio Thanks scaling this to $1M on the next dip.\n\nJust didn't want to buy that much on a 5% increase day", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Love the conviction!\n$NBIS will be 300 by end of 26' easily.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "babyfolio", "ret_m1d": -0.052260547171492755, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.052260547171492755, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04733208246468823, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04815694863421516, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004928464706804525, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004103598537277597, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07340651590718417, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07340651590718417, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06867541545349609, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07689412942013785, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004731100453688075, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00348761351295368, "ret_p1w": 0.08448292816338321, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08448292816338321, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08731548438653058, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09141608288299907, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0028325562231473755, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006933154719615864, "ret_p1m": 0.09757328244509389, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09757328244509389, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08612236385507366, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12072556935241152, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011450918590020231, "bench_c_p1m": -0.023152286907317632, "ret_p3m": -0.24025779072518816, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.24025779072518816, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2518593683444148, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.21349186697027356, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.011601577619226644, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0267659237549146, "ret_p6m": 0.30752199472065245, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.30752199472065245, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2965126023463669, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.33518395535465373, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.011009392374285554, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02766196063400128, "price_path": [-0.4863, -0.5114, -0.4703, -0.478, -0.4429, -0.4934, -0.4968, -0.494, -0.494, -0.5183, -0.5257, -0.5363, -0.5325, -0.5539, -0.4769, -0.461, -0.4632, -0.4594, -0.4684, -0.4727, -0.4864, -0.4776, -0.4748, -0.4827, -0.4688, -0.4925, -0.4835, -0.4519, -0.4764, -0.4545, -0.4445, -0.4453, -0.3424, -0.3074, -0.2927, -0.2415, -0.2888, -0.3106, -0.2788, -0.2696, -0.3234, -0.3206, -0.3336, -0.3054, -0.2949, -0.2903, -0.2941, -0.2746, -0.3121, -0.3121, -0.3382, -0.3389, -0.3464, -0.3408, -0.3549, -0.0361, -0.0596, -0.1019, -0.0896, -0.0841, -0.0995, -0.0527, -0.0523, 0.0, 0.0734, 0.0855, 0.1402, 0.0869, 0.0845, 0.1099, 0.1305, 0.1641, 0.2674, 0.2887, 0.2581, 0.1852, 0.2285, 0.3356, 0.3048, 0.364, 0.2904, 0.267, 0.2389, 0.1423, 0.0976, 0.05, -0.0069, 0.069, 0.1807, 0.263, 0.2268, 0.2597, 0.2504, 0.3173, 0.2131, 0.1131, 0.1781, 0.102, 0.1205, 0.1071, 0.0293, -0.0498, -0.1075, -0.1588, -0.1342, -0.0883, -0.0427, -0.1477, -0.1616, -0.0746, -0.105, -0.0465, -0.0465, -0.0447, 0.0085, -0.0288, -0.0039, 0.0351, -0.0128, 0.0103, -0.0292, -0.0576, -0.0506, -0.117, -0.183, -0.1849, -0.2403, -0.2137, -0.0992, -0.0612, -0.0934, -0.0824, -0.0824, -0.118, -0.1336, -0.1424, -0.1571, -0.1571, -0.0943, -0.0653, 0.0094, -0.0312, -0.0202, -0.0139, 0.0808, 0.0616, 0.0269, 0.0461, 0.0949, 0.0949, -0.0002, -0.0044, -0.0248, -0.0484, -0.079, -0.0145, 0.0113, -0.0443, -0.1422, -0.1123, -0.0943, -0.1704, -0.2562, -0.133, -0.0647, -0.0757, -0.1077, -0.0965, -0.0131, -0.0131, -0.018, 0.0251, 0.0836, -0.014, 0.0131, 0.0329, 0.0686, 0.0561, -0.0818, -0.0836, -0.126, -0.0154, -0.0369, -0.1005, -0.044, -0.029, 0.1277, 0.0879, 0.1373, 0.3075]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2004574162283802728", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-26T15:24:58+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have positions in $LITE, $AAOI, and $AXTI in the photonics sector", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds long positions in LITE, AAOI, and AXTI in photonics; bullish on AI bottleneck thesis but flags dilution/China risk for AXTI.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Disclosure: I have positions in $LITE, $AAOI, and $AXTI in the photonics sector.\n\nFrom my own personal thought process, if I see the entire AI industry and players like $LITE and Innolight bottlenecked by some $600m company worth less than a new pre-revenue LLM startup, I’m long.\n\nThere is downside risk including changing ownership dilution structures if China wants to restrict $AXTI in US markets.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Are you long any of these?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "thgstar2", "ret_m1d": 0.0131791707624771, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0131791707624771, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.013077745444181943, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.013077745444181943, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00010142531829515633, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00010142531829515633, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04647236014195044, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04647236014195044, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04290873193489564, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04290873193489564, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003563628207054803, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003563628207054803, "ret_p1w": -0.01192518308243562, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01192518308243562, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0015820170787128607, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0015820170787128607, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.010343166003722759, "bench_c_p1w": -0.010343166003722759, "ret_p1m": -0.14924374554413433, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14924374554413433, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1527493910954506, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1527493910954506, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.003505645551316272, "bench_c_p1m": 0.003505645551316272, "ret_p3m": 0.9888169633286894, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.9888169633286894, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.034732843262036, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.034732843262036, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04591587993334656, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04591587993334656, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5836, -0.5614, -0.5656, -0.5808, -0.589, -0.5978, -0.5826, -0.5912, -0.6171, -0.5891, -0.5988, -0.5993, -0.5823, -0.5783, -0.588, -0.583, -0.5955, -0.5688, -0.5412, -0.5041, -0.4923, -0.4516, -0.4879, -0.4842, -0.4893, -0.518, -0.4044, -0.3866, -0.3855, -0.3349, -0.3539, -0.3505, -0.4195, -0.4059, -0.3805, -0.3668, -0.3118, -0.4031, -0.3459, -0.2339, -0.2546, -0.2111, -0.2111, -0.1679, -0.1864, -0.2251, -0.2247, -0.161, -0.1519, -0.1234, -0.0779, -0.0634, -0.0478, -0.17, -0.1435, -0.191, -0.1805, -0.1373, -0.0495, -0.0023, -0.0086, 0.0132, 0.0132, 0.0, -0.0465, -0.0501, -0.0568, -0.0568, -0.0119, -0.0863, 0.017, 0.0054, -0.1088, -0.1007, -0.1303, -0.0753, -0.1514, -0.1216, -0.1702, -0.1702, -0.0869, -0.0725, -0.0928, -0.132, -0.1492, -0.0515, -0.0148, -0.0239, 0.0027, 0.0836, 0.1134, 0.1913, 0.2908, 0.4126, 0.477, 0.436, 0.4692, 0.4931, 0.4401, 0.4401, 0.5365, 0.5207, 0.6266, 0.7089, 0.7267, 0.7613, 0.8512, 0.7325, 0.7937, 1.0044, 0.7771, 0.7422, 0.6655, 0.4291, 0.6396, 0.7197, 0.7197, 0.5766, 0.593, 0.599, 0.6623, 0.7934, 0.9759, 0.8076, 0.8654, 1.0523, 0.9888, 0.7627, 0.7983, 0.6756, 0.7984, 0.9568, 1.116, 1.116, 0.9763, 1.0875, 1.293, 1.2881, 1.2962, 1.2294, 1.1823, 1.1087, 1.2807, 1.288, 1.2906, 1.1417, 1.2356, 1.1672, 1.2562, 1.2, 1.0252, 1.1965, 1.3091, 1.4309, 1.4981, 1.5451, 1.4165, 1.2842, 1.3129, 1.6949, 1.5395, 1.6368, 1.5637, 1.4841, 1.2647, 1.2778, 1.2214, 1.4682, 1.4232, 1.4232, 1.3308, 1.3091, 1.2024, 1.1879, 1.1879, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2004574162283802728", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-26T15:24:58+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have positions in $LITE, $AAOI, and $AXTI in the photonics sector", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds long positions in LITE, AAOI, and AXTI in photonics; bullish on AI bottleneck thesis but flags dilution/China risk for AXTI.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Disclosure: I have positions in $LITE, $AAOI, and $AXTI in the photonics sector.\n\nFrom my own personal thought process, if I see the entire AI industry and players like $LITE and Innolight bottlenecked by some $600m company worth less than a new pre-revenue LLM startup, I’m long.\n\nThere is downside risk including changing ownership dilution structures if China wants to restrict $AXTI in US markets.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Are you long any of these?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "thgstar2", "ret_m1d": 0.10304014042848597, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.10304014042848597, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.10293871511019081, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.10293871511019081, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00010142531829515633, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00010142531829515633, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011299386323247451, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011299386323247451, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007735758116192648, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007735758116192648, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003563628207054803, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003563628207054803, "ret_p1w": 0.06537531409420394, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06537531409420394, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0757184800979267, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0757184800979267, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.010343166003722759, "bench_c_p1w": -0.010343166003722759, "ret_p1m": -0.061339760333961046, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.061339760333961046, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06484540588527732, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06484540588527732, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.003505645551316272, "bench_c_p1m": 0.003505645551316272, "ret_p3m": 2.07802015867992, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.07802015867992, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.1239360386132664, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.1239360386132664, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04591587993334656, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04591587993334656, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3024, -0.2354, -0.2472, -0.2486, -0.0909, -0.157, -0.1332, -0.1291, -0.2696, -0.2171, -0.2338, -0.1135, -0.1622, -0.1412, -0.0815, -0.1014, -0.1936, -0.1552, -0.085, 0.0013, -0.0081, -0.0455, -0.0565, -0.0433, -0.1111, -0.2063, -0.1523, -0.2171, -0.2314, -0.3161, -0.361, -0.3559, -0.4374, -0.4225, -0.4181, -0.438, -0.4385, -0.4757, -0.4463, -0.3955, -0.3885, -0.3121, -0.3121, -0.2795, -0.2863, -0.3, -0.3099, -0.2941, -0.2846, -0.251, -0.1827, -0.0589, -0.0229, -0.1375, -0.1956, -0.2209, -0.2698, -0.2131, -0.1574, 0.0518, 0.0934, 0.103, 0.103, 0.0, -0.0113, -0.0309, -0.0621, -0.0621, 0.0654, -0.0586, 0.0387, 0.0238, -0.1119, -0.0842, -0.0928, -0.0804, -0.0726, -0.0046, -0.0035, -0.0035, 0.0562, 0.0326, 0.0264, -0.039, -0.0613, 0.0059, 0.2168, 0.0646, 0.1733, 0.1881, 0.2408, 0.0734, 0.0258, 0.1918, 0.2889, 0.3045, 0.3021, 0.1835, 0.1961, 0.1961, 0.1813, 0.1687, 0.2639, 0.3904, 0.4517, 0.5139, 0.5636, 0.4444, 1.2661, 1.7579, 1.565, 1.6825, 1.721, 1.5714, 1.9761, 2.2416, 2.417, 1.8569, 1.6045, 1.5308, 1.3226, 1.4921, 1.742, 1.3551, 1.5763, 2.0643, 2.078, 1.6209, 1.6422, 1.2919, 1.2758, 1.3231, 1.7955, 1.7955, 1.8908, 2.1649, 2.5701, 2.5862, 3.0517, 3.1213, 2.9384, 2.8351, 3.2324, 3.2889, 3.3979, 3.0508, 3.0199, 2.7054, 3.3629, 2.922, 2.6928, 3.1116, 3.4218, 3.937, 3.6538, 3.858, 3.8033, 3.2386, 3.007, 3.9744, 4.0654, 5.0022, 4.4767, 4.1213, 3.6613, 3.6094, 3.4461, 3.7568, 3.8827, 3.8827, 3.7786, 3.838, 3.5472, 3.2618, 3.2618, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2004574162283802728", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-12-26T15:24:58+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "There is downside risk including changing ownership dilution structures if China wants to restrict $AXTI in US markets", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds long positions in LITE, AAOI, and AXTI in photonics; bullish on AI bottleneck thesis but flags dilution/China risk for AXTI.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Disclosure: I have positions in $LITE, $AAOI, and $AXTI in the photonics sector.\n\nFrom my own personal thought process, if I see the entire AI industry and players like $LITE and Innolight bottlenecked by some $600m company worth less than a new pre-revenue LLM startup, I’m long.\n\nThere is downside risk including changing ownership dilution structures if China wants to restrict $AXTI in US markets.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Are you long any of these?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "thgstar2", "ret_m1d": -0.023422228975777948, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.023422228975777948, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.023523654294073104, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.018803052264763198, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00010142531829515633, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00461917671101475, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05074819380474049, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05074819380474049, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04718456559768569, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04623828847880318, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003563628207054803, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004509905325937313, "ret_p1w": 0.0904359371289738, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0904359371289738, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10077910313269656, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07010028212626285, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.010343166003722759, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02033565500271095, "ret_p1m": 0.15810015417011014, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.15810015417011014, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15459450861879387, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06801098538335615, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.003505645551316272, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09008916878675399, "ret_p3m": 3.3819127505264293, "ret_signed_p3m": 3.3819127505264293, "alpha_spy_p3m": 3.427828630459776, "alpha_c_p3m": 3.291276974574475, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04591587993334656, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09063577595195405, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7079, -0.6805, -0.6942, -0.6662, -0.6487, -0.6545, -0.6545, -0.6597, -0.7378, -0.7007, -0.7027, -0.7014, -0.6792, -0.7066, -0.6805, -0.6636, -0.6786, -0.663, -0.6057, -0.5973, -0.5706, -0.54, -0.5237, -0.4828, -0.4496, -0.4444, -0.4079, -0.4229, -0.3845, -0.3208, -0.3129, -0.2856, -0.3208, -0.3208, -0.3331, -0.3559, -0.3422, -0.3852, -0.419, -0.3923, -0.3995, -0.3201, -0.3201, -0.3038, -0.298, -0.2349, -0.2531, -0.2128, -0.2466, -0.1731, -0.0267, 0.0091, 0.0657, -0.0364, -0.0351, -0.1542, -0.1958, -0.0885, -0.0468, -0.0098, -0.0475, -0.0234, -0.0234, 0.0, -0.0507, 0.028, 0.0638, 0.0638, 0.0904, 0.0846, 0.3123, 0.5686, 0.6805, 0.4958, 0.447, 0.3995, 0.4379, 0.6734, 0.4372, 0.4372, 0.393, 0.2869, 0.1659, 0.1321, 0.1581, 0.1191, 0.095, 0.0657, 0.2062, 0.3624, 0.2843, 0.2199, 0.3292, 0.5654, 0.8068, 0.5843, 0.7437, 0.6129, 0.5771, 0.5771, 0.5101, 0.5316, 0.5491, 0.931, 0.8497, 1.2824, 1.6656, 1.4151, 1.4658, 2.0137, 1.717, 1.5459, 1.5244, 1.1061, 1.5088, 1.8822, 2.0813, 2.0403, 2.1789, 2.1483, 1.8861, 2.1724, 2.7794, 2.529, 3.1926, 3.4528, 3.3819, 2.8068, 2.9447, 2.4307, 2.7072, 2.067, 2.4379, 2.4379, 1.7319, 1.9577, 2.46, 3.1067, 3.1757, 3.3234, 3.3787, 3.0943, 4.3208, 4.3715, 4.1243, 3.8777, 4.6565, 3.8972, 3.9551, 3.5641, 3.4704, 3.6239, 4.1542, 5.2459, 5.8966, 5.9974, 5.8204, 6.054, 6.5706, 7.1854, 6.9961, 6.9336, 6.4808, 7.0534, 5.8887, 6.3442, 5.8061, 6.8738, 8.1627, 8.1627, 7.6272, 6.9876, 6.5277, 5.7118, 5.7118, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1975375183902113930", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-07T01:38:39+00:00", "symbol": "EOSE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have $EOSE, $FLNC, $SEI in my portfolio right now.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Holds EOSE, FLNC, SEI as mid-to-long term energy plays; looking to add VST on the next dip.", "resolved_tickers": ["EOSE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Electrical Equipment & Parts'", "bench_c_industry": "Electrical Equipment & Parts", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DigestingX I have $EOSE, $FLNC, $SEI in my portfolio right now. \n\nLooking to add $VST on next dip to follow Nancy Pelosi.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What are your top mid to long term energy plays?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DigestingX", "ret_m1d": 0.014641274633910628, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.014641274633910628, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010919985733185644, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008936228523911183, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003721288900724984, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005705046109999445, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08491946269178552, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08491946269178552, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07895641027899325, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07623229220712235, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005963052412792269, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008687170484663165, "ret_p1w": 0.24304536836822832, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.24304536836822832, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2533425091358771, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.24959312167659564, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01029714076764876, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006547753308367321, "ret_p1m": 0.08784771761856769, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08784771761856769, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07520423379129015, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09465487264663108, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012643483827277535, "bench_c_p1m": -0.006807155028063394, "ret_p3m": -0.050512414940767414, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.050512414940767414, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07452708983643785, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07820180656509801, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02401467489567044, "bench_c_p3m": 0.027689391624330595, "ret_p6m": -0.6346998662621859, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.6346998662621859, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.6195320706715348, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.7073532512157314, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.015167795590651068, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07265338495354556, "price_path": [-0.6596, -0.6611, -0.6069, -0.6215, -0.6288, -0.612, -0.5703, -0.5608, -0.5586, -0.5432, -0.5344, -0.5337, -0.5476, -0.5641, -0.5666, -0.5827, -0.5966, -0.5454, -0.5234, -0.5271, -0.5198, -0.5337, -0.5351, -0.5527, -0.5359, -0.5366, -0.571, -0.5366, -0.5571, -0.5615, -0.5593, -0.5373, -0.541, -0.4934, -0.4788, -0.478, -0.4949, -0.4949, -0.4502, -0.4422, -0.4627, -0.4722, -0.4971, -0.489, -0.4971, -0.4714, -0.3997, -0.3939, -0.3931, -0.3777, -0.3411, -0.2855, -0.2504, -0.2562, -0.2204, -0.2321, -0.2592, -0.1823, -0.1662, -0.0944, -0.0952, -0.0776, 0.0146, 0.0, 0.0849, 0.0717, 0.0117, 0.2482, 0.243, 0.3382, 0.131, 0.101, 0.0988, 0.1933, 0.1025, 0.0512, 0.1757, 0.1259, 0.0988, 0.052, 0.0483, 0.1735, 0.1435, 0.0322, 0.0878, 0.1193, 0.3367, 0.4048, 0.3558, 0.2643, 0.1131, 0.0102, -0.0483, -0.0132, -0.0644, -0.0571, -0.0952, -0.0395, -0.019, 0.0403, 0.0403, 0.1018, -0.004, -0.0644, -0.0081, 0.1413, 0.0974, 0.1296, 0.0944, 0.0827, 0.2035, 0.0864, -0.0022, -0.0264, -0.1018, -0.0988, -0.0432, -0.0564, -0.1245, -0.1201, -0.1201, -0.1325, -0.1691, -0.1691, -0.1611, -0.1611, -0.0505, -0.0146, 0.0359, 0.0234, 0.0264, 0.1186, 0.1808, 0.2313, 0.2665, 0.2357, 0.2775, 0.2775, 0.2679, 0.2833, 0.3338, 0.2526, 0.1852, 0.0988, 0.2211, 0.1794, 0.0717, 0.0337, 0.0545, -0.0922, -0.1742, -0.0988, -0.0307, -0.1054, -0.1523, -0.2101, -0.1874, -0.1874, -0.1618, -0.1537, -0.1618, -0.2167, -0.2401, -0.1596, -0.1852, -0.5066, -0.5831, -0.5681, -0.5564, -0.5059, -0.5081, -0.5512, -0.5483, -0.5307, -0.5278, -0.552, -0.582, -0.593, -0.5871, -0.6135, -0.5959, -0.6201, -0.6091, -0.6274, -0.6266, -0.6471, -0.6442, -0.6783, -0.6369, -0.6347]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1975375183902113930", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-07T01:38:39+00:00", "symbol": "FLNC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have $EOSE, $FLNC, $SEI in my portfolio right now.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Holds EOSE, FLNC, SEI as mid-to-long term energy plays; looking to add VST on the next dip.", "resolved_tickers": ["FLNC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DigestingX I have $EOSE, $FLNC, $SEI in my portfolio right now. \n\nLooking to add $VST on next dip to follow Nancy Pelosi.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What are your top mid to long term energy plays?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DigestingX", "ret_m1d": 0.10339843189186237, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.10339843189186237, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.09967714299113739, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.09967714299113739, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003721288900724984, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003721288900724984, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08170644401118032, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08170644401118032, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07574339159838805, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07574339159838805, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005963052412792269, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005963052412792269, "ret_p1w": 0.33405646165725833, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.33405646165725833, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.3443536024249071, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.3443536024249071, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01029714076764876, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01029714076764876, "ret_p1m": 0.4981922941184016, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4981922941184016, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.48554881029112407, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.48554881029112407, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012643483827277535, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012643483827277535, "ret_p3m": 0.6637744291986805, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6637744291986805, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.63975975430301, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.63975975430301, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02401467489567044, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02401467489567044, "ret_p6m": -0.05856829142521969, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.05856829142521969, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.04340049583456862, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.04340049583456862, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.015167795590651068, "bench_c_p6m": -0.015167795590651068, "price_path": [-0.3803, -0.4093, -0.4259, -0.3984, -0.402, -0.4042, -0.3521, -0.3109, -0.2617, -0.3174, -0.3232, -0.3218, -0.3608, -0.389, -0.4071, -0.4129, -0.4375, -0.3868, -0.3818, -0.389, -0.3442, -0.3355, -0.3391, -0.4671, -0.4541, -0.453, -0.4252, -0.4172, -0.4346, -0.4591, -0.5054, -0.4548, -0.4599, -0.4519, -0.4736, -0.4396, -0.4649, -0.4649, -0.4989, -0.5119, -0.5119, -0.4541, -0.4787, -0.5098, -0.5112, -0.4982, -0.4939, -0.4657, -0.4577, -0.462, -0.4273, -0.3232, -0.2336, -0.2617, -0.1916, -0.1518, -0.1388, -0.1757, -0.2191, -0.0275, -0.0564, -0.0029, 0.1034, 0.0, 0.0817, 0.0774, -0.0535, 0.149, 0.3341, 0.5503, 0.4158, 0.325, 0.3341, 0.1757, 0.1005, 0.1591, 0.4114, 0.355, 0.3087, 0.4664, 0.4801, 0.5184, 0.5047, 0.3868, 0.4982, 0.4331, 0.5033, 0.5756, 0.4989, 0.389, 0.175, 0.295, 0.2458, 0.2307, 0.2155, 0.1215, 0.1135, 0.1424, 0.2126, 0.3731, 0.3731, 0.4201, 0.402, 0.4432, 0.4353, 0.6876, 0.7325, 0.6529, 0.731, 0.7216, 0.8648, 0.6045, 0.556, 0.5409, 0.3427, 0.3962, 0.4432, 0.4787, 0.4223, 0.4338, 0.4338, 0.4613, 0.444, 0.436, 0.4302, 0.4302, 0.6638, 0.6088, 0.5785, 0.4866, 0.5315, 0.6775, 0.6833, 0.7223, 0.6377, 0.8438, 0.9581, 0.9581, 0.8445, 0.9046, 0.9718, 0.9479, 0.961, 1.0564, 1.2408, 1.2827, 1.2249, 1.2336, 1.3304, 1.0962, 0.3702, 0.4056, 0.4027, 0.3731, 0.2668, 0.261, 0.3348, 0.3348, 0.2856, 0.2603, 0.1974, 0.1967, 0.162, 0.1923, 0.1808, 0.1714, 0.1236, 0.0933, 0.0788, 0.1424, 0.1396, 0.0687, 0.1352, 0.2205, 0.2372, 0.1873, 0.1844, 0.2133, 0.1931, 0.1562, 0.1591, 0.094, 0.1106, 0.1678, 0.1822, 0.0817, 0.0231, -0.06, -0.0051, -0.0586]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1975375183902113930", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-07T01:38:39+00:00", "symbol": "SEI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have $EOSE, $FLNC, $SEI in my portfolio right now.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Holds EOSE, FLNC, SEI as mid-to-long term energy plays; looking to add VST on the next dip.", "resolved_tickers": ["SEI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas Equipment & Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas Equipment & Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DigestingX I have $EOSE, $FLNC, $SEI in my portfolio right now. \n\nLooking to add $VST on next dip to follow Nancy Pelosi.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What are your top mid to long term energy plays?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DigestingX", "ret_m1d": 0.06129401047514138, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06129401047514138, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0575727215744164, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0628583558624558, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003721288900724984, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0015643453873144253, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09443809017063964, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09443809017063964, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08847503775784737, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10024865189058185, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005963052412792269, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005810561719942209, "ret_p1w": 0.19750286464312206, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.19750286464312206, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.20780000541077082, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.23236701384684721, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01029714076764876, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03486414920372516, "ret_p1m": 0.21362090281649815, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21362090281649815, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2009774189892206, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2367518558166427, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012643483827277535, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02313095300014456, "ret_p3m": 0.14345478526986621, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.14345478526986621, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11944011037419577, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.11453222339553193, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02401467489567044, "bench_c_p3m": 0.028922561874334285, "ret_p6m": 0.26505633022403585, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.26505633022403585, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2802241258146869, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.07277502977765349, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.015167795590651068, "bench_c_p6m": 0.33783136000168934, "price_path": [-0.3057, -0.2944, -0.2808, -0.3127, -0.3242, -0.3439, -0.3398, -0.3543, -0.3606, -0.3348, -0.2346, -0.265, -0.2625, -0.2355, -0.2478, -0.2611, -0.3213, -0.302, -0.3052, -0.2842, -0.3077, -0.3217, -0.3134, -0.3066, -0.3676, -0.381, -0.3735, -0.3801, -0.3936, -0.3857, -0.3649, -0.3518, -0.3527, -0.3247, -0.3299, -0.2826, -0.2855, -0.2855, -0.3244, -0.3898, -0.4009, -0.4018, -0.4131, -0.4364, -0.3357, -0.3147, -0.2973, -0.2717, -0.2697, -0.2449, -0.1775, -0.1457, -0.0933, -0.1146, -0.151, -0.1328, -0.0985, -0.0608, -0.0926, -0.0393, 0.0309, 0.0134, 0.0613, 0.0, 0.0944, 0.0826, 0.0211, 0.1787, 0.1975, 0.2463, 0.2295, 0.1662, 0.1614, 0.1126, 0.0531, 0.0829, 0.156, 0.0931, 0.1253, 0.1805, 0.2057, 0.2084, 0.2252, 0.2193, 0.2136, 0.2141, 0.1512, 0.1432, 0.1385, 0.0736, 0.0202, 0.0263, 0.0381, -0.0177, 0.0102, -0.064, -0.0277, 0.0415, 0.0602, 0.0586, 0.0586, 0.0872, 0.1081, 0.1455, 0.2089, 0.2518, 0.2568, 0.2172, 0.2215, 0.2431, 0.2304, 0.0481, -0.009, -0.0078, -0.0754, -0.0204, 0.0229, 0.0338, 0.0213, 0.0254, 0.0254, 0.0158, 0.0142, 0.0488, 0.0459, 0.0459, 0.1435, 0.2035, 0.2024, 0.1623, 0.1501, 0.2094, 0.1678, 0.2008, 0.1835, 0.2604, 0.2938, 0.2938, 0.2504, 0.2968, 0.2957, 0.2217, 0.183, 0.2263, 0.2233, 0.2784, 0.2556, 0.2929, 0.2875, 0.0984, 0.049, 0.1735, 0.2049, 0.2044, 0.2224, 0.171, 0.2884, 0.2884, 0.1953, 0.1557, 0.1371, 0.1202, 0.1528, 0.2163, 0.2563, 0.1594, 0.1291, 0.1218, 0.0829, 0.1382, 0.1478, 0.1139, 0.125, 0.2322, 0.2623, 0.2163, 0.1859, 0.2997, 0.4411, 0.5636, 0.5025, 0.4096, 0.3884, 0.3912, 0.3987, 0.3786, 0.3189, 0.2051, 0.2888, 0.2651]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1975375183902113930", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-10-07T01:38:39+00:00", "symbol": "VST", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Looking to add $VST on next dip to follow Nancy Pelosi.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Holds EOSE, FLNC, SEI as mid-to-long term energy plays; looking to add VST on the next dip.", "resolved_tickers": ["VST"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Utilities - Independent Power Producers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DigestingX I have $EOSE, $FLNC, $SEI in my portfolio right now. \n\nLooking to add $VST on next dip to follow Nancy Pelosi.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What are your top mid to long term energy plays?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DigestingX", "ret_m1d": 0.003957602330104226, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.003957602330104226, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00023631342937924238, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00023631342937924238, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003721288900724984, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003721288900724984, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03471609499809247, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03471609499809247, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.028753042585300204, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.028753042585300204, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005963052412792269, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005963052412792269, "ret_p1w": 0.029506181952361432, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.029506181952361432, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03980332272001019, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03980332272001019, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01029714076764876, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01029714076764876, "ret_p1m": -0.051247240305916986, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.051247240305916986, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06389072413319452, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06389072413319452, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012643483827277535, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012643483827277535, "ret_p3m": -0.17112314672309348, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17112314672309348, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.19513782161876392, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.19513782161876392, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02401467489567044, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02401467489567044, "ret_p6m": -0.22660553967746977, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.22660553967746977, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2114377440868187, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2114377440868187, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.015167795590651068, "bench_c_p6m": -0.015167795590651068, "price_path": [-0.0203, -0.0163, -0.0251, -0.0424, -0.0786, -0.0892, -0.0342, -0.0581, -0.0538, 0.0014, -0.018, -0.0382, -0.0198, -0.0092, 0.0361, 0.0436, 0.0411, 0.0712, 0.0489, 0.0051, 0.0288, 0.0114, 0.0012, 0.0487, 0.0272, 0.0126, -0.0125, -0.0044, -0.0316, -0.0347, -0.0478, -0.0469, -0.0488, -0.0236, -0.0262, -0.0157, -0.0537, -0.0537, -0.0702, -0.0586, -0.0506, -0.0592, -0.0592, -0.0303, 0.0469, 0.0211, 0.0494, 0.0685, 0.048, 0.0424, 0.0517, 0.0584, 0.0917, 0.0231, 0.0122, 0.01, 0.0381, -0.0084, -0.0185, 0.0095, 0.0152, 0.0119, 0.004, 0.0, 0.0347, 0.052, -0.0138, 0.0497, 0.0295, 0.0563, 0.054, 0.0087, -0.027, -0.0656, -0.0691, -0.0413, 0.0093, -0.0016, -0.0452, -0.0013, -0.0496, -0.0567, -0.033, -0.0695, -0.0512, -0.0751, -0.0432, -0.0568, -0.1025, -0.107, -0.1406, -0.1249, -0.1233, -0.1262, -0.1026, -0.1294, -0.1554, -0.1226, -0.1442, -0.1143, -0.1143, -0.104, -0.1301, -0.1356, -0.1401, -0.118, -0.1626, -0.1678, -0.1744, -0.1726, -0.1253, -0.1479, -0.1571, -0.1311, -0.1986, -0.1676, -0.1833, -0.1895, -0.189, -0.1875, -0.1875, -0.189, -0.1881, -0.1842, -0.1907, -0.1907, -0.1711, -0.1827, -0.1496, -0.2244, -0.2445, -0.1654, -0.1343, -0.1401, -0.1524, -0.0961, -0.1643, -0.1643, -0.2134, -0.1973, -0.1956, -0.1968, -0.2033, -0.176, -0.1691, -0.1844, -0.2056, -0.2262, -0.2325, -0.285, -0.2823, -0.2493, -0.2326, -0.1994, -0.1966, -0.1818, -0.1397, -0.1397, -0.1287, -0.1443, -0.1347, -0.1402, -0.1582, -0.1391, -0.1203, -0.113, -0.1277, -0.1673, -0.1888, -0.1805, -0.1602, -0.2041, -0.1792, -0.1753, -0.2016, -0.1995, -0.2026, -0.1874, -0.1756, -0.1466, -0.1604, -0.2665, -0.24, -0.2328, -0.2389, -0.2349, -0.219, -0.2589, -0.2448, -0.2266]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1975954754036699580", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-08T16:01:39+00:00", "symbol": "BULL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'll be buying into it for $BULL", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author plans to buy BULL on the dip below 12.", "resolved_tickers": ["BULL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@__visionxry__ Oh thanks for the heads up, I’ll be buying into it for $BULL", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit You thinking about $Bull on the big drop below 12?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "__visionxry__", "ret_m1d": 0.011058479068731808, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011058479068731808, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.016986184264752735, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.016986184264752735, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005927705196020927, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005927705196020927, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.009478664060459052, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.009478664060459052, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006581655681221599, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006581655681221599, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0028970083792374535, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0028970083792374535, "ret_p1w": -0.08293840469117375, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08293840469117375, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07114236071989766, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07114236071989766, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011796043971276093, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011796043971276093, "ret_p1m": -0.2393364746833364, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2393364746833364, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.23517672156010183, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.23517672156010183, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0041597531232345775, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0041597531232345775, "ret_p3m": -0.3238546190530571, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3238546190530571, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.34857886385245385, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.34857886385245385, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024724244799396722, "bench_c_p3m": 0.024724244799396722, "ret_p6m": -0.6192732835896, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.6192732835896, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5991492524546025, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5991492524546025, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0201240311349975, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0201240311349975, "price_path": [-0.0142, 0.0118, -0.0419, 0.019, 0.1398, 0.3341, 0.1548, 0.3404, 0.4013, 0.2709, 0.2674, 0.2417, 0.0814, 0.1019, 0.1209, 0.0529, 0.1288, 0.1722, 0.2172, 0.2101, 0.1848, 0.1754, 0.2346, 0.186, 0.2204, 0.2642, 0.2615, 0.1793, 0.1327, 0.1272, 0.2172, 0.1817, 0.1848, 0.1406, 0.1588, 0.0735, 0.0735, 0.0624, 0.0276, 0.049, 0.0213, 0.0577, 0.0695, 0.0269, 0.0742, 0.0545, 0.0387, 0.0308, -0.0039, 0.0063, 0.0498, 0.1137, 0.1058, 0.1035, 0.1564, 0.1975, 0.2283, 0.1682, 0.1145, 0.1359, 0.1209, 0.0829, 0.0111, 0.0, -0.0095, -0.0995, -0.0727, -0.0735, -0.0829, -0.0719, -0.1303, -0.0932, -0.1201, -0.1445, -0.1248, -0.0908, -0.0861, -0.1082, -0.1343, -0.1477, -0.1453, -0.1825, -0.233, -0.2148, -0.2393, -0.2385, -0.233, -0.248, -0.2283, -0.2883, -0.3183, -0.3562, -0.3373, -0.3507, -0.3483, -0.3452, -0.3152, -0.3128, -0.2686, -0.2686, -0.263, -0.2733, -0.2891, -0.2686, -0.2401, -0.252, -0.233, -0.1904, -0.2077, -0.2314, -0.2765, -0.3191, -0.3239, -0.3389, -0.3452, -0.3231, -0.3096, -0.3389, -0.3373, -0.3373, -0.3539, -0.3633, -0.3736, -0.3863, -0.3863, -0.3531, -0.3239, -0.3167, -0.3349, -0.3341, -0.3318, -0.346, -0.3531, -0.3373, -0.3539, -0.3555, -0.3555, -0.3815, -0.3863, -0.3815, -0.3807, -0.3918, -0.3965, -0.3973, -0.4202, -0.4447, -0.4629, -0.4716, -0.4724, -0.5403, -0.4803, -0.4637, -0.4755, -0.5071, -0.5363, -0.5253, -0.5253, -0.5355, -0.5292, -0.5292, -0.5332, -0.5577, -0.545, -0.5253, -0.5253, -0.5411, -0.5229, -0.5292, -0.5205, -0.5474, -0.5695, -0.5664, -0.5656, -0.5671, -0.5821, -0.5837, -0.5806, -0.5679, -0.5869, -0.5837, -0.5948, -0.5806, -0.5948, -0.5908, -0.6011, -0.6193, -0.6343, -0.6209, -0.6256, -0.6193]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2000706085502529840", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-15T23:14:36+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this is an incredible buying opportunity if you still have capital", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on current dip as a buying opportunity; IREN flagged as saved from a bearish signal.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@nectarbuffs Yeah this is an incredible buying opportunity if you still have capital. Otherwise, just hold. \n\nLooks like $IREN just got saved from the inverse Cramer. https://t.co/YRuRaUGTIv", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Buying opportunities of a lifetime. If you don’t have any more powder, just hold!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "nectarbuffs", "ret_m1d": 0.13105979667061218, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.13105979667061218, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.12954662265172256, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.13178721554829353, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0015131740188896181, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0007274188776813517, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03128524872245819, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03128524872245819, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0340175463177369, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03765009393113561, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00273229759527871, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0063648452086774165, "ret_p1w": 0.1848929384985425, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1848929384985425, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.17589721318584006, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.17537582820152098, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00899572531270243, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009517110297021514, "ret_p1m": 0.4935175412103965, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4935175412103965, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.47135005130468555, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5038915167994616, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022167489905710935, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010373975589065165, "ret_p3m": 0.16600900410488517, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.16600900410488517, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1846681773695773, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2749258468886464, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.01865917326469213, "bench_c_p3m": -0.10891684278376124, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0682, 0.0237, 0.0891, 0.1809, 0.1773, 0.3286, 0.3047, 0.1798, 0.2945, 0.3227, 0.3269, 0.3253, 0.4222, 0.6277, 0.7384, 0.6936, 0.7996, 0.6846, 0.8078, 0.9605, 0.916, 0.7427, 0.7114, 0.6691, 0.5557, 0.4608, 0.5744, 0.7728, 0.8317, 0.7593, 0.7029, 0.6409, 0.7122, 0.9095, 0.878, 1.1536, 0.8873, 0.7582, 0.6959, 0.6172, 0.5699, 0.3712, 0.3069, 0.3362, 0.3768, 0.2917, 0.2252, 0.1911, 0.3667, 0.3379, 0.3656, 0.3656, 0.3475, 0.3667, 0.159, 0.239, 0.3092, 0.2601, 0.3061, 0.3202, 0.2379, 0.2384, 0.1311, 0.0, 0.0313, -0.0479, 0.009, 0.1251, 0.1849, 0.1857, 0.1832, 0.1832, 0.1359, 0.1108, 0.0795, 0.0645, 0.0645, 0.2035, 0.3596, 0.294, 0.2296, 0.2875, 0.2974, 0.4185, 0.4935, 0.4904, 0.4625, 0.6297, 0.6297, 0.5293, 0.5073, 0.4729, 0.5975, 0.4758, 0.6908, 0.774, 0.6866, 0.5147, 0.4961, 0.533, 0.2666, 0.1215, 0.179, 0.3007, 0.21, 0.2026, 0.1282, 0.19, 0.19, 0.1547, 0.186, 0.2201, 0.1268, 0.1939, 0.281, 0.241, 0.2469, 0.1542, 0.1666, 0.095, 0.2356, 0.1309, 0.0344, 0.0947, 0.0744, 0.1832, 0.166, 0.1719, 0.2666, 0.2108, 0.1897, 0.1742, 0.1638, 0.1883, 0.159, 0.1677, 0.0555, -0.011, -0.1088, -0.0338, -0.0392, -0.02, -0.02, -0.0099, 0.0073, 0.038, 0.0445, 0.1082, 0.2139, 0.3351, 0.376, 0.3444, 0.3563, 0.3732, 0.2731, 0.3639, 0.4662, 0.4273, 0.363, 0.2525, 0.208, 0.2827, 0.2869, 0.3946, 0.5428, 0.7187, 0.6023, 0.7249, 0.5544, 0.5941, 0.555, 0.646, 0.4921, 0.4222, 0.3455, 0.4856, 0.6364, 0.6017, 0.6017, 0.6849, 0.9121, 0.8052, 0.7909, 0.7909, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1973453603697553491", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-01T18:22:58+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd just expect the price to hover around these levels or maybe even increase while shorts use this time to cover", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Soft bullish lean on HIMS: sticky audience, Zava tailwind, 33% short interest support; expects price to hold or rise from here.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yeah I trimmed $HIMS around $60, but this is pretty material with the government competing with it. \n\nAt the same time I'd aruge the audience is sticky + they have Zava acqusition tailwind second half + 33% short interest.\n\nSo I'd just expect the price to hover around these levels or maybe even increase while shorts use this time to cover. It's not extremely undervalued or overvalued but there's better longs at the moment.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I'm betting that boner pills will be available for cheap on TrumpRx.\n\nSold off $HIMS. Really though, when the government is squeezing margin on the pharma sector, it's hard to be bullish.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DeepValueBagger", "ret_m1d": 0.007281119471017838, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007281119471017838, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010677025283736818, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.010677025283736818, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00339590581271898, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00339590581271898, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.027703738599688332, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.027703738599688332, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.026551935062495424, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.026551935062495424, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001151803537192908, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001151803537192908, "ret_p1w": 0.03303137542696866, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03303137542696866, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02606003929262446, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02606003929262446, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006971336134344197, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006971336134344197, "ret_p1m": -0.21754572369466196, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.21754572369466196, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.23457024867097476, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.23457024867097476, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017024524976312794, "bench_c_p1m": 0.017024524976312794, "ret_p3m": -0.39442376767024157, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.39442376767024157, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4264867531325214, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4264867531325214, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032062985462279814, "bench_c_p3m": 0.032062985462279814, "ret_p6m": -0.6295506996693861, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.6295506996693861, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.6000992218842356, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.6000992218842356, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02945147778515056, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02945147778515056, "price_path": [-0.1479, -0.1401, -0.1305, -0.09, -0.1073, -0.1495, -0.076, -0.1039, -0.0792, -0.1122, -0.1053, -0.1547, -0.1119, 0.0304, 0.0179, 0.0238, 0.0421, 0.0703, 0.1637, 0.1753, 0.1108, 0.125, -0.014, -0.092, -0.0934, -0.0776, -0.1124, -0.1483, -0.1417, -0.163, -0.1827, -0.1991, -0.2509, -0.2296, -0.2193, -0.2085, -0.2365, -0.1946, -0.2184, -0.2165, -0.2479, -0.2479, -0.2625, -0.2104, -0.1456, -0.1403, -0.1185, -0.1513, -0.1515, -0.0808, -0.0144, -0.0417, -0.0963, -0.1058, -0.002, 0.0268, 0.0247, -0.0055, -0.0543, -0.0256, 0.0371, 0.0499, 0.0073, 0.0, 0.0277, -0.067, -0.0275, 0.0295, 0.033, 0.0345, -0.0419, -0.0281, -0.0407, 0.1145, 0.0504, -0.116, -0.0879, -0.1234, -0.1572, -0.1389, -0.1337, -0.1435, -0.1632, -0.1719, -0.2175, -0.1927, -0.2117, -0.2401, -0.2234, -0.2627, -0.2714, -0.271, -0.2941, -0.3071, -0.3598, -0.3433, -0.3681, -0.3561, -0.3637, -0.4029, -0.3836, -0.3291, -0.3413, -0.3181, -0.3181, -0.2939, -0.3339, -0.3552, -0.3417, -0.2893, -0.3039, -0.3053, -0.2928, -0.3273, -0.3292, -0.3392, -0.3562, -0.3454, -0.379, -0.3825, -0.3685, -0.3776, -0.382, -0.3843, -0.3843, -0.3907, -0.3944, -0.4132, -0.4234, -0.4234, -0.4067, -0.3836, -0.3703, -0.3703, -0.3985, -0.4372, -0.4257, -0.4282, -0.4438, -0.4454, -0.4427, -0.4427, -0.4589, -0.4869, -0.458, -0.474, -0.4623, -0.4729, -0.4909, -0.4695, -0.5189, -0.5305, -0.5464, -0.5667, -0.583, -0.5912, -0.6567, -0.6938, -0.7036, -0.7194, -0.7105, -0.7105, -0.7111, -0.7187, -0.7191, -0.7224, -0.7246, -0.7254, -0.7191, -0.723, -0.7421, -0.7073, -0.7191, -0.7079, -0.718, -0.7205, -0.6065, -0.5832, -0.5404, -0.5766, -0.5601, -0.5582, -0.5564, -0.5889, -0.5709, -0.609, -0.6011, -0.621, -0.6299, -0.6296]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1965084810982064626", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-08T16:08:23+00:00", "symbol": "SG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "bought $100k $SG on the drop to $8.22. No news, down 8.2%+. Best time to buy is on the extreme fear", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bought $100k of SG at $8.22 on no-news 8%+ drop; views extreme retail fear as the best entry point.", "resolved_tickers": ["SG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Restaurants'", "bench_c_industry": "Restaurants", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "While people are scared, bought $100k $SG on the drop to $8.22. \n\nNo news, down 8.2%+. Meanwhile markets and high beta stocks like $HOOD, $RKLB, $ALAB, $CREDO, $HIMS, $APP are rising.\n\nBest time to buy is on the extreme fear when retail are selling the shares they bought at $40 https://t.co/vBZhOJF1y0", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0876979614717901, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0876979614717901, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.09014867307275476, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.09155357368417649, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0024507116009646612, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0038556122123863945, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05724729169853804, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05724729169853804, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0549354660877337, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.058645419292148615, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002311825610804341, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0013981275936105764, "ret_p1w": 0.02314245791723346, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02314245791723346, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.004524430439816651, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.003313650844796401, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01861802747741681, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01982880707243706, "ret_p1m": -0.054811182359836286, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.054811182359836286, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08894194010434298, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.055216666671702885, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03413075774450669, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0004054843118665996, "ret_p3m": -0.15956150264223545, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15956150264223545, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.21729215868880392, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17032335278470123, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05773065604656846, "bench_c_p3m": 0.010761850142465779, "ret_p6m": -0.35079172972707373, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.35079172972707373, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.40535466576172685, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3234952098956657, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05456293603465312, "bench_c_p6m": -0.027296519831408017, "price_path": [0.5944, 0.6127, 0.5323, 0.5396, 0.4896, 0.497, 0.497, 0.4945, 0.5615, 0.6236, 0.5432, 0.6626, 0.6553, 0.8124, 0.7722, 0.754, 0.7893, 0.7893, 0.6114, 0.6382, 0.6236, 0.6699, 0.6614, 0.6516, 0.5834, 0.592, 0.6553, 0.743, 0.7052, 0.8538, 0.9805, 0.7406, 0.8002, 0.6711, 0.6029, 0.6248, 0.5688, 0.4531, 0.5128, 0.5177, 0.5006, 0.542, 0.1864, 0.1669, 0.1754, 0.1705, 0.1145, 0.1194, 0.1303, 0.1498, 0.0987, 0.0938, 0.1376, 0.1084, 0.1133, 0.1011, 0.1279, 0.1084, 0.1084, 0.0731, 0.0853, 0.0646, 0.0877, 0.0, 0.0572, 0.0585, 0.0585, 0.0341, 0.0231, 0.0792, 0.0609, 0.0512, 0.0463, 0.0804, 0.0158, 0.0134, -0.0049, -0.0073, -0.0231, -0.028, -0.0171, -0.011, 0.0037, -0.0341, -0.0548, -0.0536, -0.0341, -0.0828, -0.0853, -0.0633, -0.0865, -0.1023, -0.1096, -0.095, -0.011, -0.0378, -0.0938, -0.1011, -0.1181, -0.151, -0.1547, -0.2363, -0.2339, -0.2192, -0.2192, -0.2119, -0.2387, -0.296, -0.3386, -0.363, -0.3459, -0.2765, -0.2546, -0.3033, -0.2753, -0.2631, -0.2631, -0.179, -0.2107, -0.1644, -0.1924, -0.1924, -0.2095, -0.2192, -0.1912, -0.1535, -0.1596, -0.1851, -0.2071, -0.1596, -0.1474, -0.1242, -0.1157, -0.1169, -0.1583, -0.173, -0.1401, -0.1657, -0.179, -0.1888, -0.1449, -0.1449, -0.151, -0.1742, -0.2046, -0.1766, -0.1766, -0.1559, -0.1523, -0.1096, -0.1121, -0.0658, -0.0475, -0.0451, -0.0597, -0.0341, -0.0146, -0.0292, -0.0292, -0.1486, -0.1559, -0.1425, -0.1279, -0.1888, -0.2119, -0.2156, -0.2533, -0.2521, -0.2533, -0.2582, -0.2071, -0.2826, -0.2594, -0.313, -0.341, -0.3557, -0.3752, -0.3739, -0.3739, -0.3569, -0.2753, -0.2643, -0.2948, -0.341, -0.341, -0.2862, -0.2521, -0.324, -0.3435, -0.3508]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1986889355206795559", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-07T20:11:51+00:00", "symbol": "SNAP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Incredibly bullish mid term, but it got caught in the broader selloff. I'd agree it's extremely undervalued at $13.7B, easy 50%+ going into next year.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long SNAP; sees 50%+ upside into next year on strong earnings, opex cuts, $500M buyback, and $400M ARR from Perplexity despite near-term selloff drag.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNAP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yeah, $SNAP earnings were incredibly solid, especially with $400m ARR from Perplexity. \n\nThen you have opex cuts from memories Cloud coming in next year, $500m buyback, beat across the board.\n\nIncredibly bullish mid term, but it got caught in the broader selloff. I'd agree it's extremely undervalued at $13.7B, easy 50%+ going into next year. But there's a lot of option flow + broader sell-off affecting near term stock prices.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $SNAP earnings release timing was so unlucky. On a normal day, it would have been up over 30%.\n\nAfter hours, it was up 25% but then dropped massively during the sell-off the next day.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "moninvestor", "ret_m1d": -0.024360512586584226, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.024360512586584226, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02337697330708466, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02694720978377063, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009835392794995679, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002586697197186405, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.058465230207802366, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.058465230207802366, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04286088689980794, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.048029060746979546, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015604343307994428, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01043616946082282, "ret_p1w": 0.04384892265585161, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04384892265585161, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04241812046709015, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.050806368963066895, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0014308021887614597, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006957446307215287, "ret_p1m": -0.021924519407969245, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.021924519407969245, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04079281159643877, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05894174734416191, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018868292188469526, "bench_c_p1m": 0.037017227936192665, "ret_p3m": -0.28014618514593603, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.28014618514593603, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3058517723461479, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.32535294284527627, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025705587200211877, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04520675769934024, "ret_p6m": -0.2484774607033331, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2484774607033331, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3246781978592075, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.29073547811537304, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07620073715587439, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04225801741203994, "price_path": [-0.1145, -0.1084, -0.1376, -0.1291, -0.106, -0.1255, -0.1279, -0.1413, -0.123, -0.1474, -0.1449, -0.1486, -0.1352, -0.1303, -0.1303, -0.1072, -0.1169, -0.1364, -0.1096, -0.1206, -0.1133, -0.1413, -0.1121, -0.106, -0.0914, -0.0572, -0.0268, 0.028, -0.0061, 0.039, 0.0256, 0.0012, 0.0146, 0.0073, 0.0231, -0.0609, -0.0609, 0.0012, 0.0402, 0.0378, -0.0097, 0.0268, 0.0207, -0.0524, -0.0195, -0.0353, -0.0365, -0.0548, -0.0682, -0.0585, -0.0438, -0.0536, -0.0414, -0.0317, -0.0365, -0.0572, -0.0572, -0.0743, -0.0499, -0.0475, -0.0901, -0.1108, -0.0244, 0.0, 0.0585, 0.067, 0.1072, 0.0451, 0.0438, -0.0037, 0.0049, -0.0219, -0.0524, -0.0633, -0.0646, -0.0694, -0.0731, -0.0731, -0.0646, -0.0694, -0.0719, -0.067, -0.0548, -0.0365, -0.0219, -0.0353, -0.0353, -0.0694, -0.1096, -0.1157, -0.1023, -0.0865, -0.0706, -0.078, -0.0329, -0.0487, -0.0438, -0.0438, -0.0426, -0.0402, -0.0171, -0.0171, -0.0171, -0.0097, 0.0049, 0.0706, 0.0499, 0.0231, 0.0, -0.0024, -0.0268, -0.0378, -0.0548, -0.0828, -0.0828, -0.1048, -0.1023, -0.067, -0.0719, -0.0792, -0.0914, -0.0658, -0.1181, -0.1559, -0.1888, -0.257, -0.2801, -0.3764, -0.3642, -0.3678, -0.363, -0.3922, -0.4129, -0.4117, -0.4117, -0.4239, -0.4056, -0.391, -0.3739, -0.3995, -0.3946, -0.3825, -0.3593, -0.3654, -0.3593, -0.3605, -0.3459, -0.3496, -0.3715, -0.3752, -0.4019, -0.408, -0.4336, -0.4446, -0.43, -0.4336, -0.4373, -0.4446, -0.4543, -0.4507, -0.4689, -0.4531, -0.5116, -0.5213, -0.5104, -0.4397, -0.4032, -0.4361, -0.4361, -0.4263, -0.4153, -0.4239, -0.3971, -0.4129, -0.3727, -0.3179, -0.2643, -0.2667, -0.2655, -0.2692, -0.313, -0.2887, -0.3216, -0.3118, -0.2619, -0.2753, -0.2716, -0.2607, -0.2339, -0.2485]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1983591036850204699", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-29T17:45:31+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd probably personally do $TSM March $300 calls and sell in Jan", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long TSM via March $300 calls, targeting a sell in January with potential exercise into shares.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DigestingX I'd probably personally do $TSM March $300 calls and sell in Jan. If it blows past premium, then just exercise it into shares closer to the date.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Love the idea of TSM calls rather than straight shares considering my portfolio size and risk appetite. How far out and what price are you targeting for the TSM calls?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DigestingX", "ret_m1d": -0.011668677276329031, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011668677276329031, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01118852089733502, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01118852089733502, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0004801563789940122, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0004801563789940122, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006129392337233641, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006129392337233641, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004868751599843235, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004868751599843235, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010998143937076876, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010998143937076876, "ret_p1w": -0.03752990517848154, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03752990517848154, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.023258446711293956, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.023258446711293956, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014271458467187581, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014271458467187581, "ret_p1m": -0.04959195385997828, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04959195385997828, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03837556514137608, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03837556514137608, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0112163887186022, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0112163887186022, "ret_p3m": 0.09347464127364224, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09347464127364224, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08272840753651733, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08272840753651733, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01074623373712491, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01074623373712491, "ret_p6m": 0.26118262068837894, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.26118262068837894, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.22467662677047873, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.22467662677047873, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.036505993917900215, "bench_c_p6m": 0.036505993917900215, "price_path": [-0.2315, -0.2191, -0.2404, -0.244, -0.2073, -0.2098, -0.209, -0.2018, -0.2111, -0.2126, -0.2195, -0.2112, -0.2397, -0.2531, -0.2572, -0.2387, -0.2302, -0.22, -0.2181, -0.2215, -0.2457, -0.2457, -0.2538, -0.244, -0.2315, -0.2047, -0.1923, -0.1801, -0.149, -0.154, -0.1527, -0.146, -0.141, -0.1386, -0.1195, -0.1318, -0.1064, -0.0734, -0.0799, -0.0932, -0.104, -0.1044, -0.0846, -0.0545, -0.0557, -0.0423, -0.0088, -0.0363, -0.0019, -0.0171, -0.0801, -0.0072, -0.03, -0.0012, -0.0172, -0.0328, -0.0242, -0.0347, -0.0531, -0.0471, -0.0332, -0.0224, -0.0117, 0.0, -0.0061, -0.0153, -0.0008, -0.0362, -0.0375, -0.052, -0.0609, -0.0322, -0.0456, -0.0474, -0.075, -0.0664, -0.0756, -0.0891, -0.0745, -0.0904, -0.0984, -0.067, -0.0669, -0.0496, -0.0496, -0.0445, -0.0571, -0.0426, -0.0316, -0.0399, -0.034, -0.0106, -0.0055, 0.0166, 0.0019, -0.0402, -0.0543, -0.0572, -0.0898, -0.0644, -0.0503, -0.0361, -0.0241, -0.018, -0.018, -0.0047, -0.011, -0.0154, -0.0012, -0.0012, 0.0504, 0.0591, 0.0761, 0.0474, 0.0452, 0.0636, 0.0904, 0.0885, 0.0751, 0.1228, 0.1253, 0.1253, 0.0752, 0.0718, 0.0759, 0.1006, 0.0935, 0.112, 0.125, 0.116, 0.0864, 0.1219, 0.1035, 0.0706, 0.087, 0.1465, 0.1681, 0.1894, 0.2295, 0.2098, 0.2041, 0.2041, 0.197, 0.1906, 0.1844, 0.2178, 0.2162, 0.2678, 0.2743, 0.2384, 0.2311, 0.2131, 0.1606, 0.1748, 0.163, 0.1138, 0.146, 0.1407, 0.1653, 0.1066, 0.1119, 0.1182, 0.1403, 0.1192, 0.1166, 0.0851, 0.1155, 0.1313, 0.1461, 0.0748, 0.0769, 0.0431, 0.1138, 0.1255, 0.1174, 0.1174, 0.1264, 0.1381, 0.2059, 0.2046, 0.2214, 0.218, 0.2521, 0.2363, 0.1975, 0.2211, 0.2071, 0.2131, 0.2769, 0.2612]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2007482618405945681", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-03T16:02:08+00:00", "symbol": "TRGP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TRGP, that benefits from diluent imports to Venezuela (naphtha or natural gasoline) to make the heavy crude flow through pipelines", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long TRGP as a beneficiary of Venezuela diluent imports enabling heavy crude pipeline flows.", "resolved_tickers": ["TRGP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Believe it or not, US wars are bullish. \n\nEspecially when there’s new market opportunities with companies profiting off nation building and a new supply of oil reserves. For example, $TRGP, that benefits from diluent imports to Venezuela (naphtha or natural gasoline) to make the heavy crude flow through pipelines.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What vix will be doing?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TheMonteDev", "ret_m1d": 0.01798665640270558, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01798665640270558, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.024602706571630883, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.024602706571630883, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006616050168925303, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006616050168925303, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.030304669620635494, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.030304669620635494, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0362518529937248, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0362518529937248, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005947183373089304, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005947183373089304, "ret_p1w": -0.04627459881341711, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04627459881341711, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.057092958584016196, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.057092958584016196, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010818359770599084, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010818359770599084, "ret_p1m": 0.11547157714989598, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11547157714989598, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11283962724477958, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11283962724477958, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.002631949905116393, "bench_c_p1m": 0.002631949905116393, "ret_p3m": 0.3386863518775689, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3386863518775689, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3824525418179404, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3824525418179404, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.043766189940371514, "bench_c_p3m": -0.043766189940371514, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0877, -0.1266, -0.1748, -0.1782, -0.1858, -0.1821, -0.2079, -0.195, -0.1827, -0.1802, -0.1637, -0.151, -0.1674, -0.1663, -0.1741, -0.1804, -0.1796, -0.1604, -0.1492, -0.1575, -0.1133, -0.0741, -0.0622, -0.0763, -0.0558, -0.0703, -0.075, -0.0565, -0.0826, -0.0757, -0.0725, -0.0723, -0.0705, -0.0742, -0.0676, -0.0564, -0.0564, -0.0445, -0.037, -0.0636, -0.0422, -0.0188, -0.0149, -0.0238, 0.0012, 0.0001, 0.0123, -0.0015, -0.0063, -0.0385, -0.006, -0.0265, -0.0247, -0.0044, 0.0072, 0.0014, 0.0014, -0.0031, 0.0025, 0.0118, 0.0056, 0.0056, 0.018, 0.0, -0.0303, -0.0486, -0.0366, -0.036, -0.0463, -0.0174, -0.0038, -0.0084, 0.0102, 0.0102, 0.0087, 0.0359, 0.0435, 0.0438, 0.0493, 0.0631, 0.0963, 0.0984, 0.1009, 0.0882, 0.1155, 0.1199, 0.1259, 0.1582, 0.1925, 0.189, 0.2155, 0.1956, 0.2264, 0.2264, 0.2286, 0.2468, 0.2279, 0.2673, 0.2701, 0.2693, 0.2606, 0.2665, 0.2916, 0.3125, 0.3368, 0.3313, 0.3092, 0.2993, 0.2858, 0.2734, 0.2956, 0.3046, 0.3149, 0.31, 0.3192, 0.2817, 0.3121, 0.3005, 0.3142, 0.3481, 0.3445, 0.3722, 0.3707, 0.359, 0.3734, 0.3409, 0.3387, 0.3387, 0.3456, 0.3748, 0.3366, 0.3407, 0.3316, 0.3174, 0.3107, 0.3078, 0.3136, 0.29, 0.2681, 0.2744, 0.2967, 0.3141, 0.3184, 0.3217, 0.3605, 0.3702, 0.4318, 0.3999, 0.4257, 0.4298, 0.3735, 0.3897, 0.3659, 0.3938, 0.4047, 0.4495, 0.4725, 0.4974, 0.5123, 0.5205, 0.4902, 0.4877, 0.5236, 0.5236, 0.4858, 0.4514, 0.4431, 0.4042, 0.4042, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1973576903828308395", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-02T02:32:55+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "these things with $NBIS $CIFR are more surprise events that positively impact forward revenue, and sometimes market underprices the event even after a stock price rises", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Market underprices positive surprise events for NBIS and CIFR; IREN expected to rise on anticipated mag7 contract.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Sometimes, buy the rumor sell the news usually applies to frontrunning eg. ratecut. And sometimes frontrunning usually outpaces what happens after an event.\n\nBut these things with $NBIS $CIFR are more surprise events that positively impact forward revenue, and sometimes market underprices the event even after a stock price rises or in the case with $IREN, it goes up as people are expecting a mag7 contract soon.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Isn't it buy on the 'rumour sell on news' concept ? Genuine question 🙏 following from India", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "sowmya24k", "ret_m1d": -0.0815126869972923, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0815126869972923, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08036220858520382, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08374542506568405, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011504784120884848, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0022327380683917486, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01676333172566702, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01676333172566702, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01677809908788863, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01727850796170094, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4767362221612679e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0005151762360339207, "ret_p1w": 0.05378562401954223, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05378562401954223, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.050886634886761595, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06692429946603051, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028989891327806383, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01313867544648828, "ret_p1m": 0.03932632453820406, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03932632453820406, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.020139760379656257, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05340956667881569, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019186564158547803, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01408324214061163, "ret_p3m": -0.3233495168787698, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3233495168787698, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.35296633318039683, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.34243886359072817, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029616816301627047, "bench_c_p3m": 0.019089346711958388, "ret_p6m": -0.1990148765007319, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1990148765007319, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.15191616328831792, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.12412626613538336, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04709871321241399, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07488861036534855, "price_path": [-0.6199, -0.6258, -0.6341, -0.6311, -0.648, -0.5873, -0.5747, -0.5765, -0.5734, -0.5806, -0.5839, -0.5947, -0.5878, -0.5856, -0.5919, -0.5809, -0.5996, -0.5925, -0.5676, -0.5869, -0.5696, -0.5617, -0.5623, -0.4811, -0.4536, -0.442, -0.4015, -0.4389, -0.4561, -0.431, -0.4237, -0.4662, -0.464, -0.4742, -0.452, -0.4437, -0.4401, -0.4431, -0.4277, -0.4572, -0.4572, -0.4779, -0.4784, -0.4843, -0.4799, -0.4911, -0.2395, -0.258, -0.2914, -0.2817, -0.2773, -0.2895, -0.2526, -0.2522, -0.211, -0.1531, -0.1436, -0.1004, -0.1424, -0.1444, -0.1243, -0.108, -0.0815, 0.0, 0.0168, -0.0074, -0.0649, -0.0307, 0.0538, 0.0295, 0.0762, 0.0181, -0.0003, -0.0225, -0.0988, -0.134, -0.1715, -0.2165, -0.1566, -0.0684, -0.0035, -0.0321, -0.0061, -0.0134, 0.0393, -0.0429, -0.1218, -0.0705, -0.1305, -0.1159, -0.1265, -0.1879, -0.2503, -0.2959, -0.3363, -0.3169, -0.2807, -0.2447, -0.3276, -0.3385, -0.2699, -0.2939, -0.2477, -0.2477, -0.2463, -0.2043, -0.2337, -0.2141, -0.1833, -0.2211, -0.2029, -0.2341, -0.2565, -0.251, -0.3033, -0.3554, -0.3569, -0.4006, -0.3796, -0.2893, -0.2593, -0.2847, -0.276, -0.276, -0.3041, -0.3164, -0.3233, -0.335, -0.335, -0.2854, -0.2625, -0.2036, -0.2356, -0.227, -0.222, -0.1473, -0.1624, -0.1898, -0.1747, -0.1362, -0.1362, -0.2112, -0.2145, -0.2306, -0.2492, -0.2734, -0.2225, -0.2021, -0.246, -0.3232, -0.2996, -0.2854, -0.3454, -0.4131, -0.316, -0.2621, -0.2708, -0.296, -0.2871, -0.2213, -0.2213, -0.2252, -0.1912, -0.1451, -0.2221, -0.2007, -0.185, -0.1569, -0.1668, -0.2755, -0.277, -0.3104, -0.2232, -0.2401, -0.2903, -0.2457, -0.2339, -0.1102, -0.1417, -0.1026, 0.0316, -0.0758, -0.0581, -0.0346, -0.0655, -0.0931, -0.0871, -0.0856, -0.1581, -0.199]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1973576903828308395", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-02T02:32:55+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "these things with $NBIS $CIFR are more surprise events that positively impact forward revenue, and sometimes market underprices the event even after a stock price rises", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Market underprices positive surprise events for NBIS and CIFR; IREN expected to rise on anticipated mag7 contract.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Sometimes, buy the rumor sell the news usually applies to frontrunning eg. ratecut. And sometimes frontrunning usually outpaces what happens after an event.\n\nBut these things with $NBIS $CIFR are more surprise events that positively impact forward revenue, and sometimes market underprices the event even after a stock price rises or in the case with $IREN, it goes up as people are expecting a mag7 contract soon.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Isn't it buy on the 'rumour sell on news' concept ? Genuine question 🙏 following from India", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "sowmya24k", "ret_m1d": -0.08761766845627339, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08761766845627339, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0864671900441849, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08223603430409199, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011504784120884848, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005381634152181403, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0644460074298201, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0644460074298201, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06446077479204171, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06947816259763362, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4767362221612679e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0050321551678135235, "ret_p1w": 0.3026791618024789, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.3026791618024789, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.29978017266969825, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2885611946793829, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028989891327806383, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014117967123095987, "ret_p1m": 0.3504706047683024, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3504706047683024, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3312840406097546, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2997298494124674, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019186564158547803, "bench_c_p1m": 0.050740755355835, "ret_p3m": 0.05648078995444661, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05648078995444661, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.02686397365281956, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03865468825884255, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029616816301627047, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017826101695604057, "ret_p6m": -0.00470677277933218, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.00470677277933218, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.04239194043308181, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08476177213368996, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04709871321241399, "bench_c_p6m": -0.08946854491302214, "price_path": [-0.5807, -0.5634, -0.5467, -0.5482, -0.5749, -0.5634, -0.5677, -0.546, -0.5351, -0.5395, -0.5474, -0.4975, -0.5163, -0.5185, -0.5315, -0.5539, -0.5887, -0.6054, -0.6046, -0.643, -0.6242, -0.6372, -0.6227, -0.6474, -0.656, -0.6553, -0.6582, -0.6452, -0.6148, -0.6227, -0.5619, -0.5829, -0.5692, -0.5728, -0.538, -0.5192, -0.4844, -0.4938, -0.4917, -0.4468, -0.4468, -0.3975, -0.4127, -0.4642, -0.4555, -0.441, -0.3324, -0.2578, -0.2781, -0.2143, -0.2143, -0.1665, -0.1035, -0.1419, -0.1108, 0.0109, 0.0246, 0.0239, -0.1557, -0.1694, -0.084, -0.0883, -0.0876, 0.0, 0.0644, 0.1108, 0.1405, 0.2744, 0.3027, 0.2288, 0.4728, 0.5127, 0.5228, 0.3555, 0.3584, 0.4417, 0.3088, 0.1665, 0.2495, 0.496, 0.4873, 0.4453, 0.4185, 0.3809, 0.3505, 0.6481, 0.63, 0.7893, 0.572, 0.4982, 0.4229, 0.3519, 0.2585, 0.0811, 0.0398, 0.0391, 0.0558, 0.0587, 0.0543, 0.0246, 0.21, 0.2686, 0.3867, 0.3867, 0.4736, 0.4258, 0.2773, 0.349, 0.4359, 0.3961, 0.4106, 0.4164, 0.3382, 0.3671, 0.2346, 0.0673, 0.0854, 0.042, 0.097, 0.1738, 0.1832, 0.1521, 0.1745, 0.1745, 0.0999, 0.092, 0.0565, 0.0688, 0.0688, 0.1731, 0.315, 0.2701, 0.1644, 0.1984, 0.2042, 0.2802, 0.3215, 0.3128, 0.2686, 0.3613, 0.3613, 0.2976, 0.2831, 0.2592, 0.2723, 0.1941, 0.3577, 0.3736, 0.2817, 0.1557, 0.1448, 0.1774, 0.0319, -0.0804, 0.0666, 0.2136, 0.2382, 0.1789, 0.1658, 0.189, 0.189, 0.1325, 0.1166, 0.1441, 0.0608, 0.1021, 0.2397, 0.2028, 0.1933, 0.1296, 0.1412, 0.0652, 0.1615, 0.097, -0.0138, 0.0362, 0.0109, 0.0217, -0.0072, 0.0196, 0.0963, 0.0927, 0.0623, 0.0601, 0.0145, 0.0782, 0.0775, 0.1499, 0.0391, -0.0047]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1973576903828308395", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-02T02:32:55+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "in the case with $IREN, it goes up as people are expecting a mag7 contract soon", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Market underprices positive surprise events for NBIS and CIFR; IREN expected to rise on anticipated mag7 contract.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Sometimes, buy the rumor sell the news usually applies to frontrunning eg. ratecut. And sometimes frontrunning usually outpaces what happens after an event.\n\nBut these things with $NBIS $CIFR are more surprise events that positively impact forward revenue, and sometimes market underprices the event even after a stock price rises or in the case with $IREN, it goes up as people are expecting a mag7 contract soon.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Isn't it buy on the 'rumour sell on news' concept ? Genuine question 🙏 following from India", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "sowmya24k", "ret_m1d": 0.001276081937619633, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.001276081937619633, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.002426560349708118, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0005263740316090448, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011504784120884848, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0007497079060105882, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07316032737598555, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07316032737598555, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07317509473820716, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06622493423911258, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4767362221612679e-05, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006935393136872969, "ret_p1w": 0.35793274888364124, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.35793274888364124, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.3550337597508606, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.3584950839046287, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028989891327806383, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0005623350209874589, "ret_p1m": 0.29200339022900423, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.29200339022900423, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.27281682607045643, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.31037271242670494, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019186564158547803, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01836932219770071, "ret_p3m": -0.185453022879827, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.185453022879827, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.21506983918145406, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.22336970757698693, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029616816301627047, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03791668469715992, "ret_p6m": -0.25372182452214265, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.25372182452214265, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.20662311130972866, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.15763408093017994, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04709871321241399, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0960877435919627, "price_path": [-0.6395, -0.6408, -0.6393, -0.6378, -0.6548, -0.6325, -0.641, -0.6319, -0.6161, -0.6185, -0.614, -0.6046, -0.5961, -0.6142, -0.6231, -0.6474, -0.6642, -0.6567, -0.6574, -0.6725, -0.6495, -0.6501, -0.6104, -0.6051, -0.6076, -0.6178, -0.6208, -0.6229, -0.5942, -0.5812, -0.5597, -0.6017, -0.5798, -0.5834, -0.5442, -0.5083, -0.5111, -0.5246, -0.51, -0.4368, -0.4368, -0.3809, -0.4, -0.4443, -0.4439, -0.443, -0.3579, -0.2848, -0.3014, -0.2778, -0.2101, -0.2248, -0.194, -0.2276, -0.1782, -0.1089, -0.1117, 0.0026, -0.0155, -0.1097, -0.0232, -0.0019, 0.0013, 0.0, 0.0732, 0.2282, 0.3118, 0.278, 0.3579, 0.2712, 0.3641, 0.4794, 0.4458, 0.315, 0.2914, 0.2595, 0.1739, 0.1023, 0.188, 0.3377, 0.3822, 0.3275, 0.285, 0.2382, 0.292, 0.4409, 0.4171, 0.6251, 0.4241, 0.3267, 0.2797, 0.2203, 0.1846, 0.0347, -0.0138, 0.0083, 0.0389, -0.0253, -0.0755, -0.1012, 0.0313, 0.0096, 0.0304, 0.0304, 0.0168, 0.0313, -0.1255, -0.0651, -0.0121, -0.0491, -0.0145, -0.0038, -0.0659, -0.0655, -0.1465, -0.2454, -0.2218, -0.2816, -0.2386, -0.151, -0.1059, -0.1053, -0.1072, -0.1072, -0.1429, -0.1618, -0.1855, -0.1967, -0.1967, -0.0919, 0.0259, -0.0236, -0.0722, -0.0285, -0.0211, 0.0704, 0.127, 0.1246, 0.1036, 0.2297, 0.2297, 0.154, 0.1374, 0.1114, 0.2054, 0.1136, 0.2758, 0.3386, 0.2726, 0.1429, 0.1289, 0.1567, -0.0442, -0.1538, -0.1104, -0.0185, -0.087, -0.0925, -0.1487, -0.1021, -0.1021, -0.1287, -0.1051, -0.0793, -0.1497, -0.0991, -0.0334, -0.0636, -0.0591, -0.1291, -0.1197, -0.1738, -0.0676, -0.1466, -0.2195, -0.174, -0.1893, -0.1072, -0.1202, -0.1157, -0.0442, -0.0863, -0.1023, -0.114, -0.1219, -0.1034, -0.1255, -0.1189, -0.2035, -0.2537]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972781933328576602", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-29T21:54:00+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have full conviction in $NBIS", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Author has full conviction in NBIS as a long-term hypergrowth holding.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you wanted to chase more gains, I'd sell your Mag7 for hypergrowth stocks like $NBIS.  \n\nIf you have a family to take care of and can't take any risk, there's nothing bad about holding SPY/QQQ/Mag7 and just compounding more slowly over time.   Answer depends on your risk tolerance. \n\nI have full conviction in $NBIS but there's always the <1% black swan scenario you need to consider.   \n\nThere could always be a 80% drawdown in something like $HOOD but something like Mag7 would have a less drawdown.\n\nAlso nobody said you had to full port! You can always allocate like 25% of your port to a stock", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thanks for the great analysis, very helpful, keep it up! \n\nDo you think i should sell my GOOGL, MSFT and NVDA to buy more NBIS? I would be a long term holder but bit scared to put things in one basket even though i really like NBIS", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "rknfshgdt", "ret_m1d": -0.022863402690541768, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.022863402690541768, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.020060912274418974, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01965792073995065, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003205481950591116, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01859912356794835, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01859912356794835, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014832256808836375, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0201175336178111, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0015184100498627506, "ret_p1w": 0.13355108925491654, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.13355108925491654, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12160260787250388, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15075906719363552, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017207977938718977, "ret_p1m": 0.10533478934648022, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10533478934648022, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0701069826039109, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12195232126657751, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016617531920097295, "ret_p3m": -0.17319909050862348, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17319909050862348, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2165030751207767, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17254361511278626, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0006554753958372128, "ret_p6m": 0.042551282793175105, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.042551282793175105, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.052768289205117, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09910514292146178, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.05655386012828667, "price_path": [-0.5466, -0.5441, -0.5441, -0.566, -0.5727, -0.5822, -0.5788, -0.5981, -0.5287, -0.5143, -0.5163, -0.5129, -0.521, -0.5249, -0.5372, -0.5293, -0.5268, -0.5339, -0.5214, -0.5427, -0.5347, -0.5062, -0.5282, -0.5085, -0.4995, -0.5002, -0.4075, -0.376, -0.3627, -0.3165, -0.3592, -0.3789, -0.3502, -0.3419, -0.3904, -0.3879, -0.3996, -0.3742, -0.3647, -0.3606, -0.364, -0.3464, -0.3801, -0.3801, -0.4037, -0.4044, -0.4111, -0.406, -0.4188, -0.1316, -0.1527, -0.1908, -0.1797, -0.1747, -0.1886, -0.1464, -0.1461, -0.099, -0.0328, -0.022, 0.0273, -0.0207, -0.0229, 0.0, 0.0186, 0.0489, 0.142, 0.1611, 0.1336, 0.0679, 0.1069, 0.2034, 0.1756, 0.229, 0.1627, 0.1416, 0.1163, 0.0292, -0.0111, -0.0539, -0.1052, -0.0368, 0.0639, 0.138, 0.1053, 0.135, 0.1267, 0.1869, 0.093, 0.0029, 0.0615, -0.0071, 0.0096, -0.0024, -0.0726, -0.1439, -0.1959, -0.2421, -0.2199, -0.1786, -0.1375, -0.2321, -0.2446, -0.1662, -0.1936, -0.1409, -0.1409, -0.1393, -0.0914, -0.1249, -0.1025, -0.0673, -0.1105, -0.0897, -0.1253, -0.1509, -0.1446, -0.2044, -0.2638, -0.2656, -0.3155, -0.2915, -0.1884, -0.1541, -0.1832, -0.1732, -0.1732, -0.2053, -0.2194, -0.2273, -0.2406, -0.2406, -0.1839, -0.1578, -0.0905, -0.1271, -0.1172, -0.1115, -0.0262, -0.0435, -0.0748, -0.0575, -0.0135, -0.0135, -0.0992, -0.103, -0.1213, -0.1426, -0.1702, -0.112, -0.0888, -0.1389, -0.2271, -0.2001, -0.1839, -0.2525, -0.3298, -0.2188, -0.1573, -0.1672, -0.1961, -0.1859, -0.1108, -0.1108, -0.1152, -0.0764, -0.0237, -0.1116, -0.0872, -0.0693, -0.0372, -0.0484, -0.1727, -0.1743, -0.2125, -0.1129, -0.1322, -0.1895, -0.1386, -0.1251, 0.0161, -0.0198, 0.0248, 0.1781, 0.0554, 0.0757, 0.1025, 0.0671, 0.0357, 0.0426]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1983205631407563225", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-28T16:14:03+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I personally chose $NBIS", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS (personal pick), WULF and IREN as selective miner/neocloud winners on HPC execution thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Again this is not a bear post on miners like $BITF or $CLSK. I am omega bullish thematically on Neoclouds and bullish on certain miners like $WULF or $IREN. Just because I like them doesn't mean I should own them all.\n\nThis is a nuanced post on execution risk and selectivity as not every single miner/company that does HPC will succeed. \n\nI'm specifically talking about HPC segments when it comes to margins at scale, not BTC mining or reserves (which I am also super bullish on if you know my history). \n\nI'm also not arguing for or against any specific miner aside from explaining why I personally chose $NBIS. I'm sure there will be other winners like $WULF in the space too.\n\nI'm simply highlighting execution risk and pointing out that the lens people are looking at the companies (MW buildout instead of considering margins) might be wrong.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Yeah… definitely a bear take on #Miners. Your thesis completely overlooks the fact that names like $CIFR, $IREN, $BITF, and $CLSK are actively mining and holding massive $BTC reserves — a critical long-term advantage.  Sure, contracts and short-term profitability matter, but", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PentagonSafety", "ret_m1d": 0.029549359107072126, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.029549359107072126, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03219832241986831, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0245741950790046, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002648963312796182, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004975164028067525, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02684065167790939, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02684065167790939, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.026360264638013664, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.029328167827136653, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004803870398957244, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0024875161492272646, "ret_p1w": -0.0926701202154091, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0926701202154091, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07546642127987246, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06033181749219574, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017203698935536638, "bench_c_p1w": -0.032338302723213364, "ret_p1m": -0.22276942445822412, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.22276942445822412, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.21202803457174269, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.20458448069194934, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010741389886481434, "bench_c_p1m": -0.018184943766274775, "ret_p3m": -0.22432899466712652, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22432899466712652, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23045153955164333, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23083650341973594, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006122544884516801, "bench_c_p3m": 0.006507508752609414, "ret_p6m": 0.28162190792849584, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.28162190792849584, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.24057798588324242, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2639601283207009, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04104392204525342, "bench_c_p6m": 0.017661779607794914, "price_path": [-0.5532, -0.5732, -0.5554, -0.5472, -0.5478, -0.4639, -0.4354, -0.4235, -0.3817, -0.4203, -0.4381, -0.4121, -0.4046, -0.4485, -0.4462, -0.4568, -0.4338, -0.4253, -0.4215, -0.4246, -0.4087, -0.4392, -0.4392, -0.4606, -0.4611, -0.4672, -0.4626, -0.4742, -0.2143, -0.2334, -0.2679, -0.2579, -0.2534, -0.2659, -0.2278, -0.2274, -0.1848, -0.125, -0.1152, -0.0706, -0.114, -0.116, -0.0953, -0.0785, -0.0511, 0.0332, 0.0505, 0.0255, -0.0339, 0.0014, 0.0887, 0.0636, 0.1119, 0.0519, 0.0328, 0.0099, -0.0689, -0.1053, -0.1441, -0.1905, -0.1286, -0.0375, 0.0295, 0.0, 0.0268, 0.0193, 0.0738, -0.0112, -0.0927, -0.0396, -0.1017, -0.0866, -0.0975, -0.161, -0.2255, -0.2725, -0.3143, -0.2943, -0.2568, -0.2197, -0.3053, -0.3166, -0.2457, -0.2705, -0.2228, -0.2228, -0.2213, -0.178, -0.2083, -0.188, -0.1562, -0.1953, -0.1765, -0.2087, -0.2318, -0.2261, -0.2802, -0.334, -0.3355, -0.3807, -0.359, -0.2657, -0.2348, -0.261, -0.252, -0.252, -0.281, -0.2938, -0.3009, -0.3129, -0.3129, -0.2617, -0.238, -0.1772, -0.2103, -0.2013, -0.1962, -0.119, -0.1346, -0.1629, -0.1473, -0.1075, -0.1075, -0.185, -0.1885, -0.205, -0.2243, -0.2493, -0.1967, -0.1757, -0.221, -0.3007, -0.2764, -0.2617, -0.3237, -0.3937, -0.2933, -0.2376, -0.2466, -0.2727, -0.2635, -0.1955, -0.1955, -0.1995, -0.1644, -0.1167, -0.1963, -0.1742, -0.158, -0.129, -0.1391, -0.2515, -0.253, -0.2875, -0.1974, -0.2149, -0.2668, -0.2207, -0.2085, -0.0807, -0.1132, -0.0729, 0.0658, -0.0451, -0.0268, -0.0025, -0.0346, -0.063, -0.0568, -0.0553, -0.1302, -0.1725, -0.2427, -0.1483, -0.1632, -0.1068, -0.1068, -0.0763, -0.0364, 0.026, 0.119, 0.1899, 0.2687, 0.3292, 0.3689, 0.3571, 0.2898, 0.3064, 0.285, 0.2816]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1983205631407563225", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-28T16:14:03+00:00", "symbol": "WULF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I am omega bullish thematically on Neoclouds and bullish on certain miners like $WULF", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS (personal pick), WULF and IREN as selective miner/neocloud winners on HPC execution thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["WULF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Again this is not a bear post on miners like $BITF or $CLSK. I am omega bullish thematically on Neoclouds and bullish on certain miners like $WULF or $IREN. Just because I like them doesn't mean I should own them all.\n\nThis is a nuanced post on execution risk and selectivity as not every single miner/company that does HPC will succeed. \n\nI'm specifically talking about HPC segments when it comes to margins at scale, not BTC mining or reserves (which I am also super bullish on if you know my history). \n\nI'm also not arguing for or against any specific miner aside from explaining why I personally chose $NBIS. I'm sure there will be other winners like $WULF in the space too.\n\nI'm simply highlighting execution risk and pointing out that the lens people are looking at the companies (MW buildout instead of considering margins) might be wrong.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Yeah… definitely a bear take on #Miners. Your thesis completely overlooks the fact that names like $CIFR, $IREN, $BITF, and $CLSK are actively mining and holding massive $BTC reserves — a critical long-term advantage.  Sure, contracts and short-term profitability matter, but", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PentagonSafety", "ret_m1d": -0.14429104752870014, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.14429104752870014, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.14164208421590396, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.14164208421590396, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002648963312796182, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002648963312796182, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09033874644234297, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09033874644234297, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.09081913348223869, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.09081913348223869, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004803870398957244, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0004803870398957244, "ret_p1w": -0.058343750061698674, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.058343750061698674, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.041140051126162036, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.041140051126162036, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017203698935536638, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017203698935536638, "ret_p1m": -0.06900874885524677, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06900874885524677, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05826735896876534, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05826735896876534, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010741389886481434, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010741389886481434, "ret_p3m": -0.11417815199092085, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11417815199092085, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12030069687543765, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12030069687543765, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006122544884516801, "bench_c_p3m": 0.006122544884516801, "ret_p6m": 0.28920952183402715, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.28920952183402715, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.24816559978877373, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.24816559978877373, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04104392204525342, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04104392204525342, "price_path": [-0.6763, -0.7014, -0.6932, -0.6826, -0.6769, -0.6901, -0.6844, -0.6612, -0.6713, -0.6575, -0.4536, -0.4373, -0.4115, -0.4492, -0.4178, -0.4235, -0.4253, -0.4398, -0.4203, -0.4272, -0.4078, -0.4072, -0.4072, -0.3959, -0.4366, -0.4435, -0.4272, -0.4228, -0.3538, -0.3381, -0.3325, -0.325, -0.3419, -0.3137, -0.288, -0.2992, -0.3112, -0.2792, -0.2949, -0.2848, -0.3118, -0.3206, -0.2723, -0.2836, -0.2804, -0.2735, -0.2522, -0.2491, -0.2409, -0.2284, -0.1474, -0.1524, -0.1217, -0.0301, -0.0295, -0.1305, -0.1261, -0.1311, -0.1757, -0.2083, -0.192, -0.1399, -0.1443, 0.0, -0.0903, -0.0703, -0.0276, 0.01, -0.0583, -0.0364, -0.1041, -0.1255, -0.1029, -0.224, -0.207, -0.2673, -0.3105, -0.3068, -0.2472, -0.2327, -0.2748, -0.2917, -0.2077, -0.1255, -0.069, -0.069, -0.027, -0.0402, -0.1079, -0.0947, -0.0527, -0.0903, -0.0615, -0.022, -0.0113, -0.0069, -0.101, -0.2164, -0.1851, -0.2742, -0.2604, -0.2146, -0.2177, -0.2208, -0.2277, -0.2277, -0.2629, -0.2836, -0.3005, -0.2792, -0.2792, -0.2008, -0.1455, -0.1731, -0.2164, -0.1945, -0.1782, -0.1336, -0.1129, -0.1085, -0.1324, -0.1311, -0.1311, -0.1637, -0.1769, -0.1913, -0.1142, -0.1349, -0.0395, -0.0521, -0.0878, -0.1612, -0.1568, -0.0715, -0.1292, -0.2522, -0.1035, 0.0445, 0.0433, 0.0056, -0.0019, 0.0201, 0.0201, 0.0151, -0.0351, -0.0295, -0.0583, -0.0163, 0.1016, 0.1242, 0.1217, 0.0176, 0.005, -0.0753, -0.0358, -0.0445, -0.1374, -0.1311, -0.0997, -0.0452, -0.0797, -0.0797, 0.0295, 0.0063, -0.0402, -0.0125, -0.0527, 0.0157, 0.0176, 0.0577, -0.037, -0.0659, -0.1405, -0.0947, -0.0916, -0.0665, -0.0665, -0.0245, 0.0395, 0.1324, 0.1939, 0.1838, 0.2202, 0.3143, 0.234, 0.2114, 0.2949, 0.2861, 0.2403, 0.2892]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1983205631407563225", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-28T16:14:03+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "bullish on certain miners like $WULF or $IREN", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS (personal pick), WULF and IREN as selective miner/neocloud winners on HPC execution thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Again this is not a bear post on miners like $BITF or $CLSK. I am omega bullish thematically on Neoclouds and bullish on certain miners like $WULF or $IREN. Just because I like them doesn't mean I should own them all.\n\nThis is a nuanced post on execution risk and selectivity as not every single miner/company that does HPC will succeed. \n\nI'm specifically talking about HPC segments when it comes to margins at scale, not BTC mining or reserves (which I am also super bullish on if you know my history). \n\nI'm also not arguing for or against any specific miner aside from explaining why I personally chose $NBIS. I'm sure there will be other winners like $WULF in the space too.\n\nI'm simply highlighting execution risk and pointing out that the lens people are looking at the companies (MW buildout instead of considering margins) might be wrong.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Yeah… definitely a bear take on #Miners. Your thesis completely overlooks the fact that names like $CIFR, $IREN, $BITF, and $CLSK are actively mining and holding massive $BTC reserves — a critical long-term advantage.  Sure, contracts and short-term profitability matter, but", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PentagonSafety", "ret_m1d": 0.04117269737606022, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04117269737606022, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0438216606888564, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0347564151049502, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002648963312796182, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006416282271110019, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03204101343589949, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03204101343589949, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.032521400475795215, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.015056642867497527, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004803870398957244, "bench_c_p1d": -0.016984370568401963, "ret_p1w": 0.06744631861535644, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06744631861535644, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08465001755089308, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07820319798033304, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017203698935536638, "bench_c_p1w": -0.010756879364976601, "ret_p1m": -0.2238064372926576, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2238064372926576, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.21306504740617616, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.22305156346971544, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010741389886481434, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0007548738229421481, "ret_p3m": -0.09195767433753699, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09195767433753699, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09808021922205379, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09696768099024378, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006122544884516801, "bench_c_p3m": 0.005010006652706789, "ret_p6m": -0.22476768969655248, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.22476768969655248, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2658116117418059, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.21857389043751385, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04104392204525342, "bench_c_p6m": -0.006193799259038624, "price_path": [-0.7419, -0.7533, -0.736, -0.7365, -0.7065, -0.7025, -0.7044, -0.7121, -0.7144, -0.716, -0.6943, -0.6846, -0.6683, -0.6999, -0.6834, -0.6862, -0.6567, -0.6296, -0.6317, -0.6419, -0.6309, -0.5758, -0.5758, -0.5336, -0.5481, -0.5814, -0.5811, -0.5804, -0.5163, -0.4612, -0.4737, -0.4559, -0.405, -0.4161, -0.3928, -0.4181, -0.381, -0.3287, -0.3308, -0.2448, -0.2584, -0.3294, -0.2642, -0.2482, -0.2458, -0.2467, -0.1916, -0.0748, -0.0119, -0.0373, 0.0229, -0.0425, 0.0276, 0.1144, 0.0891, -0.0095, -0.0272, -0.0513, -0.1157, -0.1697, -0.1051, 0.0077, 0.0412, 0.0, -0.032, -0.0673, -0.0268, 0.0854, 0.0674, 0.2241, 0.0727, -0.0006, -0.036, -0.0807, -0.1077, -0.2206, -0.2571, -0.2405, -0.2174, -0.2658, -0.3036, -0.323, -0.2232, -0.2395, -0.2238, -0.2238, -0.2341, -0.2232, -0.3412, -0.2957, -0.2558, -0.2837, -0.2576, -0.2496, -0.2964, -0.2961, -0.3571, -0.4316, -0.4138, -0.4588, -0.4265, -0.3605, -0.3265, -0.326, -0.3275, -0.3275, -0.3544, -0.3686, -0.3864, -0.3949, -0.3949, -0.3159, -0.2272, -0.2645, -0.3011, -0.2682, -0.2626, -0.1937, -0.1511, -0.1528, -0.1687, -0.0737, -0.0737, -0.1307, -0.1432, -0.1628, -0.092, -0.1612, -0.0389, 0.0083, -0.0413, -0.1391, -0.1496, -0.1286, -0.28, -0.3625, -0.3299, -0.2607, -0.3122, -0.3164, -0.3587, -0.3236, -0.3236, -0.3436, -0.3259, -0.3065, -0.3595, -0.3214, -0.2719, -0.2946, -0.2913, -0.344, -0.3369, -0.3776, -0.2977, -0.3572, -0.412, -0.3778, -0.3893, -0.3275, -0.3372, -0.3339, -0.28, -0.3118, -0.3238, -0.3326, -0.3385, -0.3246, -0.3412, -0.3363, -0.4, -0.4378, -0.4934, -0.4508, -0.4539, -0.443, -0.443, -0.4372, -0.4274, -0.41, -0.4063, -0.3701, -0.31, -0.2411, -0.2179, -0.2358, -0.2291, -0.2195, -0.2764, -0.2248]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1971233332651491532", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-25T15:20:24+00:00", "symbol": "LULU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LULU was undervalued and benefits from end of year seasonality. Weightings change all the time, if it goes up 20% I'd sell it for something else.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long LULU: undervalued with end-of-year seasonality tailwind; would sell on 20% gain.", "resolved_tickers": ["LULU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@_MAGA_Patriot Yeah $LULU was undervalued and benefits from end of year seasonality.\n\nWeightings change all the time, if it goes up 20% I'd sell it for something else.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $lulu 🤣", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "_MAGA_Patriot", "ret_m1d": 0.04191620803511298, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04191620803511298, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.037281327537104, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.037281327537104, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004634880498008975, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004634880498008975, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.024940460914620877, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.024940460914620877, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.019211316547626645, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.019211316547626645, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005729144366994232, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005729144366994232, "ret_p1w": 0.03598629521007424, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03598629521007424, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.019012006166770234, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.019012006166770234, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016974289043304003, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016974289043304003, "ret_p1m": 0.035811893836579234, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.035811893836579234, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.006634757692374871, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.006634757692374871, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.029177136144204363, "bench_c_p1m": 0.029177136144204363, "ret_p3m": 0.23643973878116142, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.23643973878116142, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.18789802191836968, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.18789802191836968, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04854171686279174, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04854171686279174, "ret_p6m": -0.05342705352072996, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.05342705352072996, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.044632832308540094, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.044632832308540094, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.008794221212189868, "bench_c_p6m": -0.008794221212189868, "price_path": [0.3812, 0.425, 0.4319, 0.4399, 0.4399, 0.3811, 0.3868, 0.3714, 0.3867, 0.375, 0.3307, 0.2917, 0.3145, 0.3564, 0.3358, 0.2977, 0.3018, 0.3024, 0.2714, 0.2757, 0.2592, 0.2443, 0.2003, 0.1658, 0.1239, 0.1421, 0.1341, 0.1424, 0.1112, 0.1013, 0.0839, 0.1216, 0.1656, 0.1348, 0.1538, 0.1838, 0.1491, 0.1518, 0.1521, 0.2068, 0.1769, 0.1774, 0.1951, 0.1923, 0.1755, 0.1755, 0.1639, 0.1542, 0.1981, -0.0245, -0.0227, -0.0367, -0.0471, -0.0362, -0.0706, -0.0699, -0.0562, -0.0496, -0.0131, -0.0139, 0.0081, 0.0077, 0.0419, 0.0, 0.0249, 0.0413, 0.0344, 0.0323, 0.036, 0.0208, 0.0123, 0.0067, 0.0163, 0.0085, -0.0262, -0.0126, -0.0167, -0.0285, -0.043, -0.0267, 0.0024, 0.0545, 0.0365, 0.041, 0.0358, 0.0545, 0.0463, -0.0099, -0.0232, -0.0085, -0.038, -0.066, -0.0257, -0.0492, -0.0342, -0.0097, -0.0128, -0.0065, -0.0137, -0.0077, -0.0456, -0.0467, -0.0346, -0.0426, -0.0223, -0.0136, 0.032, 0.0577, 0.0577, 0.0708, 0.0605, 0.0604, 0.0598, 0.0674, 0.1046, 0.0641, 0.0597, 0.0908, 0.0872, 0.1916, 0.1993, 0.2019, 0.2085, 0.2506, 0.2177, 0.2346, 0.2364, 0.2232, 0.2232, 0.2149, 0.2356, 0.2248, 0.2081, 0.2081, 0.2256, 0.2348, 0.255, 0.2309, 0.2335, 0.1854, 0.2153, 0.2319, 0.181, 0.1918, 0.1736, 0.1736, 0.0974, 0.1037, 0.1317, 0.1108, 0.1208, 0.0836, 0.0485, 0.0031, 0.0145, 0.0411, -0.0026, 0.0348, -0.0112, 0.0049, 0.0213, 0.0501, 0.0224, -0.0144, 0.0256, 0.0256, 0.0332, 0.0588, 0.0632, 0.0889, 0.0355, 0.0435, 0.0613, 0.0819, 0.0765, 0.0242, 0.0131, 0.007, 0.0068, -0.0109, -0.0131, -0.0324, -0.0536, -0.0803, -0.0827, -0.0703, -0.0741, -0.0385, -0.0374, -0.0534]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1971233757878489515", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-25T15:22:06+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I just liked $TSM over $NVDA", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefers TSM over NVDA; sees higher upside in NBIS given smaller market cap.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@_visionarius I just liked $TSM over $NVDA. Upside potential for $NBIS is a lot higher given marketcap.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit No NVDA? My portfolio is similar, a bit smaller but right now wondering if I should sell it for more NBIS", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "_visionarius", "ret_m1d": 0.014638885456635942, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.014638885456635942, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010004004958626966, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.010004004958626966, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004634880498008975, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004634880498008975, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011928083443011328, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011928083443011328, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01765722781000556, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01765722781000556, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005729144366994232, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005729144366994232, "ret_p1w": 0.041386537518320665, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.041386537518320665, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.024412248475016662, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.024412248475016662, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016974289043304003, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016974289043304003, "ret_p1m": 0.06614623113114315, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06614623113114315, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03696909498693879, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03696909498693879, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.029177136144204363, "bench_c_p1m": 0.029177136144204363, "ret_p3m": 0.07623686996868373, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07623686996868373, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.02769515310589199, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.02769515310589199, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04854171686279174, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04854171686279174, "ret_p6m": 0.19662786877499916, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.19662786877499916, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.20542208998718903, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.20542208998718903, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.008794221212189868, "bench_c_p6m": -0.008794221212189868, "price_path": [-0.1839, -0.1904, -0.1583, -0.154, -0.154, -0.1743, -0.179, -0.1646, -0.1721, -0.1698, -0.1761, -0.1462, -0.144, -0.1151, -0.1338, -0.1394, -0.1547, -0.134, -0.1295, -0.1151, -0.1253, -0.1304, -0.1248, -0.1294, -0.1525, -0.1388, -0.1624, -0.1663, -0.1258, -0.1286, -0.1277, -0.1198, -0.13, -0.1316, -0.1393, -0.1302, -0.1615, -0.1763, -0.1809, -0.1605, -0.1511, -0.1398, -0.1378, -0.1415, -0.1681, -0.1681, -0.1771, -0.1663, -0.1525, -0.123, -0.1093, -0.0959, -0.0616, -0.0671, -0.0656, -0.0582, -0.0528, -0.0501, -0.029, -0.0426, -0.0146, 0.0219, 0.0146, 0.0, -0.0119, -0.0124, 0.0095, 0.0427, 0.0414, 0.0561, 0.093, 0.0628, 0.1007, 0.0839, 0.0145, 0.0948, 0.0697, 0.1014, 0.0838, 0.0666, 0.0761, 0.0645, 0.0442, 0.0509, 0.0661, 0.078, 0.0899, 0.1028, 0.096, 0.0859, 0.1019, 0.0629, 0.0614, 0.0455, 0.0356, 0.0673, 0.0524, 0.0505, 0.02, 0.0295, 0.0193, 0.0045, 0.0206, 0.003, -0.0058, 0.0288, 0.029, 0.0481, 0.0481, 0.0537, 0.0398, 0.0558, 0.0679, 0.0588, 0.0653, 0.0911, 0.0967, 0.121, 0.1049, 0.0584, 0.0429, 0.0397, 0.0038, 0.0318, 0.0472, 0.0629, 0.0762, 0.0829, 0.0829, 0.0976, 0.0906, 0.0858, 0.1014, 0.1014, 0.1584, 0.1679, 0.1867, 0.155, 0.1526, 0.1729, 0.2024, 0.2004, 0.1855, 0.2382, 0.241, 0.241, 0.1857, 0.182, 0.1865, 0.2137, 0.2058, 0.2262, 0.2406, 0.2306, 0.198, 0.2372, 0.2169, 0.1806, 0.1987, 0.2643, 0.2881, 0.3117, 0.3558, 0.3341, 0.3278, 0.3278, 0.32, 0.3129, 0.3062, 0.3429, 0.3411, 0.3981, 0.4053, 0.3657, 0.3576, 0.3378, 0.2799, 0.2955, 0.2825, 0.2282, 0.2638, 0.258, 0.285, 0.2203, 0.2261, 0.2331, 0.2575, 0.2342, 0.2313, 0.1966]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1971233757878489515", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-25T15:22:06+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Upside potential for $NBIS is a lot higher given marketcap", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefers TSM over NVDA; sees higher upside in NBIS given smaller market cap.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@_visionarius I just liked $TSM over $NVDA. Upside potential for $NBIS is a lot higher given marketcap.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit No NVDA? My portfolio is similar, a bit smaller but right now wondering if I should sell it for more NBIS", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "_visionarius", "ret_m1d": 0.0490087159151118, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0490087159151118, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.044373835417102825, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04559074806214469, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004634880498008975, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0034179678529671076, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.002223508316987033, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.002223508316987033, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007952652683981265, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011964592036006971, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005729144366994232, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009741083719019938, "ret_p1w": 0.16611080136772127, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16611080136772127, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14913651232441727, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.17106683507106002, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016974289043304003, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004956033703338747, "ret_p1m": 0.08634426055236988, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08634426055236988, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.057167124408165515, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09899055789602085, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.029177136144204363, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01264629734365097, "ret_p3m": -0.1659255443488764, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1659255443488764, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.21446726121166815, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17224905388420242, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04854171686279174, "bench_c_p3m": 0.006323509535326011, "ret_p6m": 0.08967945234604224, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.08967945234604224, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.09847367355823211, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.12758993457777956, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.008794221212189868, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03791048223173732, "price_path": [-0.4874, -0.5339, -0.5371, -0.5345, -0.5345, -0.5568, -0.5636, -0.5734, -0.5699, -0.5896, -0.5187, -0.5041, -0.5061, -0.5026, -0.5109, -0.5148, -0.5274, -0.5194, -0.5168, -0.5241, -0.5113, -0.5331, -0.5248, -0.4957, -0.5183, -0.4981, -0.4889, -0.4896, -0.3949, -0.3628, -0.3493, -0.3021, -0.3457, -0.3658, -0.3365, -0.328, -0.3775, -0.3749, -0.3869, -0.3609, -0.3513, -0.347, -0.3506, -0.3326, -0.3671, -0.3671, -0.3911, -0.3918, -0.3986, -0.3935, -0.4065, -0.1132, -0.1348, -0.1737, -0.1624, -0.1573, -0.1715, -0.1284, -0.128, -0.08, -0.0124, -0.0013, 0.049, 0.0, -0.0022, 0.0211, 0.0401, 0.0711, 0.1661, 0.1857, 0.1575, 0.0904, 0.1303, 0.2288, 0.2005, 0.255, 0.1872, 0.1657, 0.1399, 0.051, 0.0098, -0.0339, -0.0863, -0.0165, 0.0863, 0.162, 0.1287, 0.159, 0.1505, 0.212, 0.1161, 0.0241, 0.0839, 0.0139, 0.0309, 0.0186, -0.053, -0.1258, -0.1789, -0.2261, -0.2034, -0.1612, -0.1192, -0.2159, -0.2286, -0.1486, -0.1766, -0.1228, -0.1228, -0.1211, -0.0722, -0.1064, -0.0836, -0.0476, -0.0917, -0.0705, -0.1068, -0.1329, -0.1266, -0.1876, -0.2483, -0.25, -0.301, -0.2765, -0.1712, -0.1363, -0.1659, -0.1557, -0.1557, -0.1885, -0.2029, -0.211, -0.2245, -0.2245, -0.1667, -0.14, -0.0713, -0.1087, -0.0986, -0.0927, -0.0057, -0.0233, -0.0552, -0.0376, 0.0073, 0.0073, -0.0801, -0.084, -0.1027, -0.1245, -0.1527, -0.0933, -0.0696, -0.1207, -0.2108, -0.1832, -0.1667, -0.2367, -0.3156, -0.2023, -0.1395, -0.1496, -0.1791, -0.1687, -0.092, -0.092, -0.0965, -0.0569, -0.0031, -0.0928, -0.0679, -0.0497, -0.0169, -0.0283, -0.1552, -0.1568, -0.1958, -0.0941, -0.1139, -0.1724, -0.1204, -0.1066, 0.0376, 0.0009, 0.0464, 0.203, 0.0777, 0.0984, 0.1258, 0.0897]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1993335570978967802", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-25T15:06:49+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$GOOGL is dominating every one of them right now", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish GOOGL as the clear leader in autonomous driving (Level 4), dominating all competitors.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "lol $TSLA feels like marketing snake oil currently.\n\nWaymo ( $GOOGL ) -Level 4\nCruise ( $GM ) - Level 4\nAvride - Level 4\nTesla FSD - Level 2\n\n$TSLA still has humans remotely monitoring every drive since it's level 2 right now and it's just snake oil marketing FSD (with disclaimers that you must be at the wheel lol at all times).  If they get it right with just cameras, it has higher scale potential as you mentioned. And I don't really doubt Elon if he can make massive reusable rockets.\n\nThat aside, $GOOGL is dominating every one of them right now. \n\nThink the better question to be asking is if avride + Uber can compete vs $TSLA or $GOOGL, rather than the standalone company.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @Spiralout_one I honestly think Tesla will crush avride. They have a fleet of millions of vehicles. They can literally turn the into Robotaxis very quickly once they reach full autonomy which they are  weeks to months away from doing.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "halldj00", "ret_m1d": -0.015026025351416172, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.015026025351416172, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.005707682165620009, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.003739879548509184, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009318343185796163, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011286145802906988, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0107901444269769, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0107901444269769, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.017693627877603868, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01218987856079301, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006903483450626968, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0013997341338161107, "ret_p1w": -0.023590189929179606, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.023590189929179606, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.033234351853908994, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.031726598037802645, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009644161924729389, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008136408108623039, "ret_p1m": -0.02827277852454757, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02827277852454757, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.054049742093956965, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06477577025808157, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.025776963569409395, "bench_c_p1m": 0.036502991733533996, "ret_p3m": -0.02551930947761938, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.02551930947761938, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04988478589499912, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05069974458560633, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02436547641737974, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025180435107986954, "ret_p6m": 0.2040513022218322, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2040513022218322, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.09968309412850562, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1817631090827061, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10436820809332659, "bench_c_p6m": 0.02228819313912611, "price_path": [-0.3462, -0.3423, -0.3423, -0.3471, -0.2875, -0.2824, -0.2741, -0.2764, -0.2591, -0.2605, -0.2568, -0.2555, -0.2221, -0.2235, -0.2285, -0.2208, -0.2125, -0.2192, -0.2219, -0.2359, -0.2401, -0.2378, -0.2455, -0.2484, -0.2428, -0.2404, -0.2414, -0.2257, -0.2402, -0.2437, -0.2532, -0.2686, -0.2451, -0.2411, -0.2239, -0.2225, -0.2169, -0.2068, -0.2256, -0.2218, -0.2175, -0.1964, -0.1675, -0.173, -0.1511, -0.1297, -0.1306, -0.1228, -0.1419, -0.121, -0.1196, -0.1379, -0.1031, -0.0993, -0.1136, -0.1387, -0.1454, -0.1188, -0.1211, -0.0947, -0.1051, -0.0735, -0.015, 0.0, -0.0108, -0.0108, -0.0101, -0.0264, -0.0236, -0.0118, -0.018, -0.0067, -0.0294, -0.019, -0.0093, -0.0334, -0.0431, -0.0464, -0.0515, -0.082, -0.0643, -0.0497, -0.0416, -0.0275, -0.0283, -0.0283, -0.0301, -0.0299, -0.029, -0.0316, -0.0316, -0.025, -0.0207, -0.0275, -0.0039, 0.0068, 0.0165, 0.0267, 0.0394, 0.039, 0.0296, 0.0209, 0.0209, -0.0038, 0.0159, 0.0226, 0.0145, 0.031, 0.035, 0.0395, 0.0465, 0.0457, 0.0633, 0.051, 0.0304, 0.0248, -0.0011, 0.0034, -0.0144, -0.038, -0.044, -0.0542, -0.0542, -0.0656, -0.0616, -0.063, -0.0255, -0.0363, -0.0381, -0.032, -0.049, -0.0355, -0.0517, -0.0608, -0.0622, -0.0691, -0.0764, -0.0515, -0.0494, -0.0443, -0.0602, -0.0642, -0.054, -0.0374, -0.0474, -0.0491, -0.0681, -0.0648, -0.1008, -0.0993, -0.1303, -0.1507, -0.1533, -0.1097, -0.0793, -0.0843, -0.0843, -0.0712, -0.0543, -0.0176, -0.014, -0.0178, -0.0052, 0.0307, 0.0437, 0.0403, 0.0578, 0.0446, 0.0288, 0.0505, 0.0492, 0.0662, 0.0846, 0.0829, 0.0834, 0.1913, 0.1941, 0.1865, 0.2026, 0.2323, 0.2322, 0.2409, 0.2032, 0.1992, 0.2465, 0.2417, 0.2284, 0.2289, 0.2002, 0.2041]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1959207473812050156", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-23T10:53:56+00:00", "symbol": "UPWK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$UPWK is the safest value play, even over $UNH, $NVO, $GOOGL, and others. A 1.8B software company with ~80% gross margins doing 770m in annual revenue is almost free money.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strong long on UPWK: calls it the safest value play at 1.8B market cap with ~80% gross margins and $770M revenue — 'almost free money.'", "resolved_tickers": ["UPWK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$UPWK is the safest value play, even over $UNH, $NVO, $GOOGL, and others. \n\nMarket makers flushed Upwork call open interest for August 15th, and now it's rallying where it should be above $17.5+.\n\nA 1.8B software company with ~80% gross margins doing 770m in annual revenue is almost free money.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "So for the long term play on Upwork:\n\n$UPWK is trading at a 7.5 P/E with ~$770M in annual revenue, 78% gross margins, and $622M in cash — yet its market cap is only $1.74B.\n\nWho cares about revenue growth when they can just scale operating margins?", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0006707061692943217, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0006707061692943217, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.003749715086628802, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.003749715086628802, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004420421255923124, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004420421255923124, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012072455199053866, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012072455199053866, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00788541884916305, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00788541884916305, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004187036349890816, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004187036349890816, "ret_p1w": 0.03219319254345643, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03219319254345643, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.028177362608623024, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.028177362608623024, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004015829934833404, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004015829934833404, "ret_p1m": 0.3185781387398501, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3185781387398501, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.28343435744641665, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.28343435744641665, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03514378129343343, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03514378129343343, "ret_p3m": 0.15090543413992896, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15090543413992896, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.132431141017876, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.132431141017876, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018474293122052954, "bench_c_p3m": 0.018474293122052954, "ret_p6m": -0.14419850037110793, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.14419850037110793, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2131457284606868, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2131457284606868, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06894722808957887, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06894722808957887, "price_path": [0.0463, 0.0469, 0.0389, 0.0523, 0.0127, 0.0228, 0.0121, 0.0329, 0.0382, 0.0302, -0.0228, -0.0295, -0.0724, -0.0791, -0.0905, -0.1026, -0.1026, -0.1187, -0.1234, -0.106, -0.1026, -0.0899, -0.0858, -0.0986, -0.0932, -0.0973, -0.0852, -0.0852, -0.0979, -0.0946, -0.0812, -0.1006, -0.1335, -0.1308, -0.1328, -0.1066, -0.1013, -0.1127, -0.1026, -0.0825, -0.0758, -0.1127, -0.1207, -0.1375, -0.1516, -0.1905, -0.1979, -0.2119, -0.1925, -0.2032, -0.1985, -0.0892, -0.1167, -0.1006, -0.0832, -0.055, -0.0812, -0.0744, -0.0617, -0.0704, -0.0469, -0.008, 0.0007, 0.0, 0.0121, -0.0074, 0.0, 0.0322, 0.0322, 0.0704, 0.1033, 0.1254, 0.0858, 0.0704, 0.0731, 0.0671, 0.0979, 0.1308, 0.1261, 0.1469, 0.2166, 0.3146, 0.3461, 0.2964, 0.3186, 0.336, 0.2944, 0.2844, 0.275, 0.2455, 0.1878, 0.218, 0.1583, 0.167, 0.1462, 0.1979, 0.169, 0.1268, 0.1469, 0.1362, 0.1274, 0.1227, 0.0865, 0.118, 0.1174, 0.0738, 0.0812, 0.0731, 0.0812, 0.165, 0.1321, 0.0939, 0.0691, 0.0483, 0.1871, 0.0986, 0.0832, 0.1704, 0.1804, 0.2039, 0.1429, 0.1435, 0.1053, 0.0858, 0.1455, 0.218, 0.1509, 0.1985, 0.2441, 0.3206, 0.3132, 0.3132, 0.3239, 0.3333, 0.3769, 0.3233, 0.3132, 0.3467, 0.3333, 0.4071, 0.3736, 0.4702, 0.4722, 0.4339, 0.438, 0.3541, 0.3729, 0.3816, 0.4279, 0.3964, 0.4064, 0.4064, 0.3984, 0.3615, 0.3112, 0.3293, 0.3293, 0.3307, 0.383, 0.3595, 0.3991, 0.3696, 0.3447, 0.3682, 0.3581, 0.3481, 0.3514, 0.3327, 0.3327, 0.3072, 0.3206, 0.4172, 0.4829, 0.4668, 0.4286, 0.3756, 0.4098, 0.3434, 0.338, 0.224, 0.1435, 0.1952, 0.2696, 0.2602, 0.0201, -0.0275, -0.1207, -0.1127, -0.1127, -0.1442]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2008339827624997004", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-06T00:48:22+00:00", "symbol": "VLO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I definitely agree about $VLO with immediate profit expansion", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long CVX: Venezuela franchise underpriced, P/E multiple expansion warranted; also agrees VLO has immediate profit expansion.", "resolved_tickers": ["VLO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So I definitely agree about $VLO with immediate profit expansion.\n\nHowever, this is is taking the geopolitical angle that $CVX has basically become unspoken US Gov national arm for Oil, similar to Intel for semis.\n\nIt’s the only one standing in Venezuela, and is of critical importance given Trump wants to harvest the oil, and lower oil prices before midterm elections.\n\nIf you look at it in the way it basically inherited a country’s oil sector a 5% bump is not quite pricing that in.\n\nIt’s not quite Chevron found a new vertical, it’s more like Chevron became the oil operator of Venezuela and that angle alone deserves p/e multiple added given its Venezuelan assets are derisked", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Valero will make more money off of Venezualan crude than Chevron, thats why.  The money is in the refining.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "GlobalCollapse", "ret_m1d": 0.012901855340946122, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.012901855340946122, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.018813878826262176, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.018813878826262176, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005912023485316054, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005912023485316054, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03135688435971584, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03135688435971584, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03458024115194325, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03458024115194325, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0032233567922274053, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0032233567922274053, "ret_p1w": 0.019464877878893505, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.019464877878893505, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.016631657310557824, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.016631657310557824, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028332205683356815, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0028332205683356815, "ret_p1m": 0.10736525145634634, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10736525145634634, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11548884307342477, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11548884307342477, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00812359161707843, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00812359161707843, "ret_p3m": 0.37758915998070464, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.37758915998070464, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.42700862666360195, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.42700862666360195, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04941946668289732, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04941946668289732, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0969, -0.1191, -0.1002, -0.0959, -0.1026, -0.1282, -0.1205, -0.1072, -0.121, -0.0977, -0.0349, -0.0465, -0.0281, -0.056, -0.0487, -0.0518, -0.0548, -0.0434, -0.0573, -0.0516, -0.0189, -0.021, -0.0012, 0.0082, -0.0103, -0.0201, 0.0132, -0.0055, 0.0336, 0.0052, -0.0418, -0.027, -0.0219, -0.0234, -0.0213, -0.0213, -0.0085, 0.0127, 0.0015, -0.0068, -0.0186, -0.0232, -0.0264, -0.0165, -0.0127, -0.0357, -0.0559, -0.0582, -0.0867, -0.0862, -0.0916, -0.0873, -0.0826, -0.0757, -0.0774, -0.0774, -0.08, -0.0707, -0.0752, -0.0868, -0.0868, -0.0727, 0.0129, 0.0, 0.0314, 0.0732, 0.0393, 0.0076, 0.0195, 0.0462, 0.0354, 0.0291, 0.0291, 0.0362, 0.0556, 0.0484, 0.0495, 0.0281, 0.026, 0.0323, 0.0237, 0.0177, 0.0109, 0.0785, 0.1074, 0.0957, 0.1439, 0.1365, 0.1259, 0.1509, 0.1113, 0.1297, 0.1297, 0.1137, 0.1257, 0.1245, 0.133, 0.114, 0.125, 0.1267, 0.1501, 0.1549, 0.2129, 0.2287, 0.2732, 0.287, 0.2678, 0.2188, 0.2248, 0.304, 0.3309, 0.3014, 0.3126, 0.3317, 0.3458, 0.3662, 0.3537, 0.3398, 0.3644, 0.3237, 0.4004, 0.4353, 0.4125, 0.3945, 0.3627, 0.3776, 0.3776, 0.386, 0.4194, 0.3525, 0.3269, 0.3478, 0.3662, 0.3296, 0.3263, 0.3643, 0.2622, 0.2771, 0.3172, 0.3227, 0.3197, 0.3311, 0.3446, 0.356, 0.4183, 0.4255, 0.3933, 0.4201, 0.4304, 0.3358, 0.3339, 0.3605, 0.4004, 0.3947, 0.3776, 0.3814, 0.4151, 0.459, 0.4822, 0.4322, 0.3671, 0.4004, 0.4004, 0.3692, 0.3629, 0.3884, 0.3883, 0.3883, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2008339827624997004", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-06T00:48:22+00:00", "symbol": "CVX", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "a 5% bump is not quite pricing that in. It's not quite Chevron found a new vertical, it's more like Chevron became the oil operator of Venezuela and that angle alone deserves p/e multiple added given its Venezuelan assets are derisked", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long CVX: Venezuela franchise underpriced, P/E multiple expansion warranted; also agrees VLO has immediate profit expansion.", "resolved_tickers": ["CVX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So I definitely agree about $VLO with immediate profit expansion.\n\nHowever, this is is taking the geopolitical angle that $CVX has basically become unspoken US Gov national arm for Oil, similar to Intel for semis.\n\nIt’s the only one standing in Venezuela, and is of critical importance given Trump wants to harvest the oil, and lower oil prices before midterm elections.\n\nIf you look at it in the way it basically inherited a country’s oil sector a 5% bump is not quite pricing that in.\n\nIt’s not quite Chevron found a new vertical, it’s more like Chevron became the oil operator of Venezuela and that angle alone deserves p/e multiple added given its Venezuelan assets are derisked", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Valero will make more money off of Venezualan crude than Chevron, thats why.  The money is in the refining.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "GlobalCollapse", "ret_m1d": 0.04669740810224199, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04669740810224199, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05260943158755804, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05260943158755804, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005912023485316054, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005912023485316054, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008560095539955626, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008560095539955626, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00533673874772822, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00533673874772822, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0032233567922274053, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0032233567922274053, "ret_p1w": 0.04682504767114404, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04682504767114404, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.043991827102808356, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.043991827102808356, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028332205683356815, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0028332205683356815, "ret_p1m": 0.1577232716534569, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1577232716534569, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.16584686327053533, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.16584686327053533, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00812359161707843, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00812359161707843, "ret_p3m": 0.2834828140025276, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2834828140025276, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.33290228068542493, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.33290228068542493, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04941946668289732, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04941946668289732, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.042, -0.0593, -0.0401, -0.0373, -0.039, -0.0416, -0.0329, -0.0241, -0.0284, -0.0172, -0.0109, -0.0172, -0.019, -0.0263, -0.0201, -0.0301, -0.0036, -0.0268, -0.0309, -0.0356, -0.0338, -0.0206, -0.0167, -0.0129, -0.0314, -0.0171, -0.0042, -0.0219, -0.0187, -0.0309, -0.0398, -0.0419, -0.0434, -0.0512, -0.0449, -0.0449, -0.0346, -0.0256, -0.0402, -0.0316, -0.0273, -0.0418, -0.05, -0.0514, -0.0328, -0.0372, -0.0418, -0.0431, -0.0625, -0.0448, -0.0565, -0.0562, -0.0431, -0.0385, -0.0386, -0.0386, -0.0417, -0.0355, -0.027, -0.0264, -0.0264, -0.0041, 0.0467, 0.0, -0.0086, 0.0173, 0.0356, 0.0371, 0.0468, 0.0684, 0.0615, 0.0621, 0.0621, 0.056, 0.0651, 0.0646, 0.065, 0.07, 0.0799, 0.0855, 0.0936, 0.1301, 0.1117, 0.1373, 0.1577, 0.1449, 0.1554, 0.1665, 0.1643, 0.187, 0.1652, 0.1738, 0.1738, 0.1647, 0.1861, 0.1919, 0.1865, 0.1928, 0.1956, 0.1883, 0.1879, 0.2047, 0.223, 0.2177, 0.2, 0.225, 0.2252, 0.222, 0.2017, 0.2372, 0.2706, 0.2696, 0.2697, 0.277, 0.2812, 0.2994, 0.3013, 0.3237, 0.3339, 0.3233, 0.3404, 0.3621, 0.3592, 0.3346, 0.2734, 0.2835, 0.2835, 0.2828, 0.3001, 0.2443, 0.2279, 0.2163, 0.2371, 0.2064, 0.1928, 0.2137, 0.1869, 0.1821, 0.1997, 0.2019, 0.2101, 0.1947, 0.1919, 0.215, 0.2399, 0.247, 0.2297, 0.2403, 0.2427, 0.1944, 0.1772, 0.1716, 0.1917, 0.1995, 0.1998, 0.2039, 0.2327, 0.2651, 0.284, 0.2455, 0.2434, 0.2462, 0.2462, 0.2024, 0.1874, 0.1915, 0.1878, 0.1878, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2009394498200322144", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-08T22:39:15+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AXTI will be monopoly status in a few quarter once Sumitomo/JX face shortages from material export controls. People illogically reacting to former earnings from 2024 contracts and deferred revenue recognition, while ignoring the situation now presents a great opportunity imo", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long AXTI: near-monopoly status in quarters as Sumitomo/JX face export-control shortages; market mispricing creates opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "They can, and this bottleneck flows downstream and hurts $COHR to $LITE capacity ramp into $GOOGL to $MSFT.\n\nEspecially given $AXTI will be monopoly status in a few quarter once Sumitomo/JX face shortages from material export controls.\n\nPeople illogically reacting to former earnings from 2024 contracts and deferred revenue recognition, while ignoring the situation now presents a great opportunity imo", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What if China just continues to slow play the licenses? Wouldn't that hurt rev regardless of demand?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DivGuru", "ret_m1d": -0.06658921093437264, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06658921093437264, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06669075392629065, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08252666898558814, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0001015429919180022, "bench_c_m1d": 0.015937458051215492, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.10994967715742876, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.10994967715742876, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.11656301955152137, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.1369695461149617, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006613342394092614, "bench_c_p1d": 0.027019868957532944, "ret_p1w": -0.004258637656851416, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.004258637656851416, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.00821792672809174, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05025048991950287, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003959289071240324, "bench_c_p1w": 0.045991852262651456, "ret_p1m": -0.06852498888856806, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06852498888856806, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07013476485135361, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1283434021372133, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0016097759627855535, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05981841324864523, "ret_p3m": 0.7599689980157815, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7599689980157815, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.8012877645453652, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.7047682425571753, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04131876652958366, "bench_c_p3m": 0.055200755458606254, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.8219, -0.8231, -0.8223, -0.8091, -0.8254, -0.8099, -0.7998, -0.8087, -0.7995, -0.7654, -0.7604, -0.7445, -0.7263, -0.7166, -0.6922, -0.6725, -0.6694, -0.6477, -0.6566, -0.6338, -0.5958, -0.5912, -0.5749, -0.5958, -0.5958, -0.6032, -0.6167, -0.6086, -0.6341, -0.6543, -0.6384, -0.6427, -0.5954, -0.5954, -0.5858, -0.5823, -0.5447, -0.5556, -0.5316, -0.5517, -0.5079, -0.4208, -0.3995, -0.3659, -0.4266, -0.4259, -0.4967, -0.5215, -0.4576, -0.4328, -0.4108, -0.4332, -0.4189, -0.4189, -0.405, -0.4352, -0.3883, -0.367, -0.367, -0.3511, -0.3546, -0.2191, -0.0666, 0.0, -0.1099, -0.139, -0.1672, -0.1444, -0.0043, -0.1448, -0.1448, -0.1711, -0.2342, -0.3062, -0.3264, -0.3109, -0.3341, -0.3484, -0.3659, -0.2822, -0.1893, -0.2358, -0.2741, -0.2091, -0.0685, 0.0751, -0.0573, 0.0376, -0.0403, -0.0616, -0.0616, -0.1014, -0.0887, -0.0782, 0.1491, 0.1007, 0.3581, 0.5861, 0.4371, 0.4673, 0.7933, 0.6167, 0.5149, 0.5021, 0.2532, 0.4928, 0.7151, 0.8335, 0.8091, 0.8916, 0.8734, 0.7174, 0.8877, 1.2489, 1.0999, 1.4948, 1.6496, 1.6074, 1.2652, 1.3473, 1.0414, 1.206, 0.825, 1.0457, 1.0457, 0.6256, 0.76, 1.0588, 1.4437, 1.4847, 1.5726, 1.6055, 1.4363, 2.1661, 2.1963, 2.0492, 1.9024, 2.3659, 1.9141, 1.9485, 1.7158, 1.6601, 1.7515, 2.067, 2.7166, 3.1038, 3.1638, 3.0585, 3.1974, 3.5048, 3.8707, 3.758, 3.7209, 3.4514, 3.7921, 3.0991, 3.3701, 3.0499, 3.6852, 4.4522, 4.4522, 4.1336, 3.753, 3.4793, 2.9938, 2.9938, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1994558885483745715", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-29T00:07:50+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "strong buy near term from backlog visibility. nvda next-gen chips will likely leapfrog tpu. ai expanding market, we're not seeing it slow down", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Strong buy NVDA near-term on backlog visibility, next-gen chips leapfrogging TPU, and expanding AI market.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "lol I was top comment trolling $NVDA's press release that went viral. \n\nso wanted to do my buddy Jensen a solid by writing up thoughts on TPU vs GPU arguments + whether stock drop was an overreaction. \n\nSo TLDR for people skimming the post:\n\n- strong buy near term from backlog visibility\n- nvda next-gen chips will likely leapfrog tpu\n- ai expanding market, we're not seeing it slow down. \n- only thing to worry about is if people go out of their way to buy TPUs/AMD, next gen hyperscaler chips if and only if NVDA stops selling out of any GPUs they make.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit i was waiting for you to comment on this! thank you as always aleabito senpai", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mattia030339", "ret_m1d": -0.0162295101850789, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0162295101850789, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.020815955047401635, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.020815955047401635, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008559328912786102, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008559328912786102, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00670702923870703, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00670702923870703, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "ret_p1w": 0.03134909133996655, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03134909133996655, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02640983608570857, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02640983608570857, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "ret_p1m": 0.042410128700367755, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.042410128700367755, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02951802190800068, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02951802190800068, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "ret_p3m": 0.027680540949180266, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.027680540949180266, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.011412282334651414, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.011412282334651414, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "ret_p6m": 0.19432850523535183, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.19432850523535183, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08467512565468183, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08467512565468183, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "price_path": [-0.0517, -0.046, -0.0718, -0.0646, -0.051, -0.0145, -0.0153, -0.0117, -0.0121, -0.028, -0.0535, -0.0205, -0.0181, 0.0205, -0.0083, -0.0164, -0.0124, -0.0096, 0.0107, 0.037, 0.0407, 0.0499, 0.0428, 0.0312, 0.0285, 0.0511, 0.0703, 0.018, 0.0467, 0.0006, -0.0005, 0.0105, 0.0183, 0.0151, 0.0069, 0.002, 0.0124, 0.0352, 0.0643, 0.1173, 0.1507, 0.1277, 0.1254, 0.1498, 0.1043, 0.085, 0.0454, 0.0457, 0.1063, 0.0736, 0.0771, 0.0386, 0.057, 0.0371, 0.008, 0.0367, 0.004, -0.0058, 0.0146, -0.0117, 0.0019, 0.0019, -0.0162, 0.0, 0.0086, -0.0018, 0.0193, 0.0139, 0.0313, 0.0281, 0.0215, 0.0057, -0.0272, -0.0201, -0.0122, -0.0499, -0.0321, 0.006, 0.021, 0.0517, 0.0484, 0.0484, 0.059, 0.0462, 0.0424, 0.0366, 0.0366, 0.0497, 0.0456, 0.0407, 0.0511, 0.0285, 0.0275, 0.028, 0.0328, 0.018, 0.0397, 0.0351, 0.0351, -0.0102, 0.019, 0.0274, 0.0431, 0.0365, 0.0479, 0.0645, 0.07, 0.0624, 0.0317, 0.0024, -0.0318, -0.0446, 0.0306, 0.0563, 0.048, 0.0564, 0.0391, 0.0161, 0.0161, 0.0281, 0.0449, 0.0444, 0.0551, 0.0647, 0.0719, 0.087, 0.0277, -0.0151, 0.0143, 0.0008, 0.0174, 0.0191, -0.0116, 0.0152, 0.027, 0.0341, 0.018, 0.0019, 0.0185, 0.0113, 0.0028, -0.0074, -0.04, -0.0237, -0.0261, -0.0068, -0.0481, -0.0688, -0.0819, -0.0306, -0.0231, -0.014, -0.014, -0.0126, -0.01, 0.0121, 0.0223, 0.0485, 0.0523, 0.0923, 0.1054, 0.1026, 0.1211, 0.1232, 0.1111, 0.1256, 0.1097, 0.1577, 0.2041, 0.1849, 0.1631, 0.1093, 0.1031, 0.1033, 0.0923, 0.1553, 0.1757, 0.1962, 0.2198, 0.2272, 0.2553, 0.3104, 0.2525, 0.2358, 0.2263, 0.2422, 0.2202, 0.1969, 0.1969, 0.1943]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1965617588270223463", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-10T03:25:27+00:00", "symbol": "TSSI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Could see it at $30+ again on a good scenario. $17 on a more modest one. It's a micro cap so worth the risk for a moonshot.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish TSSI micro-cap; price targets $17 (modest) to $30+ (bull case) on AI demand tailwind.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSSI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@lincoln3_ $TSSI is an enigma since it bottomed, then there’s a mini semi bull run right now with all the AI demand like $ORCL future cloud earnings. \n\nCould see it at $30+ again on a good scenario. $17 on a more modest one. \n\nIt’s a micro cap so worth the risk for a moonshot.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Got in both SG and TSSI when you posted. Appreciate the insight and heads-up homie. I know you're thinking SG will recover to 10, but how about a PT for TSSI? Any thoughts? Thanks", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "lincoln3_", "ret_m1d": -0.09774438696040388, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09774438696040388, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0948618656305199, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0799394854801101, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028825213298839802, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01780490148029379, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.016917321874581948, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.016917321874581948, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.025227492230526005, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.020285868862460754, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008310170355944058, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0033685469878788066, "ret_p1w": -0.04824564260170716, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04824564260170716, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05893238540073609, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05298377122124498, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010686742799028925, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004738128619537818, "ret_p1m": 0.24561397952695474, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.24561397952695474, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.21370597936236324, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.17001534191757384, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0319080001645915, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0755986376093809, "ret_p3m": -0.44924812400729885, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.44924812400729885, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5003287651439162, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5436012396949236, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.051080641136617366, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09435311568762472, "ret_p6m": -0.4047619061846197, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4047619061846197, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4553708568649375, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.44546564543170253, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05060895068031779, "bench_c_p6m": 0.040703739247082815, "price_path": [0.1523, 0.3534, 0.3653, 0.4893, 0.4893, 0.6046, 0.6892, 0.7845, 0.7024, 0.9486, 0.8954, 0.8064, 0.6673, 0.7732, 0.76, 0.76, 0.8145, 0.6754, 0.5407, 0.4361, 0.2851, 0.3358, 0.2895, 0.386, 0.3496, 0.4524, 0.5827, 0.5915, 0.619, 0.6886, 0.8139, 0.708, 0.4843, 0.5733, 0.7043, 0.6974, 0.8333, 0.8152, 0.8014, 0.3853, 0.2625, 0.1798, 0.1654, 0.1184, 0.104, 0.0113, -0.0451, -0.0821, -0.0288, -0.0558, -0.0351, -0.0683, 0.0025, -0.0226, -0.0332, -0.1272, -0.1272, -0.183, -0.2243, -0.1892, -0.141, -0.1523, -0.0977, 0.0, -0.0169, -0.0132, 0.0025, -0.0977, -0.0482, -0.0489, -0.0031, 0.1654, 0.1497, 0.0946, 0.0971, 0.1065, 0.1585, 0.1347, 0.1754, 0.1873, 0.1259, 0.1253, 0.2199, 0.2794, 0.2456, 0.1071, 0.1736, 0.1497, 0.1316, 0.0739, 0.015, 0.0583, 0.0771, 0.0169, 0.0683, 0.1422, 0.1441, 0.1153, 0.1053, 0.1278, 0.2694, 0.2099, 0.1353, 0.1034, 0.0232, 0.0407, 0.0639, 0.0094, 0.0125, -0.0445, -0.4586, -0.4956, -0.5031, -0.5263, -0.5144, -0.5144, -0.4956, -0.4806, -0.411, -0.411, -0.3966, -0.4279, -0.4424, -0.4298, -0.4073, -0.4593, -0.4492, -0.4524, -0.4693, -0.4799, -0.5251, -0.5526, -0.5313, -0.5633, -0.5432, -0.5269, -0.5144, -0.5276, -0.5326, -0.5326, -0.5545, -0.5664, -0.5627, -0.557, -0.557, -0.5182, -0.4868, -0.4499, -0.4799, -0.4624, -0.4655, -0.4198, -0.4004, -0.3377, -0.3008, -0.245, -0.245, -0.3033, -0.2845, -0.3001, -0.2982, -0.354, -0.3214, -0.344, -0.3377, -0.3609, -0.3672, -0.4004, -0.4492, -0.5125, -0.4311, -0.4254, -0.4637, -0.4643, -0.4981, -0.49, -0.49, -0.5025, -0.4956, -0.4994, -0.5119, -0.5263, -0.4706, -0.4586, -0.4449, -0.3528, -0.3709, -0.3866, -0.3759, -0.4048]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1994336804783505629", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-28T09:25:21+00:00", "symbol": "FLY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$FLY is 2026 play, just need to bag hold until reusable medium lift comes out... I would be extremely surprised if the marktcap was under $10B ($2.5B now) if they made the second reusable medium lift after SpaceX", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long FLY as a 2026 sentiment/speculative play; expects market cap to expand from $2.5B to $10B+ on reusable medium-lift milestone.", "resolved_tickers": ["FLY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yeah $FLY is 2026 play, just need to bag hold until reusable medium lift comes out. Also another high beta stock capable of moving 20% in a day.\n\nNorthrop if I remember correctly was in the golden dome project and I don’t think people are making the association with fly yet.\n\nDoesn’t really have the revenue to back up marketcap so it’s largely a sentiment stock until medium lift.\n\nI would be extremely surprised if the marktcap was under $10B ($2.5B now) if they made the second reusable medium lift after SpaceX", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @Neat_Lama Im still holding FLY with a cost basis of 30 😂", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ngmax856734", "ret_m1d": -0.015810208569822293, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.015810208569822293, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010381434684991198, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010381434684991198, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005428773884831095, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005428773884831095, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05081872755822747, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05081872755822747, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04625322213479788, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04625322213479788, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004565505423429594, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004565505423429594, "ret_p1w": 0.11857710276850963, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11857710276850963, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11521151445837363, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.11521151445837363, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003365588310136003, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003365588310136003, "ret_p1m": 0.33258055344345916, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.33258055344345916, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.32308010932412645, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.32308010932412645, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.009500444119332707, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009500444119332707, "ret_p3m": 0.14906840392282716, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.14906840392282716, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.13178947174217126, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.13178947174217126, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017278932180655904, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017278932180655904, "ret_p6m": 1.7950312003911626, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.7950312003911626, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.6977285123846122, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.6977285123846122, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0973026880065504, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0973026880065504, "price_path": [1.4975, 1.5059, 1.4178, 1.4071, 1.4156, 1.515, 1.415, 1.4263, 1.4704, 1.4766, 1.476, 1.4483, 1.5534, 1.5522, 1.7962, 1.3682, 1.2902, 1.1265, 1.0316, 1.087, 0.6556, 0.5059, 0.5133, 0.5455, 0.6426, 0.6059, 0.7504, 0.6973, 0.6014, 0.6872, 0.699, 0.6714, 0.5839, 0.4884, 0.5313, 0.5912, 0.4816, 0.4658, 0.52, 0.5522, 0.4551, 0.4145, 0.3806, 0.3698, 0.3427, 0.2902, 0.2705, 0.0915, 0.1146, 0.0864, 0.0802, 0.0339, 0.2095, 0.2959, 0.0999, 0.1158, 0.0966, -0.0446, -0.0525, -0.048, -0.0209, -0.0158, -0.0158, 0.0, -0.0508, 0.0107, 0.0474, 0.1417, 0.1186, 0.0802, 0.0988, 0.2027, 0.3275, 0.2479, 0.1496, 0.1451, 0.0463, 0.1333, 0.3919, 0.6149, 0.4941, 0.5268, 0.5268, 0.3179, 0.3326, 0.2829, 0.2631, 0.2631, 0.3416, 0.4551, 0.4935, 0.5443, 0.5805, 0.7002, 0.7188, 0.5793, 0.6945, 0.6798, 0.8865, 0.8865, 0.7132, 0.6318, 0.7459, 0.6448, 0.4229, 0.6573, 0.6296, 0.5296, 0.4229, 0.2908, 0.415, 0.3783, 0.2645, 0.3484, 0.3953, 0.2987, 0.1756, 0.0802, 0.0898, 0.0898, 0.1508, 0.2123, 0.2157, 0.1282, 0.1282, 0.1688, 0.1491, 0.2157, 0.0881, 0.1813, 0.1779, 0.2084, 0.1508, 0.1141, 0.1717, 0.0949, 0.1632, 0.3117, 0.3252, 0.3512, 0.3879, 0.3094, 0.2964, 0.3111, 0.3557, 0.3399, 0.5545, 0.5138, 0.3385, 0.3337, 0.6076, 0.6804, 0.8594, 0.8594, 0.9678, 1.0085, 1.1525, 1.1214, 1.1197, 1.1909, 1.0672, 1.1242, 1.4941, 1.4687, 1.4161, 1.3766, 1.3405, 1.1762, 0.9836, 0.9486, 0.932, 0.891, 0.9537, 0.9085, 0.8842, 0.7798, 0.9509, 0.8272, 1.2405, 1.1592, 1.2202, 1.223, 1.393, 1.2829, 1.4816, 1.4037, 1.4845, 1.4201, 1.795, 1.795]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1976043700125138988", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-08T21:55:05+00:00", "symbol": "FLY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$FLY is an EXTREMELY GREAT entry point below IPO price right now. I'll probably put more into it now actually", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish FLY at below-IPO entry; author adding to position, compares favorably to RKLB.", "resolved_tickers": ["FLY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ccjdjff $FLY is an EXTREMELY GREAT entry point below IPO price right now.\n\nI'll probably put more into it now actually, it really reminds me of $RKLB. https://t.co/EZL5CEHnj6", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $fly is quite interesting", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ccjdjff", "ret_m1d": -0.0825806279336253, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0825806279336253, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07665292273760438, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07665292273760438, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005927705196020927, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005927705196020927, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.030322597872826318, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.030322597872826318, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.027425589493588864, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.027425589493588864, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0028970083792374535, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0028970083792374535, "ret_p1w": -0.045161278017105566, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.045161278017105566, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03336523404582947, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03336523404582947, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011796043971276093, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011796043971276093, "ret_p1m": -0.3764516153643208, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3764516153643208, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.37229186224108624, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.37229186224108624, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0041597531232345775, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0041597531232345775, "ret_p3m": -0.16870966265278475, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.16870966265278475, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.19343390745218147, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.19343390745218147, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024724244799396722, "bench_c_p3m": 0.024724244799396722, "ret_p6m": 0.06225807436050901, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.06225807436050901, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08238210549550651, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08238210549550651, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0201240311349975, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0201240311349975, "price_path": [null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.9468, 0.6184, 0.7297, 0.6602, 0.6371, 0.5913, 0.5271, 0.5684, 0.4671, 0.4603, 0.4926, 0.4874, 0.4427, 0.4532, 0.5171, 0.521, 0.4635, 0.4635, 0.4268, 0.4316, 0.3813, 0.3752, 0.38, 0.4368, 0.3797, 0.3861, 0.4113, 0.4148, 0.4145, 0.3987, 0.4587, 0.4581, 0.5974, 0.3529, 0.3084, 0.2148, 0.1606, 0.1923, -0.0542, -0.1397, -0.1355, -0.1171, -0.0616, -0.0826, 0.0, -0.0303, -0.0852, -0.0361, -0.0294, -0.0452, -0.0952, -0.1497, -0.1252, -0.091, -0.1535, -0.1626, -0.1316, -0.1132, -0.1687, -0.1919, -0.2113, -0.2174, -0.2329, -0.2629, -0.2742, -0.3765, -0.3632, -0.3794, -0.3829, -0.4094, -0.309, -0.2597, -0.3716, -0.3626, -0.3735, -0.4542, -0.4587, -0.4561, -0.4406, -0.4377, -0.4377, -0.4287, -0.4577, -0.4226, -0.4016, -0.3477, -0.361, -0.3829, -0.3723, -0.3129, -0.2416, -0.2871, -0.3432, -0.3458, -0.4023, -0.3526, -0.2048, -0.0774, -0.1465, -0.1277, -0.1277, -0.2471, -0.2387, -0.2671, -0.2784, -0.2784, -0.2335, -0.1687, -0.1468, -0.1177, -0.0971, -0.0287, -0.0181, -0.0977, -0.0319, -0.0403, 0.0777, 0.0777, -0.0213, -0.0677, -0.0026, -0.0603, -0.1871, -0.0532, -0.069, -0.1261, -0.1871, -0.2626, -0.1916, -0.2126, -0.2776, -0.2297, -0.2029, -0.2581, -0.3284, -0.3829, -0.3774, -0.3774, -0.3426, -0.3074, -0.3055, -0.3555, -0.3555, -0.3323, -0.3435, -0.3055, -0.3784, -0.3252, -0.3271, -0.3097, -0.3426, -0.3635, -0.3306, -0.3745, -0.3355, -0.2506, -0.2429, -0.2281, -0.2071, -0.2519, -0.2594, -0.251, -0.2255, -0.2345, -0.1119, -0.1352, -0.2353, -0.2381, -0.0816, -0.04, 0.0623]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1974231837083107517", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-03T21:55:24+00:00", "symbol": "SNAP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I like $SNAP now. I'd probably buy some Monday", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Plans to buy SNAP Monday; bullish on the stock.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNAP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@dubiousnoob Tbh I like $SNAP now. I'd probably buy some Monday", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I would just buy more nbis\n\nRddt might end up like snap", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "dubiousnoob", "ret_m1d": -0.03747069042782347, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03747069042782347, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03748545800812342, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03798613220721325, "bench_spy_m1d": 1.4767580299945848e-05, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0005154417793897803, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0023418623160058605, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0023418623160058605, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005928091226341969, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.003372877819436404, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003586228910336109, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0010310155034305435, "ret_p1w": -0.0889929456018137, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0889929456018137, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06480016355478857, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05814837646674187, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02419278204702513, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03084456913507183, "ret_p1m": -0.0843091092983358, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0843091092983358, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10542353878359856, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.060252036903406414, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.021114429485262765, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02405707239492938, "ret_p3m": -0.055035160319465315, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.055035160319465315, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07703867151806076, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06973663125822716, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02200351119859545, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01470147093876184, "ret_p6m": -0.5292740048146036, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5292740048146036, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.47900332699184023, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4628175743567906, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0502706778227634, "bench_c_p6m": -0.06645643045781302, "price_path": [0.0913, 0.0679, 0.0937, 0.0667, 0.1171, 0.1101, 0.1311, 0.1604, 0.1721, 0.1569, 0.2119, 0.1792, 0.1405, 0.144, 0.1347, 0.0925, 0.0913, 0.1042, 0.0597, 0.1089, 0.0995, -0.089, -0.1171, -0.1323, -0.1581, -0.1487, -0.1429, -0.171, -0.1628, -0.1405, -0.1593, -0.1616, -0.1745, -0.1569, -0.1803, -0.178, -0.1815, -0.1686, -0.1639, -0.1639, -0.1417, -0.1511, -0.1698, -0.144, -0.1546, -0.1475, -0.1745, -0.1464, -0.1405, -0.1265, -0.0937, -0.0644, -0.0117, -0.0445, -0.0012, -0.0141, -0.0375, -0.0246, -0.0316, -0.0164, -0.0972, -0.0972, -0.0375, 0.0, -0.0023, -0.048, -0.0129, -0.0187, -0.089, -0.0574, -0.0726, -0.0738, -0.0913, -0.1042, -0.0948, -0.0808, -0.0902, -0.0785, -0.0691, -0.0738, -0.0937, -0.0937, -0.1101, -0.0867, -0.0843, -0.1253, -0.1452, -0.0621, -0.0386, 0.0176, 0.0258, 0.0644, 0.0047, 0.0035, -0.0422, -0.034, -0.0597, -0.089, -0.0995, -0.1007, -0.1054, -0.1089, -0.1089, -0.1007, -0.1054, -0.1077, -0.103, -0.0913, -0.0738, -0.0597, -0.0726, -0.0726, -0.1054, -0.144, -0.1499, -0.137, -0.1218, -0.1066, -0.1136, -0.0703, -0.0855, -0.0808, -0.0808, -0.0796, -0.0773, -0.055, -0.055, -0.055, -0.048, -0.034, 0.0293, 0.0094, -0.0164, -0.0386, -0.041, -0.0644, -0.0749, -0.0913, -0.1183, -0.1183, -0.1393, -0.137, -0.103, -0.1077, -0.1148, -0.1265, -0.1019, -0.1522, -0.1885, -0.2201, -0.2857, -0.308, -0.4005, -0.3888, -0.3923, -0.3876, -0.4157, -0.4356, -0.4344, -0.4344, -0.4461, -0.4286, -0.4145, -0.3981, -0.4227, -0.418, -0.4063, -0.3841, -0.3899, -0.3841, -0.3852, -0.3712, -0.3747, -0.3958, -0.3993, -0.4251, -0.4309, -0.4555, -0.466, -0.452, -0.4555, -0.459, -0.466, -0.4754, -0.4719, -0.4895, -0.4742, -0.5304, -0.5398, -0.5293]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1980290879861748091", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-20T15:11:52+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it's like a fire sale to me since I do think it ends up $200+ end of year. Don't think it goes below $100 again", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS to $200+ by year-end, floor at $100; long TE as energy-sector play on data-center buildout.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thanks! Not a great writeup lol, it’s just me admitting I don’t have domain knowledge and can’t give a good opinion.\n\nBut I chose to invest in $TE bc I know the energy sector will be a beneficiary of the data center buildout + I trust DD of others.\n\nAs for $NBIS, it’s like a fire sale to me since I do think it ends up $200+ end of year. \n\nDon’t think it goes below $100 again and saving a few percent catching the true bottom + messing up recovery wasn’t worth it for me before I bought more leaps.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Great write up! Quick question, based on $NBIS wave-3/Wave-(iv) setup, do you think a pullback as deep as $95 is possible, or is a shallow $105–$110 retrace more likely?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MMerrino569447", "ret_m1d": 0.04073396735235102, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04073396735235102, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05102738630141501, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.051917693225524975, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010293418949063993, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011183725873173955, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.043302763492689245, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.043302763492689245, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04328785901121346, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.046829967539421924, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4904481475785936e-05, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0035272040467326793, "ret_p1w": 0.15073394775390625, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.15073394775390625, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1299682560780684, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14281927338018385, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02076569167583786, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007914674373722397, "ret_p1m": -0.16935778976580418, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16935778976580418, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15264392252651282, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13124699608279966, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016713867239291358, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03811079368300452, "ret_p3m": -0.046926585906142515, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.046926585906142515, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08116684322149981, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04990505064625661, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03424025731535729, "bench_c_p3m": 0.002978464740114095, "ret_p6m": 0.4856880957927179, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4856880957927179, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4452974081858949, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.47647862917762884, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04039068760682296, "bench_c_p6m": 0.009209466615089035, "price_path": [-0.524, -0.5215, -0.5287, -0.5161, -0.5376, -0.5294, -0.5006, -0.5229, -0.503, -0.4939, -0.4946, -0.4008, -0.369, -0.3556, -0.3089, -0.352, -0.3719, -0.3429, -0.3345, -0.3836, -0.381, -0.3928, -0.3672, -0.3576, -0.3534, -0.3569, -0.3391, -0.3732, -0.3732, -0.3971, -0.3977, -0.4045, -0.3994, -0.4123, -0.1218, -0.1432, -0.1817, -0.1706, -0.1655, -0.1795, -0.1369, -0.1365, -0.0889, -0.022, -0.011, 0.0388, -0.0097, -0.0119, 0.0112, 0.03, 0.0606, 0.1548, 0.1741, 0.1462, 0.0798, 0.1193, 0.2169, 0.1888, 0.2428, 0.1757, 0.1544, 0.1288, 0.0407, 0.0, -0.0433, -0.0952, -0.0261, 0.0758, 0.1507, 0.1177, 0.1477, 0.1393, 0.2002, 0.1052, 0.0141, 0.0734, 0.004, 0.0209, 0.0087, -0.0622, -0.1343, -0.1869, -0.2336, -0.2112, -0.1694, -0.1278, -0.2235, -0.2361, -0.1569, -0.1846, -0.1313, -0.1313, -0.1296, -0.0812, -0.1151, -0.0925, -0.0569, -0.1006, -0.0795, -0.1155, -0.1414, -0.135, -0.1955, -0.2556, -0.2573, -0.3078, -0.2836, -0.1793, -0.1447, -0.174, -0.1639, -0.1639, -0.1964, -0.2106, -0.2186, -0.2321, -0.2321, -0.1748, -0.1483, -0.0804, -0.1173, -0.1073, -0.1016, -0.0153, -0.0328, -0.0644, -0.0469, -0.0025, -0.0025, -0.0891, -0.0929, -0.1115, -0.133, -0.1609, -0.1021, -0.0786, -0.1293, -0.2184, -0.1912, -0.1748, -0.2441, -0.3223, -0.2101, -0.1479, -0.1579, -0.1871, -0.1768, -0.1008, -0.1008, -0.1053, -0.0661, -0.0128, -0.1017, -0.077, -0.0589, -0.0264, -0.0378, -0.1634, -0.165, -0.2037, -0.1029, -0.1225, -0.1805, -0.129, -0.1153, 0.0275, -0.0088, 0.0362, 0.1913, 0.0672, 0.0877, 0.1149, 0.0791, 0.0472, 0.0542, 0.0559, -0.0278, -0.075, -0.1536, -0.0481, -0.0647, -0.0017, -0.0017, 0.0325, 0.0771, 0.1468, 0.2507, 0.33, 0.418, 0.4857]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1980290879861748091", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-20T15:11:52+00:00", "symbol": "TE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I chose to invest in $TE bc I know the energy sector will be a beneficiary of the data center buildout + I trust DD of others", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS to $200+ by year-end, floor at $100; long TE as energy-sector play on data-center buildout.", "resolved_tickers": ["TE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thanks! Not a great writeup lol, it’s just me admitting I don’t have domain knowledge and can’t give a good opinion.\n\nBut I chose to invest in $TE bc I know the energy sector will be a beneficiary of the data center buildout + I trust DD of others.\n\nAs for $NBIS, it’s like a fire sale to me since I do think it ends up $200+ end of year. \n\nDon’t think it goes below $100 again and saving a few percent catching the true bottom + messing up recovery wasn’t worth it for me before I bought more leaps.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Great write up! Quick question, based on $NBIS wave-3/Wave-(iv) setup, do you think a pullback as deep as $95 is possible, or is a shallow $105–$110 retrace more likely?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MMerrino569447", "ret_m1d": -0.0924369823662422, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0924369823662422, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08214356341717821, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08214356341717821, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010293418949063993, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010293418949063993, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0588235706606518, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0588235706606518, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05880866617917602, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05880866617917602, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4904481475785936e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -1.4904481475785936e-05, "ret_p1w": -0.1953782059784157, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1953782059784157, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.21614389765425357, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.21614389765425357, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02076569167583786, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02076569167583786, "ret_p1m": -0.3571429000753723, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3571429000753723, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.34042903283608095, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.34042903283608095, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016713867239291358, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016713867239291358, "ret_p3m": 0.5567225821652493, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5567225821652493, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.522482324849892, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.522482324849892, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03424025731535729, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03424025731535729, "ret_p6m": 0.02100838231599389, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.02100838231599389, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.01938230529082907, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.01938230529082907, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04039068760682296, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04039068760682296, "price_path": [-0.6702, -0.6891, -0.7017, -0.7059, -0.7185, -0.729, -0.75, -0.7563, -0.7395, -0.7374, -0.7374, -0.7332, -0.7311, -0.7395, -0.7374, -0.7185, -0.7353, -0.6891, -0.6744, -0.6933, -0.7206, -0.6891, -0.666, -0.6597, -0.6618, -0.6681, -0.6555, -0.6534, -0.6534, -0.6029, -0.6155, -0.6113, -0.584, -0.584, -0.5924, -0.6071, -0.605, -0.6092, -0.6261, -0.6324, -0.6282, -0.6092, -0.5903, -0.5735, -0.6134, -0.5378, -0.5231, -0.5378, -0.5105, -0.542, -0.4979, -0.5042, -0.4685, -0.4118, -0.3992, -0.3845, -0.1954, -0.2353, -0.2647, -0.1576, 0.1008, -0.0147, -0.0924, 0.0, -0.0588, -0.1366, -0.2206, -0.271, -0.1954, -0.2227, -0.2437, -0.2353, -0.2185, -0.2815, -0.2269, -0.1408, -0.2269, -0.1996, -0.0546, -0.0735, -0.1912, -0.2668, -0.2941, -0.3319, -0.3571, -0.3929, -0.4286, -0.4286, -0.3403, -0.3088, -0.1933, -0.1933, -0.1345, -0.0609, -0.0042, -0.0504, 0.0735, 0.2248, 0.2647, 0.4139, 0.292, 0.2332, 0.1239, 0.063, 0.1429, 0.1387, 0.2647, 0.3508, 0.5336, 0.4937, 0.4811, 0.4811, 0.4286, 0.3487, 0.3655, 0.4034, 0.4034, 0.6471, 0.7227, 0.6071, 0.5294, 0.4307, 0.458, 0.5147, 0.6513, 0.6513, 0.5567, 0.7164, 0.7164, 0.7395, 0.6429, 0.7584, 0.7857, 0.7101, 0.916, 0.9937, 0.8655, 0.75, 0.8193, 0.9097, 0.6239, 0.5273, 0.7374, 0.605, 0.5777, 0.4391, 0.3046, 0.2857, 0.2857, 0.3529, 0.3571, 0.3256, 0.3046, 0.3214, 0.4895, 0.5168, 0.5315, 0.2941, 0.437, 0.3676, 0.4916, 0.4307, 0.4118, 0.5042, 0.6765, 0.7101, 0.6261, 0.6008, 0.6218, 0.6366, 0.5399, 0.6197, 0.3866, 0.437, 0.3887, 0.4034, 0.3193, 0.2101, 0.1807, -0.0777, -0.0588, -0.1197, -0.1197, -0.1492, -0.1744, -0.1239, -0.1218, -0.0147, 0.0735, 0.021]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1974195346185285854", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-03T19:30:23+00:00", "symbol": "UPWK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Yeah. I'd buy shares around $17.35. Cost avg if it went to $16. Again at $15, if it went to $14 I'd do leaps, $12.5 more calls.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Long UPWK; buy shares at $17.35, cost-average down through $16/$15, leaps at $14, more calls at $12.50.", "resolved_tickers": ["UPWK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@platochi Yeah. I'd buy shares around $17.35. \n\nCost avg if it went to $16. Again at $15, if it went to $14 I'd do leaps, $12.5 more calls.\n\nIt's obviously more dangerous taking more leverage with options on a nosedive but if it ever gets that low risk-reward is worth it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Based on your strat, would $UPWK be a possible options swing trade candidate today? Fair value around 20, buy leaps around 18.5, and shorter dated calls today at ~17.5?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "platochi", "ret_m1d": 0.05153441610062859, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05153441610062859, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05151964852032864, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05151964852032864, "bench_spy_m1d": 1.4767580299945848e-05, "bench_c_m1d": 1.4767580299945848e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0075274555483964, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0075274555483964, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.003941226638060291, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.003941226638060291, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003586228910336109, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003586228910336109, "ret_p1w": -0.027214893355248182, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.027214893355248182, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.003022111308223052, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.003022111308223052, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02419278204702513, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02419278204702513, "ret_p1m": -0.09496237984090483, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09496237984090483, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1160768093261676, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1160768093261676, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.021114429485262765, "bench_c_p1m": 0.021114429485262765, "ret_p3m": 0.14765484478688617, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.14765484478688617, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.12565133358829073, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12565133358829073, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02200351119859545, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02200351119859545, "ret_p6m": -0.38795602694541276, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.38795602694541276, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.33768534912264936, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.33768534912264936, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0502706778227634, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0502706778227634, "price_path": [-0.2183, -0.2067, -0.2235, -0.2519, -0.2496, -0.2513, -0.2287, -0.2241, -0.2339, -0.2252, -0.2079, -0.2021, -0.2339, -0.2409, -0.2554, -0.2675, -0.3011, -0.3075, -0.3196, -0.3028, -0.3121, -0.308, -0.2137, -0.2374, -0.2235, -0.2085, -0.1841, -0.2067, -0.2009, -0.1899, -0.1975, -0.1772, -0.1436, -0.1361, -0.1367, -0.1262, -0.143, -0.1367, -0.1089, -0.1089, -0.0759, -0.0475, -0.0284, -0.0625, -0.0759, -0.0735, -0.0787, -0.0521, -0.0237, -0.0278, -0.0098, 0.0504, 0.1349, 0.1621, 0.1193, 0.1384, 0.1534, 0.1175, 0.1089, 0.1008, 0.0753, 0.0255, 0.0515, 0.0, 0.0075, -0.0104, 0.0342, 0.0093, -0.0272, -0.0098, -0.0191, -0.0266, -0.0307, -0.062, -0.0347, -0.0353, -0.073, -0.0666, -0.0735, -0.0666, 0.0058, -0.0226, -0.0556, -0.077, -0.095, 0.0249, -0.0515, -0.0649, 0.0104, 0.0191, 0.0394, -0.0133, -0.0127, -0.0457, -0.0625, -0.011, 0.0515, -0.0064, 0.0347, 0.0741, 0.1401, 0.1338, 0.1338, 0.143, 0.1511, 0.1888, 0.1424, 0.1338, 0.1627, 0.1511, 0.2148, 0.1859, 0.2693, 0.271, 0.238, 0.2415, 0.1691, 0.1853, 0.1928, 0.2328, 0.2056, 0.2142, 0.2142, 0.2073, 0.1754, 0.132, 0.1477, 0.1477, 0.1488, 0.194, 0.1737, 0.2079, 0.1824, 0.161, 0.1812, 0.1726, 0.1639, 0.1668, 0.1506, 0.1506, 0.1285, 0.1401, 0.2235, 0.2803, 0.2664, 0.2334, 0.1876, 0.2171, 0.1598, 0.1552, 0.0567, -0.0127, 0.0318, 0.0961, 0.088, -0.1193, -0.1604, -0.2409, -0.2339, -0.2339, -0.2611, -0.205, -0.2287, -0.2374, -0.2756, -0.2461, -0.2484, -0.198, -0.2229, -0.2403, -0.2397, -0.2224, -0.2293, -0.2328, -0.2281, -0.2831, -0.2814, -0.3133, -0.293, -0.308, -0.2849, -0.2999, -0.3428, -0.3468, -0.3387, -0.3544, -0.3445, -0.3521, -0.3706, -0.388]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1990513350980358291", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-17T20:12:19+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$HIMS is seems undervalued at this point, especially with the Zava acquisition coming into help revenue growth soon", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "HIMS seen as undervalued with Zava acquisition boosting revenue growth and $250M buyback providing support.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@himshouse $HIMS is seems undervalued at this point, especially with the Zava acquisition coming into help revenue growth soon.\n\nHaving a $250M repurchase program helps a bit with that narrative. Still would prefer that going toward acquisitions and growth though.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$HIMS MARKET CAP IS NOW LESS THAN $8 BILLION 🤯", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "himshouse", "ret_m1d": 0.03934788193180205, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03934788193180205, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0299438363378155, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0299438363378155, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.009404045593986554, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009404045593986554, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.019111760974812597, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.019111760974812597, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.027509313744913277, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.027509313744913277, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00839755277010068, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00839755277010068, "ret_p1w": 0.06183240120920974, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06183240120920974, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05723554607741499, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05723554607741499, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004596855131794753, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004596855131794753, "ret_p1m": 0.035975230843852124, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.035975230843852124, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.016145524081363716, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.016145524081363716, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019829706762488408, "bench_c_p1m": 0.019829706762488408, "ret_p3m": -0.5559303154126198, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.5559303154126198, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5823895963000081, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5823895963000081, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026459280887388248, "bench_c_p3m": 0.026459280887388248, "ret_p6m": -0.2965149129138325, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2965149129138325, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.411757004176313, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.411757004176313, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11524209126248053, "bench_c_p6m": 0.11524209126248053, "price_path": [0.2192, 0.2355, 0.2527, 0.2083, 0.2746, 0.2369, 0.24, 0.1903, 0.1903, 0.1672, 0.2496, 0.3522, 0.3606, 0.3952, 0.3432, 0.3429, 0.4547, 0.5599, 0.5166, 0.4303, 0.4151, 0.5795, 0.6251, 0.6217, 0.5739, 0.4966, 0.5422, 0.6414, 0.6616, 0.5942, 0.5826, 0.6265, 0.4767, 0.5391, 0.6293, 0.6349, 0.6372, 0.5163, 0.5382, 0.5183, 0.7639, 0.6625, 0.3991, 0.4435, 0.3873, 0.3339, 0.3628, 0.371, 0.3555, 0.3243, 0.3106, 0.2383, 0.2777, 0.2476, 0.2026, 0.2291, 0.1669, 0.1532, 0.1537, 0.1172, 0.0967, 0.0132, 0.0393, 0.0, 0.0191, 0.007, -0.0551, -0.0245, 0.0618, 0.0424, 0.0793, 0.0793, 0.1175, 0.0542, 0.0205, 0.0419, 0.1248, 0.1017, 0.0995, 0.1192, 0.0646, 0.0616, 0.0458, 0.0188, 0.036, -0.0171, -0.0228, -0.0006, -0.0149, -0.0219, -0.0256, -0.0256, -0.0357, -0.0416, -0.0714, -0.0874, -0.0874, -0.061, -0.0245, -0.0034, -0.0034, -0.0481, -0.1093, -0.0911, -0.095, -0.1197, -0.1223, -0.118, -0.118, -0.1436, -0.188, -0.1422, -0.1675, -0.149, -0.1658, -0.1942, -0.1605, -0.2386, -0.2569, -0.2822, -0.3142, -0.3401, -0.353, -0.4567, -0.5155, -0.5309, -0.5559, -0.5419, -0.5419, -0.5427, -0.5548, -0.5554, -0.5607, -0.5641, -0.5655, -0.5554, -0.5616, -0.5919, -0.5368, -0.5554, -0.5377, -0.5537, -0.5576, -0.3772, -0.3404, -0.2726, -0.33, -0.3038, -0.3007, -0.2979, -0.3494, -0.321, -0.3811, -0.3687, -0.4002, -0.4143, -0.4137, -0.4553, -0.4722, -0.4165, -0.4424, -0.4621, -0.4621, -0.4286, -0.4519, -0.455, -0.4449, -0.4539, -0.4056, -0.3997, -0.3173, -0.2414, -0.19, -0.1284, -0.1636, -0.1847, -0.2088, -0.1411, -0.174, -0.2156, -0.26, -0.2364, -0.2296, -0.2336, -0.26, -0.2445, -0.2791, -0.2055, -0.181, -0.2965]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1977518059490583005", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-12T23:33:40+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "High conviction $400 PT, $100B MC in 1Y for a bull case", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "High-conviction long NBIS to $400 PT / $100B MC in 1Y on full-stack margin + sum-of-parts; low-conviction longs in IREN (power capacity) and CIFR.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I still have 6fig in random $CIFR strikes but not high conviction. \n\nShort TLDR on why I have high conviction in $NBIS compared to others is because \n\n-Nebius is full stack -> higher margin (software orchestration for GPU utilization, we why that's important and a moat from $ORCL build-out failure, and why $CRWV bought out a lot of software companies).\n\n-sum of parts (eg. FTX investing in Anthropic, $HOOD, where they all went up 1000% over a few years) can outlast a main business even if margins got compressed and $NBIS has a large stake in great companies like Clickhouse\n\n-more diversified client base (learned from $ORCL why that's important too) for buildout -> usage compared to other Neoclouds.\n\nHigh conviction $400 PT, $100B MC in 1Y for a bull case. \n\nI'm long stuff like $IREN too just because of their power capacity or $CIFR being Nebius-light in terms how they did fundraising + Mag7 client but it's slightly different me believing in a company vs. thinking they will outform from fundamentals.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit No $CIFR damn", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LawnChairCap", "ret_m1d": -0.04340768190889632, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04340768190889632, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.028295489819879616, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.034272105522501706, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009135576386394617, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.053964361841674746, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.053964361841674746, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05274270703821804, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06055255031748796, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006588188475813217, "ret_p1w": -0.19533445594579646, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.19533445594579646, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.20779226136273754, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2164167265184983, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "bench_c_p1w": 0.021082270572701844, "ret_p1m": -0.24538612022496853, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.24538612022496853, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.27548987571181494, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.24854845069335885, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0031623304683903175, "ret_p3m": -0.28170678998056553, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.28170678998056553, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3247018920668773, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.31702244801530577, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03531565803474024, "ret_p6m": -0.13332352202031494, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13332352202031494, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.13322335299202304, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.12190395036217228, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "bench_c_p6m": -0.011419571658142669, "price_path": [-0.6065, -0.6036, -0.6103, -0.6134, -0.6234, -0.617, -0.6149, -0.6208, -0.6106, -0.6279, -0.6214, -0.5982, -0.6161, -0.6001, -0.5927, -0.5933, -0.5179, -0.4922, -0.4815, -0.4439, -0.4786, -0.4946, -0.4713, -0.4645, -0.504, -0.5019, -0.5114, -0.4908, -0.4831, -0.4797, -0.4825, -0.4682, -0.4956, -0.4956, -0.5148, -0.5154, -0.5208, -0.5167, -0.5271, -0.2934, -0.3106, -0.3416, -0.3326, -0.3285, -0.3398, -0.3055, -0.3052, -0.2669, -0.2131, -0.2042, -0.1641, -0.2032, -0.2049, -0.1863, -0.1712, -0.1465, -0.0708, -0.0552, -0.0777, -0.1311, -0.0994, -0.0208, -0.0434, 0.0, -0.054, -0.0711, -0.0917, -0.1626, -0.1953, -0.2302, -0.272, -0.2163, -0.1344, -0.074, -0.1006, -0.0765, -0.0833, -0.0343, -0.1107, -0.184, -0.1363, -0.1921, -0.1785, -0.1883, -0.2454, -0.3034, -0.3457, -0.3833, -0.3653, -0.3316, -0.2982, -0.3752, -0.3854, -0.3216, -0.3439, -0.301, -0.301, -0.2996, -0.2607, -0.288, -0.2697, -0.2411, -0.2762, -0.2593, -0.2883, -0.3091, -0.304, -0.3527, -0.401, -0.4024, -0.443, -0.4235, -0.3396, -0.3118, -0.3354, -0.3273, -0.3273, -0.3534, -0.3648, -0.3713, -0.3821, -0.3821, -0.336, -0.3147, -0.26, -0.2898, -0.2817, -0.2771, -0.2077, -0.2217, -0.2472, -0.2331, -0.1973, -0.1973, -0.267, -0.2701, -0.285, -0.3024, -0.3248, -0.2775, -0.2586, -0.2994, -0.3711, -0.3492, -0.336, -0.3918, -0.4547, -0.3644, -0.3143, -0.3224, -0.3459, -0.3376, -0.2765, -0.2765, -0.2801, -0.2485, -0.2056, -0.2771, -0.2573, -0.2427, -0.2166, -0.2257, -0.3268, -0.3281, -0.3592, -0.2782, -0.2939, -0.3405, -0.2991, -0.2881, -0.1732, -0.2024, -0.1662, -0.0414, -0.1412, -0.1248, -0.1029, -0.1317, -0.1573, -0.1517, -0.1504, -0.2177, -0.2557, -0.3189, -0.234, -0.2474, -0.1967, -0.1967, -0.1692, -0.1333]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1977518059490583005", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-12T23:33:40+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm long stuff like $IREN too just because of their power capacity", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "High-conviction long NBIS to $400 PT / $100B MC in 1Y on full-stack margin + sum-of-parts; low-conviction longs in IREN (power capacity) and CIFR.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I still have 6fig in random $CIFR strikes but not high conviction. \n\nShort TLDR on why I have high conviction in $NBIS compared to others is because \n\n-Nebius is full stack -> higher margin (software orchestration for GPU utilization, we why that's important and a moat from $ORCL build-out failure, and why $CRWV bought out a lot of software companies).\n\n-sum of parts (eg. FTX investing in Anthropic, $HOOD, where they all went up 1000% over a few years) can outlast a main business even if margins got compressed and $NBIS has a large stake in great companies like Clickhouse\n\n-more diversified client base (learned from $ORCL why that's important too) for buildout -> usage compared to other Neoclouds.\n\nHigh conviction $400 PT, $100B MC in 1Y for a bull case. \n\nI'm long stuff like $IREN too just because of their power capacity or $CIFR being Nebius-light in terms how they did fundraising + Mag7 client but it's slightly different me believing in a company vs. thinking they will outform from fundamentals.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit No $CIFR damn", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LawnChairCap", "ret_m1d": -0.06813219478436794, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06813219478436794, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05302000269535123, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05863735945104509, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009494835333322849, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08450262270847553, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08450262270847553, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08572427751193223, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07348850558268527, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011014117125790257, "ret_p1w": -0.07670717517561054, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07670717517561054, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08916498059255162, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.079175816287538, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "bench_c_p1w": 0.002468641111927461, "ret_p1m": -0.1053944244755356, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1053944244755356, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.135498179962382, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11583876526228587, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010444340786750272, "ret_p3m": -0.28780790863948646, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.28780790863948646, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3308030107257982, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3530448151821379, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06523690654265146, "ret_p6m": -0.4427813841820073, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4427813841820073, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4426812151537154, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3981864850758211, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04459489910618619, "price_path": [-0.7301, -0.7186, -0.7203, -0.717, -0.7102, -0.7039, -0.7172, -0.7237, -0.7415, -0.7538, -0.7484, -0.7488, -0.7599, -0.7431, -0.7435, -0.7144, -0.7105, -0.7123, -0.7198, -0.722, -0.7236, -0.7025, -0.693, -0.6772, -0.708, -0.6919, -0.6946, -0.6659, -0.6395, -0.6416, -0.6515, -0.6408, -0.5872, -0.5872, -0.5461, -0.5602, -0.5926, -0.5923, -0.5917, -0.5293, -0.4757, -0.4878, -0.4705, -0.421, -0.4317, -0.4091, -0.4337, -0.3976, -0.3467, -0.3488, -0.265, -0.2783, -0.3474, -0.2839, -0.2683, -0.266, -0.2669, -0.2133, -0.0996, -0.0384, -0.0631, -0.0045, -0.0681, 0.0, 0.0845, 0.0599, -0.036, -0.0533, -0.0767, -0.1395, -0.1919, -0.1291, -0.0193, 0.0133, -0.0268, -0.058, -0.0923, -0.0529, 0.0563, 0.0388, 0.1913, 0.044, -0.0274, -0.0619, -0.1054, -0.1316, -0.2415, -0.2771, -0.2608, -0.2384, -0.2855, -0.3223, -0.3411, -0.244, -0.2599, -0.2446, -0.2446, -0.2546, -0.244, -0.3589, -0.3146, -0.2758, -0.3029, -0.2775, -0.2697, -0.3152, -0.3149, -0.3743, -0.4468, -0.4295, -0.4733, -0.4418, -0.3776, -0.3446, -0.3441, -0.3455, -0.3455, -0.3717, -0.3856, -0.4029, -0.4111, -0.4111, -0.3343, -0.2479, -0.2842, -0.3198, -0.2878, -0.2824, -0.2153, -0.1738, -0.1756, -0.191, -0.0985, -0.0985, -0.154, -0.1662, -0.1852, -0.1163, -0.1837, -0.0647, -0.0187, -0.067, -0.1621, -0.1724, -0.152, -0.2993, -0.3796, -0.3478, -0.2805, -0.3307, -0.3347, -0.3759, -0.3418, -0.3418, -0.3612, -0.3439, -0.3251, -0.3767, -0.3396, -0.2914, -0.3135, -0.3103, -0.3616, -0.3547, -0.3943, -0.3165, -0.3744, -0.4278, -0.3944, -0.4057, -0.3455, -0.355, -0.3517, -0.2993, -0.3302, -0.3419, -0.3505, -0.3563, -0.3427, -0.3589, -0.3541, -0.4161, -0.4529, -0.507, -0.4655, -0.4685, -0.4579, -0.4579, -0.4523, -0.4428]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1977518059490583005", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-12T23:33:40+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I still have 6fig in random $CIFR strikes but not high conviction", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "High-conviction long NBIS to $400 PT / $100B MC in 1Y on full-stack margin + sum-of-parts; low-conviction longs in IREN (power capacity) and CIFR.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I still have 6fig in random $CIFR strikes but not high conviction. \n\nShort TLDR on why I have high conviction in $NBIS compared to others is because \n\n-Nebius is full stack -> higher margin (software orchestration for GPU utilization, we why that's important and a moat from $ORCL build-out failure, and why $CRWV bought out a lot of software companies).\n\n-sum of parts (eg. FTX investing in Anthropic, $HOOD, where they all went up 1000% over a few years) can outlast a main business even if margins got compressed and $NBIS has a large stake in great companies like Clickhouse\n\n-more diversified client base (learned from $ORCL why that's important too) for buildout -> usage compared to other Neoclouds.\n\nHigh conviction $400 PT, $100B MC in 1Y for a bull case. \n\nI'm long stuff like $IREN too just because of their power capacity or $CIFR being Nebius-light in terms how they did fundraising + Mag7 client but it's slightly different me believing in a company vs. thinking they will outform from fundamentals.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit No $CIFR damn", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LawnChairCap", "ret_m1d": -0.16568342251485324, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.16568342251485324, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.15057123042583653, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.14190803636442673, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "bench_c_m1d": -0.023775386150426514, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.027040276938767427, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.027040276938767427, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.028261931742224133, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03987477457808741, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "bench_c_p1d": -0.012834497639319986, "ret_p1w": -0.021140624481316483, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.021140624481316483, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.033598429898257565, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03173071347751166, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01059008899619518, "ret_p1m": -0.08210423125692401, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08210423125692401, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11220798674377042, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10959654698764787, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02749231573072386, "ret_p3m": -0.18633239366250132, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.18633239366250132, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.22932749574881306, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.19947380063576048, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "bench_c_p3m": 0.013141406973259162, "ret_p6m": -0.3112094334424417, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3112094334424417, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.31110926441414977, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.27771757678798736, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03349185665445431, "price_path": [-0.6917, -0.6844, -0.6873, -0.6927, -0.6588, -0.6716, -0.6731, -0.6819, -0.6971, -0.7207, -0.7321, -0.7316, -0.7576, -0.7448, -0.7537, -0.7439, -0.7606, -0.7665, -0.766, -0.7679, -0.7591, -0.7384, -0.7439, -0.7026, -0.7168, -0.7075, -0.7099, -0.6863, -0.6735, -0.65, -0.6563, -0.6549, -0.6244, -0.6244, -0.591, -0.6013, -0.6362, -0.6303, -0.6205, -0.5467, -0.4961, -0.5098, -0.4666, -0.4666, -0.4341, -0.3913, -0.4174, -0.3963, -0.3137, -0.3043, -0.3048, -0.4267, -0.4361, -0.3781, -0.381, -0.3805, -0.321, -0.2773, -0.2458, -0.2257, -0.1347, -0.1155, -0.1657, 0.0, 0.027, 0.0339, -0.0796, -0.0777, -0.0211, -0.1114, -0.208, -0.1517, 0.0157, 0.0098, -0.0187, -0.0369, -0.0624, -0.0831, 0.119, 0.1067, 0.2148, 0.0674, 0.0172, -0.0339, -0.0821, -0.1455, -0.266, -0.294, -0.2945, -0.2832, -0.2812, -0.2842, -0.3043, -0.1785, -0.1386, -0.0585, -0.0585, 0.0005, -0.032, -0.1327, -0.0841, -0.0251, -0.0521, -0.0423, -0.0383, -0.0914, -0.0718, -0.1618, -0.2753, -0.263, -0.2925, -0.2552, -0.203, -0.1967, -0.2178, -0.2026, -0.2026, -0.2532, -0.2586, -0.2827, -0.2743, -0.2743, -0.2035, -0.1072, -0.1377, -0.2094, -0.1863, -0.1824, -0.1308, -0.1028, -0.1087, -0.1386, -0.0757, -0.0757, -0.119, -0.1288, -0.145, -0.1362, -0.1893, -0.0782, -0.0674, -0.1298, -0.2153, -0.2227, -0.2006, -0.2994, -0.3756, -0.2758, -0.176, -0.1593, -0.1996, -0.2085, -0.1927, -0.1927, -0.2311, -0.2419, -0.2232, -0.2797, -0.2517, -0.1583, -0.1834, -0.1898, -0.233, -0.2252, -0.2768, -0.2114, -0.2552, -0.3304, -0.2965, -0.3137, -0.3063, -0.326, -0.3078, -0.2557, -0.2581, -0.2788, -0.2802, -0.3112, -0.2679, -0.2684, -0.2193, -0.2945, -0.3242, -0.4093, -0.3673, -0.3786, -0.3697, -0.3697, -0.3437, -0.3112]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2007346907941937452", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-03T07:02:52+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "They now have $100m to fund capacity expansion (direct revenue increase) and should be capped out on sales. AXT owns the supply chain as a vertically integrated company, so any hike would just be an increase on their own margins.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AXTI: $100M funds capacity expansion boosting revenue, and vertical integration means InP price hikes by Chinese vendors expand margins rather than compressing them.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "No clue about revenue estimates but two things about $AXTI.\n\n1. They now have $100m to fund capacity expansion (direct revenue increase) and should be capped out on sales.\n\n2. Paywalled info showed that Chinese vendors were starting InP price hikes for Western companies. AXT owns the supply chain as a vertically integrated company, so any hike would just be an increase on their own margins. \n\nThis would scale up if we see a HBM type shock for substrate prices", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Any guesstimates on how hi revenue goes?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "AbelAmos", "ret_m1d": 0.0053989293446901065, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0053989293446901065, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01201497951361541, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.016760481786569192, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006616050168925303, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011361552441879086, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.209958007437401, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.209958007437401, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.2040108240643117, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.18339480693798582, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005947183373089304, "bench_c_p1d": 0.026563200499415185, "ret_p1w": 0.33413315352920714, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.33413315352920714, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.32331479375860805, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2995188696472717, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010818359770599084, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03461428388193544, "ret_p1m": 0.18416314821677782, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.18416314821677782, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.18153119831166142, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1309572991934025, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.002631949905116393, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05320584902337533, "ret_p3m": 2.1697660414369486, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.1697660414369486, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.2135322313773202, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.130755444945545, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.043766189940371514, "bench_c_p3m": 0.039010596491403815, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6815, -0.6863, -0.7582, -0.7241, -0.7259, -0.7247, -0.7043, -0.7295, -0.7055, -0.6899, -0.7037, -0.6893, -0.6365, -0.6287, -0.6041, -0.5759, -0.5609, -0.5231, -0.4925, -0.4877, -0.4541, -0.4679, -0.4325, -0.3737, -0.3665, -0.3413, -0.3737, -0.3737, -0.3851, -0.4061, -0.3935, -0.4331, -0.4643, -0.4397, -0.4463, -0.3731, -0.3731, -0.3581, -0.3527, -0.2945, -0.3113, -0.2741, -0.3053, -0.2376, -0.1026, -0.0696, -0.0174, -0.1116, -0.1104, -0.2202, -0.2585, -0.1596, -0.1212, -0.087, -0.1218, -0.0996, -0.0996, -0.078, -0.1248, -0.0522, -0.0192, -0.0192, 0.0054, 0.0, 0.21, 0.4463, 0.5495, 0.3791, 0.3341, 0.2903, 0.3257, 0.5429, 0.3251, 0.3251, 0.2843, 0.1866, 0.075, 0.0438, 0.0678, 0.0318, 0.0096, -0.0174, 0.1122, 0.2561, 0.1842, 0.1248, 0.2256, 0.4433, 0.6659, 0.4607, 0.6077, 0.4871, 0.4541, 0.4541, 0.3923, 0.4121, 0.4283, 0.7804, 0.7055, 1.1044, 1.4577, 1.2268, 1.2735, 1.7786, 1.5051, 1.3473, 1.3275, 0.9418, 1.3131, 1.6575, 1.841, 1.8032, 1.931, 1.9028, 1.6611, 1.925, 2.4847, 2.2537, 2.8656, 3.1056, 3.0402, 2.5099, 2.6371, 2.1632, 2.4181, 1.8278, 2.1698, 2.1698, 1.5189, 1.7271, 2.1902, 2.7864, 2.85, 2.9862, 3.0372, 2.775, 3.9058, 3.9526, 3.7247, 3.4973, 4.2154, 3.5153, 3.5687, 3.2082, 3.1218, 3.2633, 3.7522, 4.7588, 5.3587, 5.4517, 5.2885, 5.5039, 5.9802, 6.5471, 6.3725, 6.3149, 5.8974, 6.4253, 5.3515, 5.7714, 5.2753, 6.2597, 7.4481, 7.4481, 6.9544, 6.3647, 5.9406, 5.1884, 5.1884, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2004622136837898647", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-26T18:35:36+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AXTI and $SMTOY control roughly 60%+ of this critical global supply", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "AXTI and SMTOY are structural bottleneck plays on the AI buildout, controlling 60%+ of critical InP supply for optical interconnects.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It's multifaceted. However, InP is EXTREME because $AXTI and $SMTOY control roughly 60%+ of this critical global supply.\n\nThe industry's shift from copper to photonics has created this structural single point of failure on the entire buildout.\n\nEvery optical transceiver/interconnects in hyperscaler data centers from Google TPUs, NVIDIA's CPO roadmap, AWS/Meta networks requires InP-based components.\n\nThis is the definition of a bottleneck.\n\nThe future of the entire trillion dollar AI buildout depends on the stability of some random $700m penny stock and a Japanese industrial giant.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Energy will be the main bottle neck", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Apollo_21mil", "ret_m1d": -0.023422228975777948, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.023422228975777948, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.023523654294073104, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.018803052264763198, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00010142531829515633, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00461917671101475, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05074819380474049, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05074819380474049, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04718456559768569, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04623828847880318, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003563628207054803, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004509905325937313, "ret_p1w": 0.0904359371289738, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0904359371289738, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10077910313269656, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07010028212626285, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.010343166003722759, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02033565500271095, "ret_p1m": 0.15810015417011014, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.15810015417011014, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15459450861879387, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06801098538335615, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.003505645551316272, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09008916878675399, "ret_p3m": 3.3819127505264293, "ret_signed_p3m": 3.3819127505264293, "alpha_spy_p3m": 3.427828630459776, "alpha_c_p3m": 3.291276974574475, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04591587993334656, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09063577595195405, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7079, -0.6805, -0.6942, -0.6662, -0.6487, -0.6545, -0.6545, -0.6597, -0.7378, -0.7007, -0.7027, -0.7014, -0.6792, -0.7066, -0.6805, -0.6636, -0.6786, -0.663, -0.6057, -0.5973, -0.5706, -0.54, -0.5237, -0.4828, -0.4496, -0.4444, -0.4079, -0.4229, -0.3845, -0.3208, -0.3129, -0.2856, -0.3208, -0.3208, -0.3331, -0.3559, -0.3422, -0.3852, -0.419, -0.3923, -0.3995, -0.3201, -0.3201, -0.3038, -0.298, -0.2349, -0.2531, -0.2128, -0.2466, -0.1731, -0.0267, 0.0091, 0.0657, -0.0364, -0.0351, -0.1542, -0.1958, -0.0885, -0.0468, -0.0098, -0.0475, -0.0234, -0.0234, 0.0, -0.0507, 0.028, 0.0638, 0.0638, 0.0904, 0.0846, 0.3123, 0.5686, 0.6805, 0.4958, 0.447, 0.3995, 0.4379, 0.6734, 0.4372, 0.4372, 0.393, 0.2869, 0.1659, 0.1321, 0.1581, 0.1191, 0.095, 0.0657, 0.2062, 0.3624, 0.2843, 0.2199, 0.3292, 0.5654, 0.8068, 0.5843, 0.7437, 0.6129, 0.5771, 0.5771, 0.5101, 0.5316, 0.5491, 0.931, 0.8497, 1.2824, 1.6656, 1.4151, 1.4658, 2.0137, 1.717, 1.5459, 1.5244, 1.1061, 1.5088, 1.8822, 2.0813, 2.0403, 2.1789, 2.1483, 1.8861, 2.1724, 2.7794, 2.529, 3.1926, 3.4528, 3.3819, 2.8068, 2.9447, 2.4307, 2.7072, 2.067, 2.4379, 2.4379, 1.7319, 1.9577, 2.46, 3.1067, 3.1757, 3.3234, 3.3787, 3.0943, 4.3208, 4.3715, 4.1243, 3.8777, 4.6565, 3.8972, 3.9551, 3.5641, 3.4704, 3.6239, 4.1542, 5.2459, 5.8966, 5.9974, 5.8204, 6.054, 6.5706, 7.1854, 6.9961, 6.9336, 6.4808, 7.0534, 5.8887, 6.3442, 5.8061, 6.8738, 8.1627, 8.1627, 7.6272, 6.9876, 6.5277, 5.7118, 5.7118, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2004622136837898647", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-26T18:35:36+00:00", "symbol": "SMTOY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AXTI and $SMTOY control roughly 60%+ of this critical global supply", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "AXTI and SMTOY are structural bottleneck plays on the AI buildout, controlling 60%+ of critical InP supply for optical interconnects.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMTOY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Parts'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Parts", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It's multifaceted. However, InP is EXTREME because $AXTI and $SMTOY control roughly 60%+ of this critical global supply.\n\nThe industry's shift from copper to photonics has created this structural single point of failure on the entire buildout.\n\nEvery optical transceiver/interconnects in hyperscaler data centers from Google TPUs, NVIDIA's CPO roadmap, AWS/Meta networks requires InP-based components.\n\nThis is the definition of a bottleneck.\n\nThe future of the entire trillion dollar AI buildout depends on the stability of some random $700m penny stock and a Japanese industrial giant.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Energy will be the main bottle neck", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Apollo_21mil", "ret_m1d": 0.04129352775889661, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04129352775889661, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04119210244060145, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03686917331496531, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00010142531829515633, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0044243544439313, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010696524801367735, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010696524801367735, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014260153008422538, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0205286184331247, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003563628207054803, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009832093631756966, "ret_p1w": 0.018159192248307532, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.018159192248307532, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02850235825203029, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04847468900761631, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.010343166003722759, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03031549675930878, "ret_p1m": 0.0470149092979828, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0470149092979828, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04350926374666653, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04480273207601715, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.003505645551316272, "bench_c_p1m": 0.00221217722196565, "ret_p3m": 0.595522342596057, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.595522342596057, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.6414382225294035, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.6864487267273088, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04591587993334656, "bench_c_p3m": -0.09092638413125187, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2968, -0.301, -0.2933, -0.2893, -0.2714, -0.2672, -0.2562, -0.249, -0.2821, -0.2724, -0.2851, -0.2682, -0.256, -0.2515, -0.2408, -0.2575, -0.2749, -0.2502, -0.2475, -0.2269, -0.2167, -0.1886, -0.1388, -0.0871, -0.0813, -0.0294, -0.0316, -0.0065, -0.0515, -0.0192, -0.048, -0.0366, -0.0055, 0.0124, 0.0301, -0.0525, -0.0463, -0.0201, -0.0784, -0.0766, -0.0254, -0.0284, -0.0284, -0.0239, 0.0179, 0.0517, 0.0945, 0.0662, 0.0741, 0.1025, 0.1306, 0.1127, 0.0858, 0.0361, 0.0585, -0.0005, -0.0015, -0.0177, 0.0159, 0.0679, 0.0557, 0.0413, 0.0413, 0.0, 0.0107, 0.005, -0.008, -0.008, 0.0182, 0.0704, 0.0254, 0.05, 0.0172, 0.0256, 0.0488, 0.0201, 0.009, 0.0435, 0.0637, 0.0637, 0.0206, 0.0652, 0.059, 0.0428, 0.047, 0.104, 0.142, 0.1177, 0.0881, 0.1154, 0.1896, 0.2505, 0.1662, 0.244, 0.3632, 0.401, 0.4338, 0.4132, 0.4149, 0.4149, 0.4251, 0.4261, 0.4769, 0.5682, 0.5938, 0.7351, 0.7562, 0.6107, 0.6463, 0.7092, 0.6617, 0.654, 0.5323, 0.503, 0.5144, 0.5995, 0.6552, 0.5945, 0.61, 0.6284, 0.5035, 0.5137, 0.5517, 0.4706, 0.5149, 0.5361, 0.5955, 0.4505, 0.4259, 0.3428, 0.3731, 0.4958, 0.4751, 0.4751, 0.4935, 0.4505, 0.6634, 0.6498, 0.694, 0.5925, 0.6025, 0.495, 0.592, 0.5965, 0.5803, 0.5786, 0.7042, 0.5868, 0.5896, 0.5443, 0.55, 0.552, 0.6716, 0.5848, 0.5821, 0.6206, 0.7102, 0.7654, 0.8326, 0.8537, 0.7846, 1.0301, 0.9152, 0.744, 0.7532, 0.6821, 0.7045, 0.757, 0.8363, 0.8363, 0.8861, 0.894, 0.9007, 0.9338, 0.9338, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2010077751538266218", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-10T19:54:16+00:00", "symbol": "VLN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm holding personally holding my $VLN shares 1Y+. even short term something like 5-7 is more likely, which is still around double current prices", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Holding VLN 1Y+; sees short-term 5-7x EV/revenue (double current price) and long-term 14-18x, with robotics as a 2026-2027 catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["VLN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yeah the more I look into it the more I like it. I’m holding personally holding my $VLN shares 1Y+. Others can do whatever they want with the information. \n\nMy thought process is that it would likely take some time to price in premiums like 14-18 ev/revenue anyway. But even short term something like 5-7 is more likely, which is still around double current prices.\n\nAlso it’s extremely high margin too for their fastest growing segments, and I expect robotics to be a huge theme in 2026 and into 2027.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit So it looks more and more like  a long term hold to you?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Whopzbet", "ret_m1d": 0.07359310844371292, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07359310844371292, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07516109979748642, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07727918438675141, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0015679913537735013, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0036860759430384915, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012987000923330161, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012987000923330161, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014986476029200446, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01076001298232776, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019994751058702853, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0022269879410024007, "ret_p1w": -0.1385281130603636, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1385281130603636, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1334932848998024, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.16343470932083937, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.005034828160561222, "bench_c_p1w": 0.024906596260475755, "ret_p1m": -0.32900433302555665, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.32900433302555665, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3246312130634772, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.36509711439897574, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0043731199620794525, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03609278137341909, "ret_p3m": -0.419913391094622, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.419913391094622, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4006470825098737, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5214082805760099, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.019266308584748315, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10149488948138785, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2035, -0.2338, -0.2597, -0.2208, -0.2338, -0.2511, -0.2381, -0.2294, -0.2424, -0.2381, -0.2597, -0.2641, -0.2078, -0.2554, -0.3117, -0.2814, -0.3247, -0.316, -0.3074, -0.2208, -0.2641, -0.2554, -0.2468, -0.3247, -0.342, -0.3723, -0.3853, -0.3506, -0.3377, -0.3333, -0.3203, -0.3203, -0.3074, -0.3203, -0.316, -0.2771, -0.2727, -0.2727, -0.2641, -0.2641, -0.2727, -0.2944, -0.3117, -0.3333, -0.3377, -0.3593, -0.3593, -0.355, -0.368, -0.3939, -0.4026, -0.4026, -0.3766, -0.3896, -0.4026, -0.3853, -0.3853, -0.3247, -0.3203, -0.3117, -0.329, -0.3247, 0.0736, 0.0, 0.013, -0.0952, -0.0952, -0.1385, -0.1385, -0.1602, -0.1515, -0.0909, -0.1515, -0.2035, -0.2035, -0.2338, -0.2381, -0.2641, -0.2771, -0.3074, -0.3333, -0.381, -0.3333, -0.342, -0.329, -0.3333, -0.3506, -0.342, -0.342, -0.368, -0.355, -0.355, -0.3463, -0.3593, -0.3377, -0.3333, -0.3074, -0.3593, -0.3593, -0.3766, -0.3766, -0.3939, -0.4156, -0.4156, -0.4026, -0.381, -0.4156, -0.4242, -0.4242, -0.4199, -0.4589, -0.4459, -0.4719, -0.4545, -0.4589, -0.4545, -0.4719, -0.4892, -0.5195, -0.5108, -0.4935, -0.4848, -0.4848, -0.4848, -0.4892, -0.4329, -0.4199, -0.4242, -0.4156, -0.4026, -0.3636, -0.329, -0.342, -0.3636, -0.3506, -0.303, -0.2857, -0.2251, -0.303, -0.3463, -0.3463, -0.0606, 0.013, -0.026, 0.0476, 0.0823, 0.0433, 0.2078, 0.2338, 0.1688, 0.2771, 0.4589, 0.3203, 0.2208, 0.1515, 0.2554, 0.3247, 0.3939, 0.3939, 0.4113, 0.3636, 0.5152, 0.5281, 0.5281, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1992360259634303347", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-22T22:31:16+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$CRWV is well deserving of F tier. Balance sheet wise, it's a nightmare, especially with the $14B+ in debt plus the $1B+ debt interest for the buildout for OpenAi which may or may not be able to pay. A lot of the profit goes off to paying debt interest which hurts margins a lot", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish CRWV: $14B+ debt, $1B+ annual interest, $1.9B cash, OpenAI payment uncertainty, and margin drag vs. debt-free neocloudpeers.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$CRWV is well deserving of F tier. If we go from an offering point of view, then it’s top of the line. Balance sheet wise, it’s a nightmare, especially with the $14B+ in debt plus the $1B+ debt interest for the buildout for OpenAi which may or may not be able to pay.\n\nThey also have $1.9B cash left. A lot of the profit goes off to paying debt interest which hurts margins a lot (compared to other neoclouds that don’t have that interest since they did convertible note).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Coreweave in F? 😂😂 You are not serious right?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "twoeraserheads", "ret_m1d": -0.026494524302576372, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.026494524302576372, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.011989509404608745, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011989509404608745, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014505014897967627, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014505014897967627, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.031385837044629605, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.031385837044629605, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0407918284866855, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0407918284866855, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009405991442055894, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009405991442055894, "ret_p1w": 0.04701085810061856, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04701085810061856, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02975425590201053, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02975425590201053, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01725660219860803, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01725660219860803, "ret_p1m": 0.09048918206772982, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09048918206772982, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05869323553023498, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05869323553023498, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031795946537494846, "bench_c_p1m": 0.031795946537494846, "ret_p3m": 0.31983697559184554, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.31983697559184554, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.29326038913337804, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.29326038913337804, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0265765864584675, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0265765864584675, "ret_p6m": 0.35611412537852827, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.35611412537852827, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2526674954051997, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2526674954051997, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10344662997332854, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10344662997332854, "price_path": [0.317, 0.3966, 0.4, 0.4, 0.2682, 0.2212, 0.1886, 0.2105, 0.2711, 0.3617, 0.5916, 0.5311, 0.5212, 0.6368, 0.6135, 0.6421, 0.6493, 0.6965, 0.8102, 0.7784, 0.8125, 0.7209, 0.6351, 0.6647, 0.8594, 0.8621, 0.875, 0.8314, 0.8186, 0.7504, 0.9019, 0.944, 0.8808, 0.9242, 0.8215, 0.8918, 0.9258, 0.8596, 0.7264, 0.6992, 0.6512, 0.6758, 0.801, 0.8486, 0.8315, 0.9012, 0.7807, 0.8167, 0.7163, 0.5727, 0.5546, 0.4529, 0.4132, 0.4349, 0.201, 0.1607, 0.0644, 0.0511, 0.0235, 0.0177, 0.0179, -0.0596, -0.0265, 0.0, -0.0314, 0.0094, 0.0094, -0.0065, 0.047, 0.033, 0.0783, 0.1651, 0.1997, 0.1717, 0.2318, 0.1978, 0.1872, 0.0678, -0.017, -0.0557, -0.123, -0.0804, 0.1277, 0.1526, 0.0905, 0.0716, 0.0716, 0.0383, 0.0179, 0.0041, -0.027, -0.027, 0.0777, 0.0443, 0.059, 0.0486, 0.0474, 0.0889, 0.2219, 0.1886, 0.2201, 0.2909, 0.3754, 0.3754, 0.2938, 0.2779, 0.2471, 0.2633, 0.3357, 0.4791, 0.4405, 0.3523, 0.2662, 0.2084, 0.2236, 0.1204, 0.0143, 0.2221, 0.3151, 0.2923, 0.2928, 0.3003, 0.3049, 0.3049, 0.2364, 0.2969, 0.3198, 0.2126, 0.2342, 0.3492, 0.3317, 0.3265, 0.081, 0.0605, 0.0024, 0.0802, 0.0166, -0.0083, 0.011, 0.0179, 0.1136, 0.0851, 0.102, 0.1666, 0.1158, 0.1253, 0.0959, 0.1069, 0.1136, 0.128, 0.1899, 0.0931, 0.0164, -0.0605, 0.0526, 0.0658, 0.1174, 0.1174, 0.0997, 0.1582, 0.2079, 0.25, 0.3859, 0.4982, 0.5924, 0.6126, 0.6245, 0.5876, 0.5955, 0.5647, 0.6649, 0.5954, 0.4965, 0.5226, 0.4338, 0.5515, 0.5163, 0.617, 0.7042, 0.7376, 0.8747, 0.7505, 0.551, 0.5584, 0.464, 0.5124, 0.5518, 0.4579, 0.4099, 0.3561]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1999240464420250042", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-11T22:10:45+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "AAOI seems structurally undervalued, given its role in the AI buildout and existing hyperscaler contracts. The markets are finally catching up to LITE, but it feels $AAOI is yet to begin", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long AAOI as structurally undervalued photonics play on 800G supercycle + hyperscaler ASIC clusters; also long LITE, ALAB, NBIS, TSM on Mag7 AI buildout revenue flow.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I entered $ALAB, $NBIS, $TSM, and $LITE because of Mag7 funneling revenue numbers into them.\n\nLite uniquely because of its role in GOOGL TPU v7, AMZN Trainium v3/4, and NVDA Blackwell.\n\nBut there's a new one I found out about.\n\nA small cap <$3B player that fits the thesis:\n\nName - $AAOI\n\nA small cap photonics player, and one of the two photonics players I'm invested in: \n\n1. Lumentum is uniquely positioned in every single supply chip deployment/ramp, as the Optical Circuit Switching  technology is used in Blackwell, Trainium, and Ironwood as a \"scale-across\" type technology. \n\n$LITE wins no matter what. Hyperscaler ASIC vs. GPU as it's in the center of it all.  \n\n2. Applied Optoelectronics is more of the \"scale-out\" connectivity, for custom ASIC clusters like Trainium, Maia through 400G and 800G optical cables and transceivers. \n\n$AAOI wins no matter what as well given its role with AWS as a whale client for Trainium, and with MSFT Maia ASICs.\n\nThe industry is going through a \"supercycle\" driven by the migration to 800G speeds and AAOI is in the center of it. \n\nOn top of that, AAOI plays unique geopolitical angle,  \nAmerica first. \n\nUnlike many other companies that are fabless and export production elsewhere to Taiwan, Applied Optoelectronics makes their own lasers in Texas.\n\nUS hyperscalers (specifically Amazon and Microsoft) are aggressively reducing reliance on Chinese supply  chains for critical infrastructure and that helps AAOI’s ability to manufacture lasers at home. \n\nAnd we've seen another huge volume order from a  \"major hyperscaler\" on its 800G data center transceivers.  \n\nBut AAOI trades like a distressed company; however, the implied revenue of its Amazon warrant agreement creates an asymmetric risk/reward profile on its 800G ramp in Q4 2025 and FY2026. AAOI seems structurally undervalued, given its role in the AI buildout and existing hyperscaler contracts.  \n\nThe markets are finally catching up to LITE, but it feels $AAOI is yet to begin, given its small market cap size but unique angle of a critical player to hyperscaler ASIC clusters and Made in America. \n\nThe market is currently re-rating heavily with photonics players and assigning a heavy premium, yet AAOI is only up 2.20% this year and seems like it's just about to begin.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Oracle [ $ORCL ] earning results and its effect on the neocloud sector like $NBIS &amp; $IREN:\n\nOracle reported earnings with a beat on EPS and a record backlog but, dropped 12% after hours.\n\nOracle is down 39.8% from September 11th highs and brought down the sector with it.\n\nHere's https://t.co/jXOAO92qnP", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0368942776389628, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0368942776389628, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03457273162559127, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03457273162559127, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.11729070367091099, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.11729070367091099, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.10653873474337705, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.10653873474337705, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "ret_p1w": -0.19465858354155574, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.19465858354155574, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1762305939531975, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1762305939531975, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "ret_p1m": -0.06277529731427245, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06277529731427245, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07286121901034692, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07286121901034692, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "ret_p3m": 2.317455916194293, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.317455916194293, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.3319501478226834, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.3319501478226834, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "bench_c_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1861, -0.2035, -0.1886, -0.2004, -0.2018, -0.1591, -0.2274, -0.2651, -0.2748, -0.2905, -0.2858, -0.2861, -0.2175, -0.2296, -0.231, -0.0697, -0.1373, -0.1129, -0.1088, -0.2525, -0.1988, -0.2159, -0.0928, -0.1426, -0.1211, -0.06, -0.0804, -0.1747, -0.1355, -0.0636, 0.0248, 0.0151, -0.0231, -0.0344, -0.0209, -0.0903, -0.1878, -0.1324, -0.1988, -0.2134, -0.3001, -0.3461, -0.3409, -0.4243, -0.409, -0.4045, -0.4248, -0.4254, -0.4634, -0.4334, -0.3813, -0.3742, -0.296, -0.296, -0.2627, -0.2695, -0.2836, -0.2938, -0.2775, -0.2679, -0.2335, -0.1635, -0.0369, 0.0, -0.1173, -0.1768, -0.2026, -0.2528, -0.1947, -0.1377, 0.0764, 0.1189, 0.1289, 0.1289, 0.0234, 0.0118, -0.0083, -0.0402, -0.0402, 0.0903, -0.0366, 0.0631, 0.0478, -0.0911, -0.0628, -0.0716, -0.0589, -0.0509, 0.0187, 0.0198, 0.0198, 0.0809, 0.0567, 0.0504, -0.0165, -0.0394, 0.0295, 0.2453, 0.0895, 0.2007, 0.2159, 0.2698, 0.0986, 0.0498, 0.2197, 0.3191, 0.3351, 0.3326, 0.2112, 0.2241, 0.2241, 0.209, 0.196, 0.2935, 0.4229, 0.4857, 0.5493, 0.6002, 0.4782, 1.3191, 1.8224, 1.625, 1.7453, 1.7847, 1.6316, 2.0457, 2.3175, 2.497, 1.9237, 1.6655, 1.59, 1.3769, 1.5504, 1.8062, 1.4102, 1.6366, 2.136, 2.1501, 1.6823, 1.704, 1.3455, 1.329, 1.3775, 1.861, 1.861, 1.9584, 2.239, 2.6536, 2.6702, 3.1465, 3.2178, 3.0306, 2.9248, 3.3315, 3.3893, 3.5008, 3.1457, 3.114, 2.7921, 3.465, 3.0138, 2.7792, 3.2079, 3.5253, 4.0526, 3.7627, 3.9716, 3.9157, 3.3378, 3.1008, 4.0909, 4.1839, 5.1426, 4.6049, 4.2412, 3.7704, 3.7172, 3.5501, 3.8681, 3.997, 3.997, 3.8904, 3.9513, 3.6536, 3.3615, 3.3615, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1999240464420250042", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-11T22:10:45+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LITE wins no matter what. Hyperscaler ASIC vs. GPU as it's in the center of it all.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long AAOI as structurally undervalued photonics play on 800G supercycle + hyperscaler ASIC clusters; also long LITE, ALAB, NBIS, TSM on Mag7 AI buildout revenue flow.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I entered $ALAB, $NBIS, $TSM, and $LITE because of Mag7 funneling revenue numbers into them.\n\nLite uniquely because of its role in GOOGL TPU v7, AMZN Trainium v3/4, and NVDA Blackwell.\n\nBut there's a new one I found out about.\n\nA small cap <$3B player that fits the thesis:\n\nName - $AAOI\n\nA small cap photonics player, and one of the two photonics players I'm invested in: \n\n1. Lumentum is uniquely positioned in every single supply chip deployment/ramp, as the Optical Circuit Switching  technology is used in Blackwell, Trainium, and Ironwood as a \"scale-across\" type technology. \n\n$LITE wins no matter what. Hyperscaler ASIC vs. GPU as it's in the center of it all.  \n\n2. Applied Optoelectronics is more of the \"scale-out\" connectivity, for custom ASIC clusters like Trainium, Maia through 400G and 800G optical cables and transceivers. \n\n$AAOI wins no matter what as well given its role with AWS as a whale client for Trainium, and with MSFT Maia ASICs.\n\nThe industry is going through a \"supercycle\" driven by the migration to 800G speeds and AAOI is in the center of it. \n\nOn top of that, AAOI plays unique geopolitical angle,  \nAmerica first. \n\nUnlike many other companies that are fabless and export production elsewhere to Taiwan, Applied Optoelectronics makes their own lasers in Texas.\n\nUS hyperscalers (specifically Amazon and Microsoft) are aggressively reducing reliance on Chinese supply  chains for critical infrastructure and that helps AAOI’s ability to manufacture lasers at home. \n\nAnd we've seen another huge volume order from a  \"major hyperscaler\" on its 800G data center transceivers.  \n\nBut AAOI trades like a distressed company; however, the implied revenue of its Amazon warrant agreement creates an asymmetric risk/reward profile on its 800G ramp in Q4 2025 and FY2026. AAOI seems structurally undervalued, given its role in the AI buildout and existing hyperscaler contracts.  \n\nThe markets are finally catching up to LITE, but it feels $AAOI is yet to begin, given its small market cap size but unique angle of a critical player to hyperscaler ASIC clusters and Made in America. \n\nThe market is currently re-rating heavily with photonics players and assigning a heavy premium, yet AAOI is only up 2.20% this year and seems like it's just about to begin.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Oracle [ $ORCL ] earning results and its effect on the neocloud sector like $NBIS &amp; $IREN:\n\nOracle reported earnings with a beat on EPS and a record backlog but, dropped 12% after hours.\n\nOracle is down 39.8% from September 11th highs and brought down the sector with it.\n\nHere's https://t.co/jXOAO92qnP", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01636699830102495, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01636699830102495, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014045452287653415, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014045452287653415, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.12830226747354656, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.12830226747354656, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.11755029854601262, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.11755029854601262, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "ret_p1w": -0.09395574135062568, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09395574135062568, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07552775176226745, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07552775176226745, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "ret_p1m": -0.05555103096990033, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05555103096990033, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0656369526659748, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0656369526659748, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "ret_p3m": 0.8060146916440198, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.8060146916440198, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.82050892327241, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.82050892327241, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "bench_c_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5464, -0.5407, -0.561, -0.5391, -0.5465, -0.5573, -0.5593, -0.5895, -0.5724, -0.568, -0.5631, -0.5627, -0.5394, -0.5438, -0.5598, -0.5684, -0.5777, -0.5617, -0.5706, -0.5979, -0.5685, -0.5787, -0.5792, -0.5613, -0.5572, -0.5673, -0.5621, -0.5752, -0.5472, -0.5181, -0.4792, -0.4668, -0.4241, -0.4621, -0.4583, -0.4636, -0.4938, -0.3745, -0.3559, -0.3547, -0.3015, -0.3215, -0.3179, -0.3903, -0.3761, -0.3494, -0.335, -0.2773, -0.3732, -0.3131, -0.1955, -0.2172, -0.1715, -0.1715, -0.1261, -0.1456, -0.1862, -0.1857, -0.1189, -0.1093, -0.0794, -0.0316, -0.0164, 0.0, -0.1283, -0.1005, -0.1503, -0.1393, -0.094, -0.0018, 0.0478, 0.0412, 0.064, 0.064, 0.0502, 0.0014, -0.0024, -0.0094, -0.0094, 0.0377, -0.0404, 0.0681, 0.0559, -0.064, -0.0556, -0.0866, -0.0289, -0.1088, -0.0775, -0.1286, -0.1286, -0.041, -0.0259, -0.0473, -0.0884, -0.1065, -0.0038, 0.0347, 0.0251, 0.0531, 0.138, 0.1693, 0.2511, 0.3556, 0.4835, 0.5511, 0.508, 0.5429, 0.5681, 0.5124, 0.5124, 0.6136, 0.5971, 0.7083, 0.7946, 0.8134, 0.8497, 0.9441, 0.8195, 0.8837, 1.105, 0.8663, 0.8297, 0.7491, 0.5008, 0.7219, 0.806, 0.806, 0.6558, 0.673, 0.6793, 0.7457, 0.8834, 1.0751, 0.8983, 0.9591, 1.1554, 1.0887, 0.8512, 0.8886, 0.7598, 0.8887, 1.055, 1.2223, 1.2223, 1.0755, 1.1923, 1.4081, 1.403, 1.4115, 1.3413, 1.2919, 1.2145, 1.3952, 1.4028, 1.4056, 1.2492, 1.3478, 1.276, 1.3694, 1.3104, 1.1268, 1.3068, 1.425, 1.553, 1.6235, 1.6729, 1.5378, 1.3988, 1.429, 1.8302, 1.667, 1.7691, 1.6924, 1.6088, 1.3784, 1.3921, 1.333, 1.5921, 1.5448, 1.5448, 1.4478, 1.425, 1.3129, 1.2977, 1.2977, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1999240464420250042", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-12-11T22:10:45+00:00", "symbol": "ALAB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I entered $ALAB, $NBIS, $TSM, and $LITE because of Mag7 funneling revenue numbers into them.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long AAOI as structurally undervalued photonics play on 800G supercycle + hyperscaler ASIC clusters; also long LITE, ALAB, NBIS, TSM on Mag7 AI buildout revenue flow.", "resolved_tickers": ["ALAB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I entered $ALAB, $NBIS, $TSM, and $LITE because of Mag7 funneling revenue numbers into them.\n\nLite uniquely because of its role in GOOGL TPU v7, AMZN Trainium v3/4, and NVDA Blackwell.\n\nBut there's a new one I found out about.\n\nA small cap <$3B player that fits the thesis:\n\nName - $AAOI\n\nA small cap photonics player, and one of the two photonics players I'm invested in: \n\n1. Lumentum is uniquely positioned in every single supply chip deployment/ramp, as the Optical Circuit Switching  technology is used in Blackwell, Trainium, and Ironwood as a \"scale-across\" type technology. \n\n$LITE wins no matter what. Hyperscaler ASIC vs. GPU as it's in the center of it all.  \n\n2. Applied Optoelectronics is more of the \"scale-out\" connectivity, for custom ASIC clusters like Trainium, Maia through 400G and 800G optical cables and transceivers. \n\n$AAOI wins no matter what as well given its role with AWS as a whale client for Trainium, and with MSFT Maia ASICs.\n\nThe industry is going through a \"supercycle\" driven by the migration to 800G speeds and AAOI is in the center of it. \n\nOn top of that, AAOI plays unique geopolitical angle,  \nAmerica first. \n\nUnlike many other companies that are fabless and export production elsewhere to Taiwan, Applied Optoelectronics makes their own lasers in Texas.\n\nUS hyperscalers (specifically Amazon and Microsoft) are aggressively reducing reliance on Chinese supply  chains for critical infrastructure and that helps AAOI’s ability to manufacture lasers at home. \n\nAnd we've seen another huge volume order from a  \"major hyperscaler\" on its 800G data center transceivers.  \n\nBut AAOI trades like a distressed company; however, the implied revenue of its Amazon warrant agreement creates an asymmetric risk/reward profile on its 800G ramp in Q4 2025 and FY2026. AAOI seems structurally undervalued, given its role in the AI buildout and existing hyperscaler contracts.  \n\nThe markets are finally catching up to LITE, but it feels $AAOI is yet to begin, given its small market cap size but unique angle of a critical player to hyperscaler ASIC clusters and Made in America. \n\nThe market is currently re-rating heavily with photonics players and assigning a heavy premium, yet AAOI is only up 2.20% this year and seems like it's just about to begin.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Oracle [ $ORCL ] earning results and its effect on the neocloud sector like $NBIS &amp; $IREN:\n\nOracle reported earnings with a beat on EPS and a record backlog but, dropped 12% after hours.\n\nOracle is down 39.8% from September 11th highs and brought down the sector with it.\n\nHere's https://t.co/jXOAO92qnP", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.054029905997248884, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.054029905997248884, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05170835998387735, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06268476284532731, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00865485684807843, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.1430627016771403, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.1430627016771403, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.13231073274960636, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.09784712262116924, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "bench_c_p1d": -0.04521557905597107, "ret_p1w": -0.16016115460105207, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.16016115460105207, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.14173316501269384, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0964225525891872, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "bench_c_p1w": -0.06373860201186488, "ret_p1m": -0.0638456910347277, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0638456910347277, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07393161273080218, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11653269645128683, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05268700541655913, "ret_p3m": -0.3294185066011174, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3294185066011174, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.31492427497272724, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4040398323684632, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07462132576734581, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3315, 0.3747, 0.4357, 0.4501, 0.4116, 0.3661, 0.3248, 0.1818, 0.1551, 0.1386, 0.1445, 0.1272, 0.1197, 0.2067, 0.1557, 0.2712, 0.2211, 0.2629, 0.2978, 0.1872, 0.1487, -0.0699, -0.0704, -0.0584, -0.08, -0.1001, -0.0932, -0.1085, -0.0579, -0.0503, -0.0197, -0.0314, -0.0005, -0.0239, 0.0747, 0.1028, 0.0323, 0.0474, -0.0626, -0.0473, 0.0002, -0.0354, -0.0916, -0.1683, -0.169, -0.186, -0.1968, -0.1824, -0.1981, -0.1836, -0.1494, -0.1665, -0.1121, -0.1121, -0.0929, -0.049, -0.1771, -0.122, -0.122, -0.0718, 0.0117, -0.0381, -0.054, 0.0, -0.1431, -0.1729, -0.1656, -0.1926, -0.1602, -0.0535, -0.0062, -0.028, -0.0215, -0.0215, -0.0371, -0.0207, -0.0165, -0.0423, -0.0423, 0.0337, -0.0379, -0.0731, -0.0457, -0.0977, -0.0638, -0.0065, 0.0395, -0.009, 0.0043, 0.0478, 0.0478, 0.0579, 0.0133, 0.0153, -0.0233, -0.0602, -0.0159, -0.0334, -0.0762, -0.1329, -0.1224, -0.0874, -0.1671, -0.1778, -0.0222, 0.0804, 0.0527, -0.1727, -0.2713, -0.2555, -0.2555, -0.2879, -0.254, -0.2365, -0.2534, -0.2617, -0.2608, -0.2622, -0.2823, -0.3159, -0.306, -0.3679, -0.345, -0.3092, -0.3138, -0.2959, -0.3294, -0.282, -0.3097, -0.3074, -0.2661, -0.2656, -0.2727, -0.2737, -0.332, -0.2869, -0.299, -0.3073, -0.346, -0.3525, -0.4227, -0.369, -0.3879, -0.3256, -0.3256, -0.3207, -0.315, -0.2777, -0.2547, -0.1419, -0.0398, -0.0178, -0.0093, -0.0166, 0.002, 0.0121, 0.1052, 0.1172, 0.1372, 0.2253, 0.1321, 0.0553, 0.1333, 0.1211, 0.1668, 0.1586, 0.2417, 0.2315, 0.1264, 0.1502, 0.1937, 0.1769, 0.2901, 0.3163, 0.3396, 0.2411, 0.4062, 0.655, 0.7147, 0.7667, 0.7667, 0.8349, 0.8729, 1.0102, 0.9738, 0.9738, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1999240464420250042", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-12-11T22:10:45+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I entered $ALAB, $NBIS, $TSM, and $LITE because of Mag7 funneling revenue numbers into them.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long AAOI as structurally undervalued photonics play on 800G supercycle + hyperscaler ASIC clusters; also long LITE, ALAB, NBIS, TSM on Mag7 AI buildout revenue flow.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I entered $ALAB, $NBIS, $TSM, and $LITE because of Mag7 funneling revenue numbers into them.\n\nLite uniquely because of its role in GOOGL TPU v7, AMZN Trainium v3/4, and NVDA Blackwell.\n\nBut there's a new one I found out about.\n\nA small cap <$3B player that fits the thesis:\n\nName - $AAOI\n\nA small cap photonics player, and one of the two photonics players I'm invested in: \n\n1. Lumentum is uniquely positioned in every single supply chip deployment/ramp, as the Optical Circuit Switching  technology is used in Blackwell, Trainium, and Ironwood as a \"scale-across\" type technology. \n\n$LITE wins no matter what. Hyperscaler ASIC vs. GPU as it's in the center of it all.  \n\n2. Applied Optoelectronics is more of the \"scale-out\" connectivity, for custom ASIC clusters like Trainium, Maia through 400G and 800G optical cables and transceivers. \n\n$AAOI wins no matter what as well given its role with AWS as a whale client for Trainium, and with MSFT Maia ASICs.\n\nThe industry is going through a \"supercycle\" driven by the migration to 800G speeds and AAOI is in the center of it. \n\nOn top of that, AAOI plays unique geopolitical angle,  \nAmerica first. \n\nUnlike many other companies that are fabless and export production elsewhere to Taiwan, Applied Optoelectronics makes their own lasers in Texas.\n\nUS hyperscalers (specifically Amazon and Microsoft) are aggressively reducing reliance on Chinese supply  chains for critical infrastructure and that helps AAOI’s ability to manufacture lasers at home. \n\nAnd we've seen another huge volume order from a  \"major hyperscaler\" on its 800G data center transceivers.  \n\nBut AAOI trades like a distressed company; however, the implied revenue of its Amazon warrant agreement creates an asymmetric risk/reward profile on its 800G ramp in Q4 2025 and FY2026. AAOI seems structurally undervalued, given its role in the AI buildout and existing hyperscaler contracts.  \n\nThe markets are finally catching up to LITE, but it feels $AAOI is yet to begin, given its small market cap size but unique angle of a critical player to hyperscaler ASIC clusters and Made in America. \n\nThe market is currently re-rating heavily with photonics players and assigning a heavy premium, yet AAOI is only up 2.20% this year and seems like it's just about to begin.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Oracle [ $ORCL ] earning results and its effect on the neocloud sector like $NBIS &amp; $IREN:\n\nOracle reported earnings with a beat on EPS and a record backlog but, dropped 12% after hours.\n\nOracle is down 39.8% from September 11th highs and brought down the sector with it.\n\nHere's https://t.co/jXOAO92qnP", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.007318651361265971, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007318651361265971, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004997105347894437, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009544508151134945, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002225856789868974, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06989813770911646, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06989813770911646, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05914616878158252, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06767234665436428, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0022257910547521798, "ret_p1w": -0.1717225567567725, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1717225567567725, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.15329456716841428, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.16881187152011068, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002910685236661825, "ret_p1m": 0.03871448422929347, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03871448422929347, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.028628562533218993, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.026029578740943693, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012684905488349774, "ret_p3m": 0.022804428868438142, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.022804428868438142, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.037298660496828284, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.01467154874805865, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "bench_c_p3m": 0.008132880120379493, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0352, -0.0514, -0.0021, -0.0017, 0.0534, 0.1307, 0.1434, 0.201, 0.1449, 0.1423, 0.1691, 0.1908, 0.2262, 0.3351, 0.3574, 0.3252, 0.2484, 0.294, 0.4069, 0.3744, 0.4368, 0.3592, 0.3346, 0.305, 0.2032, 0.1561, 0.1061, 0.046, 0.126, 0.2437, 0.3304, 0.2922, 0.3269, 0.3171, 0.3876, 0.2778, 0.1725, 0.241, 0.1608, 0.1803, 0.1662, 0.0842, 0.0008, -0.0599, -0.1139, -0.088, -0.0397, 0.0084, -0.1022, -0.1169, -0.0252, -0.0573, 0.0043, 0.0043, 0.0063, 0.0623, 0.023, 0.0492, 0.0904, 0.0399, 0.0642, 0.0226, -0.0073, 0.0, -0.0699, -0.1394, -0.1414, -0.1997, -0.1717, -0.0511, -0.0111, -0.0451, -0.0334, -0.0334, -0.071, -0.0874, -0.0966, -0.1122, -0.1122, -0.0459, -0.0154, 0.0632, 0.0205, 0.032, 0.0387, 0.1384, 0.1183, 0.0817, 0.1019, 0.1533, 0.1533, 0.0531, 0.0487, 0.0273, 0.0023, -0.0299, 0.0381, 0.0652, 0.0067, -0.0964, -0.0649, -0.0459, -0.1261, -0.2165, -0.0868, -0.0148, -0.0264, -0.0601, -0.0483, 0.0396, 0.0396, 0.0344, 0.0798, 0.1414, 0.0386, 0.0671, 0.088, 0.1256, 0.1124, -0.0328, -0.0347, -0.0793, 0.0371, 0.0145, -0.0525, 0.007, 0.0228, 0.1879, 0.1459, 0.198, 0.3773, 0.2339, 0.2575, 0.2889, 0.2476, 0.2108, 0.2188, 0.2207, 0.124, 0.0694, -0.0214, 0.1006, 0.0814, 0.1542, 0.1542, 0.1937, 0.2452, 0.3258, 0.446, 0.5377, 0.6394, 0.7176, 0.7689, 0.7537, 0.6667, 0.6882, 0.6605, 0.6561, 0.6661, 0.5609, 0.5375, 0.4373, 0.4976, 0.4662, 0.6386, 0.8712, 0.8659, 1.0693, 0.9598, 0.8779, 0.9739, 0.8998, 1.1985, 1.3457, 1.3328, 1.1199, 1.0973, 1.0346, 1.3327, 1.278, 1.278, 1.2068, 1.2101, 1.4007, 1.4511, 1.4511, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1999240464420250042", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-12-11T22:10:45+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I entered $ALAB, $NBIS, $TSM, and $LITE because of Mag7 funneling revenue numbers into them.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long AAOI as structurally undervalued photonics play on 800G supercycle + hyperscaler ASIC clusters; also long LITE, ALAB, NBIS, TSM on Mag7 AI buildout revenue flow.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I entered $ALAB, $NBIS, $TSM, and $LITE because of Mag7 funneling revenue numbers into them.\n\nLite uniquely because of its role in GOOGL TPU v7, AMZN Trainium v3/4, and NVDA Blackwell.\n\nBut there's a new one I found out about.\n\nA small cap <$3B player that fits the thesis:\n\nName - $AAOI\n\nA small cap photonics player, and one of the two photonics players I'm invested in: \n\n1. Lumentum is uniquely positioned in every single supply chip deployment/ramp, as the Optical Circuit Switching  technology is used in Blackwell, Trainium, and Ironwood as a \"scale-across\" type technology. \n\n$LITE wins no matter what. Hyperscaler ASIC vs. GPU as it's in the center of it all.  \n\n2. Applied Optoelectronics is more of the \"scale-out\" connectivity, for custom ASIC clusters like Trainium, Maia through 400G and 800G optical cables and transceivers. \n\n$AAOI wins no matter what as well given its role with AWS as a whale client for Trainium, and with MSFT Maia ASICs.\n\nThe industry is going through a \"supercycle\" driven by the migration to 800G speeds and AAOI is in the center of it. \n\nOn top of that, AAOI plays unique geopolitical angle,  \nAmerica first. \n\nUnlike many other companies that are fabless and export production elsewhere to Taiwan, Applied Optoelectronics makes their own lasers in Texas.\n\nUS hyperscalers (specifically Amazon and Microsoft) are aggressively reducing reliance on Chinese supply  chains for critical infrastructure and that helps AAOI’s ability to manufacture lasers at home. \n\nAnd we've seen another huge volume order from a  \"major hyperscaler\" on its 800G data center transceivers.  \n\nBut AAOI trades like a distressed company; however, the implied revenue of its Amazon warrant agreement creates an asymmetric risk/reward profile on its 800G ramp in Q4 2025 and FY2026. AAOI seems structurally undervalued, given its role in the AI buildout and existing hyperscaler contracts.  \n\nThe markets are finally catching up to LITE, but it feels $AAOI is yet to begin, given its small market cap size but unique angle of a critical player to hyperscaler ASIC clusters and Made in America. \n\nThe market is currently re-rating heavily with photonics players and assigning a heavy premium, yet AAOI is only up 2.20% this year and seems like it's just about to begin.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Oracle [ $ORCL ] earning results and its effect on the neocloud sector like $NBIS &amp; $IREN:\n\nOracle reported earnings with a beat on EPS and a record backlog but, dropped 12% after hours.\n\nOracle is down 39.8% from September 11th highs and brought down the sector with it.\n\nHere's https://t.co/jXOAO92qnP", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.014613819783368731, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.014613819783368731, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.016935365796740265, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.016935365796740265, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04202060463058077, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04202060463058077, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03126863570304683, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03126863570304683, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "ret_p1w": -0.0661637448129031, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0661637448129031, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.047735755224544874, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.047735755224544874, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "ret_p1m": 0.06160407884306962, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06160407884306962, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05151815714699515, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05151815714699515, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "ret_p3m": 0.13855993661843446, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.13855993661843446, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1530541682468246, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1530541682468246, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "bench_c_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1476, -0.1427, -0.1403, -0.1212, -0.1335, -0.1081, -0.0751, -0.0817, -0.0949, -0.1057, -0.1061, -0.0863, -0.0563, -0.0575, -0.0441, -0.0107, -0.0381, -0.0038, -0.019, -0.0818, -0.0091, -0.0318, -0.0032, -0.0191, -0.0347, -0.0261, -0.0365, -0.0549, -0.0489, -0.035, -0.0243, -0.0136, -0.0019, -0.008, -0.0172, -0.0027, -0.038, -0.0394, -0.0538, -0.0627, -0.034, -0.0474, -0.0492, -0.0768, -0.0682, -0.0774, -0.0908, -0.0762, -0.0922, -0.1001, -0.0688, -0.0687, -0.0514, -0.0514, -0.0463, -0.0589, -0.0444, -0.0334, -0.0417, -0.0358, -0.0124, -0.0074, 0.0146, 0.0, -0.042, -0.0561, -0.059, -0.0915, -0.0662, -0.0522, -0.038, -0.0259, -0.0198, -0.0198, -0.0066, -0.0129, -0.0173, -0.0031, -0.0031, 0.0484, 0.0571, 0.0741, 0.0454, 0.0432, 0.0616, 0.0883, 0.0865, 0.073, 0.1207, 0.1232, 0.1232, 0.0732, 0.0698, 0.0739, 0.0985, 0.0914, 0.1099, 0.1228, 0.1138, 0.0843, 0.1198, 0.1014, 0.0685, 0.0849, 0.1443, 0.1659, 0.1872, 0.2271, 0.2075, 0.2018, 0.2018, 0.1947, 0.1883, 0.1822, 0.2155, 0.2138, 0.2654, 0.2719, 0.2361, 0.2287, 0.2108, 0.1584, 0.1725, 0.1608, 0.1117, 0.1438, 0.1386, 0.1631, 0.1045, 0.1098, 0.1161, 0.1381, 0.117, 0.1145, 0.083, 0.1133, 0.1291, 0.1439, 0.0728, 0.0748, 0.0411, 0.1117, 0.1233, 0.1153, 0.1153, 0.1242, 0.1359, 0.2036, 0.2023, 0.2191, 0.2157, 0.2497, 0.2339, 0.1953, 0.2188, 0.2048, 0.2108, 0.2745, 0.2588, 0.3239, 0.3322, 0.2906, 0.2955, 0.3029, 0.3082, 0.3211, 0.2974, 0.38, 0.3624, 0.3542, 0.3308, 0.3069, 0.3152, 0.3741, 0.3301, 0.3025, 0.2915, 0.3211, 0.3393, 0.3307, 0.3307, 0.3563, 0.3906, 0.3976, 0.3765, 0.3765, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1965777858988761382", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-10T14:02:18+00:00", "symbol": "TSSI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If you're thinking about taking profits on $TSSI, just remember the stock was $30 before dilution and there's a huge semi bull run... Could see it go up 10%+ a day if the run continues.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Hold/buy TSSI; was $30 pre-dilution, could run 10%+ daily amid ongoing semi bull run.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSSI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you’re thinking about taking profits on $TSSI, just remember the stock was $30 before dilution and there’s a huge semi bull run with $SMCI, $TSM, $AVGO, $IREN, $NBIS, $WYFI, $NVDA and $ORCL. \n\nCould see it go up 10%+ a day if the run continues. https://t.co/ks67hMAi01", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Bought $40K of $TSSI now that the Semi rally extended back to server racks like $SMCI.\n\nDown from $31 -&gt; $13.6, good chance for a rebound for small caps given the rest of semis/AI from $TSM, $CREDO, $NBIS, $AVGO, $MRVL, $ALAB and others have rallied. https://t.co/jWkww0Avro", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.09774438696040388, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09774438696040388, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0948618656305199, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0799394854801101, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028825213298839802, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01780490148029379, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.016917321874581948, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.016917321874581948, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.025227492230526005, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.020285868862460754, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008310170355944058, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0033685469878788066, "ret_p1w": -0.04824564260170716, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04824564260170716, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05893238540073609, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05298377122124498, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010686742799028925, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004738128619537818, "ret_p1m": 0.24561397952695474, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.24561397952695474, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.21370597936236324, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.17001534191757384, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0319080001645915, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0755986376093809, "ret_p3m": -0.44924812400729885, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.44924812400729885, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5003287651439162, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5436012396949236, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.051080641136617366, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09435311568762472, "ret_p6m": -0.4047619061846197, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4047619061846197, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4553708568649375, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.44546564543170253, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05060895068031779, "bench_c_p6m": 0.040703739247082815, "price_path": [0.1523, 0.3534, 0.3653, 0.4893, 0.4893, 0.6046, 0.6892, 0.7845, 0.7024, 0.9486, 0.8954, 0.8064, 0.6673, 0.7732, 0.76, 0.76, 0.8145, 0.6754, 0.5407, 0.4361, 0.2851, 0.3358, 0.2895, 0.386, 0.3496, 0.4524, 0.5827, 0.5915, 0.619, 0.6886, 0.8139, 0.708, 0.4843, 0.5733, 0.7043, 0.6974, 0.8333, 0.8152, 0.8014, 0.3853, 0.2625, 0.1798, 0.1654, 0.1184, 0.104, 0.0113, -0.0451, -0.0821, -0.0288, -0.0558, -0.0351, -0.0683, 0.0025, -0.0226, -0.0332, -0.1272, -0.1272, -0.183, -0.2243, -0.1892, -0.141, -0.1523, -0.0977, 0.0, -0.0169, -0.0132, 0.0025, -0.0977, -0.0482, -0.0489, -0.0031, 0.1654, 0.1497, 0.0946, 0.0971, 0.1065, 0.1585, 0.1347, 0.1754, 0.1873, 0.1259, 0.1253, 0.2199, 0.2794, 0.2456, 0.1071, 0.1736, 0.1497, 0.1316, 0.0739, 0.015, 0.0583, 0.0771, 0.0169, 0.0683, 0.1422, 0.1441, 0.1153, 0.1053, 0.1278, 0.2694, 0.2099, 0.1353, 0.1034, 0.0232, 0.0407, 0.0639, 0.0094, 0.0125, -0.0445, -0.4586, -0.4956, -0.5031, -0.5263, -0.5144, -0.5144, -0.4956, -0.4806, -0.411, -0.411, -0.3966, -0.4279, -0.4424, -0.4298, -0.4073, -0.4593, -0.4492, -0.4524, -0.4693, -0.4799, -0.5251, -0.5526, -0.5313, -0.5633, -0.5432, -0.5269, -0.5144, -0.5276, -0.5326, -0.5326, -0.5545, -0.5664, -0.5627, -0.557, -0.557, -0.5182, -0.4868, -0.4499, -0.4799, -0.4624, -0.4655, -0.4198, -0.4004, -0.3377, -0.3008, -0.245, -0.245, -0.3033, -0.2845, -0.3001, -0.2982, -0.354, -0.3214, -0.344, -0.3377, -0.3609, -0.3672, -0.4004, -0.4492, -0.5125, -0.4311, -0.4254, -0.4637, -0.4643, -0.4981, -0.49, -0.49, -0.5025, -0.4956, -0.4994, -0.5119, -0.5263, -0.4706, -0.4586, -0.4449, -0.3528, -0.3709, -0.3866, -0.3759, -0.4048]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1950838489257480592", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-31T08:38:35+00:00", "symbol": "KSPI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$KSPI is an extremely good buy at $82 after this week's 7.2% drop. So bought $100k+ worth, plan to scale this to $250k cost average.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long KSPI at $82, bought $100k+, scaling to $250k; 47% Y/Y growth, 31% margins, 7.9x P/E cited as thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["KSPI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$KSPI is an extremely good buy at $82 after this week's 7.2% drop. So bought $100k+ worth, plan to scale this to $250k cost average. \n\n$HOOD $SOFI $BULL aside, $KSPI is growing 47% Y/Y as a fintech with 31% profit margins and a 7.9 P/E. \n\nMight make a WSB style post about this. https://t.co/JdyYm2rBuV", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.039036792708257106, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.039036792708257106, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03527144149620853, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03527144149620853, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0037653512120485733, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0037653512120485733, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03472747862141479, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03472747862141479, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.018337109101653315, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.018337109101653315, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.016390369519761472, "bench_c_p1d": -0.016390369519761472, "ret_p1w": 0.16311776552034885, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16311776552034885, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1628487979507094, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1628487979507094, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00026896756963945556, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00026896756963945556, "ret_p1m": 0.1908744518248131, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1908744518248131, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1703549139893925, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1703549139893925, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.020519537835420598, "bench_c_p1m": 0.020519537835420598, "ret_p3m": -0.04980988029573297, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.04980988029573297, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13980611747643867, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13980611747643867, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08999623718070571, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08999623718070571, "ret_p6m": -0.0019011970426702218, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.0019011970426702218, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.09857098510946927, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.09857098510946927, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09666978806679905, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09666978806679905, "price_path": [0.1452, 0.1304, 0.1516, 0.1679, 0.1421, 0.0545, 0.0233, 0.0399, 0.0398, 0.0573, 0.0838, 0.0431, 0.0247, 0.0255, 0.0227, 0.0227, 0.0458, 0.0362, 0.029, 0.011, 0.0494, 0.0464, 0.0527, 0.0747, 0.0891, 0.0852, 0.106, 0.103, 0.1181, 0.0904, 0.0951, 0.0769, 0.0513, 0.0513, 0.0292, 0.0104, 0.0335, 0.0411, 0.0597, 0.0921, 0.0759, 0.0701, 0.0695, 0.0728, 0.0728, 0.0456, 0.0593, 0.05, 0.0567, 0.0326, 0.025, 0.0657, 0.0776, 0.098, 0.0894, 0.1128, 0.1082, 0.1293, 0.0859, 0.0773, 0.0887, 0.0895, 0.039, 0.0, -0.0347, 0.0985, 0.1294, 0.1251, 0.1631, 0.2035, 0.2146, 0.2316, 0.2384, 0.2156, 0.2071, 0.1872, 0.1923, 0.1446, 0.1582, 0.1729, 0.1726, 0.1575, 0.1721, 0.1787, 0.1909, 0.1909, 0.1535, 0.1428, 0.1545, 0.1232, 0.1022, 0.1057, 0.0781, 0.0762, 0.0698, 0.0724, 0.0739, 0.1298, 0.1417, 0.1153, 0.0933, 0.0717, 0.0695, 0.0646, 0.0646, 0.037, 0.0352, 0.0089, 0.0023, 0.0137, -0.0163, -0.026, -0.021, -0.0406, -0.0657, -0.0471, -0.0575, -0.0546, -0.0631, -0.0707, -0.0513, -0.0548, -0.0546, -0.0555, -0.0482, -0.0266, -0.0498, -0.0494, -0.0747, -0.0521, -0.0487, -0.0686, -0.0668, -0.0902, -0.0965, -0.0665, -0.0494, -0.0483, -0.0539, -0.0651, -0.0801, -0.0772, -0.0774, -0.0946, -0.1015, -0.0904, -0.0565, -0.0621, -0.0621, -0.0202, -0.0221, -0.0195, -0.0105, -0.0223, -0.0314, -0.0567, -0.0683, -0.0452, -0.027, -0.0283, -0.0312, -0.0128, -0.0012, -0.0072, -0.0171, -0.0027, -0.0068, -0.0062, -0.0062, -0.0032, 0.0023, 0.0019, -0.0098, -0.0098, -0.0172, -0.0027, 0.0558, 0.0668, 0.0605, 0.0373, 0.0153, -0.0058, 0.0188, 0.0006, 0.007, 0.007, -0.019, -0.0364, -0.0093, -0.0019]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1985012866538467477", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-02T15:55:21+00:00", "symbol": "CORZ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$8.7 billion colo with $CRWV over 12 years gives $CORZ more predictable cashflows, and majority of capex ~80% ($~196m/ $244.5 million Q3) or so was funded by Coreweave, which is a lot nicer of a model for shareholders than convertible debt or toxic debt interest cutting into margins", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish CORZ: $8.7B 12-year colo deal provides predictable cashflows, capex mostly funded by Coreweave — better model than debt financing.", "resolved_tickers": ["CORZ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "You’re right, I missed $CORZ. Thanks for pointing it out,  and appreciate others like @cazenove_uk for that too. \n\nShould just treat it as standalone now given $CRWV merger got terminated the other day, don’t know how it slipped my mind. I’ll add that in the next 2/2 post.\n\n$8.7 billion colo with $CRWV over 12 years gives $CORZ more predictable cashflows, and majority of capex ~80% ($~196m/ $244.5 million Q3) or so was funded by Coreweave, which is a lot nicer of a model for shareholders than convertible debt or toxic debt interest cutting into margins.\n\nAlso, with ~1.3-1.5 GW capacity, Coreweave only taking up 500 MW, and revenue offsetting capex, it’s quite interesting.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Why no $corz?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "matthew_sigel", "ret_m1d": -0.05938859064008206, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05938859064008206, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05751532908187229, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05751532908187229, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05065501601464906, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05065501601464906, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.038801476072201524, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.038801476072201524, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "bench_c_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "ret_p1w": -0.15764186738596198, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.15764186738596198, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.15486134862347878, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.15486134862347878, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "ret_p1m": -0.3091703074954222, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3091703074954222, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3065215655961735, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3065215655961735, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "ret_p3m": -0.1772925560512718, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1772925560512718, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.19595205209235178, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.19595205209235178, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "ret_p6m": -0.125764157586979, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.125764157586979, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1731817307997161, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1731817307997161, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "bench_c_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "price_path": [-0.3838, -0.3734, -0.3707, -0.3655, -0.3402, -0.3952, -0.3959, -0.383, -0.3655, -0.3734, -0.3852, -0.3978, -0.4083, -0.4026, -0.3869, -0.3799, -0.3734, -0.3734, -0.3734, -0.3886, -0.407, -0.4052, -0.4052, -0.3917, -0.3655, -0.3017, -0.321, -0.3074, -0.2873, -0.2934, -0.2895, -0.2686, -0.2742, -0.2502, -0.2576, -0.2572, -0.2646, -0.2642, -0.2432, -0.2166, -0.2153, -0.2096, -0.2218, -0.2179, -0.2533, -0.2345, -0.2122, -0.1913, -0.1611, -0.1729, -0.1293, -0.141, -0.1703, -0.1786, -0.1603, -0.2227, -0.2114, -0.1555, -0.1323, -0.1227, -0.093, -0.0943, -0.0594, 0.0, -0.0507, -0.048, -0.1009, -0.1183, -0.1576, -0.2437, -0.2821, -0.338, -0.348, -0.3541, -0.3262, -0.3279, -0.338, -0.3568, -0.3122, -0.321, -0.2934, -0.2934, -0.2624, -0.2755, -0.3092, -0.2773, -0.2541, -0.2528, -0.2275, -0.2362, -0.2432, -0.2402, -0.2782, -0.3328, -0.3568, -0.4074, -0.3642, -0.3188, -0.3105, -0.324, -0.3201, -0.3201, -0.3323, -0.3415, -0.362, -0.3642, -0.3642, -0.3017, -0.2694, -0.2668, -0.2908, -0.2716, -0.2515, -0.2367, -0.2127, -0.2175, -0.2105, -0.1751, -0.1751, -0.1983, -0.2052, -0.2105, -0.1795, -0.1681, -0.1293, -0.1489, -0.1773, -0.2144, -0.2197, -0.2253, -0.2948, -0.3531, -0.2659, -0.19, -0.2083, -0.21, -0.2367, -0.221, -0.221, -0.2476, -0.2459, -0.2148, -0.2445, -0.2624, -0.2197, -0.2105, -0.2148, -0.259, -0.2799, -0.3319, -0.3083, -0.3013, -0.3511, -0.338, -0.3249, -0.2777, -0.2908, -0.2799, -0.259, -0.283, -0.286, -0.2803, -0.3096, -0.276, -0.2642, -0.2555, -0.3105, -0.3419, -0.3926, -0.3467, -0.3319, -0.2913, -0.2913, -0.2886, -0.2651, -0.2288, -0.2148, -0.2, -0.183, -0.1843, -0.1668, -0.1511, -0.1332, -0.1323, -0.093, -0.0747, -0.0913, -0.0882, -0.0786, -0.1258]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1990832317766738346", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-18T17:19:47+00:00", "symbol": "GOOG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "improving fundamentals (forward earnings, margins, growth), across the board from hyperscalers like $GOOG", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on equities broadly; cites improving fundamentals across hyperscalers and growth names; buying dips rather than exiting.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@platochi has a valid thesis too. There's not one correct one for sure, but my core reasoning is that there's improving fundamentals (forward earnings, margins, growth), across the board from hyperscalers like $GOOG, $AMZN down to growth stocks from $HOOD, to $RKLB. \n\nIf companies started missing earnings and revising downward like $FISV, (maybe not to that extent lol) then I would be looking to exit the market instead of buying dips.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What's your reasoning that it's not continued crash?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "_visionarius", "ret_m1d": 0.002245919318059064, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.002245919318059064, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.006222749545717665, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007880541588634382, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00846866886377673, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005634622270575318, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.028179354400341694, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.028179354400341694, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.024316154257504774, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03372449352911511, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00386320014283692, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005545139128773413, "ret_p1w": 0.13573833190061202, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.13573833190061202, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11310462684403522, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.11346836091842216, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022633705056576803, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022269970982189857, "ret_p1m": 0.04665373785833049, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04665373785833049, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02950428354011647, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.010878817284061704, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01714945431821402, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03577492057426879, "ret_p3m": 0.07460574426868583, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07460574426868583, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.03872447004405988, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04651401244231357, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03588127422462595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.028091731826372257, "ret_p6m": 0.4022376833154029, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4022376833154029, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.27125852486310076, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.35124225032069534, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13097915845230212, "bench_c_p6m": 0.050995432994707546, "price_path": [-0.2966, -0.2752, -0.2667, -0.2709, -0.27, -0.2554, -0.2513, -0.2513, -0.2567, -0.1897, -0.1843, -0.1755, -0.1783, -0.158, -0.1593, -0.155, -0.1529, -0.1165, -0.1177, -0.1232, -0.1145, -0.1043, -0.1126, -0.1145, -0.1303, -0.1347, -0.1326, -0.1425, -0.1453, -0.1383, -0.1352, -0.1351, -0.1174, -0.1328, -0.1386, -0.15, -0.1666, -0.1415, -0.1361, -0.1167, -0.1161, -0.1094, -0.098, -0.118, -0.1138, -0.1096, -0.0858, -0.0527, -0.058, -0.0344, -0.0107, -0.011, -0.0029, -0.0242, -0.0007, 0.0013, -0.0185, 0.0198, 0.0238, 0.0087, -0.0205, -0.028, 0.0022, 0.0, 0.0282, 0.0176, 0.0516, 0.1176, 0.1357, 0.1239, 0.1239, 0.1234, 0.1058, 0.109, 0.1251, 0.1173, 0.1303, 0.1042, 0.1158, 0.1272, 0.1016, 0.0904, 0.0862, 0.0806, 0.0467, 0.0666, 0.0837, 0.0933, 0.1085, 0.1085, 0.1085, 0.106, 0.104, 0.1046, 0.1019, 0.1019, 0.1073, 0.1143, 0.1046, 0.1322, 0.1448, 0.1558, 0.1684, 0.1814, 0.181, 0.1699, 0.16, 0.16, 0.1313, 0.1531, 0.1618, 0.1533, 0.1714, 0.1764, 0.1809, 0.1892, 0.1888, 0.2111, 0.1964, 0.1705, 0.1635, 0.1346, 0.1391, 0.1189, 0.0933, 0.0864, 0.0746, 0.0746, 0.0634, 0.0673, 0.066, 0.1058, 0.0945, 0.0918, 0.0992, 0.0786, 0.0936, 0.0758, 0.066, 0.0656, 0.0567, 0.0475, 0.0753, 0.0786, 0.0838, 0.0655, 0.0593, 0.0697, 0.0873, 0.0763, 0.0743, 0.05, 0.0508, 0.0163, 0.0176, -0.0135, -0.038, -0.0402, 0.008, 0.0363, 0.0347, 0.0347, 0.046, 0.068, 0.106, 0.1117, 0.1094, 0.1217, 0.1617, 0.1753, 0.1694, 0.1927, 0.1786, 0.1613, 0.1868, 0.1869, 0.2029, 0.2247, 0.2211, 0.2205, 0.3421, 0.3466, 0.3341, 0.3503, 0.3885, 0.3891, 0.3952, 0.3591, 0.3488, 0.4022]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1990832317766738346", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-18T17:19:47+00:00", "symbol": "AMZN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "hyperscalers like $GOOG, $AMZN", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on equities broadly; cites improving fundamentals across hyperscalers and growth names; buying dips rather than exiting.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMZN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@platochi has a valid thesis too. There's not one correct one for sure, but my core reasoning is that there's improving fundamentals (forward earnings, margins, growth), across the board from hyperscalers like $GOOG, $AMZN down to growth stocks from $HOOD, to $RKLB. \n\nIf companies started missing earnings and revising downward like $FISV, (maybe not to that extent lol) then I would be looking to exit the market instead of buying dips.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What's your reasoning that it's not continued crash?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "_visionarius", "ret_m1d": 0.04637156559835942, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04637156559835942, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03790289673458269, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.027574208318643212, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00846866886377673, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01879735727971621, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0006290693674619874, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0006290693674619874, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0032341307753749327, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0005845090495102401, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00386320014283692, "bench_c_p1d": 4.456031795174731e-05, "ret_p1w": 0.03199278822535723, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03199278822535723, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.009359083168780424, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.007650813847864368, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022633705056576803, "bench_c_p1w": 0.039643602073221595, "ret_p1m": -0.0057515109492009, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0057515109492009, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02290096526741492, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07942629869400808, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01714945431821402, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07367478774480718, "ret_p3m": -0.10676256769180636, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.10676256769180636, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1426438419164323, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1438248785748827, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03588127422462595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03706231088307632, "ret_p6m": 0.21379465818290355, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.21379465818290355, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08281549973060143, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.15193060659502078, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13097915845230212, "bench_c_p6m": 0.061864051587882773, "price_path": [-0.0027, 0.0283, 0.0242, 0.0277, 0.0295, 0.0407, 0.029, 0.029, 0.0125, 0.0155, 0.059, 0.0439, 0.0597, 0.0705, 0.035, 0.0333, 0.0252, 0.0399, 0.0517, 0.0408, 0.039, 0.0401, 0.0228, -0.0083, -0.0105, -0.0198, -0.0124, -0.0017, -0.0134, -0.0086, -0.0006, -0.0137, -0.0074, -0.0035, 0.012, 0.0233, -0.0278, -0.0111, -0.0277, -0.0314, -0.0363, -0.0427, -0.0273, -0.0023, -0.0207, -0.0066, 0.0075, 0.0199, 0.0301, 0.0348, 0.0014, 0.0974, 0.1413, 0.1203, 0.1242, 0.0921, 0.0982, 0.1162, 0.1193, 0.0973, 0.0675, 0.0545, 0.0464, 0.0, 0.0006, -0.0243, -0.0084, 0.0168, 0.032, 0.0297, 0.0297, 0.0479, 0.0509, 0.0533, 0.0442, 0.0295, 0.0314, 0.0195, 0.0241, 0.0415, 0.0347, 0.0164, -0.0, 0.0, -0.0058, 0.0189, 0.0216, 0.0264, 0.0431, 0.0442, 0.0442, 0.0448, 0.0428, 0.0448, 0.0372, 0.0372, 0.0177, 0.0472, 0.0826, 0.0854, 0.1067, 0.1116, 0.1075, 0.0901, 0.0634, 0.0702, 0.0745, 0.0745, 0.038, 0.0394, 0.053, 0.0746, 0.0713, 0.0994, 0.0919, 0.0862, 0.0753, 0.0917, 0.0722, 0.0469, 0.0006, -0.055, -0.0621, -0.0701, -0.083, -0.1031, -0.1068, -0.1068, -0.0962, -0.0798, -0.0795, -0.0559, -0.0776, -0.0629, -0.0535, -0.0657, -0.0564, -0.0636, -0.0621, -0.0257, -0.0162, -0.042, -0.0407, -0.0369, -0.0445, -0.0585, -0.0669, -0.0486, -0.033, -0.057, -0.062, -0.0772, -0.0558, -0.0688, -0.0487, -0.0674, -0.1043, -0.0971, -0.0642, -0.0538, -0.0574, -0.0574, -0.0439, -0.0395, -0.0058, 0.0499, 0.0711, 0.0779, 0.1189, 0.1166, 0.122, 0.1259, 0.1156, 0.1229, 0.1474, 0.1462, 0.1862, 0.1733, 0.1669, 0.1819, 0.191, 0.2054, 0.2224, 0.2292, 0.2356, 0.2185, 0.2253, 0.2087, 0.1944, 0.2138]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1990832317766738346", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-11-18T17:19:47+00:00", "symbol": "HOOD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "growth stocks from $HOOD", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on equities broadly; cites improving fundamentals across hyperscalers and growth names; buying dips rather than exiting.", "resolved_tickers": ["HOOD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@platochi has a valid thesis too. There's not one correct one for sure, but my core reasoning is that there's improving fundamentals (forward earnings, margins, growth), across the board from hyperscalers like $GOOG, $AMZN down to growth stocks from $HOOD, to $RKLB. \n\nIf companies started missing earnings and revising downward like $FISV, (maybe not to that extent lol) then I would be looking to exit the market instead of buying dips.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What's your reasoning that it's not continued crash?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "_visionarius", "ret_m1d": 0.014610657255967885, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.014610657255967885, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0061419883921911556, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.013053223312087248, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00846866886377673, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0015574339438806373, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03377078309091264, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03377078309091264, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.029907582948075717, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030072055366064276, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00386320014283692, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0036987277248483608, "ret_p1w": 0.011111081444952653, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.011111081444952653, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01152262361162415, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01166492003570685, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022633705056576803, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022776001480659502, "ret_p1m": 0.0131233592296649, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0131233592296649, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.00402609508854912, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05033789820593437, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01714945431821402, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06346125743559927, "ret_p3m": -0.3353455888684267, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3353455888684267, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.37122686309305264, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3443104402066266, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03588127422462595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.008964851338199908, "ret_p6m": -0.32852145274881805, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.32852145274881805, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4595006112011202, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3297135904225932, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13097915845230212, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0011921376737751288, "price_path": [-0.07, -0.0436, -0.0556, -0.0481, -0.0996, -0.0928, -0.0899, -0.0899, -0.1178, -0.1179, -0.0997, -0.1142, 0.0261, 0.0367, 0.0276, 0.0302, 0.0064, 0.0046, 0.0269, 0.038, 0.0578, 0.0917, 0.0927, 0.1041, 0.1094, 0.0731, 0.0654, 0.1962, 0.2527, 0.2173, 0.2747, 0.3007, 0.2621, 0.2686, 0.3199, 0.3339, 0.2157, 0.2308, 0.1807, 0.1737, 0.15, 0.1366, 0.1881, 0.1535, 0.113, 0.1752, 0.223, 0.2761, 0.2795, 0.2668, 0.208, 0.2842, 0.2868, 0.1969, 0.2465, 0.1118, 0.1405, 0.1888, 0.1542, 0.1634, 0.0633, 0.0717, 0.0146, 0.0, 0.0338, -0.0708, -0.0612, 0.0059, 0.0111, 0.1216, 0.1216, 0.1241, 0.0782, 0.1019, 0.1692, 0.1993, 0.1544, 0.1936, 0.1873, 0.1869, 0.0794, 0.0455, 0.0084, 0.0446, 0.0131, 0.025, 0.0617, 0.0706, 0.052, 0.0537, 0.0537, 0.0335, 0.0274, 0.0101, -0.0105, -0.0105, 0.008, 0.0782, 0.0647, 0.0234, 0.0095, 0.0085, 0.0282, 0.052, 0.047, -0.0346, -0.0486, -0.0486, -0.0745, -0.0733, -0.0704, -0.064, -0.0639, -0.0793, -0.0954, -0.1143, -0.1297, -0.2134, -0.2382, -0.2947, -0.3641, -0.2754, -0.2427, -0.2511, -0.3178, -0.3778, -0.3353, -0.3353, -0.34, -0.342, -0.3381, -0.3341, -0.372, -0.3579, -0.3217, -0.3049, -0.3364, -0.3108, -0.3345, -0.2808, -0.2952, -0.3255, -0.3058, -0.3129, -0.3115, -0.334, -0.3579, -0.3411, -0.3233, -0.3447, -0.3512, -0.3798, -0.3658, -0.3956, -0.3654, -0.3845, -0.4224, -0.4299, -0.3937, -0.3866, -0.3972, -0.3972, -0.3895, -0.3906, -0.3716, -0.3865, -0.3947, -0.373, -0.308, -0.236, -0.2402, -0.206, -0.2014, -0.2438, -0.2263, -0.2691, -0.2589, -0.2655, -0.282, -0.3771, -0.3623, -0.3556, -0.3303, -0.3261, -0.3084, -0.3326, -0.3261, -0.2933, -0.3152, -0.3285]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1990832317766738346", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-11-18T17:19:47+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "to $RKLB", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on equities broadly; cites improving fundamentals across hyperscalers and growth names; buying dips rather than exiting.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@platochi has a valid thesis too. There's not one correct one for sure, but my core reasoning is that there's improving fundamentals (forward earnings, margins, growth), across the board from hyperscalers like $GOOG, $AMZN down to growth stocks from $HOOD, to $RKLB. \n\nIf companies started missing earnings and revising downward like $FISV, (maybe not to that extent lol) then I would be looking to exit the market instead of buying dips.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What's your reasoning that it's not continued crash?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "_visionarius", "ret_m1d": 0.012389027796107177, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.012389027796107177, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.003920358932330448, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007917954826712759, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00846866886377673, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0044710729693944185, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.019635347745601273, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.019635347745601273, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.015772147602764353, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.016298744478221883, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00386320014283692, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00333660326737939, "ret_p1w": -0.0042075808862082065, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0042075808862082065, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02684128594278501, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.018021327437561685, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022633705056576803, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013813746551353479, "ret_p1m": 0.2613370879894994, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2613370879894994, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.24418763367128538, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.23677928218833455, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01714945431821402, "bench_c_p1m": 0.024557805801164845, "ret_p3m": 0.5764376897094123, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5764376897094123, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5405564154847864, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.41016123608301314, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03588127422462595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1662764536263992, "ret_p6m": 1.9020571544747344, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.9020571544747344, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.7710779960224323, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.7361969053217443, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13097915845230212, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16586024915299014, "price_path": [-0.0292, 0.0374, 0.1038, 0.1251, 0.0811, 0.1199, 0.136, 0.136, 0.1526, 0.0175, 0.0049, 0.0715, 0.1157, 0.0993, 0.0792, 0.1321, 0.2468, 0.2632, 0.1044, 0.1239, 0.1029, 0.1171, 0.1643, 0.2368, 0.1381, 0.09, 0.0813, 0.0989, 0.1199, 0.1213, 0.2265, 0.3128, 0.3675, 0.4378, 0.5266, 0.5526, 0.5021, 0.5292, 0.5902, 0.6192, 0.5662, 0.5491, 0.5743, 0.5288, 0.4157, 0.486, 0.5091, 0.5339, 0.4902, 0.5465, 0.424, 0.4722, 0.4338, 0.3223, 0.3188, 0.1597, 0.2071, 0.2132, 0.1978, 0.1681, 0.0577, 0.0645, 0.0124, 0.0, 0.0196, -0.0771, -0.058, -0.0077, -0.0042, -0.0199, -0.0199, -0.015, -0.0563, -0.0206, 0.0453, 0.154, 0.1467, 0.2052, 0.2489, 0.3446, 0.485, 0.4374, 0.2952, 0.2971, 0.2613, 0.4007, 0.6484, 0.8128, 0.8041, 0.8041, 0.8041, 0.6515, 0.6391, 0.6468, 0.6307, 0.6307, 0.7763, 0.8266, 1.011, 0.9654, 0.942, 0.9834, 1.0547, 1.0238, 1.1459, 1.1216, 1.2511, 1.2511, 1.0842, 1.0528, 1.0566, 1.0781, 0.8813, 1.0337, 1.0704, 1.0028, 0.8717, 0.7333, 0.8997, 0.709, 0.5503, 0.6905, 0.7728, 0.6837, 0.6274, 0.543, 0.5764, 0.5764, 0.6337, 0.7396, 0.7901, 0.6564, 0.6412, 0.6356, 0.641, 0.6982, 0.6152, 0.659, 0.6393, 0.6809, 0.6363, 0.6388, 0.6709, 0.6113, 0.6821, 0.5982, 0.5991, 0.6669, 0.8371, 0.6241, 0.6814, 0.5715, 0.5895, 0.5444, 0.7036, 0.5414, 0.4243, 0.3413, 0.5012, 0.5316, 0.5832, 0.5832, 0.5818, 0.5503, 0.6148, 0.5601, 0.5907, 0.6508, 0.6882, 0.7204, 0.9385, 0.9822, 1.0912, 1.0252, 1.1047, 0.9776, 0.8626, 0.9236, 0.8371, 0.8004, 0.9287, 0.8422, 0.8773, 0.841, 0.9787, 0.8368, 1.4654, 1.7431, 1.748, 1.9021]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1971617950982721970", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-26T16:48:45+00:00", "symbol": "ORCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "DCA's into $ORCL positions. Bought some calls $284, on the 2.4% drop. Could see extended selloff into very early October but too much forward rev potential with OpenAi, TikTok, etc so risk/reward is worth it imo", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long ORCL via calls on dip, bullish on OpenAI/TikTok revenue potential; also long CRM calls on gut feel.", "resolved_tickers": ["ORCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "DCA's into $ORCL positions. Bought some calls $284, on the 2.4% drop.\n\nCould see extended selloff into very early October but too much forward rev potential with OpenAi, TikTok, etc so risk/reward is worth it imo https://t.co/wY2iMVK43u\n\n---\n\n$CRM calls also looks good somehow at $243, just a fuzzy feeling", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02776416271679194, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02776416271679194, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03346067096564087, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03346067096564087, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0056965082488489305, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0056965082488489305, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.002469374793626522, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.002469374793626522, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0052797412347663775, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0052797412347663775, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028103664411398555, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0028103664411398555, "ret_p1w": 0.009454850546779303, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.009454850546779303, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0017113035927445175, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0017113035927445175, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01116615413952382, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01116615413952382, "ret_p1m": -0.005544564038754363, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.005544564038754363, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04093175297484586, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04093175297484586, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035387188936091496, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035387188936091496, "ret_p3m": -0.3020788018871723, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3020788018871723, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.34831485300558707, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.34831485300558707, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04623605111841478, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04623605111841478, "ret_p6m": -0.4531272905900837, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4531272905900837, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.44903504980212383, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.44903504980212383, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.004092240787959889, "bench_c_p6m": -0.004092240787959889, "price_path": [-0.2292, -0.1904, -0.1645, -0.1645, -0.1824, -0.1745, -0.1699, -0.171, -0.1866, -0.1911, -0.1711, -0.1487, -0.1225, -0.1341, -0.1408, -0.16, -0.1466, -0.1433, -0.1353, -0.1261, -0.1181, -0.1159, -0.1047, -0.1377, -0.1091, -0.098, -0.0954, -0.1202, -0.1179, -0.1086, -0.1044, -0.1386, -0.1358, -0.1241, -0.1213, -0.1723, -0.1707, -0.1774, -0.1661, -0.1695, -0.1737, -0.1681, -0.1522, -0.2023, -0.2023, -0.2052, -0.2117, -0.2133, -0.1787, -0.1587, -0.148, 0.1583, 0.0861, 0.0308, 0.0659, 0.0818, 0.0633, 0.0464, 0.0889, 0.1577, 0.1071, 0.0882, 0.0278, 0.0, -0.0025, -0.0078, 0.0196, 0.0188, 0.0095, 0.0287, 0.0028, 0.0182, 0.0494, 0.0353, 0.0885, 0.0567, 0.073, 0.1061, 0.0295, -0.0205, -0.0276, -0.0364, -0.0102, 0.0013, -0.0055, -0.0076, -0.0271, -0.0922, -0.0719, -0.0888, -0.123, -0.1154, -0.1384, -0.1545, -0.1489, -0.1655, -0.1978, -0.2311, -0.2125, -0.223, -0.2208, -0.203, -0.2554, -0.2976, -0.2922, -0.3037, -0.2757, -0.2757, -0.2863, -0.2899, -0.2893, -0.2659, -0.2426, -0.2311, -0.2206, -0.2171, -0.2119, -0.2973, -0.3287, -0.3465, -0.3333, -0.3693, -0.3638, -0.3216, -0.2989, -0.3097, -0.3021, -0.3021, -0.3003, -0.3095, -0.3031, -0.3112, -0.3112, -0.3084, -0.3194, -0.3153, -0.3185, -0.3298, -0.2966, -0.2748, -0.2832, -0.314, -0.3273, -0.3229, -0.3229, -0.3625, -0.3839, -0.3687, -0.3723, -0.3536, -0.3803, -0.3877, -0.4011, -0.4168, -0.4329, -0.452, -0.4803, -0.5164, -0.4939, -0.4452, -0.4335, -0.4431, -0.4455, -0.4326, -0.4326, -0.4544, -0.4466, -0.4453, -0.4753, -0.4993, -0.4822, -0.476, -0.4674, -0.4848, -0.4712, -0.472, -0.4601, -0.4515, -0.458, -0.463, -0.4706, -0.422, -0.436, -0.4504, -0.4474, -0.4519, -0.4582, -0.4489, -0.4696, -0.4531]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1971617950982721970", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-26T16:48:45+00:00", "symbol": "CRM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$CRM calls also looks good somehow at $243, just a fuzzy feeling", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long ORCL via calls on dip, bullish on OpenAI/TikTok revenue potential; also long CRM calls on gut feel.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "DCA's into $ORCL positions. Bought some calls $284, on the 2.4% drop.\n\nCould see extended selloff into very early October but too much forward rev potential with OpenAi, TikTok, etc so risk/reward is worth it imo https://t.co/wY2iMVK43u\n\n---\n\n$CRM calls also looks good somehow at $243, just a fuzzy feeling", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.010187699722488341, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010187699722488341, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004491191473639411, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004491191473639411, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0056965082488489305, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0056965082488489305, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006860342184404455, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.006860342184404455, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0040499757432646, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0040499757432646, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028103664411398555, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0028103664411398555, "ret_p1w": -0.012611418327927448, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.012611418327927448, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02377757246745127, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02377757246745127, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01116615413952382, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01116615413952382, "ret_p1m": 0.04945983388829145, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04945983388829145, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.014072644952199953, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.014072644952199953, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035387188936091496, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035387188936091496, "ret_p3m": 0.09143570961776581, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09143570961776581, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.045199658499351036, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.045199658499351036, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04623605111841478, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04623605111841478, "ret_p6m": -0.19691473738359366, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.19691473738359366, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.19282249659563377, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.19282249659563377, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.004092240787959889, "bench_c_p6m": -0.004092240787959889, "price_path": [0.1151, 0.104, 0.116, 0.116, 0.1064, 0.1222, 0.111, 0.0825, 0.0583, 0.0649, 0.0563, 0.0578, 0.0657, 0.076, 0.0756, 0.0809, 0.0958, 0.0978, 0.1036, 0.1082, 0.0965, 0.0859, 0.0594, 0.0282, 0.0347, 0.0149, 0.0218, -0.0122, -0.0137, -0.0458, -0.05, -0.028, -0.043, -0.0058, 0.0005, 0.0088, 0.0106, 0.0081, 0.0182, 0.0165, -0.0005, 0.0259, 0.0438, 0.0508, 0.0508, 0.0369, 0.0517, 0.0006, 0.0283, 0.0345, 0.0337, -0.0053, 0.0099, -0.0045, -0.0055, -0.0186, -0.005, 0.0035, 0.015, 0.0257, 0.0046, 0.0101, -0.0102, 0.0, 0.0069, -0.0264, -0.0318, -0.0187, -0.0126, 0.0097, -0.0152, -0.0123, 0.0078, -0.0072, 0.0219, -0.015, -0.0281, 0.0106, -0.0014, 0.0446, 0.0821, 0.0543, 0.0477, 0.0468, 0.0495, 0.0445, 0.033, 0.0543, 0.0698, 0.0736, 0.0452, 0.038, -0.0171, -0.0146, -0.0071, 0.0044, 0.0106, -0.0123, 0.0009, -0.0263, -0.0408, -0.0639, -0.0742, -0.067, -0.0682, -0.0382, -0.0628, -0.0628, -0.053, -0.0435, -0.0358, -0.0193, 0.0166, 0.0704, 0.0661, 0.0723, 0.0853, 0.0777, 0.0772, 0.0458, 0.0472, 0.0604, 0.0609, 0.0694, 0.0888, 0.0839, 0.0914, 0.0914, 0.0948, 0.0954, 0.0942, 0.09, 0.09, 0.0435, 0.0544, 0.0817, 0.095, 0.072, 0.0695, 0.0673, -0.0081, -0.0143, -0.0391, -0.0655, -0.0655, -0.0945, -0.0883, -0.0615, -0.0617, -0.0561, -0.0597, -0.062, -0.1191, -0.1265, -0.1326, -0.192, -0.1794, -0.2184, -0.2127, -0.2016, -0.204, -0.2388, -0.237, -0.2194, -0.2194, -0.2417, -0.2273, -0.2376, -0.2381, -0.2669, -0.2371, -0.211, -0.1793, -0.1985, -0.2061, -0.1933, -0.2056, -0.1714, -0.1684, -0.1821, -0.198, -0.2012, -0.18, -0.2066, -0.1839, -0.1964, -0.2004, -0.1977, -0.1961, -0.1969]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2010877487681835338", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-13T00:52:08+00:00", "symbol": "EWY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm mega bullish on", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Mega bullish on SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics on memory/foundry cycle; recommends EWY (options) or FLKR (shares) for non-Korea access.", "resolved_tickers": ["EWY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just a heads up:\n\nIf you don’t have access to Korean stocks and don’t want to miss the memory/foundry mega cycle:\n\nUse $EWY for options or $FLKR for shares (lower .19% exp ratio)\n\nYou can get high exposure to SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics - both of which I’m mega bullish on https://t.co/zm1aEXpDnW", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.012925417312765974, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.012925417312765974, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01092193629647853, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01092193629647853, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002003481016287445, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002003481016287445, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.019527603275460548, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.019527603275460548, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02444284061707913, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02444284061707913, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0049152373416185835, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0049152373416185835, "ret_p1w": 0.03189511136298062, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03189511136298062, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.055231417586554366, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.055231417586554366, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023336306223573744, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023336306223573744, "ret_p1m": 0.21443188573247185, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21443188573247185, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.21704079540512755, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.21704079540512755, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026089096726557015, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0026089096726557015, "ret_p3m": 0.2900315654312804, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2900315654312804, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.30798332345036517, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.30798332345036517, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.017951758019084774, "bench_c_p3m": -0.017951758019084774, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2008, -0.1949, -0.1776, -0.1939, -0.1865, -0.1808, -0.1628, -0.1423, -0.141, -0.1187, -0.1336, -0.1178, -0.0834, -0.1291, -0.1213, -0.1496, -0.1651, -0.1299, -0.1334, -0.1276, -0.1445, -0.1439, -0.154, -0.167, -0.1764, -0.1949, -0.1886, -0.1788, -0.1834, -0.1674, -0.1674, -0.1736, -0.1758, -0.1627, -0.1542, -0.1645, -0.1424, -0.1354, -0.1308, -0.1201, -0.1364, -0.1572, -0.1567, -0.1676, -0.1763, -0.1625, -0.1506, -0.1468, -0.138, -0.1203, -0.1203, -0.1088, -0.082, -0.0829, -0.096, -0.096, -0.0495, -0.0252, 0.0007, -0.0047, -0.0088, 0.0126, 0.0129, 0.0, 0.0195, 0.0326, 0.0435, 0.0435, 0.0319, 0.0755, 0.0786, 0.097, 0.0909, 0.141, 0.1676, 0.1577, 0.1383, 0.1245, 0.156, 0.1183, 0.1178, 0.1597, 0.1721, 0.1572, 0.2144, 0.2163, 0.2458, 0.2458, 0.2152, 0.2361, 0.2573, 0.3193, 0.2953, 0.3442, 0.3845, 0.3986, 0.4076, 0.372, 0.2306, 0.2495, 0.1692, 0.1784, 0.245, 0.2116, 0.2354, 0.1484, 0.1545, 0.2377, 0.25, 0.2263, 0.2537, 0.1696, 0.2443, 0.1972, 0.1878, 0.1158, 0.125, 0.0827, 0.1439, 0.1737, 0.1426, 0.1426, 0.1711, 0.1827, 0.3025, 0.2952, 0.29, 0.3133, 0.364, 0.3476, 0.3713, 0.4165, 0.3957, 0.365, 0.4488, 0.4003, 0.4373, 0.4574, 0.4355, 0.4317, 0.4949, 0.5064, 0.5212, 0.6131, 0.6922, 0.6436, 0.7686, 0.7933, 0.6598, 0.754, 0.7716, 0.6632, 0.6375, 0.6182, 0.6748, 0.7335, 0.6927, 0.6927, 0.8658, 0.8439, 0.9194, 0.914, 0.914, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2010877487681835338", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-13T00:52:08+00:00", "symbol": "FLKR", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Use $EWY for options or $FLKR for shares", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Mega bullish on SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics on memory/foundry cycle; recommends EWY (options) or FLKR (shares) for non-Korea access.", "resolved_tickers": ["FLKR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just a heads up:\n\nIf you don’t have access to Korean stocks and don’t want to miss the memory/foundry mega cycle:\n\nUse $EWY for options or $FLKR for shares (lower .19% exp ratio)\n\nYou can get high exposure to SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics - both of which I’m mega bullish on https://t.co/zm1aEXpDnW", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.012926079729988826, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.012926079729988826, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010922598713701381, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.010922598713701381, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002003481016287445, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002003481016287445, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02130681772000531, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02130681772000531, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.026222055061623895, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.026222055061623895, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0049152373416185835, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0049152373416185835, "ret_p1w": 0.033522735215907984, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.033522735215907984, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05685904143948173, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05685904143948173, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023336306223573744, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023336306223573744, "ret_p1m": 0.2102272031474719, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2102272031474719, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2128361128201276, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2128361128201276, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026089096726557015, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0026089096726557015, "ret_p3m": 0.27471585111800434, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.27471585111800434, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2926676091370891, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2926676091370891, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.017951758019084774, "bench_c_p3m": -0.017951758019084774, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1998, -0.1919, -0.1733, -0.19, -0.1826, -0.1777, -0.1599, -0.1367, -0.1334, -0.1113, -0.1282, -0.1148, -0.0807, -0.1222, -0.1151, -0.1457, -0.1626, -0.1274, -0.1318, -0.1257, -0.143, -0.1405, -0.1512, -0.1665, -0.1744, -0.1926, -0.1848, -0.1764, -0.1801, -0.1673, -0.1673, -0.1719, -0.1749, -0.1596, -0.1517, -0.158, -0.1424, -0.1323, -0.1301, -0.12, -0.1348, -0.155, -0.1528, -0.164, -0.1733, -0.1561, -0.1452, -0.142, -0.1347, -0.1145, -0.1145, -0.1054, -0.0827, -0.0807, -0.0895, -0.0895, -0.0509, -0.0264, 0.0, -0.006, -0.0085, 0.0124, 0.0129, 0.0, 0.0213, 0.0341, 0.0443, 0.0443, 0.0335, 0.0741, 0.077, 0.0966, 0.0915, 0.1381, 0.1634, 0.1554, 0.1384, 0.1241, 0.152, 0.1148, 0.1125, 0.1562, 0.1687, 0.1548, 0.2102, 0.2097, 0.2386, 0.2386, 0.2116, 0.2281, 0.2497, 0.3088, 0.2872, 0.3332, 0.3741, 0.3858, 0.394, 0.3605, 0.221, 0.2338, 0.158, 0.1642, 0.227, 0.2034, 0.2227, 0.1364, 0.1435, 0.2222, 0.2369, 0.2176, 0.2406, 0.1588, 0.2324, 0.1861, 0.1764, 0.1045, 0.1162, 0.073, 0.1327, 0.1599, 0.1327, 0.1327, 0.1588, 0.1733, 0.2881, 0.2807, 0.2747, 0.2974, 0.3483, 0.3327, 0.3537, 0.4011, 0.3807, 0.3497, 0.433, 0.3869, 0.4227, 0.4472, 0.4281, 0.4241, 0.4787, 0.4991, 0.5134, 0.6043, 0.6773, 0.629, 0.7463, 0.7764, 0.6392, 0.7375, 0.7497, 0.6494, 0.6213, 0.5989, 0.6469, 0.7102, 0.6699, 0.6699, 0.8369, 0.8207, 0.8946, 0.8827, 0.8827, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2010877487681835338", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-13T00:52:08+00:00", "symbol": "000660.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm mega bullish on", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Mega bullish on SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics on memory/foundry cycle; recommends EWY (options) or FLKR (shares) for non-Korea access.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just a heads up:\n\nIf you don’t have access to Korean stocks and don’t want to miss the memory/foundry mega cycle:\n\nUse $EWY for options or $FLKR for shares (lower .19% exp ratio)\n\nYou can get high exposure to SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics - both of which I’m mega bullish on https://t.co/zm1aEXpDnW", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.014905109611693668, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.014905109611693668, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.012901628595406223, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0019796922989276933, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002003481016287445, "bench_c_m1d": 0.012925417312765974, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005420016715487419, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005420016715487419, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010335254057106003, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.014107586559973129, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0049152373416185835, "bench_c_p1d": 0.019527603275460548, "ret_p1w": 0.006775042109060436, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.006775042109060436, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03011134833263418, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.025120069253920185, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023336306223573744, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03189511136298062, "ret_p1m": 0.16531157055742307, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.16531157055742307, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.16792048023007877, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04912031517504878, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026089096726557015, "bench_c_p1m": 0.21443188573247185, "ret_p3m": 0.3941667718208688, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3941667718208688, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.41211852983995356, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1041352063895884, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.017951758019084774, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2900315654312804, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3873, -0.3697, -0.3426, -0.3514, -0.348, -0.3521, -0.3094, -0.2756, -0.2945, -0.2444, -0.2309, -0.2431, -0.1605, -0.2065, -0.216, -0.1971, -0.2147, -0.1794, -0.1618, -0.1646, -0.1713, -0.2417, -0.1794, -0.2282, -0.239, -0.2268, -0.2945, -0.2959, -0.2973, -0.2905, -0.2629, -0.2818, -0.271, -0.2439, -0.252, -0.2656, -0.2629, -0.2182, -0.2331, -0.2046, -0.2344, -0.2263, -0.2493, -0.2818, -0.2534, -0.252, -0.2588, -0.2141, -0.2087, -0.2033, -0.2033, -0.1883, -0.1328, -0.1179, -0.1179, -0.1179, -0.0827, -0.0569, -0.0163, 0.0054, 0.0244, 0.0081, 0.0149, 0.0, 0.0054, 0.0149, 0.0244, 0.0352, 0.0068, 0.0027, 0.023, 0.0393, -0.0027, 0.084, 0.1396, 0.1667, 0.2317, 0.1247, 0.229, 0.2195, 0.1409, 0.1369, 0.2019, 0.187, 0.1653, 0.2033, 0.1924, 0.1924, 0.1924, 0.1924, 0.2114, 0.2859, 0.2886, 0.3618, 0.3794, 0.4919, 0.4403, 0.4403, 0.2747, 0.1525, 0.2774, 0.2543, 0.1349, 0.2733, 0.2964, 0.2625, 0.2353, 0.3222, 0.3168, 0.4335, 0.3752, 0.367, 0.2666, 0.3385, 0.3507, 0.2666, 0.2666, 0.1851, 0.0955, 0.2177, 0.1267, 0.1892, 0.2028, 0.2435, 0.4023, 0.3548, 0.3942, 0.4118, 0.4973, 0.5421, 0.5679, 0.5313, 0.5829, 0.6616, 0.6602, 0.663, 0.6589, 0.7539, 0.7648, 0.7553, 0.7458, 0.7458, 0.9643, 0.9643, 1.1734, 1.2453, 1.2888, 1.5521, 1.491, 1.6824, 1.6743, 1.4693, 1.4978, 1.3689, 1.3689, 1.6336, 1.6349, 1.6349, 1.7856, 2.0449, 2.1079, 2.1676, 2.2335, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2010877487681835338", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-01-13T00:52:08+00:00", "symbol": "005930.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm mega bullish on", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Mega bullish on SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics on memory/foundry cycle; recommends EWY (options) or FLKR (shares) for non-Korea access.", "resolved_tickers": ["005930.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just a heads up:\n\nIf you don’t have access to Korean stocks and don’t want to miss the memory/foundry mega cycle:\n\nUse $EWY for options or $FLKR for shares (lower .19% exp ratio)\n\nYou can get high exposure to SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics - both of which I’m mega bullish on https://t.co/zm1aEXpDnW", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.008720888554096806, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.008720888554096806, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006717407537809361, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006604551445406948, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002003481016287445, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0021163371086898586, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.019622084588329036, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.019622084588329036, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02453732192994762, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.031773891803170584, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0049152373416185835, "bench_c_p1d": -0.012151807214841548, "ret_p1w": 0.055232521753576735, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.055232521753576735, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07856882797715048, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08690915804272448, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023336306223573744, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03167663628914774, "ret_p1m": 0.21947677627184592, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21947677627184592, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.22208568594450162, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.24343901909063048, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026089096726557015, "bench_c_p1m": -0.023962242818784563, "ret_p3m": 0.5001917341529163, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5001917341529163, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5181434921720011, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5253328719665026, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.017951758019084774, "bench_c_p3m": -0.02514113781358629, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2934, -0.292, -0.2905, -0.2949, -0.2869, -0.3021, -0.2855, -0.2623, -0.2804, -0.2732, -0.2471, -0.2225, -0.1965, -0.2413, -0.2724, -0.2826, -0.292, -0.2724, -0.2515, -0.2544, -0.2565, -0.297, -0.2724, -0.2927, -0.3021, -0.2724, -0.3144, -0.3006, -0.2818, -0.2565, -0.2515, -0.2732, -0.271, -0.2522, -0.2442, -0.2399, -0.216, -0.2081, -0.216, -0.2189, -0.224, -0.2124, -0.2421, -0.2565, -0.2196, -0.2218, -0.2312, -0.2008, -0.1936, -0.1965, -0.1965, -0.1538, -0.1315, -0.1286, -0.1286, -0.1286, -0.0661, 0.0036, 0.0094, 0.0247, 0.0087, 0.0102, 0.0087, 0.0, 0.0196, 0.0458, 0.0821, 0.085, 0.0552, 0.0865, 0.1068, 0.1054, 0.1054, 0.1592, 0.1802, 0.1679, 0.1664, 0.093, 0.2173, 0.2289, 0.1577, 0.1526, 0.2093, 0.2049, 0.2195, 0.298, 0.3169, 0.3169, 0.3169, 0.3169, 0.3808, 0.3815, 0.4026, 0.4535, 0.4789, 0.5843, 0.5734, 0.5734, 0.4179, 0.2515, 0.3924, 0.3677, 0.2609, 0.3656, 0.3808, 0.3656, 0.3336, 0.3714, 0.4092, 0.5153, 0.4571, 0.4491, 0.3539, 0.3786, 0.3735, 0.3089, 0.3089, 0.2839, 0.2176, 0.3811, 0.2992, 0.356, 0.4062, 0.431, 0.533, 0.4856, 0.5002, 0.4638, 0.5038, 0.5366, 0.5839, 0.573, 0.5621, 0.5949, 0.5839, 0.6349, 0.5985, 0.6349, 0.6167, 0.6458, 0.6058, 0.6058, 0.6932, 0.6932, 0.9371, 0.9772, 0.9553, 1.0791, 1.0318, 1.0682, 1.1556, 0.9699, 1.0464, 1.0063, 1.01, 1.1811, 1.1301, 1.1301, 1.1775, 1.2357, 1.1811, 1.3085, 1.5234, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1988637389674181068", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-12T15:57:55+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Not a company ( $NBIS ) growing 700%+ Y/Y doing $8 Billion ARR, 20-30% EBITDA margins, holding ~$6B+ in NAV assets from companies powering Meta and Antrophic, valued at $24B", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NBIS: 700%+ YoY growth, $8B ARR, 20-30% EBITDA margins, $6B+ NAV — not comparable to zero-revenue bubble stocks.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Mitchelldzll @455BAG Bag holding a bubble burst is when you hold $20B mc 0 revenue quantum companies under Fed tightening.  \n\nNot a company ( $NBIS ) growing 700%+ Y/Y doing $8 Billion ARR, 20-30% EBITDA margins, holding ~$6B+ in NAV assets from companies powering Meta and Antrophic, valued at $24B", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @455BAG Bubble has burst unfortunately. Bag holding for life", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Mitchelldzll", "ret_m1d": 0.0832980135598822, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0832980135598822, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.083854192531305, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07748515706567716, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005561789714227938, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005812856494205043, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06072491860820306, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06072491860820306, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04413089862797648, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04654488419080138, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.016594019980226582, "bench_c_p1d": -0.014180034417401677, "ret_p1w": 0.007524364983892973, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.007524364983892973, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03788821579391388, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.028221942929920973, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.03036385081002091, "bench_c_p1w": -0.020697577946028, "ret_p1m": -0.0008478362710598875, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0008478362710598875, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.009320313900171073, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02964823305990516, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008472477629111186, "bench_c_p1m": 0.028800396788845273, "ret_p3m": -0.01568464759813948, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.01568464759813948, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03415244818606167, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.048434132168942434, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01846780058792219, "bench_c_p3m": 0.032749484570802956, "ret_p6m": 0.9581390745793523, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.9581390745793523, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.8815117682936946, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.9176618377965287, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07662730628565773, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04047723678282367, "price_path": [-0.241, -0.2312, -0.2879, -0.285, -0.2986, -0.269, -0.2579, -0.2531, -0.2571, -0.2365, -0.276, -0.276, -0.3035, -0.3043, -0.3121, -0.3062, -0.3211, 0.0144, -0.0103, -0.0548, -0.0419, -0.036, -0.0522, -0.003, -0.0025, 0.0525, 0.1297, 0.1424, 0.2, 0.1439, 0.1414, 0.1681, 0.1898, 0.2252, 0.3339, 0.3563, 0.3241, 0.2474, 0.2929, 0.4057, 0.3733, 0.4356, 0.3581, 0.3335, 0.3039, 0.2022, 0.1552, 0.1051, 0.0451, 0.1251, 0.2427, 0.3293, 0.2911, 0.3258, 0.316, 0.3864, 0.2767, 0.1715, 0.2399, 0.1598, 0.1793, 0.1652, 0.0833, 0.0, -0.0607, -0.1147, -0.0888, -0.0405, 0.0075, -0.103, -0.1176, -0.0261, -0.0581, 0.0035, 0.0035, 0.0054, 0.0614, 0.0221, 0.0483, 0.0894, 0.039, 0.0633, 0.0217, -0.0082, -0.0008, -0.0707, -0.1401, -0.1421, -0.2004, -0.1724, -0.0519, -0.012, -0.0459, -0.0342, -0.0342, -0.0717, -0.0882, -0.0974, -0.1129, -0.1129, -0.0467, -0.0162, 0.0623, 0.0196, 0.0312, 0.0378, 0.1375, 0.1173, 0.0808, 0.1009, 0.1523, 0.1523, 0.0522, 0.0478, 0.0264, 0.0015, -0.0307, 0.0372, 0.0643, 0.0058, -0.0972, -0.0657, -0.0467, -0.1269, -0.2171, -0.0875, -0.0157, -0.0272, -0.0609, -0.0491, 0.0387, 0.0387, 0.0335, 0.0788, 0.1404, 0.0377, 0.0662, 0.0871, 0.1246, 0.1115, -0.0336, -0.0355, -0.0801, 0.0362, 0.0137, -0.0533, 0.0061, 0.0219, 0.1869, 0.145, 0.197, 0.3761, 0.2328, 0.2565, 0.2878, 0.2465, 0.2097, 0.2178, 0.2197, 0.123, 0.0685, -0.0223, 0.0996, 0.0804, 0.1532, 0.1532, 0.1927, 0.2442, 0.3247, 0.4448, 0.5364, 0.638, 0.7162, 0.7674, 0.7522, 0.6653, 0.6867, 0.6591, 0.6547, 0.6647, 0.5596, 0.5362, 0.4361, 0.4963, 0.4649, 0.6372, 0.8696, 0.8643, 1.0675, 0.9581]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1983468811027357812", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-29T09:39:50+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSM is kinda a monopoly that everyone in the world is using. US backing up $INTC won't change the back that they're way too far behind for the next 8 years at least.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish TSM: monopoly position intact; INTC too far behind to threaten it for at least 8 years.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Good question, for $TSM it's always going to be an annoying headwind in terms of an invasion of Taiwan. \n\nIt's too critical of a national security issue and I'm confident the US would go to war with anyone who threatens Taiwan due to the fact they're central to the whole supply chain and AI infrastructure. And I'm confident no country would want to get in a direct war with America. \n\nAs for the moat part, $TSM is kinda a monopoly that everyone in the world is using. US backing up $INTC won't change the back that they're way too far behind for the next 8 years at least.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit How do you feel about geopolitical risks for $TSM ?\n\nGiven $INTC being backed up by the USA gov, wouldn't that represent a competition risk for $TSM?.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "YunnuenGP", "ret_m1d": -0.011668677276329031, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011668677276329031, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01118852089733502, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01118852089733502, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0004801563789940122, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0004801563789940122, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006129392337233641, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006129392337233641, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004868751599843235, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004868751599843235, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010998143937076876, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010998143937076876, "ret_p1w": -0.03752990517848154, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03752990517848154, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.023258446711293956, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.023258446711293956, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014271458467187581, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014271458467187581, "ret_p1m": -0.04959195385997828, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04959195385997828, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03837556514137608, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03837556514137608, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0112163887186022, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0112163887186022, "ret_p3m": 0.09347464127364224, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09347464127364224, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08272840753651733, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08272840753651733, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01074623373712491, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01074623373712491, "ret_p6m": 0.26118262068837894, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.26118262068837894, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.22467662677047873, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.22467662677047873, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.036505993917900215, "bench_c_p6m": 0.036505993917900215, "price_path": [-0.2315, -0.2191, -0.2404, -0.244, -0.2073, -0.2098, -0.209, -0.2018, -0.2111, -0.2126, -0.2195, -0.2112, -0.2397, -0.2531, -0.2572, -0.2387, -0.2302, -0.22, -0.2181, -0.2215, -0.2457, -0.2457, -0.2538, -0.244, -0.2315, -0.2047, -0.1923, -0.1801, -0.149, -0.154, -0.1527, -0.146, -0.141, -0.1386, -0.1195, -0.1318, -0.1064, -0.0734, -0.0799, -0.0932, -0.104, -0.1044, -0.0846, -0.0545, -0.0557, -0.0423, -0.0088, -0.0363, -0.0019, -0.0171, -0.0801, -0.0072, -0.03, -0.0012, -0.0172, -0.0328, -0.0242, -0.0347, -0.0531, -0.0471, -0.0332, -0.0224, -0.0117, 0.0, -0.0061, -0.0153, -0.0008, -0.0362, -0.0375, -0.052, -0.0609, -0.0322, -0.0456, -0.0474, -0.075, -0.0664, -0.0756, -0.0891, -0.0745, -0.0904, -0.0984, -0.067, -0.0669, -0.0496, -0.0496, -0.0445, -0.0571, -0.0426, -0.0316, -0.0399, -0.034, -0.0106, -0.0055, 0.0166, 0.0019, -0.0402, -0.0543, -0.0572, -0.0898, -0.0644, -0.0503, -0.0361, -0.0241, -0.018, -0.018, -0.0047, -0.011, -0.0154, -0.0012, -0.0012, 0.0504, 0.0591, 0.0761, 0.0474, 0.0452, 0.0636, 0.0904, 0.0885, 0.0751, 0.1228, 0.1253, 0.1253, 0.0752, 0.0718, 0.0759, 0.1006, 0.0935, 0.112, 0.125, 0.116, 0.0864, 0.1219, 0.1035, 0.0706, 0.087, 0.1465, 0.1681, 0.1894, 0.2295, 0.2098, 0.2041, 0.2041, 0.197, 0.1906, 0.1844, 0.2178, 0.2162, 0.2678, 0.2743, 0.2384, 0.2311, 0.2131, 0.1606, 0.1748, 0.163, 0.1138, 0.146, 0.1407, 0.1653, 0.1066, 0.1119, 0.1182, 0.1403, 0.1192, 0.1166, 0.0851, 0.1155, 0.1313, 0.1461, 0.0748, 0.0769, 0.0431, 0.1138, 0.1255, 0.1174, 0.1174, 0.1264, 0.1381, 0.2059, 0.2046, 0.2214, 0.218, 0.2521, 0.2363, 0.1975, 0.2211, 0.2071, 0.2131, 0.2769, 0.2612]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1998925429890261130", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-11T01:18:55+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This irrational selloff due to misunderstanding of risks presents an amazing buying opportunity for the Necoloud sector", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Buy neocloud names backed by Hyperscalers (NBIS, IREN, CIFR, WULF) on irrational selloff; avoid ORCL and CRWV due to OpenAI credit risk exposure.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Oracle [ $ORCL ] earning results and its effect on the neocloud sector like $NBIS & $IREN:\n\nOracle reported earnings with a beat on EPS and a record backlog but, dropped 12% after hours.\n\nOracle is down 39.8% from September 11th highs and brought down the sector with it.\n\nHere's why:\n\nThe sell-off was not merely a reaction to marginal revenue miss, but both an algorithmic short and investor selloff on the sustainability of the AI capex cycle and the creditworthiness of the sector's primary tenant: \n\nOpenAI. \n\nOracle's announcement of a $15 billion increase in 2026 capital spending to nearly $50 billion was inextricably linked to a reported $300 billion partnership with OpenAI.\n\nOriginally, OpenAI was the frontier LLM, with promising capex promises to Oracle, Coreweave and others, contributing to the initial repricing of the sector.\n\nHowever, with over $1t+ in obligations and increasing competition from Anthropic, Gemini, XAI, and others, the markets have serious doubts on whether Oracle, Coreweave, and others are building for a tenant that cannot currently fund its obligations from operating cash flow.\n\nWE're seeing the market effectively signaling that the market Oracle is creating an unsustainable debt-funded \"vendor financing\" for OpenAI, which cannot fulfill its promises. \n\nSo, the drop was rational: The sell-off was driven by a rational repricing of credit risk and capital  intensity.\n\nOpenAI Funding Fear is Valid: The hypothesis that OpenAI lacks the funds to honor its contracts is supported by a glaring mismatch between its revenue ($13B) and its obligations ($60B/year).\n\nCredit Fears are Real: The widening of Oracle's CDS spreads sees a rising probability of a \"credit event\" downgrade or default. \n\nFurthermore, we're seeing this trigger a contagion effect across the \"Neocloud\" sector from $NBIS dropping from $140 to $90s, $IREN dropping $80 to $40s, $CIFR dropping from $24s to $17s.\n\nBut is this a buying opportunity for Neoclouds like $WULF, $NBIS, $IREN, and others?\n\nYes.\n\nIs this a good buying opportunity for $ORCL?\n\nNo.\n\nForward Outlook:\n\n$ORCL (large portion) , $CRWV (25% backlog) are the two players largely dependent on OpenAI and this narrative can flip in an instant  (+30%+ change) depending on capital raising activity from OpenAI. \n\nIf OpenAI files for an oversubscribed IPO in 2026 at high valuations and it's new GPT models beats out Gemini/Claude, we can see this change.\n\nHowever, many other players are isolated from OpenAI. The original thesis of the Neocloud sector was Mag7 capex funndel from their cash cows segments (Azure, AWS, GCP) down into: $NBIS, $IREN, $CIFR, $WULF, and others.\n\nBut as the largest players ( $ORCL, $CRWV) fall, these algorithmically bring down the whole sector. \n\nIf you look at the companies individually, companies like $CIFR and $WULF are being backstopped by $GOOGL, and $IREN / $NBIS are funded by $MSFT.\n\nThese are locked in contract backlogs from Hyperscalers/Mag7, not OpenAI. \n\nThis irrational selloff due to misunderstanding of risks presents an amazing buying opportunity for the Necoloud sector, but not companies tied to OpenAI like $ORCL and $CRWV.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Post-Fed Interest Rate 25BPS cut.\n\nDecember 11th ratings:\n\nStrong Buy: \n$CRCL\n$COIN\n$AMKR\n$CRDO\n$IBIT\n$MSTR\n$AMZN\n$SMCI\n$TSM\n$TSSI\nSk Hynix\n$SNAP\nSamsung Electronics\n$ALAB\n$META\n$NBIS\n$CIFR\n\nBuy:\n$KRUS\n$AVGO\n$NFLX\n$KRKNF\n$HIMS\n$FLY\n$OSS\n$TE\n$FLNC\n$LITE\n$COHR\n$RKLB\n$TTD\n$NVDA\n$CLS", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.007318651361265971, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007318651361265971, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004997105347894437, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009544508151134945, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002225856789868974, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06989813770911646, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06989813770911646, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05914616878158252, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06767234665436428, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0022257910547521798, "ret_p1w": -0.1717225567567725, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1717225567567725, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.15329456716841428, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.16881187152011068, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002910685236661825, "ret_p1m": 0.03871448422929347, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03871448422929347, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.028628562533218993, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.026029578740943693, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012684905488349774, "ret_p3m": 0.022804428868438142, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.022804428868438142, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.037298660496828284, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.01467154874805865, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "bench_c_p3m": 0.008132880120379493, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0352, -0.0514, -0.0021, -0.0017, 0.0534, 0.1307, 0.1434, 0.201, 0.1449, 0.1423, 0.1691, 0.1908, 0.2262, 0.3351, 0.3574, 0.3252, 0.2484, 0.294, 0.4069, 0.3744, 0.4368, 0.3592, 0.3346, 0.305, 0.2032, 0.1561, 0.1061, 0.046, 0.126, 0.2437, 0.3304, 0.2922, 0.3269, 0.3171, 0.3876, 0.2778, 0.1725, 0.241, 0.1608, 0.1803, 0.1662, 0.0842, 0.0008, -0.0599, -0.1139, -0.088, -0.0397, 0.0084, -0.1022, -0.1169, -0.0252, -0.0573, 0.0043, 0.0043, 0.0063, 0.0623, 0.023, 0.0492, 0.0904, 0.0399, 0.0642, 0.0226, -0.0073, 0.0, -0.0699, -0.1394, -0.1414, -0.1997, -0.1717, -0.0511, -0.0111, -0.0451, -0.0334, -0.0334, -0.071, -0.0874, -0.0966, -0.1122, -0.1122, -0.0459, -0.0154, 0.0632, 0.0205, 0.032, 0.0387, 0.1384, 0.1183, 0.0817, 0.1019, 0.1533, 0.1533, 0.0531, 0.0487, 0.0273, 0.0023, -0.0299, 0.0381, 0.0652, 0.0067, -0.0964, -0.0649, -0.0459, -0.1261, -0.2165, -0.0868, -0.0148, -0.0264, -0.0601, -0.0483, 0.0396, 0.0396, 0.0344, 0.0798, 0.1414, 0.0386, 0.0671, 0.088, 0.1256, 0.1124, -0.0328, -0.0347, -0.0793, 0.0371, 0.0145, -0.0525, 0.007, 0.0228, 0.1879, 0.1459, 0.198, 0.3773, 0.2339, 0.2575, 0.2889, 0.2476, 0.2108, 0.2188, 0.2207, 0.124, 0.0694, -0.0214, 0.1006, 0.0814, 0.1542, 0.1542, 0.1937, 0.2452, 0.3258, 0.446, 0.5377, 0.6394, 0.7176, 0.7689, 0.7537, 0.6667, 0.6882, 0.6605, 0.6561, 0.6661, 0.5609, 0.5375, 0.4373, 0.4976, 0.4662, 0.6386, 0.8712, 0.8659, 1.0693, 0.9598, 0.8779, 0.9739, 0.8998, 1.1985, 1.3457, 1.3328, 1.1199, 1.0973, 1.0346, 1.3327, 1.278, 1.278, 1.2068, 1.2101, 1.4007, 1.4511, 1.4511, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1998925429890261130", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-11T01:18:55+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This irrational selloff due to misunderstanding of risks presents an amazing buying opportunity for the Necoloud sector", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Buy neocloud names backed by Hyperscalers (NBIS, IREN, CIFR, WULF) on irrational selloff; avoid ORCL and CRWV due to OpenAI credit risk exposure.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Oracle [ $ORCL ] earning results and its effect on the neocloud sector like $NBIS & $IREN:\n\nOracle reported earnings with a beat on EPS and a record backlog but, dropped 12% after hours.\n\nOracle is down 39.8% from September 11th highs and brought down the sector with it.\n\nHere's why:\n\nThe sell-off was not merely a reaction to marginal revenue miss, but both an algorithmic short and investor selloff on the sustainability of the AI capex cycle and the creditworthiness of the sector's primary tenant: \n\nOpenAI. \n\nOracle's announcement of a $15 billion increase in 2026 capital spending to nearly $50 billion was inextricably linked to a reported $300 billion partnership with OpenAI.\n\nOriginally, OpenAI was the frontier LLM, with promising capex promises to Oracle, Coreweave and others, contributing to the initial repricing of the sector.\n\nHowever, with over $1t+ in obligations and increasing competition from Anthropic, Gemini, XAI, and others, the markets have serious doubts on whether Oracle, Coreweave, and others are building for a tenant that cannot currently fund its obligations from operating cash flow.\n\nWE're seeing the market effectively signaling that the market Oracle is creating an unsustainable debt-funded \"vendor financing\" for OpenAI, which cannot fulfill its promises. \n\nSo, the drop was rational: The sell-off was driven by a rational repricing of credit risk and capital  intensity.\n\nOpenAI Funding Fear is Valid: The hypothesis that OpenAI lacks the funds to honor its contracts is supported by a glaring mismatch between its revenue ($13B) and its obligations ($60B/year).\n\nCredit Fears are Real: The widening of Oracle's CDS spreads sees a rising probability of a \"credit event\" downgrade or default. \n\nFurthermore, we're seeing this trigger a contagion effect across the \"Neocloud\" sector from $NBIS dropping from $140 to $90s, $IREN dropping $80 to $40s, $CIFR dropping from $24s to $17s.\n\nBut is this a buying opportunity for Neoclouds like $WULF, $NBIS, $IREN, and others?\n\nYes.\n\nIs this a good buying opportunity for $ORCL?\n\nNo.\n\nForward Outlook:\n\n$ORCL (large portion) , $CRWV (25% backlog) are the two players largely dependent on OpenAI and this narrative can flip in an instant  (+30%+ change) depending on capital raising activity from OpenAI. \n\nIf OpenAI files for an oversubscribed IPO in 2026 at high valuations and it's new GPT models beats out Gemini/Claude, we can see this change.\n\nHowever, many other players are isolated from OpenAI. The original thesis of the Neocloud sector was Mag7 capex funndel from their cash cows segments (Azure, AWS, GCP) down into: $NBIS, $IREN, $CIFR, $WULF, and others.\n\nBut as the largest players ( $ORCL, $CRWV) fall, these algorithmically bring down the whole sector. \n\nIf you look at the companies individually, companies like $CIFR and $WULF are being backstopped by $GOOGL, and $IREN / $NBIS are funded by $MSFT.\n\nThese are locked in contract backlogs from Hyperscalers/Mag7, not OpenAI. \n\nThis irrational selloff due to misunderstanding of risks presents an amazing buying opportunity for the Necoloud sector, but not companies tied to OpenAI like $ORCL and $CRWV.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Post-Fed Interest Rate 25BPS cut.\n\nDecember 11th ratings:\n\nStrong Buy: \n$CRCL\n$COIN\n$AMKR\n$CRDO\n$IBIT\n$MSTR\n$AMZN\n$SMCI\n$TSM\n$TSSI\nSk Hynix\n$SNAP\nSamsung Electronics\n$ALAB\n$META\n$NBIS\n$CIFR\n\nBuy:\n$KRUS\n$AVGO\n$NFLX\n$KRKNF\n$HIMS\n$FLY\n$OSS\n$TE\n$FLNC\n$LITE\n$COHR\n$RKLB\n$TTD\n$NVDA\n$CLS", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0004551765677915931, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0004551765677915931, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0018663694455799407, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01740521203171863, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "bench_c_m1d": -0.017860388599510224, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0867090959870408, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0867090959870408, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07595712705950686, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.08816711551519008, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0014580195281492792, "ret_p1w": -0.18525260910455577, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.18525260910455577, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.16682461951619754, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.17923841879906732, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006014190305488443, "ret_p1m": 0.047564866133552375, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.047564866133552375, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0374789444374779, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.028341616360053168, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "bench_c_p1m": 0.019223249773499207, "ret_p3m": -0.13245334266548026, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.13245334266548026, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11795911103709011, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04798028292819301, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "bench_c_p3m": -0.08447305973728725, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1548, -0.1705, -0.1375, -0.1734, -0.1206, -0.0464, -0.0494, 0.0728, 0.0535, -0.0473, 0.0453, 0.068, 0.0715, 0.0701, 0.1484, 0.3143, 0.4037, 0.3675, 0.4531, 0.3603, 0.4597, 0.5831, 0.5471, 0.4071, 0.3819, 0.3477, 0.2561, 0.1796, 0.2713, 0.4315, 0.4791, 0.4206, 0.3751, 0.325, 0.3826, 0.5419, 0.5164, 0.739, 0.5239, 0.4197, 0.3694, 0.3059, 0.2676, 0.1072, 0.0553, 0.079, 0.1117, 0.043, -0.0107, -0.0382, 0.1036, 0.0803, 0.1026, 0.1026, 0.0881, 0.1036, -0.0642, 0.0005, 0.0571, 0.0175, 0.0546, 0.066, -0.0005, 0.0, -0.0867, -0.1925, -0.1673, -0.2312, -0.1853, -0.0915, -0.0432, -0.0426, -0.0446, -0.0446, -0.0828, -0.1031, -0.1284, -0.1404, -0.1404, -0.0282, 0.0979, 0.0448, -0.0072, 0.0396, 0.0476, 0.1454, 0.206, 0.2035, 0.1809, 0.3159, 0.3159, 0.2349, 0.2171, 0.1893, 0.2899, 0.1916, 0.3653, 0.4324, 0.3619, 0.223, 0.208, 0.2378, 0.0228, -0.0944, -0.048, 0.0503, -0.023, -0.0289, -0.089, -0.0391, -0.0391, -0.0676, -0.0423, -0.0148, -0.0901, -0.036, 0.0344, 0.002, 0.0068, -0.068, -0.058, -0.1158, -0.0023, -0.0868, -0.1648, -0.1161, -0.1325, -0.0446, -0.0585, -0.0537, 0.0228, -0.0223, -0.0394, -0.0519, -0.0603, -0.0405, -0.0642, -0.0571, -0.1477, -0.2014, -0.2804, -0.2198, -0.2242, -0.2087, -0.2087, -0.2005, -0.1866, -0.1618, -0.1566, -0.1051, -0.0198, 0.0781, 0.1111, 0.0856, 0.0951, 0.1088, 0.028, 0.1013, 0.1839, 0.1525, 0.1006, 0.0114, -0.0246, 0.0357, 0.0391, 0.1261, 0.2458, 0.3878, 0.2938, 0.3928, 0.2551, 0.2872, 0.2556, 0.3291, 0.2048, 0.1484, 0.0865, 0.1996, 0.3213, 0.2934, 0.2934, 0.3605, 0.5439, 0.4577, 0.4461, 0.4461, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1998925429890261130", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-12-11T01:18:55+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This irrational selloff due to misunderstanding of risks presents an amazing buying opportunity for the Necoloud sector", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Buy neocloud names backed by Hyperscalers (NBIS, IREN, CIFR, WULF) on irrational selloff; avoid ORCL and CRWV due to OpenAI credit risk exposure.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Oracle [ $ORCL ] earning results and its effect on the neocloud sector like $NBIS & $IREN:\n\nOracle reported earnings with a beat on EPS and a record backlog but, dropped 12% after hours.\n\nOracle is down 39.8% from September 11th highs and brought down the sector with it.\n\nHere's why:\n\nThe sell-off was not merely a reaction to marginal revenue miss, but both an algorithmic short and investor selloff on the sustainability of the AI capex cycle and the creditworthiness of the sector's primary tenant: \n\nOpenAI. \n\nOracle's announcement of a $15 billion increase in 2026 capital spending to nearly $50 billion was inextricably linked to a reported $300 billion partnership with OpenAI.\n\nOriginally, OpenAI was the frontier LLM, with promising capex promises to Oracle, Coreweave and others, contributing to the initial repricing of the sector.\n\nHowever, with over $1t+ in obligations and increasing competition from Anthropic, Gemini, XAI, and others, the markets have serious doubts on whether Oracle, Coreweave, and others are building for a tenant that cannot currently fund its obligations from operating cash flow.\n\nWE're seeing the market effectively signaling that the market Oracle is creating an unsustainable debt-funded \"vendor financing\" for OpenAI, which cannot fulfill its promises. \n\nSo, the drop was rational: The sell-off was driven by a rational repricing of credit risk and capital  intensity.\n\nOpenAI Funding Fear is Valid: The hypothesis that OpenAI lacks the funds to honor its contracts is supported by a glaring mismatch between its revenue ($13B) and its obligations ($60B/year).\n\nCredit Fears are Real: The widening of Oracle's CDS spreads sees a rising probability of a \"credit event\" downgrade or default. \n\nFurthermore, we're seeing this trigger a contagion effect across the \"Neocloud\" sector from $NBIS dropping from $140 to $90s, $IREN dropping $80 to $40s, $CIFR dropping from $24s to $17s.\n\nBut is this a buying opportunity for Neoclouds like $WULF, $NBIS, $IREN, and others?\n\nYes.\n\nIs this a good buying opportunity for $ORCL?\n\nNo.\n\nForward Outlook:\n\n$ORCL (large portion) , $CRWV (25% backlog) are the two players largely dependent on OpenAI and this narrative can flip in an instant  (+30%+ change) depending on capital raising activity from OpenAI. \n\nIf OpenAI files for an oversubscribed IPO in 2026 at high valuations and it's new GPT models beats out Gemini/Claude, we can see this change.\n\nHowever, many other players are isolated from OpenAI. The original thesis of the Neocloud sector was Mag7 capex funndel from their cash cows segments (Azure, AWS, GCP) down into: $NBIS, $IREN, $CIFR, $WULF, and others.\n\nBut as the largest players ( $ORCL, $CRWV) fall, these algorithmically bring down the whole sector. \n\nIf you look at the companies individually, companies like $CIFR and $WULF are being backstopped by $GOOGL, and $IREN / $NBIS are funded by $MSFT.\n\nThese are locked in contract backlogs from Hyperscalers/Mag7, not OpenAI. \n\nThis irrational selloff due to misunderstanding of risks presents an amazing buying opportunity for the Necoloud sector, but not companies tied to OpenAI like $ORCL and $CRWV.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Post-Fed Interest Rate 25BPS cut.\n\nDecember 11th ratings:\n\nStrong Buy: \n$CRCL\n$COIN\n$AMKR\n$CRDO\n$IBIT\n$MSTR\n$AMZN\n$SMCI\n$TSM\n$TSSI\nSk Hynix\n$SNAP\nSamsung Electronics\n$ALAB\n$META\n$NBIS\n$CIFR\n\nBuy:\n$KRUS\n$AVGO\n$NFLX\n$KRKNF\n$HIMS\n$FLY\n$OSS\n$TE\n$FLNC\n$LITE\n$COHR\n$RKLB\n$TTD\n$NVDA\n$CLS", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.021186421414757683, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.021186421414757683, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01886487540138615, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02632258029382384, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005136158879066155, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0969279663692395, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0969279663692395, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08617599744170557, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06800323317392509, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02892473319531441, "ret_p1w": -0.19756354385795827, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.19756354385795827, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.17913555426960004, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.15410886846950722, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "bench_c_p1w": -0.04345467538845105, "ret_p1m": -0.11917373411094168, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11917373411094168, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12925965580701615, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10837208280535737, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010801651305584303, "ret_p3m": -0.2605931854511724, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2605931854511724, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24609895382278224, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2065416019538463, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "bench_c_p3m": -0.05405158349732608, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4253, -0.3904, -0.3443, -0.3724, -0.3496, -0.2606, -0.2505, -0.2511, -0.3824, -0.3925, -0.33, -0.3332, -0.3326, -0.2685, -0.2214, -0.1875, -0.1658, -0.0678, -0.0471, -0.1012, 0.0773, 0.1065, 0.1139, -0.0085, -0.0064, 0.0546, -0.0426, -0.1467, -0.0861, 0.0943, 0.0879, 0.0572, 0.0376, 0.0101, -0.0122, 0.2055, 0.1923, 0.3088, 0.1499, 0.0959, 0.0408, -0.0111, -0.0794, -0.2092, -0.2394, -0.2399, -0.2278, -0.2256, -0.2288, -0.2505, -0.1149, -0.072, 0.0143, 0.0143, 0.0779, 0.0429, -0.0657, -0.0132, 0.0503, 0.0212, 0.0318, 0.036, -0.0212, 0.0, -0.0969, -0.2193, -0.206, -0.2378, -0.1976, -0.1414, -0.1345, -0.1573, -0.1409, -0.1409, -0.1954, -0.2013, -0.2272, -0.2182, -0.2182, -0.1419, -0.0381, -0.071, -0.1483, -0.1234, -0.1192, -0.0636, -0.0334, -0.0397, -0.072, -0.0042, -0.0042, -0.0508, -0.0614, -0.0789, -0.0694, -0.1266, -0.0069, 0.0048, -0.0625, -0.1547, -0.1626, -0.1388, -0.2452, -0.3273, -0.2198, -0.1123, -0.0943, -0.1377, -0.1472, -0.1303, -0.1303, -0.1716, -0.1833, -0.1631, -0.224, -0.1939, -0.0932, -0.1202, -0.1271, -0.1737, -0.1653, -0.2209, -0.1504, -0.1976, -0.2786, -0.2421, -0.2606, -0.2526, -0.2738, -0.2542, -0.1981, -0.2007, -0.223, -0.2246, -0.2579, -0.2113, -0.2119, -0.1589, -0.2399, -0.272, -0.3636, -0.3183, -0.3305, -0.321, -0.321, -0.2929, -0.2579, -0.1833, -0.1335, -0.1245, -0.0593, -0.0228, -0.0466, -0.0816, 0.026, 0.0217, -0.0445, 0.0297, -0.0101, -0.036, -0.0381, -0.0858, -0.1038, -0.0604, -0.0975, -0.0524, 0.1706, 0.1605, 0.0956, 0.0885, 0.0742, 0.0625, 0.125, 0.1806, 0.0768, 0.0127, -0.0042, 0.0318, 0.1398, 0.1637, 0.1637, 0.2193, 0.3326, 0.3024, 0.2526, 0.2526, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1998925429890261130", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-12-11T01:18:55+00:00", "symbol": "WULF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "But is this a buying opportunity for Neoclouds like $WULF, $NBIS, $IREN, and others? Yes.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Buy neocloud names backed by Hyperscalers (NBIS, IREN, CIFR, WULF) on irrational selloff; avoid ORCL and CRWV due to OpenAI credit risk exposure.", "resolved_tickers": ["WULF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Oracle [ $ORCL ] earning results and its effect on the neocloud sector like $NBIS & $IREN:\n\nOracle reported earnings with a beat on EPS and a record backlog but, dropped 12% after hours.\n\nOracle is down 39.8% from September 11th highs and brought down the sector with it.\n\nHere's why:\n\nThe sell-off was not merely a reaction to marginal revenue miss, but both an algorithmic short and investor selloff on the sustainability of the AI capex cycle and the creditworthiness of the sector's primary tenant: \n\nOpenAI. \n\nOracle's announcement of a $15 billion increase in 2026 capital spending to nearly $50 billion was inextricably linked to a reported $300 billion partnership with OpenAI.\n\nOriginally, OpenAI was the frontier LLM, with promising capex promises to Oracle, Coreweave and others, contributing to the initial repricing of the sector.\n\nHowever, with over $1t+ in obligations and increasing competition from Anthropic, Gemini, XAI, and others, the markets have serious doubts on whether Oracle, Coreweave, and others are building for a tenant that cannot currently fund its obligations from operating cash flow.\n\nWE're seeing the market effectively signaling that the market Oracle is creating an unsustainable debt-funded \"vendor financing\" for OpenAI, which cannot fulfill its promises. \n\nSo, the drop was rational: The sell-off was driven by a rational repricing of credit risk and capital  intensity.\n\nOpenAI Funding Fear is Valid: The hypothesis that OpenAI lacks the funds to honor its contracts is supported by a glaring mismatch between its revenue ($13B) and its obligations ($60B/year).\n\nCredit Fears are Real: The widening of Oracle's CDS spreads sees a rising probability of a \"credit event\" downgrade or default. \n\nFurthermore, we're seeing this trigger a contagion effect across the \"Neocloud\" sector from $NBIS dropping from $140 to $90s, $IREN dropping $80 to $40s, $CIFR dropping from $24s to $17s.\n\nBut is this a buying opportunity for Neoclouds like $WULF, $NBIS, $IREN, and others?\n\nYes.\n\nIs this a good buying opportunity for $ORCL?\n\nNo.\n\nForward Outlook:\n\n$ORCL (large portion) , $CRWV (25% backlog) are the two players largely dependent on OpenAI and this narrative can flip in an instant  (+30%+ change) depending on capital raising activity from OpenAI. \n\nIf OpenAI files for an oversubscribed IPO in 2026 at high valuations and it's new GPT models beats out Gemini/Claude, we can see this change.\n\nHowever, many other players are isolated from OpenAI. The original thesis of the Neocloud sector was Mag7 capex funndel from their cash cows segments (Azure, AWS, GCP) down into: $NBIS, $IREN, $CIFR, $WULF, and others.\n\nBut as the largest players ( $ORCL, $CRWV) fall, these algorithmically bring down the whole sector. \n\nIf you look at the companies individually, companies like $CIFR and $WULF are being backstopped by $GOOGL, and $IREN / $NBIS are funded by $MSFT.\n\nThese are locked in contract backlogs from Hyperscalers/Mag7, not OpenAI. \n\nThis irrational selloff due to misunderstanding of risks presents an amazing buying opportunity for the Necoloud sector, but not companies tied to OpenAI like $ORCL and $CRWV.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Post-Fed Interest Rate 25BPS cut.\n\nDecember 11th ratings:\n\nStrong Buy: \n$CRCL\n$COIN\n$AMKR\n$CRDO\n$IBIT\n$MSTR\n$AMZN\n$SMCI\n$TSM\n$TSSI\nSk Hynix\n$SNAP\nSamsung Electronics\n$ALAB\n$META\n$NBIS\n$CIFR\n\nBuy:\n$KRUS\n$AVGO\n$NFLX\n$KRKNF\n$HIMS\n$FLY\n$OSS\n$TE\n$FLNC\n$LITE\n$COHR\n$RKLB\n$TTD\n$NVDA\n$CLS", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.004421964318483074, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004421964318483074, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00210041830511154, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00210041830511154, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09475679136003601, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09475679136003601, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08400482243250207, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.08400482243250207, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "ret_p1w": -0.255211622319907, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.255211622319907, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2367836327315488, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2367836327315488, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "ret_p1m": -0.17245733135778762, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17245733135778762, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1825432530538621, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1825432530538621, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "ret_p3m": -0.09349333855775765, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09349333855775765, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07899910692936751, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07899910692936751, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "bench_c_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3373, -0.3089, -0.283, -0.2944, -0.3064, -0.2742, -0.29, -0.2798, -0.307, -0.3159, -0.2672, -0.2786, -0.2754, -0.2685, -0.247, -0.2438, -0.2356, -0.223, -0.1415, -0.1466, -0.1156, -0.0234, -0.0227, -0.1244, -0.12, -0.1251, -0.1699, -0.2028, -0.1864, -0.1339, -0.1383, 0.0069, -0.084, -0.0638, -0.0208, 0.0171, -0.0518, -0.0297, -0.0979, -0.1194, -0.0967, -0.2186, -0.2015, -0.2622, -0.3057, -0.302, -0.2419, -0.2274, -0.2697, -0.2868, -0.2021, -0.1194, -0.0625, -0.0625, -0.0202, -0.0335, -0.1017, -0.0884, -0.0461, -0.084, -0.055, -0.0152, -0.0044, 0.0, -0.0948, -0.211, -0.1794, -0.2691, -0.2552, -0.2091, -0.2123, -0.2154, -0.2224, -0.2224, -0.2577, -0.2786, -0.2956, -0.2742, -0.2742, -0.1952, -0.1396, -0.1674, -0.211, -0.1889, -0.1725, -0.1276, -0.1068, -0.1023, -0.1263, -0.1251, -0.1251, -0.1579, -0.1712, -0.1857, -0.108, -0.1289, -0.0328, -0.0455, -0.0815, -0.1554, -0.151, -0.0651, -0.1232, -0.247, -0.0973, 0.0518, 0.0505, 0.0126, 0.0051, 0.0272, 0.0272, 0.0221, -0.0284, -0.0227, -0.0518, -0.0095, 0.1093, 0.132, 0.1295, 0.0246, 0.012, -0.0689, -0.0291, -0.0379, -0.1314, -0.1251, -0.0935, -0.0385, -0.0733, -0.0733, 0.0366, 0.0133, -0.0335, -0.0057, -0.0461, 0.0227, 0.0246, 0.0651, -0.0303, -0.0594, -0.1346, -0.0884, -0.0853, -0.06, -0.06, -0.0177, 0.0467, 0.1402, 0.2021, 0.192, 0.2287, 0.3234, 0.2426, 0.2198, 0.3039, 0.295, 0.2489, 0.2982, 0.2868, 0.2641, 0.3538, 0.314, 0.2647, 0.3727, 0.3462, 0.4081, 0.4839, 0.626, 0.5174, 0.4776, 0.4763, 0.4403, 0.4605, 0.5268, 0.41, 0.3354, 0.3481, 0.3664, 0.4479, 0.4416, 0.4416, 0.5907, 0.6892, 0.6677, 0.6147, 0.6147, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1998925429890261130", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-12-11T01:18:55+00:00", "symbol": "ORCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Is this a good buying opportunity for $ORCL? No.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Buy neocloud names backed by Hyperscalers (NBIS, IREN, CIFR, WULF) on irrational selloff; avoid ORCL and CRWV due to OpenAI credit risk exposure.", "resolved_tickers": ["ORCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Oracle [ $ORCL ] earning results and its effect on the neocloud sector like $NBIS & $IREN:\n\nOracle reported earnings with a beat on EPS and a record backlog but, dropped 12% after hours.\n\nOracle is down 39.8% from September 11th highs and brought down the sector with it.\n\nHere's why:\n\nThe sell-off was not merely a reaction to marginal revenue miss, but both an algorithmic short and investor selloff on the sustainability of the AI capex cycle and the creditworthiness of the sector's primary tenant: \n\nOpenAI. \n\nOracle's announcement of a $15 billion increase in 2026 capital spending to nearly $50 billion was inextricably linked to a reported $300 billion partnership with OpenAI.\n\nOriginally, OpenAI was the frontier LLM, with promising capex promises to Oracle, Coreweave and others, contributing to the initial repricing of the sector.\n\nHowever, with over $1t+ in obligations and increasing competition from Anthropic, Gemini, XAI, and others, the markets have serious doubts on whether Oracle, Coreweave, and others are building for a tenant that cannot currently fund its obligations from operating cash flow.\n\nWE're seeing the market effectively signaling that the market Oracle is creating an unsustainable debt-funded \"vendor financing\" for OpenAI, which cannot fulfill its promises. \n\nSo, the drop was rational: The sell-off was driven by a rational repricing of credit risk and capital  intensity.\n\nOpenAI Funding Fear is Valid: The hypothesis that OpenAI lacks the funds to honor its contracts is supported by a glaring mismatch between its revenue ($13B) and its obligations ($60B/year).\n\nCredit Fears are Real: The widening of Oracle's CDS spreads sees a rising probability of a \"credit event\" downgrade or default. \n\nFurthermore, we're seeing this trigger a contagion effect across the \"Neocloud\" sector from $NBIS dropping from $140 to $90s, $IREN dropping $80 to $40s, $CIFR dropping from $24s to $17s.\n\nBut is this a buying opportunity for Neoclouds like $WULF, $NBIS, $IREN, and others?\n\nYes.\n\nIs this a good buying opportunity for $ORCL?\n\nNo.\n\nForward Outlook:\n\n$ORCL (large portion) , $CRWV (25% backlog) are the two players largely dependent on OpenAI and this narrative can flip in an instant  (+30%+ change) depending on capital raising activity from OpenAI. \n\nIf OpenAI files for an oversubscribed IPO in 2026 at high valuations and it's new GPT models beats out Gemini/Claude, we can see this change.\n\nHowever, many other players are isolated from OpenAI. The original thesis of the Neocloud sector was Mag7 capex funndel from their cash cows segments (Azure, AWS, GCP) down into: $NBIS, $IREN, $CIFR, $WULF, and others.\n\nBut as the largest players ( $ORCL, $CRWV) fall, these algorithmically bring down the whole sector. \n\nIf you look at the companies individually, companies like $CIFR and $WULF are being backstopped by $GOOGL, and $IREN / $NBIS are funded by $MSFT.\n\nThese are locked in contract backlogs from Hyperscalers/Mag7, not OpenAI. \n\nThis irrational selloff due to misunderstanding of risks presents an amazing buying opportunity for the Necoloud sector, but not companies tied to OpenAI like $ORCL and $CRWV.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Post-Fed Interest Rate 25BPS cut.\n\nDecember 11th ratings:\n\nStrong Buy: \n$CRCL\n$COIN\n$AMKR\n$CRDO\n$IBIT\n$MSTR\n$AMZN\n$SMCI\n$TSM\n$TSSI\nSk Hynix\n$SNAP\nSamsung Electronics\n$ALAB\n$META\n$NBIS\n$CIFR\n\nBuy:\n$KRUS\n$AVGO\n$NFLX\n$KRKNF\n$HIMS\n$FLY\n$OSS\n$TE\n$FLNC\n$LITE\n$COHR\n$RKLB\n$TTD\n$NVDA\n$CLS", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.12149852071919609, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.12149852071919609, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12382006673256762, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12382006673256762, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04465683155963751, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04465683155963751, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03390486263210357, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03390486263210357, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "ret_p1w": -0.09464432407058543, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09464432407058543, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0762163344822272, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0762163344822272, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "ret_p1m": 0.0009794444821900061, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0009794444821900061, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.009106477213884467, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.009106477213884467, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "ret_p3m": -0.2466939309339543, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2466939309339543, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.23219969930556417, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.23219969930556417, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "bench_c_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.5168, 0.5394, 0.5131, 0.4891, 0.5495, 0.6474, 0.5755, 0.5485, 0.4625, 0.423, 0.4195, 0.4119, 0.4509, 0.4497, 0.4365, 0.4638, 0.4269, 0.449, 0.4934, 0.4733, 0.549, 0.5036, 0.5269, 0.5741, 0.465, 0.3939, 0.3837, 0.3712, 0.4084, 0.4248, 0.4151, 0.4123, 0.3845, 0.2919, 0.3206, 0.2967, 0.248, 0.2588, 0.226, 0.2032, 0.2111, 0.1876, 0.1415, 0.0941, 0.1207, 0.1057, 0.1088, 0.1342, 0.0595, -0.0005, 0.0072, -0.0092, 0.0307, 0.0307, 0.0156, 0.0105, 0.0113, 0.0447, 0.0778, 0.0942, 0.1091, 0.1141, 0.1215, 0.0, -0.0447, -0.0701, -0.0513, -0.1025, -0.0946, -0.0346, -0.0024, -0.0177, -0.0068, -0.0068, -0.0043, -0.0175, -0.0082, -0.0198, -0.0198, -0.0158, -0.0315, -0.0256, -0.0302, -0.0463, 0.001, 0.032, 0.02, -0.0238, -0.0427, -0.0365, -0.0365, -0.0928, -0.1233, -0.1016, -0.1067, -0.0801, -0.1181, -0.1287, -0.1478, -0.1702, -0.1929, -0.2201, -0.2605, -0.3118, -0.2799, -0.2104, -0.1938, -0.2076, -0.211, -0.1925, -0.1925, -0.2237, -0.2126, -0.2107, -0.2533, -0.2875, -0.2631, -0.2543, -0.2421, -0.2669, -0.2475, -0.2487, -0.2317, -0.2195, -0.2287, -0.2358, -0.2467, -0.1775, -0.1975, -0.2179, -0.2136, -0.22, -0.229, -0.2158, -0.2453, -0.2218, -0.2583, -0.2637, -0.2799, -0.2958, -0.3001, -0.2582, -0.2677, -0.2619, -0.2619, -0.2662, -0.2781, -0.2756, -0.3025, -0.3013, -0.2126, -0.1752, -0.1408, -0.0976, -0.1142, -0.1015, -0.0833, -0.0513, -0.1081, -0.1232, -0.1249, -0.1603, -0.171, -0.1834, -0.1306, -0.0878, -0.0622, -0.0182, -0.0154, -0.0085, -0.0192, -0.0547, -0.0398, -0.0102, -0.0237, -0.0558, -0.0818, -0.0479, -0.0398, -0.0281, -0.0281, -0.0232, -0.0338, 0.0307, 0.1424, 0.1424, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1998925429890261130", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2025-12-11T01:18:55+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "not companies tied to OpenAI like $ORCL and $CRWV", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Buy neocloud names backed by Hyperscalers (NBIS, IREN, CIFR, WULF) on irrational selloff; avoid ORCL and CRWV due to OpenAI credit risk exposure.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Oracle [ $ORCL ] earning results and its effect on the neocloud sector like $NBIS & $IREN:\n\nOracle reported earnings with a beat on EPS and a record backlog but, dropped 12% after hours.\n\nOracle is down 39.8% from September 11th highs and brought down the sector with it.\n\nHere's why:\n\nThe sell-off was not merely a reaction to marginal revenue miss, but both an algorithmic short and investor selloff on the sustainability of the AI capex cycle and the creditworthiness of the sector's primary tenant: \n\nOpenAI. \n\nOracle's announcement of a $15 billion increase in 2026 capital spending to nearly $50 billion was inextricably linked to a reported $300 billion partnership with OpenAI.\n\nOriginally, OpenAI was the frontier LLM, with promising capex promises to Oracle, Coreweave and others, contributing to the initial repricing of the sector.\n\nHowever, with over $1t+ in obligations and increasing competition from Anthropic, Gemini, XAI, and others, the markets have serious doubts on whether Oracle, Coreweave, and others are building for a tenant that cannot currently fund its obligations from operating cash flow.\n\nWE're seeing the market effectively signaling that the market Oracle is creating an unsustainable debt-funded \"vendor financing\" for OpenAI, which cannot fulfill its promises. \n\nSo, the drop was rational: The sell-off was driven by a rational repricing of credit risk and capital  intensity.\n\nOpenAI Funding Fear is Valid: The hypothesis that OpenAI lacks the funds to honor its contracts is supported by a glaring mismatch between its revenue ($13B) and its obligations ($60B/year).\n\nCredit Fears are Real: The widening of Oracle's CDS spreads sees a rising probability of a \"credit event\" downgrade or default. \n\nFurthermore, we're seeing this trigger a contagion effect across the \"Neocloud\" sector from $NBIS dropping from $140 to $90s, $IREN dropping $80 to $40s, $CIFR dropping from $24s to $17s.\n\nBut is this a buying opportunity for Neoclouds like $WULF, $NBIS, $IREN, and others?\n\nYes.\n\nIs this a good buying opportunity for $ORCL?\n\nNo.\n\nForward Outlook:\n\n$ORCL (large portion) , $CRWV (25% backlog) are the two players largely dependent on OpenAI and this narrative can flip in an instant  (+30%+ change) depending on capital raising activity from OpenAI. \n\nIf OpenAI files for an oversubscribed IPO in 2026 at high valuations and it's new GPT models beats out Gemini/Claude, we can see this change.\n\nHowever, many other players are isolated from OpenAI. The original thesis of the Neocloud sector was Mag7 capex funndel from their cash cows segments (Azure, AWS, GCP) down into: $NBIS, $IREN, $CIFR, $WULF, and others.\n\nBut as the largest players ( $ORCL, $CRWV) fall, these algorithmically bring down the whole sector. \n\nIf you look at the companies individually, companies like $CIFR and $WULF are being backstopped by $GOOGL, and $IREN / $NBIS are funded by $MSFT.\n\nThese are locked in contract backlogs from Hyperscalers/Mag7, not OpenAI. \n\nThis irrational selloff due to misunderstanding of risks presents an amazing buying opportunity for the Necoloud sector, but not companies tied to OpenAI like $ORCL and $CRWV.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Post-Fed Interest Rate 25BPS cut.\n\nDecember 11th ratings:\n\nStrong Buy: \n$CRCL\n$COIN\n$AMKR\n$CRDO\n$IBIT\n$MSTR\n$AMZN\n$SMCI\n$TSM\n$TSSI\nSk Hynix\n$SNAP\nSamsung Electronics\n$ALAB\n$META\n$NBIS\n$CIFR\n\nBuy:\n$KRUS\n$AVGO\n$NFLX\n$KRKNF\n$HIMS\n$FLY\n$OSS\n$TE\n$FLNC\n$LITE\n$COHR\n$RKLB\n$TTD\n$NVDA\n$CLS", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.008926601432925674, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.008926601432925674, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011248147446297208, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.011248147446297208, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.10059511549347766, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10059511549347766, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08984314656594372, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08984314656594372, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "ret_p1w": -0.22545202068510706, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.22545202068510706, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.20702403109674883, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.20702403109674883, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "ret_p1m": -0.08285646705586647, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08285646705586647, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09294238875194094, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09294238875194094, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "ret_p3m": -0.1425955536292406, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1425955536292406, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.12810132200085045, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12810132200085045, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "bench_c_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3787, 0.359, 0.3832, 0.3892, 0.4289, 0.5247, 0.4979, 0.5267, 0.4495, 0.3772, 0.4022, 0.5661, 0.5684, 0.5793, 0.5426, 0.5318, 0.4744, 0.602, 0.6374, 0.5842, 0.6207, 0.5342, 0.5935, 0.6221, 0.5664, 0.4541, 0.4312, 0.3908, 0.4115, 0.5169, 0.5571, 0.5427, 0.6014, 0.4999, 0.5302, 0.4456, 0.3247, 0.3095, 0.2237, 0.1903, 0.2086, 0.0116, -0.0223, -0.1035, -0.1147, -0.1379, -0.1428, -0.1426, -0.2079, -0.18, -0.1577, -0.1841, -0.1498, -0.1498, -0.1632, -0.1181, -0.1299, -0.0918, -0.0187, 0.0105, -0.013, 0.0375, 0.0089, 0.0, -0.1006, -0.172, -0.2046, -0.2613, -0.2255, -0.0501, -0.0292, -0.0815, -0.0974, -0.0974, -0.1254, -0.1426, -0.1543, -0.1805, -0.1805, -0.0922, -0.1204, -0.108, -0.1167, -0.1178, -0.0829, 0.0292, 0.0011, 0.0277, 0.0873, 0.1585, 0.1585, 0.0897, 0.0763, 0.0505, 0.0641, 0.1251, 0.2458, 0.2133, 0.139, 0.0665, 0.0179, 0.0307, -0.0563, -0.1457, 0.0294, 0.1077, 0.0885, 0.0889, 0.0952, 0.0991, 0.0991, 0.0414, 0.0924, 0.1117, 0.0214, 0.0396, 0.1364, 0.1217, 0.1173, -0.0895, -0.1068, -0.1556, -0.0902, -0.1437, -0.1647, -0.1484, -0.1426, -0.062, -0.0861, -0.0718, -0.0174, -0.0602, -0.0522, -0.0769, -0.0676, -0.062, -0.0499, 0.0023, -0.0793, -0.1439, -0.2086, -0.1134, -0.1023, -0.0588, -0.0588, -0.0737, -0.0245, 0.0174, 0.0529, 0.1673, 0.262, 0.3413, 0.3583, 0.3683, 0.3373, 0.3439, 0.3179, 0.4024, 0.3438, 0.2605, 0.2824, 0.2077, 0.3068, 0.2772, 0.362, 0.4355, 0.4636, 0.5791, 0.4745, 0.3064, 0.3127, 0.2331, 0.2739, 0.3071, 0.228, 0.1876, 0.1423, 0.1591, 0.2312, 0.2073, 0.2073, 0.2118, 0.1933, 0.2229, 0.2535, 0.2535, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2010658570690298043", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-12T10:22:14+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AXTI is the main beneficiary of China's export controls on Japan as a double edged sword from short term revenue hit but medium-longer term control over supply chains", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long AXTI as main beneficiary of China export controls on Japan; medium-to-long term supply chain control advantage with IQE as a key InP substrate customer.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AXTI is the main beneficiary of China's export controls on Japan as a double edged sword from short term revenue hit but medium-longer term control over supply chains. \n\nAs you mentioned the likely Japanese supply chain shock threw IQE a lifeline, since the smaller player became one of the only \"safe\" Western epi-foundry. And they likely got record demand as mentioned from their earnings because hyperscalers are fighting to secure any non-Chinese capacity. \n\nHowever, funny thing is they still buy the InP substrates from $AXTI to grow the crystals on top (AXT listes IQE as one of the main overseas customers for InP substrates), so bottleneck doesn't exactly change.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit You have done great work on AXTI!  Thank you for all of your insights.  This morning a long time leading AXT customer announced positive news which I believe confirms your bullish thesis.  IQE london listed is trading up sharply today but still down 90% for 5 year highs.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jdrewburke", "ret_m1d": 0.033723021929792596, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.033723021929792596, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0352910132835661, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03740909787283109, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0015679913537735013, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0036860759430384915, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03282372076209894, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03282372076209894, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.030824245656228655, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03505070870310134, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019994751058702853, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0022269879410024007, "ret_p1w": -0.006744587233542543, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.006744587233542543, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0017097590729813206, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0316511834940183, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.005034828160561222, "bench_c_p1w": 0.024906596260475755, "ret_p1m": 0.09487412913968196, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09487412913968196, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09924724910176141, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05878134776626287, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0043731199620794525, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03609278137341909, "ret_p3m": 1.8381294775845798, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.8381294775845798, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.8573957861693282, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.736634588103192, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.019266308584748315, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10149488948138785, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7936, -0.7783, -0.7972, -0.7792, -0.7675, -0.7779, -0.7671, -0.7275, -0.7217, -0.7032, -0.6821, -0.6709, -0.6425, -0.6196, -0.616, -0.5908, -0.6012, -0.5746, -0.5306, -0.5252, -0.5063, -0.5306, -0.5306, -0.5391, -0.5549, -0.5454, -0.5751, -0.5985, -0.58, -0.585, -0.5301, -0.5301, -0.5189, -0.5148, -0.4712, -0.4838, -0.4559, -0.4793, -0.4285, -0.3273, -0.3026, -0.2635, -0.3341, -0.3332, -0.4155, -0.4442, -0.3701, -0.3413, -0.3156, -0.3417, -0.3251, -0.3251, -0.3089, -0.344, -0.2896, -0.2648, -0.2648, -0.2464, -0.2504, -0.0931, 0.0841, 0.1614, 0.0337, 0.0, -0.0328, -0.0063, 0.1565, -0.0067, -0.0067, -0.0373, -0.1106, -0.1942, -0.2176, -0.1996, -0.2266, -0.2433, -0.2635, -0.1664, -0.0585, -0.1124, -0.1569, -0.0814, 0.0818, 0.2487, 0.0949, 0.205, 0.1147, 0.0899, 0.0899, 0.0436, 0.0585, 0.0706, 0.3345, 0.2783, 0.5773, 0.8422, 0.6691, 0.7041, 1.0827, 0.8777, 0.7594, 0.7446, 0.4555, 0.7338, 0.9919, 1.1295, 1.1012, 1.1969, 1.1758, 0.9946, 1.1924, 1.612, 1.4388, 1.8975, 2.0773, 2.0283, 1.6308, 1.7262, 1.371, 1.5621, 1.1196, 1.3759, 1.3759, 0.888, 1.0441, 1.3912, 1.8381, 1.8858, 1.9879, 2.0261, 1.8296, 2.6772, 2.7122, 2.5414, 2.371, 2.9092, 2.3844, 2.4245, 2.1542, 2.0895, 2.1956, 2.5621, 3.3165, 3.7662, 3.8359, 3.7136, 3.875, 4.232, 4.6569, 4.5261, 4.4829, 4.17, 4.5656, 3.7608, 4.0755, 3.7037, 4.4415, 5.3323, 5.3323, 4.9622, 4.5202, 4.2023, 3.6385, 3.6385, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1983474835578909158", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-29T10:03:46+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "my Neocloud positions are concentrated in $NBIS and $WLAC right now", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Currently holding concentrated Neocloud positions in both NBIS and WLAC.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@mikelfilko Of course, my Neocloud positions are concentrated in $NBIS and $WLAC right now.    \n\nPeople can have others, I just listed examples above, not what I personally did.  There's a lot more out there for each sector and many other sectors that have momentum.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thanks for sharing, was curious if $WLAC can also form part of the portfolio?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mkfilko", "ret_m1d": -0.026139062213840547, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.026139062213840547, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.025658905834846535, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.028632781530138707, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0004801563789940122, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0024937193162981597, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007354102159606524, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007354102159606524, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0036440417774703526, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.009586312164789446, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010998143937076876, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01694041432439597, "ret_p1w": -0.06474819003132681, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06474819003132681, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05047673156413923, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.040068510182443506, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014271458467187581, "bench_c_p1w": -0.024679679848883307, "ret_p1m": -0.24308550282680963, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.24308550282680963, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.23186911410820743, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.22734893023129732, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0112163887186022, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01573657259551231, "ret_p3m": -0.2689048745001176, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2689048745001176, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2796511082372425, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2849101853490611, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01074623373712491, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01600531084894352, "ret_p6m": 0.25563552155877245, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.25563552155877245, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.21912952764087223, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.23967669516447643, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.036505993917900215, "bench_c_p6m": 0.015958826394296022, "price_path": [-0.5843, -0.567, -0.559, -0.5596, -0.4779, -0.4502, -0.4385, -0.3978, -0.4354, -0.4528, -0.4275, -0.4201, -0.4629, -0.4607, -0.471, -0.4486, -0.4403, -0.4366, -0.4396, -0.4241, -0.4539, -0.4539, -0.4747, -0.4752, -0.4811, -0.4767, -0.4879, -0.2349, -0.2535, -0.2871, -0.2773, -0.2729, -0.2851, -0.248, -0.2476, -0.2062, -0.1479, -0.1383, -0.0949, -0.1372, -0.1391, -0.1189, -0.1026, -0.0759, 0.0062, 0.023, -0.0013, -0.0592, -0.0248, 0.0603, 0.0358, 0.0828, 0.0244, 0.0058, -0.0165, -0.0932, -0.1287, -0.1664, -0.2117, -0.1514, -0.0627, 0.0026, -0.0261, 0.0, -0.0074, 0.0457, -0.037, -0.1164, -0.0647, -0.1252, -0.1105, -0.1211, -0.1829, -0.2457, -0.2915, -0.3322, -0.3127, -0.2763, -0.24, -0.3234, -0.3345, -0.2654, -0.2895, -0.2431, -0.2431, -0.2416, -0.1994, -0.229, -0.2093, -0.1783, -0.2163, -0.198, -0.2293, -0.2519, -0.2464, -0.299, -0.3514, -0.3529, -0.3969, -0.3758, -0.2849, -0.2548, -0.2803, -0.2715, -0.2715, -0.2998, -0.3122, -0.3192, -0.3309, -0.3309, -0.281, -0.258, -0.1987, -0.2309, -0.2222, -0.2172, -0.142, -0.1572, -0.1848, -0.1696, -0.1309, -0.1309, -0.2063, -0.2097, -0.2258, -0.2446, -0.2689, -0.2177, -0.1972, -0.2413, -0.319, -0.2953, -0.281, -0.3414, -0.4095, -0.3118, -0.2576, -0.2663, -0.2917, -0.2827, -0.2165, -0.2165, -0.2205, -0.1863, -0.1398, -0.2173, -0.1958, -0.18, -0.1517, -0.1616, -0.2711, -0.2725, -0.3062, -0.2184, -0.2354, -0.2859, -0.2411, -0.2292, -0.1048, -0.1364, -0.0971, 0.038, -0.0701, -0.0523, -0.0286, -0.0598, -0.0875, -0.0815, -0.08, -0.1529, -0.1941, -0.2625, -0.1706, -0.1851, -0.1301, -0.1301, -0.1004, -0.0616, -0.0008, 0.0898, 0.1588, 0.2355, 0.2945, 0.3331, 0.3217, 0.2561, 0.2723, 0.2514, 0.2481, 0.2556]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1961992261816004834", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-31T03:19:41+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Space - $RKLB (220B)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Author's moonshot basket targeting 1000% returns over 5 years across space, AI, semi, crypto, fintech, social, health, and software.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My moonshot baskets for 1000% returns in 5y given current valuations. \n\nSpace - $RKLB (220B)\nAI - $CRWV (470B)\nSemi - $CREDO (200B), $TSSI (3.8B)\nCrypto -  $BKKT (1.8B) \nFintech - $DJT (49B)\nSocial - $BMBL (6.2B)\nHealth - $HIMS (95B)\nSoftware - $UPWK (19B)\n\nWhat are your picks?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014609113610322133, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014609113610322133, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02201940916619638, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.024147967738849085, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.007410295555874247, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009538854128526952, "ret_p1w": -0.01790121315226023, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01790121315226023, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.023761260029963482, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.013033252379123117, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005860046877703251, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004867960773137114, "ret_p1m": -0.014197503052935323, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.014197503052935323, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04981791599009733, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03299355602481957, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035620412937162005, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018796052971884247, "ret_p3m": -0.13724276498685495, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.13724276498685495, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.19384983878130668, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.14659276706605306, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.056607073794451734, "bench_c_p3m": 0.009350002079198116, "ret_p6m": 0.4397120044759115, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4397120044759115, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3680241199374712, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.26663224541948205, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07168788453844033, "bench_c_p6m": 0.17307975905642947, "price_path": [-0.4463, -0.4558, -0.4049, -0.3901, -0.4409, -0.437, -0.4568, -0.4772, -0.4537, -0.4564, -0.427, -0.427, -0.3819, -0.3255, -0.3115, -0.3344, -0.2564, -0.272, -0.264, -0.2936, -0.2658, -0.2663, -0.2663, -0.2, -0.2029, -0.1947, -0.1955, -0.1969, -0.1109, -0.0823, -0.0187, 0.0562, 0.0574, -0.029, -0.0354, 0.0113, -0.0097, -0.0241, -0.0718, -0.099, -0.0444, -0.0551, -0.078, -0.0835, -0.0792, -0.0926, -0.0903, -0.0805, -0.0737, -0.1064, -0.1152, -0.1191, -0.0891, -0.0747, -0.158, -0.1628, -0.1455, -0.0868, -0.0284, -0.0097, -0.0484, -0.0142, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0146, -0.1043, -0.1154, -0.0568, -0.0179, -0.0323, -0.05, -0.0035, 0.0975, 0.1119, -0.0279, -0.0107, -0.0292, -0.0167, 0.0249, 0.0887, 0.0019, -0.0405, -0.0481, -0.0327, -0.0142, -0.013, 0.0796, 0.1556, 0.2037, 0.2656, 0.3438, 0.3667, 0.3222, 0.3461, 0.3998, 0.4253, 0.3786, 0.3636, 0.3858, 0.3457, 0.2462, 0.308, 0.3284, 0.3502, 0.3117, 0.3613, 0.2535, 0.2959, 0.2621, 0.164, 0.1609, 0.0208, 0.0626, 0.0679, 0.0543, 0.0282, -0.0689, -0.063, -0.1088, -0.1198, -0.1025, -0.1877, -0.1708, -0.1265, -0.1235, -0.1372, -0.1372, -0.1329, -0.1693, -0.1379, -0.0798, 0.0158, 0.0094, 0.0609, 0.0994, 0.1835, 0.3072, 0.2652, 0.1401, 0.1418, 0.1103, 0.2329, 0.451, 0.5957, 0.5881, 0.5881, 0.5881, 0.4537, 0.4428, 0.4496, 0.4354, 0.4354, 0.5636, 0.6078, 0.7702, 0.73, 0.7095, 0.7459, 0.8086, 0.7815, 0.8889, 0.8675, 0.9815, 0.9815, 0.8346, 0.807, 0.8103, 0.8292, 0.656, 0.7901, 0.8224, 0.763, 0.6475, 0.5257, 0.6722, 0.5043, 0.3646, 0.4881, 0.5605, 0.4821, 0.4325, 0.3582, 0.3877, 0.3877, 0.4381, 0.5313, 0.5757, 0.458, 0.4447, 0.4397]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1961992261816004834", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-08-31T03:19:41+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "AI - $CRWV (470B)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Author's moonshot basket targeting 1000% returns over 5 years across space, AI, semi, crypto, fintech, social, health, and software.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My moonshot baskets for 1000% returns in 5y given current valuations. \n\nSpace - $RKLB (220B)\nAI - $CRWV (470B)\nSemi - $CREDO (200B), $TSSI (3.8B)\nCrypto -  $BKKT (1.8B) \nFintech - $DJT (49B)\nSocial - $BMBL (6.2B)\nHealth - $HIMS (95B)\nSoftware - $UPWK (19B)\n\nWhat are your picks?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0941382423471524, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0941382423471524, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08672794679127815, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.08672794679127815, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.007410295555874247, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007410295555874247, "ret_p1w": -0.09210013372912795, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09210013372912795, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0979601806068312, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0979601806068312, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005860046877703251, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005860046877703251, "ret_p1m": 0.3281250474338202, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3281250474338202, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2925046344966582, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2925046344966582, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035620412937162005, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035620412937162005, "ret_p3m": -0.27901785466373763, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.27901785466373763, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.33562492845818936, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.33562492845818936, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.056607073794451734, "bench_c_p3m": 0.056607073794451734, "ret_p6m": -0.03629656279638038, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.03629656279638038, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.10798444733482071, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.10798444733482071, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07168788453844033, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07168788453844033, "price_path": [0.5829, 0.3107, 0.3602, 0.5732, 0.5033, 0.4528, 0.4457, 0.4285, 0.5382, 0.6686, 0.6498, 0.6498, 0.7816, 0.6856, 0.6753, 0.5479, 0.5342, 0.5527, 0.5825, 0.5134, 0.4729, 0.6033, 0.6033, 0.5499, 0.4698, 0.4853, 0.3421, 0.2213, 0.2847, 0.3644, 0.3882, 0.2831, 0.1939, 0.2122, 0.2594, 0.2233, 0.1646, 0.1221, 0.0703, 0.0553, -0.0015, 0.1076, 0.0107, 0.0288, 0.0854, 0.0699, 0.1751, 0.2573, 0.3566, 0.4436, 0.1429, -0.0343, -0.0298, -0.0606, -0.0985, -0.1118, -0.1189, -0.0878, -0.1035, -0.1131, -0.0593, -0.0024, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0941, -0.1277, -0.151, -0.1354, -0.0921, -0.0274, 0.1368, 0.0937, 0.0866, 0.1692, 0.1525, 0.1729, 0.1781, 0.2118, 0.293, 0.2703, 0.2946, 0.2292, 0.1679, 0.1891, 0.3281, 0.3301, 0.3393, 0.3081, 0.299, 0.2503, 0.3585, 0.3886, 0.3435, 0.3744, 0.301, 0.3513, 0.3756, 0.3283, 0.2331, 0.2137, 0.1794, 0.197, 0.2864, 0.3205, 0.3082, 0.358, 0.2719, 0.2977, 0.2259, 0.1234, 0.1104, 0.0378, 0.0094, 0.0249, -0.1422, -0.1709, -0.2397, -0.2492, -0.2689, -0.2731, -0.2729, -0.3283, -0.3046, -0.2857, -0.3081, -0.279, -0.279, -0.2904, -0.2521, -0.2621, -0.2298, -0.1678, -0.1431, -0.163, -0.1201, -0.1444, -0.152, -0.2373, -0.2978, -0.3255, -0.3735, -0.3432, -0.1945, -0.1767, -0.2211, -0.2346, -0.2346, -0.2583, -0.2729, -0.2828, -0.305, -0.305, -0.2302, -0.2541, -0.2436, -0.251, -0.2518, -0.2222, -0.1272, -0.151, -0.1285, -0.0779, -0.0176, -0.0176, -0.0759, -0.0872, -0.1092, -0.0976, -0.0459, 0.0565, 0.0289, -0.0341, -0.0956, -0.1368, -0.126, -0.1997, -0.2755, -0.127, -0.0607, -0.077, -0.0766, -0.0712, -0.0679, -0.0679, -0.1168, -0.0737, -0.0573, -0.1338, -0.1184, -0.0363]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1961992261816004834", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-08-31T03:19:41+00:00", "symbol": "CRDO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Semi - $CREDO (200B)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Author's moonshot basket targeting 1000% returns over 5 years across space, AI, semi, crypto, fintech, social, health, and software.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRDO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My moonshot baskets for 1000% returns in 5y given current valuations. \n\nSpace - $RKLB (220B)\nAI - $CRWV (470B)\nSemi - $CREDO (200B), $TSSI (3.8B)\nCrypto -  $BKKT (1.8B) \nFintech - $DJT (49B)\nSocial - $BMBL (6.2B)\nHealth - $HIMS (95B)\nSoftware - $UPWK (19B)\n\nWhat are your picks?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009873603956583876, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009873603956583876, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.017283899512458123, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02299842883536074, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.007410295555874247, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013124824878776864, "ret_p1w": 0.19889479024357581, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.19889479024357581, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.19303474336587256, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.17743364150318852, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005860046877703251, "bench_c_p1w": 0.021461148740387292, "ret_p1m": 0.1832920259171873, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1832920259171873, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1476716129800253, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05903713146025047, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035620412937162005, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12425489445693683, "ret_p3m": 0.3328186103782209, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3328186103782209, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2762115365837692, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.13501654584334122, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.056607073794451734, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1978020645348797, "ret_p6m": -0.018081333294893365, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.018081333294893365, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.08976921783333369, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.466509563305343, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07168788453844033, "bench_c_p6m": 0.4484282300104496, "price_path": [-0.3787, -0.4068, -0.4071, -0.4223, -0.4431, -0.4178, -0.3959, -0.4028, -0.3566, -0.3522, -0.3045, -0.3045, -0.3051, -0.3127, -0.253, -0.2507, -0.2276, -0.2403, -0.2476, -0.2882, -0.2737, -0.2393, -0.2393, -0.2464, -0.2413, -0.2069, -0.2094, -0.1994, -0.1979, -0.1663, -0.1777, -0.2, -0.2404, -0.222, -0.2448, -0.2003, -0.1778, -0.1774, -0.1228, -0.1111, -0.0573, -0.0935, -0.1259, -0.0679, -0.1037, -0.0464, -0.0266, -0.0215, -0.0364, 0.0189, -0.0156, -0.0465, -0.0513, -0.0351, -0.1362, -0.1387, -0.0991, -0.0733, -0.0621, -0.024, -0.0026, 0.0712, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0099, 0.0139, 0.0889, 0.1444, 0.1989, 0.2111, 0.3324, 0.2947, 0.3164, 0.3326, 0.3362, 0.3363, 0.4003, 0.3779, 0.3336, 0.3186, 0.2139, 0.1778, 0.1615, 0.1865, 0.1833, 0.1776, 0.216, 0.1692, 0.198, 0.1149, 0.2098, 0.2283, 0.1282, 0.2182, 0.0544, 0.0679, 0.1095, 0.167, 0.2325, 0.1716, 0.1149, 0.2268, 0.2641, 0.2593, 0.3179, 0.3938, 0.354, 0.5247, 0.468, 0.3346, 0.4072, 0.3225, 0.3296, 0.3828, 0.288, 0.303, 0.1617, 0.1826, 0.183, 0.1341, 0.153, 0.0949, 0.0848, 0.2259, 0.2529, 0.3328, 0.3328, 0.4433, 0.3907, 0.5313, 0.5374, 0.4702, 0.4306, 0.4541, 0.3839, 0.2838, 0.2553, 0.1695, 0.1541, 0.1405, 0.09, 0.1261, 0.22, 0.2185, 0.2012, 0.2205, 0.2205, 0.177, 0.1759, 0.1777, 0.1693, 0.1693, 0.1639, 0.1397, 0.0804, 0.1458, 0.1506, 0.2224, 0.2683, 0.3114, 0.2746, 0.2118, 0.2268, 0.2268, 0.2451, 0.1309, 0.0979, 0.0821, 0.0403, 0.0529, 0.0537, 0.0521, 0.0181, -0.0252, -0.0954, -0.2121, -0.2031, -0.0947, 0.0029, 0.0948, 0.0434, -0.0104, -0.0131, -0.0131, 0.0142, 0.0395, 0.0618, 0.0082, 0.0081, -0.0181]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1961992261816004834", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-08-31T03:19:41+00:00", "symbol": "TSSI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSSI (3.8B)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Author's moonshot basket targeting 1000% returns over 5 years across space, AI, semi, crypto, fintech, social, health, and software.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSSI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My moonshot baskets for 1000% returns in 5y given current valuations. \n\nSpace - $RKLB (220B)\nAI - $CRWV (470B)\nSemi - $CREDO (200B), $TSSI (3.8B)\nCrypto -  $BKKT (1.8B) \nFintech - $DJT (49B)\nSocial - $BMBL (6.2B)\nHealth - $HIMS (95B)\nSoftware - $UPWK (19B)\n\nWhat are your picks?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06389090623293592, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06389090623293592, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05648061067706167, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.053793613282547725, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.007410295555874247, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010097292950388193, "ret_p1w": -0.028715044037433857, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.028715044037433857, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03457509091513711, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03778329714247464, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005860046877703251, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00906825310504078, "ret_p1m": 0.30007180284286683, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.30007180284286683, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2644513899057048, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.22473473800448351, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035620412937162005, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07533706483838332, "ret_p3m": -0.3251974578178837, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3251974578178837, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3818045316123354, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.40785968920684457, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.056607073794451734, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0826622313889609, "ret_p6m": -0.39339557615619825, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.39339557615619825, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4650834606946386, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.46570226225327915, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07168788453844033, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07230668609708091, "price_path": [0.2326, 0.2161, 0.4243, 0.4939, 0.4659, 0.4673, 0.4688, 0.3202, 0.5506, 0.5642, 0.7064, 0.7064, 0.8385, 0.9354, 1.0445, 0.9505, 1.2326, 1.1716, 1.0696, 0.9103, 1.0316, 1.0165, 1.0165, 1.079, 0.9196, 0.7653, 0.6454, 0.4724, 0.5305, 0.4774, 0.5879, 0.5463, 0.664, 0.8134, 0.8234, 0.855, 0.9347, 1.0782, 0.9569, 0.7006, 0.8026, 0.9526, 0.9447, 1.1005, 1.0797, 1.0639, 0.5872, 0.4465, 0.3518, 0.3352, 0.2814, 0.2649, 0.1587, 0.094, 0.0517, 0.1127, 0.0818, 0.1055, 0.0675, 0.1486, 0.1199, 0.1077, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0639, -0.1113, -0.0711, -0.0158, -0.0287, 0.0337, 0.1457, 0.1263, 0.1307, 0.1486, 0.0337, 0.0905, 0.0897, 0.1421, 0.3352, 0.3173, 0.2541, 0.257, 0.2678, 0.3274, 0.3001, 0.3467, 0.3604, 0.29, 0.2893, 0.3977, 0.4659, 0.4271, 0.2685, 0.3446, 0.3173, 0.2965, 0.2304, 0.163, 0.2125, 0.234, 0.1651, 0.224, 0.3087, 0.3108, 0.2778, 0.2663, 0.2922, 0.4544, 0.3862, 0.3008, 0.2642, 0.1723, 0.1924, 0.219, 0.1565, 0.1601, 0.0948, -0.3798, -0.4221, -0.4307, -0.4573, -0.4436, -0.4436, -0.4221, -0.4049, -0.3252, -0.3252, -0.3087, -0.3446, -0.3611, -0.3467, -0.3209, -0.3805, -0.369, -0.3726, -0.392, -0.4042, -0.4559, -0.4874, -0.463, -0.4996, -0.4767, -0.458, -0.4436, -0.4587, -0.4645, -0.4645, -0.4896, -0.5032, -0.4989, -0.4925, -0.4925, -0.448, -0.4121, -0.3697, -0.4042, -0.3841, -0.3877, -0.3352, -0.313, -0.2412, -0.1989, -0.135, -0.135, -0.2017, -0.1802, -0.1981, -0.196, -0.2599, -0.2225, -0.2484, -0.2412, -0.2678, -0.2749, -0.313, -0.369, -0.4415, -0.3482, -0.3417, -0.3855, -0.3862, -0.425, -0.4156, -0.4156, -0.43, -0.4221, -0.4264, -0.4408, -0.4573, -0.3934]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1961992261816004834", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-08-31T03:19:41+00:00", "symbol": "BKKT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Crypto - $BKKT (1.8B)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Author's moonshot basket targeting 1000% returns over 5 years across space, AI, semi, crypto, fintech, social, health, and software.", "resolved_tickers": ["BKKT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My moonshot baskets for 1000% returns in 5y given current valuations. \n\nSpace - $RKLB (220B)\nAI - $CRWV (470B)\nSemi - $CREDO (200B), $TSSI (3.8B)\nCrypto -  $BKKT (1.8B) \nFintech - $DJT (49B)\nSocial - $BMBL (6.2B)\nHealth - $HIMS (95B)\nSoftware - $UPWK (19B)\n\nWhat are your picks?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04903071026875572, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04903071026875572, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.056441005824629964, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.056441005824629964, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.007410295555874247, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007410295555874247, "ret_p1w": 0.021664717270921452, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.021664717270921452, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0158046703932182, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0158046703932182, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005860046877703251, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005860046877703251, "ret_p1m": 2.8369441014213552, "ret_signed_p1m": 2.8369441014213552, "alpha_spy_p1m": 2.801323688484193, "alpha_c_p1m": 2.801323688484193, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035620412937162005, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035620412937162005, "ret_p3m": 0.6978334739015131, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6978334739015131, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.6412264001070613, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.6412264001070613, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.056607073794451734, "bench_c_p3m": 0.056607073794451734, "ret_p6m": 0.15165334712481893, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.15165334712481893, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0799654625863786, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0799654625863786, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07168788453844033, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07168788453844033, "price_path": [0.4903, 0.5279, 0.5861, 0.7275, 0.5325, 0.5029, 0.4812, 0.4036, 0.4914, 0.3786, 0.447, 0.447, 0.5371, 0.3991, 0.5017, 0.4743, 0.52, 0.4572, 0.5906, 0.6043, 1.1243, 1.065, 1.065, 0.9361, 0.9989, 1.2759, 1.374, 1.2178, 1.1049, 1.0308, 1.439, 1.7491, 1.5964, 1.7218, 1.553, 1.8187, 1.3979, 1.0593, 0.9578, 0.1403, 0.1368, 0.1288, 0.0639, 0.065, 0.0867, 0.114, 0.1357, 0.2326, 0.1311, 0.0696, 0.114, 0.0946, 0.1391, 0.0536, -0.0296, -0.0547, -0.0935, 0.0103, -0.0445, 0.0137, -0.0182, -0.0091, 0.0, 0.0, 0.049, -0.0205, -0.0433, -0.0285, 0.0217, 0.1095, 0.073, 0.1334, 0.0855, 0.1026, 0.1596, 0.1026, 0.1528, 0.1904, 0.6762, 0.9601, 1.2805, 1.1243, 1.0468, 1.9133, 2.8369, 2.894, 4.008, 3.6043, 3.675, 3.4379, 3.5336, 3.3569, 2.756, 3.2999, 4.1357, 3.8791, 3.4641, 3.0707, 3.0239, 2.6648, 2.2041, 2.2588, 2.2885, 2.3136, 2.049, 1.9681, 1.6192, 2.1551, 2.065, 1.4607, 1.7206, 1.4299, 1.6978, 1.39, 1.4481, 1.4641, 1.1117, 1.0696, 0.9145, 0.9521, 0.9361, 0.683, 0.5929, 0.7788, 0.7526, 0.6978, 0.6978, 0.7982, 0.5792, 0.5827, 0.6727, 0.7788, 0.5964, 0.455, 0.4903, 0.4652, 0.4436, 0.3181, 0.2178, 0.2714, 0.1414, 0.1722, 0.2041, 0.2052, 0.179, 0.2315, 0.2315, 0.2018, 0.1881, 0.1585, 0.1448, 0.1448, 0.2828, 0.6864, 0.7628, 0.7263, 0.8769, 0.8563, 1.1904, 1.1345, 1.3957, 1.2109, 1.4413, 1.4413, 0.8426, 0.8597, 0.7697, 0.7355, 0.5804, 0.7035, 0.6534, 0.5542, 0.5268, 0.3979, 0.3888, 0.3238, 0.1288, 0.358, 0.2999, 0.2109, 0.1859, 0.1471, 0.2281, 0.2281, 0.1699, 0.1813, 0.1859, 0.1904, 0.1574, 0.1517]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1961992261816004834", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2025-08-31T03:19:41+00:00", "symbol": "DJT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Fintech - $DJT (49B)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Author's moonshot basket targeting 1000% returns over 5 years across space, AI, semi, crypto, fintech, social, health, and software.", "resolved_tickers": ["DJT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My moonshot baskets for 1000% returns in 5y given current valuations. \n\nSpace - $RKLB (220B)\nAI - $CRWV (470B)\nSemi - $CREDO (200B), $TSSI (3.8B)\nCrypto -  $BKKT (1.8B) \nFintech - $DJT (49B)\nSocial - $BMBL (6.2B)\nHealth - $HIMS (95B)\nSoftware - $UPWK (19B)\n\nWhat are your picks?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.025670322037252835, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.025670322037252835, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01826002648137859, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.023964628057485116, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.007410295555874247, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0017056939797677195, "ret_p1w": -0.027381713108010852, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.027381713108010852, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0332417599857141, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05817447689256794, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005860046877703251, "bench_c_p1w": 0.030792763784557087, "ret_p1m": -0.06332005515534123, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06332005515534123, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09894046809250323, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12968889982263687, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035620412937162005, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06636884466729565, "ret_p3m": -0.368511165931817, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.368511165931817, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4251182397262687, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3996556798131832, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.056607073794451734, "bench_c_p3m": 0.031144513881366187, "ret_p6m": -0.3936109698764053, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3936109698764053, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.46529885441484564, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4434582819730254, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07168788453844033, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04984731209662008, "price_path": [0.2481, 0.1477, 0.1922, 0.2105, 0.1928, 0.1706, 0.1369, 0.1135, 0.065, 0.0559, 0.0593, 0.0593, 0.0171, 0.0205, 0.0388, 0.012, 0.0165, -0.0074, 0.0291, 0.0114, 0.0376, 0.081, 0.081, 0.0685, 0.0981, 0.0856, 0.0799, 0.0565, 0.0428, 0.0234, 0.0799, 0.093, 0.065, 0.0981, 0.1329, 0.1175, 0.0901, 0.0924, 0.0719, 0.016, 0.0137, 0.0034, -0.0348, -0.0365, -0.065, -0.073, -0.0228, -0.0308, -0.0165, -0.004, 0.0257, 0.0051, 0.0553, 0.0502, -0.0068, -0.0268, -0.0086, 0.0194, -0.0177, 0.0337, 0.0222, 0.0242, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0257, -0.0319, -0.0439, -0.0485, -0.0274, -0.0359, -0.0371, -0.0348, -0.0308, -0.004, -0.0029, -0.0348, -0.0342, -0.0051, 0.004, -0.0034, -0.0302, -0.0405, -0.0342, -0.0354, -0.0633, -0.0519, -0.0188, -0.0108, 0.0051, -0.0291, -0.0154, -0.0262, -0.089, -0.0553, -0.0713, -0.0719, -0.0998, -0.077, -0.0878, -0.0896, -0.1067, -0.093, -0.0964, -0.0856, -0.0782, -0.0884, -0.1255, -0.1258, -0.1717, -0.2116, -0.1917, -0.2396, -0.2527, -0.2339, -0.2641, -0.279, -0.3137, -0.3685, -0.3811, -0.3856, -0.413, -0.4096, -0.4107, -0.3959, -0.3873, -0.3685, -0.3685, -0.3417, -0.3754, -0.3617, -0.3434, -0.3274, -0.352, -0.3668, -0.3554, -0.3554, -0.3776, -0.3925, -0.4033, -0.3879, -0.4027, -0.1523, -0.0821, -0.178, -0.1928, -0.1837, -0.1837, -0.2145, -0.2493, -0.2829, -0.2447, -0.2447, -0.2145, -0.1791, -0.1831, -0.223, -0.2014, -0.178, -0.2059, -0.2019, -0.2025, -0.2208, -0.2088, -0.2088, -0.2065, -0.194, -0.1563, -0.1711, -0.1991, -0.1968, -0.2236, -0.2276, -0.271, -0.2972, -0.3046, -0.2895, -0.3785, -0.3465, -0.3571, -0.3582, -0.3691, -0.3788, -0.3736, -0.3736, -0.4347, -0.4022, -0.397, -0.4233, -0.4318, -0.3936]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1961992261816004834", "ticker_idx": 6, "ts": "2025-08-31T03:19:41+00:00", "symbol": "BMBL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Social - $BMBL (6.2B)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Author's moonshot basket targeting 1000% returns over 5 years across space, AI, semi, crypto, fintech, social, health, and software.", "resolved_tickers": ["BMBL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My moonshot baskets for 1000% returns in 5y given current valuations. \n\nSpace - $RKLB (220B)\nAI - $CRWV (470B)\nSemi - $CREDO (200B), $TSSI (3.8B)\nCrypto -  $BKKT (1.8B) \nFintech - $DJT (49B)\nSocial - $BMBL (6.2B)\nHealth - $HIMS (95B)\nSoftware - $UPWK (19B)\n\nWhat are your picks?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011345246482301952, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011345246482301952, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.003934950926427705, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.003934950926427705, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.007410295555874247, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007410295555874247, "ret_p1w": 0.09562401058222969, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09562401058222969, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08976396370452644, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08976396370452644, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005860046877703251, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005860046877703251, "ret_p1m": -0.012965951817962895, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.012965951817962895, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0485863647551249, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0485863647551249, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035620412937162005, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035620412937162005, "ret_p3m": -0.4278768350502047, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4278768350502047, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4844839088446564, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4844839088446564, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.056607073794451734, "bench_c_p3m": 0.056607073794451734, "ret_p6m": -0.5283630389225861, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5283630389225861, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.6000509234610264, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.6000509234610264, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07168788453844033, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07168788453844033, "price_path": [-0.1426, -0.1329, -0.1394, -0.1345, -0.1507, -0.1669, -0.2026, -0.1977, -0.1507, -0.1524, -0.1491, -0.1491, -0.1572, -0.1734, -0.1556, 0.0567, 0.0551, 0.0454, 0.0681, 0.1037, 0.0746, 0.0551, 0.0551, 0.0276, 0.0681, 0.0875, 0.0827, 0.0567, 0.0827, 0.0778, 0.1151, 0.1199, 0.1572, 0.1945, 0.2464, 0.3614, 0.389, 0.3323, 0.2853, 0.2366, 0.2269, 0.2609, 0.2301, 0.248, 0.2237, 0.2399, 0.0421, 0.0243, 0.0243, 0.0567, 0.1588, -0.0162, 0.0194, 0.0324, 0.034, 0.0567, 0.0438, 0.0308, 0.0389, 0.0454, 0.0194, 0.0259, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0113, 0.0243, 0.047, 0.0859, 0.0956, 0.0729, 0.0632, 0.094, 0.107, 0.1361, 0.1199, 0.1232, 0.1621, 0.1426, 0.1086, 0.1102, 0.0697, 0.0438, 0.0178, 0.0211, -0.013, -0.0227, -0.0211, -0.0502, -0.0421, -0.0567, -0.081, -0.107, -0.1783, -0.1507, -0.1345, -0.1086, -0.1361, -0.1442, -0.0762, -0.0908, -0.081, -0.0665, -0.047, -0.0632, -0.0924, -0.1021, -0.1118, -0.1005, -0.1102, -0.1475, -0.1216, -0.3128, -0.3088, -0.3339, -0.3517, -0.3671, -0.3938, -0.4165, -0.4214, -0.4311, -0.4489, -0.4765, -0.4619, -0.4376, -0.423, -0.4279, -0.4279, -0.4246, -0.4052, -0.4052, -0.3906, -0.3987, -0.4133, -0.41, -0.3874, -0.3728, -0.4003, -0.4506, -0.4392, -0.4279, -0.4408, -0.4344, -0.4392, -0.4263, -0.4198, -0.4198, -0.4198, -0.4295, -0.4408, -0.4133, -0.4214, -0.4214, -0.4133, -0.41, -0.4165, -0.4133, -0.4295, -0.436, -0.4246, -0.4133, -0.4182, -0.4084, -0.4214, -0.4214, -0.4295, -0.4182, -0.4149, -0.4263, -0.3712, -0.4036, -0.4117, -0.4311, -0.4571, -0.4587, -0.4749, -0.47, -0.4992, -0.4781, -0.483, -0.4733, -0.5219, -0.5478, -0.5543, -0.5543, -0.5559, -0.5624, -0.5348, -0.5089, -0.5511, -0.5284]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1961992261816004834", "ticker_idx": 7, "ts": "2025-08-31T03:19:41+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Health - $HIMS (95B)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Author's moonshot basket targeting 1000% returns over 5 years across space, AI, semi, crypto, fintech, social, health, and software.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My moonshot baskets for 1000% returns in 5y given current valuations. \n\nSpace - $RKLB (220B)\nAI - $CRWV (470B)\nSemi - $CREDO (200B), $TSSI (3.8B)\nCrypto -  $BKKT (1.8B) \nFintech - $DJT (49B)\nSocial - $BMBL (6.2B)\nHealth - $HIMS (95B)\nSoftware - $UPWK (19B)\n\nWhat are your picks?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.019362449217685263, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.019362449217685263, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.011952153661811016, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011952153661811016, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.007410295555874247, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007410295555874247, "ret_p1w": 0.1721369817753844, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1721369817753844, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.16627693489768114, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.16627693489768114, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005860046877703251, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005860046877703251, "ret_p1m": 0.3393153073042763, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3393153073042763, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3036948943671143, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3036948943671143, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035620412937162005, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035620412937162005, "ret_p3m": -0.09327029729778902, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09327029729778902, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.14987737109224075, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.14987737109224075, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.056607073794451734, "bench_c_p3m": 0.056607073794451734, "ret_p6m": -0.6349468572568155, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.6349468572568155, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.7066347417952559, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.7066347417952559, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07168788453844033, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07168788453844033, "price_path": [0.2659, 0.246, 0.3301, 0.3426, 0.3046, 0.3592, 0.3495, 0.31, 0.4116, 0.3988, 0.442, 0.442, 0.5164, -0.0087, 0.0142, -0.0222, 0.0928, 0.1667, 0.1771, 0.1325, 0.1207, 0.1329, 0.1329, 0.1433, 0.1561, 0.2099, 0.187, 0.1308, 0.2286, 0.1915, 0.2243, 0.1804, 0.1896, 0.124, 0.1809, 0.37, 0.3535, 0.3613, 0.3856, 0.4231, 0.5473, 0.5627, 0.477, 0.4959, 0.311, 0.2073, 0.2054, 0.2264, 0.1802, 0.1325, 0.1412, 0.1129, 0.0867, 0.0649, -0.004, 0.0243, 0.038, 0.0524, 0.0151, 0.0708, 0.0392, 0.0418, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0194, 0.0498, 0.136, 0.1431, 0.1721, 0.1285, 0.1282, 0.2222, 0.3105, 0.2741, 0.2017, 0.1889, 0.327, 0.3653, 0.3625, 0.3223, 0.2574, 0.2956, 0.379, 0.396, 0.3393, 0.3296, 0.3665, 0.2406, 0.293, 0.3688, 0.3736, 0.3754, 0.2739, 0.2923, 0.2756, 0.4819, 0.3967, 0.1754, 0.2128, 0.1655, 0.1207, 0.145, 0.1518, 0.1388, 0.1126, 0.1011, 0.0404, 0.0734, 0.0482, 0.0104, 0.0326, -0.0196, -0.0312, -0.0307, -0.0614, -0.0786, -0.1488, -0.1268, -0.1599, -0.1438, -0.154, -0.2061, -0.1804, -0.1079, -0.1242, -0.0933, -0.0933, -0.0612, -0.1143, -0.1426, -0.1247, -0.055, -0.0744, -0.0763, -0.0597, -0.1055, -0.1081, -0.1214, -0.144, -0.1296, -0.1743, -0.179, -0.1603, -0.1724, -0.1783, -0.1813, -0.1813, -0.1898, -0.1948, -0.2198, -0.2333, -0.2333, -0.2111, -0.1804, -0.1627, -0.1627, -0.2002, -0.2517, -0.2364, -0.2397, -0.2604, -0.2626, -0.259, -0.259, -0.2805, -0.3178, -0.2793, -0.3006, -0.285, -0.2992, -0.323, -0.2947, -0.3603, -0.3757, -0.3969, -0.4238, -0.4456, -0.4564, -0.5436, -0.5929, -0.6059, -0.6269, -0.6151, -0.6151, -0.6158, -0.626, -0.6264, -0.6309, -0.6338, -0.6349]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1961992261816004834", "ticker_idx": 8, "ts": "2025-08-31T03:19:41+00:00", "symbol": "UPWK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Software - $UPWK (19B)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Author's moonshot basket targeting 1000% returns over 5 years across space, AI, semi, crypto, fintech, social, health, and software.", "resolved_tickers": ["UPWK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My moonshot baskets for 1000% returns in 5y given current valuations. \n\nSpace - $RKLB (220B)\nAI - $CRWV (470B)\nSemi - $CREDO (200B), $TSSI (3.8B)\nCrypto -  $BKKT (1.8B) \nFintech - $DJT (49B)\nSocial - $BMBL (6.2B)\nHealth - $HIMS (95B)\nSoftware - $UPWK (19B)\n\nWhat are your picks?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.037037016381323395, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.037037016381323395, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04444731193719764, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04444731193719764, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.007410295555874247, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007410295555874247, "ret_p1w": 0.037037016381323395, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.037037016381323395, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.031176969503620144, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.031176969503620144, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005860046877703251, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005860046877703251, "ret_p1m": 0.20662763356474967, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.20662763356474967, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.17100722062758766, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.17100722062758766, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035620412937162005, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035620412937162005, "ret_p3m": 0.2722546775121557, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2722546775121557, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.21564760371770397, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.21564760371770397, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.056607073794451734, "bench_c_p3m": 0.056607073794451734, "ret_p6m": -0.15399609049309426, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.15399609049309426, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2256839750315346, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2256839750315346, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07168788453844033, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07168788453844033, "price_path": [-0.0091, -0.0195, 0.0006, 0.0058, -0.0019, -0.0533, -0.0598, -0.1014, -0.1079, -0.1189, -0.1306, -0.1306, -0.1462, -0.1507, -0.1339, -0.1306, -0.1183, -0.1144, -0.1267, -0.1215, -0.1254, -0.1137, -0.1137, -0.1261, -0.1228, -0.1098, -0.1287, -0.1605, -0.1579, -0.1598, -0.1345, -0.1293, -0.1404, -0.1306, -0.1111, -0.1046, -0.1404, -0.1481, -0.1644, -0.178, -0.2157, -0.2229, -0.2365, -0.2177, -0.2281, -0.2235, -0.1176, -0.1442, -0.1287, -0.1118, -0.0845, -0.1098, -0.1033, -0.091, -0.0994, -0.0767, -0.039, -0.0305, -0.0312, -0.0195, -0.0383, -0.0312, 0.0, 0.0, 0.037, 0.0689, 0.0903, 0.052, 0.037, 0.0396, 0.0338, 0.0637, 0.0955, 0.091, 0.1111, 0.1787, 0.2736, 0.3041, 0.256, 0.2775, 0.2943, 0.2541, 0.2443, 0.2352, 0.2066, 0.1507, 0.18, 0.1222, 0.1306, 0.1105, 0.1605, 0.1326, 0.0916, 0.1111, 0.1007, 0.0923, 0.0877, 0.0526, 0.0832, 0.0825, 0.0403, 0.0474, 0.0396, 0.0474, 0.1287, 0.0968, 0.0598, 0.0357, 0.0156, 0.1501, 0.0643, 0.0494, 0.1339, 0.1436, 0.1663, 0.1072, 0.1079, 0.0708, 0.052, 0.1098, 0.18, 0.115, 0.1611, 0.2053, 0.2794, 0.2723, 0.2723, 0.2827, 0.2917, 0.334, 0.282, 0.2723, 0.3047, 0.2917, 0.3632, 0.3307, 0.4243, 0.4263, 0.3892, 0.3931, 0.3119, 0.3301, 0.3385, 0.3834, 0.3528, 0.3626, 0.3626, 0.3548, 0.319, 0.2703, 0.2878, 0.2878, 0.2891, 0.3398, 0.3171, 0.3554, 0.3268, 0.3028, 0.3255, 0.3158, 0.306, 0.3093, 0.2911, 0.2911, 0.2664, 0.2794, 0.373, 0.4366, 0.4211, 0.384, 0.3327, 0.3658, 0.3015, 0.2963, 0.1858, 0.1079, 0.1579, 0.23, 0.2209, -0.0117, -0.0578, -0.1481, -0.1404, -0.1404, -0.1709, -0.1079, -0.1345, -0.1442, -0.1871, -0.154]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2008877319239487537", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-07T12:24:10+00:00", "symbol": "CRDO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$CRDO's earnings + projections just keeps growing at insane rates", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long CRDO on insane earnings/projection growth; long AXTI on optical component bottleneck forcing copper life extension.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRDO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I mean hasn't $MRVL announced an AEC killer with Alaska A like 4+ different times now since 2022? I treat it like $AMD saying they'll finally beat $NVDA with each gen release.  \n\n$CRDO's earnings + projections just keeps growing at insane rates, though Marvell would be a serious competitor (but room for both if Marvell takes off).  \n\nI see optical as the biggest threat, but I've been expecting a huge optical bottleneck for opticals components w/ $AXTI, so hyperscalers will likely be forced into copper life extension.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit CRDO's problem is Marvell's Alaska", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "zephyr_z9", "ret_m1d": -0.05709222022523275, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05709222022523275, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0603260006455425, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06384513222384414, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003233780420309751, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006752911998611388, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004184371190713687, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004184371190713687, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004285903872699448, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01987181132289151, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00010153268198576093, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01568744013217782, "ret_p1w": 0.11234039955950803, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11234039955950803, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1112093396825613, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10369145357004284, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0011310598769467273, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008648945989465195, "ret_p1m": -0.30453902440713654, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.30453902440713654, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2871951300181662, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2942798643578829, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017343894388970327, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010259160049253646, "ret_p3m": -0.27333333982643504, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.27333333982643504, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2314955734318357, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3017994514190647, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04183776639459935, "bench_c_p3m": 0.028466111592629684, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0154, 0.0631, -0.0798, -0.068, -0.0317, 0.0185, 0.0756, 0.0225, -0.027, 0.0707, 0.1032, 0.099, 0.1502, 0.2165, 0.1817, 0.3306, 0.2811, 0.1648, 0.2281, 0.1542, 0.1604, 0.2068, 0.1241, 0.1372, 0.0138, 0.0321, 0.0325, -0.0102, 0.0062, -0.0445, -0.0533, 0.0699, 0.0935, 0.1632, 0.1632, 0.2596, 0.2137, 0.3365, 0.3418, 0.2831, 0.2485, 0.2691, 0.2077, 0.1204, 0.0955, 0.0206, 0.0072, -0.0047, -0.0487, -0.0172, 0.0648, 0.0634, 0.0483, 0.0652, 0.0652, 0.0272, 0.0262, 0.0278, 0.0205, 0.0205, 0.0157, -0.0054, -0.0571, 0.0, 0.0042, 0.0668, 0.1069, 0.1445, 0.1123, 0.0576, 0.0707, 0.0707, 0.0867, -0.013, -0.0418, -0.0556, -0.0921, -0.0811, -0.0804, -0.0818, -0.1115, -0.1492, -0.2106, -0.3124, -0.3045, -0.2099, -0.1248, -0.0445, -0.0894, -0.1363, -0.1387, -0.1387, -0.1149, -0.0928, -0.0733, -0.1201, -0.1202, -0.143, -0.1244, -0.1881, -0.2038, -0.1899, -0.3099, -0.2728, -0.1862, -0.2211, -0.1774, -0.2033, -0.1779, -0.2087, -0.1653, -0.1711, -0.262, -0.2786, -0.2405, -0.2667, -0.2546, -0.2887, -0.263, -0.316, -0.3245, -0.3772, -0.3343, -0.3197, -0.2805, -0.2805, -0.2733, -0.2426, -0.2184, -0.2345, -0.1518, -0.0471, 0.1313, 0.194, 0.1272, 0.1396, 0.2378, 0.3001, 0.3439, 0.3159, 0.3833, 0.2801, 0.1767, 0.2466, 0.2341, 0.3077, 0.277, 0.3728, 0.4063, 0.3354, 0.3369, 0.4909, 0.4083, 0.343, 0.3088, 0.2211, 0.1083, 0.1985, 0.2977, 0.3716, 0.549, 0.549, 0.5719, 0.569, 0.577, 0.674, 0.674, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2008877319239487537", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-07T12:24:10+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I've been expecting a huge optical bottleneck for opticals components w/ $AXTI", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long CRDO on insane earnings/projection growth; long AXTI on optical component bottleneck forcing copper life extension.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I mean hasn't $MRVL announced an AEC killer with Alaska A like 4+ different times now since 2022? I treat it like $AMD saying they'll finally beat $NVDA with each gen release.  \n\n$CRDO's earnings + projections just keeps growing at insane rates, though Marvell would be a serious competitor (but room for both if Marvell takes off).  \n\nI see optical as the biggest threat, but I've been expecting a huge optical bottleneck for opticals components w/ $AXTI, so hyperscalers will likely be forced into copper life extension.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit CRDO's problem is Marvell's Alaska", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "zephyr_z9", "ret_m1d": -0.16341768703091564, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.16341768703091564, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1666514674512254, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.17017059902952703, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003233780420309751, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006752911998611388, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07133966278773185, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07133966278773185, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07144119546971761, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08702710291990967, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00010153268198576093, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01568744013217782, "ret_p1w": -0.08336790452086706, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08336790452086706, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08449896439781379, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09201685051033226, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0011310598769467273, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008648945989465195, "ret_p1m": -0.1526337707181883, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1526337707181883, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13528987632921796, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14237461066893464, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017343894388970327, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010259160049253646, "ret_p3m": 0.7416010209654871, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7416010209654871, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.7834387873600864, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.7131349093728574, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04183776639459935, "bench_c_p3m": 0.028466111592629684, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.8328, -0.8092, -0.8105, -0.8096, -0.7955, -0.8129, -0.7964, -0.7856, -0.7951, -0.7852, -0.7487, -0.7433, -0.7263, -0.7068, -0.6964, -0.6703, -0.6491, -0.6458, -0.6226, -0.6321, -0.6076, -0.567, -0.562, -0.5446, -0.567, -0.567, -0.5749, -0.5894, -0.5807, -0.608, -0.6296, -0.6126, -0.6172, -0.5666, -0.5666, -0.5562, -0.5525, -0.5122, -0.5238, -0.4981, -0.5197, -0.4728, -0.3795, -0.3567, -0.3206, -0.3857, -0.3849, -0.4608, -0.4873, -0.4189, -0.3924, -0.3687, -0.3928, -0.3774, -0.3774, -0.3625, -0.3949, -0.3447, -0.3219, -0.3219, -0.3049, -0.3086, -0.1634, 0.0, 0.0713, -0.0465, -0.0776, -0.1078, -0.0834, 0.0668, -0.0838, -0.0838, -0.112, -0.1796, -0.2567, -0.2783, -0.2617, -0.2866, -0.3019, -0.3206, -0.231, -0.1315, -0.1813, -0.2223, -0.1526, -0.0021, 0.1518, 0.01, 0.1116, 0.0282, 0.0054, 0.0054, -0.0373, -0.0236, -0.0124, 0.231, 0.1792, 0.455, 0.6993, 0.5396, 0.572, 0.9212, 0.7321, 0.623, 0.6093, 0.3426, 0.5993, 0.8374, 0.9643, 0.9382, 1.0265, 1.0071, 0.8399, 1.0224, 1.4094, 1.2497, 1.6727, 1.8387, 1.7934, 1.4268, 1.5147, 1.1871, 1.3633, 0.9552, 1.1916, 1.1916, 0.7416, 0.8855, 1.2057, 1.618, 1.662, 1.7561, 1.7914, 1.6101, 2.392, 2.4243, 2.2667, 2.1095, 2.606, 2.1219, 2.1589, 1.9096, 1.8499, 1.9477, 2.2858, 2.9818, 3.3965, 3.4608, 3.348, 3.4969, 3.8262, 4.2182, 4.0975, 4.0577, 3.769, 4.134, 3.3915, 3.6819, 3.3389, 4.0195, 4.8411, 4.8411, 4.4998, 4.0921, 3.7988, 3.2787, 3.2787, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2007875260079861987", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-04T18:02:21+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "not the worst timing post regime change + bitcoin seizure. also venezuela is est. to add a decent amount GDP growth to US from some calculations bc it pushes oil prices down, which is bullish markets + bitcoin", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses BTC long timing on regime change, bitcoin seizure, and Venezuela oil price tailwind boosting markets and bitcoin.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@JamesWynnReal not the worst timing post regime change + bitcoin seizure. also venezuela is est. to add a decent amount GDP growth to US from some calculations bc it pushes oil prices down, which is bullish markets + bitcoin. \n\nhttps://t.co/4Ib72DSIKK", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Just upped my $BTC long.\n \nI know a breakout when I see one.\n \n- Wynn https://t.co/7LNmy1assC", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JamesWynnReal", "ret_m1d": -0.04194452726715481, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04194452726715481, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.035328477098229505, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006616050168925303, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.0016352711961346023, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0016352711961346023, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0075824545692239065, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005947183373089304, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.028648160554988644, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.028648160554988644, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03946652032558773, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010818359770599084, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.19438124445211513, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.19438124445211513, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19701319435723152, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.002631949905116393, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.2875292908768078, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2875292908768078, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24376310093643627, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.043766189940371514, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3139, 0.2964, 0.2059, 0.2278, 0.2049, 0.18, 0.1524, 0.1341, 0.1779, 0.1555, 0.1471, 0.1724, 0.1827, 0.2156, 0.2032, 0.1723, 0.1536, 0.1669, 0.1349, 0.0821, 0.1066, 0.079, 0.1011, 0.129, 0.0971, 0.0829, 0.0619, 0.0055, -0.0191, -0.0099, -0.0257, -0.0772, -0.0936, -0.0598, -0.0697, -0.0358, -0.0277, -0.0316, -0.0805, -0.027, -0.0038, -0.0185, -0.0479, -0.0345, -0.0127, -0.0198, -0.0146, -0.0385, -0.0795, -0.0643, -0.0824, -0.0897, -0.0616, -0.0574, -0.0689, -0.0668, -0.0708, -0.0701, -0.0718, -0.0581, -0.0679, -0.0549, -0.0419, 0.0, -0.0016, -0.0274, -0.0304, -0.0359, -0.0286, 0.0153, 0.0325, 0.0178, 0.0175, -0.0142, -0.0593, -0.048, -0.0471, -0.0466, -0.0598, -0.0509, -0.05, -0.0993, -0.1039, -0.1618, -0.1944, -0.2222, -0.3321, -0.2485, -0.2531, -0.2672, -0.2864, -0.2946, -0.2666, -0.2667, -0.2811, -0.2925, -0.2868, -0.2756, -0.3117, -0.3174, -0.2761, -0.2815, -0.2983, -0.2674, -0.2726, -0.2255, -0.2454, -0.2742, -0.2714, -0.2552, -0.2522, -0.2491, -0.2441, -0.2026, -0.2126, -0.2411, -0.2553, -0.2488, -0.2446, -0.2489, -0.2404, -0.2673, -0.2934, -0.2896, -0.2732, -0.2749, -0.2875, -0.2871, -0.2665, -0.2337, -0.2424, -0.2356, -0.2227, -0.2066, -0.2098, -0.2032, -0.1995, -0.1785, -0.1918, -0.1867, -0.167, -0.1663, -0.175, -0.1759, -0.1867, -0.1929, -0.1872, -0.1673, -0.1497, -0.138, -0.1327, -0.1478, -0.1459, -0.1295, -0.1428, -0.1556, -0.1367, -0.1578, -0.1803, -0.1825, -0.175, -0.1741, -0.1959, -0.1768, -0.1923, -0.2081, -0.2167, -0.2185, -0.2154, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1973827931681312801", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-02T19:10:25+00:00", "symbol": "KSPI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Looks like a good buy now.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Sees KSPI as a good buy at current levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["KSPI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Shtula85361 @shravanrayhaan Wow thanks for reminding me of $KSPI. Completely forgot about that ticker. \n\nLooks like a good buy now. https://t.co/CveoiwpcJh", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@shravanrayhaan @aleabitoreddit Heps has its black Friday event next week. Will be a big test following multiple product improvements $KSPI", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Shtula85361", "ret_m1d": 0.006575551854490769, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006575551854490769, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0077260302665792535, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0077260302665792535, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011504784120884848, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0011504784120884848, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011380922085685086, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011380922085685086, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011395689447906698, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011395689447906698, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4767362221612679e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -1.4767362221612679e-05, "ret_p1w": -0.042741580003681334, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.042741580003681334, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04564056913646197, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04564056913646197, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028989891327806383, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0028989891327806383, "ret_p1m": -0.054248894338938425, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.054248894338938425, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07343545849748623, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07343545849748623, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019186564158547803, "bench_c_p1m": 0.019186564158547803, "ret_p3m": -0.0003793739285126163, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0003793739285126163, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.029996190230139663, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.029996190230139663, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029616816301627047, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029616816301627047, "ret_p6m": -0.1038189092861529, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1038189092861529, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.056720196073738904, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.056720196073738904, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04709871321241399, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04709871321241399, "price_path": [0.0432, 0.0569, 0.0476, 0.0542, 0.0302, 0.0226, 0.0632, 0.0751, 0.0955, 0.0869, 0.1103, 0.1057, 0.1267, 0.0835, 0.0749, 0.0862, 0.087, 0.0367, -0.0023, -0.0369, 0.096, 0.1268, 0.1225, 0.1605, 0.2008, 0.2118, 0.2288, 0.2356, 0.2128, 0.2043, 0.1845, 0.1896, 0.142, 0.1555, 0.1702, 0.17, 0.1549, 0.1694, 0.176, 0.1882, 0.1882, 0.1509, 0.1402, 0.1519, 0.1206, 0.0996, 0.1032, 0.0756, 0.0737, 0.0674, 0.0699, 0.0714, 0.1272, 0.1391, 0.1128, 0.0908, 0.0692, 0.067, 0.0622, 0.0622, 0.0346, 0.0329, 0.0066, 0.0, 0.0114, -0.0186, -0.0282, -0.0233, -0.0427, -0.0678, -0.0493, -0.0597, -0.0567, -0.0653, -0.0728, -0.0535, -0.0569, -0.0568, -0.0577, -0.0503, -0.0288, -0.052, -0.0516, -0.0768, -0.0542, -0.0508, -0.0707, -0.0689, -0.0923, -0.0985, -0.0687, -0.0516, -0.0505, -0.056, -0.0673, -0.0822, -0.0793, -0.0795, -0.0966, -0.1036, -0.0924, -0.0587, -0.0642, -0.0642, -0.0224, -0.0243, -0.0218, -0.0128, -0.0245, -0.0336, -0.0588, -0.0704, -0.0474, -0.0292, -0.0305, -0.0334, -0.015, -0.0035, -0.0095, -0.0193, -0.0049, -0.0091, -0.0085, -0.0085, -0.0054, 0.0, -0.0004, -0.012, -0.012, -0.0195, -0.0049, 0.0534, 0.0644, 0.058, 0.0349, 0.013, -0.0081, 0.0164, -0.0016, 0.0047, 0.0047, -0.0212, -0.0386, -0.0115, -0.0042, -0.0049, -0.0099, 0.0175, -0.0038, -0.0368, -0.0352, -0.038, -0.0364, -0.0622, -0.0669, -0.0344, -0.0338, -0.0548, -0.0779, -0.0731, -0.0731, -0.0883, -0.0565, -0.0658, -0.0744, -0.0927, -0.0897, -0.0818, -0.0985, -0.1074, -0.0137, -0.0553, -0.0755, -0.0561, -0.0617, -0.0756, -0.0634, -0.0747, -0.1007, -0.1295, -0.0931, -0.0704, -0.0759, -0.0768, -0.0874, -0.068, -0.0828, -0.0545, -0.0622, -0.1038]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2002552166893170900", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-21T01:30:16+00:00", "symbol": "CRCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Now it's an extraordinarily strong buy back at $18B", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Now strongly bullish CRCL at $18B marketcap after prior short; the prior long COIN leg of the pair trade was set vs CRCL at $60B.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Sure, so I've been saying avoid Circle or short $CRCL long $COIN when Circle was trading at a $60B marketcap. \n\nThis was because people didn't understand float dynamics. \n\nMajority of the float was locked up and couldn't be sold, similar to BULL IPO. When float was released, the price on Circle crashed. \n\nThere's stuff like rate cuts too hurting profitability from interest on minted stablecoins, but float dynamics was the biggest factor by a longshot. \n\nI've always been bullish on USDC, but market cap plays a huge role. Now it's an extraordinarily strong buy back at $18B", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit If $CRCL is printing money, why does its stock chart look like it’s going bankrupt?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Peter_JMarshall", "ret_m1d": -0.010000031569908363, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010000031569908363, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.003808710554574213, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0021294617922437142, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012129493362152077, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.049080421184671374, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.049080421184671374, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05365087600310425, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.051068826359376596, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001988405174705221, "ret_p1w": -0.07459767659505212, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07459767659505212, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07900744787033964, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07459767659505212, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0, "ret_p1m": -0.16436785116963004, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16436785116963004, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15378123648411934, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1260453753501216, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03832247581950843, "ret_p3m": 0.4750574923109734, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4750574923109734, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5116067426212588, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5894826274491245, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "bench_c_p3m": -0.11442513513815111, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.5124, 0.4329, 0.4597, 0.5363, 0.5239, 0.4831, 0.7209, 0.6756, 0.707, 0.7094, 0.7294, 0.7297, 0.528, 0.5801, 0.5455, 0.5457, 0.4766, 0.4539, 0.5036, 0.4925, 0.4344, 0.4926, 0.6328, 0.647, 0.5645, 0.5143, 0.4105, 0.4595, 0.3547, 0.2787, 0.2992, 0.1495, 0.1855, 0.1966, 0.1299, -0.008, -0.0536, -0.0587, -0.1197, -0.1195, -0.1986, -0.2307, -0.1801, -0.1639, -0.1941, -0.1651, -0.1651, -0.0813, -0.1271, -0.1099, -0.0082, 0.0053, -0.0159, -0.0349, 0.0216, 0.0162, 0.018, -0.0406, -0.1326, -0.046, -0.0897, -0.0691, -0.01, 0.0, -0.0491, -0.0501, -0.0501, -0.0659, -0.0746, -0.0817, -0.0885, -0.0885, -0.0406, -0.0253, -0.0247, -0.0737, -0.0599, -0.0471, -0.0471, -0.0407, -0.0253, -0.1195, -0.0964, -0.0964, -0.1644, -0.1651, -0.1799, -0.1801, -0.1851, -0.1959, -0.1628, -0.2236, -0.2652, -0.3234, -0.3545, -0.3672, -0.4226, -0.3444, -0.3092, -0.3132, -0.3349, -0.3491, -0.3099, -0.3099, -0.2917, -0.2741, -0.2883, -0.2756, -0.2969, -0.2946, -0.0444, 0.0024, -0.0409, 0.1051, 0.1452, 0.21, 0.2154, 0.1714, 0.2855, 0.3574, 0.2967, 0.3124, 0.3262, 0.4463, 0.5208, 0.5269, 0.4751, 0.4486, 0.4556, 0.1629, 0.1938, 0.1295, 0.0766, 0.0334, 0.0967, 0.043, 0.0375, 0.0375, 0.0592, 0.0818, 0.0855, -0.0218, 0.012, 0.1343, 0.2125, 0.2129, 0.2352, 0.2174, 0.2225, 0.1037, 0.1995, 0.1495, 0.1455, 0.097, 0.0845, 0.0984, 0.0446, 0.146, 0.3739, 0.3125, 0.4, 0.3017, 0.3066, 0.5145, 0.4213, 0.4548, 0.4239, 0.3103, 0.2803, 0.2762, 0.283, 0.3205, 0.3002, 0.3002, 0.1974, 0.1798, 0.2441, 0.2989, 0.2989, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2002552166893170900", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-21T01:30:16+00:00", "symbol": "COIN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "short $CRCL long $COIN when Circle was trading at a $60B marketcap", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Now strongly bullish CRCL at $18B marketcap after prior short; the prior long COIN leg of the pair trade was set vs CRCL at $60B.", "resolved_tickers": ["COIN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Financial Data & Stock Exchanges'", "bench_c_industry": "Financial Data & Stock Exchanges", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Sure, so I've been saying avoid Circle or short $CRCL long $COIN when Circle was trading at a $60B marketcap. \n\nThis was because people didn't understand float dynamics. \n\nMajority of the float was locked up and couldn't be sold, similar to BULL IPO. When float was released, the price on Circle crashed. \n\nThere's stuff like rate cuts too hurting profitability from interest on minted stablecoins, but float dynamics was the biggest factor by a longshot. \n\nI've always been bullish on USDC, but market cap plays a huge role. Now it's an extraordinarily strong buy back at $18B", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit If $CRCL is printing money, why does its stock chart look like it’s going bankrupt?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Peter_JMarshall", "ret_m1d": -0.01121419462582851, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01121419462582851, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0050228736104943605, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0009152987363235665, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012129493362152077, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.022589717557899403, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.022589717557899403, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02716017237633228, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.024578122732604624, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001988405174705221, "ret_p1w": -0.05699874938247762, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05699874938247762, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06140852065776514, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05699874938247762, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0, "ret_p1m": -0.08136344762222014, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08136344762222014, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07077683293670944, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.043040971802711714, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03832247581950843, "ret_p3m": -0.1814844346190725, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1814844346190725, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.14493518430878705, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06705929948092137, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "bench_c_p3m": -0.11442513513815111, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.298, 0.2372, 0.261, 0.3473, 0.3614, 0.3964, 0.5009, 0.533, 0.5574, 0.5159, 0.5622, 0.5611, 0.4401, 0.4401, 0.3778, 0.3566, 0.3322, 0.3555, 0.3868, 0.366, 0.2922, 0.302, 0.4299, 0.458, 0.4329, 0.4063, 0.3252, 0.3868, 0.3329, 0.2397, 0.288, 0.1909, 0.247, 0.2825, 0.2263, 0.2263, 0.1422, 0.1456, 0.0647, 0.056, 0.0379, -0.0393, -0.0302, 0.0326, 0.0251, 0.0689, 0.0689, 0.1005, 0.0482, 0.062, 0.1171, 0.1055, 0.0881, 0.1061, 0.1188, 0.1097, 0.0852, 0.0789, 0.0102, 0.019, -0.015, -0.0351, -0.0112, 0.0, -0.0226, -0.033, -0.033, -0.0444, -0.057, -0.0658, -0.0878, -0.0878, -0.0459, 0.0283, 0.0107, -0.0079, -0.0093, -0.0287, -0.0198, 0.0193, 0.0321, -0.0348, -0.0272, -0.0272, -0.0814, -0.0846, -0.0999, -0.1248, -0.1388, -0.1495, -0.1552, -0.1965, -0.2144, -0.2422, -0.2753, -0.3198, -0.4106, -0.3339, -0.3253, -0.3445, -0.382, -0.4309, -0.3372, -0.3372, -0.3303, -0.3382, -0.3306, -0.3088, -0.3536, -0.3464, -0.258, -0.2696, -0.2906, -0.2528, -0.2644, -0.1572, -0.1702, -0.2044, -0.1941, -0.2073, -0.1987, -0.2205, -0.2113, -0.1798, -0.152, -0.184, -0.1815, -0.2033, -0.1907, -0.2697, -0.2695, -0.3006, -0.35, -0.3514, -0.2956, -0.3022, -0.3084, -0.3084, -0.2949, -0.2933, -0.2937, -0.3182, -0.3229, -0.296, -0.2561, -0.2098, -0.1939, -0.1677, -0.1463, -0.2096, -0.1681, -0.2016, -0.1942, -0.2066, -0.217, -0.2669, -0.2426, -0.2285, -0.1812, -0.2023, -0.2015, -0.2216, -0.1885, -0.1263, -0.1624, -0.186, -0.1448, -0.2117, -0.2358, -0.2196, -0.2284, -0.2192, -0.2538, -0.2538, -0.2739, -0.299, -0.2648, -0.2375, -0.2375, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2009330986522448103", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-08T18:26:53+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The real fun starts in a few months when InP prices shoot up even higher, since it only stated to ramp 1 1/2 weeks ago", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish AXTI: InP monopoly + institutional recognition just beginning, real upside in months as InP prices ramp higher.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is likely all institutional movement, and a lot of hedge funds realizing $AXTI's InP monopoly position + trying to enter the trade following Northland $100m funding.\n\nThis is completely novel development too playing out real time, and 99%+ of people aren't even aware of this bottleneck/company yet (my follower group on X is a bubble)\n\nThe real fun starts in a few months when InP prices shoot up even higher, since it only stated to ramp 1 1/2 weeks ago.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Not giving a bit of a red candle whatsoever, stressing to hold a position this extended send it 🤪🔥🚀", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Rod2ZEROnBACK", "ret_m1d": -0.06658921093437264, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06658921093437264, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06669075392629065, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08252666898558814, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0001015429919180022, "bench_c_m1d": 0.015937458051215492, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.10994967715742876, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.10994967715742876, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.11656301955152137, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.1369695461149617, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006613342394092614, "bench_c_p1d": 0.027019868957532944, "ret_p1w": -0.004258637656851416, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.004258637656851416, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.00821792672809174, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05025048991950287, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003959289071240324, "bench_c_p1w": 0.045991852262651456, "ret_p1m": -0.06852498888856806, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06852498888856806, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07013476485135361, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1283434021372133, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0016097759627855535, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05981841324864523, "ret_p3m": 0.7599689980157815, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7599689980157815, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.8012877645453652, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.7047682425571753, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04131876652958366, "bench_c_p3m": 0.055200755458606254, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.8219, -0.8231, -0.8223, -0.8091, -0.8254, -0.8099, -0.7998, -0.8087, -0.7995, -0.7654, -0.7604, -0.7445, -0.7263, -0.7166, -0.6922, -0.6725, -0.6694, -0.6477, -0.6566, -0.6338, -0.5958, -0.5912, -0.5749, -0.5958, -0.5958, -0.6032, -0.6167, -0.6086, -0.6341, -0.6543, -0.6384, -0.6427, -0.5954, -0.5954, -0.5858, -0.5823, -0.5447, -0.5556, -0.5316, -0.5517, -0.5079, -0.4208, -0.3995, -0.3659, -0.4266, -0.4259, -0.4967, -0.5215, -0.4576, -0.4328, -0.4108, -0.4332, -0.4189, -0.4189, -0.405, -0.4352, -0.3883, -0.367, -0.367, -0.3511, -0.3546, -0.2191, -0.0666, 0.0, -0.1099, -0.139, -0.1672, -0.1444, -0.0043, -0.1448, -0.1448, -0.1711, -0.2342, -0.3062, -0.3264, -0.3109, -0.3341, -0.3484, -0.3659, -0.2822, -0.1893, -0.2358, -0.2741, -0.2091, -0.0685, 0.0751, -0.0573, 0.0376, -0.0403, -0.0616, -0.0616, -0.1014, -0.0887, -0.0782, 0.1491, 0.1007, 0.3581, 0.5861, 0.4371, 0.4673, 0.7933, 0.6167, 0.5149, 0.5021, 0.2532, 0.4928, 0.7151, 0.8335, 0.8091, 0.8916, 0.8734, 0.7174, 0.8877, 1.2489, 1.0999, 1.4948, 1.6496, 1.6074, 1.2652, 1.3473, 1.0414, 1.206, 0.825, 1.0457, 1.0457, 0.6256, 0.76, 1.0588, 1.4437, 1.4847, 1.5726, 1.6055, 1.4363, 2.1661, 2.1963, 2.0492, 1.9024, 2.3659, 1.9141, 1.9485, 1.7158, 1.6601, 1.7515, 2.067, 2.7166, 3.1038, 3.1638, 3.0585, 3.1974, 3.5048, 3.8707, 3.758, 3.7209, 3.4514, 3.7921, 3.0991, 3.3701, 3.0499, 3.6852, 4.4522, 4.4522, 4.1336, 3.753, 3.4793, 2.9938, 2.9938, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972730230424174650", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-29T18:28:33+00:00", "symbol": "UPWK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$UPWK is still great value at $20", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "UPWK still cheap at $20; VIRT similarly undervalued with less upside unless using options.", "resolved_tickers": ["UPWK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@mattscottcap Yeah $UPWK is still great value at $20 but $13 just felt extremely undervalued. \n\nFeel something similar about $VIRT now, but upside potential is a lot less unless you touch options.\n\nhttps://t.co/ZzF4IlJXdf", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Haven't seen many talk about $UPWK on here.  That one was easy money at $13 and it's still cheap", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "outlierrcapital", "ret_m1d": 0.007364512780790866, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007364512780790866, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01016700319691366, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01016700319691366, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.023145740597579012, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.023145740597579012, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.026912607356690987, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.026912607356690987, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "ret_p1w": -0.0846922983149413, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0846922983149413, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09664077969735396, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09664077969735396, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "ret_p1m": -0.08627035086284696, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08627035086284696, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12149815760541627, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12149815760541627, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "ret_p3m": 0.10310358026691846, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10310358026691846, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.059799595654765225, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.059799595654765225, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "ret_p6m": -0.41346662365684184, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.41346662365684184, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.40324961724489994, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.40324961724489994, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "price_path": [-0.292, -0.2825, -0.2825, -0.2925, -0.2898, -0.2793, -0.2946, -0.3204, -0.3183, -0.3198, -0.2993, -0.2951, -0.3041, -0.2962, -0.2804, -0.2751, -0.3041, -0.3104, -0.3235, -0.3346, -0.3651, -0.3709, -0.3819, -0.3666, -0.3751, -0.3714, -0.2856, -0.3072, -0.2946, -0.2809, -0.2588, -0.2793, -0.2741, -0.2641, -0.2709, -0.2525, -0.222, -0.2151, -0.2157, -0.2062, -0.2215, -0.2157, -0.1904, -0.1904, -0.1604, -0.1347, -0.1173, -0.1483, -0.1604, -0.1583, -0.1631, -0.1389, -0.1131, -0.1168, -0.1005, -0.0458, 0.031, 0.0558, 0.0168, 0.0342, 0.0479, 0.0153, 0.0074, 0.0, -0.0231, -0.0684, -0.0447, -0.0915, -0.0847, -0.101, -0.0605, -0.0831, -0.1163, -0.1005, -0.1089, -0.1157, -0.1194, -0.1478, -0.1231, -0.1236, -0.1578, -0.152, -0.1583, -0.152, -0.0863, -0.112, -0.142, -0.1615, -0.1778, -0.0689, -0.1383, -0.1504, -0.0821, -0.0742, -0.0558, -0.1036, -0.1031, -0.1331, -0.1483, -0.1015, -0.0447, -0.0973, -0.06, -0.0242, 0.0358, 0.03, 0.03, 0.0384, 0.0458, 0.08, 0.0379, 0.03, 0.0563, 0.0458, 0.1036, 0.0773, 0.1531, 0.1547, 0.1247, 0.1278, 0.0621, 0.0768, 0.0836, 0.1199, 0.0952, 0.1031, 0.1031, 0.0968, 0.0679, 0.0284, 0.0426, 0.0426, 0.0437, 0.0847, 0.0663, 0.0973, 0.0742, 0.0547, 0.0731, 0.0652, 0.0573, 0.06, 0.0452, 0.0452, 0.0252, 0.0358, 0.1115, 0.1631, 0.1504, 0.1205, 0.0789, 0.1057, 0.0537, 0.0494, -0.04, -0.1031, -0.0626, -0.0042, -0.0116, -0.1999, -0.2372, -0.3104, -0.3041, -0.3041, -0.3288, -0.2777, -0.2993, -0.3072, -0.3419, -0.3151, -0.3172, -0.2714, -0.2941, -0.3098, -0.3093, -0.2935, -0.2998, -0.303, -0.2988, -0.3488, -0.3472, -0.3761, -0.3577, -0.3714, -0.3503, -0.364, -0.4029, -0.4066, -0.3993, -0.4135]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972730230424174650", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-29T18:28:33+00:00", "symbol": "VIRT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Feel something similar about $VIRT now", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "UPWK still cheap at $20; VIRT similarly undervalued with less upside unless using options.", "resolved_tickers": ["VIRT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@mattscottcap Yeah $UPWK is still great value at $20 but $13 just felt extremely undervalued. \n\nFeel something similar about $VIRT now, but upside potential is a lot less unless you touch options.\n\nhttps://t.co/ZzF4IlJXdf", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Haven't seen many talk about $UPWK on here.  That one was easy money at $13 and it's still cheap", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "outlierrcapital", "ret_m1d": -0.018399807113559707, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.018399807113559707, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015597316697436914, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015597316697436914, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010314987907446005, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010314987907446005, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01408185466655798, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01408185466655798, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "ret_p1w": -0.09673811713673042, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09673811713673042, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10868659851914309, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10868659851914309, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "ret_p1m": -0.036241910523391874, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.036241910523391874, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07146971726596119, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07146971726596119, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "ret_p3m": -0.05190284217825136, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05190284217825136, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0952068267904046, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0952068267904046, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "ret_p6m": 0.22316838376734394, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.22316838376734394, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.23338539017928583, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.23338539017928583, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "price_path": [0.2322, 0.2338, 0.2338, 0.243, 0.1864, 0.1923, 0.2211, 0.2186, 0.2419, 0.2244, 0.2374, 0.2508, 0.2286, 0.2064, 0.1817, 0.1973, 0.2133, 0.2253, 0.2031, 0.2208, 0.2416, 0.2236, 0.2022, 0.2034, 0.1889, 0.1767, 0.1767, 0.1765, 0.1654, 0.1673, 0.1596, 0.1596, 0.1582, 0.1493, 0.1415, 0.1479, 0.1526, 0.1657, 0.1751, 0.1964, 0.1845, 0.1751, 0.1687, 0.1687, 0.1528, 0.1558, 0.1271, 0.0842, 0.073, 0.0608, 0.0764, 0.0337, 0.0212, 0.01, -0.0131, -0.0195, -0.0184, -0.0112, -0.0279, -0.0237, -0.0176, -0.0226, -0.0184, 0.0, -0.0103, -0.0488, -0.0452, -0.0622, -0.0967, -0.0973, -0.0845, -0.0739, -0.0742, -0.0803, -0.0658, -0.0633, -0.0772, -0.0736, -0.08, -0.0714, -0.0686, -0.0672, -0.0647, -0.056, -0.0362, -0.0413, -0.0348, -0.0287, -0.0259, -0.0315, -0.0418, -0.0223, -0.0064, 0.0022, -0.0067, 0.0039, -0.0078, -0.0192, -0.0421, -0.0376, -0.0566, -0.0602, -0.0527, -0.0544, -0.0326, -0.0148, -0.0148, -0.0031, -0.0171, -0.0367, -0.0207, -0.005, -0.007, -0.0112, -0.0019, 0.004, -0.0393, -0.0539, -0.0631, -0.0499, -0.0547, -0.0581, -0.0502, -0.0673, -0.0631, -0.0519, -0.0519, -0.0424, -0.0373, -0.0466, -0.0648, -0.0648, -0.085, -0.0536, -0.069, -0.0763, -0.087, -0.0699, -0.048, -0.0443, -0.0126, 0.007, 0.0354, 0.0354, 0.0281, 0.0359, 0.0416, 0.043, 0.0528, 0.0564, 0.0522, 0.1412, 0.1651, 0.1098, 0.075, 0.0615, 0.0724, 0.0814, 0.1019, 0.1053, 0.0646, 0.055, 0.0761, 0.0761, 0.0969, 0.1047, 0.105, 0.1176, 0.1221, 0.1465, 0.1437, 0.1715, 0.169, 0.2062, 0.1755, 0.1591, 0.1543, 0.1577, 0.1839, 0.1588, 0.141, 0.1198, 0.1035, 0.097, 0.1249, 0.1258, 0.1173, 0.1752, 0.2105, 0.2232]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2007073654979326364", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-02T12:57:03+00:00", "symbol": "WYFI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it's an extremely attractive buy up there along with $NBIS, $IREN, $CIFR, $WULF and the others", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on Neocloud segment: WYFI, NBIS, IREN, CIFR, WULF all extremely attractive buys; WYFI valuation reset from $40 to $15 seen as opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["WYFI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Almost every Neocloud segment stock is a extremely solid buy (maybe aside from $SLNH)\n\n$WYFI is kinda T2 with NScale's $865m agreement. But it's valuation got completely reset from $40 to $15. So it's an extremely attractive buy up there along with $NBIS, $IREN, $CIFR, $WULF and the others.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What are your thoughts on $WYFI?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Bashachino", "ret_m1d": -0.06120022208202003, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06120022208202003, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.059370536235424765, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.058913322238386856, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018296858465952637, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0022868998436331722, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.044563280059412236, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.044563280059412236, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03790316624334911, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.042345728336037336, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006660113816063129, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0022175517233749, "ret_p1w": 0.05288172273814573, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05288172273814573, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03692670806948328, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.040061213989748046, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01595501466866245, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012820508748397685, "ret_p1m": 0.15805109087762625, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.15805109087762625, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14013461069725208, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.15139832983250878, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017916480180374172, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006652761045117472, "ret_p3m": -0.3089720637455635, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3089720637455635, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.270708480764867, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24506178899042852, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03826358298069654, "bench_c_p3m": -0.063910274755135, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.9982, 1.0374, 1.0048, 0.9626, 1.325, 1.2365, 1.1794, 0.8681, 0.7986, 0.9014, 0.773, 0.6494, 0.7222, 1.0226, 1.1967, 1.0107, 1.0071, 0.9144, 1.0196, 0.9382, 0.8105, 0.8217, 0.6667, 0.7083, 0.7261, 0.5336, 0.3512, 0.1806, 0.0695, 0.0844, 0.0018, 0.0345, 0.0333, 0.0303, 0.1037, 0.0588, 0.1777, 0.1777, 0.2733, 0.1693, 0.1319, 0.1545, 0.2525, 0.1545, 0.1438, 0.186, 0.1378, 0.1087, 0.107, -0.0963, -0.104, -0.1581, -0.1503, -0.0053, 0.0879, 0.0469, 0.0309, 0.0309, -0.0154, -0.041, -0.0761, -0.0612, -0.0612, 0.0, 0.0446, 0.0529, -0.0048, 0.0517, 0.0529, 0.1099, 0.0951, 0.2395, 0.0957, 0.1569, 0.1569, 0.139, 0.2074, 0.1699, 0.1949, 0.2198, 0.2834, 0.3167, 0.3084, 0.1592, 0.1581, 0.0963, -0.0416, -0.1444, 0.1031, 0.1794, 0.1485, 0.1165, 0.0808, 0.1539, 0.1539, 0.0939, 0.0362, 0.06, 0.0036, 0.0107, 0.0469, 0.1028, 0.0998, 0.0012, 0.0315, -0.0713, 0.0065, -0.0529, -0.079, -0.0606, -0.057, 0.0184, -0.0036, -0.0642, -0.06, -0.0885, -0.1307, -0.101, -0.1771, -0.1438, -0.1598, -0.1272, -0.2772, -0.3595, -0.3345, -0.2923, -0.309, -0.3096, -0.3096, -0.2852, -0.2412, -0.2008, -0.1931, -0.1384, -0.0963, -0.044, -0.0499, -0.0487, -0.025, -0.0196, -0.0511, 0.0267, -0.0065, -0.0166, -0.0297, -0.0766, -0.0951, -0.0903, -0.0107, 0.0701, 0.1622, 0.2733, 0.205, 0.2626, 0.6031, 0.5502, 0.6061, 0.7819, 0.4379, 0.4124, 0.5163, 0.4373, 0.7558, 0.7938, 0.7938, 0.8669, 0.8764, 0.9121, 0.7671, 0.7671, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2007073654979326364", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-02T12:57:03+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "extremely attractive buy up there along with $NBIS", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on Neocloud segment: WYFI, NBIS, IREN, CIFR, WULF all extremely attractive buys; WYFI valuation reset from $40 to $15 seen as opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Almost every Neocloud segment stock is a extremely solid buy (maybe aside from $SLNH)\n\n$WYFI is kinda T2 with NScale's $865m agreement. But it's valuation got completely reset from $40 to $15. So it's an extremely attractive buy up there along with $NBIS, $IREN, $CIFR, $WULF and the others.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What are your thoughts on $WYFI?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Bashachino", "ret_m1d": -0.06942740777168577, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06942740777168577, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0675977219250905, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07644194012386485, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018296858465952637, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0070145323521790814, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03201784302971866, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03201784302971866, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.025357729213655533, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02474665829021716, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006660113816063129, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007271184739501502, "ret_p1w": 0.08871599363727989, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08871599363727989, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07276097896861744, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08007610528630615, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01595501466866245, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008639888350973735, "ret_p1m": -0.019899870448720325, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.019899870448720325, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0378163506290945, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.043595302108245804, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017916480180374172, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02369543165952548, "ret_p3m": 0.1334074531086964, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1334074531086964, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.17167103608939294, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.17878830921070843, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03826358298069654, "bench_c_p3m": -0.045380856102012035, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3085, 0.3563, 0.4746, 0.4406, 0.5059, 0.4247, 0.3989, 0.3679, 0.2611, 0.2118, 0.1593, 0.0964, 0.1802, 0.3036, 0.3944, 0.3544, 0.3908, 0.3805, 0.4544, 0.3393, 0.2289, 0.3007, 0.2167, 0.2371, 0.2223, 0.1364, 0.049, -0.0147, -0.0713, -0.0441, 0.0066, 0.0569, -0.059, -0.0744, 0.0217, -0.0119, 0.0527, 0.0527, 0.0547, 0.1134, 0.0723, 0.0997, 0.1429, 0.0899, 0.1154, 0.0718, 0.0405, 0.0481, -0.0251, -0.0979, -0.1001, -0.1612, -0.1319, -0.0054, 0.0365, 0.0009, 0.0131, 0.0131, -0.0262, -0.0435, -0.0531, -0.0694, -0.0694, 0.0, 0.032, 0.1144, 0.0696, 0.0817, 0.0887, 0.1932, 0.1721, 0.1337, 0.1549, 0.2088, 0.2088, 0.1038, 0.0992, 0.0767, 0.0506, 0.0168, 0.088, 0.1165, 0.0551, -0.0529, -0.0199, 0.0, -0.084, -0.1788, -0.0428, 0.0326, 0.0205, -0.0149, -0.0024, 0.0896, 0.0896, 0.0842, 0.1317, 0.1963, 0.0886, 0.1185, 0.1404, 0.1798, 0.166, 0.0138, 0.0118, -0.035, 0.087, 0.0634, -0.0069, 0.0555, 0.072, 0.2451, 0.2011, 0.2557, 0.4436, 0.2933, 0.3181, 0.351, 0.3076, 0.269, 0.2775, 0.2795, 0.1781, 0.1208, 0.0257, 0.1535, 0.1334, 0.2098, 0.2098, 0.2511, 0.3052, 0.3897, 0.5156, 0.6117, 0.7183, 0.8003, 0.854, 0.8381, 0.747, 0.7694, 0.7404, 0.7359, 0.7463, 0.636, 0.6116, 0.5065, 0.5696, 0.5367, 0.7175, 0.9613, 0.9558, 1.1689, 1.0541, 0.9683, 1.0689, 0.9912, 1.3043, 1.4586, 1.4451, 1.2219, 1.1982, 1.1325, 1.445, 1.3877, 1.3877, 1.3131, 1.3165, 1.5163, 1.5691, 1.5691, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2007073654979326364", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-02T12:57:03+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "extremely attractive buy up there along with $NBIS, $IREN", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on Neocloud segment: WYFI, NBIS, IREN, CIFR, WULF all extremely attractive buys; WYFI valuation reset from $40 to $15 seen as opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Almost every Neocloud segment stock is a extremely solid buy (maybe aside from $SLNH)\n\n$WYFI is kinda T2 with NScale's $865m agreement. But it's valuation got completely reset from $40 to $15. So it's an extremely attractive buy up there along with $NBIS, $IREN, $CIFR, $WULF and the others.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What are your thoughts on $WYFI?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Bashachino", "ret_m1d": -0.11545667955712702, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11545667955712702, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11362699371053175, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.11254391906529437, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018296858465952637, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0029127604918326444, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.12974240788153968, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.12974240788153968, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.12308229406547655, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.1078963551752894, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006660113816063129, "bench_c_p1d": 0.021846052706250285, "ret_p1w": 0.077985900629014, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.077985900629014, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.062030885960351556, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0634218887593474, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01595501466866245, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014564011869666604, "ret_p1m": 0.2430913555656029, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2430913555656029, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.22517487538522873, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2594758427426649, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017916480180374172, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01638448717706198, "ret_p3m": -0.20163935495346474, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.20163935495346474, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1633757719727682, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10632058016406021, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03826358298069654, "bench_c_p3m": -0.09531877478940454, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.4445, 0.4073, 0.4953, 0.3998, 0.5021, 0.629, 0.592, 0.448, 0.422, 0.3869, 0.2926, 0.2138, 0.3082, 0.4731, 0.522, 0.4618, 0.415, 0.3635, 0.4227, 0.5867, 0.5604, 0.7895, 0.5681, 0.4609, 0.4091, 0.3438, 0.3044, 0.1393, 0.0859, 0.1103, 0.144, 0.0733, 0.018, -0.0103, 0.1356, 0.1117, 0.1347, 0.1347, 0.1197, 0.1356, -0.037, 0.0295, 0.0878, 0.0471, 0.0852, 0.097, 0.0286, 0.029, -0.0602, -0.1691, -0.1431, -0.2089, -0.1616, -0.0651, -0.0155, -0.0148, -0.0169, -0.0169, -0.0562, -0.077, -0.103, -0.1155, -0.1155, 0.0, 0.1297, 0.0752, 0.0217, 0.0698, 0.078, 0.1787, 0.241, 0.2384, 0.2152, 0.3541, 0.3541, 0.2707, 0.2525, 0.2239, 0.3274, 0.2262, 0.4049, 0.474, 0.4014, 0.2585, 0.2431, 0.2738, 0.0525, -0.0681, -0.0204, 0.0808, 0.0054, -0.0007, -0.0625, -0.0112, -0.0112, -0.0405, -0.0145, 0.0138, -0.0637, -0.008, 0.0644, 0.0311, 0.0361, -0.041, -0.0307, -0.0902, 0.0267, -0.0603, -0.1405, -0.0904, -0.1073, -0.0169, -0.0311, -0.0262, 0.0525, 0.0061, -0.0115, -0.0244, -0.033, -0.0126, -0.037, -0.0297, -0.123, -0.1782, -0.2595, -0.1972, -0.2016, -0.1857, -0.1857, -0.1773, -0.163, -0.1375, -0.1321, -0.0792, 0.0087, 0.1094, 0.1433, 0.1171, 0.1269, 0.141, 0.0578, 0.1333, 0.2183, 0.1859, 0.1326, 0.0407, 0.0037, 0.0658, 0.0693, 0.1588, 0.282, 0.4281, 0.3314, 0.4333, 0.2916, 0.3246, 0.292, 0.3677, 0.2398, 0.1817, 0.118, 0.2344, 0.3597, 0.3309, 0.3309, 0.4, 0.5888, 0.5, 0.4881, 0.4881, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2007073654979326364", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-01-02T12:57:03+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "extremely attractive buy up there along with $NBIS, $IREN, $CIFR", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on Neocloud segment: WYFI, NBIS, IREN, CIFR, WULF all extremely attractive buys; WYFI valuation reset from $40 to $15 seen as opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Almost every Neocloud segment stock is a extremely solid buy (maybe aside from $SLNH)\n\n$WYFI is kinda T2 with NScale's $865m agreement. But it's valuation got completely reset from $40 to $15. So it's an extremely attractive buy up there along with $NBIS, $IREN, $CIFR, $WULF and the others.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What are your thoughts on $WYFI?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Bashachino", "ret_m1d": -0.08888891766918239, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08888891766918239, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08705923182258712, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08660201782554922, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018296858465952637, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0022868998436331722, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.12098759210903998, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.12098759210903998, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.11432747829297685, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.11877004038566508, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006660113816063129, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0022175517233749, "ret_p1w": 0.026543109726935965, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.026543109726935965, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.010588095058273517, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01372260097853828, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01595501466866245, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012820508748397685, "ret_p1m": -0.024074094133066493, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.024074094133066493, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.041990574313440665, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.030726855178183965, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017916480180374172, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006652761045117472, "ret_p3m": -0.21975310197274, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21975310197274, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18148951899204346, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.155842827217605, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03826358298069654, "bench_c_p3m": -0.063910274755135, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0278, 0.0864, 0.1105, 0.0475, 0.2556, 0.2895, 0.2981, 0.1556, 0.158, 0.229, 0.1157, -0.0056, 0.0651, 0.2753, 0.2679, 0.2321, 0.2093, 0.1772, 0.1512, 0.4049, 0.3895, 0.5253, 0.3401, 0.2772, 0.213, 0.1525, 0.0728, -0.0784, -0.1136, -0.1142, -0.1, -0.0975, -0.1012, -0.1265, 0.0315, 0.0815, 0.1821, 0.1821, 0.2562, 0.2154, 0.0889, 0.15, 0.2241, 0.1901, 0.2025, 0.2074, 0.1407, 0.1654, 0.0525, -0.0901, -0.0747, -0.1117, -0.0648, 0.0006, 0.0086, -0.0179, 0.0012, 0.0012, -0.0623, -0.0691, -0.0994, -0.0889, -0.0889, 0.0, 0.121, 0.0827, -0.0074, 0.0216, 0.0265, 0.0914, 0.1265, 0.1191, 0.0815, 0.1605, 0.1605, 0.1062, 0.0938, 0.0735, 0.0846, 0.0179, 0.1574, 0.171, 0.0926, -0.0148, -0.0241, 0.0037, -0.1204, -0.216, -0.0907, 0.0346, 0.0556, 0.0049, -0.0062, 0.0136, 0.0136, -0.0346, -0.0481, -0.0247, -0.0957, -0.0605, 0.0568, 0.0253, 0.0173, -0.037, -0.0272, -0.092, -0.0099, -0.0648, -0.1593, -0.1167, -0.1383, -0.129, -0.1537, -0.1309, -0.0654, -0.0685, -0.0944, -0.0963, -0.1352, -0.0809, -0.0815, -0.0198, -0.1142, -0.1515, -0.2583, -0.2056, -0.2198, -0.2086, -0.2086, -0.1759, -0.1352, -0.0481, 0.0099, 0.0204, 0.0963, 0.1389, 0.1111, 0.0704, 0.1957, 0.1907, 0.1136, 0.2, 0.1537, 0.1235, 0.121, 0.0654, 0.0444, 0.0951, 0.0519, 0.1043, 0.3642, 0.3525, 0.2769, 0.2685, 0.2519, 0.2383, 0.3111, 0.3759, 0.2549, 0.1802, 0.1605, 0.2025, 0.3284, 0.3562, 0.3562, 0.421, 0.5531, 0.5179, 0.4599, 0.4599, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2007073654979326364", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-01-02T12:57:03+00:00", "symbol": "WULF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "extremely attractive buy up there along with $NBIS, $IREN, $CIFR, $WULF", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on Neocloud segment: WYFI, NBIS, IREN, CIFR, WULF all extremely attractive buys; WYFI valuation reset from $40 to $15 seen as opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["WULF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Almost every Neocloud segment stock is a extremely solid buy (maybe aside from $SLNH)\n\n$WYFI is kinda T2 with NScale's $865m agreement. But it's valuation got completely reset from $40 to $15. So it's an extremely attractive buy up there along with $NBIS, $IREN, $CIFR, $WULF and the others.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What are your thoughts on $WYFI?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Bashachino", "ret_m1d": -0.09811617130745753, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09811617130745753, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09628648546086227, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09628648546086227, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018296858465952637, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018296858465952637, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06907379358325394, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06907379358325394, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06241367976719081, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06241367976719081, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006660113816063129, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006660113816063129, "ret_p1w": 0.028257505244834613, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.028257505244834613, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.012302490576172165, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.012302490576172165, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01595501466866245, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01595501466866245, "ret_p1m": 0.05494504096083652, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05494504096083652, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03702856078046235, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03702856078046235, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017916480180374172, "bench_c_p1m": 0.017916480180374172, "ret_p3m": 0.13657769249437335, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.13657769249437335, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1748412754750699, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1748412754750699, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03826358298069654, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03826358298069654, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0502, -0.0345, 0.0667, 0.0604, 0.0989, 0.2135, 0.2143, 0.0879, 0.0934, 0.0871, 0.0314, -0.0094, 0.011, 0.0761, 0.0706, 0.2512, 0.1381, 0.1633, 0.2166, 0.2637, 0.1782, 0.2057, 0.1209, 0.0942, 0.1224, -0.029, -0.0078, -0.0832, -0.1374, -0.1327, -0.0581, -0.04, -0.0926, -0.1138, -0.0086, 0.0942, 0.1648, 0.1648, 0.2174, 0.2009, 0.1162, 0.1327, 0.1852, 0.1381, 0.1743, 0.2237, 0.237, 0.2425, 0.1248, -0.0196, 0.0196, -0.0918, -0.0746, -0.0173, -0.0212, -0.0251, -0.0338, -0.0338, -0.0777, -0.1036, -0.1248, -0.0981, -0.0981, 0.0, 0.0691, 0.0345, -0.0196, 0.0078, 0.0283, 0.084, 0.1099, 0.1154, 0.0856, 0.0871, 0.0871, 0.0463, 0.0298, 0.0118, 0.1083, 0.0824, 0.2017, 0.186, 0.1413, 0.0495, 0.0549, 0.1617, 0.0895, -0.0644, 0.1217, 0.3069, 0.3053, 0.2582, 0.2488, 0.2763, 0.2763, 0.27, 0.2072, 0.2143, 0.1782, 0.2308, 0.3783, 0.4066, 0.4035, 0.2732, 0.2575, 0.157, 0.2064, 0.1954, 0.0793, 0.0871, 0.1264, 0.1947, 0.1515, 0.1515, 0.2881, 0.259, 0.2009, 0.2355, 0.1852, 0.2708, 0.2732, 0.3234, 0.2049, 0.1688, 0.0754, 0.1327, 0.1366, 0.168, 0.168, 0.2206, 0.3006, 0.4168, 0.4937, 0.4812, 0.5267, 0.6444, 0.544, 0.5157, 0.6201, 0.6091, 0.5518, 0.613, 0.5989, 0.5706, 0.6821, 0.6327, 0.5714, 0.7057, 0.6727, 0.7496, 0.8438, 1.0204, 0.8854, 0.8359, 0.8344, 0.7896, 0.8148, 0.8972, 0.752, 0.6593, 0.675, 0.6978, 0.7991, 0.7912, 0.7912, 0.9765, 1.0989, 1.0722, 1.0063, 1.0063, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2010026534187512115", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-10T16:30:44+00:00", "symbol": "VLN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "2.4x EV/revenue on $VLN just looks completely off when related companies trade at 14-18 multiples, or even 30+ if there's premiums", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish VLN: trading at 2.4x EV/revenue vs peers at 14-18x; $80M+ revenue at 69% gross margins severely undervalued.", "resolved_tickers": ["VLN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thanks, $VLN was just an incredible discovery when I was looking through robotics supply chains. \n\nI'm in disbelief that a company with $80M+ forward revenue with 69% gross margins from their growing robotics segments was trading almost 1:1 with their cash and inventory balance. \n\nEven after Friday, 2.4x EV/revenue on $VLN just looks completely off when related companies trade at 14-18 multiples, or even 30+ if there's premiums.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Kinda baffling that this has happened in this day n age. Only in small cap world, again, great find!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MitchMartan98", "ret_m1d": 0.07359310844371292, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07359310844371292, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07516109979748642, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07727918438675141, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0015679913537735013, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0036860759430384915, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012987000923330161, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012987000923330161, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014986476029200446, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01076001298232776, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019994751058702853, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0022269879410024007, "ret_p1w": -0.1385281130603636, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1385281130603636, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1334932848998024, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.16343470932083937, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.005034828160561222, "bench_c_p1w": 0.024906596260475755, "ret_p1m": -0.32900433302555665, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.32900433302555665, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3246312130634772, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.36509711439897574, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0043731199620794525, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03609278137341909, "ret_p3m": -0.419913391094622, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.419913391094622, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4006470825098737, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5214082805760099, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.019266308584748315, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10149488948138785, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2035, -0.2338, -0.2597, -0.2208, -0.2338, -0.2511, -0.2381, -0.2294, -0.2424, -0.2381, -0.2597, -0.2641, -0.2078, -0.2554, -0.3117, -0.2814, -0.3247, -0.316, -0.3074, -0.2208, -0.2641, -0.2554, -0.2468, -0.3247, -0.342, -0.3723, -0.3853, -0.3506, -0.3377, -0.3333, -0.3203, -0.3203, -0.3074, -0.3203, -0.316, -0.2771, -0.2727, -0.2727, -0.2641, -0.2641, -0.2727, -0.2944, -0.3117, -0.3333, -0.3377, -0.3593, -0.3593, -0.355, -0.368, -0.3939, -0.4026, -0.4026, -0.3766, -0.3896, -0.4026, -0.3853, -0.3853, -0.3247, -0.3203, -0.3117, -0.329, -0.3247, 0.0736, 0.0, 0.013, -0.0952, -0.0952, -0.1385, -0.1385, -0.1602, -0.1515, -0.0909, -0.1515, -0.2035, -0.2035, -0.2338, -0.2381, -0.2641, -0.2771, -0.3074, -0.3333, -0.381, -0.3333, -0.342, -0.329, -0.3333, -0.3506, -0.342, -0.342, -0.368, -0.355, -0.355, -0.3463, -0.3593, -0.3377, -0.3333, -0.3074, -0.3593, -0.3593, -0.3766, -0.3766, -0.3939, -0.4156, -0.4156, -0.4026, -0.381, -0.4156, -0.4242, -0.4242, -0.4199, -0.4589, -0.4459, -0.4719, -0.4545, -0.4589, -0.4545, -0.4719, -0.4892, -0.5195, -0.5108, -0.4935, -0.4848, -0.4848, -0.4848, -0.4892, -0.4329, -0.4199, -0.4242, -0.4156, -0.4026, -0.3636, -0.329, -0.342, -0.3636, -0.3506, -0.303, -0.2857, -0.2251, -0.303, -0.3463, -0.3463, -0.0606, 0.013, -0.026, 0.0476, 0.0823, 0.0433, 0.2078, 0.2338, 0.1688, 0.2771, 0.4589, 0.3203, 0.2208, 0.1515, 0.2554, 0.3247, 0.3939, 0.3939, 0.4113, 0.3636, 0.5152, 0.5281, 0.5281, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1997341675753189423", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-06T16:25:38+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "so far I've only seen positive changes from the parent company down to its subsidiaries so I'm excited for the future of the company", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds NBIS long; positive fundamental trajectory from parent to subsidiaries sustains bullish stance.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@pepemoonboy @Hedgeye Thanks! I'm not a hardcore $NBIS community member though. If something bad changes to the fundamentals, I'm not afraid to sell the stock.\n\nBut so far I've only seen positive changes from the parent company down to its subsidiaries so I'm excited for the future of the company.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @Hedgeye We are so lucky to have you in the $NBIS community. Your insight is gold. Appreciate you man! Excited to be a $NBIS holder", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "pepemoonboy", "ret_m1d": -0.02282468726935205, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02282468726935205, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.025838017664778112, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.030307907764036024, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0030133303954260615, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007483220494683973, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03907104652052318, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03907104652052318, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03820799134290598, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0401892068779276, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0008630551776172002, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0011181603574044185, "ret_p1w": -0.19126883376041615, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.19126883376041615, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.18702673618795185, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.19393518058786896, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004242097572464298, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0026663468274528146, "ret_p1m": -0.0008970792947529116, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0008970792947529116, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.015852841431645892, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.013367770515331667, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01495576213689298, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012470691220578756, "ret_p3m": -0.04664607016609468, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.04664607016609468, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04619730302317637, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06869522814115059, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0004487671429183049, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02204915797505591, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0692, -0.111, -0.0989, -0.0934, -0.1086, -0.0623, -0.0619, -0.0102, 0.0625, 0.0745, 0.1286, 0.0758, 0.0735, 0.0986, 0.119, 0.1523, 0.2546, 0.2756, 0.2453, 0.1731, 0.216, 0.322, 0.2915, 0.3501, 0.2773, 0.2542, 0.2264, 0.1307, 0.0864, 0.0394, -0.017, 0.0581, 0.1687, 0.2502, 0.2143, 0.2469, 0.2377, 0.3039, 0.2007, 0.1018, 0.1662, 0.0908, 0.1091, 0.0959, 0.0188, -0.0595, -0.1166, -0.1673, -0.143, -0.0976, -0.0524, -0.1564, -0.1701, -0.084, -0.1141, -0.0562, -0.0562, -0.0544, -0.0018, -0.0387, -0.0141, 0.0246, -0.0228, 0.0, -0.0391, -0.0672, -0.0603, -0.126, -0.1913, -0.1932, -0.248, -0.2217, -0.1083, -0.0708, -0.1027, -0.0917, -0.0917, -0.127, -0.1424, -0.1511, -0.1657, -0.1657, -0.1035, -0.0748, -0.0009, -0.0411, -0.0302, -0.0239, 0.0698, 0.0508, 0.0164, 0.0354, 0.0837, 0.0837, -0.0104, -0.0146, -0.0347, -0.0581, -0.0884, -0.0245, 0.001, -0.054, -0.1509, -0.1213, -0.1035, -0.1788, -0.2637, -0.1418, -0.0743, -0.0851, -0.1168, -0.1057, -0.0231, -0.0231, -0.028, 0.0147, 0.0726, -0.024, 0.0028, 0.0224, 0.0577, 0.0454, -0.0911, -0.0929, -0.1349, -0.0254, -0.0466, -0.1096, -0.0537, -0.0389, 0.1163, 0.0768, 0.1258, 0.2942, 0.1595, 0.1817, 0.2112, 0.1723, 0.1377, 0.1453, 0.1471, 0.0562, 0.0049, -0.0804, 0.0342, 0.0161, 0.0846, 0.0846, 0.1217, 0.1701, 0.2459, 0.3588, 0.4449, 0.5405, 0.6141, 0.6622, 0.648, 0.5662, 0.5864, 0.5604, 0.5563, 0.5656, 0.4668, 0.4448, 0.3506, 0.4073, 0.3778, 0.5398, 0.7584, 0.7534, 0.9445, 0.8416, 0.7647, 0.8549, 0.7852, 1.0659, 1.2042, 1.1922, 0.992, 0.9708, 0.9119, 1.1921, 1.1406, 1.1406, 1.0738, 1.0768, 1.256, 1.3033, 1.3033, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1980394485256433928", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-20T22:03:33+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "don't think $MSFT contract and other rate cuts are priced in yet", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish NBIS: MSFT contract + rate cuts not yet priced in; META-CRWV deal bullish read-through for neoclouds including CRWV.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "More hyperscaler contracts coming in. But you're spot on with earnings + rate cuts (+ Nov/Dec seasonality) as the biggest near-term catalysts. \n\nUsually companies get rerated after earnings when they release more insight into forward projections.\n\nWhen $META signed with $CRWV that's extremely bullish for the other neoclouds. \n\nAside from that don't think $MSFT contract and other rate cuts are priced in yet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @MMerrino569447 Other than earnings and rate cuts, what other short term catalyst are there for $NBIS?\n\nAren’t MFST contract and rate cuts already priced in? \n\nI’ve been nibbling few shares as it goes down with avg. of $115. Thanks as always!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "capybara_830", "ret_m1d": 0.04073396735235102, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04073396735235102, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05102738630141501, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.051917693225524975, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010293418949063993, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011183725873173955, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.043302763492689245, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.043302763492689245, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04328785901121346, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.046829967539421924, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4904481475785936e-05, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0035272040467326793, "ret_p1w": 0.15073394775390625, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.15073394775390625, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1299682560780684, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14281927338018385, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02076569167583786, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007914674373722397, "ret_p1m": -0.16935778976580418, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16935778976580418, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15264392252651282, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13124699608279966, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016713867239291358, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03811079368300452, "ret_p3m": -0.046926585906142515, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.046926585906142515, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08116684322149981, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04990505064625661, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03424025731535729, "bench_c_p3m": 0.002978464740114095, "ret_p6m": 0.4856880957927179, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4856880957927179, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4452974081858949, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.47647862917762884, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04039068760682296, "bench_c_p6m": 0.009209466615089035, "price_path": [-0.524, -0.5215, -0.5287, -0.5161, -0.5376, -0.5294, -0.5006, -0.5229, -0.503, -0.4939, -0.4946, -0.4008, -0.369, -0.3556, -0.3089, -0.352, -0.3719, -0.3429, -0.3345, -0.3836, -0.381, -0.3928, -0.3672, -0.3576, -0.3534, -0.3569, -0.3391, -0.3732, -0.3732, -0.3971, -0.3977, -0.4045, -0.3994, -0.4123, -0.1218, -0.1432, -0.1817, -0.1706, -0.1655, -0.1795, -0.1369, -0.1365, -0.0889, -0.022, -0.011, 0.0388, -0.0097, -0.0119, 0.0112, 0.03, 0.0606, 0.1548, 0.1741, 0.1462, 0.0798, 0.1193, 0.2169, 0.1888, 0.2428, 0.1757, 0.1544, 0.1288, 0.0407, 0.0, -0.0433, -0.0952, -0.0261, 0.0758, 0.1507, 0.1177, 0.1477, 0.1393, 0.2002, 0.1052, 0.0141, 0.0734, 0.004, 0.0209, 0.0087, -0.0622, -0.1343, -0.1869, -0.2336, -0.2112, -0.1694, -0.1278, -0.2235, -0.2361, -0.1569, -0.1846, -0.1313, -0.1313, -0.1296, -0.0812, -0.1151, -0.0925, -0.0569, -0.1006, -0.0795, -0.1155, -0.1414, -0.135, -0.1955, -0.2556, -0.2573, -0.3078, -0.2836, -0.1793, -0.1447, -0.174, -0.1639, -0.1639, -0.1964, -0.2106, -0.2186, -0.2321, -0.2321, -0.1748, -0.1483, -0.0804, -0.1173, -0.1073, -0.1016, -0.0153, -0.0328, -0.0644, -0.0469, -0.0025, -0.0025, -0.0891, -0.0929, -0.1115, -0.133, -0.1609, -0.1021, -0.0786, -0.1293, -0.2184, -0.1912, -0.1748, -0.2441, -0.3223, -0.2101, -0.1479, -0.1579, -0.1871, -0.1768, -0.1008, -0.1008, -0.1053, -0.0661, -0.0128, -0.1017, -0.077, -0.0589, -0.0264, -0.0378, -0.1634, -0.165, -0.2037, -0.1029, -0.1225, -0.1805, -0.129, -0.1153, 0.0275, -0.0088, 0.0362, 0.1913, 0.0672, 0.0877, 0.1149, 0.0791, 0.0472, 0.0542, 0.0559, -0.0278, -0.075, -0.1536, -0.0481, -0.0647, -0.0017, -0.0017, 0.0325, 0.0771, 0.1468, 0.2507, 0.33, 0.418, 0.4857]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1980394485256433928", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-20T22:03:33+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "When $META signed with $CRWV that's extremely bullish for the other neoclouds", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish NBIS: MSFT contract + rate cuts not yet priced in; META-CRWV deal bullish read-through for neoclouds including CRWV.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "More hyperscaler contracts coming in. But you're spot on with earnings + rate cuts (+ Nov/Dec seasonality) as the biggest near-term catalysts. \n\nUsually companies get rerated after earnings when they release more insight into forward projections.\n\nWhen $META signed with $CRWV that's extremely bullish for the other neoclouds. \n\nAside from that don't think $MSFT contract and other rate cuts are priced in yet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @MMerrino569447 Other than earnings and rate cuts, what other short term catalyst are there for $NBIS?\n\nAren’t MFST contract and rate cuts already priced in? \n\nI’ve been nibbling few shares as it goes down with avg. of $115. Thanks as always!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "capybara_830", "ret_m1d": 0.07720760071689647, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07720760071689647, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08750101966596047, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08750101966596047, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010293418949063993, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010293418949063993, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01574059529693994, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01574059529693994, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.015725690815464155, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.015725690815464155, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4904481475785936e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -1.4904481475785936e-05, "ret_p1w": 0.07083267883622968, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07083267883622968, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05006698716039182, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05006698716039182, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02076569167583786, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02076569167583786, "ret_p1m": -0.41051469412047836, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.41051469412047836, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.393800826881187, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.393800826881187, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016713867239291358, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016713867239291358, "ret_p3m": -0.25224300360609886, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.25224300360609886, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.28648326092145615, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.28648326092145615, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03424025731535729, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03424025731535729, "ret_p6m": -0.07760113961756232, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.07760113961756232, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.11799182722438528, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.11799182722438528, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04039068760682296, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04039068760682296, "price_path": [-0.0079, -0.0556, -0.09, -0.1321, -0.1442, -0.1902, -0.1018, -0.1804, -0.1657, -0.1198, -0.1324, -0.0471, 0.0196, 0.1001, 0.1707, -0.0732, -0.2169, -0.2132, -0.2382, -0.2689, -0.2797, -0.2855, -0.2603, -0.2729, -0.2807, -0.2371, -0.191, -0.189, -0.189, -0.2654, -0.2926, -0.3115, -0.2988, -0.2637, -0.2112, -0.0781, -0.1131, -0.1188, -0.0519, -0.0654, -0.0488, -0.0446, -0.0173, 0.0486, 0.0301, 0.0499, -0.0031, -0.0529, -0.0357, 0.0771, 0.0786, 0.0861, 0.0608, 0.0534, 0.0139, 0.1017, 0.1261, 0.0895, 0.1146, 0.0551, 0.0959, 0.1155, 0.0772, 0.0, -0.0157, -0.0435, -0.0293, 0.0432, 0.0708, 0.0609, 0.1013, 0.0315, 0.0523, -0.0058, -0.089, -0.0995, -0.1584, -0.1814, -0.1688, -0.3043, -0.3276, -0.3834, -0.3912, -0.4071, -0.4105, -0.4104, -0.4553, -0.4361, -0.4207, -0.4389, -0.4153, -0.4153, -0.4245, -0.3935, -0.4016, -0.3754, -0.3251, -0.3051, -0.3213, -0.2865, -0.3062, -0.3123, -0.3815, -0.4306, -0.453, -0.492, -0.4673, -0.3468, -0.3324, -0.3683, -0.3793, -0.3793, -0.3986, -0.4104, -0.4184, -0.4364, -0.4364, -0.3757, -0.3951, -0.3866, -0.3926, -0.3933, -0.3693, -0.2922, -0.3115, -0.2932, -0.2522, -0.2033, -0.2033, -0.2506, -0.2598, -0.2776, -0.2682, -0.2263, -0.1432, -0.1656, -0.2167, -0.2666, -0.3, -0.2912, -0.351, -0.4125, -0.2921, -0.2382, -0.2515, -0.2511, -0.2468, -0.2441, -0.2441, -0.2838, -0.2488, -0.2355, -0.2976, -0.2851, -0.2185, -0.2286, -0.2316, -0.3738, -0.3857, -0.4193, -0.3743, -0.4111, -0.4255, -0.4144, -0.4104, -0.355, -0.3715, -0.3616, -0.3243, -0.3537, -0.3482, -0.3652, -0.3588, -0.355, -0.3466, -0.3107, -0.3668, -0.4112, -0.4558, -0.3903, -0.3827, -0.3527, -0.3527, -0.363, -0.3291, -0.3003, -0.2759, -0.1972, -0.1321, -0.0776]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1979786985708687795", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-19T05:49:34+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I trimmed like $600k of $RKLB at $30. Probably just hold", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Regrets trimming RKLB at $30; implied still bullish and recommends holding.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@soulbiri1 Yeah I'll do a writeup! It's a bit special right now for tax purposes, I wouldn't really sell stocks I still think would go back up if it weren't EOY. \n\nAlso don't trust me on selling wining positions with high conviction, I trimmed like $600k of $RKLB at $30. Probably just hold https://t.co/tWEMWr3q4r", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Excellent write up my lord. In addition to deciding when to trim losers, one thing I especially struggle with is when to take profits on winning positions. Would be cool if you made a similar writeup for some winning trades and your rationale for when to sell.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": -0.01603566229433062, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01603566229433062, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.005742243345266629, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004375888224831259, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010293418949063993, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011659774069499362, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.028953184742705917, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.028953184742705917, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02893828026123013, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03781198068015745, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4904481475785936e-05, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008858795937451536, "ret_p1w": -0.02568664835536416, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02568664835536416, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04645234003120202, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.040472944505344444, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02076569167583786, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014786296149980283, "ret_p1m": -0.3648106941571071, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3648106941571071, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.34809682691781574, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.34090506689742706, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016713867239291358, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02390562725968004, "ret_p3m": 0.34758729313267245, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.34758729313267245, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.31334703581731516, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.264029512832332, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03424025731535729, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08355778030034045, "ret_p6m": 0.07230887686587417, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.07230887686587417, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.03191818925905121, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0639111128327352, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04039068760682296, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13621998969860938, "price_path": [-0.2702, -0.2854, -0.2958, -0.3302, -0.3498, -0.3105, -0.3182, -0.3347, -0.3387, -0.3356, -0.3452, -0.3436, -0.3365, -0.3316, -0.3552, -0.3615, -0.3644, -0.3427, -0.3323, -0.3924, -0.3958, -0.3834, -0.3411, -0.2989, -0.2854, -0.3133, -0.2886, -0.2784, -0.2784, -0.2679, -0.3537, -0.3617, -0.3194, -0.2913, -0.3017, -0.3145, -0.2809, -0.208, -0.1976, -0.2985, -0.2861, -0.2995, -0.2904, -0.2604, -0.2144, -0.2771, -0.3076, -0.3131, -0.302, -0.2886, -0.2878, -0.2209, -0.1661, -0.1314, -0.0867, -0.0303, -0.0138, -0.0459, -0.0287, 0.0101, 0.0285, -0.0052, -0.016, 0.0, -0.029, -0.1007, -0.0561, -0.0414, -0.0257, -0.0535, -0.0177, -0.0955, -0.0649, -0.0892, -0.1601, -0.1623, -0.2634, -0.2333, -0.2294, -0.2392, -0.2581, -0.3281, -0.3238, -0.3569, -0.3648, -0.3523, -0.4138, -0.4016, -0.3697, -0.3675, -0.3774, -0.3774, -0.3743, -0.4006, -0.3779, -0.336, -0.267, -0.2716, -0.2344, -0.2067, -0.146, -0.0567, -0.087, -0.1773, -0.1761, -0.1988, -0.1103, 0.0471, 0.1514, 0.146, 0.146, 0.146, 0.049, 0.0411, 0.046, 0.0358, 0.0358, 0.1283, 0.1602, 0.2774, 0.2484, 0.2336, 0.2598, 0.3051, 0.2855, 0.363, 0.3476, 0.4298, 0.4298, 0.3238, 0.3039, 0.3063, 0.32, 0.195, 0.2918, 0.3151, 0.2722, 0.1889, 0.101, 0.2067, 0.0855, -0.0153, 0.0738, 0.1261, 0.0695, 0.0337, -0.0199, 0.0013, 0.0013, 0.0377, 0.105, 0.137, 0.0521, 0.0425, 0.0389, 0.0423, 0.0787, 0.026, 0.0537, 0.0413, 0.0677, 0.0393, 0.041, 0.0613, 0.0235, 0.0684, 0.0151, 0.0157, 0.0588, 0.1669, 0.0316, 0.068, -0.0018, 0.0097, -0.019, 0.0821, -0.0209, -0.0953, -0.148, -0.0465, -0.0272, 0.0056, 0.0056, 0.0048, -0.0153, 0.0257, -0.0091, 0.0104, 0.0486, 0.0723]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1985881102041694442", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-05T01:25:25+00:00", "symbol": "ALAB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Ignore the noise, $ALAB has of the highest margins in the industry. It's just selling off with anything high beta.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish ALAB: selloff is noise — beat on EPS, revenue, and guidance; margin contraction fears are unfounded with projected higher margins.", "resolved_tickers": ["ALAB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$ALAB:\nEPS: .49 vs .39 estimate (+26% beat)\nRevenue: 230M vs. 206M estimate (+12% beat)\n\nNext quarter guidance\nEst: 249M vs 216M (Strong Beat)\nGross Margin (74% vs 75%) (Beat)\n\nMarkets were saying they dropped on margin contraction fears, but they literally projected higher margins lol. \n\nIgnore the noise, $ALAB has of the highest margins in the industry (eg. $NVDA).\n\nIt's just selling off with anything high beta. Crypto is usually a good proxy, $ETH is down 20% past few days for example.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Are you able to do an analysis on $alab earnings?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "__visionxry__", "ret_m1d": -0.014455341582505943, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014455341582505943, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011001919835923024, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004292899473971379, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0034534217465829187, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01874824105647732, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.10503462874529712, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.10503462874529712, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.09430529553263112, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.08164103115070165, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010729333212666003, "bench_c_p1d": -0.023393597594595472, "ret_p1w": -0.1327361153743578, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1327361153743578, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.14129606450566645, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12169295169862249, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008559949131308642, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011043163675735324, "ret_p1m": -0.16175666450289428, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16175666450289428, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.17180710832207913, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.16759808134813414, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010050443819184851, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005841416845239866, "ret_p3m": -0.16214136310952543, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.16214136310952543, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.19148824596631808, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.30049861523633026, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029346882856792655, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13835725212680483, "ret_p6m": 0.07035287941078305, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.07035287941078305, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.003686194625904582, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.343546148609267, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06666668478487847, "bench_c_p6m": 0.4138990280200501, "price_path": [-0.0146, -0.0138, 0.0553, 0.0643, 0.0481, 0.0215, 0.0247, -0.0598, -0.0522, -0.0242, -0.0157, -0.0428, -0.0186, -0.0151, 0.0396, 0.0014, 0.0014, -0.0423, -0.0293, 0.033, 0.0509, 0.1878, 0.1789, 0.2662, 0.2801, 0.2614, 0.2712, 0.3125, 0.3707, 0.3844, 0.3477, 0.3043, 0.2648, 0.1282, 0.1028, 0.0871, 0.0927, 0.0762, 0.069, 0.152, 0.1033, 0.2136, 0.1658, 0.2057, 0.239, 0.1334, 0.0967, -0.1121, -0.1125, -0.1011, -0.1217, -0.1409, -0.1343, -0.1489, -0.1006, -0.0933, -0.0641, -0.0752, -0.0457, -0.0681, 0.0261, 0.0529, -0.0145, 0.0, -0.105, -0.0904, -0.0451, -0.0791, -0.1327, -0.2059, -0.2067, -0.2229, -0.2332, -0.2195, -0.2344, -0.2206, -0.1879, -0.2042, -0.1524, -0.1524, -0.1339, -0.0921, -0.2144, -0.1618, -0.1618, -0.1138, -0.0341, -0.0817, -0.0969, -0.0453, -0.1819, -0.2104, -0.2034, -0.2292, -0.1982, -0.0964, -0.0512, -0.0721, -0.0658, -0.0658, -0.0807, -0.065, -0.061, -0.0856, -0.0856, -0.0131, -0.0815, -0.115, -0.0889, -0.1386, -0.1062, -0.0515, -0.0076, -0.0539, -0.0412, 0.0003, 0.0003, 0.0099, -0.0326, -0.0307, -0.0675, -0.1027, -0.0605, -0.0772, -0.1181, -0.1721, -0.1621, -0.1287, -0.2048, -0.215, -0.0665, 0.0315, 0.0051, -0.2101, -0.3043, -0.2892, -0.2892, -0.3202, -0.2878, -0.2711, -0.2872, -0.2952, -0.2943, -0.2956, -0.3148, -0.3469, -0.3374, -0.3965, -0.3747, -0.3404, -0.3448, -0.3277, -0.3598, -0.3146, -0.341, -0.3387, -0.2993, -0.2988, -0.3056, -0.3066, -0.3622, -0.3192, -0.3308, -0.3386, -0.3756, -0.3818, -0.4489, -0.3976, -0.4156, -0.3562, -0.3562, -0.3515, -0.346, -0.3104, -0.2884, -0.1808, -0.0832, -0.0623, -0.0541, -0.0612, -0.0434, -0.0337, 0.0551, 0.0666, 0.0857, 0.1698, 0.0808, 0.0075, 0.082, 0.0704]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1947897807115063386", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-23T05:53:22+00:00", "symbol": "DNUT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bought $30k worth of $DNUT just to say f**k you to short sellers", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Long DNUT on principle against short sellers; sees RKT short squeeze possible given 60%+ short interest.", "resolved_tickers": ["DNUT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Normally I don't join on meme rallies like $RKT, $KSS, but I really don't appreciate short sellers shorting my favorite donut places to bankruptcy by selling 32% of the float.\n\nThis one is out of principle. \n\nBought $30k worth of $DNUT just to say f**k you to short sellers. https://t.co/jTNnxFNJlq\n\n---\n\nFor people looking at $RKT, short interest is over 60%+ which is absolutely insane.\n\nUsually retail can't squeeze a $30B+ company but with the high short interest, it's definitely possible.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04398149297929055, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04398149297929055, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03554562249216198, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03554562249216198, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008435870487128572, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008435870487128572, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.002314867704736656, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.002314867704736656, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.002645920227563714, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.002645920227563714, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00033105252282705777, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00033105252282705777, "ret_p1w": -0.12037041636160684, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12037041636160684, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.12076455423765498, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12076455423765498, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00039413787604813955, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00039413787604813955, "ret_p1m": -0.19444447203918624, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.19444447203918624, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.196557249045759, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.196557249045759, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0021127770065727525, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0021127770065727525, "ret_p3m": -0.24537040256423592, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.24537040256423592, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.30678709966554163, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.30678709966554163, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.061416697101305706, "bench_c_p3m": 0.061416697101305706, "ret_p6m": -0.14467597536650512, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.14467597536650512, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.24243585329537598, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.24243585329537598, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09775987792887086, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09775987792887086, "price_path": [0.0023, -0.0301, -0.0417, -0.0509, -0.0231, -0.0023, -0.0116, 0.0093, 0.0023, -0.2454, -0.3681, -0.2847, -0.2569, -0.2894, -0.2569, -0.2662, -0.2755, -0.2731, -0.3148, -0.3171, -0.3264, -0.3264, -0.3102, -0.3264, -0.3218, -0.331, -0.338, -0.3148, -0.3125, -0.3241, -0.3241, -0.3079, -0.3194, -0.3519, -0.3681, -0.3889, -0.3472, -0.3704, -0.3819, -0.3819, -0.3819, -0.3935, -0.3981, -0.4051, -0.3819, -0.3866, -0.3264, -0.2616, -0.2037, -0.2315, -0.2315, -0.2755, -0.2292, -0.2407, -0.2176, -0.2292, -0.2546, -0.287, -0.2778, -0.2801, -0.2755, -0.2454, -0.044, 0.0, -0.0023, 0.0231, -0.0486, -0.125, -0.1204, -0.162, -0.2037, -0.1551, -0.1574, -0.2083, -0.2639, -0.287, -0.2593, -0.2338, -0.213, -0.1898, -0.1944, -0.1806, -0.1644, -0.1898, -0.1944, -0.1435, -0.1458, -0.1366, -0.1667, -0.1748, -0.1782, -0.1782, -0.2269, -0.2338, -0.213, -0.2176, -0.2708, -0.2824, -0.3056, -0.2708, -0.2685, -0.2755, -0.2778, -0.2708, -0.1574, -0.2083, -0.2245, -0.2454, -0.2338, -0.2454, -0.206, -0.1736, -0.1042, -0.1134, -0.1296, -0.125, -0.1528, -0.206, -0.1921, -0.206, -0.2384, -0.2222, -0.1921, -0.2361, -0.2269, -0.2546, -0.2454, -0.1412, -0.0671, -0.0486, -0.0787, -0.037, -0.0648, -0.1227, -0.1597, -0.169, -0.1481, -0.1898, -0.1273, -0.0949, -0.037, -0.0069, 0.0093, -0.0671, -0.0926, -0.0556, -0.0856, -0.1134, -0.1505, -0.1574, -0.1366, -0.1597, -0.0787, -0.0486, -0.0486, -0.0324, -0.0417, -0.0579, 0.0046, -0.0231, -0.0069, 0.0046, 0.0231, 0.088, 0.0255, 0.0185, 0.0324, 0.0255, 0.0324, 0.0741, 0.0556, 0.0116, -0.0301, -0.0185, -0.0185, -0.0093, -0.0347, -0.0671, -0.0694, -0.0694, -0.0556, -0.0324, 0.0255, -0.0139, -0.0116, -0.0093, 0.0139, -0.0023, -0.1076, -0.1447]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1947897807115063386", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-07-23T05:53:22+00:00", "symbol": "RKT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "short interest is over 60%+ which is absolutely insane. Usually retail can't squeeze a $30B+ company but with the high short interest, it's definitely possible", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Long DNUT on principle against short sellers; sees RKT short squeeze possible given 60%+ short interest.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Mortgage Finance", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Normally I don't join on meme rallies like $RKT, $KSS, but I really don't appreciate short sellers shorting my favorite donut places to bankruptcy by selling 32% of the float.\n\nThis one is out of principle. \n\nBought $30k worth of $DNUT just to say f**k you to short sellers. https://t.co/jTNnxFNJlq\n\n---\n\nFor people looking at $RKT, short interest is over 60%+ which is absolutely insane.\n\nUsually retail can't squeeze a $30B+ company but with the high short interest, it's definitely possible.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.012954910322839686, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.012954910322839686, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004519039835711114, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004519039835711114, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008435870487128572, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008435870487128572, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08328189414202725, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08328189414202725, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0836129466648543, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0836129466648543, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00033105252282705777, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00033105252282705777, "ret_p1w": -0.09561994599649737, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09561994599649737, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09601408387254551, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09601408387254551, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00039413787604813955, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00039413787604813955, "ret_p1m": 0.08451578757618217, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08451578757618217, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08240301056960941, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08240301056960941, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0021127770065727525, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0021127770065727525, "ret_p3m": 0.05675509736303441, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05675509736303441, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.004661599738271294, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.004661599738271294, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.061416697101305706, "bench_c_p3m": 0.061416697101305706, "ret_p6m": 0.44602108932322415, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.44602108932322415, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3482612113943533, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3482612113943533, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09775987792887086, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09775987792887086, "price_path": [-0.2085, -0.2221, -0.2017, -0.2036, -0.2116, -0.2215, -0.2647, -0.2887, -0.2832, -0.2813, -0.3146, -0.2801, -0.2221, -0.2227, -0.2122, -0.1832, -0.2011, -0.1875, -0.2449, -0.2246, -0.2178, -0.2178, -0.1925, -0.206, -0.1937, -0.2134, -0.2276, -0.2171, -0.2307, -0.2104, -0.2122, -0.2134, -0.1925, -0.1555, -0.1265, -0.1511, -0.153, -0.1863, -0.1493, -0.1493, -0.1117, -0.0938, -0.0777, -0.116, -0.1061, -0.1228, -0.1252, -0.1067, -0.1012, -0.1215, -0.1215, -0.1666, -0.1524, -0.1394, -0.1493, -0.1561, -0.1394, -0.1789, -0.161, -0.1499, -0.137, -0.0722, -0.013, 0.0, -0.0833, -0.0746, -0.0722, -0.0623, -0.0956, -0.0888, 0.0204, 0.0413, 0.1123, 0.1178, 0.0827, 0.037, 0.0555, 0.1271, 0.2104, 0.1548, 0.1431, 0.0999, 0.1376, 0.0956, 0.0845, 0.1851, 0.1555, 0.1684, 0.1154, 0.1036, 0.0962, 0.0962, 0.0586, 0.103, 0.1814, 0.2498, 0.2634, 0.2622, 0.2893, 0.3023, 0.3017, 0.3017, 0.2813, 0.3054, 0.3041, 0.2653, 0.2227, 0.2104, 0.2085, 0.1752, 0.2036, 0.2424, 0.1956, 0.2085, 0.1333, 0.0981, 0.045, 0.0043, 0.0006, 0.0031, 0.0111, 0.0154, 0.0438, 0.0321, 0.021, 0.0278, 0.0568, 0.0512, 0.0697, 0.0864, 0.1024, 0.1203, 0.0802, 0.0019, -0.0167, 0.0278, 0.0419, 0.0339, 0.0056, -0.037, -0.0031, 0.0537, 0.1012, 0.1061, 0.058, 0.0518, 0.013, 0.0469, 0.0352, -0.0025, 0.0759, 0.1178, 0.2128, 0.2178, 0.2178, 0.2326, 0.2529, 0.2184, 0.2159, 0.1962, 0.174, 0.1604, 0.1715, 0.1869, 0.1943, 0.1542, 0.1228, 0.124, 0.1203, 0.1505, 0.1771, 0.1863, 0.1771, 0.1999, 0.1999, 0.1974, 0.1949, 0.2375, 0.1943, 0.1943, 0.2264, 0.3017, 0.3085, 0.3128, 0.3103, 0.4368, 0.43, 0.4041, 0.3985, 0.446]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1981369201169453235", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-23T14:36:44+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "with one more hyperscaler contract, NBIS can easily be $100b+ in a year", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish NBIS to $100B+ in a year on hyperscaler contract growth plus sum-of-parts value from subsidiaries.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "You’re right, sum of parts would be worth more.\n\nSubsidaries aside, the main operational business which at the base case no growth for the next two years is 5B ARR, 60-70% gross margins.\n\nHowever it’s still growing and with one more hyperscaler contract, NBIS can easily be $100b+ in a year", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Correct me if im wrong but nebius owns 80% of avride according to seeking alpha", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Drunkandmiller", "ret_m1d": -0.07102487429753657, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07102487429753657, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06512993942938017, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07440881923073017, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0058949348681563984, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033839449331936056, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10455913801068295, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10455913801068295, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09638656690605218, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10195610344668782, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008172571104630766, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0026030345639951324, "ret_p1w": 0.16974374549214621, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16974374549214621, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15773046162608217, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.17781315264053088, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01201328386606404, "bench_c_p1w": -0.008069407148384666, "ret_p1m": -0.2157121395621464, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2157121395621464, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19676196118720868, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.18664489805590412, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01895017837493773, "bench_c_p1m": -0.029067241506242292, "ret_p3m": -0.06471366342872564, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06471366342872564, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07635797132099198, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05245634876501981, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.011644307892266337, "bench_c_p3m": -0.012257314663705832, "ret_p6m": 0.4802184812445973, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4802184812445973, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4170656573905107, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.44015893191536004, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0631528238540866, "bench_c_p6m": 0.040059549329237276, "price_path": [-0.5031, -0.5252, -0.5169, -0.4873, -0.5102, -0.4897, -0.4803, -0.4811, -0.3848, -0.3521, -0.3384, -0.2904, -0.3347, -0.3551, -0.3254, -0.3167, -0.3671, -0.3644, -0.3766, -0.3502, -0.3404, -0.3361, -0.3397, -0.3214, -0.3564, -0.3564, -0.3809, -0.3816, -0.3886, -0.3833, -0.3966, -0.0983, -0.1203, -0.1599, -0.1484, -0.1432, -0.1576, -0.1138, -0.1134, -0.0645, 0.0041, 0.0154, 0.0666, 0.0168, 0.0145, 0.0382, 0.0576, 0.089, 0.1857, 0.2055, 0.1769, 0.1087, 0.1492, 0.2494, 0.2206, 0.276, 0.2071, 0.1853, 0.159, 0.0686, 0.0268, -0.0177, -0.071, 0.0, 0.1046, 0.1815, 0.1476, 0.1784, 0.1697, 0.2323, 0.1348, 0.0413, 0.1021, 0.0309, 0.0482, 0.0357, -0.0371, -0.1112, -0.1651, -0.2131, -0.1901, -0.1471, -0.1045, -0.2027, -0.2157, -0.1343, -0.1628, -0.108, -0.108, -0.1063, -0.0566, -0.0915, -0.0682, -0.0317, -0.0765, -0.0549, -0.0918, -0.1184, -0.1119, -0.174, -0.2357, -0.2375, -0.2893, -0.2644, -0.1573, -0.1218, -0.1519, -0.1416, -0.1416, -0.1749, -0.1895, -0.1977, -0.2115, -0.2115, -0.1527, -0.1256, -0.0558, -0.0937, -0.0835, -0.0775, 0.011, -0.0069, -0.0394, -0.0214, 0.0242, 0.0242, -0.0647, -0.0687, -0.0877, -0.1098, -0.1385, -0.0781, -0.054, -0.106, -0.1975, -0.1696, -0.1527, -0.2239, -0.3042, -0.189, -0.1251, -0.1354, -0.1653, -0.1548, -0.0768, -0.0768, -0.0814, -0.0411, 0.0137, -0.0776, -0.0523, -0.0337, -0.0004, -0.0121, -0.141, -0.1427, -0.1824, -0.0789, -0.099, -0.1585, -0.1057, -0.0917, 0.055, 0.0177, 0.064, 0.2232, 0.0958, 0.1168, 0.1447, 0.108, 0.0753, 0.0824, 0.0841, -0.0018, -0.0503, -0.1309, -0.0226, -0.0397, 0.0251, 0.0251, 0.0601, 0.1059, 0.1775, 0.2842, 0.3656, 0.4559, 0.5254, 0.5709, 0.5575, 0.4802]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2009668088359514486", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-09T16:46:24+00:00", "symbol": "VLN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$VLN could have been a $700m+ growing semiconductor stock but was artificially suppressed by a false $82m capex number. Even though it's back to $222m that's still a complete joke.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long VLN: current $222m market cap still far below its $700m+ fair value; suppressed by false capex data, legitimate semi with strong margins and cash.", "resolved_tickers": ["VLN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$VLN could have been a $700m+ growing semiconductor stock but was artificially suppressed by a false $82m capex number.\n\nEven though it’s back to $222m that’s still a complete joke.\n\nThis isn’t some random microcap, it’s a legitimate growing semi with $93m cash and $70m revenue off 60%+ gross margins.\n\nI just pointed out a massive market error, and that’s markets pricing in information discovery", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit You reached the point where your tweets pump these stocks 10%+", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LibertadEterno", "ret_m1d": -0.37096776984608737, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.37096776984608737, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.36439787640680144, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.3446587667058081, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006569893439285934, "bench_c_m1d": -0.026309003140279286, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06854841733326134, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06854841733326134, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07011887114503312, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07224813070073988, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0015704538117717881, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003699713367478541, "ret_p1w": -0.19758064748717397, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.19758064748717397, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.19410836617330818, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2262791043822514, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.003472281313865788, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02869845689507744, "ret_p1m": -0.3870967865982611, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3870967865982611, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.38692395731858265, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.4318786390753073, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00017282927967843253, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04478185247704625, "ret_p3m": -0.471774220683696, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.471774220683696, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.44841378636724327, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5583576750317217, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.02336043431645274, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08658345434802572, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2661, -0.2581, -0.2863, -0.3105, -0.2742, -0.2863, -0.3024, -0.2903, -0.2823, -0.2944, -0.2903, -0.3105, -0.3145, -0.2621, -0.3065, -0.3589, -0.3306, -0.371, -0.3629, -0.3548, -0.2742, -0.3145, -0.3065, -0.2984, -0.371, -0.3871, -0.4153, -0.4274, -0.3952, -0.3831, -0.379, -0.3669, -0.3669, -0.3548, -0.3669, -0.3629, -0.3266, -0.3226, -0.3226, -0.3145, -0.3145, -0.3226, -0.3427, -0.3589, -0.379, -0.3831, -0.4032, -0.4032, -0.3992, -0.4113, -0.4355, -0.4435, -0.4435, -0.4194, -0.4315, -0.4435, -0.4274, -0.4274, -0.371, -0.3669, -0.3589, -0.375, -0.371, 0.0, -0.0685, -0.0565, -0.1573, -0.1573, -0.1976, -0.1976, -0.2177, -0.2097, -0.1532, -0.2097, -0.2581, -0.2581, -0.2863, -0.2903, -0.3145, -0.3266, -0.3548, -0.379, -0.4234, -0.379, -0.3871, -0.375, -0.379, -0.3952, -0.3871, -0.3871, -0.4113, -0.3992, -0.3992, -0.3911, -0.4032, -0.3831, -0.379, -0.3548, -0.4032, -0.4032, -0.4194, -0.4194, -0.4355, -0.4556, -0.4556, -0.4435, -0.4234, -0.4556, -0.4637, -0.4637, -0.4597, -0.496, -0.4839, -0.5081, -0.4919, -0.496, -0.4919, -0.5081, -0.5242, -0.5524, -0.5444, -0.5282, -0.5202, -0.5202, -0.5202, -0.5242, -0.4718, -0.4597, -0.4637, -0.4556, -0.4435, -0.4073, -0.375, -0.3871, -0.4073, -0.3952, -0.3508, -0.3347, -0.2782, -0.3508, -0.3911, -0.3911, -0.125, -0.0565, -0.0927, -0.0242, 0.0081, -0.0282, 0.125, 0.1492, 0.0887, 0.1895, 0.3589, 0.2298, 0.1371, 0.0726, 0.1694, 0.2339, 0.2984, 0.2984, 0.3145, 0.2702, 0.4113, 0.4234, 0.4234, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1985902500806082782", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-05T02:50:27+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it can rebound to $130+ strikes any day... especially if you think a stock is extremely undervalued", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds NBIS long; avoids covered calls as stock is extremely undervalued and can rebound sharply.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Mattyice112233 @Docofgothm I don't sell CC's on $NBIS on extreme drops like this since it can rebound to $130+ strikes any day. \n\nFar OTM ones like $160+ are not worth it given current premiums. \n\nYou don't always need to write options, especially if you think a stock is extremely undervalued.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @Docofgothm In this particular scenario with the recent drop of NBIS, do you refrain from selling far OTM weekly covered calls? Or do you continue selling weekly’s as normal?     Curious how you handle your CCs with drops like this.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Mattyice112233", "ret_m1d": -0.055213667388655185, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.055213667388655185, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05176024564207227, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04983538694087741, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0034534217465829187, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005378280447777772, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0646153637486645, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0646153637486645, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0538860305359985, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05562218126056173, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010729333212666003, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008993182488102769, "ret_p1w": -0.19350426828759348, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.19350426828759348, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.20206421741890213, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1945622817920919, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008559949131308642, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0010580135044984118, "ret_p1m": -0.12136749528412127, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12136749528412127, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13141793910330613, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1422632619979658, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010050443819184851, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02089576671384452, "ret_p3m": -0.2464956951956464, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2464956951956464, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.27584257805243906, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.30501633938965844, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029346882856792655, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05852064419401204, "ret_p6m": 0.18145295493623137, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.18145295493623137, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1147862701513529, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.14759483029563314, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06666668478487847, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03385812464059823, "price_path": [-0.4121, -0.3997, -0.3562, -0.3963, -0.4149, -0.3879, -0.38, -0.4257, -0.4233, -0.4344, -0.4104, -0.4015, -0.3976, -0.4009, -0.3843, -0.4161, -0.4161, -0.4383, -0.4389, -0.4452, -0.4404, -0.4525, -0.1819, -0.2018, -0.2377, -0.2273, -0.2226, -0.2356, -0.1959, -0.1956, -0.1512, -0.0889, -0.0786, -0.0322, -0.0774, -0.0795, -0.0579, -0.0404, -0.0119, 0.0758, 0.0938, 0.0679, 0.006, 0.0427, 0.1337, 0.1075, 0.1578, 0.0953, 0.0755, 0.0516, -0.0304, -0.0684, -0.1087, -0.1571, -0.0926, 0.0022, 0.0721, 0.0413, 0.0692, 0.0614, 0.1181, 0.0297, -0.0552, 0.0, -0.0646, -0.0489, -0.0603, -0.1263, -0.1935, -0.2425, -0.286, -0.2651, -0.2262, -0.1874, -0.2766, -0.2884, -0.2145, -0.2403, -0.1907, -0.1907, -0.1891, -0.144, -0.1756, -0.1545, -0.1214, -0.1621, -0.1425, -0.176, -0.2001, -0.1942, -0.2505, -0.3065, -0.3081, -0.3551, -0.3326, -0.2354, -0.2032, -0.2305, -0.2211, -0.2211, -0.2514, -0.2646, -0.2721, -0.2846, -0.2846, -0.2312, -0.2066, -0.1432, -0.1777, -0.1684, -0.163, -0.0826, -0.0989, -0.1284, -0.1121, -0.0707, -0.0707, -0.1514, -0.155, -0.1722, -0.1923, -0.2183, -0.1635, -0.1416, -0.1888, -0.2719, -0.2465, -0.2312, -0.2958, -0.3686, -0.2641, -0.2062, -0.2155, -0.2426, -0.2331, -0.1623, -0.1623, -0.1665, -0.1299, -0.0803, -0.1631, -0.1401, -0.1232, -0.093, -0.1036, -0.2206, -0.2221, -0.2581, -0.1643, -0.1825, -0.2365, -0.1885, -0.1758, -0.0428, -0.0766, -0.0346, 0.1098, -0.0057, 0.0133, 0.0386, 0.0053, -0.0244, -0.0179, -0.0163, -0.0943, -0.1383, -0.2115, -0.1132, -0.1286, -0.0699, -0.0699, -0.0381, 0.0034, 0.0684, 0.1652, 0.2391, 0.321, 0.3841, 0.4254, 0.4132, 0.3431, 0.3603, 0.338, 0.3345, 0.3426, 0.2578, 0.239, 0.1582, 0.2068, 0.1815]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1968799491332399136", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-18T22:09:11+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS for next few months", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS for the near term, then rotating into RKLB.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@YodaStockInvest $NBIS for next few months -&gt; $RKLB", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "If you had to invest 100% of your net worth in 1 stock, which would it be? \n\nMy pick is $AMD:\nForward PE &lt;40 with years of 30%+ topline bottomline growth ahead\n\nMy second choice is $SOFI, who you got?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "YodaStockInvest", "ret_m1d": -0.00042499909009829917, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00042499909009829917, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00422571584183995, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0003317944276023388, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004650714931938249, "bench_c_m1d": -0.000756793517700638, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05514231471056985, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05514231471056985, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.050189439935237834, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.051021807264965746, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004952874775332017, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004120507445604105, "ret_p1w": 0.14683382162699843, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.14683382162699843, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1504360391140509, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15929473790697468, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0036022174870524726, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012460916279976253, "ret_p1m": 0.20526985902075778, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.20526985902075778, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.19927220454699834, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.23536685040367866, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0059976544737594395, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03009699138292088, "ret_p3m": -0.13992780932869353, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.13992780932869353, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.16785059470895303, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12426036928125395, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.027922785380259496, "bench_c_p3m": -0.015667440047439585, "ret_p6m": 0.20006368096227, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.20006368096227, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1942825852197032, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2311689312432167, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0057810957425668, "bench_c_p6m": -0.031105250280946684, "price_path": [-0.4955, -0.4579, -0.4845, -0.4411, -0.4492, -0.4121, -0.4655, -0.4691, -0.4661, -0.4661, -0.4917, -0.4996, -0.5107, -0.5067, -0.5293, -0.448, -0.4313, -0.4336, -0.4296, -0.4391, -0.4436, -0.458, -0.4488, -0.4458, -0.4542, -0.4395, -0.4645, -0.4551, -0.4217, -0.4475, -0.4245, -0.4138, -0.4147, -0.3061, -0.2692, -0.2537, -0.1996, -0.2496, -0.2726, -0.2391, -0.2293, -0.2861, -0.2831, -0.2969, -0.2671, -0.2561, -0.2512, -0.2552, -0.2346, -0.2741, -0.2741, -0.3017, -0.3025, -0.3103, -0.3044, -0.3194, 0.017, -0.0078, -0.0524, -0.0394, -0.0336, -0.0498, -0.0004, 0.0, 0.0551, 0.1326, 0.1453, 0.203, 0.1468, 0.1443, 0.1711, 0.1928, 0.2283, 0.3373, 0.3598, 0.3275, 0.2505, 0.2962, 0.4093, 0.3768, 0.4392, 0.3616, 0.3369, 0.3073, 0.2053, 0.1581, 0.1079, 0.0478, 0.1279, 0.2459, 0.3327, 0.2944, 0.3292, 0.3194, 0.3899, 0.28, 0.1745, 0.2431, 0.1628, 0.1823, 0.1682, 0.0861, 0.0025, -0.0583, -0.1124, -0.0865, -0.038, 0.0101, -0.1007, -0.1154, -0.0236, -0.0557, 0.0061, 0.0061, 0.008, 0.0641, 0.0248, 0.051, 0.0922, 0.0416, 0.066, 0.0243, -0.0056, 0.0017, -0.0683, -0.1379, -0.1399, -0.1984, -0.1703, -0.0495, -0.0095, -0.0435, -0.0318, -0.0318, -0.0694, -0.0858, -0.0951, -0.1107, -0.1107, -0.0443, -0.0137, 0.065, 0.0222, 0.0338, 0.0405, 0.1404, 0.1202, 0.0835, 0.1038, 0.1552, 0.1552, 0.0549, 0.0505, 0.029, 0.004, -0.0283, 0.0398, 0.067, 0.0084, -0.0949, -0.0633, -0.0443, -0.1246, -0.2152, -0.0852, -0.0132, -0.0248, -0.0585, -0.0466, 0.0413, 0.0413, 0.0361, 0.0816, 0.1433, 0.0404, 0.069, 0.0899, 0.1275, 0.1143, -0.0311, -0.033, -0.0778, 0.0389, 0.0163, -0.0509, 0.0087, 0.0245, 0.1899, 0.1479, 0.2001]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1968799491332399136", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-18T22:09:11+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS for next few months -> $RKLB", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS for the near term, then rotating into RKLB.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@YodaStockInvest $NBIS for next few months -&gt; $RKLB", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "If you had to invest 100% of your net worth in 1 stock, which would it be? \n\nMy pick is $AMD:\nForward PE &lt;40 with years of 30%+ topline bottomline growth ahead\n\nMy second choice is $SOFI, who you got?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "YodaStockInvest", "ret_m1d": 0.01907591182826196, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01907591182826196, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02372662676020021, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.029616036306842397, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004650714931938249, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010540124478580437, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012929220144253462, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012929220144253462, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007976345368921445, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.010507031368965691, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004952874775332017, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00242218877528777, "ret_p1w": -0.011657465737663686, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.011657465737663686, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.008055248250611213, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.005731187966973694, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0036022174870524726, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005926277770689992, "ret_p1m": 0.40462052171280716, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.40462052171280716, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3986228672390477, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4071943117690551, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0059976544737594395, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0025737900562479155, "ret_p3m": 0.1761339830338955, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1761339830338955, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.148211197653636, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.15024367372690905, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.027922785380259496, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025890309306986437, "ret_p6m": 0.4499788728192229, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4499788728192229, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4441977770766561, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3639134529301038, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0057810957425668, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08606541988911909, "price_path": [-0.3052, -0.2908, -0.3143, -0.234, -0.2501, -0.2418, -0.2724, -0.2437, -0.2442, -0.2442, -0.1759, -0.1789, -0.1704, -0.1713, -0.1727, -0.0841, -0.0547, 0.0108, 0.088, 0.0892, 0.0002, -0.0064, 0.0418, 0.0201, 0.0053, -0.0439, -0.0719, -0.0157, -0.0267, -0.0502, -0.056, -0.0515, -0.0653, -0.063, -0.0528, -0.0458, -0.0795, -0.0886, -0.0926, -0.0617, -0.0468, -0.1327, -0.1376, -0.1198, -0.0593, 0.0008, 0.0201, -0.0197, 0.0155, 0.0301, 0.0301, 0.0451, -0.0774, -0.0888, -0.0284, 0.0117, -0.0032, -0.0214, 0.0265, 0.1306, 0.1454, 0.0014, 0.0191, 0.0, 0.0129, 0.0557, 0.1214, 0.032, -0.0117, -0.0195, -0.0036, 0.0155, 0.0167, 0.1121, 0.1903, 0.2399, 0.3037, 0.3843, 0.4078, 0.362, 0.3866, 0.4419, 0.4682, 0.4201, 0.4046, 0.4275, 0.3862, 0.2837, 0.3474, 0.3684, 0.3908, 0.3512, 0.4023, 0.2912, 0.3349, 0.3001, 0.199, 0.1958, 0.0515, 0.0945, 0.1, 0.0861, 0.0591, -0.0409, -0.0348, -0.082, -0.0933, -0.0755, -0.1632, -0.1458, -0.1003, -0.0971, -0.1113, -0.1113, -0.1068, -0.1443, -0.1119, -0.0521, 0.0464, 0.0397, 0.0928, 0.1325, 0.2192, 0.3465, 0.3033, 0.1744, 0.1761, 0.1437, 0.27, 0.4947, 0.6437, 0.6359, 0.6359, 0.6359, 0.4975, 0.4862, 0.4932, 0.4786, 0.4786, 0.6106, 0.6562, 0.8234, 0.7821, 0.7609, 0.7984, 0.8631, 0.8351, 0.9457, 0.9237, 1.0411, 1.0411, 0.8898, 0.8614, 0.8648, 0.8843, 0.7058, 0.844, 0.8773, 0.816, 0.6971, 0.5716, 0.7226, 0.5496, 0.4057, 0.5329, 0.6075, 0.5267, 0.4756, 0.3991, 0.4294, 0.4294, 0.4813, 0.5774, 0.6231, 0.5019, 0.4881, 0.483, 0.4879, 0.5398, 0.4646, 0.5042, 0.4864, 0.5242, 0.4837, 0.486, 0.515, 0.461, 0.5252, 0.4491, 0.45]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1977764021815415233", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-13T15:51:02+00:00", "symbol": "RBRK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "added some Rubrik to my portfolio at $82", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Initiated RBRK at $82 as mid-term hold; bullish on cybersecurity sector multiples (CRWD/NET); prefers NBIS as higher-growth neocloud play.", "resolved_tickers": ["RBRK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So people keep asking me about $RBRK almost every other post and I know it's really popular on X. \n\nI ended up looking into it so people stop asking (and added some Rubrik to my portfolio at $82). \n\nTLDR my own research:\n\n- Cybersecurity company (industry trades at extremely high multiples, look at $CRWD or $NET)\n\n- 80% gross margins (great)\n\n- $1B+ ARR, grew 40-50% Y/Y (great)\n\n(comparison to NET, ~2.2B+ ARR, growing 22% Y/Y, almost 5x the MC)\n\n- OpEx spend: 60-75% of revenue goes to marketing. This is a huge positive. \n\nOpEx marketing spend is great but it looks really bad short term eg. $HOOD when they give customers 3% to transfer, it hurts short term in earnings reports bc it's deceptive and not many people do the breakdown but long term when they cut back on spend, customers are sticky and this helps a lot with profitability. \n\nFCF was positive, but breakdown of opex expenses was mainly marketing, which is a good thing, unlike Snapchat google cloud opex.\n\n- Diversified client base like Cloudflare (eg. goldman, pepsi, accenture, etc).\n\nDownsides:\n\n- Balance sheet not the best, $1.1B debt or so to fund acquisitions. At least it's about acquisitions.\n\n- Don't like how their forward revenue numbers slowed down 20-25% compared to something like $NBIS growing like 700% or something more for next year. Obviously unfair comparison, but that's why I liked Neoclouds more. \n\n_\n\nLooks like a good mid term hold with a pretty simple plan -> scale customer base -> scale back marketing + sticky base -> catch up to industry multiples in cybersecurity and hv higher FCF.\n\nUsually these types of growth companies with high gross margins (eg. $HOOD back at $18, growing ~50 y/y) that turn profitable, re-rate the hardest.\n\n$RBRK just gotta spend less on marketing down the road and suddenly they have a lot of fcf with their sticky customer base.\n\nTLDR: Great buy for cybersecurity sector, better opportunities elsewhere.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Based Friday Market Close (-3.6% SPY day), Thoughts and Explanations\n\nStrong Buy\n$IBIT\n$LTC\n$WLAC\n$NBIS\n$MP\n$TSM\n(For Next Year)\n$ETOR\n$DKNG\n$SNAP\n\nBuy\n$UPWK\n$CRDO\n$ALAB\n$AMZN\n$META\n$UNH\n$SG\n$TGT\n$BULL\n$FLY\n$CIFR\n$WULF\n$IREN\n$GLXY\n$SMCI\n$DELL\n$MRVL\n\nHold\n$RKLB\n$HOOD\n$RBRK\n$MU", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01021764729619179, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01021764729619179, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0048945447928249175, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0048945447928249175, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06034384090800704, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06034384090800704, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.059122186104550334, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.059122186104550334, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "ret_p1w": -0.052650616110962334, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.052650616110962334, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06510842152790342, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06510842152790342, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "ret_p1m": -0.09087636694461054, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09087636694461054, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12098012243145695, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12098012243145695, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "ret_p3m": -0.13847822976775237, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.13847822976775237, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1814733318540641, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1814733318540641, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "ret_p6m": -0.36554877713254363, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.36554877713254363, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3654486081042517, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3654486081042517, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "bench_c_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "price_path": [0.0517, 0.045, 0.0591, 0.0401, 0.007, 0.0198, 0.0303, 0.0218, 0.0471, 0.0725, 0.147, 0.1414, 0.0536, 0.1122, 0.0523, 0.1031, 0.0787, 0.0507, 0.0302, 0.062, 0.0588, 0.0151, 0.0317, 0.0304, 0.0094, 0.023, 0.0246, 0.0671, 0.0558, 0.0238, 0.0522, 0.1183, 0.0746, 0.0746, 0.0566, 0.0545, 0.0404, 0.093, 0.1493, 0.184, -0.0297, -0.0637, -0.1045, -0.0912, -0.0984, -0.1118, -0.0621, -0.0356, -0.0325, -0.0208, -0.0489, -0.0144, -0.0125, 0.0018, -0.0113, -0.0091, 0.009, -0.0044, -0.0118, -0.0444, 0.0127, 0.035, -0.0102, 0.0, -0.0603, -0.0496, -0.0547, -0.0718, -0.0527, -0.0398, -0.0762, -0.0761, -0.0745, -0.0649, -0.085, -0.1355, -0.1459, -0.0952, -0.0888, -0.1273, -0.1303, -0.1402, -0.1221, -0.0856, -0.0909, -0.1111, -0.1524, -0.1399, -0.1623, -0.173, -0.1576, -0.1863, -0.1995, -0.1899, -0.1719, -0.1806, -0.1806, -0.1667, -0.1754, -0.1658, -0.1416, -0.1534, 0.037, 0.071, 0.0976, 0.0808, 0.0468, -0.02, -0.0397, -0.0635, -0.1202, -0.0875, -0.0602, -0.0418, -0.0534, -0.0528, -0.0528, -0.0545, -0.0623, -0.0639, -0.0807, -0.0807, -0.0928, -0.1165, -0.0971, -0.076, -0.1385, -0.1518, -0.1421, -0.1487, -0.1809, -0.17, -0.1934, -0.1934, -0.2201, -0.2265, -0.2175, -0.2106, -0.1787, -0.2516, -0.2404, -0.3032, -0.3274, -0.3455, -0.3731, -0.3765, -0.4189, -0.3861, -0.3502, -0.3289, -0.3374, -0.3606, -0.3443, -0.3443, -0.3569, -0.3462, -0.349, -0.3966, -0.4319, -0.3865, -0.373, -0.3469, -0.3754, -0.3546, -0.3524, -0.3404, -0.3283, -0.3128, -0.3128, -0.3274, -0.3086, -0.3506, -0.3577, -0.3789, -0.3742, -0.3738, -0.3879, -0.4076, -0.3848, -0.4222, -0.4329, -0.4279, -0.4503, -0.4521, -0.4113, -0.4159, -0.3817, -0.3817, -0.3881, -0.3655]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1977764021815415233", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-13T15:51:02+00:00", "symbol": "CRWD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Cybersecurity company (industry trades at extremely high multiples, look at $CRWD or $NET)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Initiated RBRK at $82 as mid-term hold; bullish on cybersecurity sector multiples (CRWD/NET); prefers NBIS as higher-growth neocloud play.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So people keep asking me about $RBRK almost every other post and I know it's really popular on X. \n\nI ended up looking into it so people stop asking (and added some Rubrik to my portfolio at $82). \n\nTLDR my own research:\n\n- Cybersecurity company (industry trades at extremely high multiples, look at $CRWD or $NET)\n\n- 80% gross margins (great)\n\n- $1B+ ARR, grew 40-50% Y/Y (great)\n\n(comparison to NET, ~2.2B+ ARR, growing 22% Y/Y, almost 5x the MC)\n\n- OpEx spend: 60-75% of revenue goes to marketing. This is a huge positive. \n\nOpEx marketing spend is great but it looks really bad short term eg. $HOOD when they give customers 3% to transfer, it hurts short term in earnings reports bc it's deceptive and not many people do the breakdown but long term when they cut back on spend, customers are sticky and this helps a lot with profitability. \n\nFCF was positive, but breakdown of opex expenses was mainly marketing, which is a good thing, unlike Snapchat google cloud opex.\n\n- Diversified client base like Cloudflare (eg. goldman, pepsi, accenture, etc).\n\nDownsides:\n\n- Balance sheet not the best, $1.1B debt or so to fund acquisitions. At least it's about acquisitions.\n\n- Don't like how their forward revenue numbers slowed down 20-25% compared to something like $NBIS growing like 700% or something more for next year. Obviously unfair comparison, but that's why I liked Neoclouds more. \n\n_\n\nLooks like a good mid term hold with a pretty simple plan -> scale customer base -> scale back marketing + sticky base -> catch up to industry multiples in cybersecurity and hv higher FCF.\n\nUsually these types of growth companies with high gross margins (eg. $HOOD back at $18, growing ~50 y/y) that turn profitable, re-rate the hardest.\n\n$RBRK just gotta spend less on marketing down the road and suddenly they have a lot of fcf with their sticky customer base.\n\nTLDR: Great buy for cybersecurity sector, better opportunities elsewhere.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Based Friday Market Close (-3.6% SPY day), Thoughts and Explanations\n\nStrong Buy\n$IBIT\n$LTC\n$WLAC\n$NBIS\n$MP\n$TSM\n(For Next Year)\n$ETOR\n$DKNG\n$SNAP\n\nBuy\n$UPWK\n$CRDO\n$ALAB\n$AMZN\n$META\n$UNH\n$SG\n$TGT\n$BULL\n$FLY\n$CIFR\n$WULF\n$IREN\n$GLXY\n$SMCI\n$DELL\n$MRVL\n\nHold\n$RKLB\n$HOOD\n$RBRK\n$MU", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02939380295319871, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02939380295319871, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014281610864182004, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014281610864182004, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.038674000661941266, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.038674000661941266, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03745234585848456, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03745234585848456, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "ret_p1w": -0.009830715369349097, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.009830715369349097, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.022288520786290178, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.022288520786290178, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "ret_p1m": 0.09461079511430737, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09461079511430737, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06450703962746096, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06450703962746096, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "ret_p3m": -0.08796522192431933, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08796522192431933, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13096032401063107, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13096032401063107, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "ret_p6m": -0.1678692452453875, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1678692452453875, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.16776907621709558, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.16776907621709558, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "bench_c_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "price_path": [-0.075, -0.0762, -0.0642, -0.0531, -0.0735, -0.0926, -0.0916, -0.08, -0.0716, -0.0847, -0.0894, -0.1063, -0.1218, -0.1057, -0.1315, -0.1119, -0.1644, -0.1654, -0.1616, -0.1432, -0.1504, -0.1647, -0.1587, -0.1618, -0.177, -0.1759, -0.1859, -0.1731, -0.1765, -0.1789, -0.1691, -0.131, -0.1669, -0.1669, -0.187, -0.1876, -0.189, -0.1789, -0.1584, -0.1673, -0.1646, -0.1479, -0.1426, -0.1255, -0.1251, -0.1241, -0.0118, -0.0119, -0.0304, -0.0482, -0.0635, -0.0698, -0.0535, -0.0396, -0.0358, -0.017, -0.0232, -0.0368, -0.0249, -0.0472, 0.0026, 0.001, -0.0294, 0.0, -0.0387, -0.0385, -0.0519, -0.0471, -0.0098, -0.0092, -0.0167, 0.0263, 0.0368, 0.0415, 0.0754, 0.0725, 0.0591, 0.0676, 0.0852, 0.0498, 0.0502, 0.047, 0.0613, 0.0962, 0.0946, 0.0732, 0.0416, 0.0569, 0.0416, 0.0099, 0.0236, -0.0144, -0.0353, -0.0035, 0.0073, -0.0139, -0.0139, 0.0011, -0.0088, 0.0156, 0.0306, 0.0089, 0.0067, 0.0129, 0.0184, 0.0215, 0.0178, -0.0075, -0.0416, -0.0395, -0.0759, -0.0616, -0.0537, -0.0501, -0.0585, -0.0619, -0.0619, -0.0539, -0.0643, -0.0648, -0.0784, -0.0784, -0.1082, -0.1024, -0.0989, -0.0584, -0.088, -0.0747, -0.0818, -0.0798, -0.0942, -0.1054, -0.1076, -0.1076, -0.1295, -0.1233, -0.1078, -0.1103, -0.0792, -0.0628, -0.0775, -0.1258, -0.1321, -0.1372, -0.1708, -0.1833, -0.2584, -0.2224, -0.1977, -0.1872, -0.1825, -0.1909, -0.1553, -0.1553, -0.1855, -0.1826, -0.17, -0.236, -0.3112, -0.3114, -0.2857, -0.2507, -0.2686, -0.2433, -0.2304, -0.1984, -0.1621, -0.1565, -0.1464, -0.1421, -0.1309, -0.1319, -0.1314, -0.1667, -0.1483, -0.1431, -0.1581, -0.1958, -0.1874, -0.2273, -0.2413, -0.2281, -0.2734, -0.2527, -0.2324, -0.2267, -0.2153, -0.2153, -0.2163, -0.1679]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1977764021815415233", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-13T15:51:02+00:00", "symbol": "NET", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "industry trades at extremely high multiples, look at $CRWD or $NET", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Initiated RBRK at $82 as mid-term hold; bullish on cybersecurity sector multiples (CRWD/NET); prefers NBIS as higher-growth neocloud play.", "resolved_tickers": ["NET"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So people keep asking me about $RBRK almost every other post and I know it's really popular on X. \n\nI ended up looking into it so people stop asking (and added some Rubrik to my portfolio at $82). \n\nTLDR my own research:\n\n- Cybersecurity company (industry trades at extremely high multiples, look at $CRWD or $NET)\n\n- 80% gross margins (great)\n\n- $1B+ ARR, grew 40-50% Y/Y (great)\n\n(comparison to NET, ~2.2B+ ARR, growing 22% Y/Y, almost 5x the MC)\n\n- OpEx spend: 60-75% of revenue goes to marketing. This is a huge positive. \n\nOpEx marketing spend is great but it looks really bad short term eg. $HOOD when they give customers 3% to transfer, it hurts short term in earnings reports bc it's deceptive and not many people do the breakdown but long term when they cut back on spend, customers are sticky and this helps a lot with profitability. \n\nFCF was positive, but breakdown of opex expenses was mainly marketing, which is a good thing, unlike Snapchat google cloud opex.\n\n- Diversified client base like Cloudflare (eg. goldman, pepsi, accenture, etc).\n\nDownsides:\n\n- Balance sheet not the best, $1.1B debt or so to fund acquisitions. At least it's about acquisitions.\n\n- Don't like how their forward revenue numbers slowed down 20-25% compared to something like $NBIS growing like 700% or something more for next year. Obviously unfair comparison, but that's why I liked Neoclouds more. \n\n_\n\nLooks like a good mid term hold with a pretty simple plan -> scale customer base -> scale back marketing + sticky base -> catch up to industry multiples in cybersecurity and hv higher FCF.\n\nUsually these types of growth companies with high gross margins (eg. $HOOD back at $18, growing ~50 y/y) that turn profitable, re-rate the hardest.\n\n$RBRK just gotta spend less on marketing down the road and suddenly they have a lot of fcf with their sticky customer base.\n\nTLDR: Great buy for cybersecurity sector, better opportunities elsewhere.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Based Friday Market Close (-3.6% SPY day), Thoughts and Explanations\n\nStrong Buy\n$IBIT\n$LTC\n$WLAC\n$NBIS\n$MP\n$TSM\n(For Next Year)\n$ETOR\n$DKNG\n$SNAP\n\nBuy\n$UPWK\n$CRDO\n$ALAB\n$AMZN\n$META\n$UNH\n$SG\n$TGT\n$BULL\n$FLY\n$CIFR\n$WULF\n$IREN\n$GLXY\n$SMCI\n$DELL\n$MRVL\n\nHold\n$RKLB\n$HOOD\n$RBRK\n$MU", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03927026568228642, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03927026568228642, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.024158073593269713, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.024158073593269713, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.022510759174127593, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.022510759174127593, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.021289104370670886, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.021289104370670886, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "ret_p1w": -0.042775001693440395, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.042775001693440395, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05523280711038148, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05523280711038148, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "ret_p1m": 0.05567037888911952, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05567037888911952, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.025566623402273114, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.025566623402273114, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "ret_p3m": -0.15995682618280982, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15995682618280982, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20295192826912156, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20295192826912156, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "ret_p6m": -0.02817219779493496, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.02817219779493496, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.028072028766643053, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.028072028766643053, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "bench_c_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "price_path": [-0.1472, -0.1407, -0.1133, -0.1114, -0.1438, -0.1501, -0.1392, -0.1085, -0.104, -0.1039, -0.0975, -0.0669, -0.1009, -0.0618, -0.0663, -0.0316, -0.0545, -0.0807, -0.0961, -0.0909, -0.1043, -0.1221, -0.0973, -0.0907, -0.117, -0.1319, -0.1339, -0.1186, -0.1199, -0.1079, -0.0778, -0.0411, -0.0622, -0.0622, -0.0652, -0.0757, -0.0565, -0.0365, -0.0208, -0.018, 0.0018, 0.0093, -0.0056, 0.0155, -0.0149, -0.039, 0.0045, 0.0152, 0.0257, 0.0031, -0.0224, -0.0196, -0.0279, -0.0179, -0.0358, -0.0247, 0.009, -0.0265, -0.0069, -0.0232, -0.0115, -0.0072, -0.0393, 0.0, -0.0225, -0.0233, -0.0501, -0.0564, -0.0428, -0.043, -0.0532, -0.0243, -0.0212, 0.0115, 0.0064, 0.0217, -0.0003, 0.1381, 0.1148, 0.0465, 0.0267, 0.015, 0.0461, 0.0807, 0.0557, 0.014, -0.0405, -0.0537, -0.0913, -0.117, -0.1184, -0.1401, -0.1626, -0.1284, -0.1126, -0.1149, -0.1149, -0.1004, -0.1139, -0.0957, -0.0818, -0.0827, -0.0971, -0.075, -0.0612, -0.0409, -0.0656, -0.0904, -0.1162, -0.1125, -0.1399, -0.1291, -0.1208, -0.0921, -0.092, -0.0894, -0.0894, -0.0906, -0.0982, -0.1031, -0.1142, -0.1142, -0.1192, -0.1119, -0.1104, -0.0887, -0.16, -0.1787, -0.1625, -0.1521, -0.1535, -0.1726, -0.1725, -0.1725, -0.2028, -0.2363, -0.2213, -0.2207, -0.1492, -0.0746, -0.1693, -0.1895, -0.2031, -0.1804, -0.2348, -0.2502, -0.2674, -0.2217, -0.2193, -0.1913, -0.1489, -0.168, -0.12, -0.12, -0.1298, -0.1398, -0.1344, -0.2041, -0.2802, -0.264, -0.2281, -0.2152, -0.2263, -0.1866, -0.1961, -0.1648, -0.1359, -0.123, -0.0947, -0.0677, -0.043, -0.047, -0.0454, -0.0684, -0.0496, 0.0131, -0.0054, -0.0321, -0.0086, -0.0423, -0.0205, -0.0559, -0.0878, -0.1255, -0.0729, -0.077, -0.0488, -0.0488, -0.0484, -0.0282]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1977764021815415233", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-10-13T15:51:02+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I liked Neoclouds more", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Initiated RBRK at $82 as mid-term hold; bullish on cybersecurity sector multiples (CRWD/NET); prefers NBIS as higher-growth neocloud play.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So people keep asking me about $RBRK almost every other post and I know it's really popular on X. \n\nI ended up looking into it so people stop asking (and added some Rubrik to my portfolio at $82). \n\nTLDR my own research:\n\n- Cybersecurity company (industry trades at extremely high multiples, look at $CRWD or $NET)\n\n- 80% gross margins (great)\n\n- $1B+ ARR, grew 40-50% Y/Y (great)\n\n(comparison to NET, ~2.2B+ ARR, growing 22% Y/Y, almost 5x the MC)\n\n- OpEx spend: 60-75% of revenue goes to marketing. This is a huge positive. \n\nOpEx marketing spend is great but it looks really bad short term eg. $HOOD when they give customers 3% to transfer, it hurts short term in earnings reports bc it's deceptive and not many people do the breakdown but long term when they cut back on spend, customers are sticky and this helps a lot with profitability. \n\nFCF was positive, but breakdown of opex expenses was mainly marketing, which is a good thing, unlike Snapchat google cloud opex.\n\n- Diversified client base like Cloudflare (eg. goldman, pepsi, accenture, etc).\n\nDownsides:\n\n- Balance sheet not the best, $1.1B debt or so to fund acquisitions. At least it's about acquisitions.\n\n- Don't like how their forward revenue numbers slowed down 20-25% compared to something like $NBIS growing like 700% or something more for next year. Obviously unfair comparison, but that's why I liked Neoclouds more. \n\n_\n\nLooks like a good mid term hold with a pretty simple plan -> scale customer base -> scale back marketing + sticky base -> catch up to industry multiples in cybersecurity and hv higher FCF.\n\nUsually these types of growth companies with high gross margins (eg. $HOOD back at $18, growing ~50 y/y) that turn profitable, re-rate the hardest.\n\n$RBRK just gotta spend less on marketing down the road and suddenly they have a lot of fcf with their sticky customer base.\n\nTLDR: Great buy for cybersecurity sector, better opportunities elsewhere.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Based Friday Market Close (-3.6% SPY day), Thoughts and Explanations\n\nStrong Buy\n$IBIT\n$LTC\n$WLAC\n$NBIS\n$MP\n$TSM\n(For Next Year)\n$ETOR\n$DKNG\n$SNAP\n\nBuy\n$UPWK\n$CRDO\n$ALAB\n$AMZN\n$META\n$UNH\n$SG\n$TGT\n$BULL\n$FLY\n$CIFR\n$WULF\n$IREN\n$GLXY\n$SMCI\n$DELL\n$MRVL\n\nHold\n$RKLB\n$HOOD\n$RBRK\n$MU", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04340768190889632, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04340768190889632, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.028295489819879616, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.034272105522501706, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009135576386394617, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.053964361841674746, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.053964361841674746, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05274270703821804, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06055255031748796, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006588188475813217, "ret_p1w": -0.19533445594579646, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.19533445594579646, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.20779226136273754, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2164167265184983, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "bench_c_p1w": 0.021082270572701844, "ret_p1m": -0.24538612022496853, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.24538612022496853, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.27548987571181494, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.24854845069335885, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0031623304683903175, "ret_p3m": -0.28170678998056553, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.28170678998056553, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3247018920668773, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.31702244801530577, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03531565803474024, "ret_p6m": -0.13332352202031494, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13332352202031494, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.13322335299202304, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.12190395036217228, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "bench_c_p6m": -0.011419571658142669, "price_path": [-0.6065, -0.6036, -0.6103, -0.6134, -0.6234, -0.617, -0.6149, -0.6208, -0.6106, -0.6279, -0.6214, -0.5982, -0.6161, -0.6001, -0.5927, -0.5933, -0.5179, -0.4922, -0.4815, -0.4439, -0.4786, -0.4946, -0.4713, -0.4645, -0.504, -0.5019, -0.5114, -0.4908, -0.4831, -0.4797, -0.4825, -0.4682, -0.4956, -0.4956, -0.5148, -0.5154, -0.5208, -0.5167, -0.5271, -0.2934, -0.3106, -0.3416, -0.3326, -0.3285, -0.3398, -0.3055, -0.3052, -0.2669, -0.2131, -0.2042, -0.1641, -0.2032, -0.2049, -0.1863, -0.1712, -0.1465, -0.0708, -0.0552, -0.0777, -0.1311, -0.0994, -0.0208, -0.0434, 0.0, -0.054, -0.0711, -0.0917, -0.1626, -0.1953, -0.2302, -0.272, -0.2163, -0.1344, -0.074, -0.1006, -0.0765, -0.0833, -0.0343, -0.1107, -0.184, -0.1363, -0.1921, -0.1785, -0.1883, -0.2454, -0.3034, -0.3457, -0.3833, -0.3653, -0.3316, -0.2982, -0.3752, -0.3854, -0.3216, -0.3439, -0.301, -0.301, -0.2996, -0.2607, -0.288, -0.2697, -0.2411, -0.2762, -0.2593, -0.2883, -0.3091, -0.304, -0.3527, -0.401, -0.4024, -0.443, -0.4235, -0.3396, -0.3118, -0.3354, -0.3273, -0.3273, -0.3534, -0.3648, -0.3713, -0.3821, -0.3821, -0.336, -0.3147, -0.26, -0.2898, -0.2817, -0.2771, -0.2077, -0.2217, -0.2472, -0.2331, -0.1973, -0.1973, -0.267, -0.2701, -0.285, -0.3024, -0.3248, -0.2775, -0.2586, -0.2994, -0.3711, -0.3492, -0.336, -0.3918, -0.4547, -0.3644, -0.3143, -0.3224, -0.3459, -0.3376, -0.2765, -0.2765, -0.2801, -0.2485, -0.2056, -0.2771, -0.2573, -0.2427, -0.2166, -0.2257, -0.3268, -0.3281, -0.3592, -0.2782, -0.2939, -0.3405, -0.2991, -0.2881, -0.1732, -0.2024, -0.1662, -0.0414, -0.1412, -0.1248, -0.1029, -0.1317, -0.1573, -0.1517, -0.1504, -0.2177, -0.2557, -0.3189, -0.234, -0.2474, -0.1967, -0.1967, -0.1692, -0.1333]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1996364923233017963", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-03T23:44:23+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "out of public company Neoclouds, there's only $NBIS and $CRWV. Then there's only one with immense amount of customer diversification ( Shopify, Cursor, governments, msft/meta, and so on) which helps with utilization (huge for margins)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NBIS as the superior full-stack neocloud with customer diversification and margin moat; CRWV also cited as one of only two public neocloud players.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I mean not everyone can develop FSD-level 4 self driving cars. There's probably only 5 main players in the US.  Amazon, Waymo, Tesla, $NBIS Avride, and Motional. \n\nUnless your question was about the parent company.\n\n Then out of public company Neoclouds, there's only $NBIS and $CRWV. Then there's only one with immense amount of customer diversification ( Shopify, Cursor, governments, msft/meta, and so on) which helps with utilization (huge for margins). \n\nAlso it's mixes full stack + software full stack orchestration layers. eg. GPU utilization-> faster time to train + lowers opex to create an economic moat from software + hardware mix. It's not easy to create this, $CRWV spent billions of dollars and years which is why miners/colo players can't exactly pivot to full-stack offerings.  \n\nIf there's single digit providers that can do things, it's probably technologically very complex.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What is NBIS's moat exactly?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "rollinwhisk3y", "ret_m1d": -0.024969685265102903, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.024969685265102903, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.021518866854694507, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.025838245601834675, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003450818410408396, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0008685603367317718, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.039223665129732854, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.039223665129732854, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03849260897573448, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.033491020179764686, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0007310561539983773, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005732644949968169, "ret_p1w": -0.0538819442955466, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0538819442955466, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05926294841396429, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07073246834962588, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005381004118417687, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016850524054079274, "ret_p1m": -0.15381112635995964, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15381112635995964, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1538769169260591, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.17961763261918973, "bench_spy_p1m": 6.57905660994551e-05, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02580650625923009, "ret_p3m": -0.07996356832928131, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07996356832928131, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08657017978752057, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10707721687827598, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006606611458239264, "bench_c_p3m": 0.027113648548994673, "ret_p6m": 1.2881116106707249, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.2881116106707249, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.1784351467745322, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.2682104876915048, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10967646389619268, "bench_c_p6m": 0.019901122979220087, "price_path": [-0.3382, -0.3524, -0.0323, -0.0559, -0.0984, -0.086, -0.0805, -0.0959, -0.0489, -0.0485, 0.0039, 0.0776, 0.0898, 0.1447, 0.0912, 0.0888, 0.1142, 0.135, 0.1687, 0.2724, 0.2938, 0.263, 0.1899, 0.2333, 0.3409, 0.3099, 0.3694, 0.2955, 0.272, 0.2438, 0.1468, 0.1019, 0.0542, -0.003, 0.0732, 0.1854, 0.268, 0.2316, 0.2647, 0.2554, 0.3225, 0.2179, 0.1175, 0.1828, 0.1063, 0.1249, 0.1115, 0.0334, -0.0461, -0.104, -0.1555, -0.1308, -0.0847, -0.0389, -0.1444, -0.1583, -0.071, -0.1015, -0.0428, -0.0428, -0.0409, 0.0124, -0.025, 0.0, 0.0392, -0.0089, 0.0143, -0.0254, -0.0539, -0.0469, -0.1135, -0.1797, -0.1817, -0.2373, -0.2106, -0.0956, -0.0575, -0.0899, -0.0788, -0.0788, -0.1145, -0.1302, -0.139, -0.1538, -0.1538, -0.0907, -0.0616, 0.0133, -0.0274, -0.0164, -0.01, 0.085, 0.0658, 0.0309, 0.0502, 0.0992, 0.0992, 0.0037, -0.0005, -0.0209, -0.0447, -0.0754, -0.0106, 0.0153, -0.0405, -0.1388, -0.1088, -0.0907, -0.1671, -0.2532, -0.1296, -0.0611, -0.0721, -0.1042, -0.0929, -0.0092, -0.0092, -0.0142, 0.0291, 0.0878, -0.0101, 0.0171, 0.037, 0.0728, 0.0603, -0.0781, -0.08, -0.1225, -0.0115, -0.0331, -0.0969, -0.0402, -0.0252, 0.1322, 0.0922, 0.1418, 0.3127, 0.176, 0.1985, 0.2285, 0.189, 0.154, 0.1616, 0.1635, 0.0713, 0.0192, -0.0673, 0.0489, 0.0306, 0.1001, 0.1001, 0.1377, 0.1868, 0.2636, 0.3782, 0.4655, 0.5625, 0.6371, 0.6859, 0.6715, 0.5886, 0.609, 0.5826, 0.5784, 0.5879, 0.4877, 0.4654, 0.3699, 0.4273, 0.3974, 0.5618, 0.7835, 0.7784, 0.9722, 0.8679, 0.7898, 0.8813, 0.8107, 1.0953, 1.2356, 1.2234, 1.0204, 0.9989, 0.9391, 1.2233, 1.1711, 1.1711, 1.1033, 1.1064, 1.2881]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1996364923233017963", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-03T23:44:23+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "out of public company Neoclouds, there's only $NBIS and $CRWV", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NBIS as the superior full-stack neocloud with customer diversification and margin moat; CRWV also cited as one of only two public neocloud players.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I mean not everyone can develop FSD-level 4 self driving cars. There's probably only 5 main players in the US.  Amazon, Waymo, Tesla, $NBIS Avride, and Motional. \n\nUnless your question was about the parent company.\n\n Then out of public company Neoclouds, there's only $NBIS and $CRWV. Then there's only one with immense amount of customer diversification ( Shopify, Cursor, governments, msft/meta, and so on) which helps with utilization (huge for margins). \n\nAlso it's mixes full stack + software full stack orchestration layers. eg. GPU utilization-> faster time to train + lowers opex to create an economic moat from software + hardware mix. It's not easy to create this, $CRWV spent billions of dollars and years which is why miners/colo players can't exactly pivot to full-stack offerings.  \n\nIf there's single digit providers that can do things, it's probably technologically very complex.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What is NBIS's moat exactly?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "rollinwhisk3y", "ret_m1d": -0.041960708233920174, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.041960708233920174, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03850988982351178, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03850988982351178, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003450818410408396, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003450818410408396, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08051914491561818, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08051914491561818, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0797880887616198, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0797880887616198, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0007310561539983773, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0007310561539983773, "ret_p1w": 0.11088713437597875, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11088713437597875, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10550613025756106, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10550613025756106, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005381004118417687, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005381004118417687, "ret_p1m": -0.09765624924893346, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09765624924893346, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09772203981503291, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09772203981503291, "bench_spy_p1m": 6.57905660994551e-05, "bench_c_p1m": 6.57905660994551e-05, "ret_p3m": -0.016507025560971056, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.016507025560971056, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.02311363701921032, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.02311363701921032, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006606611458239264, "bench_c_p3m": 0.006606611458239264, "ret_p6m": 0.34652217475427993, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.34652217475427993, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.23684571085808725, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.23684571085808725, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10967646389619268, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10967646389619268, "price_path": [0.1226, 0.1788, 0.2629, 0.4761, 0.42, 0.4108, 0.518, 0.4963, 0.5229, 0.5296, 0.5733, 0.6788, 0.6493, 0.6809, 0.596, 0.5164, 0.5439, 0.7244, 0.7269, 0.7389, 0.6985, 0.6866, 0.6234, 0.7639, 0.8029, 0.7443, 0.7845, 0.6893, 0.7545, 0.786, 0.7247, 0.6011, 0.5759, 0.5314, 0.5542, 0.6702, 0.7145, 0.6986, 0.7632, 0.6515, 0.6849, 0.5917, 0.4585, 0.4418, 0.3474, 0.3106, 0.3308, 0.1138, 0.0765, -0.0129, -0.0252, -0.0508, -0.0562, -0.0559, -0.1279, -0.0972, -0.0726, -0.1017, -0.0639, -0.0639, -0.0786, -0.029, -0.042, 0.0, 0.0805, 0.1127, 0.0867, 0.1424, 0.1109, 0.1011, -0.0097, -0.0883, -0.1242, -0.1866, -0.1472, 0.0459, 0.0689, 0.0113, -0.0062, -0.0062, -0.037, -0.0559, -0.0688, -0.0977, -0.0977, -0.0005, -0.0315, -0.0179, -0.0275, -0.0286, 0.0098, 0.1332, 0.1023, 0.1316, 0.1972, 0.2756, 0.2756, 0.1998, 0.1851, 0.1566, 0.1716, 0.2388, 0.3717, 0.3359, 0.2542, 0.1743, 0.1207, 0.1348, 0.0391, -0.0593, 0.1334, 0.2196, 0.1985, 0.199, 0.2059, 0.2102, 0.2102, 0.1467, 0.2027, 0.224, 0.1246, 0.1447, 0.2513, 0.235, 0.2302, 0.0025, -0.0165, -0.0703, 0.0018, -0.0572, -0.0803, -0.0624, -0.0559, 0.0328, 0.0063, 0.0221, 0.0819, 0.0348, 0.0436, 0.0164, 0.0266, 0.0328, 0.0461, 0.1036, 0.0137, -0.0573, -0.1287, -0.0238, -0.0116, 0.0363, 0.0363, 0.0199, 0.0741, 0.1202, 0.1593, 0.2853, 0.3895, 0.4768, 0.4956, 0.5066, 0.4724, 0.4797, 0.4511, 0.5441, 0.4796, 0.3879, 0.412, 0.3298, 0.4389, 0.4062, 0.4996, 0.5805, 0.6115, 0.7387, 0.6235, 0.4384, 0.4453, 0.3577, 0.4026, 0.4392, 0.3521, 0.3076, 0.2577, 0.2762, 0.3556, 0.3293, 0.3293, 0.3343, 0.3139, 0.3465]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1988229423796281659", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-11T12:56:48+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Easily for mid-long term. Very near term, it sucks that there's 2.7B worth of selling pressure (even if $NBIS is undervalued at these levels)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS mid-to-long term; undervalued despite near-term $2.7B selling pressure from equity raise; $3B META contract and ARR projection strategically positive.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@0xcyberbro Easily for mid-long term. Very near term, it sucks that there's 2.7B worth of selling pressure (even if $NBIS is undervalued at these levels).\n\nThe $3B $META contract and ARR projection is strategically bigger, but the equity raise is financially heavier in the short term.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit So $nbis over $crwv?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "0xcyberbro", "ret_m1d": 0.07562116645693662, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07562116645693662, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07790517779341222, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08367715698290779, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0022840113364756, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008055990525971168, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07689298098696984, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07689298098696984, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07744946946558229, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07111371851615012, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005564884786124491, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005779262470819724, "ret_p1w": -0.11426335517212038, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11426335517212038, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08070553613602638, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09333522120495286, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.033557819036094005, "bench_c_p1w": -0.020928133967167528, "ret_p1m": -0.08442579514531079, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08442579514531079, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0911169579698673, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10955721246618133, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006691162824556507, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02513141732087054, "ret_p3m": -0.15769910540088283, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15769910540088283, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17184363692646742, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1746409985754659, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014144531525584592, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016941893174583056, "ret_p6m": 0.9085305616135924, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.9085305616135924, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.8279910769496042, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.8743308936187839, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08053948466398819, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03419966799480845, "price_path": [-0.3303, -0.2994, -0.2904, -0.3427, -0.34, -0.3526, -0.3252, -0.315, -0.3105, -0.3142, -0.2952, -0.3316, -0.3316, -0.3571, -0.3578, -0.365, -0.3595, -0.3733, -0.0636, -0.0864, -0.1275, -0.1155, -0.1102, -0.1251, -0.0796, -0.0792, -0.0285, 0.0428, 0.0546, 0.1077, 0.056, 0.0536, 0.0783, 0.0983, 0.131, 0.2314, 0.252, 0.2223, 0.1514, 0.1935, 0.2976, 0.2677, 0.3252, 0.2537, 0.231, 0.2037, 0.1098, 0.0663, 0.0202, -0.0352, 0.0385, 0.1471, 0.2271, 0.1918, 0.2238, 0.2148, 0.2798, 0.1785, 0.0814, 0.1446, 0.0706, 0.0886, 0.0756, 0.0, -0.0769, -0.1329, -0.1827, -0.1589, -0.1143, -0.0699, -0.172, -0.1855, -0.101, -0.1305, -0.0737, -0.0737, -0.0719, -0.0203, -0.0564, -0.0323, 0.0057, -0.0409, -0.0185, -0.0568, -0.0844, -0.0777, -0.1421, -0.2062, -0.2081, -0.2619, -0.2361, -0.1248, -0.0879, -0.1193, -0.1085, -0.1085, -0.1431, -0.1583, -0.1668, -0.1811, -0.1811, -0.12, -0.0919, -0.0194, -0.0588, -0.0481, -0.042, 0.05, 0.0314, -0.0023, 0.0163, 0.0637, 0.0637, -0.0287, -0.0328, -0.0525, -0.0755, -0.1053, -0.0426, -0.0175, -0.0715, -0.1666, -0.1375, -0.12, -0.194, -0.2773, -0.1577, -0.0914, -0.102, -0.1331, -0.1222, -0.0412, -0.0412, -0.046, -0.0041, 0.0527, -0.0421, -0.0158, 0.0035, 0.0382, 0.026, -0.1079, -0.1097, -0.1509, -0.0434, -0.0643, -0.1261, -0.0712, -0.0566, 0.0956, 0.0569, 0.105, 0.2703, 0.138, 0.1599, 0.1888, 0.1507, 0.1167, 0.1241, 0.1259, 0.0367, -0.0137, -0.0974, 0.0151, -0.0026, 0.0646, 0.0646, 0.101, 0.1485, 0.2229, 0.3337, 0.4182, 0.512, 0.5842, 0.6315, 0.6175, 0.5373, 0.557, 0.5315, 0.5275, 0.5367, 0.4396, 0.4181, 0.3257, 0.3812, 0.3523, 0.5113, 0.7259, 0.721, 0.9085]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1990138791596794132", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-16T19:23:57+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS stock price is completely detached from fundamentals right now and the sell-off was a joke", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "NBIS is deeply undervalued vs fundamentals after macro-driven -26% sell-off; $8B ARR + META deal were genuine surprises not priced in.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I can 99.9% assure you that $NBIS $8B ARR expectations were not priced in months ago, analysts/markets were expecting around $2B ARR (~2-3 months ago). \n\nAnd now we're trading at lower levels than after the $MSFT deal was announced (~ $90-$100).  \n\nFactoring in the 19B deal and revenue ramp, bull-case institutional analysts like Northland were projected $4B ARR. Bull case FinX (including myself) went upward to $6B-$7B with another hyperscaler deal later next year. \n\nThen announcing $8B midpoint ARR to $9B, capacity to 2.5 GW (which people kept saying $IREN was had a huge moat for 2.8-~3.2 GW), and an unexpected $META deal the same quarter as $MSFT on top was a complete surprise.   \n\nHowever, the broader -26% drop after earnings was macro and indiscriminate sell-off, not because of points #1, #2, #3, and #4 for individual stock projections.  \n\nThe point was $NBIS stock price is completely detached from fundamentals right now and the sell-off was a joke.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit beating the most bullish ARR estimate by 100% doesn’t help when those expectations were already priced into the stock months ago...\n\nmarkets don’t reward absolute numbers\n\nthey reward surprises relative to positioning and $NBIS had none left lmfao", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ArchegosIntern", "ret_m1d": -0.028378720006289493, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.028378720006289493, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03778276560027605, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02972795147062146, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.009404045593986554, "bench_c_m1d": 0.001349231464331968, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.053035559206290994, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.053035559206290994, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.061433111976391674, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04736900806043187, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00839755277010068, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005666551145859122, "ret_p1w": 0.0688531976949256, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0688531976949256, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06425634256313084, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.052393347345248475, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004596855131794753, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01645985034967712, "ret_p1m": -0.058502049456895966, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.058502049456895966, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07833175621938437, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10770162010072437, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019829706762488408, "bench_c_p1m": 0.049199570643828405, "ret_p3m": 0.04361479243531097, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04361479243531097, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.01715551154792272, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.009155934671352783, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026459280887388248, "bench_c_p3m": 0.034458857763958184, "ret_p6m": 1.083158799922375, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.083158799922375, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.9679167086598945, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.0343549651656587, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11524209126248053, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04880383475671635, "price_path": [-0.2153, -0.2303, -0.1977, -0.1856, -0.1803, -0.1847, -0.1621, -0.2054, -0.2054, -0.2356, -0.2365, -0.2451, -0.2385, -0.2549, 0.1133, 0.0862, 0.0373, 0.0515, 0.0579, 0.0401, 0.0942, 0.0947, 0.155, 0.2398, 0.2538, 0.3169, 0.2554, 0.2526, 0.2819, 0.3058, 0.3446, 0.4639, 0.4885, 0.4531, 0.3689, 0.4189, 0.5427, 0.5071, 0.5755, 0.4905, 0.4635, 0.431, 0.3194, 0.2677, 0.2128, 0.147, 0.2347, 0.3638, 0.4588, 0.417, 0.455, 0.4443, 0.5215, 0.4011, 0.2856, 0.3608, 0.2729, 0.2943, 0.2788, 0.1889, 0.0975, 0.0308, -0.0284, 0.0, 0.053, 0.1057, -0.0156, -0.0316, 0.0689, 0.0337, 0.1013, 0.1013, 0.1034, 0.1648, 0.1218, 0.1505, 0.1956, 0.1403, 0.1669, 0.1213, 0.0885, 0.0965, 0.0199, -0.0563, -0.0585, -0.1225, -0.0918, 0.0405, 0.0843, 0.0471, 0.0599, 0.0599, 0.0187, 0.0007, -0.0094, -0.0265, -0.0265, 0.0462, 0.0797, 0.1659, 0.119, 0.1317, 0.139, 0.2483, 0.2262, 0.1861, 0.2082, 0.2646, 0.2646, 0.1548, 0.1499, 0.1264, 0.0991, 0.0637, 0.1383, 0.1681, 0.1039, -0.0092, 0.0254, 0.0462, -0.0418, -0.1408, 0.0014, 0.0803, 0.0676, 0.0306, 0.0436, 0.1399, 0.1399, 0.1342, 0.184, 0.2516, 0.1389, 0.1702, 0.1931, 0.2342, 0.2198, 0.0606, 0.0585, 0.0095, 0.1372, 0.1125, 0.039, 0.1042, 0.1215, 0.3026, 0.2566, 0.3137, 0.5102, 0.353, 0.3789, 0.4134, 0.368, 0.3276, 0.3365, 0.3386, 0.2325, 0.1726, 0.073, 0.2068, 0.1857, 0.2656, 0.2656, 0.3089, 0.3654, 0.4538, 0.5856, 0.6861, 0.7976, 0.8835, 0.9396, 0.923, 0.8276, 0.8511, 0.8208, 0.816, 0.8269, 0.7116, 0.686, 0.5761, 0.6421, 0.6077, 0.7968, 1.0519, 1.0461, 1.269, 1.149, 1.0592, 1.1645, 1.0832]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1968041371329323287", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-16T19:56:42+00:00", "symbol": "LULU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Short term bounce from October to Jan, sure. +20% return.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Expects ~20% LULU bounce from October to January but bearish long-term due to competition from Vuori, Alo, etc.", "resolved_tickers": ["LULU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@truthdotphd Short term bounce from October to Jan, sure. +20% return.\n\nLong term, too much competition from Vuori, Alo, etc. wouldn't hold for many years imo.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I have my entire net worth in $LULU, and I'm not planning to sell it anytime soon. Lululemon remains a compelling long-term hold despite a steep 2025 selloff, thanks to its powerful brand, zero debt, and resilient profitability even in softer US retail conditions. Its aggressive https://t.co/uCfsCFWVAt", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "truestocksphd", "ret_m1d": -0.014537394749224442, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014537394749224442, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015916085706269012, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015916085706269012, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0013786909570445705, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0013786909570445705, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.007022295277595569, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.007022295277595569, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008264730570144208, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008264730570144208, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012424352925486382, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012424352925486382, "ret_p1w": 0.06769746052161851, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06769746052161851, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.060047838092499806, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.060047838092499806, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007649622429118708, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007649622429118708, "ret_p1m": 0.0293212385918602, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0293212385918602, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.018693856332702152, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.018693856332702152, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010627382259158047, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010627382259158047, "ret_p3m": 0.262597054604359, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.262597054604359, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2267634935565055, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2267634935565055, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03583356104785351, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03583356104785351, "ret_p6m": 0.0027719413477476085, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0027719413477476085, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.027847905348308943, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.027847905348308943, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030619846696056552, "bench_c_p6m": 0.030619846696056552, "price_path": [0.4085, 0.4012, 0.3894, 0.4348, 0.4261, 0.4265, 0.4477, 0.4635, 0.5099, 0.5172, 0.5257, 0.5257, 0.4634, 0.4694, 0.4531, 0.4693, 0.4569, 0.4099, 0.3687, 0.3928, 0.4372, 0.4154, 0.375, 0.3794, 0.38, 0.3471, 0.3517, 0.3342, 0.3185, 0.2718, 0.2352, 0.1909, 0.2101, 0.2016, 0.2105, 0.1774, 0.1669, 0.1485, 0.1884, 0.235, 0.2024, 0.2225, 0.2543, 0.2176, 0.2204, 0.2208, 0.2787, 0.247, 0.2476, 0.2663, 0.2633, 0.2455, 0.2455, 0.2333, 0.2229, 0.2695, 0.0336, 0.0355, 0.0206, 0.0096, 0.0212, -0.0152, -0.0145, 0.0, 0.007, 0.0457, 0.0448, 0.0682, 0.0677, 0.104, 0.0596, 0.086, 0.1033, 0.096, 0.0938, 0.0977, 0.0816, 0.0726, 0.0667, 0.0769, 0.0686, 0.0318, 0.0463, 0.0418, 0.0293, 0.014, 0.0312, 0.0622, 0.1173, 0.0983, 0.103, 0.0975, 0.1173, 0.1087, 0.049, 0.035, 0.0505, 0.0193, -0.0103, 0.0323, 0.0075, 0.0233, 0.0493, 0.046, 0.0527, 0.0451, 0.0514, 0.0112, 0.01, 0.0229, 0.0145, 0.036, 0.0452, 0.0934, 0.1207, 0.1207, 0.1345, 0.1236, 0.1236, 0.123, 0.131, 0.1704, 0.1275, 0.1228, 0.1557, 0.152, 0.2626, 0.2707, 0.2735, 0.2805, 0.3251, 0.2902, 0.3082, 0.3101, 0.296, 0.296, 0.2872, 0.3092, 0.2977, 0.2801, 0.2801, 0.2986, 0.3084, 0.3298, 0.3042, 0.3069, 0.256, 0.2877, 0.3053, 0.2513, 0.2628, 0.2435, 0.2435, 0.1627, 0.1694, 0.1991, 0.177, 0.1876, 0.1481, 0.1109, 0.0628, 0.0749, 0.1031, 0.0569, 0.0965, 0.0477, 0.0647, 0.0822, 0.1126, 0.0833, 0.0443, 0.0867, 0.0867, 0.0947, 0.1219, 0.1265, 0.1538, 0.0971, 0.1056, 0.1245, 0.1464, 0.1406, 0.0852, 0.0735, 0.067, 0.0668, 0.048, 0.0457, 0.0252, 0.0028]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2007758407948788162", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-04T10:18:01+00:00", "symbol": "GDRZF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$GDRZF @$1.68 - $8B+ claims, $200m MC. (30%)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Nation-building portfolio for US invasion of Venezuela: long GDRZF, CVX, TRGP, AVAV, CF, HII, OI on oil assets, defense, ammonia disruption, and claims recovery.", "resolved_tickers": ["GDRZF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Gold'", "bench_c_industry": "Gold", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Maduro is now captured in NY, facing charges. \n\nThe first thing that came to everyone's mind is:\n\nHow do you profit off the US invasion of Venezuela and Regime Change?\n\nHere's how.\n\nThis is the \"Nation Building\" port:\n\n1. $GDRZF @$1.68 - $8B+ claims, $200m MC. (30%)\n\n2. $ASHM @ £175.10 - 3x NAV bonds recovery (20%)\n\n3. $CVX @ $155.90 - Most obvious oil play from locked up assets + $17T in oil (15% allocation / calls)\n\n4. $TRGP @ $186.77 - Diluent exporter to Venezuela (10% allocation / calls)\n\n5. $AVAV @ $256.19  - Maritime operations and post $1T funding for defense.  ( 10% allocation)\n\n6. $CF @ $80.13 - Disruption of Trinidad & Tobago ammonia exports.  (5% allocation)\n\n7. $HII @ $349.7 - Profiting off the blockade from shipbuilding (5% allocation)\n\n8. $OI @ $15.16 - Claims ~$700M, 35% cash injection relative to market cap (5% allocation)\n\nThis setup looks to be the optimal way to capitalize on the US invasion of Venezuela - from profiting off the blockade to the new $17T+ in oil resources now owned by the United States. \n\n\"Nation Building\" is the most underrated theme going into 2027. \n\nWatch what happens on Monday and the following months.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "US has now invaded Venezuela.\n\nEveryone is probably wondering the same thing:\n\nHow do you profit off the situation?\n\n1. Heavy Sour, Ammonia, and Nitrogen Fertilizers disruption ( $CF , $CVE).\n\nThese are Venezuela's biggest exports.\n\nMost people will buy generic oil ETFs or light https://t.co/WvWMxSoJA2", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.4814814991966251, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.4814814991966251, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.4748654490276998, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.4716059632123216, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006616050168925303, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009875535984303463, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04938274239498086, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04938274239498086, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04343555902189156, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02963183494597743, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005947183373089304, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01975090744900343, "ret_p1w": 0.2006173127945048, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2006173127945048, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1897989530239057, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15896859932957885, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010818359770599084, "bench_c_p1w": 0.041648713464925935, "ret_p1m": 0.0030864168005624304, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0030864168005624304, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.00045446689544603736, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08536351733401437, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.002631949905116393, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0884499341345768, "ret_p3m": 0.24814819039195202, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.24814819039195202, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.29191438033232353, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1611113151325252, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.043766189940371514, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08703687525942683, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5309, -0.5247, -0.5278, -0.5772, -0.517, -0.5247, -0.534, -0.5407, -0.5525, -0.5432, -0.5926, -0.5679, -0.5741, -0.5679, -0.5278, -0.537, -0.5154, -0.534, -0.4969, -0.4846, -0.4494, -0.4722, -0.5185, -0.5216, -0.5525, -0.5525, -0.5525, -0.5679, -0.5802, -0.5988, -0.6296, -0.6389, -0.6451, -0.5679, -0.5741, -0.608, -0.608, -0.612, -0.5802, -0.608, -0.5432, -0.5216, -0.5062, -0.5494, -0.5525, -0.5123, -0.5432, -0.5309, -0.5525, -0.5525, -0.487, -0.5093, -0.463, -0.5123, -0.4969, -0.5062, -0.5062, -0.4722, -0.5031, -0.4907, -0.4799, -0.4799, -0.4815, 0.0, 0.0494, 0.1235, 0.179, 0.2253, 0.2006, 0.1821, 0.1944, 0.1944, 0.2235, 0.2235, 0.2469, 0.25, 0.2407, 0.2346, 0.2006, 0.2191, 0.2346, 0.216, 0.1728, 0.1111, 0.0031, -0.0309, -0.071, -0.071, -0.0309, 0.0259, 0.0494, 0.1235, 0.1358, 0.1358, 0.1265, 0.1512, 0.1543, 0.142, 0.1636, 0.1543, 0.1784, 0.2037, 0.2191, 0.2099, 0.1481, 0.1883, 0.2963, 0.5123, 0.5988, 0.6852, 0.716, 0.608, 0.4815, 0.4815, 0.358, 0.3426, 0.3549, 0.3889, 0.3642, 0.2438, 0.287, 0.2685, 0.2438, 0.2377, 0.2346, 0.2685, 0.2481, 0.2481, 0.2654, 0.2346, 0.2395, 0.2901, 0.3272, 0.287, 0.2988, 0.3426, 0.3117, 0.2963, 0.3287, 0.2994, 0.2809, 0.2346, 0.2398, 0.2404, 0.2346, 0.2037, 0.2191, 0.2315, 0.2623, 0.4043, 0.537, 0.463, 0.5679, 0.5432, 0.4259, 0.3858, 0.3951, 0.5093, 0.4691, 0.4969, 0.5401, 0.4969, 0.4352, 0.4352, 0.4352, 0.4352, 0.4167, 0.4568, 0.4568, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2007758407948788162", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-04T10:18:01+00:00", "symbol": "CVX", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$CVX @ $155.90 - Most obvious oil play from locked up assets + $17T in oil (15% allocation / calls)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Nation-building portfolio for US invasion of Venezuela: long GDRZF, CVX, TRGP, AVAV, CF, HII, OI on oil assets, defense, ammonia disruption, and claims recovery.", "resolved_tickers": ["CVX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Maduro is now captured in NY, facing charges. \n\nThe first thing that came to everyone's mind is:\n\nHow do you profit off the US invasion of Venezuela and Regime Change?\n\nHere's how.\n\nThis is the \"Nation Building\" port:\n\n1. $GDRZF @$1.68 - $8B+ claims, $200m MC. (30%)\n\n2. $ASHM @ £175.10 - 3x NAV bonds recovery (20%)\n\n3. $CVX @ $155.90 - Most obvious oil play from locked up assets + $17T in oil (15% allocation / calls)\n\n4. $TRGP @ $186.77 - Diluent exporter to Venezuela (10% allocation / calls)\n\n5. $AVAV @ $256.19  - Maritime operations and post $1T funding for defense.  ( 10% allocation)\n\n6. $CF @ $80.13 - Disruption of Trinidad & Tobago ammonia exports.  (5% allocation)\n\n7. $HII @ $349.7 - Profiting off the blockade from shipbuilding (5% allocation)\n\n8. $OI @ $15.16 - Claims ~$700M, 35% cash injection relative to market cap (5% allocation)\n\nThis setup looks to be the optimal way to capitalize on the US invasion of Venezuela - from profiting off the blockade to the new $17T+ in oil resources now owned by the United States. \n\n\"Nation Building\" is the most underrated theme going into 2027. \n\nWatch what happens on Monday and the following months.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "US has now invaded Venezuela.\n\nEveryone is probably wondering the same thing:\n\nHow do you profit off the situation?\n\n1. Heavy Sour, Ammonia, and Nitrogen Fertilizers disruption ( $CF , $CVE).\n\nThese are Venezuela's biggest exports.\n\nMost people will buy generic oil ETFs or light https://t.co/WvWMxSoJA2", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.048520085298902504, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.048520085298902504, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0419040351299772, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0419040351299772, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006616050168925303, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006616050168925303, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.044614047709269355, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.044614047709269355, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05056123108235866, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05056123108235866, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005947183373089304, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005947183373089304, "ret_p1w": -0.00921581930039983, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.00921581930039983, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.020034179070998914, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.020034179070998914, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010818359770599084, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010818359770599084, "ret_p1m": 0.08660347730346363, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08660347730346363, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08397152739834723, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08397152739834723, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.002631949905116393, "bench_c_p1m": 0.002631949905116393, "ret_p3m": 0.22622145050459164, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.22622145050459164, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.26998764044496315, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.26998764044496315, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.043766189940371514, "bench_c_p3m": -0.043766189940371514, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0721, -0.0847, -0.1013, -0.0829, -0.0802, -0.0819, -0.0843, -0.0761, -0.0676, -0.0718, -0.061, -0.055, -0.0611, -0.0628, -0.0697, -0.0639, -0.0734, -0.048, -0.0703, -0.0742, -0.0786, -0.0769, -0.0643, -0.0605, -0.057, -0.0746, -0.061, -0.0486, -0.0655, -0.0624, -0.0742, -0.0826, -0.0847, -0.0861, -0.0935, -0.0875, -0.0875, -0.0776, -0.069, -0.083, -0.0748, -0.0707, -0.0845, -0.0924, -0.0937, -0.0759, -0.0801, -0.0846, -0.0857, -0.1044, -0.0875, -0.0986, -0.0983, -0.0857, -0.0814, -0.0815, -0.0815, -0.0844, -0.0785, -0.0704, -0.0698, -0.0698, -0.0485, 0.0, -0.0446, -0.0528, -0.0281, -0.0106, -0.0092, 0.0001, 0.0207, 0.0141, 0.0147, 0.0147, 0.0088, 0.0176, 0.0171, 0.0175, 0.0223, 0.0317, 0.0371, 0.0448, 0.0796, 0.0621, 0.0866, 0.1061, 0.0939, 0.1038, 0.1144, 0.1124, 0.1341, 0.1132, 0.1214, 0.1214, 0.1127, 0.1332, 0.1388, 0.1335, 0.1396, 0.1422, 0.1353, 0.1349, 0.151, 0.1685, 0.1634, 0.1465, 0.1703, 0.1706, 0.1675, 0.1481, 0.182, 0.2139, 0.213, 0.2131, 0.2201, 0.224, 0.2414, 0.2432, 0.2647, 0.2744, 0.2643, 0.2806, 0.3013, 0.2986, 0.2751, 0.2166, 0.2262, 0.2262, 0.2255, 0.2421, 0.1888, 0.1732, 0.162, 0.1819, 0.1526, 0.1396, 0.1595, 0.1339, 0.1293, 0.1462, 0.1483, 0.1561, 0.1414, 0.1388, 0.1608, 0.1846, 0.1913, 0.1748, 0.185, 0.1872, 0.1411, 0.1247, 0.1193, 0.1385, 0.146, 0.1463, 0.1502, 0.1777, 0.2087, 0.2268, 0.1899, 0.1879, 0.1906, 0.1906, 0.1488, 0.1344, 0.1383, 0.1348, 0.1348, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2007758407948788162", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-04T10:18:01+00:00", "symbol": "TRGP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TRGP @ $186.77 - Diluent exporter to Venezuela (10% allocation / calls)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Nation-building portfolio for US invasion of Venezuela: long GDRZF, CVX, TRGP, AVAV, CF, HII, OI on oil assets, defense, ammonia disruption, and claims recovery.", "resolved_tickers": ["TRGP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Maduro is now captured in NY, facing charges. \n\nThe first thing that came to everyone's mind is:\n\nHow do you profit off the US invasion of Venezuela and Regime Change?\n\nHere's how.\n\nThis is the \"Nation Building\" port:\n\n1. $GDRZF @$1.68 - $8B+ claims, $200m MC. (30%)\n\n2. $ASHM @ £175.10 - 3x NAV bonds recovery (20%)\n\n3. $CVX @ $155.90 - Most obvious oil play from locked up assets + $17T in oil (15% allocation / calls)\n\n4. $TRGP @ $186.77 - Diluent exporter to Venezuela (10% allocation / calls)\n\n5. $AVAV @ $256.19  - Maritime operations and post $1T funding for defense.  ( 10% allocation)\n\n6. $CF @ $80.13 - Disruption of Trinidad & Tobago ammonia exports.  (5% allocation)\n\n7. $HII @ $349.7 - Profiting off the blockade from shipbuilding (5% allocation)\n\n8. $OI @ $15.16 - Claims ~$700M, 35% cash injection relative to market cap (5% allocation)\n\nThis setup looks to be the optimal way to capitalize on the US invasion of Venezuela - from profiting off the blockade to the new $17T+ in oil resources now owned by the United States. \n\n\"Nation Building\" is the most underrated theme going into 2027. \n\nWatch what happens on Monday and the following months.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "US has now invaded Venezuela.\n\nEveryone is probably wondering the same thing:\n\nHow do you profit off the situation?\n\n1. Heavy Sour, Ammonia, and Nitrogen Fertilizers disruption ( $CF , $CVE).\n\nThese are Venezuela's biggest exports.\n\nMost people will buy generic oil ETFs or light https://t.co/WvWMxSoJA2", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01798665640270558, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01798665640270558, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.024602706571630883, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.024602706571630883, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006616050168925303, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006616050168925303, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.030304669620635494, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.030304669620635494, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0362518529937248, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0362518529937248, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005947183373089304, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005947183373089304, "ret_p1w": -0.04627459881341711, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04627459881341711, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.057092958584016196, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.057092958584016196, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010818359770599084, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010818359770599084, "ret_p1m": 0.11547157714989598, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11547157714989598, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11283962724477958, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11283962724477958, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.002631949905116393, "bench_c_p1m": 0.002631949905116393, "ret_p3m": 0.3386863518775689, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3386863518775689, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3824525418179404, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3824525418179404, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.043766189940371514, "bench_c_p3m": -0.043766189940371514, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0877, -0.1266, -0.1748, -0.1782, -0.1858, -0.1821, -0.2079, -0.195, -0.1827, -0.1802, -0.1637, -0.151, -0.1674, -0.1663, -0.1741, -0.1804, -0.1796, -0.1604, -0.1492, -0.1575, -0.1133, -0.0741, -0.0622, -0.0763, -0.0558, -0.0703, -0.075, -0.0565, -0.0826, -0.0757, -0.0725, -0.0723, -0.0705, -0.0742, -0.0676, -0.0564, -0.0564, -0.0445, -0.037, -0.0636, -0.0422, -0.0188, -0.0149, -0.0238, 0.0012, 0.0001, 0.0123, -0.0015, -0.0063, -0.0385, -0.006, -0.0265, -0.0247, -0.0044, 0.0072, 0.0014, 0.0014, -0.0031, 0.0025, 0.0118, 0.0056, 0.0056, 0.018, 0.0, -0.0303, -0.0486, -0.0366, -0.036, -0.0463, -0.0174, -0.0038, -0.0084, 0.0102, 0.0102, 0.0087, 0.0359, 0.0435, 0.0438, 0.0493, 0.0631, 0.0963, 0.0984, 0.1009, 0.0882, 0.1155, 0.1199, 0.1259, 0.1582, 0.1925, 0.189, 0.2155, 0.1956, 0.2264, 0.2264, 0.2286, 0.2468, 0.2279, 0.2673, 0.2701, 0.2693, 0.2606, 0.2665, 0.2916, 0.3125, 0.3368, 0.3313, 0.3092, 0.2993, 0.2858, 0.2734, 0.2956, 0.3046, 0.3149, 0.31, 0.3192, 0.2817, 0.3121, 0.3005, 0.3142, 0.3481, 0.3445, 0.3722, 0.3707, 0.359, 0.3734, 0.3409, 0.3387, 0.3387, 0.3456, 0.3748, 0.3366, 0.3407, 0.3316, 0.3174, 0.3107, 0.3078, 0.3136, 0.29, 0.2681, 0.2744, 0.2967, 0.3141, 0.3184, 0.3217, 0.3605, 0.3702, 0.4318, 0.3999, 0.4257, 0.4298, 0.3735, 0.3897, 0.3659, 0.3938, 0.4047, 0.4495, 0.4725, 0.4974, 0.5123, 0.5205, 0.4902, 0.4877, 0.5236, 0.5236, 0.4858, 0.4514, 0.4431, 0.4042, 0.4042, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2007758407948788162", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-01-04T10:18:01+00:00", "symbol": "AVAV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AVAV @ $256.19 - Maritime operations and post $1T funding for defense. (10% allocation)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Nation-building portfolio for US invasion of Venezuela: long GDRZF, CVX, TRGP, AVAV, CF, HII, OI on oil assets, defense, ammonia disruption, and claims recovery.", "resolved_tickers": ["AVAV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Maduro is now captured in NY, facing charges. \n\nThe first thing that came to everyone's mind is:\n\nHow do you profit off the US invasion of Venezuela and Regime Change?\n\nHere's how.\n\nThis is the \"Nation Building\" port:\n\n1. $GDRZF @$1.68 - $8B+ claims, $200m MC. (30%)\n\n2. $ASHM @ £175.10 - 3x NAV bonds recovery (20%)\n\n3. $CVX @ $155.90 - Most obvious oil play from locked up assets + $17T in oil (15% allocation / calls)\n\n4. $TRGP @ $186.77 - Diluent exporter to Venezuela (10% allocation / calls)\n\n5. $AVAV @ $256.19  - Maritime operations and post $1T funding for defense.  ( 10% allocation)\n\n6. $CF @ $80.13 - Disruption of Trinidad & Tobago ammonia exports.  (5% allocation)\n\n7. $HII @ $349.7 - Profiting off the blockade from shipbuilding (5% allocation)\n\n8. $OI @ $15.16 - Claims ~$700M, 35% cash injection relative to market cap (5% allocation)\n\nThis setup looks to be the optimal way to capitalize on the US invasion of Venezuela - from profiting off the blockade to the new $17T+ in oil resources now owned by the United States. \n\n\"Nation Building\" is the most underrated theme going into 2027. \n\nWatch what happens on Monday and the following months.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "US has now invaded Venezuela.\n\nEveryone is probably wondering the same thing:\n\nHow do you profit off the situation?\n\n1. Heavy Sour, Ammonia, and Nitrogen Fertilizers disruption ( $CF , $CVE).\n\nThese are Venezuela's biggest exports.\n\nMost people will buy generic oil ETFs or light https://t.co/WvWMxSoJA2", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.1385965526147318, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1385965526147318, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1319805024458065, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12689807839695944, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006616050168925303, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01169847421777237, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06596951977270393, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06596951977270393, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06002233639961463, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.052394258366478486, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005947183373089304, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013575261406225447, "ret_p1w": 0.2463602034614636, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2463602034614636, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2355418436908645, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.22559071879969506, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010818359770599084, "bench_c_p1w": 0.020769484661768534, "ret_p1m": -0.040348340177667086, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.040348340177667086, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04298029008278348, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0972141496065172, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.002631949905116393, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05686580942885011, "ret_p3m": -0.38011499835155216, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.38011499835155216, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.33634880841118064, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.40751679966903653, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.043766189940371514, "bench_c_p3m": 0.027401801317484376, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3702, 0.3392, 0.319, 0.378, 0.3504, 0.2935, 0.2579, 0.1788, 0.224, 0.2682, 0.1942, 0.2248, 0.2728, 0.2781, 0.2775, 0.2799, 0.2301, 0.2438, 0.2369, 0.2275, 0.1792, 0.1036, 0.1084, 0.1226, 0.1032, 0.0871, -0.0065, -0.0208, -0.0462, -0.0553, -0.0571, -0.0788, -0.0836, -0.0687, -0.0637, -0.0613, -0.0613, -0.0604, -0.1332, -0.1091, -0.0862, -0.0335, -0.064, -0.0502, -0.0538, -0.1754, -0.1603, -0.1964, -0.2088, -0.211, -0.2297, -0.2243, -0.1829, -0.1413, -0.1219, -0.1234, -0.1234, -0.1426, -0.1623, -0.1796, -0.1867, -0.1867, -0.1386, 0.0, 0.066, 0.0708, 0.1599, 0.2272, 0.2464, 0.2234, 0.2837, 0.2729, 0.3209, 0.3209, 0.1126, 0.0747, 0.0495, 0.0348, 0.0177, 0.0409, 0.032, -0.0141, -0.064, -0.0922, -0.0403, -0.1349, -0.2035, -0.1352, -0.0775, -0.1148, -0.1815, -0.2094, -0.18, -0.18, -0.1157, -0.1074, -0.0529, -0.1102, -0.1213, -0.1182, -0.1419, -0.1271, -0.1518, -0.2996, -0.2324, -0.2385, -0.2584, -0.2273, -0.2358, -0.255, -0.3015, -0.2876, -0.3038, -0.2876, -0.2518, -0.2742, -0.2894, -0.3352, -0.3064, -0.3404, -0.3308, -0.3413, -0.3799, -0.405, -0.3845, -0.383, -0.3801, -0.3801, -0.3636, -0.3717, -0.3714, -0.4025, -0.3957, -0.3464, -0.346, -0.3328, -0.3208, -0.3564, -0.3368, -0.2937, -0.2936, -0.3211, -0.34, -0.3419, -0.3533, -0.383, -0.3443, -0.3781, -0.3939, -0.4395, -0.4137, -0.4345, -0.4341, -0.4403, -0.4322, -0.4587, -0.4443, -0.4687, -0.4569, -0.4612, -0.449, -0.4516, -0.4142, -0.4142, -0.3872, -0.3905, -0.2791, -0.3032, -0.3032, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2007758407948788162", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-01-04T10:18:01+00:00", "symbol": "CF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$CF @ $80.13 - Disruption of Trinidad & Tobago ammonia exports. (5% allocation)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Nation-building portfolio for US invasion of Venezuela: long GDRZF, CVX, TRGP, AVAV, CF, HII, OI on oil assets, defense, ammonia disruption, and claims recovery.", "resolved_tickers": ["CF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Agricultural Inputs'", "bench_c_industry": "Agricultural Inputs", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Maduro is now captured in NY, facing charges. \n\nThe first thing that came to everyone's mind is:\n\nHow do you profit off the US invasion of Venezuela and Regime Change?\n\nHere's how.\n\nThis is the \"Nation Building\" port:\n\n1. $GDRZF @$1.68 - $8B+ claims, $200m MC. (30%)\n\n2. $ASHM @ £175.10 - 3x NAV bonds recovery (20%)\n\n3. $CVX @ $155.90 - Most obvious oil play from locked up assets + $17T in oil (15% allocation / calls)\n\n4. $TRGP @ $186.77 - Diluent exporter to Venezuela (10% allocation / calls)\n\n5. $AVAV @ $256.19  - Maritime operations and post $1T funding for defense.  ( 10% allocation)\n\n6. $CF @ $80.13 - Disruption of Trinidad & Tobago ammonia exports.  (5% allocation)\n\n7. $HII @ $349.7 - Profiting off the blockade from shipbuilding (5% allocation)\n\n8. $OI @ $15.16 - Claims ~$700M, 35% cash injection relative to market cap (5% allocation)\n\nThis setup looks to be the optimal way to capitalize on the US invasion of Venezuela - from profiting off the blockade to the new $17T+ in oil resources now owned by the United States. \n\n\"Nation Building\" is the most underrated theme going into 2027. \n\nWatch what happens on Monday and the following months.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "US has now invaded Venezuela.\n\nEveryone is probably wondering the same thing:\n\nHow do you profit off the situation?\n\n1. Heavy Sour, Ammonia, and Nitrogen Fertilizers disruption ( $CF , $CVE).\n\nThese are Venezuela's biggest exports.\n\nMost people will buy generic oil ETFs or light https://t.co/WvWMxSoJA2", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0016198351262892707, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0016198351262892707, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004996215042636032, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008255700858014192, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006616050168925303, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009875535984303463, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010092375989439462, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010092375989439462, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016039559362528766, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02984328343844289, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005947183373089304, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01975090744900343, "ret_p1w": 0.006603411757943878, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.006603411757943878, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.004214948012655206, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03504530170698206, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010818359770599084, "bench_c_p1w": 0.041648713464925935, "ret_p1m": 0.1525042961950236, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1525042961950236, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1498723462899072, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06405436206044679, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.002631949905116393, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0884499341345768, "ret_p3m": 0.6280069406974915, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6280069406974915, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.671773130637863, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5409700654380647, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.043766189940371514, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08703687525942683, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1233, 0.0975, 0.0818, 0.0925, 0.0742, 0.0582, 0.0283, 0.0343, 0.0395, 0.0316, 0.0643, 0.0767, 0.071, 0.07, 0.0664, 0.0423, 0.0257, 0.0316, 0.0455, 0.0472, 0.0534, 0.0088, 0.016, 0.0261, 0.0364, 0.0497, 0.0445, 0.0596, 0.0054, 0.0108, -0.0192, -0.0308, -0.0214, -0.0324, -0.0321, -0.0231, -0.0231, -0.0194, -0.0057, -0.0161, -0.0121, -0.0004, -0.0297, -0.0374, -0.0444, -0.052, -0.0199, -0.0133, -0.0188, -0.0338, -0.0156, -0.0245, -0.0194, -0.0353, -0.0264, -0.0335, -0.0335, -0.035, -0.0325, -0.0415, -0.0364, -0.0364, -0.0016, 0.0, -0.0101, -0.0345, 0.0133, 0.0292, 0.0066, 0.0325, 0.0597, 0.079, 0.0809, 0.0809, 0.1017, 0.1445, 0.1118, 0.151, 0.1419, 0.143, 0.1609, 0.1716, 0.1616, 0.1194, 0.1525, 0.1799, 0.1378, 0.1542, 0.1829, 0.2, 0.2077, 0.1732, 0.1857, 0.1857, 0.1748, 0.2002, 0.2458, 0.2173, 0.1956, 0.2039, 0.2043, 0.217, 0.2468, 0.3065, 0.3315, 0.3116, 0.3876, 0.4503, 0.3909, 0.3785, 0.5048, 0.7035, 0.623, 0.5323, 0.5443, 0.5874, 0.5728, 0.5645, 0.5054, 0.5898, 0.6047, 0.6604, 0.7092, 0.7236, 0.6264, 0.6031, 0.628, 0.628, 0.6407, 0.6757, 0.5803, 0.4954, 0.5197, 0.5242, 0.4901, 0.5133, 0.5621, 0.4114, 0.4523, 0.5195, 0.5339, 0.5731, 0.5148, 0.5486, 0.5321, 0.588, 0.5557, 0.5368, 0.5769, 0.6038, 0.5001, 0.4866, 0.4407, 0.5592, 0.6333, 0.572, 0.5403, 0.5752, 0.5749, 0.6081, 0.5508, 0.5305, 0.5306, 0.5306, 0.4987, 0.4632, 0.4652, 0.413, 0.413, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2007758407948788162", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2026-01-04T10:18:01+00:00", "symbol": "HII", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$HII @ $349.7 - Profiting off the blockade from shipbuilding (5% allocation)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Nation-building portfolio for US invasion of Venezuela: long GDRZF, CVX, TRGP, AVAV, CF, HII, OI on oil assets, defense, ammonia disruption, and claims recovery.", "resolved_tickers": ["HII"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Maduro is now captured in NY, facing charges. \n\nThe first thing that came to everyone's mind is:\n\nHow do you profit off the US invasion of Venezuela and Regime Change?\n\nHere's how.\n\nThis is the \"Nation Building\" port:\n\n1. $GDRZF @$1.68 - $8B+ claims, $200m MC. (30%)\n\n2. $ASHM @ £175.10 - 3x NAV bonds recovery (20%)\n\n3. $CVX @ $155.90 - Most obvious oil play from locked up assets + $17T in oil (15% allocation / calls)\n\n4. $TRGP @ $186.77 - Diluent exporter to Venezuela (10% allocation / calls)\n\n5. $AVAV @ $256.19  - Maritime operations and post $1T funding for defense.  ( 10% allocation)\n\n6. $CF @ $80.13 - Disruption of Trinidad & Tobago ammonia exports.  (5% allocation)\n\n7. $HII @ $349.7 - Profiting off the blockade from shipbuilding (5% allocation)\n\n8. $OI @ $15.16 - Claims ~$700M, 35% cash injection relative to market cap (5% allocation)\n\nThis setup looks to be the optimal way to capitalize on the US invasion of Venezuela - from profiting off the blockade to the new $17T+ in oil resources now owned by the United States. \n\n\"Nation Building\" is the most underrated theme going into 2027. \n\nWatch what happens on Monday and the following months.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "US has now invaded Venezuela.\n\nEveryone is probably wondering the same thing:\n\nHow do you profit off the situation?\n\n1. Heavy Sour, Ammonia, and Nitrogen Fertilizers disruption ( $CF , $CVE).\n\nThese are Venezuela's biggest exports.\n\nMost people will buy generic oil ETFs or light https://t.co/WvWMxSoJA2", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.037773792858441846, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.037773792858441846, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.031157742689516543, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.031157742689516543, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006616050168925303, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006616050168925303, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011334802302418678, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011334802302418678, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005387618929329374, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005387618929329374, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005947183373089304, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005947183373089304, "ret_p1w": 0.09565856196103151, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09565856196103151, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08484020219043242, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08484020219043242, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010818359770599084, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010818359770599084, "ret_p1m": 0.18201829585488505, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.18201829585488505, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.17938634594976866, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.17938634594976866, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.002631949905116393, "bench_c_p1m": 0.002631949905116393, "ret_p3m": 0.09458390252360993, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09458390252360993, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.13835009246398144, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.13835009246398144, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.043766189940371514, "bench_c_p3m": -0.043766189940371514, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2034, -0.2162, -0.2249, -0.2114, -0.2003, -0.2195, -0.2258, -0.233, -0.2172, -0.2124, -0.2231, -0.2054, -0.1785, -0.1736, -0.1806, -0.1826, -0.126, -0.118, -0.1302, -0.1347, -0.16, -0.1634, -0.1521, -0.1272, -0.112, -0.1293, -0.1436, -0.14, -0.1516, -0.1532, -0.1516, -0.1733, -0.1632, -0.1511, -0.1379, -0.1391, -0.1391, -0.1372, -0.1563, -0.1548, -0.1493, -0.131, -0.162, -0.131, -0.1335, -0.111, -0.1011, -0.1006, -0.0944, -0.1009, -0.1161, -0.1124, -0.0738, -0.0274, -0.0247, -0.0221, -0.0221, -0.034, -0.0488, -0.0592, -0.0644, -0.0644, -0.0378, 0.0, 0.0113, -0.0193, 0.0412, 0.0647, 0.0957, 0.1326, 0.1428, 0.1524, 0.1717, 0.1717, 0.1433, 0.1629, 0.1669, 0.1516, 0.1378, 0.1632, 0.1703, 0.177, 0.1569, 0.1563, 0.182, 0.1366, 0.0162, 0.0943, 0.1165, 0.0987, 0.0804, 0.1191, 0.1521, 0.1521, 0.1495, 0.169, 0.2192, 0.2038, 0.205, 0.2318, 0.1984, 0.2188, 0.2268, 0.2522, 0.2152, 0.2061, 0.1623, 0.1842, 0.1855, 0.1522, 0.1417, 0.1441, 0.1473, 0.1497, 0.1672, 0.1812, 0.1547, 0.1259, 0.0944, 0.1097, 0.111, 0.0619, 0.0537, 0.0186, 0.0484, 0.0855, 0.0946, 0.0946, 0.1251, 0.1102, 0.1352, 0.1132, 0.0885, 0.0886, 0.0986, 0.0988, 0.0933, 0.0896, 0.0824, 0.0438, 0.0125, 0.0215, -0.0084, -0.0109, -0.0026, -0.0005, 0.0054, -0.0048, 0.0028, -0.1, -0.1181, -0.1314, -0.1271, -0.1231, -0.0794, -0.0776, -0.0701, -0.0998, -0.0911, -0.1042, -0.1116, -0.1236, -0.1151, -0.1151, -0.1142, -0.1236, -0.1144, -0.1458, -0.1458, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2007758407948788162", "ticker_idx": 6, "ts": "2026-01-04T10:18:01+00:00", "symbol": "OI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$OI @ $15.16 - Claims ~$700M, 35% cash injection relative to market cap (5% allocation)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Nation-building portfolio for US invasion of Venezuela: long GDRZF, CVX, TRGP, AVAV, CF, HII, OI on oil assets, defense, ammonia disruption, and claims recovery.", "resolved_tickers": ["OI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Packaging & Containers", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Maduro is now captured in NY, facing charges. \n\nThe first thing that came to everyone's mind is:\n\nHow do you profit off the US invasion of Venezuela and Regime Change?\n\nHere's how.\n\nThis is the \"Nation Building\" port:\n\n1. $GDRZF @$1.68 - $8B+ claims, $200m MC. (30%)\n\n2. $ASHM @ £175.10 - 3x NAV bonds recovery (20%)\n\n3. $CVX @ $155.90 - Most obvious oil play from locked up assets + $17T in oil (15% allocation / calls)\n\n4. $TRGP @ $186.77 - Diluent exporter to Venezuela (10% allocation / calls)\n\n5. $AVAV @ $256.19  - Maritime operations and post $1T funding for defense.  ( 10% allocation)\n\n6. $CF @ $80.13 - Disruption of Trinidad & Tobago ammonia exports.  (5% allocation)\n\n7. $HII @ $349.7 - Profiting off the blockade from shipbuilding (5% allocation)\n\n8. $OI @ $15.16 - Claims ~$700M, 35% cash injection relative to market cap (5% allocation)\n\nThis setup looks to be the optimal way to capitalize on the US invasion of Venezuela - from profiting off the blockade to the new $17T+ in oil resources now owned by the United States. \n\n\"Nation Building\" is the most underrated theme going into 2027. \n\nWatch what happens on Monday and the following months.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "US has now invaded Venezuela.\n\nEveryone is probably wondering the same thing:\n\nHow do you profit off the situation?\n\n1. Heavy Sour, Ammonia, and Nitrogen Fertilizers disruption ( $CF , $CVE).\n\nThese are Venezuela's biggest exports.\n\nMost people will buy generic oil ETFs or light https://t.co/WvWMxSoJA2", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.005901649350025573, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005901649350025573, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0007144008188997297, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0007144008188997297, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006616050168925303, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006616050168925303, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.039999977487032545, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.039999977487032545, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03405279411394324, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03405279411394324, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005947183373089304, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005947183373089304, "ret_p1w": 0.02032789636830823, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02032789636830823, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.009509536597709145, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.009509536597709145, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010818359770599084, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010818359770599084, "ret_p1m": 0.03213113253233857, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03213113253233857, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.029499182627222176, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.029499182627222176, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.002631949905116393, "bench_c_p1m": 0.002631949905116393, "ret_p3m": -0.32131145039542774, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.32131145039542774, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.27754526045505623, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.27754526045505623, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.043766189940371514, "bench_c_p3m": -0.043766189940371514, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1908, -0.2197, -0.2374, -0.2505, -0.238, -0.2282, -0.2085, -0.1987, -0.1987, -0.202, -0.1941, -0.179, -0.1738, -0.198, -0.2085, -0.24, -0.2485, -0.2597, -0.2289, -0.2262, -0.1167, -0.1344, -0.1554, -0.158, -0.143, -0.1534, -0.1285, -0.1351, -0.1593, -0.158, -0.1672, -0.1666, -0.1344, -0.1711, -0.139, -0.118, -0.118, -0.1161, -0.1246, -0.1272, -0.0846, -0.0898, -0.0544, -0.0734, -0.0715, -0.0308, -0.0184, 0.0131, 0.0236, -0.0066, -0.0059, -0.017, -0.0393, -0.0275, -0.0236, -0.0184, -0.0184, -0.0203, -0.0184, -0.0262, -0.0321, -0.0321, -0.0059, 0.0, 0.04, -0.0052, 0.0052, 0.0151, 0.0203, 0.0295, 0.0433, 0.0367, 0.0098, 0.0098, -0.0243, 0.0, 0.0098, 0.0243, 0.0177, -0.0026, -0.0144, 0.0013, 0.002, 0.023, 0.0321, 0.0866, 0.0774, 0.0905, 0.0767, 0.0748, 0.0216, -0.0111, -0.0302, -0.0302, -0.04, -0.017, -0.0059, 0.0085, -0.0334, -0.0275, -0.1554, -0.1397, -0.1213, -0.1193, -0.1777, -0.1856, -0.2151, -0.2538, -0.2387, -0.2354, -0.2557, -0.28, -0.3036, -0.3128, -0.2977, -0.318, -0.3213, -0.3534, -0.3174, -0.3043, -0.2905, -0.3102, -0.3279, -0.3318, -0.3108, -0.3043, -0.3213, -0.3213, -0.3259, -0.3246, -0.297, -0.2984, -0.2944, -0.2826, -0.2898, -0.3056, -0.3174, -0.2859, -0.2826, -0.3069, -0.3148, -0.2997, -0.2984, -0.3056, -0.3285, -0.4328, -0.4026, -0.3777, -0.4059, -0.4262, -0.4039, -0.4092, -0.3908, -0.4066, -0.4243, -0.4111, -0.4184, -0.4525, -0.4525, -0.4361, -0.4138, -0.4092, -0.421, -0.421, -0.4046, -0.3961, -0.4026, -0.4262, -0.4262, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1968037963083960547", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-16T19:43:09+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd just put that into TSM instead of Lyft since I double down on higher conviction stocks", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "High-conviction long TSM on multi-year demand; lukewarm on Lyft due to Waymo disruption risk, prefers other names.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I don't like chasing unless it's clear it will go up with insane demand over the next few years like $TSM. \n\n$Lyft is mainly US market and I see Waymo disrupting market share over time.\n\nEven at $20 it's still a good but I like other companies better. If i had another $1M I'd just put that into TSM instead of Lyft since I double down on higher conviction stocks.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What do you think of Lyft? It's starting to become profitable, new management seems better, and the price just broke above a big resistance level.\n\nUber is also around ATH, and if it keeps going up, Lyft might follow too.\nI think the only bad thing is that it already ran up a lot", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "triforcerytp", "ret_m1d": -0.005731500171311521, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005731500171311521, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0071101911283560915, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0071101911283560915, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0013786909570445705, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0013786909570445705, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0027857149381065316, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0027857149381065316, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00402815023065517, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00402815023065517, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012424352925486382, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012424352925486382, "ret_p1w": 0.07879884749387522, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07879884749387522, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07114922506475652, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07114922506475652, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007649622429118708, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007649622429118708, "ret_p1m": 0.16274910134639375, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.16274910134639375, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1521217190872357, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1521217190872357, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010627382259158047, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010627382259158047, "ret_p3m": 0.11740986356202887, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11740986356202887, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08157630251417536, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08157630251417536, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03583356104785351, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03583356104785351, "ret_p6m": 0.3566251420667781, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3566251420667781, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.32600529537072154, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.32600529537072154, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030619846696056552, "bench_c_p6m": 0.030619846696056552, "price_path": [-0.1879, -0.203, -0.2, -0.1628, -0.1527, -0.1479, -0.1305, -0.1385, -0.1453, -0.1114, -0.1068, -0.1068, -0.1283, -0.1332, -0.1181, -0.126, -0.1236, -0.1302, -0.0987, -0.0963, -0.0658, -0.0855, -0.0914, -0.1076, -0.0858, -0.081, -0.0658, -0.0766, -0.082, -0.076, -0.0809, -0.1053, -0.0909, -0.1157, -0.1199, -0.0771, -0.0801, -0.0791, -0.0707, -0.0816, -0.0833, -0.0913, -0.0817, -0.1148, -0.1304, -0.1353, -0.1137, -0.1038, -0.0919, -0.0898, -0.0936, -0.1218, -0.1218, -0.1312, -0.1198, -0.1053, -0.0741, -0.0597, -0.0455, -0.0093, -0.0151, -0.0135, -0.0057, 0.0, 0.0028, 0.0251, 0.0107, 0.0403, 0.0788, 0.0712, 0.0557, 0.0431, 0.0426, 0.0657, 0.1008, 0.0994, 0.115, 0.1539, 0.122, 0.162, 0.1443, 0.071, 0.1558, 0.1293, 0.1627, 0.1442, 0.126, 0.136, 0.1238, 0.1023, 0.1094, 0.1255, 0.1381, 0.1506, 0.1642, 0.1571, 0.1464, 0.1633, 0.1221, 0.1205, 0.1037, 0.0933, 0.1267, 0.1111, 0.109, 0.0769, 0.0869, 0.0761, 0.0605, 0.0775, 0.0589, 0.0496, 0.0862, 0.0863, 0.1065, 0.1065, 0.1124, 0.0978, 0.1146, 0.1274, 0.1178, 0.1246, 0.1519, 0.1578, 0.1835, 0.1664, 0.1174, 0.101, 0.0976, 0.0597, 0.0892, 0.1056, 0.1222, 0.1362, 0.1433, 0.1433, 0.1587, 0.1514, 0.1463, 0.1628, 0.1628, 0.2229, 0.233, 0.2528, 0.2193, 0.2168, 0.2383, 0.2694, 0.2673, 0.2516, 0.3072, 0.3101, 0.3101, 0.2518, 0.2478, 0.2526, 0.2813, 0.273, 0.2946, 0.3097, 0.2992, 0.2648, 0.3061, 0.2847, 0.2464, 0.2654, 0.3348, 0.3599, 0.3847, 0.4314, 0.4084, 0.4018, 0.4018, 0.3935, 0.3861, 0.3789, 0.4178, 0.4159, 0.476, 0.4835, 0.4418, 0.4332, 0.4123, 0.3512, 0.3676, 0.3539, 0.2967, 0.3342, 0.328, 0.3566]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1968037963083960547", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-16T19:43:09+00:00", "symbol": "LYFT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I see Waymo disrupting market share over time. Even at $20 it's still a good but I like other companies better", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "High-conviction long TSM on multi-year demand; lukewarm on Lyft due to Waymo disruption risk, prefers other names.", "resolved_tickers": ["LYFT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I don't like chasing unless it's clear it will go up with insane demand over the next few years like $TSM. \n\n$Lyft is mainly US market and I see Waymo disrupting market share over time.\n\nEven at $20 it's still a good but I like other companies better. If i had another $1M I'd just put that into TSM instead of Lyft since I double down on higher conviction stocks.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What do you think of Lyft? It's starting to become profitable, new management seems better, and the price just broke above a big resistance level.\n\nUber is also around ATH, and if it keeps going up, Lyft might follow too.\nI think the only bad thing is that it already ran up a lot", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "triforcerytp", "ret_m1d": 0.01238236718113428, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01238236718113428, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011003676224089709, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.011003676224089709, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0013786909570445705, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0013786909570445705, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1312530732260313, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.1312530732260313, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.13249550851857994, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.13249550851857994, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012424352925486382, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012424352925486382, "ret_p1w": 0.09361066565898701, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09361066565898701, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0859610432298683, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0859610432298683, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007649622429118708, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007649622429118708, "ret_p1m": -0.009410625509252202, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.009410625509252202, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02003800776841025, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02003800776841025, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010627382259158047, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010627382259158047, "ret_p3m": 0.008915319485611084, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.008915319485611084, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.02691824156224243, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.02691824156224243, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03583356104785351, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03583356104785351, "ret_p6m": -0.3407627504930151, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3407627504930151, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.37138259718907163, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.37138259718907163, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030619846696056552, "bench_c_p6m": 0.030619846696056552, "price_path": [-0.2724, -0.2803, -0.2595, -0.2145, -0.2293, -0.215, -0.2214, -0.2194, -0.1981, -0.2219, -0.2001, -0.2001, -0.2041, -0.1852, -0.2244, -0.2412, -0.2615, -0.261, -0.263, -0.2605, -0.2689, -0.2689, -0.2684, -0.264, -0.2704, -0.2878, -0.2917, -0.2987, -0.3046, -0.3056, -0.3036, -0.3254, -0.3026, -0.2813, -0.3071, -0.2962, -0.3358, -0.3333, -0.3125, -0.2779, -0.2759, -0.2164, -0.2065, -0.2288, -0.2288, -0.2169, -0.1575, -0.1555, -0.1679, -0.1951, -0.2008, -0.1966, -0.1966, -0.1679, -0.162, -0.1684, -0.1748, -0.1228, -0.0892, -0.0609, -0.0926, -0.0778, 0.0124, 0.0, 0.1313, 0.0877, 0.1184, 0.1209, 0.0936, 0.0926, 0.0684, 0.0832, 0.1357, 0.0901, 0.0807, 0.1199, 0.0892, 0.0768, 0.049, 0.048, -0.0233, -0.0466, -0.0099, -0.003, -0.0094, -0.0158, -0.0327, 0.001, 0.0223, 0.0035, 0.0188, 0.0139, 0.0218, -0.0079, -0.0084, -0.0218, 0.0134, 0.0376, -0.0381, -0.0054, 0.0525, 0.0916, 0.1748, 0.1976, 0.2169, 0.1788, 0.1461, 0.0688, 0.0748, 0.0505, -0.0213, -0.0203, -0.0154, -0.0277, -0.0015, -0.0015, 0.0416, 0.0619, 0.1015, 0.106, 0.1154, 0.1377, 0.1139, 0.0788, 0.0064, 0.0163, 0.0089, -0.053, -0.0495, -0.05, -0.0163, -0.0381, -0.0119, -0.0292, -0.0287, -0.0287, -0.0258, -0.0515, -0.0436, -0.0406, -0.0406, -0.0198, -0.0515, -0.0163, -0.0272, -0.0371, -0.0485, -0.0248, -0.0466, -0.0629, -0.0649, -0.0921, -0.0921, -0.0986, -0.0842, -0.0986, -0.1134, -0.1095, -0.1313, -0.1481, -0.1209, -0.1644, -0.1451, -0.1699, -0.1996, -0.2155, -0.1847, -0.1773, -0.1654, -0.3071, -0.3536, -0.3427, -0.3427, -0.3413, -0.321, -0.3115, -0.3091, -0.3418, -0.3299, -0.3363, -0.3016, -0.3145, -0.32, -0.3457, -0.3145, -0.3472, -0.3437, -0.3185, -0.3437, -0.3408]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2008882283592417631", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-07T12:43:54+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I've had my own thesis on InP substrates bottlenecks, so I'm personally more bearish on getting this to scale", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish on photonic ramp scaling due to InP substrate bottlenecks; LITE named as part of the affected industry.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@itsDanielWu That's fair, I see the entire industry moving to photonics as well with $LITE and others. \n\nBut in regards to photonic ramp, I've had my own thesis on InP substrates bottlenecks, so I'm personally more bearish on getting this to scale\n\nhttps://t.co/d6eDk7K204", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Feels like the bear case became louder post the OCS/TPUs-for-everyone hype just after CRDO and LITE reported. Anyway as a tourist I have no view on when mass adoption of optical scale up will actually happen. Adoption seems like it has been around the corner for a while now.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "itsDanielWu", "ret_m1d": 0.011555712911060612, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011555712911060612, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00832193249075086, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00832193249075086, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003233780420309751, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003233780420309751, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.11357156017776127, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.11357156017776127, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.1134700274957755, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.1134700274957755, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00010153268198576093, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00010153268198576093, "ret_p1w": -0.15592549634562725, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.15592549634562725, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15705655622257397, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15705655622257397, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0011310598769467273, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0011310598769467273, "ret_p1m": 0.28390350020025035, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.28390350020025035, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3012473945892207, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3012473945892207, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017343894388970327, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017343894388970327, "ret_p3m": 0.9656893191274247, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.9656893191274247, "alpha_spy_p3m": -1.0075270855220242, "alpha_c_p3m": -1.0075270855220242, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04183776639459935, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04183776639459935, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6192, -0.5913, -0.6009, -0.6015, -0.5845, -0.5806, -0.5902, -0.5852, -0.5977, -0.5711, -0.5436, -0.5067, -0.495, -0.4546, -0.4906, -0.487, -0.492, -0.5206, -0.4076, -0.3899, -0.3888, -0.3385, -0.3574, -0.354, -0.4226, -0.4091, -0.3839, -0.3702, -0.3155, -0.4063, -0.3494, -0.238, -0.2586, -0.2153, -0.2153, -0.1724, -0.1908, -0.2293, -0.2288, -0.1655, -0.1565, -0.1281, -0.0828, -0.0684, -0.0529, -0.1744, -0.1481, -0.1953, -0.1849, -0.1419, -0.0546, -0.0076, -0.0139, 0.0077, 0.0077, -0.0054, -0.0516, -0.0552, -0.0618, -0.0618, -0.0172, -0.0912, 0.0116, 0.0, -0.1136, -0.1055, -0.1349, -0.0803, -0.1559, -0.1263, -0.1747, -0.1747, -0.0918, -0.0775, -0.0977, -0.1367, -0.1538, -0.0566, -0.0201, -0.0291, -0.0026, 0.0777, 0.1075, 0.1849, 0.2839, 0.405, 0.469, 0.4282, 0.4613, 0.4851, 0.4323, 0.4323, 0.5283, 0.5126, 0.6179, 0.6997, 0.7174, 0.7519, 0.8412, 0.7232, 0.784, 0.9936, 0.7675, 0.7328, 0.6565, 0.4214, 0.6308, 0.7104, 0.7104, 0.5681, 0.5845, 0.5904, 0.6533, 0.7838, 0.9653, 0.7979, 0.8554, 1.0413, 0.9781, 0.7532, 0.7887, 0.6666, 0.7887, 0.9463, 1.1047, 1.1047, 0.9657, 1.0763, 1.2806, 1.2758, 1.2839, 1.2174, 1.1706, 1.0974, 1.2684, 1.2757, 1.2783, 1.1302, 1.2236, 1.1556, 1.244, 1.1881, 1.0143, 1.1847, 1.2967, 1.4179, 1.4847, 1.5315, 1.4035, 1.2719, 1.3004, 1.6804, 1.5259, 1.6226, 1.5499, 1.4707, 1.2525, 1.2656, 1.2095, 1.4549, 1.4102, 1.4102, 1.3183, 1.2967, 1.1905, 1.1761, 1.1761, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1993101236468695396", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-24T23:35:39+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If you want to go from 0 to 200B in a year, $NBIS is how you do it", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long NBIS as rare high-speed growth compounder to $200B; long CIFR as slower but solid 5-year compounder via defensible colo/balance sheet model.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "From what I've seen in the AI growth sector, Yes, $NBIS is incredibly, incredibly rare since it was Yandex before.\n\nFor context, that's basically Baidu/China | Google/US\nequivalent but for Russia and they spun off subsidiaries like Avride into Nebius. \n\nFor stuff like $CRWV and other companies, their acquisitions like Monolith AI were more to compliment their existing core business rather than growing independently at triple digits Y/Y. Then $1.7B for Weights and Bias (that is not growing too fast from what I'm floated numbers)\n\nAs for the other DC/miner companies, unfortunately Bitcoin isn't growing too fast either, but it's very defensible long term. So growth rate of $CIFR via their balance sheets for example will be a lot slower.\n\nBut longer term it's really solid to have as a shareholder and goes in line with their low downside risk colo model, slower slower revenue ramp model.\n\nIf you want to go from 0 to 200B in a year, $NBIS is how you do it. If you want to do that in 5 years time, $CIFR is where it's at.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Is $NBIS the only one with a portfolio, optionality in different areas, flywheel to invest more?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "OperationATM", "ret_m1d": -0.09401522574747101, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09401522574747101, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07951021084950338, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08419309478962045, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014505014897967627, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009822130957850561, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.032861852255905655, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.032861852255905655, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04226784369796155, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.044276829152403385, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009405991442055894, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01141497689649773, "ret_p1w": 0.08977148926027834, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08977148926027834, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07251488706167031, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07348978131197503, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01725660219860803, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016281707948303303, "ret_p1m": -0.020348234118967246, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.020348234118967246, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05214418065646209, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06246872564745665, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031795946537494846, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0421204915284894, "ret_p3m": 0.17094666837463257, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.17094666837463257, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.14437008191616507, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.14880038202328993, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0265765864584675, "bench_c_p3m": 0.022146286351342637, "ret_p6m": 1.1515777197442003, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.1515777197442003, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.0481310897708718, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.119846568058765, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10344662997332854, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03173115168543528, "price_path": [-0.2372, -0.2161, -0.2566, -0.2566, -0.2849, -0.2856, -0.2937, -0.2876, -0.3029, 0.0416, 0.0162, -0.0295, -0.0162, -0.0102, -0.0269, 0.0237, 0.0242, 0.0806, 0.16, 0.173, 0.2321, 0.1745, 0.1719, 0.1993, 0.2217, 0.258, 0.3696, 0.3926, 0.3595, 0.2807, 0.3275, 0.4433, 0.41, 0.474, 0.3945, 0.3692, 0.3388, 0.2344, 0.1861, 0.1347, 0.0731, 0.1552, 0.276, 0.3649, 0.3257, 0.3613, 0.3513, 0.4235, 0.3109, 0.2028, 0.2731, 0.1909, 0.2109, 0.1964, 0.1123, 0.0268, -0.0356, -0.091, -0.0644, -0.0148, 0.0345, -0.079, -0.094, 0.0, -0.0329, 0.0304, 0.0304, 0.0323, 0.0898, 0.0495, 0.0764, 0.1186, 0.0668, 0.0917, 0.0491, 0.0184, 0.0259, -0.0458, -0.1171, -0.1192, -0.179, -0.1503, -0.0266, 0.0145, -0.0203, -0.0084, -0.0084, -0.0469, -0.0638, -0.0732, -0.0892, -0.0892, -0.0212, 0.0101, 0.0908, 0.0469, 0.0588, 0.0656, 0.1679, 0.1472, 0.1097, 0.1304, 0.1831, 0.1831, 0.0804, 0.0758, 0.0539, 0.0283, -0.0048, 0.065, 0.0928, 0.0328, -0.073, -0.0407, -0.0212, -0.1035, -0.1962, -0.0631, 0.0107, -0.0012, -0.0358, -0.0236, 0.0665, 0.0665, 0.0612, 0.1077, 0.1709, 0.0655, 0.0948, 0.1162, 0.1547, 0.1412, -0.0077, -0.0097, -0.0555, 0.064, 0.0408, -0.028, 0.0331, 0.0493, 0.2187, 0.1756, 0.2291, 0.4129, 0.2658, 0.2901, 0.3223, 0.2799, 0.2421, 0.2504, 0.2523, 0.1531, 0.0971, 0.0039, 0.1291, 0.1094, 0.1841, 0.1841, 0.2246, 0.2775, 0.3602, 0.4835, 0.5775, 0.6818, 0.7621, 0.8147, 0.7991, 0.7099, 0.7319, 0.7035, 0.699, 0.7092, 0.6013, 0.5774, 0.4745, 0.5363, 0.5041, 0.6811, 0.9197, 0.9143, 1.1229, 1.0106, 0.9266, 1.025, 0.949, 1.2554, 1.4064, 1.3933, 1.1748, 1.1516]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1993101236468695396", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-24T23:35:39+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If you want to do that in 5 years time, $CIFR is where it's at", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long NBIS as rare high-speed growth compounder to $200B; long CIFR as slower but solid 5-year compounder via defensible colo/balance sheet model.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "From what I've seen in the AI growth sector, Yes, $NBIS is incredibly, incredibly rare since it was Yandex before.\n\nFor context, that's basically Baidu/China | Google/US\nequivalent but for Russia and they spun off subsidiaries like Avride into Nebius. \n\nFor stuff like $CRWV and other companies, their acquisitions like Monolith AI were more to compliment their existing core business rather than growing independently at triple digits Y/Y. Then $1.7B for Weights and Bias (that is not growing too fast from what I'm floated numbers)\n\nAs for the other DC/miner companies, unfortunately Bitcoin isn't growing too fast either, but it's very defensible long term. So growth rate of $CIFR via their balance sheets for example will be a lot slower.\n\nBut longer term it's really solid to have as a shareholder and goes in line with their low downside risk colo model, slower slower revenue ramp model.\n\nIf you want to go from 0 to 200B in a year, $NBIS is how you do it. If you want to do that in 5 years time, $CIFR is where it's at.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Is $NBIS the only one with a portfolio, optionality in different areas, flywheel to invest more?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "OperationATM", "ret_m1d": -0.1532016520767615, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1532016520767615, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.13869663717879388, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12992766659861865, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014505014897967627, "bench_c_m1d": -0.023273985478142856, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04847405252365866, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04847405252365866, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03906806108160277, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04579262804822348, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009405991442055894, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002681424475435179, "ret_p1w": 0.17833642207401756, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.17833642207401756, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.16107981987540954, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15459746234067873, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01725660219860803, "bench_c_p1w": 0.023738959733338838, "ret_p1m": -0.04787548060394131, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04787548060394131, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07967142714143616, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09303925055393514, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031795946537494846, "bench_c_p1m": 0.045163769949993826, "ret_p3m": -0.05445834491896451, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05445834491896451, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.081034931377432, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.058517406058265276, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0265765864584675, "bench_c_p3m": 0.004059061139300768, "ret_p6m": 0.12507482148996463, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.12507482148996463, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.021628191516636086, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.11705816968066651, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10344662997332854, "bench_c_p6m": 0.24213299117063114, "price_path": [-0.5817, -0.5799, -0.5428, -0.5428, -0.5021, -0.5147, -0.5572, -0.55, -0.538, -0.4482, -0.3866, -0.4034, -0.3507, -0.3507, -0.3112, -0.2591, -0.2908, -0.2651, -0.1646, -0.1532, -0.1538, -0.3022, -0.3136, -0.243, -0.2466, -0.246, -0.1735, -0.1203, -0.082, -0.0575, 0.0533, 0.0766, 0.0156, 0.2172, 0.2501, 0.2585, 0.1203, 0.1227, 0.1915, 0.0817, -0.0359, 0.0326, 0.2364, 0.2292, 0.1945, 0.1724, 0.1412, 0.1161, 0.3621, 0.3471, 0.4788, 0.2992, 0.2382, 0.1759, 0.1173, 0.0401, -0.1065, -0.1406, -0.1412, -0.1275, -0.1251, -0.1287, -0.1532, 0.0, 0.0485, 0.146, 0.146, 0.2178, 0.1783, 0.0557, 0.1149, 0.1867, 0.1538, 0.1658, 0.1706, 0.1059, 0.1299, 0.0203, -0.1179, -0.1029, -0.1388, -0.0934, -0.0299, -0.0221, -0.0479, -0.0293, -0.0293, -0.091, -0.0975, -0.1269, -0.1167, -0.1167, -0.0305, 0.0868, 0.0497, -0.0377, -0.0096, -0.0048, 0.058, 0.0922, 0.085, 0.0485, 0.1251, 0.1251, 0.0724, 0.0604, 0.0407, 0.0515, -0.0132, 0.1221, 0.1352, 0.0592, -0.0449, -0.0539, -0.0269, -0.1472, -0.24, -0.1185, 0.003, 0.0233, -0.0257, -0.0365, -0.0174, -0.0174, -0.064, -0.0772, -0.0545, -0.1233, -0.0892, 0.0245, -0.006, -0.0138, -0.0664, -0.0569, -0.1197, -0.0401, -0.0934, -0.1849, -0.1436, -0.1646, -0.1556, -0.1795, -0.1574, -0.094, -0.0969, -0.1221, -0.1239, -0.1616, -0.1089, -0.1095, -0.0497, -0.1412, -0.1774, -0.281, -0.2298, -0.2436, -0.2328, -0.2328, -0.2011, -0.1616, -0.0772, -0.0209, -0.0108, 0.0628, 0.1041, 0.0772, 0.0377, 0.1592, 0.1544, 0.0796, 0.1634, 0.1185, 0.0892, 0.0868, 0.0329, 0.0126, 0.0616, 0.0197, 0.0706, 0.3226, 0.3112, 0.2379, 0.2298, 0.2136, 0.2005, 0.2711, 0.3339, 0.2166, 0.1442, 0.1251]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972023325212934219", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-27T19:39:33+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS is #1 choice by a longshot. $17B MSFT deal was over 5 years so fastest revenue ramp, not including more deals. They own a ton of great companies like 30% Clickhouse, which Anthropic uses. Great balance sheet (eg. $4B+ raised $138+), no major interest like $CRWV. NBIS does full stack, more diversified businesses already, large gross margins. All-around such an incredible value at 26B.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Top pick NBIS on $17B MSFT deal, fastest revenue ramp, Clickhouse stake, strong balance sheet, full-stack diversification, and compelling valuation at $26B.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yeah, $NBIS is #1 choice by a longshot. $17B MSFT deal was over 5 years so fastest revenue ramp, not including more deals. \n\nThey own a ton of great companies like 30% Clickhouse, which Anthropic uses. Great balance sheet (eg. $4B+ raised $138+), no major interest like $CRWV. \n\nNBIS does full stack, more diversified businesses already, large gross margins. \n\nAll-around such an incredible value at 26B.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Is $NBIS your top choice?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cheffrey1970", "ret_m1d": -0.022863402690541768, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.022863402690541768, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.020060912274418974, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01965792073995065, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003205481950591116, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01859912356794835, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01859912356794835, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014832256808836375, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0201175336178111, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0015184100498627506, "ret_p1w": 0.13355108925491654, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.13355108925491654, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12160260787250388, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15075906719363552, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017207977938718977, "ret_p1m": 0.10533478934648022, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10533478934648022, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0701069826039109, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12195232126657751, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016617531920097295, "ret_p3m": -0.17319909050862348, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17319909050862348, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2165030751207767, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17254361511278626, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0006554753958372128, "ret_p6m": 0.042551282793175105, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.042551282793175105, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.052768289205117, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09910514292146178, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.05655386012828667, "price_path": [-0.5466, -0.5441, -0.5441, -0.566, -0.5727, -0.5822, -0.5788, -0.5981, -0.5287, -0.5143, -0.5163, -0.5129, -0.521, -0.5249, -0.5372, -0.5293, -0.5268, -0.5339, -0.5214, -0.5427, -0.5347, -0.5062, -0.5282, -0.5085, -0.4995, -0.5002, -0.4075, -0.376, -0.3627, -0.3165, -0.3592, -0.3789, -0.3502, -0.3419, -0.3904, -0.3879, -0.3996, -0.3742, -0.3647, -0.3606, -0.364, -0.3464, -0.3801, -0.3801, -0.4037, -0.4044, -0.4111, -0.406, -0.4188, -0.1316, -0.1527, -0.1908, -0.1797, -0.1747, -0.1886, -0.1464, -0.1461, -0.099, -0.0328, -0.022, 0.0273, -0.0207, -0.0229, 0.0, 0.0186, 0.0489, 0.142, 0.1611, 0.1336, 0.0679, 0.1069, 0.2034, 0.1756, 0.229, 0.1627, 0.1416, 0.1163, 0.0292, -0.0111, -0.0539, -0.1052, -0.0368, 0.0639, 0.138, 0.1053, 0.135, 0.1267, 0.1869, 0.093, 0.0029, 0.0615, -0.0071, 0.0096, -0.0024, -0.0726, -0.1439, -0.1959, -0.2421, -0.2199, -0.1786, -0.1375, -0.2321, -0.2446, -0.1662, -0.1936, -0.1409, -0.1409, -0.1393, -0.0914, -0.1249, -0.1025, -0.0673, -0.1105, -0.0897, -0.1253, -0.1509, -0.1446, -0.2044, -0.2638, -0.2656, -0.3155, -0.2915, -0.1884, -0.1541, -0.1832, -0.1732, -0.1732, -0.2053, -0.2194, -0.2273, -0.2406, -0.2406, -0.1839, -0.1578, -0.0905, -0.1271, -0.1172, -0.1115, -0.0262, -0.0435, -0.0748, -0.0575, -0.0135, -0.0135, -0.0992, -0.103, -0.1213, -0.1426, -0.1702, -0.112, -0.0888, -0.1389, -0.2271, -0.2001, -0.1839, -0.2525, -0.3298, -0.2188, -0.1573, -0.1672, -0.1961, -0.1859, -0.1108, -0.1108, -0.1152, -0.0764, -0.0237, -0.1116, -0.0872, -0.0693, -0.0372, -0.0484, -0.1727, -0.1743, -0.2125, -0.1129, -0.1322, -0.1895, -0.1386, -0.1251, 0.0161, -0.0198, 0.0248, 0.1781, 0.0554, 0.0757, 0.1025, 0.0671, 0.0357, 0.0426]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1981026296013771211", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-22T15:54:09+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "24B market cap for $NBIS... which is scaling quarterly revenue 1000%+ to 4-6B+ ARR in just 1 year... the 7% drop off no material changes feels like a gift", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS: 1000%+ revenue growth, 70%+ gross margins, $5B+ cash, hyperscaler tailwinds; 7% dip on no news is a buying opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I said this earlier but 24B market cap for $NBIS... which is scaling quarterly revenue 1000%+ to 4-6B+ ARR in just 1 year by powering $MSFT azure and other hyperscalers. While doing 70%+ gross margins, having $5B+ in cash, and billions in assets that go up over time in hyper-growth portfolio companies that power Anthropic, Meta, and other is laughable.\n\nWe also have the largest data center buildout in history for national security reasons, Nov/Dec seasonality, and 2 more rate cuts this year alone as tailwind.\n\nBut it's times like these where retail gets wiped out or paper-hands just looking at the price vs. fundamentals, and that's how institutions accumulate.  \n\nThat's why the 7% drop off no material changes feels like a gift, even though it's a short term hit to the numbers.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Nothing tests your convictions quite like seeing your stock drop 30% on no news!😭", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "genZinvest0r", "ret_m1d": 0.05739196790796086, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05739196790796086, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.052165891093566064, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04865795143168117, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005226076814394798, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008734016476279693, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07645508725955352, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07645508725955352, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07052519606905383, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07982761972858643, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005929891190499692, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0033725324690329073, "ret_p1w": 0.2685053233630823, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2685053233630823, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.23917013427122158, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2628844137812947, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.029335189091860725, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005620909581787625, "ret_p1m": -0.14175626614873638, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14175626614873638, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11889015789478707, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09272476616029002, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.022866108253949302, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04903149998844636, "ret_p3m": 0.10251470623389292, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10251470623389292, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06372503900472015, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10335486794227966, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.038789667229172764, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0008401617083867441, "ret_p6m": 0.6765361157285201, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6765361157285201, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.619849690724092, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.6423340376147957, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05668642500442811, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03420207811372444, "price_path": [-0.4791, -0.4651, -0.4889, -0.4799, -0.4481, -0.4727, -0.4507, -0.4406, -0.4414, -0.3378, -0.3026, -0.2878, -0.2362, -0.2838, -0.3058, -0.2738, -0.2644, -0.3187, -0.3159, -0.3289, -0.3005, -0.29, -0.2853, -0.2892, -0.2695, -0.3072, -0.3072, -0.3336, -0.3343, -0.3418, -0.3361, -0.3504, -0.0294, -0.053, -0.0956, -0.0832, -0.0777, -0.0932, -0.046, -0.0456, 0.007, 0.0809, 0.0931, 0.1481, 0.0945, 0.0921, 0.1176, 0.1384, 0.1723, 0.2763, 0.2977, 0.2669, 0.1935, 0.2371, 0.345, 0.3139, 0.3736, 0.2994, 0.2759, 0.2476, 0.1503, 0.1053, 0.0574, 0.0, 0.0765, 0.189, 0.2719, 0.2353, 0.2685, 0.2592, 0.3265, 0.2216, 0.1209, 0.1864, 0.1097, 0.1284, 0.1149, 0.0365, -0.0432, -0.1013, -0.1529, -0.1282, -0.0819, -0.036, -0.1418, -0.1557, -0.0681, -0.0988, -0.0398, -0.0398, -0.038, 0.0155, -0.022, 0.003, 0.0424, -0.0059, 0.0173, -0.0224, -0.051, -0.044, -0.1108, -0.1772, -0.1792, -0.2349, -0.2082, -0.0929, -0.0547, -0.0871, -0.0759, -0.0759, -0.1118, -0.1276, -0.1364, -0.1512, -0.1512, -0.0879, -0.0587, 0.0164, -0.0244, -0.0134, -0.007, 0.0883, 0.0691, 0.0341, 0.0534, 0.1025, 0.1025, 0.0068, 0.0025, -0.0179, -0.0418, -0.0726, -0.0076, 0.0184, -0.0376, -0.1362, -0.1061, -0.0879, -0.1646, -0.251, -0.127, -0.0582, -0.0693, -0.1015, -0.0901, -0.0062, -0.0062, -0.0112, 0.0322, 0.0912, -0.0071, 0.0202, 0.0402, 0.076, 0.0635, -0.0753, -0.0772, -0.1199, -0.0085, -0.0301, -0.0942, -0.0373, -0.0222, 0.1356, 0.0955, 0.1453, 0.3167, 0.1796, 0.2022, 0.2322, 0.1927, 0.1575, 0.1652, 0.167, 0.0745, 0.0223, -0.0645, 0.0521, 0.0338, 0.1034, 0.1034, 0.1411, 0.1904, 0.2675, 0.3824, 0.47, 0.5672, 0.6421, 0.691, 0.6765]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1982935411732382134", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-27T22:20:17+00:00", "symbol": "LTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Fundamentally I think the asset is undervalued because of its high utility in payments still vs. low market cap", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long LTC: fundamentally undervalued given high payment utility relative to low market cap.", "resolved_tickers": ["LTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "lol $LTC supposed to be a shorter play, Litecoin ETF gets approved 95% chance, then just sell into approval acceptance and possibly new treasury plays. \n\nThen government gets shut down for a month so ETFs get delayed. \n\nYeah not the best luck. Fundamentally I think the asset is undervalued because of its high utility in payments still vs. low market cap.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @soulbiri1 i swear $LTC has the worst luck ever 😂", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mattia030339", "ret_m1d": -0.02984225796387241, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02984225796387241, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.018182109020108972, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.02671500858602116, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02671500858602116, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.029371007542612237, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.12056803469784327, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12056803469784327, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11779531511256969, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.1418505270760606, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1418505270760606, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1269360851780309, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.3144872831077712, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3144872831077712, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3229162503192178, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.44103793356950005, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.44103793356950005, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4743825000316413, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1122, 0.0689, 0.0731, 0.2196, 0.2102, 0.2004, 0.2349, 0.2464, 0.2104, 0.3128, 0.318, 0.2206, 0.1979, 0.1844, 0.1319, 0.1675, 0.1536, 0.2356, 0.1013, 0.1421, 0.1284, 0.1447, 0.106, 0.0922, 0.1237, 0.1366, 0.1179, 0.128, 0.1342, 0.1264, 0.183, 0.1659, 0.1889, 0.1449, 0.1575, 0.1776, 0.19, 0.1484, 0.0648, 0.0682, 0.0628, 0.028, 0.053, 0.0751, 0.0757, 0.1584, 0.2039, 0.2128, 0.1907, 0.1781, 0.1938, 0.2672, -0.0277, 0.0019, -0.0203, -0.04, -0.0764, -0.0932, -0.053, -0.0673, -0.075, -0.0537, -0.0298, 0.0, -0.0267, -0.0083, -0.0603, -0.0391, -0.1206, -0.1398, -0.0989, -0.1246, 0.0242, 0.0485, 0.0029, -0.0185, -0.026, -0.0188, -0.0819, -0.0375, -0.0655, -0.1219, -0.1688, -0.1399, -0.1419, -0.1259, -0.1283, -0.1516, -0.2193, -0.1667, -0.1347, -0.1591, -0.1901, -0.1557, -0.1336, -0.1497, -0.1653, -0.1756, -0.2192, -0.2045, -0.236, -0.2525, -0.2201, -0.2252, -0.2259, -0.2378, -0.2385, -0.2269, -0.2123, -0.2075, -0.2274, -0.1966, -0.1767, -0.159, -0.1553, -0.1786, -0.1825, -0.1812, -0.2347, -0.2139, -0.2278, -0.2743, -0.2427, -0.2884, -0.3252, -0.3115, -0.3145, -0.3153, -0.2983, -0.296, -0.3018, -0.3348, -0.3424, -0.3963, -0.4036, -0.4084, -0.49, -0.446, -0.4526, -0.4634, -0.4744, -0.4657, -0.4458, -0.4461, -0.4577, -0.4638, -0.4701, -0.4444, -0.4842, -0.4852, -0.4297, -0.4403, -0.4513, -0.4512, -0.4488, -0.4285, -0.4418, -0.4585, -0.4594, -0.4581, -0.4492, -0.4508, -0.4435, -0.4091, -0.4154, -0.436, -0.4415, -0.4347, -0.4399, -0.4326, -0.4302, -0.4509, -0.4598, -0.4647, -0.4575, -0.4586, -0.4741, -0.4646, -0.4612, -0.4425, -0.4569, -0.4516, -0.4469, -0.4501, -0.4535, -0.4452, -0.4328, -0.4317, -0.4462, -0.441]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1968792403462021515", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-18T21:41:02+00:00", "symbol": "AEYE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if the deal is real then it could grow to a $3-7B market cap, which is 10x from here", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bought $50k+; if deal materializes, sees 10x upside to $3-7B market cap from current levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["AEYE"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "AudioEye Inc US-listed equity ticker AEYE", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@soulbiri1 I ended up buying $50k+ worth. Worth the risk reward I guess, if the deal is real then it could grow to a $3-7B market cap, which is 10x from here.   \n\nIf not, losing 20% isn't really bad\n\nRIP mods removed my drawing from WSB, I spent a solid 5 mins on that https://t.co/tcIDLFugQG", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Bought it on vibes. I like the ticker lol https://t.co/V7MJ9ifSNq", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": -0.035950092957006796, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.035950092957006796, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03129937802506855, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03129937802506855, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004650714931938249, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004650714931938249, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.029347070348208715, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.029347070348208715, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03429994512354073, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03429994512354073, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004952874775332017, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004952874775332017, "ret_p1w": 0.002934700037944049, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.002934700037944049, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.006536917524996522, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.006536917524996522, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0036022174870524726, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0036022174870524726, "ret_p1m": -0.046221578074195024, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.046221578074195024, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.052219232547954464, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.052219232547954464, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0059976544737594395, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0059976544737594395, "ret_p3m": -0.11445344141735458, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11445344141735458, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.14237622679761408, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.14237622679761408, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.027922785380259496, "bench_c_p3m": 0.027922785380259496, "ret_p6m": -0.5803375097457748, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5803375097457748, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5861186054883416, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5861186054883416, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0057810957425668, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0057810957425668, "price_path": [-0.1475, -0.1225, -0.1108, -0.1313, -0.1563, -0.1453, -0.1365, -0.1335, -0.1056, -0.1056, -0.1467, -0.0954, -0.1049, -0.1123, -0.1401, -0.1497, -0.1636, -0.1409, -0.1012, -0.0976, -0.0961, -0.1079, -0.0704, -0.0389, 0.0646, -0.022, -0.0741, -0.055, -0.0602, -0.1284, -0.0712, -0.0895, -0.1181, -0.1445, -0.259, -0.2472, -0.2245, -0.19, -0.1798, -0.2018, -0.1746, -0.1709, -0.1482, -0.1321, -0.0756, -0.1218, -0.1064, -0.099, -0.0858, -0.0572, -0.0572, -0.0939, -0.1174, -0.066, -0.055, -0.0352, -0.0147, -0.0536, -0.0103, -0.0198, -0.0249, -0.0205, -0.036, 0.0, -0.0293, 0.0389, 0.022, -0.011, 0.0029, 0.0426, 0.0404, 0.0169, 0.0396, 0.055, 0.0565, 0.0638, 0.0572, 0.0697, 0.0719, 0.0066, 0.0345, 0.0345, 0.036, -0.0249, -0.0462, 0.0051, 0.0103, -0.0088, 0.0301, 0.0352, 0.047, 0.0624, 0.0396, 0.0888, 0.1277, 0.1189, 0.0448, 0.0587, -0.011, -0.0213, -0.0484, -0.0924, -0.0741, -0.1343, -0.1211, -0.1453, -0.1313, -0.1438, -0.1687, -0.1533, -0.1453, -0.1101, -0.1005, -0.1005, -0.0932, -0.1115, -0.1005, -0.0756, -0.0448, -0.0382, -0.0528, -0.0536, -0.0624, -0.0756, -0.0836, -0.1196, -0.1145, -0.1482, -0.1519, -0.1922, -0.2091, -0.2084, -0.2106, -0.2106, -0.2157, -0.2421, -0.2472, -0.2671, -0.2671, -0.27, -0.2693, -0.2832, -0.2927, -0.3133, -0.3045, -0.3067, -0.2671, -0.2986, -0.2913, -0.3081, -0.3081, -0.3375, -0.3478, -0.3228, -0.3037, -0.3059, -0.3045, -0.3118, -0.3118, -0.3089, -0.3353, -0.3822, -0.391, -0.4446, -0.4277, -0.4079, -0.4497, -0.4864, -0.5128, -0.4894, -0.4894, -0.5114, -0.5084, -0.5084, -0.5033, -0.5187, -0.4945, -0.4835, -0.4835, -0.4996, -0.4835, -0.4607, -0.4373, -0.4226, -0.5517, -0.5708, -0.5576, -0.5686, -0.595, -0.5803]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1966178036828741883", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-11T16:32:28+00:00", "symbol": "HOOD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm just guessing it's worth the risk/reward that it pulls a PLTR and goes to a overvalued 400B market cap", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish HOOD: expects it to re-rate to ~$400B market cap on S&P passive inflows and disruptive banking launch.", "resolved_tickers": ["HOOD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Lovefist17 No price target. I'm just guessing it's worth the risk/reward that it pulls a PLTR and goes to a overvalued 400B market cap. \n\nPassive inflows from S&amp;P is just stupid with large caps. \n\nAlso $HOOD is launching banking which is extremely disruptive + good catalyst", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What's the target for hood?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Lovefist17", "ret_m1d": -0.0024628527857948335, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0024628527857948335, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005778827800458242, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01363932858618333, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008241680586253075, "bench_c_m1d": -0.016102181371978164, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.023099798052680476, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.023099798052680476, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.022765185109533626, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01884288392531286, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0003346129431468503, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004256914127367617, "ret_p1w": 0.026836549147425615, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.026836549147425615, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.019796105627563287, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02498567032115062, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007040443519862327, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0018508788262749931, "ret_p1m": 0.1801274455530122, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1801274455530122, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.18438447097404886, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.21155980498803584, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.004257025421036675, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03143235943502365, "ret_p3m": 0.15252659629611198, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15252659629611198, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11100829030057802, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.16316152239742598, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.041518305995533966, "bench_c_p3m": -0.010634926101314002, "ret_p6m": -0.3453078867270435, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3453078867270435, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3736010724350741, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2876325590954124, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.028293185708030633, "bench_c_p6m": -0.05767532763163108, "price_path": [-0.3482, -0.3635, -0.3346, -0.3346, -0.3333, -0.3516, -0.3035, -0.2972, -0.2822, -0.2949, -0.2048, -0.2159, -0.1679, -0.1983, -0.1983, -0.2063, -0.2249, -0.1971, -0.1618, -0.1648, -0.1511, -0.1546, -0.1231, -0.1045, -0.068, -0.1139, -0.135, -0.1331, -0.1344, -0.1096, -0.0932, -0.1225, -0.0989, -0.1248, -0.1516, -0.0966, -0.1044, -0.1028, -0.0554, -0.0265, -0.0351, -0.0311, -0.0775, -0.0598, -0.0304, -0.0232, -0.087, -0.1054, -0.0972, -0.0716, -0.0833, -0.076, -0.1259, -0.1194, -0.1165, -0.1165, -0.1436, -0.1438, -0.126, -0.1401, -0.004, 0.0064, -0.0025, 0.0, -0.0231, -0.0248, -0.0031, 0.0076, 0.0268, 0.0597, 0.0606, 0.0718, 0.0769, 0.0416, 0.0342, 0.1611, 0.216, 0.1817, 0.2374, 0.2626, 0.2251, 0.2314, 0.2813, 0.2948, 0.1801, 0.1947, 0.1461, 0.1393, 0.1163, 0.1033, 0.1533, 0.1197, 0.0804, 0.1408, 0.1872, 0.2387, 0.242, 0.2297, 0.1726, 0.2465, 0.2491, 0.1618, 0.21, 0.0792, 0.1071, 0.154, 0.1204, 0.1293, 0.0321, 0.0403, -0.0151, -0.0293, 0.0035, -0.098, -0.0887, -0.0236, -0.0185, 0.0887, 0.0887, 0.0912, 0.0466, 0.0696, 0.1349, 0.1642, 0.1206, 0.1586, 0.1525, 0.1521, 0.0478, 0.0149, -0.0211, 0.014, -0.0166, -0.005, 0.0306, 0.0392, 0.0211, 0.0228, 0.0228, 0.0032, -0.0027, -0.0195, -0.0395, -0.0395, -0.0216, 0.0466, 0.0335, -0.0066, -0.02, -0.0211, -0.002, 0.0211, 0.0163, -0.0628, -0.0765, -0.0765, -0.1017, -0.1005, -0.0977, -0.0914, -0.0913, -0.1062, -0.1219, -0.1402, -0.1552, -0.2364, -0.2606, -0.3153, -0.3828, -0.2966, -0.2649, -0.273, -0.3378, -0.396, -0.3548, -0.3548, -0.3593, -0.3613, -0.3575, -0.3536, -0.3904, -0.3767, -0.3416, -0.3253, -0.3558, -0.331, -0.354, -0.3018, -0.3158, -0.3453]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1995278581480747022", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-30T23:47:38+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have a negative view of ETH as a token. There's a difference of Ethereum winning as a network (it did), and $ETH token appreciating in price. Economic hooks like collateral, etc. are extremely weak compared to mechanical upside from usage that is now gone.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish ETH: L2+blob migration broke the usage→gas→price thesis; remaining economic hooks (collateral, RWAs) too weak to substitute.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The original and simple investment thesis for $ETH was: more network usage -> more gas demand -> higher ETH price .\n\nAs you mentioned this is no longer the case since value shows up differently after L2s + blobs/EIP-4844. Ecosystem usage ↑↑↑, L1 gas + burn ↓.  \n\nAnd this is where I have a negative view of ETH as a token/ $BMNR as a holding vehicle for investment. There's a difference of Ethereum winning as a network (it did), and $ETH token appreciating in price.    \n\nEconomic hooks like collateral, etc. are extremely weak compared to mechanical upside from usage that is now gone.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @VitalikButerin @fundstrat L2s didn’t ‘kill’ $ETH, they changed where the value shows up. DA fees, staking / restaking, RWAs and stablecoins all lean on $ETH as security + collateral. The burn chart is just lagging the shift from pure gas token to core settlement asset.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "EarningsMindset", "ret_m1d": 0.08289279096154756, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08289279096154756, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07830634609922482, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.07062049558248629, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07062049558248629, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06876819590840721, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": 0.1160668216622518, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1160668216622518, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11112756640799382, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": 0.0611486529490981, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0611486529490981, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04825654615673103, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.27619434688681554, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.27619434688681554, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2924626055013444, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.2604577118557324, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2604577118557324, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3701110914364024, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.5893, 0.5352, 0.5381, 0.5385, 0.5388, 0.5532, 0.5932, 0.6839, 0.6166, 0.6083, 0.6402, 0.6391, 0.5966, 0.5009, 0.4876, 0.4833, 0.3815, 0.4413, 0.5061, 0.4806, 0.5539, 0.6027, 0.6123, 0.6741, 0.5896, 0.6169, 0.5603, 0.3724, 0.5161, 0.4733, 0.424, 0.3909, 0.3687, 0.4216, 0.3845, 0.36, 0.3771, 0.4051, 0.4714, 0.4221, 0.394, 0.3586, 0.3739, 0.2865, 0.1758, 0.2232, 0.1829, 0.2268, 0.2744, 0.2197, 0.2189, 0.1545, 0.1084, 0.0801, 0.1153, 0.0796, 0.0113, -0.0123, 0.0545, 0.0563, 0.0813, 0.0765, 0.0829, 0.0, 0.0706, 0.1398, 0.1193, 0.0801, 0.1161, 0.186, 0.1876, 0.156, 0.1014, 0.0586, 0.0586, 0.0111, 0.0096, 0.0635, 0.0735, 0.0583, 0.0519, 0.0369, 0.0448, 0.048, 0.0611, 0.0596, 0.0715, 0.1158, 0.1521, 0.177, 0.1309, 0.1086, 0.101, 0.1043, 0.1864, 0.198, 0.1846, 0.1769, 0.138, 0.0484, 0.0638, 0.0534, 0.0547, 0.0451, 0.0793, 0.0737, 0.0064, -0.0349, -0.1628, -0.2045, -0.2345, -0.3494, -0.2631, -0.2488, -0.2788, -0.307, -0.3047, -0.2684, -0.2865, -0.2886, -0.3022, -0.3043, -0.2968, -0.3374, -0.3383, -0.2663, -0.2762, -0.3105, -0.276, -0.2919, -0.2406, -0.2602, -0.2934, -0.2883, -0.2725, -0.2673, -0.2596, -0.2527, -0.1604, -0.1722, -0.213, -0.2367, -0.2334, -0.2314, -0.2302, -0.2258, -0.2645, -0.2889, -0.2774, -0.2484, -0.2362, -0.2655, -0.2667, -0.2473, -0.1994, -0.2178, -0.2182, -0.1982, -0.1534, -0.1703, -0.1574, -0.1613, -0.1354, -0.1732, -0.1686, -0.1515, -0.1674, -0.173, -0.1775, -0.1824, -0.1953, -0.1943, -0.1804, -0.1621, -0.1568, -0.1605, -0.1818, -0.1761, -0.1646, -0.1877, -0.1938, -0.1854, -0.206, -0.2399, -0.2465, -0.2404, -0.2388, -0.2627, -0.246, -0.2605]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1991268914693808488", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-19T22:14:39+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NVDA earnings just point toward accelerated demand", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "NVDA earnings signal accelerated demand; bullish read on the print as a durable forward catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@soulbiri1 Yeah stuff like $CIFR is up 17% after hours.\n\nDoesn’t mean the price will hold market open, but market just needs an excuse for things to rally sometimes.\n\nFundamentals are already in-tact for $NBIS to $CIFR but $NVDA earnings just point toward accelerated demand. https://t.co/oZqWb7jrL7", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $NBIS already 102 AH", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": -0.027664622911003023, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.027664622911003023, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02381628964977056, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02381628964977056, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0038483332612324617, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0038483332612324617, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.031524819976513685, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.031524819976513685, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01628257451671411, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01628257451671411, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015242245459799575, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015242245459799575, "ret_p1w": -0.03356213938746888, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03356213938746888, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05929297578925741, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05929297578925741, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.025730836401788526, "bench_c_p1w": 0.025730836401788526, "ret_p1m": -0.06632165625289166, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06632165625289166, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08720805589687708, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08720805589687708, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02088639964398542, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02088639964398542, "ret_p3m": -0.019836067008917158, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.019836067008917158, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.051730924871256634, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.051730924871256634, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031894857862339476, "bench_c_p3m": 0.031894857862339476, "ret_p6m": 0.26402468313796446, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.26402468313796446, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.12850402892779456, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.12850402892779456, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1355206542101699, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1355206542101699, "price_path": [-0.0458, -0.036, -0.0255, -0.0264, -0.0341, -0.0662, -0.0662, -0.0844, -0.0853, -0.0797, -0.1046, -0.0977, -0.0845, -0.0493, -0.0501, -0.0466, -0.047, -0.0624, -0.087, -0.0551, -0.0528, -0.0156, -0.0434, -0.0512, -0.0473, -0.0447, -0.025, 0.0003, 0.0039, 0.0127, 0.0059, -0.0053, -0.0079, 0.0139, 0.0324, -0.018, 0.0097, -0.0348, -0.0359, -0.0253, -0.0177, -0.0208, -0.0287, -0.0335, -0.0234, -0.0014, 0.0266, 0.0778, 0.11, 0.0878, 0.0856, 0.1092, 0.0652, 0.0466, 0.0084, 0.0087, 0.0672, 0.0356, 0.039, 0.0018, 0.0196, 0.0004, -0.0277, 0.0, -0.0315, -0.041, -0.0213, -0.0466, -0.0336, -0.0336, -0.051, -0.0354, -0.0271, -0.0372, -0.0168, -0.022, -0.0051, -0.0083, -0.0146, -0.0299, -0.0616, -0.0548, -0.0471, -0.0835, -0.0663, -0.0296, -0.0151, 0.0145, 0.0113, 0.0113, 0.0216, 0.0092, 0.0055, -0.0001, -0.0001, 0.0125, 0.0086, 0.0039, 0.0139, -0.0079, -0.0088, -0.0084, -0.0038, -0.0181, 0.0029, -0.0015, -0.0015, -0.0453, -0.0171, -0.009, 0.0062, -0.0002, 0.0108, 0.0269, 0.0322, 0.0248, -0.0048, -0.0331, -0.0661, -0.0784, -0.0059, 0.0189, 0.0109, 0.019, 0.0023, -0.0198, -0.0198, -0.0083, 0.0079, 0.0075, 0.0177, 0.027, 0.034, 0.0485, -0.0087, -0.05, -0.0216, -0.0346, -0.0186, -0.017, -0.0466, -0.0207, -0.0093, -0.0025, -0.018, -0.0335, -0.0176, -0.0245, -0.0327, -0.0426, -0.074, -0.0582, -0.0606, -0.0419, -0.0818, -0.1018, -0.1144, -0.0649, -0.0576, -0.0488, -0.0488, -0.0475, -0.045, -0.0237, -0.0139, 0.0114, 0.0151, 0.0537, 0.0663, 0.0635, 0.0814, 0.0834, 0.0717, 0.0858, 0.0705, 0.1167, 0.1615, 0.143, 0.122, 0.0701, 0.0641, 0.0642, 0.0536, 0.1144, 0.1341, 0.1539, 0.1766, 0.1838, 0.2109, 0.264]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1989128001435652159", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-14T00:27:26+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS is one of the direct beneficiaries of hyperscaler capex in this case", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS as a direct beneficiary of hyperscaler capex, backed by multi-year visible contracts from hyperscalers and governments/enterprises.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "For $NBIS, it was increase in existing ARR of $1.1B for q4 + $MSFT $19.4B deal / 5 years + $META $3B deal / 5 years.\n\n$4.6 + $1.1B = $5.7B ARR, the $3.3B extra projection likely comes from growth from new enterprise clients like Cursor and new deals from their 2.5GW contracted capacity. There are multi-year visible contracts from hyperscalers and revenue from governments/enterprises like Shopify, not OpenAI promises. \n\nOf course I only projected $4.2B revenue recognized since it takes time to ramp up execution with majority realized q4, which they projected to be ~$2.1B.\n\n$NBIS is one of the direct beneficiaries of hyperscaler capex in this case.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What's the timeframe on those forward ARR projections - are these actual contracts or targets?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "tonitrades_", "ret_m1d": 0.06092885183275798, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06092885183275798, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.060765056247821025, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05553947374933221, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0053893780834257665, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02920759414251739, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02920759414251739, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03852402757176199, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03055500763417085, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0013474134916534597, "ret_p1w": -0.003351673165289948, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.003351673165289948, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.015846667575385776, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.00847158234454437, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005119909179254423, "ret_p1m": -0.028728770643726698, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.028728770643726698, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.041825383272466876, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07579595992511301, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04706718928138631, "ret_p3m": 0.060689485746484806, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.060689485746484806, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.027836732130763542, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.008700540385840005, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0519889453606448, "ret_p6m": 1.227675413742134, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.227675413742134, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.1211470771516163, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.1828159796751123, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04485943406702164, "price_path": [-0.1957, -0.1924, -0.2078, -0.1743, -0.1618, -0.1563, -0.1609, -0.1377, -0.1822, -0.1822, -0.2133, -0.2141, -0.223, -0.2163, -0.2332, 0.1458, 0.1179, 0.0676, 0.0822, 0.0888, 0.0705, 0.1262, 0.1266, 0.1888, 0.276, 0.2904, 0.3554, 0.2921, 0.2892, 0.3194, 0.3439, 0.3839, 0.5067, 0.532, 0.4956, 0.4089, 0.4604, 0.5877, 0.5511, 0.6215, 0.534, 0.5062, 0.4728, 0.3579, 0.3048, 0.2483, 0.1805, 0.2708, 0.4036, 0.5014, 0.4583, 0.4975, 0.4865, 0.566, 0.4421, 0.3232, 0.4005, 0.31, 0.3321, 0.3161, 0.2236, 0.1295, 0.0609, 0.0, 0.0292, 0.0838, 0.138, 0.0132, -0.0034, 0.1001, 0.0639, 0.1335, 0.1335, 0.1356, 0.1988, 0.1545, 0.1841, 0.2305, 0.1736, 0.201, 0.1541, 0.1203, 0.1286, 0.0497, -0.0287, -0.031, -0.0968, -0.0652, 0.0709, 0.116, 0.0777, 0.0909, 0.0909, 0.0485, 0.0299, 0.0195, 0.002, 0.002, 0.0767, 0.1112, 0.1999, 0.1517, 0.1647, 0.1723, 0.2848, 0.262, 0.2207, 0.2435, 0.3015, 0.3015, 0.1885, 0.1835, 0.1593, 0.1312, 0.0948, 0.1715, 0.2022, 0.1361, 0.0198, 0.0553, 0.0767, -0.0138, -0.1158, 0.0306, 0.1118, 0.0988, 0.0607, 0.0741, 0.1732, 0.1732, 0.1673, 0.2186, 0.2881, 0.1721, 0.2043, 0.2279, 0.2703, 0.2554, 0.0916, 0.0894, 0.039, 0.1705, 0.145, 0.0693, 0.1365, 0.1543, 0.3406, 0.2933, 0.352, 0.5543, 0.3925, 0.4192, 0.4546, 0.4079, 0.3664, 0.3755, 0.3777, 0.2685, 0.2068, 0.1044, 0.242, 0.2204, 0.3026, 0.3026, 0.3471, 0.4053, 0.4963, 0.6319, 0.7353, 0.8501, 0.9385, 0.9963, 0.9792, 0.881, 0.9052, 0.874, 0.869, 0.8803, 0.7616, 0.7352, 0.6221, 0.6901, 0.6547, 0.8493, 1.1118, 1.1058, 1.3353, 1.2118, 1.1193, 1.2277]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2011882980541976885", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-15T19:27:36+00:00", "symbol": "SSYS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this is just my personal thought regarding getting the most asymmetry on the robotics ramp", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long SSYS as a high-asymmetry play on humanoid robotics scale-up; revenue could ramp exponentially if Atlas/Optimus achieve scale.", "resolved_tickers": ["SSYS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I don't know. Don't have one. \n\n$SSYS basically the frame/skeleton of humanoid robots and revenue ramp depends on robotics scale up. \n\nIf Atlas from Boston Dynamics or Optimus or others achieves scale, then revenue increases exponentially.  \n\nNo robotics player achieved anything at scale yet, hence why revenue's been lower so far. \n\nBut this is just my personal thought regarding getting the most asymmetry on the robotics ramp.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit If you don't mind me asking, what is your PT for this one?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "UmidKD", "ret_m1d": -0.12822717605788292, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.12822717605788292, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12551135741777264, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12300232063521799, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002715818640110279, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005224855422664931, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.037005190138613475, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.037005190138613475, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.036167316147718065, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.038105071254404654, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0008378739908954103, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0010998811157911792, "ret_p1w": -0.010327012628305932, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.010327012628305932, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.005617695755979812, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.006339628491570326, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004709316872326119, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0039873841367356055, "ret_p1m": -0.0559380055879406, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0559380055879406, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04078430694496582, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.015376948584543193, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.015153698642974778, "bench_c_p1m": -0.040561057003397405, "ret_p3m": -0.27280551699776756, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.27280551699776756, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2787523269850628, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2911193988271371, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.005946809987295243, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01831388182936955, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0706, 0.0628, -0.0275, 0.0138, 0.0318, 0.025, -0.0077, -0.0448, -0.0723, -0.0861, -0.0886, -0.1506, -0.1523, -0.1859, -0.1824, -0.1738, -0.1807, -0.179, -0.1971, -0.2298, -0.2659, -0.2685, -0.278, -0.2943, -0.2651, -0.2616, -0.2651, -0.2565, -0.2565, -0.2435, -0.2573, -0.247, -0.2272, -0.2108, -0.2212, -0.216, -0.21, -0.2005, -0.1876, -0.1928, -0.2169, -0.2194, -0.2246, -0.2194, -0.2298, -0.204, -0.2134, -0.2186, -0.2186, -0.2298, -0.2418, -0.2496, -0.253, -0.253, -0.2246, -0.1618, -0.111, -0.1325, -0.1041, -0.1119, -0.1033, -0.1403, -0.1282, 0.0, -0.037, -0.037, -0.062, -0.0422, -0.0103, -0.0482, -0.0577, -0.0361, -0.0491, -0.0327, -0.0792, -0.043, -0.0585, -0.0895, -0.1205, -0.0318, -0.0224, -0.0327, -0.0293, -0.0577, -0.0559, -0.0559, -0.0818, -0.0723, -0.074, -0.1007, -0.1282, -0.1429, -0.1523, -0.1489, -0.1713, -0.1678, -0.1876, -0.1566, -0.2169, -0.2461, -0.2608, -0.2866, -0.2857, -0.2952, -0.3227, -0.3107, -0.3055, -0.3287, -0.3313, -0.346, -0.3279, -0.3081, -0.3046, -0.3193, -0.3425, -0.3614, -0.3279, -0.3184, -0.3141, -0.3141, -0.309, -0.309, -0.2866, -0.2831, -0.2814, -0.2651, -0.2728, -0.2668, -0.2573, -0.2435, -0.241, -0.2539, -0.2478, -0.2702, -0.2582, -0.259, -0.2625, -0.2711, -0.2367, -0.2332, -0.2478, -0.2289, -0.204, -0.2943, -0.2668, -0.2651, -0.2608, -0.2633, -0.2453, -0.2633, -0.2917, -0.3038, -0.2806, -0.2659, -0.2238, -0.2238, -0.1687, -0.1472, -0.1377, -0.0929, -0.0929, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2010024809208643887", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-10T16:23:53+00:00", "symbol": "VLN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If there was no -$82M burn modeled, Valens might be trading above $10+ today with 10-12x EV Multiple (on the low end still) given to robotics and AI segments.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Argues VLN is undervalued vs fair value of $10+ on 10-12x EV/revenue given robotics/AI pivot with 69-70% gross margins and 40%+ growth.", "resolved_tickers": ["VLN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "-$82M burn made a extremely, extremely big material difference. \n\nI'll give you some history:\n\n$VLN last year was a low margin, automotive chipmaker (low 40's gross margin) and single supplier dependent on Mercedes, with this segment declining -37.9%. \n\nThere's been a lot of material changes since then, and they were able to pivot their core IP to a new chipset for broad applications from machine vision in robotics to medical verticals, with $NVDA like 69-70% gross margins. \n\nThat vertical now makes up 75%+ of their revenue (growing 40%+ Y/Y), while their automotive segment decreased 37%+.\n\nIf there was no -$82M burn modeled, Valens might be trading above $10+ today with 10-12x EV Multiple (on the low end still) given to robotics and AI segments.  \n\nBut feel free to come up with your own valuation metric based on the financials above.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit The report with the -82M inventory error was published in november though, it was pretty flat since then. So i dont think this had a relevant impact on pricing", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "CosmicSenate", "ret_m1d": 0.07359310844371292, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07359310844371292, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07516109979748642, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07727918438675141, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0015679913537735013, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0036860759430384915, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012987000923330161, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012987000923330161, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014986476029200446, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01076001298232776, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019994751058702853, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0022269879410024007, "ret_p1w": -0.1385281130603636, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1385281130603636, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1334932848998024, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.16343470932083937, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.005034828160561222, "bench_c_p1w": 0.024906596260475755, "ret_p1m": -0.32900433302555665, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.32900433302555665, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3246312130634772, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.36509711439897574, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0043731199620794525, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03609278137341909, "ret_p3m": -0.419913391094622, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.419913391094622, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4006470825098737, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5214082805760099, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.019266308584748315, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10149488948138785, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2035, -0.2338, -0.2597, -0.2208, -0.2338, -0.2511, -0.2381, -0.2294, -0.2424, -0.2381, -0.2597, -0.2641, -0.2078, -0.2554, -0.3117, -0.2814, -0.3247, -0.316, -0.3074, -0.2208, -0.2641, -0.2554, -0.2468, -0.3247, -0.342, -0.3723, -0.3853, -0.3506, -0.3377, -0.3333, -0.3203, -0.3203, -0.3074, -0.3203, -0.316, -0.2771, -0.2727, -0.2727, -0.2641, -0.2641, -0.2727, -0.2944, -0.3117, -0.3333, -0.3377, -0.3593, -0.3593, -0.355, -0.368, -0.3939, -0.4026, -0.4026, -0.3766, -0.3896, -0.4026, -0.3853, -0.3853, -0.3247, -0.3203, -0.3117, -0.329, -0.3247, 0.0736, 0.0, 0.013, -0.0952, -0.0952, -0.1385, -0.1385, -0.1602, -0.1515, -0.0909, -0.1515, -0.2035, -0.2035, -0.2338, -0.2381, -0.2641, -0.2771, -0.3074, -0.3333, -0.381, -0.3333, -0.342, -0.329, -0.3333, -0.3506, -0.342, -0.342, -0.368, -0.355, -0.355, -0.3463, -0.3593, -0.3377, -0.3333, -0.3074, -0.3593, -0.3593, -0.3766, -0.3766, -0.3939, -0.4156, -0.4156, -0.4026, -0.381, -0.4156, -0.4242, -0.4242, -0.4199, -0.4589, -0.4459, -0.4719, -0.4545, -0.4589, -0.4545, -0.4719, -0.4892, -0.5195, -0.5108, -0.4935, -0.4848, -0.4848, -0.4848, -0.4892, -0.4329, -0.4199, -0.4242, -0.4156, -0.4026, -0.3636, -0.329, -0.342, -0.3636, -0.3506, -0.303, -0.2857, -0.2251, -0.303, -0.3463, -0.3463, -0.0606, 0.013, -0.026, 0.0476, 0.0823, 0.0433, 0.2078, 0.2338, 0.1688, 0.2771, 0.4589, 0.3203, 0.2208, 0.1515, 0.2554, 0.3247, 0.3939, 0.3939, 0.4113, 0.3636, 0.5152, 0.5281, 0.5281, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1985175534133993567", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-03T02:41:44+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Extremely strong buy on recovery once there's time over the weekend for people to digest what actually happened.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Full-port MINT basket for Nov–Dec 2025: long META on post-earnings overreaction, long IBIT on BTC staying power, long NBIS on highest asymmetric upside, long TSM as center of AI trade.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "There’s only Four stocks:\n\n 🍬 MINT\n\nThat have ABSURDLY HIGH, asymmetrical return.\n\nMeaning Low Capital Risk. High Upside Return.\n\nThis is only for Nov + Dec 2025.\n\nHere it is... MINT\n\nAn explanation of why to full port MINT for end of year 2025:\n\nM = $META \nI = $IBIT\nN = $NBIS\nT = $TSM\n\nWith these four holy growth companies in your portfolio, you can make your breath smell better so you can pull Sydney Sweeney:\n\nMag7. Crypto. AI Data Center. Semiconductor.\n\n$META - Meta\n___________\nStupid sell-off.\n\nRevenue Beat. EPS Beat. Strong guidance.\n\nIt looks extremely bad on paper when you look at\nRevenue $51.24B (+26.25% Y/Y), Net income $2.71B (-82.73% Y/Y).\n\n🟢 Revenue: $51.24B vs. est. $49.41B\n\nWithout one-off tax → \n🟢 EPS: $7.25 vs. est. $6.67\n\nWith one-off tax →\n🔴 EPS: $1.05 vs. est. $6.67\n\nMy guess was the initial sell-off was algorithmically driven, then caused by mechanical flows. Many high-frequency trading (HFT) and news-parsing systems react to headline EPS numbers pulled directly from data feeds (Bloomberg, Reuters, etc.).\n\nIf the reported GAAP EPS ($1.05) is printed alongside a consensus of $6.67, the system flags it as a massive miss. Obviously this is speculative, but many models aren't programmed to normalize for one-time tax charges (which is new) and won’t know to look at adjusted EPS ($7.25), which actually beat.\n\nNow news are claiming the sell-off was due to AI capex surprise. If we go with this, -15%+ on “AI capex spending increasing” is just pure narratives and means absolutely jack since $MSFT, $GOOGL, $AMZN, $TSLA, and every single Mag7 is increasing on capex.\n\n$META doing the same and selling off doesn’t make sense, unless people believe it’s just going into a black hole with no ROI (which markets disagree since AI is basically running $SPY).\n\nExtremely strong buy on recovery once there’s time over the weekend for people to digest what actually happened. Misreads + stupid narratives can cause short-term overreactions (1–2 sessions), often reversed.\n\n$IBIT - Bitcoin\n___________\n\nIt’s Bitcoin.And sitting at $110k.\n\nBitcoin is here to stay with US government support, and with all the ongoing currency inflation + flow of money going to newer generation, there’s no better hedge against inflation than BTC.\n\nPolymarket still prices Bitcoin 40% to $130k in 2 months’ time, even if it moves up a few percent you can have upside on CCs and upside on the underlying asset.\n\n$NBIS - Nebius\n___________\nCore business valuation: $31–36.5B\n\nSum-of-parts (cash, assets, portfolio): ~$10.6B (slashed 40% = ~$6.3B)\n\nBase case valuation: ~$39B → high upside even with zero growth\n\nCore business on track for ~$5B ARR (FY26–27), 60–70% gross margins, and 30% EBITDA target.\n\nHitting $8–12B ARR (via one more hyperscaler deal + SMB expansion) could justify ~$100B valuation.\n\nNo toxic debt, high GPU utilization, full-stack architecture → higher operating leverage.\n\nYou can look at the bullet point comparison that I quoted so you can make your own judgement on $NBIS vs $IREN for example.\n\nHowever, I’ll always maintain $NBIS has the highest asymmetrical return over anything including $IREN to $CIFR due to existing hyperscaler deals, enterprise clients (Shopify, Accenture), Government Clients, 1GW capacity, high gross margins from full-stack, and many others.\n\nThat’s not saying there’s not high upside from $WULF from Fluidstack + Google deals, and others from capacity.\n\nThe downside risk on Nebius is the lowest. And it has really, really high upside.\n\n$TSM\n______________\nIt’s the CENTER. OF. THE. AI. TRADE.\n\nThey’ve already guided INCREASING MARGINS - which is astronomical.\n\nRevenue: $33.1B vs. $31.5B est.\nEarnings per Share: $2.92 vs. $2.59 est.\nGuidance: $32.2B – $33.4B vs. $32.0B est.\n\nThey’ve beat revenue guidance, increasing margins, and it’s just astronomical how much money they’re printing.\n\nIt was trading at $305–310 pre-earnings, now back at $300.\n\nIt’s a $1T+ company that grew 30%+ Y/Y with their margins — what the actual.\n\nI said this about the money printer $GOOGL back at $145 and $HOOD back at $20. They print money.\n\nThere's no need to debate $ALAB vs $CRDO, $IREN vs $NBIS, $AMD vs $NVDA. \n\n$TSM the center of the whole AI buildout, so it’s just a waiting game.\n\n_\n\nThere is it $MINT.  \n\nEnjoy a teaser of the song, kinda a banger. 🎶", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Added 6 figures in Jan-Feb $META calls.\n\nSame thing happened last year April and it took 2-6 days for full recovery.\n\nEarnings beat, fundamentals in tact. Same story about capex spend.\n\nMight be 2 day flush so cost averaging but this selloff is a huge opportunity. https://t.co/S3CwYsdaU4", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.016684632697255397, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016684632697255397, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.018557894255465168, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005944237284952525, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010740395412302872, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0162927162989287, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0162927162989287, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004439176356481167, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00942592052354052, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006866795775388179, "ret_p1w": -0.00933025629108264, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.00933025629108264, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.006549737528599442, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.006601167682431797, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0027290886086508426, "ret_p1m": 0.014724475485859312, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.014724475485859312, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.017373217385107997, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.000286574656039873, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014437900829819439, "ret_p3m": 0.15869613402467087, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15869613402467087, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1400366379835909, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1006997563605021, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05799637766416876, "ret_p6m": 0.054496224449217534, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.054496224449217534, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.007078651236480438, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.028919164368235828, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "bench_c_p6m": 0.025577060080981706, "price_path": [0.2097, 0.1938, 0.2055, 0.2002, 0.238, 0.2224, 0.2256, 0.2305, 0.2025, 0.1776, 0.1717, 0.1582, 0.1828, 0.1805, 0.1817, 0.1712, 0.177, 0.1576, 0.1576, 0.152, 0.155, 0.1732, 0.1791, 0.1789, 0.1999, 0.1784, 0.1767, 0.184, 0.1983, 0.2207, 0.2156, 0.2227, 0.2198, 0.1999, 0.1846, 0.1928, 0.1744, 0.1663, 0.1657, 0.1516, 0.1249, 0.1401, 0.1142, 0.1222, 0.1182, 0.1257, 0.1502, 0.106, 0.1223, 0.1112, 0.1252, 0.1166, 0.1242, 0.1481, 0.1498, 0.1501, 0.151, 0.1578, 0.1774, 0.1783, 0.1787, 0.0451, 0.0167, 0.0, -0.0163, -0.0028, -0.0294, -0.0251, -0.0093, -0.0167, -0.045, -0.0436, -0.0443, -0.056, -0.0628, -0.0743, -0.0761, -0.0682, -0.0387, -0.0023, -0.0064, -0.0064, 0.0161, 0.005, 0.0147, 0.003, 0.0374, 0.056, 0.0456, 0.0302, 0.0195, 0.0235, 0.0102, 0.0162, 0.0313, 0.0193, 0.0428, 0.0339, 0.0382, 0.0435, 0.0476, 0.0476, 0.041, 0.0337, 0.0451, 0.0359, 0.0359, 0.0207, 0.0339, 0.0368, 0.018, 0.0139, 0.0249, 0.0075, -0.0096, -0.034, -0.0257, -0.0266, -0.0266, -0.0519, -0.038, 0.0164, 0.0339, 0.0552, 0.0562, 0.0495, 0.1587, 0.1245, 0.1086, 0.0855, 0.0499, 0.0518, 0.0381, 0.0628, 0.0526, 0.0494, 0.0198, 0.004, 0.004, 0.0033, 0.0095, 0.0119, 0.029, 0.0001, 0.0033, 0.0259, 0.0311, 0.0172, 0.0257, 0.0281, 0.0479, 0.0367, 0.012, 0.016, 0.0265, 0.0277, 0.0016, -0.0368, -0.0144, -0.022, -0.0329, -0.047, -0.0675, -0.0512, -0.0687, -0.0656, -0.14, -0.1742, -0.1575, -0.1013, -0.0902, -0.0977, -0.0977, -0.0999, -0.0967, -0.0381, -0.013, -0.0107, -0.0033, 0.0406, 0.0549, 0.0632, 0.0815, 0.0538, 0.0506, 0.0598, 0.0353, 0.0603, 0.0659, 0.0545]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1985175534133993567", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-03T02:41:44+00:00", "symbol": "IBIT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin is here to stay with US government support, and with all the ongoing currency inflation + flow of money going to newer generation, there's no better hedge against inflation than BTC.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Full-port MINT basket for Nov–Dec 2025: long META on post-earnings overreaction, long IBIT on BTC staying power, long NBIS on highest asymmetric upside, long TSM as center of AI trade.", "resolved_tickers": ["IBIT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "There’s only Four stocks:\n\n 🍬 MINT\n\nThat have ABSURDLY HIGH, asymmetrical return.\n\nMeaning Low Capital Risk. High Upside Return.\n\nThis is only for Nov + Dec 2025.\n\nHere it is... MINT\n\nAn explanation of why to full port MINT for end of year 2025:\n\nM = $META \nI = $IBIT\nN = $NBIS\nT = $TSM\n\nWith these four holy growth companies in your portfolio, you can make your breath smell better so you can pull Sydney Sweeney:\n\nMag7. Crypto. AI Data Center. Semiconductor.\n\n$META - Meta\n___________\nStupid sell-off.\n\nRevenue Beat. EPS Beat. Strong guidance.\n\nIt looks extremely bad on paper when you look at\nRevenue $51.24B (+26.25% Y/Y), Net income $2.71B (-82.73% Y/Y).\n\n🟢 Revenue: $51.24B vs. est. $49.41B\n\nWithout one-off tax → \n🟢 EPS: $7.25 vs. est. $6.67\n\nWith one-off tax →\n🔴 EPS: $1.05 vs. est. $6.67\n\nMy guess was the initial sell-off was algorithmically driven, then caused by mechanical flows. Many high-frequency trading (HFT) and news-parsing systems react to headline EPS numbers pulled directly from data feeds (Bloomberg, Reuters, etc.).\n\nIf the reported GAAP EPS ($1.05) is printed alongside a consensus of $6.67, the system flags it as a massive miss. Obviously this is speculative, but many models aren't programmed to normalize for one-time tax charges (which is new) and won’t know to look at adjusted EPS ($7.25), which actually beat.\n\nNow news are claiming the sell-off was due to AI capex surprise. If we go with this, -15%+ on “AI capex spending increasing” is just pure narratives and means absolutely jack since $MSFT, $GOOGL, $AMZN, $TSLA, and every single Mag7 is increasing on capex.\n\n$META doing the same and selling off doesn’t make sense, unless people believe it’s just going into a black hole with no ROI (which markets disagree since AI is basically running $SPY).\n\nExtremely strong buy on recovery once there’s time over the weekend for people to digest what actually happened. Misreads + stupid narratives can cause short-term overreactions (1–2 sessions), often reversed.\n\n$IBIT - Bitcoin\n___________\n\nIt’s Bitcoin.And sitting at $110k.\n\nBitcoin is here to stay with US government support, and with all the ongoing currency inflation + flow of money going to newer generation, there’s no better hedge against inflation than BTC.\n\nPolymarket still prices Bitcoin 40% to $130k in 2 months’ time, even if it moves up a few percent you can have upside on CCs and upside on the underlying asset.\n\n$NBIS - Nebius\n___________\nCore business valuation: $31–36.5B\n\nSum-of-parts (cash, assets, portfolio): ~$10.6B (slashed 40% = ~$6.3B)\n\nBase case valuation: ~$39B → high upside even with zero growth\n\nCore business on track for ~$5B ARR (FY26–27), 60–70% gross margins, and 30% EBITDA target.\n\nHitting $8–12B ARR (via one more hyperscaler deal + SMB expansion) could justify ~$100B valuation.\n\nNo toxic debt, high GPU utilization, full-stack architecture → higher operating leverage.\n\nYou can look at the bullet point comparison that I quoted so you can make your own judgement on $NBIS vs $IREN for example.\n\nHowever, I’ll always maintain $NBIS has the highest asymmetrical return over anything including $IREN to $CIFR due to existing hyperscaler deals, enterprise clients (Shopify, Accenture), Government Clients, 1GW capacity, high gross margins from full-stack, and many others.\n\nThat’s not saying there’s not high upside from $WULF from Fluidstack + Google deals, and others from capacity.\n\nThe downside risk on Nebius is the lowest. And it has really, really high upside.\n\n$TSM\n______________\nIt’s the CENTER. OF. THE. AI. TRADE.\n\nThey’ve already guided INCREASING MARGINS - which is astronomical.\n\nRevenue: $33.1B vs. $31.5B est.\nEarnings per Share: $2.92 vs. $2.59 est.\nGuidance: $32.2B – $33.4B vs. $32.0B est.\n\nThey’ve beat revenue guidance, increasing margins, and it’s just astronomical how much money they’re printing.\n\nIt was trading at $305–310 pre-earnings, now back at $300.\n\nIt’s a $1T+ company that grew 30%+ Y/Y with their margins — what the actual.\n\nI said this about the money printer $GOOGL back at $145 and $HOOD back at $20. They print money.\n\nThere's no need to debate $ALAB vs $CRDO, $IREN vs $NBIS, $AMD vs $NVDA. \n\n$TSM the center of the whole AI buildout, so it’s just a waiting game.\n\n_\n\nThere is it $MINT.  \n\nEnjoy a teaser of the song, kinda a banger. 🎶", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Added 6 figures in Jan-Feb $META calls.\n\nSame thing happened last year April and it took 2-6 days for full recovery.\n\nEarnings beat, fundamentals in tact. Same story about capex spend.\n\nMight be 2 day flush so cost averaging but this selloff is a huge opportunity. https://t.co/S3CwYsdaU4", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.029241706483712493, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.029241706483712493, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.031114968041922264, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.031114968041922264, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05534443320139126, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05534443320139126, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04349089325894373, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04349089325894373, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "bench_c_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "ret_p1w": -0.005617052031135716, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.005617052031135716, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.002836533268652519, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.002836533268652519, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "ret_p1m": -0.14637371202759641, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14637371202759641, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14372497012834773, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14372497012834773, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "ret_p3m": -0.21361309377059234, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21361309377059234, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23227258981167231, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23227258981167231, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "ret_p6m": -0.2851478385860575, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2851478385860575, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3325654117987946, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3325654117987946, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "bench_c_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "price_path": [0.0823, 0.1041, 0.0925, 0.1175, 0.1226, 0.1538, 0.1074, 0.0976, 0.0912, 0.0605, 0.0722, 0.0522, 0.0945, 0.0388, 0.0425, 0.0515, 0.0504, 0.015, 0.015, 0.0403, 0.0535, 0.0301, 0.0477, 0.0524, 0.0444, 0.0661, 0.0743, 0.0966, 0.0821, 0.0965, 0.0849, 0.1028, 0.08, 0.0515, 0.0476, 0.0643, 0.0259, 0.0233, 0.0734, 0.0738, 0.1026, 0.1361, 0.1533, 0.1778, 0.1421, 0.1574, 0.1356, 0.0937, 0.0872, 0.0558, 0.0436, 0.0149, -0.001, 0.0396, 0.0489, 0.0112, 0.0335, 0.038, 0.0785, 0.0654, 0.0367, -0.0021, 0.0292, 0.0, -0.0553, -0.0266, -0.054, -0.0273, -0.0056, -0.036, -0.0486, -0.0816, -0.1166, -0.1393, -0.13, -0.1619, -0.1911, -0.2075, -0.1645, -0.1812, -0.1569, -0.1569, -0.1484, -0.1987, -0.1464, -0.1287, -0.1325, -0.1626, -0.1489, -0.1269, -0.1328, -0.1393, -0.1541, -0.1961, -0.1788, -0.1953, -0.2077, -0.1755, -0.1725, -0.1797, -0.1829, -0.1829, -0.1804, -0.1842, -0.1768, -0.1797, -0.1797, -0.1584, -0.1168, -0.1335, -0.1485, -0.1489, -0.1548, -0.1431, -0.115, -0.0841, -0.1079, -0.1039, -0.1039, -0.1614, -0.1556, -0.1629, -0.1624, -0.1797, -0.1636, -0.1655, -0.2136, -0.2154, -0.2695, -0.2847, -0.3132, -0.4036, -0.3445, -0.3374, -0.3562, -0.3674, -0.3879, -0.3562, -0.3562, -0.3658, -0.3798, -0.3711, -0.3653, -0.3962, -0.3965, -0.3519, -0.3679, -0.3856, -0.3525, -0.3606, -0.3154, -0.3327, -0.3623, -0.3535, -0.344, -0.338, -0.34, -0.3331, -0.3071, -0.3017, -0.3349, -0.3421, -0.343, -0.3383, -0.3511, -0.3364, -0.3587, -0.3821, -0.3775, -0.3653, -0.3616, -0.3727, -0.3727, -0.3471, -0.354, -0.3322, -0.3241, -0.3134, -0.3129, -0.304, -0.2969, -0.2941, -0.2741, -0.2855, -0.2977, -0.2607, -0.2723, -0.2728, -0.2804, -0.2851]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1985175534133993567", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-11-03T02:41:44+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The downside risk on Nebius is the lowest. And it has really, really high upside.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Full-port MINT basket for Nov–Dec 2025: long META on post-earnings overreaction, long IBIT on BTC staying power, long NBIS on highest asymmetric upside, long TSM as center of AI trade.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "There’s only Four stocks:\n\n 🍬 MINT\n\nThat have ABSURDLY HIGH, asymmetrical return.\n\nMeaning Low Capital Risk. High Upside Return.\n\nThis is only for Nov + Dec 2025.\n\nHere it is... MINT\n\nAn explanation of why to full port MINT for end of year 2025:\n\nM = $META \nI = $IBIT\nN = $NBIS\nT = $TSM\n\nWith these four holy growth companies in your portfolio, you can make your breath smell better so you can pull Sydney Sweeney:\n\nMag7. Crypto. AI Data Center. Semiconductor.\n\n$META - Meta\n___________\nStupid sell-off.\n\nRevenue Beat. EPS Beat. Strong guidance.\n\nIt looks extremely bad on paper when you look at\nRevenue $51.24B (+26.25% Y/Y), Net income $2.71B (-82.73% Y/Y).\n\n🟢 Revenue: $51.24B vs. est. $49.41B\n\nWithout one-off tax → \n🟢 EPS: $7.25 vs. est. $6.67\n\nWith one-off tax →\n🔴 EPS: $1.05 vs. est. $6.67\n\nMy guess was the initial sell-off was algorithmically driven, then caused by mechanical flows. Many high-frequency trading (HFT) and news-parsing systems react to headline EPS numbers pulled directly from data feeds (Bloomberg, Reuters, etc.).\n\nIf the reported GAAP EPS ($1.05) is printed alongside a consensus of $6.67, the system flags it as a massive miss. Obviously this is speculative, but many models aren't programmed to normalize for one-time tax charges (which is new) and won’t know to look at adjusted EPS ($7.25), which actually beat.\n\nNow news are claiming the sell-off was due to AI capex surprise. If we go with this, -15%+ on “AI capex spending increasing” is just pure narratives and means absolutely jack since $MSFT, $GOOGL, $AMZN, $TSLA, and every single Mag7 is increasing on capex.\n\n$META doing the same and selling off doesn’t make sense, unless people believe it’s just going into a black hole with no ROI (which markets disagree since AI is basically running $SPY).\n\nExtremely strong buy on recovery once there’s time over the weekend for people to digest what actually happened. Misreads + stupid narratives can cause short-term overreactions (1–2 sessions), often reversed.\n\n$IBIT - Bitcoin\n___________\n\nIt’s Bitcoin.And sitting at $110k.\n\nBitcoin is here to stay with US government support, and with all the ongoing currency inflation + flow of money going to newer generation, there’s no better hedge against inflation than BTC.\n\nPolymarket still prices Bitcoin 40% to $130k in 2 months’ time, even if it moves up a few percent you can have upside on CCs and upside on the underlying asset.\n\n$NBIS - Nebius\n___________\nCore business valuation: $31–36.5B\n\nSum-of-parts (cash, assets, portfolio): ~$10.6B (slashed 40% = ~$6.3B)\n\nBase case valuation: ~$39B → high upside even with zero growth\n\nCore business on track for ~$5B ARR (FY26–27), 60–70% gross margins, and 30% EBITDA target.\n\nHitting $8–12B ARR (via one more hyperscaler deal + SMB expansion) could justify ~$100B valuation.\n\nNo toxic debt, high GPU utilization, full-stack architecture → higher operating leverage.\n\nYou can look at the bullet point comparison that I quoted so you can make your own judgement on $NBIS vs $IREN for example.\n\nHowever, I’ll always maintain $NBIS has the highest asymmetrical return over anything including $IREN to $CIFR due to existing hyperscaler deals, enterprise clients (Shopify, Accenture), Government Clients, 1GW capacity, high gross margins from full-stack, and many others.\n\nThat’s not saying there’s not high upside from $WULF from Fluidstack + Google deals, and others from capacity.\n\nThe downside risk on Nebius is the lowest. And it has really, really high upside.\n\n$TSM\n______________\nIt’s the CENTER. OF. THE. AI. TRADE.\n\nThey’ve already guided INCREASING MARGINS - which is astronomical.\n\nRevenue: $33.1B vs. $31.5B est.\nEarnings per Share: $2.92 vs. $2.59 est.\nGuidance: $32.2B – $33.4B vs. $32.0B est.\n\nThey’ve beat revenue guidance, increasing margins, and it’s just astronomical how much money they’re printing.\n\nIt was trading at $305–310 pre-earnings, now back at $300.\n\nIt’s a $1T+ company that grew 30%+ Y/Y with their margins — what the actual.\n\nI said this about the money printer $GOOGL back at $145 and $HOOD back at $20. They print money.\n\nThere's no need to debate $ALAB vs $CRDO, $IREN vs $NBIS, $AMD vs $NVDA. \n\n$TSM the center of the whole AI buildout, so it’s just a waiting game.\n\n_\n\nThere is it $MINT.  \n\nEnjoy a teaser of the song, kinda a banger. 🎶", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Added 6 figures in Jan-Feb $META calls.\n\nSame thing happened last year April and it took 2-6 days for full recovery.\n\nEarnings beat, fundamentals in tact. Same story about capex spend.\n\nMight be 2 day flush so cost averaging but this selloff is a huge opportunity. https://t.co/S3CwYsdaU4", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.08591355523068556, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08591355523068556, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08778681678889533, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07517315981838268, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010740395412302872, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08242716198685718, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08242716198685718, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07057362204440965, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.075560366211469, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006866795775388179, "ret_p1w": -0.08732467971995872, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08732467971995872, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08454416095747552, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08459559111130788, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0027290886086508426, "ret_p1m": -0.19938577263277246, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.19938577263277246, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19673703073352378, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2138236734625919, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014437900829819439, "ret_p3m": -0.21216898231591608, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21216898231591608, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23082847835699605, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.27016535998008484, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05799637766416876, "ret_p6m": 0.12484430259595736, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.12484430259595736, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.07742672938322026, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09926724251497565, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "bench_c_p6m": 0.025577060080981706, "price_path": [-0.5427, -0.4579, -0.4291, -0.417, -0.3747, -0.4137, -0.4317, -0.4055, -0.3979, -0.4423, -0.4399, -0.4507, -0.4274, -0.4188, -0.415, -0.4181, -0.402, -0.4329, -0.4329, -0.4545, -0.4551, -0.4612, -0.4565, -0.4682, -0.2054, -0.2248, -0.2596, -0.2495, -0.245, -0.2577, -0.2191, -0.2187, -0.1756, -0.1151, -0.1052, -0.0601, -0.104, -0.106, -0.0851, -0.0681, -0.0403, 0.0448, 0.0623, 0.0371, -0.023, 0.0127, 0.101, 0.0756, 0.1244, 0.0638, 0.0445, 0.0213, -0.0584, -0.0952, -0.1344, -0.1814, -0.1188, -0.0266, 0.0412, 0.0113, 0.0384, 0.0308, 0.0859, 0.0, -0.0824, -0.0288, -0.0916, -0.0763, -0.0873, -0.1515, -0.2167, -0.2643, -0.3065, -0.2863, -0.2484, -0.2108, -0.2974, -0.3089, -0.2372, -0.2622, -0.214, -0.214, -0.2125, -0.1687, -0.1994, -0.1789, -0.1467, -0.1862, -0.1672, -0.1997, -0.2231, -0.2174, -0.2721, -0.3265, -0.328, -0.3737, -0.3518, -0.2574, -0.2261, -0.2527, -0.2435, -0.2435, -0.2729, -0.2858, -0.293, -0.3052, -0.3052, -0.2533, -0.2294, -0.1679, -0.2014, -0.1923, -0.1871, -0.1091, -0.1248, -0.1535, -0.1377, -0.0975, -0.0975, -0.1758, -0.1793, -0.1961, -0.2156, -0.2408, -0.1876, -0.1663, -0.2122, -0.2929, -0.2682, -0.2533, -0.3161, -0.3868, -0.2853, -0.229, -0.2381, -0.2645, -0.2552, -0.1864, -0.1864, -0.1905, -0.155, -0.1067, -0.1872, -0.1649, -0.1485, -0.1191, -0.1294, -0.243, -0.2445, -0.2795, -0.1883, -0.206, -0.2585, -0.2119, -0.1996, -0.0703, -0.1032, -0.0624, 0.0779, -0.0344, -0.0159, 0.0087, -0.0237, -0.0525, -0.0462, -0.0447, -0.1204, -0.1631, -0.2342, -0.1387, -0.1537, -0.0967, -0.0967, -0.0658, -0.0255, 0.0376, 0.1317, 0.2034, 0.283, 0.3442, 0.3843, 0.3725, 0.3044, 0.3212, 0.2995, 0.2961, 0.3039, 0.2215, 0.2033, 0.1248]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1985175534133993567", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-11-03T02:41:44+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSM the center of the whole AI buildout, so it's just a waiting game.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Full-port MINT basket for Nov–Dec 2025: long META on post-earnings overreaction, long IBIT on BTC staying power, long NBIS on highest asymmetric upside, long TSM as center of AI trade.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "There’s only Four stocks:\n\n 🍬 MINT\n\nThat have ABSURDLY HIGH, asymmetrical return.\n\nMeaning Low Capital Risk. High Upside Return.\n\nThis is only for Nov + Dec 2025.\n\nHere it is... MINT\n\nAn explanation of why to full port MINT for end of year 2025:\n\nM = $META \nI = $IBIT\nN = $NBIS\nT = $TSM\n\nWith these four holy growth companies in your portfolio, you can make your breath smell better so you can pull Sydney Sweeney:\n\nMag7. Crypto. AI Data Center. Semiconductor.\n\n$META - Meta\n___________\nStupid sell-off.\n\nRevenue Beat. EPS Beat. Strong guidance.\n\nIt looks extremely bad on paper when you look at\nRevenue $51.24B (+26.25% Y/Y), Net income $2.71B (-82.73% Y/Y).\n\n🟢 Revenue: $51.24B vs. est. $49.41B\n\nWithout one-off tax → \n🟢 EPS: $7.25 vs. est. $6.67\n\nWith one-off tax →\n🔴 EPS: $1.05 vs. est. $6.67\n\nMy guess was the initial sell-off was algorithmically driven, then caused by mechanical flows. Many high-frequency trading (HFT) and news-parsing systems react to headline EPS numbers pulled directly from data feeds (Bloomberg, Reuters, etc.).\n\nIf the reported GAAP EPS ($1.05) is printed alongside a consensus of $6.67, the system flags it as a massive miss. Obviously this is speculative, but many models aren't programmed to normalize for one-time tax charges (which is new) and won’t know to look at adjusted EPS ($7.25), which actually beat.\n\nNow news are claiming the sell-off was due to AI capex surprise. If we go with this, -15%+ on “AI capex spending increasing” is just pure narratives and means absolutely jack since $MSFT, $GOOGL, $AMZN, $TSLA, and every single Mag7 is increasing on capex.\n\n$META doing the same and selling off doesn’t make sense, unless people believe it’s just going into a black hole with no ROI (which markets disagree since AI is basically running $SPY).\n\nExtremely strong buy on recovery once there’s time over the weekend for people to digest what actually happened. Misreads + stupid narratives can cause short-term overreactions (1–2 sessions), often reversed.\n\n$IBIT - Bitcoin\n___________\n\nIt’s Bitcoin.And sitting at $110k.\n\nBitcoin is here to stay with US government support, and with all the ongoing currency inflation + flow of money going to newer generation, there’s no better hedge against inflation than BTC.\n\nPolymarket still prices Bitcoin 40% to $130k in 2 months’ time, even if it moves up a few percent you can have upside on CCs and upside on the underlying asset.\n\n$NBIS - Nebius\n___________\nCore business valuation: $31–36.5B\n\nSum-of-parts (cash, assets, portfolio): ~$10.6B (slashed 40% = ~$6.3B)\n\nBase case valuation: ~$39B → high upside even with zero growth\n\nCore business on track for ~$5B ARR (FY26–27), 60–70% gross margins, and 30% EBITDA target.\n\nHitting $8–12B ARR (via one more hyperscaler deal + SMB expansion) could justify ~$100B valuation.\n\nNo toxic debt, high GPU utilization, full-stack architecture → higher operating leverage.\n\nYou can look at the bullet point comparison that I quoted so you can make your own judgement on $NBIS vs $IREN for example.\n\nHowever, I’ll always maintain $NBIS has the highest asymmetrical return over anything including $IREN to $CIFR due to existing hyperscaler deals, enterprise clients (Shopify, Accenture), Government Clients, 1GW capacity, high gross margins from full-stack, and many others.\n\nThat’s not saying there’s not high upside from $WULF from Fluidstack + Google deals, and others from capacity.\n\nThe downside risk on Nebius is the lowest. And it has really, really high upside.\n\n$TSM\n______________\nIt’s the CENTER. OF. THE. AI. TRADE.\n\nThey’ve already guided INCREASING MARGINS - which is astronomical.\n\nRevenue: $33.1B vs. $31.5B est.\nEarnings per Share: $2.92 vs. $2.59 est.\nGuidance: $32.2B – $33.4B vs. $32.0B est.\n\nThey’ve beat revenue guidance, increasing margins, and it’s just astronomical how much money they’re printing.\n\nIt was trading at $305–310 pre-earnings, now back at $300.\n\nIt’s a $1T+ company that grew 30%+ Y/Y with their margins — what the actual.\n\nI said this about the money printer $GOOGL back at $145 and $HOOD back at $20. They print money.\n\nThere's no need to debate $ALAB vs $CRDO, $IREN vs $NBIS, $AMD vs $NVDA. \n\n$TSM the center of the whole AI buildout, so it’s just a waiting game.\n\n_\n\nThere is it $MINT.  \n\nEnjoy a teaser of the song, kinda a banger. 🎶", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Added 6 figures in Jan-Feb $META calls.\n\nSame thing happened last year April and it took 2-6 days for full recovery.\n\nEarnings beat, fundamentals in tact. Same story about capex spend.\n\nMight be 2 day flush so cost averaging but this selloff is a huge opportunity. https://t.co/S3CwYsdaU4", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.014531198633646158, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014531198633646158, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012657937075436387, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012657937075436387, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03545892694762087, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03545892694762087, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02360538700517334, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02360538700517334, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "bench_c_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "ret_p1w": -0.03145711995918976, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03145711995918976, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.028676601196706564, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.028676601196706564, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "ret_p1m": -0.04188806938706735, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04188806938706735, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.039239327487818665, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.039239327487818665, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "ret_p3m": 0.11679675869437034, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11679675869437034, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09813726265329037, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09813726265329037, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "ret_p6m": 0.294061901029939, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.294061901029939, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2466443278172019, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2466443278172019, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "bench_c_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "price_path": [-0.2434, -0.2067, -0.2092, -0.2084, -0.2012, -0.2105, -0.212, -0.2189, -0.2106, -0.2391, -0.2525, -0.2567, -0.2382, -0.2296, -0.2194, -0.2176, -0.2209, -0.2451, -0.2451, -0.2532, -0.2434, -0.2309, -0.2041, -0.1917, -0.1795, -0.1484, -0.1534, -0.152, -0.1453, -0.1404, -0.138, -0.1188, -0.1312, -0.1057, -0.0727, -0.0792, -0.0925, -0.1033, -0.1038, -0.0839, -0.0538, -0.0549, -0.0416, -0.0081, -0.0355, -0.0011, -0.0163, -0.0794, -0.0065, -0.0293, -0.0005, -0.0165, -0.0321, -0.0235, -0.0339, -0.0524, -0.0463, -0.0325, -0.0217, -0.0109, 0.0008, -0.0054, -0.0145, 0.0, -0.0355, -0.0368, -0.0512, -0.0602, -0.0315, -0.0449, -0.0467, -0.0743, -0.0657, -0.075, -0.0884, -0.0738, -0.0897, -0.0977, -0.0663, -0.0662, -0.0489, -0.0489, -0.0438, -0.0564, -0.0419, -0.0309, -0.0391, -0.0333, -0.0098, -0.0048, 0.0173, 0.0027, -0.0395, -0.0536, -0.0565, -0.0891, -0.0637, -0.0496, -0.0354, -0.0233, -0.0172, -0.0172, -0.0039, -0.0103, -0.0147, -0.0005, -0.0005, 0.0512, 0.0599, 0.0769, 0.0482, 0.046, 0.0644, 0.0912, 0.0894, 0.0759, 0.1237, 0.1262, 0.1262, 0.076, 0.0726, 0.0767, 0.1014, 0.0943, 0.1128, 0.1258, 0.1168, 0.0872, 0.1227, 0.1043, 0.0714, 0.0878, 0.1474, 0.169, 0.1903, 0.2304, 0.2107, 0.205, 0.205, 0.1979, 0.1915, 0.1853, 0.2187, 0.2171, 0.2688, 0.2753, 0.2393, 0.232, 0.214, 0.1615, 0.1756, 0.1639, 0.1146, 0.1469, 0.1416, 0.1662, 0.1075, 0.1127, 0.119, 0.1412, 0.12, 0.1174, 0.0859, 0.1163, 0.1321, 0.147, 0.0756, 0.0777, 0.0439, 0.1147, 0.1263, 0.1183, 0.1183, 0.1272, 0.139, 0.2069, 0.2055, 0.2224, 0.219, 0.253, 0.2372, 0.1984, 0.222, 0.208, 0.214, 0.2779, 0.2621, 0.3274, 0.3358, 0.2941]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1985420429214040506", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-03T18:54:52+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The deal looks a lot worse for $IREN when you look into FCF generated more instead of revenue numbers since it's not pure colo. When you normalize to 300 MW and compare MSFT deals $IREN is projected to do ~30s gross or even low single digits in bear cases", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "IREN deal economics look worse on FCF vs revenue (low-single-digit gross in bear case); NBIS at 50%+ gross margins looks superior on normalized 300MW MSFT deal comparison.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The deal looks a lot worse for $IREN when you look into FCF generated more instead of revenue numbers since it's not pure colo.  \n\nWhen you normalize to 300 MW and compare MSFT deals $IREN is projected to do ~30s gross or even low single digits in bear cases, and $NBIS ~50%+ (at least from initial calculations, I need to revisit)\n\nIn this case, IREN is taking on the $5.8 billion CapEx for the GPUs and ancillary equipment itself.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I was late to $IREN — I’ll admit it.\n\nWhile it’s up +155% since my bullish call, my focus (and bigger conviction) has been on $NBIS, where I believe the upside is still massively underpriced.\n\nIREN proved the AI + energy pivot works. NBIS is doing the same but at hyperscaler https://t.co/EmUafLiThe", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "yianisz", "ret_m1d": -0.10332103321033215, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.10332103321033215, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.10144777165212238, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.10753956645400609, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004218533243673939, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01653140585360935, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01653140585360935, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004677865911161816, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0217086564081882, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005177250554578849, "ret_p1w": -0.11188194584582567, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11188194584582567, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10910142708334247, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.12760582463574355, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015723878789917878, "ret_p1m": -0.3930627463928448, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3930627463928448, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3904140044935961, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4062937683424098, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013231021949565047, "ret_p3m": -0.11675276527545553, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11675276527545553, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1354122613165355, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1471872809874556, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "bench_c_p3m": 0.030434515712000065, "ret_p6m": -0.34405906086038396, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.34405906086038396, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.39147663407312105, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.34690997950694125, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0028509186465572878, "price_path": [-0.7296, -0.7259, -0.7277, -0.7348, -0.7368, -0.7383, -0.7184, -0.7094, -0.6944, -0.7235, -0.7083, -0.7108, -0.6837, -0.6587, -0.6607, -0.67, -0.6599, -0.6092, -0.6092, -0.5703, -0.5836, -0.6143, -0.614, -0.6134, -0.5544, -0.5036, -0.5151, -0.4987, -0.4518, -0.462, -0.4406, -0.4639, -0.4297, -0.3815, -0.3835, -0.3042, -0.3168, -0.3821, -0.3221, -0.3073, -0.3051, -0.306, -0.2552, -0.1476, -0.0896, -0.1131, -0.0576, -0.1178, -0.0533, 0.0267, 0.0034, -0.0874, -0.1038, -0.1259, -0.1853, -0.235, -0.1755, -0.0716, -0.0407, -0.0787, -0.1082, -0.1407, -0.1033, 0.0, -0.0165, 0.1278, -0.0117, -0.0793, -0.1119, -0.1531, -0.1779, -0.2819, -0.3156, -0.3002, -0.279, -0.3235, -0.3584, -0.3762, -0.2843, -0.2993, -0.2849, -0.2849, -0.2943, -0.2843, -0.3931, -0.3511, -0.3144, -0.3401, -0.316, -0.3086, -0.3517, -0.3514, -0.4077, -0.4763, -0.4599, -0.5014, -0.4716, -0.4108, -0.3795, -0.379, -0.3804, -0.3804, -0.4052, -0.4183, -0.4347, -0.4425, -0.4425, -0.3697, -0.288, -0.3224, -0.3561, -0.3258, -0.3206, -0.2571, -0.2179, -0.2195, -0.2341, -0.1466, -0.1466, -0.1991, -0.2106, -0.2286, -0.1634, -0.2272, -0.1145, -0.071, -0.1168, -0.2068, -0.2165, -0.1972, -0.3367, -0.4127, -0.3826, -0.3188, -0.3663, -0.3702, -0.4092, -0.3768, -0.3768, -0.3953, -0.3789, -0.361, -0.4099, -0.3748, -0.3292, -0.3501, -0.347, -0.3956, -0.3891, -0.4266, -0.3529, -0.4077, -0.4583, -0.4267, -0.4373, -0.3804, -0.3894, -0.3863, -0.3367, -0.3659, -0.377, -0.3851, -0.3906, -0.3777, -0.3931, -0.3885, -0.4472, -0.4821, -0.5333, -0.494, -0.4968, -0.4868, -0.4868, -0.4815, -0.4725, -0.4564, -0.453, -0.4196, -0.3643, -0.3008, -0.2794, -0.2959, -0.2897, -0.2809, -0.3333, -0.2858, -0.2322, -0.2525, -0.2862, -0.3441]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1985420429214040506", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-03T18:54:52+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS ~50%+ (at least from initial calculations, I need to revisit)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "IREN deal economics look worse on FCF vs revenue (low-single-digit gross in bear case); NBIS at 50%+ gross margins looks superior on normalized 300MW MSFT deal comparison.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The deal looks a lot worse for $IREN when you look into FCF generated more instead of revenue numbers since it's not pure colo.  \n\nWhen you normalize to 300 MW and compare MSFT deals $IREN is projected to do ~30s gross or even low single digits in bear cases, and $NBIS ~50%+ (at least from initial calculations, I need to revisit)\n\nIn this case, IREN is taking on the $5.8 billion CapEx for the GPUs and ancillary equipment itself.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I was late to $IREN — I’ll admit it.\n\nWhile it’s up +155% since my bullish call, my focus (and bigger conviction) has been on $NBIS, where I believe the upside is still massively underpriced.\n\nIREN proved the AI + energy pivot works. NBIS is doing the same but at hyperscaler https://t.co/EmUafLiThe", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "yianisz", "ret_m1d": 0.08591355523068556, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08591355523068556, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08778681678889533, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07517315981838268, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010740395412302872, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08242716198685718, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08242716198685718, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07057362204440965, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.075560366211469, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006866795775388179, "ret_p1w": -0.08732467971995872, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08732467971995872, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08454416095747552, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08459559111130788, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0027290886086508426, "ret_p1m": -0.19938577263277246, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.19938577263277246, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19673703073352378, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2138236734625919, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014437900829819439, "ret_p3m": -0.21216898231591608, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21216898231591608, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23082847835699605, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.27016535998008484, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05799637766416876, "ret_p6m": 0.12484430259595736, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.12484430259595736, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.07742672938322026, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09926724251497565, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "bench_c_p6m": 0.025577060080981706, "price_path": [-0.5427, -0.4579, -0.4291, -0.417, -0.3747, -0.4137, -0.4317, -0.4055, -0.3979, -0.4423, -0.4399, -0.4507, -0.4274, -0.4188, -0.415, -0.4181, -0.402, -0.4329, -0.4329, -0.4545, -0.4551, -0.4612, -0.4565, -0.4682, -0.2054, -0.2248, -0.2596, -0.2495, -0.245, -0.2577, -0.2191, -0.2187, -0.1756, -0.1151, -0.1052, -0.0601, -0.104, -0.106, -0.0851, -0.0681, -0.0403, 0.0448, 0.0623, 0.0371, -0.023, 0.0127, 0.101, 0.0756, 0.1244, 0.0638, 0.0445, 0.0213, -0.0584, -0.0952, -0.1344, -0.1814, -0.1188, -0.0266, 0.0412, 0.0113, 0.0384, 0.0308, 0.0859, 0.0, -0.0824, -0.0288, -0.0916, -0.0763, -0.0873, -0.1515, -0.2167, -0.2643, -0.3065, -0.2863, -0.2484, -0.2108, -0.2974, -0.3089, -0.2372, -0.2622, -0.214, -0.214, -0.2125, -0.1687, -0.1994, -0.1789, -0.1467, -0.1862, -0.1672, -0.1997, -0.2231, -0.2174, -0.2721, -0.3265, -0.328, -0.3737, -0.3518, -0.2574, -0.2261, -0.2527, -0.2435, -0.2435, -0.2729, -0.2858, -0.293, -0.3052, -0.3052, -0.2533, -0.2294, -0.1679, -0.2014, -0.1923, -0.1871, -0.1091, -0.1248, -0.1535, -0.1377, -0.0975, -0.0975, -0.1758, -0.1793, -0.1961, -0.2156, -0.2408, -0.1876, -0.1663, -0.2122, -0.2929, -0.2682, -0.2533, -0.3161, -0.3868, -0.2853, -0.229, -0.2381, -0.2645, -0.2552, -0.1864, -0.1864, -0.1905, -0.155, -0.1067, -0.1872, -0.1649, -0.1485, -0.1191, -0.1294, -0.243, -0.2445, -0.2795, -0.1883, -0.206, -0.2585, -0.2119, -0.1996, -0.0703, -0.1032, -0.0624, 0.0779, -0.0344, -0.0159, 0.0087, -0.0237, -0.0525, -0.0462, -0.0447, -0.1204, -0.1631, -0.2342, -0.1387, -0.1537, -0.0967, -0.0967, -0.0658, -0.0255, 0.0376, 0.1317, 0.2034, 0.283, 0.3442, 0.3843, 0.3725, 0.3044, 0.3212, 0.2995, 0.2961, 0.3039, 0.2215, 0.2033, 0.1248]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1994158885230559288", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-27T21:38:22+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Extremely underpriced for $NBIS", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long NBIS; management projects billions from Avride FSD in 2-3 years, stock extremely underpriced.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@EarningsMindset Yeah management already projected few billion in revenue from Avride FSD in 2-3 years. \n\nExtremely underpriced for $NBIS https://t.co/h8KxcTzCy8", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Crazy how much the market is still sleeping on $NBIS.\nIf Avride delivers, this whole story gets re-priced fast.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "EarningsMindset", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0019009430830585483, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0019009430830585483, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0035574632555563923, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00622422630590691, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005458406338614941, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008125169388965459, "ret_p1w": 0.08564790792322552, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08564790792322552, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07871824252335347, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07402809323810788, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006929665399872054, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011619814685117635, "ret_p1m": -0.0749815811643798, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0749815811643798, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09362234586868434, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10898401768209143, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018640764704304535, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03400243651771162, "ret_p3m": 0.08332452409145019, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08332452409145019, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0690516585030807, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06518662201906844, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014272865588369488, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01813790207238175, "ret_p6m": 1.2681381216075018, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.2681381216075018, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.1648459096533572, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.2529063304181431, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10329221195414462, "bench_c_p6m": 0.01523179118935869, "price_path": [-0.2785, -0.3059, -0.3067, -0.3145, -0.3086, -0.3235, 0.0109, -0.0137, -0.0581, -0.0452, -0.0394, -0.0555, -0.0064, -0.006, 0.0488, 0.1258, 0.1385, 0.1958, 0.1399, 0.1374, 0.164, 0.1857, 0.2209, 0.3293, 0.3516, 0.3195, 0.243, 0.2884, 0.4008, 0.3685, 0.4306, 0.3534, 0.3289, 0.2994, 0.198, 0.1511, 0.1013, 0.0415, 0.1211, 0.2384, 0.3246, 0.2866, 0.3212, 0.3114, 0.3816, 0.2723, 0.1674, 0.2356, 0.1558, 0.1752, 0.1612, 0.0795, -0.0035, -0.064, -0.1178, -0.092, -0.0438, 0.004, -0.1061, -0.1207, -0.0295, -0.0614, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0019, 0.0577, 0.0186, 0.0447, 0.0856, 0.0354, 0.0596, 0.0182, -0.0116, -0.0043, -0.0739, -0.1431, -0.1451, -0.2032, -0.1753, -0.0552, -0.0154, -0.0492, -0.0376, -0.0376, -0.075, -0.0914, -0.1005, -0.116, -0.116, -0.0501, -0.0196, 0.0586, 0.0161, 0.0276, 0.0342, 0.1335, 0.1134, 0.077, 0.0971, 0.1483, 0.1483, 0.0486, 0.0441, 0.0228, -0.002, -0.0341, 0.0336, 0.0606, 0.0023, -0.1003, -0.069, -0.0501, -0.1299, -0.2199, -0.0907, -0.0191, -0.0306, -0.0642, -0.0524, 0.0351, 0.0351, 0.0299, 0.0751, 0.1364, 0.0341, 0.0625, 0.0833, 0.1207, 0.1076, -0.037, -0.0389, -0.0833, 0.0326, 0.0101, -0.0566, 0.0026, 0.0184, 0.1828, 0.141, 0.1928, 0.3713, 0.2285, 0.2521, 0.2833, 0.2422, 0.2055, 0.2135, 0.2154, 0.1191, 0.0647, -0.0257, 0.0958, 0.0767, 0.1492, 0.1492, 0.1885, 0.2398, 0.3201, 0.4398, 0.531, 0.6323, 0.7102, 0.7612, 0.7461, 0.6595, 0.6809, 0.6533, 0.649, 0.6589, 0.5541, 0.5309, 0.4311, 0.4911, 0.4598, 0.6315, 0.8631, 0.8579, 1.0603, 0.9513, 0.8698, 0.9654, 0.8915, 1.1889, 1.3355, 1.3227, 1.1107, 1.0882, 1.0258, 1.3226, 1.2681]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1971367512945328618", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-26T00:13:35+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We'll likely see price slowly edge up as SI goes from 40% down to 10%", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "HIMS price will slowly edge up as short interest declines from 40% to 10% via shorts covering.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@himshouse Shorts covering $HIMS on red days. \n\nWe'll likely see price slowly edge up as SI goes from 40% down to 10%.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$HIMS GREEEEEEEEEEEN 🏇 https://t.co/vtEjXyJ0T9", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "himshouse", "ret_m1d": -0.060445248317842704, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.060445248317842704, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05474874006899377, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05474874006899377, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0056965082488489305, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0056965082488489305, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01232872238345406, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01232872238345406, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.009518355942314205, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.009518355942314205, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028103664411398555, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0028103664411398555, "ret_p1w": -0.1003424735828955, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1003424735828955, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11150862772241932, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11150862772241932, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01116615413952382, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01116615413952382, "ret_p1m": -0.17414386503287893, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17414386503287893, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.20953105396897043, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.20953105396897043, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035387188936091496, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035387188936091496, "ret_p3m": -0.4063356633033318, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4063356633033318, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4525717144217466, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4525717144217466, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04623605111841478, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04623605111841478, "ret_p6m": -0.6154109846295139, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.6154109846295139, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.611318743841554, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.611318743841554, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.004092240787959889, "bench_c_p6m": -0.004092240787959889, "price_path": [-0.1788, -0.1873, -0.1784, -0.1784, -0.1709, -0.1616, -0.1226, -0.1392, -0.18, -0.1091, -0.136, -0.1122, -0.144, -0.1373, -0.1849, -0.1437, -0.0065, -0.0185, -0.0128, 0.0048, 0.032, 0.1221, 0.1332, 0.0711, 0.0848, -0.0493, -0.1245, -0.1259, -0.1106, -0.1442, -0.1788, -0.1724, -0.193, -0.212, -0.2277, -0.2777, -0.2572, -0.2473, -0.2368, -0.2639, -0.2235, -0.2464, -0.2445, -0.2748, -0.2748, -0.2889, -0.2387, -0.1762, -0.1711, -0.15, -0.1817, -0.1818, -0.1137, -0.0497, -0.076, -0.1286, -0.1378, -0.0377, -0.0099, -0.012, -0.0411, -0.0882, -0.0604, 0.0, 0.0123, -0.0288, -0.0358, -0.0091, -0.1003, -0.0623, -0.0074, -0.0039, -0.0026, -0.0762, -0.0628, -0.075, 0.0747, 0.0128, -0.1476, -0.1205, -0.1548, -0.1873, -0.1697, -0.1647, -0.1741, -0.1932, -0.2015, -0.2455, -0.2216, -0.2399, -0.2673, -0.2512, -0.289, -0.2974, -0.2971, -0.3193, -0.3318, -0.3827, -0.3668, -0.3908, -0.3791, -0.3865, -0.4243, -0.4057, -0.3531, -0.3649, -0.3425, -0.3425, -0.3192, -0.3577, -0.3783, -0.3652, -0.3147, -0.3288, -0.3301, -0.3182, -0.3514, -0.3533, -0.3628, -0.3793, -0.3688, -0.4012, -0.4046, -0.3911, -0.3998, -0.4041, -0.4063, -0.4063, -0.4125, -0.4161, -0.4342, -0.444, -0.444, -0.4279, -0.4057, -0.3928, -0.3928, -0.42, -0.4574, -0.4462, -0.4486, -0.4637, -0.4652, -0.4627, -0.4627, -0.4783, -0.5053, -0.4774, -0.4928, -0.4815, -0.4918, -0.5091, -0.4885, -0.5361, -0.5473, -0.5627, -0.5822, -0.5979, -0.6058, -0.669, -0.7048, -0.7142, -0.7295, -0.7209, -0.7209, -0.7214, -0.7288, -0.7291, -0.7324, -0.7344, -0.7353, -0.7291, -0.7329, -0.7514, -0.7178, -0.7291, -0.7183, -0.7281, -0.7305, -0.6205, -0.5981, -0.5568, -0.5918, -0.5759, -0.574, -0.5723, -0.6036, -0.5863, -0.6229, -0.6154]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1993112525643415892", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-25T00:20:31+00:00", "symbol": "日経平均", "kind": "index", "geography": "Japan", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "日経をロングするのは賢いポジショニングだと私も考えます", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long Nikkei: yen carry-trade unwind will drive capital repatriation to Japan, supporting hedged buying.", "resolved_tickers": ["EWJ"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "日経平均 = Nikkei 225, proxied by EWJ ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "ja", "tweet_text": "日本の利上げは日経平均にとって一見マイナスに思えますが、米国のFRBが利下げに動いていることもあり、2024年に再び積み上がった円キャリートレードが崩壊する要因になります。\n\nそのため、資金が日本へ還流し、ヘッジを伴った買いが促されるアンワインド局面では、日経をロングするのは賢いポジショニングだと私も考えます。", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "日経ロングで", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "yasutaketin", "ret_m1d": -0.0021972624170156774, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0021972624170156774, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007121080768780486, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007121080768780486, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009318343185796163, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009318343185796163, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.016357440934200662, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.016357440934200662, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.009453957483573694, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.009453957483573694, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006903483450626968, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006903483450626968, "ret_p1w": 0.006713911061402733, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.006713911061402733, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0029302508633266555, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0029302508633266555, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009644161924729389, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009644161924729389, "ret_p1m": 0.025765805178513235, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.025765805178513235, "alpha_spy_p1m": -1.1158390896159887e-05, "alpha_c_p1m": -1.1158390896159887e-05, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.025776963569409395, "bench_c_p1m": 0.025776963569409395, "ret_p3m": 0.15835554878807567, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15835554878807567, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.13399007237069593, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.13399007237069593, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02436547641737974, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02436547641737974, "ret_p6m": 0.15506294013846356, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.15506294013846356, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.05069473204513697, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.05069473204513697, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10436820809332659, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10436820809332659, "price_path": [-0.0321, -0.0444, -0.0444, -0.046, -0.0487, -0.0389, -0.0334, -0.0117, -0.0227, -0.019, -0.0073, -0.0142, -0.007, -0.007, -0.0092, -0.0052, -0.0138, -0.0082, -0.0101, -0.0131, -0.0178, -0.0181, -0.0172, -0.0209, -0.0209, -0.0216, -0.0017, 0.0165, 0.0005, -0.0021, -0.0045, -0.0435, -0.0321, -0.0229, -0.0077, -0.0045, 0.001, 0.0198, 0.0079, 0.0032, 0.0037, 0.0071, 0.0197, 0.0245, 0.016, 0.0157, 0.0187, 0.021, 0.0111, 0.0107, 0.0127, 0.0167, 0.0215, 0.0223, 0.0295, 0.0133, 0.0251, 0.0067, -0.0139, -0.0151, -0.0297, -0.0089, -0.0022, 0.0, 0.0164, 0.0164, 0.0133, 0.0074, 0.0067, 0.0084, 0.0208, 0.0217, 0.0155, 0.017, 0.0243, 0.0281, 0.0254, 0.036, 0.0239, 0.0098, 0.0127, 0.0204, 0.0189, 0.0275, 0.0258, 0.0258, 0.0254, 0.0269, 0.0255, 0.0225, 0.0225, 0.0299, 0.0527, 0.052, 0.0501, 0.0493, 0.0715, 0.0801, 0.0695, 0.0769, 0.0817, 0.0825, 0.0825, 0.0602, 0.0736, 0.0746, 0.0708, 0.0717, 0.0871, 0.0791, 0.0902, 0.0855, 0.0877, 0.0977, 0.108, 0.0904, 0.1321, 0.1561, 0.179, 0.19, 0.1824, 0.1885, 0.1885, 0.1634, 0.1572, 0.1549, 0.1584, 0.1573, 0.1553, 0.1706, 0.1711, 0.1698, 0.1423, 0.0996, 0.1219, 0.0877, 0.0735, 0.0845, 0.0949, 0.0857, 0.0662, 0.0557, 0.0773, 0.0774, 0.0657, 0.0648, 0.0283, 0.0581, 0.0546, 0.0733, 0.0474, 0.0312, 0.0324, 0.0693, 0.0952, 0.0801, 0.0801, 0.0836, 0.0829, 0.1323, 0.1172, 0.1161, 0.1188, 0.1323, 0.128, 0.1323, 0.1421, 0.1313, 0.1035, 0.1114, 0.1026, 0.1058, 0.1104, 0.1088, 0.0993, 0.1283, 0.1182, 0.1159, 0.1304, 0.161, 0.1523, 0.1679, 0.1684, 0.1658, 0.1789, 0.1658, 0.1533, 0.1514, 0.1434, 0.1551]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1983890441776005297", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-30T13:35:14+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$META calls seem like free money", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bullish META via short-dated calls, targeting a flush/dip entry for a 2-3 day recovery trade.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@gunnaosrs Yeah $META calls seem like free money, you have the right mindset. I'm not doing leaps though probably shorter dated calls since it takes 2-3 days for recovery a lot of times. \n\nI was thinking day-2 flush or if it drops 15%+ intra-day today but we'll see.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.12783760853035342, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.12783760853035342, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.11671716030302748, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.11060527127304076, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01112044822732594, "bench_c_m1d": 0.017232337257312658, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0271880753086835, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0271880753086835, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03046817504076227, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.031474263216923815, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0032800997320787673, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004286187908240313, "ret_p1w": -0.07131610032755076, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07131610032755076, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05731256289781883, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.054521086689985454, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014003537429731927, "bench_c_p1w": -0.016795013637565304, "ret_p1m": -0.02778819201129268, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02778819201129268, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03302472207244789, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03714789811047614, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005236530061155209, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009359706099183462, "ret_p3m": 0.01057634595342738, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.01057634595342738, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.01548170245765923, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.015302317866079607, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02605804841108661, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025878663819506986, "ret_p6m": 0.0145377399744413, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0145377399744413, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.04161618056548577, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0026416026067876963, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05615392053992707, "bench_c_p6m": 0.017179342581228996, "price_path": [0.1641, 0.1448, 0.1575, 0.1423, 0.1535, 0.1484, 0.1846, 0.1697, 0.1727, 0.1774, 0.1506, 0.1268, 0.1212, 0.1082, 0.1318, 0.1295, 0.1307, 0.1206, 0.1262, 0.1076, 0.1076, 0.1022, 0.1052, 0.1225, 0.1282, 0.128, 0.1481, 0.1275, 0.1259, 0.133, 0.1466, 0.1681, 0.1631, 0.1699, 0.1671, 0.1481, 0.1334, 0.1413, 0.1237, 0.116, 0.1154, 0.1019, 0.0763, 0.0909, 0.0662, 0.0738, 0.0699, 0.0771, 0.1006, 0.0583, 0.0739, 0.0633, 0.0766, 0.0684, 0.0757, 0.0986, 0.1002, 0.1004, 0.1013, 0.1079, 0.1266, 0.1275, 0.1278, 0.0, -0.0272, -0.0432, -0.0587, -0.0458, -0.0713, -0.0672, -0.0521, -0.0591, -0.0862, -0.0849, -0.0855, -0.0967, -0.1032, -0.1143, -0.116, -0.1084, -0.0802, -0.0454, -0.0493, -0.0493, -0.0278, -0.0384, -0.0291, -0.0403, -0.0074, 0.0104, 0.0005, -0.0143, -0.0245, -0.0206, -0.0334, -0.0277, -0.0132, -0.0247, -0.0022, -0.0107, -0.0066, -0.0015, 0.0024, 0.0024, -0.004, -0.0109, 0.0, -0.0088, -0.0088, -0.0233, -0.0107, -0.008, -0.0259, -0.0298, -0.0193, -0.036, -0.0523, -0.0757, -0.0678, -0.0686, -0.0686, -0.0928, -0.0795, -0.0275, -0.0108, 0.0097, 0.0106, 0.0042, 0.1087, 0.0759, 0.0608, 0.0387, 0.0046, 0.0064, -0.0067, 0.017, 0.0072, 0.0041, -0.0242, -0.0393, -0.0393, -0.04, -0.0341, -0.0318, -0.0154, -0.0431, -0.04, -0.0184, -0.0134, -0.0266, -0.0186, -0.0163, 0.0027, -0.008, -0.0316, -0.0278, -0.0178, -0.0166, -0.0417, -0.0784, -0.057, -0.0642, -0.0747, -0.0882, -0.1078, -0.0921, -0.1089, -0.1059, -0.1771, -0.2099, -0.1938, -0.1401, -0.1294, -0.1366, -0.1366, -0.1388, -0.1357, -0.0796, -0.0556, -0.0534, -0.0463, -0.0043, 0.0094, 0.0173, 0.0349, 0.0083, 0.0052, 0.0141, -0.0093, 0.0145]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1982949630674625014", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-27T23:16:48+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS has the highest asymmetrical return, with lower downside, high upside compared to $IREN with existing hyperscaler deals, subsidiaries scaling alongside them, and a higher margin business with full-stack", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefers NBIS over IREN for risk-reward: hyperscaler deals, higher margins, full-stack; still sees speculative upside in IREN but risk-reward is better for Nebius after miners' runup.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Hmm, I still maintain $NBIS has the highest asymmetrical return, with lower downside, high upside compared to $IREN with existing hyperscaler deals, subsidiaries scaling alongside them, and a higher margin business with full-stack. \n\nOn the other hand, I'd agree $IREN has a high  speculative upside due to capacity and infrastructure. \n\nI've owned both and it's fine have both, I just think risk-reward is better for Nebius after the runup on miners.\n\nIt's good to discuss those points!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Neocloud space does not any more tribal wars, everybody can win together. I love both NBIS and IREN", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MaoBaoBaomby", "ret_m1d": -0.0651359176358719, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0651359176358719, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05347576869210846, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.051394016667661524, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013741900968210374, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02870125540430646, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02870125540430646, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.031357254360897535, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.023750721096447047, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004950534307859411, "ret_p1w": -0.03954396135218685, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03954396135218685, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.036771241766913265, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.009072772543005425, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": -0.030471188809181426, "ret_p1m": -0.291397615903933, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.291397615903933, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2764831740059033, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2669865978192385, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02441101808469448, "ret_p3m": -0.22785618880266678, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22785618880266678, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23628515601411337, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.22330124633290094, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": -0.004554942469765844, "ret_p6m": 0.24810653488691647, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.24810653488691647, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.21476196842477524, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.24166768131940364, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": 0.006438853567512837, "price_path": [-0.5911, -0.5661, -0.5854, -0.5681, -0.5602, -0.5608, -0.4793, -0.4516, -0.44, -0.3994, -0.4369, -0.4542, -0.429, -0.4217, -0.4643, -0.4621, -0.4724, -0.4501, -0.4418, -0.4381, -0.4411, -0.4257, -0.4553, -0.4553, -0.476, -0.4766, -0.4825, -0.478, -0.4893, -0.2369, -0.2554, -0.2889, -0.2792, -0.2748, -0.287, -0.2499, -0.2496, -0.2082, -0.1501, -0.1406, -0.0973, -0.1394, -0.1414, -0.1213, -0.1049, -0.0783, 0.0035, 0.0203, -0.0039, -0.0616, -0.0273, 0.0575, 0.0331, 0.08, 0.0217, 0.0032, -0.0191, -0.0956, -0.131, -0.1686, -0.2137, -0.1536, -0.0651, 0.0, -0.0287, -0.0026, -0.01, 0.043, -0.0395, -0.1187, -0.0672, -0.1275, -0.1128, -0.1234, -0.185, -0.2477, -0.2934, -0.334, -0.3145, -0.2782, -0.242, -0.3252, -0.3362, -0.2673, -0.2914, -0.2451, -0.2451, -0.2436, -0.2015, -0.231, -0.2114, -0.1804, -0.2184, -0.2001, -0.2314, -0.2538, -0.2483, -0.3009, -0.3531, -0.3546, -0.3985, -0.3774, -0.2868, -0.2567, -0.2822, -0.2735, -0.2735, -0.3017, -0.314, -0.321, -0.3327, -0.3327, -0.2829, -0.2599, -0.2008, -0.233, -0.2243, -0.2192, -0.1443, -0.1595, -0.187, -0.1718, -0.1331, -0.1331, -0.2084, -0.2118, -0.2279, -0.2466, -0.2708, -0.2197, -0.1993, -0.2433, -0.3208, -0.2971, -0.2829, -0.3431, -0.4111, -0.3136, -0.2595, -0.2682, -0.2936, -0.2846, -0.2186, -0.2186, -0.2225, -0.1884, -0.1421, -0.2193, -0.1979, -0.1822, -0.154, -0.1638, -0.273, -0.2744, -0.308, -0.2204, -0.2374, -0.2878, -0.2431, -0.2312, -0.1071, -0.1386, -0.0995, 0.0352, -0.0726, -0.0548, -0.0312, -0.0623, -0.0899, -0.0839, -0.0824, -0.1551, -0.1962, -0.2645, -0.1728, -0.1872, -0.1324, -0.1324, -0.1028, -0.064, -0.0034, 0.0869, 0.1558, 0.2322, 0.2911, 0.3296, 0.3182, 0.2528, 0.2689, 0.2481]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1982949630674625014", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-27T23:16:48+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$IREN has a high speculative upside due to capacity and infrastructure", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefers NBIS over IREN for risk-reward: hyperscaler deals, higher margins, full-stack; still sees speculative upside in IREN but risk-reward is better for Nebius after miners' runup.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Hmm, I still maintain $NBIS has the highest asymmetrical return, with lower downside, high upside compared to $IREN with existing hyperscaler deals, subsidiaries scaling alongside them, and a higher margin business with full-stack. \n\nOn the other hand, I'd agree $IREN has a high  speculative upside due to capacity and infrastructure. \n\nI've owned both and it's fine have both, I just think risk-reward is better for Nebius after the runup on miners.\n\nIt's good to discuss those points!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Neocloud space does not any more tribal wars, everybody can win together. I love both NBIS and IREN", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MaoBaoBaomby", "ret_m1d": -0.03215873836881211, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03215873836881211, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.020498589425048674, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.028033473816390764, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004125264552421348, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.039544541918764, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.039544541918764, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.042200540875355075, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03316916586003127, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006375376058732729, "ret_p1w": 0.04246810627715236, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04246810627715236, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04524082586242595, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0645944793271267, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022126373049974335, "ret_p1m": -0.2695798925827233, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2695798925827233, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2546654506846936, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.25476647211453674, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.014813420468186567, "ret_p3m": -0.1958762880546734, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1958762880546734, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20430525526611998, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20840337820819355, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01252709015352016, "ret_p6m": -0.30497000071257774, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.30497000071257774, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.33831456717471897, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2941425250379808, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010827475674596965, "price_path": [-0.7517, -0.7521, -0.763, -0.7464, -0.7469, -0.7181, -0.7143, -0.7161, -0.7235, -0.7257, -0.7272, -0.7064, -0.697, -0.6814, -0.7118, -0.696, -0.6986, -0.6703, -0.6443, -0.6463, -0.656, -0.6455, -0.5926, -0.5926, -0.5521, -0.5659, -0.5979, -0.5976, -0.597, -0.5355, -0.4825, -0.4945, -0.4775, -0.4285, -0.4391, -0.4168, -0.4411, -0.4054, -0.3553, -0.3573, -0.2747, -0.2877, -0.3559, -0.2933, -0.2779, -0.2756, -0.2765, -0.2236, -0.1114, -0.0509, -0.0754, -0.0175, -0.0803, -0.0131, 0.0703, 0.046, -0.0486, -0.0657, -0.0888, -0.1507, -0.2025, -0.1405, -0.0322, 0.0, -0.0395, -0.0703, -0.1042, -0.0652, 0.0425, 0.0252, 0.1757, 0.0303, -0.0402, -0.0742, -0.1171, -0.1429, -0.2514, -0.2865, -0.2705, -0.2483, -0.2948, -0.3311, -0.3497, -0.2539, -0.2696, -0.2545, -0.2545, -0.2643, -0.2539, -0.3673, -0.3236, -0.2853, -0.312, -0.287, -0.2793, -0.3242, -0.3239, -0.3825, -0.4541, -0.437, -0.4802, -0.4491, -0.3858, -0.3531, -0.3527, -0.3541, -0.3541, -0.3799, -0.3936, -0.4107, -0.4188, -0.4188, -0.343, -0.2577, -0.2936, -0.3287, -0.2971, -0.2917, -0.2256, -0.1846, -0.1863, -0.2016, -0.1103, -0.1103, -0.1651, -0.1771, -0.1959, -0.1279, -0.1943, -0.0769, -0.0315, -0.0792, -0.1731, -0.1833, -0.1631, -0.3085, -0.3878, -0.3564, -0.2899, -0.3394, -0.3434, -0.3841, -0.3504, -0.3504, -0.3696, -0.3525, -0.3339, -0.3848, -0.3482, -0.3007, -0.3225, -0.3193, -0.3699, -0.3631, -0.4022, -0.3254, -0.3826, -0.4353, -0.4024, -0.4134, -0.3541, -0.3634, -0.3602, -0.3085, -0.339, -0.3505, -0.359, -0.3647, -0.3513, -0.3673, -0.3625, -0.4238, -0.4601, -0.5135, -0.4725, -0.4755, -0.465, -0.465, -0.4595, -0.4501, -0.4333, -0.4298, -0.395, -0.3373, -0.2711, -0.2488, -0.266, -0.2596, -0.2503, -0.305]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972340179915743714", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-28T16:38:37+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I don't long term invest unless it's $RKLB since space is a national security issue, huge moat m, and #2 second to SpaceX", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long-term conviction on RKLB (national security moat, #2 to SpaceX); medium-term long on NBIS and CIFR during current hyperscaling period.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Melissa09744266 I don't long term invest unless it's $RKLB since space is a national security issue, huge moat m, and #2 second to SpaceX.\n\nBut yeah I'd expect in 4-5 years AWS, GOOGL hyperscaler chips might be ready around then. Until then, we're in hyperscaling mode with $NBIS and $CIFR.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thank you for being honest about the risks and speculations. I also agree with your timeline of 8mo-1yr. This is a trade not a long term investment. Amazon is a ruthless company and will not just give their infrastructure dominance. AWS is likely next AWS.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Melissa09744266", "ret_m1d": -0.01595405289892249, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01595405289892249, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.013151562482799695, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012883238268281527, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003070814630640961, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.019144895937310835, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.019144895937310835, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01537802917819886, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011435054513134979, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007709841424175856, "ret_p1w": 0.2444161261159572, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2444161261159572, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.23246764473354453, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.23082579004283388, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013590336073123321, "ret_p1m": 0.35609449640841495, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.35609449640841495, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.32086668966584564, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3454443574994479, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010650138908967044, "ret_p3m": 0.6417784101435084, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6417784101435084, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5984744255313552, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.609178316985767, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03260009315774148, "ret_p6m": 0.4054456935506945, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4054456935506945, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4156626999626364, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.32720914170734794, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07823655184334655, "price_path": [-0.241, -0.2414, -0.2414, -0.1729, -0.1759, -0.1674, -0.1683, -0.1698, -0.0808, -0.0513, 0.0145, 0.0919, 0.0932, 0.0038, -0.0028, 0.0455, 0.0238, 0.0089, -0.0404, -0.0685, -0.0121, -0.0232, -0.0468, -0.0525, -0.0481, -0.0619, -0.0596, -0.0494, -0.0423, -0.0762, -0.0853, -0.0893, -0.0583, -0.0434, -0.1295, -0.1344, -0.1166, -0.0559, 0.0045, 0.0238, -0.0162, 0.0191, 0.0338, 0.0338, 0.0489, -0.074, -0.0855, -0.0249, 0.0153, 0.0004, -0.0179, 0.0302, 0.1347, 0.1495, 0.005, 0.0228, 0.0036, 0.0166, 0.0596, 0.1255, 0.0357, -0.0081, -0.016, 0.0, 0.0191, 0.0204, 0.1161, 0.1946, 0.2444, 0.3084, 0.3893, 0.4129, 0.3669, 0.3916, 0.4471, 0.4735, 0.4252, 0.4097, 0.4327, 0.3912, 0.2883, 0.3523, 0.3733, 0.3959, 0.3561, 0.4074, 0.2959, 0.3397, 0.3048, 0.2034, 0.2002, 0.0553, 0.0985, 0.104, 0.09, 0.063, -0.0374, -0.0313, -0.0787, -0.09, -0.0721, -0.1602, -0.1427, -0.097, -0.0938, -0.1081, -0.1081, -0.1036, -0.1412, -0.1087, -0.0487, 0.0502, 0.0435, 0.0968, 0.1366, 0.2236, 0.3514, 0.308, 0.1787, 0.1804, 0.1478, 0.2746, 0.5001, 0.6496, 0.6418, 0.6418, 0.6418, 0.5029, 0.4916, 0.4986, 0.4839, 0.4839, 0.6165, 0.6622, 0.83, 0.7886, 0.7673, 0.8049, 0.8698, 0.8417, 0.9528, 0.9307, 1.0485, 1.0485, 0.8966, 0.8681, 0.8715, 0.8911, 0.712, 0.8507, 0.8841, 0.8226, 0.7033, 0.5773, 0.7288, 0.5552, 0.4108, 0.5384, 0.6133, 0.5322, 0.481, 0.4042, 0.4346, 0.4346, 0.4867, 0.5831, 0.629, 0.5073, 0.4935, 0.4884, 0.4933, 0.5454, 0.4699, 0.5097, 0.4918, 0.5297, 0.489, 0.4914, 0.5205, 0.4663, 0.5307, 0.4544, 0.4552, 0.5169, 0.6718, 0.478, 0.5301, 0.4301, 0.4465, 0.4054]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972340179915743714", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-28T16:38:37+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we're in hyperscaling mode with $NBIS and $CIFR", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long-term conviction on RKLB (national security moat, #2 to SpaceX); medium-term long on NBIS and CIFR during current hyperscaling period.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Melissa09744266 I don't long term invest unless it's $RKLB since space is a national security issue, huge moat m, and #2 second to SpaceX.\n\nBut yeah I'd expect in 4-5 years AWS, GOOGL hyperscaler chips might be ready around then. Until then, we're in hyperscaling mode with $NBIS and $CIFR.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thank you for being honest about the risks and speculations. I also agree with your timeline of 8mo-1yr. This is a trade not a long term investment. Amazon is a ruthless company and will not just give their infrastructure dominance. AWS is likely next AWS.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Melissa09744266", "ret_m1d": -0.022863402690541768, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.022863402690541768, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.020060912274418974, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01965792073995065, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003205481950591116, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01859912356794835, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01859912356794835, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014832256808836375, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0201175336178111, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0015184100498627506, "ret_p1w": 0.13355108925491654, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.13355108925491654, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12160260787250388, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15075906719363552, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017207977938718977, "ret_p1m": 0.10533478934648022, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10533478934648022, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0701069826039109, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12195232126657751, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016617531920097295, "ret_p3m": -0.17319909050862348, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17319909050862348, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2165030751207767, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17254361511278626, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0006554753958372128, "ret_p6m": 0.042551282793175105, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.042551282793175105, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.052768289205117, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09910514292146178, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.05655386012828667, "price_path": [-0.5466, -0.5441, -0.5441, -0.566, -0.5727, -0.5822, -0.5788, -0.5981, -0.5287, -0.5143, -0.5163, -0.5129, -0.521, -0.5249, -0.5372, -0.5293, -0.5268, -0.5339, -0.5214, -0.5427, -0.5347, -0.5062, -0.5282, -0.5085, -0.4995, -0.5002, -0.4075, -0.376, -0.3627, -0.3165, -0.3592, -0.3789, -0.3502, -0.3419, -0.3904, -0.3879, -0.3996, -0.3742, -0.3647, -0.3606, -0.364, -0.3464, -0.3801, -0.3801, -0.4037, -0.4044, -0.4111, -0.406, -0.4188, -0.1316, -0.1527, -0.1908, -0.1797, -0.1747, -0.1886, -0.1464, -0.1461, -0.099, -0.0328, -0.022, 0.0273, -0.0207, -0.0229, 0.0, 0.0186, 0.0489, 0.142, 0.1611, 0.1336, 0.0679, 0.1069, 0.2034, 0.1756, 0.229, 0.1627, 0.1416, 0.1163, 0.0292, -0.0111, -0.0539, -0.1052, -0.0368, 0.0639, 0.138, 0.1053, 0.135, 0.1267, 0.1869, 0.093, 0.0029, 0.0615, -0.0071, 0.0096, -0.0024, -0.0726, -0.1439, -0.1959, -0.2421, -0.2199, -0.1786, -0.1375, -0.2321, -0.2446, -0.1662, -0.1936, -0.1409, -0.1409, -0.1393, -0.0914, -0.1249, -0.1025, -0.0673, -0.1105, -0.0897, -0.1253, -0.1509, -0.1446, -0.2044, -0.2638, -0.2656, -0.3155, -0.2915, -0.1884, -0.1541, -0.1832, -0.1732, -0.1732, -0.2053, -0.2194, -0.2273, -0.2406, -0.2406, -0.1839, -0.1578, -0.0905, -0.1271, -0.1172, -0.1115, -0.0262, -0.0435, -0.0748, -0.0575, -0.0135, -0.0135, -0.0992, -0.103, -0.1213, -0.1426, -0.1702, -0.112, -0.0888, -0.1389, -0.2271, -0.2001, -0.1839, -0.2525, -0.3298, -0.2188, -0.1573, -0.1672, -0.1961, -0.1859, -0.1108, -0.1108, -0.1152, -0.0764, -0.0237, -0.1116, -0.0872, -0.0693, -0.0372, -0.0484, -0.1727, -0.1743, -0.2125, -0.1129, -0.1322, -0.1895, -0.1386, -0.1251, 0.0161, -0.0198, 0.0248, 0.1781, 0.0554, 0.0757, 0.1025, 0.0671, 0.0357, 0.0426]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972340179915743714", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-09-28T16:38:37+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we're in hyperscaling mode with $NBIS and $CIFR", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long-term conviction on RKLB (national security moat, #2 to SpaceX); medium-term long on NBIS and CIFR during current hyperscaling period.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Melissa09744266 I don't long term invest unless it's $RKLB since space is a national security issue, huge moat m, and #2 second to SpaceX.\n\nBut yeah I'd expect in 4-5 years AWS, GOOGL hyperscaler chips might be ready around then. Until then, we're in hyperscaling mode with $NBIS and $CIFR.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thank you for being honest about the risks and speculations. I also agree with your timeline of 8mo-1yr. This is a trade not a long term investment. Amazon is a ruthless company and will not just give their infrastructure dominance. AWS is likely next AWS.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Melissa09744266", "ret_m1d": -0.09328058395930305, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09328058395930305, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09047809354318026, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08796551066294789, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005315073296355166, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0047430409289889175, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0047430409289889175, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008509907688100893, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010200900396175938, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005457859467187021, "ret_p1w": 0.21264826997442654, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.21264826997442654, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.20069978859201387, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1867144587877414, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02593381118668514, "ret_p1m": 0.5778655878561747, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5778655878561747, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5426377811136054, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5007064737373843, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0771591141187904, "ret_p3m": 0.2822134231209563, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2822134231209563, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.23890943850880308, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.236860256046181, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": 0.045353167074775325, "ret_p6m": 0.17628462949864776, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.17628462949864776, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.18650163591058966, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.20224649576629916, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0259618662676514, "price_path": [-0.551, -0.5217, -0.5217, -0.5423, -0.5233, -0.5051, -0.5067, -0.536, -0.5233, -0.5281, -0.5043, -0.4925, -0.4972, -0.5059, -0.4514, -0.4719, -0.4743, -0.4885, -0.513, -0.551, -0.5692, -0.5684, -0.6103, -0.5897, -0.604, -0.5881, -0.615, -0.6245, -0.6237, -0.6269, -0.6126, -0.5794, -0.5881, -0.5217, -0.5447, -0.5296, -0.5336, -0.4957, -0.4751, -0.4372, -0.4474, -0.4451, -0.396, -0.396, -0.3423, -0.3589, -0.415, -0.4055, -0.3897, -0.2711, -0.1897, -0.2119, -0.1423, -0.1423, -0.0901, -0.0213, -0.0632, -0.0292, 0.1036, 0.1186, 0.1178, -0.0783, -0.0933, 0.0, -0.0047, -0.004, 0.0917, 0.1621, 0.2126, 0.2451, 0.3913, 0.4221, 0.3415, 0.6079, 0.6514, 0.6625, 0.4798, 0.483, 0.5739, 0.4289, 0.2735, 0.364, 0.6332, 0.6237, 0.5779, 0.5486, 0.5075, 0.4743, 0.7992, 0.7794, 0.9534, 0.7162, 0.6356, 0.5534, 0.4759, 0.3739, 0.1802, 0.1352, 0.1344, 0.1526, 0.1557, 0.151, 0.1186, 0.3209, 0.385, 0.5138, 0.5138, 0.6087, 0.5565, 0.3945, 0.4727, 0.5676, 0.5241, 0.5399, 0.5462, 0.4609, 0.4925, 0.3478, 0.1652, 0.185, 0.1375, 0.1976, 0.2814, 0.2917, 0.2577, 0.2822, 0.2822, 0.2008, 0.1921, 0.1534, 0.1668, 0.1668, 0.2806, 0.4356, 0.3866, 0.2711, 0.3083, 0.3146, 0.3976, 0.4427, 0.4332, 0.385, 0.4862, 0.4862, 0.4166, 0.4008, 0.3747, 0.3889, 0.3036, 0.4822, 0.4996, 0.3992, 0.2617, 0.2498, 0.2854, 0.1265, 0.004, 0.1644, 0.3249, 0.3518, 0.287, 0.2727, 0.298, 0.298, 0.2364, 0.219, 0.249, 0.1581, 0.2032, 0.3534, 0.313, 0.3028, 0.2332, 0.2458, 0.1628, 0.268, 0.1976, 0.0767, 0.1312, 0.1036, 0.1154, 0.0838, 0.113, 0.1968, 0.1929, 0.1597, 0.1573, 0.1075, 0.1771, 0.1763]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1975418437376877033", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-07T04:30:31+00:00", "symbol": "AMZN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm on the $AMZN hype train... Amazon has too much going for it like robotics cutting opex and AWS backlog", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AMZN on robotics/AWS; bearish META on excessive AI capex with little to show.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMZN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@AdityaInvests90 Oof I’m on the $AMZN hype train, I’ll have a little competition with @pepemoonboy. \n\nI just felt like Meta blew too much capex on AI this quarter with nothing much to show. \n\nAmazon has too much going for it like robotics cutting opex and AWS backlog.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Would you guys rather pick $META or $AMZN right now", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "AdityaInvests90", "ret_m1d": -0.003967918151574268, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.003967918151574268, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.007689207052299252, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02178724216419503, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003721288900724984, "bench_c_m1d": 0.017819324012620763, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.015510877718191152, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015510877718191152, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.009547825305398883, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01254091455317008, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005963052412792269, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0029699631650210723, "ret_p1w": -0.024303361075460495, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.024303361075460495, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.014006220307811734, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.018575779247106072, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01029714076764876, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005727581828354422, "ret_p1m": 0.12814500101619775, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12814500101619775, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11550151718892021, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10540412032533908, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012643483827277535, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022740880690858667, "ret_p3m": 0.021282357501499538, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.021282357501499538, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0027323173941709022, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.015049425657649884, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02401467489567044, "bench_c_p3m": 0.006232931843849654, "ret_p6m": -0.05054554746496187, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.05054554746496187, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0353777518743108, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.014039809434992945, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.015167795590651068, "bench_c_p6m": -0.06458535689995482, "price_path": [0.0022, 0.0146, 0.0176, 0.0206, 0.0064, 0.0095, 0.0196, 0.0339, 0.0257, 0.0294, 0.0471, 0.0436, 0.0496, 0.0416, 0.0379, 0.0556, -0.0317, -0.0457, -0.0362, 0.0024, 0.0061, 0.0041, -0.0022, -0.0014, 0.0125, 0.0415, 0.0417, 0.0438, 0.0281, 0.0092, 0.0008, 0.0318, 0.0278, 0.0312, 0.0331, 0.0443, 0.0326, 0.0326, 0.0161, 0.019, 0.0627, 0.0476, 0.0634, 0.0742, 0.0386, 0.0368, 0.0287, 0.0435, 0.0553, 0.0444, 0.0426, 0.0437, 0.0264, -0.0048, -0.0071, -0.0164, -0.009, 0.0018, -0.01, -0.0052, 0.0028, -0.0102, -0.004, 0.0, 0.0155, 0.0269, -0.0244, -0.0077, -0.0243, -0.028, -0.033, -0.0394, -0.0239, 0.0011, -0.0173, -0.0031, 0.011, 0.0234, 0.0337, 0.0384, 0.0049, 0.1012, 0.1453, 0.1242, 0.1281, 0.0959, 0.102, 0.12, 0.1232, 0.1011, 0.0712, 0.0582, 0.05, 0.0035, 0.0041, -0.0209, -0.0049, 0.0203, 0.0356, 0.0333, 0.0333, 0.0516, 0.0546, 0.057, 0.0478, 0.0331, 0.0349, 0.023, 0.0277, 0.0451, 0.0383, 0.0199, 0.0034, 0.0035, -0.0023, 0.0225, 0.0251, 0.03, 0.0467, 0.0478, 0.0478, 0.0484, 0.0464, 0.0485, 0.0408, 0.0408, 0.0213, 0.0509, 0.0863, 0.0892, 0.1105, 0.1154, 0.1113, 0.0939, 0.067, 0.0739, 0.0782, 0.0782, 0.0416, 0.043, 0.0566, 0.0784, 0.075, 0.1033, 0.0957, 0.09, 0.079, 0.0955, 0.0759, 0.0505, 0.0041, -0.0517, -0.0589, -0.0668, -0.0798, -0.1, -0.1037, -0.1037, -0.093, -0.0766, -0.0763, -0.0526, -0.0744, -0.0596, -0.0502, -0.0625, -0.0531, -0.0604, -0.0588, -0.0224, -0.0128, -0.0386, -0.0374, -0.0336, -0.0412, -0.0552, -0.0636, -0.0453, -0.0297, -0.0537, -0.0587, -0.074, -0.0525, -0.0656, -0.0454, -0.0642, -0.1012, -0.0939, -0.0609, -0.0505]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1975418437376877033", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-07T04:30:31+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Meta blew too much capex on AI this quarter with nothing much to show", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AMZN on robotics/AWS; bearish META on excessive AI capex with little to show.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@AdityaInvests90 Oof I’m on the $AMZN hype train, I’ll have a little competition with @pepemoonboy. \n\nI just felt like Meta blew too much capex on AI this quarter with nothing much to show. \n\nAmazon has too much going for it like robotics cutting opex and AWS backlog.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Would you guys rather pick $META or $AMZN right now", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "AdityaInvests90", "ret_m1d": 0.003618095139783728, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.003618095139783728, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00010319376094125587, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00025927269867853653, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003721288900724984, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0038773678384622645, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006675299796049083, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006675299796049083, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0007122473832568144, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01081102209325624, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005963052412792269, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004135722297207156, "ret_p1w": -0.006212492270822878, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.006212492270822878, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.004084648496825882, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.006453359879106335, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01029714076764876, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012665852149929213, "ret_p1m": -0.10816458320401356, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10816458320401356, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1208080670312911, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08541781284976757, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012643483827277535, "bench_c_p1m": -0.022746770354245993, "ret_p3m": -0.08714250733650242, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08714250733650242, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11115718223217286, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09764102690921783, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02401467489567044, "bench_c_p3m": 0.010498519572715415, "ret_p6m": -0.18634836117437537, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.18634836117437537, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1711805655837243, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.15098959283906532, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.015167795590651068, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03535876833531004, "price_path": [0.0192, 0.0055, 0.0103, -0.0044, -0.0149, -0.017, -0.013, -0.0008, -0.0123, 0.0, 0.0017, -0.0012, 0.0057, -0.019, -0.0257, 0.0839, 0.0511, 0.088, 0.0699, 0.0819, 0.0676, 0.0781, 0.0733, 0.1071, 0.0932, 0.0961, 0.1004, 0.0754, 0.0531, 0.0479, 0.0358, 0.0578, 0.0557, 0.0568, 0.0474, 0.0526, 0.0352, 0.0352, 0.0302, 0.0329, 0.0492, 0.0545, 0.0543, 0.0731, 0.0538, 0.0523, 0.0589, 0.0717, 0.0917, 0.0871, 0.0935, 0.0908, 0.073, 0.0593, 0.0667, 0.0502, 0.043, 0.0425, 0.0299, 0.006, 0.0196, -0.0035, 0.0036, 0.0, 0.0067, 0.0287, -0.0109, 0.0037, -0.0062, 0.0063, -0.0014, 0.0054, 0.0268, 0.0283, 0.0285, 0.0293, 0.0355, 0.0529, 0.0538, 0.0541, -0.0654, -0.0908, -0.1057, -0.1203, -0.1082, -0.132, -0.1281, -0.114, -0.1206, -0.1459, -0.1447, -0.1453, -0.1558, -0.1618, -0.1722, -0.1738, -0.1666, -0.1403, -0.1078, -0.1114, -0.1114, -0.0913, -0.1013, -0.0925, -0.103, -0.0723, -0.0556, -0.0649, -0.0787, -0.0883, -0.0847, -0.0966, -0.0912, -0.0777, -0.0884, -0.0674, -0.0754, -0.0716, -0.0667, -0.0631, -0.0631, -0.0691, -0.0755, -0.0653, -0.0736, -0.0736, -0.0871, -0.0754, -0.0728, -0.0896, -0.0932, -0.0834, -0.099, -0.1143, -0.1361, -0.1287, -0.1295, -0.1295, -0.1521, -0.1397, -0.091, -0.0754, -0.0563, -0.0555, -0.0614, 0.0362, 0.0056, -0.0085, -0.0292, -0.0611, -0.0594, -0.0716, -0.0495, -0.0586, -0.0615, -0.088, -0.1021, -0.1021, -0.1027, -0.0972, -0.095, -0.0798, -0.1056, -0.1027, -0.0825, -0.0779, -0.0903, -0.0827, -0.0806, -0.0628, -0.0729, -0.0949, -0.0914, -0.082, -0.0809, -0.1043, -0.1387, -0.1186, -0.1253, -0.1351, -0.1478, -0.1661, -0.1515, -0.1671, -0.1644, -0.2309, -0.2615, -0.2465, -0.1963, -0.1863]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2010016015330291787", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-10T15:48:57+00:00", "symbol": "VLN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Valens looks like extreme mispricing at $2.5. You have a debt-free, $NVDA-margin fabless chipmaker in the robotics/AI space with Tier-1 customers, trading at a distressed multiples likely due to a technical reporting error.", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long VLN: calls it extreme mispricing at $2.50 due to a data error inflating inventory burn, citing debt-free balance sheet, NVDA-like margins, and Tier-1 AI/robotics customers at 2.4x EV/Revenue.", "resolved_tickers": ["VLN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Valens looks like extreme mispricing at $2.5.\n\nThe -$82M inventory burn was a massive data error, likely from ticker collision between $VLN and $VLN Toronto. \n\nRetail has found out about the alpha early.   \n\nYet algorithms have not caught on yet, as they're still modeling negative EV from -$82M burn (this requires manual correction). \n\nEveryone is encouraged to fact check everything below from financials posted to -$82M error on Stonegate, Streetwise, and scanners. \n\n$VLN is heavily misunderstood due to its $255M market cap size. \n\nThis is not due to company quality and it's definitely not some pump and dump Chinese penny stock. But an  artificial suppression from algorithmic pricing in <1Y runway from $82m burn. \n\nThis is a extremely mispriced AI & Robotics fabless chipmaker with:\n\n- Mercedes\n- Samsung\n- Mobileye  (EyeQ6)\n- Siemens\n- Logitch\n\nand many other leading OEMs and Robotics companies as customers. \n\n$VLN has \n\n- Zero Debt. \n- $93.5 Million Cash and $11M+ in Inventory\n- $11 Million + in inventory. \n- ~$80M+ est. forward revenue\n- 69.1% gross margins on their robotics/machine vision/industrial vertical (growing 40% Y/Y). Blended margins from their automotive segment brings it down to 63.0%. \n\nIf you want to compare similar companies:\n\n- Lattice $LSCC trades around 19x and 23x EV/Revenue. \n- Macom $MTSI, trades around 13x and 16.5x. EV/Revenue. \n\nValens trades at:\n\n2.4x. Which looks like a glitch. \n\nEven non-premium, 20-30% gross margin, companies trade at 4-5x. \n\nWe now see an extreme mispricing of a $NVDA-margin fabless chipmaker in verticals for machine vision in robotics to AI automotive sectors. \n\nFinal Point: \n\nI encourage everyone to do valuation modeling themselves from the financial data. \n\nAnd then do due diligence on the -$82M error.\n\nMaybe you'll come to the same conclusion that I did regarding the extreme mispricing at $2.5. \n\nYou have a debt-free, $NVDA-margin fabless chipmaker in the robotics/AI space with Tier-1 customers, trading at a distressed multiples likely due to a technical reporting error.\n\nThis might be one of the rarest moments in history retail has discovered.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$VLN supply chain is misunderstood.\n\nValens is fabless, asset-light, and runs just-in-time manufacturing.\n\nInventory is ~$11M, not $82M as some screens still show (credit to @aleabitoreddit )\n\nThat’s normal for a chip designer with diversified suppliers and no factory risk.\n\nKey https://t.co/Xbp4lQ7ap2", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.07359310844371292, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07359310844371292, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07516109979748642, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07727918438675141, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0015679913537735013, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0036860759430384915, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012987000923330161, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012987000923330161, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014986476029200446, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01076001298232776, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019994751058702853, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0022269879410024007, "ret_p1w": -0.1385281130603636, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1385281130603636, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1334932848998024, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.16343470932083937, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.005034828160561222, "bench_c_p1w": 0.024906596260475755, "ret_p1m": -0.32900433302555665, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.32900433302555665, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3246312130634772, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.36509711439897574, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0043731199620794525, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03609278137341909, "ret_p3m": -0.419913391094622, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.419913391094622, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4006470825098737, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5214082805760099, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.019266308584748315, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10149488948138785, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2035, -0.2338, -0.2597, -0.2208, -0.2338, -0.2511, -0.2381, -0.2294, -0.2424, -0.2381, -0.2597, -0.2641, -0.2078, -0.2554, -0.3117, -0.2814, -0.3247, -0.316, -0.3074, -0.2208, -0.2641, -0.2554, -0.2468, -0.3247, -0.342, -0.3723, -0.3853, -0.3506, -0.3377, -0.3333, -0.3203, -0.3203, -0.3074, -0.3203, -0.316, -0.2771, -0.2727, -0.2727, -0.2641, -0.2641, -0.2727, -0.2944, -0.3117, -0.3333, -0.3377, -0.3593, -0.3593, -0.355, -0.368, -0.3939, -0.4026, -0.4026, -0.3766, -0.3896, -0.4026, -0.3853, -0.3853, -0.3247, -0.3203, -0.3117, -0.329, -0.3247, 0.0736, 0.0, 0.013, -0.0952, -0.0952, -0.1385, -0.1385, -0.1602, -0.1515, -0.0909, -0.1515, -0.2035, -0.2035, -0.2338, -0.2381, -0.2641, -0.2771, -0.3074, -0.3333, -0.381, -0.3333, -0.342, -0.329, -0.3333, -0.3506, -0.342, -0.342, -0.368, -0.355, -0.355, -0.3463, -0.3593, -0.3377, -0.3333, -0.3074, -0.3593, -0.3593, -0.3766, -0.3766, -0.3939, -0.4156, -0.4156, -0.4026, -0.381, -0.4156, -0.4242, -0.4242, -0.4199, -0.4589, -0.4459, -0.4719, -0.4545, -0.4589, -0.4545, -0.4719, -0.4892, -0.5195, -0.5108, -0.4935, -0.4848, -0.4848, -0.4848, -0.4892, -0.4329, -0.4199, -0.4242, -0.4156, -0.4026, -0.3636, -0.329, -0.342, -0.3636, -0.3506, -0.303, -0.2857, -0.2251, -0.303, -0.3463, -0.3463, -0.0606, 0.013, -0.026, 0.0476, 0.0823, 0.0433, 0.2078, 0.2338, 0.1688, 0.2771, 0.4589, 0.3203, 0.2208, 0.1515, 0.2554, 0.3247, 0.3939, 0.3939, 0.4113, 0.3636, 0.5152, 0.5281, 0.5281, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1995287079862050998", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-01T00:21:25+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it's my individual thesis on why I'm bearish", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author states a personal bearish thesis on ETH, citing negative changes to L1 scaling and token utility.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Arguments from authority are the worst ones because they hold no merit without any reasoning. \n\nWith Ethereum especially this is true when you see core aspects of it changing in a negative way (we went from L1 scaling with sharding -> L2s, and $ETH token going from a gas token that appreciated from usage to governance/collat). \n\nIf you want my background though, I invented how most wallets nowadays do key signatures with TEEs. And I was a researcher in dpos + secret sharing back at UC Berkeley. So I do know a tiny bit enough to comment. \n\nWe'll see where the price goes, it's my individual thesis on why I'm bearish, people are free to buy $BMNR and hold $ETH with their own money.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @VitalikButerin @fundstrat glad you know more about this than the man who started and is running a $5B company an the man who created Eth!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "otium33", "ret_m1d": 0.08289279096154756, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08289279096154756, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07830634609922482, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.07062049558248629, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07062049558248629, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06876819590840721, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": 0.1160668216622518, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1160668216622518, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11112756640799382, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": 0.0611486529490981, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0611486529490981, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04825654615673103, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.27619434688681554, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.27619434688681554, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2924626055013444, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.2604577118557324, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2604577118557324, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3701110914364024, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.5893, 0.5352, 0.5381, 0.5385, 0.5388, 0.5532, 0.5932, 0.6839, 0.6166, 0.6083, 0.6402, 0.6391, 0.5966, 0.5009, 0.4876, 0.4833, 0.3815, 0.4413, 0.5061, 0.4806, 0.5539, 0.6027, 0.6123, 0.6741, 0.5896, 0.6169, 0.5603, 0.3724, 0.5161, 0.4733, 0.424, 0.3909, 0.3687, 0.4216, 0.3845, 0.36, 0.3771, 0.4051, 0.4714, 0.4221, 0.394, 0.3586, 0.3739, 0.2865, 0.1758, 0.2232, 0.1829, 0.2268, 0.2744, 0.2197, 0.2189, 0.1545, 0.1084, 0.0801, 0.1153, 0.0796, 0.0113, -0.0123, 0.0545, 0.0563, 0.0813, 0.0765, 0.0829, 0.0, 0.0706, 0.1398, 0.1193, 0.0801, 0.1161, 0.186, 0.1876, 0.156, 0.1014, 0.0586, 0.0586, 0.0111, 0.0096, 0.0635, 0.0735, 0.0583, 0.0519, 0.0369, 0.0448, 0.048, 0.0611, 0.0596, 0.0715, 0.1158, 0.1521, 0.177, 0.1309, 0.1086, 0.101, 0.1043, 0.1864, 0.198, 0.1846, 0.1769, 0.138, 0.0484, 0.0638, 0.0534, 0.0547, 0.0451, 0.0793, 0.0737, 0.0064, -0.0349, -0.1628, -0.2045, -0.2345, -0.3494, -0.2631, -0.2488, -0.2788, -0.307, -0.3047, -0.2684, -0.2865, -0.2886, -0.3022, -0.3043, -0.2968, -0.3374, -0.3383, -0.2663, -0.2762, -0.3105, -0.276, -0.2919, -0.2406, -0.2602, -0.2934, -0.2883, -0.2725, -0.2673, -0.2596, -0.2527, -0.1604, -0.1722, -0.213, -0.2367, -0.2334, -0.2314, -0.2302, -0.2258, -0.2645, -0.2889, -0.2774, -0.2484, -0.2362, -0.2655, -0.2667, -0.2473, -0.1994, -0.2178, -0.2182, -0.1982, -0.1534, -0.1703, -0.1574, -0.1613, -0.1354, -0.1732, -0.1686, -0.1515, -0.1674, -0.173, -0.1775, -0.1824, -0.1953, -0.1943, -0.1804, -0.1621, -0.1568, -0.1605, -0.1818, -0.1761, -0.1646, -0.1877, -0.1938, -0.1854, -0.206, -0.2399, -0.2465, -0.2404, -0.2388, -0.2627, -0.246, -0.2605]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1965282462743101843", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-09T05:13:46+00:00", "symbol": "SG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Hedging likely overshot the selloff, so I'd call it a buyable dip since drop was due to short term hedging", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "days", "summary": "SG's 8.2% drop is options-flow-driven, not fundamental; author calls it a buyable dip as hedging overshot.", "resolved_tickers": ["SG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Restaurants'", "bench_c_industry": "Restaurants", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@lionsfan5116 TBH, CFO retiring is nothing unless it's $SMCI.\n\n$SG dropping 8.2% looks option flow-driven (10k+ $8 puts 9/19 caused MM shorts), not fundamental changes.  \n\nHedging likely overshot the selloff, so I'd call it a buyable dip since drop was due to short term hedging. https://t.co/crWek6LeYR", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit CFO retired, new cfo coming. False to say no news", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "lionsfan5116", "ret_m1d": -0.054147494297730914, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.054147494297730914, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05184100089744059, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05554757938894084, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023064934002903215, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0014000850912099239, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0011519901907788288, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0011519901907788288, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0017388640882258777, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01311698116139548, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028908542790047065, "bench_c_p1d": -0.011964990970616651, "ret_p1w": 0.020737251748036645, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.020737251748036645, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.005867851293401172, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.006798818577361088, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014869400454635473, "bench_c_p1w": 0.027536070325397732, "ret_p1m": -0.10483874334735277, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10483874334735277, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14273663806755654, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10962020778869452, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03789789472020377, "bench_c_p1m": 0.004781464441341754, "ret_p3m": -0.22926269331680882, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22926269331680882, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2865582647340089, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2470501942332909, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0572955714172001, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01778750091648207, "ret_p6m": -0.3629032240343498, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3629032240343498, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4224569233822867, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.35425918645513355, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05955369934793686, "bench_c_p6m": -0.00864403757921628, "price_path": [0.5253, 0.4493, 0.4562, 0.409, 0.4159, 0.4159, 0.4136, 0.477, 0.5357, 0.4597, 0.5726, 0.5657, 0.7143, 0.6763, 0.659, 0.6924, 0.6924, 0.5242, 0.5495, 0.5357, 0.5795, 0.5714, 0.5622, 0.4977, 0.5058, 0.5657, 0.6486, 0.6129, 0.7535, 0.8733, 0.6463, 0.7028, 0.5806, 0.5161, 0.5369, 0.4839, 0.3744, 0.4309, 0.4355, 0.4194, 0.4585, 0.1221, 0.1037, 0.1118, 0.1071, 0.0541, 0.0588, 0.0691, 0.0876, 0.0392, 0.0346, 0.076, 0.0484, 0.053, 0.0415, 0.0668, 0.0484, 0.0484, 0.015, 0.0265, 0.0069, 0.0288, -0.0541, 0.0, 0.0012, 0.0012, -0.0219, -0.0323, 0.0207, 0.0035, -0.0058, -0.0104, 0.0219, -0.0392, -0.0415, -0.0588, -0.0611, -0.076, -0.0806, -0.0703, -0.0645, -0.0507, -0.0864, -0.106, -0.1048, -0.0864, -0.1325, -0.1348, -0.1141, -0.1359, -0.1509, -0.1578, -0.144, -0.0645, -0.0899, -0.1429, -0.1498, -0.1659, -0.197, -0.2005, -0.2776, -0.2753, -0.2615, -0.2615, -0.2546, -0.28, -0.3341, -0.3744, -0.3975, -0.3813, -0.3157, -0.2949, -0.341, -0.3145, -0.303, -0.303, -0.2235, -0.2535, -0.2097, -0.2362, -0.2362, -0.2523, -0.2615, -0.235, -0.1993, -0.2051, -0.2293, -0.25, -0.2051, -0.1935, -0.1717, -0.1636, -0.1647, -0.2039, -0.2177, -0.1866, -0.2108, -0.2235, -0.2327, -0.1912, -0.1912, -0.197, -0.2189, -0.2477, -0.2212, -0.2212, -0.2016, -0.1982, -0.1578, -0.1601, -0.1164, -0.0991, -0.0968, -0.1106, -0.0864, -0.068, -0.0818, -0.0818, -0.1947, -0.2016, -0.1889, -0.1751, -0.2327, -0.2546, -0.2581, -0.2938, -0.2926, -0.2938, -0.2984, -0.25, -0.3214, -0.2995, -0.3502, -0.3767, -0.3906, -0.409, -0.4078, -0.4078, -0.3917, -0.3145, -0.3041, -0.3329, -0.3767, -0.3767, -0.3249, -0.2926, -0.3606, -0.379, -0.3859, -0.3629]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1977887219877810497", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-14T00:00:35+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS has the potential to outlast any market correction/crash and become the next $100B+ $MSFT with sum of parts investments", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long NBIS: diversified clients, full-stack + software orchestration, and built-in profitability give it $100B+ upside and resilience through market corrections.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "IREN might outperform near term just because of raw GW but $NBIS has the potential to outlast any market correction/crash and become the next $100B+ $MSFT with sum of parts investments.\n\nAlso they have diversified client base (we've seen why that's important with the $ORCL report)\n\nAlso full stack + software orchestration (we've seen why that's important with the $ORCL report and why $CRWV has been buying up software companies).\n\nPeople are pricing in miners being able to pivot but there's always profitability risk as seen with oracle, hence why NBIS already has that down.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @arpit_sidana 😕 Why?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Docofgothm", "ret_m1d": 0.05704263102257823, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05704263102257823, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.055819481953185646, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06358769935463282, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012231490693925817, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006545068332054593, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.018103723573359765, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.018103723573359765, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.022543246749142765, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.025172464380612714, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004439523175783, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007068740807252949, "ret_p1w": -0.1862660651897412, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1862660651897412, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.19994714881305797, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.20424327555329658, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01368108362331677, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017977210363555374, "ret_p1m": -0.263675340581189, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.263675340581189, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2956130085486798, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2545123119249466, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03193766796749076, "bench_c_p1m": -0.009163028656242411, "ret_p3m": -0.23581736270482678, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.23581736270482678, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2869943239005246, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2681214880913829, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05117696119569781, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03230412538655614, "ret_p6m": -0.02458052318776416, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.02458052318776416, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.05120153402648142, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.02416868812281603, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.026621010838717263, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0004118350649481295, "price_path": [-0.581, -0.5881, -0.5913, -0.602, -0.5952, -0.593, -0.5991, -0.5884, -0.6067, -0.5998, -0.5753, -0.5942, -0.5773, -0.5695, -0.5701, -0.4904, -0.4633, -0.4519, -0.4122, -0.4488, -0.4658, -0.4411, -0.4339, -0.4757, -0.4735, -0.4836, -0.4617, -0.4536, -0.45, -0.453, -0.4378, -0.4669, -0.4669, -0.4872, -0.4877, -0.4935, -0.4891, -0.5001, -0.2531, -0.2712, -0.304, -0.2945, -0.2902, -0.3021, -0.2659, -0.2655, -0.225, -0.1682, -0.1588, -0.1164, -0.1577, -0.1596, -0.1399, -0.1239, -0.0979, -0.0178, -0.0013, -0.025, -0.0815, -0.048, 0.035, 0.0112, 0.057, 0.0, -0.0181, -0.0399, -0.1148, -0.1494, -0.1863, -0.2304, -0.1716, -0.085, -0.0212, -0.0493, -0.0238, -0.031, 0.0208, -0.0599, -0.1374, -0.087, -0.146, -0.1316, -0.142, -0.2023, -0.2637, -0.3084, -0.3481, -0.3291, -0.2935, -0.2581, -0.3395, -0.3503, -0.2829, -0.3064, -0.2611, -0.2611, -0.2597, -0.2185, -0.2474, -0.2281, -0.1978, -0.235, -0.2171, -0.2477, -0.2697, -0.2643, -0.3157, -0.3668, -0.3683, -0.4112, -0.3906, -0.3019, -0.2725, -0.2975, -0.2889, -0.2889, -0.3165, -0.3286, -0.3354, -0.3468, -0.3468, -0.2981, -0.2756, -0.2178, -0.2492, -0.2407, -0.2358, -0.1625, -0.1773, -0.2042, -0.1893, -0.1515, -0.1515, -0.2252, -0.2285, -0.2442, -0.2626, -0.2863, -0.2363, -0.2163, -0.2594, -0.3352, -0.3121, -0.2981, -0.3571, -0.4236, -0.3281, -0.2752, -0.2837, -0.3085, -0.2998, -0.2352, -0.2352, -0.239, -0.2056, -0.1603, -0.2359, -0.2149, -0.1995, -0.1719, -0.1816, -0.2884, -0.2898, -0.3227, -0.237, -0.2536, -0.3029, -0.2591, -0.2475, -0.1261, -0.1569, -0.1186, 0.0133, -0.0922, -0.0748, -0.0517, -0.0822, -0.1092, -0.1033, -0.1019, -0.1731, -0.2133, -0.2801, -0.1903, -0.2044, -0.1508, -0.1508, -0.1218, -0.0839, -0.0246]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1977878456940757367", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-13T23:25:45+00:00", "symbol": "WULF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "aped into $WULF today to complete exodia of the Neoclouds after seeing it not go up much (3.6%) while $CIFR, $WYFI both went up 28%", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bought WULF, WYFI, WLAC, BITF as a Neocloud basket play, citing WULF's relative underperformance vs peers CIFR/WYFI.", "resolved_tickers": ["WULF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Today the WSB degen inside me spoke...\n\nSo aped into $WULF today to complete exodia of the Neoclouds after seeing it not go up much (3.6%) while $CIFR, $WYFI both went up 28%. (bought $WYFI, $WLAC and $BITF a little earlier on)\n\nSimilar $GOOGL contract as $CIFR. https://t.co/0oYU9TtaxV", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Just a heads up about $WLAC to newcomers:  \n\nTry not to buy these types of low-float small MC stocks after-hours/pre-market due to really low liquidity + high spread (and if you do, place limit orders). \n\nBid-Ask is $13.8, Sell $15.08 right now as an example, so you're losing https://t.co/yWmQNQwhKo", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03499998365129742, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03499998365129742, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01988779156228071, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01988779156228071, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10428571701049805, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10428571701049805, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10550737181395475, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10550737181395475, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "ret_p1w": -0.010714258466448134, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.010714258466448134, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.023172063883389216, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.023172063883389216, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "ret_p1m": -0.11642857960292274, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11642857960292274, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14653233508976915, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14653233508976915, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "ret_p3m": -0.08285713195800781, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08285713195800781, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12585223404431956, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12585223404431956, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "ret_p6m": 0.18357140677315842, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.18357140677315842, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.18367157580145033, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.18367157580145033, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "bench_c_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "price_path": [-0.625, -0.6171, -0.6336, -0.6436, -0.6243, -0.6286, -0.62, -0.6307, -0.6357, -0.6271, -0.6421, -0.6314, -0.66, -0.6507, -0.6386, -0.6321, -0.6471, -0.6407, -0.6143, -0.6257, -0.61, -0.3779, -0.3593, -0.33, -0.3729, -0.3371, -0.3436, -0.3457, -0.3621, -0.34, -0.3479, -0.3257, -0.325, -0.325, -0.3121, -0.3586, -0.3664, -0.3479, -0.3429, -0.2643, -0.2464, -0.24, -0.2314, -0.2507, -0.2186, -0.1893, -0.2021, -0.2157, -0.1793, -0.1971, -0.1857, -0.2164, -0.2264, -0.1714, -0.1843, -0.1807, -0.1729, -0.1486, -0.145, -0.1357, -0.1214, -0.0293, -0.035, 0.0, 0.1043, 0.105, -0.01, -0.005, -0.0107, -0.0614, -0.0986, -0.08, -0.0207, -0.0257, 0.1386, 0.0357, 0.0586, 0.1071, 0.15, 0.0721, 0.0971, 0.02, -0.0043, 0.0214, -0.1164, -0.0971, -0.1657, -0.215, -0.2107, -0.1429, -0.1264, -0.1743, -0.1936, -0.0979, -0.0043, 0.06, 0.06, 0.1079, 0.0929, 0.0157, 0.0307, 0.0786, 0.0357, 0.0686, 0.1136, 0.1257, 0.1307, 0.0236, -0.1079, -0.0721, -0.1736, -0.1579, -0.1057, -0.1093, -0.1129, -0.1207, -0.1207, -0.1607, -0.1843, -0.2036, -0.1793, -0.1793, -0.09, -0.0271, -0.0586, -0.1079, -0.0829, -0.0643, -0.0136, 0.01, 0.015, -0.0121, -0.0107, -0.0107, -0.0479, -0.0629, -0.0793, 0.0086, -0.015, 0.0936, 0.0793, 0.0386, -0.045, -0.04, 0.0571, -0.0086, -0.1486, 0.0207, 0.1893, 0.1879, 0.145, 0.1364, 0.1614, 0.1614, 0.1557, 0.0986, 0.105, 0.0721, 0.12, 0.2543, 0.28, 0.2771, 0.1586, 0.1443, 0.0529, 0.0979, 0.0879, -0.0179, -0.0107, 0.025, 0.0871, 0.0479, 0.0479, 0.1721, 0.1457, 0.0929, 0.1243, 0.0786, 0.1564, 0.1586, 0.2043, 0.0964, 0.0636, -0.0214, 0.0307, 0.0343, 0.0629, 0.0629, 0.1107, 0.1836]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1977878456940757367", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-13T23:25:45+00:00", "symbol": "WYFI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "bought $WYFI, $WLAC and $BITF a little earlier on", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bought WULF, WYFI, WLAC, BITF as a Neocloud basket play, citing WULF's relative underperformance vs peers CIFR/WYFI.", "resolved_tickers": ["WYFI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Today the WSB degen inside me spoke...\n\nSo aped into $WULF today to complete exodia of the Neoclouds after seeing it not go up much (3.6%) while $CIFR, $WYFI both went up 28%. (bought $WYFI, $WLAC and $BITF a little earlier on)\n\nSimilar $GOOGL contract as $CIFR. https://t.co/0oYU9TtaxV", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Just a heads up about $WLAC to newcomers:  \n\nTry not to buy these types of low-float small MC stocks after-hours/pre-market due to really low liquidity + high spread (and if you do, place limit orders). \n\nBid-Ask is $13.8, Sell $15.08 right now as an example, so you're losing https://t.co/yWmQNQwhKo", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.15589067524429223, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.15589067524429223, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.14077848315527552, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.13211528909386572, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "bench_c_m1d": -0.023775386150426514, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03807824272412075, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03807824272412075, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03685658792066404, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02524374508480076, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "bench_c_p1d": -0.012834497639319986, "ret_p1w": -0.18221315802429294, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.18221315802429294, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.19467096344123402, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.19280324702048812, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01059008899619518, "ret_p1m": -0.34040381391725916, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.34040381391725916, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.37050756940410556, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.367896129647983, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02749231573072386, "ret_p3m": -0.5476616335346294, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.5476616335346294, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5906567356209411, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5608030405078885, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "bench_c_p3m": 0.013141406973259162, "ret_p6m": -0.6736519266755348, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.6736519266755348, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.6735517576472428, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.6401600700210804, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03349185665445431, "price_path": [null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, -0.5855, -0.609, -0.6241, -0.6062, -0.5574, -0.5441, -0.5633, -0.5224, -0.565, -0.5727, -0.573, -0.5633, -0.5768, -0.5737, -0.5681, -0.5653, -0.5679, -0.5679, -0.5423, -0.573, -0.5845, -0.5824, -0.5911, -0.53, -0.3974, -0.4743, -0.4902, -0.4891, -0.5073, -0.4646, -0.4017, -0.3279, -0.2839, -0.2826, -0.3292, -0.3971, -0.4166, -0.3166, -0.3056, -0.1825, -0.1393, -0.2027, -0.1329, -0.1406, -0.1237, -0.1377, -0.1559, 0.0, -0.0381, -0.0626, -0.1965, -0.2264, -0.1822, -0.2374, -0.2906, -0.2593, -0.1301, -0.0552, -0.1352, -0.1367, -0.1766, -0.1314, -0.1664, -0.2213, -0.2165, -0.2832, -0.2653, -0.2576, -0.3404, -0.4189, -0.4922, -0.54, -0.5336, -0.5691, -0.5551, -0.5556, -0.5569, -0.5253, -0.5446, -0.4935, -0.4935, -0.4523, -0.4971, -0.5132, -0.5035, -0.4613, -0.5035, -0.5081, -0.4899, -0.5106, -0.5231, -0.5239, -0.6113, -0.6146, -0.6379, -0.6346, -0.5722, -0.5321, -0.5497, -0.5566, -0.5566, -0.5765, -0.5875, -0.6026, -0.5962, -0.5962, -0.5699, -0.5507, -0.5472, -0.5719, -0.5477, -0.5472, -0.5226, -0.529, -0.4669, -0.5288, -0.5024, -0.5024, -0.5101, -0.4807, -0.4968, -0.4861, -0.4753, -0.448, -0.4337, -0.4373, -0.5014, -0.5019, -0.5285, -0.5878, -0.632, -0.5256, -0.4927, -0.506, -0.5198, -0.5351, -0.5037, -0.5037, -0.5295, -0.5543, -0.5441, -0.5684, -0.5653, -0.5497, -0.5257, -0.527, -0.5694, -0.5564, -0.6006, -0.5671, -0.5926, -0.6039, -0.596, -0.5944, -0.562, -0.5714, -0.5975, -0.5957, -0.608, -0.6261, -0.6133, -0.6461, -0.6317, -0.6386, -0.6246, -0.6891, -0.7245, -0.7138, -0.6956, -0.7028, -0.703, -0.703, -0.6926, -0.6737]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1977878456940757367", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-10-13T23:25:45+00:00", "symbol": "BITF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "bought $WYFI, $WLAC and $BITF a little earlier on", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bought WULF, WYFI, WLAC, BITF as a Neocloud basket play, citing WULF's relative underperformance vs peers CIFR/WYFI.", "resolved_tickers": ["BITF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Today the WSB degen inside me spoke...\n\nSo aped into $WULF today to complete exodia of the Neoclouds after seeing it not go up much (3.6%) while $CIFR, $WYFI both went up 28%. (bought $WYFI, $WLAC and $BITF a little earlier on)\n\nSimilar $GOOGL contract as $CIFR. https://t.co/0oYU9TtaxV", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Just a heads up about $WLAC to newcomers:  \n\nTry not to buy these types of low-float small MC stocks after-hours/pre-market due to really low liquidity + high spread (and if you do, place limit orders). \n\nBid-Ask is $13.8, Sell $15.08 right now as an example, so you're losing https://t.co/yWmQNQwhKo", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.22077923686413126, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.22077923686413126, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.20566704477511455, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.20566704477511455, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09276438077650861, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09276438077650861, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09398603557996532, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09398603557996532, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "ret_p1w": -0.07606676392729461, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07606676392729461, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08852456934423569, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08852456934423569, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "ret_p1m": -0.3747680947984142, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3747680947984142, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.4048718502852606, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.4048718502852606, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "ret_p3m": -0.463821859649039, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.463821859649039, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5068169617353507, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5068169617353507, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "ret_p6m": -0.6215213335092058, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.6215213335092058, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.6214211644809139, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.6214211644809139, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "bench_c_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "price_path": [-0.8071, -0.7996, -0.8071, -0.7904, -0.7551, -0.7644, -0.7718, -0.7718, -0.7625, -0.7699, -0.7774, -0.7662, -0.7848, -0.7774, -0.7718, -0.7644, -0.7625, -0.7699, -0.7718, -0.7644, -0.7644, -0.7644, -0.7662, -0.744, -0.7625, -0.7662, -0.7718, -0.7644, -0.7699, -0.7588, -0.7514, -0.7551, -0.7514, -0.7514, -0.7514, -0.7607, -0.7681, -0.7607, -0.7625, -0.705, -0.6753, -0.6215, -0.5863, -0.5399, -0.4638, -0.4341, -0.4063, -0.4212, -0.4304, -0.5195, -0.4852, -0.5028, -0.5288, -0.4768, -0.4768, -0.4805, -0.4564, -0.4416, -0.3581, -0.3562, -0.2579, -0.2263, -0.2208, 0.0, 0.0928, 0.2004, -0.0204, -0.0705, -0.0761, -0.167, -0.269, -0.2273, -0.1447, -0.1577, -0.2022, -0.2096, -0.2468, -0.2635, -0.2375, -0.2876, -0.2468, -0.3154, -0.321, -0.3358, -0.3748, -0.4119, -0.5176, -0.5213, -0.5046, -0.4898, -0.5176, -0.5176, -0.5492, -0.4824, -0.4861, -0.4249, -0.4249, -0.3544, -0.3915, -0.4249, -0.423, -0.4249, -0.4583, -0.4601, -0.4416, -0.4545, -0.4545, -0.4917, -0.5306, -0.5492, -0.5696, -0.5788, -0.5306, -0.5009, -0.5083, -0.5046, -0.5046, -0.5399, -0.5436, -0.5584, -0.564, -0.564, -0.5176, -0.4657, -0.4675, -0.4824, -0.4638, -0.4805, -0.4378, -0.423, -0.4545, -0.4731, -0.4527, -0.4527, -0.5046, -0.5009, -0.5065, -0.4917, -0.5195, -0.5176, -0.5176, -0.5455, -0.5659, -0.5807, -0.5733, -0.6234, -0.6837, -0.603, -0.5807, -0.5918, -0.5974, -0.616, -0.603, -0.603, -0.6104, -0.6178, -0.6141, -0.6234, -0.6215, -0.5909, -0.5714, -0.5677, -0.5918, -0.6011, -0.6308, -0.5844, -0.5881, -0.6215, -0.6085, -0.5993, -0.5844, -0.5881, -0.5844, -0.5807, -0.5603, -0.5696, -0.5566, -0.5974, -0.5714, -0.59, -0.59, -0.6197, -0.6382, -0.6586, -0.6382, -0.6327, -0.6327, -0.6327, -0.5993, -0.6215]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972728782575571385", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-29T18:22:47+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS is incredibly undervalued relative to forward revenue/earnings. Great add currently", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "NBIS is undervalued on forward revenue/earnings; recommends buying now.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@blankeymonkey $NBIS is incredibly undervalued relative to forward revenue/earnings. Great add currently", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit would you recommend buying anything now, or is it better off to wait to see what happens with the gov shutdown?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "blankeymonkey", "ret_m1d": -0.022863402690541768, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.022863402690541768, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.020060912274418974, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01965792073995065, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003205481950591116, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01859912356794835, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01859912356794835, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014832256808836375, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0201175336178111, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0015184100498627506, "ret_p1w": 0.13355108925491654, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.13355108925491654, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12160260787250388, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15075906719363552, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017207977938718977, "ret_p1m": 0.10533478934648022, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10533478934648022, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0701069826039109, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12195232126657751, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016617531920097295, "ret_p3m": -0.17319909050862348, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17319909050862348, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2165030751207767, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17254361511278626, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0006554753958372128, "ret_p6m": 0.042551282793175105, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.042551282793175105, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.052768289205117, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09910514292146178, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.05655386012828667, "price_path": [-0.5466, -0.5441, -0.5441, -0.566, -0.5727, -0.5822, -0.5788, -0.5981, -0.5287, -0.5143, -0.5163, -0.5129, -0.521, -0.5249, -0.5372, -0.5293, -0.5268, -0.5339, -0.5214, -0.5427, -0.5347, -0.5062, -0.5282, -0.5085, -0.4995, -0.5002, -0.4075, -0.376, -0.3627, -0.3165, -0.3592, -0.3789, -0.3502, -0.3419, -0.3904, -0.3879, -0.3996, -0.3742, -0.3647, -0.3606, -0.364, -0.3464, -0.3801, -0.3801, -0.4037, -0.4044, -0.4111, -0.406, -0.4188, -0.1316, -0.1527, -0.1908, -0.1797, -0.1747, -0.1886, -0.1464, -0.1461, -0.099, -0.0328, -0.022, 0.0273, -0.0207, -0.0229, 0.0, 0.0186, 0.0489, 0.142, 0.1611, 0.1336, 0.0679, 0.1069, 0.2034, 0.1756, 0.229, 0.1627, 0.1416, 0.1163, 0.0292, -0.0111, -0.0539, -0.1052, -0.0368, 0.0639, 0.138, 0.1053, 0.135, 0.1267, 0.1869, 0.093, 0.0029, 0.0615, -0.0071, 0.0096, -0.0024, -0.0726, -0.1439, -0.1959, -0.2421, -0.2199, -0.1786, -0.1375, -0.2321, -0.2446, -0.1662, -0.1936, -0.1409, -0.1409, -0.1393, -0.0914, -0.1249, -0.1025, -0.0673, -0.1105, -0.0897, -0.1253, -0.1509, -0.1446, -0.2044, -0.2638, -0.2656, -0.3155, -0.2915, -0.1884, -0.1541, -0.1832, -0.1732, -0.1732, -0.2053, -0.2194, -0.2273, -0.2406, -0.2406, -0.1839, -0.1578, -0.0905, -0.1271, -0.1172, -0.1115, -0.0262, -0.0435, -0.0748, -0.0575, -0.0135, -0.0135, -0.0992, -0.103, -0.1213, -0.1426, -0.1702, -0.112, -0.0888, -0.1389, -0.2271, -0.2001, -0.1839, -0.2525, -0.3298, -0.2188, -0.1573, -0.1672, -0.1961, -0.1859, -0.1108, -0.1108, -0.1152, -0.0764, -0.0237, -0.1116, -0.0872, -0.0693, -0.0372, -0.0484, -0.1727, -0.1743, -0.2125, -0.1129, -0.1322, -0.1895, -0.1386, -0.1251, 0.0161, -0.0198, 0.0248, 0.1781, 0.0554, 0.0757, 0.1025, 0.0671, 0.0357, 0.0426]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2011501137258823738", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-14T18:10:17+00:00", "symbol": "LPTH", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Can easily see this being a $10B+ company down the road", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long LPTH on military contractor adoption, US naval lab monopoly, and $10B+ long-term upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["LPTH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Appreciate it. I found that $LPTH was the US $AXTI basically and all the top military contractors from Andruil, Lockheed, L3Harris, $ONDS, and everyone were switching to them. \n\nAnd they have the monopoly over it bc of US naval research lab licenses.\n\nCan easily see this being a $10B+ company down the road.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Beautiful 😎", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "pepemoonboy", "ret_m1d": -0.11866967113733051, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11866967113733051, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12360918737360316, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12360918737360316, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004939516236272645, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004939516236272645, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004535107182040088, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004535107182040088, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007258321578569538, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007258321578569538, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027232143965294497, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0027232143965294497, "ret_p1w": 0.03099023547034241, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03099023547034241, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03817486547027504, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03817486547027504, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007184629999932635, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007184629999932635, "ret_p1m": -0.056689344365103755, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.056689344365103755, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.043522383787262475, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.043522383787262475, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01316696057784128, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01316696057784128, "ret_p3m": 0.08919125820138318, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08919125820138318, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09264780255064686, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09264780255064686, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0034565443492636794, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0034565443492636794, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4376, -0.3401, -0.3726, -0.4444, -0.3968, -0.3613, -0.3621, -0.3621, -0.3802, -0.3741, -0.3439, -0.3832, -0.4308, -0.4082, -0.424, -0.4172, -0.4119, -0.3923, -0.4429, -0.4966, -0.4936, -0.486, -0.4837, -0.4921, -0.5329, -0.5306, -0.4868, -0.4777, -0.4769, -0.4769, -0.4444, -0.458, -0.4014, -0.3689, -0.3182, -0.3348, -0.3394, -0.3348, -0.3333, -0.3107, -0.3878, -0.4339, -0.446, -0.48, -0.4573, -0.4225, -0.3553, -0.3416, -0.3175, -0.3175, -0.3182, -0.2222, -0.2018, -0.1837, -0.1837, -0.1141, -0.1164, -0.1293, -0.0779, -0.0454, -0.0673, -0.0937, -0.1187, 0.0, -0.0045, -0.0499, -0.0499, 0.0582, 0.031, 0.0831, -0.0597, -0.2268, -0.1497, -0.1474, -0.1315, -0.2124, -0.2063, -0.1769, -0.2895, -0.3152, -0.2018, -0.1436, -0.1678, -0.2237, -0.0567, -0.1293, -0.1293, -0.155, -0.1504, 0.028, -0.093, -0.1534, -0.0937, -0.1104, -0.158, -0.2116, -0.0922, -0.0945, -0.1081, -0.1436, -0.1633, -0.1618, -0.1633, -0.1769, -0.1708, -0.2056, -0.1686, -0.0937, -0.1179, -0.1315, -0.2041, -0.1353, -0.1028, -0.0967, -0.1693, -0.2827, -0.2963, -0.2419, -0.2275, -0.1701, -0.1701, -0.1315, -0.1716, -0.1247, -0.0809, -0.0302, 0.0892, 0.0801, 0.0597, 0.1277, 0.0703, 0.0809, 0.0726, 0.1073, 0.1051, 0.2162, 0.0574, -0.0401, -0.0786, -0.0317, 0.0355, -0.068, -0.0854, -0.0272, -0.0907, -0.13, -0.031, -0.0771, -0.0839, -0.0816, -0.1293, -0.0597, 0.0491, 0.0317, 0.0794, 0.2812, 0.2812, 0.2275, 0.3311, 0.3719, 0.2834, 0.2834, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2007080161330790650", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-02T13:22:54+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Great for network adoption/utility, imo kinda bad for token prices", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish ETH price: Fusaka upgrade boosted throughput but collapsed burn from thousands to ~6 ETH/day, net negative for token price.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@matthew_sigel Yeah but the amount of ETH burn is a solid 6 Ethereum a day from a few thousand last year.\n\nGreat for network adoption/utility, imo kinda bad for token prices. https://t.co/5Db1DCNJkk", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "ETH daily transactions hit all-time high after the Fusaka upgrade boosted throughput. https://t.co/hdFm1NKthA", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "matthew_sigel", "ret_m1d": -0.03969639702960748, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03969639702960748, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.037866711183012214, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018296858465952637, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.0325524989578152, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0325524989578152, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.025892385141752072, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006660113816063129, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.013242603027825095, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.013242603027825095, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.029197617696487543, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01595501466866245, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.24966722367062355, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.24966722367062355, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2675837038509977, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017916480180374172, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.31547766442784153, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.31547766442784153, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.277214081447145, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03826358298069654, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.4246, 0.4491, 0.3984, 0.23, 0.3588, 0.3204, 0.2762, 0.2466, 0.2266, 0.2741, 0.2408, 0.2188, 0.2342, 0.2593, 0.3187, 0.2746, 0.2493, 0.2176, 0.2313, 0.153, 0.0538, 0.0963, 0.0601, 0.0995, 0.1421, 0.0931, 0.0924, 0.0347, -0.0066, -0.032, -0.0005, -0.0324, -0.0937, -0.1148, -0.055, -0.0533, -0.0309, -0.0352, -0.0295, -0.1038, -0.0405, 0.0215, 0.0032, -0.032, 0.0002, 0.063, 0.0643, 0.036, -0.0129, -0.0513, -0.0513, -0.0938, -0.0952, -0.0469, -0.0379, -0.0515, -0.0572, -0.0707, -0.0636, -0.0608, -0.049, -0.0504, -0.0397, 0.0, 0.0326, 0.0549, 0.0136, -0.0064, -0.0132, -0.0103, 0.0633, 0.0737, 0.0617, 0.0547, 0.0199, -0.0604, -0.0466, -0.0559, -0.0548, -0.0634, -0.0327, -0.0377, -0.098, -0.1351, -0.2497, -0.287, -0.314, -0.417, -0.3396, -0.3267, -0.3536, -0.3789, -0.3769, -0.3444, -0.3605, -0.3624, -0.3746, -0.3765, -0.3698, -0.4061, -0.4069, -0.3424, -0.3513, -0.382, -0.3512, -0.3654, -0.3194, -0.337, -0.3667, -0.3621, -0.348, -0.3434, -0.3365, -0.3303, -0.2475, -0.2581, -0.2947, -0.3159, -0.313, -0.3112, -0.31, -0.3061, -0.3408, -0.3627, -0.3524, -0.3264, -0.3155, -0.3417, -0.3428, -0.3254, -0.2825, -0.299, -0.2993, -0.2814, -0.2412, -0.2564, -0.2448, -0.2483, -0.2251, -0.259, -0.2549, -0.2395, -0.2538, -0.2588, -0.2629, -0.2673, -0.2788, -0.2779, -0.2654, -0.249, -0.2443, -0.2476, -0.2667, -0.2616, -0.2513, -0.272, -0.2774, -0.27, -0.2884, -0.3187, -0.3247, -0.3192, -0.3178, -0.3392, -0.3242, -0.3372, -0.3528, -0.3575, -0.356, -0.3571, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1970228982777029075", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-22T20:49:29+00:00", "symbol": "AAPL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$APPL stock crashing after product launch, people panic selling, then Apple using buybacks to convince market that everyone likes the product. ($227 -> $256 in 2 weeks)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish AAPL: expects post-launch dip then buyback-driven rally to ~$256 within two weeks, repeating prior pattern.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAPL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "In this world, nothing can be said for certain, except death, taxes... and\n\n$APPL stock crashing after product launch, people panic selling, then Apple using buybacks to convince market that everyone likes the product.   \n\n($227 -&gt; $256 in 2 weeks) https://t.co/Jy4SRAJFda", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Sometimes I like to gamble too.\n\n$APPL somehow always falls every Apple event when people say it’s bad.\n\nThen a few days later rallies when they do buybacks and change public narrative like with Apple Intelligence.\n\nI quite like the iPhone Air. This play is extremely high risk. https://t.co/d8Y1B0aDFP", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.041315167695611055, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.041315167695611055, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0366063451543841, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0366063451543841, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0047088225412269535, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0047088225412269535, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006443278871197333, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006443278871197333, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00099971248236852, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00099971248236852, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005443566388828813, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005443566388828813, "ret_p1w": -0.006443278871197333, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.006443278871197333, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.00170444799943692, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.00170444799943692, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004738830871760413, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004738830871760413, "ret_p1m": 0.0261246518024707, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0261246518024707, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.01945148026251875, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01945148026251875, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.00667317153995195, "bench_c_p1m": 0.00667317153995195, "ret_p3m": 0.06394047055433694, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06394047055433694, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.049499375710522875, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.049499375710522875, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014441094843814062, "bench_c_p3m": 0.014441094843814062, "ret_p6m": -0.005332022556405858, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.005332022556405858, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.014227743607802101, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.014227743607802101, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.008895721051396244, "bench_c_p6m": 0.008895721051396244, "price_path": [-0.2138, -0.216, -0.2157, -0.1997, -0.1894, -0.1714, -0.167, -0.167, -0.1811, -0.1808, -0.1764, -0.1715, -0.1763, -0.1863, -0.1843, -0.1802, -0.1808, -0.1763, -0.1712, -0.1637, -0.1647, -0.1662, -0.1657, -0.1651, -0.1759, -0.1846, -0.1904, -0.2106, -0.2068, -0.2085, -0.1682, -0.1418, -0.1054, -0.1129, -0.1032, -0.0888, -0.091, -0.0956, -0.0984, -0.0997, -0.1174, -0.1218, -0.1106, -0.1129, -0.1045, -0.0999, -0.0918, -0.0935, -0.0935, -0.1029, -0.0688, -0.0637, -0.064, -0.0711, -0.0849, -0.1144, -0.1017, -0.0859, -0.0757, -0.07, -0.0667, -0.0711, -0.0413, 0.0, -0.0064, -0.0147, 0.0031, -0.0024, -0.0064, -0.0057, -0.0025, 0.0041, 0.0076, 0.0024, 0.0016, 0.0077, -0.008, -0.0422, -0.0329, -0.0325, -0.0263, -0.0337, -0.0148, 0.0241, 0.0261, 0.0093, 0.0137, 0.0263, 0.0497, 0.0505, 0.0532, 0.0598, 0.0558, 0.0506, 0.0545, 0.0549, 0.0535, 0.0484, 0.0532, 0.0759, 0.0689, 0.0669, 0.0648, 0.0455, 0.0454, 0.0498, 0.0407, 0.0612, 0.0785, 0.0826, 0.0849, 0.0849, 0.09, 0.1066, 0.1187, 0.1107, 0.0972, 0.0897, 0.0862, 0.0834, 0.0897, 0.0868, 0.0877, 0.0714, 0.0734, 0.0626, 0.0639, 0.0697, 0.0592, 0.0646, 0.0703, 0.0703, 0.0687, 0.0701, 0.0674, 0.0627, 0.0627, 0.0593, 0.0447, 0.0255, 0.0176, 0.0125, 0.0138, 0.0173, 0.0204, 0.0161, 0.0093, -0.0012, -0.0012, -0.0357, -0.032, -0.0292, -0.0305, -0.0016, 0.0095, 0.0024, 0.0096, 0.0143, 0.0554, 0.0533, 0.0807, 0.0785, 0.0871, 0.0744, 0.0708, 0.0779, 0.024, 0.0007, 0.0007, 0.0324, 0.0343, 0.0195, 0.0352, 0.0414, 0.0647, 0.0729, 0.0679, 0.0336, 0.0357, 0.0319, 0.0271, 0.0184, 0.0073, 0.0168, 0.0205, 0.0204, 0.0007, -0.0214, -0.0108, -0.0053]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1968558402344292701", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-18T06:11:11+00:00", "symbol": "IWM", "kind": "index", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Small Cap - Russell 2000, sub <10B mc", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Author lists stocks to buy for EOY 2025 as beneficiaries of 3 expected Fed rate cuts: small caps, real estate, fintech/lenders, and growth tech names.", "resolved_tickers": ["IWM"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "IWM is the Russell 2000 ETF, passed through", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "🚨Polymarket now pricing in 3 Fed rate cuts in 2025.\n\nExample stocks that benefit:\n\n🟢Small Cap - Russell 2000, sub &lt;10B mc\n🔹 Real Estate / Housing - $OPAD, $OPEN, $ZW\n🔹 Fintech/Lenders - $SOFi,  $RKT\n🟢Growth Tech -  $NBIS, $SMCI, $IREN\n\nPosition accordingly for EOY 2025 https://t.co/niuv53xJA2", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.024301593686068323, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.024301593686068323, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.019650878754130074, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019650878754130074, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004650714931938249, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004650714931938249, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007596871147731776, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007596871147731776, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012549745923063793, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012549745923063793, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004952874775332017, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004952874775332017, "ret_p1w": -0.02266789836936789, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02266789836936789, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.019065680882315417, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.019065680882315417, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0036022174870524726, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0036022174870524726, "ret_p1m": -0.005840586040587126, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.005840586040587126, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.011838240514346565, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.011838240514346565, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0059976544737594395, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0059976544737594395, "ret_p3m": 0.02408923835157384, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.02408923835157384, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0038335470286856577, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0038335470286856577, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.027922785380259496, "bench_c_p3m": 0.027922785380259496, "ret_p6m": 0.010524869096091072, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.010524869096091072, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.004743773353524272, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.004743773353524272, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0057810957425668, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0057810957425668, "price_path": [-0.1375, -0.1265, -0.1367, -0.1227, -0.1224, -0.1211, -0.1121, -0.0998, -0.0915, -0.0915, -0.1051, -0.0989, -0.0891, -0.0844, -0.0971, -0.091, -0.1088, -0.0998, -0.088, -0.0945, -0.0982, -0.0907, -0.0768, -0.0895, -0.0862, -0.0872, -0.093, -0.0976, -0.1065, -0.1247, -0.1051, -0.1005, -0.1017, -0.1046, -0.1027, -0.1029, -0.0763, -0.0583, -0.0704, -0.075, -0.0716, -0.0787, -0.082, -0.0797, -0.0436, -0.0537, -0.0458, -0.0391, -0.0379, -0.0422, -0.0422, -0.0474, -0.0483, -0.0364, -0.0316, -0.0297, -0.0354, -0.0371, -0.0193, -0.0293, -0.0252, -0.0268, -0.0243, 0.0, -0.0076, -0.0018, -0.0041, -0.0132, -0.0227, -0.0143, -0.0132, -0.0118, -0.0096, -0.0033, 0.004, 0.008, -0.0028, 0.0077, 0.0012, -0.0288, -0.0018, 0.0125, 0.0224, 0.0009, -0.0058, 0.0136, 0.0088, -0.0061, 0.0065, 0.0187, 0.0223, 0.0168, 0.0082, 0.0, 0.0057, 0.0025, -0.0149, -0.0007, -0.0183, -0.0132, -0.0033, -0.0025, -0.0049, -0.0329, -0.0301, -0.0493, -0.0464, -0.0466, -0.0642, -0.0377, -0.0202, 0.0012, 0.01, 0.01, 0.016, 0.0032, 0.0013, 0.0196, 0.0285, 0.0242, 0.0246, 0.0268, 0.0407, 0.0529, 0.0368, 0.029, 0.0241, 0.0132, 0.0192, 0.0277, 0.0392, 0.033, 0.0356, 0.0356, 0.0303, 0.024, 0.0164, 0.0088, 0.0088, 0.0195, 0.0357, 0.0494, 0.047, 0.0584, 0.0664, 0.0716, 0.071, 0.0786, 0.0881, 0.0891, 0.0891, 0.0761, 0.0974, 0.1056, 0.0852, 0.0818, 0.0849, 0.079, 0.0793, 0.064, 0.0744, 0.0769, 0.0676, 0.0484, 0.0861, 0.0937, 0.0907, 0.0858, 0.0636, 0.0776, 0.0776, 0.0779, 0.0818, 0.0843, 0.0844, 0.0675, 0.0791, 0.0842, 0.09, 0.0713, 0.0811, 0.0624, 0.0727, 0.0522, 0.0281, 0.0393, 0.0383, 0.0362, 0.0139, 0.0105]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1968558402344292701", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-18T06:11:11+00:00", "symbol": "OPAD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Real Estate / Housing - $OPAD", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Author lists stocks to buy for EOY 2025 as beneficiaries of 3 expected Fed rate cuts: small caps, real estate, fintech/lenders, and growth tech names.", "resolved_tickers": ["OPAD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLRE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Real Estate Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Real Estate Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "🚨Polymarket now pricing in 3 Fed rate cuts in 2025.\n\nExample stocks that benefit:\n\n🟢Small Cap - Russell 2000, sub &lt;10B mc\n🔹 Real Estate / Housing - $OPAD, $OPEN, $ZW\n🔹 Fintech/Lenders - $SOFi,  $RKT\n🟢Growth Tech -  $NBIS, $SMCI, $IREN\n\nPosition accordingly for EOY 2025 https://t.co/niuv53xJA2", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.08920178807208701, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08920178807208701, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.09385250300402526, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08991516363130092, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004650714931938249, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0007133755592139135, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.19483565237364142, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.19483565237364142, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.1898827775983094, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.1998285372197588, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004952874775332017, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004992884846117374, "ret_p1w": 0.039906007118081455, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.039906007118081455, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04350822460513393, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04640814166424623, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0036022174870524726, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006502134546164773, "ret_p1m": -0.3145540095286834, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3145540095286834, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.32055166400244284, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.32170729691579436, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0059976544737594395, "bench_c_p1m": 0.007153287387110963, "ret_p3m": -0.6431925119108544, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.6431925119108544, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.6711152972911139, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.6146498628414049, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.027922785380259496, "bench_c_p3m": -0.028542649069449477, "ret_p6m": -0.8183098714912734, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.8183098714912734, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.8240909672338402, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.8415562418327077, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0057810957425668, "bench_c_p6m": 0.023246370341434286, "price_path": [-0.784, -0.784, -0.784, -0.7817, -0.7772, -0.7864, -0.7512, -0.7254, -0.7066, -0.7066, -0.6761, -0.6925, -0.6526, -0.6596, -0.6667, -0.6737, -0.5986, -0.4554, -0.4765, -0.4977, -0.27, -0.3357, -0.4624, -0.5446, -0.5775, -0.6174, -0.6667, -0.6808, -0.7089, -0.7136, -0.7183, -0.7371, -0.7465, -0.7535, -0.7277, -0.7089, -0.6737, -0.6948, -0.6455, -0.6643, -0.6549, -0.6808, -0.6925, -0.6854, -0.6385, -0.1455, -0.1244, -0.2113, 0.4624, 0.2089, 0.2089, 0.1995, 0.169, 0.1455, 0.1995, -0.0023, -0.0117, -0.0962, 0.1737, 0.0188, 0.0023, -0.0305, 0.0892, 0.0, 0.1948, 0.1714, -0.0516, -0.0047, 0.0399, 0.0587, 0.0164, -0.0211, -0.0563, -0.0563, -0.061, -0.0469, -0.1056, -0.2347, -0.2793, -0.3239, -0.2958, -0.2653, -0.3099, -0.3146, -0.3146, -0.2887, -0.3286, -0.4061, -0.3967, -0.3545, -0.3474, -0.3662, -0.4225, -0.446, -0.4507, -0.4601, -0.5939, -0.5728, -0.5845, -0.5775, -0.5305, -0.507, -0.4859, -0.5516, -0.5657, -0.5939, -0.5634, -0.5869, -0.6056, -0.554, -0.5469, -0.5376, -0.5493, -0.5493, -0.5469, -0.5869, -0.5939, -0.5704, -0.5352, -0.5704, -0.5657, -0.5258, -0.5446, -0.5446, -0.5869, -0.6362, -0.6432, -0.6526, -0.6596, -0.6761, -0.6714, -0.6831, -0.6854, -0.6854, -0.6995, -0.7113, -0.7207, -0.716, -0.716, -0.6878, -0.6714, -0.6479, -0.6596, -0.6432, -0.4859, -0.5822, -0.6244, -0.6408, -0.6854, -0.6808, -0.6808, -0.6948, -0.6948, -0.6995, -0.716, -0.73, -0.7254, -0.7277, -0.7582, -0.7606, -0.7535, -0.7653, -0.78, -0.7972, -0.7817, -0.7911, -0.7854, -0.8009, -0.8176, -0.811, -0.811, -0.8195, -0.8099, -0.8099, -0.8075, -0.8099, -0.8169, -0.7937, -0.7981, -0.8169, -0.8162, -0.8237, -0.8211, -0.8239, -0.8239, -0.8225, -0.8192, -0.8127, -0.8218, -0.8183]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1968558402344292701", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-09-18T06:11:11+00:00", "symbol": "OPEN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$OPEN", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Author lists stocks to buy for EOY 2025 as beneficiaries of 3 expected Fed rate cuts: small caps, real estate, fintech/lenders, and growth tech names.", "resolved_tickers": ["OPEN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "🚨Polymarket now pricing in 3 Fed rate cuts in 2025.\n\nExample stocks that benefit:\n\n🟢Small Cap - Russell 2000, sub &lt;10B mc\n🔹 Real Estate / Housing - $OPAD, $OPEN, $ZW\n🔹 Fintech/Lenders - $SOFi,  $RKT\n🟢Growth Tech -  $NBIS, $SMCI, $IREN\n\nPosition accordingly for EOY 2025 https://t.co/niuv53xJA2", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02716302506657242, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02716302506657242, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03181373999851067, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03181373999851067, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004650714931938249, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004650714931938249, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03722333009845202, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03722333009845202, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04217620487378404, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04217620487378404, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004952874775332017, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004952874775332017, "ret_p1w": -0.08551302451489973, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08551302451489973, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08191080702784725, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08191080702784725, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0036022174870524726, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0036022174870524726, "ret_p1m": -0.2796780533529952, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2796780533529952, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.28567570782675467, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.28567570782675467, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0059976544737594395, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0059976544737594395, "ret_p3m": -0.3229375952535033, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3229375952535033, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3508603806337628, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3508603806337628, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.027922785380259496, "bench_c_p3m": 0.027922785380259496, "ret_p6m": -0.5020120706006853, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5020120706006853, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5077931663432521, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5077931663432521, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0057810957425668, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0057810957425668, "price_path": [-0.9467, -0.9447, -0.9485, -0.9459, -0.9439, -0.9464, -0.9432, -0.9431, -0.9386, -0.9386, -0.937, -0.9264, -0.9259, -0.9112, -0.9216, -0.9094, -0.8954, -0.8501, -0.834, -0.7736, -0.6771, -0.7103, -0.7696, -0.7565, -0.7445, -0.7646, -0.7938, -0.7918, -0.8149, -0.7887, -0.7525, -0.7465, -0.8089, -0.8139, -0.8038, -0.7676, -0.7515, -0.7565, -0.6942, -0.6811, -0.6197, -0.6358, -0.6761, -0.6378, -0.496, -0.5433, -0.5272, -0.5956, -0.5704, -0.5523, -0.5523, -0.4879, -0.4839, -0.4004, -0.331, -0.3924, -0.3853, -0.4105, 0.0584, -0.0875, -0.0448, -0.1026, 0.0272, 0.0, -0.0372, -0.1569, -0.2867, -0.172, -0.0855, -0.1137, -0.1751, -0.1982, -0.1891, -0.1942, -0.1841, -0.0664, -0.0654, -0.1459, -0.1811, -0.2384, -0.2686, -0.2314, -0.2575, -0.2847, -0.2797, -0.2586, -0.2998, -0.3139, -0.2928, -0.1982, -0.1791, -0.1982, -0.2304, -0.2616, -0.2183, -0.2364, -0.3038, -0.2726, -0.34, -0.34, -0.1982, -0.1469, -0.0573, -0.1388, -0.1831, -0.2113, -0.2435, -0.327, -0.3803, -0.3209, -0.2264, -0.2213, -0.2173, -0.2173, -0.2254, -0.2817, -0.2968, -0.3018, -0.2374, -0.2807, -0.2907, -0.2545, -0.2958, -0.2907, -0.34, -0.3491, -0.3229, -0.3843, -0.3682, -0.3602, -0.3541, -0.3692, -0.3682, -0.3682, -0.3954, -0.4135, -0.4125, -0.4135, -0.4135, -0.3893, -0.3642, -0.3028, -0.3843, -0.3531, -0.2666, -0.2938, -0.3189, -0.332, -0.3662, -0.329, -0.329, -0.3571, -0.3481, -0.3541, -0.3954, -0.4095, -0.4155, -0.4205, -0.4386, -0.4819, -0.5151, -0.4839, -0.497, -0.5272, -0.5091, -0.503, -0.5282, -0.5211, -0.5594, -0.5528, -0.5528, -0.5644, -0.5342, -0.5322, -0.497, -0.5191, -0.4859, -0.499, -0.4557, -0.4547, -0.492, -0.5, -0.5091, -0.4789, -0.497, -0.4889, -0.496, -0.4698, -0.5131, -0.502]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1968558402344292701", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-09-18T06:11:11+00:00", "symbol": "SOFi", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Fintech/Lenders - $SOFi", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Author lists stocks to buy for EOY 2025 as beneficiaries of 3 expected Fed rate cuts: small caps, real estate, fintech/lenders, and growth tech names.", "resolved_tickers": ["SOFI"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "SoFi Technologies trades as SOFI on NASDAQ", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "🚨Polymarket now pricing in 3 Fed rate cuts in 2025.\n\nExample stocks that benefit:\n\n🟢Small Cap - Russell 2000, sub &lt;10B mc\n🔹 Real Estate / Housing - $OPAD, $OPEN, $ZW\n🔹 Fintech/Lenders - $SOFi,  $RKT\n🟢Growth Tech -  $NBIS, $SMCI, $IREN\n\nPosition accordingly for EOY 2025 https://t.co/niuv53xJA2", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.034507335455052246, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.034507335455052246, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.029856620523113997, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.029856620523113997, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004650714931938249, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004650714931938249, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.049804325440488295, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.049804325440488295, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04485145066515628, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04485145066515628, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004952874775332017, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004952874775332017, "ret_p1w": 0.0003557534210139046, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0003557534210139046, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.003957970908066377, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.003957970908066377, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0036022174870524726, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0036022174870524726, "ret_p1m": -0.055851997891670724, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.055851997891670724, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06184965236543016, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06184965236543016, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0059976544737594395, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0059976544737594395, "ret_p3m": -0.05442905206064219, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05442905206064219, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08235183744090169, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08235183744090169, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.027922785380259496, "bench_c_p3m": 0.027922785380259496, "ret_p6m": -0.36819637697404817, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.36819637697404817, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.37397747271661497, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.37397747271661497, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0057810957425668, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0057810957425668, "price_path": [-0.4536, -0.4361, -0.428, -0.4034, -0.3888, -0.3522, -0.3725, -0.3554, -0.3394, -0.3394, -0.3155, -0.2903, -0.2807, -0.254, -0.2458, -0.2412, -0.2544, -0.2391, -0.2142, -0.2241, -0.2472, -0.2536, -0.233, -0.2348, -0.2458, -0.2522, -0.2031, -0.222, -0.1967, -0.2448, -0.2241, -0.2337, -0.2366, -0.2145, -0.2138, -0.2024, -0.1587, -0.153, -0.1715, -0.1544, -0.138, -0.1907, -0.1989, -0.17, -0.1099, -0.0697, -0.0886, -0.1121, -0.0736, -0.0914, -0.0914, -0.1138, -0.1288, -0.0971, -0.0893, -0.0765, -0.0761, -0.0921, -0.0765, -0.0555, -0.0157, -0.0245, -0.0345, 0.0, 0.0498, 0.0605, 0.0349, 0.0117, 0.0004, -0.0046, -0.0199, -0.0601, -0.0836, -0.0761, -0.1021, -0.0623, 0.0011, -0.0032, 0.0121, -0.0683, -0.0345, -0.0085, -0.0028, -0.0537, -0.0559, 0.0203, 0.0228, -0.0327, -0.0011, 0.032, 0.0672, 0.1263, 0.0993, 0.0327, 0.0559, 0.0896, 0.0448, 0.0697, -0.0338, 0.0036, 0.0864, 0.101, 0.1459, 0.01, -0.0103, -0.0381, -0.0665, -0.0494, -0.1138, -0.1039, -0.0253, 0.0078, 0.0135, 0.0135, 0.0573, 0.0327, 0.0498, 0.0342, 0.053, -0.0117, -0.0178, -0.0455, -0.0363, -0.037, -0.0295, -0.0815, -0.0544, -0.101, -0.0647, -0.0309, -0.027, -0.0327, -0.0224, -0.0224, -0.037, -0.0459, -0.0551, -0.0687, -0.0687, -0.0231, 0.0416, -0.0402, -0.0395, -0.0139, -0.0253, -0.0537, -0.0345, -0.0512, -0.0594, -0.0704, -0.0704, -0.0932, -0.0879, -0.0719, -0.0804, -0.0822, -0.0943, -0.1249, -0.1334, -0.1885, -0.2145, -0.2259, -0.2618, -0.3077, -0.2579, -0.2405, -0.2465, -0.2689, -0.3134, -0.3024, -0.3024, -0.3059, -0.3049, -0.3134, -0.3234, -0.3518, -0.3362, -0.3138, -0.3205, -0.3682, -0.3458, -0.338, -0.3348, -0.3152, -0.3276, -0.3316, -0.3493, -0.3408, -0.3703, -0.3682]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1968558402344292701", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-09-18T06:11:11+00:00", "symbol": "RKT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$RKT", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Author lists stocks to buy for EOY 2025 as beneficiaries of 3 expected Fed rate cuts: small caps, real estate, fintech/lenders, and growth tech names.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Mortgage Finance", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "🚨Polymarket now pricing in 3 Fed rate cuts in 2025.\n\nExample stocks that benefit:\n\n🟢Small Cap - Russell 2000, sub &lt;10B mc\n🔹 Real Estate / Housing - $OPAD, $OPEN, $ZW\n🔹 Fintech/Lenders - $SOFi,  $RKT\n🟢Growth Tech -  $NBIS, $SMCI, $IREN\n\nPosition accordingly for EOY 2025 https://t.co/niuv53xJA2", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0009460954749822559, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0009460954749822559, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005596810406920505, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005596810406920505, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004650714931938249, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004650714931938249, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02980128566489415, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02980128566489415, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03475416044022617, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03475416044022617, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004952874775332017, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004952874775332017, "ret_p1w": -0.09886472151987358, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09886472151987358, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0952625040328211, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0952625040328211, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0036022174870524726, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0036022174870524726, "ret_p1m": -0.2119205142659577, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2119205142659577, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.21791816873971714, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.21791816873971714, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0059976544737594395, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0059976544737594395, "ret_p3m": -0.13812678148532842, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.13812678148532842, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.16604956686558792, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.16604956686558792, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.027922785380259496, "bench_c_p3m": 0.027922785380259496, "ret_p6m": -0.33112579226248007, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.33112579226248007, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.33690688800504687, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.33690688800504687, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0057810957425668, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0057810957425668, "price_path": [-0.3051, -0.2928, -0.3221, -0.3146, -0.3273, -0.3292, -0.315, -0.3108, -0.3264, -0.3264, -0.3609, -0.35, -0.3401, -0.3477, -0.3529, -0.3401, -0.3704, -0.3567, -0.3482, -0.3382, -0.2886, -0.2431, -0.2332, -0.2971, -0.2904, -0.2886, -0.281, -0.3065, -0.3013, -0.2176, -0.2015, -0.1471, -0.1429, -0.1698, -0.2048, -0.1906, -0.1358, -0.0719, -0.1145, -0.1235, -0.1566, -0.1277, -0.1599, -0.1684, -0.0913, -0.114, -0.1041, -0.1447, -0.1537, -0.1594, -0.1594, -0.1883, -0.1542, -0.0941, -0.0416, -0.0312, -0.0322, -0.0114, -0.0014, -0.0019, -0.0019, -0.0175, 0.0009, 0.0, -0.0298, -0.0624, -0.0719, -0.0733, -0.0989, -0.0771, -0.0473, -0.0833, -0.0733, -0.131, -0.158, -0.1987, -0.2299, -0.2327, -0.2308, -0.2247, -0.2214, -0.1996, -0.2086, -0.2171, -0.2119, -0.1897, -0.1939, -0.1798, -0.167, -0.1547, -0.141, -0.1717, -0.2318, -0.246, -0.2119, -0.201, -0.2072, -0.2289, -0.2616, -0.2356, -0.1921, -0.1556, -0.1518, -0.1887, -0.1935, -0.2233, -0.1973, -0.2062, -0.2351, -0.175, -0.1429, -0.07, -0.0662, -0.0662, -0.0549, -0.0393, -0.0658, -0.0676, -0.0828, -0.0998, -0.1102, -0.1017, -0.0899, -0.0842, -0.1149, -0.1391, -0.1381, -0.141, -0.1178, -0.0974, -0.0904, -0.0974, -0.0799, -0.0799, -0.0818, -0.0837, -0.0511, -0.0842, -0.0842, -0.0596, -0.0019, 0.0033, 0.0066, 0.0047, 0.1017, 0.0965, 0.0766, 0.0724, 0.1088, 0.0993, 0.0993, 0.043, 0.0038, 0.017, -0.0033, 0.0033, -0.0052, -0.018, -0.0175, -0.1518, -0.1121, -0.0374, -0.0539, -0.0918, -0.1069, -0.0724, -0.0421, -0.1206, -0.1604, -0.1164, -0.1164, -0.131, -0.1272, -0.132, -0.1495, -0.1916, -0.1623, -0.1802, -0.1594, -0.1395, -0.2058, -0.2228, -0.2133, -0.2592, -0.2928, -0.2625, -0.2668, -0.2833, -0.3103, -0.3311]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1968558402344292701", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2025-09-18T06:11:11+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Growth Tech - $NBIS", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Author lists stocks to buy for EOY 2025 as beneficiaries of 3 expected Fed rate cuts: small caps, real estate, fintech/lenders, and growth tech names.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "🚨Polymarket now pricing in 3 Fed rate cuts in 2025.\n\nExample stocks that benefit:\n\n🟢Small Cap - Russell 2000, sub &lt;10B mc\n🔹 Real Estate / Housing - $OPAD, $OPEN, $ZW\n🔹 Fintech/Lenders - $SOFi,  $RKT\n🟢Growth Tech -  $NBIS, $SMCI, $IREN\n\nPosition accordingly for EOY 2025 https://t.co/niuv53xJA2", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00042499909009829917, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00042499909009829917, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00422571584183995, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0003317944276023388, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004650714931938249, "bench_c_m1d": -0.000756793517700638, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05514231471056985, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05514231471056985, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.050189439935237834, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.051021807264965746, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004952874775332017, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004120507445604105, "ret_p1w": 0.14683382162699843, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.14683382162699843, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1504360391140509, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15929473790697468, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0036022174870524726, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012460916279976253, "ret_p1m": 0.20526985902075778, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.20526985902075778, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.19927220454699834, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.23536685040367866, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0059976544737594395, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03009699138292088, "ret_p3m": -0.13992780932869353, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.13992780932869353, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.16785059470895303, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12426036928125395, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.027922785380259496, "bench_c_p3m": -0.015667440047439585, "ret_p6m": 0.20006368096227, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.20006368096227, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1942825852197032, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2311689312432167, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0057810957425668, "bench_c_p6m": -0.031105250280946684, "price_path": [-0.4955, -0.4579, -0.4845, -0.4411, -0.4492, -0.4121, -0.4655, -0.4691, -0.4661, -0.4661, -0.4917, -0.4996, -0.5107, -0.5067, -0.5293, -0.448, -0.4313, -0.4336, -0.4296, -0.4391, -0.4436, -0.458, -0.4488, -0.4458, -0.4542, -0.4395, -0.4645, -0.4551, -0.4217, -0.4475, -0.4245, -0.4138, -0.4147, -0.3061, -0.2692, -0.2537, -0.1996, -0.2496, -0.2726, -0.2391, -0.2293, -0.2861, -0.2831, -0.2969, -0.2671, -0.2561, -0.2512, -0.2552, -0.2346, -0.2741, -0.2741, -0.3017, -0.3025, -0.3103, -0.3044, -0.3194, 0.017, -0.0078, -0.0524, -0.0394, -0.0336, -0.0498, -0.0004, 0.0, 0.0551, 0.1326, 0.1453, 0.203, 0.1468, 0.1443, 0.1711, 0.1928, 0.2283, 0.3373, 0.3598, 0.3275, 0.2505, 0.2962, 0.4093, 0.3768, 0.4392, 0.3616, 0.3369, 0.3073, 0.2053, 0.1581, 0.1079, 0.0478, 0.1279, 0.2459, 0.3327, 0.2944, 0.3292, 0.3194, 0.3899, 0.28, 0.1745, 0.2431, 0.1628, 0.1823, 0.1682, 0.0861, 0.0025, -0.0583, -0.1124, -0.0865, -0.038, 0.0101, -0.1007, -0.1154, -0.0236, -0.0557, 0.0061, 0.0061, 0.008, 0.0641, 0.0248, 0.051, 0.0922, 0.0416, 0.066, 0.0243, -0.0056, 0.0017, -0.0683, -0.1379, -0.1399, -0.1984, -0.1703, -0.0495, -0.0095, -0.0435, -0.0318, -0.0318, -0.0694, -0.0858, -0.0951, -0.1107, -0.1107, -0.0443, -0.0137, 0.065, 0.0222, 0.0338, 0.0405, 0.1404, 0.1202, 0.0835, 0.1038, 0.1552, 0.1552, 0.0549, 0.0505, 0.029, 0.004, -0.0283, 0.0398, 0.067, 0.0084, -0.0949, -0.0633, -0.0443, -0.1246, -0.2152, -0.0852, -0.0132, -0.0248, -0.0585, -0.0466, 0.0413, 0.0413, 0.0361, 0.0816, 0.1433, 0.0404, 0.069, 0.0899, 0.1275, 0.1143, -0.0311, -0.033, -0.0778, 0.0389, 0.0163, -0.0509, 0.0087, 0.0245, 0.1899, 0.1479, 0.2001]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1968558402344292701", "ticker_idx": 6, "ts": "2025-09-18T06:11:11+00:00", "symbol": "SMCI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SMCI", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Author lists stocks to buy for EOY 2025 as beneficiaries of 3 expected Fed rate cuts: small caps, real estate, fintech/lenders, and growth tech names.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMCI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "🚨Polymarket now pricing in 3 Fed rate cuts in 2025.\n\nExample stocks that benefit:\n\n🟢Small Cap - Russell 2000, sub &lt;10B mc\n🔹 Real Estate / Housing - $OPAD, $OPEN, $ZW\n🔹 Fintech/Lenders - $SOFi,  $RKT\n🟢Growth Tech -  $NBIS, $SMCI, $IREN\n\nPosition accordingly for EOY 2025 https://t.co/niuv53xJA2", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.022638161339113227, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.022638161339113227, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01798744640717498, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0056527816027638345, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004650714931938249, "bench_c_m1d": -0.016985379736349393, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.002829718269568904, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.002829718269568904, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007782593044900921, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012970321330337375, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004952874775332017, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010140603060768472, "ret_p1w": 0.006530323481189537, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.006530323481189537, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01013254096824201, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.001572304779445366, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0036022174870524726, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008102628260634903, "ret_p1m": 0.13582938321724147, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13582938321724147, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12983172874348203, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10230661199764035, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0059976544737594395, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03352277121960112, "ret_p3m": -0.3108402091025455, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3108402091025455, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.338762994482805, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.34476180860592986, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.027922785380259496, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03392159950338436, "ret_p6m": -0.33064865217208983, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.33064865217208983, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.33642974791465663, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.32430057983657956, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0057810957425668, "bench_c_p6m": -0.006348072335510269, "price_path": [-0.1099, -0.0675, 0.0146, 0.0725, 0.0357, 0.0668, 0.0274, 0.0609, 0.057, 0.057, 0.0255, 0.069, 0.0888, 0.0962, 0.0718, 0.0825, 0.1574, 0.1585, 0.1482, 0.1269, 0.121, 0.0853, 0.1254, 0.1432, 0.1857, 0.3071, 0.2762, 0.3215, 0.2836, 0.2329, 0.2675, 0.2464, 0.0185, 0.0159, -0.0292, -0.0161, 0.0107, 0.0028, -0.0098, -0.0124, -0.0017, -0.0588, -0.0725, -0.079, -0.0448, -0.0407, -0.0344, -0.0257, -0.0429, -0.0958, -0.0958, -0.1123, -0.1271, -0.1141, -0.1204, -0.1284, -0.0657, -0.0442, -0.0433, -0.0205, -0.0122, -0.0224, -0.0226, 0.0, -0.0028, 0.0202, 0.0229, 0.0057, 0.0065, -0.0026, 0.0091, 0.0435, 0.1404, 0.1428, 0.131, 0.1889, 0.1987, 0.2773, 0.2621, 0.1506, 0.1918, 0.1561, 0.1741, 0.172, 0.1358, 0.1981, 0.1933, 0.1428, 0.0431, 0.0512, 0.1226, 0.1397, 0.1469, 0.0964, 0.131, 0.1047, 0.0318, -0.0851, -0.1219, -0.1345, -0.1252, -0.155, -0.1748, -0.2362, -0.2072, -0.2577, -0.2403, -0.2658, -0.313, -0.2993, -0.2747, -0.293, -0.2854, -0.2854, -0.2632, -0.2727, -0.2834, -0.2669, -0.2549, -0.2449, -0.2301, -0.2377, -0.2403, -0.2595, -0.2963, -0.3172, -0.3108, -0.3505, -0.3607, -0.3228, -0.3237, -0.3304, -0.335, -0.335, -0.333, -0.3452, -0.3546, -0.3629, -0.3629, -0.3261, -0.3455, -0.3352, -0.3468, -0.3492, -0.3435, -0.3444, -0.3774, -0.3846, -0.3596, -0.2895, -0.2895, -0.3163, -0.2982, -0.2936, -0.31, -0.3296, -0.3209, -0.3206, -0.3444, -0.3663, -0.3533, -0.3542, -0.2651, -0.3285, -0.2516, -0.2701, -0.2745, -0.3026, -0.3376, -0.3352, -0.3352, -0.3446, -0.3533, -0.3, -0.2943, -0.3315, -0.3224, -0.2686, -0.2973, -0.2949, -0.3071, -0.3322, -0.2893, -0.2982, -0.3185, -0.3039, -0.308, -0.308, -0.3274, -0.3306]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1968558402344292701", "ticker_idx": 7, "ts": "2025-09-18T06:11:11+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$IREN", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Author lists stocks to buy for EOY 2025 as beneficiaries of 3 expected Fed rate cuts: small caps, real estate, fintech/lenders, and growth tech names.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "🚨Polymarket now pricing in 3 Fed rate cuts in 2025.\n\nExample stocks that benefit:\n\n🟢Small Cap - Russell 2000, sub &lt;10B mc\n🔹 Real Estate / Housing - $OPAD, $OPEN, $ZW\n🔹 Fintech/Lenders - $SOFi,  $RKT\n🟢Growth Tech -  $NBIS, $SMCI, $IREN\n\nPosition accordingly for EOY 2025 https://t.co/niuv53xJA2", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.043502253423197246, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.043502253423197246, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.048152968355135495, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.044425876149522425, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004650714931938249, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0009236227263251795, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06387664411668026, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06387664411668026, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05892376934134824, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0616597641500507, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004952874775332017, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002216879966629559, "ret_p1w": 0.27450444120251194, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.27450444120251194, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2781066586895644, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.28344548859824314, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0036022174870524726, "bench_c_p1w": -0.008941047395731205, "ret_p1m": 0.6718062150577613, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6718062150577613, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6658085605840018, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.7046573309396434, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0059976544737594395, "bench_c_p1m": -0.032851115881882165, "ret_p3m": 0.00743393337093412, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.00743393337093412, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.020488852009325376, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.005310719498183625, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.027922785380259496, "bench_c_p3m": 0.012744652869117745, "ret_p6m": 0.14482384858004416, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.14482384858004416, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.13904275283747736, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.23548749978598482, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0057810957425668, "bench_c_p6m": -0.09066365120594067, "price_path": [-0.7065, -0.6823, -0.6732, -0.639, -0.6145, -0.5988, -0.5807, -0.5688, -0.5369, -0.5369, -0.5333, -0.535, -0.533, -0.5311, -0.5531, -0.5242, -0.5352, -0.5234, -0.503, -0.5061, -0.5003, -0.4882, -0.4771, -0.5006, -0.5121, -0.5435, -0.5653, -0.5556, -0.5564, -0.576, -0.5463, -0.5471, -0.4956, -0.4887, -0.492, -0.5052, -0.5091, -0.5118, -0.4747, -0.4579, -0.4299, -0.4843, -0.4559, -0.4606, -0.41, -0.3634, -0.367, -0.3845, -0.3656, -0.2709, -0.2709, -0.1985, -0.2233, -0.2806, -0.28, -0.2789, -0.1688, -0.0741, -0.0955, -0.065, 0.0226, 0.0036, 0.0435, 0.0, 0.0639, 0.1536, 0.1501, 0.2979, 0.2745, 0.1525, 0.2646, 0.2921, 0.2963, 0.2946, 0.3893, 0.59, 0.6982, 0.6545, 0.758, 0.6456, 0.766, 0.9152, 0.8717, 0.7024, 0.6718, 0.6305, 0.5197, 0.427, 0.538, 0.7318, 0.7894, 0.7186, 0.6635, 0.603, 0.6726, 0.8654, 0.8345, 1.1038, 0.8436, 0.7175, 0.6567, 0.5798, 0.5336, 0.3395, 0.2767, 0.3053, 0.345, 0.2618, 0.1969, 0.1635, 0.3351, 0.307, 0.334, 0.334, 0.3164, 0.3351, 0.1322, 0.2104, 0.2789, 0.231, 0.2759, 0.2896, 0.2093, 0.2098, 0.1049, -0.0231, 0.0074, -0.0699, -0.0143, 0.0991, 0.1575, 0.1583, 0.1558, 0.1558, 0.1096, 0.0851, 0.0545, 0.0399, 0.0399, 0.1757, 0.3282, 0.264, 0.2011, 0.2577, 0.2673, 0.3857, 0.459, 0.4559, 0.4287, 0.592, 0.592, 0.4939, 0.4725, 0.4389, 0.5606, 0.4416, 0.6517, 0.7329, 0.6476, 0.4796, 0.4615, 0.4975, 0.2373, 0.0955, 0.1517, 0.2706, 0.182, 0.1748, 0.1021, 0.1624, 0.1624, 0.128, 0.1586, 0.1919, 0.1008, 0.1663, 0.2514, 0.2123, 0.2181, 0.1275, 0.1396, 0.0697, 0.207, 0.1048, 0.0105, 0.0694, 0.0496, 0.1558, 0.139, 0.1448]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1971371769392136480", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-26T00:30:30+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$3k+, especially $3.9k (where it's now), I wouldn't buy a dip", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "At $3.9k+ ETH, author would not buy a dip; bearish on current level.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SebastianS79509 I would just stay away from $BMNR. \n\nI bought 6 fig of $ETH at $1600. I'd buy again if it dipped to $2200-$2400 and swing trade it under $2800. \n\nOtherwise $3k+, especially $3.9k (where it's now), I wouldn't buy a dip.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thank you for your insights! Buyed NBIS Today. When you need to buy BMNR what realistic Price Target you would sell it?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SebastianS79509", "ret_m1d": -0.041516007776179475, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.041516007776179475, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.035819499527330545, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0056965082488489305, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.044960083169817366, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.044960083169817366, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04214971672867751, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028103664411398555, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": 0.11868086359219587, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11868086359219587, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10751470945267205, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01116615413952382, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": 0.02087127594300564, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02087127594300564, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.014515912993085855, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035387188936091496, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.27015055413778133, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.27015055413778133, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3163866052561961, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04623605111841478, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.46674783136189546, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.46674783136189546, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.46265559057393557, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.004092240787959889, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4039, -0.3629, -0.358, -0.3784, -0.3699, -0.3519, -0.3135, -0.2679, -0.2671, -0.2534, -0.222, -0.1646, -0.1385, -0.1206, -0.0675, -0.071, -0.1006, -0.0812, -0.0765, -0.0616, -0.0601, -0.0564, -0.084, -0.1357, -0.0785, -0.1051, -0.0872, -0.0301, -0.0065, 0.0473, 0.1375, 0.1785, 0.1269, 0.1001, 0.0685, 0.0093, 0.074, 0.0464, 0.1971, 0.0835, 0.1399, 0.1158, 0.1168, 0.0803, 0.069, 0.0717, 0.1027, 0.0651, 0.0672, 0.0674, 0.0677, 0.0776, 0.1054, 0.1683, 0.1216, 0.1159, 0.138, 0.1373, 0.1078, 0.0414, 0.0321, 0.0291, -0.0415, 0.0, 0.045, 0.0273, 0.0781, 0.112, 0.1187, 0.1615, 0.1029, 0.1218, 0.0826, -0.0478, 0.0519, 0.0222, -0.012, -0.035, -0.0504, -0.0137, -0.0394, -0.0564, -0.0446, -0.0251, 0.0209, -0.0133, -0.0328, -0.0574, -0.0468, -0.1074, -0.1842, -0.1513, -0.1793, -0.1488, -0.1158, -0.1538, -0.1543, -0.199, -0.231, -0.2506, -0.2262, -0.251, -0.2984, -0.3147, -0.2684, -0.2671, -0.2498, -0.2531, -0.2487, -0.3062, -0.2572, -0.2092, -0.2234, -0.2506, -0.2256, -0.1771, -0.176, -0.1979, -0.2358, -0.2655, -0.2655, -0.2984, -0.2995, -0.2621, -0.2552, -0.2657, -0.2702, -0.2806, -0.2751, -0.2729, -0.2638, -0.2648, -0.2566, -0.2258, -0.2006, -0.1833, -0.2153, -0.2308, -0.2361, -0.2338, -0.1769, -0.1688, -0.1781, -0.1835, -0.2104, -0.2726, -0.2619, -0.2691, -0.2683, -0.2749, -0.2512, -0.255, -0.3017, -0.3304, -0.4191, -0.4481, -0.4689, -0.5486, -0.4887, -0.4788, -0.4996, -0.5192, -0.5176, -0.4924, -0.505, -0.5064, -0.5159, -0.5173, -0.5121, -0.5402, -0.5409, -0.4909, -0.4978, -0.5216, -0.4977, -0.5087, -0.4731, -0.4867, -0.5097, -0.5062, -0.4952, -0.4917, -0.4863, -0.4815, -0.4174, -0.4256, -0.454, -0.4704, -0.4681, -0.4667]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1995683753121939945", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-02T02:37:39+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Highest possible upside (700% Y/Y core business, 100%+ Y/Y across 4 subsidiaries like Robotaxi FSD division)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long both NBIS (high-beta, hyper growth, highest upside) and SMCI (30-60% return from valuation catchup, 60% growth at 11x forward P/E) over next 3 months.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So different basket of stocks. How I'd frame it is:\n\n- $NBIS: high-beta, hyper growth, who knows where it goes. Highest possible upside (700% Y/Y core business, 100%+ Y/Y across 4 subsidiaries like Robotaxi FSD division). \n\nFor example if $UBER Texas robotaxi launch goes well with Avride this month and they expand elsewhere, we could see the subsidiary valuation rise a lot.   \n\n- $SMCI: profitable, moderate return from valuation catchup (still ~30-60% return). Growing 60% Y/Y but priced at 11 forward p/e like a no-growth stock eg. $PYPL / distressed asset like $MSTR.\n\nFor SMCI it's more about looking at the numbers/sector and seeing a misalignment (eg. $UPWK value investing)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit thank you for sharing! which one do you think would give more upside potential in the next 3 months NBIS or SMCI?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MMerrino569447", "ret_m1d": 0.03836189419085456, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03836189419085456, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04021076919436717, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04165966586769443, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018488750035126067, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003297771676839867, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.025609137365018242, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.025609137365018242, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.022146369571757862, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.026476943959362176, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0034627677932603795, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0008678065943439339, "ret_p1w": -0.0004146530575244167, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0004146530575244167, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.002630186777877297, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.010481489425037793, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00221553372035288, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010066836367513377, "ret_p1m": -0.13214095925816183, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.13214095925816183, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.135669745434975, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.15705726386673924, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.003528786176813181, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02491630460857741, "ret_p3m": -0.05453597380265962, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05453597380265962, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.06405423954926004, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0823254425768154, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.009518265746600418, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02778946877415578, "ret_p6m": 1.1603940042528436, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.1603940042528436, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.0529840756643796, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.144958934817654, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10740992858846399, "bench_c_p6m": 0.015435069435189464, "price_path": [-0.327, -0.3212, -0.3358, -0.0076, -0.0317, -0.0753, -0.0626, -0.0569, -0.0728, -0.0246, -0.0242, 0.0297, 0.1052, 0.1177, 0.174, 0.1191, 0.1166, 0.1428, 0.164, 0.1987, 0.305, 0.3269, 0.2954, 0.2203, 0.2649, 0.3752, 0.3435, 0.4045, 0.3287, 0.3046, 0.2757, 0.1762, 0.1301, 0.0812, 0.0225, 0.1007, 0.2158, 0.3005, 0.2631, 0.297, 0.2875, 0.3564, 0.249, 0.1461, 0.2131, 0.1347, 0.1538, 0.14, 0.0598, -0.0217, -0.0811, -0.1339, -0.1086, -0.0613, -0.0143, -0.1224, -0.1368, -0.0472, -0.0785, -0.0182, -0.0182, -0.0164, 0.0384, 0.0, 0.0256, 0.0658, 0.0165, 0.0402, -0.0004, -0.0297, -0.0225, -0.0908, -0.1587, -0.1607, -0.2177, -0.1904, -0.0725, -0.0334, -0.0666, -0.0552, -0.0552, -0.0919, -0.1079, -0.117, -0.1321, -0.1321, -0.0674, -0.0375, 0.0393, -0.0025, 0.0088, 0.0153, 0.1128, 0.0931, 0.0573, 0.0771, 0.1273, 0.1273, 0.0294, 0.0251, 0.0041, -0.0202, -0.0517, 0.0147, 0.0413, -0.016, -0.1167, -0.086, -0.0674, -0.1458, -0.2341, -0.1073, -0.037, -0.0483, -0.0813, -0.0697, 0.0162, 0.0162, 0.0111, 0.0555, 0.1157, 0.0152, 0.0431, 0.0636, 0.1003, 0.0874, -0.0545, -0.0564, -0.1001, 0.0138, -0.0083, -0.0738, -0.0157, -0.0002, 0.1612, 0.1202, 0.1711, 0.3463, 0.2061, 0.2292, 0.2599, 0.2195, 0.1835, 0.1914, 0.1933, 0.0987, 0.0453, -0.0434, 0.0758, 0.057, 0.1283, 0.1283, 0.1668, 0.2172, 0.296, 0.4135, 0.5031, 0.6025, 0.679, 0.7291, 0.7143, 0.6292, 0.6502, 0.6231, 0.6189, 0.6286, 0.5258, 0.503, 0.405, 0.4639, 0.4332, 0.6018, 0.8291, 0.824, 1.0227, 0.9157, 0.8357, 0.9295, 0.857, 1.149, 1.2929, 1.2804, 1.0722, 1.0501, 0.9888, 1.2802, 1.2267, 1.2267, 1.1572, 1.1604]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1995683753121939945", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-02T02:37:39+00:00", "symbol": "SMCI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "profitable, moderate return from valuation catchup (still ~30-60% return). Growing 60% Y/Y but priced at 11 forward p/e like a no-growth stock", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long both NBIS (high-beta, hyper growth, highest upside) and SMCI (30-60% return from valuation catchup, 60% growth at 11x forward P/E) over next 3 months.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMCI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So different basket of stocks. How I'd frame it is:\n\n- $NBIS: high-beta, hyper growth, who knows where it goes. Highest possible upside (700% Y/Y core business, 100%+ Y/Y across 4 subsidiaries like Robotaxi FSD division). \n\nFor example if $UBER Texas robotaxi launch goes well with Avride this month and they expand elsewhere, we could see the subsidiary valuation rise a lot.   \n\n- $SMCI: profitable, moderate return from valuation catchup (still ~30-60% return). Growing 60% Y/Y but priced at 11 forward p/e like a no-growth stock eg. $PYPL / distressed asset like $MSTR.\n\nFor SMCI it's more about looking at the numbers/sector and seeing a misalignment (eg. $UPWK value investing)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit thank you for sharing! which one do you think would give more upside potential in the next 3 months NBIS or SMCI?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MMerrino569447", "ret_m1d": 0.014884620465411613, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.014884620465411613, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01673349546892422, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02508161166597278, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018488750035126067, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010196991200561167, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02308633592049847, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02308633592049847, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01962356812723809, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0207012307058152, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0034627677932603795, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0023851052146832696, "ret_p1w": 0.06379108158029512, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06379108158029512, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06157554785994224, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.040493465236337345, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00221553372035288, "bench_c_p1w": 0.023297616343957772, "ret_p1m": -0.11087478475696944, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11087478475696944, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11440357093378262, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10768343189520813, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.003528786176813181, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0031913528617613096, "ret_p3m": -0.01609959929453586, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.01609959929453586, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.02561786504113628, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.02316440724853086, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.009518265746600418, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03926400654306672, "ret_p6m": 0.1600850774874909, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.1600850774874909, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.05267514889902691, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.11844513580214011, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10740992858846399, "bench_c_p6m": 0.278530213289631, "price_path": [0.2363, 0.2275, 0.2163, 0.3038, 0.3338, 0.3351, 0.367, 0.3785, 0.3642, 0.3639, 0.3955, 0.3916, 0.4238, 0.4274, 0.4034, 0.4046, 0.3919, 0.4083, 0.4563, 0.5914, 0.5948, 0.5784, 0.6592, 0.6728, 0.7825, 0.7612, 0.6057, 0.6631, 0.6133, 0.6385, 0.6355, 0.5851, 0.6719, 0.6652, 0.5948, 0.4557, 0.4669, 0.5665, 0.5905, 0.6005, 0.5301, 0.5784, 0.5416, 0.4399, 0.2767, 0.2254, 0.2078, 0.2208, 0.1792, 0.1516, 0.0659, 0.1063, 0.0358, 0.0601, 0.0246, -0.0413, -0.0222, 0.0122, -0.0134, -0.0027, -0.0027, 0.0283, 0.0149, 0.0, 0.0231, 0.0398, 0.0538, 0.0744, 0.0638, 0.0601, 0.0334, -0.0179, -0.0471, -0.0383, -0.0936, -0.1078, -0.055, -0.0562, -0.0656, -0.072, -0.072, -0.0693, -0.0863, -0.0993, -0.1109, -0.1109, -0.0595, -0.0866, -0.0723, -0.0884, -0.0917, -0.0838, -0.0851, -0.1312, -0.1413, -0.1063, -0.0085, -0.0085, -0.0459, -0.0207, -0.0143, -0.0371, -0.0644, -0.0522, -0.0519, -0.0851, -0.1157, -0.0975, -0.0987, 0.0255, -0.0629, 0.0444, 0.0185, 0.0125, -0.0267, -0.0756, -0.0723, -0.0723, -0.0854, -0.0975, -0.0231, -0.0152, -0.0671, -0.0544, 0.0207, -0.0194, -0.0161, -0.0331, -0.068, -0.0082, -0.0207, -0.0489, -0.0286, -0.0343, -0.0343, -0.0614, -0.0659, -0.0322, -0.0428, -0.0781, -0.0647, -0.3764, -0.3445, -0.3247, -0.2694, -0.3253, -0.3326, -0.3603, -0.3083, -0.3162, -0.2947, -0.2947, -0.3302, -0.3114, -0.2901, -0.2947, -0.2327, -0.2111, -0.1738, -0.171, -0.1373, -0.1324, -0.1248, -0.1364, -0.1136, -0.1874, -0.1166, -0.154, -0.1722, -0.2005, -0.1677, -0.1771, -0.1519, -0.1546, 0.0529, 0.0213, 0.0744, 0.0182, -0.0039, -0.0279, 0.0033, -0.0571, -0.0629, -0.0717, 0.0164, 0.0164, 0.0808, 0.0808, 0.127, 0.1601]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1978955578652398061", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-16T22:45:51+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "TSM is just the easiest long I've ever seen", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish dip-buying thesis: TSM easiest long ever, NBIS to $60B+ marketcap, CIFR/WULF Neocloud buys, FLNC re-rating, BTC/LTC amazing buys on AI buildout + rate cut catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Macro + Dip thoughts Oct 16th:\n\nThere's a ton going on, eg. $GLD hitting ATHs, but that's a whole different rabbit-hole on the USD. \n\nMain stock drop today was due to a shock from regional banks, so I'll focus on that. \n\nIt's a great buying opportunity on:\n\nNeoclouds with confirmed Mag7 contracts\n- $NBIS (MSFT) $CIFR (GOOGL), $WULF (GOOGL) etc. \n\nAI Buildout\n- Semis such as $TSM (Screaming buy it always seem to dips like this after blowout earnings to wipe off calls). \n\nWe already have blowout earnings numbers and increasing margins + forward revenue, $TSM is just the easiest long I've ever seen. \n\nTSM printing money also supports this builtout thesis.\n\n- Energy such as $FLNC will likely continue going up because of re-rating bc of data center buildout + AI use. \n\nCrypto\n- $BTC $107k, $LTC $90 all amazing buys, I'd be a tad more cautious of $CRCL and others though. \n\nPeople probably have PTSD from 2023 silvergate, etc. going down and USDC depegging. \n\nIt's a much needed correction for certain stocks:\n\n- Quantum \n- Robotics/Drones \n- Critical Minerals (only specific ones are likely good)\n\nThat have 0 revenue and are increasing parabolically off hype. \n\n_\n\nThe difference is that Neoclouds + AI Buildout is confirmed revenue based on execution. \n\nThey're all national security risks but AI Buildout has the wealthiest hyperscalers in the world are backstopping it.\n\n\" $AMZN, $META, $MSFT, $GOGL, and others could spend an estimated 320B on capex this year\". - BI\n\n\" $META, OpenAI, and $ORCL, have announced plans to spend more than $1 Trillion on Data Centers in the next several years\"- BI\n\n_\n\nIn terms of what happened in specific: \n\nMarkets dipped today on regional banking fears, but it's likely overblown. The latest scare was due to Zion/Western Alliance mainly due to borrower fraud.\n\nMy guess is that it's individual banks, not systemic banking collapses that would have credit tightening.\n\nWe have a near-confirmed rate cut (close to 98%) in 2 weeks time. This is a correction needed across the board (to wipe away the froth) + leverage traders + option flow. use this correction to go long.\n\nThis is still one the earliest parts of the whole AI buildout, I do expect $NBIS as an example to scale up to 4.5B-7B+ ARR in 1 year and $60B+ marketcap from here. \n\nAgain the hype built into Neoclouds are because of forward revenue growth (fundamentals), while the hype into Quantum/some drone companies, etc.  are based around promises. \n\nIt's a perfect time to scale up longs from companies with INSANE FORWARD REVENUE GROWTH (which will cause large re-ratings to marketcaps) not just industry narrative/speculation like Quantum.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$TSM blowout earnings as expected. They’re the center of the whole Neocloud trade and AI Buildout.\n\nTSM is easily going to $450+ with 46% EPS y/y (expanding margins) and 37% revenue growth y/y. (Short term might be a little volatile because of option flow though) \n\n✅ Revenue", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01624206556204988, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01624206556204988, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00938510672768178, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00938510672768178, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006856958834368099, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006856958834368099, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.015875169925897326, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.015875169925897326, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02155156372619349, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02155156372619349, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0056763938002961645, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0056763938002961645, "ret_p1w": -0.03038284766482957, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03038284766482957, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04721505142741833, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04721505142741833, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01683220376258876, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01683220376258876, "ret_p1m": -0.05009338184747769, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05009338184747769, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06718286442160004, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06718286442160004, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01708948257412235, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01708948257412235, "ret_p3m": 0.10760450308361191, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10760450308361191, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05435299227906332, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05435299227906332, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.053251510804548596, "bench_c_p3m": 0.053251510804548596, "ret_p6m": 0.24282145916799536, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.24282145916799536, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.20847766461864525, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.20847766461864525, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.034343794549350104, "bench_c_p6m": 0.034343794549350104, "price_path": [-0.2059, -0.22, -0.201, -0.1968, -0.1835, -0.1929, -0.1977, -0.1924, -0.1967, -0.218, -0.2054, -0.2271, -0.2308, -0.1934, -0.196, -0.1951, -0.1878, -0.1973, -0.1988, -0.2058, -0.1974, -0.2264, -0.24, -0.2442, -0.2254, -0.2168, -0.2063, -0.2045, -0.2078, -0.2324, -0.2324, -0.2407, -0.2307, -0.218, -0.1908, -0.1782, -0.1658, -0.1341, -0.1392, -0.1378, -0.131, -0.126, -0.1236, -0.1041, -0.1166, -0.0907, -0.0571, -0.0638, -0.0773, -0.0883, -0.0887, -0.0685, -0.0379, -0.0391, -0.0255, 0.0085, -0.0194, 0.0156, 0.0001, -0.064, 0.0102, -0.013, 0.0162, 0.0, -0.0159, -0.0071, -0.0178, -0.0366, -0.0304, -0.0163, -0.0053, 0.0056, 0.0175, 0.0113, 0.002, 0.0167, -0.0193, -0.0207, -0.0354, -0.0445, -0.0152, -0.0289, -0.0307, -0.0588, -0.0501, -0.0595, -0.0731, -0.0583, -0.0745, -0.0826, -0.0507, -0.0506, -0.033, -0.033, -0.0278, -0.0406, -0.0258, -0.0146, -0.023, -0.0171, 0.0068, 0.0119, 0.0344, 0.0195, -0.0234, -0.0378, -0.0407, -0.0738, -0.048, -0.0337, -0.0192, -0.007, -0.0008, -0.0008, 0.0127, 0.0063, 0.0018, 0.0162, 0.0162, 0.0688, 0.0776, 0.095, 0.0657, 0.0635, 0.0823, 0.1095, 0.1076, 0.0939, 0.1425, 0.145, 0.145, 0.0941, 0.0906, 0.0948, 0.1198, 0.1126, 0.1314, 0.1447, 0.1355, 0.1054, 0.1415, 0.1228, 0.0893, 0.106, 0.1666, 0.1885, 0.2103, 0.251, 0.231, 0.2252, 0.2252, 0.2179, 0.2114, 0.2052, 0.2391, 0.2375, 0.29, 0.2966, 0.2601, 0.2526, 0.2343, 0.1809, 0.1953, 0.1833, 0.1333, 0.1661, 0.1607, 0.1857, 0.126, 0.1313, 0.1378, 0.1603, 0.1388, 0.1361, 0.1041, 0.135, 0.1511, 0.1662, 0.0936, 0.0957, 0.0614, 0.1333, 0.1452, 0.137, 0.137, 0.1461, 0.158, 0.2271, 0.2257, 0.2428]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1978955578652398061", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-16T22:45:51+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I do expect $NBIS as an example to scale up to 4.5B-7B+ ARR in 1 year and $60B+ marketcap from here", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish dip-buying thesis: TSM easiest long ever, NBIS to $60B+ marketcap, CIFR/WULF Neocloud buys, FLNC re-rating, BTC/LTC amazing buys on AI buildout + rate cut catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Macro + Dip thoughts Oct 16th:\n\nThere's a ton going on, eg. $GLD hitting ATHs, but that's a whole different rabbit-hole on the USD. \n\nMain stock drop today was due to a shock from regional banks, so I'll focus on that. \n\nIt's a great buying opportunity on:\n\nNeoclouds with confirmed Mag7 contracts\n- $NBIS (MSFT) $CIFR (GOOGL), $WULF (GOOGL) etc. \n\nAI Buildout\n- Semis such as $TSM (Screaming buy it always seem to dips like this after blowout earnings to wipe off calls). \n\nWe already have blowout earnings numbers and increasing margins + forward revenue, $TSM is just the easiest long I've ever seen. \n\nTSM printing money also supports this builtout thesis.\n\n- Energy such as $FLNC will likely continue going up because of re-rating bc of data center buildout + AI use. \n\nCrypto\n- $BTC $107k, $LTC $90 all amazing buys, I'd be a tad more cautious of $CRCL and others though. \n\nPeople probably have PTSD from 2023 silvergate, etc. going down and USDC depegging. \n\nIt's a much needed correction for certain stocks:\n\n- Quantum \n- Robotics/Drones \n- Critical Minerals (only specific ones are likely good)\n\nThat have 0 revenue and are increasing parabolically off hype. \n\n_\n\nThe difference is that Neoclouds + AI Buildout is confirmed revenue based on execution. \n\nThey're all national security risks but AI Buildout has the wealthiest hyperscalers in the world are backstopping it.\n\n\" $AMZN, $META, $MSFT, $GOGL, and others could spend an estimated 320B on capex this year\". - BI\n\n\" $META, OpenAI, and $ORCL, have announced plans to spend more than $1 Trillion on Data Centers in the next several years\"- BI\n\n_\n\nIn terms of what happened in specific: \n\nMarkets dipped today on regional banking fears, but it's likely overblown. The latest scare was due to Zion/Western Alliance mainly due to borrower fraud.\n\nMy guess is that it's individual banks, not systemic banking collapses that would have credit tightening.\n\nWe have a near-confirmed rate cut (close to 98%) in 2 weeks time. This is a correction needed across the board (to wipe away the froth) + leverage traders + option flow. use this correction to go long.\n\nThis is still one the earliest parts of the whole AI buildout, I do expect $NBIS as an example to scale up to 4.5B-7B+ ARR in 1 year and $60B+ marketcap from here. \n\nAgain the hype built into Neoclouds are because of forward revenue growth (fundamentals), while the hype into Quantum/some drone companies, etc.  are based around promises. \n\nIt's a perfect time to scale up longs from companies with INSANE FORWARD REVENUE GROWTH (which will cause large re-ratings to marketcaps) not just industry narrative/speculation like Quantum.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$TSM blowout earnings as expected. They’re the center of the whole Neocloud trade and AI Buildout.\n\nTSM is easily going to $450+ with 46% EPS y/y (expanding margins) and 37% revenue growth y/y. (Short term might be a little volatile because of option flow though) \n\n✅ Revenue", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02267555993796533, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02267555993796533, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01581860110359723, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011902161523182242, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006856958834368099, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010773398414783086, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07802339404005643, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07802339404005643, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08369978784035259, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.08476773904329915, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0056763938002961645, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006744345003242724, "ret_p1w": -0.13719113400370397, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.13719113400370397, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.15402333776629273, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.14665070334351338, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01683220376258876, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009459569339809404, "ret_p1m": -0.32103380775426504, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.32103380775426504, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3381232903283874, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2961586215163875, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01708948257412235, "bench_c_p1m": -0.024875186237877545, "ret_p3m": -0.14312419115179986, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14312419115179986, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.19637570195634846, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17026278172492992, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.053251510804548596, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02713859057313006, "ret_p6m": 0.17823472157019693, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.17823472157019693, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.14389092702084683, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.17373528573990238, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.034343794549350104, "bench_c_p6m": 0.004499435830294551, "price_path": [-0.5744, -0.5854, -0.5783, -0.5761, -0.5825, -0.5713, -0.5904, -0.5831, -0.5576, -0.5774, -0.5597, -0.5516, -0.5523, -0.4692, -0.441, -0.4291, -0.3878, -0.426, -0.4436, -0.4179, -0.4104, -0.4539, -0.4516, -0.4621, -0.4394, -0.4309, -0.4272, -0.4303, -0.4145, -0.4447, -0.4447, -0.4659, -0.4664, -0.4724, -0.4679, -0.4794, -0.222, -0.241, -0.2751, -0.2652, -0.2607, -0.2732, -0.2354, -0.235, -0.1929, -0.1336, -0.1239, -0.0797, -0.1227, -0.1247, -0.1042, -0.0875, -0.0604, 0.023, 0.0401, 0.0154, -0.0434, -0.0085, 0.078, 0.0532, 0.1009, 0.0415, 0.0227, 0.0, -0.078, -0.1141, -0.1525, -0.1985, -0.1372, -0.047, 0.0194, -0.0098, 0.0167, 0.0093, 0.0632, -0.0209, -0.1016, -0.0491, -0.1105, -0.0956, -0.1064, -0.1692, -0.2331, -0.2797, -0.321, -0.3012, -0.2641, -0.2273, -0.3121, -0.3233, -0.2531, -0.2776, -0.2304, -0.2304, -0.2289, -0.186, -0.2161, -0.196, -0.1645, -0.2032, -0.1846, -0.2164, -0.2394, -0.2337, -0.2873, -0.3405, -0.3421, -0.3868, -0.3653, -0.2729, -0.2423, -0.2683, -0.2593, -0.2593, -0.2881, -0.3007, -0.3078, -0.3197, -0.3197, -0.2689, -0.2455, -0.1853, -0.2181, -0.2092, -0.2041, -0.1277, -0.1431, -0.1712, -0.1557, -0.1163, -0.1163, -0.193, -0.1964, -0.2129, -0.232, -0.2567, -0.2046, -0.1838, -0.2286, -0.3076, -0.2835, -0.2689, -0.3304, -0.3996, -0.3002, -0.2451, -0.254, -0.2798, -0.2707, -0.2034, -0.2034, -0.2074, -0.1726, -0.1254, -0.2042, -0.1823, -0.1663, -0.1375, -0.1476, -0.2589, -0.2603, -0.2945, -0.2053, -0.2226, -0.274, -0.2284, -0.2163, -0.0898, -0.1219, -0.082, 0.0553, -0.0545, -0.0364, -0.0124, -0.0441, -0.0723, -0.0661, -0.0646, -0.1387, -0.1806, -0.2502, -0.1567, -0.1714, -0.1156, -0.1156, -0.0853, -0.0458, 0.0159, 0.108, 0.1782]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1978955578652398061", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-16T22:45:51+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's a great buying opportunity on: Neoclouds with confirmed Mag7 contracts - $NBIS (MSFT) $CIFR (GOOGL)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish dip-buying thesis: TSM easiest long ever, NBIS to $60B+ marketcap, CIFR/WULF Neocloud buys, FLNC re-rating, BTC/LTC amazing buys on AI buildout + rate cut catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Macro + Dip thoughts Oct 16th:\n\nThere's a ton going on, eg. $GLD hitting ATHs, but that's a whole different rabbit-hole on the USD. \n\nMain stock drop today was due to a shock from regional banks, so I'll focus on that. \n\nIt's a great buying opportunity on:\n\nNeoclouds with confirmed Mag7 contracts\n- $NBIS (MSFT) $CIFR (GOOGL), $WULF (GOOGL) etc. \n\nAI Buildout\n- Semis such as $TSM (Screaming buy it always seem to dips like this after blowout earnings to wipe off calls). \n\nWe already have blowout earnings numbers and increasing margins + forward revenue, $TSM is just the easiest long I've ever seen. \n\nTSM printing money also supports this builtout thesis.\n\n- Energy such as $FLNC will likely continue going up because of re-rating bc of data center buildout + AI use. \n\nCrypto\n- $BTC $107k, $LTC $90 all amazing buys, I'd be a tad more cautious of $CRCL and others though. \n\nPeople probably have PTSD from 2023 silvergate, etc. going down and USDC depegging. \n\nIt's a much needed correction for certain stocks:\n\n- Quantum \n- Robotics/Drones \n- Critical Minerals (only specific ones are likely good)\n\nThat have 0 revenue and are increasing parabolically off hype. \n\n_\n\nThe difference is that Neoclouds + AI Buildout is confirmed revenue based on execution. \n\nThey're all national security risks but AI Buildout has the wealthiest hyperscalers in the world are backstopping it.\n\n\" $AMZN, $META, $MSFT, $GOGL, and others could spend an estimated 320B on capex this year\". - BI\n\n\" $META, OpenAI, and $ORCL, have announced plans to spend more than $1 Trillion on Data Centers in the next several years\"- BI\n\n_\n\nIn terms of what happened in specific: \n\nMarkets dipped today on regional banking fears, but it's likely overblown. The latest scare was due to Zion/Western Alliance mainly due to borrower fraud.\n\nMy guess is that it's individual banks, not systemic banking collapses that would have credit tightening.\n\nWe have a near-confirmed rate cut (close to 98%) in 2 weeks time. This is a correction needed across the board (to wipe away the froth) + leverage traders + option flow. use this correction to go long.\n\nThis is still one the earliest parts of the whole AI buildout, I do expect $NBIS as an example to scale up to 4.5B-7B+ ARR in 1 year and $60B+ marketcap from here. \n\nAgain the hype built into Neoclouds are because of forward revenue growth (fundamentals), while the hype into Quantum/some drone companies, etc.  are based around promises. \n\nIt's a perfect time to scale up longs from companies with INSANE FORWARD REVENUE GROWTH (which will cause large re-ratings to marketcaps) not just industry narrative/speculation like Quantum.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$TSM blowout earnings as expected. They’re the center of the whole Neocloud trade and AI Buildout.\n\nTSM is easily going to $450+ with 46% EPS y/y (expanding margins) and 37% revenue growth y/y. (Short term might be a little volatile because of option flow though) \n\n✅ Revenue", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.12339751378319264, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.12339751378319264, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.11654055494882454, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.1241356973868688, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006856958834368099, "bench_c_m1d": -0.000738183603676168, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0021368011215048277, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0021368011215048277, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0035395926787913368, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00037937989165426345, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0056763938002961645, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0017574212298505643, "ret_p1w": -0.07825855803011639, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07825855803011639, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09509076179270515, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09435629556136915, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01683220376258876, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016097737531252765, "ret_p1m": -0.23290597310903238, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.23290597310903238, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.24999545568315473, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.24569990070723602, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01708948257412235, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012793927598203636, "ret_p3m": -0.025106801847968208, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.025106801847968208, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0783583126525168, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0563687645257579, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.053251510804548596, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03126196267778969, "ret_p6m": -0.11698711041867838, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.11698711041867838, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.15133090496802848, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1223219739708763, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.034343794549350104, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0053348635521979215, "price_path": [-0.6661, -0.6293, -0.6432, -0.6448, -0.6544, -0.6709, -0.6966, -0.7089, -0.7083, -0.7366, -0.7228, -0.7324, -0.7217, -0.7399, -0.7463, -0.7457, -0.7479, -0.7382, -0.7158, -0.7217, -0.6768, -0.6923, -0.6822, -0.6848, -0.6592, -0.6453, -0.6197, -0.6266, -0.625, -0.5919, -0.5919, -0.5556, -0.5668, -0.6047, -0.5983, -0.5876, -0.5075, -0.4525, -0.4674, -0.4204, -0.4204, -0.3851, -0.3387, -0.367, -0.344, -0.2543, -0.2441, -0.2447, -0.3771, -0.3873, -0.3243, -0.3275, -0.3269, -0.2623, -0.2147, -0.1806, -0.1587, -0.0598, -0.039, -0.0935, 0.0865, 0.1159, 0.1234, 0.0, 0.0021, 0.0636, -0.0345, -0.1394, -0.0783, 0.1036, 0.0972, 0.0662, 0.0465, 0.0187, -0.0037, 0.2158, 0.2025, 0.32, 0.1597, 0.1052, 0.0497, -0.0027, -0.0716, -0.2025, -0.2329, -0.2334, -0.2212, -0.219, -0.2222, -0.2441, -0.1074, -0.0641, 0.023, 0.023, 0.0871, 0.0518, -0.0577, -0.0048, 0.0593, 0.0299, 0.0406, 0.0449, -0.0128, 0.0085, -0.0892, -0.2126, -0.1993, -0.2313, -0.1907, -0.1341, -0.1271, -0.1501, -0.1335, -0.1335, -0.1886, -0.1944, -0.2206, -0.2115, -0.2115, -0.1346, -0.0299, -0.063, -0.141, -0.1159, -0.1116, -0.0556, -0.0251, -0.0315, -0.0641, 0.0043, 0.0043, -0.0427, -0.0534, -0.071, -0.0614, -0.1191, 0.0016, 0.0134, -0.0545, -0.1474, -0.1554, -0.1314, -0.2388, -0.3216, -0.2131, -0.1047, -0.0865, -0.1303, -0.14, -0.1229, -0.1229, -0.1645, -0.1763, -0.156, -0.2174, -0.187, -0.0855, -0.1127, -0.1197, -0.1667, -0.1581, -0.2142, -0.1432, -0.1907, -0.2724, -0.2356, -0.2543, -0.2463, -0.2676, -0.2479, -0.1912, -0.1939, -0.2163, -0.2179, -0.2516, -0.2046, -0.2051, -0.1517, -0.2334, -0.2658, -0.3582, -0.3125, -0.3248, -0.3152, -0.3152, -0.2869, -0.2516, -0.1763, -0.1261, -0.117]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1978955578652398061", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-10-16T22:45:51+00:00", "symbol": "WULF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$WULF (GOOGL) etc.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish dip-buying thesis: TSM easiest long ever, NBIS to $60B+ marketcap, CIFR/WULF Neocloud buys, FLNC re-rating, BTC/LTC amazing buys on AI buildout + rate cut catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["WULF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Macro + Dip thoughts Oct 16th:\n\nThere's a ton going on, eg. $GLD hitting ATHs, but that's a whole different rabbit-hole on the USD. \n\nMain stock drop today was due to a shock from regional banks, so I'll focus on that. \n\nIt's a great buying opportunity on:\n\nNeoclouds with confirmed Mag7 contracts\n- $NBIS (MSFT) $CIFR (GOOGL), $WULF (GOOGL) etc. \n\nAI Buildout\n- Semis such as $TSM (Screaming buy it always seem to dips like this after blowout earnings to wipe off calls). \n\nWe already have blowout earnings numbers and increasing margins + forward revenue, $TSM is just the easiest long I've ever seen. \n\nTSM printing money also supports this builtout thesis.\n\n- Energy such as $FLNC will likely continue going up because of re-rating bc of data center buildout + AI use. \n\nCrypto\n- $BTC $107k, $LTC $90 all amazing buys, I'd be a tad more cautious of $CRCL and others though. \n\nPeople probably have PTSD from 2023 silvergate, etc. going down and USDC depegging. \n\nIt's a much needed correction for certain stocks:\n\n- Quantum \n- Robotics/Drones \n- Critical Minerals (only specific ones are likely good)\n\nThat have 0 revenue and are increasing parabolically off hype. \n\n_\n\nThe difference is that Neoclouds + AI Buildout is confirmed revenue based on execution. \n\nThey're all national security risks but AI Buildout has the wealthiest hyperscalers in the world are backstopping it.\n\n\" $AMZN, $META, $MSFT, $GOGL, and others could spend an estimated 320B on capex this year\". - BI\n\n\" $META, OpenAI, and $ORCL, have announced plans to spend more than $1 Trillion on Data Centers in the next several years\"- BI\n\n_\n\nIn terms of what happened in specific: \n\nMarkets dipped today on regional banking fears, but it's likely overblown. The latest scare was due to Zion/Western Alliance mainly due to borrower fraud.\n\nMy guess is that it's individual banks, not systemic banking collapses that would have credit tightening.\n\nWe have a near-confirmed rate cut (close to 98%) in 2 weeks time. This is a correction needed across the board (to wipe away the froth) + leverage traders + option flow. use this correction to go long.\n\nThis is still one the earliest parts of the whole AI buildout, I do expect $NBIS as an example to scale up to 4.5B-7B+ ARR in 1 year and $60B+ marketcap from here. \n\nAgain the hype built into Neoclouds are because of forward revenue growth (fundamentals), while the hype into Quantum/some drone companies, etc.  are based around promises. \n\nIt's a perfect time to scale up longs from companies with INSANE FORWARD REVENUE GROWTH (which will cause large re-ratings to marketcaps) not just industry narrative/speculation like Quantum.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$TSM blowout earnings as expected. They’re the center of the whole Neocloud trade and AI Buildout.\n\nTSM is easily going to $450+ with 46% EPS y/y (expanding margins) and 37% revenue growth y/y. (Short term might be a little volatile because of option flow though) \n\n✅ Revenue", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.11616166307593834, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.11616166307593834, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.10930470424157024, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.10930470424157024, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006856958834368099, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006856958834368099, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005050551964827177, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005050551964827177, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0006258418354689876, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0006258418354689876, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0056763938002961645, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0056763938002961645, "ret_p1w": -0.07070703943085599, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07070703943085599, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08753924319344475, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08753924319344475, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01683220376258876, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01683220376258876, "ret_p1m": -0.20707070394308558, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.20707070394308558, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.22416018651720793, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.22416018651720793, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01708948257412235, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01708948257412235, "ret_p3m": 0.02020207024396381, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.02020207024396381, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.033049440560584786, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.033049440560584786, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.053251510804548596, "bench_c_p3m": 0.053251510804548596, "ret_p6m": 0.3614719557473087, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3614719557473087, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3271281611979586, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3271281611979586, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.034343794549350104, "bench_c_p6m": 0.034343794549350104, "price_path": [-0.64, -0.6205, -0.6248, -0.6162, -0.627, -0.632, -0.6234, -0.6385, -0.6277, -0.6566, -0.6472, -0.6349, -0.6284, -0.6436, -0.6371, -0.6104, -0.6219, -0.6061, -0.3716, -0.3528, -0.3232, -0.3665, -0.3304, -0.3369, -0.3391, -0.3557, -0.3333, -0.3413, -0.3189, -0.3182, -0.3182, -0.3052, -0.3521, -0.36, -0.3413, -0.3362, -0.2569, -0.2388, -0.2323, -0.2237, -0.2431, -0.2107, -0.1811, -0.1941, -0.2078, -0.171, -0.189, -0.1775, -0.2085, -0.2186, -0.1631, -0.176, -0.1724, -0.1645, -0.14, -0.1364, -0.127, -0.1126, -0.0195, -0.0253, 0.0101, 0.1154, 0.1162, 0.0, 0.0051, -0.0007, -0.0519, -0.0895, -0.0707, -0.0108, -0.0159, 0.1501, 0.0462, 0.0693, 0.1183, 0.1616, 0.083, 0.1082, 0.0303, 0.0058, 0.0317, -0.1075, -0.088, -0.1573, -0.2071, -0.2027, -0.1342, -0.1176, -0.1659, -0.1854, -0.0887, 0.0058, 0.0707, 0.0707, 0.119, 0.1039, 0.026, 0.0411, 0.0895, 0.0462, 0.0794, 0.1248, 0.1371, 0.1421, 0.0339, -0.0988, -0.0628, -0.1652, -0.1494, -0.0967, -0.1003, -0.1039, -0.1118, -0.1118, -0.1522, -0.176, -0.1955, -0.171, -0.171, -0.0808, -0.0173, -0.0491, -0.0988, -0.0736, -0.0548, -0.0036, 0.0202, 0.0253, -0.0022, -0.0007, -0.0007, -0.0382, -0.0534, -0.07, 0.0188, -0.0051, 0.1046, 0.0902, 0.0491, -0.0354, -0.0303, 0.0678, 0.0014, -0.14, 0.031, 0.2013, 0.1999, 0.1566, 0.1479, 0.1732, 0.1732, 0.1674, 0.1097, 0.1162, 0.083, 0.1313, 0.267, 0.2929, 0.29, 0.1703, 0.1558, 0.0635, 0.1089, 0.0988, -0.0079, -0.0007, 0.0354, 0.0981, 0.0584, 0.0584, 0.184, 0.1573, 0.1039, 0.1356, 0.0895, 0.1681, 0.1703, 0.2165, 0.1075, 0.0743, -0.0115, 0.0411, 0.0447, 0.0736, 0.0736, 0.1219, 0.1955, 0.3023, 0.373, 0.3615]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1978955578652398061", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-10-16T22:45:51+00:00", "symbol": "FLNC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$FLNC will likely continue going up because of re-rating bc of data center buildout + AI use", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish dip-buying thesis: TSM easiest long ever, NBIS to $60B+ marketcap, CIFR/WULF Neocloud buys, FLNC re-rating, BTC/LTC amazing buys on AI buildout + rate cut catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["FLNC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Macro + Dip thoughts Oct 16th:\n\nThere's a ton going on, eg. $GLD hitting ATHs, but that's a whole different rabbit-hole on the USD. \n\nMain stock drop today was due to a shock from regional banks, so I'll focus on that. \n\nIt's a great buying opportunity on:\n\nNeoclouds with confirmed Mag7 contracts\n- $NBIS (MSFT) $CIFR (GOOGL), $WULF (GOOGL) etc. \n\nAI Buildout\n- Semis such as $TSM (Screaming buy it always seem to dips like this after blowout earnings to wipe off calls). \n\nWe already have blowout earnings numbers and increasing margins + forward revenue, $TSM is just the easiest long I've ever seen. \n\nTSM printing money also supports this builtout thesis.\n\n- Energy such as $FLNC will likely continue going up because of re-rating bc of data center buildout + AI use. \n\nCrypto\n- $BTC $107k, $LTC $90 all amazing buys, I'd be a tad more cautious of $CRCL and others though. \n\nPeople probably have PTSD from 2023 silvergate, etc. going down and USDC depegging. \n\nIt's a much needed correction for certain stocks:\n\n- Quantum \n- Robotics/Drones \n- Critical Minerals (only specific ones are likely good)\n\nThat have 0 revenue and are increasing parabolically off hype. \n\n_\n\nThe difference is that Neoclouds + AI Buildout is confirmed revenue based on execution. \n\nThey're all national security risks but AI Buildout has the wealthiest hyperscalers in the world are backstopping it.\n\n\" $AMZN, $META, $MSFT, $GOGL, and others could spend an estimated 320B on capex this year\". - BI\n\n\" $META, OpenAI, and $ORCL, have announced plans to spend more than $1 Trillion on Data Centers in the next several years\"- BI\n\n_\n\nIn terms of what happened in specific: \n\nMarkets dipped today on regional banking fears, but it's likely overblown. The latest scare was due to Zion/Western Alliance mainly due to borrower fraud.\n\nMy guess is that it's individual banks, not systemic banking collapses that would have credit tightening.\n\nWe have a near-confirmed rate cut (close to 98%) in 2 weeks time. This is a correction needed across the board (to wipe away the froth) + leverage traders + option flow. use this correction to go long.\n\nThis is still one the earliest parts of the whole AI buildout, I do expect $NBIS as an example to scale up to 4.5B-7B+ ARR in 1 year and $60B+ marketcap from here. \n\nAgain the hype built into Neoclouds are because of forward revenue growth (fundamentals), while the hype into Quantum/some drone companies, etc.  are based around promises. \n\nIt's a perfect time to scale up longs from companies with INSANE FORWARD REVENUE GROWTH (which will cause large re-ratings to marketcaps) not just industry narrative/speculation like Quantum.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$TSM blowout earnings as expected. They’re the center of the whole Neocloud trade and AI Buildout.\n\nTSM is easily going to $450+ with 46% EPS y/y (expanding margins) and 37% revenue growth y/y. (Short term might be a little volatile because of option flow though) \n\n✅ Revenue", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.09499492429004608, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.09499492429004608, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08813796545567798, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08813796545567798, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006856958834368099, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006856958834368099, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0640959737311918, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0640959737311918, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06977236753148797, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06977236753148797, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0056763938002961645, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0056763938002961645, "ret_p1w": -0.18130741832958142, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.18130741832958142, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.19813962209217018, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.19813962209217018, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01683220376258876, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01683220376258876, "ret_p1m": -0.08529111760986419, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08529111760986419, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10238060018398654, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10238060018398654, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01708948257412235, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01708948257412235, "ret_p3m": 0.21654748660058365, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.21654748660058365, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.16329597579603505, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.16329597579603505, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.053251510804548596, "bench_c_p3m": 0.053251510804548596, "ret_p6m": -0.29622064419482663, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.29622064419482663, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.33056443874417674, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.33056443874417674, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.034343794549350104, "bench_c_p6m": 0.034343794549350104, "price_path": [-0.5133, -0.4785, -0.5179, -0.522, -0.5209, -0.5485, -0.5684, -0.5812, -0.5853, -0.6027, -0.5669, -0.5633, -0.5684, -0.5368, -0.5306, -0.5332, -0.6236, -0.6144, -0.6136, -0.594, -0.5884, -0.6006, -0.618, -0.6507, -0.6149, -0.6185, -0.6129, -0.6282, -0.6042, -0.6221, -0.6221, -0.6461, -0.6553, -0.6553, -0.6144, -0.6318, -0.6537, -0.6547, -0.6456, -0.6425, -0.6226, -0.617, -0.62, -0.5955, -0.522, -0.4586, -0.4785, -0.429, -0.4009, -0.3917, -0.4178, -0.4484, -0.3131, -0.3335, -0.2957, -0.2206, -0.2937, -0.236, -0.239, -0.3315, -0.1885, -0.0577, 0.095, 0.0, -0.0641, -0.0577, -0.1696, -0.2227, -0.1813, -0.0031, -0.0429, -0.0756, 0.0358, 0.0455, 0.0725, 0.0628, -0.0204, 0.0582, 0.0123, 0.0618, 0.1129, 0.0587, -0.0189, -0.1701, -0.0853, -0.12, -0.1307, -0.1415, -0.2079, -0.2135, -0.1931, -0.1435, -0.0301, -0.0301, 0.0031, -0.0097, 0.0194, 0.0138, 0.192, 0.2237, 0.1675, 0.2227, 0.216, 0.3172, 0.1333, 0.0991, 0.0884, -0.0516, -0.0138, 0.0194, 0.0444, 0.0046, 0.0128, 0.0128, 0.0322, 0.0199, 0.0143, 0.0102, 0.0102, 0.1752, 0.1364, 0.1149, 0.0501, 0.0817, 0.1849, 0.189, 0.2165, 0.1568, 0.3023, 0.383, 0.383, 0.3029, 0.3453, 0.3927, 0.3759, 0.3851, 0.4525, 0.5827, 0.6124, 0.5715, 0.5776, 0.6461, 0.4806, -0.0322, -0.0072, -0.0092, -0.0301, -0.1052, -0.1093, -0.0572, -0.0572, -0.0919, -0.1098, -0.1542, -0.1547, -0.1793, -0.1578, -0.166, -0.1726, -0.2063, -0.2278, -0.238, -0.1931, -0.1951, -0.2451, -0.1982, -0.1379, -0.1261, -0.1614, -0.1634, -0.143, -0.1573, -0.1834, -0.1813, -0.2273, -0.2155, -0.1752, -0.165, -0.236, -0.2773, -0.3361, -0.2972, -0.335, -0.3207, -0.3207, -0.3258, -0.3233, -0.3299, -0.3075, -0.2962]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1978955578652398061", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2025-10-16T22:45:51+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$BTC $107k all amazing buys", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish dip-buying thesis: TSM easiest long ever, NBIS to $60B+ marketcap, CIFR/WULF Neocloud buys, FLNC re-rating, BTC/LTC amazing buys on AI buildout + rate cut catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Macro + Dip thoughts Oct 16th:\n\nThere's a ton going on, eg. $GLD hitting ATHs, but that's a whole different rabbit-hole on the USD. \n\nMain stock drop today was due to a shock from regional banks, so I'll focus on that. \n\nIt's a great buying opportunity on:\n\nNeoclouds with confirmed Mag7 contracts\n- $NBIS (MSFT) $CIFR (GOOGL), $WULF (GOOGL) etc. \n\nAI Buildout\n- Semis such as $TSM (Screaming buy it always seem to dips like this after blowout earnings to wipe off calls). \n\nWe already have blowout earnings numbers and increasing margins + forward revenue, $TSM is just the easiest long I've ever seen. \n\nTSM printing money also supports this builtout thesis.\n\n- Energy such as $FLNC will likely continue going up because of re-rating bc of data center buildout + AI use. \n\nCrypto\n- $BTC $107k, $LTC $90 all amazing buys, I'd be a tad more cautious of $CRCL and others though. \n\nPeople probably have PTSD from 2023 silvergate, etc. going down and USDC depegging. \n\nIt's a much needed correction for certain stocks:\n\n- Quantum \n- Robotics/Drones \n- Critical Minerals (only specific ones are likely good)\n\nThat have 0 revenue and are increasing parabolically off hype. \n\n_\n\nThe difference is that Neoclouds + AI Buildout is confirmed revenue based on execution. \n\nThey're all national security risks but AI Buildout has the wealthiest hyperscalers in the world are backstopping it.\n\n\" $AMZN, $META, $MSFT, $GOGL, and others could spend an estimated 320B on capex this year\". - BI\n\n\" $META, OpenAI, and $ORCL, have announced plans to spend more than $1 Trillion on Data Centers in the next several years\"- BI\n\n_\n\nIn terms of what happened in specific: \n\nMarkets dipped today on regional banking fears, but it's likely overblown. The latest scare was due to Zion/Western Alliance mainly due to borrower fraud.\n\nMy guess is that it's individual banks, not systemic banking collapses that would have credit tightening.\n\nWe have a near-confirmed rate cut (close to 98%) in 2 weeks time. This is a correction needed across the board (to wipe away the froth) + leverage traders + option flow. use this correction to go long.\n\nThis is still one the earliest parts of the whole AI buildout, I do expect $NBIS as an example to scale up to 4.5B-7B+ ARR in 1 year and $60B+ marketcap from here. \n\nAgain the hype built into Neoclouds are because of forward revenue growth (fundamentals), while the hype into Quantum/some drone companies, etc.  are based around promises. \n\nIt's a perfect time to scale up longs from companies with INSANE FORWARD REVENUE GROWTH (which will cause large re-ratings to marketcaps) not just industry narrative/speculation like Quantum.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$TSM blowout earnings as expected. They’re the center of the whole Neocloud trade and AI Buildout.\n\nTSM is easily going to $450+ with 46% EPS y/y (expanding margins) and 37% revenue growth y/y. (Short term might be a little volatile because of option flow though) \n\n✅ Revenue", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.024006101180020334, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.024006101180020334, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.017149142345652235, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006856958834368099, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.01588236351834038, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01588236351834038, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.021558757318636546, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0056763938002961645, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": 0.017411558056134924, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.017411558056134924, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0005793542935461637, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01683220376258876, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.1274494391280414, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1274494391280414, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14453892170216376, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01708948257412235, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.11890866810520906, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11890866810520906, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17216017890975766, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.053251510804548596, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.325430087769094, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.325430087769094, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3597738823184441, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.034343794549350104, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0855, 0.1092, 0.0977, 0.0941, 0.0873, 0.09, 0.09, 0.0892, 0.07, 0.0475, 0.0636, 0.055, 0.0632, 0.0861, 0.0786, 0.0975, 0.1108, 0.1401, 0.094, 0.0852, 0.0746, 0.0429, 0.0563, 0.0391, 0.0803, 0.0179, 0.0334, 0.0281, 0.0403, 0.0021, 0.0098, 0.0279, 0.0327, 0.0235, 0.0228, 0.0359, 0.0309, 0.0533, 0.0677, 0.0732, 0.0671, 0.08, 0.0766, 0.0827, 0.0694, 0.0422, 0.0354, 0.0475, 0.008, 0.0141, 0.0574, 0.0543, 0.0967, 0.1155, 0.1302, 0.1531, 0.1226, 0.1402, 0.125, 0.0465, 0.0655, 0.0456, 0.024, 0.0, -0.0159, 0.0222, 0.0027, -0.0046, 0.0174, 0.0263, 0.0548, 0.0441, 0.0173, 0.0011, 0.0127, -0.0151, -0.061, -0.0397, -0.0636, -0.0445, -0.0202, -0.048, -0.0603, -0.0785, -0.1274, -0.1487, -0.1408, -0.1545, -0.1992, -0.2135, -0.1841, -0.1927, -0.1633, -0.1562, -0.1596, -0.2021, -0.1556, -0.1355, -0.1483, -0.1738, -0.1622, -0.1432, -0.1494, -0.1449, -0.1656, -0.2012, -0.188, -0.2037, -0.21, -0.1856, -0.1821, -0.192, -0.1902, -0.1937, -0.193, -0.1946, -0.1826, -0.1911, -0.1798, -0.1686, -0.1322, -0.1336, -0.156, -0.1586, -0.1634, -0.1571, -0.1189, -0.104, -0.1168, -0.117, -0.1445, -0.1837, -0.1739, -0.1731, -0.1727, -0.1841, -0.1764, -0.1756, -0.2184, -0.2224, -0.2727, -0.3009, -0.3251, -0.4204, -0.3478, -0.3518, -0.3641, -0.3808, -0.3879, -0.3635, -0.3637, -0.3761, -0.386, -0.3811, -0.3714, -0.4027, -0.4077, -0.3718, -0.3765, -0.391, -0.3643, -0.3687, -0.3279, -0.3452, -0.3702, -0.3677, -0.3536, -0.3511, -0.3484, -0.344, -0.308, -0.3167, -0.3415, -0.3538, -0.3481, -0.3445, -0.3482, -0.3409, -0.3641, -0.3868, -0.3835, -0.3693, -0.3707, -0.3817, -0.3813, -0.3635, -0.335, -0.3426, -0.3366, -0.3254]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1978955578652398061", "ticker_idx": 6, "ts": "2025-10-16T22:45:51+00:00", "symbol": "LTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LTC $90 all amazing buys", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish dip-buying thesis: TSM easiest long ever, NBIS to $60B+ marketcap, CIFR/WULF Neocloud buys, FLNC re-rating, BTC/LTC amazing buys on AI buildout + rate cut catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["LTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Macro + Dip thoughts Oct 16th:\n\nThere's a ton going on, eg. $GLD hitting ATHs, but that's a whole different rabbit-hole on the USD. \n\nMain stock drop today was due to a shock from regional banks, so I'll focus on that. \n\nIt's a great buying opportunity on:\n\nNeoclouds with confirmed Mag7 contracts\n- $NBIS (MSFT) $CIFR (GOOGL), $WULF (GOOGL) etc. \n\nAI Buildout\n- Semis such as $TSM (Screaming buy it always seem to dips like this after blowout earnings to wipe off calls). \n\nWe already have blowout earnings numbers and increasing margins + forward revenue, $TSM is just the easiest long I've ever seen. \n\nTSM printing money also supports this builtout thesis.\n\n- Energy such as $FLNC will likely continue going up because of re-rating bc of data center buildout + AI use. \n\nCrypto\n- $BTC $107k, $LTC $90 all amazing buys, I'd be a tad more cautious of $CRCL and others though. \n\nPeople probably have PTSD from 2023 silvergate, etc. going down and USDC depegging. \n\nIt's a much needed correction for certain stocks:\n\n- Quantum \n- Robotics/Drones \n- Critical Minerals (only specific ones are likely good)\n\nThat have 0 revenue and are increasing parabolically off hype. \n\n_\n\nThe difference is that Neoclouds + AI Buildout is confirmed revenue based on execution. \n\nThey're all national security risks but AI Buildout has the wealthiest hyperscalers in the world are backstopping it.\n\n\" $AMZN, $META, $MSFT, $GOGL, and others could spend an estimated 320B on capex this year\". - BI\n\n\" $META, OpenAI, and $ORCL, have announced plans to spend more than $1 Trillion on Data Centers in the next several years\"- BI\n\n_\n\nIn terms of what happened in specific: \n\nMarkets dipped today on regional banking fears, but it's likely overblown. The latest scare was due to Zion/Western Alliance mainly due to borrower fraud.\n\nMy guess is that it's individual banks, not systemic banking collapses that would have credit tightening.\n\nWe have a near-confirmed rate cut (close to 98%) in 2 weeks time. This is a correction needed across the board (to wipe away the froth) + leverage traders + option flow. use this correction to go long.\n\nThis is still one the earliest parts of the whole AI buildout, I do expect $NBIS as an example to scale up to 4.5B-7B+ ARR in 1 year and $60B+ marketcap from here. \n\nAgain the hype built into Neoclouds are because of forward revenue growth (fundamentals), while the hype into Quantum/some drone companies, etc.  are based around promises. \n\nIt's a perfect time to scale up longs from companies with INSANE FORWARD REVENUE GROWTH (which will cause large re-ratings to marketcaps) not just industry narrative/speculation like Quantum.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$TSM blowout earnings as expected. They’re the center of the whole Neocloud trade and AI Buildout.\n\nTSM is easily going to $450+ with 46% EPS y/y (expanding margins) and 37% revenue growth y/y. (Short term might be a little volatile because of option flow though) \n\n✅ Revenue", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03935750222281409, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03935750222281409, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03250054338844599, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006856958834368099, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.01822387496352107, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01822387496352107, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.023900268763817234, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0056763938002961645, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": 0.024567944548883558, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.024567944548883558, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.007735740786294798, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01683220376258876, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": 0.062376853775367724, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.062376853775367724, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.045287371201245374, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01708948257412235, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.14887164498877514, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14887164498877514, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20212315579332374, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.053251510804548596, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.40115902182384877, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.40115902182384877, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4355028163731989, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.034343794549350104, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2622, 0.3043, 0.2223, 0.2236, 0.24, 0.1831, 0.1824, 0.2042, 0.1573, 0.1618, 0.3205, 0.3103, 0.2997, 0.337, 0.3495, 0.3105, 0.4213, 0.4269, 0.3215, 0.297, 0.2823, 0.2255, 0.2641, 0.249, 0.3378, 0.1924, 0.2365, 0.2217, 0.2393, 0.1975, 0.1825, 0.2166, 0.2306, 0.2103, 0.2213, 0.228, 0.2196, 0.2809, 0.2623, 0.2872, 0.2396, 0.2533, 0.275, 0.2884, 0.2434, 0.1529, 0.1565, 0.1506, 0.113, 0.1401, 0.164, 0.1646, 0.2542, 0.3034, 0.313, 0.2892, 0.2755, 0.2925, 0.372, 0.0527, 0.0848, 0.0608, 0.0394, 0.0, -0.0182, 0.0253, 0.0098, 0.0014, 0.0246, 0.0504, 0.0827, 0.0538, 0.0738, 0.0174, 0.0404, -0.0478, -0.0687, -0.0243, -0.0522, 0.1089, 0.1352, 0.0858, 0.0627, 0.0545, 0.0624, -0.006, 0.0421, 0.0118, -0.0492, -0.1001, -0.0688, -0.0709, -0.0536, -0.0562, -0.0815, -0.1547, -0.0978, -0.0631, -0.0896, -0.1231, -0.0859, -0.062, -0.0793, -0.0963, -0.1075, -0.1547, -0.1387, -0.1728, -0.1907, -0.1556, -0.1612, -0.1619, -0.1748, -0.1755, -0.1629, -0.1472, -0.1419, -0.1635, -0.1301, -0.1086, -0.0895, -0.0854, -0.1107, -0.1148, -0.1135, -0.1715, -0.1489, -0.1639, -0.2143, -0.18, -0.2295, -0.2694, -0.2546, -0.2578, -0.2587, -0.2402, -0.2378, -0.2441, -0.2798, -0.288, -0.3464, -0.3543, -0.3595, -0.4478, -0.4001, -0.4074, -0.419, -0.4309, -0.4215, -0.3999, -0.4003, -0.4128, -0.4194, -0.4263, -0.3985, -0.4416, -0.4426, -0.3825, -0.394, -0.4059, -0.4058, -0.4032, -0.3813, -0.3957, -0.4138, -0.4147, -0.4133, -0.4036, -0.4054, -0.3975, -0.3602, -0.3671, -0.3893, -0.3953, -0.388, -0.3936, -0.3857, -0.3831, -0.4055, -0.4151, -0.4204, -0.4126, -0.4138, -0.4306, -0.4203, -0.4167, -0.3964, -0.412, -0.4062, -0.4012]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1984602616261984502", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-01T12:45:10+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Full-stack is a moat because it optimizes internal opex and increases margins. It's not just purely an outward marketing play.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NBIS: full-stack approach is a genuine margin/opex moat, not just marketing.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "A lot of people misunderstand this point with $NBIS : \n\nFull-stack is a moat because it optimizes internal opex and increases margins. It’s not just purely an outward marketing play.\n\nWe’ve already seen why margins are important at scale when $ORCL a $800B giant had trouble with buildout with 14% gross.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Actually, the Nebius guy sounds weak. He is afraid of the competition. And quite frankly, many hyperscalers don’t need proprietary software from a neocloud. They want to run their own software. They need the power and the ability to scale fast.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "josef21m", "ret_m1d": 0.08591355523068556, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08591355523068556, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08778681678889533, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07517315981838268, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010740395412302872, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08242716198685718, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08242716198685718, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07057362204440965, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.075560366211469, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006866795775388179, "ret_p1w": -0.08732467971995872, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08732467971995872, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08454416095747552, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08459559111130788, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0027290886086508426, "ret_p1m": -0.19938577263277246, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.19938577263277246, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19673703073352378, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2138236734625919, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014437900829819439, "ret_p3m": -0.21216898231591608, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21216898231591608, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23082847835699605, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.27016535998008484, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05799637766416876, "ret_p6m": 0.12484430259595736, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.12484430259595736, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.07742672938322026, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09926724251497565, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "bench_c_p6m": 0.025577060080981706, "price_path": [-0.5427, -0.4579, -0.4291, -0.417, -0.3747, -0.4137, -0.4317, -0.4055, -0.3979, -0.4423, -0.4399, -0.4507, -0.4274, -0.4188, -0.415, -0.4181, -0.402, -0.4329, -0.4329, -0.4545, -0.4551, -0.4612, -0.4565, -0.4682, -0.2054, -0.2248, -0.2596, -0.2495, -0.245, -0.2577, -0.2191, -0.2187, -0.1756, -0.1151, -0.1052, -0.0601, -0.104, -0.106, -0.0851, -0.0681, -0.0403, 0.0448, 0.0623, 0.0371, -0.023, 0.0127, 0.101, 0.0756, 0.1244, 0.0638, 0.0445, 0.0213, -0.0584, -0.0952, -0.1344, -0.1814, -0.1188, -0.0266, 0.0412, 0.0113, 0.0384, 0.0308, 0.0859, 0.0, -0.0824, -0.0288, -0.0916, -0.0763, -0.0873, -0.1515, -0.2167, -0.2643, -0.3065, -0.2863, -0.2484, -0.2108, -0.2974, -0.3089, -0.2372, -0.2622, -0.214, -0.214, -0.2125, -0.1687, -0.1994, -0.1789, -0.1467, -0.1862, -0.1672, -0.1997, -0.2231, -0.2174, -0.2721, -0.3265, -0.328, -0.3737, -0.3518, -0.2574, -0.2261, -0.2527, -0.2435, -0.2435, -0.2729, -0.2858, -0.293, -0.3052, -0.3052, -0.2533, -0.2294, -0.1679, -0.2014, -0.1923, -0.1871, -0.1091, -0.1248, -0.1535, -0.1377, -0.0975, -0.0975, -0.1758, -0.1793, -0.1961, -0.2156, -0.2408, -0.1876, -0.1663, -0.2122, -0.2929, -0.2682, -0.2533, -0.3161, -0.3868, -0.2853, -0.229, -0.2381, -0.2645, -0.2552, -0.1864, -0.1864, -0.1905, -0.155, -0.1067, -0.1872, -0.1649, -0.1485, -0.1191, -0.1294, -0.243, -0.2445, -0.2795, -0.1883, -0.206, -0.2585, -0.2119, -0.1996, -0.0703, -0.1032, -0.0624, 0.0779, -0.0344, -0.0159, 0.0087, -0.0237, -0.0525, -0.0462, -0.0447, -0.1204, -0.1631, -0.2342, -0.1387, -0.1537, -0.0967, -0.0967, -0.0658, -0.0255, 0.0376, 0.1317, 0.2034, 0.283, 0.3442, 0.3843, 0.3725, 0.3044, 0.3212, 0.2995, 0.2961, 0.3039, 0.2215, 0.2033, 0.1248]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1969107035280015375", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-19T18:31:16+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "No lol there's 42% short interest. Could be a hilarious 200%+ short squeeze", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish HIMS; 42% short interest sets up a potential 200%+ short squeeze, rally not done.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@mattia030339 @DavidJang0620 No lol there's 42% short interest. Could be a hilarious 200%+ short squeeze", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @DavidJang0620 what about $HIMS ? Do you think its done/close to finishing the rally? im thinking of selling  some of my position. Thank you", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mattia030339", "ret_m1d": -0.028017968530528736, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.028017968530528736, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02308950382372421, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02308950382372421, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004928464706804525, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004928464706804525, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0020753879716036705, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0020753879716036705, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006806488425291746, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006806488425291746, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004731100453688075, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004731100453688075, "ret_p1w": 0.01003116281764016, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01003116281764016, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.012863719040787536, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.012863719040787536, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0028325562231473755, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0028325562231473755, "ret_p1m": -0.11172603110634272, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11172603110634272, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12317694969636295, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12317694969636295, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011450918590020231, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011450918590020231, "ret_p3m": -0.39519195079080083, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.39519195079080083, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.40679352841002747, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.40679352841002747, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.011601577619226644, "bench_c_p3m": 0.011601577619226644, "ret_p6m": -0.5696990783105496, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5696990783105496, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5807084706848351, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5807084706848351, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.011009392374285554, "bench_c_p6m": 0.011009392374285554, "price_path": [-0.2572, -0.2838, -0.1996, -0.1455, -0.1378, -0.1705, -0.1792, -0.1702, -0.1702, -0.1626, -0.1532, -0.1138, -0.1306, -0.1717, -0.1001, -0.1273, -0.1033, -0.1354, -0.1287, -0.1768, -0.1351, 0.0035, -0.0086, -0.0029, 0.0149, 0.0424, 0.1333, 0.1446, 0.0818, 0.0956, -0.0398, -0.1157, -0.1171, -0.1017, -0.1356, -0.1705, -0.1641, -0.1849, -0.2041, -0.22, -0.2705, -0.2497, -0.2397, -0.2292, -0.2565, -0.2157, -0.2388, -0.2369, -0.2676, -0.2676, -0.2817, -0.2311, -0.1679, -0.1627, -0.1415, -0.1735, -0.1736, -0.1048, -0.0401, -0.0668, -0.1199, -0.1292, -0.028, 0.0, -0.0021, -0.0315, -0.079, -0.051, 0.01, 0.0225, -0.019, -0.0261, 0.0009, -0.0913, -0.0529, 0.0026, 0.0061, 0.0074, -0.0669, -0.0534, -0.0657, 0.0854, 0.023, -0.1391, -0.1117, -0.1463, -0.1792, -0.1614, -0.1563, -0.1659, -0.1851, -0.1935, -0.238, -0.2138, -0.2323, -0.2599, -0.2437, -0.2819, -0.2904, -0.29, -0.3125, -0.3251, -0.3765, -0.3604, -0.3846, -0.3729, -0.3803, -0.4185, -0.3997, -0.3466, -0.3585, -0.3359, -0.3359, -0.3123, -0.3513, -0.372, -0.3589, -0.3079, -0.322, -0.3234, -0.3113, -0.3449, -0.3468, -0.3565, -0.3731, -0.3625, -0.3952, -0.3987, -0.385, -0.3938, -0.3981, -0.4004, -0.4004, -0.4066, -0.4102, -0.4286, -0.4384, -0.4384, -0.4222, -0.3997, -0.3867, -0.3867, -0.4142, -0.4519, -0.4407, -0.4431, -0.4583, -0.4599, -0.4573, -0.4573, -0.473, -0.5003, -0.4722, -0.4877, -0.4763, -0.4867, -0.5042, -0.4834, -0.5315, -0.5427, -0.5583, -0.578, -0.5939, -0.6019, -0.6657, -0.7018, -0.7113, -0.7267, -0.7181, -0.7181, -0.7186, -0.726, -0.7264, -0.7297, -0.7318, -0.7326, -0.7264, -0.7302, -0.7489, -0.715, -0.7264, -0.7155, -0.7254, -0.7278, -0.6167, -0.5941, -0.5524, -0.5877, -0.5716, -0.5697]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2006434445205930103", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-31T18:37:04+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Look for beaten down names like $HIMS -41.9%... historically, these tend to rise first month of the year if they had accelerated sell offs due to end of year tax losses", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "January Effect mean-reversion play: HIMS, SMCI, SNAP, MRVL all down 23-54% flagged as likely to rally in January on post-tax-loss-harvesting bounce.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Happy New Year! \n\nThe strangest “seasonal anomaly\" is the January Effect for mean reversion rallies.\n\nLook for beaten down names like \n\n$MSTR -53.9%, $HIMS -41.9%, or $SMCI -38.63% on 3M charts or companies like $SNAP -25% YTD, $MRVL -23% YTD\n\nThe primary candidates have strong forward earnings, but are down like Snapchat (perplexity, memory monetization), SMCI (50%+ forward y/y growth but dropped on q1->q2  backlog delay), or Marvell with triple digit revenue growth from Maia down the road. \n\nThe EoY tax harvesting is in full effect for the markets and this causes artificial downward pressure.\n\nSo, while you’re shopping for new year discounts, make sure to check there isn’t something fundamentally too broken. (Eg. MSTR is more risky because of MSCI delisting)\n\nBut, historically, these tend to rise first month of the year if they had accelerated sell offs due to end of year tax losses. This trend presents one of the most rewarding opportunities for traders.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01755465578673232, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01755465578673232, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01009038588114497, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01009038588114497, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007464269905587351, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007464269905587351, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.09208493228707004, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09208493228707004, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08085190971368483, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08085190971368483, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01123302257338521, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01123302257338521, "ret_p1m": -0.08007392312051853, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08007392312051853, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09784724654074228, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09784724654074228, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017773323420223752, "bench_c_p1m": 0.017773323420223752, "ret_p3m": -0.4216199574802839, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4216199574802839, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.35090181587958, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.35090181587958, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.07071814160070389, "bench_c_p3m": -0.07071814160070389, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.6181, 0.6865, 0.7853, 0.7915, 0.794, 0.6615, 0.6856, 0.6637, 0.9329, 0.8217, 0.5331, 0.5818, 0.5202, 0.4617, 0.4934, 0.5023, 0.4854, 0.4512, 0.4361, 0.3569, 0.4001, 0.3671, 0.3178, 0.3468, 0.2787, 0.2636, 0.2642, 0.2242, 0.2017, 0.1103, 0.1389, 0.0958, 0.1167, 0.1035, 0.0354, 0.069, 0.1635, 0.1423, 0.1826, 0.1826, 0.2245, 0.1552, 0.1183, 0.1417, 0.2325, 0.2073, 0.2048, 0.2264, 0.1666, 0.1632, 0.146, 0.1164, 0.1352, 0.077, 0.0708, 0.0952, 0.0795, 0.0718, 0.0678, 0.0678, 0.0567, 0.0502, 0.0176, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0289, 0.069, 0.0921, 0.0921, 0.0431, -0.024, -0.004, -0.0083, -0.0354, -0.0382, -0.0336, -0.0336, -0.0616, -0.1103, -0.0601, -0.0878, -0.0674, -0.0859, -0.117, -0.0801, -0.1657, -0.1857, -0.2134, -0.2485, -0.2769, -0.291, -0.4047, -0.469, -0.486, -0.5134, -0.498, -0.498, -0.4989, -0.5122, -0.5128, -0.5186, -0.5223, -0.5239, -0.5128, -0.5196, -0.5528, -0.4925, -0.5128, -0.4934, -0.5109, -0.5152, -0.3175, -0.2772, -0.203, -0.2658, -0.2371, -0.2338, -0.2307, -0.287, -0.2559, -0.3218, -0.3083, -0.3428, -0.3582, -0.3576, -0.4031, -0.4216, -0.3606, -0.389, -0.4105, -0.4105, -0.3739, -0.3994, -0.4028, -0.3917, -0.4016, -0.3486, -0.3422, -0.2519, -0.1688, -0.1124, -0.045, -0.0835, -0.1066, -0.133, -0.0588, -0.0949, -0.1404, -0.1891, -0.1632, -0.1558, -0.1601, -0.1891, -0.1722, -0.21, -0.1294, -0.1026, -0.2291, -0.2565, -0.2535, -0.2285, -0.3135, -0.3089, -0.2904, -0.2605, -0.2686, -0.2686, -0.2655, -0.2239, -0.2184, -0.1946, -0.1946, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2006434445205930103", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-31T18:37:04+00:00", "symbol": "SMCI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SMCI -38.63%... SMCI (50%+ forward y/y growth but dropped on q1->q2 backlog delay)... historically, these tend to rise first month of the year", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "January Effect mean-reversion play: HIMS, SMCI, SNAP, MRVL all down 23-54% flagged as likely to rally in January on post-tax-loss-harvesting bounce.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMCI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Happy New Year! \n\nThe strangest “seasonal anomaly\" is the January Effect for mean reversion rallies.\n\nLook for beaten down names like \n\n$MSTR -53.9%, $HIMS -41.9%, or $SMCI -38.63% on 3M charts or companies like $SNAP -25% YTD, $MRVL -23% YTD\n\nThe primary candidates have strong forward earnings, but are down like Snapchat (perplexity, memory monetization), SMCI (50%+ forward y/y growth but dropped on q1->q2  backlog delay), or Marvell with triple digit revenue growth from Maia down the road. \n\nThe EoY tax harvesting is in full effect for the markets and this causes artificial downward pressure.\n\nSo, while you’re shopping for new year discounts, make sure to check there isn’t something fundamentally too broken. (Eg. MSTR is more risky because of MSCI delisting)\n\nBut, historically, these tend to rise first month of the year if they had accelerated sell offs due to end of year tax losses. This trend presents one of the most rewarding opportunities for traders.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.012982547141225265, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.012982547141225265, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005518277235637914, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.002980425848936985, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007464269905587351, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01000212129228828, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.025281850343185974, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.025281850343185974, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.014048827769800765, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.007500348542528235, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01123302257338521, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01778150180065774, "ret_p1m": 0.02903998524688345, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.02903998524688345, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.011266661826659696, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.008896940745694248, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017773323420223752, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0201430445011892, "ret_p3m": -0.2804920008002132, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2804920008002132, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2097738591995093, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.16719429965920418, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.07071814160070389, "bench_c_p3m": -0.11329770114100901, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.7752, 0.8661, 0.8814, 1.0048, 0.9809, 0.8059, 0.8705, 0.8145, 0.8428, 0.8394, 0.7827, 0.8804, 0.8729, 0.7936, 0.6372, 0.6498, 0.7619, 0.7889, 0.8001, 0.7209, 0.7752, 0.7339, 0.6194, 0.4359, 0.3782, 0.3584, 0.3731, 0.3263, 0.2952, 0.1988, 0.2443, 0.165, 0.1923, 0.1524, 0.0782, 0.0998, 0.1384, 0.1097, 0.1216, 0.1216, 0.1565, 0.1414, 0.1247, 0.1507, 0.1695, 0.1852, 0.2084, 0.1964, 0.1923, 0.1623, 0.1045, 0.0717, 0.0817, 0.0195, 0.0034, 0.0629, 0.0615, 0.0509, 0.0437, 0.0437, 0.0468, 0.0277, 0.013, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0577, 0.0273, 0.0434, 0.0253, 0.0215, 0.0304, 0.029, -0.0229, -0.0342, 0.0051, 0.1151, 0.1151, 0.0731, 0.1015, 0.1086, 0.083, 0.0523, 0.0659, 0.0663, 0.029, -0.0055, 0.015, 0.0137, 0.1534, 0.054, 0.1746, 0.1455, 0.1387, 0.0946, 0.0396, 0.0434, 0.0434, 0.0287, 0.015, 0.0987, 0.1076, 0.0492, 0.0635, 0.1479, 0.1028, 0.1066, 0.0875, 0.0482, 0.1155, 0.1015, 0.0697, 0.0926, 0.0861, 0.0861, 0.0557, 0.0506, 0.0885, 0.0765, 0.0369, 0.0519, -0.2986, -0.2627, -0.2405, -0.1783, -0.2412, -0.2494, -0.2805, -0.2221, -0.231, -0.2067, -0.2067, -0.2467, -0.2255, -0.2016, -0.2067, -0.137, -0.1127, -0.0707, -0.0676, -0.0297, -0.0243, -0.0157, -0.0287, -0.0031, -0.0861, -0.0065, -0.0485, -0.069, -0.1008, -0.0639, -0.0745, -0.0461, -0.0492, 0.1841, 0.1486, 0.2084, 0.1452, 0.1203, 0.0933, 0.1285, 0.0605, 0.054, 0.0441, 0.1431, 0.1431, 0.2156, 0.2156, 0.2675, 0.3047, 0.411, 0.5746, 0.5746, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2006434445205930103", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-12-31T18:37:04+00:00", "symbol": "SNAP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SNAP -25% YTD... Snapchat (perplexity, memory monetization)... historically, these tend to rise first month of the year", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "January Effect mean-reversion play: HIMS, SMCI, SNAP, MRVL all down 23-54% flagged as likely to rally in January on post-tax-loss-harvesting bounce.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNAP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Happy New Year! \n\nThe strangest “seasonal anomaly\" is the January Effect for mean reversion rallies.\n\nLook for beaten down names like \n\n$MSTR -53.9%, $HIMS -41.9%, or $SMCI -38.63% on 3M charts or companies like $SNAP -25% YTD, $MRVL -23% YTD\n\nThe primary candidates have strong forward earnings, but are down like Snapchat (perplexity, memory monetization), SMCI (50%+ forward y/y growth but dropped on q1->q2  backlog delay), or Marvell with triple digit revenue growth from Maia down the road. \n\nThe EoY tax harvesting is in full effect for the markets and this causes artificial downward pressure.\n\nSo, while you’re shopping for new year discounts, make sure to check there isn’t something fundamentally too broken. (Eg. MSTR is more risky because of MSCI delisting)\n\nBut, historically, these tend to rise first month of the year if they had accelerated sell offs due to end of year tax losses. This trend presents one of the most rewarding opportunities for traders.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.007464269905587351, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00484197287590149, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007464269905587351, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00484197287590149, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.06815368172660663, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06815368172660663, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05692065915322142, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0735053838647518, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01123302257338521, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005351702138145176, "ret_p1m": -0.1028500563932343, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1028500563932343, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12062337981345805, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12043415554493808, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017773323420223752, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01758409915170378, "ret_p3m": -0.5018587195852332, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.5018587195852332, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4311405779845293, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.42187667193777023, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.07071814160070389, "bench_c_p3m": -0.07998204764746297, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0582, 0.0558, 0.0074, 0.0446, 0.0384, -0.0359, -0.0025, -0.0186, -0.0198, -0.0384, -0.052, -0.0421, -0.0273, -0.0372, -0.0248, -0.0149, -0.0198, -0.0409, -0.0409, -0.0582, -0.0335, -0.031, -0.0743, -0.0954, -0.0074, 0.0173, 0.0768, 0.0855, 0.1264, 0.0632, 0.062, 0.0136, 0.0223, -0.005, -0.0359, -0.0471, -0.0483, -0.0533, -0.057, -0.057, -0.0483, -0.0533, -0.0558, -0.0508, -0.0384, -0.0198, -0.005, -0.0186, -0.0186, -0.0533, -0.0942, -0.1004, -0.0867, -0.0706, -0.0545, -0.062, -0.0161, -0.0322, -0.0273, -0.0273, -0.026, -0.0235, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0074, 0.0223, 0.0892, 0.0682, 0.0409, 0.0173, 0.0149, -0.0099, -0.0211, -0.0384, -0.0669, -0.0669, -0.0892, -0.0867, -0.0508, -0.0558, -0.0632, -0.0756, -0.0496, -0.1029, -0.1413, -0.1747, -0.2441, -0.2677, -0.3656, -0.3532, -0.3569, -0.3519, -0.3817, -0.4027, -0.4015, -0.4015, -0.4139, -0.3953, -0.3804, -0.3631, -0.3891, -0.3841, -0.3717, -0.3482, -0.3544, -0.3482, -0.3494, -0.3346, -0.3383, -0.3606, -0.3643, -0.3916, -0.3978, -0.4238, -0.4349, -0.4201, -0.4238, -0.4275, -0.4349, -0.4449, -0.4411, -0.4597, -0.4436, -0.5031, -0.513, -0.5019, -0.43, -0.3928, -0.4263, -0.4263, -0.4164, -0.4052, -0.4139, -0.3866, -0.4027, -0.3618, -0.3061, -0.2515, -0.254, -0.2528, -0.2565, -0.3011, -0.2763, -0.3098, -0.2999, -0.2491, -0.2627, -0.259, -0.2478, -0.2206, -0.2354, -0.2429, -0.2429, -0.259, -0.2466, -0.2875, -0.3123, -0.3048, -0.3358, -0.3147, -0.2974, -0.3123, -0.3036, -0.2949, -0.2912, -0.2912, -0.2875, -0.2714, -0.2677, -0.2924, -0.2924, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2006434445205930103", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-12-31T18:37:04+00:00", "symbol": "MRVL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$MRVL -23% YTD... Marvell with triple digit revenue growth from Maia down the road... historically, these tend to rise first month of the year", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "January Effect mean-reversion play: HIMS, SMCI, SNAP, MRVL all down 23-54% flagged as likely to rally in January on post-tax-loss-harvesting bounce.", "resolved_tickers": ["MRVL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Happy New Year! \n\nThe strangest “seasonal anomaly\" is the January Effect for mean reversion rallies.\n\nLook for beaten down names like \n\n$MSTR -53.9%, $HIMS -41.9%, or $SMCI -38.63% on 3M charts or companies like $SNAP -25% YTD, $MRVL -23% YTD\n\nThe primary candidates have strong forward earnings, but are down like Snapchat (perplexity, memory monetization), SMCI (50%+ forward y/y growth but dropped on q1->q2  backlog delay), or Marvell with triple digit revenue growth from Maia down the road. \n\nThe EoY tax harvesting is in full effect for the markets and this causes artificial downward pressure.\n\nSo, while you’re shopping for new year discounts, make sure to check there isn’t something fundamentally too broken. (Eg. MSTR is more risky because of MSCI delisting)\n\nBut, historically, these tend to rise first month of the year if they had accelerated sell offs due to end of year tax losses. This trend presents one of the most rewarding opportunities for traders.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02094621615740011, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02094621615740011, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01348194625181276, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01348194625181276, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007464269905587351, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007464269905587351, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.0040010171757624, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0040010171757624, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01523403974914761, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01523403974914761, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01123302257338521, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01123302257338521, "ret_p1m": -0.042144928489829314, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.042144928489829314, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.059918251910053066, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.059918251910053066, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017773323420223752, "bench_c_p1m": 0.017773323420223752, "ret_p3m": 0.034045455244131606, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.034045455244131606, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1047635968448355, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1047635968448355, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.07071814160070389, "bench_c_p3m": -0.07071814160070389, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0139, 0.0457, 0.0227, 0.0878, 0.0664, 0.0074, 0.0519, 0.0146, 0.046, 0.0382, 0.0349, 0.0101, -0.0085, -0.0462, -0.026, -0.01, 0.0439, 0.041, 0.0608, 0.0422, 0.1031, 0.0634, 0.0307, 0.0932, 0.0983, 0.0699, 0.0971, 0.0512, 0.0512, 0.0299, 0.0173, -0.018, -0.0741, -0.0431, -0.0977, -0.0886, -0.014, -0.0182, 0.0322, 0.0322, 0.052, 0.072, 0.0931, 0.1791, 0.1554, 0.1639, 0.0826, 0.0461, 0.0881, 0.0524, -0.0065, -0.0085, -0.0107, -0.0386, -0.006, -0.0105, -0.0021, 0.0318, 0.0178, 0.0178, 0.016, 0.0092, 0.0209, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0519, 0.0618, 0.0382, -0.004, -0.018, -0.02, -0.0239, -0.022, -0.0437, -0.0534, -0.0525, -0.0525, -0.0603, -0.0279, -0.0214, -0.0552, -0.0371, -0.0234, -0.0153, -0.0421, -0.0706, -0.0737, -0.1104, -0.1318, -0.1261, -0.0546, -0.0303, -0.0343, -0.0421, -0.0788, -0.0743, -0.0743, -0.0696, -0.0686, -0.0625, -0.064, -0.0839, -0.0769, -0.0471, -0.0663, -0.038, -0.0478, -0.0872, -0.0804, -0.1088, 0.0548, 0.091, 0.0987, 0.065, 0.0324, 0.0346, 0.0784, 0.0691, 0.0318, 0.0543, 0.0352, 0.0617, 0.0876, 0.1593, 0.1503, 0.1173, 0.034, 0.1664, 0.2566, 0.2613, 0.2613, 0.2896, 0.2881, 0.3478, 0.4123, 0.5138, 0.547, 0.5768, 0.5858, 0.5713, 0.6458, 0.7418, 0.7827, 0.8535, 0.9506, 0.9359, 0.864, 0.8053, 0.8447, 0.9458, 0.9434, 0.9282, 0.9882, 1.0282, 0.8852, 1.0044, 1.0128, 0.9381, 1.0966, 1.1511, 1.0841, 0.9903, 1.0768, 1.2008, 1.2467, 1.3131, 1.3131, 1.4537, 1.3411, 1.4133, 1.4153, 1.4153, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1995546513305751984", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-01T17:32:18+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LITE is directly correlated to TPU ramp up... This is something I'm cost averaging shares with but it's a happy add to my portfolio", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long LITE via cost-averaging; bullish on TPU ramp correlation and ecosystem importance.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yeah little sad I'm late to the $LITE party and it's ATHs right now. \n\nBut if we look what happened to $NVDA 2022 to now, same could happen if TPU ends up becoming a dominant player in inference. \n\nand.. $LITE is directly correlated to TPU ramp up. Sadly didn't realize how vital it was to the ecosystem earlier. This is something I'm cost averaging shares with but it's a happy add to my portfolio.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Insightful mapping. $LITE is the standout alpha here since $GOOGL OCS architecture prevents the commoditization seen in standard transceivers. Betting on infrastructure divergence is a smart strategy.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Kaizen_Investor", "ret_m1d": 0.022740889984862678, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.022740889984862678, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01815444512253994, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01815444512253994, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04755762421133569, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04755762421133569, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.049409923885414764, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.049409923885414764, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "ret_p1w": 0.0774699004504733, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0774699004504733, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07253064519621533, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07253064519621533, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "ret_p1m": 0.16748970284883846, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.16748970284883846, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1545975960564714, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1545975960564714, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "ret_p3m": 1.129399602416219, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.129399602416219, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.11313134380169, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.11313134380169, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "ret_p6m": 1.864813067471177, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.864813067471177, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.755159687890507, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.755159687890507, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "price_path": [-0.5781, -0.5536, -0.5299, -0.5301, -0.5228, -0.4814, -0.4814, -0.4872, -0.4692, -0.4625, -0.4862, -0.4606, -0.4693, -0.4819, -0.4842, -0.5195, -0.4995, -0.4944, -0.4886, -0.4882, -0.4609, -0.4661, -0.4848, -0.4949, -0.5057, -0.487, -0.4975, -0.5294, -0.495, -0.5069, -0.5075, -0.4866, -0.4817, -0.4936, -0.4875, -0.5028, -0.47, -0.436, -0.3904, -0.376, -0.326, -0.3705, -0.366, -0.3723, -0.4075, -0.2679, -0.2461, -0.2448, -0.1826, -0.2059, -0.2017, -0.2864, -0.2698, -0.2386, -0.2217, -0.1542, -0.2664, -0.1961, -0.0584, -0.0839, -0.0304, -0.0304, 0.0227, 0.0, -0.0476, -0.047, 0.0312, 0.0424, 0.0775, 0.1334, 0.1512, 0.1704, 0.0202, 0.0527, -0.0056, 0.0073, 0.0604, 0.1683, 0.2263, 0.2185, 0.2453, 0.2453, 0.2291, 0.172, 0.1675, 0.1593, 0.1593, 0.2144, 0.123, 0.25, 0.2357, 0.0954, 0.1053, 0.069, 0.1365, 0.0431, 0.0797, 0.0199, 0.0199, 0.1224, 0.14, 0.115, 0.0669, 0.0457, 0.1659, 0.211, 0.1998, 0.2325, 0.3318, 0.3685, 0.4643, 0.5866, 0.7362, 0.8153, 0.7649, 0.8058, 0.8352, 0.77, 0.77, 0.8885, 0.8692, 0.9993, 1.1004, 1.1223, 1.1648, 1.2753, 1.1294, 1.2046, 1.4636, 1.1842, 1.1414, 1.0471, 0.7565, 1.0152, 1.1137, 1.1137, 0.9378, 0.958, 0.9653, 1.0431, 1.2043, 1.4286, 1.2217, 1.2928, 1.5225, 1.4445, 1.1665, 1.2103, 1.0595, 1.2104, 1.4051, 1.6008, 1.6008, 1.4291, 1.5658, 1.8183, 1.8123, 1.8223, 1.7402, 1.6823, 1.5918, 1.8032, 1.8122, 1.8154, 1.6324, 1.7478, 1.6638, 1.7731, 1.704, 1.4891, 1.6997, 1.8381, 1.9879, 2.0704, 2.1282, 1.9701, 1.8075, 1.8428, 2.3123, 2.1213, 2.2409, 2.151, 2.0532, 1.7836, 1.7996, 1.7304, 2.0337, 1.9783, 1.9783, 1.8648]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1980952487009100157", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-22T11:00:51+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I just think Nebius is undervalued at $100", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NBIS: author considers it undervalued at $100 after $17B hyperscaler deal de-risked the company.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MktMavPro @Lazoumance1 @AnaCintra24 Hmm, nothing wrong with developing conviction after the $MSFT deal. \n\nI had $NBIS sub $40 but only developed conviction after 17B+ from a hyperscaler de-risked the company.\n\nThat said everyone is entitled to their own opinion, I just think Nebius is undervalued at $100.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@Lazoumance1 @AnaCintra24 @aleabitoreddit Assuming referring to me.  I did sell before $MSFT to mitigate risk, however also bought back before the deal.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MktMavPro", "ret_m1d": 0.05739196790796086, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05739196790796086, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.052165891093566064, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04865795143168117, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005226076814394798, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008734016476279693, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07645508725955352, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07645508725955352, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07052519606905383, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07982761972858643, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005929891190499692, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0033725324690329073, "ret_p1w": 0.2685053233630823, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2685053233630823, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.23917013427122158, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2628844137812947, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.029335189091860725, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005620909581787625, "ret_p1m": -0.14175626614873638, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14175626614873638, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11889015789478707, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09272476616029002, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.022866108253949302, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04903149998844636, "ret_p3m": 0.10251470623389292, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10251470623389292, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06372503900472015, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10335486794227966, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.038789667229172764, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0008401617083867441, "ret_p6m": 0.6765361157285201, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6765361157285201, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.619849690724092, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.6423340376147957, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05668642500442811, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03420207811372444, "price_path": [-0.4791, -0.4651, -0.4889, -0.4799, -0.4481, -0.4727, -0.4507, -0.4406, -0.4414, -0.3378, -0.3026, -0.2878, -0.2362, -0.2838, -0.3058, -0.2738, -0.2644, -0.3187, -0.3159, -0.3289, -0.3005, -0.29, -0.2853, -0.2892, -0.2695, -0.3072, -0.3072, -0.3336, -0.3343, -0.3418, -0.3361, -0.3504, -0.0294, -0.053, -0.0956, -0.0832, -0.0777, -0.0932, -0.046, -0.0456, 0.007, 0.0809, 0.0931, 0.1481, 0.0945, 0.0921, 0.1176, 0.1384, 0.1723, 0.2763, 0.2977, 0.2669, 0.1935, 0.2371, 0.345, 0.3139, 0.3736, 0.2994, 0.2759, 0.2476, 0.1503, 0.1053, 0.0574, 0.0, 0.0765, 0.189, 0.2719, 0.2353, 0.2685, 0.2592, 0.3265, 0.2216, 0.1209, 0.1864, 0.1097, 0.1284, 0.1149, 0.0365, -0.0432, -0.1013, -0.1529, -0.1282, -0.0819, -0.036, -0.1418, -0.1557, -0.0681, -0.0988, -0.0398, -0.0398, -0.038, 0.0155, -0.022, 0.003, 0.0424, -0.0059, 0.0173, -0.0224, -0.051, -0.044, -0.1108, -0.1772, -0.1792, -0.2349, -0.2082, -0.0929, -0.0547, -0.0871, -0.0759, -0.0759, -0.1118, -0.1276, -0.1364, -0.1512, -0.1512, -0.0879, -0.0587, 0.0164, -0.0244, -0.0134, -0.007, 0.0883, 0.0691, 0.0341, 0.0534, 0.1025, 0.1025, 0.0068, 0.0025, -0.0179, -0.0418, -0.0726, -0.0076, 0.0184, -0.0376, -0.1362, -0.1061, -0.0879, -0.1646, -0.251, -0.127, -0.0582, -0.0693, -0.1015, -0.0901, -0.0062, -0.0062, -0.0112, 0.0322, 0.0912, -0.0071, 0.0202, 0.0402, 0.076, 0.0635, -0.0753, -0.0772, -0.1199, -0.0085, -0.0301, -0.0942, -0.0373, -0.0222, 0.1356, 0.0955, 0.1453, 0.3167, 0.1796, 0.2022, 0.2322, 0.1927, 0.1575, 0.1652, 0.167, 0.0745, 0.0223, -0.0645, 0.0521, 0.0338, 0.1034, 0.1034, 0.1411, 0.1904, 0.2675, 0.3824, 0.47, 0.5672, 0.6421, 0.691, 0.6765]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1971599988204634554", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-26T15:37:22+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Added $CIFR $30k worth of Jan calls $11 strike on the 5% drop to $11", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bought CIFR Jan $11 calls, NBIS calls, and IREN shares on dips; risk/reward seen as favorable across miners.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Eh I normally don't do calls but risk/reward looks good to me on miners\n\nAdded $CIFR $30k worth of Jan calls $11 strike on the 5% drop to $11.\n\nAdded $NBIS $100k worth of calls, this was just one of the strikes on the 4.6% drop to $103.\n\nAdded $IREN shares $40.13 on the 13% drop. https://t.co/OP9EYjg34h", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "As promised to a follower, looked into $CIFR more. Good buy on the 17.54% drop. It's  ikely an overreaction due to the fact they had 1,414 BTC (-6.32%) on the balance sheet on top of macro. \n\n$3B deal was over 10y, compared to $NBIS $17B for 5 years. 1B+ dilution news just now https://t.co/Z0Flcy6vTL", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01656491507933655, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01656491507933655, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02226142332818548, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01957736193158255, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0056965082488489305, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003012446852245998, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1028770116852955, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1028770116852955, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10006664524415565, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09753353743162485, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028103664411398555, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005343474253670655, "ret_p1w": 0.2816041383644212, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2816041383644212, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2704379842248974, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.26051679090459356, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01116615413952382, "bench_c_p1w": 0.021087347459827654, "ret_p1m": 0.7907585385652331, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.7907585385652331, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.7553713496291417, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.7184589361349065, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035387188936091496, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07229960243032663, "ret_p3m": 0.4141237084344136, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4141237084344136, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3678876573159988, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3631847236253811, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04623605111841478, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05093898480903247, "ret_p6m": 0.29816913658885746, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.29816913658885746, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.30226137737681735, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3131723269356823, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.004092240787959889, "bench_c_p6m": -0.015003190346824846, "price_path": [-0.5728, -0.5048, -0.4725, -0.4725, -0.4952, -0.4743, -0.4542, -0.456, -0.4882, -0.4743, -0.4795, -0.4534, -0.4403, -0.4455, -0.4551, -0.3949, -0.4176, -0.4202, -0.4359, -0.4629, -0.5048, -0.5248, -0.524, -0.5702, -0.5475, -0.5632, -0.5458, -0.5754, -0.5859, -0.585, -0.5885, -0.5728, -0.5362, -0.5458, -0.4725, -0.4978, -0.4813, -0.4856, -0.4438, -0.4211, -0.3793, -0.3906, -0.388, -0.3339, -0.3339, -0.2746, -0.2929, -0.3548, -0.3444, -0.3269, -0.1962, -0.1064, -0.1308, -0.0541, -0.0541, 0.0035, 0.0793, 0.0331, 0.0706, 0.2171, 0.2337, 0.2328, 0.0166, 0.0, 0.1029, 0.0976, 0.0985, 0.204, 0.2816, 0.3374, 0.3731, 0.5344, 0.5684, 0.4795, 0.7733, 0.8213, 0.8335, 0.6321, 0.6356, 0.7358, 0.5759, 0.4045, 0.5044, 0.8012, 0.7908, 0.7402, 0.7079, 0.6626, 0.626, 0.9843, 0.9625, 1.1543, 0.8928, 0.8038, 0.7132, 0.6277, 0.5153, 0.3017, 0.252, 0.2511, 0.2711, 0.2746, 0.2694, 0.2337, 0.4568, 0.5275, 0.6696, 0.6696, 0.7742, 0.7167, 0.5379, 0.6242, 0.7289, 0.6809, 0.6983, 0.7053, 0.6112, 0.646, 0.4865, 0.2851, 0.3069, 0.2546, 0.3208, 0.4133, 0.4246, 0.3871, 0.4141, 0.4141, 0.3243, 0.3147, 0.272, 0.2868, 0.2868, 0.4124, 0.5833, 0.5292, 0.4019, 0.4429, 0.4499, 0.5414, 0.5911, 0.5806, 0.5275, 0.6391, 0.6391, 0.5623, 0.5449, 0.5161, 0.5318, 0.4377, 0.6347, 0.6539, 0.5432, 0.3915, 0.3784, 0.4176, 0.2424, 0.1072, 0.2842, 0.4612, 0.4908, 0.4194, 0.4037, 0.4316, 0.4316, 0.3636, 0.3444, 0.3775, 0.2772, 0.3269, 0.4926, 0.4481, 0.4368, 0.3601, 0.374, 0.2825, 0.3984, 0.3208, 0.1874, 0.2476, 0.2171, 0.2302, 0.1953, 0.2276, 0.32, 0.3156, 0.279, 0.2764, 0.2214, 0.2982]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1971599988204634554", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-26T15:37:22+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Added $NBIS $100k worth of calls, this was just one of the strikes on the 4.6% drop to $103", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bought CIFR Jan $11 calls, NBIS calls, and IREN shares on dips; risk/reward seen as favorable across miners.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Eh I normally don't do calls but risk/reward looks good to me on miners\n\nAdded $CIFR $30k worth of Jan calls $11 strike on the 5% drop to $11.\n\nAdded $NBIS $100k worth of calls, this was just one of the strikes on the 4.6% drop to $103.\n\nAdded $IREN shares $40.13 on the 13% drop. https://t.co/OP9EYjg34h", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "As promised to a follower, looked into $CIFR more. Good buy on the 17.54% drop. It's  ikely an overreaction due to the fact they had 1,414 BTC (-6.32%) on the balance sheet on top of macro. \n\n$3B deal was over 10y, compared to $NBIS $17B for 5 years. 1B+ dilution news just now https://t.co/Z0Flcy6vTL", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.002228463323721286, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.002228463323721286, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007924971572570216, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011875573732601619, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0056965082488489305, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009647110408880333, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02339836902383552, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02339836902383552, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.020588002582695664, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.020182578916097205, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028103664411398555, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0032157901077383144, "ret_p1w": 0.18830090049526604, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.18830090049526604, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.17713474635574222, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.20336391087767414, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01116615413952382, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015063010382408093, "ret_p1m": 0.1646239912657952, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1646239912657952, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1292368023297037, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1731709492739053, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035387188936091496, "bench_c_p1m": -0.008546958008110117, "ret_p3m": -0.1538532977191014, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1538532977191014, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20008934883751617, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15641150455970876, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04623605111841478, "bench_c_p3m": 0.002558206840607369, "ret_p6m": 0.05988862358776492, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.05988862358776492, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06398086437572481, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09995188413772027, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.004092240787959889, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04006326054995535, "price_path": [-0.5329, -0.536, -0.5334, -0.5334, -0.5558, -0.5627, -0.5724, -0.5689, -0.5887, -0.5176, -0.503, -0.505, -0.5015, -0.5098, -0.5137, -0.5264, -0.5183, -0.5157, -0.523, -0.5102, -0.532, -0.5238, -0.4946, -0.5172, -0.497, -0.4877, -0.4885, -0.3936, -0.3614, -0.3478, -0.3006, -0.3442, -0.3643, -0.335, -0.3265, -0.3761, -0.3735, -0.3855, -0.3595, -0.3499, -0.3456, -0.3491, -0.3311, -0.3656, -0.3656, -0.3898, -0.3904, -0.3973, -0.3921, -0.4052, -0.1112, -0.1329, -0.1719, -0.1605, -0.1554, -0.1696, -0.1265, -0.1261, -0.0779, -0.0102, 0.0009, 0.0513, 0.0022, 0.0, 0.0234, 0.0424, 0.0734, 0.1687, 0.1883, 0.1601, 0.0929, 0.1328, 0.2316, 0.2032, 0.2578, 0.1899, 0.1683, 0.1424, 0.0533, 0.0121, -0.0318, -0.0843, -0.0143, 0.0888, 0.1646, 0.1312, 0.1616, 0.153, 0.2147, 0.1186, 0.0264, 0.0864, 0.0162, 0.0332, 0.0209, -0.0509, -0.1239, -0.1771, -0.2243, -0.2017, -0.1593, -0.1173, -0.2141, -0.2269, -0.1467, -0.1747, -0.1208, -0.1208, -0.1191, -0.0701, -0.1045, -0.0815, -0.0455, -0.0897, -0.0684, -0.1048, -0.131, -0.1246, -0.1858, -0.2466, -0.2484, -0.2994, -0.2749, -0.1694, -0.1344, -0.1641, -0.1539, -0.1539, -0.1867, -0.2011, -0.2092, -0.2228, -0.2228, -0.1648, -0.1381, -0.0693, -0.1067, -0.0966, -0.0907, -0.0034, -0.0211, -0.0531, -0.0354, 0.0096, 0.0096, -0.0781, -0.082, -0.1007, -0.1226, -0.1508, -0.0913, -0.0675, -0.1188, -0.209, -0.1814, -0.1648, -0.235, -0.3141, -0.2006, -0.1376, -0.1477, -0.1773, -0.1669, -0.09, -0.09, -0.0945, -0.0548, -0.0008, -0.0908, -0.0658, -0.0475, -0.0147, -0.0262, -0.1533, -0.155, -0.1941, -0.0921, -0.1119, -0.1706, -0.1185, -0.1046, 0.0399, 0.0032, 0.0487, 0.2057, 0.0801, 0.1008, 0.1283, 0.0921, 0.0599]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1971599988204634554", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-09-26T15:37:22+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Added $IREN shares $40.13 on the 13% drop", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bought CIFR Jan $11 calls, NBIS calls, and IREN shares on dips; risk/reward seen as favorable across miners.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Eh I normally don't do calls but risk/reward looks good to me on miners\n\nAdded $CIFR $30k worth of Jan calls $11 strike on the 5% drop to $11.\n\nAdded $NBIS $100k worth of calls, this was just one of the strikes on the 4.6% drop to $103.\n\nAdded $IREN shares $40.13 on the 13% drop. https://t.co/OP9EYjg34h", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "As promised to a follower, looked into $CIFR more. Good buy on the 17.54% drop. It's  ikely an overreaction due to the fact they had 1,414 BTC (-6.32%) on the balance sheet on top of macro. \n\n$3B deal was over 10y, compared to $NBIS $17B for 5 years. 1B+ dilution news just now https://t.co/Z0Flcy6vTL", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.10582895940236292, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.10582895940236292, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.11152546765121185, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.11306987889155085, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0056965082488489305, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007240919489187925, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09722884939035925, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09722884939035925, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0944184829492194, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09221582819424956, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028103664411398555, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0050130211961096904, "ret_p1w": 0.20544668773832742, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.20544668773832742, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1942805335988036, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.20804592622660278, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01116615413952382, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0025992384882753683, "ret_p1m": 0.5525560658424393, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5525560658424393, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5171688769063478, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5623963666980077, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035387188936091496, "bench_c_p1m": -0.009840300855568418, "ret_p3m": 0.0028666729607045305, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0028666729607045305, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04336937815771025, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03546938005735978, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04623605111841478, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03833605301806431, "ret_p6m": 0.0071667279667062544, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0071667279667062544, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.011258968754666143, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0844717125694473, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.004092240787959889, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07730498460274104, "price_path": [-0.6362, -0.6259, -0.5982, -0.5982, -0.5951, -0.5965, -0.5948, -0.5932, -0.6123, -0.5872, -0.5968, -0.5865, -0.5688, -0.5714, -0.5664, -0.5559, -0.5463, -0.5667, -0.5767, -0.6039, -0.6228, -0.6144, -0.6151, -0.6321, -0.6063, -0.607, -0.5624, -0.5564, -0.5592, -0.5707, -0.5741, -0.5764, -0.5442, -0.5296, -0.5054, -0.5526, -0.528, -0.532, -0.4881, -0.4477, -0.4508, -0.466, -0.4496, -0.3674, -0.3674, -0.3046, -0.3261, -0.3758, -0.3753, -0.3743, -0.2788, -0.1966, -0.2152, -0.1887, -0.1128, -0.1292, -0.0946, -0.1323, -0.0769, 0.001, -0.0022, 0.1261, 0.1058, 0.0, 0.0972, 0.1211, 0.1247, 0.1233, 0.2054, 0.3796, 0.4735, 0.4355, 0.5253, 0.4279, 0.5323, 0.6617, 0.624, 0.4771, 0.4505, 0.4147, 0.3186, 0.2382, 0.3344, 0.5026, 0.5526, 0.4912, 0.4434, 0.3908, 0.4513, 0.6185, 0.5917, 0.8254, 0.5996, 0.4902, 0.4374, 0.3708, 0.3306, 0.1622, 0.1077, 0.1326, 0.167, 0.0948, 0.0385, 0.0096, 0.1584, 0.134, 0.1574, 0.1574, 0.1421, 0.1584, -0.0177, 0.0502, 0.1097, 0.0681, 0.107, 0.119, 0.0492, 0.0497, -0.0413, -0.1524, -0.1259, -0.193, -0.1448, -0.0463, 0.0043, 0.005, 0.0029, 0.0029, -0.0373, -0.0585, -0.085, -0.0977, -0.0977, 0.0201, 0.1524, 0.0968, 0.0422, 0.0913, 0.0996, 0.2023, 0.2659, 0.2633, 0.2396, 0.3813, 0.3813, 0.2962, 0.2776, 0.2484, 0.354, 0.2508, 0.4331, 0.5036, 0.4295, 0.2838, 0.268, 0.2993, 0.0736, -0.0495, -0.0007, 0.1025, 0.0256, 0.0194, -0.0437, 0.0086, 0.0086, -0.0213, 0.0053, 0.0342, -0.0449, 0.0119, 0.0858, 0.0518, 0.0569, -0.0217, -0.0112, -0.0719, 0.0473, -0.0414, -0.1233, -0.0721, -0.0893, 0.0029, -0.0117, -0.0067, 0.0736, 0.0263, 0.0084, -0.0048, -0.0136, 0.0072]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1976666845047611821", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-10T15:11:15+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd only be comfortable with something like $NBIS", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "High-conviction long NBIS as core holding; speculative long FLY as a 10x moonshot on reusable medium-lift rocket success.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@rocket5010 Not a full port. I'd only be comfortable with something like  $NBIS.   \n\nIf you have extra, $FLY is just a literal 10x moonshot if they can make a re-usable medium lift rocket in the next year or two.  \n\nRisk levels are high, but it's a fun thing to own in case it works.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Would FLY be one of those you recommended dumping my port into?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "rocket5010", "ret_m1d": 0.023614736188870777, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.023614736188870777, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004163887572515179, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00482047196082358, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.027778623761385957, "bench_c_m1d": 0.018794264228047197, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04537741009202012, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04537741009202012, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030033335398811367, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03615760547629088, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015344074693208754, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009219804615729243, "ret_p1w": -0.12455625221160005, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12455625221160005, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.14196772284694503, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.14352791200991766, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017411470635344983, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01897165979831761, "ret_p1m": -0.15148946292195564, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15148946292195564, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19501033766148668, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.15574477830520794, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.043520874739531035, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0042553153832523005, "ret_p3m": -0.25752432686402926, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.25752432686402926, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3166307576178269, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.29891671735647085, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05910643075379762, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04139239049244159, "ret_p6m": -0.1315017801724062, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1315017801724062, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.14629756348930856, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1286614088887873, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.014795783316902344, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0028403712836189143, "price_path": [-0.5869, -0.5886, -0.5857, -0.5926, -0.5958, -0.6063, -0.5996, -0.5975, -0.6036, -0.5929, -0.6111, -0.6042, -0.58, -0.5987, -0.582, -0.5742, -0.5749, -0.496, -0.4692, -0.4579, -0.4187, -0.4549, -0.4717, -0.4473, -0.4402, -0.4815, -0.4793, -0.4893, -0.4677, -0.4596, -0.4561, -0.459, -0.4441, -0.4728, -0.4728, -0.4928, -0.4934, -0.4991, -0.4948, -0.5056, -0.2613, -0.2793, -0.3117, -0.3023, -0.298, -0.3098, -0.274, -0.2737, -0.2336, -0.1773, -0.1681, -0.1262, -0.167, -0.1689, -0.1494, -0.1336, -0.1078, -0.0286, -0.0123, -0.0358, -0.0917, -0.0585, 0.0236, 0.0, 0.0454, -0.011, -0.0289, -0.0505, -0.1246, -0.1588, -0.1952, -0.2389, -0.1807, -0.0951, -0.032, -0.0598, -0.0346, -0.0417, 0.0096, -0.0703, -0.1469, -0.0971, -0.1554, -0.1412, -0.1515, -0.2111, -0.2718, -0.316, -0.3553, -0.3365, -0.3013, -0.2663, -0.3468, -0.3575, -0.2908, -0.3141, -0.2693, -0.2693, -0.2679, -0.2271, -0.2557, -0.2366, -0.2067, -0.2434, -0.2257, -0.256, -0.2777, -0.2724, -0.3233, -0.3738, -0.3753, -0.4177, -0.3974, -0.3096, -0.2805, -0.3052, -0.2967, -0.2967, -0.324, -0.336, -0.3427, -0.354, -0.354, -0.3058, -0.2836, -0.2264, -0.2575, -0.2491, -0.2443, -0.1717, -0.1864, -0.213, -0.1983, -0.1609, -0.1609, -0.2338, -0.237, -0.2526, -0.2707, -0.2942, -0.2447, -0.225, -0.2676, -0.3426, -0.3196, -0.3058, -0.3642, -0.4299, -0.3355, -0.2832, -0.2916, -0.3162, -0.3075, -0.2436, -0.2436, -0.2474, -0.2144, -0.1695, -0.2443, -0.2236, -0.2084, -0.181, -0.1906, -0.2963, -0.2977, -0.3301, -0.2454, -0.2618, -0.3106, -0.2673, -0.2558, -0.1357, -0.1662, -0.1283, 0.0021, -0.1023, -0.085, -0.0622, -0.0923, -0.1191, -0.1132, -0.1118, -0.1822, -0.2219, -0.288, -0.1993, -0.2132, -0.1602, -0.1602, -0.1315]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1976666845047611821", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-10T15:11:15+00:00", "symbol": "FLY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$FLY is just a literal 10x moonshot if they can make a re-usable medium lift rocket in the next year or two", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "High-conviction long NBIS as core holding; speculative long FLY as a 10x moonshot on reusable medium-lift rocket success.", "resolved_tickers": ["FLY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@rocket5010 Not a full port. I'd only be comfortable with something like  $NBIS.   \n\nIf you have extra, $FLY is just a literal 10x moonshot if they can make a re-usable medium lift rocket in the next year or two.  \n\nRisk levels are high, but it's a fun thing to own in case it works.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Would FLY be one of those you recommended dumping my port into?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "rocket5010", "ret_m1d": 0.05994354086756659, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05994354086756659, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.032164917106180635, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.032164917106180635, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.027778623761385957, "bench_c_m1d": 0.027778623761385957, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0535965626834376, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0535965626834376, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.038252487990228845, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.038252487990228845, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015344074693208754, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015344074693208754, "ret_p1w": -0.07052186025941021, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07052186025941021, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08793333089475519, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08793333089475519, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017411470635344983, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017411470635344983, "ret_p1m": -0.32157971237506056, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.32157971237506056, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3651005871145916, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3651005871145916, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.043520874739531035, "bench_c_p1m": 0.043520874739531035, "ret_p3m": -0.035613547501588516, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.035613547501588516, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09471997825538614, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09471997825538614, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05910643075379762, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05910643075379762, "ret_p6m": 0.22884336121631277, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.22884336121631277, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.21404757789941042, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.21404757789941042, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.014795783316902344, "bench_c_p6m": 0.014795783316902344, "price_path": [null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 1.128, 0.769, 0.8907, 0.8147, 0.7895, 0.7394, 0.6693, 0.7144, 0.6037, 0.5963, 0.6315, 0.6259, 0.577, 0.5885, 0.6583, 0.6626, 0.5998, 0.5998, 0.5596, 0.5649, 0.5099, 0.5032, 0.5085, 0.5705, 0.5081, 0.5152, 0.5427, 0.5465, 0.5462, 0.5289, 0.5945, 0.5938, 0.7461, 0.4788, 0.4302, 0.3279, 0.2687, 0.3032, 0.0339, -0.0596, -0.055, -0.0349, 0.0257, 0.0028, 0.0931, 0.0599, 0.0, 0.0536, 0.061, 0.0437, -0.0109, -0.0705, -0.0437, -0.0063, -0.0748, -0.0846, -0.0508, -0.0307, -0.0913, -0.1167, -0.1379, -0.1446, -0.1615, -0.1943, -0.2066, -0.3184, -0.3039, -0.3216, -0.3255, -0.3544, -0.2447, -0.1908, -0.3131, -0.3032, -0.3152, -0.4034, -0.4083, -0.4055, -0.3886, -0.3854, -0.3854, -0.3755, -0.4073, -0.3688, -0.3459, -0.287, -0.3015, -0.3255, -0.3138, -0.2489, -0.171, -0.2207, -0.2821, -0.2849, -0.3466, -0.2923, -0.1308, 0.0085, -0.067, -0.0465, -0.0465, -0.177, -0.1678, -0.1989, -0.2112, -0.2112, -0.1622, -0.0913, -0.0673, -0.0356, -0.013, 0.0617, 0.0733, -0.0138, 0.0582, 0.049, 0.1781, 0.1781, 0.0698, 0.019, 0.0903, 0.0272, -0.1114, 0.0349, 0.0176, -0.0448, -0.1114, -0.1939, -0.1164, -0.1393, -0.2103, -0.158, -0.1287, -0.189, -0.2659, -0.3255, -0.3195, -0.3195, -0.2814, -0.2429, -0.2408, -0.2955, -0.2955, -0.2701, -0.2824, -0.2408, -0.3205, -0.2623, -0.2645, -0.2454, -0.2814, -0.3043, -0.2683, -0.3163, -0.2736, -0.1809, -0.1724, -0.1562, -0.1333, -0.1823, -0.1904, -0.1812, -0.1534, -0.1633, -0.0293, -0.0547, -0.1641, -0.1671, 0.0039, 0.0494, 0.1611, 0.1611, 0.2288]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1981009544546591207", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-22T14:47:35+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Added $200k worth of $NBIS leaps at $98.8, December $105 2026 strike. If you understand the fundamentals and sector, this is a gift.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Added $200k in NBIS Dec 2026 leaps at $98.8/$105 strike; views 30% drop as a buying opportunity on fundamental conviction.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Added $200k worth of $NBIS leaps at $98.8, December $105 2026 strike.\n\nNebius dropping 30%+ in a week from $140 to $97 might make you second-guess yourself, but it’s times like these where conviction matters most.\n\nIf you understand the fundamentals and sector, this is a gift. https://t.co/Yv0s3t1cuy", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Nebius is playing out exactly how institutions wanted:\n\nRetail panic.\n\nCapitulation.\n\nLiquidity.\n\nI’ve been saying this for weeks: $NBIS Institutional ownership is ~38%. Every trick in the book will be used to get that number to 65-80% like $HOOD:\n\nHere's what and why this is https://t.co/sebk4BMtCP", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.05739196790796086, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05739196790796086, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.052165891093566064, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04865795143168117, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005226076814394798, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008734016476279693, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07645508725955352, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07645508725955352, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07052519606905383, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07982761972858643, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005929891190499692, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0033725324690329073, "ret_p1w": 0.2685053233630823, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2685053233630823, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.23917013427122158, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2628844137812947, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.029335189091860725, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005620909581787625, "ret_p1m": -0.14175626614873638, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14175626614873638, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11889015789478707, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09272476616029002, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.022866108253949302, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04903149998844636, "ret_p3m": 0.10251470623389292, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10251470623389292, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06372503900472015, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10335486794227966, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.038789667229172764, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0008401617083867441, "ret_p6m": 0.6765361157285201, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6765361157285201, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.619849690724092, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.6423340376147957, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05668642500442811, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03420207811372444, "price_path": [-0.4791, -0.4651, -0.4889, -0.4799, -0.4481, -0.4727, -0.4507, -0.4406, -0.4414, -0.3378, -0.3026, -0.2878, -0.2362, -0.2838, -0.3058, -0.2738, -0.2644, -0.3187, -0.3159, -0.3289, -0.3005, -0.29, -0.2853, -0.2892, -0.2695, -0.3072, -0.3072, -0.3336, -0.3343, -0.3418, -0.3361, -0.3504, -0.0294, -0.053, -0.0956, -0.0832, -0.0777, -0.0932, -0.046, -0.0456, 0.007, 0.0809, 0.0931, 0.1481, 0.0945, 0.0921, 0.1176, 0.1384, 0.1723, 0.2763, 0.2977, 0.2669, 0.1935, 0.2371, 0.345, 0.3139, 0.3736, 0.2994, 0.2759, 0.2476, 0.1503, 0.1053, 0.0574, 0.0, 0.0765, 0.189, 0.2719, 0.2353, 0.2685, 0.2592, 0.3265, 0.2216, 0.1209, 0.1864, 0.1097, 0.1284, 0.1149, 0.0365, -0.0432, -0.1013, -0.1529, -0.1282, -0.0819, -0.036, -0.1418, -0.1557, -0.0681, -0.0988, -0.0398, -0.0398, -0.038, 0.0155, -0.022, 0.003, 0.0424, -0.0059, 0.0173, -0.0224, -0.051, -0.044, -0.1108, -0.1772, -0.1792, -0.2349, -0.2082, -0.0929, -0.0547, -0.0871, -0.0759, -0.0759, -0.1118, -0.1276, -0.1364, -0.1512, -0.1512, -0.0879, -0.0587, 0.0164, -0.0244, -0.0134, -0.007, 0.0883, 0.0691, 0.0341, 0.0534, 0.1025, 0.1025, 0.0068, 0.0025, -0.0179, -0.0418, -0.0726, -0.0076, 0.0184, -0.0376, -0.1362, -0.1061, -0.0879, -0.1646, -0.251, -0.127, -0.0582, -0.0693, -0.1015, -0.0901, -0.0062, -0.0062, -0.0112, 0.0322, 0.0912, -0.0071, 0.0202, 0.0402, 0.076, 0.0635, -0.0753, -0.0772, -0.1199, -0.0085, -0.0301, -0.0942, -0.0373, -0.0222, 0.1356, 0.0955, 0.1453, 0.3167, 0.1796, 0.2022, 0.2322, 0.1927, 0.1575, 0.1652, 0.167, 0.0745, 0.0223, -0.0645, 0.0521, 0.0338, 0.1034, 0.1034, 0.1411, 0.1904, 0.2675, 0.3824, 0.47, 0.5672, 0.6421, 0.691, 0.6765]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1981981029029298374", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-25T07:07:55+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "there's an easy path to 300% gain and a $100B+ marketcap just by waiting 1 year for another hyperscaler contract", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Heavy long NBIS ($2M+ shares/leaps) targeting 300%+ / $100B+ in 1 year; exited all other Neoclouds (IREN, CIFR, BITF, WULF) as inferior.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Neocloud Position Update Friday Oct 24.\n\nThis post is to send a message to $IREN and other Neoclouds holders that: \n\n👑 $NBIS is superior.\n\nI sold out of other Neoclouds: $CIFR 250%+ gain, $IREN, $BITF, $WYFI, 50-100%+ gain, $WULF 5-10% loss.\n\nNow with $2M+ exposure in $NBIS shares/leaps + small $WLAC positions. Will add more Nebius positions next week if it stays at $115.\n\nI don't normally post sales, but there's a lot of annoying Neocloud posts recently claiming that theirs is the best. So I'm posting this to send a message that $NBIS is clearly superior in terms of asymmetrical upside and already has Mag7 deals locked in. And because of this, there's no point of diversifying into other Neoclouds.\n\nNBIS will likely have the highest margin moat from how they do full stack/GPU utilization with their diversified users. And their subsidiaries + portfolio companies (AI DBs, robotics/delivery, etc). are scaling alongside their operational business. There's also no exposure to bad interest debt that eats into margins. \n\nThere's an easy path to 300% gain and a $100B+ marketcap just by waiting 1 year for another hyperscaler contract and there's no point in speculating gross margins from Bitcoin mining pivots (see how $ORCL lost $100M+ just bc of GPU utilization + buildout -> rev lag) even if some might have larger capacity.\n\nSo just wanted to say: Nebius is THE Neocloud. 🫳🎙️", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Why I think $NBIS can easily hit ~$400/share or $100B+ market cap in 1 year:\n\nRight now, Nebius trades at a $24B valuation (316%+ increase to $100B).\n\nIf we pretend that there's 0 growth in 2026-2027:\n\nCore Business: $31B–$36.5B\nSum of Parts: $7.1B (40% slashed)\nMidpoint", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0651359176358719, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0651359176358719, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05347576869210846, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.051394016667661524, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013741900968210374, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02870125540430646, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02870125540430646, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.031357254360897535, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.023750721096447047, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004950534307859411, "ret_p1w": -0.03954396135218685, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03954396135218685, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.036771241766913265, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.009072772543005425, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": -0.030471188809181426, "ret_p1m": -0.291397615903933, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.291397615903933, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2764831740059033, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2669865978192385, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02441101808469448, "ret_p3m": -0.22785618880266678, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22785618880266678, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23628515601411337, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.22330124633290094, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": -0.004554942469765844, "ret_p6m": 0.24810653488691647, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.24810653488691647, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.21476196842477524, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.24166768131940364, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": 0.006438853567512837, "price_path": [-0.5911, -0.5661, -0.5854, -0.5681, -0.5602, -0.5608, -0.4793, -0.4516, -0.44, -0.3994, -0.4369, -0.4542, -0.429, -0.4217, -0.4643, -0.4621, -0.4724, -0.4501, -0.4418, -0.4381, -0.4411, -0.4257, -0.4553, -0.4553, -0.476, -0.4766, -0.4825, -0.478, -0.4893, -0.2369, -0.2554, -0.2889, -0.2792, -0.2748, -0.287, -0.2499, -0.2496, -0.2082, -0.1501, -0.1406, -0.0973, -0.1394, -0.1414, -0.1213, -0.1049, -0.0783, 0.0035, 0.0203, -0.0039, -0.0616, -0.0273, 0.0575, 0.0331, 0.08, 0.0217, 0.0032, -0.0191, -0.0956, -0.131, -0.1686, -0.2137, -0.1536, -0.0651, 0.0, -0.0287, -0.0026, -0.01, 0.043, -0.0395, -0.1187, -0.0672, -0.1275, -0.1128, -0.1234, -0.185, -0.2477, -0.2934, -0.334, -0.3145, -0.2782, -0.242, -0.3252, -0.3362, -0.2673, -0.2914, -0.2451, -0.2451, -0.2436, -0.2015, -0.231, -0.2114, -0.1804, -0.2184, -0.2001, -0.2314, -0.2538, -0.2483, -0.3009, -0.3531, -0.3546, -0.3985, -0.3774, -0.2868, -0.2567, -0.2822, -0.2735, -0.2735, -0.3017, -0.314, -0.321, -0.3327, -0.3327, -0.2829, -0.2599, -0.2008, -0.233, -0.2243, -0.2192, -0.1443, -0.1595, -0.187, -0.1718, -0.1331, -0.1331, -0.2084, -0.2118, -0.2279, -0.2466, -0.2708, -0.2197, -0.1993, -0.2433, -0.3208, -0.2971, -0.2829, -0.3431, -0.4111, -0.3136, -0.2595, -0.2682, -0.2936, -0.2846, -0.2186, -0.2186, -0.2225, -0.1884, -0.1421, -0.2193, -0.1979, -0.1822, -0.154, -0.1638, -0.273, -0.2744, -0.308, -0.2204, -0.2374, -0.2878, -0.2431, -0.2312, -0.1071, -0.1386, -0.0995, 0.0352, -0.0726, -0.0548, -0.0312, -0.0623, -0.0899, -0.0839, -0.0824, -0.1551, -0.1962, -0.2645, -0.1728, -0.1872, -0.1324, -0.1324, -0.1028, -0.064, -0.0034, 0.0869, 0.1558, 0.2322, 0.2911, 0.3296, 0.3182, 0.2528, 0.2689, 0.2481]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1981981029029298374", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-25T07:07:55+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I sold out of other Neoclouds: $CIFR 250%+ gain, $IREN, $BITF, $WYFI, 50-100%+ gain, $WULF 5-10% loss", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Heavy long NBIS ($2M+ shares/leaps) targeting 300%+ / $100B+ in 1 year; exited all other Neoclouds (IREN, CIFR, BITF, WULF) as inferior.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Neocloud Position Update Friday Oct 24.\n\nThis post is to send a message to $IREN and other Neoclouds holders that: \n\n👑 $NBIS is superior.\n\nI sold out of other Neoclouds: $CIFR 250%+ gain, $IREN, $BITF, $WYFI, 50-100%+ gain, $WULF 5-10% loss.\n\nNow with $2M+ exposure in $NBIS shares/leaps + small $WLAC positions. Will add more Nebius positions next week if it stays at $115.\n\nI don't normally post sales, but there's a lot of annoying Neocloud posts recently claiming that theirs is the best. So I'm posting this to send a message that $NBIS is clearly superior in terms of asymmetrical upside and already has Mag7 deals locked in. And because of this, there's no point of diversifying into other Neoclouds.\n\nNBIS will likely have the highest margin moat from how they do full stack/GPU utilization with their diversified users. And their subsidiaries + portfolio companies (AI DBs, robotics/delivery, etc). are scaling alongside their operational business. There's also no exposure to bad interest debt that eats into margins. \n\nThere's an easy path to 300% gain and a $100B+ marketcap just by waiting 1 year for another hyperscaler contract and there's no point in speculating gross margins from Bitcoin mining pivots (see how $ORCL lost $100M+ just bc of GPU utilization + buildout -> rev lag) even if some might have larger capacity.\n\nSo just wanted to say: Nebius is THE Neocloud. 🫳🎙️", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Why I think $NBIS can easily hit ~$400/share or $100B+ market cap in 1 year:\n\nRight now, Nebius trades at a $24B valuation (316%+ increase to $100B).\n\nIf we pretend that there's 0 growth in 2026-2027:\n\nCore Business: $31B–$36.5B\nSum of Parts: $7.1B (40% slashed)\nMidpoint", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03215873836881211, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03215873836881211, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.020498589425048674, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.028033473816390764, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004125264552421348, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.039544541918764, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.039544541918764, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.042200540875355075, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03316916586003127, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006375376058732729, "ret_p1w": 0.04246810627715236, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04246810627715236, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04524082586242595, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0645944793271267, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022126373049974335, "ret_p1m": -0.2695798925827233, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2695798925827233, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2546654506846936, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.25476647211453674, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.014813420468186567, "ret_p3m": -0.1958762880546734, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1958762880546734, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.20430525526611998, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.20840337820819355, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01252709015352016, "ret_p6m": -0.30497000071257774, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.30497000071257774, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.33831456717471897, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2941425250379808, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010827475674596965, "price_path": [-0.7517, -0.7521, -0.763, -0.7464, -0.7469, -0.7181, -0.7143, -0.7161, -0.7235, -0.7257, -0.7272, -0.7064, -0.697, -0.6814, -0.7118, -0.696, -0.6986, -0.6703, -0.6443, -0.6463, -0.656, -0.6455, -0.5926, -0.5926, -0.5521, -0.5659, -0.5979, -0.5976, -0.597, -0.5355, -0.4825, -0.4945, -0.4775, -0.4285, -0.4391, -0.4168, -0.4411, -0.4054, -0.3553, -0.3573, -0.2747, -0.2877, -0.3559, -0.2933, -0.2779, -0.2756, -0.2765, -0.2236, -0.1114, -0.0509, -0.0754, -0.0175, -0.0803, -0.0131, 0.0703, 0.046, -0.0486, -0.0657, -0.0888, -0.1507, -0.2025, -0.1405, -0.0322, 0.0, -0.0395, -0.0703, -0.1042, -0.0652, 0.0425, 0.0252, 0.1757, 0.0303, -0.0402, -0.0742, -0.1171, -0.1429, -0.2514, -0.2865, -0.2705, -0.2483, -0.2948, -0.3311, -0.3497, -0.2539, -0.2696, -0.2545, -0.2545, -0.2643, -0.2539, -0.3673, -0.3236, -0.2853, -0.312, -0.287, -0.2793, -0.3242, -0.3239, -0.3825, -0.4541, -0.437, -0.4802, -0.4491, -0.3858, -0.3531, -0.3527, -0.3541, -0.3541, -0.3799, -0.3936, -0.4107, -0.4188, -0.4188, -0.343, -0.2577, -0.2936, -0.3287, -0.2971, -0.2917, -0.2256, -0.1846, -0.1863, -0.2016, -0.1103, -0.1103, -0.1651, -0.1771, -0.1959, -0.1279, -0.1943, -0.0769, -0.0315, -0.0792, -0.1731, -0.1833, -0.1631, -0.3085, -0.3878, -0.3564, -0.2899, -0.3394, -0.3434, -0.3841, -0.3504, -0.3504, -0.3696, -0.3525, -0.3339, -0.3848, -0.3482, -0.3007, -0.3225, -0.3193, -0.3699, -0.3631, -0.4022, -0.3254, -0.3826, -0.4353, -0.4024, -0.4134, -0.3541, -0.3634, -0.3602, -0.3085, -0.339, -0.3505, -0.359, -0.3647, -0.3513, -0.3673, -0.3625, -0.4238, -0.4601, -0.5135, -0.4725, -0.4755, -0.465, -0.465, -0.4595, -0.4501, -0.4333, -0.4298, -0.395, -0.3373, -0.2711, -0.2488, -0.266, -0.2596, -0.2503, -0.305]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1981981029029298374", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-25T07:07:55+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I sold out of other Neoclouds: $CIFR 250%+ gain", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Heavy long NBIS ($2M+ shares/leaps) targeting 300%+ / $100B+ in 1 year; exited all other Neoclouds (IREN, CIFR, BITF, WULF) as inferior.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Neocloud Position Update Friday Oct 24.\n\nThis post is to send a message to $IREN and other Neoclouds holders that: \n\n👑 $NBIS is superior.\n\nI sold out of other Neoclouds: $CIFR 250%+ gain, $IREN, $BITF, $WYFI, 50-100%+ gain, $WULF 5-10% loss.\n\nNow with $2M+ exposure in $NBIS shares/leaps + small $WLAC positions. Will add more Nebius positions next week if it stays at $115.\n\nI don't normally post sales, but there's a lot of annoying Neocloud posts recently claiming that theirs is the best. So I'm posting this to send a message that $NBIS is clearly superior in terms of asymmetrical upside and already has Mag7 deals locked in. And because of this, there's no point of diversifying into other Neoclouds.\n\nNBIS will likely have the highest margin moat from how they do full stack/GPU utilization with their diversified users. And their subsidiaries + portfolio companies (AI DBs, robotics/delivery, etc). are scaling alongside their operational business. There's also no exposure to bad interest debt that eats into margins. \n\nThere's an easy path to 300% gain and a $100B+ marketcap just by waiting 1 year for another hyperscaler contract and there's no point in speculating gross margins from Bitcoin mining pivots (see how $ORCL lost $100M+ just bc of GPU utilization + buildout -> rev lag) even if some might have larger capacity.\n\nSo just wanted to say: Nebius is THE Neocloud. 🫳🎙️", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Why I think $NBIS can easily hit ~$400/share or $100B+ market cap in 1 year:\n\nRight now, Nebius trades at a $24B valuation (316%+ increase to $100B).\n\nIf we pretend that there's 0 growth in 2026-2027:\n\nCore Business: $31B–$36.5B\nSum of Parts: $7.1B (40% slashed)\nMidpoint", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.005842206744696377, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005842206744696377, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017502355688459814, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0239693602614649, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.018127153516768524, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.028237673086773385, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.028237673086773385, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030893672043364462, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03813722322910784, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009899550142334457, "ret_p1w": 0.10808175337890424, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10808175337890424, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11085447296417783, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09834943885231096, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009732314526593289, "ret_p1m": -0.14703020073775575, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14703020073775575, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.13211575883972604, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0850234511328678, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.062006749604887945, "ret_p3m": -0.15335936638141245, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15335936638141245, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.16178833359285905, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12392620505308272, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": -0.029433161328329738, "ret_p6m": -0.12171372388353252, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.12171372388353252, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.15505829034567375, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1592872886201938, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03757356473666129, "price_path": [-0.7347, -0.7342, -0.76, -0.7473, -0.7561, -0.7463, -0.7629, -0.7687, -0.7683, -0.7702, -0.7614, -0.741, -0.7463, -0.7055, -0.7196, -0.7103, -0.7128, -0.6894, -0.6767, -0.6534, -0.6597, -0.6582, -0.628, -0.628, -0.5949, -0.6052, -0.6397, -0.6339, -0.6241, -0.5511, -0.501, -0.5146, -0.4718, -0.4718, -0.4396, -0.3973, -0.4231, -0.4021, -0.3204, -0.3111, -0.3116, -0.4323, -0.4416, -0.3841, -0.387, -0.3866, -0.3277, -0.2843, -0.2532, -0.2332, -0.1431, -0.1241, -0.1738, -0.0097, 0.017, 0.0239, -0.0886, -0.0867, -0.0307, -0.12, -0.2157, -0.1599, 0.0058, 0.0, -0.0282, -0.0463, -0.0716, -0.092, 0.1081, 0.0959, 0.203, 0.057, 0.0073, -0.0433, -0.091, -0.1538, -0.2731, -0.3009, -0.3014, -0.2902, -0.2882, -0.2911, -0.3111, -0.1865, -0.147, -0.0677, -0.0677, -0.0093, -0.0414, -0.1412, -0.093, -0.0346, -0.0613, -0.0516, -0.0477, -0.1003, -0.0808, -0.1699, -0.2824, -0.2702, -0.2994, -0.2624, -0.2108, -0.2045, -0.2254, -0.2103, -0.2103, -0.2605, -0.2658, -0.2897, -0.2814, -0.2814, -0.2113, -0.1159, -0.1461, -0.2171, -0.1943, -0.1904, -0.1392, -0.1115, -0.1173, -0.147, -0.0847, -0.0847, -0.1276, -0.1373, -0.1534, -0.1446, -0.1972, -0.0871, -0.0764, -0.1383, -0.223, -0.2303, -0.2084, -0.3062, -0.3817, -0.2829, -0.184, -0.1675, -0.2074, -0.2162, -0.2006, -0.2006, -0.2386, -0.2493, -0.2308, -0.2868, -0.259, -0.1665, -0.1913, -0.1977, -0.2405, -0.2327, -0.2838, -0.2191, -0.2624, -0.3369, -0.3033, -0.3204, -0.313, -0.3325, -0.3145, -0.2629, -0.2653, -0.2858, -0.2872, -0.3179, -0.2751, -0.2756, -0.2269, -0.3014, -0.3308, -0.415, -0.3734, -0.3846, -0.3759, -0.3759, -0.35, -0.3179, -0.2493, -0.2035, -0.1952, -0.1353, -0.1018, -0.1237, -0.1558, -0.057, -0.0609, -0.1217]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1981981029029298374", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-10-25T07:07:55+00:00", "symbol": "BITF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I sold out of other Neoclouds: $CIFR 250%+ gain, $IREN, $BITF", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Heavy long NBIS ($2M+ shares/leaps) targeting 300%+ / $100B+ in 1 year; exited all other Neoclouds (IREN, CIFR, BITF, WULF) as inferior.", "resolved_tickers": ["BITF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Neocloud Position Update Friday Oct 24.\n\nThis post is to send a message to $IREN and other Neoclouds holders that: \n\n👑 $NBIS is superior.\n\nI sold out of other Neoclouds: $CIFR 250%+ gain, $IREN, $BITF, $WYFI, 50-100%+ gain, $WULF 5-10% loss.\n\nNow with $2M+ exposure in $NBIS shares/leaps + small $WLAC positions. Will add more Nebius positions next week if it stays at $115.\n\nI don't normally post sales, but there's a lot of annoying Neocloud posts recently claiming that theirs is the best. So I'm posting this to send a message that $NBIS is clearly superior in terms of asymmetrical upside and already has Mag7 deals locked in. And because of this, there's no point of diversifying into other Neoclouds.\n\nNBIS will likely have the highest margin moat from how they do full stack/GPU utilization with their diversified users. And their subsidiaries + portfolio companies (AI DBs, robotics/delivery, etc). are scaling alongside their operational business. There's also no exposure to bad interest debt that eats into margins. \n\nThere's an easy path to 300% gain and a $100B+ marketcap just by waiting 1 year for another hyperscaler contract and there's no point in speculating gross margins from Bitcoin mining pivots (see how $ORCL lost $100M+ just bc of GPU utilization + buildout -> rev lag) even if some might have larger capacity.\n\nSo just wanted to say: Nebius is THE Neocloud. 🫳🎙️", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Why I think $NBIS can easily hit ~$400/share or $100B+ market cap in 1 year:\n\nRight now, Nebius trades at a $24B valuation (316%+ increase to $100B).\n\nIf we pretend that there's 0 growth in 2026-2027:\n\nCore Business: $31B–$36.5B\nSum of Parts: $7.1B (40% slashed)\nMidpoint", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.015418540143072201, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.015418540143072201, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02707868908683564, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02707868908683564, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05286338615302688, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05286338615302688, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05551938510961796, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05551938510961796, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "ret_p1w": -0.09471361937261258, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09471361937261258, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09194089978733899, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09194089978733899, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "ret_p1m": -0.38986784048431533, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.38986784048431533, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3749533985862856, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3749533985862856, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "ret_p3m": -0.41409689247111936, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.41409689247111936, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.42252585968256595, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.42252585968256595, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "ret_p6m": -0.38325991721518693, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.38325991721518693, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.41660448367732816, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.41660448367732816, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "price_path": [-0.7357, -0.7225, -0.7445, -0.7357, -0.7291, -0.7203, -0.7181, -0.7269, -0.7291, -0.7203, -0.7203, -0.7203, -0.7225, -0.696, -0.7181, -0.7225, -0.7291, -0.7203, -0.7269, -0.7137, -0.7048, -0.7093, -0.7048, -0.7048, -0.7048, -0.7159, -0.7247, -0.7159, -0.7181, -0.6498, -0.6145, -0.5507, -0.5088, -0.4537, -0.3634, -0.3282, -0.2952, -0.3128, -0.3238, -0.4295, -0.3888, -0.4097, -0.4405, -0.3789, -0.3789, -0.3833, -0.3546, -0.337, -0.2379, -0.2357, -0.1189, -0.0815, -0.0749, 0.1872, 0.2974, 0.4251, 0.163, 0.1035, 0.0969, -0.011, -0.1322, -0.0826, 0.0154, 0.0, -0.0529, -0.0617, -0.1057, -0.1256, -0.0947, -0.1542, -0.1057, -0.1872, -0.1938, -0.2115, -0.2577, -0.3018, -0.4273, -0.4317, -0.4119, -0.3943, -0.4273, -0.4273, -0.4648, -0.3855, -0.3899, -0.3172, -0.3172, -0.2335, -0.2775, -0.3172, -0.315, -0.3172, -0.3568, -0.359, -0.337, -0.3524, -0.3524, -0.3965, -0.4427, -0.4648, -0.489, -0.5, -0.4427, -0.4075, -0.4163, -0.4119, -0.4119, -0.4537, -0.4581, -0.4758, -0.4824, -0.4824, -0.4273, -0.3656, -0.3678, -0.3855, -0.3634, -0.3833, -0.3326, -0.315, -0.3524, -0.3744, -0.3502, -0.3502, -0.4119, -0.4075, -0.4141, -0.3965, -0.4295, -0.4273, -0.4273, -0.4604, -0.4846, -0.5022, -0.4934, -0.5529, -0.6244, -0.5286, -0.5022, -0.5154, -0.522, -0.5441, -0.5286, -0.5286, -0.5374, -0.5463, -0.5419, -0.5529, -0.5507, -0.5143, -0.4912, -0.4868, -0.5154, -0.5264, -0.5617, -0.5066, -0.511, -0.5507, -0.5352, -0.5242, -0.5066, -0.511, -0.5066, -0.5022, -0.478, -0.489, -0.4736, -0.522, -0.4912, -0.5132, -0.5132, -0.5485, -0.5705, -0.5947, -0.5705, -0.5639, -0.5639, -0.5639, -0.5242, -0.5507, -0.5352, -0.5374, -0.5286, -0.4824, -0.3744, -0.3744, -0.3965, -0.3656, -0.3656, -0.3833]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1981981029029298374", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-10-25T07:07:55+00:00", "symbol": "WULF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$WULF 5-10% loss", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Heavy long NBIS ($2M+ shares/leaps) targeting 300%+ / $100B+ in 1 year; exited all other Neoclouds (IREN, CIFR, BITF, WULF) as inferior.", "resolved_tickers": ["WULF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Neocloud Position Update Friday Oct 24.\n\nThis post is to send a message to $IREN and other Neoclouds holders that: \n\n👑 $NBIS is superior.\n\nI sold out of other Neoclouds: $CIFR 250%+ gain, $IREN, $BITF, $WYFI, 50-100%+ gain, $WULF 5-10% loss.\n\nNow with $2M+ exposure in $NBIS shares/leaps + small $WLAC positions. Will add more Nebius positions next week if it stays at $115.\n\nI don't normally post sales, but there's a lot of annoying Neocloud posts recently claiming that theirs is the best. So I'm posting this to send a message that $NBIS is clearly superior in terms of asymmetrical upside and already has Mag7 deals locked in. And because of this, there's no point of diversifying into other Neoclouds.\n\nNBIS will likely have the highest margin moat from how they do full stack/GPU utilization with their diversified users. And their subsidiaries + portfolio companies (AI DBs, robotics/delivery, etc). are scaling alongside their operational business. There's also no exposure to bad interest debt that eats into margins. \n\nThere's an easy path to 300% gain and a $100B+ marketcap just by waiting 1 year for another hyperscaler contract and there's no point in speculating gross margins from Bitcoin mining pivots (see how $ORCL lost $100M+ just bc of GPU utilization + buildout -> rev lag) even if some might have larger capacity.\n\nSo just wanted to say: Nebius is THE Neocloud. 🫳🎙️", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Why I think $NBIS can easily hit ~$400/share or $100B+ market cap in 1 year:\n\nRight now, Nebius trades at a $24B valuation (316%+ increase to $100B).\n\nIf we pretend that there's 0 growth in 2026-2027:\n\nCore Business: $31B–$36.5B\nSum of Parts: $7.1B (40% slashed)\nMidpoint", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.005131942306620729, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005131942306620729, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.016792091250384167, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.016792091250384167, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1686216407015324, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.1686216407015324, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.16596564174494133, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.16596564174494133, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "ret_p1w": 0.18035190441554683, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.18035190441554683, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1831246240008204, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1831246240008204, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "ret_p1m": 0.021994078409785844, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.021994078409785844, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03690852030781555, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03690852030781555, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "ret_p3m": -0.054985335859404905, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.054985335859404905, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0634143030708515, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0634143030708515, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "ret_p6m": 0.4494134868142994, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4494134868142994, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.41606892035215814, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.41606892035215814, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "price_path": [-0.6327, -0.6217, -0.651, -0.6415, -0.629, -0.6224, -0.6378, -0.6312, -0.6041, -0.6158, -0.5997, -0.3614, -0.3424, -0.3123, -0.3563, -0.3196, -0.3262, -0.3284, -0.3453, -0.3226, -0.3306, -0.3079, -0.3072, -0.3072, -0.294, -0.3416, -0.3497, -0.3306, -0.3255, -0.2449, -0.2265, -0.2199, -0.2111, -0.2309, -0.1979, -0.1679, -0.1811, -0.195, -0.1576, -0.176, -0.1642, -0.1957, -0.206, -0.1496, -0.1628, -0.1591, -0.151, -0.1261, -0.1224, -0.1129, -0.0982, -0.0037, -0.0095, 0.0264, 0.1334, 0.1342, 0.0161, 0.0213, 0.0154, -0.0367, -0.0748, -0.0557, 0.0051, 0.0, 0.1686, 0.063, 0.0865, 0.1364, 0.1804, 0.1004, 0.1261, 0.0469, 0.022, 0.0484, -0.0931, -0.0733, -0.1437, -0.1943, -0.1899, -0.1202, -0.1034, -0.1525, -0.1723, -0.074, 0.022, 0.088, 0.088, 0.1371, 0.1217, 0.0425, 0.0579, 0.107, 0.063, 0.0968, 0.143, 0.1554, 0.1606, 0.0506, -0.0843, -0.0477, -0.1518, -0.1356, -0.0821, -0.0858, -0.0894, -0.0975, -0.0975, -0.1386, -0.1628, -0.1826, -0.1576, -0.1576, -0.066, -0.0015, -0.0337, -0.0843, -0.0587, -0.0396, 0.0125, 0.0367, 0.0418, 0.0139, 0.0154, 0.0154, -0.0227, -0.0381, -0.055, 0.0352, 0.011, 0.1224, 0.1078, 0.066, -0.0198, -0.0147, 0.085, 0.0176, -0.1261, 0.0477, 0.2207, 0.2192, 0.1752, 0.1664, 0.1921, 0.1921, 0.1862, 0.1276, 0.1342, 0.1004, 0.1496, 0.2874, 0.3138, 0.3109, 0.1891, 0.1745, 0.0806, 0.1268, 0.1166, 0.0081, 0.0154, 0.0521, 0.1158, 0.0755, 0.0755, 0.2031, 0.176, 0.1217, 0.154, 0.107, 0.187, 0.1891, 0.2361, 0.1254, 0.0916, 0.0044, 0.0579, 0.0616, 0.0909, 0.0909, 0.14, 0.2148, 0.3233, 0.3952, 0.3834, 0.426, 0.5359, 0.4421, 0.4157, 0.5132, 0.5029, 0.4494]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2009041831296946384", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-07T23:17:53+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this huge bottleneck of the entire AI supply chain is valued at $1.3B, while random quantum companies with no material impact are worth $10B+", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long AXTI: owns full InP supply chain, benefits from indium price spikes, Japanese export controls leave it as dominant western supplier at only $1.3B market cap vs AI bottleneck value; NVDA demand driving upstream capacity strain.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So this is just my perspective on this. Lot of things have changed since the last earnings call,\n\n1. Price of 7n Indium feedstock has started to spike on SMM and we're seeing bifurcation between asian supply chains + western ( $AXTI exports to western, which inflates their future margins that aren't already backlogged)\n\nDec 19th: Asian Metal reported that \"Indium ingot suppliers raise offering prices in United States,\" marking the beginning of the specific divergence in Western pricing.\n\nDecember 24, 2025: They subsequently reported that \"Suppliers of indium ingot raise quotes in China,\" confirming that the pricing pressure had solidified across both domestic and export channels by the end of the week.\n\nThis affects the bottom line of InP substrate producers, but $AXTI owns the entire cost structure/supply chain so any price increases just benefit their margins.\n\n2. Hyperscalers/Western supply chains pay premiums for substrates already. They are capacity strained after $NVDA secured EML capacity from $LITE, $COHR, and others.\n\n-> We're already seeing slowdown for $MSFT and other hyperscaler deployments likely because of capacity.\n\n-> They will go upstream to secure materials (which are extremely cheap, bc earlier they were commodities for telecom), then this just becomes game theory allocation wars like HBM. But instead of sk hynix, mu, samsung, and the others. You basically only have $AXTI left that can do it at scale.\n\nEG. $GOOGL especially is heavily dependent on this, and $MSFT alone from maia was est. to take up double digits of the world's capacity if they wanted to ramp up, but there's literally not enough. \n\n3. The biggest thing was that the Japanese InP substrate supply chain got export controlled, effectively making $AXTI the largest InP substrate provider when materials run out on the Sumitomo/JX side.\n\nThis is just pure what value would you place on single company point of failure on the photonics AI ramp. We can argue semantics but if it goes down the entire supply chain does too. eg. CEO was saying they were 40% of inp supply chain before export controls (and before their $100M fundraise to increase capacity).\n\nAnd this huge bottleneck of the entire AI supply chain is valued at $1.3B, while random quantum companies with no material impact are worth $10B+. \n\nIt's hard to model bottlenecks where the few hundred million TAM is suddenly used for every single AI deployment because nobody knows where the substrate or feedstock pricing goes.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I looked at going long $AXTI a few days ago (wish I had!!), but could not get comfortable that margins will ramp up enough to justify the current valuation. The bull thesis is that both volumes and pricing for InP will continue to ramp hard, and eventually AXTI will print gross https://t.co/lZ3n8ftDXu", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jaysyoon", "ret_m1d": -0.16341768703091564, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.16341768703091564, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1666514674512254, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.17017059902952703, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003233780420309751, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006752911998611388, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07133966278773185, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07133966278773185, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07144119546971761, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08702710291990967, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00010153268198576093, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01568744013217782, "ret_p1w": -0.08336790452086706, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08336790452086706, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08449896439781379, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09201685051033226, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0011310598769467273, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008648945989465195, "ret_p1m": -0.1526337707181883, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1526337707181883, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13528987632921796, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14237461066893464, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017343894388970327, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010259160049253646, "ret_p3m": 0.7416010209654871, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7416010209654871, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.7834387873600864, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.7131349093728574, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04183776639459935, "bench_c_p3m": 0.028466111592629684, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.8328, -0.8092, -0.8105, -0.8096, -0.7955, -0.8129, -0.7964, -0.7856, -0.7951, -0.7852, -0.7487, -0.7433, -0.7263, -0.7068, -0.6964, -0.6703, -0.6491, -0.6458, -0.6226, -0.6321, -0.6076, -0.567, -0.562, -0.5446, -0.567, -0.567, -0.5749, -0.5894, -0.5807, -0.608, -0.6296, -0.6126, -0.6172, -0.5666, -0.5666, -0.5562, -0.5525, -0.5122, -0.5238, -0.4981, -0.5197, -0.4728, -0.3795, -0.3567, -0.3206, -0.3857, -0.3849, -0.4608, -0.4873, -0.4189, -0.3924, -0.3687, -0.3928, -0.3774, -0.3774, -0.3625, -0.3949, -0.3447, -0.3219, -0.3219, -0.3049, -0.3086, -0.1634, 0.0, 0.0713, -0.0465, -0.0776, -0.1078, -0.0834, 0.0668, -0.0838, -0.0838, -0.112, -0.1796, -0.2567, -0.2783, -0.2617, -0.2866, -0.3019, -0.3206, -0.231, -0.1315, -0.1813, -0.2223, -0.1526, -0.0021, 0.1518, 0.01, 0.1116, 0.0282, 0.0054, 0.0054, -0.0373, -0.0236, -0.0124, 0.231, 0.1792, 0.455, 0.6993, 0.5396, 0.572, 0.9212, 0.7321, 0.623, 0.6093, 0.3426, 0.5993, 0.8374, 0.9643, 0.9382, 1.0265, 1.0071, 0.8399, 1.0224, 1.4094, 1.2497, 1.6727, 1.8387, 1.7934, 1.4268, 1.5147, 1.1871, 1.3633, 0.9552, 1.1916, 1.1916, 0.7416, 0.8855, 1.2057, 1.618, 1.662, 1.7561, 1.7914, 1.6101, 2.392, 2.4243, 2.2667, 2.1095, 2.606, 2.1219, 2.1589, 1.9096, 1.8499, 1.9477, 2.2858, 2.9818, 3.3965, 3.4608, 3.348, 3.4969, 3.8262, 4.2182, 4.0975, 4.0577, 3.769, 4.134, 3.3915, 3.6819, 3.3389, 4.0195, 4.8411, 4.8411, 4.4998, 4.0921, 3.7988, 3.2787, 3.2787, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2009041831296946384", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-07T23:17:53+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "They are capacity strained after $NVDA secured EML capacity from $LITE, $COHR, and others", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long AXTI: owns full InP supply chain, benefits from indium price spikes, Japanese export controls leave it as dominant western supplier at only $1.3B market cap vs AI bottleneck value; NVDA demand driving upstream capacity strain.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So this is just my perspective on this. Lot of things have changed since the last earnings call,\n\n1. Price of 7n Indium feedstock has started to spike on SMM and we're seeing bifurcation between asian supply chains + western ( $AXTI exports to western, which inflates their future margins that aren't already backlogged)\n\nDec 19th: Asian Metal reported that \"Indium ingot suppliers raise offering prices in United States,\" marking the beginning of the specific divergence in Western pricing.\n\nDecember 24, 2025: They subsequently reported that \"Suppliers of indium ingot raise quotes in China,\" confirming that the pricing pressure had solidified across both domestic and export channels by the end of the week.\n\nThis affects the bottom line of InP substrate producers, but $AXTI owns the entire cost structure/supply chain so any price increases just benefit their margins.\n\n2. Hyperscalers/Western supply chains pay premiums for substrates already. They are capacity strained after $NVDA secured EML capacity from $LITE, $COHR, and others.\n\n-> We're already seeing slowdown for $MSFT and other hyperscaler deployments likely because of capacity.\n\n-> They will go upstream to secure materials (which are extremely cheap, bc earlier they were commodities for telecom), then this just becomes game theory allocation wars like HBM. But instead of sk hynix, mu, samsung, and the others. You basically only have $AXTI left that can do it at scale.\n\nEG. $GOOGL especially is heavily dependent on this, and $MSFT alone from maia was est. to take up double digits of the world's capacity if they wanted to ramp up, but there's literally not enough. \n\n3. The biggest thing was that the Japanese InP substrate supply chain got export controlled, effectively making $AXTI the largest InP substrate provider when materials run out on the Sumitomo/JX side.\n\nThis is just pure what value would you place on single company point of failure on the photonics AI ramp. We can argue semantics but if it goes down the entire supply chain does too. eg. CEO was saying they were 40% of inp supply chain before export controls (and before their $100M fundraise to increase capacity).\n\nAnd this huge bottleneck of the entire AI supply chain is valued at $1.3B, while random quantum companies with no material impact are worth $10B+. \n\nIt's hard to model bottlenecks where the few hundred million TAM is suddenly used for every single AI deployment because nobody knows where the substrate or feedstock pricing goes.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I looked at going long $AXTI a few days ago (wish I had!!), but could not get comfortable that margins will ramp up enough to justify the current valuation. The bull thesis is that both volumes and pricing for InP will continue to ramp hard, and eventually AXTI will print gross https://t.co/lZ3n8ftDXu", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jaysyoon", "ret_m1d": -0.009888369431321764, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.009888369431321764, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.013122149851631515, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.013122149851631515, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003233780420309751, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003233780420309751, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.021521859150629097, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.021521859150629097, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.021420326468643336, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.021420326468643336, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00010153268198576093, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00010153268198576093, "ret_p1w": -0.03156894923698694, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03156894923698694, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03270000911393367, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03270000911393367, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0011310598769467273, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0011310598769467273, "ret_p1m": -0.0911109816456952, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0911109816456952, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07376708725672487, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07376708725672487, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017343894388970327, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017343894388970327, "ret_p3m": -0.06060167635478608, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06060167635478608, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.01876390996018673, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.01876390996018673, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04183776639459935, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04183776639459935, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0315, -0.0042, -0.0481, -0.0491, -0.0387, -0.0312, -0.0343, -0.0421, -0.0467, -0.0368, -0.0151, 0.0125, 0.063, 0.0948, 0.0728, 0.0707, 0.0939, 0.0506, 0.0322, -0.0055, -0.0051, 0.0525, 0.0214, 0.0247, -0.012, 0.0055, -0.0133, -0.041, -0.0138, -0.0448, -0.0541, -0.0347, -0.0598, -0.0469, -0.0469, -0.0641, -0.0486, -0.0405, -0.0504, -0.0303, -0.0354, -0.0188, -0.0219, -0.0282, -0.0433, -0.0745, -0.0678, -0.0602, -0.0961, -0.0792, -0.0429, -0.0287, 0.0005, -0.0026, -0.0026, 0.0075, -0.0047, -0.0083, -0.0138, -0.0138, -0.0014, -0.0052, -0.0099, 0.0, -0.0215, -0.0225, -0.0221, -0.0175, -0.0316, -0.0109, -0.0152, -0.0152, -0.0584, -0.0306, -0.0226, -0.0076, -0.014, -0.0031, 0.0127, 0.018, 0.0107, -0.0185, -0.0464, -0.0789, -0.0911, -0.0196, 0.0049, -0.003, 0.005, -0.0115, -0.0333, -0.0333, -0.0219, -0.006, -0.0064, 0.0038, 0.0129, 0.0198, 0.0341, -0.0223, -0.063, -0.0351, -0.0479, -0.0321, -0.0305, -0.0597, -0.0342, -0.0229, -0.0162, -0.0315, -0.0468, -0.0311, -0.0379, -0.046, -0.0557, -0.0867, -0.0712, -0.0735, -0.0551, -0.0944, -0.1141, -0.1265, -0.0777, -0.0706, -0.0619, -0.0619, -0.0606, -0.0582, -0.0371, -0.0274, -0.0025, 0.0011, 0.0392, 0.0517, 0.0489, 0.0665, 0.0685, 0.057, 0.0709, 0.0557, 0.1014, 0.1455, 0.1273, 0.1066, 0.0554, 0.0494, 0.0496, 0.0391, 0.099, 0.1185, 0.138, 0.1604, 0.1675, 0.1942, 0.2466, 0.1915, 0.1757, 0.1666, 0.1818, 0.1608, 0.1387, 0.1387, 0.1362, 0.1243, 0.133, 0.1166, 0.1166, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1993036845673070617", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-24T19:19:47+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Think we're just early but that's where the highest returns come from. Especially when the market discounts subsidiaries and doesn't price in that they're hyperscaling along the core business.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS: market using wrong framework, underpricing hyperscaling subsidiaries (incl. Avride); author is early with high-return potential.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I sort of think the market missed the $NBIS story too. Jim Cramer for one is the perfect example.\n\nThink we're just early but that's where the highest returns come from. Especially when the market discounts subsidiaries and doesn't price in that they're hyperscaling along the core business. \n\nThere's a distant possibility where one of them (Avride), becomes larger than the main business.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $NBIS isn’t undervalued because the market missed the story.\n\nIt’s undervalued because the market is using the wrong framework.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "yianisz", "ret_m1d": -0.09401522574747101, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09401522574747101, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07951021084950338, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08419309478962045, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014505014897967627, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009822130957850561, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.032861852255905655, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.032861852255905655, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04226784369796155, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.044276829152403385, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009405991442055894, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01141497689649773, "ret_p1w": 0.08977148926027834, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08977148926027834, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07251488706167031, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07348978131197503, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01725660219860803, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016281707948303303, "ret_p1m": -0.020348234118967246, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.020348234118967246, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05214418065646209, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06246872564745665, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031795946537494846, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0421204915284894, "ret_p3m": 0.17094666837463257, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.17094666837463257, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.14437008191616507, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.14880038202328993, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0265765864584675, "bench_c_p3m": 0.022146286351342637, "ret_p6m": 1.1515777197442003, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.1515777197442003, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.0481310897708718, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.119846568058765, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10344662997332854, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03173115168543528, "price_path": [-0.2372, -0.2161, -0.2566, -0.2566, -0.2849, -0.2856, -0.2937, -0.2876, -0.3029, 0.0416, 0.0162, -0.0295, -0.0162, -0.0102, -0.0269, 0.0237, 0.0242, 0.0806, 0.16, 0.173, 0.2321, 0.1745, 0.1719, 0.1993, 0.2217, 0.258, 0.3696, 0.3926, 0.3595, 0.2807, 0.3275, 0.4433, 0.41, 0.474, 0.3945, 0.3692, 0.3388, 0.2344, 0.1861, 0.1347, 0.0731, 0.1552, 0.276, 0.3649, 0.3257, 0.3613, 0.3513, 0.4235, 0.3109, 0.2028, 0.2731, 0.1909, 0.2109, 0.1964, 0.1123, 0.0268, -0.0356, -0.091, -0.0644, -0.0148, 0.0345, -0.079, -0.094, 0.0, -0.0329, 0.0304, 0.0304, 0.0323, 0.0898, 0.0495, 0.0764, 0.1186, 0.0668, 0.0917, 0.0491, 0.0184, 0.0259, -0.0458, -0.1171, -0.1192, -0.179, -0.1503, -0.0266, 0.0145, -0.0203, -0.0084, -0.0084, -0.0469, -0.0638, -0.0732, -0.0892, -0.0892, -0.0212, 0.0101, 0.0908, 0.0469, 0.0588, 0.0656, 0.1679, 0.1472, 0.1097, 0.1304, 0.1831, 0.1831, 0.0804, 0.0758, 0.0539, 0.0283, -0.0048, 0.065, 0.0928, 0.0328, -0.073, -0.0407, -0.0212, -0.1035, -0.1962, -0.0631, 0.0107, -0.0012, -0.0358, -0.0236, 0.0665, 0.0665, 0.0612, 0.1077, 0.1709, 0.0655, 0.0948, 0.1162, 0.1547, 0.1412, -0.0077, -0.0097, -0.0555, 0.064, 0.0408, -0.028, 0.0331, 0.0493, 0.2187, 0.1756, 0.2291, 0.4129, 0.2658, 0.2901, 0.3223, 0.2799, 0.2421, 0.2504, 0.2523, 0.1531, 0.0971, 0.0039, 0.1291, 0.1094, 0.1841, 0.1841, 0.2246, 0.2775, 0.3602, 0.4835, 0.5775, 0.6818, 0.7621, 0.8147, 0.7991, 0.7099, 0.7319, 0.7035, 0.699, 0.7092, 0.6013, 0.5774, 0.4745, 0.5363, 0.5041, 0.6811, 0.9197, 0.9143, 1.1229, 1.0106, 0.9266, 1.025, 0.949, 1.2554, 1.4064, 1.3933, 1.1748, 1.1516]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1968018552822370394", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-16T18:26:01+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "might be a buy just because @elonmusk looks like he wants to pump the stock price up", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Speculative long TSLA despite crap fundamentals; Musk signaling intent to pump the stock.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@unusual_whales Honestly, $TSLA has crap fundamentals, but might be a buy just because @elonmusk looks like he wants to pump the stock price up lol.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Tesla, $TSLA, is up 2.40% after Elon Musk said \"Daddy's home.\" https://t.co/r7Zbcp70Mb", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "unusual_whales", "ret_m1d": -0.027465458722011116, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.027465458722011116, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.028844149679055686, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.028844149679055686, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0013786909570445705, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0013786909570445705, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01005642588937583, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01005642588937583, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011298861181924469, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011298861181924469, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012424352925486382, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012424352925486382, "ret_p1w": 0.01003275706872575, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01003275706872575, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.002383134639607043, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.002383134639607043, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007649622429118708, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007649622429118708, "ret_p1m": 0.03209050551678949, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03209050551678949, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.021463123257631445, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.021463123257631445, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010627382259158047, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010627382259158047, "ret_p3m": 0.08856315348021426, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08856315348021426, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05272959243236075, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05272959243236075, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03583356104785351, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03583356104785351, "ret_p6m": -0.03273086654520052, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.03273086654520052, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.06335071324125707, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.06335071324125707, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030619846696056552, "bench_c_p6m": 0.030619846696056552, "price_path": [-0.2362, -0.2359, -0.173, -0.1925, -0.2231, -0.2273, -0.2324, -0.2466, -0.2868, -0.2513, -0.2521, -0.2521, -0.3028, -0.2937, -0.2982, -0.265, -0.2564, -0.2484, -0.2629, -0.2371, -0.2424, -0.2181, -0.2209, -0.2123, -0.2112, -0.2759, -0.2504, -0.2278, -0.2382, -0.2433, -0.2688, -0.2822, -0.2665, -0.2678, -0.2412, -0.2356, -0.2181, -0.1959, -0.1916, -0.1951, -0.2041, -0.216, -0.2051, -0.2189, -0.2318, -0.2408, -0.1936, -0.1779, -0.1659, -0.1708, -0.1794, -0.2081, -0.2081, -0.2188, -0.2076, -0.1971, -0.1679, -0.1784, -0.1771, -0.1751, -0.1253, -0.0609, -0.0275, 0.0, 0.0101, -0.0113, 0.0106, 0.0299, 0.01, 0.0502, 0.0042, 0.0445, 0.0512, 0.0548, 0.0897, 0.0341, 0.0195, 0.075, 0.0272, 0.0405, 0.033, -0.0193, 0.0339, 0.0181, 0.0321, 0.0169, 0.042, 0.0612, 0.0498, 0.0412, 0.0649, 0.0287, 0.0731, 0.0923, 0.0946, 0.0438, 0.0829, 0.1109, 0.0537, 0.0959, 0.0576, 0.0187, 0.056, 0.0427, 0.0213, -0.0466, -0.041, -0.0301, -0.0483, -0.0418, -0.0626, -0.0724, -0.0091, -0.0053, 0.0118, 0.0118, 0.0203, 0.0202, 0.0181, 0.0596, 0.0781, 0.0792, 0.0426, 0.0559, 0.0708, 0.0599, 0.0886, 0.1273, 0.1619, 0.1082, 0.1465, 0.1413, 0.1592, 0.1517, 0.1513, 0.1513, 0.1271, 0.0902, 0.0778, 0.0666, 0.0666, 0.039, 0.0713, 0.0269, 0.0232, 0.0336, 0.0555, 0.0648, 0.0607, 0.0417, 0.0402, 0.0377, 0.0377, -0.0056, 0.0233, 0.0658, 0.0651, 0.0322, 0.022, 0.0233, -0.012, 0.0208, 0.0005, 0.0008, -0.037, -0.0579, -0.0249, -0.0102, 0.0085, 0.0158, -0.0108, -0.0099, -0.0099, -0.0261, -0.0244, -0.0235, -0.0232, -0.0517, -0.029, -0.01, -0.0309, -0.0453, -0.0434, -0.0692, -0.0372, -0.0381, -0.059, -0.0544, -0.0531, -0.0327]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2008425368966062263", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-06T06:28:17+00:00", "symbol": "VLO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$VLO, $AVAV, and $CVX look the safest right now given US gov subsidies for development", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "VLO, AVAV, and CVX flagged as safest plays on US gov subsidies for development; caution on weighting after amber energy bid outcome.", "resolved_tickers": ["VLO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@FrontRangeHQ I did but it’s extremely risky so $VLO, $AVAV, and $CVX look the safest right now given US gov subsidies for development. \n\nI’d be wary of the $5.9b amber energy bid that won so I’d change these weightings after today.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Nice trade. Hope you weighted $GDRZF the heaviest!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "FrontRangeHQ", "ret_m1d": 0.012901855340946122, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.012901855340946122, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.018813878826262176, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.018813878826262176, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005912023485316054, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005912023485316054, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03135688435971584, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03135688435971584, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03458024115194325, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03458024115194325, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0032233567922274053, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0032233567922274053, "ret_p1w": 0.019464877878893505, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.019464877878893505, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.016631657310557824, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.016631657310557824, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028332205683356815, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0028332205683356815, "ret_p1m": 0.10736525145634634, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10736525145634634, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11548884307342477, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11548884307342477, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00812359161707843, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00812359161707843, "ret_p3m": 0.37758915998070464, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.37758915998070464, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.42700862666360195, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.42700862666360195, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04941946668289732, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04941946668289732, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0969, -0.1191, -0.1002, -0.0959, -0.1026, -0.1282, -0.1205, -0.1072, -0.121, -0.0977, -0.0349, -0.0465, -0.0281, -0.056, -0.0487, -0.0518, -0.0548, -0.0434, -0.0573, -0.0516, -0.0189, -0.021, -0.0012, 0.0082, -0.0103, -0.0201, 0.0132, -0.0055, 0.0336, 0.0052, -0.0418, -0.027, -0.0219, -0.0234, -0.0213, -0.0213, -0.0085, 0.0127, 0.0015, -0.0068, -0.0186, -0.0232, -0.0264, -0.0165, -0.0127, -0.0357, -0.0559, -0.0582, -0.0867, -0.0862, -0.0916, -0.0873, -0.0826, -0.0757, -0.0774, -0.0774, -0.08, -0.0707, -0.0752, -0.0868, -0.0868, -0.0727, 0.0129, 0.0, 0.0314, 0.0732, 0.0393, 0.0076, 0.0195, 0.0462, 0.0354, 0.0291, 0.0291, 0.0362, 0.0556, 0.0484, 0.0495, 0.0281, 0.026, 0.0323, 0.0237, 0.0177, 0.0109, 0.0785, 0.1074, 0.0957, 0.1439, 0.1365, 0.1259, 0.1509, 0.1113, 0.1297, 0.1297, 0.1137, 0.1257, 0.1245, 0.133, 0.114, 0.125, 0.1267, 0.1501, 0.1549, 0.2129, 0.2287, 0.2732, 0.287, 0.2678, 0.2188, 0.2248, 0.304, 0.3309, 0.3014, 0.3126, 0.3317, 0.3458, 0.3662, 0.3537, 0.3398, 0.3644, 0.3237, 0.4004, 0.4353, 0.4125, 0.3945, 0.3627, 0.3776, 0.3776, 0.386, 0.4194, 0.3525, 0.3269, 0.3478, 0.3662, 0.3296, 0.3263, 0.3643, 0.2622, 0.2771, 0.3172, 0.3227, 0.3197, 0.3311, 0.3446, 0.356, 0.4183, 0.4255, 0.3933, 0.4201, 0.4304, 0.3358, 0.3339, 0.3605, 0.4004, 0.3947, 0.3776, 0.3814, 0.4151, 0.459, 0.4822, 0.4322, 0.3671, 0.4004, 0.4004, 0.3692, 0.3629, 0.3884, 0.3883, 0.3883, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2008425368966062263", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-06T06:28:17+00:00", "symbol": "AVAV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$VLO, $AVAV, and $CVX look the safest right now given US gov subsidies for development", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "VLO, AVAV, and CVX flagged as safest plays on US gov subsidies for development; caution on weighting after amber energy bid outcome.", "resolved_tickers": ["AVAV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@FrontRangeHQ I did but it’s extremely risky so $VLO, $AVAV, and $CVX look the safest right now given US gov subsidies for development. \n\nI’d be wary of the $5.9b amber energy bid that won so I’d change these weightings after today.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Nice trade. Hope you weighted $GDRZF the heaviest!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "FrontRangeHQ", "ret_m1d": -0.061886872512800006, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.061886872512800006, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05597484902748395, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.048493430581915464, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005912023485316054, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013393441930884542, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0045737381718273795, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0045737381718273795, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007797094964054785, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.023398600230661426, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0032233567922274053, "bench_c_p1d": -0.018824862058834047, "ret_p1w": 0.14771468552686318, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.14771468552686318, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1448814649585275, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13543236614519327, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028332205683356815, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012282319381669904, "ret_p1m": -0.18840491819800842, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.18840491819800842, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.18028132658093, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.23389303815882212, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00812359161707843, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0454881199608137, "ret_p3m": -0.4184777424211664, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4184777424211664, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3690582757382691, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4321190973730188, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04941946668289732, "bench_c_p3m": 0.013641354951852369, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2563, 0.2374, 0.2927, 0.2669, 0.2134, 0.18, 0.1059, 0.1483, 0.1897, 0.1203, 0.149, 0.194, 0.199, 0.1984, 0.2007, 0.1539, 0.1668, 0.1604, 0.1516, 0.1062, 0.0353, 0.0398, 0.0531, 0.0349, 0.0198, -0.0679, -0.0814, -0.1053, -0.1138, -0.1154, -0.1358, -0.1403, -0.1263, -0.1216, -0.1194, -0.1194, -0.1185, -0.1868, -0.1643, -0.1427, -0.0933, -0.1219, -0.109, -0.1123, -0.2264, -0.2122, -0.2461, -0.2577, -0.2598, -0.2774, -0.2723, -0.2335, -0.1944, -0.1763, -0.1777, -0.1777, -0.1957, -0.2141, -0.2304, -0.237, -0.237, -0.1919, -0.0619, 0.0, 0.0046, 0.0881, 0.1513, 0.1692, 0.1477, 0.2043, 0.1941, 0.2392, 0.2392, 0.0437, 0.0082, -0.0155, -0.0293, -0.0453, -0.0235, -0.0318, -0.0751, -0.1219, -0.1484, -0.0997, -0.1884, -0.2528, -0.1887, -0.1346, -0.1696, -0.2322, -0.2584, -0.2308, -0.2308, -0.1705, -0.1627, -0.1115, -0.1653, -0.1757, -0.1728, -0.195, -0.1811, -0.2043, -0.3429, -0.2799, -0.2856, -0.3043, -0.2751, -0.2831, -0.3011, -0.3448, -0.3317, -0.3468, -0.3317, -0.2981, -0.3191, -0.3333, -0.3763, -0.3494, -0.3812, -0.3722, -0.382, -0.4183, -0.4418, -0.4226, -0.4212, -0.4185, -0.4185, -0.403, -0.4106, -0.4103, -0.4395, -0.4331, -0.3868, -0.3864, -0.3741, -0.3629, -0.3962, -0.3779, -0.3374, -0.3373, -0.3631, -0.3809, -0.3826, -0.3933, -0.4212, -0.3849, -0.4166, -0.4314, -0.4742, -0.45, -0.4695, -0.4692, -0.475, -0.4674, -0.4922, -0.4787, -0.5016, -0.4905, -0.4946, -0.4831, -0.4856, -0.4504, -0.4504, -0.4251, -0.4282, -0.3238, -0.3463, -0.3463, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2008425368966062263", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-06T06:28:17+00:00", "symbol": "CVX", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$VLO, $AVAV, and $CVX look the safest right now given US gov subsidies for development", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "VLO, AVAV, and CVX flagged as safest plays on US gov subsidies for development; caution on weighting after amber energy bid outcome.", "resolved_tickers": ["CVX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@FrontRangeHQ I did but it’s extremely risky so $VLO, $AVAV, and $CVX look the safest right now given US gov subsidies for development. \n\nI’d be wary of the $5.9b amber energy bid that won so I’d change these weightings after today.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Nice trade. Hope you weighted $GDRZF the heaviest!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "FrontRangeHQ", "ret_m1d": 0.04669740810224199, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04669740810224199, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05260943158755804, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05260943158755804, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005912023485316054, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005912023485316054, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008560095539955626, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008560095539955626, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00533673874772822, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00533673874772822, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0032233567922274053, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0032233567922274053, "ret_p1w": 0.04682504767114404, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04682504767114404, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.043991827102808356, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.043991827102808356, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028332205683356815, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0028332205683356815, "ret_p1m": 0.1577232716534569, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1577232716534569, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.16584686327053533, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.16584686327053533, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00812359161707843, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00812359161707843, "ret_p3m": 0.2834828140025276, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2834828140025276, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.33290228068542493, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.33290228068542493, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04941946668289732, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04941946668289732, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.042, -0.0593, -0.0401, -0.0373, -0.039, -0.0416, -0.0329, -0.0241, -0.0284, -0.0172, -0.0109, -0.0172, -0.019, -0.0263, -0.0201, -0.0301, -0.0036, -0.0268, -0.0309, -0.0356, -0.0338, -0.0206, -0.0167, -0.0129, -0.0314, -0.0171, -0.0042, -0.0219, -0.0187, -0.0309, -0.0398, -0.0419, -0.0434, -0.0512, -0.0449, -0.0449, -0.0346, -0.0256, -0.0402, -0.0316, -0.0273, -0.0418, -0.05, -0.0514, -0.0328, -0.0372, -0.0418, -0.0431, -0.0625, -0.0448, -0.0565, -0.0562, -0.0431, -0.0385, -0.0386, -0.0386, -0.0417, -0.0355, -0.027, -0.0264, -0.0264, -0.0041, 0.0467, 0.0, -0.0086, 0.0173, 0.0356, 0.0371, 0.0468, 0.0684, 0.0615, 0.0621, 0.0621, 0.056, 0.0651, 0.0646, 0.065, 0.07, 0.0799, 0.0855, 0.0936, 0.1301, 0.1117, 0.1373, 0.1577, 0.1449, 0.1554, 0.1665, 0.1643, 0.187, 0.1652, 0.1738, 0.1738, 0.1647, 0.1861, 0.1919, 0.1865, 0.1928, 0.1956, 0.1883, 0.1879, 0.2047, 0.223, 0.2177, 0.2, 0.225, 0.2252, 0.222, 0.2017, 0.2372, 0.2706, 0.2696, 0.2697, 0.277, 0.2812, 0.2994, 0.3013, 0.3237, 0.3339, 0.3233, 0.3404, 0.3621, 0.3592, 0.3346, 0.2734, 0.2835, 0.2835, 0.2828, 0.3001, 0.2443, 0.2279, 0.2163, 0.2371, 0.2064, 0.1928, 0.2137, 0.1869, 0.1821, 0.1997, 0.2019, 0.2101, 0.1947, 0.1919, 0.215, 0.2399, 0.247, 0.2297, 0.2403, 0.2427, 0.1944, 0.1772, 0.1716, 0.1917, 0.1995, 0.1998, 0.2039, 0.2327, 0.2651, 0.284, 0.2455, 0.2434, 0.2462, 0.2462, 0.2024, 0.1874, 0.1915, 0.1878, 0.1878, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1973277513452494873", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-01T06:43:15+00:00", "symbol": "VIRT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Use this golden opportunity to build long positions", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Use government shutdown panic as opportunity to build long positions, including VIRT and VIX as asymmetric hedges.", "resolved_tickers": ["VIRT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "US government shutdown confirmed.\n\nAs I expected a few hours ago, Polymarket  was pricing in almost 100% confirmation of a shutdown. \n\nInstitutions and traders already know about it but retail will panic on the news.\n\nUse this golden opportunity to build long positions. https://t.co/HCkIqwCtnd", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Personal thoughts for trading this October (macro + tailwinds):\n\n1. Government shutdown is 97% likely, already priced in Polymarket.\n\nAgain, this was already known way ahead of time. Which is why stuff like $VIRT or $VIX that I posted is a asymmetrical hedge during times of", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.040445521688531105, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.040445521688531105, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.043841427501250085, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.043841427501250085, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00339590581271898, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00339590581271898, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0038100402570291347, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0038100402570291347, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0026582367198362267, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0026582367198362267, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001151803537192908, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001151803537192908, "ret_p1w": -0.03751466053226227, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03751466053226227, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.044485996666606464, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.044485996666606464, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006971336134344197, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006971336134344197, "ret_p1m": 0.01465407936385743, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.01465407936385743, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.002370445612455363, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.002370445612455363, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017024524976312794, "bench_c_p1m": 0.017024524976312794, "ret_p3m": 0.012067938831051839, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.012067938831051839, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.019995046631227975, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.019995046631227975, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032062985462279814, "bench_c_p3m": 0.032062985462279814, "ret_p6m": 0.2891685270636821, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2891685270636821, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3186200048488327, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3186200048488327, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02945147778515056, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02945147778515056, "price_path": [0.2971, 0.3067, 0.2473, 0.2534, 0.2837, 0.2811, 0.3056, 0.2872, 0.3009, 0.3149, 0.2916, 0.2683, 0.2423, 0.2587, 0.2756, 0.2881, 0.2648, 0.2834, 0.3053, 0.2863, 0.2639, 0.2651, 0.2499, 0.2371, 0.2371, 0.2368, 0.2251, 0.2272, 0.219, 0.219, 0.2176, 0.2082, 0.2001, 0.2068, 0.2117, 0.2254, 0.2353, 0.2578, 0.2453, 0.2353, 0.2286, 0.2286, 0.2119, 0.2151, 0.1849, 0.1398, 0.1281, 0.1152, 0.1316, 0.0868, 0.0736, 0.0618, 0.0375, 0.0308, 0.0319, 0.0396, 0.022, 0.0264, 0.0328, 0.0275, 0.0319, 0.0513, 0.0404, 0.0, 0.0038, -0.0141, -0.0504, -0.051, -0.0375, -0.0264, -0.0267, -0.0331, -0.0179, -0.0152, -0.0299, -0.0261, -0.0328, -0.0237, -0.0208, -0.0193, -0.0167, -0.0076, 0.0132, 0.0079, 0.0147, 0.0211, 0.024, 0.0182, 0.0073, 0.0278, 0.0445, 0.0536, 0.0443, 0.0554, 0.0431, 0.0311, 0.007, 0.0117, -0.0082, -0.012, -0.0041, -0.0059, 0.017, 0.0358, 0.0358, 0.0481, 0.0333, 0.0127, 0.0295, 0.046, 0.0439, 0.0395, 0.0492, 0.0554, 0.01, -0.0053, -0.0151, -0.0012, -0.0062, -0.0098, -0.0015, -0.0195, -0.0151, -0.0033, -0.0033, 0.0068, 0.0121, 0.0023, -0.0168, -0.0168, -0.0381, -0.005, -0.0213, -0.0289, -0.0402, -0.0222, 0.0009, 0.0047, 0.038, 0.0587, 0.0885, 0.0885, 0.0808, 0.0891, 0.095, 0.0965, 0.1068, 0.1106, 0.1062, 0.1997, 0.2248, 0.1667, 0.1301, 0.1159, 0.1274, 0.1369, 0.1584, 0.162, 0.1192, 0.1091, 0.1313, 0.1313, 0.1531, 0.1614, 0.1617, 0.1749, 0.1797, 0.2053, 0.2024, 0.2316, 0.2289, 0.2681, 0.2357, 0.2185, 0.2135, 0.2171, 0.2447, 0.2182, 0.1995, 0.1773, 0.1601, 0.1532, 0.1826, 0.1835, 0.1746, 0.2355, 0.2725, 0.2859, 0.2981, 0.2892]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1973277513452494873", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-01T06:43:15+00:00", "symbol": "VIX", "kind": "index", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "stuff like $VIRT or $VIX that I posted is a asymmetrical hedge during times of", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Use government shutdown panic as opportunity to build long positions, including VIRT and VIX as asymmetric hedges.", "resolved_tickers": ["VIXY"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "VIX not directly tradable; VIXY as liquid proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "US government shutdown confirmed.\n\nAs I expected a few hours ago, Polymarket  was pricing in almost 100% confirmation of a shutdown. \n\nInstitutions and traders already know about it but retail will panic on the news.\n\nUse this golden opportunity to build long positions. https://t.co/HCkIqwCtnd", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Personal thoughts for trading this October (macro + tailwinds):\n\n1. Government shutdown is 97% likely, already priced in Polymarket.\n\nAgain, this was already known way ahead of time. Which is why stuff like $VIRT or $VIX that I posted is a asymmetrical hedge during times of", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.006230553658770122, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006230553658770122, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009626459471489102, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009626459471489102, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00339590581271898, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00339590581271898, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011526565861999183, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011526565861999183, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010374762324806275, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.010374762324806275, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001151803537192908, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001151803537192908, "ret_p1w": 0.005919079452898712, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.005919079452898712, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0010522566814454848, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0010522566814454848, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006971336134344197, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006971336134344197, "ret_p1m": 0.02523368884095234, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.02523368884095234, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.008209163864639546, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.008209163864639546, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017024524976312794, "bench_c_p1m": 0.017024524976312794, "ret_p3m": -0.1943924660557288, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1943924660557288, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2264554515180086, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2264554515180086, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032062985462279814, "bench_c_p3m": 0.032062985462279814, "ret_p6m": 0.10560758147944194, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.10560758147944194, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1350590592645925, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1350590592645925, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02945147778515056, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02945147778515056, "price_path": [0.4421, 0.4598, 0.4268, 0.3769, 0.3664, 0.3729, 0.3938, 0.3835, 0.3963, 0.39, 0.3695, 0.3614, 0.3567, 0.3012, 0.2963, 0.2844, 0.2492, 0.2785, 0.2847, 0.2925, 0.3944, 0.3, 0.3134, 0.2729, 0.2829, 0.2386, 0.2445, 0.1916, 0.1847, 0.1882, 0.1829, 0.1561, 0.1791, 0.1717, 0.1897, 0.0963, 0.0944, 0.0885, 0.0931, 0.0763, 0.0984, 0.0984, 0.1324, 0.1059, 0.0735, 0.0745, 0.0555, 0.0502, 0.0461, 0.0196, 0.0181, 0.0305, 0.0461, 0.0084, 0.0047, 0.0075, 0.0243, 0.0358, 0.0227, 0.0364, -0.0034, 0.0093, 0.0062, 0.0, 0.0115, 0.0044, 0.0019, 0.0215, 0.0059, 0.0084, 0.1333, 0.0505, 0.0947, 0.1065, 0.2134, 0.1131, 0.0283, 0.0231, 0.0352, 0.0156, 0.0037, -0.0293, -0.0019, 0.0171, 0.0252, 0.029, 0.0178, 0.0561, 0.0156, 0.0595, 0.0495, -0.0053, -0.0081, -0.0022, 0.0642, 0.0464, 0.0997, 0.1449, 0.1159, 0.19, 0.1293, 0.0486, 0.0206, -0.0081, -0.0081, -0.0302, -0.0296, -0.0467, -0.052, -0.0604, -0.072, -0.0623, -0.0567, -0.0947, -0.1075, -0.1053, -0.1062, -0.11, -0.0947, -0.1243, -0.1573, -0.1863, -0.1832, -0.1841, -0.1841, -0.1857, -0.1944, -0.2065, -0.2012, -0.2012, -0.2146, -0.2034, -0.2131, -0.2, -0.2106, -0.2218, -0.2202, -0.2016, -0.1819, -0.2062, -0.2025, -0.2025, -0.1134, -0.195, -0.2143, -0.2, -0.2016, -0.1872, -0.1872, -0.1816, -0.1679, -0.2125, -0.1785, -0.1667, -0.1146, -0.1679, -0.196, -0.1794, -0.1826, -0.1308, -0.1181, -0.1181, -0.1495, -0.1474, -0.1262, -0.1464, -0.1131, -0.1408, -0.1732, -0.1648, -0.1321, -0.1209, -0.0801, -0.1112, -0.0545, 0.0732, -0.029, 0.0181, -0.0283, 0.038, 0.0555, -0.024, -0.038, 0.0464, 0.0171, 0.0894, 0.0324, 0.0542, 0.0346, 0.1056]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2008454507823591467", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-06T08:24:04+00:00", "symbol": "AIRO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I've taken a position in $AIRO and it's up +23% since this post 3 days ago. Markets still don't know about this Aerospace & Defense stock", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds a live long position in AIRO drone/defense stock, trading at low P/S vs peers, with NATO/Ukraine order backlog and DoD tailwind.", "resolved_tickers": ["AIRO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’ve taken a position in $AIRO and it’s up +23% since this post 3 days ago. \n\nMarkets still don’t know about this Aerospace & Defense stock, despite $ONDS hype.\n\nIt’s a drone stock ~$300m MC, with $120m+ est. for 2026 (~2.5 fwd p/s)\n\nOthers trade at 30-40+ multiples and bigger companies trade at ~9.3 p/s like $AVAV.\n\nThis stems from their $190M guidance for 2025-2026 bookings subtracted by est. FY 2025 ~$86.9M + growth. \n\nThere’s a huge tailwind for the sector coming from military conflicts in Venezuela/Ukraine and $1T DoD spending into defense.\n\n$AIRO already has order backlog from NATO + Ukraine armed forces for drones like RQ-35 Heidrun, designed for GPS-denied environments (Ukraine - Russia conflicts).\n\nThere’s a lot of execution uncertainty due to their executive team history, but i like how: \n\n-  Drone + Defense segment becoming extremely hot \n-this one trading at extremely low levels of P/S \n-what they’re building is cool like when I bought $RKLB at $15\n\n+ In Q3 2025, AIRO missed revenue expectations badly ($6.3M reported vs. higher expectations) due to shipment delays. However, this is just deferred revenue, the stock dropped from $30 -> $10, I thought this could be a unique opportunity. \n\nThis is just a shower-thought post, by no means in-depth DD. Name of the game is execution, and this doesn’t seem to have any premiums.\n\nSo, I’ve taken a position in $AIRO just to see where it goes.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Welcome to 2026. Jan 1st ratings:\n\nStrong Buy:\n$TTD\n$SMCI\n$AIRO\n$INTC\n$HIMS\n$AXTI\n$TSM\n$NBIS\n$CIFR\nSamsung Electronics (KRX: 005930)\n$HUT\n$IREN\n$WULF\n$GLXY\n$TSSI\n$META\n$ETOR\n$CRCL\n\nBuy:\n$KRKNF\n$ONDS\n$GEMI\n$NVDA\n$MU\n$AMKR\nSK Hynix\n$SNAP\n$RDDT\n$AAOI\n$COHR\n$FISV\n$FLY\n$DJT\n$LITE", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.09237666082601714, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09237666082601714, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08646463734070109, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0789832188951326, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005912023485316054, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013393441930884542, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03677128802145668, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03677128802145668, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03354793122922928, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.017946425962622636, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0032233567922274053, "bench_c_p1d": -0.018824862058834047, "ret_p1w": 0.15515700045725045, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.15515700045725045, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15232377988891477, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14287468107558055, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028332205683356815, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012282319381669904, "ret_p1m": -0.14349771143815626, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14349771143815626, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13537411982107783, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.18898583139896996, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00812359161707843, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0454881199608137, "ret_p3m": -0.21883405057057093, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21883405057057093, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1694145838876736, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2324754055224233, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04941946668289732, "bench_c_p3m": 0.013641354951852369, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.7112, 0.6278, 0.6637, 0.8009, 0.7498, 0.6861, 0.5695, 0.6386, 0.6126, 0.5336, 0.5471, 0.5677, 0.5543, 0.5085, 0.5067, 0.4664, 0.4673, 0.4601, 0.2798, 0.2731, 0.1767, 0.2081, 0.2377, 0.2224, 0.1991, 0.1435, -0.0942, -0.0735, -0.1157, -0.2045, -0.2951, -0.2834, -0.2942, -0.2969, -0.261, -0.261, -0.2242, -0.2655, -0.2574, -0.2152, -0.1399, -0.1498, -0.1291, -0.139, -0.1278, -0.13, -0.2377, -0.2861, -0.3103, -0.3354, -0.3345, -0.2798, -0.1839, -0.1749, -0.1614, -0.1614, -0.2161, -0.2556, -0.2691, -0.2664, -0.2664, -0.1713, -0.0924, 0.0, -0.0368, 0.0717, 0.1202, 0.1193, 0.1552, 0.1865, 0.1839, 0.1991, 0.1991, 0.1417, 0.0915, 0.1238, 0.0933, 0.0269, 0.0493, 0.0179, -0.0206, -0.0771, -0.0987, -0.0861, -0.1435, -0.2395, -0.1354, -0.0942, -0.1453, -0.174, -0.183, -0.1749, -0.1749, -0.1794, -0.1605, -0.0843, -0.165, -0.1345, -0.0969, -0.1121, -0.0879, -0.1211, -0.0404, -0.0978, -0.096, -0.0816, -0.096, -0.0538, -0.0377, -0.0583, -0.0879, -0.122, -0.0969, -0.0475, -0.1049, -0.1067, -0.1767, -0.1256, -0.148, -0.1552, -0.1874, -0.2305, -0.2314, -0.3179, -0.2628, -0.2188, -0.2188, -0.2152, -0.2161, -0.209, -0.2753, -0.2933, -0.2951, -0.2753, -0.2502, -0.2242, -0.2762, -0.2296, -0.2466, -0.2197, -0.2601, -0.2888, -0.2628, -0.2861, -0.3274, -0.3148, -0.3345, -0.3507, -0.3587, -0.3336, -0.3525, -0.3417, -0.2888, -0.2978, -0.2978, -0.4067, -0.4287, -0.461, -0.4753, -0.4637, -0.4386, -0.4117, -0.4117, -0.3722, -0.3462, -0.2027, -0.1946, -0.1946, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1976057641999925300", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-08T22:50:29+00:00", "symbol": "FLY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$4.5B MARKET CAP. MEGA MOAT, backstopped by government + critical for national security. I DON'T NEED TO SAY MORE.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish FLY: reusable medium-lift rocket launching 2026, $4.5B cap with mega moat and government backing.", "resolved_tickers": ["FLY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Okay last post of the night I promise:\n\n$FLY ECLIPSE REUSABLE MEDIUM-LIFT ROCKET LAUNCHES AIMING 2026.\n\n $4.5B MARKET CAP. MEGA MOAT, backstopped by government + critical for national security. \n\nI DON'T NEED TO SAY MORE. \n\nLove,\nEarly $RKLB investor and Rocketlab Megabull. https://t.co/yAQpQGz1B5", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Wow I cooked insanely hard with this ETF, everything is up a **** ton.\n\nAnyway, some company changes I'd make + explanations:\n\n$AMD - +10% (rerate)\n$FLY - +3% (new)\n$WLAC - +1% (new)\n$MU - +1% (new)\n$FLNC - .5% (new)\n$SEI - .5% (new)\n$DFLI - - .25% (new)\n\n_\n\nTrim (Tax harvesting)", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0825806279336253, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0825806279336253, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07665292273760438, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07665292273760438, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005927705196020927, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005927705196020927, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.030322597872826318, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.030322597872826318, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.027425589493588864, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.027425589493588864, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0028970083792374535, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0028970083792374535, "ret_p1w": -0.045161278017105566, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.045161278017105566, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03336523404582947, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03336523404582947, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011796043971276093, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011796043971276093, "ret_p1m": -0.3764516153643208, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3764516153643208, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.37229186224108624, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.37229186224108624, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0041597531232345775, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0041597531232345775, "ret_p3m": -0.16870966265278475, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.16870966265278475, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.19343390745218147, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.19343390745218147, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024724244799396722, "bench_c_p3m": 0.024724244799396722, "ret_p6m": 0.06225807436050901, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.06225807436050901, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08238210549550651, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08238210549550651, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0201240311349975, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0201240311349975, "price_path": [null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.9468, 0.6184, 0.7297, 0.6602, 0.6371, 0.5913, 0.5271, 0.5684, 0.4671, 0.4603, 0.4926, 0.4874, 0.4427, 0.4532, 0.5171, 0.521, 0.4635, 0.4635, 0.4268, 0.4316, 0.3813, 0.3752, 0.38, 0.4368, 0.3797, 0.3861, 0.4113, 0.4148, 0.4145, 0.3987, 0.4587, 0.4581, 0.5974, 0.3529, 0.3084, 0.2148, 0.1606, 0.1923, -0.0542, -0.1397, -0.1355, -0.1171, -0.0616, -0.0826, 0.0, -0.0303, -0.0852, -0.0361, -0.0294, -0.0452, -0.0952, -0.1497, -0.1252, -0.091, -0.1535, -0.1626, -0.1316, -0.1132, -0.1687, -0.1919, -0.2113, -0.2174, -0.2329, -0.2629, -0.2742, -0.3765, -0.3632, -0.3794, -0.3829, -0.4094, -0.309, -0.2597, -0.3716, -0.3626, -0.3735, -0.4542, -0.4587, -0.4561, -0.4406, -0.4377, -0.4377, -0.4287, -0.4577, -0.4226, -0.4016, -0.3477, -0.361, -0.3829, -0.3723, -0.3129, -0.2416, -0.2871, -0.3432, -0.3458, -0.4023, -0.3526, -0.2048, -0.0774, -0.1465, -0.1277, -0.1277, -0.2471, -0.2387, -0.2671, -0.2784, -0.2784, -0.2335, -0.1687, -0.1468, -0.1177, -0.0971, -0.0287, -0.0181, -0.0977, -0.0319, -0.0403, 0.0777, 0.0777, -0.0213, -0.0677, -0.0026, -0.0603, -0.1871, -0.0532, -0.069, -0.1261, -0.1871, -0.2626, -0.1916, -0.2126, -0.2776, -0.2297, -0.2029, -0.2581, -0.3284, -0.3829, -0.3774, -0.3774, -0.3426, -0.3074, -0.3055, -0.3555, -0.3555, -0.3323, -0.3435, -0.3055, -0.3784, -0.3252, -0.3271, -0.3097, -0.3426, -0.3635, -0.3306, -0.3745, -0.3355, -0.2506, -0.2429, -0.2281, -0.2071, -0.2519, -0.2594, -0.251, -0.2255, -0.2345, -0.1119, -0.1352, -0.2353, -0.2381, -0.0816, -0.04, 0.0623]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1970369278177321426", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-23T06:06:58+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS is worth that valuation today", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "NBIS is worth ~$138.75 today; expects it to run up to that level as convertible note approaches.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@babyfolio I'm guessing until convertible note hits like $138.75-ish. \n\n$NBIS is worth that valuation today (thought it normally takes some time to run up).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "My guess:\n$NBIS will run to around 150$ pre-earnings with big expectations\nFrom there? It depends on guidance and clarity on $MSFT deal.\n\nThink it's delusional?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "babyfolio", "ret_m1d": -0.011131767566468054, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011131767566468054, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01660512855923091, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012567412585063775, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005473360992762855, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0014356450185957215, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05037105891888216, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05037105891888216, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05355269237149585, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05864740103362831, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003181633452613686, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008276342114746149, "ret_p1w": 0.041465616556267015, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.041465616556267015, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03698748783357497, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.041803468787482756, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004478128722692043, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0003378522312157406, "ret_p1m": -0.08515769986359101, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08515769986359101, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09207851156514568, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.061764383384825705, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006920811701554674, "bench_c_p1m": -0.023393316478765303, "ret_p3m": -0.17012990211586176, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17012990211586176, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.199368054728571, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15416836202068085, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029238152612709234, "bench_c_p3m": -0.015961540095180915, "ret_p6m": 0.09981441746035724, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.09981441746035724, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.09955147178200963, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.13682175222581228, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.00026294567834761473, "bench_c_p6m": -0.037007334765455036, "price_path": [-0.5121, -0.5191, -0.4867, -0.5333, -0.5365, -0.5339, -0.5339, -0.5562, -0.5631, -0.5728, -0.5693, -0.5891, -0.5181, -0.5034, -0.5055, -0.5019, -0.5103, -0.5142, -0.5268, -0.5187, -0.5161, -0.5235, -0.5107, -0.5325, -0.5242, -0.4951, -0.5176, -0.4975, -0.4882, -0.489, -0.3942, -0.362, -0.3484, -0.3012, -0.3448, -0.3649, -0.3356, -0.3271, -0.3767, -0.3741, -0.3861, -0.3601, -0.3505, -0.3462, -0.3497, -0.3317, -0.3662, -0.3662, -0.3904, -0.391, -0.3979, -0.3927, -0.4058, -0.1121, -0.1337, -0.1726, -0.1613, -0.1562, -0.1704, -0.1273, -0.1269, -0.0788, -0.0111, 0.0, 0.0504, 0.0013, -0.0009, 0.0224, 0.0415, 0.0724, 0.1676, 0.1872, 0.159, 0.0918, 0.1317, 0.2304, 0.202, 0.2566, 0.1888, 0.1673, 0.1414, 0.0523, 0.0111, -0.0327, -0.0852, -0.0152, 0.0878, 0.1635, 0.1301, 0.1605, 0.1519, 0.2135, 0.1175, 0.0254, 0.0853, 0.0152, 0.0323, 0.0199, -0.0518, -0.1247, -0.1778, -0.225, -0.2024, -0.1601, -0.1181, -0.2148, -0.2276, -0.1475, -0.1755, -0.1216, -0.1216, -0.1199, -0.071, -0.1053, -0.0824, -0.0464, -0.0905, -0.0693, -0.1057, -0.1318, -0.1254, -0.1865, -0.2473, -0.2491, -0.3001, -0.2756, -0.1701, -0.1352, -0.1648, -0.1546, -0.1546, -0.1875, -0.2019, -0.2099, -0.2235, -0.2235, -0.1656, -0.1389, -0.0701, -0.1075, -0.0974, -0.0916, -0.0044, -0.022, -0.054, -0.0363, 0.0086, 0.0086, -0.0789, -0.0828, -0.1016, -0.1234, -0.1516, -0.0921, -0.0684, -0.1196, -0.2097, -0.1822, -0.1656, -0.2357, -0.3147, -0.2013, -0.1384, -0.1485, -0.178, -0.1676, -0.0908, -0.0908, -0.0954, -0.0557, -0.0018, -0.0917, -0.0667, -0.0484, -0.0156, -0.0271, -0.1541, -0.1558, -0.1948, -0.0929, -0.1127, -0.1713, -0.1193, -0.1055, 0.0389, 0.0022, 0.0478, 0.2045, 0.0791, 0.0998]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1990660002915422322", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-18T05:55:04+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "AIデータセンター分野で最も非対称な上昇余地を持つのは $NBIS", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS as the highest asymmetric upside in AI data center; relatively insulated from credit tightening and GPU execution risks hitting other neo-cloud peers.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "ja", "tweet_text": "Thanks for sharing! 市場急落で多くの高ベータ成長資産が30〜50%下落している今、基礎が揺らがずむしろ強化された銘柄へ再配置する局面。AIデータセンター分野で最も非対称な上昇余地を持つのは  $NBIS 。\n\n信用収縮やGPU実行リスクで $IREN $CRWV  などのネオクラウド企業が影響を受けた一方、NBIS  はその懸念から相対的に隔離されている。", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "\"Nebius（ $NBIS ）は株価86.69ドルで、「ネオクラウド＆AIインフラ」の中で残された最も“純粋な非対称”の投資先だ。\n\nこれは、 $CIFR や $WULF 、あるいはコロケーション型プロバイダーが手を付けていない、最大級の売上規模を持つネオクラウド企業で、以下の問題を抱えていない：\n\n・ $IREN や $ORCL", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "yasutaketin", "ret_m1d": -0.05036445231371456, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05036445231371456, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05883312117749129, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04472983004313924, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00846866886377673, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005634622270575318, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05003312053777531, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05003312053777531, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04616992039493839, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.055578259666548724, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00386320014283692, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005545139128773413, "ret_p1w": -0.018334478079563232, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.018334478079563232, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.040968183136140035, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04060444906175309, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022633705056576803, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022269970982189857, "ret_p1m": -0.16666670879939505, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16666670879939505, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.18381616311760907, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.20244162937366383, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01714945431821402, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03577492057426879, "ret_p3m": 0.08250498282712115, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08250498282712115, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.046623708602495206, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0544132510007489, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03588127422462595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.028091731826372257, "ret_p6m": 1.289264437558833, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.289264437558833, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.1582852791065308, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.2382690045641254, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13097915845230212, "bench_c_p6m": 0.050995432994707546, "price_path": [-0.2691, -0.2381, -0.2266, -0.2216, -0.2258, -0.2043, -0.2454, -0.2454, -0.2741, -0.2749, -0.2831, -0.2769, -0.2925, 0.0572, 0.0315, -0.0149, -0.0014, 0.0046, -0.0123, 0.0391, 0.0395, 0.0969, 0.1774, 0.1906, 0.2506, 0.1922, 0.1895, 0.2174, 0.24, 0.2769, 0.3902, 0.4135, 0.3799, 0.3, 0.3475, 0.465, 0.4312, 0.4961, 0.4154, 0.3898, 0.359, 0.2529, 0.2039, 0.1518, 0.0892, 0.1725, 0.2951, 0.3854, 0.3456, 0.3817, 0.3715, 0.4449, 0.3306, 0.2209, 0.2922, 0.2087, 0.2291, 0.2144, 0.129, 0.0422, -0.0211, -0.0773, -0.0504, 0.0, 0.05, -0.0652, -0.0804, 0.015, -0.0183, 0.0458, 0.0458, 0.0478, 0.1061, 0.0653, 0.0926, 0.1354, 0.0828, 0.1081, 0.0648, 0.0337, 0.0413, -0.0315, -0.1038, -0.1059, -0.1667, -0.1375, -0.0119, 0.0297, -0.0056, 0.0065, 0.0065, -0.0326, -0.0497, -0.0593, -0.0755, -0.0755, -0.0065, 0.0253, 0.1071, 0.0626, 0.0747, 0.0816, 0.1854, 0.1645, 0.1264, 0.1474, 0.2009, 0.2009, 0.0966, 0.092, 0.0697, 0.0437, 0.0102, 0.081, 0.1092, 0.0483, -0.0591, -0.0263, -0.0065, -0.09, -0.1841, -0.049, 0.0258, 0.0138, -0.0213, -0.0089, 0.0825, 0.0825, 0.0771, 0.1244, 0.1885, 0.0815, 0.1112, 0.133, 0.1721, 0.1584, 0.0072, 0.0052, -0.0413, 0.08, 0.0564, -0.0134, 0.0486, 0.0651, 0.237, 0.1933, 0.2475, 0.4342, 0.2848, 0.3095, 0.3422, 0.2991, 0.2608, 0.2692, 0.2712, 0.1704, 0.1135, 0.019, 0.146, 0.126, 0.2019, 0.2019, 0.243, 0.2967, 0.3806, 0.5057, 0.6012, 0.7071, 0.7886, 0.8419, 0.8262, 0.7356, 0.7579, 0.7291, 0.7245, 0.7349, 0.6254, 0.6011, 0.4967, 0.5594, 0.5267, 0.7063, 0.9485, 0.943, 1.1547, 1.0408, 0.9555, 1.0554, 0.9782, 1.2893]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2001153350973448459", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-17T04:51:53+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Dec 10ths fed rate cut is incredibly bullish for risk assets from $RKlB to $NBIS medium term like 3 months out, especially when they have growing fundamentals", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish on RKIB and NBIS over ~3 months on Fed rate cut tailwind plus growing fundamentals.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’ve held the same view as before. Recent selloff is carry trade unwind from reload after boj hike and fed rate cut.\n\nCarry trade unwind is much more impactful than 3x rate cut near term.\n\nAnd now we’ve seen the result of that selloff. \n\nBut Dec 10ths fed rate cut is incredibly bullish for risk assets from $RKlB to $NBIS medium term like 3 months out, especially when they have growing fundamentals.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@Coinvo Yo sensei @aleabitoreddit, I’m curious to hear your thoughts on this; I’ve read your takes on the Japanese Yen Carry trade &amp; you seem plugged into their markets.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "platochi", "ret_m1d": 0.07289596053626002, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07289596053626002, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.061769913640945084, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06564264067564163, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011126046895314934, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00725331986061839, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03499005296792057, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03499005296792057, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.027438720390305704, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.029291001726849508, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0075513325776148665, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0056990512410710625, "ret_p1w": 0.20781976062811602, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.20781976062811602, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1765120286490418, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.18483121144126935, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.031307731979074216, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022988549186846674, "ret_p1m": 0.3768721847330805, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3768721847330805, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3427859580524917, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3701696416586826, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.034086226680588805, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006702543074397882, "ret_p3m": 0.7210074401009083, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7210074401009083, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.7215928338547761, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.7219281198232458, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0005853937538677911, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0009206797223374474, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3162, 0.4129, 0.4288, 0.5007, 0.4306, 0.4274, 0.4608, 0.488, 0.5323, 0.6683, 0.6962, 0.6559, 0.56, 0.617, 0.758, 0.7174, 0.7954, 0.6985, 0.6677, 0.6307, 0.5035, 0.4447, 0.3821, 0.3071, 0.407, 0.5541, 0.6624, 0.6147, 0.6581, 0.6459, 0.7339, 0.5967, 0.4651, 0.5507, 0.4505, 0.4749, 0.4573, 0.3548, 0.2506, 0.1747, 0.1072, 0.1396, 0.2, 0.26, 0.1218, 0.1035, 0.218, 0.178, 0.255, 0.255, 0.2574, 0.3274, 0.2783, 0.3111, 0.3625, 0.2994, 0.3298, 0.2778, 0.2404, 0.2496, 0.1622, 0.0754, 0.0729, 0.0, 0.035, 0.1857, 0.2357, 0.1932, 0.2078, 0.2078, 0.1609, 0.1404, 0.1288, 0.1094, 0.1094, 0.1922, 0.2304, 0.3286, 0.2751, 0.2896, 0.2979, 0.4225, 0.3973, 0.3516, 0.3769, 0.4411, 0.4411, 0.316, 0.3104, 0.2836, 0.2525, 0.2122, 0.2972, 0.3311, 0.2579, 0.1291, 0.1685, 0.1922, 0.092, -0.0209, 0.1412, 0.231, 0.2166, 0.1744, 0.1893, 0.299, 0.299, 0.2925, 0.3492, 0.4262, 0.2978, 0.3335, 0.3596, 0.4065, 0.3901, 0.2086, 0.2062, 0.1504, 0.296, 0.2677, 0.184, 0.2583, 0.2781, 0.4844, 0.4319, 0.497, 0.721, 0.5418, 0.5714, 0.6106, 0.5589, 0.5129, 0.523, 0.5254, 0.4045, 0.3362, 0.2228, 0.3752, 0.3512, 0.4423, 0.4423, 0.4916, 0.556, 0.6567, 0.8069, 0.9214, 1.0485, 1.1463, 1.2103, 1.1914, 1.0827, 1.1095, 1.0749, 1.0695, 1.0819, 0.9504, 0.9213, 0.796, 0.8713, 0.8321, 1.0476, 1.3382, 1.3316, 1.5857, 1.4489, 1.3466, 1.4665, 1.3739, 1.7471, 1.9311, 1.915, 1.6489, 1.6207, 1.5423, 1.9149, 1.8465, 1.8465, 1.7576, 1.7617, 1.9999, 2.0628, 2.0628, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1966800117555691903", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-13T09:44:24+00:00", "symbol": "LTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "#LTC is a potential 300% in the next few months", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long LTC 300% potential in coming months on ETF catalyst, small MC, supply constraints, and institutional adoption.", "resolved_tickers": ["LTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Heads up, #LTC is a potential 300% in the next few months.\n \n1. LTC ETF October 2nd and the front running has just begun (up 5.35% since I posted.\n\n2. Puny 8B MC with institutional adoption. \n\n3. Small amounts of LTC reserves will literally eat up majority of the supply and 5-15% of the supply is already permanently lost.\n\nI don’t post much about crypto, and the main time I did was with #ETH before it went from $1600 to $4800.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.038445793729443345, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.038445793729443345, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04374155178644723, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005295758057003885, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.01102906490955502, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01102906490955502, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012405857694836708, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0013767927852816886, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.06997325159572798, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06997325159572798, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08174318610330722, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011769934507579238, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.1442659034521474, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1442659034521474, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14904113828132615, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.004775234829178743, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.2709637961478033, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2709637961478033, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.31661402782208414, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04565023167428084, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.5267254048419365, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5267254048419365, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5572197398560506, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030494335014114027, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2524, -0.2518, -0.2714, -0.2519, -0.2547, -0.2559, -0.2592, -0.2544, -0.2443, -0.2684, -0.2327, -0.2177, -0.2365, -0.2434, -0.2293, -0.2029, -0.1668, -0.1717, -0.1601, -0.1534, -0.1431, -0.1069, -0.1064, 0.0182, 0.0522, -0.014, -0.0129, 0.0003, -0.0456, -0.0461, -0.0285, -0.0664, -0.0627, 0.0653, 0.057, 0.0485, 0.0786, 0.0887, 0.0572, 0.1466, 0.1511, 0.0661, 0.0463, 0.0345, -0.0114, 0.0197, 0.0076, 0.0792, -0.0381, -0.0025, -0.0144, -0.0002, -0.034, -0.046, -0.0185, -0.0073, -0.0236, -0.0147, -0.0094, -0.0161, 0.0333, 0.0183, 0.0384, 0.0, 0.011, 0.0286, 0.0394, 0.0031, -0.07, -0.067, -0.0718, -0.1021, -0.0803, -0.061, -0.0605, 0.0118, 0.0515, 0.0593, 0.04, 0.0289, 0.0427, 0.1068, -0.1508, -0.1249, -0.1443, -0.1615, -0.1933, -0.208, -0.1728, -0.1854, -0.1921, -0.1735, -0.1526, -0.1266, -0.1499, -0.1338, -0.1793, -0.1607, -0.2319, -0.2487, -0.2129, -0.2354, -0.1054, -0.0842, -0.1241, -0.1427, -0.1493, -0.143, -0.1981, -0.1593, -0.1838, -0.233, -0.274, -0.2488, -0.2505, -0.2365, -0.2386, -0.259, -0.3181, -0.2722, -0.2442, -0.2655, -0.2926, -0.2626, -0.2433, -0.2573, -0.271, -0.28, -0.3181, -0.3052, -0.3327, -0.3471, -0.3188, -0.3233, -0.3239, -0.3343, -0.3349, -0.3247, -0.312, -0.3078, -0.3252, -0.2983, -0.2809, -0.2655, -0.2622, -0.2826, -0.2859, -0.2849, -0.3316, -0.3134, -0.3255, -0.3661, -0.3385, -0.3784, -0.4106, -0.3987, -0.4013, -0.402, -0.3871, -0.3851, -0.3902, -0.419, -0.4257, -0.4727, -0.4791, -0.4833, -0.5545, -0.5161, -0.5219, -0.5313, -0.5409, -0.5333, -0.5159, -0.5162, -0.5263, -0.5316, -0.5372, -0.5148, -0.5495, -0.5503, -0.5019, -0.5112, -0.5207, -0.5207, -0.5186, -0.5009, -0.5125, -0.5271, -0.5279, -0.5267]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2008934638073590160", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-07T16:11:56+00:00", "symbol": "OSS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I personally think $OSS has a lot higher upside, which is why I chose OSS", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefers OSS over KRKNF on higher upside potential; holds a long position.", "resolved_tickers": ["OSS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@drakeondigital I’ve known about $KRKNF for awhile and I do like it. But I personally think $OSS has a lot higher upside, which is why I chose OSS.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit you will prob like $krknf as well", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "drakeondigital", "ret_m1d": -0.18170264919095824, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.18170264919095824, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.184936429611268, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.184936429611268, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003233780420309751, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003233780420309751, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1168996301997518, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1168996301997518, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.11700116288173756, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.11700116288173756, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00010153268198576093, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00010153268198576093, "ret_p1w": 0.48538751593042084, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.48538751593042084, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.4842564560534741, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.4842564560534741, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0011310598769467273, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0011310598769467273, "ret_p1m": 0.022871703658607467, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.022871703658607467, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.040215598047577794, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.040215598047577794, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017343894388970327, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017343894388970327, "ret_p3m": -0.019059732852432676, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.019059732852432676, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.022778033542166676, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.022778033542166676, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04183776639459935, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04183776639459935, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.291, -0.249, -0.2262, -0.1995, -0.2872, -0.3418, -0.3227, -0.3278, -0.3659, -0.3469, -0.3367, -0.3304, -0.3571, -0.3507, -0.3698, -0.3647, -0.3482, -0.4003, -0.2681, -0.3215, -0.3405, -0.31, -0.2872, -0.2961, -0.3443, -0.3507, -0.399, -0.3952, -0.4257, -0.4485, -0.4333, -0.4104, -0.4142, -0.244, -0.244, -0.2262, -0.2478, -0.2287, -0.216, -0.1665, -0.1131, -0.0635, -0.0381, -0.0178, -0.0038, -0.0381, -0.1296, -0.1131, -0.1385, -0.0889, -0.0661, -0.0775, -0.0584, -0.0813, -0.0813, -0.0864, -0.0953, -0.0915, -0.0877, -0.0877, -0.136, -0.1233, -0.1817, 0.0, 0.1169, 0.0254, 0.3278, 0.4358, 0.4854, 0.3787, 0.3545, 0.3545, 0.3698, 0.4828, 0.4409, 0.3469, 0.2859, 0.3355, 0.3164, 0.3494, 0.2567, 0.2135, 0.2122, 0.1385, 0.0229, 0.1741, 0.2262, 0.2097, 0.2008, 0.0864, 0.1055, 0.1055, 0.0521, 0.061, 0.3393, 0.2351, 0.1525, 0.169, 0.1499, 0.1601, 0.0489, 0.0959, 0.0534, 0.0661, 0.0775, 0.0686, 0.1309, 0.1982, 0.2592, 0.2897, 0.2808, 0.2973, 0.3583, 0.4282, 0.305, 0.1207, 0.1703, 0.1487, 0.1537, 0.0851, -0.026, -0.0839, -0.0381, -0.0775, -0.0292, -0.0292, -0.0191, -0.0318, 0.0127, -0.0051, -0.0089, 0.1258, 0.1131, 0.249, 0.2402, 0.2605, 0.2859, 0.2618, 0.3215, 0.2427, 0.2338, 0.2643, 0.1779, 0.1169, 0.2058, 0.2745, 0.2402, 0.2414, 0.9479, 0.9187, 0.9924, 1.0229, 0.9759, 1.0152, 1.1906, 1.0928, 1.0318, 0.9581, 0.9936, 1.0978, 1.2656, 1.2656, 1.216, 1.2313, 1.2757, 1.31, 1.31, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1965774785943888031", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-10T13:50:05+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSM will probably rally to $1.8T market cap, so try and find a good dip if you're tagging along", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long TSM via LEAPS (~$300k), targets $1.8T market cap; advises buying dips.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "These were the exact strikes I bought yesterday if you were curious. I was cost averaging, but probably scaling it to $300k worth of leaps \n\n$TSM will probably rally to $1.8T market cap, so try and find a good dip if you’re tagging along. https://t.co/xyvc7WdSU7", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$TSM is a screaming buy.\n\nLook at $NVDA rally -&gt; $AVGO rally -&gt; this will flow into TSM.\n\n$1.3T -&gt; $1.8T given all the backlogs from Oracle/NBIS, etc. after reading all earnings.\n\nI almost never buy calls aside from $GOOG back at $150. But IV is decent ~32 and it’s such a great https://t.co/k5hrCe9P8w", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03655356677459942, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03655356677459942, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03367104544471544, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03367104544471544, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028825213298839802, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0028825213298839802, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005874701480938271, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005874701480938271, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.014184871836882329, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.014184871836882329, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008310170355944058, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008310170355944058, "ret_p1w": 0.012206467336799198, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.012206467336799198, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0015197245377702728, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0015197245377702728, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010686742799028925, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010686742799028925, "ret_p1m": 0.15506857443075273, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.15506857443075273, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12316057426616123, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12316057426616123, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0319080001645915, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0319080001645915, "ret_p3m": 0.16273347426250062, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.16273347426250062, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11165283312588326, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.11165283312588326, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.051080641136617366, "bench_c_p3m": 0.051080641136617366, "ret_p6m": 0.3666665681699046, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3666665681699046, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.31605761748958683, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.31605761748958683, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05060895068031779, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05060895068031779, "price_path": [-0.1894, -0.1719, -0.1787, -0.1802, -0.1802, -0.1956, -0.1924, -0.1549, -0.1448, -0.1399, -0.1224, -0.1304, -0.1373, -0.1031, -0.0984, -0.0984, -0.1201, -0.1251, -0.1098, -0.1178, -0.1153, -0.122, -0.0902, -0.0879, -0.057, -0.0769, -0.0829, -0.0992, -0.0772, -0.0723, -0.057, -0.0679, -0.0734, -0.0673, -0.0723, -0.0969, -0.0823, -0.1074, -0.1116, -0.0684, -0.0715, -0.0705, -0.062, -0.073, -0.0746, -0.0828, -0.0731, -0.1065, -0.1223, -0.1271, -0.1054, -0.0954, -0.0834, -0.0812, -0.0851, -0.1135, -0.1135, -0.1231, -0.1115, -0.0969, -0.0654, -0.0509, -0.0366, 0.0, -0.0059, -0.0043, 0.0036, 0.0094, 0.0122, 0.0347, 0.0202, 0.0501, 0.0889, 0.0812, 0.0656, 0.0529, 0.0524, 0.0758, 0.1111, 0.1097, 0.1254, 0.1648, 0.1325, 0.1729, 0.1551, 0.081, 0.1667, 0.1399, 0.1737, 0.1549, 0.1366, 0.1467, 0.1344, 0.1127, 0.1198, 0.1361, 0.1488, 0.1614, 0.1751, 0.1679, 0.1572, 0.1743, 0.1326, 0.131, 0.1141, 0.1035, 0.1373, 0.1215, 0.1194, 0.087, 0.0971, 0.0862, 0.0704, 0.0876, 0.0689, 0.0595, 0.0964, 0.0965, 0.1169, 0.1169, 0.1228, 0.1081, 0.1251, 0.138, 0.1283, 0.1352, 0.1627, 0.1687, 0.1946, 0.1774, 0.1279, 0.1113, 0.1079, 0.0697, 0.0995, 0.116, 0.1327, 0.1469, 0.154, 0.154, 0.1696, 0.1622, 0.157, 0.1737, 0.1737, 0.2344, 0.2446, 0.2646, 0.2308, 0.2282, 0.2499, 0.2814, 0.2792, 0.2634, 0.3195, 0.3224, 0.3224, 0.2635, 0.2595, 0.2644, 0.2933, 0.285, 0.3067, 0.322, 0.3114, 0.2767, 0.3184, 0.2967, 0.2581, 0.2773, 0.3473, 0.3727, 0.3978, 0.4448, 0.4217, 0.4149, 0.4149, 0.4066, 0.3991, 0.3919, 0.4311, 0.4292, 0.4898, 0.4975, 0.4553, 0.4467, 0.4256, 0.3638, 0.3805, 0.3667]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1985739286449459218", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-04T16:01:53+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS has stupidly high forward earnings to back up fundamentals so it's just a waiting game", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Buying opportunity in NBIS; macro-driven selloff with no stock-specific news, strong forward earnings back the fundamentals.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@John12321043976 @DeepValueBagger This is just macro, not happened to the individual stock so it’s a buying opportunity.\n\nMost high beta names without any news are down today. But difference is $NBIS has stupidly high forward earnings to back up fundamentals so it’s just a waiting game", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @DeepValueBagger NBIS getting cooked today, is this another retail shakeout?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "John12321043976", "ret_m1d": 0.0898317371352666, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0898317371352666, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0778360053064473, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08291746244766385, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0119957318288193, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0069142746876027505, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05844037480521891, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05844037480521891, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05497498560822267, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05303301204402855, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003465389196996238, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00540736276119036, "ret_p1w": -0.07526686833648766, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07526686833648766, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08675898651006819, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08758843771933722, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011492118173580534, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012321569382849562, "ret_p1m": -0.10512034241307655, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10512034241307655, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11793058296950243, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.125685922758627, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012810240556425878, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02056558034555045, "ret_p3m": -0.22932873407060217, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22932873407060217, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2571331167093486, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2972194079132343, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.027804382638746405, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06789067384263214, "ret_p6m": 0.2772752060071093, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2772752060071093, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2174569032687601, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.24871092435976383, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.059818302738349205, "bench_c_p6m": 0.02856428164734548, "price_path": [-0.4092, -0.3778, -0.3646, -0.3185, -0.361, -0.3807, -0.3521, -0.3438, -0.3922, -0.3896, -0.4013, -0.376, -0.3666, -0.3624, -0.3658, -0.3483, -0.3819, -0.3819, -0.4055, -0.4061, -0.4128, -0.4077, -0.4205, -0.1341, -0.1551, -0.1931, -0.1821, -0.1771, -0.191, -0.1489, -0.1485, -0.1016, -0.0356, -0.0248, 0.0243, -0.0235, -0.0257, -0.0029, 0.0157, 0.0459, 0.1387, 0.1578, 0.1303, 0.0648, 0.1037, 0.1999, 0.1722, 0.2254, 0.1593, 0.1383, 0.1131, 0.0262, -0.0139, -0.0566, -0.1078, -0.0396, 0.0608, 0.1347, 0.1021, 0.1317, 0.1234, 0.1835, 0.0898, 0.0, 0.0584, -0.01, 0.0067, -0.0053, -0.0753, -0.1464, -0.1982, -0.2443, -0.2222, -0.1809, -0.1399, -0.2343, -0.2468, -0.1686, -0.1959, -0.1434, -0.1434, -0.1418, -0.094, -0.1275, -0.1051, -0.07, -0.1131, -0.0924, -0.1278, -0.1533, -0.1471, -0.2067, -0.266, -0.2677, -0.3174, -0.2936, -0.1907, -0.1566, -0.1855, -0.1756, -0.1756, -0.2076, -0.2216, -0.2295, -0.2428, -0.2428, -0.1863, -0.1602, -0.0932, -0.1296, -0.1198, -0.1141, -0.029, -0.0462, -0.0774, -0.0602, -0.0164, -0.0164, -0.1018, -0.1056, -0.1238, -0.1451, -0.1726, -0.1146, -0.0915, -0.1414, -0.2293, -0.2025, -0.1863, -0.2547, -0.3317, -0.2211, -0.1598, -0.1696, -0.1984, -0.1883, -0.1134, -0.1134, -0.1178, -0.0791, -0.0265, -0.1142, -0.0898, -0.072, -0.04, -0.0512, -0.175, -0.1767, -0.2148, -0.1154, -0.1347, -0.1919, -0.1411, -0.1276, 0.0132, -0.0226, 0.0218, 0.1747, 0.0524, 0.0726, 0.0993, 0.064, 0.0327, 0.0395, 0.0412, -0.0413, -0.0879, -0.1654, -0.0613, -0.0777, -0.0156, -0.0156, 0.0181, 0.0621, 0.1308, 0.2333, 0.3115, 0.3982, 0.465, 0.5087, 0.4957, 0.4216, 0.4398, 0.4162, 0.4125, 0.421, 0.3313, 0.3114, 0.2259, 0.2773]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1986883096692830292", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-07T19:46:59+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "companies where fundamentals are in tact (eg. $CIFR, $NBIS, $TSM, $HOOD, $RDDT) would recover", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "After broad selloff, expects fundamentals-intact names CIFR, NBIS, TSM, HOOD, RDDT to recover while speculative no-revenue stocks stay down.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Pretty disgusting correction across the board.\n\nLast 5 days for high-beta growth stocks:\n\n• $SMCI -26.11%\n• $RKLB -19.85%\n• $CRCL -19.81%\n• $NBIS -19.14%\n• $WYFI -18.55%\n• $ALAB -16.64%\n• $CRDO -16.8%\n• $HOOD -14.36%\n• $ASTS -14.09%\n• $IREN -13.22%\n• $AMD -11.63%\n• $CIFR -10.05%\n• $RDDT -9.00%\n\nSpeculative no revenue stocks like ( $RGTI -27.33%, $QBUT -25.5%, $QBTS -25.43%, $OKLO -17.04% etc), had larger corrections across the board. \n\nWhen the government reopens, I’d expect many of the speculative names to stay down, while companies where fundamentals are in tact (eg. $CIFR, $NBIS, $TSM, $HOOD, $RDDT) would recover. \n\nCurrent Contract Market data:\nNov 12th-15th: 22%\nNov 15th: 49% (~half chance sometime in the next week)\nNov 30th: 92%\n\nGreat time to position into higher-beta stocks during large corrections, (if fundamentals are in-tact), especially when we're in the extreme-fear part of markets and there's 75%+ of a third rate cut next month.\n\nBroad selloffs like these are also why you don't do short dated options <30dte, even if you are correct on earnings like $SNAP or $CIFR.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Ignore the noise and hold positions/add in market winners.\n\nYou have:\n\n- Insane forward revenue growth from Neoclouds like $NBIS, $IREN, $CIFR\n- Record high CapEX projections from Mag7 earnings like $META to $MSFT\n- Record high forward revenue projections + margin growth from https://t.co/kz4KfhAZhQ", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04929910701239604, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04929910701239604, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.050282646291895605, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04582878528283807, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009835392794995679, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003470321729557968, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05026587185512188, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05026587185512188, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06587021516311631, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0758420516721181, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015604343307994428, "bench_c_p1d": 0.025576179816996225, "ret_p1w": -0.30594493542717005, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.30594493542717005, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.3073757376159315, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.3059103150439203, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0014308021887614597, "bench_c_p1w": -3.4620383249750475e-05, "ret_p1m": -0.05848240505501767, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05848240505501767, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0773506972434872, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08312160437688298, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018868292188469526, "bench_c_p1m": 0.024639199321865313, "ret_p3m": -0.31126149675331294, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.31126149675331294, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3369670839535248, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.27134961093855836, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025705587200211877, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03991188581475458, "ret_p6m": -0.13533112963434313, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13533112963434313, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.21153186679021752, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2631600981444495, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07620073715587439, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1278289685101064, "price_path": [-0.7719, -0.7632, -0.7429, -0.7482, -0.7076, -0.7216, -0.7124, 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{"unit_id": "quote:1986883096692830292", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-07T19:46:59+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "companies where fundamentals are in tact (eg. $CIFR, $NBIS, $TSM, $HOOD, $RDDT) would recover", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "After broad selloff, expects fundamentals-intact names CIFR, NBIS, TSM, HOOD, RDDT to recover while speculative no-revenue stocks stay down.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Pretty disgusting correction across the board.\n\nLast 5 days for high-beta growth stocks:\n\n• $SMCI -26.11%\n• $RKLB -19.85%\n• $CRCL -19.81%\n• $NBIS -19.14%\n• $WYFI -18.55%\n• $ALAB -16.64%\n• $CRDO -16.8%\n• $HOOD -14.36%\n• $ASTS -14.09%\n• $IREN -13.22%\n• $AMD -11.63%\n• $CIFR -10.05%\n• $RDDT -9.00%\n\nSpeculative no revenue stocks like ( $RGTI -27.33%, $QBUT -25.5%, $QBTS -25.43%, $OKLO -17.04% etc), had larger corrections across the board. \n\nWhen the government reopens, I’d expect many of the speculative names to stay down, while companies where fundamentals are in tact (eg. $CIFR, $NBIS, $TSM, $HOOD, $RDDT) would recover. \n\nCurrent Contract Market data:\nNov 12th-15th: 22%\nNov 15th: 49% (~half chance sometime in the next week)\nNov 30th: 92%\n\nGreat time to position into higher-beta stocks during large corrections, (if fundamentals are in-tact), especially when we're in the extreme-fear part of markets and there's 75%+ of a third rate cut next month.\n\nBroad selloffs like these are also why you don't do short dated options <30dte, even if you are correct on earnings like $SNAP or $CIFR.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Ignore the noise and hold positions/add in market winners.\n\nYou have:\n\n- Insane forward revenue growth from Neoclouds like $NBIS, $IREN, $CIFR\n- Record high CapEX projections from Mag7 earnings like $META to $MSFT\n- Record high forward revenue projections + margin growth from https://t.co/kz4KfhAZhQ", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01653483427457536, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01653483427457536, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015551294995075793, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019121531471761766, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009835392794995679, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002586697197186405, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011951849799104464, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011951849799104464, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.027556193107098892, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.022388019259927283, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015604343307994428, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01043616946082282, "ret_p1w": -0.24928107627666896, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.24928107627666896, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2507118784654304, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.24232362996945367, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0014308021887614597, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006957446307215287, "ret_p1m": -0.09840040499963942, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09840040499963942, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11726869718810895, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1354176329358321, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018868292188469526, "bench_c_p1m": 0.037017227936192665, "ret_p3m": -0.25961538197844847, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.25961538197844847, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.28532096917866034, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3048221396777887, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025705587200211877, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04520675769934024, "ret_p6m": 0.5853702381758781, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5853702381758781, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5091695010200037, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5431122207638381, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07620073715587439, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04225801741203994, "price_path": [-0.3231, -0.3653, -0.3848, -0.3564, -0.3481, -0.3962, -0.3937, -0.4053, 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{"unit_id": "quote:1986883096692830292", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-11-07T19:46:59+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "companies where fundamentals are in tact (eg. $CIFR, $NBIS, $TSM, $HOOD, $RDDT) would recover", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "After broad selloff, expects fundamentals-intact names CIFR, NBIS, TSM, HOOD, RDDT to recover while speculative no-revenue stocks stay down.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Pretty disgusting correction across the board.\n\nLast 5 days for high-beta growth stocks:\n\n• $SMCI -26.11%\n• $RKLB -19.85%\n• $CRCL -19.81%\n• $NBIS -19.14%\n• $WYFI -18.55%\n• $ALAB -16.64%\n• $CRDO -16.8%\n• $HOOD -14.36%\n• $ASTS -14.09%\n• $IREN -13.22%\n• $AMD -11.63%\n• $CIFR -10.05%\n• $RDDT -9.00%\n\nSpeculative no revenue stocks like ( $RGTI -27.33%, $QBUT -25.5%, $QBTS -25.43%, $OKLO -17.04% etc), had larger corrections across the board. \n\nWhen the government reopens, I’d expect many of the speculative names to stay down, while companies where fundamentals are in tact (eg. $CIFR, $NBIS, $TSM, $HOOD, $RDDT) would recover. \n\nCurrent Contract Market data:\nNov 12th-15th: 22%\nNov 15th: 49% (~half chance sometime in the next week)\nNov 30th: 92%\n\nGreat time to position into higher-beta stocks during large corrections, (if fundamentals are in-tact), especially when we're in the extreme-fear part of markets and there's 75%+ of a third rate cut next month.\n\nBroad selloffs like these are also why you don't do short dated options <30dte, even if you are correct on earnings like $SNAP or $CIFR.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Ignore the noise and hold positions/add in market winners.\n\nYou have:\n\n- Insane forward revenue growth from Neoclouds like $NBIS, $IREN, $CIFR\n- Record high CapEX projections from Mag7 earnings like $META to $MSFT\n- Record high forward revenue projections + margin growth from https://t.co/kz4KfhAZhQ", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.009563594206276393, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.009563594206276393, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010547133485775961, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.010547133485775961, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009835392794995679, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0009835392794995679, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.030610677636720096, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.030610677636720096, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.015006334328725668, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015006334328725668, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015604343307994428, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015604343307994428, "ret_p1w": -0.005863900275565159, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.005863900275565159, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.007294702464326619, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.007294702464326619, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0014308021887614597, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0014308021887614597, "ret_p1m": 0.0536473828162487, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0536473828162487, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.034779090627779174, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.034779090627779174, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018868292188469526, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018868292188469526, "ret_p3m": 0.14003269765975235, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.14003269765975235, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11432711045954047, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.11432711045954047, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025705587200211877, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025705587200211877, "ret_p6m": 0.40952490711671086, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.40952490711671086, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.33332416996083647, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.33332416996083647, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07620073715587439, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07620073715587439, "price_path": [-0.15, -0.1599, -0.1615, -0.1688, -0.16, -0.1903, -0.2046, -0.209, -0.1893, -0.1803, -0.1694, -0.1674, 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{"unit_id": "quote:1986883096692830292", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-11-07T19:46:59+00:00", "symbol": "HOOD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "companies where fundamentals are in tact (eg. $CIFR, $NBIS, $TSM, $HOOD, $RDDT) would recover", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "After broad selloff, expects fundamentals-intact names CIFR, NBIS, TSM, HOOD, RDDT to recover while speculative no-revenue stocks stay down.", "resolved_tickers": ["HOOD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Pretty disgusting correction across the board.\n\nLast 5 days for high-beta growth stocks:\n\n• $SMCI -26.11%\n• $RKLB -19.85%\n• $CRCL -19.81%\n• $NBIS -19.14%\n• $WYFI -18.55%\n• $ALAB -16.64%\n• $CRDO -16.8%\n• $HOOD -14.36%\n• $ASTS -14.09%\n• $IREN -13.22%\n• $AMD -11.63%\n• $CIFR -10.05%\n• $RDDT -9.00%\n\nSpeculative no revenue stocks like ( $RGTI -27.33%, $QBUT -25.5%, $QBTS -25.43%, $OKLO -17.04% etc), had larger corrections across the board. \n\nWhen the government reopens, I’d expect many of the speculative names to stay down, while companies where fundamentals are in tact (eg. $CIFR, $NBIS, $TSM, $HOOD, $RDDT) would recover. \n\nCurrent Contract Market data:\nNov 12th-15th: 22%\nNov 15th: 49% (~half chance sometime in the next week)\nNov 30th: 92%\n\nGreat time to position into higher-beta stocks during large corrections, (if fundamentals are in-tact), especially when we're in the extreme-fear part of markets and there's 75%+ of a third rate cut next month.\n\nBroad selloffs like these are also why you don't do short dated options <30dte, even if you are correct on earnings like $SNAP or $CIFR.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Ignore the noise and hold positions/add in market winners.\n\nYou have:\n\n- Insane forward revenue growth from Neoclouds like $NBIS, $IREN, $CIFR\n- Record high CapEX projections from Mag7 earnings like $META to $MSFT\n- Record high forward revenue projections + margin growth from https://t.co/kz4KfhAZhQ", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.025161082877721452, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.025161082877721452, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.024177543598221884, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.018150936025496778, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009835392794995679, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007010146852224675, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04234430996176752, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04234430996176752, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.026739966653773095, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.038744392514703296, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015604343307994428, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003599917447064227, "ret_p1w": -0.06029457328590582, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06029457328590582, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06172537547466728, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0540422308900963, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0014308021887614597, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006252342395809518, "ret_p1m": 0.04656330191016966, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04656330191016966, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.027695009721700137, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03330066686041233, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018868292188469526, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013262635049757332, "ret_p3m": -0.38155874218229946, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.38155874218229946, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.40726432938251134, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4074889225485081, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025705587200211877, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025930180366208644, "ret_p6m": -0.41277997320230786, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.41277997320230786, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.48898071035818225, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3985008085382886, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07620073715587439, "bench_c_p6m": -0.01427916466401924, "price_path": [-0.1248, -0.1668, -0.1507, -0.1242, -0.1177, -0.1754, -0.1919, -0.1846, -0.1614, -0.172, 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{"unit_id": "quote:1986883096692830292", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-11-07T19:46:59+00:00", "symbol": "RDDT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "companies where fundamentals are in tact (eg. $CIFR, $NBIS, $TSM, $HOOD, $RDDT) would recover", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "After broad selloff, expects fundamentals-intact names CIFR, NBIS, TSM, HOOD, RDDT to recover while speculative no-revenue stocks stay down.", "resolved_tickers": ["RDDT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Pretty disgusting correction across the board.\n\nLast 5 days for high-beta growth stocks:\n\n• $SMCI -26.11%\n• $RKLB -19.85%\n• $CRCL -19.81%\n• $NBIS -19.14%\n• $WYFI -18.55%\n• $ALAB -16.64%\n• $CRDO -16.8%\n• $HOOD -14.36%\n• $ASTS -14.09%\n• $IREN -13.22%\n• $AMD -11.63%\n• $CIFR -10.05%\n• $RDDT -9.00%\n\nSpeculative no revenue stocks like ( $RGTI -27.33%, $QBUT -25.5%, $QBTS -25.43%, $OKLO -17.04% etc), had larger corrections across the board. \n\nWhen the government reopens, I’d expect many of the speculative names to stay down, while companies where fundamentals are in tact (eg. $CIFR, $NBIS, $TSM, $HOOD, $RDDT) would recover. \n\nCurrent Contract Market data:\nNov 12th-15th: 22%\nNov 15th: 49% (~half chance sometime in the next week)\nNov 30th: 92%\n\nGreat time to position into higher-beta stocks during large corrections, (if fundamentals are in-tact), especially when we're in the extreme-fear part of markets and there's 75%+ of a third rate cut next month.\n\nBroad selloffs like these are also why you don't do short dated options <30dte, even if you are correct on earnings like $SNAP or $CIFR.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Ignore the noise and hold positions/add in market winners.\n\nYou have:\n\n- Insane forward revenue growth from Neoclouds like $NBIS, $IREN, $CIFR\n- Record high CapEX projections from Mag7 earnings like $META to $MSFT\n- Record high forward revenue projections + margin growth from https://t.co/kz4KfhAZhQ", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05622367323701116, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05622367323701116, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.055240133957511595, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05881037043419757, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0009835392794995679, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002586697197186405, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04938842902620344, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04938842902620344, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03378408571820901, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03895225956538062, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015604343307994428, "bench_c_p1d": 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{"unit_id": "reply:2003083807273152736", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-22T12:42:49+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LITE is in the goldilocks moment where every single GOOGL TPU + hyperscaler ASIC + NVDA blackwell depends on it. Right now they're supply constrained from demand. Nobody will likely replace them next few years at least", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long LITE: monopoly on OCS photonics, supply-constrained, every major AI chip depends on it, no near-term competitive threat.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$LITE is in the goldilocks moment where every single GOOGL TPU + hyperscaler ASIC + NVDA blackwell depends on it.\n\nRight now they're supply constrained from demand (similar to Micron). \n\nFrom what I understand, photonics right now is a duopoly ( $COHR and Lite). \n\nHowever, for OCS, which is what Google TPU architecture uses for better performance, $LITE is a monopoly from their patent portfolio + tech. If $MSFT, $AMZN end up adopting OCS, it's just a holy moment for LITE. \n\nHyperscaler vertical intergration of InP fabs is just way too difficult near term. Nobody will likely replace them next few years at least (maybe 2027-2028 increasing competion from $AVGO) but as of now, they're just supply constrained right now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $LITE is already on the market for more than 10 years so I assume they have a certain production capacity atm, how easily can they scale up production? \n\nAnd how protected is their monopoly? There will be other firms that will try do to the same thing or hyperscalers who want to", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Kaizen_Investor", "ret_m1d": -0.04732228371797842, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04732228371797842, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04113096270264427, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04113096270264427, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006335285702701143, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006335285702701143, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010905740521134022, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010905740521134022, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "ret_p1w": -0.044295730263061106, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.044295730263061106, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04870550153834863, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04870550153834863, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "ret_p1m": -0.08476971862273575, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08476971862273575, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07418310393722505, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07418310393722505, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "ret_p3m": 0.9804298635804474, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.9804298635804474, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.016979113890733, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.016979113890733, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6082, -0.5919, -0.5877, -0.583, -0.5827, -0.5604, -0.5646, -0.5798, -0.5881, -0.5969, -0.5817, -0.5902, -0.6163, -0.5882, -0.5979, -0.5984, -0.5813, -0.5774, -0.5871, -0.5821, -0.5946, -0.5678, -0.5401, -0.5029, -0.4912, -0.4504, -0.4867, -0.483, -0.4881, -0.5169, -0.403, -0.3852, -0.3841, -0.3334, -0.3524, -0.349, -0.4181, -0.4046, -0.3791, -0.3654, -0.3102, -0.4018, -0.3444, -0.2322, -0.2529, -0.2093, -0.2093, -0.166, -0.1845, -0.2233, -0.2229, -0.1591, -0.15, -0.1214, -0.0758, -0.0612, -0.0456, -0.1681, -0.1416, -0.1891, -0.1786, -0.1353, -0.0473, 0.0, -0.0063, 0.0155, 0.0155, 0.0023, -0.0443, -0.048, -0.0546, -0.0546, -0.0097, -0.0842, 0.0193, 0.0077, -0.1068, -0.0986, -0.1283, -0.0732, -0.1494, -0.1195, -0.1683, -0.1683, -0.0848, -0.0704, -0.0908, -0.13, -0.1473, -0.0493, -0.0125, -0.0216, 0.005, 0.086, 0.116, 0.1941, 0.2938, 0.4158, 0.4803, 0.4392, 0.4725, 0.4965, 0.4434, 0.4434, 0.54, 0.5242, 0.6303, 0.7128, 0.7306, 0.7653, 0.8554, 0.7364, 0.7978, 1.009, 0.7811, 0.7462, 0.6693, 0.4323, 0.6433, 0.7236, 0.7236, 0.5802, 0.5966, 0.6026, 0.6661, 0.7975, 0.9804, 0.8117, 0.8697, 1.057, 0.9934, 0.7667, 0.8024, 0.6795, 0.8025, 0.9612, 1.1209, 1.1209, 0.9808, 1.0923, 1.2982, 1.2933, 1.3015, 1.2345, 1.1873, 1.1135, 1.2859, 1.2932, 1.2959, 1.1466, 1.2407, 1.1722, 1.2613, 1.205, 1.0298, 1.2015, 1.3144, 1.4365, 1.5038, 1.5509, 1.422, 1.2894, 1.3181, 1.7011, 1.5453, 1.6428, 1.5695, 1.4897, 1.2699, 1.283, 1.2265, 1.4738, 1.4287, 1.4287, 1.3361, 1.3143, 1.2074, 1.1929, 1.1929, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1968601569420583166", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-18T09:02:43+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "3 rate cuts = strong tailwind for 42% short interest squeeze. Growth stocks usually perform better in those environments", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish HIMS: 3 rate cuts provide tailwind for short squeeze given 42% short interest, and growth stocks benefit in lower-rate environments.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@mattia030339 Yeah definitely. 3 rate cuts = strong tailwind for 42% short interest squeeze. \n\nGrowth stocks usually perform better in those environments", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit can $HIMS benefit from this as well?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mattia030339", "ret_m1d": -0.10409256600359496, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10409256600359496, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0994418510716567, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0994418510716567, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004650714931938249, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004650714931938249, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02882560337887141, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02882560337887141, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.023872728603539395, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.023872728603539395, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004952874775332017, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004952874775332017, "ret_p1w": -0.023665512686820933, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.023665512686820933, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02006329519976846, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02006329519976846, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0036022174870524726, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0036022174870524726, "ret_p1m": -0.11423490919018253, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11423490919018253, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12023256366394197, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12023256366394197, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0059976544737594395, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0059976544737594395, "ret_p3m": -0.3441281119224018, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3441281119224018, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3720508973026613, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3720508973026613, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.027922785380259496, "bench_c_p3m": 0.027922785380259496, "ret_p6m": -0.5592526668772216, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5592526668772216, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5650337626197884, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5650337626197884, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0057810957425668, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0057810957425668, "price_path": [-0.253, -0.2358, -0.2632, -0.1765, -0.1208, -0.113, -0.1466, -0.1555, -0.1463, -0.1463, -0.1384, -0.1288, -0.0883, -0.1055, -0.1479, -0.0742, -0.1021, -0.0774, -0.1105, -0.1036, -0.153, -0.1101, 0.0324, 0.0199, 0.0258, 0.0441, 0.0724, 0.166, 0.1776, 0.113, 0.1272, -0.0121, -0.0902, -0.0916, -0.0758, -0.1107, -0.1466, -0.14, -0.1614, -0.1811, -0.1975, -0.2495, -0.2281, -0.2178, -0.2069, -0.2351, -0.1931, -0.2169, -0.2149, -0.2464, -0.2464, -0.261, -0.2089, -0.144, -0.1386, -0.1167, -0.1496, -0.1498, -0.079, -0.0125, -0.0399, -0.0945, -0.1041, 0.0, 0.0288, 0.0267, -0.0036, -0.0525, -0.0237, 0.0391, 0.052, 0.0093, 0.002, 0.0297, -0.0651, -0.0256, 0.0315, 0.0351, 0.0365, -0.04, -0.0262, -0.0388, 0.1167, 0.0525, -0.1142, -0.0861, -0.1217, -0.1555, -0.1372, -0.132, -0.1418, -0.1616, -0.1703, -0.216, -0.1911, -0.2101, -0.2386, -0.2219, -0.2612, -0.2699, -0.2696, -0.2927, -0.3057, -0.3585, -0.342, -0.3669, -0.3548, -0.3625, -0.4018, -0.3824, -0.3278, -0.34, -0.3167, -0.3167, -0.2925, -0.3326, -0.3539, -0.3404, -0.2879, -0.3025, -0.3039, -0.2915, -0.326, -0.3279, -0.3379, -0.355, -0.3441, -0.3778, -0.3813, -0.3673, -0.3763, -0.3808, -0.3831, -0.3831, -0.3895, -0.3932, -0.4121, -0.4222, -0.4222, -0.4055, -0.3824, -0.369, -0.369, -0.3973, -0.4361, -0.4246, -0.427, -0.4427, -0.4443, -0.4416, -0.4416, -0.4578, -0.4859, -0.4569, -0.473, -0.4612, -0.4719, -0.4899, -0.4685, -0.518, -0.5295, -0.5456, -0.5658, -0.5822, -0.5904, -0.656, -0.6932, -0.703, -0.7189, -0.71, -0.71, -0.7105, -0.7181, -0.7185, -0.7219, -0.724, -0.7249, -0.7185, -0.7224, -0.7416, -0.7068, -0.7185, -0.7073, -0.7174, -0.7199, -0.6057, -0.5824, -0.5395, -0.5758, -0.5593]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1995124759936582081", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-30T13:36:25+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS commands an additional revenue premium and ends up with the highest gross margin normalization because of added software on top. That is moat.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NBIS: software-driven orchestration creates a durable revenue premium and highest gross margin normalization — a genuine moat vs bare-metal IaaS peers.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So you skipped over my reply.\n\nThere are overlaps in $NBIS, $IREN customer base, but the nuance you’re missing is orchestration on the infrastructure level leads to better opex and margins.\n\nTo help explain it simpler terms $NBIS commands an additional revenue premium and ends up with the highest gross margin normalization because of added software on top. That is moat.\n\nOn the iaas layer, bare-metal GPU delivery what $IREN does, still requires software for increasing margins and optimizing opex and this is a major difference as well. It’s software at the infrastructure level, not platform services.  \n\nWhen you combine that iaas layer and don’t have opex optimized, and port middleware that take fees (eg. Poolside) on top, that’s where margins start to show.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit People keep talking about ‘software moats,’ but IREN and Nebius don’t even serve the same type of customers. Nebius builds PaaS for teams that need orchestration. IREN sells GPU IaaS to AI Natives who already run far more advanced orchestration on their own", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "GyujinAAIG", "ret_m1d": -0.052720905630066484, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.052720905630066484, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05730735049238922, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.057422753442149754, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004701847812083271, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.036944628270231594, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.036944628270231594, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.038796927944310666, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04025331122801734, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003308682957785747, "ret_p1w": 0.0017973070637373745, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0017973070637373745, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.003141948190520605, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01047963228719273, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012276939350930105, "ret_p1m": -0.1495756677853144, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1495756677853144, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16246777457768147, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.18286213217720948, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03328646439189509, "ret_p3m": 0.047229112885403435, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.047229112885403435, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.030960854270874583, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.027656878277190877, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "bench_c_p3m": 0.019572234608212558, "ret_p6m": 1.0774837183085886, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.0774837183085886, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.9678303387279186, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.0649106695834534, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "bench_c_p6m": 0.012573048725135205, "price_path": [-0.3445, -0.3519, -0.3463, -0.3604, -0.0442, -0.0675, -0.1094, -0.0973, -0.0918, -0.107, -0.0606, -0.0602, -0.0084, 0.0644, 0.0764, 0.1306, 0.0778, 0.0754, 0.1005, 0.121, 0.1544, 0.2568, 0.2779, 0.2475, 0.1752, 0.2182, 0.3244, 0.2939, 0.3526, 0.2796, 0.2564, 0.2286, 0.1327, 0.0884, 0.0412, -0.0153, 0.06, 0.1708, 0.2524, 0.2165, 0.2491, 0.2399, 0.3062, 0.2029, 0.1037, 0.1682, 0.0928, 0.1111, 0.0979, 0.0207, -0.0578, -0.115, -0.1659, -0.1415, -0.096, -0.0507, -0.1549, -0.1686, -0.0824, -0.1125, -0.0545, -0.0545, -0.0527, 0.0, -0.0369, -0.0123, 0.0265, -0.0211, 0.0018, -0.0373, -0.0655, -0.0586, -0.1244, -0.1898, -0.1917, -0.2466, -0.2203, -0.1067, -0.0691, -0.101, -0.0901, -0.0901, -0.1254, -0.1409, -0.1496, -0.1642, -0.1642, -0.1018, -0.0731, 0.0009, -0.0393, -0.0285, -0.0222, 0.0717, 0.0527, 0.0183, 0.0373, 0.0857, 0.0857, -0.0086, -0.0128, -0.033, -0.0564, -0.0868, -0.0228, 0.0028, -0.0523, -0.1494, -0.1197, -0.1018, -0.1773, -0.2624, -0.1403, -0.0726, -0.0835, -0.1152, -0.104, -0.0214, -0.0214, -0.0263, 0.0165, 0.0745, -0.0223, 0.0046, 0.0243, 0.0596, 0.0472, -0.0895, -0.0913, -0.1333, -0.0237, -0.0449, -0.108, -0.052, -0.0371, 0.1183, 0.0788, 0.1278, 0.2966, 0.1616, 0.1838, 0.2134, 0.1744, 0.1398, 0.1474, 0.1492, 0.0581, 0.0067, -0.0788, 0.036, 0.018, 0.0866, 0.0866, 0.1237, 0.1722, 0.2481, 0.3613, 0.4475, 0.5433, 0.617, 0.6652, 0.6509, 0.569, 0.5892, 0.5632, 0.5591, 0.5684, 0.4694, 0.4474, 0.3531, 0.4098, 0.3802, 0.5426, 0.7616, 0.7566, 0.948, 0.8449, 0.7678, 0.8582, 0.7884, 1.0696, 1.2082, 1.1961, 0.9956, 0.9743, 0.9153, 1.196, 1.1445, 1.1445, 1.0775]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2009429709860507753", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-09T00:59:10+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "A $1.3B company bottlenecking the entire AI buildout looks cheap to me. I do expect an extremely large price squeeze which just increases the bottom line of $AXTI", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long AXTI: InP/indium phosphide is the next AI buildout bottleneck; hyperscalers desperate for allocation; $1.3B company looks cheap given TAM squeeze potential.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Standard modeling like NTM breaks when there's extremely unconventional bottlenecks like HBM with $MU or Sk Hynix. \n\nHBM demand is so inelastic rn that buyers aren't asking for price, they're asking for allocation even after hundreds of percent increases.\n\nAnd in this case InP and $AXTI will likely be the next bottleneck in the upcoming months, just based on existing shortages from $NVDA EML H1 2025 and how others like $MSFT require the world's double digit inp output just for their program for H2 2026 into 2027. \n\nSo it's impossible to model bottlenecks where few hundred million TAM previously might squeeze to few billion or tens of billions when hyperscalers like $GOOGL are desperate for allocation so their TPU program doesn't stall out. \n\nThis is buying into bit-allocation, feedstock control, and bottlenecks. A $1.3B company bottlenecking the entire AI buildout looks cheap to me. I don't know where this is heading, but I do expect an extremely large price squeeze (we're seeing it now on SMM), which just increases the bottom line of $AXTI. \n\nLicense volatility was always a risk factor. But again, any delays would just bottleneck the entire AI buildout since this is single point of failure if China continues their export controls on Japan.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @beauty_oe What are your estimates? Stock is trading over ~12x ntm sales. Current fy26 estimates are ~124mn up from ~100mn pre-earnings in Oct. FWIW I’m not debating historical contracted revenues lol, the issue is export license volatility because that impacts *future* revs", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MRWahdy", "ret_m1d": 0.12353197828891327, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.12353197828891327, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.1301018717281992, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.14984098142919255, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006569893439285934, "bench_c_m1d": -0.026309003140279286, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03262287983761569, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03262287983761569, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03419333364938748, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.036322593205094234, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0015704538117717881, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003699713367478541, "ret_p1w": -0.03914743921228414, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03914743921228414, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03567515789841835, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06784589610736158, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.003472281313865788, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02869845689507744, "ret_p1m": 0.2079165173655424, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2079165173655424, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.20808934664522083, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.16313466488849615, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00017282927967843253, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04478185247704625, "ret_p3m": 1.31317967962682, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.31317967962682, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.3365401139432729, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.2265962252787943, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.02336043431645274, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08658345434802572, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.8012, -0.8003, -0.7856, -0.8038, -0.7864, -0.7751, -0.7851, -0.7747, -0.7364, -0.7308, -0.7129, -0.6925, -0.6816, -0.6542, -0.632, -0.6285, -0.6042, -0.6142, -0.5885, -0.5459, -0.5407, -0.5224, -0.5459, -0.5459, -0.5542, -0.5694, -0.5602, -0.589, -0.6116, -0.5937, -0.5985, -0.5455, -0.5455, -0.5346, -0.5307, -0.4885, -0.5007, -0.4737, -0.4963, -0.4472, -0.3493, -0.3254, -0.2875, -0.3558, -0.3549, -0.4345, -0.4624, -0.3906, -0.3628, -0.338, -0.3632, -0.3471, -0.3471, -0.3314, -0.3654, -0.3127, -0.2888, -0.2888, -0.271, -0.2749, -0.1227, 0.0487, 0.1235, 0.0, -0.0326, -0.0644, -0.0387, 0.1187, -0.0391, -0.0391, -0.0687, -0.1396, -0.2205, -0.2431, -0.2258, -0.2518, -0.2679, -0.2875, -0.1936, -0.0892, -0.1414, -0.1844, -0.1114, 0.0465, 0.2079, 0.0592, 0.1657, 0.0783, 0.0544, 0.0544, 0.0096, 0.0239, 0.0357, 0.291, 0.2366, 0.5259, 0.7821, 0.6146, 0.6485, 1.0148, 0.8164, 0.702, 0.6877, 0.408, 0.6773, 0.9269, 1.06, 1.0326, 1.1253, 1.1048, 0.9295, 1.1209, 1.5268, 1.3593, 1.803, 1.9769, 1.9295, 1.545, 1.6372, 1.2936, 1.4785, 1.0505, 1.2984, 1.2984, 0.8264, 0.9774, 1.3132, 1.7455, 1.7916, 1.8904, 1.9274, 1.7373, 2.5572, 2.5911, 2.4258, 2.261, 2.7816, 2.274, 2.3127, 2.0513, 1.9887, 2.0913, 2.4458, 3.1757, 3.6107, 3.6781, 3.5598, 3.716, 4.0613, 4.4724, 4.3458, 4.304, 4.0013, 4.3841, 3.6055, 3.91, 3.5502, 4.264, 5.1257, 5.1257, 4.7677, 4.3401, 4.0326, 3.4872, 3.4872, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1971617182783303716", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-26T16:45:41+00:00", "symbol": "ORCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I ended up buying $ORCL calls lol, dip was too tempting", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bought ORCL calls on the dip.", "resolved_tickers": ["ORCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@__visionxry__ I ended up buying $ORCL calls lol, dip was too tempting https://t.co/WOE1qNbq7I", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I did shares as well at 283.90, for the weeklys it was only a small amount so im not too concerned if it doesnt recover right away", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "__visionxry__", "ret_m1d": 0.02776416271679194, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02776416271679194, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03346067096564087, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03346067096564087, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0056965082488489305, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0056965082488489305, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.002469374793626522, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.002469374793626522, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0052797412347663775, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0052797412347663775, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028103664411398555, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0028103664411398555, "ret_p1w": 0.009454850546779303, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.009454850546779303, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0017113035927445175, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0017113035927445175, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01116615413952382, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01116615413952382, "ret_p1m": -0.005544564038754363, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.005544564038754363, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04093175297484586, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04093175297484586, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035387188936091496, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035387188936091496, "ret_p3m": -0.3020788018871723, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3020788018871723, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.34831485300558707, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.34831485300558707, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04623605111841478, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04623605111841478, "ret_p6m": -0.4531272905900837, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4531272905900837, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.44903504980212383, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.44903504980212383, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.004092240787959889, "bench_c_p6m": -0.004092240787959889, "price_path": [-0.2292, -0.1904, -0.1645, -0.1645, -0.1824, -0.1745, -0.1699, -0.171, -0.1866, -0.1911, -0.1711, -0.1487, -0.1225, -0.1341, -0.1408, -0.16, -0.1466, -0.1433, -0.1353, -0.1261, -0.1181, -0.1159, -0.1047, -0.1377, -0.1091, -0.098, -0.0954, -0.1202, -0.1179, -0.1086, -0.1044, -0.1386, -0.1358, -0.1241, -0.1213, -0.1723, -0.1707, -0.1774, -0.1661, -0.1695, -0.1737, -0.1681, -0.1522, -0.2023, -0.2023, -0.2052, -0.2117, -0.2133, -0.1787, -0.1587, -0.148, 0.1583, 0.0861, 0.0308, 0.0659, 0.0818, 0.0633, 0.0464, 0.0889, 0.1577, 0.1071, 0.0882, 0.0278, 0.0, -0.0025, -0.0078, 0.0196, 0.0188, 0.0095, 0.0287, 0.0028, 0.0182, 0.0494, 0.0353, 0.0885, 0.0567, 0.073, 0.1061, 0.0295, -0.0205, -0.0276, -0.0364, -0.0102, 0.0013, -0.0055, -0.0076, -0.0271, -0.0922, -0.0719, -0.0888, -0.123, -0.1154, -0.1384, -0.1545, -0.1489, -0.1655, -0.1978, -0.2311, -0.2125, -0.223, -0.2208, -0.203, -0.2554, -0.2976, -0.2922, -0.3037, -0.2757, -0.2757, -0.2863, -0.2899, -0.2893, -0.2659, -0.2426, -0.2311, -0.2206, -0.2171, -0.2119, -0.2973, -0.3287, -0.3465, -0.3333, -0.3693, -0.3638, -0.3216, -0.2989, -0.3097, -0.3021, -0.3021, -0.3003, -0.3095, -0.3031, -0.3112, -0.3112, -0.3084, -0.3194, -0.3153, -0.3185, -0.3298, -0.2966, -0.2748, -0.2832, -0.314, -0.3273, -0.3229, -0.3229, -0.3625, -0.3839, -0.3687, -0.3723, -0.3536, -0.3803, -0.3877, -0.4011, -0.4168, -0.4329, -0.452, -0.4803, -0.5164, -0.4939, -0.4452, -0.4335, -0.4431, -0.4455, -0.4326, -0.4326, -0.4544, -0.4466, -0.4453, -0.4753, -0.4993, -0.4822, -0.476, -0.4674, -0.4848, -0.4712, -0.472, -0.4601, -0.4515, -0.458, -0.463, -0.4706, -0.422, -0.436, -0.4504, -0.4474, -0.4519, -0.4582, -0.4489, -0.4696, -0.4531]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1991506376342843438", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-20T13:58:15+00:00", "symbol": "VRT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Vertiv directionally should be outperform due to backdrop of AI infra buildout + power supply constraints", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Both VRT and NVT seen as long plays on AI/DC buildout; NVT flagged as better risk-adjusted at lower valuation multiple.", "resolved_tickers": ["VRT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "lol there's a lot of ticker comments, can't respond to every one. So for $VRT it's a high beta exposure to DC buildout, from Q3 earnings $2.6B revenue 29% y/y, guided FY $10.2B midpoint, overall margins grew eg.  adjusted operating profit increased 43% to $596 million in Q3. The latter probably indicates better pricing power like memory sector from a severe shortage of power infrastructure components and grid capacity limitations.\n\n$NVT might be better risk-adjusted return at current marketcaps (24.5x EV/EBITDA), vs. 33x.  But that aside, energy not my field of expertise so I can't give detailed nuanced opinions like neoclouds or fintech. \n\nHowever, I can probably say Vertiv directionally should be outperform due to backdrop of AI infra buildout + power supply constraints and it's role (eg. cooling, 800vdc power that they're doing with nvda)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Day 2 of asking your thoughts on Vertiv.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "realbaggyboy", "ret_m1d": 0.0691685548935217, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0691685548935217, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05369038740560339, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05369038740560339, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.015478167487918304, "bench_c_m1d": 0.015478167487918304, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0013784446648212878, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0013784446648212878, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008582778311811534, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008582778311811534, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009961222976632822, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009961222976632822, "ret_p1w": 0.07815427311628276, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07815427311628276, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.036547003031145, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.036547003031145, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.04160727008513776, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04160727008513776, "ret_p1m": 0.0016894317297300177, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0016894317297300177, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04439438240470284, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04439438240470284, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.046083814134432854, "bench_c_p1m": 0.046083814134432854, "ret_p3m": 0.526350916426555, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.526350916426555, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.476793519339187, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.476793519339187, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04955739708736795, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04955739708736795, "ret_p6m": 1.325460446912614, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.325460446912614, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.1862350165903779, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.1862350165903779, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13922543032223622, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13922543032223622, "price_path": [-0.2169, -0.1987, -0.1901, -0.1592, -0.2011, -0.2011, -0.2233, -0.2134, -0.2127, -0.2233, -0.237, -0.2134, -0.1435, -0.15, -0.1554, -0.1338, -0.1439, -0.1427, -0.1106, -0.1003, -0.0479, -0.1065, -0.1127, -0.1243, -0.1315, -0.1021, -0.0548, 0.0124, 0.0127, 0.0037, 0.02, -0.0046, 0.0487, 0.0581, 0.0589, 0.1215, 0.0974, 0.1309, 0.1141, 0.0902, 0.101, 0.0952, 0.0751, 0.1478, 0.1657, 0.2086, 0.194, 0.2485, 0.214, 0.2083, 0.1992, 0.1329, 0.1948, 0.1467, 0.1265, 0.1769, 0.1218, 0.0862, 0.0252, 0.0712, 0.0441, 0.0329, 0.0692, 0.0, 0.0014, 0.0583, 0.0628, 0.0782, 0.0782, 0.1265, 0.1233, 0.1339, 0.1212, 0.1441, 0.1847, 0.1633, 0.118, 0.1396, 0.1198, 0.0108, 0.0137, 0.007, -0.0609, -0.0323, 0.0017, 0.042, 0.0421, 0.0459, 0.0459, 0.0503, 0.038, 0.03, 0.0154, 0.0154, 0.1007, 0.0903, 0.0965, 0.0751, 0.0077, 0.0253, 0.0657, 0.0825, 0.0709, 0.0814, 0.1089, 0.1089, 0.098, 0.1374, 0.1352, 0.1438, 0.1359, 0.1859, 0.2144, 0.2228, 0.1669, 0.1909, 0.1918, 0.1442, 0.1141, 0.2258, 0.2661, 0.2511, 0.5576, 0.4824, 0.4699, 0.4699, 0.5264, 0.5243, 0.5234, 0.5277, 0.5382, 0.5866, 0.6433, 0.6248, 0.5976, 0.6155, 0.5321, 0.5749, 0.5653, 0.5154, 0.6568, 0.6926, 0.6813, 0.6633, 0.6226, 0.6593, 0.6827, 0.6595, 0.6875, 0.6041, 0.6049, 0.6982, 0.7313, 0.5823, 0.574, 0.4683, 0.5709, 0.626, 0.6381, 0.6381, 0.622, 0.6444, 0.7618, 0.8032, 0.8501, 0.8805, 0.9466, 0.888, 0.8439, 0.9267, 0.9711, 0.9587, 0.913, 1.0171, 1.0278, 1.0213, 0.9123, 0.9195, 1.0593, 1.0582, 1.0749, 1.1379, 1.2501, 1.1316, 1.1313, 1.3065, 1.3016, 1.3195, 1.3586, 1.3255]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1991506376342843438", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-20T13:58:15+00:00", "symbol": "NVT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NVT might be better risk-adjusted return at current marketcaps (24.5x EV/EBITDA), vs. 33x", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Both VRT and NVT seen as long plays on AI/DC buildout; NVT flagged as better risk-adjusted at lower valuation multiple.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Electrical Equipment & Parts'", "bench_c_industry": "Electrical Equipment & Parts", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "lol there's a lot of ticker comments, can't respond to every one. So for $VRT it's a high beta exposure to DC buildout, from Q3 earnings $2.6B revenue 29% y/y, guided FY $10.2B midpoint, overall margins grew eg.  adjusted operating profit increased 43% to $596 million in Q3. The latter probably indicates better pricing power like memory sector from a severe shortage of power infrastructure components and grid capacity limitations.\n\n$NVT might be better risk-adjusted return at current marketcaps (24.5x EV/EBITDA), vs. 33x.  But that aside, energy not my field of expertise so I can't give detailed nuanced opinions like neoclouds or fintech. \n\nHowever, I can probably say Vertiv directionally should be outperform due to backdrop of AI infra buildout + power supply constraints and it's role (eg. cooling, 800vdc power that they're doing with nvda)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Day 2 of asking your thoughts on Vertiv.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "realbaggyboy", "ret_m1d": 0.04156819495566455, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04156819495566455, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.026090027467746246, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02452156959048213, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.015478167487918304, "bench_c_m1d": 0.017046625365182422, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.009554703017966015, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.009554703017966015, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.019515925994598837, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.021730878830673483, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009961222976632822, "bench_c_p1d": 0.012176175812707468, "ret_p1w": 0.04934999245203109, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04934999245203109, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.007742722366893329, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.015730253322752352, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.04160727008513776, "bench_c_p1w": 0.033619739129278736, "ret_p1m": 0.00019710679795248431, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.00019710679795248431, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04588670733648037, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05412212082662493, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.046083814134432854, "bench_c_p1m": 0.054319227624577415, "ret_p3m": 0.13708913525311628, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.13708913525311628, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08753173816574833, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05130065941380746, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04955739708736795, "bench_c_p3m": 0.18838979466692374, "ret_p6m": 0.6703917388273095, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6703917388273095, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5311663085050733, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5037117084494476, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13922543032223622, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16668003037786194, "price_path": [-0.1211, -0.107, -0.1043, -0.0899, -0.1114, -0.1114, -0.1204, -0.1203, -0.0963, -0.0877, -0.0899, -0.1011, -0.0663, -0.0591, -0.0682, -0.0528, -0.0543, -0.0517, -0.0302, -0.0269, -0.0145, -0.0395, -0.0438, -0.0504, -0.0464, -0.0494, -0.0303, -0.0158, -0.0225, -0.0386, -0.0366, -0.0563, -0.0295, -0.0392, -0.0565, -0.0218, -0.0217, -0.0061, -0.0116, -0.0216, -0.0127, -0.0184, -0.0452, -0.0089, 0.0067, 0.0235, 0.0266, 0.0469, 0.0279, 0.1264, 0.1068, 0.0798, 0.1082, 0.0832, 0.0937, 0.1065, 0.0795, 0.0979, 0.0433, 0.0495, 0.0253, 0.0275, 0.0416, 0.0, -0.0096, 0.0254, 0.0336, 0.0493, 0.0493, 0.0566, 0.0409, 0.0378, 0.034, 0.0665, 0.0611, 0.0551, 0.0581, 0.0724, 0.0752, 0.0019, 0.0107, 0.0088, -0.0643, -0.0319, 0.0002, 0.0125, 0.0241, 0.0241, 0.0241, 0.0262, 0.0171, 0.0147, 0.0044, 0.0044, 0.0522, 0.0501, 0.0844, 0.0489, 0.0118, 0.038, 0.048, 0.0504, 0.0297, 0.0636, 0.1082, 0.1082, 0.0825, 0.1097, 0.099, 0.0884, 0.0913, 0.1168, 0.1265, 0.141, 0.1079, 0.1427, 0.1786, 0.1516, 0.1238, 0.1116, 0.1312, 0.1068, 0.1127, 0.1043, 0.1176, 0.1176, 0.1371, 0.1413, 0.1535, 0.1534, 0.1342, 0.1667, 0.202, 0.2019, 0.1681, 0.1869, 0.1019, 0.1234, 0.091, 0.0463, 0.0671, 0.077, 0.0963, 0.0646, 0.0849, 0.128, 0.1321, 0.1869, 0.2097, 0.1477, 0.1941, 0.2396, 0.2534, 0.1689, 0.1545, 0.1127, 0.1673, 0.1967, 0.1641, 0.1641, 0.1587, 0.1736, 0.2544, 0.2694, 0.2885, 0.3141, 0.3272, 0.2966, 0.28, 0.3292, 0.3402, 0.352, 0.3829, 0.4089, 0.4051, 0.4006, 0.3669, 0.3577, 0.4123, 0.5707, 0.6079, 0.6743, 0.7048, 0.6479, 0.6797, 0.7137, 0.6875, 0.7089, 0.7193, 0.6704]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1981765272618123515", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-24T16:50:35+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "now we go higher", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Expects the stock to move higher after institutional accumulation at the dip shook out weak hands.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "DW, Reddit is always regarded. But I don't think market manipulation is a good way to word it. My guess was sector short timed with The Information hit piece -> instituions taking advantage of mechanical hedging from MMs from counterparty selling of shortdated calls + puts to exaggerate downside (+ pinning from last week)\n\nThen few red days after -> retail panic selling to $94 -> institutions soaking up sales without moving prices.\n\nAnd with more data surfacing, turned out to be pretty accurate with institutional accumulation at bottom. Weak hands got shaken off I guess and now we go higher, but FinX community probably made a lot of money off the dip.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit The clowns on r/nbis_stock were mocking your post the other day about market manipulation, hopefully they feel silly now, but I doubt it. Seemed too obvious even to me. Anyway thanks again for all the great and informative information.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "lincoln3_", "ret_m1d": -0.09466142138753608, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09466142138753608, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0865550997726996, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09206514502066165, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008106321614836487, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002596276366874428, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06967421132615681, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06967421132615681, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05787649930300787, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05574083933995877, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011797712023148943, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01393337198619804, "ret_p1w": 0.1156404992406066, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1156404992406066, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10853832500186744, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.12204466976286887, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007102174238739156, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006404170522262276, "ret_p1m": -0.21627153460980486, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.21627153460980486, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.20369118763832117, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.19428970588629635, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012580346971483691, "bench_c_p1m": -0.021981828723508512, "ret_p3m": -0.15683096584190137, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15683096584190137, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17185538160513913, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1520805841587075, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.015024415763237764, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0047503816831938606, "ret_p6m": 0.3573256077311022, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3573256077311022, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.30489976114622297, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.32301482208670973, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.052425846584879254, "bench_c_p6m": 0.034310785644392494, "price_path": [-0.5702, -0.5626, -0.5358, -0.5565, -0.538, -0.5295, -0.5302, -0.443, -0.4134, -0.401, -0.3576, -0.3977, -0.4162, -0.3892, -0.3814, -0.427, -0.4246, -0.4356, -0.4117, -0.4029, -0.3989, -0.4022, -0.3856, -0.4174, -0.4174, -0.4395, -0.4401, -0.4464, -0.4417, -0.4537, -0.1837, -0.2036, -0.2394, -0.229, -0.2243, -0.2373, -0.1977, -0.1973, -0.1531, -0.0909, -0.0807, -0.0344, -0.0795, -0.0815, -0.06, -0.0426, -0.0141, 0.0734, 0.0914, 0.0655, 0.0038, 0.0404, 0.1312, 0.1051, 0.1552, 0.0929, 0.0731, 0.0493, -0.0326, -0.0704, -0.1107, -0.159, -0.0947, 0.0, 0.0697, 0.039, 0.0669, 0.059, 0.1156, 0.0274, -0.0573, -0.0022, -0.0667, -0.051, -0.0623, -0.1283, -0.1953, -0.2442, -0.2876, -0.2668, -0.2279, -0.1892, -0.2782, -0.29, -0.2163, -0.242, -0.1925, -0.1925, -0.1909, -0.1459, -0.1775, -0.1564, -0.1233, -0.1639, -0.1444, -0.1778, -0.2019, -0.196, -0.2522, -0.308, -0.3097, -0.3566, -0.334, -0.2371, -0.2049, -0.2322, -0.2228, -0.2228, -0.253, -0.2662, -0.2737, -0.2862, -0.2862, -0.2329, -0.2083, -0.1451, -0.1795, -0.1702, -0.1648, -0.0847, -0.1009, -0.1303, -0.1141, -0.0727, -0.0727, -0.1532, -0.1568, -0.1741, -0.1941, -0.22, -0.1654, -0.1435, -0.1906, -0.2735, -0.2482, -0.2329, -0.2974, -0.37, -0.2657, -0.2079, -0.2172, -0.2443, -0.2348, -0.1642, -0.1642, -0.1683, -0.1318, -0.0823, -0.1649, -0.142, -0.1252, -0.095, -0.1056, -0.2223, -0.2239, -0.2598, -0.1661, -0.1843, -0.2382, -0.1903, -0.1776, -0.0449, -0.0786, -0.0368, 0.1074, -0.0079, 0.0111, 0.0363, 0.0031, -0.0265, -0.02, -0.0185, -0.0963, -0.1402, -0.2132, -0.1151, -0.1306, -0.072, -0.072, -0.0403, 0.0012, 0.066, 0.1626, 0.2363, 0.3181, 0.381, 0.4222, 0.41, 0.3401, 0.3573]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1973801755956928770", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-02T17:26:24+00:00", "symbol": "WULF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$WULF has hilarious upside too because it's 35.85% shorted with $GOOGL backstopping them", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish WULF: high short interest (35.85%) + Google backstop creates significant upside potential.", "resolved_tickers": ["WULF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@__visionxry__ $WULF has hilarious upside too because it's 35.85% shorted with $GOOGL backstopping them.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit 730 shares at 97! thats half my port lol. Never had a stock be so much of my port before. I also entered into $wulf today, already had $iren and $cifr so I figured id get into the whole sector😂😂", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "__visionxry__", "ret_m1d": -0.00949910685681954, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00949910685681954, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.008348628444731054, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.008348628444731054, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011504784120884848, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0011504784120884848, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.029360980555091176, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.029360980555091176, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02937574791731279, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02937574791731279, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4767362221612679e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -1.4767362221612679e-05, "ret_p1w": 0.17357515044253624, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.17357515044253624, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1706761613097556, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1706761613097556, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028989891327806383, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0028989891327806383, "ret_p1m": 0.3385146893022941, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3385146893022941, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3193281251437463, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3193281251437463, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019186564158547803, "bench_c_p1m": 0.019186564158547803, "ret_p3m": -0.03713301450853246, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03713301450853246, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0667498308101595, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0667498308101595, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029616816301627047, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029616816301627047, "ret_p6m": 0.2858376892421748, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2858376892421748, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3329364024545888, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3329364024545888, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04709871321241399, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04709871321241399, "price_path": [-0.5855, -0.5838, -0.5743, -0.557, -0.5777, -0.5587, -0.5794, -0.5466, -0.5371, -0.557, -0.5691, -0.5458, -0.5509, -0.5406, -0.5535, -0.5596, -0.5492, -0.5674, -0.5544, -0.5889, -0.5777, -0.563, -0.5553, -0.5734, -0.5656, -0.5337, -0.5475, -0.5285, -0.2478, -0.2254, -0.19, -0.2418, -0.1986, -0.2064, -0.209, -0.2288, -0.2021, -0.2116, -0.1848, -0.1839, -0.1839, -0.1684, -0.2245, -0.234, -0.2116, -0.2055, -0.1105, -0.0889, -0.0812, -0.0708, -0.0941, -0.0553, -0.0199, -0.0354, -0.0518, -0.0078, -0.0294, -0.0155, -0.0527, -0.0648, 0.0017, -0.0138, -0.0095, 0.0, 0.0294, 0.0337, 0.0449, 0.0622, 0.1736, 0.1667, 0.209, 0.3351, 0.3359, 0.1969, 0.2029, 0.196, 0.1347, 0.0898, 0.1123, 0.1839, 0.1779, 0.3765, 0.2522, 0.2798, 0.3385, 0.3903, 0.2962, 0.3264, 0.2332, 0.2038, 0.2349, 0.0682, 0.0915, 0.0086, -0.0509, -0.0458, 0.0363, 0.0561, -0.0017, -0.025, 0.0907, 0.2038, 0.2815, 0.2815, 0.3394, 0.3212, 0.228, 0.2461, 0.304, 0.2522, 0.2919, 0.3463, 0.361, 0.367, 0.2375, 0.0786, 0.1218, -0.0009, 0.0181, 0.0812, 0.0769, 0.0725, 0.063, 0.063, 0.0147, -0.0138, -0.0371, -0.0078, -0.0078, 0.1002, 0.1762, 0.1382, 0.0786, 0.1088, 0.1313, 0.1926, 0.2211, 0.2271, 0.1943, 0.196, 0.196, 0.1511, 0.133, 0.1131, 0.2193, 0.1908, 0.3221, 0.3048, 0.2556, 0.1546, 0.1606, 0.2781, 0.1986, 0.0294, 0.234, 0.4378, 0.4361, 0.3843, 0.3739, 0.4041, 0.4041, 0.3972, 0.3282, 0.3359, 0.2962, 0.3541, 0.5164, 0.5475, 0.544, 0.4007, 0.3834, 0.2729, 0.3273, 0.3152, 0.1874, 0.196, 0.2392, 0.3143, 0.2668, 0.2668, 0.4171, 0.3851, 0.3212, 0.3592, 0.304, 0.3981, 0.4007, 0.456, 0.3256, 0.2858]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1970553616961544357", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-23T18:19:28+00:00", "symbol": "AMZN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd use this to opportunity to buy stuff like $AMZN that dropped 2.7%", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Buy AMZN on the 2.7% dip following Powell's cautious rate-cut commentary.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMZN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@mattia030339 @AnaCintra24 It didn't change Polymarket, still pricing in 65% chance of triple rate cut. \n\nI'd use this to opportunity to buy stuff like $AMZN that dropped 2.7%", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @AnaCintra24 Powell mentioned today’s 25 bps cut and said they’ll stay cautious with future moves. How does that fit with your idea of a triple cut?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mattia030339", "ret_m1d": 0.031353350362208765, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.031353350362208765, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02587998936944591, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.021854363608067473, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005473360992762855, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009498986754141292, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0022654160880354324, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0022654160880354324, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0009162173645782534, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009326650239005363, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003181633452613686, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007061234150969931, "ret_p1w": -0.005165145915320246, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.005165145915320246, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.009643274638012289, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.012394503155829795, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004478128722692043, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0072293572405095485, "ret_p1m": -0.012505141052363444, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.012505141052363444, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01942595275391812, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.009899265359652576, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006920811701554674, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0026058756927108684, "ret_p3m": 0.03008472288370978, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.03008472288370978, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0008465702710005463, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.005790904250082329, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029238152612709234, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02429381863362745, "ret_p6m": -0.04911427333121732, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.04911427333121732, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.04937721900956493, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.019571638997002205, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.00026294567834761473, "bench_c_p6m": -0.06868591232821952, "price_path": [-0.0163, 0.0117, -0.006, -0.0011, -0.0036, 0.0122, 0.0122, 0.0125, -0.0061, 0.0083, 0.007, 0.0195, 0.0226, 0.0256, 0.0112, 0.0144, 0.0246, 0.0389, 0.0306, 0.0343, 0.0522, 0.0486, 0.0547, 0.0467, 0.043, 0.0607, -0.027, -0.041, -0.0315, 0.0072, 0.011, 0.009, 0.0027, 0.0034, 0.0174, 0.0465, 0.0468, 0.0488, 0.0331, 0.014, 0.0056, 0.0368, 0.0328, 0.0362, 0.0381, 0.0493, 0.0376, 0.0376, 0.021, 0.0239, 0.0678, 0.0526, 0.0686, 0.0794, 0.0436, 0.0419, 0.0337, 0.0486, 0.0604, 0.0494, 0.0477, 0.0488, 0.0314, 0.0, -0.0023, -0.0116, -0.0042, 0.0066, -0.0052, -0.0004, 0.0077, -0.0054, 0.0009, 0.0048, 0.0204, 0.0319, -0.0197, -0.0029, -0.0196, -0.0233, -0.0283, -0.0348, -0.0192, 0.006, -0.0125, 0.0017, 0.0159, 0.0284, 0.0387, 0.0435, 0.0097, 0.1065, 0.1508, 0.1296, 0.1336, 0.1012, 0.1074, 0.1255, 0.1286, 0.1064, 0.0764, 0.0633, 0.0551, 0.0083, 0.009, -0.0162, -0.0001, 0.0252, 0.0406, 0.0383, 0.0383, 0.0567, 0.0597, 0.0621, 0.0529, 0.0381, 0.04, 0.028, 0.0327, 0.0502, 0.0434, 0.0248, 0.0083, 0.0084, 0.0025, 0.0274, 0.0301, 0.035, 0.0518, 0.0529, 0.0529, 0.0535, 0.0515, 0.0536, 0.0458, 0.0458, 0.0262, 0.056, 0.0916, 0.0945, 0.1159, 0.1208, 0.1167, 0.0992, 0.0722, 0.0792, 0.0834, 0.0834, 0.0466, 0.048, 0.0618, 0.0836, 0.0802, 0.1086, 0.101, 0.0952, 0.0842, 0.1008, 0.0811, 0.0556, 0.009, -0.0471, -0.0543, -0.0623, -0.0753, -0.0956, -0.0993, -0.0993, -0.0886, -0.0721, -0.0718, -0.048, -0.07, -0.055, -0.0456, -0.0579, -0.0485, -0.0558, -0.0543, -0.0176, -0.008, -0.034, -0.0327, -0.0289, -0.0365, -0.0507, -0.0591, -0.0406, -0.025, -0.0491]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1975987940473045058", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-08T18:13:31+00:00", "symbol": "AMD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AMD is actually insane wtf. Markets are repricing it as the next $NVDA I guess.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AMD as markets reprice it toward NVDA-like status.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AMD is actually insane wtf.\n\nMarkets are repricing it as the next $NVDA I guess. https://t.co/cuH0dEjd0n", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Some days there’s not much activity.\n\nNew 1Y+ long positions;\n\n- $AMD shares at $215\n- $WYFi shares at $33\n- UNH 1Y leaps Jan 2027\n\nDCA $FLNC &amp; SEI on drop for high risk energy plays. \n\nDCA RDDT $198 on 4% drop. \n\nTrimmed misc positions for EOY tax harvesting.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.10209714425631866, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10209714425631866, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09616943906029773, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09616943906029773, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005927705196020927, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005927705196020927, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011334684142544904, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011334684142544904, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00843767576330745, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00843767576330745, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0028970083792374535, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0028970083792374535, "ret_p1w": 0.012905453287609614, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.012905453287609614, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.024701497258885707, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.024701497258885707, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011796043971276093, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011796043971276093, "ret_p1m": 0.009084731753387532, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.009084731753387532, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.013244484876622109, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.013244484876622109, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0041597531232345775, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0041597531232345775, "ret_p3m": -0.0614705207913635, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0614705207913635, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08619476559076023, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08619476559076023, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024724244799396722, "bench_c_p3m": 0.024724244799396722, "ret_p6m": -0.07666835517818116, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.07666835517818116, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.05654432404318366, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.05654432404318366, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0201240311349975, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0201240311349975, "price_path": [-0.3784, -0.3792, -0.3394, -0.3204, -0.319, -0.3335, -0.3335, -0.3432, -0.3265, -0.3118, -0.2933, -0.2628, -0.2467, -0.2379, -0.2515, -0.2711, -0.2495, -0.26, -0.3075, -0.2681, -0.2666, -0.2686, -0.2573, -0.2171, -0.2318, -0.2464, -0.2522, -0.293, -0.2987, -0.305, -0.2878, -0.3065, -0.2927, -0.2905, -0.2843, -0.3096, -0.3096, -0.3109, -0.3117, -0.3132, -0.3584, -0.3572, -0.3385, -0.3227, -0.3391, -0.3268, -0.3158, -0.3188, -0.3243, -0.3296, -0.3318, -0.3217, -0.3169, -0.317, -0.3154, -0.3231, -0.315, -0.3132, -0.3037, -0.2795, -0.3009, -0.1352, -0.1021, 0.0, -0.0113, -0.0877, -0.0813, -0.0742, 0.0129, -0.0042, -0.0105, 0.0212, 0.0105, -0.0226, -0.0024, 0.0737, 0.1024, 0.0953, 0.1221, 0.0818, 0.0873, 0.1023, 0.0615, 0.0882, 0.0091, -0.0086, 0.0357, 0.0083, 0.099, 0.0526, 0.0478, 0.0211, -0.0224, -0.051, -0.1254, -0.1349, -0.0871, -0.1249, -0.0905, -0.0905, -0.0765, -0.0671, -0.0863, -0.0762, -0.0831, -0.0747, -0.0613, -0.0592, -0.06, -0.06, -0.1052, -0.1188, -0.112, -0.159, -0.1465, -0.0939, -0.0875, -0.0877, -0.0871, -0.0871, -0.0873, -0.0847, -0.0858, -0.0908, -0.0908, -0.0513, -0.0615, -0.09, -0.1084, -0.1311, -0.1375, -0.1183, -0.0619, -0.0508, -0.0324, -0.0158, -0.0158, -0.0155, 0.0605, 0.0771, 0.1024, 0.0669, 0.0699, 0.0729, 0.0706, 0.005, 0.0455, 0.0278, -0.1502, -0.1828, -0.1151, -0.083, -0.0934, -0.0933, -0.1257, -0.1199, -0.1199, -0.1379, -0.1505, -0.1367, -0.1503, -0.1654, -0.0922, -0.1049, -0.1353, -0.1501, -0.1568, -0.1894, -0.1422, -0.1533, -0.1831, -0.1396, -0.1372, -0.1305, -0.1606, -0.179, -0.1655, -0.1666, -0.1533, -0.1286, -0.1453, -0.1396, -0.1282, -0.0649, -0.135, -0.1425, -0.1678, -0.1364, -0.1076, -0.0767]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1973633721355083875", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-02T06:18:42+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "They got a deal from $GOOGL + Fluidstack with Google taking a 5.4% share. Usually things Google owns turns out well", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish CIFR: Google took a 5.4% stake via a deal with Fluidstack; author implies Google backing is a positive catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Potato___Dragon They got a deal from $GOOGL + Fluidstack with Google taking a 5.4% share.\n\nUsually things Google owns turns out well like SpaceX.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit new here, does CIFR received a deal or something?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Potato___Dragon", "ret_m1d": -0.08761766845627339, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08761766845627339, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0864671900441849, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08223603430409199, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011504784120884848, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005381634152181403, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0644460074298201, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0644460074298201, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06446077479204171, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06947816259763362, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4767362221612679e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0050321551678135235, "ret_p1w": 0.3026791618024789, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.3026791618024789, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.29978017266969825, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2885611946793829, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028989891327806383, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014117967123095987, "ret_p1m": 0.3504706047683024, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3504706047683024, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3312840406097546, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2997298494124674, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019186564158547803, "bench_c_p1m": 0.050740755355835, "ret_p3m": 0.05648078995444661, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05648078995444661, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.02686397365281956, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03865468825884255, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029616816301627047, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017826101695604057, "ret_p6m": -0.00470677277933218, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.00470677277933218, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.04239194043308181, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08476177213368996, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04709871321241399, "bench_c_p6m": -0.08946854491302214, "price_path": [-0.5807, -0.5634, -0.5467, -0.5482, -0.5749, -0.5634, -0.5677, -0.546, -0.5351, -0.5395, -0.5474, -0.4975, -0.5163, -0.5185, -0.5315, -0.5539, -0.5887, -0.6054, -0.6046, -0.643, -0.6242, -0.6372, -0.6227, -0.6474, -0.656, -0.6553, -0.6582, -0.6452, -0.6148, -0.6227, -0.5619, -0.5829, -0.5692, -0.5728, -0.538, -0.5192, -0.4844, -0.4938, -0.4917, -0.4468, -0.4468, -0.3975, -0.4127, -0.4642, -0.4555, -0.441, -0.3324, -0.2578, -0.2781, -0.2143, -0.2143, -0.1665, -0.1035, -0.1419, -0.1108, 0.0109, 0.0246, 0.0239, -0.1557, -0.1694, -0.084, -0.0883, -0.0876, 0.0, 0.0644, 0.1108, 0.1405, 0.2744, 0.3027, 0.2288, 0.4728, 0.5127, 0.5228, 0.3555, 0.3584, 0.4417, 0.3088, 0.1665, 0.2495, 0.496, 0.4873, 0.4453, 0.4185, 0.3809, 0.3505, 0.6481, 0.63, 0.7893, 0.572, 0.4982, 0.4229, 0.3519, 0.2585, 0.0811, 0.0398, 0.0391, 0.0558, 0.0587, 0.0543, 0.0246, 0.21, 0.2686, 0.3867, 0.3867, 0.4736, 0.4258, 0.2773, 0.349, 0.4359, 0.3961, 0.4106, 0.4164, 0.3382, 0.3671, 0.2346, 0.0673, 0.0854, 0.042, 0.097, 0.1738, 0.1832, 0.1521, 0.1745, 0.1745, 0.0999, 0.092, 0.0565, 0.0688, 0.0688, 0.1731, 0.315, 0.2701, 0.1644, 0.1984, 0.2042, 0.2802, 0.3215, 0.3128, 0.2686, 0.3613, 0.3613, 0.2976, 0.2831, 0.2592, 0.2723, 0.1941, 0.3577, 0.3736, 0.2817, 0.1557, 0.1448, 0.1774, 0.0319, -0.0804, 0.0666, 0.2136, 0.2382, 0.1789, 0.1658, 0.189, 0.189, 0.1325, 0.1166, 0.1441, 0.0608, 0.1021, 0.2397, 0.2028, 0.1933, 0.1296, 0.1412, 0.0652, 0.1615, 0.097, -0.0138, 0.0362, 0.0109, 0.0217, -0.0072, 0.0196, 0.0963, 0.0927, 0.0623, 0.0601, 0.0145, 0.0782, 0.0775, 0.1499, 0.0391, -0.0047]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1975964636550922361", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-08T16:40:55+00:00", "symbol": "ETOR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "will likely rise next year", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Expects ETOR to rise next year after current tax-loss harvesting pressure subsides.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETOR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ThatIsIt11 It’s being tax harvested right now, will likely rise next year", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit are u still confident on your $ETOR position?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ThatIsIt11", "ret_m1d": -0.01001709856719113, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01001709856719113, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004089393371170202, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004089393371170202, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005927705196020927, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005927705196020927, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03518198426514285, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03518198426514285, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0322849758859054, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0322849758859054, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0028970083792374535, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0028970083792374535, "ret_p1w": -0.05814808332200949, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05814808332200949, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0463520393507334, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0463520393507334, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011796043971276093, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011796043971276093, "ret_p1m": -0.1822623754910968, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1822623754910968, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.17810262236786223, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.17810262236786223, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0041597531232345775, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0041597531232345775, "ret_p3m": -0.1133642647215346, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1133642647215346, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13808850952093132, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13808850952093132, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024724244799396722, "bench_c_p3m": 0.024724244799396722, "ret_p6m": -0.2699731507945251, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2699731507945251, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2498491196595276, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2498491196595276, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0201240311349975, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0201240311349975, "price_path": [0.408, 0.3728, 0.3159, 0.3929, 0.4205, 0.3872, 0.3726, 0.4075, 0.5236, 0.5578, 0.59, 0.5514, 0.4833, 0.515, 0.4649, 0.4193, 0.4481, 0.4162, 0.3753, 0.3772, 0.4153, 0.3511, 0.2397, 0.1727, 0.162, 0.1762, 0.1637, 0.0924, 0.0843, 0.0931, 0.1388, 0.0931, 0.1087, 0.0877, 0.0848, 0.0848, 0.0848, 0.1417, 0.1459, 0.1277, 0.1336, 0.1224, 0.1095, 0.0415, 0.0845, 0.0784, 0.0591, 0.0611, 0.0486, 0.0733, 0.0787, 0.0999, 0.0691, 0.0366, 0.0024, 0.0042, 0.0259, 0.0083, -0.0457, 0.0132, 0.0012, 0.0066, -0.01, 0.0, -0.0352, -0.0559, -0.0384, -0.0452, -0.0581, -0.0586, -0.0865, -0.0335, -0.0305, -0.0748, -0.0706, -0.0406, -0.0166, -0.0467, -0.0738, -0.0848, -0.0946, -0.109, -0.1586, -0.1642, -0.1823, -0.1478, -0.0782, 0.0076, 0.0098, -0.0408, -0.0105, -0.0589, -0.042, -0.064, -0.1058, -0.1011, -0.0496, -0.0249, 0.0257, 0.0257, 0.0254, 0.0232, 0.0195, 0.0432, 0.0733, 0.0508, 0.0093, 0.0286, -0.0042, -0.0406, -0.0728, -0.107, -0.12, -0.1507, -0.131, -0.1153, -0.109, -0.1151, -0.1217, -0.1217, -0.1239, -0.1285, -0.1317, -0.1417, -0.1417, -0.1283, -0.1134, -0.1437, -0.1869, -0.2052, -0.2275, -0.2192, -0.2377, -0.2348, -0.236, -0.2345, -0.2345, -0.2473, -0.2534, -0.2402, -0.2311, -0.2355, -0.2311, -0.2328, -0.2617, -0.2817, -0.3049, -0.3391, -0.3516, -0.3951, -0.3401, -0.311, -0.3091, -0.3418, -0.3467, -0.3291, -0.3291, -0.192, -0.2221, -0.2426, -0.2382, -0.2538, -0.249, -0.2074, -0.2113, -0.2507, -0.2507, -0.2306, -0.2025, -0.2011, -0.2226, -0.2284, -0.2421, -0.2451, -0.2675, -0.2644, -0.2536, -0.2392, -0.2661, -0.2822, -0.281, -0.2683, -0.2829, -0.2744, -0.2658, -0.2903, -0.2939, -0.2663, -0.2668, -0.27]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1979089482562572430", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-17T07:37:57+00:00", "symbol": "AMZN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I think $AMZN looks the most tempting just cause of IV return potential", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Author flags AMZN as most tempting play on IV return potential into market open.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMZN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is why people shouldn’t do short term options! (I saw a lot of WSB posts about $TSM weeklies for earnings).\n\nIt’s correct directionally but random events like this happen to wipe out calls. \n\nBut yeah I think $AMZN looks the most tempting just cause of IV return potential, we’ll see what holds market open.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit It certainly has cleansed my options portfolio 😅", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "rocket5010", "ret_m1d": 0.006712391943467955, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006712391943467955, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.012356746166445998, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.015244119925700628, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005644354222978043, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008531727982232673, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.016147214372026486, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.016147214372026486, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005746738972404852, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008212735449775188, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010400475399621634, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007934478922251298, "ret_p1w": 0.05243153295039771, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05243153295039771, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03307546218148749, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03861017413722623, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.019356070768910216, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01382135881317148, "ret_p1m": 0.09308112305665128, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09308112305665128, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09115461634954025, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11739639422955195, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.001926506707111031, "bench_c_p1m": -0.024315271172900665, "ret_p3m": 0.1108242647127815, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1108242647127815, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06866543896167299, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06575748051764241, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04215882575110852, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0450667841951391, "ret_p6m": 0.12603270254263266, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.12603270254263266, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08747614499170941, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.15021949230050724, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.03855655755092324, "bench_c_p6m": -0.024186789757874583, "price_path": [0.0677, 0.0716, 0.0901, 0.0864, 0.0927, 0.0844, 0.0805, 0.0989, 0.008, -0.0065, 0.0033, 0.0435, 0.0474, 0.0453, 0.0388, 0.0396, 0.0541, 0.0842, 0.0844, 0.0866, 0.0703, 0.0506, 0.0418, 0.0742, 0.0699, 0.0736, 0.0755, 0.0871, 0.0749, 0.0749, 0.0577, 0.0608, 0.1063, 0.0905, 0.107, 0.1183, 0.0812, 0.0794, 0.0709, 0.0863, 0.0986, 0.0872, 0.0854, 0.0866, 0.0685, 0.036, 0.0337, 0.024, 0.0316, 0.0429, 0.0307, 0.0356, 0.044, 0.0304, 0.0369, 0.041, 0.0572, 0.069, 0.0156, 0.033, 0.0157, 0.0119, 0.0067, 0.0, 0.0161, 0.0422, 0.023, 0.0378, 0.0524, 0.0654, 0.0761, 0.081, 0.0461, 0.1464, 0.1923, 0.1703, 0.1744, 0.1408, 0.1472, 0.166, 0.1693, 0.1463, 0.1152, 0.1016, 0.0931, 0.0446, 0.0453, 0.0192, 0.0359, 0.0621, 0.0781, 0.0757, 0.0757, 0.0947, 0.0978, 0.1004, 0.0908, 0.0754, 0.0774, 0.065, 0.0698, 0.088, 0.0809, 0.0617, 0.0446, 0.0447, 0.0386, 0.0644, 0.0672, 0.0722, 0.0897, 0.0908, 0.0908, 0.0914, 0.0893, 0.0915, 0.0835, 0.0835, 0.0632, 0.094, 0.1309, 0.1339, 0.1561, 0.1612, 0.1569, 0.1388, 0.1108, 0.118, 0.1224, 0.1224, 0.0843, 0.0858, 0.1, 0.1226, 0.1191, 0.1485, 0.1407, 0.1347, 0.1233, 0.1404, 0.1201, 0.0936, 0.0453, -0.0128, -0.0203, -0.0285, -0.0421, -0.0631, -0.0669, -0.0669, -0.0558, -0.0387, -0.0384, -0.0138, -0.0365, -0.021, -0.0113, -0.024, -0.0143, -0.0218, -0.0202, 0.0177, 0.0277, 0.0008, 0.0021, 0.0061, -0.0018, -0.0165, -0.0252, -0.0061, 0.0101, -0.0149, -0.0201, -0.036, -0.0136, -0.0272, -0.0062, -0.0258, -0.0643, -0.0567, -0.0224, -0.0116, -0.0153, -0.0153, -0.0012, 0.0034, 0.0385, 0.0967, 0.1189, 0.126]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1983895786590200266", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-30T13:56:29+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this selloff is a huge opportunity", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Buying META calls on the selloff; expects 2-6 day recovery like last year, calls it a huge opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Added 6 figures in Jan-Feb $META calls.\n\nSame thing happened last year April and it took 2-6 days for full recovery.\n\nEarnings beat, fundamentals in tact. Same story about capex spend.\n\nMight be 2 day flush so cost averaging but this selloff is a huge opportunity. https://t.co/S3CwYsdaU4", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I'm researching new stocks that actually look interesting - rare lately\n\nThere's no need to paywall or gatekeep new stocks like others\n\nSo just going to share them:\n\n1. $LGN - DC buildout. Mag7 like $APPL, $MSFT, $GOOGL, $TSLA, $AMZN as clients.\n\n2. $LYC.AX - Sole", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.12783760853035342, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.12783760853035342, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.11671716030302748, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.11060527127304076, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01112044822732594, "bench_c_m1d": 0.017232337257312658, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0271880753086835, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0271880753086835, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03046817504076227, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.031474263216923815, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0032800997320787673, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004286187908240313, "ret_p1w": -0.07131610032755076, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07131610032755076, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05731256289781883, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.054521086689985454, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014003537429731927, "bench_c_p1w": -0.016795013637565304, "ret_p1m": -0.02778819201129268, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02778819201129268, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03302472207244789, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03714789811047614, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005236530061155209, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009359706099183462, "ret_p3m": 0.01057634595342738, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.01057634595342738, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.01548170245765923, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.015302317866079607, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02605804841108661, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025878663819506986, "ret_p6m": 0.0145377399744413, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0145377399744413, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.04161618056548577, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0026416026067876963, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05615392053992707, "bench_c_p6m": 0.017179342581228996, "price_path": [0.1641, 0.1448, 0.1575, 0.1423, 0.1535, 0.1484, 0.1846, 0.1697, 0.1727, 0.1774, 0.1506, 0.1268, 0.1212, 0.1082, 0.1318, 0.1295, 0.1307, 0.1206, 0.1262, 0.1076, 0.1076, 0.1022, 0.1052, 0.1225, 0.1282, 0.128, 0.1481, 0.1275, 0.1259, 0.133, 0.1466, 0.1681, 0.1631, 0.1699, 0.1671, 0.1481, 0.1334, 0.1413, 0.1237, 0.116, 0.1154, 0.1019, 0.0763, 0.0909, 0.0662, 0.0738, 0.0699, 0.0771, 0.1006, 0.0583, 0.0739, 0.0633, 0.0766, 0.0684, 0.0757, 0.0986, 0.1002, 0.1004, 0.1013, 0.1079, 0.1266, 0.1275, 0.1278, 0.0, -0.0272, -0.0432, -0.0587, -0.0458, -0.0713, -0.0672, -0.0521, -0.0591, -0.0862, -0.0849, -0.0855, -0.0967, -0.1032, -0.1143, -0.116, -0.1084, -0.0802, -0.0454, -0.0493, -0.0493, -0.0278, -0.0384, -0.0291, -0.0403, -0.0074, 0.0104, 0.0005, -0.0143, -0.0245, -0.0206, -0.0334, -0.0277, -0.0132, -0.0247, -0.0022, -0.0107, -0.0066, -0.0015, 0.0024, 0.0024, -0.004, -0.0109, 0.0, -0.0088, -0.0088, -0.0233, -0.0107, -0.008, -0.0259, -0.0298, -0.0193, -0.036, -0.0523, -0.0757, -0.0678, -0.0686, -0.0686, -0.0928, -0.0795, -0.0275, -0.0108, 0.0097, 0.0106, 0.0042, 0.1087, 0.0759, 0.0608, 0.0387, 0.0046, 0.0064, -0.0067, 0.017, 0.0072, 0.0041, -0.0242, -0.0393, -0.0393, -0.04, -0.0341, -0.0318, -0.0154, -0.0431, -0.04, -0.0184, -0.0134, -0.0266, -0.0186, -0.0163, 0.0027, -0.008, -0.0316, -0.0278, -0.0178, -0.0166, -0.0417, -0.0784, -0.057, -0.0642, -0.0747, -0.0882, -0.1078, -0.0921, -0.1089, -0.1059, -0.1771, -0.2099, -0.1938, -0.1401, -0.1294, -0.1366, -0.1366, -0.1388, -0.1357, -0.0796, -0.0556, -0.0534, -0.0463, -0.0043, 0.0094, 0.0173, 0.0349, 0.0083, 0.0052, 0.0141, -0.0093, 0.0145]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1975205333254447126", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-06T14:23:43+00:00", "symbol": "SNAP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SNAP flipped the switch, making their biggest expense a revenue stream. There's two things that SNAP needed to do to grow vs. $META, $RDDT... From ~$8.50 today -> potential +50–100%+ upside within 12–18 months", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long SNAP: monetizing storage flips major OPEX into revenue, driving $630M FCF improvement and 50–100%+ upside in 12–18 months via re-rating.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNAP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The Snapchat Thesis: How a 🐶💩 Stock Re-Rated from Sell to Buy.\n\n$SNAP flipped the switch, making their biggest expense a revenue stream. \n\nThere's two things that SNAP needed to do to grow vs. $META, $RDDT.\n\nand... Snapchat finally did it, well one of two.\n\nThat is:\n\n1. Monetize Memories (Storage) - potential 50%%+ upside.\n\n2. Compete vs Tiktok with a public web app + Tiktok-style feed (1000%+ upside)\n\nSnapchat finally flipped the switch with #1 and made their biggest OPEX expense a revenue stream: They monetized storage and deleted wasteful storage.\n_\n\nSnap brings in $1.35B revenue a quarter and is growing at healthy rates with 1B+ MAU. Despite large revenue numbers, they're not profitable. Why?\n\nBecause countless people like myself have stored GBs of videos taken from 10 years ago. Snapchat has been paying Google Cloud to store all of that for free. Google Cloud costs  just eats so much into its net profits every quarter.\n\nSo with this recent change - charging users (like iCloud) for storage, which is a huge new revenue stream,\n\nOn top of reducing OpEx by a massive margin, Snapchat just got a rerating.\n\n_\n\nCloud Cost Breakdown\n\nSnap’s cloud infrastructure is one of its largest costs, historically over $2.4B annually (cost of revenue).\n\nMost of that is storage + bandwidth for features like Memories and videos.\n\nMemories + video archives ≈ 35-40% of cloud spend (estimates)\n\n~90% of users under the 5GB cap (no cost change), but 10% heavy users hold the majority of stored data\n\n_\n\nIf Snap deletes ~50% of existing stored data (non-paying users’ old videos/photos)\n\nResult:\n\n40% of $2.4B = $960M cloud cost baseline tied to Memories\n\n50% reduction in heavy-user storage ~ $480M savings (aggressive est.)\n\nAfter accounting for data migration, partial reallocation, misc:\n\n-> Snap may realistically realize ~40% of that, or ~$180–200M OPEX saved annually\n\nThis goes straight to operating profit + FCF, since it’s a pure cost cut.\n_\n\nRevenue from Paid Storage (Small User Base Scenario)\n\nAssuming a small number of users pay-far less than iCloud’s 60% adoption:\n\nMAU: ~900 million, Paying users: 2% (~18 million)\n\nAverage plan: $2.49/month (most on $1.99 or $3.99 tiers)\n\nARPU: ~$30/year\n\nRevenue = 18M × $30 = $540M per year\n\nSubtract ~$100M in hosting -> $440M net\n\nThis revenue is recurring, high-margin, and adds directly to FCF.\n_\n\nEstimated Combined Annual Impact:\n\nOPEX savings (cloud) = +$190M\n\nPaid storage revenue= +$540M\n\nStorage costs (COGS) = –$100M\n\nNet FCF improvement= +$630M\n\n_\n\nValuation Rerating\n\nIf the market rerates Snap based on ~$850M sustainable FCF:\n\nApply a 35× EV/FCF multiple (typical for growth tech with improving margins)\n\nEV ≈ $30B → Market cap ≈ $31–33B\n\nAggressive Multiple FCF est. $850M\n_\n\nMarket Cap \n\n25 × $21.25B EV ~ $22–23B mc (~$13–14/share)\n\n30 x $25.5B EV ~ $26B mc (~$15–16/share)\n\n35 x $29.75B EV ~ $31–32B mc (~$19–20/share)\n\nFrom ~$8.50 today -> potential +50–100%+ upside within 12–18 months, assuming:\n\n- Execution is smooth (no major user backlash, but really don't think users would quit.) Personally I'd just pay for it since I used Snap 5-10 years ago but don't want my data deleted. \n\n- 3 Fed rate cuts compress discount rates\n\n- Investors credit forward FCF\n\nOf course, all of this only happens 1 year from now. Also, I'm going off a lot of assumptions, such as 2% of users will pay (eg. Dropbox), vs. ICloud has 60% of users.\n\n_\n\nJust thought I'd give a shoutout to @fossinvest, a small account I found while doing DD. They also did the math but used more aggressive calculations + similar idea, I'll give them credit for the image.  \n_\n\nI could be wrong with speculating the numbers (eg. $100-150M opex, and 1% paying users, but even with this FCF gets a huge boost).  \n\nEither way, this is the largest material change SNAP has made for both revenue generation and operational expense cuts in history and it deserves a re-rating after.\n\nMarket and hedge funds will now start to price this in since they're forward looking, but will take some time to digest the news.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The NeoCloud Thesis: Hyperscaler Capex Funnel\n\nWhy I'm putting $1.5M+ into Neoclouds, and why this might be a 200-300%+ return.\n\n🔹 Buckets\n\nMag7 contracts: $CRWV, $NBIS ✅, $WULF, $CIFR ✅\n\nWith compute: $IREN ✅, $BITF\n\nSpeculative: $WYFI, $GRRR ✅, $SLNH\n\nMiners pivoting to", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0023473595087817323, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0023473595087817323, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005920773339130769, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.003377313114077407, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003573413830349037, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0010299536052956748, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04577468572403354, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04577468572403354, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04206719347307164, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04191229379979777, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003707492250961897, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003862391924235764, "ret_p1w": -0.05516434762635847, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05516434762635847, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04240395718853529, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03224781400415311, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012760390437823177, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02291653362220536, "ret_p1m": -0.12323950835181352, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12323950835181352, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12864450469687416, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09148256158561274, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404996345060642, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03175694676620078, "ret_p3m": -0.052816988117576846, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.052816988117576846, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07116845783459014, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06647336361804634, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01835146971701329, "bench_c_p3m": 0.013656375500469498, "ret_p6m": -0.4600939369151189, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4600939369151189, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4339374945429746, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.41772684676669636, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.026156442372144317, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04236709014842255, "price_path": [0.0704, 0.0962, 0.0692, 0.1197, 0.1127, 0.1338, 0.1631, 0.1749, 0.1596, 0.2148, 0.1819, 0.1432, 0.1467, 0.1373, 0.0951, 0.0939, 0.1068, 0.0622, 0.1115, 0.1021, -0.0869, -0.115, -0.1303, -0.1561, -0.1467, -0.1408, -0.169, -0.1608, -0.1385, -0.1573, -0.1596, -0.1725, -0.1549, -0.1784, -0.1761, -0.1796, -0.1667, -0.162, -0.162, -0.1397, -0.1491, -0.1678, -0.142, -0.1526, -0.1455, -0.1725, -0.1444, -0.1385, -0.1244, -0.0915, -0.0622, -0.0094, -0.0423, 0.0012, -0.0117, -0.0352, -0.0223, -0.0293, -0.0141, -0.0951, -0.0951, -0.0352, 0.0023, 0.0, -0.0458, -0.0106, -0.0164, -0.0869, -0.0552, -0.0704, -0.0716, -0.0892, -0.1021, -0.0927, -0.0786, -0.088, -0.0763, -0.0669, -0.0716, -0.0915, -0.0915, -0.108, -0.0845, -0.0822, -0.1232, -0.1432, -0.0599, -0.0364, 0.02, 0.0282, 0.0669, 0.007, 0.0059, -0.0399, -0.0317, -0.0575, -0.0869, -0.0974, -0.0986, -0.1033, -0.1068, -0.1068, -0.0986, -0.1033, -0.1056, -0.1009, -0.0892, -0.0716, -0.0575, -0.0704, -0.0704, -0.1033, -0.142, -0.1479, -0.135, -0.1197, -0.1045, -0.1115, -0.0681, -0.0833, -0.0786, -0.0786, -0.0775, -0.0751, -0.0528, -0.0528, -0.0528, -0.0458, -0.0317, 0.0317, 0.0117, -0.0141, -0.0364, -0.0387, -0.0622, -0.0728, -0.0892, -0.1162, -0.1162, -0.1373, -0.135, -0.1009, -0.1056, -0.1127, -0.1244, -0.0998, -0.1502, -0.1866, -0.2183, -0.284, -0.3063, -0.3991, -0.3873, -0.3908, -0.3862, -0.4143, -0.4343, -0.4331, -0.4331, -0.4448, -0.4272, -0.4131, -0.3967, -0.4214, -0.4167, -0.4049, -0.3826, -0.3885, -0.3826, -0.3838, -0.3697, -0.3732, -0.3944, -0.3979, -0.4237, -0.4296, -0.4542, -0.4648, -0.4507, -0.4542, -0.4577, -0.4648, -0.4742, -0.4707, -0.4883, -0.473, -0.5293, -0.5387, -0.5282, -0.4601]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2006401069363126671", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-31T16:24:26+00:00", "symbol": "MRVL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "That alone addresses the analyst claims $MRVL was only doing connectivity while losing the actual design to a competitor like Alchip too.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish MRVL: debunks bearish analyst claim that it only did connectivity; confirms full XPU design win with meaningful FY2028 revenue.", "resolved_tickers": ["MRVL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yeah great note. That alone addresses the analyst claims $MRVL was only doing connectivity while losing the actual design to a competitor like Alchip too.\n\nHow institutional analysts can spread misinformation like this, wipe off $10B+ or 14-20% in stock price saying DG because of Marvell was only doing connectivity, send cascading narrator through institutional notes, then say “just kidding” when nobody is paying attention a week ago is wild. \n\n“There’s meaningful FY 2028 revenue already too from XPU designs” pretty important to read too.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Some people who can't/wont pay attention properly claim Marvell is only doing an XPU-attach for Trainium 3. But Murphy clearly said on the earnings call that it is an XPU:\n\"Next year's custom revenue forecast comprehends a transition to a next-gen XPU at a large customer...\"", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SaItinerant", "ret_m1d": 0.02094621615740011, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02094621615740011, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01348194625181276, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01348194625181276, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007464269905587351, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007464269905587351, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.0040010171757624, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0040010171757624, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01523403974914761, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01523403974914761, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01123302257338521, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01123302257338521, "ret_p1m": -0.042144928489829314, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.042144928489829314, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.059918251910053066, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.059918251910053066, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017773323420223752, "bench_c_p1m": 0.017773323420223752, "ret_p3m": 0.034045455244131606, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.034045455244131606, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1047635968448355, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1047635968448355, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.07071814160070389, "bench_c_p3m": -0.07071814160070389, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0139, 0.0457, 0.0227, 0.0878, 0.0664, 0.0074, 0.0519, 0.0146, 0.046, 0.0382, 0.0349, 0.0101, -0.0085, -0.0462, -0.026, -0.01, 0.0439, 0.041, 0.0608, 0.0422, 0.1031, 0.0634, 0.0307, 0.0932, 0.0983, 0.0699, 0.0971, 0.0512, 0.0512, 0.0299, 0.0173, -0.018, -0.0741, -0.0431, -0.0977, -0.0886, -0.014, -0.0182, 0.0322, 0.0322, 0.052, 0.072, 0.0931, 0.1791, 0.1554, 0.1639, 0.0826, 0.0461, 0.0881, 0.0524, -0.0065, -0.0085, -0.0107, -0.0386, -0.006, -0.0105, -0.0021, 0.0318, 0.0178, 0.0178, 0.016, 0.0092, 0.0209, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0519, 0.0618, 0.0382, -0.004, -0.018, -0.02, -0.0239, -0.022, -0.0437, -0.0534, -0.0525, -0.0525, -0.0603, -0.0279, -0.0214, -0.0552, -0.0371, -0.0234, -0.0153, -0.0421, -0.0706, -0.0737, -0.1104, -0.1318, -0.1261, -0.0546, -0.0303, -0.0343, -0.0421, -0.0788, -0.0743, -0.0743, -0.0696, -0.0686, -0.0625, -0.064, -0.0839, -0.0769, -0.0471, -0.0663, -0.038, -0.0478, -0.0872, -0.0804, -0.1088, 0.0548, 0.091, 0.0987, 0.065, 0.0324, 0.0346, 0.0784, 0.0691, 0.0318, 0.0543, 0.0352, 0.0617, 0.0876, 0.1593, 0.1503, 0.1173, 0.034, 0.1664, 0.2566, 0.2613, 0.2613, 0.2896, 0.2881, 0.3478, 0.4123, 0.5138, 0.547, 0.5768, 0.5858, 0.5713, 0.6458, 0.7418, 0.7827, 0.8535, 0.9506, 0.9359, 0.864, 0.8053, 0.8447, 0.9458, 0.9434, 0.9282, 0.9882, 1.0282, 0.8852, 1.0044, 1.0128, 0.9381, 1.0966, 1.1511, 1.0841, 0.9903, 1.0768, 1.2008, 1.2467, 1.3131, 1.3131, 1.4537, 1.3411, 1.4133, 1.4153, 1.4153, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2004952198275571862", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-27T16:27:08+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LITE and $COHR are amazing and are up quite a bit since they tons pricing power", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on LITE, COHR on pricing power; flags AXTI and photonic supply chains as overlooked bottleneck opportunity akin to HBM.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yep, $LITE and $COHR are amazing and are up quite a bit since they tons pricing power.   \n\nGo few levels deeper into $AXTI (vertically integrated), Sumitomo -> Dowa, etc. the concentration risk + bottleneck flashes warning signs. \n\nWith HBM, it was an investment opportunity when people found that bottleneck. There's likely that same overlooked opportunity with photonic supply chains now when hyperscalers hoard materials and acquire capacity.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit This is elite level supply chain work. The market is already sniffing it out: $LITE is up 304% vs the S&amp;P over 6 months, $COHR up 110%. When the picks and shovels outperform the miners by that much, someone figured out where the real bottleneck lives.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "VulcanMK5", "ret_m1d": 0.04873729737804844, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04873729737804844, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.045160924307038774, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.045160924307038774, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003576373071009664, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003576373071009664, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00383777336088309, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00383777336088309, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.002616672626300831, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.002616672626300831, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012211007345822589, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012211007345822589, "ret_p1w": -0.041759475511405575, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.041759475511405575, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04157049139888347, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04157049139888347, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0001889841125221059, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0001889841125221059, "ret_p1m": -0.0052333049733309656, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0052333049733309656, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.016340392411403948, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.016340392411403948, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011107087438072982, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011107087438072982, "ret_p3m": 0.8485816668146366, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.8485816668146366, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.9081850671050529, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.9081850671050529, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.05960340029041622, "bench_c_p3m": -0.05960340029041622, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.54, -0.5444, -0.5604, -0.569, -0.5782, -0.5623, -0.5712, -0.5985, -0.5691, -0.5792, -0.5798, -0.5619, -0.5578, -0.5679, -0.5627, -0.5758, -0.5478, -0.5188, -0.4799, -0.4676, -0.4249, -0.4629, -0.4591, -0.4644, -0.4945, -0.3754, -0.3568, -0.3556, -0.3025, -0.3224, -0.3188, -0.3912, -0.377, -0.3503, -0.336, -0.2783, -0.374, -0.3141, -0.1966, -0.2183, -0.1726, -0.1726, -0.1273, -0.1467, -0.1873, -0.1869, -0.1201, -0.1106, -0.0806, -0.033, -0.0177, -0.0014, -0.1295, -0.1018, -0.1515, -0.1405, -0.0952, -0.0032, 0.0463, 0.0397, 0.0626, 0.0626, 0.0487, 0.0, -0.0038, -0.0108, -0.0108, 0.0362, -0.0418, 0.0666, 0.0544, -0.0653, -0.0569, -0.0879, -0.0303, -0.11, -0.0787, -0.1298, -0.1298, -0.0423, -0.0273, -0.0486, -0.0897, -0.1078, -0.0052, 0.0333, 0.0237, 0.0516, 0.1364, 0.1677, 0.2494, 0.3537, 0.4814, 0.5489, 0.5059, 0.5408, 0.5659, 0.5103, 0.5103, 0.6114, 0.5949, 0.7059, 0.7921, 0.8108, 0.8472, 0.9414, 0.8169, 0.8811, 1.1021, 0.8637, 0.8271, 0.7467, 0.4987, 0.7195, 0.8035, 0.8035, 0.6534, 0.6706, 0.6769, 0.7433, 0.8808, 1.0722, 0.8957, 0.9563, 1.1524, 1.0857, 0.8486, 0.886, 0.7573, 0.886, 1.0521, 1.2192, 1.2192, 1.0726, 1.1893, 1.4047, 1.3996, 1.4081, 1.338, 1.2887, 1.2115, 1.3918, 1.3995, 1.4023, 1.2461, 1.3445, 1.2729, 1.3661, 1.3072, 1.1239, 1.3035, 1.4216, 1.5494, 1.6198, 1.6692, 1.5342, 1.3955, 1.4256, 1.8263, 1.6633, 1.7653, 1.6886, 1.6051, 1.3751, 1.3888, 1.3297, 1.5885, 1.5413, 1.5413, 1.4444, 1.4216, 1.3097, 1.2945, 1.2945, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2004952198275571862", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-27T16:27:08+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LITE and $COHR are amazing and are up quite a bit since they tons pricing power", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on LITE, COHR on pricing power; flags AXTI and photonic supply chains as overlooked bottleneck opportunity akin to HBM.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yep, $LITE and $COHR are amazing and are up quite a bit since they tons pricing power.   \n\nGo few levels deeper into $AXTI (vertically integrated), Sumitomo -> Dowa, etc. the concentration risk + bottleneck flashes warning signs. \n\nWith HBM, it was an investment opportunity when people found that bottleneck. There's likely that same overlooked opportunity with photonic supply chains now when hyperscalers hoard materials and acquire capacity.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit This is elite level supply chain work. The market is already sniffing it out: $LITE is up 304% vs the S&amp;P over 6 months, $COHR up 110%. When the picks and shovels outperform the miners by that much, someone figured out where the real bottleneck lives.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "VulcanMK5", "ret_m1d": 0.014284186261843024, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.014284186261843024, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01070781319083336, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01070781319083336, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003576373071009664, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003576373071009664, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011691919711744325, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011691919711744325, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010470818977162066, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010470818977162066, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012211007345822589, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012211007345822589, "ret_p1w": -0.014072603967753228, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.014072603967753228, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.013883619855231122, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.013883619855231122, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0001889841125221059, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0001889841125221059, "ret_p1m": 0.13215530188821667, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13215530188821667, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12104821445014369, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12104821445014369, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011107087438072982, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011107087438072982, "ret_p3m": 0.28711241025814904, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.28711241025814904, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.34671581054856526, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.34671581054856526, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.05960340029041622, "bench_c_p3m": -0.05960340029041622, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3935, -0.4033, -0.3991, -0.3928, -0.3992, -0.3828, -0.3527, -0.4122, -0.3909, -0.4214, -0.4159, -0.3865, -0.3845, -0.3641, -0.361, -0.3896, -0.3571, -0.3157, -0.2858, -0.2898, -0.2696, -0.2979, -0.3019, -0.3017, -0.3191, -0.2877, -0.1572, -0.1826, -0.118, -0.1641, -0.1711, -0.2595, -0.2629, -0.2643, -0.2691, -0.2438, -0.2826, -0.2619, -0.1969, -0.2125, -0.1853, -0.1853, -0.131, -0.135, -0.1277, -0.0955, -0.0617, -0.0382, -0.0167, 0.0196, 0.0446, 0.0502, -0.0565, -0.0559, -0.0731, -0.0983, -0.0704, -0.0169, 0.0104, 0.0151, 0.0124, 0.0124, 0.0143, 0.0, -0.0117, -0.0235, -0.0235, 0.0281, -0.0141, 0.0269, 0.0138, -0.084, -0.058, -0.0203, 0.0053, -0.026, 0.0367, 0.0107, 0.0107, 0.0235, 0.0658, 0.0725, 0.0419, 0.0462, 0.1322, 0.1699, 0.142, 0.1225, 0.1768, 0.2125, 0.1163, 0.107, 0.2045, 0.2827, 0.2082, 0.1834, 0.1433, 0.1492, 0.1492, 0.1637, 0.1845, 0.2299, 0.313, 0.3167, 0.3483, 0.4173, 0.3234, 0.3699, 0.5814, 0.4856, 0.4541, 0.3431, 0.2471, 0.3349, 0.3789, 0.3301, 0.2764, 0.2843, 0.3087, 0.3004, 0.3608, 0.4579, 0.3418, 0.3493, 0.4407, 0.4392, 0.2871, 0.2881, 0.162, 0.2602, 0.311, 0.3658, 0.3658, 0.3396, 0.3496, 0.4908, 0.5034, 0.6268, 0.6291, 0.6581, 0.6305, 0.7353, 0.8253, 0.8385, 0.8188, 0.8541, 0.7865, 0.7781, 0.701, 0.6081, 0.6132, 0.6914, 0.7432, 0.7453, 0.7762, 0.8235, 0.6887, 0.7737, 1.0087, 0.9787, 1.1358, 1.1423, 1.0233, 0.9195, 0.8709, 0.8966, 0.9998, 0.9975, 0.9975, 1.0175, 1.0113, 0.9942, 0.9123, 0.9123, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2004952198275571862", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-12-27T16:27:08+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Go few levels deeper into $AXTI (vertically integrated)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on LITE, COHR on pricing power; flags AXTI and photonic supply chains as overlooked bottleneck opportunity akin to HBM.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yep, $LITE and $COHR are amazing and are up quite a bit since they tons pricing power.   \n\nGo few levels deeper into $AXTI (vertically integrated), Sumitomo -> Dowa, etc. the concentration risk + bottleneck flashes warning signs. \n\nWith HBM, it was an investment opportunity when people found that bottleneck. There's likely that same overlooked opportunity with photonic supply chains now when hyperscalers hoard materials and acquire capacity.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit This is elite level supply chain work. The market is already sniffing it out: $LITE is up 304% vs the S&amp;P over 6 months, $COHR up 110%. When the picks and shovels outperform the miners by that much, someone figured out where the real bottleneck lives.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "VulcanMK5", "ret_m1d": 0.053461255984486034, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.053461255984486034, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04988488291347637, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.048930919268866724, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003576373071009664, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00453033671561931, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0829335178541688, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0829335178541688, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08415461858875106, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08540460299076469, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012211007345822589, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0024710851365958852, "ret_p1w": 0.14256339286858166, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.14256339286858166, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14275237698110377, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10582633129221697, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0001889841125221059, "bench_c_p1w": 0.036737061576364693, "ret_p1m": 0.17888969040816738, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.17888969040816738, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1677826029700944, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.060716082998414356, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011107087438072982, "bench_c_p1m": 0.11817360740975302, "ret_p3m": 3.010280857410069, "ret_signed_p3m": 3.010280857410069, "alpha_spy_p3m": 3.069884257700485, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.9646203723246023, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.05960340029041622, "bench_c_p3m": 0.045660485085466496, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6635, -0.6779, -0.6484, -0.6299, -0.6361, -0.6361, -0.6415, -0.7238, -0.6847, -0.6868, -0.6854, -0.6621, -0.6909, -0.6635, -0.6456, -0.6614, -0.645, -0.5846, -0.5757, -0.5476, -0.5154, -0.4983, -0.4551, -0.4202, -0.4147, -0.3763, -0.392, -0.3516, -0.2844, -0.2762, -0.2474, -0.2844, -0.2844, -0.2975, -0.3215, -0.3071, -0.3523, -0.3879, -0.3598, -0.3674, -0.2838, -0.2838, -0.2666, -0.2605, -0.194, -0.2132, -0.1707, -0.2063, -0.1289, 0.0254, 0.0631, 0.1227, 0.0151, 0.0164, -0.109, -0.1528, -0.0398, 0.0041, 0.0432, 0.0034, 0.0288, 0.0288, 0.0535, 0.0, 0.0829, 0.1206, 0.1206, 0.1487, 0.1426, 0.3825, 0.6525, 0.7704, 0.5757, 0.5243, 0.4743, 0.5147, 0.7629, 0.5141, 0.5141, 0.4674, 0.3557, 0.2282, 0.1926, 0.22, 0.1789, 0.1535, 0.1227, 0.2707, 0.4352, 0.353, 0.2851, 0.4003, 0.6491, 0.9034, 0.669, 0.8369, 0.6991, 0.6614, 0.6614, 0.5908, 0.6134, 0.6319, 1.0343, 0.9486, 1.4044, 1.8081, 1.5442, 1.5977, 2.1748, 1.8622, 1.682, 1.6594, 1.2186, 1.6429, 2.0363, 2.2461, 2.2029, 2.3489, 2.3167, 2.0404, 2.342, 2.9815, 2.7176, 3.4167, 3.6909, 3.6162, 3.0103, 3.1556, 2.6141, 2.9054, 2.231, 2.6217, 2.6217, 1.878, 2.1158, 2.645, 3.3263, 3.3989, 3.5545, 3.6127, 3.3132, 4.6052, 4.6587, 4.3982, 4.1385, 4.9589, 4.159, 4.22, 3.8081, 3.7094, 3.8711, 4.4297, 5.5798, 6.2653, 6.3715, 6.1851, 6.4311, 6.9753, 7.623, 7.4236, 7.3578, 6.8807, 7.4839, 6.257, 6.7368, 6.17, 7.2947, 8.6525, 8.6525, 8.0884, 7.4147, 6.9301, 6.0706, 6.0706, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2004952198275571862", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-12-27T16:27:08+00:00", "symbol": "photonic supply chains", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "There's likely that same overlooked opportunity with photonic supply chains now when hyperscalers hoard materials and acquire capacity", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on LITE, COHR on pricing power; flags AXTI and photonic supply chains as overlooked bottleneck opportunity akin to HBM.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR", "LITE", "AAOI", "FN", "POET"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Photonic supply chain basket", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yep, $LITE and $COHR are amazing and are up quite a bit since they tons pricing power.   \n\nGo few levels deeper into $AXTI (vertically integrated), Sumitomo -> Dowa, etc. the concentration risk + bottleneck flashes warning signs. \n\nWith HBM, it was an investment opportunity when people found that bottleneck. There's likely that same overlooked opportunity with photonic supply chains now when hyperscalers hoard materials and acquire capacity.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit This is elite level supply chain work. The market is already sniffing it out: $LITE is up 304% vs the S&amp;P over 6 months, $COHR up 110%. When the picks and shovels outperform the miners by that much, someone figured out where the real bottleneck lives.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "VulcanMK5", "ret_m1d": 0.025790509839963692, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.025790509839963692, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.022214136768954028, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.022214136768954028, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003576373071009664, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003576373071009664, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011990461614804748, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011990461614804748, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010769360880222489, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010769360880222489, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012211007345822589, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012211007345822589, "ret_p1w": 4.137295358848103e-05, "ret_signed_p1w": 4.137295358848103e-05, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.00023035706611058694, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.00023035706611058694, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0001889841125221059, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0001889841125221059, "ret_p1m": 0.047743800961954116, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.047743800961954116, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.036636713523881134, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.036636713523881134, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011107087438072982, "bench_c_p1m": 0.011107087438072982, "ret_p3m": 0.5580898471359592, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5580898471359592, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.6176932474263754, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.6176932474263754, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.05960340029041622, "bench_c_p3m": -0.05960340029041622, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2931, -0.2819, -0.2946, -0.2565, -0.2272, -0.1693, -0.177, -0.2677, -0.2137, -0.2094, -0.1966, -0.2143, -0.2264, -0.1958, -0.1989, -0.235, -0.2107, -0.1518, -0.1445, -0.1492, -0.155, -0.1806, -0.1751, -0.1839, -0.2255, -0.1701, -0.1863, -0.197, -0.1863, -0.2159, -0.2237, -0.3021, -0.3015, -0.3012, -0.3028, -0.2843, -0.3328, -0.3072, -0.2384, -0.2376, -0.1942, -0.1942, -0.1599, -0.1805, -0.1912, -0.1436, -0.0989, -0.0973, -0.0694, -0.0152, 0.0333, 0.052, -0.0645, -0.088, -0.1106, -0.1368, -0.0948, -0.0248, 0.0617, 0.0571, 0.0569, 0.0569, 0.0258, 0.0, -0.012, -0.0307, -0.0307, 0.0504, 0.0, 0.0566, 0.0479, -0.0399, -0.0223, -0.0215, 0.0065, 0.0099, 0.0579, 0.0411, 0.0411, 0.0663, 0.0794, 0.0239, -0.006, -0.024, 0.0477, 0.0893, 0.0407, 0.0569, 0.0932, 0.1018, 0.0411, 0.0456, 0.1713, 0.2296, 0.1829, 0.1838, 0.1498, 0.1544, 0.1544, 0.1733, 0.1772, 0.2309, 0.3077, 0.3323, 0.3804, 0.4435, 0.3494, 0.5232, 0.7522, 0.6383, 0.6469, 0.6021, 0.4687, 0.641, 0.7363, 0.7676, 0.6087, 0.5395, 0.5376, 0.4913, 0.5534, 0.6803, 0.5197, 0.5991, 0.7686, 0.7735, 0.5581, 0.5619, 0.4112, 0.4922, 0.5405, 0.7057, 0.7057, 0.688, 0.7665, 0.95, 0.9539, 1.1224, 1.1426, 1.08, 1.0479, 1.191, 1.2268, 1.297, 1.2405, 1.3358, 1.2119, 1.4783, 1.1282, 1.0091, 1.0895, 1.2244, 1.3801, 1.3359, 1.4332, 1.4281, 1.2325, 1.2485, 1.6735, 1.6417, 1.9287, 2.0194, 1.7559, 1.5331, 1.4712, 1.4772, 1.631, 1.6398, 1.6398, 1.5557, 1.5624, 1.4691, 1.3564, 1.3564, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972030383270383839", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-27T20:07:36+00:00", "symbol": "NUAI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I don't see how retail holders can benefit from holding shares apart from short term pumps + expanding rev by a ton (which involves dilution + financing)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish NUAI: massive below-market dilution potential via ATW AI equity financing and proposed 3B+ share authorization leaves retail holders with no path to benefit.", "resolved_tickers": ["NUAI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I looked into $NUAI earlier, their dilution is a red flag for retail investors unless they refinance.  \n\nThey have an equity financing with ATW AI LLC allowing issuance of $1B of shares 95% market discount. Repeat: Way below-market dilution potential.  \n\nThey also proposed another 3B+ share authorization.\n\nUnless they refinance or avoid drawing from the EPFA, I don't see how retail holders can benefit from holding shares apart from short term pumps + expanding rev by a ton (which involves dilution + financing).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit You should look into $NUAI as well.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "GClandesti37321", "ret_m1d": -0.2639999866485596, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.2639999866485596, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.2611974962324368, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.2611974962324368, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.2639999866485596, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.2639999866485596, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.2677668534076716, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.2677668534076716, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "ret_p1w": -0.28400001525878904, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.28400001525878904, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2959484966412017, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2959484966412017, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "ret_p1m": 1.2559999465942382, "ret_signed_p1m": -1.2559999465942382, "alpha_spy_p1m": -1.2207721398516689, "alpha_c_p1m": -1.2207721398516689, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "ret_p3m": 0.8899999618530274, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.8899999618530274, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.8466959772408742, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.8466959772408742, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "ret_p6m": 0.8999999999999999, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.8999999999999999, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.9102170064119418, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.9102170064119418, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "price_path": [-0.822, -0.8288, -0.8288, -0.8296, -0.8152, -0.808, -0.8224, -0.8276, -0.8168, -0.8052, -0.8036, -0.784, -0.8008, -0.802, -0.7972, -0.8056, -0.8196, -0.8232, -0.8128, -0.822, -0.8232, -0.8268, -0.8336, -0.8412, -0.8444, -0.844, -0.8452, -0.844, -0.8468, -0.8172, -0.8112, -0.8268, -0.8264, -0.8164, -0.826, -0.8288, -0.8232, -0.81, -0.8056, -0.8044, -0.8, -0.7984, -0.8008, -0.8008, -0.8296, -0.848, -0.838, -0.8492, -0.8684, -0.8504, -0.8448, -0.7708, -0.8404, -0.832, -0.812, -0.8196, -0.808, -0.7824, -0.7572, -0.662, -0.6316, -0.448, -0.264, 0.0, -0.264, -0.248, -0.24, -0.364, -0.284, -0.332, -0.384, 0.132, 0.04, -0.06, 0.228, 0.34, 0.26, 0.82, 1.256, 0.732, 0.516, 0.58, 1.344, 1.508, 1.256, 1.212, 1.236, 1.266, 1.528, 1.328, 1.268, 1.416, 1.148, 1.034, 0.76, 0.988, 0.694, 0.606, 0.596, 0.712, 0.514, 0.332, 0.52, 0.76, 0.872, 1.028, 1.028, 1.036, 0.936, 0.75, 0.692, 0.77, 0.728, 0.744, 0.6, 0.424, 0.44, 0.34, 0.282, 0.344, 0.32, 0.452, 0.508, 0.712, 0.912, 0.89, 0.89, 0.824, 0.076, -0.052, 0.172, 0.172, 0.376, 0.424, 0.308, 0.28, 0.428, 0.432, 0.476, 0.764, 0.656, 0.82, 0.732, 0.732, 1.196, 1.74, 2.224, 1.918, 1.536, 2.04, 2.072, 1.948, 1.744, 1.444, 1.666, 1.32, 1.084, 1.024, 1.028, 0.996, 1.008, 0.84, 0.968, 0.968, 0.706, 0.892, 0.936, 0.9, 1.04, 1.016, 0.96, 0.972, 0.832, 0.76, 0.724, 0.908, 0.884, 0.824, 0.836, 0.804, 1.104, 0.968, 1.008, 1.224, 1.392, 1.12, 0.964, 0.982, 0.984, 0.9]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2010916127925293347", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-13T03:25:40+00:00", "symbol": "SIDU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Vertically integrated LEO satellite as a service company. They build satellites, but customize it for other companies. ->contract under the Missile Defense Agency's (MDA) SHIELD ($151 billion total) -> subcontractor for NASA -> alpha is that it's vertically integrated so they could pivot build out Starshield or golden dome defense", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Three undiscovered 10x candidates: SIDU (LEO satellite services/defense), ACMR (China semi equipment replacing AMAT/LRCX), AIRO (drone/counter-drone warfare).", "resolved_tickers": ["SIDU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bruh $AXTI and $OSS was barely mentioned until 2 weeks ago.   \n\n1. $SIDU ($222m) - Vertically integrated LEO satellite as a service company. They build satellites, but customize it for other companies. \n\n->contract under the Missile Defense Agency's (MDA) SHIELD ($151 billion total)\n-> subcontractor for NASA\n-> alpha is that it's vertically integrated so they could pivot build out Starshield or golden dome defense, etc which brings incredible value.  \n\nDownside? Heavy dilution -> they just diluted at $1.3 so if you're buying at now $3.4, you're buying close to 3x the price as underwriters. \n\n2. $ACMR ($3.4B) - Basically becoming the $AMAT  and $LRCX of China since the latter two got banned. Default infra for Chinese semi industry is the thesis.  \n\n3. $AIRO ($390m) - Easy to look at $ONDS ($5B) or $AVAV ($18B) to see 10x potential.  \n -> expanding from GPS-denied environment drones to kamikaze drones like $AVAV\n->  bullet drones that intercepts drones and detonates \n\nHuge, huge growing market that markets don't fully understand yet.  \n\nEveryone is building up drone capacity, then you also need to destroy the enemy drones too. These are already battle tested in Ukraine", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I am looking for the next moonshot.\n\nGive me your top 3 gems that no one is talking about yet. \n\nI don't want to hear about the $OSS, $ONDS, $NBIS, $AXTI's of the world...\n\nI want stocks that have the potential to 10x in the coming years and that are still undiscovered...\n\nI will", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "pepemoonboy", "ret_m1d": 0.09646308709139673, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.09646308709139673, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.09445960607510928, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.09445960607510928, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002003481016287445, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002003481016287445, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.2057878220232079, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.2057878220232079, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.21070305936482647, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.21070305936482647, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0049152373416185835, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0049152373416185835, "ret_p1w": 0.1832798041441137, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1832798041441137, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.20661611036768746, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.20661611036768746, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023336306223573744, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023336306223573744, "ret_p1m": -0.27974273791166016, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.27974273791166016, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.27713382823900445, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.27713382823900445, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026089096726557015, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0026089096726557015, "ret_p3m": 0.36655953162630217, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.36655953162630217, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.38451128964538694, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.38451128964538694, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.017951758019084774, "bench_c_p3m": -0.017951758019084774, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6013, -0.6141, -0.5916, -0.6045, -0.6302, -0.6109, -0.6141, -0.6141, -0.6238, -0.6302, -0.6399, -0.6367, -0.6559, -0.6559, -0.6656, -0.6814, -0.6871, -0.7055, -0.7196, -0.7273, -0.737, -0.7244, -0.7717, -0.7395, -0.7505, -0.7717, -0.7608, -0.7614, -0.7762, -0.7768, -0.7768, -0.7752, -0.7961, -0.7936, -0.7524, -0.7408, -0.7617, -0.754, -0.7441, -0.6367, -0.6206, -0.6752, -0.6688, -0.6907, -0.7106, -0.7251, -0.627, -0.2637, -0.4695, -0.2926, -0.2926, -0.3794, -0.1736, -0.1415, 0.0096, 0.0096, 0.3923, 0.2733, 0.5884, 0.492, 0.3762, 0.2894, 0.0965, 0.0, 0.2058, 0.1929, 0.0836, 0.0836, 0.1833, 0.0836, 0.1994, 0.3859, 0.1286, 0.164, 0.0804, -0.0482, -0.0997, -0.1704, -0.1061, -0.2492, -0.3167, -0.2219, -0.209, -0.2379, -0.2797, -0.3408, -0.3023, -0.3023, -0.3151, -0.2926, -0.2637, -0.3344, -0.3473, -0.3248, -0.3344, -0.2958, -0.373, -0.3473, -0.3473, -0.3215, -0.3505, -0.3891, -0.3569, -0.3666, -0.3601, -0.3023, -0.3312, -0.3408, -0.2379, -0.2669, -0.2637, -0.2572, -0.1929, -0.2315, -0.0868, -0.1318, -0.2701, -0.3087, -0.254, -0.3248, -0.0064, -0.0064, 0.1801, 0.2186, 0.1704, 0.074, 0.3666, 0.5852, 0.7074, 0.5691, 0.9132, 0.7203, 0.3955, 0.2058, 0.3039, 0.1929, 0.0997, 0.0772, -0.0096, -0.0032, 0.0547, 0.0868, -0.0064, -0.0514, 0.0514, -0.0514, 0.0965, 0.2026, 0.0675, 0.0482, 0.1768, 0.2894, 0.2572, 0.1576, 0.2363, 0.328, 0.6463, 0.6463, 0.9936, 0.9566, 0.6656, 0.5788, 0.5788, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2010916127925293347", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-13T03:25:40+00:00", "symbol": "ACMR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Basically becoming the $AMAT and $LRCX of China since the latter two got banned. Default infra for Chinese semi industry is the thesis.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Three undiscovered 10x candidates: SIDU (LEO satellite services/defense), ACMR (China semi equipment replacing AMAT/LRCX), AIRO (drone/counter-drone warfare).", "resolved_tickers": ["ACMR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bruh $AXTI and $OSS was barely mentioned until 2 weeks ago.   \n\n1. $SIDU ($222m) - Vertically integrated LEO satellite as a service company. They build satellites, but customize it for other companies. \n\n->contract under the Missile Defense Agency's (MDA) SHIELD ($151 billion total)\n-> subcontractor for NASA\n-> alpha is that it's vertically integrated so they could pivot build out Starshield or golden dome defense, etc which brings incredible value.  \n\nDownside? Heavy dilution -> they just diluted at $1.3 so if you're buying at now $3.4, you're buying close to 3x the price as underwriters. \n\n2. $ACMR ($3.4B) - Basically becoming the $AMAT  and $LRCX of China since the latter two got banned. Default infra for Chinese semi industry is the thesis.  \n\n3. $AIRO ($390m) - Easy to look at $ONDS ($5B) or $AVAV ($18B) to see 10x potential.  \n -> expanding from GPS-denied environment drones to kamikaze drones like $AVAV\n->  bullet drones that intercepts drones and detonates \n\nHuge, huge growing market that markets don't fully understand yet.  \n\nEveryone is building up drone capacity, then you also need to destroy the enemy drones too. These are already battle tested in Ukraine", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I am looking for the next moonshot.\n\nGive me your top 3 gems that no one is talking about yet. \n\nI don't want to hear about the $OSS, $ONDS, $NBIS, $AXTI's of the world...\n\nI want stocks that have the potential to 10x in the coming years and that are still undiscovered...\n\nI will", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "pepemoonboy", "ret_m1d": 0.039953209553559965, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.039953209553559965, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03794972853727252, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03794972853727252, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002003481016287445, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002003481016287445, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01598128382142394, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01598128382142394, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.011066046479805358, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011066046479805358, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0049152373416185835, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0049152373416185835, "ret_p1w": -0.002923436403511559, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.002923436403511559, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.020412869820062185, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.020412869820062185, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023336306223573744, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023336306223573744, "ret_p1m": 0.3775092265339064, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3775092265339064, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3801181362065621, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3801181362065621, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026089096726557015, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0026089096726557015, "ret_p3m": -0.06314561667802554, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06314561667802554, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.045193858658940766, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.045193858658940766, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.017951758019084774, "bench_c_p3m": -0.017951758019084774, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2267, -0.258, -0.2245, -0.2413, -0.2666, -0.2156, -0.1869, -0.1731, -0.2113, -0.1779, -0.1966, -0.192, -0.1937, -0.2419, -0.3931, -0.3974, -0.3939, -0.3578, -0.3639, -0.3411, -0.3639, -0.3859, -0.3867, -0.4003, -0.3861, -0.4218, -0.4147, -0.3761, -0.3549, -0.3594, -0.3594, -0.3489, -0.3508, -0.3594, -0.3385, -0.3253, -0.3159, -0.2879, -0.2781, -0.2306, -0.2206, -0.2432, -0.2647, -0.2762, -0.2719, -0.2631, -0.2249, -0.2046, -0.2228, -0.2185, -0.2185, -0.2083, -0.221, -0.2165, -0.2311, -0.2311, -0.1253, -0.123, -0.0859, -0.0723, -0.0413, 0.0372, 0.04, 0.0, -0.016, 0.0172, 0.045, 0.045, -0.0029, 0.0417, 0.007, -0.0285, -0.0035, 0.0515, 0.0873, 0.0657, 0.1327, 0.1912, 0.1935, 0.1013, 0.06, 0.2177, 0.2208, 0.2263, 0.3775, 0.2493, 0.2637, 0.2637, 0.2703, 0.2592, 0.2736, 0.2978, 0.2691, 0.3206, 0.3344, 0.1117, 0.0852, 0.113, 0.0045, 0.0099, -0.0585, -0.1245, -0.09, -0.0633, -0.0668, -0.1177, -0.0961, -0.0856, -0.0774, -0.0918, -0.0918, -0.1512, -0.1263, -0.105, -0.1105, -0.1973, -0.2191, -0.2608, -0.2331, -0.2115, -0.2099, -0.2099, -0.1879, -0.1832, -0.1008, -0.0846, -0.0631, -0.0329, -0.0109, -0.0296, -0.0667, -0.0136, -0.0316, -0.0019, 0.0628, 0.0522, 0.0934, 0.0374, -0.0347, -0.0518, 0.0074, 0.0164, -0.0016, 0.029, 0.0793, 0.1538, 0.1664, 0.2604, 0.2276, 0.2619, 0.2315, 0.2409, 0.2327, 0.2951, 0.3954, 0.3952, 0.4295, 0.4295, 0.6851, 0.7275, 0.8098, 0.687, 0.687, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2010916127925293347", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-13T03:25:40+00:00", "symbol": "AIRO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Easy to look at $ONDS ($5B) or $AVAV ($18B) to see 10x potential. -> expanding from GPS-denied environment drones to kamikaze drones like $AVAV -> bullet drones that intercepts drones and detonates", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Three undiscovered 10x candidates: SIDU (LEO satellite services/defense), ACMR (China semi equipment replacing AMAT/LRCX), AIRO (drone/counter-drone warfare).", "resolved_tickers": ["AIRO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bruh $AXTI and $OSS was barely mentioned until 2 weeks ago.   \n\n1. $SIDU ($222m) - Vertically integrated LEO satellite as a service company. They build satellites, but customize it for other companies. \n\n->contract under the Missile Defense Agency's (MDA) SHIELD ($151 billion total)\n-> subcontractor for NASA\n-> alpha is that it's vertically integrated so they could pivot build out Starshield or golden dome defense, etc which brings incredible value.  \n\nDownside? Heavy dilution -> they just diluted at $1.3 so if you're buying at now $3.4, you're buying close to 3x the price as underwriters. \n\n2. $ACMR ($3.4B) - Basically becoming the $AMAT  and $LRCX of China since the latter two got banned. Default infra for Chinese semi industry is the thesis.  \n\n3. $AIRO ($390m) - Easy to look at $ONDS ($5B) or $AVAV ($18B) to see 10x potential.  \n -> expanding from GPS-denied environment drones to kamikaze drones like $AVAV\n->  bullet drones that intercepts drones and detonates \n\nHuge, huge growing market that markets don't fully understand yet.  \n\nEveryone is building up drone capacity, then you also need to destroy the enemy drones too. These are already battle tested in Ukraine", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I am looking for the next moonshot.\n\nGive me your top 3 gems that no one is talking about yet. \n\nI don't want to hear about the $OSS, $ONDS, $NBIS, $AXTI's of the world...\n\nI want stocks that have the potential to 10x in the coming years and that are still undiscovered...\n\nI will", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "pepemoonboy", "ret_m1d": -0.03105594477100304, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03105594477100304, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.033059425787290486, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.025934397710194457, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002003481016287445, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0051215470608085845, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02717386837621172, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02717386837621172, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0320891057178303, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02558846990268382, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0049152373416185835, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0015853984735278992, "ret_p1w": -0.011646007055264751, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.011646007055264751, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.011690299168308993, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.008719462047459992, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023336306223573744, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0029265450078047595, "ret_p1m": -0.28493789159048066, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.28493789159048066, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.28232898191782496, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3509705357035565, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026089096726557015, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06603264411307586, "ret_p3m": -0.38819875431476536, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.38819875431476536, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3702469962956806, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.43692729608683845, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.017951758019084774, "bench_c_p3m": 0.048728541772073086, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.4596, 0.3587, 0.4185, 0.396, 0.3276, 0.3393, 0.3571, 0.3455, 0.3059, 0.3043, 0.2694, 0.2702, 0.264, 0.1079, 0.1021, 0.0186, 0.0458, 0.0714, 0.0582, 0.038, -0.0101, -0.2158, -0.198, -0.2345, -0.3113, -0.3898, -0.3797, -0.389, -0.3913, -0.3602, -0.3602, -0.3284, -0.3641, -0.3571, -0.3207, -0.2554, -0.264, -0.2461, -0.2547, -0.245, -0.2469, -0.3401, -0.382, -0.403, -0.4247, -0.4239, -0.3766, -0.2935, -0.2857, -0.2741, -0.2741, -0.3214, -0.3556, -0.3672, -0.3649, -0.3649, -0.2826, -0.2143, -0.1343, -0.1661, -0.0722, -0.0303, -0.0311, 0.0, 0.0272, 0.0248, 0.038, 0.038, -0.0116, -0.0551, -0.0272, -0.0536, -0.111, -0.0916, -0.1188, -0.1522, -0.2011, -0.2197, -0.2089, -0.2585, -0.3416, -0.2516, -0.2158, -0.2601, -0.2849, -0.2927, -0.2857, -0.2857, -0.2896, -0.2733, -0.2073, -0.2772, -0.2508, -0.2182, -0.2314, -0.2104, -0.2391, -0.1693, -0.2189, -0.2174, -0.205, -0.2174, -0.1809, -0.1669, -0.1848, -0.2104, -0.2399, -0.2182, -0.1755, -0.2252, -0.2267, -0.2873, -0.243, -0.2624, -0.2686, -0.2966, -0.3339, -0.3346, -0.4095, -0.3618, -0.3238, -0.3238, -0.3207, -0.3214, -0.3152, -0.3727, -0.3882, -0.3898, -0.3727, -0.3509, -0.3284, -0.3734, -0.3331, -0.3478, -0.3245, -0.3595, -0.3843, -0.3618, -0.382, -0.4177, -0.4068, -0.4239, -0.4379, -0.4449, -0.4231, -0.4394, -0.4301, -0.3843, -0.3921, -0.3921, -0.4864, -0.5054, -0.5334, -0.5458, -0.5357, -0.514, -0.4907, -0.4907, -0.4565, -0.434, -0.3098, -0.3028, -0.3028, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1994089931602579688", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-27T17:04:22+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The true alpha from investors understanding that the market is mispricing $NBIS basket of hyper-growth companies", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long NBIS: market mispricing hyper-growth subsidiaries (Avride, Toloka, Clickhouse); sum-of-parts valuation well below fair value with triple-digit growth across units.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NBIS is about to leapfrog $CRWV, here's why:\n\nAmong $TSLA, $AMZN, $GOOGL, and Hyundai, Nebius [ $NBIS ] owns 1 of only 4 FSD-LVL 4 US Robotaxi companies: Avride.\n\nWhat people also don't know is this:\n\n$NBIS owns Toloka, growing 140% Y/Y.\n\nUsed by Anthropic, Hugging Face, $AMZN, $MSFT,  Servicenow, and $SHOP for training artificial intelligence models, Toklo is likely valued around $700M-$1.2B in its latest round by Jeff Bezos's venture arm. \n\nNebius owns a majority stake (roughly ~60%), but the market is mispricing how their subsidiary companies grows at extreme rates alongside their core business.  \n\nWhile not as dominant as Avride or Clickhouse, Toloka represents a meaningful piece the Nebius investment thesis given their growth rate.\n\nWe’ve seen Scale AI ( $29B ) get acquired by $META recently (technically ~49%) to get a sense of market size, and we’ve seen customers from $GOOGL and OpenAI defect due to conflict of interest concerns, given added value to Toloka. 

Google and OpenAI reportedly cut ties with Scale after Meta's acquisition. Google alone had $200M budgeted for Scale in 2025. Even capturing 10-20% of that displaced spend would materially boost Toloka's revenue.\n\nManagement guided $50-70M for 2025. The bull case assumes they hit $70M+ (the upper bound or exceed it). Given they grew 140% in 2024, this isn't unreasonable if enterprise deals convert. The math: $70M × 25x = $1.75B. At $80M with 25-30x (if momentum is exceptionally strong), you get toward $2-2.5B. \n\nBut given their growth rate we’ll likely see:

Base case (12-15x multiple): $700M-$1B (currently) -> $900M-$1.3B 1Y forward.\n\nBull Case 20-25x: $1.2-1.75B (currently) -> $1.5-2.5B 1Y forward\n\nRevenue grew 140% year-over-year in 2024 to approximately $26.4 million, with 2025 guidance of $50-70 million (90-165% Y/Y growth). And with a general bull-case sceanrio, we might see an additional ~$1.4B in subsidiary value added to Sum of Parts in 1 year time. \n\nIn multiple years time, that value might bring in $3B, $6B, $9B alone if the both the company and market grows. \n\nIn short, the market is still valuing Nebius’s subsidiaries as if they were slow-moving, commoditized businesses instead of high-value compounding at triple-digit rates. The true alpha from investors understanding that the market is mispricing $NBIS basket of hyper-growth companies.\n\n$NBIS with multiple triple-digit-growth subsidiaries benefits from parallel value creation: each business scales independently, but their progress reinforces the parent company's valuation.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Nebius [ $NBIS ] core business is insanity. 700%+ Y/Y growth to $7-9B+ ARR in 1Y.\n\nWhat's more insane is this.  \n\nTheir subsidiary can outgrow their main business 🤯\n \nHere's why:  \n\n$GOOGL Waymo, $TSLA, $AMZN Zoox, Motional, $NBIS Avride are the only 5 FSD US Robotaxi companies https://t.co/2Nsn1YOh4t", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0019009430830585483, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0019009430830585483, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0035574632555563923, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00622422630590691, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005458406338614941, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008125169388965459, "ret_p1w": 0.08564790792322552, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08564790792322552, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07871824252335347, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07402809323810788, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006929665399872054, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011619814685117635, "ret_p1m": -0.0749815811643798, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0749815811643798, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09362234586868434, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10898401768209143, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018640764704304535, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03400243651771162, "ret_p3m": 0.08332452409145019, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08332452409145019, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0690516585030807, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06518662201906844, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014272865588369488, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01813790207238175, "ret_p6m": 1.2681381216075018, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.2681381216075018, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.1648459096533572, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.2529063304181431, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10329221195414462, "bench_c_p6m": 0.01523179118935869, "price_path": [-0.2785, -0.3059, -0.3067, -0.3145, -0.3086, -0.3235, 0.0109, -0.0137, -0.0581, -0.0452, -0.0394, -0.0555, -0.0064, -0.006, 0.0488, 0.1258, 0.1385, 0.1958, 0.1399, 0.1374, 0.164, 0.1857, 0.2209, 0.3293, 0.3516, 0.3195, 0.243, 0.2884, 0.4008, 0.3685, 0.4306, 0.3534, 0.3289, 0.2994, 0.198, 0.1511, 0.1013, 0.0415, 0.1211, 0.2384, 0.3246, 0.2866, 0.3212, 0.3114, 0.3816, 0.2723, 0.1674, 0.2356, 0.1558, 0.1752, 0.1612, 0.0795, -0.0035, -0.064, -0.1178, -0.092, -0.0438, 0.004, -0.1061, -0.1207, -0.0295, -0.0614, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0019, 0.0577, 0.0186, 0.0447, 0.0856, 0.0354, 0.0596, 0.0182, -0.0116, -0.0043, -0.0739, -0.1431, -0.1451, -0.2032, -0.1753, -0.0552, -0.0154, -0.0492, -0.0376, -0.0376, -0.075, -0.0914, -0.1005, -0.116, -0.116, -0.0501, -0.0196, 0.0586, 0.0161, 0.0276, 0.0342, 0.1335, 0.1134, 0.077, 0.0971, 0.1483, 0.1483, 0.0486, 0.0441, 0.0228, -0.002, -0.0341, 0.0336, 0.0606, 0.0023, -0.1003, -0.069, -0.0501, -0.1299, -0.2199, -0.0907, -0.0191, -0.0306, -0.0642, -0.0524, 0.0351, 0.0351, 0.0299, 0.0751, 0.1364, 0.0341, 0.0625, 0.0833, 0.1207, 0.1076, -0.037, -0.0389, -0.0833, 0.0326, 0.0101, -0.0566, 0.0026, 0.0184, 0.1828, 0.141, 0.1928, 0.3713, 0.2285, 0.2521, 0.2833, 0.2422, 0.2055, 0.2135, 0.2154, 0.1191, 0.0647, -0.0257, 0.0958, 0.0767, 0.1492, 0.1492, 0.1885, 0.2398, 0.3201, 0.4398, 0.531, 0.6323, 0.7102, 0.7612, 0.7461, 0.6595, 0.6809, 0.6533, 0.649, 0.6589, 0.5541, 0.5309, 0.4311, 0.4911, 0.4598, 0.6315, 0.8631, 0.8579, 1.0603, 0.9513, 0.8698, 0.9654, 0.8915, 1.1889, 1.3355, 1.3227, 1.1107, 1.0882, 1.0258, 1.3226, 1.2681]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1995107163086422482", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-30T12:26:29+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS is the clear future leader of the Neocloud sector if we look at things 6M from now rather than present earnings", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS as future Neocloud leader on 700% ARR growth + 5Y hyperscaler contracts; NVDA fears overblown mid-term.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Agreed, $NBIS is the clear future leader of the Neocloud sector if we look at things 6M from now rather than present earnings.\n\nShorting $CRWV would have been a good hedge against the recent market drop.\n\nI liked Nebius because alongside their core business growing ARR 700% y/y they have 4 subsidiaries growing 100% Y/Y.\n\nThat being said the biggest headwind is dilution. I hated that they diluted 25M shares and not just enough for the $META deal. Nasdaq 100 inclusion alongside post-msci would offset that but otherwise it’s a constant overhang on the price as an investor. \n\nSecond are depreciation arguments and potential long term threats from the Google TPU on the Nvidia ecosystem I’d say. Which is why Colo providers like $CIFR have been outperforming. \n\nHowever lot of those fears about $NVDA are overblown mid term and Nebius has 5Y contracts locked in with hyperscalers so it’s just a waiting game for scale.\n\nJust mindblowingly high return potential.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Again an incredible write up. No matter which way you look at $NBIS is such an amazing investment. My largest holding. From a TA perspective, we need a clear breakout above $100 which may open the door to $115. \nOn the downside, if we lose $88 likely tests $81.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "_stockResearch", "ret_m1d": -0.052720905630066484, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.052720905630066484, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05730735049238922, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.057422753442149754, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004701847812083271, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.036944628270231594, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.036944628270231594, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.038796927944310666, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04025331122801734, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003308682957785747, "ret_p1w": 0.0017973070637373745, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0017973070637373745, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.003141948190520605, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01047963228719273, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012276939350930105, "ret_p1m": -0.1495756677853144, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1495756677853144, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16246777457768147, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.18286213217720948, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03328646439189509, "ret_p3m": 0.047229112885403435, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.047229112885403435, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.030960854270874583, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.027656878277190877, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "bench_c_p3m": 0.019572234608212558, "ret_p6m": 1.0774837183085886, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.0774837183085886, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.9678303387279186, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.0649106695834534, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "bench_c_p6m": 0.012573048725135205, "price_path": [-0.3445, -0.3519, -0.3463, -0.3604, -0.0442, -0.0675, -0.1094, -0.0973, -0.0918, -0.107, -0.0606, -0.0602, -0.0084, 0.0644, 0.0764, 0.1306, 0.0778, 0.0754, 0.1005, 0.121, 0.1544, 0.2568, 0.2779, 0.2475, 0.1752, 0.2182, 0.3244, 0.2939, 0.3526, 0.2796, 0.2564, 0.2286, 0.1327, 0.0884, 0.0412, -0.0153, 0.06, 0.1708, 0.2524, 0.2165, 0.2491, 0.2399, 0.3062, 0.2029, 0.1037, 0.1682, 0.0928, 0.1111, 0.0979, 0.0207, -0.0578, -0.115, -0.1659, -0.1415, -0.096, -0.0507, -0.1549, -0.1686, -0.0824, -0.1125, -0.0545, -0.0545, -0.0527, 0.0, -0.0369, -0.0123, 0.0265, -0.0211, 0.0018, -0.0373, -0.0655, -0.0586, -0.1244, -0.1898, -0.1917, -0.2466, -0.2203, -0.1067, -0.0691, -0.101, -0.0901, -0.0901, -0.1254, -0.1409, -0.1496, -0.1642, -0.1642, -0.1018, -0.0731, 0.0009, -0.0393, -0.0285, -0.0222, 0.0717, 0.0527, 0.0183, 0.0373, 0.0857, 0.0857, -0.0086, -0.0128, -0.033, -0.0564, -0.0868, -0.0228, 0.0028, -0.0523, -0.1494, -0.1197, -0.1018, -0.1773, -0.2624, -0.1403, -0.0726, -0.0835, -0.1152, -0.104, -0.0214, -0.0214, -0.0263, 0.0165, 0.0745, -0.0223, 0.0046, 0.0243, 0.0596, 0.0472, -0.0895, -0.0913, -0.1333, -0.0237, -0.0449, -0.108, -0.052, -0.0371, 0.1183, 0.0788, 0.1278, 0.2966, 0.1616, 0.1838, 0.2134, 0.1744, 0.1398, 0.1474, 0.1492, 0.0581, 0.0067, -0.0788, 0.036, 0.018, 0.0866, 0.0866, 0.1237, 0.1722, 0.2481, 0.3613, 0.4475, 0.5433, 0.617, 0.6652, 0.6509, 0.569, 0.5892, 0.5632, 0.5591, 0.5684, 0.4694, 0.4474, 0.3531, 0.4098, 0.3802, 0.5426, 0.7616, 0.7566, 0.948, 0.8449, 0.7678, 0.8582, 0.7884, 1.0696, 1.2082, 1.1961, 0.9956, 0.9743, 0.9153, 1.196, 1.1445, 1.1445, 1.0775]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1995107163086422482", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-30T12:26:29+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "lot of those fears about $NVDA are overblown mid term", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS as future Neocloud leader on 700% ARR growth + 5Y hyperscaler contracts; NVDA fears overblown mid-term.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Agreed, $NBIS is the clear future leader of the Neocloud sector if we look at things 6M from now rather than present earnings.\n\nShorting $CRWV would have been a good hedge against the recent market drop.\n\nI liked Nebius because alongside their core business growing ARR 700% y/y they have 4 subsidiaries growing 100% Y/Y.\n\nThat being said the biggest headwind is dilution. I hated that they diluted 25M shares and not just enough for the $META deal. Nasdaq 100 inclusion alongside post-msci would offset that but otherwise it’s a constant overhang on the price as an investor. \n\nSecond are depreciation arguments and potential long term threats from the Google TPU on the Nvidia ecosystem I’d say. Which is why Colo providers like $CIFR have been outperforming. \n\nHowever lot of those fears about $NVDA are overblown mid term and Nebius has 5Y contracts locked in with hyperscalers so it’s just a waiting game for scale.\n\nJust mindblowingly high return potential.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Again an incredible write up. No matter which way you look at $NBIS is such an amazing investment. My largest holding. From a TA perspective, we need a clear breakout above $100 which may open the door to $115. \nOn the downside, if we lose $88 likely tests $81.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "_stockResearch", "ret_m1d": -0.0162295101850789, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0162295101850789, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.020815955047401635, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.020815955047401635, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008559328912786102, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008559328912786102, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00670702923870703, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00670702923870703, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "ret_p1w": 0.03134909133996655, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03134909133996655, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02640983608570857, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02640983608570857, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "ret_p1m": 0.042410128700367755, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.042410128700367755, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02951802190800068, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02951802190800068, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "ret_p3m": 0.027680540949180266, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.027680540949180266, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.011412282334651414, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.011412282334651414, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "ret_p6m": 0.19432850523535183, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.19432850523535183, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08467512565468183, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08467512565468183, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "price_path": [-0.0517, -0.046, -0.0718, -0.0646, -0.051, -0.0145, -0.0153, -0.0117, -0.0121, -0.028, -0.0535, -0.0205, -0.0181, 0.0205, -0.0083, -0.0164, -0.0124, -0.0096, 0.0107, 0.037, 0.0407, 0.0499, 0.0428, 0.0312, 0.0285, 0.0511, 0.0703, 0.018, 0.0467, 0.0006, -0.0005, 0.0105, 0.0183, 0.0151, 0.0069, 0.002, 0.0124, 0.0352, 0.0643, 0.1173, 0.1507, 0.1277, 0.1254, 0.1498, 0.1043, 0.085, 0.0454, 0.0457, 0.1063, 0.0736, 0.0771, 0.0386, 0.057, 0.0371, 0.008, 0.0367, 0.004, -0.0058, 0.0146, -0.0117, 0.0019, 0.0019, -0.0162, 0.0, 0.0086, -0.0018, 0.0193, 0.0139, 0.0313, 0.0281, 0.0215, 0.0057, -0.0272, -0.0201, -0.0122, -0.0499, -0.0321, 0.006, 0.021, 0.0517, 0.0484, 0.0484, 0.059, 0.0462, 0.0424, 0.0366, 0.0366, 0.0497, 0.0456, 0.0407, 0.0511, 0.0285, 0.0275, 0.028, 0.0328, 0.018, 0.0397, 0.0351, 0.0351, -0.0102, 0.019, 0.0274, 0.0431, 0.0365, 0.0479, 0.0645, 0.07, 0.0624, 0.0317, 0.0024, -0.0318, -0.0446, 0.0306, 0.0563, 0.048, 0.0564, 0.0391, 0.0161, 0.0161, 0.0281, 0.0449, 0.0444, 0.0551, 0.0647, 0.0719, 0.087, 0.0277, -0.0151, 0.0143, 0.0008, 0.0174, 0.0191, -0.0116, 0.0152, 0.027, 0.0341, 0.018, 0.0019, 0.0185, 0.0113, 0.0028, -0.0074, -0.04, -0.0237, -0.0261, -0.0068, -0.0481, -0.0688, -0.0819, -0.0306, -0.0231, -0.014, -0.014, -0.0126, -0.01, 0.0121, 0.0223, 0.0485, 0.0523, 0.0923, 0.1054, 0.1026, 0.1211, 0.1232, 0.1111, 0.1256, 0.1097, 0.1577, 0.2041, 0.1849, 0.1631, 0.1093, 0.1031, 0.1033, 0.0923, 0.1553, 0.1757, 0.1962, 0.2198, 0.2272, 0.2553, 0.3104, 0.2525, 0.2358, 0.2263, 0.2422, 0.2202, 0.1969, 0.1969, 0.1943]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1996210971241767216", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-03T13:32:38+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I've been arguing Nebius is structurally misvalued and misunderstood because there's 4 subsidiaries like Avride growing 100%+ Y/Y but markets/algorithms aren't pricing in the moving parts", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS: structurally misvalued with 4 subsidiaries growing 100%+ Y/Y not priced in by markets or algorithms.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Nope, it’s not even news for $NBIS. \n\nJust now, Avride launch with $UBER is probably the biggest headline of the decade for the portfolio company but its not even correlated to Nebius on places like $GOOGL / $HOOD news aggregators (which algorithms rely on too)\n\nThis is why I’ve been arguing Nebius is structurally misvalued and misunderstood because there’s 4 subsidiaries like Avride growing 100%+ Y/Y but markets/algorithms aren’t pricing in the moving parts", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Alleluia, let’s hope for a positive stock reaction 😊", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "lesantcho9306", "ret_m1d": -0.024969685265102903, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.024969685265102903, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.021518866854694507, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.025838245601834675, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003450818410408396, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0008685603367317718, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.039223665129732854, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.039223665129732854, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03849260897573448, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.033491020179764686, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0007310561539983773, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005732644949968169, "ret_p1w": -0.0538819442955466, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0538819442955466, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05926294841396429, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07073246834962588, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005381004118417687, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016850524054079274, "ret_p1m": -0.15381112635995964, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15381112635995964, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1538769169260591, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.17961763261918973, "bench_spy_p1m": 6.57905660994551e-05, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02580650625923009, "ret_p3m": -0.07996356832928131, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07996356832928131, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08657017978752057, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10707721687827598, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006606611458239264, "bench_c_p3m": 0.027113648548994673, "ret_p6m": 1.2881116106707249, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.2881116106707249, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.1784351467745322, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.2682104876915048, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10967646389619268, "bench_c_p6m": 0.019901122979220087, "price_path": [-0.3382, -0.3524, -0.0323, -0.0559, -0.0984, -0.086, -0.0805, -0.0959, -0.0489, -0.0485, 0.0039, 0.0776, 0.0898, 0.1447, 0.0912, 0.0888, 0.1142, 0.135, 0.1687, 0.2724, 0.2938, 0.263, 0.1899, 0.2333, 0.3409, 0.3099, 0.3694, 0.2955, 0.272, 0.2438, 0.1468, 0.1019, 0.0542, -0.003, 0.0732, 0.1854, 0.268, 0.2316, 0.2647, 0.2554, 0.3225, 0.2179, 0.1175, 0.1828, 0.1063, 0.1249, 0.1115, 0.0334, -0.0461, -0.104, -0.1555, -0.1308, -0.0847, -0.0389, -0.1444, -0.1583, -0.071, -0.1015, -0.0428, -0.0428, -0.0409, 0.0124, -0.025, 0.0, 0.0392, -0.0089, 0.0143, -0.0254, -0.0539, -0.0469, -0.1135, -0.1797, -0.1817, -0.2373, -0.2106, -0.0956, -0.0575, -0.0899, -0.0788, -0.0788, -0.1145, -0.1302, -0.139, -0.1538, -0.1538, -0.0907, -0.0616, 0.0133, -0.0274, -0.0164, -0.01, 0.085, 0.0658, 0.0309, 0.0502, 0.0992, 0.0992, 0.0037, -0.0005, -0.0209, -0.0447, -0.0754, -0.0106, 0.0153, -0.0405, -0.1388, -0.1088, -0.0907, -0.1671, -0.2532, -0.1296, -0.0611, -0.0721, -0.1042, -0.0929, -0.0092, -0.0092, -0.0142, 0.0291, 0.0878, -0.0101, 0.0171, 0.037, 0.0728, 0.0603, -0.0781, -0.08, -0.1225, -0.0115, -0.0331, -0.0969, -0.0402, -0.0252, 0.1322, 0.0922, 0.1418, 0.3127, 0.176, 0.1985, 0.2285, 0.189, 0.154, 0.1616, 0.1635, 0.0713, 0.0192, -0.0673, 0.0489, 0.0306, 0.1001, 0.1001, 0.1377, 0.1868, 0.2636, 0.3782, 0.4655, 0.5625, 0.6371, 0.6859, 0.6715, 0.5886, 0.609, 0.5826, 0.5784, 0.5879, 0.4877, 0.4654, 0.3699, 0.4273, 0.3974, 0.5618, 0.7835, 0.7784, 0.9722, 0.8679, 0.7898, 0.8813, 0.8107, 1.0953, 1.2356, 1.2234, 1.0204, 0.9989, 0.9391, 1.2233, 1.1711, 1.1711, 1.1033, 1.1064, 1.2881]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1974284739268972701", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-04T01:25:36+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's at a pretty good spot fundamentally so it's worth holding, but there's better longs like $NBIS", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "HIMS rated Hold with a buy trigger at $50 and strong buy at $45; NBIS preferred as a better long.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'd put $HIMS on Hold. Too many headwinds like Trump launching a US Gov direct to consumer competitor. But at the same time could go up cause it dipped 9.2% today. \n\nI'd switch it to Buy if it dropped another few percent to $50, strong buy around $45. \n\nIt's at a pretty good spot fundamentally so it's worth holding, but there's better longs like $NBIS.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Should HIMS also be a strong buy at 53.XX?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "sunnysssk", "ret_m1d": -0.04054049441292429, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04054049441292429, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03696708058257525, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03696708058257525, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003573413830349037, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003573413830349037, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05861948498102221, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05861948498102221, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.062326977231984104, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.062326977231984104, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003707492250961897, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003707492250961897, "ret_p1w": -0.0005478228673553298, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0005478228673553298, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.012212567570467847, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.012212567570467847, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012760390437823177, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012760390437823177, "ret_p1m": -0.21859017116329815, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.21859017116329815, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2239951675083588, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2239951675083588, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404996345060642, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005404996345060642, "ret_p3m": -0.4070489003661092, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4070489003661092, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4254003700831225, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4254003700831225, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01835146971701329, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01835146971701329, "ret_p6m": -0.6208911456317849, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.6208911456317849, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5947347032596406, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5947347032596406, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.026156442372144317, "bench_c_p6m": -0.026156442372144317, "price_path": [-0.0643, -0.082, -0.1255, -0.0499, -0.0785, -0.0531, -0.0871, -0.08, -0.1308, -0.0867, 0.0595, 0.0467, 0.0528, 0.0716, 0.1006, 0.1967, 0.2085, 0.1423, 0.1569, 0.0139, -0.0663, -0.0678, -0.0515, -0.0873, -0.1242, -0.1174, -0.1393, -0.1596, -0.1764, -0.2297, -0.2078, -0.1972, -0.1861, -0.2149, -0.1718, -0.1963, -0.1943, -0.2266, -0.2266, -0.2416, -0.1881, -0.1214, -0.116, -0.0935, -0.1273, -0.1275, -0.0548, 0.0135, -0.0146, -0.0707, -0.0805, 0.0263, 0.0559, 0.0537, 0.0226, -0.0276, 0.002, 0.0665, 0.0796, 0.0358, 0.0283, 0.0568, -0.0405, 0.0, 0.0586, 0.0623, 0.0637, -0.0148, -0.0005, -0.0135, 0.1461, 0.0802, -0.0909, -0.0621, -0.0986, -0.1333, -0.1145, -0.1092, -0.1192, -0.1395, -0.1485, -0.1954, -0.1698, -0.1894, -0.2186, -0.2014, -0.2418, -0.2507, -0.2504, -0.2741, -0.2874, -0.3417, -0.3247, -0.3503, -0.3378, -0.3457, -0.386, -0.3661, -0.3101, -0.3227, -0.2988, -0.2988, -0.2739, -0.315, -0.3369, -0.323, -0.2692, -0.2841, -0.2856, -0.2728, -0.3083, -0.3103, -0.3205, -0.338, -0.3269, -0.3614, -0.365, -0.3506, -0.3599, -0.3645, -0.3669, -0.3669, -0.3734, -0.3773, -0.3966, -0.407, -0.407, -0.3899, -0.3661, -0.3524, -0.3524, -0.3815, -0.4213, -0.4094, -0.412, -0.428, -0.4297, -0.427, -0.427, -0.4436, -0.4724, -0.4427, -0.4591, -0.447, -0.458, -0.4764, -0.4545, -0.5053, -0.5172, -0.5336, -0.5544, -0.5712, -0.5796, -0.647, -0.6852, -0.6952, -0.7115, -0.7023, -0.7023, -0.7029, -0.7107, -0.7111, -0.7146, -0.7168, -0.7177, -0.7111, -0.7151, -0.7348, -0.6991, -0.7111, -0.6996, -0.71, -0.7126, -0.5953, -0.5714, -0.5274, -0.5646, -0.5477, -0.5457, -0.5438, -0.5772, -0.5588, -0.5979, -0.5898, -0.6103, -0.6194, -0.6191, -0.6461, -0.657, -0.6209]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1974284739268972701", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-04T01:25:36+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "there's better longs like $NBIS", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "HIMS rated Hold with a buy trigger at $50 and strong buy at $45; NBIS preferred as a better long.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'd put $HIMS on Hold. Too many headwinds like Trump launching a US Gov direct to consumer competitor. But at the same time could go up cause it dipped 9.2% today. \n\nI'd switch it to Buy if it dropped another few percent to $50, strong buy around $45. \n\nIt's at a pretty good spot fundamentally so it's worth holding, but there's better longs like $NBIS.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Should HIMS also be a strong buy at 53.XX?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "sunnysssk", "ret_m1d": 0.024331686058298496, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.024331686058298496, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.027905099888647533, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02536163966359417, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003573413830349037, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0010299536052956748, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05794785778525535, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05794785778525535, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.054240365534293455, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05408546586101959, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003707492250961897, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003862391924235764, "ret_p1w": 0.08420044875054766, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08420044875054766, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09696083918837084, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10711698237275302, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012760390437823177, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02291653362220536, "ret_p1m": -0.11525533251555797, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11525533251555797, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12066032886061862, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0834983857493572, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404996345060642, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03175694676620078, "ret_p3m": -0.33003841687685054, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.33003841687685054, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.34838988659386383, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.34369479237732004, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01835146971701329, "bench_c_p3m": 0.013656375500469498, "ret_p6m": -0.1695213693877481, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1695213693877481, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.14336492701560377, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.12715427923932554, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.026156442372144317, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04236709014842255, "price_path": [-0.6314, -0.6284, -0.6454, -0.5842, -0.5716, -0.5733, -0.5703, -0.5775, -0.5808, -0.5917, -0.5848, -0.5825, -0.5888, -0.5778, -0.5966, -0.5895, -0.5644, -0.5838, -0.5664, -0.5584, -0.5591, -0.4773, -0.4495, -0.4378, -0.3971, -0.4347, -0.4521, -0.4268, -0.4194, -0.4622, -0.46, -0.4703, -0.4479, -0.4396, -0.4359, -0.4389, -0.4234, -0.4532, -0.4532, -0.474, -0.4745, -0.4805, -0.476, -0.4873, -0.2339, -0.2525, -0.2861, -0.2764, -0.272, -0.2842, -0.247, -0.2467, -0.2051, -0.1468, -0.1372, -0.0937, -0.1361, -0.138, -0.1178, -0.1014, -0.0747, 0.0074, 0.0243, 0.0, -0.0579, -0.0235, 0.0616, 0.0371, 0.0842, 0.0257, 0.0071, -0.0152, -0.092, -0.1276, -0.1654, -0.2107, -0.1503, -0.0615, 0.0039, -0.0249, 0.0013, -0.0061, 0.0471, -0.0358, -0.1153, -0.0636, -0.1241, -0.1093, -0.12, -0.1818, -0.2448, -0.2906, -0.3314, -0.3118, -0.2753, -0.2391, -0.3226, -0.3336, -0.2644, -0.2886, -0.2421, -0.2421, -0.2407, -0.1984, -0.228, -0.2083, -0.1772, -0.2153, -0.197, -0.2283, -0.2509, -0.2454, -0.2981, -0.3506, -0.3521, -0.3961, -0.375, -0.284, -0.2538, -0.2794, -0.2706, -0.2706, -0.2989, -0.3113, -0.3183, -0.33, -0.33, -0.2801, -0.257, -0.1977, -0.23, -0.2212, -0.2162, -0.1409, -0.1562, -0.1838, -0.1685, -0.1297, -0.1297, -0.2053, -0.2087, -0.2248, -0.2436, -0.268, -0.2167, -0.1962, -0.2404, -0.3182, -0.2944, -0.2801, -0.3406, -0.4088, -0.3109, -0.2566, -0.2653, -0.2908, -0.2818, -0.2155, -0.2155, -0.2195, -0.1852, -0.1387, -0.2163, -0.1947, -0.179, -0.1506, -0.1606, -0.2701, -0.2716, -0.3053, -0.2174, -0.2344, -0.285, -0.2401, -0.2282, -0.1036, -0.1353, -0.096, 0.0393, -0.0689, -0.0511, -0.0274, -0.0586, -0.0864, -0.0803, -0.0788, -0.1518, -0.1931, -0.2616, -0.1695]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1976675614427173224", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-10T15:46:05+00:00", "symbol": "AMD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AMD dropping 8.2% off a tweet is screaming buy opportunity for me at least", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Sees AMD's 8.2% tweet-driven drop as a buy opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@LibertadEterno Yeah, $AMD dropping 8.2% off a tweet is screaming buy opportunity for me at least. I could be wrong", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit You think this is an overreaction?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LibertadEterno", "ret_m1d": 0.08371338298794795, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08371338298794795, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05593475922656199, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05593475922656199, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.027778623761385957, "bench_c_m1d": 0.027778623761385957, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.007073077317969245, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.007073077317969245, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008270997375239508, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008270997375239508, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015344074693208754, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015344074693208754, "ret_p1w": 0.08459752652821151, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08459752652821151, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06718605589286653, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06718605589286653, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017411470635344983, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017411470635344983, "ret_p1m": 0.13531876527210285, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13531876527210285, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09179789053257181, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09179789053257181, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.043520874739531035, "bench_c_p1m": 0.043520874739531035, "ret_p3m": -0.0227081887511551, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0227081887511551, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08181461950495272, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08181461950495272, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05910643075379762, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05910643075379762, "ret_p6m": 0.024569562258062172, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.024569562258062172, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.009773778941159827, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.009773778941159827, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.014795783316902344, "bench_c_p6m": 0.014795783316902344, "price_path": [-0.2759, -0.2551, -0.2536, -0.2695, -0.2694, -0.28, -0.2617, -0.2456, -0.2254, -0.1919, -0.1743, -0.1647, -0.1796, -0.201, -0.1774, -0.1889, -0.2409, -0.1978, -0.1961, -0.1983, -0.1859, -0.1418, -0.158, -0.174, -0.1804, -0.225, -0.2313, -0.2382, -0.2194, -0.2398, -0.2247, -0.2223, -0.2155, -0.2432, -0.2432, -0.2447, -0.2456, -0.2471, -0.2967, -0.2954, -0.2749, -0.2576, -0.2756, -0.2621, -0.2501, -0.2533, -0.2594, -0.2651, -0.2676, -0.2564, -0.2513, -0.2514, -0.2496, -0.258, -0.2491, -0.2471, -0.2368, -0.2102, -0.2337, -0.0521, -0.0158, 0.0961, 0.0837, 0.0, 0.0071, 0.0148, 0.1103, 0.0915, 0.0846, 0.1194, 0.1076, 0.0713, 0.0935, 0.1769, 0.2083, 0.2006, 0.23, 0.1859, 0.1918, 0.2082, 0.1636, 0.1928, 0.1061, 0.0867, 0.1353, 0.1053, 0.2047, 0.1538, 0.1485, 0.1192, 0.0716, 0.0403, -0.0413, -0.0517, 0.0007, -0.0408, -0.0031, -0.0031, 0.0122, 0.0226, 0.0016, 0.0126, 0.005, 0.0143, 0.0289, 0.0313, 0.0303, 0.0304, -0.0192, -0.0341, -0.0267, -0.0781, -0.0644, -0.0068, 0.0002, 0.0, 0.0007, 0.0007, 0.0004, 0.0033, 0.002, -0.0034, -0.0034, 0.0399, 0.0288, -0.0026, -0.0227, -0.0476, -0.0546, -0.0336, 0.0282, 0.0405, 0.0606, 0.0788, 0.0788, 0.0792, 0.1624, 0.1807, 0.2084, 0.1694, 0.1728, 0.1761, 0.1735, 0.1016, 0.146, 0.1266, -0.0685, -0.1042, -0.0301, 0.0051, -0.0062, -0.0061, -0.0417, -0.0353, -0.0353, -0.055, -0.0688, -0.0537, -0.0686, -0.0852, -0.0049, -0.0188, -0.0522, -0.0684, -0.0758, -0.1114, -0.0597, -0.0719, -0.1046, -0.0569, -0.0543, -0.0469, -0.0799, -0.1001, -0.0852, -0.0865, -0.0718, -0.0448, -0.0631, -0.0569, -0.0443, 0.025, -0.0518, -0.0601, -0.0878, -0.0534, -0.0218, 0.0121, 0.0121, 0.0246]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1985270287596945850", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-03T08:58:15+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "So I'm taking advantage of the drop. Better to ignore the media narrative and go with what's actually there", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Buying META post-earnings selloff as algo-driven and fundamentals intact/better than expected; references GOOGL at $145 as similar opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So with $META at least, my take is that EPS $1.05 vs est. $6.67 was the primary trigger algorithmic selloff immediately after earning report since they didn't get the $7.25 EPS one-time tax nuance.\n\nOption related flows and mechanical hedging by MMs triggered -> short stock to stay hedged and there's day 2 selling + retail flush.\n\nEveryone needs some \"narrative\" to explain that drop so in this case, it was \"omg $META spending money on capex on AI!\", even though it's just stupid and earnings were amazing.\n\nDrop was algorithmic and fundamentals are not just in-tact, they're better than expected. Of course people read the narratives and this leads to more panic-selling, but once people digest the information, they'll see the selloff is stupid. \n\nSo I'm taking advantage of the drop. Better to ignore the media narrative and go with what's actually there like  with $GOOGL at $145. \n\nWe can have another argument whether or not $META AI is crap or not and capex is going into a black hole across the board but fundamentals are intact and growing.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Metas risk is llama not paying off and everyone becoming best friends with chat gpt instead of real life friends", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "drzainhasan8", "ret_m1d": 0.016684632697255397, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016684632697255397, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.018557894255465168, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005944237284952525, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010740395412302872, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0162927162989287, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0162927162989287, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004439176356481167, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00942592052354052, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006866795775388179, "ret_p1w": -0.00933025629108264, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.00933025629108264, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.006549737528599442, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.006601167682431797, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0027290886086508426, "ret_p1m": 0.014724475485859312, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.014724475485859312, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.017373217385107997, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.000286574656039873, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014437900829819439, "ret_p3m": 0.15869613402467087, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15869613402467087, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1400366379835909, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1006997563605021, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05799637766416876, "ret_p6m": 0.054496224449217534, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.054496224449217534, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.007078651236480438, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.028919164368235828, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "bench_c_p6m": 0.025577060080981706, "price_path": [0.2097, 0.1938, 0.2055, 0.2002, 0.238, 0.2224, 0.2256, 0.2305, 0.2025, 0.1776, 0.1717, 0.1582, 0.1828, 0.1805, 0.1817, 0.1712, 0.177, 0.1576, 0.1576, 0.152, 0.155, 0.1732, 0.1791, 0.1789, 0.1999, 0.1784, 0.1767, 0.184, 0.1983, 0.2207, 0.2156, 0.2227, 0.2198, 0.1999, 0.1846, 0.1928, 0.1744, 0.1663, 0.1657, 0.1516, 0.1249, 0.1401, 0.1142, 0.1222, 0.1182, 0.1257, 0.1502, 0.106, 0.1223, 0.1112, 0.1252, 0.1166, 0.1242, 0.1481, 0.1498, 0.1501, 0.151, 0.1578, 0.1774, 0.1783, 0.1787, 0.0451, 0.0167, 0.0, -0.0163, -0.0028, -0.0294, -0.0251, -0.0093, -0.0167, -0.045, -0.0436, -0.0443, -0.056, -0.0628, -0.0743, -0.0761, -0.0682, -0.0387, -0.0023, -0.0064, -0.0064, 0.0161, 0.005, 0.0147, 0.003, 0.0374, 0.056, 0.0456, 0.0302, 0.0195, 0.0235, 0.0102, 0.0162, 0.0313, 0.0193, 0.0428, 0.0339, 0.0382, 0.0435, 0.0476, 0.0476, 0.041, 0.0337, 0.0451, 0.0359, 0.0359, 0.0207, 0.0339, 0.0368, 0.018, 0.0139, 0.0249, 0.0075, -0.0096, -0.034, -0.0257, -0.0266, -0.0266, -0.0519, -0.038, 0.0164, 0.0339, 0.0552, 0.0562, 0.0495, 0.1587, 0.1245, 0.1086, 0.0855, 0.0499, 0.0518, 0.0381, 0.0628, 0.0526, 0.0494, 0.0198, 0.004, 0.004, 0.0033, 0.0095, 0.0119, 0.029, 0.0001, 0.0033, 0.0259, 0.0311, 0.0172, 0.0257, 0.0281, 0.0479, 0.0367, 0.012, 0.016, 0.0265, 0.0277, 0.0016, -0.0368, -0.0144, -0.022, -0.0329, -0.047, -0.0675, -0.0512, -0.0687, -0.0656, -0.14, -0.1742, -0.1575, -0.1013, -0.0902, -0.0977, -0.0977, -0.0999, -0.0967, -0.0381, -0.013, -0.0107, -0.0033, 0.0406, 0.0549, 0.0632, 0.0815, 0.0538, 0.0506, 0.0598, 0.0353, 0.0603, 0.0659, 0.0545]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1985270287596945850", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-03T08:58:15+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "go with what's actually there like with $GOOGL at $145", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Buying META post-earnings selloff as algo-driven and fundamentals intact/better than expected; references GOOGL at $145 as similar opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So with $META at least, my take is that EPS $1.05 vs est. $6.67 was the primary trigger algorithmic selloff immediately after earning report since they didn't get the $7.25 EPS one-time tax nuance.\n\nOption related flows and mechanical hedging by MMs triggered -> short stock to stay hedged and there's day 2 selling + retail flush.\n\nEveryone needs some \"narrative\" to explain that drop so in this case, it was \"omg $META spending money on capex on AI!\", even though it's just stupid and earnings were amazing.\n\nDrop was algorithmic and fundamentals are not just in-tact, they're better than expected. Of course people read the narratives and this leads to more panic-selling, but once people digest the information, they'll see the selloff is stupid. \n\nSo I'm taking advantage of the drop. Better to ignore the media narrative and go with what's actually there like  with $GOOGL at $145. \n\nWe can have another argument whether or not $META AI is crap or not and capex is going into a black hole across the board but fundamentals are intact and growing.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Metas risk is llama not paying off and everyone becoming best friends with chat gpt instead of real life friends", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "drzainhasan8", "ret_m1d": -0.008917181261662077, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.008917181261662077, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.007043919703452306, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01965757667396495, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010740395412302872, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.021781984342640337, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.021781984342640337, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009928444400192804, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.014915188567252158, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006866795775388179, "ret_p1w": 0.022486936044024297, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.022486936044024297, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.025267454806507494, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02521602465267514, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0027290886086508426, "ret_p1m": 0.11310441126354487, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11310441126354487, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11575315316279355, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09866651043372543, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014437900829819439, "ret_p3m": 0.19297635455203843, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.19297635455203843, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.17431685851095846, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.13497997688786967, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05799637766416876, "ret_p6m": 0.23451001925395976, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.23451001925395976, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.18709244604122266, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.20893295917297805, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "bench_c_p6m": 0.025577060080981706, "price_path": [-0.3095, -0.308, -0.2907, -0.2922, -0.2839, -0.2888, -0.2854, -0.282, -0.2834, -0.2902, -0.2981, -0.2966, -0.2743, -0.2658, -0.2706, -0.2694, -0.2547, -0.2502, -0.2502, -0.2557, -0.1877, -0.182, -0.1725, -0.1751, -0.1554, -0.157, -0.1528, -0.1513, -0.1132, -0.1148, -0.1205, -0.1117, -0.1022, -0.1099, -0.113, -0.1289, -0.1337, -0.131, -0.1398, -0.1432, -0.1368, -0.134, -0.1352, -0.1173, -0.1338, -0.1378, -0.1487, -0.1662, -0.1395, -0.1349, -0.1152, -0.1137, -0.1072, -0.0958, -0.1172, -0.1129, -0.108, -0.0839, -0.0509, -0.0573, -0.0323, -0.0079, -0.0089, 0.0, -0.0218, 0.0021, 0.0036, -0.0172, 0.0225, 0.0268, 0.0105, -0.0182, -0.0258, 0.0046, 0.002, 0.032, 0.0202, 0.0562, 0.1229, 0.14, 0.1277, 0.1277, 0.1285, 0.1099, 0.1131, 0.1266, 0.1195, 0.1323, 0.1065, 0.1183, 0.1294, 0.1019, 0.0908, 0.0871, 0.0812, 0.0465, 0.0667, 0.0833, 0.0926, 0.1087, 0.1078, 0.1078, 0.1057, 0.1059, 0.1069, 0.1039, 0.1039, 0.1115, 0.1164, 0.1086, 0.1356, 0.1478, 0.1588, 0.1704, 0.1849, 0.1845, 0.1737, 0.1639, 0.1639, 0.1357, 0.1582, 0.1658, 0.1566, 0.1754, 0.1799, 0.1851, 0.193, 0.1921, 0.2122, 0.1981, 0.1746, 0.1683, 0.1387, 0.1438, 0.1236, 0.0967, 0.0898, 0.0782, 0.0782, 0.0652, 0.0698, 0.0681, 0.1109, 0.0986, 0.0965, 0.1036, 0.0841, 0.0995, 0.0811, 0.0707, 0.0691, 0.0612, 0.0529, 0.0813, 0.0837, 0.0895, 0.0713, 0.0669, 0.0784, 0.0974, 0.086, 0.084, 0.0623, 0.0661, 0.0251, 0.0268, -0.0085, -0.0317, -0.0347, 0.0149, 0.0496, 0.0439, 0.0439, 0.0588, 0.0781, 0.1199, 0.1241, 0.1197, 0.134, 0.175, 0.1898, 0.1859, 0.2059, 0.1909, 0.1728, 0.1976, 0.1961, 0.2155, 0.2365, 0.2345]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2008869090497302547", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-07T11:51:28+00:00", "symbol": "CRDO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we'll likely see long tail demand for copper and copper life extension, although Credo does have optical dsp verticals", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Nuanced long CRDO on long-tail copper/AEC demand + optical DSP optionality; long AXTI on optical component bottleneck constraining scale-out.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRDO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Tons of people misinterpreted the \"cableless comment\", though the main drop was the $AMZN color change misinformation.\n\nSo you've nailed the bear case for $CRDO, but we've always known this. My position is nuanced since I see $AXTI and others bottle necking optical components required for scale out. (especially now that the Western supply chain in Sumitomo got export control nuked yesterday, largely required for optical buildout)\n\nWe'll likely see long tail demand for copper and copper life extension, although Credo does have optical dsp verticals.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Isn't the concern more that once we hit 400G per lane, AEC can't keep up and scale-up moves to optical? So while AEC demand is going vertical now, don't know how long it lasts for. \n\nI doubt anyone could have misinterpreted Jensen's \"cableless\" comment considering 5 mins later he", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "itsDanielWu", "ret_m1d": -0.05709222022523275, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05709222022523275, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0603260006455425, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06384513222384414, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003233780420309751, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006752911998611388, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004184371190713687, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004184371190713687, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004285903872699448, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01987181132289151, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00010153268198576093, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01568744013217782, "ret_p1w": 0.11234039955950803, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11234039955950803, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1112093396825613, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10369145357004284, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0011310598769467273, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008648945989465195, "ret_p1m": -0.30453902440713654, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.30453902440713654, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2871951300181662, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2942798643578829, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017343894388970327, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010259160049253646, "ret_p3m": -0.27333333982643504, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.27333333982643504, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2314955734318357, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3017994514190647, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04183776639459935, "bench_c_p3m": 0.028466111592629684, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0154, 0.0631, -0.0798, -0.068, -0.0317, 0.0185, 0.0756, 0.0225, -0.027, 0.0707, 0.1032, 0.099, 0.1502, 0.2165, 0.1817, 0.3306, 0.2811, 0.1648, 0.2281, 0.1542, 0.1604, 0.2068, 0.1241, 0.1372, 0.0138, 0.0321, 0.0325, -0.0102, 0.0062, -0.0445, -0.0533, 0.0699, 0.0935, 0.1632, 0.1632, 0.2596, 0.2137, 0.3365, 0.3418, 0.2831, 0.2485, 0.2691, 0.2077, 0.1204, 0.0955, 0.0206, 0.0072, -0.0047, -0.0487, -0.0172, 0.0648, 0.0634, 0.0483, 0.0652, 0.0652, 0.0272, 0.0262, 0.0278, 0.0205, 0.0205, 0.0157, -0.0054, -0.0571, 0.0, 0.0042, 0.0668, 0.1069, 0.1445, 0.1123, 0.0576, 0.0707, 0.0707, 0.0867, -0.013, -0.0418, -0.0556, -0.0921, -0.0811, -0.0804, -0.0818, -0.1115, -0.1492, -0.2106, -0.3124, -0.3045, -0.2099, -0.1248, -0.0445, -0.0894, -0.1363, -0.1387, -0.1387, -0.1149, -0.0928, -0.0733, -0.1201, -0.1202, -0.143, -0.1244, -0.1881, -0.2038, -0.1899, -0.3099, -0.2728, -0.1862, -0.2211, -0.1774, -0.2033, -0.1779, -0.2087, -0.1653, -0.1711, -0.262, -0.2786, -0.2405, -0.2667, -0.2546, -0.2887, -0.263, -0.316, -0.3245, -0.3772, -0.3343, -0.3197, -0.2805, -0.2805, -0.2733, -0.2426, -0.2184, -0.2345, -0.1518, -0.0471, 0.1313, 0.194, 0.1272, 0.1396, 0.2378, 0.3001, 0.3439, 0.3159, 0.3833, 0.2801, 0.1767, 0.2466, 0.2341, 0.3077, 0.277, 0.3728, 0.4063, 0.3354, 0.3369, 0.4909, 0.4083, 0.343, 0.3088, 0.2211, 0.1083, 0.1985, 0.2977, 0.3716, 0.549, 0.549, 0.5719, 0.569, 0.577, 0.674, 0.674, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2008869090497302547", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-07T11:51:28+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I see $AXTI and others bottle necking optical components required for scale out", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Nuanced long CRDO on long-tail copper/AEC demand + optical DSP optionality; long AXTI on optical component bottleneck constraining scale-out.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Tons of people misinterpreted the \"cableless comment\", though the main drop was the $AMZN color change misinformation.\n\nSo you've nailed the bear case for $CRDO, but we've always known this. My position is nuanced since I see $AXTI and others bottle necking optical components required for scale out. (especially now that the Western supply chain in Sumitomo got export control nuked yesterday, largely required for optical buildout)\n\nWe'll likely see long tail demand for copper and copper life extension, although Credo does have optical dsp verticals.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Isn't the concern more that once we hit 400G per lane, AEC can't keep up and scale-up moves to optical? So while AEC demand is going vertical now, don't know how long it lasts for. \n\nI doubt anyone could have misinterpreted Jensen's \"cableless\" comment considering 5 mins later he", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "itsDanielWu", "ret_m1d": -0.16341768703091564, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.16341768703091564, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1666514674512254, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.17017059902952703, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003233780420309751, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006752911998611388, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07133966278773185, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07133966278773185, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07144119546971761, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08702710291990967, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00010153268198576093, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01568744013217782, "ret_p1w": -0.08336790452086706, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08336790452086706, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08449896439781379, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09201685051033226, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0011310598769467273, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008648945989465195, "ret_p1m": -0.1526337707181883, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1526337707181883, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13528987632921796, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14237461066893464, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017343894388970327, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010259160049253646, "ret_p3m": 0.7416010209654871, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7416010209654871, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.7834387873600864, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.7131349093728574, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04183776639459935, "bench_c_p3m": 0.028466111592629684, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.8328, -0.8092, -0.8105, -0.8096, -0.7955, -0.8129, -0.7964, -0.7856, -0.7951, -0.7852, -0.7487, -0.7433, -0.7263, -0.7068, -0.6964, -0.6703, -0.6491, -0.6458, -0.6226, -0.6321, -0.6076, -0.567, -0.562, -0.5446, -0.567, -0.567, -0.5749, -0.5894, -0.5807, -0.608, -0.6296, -0.6126, -0.6172, -0.5666, -0.5666, -0.5562, -0.5525, -0.5122, -0.5238, -0.4981, -0.5197, -0.4728, -0.3795, -0.3567, -0.3206, -0.3857, -0.3849, -0.4608, -0.4873, -0.4189, -0.3924, -0.3687, -0.3928, -0.3774, -0.3774, -0.3625, -0.3949, -0.3447, -0.3219, -0.3219, -0.3049, -0.3086, -0.1634, 0.0, 0.0713, -0.0465, -0.0776, -0.1078, -0.0834, 0.0668, -0.0838, -0.0838, -0.112, -0.1796, -0.2567, -0.2783, -0.2617, -0.2866, -0.3019, -0.3206, -0.231, -0.1315, -0.1813, -0.2223, -0.1526, -0.0021, 0.1518, 0.01, 0.1116, 0.0282, 0.0054, 0.0054, -0.0373, -0.0236, -0.0124, 0.231, 0.1792, 0.455, 0.6993, 0.5396, 0.572, 0.9212, 0.7321, 0.623, 0.6093, 0.3426, 0.5993, 0.8374, 0.9643, 0.9382, 1.0265, 1.0071, 0.8399, 1.0224, 1.4094, 1.2497, 1.6727, 1.8387, 1.7934, 1.4268, 1.5147, 1.1871, 1.3633, 0.9552, 1.1916, 1.1916, 0.7416, 0.8855, 1.2057, 1.618, 1.662, 1.7561, 1.7914, 1.6101, 2.392, 2.4243, 2.2667, 2.1095, 2.606, 2.1219, 2.1589, 1.9096, 1.8499, 1.9477, 2.2858, 2.9818, 3.3965, 3.4608, 3.348, 3.4969, 3.8262, 4.2182, 4.0975, 4.0577, 3.769, 4.134, 3.3915, 3.6819, 3.3389, 4.0195, 4.8411, 4.8411, 4.4998, 4.0921, 3.7988, 3.2787, 3.2787, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1989201148432248888", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-14T05:18:06+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I personally rotated my $META calls to Mar/Apr. Just so there's more time for recovery Dec/Jan.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Holds long META calls rolled to Mar/Apr to allow time for price recovery.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ngmax856734 I personally rotated my $META calls to Mar/Apr. Just so there’s more time for recovery Dec/Jan.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Not quite related but pretty worried for my Jan 2026 Meta Calls", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ngmax856734", "ret_m1d": 0.0007055067545775895, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0007055067545775895, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0005417111696406351, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004683871328848177, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0053893780834257665, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.012224035560830737, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.012224035560830737, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00290760213158614, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010876622069177277, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0013474134916534597, "ret_p1w": -0.024956561629119745, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.024956561629119745, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.005758220888444021, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.030076470808374167, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005119909179254423, "ret_p1m": 0.06329879229241153, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06329879229241153, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.050202179663671354, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01623160301102522, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04706718928138631, "ret_p3m": 0.09807918187298048, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09807918187298048, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06522642825725922, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04609023651233568, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0519889453606448, "ret_p6m": -0.015749161803204292, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.015749161803204292, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.12227749839372193, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.060608595870225934, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04485943406702164, "price_path": [0.2322, 0.226, 0.2119, 0.2376, 0.2352, 0.2365, 0.2255, 0.2316, 0.2112, 0.2112, 0.2054, 0.2085, 0.2276, 0.2338, 0.2335, 0.2555, 0.233, 0.2312, 0.2389, 0.2539, 0.2773, 0.2719, 0.2794, 0.2763, 0.2555, 0.2395, 0.2481, 0.2288, 0.2203, 0.2198, 0.205, 0.177, 0.1929, 0.1659, 0.1743, 0.17, 0.1778, 0.2035, 0.1573, 0.1743, 0.1628, 0.1774, 0.1684, 0.1763, 0.2013, 0.2031, 0.2034, 0.2043, 0.2115, 0.2319, 0.233, 0.2333, 0.0935, 0.0638, 0.0464, 0.0293, 0.0435, 0.0156, 0.0201, 0.0366, 0.0289, -0.0007, 0.0007, 0.0, -0.0122, -0.0193, -0.0314, -0.0333, -0.025, 0.0059, 0.0439, 0.0396, 0.0396, 0.0632, 0.0515, 0.0618, 0.0495, 0.0854, 0.1049, 0.0941, 0.0779, 0.0667, 0.071, 0.0571, 0.0633, 0.0791, 0.0666, 0.0911, 0.0818, 0.0863, 0.0919, 0.0962, 0.0962, 0.0892, 0.0817, 0.0936, 0.084, 0.084, 0.0681, 0.0818, 0.0848, 0.0652, 0.0609, 0.0724, 0.0542, 0.0363, 0.0108, 0.0194, 0.0185, 0.0185, -0.008, 0.0066, 0.0635, 0.0818, 0.1041, 0.1051, 0.0981, 0.2124, 0.1766, 0.16, 0.1359, 0.0986, 0.1006, 0.0862, 0.1121, 0.1014, 0.0981, 0.0671, 0.0506, 0.0506, 0.0498, 0.0563, 0.0588, 0.0767, 0.0465, 0.0498, 0.0734, 0.0789, 0.0644, 0.0732, 0.0757, 0.0965, 0.0847, 0.0589, 0.0631, 0.0741, 0.0754, 0.048, 0.0078, 0.0312, 0.0234, 0.0119, -0.0029, -0.0243, -0.0072, -0.0255, -0.0223, -0.1001, -0.136, -0.1184, -0.0597, -0.048, -0.0559, -0.0559, -0.0582, -0.0549, 0.0065, 0.0328, 0.0352, 0.0429, 0.0888, 0.1038, 0.1125, 0.1317, 0.1027, 0.0993, 0.1089, 0.0833, 0.1094, 0.1153, 0.1034, 0.0997, 0.0057, 0.0005, 0.0032, -0.0057, 0.0073, 0.0138, 0.002, -0.0157]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1982934754795430066", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-27T22:17:41+00:00", "symbol": "TGT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd personally hold but since it already went up 8%+ on 28%-32% IV, I don't see many issues holding another 2 weeks since ER is Nov 19th or just trimming some", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Still holding TGT into Nov 19 ER / Nov 12 dividend catalyst; LTC play ongoing pending government shutdown end and ETF approval.", "resolved_tickers": ["TGT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLP", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Discount Stores'", "bench_c_industry": "Discount Stores", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I've been posting about $NBIS recently because of the 30% drop that I forgot to talk about other stocks for awhile! Upside on the drop to $94 was insane, even if you didn't catch the true bottom. \n\nNear term catalyst posts that I mentioned still stands for $LTC to $TGT since others ask about it.\n\n$TGT Nov 12th dividend catalyst, I'd personally hold but since it already went up 8%+ on 28%-32% IV, I don't see many issues holding another 2 weeks since ER is Nov 19th or just trimming some. Up to you.\n\nFor $LTC and others, the play is still ongoing, just need to wait for government shutdown to finish and for the ETF to be approved. \n\nI just did not expect a 1 month government shutdown so ETFs got delayed.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thank you as always my lord\n\nBtw are you still in $TGT? That play aged well but I'm wondering if I should take profits and rotate into new plays", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": -0.03590042669576843, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03590042669576843, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02424027775200499, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03425934213900872, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0016410845567597088, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006750537197048101, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006750537197048101, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009406536153639178, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.003221614154488961, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009972151351537062, "ret_p1w": -0.06464147596319181, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06464147596319181, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06186875637791822, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.019955749025213465, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": -0.04468572693797834, "ret_p1m": -0.1032898504808264, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1032898504808264, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08837540858279669, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08864710023788536, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.014642750242941038, "ret_p3m": 0.1030218562732399, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1030218562732399, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0945928890617933, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05618993047173948, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04683192580150042, "ret_p6m": 0.3820761026197037, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3820761026197037, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.34873153615756247, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.33485406534355655, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": 0.047222037276147155, "price_path": [0.0436, 0.0169, 0.0095, 0.0097, 0.0364, 0.0664, 0.0692, 0.0665, 0.0524, 0.0752, 0.0776, 0.0663, 0.0537, 0.0734, 0.0776, 0.0094, -0.0073, 0.015, -0.0065, -0.017, 0.0019, -0.0098, -0.0183, -0.0183, -0.0545, -0.0554, -0.0518, -0.047, -0.0641, -0.0702, -0.0715, -0.0639, -0.0799, -0.0942, -0.0823, -0.0904, -0.0854, -0.0986, -0.1147, -0.1096, -0.0968, -0.1087, -0.1015, -0.0914, -0.0825, -0.0883, -0.0845, -0.0894, -0.0901, -0.0869, -0.0756, -0.0887, -0.1252, -0.1067, -0.0901, -0.0702, -0.0788, -0.0709, -0.0638, -0.0345, -0.0384, -0.036, -0.0359, 0.0, -0.0068, -0.0373, -0.0496, -0.0517, -0.0646, -0.0797, -0.0596, -0.0882, -0.0668, -0.072, -0.0633, -0.0481, -0.0614, -0.0689, -0.0836, -0.0831, -0.1085, -0.1333, -0.0925, -0.1244, -0.1033, -0.0699, -0.0699, -0.0614, -0.0538, -0.063, -0.0583, -0.0514, -0.0452, -0.0362, -0.0304, -0.02, 0.0043, 0.0056, 0.0104, 0.0116, 0.0212, 0.0259, 0.0151, -0.014, -0.0233, -0.0002, -0.0002, 0.031, 0.016, 0.0091, 0.0124, 0.0124, 0.041, 0.0575, 0.0802, 0.0737, 0.1013, 0.0929, 0.0993, 0.1251, 0.1374, 0.151, 0.1525, 0.1525, 0.1324, 0.0983, 0.103, 0.1196, 0.0767, 0.0782, 0.0537, 0.0651, 0.0924, 0.1344, 0.1527, 0.182, 0.1481, 0.1968, 0.1964, 0.1727, 0.1991, 0.179, 0.2111, 0.2111, 0.2193, 0.2101, 0.2101, 0.2209, 0.1858, 0.2086, 0.2182, 0.201, 0.1905, 0.184, 0.2639, 0.2563, 0.2592, 0.2637, 0.2569, 0.2632, 0.2427, 0.211, 0.2277, 0.2246, 0.2216, 0.2037, 0.1976, 0.185, 0.2024, 0.2128, 0.2175, 0.2241, 0.2538, 0.2427, 0.268, 0.2602, 0.2602, 0.2602, 0.2786, 0.2505, 0.2881, 0.2976, 0.2753, 0.2333, 0.2506, 0.2855, 0.2964, 0.3375, 0.362, 0.3821]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1982934754795430066", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-27T22:17:41+00:00", "symbol": "LTC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "For $LTC and others, the play is still ongoing, just need to wait for government shutdown to finish and for the ETF to be approved", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Still holding TGT into Nov 19 ER / Nov 12 dividend catalyst; LTC play ongoing pending government shutdown end and ETF approval.", "resolved_tickers": ["LTC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "REIT - Healthcare Facilities", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I've been posting about $NBIS recently because of the 30% drop that I forgot to talk about other stocks for awhile! Upside on the drop to $94 was insane, even if you didn't catch the true bottom. \n\nNear term catalyst posts that I mentioned still stands for $LTC to $TGT since others ask about it.\n\n$TGT Nov 12th dividend catalyst, I'd personally hold but since it already went up 8%+ on 28%-32% IV, I don't see many issues holding another 2 weeks since ER is Nov 19th or just trimming some. Up to you.\n\nFor $LTC and others, the play is still ongoing, just need to wait for government shutdown to finish and for the ETF to be approved. \n\nI just did not expect a 1 month government shutdown so ETFs got delayed.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thank you as always my lord\n\nBtw are you still in $TGT? That play aged well but I'm wondering if I should take profits and rotate into new plays", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": -0.007582110943806564, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007582110943806564, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004078037999956874, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004078037999956874, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011794542847654133, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011794542847654133, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01445054180424521, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01445054180424521, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "ret_p1w": -0.006177966975857374, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.006177966975857374, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0034052473905837877, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0034052473905837877, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "ret_p1m": 0.030458798434278345, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.030458798434278345, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04537324033230805, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04537324033230805, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "ret_p3m": 0.04431514338068698, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04431514338068698, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.03588617616924039, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03588617616924039, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "ret_p6m": 0.11545214579424679, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.11545214579424679, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08210757933210555, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.08210757933210555, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "price_path": [-0.0554, -0.0592, -0.0523, -0.0399, -0.0285, -0.0285, -0.0241, -0.0098, -0.0103, -0.0042, -0.01, -0.0189, -0.0183, -0.0186, -0.007, 0.0021, 0.0149, 0.0224, -0.0004, 0.0027, 0.013, 0.0132, 0.0141, 0.0141, 0.0094, 0.0063, 0.011, 0.0174, 0.0171, 0.0157, 0.0155, 0.0149, 0.0063, 0.0071, -0.0118, -0.0126, -0.004, -0.0051, -0.0182, -0.0098, 0.0078, 0.0139, 0.0226, 0.0142, 0.0295, 0.0343, 0.0181, 0.0055, -0.0207, -0.0246, -0.0344, -0.0408, -0.0425, -0.0509, -0.0445, -0.0316, -0.033, -0.0163, -0.0076, -0.0205, -0.0124, -0.0115, -0.0076, 0.0, -0.0118, -0.0275, -0.0138, -0.0149, -0.0062, -0.0008, -0.0008, -0.0025, 0.0076, 0.0188, 0.0157, 0.0028, 0.0059, 0.0129, 0.0129, 0.0239, 0.0059, 0.009, 0.0155, 0.0152, 0.0305, 0.033, 0.033, 0.0302, 0.0172, 0.013, 0.0062, 0.0003, -0.0068, -0.0079, -0.0088, -0.0167, -0.0297, -0.0206, -0.0125, -0.0285, -0.026, -0.0297, -0.0345, -0.0373, -0.0336, -0.0276, -0.0276, -0.0299, -0.0188, -0.0169, -0.024, -0.024, -0.0163, -0.0064, 0.0053, 0.0135, 0.011, 0.0073, 0.0095, 0.0141, 0.0172, 0.0323, 0.0482, 0.0482, 0.0643, 0.0743, 0.0443, 0.042, 0.036, 0.0272, 0.0058, 0.0323, 0.0406, 0.0312, 0.0358, 0.0466, 0.0766, 0.0669, 0.0637, 0.0848, 0.1245, 0.1165, 0.1239, 0.1239, 0.1385, 0.1131, 0.1105, 0.116, 0.1237, 0.1197, 0.1355, 0.1572, 0.1378, 0.1472, 0.132, 0.1071, 0.0942, 0.1011, 0.1117, 0.1137, 0.1111, 0.1191, 0.1211, 0.118, 0.1117, 0.1111, 0.1005, 0.0477, 0.0575, 0.0765, 0.0737, 0.0711, 0.0734, 0.0757, 0.0711, 0.0823, 0.1071, 0.1071, 0.0984, 0.1189, 0.1253, 0.14, 0.1512, 0.1325, 0.1348, 0.1414, 0.148, 0.1469, 0.1261, 0.1155]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2011544724847673787", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-14T21:03:29+00:00", "symbol": "LPTH", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LPTH is my favorite long of 2026 so far", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "LPTH top long of 2026 with monopoly on bottleneck fix; META hurt by war-driven selloffs in non-defense names.", "resolved_tickers": ["LPTH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Nice! $LPTH is my favorite long of 2026 so far! I never thought I’d find something that would beat $NBIS. \n\nIt’s also safer than $AXTI since it’s US supply chain this time but also has a monopoly over this bottleneck fix.\n\nOn a side note, my $META positions are getting wrecked lol. Imminent US invasion of Iran + war usually causes a selloffs of anything non defense, oil, and safety stocks", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I'm in senpai!!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": -0.11866967113733051, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11866967113733051, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12360918737360316, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12360918737360316, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004939516236272645, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004939516236272645, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004535107182040088, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004535107182040088, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007258321578569538, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007258321578569538, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027232143965294497, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0027232143965294497, "ret_p1w": 0.03099023547034241, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03099023547034241, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03817486547027504, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03817486547027504, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007184629999932635, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007184629999932635, "ret_p1m": -0.056689344365103755, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.056689344365103755, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.043522383787262475, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.043522383787262475, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01316696057784128, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01316696057784128, "ret_p3m": 0.08919125820138318, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08919125820138318, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09264780255064686, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09264780255064686, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0034565443492636794, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0034565443492636794, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4376, -0.3401, -0.3726, -0.4444, -0.3968, -0.3613, -0.3621, -0.3621, -0.3802, -0.3741, -0.3439, -0.3832, -0.4308, -0.4082, -0.424, -0.4172, -0.4119, -0.3923, -0.4429, -0.4966, -0.4936, -0.486, -0.4837, -0.4921, -0.5329, -0.5306, -0.4868, -0.4777, -0.4769, -0.4769, -0.4444, -0.458, -0.4014, -0.3689, -0.3182, -0.3348, -0.3394, -0.3348, -0.3333, -0.3107, -0.3878, -0.4339, -0.446, -0.48, -0.4573, -0.4225, -0.3553, -0.3416, -0.3175, -0.3175, -0.3182, -0.2222, -0.2018, -0.1837, -0.1837, -0.1141, -0.1164, -0.1293, -0.0779, -0.0454, -0.0673, -0.0937, -0.1187, 0.0, -0.0045, -0.0499, -0.0499, 0.0582, 0.031, 0.0831, -0.0597, -0.2268, -0.1497, -0.1474, -0.1315, -0.2124, -0.2063, -0.1769, -0.2895, -0.3152, -0.2018, -0.1436, -0.1678, -0.2237, -0.0567, -0.1293, -0.1293, -0.155, -0.1504, 0.028, -0.093, -0.1534, -0.0937, -0.1104, -0.158, -0.2116, -0.0922, -0.0945, -0.1081, -0.1436, -0.1633, -0.1618, -0.1633, -0.1769, -0.1708, -0.2056, -0.1686, -0.0937, -0.1179, -0.1315, -0.2041, -0.1353, -0.1028, -0.0967, -0.1693, -0.2827, -0.2963, -0.2419, -0.2275, -0.1701, -0.1701, -0.1315, -0.1716, -0.1247, -0.0809, -0.0302, 0.0892, 0.0801, 0.0597, 0.1277, 0.0703, 0.0809, 0.0726, 0.1073, 0.1051, 0.2162, 0.0574, -0.0401, -0.0786, -0.0317, 0.0355, -0.068, -0.0854, -0.0272, -0.0907, -0.13, -0.031, -0.0771, -0.0839, -0.0816, -0.1293, -0.0597, 0.0491, 0.0317, 0.0794, 0.2812, 0.2812, 0.2275, 0.3311, 0.3719, 0.2834, 0.2834, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2011544724847673787", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-14T21:03:29+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "my $META positions are getting wrecked lol. Imminent US invasion of Iran + war usually causes a selloffs of anything non defense, oil, and safety stocks", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "LPTH top long of 2026 with monopoly on bottleneck fix; META hurt by war-driven selloffs in non-defense names.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Nice! $LPTH is my favorite long of 2026 so far! I never thought I’d find something that would beat $NBIS. \n\nIt’s also safer than $AXTI since it’s US supply chain this time but also has a monopoly over this bottleneck fix.\n\nOn a side note, my $META positions are getting wrecked lol. Imminent US invasion of Iran + war usually causes a selloffs of anything non defense, oil, and safety stocks", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I'm in senpai!!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": 0.02529571847230261, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02529571847230261, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.020356202236029963, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.023152355973298455, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004939516236272645, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0021433624990041533, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008578061270618553, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008578061270618553, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0058548468740891035, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012264573900931941, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027232143965294497, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0036865126303133877, "ret_p1w": -0.004159069032288687, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.004159069032288687, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0030255609676439477, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.013073463094854243, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007184629999932635, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01723253212714293, "ret_p1m": 0.05570901621894997, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05570901621894997, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06887597679679125, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07285578497399525, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01316696057784128, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017146768755045283, "ret_p3m": 0.03176710166173202, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03176710166173202, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0352236460109957, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.044229300487607204, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0034565443492636794, "bench_c_p3m": -0.012462198825875181, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1638, 0.1885, 0.1903, 0.1906, 0.1915, 0.1986, 0.2188, 0.2198, 0.2202, 0.0819, 0.0525, 0.0352, 0.0183, 0.0323, 0.0047, 0.0092, 0.0255, 0.018, -0.0114, -0.01, -0.0107, -0.0227, -0.0298, -0.0417, -0.0436, -0.0353, -0.0048, 0.0328, 0.0286, 0.0286, 0.0518, 0.0403, 0.0504, 0.0383, 0.0739, 0.0932, 0.0824, 0.0665, 0.0554, 0.0596, 0.0458, 0.052, 0.0676, 0.0552, 0.0795, 0.0703, 0.0747, 0.0803, 0.0845, 0.0845, 0.0776, 0.0701, 0.0819, 0.0724, 0.0724, 0.0567, 0.0703, 0.0733, 0.0539, 0.0496, 0.061, 0.043, 0.0253, 0.0, 0.0086, 0.0077, 0.0077, -0.0185, -0.0042, 0.0522, 0.0702, 0.0923, 0.0933, 0.0864, 0.1995, 0.1641, 0.1477, 0.1238, 0.0869, 0.0889, 0.0746, 0.1002, 0.0897, 0.0864, 0.0557, 0.0394, 0.0394, 0.0386, 0.045, 0.0475, 0.0652, 0.0353, 0.0386, 0.062, 0.0674, 0.0531, 0.0618, 0.0643, 0.0848, 0.0732, 0.0477, 0.0518, 0.0626, 0.0639, 0.0368, -0.0029, 0.0203, 0.0125, 0.0011, -0.0135, -0.0347, -0.0178, -0.0359, -0.0327, -0.1097, -0.1452, -0.1278, -0.0697, -0.0582, -0.0659, -0.0659, -0.0683, -0.0649, -0.0042, 0.0218, 0.0242, 0.0318, 0.0772, 0.092, 0.1006, 0.1196, 0.0909, 0.0876, 0.0971, 0.0718, 0.0976, 0.1035, 0.0916, 0.088, -0.005, -0.0102, -0.0075, -0.0163, -0.0034, 0.003, -0.0087, -0.0262, -0.0195, 0.0027, 0.0056, -0.0012, -0.0062, -0.0201, -0.0162, -0.0124, -0.0077, -0.0077, -0.0043, 0.033, 0.033, 0.0285, 0.0285, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2000694914934555036", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-15T22:30:13+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Companies like $CIFR are trading like the $AMZN, $GOOGL deals never happened", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Neocloud sector oversold; CIFR and peers mispriced despite Mag7 contracts providing de-risking and long-term revenue visibility.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Agreed. \n\nCompanies like $CIFR are trading like the  $AMZN, $GOOGL deals never happened.\n\nIn the whole Neocloud sector, we’re seeing a crash despite de-risking and long term revenue visibility across the board with Mag7 contracts.\n\n$ORCL, $CRWV, and some individual names made sense given OpenAI exposure but it just dragged the rest of the sector alongside it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Oversold", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BitcoinAIGuy", "ret_m1d": 0.15671638411207023, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.15671638411207023, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.1552032100931806, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.14694830239755707, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0015131740188896181, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009768081714513155, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.016960651552373474, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.016960651552373474, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.019692949147652183, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015133571673757285, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00273229759527871, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001827079878616189, "ret_p1w": 0.10854819581509068, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10854819581509068, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09955247050238825, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08690258952714891, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00899572531270243, "bench_c_p1w": 0.021645606287941765, "ret_p1m": 0.2381275633232638, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2381275633232638, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.21596007341755286, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.20719172036439226, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022167489905710935, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03093584295887153, "ret_p3m": -0.06987786627984838, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06987786627984838, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05121869301515625, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04000480919198923, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.01865917326469213, "bench_c_p3m": -0.029873057087859145, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1601, -0.1961, -0.1669, -0.0529, -0.04, -0.0407, -0.209, -0.2218, -0.1418, -0.1459, -0.1452, -0.0631, -0.0027, 0.0407, 0.0685, 0.194, 0.2205, 0.1513, 0.3799, 0.4172, 0.4267, 0.27, 0.2727, 0.3507, 0.2263, 0.0929, 0.1706, 0.4016, 0.3935, 0.3541, 0.329, 0.2938, 0.2653, 0.5441, 0.5271, 0.6764, 0.4729, 0.4037, 0.3331, 0.2666, 0.1791, 0.0129, -0.0258, -0.0265, -0.0109, -0.0081, -0.0122, -0.04, 0.1336, 0.1886, 0.2992, 0.2992, 0.3806, 0.3358, 0.1967, 0.2639, 0.3453, 0.308, 0.3216, 0.327, 0.2537, 0.2809, 0.1567, 0.0, 0.017, -0.0237, 0.0278, 0.0997, 0.1085, 0.0794, 0.1004, 0.1004, 0.0305, 0.0231, -0.0102, 0.0014, 0.0014, 0.0991, 0.232, 0.19, 0.0909, 0.1228, 0.1282, 0.1995, 0.2381, 0.23, 0.1886, 0.2754, 0.2754, 0.2157, 0.2022, 0.1798, 0.192, 0.1187, 0.272, 0.287, 0.2008, 0.0828, 0.0726, 0.1031, -0.0332, -0.1384, -0.0007, 0.137, 0.1601, 0.1045, 0.0923, 0.114, 0.114, 0.0611, 0.0461, 0.0719, -0.0061, 0.0326, 0.1615, 0.1269, 0.118, 0.0583, 0.0692, -0.002, 0.0882, 0.0278, -0.076, -0.0292, -0.0529, -0.0427, -0.0699, -0.0448, 0.0271, 0.0237, -0.0047, -0.0068, -0.0495, 0.0102, 0.0095, 0.0773, -0.0265, -0.0675, -0.1849, -0.1269, -0.1425, -0.1303, -0.1303, -0.0943, -0.0495, 0.0461, 0.1099, 0.1214, 0.2049, 0.2517, 0.2212, 0.1764, 0.3141, 0.3087, 0.2239, 0.3189, 0.268, 0.2347, 0.232, 0.171, 0.1479, 0.2035, 0.156, 0.2137, 0.4993, 0.4864, 0.4033, 0.3942, 0.3758, 0.3609, 0.441, 0.5122, 0.3792, 0.2972, 0.2754, 0.3216, 0.46, 0.4905, 0.4905, 0.5617, 0.7069, 0.6682, 0.6045, 0.6045, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2000694914934555036", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-15T22:30:13+00:00", "symbol": "Neocloud", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "In the whole Neocloud sector, we're seeing a crash despite de-risking and long term revenue visibility across the board with Mag7 contracts", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Neocloud sector oversold; CIFR and peers mispriced despite Mag7 contracts providing de-risking and long-term revenue visibility.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV", "NBIS", "CIFR", "CORZ", "BTBT"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Neocloud sector basket of HPC/AI cloud names", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Agreed. \n\nCompanies like $CIFR are trading like the  $AMZN, $GOOGL deals never happened.\n\nIn the whole Neocloud sector, we’re seeing a crash despite de-risking and long term revenue visibility across the board with Mag7 contracts.\n\n$ORCL, $CRWV, and some individual names made sense given OpenAI exposure but it just dragged the rest of the sector alongside it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Oversold", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BitcoinAIGuy", "ret_m1d": 0.09849027596337709, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.09849027596337709, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.09697710194448747, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.09697710194448747, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0015131740188896181, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0015131740188896181, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.009254974495905954, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.009254974495905954, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0065226769006272445, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0065226769006272445, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00273229759527871, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00273229759527871, "ret_p1w": 0.10621094403127058, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10621094403127058, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09721521871856816, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09721521871856816, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00899572531270243, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00899572531270243, "ret_p1m": 0.21236973634780237, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21236973634780237, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.19020224644209144, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.19020224644209144, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022167489905710935, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022167489905710935, "ret_p3m": 0.04217697282466817, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04217697282466817, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0608361460893603, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0608361460893603, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.01865917326469213, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01865917326469213, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2397, 0.249, 0.2756, 0.3486, 0.3406, 0.3667, 0.2789, 0.2593, 0.318, 0.3505, 0.3864, 0.4527, 0.4589, 0.4858, 0.4451, 0.5463, 0.5911, 0.538, 0.6393, 0.6168, 0.6337, 0.5631, 0.5139, 0.544, 0.4736, 0.3775, 0.4326, 0.5667, 0.6096, 0.57, 0.6, 0.5406, 0.5807, 0.5851, 0.4897, 0.5422, 0.4222, 0.4102, 0.3758, 0.2613, 0.1941, 0.0795, 0.0429, 0.0307, 0.06, 0.0499, -0.006, -0.01, 0.0841, 0.0758, 0.1345, 0.1345, 0.1631, 0.1616, 0.1108, 0.1577, 0.213, 0.1858, 0.1941, 0.2116, 0.18, 0.1955, 0.0985, 0.0, -0.0093, -0.0724, -0.0291, 0.0895, 0.1062, 0.0661, 0.0723, 0.0723, 0.0315, 0.0154, -0.0101, -0.0223, -0.0223, 0.0672, 0.1202, 0.1328, 0.0928, 0.1093, 0.1245, 0.2012, 0.2124, 0.2091, 0.2163, 0.2792, 0.2792, 0.2069, 0.1978, 0.1689, 0.1782, 0.1713, 0.2721, 0.2618, 0.1997, 0.1158, 0.099, 0.11, 0.0068, -0.0999, 0.0547, 0.1416, 0.1266, 0.1101, 0.0972, 0.1334, 0.1334, 0.0949, 0.1075, 0.1458, 0.0718, 0.0871, 0.1559, 0.1694, 0.1593, 0.0398, 0.0408, -0.0209, 0.0655, 0.0238, -0.0422, -0.0063, -0.003, 0.0681, 0.0422, 0.0655, 0.1473, 0.0948, 0.0908, 0.0924, 0.0619, 0.0787, 0.0849, 0.118, 0.0241, -0.0344, -0.1141, -0.0331, -0.0268, 0.0143, 0.0143, 0.0269, 0.062, 0.1227, 0.1771, 0.2357, 0.3108, 0.3639, 0.381, 0.3746, 0.3856, 0.3972, 0.3706, 0.4251, 0.3904, 0.344, 0.3404, 0.2688, 0.2894, 0.2976, 0.359, 0.4628, 0.5504, 0.6684, 0.5617, 0.5047, 0.5591, 0.4992, 0.6171, 0.6953, 0.6059, 0.5117, 0.4855, 0.4906, 0.6438, 0.642, 0.642, 0.6553, 0.6954, 0.7464, 0.7399, 0.7399, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1994420736589803953", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-28T14:58:52+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Both are undervalued I'd just keep positions in $META and $NBIS as is", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Both META and NBIS are undervalued; hold positions in both.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@mcwalker747 @retail_mourinho Both are undervalued I’d just keep positions in $META and $NBIS as is", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @retail_mourinho Hi Serenity - really like your explanations 👍.  If you had $1000 in NBIS and same in META would you cash either in to buy the other at current value?  Or just keep both as is?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mcwalker747", "ret_m1d": -0.022131404619312067, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.022131404619312067, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.016702630734480972, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014071721520743985, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005428773884831095, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008059683098568082, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010926859130455768, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010926859130455768, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006361353707026174, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006247015232166531, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004565505423429594, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004679843898289238, "ret_p1w": 0.03930851850789496, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03930851850789496, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03594293019775896, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02422923592203552, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003365588310136003, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015079282585859444, "ret_p1m": 0.01740441475075971, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.01740441475075971, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.007903970631427004, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.007568704777405566, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.009500444119332707, "bench_c_p1m": 0.024973119528165277, "ret_p3m": 0.009681469309005486, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.009681469309005486, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.007597462871650418, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.003206584023128345, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017278932180655904, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01288805333213383, "ret_p6m": -0.056592913874391804, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.056592913874391804, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.1538956018809422, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.06364225855517269, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0973026880065504, "bench_c_p6m": 0.007049344680780889, "price_path": [0.1338, 0.1367, 0.1546, 0.1605, 0.1603, 0.1809, 0.1598, 0.1581, 0.1653, 0.1794, 0.2014, 0.1964, 0.2034, 0.2005, 0.1809, 0.1658, 0.1739, 0.1558, 0.1479, 0.1473, 0.1334, 0.1071, 0.1221, 0.0966, 0.1045, 0.1005, 0.1079, 0.132, 0.0885, 0.1046, 0.0937, 0.1074, 0.099, 0.1064, 0.13, 0.1317, 0.1319, 0.1328, 0.1395, 0.1588, 0.1597, 0.1601, 0.0286, 0.0006, -0.0158, -0.0318, -0.0185, -0.0448, -0.0405, -0.025, -0.0322, -0.0601, -0.0587, -0.0594, -0.0709, -0.0776, -0.0889, -0.0907, -0.0829, -0.0539, -0.0181, -0.0221, -0.0221, 0.0, -0.0109, -0.0013, -0.0129, 0.021, 0.0393, 0.0291, 0.0139, 0.0034, 0.0073, -0.0057, 0.0001, 0.015, 0.0032, 0.0263, 0.0175, 0.0217, 0.0271, 0.0311, 0.0311, 0.0245, 0.0174, 0.0286, 0.0196, 0.0196, 0.0046, 0.0176, 0.0204, 0.002, -0.0021, 0.0087, -0.0084, -0.0252, -0.0493, -0.0411, -0.042, -0.042, -0.0669, -0.0532, 0.0003, 0.0175, 0.0385, 0.0395, 0.0329, 0.1404, 0.1067, 0.0911, 0.0684, 0.0333, 0.0352, 0.0217, 0.046, 0.036, 0.0329, 0.0037, -0.0118, -0.0118, -0.0126, -0.0065, -0.0041, 0.0127, -0.0157, -0.0125, 0.0097, 0.0148, 0.0012, 0.0095, 0.0118, 0.0314, 0.0203, -0.004, -0.0, 0.0103, 0.0115, -0.0143, -0.0521, -0.03, -0.0374, -0.0482, -0.0621, -0.0823, -0.0662, -0.0834, -0.0804, -0.1536, -0.1873, -0.1708, -0.1155, -0.1046, -0.1119, -0.1119, -0.1142, -0.111, -0.0533, -0.0286, -0.0263, -0.0191, 0.0241, 0.0382, 0.0464, 0.0644, 0.0372, 0.034, 0.0431, 0.019, 0.0435, 0.0491, 0.0378, 0.0344, -0.054, -0.0589, -0.0564, -0.0648, -0.0525, -0.0465, -0.0576, -0.0742, -0.0678, -0.0467, -0.044, -0.0505, -0.0551, -0.0684, -0.0646, -0.061, -0.0566, -0.0566]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1994420736589803953", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-28T14:58:52+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Both are undervalued I'd just keep positions in $META and $NBIS as is", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Both META and NBIS are undervalued; hold positions in both.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@mcwalker747 @retail_mourinho Both are undervalued I’d just keep positions in $META and $NBIS as is", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @retail_mourinho Hi Serenity - really like your explanations 👍.  If you had $1000 in NBIS and same in META would you cash either in to buy the other at current value?  Or just keep both as is?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mcwalker747", "ret_m1d": -0.0018973363546388455, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0018973363546388455, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0035314375301922496, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006162346743929237, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005428773884831095, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008059683098568082, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05565509251012535, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05565509251012535, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06022059793355494, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.060334936408414586, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004565505423429594, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004679843898289238, "ret_p1w": 0.03341412540498245, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03341412540498245, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03004853709484645, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01833484281912301, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003365588310136003, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015079282585859444, "ret_p1m": -0.09307475045237956, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09307475045237956, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10257519457171227, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11804786998054484, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.009500444119332707, "bench_c_p1m": 0.024973119528165277, "ret_p3m": 0.11858332111627679, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11858332111627679, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10130438893562088, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10569526778414295, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017278932180655904, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01288805333213383, "ret_p6m": 1.2638347006920334, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.2638347006920334, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.166532012685483, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.2567853560112525, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0973026880065504, "bench_c_p6m": 0.007049344680780889, "price_path": [-0.3073, -0.308, -0.3158, -0.3099, -0.3248, 0.009, -0.0156, -0.0599, -0.047, -0.0412, -0.0573, -0.0083, -0.0079, 0.0468, 0.1236, 0.1363, 0.1935, 0.1378, 0.1352, 0.1618, 0.1834, 0.2186, 0.3268, 0.349, 0.317, 0.2406, 0.286, 0.3981, 0.3659, 0.4278, 0.3508, 0.3263, 0.2969, 0.1957, 0.1489, 0.0992, 0.0395, 0.119, 0.236, 0.3221, 0.2842, 0.3186, 0.3089, 0.3789, 0.2698, 0.1652, 0.2333, 0.1536, 0.173, 0.159, 0.0775, -0.0054, -0.0658, -0.1194, -0.0937, -0.0456, 0.0021, -0.1078, -0.1224, -0.0313, -0.0631, -0.0019, -0.0019, 0.0, 0.0557, 0.0167, 0.0427, 0.0836, 0.0334, 0.0576, 0.0162, -0.0135, -0.0062, -0.0757, -0.1447, -0.1467, -0.2047, -0.1769, -0.057, -0.0173, -0.051, -0.0394, -0.0394, -0.0767, -0.0931, -0.1022, -0.1177, -0.1177, -0.0519, -0.0215, 0.0566, 0.0141, 0.0256, 0.0323, 0.1313, 0.1113, 0.0749, 0.095, 0.1461, 0.1461, 0.0466, 0.0422, 0.0209, -0.0039, -0.0359, 0.0316, 0.0586, 0.0004, -0.102, -0.0707, -0.0519, -0.1315, -0.2214, -0.0924, -0.021, -0.0325, -0.066, -0.0542, 0.0331, 0.0331, 0.0279, 0.073, 0.1343, 0.0321, 0.0605, 0.0813, 0.1186, 0.1055, -0.0388, -0.0407, -0.0851, 0.0307, 0.0082, -0.0584, 0.0007, 0.0164, 0.1805, 0.1388, 0.1906, 0.3687, 0.2262, 0.2497, 0.2809, 0.2398, 0.2032, 0.2112, 0.2131, 0.117, 0.0627, -0.0275, 0.0937, 0.0746, 0.147, 0.147, 0.1863, 0.2375, 0.3176, 0.437, 0.5281, 0.6292, 0.707, 0.7579, 0.7428, 0.6564, 0.6777, 0.6502, 0.6458, 0.6557, 0.5512, 0.528, 0.4284, 0.4882, 0.457, 0.6284, 0.8596, 0.8543, 1.0564, 0.9476, 0.8662, 0.9616, 0.888, 1.1848, 1.3311, 1.3183, 1.1067, 1.0842, 1.0219, 1.3182, 1.2638, 1.2638]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1982477197844898027", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-26T15:59:31+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS is direct to $MSFT full stack and can actually increase their gross margins over time. Nebius is #1 from the very start, even beating out $CRWV and long term profitability from full stack will shine when it comes to earnings vs speculation.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS on direct full-stack HPC model with expanding margins; cautious/bearish on CRWV execution and IREN's HPC pivot margin compression.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$IREN has good margins for crypto mining and large GW capacity but that doesn’t translate directly into HPC.\n\nThey’re going the $CIFR $WULF route in the meantime with middleware orchestration funneling to hyper scalers but that cuts into margins a lot in the long run.\n\n$NBIS is direct to $MSFT full stack and can actually increase their gross margins over time.\n\nEveryone points to $CRWV as the example to minor pivots but the harsh reality as we learned recently is that if many miners try building their own orchestration and stack, they will likely fail.\n\n$ORCL is the perfect example of the software moat where if a $800B hyperscaler has trouble how would a $4B bitcoin miner pivot, or a $100m microcap like $SLNH do it.\n\nIf they go direct, a lot of people estimating bitcoin miner fundamentals use $CRWV in terms of translating GW to revenue/profit, but the actual returns will likely be underwhelming during the execution.\n\nNebius is #1 from the very start, even beating out $CRWV (from their most recent whitepaper with gpu utilization) and long term profitability from full stack will shine when it comes to earnings vs speculation.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Great insights on orchestration layer. I used to like $CRWV a lot until i saw their leverage for data center rent, and acquisition, high energy cost -- which all has material impact on margins. Margin is the name of the game here which is why I liked $IREN. They have good", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DeepValueBagger", "ret_m1d": -0.0651359176358719, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0651359176358719, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05347576869210846, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.051394016667661524, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013741900968210374, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02870125540430646, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02870125540430646, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.031357254360897535, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.023750721096447047, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004950534307859411, "ret_p1w": -0.03954396135218685, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03954396135218685, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.036771241766913265, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.009072772543005425, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": -0.030471188809181426, "ret_p1m": -0.291397615903933, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.291397615903933, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2764831740059033, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2669865978192385, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02441101808469448, "ret_p3m": -0.22785618880266678, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22785618880266678, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23628515601411337, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.22330124633290094, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": -0.004554942469765844, "ret_p6m": 0.24810653488691647, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.24810653488691647, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.21476196842477524, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.24166768131940364, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": 0.006438853567512837, "price_path": [-0.5911, -0.5661, -0.5854, -0.5681, -0.5602, -0.5608, -0.4793, -0.4516, -0.44, -0.3994, -0.4369, -0.4542, -0.429, -0.4217, -0.4643, -0.4621, -0.4724, -0.4501, -0.4418, -0.4381, -0.4411, -0.4257, -0.4553, -0.4553, -0.476, -0.4766, -0.4825, -0.478, -0.4893, -0.2369, -0.2554, -0.2889, -0.2792, -0.2748, -0.287, -0.2499, -0.2496, -0.2082, -0.1501, -0.1406, -0.0973, -0.1394, -0.1414, -0.1213, -0.1049, -0.0783, 0.0035, 0.0203, -0.0039, -0.0616, -0.0273, 0.0575, 0.0331, 0.08, 0.0217, 0.0032, -0.0191, -0.0956, -0.131, -0.1686, -0.2137, -0.1536, -0.0651, 0.0, -0.0287, -0.0026, -0.01, 0.043, -0.0395, -0.1187, -0.0672, -0.1275, -0.1128, -0.1234, -0.185, -0.2477, -0.2934, -0.334, -0.3145, -0.2782, -0.242, -0.3252, -0.3362, -0.2673, -0.2914, -0.2451, -0.2451, -0.2436, -0.2015, -0.231, -0.2114, -0.1804, -0.2184, -0.2001, -0.2314, -0.2538, -0.2483, -0.3009, -0.3531, -0.3546, -0.3985, -0.3774, -0.2868, -0.2567, -0.2822, -0.2735, -0.2735, -0.3017, -0.314, -0.321, -0.3327, -0.3327, -0.2829, -0.2599, -0.2008, -0.233, -0.2243, -0.2192, -0.1443, -0.1595, -0.187, -0.1718, -0.1331, -0.1331, -0.2084, -0.2118, -0.2279, -0.2466, -0.2708, -0.2197, -0.1993, -0.2433, -0.3208, -0.2971, -0.2829, -0.3431, -0.4111, -0.3136, -0.2595, -0.2682, -0.2936, -0.2846, -0.2186, -0.2186, -0.2225, -0.1884, -0.1421, -0.2193, -0.1979, -0.1822, -0.154, -0.1638, -0.273, -0.2744, -0.308, -0.2204, -0.2374, -0.2878, -0.2431, -0.2312, -0.1071, -0.1386, -0.0995, 0.0352, -0.0726, -0.0548, -0.0312, -0.0623, -0.0899, -0.0839, -0.0824, -0.1551, -0.1962, -0.2645, -0.1728, -0.1872, -0.1324, -0.1324, -0.1028, -0.064, -0.0034, 0.0869, 0.1558, 0.2322, 0.2911, 0.3296, 0.3182, 0.2528, 0.2689, 0.2481]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1982477197844898027", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-26T15:59:31+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the actual returns will likely be underwhelming during the execution", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS on direct full-stack HPC model with expanding margins; cautious/bearish on CRWV execution and IREN's HPC pivot margin compression.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$IREN has good margins for crypto mining and large GW capacity but that doesn’t translate directly into HPC.\n\nThey’re going the $CIFR $WULF route in the meantime with middleware orchestration funneling to hyper scalers but that cuts into margins a lot in the long run.\n\n$NBIS is direct to $MSFT full stack and can actually increase their gross margins over time.\n\nEveryone points to $CRWV as the example to minor pivots but the harsh reality as we learned recently is that if many miners try building their own orchestration and stack, they will likely fail.\n\n$ORCL is the perfect example of the software moat where if a $800B hyperscaler has trouble how would a $4B bitcoin miner pivot, or a $100m microcap like $SLNH do it.\n\nIf they go direct, a lot of people estimating bitcoin miner fundamentals use $CRWV in terms of translating GW to revenue/profit, but the actual returns will likely be underwhelming during the execution.\n\nNebius is #1 from the very start, even beating out $CRWV (from their most recent whitepaper with gpu utilization) and long term profitability from full stack will shine when it comes to earnings vs speculation.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Great insights on orchestration layer. I used to like $CRWV a lot until i saw their leverage for data center rent, and acquisition, high energy cost -- which all has material impact on margins. Margin is the name of the game here which is why I liked $IREN. They have good", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DeepValueBagger", "ret_m1d": -0.025797402394663216, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.025797402394663216, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.014137253450899778, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.014137253450899778, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.009260580107634642, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009260580107634642, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011916579064225719, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011916579064225719, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "ret_p1w": -0.0715860505551974, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0715860505551974, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06881333096992381, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06881333096992381, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "ret_p1m": -0.4760399662301438, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4760399662301438, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.46112552433211407, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.46112552433211407, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "ret_p3m": -0.3253711409483283, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3253711409483283, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3338001081597749, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3338001081597749, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "ret_p6m": -0.15360865994050799, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.15360865994050799, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.18695322640264922, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.18695322640264922, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "price_path": [-0.2438, -0.1612, -0.2346, -0.2209, -0.178, -0.1898, -0.1101, -0.0478, 0.0273, 0.0933, -0.1345, -0.2687, -0.2653, -0.2885, -0.3173, -0.3274, -0.3327, -0.3092, -0.321, -0.3283, -0.2876, -0.2445, -0.2427, -0.2427, -0.314, -0.3394, -0.357, -0.3452, -0.3124, -0.2634, -0.1391, -0.1718, -0.1771, -0.1146, -0.1272, -0.1117, -0.1078, -0.0823, -0.0208, -0.038, -0.0196, -0.0691, -0.1155, -0.0995, 0.0058, 0.0073, 0.0143, -0.0093, -0.0162, -0.0531, 0.0288, 0.0516, 0.0174, 0.0409, -0.0147, 0.0234, 0.0417, 0.006, -0.0661, -0.0808, -0.1068, -0.0935, -0.0258, 0.0, -0.0093, 0.0284, -0.0367, -0.0173, -0.0716, -0.1493, -0.159, -0.2141, -0.2356, -0.2238, -0.3504, -0.3721, -0.4242, -0.4314, -0.4463, -0.4495, -0.4494, -0.4913, -0.4734, -0.4591, -0.476, -0.454, -0.454, -0.4626, -0.4336, -0.4412, -0.4167, -0.3698, -0.351, -0.3662, -0.3337, -0.3521, -0.3578, -0.4224, -0.4682, -0.4892, -0.5256, -0.5026, -0.39, -0.3765, -0.4101, -0.4203, -0.4203, -0.4383, -0.4494, -0.4569, -0.4737, -0.4737, -0.417, -0.4351, -0.4272, -0.4328, -0.4334, -0.411, -0.339, -0.357, -0.34, -0.3017, -0.256, -0.256, -0.3002, -0.3088, -0.3254, -0.3166, -0.2775, -0.1999, -0.2208, -0.2685, -0.3151, -0.3463, -0.3381, -0.3939, -0.4513, -0.3389, -0.2886, -0.301, -0.3007, -0.2966, -0.2941, -0.2941, -0.3312, -0.2985, -0.2861, -0.344, -0.3324, -0.2702, -0.2797, -0.2824, -0.4153, -0.4264, -0.4577, -0.4157, -0.4501, -0.4635, -0.4531, -0.4494, -0.3976, -0.4131, -0.4039, -0.369, -0.3964, -0.3913, -0.4072, -0.4012, -0.3976, -0.3898, -0.3563, -0.4087, -0.4502, -0.4918, -0.4306, -0.4235, -0.3956, -0.3956, -0.4051, -0.3735, -0.3466, -0.3238, -0.2503, -0.1895, -0.1386, -0.1277, -0.1213, -0.1412, -0.1369, -0.1536]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1982477197844898027", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-26T15:59:31+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$IREN has good margins for crypto mining and large GW capacity but that doesn't translate directly into HPC. They're going the $CIFR $WULF route in the meantime with middleware orchestration funneling to hyper scalers but that cuts into margins a lot in the long run.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS on direct full-stack HPC model with expanding margins; cautious/bearish on CRWV execution and IREN's HPC pivot margin compression.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$IREN has good margins for crypto mining and large GW capacity but that doesn’t translate directly into HPC.\n\nThey’re going the $CIFR $WULF route in the meantime with middleware orchestration funneling to hyper scalers but that cuts into margins a lot in the long run.\n\n$NBIS is direct to $MSFT full stack and can actually increase their gross margins over time.\n\nEveryone points to $CRWV as the example to minor pivots but the harsh reality as we learned recently is that if many miners try building their own orchestration and stack, they will likely fail.\n\n$ORCL is the perfect example of the software moat where if a $800B hyperscaler has trouble how would a $4B bitcoin miner pivot, or a $100m microcap like $SLNH do it.\n\nIf they go direct, a lot of people estimating bitcoin miner fundamentals use $CRWV in terms of translating GW to revenue/profit, but the actual returns will likely be underwhelming during the execution.\n\nNebius is #1 from the very start, even beating out $CRWV (from their most recent whitepaper with gpu utilization) and long term profitability from full stack will shine when it comes to earnings vs speculation.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Great insights on orchestration layer. I used to like $CRWV a lot until i saw their leverage for data center rent, and acquisition, high energy cost -- which all has material impact on margins. Margin is the name of the game here which is why I liked $IREN. They have good", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DeepValueBagger", "ret_m1d": -0.03215873836881211, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03215873836881211, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.020498589425048674, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.028033473816390764, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004125264552421348, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.039544541918764, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.039544541918764, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.042200540875355075, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03316916586003127, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006375376058732729, "ret_p1w": 0.04246810627715236, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04246810627715236, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04524082586242595, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0645944793271267, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022126373049974335, "ret_p1m": -0.2695798925827233, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2695798925827233, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2546654506846936, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.25476647211453674, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.014813420468186567, "ret_p3m": -0.1958762880546734, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1958762880546734, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.20430525526611998, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.20840337820819355, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01252709015352016, "ret_p6m": -0.30497000071257774, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.30497000071257774, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.33831456717471897, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2941425250379808, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010827475674596965, "price_path": [-0.7517, -0.7521, -0.763, -0.7464, -0.7469, -0.7181, -0.7143, -0.7161, -0.7235, -0.7257, -0.7272, -0.7064, -0.697, -0.6814, -0.7118, -0.696, -0.6986, -0.6703, -0.6443, -0.6463, -0.656, -0.6455, -0.5926, -0.5926, -0.5521, -0.5659, -0.5979, -0.5976, -0.597, -0.5355, -0.4825, -0.4945, -0.4775, -0.4285, -0.4391, -0.4168, -0.4411, -0.4054, -0.3553, -0.3573, -0.2747, -0.2877, -0.3559, -0.2933, -0.2779, -0.2756, -0.2765, -0.2236, -0.1114, -0.0509, -0.0754, -0.0175, -0.0803, -0.0131, 0.0703, 0.046, -0.0486, -0.0657, -0.0888, -0.1507, -0.2025, -0.1405, -0.0322, 0.0, -0.0395, -0.0703, -0.1042, -0.0652, 0.0425, 0.0252, 0.1757, 0.0303, -0.0402, -0.0742, -0.1171, -0.1429, -0.2514, -0.2865, -0.2705, -0.2483, -0.2948, -0.3311, -0.3497, -0.2539, -0.2696, -0.2545, -0.2545, -0.2643, -0.2539, -0.3673, -0.3236, -0.2853, -0.312, -0.287, -0.2793, -0.3242, -0.3239, -0.3825, -0.4541, -0.437, -0.4802, -0.4491, -0.3858, -0.3531, -0.3527, -0.3541, -0.3541, -0.3799, -0.3936, -0.4107, -0.4188, -0.4188, -0.343, -0.2577, -0.2936, -0.3287, -0.2971, -0.2917, -0.2256, -0.1846, -0.1863, -0.2016, -0.1103, -0.1103, -0.1651, -0.1771, -0.1959, -0.1279, -0.1943, -0.0769, -0.0315, -0.0792, -0.1731, -0.1833, -0.1631, -0.3085, -0.3878, -0.3564, -0.2899, -0.3394, -0.3434, -0.3841, -0.3504, -0.3504, -0.3696, -0.3525, -0.3339, -0.3848, -0.3482, -0.3007, -0.3225, -0.3193, -0.3699, -0.3631, -0.4022, -0.3254, -0.3826, -0.4353, -0.4024, -0.4134, -0.3541, -0.3634, -0.3602, -0.3085, -0.339, -0.3505, -0.359, -0.3647, -0.3513, -0.3673, -0.3625, -0.4238, -0.4601, -0.5135, -0.4725, -0.4755, -0.465, -0.465, -0.4595, -0.4501, -0.4333, -0.4298, -0.395, -0.3373, -0.2711, -0.2488, -0.266, -0.2596, -0.2503, -0.305]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1979763513645281332", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-19T04:16:18+00:00", "symbol": "RDDT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I bought $RDDT at $190 on Friday before it recovered to $195, it's definitely here to stay since everyone uses it lol", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds RDDT long bought at $190; bullish because of ubiquitous user base.", "resolved_tickers": ["RDDT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yeah I always underestimate tax harvesting effects from hedge funds/institutions.   \n\nWhenever a stock like $ETOR goes 2% lower, I think \"it can't get any lower than this\" then it does. This only applies end of year for Oct/Nov/early December for stocks down on the year.\n\nYeah I bought $RDDT at $190 on Friday before it recovered to $195, it's definitely here to stay since everyone uses it lol.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Respect for posting the L's publicly. Tax harvesting October/November is so real, I've gotten crushed before ignoring that pattern. $RDDT looking interesting around $190, valuation finally makes more sense than it did at $200 when everyone was screaming buy.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "StockStormX", "ret_m1d": -0.03718885291478069, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03718885291478069, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.026895433965716697, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.026005127041606735, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010293418949063993, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011183725873173955, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.015952247404600328, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015952247404600328, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.015967151886076114, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012425043357867649, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4904481475785936e-05, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0035272040467326793, "ret_p1w": 0.08277365724650454, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08277365724650454, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06200796557066668, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07485898287278214, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02076569167583786, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007914674373722397, "ret_p1m": -0.08292173864289165, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08292173864289165, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0662078714036003, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04481094495988713, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016713867239291358, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03811079368300452, "ret_p3m": 0.1297412328465788, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1297412328465788, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0955009755312215, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1267627681064647, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03424025731535729, "bench_c_p3m": 0.002978464740114095, "ret_p6m": -0.2367641419052341, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2367641419052341, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.27715482951205705, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.24597360852032313, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04039068760682296, "bench_c_p6m": 0.009209466615089035, "price_path": [-0.2784, -0.2684, -0.2609, -0.2513, -0.2846, -0.2625, -0.2069, -0.0684, -0.0036, -0.0167, 0.051, 0.0461, 0.064, 0.0902, 0.1064, 0.1595, 0.2024, 0.2174, 0.194, 0.1269, 0.0785, 0.0799, 0.0732, 0.0852, 0.0837, 0.0426, 0.1139, 0.1116, 0.1116, 0.0868, 0.102, 0.1463, 0.1853, 0.1358, 0.1863, 0.2793, 0.2867, 0.2559, 0.3021, 0.317, 0.316, 0.337, 0.3062, 0.272, 0.1727, 0.164, 0.1495, 0.1858, 0.1951, 0.1359, 0.0006, -0.0077, 0.0233, 0.0057, 0.017, -0.0009, 0.0455, -0.0194, 0.0059, -0.0303, -0.0085, -0.0173, -0.0372, 0.0, 0.016, -0.0268, -0.0082, 0.0579, 0.0828, 0.0518, 0.0409, -0.0398, 0.032, 0.0123, -0.0726, -0.0307, -0.093, -0.039, 0.0084, 0.0283, 0.0017, -0.0645, -0.0453, -0.0737, -0.0829, -0.0726, -0.1017, -0.0938, -0.0369, 0.079, 0.0251, 0.0251, 0.0691, 0.1033, 0.1002, 0.0907, 0.1001, 0.1562, 0.1702, 0.1661, 0.176, 0.1534, 0.1101, 0.0791, 0.1063, 0.1228, 0.1425, 0.1517, 0.1515, 0.1153, 0.1154, 0.1154, 0.115, 0.1589, 0.1525, 0.1353, 0.1353, 0.1946, 0.2053, 0.2535, 0.2619, 0.2542, 0.2078, 0.2052, 0.2788, 0.2464, 0.1297, 0.1409, 0.1409, 0.113, 0.0378, 0.0596, 0.081, 0.0551, -0.0305, -0.0461, -0.0614, -0.1097, -0.1251, -0.1831, -0.2459, -0.254, -0.3094, -0.3, -0.2593, -0.3121, -0.3527, -0.3103, -0.3103, -0.3124, -0.2717, -0.2783, -0.2583, -0.2964, -0.2983, -0.2608, -0.253, -0.2799, -0.2735, -0.2805, -0.2726, -0.2871, -0.3116, -0.3142, -0.3376, -0.3228, -0.3468, -0.3463, -0.3086, -0.2872, -0.2948, -0.3179, -0.3093, -0.3038, -0.3277, -0.3104, -0.3715, -0.3983, -0.387, -0.335, -0.3274, -0.3283, -0.3283, -0.3168, -0.3029, -0.2839, -0.3166, -0.3099, -0.2624, -0.2368]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1993796839318213004", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-26T21:39:44+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Strongly believe Dec 2027 $200 calls will hit!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Strongly bullish NBIS; endorses Dec 2027 $200 strike calls hitting.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Perugius__ Oh yeah that's fine risk management for $NBIS swapping out few month expiry to 2 years out. \n\nStrongly believe Dec 2027 $200 calls will hit!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "New update, I busted… 💔😔\n@aleabitoreddit I have failed 🙁👎\n\nSold my $nbis mar calls for a -30% loss don’t see a future for them unless $nbis hits $120 by next week so I just switched them to Dec 17 2027 $200 calls might as well ride it out full port.😮‍💨😲😼", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Perugius__", "ret_m1d": -0.06135816916451642, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06135816916451642, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05450201704657076, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05996039154774202, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0068561521179456575, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0013977776167743983, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.04467204159337279, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04467204159337279, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03847796056855057, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.038818428543512695, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006194081024822218, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005853613049860096, "ret_p1m": -0.03759642091245263, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03759642091245263, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0563405015805456, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07265061196442191, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018744080668092966, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035054191051969275, "ret_p3m": 0.06251978050806972, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06251978050806972, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05556591171807934, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05139391075443167, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006953868789990381, "bench_c_p3m": 0.011125869753638051, "ret_p6m": 1.3226316084622867, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.3226316084622867, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.2236600628888836, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.3017723468774232, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09897154557340304, "bench_c_p6m": 0.02085926158486351, "price_path": [-0.2785, -0.2785, -0.3059, -0.3067, -0.3145, -0.3086, -0.3235, 0.0109, -0.0137, -0.0581, -0.0452, -0.0394, -0.0555, -0.0064, -0.006, 0.0488, 0.1258, 0.1385, 0.1958, 0.1399, 0.1374, 0.164, 0.1857, 0.2209, 0.3293, 0.3516, 0.3195, 0.243, 0.2884, 0.4008, 0.3685, 0.4306, 0.3534, 0.3289, 0.2994, 0.198, 0.1511, 0.1013, 0.0415, 0.1211, 0.2384, 0.3246, 0.2866, 0.3212, 0.3114, 0.3816, 0.2723, 0.1674, 0.2356, 0.1558, 0.1752, 0.1612, 0.0795, -0.0035, -0.064, -0.1178, -0.092, -0.0438, 0.004, -0.1061, -0.1207, -0.0295, -0.0614, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0019, 0.0577, 0.0186, 0.0447, 0.0856, 0.0354, 0.0596, 0.0182, -0.0116, -0.0043, -0.0739, -0.1431, -0.1451, -0.2032, -0.1753, -0.0552, -0.0154, -0.0492, -0.0376, -0.0376, -0.075, -0.0914, -0.1005, -0.116, -0.116, -0.0501, -0.0196, 0.0586, 0.0161, 0.0276, 0.0342, 0.1335, 0.1134, 0.077, 0.0971, 0.1483, 0.1483, 0.0486, 0.0441, 0.0228, -0.002, -0.0341, 0.0336, 0.0606, 0.0023, -0.1003, -0.069, -0.0501, -0.1299, -0.2199, -0.0907, -0.0191, -0.0306, -0.0642, -0.0524, 0.0351, 0.0351, 0.0299, 0.0751, 0.1364, 0.0341, 0.0625, 0.0833, 0.1207, 0.1076, -0.037, -0.0389, -0.0833, 0.0326, 0.0101, -0.0566, 0.0026, 0.0184, 0.1828, 0.141, 0.1928, 0.3713, 0.2285, 0.2521, 0.2833, 0.2422, 0.2055, 0.2135, 0.2154, 0.1191, 0.0647, -0.0257, 0.0958, 0.0767, 0.1492, 0.1492, 0.1885, 0.2398, 0.3201, 0.4398, 0.531, 0.6323, 0.7102, 0.7612, 0.7461, 0.6595, 0.6809, 0.6533, 0.649, 0.6589, 0.5541, 0.5309, 0.4311, 0.4911, 0.4598, 0.6315, 0.8631, 0.8579, 1.0603, 0.9513, 0.8698, 0.9654, 0.8915, 1.1889, 1.3355, 1.3227, 1.1107, 1.0882, 1.0258, 1.3226]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1989293251761996209", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-14T11:24:05+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It was always low for Nebius which powers $MSFT azure, Meta and AI infra and during times like these is how they get to the 60-80% mark like they did with $HOOD before the massive rally to $100+", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NBIS on institutional accumulation pattern (38→42% ownership) similar to HOOD pre-rally; implies continued institutional buying to 60-80%.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It’s how institutions acquire more shares on $NBIS. If you read my last post they were at 38.3% ownership -> now 42.2% despite dropping share price.\n\nMechanical flows down + retail capitulation-> dark pools/block trades -> institutional accumulation.\n\nIt was always low for Nebius which powers $MSFT azure, Meta and AI infra and during times like these is how they get to the 60-80% mark like they did with $HOOD before the massive rally to $100+.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit It's insane how they let it drop so far.\nBut it is what it is.\nI'm basically almost all in $NBIS", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "babyfolio", "ret_m1d": 0.06092885183275798, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06092885183275798, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.060765056247821025, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05553947374933221, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0053893780834257665, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02920759414251739, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02920759414251739, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03852402757176199, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03055500763417085, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0013474134916534597, "ret_p1w": -0.003351673165289948, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.003351673165289948, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.015846667575385776, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.00847158234454437, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005119909179254423, "ret_p1m": -0.028728770643726698, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.028728770643726698, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.041825383272466876, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07579595992511301, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04706718928138631, "ret_p3m": 0.060689485746484806, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.060689485746484806, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.027836732130763542, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.008700540385840005, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0519889453606448, "ret_p6m": 1.227675413742134, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.227675413742134, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.1211470771516163, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.1828159796751123, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04485943406702164, "price_path": [-0.1957, -0.1924, -0.2078, -0.1743, -0.1618, -0.1563, -0.1609, -0.1377, -0.1822, -0.1822, -0.2133, -0.2141, -0.223, -0.2163, -0.2332, 0.1458, 0.1179, 0.0676, 0.0822, 0.0888, 0.0705, 0.1262, 0.1266, 0.1888, 0.276, 0.2904, 0.3554, 0.2921, 0.2892, 0.3194, 0.3439, 0.3839, 0.5067, 0.532, 0.4956, 0.4089, 0.4604, 0.5877, 0.5511, 0.6215, 0.534, 0.5062, 0.4728, 0.3579, 0.3048, 0.2483, 0.1805, 0.2708, 0.4036, 0.5014, 0.4583, 0.4975, 0.4865, 0.566, 0.4421, 0.3232, 0.4005, 0.31, 0.3321, 0.3161, 0.2236, 0.1295, 0.0609, 0.0, 0.0292, 0.0838, 0.138, 0.0132, -0.0034, 0.1001, 0.0639, 0.1335, 0.1335, 0.1356, 0.1988, 0.1545, 0.1841, 0.2305, 0.1736, 0.201, 0.1541, 0.1203, 0.1286, 0.0497, -0.0287, -0.031, -0.0968, -0.0652, 0.0709, 0.116, 0.0777, 0.0909, 0.0909, 0.0485, 0.0299, 0.0195, 0.002, 0.002, 0.0767, 0.1112, 0.1999, 0.1517, 0.1647, 0.1723, 0.2848, 0.262, 0.2207, 0.2435, 0.3015, 0.3015, 0.1885, 0.1835, 0.1593, 0.1312, 0.0948, 0.1715, 0.2022, 0.1361, 0.0198, 0.0553, 0.0767, -0.0138, -0.1158, 0.0306, 0.1118, 0.0988, 0.0607, 0.0741, 0.1732, 0.1732, 0.1673, 0.2186, 0.2881, 0.1721, 0.2043, 0.2279, 0.2703, 0.2554, 0.0916, 0.0894, 0.039, 0.1705, 0.145, 0.0693, 0.1365, 0.1543, 0.3406, 0.2933, 0.352, 0.5543, 0.3925, 0.4192, 0.4546, 0.4079, 0.3664, 0.3755, 0.3777, 0.2685, 0.2068, 0.1044, 0.242, 0.2204, 0.3026, 0.3026, 0.3471, 0.4053, 0.4963, 0.6319, 0.7353, 0.8501, 0.9385, 0.9963, 0.9792, 0.881, 0.9052, 0.874, 0.869, 0.8803, 0.7616, 0.7352, 0.6221, 0.6901, 0.6547, 0.8493, 1.1118, 1.1058, 1.3353, 1.2118, 1.1193, 1.2277]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1989293251761996209", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-14T11:24:05+00:00", "symbol": "HOOD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "like they did with $HOOD before the massive rally to $100+", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NBIS on institutional accumulation pattern (38→42% ownership) similar to HOOD pre-rally; implies continued institutional buying to 60-80%.", "resolved_tickers": ["HOOD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It’s how institutions acquire more shares on $NBIS. If you read my last post they were at 38.3% ownership -> now 42.2% despite dropping share price.\n\nMechanical flows down + retail capitulation-> dark pools/block trades -> institutional accumulation.\n\nIt was always low for Nebius which powers $MSFT azure, Meta and AI infra and during times like these is how they get to the 60-80% mark like they did with $HOOD before the massive rally to $100+.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit It's insane how they let it drop so far.\nBut it is what it is.\nI'm basically almost all in $NBIS", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "babyfolio", "ret_m1d": -0.00791837731186229, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00791837731186229, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.008082172896799245, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.018023285842064585, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010104908530202295, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.053306112484056145, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.053306112484056145, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04398967905481155, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0342404106614973, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "bench_c_p1d": -0.019065701822558845, "ret_p1w": -0.1240816077407525, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1240816077407525, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10488326700007677, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10921031043467588, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014871297306076614, "ret_p1m": -0.05910202337771042, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05910202337771042, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0721986360064506, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10752914369188882, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "bench_c_p1m": 0.048427120314178396, "ret_p3m": -0.36351019411670915, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.36351019411670915, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3963629477324304, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.37255366359995135, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "bench_c_p3m": 0.009043469483242195, "ret_p6m": -0.3405714385363521, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3405714385363521, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4470997751268697, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3248017804196409, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "bench_c_p6m": -0.01576965811671116, "price_path": [-0.1224, -0.1401, -0.1322, -0.1076, -0.1189, -0.1118, -0.1598, -0.1536, -0.1508, -0.1508, -0.1768, -0.177, -0.1599, -0.1735, -0.0426, -0.0327, -0.0411, -0.0388, -0.061, -0.0626, -0.0418, -0.0315, -0.013, 0.0186, 0.0195, 0.0302, 0.0351, 0.0012, -0.0059, 0.1161, 0.1688, 0.1358, 0.1894, 0.2136, 0.1776, 0.1837, 0.2316, 0.2446, 0.1344, 0.1484, 0.1016, 0.0951, 0.073, 0.0605, 0.1086, 0.0762, 0.0385, 0.0966, 0.1411, 0.1907, 0.1939, 0.182, 0.1271, 0.1982, 0.2007, 0.1167, 0.1631, 0.0374, 0.0642, 0.1092, 0.077, 0.0856, -0.0079, 0.0, -0.0533, -0.0669, -0.0354, -0.133, -0.1241, -0.0615, -0.0566, 0.0465, 0.0465, 0.0489, 0.006, 0.0282, 0.0909, 0.119, 0.0771, 0.1137, 0.1078, 0.1074, 0.0072, -0.0245, -0.0591, -0.0253, -0.0547, -0.0436, -0.0094, -0.0011, -0.0184, -0.0168, -0.0168, -0.0357, -0.0414, -0.0576, -0.0767, -0.0767, -0.0595, 0.006, -0.0065, -0.0451, -0.058, -0.059, -0.0407, -0.0184, -0.0231, -0.0992, -0.1123, -0.1123, -0.1365, -0.1353, -0.1327, -0.1266, -0.1265, -0.1409, -0.1559, -0.1736, -0.1879, -0.266, -0.2892, -0.3419, -0.4067, -0.3239, -0.2934, -0.3012, -0.3635, -0.4194, -0.3798, -0.3798, -0.3842, -0.386, -0.3824, -0.3787, -0.414, -0.4009, -0.3671, -0.3514, -0.3808, -0.3569, -0.379, -0.3289, -0.3424, -0.3707, -0.3522, -0.3589, -0.3576, -0.3786, -0.4009, -0.3852, -0.3686, -0.3886, -0.3946, -0.4213, -0.4082, -0.4361, -0.4078, -0.4257, -0.4611, -0.4681, -0.4343, -0.4277, -0.4376, -0.4376, -0.4304, -0.4314, -0.4136, -0.4276, -0.4352, -0.4149, -0.3544, -0.2872, -0.291, -0.2592, -0.2549, -0.2944, -0.2781, -0.318, -0.3085, -0.3147, -0.33, -0.4188, -0.405, -0.3987, -0.3751, -0.3712, -0.3547, -0.3773, -0.3712, -0.3406]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1992225470088392732", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-22T13:35:40+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$IREN does frontload connected capacity and if you go from that standpoint (eg. 1+ GW H1 2026) vs. 1 GW from $NBIS H2 2026, $IREN wins and should be using that time to sign more contracts", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Near-term IREN wins on capacity timing (1+ GW H1 2026); longer-term NBIS achieves parity with higher margins from full-stack approach.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So just a quick qualitative reply, $IREN does frontload connected capacity and if you go from that standpoint (eg. 1+ GW H1 2026) vs. 1 GW from $NBIS H2 2026, $IREN wins and should be using that time to sign more contracts. \n\nLonger term, Nebius achieves capacity parity between the two and has higher margins from full-stack vs. pure iaas and you saw this from the revenue per mw from the $MSFT contract.   \n\nI remember doing a quantitative breakdown on power costs with margins and found that utilization/orchestration mattered vs.  cheap power during that Oracle TI fiasco. \n\n Fun fact about $NBIS, they have new behind the meter approaches with dataone on their greenfield sites with power generation on their 300 MW facility in NJ., but probably lags near term to $IREN.  \n\nI'm not an energy expert so I won't personally go into projections regarding natural gas pipelines conversion estimates, so just going with connected/contracted capacity projections from management.  \n\nFor $GLXY agreed about the crypto accounting. That wasn't a factor when doing weighting.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @CarineMorneau12 $NBIS wins in software and locations (that's a high plus), but loses in own power generation and amount of it to $IREN. Yet, it's fair, if we consider IREN still has some BTC mining operations (worth 0 basically).\n\nAt first, I also got caught up with $GLXY and the fact that", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "chinoalemano", "ret_m1d": -0.12848016377157978, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.12848016377157978, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11397514887361215, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12424041890519921, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014505014897967627, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004239744866380568, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.021035273715336422, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.021035273715336422, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.030441265157392317, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.033561789268223285, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009405991442055894, "bench_c_p1d": 0.012526515552886863, "ret_p1w": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01725660219860803, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.019271533869352764, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01725660219860803, "bench_c_p1w": 0.019271533869352764, "ret_p1m": -0.13239846899187757, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.13239846899187757, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16419441552937242, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.20435319106454086, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031795946537494846, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07195472207266329, "ret_p3m": -0.10723861792004519, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.10723861792004519, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1338152043785127, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11576178272715965, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0265765864584675, "bench_c_p3m": 0.008523164807114458, "ret_p6m": -0.01546710608453239, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.01546710608453239, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.11891373605786093, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.00876420566659386, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10344662997332854, "bench_c_p6m": -0.006702900417938529, "price_path": [-0.539, -0.5249, -0.4539, -0.4539, -0.3997, -0.4182, -0.4611, -0.4607, -0.4599, -0.3774, -0.3065, -0.3225, -0.2996, -0.2341, -0.2483, -0.2184, -0.251, -0.2031, -0.1359, -0.1386, -0.0278, -0.0454, -0.1367, -0.0528, -0.0322, -0.0291, -0.0303, 0.0406, 0.191, 0.272, 0.2392, 0.3168, 0.2326, 0.3227, 0.4345, 0.4019, 0.2751, 0.2522, 0.2213, 0.1383, 0.0689, 0.152, 0.2972, 0.3403, 0.2873, 0.246, 0.2007, 0.2528, 0.3972, 0.3741, 0.5758, 0.3809, 0.2865, 0.2409, 0.1833, 0.1487, 0.0033, -0.0437, -0.0223, 0.0074, -0.0549, -0.1035, -0.1285, 0.0, -0.021, -0.0008, -0.0008, -0.014, 0.0, -0.152, -0.0934, -0.0421, -0.078, -0.0443, -0.034, -0.0942, -0.0938, -0.1724, -0.2683, -0.2454, -0.3034, -0.2617, -0.1767, -0.133, -0.1324, -0.1343, -0.1343, -0.1689, -0.1873, -0.2101, -0.2211, -0.2211, -0.1194, -0.0052, -0.0532, -0.1003, -0.058, -0.0507, 0.0379, 0.0928, 0.0905, 0.0701, 0.1924, 0.1924, 0.119, 0.1029, 0.0777, 0.1689, 0.0798, 0.2372, 0.298, 0.2341, 0.1083, 0.0947, 0.1217, -0.0732, -0.1794, -0.1373, -0.0483, -0.1147, -0.12, -0.1745, -0.1293, -0.1293, -0.1551, -0.1322, -0.1072, -0.1755, -0.1264, -0.0627, -0.092, -0.0876, -0.1555, -0.1464, -0.1988, -0.0959, -0.1725, -0.2431, -0.199, -0.2139, -0.1343, -0.1468, -0.1425, -0.0732, -0.114, -0.1295, -0.1409, -0.1485, -0.1305, -0.152, -0.1456, -0.2277, -0.2763, -0.3479, -0.2931, -0.297, -0.2829, -0.2829, -0.2755, -0.2629, -0.2405, -0.2357, -0.1891, -0.1118, -0.0231, 0.0068, -0.0163, -0.0076, 0.0047, -0.0685, -0.0021, 0.0728, 0.0443, -0.0027, -0.0835, -0.1161, -0.0615, -0.0584, 0.0204, 0.1289, 0.2576, 0.1724, 0.2621, 0.1373, 0.1664, 0.1378, 0.2044, 0.0918, 0.0406, -0.0155]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1992225470088392732", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-22T13:35:40+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Longer term, Nebius achieves capacity parity between the two and has higher margins from full-stack vs. pure iaas", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Near-term IREN wins on capacity timing (1+ GW H1 2026); longer-term NBIS achieves parity with higher margins from full-stack approach.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So just a quick qualitative reply, $IREN does frontload connected capacity and if you go from that standpoint (eg. 1+ GW H1 2026) vs. 1 GW from $NBIS H2 2026, $IREN wins and should be using that time to sign more contracts. \n\nLonger term, Nebius achieves capacity parity between the two and has higher margins from full-stack vs. pure iaas and you saw this from the revenue per mw from the $MSFT contract.   \n\nI remember doing a quantitative breakdown on power costs with margins and found that utilization/orchestration mattered vs.  cheap power during that Oracle TI fiasco. \n\n Fun fact about $NBIS, they have new behind the meter approaches with dataone on their greenfield sites with power generation on their 300 MW facility in NJ., but probably lags near term to $IREN.  \n\nI'm not an energy expert so I won't personally go into projections regarding natural gas pipelines conversion estimates, so just going with connected/contracted capacity projections from management.  \n\nFor $GLXY agreed about the crypto accounting. That wasn't a factor when doing weighting.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @CarineMorneau12 $NBIS wins in software and locations (that's a high plus), but loses in own power generation and amount of it to $IREN. Yet, it's fair, if we consider IREN still has some BTC mining operations (worth 0 basically).\n\nAt first, I also got caught up with $GLXY and the fact that", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "chinoalemano", "ret_m1d": -0.09401522574747101, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09401522574747101, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07951021084950338, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08419309478962045, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014505014897967627, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009822130957850561, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.032861852255905655, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.032861852255905655, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04226784369796155, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.044276829152403385, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009405991442055894, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01141497689649773, "ret_p1w": 0.08977148926027834, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08977148926027834, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07251488706167031, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07348978131197503, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01725660219860803, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016281707948303303, "ret_p1m": -0.020348234118967246, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.020348234118967246, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05214418065646209, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06246872564745665, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031795946537494846, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0421204915284894, "ret_p3m": 0.17094666837463257, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.17094666837463257, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.14437008191616507, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.14880038202328993, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0265765864584675, "bench_c_p3m": 0.022146286351342637, "ret_p6m": 1.1515777197442003, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.1515777197442003, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.0481310897708718, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.119846568058765, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10344662997332854, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03173115168543528, "price_path": [-0.2372, -0.2161, -0.2566, -0.2566, -0.2849, -0.2856, -0.2937, -0.2876, -0.3029, 0.0416, 0.0162, -0.0295, -0.0162, -0.0102, -0.0269, 0.0237, 0.0242, 0.0806, 0.16, 0.173, 0.2321, 0.1745, 0.1719, 0.1993, 0.2217, 0.258, 0.3696, 0.3926, 0.3595, 0.2807, 0.3275, 0.4433, 0.41, 0.474, 0.3945, 0.3692, 0.3388, 0.2344, 0.1861, 0.1347, 0.0731, 0.1552, 0.276, 0.3649, 0.3257, 0.3613, 0.3513, 0.4235, 0.3109, 0.2028, 0.2731, 0.1909, 0.2109, 0.1964, 0.1123, 0.0268, -0.0356, -0.091, -0.0644, -0.0148, 0.0345, -0.079, -0.094, 0.0, -0.0329, 0.0304, 0.0304, 0.0323, 0.0898, 0.0495, 0.0764, 0.1186, 0.0668, 0.0917, 0.0491, 0.0184, 0.0259, -0.0458, -0.1171, -0.1192, -0.179, -0.1503, -0.0266, 0.0145, -0.0203, -0.0084, -0.0084, -0.0469, -0.0638, -0.0732, -0.0892, -0.0892, -0.0212, 0.0101, 0.0908, 0.0469, 0.0588, 0.0656, 0.1679, 0.1472, 0.1097, 0.1304, 0.1831, 0.1831, 0.0804, 0.0758, 0.0539, 0.0283, -0.0048, 0.065, 0.0928, 0.0328, -0.073, -0.0407, -0.0212, -0.1035, -0.1962, -0.0631, 0.0107, -0.0012, -0.0358, -0.0236, 0.0665, 0.0665, 0.0612, 0.1077, 0.1709, 0.0655, 0.0948, 0.1162, 0.1547, 0.1412, -0.0077, -0.0097, -0.0555, 0.064, 0.0408, -0.028, 0.0331, 0.0493, 0.2187, 0.1756, 0.2291, 0.4129, 0.2658, 0.2901, 0.3223, 0.2799, 0.2421, 0.2504, 0.2523, 0.1531, 0.0971, 0.0039, 0.1291, 0.1094, 0.1841, 0.1841, 0.2246, 0.2775, 0.3602, 0.4835, 0.5775, 0.6818, 0.7621, 0.8147, 0.7991, 0.7099, 0.7319, 0.7035, 0.699, 0.7092, 0.6013, 0.5774, 0.4745, 0.5363, 0.5041, 0.6811, 0.9197, 0.9143, 1.1229, 1.0106, 0.9266, 1.025, 0.949, 1.2554, 1.4064, 1.3933, 1.1748, 1.1516]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2011335633445286396", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-14T07:12:38+00:00", "symbol": "POET", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd probably enter $POET in 6 months", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long POET in ~6 months, ALMU ~1 year out as InP workaround plays; RKLB directionally correct if patient.", "resolved_tickers": ["POET"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My opinion around $POET and $ALMU is that inp workaround is 2-3 year timeframe in 2028-2029. \n\nThey dont have hyperscaler qualifications and aren’t in modern ASIC architectures, so Poet is 6 months early, $ALMU is 1 year early.\n\nRetail favorites like $RKLB are often a year ahead of time but they’re directionally right if you wait long enough.\n\nI’d probably enter $POET in 6 months and $ALMU further out, but if $AXTI situation becomes severe maybe they get fastracked.\n\nSo both great longs, it’s just a waiting game since it’s extremely extremely early into the cycle", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $ALMU which might be the InP workaround imo", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Skineeman", "ret_m1d": -0.11742895774833839, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11742895774833839, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12236847398461104, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1256174285241921, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004939516236272645, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008188470775853718, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.027194099243426306, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.027194099243426306, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.024470884846896857, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006439631799320278, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027232143965294497, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02075446744410603, "ret_p1w": 0.03461059674784095, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03461059674784095, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.041795226747773584, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.00035782441563347867, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007184629999932635, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03496842116347443, "ret_p1m": -0.3016069235103702, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3016069235103702, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.28843996293252894, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.34733881219048235, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01316696057784128, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04573188868011213, "ret_p3m": -0.09765141495087815, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09765141495087815, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09419487060161447, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23925046058013788, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0034565443492636794, "bench_c_p3m": 0.14159904562925973, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1323, -0.0618, -0.0791, -0.089, -0.0964, 0.0173, -0.0841, -0.1261, -0.1805, -0.2114, -0.204, -0.1842, -0.2645, -0.2534, -0.3424, -0.3337, -0.3473, -0.3461, -0.3758, -0.419, -0.4561, -0.4845, -0.4697, -0.4747, -0.4808, -0.4722, -0.4277, -0.4227, -0.4017, -0.4017, -0.3881, -0.4302, -0.4215, -0.2571, -0.2126, -0.2522, -0.2299, -0.1471, -0.1162, -0.1075, -0.1965, -0.2658, -0.2497, -0.2621, -0.2423, -0.1619, -0.0593, -0.1162, -0.1323, -0.1323, -0.1582, -0.1916, -0.1941, -0.2176, -0.2176, -0.115, -0.0816, -0.0915, -0.0791, -0.1001, -0.0865, -0.1088, -0.1174, 0.0, 0.0272, 0.026, 0.026, 0.0185, 0.0346, -0.1422, -0.1459, -0.2015, -0.1607, -0.2311, -0.2645, -0.2831, -0.2781, -0.2534, -0.3066, -0.3597, -0.2744, -0.2324, -0.2781, -0.2794, -0.3016, -0.3103, -0.3103, -0.3177, -0.3103, -0.3115, -0.2967, -0.3177, -0.2447, -0.2138, -0.2287, -0.2583, -0.1459, -0.1298, -0.1545, -0.1792, -0.2237, -0.1731, -0.1347, -0.0803, -0.0803, -0.1557, -0.1459, -0.1879, -0.2361, -0.2299, -0.267, -0.2509, -0.2905, -0.246, -0.3214, -0.3585, -0.3721, -0.2658, -0.3078, -0.2447, -0.2447, -0.2485, -0.2633, -0.2311, -0.2485, -0.1298, -0.0977, -0.1706, -0.1384, -0.0927, -0.1026, 0.0618, 0.267, 0.5785, 0.4487, 0.8665, -0.0173, -0.0074, -0.1842, -0.1199, -0.0964, -0.1211, 0.1384, 0.2015, 0.1842, 0.3535, 0.7182, 0.6972, 0.7763, 1.5426, 0.974, 0.7565, 0.6156, 0.8269, 0.8319, 0.8035, 0.8035, 0.6502, 0.6415, 0.6391, 0.5192, 0.5192, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2011335633445286396", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-14T07:12:38+00:00", "symbol": "ALMU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ALMU further out", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long POET in ~6 months, ALMU ~1 year out as InP workaround plays; RKLB directionally correct if patient.", "resolved_tickers": ["ALMU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My opinion around $POET and $ALMU is that inp workaround is 2-3 year timeframe in 2028-2029. \n\nThey dont have hyperscaler qualifications and aren’t in modern ASIC architectures, so Poet is 6 months early, $ALMU is 1 year early.\n\nRetail favorites like $RKLB are often a year ahead of time but they’re directionally right if you wait long enough.\n\nI’d probably enter $POET in 6 months and $ALMU further out, but if $AXTI situation becomes severe maybe they get fastracked.\n\nSo both great longs, it’s just a waiting game since it’s extremely extremely early into the cycle", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $ALMU which might be the InP workaround imo", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Skineeman", "ret_m1d": 0.05312215030903311, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05312215030903311, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.048182634072760466, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.044933679533179394, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004939516236272645, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008188470775853718, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.007921718711393133, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.007921718711393133, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005198504314863683, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012832748732712895, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027232143965294497, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02075446744410603, "ret_p1w": -0.1309412668137322, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1309412668137322, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.12375663681379956, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.16590968797720662, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007184629999932635, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03496842116347443, "ret_p1m": -0.2835507616062969, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2835507616062969, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2703838010284556, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.329282650286409, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01316696057784128, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04573188868011213, "ret_p3m": -0.2847157019416561, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2847157019416561, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2812591575923924, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4263147475709158, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0034565443492636794, "bench_c_p3m": 0.14159904562925973, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2218, -0.2404, -0.246, -0.2903, -0.2488, -0.267, -0.2623, -0.2558, -0.254, -0.274, -0.24, -0.2367, -0.2773, -0.2735, -0.3234, -0.3145, -0.2833, -0.329, -0.3453, -0.3751, -0.3639, -0.4031, -0.4021, -0.4077, -0.4408, -0.4115, -0.3621, -0.3565, -0.3628, -0.3628, -0.3467, -0.3854, -0.3523, -0.2882, -0.2344, -0.2479, -0.2507, -0.2036, -0.1808, -0.1692, -0.1542, -0.2274, -0.2377, -0.3374, -0.3313, -0.3243, -0.3071, -0.3066, -0.2502, -0.2502, -0.1577, -0.2055, -0.1897, -0.1999, -0.1999, -0.1705, -0.1034, -0.0662, -0.0979, 0.0419, 0.0359, 0.0578, 0.0531, 0.0, 0.0079, 0.0056, 0.0056, -0.0424, -0.1309, -0.1775, -0.2199, -0.2516, -0.2134, -0.2008, -0.1999, -0.2642, -0.2616, -0.2584, -0.3122, -0.3541, -0.2982, -0.3057, -0.2251, -0.2176, -0.2836, -0.3276, -0.3276, -0.2554, -0.2582, -0.2549, -0.2833, -0.2717, -0.1729, -0.2377, -0.2544, -0.2791, -0.1034, -0.1016, -0.1445, -0.2675, -0.3001, -0.2824, -0.2628, -0.2507, -0.3108, -0.3099, -0.3043, -0.3322, -0.335, -0.3448, -0.3816, -0.3952, -0.3952, -0.4026, -0.4035, -0.4315, -0.4096, -0.39, -0.4012, -0.3737, -0.3737, -0.4532, -0.4548, -0.4646, -0.5, -0.4986, -0.2847, -0.3355, -0.2251, -0.1915, -0.2488, -0.2232, -0.1948, -0.0126, -0.1281, -0.1051, -0.069, -0.1188, -0.1067, 0.0853, 0.192, 0.0699, 0.2756, 0.3246, 0.117, 0.1375, 0.3131, 0.2633, 0.4674, 0.2418, 0.1584, -0.0326, 0.0221, -0.0238, 0.0862, 0.055, 0.055, 0.1351, 0.0797, 0.076, 0.0056, 0.0056, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2011335633445286396", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-14T07:12:38+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Retail favorites like $RKLB are often a year ahead of time but they're directionally right if you wait long enough", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long POET in ~6 months, ALMU ~1 year out as InP workaround plays; RKLB directionally correct if patient.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My opinion around $POET and $ALMU is that inp workaround is 2-3 year timeframe in 2028-2029. \n\nThey dont have hyperscaler qualifications and aren’t in modern ASIC architectures, so Poet is 6 months early, $ALMU is 1 year early.\n\nRetail favorites like $RKLB are often a year ahead of time but they’re directionally right if you wait long enough.\n\nI’d probably enter $POET in 6 months and $ALMU further out, but if $AXTI situation becomes severe maybe they get fastracked.\n\nSo both great longs, it’s just a waiting game since it’s extremely extremely early into the cycle", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $ALMU which might be the InP workaround imo", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Skineeman", "ret_m1d": -0.056862756505139056, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.056862756505139056, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0618022727414117, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05527986754135794, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004939516236272645, "bench_c_m1d": -0.001582888963781115, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011328985631307464, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011328985631307464, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.014052200027836914, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.020521068596933256, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027232143965294497, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009192082965625792, "ret_p1w": -0.043355154952332886, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.043355154952332886, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03617052495240025, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.056078068623079624, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007184629999932635, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012722913670746738, "ret_p1m": -0.28093681980584106, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.28093681980584106, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2677698592279998, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3325590457913019, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01316696057784128, "bench_c_p1m": 0.051622225985460846, "ret_p3m": -0.23071894990280417, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.23071894990280417, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2272624055535405, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2851740376058258, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0034565443492636794, "bench_c_p3m": 0.054455087703021654, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2781, -0.2663, -0.2876, -0.3403, -0.3075, -0.2967, -0.2852, -0.3056, -0.2793, -0.3364, -0.3139, -0.3318, -0.3838, -0.3854, -0.4596, -0.4375, -0.4346, -0.4418, -0.4557, -0.5071, -0.5039, -0.5282, -0.534, -0.5248, -0.5699, -0.561, -0.5376, -0.5359, -0.5432, -0.5432, -0.541, -0.5602, -0.5436, -0.5129, -0.4622, -0.4656, -0.4383, -0.418, -0.3734, -0.308, -0.3302, -0.3964, -0.3955, -0.4122, -0.3473, -0.2318, -0.1552, -0.1593, -0.1593, -0.1593, -0.2304, -0.2362, -0.2326, -0.2401, -0.2401, -0.1722, -0.1488, -0.0629, -0.0841, -0.095, -0.0757, -0.0425, -0.0569, 0.0, -0.0113, 0.049, 0.049, -0.0288, -0.0434, -0.0416, -0.0316, -0.1233, -0.0523, -0.0352, -0.0667, -0.1278, -0.1923, -0.1147, -0.2036, -0.2776, -0.2122, -0.1739, -0.2154, -0.2416, -0.2809, -0.2654, -0.2654, -0.2387, -0.1893, -0.1658, -0.2281, -0.2352, -0.2378, -0.2353, -0.2086, -0.2473, -0.2269, -0.2361, -0.2167, -0.2375, -0.2363, -0.2214, -0.2491, -0.2161, -0.2552, -0.2548, -0.2232, -0.1439, -0.2431, -0.2164, -0.2676, -0.2593, -0.2803, -0.2061, -0.2817, -0.3363, -0.3749, -0.3004, -0.2863, -0.2622, -0.2622, -0.2629, -0.2776, -0.2475, -0.273, -0.2587, -0.2307, -0.2133, -0.1983, -0.0966, -0.0763, -0.0255, -0.0562, -0.0192, -0.0784, -0.132, -0.1036, -0.1439, -0.161, -0.1012, -0.1415, -0.1252, -0.142, -0.0779, -0.144, 0.1489, 0.2783, 0.2806, 0.3524, 0.4439, 0.3592, 0.4288, 0.3868, 0.4627, 0.3666, 0.4789, 0.4789, 0.5599, 0.6365, 0.6125, 0.563, 0.563, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2011880439267672119", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-15T19:17:30+00:00", "symbol": "SSYS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this one is a great long as they're the skeleton/frames of all the humanoid robots", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long SSYS as the structural supplier for humanoid robots tied to OpenAI robotics push.", "resolved_tickers": ["SSYS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@pepemoonboy Thanks! I'm just following public information after the OpenAI robotics push for $SSYS. \n\nIt was already up 6% since I posted. But this one is a great long as they're the skeleton/frames of all the humanoid robots.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "SHEESH Serenity strikes again!\n\n🍿🍿🍿🎬🎬🎬", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "pepemoonboy", "ret_m1d": -0.12822717605788292, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.12822717605788292, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12551135741777264, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12300232063521799, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002715818640110279, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005224855422664931, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.037005190138613475, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.037005190138613475, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.036167316147718065, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.038105071254404654, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0008378739908954103, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0010998811157911792, "ret_p1w": -0.010327012628305932, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.010327012628305932, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.005617695755979812, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.006339628491570326, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004709316872326119, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0039873841367356055, "ret_p1m": -0.0559380055879406, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0559380055879406, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04078430694496582, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.015376948584543193, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.015153698642974778, "bench_c_p1m": -0.040561057003397405, "ret_p3m": -0.27280551699776756, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.27280551699776756, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2787523269850628, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2911193988271371, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.005946809987295243, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01831388182936955, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0706, 0.0628, -0.0275, 0.0138, 0.0318, 0.025, -0.0077, -0.0448, -0.0723, -0.0861, -0.0886, -0.1506, -0.1523, -0.1859, -0.1824, -0.1738, -0.1807, -0.179, -0.1971, -0.2298, -0.2659, -0.2685, -0.278, -0.2943, -0.2651, -0.2616, -0.2651, -0.2565, -0.2565, -0.2435, -0.2573, -0.247, -0.2272, -0.2108, -0.2212, -0.216, -0.21, -0.2005, -0.1876, -0.1928, -0.2169, -0.2194, -0.2246, -0.2194, -0.2298, -0.204, -0.2134, -0.2186, -0.2186, -0.2298, -0.2418, -0.2496, -0.253, -0.253, -0.2246, -0.1618, -0.111, -0.1325, -0.1041, -0.1119, -0.1033, -0.1403, -0.1282, 0.0, -0.037, -0.037, -0.062, -0.0422, -0.0103, -0.0482, -0.0577, -0.0361, -0.0491, -0.0327, -0.0792, -0.043, -0.0585, -0.0895, -0.1205, -0.0318, -0.0224, -0.0327, -0.0293, -0.0577, -0.0559, -0.0559, -0.0818, -0.0723, -0.074, -0.1007, -0.1282, -0.1429, -0.1523, -0.1489, -0.1713, -0.1678, -0.1876, -0.1566, -0.2169, -0.2461, -0.2608, -0.2866, -0.2857, -0.2952, -0.3227, -0.3107, -0.3055, -0.3287, -0.3313, -0.346, -0.3279, -0.3081, -0.3046, -0.3193, -0.3425, -0.3614, -0.3279, -0.3184, -0.3141, -0.3141, -0.309, -0.309, -0.2866, -0.2831, -0.2814, -0.2651, -0.2728, -0.2668, -0.2573, -0.2435, -0.241, -0.2539, -0.2478, -0.2702, -0.2582, -0.259, -0.2625, -0.2711, -0.2367, -0.2332, -0.2478, -0.2289, -0.204, -0.2943, -0.2668, -0.2651, -0.2608, -0.2633, -0.2453, -0.2633, -0.2917, -0.3038, -0.2806, -0.2659, -0.2238, -0.2238, -0.1687, -0.1472, -0.1377, -0.0929, -0.0929, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2011892589109395927", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-15T20:05:47+00:00", "symbol": "SSYS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "robotics ones like $SSYS are very under the radar until humanoid production from Atlas to Optimus ramp up", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish SSYS as an under-the-radar robotics play on humanoid production ramp from Atlas/Optimus.", "resolved_tickers": ["SSYS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@pepemoonboy Yeah my AI bottleneck one in $AXTI has been doing well.\n\nUp 78% since posting and 20% today.\n\nAI bottlenecks are pretty obvious but robotics ones like $SSYS are very under the radar until humanoid production from Atlas to Optimus ramp up. https://t.co/tAgC1q7bss", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit AND ANOTHA ONE https://t.co/gUxCJKLFmm", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "pepemoonboy", "ret_m1d": -0.12822717605788292, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.12822717605788292, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12551135741777264, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12300232063521799, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002715818640110279, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005224855422664931, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.037005190138613475, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.037005190138613475, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.036167316147718065, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.038105071254404654, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0008378739908954103, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0010998811157911792, "ret_p1w": -0.010327012628305932, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.010327012628305932, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.005617695755979812, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.006339628491570326, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004709316872326119, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0039873841367356055, "ret_p1m": -0.0559380055879406, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0559380055879406, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04078430694496582, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.015376948584543193, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.015153698642974778, "bench_c_p1m": -0.040561057003397405, "ret_p3m": -0.27280551699776756, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.27280551699776756, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2787523269850628, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2911193988271371, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.005946809987295243, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01831388182936955, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0706, 0.0628, -0.0275, 0.0138, 0.0318, 0.025, -0.0077, -0.0448, -0.0723, -0.0861, -0.0886, -0.1506, -0.1523, -0.1859, -0.1824, -0.1738, -0.1807, -0.179, -0.1971, -0.2298, -0.2659, -0.2685, -0.278, -0.2943, -0.2651, -0.2616, -0.2651, -0.2565, -0.2565, -0.2435, -0.2573, -0.247, -0.2272, -0.2108, -0.2212, -0.216, -0.21, -0.2005, -0.1876, -0.1928, -0.2169, -0.2194, -0.2246, -0.2194, -0.2298, -0.204, -0.2134, -0.2186, -0.2186, -0.2298, -0.2418, -0.2496, -0.253, -0.253, -0.2246, -0.1618, -0.111, -0.1325, -0.1041, -0.1119, -0.1033, -0.1403, -0.1282, 0.0, -0.037, -0.037, -0.062, -0.0422, -0.0103, -0.0482, -0.0577, -0.0361, -0.0491, -0.0327, -0.0792, -0.043, -0.0585, -0.0895, -0.1205, -0.0318, -0.0224, -0.0327, -0.0293, -0.0577, -0.0559, -0.0559, -0.0818, -0.0723, -0.074, -0.1007, -0.1282, -0.1429, -0.1523, -0.1489, -0.1713, -0.1678, -0.1876, -0.1566, -0.2169, -0.2461, -0.2608, -0.2866, -0.2857, -0.2952, -0.3227, -0.3107, -0.3055, -0.3287, -0.3313, -0.346, -0.3279, -0.3081, -0.3046, -0.3193, -0.3425, -0.3614, -0.3279, -0.3184, -0.3141, -0.3141, -0.309, -0.309, -0.2866, -0.2831, -0.2814, -0.2651, -0.2728, -0.2668, -0.2573, -0.2435, -0.241, -0.2539, -0.2478, -0.2702, -0.2582, -0.259, -0.2625, -0.2711, -0.2367, -0.2332, -0.2478, -0.2289, -0.204, -0.2943, -0.2668, -0.2651, -0.2608, -0.2633, -0.2453, -0.2633, -0.2917, -0.3038, -0.2806, -0.2659, -0.2238, -0.2238, -0.1687, -0.1472, -0.1377, -0.0929, -0.0929, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1984118596403130397", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-31T04:41:51+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "There's nothing wrong with holding ETFs and Leaps on stuff like $META. That is probably the safest upside thing to do", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses holding META via ETFs and LEAPS as a safe upside play.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@WZRDtheWise @blu400_ There’s nothing wrong with holding ETFs and Leaps on stuff like $META.\n\nThat is probably the safest upside thing to do, and everyone has different risk profiles.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.027947925615026348, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.027947925615026348, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.031217301468244973, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03221582052371541, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0032693758532186257, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004267894908689063, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01641082412447914, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01641082412447914, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.018287601377370066, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005784559001354661, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0018767772528909266, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010626265123124479, "ret_p1w": -0.04108891891713495, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04108891891713495, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.024829335802154517, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.017571824130060865, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.016259583114980436, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02351709478707409, "ret_p1m": -0.011537007193891835, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.011537007193891835, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.008912632902554285, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.011885386304735235, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00262437429133755, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0003483791108433998, "ret_p3m": 0.032274821944340504, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.032274821944340504, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.009674298401423531, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.012085219171432682, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.022600523542916973, "bench_c_p3m": 0.020189602772907822, "ret_p6m": 0.0484383059417266, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0484383059417266, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.006076250511479309, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.033233353487549966, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05451455645320591, "bench_c_p6m": 0.015204952454176635, "price_path": [0.1767, 0.1899, 0.1742, 0.1858, 0.1805, 0.2177, 0.2024, 0.2055, 0.2103, 0.1828, 0.1583, 0.1525, 0.1392, 0.1634, 0.1611, 0.1623, 0.152, 0.1577, 0.1386, 0.1386, 0.1331, 0.136, 0.1539, 0.1598, 0.1595, 0.1802, 0.1591, 0.1574, 0.1646, 0.1787, 0.2007, 0.1956, 0.2026, 0.1997, 0.1802, 0.1651, 0.1732, 0.1551, 0.1471, 0.1466, 0.1327, 0.1064, 0.1214, 0.096, 0.1038, 0.0998, 0.1072, 0.1313, 0.0878, 0.1039, 0.093, 0.1067, 0.0983, 0.1058, 0.1293, 0.131, 0.1312, 0.1321, 0.1388, 0.158, 0.159, 0.1594, 0.0279, 0.0, -0.0164, -0.0324, -0.0191, -0.0454, -0.0411, -0.0256, -0.0328, -0.0607, -0.0593, -0.06, -0.0715, -0.0781, -0.0895, -0.0913, -0.0834, -0.0544, -0.0187, -0.0227, -0.0227, -0.0006, -0.0115, -0.0019, -0.0135, 0.0203, 0.0387, 0.0285, 0.0133, 0.0027, 0.0067, -0.0064, -0.0005, 0.0144, 0.0026, 0.0257, 0.0169, 0.0211, 0.0264, 0.0305, 0.0305, 0.0239, 0.0168, 0.028, 0.0189, 0.0189, 0.004, 0.0169, 0.0198, 0.0013, -0.0027, 0.0081, -0.009, -0.0258, -0.0499, -0.0417, -0.0426, -0.0426, -0.0675, -0.0538, -0.0003, 0.0169, 0.0379, 0.0388, 0.0323, 0.1397, 0.106, 0.0904, 0.0677, 0.0327, 0.0346, 0.0211, 0.0454, 0.0353, 0.0322, 0.0031, -0.0124, -0.0124, -0.0132, -0.0071, -0.0047, 0.0121, -0.0163, -0.0132, 0.0091, 0.0142, 0.0006, 0.0089, 0.0112, 0.0307, 0.0197, -0.0046, -0.0007, 0.0096, 0.0109, -0.0149, -0.0527, -0.0306, -0.038, -0.0488, -0.0627, -0.0828, -0.0668, -0.084, -0.0809, -0.1541, -0.1878, -0.1713, -0.1161, -0.1051, -0.1125, -0.1125, -0.1147, -0.1116, -0.0538, -0.0292, -0.0269, -0.0197, 0.0235, 0.0376, 0.0457, 0.0638, 0.0365, 0.0333, 0.0424, 0.0184, 0.0429, 0.0484]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1971005481335599188", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-25T00:15:00+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "10% is just the start with $NBIS, I probably expect my position to be ~$2M in a year or so", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Still bullish NBIS; expects position to grow to ~$2M over a year, implying significant price appreciation ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Bobbydoo8 glad to hear it! 10% is just the start with $NBIS, I probably expect my position to be ~$2M in a year or so.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Once again, because of your conviction on $NBIS I bought in and made a 10% profit!! Just wanted to give a huge shoutout again to your analysis and taking your time to teach why a trade is good!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Bobbydoo8", "ret_m1d": 0.0490087159151118, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0490087159151118, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.044373835417102825, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04559074806214469, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004634880498008975, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0034179678529671076, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.002223508316987033, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.002223508316987033, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007952652683981265, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011964592036006971, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005729144366994232, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009741083719019938, "ret_p1w": 0.16611080136772127, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16611080136772127, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14913651232441727, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.17106683507106002, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016974289043304003, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004956033703338747, "ret_p1m": 0.08634426055236988, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08634426055236988, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.057167124408165515, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09899055789602085, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.029177136144204363, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01264629734365097, "ret_p3m": -0.1659255443488764, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1659255443488764, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.21446726121166815, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17224905388420242, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04854171686279174, "bench_c_p3m": 0.006323509535326011, "ret_p6m": 0.08967945234604224, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.08967945234604224, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.09847367355823211, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.12758993457777956, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.008794221212189868, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03791048223173732, "price_path": [-0.4874, -0.5339, -0.5371, -0.5345, -0.5345, -0.5568, -0.5636, -0.5734, -0.5699, -0.5896, -0.5187, -0.5041, -0.5061, -0.5026, -0.5109, -0.5148, -0.5274, -0.5194, -0.5168, -0.5241, -0.5113, -0.5331, -0.5248, -0.4957, -0.5183, -0.4981, -0.4889, -0.4896, -0.3949, -0.3628, -0.3493, -0.3021, -0.3457, -0.3658, -0.3365, -0.328, -0.3775, -0.3749, -0.3869, -0.3609, -0.3513, -0.347, -0.3506, -0.3326, -0.3671, -0.3671, -0.3911, -0.3918, -0.3986, -0.3935, -0.4065, -0.1132, -0.1348, -0.1737, -0.1624, -0.1573, -0.1715, -0.1284, -0.128, -0.08, -0.0124, -0.0013, 0.049, 0.0, -0.0022, 0.0211, 0.0401, 0.0711, 0.1661, 0.1857, 0.1575, 0.0904, 0.1303, 0.2288, 0.2005, 0.255, 0.1872, 0.1657, 0.1399, 0.051, 0.0098, -0.0339, -0.0863, -0.0165, 0.0863, 0.162, 0.1287, 0.159, 0.1505, 0.212, 0.1161, 0.0241, 0.0839, 0.0139, 0.0309, 0.0186, -0.053, -0.1258, -0.1789, -0.2261, -0.2034, -0.1612, -0.1192, -0.2159, -0.2286, -0.1486, -0.1766, -0.1228, -0.1228, -0.1211, -0.0722, -0.1064, -0.0836, -0.0476, -0.0917, -0.0705, -0.1068, -0.1329, -0.1266, -0.1876, -0.2483, -0.25, -0.301, -0.2765, -0.1712, -0.1363, -0.1659, -0.1557, -0.1557, -0.1885, -0.2029, -0.211, -0.2245, -0.2245, -0.1667, -0.14, -0.0713, -0.1087, -0.0986, -0.0927, -0.0057, -0.0233, -0.0552, -0.0376, 0.0073, 0.0073, -0.0801, -0.084, -0.1027, -0.1245, -0.1527, -0.0933, -0.0696, -0.1207, -0.2108, -0.1832, -0.1667, -0.2367, -0.3156, -0.2023, -0.1395, -0.1496, -0.1791, -0.1687, -0.092, -0.092, -0.0965, -0.0569, -0.0031, -0.0928, -0.0679, -0.0497, -0.0169, -0.0283, -0.1552, -0.1568, -0.1958, -0.0941, -0.1139, -0.1724, -0.1204, -0.1066, 0.0376, 0.0009, 0.0464, 0.203, 0.0777, 0.0984, 0.1258, 0.0897]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1975161864419176832", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-06T11:30:59+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "For the deal, I'd say net negative: $NVDA", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Deal is net negative for NVDA and CRWV on moat narrative changes; net positive for AMD, TSM and others.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@yield_addicted For the deal, I'd say net negative: $NVDA, $CRWV (Nvda centric)\n\nNet positive (almost everything else): $AMD, NBIS, CIFR, IREN, TSM, etc. \n\nThe 2.5% drop makes sense off moat narrative changes.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Meanwhile, $NVDA droped 2.5% which makes zero sense to me, while still holding 80-85%  of the market", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "yield_addicted", "ret_m1d": 0.011210610374188246, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011210610374188246, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014784024204537283, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014784024204537283, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003573413830349037, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003573413830349037, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.002694803694029413, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.002694803694029413, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.001012688556932484, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.001012688556932484, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003707492250961897, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003707492250961897, "ret_p1w": 0.014983368445398382, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.014983368445398382, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02774375888322156, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02774375888322156, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012760390437823177, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012760390437823177, "ret_p1m": 0.07087422544133548, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07087422544133548, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06546922909627484, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06546922909627484, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404996345060642, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005404996345060642, "ret_p3m": 0.005230126727494788, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.005230126727494788, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.013121342989518503, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.013121342989518503, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01835146971701329, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01835146971701329, "ret_p6m": -0.05993775072555885, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.05993775072555885, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.03378130835341453, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.03378130835341453, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.026156442372144317, "bench_c_p6m": -0.026156442372144317, "price_path": [-0.1222, -0.1156, -0.1112, -0.1158, -0.08, -0.0764, -0.0676, -0.0708, -0.0764, -0.0998, -0.0796, -0.0637, -0.0649, -0.0474, -0.0541, -0.0338, -0.0414, -0.0638, -0.0299, -0.0393, -0.033, -0.0258, -0.0154, -0.0188, -0.0129, -0.0213, -0.019, -0.0275, -0.0191, -0.0534, -0.0547, -0.057, -0.0407, -0.0309, -0.0204, -0.0213, -0.029, -0.0613, -0.0613, -0.0796, -0.0805, -0.0749, -0.0999, -0.0929, -0.0797, -0.0443, -0.0451, -0.0416, -0.042, -0.0575, -0.0822, -0.0501, -0.0478, -0.0104, -0.0383, -0.0462, -0.0423, -0.0396, -0.0199, 0.0056, 0.0092, 0.0181, 0.0112, 0.0, -0.0027, 0.0192, 0.0379, -0.0128, 0.015, -0.0297, -0.0308, -0.0201, -0.0125, -0.0156, -0.0236, -0.0283, -0.0182, 0.0039, 0.0321, 0.0835, 0.1159, 0.0935, 0.0914, 0.115, 0.0709, 0.0521, 0.0137, 0.0141, 0.0728, 0.0411, 0.0445, 0.0071, 0.025, 0.0057, -0.0225, 0.0053, -0.0264, -0.0359, -0.0161, -0.0416, -0.0285, -0.0285, -0.046, -0.0303, -0.022, -0.0321, -0.0116, -0.0168, 0.0001, -0.003, -0.0094, -0.0248, -0.0566, -0.0498, -0.0421, -0.0786, -0.0614, -0.0245, -0.0099, 0.0198, 0.0166, 0.0166, 0.027, 0.0145, 0.0108, 0.0052, 0.0052, 0.0179, 0.014, 0.0092, 0.0193, -0.0026, -0.0036, -0.0032, 0.0015, -0.0129, 0.0082, 0.0038, 0.0038, -0.0402, -0.0119, -0.0037, 0.0115, 0.0051, 0.0161, 0.0323, 0.0376, 0.0302, 0.0004, -0.028, -0.0611, -0.0736, -0.0006, 0.0243, 0.0162, 0.0244, 0.0076, -0.0147, -0.0147, -0.003, 0.0132, 0.0128, 0.0231, 0.0324, 0.0395, 0.0541, -0.0034, -0.045, -0.0164, -0.0295, -0.0134, -0.0118, -0.0416, -0.0155, -0.0041, 0.0028, -0.0128, -0.0284, -0.0124, -0.0193, -0.0276, -0.0375, -0.0691, -0.0533, -0.0556, -0.0369, -0.077, -0.097, -0.1097, -0.0599]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1975161864419176832", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-06T11:30:59+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$CRWV (Nvda centric)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Deal is net negative for NVDA and CRWV on moat narrative changes; net positive for AMD, TSM and others.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@yield_addicted For the deal, I'd say net negative: $NVDA, $CRWV (Nvda centric)\n\nNet positive (almost everything else): $AMD, NBIS, CIFR, IREN, TSM, etc. \n\nThe 2.5% drop makes sense off moat narrative changes.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Meanwhile, $NVDA droped 2.5% which makes zero sense to me, while still holding 80-85%  of the market", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "yield_addicted", "ret_m1d": 0.007022690621995453, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007022690621995453, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01059610445234449, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01059610445234449, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003573413830349037, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003573413830349037, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03750469961561764, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03750469961561764, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.033797207364655746, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.033797207364655746, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003707492250961897, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003707492250961897, "ret_p1w": 0.058049971306409986, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.058049971306409986, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07081036174423316, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07081036174423316, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012760390437823177, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012760390437823177, "ret_p1m": -0.135226038686301, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.135226038686301, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14063103503136165, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14063103503136165, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404996345060642, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005404996345060642, "ret_p3m": -0.46499815207351947, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.46499815207351947, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.48334962179053276, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.48334962179053276, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01835146971701329, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01835146971701329, "ret_p6m": -0.42121779837058715, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.42121779837058715, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.39506135599844283, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.39506135599844283, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.026156442372144317, "bench_c_p6m": -0.026156442372144317, "price_path": [0.1434, 0.0332, -0.0598, -0.011, 0.0504, 0.0687, -0.0123, -0.0809, -0.0668, -0.0305, -0.0583, -0.1035, -0.1362, -0.1761, -0.1876, -0.2313, -0.1473, -0.222, -0.208, -0.1644, -0.1764, -0.0954, -0.0321, 0.0443, 0.1113, -0.1202, -0.2566, -0.2531, -0.2768, -0.306, -0.3162, -0.3217, -0.2978, -0.3098, -0.3172, -0.2758, -0.2321, -0.2302, -0.2302, -0.3027, -0.3285, -0.3464, -0.3344, -0.3011, -0.2513, -0.1248, -0.1581, -0.1635, -0.1, -0.1128, -0.097, -0.0931, -0.0672, -0.0046, -0.0221, -0.0034, -0.0537, -0.1009, -0.0846, 0.0224, 0.0239, 0.031, 0.007, 0.0, -0.0375, 0.0458, 0.069, 0.0342, 0.058, 0.0016, 0.0403, 0.0589, 0.0226, -0.0507, -0.0657, -0.092, -0.0785, -0.0097, 0.0165, 0.0071, 0.0454, -0.0208, -0.001, -0.0563, -0.1352, -0.1452, -0.2011, -0.2229, -0.211, -0.3396, -0.3617, -0.4147, -0.422, -0.4372, -0.4404, -0.4403, -0.4829, -0.4647, -0.4501, -0.4674, -0.445, -0.445, -0.4537, -0.4243, -0.432, -0.4071, -0.3594, -0.3403, -0.3557, -0.3227, -0.3414, -0.3472, -0.4129, -0.4595, -0.4808, -0.5177, -0.4944, -0.3799, -0.3662, -0.4004, -0.4108, -0.4108, -0.4291, -0.4403, -0.4479, -0.465, -0.465, -0.4074, -0.4258, -0.4177, -0.4234, -0.4241, -0.4013, -0.3281, -0.3464, -0.3291, -0.2902, -0.2437, -0.2437, -0.2886, -0.2973, -0.3142, -0.3053, -0.2655, -0.1867, -0.2079, -0.2564, -0.3038, -0.3355, -0.3272, -0.3839, -0.4423, -0.328, -0.2769, -0.2894, -0.2891, -0.285, -0.2825, -0.2825, -0.3201, -0.2869, -0.2743, -0.3332, -0.3213, -0.2581, -0.2678, -0.2706, -0.4056, -0.4169, -0.4488, -0.4061, -0.441, -0.4547, -0.4441, -0.4403, -0.3877, -0.4034, -0.394, -0.3585, -0.3865, -0.3812, -0.3974, -0.3913, -0.3877, -0.3798, -0.3457, -0.399, -0.4411, -0.4834, -0.4212]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1975161864419176832", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-06T11:30:59+00:00", "symbol": "AMD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Net positive (almost everything else): $AMD", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Deal is net negative for NVDA and CRWV on moat narrative changes; net positive for AMD, TSM and others.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@yield_addicted For the deal, I'd say net negative: $NVDA, $CRWV (Nvda centric)\n\nNet positive (almost everything else): $AMD, NBIS, CIFR, IREN, TSM, etc. \n\nThe 2.5% drop makes sense off moat narrative changes.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Meanwhile, $NVDA droped 2.5% which makes zero sense to me, while still holding 80-85%  of the market", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "yield_addicted", "ret_m1d": -0.19164502114890114, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.19164502114890114, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1880716073185521, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1880716073185521, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003573413830349037, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003573413830349037, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03828966440477655, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03828966440477655, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.041997156655738443, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.041997156655738443, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003707492250961897, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003707492250961897, "ret_p1w": 0.06239257295264178, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06239257295264178, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07515296339046496, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07515296339046496, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012760390437823177, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012760390437823177, "ret_p1m": 0.22748021604545032, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.22748021604545032, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.22207521970038968, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.22207521970038968, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404996345060642, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005404996345060642, "ret_p3m": 0.05129839774106104, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05129839774106104, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.03294692802404775, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03294692802404775, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01835146971701329, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01835146971701329, "ret_p6m": -0.0013745718367151882, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.0013745718367151882, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.02478187053542913, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.02478187053542913, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.026156442372144317, "bench_c_p6m": -0.026156442372144317, "price_path": [-0.3206, -0.2923, -0.2812, -0.2821, -0.2361, -0.2142, -0.2126, -0.2293, -0.2293, -0.2405, -0.2212, -0.2042, -0.1828, -0.1475, -0.129, -0.1188, -0.1345, -0.1571, -0.1322, -0.1443, -0.1993, -0.1537, -0.1519, -0.1543, -0.1412, -0.0947, -0.1117, -0.1286, -0.1353, -0.1824, -0.189, -0.1964, -0.1765, -0.1981, -0.1821, -0.1796, -0.1725, -0.2017, -0.2017, -0.2032, -0.2041, -0.2058, -0.2581, -0.2567, -0.2351, -0.2168, -0.2358, -0.2216, -0.2089, -0.2123, -0.2187, -0.2248, -0.2274, -0.2156, -0.2102, -0.2102, -0.2083, -0.2172, -0.2079, -0.2058, -0.1949, -0.1668, -0.1916, 0.0, 0.0383, 0.1563, 0.1432, 0.0549, 0.0624, 0.0706, 0.1713, 0.1514, 0.1442, 0.1809, 0.1685, 0.1302, 0.1536, 0.2416, 0.2747, 0.2666, 0.2976, 0.251, 0.2573, 0.2746, 0.2275, 0.2583, 0.1669, 0.1464, 0.1977, 0.166, 0.2709, 0.2172, 0.2116, 0.1807, 0.1305, 0.0974, 0.0113, 0.0003, 0.0557, 0.0119, 0.0517, 0.0517, 0.0678, 0.0788, 0.0566, 0.0682, 0.0602, 0.07, 0.0854, 0.0879, 0.0869, 0.087, 0.0347, 0.019, 0.0268, -0.0275, -0.013, 0.0477, 0.0552, 0.0549, 0.0556, 0.0556, 0.0554, 0.0584, 0.0571, 0.0513, 0.0513, 0.097, 0.0853, 0.0522, 0.031, 0.0048, -0.0027, 0.0195, 0.0847, 0.0976, 0.1188, 0.138, 0.138, 0.1385, 0.2263, 0.2455, 0.2748, 0.2337, 0.2372, 0.2407, 0.2379, 0.1621, 0.2089, 0.1885, -0.0173, -0.055, 0.0232, 0.0603, 0.0484, 0.0485, 0.0109, 0.0177, 0.0177, -0.0031, -0.0176, -0.0017, -0.0175, -0.0349, 0.0497, 0.0351, -0.0001, -0.0172, -0.025, -0.0626, -0.0081, -0.0209, -0.0554, -0.0051, -0.0024, 0.0055, -0.0293, -0.0507, -0.035, -0.0363, -0.0209, 0.0077, -0.0117, -0.0051, 0.0081, 0.0813, 0.0003, -0.0084, -0.0377, -0.0014]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1975161864419176832", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-10-06T11:30:59+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Net positive (almost everything else): ... TSM", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Deal is net negative for NVDA and CRWV on moat narrative changes; net positive for AMD, TSM and others.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@yield_addicted For the deal, I'd say net negative: $NVDA, $CRWV (Nvda centric)\n\nNet positive (almost everything else): $AMD, NBIS, CIFR, IREN, TSM, etc. \n\nThe 2.5% drop makes sense off moat narrative changes.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Meanwhile, $NVDA droped 2.5% which makes zero sense to me, while still holding 80-85%  of the market", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "yield_addicted", "ret_m1d": -0.03376323088232136, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03376323088232136, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.030189817051972323, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.030189817051972323, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003573413830349037, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003573413830349037, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.027678557294484762, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.027678557294484762, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.023971065043522866, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.023971065043522866, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003707492250961897, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003707492250961897, "ret_p1w": 0.0016204621681090714, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0016204621681090714, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.014380852605932248, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.014380852605932248, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012760390437823177, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012760390437823177, "ret_p1m": -0.02761249674771038, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02761249674771038, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03301749309277102, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03301749309277102, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404996345060642, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005404996345060642, "ret_p3m": 0.007640292915102709, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.007640292915102709, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.010711176801910582, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.010711176801910582, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01835146971701329, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01835146971701329, "ret_p6m": 0.12373414394664173, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.12373414394664173, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.14989058631878605, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.14989058631878605, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.026156442372144317, "bench_c_p6m": -0.026156442372144317, "price_path": [-0.2357, -0.2426, -0.2405, -0.2462, -0.2189, -0.2169, -0.1904, -0.2075, -0.2126, -0.2266, -0.2078, -0.2036, -0.1904, -0.1998, -0.2045, -0.1993, -0.2035, -0.2246, -0.2121, -0.2337, -0.2373, -0.2002, -0.2028, -0.202, -0.1947, -0.2041, -0.2055, -0.2125, -0.2042, -0.2329, -0.2464, -0.2506, -0.232, -0.2234, -0.2131, -0.2112, -0.2145, -0.2389, -0.2389, -0.2471, -0.2372, -0.2246, -0.1976, -0.1851, -0.1728, -0.1415, -0.1465, -0.1451, -0.1384, -0.1334, -0.131, -0.1116, -0.1241, -0.0984, -0.0651, -0.0717, -0.0851, -0.096, -0.0965, -0.0764, -0.0461, -0.0473, -0.0338, 0.0, -0.0277, 0.007, -0.0083, -0.0719, 0.0016, -0.0214, 0.0076, -0.0085, -0.0242, -0.0155, -0.0261, -0.0447, -0.0386, -0.0246, -0.0137, -0.0029, 0.0089, 0.0027, -0.0065, 0.0081, -0.0276, -0.029, -0.0435, -0.0526, -0.0236, -0.0371, -0.039, -0.0668, -0.0581, -0.0674, -0.081, -0.0662, -0.0823, -0.0904, -0.0587, -0.0586, -0.0411, -0.0411, -0.036, -0.0487, -0.0341, -0.023, -0.0313, -0.0254, -0.0018, 0.0033, 0.0256, 0.0108, -0.0317, -0.0459, -0.0488, -0.0817, -0.0561, -0.0419, -0.0275, -0.0154, -0.0092, -0.0092, 0.0042, -0.0022, -0.0067, 0.0076, 0.0076, 0.0598, 0.0685, 0.0857, 0.0567, 0.0545, 0.0731, 0.1001, 0.0982, 0.0846, 0.1328, 0.1353, 0.1353, 0.0848, 0.0814, 0.0855, 0.1104, 0.1032, 0.1219, 0.135, 0.1259, 0.0961, 0.1319, 0.1133, 0.0801, 0.0966, 0.1567, 0.1785, 0.2, 0.2404, 0.2205, 0.2148, 0.2148, 0.2076, 0.2012, 0.195, 0.2286, 0.227, 0.2791, 0.2856, 0.2494, 0.242, 0.2239, 0.1709, 0.1852, 0.1733, 0.1237, 0.1562, 0.1509, 0.1757, 0.1165, 0.1218, 0.1281, 0.1504, 0.1291, 0.1265, 0.0948, 0.1254, 0.1414, 0.1563, 0.0844, 0.0865, 0.0524, 0.1237]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1973792276364341407", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-02T16:48:44+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Real possibility it happens in a year. $NBIS is just growing at mind numbing rates and other hyperscalers like $AMZN, $ORCL will start signing contracts soon following META.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "NBIS on track for 100B market cap within a year on mind-numbing revenue growth; AMZN and ORCL to sign contracts soon as hyperscaler adoption follows META.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@soulbiri1 Real possibility it happens in a year. $NBIS is just growing at mind numbing rates and other hyperscalers like $AMZN, $ORCL will start signing contracts soon following META.\n\nOne of the first times I've seen a company grow revenue this fast.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Passed a 30B market cap! 100B seems inevitable in a few years from now, maybe even sooner.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": -0.0815126869972923, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0815126869972923, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08036220858520382, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08374542506568405, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011504784120884848, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0022327380683917486, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01676333172566702, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01676333172566702, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01677809908788863, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01727850796170094, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4767362221612679e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0005151762360339207, "ret_p1w": 0.05378562401954223, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05378562401954223, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.050886634886761595, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06692429946603051, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028989891327806383, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01313867544648828, "ret_p1m": 0.03932632453820406, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03932632453820406, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.020139760379656257, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05340956667881569, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019186564158547803, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01408324214061163, "ret_p3m": -0.3233495168787698, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3233495168787698, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.35296633318039683, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.34243886359072817, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029616816301627047, "bench_c_p3m": 0.019089346711958388, "ret_p6m": -0.1990148765007319, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1990148765007319, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.15191616328831792, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.12412626613538336, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04709871321241399, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07488861036534855, "price_path": [-0.6199, -0.6258, -0.6341, -0.6311, -0.648, -0.5873, -0.5747, -0.5765, -0.5734, -0.5806, -0.5839, -0.5947, -0.5878, -0.5856, -0.5919, -0.5809, -0.5996, -0.5925, -0.5676, -0.5869, -0.5696, -0.5617, -0.5623, -0.4811, -0.4536, -0.442, -0.4015, -0.4389, -0.4561, -0.431, -0.4237, -0.4662, -0.464, -0.4742, -0.452, -0.4437, -0.4401, -0.4431, -0.4277, -0.4572, -0.4572, -0.4779, -0.4784, -0.4843, -0.4799, -0.4911, -0.2395, -0.258, -0.2914, -0.2817, -0.2773, -0.2895, -0.2526, -0.2522, -0.211, -0.1531, -0.1436, -0.1004, -0.1424, -0.1444, -0.1243, -0.108, -0.0815, 0.0, 0.0168, -0.0074, -0.0649, -0.0307, 0.0538, 0.0295, 0.0762, 0.0181, -0.0003, -0.0225, -0.0988, -0.134, -0.1715, -0.2165, -0.1566, -0.0684, -0.0035, -0.0321, -0.0061, -0.0134, 0.0393, -0.0429, -0.1218, -0.0705, -0.1305, -0.1159, -0.1265, -0.1879, -0.2503, -0.2959, -0.3363, -0.3169, -0.2807, -0.2447, -0.3276, -0.3385, -0.2699, -0.2939, -0.2477, -0.2477, -0.2463, -0.2043, -0.2337, -0.2141, -0.1833, -0.2211, -0.2029, -0.2341, -0.2565, -0.251, -0.3033, -0.3554, -0.3569, -0.4006, -0.3796, -0.2893, -0.2593, -0.2847, -0.276, -0.276, -0.3041, -0.3164, -0.3233, -0.335, -0.335, -0.2854, -0.2625, -0.2036, -0.2356, -0.227, -0.222, -0.1473, -0.1624, -0.1898, -0.1747, -0.1362, -0.1362, -0.2112, -0.2145, -0.2306, -0.2492, -0.2734, -0.2225, -0.2021, -0.246, -0.3232, -0.2996, -0.2854, -0.3454, -0.4131, -0.316, -0.2621, -0.2708, -0.296, -0.2871, -0.2213, -0.2213, -0.2252, -0.1912, -0.1451, -0.2221, -0.2007, -0.185, -0.1569, -0.1668, -0.2755, -0.277, -0.3104, -0.2232, -0.2401, -0.2903, -0.2457, -0.2339, -0.1102, -0.1417, -0.1026, 0.0316, -0.0758, -0.0581, -0.0346, -0.0655, -0.0931, -0.0871, -0.0856, -0.1581, -0.199]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1973792276364341407", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-02T16:48:44+00:00", "symbol": "AMZN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "other hyperscalers like $AMZN, $ORCL will start signing contracts soon following META", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "NBIS on track for 100B market cap within a year on mind-numbing revenue growth; AMZN and ORCL to sign contracts soon as hyperscaler adoption follows META.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMZN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@soulbiri1 Real possibility it happens in a year. $NBIS is just growing at mind numbing rates and other hyperscalers like $AMZN, $ORCL will start signing contracts soon following META.\n\nOne of the first times I've seen a company grow revenue this fast.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Passed a 30B market cap! 100B seems inevitable in a few years from now, maybe even sooner.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": -0.008003231644207354, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.008003231644207354, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.006852753232118869, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01527140616000211, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011504784120884848, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007268174515794756, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.013039023009411066, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.013039023009411066, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013024255647189453, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006606267174038782, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4767362221612679e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006432755835372284, "ret_p1w": 0.023964757624626243, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.023964757624626243, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.021065768491845605, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04142504004157477, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028989891327806383, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017460282416948525, "ret_p1m": 0.09806212490211563, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09806212490211563, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07887556074356783, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0958482494009365, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019186564158547803, "bench_c_p1m": 0.00221387550117913, "ret_p3m": 0.04550152848593103, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04550152848593103, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.015884712184303984, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03799498287978209, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029616816301627047, "bench_c_p3m": 0.00750654560614894, "ret_p6m": -0.10372738161214756, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.10372738161214756, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.05662866839973357, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.009872025051812283, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04709871321241399, "bench_c_p6m": -0.11359940666395985, "price_path": [0.0048, -0.0137, 0.0006, -0.0007, 0.0117, 0.0147, 0.0177, 0.0035, 0.0066, 0.0167, 0.031, 0.0228, 0.0264, 0.0442, 0.0406, 0.0467, 0.0387, 0.035, 0.0526, -0.0344, -0.0484, -0.0389, -0.0004, 0.0032, 0.0013, -0.005, -0.0042, 0.0097, 0.0385, 0.0388, 0.0408, 0.0252, 0.0063, -0.0021, 0.0289, 0.0249, 0.0283, 0.0302, 0.0413, 0.0296, 0.0296, 0.0132, 0.0161, 0.0597, 0.0446, 0.0604, 0.0712, 0.0356, 0.0339, 0.0258, 0.0406, 0.0523, 0.0414, 0.0397, 0.0408, 0.0235, -0.0076, -0.0099, -0.0192, -0.0118, -0.0011, -0.0128, -0.008, 0.0, -0.013, -0.0068, -0.0028, 0.0126, 0.024, -0.0272, -0.0105, -0.0271, -0.0308, -0.0357, -0.0421, -0.0267, -0.0017, -0.0201, -0.0059, 0.0081, 0.0205, 0.0308, 0.0355, 0.002, 0.0981, 0.142, 0.121, 0.1249, 0.0928, 0.0989, 0.1169, 0.12, 0.098, 0.0682, 0.0552, 0.047, 0.0006, 0.0013, -0.0237, -0.0077, 0.0174, 0.0326, 0.0303, 0.0303, 0.0486, 0.0516, 0.054, 0.0448, 0.0301, 0.032, 0.0201, 0.0248, 0.0421, 0.0354, 0.017, 0.0006, 0.0007, -0.0051, 0.0196, 0.0222, 0.0271, 0.0437, 0.0448, 0.0448, 0.0455, 0.0434, 0.0455, 0.0378, 0.0378, 0.0184, 0.0479, 0.0833, 0.0861, 0.1074, 0.1123, 0.1082, 0.0908, 0.064, 0.0709, 0.0751, 0.0751, 0.0386, 0.04, 0.0536, 0.0753, 0.072, 0.1001, 0.0926, 0.0869, 0.0759, 0.0924, 0.0729, 0.0476, 0.0013, -0.0544, -0.0616, -0.0695, -0.0824, -0.1026, -0.1062, -0.1062, -0.0956, -0.0792, -0.0789, -0.0553, -0.0771, -0.0623, -0.0529, -0.0651, -0.0558, -0.063, -0.0615, -0.0251, -0.0156, -0.0414, -0.0401, -0.0363, -0.0439, -0.0579, -0.0663, -0.048, -0.0324, -0.0564, -0.0614, -0.0766, -0.0552, -0.0682, -0.0481, -0.0669, -0.1037]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1973792276364341407", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-02T16:48:44+00:00", "symbol": "ORCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "other hyperscalers like $AMZN, $ORCL will start signing contracts soon following META", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "NBIS on track for 100B market cap within a year on mind-numbing revenue growth; AMZN and ORCL to sign contracts soon as hyperscaler adoption follows META.", "resolved_tickers": ["ORCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@soulbiri1 Real possibility it happens in a year. $NBIS is just growing at mind numbing rates and other hyperscalers like $AMZN, $ORCL will start signing contracts soon following META.\n\nOne of the first times I've seen a company grow revenue this fast.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Passed a 30B market cap! 100B seems inevitable in a few years from now, maybe even sooner.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": 0.0007963867028877303, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0007963867028877303, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.001946865114976215, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.001946865114976215, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011504784120884848, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0011504784120884848, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.009141778028908254, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.009141778028908254, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009127010666686641, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009127010666686641, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4767362221612679e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -1.4767362221612679e-05, "ret_p1w": 0.03011059624621426, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03011059624621426, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.027211607113433622, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.027211607113433622, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028989891327806383, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0028989891327806383, "ret_p1m": -0.08904459690978106, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08904459690978106, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10823116106832886, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10823116106832886, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019186564158547803, "bench_c_p1m": 0.019186564158547803, "ret_p3m": -0.31590749686722963, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.31590749686722963, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3455243131688567, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3455243131688567, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029616816301627047, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029616816301627047, "ret_p6m": -0.5142593907221003, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5142593907221003, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.46716067750968626, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.46716067750968626, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04709871321241399, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04709871321241399, "price_path": [-0.1974, -0.1897, -0.1852, -0.1862, -0.2016, -0.206, -0.1864, -0.1644, -0.1386, -0.15, -0.1567, -0.1755, -0.1623, -0.1591, -0.1512, -0.1422, -0.1344, -0.1322, -0.1212, -0.1536, -0.1255, -0.1147, -0.112, -0.1364, -0.1341, -0.125, -0.1209, -0.1544, -0.1517, -0.1402, -0.1375, -0.1875, -0.186, -0.1926, -0.1815, -0.1848, -0.189, -0.1834, -0.1678, -0.2169, -0.2169, -0.2198, -0.2262, -0.2278, -0.1938, -0.1742, -0.1637, 0.137, 0.0661, 0.0118, 0.0463, 0.0619, 0.0437, 0.0271, 0.0688, 0.1363, 0.0867, 0.0681, 0.0088, -0.0184, -0.0208, -0.0261, 0.0008, 0.0, -0.0091, 0.0097, -0.0157, -0.0005, 0.0301, 0.0162, 0.0684, 0.0372, 0.0532, 0.0858, 0.0105, -0.0385, -0.0455, -0.0542, -0.0285, -0.0172, -0.0239, -0.0258, -0.045, -0.1089, -0.089, -0.1056, -0.1391, -0.1317, -0.1543, -0.17, -0.1646, -0.1808, -0.2126, -0.2453, -0.227, -0.2373, -0.2352, -0.2177, -0.2691, -0.3105, -0.3053, -0.3165, -0.289, -0.289, -0.2995, -0.303, -0.3024, -0.2794, -0.2565, -0.2452, -0.235, -0.2315, -0.2264, -0.3102, -0.341, -0.3585, -0.3456, -0.3809, -0.3755, -0.3341, -0.3118, -0.3224, -0.3149, -0.3149, -0.3132, -0.3223, -0.3159, -0.3239, -0.3239, -0.3211, -0.3319, -0.3279, -0.3311, -0.3421, -0.3095, -0.2881, -0.2964, -0.3266, -0.3397, -0.3354, -0.3354, -0.3742, -0.3952, -0.3803, -0.3838, -0.3655, -0.3917, -0.399, -0.4122, -0.4276, -0.4433, -0.4621, -0.4899, -0.5253, -0.5033, -0.4554, -0.4439, -0.4534, -0.4558, -0.443, -0.443, -0.4645, -0.4568, -0.4556, -0.485, -0.5085, -0.4917, -0.4856, -0.4772, -0.4943, -0.4809, -0.4817, -0.4701, -0.4616, -0.468, -0.4729, -0.4804, -0.4327, -0.4464, -0.4605, -0.4575, -0.462, -0.4682, -0.4591, -0.4794, -0.4632, -0.4884, -0.4921, -0.5033, -0.5143]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972430526951883184", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-28T22:37:38+00:00", "symbol": "AMZN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd agree on most though like AMZN or META", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Agrees on AMZN/META longs and MSTR bottoming; swings BULL near $13; avoids RIVN and TSLA on fundamentals.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMZN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Uh I would not tell followers about CSPs on 2x leveraged ETFs especially on $MSTR, which is volatile enough. If they get assigned with volatility decay it might get messy, though I do agree MSTR is bottoming. \n\nI'd agree on most though like AMZN or META, usually I swing trade $BULL low $13.\n\nI wouldn't touch $RIVN or $TSLA cause of fundamentals.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Stocks I’ll be looking to sell some cash secured puts on this week if we hit these price levels:\n\n$MSTU sub $4\n$RIVN sub $14.5\n$BULL sub $14\n$MSTX sub $17\n$SOXL sub $29\n$HOOD sub $115\n$ETHU sub $110\n$AMD sub $153\n$AMZN sub 215\n$MSTR sub $300\n$COIN sub $300\n$TSLA sub $400\n$META", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DarkMiner", "ret_m1d": -0.010757525360516995, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010757525360516995, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.007955034944394201, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0063964637983270345, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004361061562189961, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011702709034319914, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011702709034319914, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.015469575793431889, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007050854887989955, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004651854146329959, "ret_p1w": -0.005716362618390924, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.005716362618390924, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.017664844000803592, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.002144386140647603, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0035719764777433216, "ret_p1m": 0.0318674973642068, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0318674973642068, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0033603093783625138, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03028913630302643, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0015783610611803667, "ret_p3m": 0.04595583021116645, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04595583021116645, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.002651845599013214, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.025579096646721977, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02037673356444447, "ret_p6m": -0.06720075977327955, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.06720075977327955, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.05698375336133765, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.018044863559713797, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.08524562333299335, "price_path": [-0.0101, 0.0056, 0.0056, 0.0059, -0.0126, 0.0017, 0.0004, 0.0128, 0.0158, 0.0188, 0.0046, 0.0077, 0.0178, 0.0321, 0.0239, 0.0275, 0.0453, 0.0417, 0.0478, 0.0398, 0.0361, 0.0537, -0.0334, -0.0474, -0.0379, 0.0006, 0.0043, 0.0023, -0.0039, -0.0032, 0.0108, 0.0397, 0.0399, 0.0419, 0.0263, 0.0074, -0.001, 0.03, 0.026, 0.0294, 0.0313, 0.0424, 0.0307, 0.0307, 0.0143, 0.0172, 0.0608, 0.0457, 0.0615, 0.0723, 0.0367, 0.035, 0.0269, 0.0417, 0.0535, 0.0425, 0.0408, 0.0419, 0.0246, -0.0066, -0.0088, -0.0181, -0.0108, 0.0, -0.0117, -0.0069, 0.0011, -0.012, -0.0057, -0.0018, 0.0137, 0.0251, -0.0261, -0.0095, -0.026, -0.0297, -0.0347, -0.0411, -0.0256, -0.0006, -0.019, -0.0049, 0.0092, 0.0216, 0.0319, 0.0366, 0.0031, 0.0992, 0.1433, 0.1222, 0.1262, 0.0939, 0.1001, 0.1181, 0.1212, 0.0992, 0.0694, 0.0564, 0.0482, 0.0017, 0.0023, -0.0226, -0.0067, 0.0185, 0.0338, 0.0315, 0.0315, 0.0497, 0.0527, 0.0551, 0.046, 0.0312, 0.0331, 0.0212, 0.0259, 0.0433, 0.0365, 0.0181, 0.0017, 0.0018, -0.0041, 0.0207, 0.0233, 0.0282, 0.0449, 0.046, 0.046, 0.0466, 0.0446, 0.0466, 0.0389, 0.0389, 0.0195, 0.049, 0.0844, 0.0873, 0.1086, 0.1135, 0.1094, 0.092, 0.0652, 0.0721, 0.0763, 0.0763, 0.0397, 0.0411, 0.0548, 0.0765, 0.0731, 0.1013, 0.0938, 0.088, 0.0771, 0.0936, 0.074, 0.0487, 0.0023, -0.0533, -0.0605, -0.0685, -0.0814, -0.1016, -0.1052, -0.1052, -0.0946, -0.0782, -0.0779, -0.0543, -0.0761, -0.0613, -0.0519, -0.0641, -0.0548, -0.062, -0.0605, -0.0241, -0.0145, -0.0403, -0.0391, -0.0353, -0.0429, -0.0569, -0.0653, -0.0469, -0.0314, -0.0554, -0.0604, -0.0756, -0.0541, -0.0672]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972430526951883184", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-28T22:37:38+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd agree on most though like AMZN or META", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Agrees on AMZN/META longs and MSTR bottoming; swings BULL near $13; avoids RIVN and TSLA on fundamentals.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Uh I would not tell followers about CSPs on 2x leveraged ETFs especially on $MSTR, which is volatile enough. If they get assigned with volatility decay it might get messy, though I do agree MSTR is bottoming. \n\nI'd agree on most though like AMZN or META, usually I swing trade $BULL low $13.\n\nI wouldn't touch $RIVN or $TSLA cause of fundamentals.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Stocks I’ll be looking to sell some cash secured puts on this week if we hit these price levels:\n\n$MSTU sub $4\n$RIVN sub $14.5\n$BULL sub $14\n$MSTX sub $17\n$SOXL sub $29\n$HOOD sub $115\n$ETHU sub $110\n$AMD sub $153\n$AMZN sub 215\n$MSTR sub $300\n$COIN sub $300\n$TSLA sub $400\n$META", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DarkMiner", "ret_m1d": 0.00047082415774490904, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00047082415774490904, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0032733145738677027, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.003676306108336025, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003205481950591116, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.012133364705162464, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.012133364705162464, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01590023146427444, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010614954655299713, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0015184100498627506, "ret_p1w": -0.03731501442202245, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03731501442202245, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04926349580443512, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.020107036483303475, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017207977938718977, "ret_p1m": 0.010815221543531761, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.010815221543531761, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02441258519903755, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.027432753463629056, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016617531920097295, "ret_p3m": -0.10129882497915832, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.10129882497915832, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.14460280959131155, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1006433495833211, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0006554753958372128, "ret_p6m": -0.20108739409232057, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.20108739409232057, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.19087038768037867, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1445335339640339, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.05655386012828667, "price_path": [-0.0408, -0.0335, -0.0335, -0.0343, -0.0312, -0.015, -0.0224, -0.0355, -0.0309, -0.045, -0.0551, -0.0571, -0.0533, -0.0416, -0.0525, -0.0408, -0.0391, -0.042, -0.0353, -0.059, -0.0655, 0.0397, 0.0082, 0.0436, 0.0263, 0.0378, 0.0241, 0.0341, 0.0295, 0.062, 0.0486, 0.0514, 0.0556, 0.0315, 0.0102, 0.0051, -0.0065, 0.0146, 0.0126, 0.0137, 0.0047, 0.0097, -0.007, -0.007, -0.0118, -0.0092, 0.0064, 0.0115, 0.0113, 0.0293, 0.0109, 0.0094, 0.0157, 0.028, 0.0472, 0.0428, 0.0489, 0.0463, 0.0293, 0.0161, 0.0232, 0.0074, 0.0005, 0.0, -0.0121, -0.0351, -0.022, -0.0442, -0.0373, -0.0408, -0.0344, -0.0133, -0.0513, -0.0373, -0.0467, -0.0348, -0.0421, -0.0356, -0.0151, -0.0136, -0.0134, -0.0126, -0.0068, 0.01, 0.0108, 0.0111, -0.1035, -0.1279, -0.1422, -0.1561, -0.1445, -0.1674, -0.1637, -0.1502, -0.1565, -0.1808, -0.1796, -0.1802, -0.1902, -0.196, -0.2059, -0.2075, -0.2006, -0.1753, -0.1442, -0.1477, -0.1477, -0.1284, -0.1379, -0.1295, -0.1396, -0.1101, -0.0941, -0.103, -0.1163, -0.1255, -0.122, -0.1334, -0.1283, -0.1153, -0.1256, -0.1055, -0.1131, -0.1094, -0.1048, -0.1013, -0.1013, -0.107, -0.1132, -0.1035, -0.1113, -0.1113, -0.1244, -0.1131, -0.1106, -0.1267, -0.1302, -0.1208, -0.1357, -0.1504, -0.1713, -0.1642, -0.165, -0.165, -0.1867, -0.1748, -0.1281, -0.1131, -0.0948, -0.094, -0.0997, -0.006, -0.0354, -0.049, -0.0688, -0.0994, -0.0977, -0.1095, -0.0883, -0.097, -0.0998, -0.1252, -0.1387, -0.1387, -0.1393, -0.1341, -0.132, -0.1173, -0.1421, -0.1393, -0.12, -0.1155, -0.1274, -0.1201, -0.1181, -0.1011, -0.1107, -0.1318, -0.1284, -0.1194, -0.1184, -0.1408, -0.1738, -0.1546, -0.161, -0.1704, -0.1825, -0.2001, -0.1861, -0.2011]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972430526951883184", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-09-28T22:37:38+00:00", "symbol": "MSTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I do agree MSTR is bottoming", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Agrees on AMZN/META longs and MSTR bottoming; swings BULL near $13; avoids RIVN and TSLA on fundamentals.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Uh I would not tell followers about CSPs on 2x leveraged ETFs especially on $MSTR, which is volatile enough. If they get assigned with volatility decay it might get messy, though I do agree MSTR is bottoming. \n\nI'd agree on most though like AMZN or META, usually I swing trade $BULL low $13.\n\nI wouldn't touch $RIVN or $TSLA cause of fundamentals.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Stocks I’ll be looking to sell some cash secured puts on this week if we hit these price levels:\n\n$MSTU sub $4\n$RIVN sub $14.5\n$BULL sub $14\n$MSTX sub $17\n$SOXL sub $29\n$HOOD sub $115\n$ETHU sub $110\n$AMD sub $153\n$AMZN sub 215\n$MSTR sub $300\n$COIN sub $300\n$TSLA sub $400\n$META", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DarkMiner", "ret_m1d": -0.05318306217453772, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05318306217453772, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05038057175841493, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05038057175841493, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.012897560809604913, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.012897560809604913, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01666442756871689, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01666442756871689, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "ret_p1w": 0.10192386387189911, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10192386387189911, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08997538248948644, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08997538248948644, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "ret_p1m": -0.12799459916861522, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12799459916861522, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16322240591118453, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.16322240591118453, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "ret_p3m": -0.5137859194132907, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.5137859194132907, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5570899040254439, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5570899040254439, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "ret_p6m": -0.5825929955420329, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5825929955420329, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.572375989130091, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.572375989130091, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "price_path": [0.2324, 0.2376, 0.2376, 0.2121, 0.216, 0.2726, 0.292, 0.3314, 0.3817, 0.355, 0.3967, 0.3827, 0.2966, 0.3059, 0.3063, 0.2642, 0.2711, 0.2435, 0.2371, 0.2091, 0.2102, 0.2311, 0.1232, 0.1925, 0.1502, 0.1746, 0.2316, 0.2105, 0.2262, 0.2082, 0.1945, 0.1425, 0.1222, 0.1139, 0.0311, 0.055, 0.0342, 0.0971, 0.0514, 0.0764, 0.0479, 0.038, 0.0245, 0.0245, 0.0466, 0.0118, 0.0036, 0.029, 0.0107, 0.0065, 0.0001, -0.0012, 0.0154, 0.0042, 0.0266, 0.0101, 0.0695, 0.0562, 0.0291, 0.0042, -0.0095, -0.0788, -0.0532, 0.0, -0.0129, 0.0367, 0.0794, 0.0772, 0.1019, 0.0061, 0.0134, -0.0188, -0.0663, -0.0335, -0.0789, -0.0909, -0.1304, -0.112, -0.0913, -0.0751, -0.1397, -0.1271, -0.1144, -0.0943, -0.128, -0.1564, -0.2201, -0.1743, -0.1892, -0.2433, -0.2188, -0.2733, -0.2588, -0.2682, -0.2913, -0.3119, -0.3611, -0.3881, -0.4013, -0.3665, -0.4287, -0.4574, -0.4777, -0.4515, -0.4725, -0.4619, -0.4619, -0.4572, -0.4748, -0.4445, -0.4229, -0.4302, -0.4517, -0.4373, -0.421, -0.4343, -0.4385, -0.4594, -0.5035, -0.4869, -0.5087, -0.5152, -0.4951, -0.4966, -0.5163, -0.5138, -0.5138, -0.5135, -0.524, -0.5233, -0.5345, -0.5345, -0.5185, -0.4954, -0.5161, -0.5042, -0.4885, -0.518, -0.503, -0.47, -0.4506, -0.4764, -0.4678, -0.4678, -0.5091, -0.4982, -0.5068, -0.5003, -0.5081, -0.505, -0.5146, -0.5613, -0.5414, -0.5722, -0.5918, -0.6045, -0.6722, -0.5866, -0.5759, -0.5925, -0.6138, -0.6232, -0.5899, -0.5899, -0.6058, -0.6164, -0.6034, -0.5985, -0.621, -0.6183, -0.5844, -0.5913, -0.6033, -0.5783, -0.5935, -0.5514, -0.5717, -0.5909, -0.5743, -0.5758, -0.5762, -0.5793, -0.5721, -0.5481, -0.5396, -0.5694, -0.5765, -0.5844, -0.5766, -0.5826]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972430526951883184", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-09-28T22:37:38+00:00", "symbol": "RIVN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I wouldn't touch $RIVN or $TSLA cause of fundamentals", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Agrees on AMZN/META longs and MSTR bottoming; swings BULL near $13; avoids RIVN and TSLA on fundamentals.", "resolved_tickers": ["RIVN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Uh I would not tell followers about CSPs on 2x leveraged ETFs especially on $MSTR, which is volatile enough. If they get assigned with volatility decay it might get messy, though I do agree MSTR is bottoming. \n\nI'd agree on most though like AMZN or META, usually I swing trade $BULL low $13.\n\nI wouldn't touch $RIVN or $TSLA cause of fundamentals.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Stocks I’ll be looking to sell some cash secured puts on this week if we hit these price levels:\n\n$MSTU sub $4\n$RIVN sub $14.5\n$BULL sub $14\n$MSTX sub $17\n$SOXL sub $29\n$HOOD sub $115\n$ETHU sub $110\n$AMD sub $153\n$AMZN sub 215\n$MSTR sub $300\n$COIN sub $300\n$TSLA sub $400\n$META", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DarkMiner", "ret_m1d": 0.022295091972976522, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.022295091972976522, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.025097582389099315, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.025097582389099315, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03737702916880126, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03737702916880126, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04114389592791323, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04114389592791323, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "ret_p1w": -0.11475409836065575, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11475409836065575, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12670257974306842, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.12670257974306842, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "ret_p1m": -0.11475409836065575, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11475409836065575, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14998190510322507, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14998190510322507, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "ret_p3m": 0.3855737154601051, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3855737154601051, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.34226973084795187, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.34226973084795187, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "ret_p6m": 0.05573772993244108, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.05573772993244108, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.06595473634438298, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.06595473634438298, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "price_path": [-0.1561, -0.143, -0.143, -0.1639, -0.139, -0.1344, -0.1266, -0.1456, -0.1639, -0.1718, -0.1875, -0.1541, -0.1016, -0.1016, -0.0741, -0.0807, -0.0938, -0.0813, -0.0964, -0.1436, -0.1456, -0.1561, -0.1882, -0.1862, -0.2033, -0.2367, -0.2085, -0.2269, -0.2177, -0.2151, -0.1948, -0.2092, -0.1974, -0.1862, -0.1967, -0.2085, -0.2052, -0.1416, -0.1403, -0.1338, -0.1331, -0.1056, -0.1102, -0.1102, -0.0905, -0.0531, -0.1016, -0.0682, -0.0826, -0.0859, -0.0879, -0.0839, -0.1174, -0.1082, -0.061, -0.0748, -0.0374, -0.057, -0.0007, 0.0184, 0.0354, 0.0321, 0.0223, 0.0, -0.0374, -0.042, -0.1128, -0.1049, -0.1148, -0.1305, -0.139, -0.1416, -0.1607, -0.1436, -0.1397, -0.1207, -0.1534, -0.1456, -0.1423, -0.1344, -0.1528, -0.1416, -0.1489, -0.1207, -0.1148, -0.101, -0.1482, -0.1102, -0.1351, -0.1803, 0.0111, -0.002, -0.0013, 0.0761, 0.1816, 0.1489, 0.0748, -0.0092, -0.0249, -0.017, -0.0348, -0.0387, -0.0256, -0.0052, 0.0203, 0.061, 0.061, 0.1056, 0.1252, 0.1298, 0.1495, 0.1843, 0.177, 0.1548, 0.1613, 0.1475, 0.0774, 0.2079, 0.2262, 0.1738, 0.1561, 0.3298, 0.4721, 0.4262, 0.3889, 0.3856, 0.3856, 0.3705, 0.3554, 0.2846, 0.2925, 0.2925, 0.2728, 0.2846, 0.2807, 0.3154, 0.3043, 0.2603, 0.2557, 0.2361, 0.1475, 0.1187, 0.0931, 0.0931, 0.0597, 0.08, 0.0702, 0.0459, 0.0328, 0.0013, -0.0033, -0.0052, -0.0328, -0.0531, -0.0551, -0.0577, -0.0997, -0.0295, -0.0367, -0.019, -0.0321, -0.082, 0.1626, 0.1626, 0.08, 0.059, 0.0223, 0.0013, -0.019, -0.0085, 0.0, 0.0236, 0.0052, -0.0157, -0.0098, -0.0216, -0.0039, 0.0079, 0.0407, 0.0846, 0.0918, 0.0033, -0.0256, 0.0052, 0.0374, 0.0184, 0.057, -0.0223, 0.0341, 0.0557]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972430526951883184", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2025-09-28T22:37:38+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I wouldn't touch $RIVN or $TSLA cause of fundamentals", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Agrees on AMZN/META longs and MSTR bottoming; swings BULL near $13; avoids RIVN and TSLA on fundamentals.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Uh I would not tell followers about CSPs on 2x leveraged ETFs especially on $MSTR, which is volatile enough. If they get assigned with volatility decay it might get messy, though I do agree MSTR is bottoming. \n\nI'd agree on most though like AMZN or META, usually I swing trade $BULL low $13.\n\nI wouldn't touch $RIVN or $TSLA cause of fundamentals.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Stocks I’ll be looking to sell some cash secured puts on this week if we hit these price levels:\n\n$MSTU sub $4\n$RIVN sub $14.5\n$BULL sub $14\n$MSTX sub $17\n$SOXL sub $29\n$HOOD sub $115\n$ETHU sub $110\n$AMD sub $153\n$AMZN sub 215\n$MSTR sub $300\n$COIN sub $300\n$TSLA sub $400\n$META", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DarkMiner", "ret_m1d": -0.006340104268336533, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006340104268336533, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.003537613852213739, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.003537613852213739, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0034069849388267404, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0034069849388267404, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00035988182028523497, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00035988182028523497, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "ret_p1w": 0.02265293819744474, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02265293819744474, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01070445681503207, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01070445681503207, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "ret_p1m": 0.03912365847385946, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03912365847385946, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0038958517312901453, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0038958517312901453, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "ret_p3m": 0.09519190283345047, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09519190283345047, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.051887918221297236, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.051887918221297236, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "ret_p6m": -0.13578212097206488, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.13578212097206488, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.12556511456012298, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.12556511456012298, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "price_path": [-0.2878, -0.2885, -0.2885, -0.3368, -0.3281, -0.3324, -0.3009, -0.2926, -0.285, -0.2988, -0.2742, -0.2793, -0.2562, -0.2588, -0.2507, -0.2497, -0.3112, -0.2869, -0.2654, -0.2753, -0.2802, -0.3045, -0.3172, -0.3022, -0.3034, -0.2782, -0.2729, -0.2562, -0.2351, -0.231, -0.2343, -0.2428, -0.2542, -0.2438, -0.257, -0.2692, -0.2777, -0.2328, -0.218, -0.2065, -0.2112, -0.2194, -0.2467, -0.2467, -0.2569, -0.2462, -0.2362, -0.2084, -0.2184, -0.2171, -0.2153, -0.1679, -0.1067, -0.0748, -0.0487, -0.0391, -0.0595, -0.0387, -0.0203, -0.0392, -0.0009, -0.0447, -0.0063, 0.0, 0.0034, 0.0367, -0.0163, -0.0302, 0.0227, -0.0228, -0.0102, -0.0173, -0.0671, -0.0165, -0.0315, -0.0182, -0.0326, -0.0088, 0.0095, -0.0014, -0.0096, 0.013, -0.0214, 0.0208, 0.0391, 0.0413, -0.007, 0.0301, 0.0568, 0.0024, 0.0426, 0.0061, -0.0309, 0.0046, -0.0081, -0.0285, -0.093, -0.0877, -0.0774, -0.0947, -0.0885, -0.1083, -0.1176, -0.0574, -0.0537, -0.0375, -0.0375, -0.0294, -0.0295, -0.0315, 0.008, 0.0255, 0.0266, -0.0082, 0.0044, 0.0186, 0.0083, 0.0355, 0.0724, 0.1053, 0.0543, 0.0906, 0.0857, 0.1027, 0.0956, 0.0952, 0.0952, 0.0722, 0.0371, 0.0253, 0.0147, 0.0147, -0.0116, 0.0191, -0.0231, -0.0266, -0.0167, 0.0041, 0.013, 0.009, -0.009, -0.0105, -0.0129, -0.0129, -0.0541, -0.0266, 0.0139, 0.0132, -0.0181, -0.0278, -0.0265, -0.0601, -0.0289, -0.0483, -0.0479, -0.0839, -0.1038, -0.0724, -0.0584, -0.0406, -0.0337, -0.059, -0.0581, -0.0581, -0.0735, -0.072, -0.0711, -0.0708, -0.0979, -0.0763, -0.0582, -0.0781, -0.0918, -0.09, -0.1146, -0.0841, -0.085, -0.1049, -0.1005, -0.0992, -0.0798, -0.1088, -0.1173, -0.1075, -0.0991, -0.1138, -0.1419, -0.1698, -0.1407, -0.1358]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1996755554807812507", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-05T01:36:36+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LITE for exposure to TPU v7 ironwood ramp up", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long LITE as the play on Google TPU v7 Ironwood photonics ramp.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ABC12D2 $LITE for exposure to TPU v7 ironwood ramp up", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Who do you like for photonics?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ABC12D2", "ret_m1d": -0.010741973746282496, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010741973746282496, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.008846038302799286, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.008846038302799286, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018959354434832099, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018959354434832099, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0336441078219607, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0336441078219607, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03664838533663539, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03664838533663539, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0030042775146746914, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0030042775146746914, "ret_p1w": -0.021302910233789496, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.021302910233789496, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.015571507861932066, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.015571507861932066, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00573140237185743, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00573140237185743, "ret_p1m": 0.07736635541334103, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07736635541334103, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07144221735944867, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07144221735944867, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005924138053892358, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005924138053892358, "ret_p3m": 1.0542529805077385, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.0542529805077385, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.052117222076716, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.052117222076716, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0021357584310224276, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0021357584310224276, "ret_p6m": 1.5797652832602322, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.5797652832602322, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.470244418078439, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.470244418078439, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10952086518179316, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10952086518179316, "price_path": [-0.5422, -0.5025, -0.5025, -0.5081, -0.4908, -0.4843, -0.5071, -0.4825, -0.4909, -0.503, -0.5052, -0.5391, -0.5199, -0.515, -0.5094, -0.509, -0.4828, -0.4878, -0.5057, -0.5154, -0.5258, -0.5079, -0.5179, -0.5486, -0.5155, -0.5269, -0.5276, -0.5075, -0.5028, -0.5142, -0.5083, -0.5231, -0.4916, -0.459, -0.4152, -0.4014, -0.3534, -0.3961, -0.3918, -0.3978, -0.4316, -0.2977, -0.2768, -0.2755, -0.2158, -0.2382, -0.2342, -0.3155, -0.2995, -0.2696, -0.2534, -0.1886, -0.2962, -0.2288, -0.0967, -0.1211, -0.0698, -0.0698, -0.0189, -0.0407, -0.0863, -0.0858, -0.0107, 0.0, 0.0336, 0.0873, 0.1044, 0.1227, -0.0213, 0.0099, -0.046, -0.0337, 0.0173, 0.1208, 0.1764, 0.169, 0.1947, 0.1947, 0.1791, 0.1243, 0.12, 0.1122, 0.1122, 0.1651, 0.0774, 0.1992, 0.1855, 0.0508, 0.0604, 0.0255, 0.0903, 0.0006, 0.0358, -0.0216, -0.0216, 0.0767, 0.0936, 0.0696, 0.0235, 0.0031, 0.1184, 0.1617, 0.151, 0.1823, 0.2776, 0.3129, 0.4047, 0.522, 0.6656, 0.7415, 0.6932, 0.7323, 0.7605, 0.698, 0.698, 0.8117, 0.7931, 0.918, 1.0149, 1.0359, 1.0768, 1.1828, 1.0428, 1.1149, 1.3634, 1.0954, 1.0543, 0.9638, 0.685, 0.9332, 1.0277, 1.0277, 0.859, 0.8783, 0.8854, 0.96, 1.1146, 1.3298, 1.1313, 1.1995, 1.4199, 1.345, 1.0784, 1.1204, 0.9758, 1.1205, 1.3073, 1.495, 1.495, 1.3303, 1.4615, 1.7037, 1.698, 1.7075, 1.6287, 1.5732, 1.4864, 1.6892, 1.6978, 1.7009, 1.5253, 1.636, 1.5554, 1.6603, 1.594, 1.3879, 1.5899, 1.7227, 1.8663, 1.9455, 2.001, 1.8493, 1.6933, 1.7271, 2.1776, 1.9944, 2.109, 2.0229, 1.929, 1.6703, 1.6858, 1.6193, 1.9103, 1.8572, 1.8572, 1.7483, 1.7226, 1.5968, 1.5798, 1.5798]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1965763491329093943", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-10T13:05:13+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm just trying to time the bottom to add another large chunk of $NBIS from retail panic sellers", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bullish NBIS; author timing bottom to add a large position, calling any 7%+ drop an overreaction given dilution already priced in.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you're scared about $NBIS remember **DILUTION WAS ALREADY PRICED IN**\n\nThe $MSFT contract was 17B+, increasing forward rev by 300%+ for over 7 years. $NBIS gained 45% on the day not 250%+.\n\nIt's positive if they're using it for the MSFT contract instead of just holding it like $GME or $AMC. \n\n$ASTS also launched a capital raise for product deployment and their stock went from $22 -> $18 -> $50.\n\n---\n\n(what this means is use this time to add to your positions). Dilution was already priced in and if the stock drops 7%+ it's an overreaction.\n\nI'm just trying to time the bottom to add another large chunk of $NBIS from retail panic sellers.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.024949157792937715, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.024949157792937715, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.027831679122821695, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.017533396592911865, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028825213298839802, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00741576120002585, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04497266276572787, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04497266276572787, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.053282833121671924, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.060327664107197254, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008310170355944058, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015355001341469388, "ret_p1w": 0.0073883975363076, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0073883975363076, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.003298345262721325, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02934164658529692, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010686742799028925, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03673004412160452, "ret_p1m": 0.4202805467022046, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4202805467022046, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3883725465376131, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4141665923213069, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0319080001645915, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006113954380897679, "ret_p3m": 0.0743120514697797, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0743120514697797, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.02323141033316234, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.056466441254471755, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.051080641136617366, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01784561021530795, "ret_p6m": 0.024199616136639346, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.024199616136639346, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.026409334543678442, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.016088632732523145, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05060895068031779, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04028824886916249, "price_path": [-0.4953, -0.4597, -0.4825, -0.4826, -0.4826, -0.4863, -0.4916, -0.4537, -0.4805, -0.4368, -0.4449, -0.4075, -0.4613, -0.4649, -0.4619, -0.4619, -0.4877, -0.4957, -0.5069, -0.5028, -0.5256, -0.4437, -0.4268, -0.4292, -0.4251, -0.4347, -0.4392, -0.4538, -0.4445, -0.4415, -0.4499, -0.4352, -0.4603, -0.4508, -0.4172, -0.4432, -0.42, -0.4093, -0.4101, -0.3007, -0.2635, -0.2479, -0.1934, -0.2437, -0.2669, -0.2331, -0.2233, -0.2805, -0.2775, -0.2914, -0.2614, -0.2502, -0.2453, -0.2494, -0.2286, -0.2684, -0.2684, -0.2963, -0.297, -0.305, -0.299, -0.3141, 0.0249, 0.0, -0.045, -0.0319, -0.026, -0.0424, 0.0074, 0.0078, 0.0634, 0.1414, 0.1543, 0.2124, 0.1558, 0.1532, 0.1802, 0.2022, 0.2379, 0.3478, 0.3704, 0.3378, 0.2603, 0.3063, 0.4203, 0.3875, 0.4505, 0.3722, 0.3474, 0.3175, 0.2147, 0.1671, 0.1166, 0.056, 0.1367, 0.2556, 0.3431, 0.3045, 0.3395, 0.3297, 0.4008, 0.29, 0.1836, 0.2528, 0.1719, 0.1916, 0.1773, 0.0945, 0.0104, -0.051, -0.1055, -0.0793, -0.0305, 0.018, -0.0937, -0.1085, -0.016, -0.0483, 0.0139, 0.0139, 0.0158, 0.0724, 0.0328, 0.0592, 0.1008, 0.0498, 0.0743, 0.0323, 0.0021, 0.0095, -0.061, -0.1312, -0.1332, -0.1921, -0.1638, -0.0421, -0.0017, -0.036, -0.0242, -0.0242, -0.0621, -0.0787, -0.088, -0.1037, -0.1037, -0.0368, -0.006, 0.0733, 0.0302, 0.0419, 0.0486, 0.1493, 0.1289, 0.092, 0.1124, 0.1643, 0.1643, 0.0632, 0.0587, 0.037, 0.0119, -0.0207, 0.048, 0.0754, 0.0163, -0.0878, -0.056, -0.0368, -0.1178, -0.209, -0.0781, -0.0055, -0.0171, -0.0512, -0.0392, 0.0495, 0.0495, 0.0442, 0.0901, 0.1523, 0.0485, 0.0773, 0.0984, 0.1363, 0.123, -0.0236, -0.0255, -0.0706, 0.047, 0.0242]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1974370964898263376", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-04T07:08:14+00:00", "symbol": "SNAP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SNAP net income will probably shoot up a ton after deleting everyone's memories or making people pay", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish SNAP long-term on expected net income improvement from cost cuts / monetization; wait for pullback first.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNAP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@capybara_830 uhh I'd wait for a pullback, but $SNAP net income will probably shoot up a ton after deleting everyone's memories or making people pay.\n\nThe amount of money they spend on Google Cloud is absolutely absurd. Their revenue numbers are great, net profit not so much.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Is it a good time to open a position in $SNAP or wait for a pullback. Thanks man!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "capybara_830", "ret_m1d": 0.0023473595087817323, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0023473595087817323, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005920773339130769, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.003377313114077407, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003573413830349037, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0010299536052956748, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04577468572403354, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04577468572403354, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04206719347307164, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04191229379979777, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003707492250961897, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003862391924235764, "ret_p1w": -0.05516434762635847, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05516434762635847, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04240395718853529, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03224781400415311, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012760390437823177, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02291653362220536, "ret_p1m": -0.12323950835181352, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12323950835181352, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12864450469687416, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09148256158561274, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404996345060642, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03175694676620078, "ret_p3m": -0.052816988117576846, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.052816988117576846, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07116845783459014, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06647336361804634, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01835146971701329, "bench_c_p3m": 0.013656375500469498, "ret_p6m": -0.4600939369151189, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4600939369151189, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4339374945429746, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.41772684676669636, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.026156442372144317, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04236709014842255, "price_path": [0.0704, 0.0962, 0.0692, 0.1197, 0.1127, 0.1338, 0.1631, 0.1749, 0.1596, 0.2148, 0.1819, 0.1432, 0.1467, 0.1373, 0.0951, 0.0939, 0.1068, 0.0622, 0.1115, 0.1021, -0.0869, -0.115, -0.1303, -0.1561, -0.1467, -0.1408, -0.169, -0.1608, -0.1385, -0.1573, -0.1596, -0.1725, -0.1549, -0.1784, -0.1761, -0.1796, -0.1667, -0.162, -0.162, -0.1397, -0.1491, -0.1678, -0.142, -0.1526, -0.1455, -0.1725, -0.1444, -0.1385, -0.1244, -0.0915, -0.0622, -0.0094, -0.0423, 0.0012, -0.0117, -0.0352, -0.0223, -0.0293, -0.0141, -0.0951, -0.0951, -0.0352, 0.0023, 0.0, -0.0458, -0.0106, -0.0164, -0.0869, -0.0552, -0.0704, -0.0716, -0.0892, -0.1021, -0.0927, -0.0786, -0.088, -0.0763, -0.0669, -0.0716, -0.0915, -0.0915, -0.108, -0.0845, -0.0822, -0.1232, -0.1432, -0.0599, -0.0364, 0.02, 0.0282, 0.0669, 0.007, 0.0059, -0.0399, -0.0317, -0.0575, -0.0869, -0.0974, -0.0986, -0.1033, -0.1068, -0.1068, -0.0986, -0.1033, -0.1056, -0.1009, -0.0892, -0.0716, -0.0575, -0.0704, -0.0704, -0.1033, -0.142, -0.1479, -0.135, -0.1197, -0.1045, -0.1115, -0.0681, -0.0833, -0.0786, -0.0786, -0.0775, -0.0751, -0.0528, -0.0528, -0.0528, -0.0458, -0.0317, 0.0317, 0.0117, -0.0141, -0.0364, -0.0387, -0.0622, -0.0728, -0.0892, -0.1162, -0.1162, -0.1373, -0.135, -0.1009, -0.1056, -0.1127, -0.1244, -0.0998, -0.1502, -0.1866, -0.2183, -0.284, -0.3063, -0.3991, -0.3873, -0.3908, -0.3862, -0.4143, -0.4343, -0.4331, -0.4331, -0.4448, -0.4272, -0.4131, -0.3967, -0.4214, -0.4167, -0.4049, -0.3826, -0.3885, -0.3826, -0.3838, -0.3697, -0.3732, -0.3944, -0.3979, -0.4237, -0.4296, -0.4542, -0.4648, -0.4507, -0.4542, -0.4577, -0.4648, -0.4742, -0.4707, -0.4883, -0.473, -0.5293, -0.5387, -0.5282, -0.4601]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1971232873933045999", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-25T15:18:35+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "30% means I have extremely high conviction that $NBIS goes up and that it's undervalued relative to forward revenue", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Extremely high conviction long NBIS; 30% position size justified by undervaluation vs forward revenue.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@jMORfinance 30% means I have extremely high conviction that $NBIS goes up and that it's undervalued relative to forward revenue.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit 30% means you win or lose based on that one name", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jMORfinance", "ret_m1d": 0.0490087159151118, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0490087159151118, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.044373835417102825, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04559074806214469, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004634880498008975, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0034179678529671076, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.002223508316987033, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.002223508316987033, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007952652683981265, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011964592036006971, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005729144366994232, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009741083719019938, "ret_p1w": 0.16611080136772127, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16611080136772127, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14913651232441727, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.17106683507106002, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016974289043304003, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004956033703338747, "ret_p1m": 0.08634426055236988, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08634426055236988, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.057167124408165515, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09899055789602085, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.029177136144204363, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01264629734365097, "ret_p3m": -0.1659255443488764, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1659255443488764, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.21446726121166815, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17224905388420242, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04854171686279174, "bench_c_p3m": 0.006323509535326011, "ret_p6m": 0.08967945234604224, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.08967945234604224, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.09847367355823211, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.12758993457777956, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.008794221212189868, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03791048223173732, "price_path": [-0.4874, -0.5339, -0.5371, -0.5345, -0.5345, -0.5568, -0.5636, -0.5734, -0.5699, -0.5896, -0.5187, -0.5041, -0.5061, -0.5026, -0.5109, -0.5148, -0.5274, -0.5194, -0.5168, -0.5241, -0.5113, -0.5331, -0.5248, -0.4957, -0.5183, -0.4981, -0.4889, -0.4896, -0.3949, -0.3628, -0.3493, -0.3021, -0.3457, -0.3658, -0.3365, -0.328, -0.3775, -0.3749, -0.3869, -0.3609, -0.3513, -0.347, -0.3506, -0.3326, -0.3671, -0.3671, -0.3911, -0.3918, -0.3986, -0.3935, -0.4065, -0.1132, -0.1348, -0.1737, -0.1624, -0.1573, -0.1715, -0.1284, -0.128, -0.08, -0.0124, -0.0013, 0.049, 0.0, -0.0022, 0.0211, 0.0401, 0.0711, 0.1661, 0.1857, 0.1575, 0.0904, 0.1303, 0.2288, 0.2005, 0.255, 0.1872, 0.1657, 0.1399, 0.051, 0.0098, -0.0339, -0.0863, -0.0165, 0.0863, 0.162, 0.1287, 0.159, 0.1505, 0.212, 0.1161, 0.0241, 0.0839, 0.0139, 0.0309, 0.0186, -0.053, -0.1258, -0.1789, -0.2261, -0.2034, -0.1612, -0.1192, -0.2159, -0.2286, -0.1486, -0.1766, -0.1228, -0.1228, -0.1211, -0.0722, -0.1064, -0.0836, -0.0476, -0.0917, -0.0705, -0.1068, -0.1329, -0.1266, -0.1876, -0.2483, -0.25, -0.301, -0.2765, -0.1712, -0.1363, -0.1659, -0.1557, -0.1557, -0.1885, -0.2029, -0.211, -0.2245, -0.2245, -0.1667, -0.14, -0.0713, -0.1087, -0.0986, -0.0927, -0.0057, -0.0233, -0.0552, -0.0376, 0.0073, 0.0073, -0.0801, -0.084, -0.1027, -0.1245, -0.1527, -0.0933, -0.0696, -0.1207, -0.2108, -0.1832, -0.1667, -0.2367, -0.3156, -0.2023, -0.1395, -0.1496, -0.1791, -0.1687, -0.092, -0.092, -0.0965, -0.0569, -0.0031, -0.0928, -0.0679, -0.0497, -0.0169, -0.0283, -0.1552, -0.1568, -0.1958, -0.0941, -0.1139, -0.1724, -0.1204, -0.1066, 0.0376, 0.0009, 0.0464, 0.203, 0.0777, 0.0984, 0.1258, 0.0897]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1965290061714600032", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-09T05:43:58+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If I had to pick stocks I'm bullish on it would be $TSM, $HOOD, $RKLB, $CREDO, $NBIS and others", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on TSM, HOOD, RKLB, CREDO, NBIS; also sees SG rebounding from oversold short-term option flows.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@moonman6577 I'm not too bullish on $SG. If I had to pick stocks I'm bullish on it would be $TSM, $HOOD, $RKLB, $CREDO, $NBIS and others.\n\nBut I see $SG rebounding since it's oversold from short-term option flows and I simply just like their salad.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Why are you so bullish on $SG? Just curious. I’m still holding a ton of $UPWK since $11.80", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "moonman6577", "ret_m1d": -0.014865260592451301, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014865260592451301, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01255876719216098, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01255876719216098, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023064934002903215, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0023064934002903215, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03794042461938063, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03794042461938063, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.035049570340375924, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.035049570340375924, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028908542790047065, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0028908542790047065, "ret_p1w": 0.047691440812841934, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.047691440812841934, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03282204035820646, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03282204035820646, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014869400454635473, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014869400454635473, "ret_p1m": 0.21744252080017645, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21744252080017645, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.17954462607997268, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.17954462607997268, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03789789472020377, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03789789472020377, "ret_p3m": 0.1782631455556587, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1782631455556587, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1209675741384586, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1209675741384586, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0572955714172001, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0572955714172001, "ret_p6m": 0.43286964593050903, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.43286964593050903, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.37331594658257217, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.37331594658257217, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05955369934793686, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05955369934793686, "price_path": [-0.1414, -0.1587, -0.1404, -0.1475, -0.1491, -0.1491, -0.165, -0.1618, -0.1229, -0.1123, -0.1072, -0.0891, -0.0974, -0.1046, -0.069, -0.0642, -0.0642, -0.0867, -0.0919, -0.076, -0.0843, -0.0818, -0.0887, -0.0557, -0.0532, -0.0212, -0.0419, -0.0481, -0.065, -0.0422, -0.0371, -0.0212, -0.0326, -0.0382, -0.0319, -0.0371, -0.0626, -0.0475, -0.0735, -0.0779, -0.0331, -0.0362, -0.0352, -0.0264, -0.0378, -0.0395, -0.048, -0.0379, -0.0726, -0.089, -0.094, -0.0715, -0.0611, -0.0486, -0.0463, -0.0504, -0.0799, -0.0799, -0.0898, -0.0778, -0.0626, -0.0299, -0.0149, 0.0, 0.0379, 0.0318, 0.0335, 0.0417, 0.0477, 0.0506, 0.074, 0.0589, 0.0899, 0.1302, 0.1223, 0.1061, 0.0929, 0.0923, 0.1166, 0.1533, 0.1518, 0.1681, 0.209, 0.1755, 0.2174, 0.1989, 0.1221, 0.2109, 0.1831, 0.2182, 0.1987, 0.1797, 0.1902, 0.1774, 0.1549, 0.1623, 0.1792, 0.1924, 0.2055, 0.2197, 0.2122, 0.2011, 0.2188, 0.1756, 0.1739, 0.1564, 0.1454, 0.1805, 0.1641, 0.1619, 0.1282, 0.1387, 0.1274, 0.1111, 0.1289, 0.1094, 0.0997, 0.138, 0.1381, 0.1592, 0.1592, 0.1654, 0.1501, 0.1677, 0.1812, 0.1711, 0.1783, 0.2068, 0.213, 0.2399, 0.2221, 0.1707, 0.1535, 0.15, 0.1102, 0.1412, 0.1583, 0.1757, 0.1904, 0.1978, 0.1978, 0.214, 0.2063, 0.2009, 0.2182, 0.2182, 0.2812, 0.2918, 0.3126, 0.2775, 0.2748, 0.2973, 0.33, 0.3277, 0.3113, 0.3695, 0.3726, 0.3726, 0.3115, 0.3073, 0.3123, 0.3424, 0.3337, 0.3563, 0.3722, 0.3612, 0.3251, 0.3684, 0.3459, 0.3058, 0.3258, 0.3984, 0.4247, 0.4508, 0.4996, 0.4756, 0.4686, 0.4686, 0.46, 0.4522, 0.4447, 0.4854, 0.4834, 0.5464, 0.5543, 0.5105, 0.5016, 0.4797, 0.4156, 0.4329]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1965290061714600032", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-09T05:43:58+00:00", "symbol": "HOOD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If I had to pick stocks I'm bullish on it would be $TSM, $HOOD, $RKLB, $CREDO, $NBIS and others", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on TSM, HOOD, RKLB, CREDO, NBIS; also sees SG rebounding from oversold short-term option flows.", "resolved_tickers": ["HOOD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@moonman6577 I'm not too bullish on $SG. If I had to pick stocks I'm bullish on it would be $TSM, $HOOD, $RKLB, $CREDO, $NBIS and others.\n\nBut I see $SG rebounding since it's oversold from short-term option flows and I simply just like their salad.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Why are you so bullish on $SG? Just curious. I’m still holding a ton of $UPWK since $11.80", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "moonman6577", "ret_m1d": -0.010295368951081185, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010295368951081185, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.007988875550790864, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005983388245132226, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023064934002903215, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004311980705948959, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008776379033985982, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008776379033985982, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.011667233312990688, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005401700478469107, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028908542790047065, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0033746785555168746, "ret_p1w": -0.009451499971156352, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.009451499971156352, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.024320900425791825, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.013575962348654214, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014869400454635473, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004124462377497862, "ret_p1m": 0.2731645157568565, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2731645157568565, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.23526662103665275, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.26667512230301926, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03789789472020377, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0064893934538372555, "ret_p3m": 0.11350208395141093, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11350208395141093, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05620651253421083, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10381503619191834, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0572955714172001, "bench_c_p3m": 0.009687047759492584, "ret_p6m": -0.30624473346436576, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.30624473346436576, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3657984328123026, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2783129701609861, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05955369934793686, "bench_c_p6m": -0.027931763303379653, "price_path": [-0.3769, -0.3873, -0.3523, -0.3675, -0.3388, -0.3388, -0.3376, -0.3557, -0.3079, -0.3017, -0.2868, -0.2993, -0.2099, -0.2208, -0.1732, -0.2034, -0.2034, -0.2113, -0.2298, -0.2022, -0.1671, -0.1701, -0.1565, -0.16, -0.1287, -0.1101, -0.0739, -0.1195, -0.1405, -0.1386, -0.1398, -0.1152, -0.099, -0.1281, -0.1046, -0.1304, -0.157, -0.1024, -0.11, -0.1084, -0.0614, -0.0327, -0.0412, -0.0372, -0.0834, -0.0657, -0.0365, -0.0294, -0.0928, -0.1111, -0.103, -0.0775, -0.0891, -0.0819, -0.1315, -0.125, -0.1221, -0.1221, -0.149, -0.1492, -0.1316, -0.1456, -0.0103, 0.0, -0.0088, -0.0063, -0.0293, -0.031, -0.0095, 0.0012, 0.0203, 0.053, 0.0539, 0.065, 0.07, 0.035, 0.0277, 0.1538, 0.2083, 0.1742, 0.2295, 0.2546, 0.2174, 0.2236, 0.2732, 0.2866, 0.1727, 0.1872, 0.1388, 0.1321, 0.1092, 0.0963, 0.146, 0.1126, 0.0736, 0.1336, 0.1797, 0.2309, 0.2342, 0.2219, 0.1651, 0.2386, 0.2412, 0.1544, 0.2024, 0.0724, 0.1001, 0.1467, 0.1133, 0.1222, 0.0256, 0.0338, -0.0214, -0.0354, -0.0029, -0.1037, -0.0945, -0.0298, -0.0247, 0.0819, 0.0819, 0.0843, 0.04, 0.0629, 0.1278, 0.1568, 0.1135, 0.1513, 0.1452, 0.1448, 0.0412, 0.0084, -0.0273, 0.0076, -0.0228, -0.0113, 0.0241, 0.0327, 0.0147, 0.0164, 0.0164, -0.0031, -0.009, -0.0257, -0.0456, -0.0456, -0.0278, 0.04, 0.027, -0.0129, -0.0262, -0.0273, -0.0083, 0.0147, 0.0099, -0.0688, -0.0824, -0.0824, -0.1073, -0.1062, -0.1034, -0.0971, -0.097, -0.1119, -0.1274, -0.1457, -0.1605, -0.2413, -0.2652, -0.3197, -0.3867, -0.3011, -0.2695, -0.2776, -0.342, -0.3998, -0.3589, -0.3589, -0.3634, -0.3653, -0.3616, -0.3577, -0.3943, -0.3807, -0.3457, -0.3295, -0.3599, -0.3352, -0.3581, -0.3062]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1965290061714600032", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-09-09T05:43:58+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If I had to pick stocks I'm bullish on it would be $TSM, $HOOD, $RKLB, $CREDO, $NBIS and others", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on TSM, HOOD, RKLB, CREDO, NBIS; also sees SG rebounding from oversold short-term option flows.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@moonman6577 I'm not too bullish on $SG. If I had to pick stocks I'm bullish on it would be $TSM, $HOOD, $RKLB, $CREDO, $NBIS and others.\n\nBut I see $SG rebounding since it's oversold from short-term option flows and I simply just like their salad.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Why are you so bullish on $SG? Just curious. I’m still holding a ton of $UPWK since $11.80", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "moonman6577", "ret_m1d": 0.014884133130099064, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.014884133130099064, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.017190626530389386, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008095298915359761, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023064934002903215, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006788834214739303, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01828621375023609, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01828621375023609, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.021177068029240798, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.025673996352391426, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028908542790047065, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007387782602155335, "ret_p1w": 0.004571553437558995, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.004571553437558995, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.010297847017076478, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.005944367179051113, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014869400454635473, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010515920616610108, "ret_p1m": 0.38868805557664476, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.38868805557664476, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.350790160856441, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.34886901864296505, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03789789472020377, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03981903693367972, "ret_p3m": 0.043057656356358054, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.043057656356358054, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.014237915060842044, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.009988460937877086, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0572955714172001, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03306919541848097, "ret_p6m": 0.5290241447712933, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5290241447712933, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4694704454233565, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3489761755418692, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05955369934793686, "bench_c_p6m": 0.18004796922942412, "price_path": [-0.4387, -0.4597, -0.4355, -0.4382, -0.4078, -0.4078, -0.3613, -0.303, -0.2885, -0.3121, -0.2316, -0.2477, -0.2394, -0.27, -0.2413, -0.2418, -0.2418, -0.1733, -0.1763, -0.1678, -0.1686, -0.1701, -0.0812, -0.0517, 0.014, 0.0914, 0.0927, 0.0034, -0.0032, 0.0451, 0.0234, 0.0085, -0.0408, -0.0689, -0.0125, -0.0236, -0.0472, -0.0529, -0.0485, -0.0623, -0.06, -0.0498, -0.0427, -0.0765, -0.0857, -0.0897, -0.0587, -0.0438, -0.1299, -0.1348, -0.1169, -0.0563, 0.004, 0.0234, -0.0166, 0.0187, 0.0334, 0.0334, 0.0485, -0.0744, -0.0859, -0.0253, 0.0149, 0.0, -0.0183, 0.0298, 0.1342, 0.1491, 0.0046, 0.0223, 0.0032, 0.0162, 0.0591, 0.125, 0.0353, -0.0085, -0.0164, -0.0004, 0.0187, 0.02, 0.1157, 0.1941, 0.2439, 0.3079, 0.3887, 0.4123, 0.3664, 0.391, 0.4465, 0.4729, 0.4246, 0.4091, 0.4321, 0.3906, 0.2878, 0.3517, 0.3727, 0.3953, 0.3555, 0.4068, 0.2953, 0.3391, 0.3043, 0.2028, 0.1997, 0.0549, 0.098, 0.1036, 0.0895, 0.0625, -0.0378, -0.0317, -0.0791, -0.0904, -0.0725, -0.1605, -0.1431, -0.0974, -0.0942, -0.1084, -0.1084, -0.104, -0.1416, -0.1091, -0.0491, 0.0498, 0.0431, 0.0963, 0.1361, 0.223, 0.3508, 0.3075, 0.1782, 0.1799, 0.1474, 0.2741, 0.4995, 0.6489, 0.6411, 0.6411, 0.6411, 0.5022, 0.491, 0.498, 0.4833, 0.4833, 0.6158, 0.6615, 0.8293, 0.7878, 0.7665, 0.8042, 0.869, 0.841, 0.9519, 0.9298, 1.0476, 1.0476, 0.8958, 0.8673, 0.8707, 0.8903, 0.7112, 0.8499, 0.8833, 0.8218, 0.7025, 0.5767, 0.728, 0.5545, 0.4102, 0.5377, 0.6126, 0.5316, 0.4803, 0.4036, 0.434, 0.434, 0.4861, 0.5824, 0.6283, 0.5067, 0.4929, 0.4878, 0.4927, 0.5448, 0.4693, 0.509, 0.4912, 0.529]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1965290061714600032", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-09-09T05:43:58+00:00", "symbol": "CREDO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If I had to pick stocks I'm bullish on it would be $TSM, $HOOD, $RKLB, $CREDO, $NBIS and others", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on TSM, HOOD, RKLB, CREDO, NBIS; also sees SG rebounding from oversold short-term option flows.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRDO"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Credo Technology Group trades as CRDO on NASDAQ", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@moonman6577 I'm not too bullish on $SG. If I had to pick stocks I'm bullish on it would be $TSM, $HOOD, $RKLB, $CREDO, $NBIS and others.\n\nBut I see $SG rebounding since it's oversold from short-term option flows and I simply just like their salad.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Why are you so bullish on $SG? Just curious. I’m still holding a ton of $UPWK since $11.80", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "moonman6577", "ret_m1d": -0.01006508764870484, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01006508764870484, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.007758594248414519, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005733425407755233, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023064934002903215, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0043316622409496075, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10018122563820597, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10018122563820597, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09729037135920127, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09004057202182825, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028908542790047065, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010140653616377726, "ret_p1w": 0.10326779518021723, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10326779518021723, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08839839472558175, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07170401885475575, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014869400454635473, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03156377632546148, "ret_p1m": -0.0010736339221630864, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0010736339221630864, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03897152864236686, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.16312333866706008, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03789789472020377, "bench_c_p1m": 0.162049704744897, "ret_p3m": 0.1812386414015601, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1812386414015601, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.12394306998436, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.042427571026486754, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0572955714172001, "bench_c_p3m": 0.22366621242804685, "ret_p6m": -0.31195060219129445, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.31195060219129445, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3715043015392313, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.65623675011314, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05955369934793686, "bench_c_p6m": 0.34428614792184553, "price_path": [-0.5012, -0.5069, -0.4688, -0.4651, -0.4257, -0.4257, -0.4262, -0.4325, -0.3832, -0.3813, -0.3622, -0.3727, -0.3787, -0.4123, -0.4003, -0.3719, -0.3719, -0.3778, -0.3735, -0.3452, -0.3472, -0.3389, -0.3377, -0.3116, -0.321, -0.3394, -0.3728, -0.3576, -0.3764, -0.3397, -0.3211, -0.3208, -0.2756, -0.2661, -0.2216, -0.2515, -0.2783, -0.2304, -0.2599, -0.2126, -0.1963, -0.192, -0.2044, -0.1587, -0.1872, -0.2127, -0.2167, -0.2032, -0.2867, -0.2888, -0.2561, -0.2348, -0.2256, -0.1941, -0.1765, -0.1155, -0.1743, -0.1743, -0.1661, -0.1628, -0.1009, -0.0551, -0.0101, 0.0, 0.1002, 0.069, 0.087, 0.1003, 0.1033, 0.1034, 0.1562, 0.1378, 0.1011, 0.0888, 0.0023, -0.0274, -0.0409, -0.0203, -0.0229, -0.0276, 0.004, -0.0346, -0.0108, -0.0794, -0.0011, 0.0142, -0.0684, 0.0058, -0.1294, -0.1182, -0.0839, -0.0364, 0.0176, -0.0326, -0.0794, 0.013, 0.0437, 0.0398, 0.0882, 0.1509, 0.118, 0.2589, 0.2121, 0.102, 0.1619, 0.092, 0.0978, 0.1418, 0.0635, 0.0759, -0.0408, -0.0236, -0.0231, -0.0635, -0.048, -0.096, -0.1043, 0.0122, 0.0346, 0.1005, 0.1005, 0.1917, 0.1483, 0.2644, 0.2695, 0.214, 0.1812, 0.2007, 0.1427, 0.0601, 0.0365, -0.0344, -0.047, -0.0583, -0.1, -0.0702, 0.0074, 0.0061, -0.0082, 0.0078, 0.0078, -0.0282, -0.0291, -0.0276, -0.0345, -0.0345, -0.039, -0.059, -0.1079, -0.0539, -0.0499, 0.0093, 0.0472, 0.0829, 0.0524, 0.0006, 0.013, 0.013, 0.0281, -0.0662, -0.0935, -0.1065, -0.141, -0.1306, -0.13, -0.1312, -0.1594, -0.1951, -0.2531, -0.3495, -0.342, -0.2525, -0.1719, -0.096, -0.1384, -0.1828, -0.1851, -0.1851, -0.1626, -0.1417, -0.1233, -0.1676, -0.1676, -0.1892, -0.1716, -0.2318, -0.2467, -0.2336, -0.3471, -0.312]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1965290061714600032", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-09-09T05:43:58+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If I had to pick stocks I'm bullish on it would be $TSM, $HOOD, $RKLB, $CREDO, $NBIS and others", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on TSM, HOOD, RKLB, CREDO, NBIS; also sees SG rebounding from oversold short-term option flows.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@moonman6577 I'm not too bullish on $SG. If I had to pick stocks I'm bullish on it would be $TSM, $HOOD, $RKLB, $CREDO, $NBIS and others.\n\nBut I see $SG rebounding since it's oversold from short-term option flows and I simply just like their salad.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Why are you so bullish on $SG? Just curious. I’m still holding a ton of $UPWK since $11.80", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "moonman6577", "ret_m1d": -0.3307564067943376, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.3307564067943376, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.3284499133940473, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.3251272748805889, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023064934002903215, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005629131913748697, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02434184915733928, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02434184915733928, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.027232703436343986, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016980676654744786, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028908542790047065, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007361172502594493, "ret_p1w": -0.06571250350304936, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06571250350304936, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08058190395768483, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09212625594269352, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014869400454635473, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026413752439644167, "ret_p1m": 0.27455075683401486, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.27455075683401486, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2366528621138111, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2701072145774561, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03789789472020377, "bench_c_p1m": 0.004443542256558741, "ret_p3m": 0.024237355466335098, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.024237355466335098, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.033058215950865, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.006323587545360443, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0572955714172001, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017913767920974655, "ret_p6m": 0.02152107743755649, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.02152107743755649, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.03803262191038037, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.014160920550938316, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05955369934793686, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03568199798849481, "price_path": [-0.4747, -0.5076, -0.4728, -0.4951, -0.4952, -0.4952, -0.4989, -0.504, -0.467, -0.4931, -0.4505, -0.4584, -0.422, -0.4744, -0.478, -0.475, -0.475, -0.5002, -0.5079, -0.5189, -0.5149, -0.5372, -0.4573, -0.4408, -0.4431, -0.4391, -0.4485, -0.4529, -0.4671, -0.458, -0.4551, -0.4633, -0.4489, -0.4735, -0.4642, -0.4314, -0.4567, -0.4341, -0.4236, -0.4245, -0.3177, -0.2814, -0.2662, -0.213, -0.2621, -0.2848, -0.2518, -0.2422, -0.2981, -0.2951, -0.3086, -0.2794, -0.2685, -0.2637, -0.2677, -0.2474, -0.2863, -0.2863, -0.3134, -0.3141, -0.3219, -0.316, -0.3308, 0.0, -0.0243, -0.0682, -0.0555, -0.0497, -0.0657, -0.0171, -0.0167, 0.0375, 0.1137, 0.1262, 0.1829, 0.1277, 0.1252, 0.1515, 0.1729, 0.2078, 0.315, 0.337, 0.3053, 0.2296, 0.2746, 0.3857, 0.3537, 0.4152, 0.3388, 0.3146, 0.2854, 0.1851, 0.1387, 0.0894, 0.0303, 0.1091, 0.225, 0.3104, 0.2728, 0.3069, 0.2973, 0.3667, 0.2586, 0.1548, 0.2223, 0.1433, 0.1626, 0.1487, 0.0679, -0.0142, -0.0741, -0.1272, -0.1018, -0.0541, -0.0068, -0.1158, -0.1302, -0.0399, -0.0715, -0.0108, -0.0108, -0.0089, 0.0463, 0.0076, 0.0334, 0.074, 0.0242, 0.0482, 0.0072, -0.0223, -0.015, -0.0839, -0.1523, -0.1543, -0.2118, -0.1842, -0.0654, -0.026, -0.0594, -0.048, -0.048, -0.0849, -0.1011, -0.1102, -0.1255, -0.1255, -0.0603, -0.0302, 0.0472, 0.0051, 0.0165, 0.0231, 0.1213, 0.1014, 0.0654, 0.0853, 0.1359, 0.1359, 0.0373, 0.0329, 0.0118, -0.0127, -0.0445, 0.0225, 0.0492, -0.0085, -0.11, -0.079, -0.0603, -0.1393, -0.2283, -0.1005, -0.0297, -0.0411, -0.0743, -0.0626, 0.0239, 0.0239, 0.0188, 0.0635, 0.1242, 0.023, 0.0511, 0.0717, 0.1087, 0.0957, -0.0473, -0.0492, -0.0932, 0.0215]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1965290061714600032", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2025-09-09T05:43:58+00:00", "symbol": "SG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I see $SG rebounding since it's oversold from short-term option flows", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on TSM, HOOD, RKLB, CREDO, NBIS; also sees SG rebounding from oversold short-term option flows.", "resolved_tickers": ["SG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Restaurants'", "bench_c_industry": "Restaurants", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@moonman6577 I'm not too bullish on $SG. If I had to pick stocks I'm bullish on it would be $TSM, $HOOD, $RKLB, $CREDO, $NBIS and others.\n\nBut I see $SG rebounding since it's oversold from short-term option flows and I simply just like their salad.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Why are you so bullish on $SG? Just curious. I’m still holding a ton of $UPWK since $11.80", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "moonman6577", "ret_m1d": -0.054147494297730914, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.054147494297730914, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05184100089744059, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05554757938894084, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023064934002903215, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0014000850912099239, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0011519901907788288, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0011519901907788288, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0017388640882258777, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01311698116139548, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028908542790047065, "bench_c_p1d": -0.011964990970616651, "ret_p1w": 0.020737251748036645, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.020737251748036645, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.005867851293401172, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.006798818577361088, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014869400454635473, "bench_c_p1w": 0.027536070325397732, "ret_p1m": -0.10483874334735277, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10483874334735277, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14273663806755654, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10962020778869452, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03789789472020377, "bench_c_p1m": 0.004781464441341754, "ret_p3m": -0.22926269331680882, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22926269331680882, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2865582647340089, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2470501942332909, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0572955714172001, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01778750091648207, "ret_p6m": -0.3629032240343498, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3629032240343498, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4224569233822867, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.35425918645513355, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05955369934793686, "bench_c_p6m": -0.00864403757921628, "price_path": [0.5253, 0.4493, 0.4562, 0.409, 0.4159, 0.4159, 0.4136, 0.477, 0.5357, 0.4597, 0.5726, 0.5657, 0.7143, 0.6763, 0.659, 0.6924, 0.6924, 0.5242, 0.5495, 0.5357, 0.5795, 0.5714, 0.5622, 0.4977, 0.5058, 0.5657, 0.6486, 0.6129, 0.7535, 0.8733, 0.6463, 0.7028, 0.5806, 0.5161, 0.5369, 0.4839, 0.3744, 0.4309, 0.4355, 0.4194, 0.4585, 0.1221, 0.1037, 0.1118, 0.1071, 0.0541, 0.0588, 0.0691, 0.0876, 0.0392, 0.0346, 0.076, 0.0484, 0.053, 0.0415, 0.0668, 0.0484, 0.0484, 0.015, 0.0265, 0.0069, 0.0288, -0.0541, 0.0, 0.0012, 0.0012, -0.0219, -0.0323, 0.0207, 0.0035, -0.0058, -0.0104, 0.0219, -0.0392, -0.0415, -0.0588, -0.0611, -0.076, -0.0806, -0.0703, -0.0645, -0.0507, -0.0864, -0.106, -0.1048, -0.0864, -0.1325, -0.1348, -0.1141, -0.1359, -0.1509, -0.1578, -0.144, -0.0645, -0.0899, -0.1429, -0.1498, -0.1659, -0.197, -0.2005, -0.2776, -0.2753, -0.2615, -0.2615, -0.2546, -0.28, -0.3341, -0.3744, -0.3975, -0.3813, -0.3157, -0.2949, -0.341, -0.3145, -0.303, -0.303, -0.2235, -0.2535, -0.2097, -0.2362, -0.2362, -0.2523, -0.2615, -0.235, -0.1993, -0.2051, -0.2293, -0.25, -0.2051, -0.1935, -0.1717, -0.1636, -0.1647, -0.2039, -0.2177, -0.1866, -0.2108, -0.2235, -0.2327, -0.1912, -0.1912, -0.197, -0.2189, -0.2477, -0.2212, -0.2212, -0.2016, -0.1982, -0.1578, -0.1601, -0.1164, -0.0991, -0.0968, -0.1106, -0.0864, -0.068, -0.0818, -0.0818, -0.1947, -0.2016, -0.1889, -0.1751, -0.2327, -0.2546, -0.2581, -0.2938, -0.2926, -0.2938, -0.2984, -0.25, -0.3214, -0.2995, -0.3502, -0.3767, -0.3906, -0.409, -0.4078, -0.4078, -0.3917, -0.3145, -0.3041, -0.3329, -0.3767, -0.3767, -0.3249, -0.2926, -0.3606, -0.379, -0.3859, -0.3629]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2008961193365688542", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-07T17:57:27+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I still really like it regardless since it's more of an inevitability minus execution uncertainty, just need to wait it out for a year or two", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Still long AAOI over 1–2 years despite near-term headwinds; views upside as an inevitability.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Motorphy @B38B37 $AAOI is heavily tethered to $MSFT Maia and they just heavily lowered estimates (hence why $MRVL went down 4% today).\n\nI still really like it regardless since it’s more of an inevitability minus execution uncertainty, just need to wait it out for a year or two.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @B38B37 What do you think of AAOI, hasn't been performing but people grouping them together.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Motorphy", "ret_m1d": 0.014584162415584023, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.014584162415584023, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.011350381995274272, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011350381995274272, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003233780420309751, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003233780420309751, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.1325713294753651, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.1325713294753651, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.13246979679337934, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.13246979679337934, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00010153268198576093, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00010153268198576093, "ret_p1w": -0.09420573001506638, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09420573001506638, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09533678989201311, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09533678989201311, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0011310598769467273, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0011310598769467273, "ret_p1m": 0.001970851723505307, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.001970851723505307, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.019314746112475634, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.019314746112475634, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017343894388970327, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017343894388970327, "ret_p3m": 1.8235447664318674, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.8235447664318674, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.8653825328264668, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.8653825328264668, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04183776639459935, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04183776639459935, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2866, -0.2353, -0.2516, -0.1341, -0.1817, -0.1612, -0.1029, -0.1223, -0.2123, -0.1749, -0.1063, -0.0219, -0.0311, -0.0677, -0.0784, -0.0656, -0.1318, -0.2248, -0.172, -0.2353, -0.2492, -0.332, -0.3759, -0.3709, -0.4505, -0.4359, -0.4316, -0.4511, -0.4516, -0.4878, -0.4592, -0.4095, -0.4027, -0.3281, -0.3281, -0.2963, -0.3029, -0.3163, -0.326, -0.3105, -0.3013, -0.2684, -0.2017, -0.0808, -0.0456, -0.1575, -0.2143, -0.239, -0.2868, -0.2314, -0.177, 0.0273, 0.0679, 0.0774, 0.0774, -0.0233, -0.0343, -0.0535, -0.084, -0.084, 0.0406, -0.0805, 0.0146, 0.0, -0.1326, -0.1055, -0.1139, -0.1018, -0.0942, -0.0277, -0.0267, -0.0267, 0.0317, 0.0085, 0.0025, -0.0614, -0.0832, -0.0175, 0.1885, 0.0398, 0.146, 0.1604, 0.2119, 0.0485, 0.002, 0.1641, 0.259, 0.2742, 0.2718, 0.156, 0.1683, 0.1683, 0.1539, 0.1415, 0.2345, 0.358, 0.4179, 0.4786, 0.5273, 0.4109, 1.2134, 1.6937, 1.5053, 1.6202, 1.6577, 1.5116, 1.9068, 2.1662, 2.3375, 1.7904, 1.5439, 1.4719, 1.2686, 1.4341, 1.6782, 1.3004, 1.5164, 1.993, 2.0064, 1.56, 1.5807, 1.2386, 1.2228, 1.2691, 1.7305, 1.7305, 1.8235, 2.0913, 2.4871, 2.5028, 2.9574, 3.0255, 2.8468, 2.7459, 3.134, 3.1892, 3.2956, 2.9566, 2.9264, 2.6192, 3.2615, 2.8308, 2.6069, 3.016, 3.319, 3.8222, 3.5455, 3.745, 3.6916, 3.1401, 2.9138, 3.8588, 3.9476, 4.8626, 4.3494, 4.0022, 3.5529, 3.5022, 3.3427, 3.6462, 3.7692, 3.7692, 3.6675, 3.7255, 3.4415, 3.1627, 3.1627, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1980122641471308280", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-20T04:03:21+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Hence why I'm comfortable with $TSM and related semis or AI buildout $NBIS", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Comfortable holding TSM and NBIS; geopolitical risk of Taiwan invasion is overstated under US security umbrella.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Not really. China won’t invade Taiwan under Trump administration or others since $TSM is one of the largest national security risks to United States.\n\nThere’s a reason US doesn’t have universal healthcare and any country that might invade would find out why + get flattened to the ground.\n\nHence why I’m comfortable with $TSM and related semis or AI buildout $NBIS", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00880086477946096, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00880086477946096, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0014925541696030331, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0014925541696030331, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010293418949063993, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010293418949063993, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01071542729821462, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01071542729821462, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010700522816738833, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010700522816738833, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4904481475785936e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -1.4904481475785936e-05, "ret_p1w": 0.0018475621075773052, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0018475621075773052, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.018918129568260555, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.018918129568260555, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02076569167583786, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02076569167583786, "ret_p1m": -0.06647626180585897, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06647626180585897, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.049762394566567614, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.049762394566567614, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016713867239291358, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016713867239291358, "ret_p3m": 0.15069639711988936, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15069639711988936, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11645613980453207, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.11645613980453207, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03424025731535729, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03424025731535729, "ret_p6m": 0.283133739108439, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.283133739108439, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.24274305150161601, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.24274305150161601, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04039068760682296, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04039068760682296, "price_path": [-0.1952, -0.191, -0.1776, -0.1871, -0.1919, -0.1866, -0.1909, -0.2124, -0.1997, -0.2216, -0.2253, -0.1876, -0.1902, -0.1894, -0.182, -0.1915, -0.193, -0.2001, -0.1916, -0.2208, -0.2345, -0.2388, -0.2198, -0.2111, -0.2006, -0.1987, -0.2021, -0.2269, -0.2269, -0.2352, -0.2252, -0.2124, -0.1849, -0.1723, -0.1598, -0.1279, -0.133, -0.1316, -0.1248, -0.1197, -0.1173, -0.0976, -0.1103, -0.0842, -0.0504, -0.0571, -0.0707, -0.0818, -0.0822, -0.0618, -0.031, -0.0322, -0.0185, 0.0158, -0.0123, 0.0229, 0.0073, -0.0572, 0.0174, -0.0059, 0.0235, 0.0072, -0.0088, 0.0, -0.0107, -0.0296, -0.0234, -0.0092, 0.0018, 0.0129, 0.0248, 0.0185, 0.0092, 0.0241, -0.0123, -0.0136, -0.0284, -0.0376, -0.0082, -0.0219, -0.0238, -0.0521, -0.0433, -0.0527, -0.0665, -0.0515, -0.0679, -0.076, -0.0439, -0.0437, -0.026, -0.026, -0.0208, -0.0337, -0.0188, -0.0076, -0.016, -0.01, 0.014, 0.0192, 0.0418, 0.0268, -0.0164, -0.0308, -0.0338, -0.0672, -0.0412, -0.0268, -0.0122, 0.0002, 0.0064, 0.0064, 0.02, 0.0135, 0.009, 0.0235, 0.0235, 0.0765, 0.0854, 0.1028, 0.0734, 0.0711, 0.09, 0.1175, 0.1156, 0.1018, 0.1507, 0.1533, 0.1533, 0.1019, 0.0984, 0.1026, 0.1279, 0.1206, 0.1396, 0.1529, 0.1437, 0.1134, 0.1498, 0.1309, 0.0971, 0.1139, 0.175, 0.1971, 0.219, 0.26, 0.2398, 0.234, 0.234, 0.2267, 0.2201, 0.2138, 0.248, 0.2464, 0.2993, 0.3059, 0.2692, 0.2616, 0.2432, 0.1894, 0.2039, 0.1919, 0.1414, 0.1745, 0.1691, 0.1942, 0.1341, 0.1395, 0.1459, 0.1686, 0.1469, 0.1443, 0.1121, 0.1432, 0.1594, 0.1746, 0.1015, 0.1036, 0.069, 0.1415, 0.1534, 0.1452, 0.1452, 0.1543, 0.1664, 0.2359, 0.2345, 0.2518, 0.2483, 0.2831]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1980122641471308280", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-20T04:03:21+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Hence why I'm comfortable with $TSM and related semis or AI buildout $NBIS", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Comfortable holding TSM and NBIS; geopolitical risk of Taiwan invasion is overstated under US security umbrella.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Not really. China won’t invade Taiwan under Trump administration or others since $TSM is one of the largest national security risks to United States.\n\nThere’s a reason US doesn’t have universal healthcare and any country that might invade would find out why + get flattened to the ground.\n\nHence why I’m comfortable with $TSM and related semis or AI buildout $NBIS", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04073396735235102, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04073396735235102, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05102738630141501, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.051917693225524975, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010293418949063993, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011183725873173955, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.043302763492689245, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.043302763492689245, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04328785901121346, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.046829967539421924, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4904481475785936e-05, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0035272040467326793, "ret_p1w": 0.15073394775390625, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.15073394775390625, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1299682560780684, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14281927338018385, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02076569167583786, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007914674373722397, "ret_p1m": -0.16935778976580418, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16935778976580418, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15264392252651282, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13124699608279966, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016713867239291358, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03811079368300452, "ret_p3m": -0.046926585906142515, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.046926585906142515, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08116684322149981, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04990505064625661, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03424025731535729, "bench_c_p3m": 0.002978464740114095, "ret_p6m": 0.4856880957927179, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4856880957927179, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4452974081858949, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.47647862917762884, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04039068760682296, "bench_c_p6m": 0.009209466615089035, "price_path": [-0.524, -0.5215, -0.5287, -0.5161, -0.5376, -0.5294, -0.5006, -0.5229, -0.503, -0.4939, -0.4946, -0.4008, -0.369, -0.3556, -0.3089, -0.352, -0.3719, -0.3429, -0.3345, -0.3836, -0.381, -0.3928, -0.3672, -0.3576, -0.3534, -0.3569, -0.3391, -0.3732, -0.3732, -0.3971, -0.3977, -0.4045, -0.3994, -0.4123, -0.1218, -0.1432, -0.1817, -0.1706, -0.1655, -0.1795, -0.1369, -0.1365, -0.0889, -0.022, -0.011, 0.0388, -0.0097, -0.0119, 0.0112, 0.03, 0.0606, 0.1548, 0.1741, 0.1462, 0.0798, 0.1193, 0.2169, 0.1888, 0.2428, 0.1757, 0.1544, 0.1288, 0.0407, 0.0, -0.0433, -0.0952, -0.0261, 0.0758, 0.1507, 0.1177, 0.1477, 0.1393, 0.2002, 0.1052, 0.0141, 0.0734, 0.004, 0.0209, 0.0087, -0.0622, -0.1343, -0.1869, -0.2336, -0.2112, -0.1694, -0.1278, -0.2235, -0.2361, -0.1569, -0.1846, -0.1313, -0.1313, -0.1296, -0.0812, -0.1151, -0.0925, -0.0569, -0.1006, -0.0795, -0.1155, -0.1414, -0.135, -0.1955, -0.2556, -0.2573, -0.3078, -0.2836, -0.1793, -0.1447, -0.174, -0.1639, -0.1639, -0.1964, -0.2106, -0.2186, -0.2321, -0.2321, -0.1748, -0.1483, -0.0804, -0.1173, -0.1073, -0.1016, -0.0153, -0.0328, -0.0644, -0.0469, -0.0025, -0.0025, -0.0891, -0.0929, -0.1115, -0.133, -0.1609, -0.1021, -0.0786, -0.1293, -0.2184, -0.1912, -0.1748, -0.2441, -0.3223, -0.2101, -0.1479, -0.1579, -0.1871, -0.1768, -0.1008, -0.1008, -0.1053, -0.0661, -0.0128, -0.1017, -0.077, -0.0589, -0.0264, -0.0378, -0.1634, -0.165, -0.2037, -0.1029, -0.1225, -0.1805, -0.129, -0.1153, 0.0275, -0.0088, 0.0362, 0.1913, 0.0672, 0.0877, 0.1149, 0.0791, 0.0472, 0.0542, 0.0559, -0.0278, -0.075, -0.1536, -0.0481, -0.0647, -0.0017, -0.0017, 0.0325, 0.0771, 0.1468, 0.2507, 0.33, 0.418, 0.4857]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1998928344365281601", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-11T01:30:30+00:00", "symbol": "ORCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "OpenAI does not have the funds at the moment to fulfill its obligations and it's looking less likely to get it", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long CIFR and NBIS on locked-in Google/Amazon/Meta/Microsoft contracts; ORCL risky due to OpenAI tenant funding uncertainty; market mispricing creates buying opportunity in CIFR/NBIS.", "resolved_tickers": ["ORCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The AI DC sector is extremely nuanced. \n\n$ORCL is building capacity from debt based on backlog/credit worthiness of OpenAI which is the tenant.\n\nOpenAI does not have the funds at the moment to fulfill its obligations and it's looking less likely to get it. \n\n$CIFR is building out for $GOOGL, $AMZN.\n\nGoogle/Amazon does have the funds and these contracts are locked in.\n\n$NBIS is building out for $META, $MSFT.\n\nMicrosoft/Meta does have the funds and these contracts are locked in for capacity.\n\nBut the market is currently treating all the backlog like it comes from OpenAI (unsustainable build) which is why it's a good opportunity to buy into mispricing of individual components of the sector.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I thought given the strong backlog ORCL posted, it would bode well for neocloud sector. the demand is insatiable and for real", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "user889889", "ret_m1d": 0.12149852071919609, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.12149852071919609, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12382006673256762, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12382006673256762, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04465683155963751, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04465683155963751, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03390486263210357, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03390486263210357, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "ret_p1w": -0.09464432407058543, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09464432407058543, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0762163344822272, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0762163344822272, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "ret_p1m": 0.0009794444821900061, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0009794444821900061, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.009106477213884467, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.009106477213884467, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "ret_p3m": -0.2466939309339543, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2466939309339543, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.23219969930556417, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.23219969930556417, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "bench_c_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.5168, 0.5394, 0.5131, 0.4891, 0.5495, 0.6474, 0.5755, 0.5485, 0.4625, 0.423, 0.4195, 0.4119, 0.4509, 0.4497, 0.4365, 0.4638, 0.4269, 0.449, 0.4934, 0.4733, 0.549, 0.5036, 0.5269, 0.5741, 0.465, 0.3939, 0.3837, 0.3712, 0.4084, 0.4248, 0.4151, 0.4123, 0.3845, 0.2919, 0.3206, 0.2967, 0.248, 0.2588, 0.226, 0.2032, 0.2111, 0.1876, 0.1415, 0.0941, 0.1207, 0.1057, 0.1088, 0.1342, 0.0595, -0.0005, 0.0072, -0.0092, 0.0307, 0.0307, 0.0156, 0.0105, 0.0113, 0.0447, 0.0778, 0.0942, 0.1091, 0.1141, 0.1215, 0.0, -0.0447, -0.0701, -0.0513, -0.1025, -0.0946, -0.0346, -0.0024, -0.0177, -0.0068, -0.0068, -0.0043, -0.0175, -0.0082, -0.0198, -0.0198, -0.0158, -0.0315, -0.0256, -0.0302, -0.0463, 0.001, 0.032, 0.02, -0.0238, -0.0427, -0.0365, -0.0365, -0.0928, -0.1233, -0.1016, -0.1067, -0.0801, -0.1181, -0.1287, -0.1478, -0.1702, -0.1929, -0.2201, -0.2605, -0.3118, -0.2799, -0.2104, -0.1938, -0.2076, -0.211, -0.1925, -0.1925, -0.2237, -0.2126, -0.2107, -0.2533, -0.2875, -0.2631, -0.2543, -0.2421, -0.2669, -0.2475, -0.2487, -0.2317, -0.2195, -0.2287, -0.2358, -0.2467, -0.1775, -0.1975, -0.2179, -0.2136, -0.22, -0.229, -0.2158, -0.2453, -0.2218, -0.2583, -0.2637, -0.2799, -0.2958, -0.3001, -0.2582, -0.2677, -0.2619, -0.2619, -0.2662, -0.2781, -0.2756, -0.3025, -0.3013, -0.2126, -0.1752, -0.1408, -0.0976, -0.1142, -0.1015, -0.0833, -0.0513, -0.1081, -0.1232, -0.1249, -0.1603, -0.171, -0.1834, -0.1306, -0.0878, -0.0622, -0.0182, -0.0154, -0.0085, -0.0192, -0.0547, -0.0398, -0.0102, -0.0237, -0.0558, -0.0818, -0.0479, -0.0398, -0.0281, -0.0281, -0.0232, -0.0338, 0.0307, 0.1424, 0.1424, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1998928344365281601", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-11T01:30:30+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$CIFR is building out for $GOOGL, $AMZN. Google/Amazon does have the funds and these contracts are locked in", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long CIFR and NBIS on locked-in Google/Amazon/Meta/Microsoft contracts; ORCL risky due to OpenAI tenant funding uncertainty; market mispricing creates buying opportunity in CIFR/NBIS.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The AI DC sector is extremely nuanced. \n\n$ORCL is building capacity from debt based on backlog/credit worthiness of OpenAI which is the tenant.\n\nOpenAI does not have the funds at the moment to fulfill its obligations and it's looking less likely to get it. \n\n$CIFR is building out for $GOOGL, $AMZN.\n\nGoogle/Amazon does have the funds and these contracts are locked in.\n\n$NBIS is building out for $META, $MSFT.\n\nMicrosoft/Meta does have the funds and these contracts are locked in for capacity.\n\nBut the market is currently treating all the backlog like it comes from OpenAI (unsustainable build) which is why it's a good opportunity to buy into mispricing of individual components of the sector.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I thought given the strong backlog ORCL posted, it would bode well for neocloud sector. the demand is insatiable and for real", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "user889889", "ret_m1d": -0.021186421414757683, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.021186421414757683, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01886487540138615, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02632258029382384, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005136158879066155, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0969279663692395, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0969279663692395, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08617599744170557, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06800323317392509, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02892473319531441, "ret_p1w": -0.19756354385795827, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.19756354385795827, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.17913555426960004, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.15410886846950722, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "bench_c_p1w": -0.04345467538845105, "ret_p1m": -0.11917373411094168, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11917373411094168, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12925965580701615, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10837208280535737, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010801651305584303, "ret_p3m": -0.2605931854511724, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2605931854511724, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24609895382278224, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2065416019538463, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "bench_c_p3m": -0.05405158349732608, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4253, -0.3904, -0.3443, -0.3724, -0.3496, -0.2606, -0.2505, -0.2511, -0.3824, -0.3925, -0.33, -0.3332, -0.3326, -0.2685, -0.2214, -0.1875, -0.1658, -0.0678, -0.0471, -0.1012, 0.0773, 0.1065, 0.1139, -0.0085, -0.0064, 0.0546, -0.0426, -0.1467, -0.0861, 0.0943, 0.0879, 0.0572, 0.0376, 0.0101, -0.0122, 0.2055, 0.1923, 0.3088, 0.1499, 0.0959, 0.0408, -0.0111, -0.0794, -0.2092, -0.2394, -0.2399, -0.2278, -0.2256, -0.2288, -0.2505, -0.1149, -0.072, 0.0143, 0.0143, 0.0779, 0.0429, -0.0657, -0.0132, 0.0503, 0.0212, 0.0318, 0.036, -0.0212, 0.0, -0.0969, -0.2193, -0.206, -0.2378, -0.1976, -0.1414, -0.1345, -0.1573, -0.1409, -0.1409, -0.1954, -0.2013, -0.2272, -0.2182, -0.2182, -0.1419, -0.0381, -0.071, -0.1483, -0.1234, -0.1192, -0.0636, -0.0334, -0.0397, -0.072, -0.0042, -0.0042, -0.0508, -0.0614, -0.0789, -0.0694, -0.1266, -0.0069, 0.0048, -0.0625, -0.1547, -0.1626, -0.1388, -0.2452, -0.3273, -0.2198, -0.1123, -0.0943, -0.1377, -0.1472, -0.1303, -0.1303, -0.1716, -0.1833, -0.1631, -0.224, -0.1939, -0.0932, -0.1202, -0.1271, -0.1737, -0.1653, -0.2209, -0.1504, -0.1976, -0.2786, -0.2421, -0.2606, -0.2526, -0.2738, -0.2542, -0.1981, -0.2007, -0.223, -0.2246, -0.2579, -0.2113, -0.2119, -0.1589, -0.2399, -0.272, -0.3636, -0.3183, -0.3305, -0.321, -0.321, -0.2929, -0.2579, -0.1833, -0.1335, -0.1245, -0.0593, -0.0228, -0.0466, -0.0816, 0.026, 0.0217, -0.0445, 0.0297, -0.0101, -0.036, -0.0381, -0.0858, -0.1038, -0.0604, -0.0975, -0.0524, 0.1706, 0.1605, 0.0956, 0.0885, 0.0742, 0.0625, 0.125, 0.1806, 0.0768, 0.0127, -0.0042, 0.0318, 0.1398, 0.1637, 0.1637, 0.2193, 0.3326, 0.3024, 0.2526, 0.2526, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1998928344365281601", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-12-11T01:30:30+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS is building out for $META, $MSFT. Microsoft/Meta does have the funds and these contracts are locked in for capacity", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long CIFR and NBIS on locked-in Google/Amazon/Meta/Microsoft contracts; ORCL risky due to OpenAI tenant funding uncertainty; market mispricing creates buying opportunity in CIFR/NBIS.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The AI DC sector is extremely nuanced. \n\n$ORCL is building capacity from debt based on backlog/credit worthiness of OpenAI which is the tenant.\n\nOpenAI does not have the funds at the moment to fulfill its obligations and it's looking less likely to get it. \n\n$CIFR is building out for $GOOGL, $AMZN.\n\nGoogle/Amazon does have the funds and these contracts are locked in.\n\n$NBIS is building out for $META, $MSFT.\n\nMicrosoft/Meta does have the funds and these contracts are locked in for capacity.\n\nBut the market is currently treating all the backlog like it comes from OpenAI (unsustainable build) which is why it's a good opportunity to buy into mispricing of individual components of the sector.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I thought given the strong backlog ORCL posted, it would bode well for neocloud sector. the demand is insatiable and for real", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "user889889", "ret_m1d": -0.007318651361265971, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007318651361265971, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004997105347894437, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009544508151134945, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002225856789868974, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06989813770911646, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06989813770911646, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05914616878158252, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06767234665436428, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0022257910547521798, "ret_p1w": -0.1717225567567725, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1717225567567725, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.15329456716841428, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.16881187152011068, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002910685236661825, "ret_p1m": 0.03871448422929347, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03871448422929347, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.028628562533218993, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.026029578740943693, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012684905488349774, "ret_p3m": 0.022804428868438142, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.022804428868438142, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.037298660496828284, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.01467154874805865, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "bench_c_p3m": 0.008132880120379493, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0352, -0.0514, -0.0021, -0.0017, 0.0534, 0.1307, 0.1434, 0.201, 0.1449, 0.1423, 0.1691, 0.1908, 0.2262, 0.3351, 0.3574, 0.3252, 0.2484, 0.294, 0.4069, 0.3744, 0.4368, 0.3592, 0.3346, 0.305, 0.2032, 0.1561, 0.1061, 0.046, 0.126, 0.2437, 0.3304, 0.2922, 0.3269, 0.3171, 0.3876, 0.2778, 0.1725, 0.241, 0.1608, 0.1803, 0.1662, 0.0842, 0.0008, -0.0599, -0.1139, -0.088, -0.0397, 0.0084, -0.1022, -0.1169, -0.0252, -0.0573, 0.0043, 0.0043, 0.0063, 0.0623, 0.023, 0.0492, 0.0904, 0.0399, 0.0642, 0.0226, -0.0073, 0.0, -0.0699, -0.1394, -0.1414, -0.1997, -0.1717, -0.0511, -0.0111, -0.0451, -0.0334, -0.0334, -0.071, -0.0874, -0.0966, -0.1122, -0.1122, -0.0459, -0.0154, 0.0632, 0.0205, 0.032, 0.0387, 0.1384, 0.1183, 0.0817, 0.1019, 0.1533, 0.1533, 0.0531, 0.0487, 0.0273, 0.0023, -0.0299, 0.0381, 0.0652, 0.0067, -0.0964, -0.0649, -0.0459, -0.1261, -0.2165, -0.0868, -0.0148, -0.0264, -0.0601, -0.0483, 0.0396, 0.0396, 0.0344, 0.0798, 0.1414, 0.0386, 0.0671, 0.088, 0.1256, 0.1124, -0.0328, -0.0347, -0.0793, 0.0371, 0.0145, -0.0525, 0.007, 0.0228, 0.1879, 0.1459, 0.198, 0.3773, 0.2339, 0.2575, 0.2889, 0.2476, 0.2108, 0.2188, 0.2207, 0.124, 0.0694, -0.0214, 0.1006, 0.0814, 0.1542, 0.1542, 0.1937, 0.2452, 0.3258, 0.446, 0.5377, 0.6394, 0.7176, 0.7689, 0.7537, 0.6667, 0.6882, 0.6605, 0.6561, 0.6661, 0.5609, 0.5375, 0.4373, 0.4976, 0.4662, 0.6386, 0.8712, 0.8659, 1.0693, 0.9598, 0.8779, 0.9739, 0.8998, 1.1985, 1.3457, 1.3328, 1.1199, 1.0973, 1.0346, 1.3327, 1.278, 1.278, 1.2068, 1.2101, 1.4007, 1.4511, 1.4511, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1960075780383498312", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-08-25T20:24:17+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "HIMS is an easy buy + hold at $42. Short interest ⏫ to 34.59% of float and ~$3 Billion + USD / 9.7B market cap company. Growth will ultimately screw the short position.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long HIMS at $42; high short interest + unpriced Zava European customers + strong revenue growth will force short squeeze.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$HIMS is an easy buy + hold at $42. Short interest ⏫ to 34.59% of float and ~$3 Billion + USD / 9.7B market cap company.\n\nHedge funds shorting a profitable, growth company like $HIMS while $IONQ and $OKLO — both with 0 revenue, 10B+ market caps is the definition of a stupid short. \n\nHIMS acquired 1.3M+ customers across Europe through the Zava acqusition, which forecasts haven't priced in yet. Currently they're doing:\n\n- 2024 Revenue~$1.48 billion (up 69%)\n- TTM Revenue (mid-2025)~$2.01 billion (up ~88.7%)\n- Q2 2025 Revenue $544.8 million (+73% YoY).\n\nGrowth will ultimately screw the short position. \n\nTLDR: HIMS is an easy buy + hold until the shorts unwind.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.036752685616870506, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.036752685616870506, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03233226436094738, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03233226436094738, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004420421255923124, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004420421255923124, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05489641087491259, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05489641087491259, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05070937452502178, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05070937452502178, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004187036349890816, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004187036349890816, "ret_p1w": -0.014887257021584888, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.014887257021584888, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01890308695641829, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01890308695641829, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004015829934833404, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004015829934833404, "ret_p1m": 0.302628467401288, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.302628467401288, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2674846861078546, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2674846861078546, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03514378129343343, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03514378129343343, "ret_p3m": -0.21795771995225022, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21795771995225022, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23643201307430317, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23643201307430317, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.018474293122052954, "bench_c_p3m": 0.018474293122052954, "ret_p6m": -0.6215398971265189, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.6215398971265189, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.6904871252160978, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.6904871252160978, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06894722808957887, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06894722808957887, "price_path": [0.2408, 0.2189, 0.3157, 0.3205, 0.2731, 0.247, 0.2275, 0.3103, 0.3226, 0.2852, 0.3389, 0.3294, 0.2905, 0.3906, 0.378, 0.4206, 0.4206, 0.4938, -0.0235, -0.0009, -0.0368, 0.0765, 0.1493, 0.1596, 0.1156, 0.104, 0.1161, 0.1161, 0.1263, 0.1389, 0.1919, 0.1693, 0.114, 0.2103, 0.1738, 0.2061, 0.1628, 0.1719, 0.1072, 0.1633, 0.3496, 0.3333, 0.341, 0.365, 0.402, 0.5243, 0.5394, 0.455, 0.4736, 0.2915, 0.1893, 0.1875, 0.2082, 0.1626, 0.1156, 0.1242, 0.0963, 0.0705, 0.0491, -0.0188, 0.0091, 0.0226, 0.0368, 0.0, 0.0549, 0.0237, 0.0263, -0.0149, -0.0149, -0.034, 0.0342, 0.1191, 0.1261, 0.1547, 0.1117, 0.1114, 0.204, 0.291, 0.2552, 0.1838, 0.1712, 0.3073, 0.345, 0.3422, 0.3026, 0.2387, 0.2763, 0.3585, 0.3752, 0.3194, 0.3098, 0.3461, 0.2221, 0.2738, 0.3485, 0.3531, 0.355, 0.2549, 0.2731, 0.2566, 0.4599, 0.3759, 0.1579, 0.1947, 0.1482, 0.104, 0.1279, 0.1347, 0.1219, 0.0961, 0.0847, 0.0249, 0.0575, 0.0326, -0.0047, 0.0172, -0.0342, -0.0456, -0.0451, -0.0754, -0.0923, -0.1614, -0.1398, -0.1724, -0.1565, -0.1666, -0.218, -0.1926, -0.1212, -0.1372, -0.1068, -0.1068, -0.0751, -0.1275, -0.1554, -0.1377, -0.0691, -0.0882, -0.09, -0.0737, -0.1189, -0.1214, -0.1344, -0.1568, -0.1426, -0.1866, -0.1912, -0.1728, -0.1847, -0.1905, -0.1935, -0.1935, -0.2019, -0.2068, -0.2314, -0.2447, -0.2447, -0.2228, -0.1926, -0.1752, -0.1752, -0.2121, -0.2629, -0.2477, -0.251, -0.2715, -0.2736, -0.2701, -0.2701, -0.2912, -0.328, -0.2901, -0.311, -0.2957, -0.3096, -0.3331, -0.3052, -0.3699, -0.385, -0.4059, -0.4324, -0.4538, -0.4645, -0.5504, -0.599, -0.6118, -0.6325, -0.6208, -0.6208, -0.6215]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2005485130958430440", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-29T03:44:49+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The entire AI buildout is dependent on some random $700m company that serves as both the bottleneck of a bottleneck and the bottleneck.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AXTI and SMTOY as the InP substrate duopoly bottlenecking the entire AI optical interconnect buildout; AXTI also controls upstream laser-grade feedstock.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"Bottleneck within a Bottleneck\": Indium Phosphide\n\n$AXTI | $SMTOY is a duopoly. \n\nThey control 60%+ of the world's InP substrates as the bottleneck of the AI buildout. \n\nWhat's even more alarming? This is dependent on: Indium Phosphide.\n\nInP is a Monopoly. 78% control by $AXTI / China. \n\nHere's the bottleneck within a bottleneck:\n\nThe InP substrates is already a duopoly between Japanese and Chinese entities. However, upstream production of laser-grade feedstock required by companies like Sumitomo is dominated by $AXTI (again) and  Chinese companies. \n\nHere's the major issue:\n\nThe AI industry is extremely reliant on photonics to scale. Whether,  transceivers are \"InP-based\" or \"Silicon-based\" the photon source remains: Indium Phosphide. \n\nAs AI clusters move from 10,000 to 100,000+ GPUs, the \"copper bottleneck\" is forcing a total shift to optical interconnects. This makes InP more critical to AI scaling than almost any other single material.\n\nOn top of that, laser-grade feedstock must be at least 6N (99.9999%) pure. Even trace amounts of impurities (Silicon, Sulfur, Zinc), cannot be used like they do in other segments like LED. And most research probably confuses laser-grade feedstock with regular InP outputs.  \n\nSumitomo is arguably the most famous name in the InP substrate market. They hold a massive market share in the high-end laser substrate segment. Yet trade data suggest they are increasingly reliant on external feedstock for Indium Phosphide from companies like $DOWA and from China. (They're likely still included in feedstock ownership lists bc of captive recycling and reserves)\n\nSo if the entire Western AI buildout feels safe regarding a Japanese company as a duopoly, think again. \n\nThe source of the bottleneck is bottlenecked by Chinese suppliers like $AXTI and Chinese companies. \n\nIf we look at production there's are estimates from deep research breakdown of estimate controls:\n\nVital Materials - 35% (Merchant)\n- Vital acquired Fanya Metal Exchange inventory (3,600 tonnes of Indium) in 2020 gave them large control over the global Indium market. They have leveraged this to become the largest producer of InP polycrystal. Dominant cost leader; controls raw Indium supply (Fanya stocks).\n\n$AXTI - 25% (Beijing Tongmei Xtal Technology)\n- Primarily Captive.  Most of their polycrystal production is consumed by their own crystal  growth furnaces to make wafers. However, they also sell raw materials  and compounds to the merchant market, making them a hybrid player.\n\nThey're the only company in the world that goes from mines, refineries -> InP substrate output, which is an absolutely crazy bottleneck given they own both the raw materials into InP substrate controls. Feeds own wafer production; key non-Japan source.\n\nZhuzhou Keneng New Material - 18%\n\n- Keneng has achieved \"mass production of polycrystalline indium phosphide\" and possesses \"highly integrated automatic polycrystalline production  capacity\". They are a key recipient of China's export quotas for Indium.  Pure-play synthesis specialist; major exporter.\n\nThen Outside:\n\n$DOWA - 12%\n\n- The biggest supplier out of any Western company (yeah Japanese). Deep roots in mining (Akita Zinc), so they're the leading  supplier of high-purity metal organics and compounds.\n\nThe \"source\" for Japan Inc. (Sumitomo, JX)\n\nWafer Technology Ltd - 5%\n- A subsidiary of IQE plc. Critical strategic asset for NATO-aligned supply chains that require non-Chinese feedstock, even though they're going through asset liquidations right now. \n\nInPACT (France) - 3%\n\n- InPACT states they produce polycrystalline ingots via Horizontal Gradient Freeze (HGF) using high-pressure synthesis so they meet requirements from (Nokia, Ericsson) and some European defense sectors.\n\nRest of World - 2%\n\nThis includes major substrate makers (Coherent, Sumitomo), small-scale research production, and emerging players in Korea or Taiwan who are attempting  to break the monopoly.\n\nThe reality is that 78% of the global capacity for laser-grade InP feedstock is located in China.\n\nThe demand for optical components already exceeds supply/production by multiple factors. This is pre-ramp too. The entire AI buildout is bottlenecked by two companies. \n\nBut 1/4th of the materials comes from: $AXTI. And ~1/3rd of InP Substrate outputs again comes from laser-grade feedstock.\n\nThe entire AI buildout is dependent on some random $700m company that serves as both the bottleneck of a bottleneck and the bottleneck. \n\nIt's both national security issue to scale up InP production both for substrate and laser-grade feedstock.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Warning: The entire AI industry will likely be bottlenecked by two companies:\n\n1. $AXTI ($700M) \n2. $SMTOY ($31.7B)\n\nWhich both control 60–70%+ of the world's InP substrates.\n\nFuture $NVDA, $GOOGL TPU v7 pods, $META, $MSFT, $AMZN hyperscaler clusters require InP-based lasers and https://t.co/8mqrgONJbb", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.053461255984486034, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.053461255984486034, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04988488291347637, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.048930919268866724, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003576373071009664, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00453033671561931, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0829335178541688, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0829335178541688, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08415461858875106, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08540460299076469, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012211007345822589, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0024710851365958852, "ret_p1w": 0.14256339286858166, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.14256339286858166, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14275237698110377, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10582633129221697, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0001889841125221059, "bench_c_p1w": 0.036737061576364693, "ret_p1m": 0.17888969040816738, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.17888969040816738, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1677826029700944, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.060716082998414356, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011107087438072982, "bench_c_p1m": 0.11817360740975302, "ret_p3m": 3.010280857410069, "ret_signed_p3m": 3.010280857410069, "alpha_spy_p3m": 3.069884257700485, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.9646203723246023, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.05960340029041622, "bench_c_p3m": 0.045660485085466496, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6635, -0.6779, -0.6484, -0.6299, -0.6361, -0.6361, -0.6415, -0.7238, -0.6847, -0.6868, -0.6854, -0.6621, -0.6909, -0.6635, -0.6456, -0.6614, -0.645, -0.5846, -0.5757, -0.5476, -0.5154, -0.4983, -0.4551, -0.4202, -0.4147, -0.3763, -0.392, -0.3516, -0.2844, -0.2762, -0.2474, -0.2844, -0.2844, -0.2975, -0.3215, -0.3071, -0.3523, -0.3879, -0.3598, -0.3674, -0.2838, -0.2838, -0.2666, -0.2605, -0.194, -0.2132, -0.1707, -0.2063, -0.1289, 0.0254, 0.0631, 0.1227, 0.0151, 0.0164, -0.109, -0.1528, -0.0398, 0.0041, 0.0432, 0.0034, 0.0288, 0.0288, 0.0535, 0.0, 0.0829, 0.1206, 0.1206, 0.1487, 0.1426, 0.3825, 0.6525, 0.7704, 0.5757, 0.5243, 0.4743, 0.5147, 0.7629, 0.5141, 0.5141, 0.4674, 0.3557, 0.2282, 0.1926, 0.22, 0.1789, 0.1535, 0.1227, 0.2707, 0.4352, 0.353, 0.2851, 0.4003, 0.6491, 0.9034, 0.669, 0.8369, 0.6991, 0.6614, 0.6614, 0.5908, 0.6134, 0.6319, 1.0343, 0.9486, 1.4044, 1.8081, 1.5442, 1.5977, 2.1748, 1.8622, 1.682, 1.6594, 1.2186, 1.6429, 2.0363, 2.2461, 2.2029, 2.3489, 2.3167, 2.0404, 2.342, 2.9815, 2.7176, 3.4167, 3.6909, 3.6162, 3.0103, 3.1556, 2.6141, 2.9054, 2.231, 2.6217, 2.6217, 1.878, 2.1158, 2.645, 3.3263, 3.3989, 3.5545, 3.6127, 3.3132, 4.6052, 4.6587, 4.3982, 4.1385, 4.9589, 4.159, 4.22, 3.8081, 3.7094, 3.8711, 4.4297, 5.5798, 6.2653, 6.3715, 6.1851, 6.4311, 6.9753, 7.623, 7.4236, 7.3578, 6.8807, 7.4839, 6.257, 6.7368, 6.17, 7.2947, 8.6525, 8.6525, 8.0884, 7.4147, 6.9301, 6.0706, 6.0706, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2005485130958430440", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-29T03:44:49+00:00", "symbol": "SMTOY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AXTI | $SMTOY is a duopoly. They control 60%+ of the world's InP substrates as the bottleneck of the AI buildout.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AXTI and SMTOY as the InP substrate duopoly bottlenecking the entire AI optical interconnect buildout; AXTI also controls upstream laser-grade feedstock.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMTOY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Parts'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Parts", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"Bottleneck within a Bottleneck\": Indium Phosphide\n\n$AXTI | $SMTOY is a duopoly. \n\nThey control 60%+ of the world's InP substrates as the bottleneck of the AI buildout. \n\nWhat's even more alarming? This is dependent on: Indium Phosphide.\n\nInP is a Monopoly. 78% control by $AXTI / China. \n\nHere's the bottleneck within a bottleneck:\n\nThe InP substrates is already a duopoly between Japanese and Chinese entities. However, upstream production of laser-grade feedstock required by companies like Sumitomo is dominated by $AXTI (again) and  Chinese companies. \n\nHere's the major issue:\n\nThe AI industry is extremely reliant on photonics to scale. Whether,  transceivers are \"InP-based\" or \"Silicon-based\" the photon source remains: Indium Phosphide. \n\nAs AI clusters move from 10,000 to 100,000+ GPUs, the \"copper bottleneck\" is forcing a total shift to optical interconnects. This makes InP more critical to AI scaling than almost any other single material.\n\nOn top of that, laser-grade feedstock must be at least 6N (99.9999%) pure. Even trace amounts of impurities (Silicon, Sulfur, Zinc), cannot be used like they do in other segments like LED. And most research probably confuses laser-grade feedstock with regular InP outputs.  \n\nSumitomo is arguably the most famous name in the InP substrate market. They hold a massive market share in the high-end laser substrate segment. Yet trade data suggest they are increasingly reliant on external feedstock for Indium Phosphide from companies like $DOWA and from China. (They're likely still included in feedstock ownership lists bc of captive recycling and reserves)\n\nSo if the entire Western AI buildout feels safe regarding a Japanese company as a duopoly, think again. \n\nThe source of the bottleneck is bottlenecked by Chinese suppliers like $AXTI and Chinese companies. \n\nIf we look at production there's are estimates from deep research breakdown of estimate controls:\n\nVital Materials - 35% (Merchant)\n- Vital acquired Fanya Metal Exchange inventory (3,600 tonnes of Indium) in 2020 gave them large control over the global Indium market. They have leveraged this to become the largest producer of InP polycrystal. Dominant cost leader; controls raw Indium supply (Fanya stocks).\n\n$AXTI - 25% (Beijing Tongmei Xtal Technology)\n- Primarily Captive.  Most of their polycrystal production is consumed by their own crystal  growth furnaces to make wafers. However, they also sell raw materials  and compounds to the merchant market, making them a hybrid player.\n\nThey're the only company in the world that goes from mines, refineries -> InP substrate output, which is an absolutely crazy bottleneck given they own both the raw materials into InP substrate controls. Feeds own wafer production; key non-Japan source.\n\nZhuzhou Keneng New Material - 18%\n\n- Keneng has achieved \"mass production of polycrystalline indium phosphide\" and possesses \"highly integrated automatic polycrystalline production  capacity\". They are a key recipient of China's export quotas for Indium.  Pure-play synthesis specialist; major exporter.\n\nThen Outside:\n\n$DOWA - 12%\n\n- The biggest supplier out of any Western company (yeah Japanese). Deep roots in mining (Akita Zinc), so they're the leading  supplier of high-purity metal organics and compounds.\n\nThe \"source\" for Japan Inc. (Sumitomo, JX)\n\nWafer Technology Ltd - 5%\n- A subsidiary of IQE plc. Critical strategic asset for NATO-aligned supply chains that require non-Chinese feedstock, even though they're going through asset liquidations right now. \n\nInPACT (France) - 3%\n\n- InPACT states they produce polycrystalline ingots via Horizontal Gradient Freeze (HGF) using high-pressure synthesis so they meet requirements from (Nokia, Ericsson) and some European defense sectors.\n\nRest of World - 2%\n\nThis includes major substrate makers (Coherent, Sumitomo), small-scale research production, and emerging players in Korea or Taiwan who are attempting  to break the monopoly.\n\nThe reality is that 78% of the global capacity for laser-grade InP feedstock is located in China.\n\nThe demand for optical components already exceeds supply/production by multiple factors. This is pre-ramp too. The entire AI buildout is bottlenecked by two companies. \n\nBut 1/4th of the materials comes from: $AXTI. And ~1/3rd of InP Substrate outputs again comes from laser-grade feedstock.\n\nThe entire AI buildout is dependent on some random $700m company that serves as both the bottleneck of a bottleneck and the bottleneck. \n\nIt's both national security issue to scale up InP production both for substrate and laser-grade feedstock.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Warning: The entire AI industry will likely be bottlenecked by two companies:\n\n1. $AXTI ($700M) \n2. $SMTOY ($31.7B)\n\nWhich both control 60–70%+ of the world's InP substrates.\n\nFuture $NVDA, $GOOGL TPU v7 pods, $META, $MSFT, $AMZN hyperscaler clusters require InP-based lasers and https://t.co/8mqrgONJbb", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.010583320055908785, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010583320055908785, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014159693126918449, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.020513043659877384, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003576373071009664, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009929723603968599, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005660830327095967, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005660830327095967, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004439729592513708, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00160625012094473, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012211007345822589, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004054580206151237, "ret_p1w": 0.05906959507970733, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05906959507970733, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05925857919222943, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06362068676922861, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0001889841125221059, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0045510916895212805, "ret_p1m": 0.09229633033268225, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09229633033268225, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08118924289460927, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0770708427010307, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011107087438072982, "bench_c_p1m": 0.015225487631651546, "ret_p3m": 0.43514643958624766, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.43514643958624766, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4947498398766639, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5327995387977692, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.05960340029041622, "bench_c_p3m": -0.09765309921152154, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3084, -0.3008, -0.2968, -0.2791, -0.2749, -0.2641, -0.257, -0.2897, -0.2801, -0.2926, -0.2759, -0.2638, -0.2594, -0.2488, -0.2653, -0.2825, -0.2582, -0.2555, -0.235, -0.225, -0.1971, -0.1479, -0.0967, -0.0911, -0.0396, -0.0418, -0.017, -0.0615, -0.0295, -0.0581, -0.0468, -0.016, 0.0017, 0.0192, -0.0625, -0.0564, -0.0305, -0.0881, -0.0864, -0.0357, -0.0386, -0.0386, -0.0342, 0.0071, 0.0406, 0.0829, 0.0549, 0.0628, 0.0908, 0.1186, 0.1009, 0.0743, 0.0251, 0.0473, -0.0111, -0.0121, -0.0281, 0.0052, 0.0566, 0.0445, 0.0303, 0.0303, -0.0106, 0.0, -0.0057, -0.0185, -0.0185, 0.0074, 0.0591, 0.0145, 0.0389, 0.0064, 0.0148, 0.0377, 0.0094, -0.0017, 0.0325, 0.0524, 0.0524, 0.0098, 0.0539, 0.0477, 0.0317, 0.0359, 0.0923, 0.13, 0.1058, 0.0765, 0.1036, 0.177, 0.2373, 0.1538, 0.2309, 0.3488, 0.3862, 0.4187, 0.3982, 0.4, 0.4, 0.41, 0.411, 0.4612, 0.5516, 0.5769, 0.7167, 0.7376, 0.5936, 0.6288, 0.6911, 0.6441, 0.6365, 0.5161, 0.4871, 0.4984, 0.5826, 0.6377, 0.5777, 0.5929, 0.6111, 0.4876, 0.4977, 0.5353, 0.4551, 0.4989, 0.5198, 0.5786, 0.4351, 0.4108, 0.3286, 0.3586, 0.4799, 0.4595, 0.4595, 0.4777, 0.4351, 0.6458, 0.6323, 0.6761, 0.5757, 0.5855, 0.4792, 0.5752, 0.5796, 0.5636, 0.5619, 0.6862, 0.57, 0.5727, 0.5279, 0.5336, 0.5356, 0.654, 0.5681, 0.5653, 0.6035, 0.6921, 0.7467, 0.8132, 0.8341, 0.7657, 1.0086, 0.8949, 0.7256, 0.7347, 0.6643, 0.6864, 0.7384, 0.8169, 0.8169, 0.8661, 0.874, 0.8806, 0.9134, 0.9134, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2006301094394335399", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-31T09:47:10+00:00", "symbol": "MRVL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the recent sell-off looks like a solid buying opportunity... even just estimating $7.72 EPS from ~$20.0B revenue, 30x P/E (they've traded 35-40 before), would be $231.60/share from $85 if you want to wait 2 years", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long MRVL: selloff on Trainium/Maia displacement rumors is misinterpreted noise; physical impossibility of mid-cycle swap, purchase orders in hand, $231 PT in 2 years on Maia 300 ramp alone.", "resolved_tickers": ["MRVL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Finally took a deeper look at $MRVL. \n\nMy first reaction: What are the markets and analysts/news smoking? \n\nRevenue derived from Maia ramp is literally double $MRVL's FY 2025 revenue. \n\nIf we look at the numbers, it's staggering: \n\nMarvell is modeled to take in $10-$12B in revenue (Fubon) in Microsoft Maia ramp in 2027. Alone.\n\nTo put that in perspective, Marvell's FY 2025 revenue was $5.77B. \n\nNo matter how I look at it, Marvell looks like a strong Broadcom competitor (after Celestial acqusition) and a terrific long.\n\nBut... The Information / Benchmark released news that:\n\n- Microsoft is negotiating with Broadcom to displace Marvell in future generations.\n- Amazon Trainium 3 and 4 designs went to Taiwanese competitor Alchip Technologies.\n\ncausing a massive selloff. \n\nAfter looking into it more, how is this even possible?\n\n\"Marvell Technology declines after Benchmark Equity Research downgrades the stock, citing a loss of Amazon’s AI chip business.\"\n\n\"Benchmark believes Marvell lost Amazon’s Trainium 3 and 4 designs to Alchip, despite Marvell’s recent forecast of strong data-center growth.\"\n\n- Trainium 3 production are locked to Marvell's design. You can't \"swap\" to Alchip without designing an entirely new chip from scratch.  If you want to share scope, sure but the wording is absolutely atrocious. \n\n$MRVL already secured Trainium 3 orders from $AMZN throughout 2026, why in the world would Amazon cancel them all and then go with a new vendor? \n\nThere can be different scope, additional design services, etc. but the framing from all the news sounds like $MRVL is being displaced. \n\nBenchmark itself later walked it back materially after causing damage (via more \"industry discussions\") and said Marvell did not lose Trainium 3/4 outright, but that Amazon added Alchip for additional design support while Marvell retains a position. \n\nBut the damage has already been done to stock price. \n\nAs for The Information report on $MSFT Maia loss to Broadcom this is sensational journalism. \n\nJP Morgan later literally came out and basically said it's all false, \"there has been no ASIC program share loss\".\n\nOn the Microsoft deal, markets completely missed the nuance between \"immediate displacement\" and \"future generation\" discussions. \n\nThe physics of this make an immediate swap impossible from Maia to Broadcom without incredible multiple-year delays.\n\nTo replace Marvell with Broadcom for the Maia 300 now would require scrapping the entire 2nm mask set, redesigning the I/O ring, and restarting a 3-year validation cycle. Marvell’s specific SerDes Is is also embedded in the chip’s I/O ring (retimers and switches comms). If Microsoft targets a 2027 ramp for Maia 300, the chip must be in validation phase by mid-to-late 2026. This implies the physical design is already frozen or nearing freeze today.\n\nA new ASIC design with $AVGO today (Dec 2025) would face this minimum timeline:\n\n- Architecture & RTL (12 months): Logic definition and IP selection.\n- Physical Design to tape ot (9-12 months)\n- Mask prod & Fab (3-5 months): TSMC 2nm cycle.\n- Post-Silicon validation (6-9 months)\nTotal Time: ~30–38 months.\n\nEven if this is sped up by many months, these \"Discussions with $AVGO \" not be ready for volume deployment until 2028 at the very earliest. To hit the 2027 ramp timelines, Microsoft must ship the Marvell design.\n\nThen there's Microsoft’s rack infrastructure uses Marvell’s \"Alaska\" retimers and DSPs in the cables.\n\nMicrosoft would have to:\n\n- Re-qualify the signal integrity of every cable and backplane in the rack.\n- Rip out Marvell retimers from the motherboard and replace them with Broadcom versions\n\nAs well as change their custom liquid-cooling rack  \"sidekick\", which was specified toward specific distribution of the $MRVL Maia chip’s floorplan. A $AVGO chip would have a completely different physical floorplan and thermal density and they'd need to regineer the rack.\n\nSo market are completely trolling if when they price in immediate displacement risk and trade on TMZ-style discussion gossip rumors that Microsoft wanted to explore options.  \n\n$MRVL CEO even went out and said they have \"purchase orders in hand\" for the entirety of the next year's forecast. 2026 forecasts are probably light because $AMZN and $MSFT both faced delays on their ramp. \n\nBut if you look at longer term Q4 2026 into 2027, we  just from their orders and Maia 300 alone: even just estimating $7.72 EPS from ~$20.0B revenue, 30x P/E (they've traded 35-40 before), would be $231.60/share from $85 if you want to wait 2 years. \n\nSo TLDR: The whole “replacement” theory is extremely completely misinterpreted and is just noise. Normally, I wouldn't write a whole post on it, but seeing The Information and other news pop up again, and again, spreading misinformation through sensational wording is just crazy.  \n\nThere's a physical impossibility of a mid-cycle swap and market misunderstanding of displacement. So the recent sell-off looks like a solid buying opportunity.\n\nAs for future discussions, of course any company would want vendor diversification. $MRVL can go do the same with $META MTAI future generations too if Meta wants to multi-source away from Broadcom. \n\nIf you model just by single project Maia 300 alone and ignore media noise, $MRVL looks incredibly promising.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02094621615740011, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02094621615740011, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01348194625181276, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01348194625181276, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007464269905587351, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007464269905587351, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.0040010171757624, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0040010171757624, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01523403974914761, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01523403974914761, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01123302257338521, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01123302257338521, "ret_p1m": -0.042144928489829314, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.042144928489829314, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.059918251910053066, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.059918251910053066, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017773323420223752, "bench_c_p1m": 0.017773323420223752, "ret_p3m": 0.034045455244131606, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.034045455244131606, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1047635968448355, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1047635968448355, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.07071814160070389, "bench_c_p3m": -0.07071814160070389, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0139, 0.0457, 0.0227, 0.0878, 0.0664, 0.0074, 0.0519, 0.0146, 0.046, 0.0382, 0.0349, 0.0101, -0.0085, -0.0462, -0.026, -0.01, 0.0439, 0.041, 0.0608, 0.0422, 0.1031, 0.0634, 0.0307, 0.0932, 0.0983, 0.0699, 0.0971, 0.0512, 0.0512, 0.0299, 0.0173, -0.018, -0.0741, -0.0431, -0.0977, -0.0886, -0.014, -0.0182, 0.0322, 0.0322, 0.052, 0.072, 0.0931, 0.1791, 0.1554, 0.1639, 0.0826, 0.0461, 0.0881, 0.0524, -0.0065, -0.0085, -0.0107, -0.0386, -0.006, -0.0105, -0.0021, 0.0318, 0.0178, 0.0178, 0.016, 0.0092, 0.0209, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0519, 0.0618, 0.0382, -0.004, -0.018, -0.02, -0.0239, -0.022, -0.0437, -0.0534, -0.0525, -0.0525, -0.0603, -0.0279, -0.0214, -0.0552, -0.0371, -0.0234, -0.0153, -0.0421, -0.0706, -0.0737, -0.1104, -0.1318, -0.1261, -0.0546, -0.0303, -0.0343, -0.0421, -0.0788, -0.0743, -0.0743, -0.0696, -0.0686, -0.0625, -0.064, -0.0839, -0.0769, -0.0471, -0.0663, -0.038, -0.0478, -0.0872, -0.0804, -0.1088, 0.0548, 0.091, 0.0987, 0.065, 0.0324, 0.0346, 0.0784, 0.0691, 0.0318, 0.0543, 0.0352, 0.0617, 0.0876, 0.1593, 0.1503, 0.1173, 0.034, 0.1664, 0.2566, 0.2613, 0.2613, 0.2896, 0.2881, 0.3478, 0.4123, 0.5138, 0.547, 0.5768, 0.5858, 0.5713, 0.6458, 0.7418, 0.7827, 0.8535, 0.9506, 0.9359, 0.864, 0.8053, 0.8447, 0.9458, 0.9434, 0.9282, 0.9882, 1.0282, 0.8852, 1.0044, 1.0128, 0.9381, 1.0966, 1.1511, 1.0841, 0.9903, 1.0768, 1.2008, 1.2467, 1.3131, 1.3131, 1.4537, 1.3411, 1.4133, 1.4153, 1.4153, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1998194002664075691", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-09T00:52:29+00:00", "symbol": "ALAB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ALAB is an amazing buy. Higher margins than $NVDA and growing triple digits Y/Y. It's already down from it's $250 high, great recovery buy.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Strong buy on ALAB as a recovery play off $250 high; higher margins than NVDA and triple-digit Y/Y growth justify shares here.", "resolved_tickers": ["ALAB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@IncrediBadly $ALAB is an amazing buy. Higher margins than $NVDA and growing triple digits Y/Y.  \n\nIt's already down from it's $250 high, great recovery buy. Around here probably wouldn't do options but shares can't hurt for waiting.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Any thoughts on ALAB? Was lucky enough to get in before the recent run up, but wondering now if it's just about where it should be in the short term.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "IncrediBadly", "ret_m1d": 0.05183147933446919, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05183147933446919, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.050967678649198156, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.053051003164338195, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0008638006852710323, "bench_c_m1d": -0.001219523829869007, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.016548954748302536, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.016548954748302536, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02318113229439145, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.030370141859345945, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006632177546088913, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01382118711104341, "ret_p1w": -0.13251136669267938, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.13251136669267938, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.12640634840790965, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08627830573349482, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.006105018284769725, "bench_c_p1w": -0.04623306095918456, "ret_p1m": -0.007840540724427192, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.007840540724427192, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.020398631814779633, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.054501845357746714, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012558091090352441, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04666130463331952, "ret_p3m": -0.286569334199715, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.286569334199715, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2738714102060873, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3211063320224087, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.01269792399362768, "bench_c_p3m": 0.034536997822693705, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3939, 0.3736, 0.3843, 0.4292, 0.4926, 0.5075, 0.4676, 0.4203, 0.3772, 0.2286, 0.2009, 0.1837, 0.1898, 0.1719, 0.1641, 0.2545, 0.2015, 0.3216, 0.2695, 0.3129, 0.3492, 0.2342, 0.1942, -0.0331, -0.0336, -0.0211, -0.0436, -0.0645, -0.0573, -0.0732, -0.0206, -0.0126, 0.0192, 0.007, 0.0391, 0.0148, 0.1173, 0.1465, 0.0732, 0.0889, -0.0254, -0.0095, 0.0399, 0.0028, -0.0556, -0.1353, -0.1361, -0.1538, -0.165, -0.15, -0.1663, -0.1513, -0.1157, -0.1335, -0.077, -0.077, -0.0569, -0.0113, -0.1445, -0.0873, -0.0872, -0.035, 0.0518, 0.0, -0.0165, 0.0396, -0.1091, -0.1402, -0.1325, -0.1606, -0.1269, -0.016, 0.0332, 0.0105, 0.0173, 0.0173, 0.0011, 0.0181, 0.0225, -0.0043, -0.0043, 0.0747, 0.0002, -0.0363, -0.0078, -0.0619, -0.0268, 0.0329, 0.0807, 0.0303, 0.0441, 0.0893, 0.0893, 0.0998, 0.0534, 0.0555, 0.0154, -0.0229, 0.023, 0.0049, -0.0396, -0.0985, -0.0876, -0.0512, -0.1341, -0.1452, 0.0166, 0.1232, 0.0944, -0.1399, -0.2424, -0.226, -0.226, -0.2597, -0.2244, -0.2062, -0.2238, -0.2325, -0.2315, -0.233, -0.2538, -0.2888, -0.2785, -0.3428, -0.3191, -0.2818, -0.2866, -0.268, -0.3028, -0.2536, -0.2824, -0.2799, -0.237, -0.2365, -0.2438, -0.2449, -0.3055, -0.2586, -0.2712, -0.2798, -0.3201, -0.3268, -0.3999, -0.344, -0.3636, -0.2989, -0.2989, -0.2938, -0.2878, -0.2491, -0.2252, -0.1079, -0.0017, 0.0211, 0.03, 0.0223, 0.0417, 0.0522, 0.149, 0.1615, 0.1823, 0.2739, 0.1769, 0.0971, 0.1782, 0.1655, 0.2131, 0.2045, 0.2909, 0.2803, 0.171, 0.1958, 0.241, 0.2235, 0.3412, 0.3684, 0.3926, 0.2903, 0.4619, 0.7206, 0.7826, 0.8367, 0.8367, 0.9076, 0.9472, 1.0898, 1.052, 1.052, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1949746557253030018", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-28T08:19:38+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I expect GOOGL to hit $220+ EOY if tech rally continues", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long GOOGL to $220+ EOY on blowout earnings and buybacks; still holding IBIT position with asymmetric upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "For WSB charts I posted: \n\nOn $GOOGL, realized profit was $101,428+, and lots of unrealized profit since I expect GOOGL to hit $220+ EOY if tech rally continues ( $META $APPL $AMZN $MSFT $NVDA $SPOT)    \n\nEarnings were a complete blowout and they still have 70B+ in buybacks https://t.co/G6jrKAyumE\n\n---\n\nOn the $IBIT WSB trade,  sitting on $44K+ or so unrealized profit after Friday's 3% drop.  \n\n$6557+ in realized profit just from selling covered calls in 2 months.   \n\nSame rate would be ~157K+ over 2 years.  Low risk, asymmetric upside, esp with $DJT buying 2B+ worth. https://t.co/BPa8uSvV1s\n\n---\n\nOn $HIMS, sold early only realized $70K gain but again a lot are unrealized profit. \n\nThese are just examples of shorter trades I post on WSB in a two-three month timeframe.\n\nMy most successful trades I haven't posted before on WSB. https://t.co/Tlhc9IxdY8", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0031154958595320803, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0031154958595320803, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00286423598453589, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0023029754465482277, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0002512598749961903, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005418471306080308, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01646070077374384, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01646070077374384, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.019098252992310605, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.025055663780900406, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0026375522185667633, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008594963007156564, "ret_p1w": 0.01277383479009564, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01277383479009564, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02183281630625955, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.002310423472536627, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009058981516163911, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010463411317559013, "ret_p1m": 0.07560493365197707, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07560493365197707, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06269945336486038, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.038609426753309695, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012905480287116688, "bench_c_p1m": 0.036995506898667374, "ret_p3m": 0.31533047587388663, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.31533047587388663, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2577388133723355, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.23487518952784825, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05759166250155112, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08045528634603838, "ret_p6m": 0.6746225423341983, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6746225423341983, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.6047159568901854, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.6074107364129677, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06990658544401285, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06721180592123055, "price_path": [-0.1764, -0.1634, -0.1493, -0.1483, -0.1534, -0.2149, -0.1998, -0.2078, -0.1782, -0.1726, -0.1423, -0.1496, -0.1381, -0.1363, -0.1495, -0.1258, -0.1138, -0.1263, -0.1263, -0.1033, -0.1061, -0.1087, -0.1093, -0.1233, -0.1381, -0.1284, -0.1276, -0.0992, -0.0856, -0.0726, -0.0791, -0.0877, -0.093, -0.0821, -0.0864, -0.1, -0.1, -0.1347, -0.1422, -0.134, -0.1137, -0.0989, -0.073, -0.0849, -0.0869, -0.0724, -0.0678, -0.0678, -0.082, -0.0946, -0.0829, -0.0777, -0.0643, -0.0572, -0.0549, -0.0499, -0.0467, -0.039, -0.0129, -0.0064, -0.0122, -0.0021, 0.0031, 0.0, 0.0165, 0.0205, -0.0035, -0.0179, 0.0128, 0.0109, 0.0182, 0.0205, 0.0459, 0.0437, 0.0559, 0.0487, 0.0538, 0.0588, 0.0567, 0.0467, 0.035, 0.0372, 0.0702, 0.0826, 0.0756, 0.0774, 0.099, 0.1056, 0.1056, 0.0975, 0.1977, 0.2063, 0.2203, 0.2164, 0.2454, 0.243, 0.2493, 0.2515, 0.3077, 0.3054, 0.2969, 0.3099, 0.3239, 0.3125, 0.308, 0.2845, 0.2774, 0.2813, 0.2684, 0.2635, 0.2728, 0.2769, 0.2752, 0.3016, 0.2773, 0.2714, 0.2553, 0.2295, 0.2689, 0.2757, 0.3047, 0.3069, 0.3165, 0.3334, 0.3017, 0.3081, 0.3153, 0.3509, 0.3995, 0.3901, 0.427, 0.4629, 0.4614, 0.4746, 0.4425, 0.4776, 0.4799, 0.4492, 0.5077, 0.514, 0.4901, 0.4478, 0.4366, 0.4813, 0.4775, 0.5218, 0.5044, 0.5574, 0.6558, 0.681, 0.6629, 0.6629, 0.6641, 0.6366, 0.6414, 0.6612, 0.6508, 0.6697, 0.6316, 0.649, 0.6653, 0.6249, 0.6085, 0.603, 0.5944, 0.5431, 0.573, 0.5974, 0.6111, 0.6348, 0.6335, 0.6335, 0.6305, 0.6307, 0.6322, 0.6278, 0.6278, 0.639, 0.6462, 0.6348, 0.6745, 0.6925, 0.7088, 0.7259, 0.7473, 0.7466, 0.7307, 0.7162, 0.7162, 0.6746]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1949746557253030018", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-07-28T08:19:38+00:00", "symbol": "IBIT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "sitting on $44K+ or so unrealized profit after Friday's 3% drop. Low risk, asymmetric upside", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long GOOGL to $220+ EOY on blowout earnings and buybacks; still holding IBIT position with asymmetric upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["IBIT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "For WSB charts I posted: \n\nOn $GOOGL, realized profit was $101,428+, and lots of unrealized profit since I expect GOOGL to hit $220+ EOY if tech rally continues ( $META $APPL $AMZN $MSFT $NVDA $SPOT)    \n\nEarnings were a complete blowout and they still have 70B+ in buybacks https://t.co/G6jrKAyumE\n\n---\n\nOn the $IBIT WSB trade,  sitting on $44K+ or so unrealized profit after Friday's 3% drop.  \n\n$6557+ in realized profit just from selling covered calls in 2 months.   \n\nSame rate would be ~157K+ over 2 years.  Low risk, asymmetric upside, esp with $DJT buying 2B+ worth. https://t.co/BPa8uSvV1s\n\n---\n\nOn $HIMS, sold early only realized $70K gain but again a lot are unrealized profit. \n\nThese are just examples of shorter trades I post on WSB in a two-three month timeframe.\n\nMy most successful trades I haven't posted before on WSB. https://t.co/Tlhc9IxdY8", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.011028284360616314, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011028284360616314, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011279544235612504, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.011279544235612504, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0002512598749961903, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0002512598749961903, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005812211602342354, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005812211602342354, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.003174659383775591, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.003174659383775591, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0026375522185667633, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0026375522185667633, "ret_p1w": -0.028315969733020085, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.028315969733020085, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.019256988216856175, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.019256988216856175, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009058981516163911, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009058981516163911, "ret_p1m": -0.05961251998452288, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05961251998452288, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07251800027163957, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07251800027163957, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012905480287116688, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012905480287116688, "ret_p3m": -0.0676601669757273, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0676601669757273, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12525182947727842, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12525182947727842, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05759166250155112, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05759166250155112, "ret_p6m": -0.24351714641081323, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.24351714641081323, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3134237318548261, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3134237318548261, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06990658544401285, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06990658544401285, "price_path": [-0.2025, -0.1811, -0.1775, -0.2007, -0.1957, -0.1851, -0.1413, -0.1258, -0.1374, -0.1115, -0.1246, -0.1256, -0.1177, -0.106, -0.0923, -0.0791, -0.0577, -0.0785, -0.0785, -0.0686, -0.094, -0.106, -0.1139, -0.1154, -0.0999, -0.1112, -0.1376, -0.1168, -0.0794, -0.0717, -0.0784, -0.0954, -0.1097, -0.079, -0.1133, -0.1212, -0.1212, -0.1256, -0.1256, -0.1049, -0.0868, -0.0888, -0.0951, -0.0878, -0.1082, -0.0697, -0.0732, -0.0732, -0.0849, -0.0787, -0.0525, -0.0387, 0.0016, 0.0161, -0.014, 0.0109, 0.0082, -0.0063, -0.0115, 0.0107, 0.0028, 0.0083, -0.011, 0.0, -0.0058, -0.0109, -0.0116, -0.0429, -0.0283, -0.038, -0.0237, -0.004, -0.0145, 0.008, 0.0127, 0.0408, -0.001, -0.0098, -0.0156, -0.0434, -0.0328, -0.0508, -0.0127, -0.0629, -0.0596, -0.0514, -0.0525, -0.0844, -0.0844, -0.0615, -0.0496, -0.0708, -0.0548, -0.0507, -0.0578, -0.0383, -0.0308, -0.0107, -0.0238, -0.0109, -0.0213, -0.0052, -0.0258, -0.0514, -0.055, -0.0399, -0.0745, -0.0769, -0.0317, -0.0313, -0.0054, 0.0249, 0.0404, 0.0624, 0.0303, 0.0441, 0.0244, -0.0134, -0.0192, -0.0475, -0.0586, -0.0845, -0.0988, -0.0621, -0.0538, -0.0878, -0.0677, -0.0636, -0.0271, -0.0389, -0.0648, -0.0999, -0.0715, -0.0979, -0.1478, -0.1219, -0.1466, -0.1225, -0.103, -0.1304, -0.1417, -0.1715, -0.2031, -0.2235, -0.2152, -0.244, -0.2703, -0.2851, -0.2463, -0.2614, -0.2395, -0.2395, -0.2317, -0.2772, -0.23, -0.214, -0.2174, -0.2446, -0.2322, -0.2124, -0.2177, -0.2235, -0.237, -0.2748, -0.2592, -0.2741, -0.2852, -0.2562, -0.2535, -0.2601, -0.2629, -0.2629, -0.2607, -0.2641, -0.2574, -0.2601, -0.2601, -0.2408, -0.2033, -0.2183, -0.2319, -0.2322, -0.2376, -0.227, -0.2016, -0.1738, -0.1952, -0.1917, -0.1917, -0.2435]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1983174546950943186", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-28T14:10:32+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I think $NBIS is way undervalued relative to forward potential", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "NBIS is way undervalued relative to its forward potential; hold/buy.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DannyPhantomTT @soulbiri1 I’d personally wait it out, I think $NBIS is way undervalued relative to forward potential", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @soulbiri1 Thanks for your call aswell, your conviction is inspiring\n\nI bought a random call near the bottom and not sure if I should sell cause it's so random🤣 https://t.co/QPN0aL0tEr", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DannyPhantomTT", "ret_m1d": 0.029549359107072126, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.029549359107072126, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03219832241986831, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0245741950790046, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002648963312796182, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004975164028067525, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02684065167790939, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02684065167790939, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.026360264638013664, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.029328167827136653, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004803870398957244, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0024875161492272646, "ret_p1w": -0.0926701202154091, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0926701202154091, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07546642127987246, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06033181749219574, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017203698935536638, "bench_c_p1w": -0.032338302723213364, "ret_p1m": -0.22276942445822412, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.22276942445822412, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.21202803457174269, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.20458448069194934, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010741389886481434, "bench_c_p1m": -0.018184943766274775, "ret_p3m": -0.22432899466712652, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22432899466712652, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23045153955164333, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23083650341973594, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006122544884516801, "bench_c_p3m": 0.006507508752609414, "ret_p6m": 0.28162190792849584, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.28162190792849584, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.24057798588324242, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2639601283207009, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04104392204525342, "bench_c_p6m": 0.017661779607794914, "price_path": [-0.5532, -0.5732, -0.5554, -0.5472, -0.5478, -0.4639, -0.4354, -0.4235, -0.3817, -0.4203, -0.4381, -0.4121, -0.4046, -0.4485, -0.4462, -0.4568, -0.4338, -0.4253, -0.4215, -0.4246, -0.4087, -0.4392, -0.4392, -0.4606, -0.4611, -0.4672, -0.4626, -0.4742, -0.2143, -0.2334, -0.2679, -0.2579, -0.2534, -0.2659, -0.2278, -0.2274, -0.1848, -0.125, -0.1152, -0.0706, -0.114, -0.116, -0.0953, -0.0785, -0.0511, 0.0332, 0.0505, 0.0255, -0.0339, 0.0014, 0.0887, 0.0636, 0.1119, 0.0519, 0.0328, 0.0099, -0.0689, -0.1053, -0.1441, -0.1905, -0.1286, -0.0375, 0.0295, 0.0, 0.0268, 0.0193, 0.0738, -0.0112, -0.0927, -0.0396, -0.1017, -0.0866, -0.0975, -0.161, -0.2255, -0.2725, -0.3143, -0.2943, -0.2568, -0.2197, -0.3053, -0.3166, -0.2457, -0.2705, -0.2228, -0.2228, -0.2213, -0.178, -0.2083, -0.188, -0.1562, -0.1953, -0.1765, -0.2087, -0.2318, -0.2261, -0.2802, -0.334, -0.3355, -0.3807, -0.359, -0.2657, -0.2348, -0.261, -0.252, -0.252, -0.281, -0.2938, -0.3009, -0.3129, -0.3129, -0.2617, -0.238, -0.1772, -0.2103, -0.2013, -0.1962, -0.119, -0.1346, -0.1629, -0.1473, -0.1075, -0.1075, -0.185, -0.1885, -0.205, -0.2243, -0.2493, -0.1967, -0.1757, -0.221, -0.3007, -0.2764, -0.2617, -0.3237, -0.3937, -0.2933, -0.2376, -0.2466, -0.2727, -0.2635, -0.1955, -0.1955, -0.1995, -0.1644, -0.1167, -0.1963, -0.1742, -0.158, -0.129, -0.1391, -0.2515, -0.253, -0.2875, -0.1974, -0.2149, -0.2668, -0.2207, -0.2085, -0.0807, -0.1132, -0.0729, 0.0658, -0.0451, -0.0268, -0.0025, -0.0346, -0.063, -0.0568, -0.0553, -0.1302, -0.1725, -0.2427, -0.1483, -0.1632, -0.1068, -0.1068, -0.0763, -0.0364, 0.026, 0.119, 0.1899, 0.2687, 0.3292, 0.3689, 0.3571, 0.2898, 0.3064, 0.285, 0.2816]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2000326999894855879", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-14T22:08:15+00:00", "symbol": "ZETA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it's a legitimate recovery but right now. Did the math earlier in cost structure + FCF boost from it", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish ZETA on cost structure improvements and FCF boost supporting a legitimate recovery.", "resolved_tickers": ["ZETA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@wealthmatica Eh don’t let the commenters scare you off, it’s a legitimate recovery but right now. Did the math earlier in cost structure + FCF boost from it \n\nhttps://t.co/vuJfLCh80l", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I’m sure there’s a thesis somewhere in there.\n\nI’m going back to $ZETA", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "wealthmatica", "ret_m1d": 0.06117779924680988, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06117779924680988, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.059664625227920265, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.059664625227920265, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0015131740188896181, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0015131740188896181, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03716407244347941, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03716407244347941, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03989637003875812, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03989637003875812, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00273229759527871, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00273229759527871, "ret_p1w": 0.04745568522400223, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04745568522400223, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0384599599112998, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0384599599112998, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00899572531270243, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00899572531270243, "ret_p1m": 0.344196714496515, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.344196714496515, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3220292245908041, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3220292245908041, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022167489905710935, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022167489905710935, "ret_p3m": 0.032018266053218, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.032018266053218, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05067743931791013, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05067743931791013, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.01865917326469213, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01865917326469213, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1784, 0.2064, 0.2287, 0.2624, 0.2321, 0.1761, 0.1612, 0.1732, 0.203, 0.1361, 0.1452, 0.0978, 0.1052, 0.1424, 0.1412, 0.1304, 0.1647, 0.052, 0.08, 0.0983, 0.0617, 0.0423, 0.0189, 0.06, 0.1115, 0.0549, 0.0686, 0.0743, 0.0789, 0.0377, 0.0149, -0.0274, 0.0286, 0.0074, -0.0452, 0.1401, 0.1195, 0.1155, 0.1372, 0.1321, 0.1704, 0.0583, 0.0543, -0.0109, -0.0086, -0.0349, -0.068, -0.0126, -0.0006, 0.0309, 0.0389, 0.0389, 0.0435, 0.0257, 0.012, 0.052, 0.0606, 0.0892, 0.0966, 0.1018, 0.1155, 0.1155, 0.0612, 0.0, 0.0372, -0.0057, 0.0217, 0.0286, 0.0475, 0.0492, 0.0926, 0.0926, 0.1835, 0.167, 0.1893, 0.1635, 0.1635, 0.1384, 0.239, 0.3608, 0.3242, 0.3522, 0.3951, 0.3882, 0.3442, 0.2744, 0.2338, 0.1584, 0.1584, 0.1441, 0.1692, 0.239, 0.2436, 0.2047, 0.1441, 0.1612, 0.1132, 0.0623, 0.068, 0.0132, -0.0069, -0.0852, -0.0343, -0.0297, -0.0183, -0.0846, -0.1435, -0.1161, -0.1161, -0.1246, -0.0943, -0.1035, -0.0675, -0.1435, -0.0292, 0.0206, 0.0326, -0.0309, -0.0063, 0.0314, 0.0726, 0.0812, 0.0772, 0.0909, 0.0475, 0.0429, 0.032, 0.02, 0.024, 0.0309, -0.0154, -0.0149, -0.0309, 0.0097, -0.0766, -0.0646, -0.0806, -0.1681, -0.1532, -0.0898, -0.1006, -0.0972, -0.0972, -0.0961, -0.1012, -0.1012, -0.1241, -0.1647, -0.1063, -0.0738, -0.0069, -0.004, 0.028, 0.0377, 0.0183, 0.0383, -0.0229, 0.0023, 0.0343, 0.016, 0.0183, 0.0532, 0.0635, 0.0555, 0.0206, -0.0149, -0.012, -0.02, -0.056, -0.0709, -0.0829, -0.052, -0.0172, 0.0972, 0.0463, 0.0486, 0.032, 0.0743, 0.0743, 0.1235, 0.1126, 0.1538, 0.3087, 0.3087, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1999592786535080295", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-12T21:30:45+00:00", "symbol": "AVGO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Volatility and -13%+ drops makes several names a good buy", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Post-drop AVGO and NVDA are buys; AI trade thesis intact despite market treating recent moves as bubble popping.", "resolved_tickers": ["AVGO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So my takeaway from $AVGO earnings is that it's mainly misunderstood backlog numbers.\n\nOverall thesis on AI trade from $NVDA GPU ecosystem and Mag7 ASIC ecosystem is in-tact but the market is treating it like a bubble popping + terrible miss. \n\nWe're just going from AI is the next big thing -> Ai is a bubble -> AI is the next big thing -> AI is a bubble. \n\nVolatility and -13%+ drops makes several names a good buy.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Too early to buy", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "lesantcho9306", "ret_m1d": 0.12902514850574875, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.12902514850574875, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.11815631825305917, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08166830222283084, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010868830252689587, "bench_c_m1d": 0.04735684628291792, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.055899709032588674, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.055899709032588674, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05438882124983746, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05245454525482951, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0015108877827512135, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0034451637777591637, "ret_p1w": -0.05437166191936338, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05437166191936338, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05560533002014745, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0603300931176628, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0012336681007840689, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005958431198299419, "ret_p1m": -0.019576198899806108, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.019576198899806108, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04224410745782714, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12619421907821493, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022667908558021033, "bench_c_p1m": 0.10661802017840882, "ret_p3m": -0.04919409348072956, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.04919409348072956, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04416074203523013, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.18518707745954655, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.005033351445499434, "bench_c_p3m": 0.13599298397881698, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0015, -0.0399, -0.0421, -0.0433, -0.0587, -0.0583, -0.0573, -0.0662, -0.0706, -0.089, -0.0834, -0.0737, -0.0604, -0.0599, -0.0679, -0.0653, -0.0401, -0.0414, -0.0981, -0.009, -0.0439, -0.0239, -0.0161, -0.0295, -0.0297, -0.048, -0.0545, -0.0435, -0.0161, 0.0059, 0.0362, 0.0724, 0.046, 0.0269, 0.0073, -0.0222, -0.0026, -0.0121, -0.0292, -0.0043, -0.0221, -0.0131, -0.0554, -0.0485, -0.048, -0.054, -0.0153, -0.0364, -0.0548, 0.0501, 0.0697, 0.1046, 0.1046, 0.1196, 0.0727, 0.0601, 0.0575, 0.0586, 0.0842, 0.1144, 0.1288, 0.1474, 0.129, 0.0, -0.0559, -0.0518, -0.0942, -0.0835, -0.0544, -0.0495, -0.0276, -0.0251, -0.0251, -0.0198, -0.0274, -0.0261, -0.0366, -0.0366, -0.0324, -0.044, -0.0431, -0.0438, -0.0745, -0.0397, -0.0196, -0.0129, -0.0539, -0.0452, -0.021, -0.021, -0.0742, -0.0847, -0.094, -0.1091, -0.0957, -0.0736, -0.0724, -0.0794, -0.0778, -0.0783, -0.1083, -0.1425, -0.1357, -0.0733, -0.0426, -0.0523, -0.0459, -0.0781, -0.0948, -0.0948, -0.0743, -0.0716, -0.0703, -0.074, -0.0805, -0.094, -0.075, -0.1045, -0.1105, -0.1125, -0.1264, -0.1161, -0.0737, -0.0801, -0.0376, -0.0464, -0.0492, -0.0648, -0.1032, -0.0955, -0.1056, -0.1206, -0.1097, -0.1357, -0.1004, -0.1121, -0.1107, -0.1369, -0.1613, -0.1815, -0.1366, -0.1255, -0.1226, -0.1226, -0.1229, -0.0684, -0.0219, -0.01, 0.0364, 0.0593, 0.0622, 0.1066, 0.1115, 0.134, 0.1148, 0.1218, 0.179, 0.1714, 0.1793, 0.1666, 0.1153, 0.131, 0.1644, 0.1751, 0.1618, 0.1921, 0.1868, 0.1508, 0.1995, 0.1951, 0.1696, 0.1626, 0.2268, 0.1861, 0.1736, 0.1467, 0.1653, 0.1564, 0.1552, 0.1552, 0.1772, 0.1768, 0.1899, 0.2463, 0.2463, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1999592786535080295", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-12T21:30:45+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Overall thesis on AI trade from $NVDA GPU ecosystem and Mag7 ASIC ecosystem is in-tact", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Post-drop AVGO and NVDA are buys; AI trade thesis intact despite market treating recent moves as bubble popping.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So my takeaway from $AVGO earnings is that it's mainly misunderstood backlog numbers.\n\nOverall thesis on AI trade from $NVDA GPU ecosystem and Mag7 ASIC ecosystem is in-tact but the market is treating it like a bubble popping + terrible miss. \n\nWe're just going from AI is the next big thing -> Ai is a bubble -> AI is the next big thing -> AI is a bubble. \n\nVolatility and -13%+ drops makes several names a good buy.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Too early to buy", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "lesantcho9306", "ret_m1d": 0.033767499688303504, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.033767499688303504, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.022898669435613916, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.022898669435613916, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010868830252689587, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010868830252689587, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.007256294743706926, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.007256294743706926, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00876718252645814, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00876718252645814, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0015108877827512135, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0015108877827512135, "ret_p1w": 0.03411040944279131, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03411040944279131, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03287674134200724, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03287674134200724, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0012336681007840689, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0012336681007840689, "ret_p1m": 0.05667924205871411, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05667924205871411, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.034011333500693075, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.034011333500693075, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022667908558021033, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022667908558021033, "ret_p3m": 0.06296461307346712, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06296461307346712, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06799796451896656, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06799796451896656, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.005033351445499434, "bench_c_p3m": -0.005033351445499434, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0009, -0.0271, 0.0069, 0.0094, 0.049, 0.0194, 0.0111, 0.0152, 0.0181, 0.039, 0.066, 0.0698, 0.0792, 0.0719, 0.06, 0.0572, 0.0804, 0.1002, 0.0465, 0.0759, 0.0286, 0.0274, 0.0387, 0.0468, 0.0435, 0.035, 0.03, 0.0407, 0.0642, 0.094, 0.1485, 0.1829, 0.1592, 0.1569, 0.182, 0.1352, 0.1153, 0.0746, 0.075, 0.1372, 0.1036, 0.1072, 0.0676, 0.0865, 0.0661, 0.0362, 0.0656, 0.0321, 0.022, 0.043, 0.0159, 0.0299, 0.0299, 0.0113, 0.0279, 0.0367, 0.0261, 0.0478, 0.0422, 0.0602, 0.0569, 0.0501, 0.0338, 0.0, 0.0073, 0.0154, -0.0233, -0.005, 0.0341, 0.0495, 0.0811, 0.0776, 0.0776, 0.0886, 0.0754, 0.0715, 0.0656, 0.0656, 0.079, 0.0748, 0.0698, 0.0805, 0.0573, 0.0562, 0.0567, 0.0617, 0.0464, 0.0687, 0.064, 0.064, 0.0174, 0.0474, 0.0561, 0.0723, 0.0654, 0.0771, 0.0943, 0.0999, 0.092, 0.0605, 0.0304, -0.0047, -0.0179, 0.0594, 0.0858, 0.0772, 0.0859, 0.0681, 0.0445, 0.0445, 0.0569, 0.074, 0.0736, 0.0846, 0.0944, 0.1019, 0.1174, 0.0564, 0.0124, 0.0426, 0.0287, 0.0458, 0.0475, 0.016, 0.0436, 0.0557, 0.063, 0.0465, 0.0299, 0.0469, 0.0395, 0.0308, 0.0203, -0.0132, 0.0036, 0.0011, 0.021, -0.0215, -0.0428, -0.0562, -0.0035, 0.0042, 0.0136, 0.0136, 0.015, 0.0177, 0.0404, 0.0509, 0.0778, 0.0817, 0.1228, 0.1363, 0.1334, 0.1524, 0.1546, 0.1421, 0.1571, 0.1407, 0.19, 0.2377, 0.218, 0.1956, 0.1403, 0.1339, 0.1341, 0.1228, 0.1875, 0.2085, 0.2296, 0.2539, 0.2615, 0.2904, 0.347, 0.2875, 0.2703, 0.2606, 0.2769, 0.2543, 0.2304, 0.2304, 0.2277, 0.2148, 0.2242, 0.2064, 0.2064, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1996752424934297872", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-05T01:24:10+00:00", "symbol": "XYZ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "XYZ has indirect relationship with Bitcoin which should recover December imo. Fundamentals should be improving from Black Friday + holiday seasons upping processing volume from Square/Stripe others. XYZ P/E is pretty low and it's in S&P too so downside risk is low.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish XYZ on Bitcoin recovery, holiday payment volumes, low P/E and S&P inclusion; MSTR also named as a valid exposure play at current levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["XYZ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Sounds like a decent idea. $XYZ has indirect relationship with Bitcoin which should recover December imo. Fundamentals should be improving from Black Friday + holiday seasons upping processing volume from Square/Stripe others. XYZ P/E is pretty low and it's in S&P too so downside risk is low. \n\n IV is relatively low further out eg. (4/17 is 46% IV) so upside on recovery would be a good amount at first glance.  \n\nI would have bought $MSTR shares at this level for exposure but XYZ is another good proxy play.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Hey homie, I know you probably get people bugging you about different tickers every day, so I don't want to be annoying. But my $PATH calls printed today, and was thinking of dumping some of the profit into $XYZ while it is down. Just wondering if you had any thoughts on it. Ty!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "lincoln3_", "ret_m1d": 0.017673015964174033, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.017673015964174033, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.019568951407657242, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.019568951407657242, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018959354434832099, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018959354434832099, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0011454703669625532, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0011454703669625532, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0018588071477121382, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0018588071477121382, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0030042775146746914, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0030042775146746914, "ret_p1w": 0.059564708775863506, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.059564708775863506, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06529611114772094, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06529611114772094, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00573140237185743, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00573140237185743, "ret_p1m": 0.12011121362429322, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12011121362429322, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11418707557040086, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11418707557040086, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005924138053892358, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005924138053892358, "ret_p3m": 0.06758300134460127, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06758300134460127, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06544724291357884, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06544724291357884, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0021357584310224276, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0021357584310224276, "ret_p6m": 0.23907708172853037, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.23907708172853037, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1295562165467372, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1295562165467372, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10952086518179316, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10952086518179316, "price_path": [0.2356, 0.2068, 0.2147, 0.1924, 0.2212, 0.2401, 0.2389, 0.2661, 0.2605, 0.2667, 0.2525, 0.2517, 0.2057, 0.2055, 0.2337, 0.1826, 0.2011, 0.2569, 0.2592, 0.2728, 0.2931, 0.3273, 0.323, 0.2219, 0.2276, 0.2466, 0.2458, 0.2198, 0.2306, 0.2518, 0.272, 0.2423, 0.2856, 0.3016, 0.3116, 0.3121, 0.252, 0.2096, 0.2427, 0.2158, 0.1877, 0.2052, 0.1607, 0.071, 0.0931, 0.0785, 0.0763, 0.0195, -0.0103, -0.0363, -0.0568, 0.0146, 0.0137, 0.0137, 0.0123, 0.0422, 0.0641, 0.0641, 0.0931, 0.053, -0.0164, 0.0, 0.0177, 0.0, -0.0011, 0.0075, 0.0357, 0.0409, 0.0596, 0.0476, 0.0563, 0.0435, 0.0537, 0.0691, 0.0661, 0.0627, 0.0808, 0.0808, 0.0844, 0.0787, 0.0725, 0.0651, 0.0651, 0.0661, 0.1201, 0.1455, 0.1695, 0.1481, 0.1381, 0.1497, 0.1006, 0.0736, 0.0623, 0.0792, 0.0792, 0.0249, 0.0473, 0.0645, 0.0936, 0.0784, 0.0569, 0.0509, 0.018, -0.0111, -0.0116, -0.0707, -0.0602, -0.1265, -0.0841, -0.0709, -0.0623, -0.1195, -0.1967, -0.1851, -0.1851, -0.1685, -0.1229, -0.1345, -0.1291, -0.1695, -0.1654, -0.1501, -0.1077, 0.0424, 0.0547, 0.0293, 0.0676, 0.1026, 0.0854, 0.0725, 0.0735, 0.0576, -0.0198, -0.0216, -0.0206, -0.0216, -0.0535, -0.0347, -0.0285, 0.001, -0.02, -0.018, -0.0285, -0.0839, -0.0668, -0.0152, -0.0257, -0.0218, -0.0218, -0.007, -0.0187, 0.0281, 0.0259, 0.0178, 0.0509, 0.0825, 0.1123, 0.1237, 0.1661, 0.2091, 0.1741, 0.1864, 0.1443, 0.1721, 0.1664, 0.1379, 0.1366, 0.1538, 0.1751, 0.1766, 0.1659, 0.1591, 0.1478, 0.2248, 0.1973, 0.1802, 0.1419, 0.1705, 0.1514, 0.1558, 0.1319, 0.16, 0.1234, 0.1141, 0.1141, 0.1319, 0.1687, 0.2167, 0.2391, 0.2391]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1996752424934297872", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-05T01:24:10+00:00", "symbol": "MSTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I would have bought $MSTR shares at this level for exposure", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish XYZ on Bitcoin recovery, holiday payment volumes, low P/E and S&P inclusion; MSTR also named as a valid exposure play at current levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Sounds like a decent idea. $XYZ has indirect relationship with Bitcoin which should recover December imo. Fundamentals should be improving from Black Friday + holiday seasons upping processing volume from Square/Stripe others. XYZ P/E is pretty low and it's in S&P too so downside risk is low. \n\n IV is relatively low further out eg. (4/17 is 46% IV) so upside on recovery would be a good amount at first glance.  \n\nI would have bought $MSTR shares at this level for exposure but XYZ is another good proxy play.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Hey homie, I know you probably get people bugging you about different tickers every day, so I don't want to be annoying. But my $PATH calls printed today, and was thinking of dumping some of the profit into $XYZ while it is down. Just wondering if you had any thoughts on it. Ty!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "lincoln3_", "ret_m1d": 0.039220005577015105, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.039220005577015105, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.041115941020498314, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.041115941020498314, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018959354434832099, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018959354434832099, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.026258432337003867, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.026258432337003867, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02926270985167856, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02926270985167856, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0030042775146746914, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0030042775146746914, "ret_p1w": -0.014190784216825403, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.014190784216825403, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.008459381844967973, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.008459381844967973, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00573140237185743, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00573140237185743, "ret_p1m": -0.07972514573170364, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07972514573170364, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.085649283785596, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.085649283785596, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005924138053892358, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005924138053892358, "ret_p3m": -0.18185374631434914, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.18185374631434914, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18398950474537157, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.18398950474537157, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0021357584310224276, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0021357584310224276, "ret_p6m": -0.11117944323451878, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.11117944323451878, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.22070030841631194, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.22070030841631194, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10952086518179316, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10952086518179316, "price_path": [0.8355, 0.8238, 0.8214, 0.8517, 0.8313, 0.8721, 0.8421, 0.9505, 0.9261, 0.8768, 0.8313, 0.8063, 0.68, 0.7267, 0.8237, 0.8002, 0.8907, 0.9684, 0.9645, 1.0096, 0.8347, 0.8481, 0.7894, 0.7028, 0.7625, 0.6798, 0.658, 0.5858, 0.6195, 0.6571, 0.6867, 0.5689, 0.5918, 0.6151, 0.6517, 0.5903, 0.5384, 0.4223, 0.5057, 0.4787, 0.3799, 0.4247, 0.3252, 0.3516, 0.3346, 0.2925, 0.2549, 0.1651, 0.116, 0.0918, 0.1554, 0.042, -0.0104, -0.0474, 0.0003, -0.038, -0.0187, -0.0187, -0.0101, -0.0423, 0.0131, 0.0525, 0.0392, 0.0, 0.0263, 0.0559, 0.0316, 0.0241, -0.0142, -0.0945, -0.0642, -0.104, -0.1159, -0.0792, -0.082, -0.1179, -0.1133, -0.1133, -0.1127, -0.1319, -0.1306, -0.1511, -0.1511, -0.122, -0.0797, -0.1174, -0.0959, -0.0672, -0.121, -0.0936, -0.0335, 0.0019, -0.0451, -0.0295, -0.0295, -0.1048, -0.0848, -0.1006, -0.0887, -0.1029, -0.0973, -0.1148, -0.2, -0.1636, -0.2199, -0.2555, -0.2788, -0.4023, -0.2462, -0.2265, -0.2569, -0.2957, -0.3128, -0.252, -0.252, -0.2811, -0.3005, -0.2768, -0.2678, -0.3088, -0.3038, -0.2421, -0.2547, -0.2765, -0.231, -0.2587, -0.1819, -0.2189, -0.254, -0.2237, -0.2264, -0.2272, -0.2327, -0.2197, -0.1758, -0.1604, -0.2147, -0.2277, -0.2421, -0.2279, -0.2388, -0.2227, -0.2573, -0.2959, -0.3215, -0.3028, -0.314, -0.3305, -0.3305, -0.2866, -0.3088, -0.2832, -0.2801, -0.2813, -0.2605, -0.2323, -0.1981, -0.1679, -0.0697, -0.0457, -0.0839, 0.0021, -0.0364, -0.0445, -0.0547, -0.0742, -0.1162, -0.0756, -0.0102, 0.0269, 0.0442, 0.0437, 0.0047, 0.048, 0.0947, 0.0303, -0.0054, 0.0446, -0.0088, -0.0691, -0.0802, -0.0736, -0.079, -0.1067, -0.1067, -0.1065, -0.1385, -0.1528, -0.1112, -0.1112]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1970226578308403607", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-22T20:39:55+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$HIMS just need to keep increasing revenue with Zava acquisition and fundamentals will cause shorts to cover on every dip... short positions covering over time to $20B+ mc", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish HIMS; Zava acquisition drives revenue, shorts cover on dips, market cap grinds to $20B+.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Tailwind would be triple rate cut. I thought testosterone product launch + PPI would be the main trigger but SI increased from 36 -> 42. Stock still went up when I posted at $48 to $57 though. \n\n$HIMS just need to keep increasing revenue with Zava acquisition and fundamentals will cause shorts to cover on every dip. \n\nA surprise 150% SS would be an acquisition or something but otherwise looks like one of the gradual ones with short positions covering over time to $20B+ mc.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @GrassKaniKani do you think the catalyst for $HIMS short squeezing could be the launch of HRT menopause launch later this year?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mattia030339", "ret_m1d": 0.002079704164611451, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.002079704164611451, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006788526705838405, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006788526705838405, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0047088225412269535, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0047088225412269535, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.029462751134508802, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.029462751134508802, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02401918474567999, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02401918474567999, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005443566388828813, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005443566388828813, "ret_p1w": 0.024610019933611005, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.024610019933611005, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.029348850805371418, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.029348850805371418, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004738830871760413, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004738830871760413, "ret_p1m": -0.14454072863625766, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14454072863625766, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15121390017620961, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.15121390017620961, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.00667317153995195, "bench_c_p1m": 0.00667317153995195, "ret_p3m": -0.3974003466548246, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3974003466548246, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.41184144149863866, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.41184144149863866, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014441094843814062, "bench_c_p3m": 0.014441094843814062, "ret_p6m": -0.5670710708502986, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5670710708502986, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5759667919016949, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5759667919016949, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.008895721051396244, "bench_c_p6m": 0.008895721051396244, "price_path": [-0.2823, -0.1979, -0.1437, -0.136, -0.1688, -0.1775, -0.1685, -0.1685, -0.1608, -0.1515, -0.112, -0.1288, -0.17, -0.0983, -0.1255, -0.1014, -0.1336, -0.1269, -0.175, -0.1333, 0.0055, -0.0066, -0.0009, 0.017, 0.0445, 0.1357, 0.147, 0.0841, 0.0979, -0.0378, -0.1139, -0.1153, -0.0998, -0.1338, -0.1688, -0.1624, -0.1832, -0.2024, -0.2184, -0.269, -0.2482, -0.2381, -0.2276, -0.2549, -0.214, -0.2373, -0.2354, -0.266, -0.266, -0.2802, -0.2295, -0.1662, -0.161, -0.1397, -0.1718, -0.1719, -0.1029, -0.0381, -0.0648, -0.118, -0.1274, -0.026, 0.0021, 0.0, -0.0295, -0.0771, -0.049, 0.0121, 0.0246, -0.017, -0.0241, 0.0029, -0.0894, -0.051, 0.0047, 0.0081, 0.0095, -0.065, -0.0515, -0.0638, 0.0877, 0.0251, -0.1373, -0.1099, -0.1445, -0.1775, -0.1596, -0.1546, -0.1641, -0.1834, -0.1919, -0.2364, -0.2121, -0.2307, -0.2584, -0.2421, -0.2804, -0.2889, -0.2886, -0.3111, -0.3237, -0.3752, -0.3591, -0.3834, -0.3716, -0.379, -0.4173, -0.3984, -0.3452, -0.3572, -0.3345, -0.3345, -0.3109, -0.3499, -0.3707, -0.3575, -0.3064, -0.3206, -0.322, -0.3099, -0.3435, -0.3454, -0.3551, -0.3718, -0.3612, -0.3939, -0.3974, -0.3837, -0.3925, -0.3969, -0.3991, -0.3991, -0.4054, -0.409, -0.4274, -0.4373, -0.4373, -0.421, -0.3984, -0.3854, -0.3854, -0.413, -0.4508, -0.4395, -0.4419, -0.4572, -0.4588, -0.4562, -0.4562, -0.4719, -0.4993, -0.4711, -0.4867, -0.4752, -0.4856, -0.5031, -0.4823, -0.5305, -0.5418, -0.5574, -0.5771, -0.5931, -0.601, -0.665, -0.7012, -0.7107, -0.7262, -0.7175, -0.7175, -0.718, -0.7255, -0.7258, -0.7291, -0.7312, -0.7321, -0.7258, -0.7296, -0.7484, -0.7144, -0.7258, -0.7149, -0.7248, -0.7272, -0.6159, -0.5932, -0.5515, -0.5868, -0.5707, -0.5688, -0.5671]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1967298258671489326", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-14T18:43:50+00:00", "symbol": "LULU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I like $LULU around these levels. Could drop more next month but should recover Nov -> December because sector usually performs best around then.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish LULU around $160; expects Nov-Dec seasonal recovery despite muted rebound due to 58% YTD decline.", "resolved_tickers": ["LULU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@soulbiri1 I like $LULU around these levels. \n\nCould drop more next month but should recover Nov -&gt; December because sector usually performs best around then.\n\nRecovery should be more muted though from previous years from tax loss averaging cause it’s down 58% ytd.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I love you Aleabito senpai.\n\nWhat are your thoughts on $LULU at 160", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": -0.0006875897817806287, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0006875897817806287, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004608168275223257, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004608168275223257, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005295758057003885, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005295758057003885, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014751848189637817, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014751848189637817, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.016128640974919506, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.016128640974919506, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0013767927852816886, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0013767927852816886, "ret_p1w": 0.08394804533838651, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08394804533838651, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07217811083080727, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07217811083080727, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011769934507579238, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011769934507579238, "ret_p1m": 0.05719470808623317, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05719470808623317, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05241947325705443, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05241947325705443, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.004775234829178743, "bench_c_p1m": 0.004775234829178743, "ret_p3m": 0.16895861670937595, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.16895861670937595, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.12330838503509511, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12330838503509511, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04565023167428084, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04565023167428084, "ret_p6m": 0.04031752169331937, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.04031752169331937, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.009823186679205342, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.009823186679205342, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030494335014114027, "bench_c_p6m": 0.030494335014114027, "price_path": [0.4292, 0.4292, 0.4219, 0.4099, 0.456, 0.4472, 0.4476, 0.4691, 0.4851, 0.5322, 0.5396, 0.5482, 0.5482, 0.485, 0.4911, 0.4745, 0.4909, 0.4784, 0.4307, 0.3889, 0.4134, 0.4584, 0.4362, 0.3952, 0.3997, 0.4004, 0.367, 0.3716, 0.3539, 0.3379, 0.2906, 0.2535, 0.2085, 0.228, 0.2193, 0.2283, 0.1948, 0.1841, 0.1654, 0.206, 0.2532, 0.2201, 0.2405, 0.2728, 0.2355, 0.2384, 0.2388, 0.2976, 0.2654, 0.266, 0.285, 0.2819, 0.2639, 0.2639, 0.2515, 0.241, 0.2882, 0.0489, 0.0508, 0.0357, 0.0245, 0.0363, -0.0007, 0.0, 0.0148, 0.0219, 0.0611, 0.0603, 0.0839, 0.0834, 0.1203, 0.0752, 0.102, 0.1196, 0.1122, 0.11, 0.1139, 0.0976, 0.0884, 0.0824, 0.0928, 0.0844, 0.0471, 0.0617, 0.0572, 0.0445, 0.029, 0.0464, 0.0778, 0.1338, 0.1145, 0.1193, 0.1137, 0.1338, 0.125, 0.0645, 0.0503, 0.066, 0.0343, 0.0043, 0.0476, 0.0223, 0.0384, 0.0648, 0.0614, 0.0683, 0.0605, 0.0669, 0.0261, 0.0249, 0.038, 0.0294, 0.0513, 0.0606, 0.1096, 0.1373, 0.1373, 0.1513, 0.1402, 0.1401, 0.1395, 0.1476, 0.1877, 0.1441, 0.1394, 0.1728, 0.169, 0.2812, 0.2895, 0.2923, 0.2993, 0.3446, 0.3092, 0.3275, 0.3294, 0.3152, 0.3152, 0.3062, 0.3285, 0.3169, 0.299, 0.299, 0.3177, 0.3277, 0.3494, 0.3234, 0.3262, 0.2745, 0.3067, 0.3245, 0.2698, 0.2815, 0.2618, 0.2618, 0.1799, 0.1866, 0.2168, 0.1943, 0.2051, 0.1651, 0.1273, 0.0785, 0.0908, 0.1194, 0.0724, 0.1126, 0.0632, 0.0804, 0.0981, 0.129, 0.0993, 0.0597, 0.1028, 0.1028, 0.1109, 0.1385, 0.1431, 0.1708, 0.1133, 0.122, 0.1411, 0.1633, 0.1575, 0.1012, 0.0893, 0.0827, 0.0825, 0.0634, 0.0611, 0.0403]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1981016959006482900", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-22T15:17:03+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm holding my Jan/Mar calls. If a stock can do down 30% in a week off no news, it can also go back up 43% in a short time with high beta stocks like $NBIS. I'm still confident with 2x rate cut, seasonality, and earnings.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Holding Jan/Mar calls on NBIS; confident in 43% recovery driven by rate cuts, seasonality, and earnings.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm holding my Jan/Mar calls. If a stock can do down 30% in a week off no news, it can also go back up 43% in a short time with high beta stocks like $NBIS.\n\nI'm still confident with 2x rate cut, seasonality, and earnings. There's been no material news (only positive ones in the past month), but we'll see what happens.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Senpai, hypothetically if you had tried to catch the falling knife and opened Jan and Mar 26 calls ranging from $115-130, would you consider closing those at a loss and moving the capital to LEAPS?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Neat_Lama", "ret_m1d": 0.05739196790796086, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05739196790796086, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.052165891093566064, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04865795143168117, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005226076814394798, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008734016476279693, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07645508725955352, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07645508725955352, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07052519606905383, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07982761972858643, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005929891190499692, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0033725324690329073, "ret_p1w": 0.2685053233630823, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2685053233630823, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.23917013427122158, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2628844137812947, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.029335189091860725, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005620909581787625, "ret_p1m": -0.14175626614873638, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14175626614873638, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11889015789478707, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09272476616029002, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.022866108253949302, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04903149998844636, "ret_p3m": 0.10251470623389292, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10251470623389292, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06372503900472015, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10335486794227966, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.038789667229172764, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0008401617083867441, "ret_p6m": 0.6765361157285201, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6765361157285201, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.619849690724092, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.6423340376147957, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05668642500442811, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03420207811372444, "price_path": [-0.4791, -0.4651, -0.4889, -0.4799, -0.4481, -0.4727, -0.4507, -0.4406, -0.4414, -0.3378, -0.3026, -0.2878, -0.2362, -0.2838, -0.3058, -0.2738, -0.2644, -0.3187, -0.3159, -0.3289, -0.3005, -0.29, -0.2853, -0.2892, -0.2695, -0.3072, -0.3072, -0.3336, -0.3343, -0.3418, -0.3361, -0.3504, -0.0294, -0.053, -0.0956, -0.0832, -0.0777, -0.0932, -0.046, -0.0456, 0.007, 0.0809, 0.0931, 0.1481, 0.0945, 0.0921, 0.1176, 0.1384, 0.1723, 0.2763, 0.2977, 0.2669, 0.1935, 0.2371, 0.345, 0.3139, 0.3736, 0.2994, 0.2759, 0.2476, 0.1503, 0.1053, 0.0574, 0.0, 0.0765, 0.189, 0.2719, 0.2353, 0.2685, 0.2592, 0.3265, 0.2216, 0.1209, 0.1864, 0.1097, 0.1284, 0.1149, 0.0365, -0.0432, -0.1013, -0.1529, -0.1282, -0.0819, -0.036, -0.1418, -0.1557, -0.0681, -0.0988, -0.0398, -0.0398, -0.038, 0.0155, -0.022, 0.003, 0.0424, -0.0059, 0.0173, -0.0224, -0.051, -0.044, -0.1108, -0.1772, -0.1792, -0.2349, -0.2082, -0.0929, -0.0547, -0.0871, -0.0759, -0.0759, -0.1118, -0.1276, -0.1364, -0.1512, -0.1512, -0.0879, -0.0587, 0.0164, -0.0244, -0.0134, -0.007, 0.0883, 0.0691, 0.0341, 0.0534, 0.1025, 0.1025, 0.0068, 0.0025, -0.0179, -0.0418, -0.0726, -0.0076, 0.0184, -0.0376, -0.1362, -0.1061, -0.0879, -0.1646, -0.251, -0.127, -0.0582, -0.0693, -0.1015, -0.0901, -0.0062, -0.0062, -0.0112, 0.0322, 0.0912, -0.0071, 0.0202, 0.0402, 0.076, 0.0635, -0.0753, -0.0772, -0.1199, -0.0085, -0.0301, -0.0942, -0.0373, -0.0222, 0.1356, 0.0955, 0.1453, 0.3167, 0.1796, 0.2022, 0.2322, 0.1927, 0.1575, 0.1652, 0.167, 0.0745, 0.0223, -0.0645, 0.0521, 0.0338, 0.1034, 0.1034, 0.1411, 0.1904, 0.2675, 0.3824, 0.47, 0.5672, 0.6421, 0.691, 0.6765]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1992181846134968633", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-22T10:42:19+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS at $92, PT $400 / 1Y", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Adopts bullish price targets on NBIS ($400/1Y), RKLB ($500/5Y), CRCL ($150/8M), and ALAB ($250/6M) from the quoted equity ranking table.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The Neocloud Sector Tierlist.\n\nPost Q3 earnings + Market Sector Drop:\n\n[S] Tier: $NBIS\n[A] Tier:  $CIFR, $WULF, $IREN\n[B] Tier: $GLXY, $CORZ\n[C] Tier:  $APLD, $CLSK\n[D] Tier: $WLAC, $DGDX, $WYFI\n[F] Tier, $CRWV*, $SLNH\n[U] Tier: $GRRR, $MARA, $DGDX, $CLSK, $BITF,  $HIVE, $RIOT **\n\nRanked in order from left to right.\n\n* : Short-term pricing drops created compelling entries (e.g., $CRWV), but med-term (12m) attractiveness remains limited. \n\n**: Uncertain, decided not to rate them (but put them in tierlist photo as F). Some pure miners haven't fully pivot into HPC yet + too much contract uncertainty. \n\nLot of people asked about updates post earnings, these are just personal thoughts based on weighted assessments of:\n\na. Contract visibility and revenue certainty \nb. Resilience to macro tightening and credit conditions c. Balance sheet strength and margin profile \nd. HPC buildout risk (capacity execution and orchestration) \ne. Revenue growth trajectory (1–2 year horizon)\nf. Current market capitalization relative to revenue ramp and infrastructure value\n\nThe whole Neocloud sector is compelling but some have clearly higher asymmetrical return over others as of Q3.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Based on the equity ranking table:\n\nHere's a deeper analysis of each stock, alongside how I reposition my portfolio to capitalize on the market reset:\n\n· $NBIS at $92, PT $400 / 1Y\n· $RKLB at $43, PT $500 / 5Y\n· $CRCL at $72, PT $150 / 8M\n· $ALAB at $143.4, PT $250 / 6M\n· $SNAP https://t.co/VZouD4jsBo", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.09401522574747101, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09401522574747101, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07951021084950338, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08419309478962045, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014505014897967627, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009822130957850561, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.032861852255905655, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.032861852255905655, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04226784369796155, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.044276829152403385, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009405991442055894, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01141497689649773, "ret_p1w": 0.08977148926027834, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08977148926027834, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07251488706167031, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07348978131197503, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01725660219860803, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016281707948303303, "ret_p1m": -0.020348234118967246, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.020348234118967246, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05214418065646209, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06246872564745665, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031795946537494846, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0421204915284894, "ret_p3m": 0.17094666837463257, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.17094666837463257, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.14437008191616507, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.14880038202328993, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0265765864584675, "bench_c_p3m": 0.022146286351342637, "ret_p6m": 1.1515777197442003, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.1515777197442003, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.0481310897708718, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.119846568058765, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10344662997332854, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03173115168543528, "price_path": [-0.2372, -0.2161, -0.2566, -0.2566, -0.2849, -0.2856, -0.2937, -0.2876, -0.3029, 0.0416, 0.0162, -0.0295, -0.0162, -0.0102, -0.0269, 0.0237, 0.0242, 0.0806, 0.16, 0.173, 0.2321, 0.1745, 0.1719, 0.1993, 0.2217, 0.258, 0.3696, 0.3926, 0.3595, 0.2807, 0.3275, 0.4433, 0.41, 0.474, 0.3945, 0.3692, 0.3388, 0.2344, 0.1861, 0.1347, 0.0731, 0.1552, 0.276, 0.3649, 0.3257, 0.3613, 0.3513, 0.4235, 0.3109, 0.2028, 0.2731, 0.1909, 0.2109, 0.1964, 0.1123, 0.0268, -0.0356, -0.091, -0.0644, -0.0148, 0.0345, -0.079, -0.094, 0.0, -0.0329, 0.0304, 0.0304, 0.0323, 0.0898, 0.0495, 0.0764, 0.1186, 0.0668, 0.0917, 0.0491, 0.0184, 0.0259, -0.0458, -0.1171, -0.1192, -0.179, -0.1503, -0.0266, 0.0145, -0.0203, -0.0084, -0.0084, -0.0469, -0.0638, -0.0732, -0.0892, -0.0892, -0.0212, 0.0101, 0.0908, 0.0469, 0.0588, 0.0656, 0.1679, 0.1472, 0.1097, 0.1304, 0.1831, 0.1831, 0.0804, 0.0758, 0.0539, 0.0283, -0.0048, 0.065, 0.0928, 0.0328, -0.073, -0.0407, -0.0212, -0.1035, -0.1962, -0.0631, 0.0107, -0.0012, -0.0358, -0.0236, 0.0665, 0.0665, 0.0612, 0.1077, 0.1709, 0.0655, 0.0948, 0.1162, 0.1547, 0.1412, -0.0077, -0.0097, -0.0555, 0.064, 0.0408, -0.028, 0.0331, 0.0493, 0.2187, 0.1756, 0.2291, 0.4129, 0.2658, 0.2901, 0.3223, 0.2799, 0.2421, 0.2504, 0.2523, 0.1531, 0.0971, 0.0039, 0.1291, 0.1094, 0.1841, 0.1841, 0.2246, 0.2775, 0.3602, 0.4835, 0.5775, 0.6818, 0.7621, 0.8147, 0.7991, 0.7099, 0.7319, 0.7035, 0.699, 0.7092, 0.6013, 0.5774, 0.4745, 0.5363, 0.5041, 0.6811, 0.9197, 0.9143, 1.1229, 1.0106, 0.9266, 1.025, 0.949, 1.2554, 1.4064, 1.3933, 1.1748, 1.1516]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1992181846134968633", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-22T10:42:19+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$RKLB at $43, PT $500 / 5Y", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Adopts bullish price targets on NBIS ($400/1Y), RKLB ($500/5Y), CRCL ($150/8M), and ALAB ($250/6M) from the quoted equity ranking table.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The Neocloud Sector Tierlist.\n\nPost Q3 earnings + Market Sector Drop:\n\n[S] Tier: $NBIS\n[A] Tier:  $CIFR, $WULF, $IREN\n[B] Tier: $GLXY, $CORZ\n[C] Tier:  $APLD, $CLSK\n[D] Tier: $WLAC, $DGDX, $WYFI\n[F] Tier, $CRWV*, $SLNH\n[U] Tier: $GRRR, $MARA, $DGDX, $CLSK, $BITF,  $HIVE, $RIOT **\n\nRanked in order from left to right.\n\n* : Short-term pricing drops created compelling entries (e.g., $CRWV), but med-term (12m) attractiveness remains limited. \n\n**: Uncertain, decided not to rate them (but put them in tierlist photo as F). Some pure miners haven't fully pivot into HPC yet + too much contract uncertainty. \n\nLot of people asked about updates post earnings, these are just personal thoughts based on weighted assessments of:\n\na. Contract visibility and revenue certainty \nb. Resilience to macro tightening and credit conditions c. Balance sheet strength and margin profile \nd. HPC buildout risk (capacity execution and orchestration) \ne. Revenue growth trajectory (1–2 year horizon)\nf. Current market capitalization relative to revenue ramp and infrastructure value\n\nThe whole Neocloud sector is compelling but some have clearly higher asymmetrical return over others as of Q3.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Based on the equity ranking table:\n\nHere's a deeper analysis of each stock, alongside how I reposition my portfolio to capitalize on the market reset:\n\n· $NBIS at $92, PT $400 / 1Y\n· $RKLB at $43, PT $500 / 5Y\n· $CRCL at $72, PT $150 / 8M\n· $ALAB at $143.4, PT $250 / 6M\n· $SNAP https://t.co/VZouD4jsBo", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05064785600088717, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05064785600088717, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03614284110291954, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04818117305890357, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014505014897967627, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0024666829419836, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.003533514923104386, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.003533514923104386, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005872476518951508, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009266458872611683, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009405991442055894, "bench_c_p1d": 0.012799973795716069, "ret_p1w": -0.0489988643974445, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0489988643974445, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06625546659605253, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05859894710471558, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01725660219860803, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009600082707271085, "ret_p1m": 0.8181389615558501, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.8181389615558501, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.7863430150183552, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.7679543800131854, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031795946537494846, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0501845815426647, "ret_p3m": 0.8040047221368272, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.8040047221368272, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.7774281356783597, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.6243783481392562, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0265765864584675, "bench_c_p3m": 0.17962637399757098, "ret_p6m": 1.9990576035452152, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.9990576035452152, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.8956109735718867, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.8670995856740984, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10344662997332854, "bench_c_p6m": 0.13195801787111683, "price_path": [0.0895, 0.1286, 0.1449, 0.1449, 0.1616, 0.0254, 0.0127, 0.0799, 0.1244, 0.1079, 0.0876, 0.1409, 0.2565, 0.273, 0.113, 0.1326, 0.1114, 0.1258, 0.1734, 0.2464, 0.147, 0.0985, 0.0898, 0.1074, 0.1286, 0.13, 0.236, 0.323, 0.3781, 0.449, 0.5385, 0.5647, 0.5138, 0.5411, 0.6026, 0.6318, 0.5783, 0.5611, 0.5866, 0.5406, 0.4267, 0.4975, 0.5208, 0.5458, 0.5018, 0.5585, 0.4351, 0.4836, 0.445, 0.3326, 0.3291, 0.1687, 0.2165, 0.2226, 0.2071, 0.1771, 0.066, 0.0728, 0.0203, 0.0078, 0.0276, -0.07, -0.0506, 0.0, 0.0035, -0.0122, -0.0122, -0.0073, -0.049, -0.013, 0.0535, 0.163, 0.1556, 0.2146, 0.2587, 0.355, 0.4966, 0.4485, 0.3053, 0.3072, 0.2711, 0.4115, 0.6612, 0.8269, 0.8181, 0.8181, 0.8181, 0.6643, 0.6518, 0.6596, 0.6433, 0.6433, 0.7901, 0.8408, 1.0266, 0.9807, 0.9571, 0.9988, 1.0707, 1.0396, 1.1625, 1.138, 1.2686, 1.2686, 1.1004, 1.0688, 1.0726, 1.0942, 0.8959, 1.0495, 1.0865, 1.0184, 0.8862, 0.7468, 0.9145, 0.7223, 0.5623, 0.7037, 0.7866, 0.6968, 0.64, 0.555, 0.5887, 0.5887, 0.6464, 0.7531, 0.804, 0.6693, 0.6539, 0.6483, 0.6537, 0.7114, 0.6278, 0.6718, 0.6521, 0.694, 0.649, 0.6516, 0.6839, 0.6238, 0.6952, 0.6106, 0.6115, 0.6799, 0.8514, 0.6367, 0.6945, 0.5837, 0.6019, 0.5564, 0.7168, 0.5534, 0.4353, 0.3517, 0.5128, 0.5435, 0.5955, 0.5955, 0.5941, 0.5623, 0.6273, 0.5722, 0.6031, 0.6636, 0.7013, 0.7338, 0.9536, 0.9976, 1.1074, 1.041, 1.1211, 0.9929, 0.877, 0.9385, 0.8514, 0.8144, 0.9437, 0.8565, 0.8919, 0.8554, 0.9941, 0.8511, 1.4846, 1.7644, 1.7694, 1.9246, 2.1225, 1.9392, 2.0898, 1.9991]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1992181846134968633", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-11-22T10:42:19+00:00", "symbol": "CRCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$CRCL at $72, PT $150 / 8M", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Adopts bullish price targets on NBIS ($400/1Y), RKLB ($500/5Y), CRCL ($150/8M), and ALAB ($250/6M) from the quoted equity ranking table.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The Neocloud Sector Tierlist.\n\nPost Q3 earnings + Market Sector Drop:\n\n[S] Tier: $NBIS\n[A] Tier:  $CIFR, $WULF, $IREN\n[B] Tier: $GLXY, $CORZ\n[C] Tier:  $APLD, $CLSK\n[D] Tier: $WLAC, $DGDX, $WYFI\n[F] Tier, $CRWV*, $SLNH\n[U] Tier: $GRRR, $MARA, $DGDX, $CLSK, $BITF,  $HIVE, $RIOT **\n\nRanked in order from left to right.\n\n* : Short-term pricing drops created compelling entries (e.g., $CRWV), but med-term (12m) attractiveness remains limited. \n\n**: Uncertain, decided not to rate them (but put them in tierlist photo as F). Some pure miners haven't fully pivot into HPC yet + too much contract uncertainty. \n\nLot of people asked about updates post earnings, these are just personal thoughts based on weighted assessments of:\n\na. Contract visibility and revenue certainty \nb. Resilience to macro tightening and credit conditions c. Balance sheet strength and margin profile \nd. HPC buildout risk (capacity execution and orchestration) \ne. Revenue growth trajectory (1–2 year horizon)\nf. Current market capitalization relative to revenue ramp and infrastructure value\n\nThe whole Neocloud sector is compelling but some have clearly higher asymmetrical return over others as of Q3.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Based on the equity ranking table:\n\nHere's a deeper analysis of each stock, alongside how I reposition my portfolio to capitalize on the market reset:\n\n· $NBIS at $92, PT $400 / 1Y\n· $RKLB at $43, PT $500 / 5Y\n· $CRCL at $72, PT $150 / 8M\n· $ALAB at $143.4, PT $250 / 6M\n· $SNAP https://t.co/VZouD4jsBo", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.019384053809783475, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019384053809783475, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004879038911815847, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015144308943402907, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014505014897967627, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004239744866380568, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03615613597272216, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03615613597272216, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04556212741477805, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04868265152560902, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009405991442055894, "bench_c_p1d": 0.012526515552886863, "ret_p1w": 0.04399236557072528, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04399236557072528, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02673576337211725, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.024720831701372514, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01725660219860803, "bench_c_p1w": 0.019271533869352764, "ret_p1m": 0.13733854531964318, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13733854531964318, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10554259878214833, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06538382324697989, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031795946537494846, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07195472207266329, "ret_p3m": -0.14874896910346846, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14874896910346846, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17532555556193596, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15727213391058292, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0265765864584675, "bench_c_p3m": 0.008523164807114458, "ret_p6m": 0.5263954088538527, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5263954088538527, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4229487788805242, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5330983092717912, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10344662997332854, "bench_c_p6m": -0.006702900417938529, "price_path": [0.7514, 0.8001, 0.8144, 0.8144, 0.6516, 0.6285, 0.6152, 0.5749, 0.5461, 0.6221, 0.563, 0.8381, 0.7228, 0.8429, 0.8533, 0.8015, 0.9304, 0.9816, 0.8922, 0.8005, 0.8089, 0.7138, 0.7458, 0.8375, 0.8227, 0.7739, 1.0583, 1.0041, 1.0417, 1.0445, 1.0685, 1.0687, 0.8276, 0.8899, 0.8485, 0.8488, 0.766, 0.7389, 0.7983, 0.7851, 0.7156, 0.7853, 0.9528, 0.9699, 0.8712, 0.8111, 0.687, 0.7457, 0.6203, 0.5294, 0.5539, 0.3749, 0.4179, 0.4311, 0.3514, 0.1864, 0.132, 0.1258, 0.0529, 0.0531, -0.0415, -0.0799, -0.0194, 0.0, -0.0362, -0.0014, -0.0014, 0.0988, 0.044, 0.0646, 0.1863, 0.2024, 0.1771, 0.1542, 0.2219, 0.2154, 0.2176, 0.1475, 0.0374, 0.1411, 0.0888, 0.1134, 0.1841, 0.196, 0.1373, 0.1361, 0.1361, 0.1173, 0.1068, 0.0983, 0.0902, 0.0902, 0.1475, 0.1658, 0.1665, 0.1079, 0.1244, 0.1397, 0.1397, 0.1474, 0.1658, 0.0531, 0.0807, 0.0807, -0.0005, -0.0014, -0.0191, -0.0194, -0.0253, -0.0382, 0.0014, -0.0713, -0.1211, -0.1908, -0.2279, -0.2432, -0.3095, -0.2158, -0.1738, -0.1786, -0.2046, -0.2215, -0.1746, -0.1746, -0.1529, -0.1318, -0.1487, -0.1336, -0.1591, -0.1563, 0.143, 0.1989, 0.1471, 0.3217, 0.3697, 0.4472, 0.4537, 0.401, 0.5375, 0.6235, 0.5509, 0.5697, 0.5862, 0.7299, 0.8189, 0.8262, 0.7642, 0.7326, 0.741, 0.3908, 0.4278, 0.351, 0.2876, 0.236, 0.3117, 0.2475, 0.2409, 0.2409, 0.2668, 0.2939, 0.2983, 0.1699, 0.2103, 0.3566, 0.4502, 0.4506, 0.4773, 0.456, 0.4622, 0.32, 0.4347, 0.3749, 0.3701, 0.3121, 0.2971, 0.3137, 0.2494, 0.3706, 0.6432, 0.5698, 0.6745, 0.5569, 0.5627, 0.8114, 0.6999, 0.74, 0.7031, 0.5672, 0.5313, 0.5264]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1992181846134968633", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-11-22T10:42:19+00:00", "symbol": "ALAB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ALAB at $143.4, PT $250 / 6M", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Adopts bullish price targets on NBIS ($400/1Y), RKLB ($500/5Y), CRCL ($150/8M), and ALAB ($250/6M) from the quoted equity ranking table.", "resolved_tickers": ["ALAB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The Neocloud Sector Tierlist.\n\nPost Q3 earnings + Market Sector Drop:\n\n[S] Tier: $NBIS\n[A] Tier:  $CIFR, $WULF, $IREN\n[B] Tier: $GLXY, $CORZ\n[C] Tier:  $APLD, $CLSK\n[D] Tier: $WLAC, $DGDX, $WYFI\n[F] Tier, $CRWV*, $SLNH\n[U] Tier: $GRRR, $MARA, $DGDX, $CLSK, $BITF,  $HIVE, $RIOT **\n\nRanked in order from left to right.\n\n* : Short-term pricing drops created compelling entries (e.g., $CRWV), but med-term (12m) attractiveness remains limited. \n\n**: Uncertain, decided not to rate them (but put them in tierlist photo as F). Some pure miners haven't fully pivot into HPC yet + too much contract uncertainty. \n\nLot of people asked about updates post earnings, these are just personal thoughts based on weighted assessments of:\n\na. Contract visibility and revenue certainty \nb. Resilience to macro tightening and credit conditions c. Balance sheet strength and margin profile \nd. HPC buildout risk (capacity execution and orchestration) \ne. Revenue growth trajectory (1–2 year horizon)\nf. Current market capitalization relative to revenue ramp and infrastructure value\n\nThe whole Neocloud sector is compelling but some have clearly higher asymmetrical return over others as of Q3.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Based on the equity ranking table:\n\nHere's a deeper analysis of each stock, alongside how I reposition my portfolio to capitalize on the market reset:\n\n· $NBIS at $92, PT $400 / 1Y\n· $RKLB at $43, PT $500 / 5Y\n· $CRCL at $72, PT $150 / 8M\n· $ALAB at $143.4, PT $250 / 6M\n· $SNAP https://t.co/VZouD4jsBo", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04027070692549706, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04027070692549706, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02576569202752943, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0019657669797640276, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014505014897967627, "bench_c_m1d": -0.03830493994573303, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.020101531104589676, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.020101531104589676, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02950752254664557, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.022726056123695382, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009405991442055894, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0026245250191057057, "ret_p1w": 0.11803724156620143, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11803724156620143, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1007806393675934, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07722566989691715, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01725660219860803, "bench_c_p1w": 0.040811571669284286, "ret_p1m": 0.14267344724910114, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14267344724910114, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11087750071160629, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06845185443304547, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031795946537494846, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07422159281605567, "ret_p3m": -0.10240274032360408, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.10240274032360408, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12897932678207158, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3157679403531406, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0265765864584675, "bench_c_p3m": 0.21336520002953652, "ret_p6m": 0.6531979323643717, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6531979323643717, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5497513023910432, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0441727221559316, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10344662997332854, "bench_c_p6m": 0.6090252102084401, "price_path": [0.2129, 0.2802, 0.2332, 0.2332, 0.1793, 0.1953, 0.2721, 0.2941, 0.4626, 0.4517, 0.5592, 0.5763, 0.5533, 0.5654, 0.6162, 0.6879, 0.7048, 0.6596, 0.6061, 0.5574, 0.3893, 0.358, 0.3386, 0.3455, 0.3252, 0.3164, 0.4186, 0.3586, 0.4945, 0.4355, 0.4847, 0.5258, 0.3957, 0.3505, 0.0934, 0.0928, 0.1069, 0.0816, 0.0579, 0.0661, 0.0481, 0.1075, 0.1165, 0.1525, 0.1387, 0.1751, 0.1475, 0.2635, 0.2965, 0.2136, 0.2314, 0.1021, 0.1201, 0.1759, 0.134, 0.068, -0.0222, -0.0231, -0.043, -0.0557, -0.0388, -0.0573, -0.0403, 0.0, -0.0201, 0.0438, 0.0438, 0.0665, 0.118, -0.0326, 0.0321, 0.0322, 0.0912, 0.1894, 0.1308, 0.1121, 0.1756, 0.0074, -0.0277, -0.019, -0.0508, -0.0127, 0.1127, 0.1683, 0.1427, 0.1504, 0.1504, 0.132, 0.1513, 0.1563, 0.126, 0.126, 0.2153, 0.131, 0.0897, 0.122, 0.0608, 0.1006, 0.168, 0.2221, 0.1651, 0.1807, 0.2318, 0.2318, 0.2437, 0.1912, 0.1936, 0.1483, 0.1049, 0.1569, 0.1364, 0.086, 0.0194, 0.0317, 0.0729, -0.0208, -0.0334, 0.1496, 0.2702, 0.2376, -0.0273, -0.1433, -0.1247, -0.1247, -0.1628, -0.123, -0.1024, -0.1223, -0.132, -0.131, -0.1327, -0.1562, -0.1957, -0.1841, -0.2569, -0.23, -0.1878, -0.1932, -0.1722, -0.2116, -0.1559, -0.1885, -0.1857, -0.1372, -0.1366, -0.1449, -0.1461, -0.2146, -0.1616, -0.1759, -0.1856, -0.2311, -0.2388, -0.3214, -0.2582, -0.2803, -0.2072, -0.2072, -0.2014, -0.1947, -0.1509, -0.1238, 0.0088, 0.1289, 0.1547, 0.1647, 0.1561, 0.178, 0.1898, 0.2993, 0.3134, 0.337, 0.4405, 0.3309, 0.2407, 0.3323, 0.318, 0.3718, 0.3621, 0.4598, 0.4478, 0.3242, 0.3522, 0.4034, 0.3836, 0.5167, 0.5475, 0.5748, 0.4591, 0.6532]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1996611097311486244", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-04T16:02:35+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it's a pretty obvious negative given how much % margins it is for $IREN", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish IREN: expedited fees are a clear margin negative, and non-payment risks MSFT delays or contract termination.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "On the expedited element alone, it’s a pretty obvious negative given how much % margins it is for $IREN.\n\nAnd it’s even worse if they don’t pay it and face $MSFT delays + contract termination.\n\nThat’s just the objective/non-sugarcoated way to frame it. It’s false if you say everyone needs to pay that much % in expedited. \n\nSometimes there’s negatives about $IREN, not everything is overwhelmingly bullish.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@RJCcapital @aleabitoreddit @DeepValueBagger @Agrippa_Inv While I don’t think 2m expedited is a good thing, not paying it would be a bad thing. CRWV, DataOne both had delays in their buildout.\n\nWhen I worked at ArgoAI during covid supply chain shortage, acceleration fee was just a bid to get the components on time. A public example was", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jiahanjimliu", "ret_m1d": -0.053606063241520285, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.053606063241520285, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.052875541140199656, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0515561516075691, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0007305221013206298, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0020499116339511847, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03745966953471125, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03745966953471125, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03935920637742074, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03783239377821468, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0018995368427094927, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0003727242435034306, "ret_p1w": -0.0540366435953451, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0540366435953451, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.061020955083870176, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07658603009539922, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0069843114885250746, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022549386500054114, "ret_p1m": -0.08073196853404507, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08073196853404507, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0818990101033985, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10797726461139856, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.001167041569353433, "bench_c_p1m": 0.027245296077353487, "ret_p3m": -0.16361683883721456, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.16361683883721456, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.16062201213553307, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12129449575408524, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0029948267016814967, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04232234308312932, "ret_p6m": 0.36792249455081394, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.36792249455081394, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.25629405360785307, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3983670668060043, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11162844094296087, "bench_c_p6m": -0.030444572255190372, "price_path": [-0.4362, -0.3501, -0.276, -0.2928, -0.2689, -0.2004, -0.2153, -0.1841, -0.2181, -0.1681, -0.098, -0.1008, 0.0149, -0.0034, -0.0988, -0.0112, 0.0103, 0.0136, 0.0123, 0.0863, 0.2433, 0.3279, 0.2936, 0.3746, 0.2868, 0.3808, 0.4975, 0.4635, 0.3311, 0.3072, 0.2749, 0.1883, 0.1158, 0.2026, 0.3541, 0.3991, 0.3438, 0.3008, 0.2534, 0.3079, 0.4586, 0.4344, 0.645, 0.4416, 0.3429, 0.2954, 0.2353, 0.1991, 0.0474, -0.0017, 0.0207, 0.0517, -0.0133, -0.0642, -0.0902, 0.0439, 0.022, 0.0431, 0.0431, 0.0293, 0.0439, -0.1147, -0.0536, 0.0, -0.0375, -0.0024, 0.0084, -0.0545, -0.054, -0.1361, -0.2362, -0.2123, -0.2728, -0.2293, -0.1406, -0.0949, -0.0943, -0.0962, -0.0962, -0.1324, -0.1516, -0.1755, -0.1869, -0.1869, -0.0807, 0.0385, -0.0116, -0.0608, -0.0166, -0.009, 0.0835, 0.1408, 0.1384, 0.1171, 0.2448, 0.2448, 0.1681, 0.1513, 0.1251, 0.2202, 0.1272, 0.2915, 0.355, 0.2883, 0.1569, 0.1427, 0.1709, -0.0325, -0.1434, -0.0995, -0.0065, -0.0758, -0.0814, -0.1382, -0.0911, -0.0911, -0.118, -0.0941, -0.068, -0.1393, -0.0881, -0.0215, -0.0521, -0.0476, -0.1184, -0.1089, -0.1636, -0.0562, -0.1362, -0.2099, -0.1638, -0.1793, -0.0962, -0.1094, -0.1048, -0.0325, -0.0751, -0.0913, -0.1031, -0.1111, -0.0924, -0.1147, -0.1081, -0.1938, -0.2446, -0.3193, -0.262, -0.2661, -0.2515, -0.2515, -0.2437, -0.2306, -0.2071, -0.2022, -0.1535, -0.0728, 0.0198, 0.051, 0.0269, 0.036, 0.0489, -0.0276, 0.0418, 0.1199, 0.0902, 0.0411, -0.0433, -0.0773, -0.0202, -0.017, 0.0652, 0.1785, 0.3128, 0.2239, 0.3175, 0.1873, 0.2177, 0.1877, 0.2573, 0.1397, 0.0863, 0.0278, 0.1348, 0.2499, 0.2235, 0.2235, 0.287, 0.4605, 0.3789, 0.3679]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2000326242713862431", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-14T22:05:15+00:00", "symbol": "SNAP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it's undervalued right now, 2% adoption leads to a huge increase in revenue", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "SNAP is undervalued; even 2% memory monetization adoption drives meaningful revenue upside plus opex cuts from GCP cost reductions.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNAP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bruh, I’ve been bull posting $SNAP too but adoption rate of memory monetization is probably single low digit at best.\n\nMajority of people don’t have over 5 GB used. \n\nSo how are majority of 80% or even 25% (from your previous post) of the 943M monthly users paying for extra storage?\n\nAlso it’s been a generational wealth destroyer.\n\nThat being said it’s undervalued right now, 2% adoption leads to a huge increase in revenue but the core thing people miss is opex cuts from GCP costs from 9 GB wasteful hotdog videos.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$SNAP community…\n\nI don’t know who hurt you…\n\nBut I won’t be talking about you anymore 😂", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "wealthmatica", "ret_m1d": 0.006887012716445318, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006887012716445318, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0053738386975556995, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007058473522994824, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0015131740188896181, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00017146080654950602, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01515146738420814, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01515146738420814, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01788376497948685, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014465097194332532, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00273229759527871, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0006863701898756069, "ret_p1w": 0.09366388524802494, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09366388524802494, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0846681599353225, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08965184728977738, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00899572531270243, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004012037958247561, "ret_p1m": 0.10055089796447025, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10055089796447025, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07838340805875932, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09455945269280996, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022167489905710935, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0059914452716602895, "ret_p3m": -0.359504139287939, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.359504139287939, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3408449660232469, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3515533771930687, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.01865917326469213, "bench_c_p3m": -0.007950762094870334, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1006, 0.1625, 0.124, 0.1749, 0.1598, 0.1322, 0.1474, 0.1391, 0.157, 0.062, 0.062, 0.1322, 0.1763, 0.1736, 0.1198, 0.1612, 0.1543, 0.0716, 0.1088, 0.0909, 0.0895, 0.0689, 0.0537, 0.0647, 0.0813, 0.0702, 0.084, 0.095, 0.0895, 0.0661, 0.0661, 0.0468, 0.0744, 0.0771, 0.0289, 0.0055, 0.1033, 0.1309, 0.197, 0.2066, 0.2521, 0.1818, 0.1804, 0.1267, 0.1364, 0.1061, 0.0716, 0.0592, 0.0579, 0.0523, 0.0482, 0.0482, 0.0579, 0.0523, 0.0496, 0.0551, 0.0689, 0.0895, 0.1061, 0.0909, 0.0909, 0.0523, 0.0069, 0.0, 0.0152, 0.0331, 0.051, 0.0427, 0.0937, 0.0758, 0.0813, 0.0813, 0.0826, 0.0854, 0.1116, 0.1116, 0.1116, 0.1198, 0.1364, 0.2107, 0.1873, 0.157, 0.1309, 0.1281, 0.1006, 0.0882, 0.0689, 0.0372, 0.0372, 0.0124, 0.0152, 0.0551, 0.0496, 0.0413, 0.0275, 0.0565, -0.0028, -0.0455, -0.0826, -0.1598, -0.186, -0.2948, -0.281, -0.2851, -0.2796, -0.3127, -0.3361, -0.3347, -0.3347, -0.3485, -0.3278, -0.3113, -0.292, -0.3209, -0.3154, -0.3017, -0.2755, -0.2824, -0.2755, -0.2769, -0.2603, -0.2645, -0.2893, -0.2934, -0.3237, -0.3306, -0.3595, -0.3719, -0.3554, -0.3595, -0.3636, -0.3719, -0.3829, -0.3788, -0.3994, -0.3815, -0.4477, -0.4587, -0.4463, -0.3664, -0.3251, -0.3623, -0.3623, -0.3512, -0.3388, -0.3485, -0.3182, -0.3361, -0.2906, -0.2287, -0.168, -0.1708, -0.1694, -0.1736, -0.2231, -0.1956, -0.2328, -0.2218, -0.1653, -0.1804, -0.1763, -0.1639, -0.1336, -0.1501, -0.1584, -0.1584, -0.1763, -0.1625, -0.208, -0.2355, -0.2273, -0.2617, -0.2383, -0.219, -0.2355, -0.2259, -0.2163, -0.2121, -0.2121, -0.208, -0.1901, -0.186, -0.2135, -0.2135, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1993908775376371945", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-27T05:04:31+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I've never seen any single company scale this incredibly fast before compared to $NBIS. Growing 700%+ Y/Y, when you're already doing $1B+ ARR from 300%+ Y/Y growth, is just unspeakably high growth. I haven't seen such a stupidly high potential stock sitting at a low marketcap before.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Strongly bullish NBIS on 700%+ Y/Y growth, $1B+ ARR, and Avride autonomous vehicle optionality; calls it uniquely high-potential at low market cap.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I've seen $HOOD, I've seen $META at IPO. Aside from maybe $NVDA, I've never seen any single company scale this incredibly fast before compared to $NBIS. \n\nGrowing 700%+ Y/Y, when you're already doing $1B+ ARR from 300%+ Y/Y growth, is just unspeakably high growth.\n\nThat's just the core business alone. \n\nIn my post above, Avride is at the precipice of scaling like Waymo with $UBER. If their Texas launch goes well, we might just see this pop up everywhere around the map.\n\nHard to give a price target. I normally don't bullpost a single stock but I haven't seen such a stupidly high potential stock sitting at a low marketcap before.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I am so tempted to full port to NBIS. What price target do you give it in the next 3 and 5 years?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Batemanzm75", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0019009430830585483, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0019009430830585483, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0035574632555563923, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00622422630590691, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005458406338614941, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008125169388965459, "ret_p1w": 0.08564790792322552, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08564790792322552, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07871824252335347, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07402809323810788, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006929665399872054, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011619814685117635, "ret_p1m": -0.0749815811643798, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0749815811643798, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09362234586868434, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10898401768209143, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018640764704304535, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03400243651771162, "ret_p3m": 0.08332452409145019, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08332452409145019, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0690516585030807, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06518662201906844, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014272865588369488, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01813790207238175, "ret_p6m": 1.2681381216075018, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.2681381216075018, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.1648459096533572, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.2529063304181431, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10329221195414462, "bench_c_p6m": 0.01523179118935869, "price_path": [-0.2785, -0.3059, -0.3067, -0.3145, -0.3086, -0.3235, 0.0109, -0.0137, -0.0581, -0.0452, -0.0394, -0.0555, -0.0064, -0.006, 0.0488, 0.1258, 0.1385, 0.1958, 0.1399, 0.1374, 0.164, 0.1857, 0.2209, 0.3293, 0.3516, 0.3195, 0.243, 0.2884, 0.4008, 0.3685, 0.4306, 0.3534, 0.3289, 0.2994, 0.198, 0.1511, 0.1013, 0.0415, 0.1211, 0.2384, 0.3246, 0.2866, 0.3212, 0.3114, 0.3816, 0.2723, 0.1674, 0.2356, 0.1558, 0.1752, 0.1612, 0.0795, -0.0035, -0.064, -0.1178, -0.092, -0.0438, 0.004, -0.1061, -0.1207, -0.0295, -0.0614, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0019, 0.0577, 0.0186, 0.0447, 0.0856, 0.0354, 0.0596, 0.0182, -0.0116, -0.0043, -0.0739, -0.1431, -0.1451, -0.2032, -0.1753, -0.0552, -0.0154, -0.0492, -0.0376, -0.0376, -0.075, -0.0914, -0.1005, -0.116, -0.116, -0.0501, -0.0196, 0.0586, 0.0161, 0.0276, 0.0342, 0.1335, 0.1134, 0.077, 0.0971, 0.1483, 0.1483, 0.0486, 0.0441, 0.0228, -0.002, -0.0341, 0.0336, 0.0606, 0.0023, -0.1003, -0.069, -0.0501, -0.1299, -0.2199, -0.0907, -0.0191, -0.0306, -0.0642, -0.0524, 0.0351, 0.0351, 0.0299, 0.0751, 0.1364, 0.0341, 0.0625, 0.0833, 0.1207, 0.1076, -0.037, -0.0389, -0.0833, 0.0326, 0.0101, -0.0566, 0.0026, 0.0184, 0.1828, 0.141, 0.1928, 0.3713, 0.2285, 0.2521, 0.2833, 0.2422, 0.2055, 0.2135, 0.2154, 0.1191, 0.0647, -0.0257, 0.0958, 0.0767, 0.1492, 0.1492, 0.1885, 0.2398, 0.3201, 0.4398, 0.531, 0.6323, 0.7102, 0.7612, 0.7461, 0.6595, 0.6809, 0.6533, 0.649, 0.6589, 0.5541, 0.5309, 0.4311, 0.4911, 0.4598, 0.6315, 0.8631, 0.8579, 1.0603, 0.9513, 0.8698, 0.9654, 0.8915, 1.1889, 1.3355, 1.3227, 1.1107, 1.0882, 1.0258, 1.3226, 1.2681]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1979242291756961839", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-17T17:45:09+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I just added $HIMS today actually at $50.7 on the 14.34% drop", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bought HIMS on the dip at $50.7, embracing the volatility.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DeepValueBagger I just added $HIMS today actually at $50.7 on the 14.34% drop\n\nEmbrace the volatility 🎢", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "While I am bullish for $HIMS fixing women menopause everywhere, I don't miss the price roller coaster. https://t.co/BDT12l8hNf", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DeepValueBagger", "ret_m1d": 0.18822826388816516, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.18822826388816516, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.1938726181111432, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.1938726181111432, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005644354222978043, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005644354222978043, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.031739692040968936, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.031739692040968936, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.021339216641347303, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.021339216641347303, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010400475399621634, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010400475399621634, "ret_p1w": -0.020088389403815965, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.020088389403815965, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03944446017272618, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03944446017272618, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.019356070768910216, "bench_c_p1w": 0.019356070768910216, "ret_p1m": -0.2852550682292877, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2852550682292877, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.28718157493639873, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.28718157493639873, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.001926506707111031, "bench_c_p1m": 0.001926506707111031, "ret_p3m": -0.37083165000297325, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.37083165000297325, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.41299047575408177, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.41299047575408177, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04215882575110852, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04215882575110852, "ret_p6m": -0.5751305717724043, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5751305717724043, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.6136871293233276, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.6136871293233276, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.03855655755092324, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03855655755092324, "price_path": [0.0046, 0.1655, 0.1515, 0.1581, 0.1788, 0.2107, 0.3164, 0.3294, 0.2565, 0.2726, 0.1153, 0.0271, 0.0255, 0.0434, 0.004, -0.0366, -0.0291, -0.0532, -0.0755, -0.094, -0.1527, -0.1286, -0.1169, -0.1047, -0.1364, -0.089, -0.1159, -0.1137, -0.1493, -0.1493, -0.1657, -0.1069, -0.0335, -0.0275, -0.0028, -0.04, -0.0402, 0.0398, 0.1149, 0.084, 0.0223, 0.0115, 0.129, 0.1615, 0.1591, 0.1249, 0.0697, 0.1022, 0.1732, 0.1876, 0.1394, 0.1312, 0.1625, 0.0554, 0.1, 0.1645, 0.1685, 0.1701, 0.0838, 0.0994, 0.0852, 0.2607, 0.1882, 0.0, 0.0317, -0.0084, -0.0466, -0.0259, -0.0201, -0.0311, -0.0534, -0.0633, -0.1149, -0.0868, -0.1083, -0.1404, -0.1215, -0.1659, -0.1758, -0.1754, -0.2015, -0.2162, -0.2758, -0.2571, -0.2853, -0.2716, -0.2802, -0.3246, -0.3027, -0.2411, -0.2549, -0.2286, -0.2286, -0.2013, -0.2465, -0.2706, -0.2553, -0.1961, -0.2125, -0.2141, -0.2001, -0.2391, -0.2413, -0.2525, -0.2718, -0.2595, -0.2975, -0.3015, -0.2857, -0.2959, -0.3009, -0.3035, -0.3035, -0.3108, -0.315, -0.3363, -0.3477, -0.3477, -0.3288, -0.3027, -0.2877, -0.2877, -0.3196, -0.3634, -0.3503, -0.3532, -0.3708, -0.3726, -0.3696, -0.3696, -0.3879, -0.4196, -0.3869, -0.405, -0.3917, -0.4038, -0.4241, -0.4, -0.4558, -0.4689, -0.4869, -0.5098, -0.5283, -0.5376, -0.6117, -0.6537, -0.6647, -0.6826, -0.6726, -0.6726, -0.6732, -0.6818, -0.6822, -0.686, -0.6884, -0.6894, -0.6822, -0.6866, -0.7083, -0.6689, -0.6822, -0.6695, -0.681, -0.6838, -0.5548, -0.5285, -0.4801, -0.5211, -0.5024, -0.5002, -0.4982, -0.535, -0.5147, -0.5577, -0.5488, -0.5713, -0.5814, -0.581, -0.6107, -0.6227, -0.583, -0.6014, -0.6155, -0.6155, -0.5916, -0.6083, -0.6105, -0.6033, -0.6097, -0.5751]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1998858496171979221", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-10T20:52:57+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "even with 10% dilution, it doesn't really change the fact as you mentioned Nebius has $8B midpoint ARR EOY 2026, they launched Robotaxis with Avride, $META $3B deal, Clickhouse is growing incredibly fast, and their other two subsidaries are growing 100% Y/Y... Institutional ownership is now probably closer to 52%... Painful hold at this point, but keep in mind it can move 35% on a random week", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS: strong fundamentals (ARR, META deal, subsidiaries growth, rising institutional ownership) despite ATM overhang/sector drag; painful hold but upside remains.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So from what I've seen personally with $NBIS, it's largely ATM overhang + sector drag + short term shorts, and large amounts of open interest expiring on the 19th. \n\nFor example, $CRWV was up 5.13% yesterday, while $NBIS was down 3.91% same day, and I'd attribute that to either shorts/ATMs. \n\nIt's a little unfortunate, even as the largest beneficiary of rate cuts (neocloud sector), $NBIS is down 2% today while other retail favorites like $RKLB are up 8%+.\n\nPrice action makes you doubt yourself sometimes, but even with 10% dilution, it doesn't really change the fact as you mentioned Nebius has $8B midpoint ARR EOY 2026, they launched Robotaxis with Avride, $META $3B deal, Clickhouse is growing incredibly fast, and their other two subsidaries are growing 100% Y/Y with Toloka benefiting from $META Scale acquisition. \n\nInstitutional ownership is now probably closer to 52%(bloomberg terminal 50's last month pre msci) from high 30's last quarter and institutions are definitely acquiring shares from retail capitulating.\n\nPainful hold at this point, but keep in mind it can move 35% on a random week as one of the highest beta stocks in the market. (went from $100 to $140 to $95 to $130 in the span of 2-3 weeks).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit NBIS’ price action has been disgustingly detached from fundamentals lately. It’s at the same price 3 months ago but since then: 3 rate cuts, META deal, MSCI Inclusion, scaling up ARR to $7B-$9B, and analysts PT increased to avg $164. I don’t think it’s just the offering, momentum", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Neomeldir", "ret_m1d": 0.03013150373505291, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03013150373505291, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03671998530163312, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03594001103807398, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0065884815665802066, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005808507303021071, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.007372608915541701, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.007372608915541701, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00504566078501445, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00959352227034016, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002326948130527251, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0022209133547984594, "ret_p1w": -0.19382412757189438, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.19382412757189438, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.17030646227265012, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.18306128013810163, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02351766529924426, "bench_c_p1w": -0.010762847433792744, "ret_p1m": 0.03964106057310701, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03964106057310701, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03385632019275886, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.032890168724982516, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005784740380348152, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006750891848124496, "ret_p3m": 0.014424683794640458, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.014424683794640458, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.02503562083473565, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.006988254414123096, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.010610937040095192, "bench_c_p3m": 0.007436429380517362, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.034, -0.0281, -0.0444, 0.0052, 0.0057, 0.0611, 0.139, 0.1518, 0.2099, 0.1533, 0.1508, 0.1777, 0.1996, 0.2353, 0.3449, 0.3675, 0.335, 0.2576, 0.3036, 0.4172, 0.3845, 0.4474, 0.3693, 0.3445, 0.3147, 0.2121, 0.1647, 0.1142, 0.0537, 0.1343, 0.2529, 0.3402, 0.3017, 0.3367, 0.3269, 0.3978, 0.2872, 0.1811, 0.2501, 0.1694, 0.189, 0.1748, 0.0922, 0.0082, -0.053, -0.1074, -0.0813, -0.0326, 0.0158, -0.0956, -0.1104, -0.0181, -0.0503, 0.0118, 0.0118, 0.0137, 0.0701, 0.0306, 0.057, 0.0984, 0.0475, 0.072, 0.0301, 0.0, 0.0074, -0.063, -0.133, -0.1351, -0.1938, -0.1656, -0.0441, -0.0038, -0.038, -0.0263, -0.0263, -0.0641, -0.0807, -0.09, -0.1056, -0.1056, -0.0389, -0.0081, 0.0711, 0.028, 0.0396, 0.0464, 0.1468, 0.1265, 0.0896, 0.11, 0.1618, 0.1618, 0.0609, 0.0564, 0.0348, 0.0097, -0.0228, 0.0457, 0.0731, 0.0141, -0.0898, -0.058, -0.0389, -0.1197, -0.2107, -0.08, -0.0076, -0.0192, -0.0532, -0.0412, 0.0472, 0.0472, 0.042, 0.0877, 0.1498, 0.0463, 0.075, 0.0961, 0.1339, 0.1206, -0.0256, -0.0276, -0.0726, 0.0448, 0.022, -0.0455, 0.0144, 0.0303, 0.1967, 0.1544, 0.2069, 0.3874, 0.243, 0.2668, 0.2984, 0.2568, 0.2197, 0.2278, 0.2297, 0.1323, 0.0773, -0.0142, 0.1087, 0.0893, 0.1627, 0.1627, 0.2025, 0.2544, 0.3356, 0.4567, 0.549, 0.6515, 0.7303, 0.7819, 0.7666, 0.679, 0.7006, 0.6727, 0.6683, 0.6784, 0.5724, 0.5489, 0.4479, 0.5086, 0.477, 0.6507, 0.885, 0.8797, 1.0845, 0.9742, 0.8918, 0.9885, 0.9138, 1.2147, 1.363, 1.35, 1.1355, 1.1127, 1.0496, 1.3499, 1.2948, 1.2948, 1.2231, 1.2264, 1.4184, 1.4692, 1.4692, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1990818240545882465", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-18T16:23:50+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS, $CIFR are my favorite two in the Neoclouder sector. Nebius is top because it owns the full AI-cloud value chain for higher revenue potential and stronger returns", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long both NBIS (top pick, full AI-cloud value chain, higher upside) and CIFR (safer, hyperscaler-backed annuity structure, capped but durable upside) in the Neocloud sector.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Appreciate, @accounting_ds for summarizing my opinion. I'll post a deeper dive into everything tomorrow.\n\n$NBIS, $CIFR are my favorite two in the Neoclouder sector. CIFR sits right below Nebius though.\n\nNebius is top because it owns the full AI-cloud value chain for higher revenue potential and stronger returns, even though it forces them to handle orchestration, software, and GPU lifecycle risk instead of sticking to colocation. \n\nI like $CIFR because it avoids that entire risk surface and has backing from $AMZN and $GOOGL for long term revenue anchors. It also stays insulated from GPU procurement, management, and depreciation.\n\nFor CIFR's economics we get a a high-margin, annuity structure built on space, power, and cooling for hyperscalers. Risk-adjusted, it’s one of the safest names in the group. But the trade-off is capped upside\n\nLong leases like 10Y, 15Y slow the revenue ramp and mute the payoff relative to full-stack Neocloud operators like NBIS that go from $145m quarterly revenue to $2.1B in a year.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@accounting_ds Curious Serenitys thoughts on $CIFR, I like $NBIS but come on now…", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LandoInvests", "ret_m1d": -0.05036445231371456, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05036445231371456, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05883312117749129, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04472983004313924, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00846866886377673, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005634622270575318, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05003312053777531, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05003312053777531, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04616992039493839, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.055578259666548724, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00386320014283692, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005545139128773413, "ret_p1w": -0.018334478079563232, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.018334478079563232, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.040968183136140035, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04060444906175309, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022633705056576803, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022269970982189857, "ret_p1m": -0.16666670879939505, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16666670879939505, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.18381616311760907, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.20244162937366383, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01714945431821402, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03577492057426879, "ret_p3m": 0.08250498282712115, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08250498282712115, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.046623708602495206, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0544132510007489, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03588127422462595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.028091731826372257, "ret_p6m": 1.289264437558833, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.289264437558833, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.1582852791065308, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.2382690045641254, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13097915845230212, "bench_c_p6m": 0.050995432994707546, "price_path": [-0.2691, -0.2381, -0.2266, -0.2216, -0.2258, -0.2043, -0.2454, -0.2454, -0.2741, -0.2749, -0.2831, -0.2769, -0.2925, 0.0572, 0.0315, -0.0149, -0.0014, 0.0046, -0.0123, 0.0391, 0.0395, 0.0969, 0.1774, 0.1906, 0.2506, 0.1922, 0.1895, 0.2174, 0.24, 0.2769, 0.3902, 0.4135, 0.3799, 0.3, 0.3475, 0.465, 0.4312, 0.4961, 0.4154, 0.3898, 0.359, 0.2529, 0.2039, 0.1518, 0.0892, 0.1725, 0.2951, 0.3854, 0.3456, 0.3817, 0.3715, 0.4449, 0.3306, 0.2209, 0.2922, 0.2087, 0.2291, 0.2144, 0.129, 0.0422, -0.0211, -0.0773, -0.0504, 0.0, 0.05, -0.0652, -0.0804, 0.015, -0.0183, 0.0458, 0.0458, 0.0478, 0.1061, 0.0653, 0.0926, 0.1354, 0.0828, 0.1081, 0.0648, 0.0337, 0.0413, -0.0315, -0.1038, -0.1059, -0.1667, -0.1375, -0.0119, 0.0297, -0.0056, 0.0065, 0.0065, -0.0326, -0.0497, -0.0593, -0.0755, -0.0755, -0.0065, 0.0253, 0.1071, 0.0626, 0.0747, 0.0816, 0.1854, 0.1645, 0.1264, 0.1474, 0.2009, 0.2009, 0.0966, 0.092, 0.0697, 0.0437, 0.0102, 0.081, 0.1092, 0.0483, -0.0591, -0.0263, -0.0065, -0.09, -0.1841, -0.049, 0.0258, 0.0138, -0.0213, -0.0089, 0.0825, 0.0825, 0.0771, 0.1244, 0.1885, 0.0815, 0.1112, 0.133, 0.1721, 0.1584, 0.0072, 0.0052, -0.0413, 0.08, 0.0564, -0.0134, 0.0486, 0.0651, 0.237, 0.1933, 0.2475, 0.4342, 0.2848, 0.3095, 0.3422, 0.2991, 0.2608, 0.2692, 0.2712, 0.1704, 0.1135, 0.019, 0.146, 0.126, 0.2019, 0.2019, 0.243, 0.2967, 0.3806, 0.5057, 0.6012, 0.7071, 0.7886, 0.8419, 0.8262, 0.7356, 0.7579, 0.7291, 0.7245, 0.7349, 0.6254, 0.6011, 0.4967, 0.5594, 0.5267, 0.7063, 0.9485, 0.943, 1.1547, 1.0408, 0.9555, 1.0554, 0.9782, 1.2893]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1990818240545882465", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-18T16:23:50+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I like $CIFR because it avoids that entire risk surface and has backing from $AMZN and $GOOGL for long term revenue anchors. Risk-adjusted, it's one of the safest names in the group", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long both NBIS (top pick, full AI-cloud value chain, higher upside) and CIFR (safer, hyperscaler-backed annuity structure, capped but durable upside) in the Neocloud sector.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Appreciate, @accounting_ds for summarizing my opinion. I'll post a deeper dive into everything tomorrow.\n\n$NBIS, $CIFR are my favorite two in the Neoclouder sector. CIFR sits right below Nebius though.\n\nNebius is top because it owns the full AI-cloud value chain for higher revenue potential and stronger returns, even though it forces them to handle orchestration, software, and GPU lifecycle risk instead of sticking to colocation. \n\nI like $CIFR because it avoids that entire risk surface and has backing from $AMZN and $GOOGL for long term revenue anchors. It also stays insulated from GPU procurement, management, and depreciation.\n\nFor CIFR's economics we get a a high-margin, annuity structure built on space, power, and cooling for hyperscalers. Risk-adjusted, it’s one of the safest names in the group. But the trade-off is capped upside\n\nLong leases like 10Y, 15Y slow the revenue ramp and mute the payoff relative to full-stack Neocloud operators like NBIS that go from $145m quarterly revenue to $2.1B in a year.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@accounting_ds Curious Serenitys thoughts on $CIFR, I like $NBIS but come on now…", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LandoInvests", "ret_m1d": -0.015775002979414587, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.015775002979414587, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.024243671843191317, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.032296589617641036, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00846866886377673, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01652158663822645, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.002743481622931254, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.002743481622931254, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0011197185199056658, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004209085427709258, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00386320014283692, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006952567050640512, "ret_p1w": 0.20164612821961558, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.20164612821961558, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.17901242316303878, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.19652125038087087, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022633705056576803, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0051248778387447125, "ret_p1m": -0.013031521356483333, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.013031521356483333, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.030180975674697352, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.012135498502526598, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01714945431821402, "bench_c_p1m": -0.000896022853956735, "ret_p3m": 0.12620028547436268, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12620028547436268, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09031901124973674, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12436053230727295, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03588127422462595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0018397531670897305, "ret_p6m": 0.45679011538151104, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.45679011538151104, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3258109569292089, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.18568332097291296, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.13097915845230212, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2711067944085981, "price_path": [-0.5953, -0.5624, -0.5446, -0.5117, -0.5206, -0.5185, -0.476, -0.476, -0.4294, -0.4438, -0.4925, -0.4842, -0.4705, -0.3676, -0.297, -0.3162, -0.2558, -0.2558, -0.2106, -0.1509, -0.1872, -0.1578, -0.0425, -0.0295, -0.0302, -0.2003, -0.2133, -0.1324, -0.1365, -0.1358, -0.0528, 0.0082, 0.0521, 0.0802, 0.2071, 0.2339, 0.1639, 0.3951, 0.4328, 0.4424, 0.284, 0.2867, 0.3656, 0.2397, 0.1049, 0.1835, 0.417, 0.4088, 0.369, 0.3436, 0.308, 0.2791, 0.561, 0.5439, 0.6948, 0.489, 0.4191, 0.3477, 0.2805, 0.192, 0.024, -0.0151, -0.0158, 0.0, 0.0027, -0.0014, -0.0295, 0.1461, 0.2016, 0.3134, 0.3134, 0.3957, 0.3505, 0.2099, 0.2778, 0.3601, 0.3224, 0.3361, 0.3416, 0.2675, 0.2949, 0.1694, 0.011, 0.0281, -0.013, 0.0391, 0.1118, 0.1207, 0.0912, 0.1125, 0.1125, 0.0418, 0.0343, 0.0007, 0.0123, 0.0123, 0.1111, 0.2455, 0.203, 0.1029, 0.1351, 0.1406, 0.2126, 0.2517, 0.2435, 0.2016, 0.2894, 0.2894, 0.2291, 0.2154, 0.1927, 0.2051, 0.131, 0.286, 0.3011, 0.214, 0.0947, 0.0844, 0.1152, -0.0226, -0.1289, 0.0103, 0.1495, 0.1728, 0.1166, 0.1043, 0.1262, 0.1262, 0.0727, 0.0576, 0.0837, 0.0048, 0.0439, 0.1742, 0.1392, 0.1303, 0.07, 0.0809, 0.0089, 0.1001, 0.0391, -0.0658, -0.0185, -0.0425, -0.0322, -0.0597, -0.0343, 0.0384, 0.035, 0.0062, 0.0041, -0.0391, 0.0213, 0.0206, 0.0892, -0.0158, -0.0573, -0.1759, -0.1173, -0.1331, -0.1207, -0.1207, -0.0844, -0.0391, 0.0576, 0.1221, 0.1337, 0.2181, 0.2654, 0.2346, 0.1893, 0.3285, 0.323, 0.2373, 0.3333, 0.2819, 0.2483, 0.2455, 0.1838, 0.1605, 0.2167, 0.1687, 0.227, 0.5158, 0.5027, 0.4187, 0.4095, 0.3909, 0.3759, 0.4568]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1980786077003833508", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-21T23:59:36+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Nebius is a screaming buy and a once-in-a-generational company in the marketing as a $26B company and $100/share", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Strong long NBIS: 1000%+ revenue growth, institutional accumulation, $400 PT; dip on no news doesn't change conviction.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Nebius is playing out exactly how institutions wanted:\n\nRetail panic.\n\nCapitulation.\n\nLiquidity.\n\nI’ve been saying this for weeks: $NBIS Institutional ownership is ~38%. Every trick in the book will be used to get that number to 65-80% like $HOOD:\n\nHere's what and why this is happening:\n\nNebius got put on Wall Street's radar after the MSFT 17-19 billion dollar deal last month. Before then institutional ownership was sitting in <30%'s due to a non-traditional public listing.\n\nMeanwhile we were able to see Nebius's fundamentals exploding:\n\n1. 🚀 1,000%+ forward revenue growth with 55-75% gross margins to 4-6B+ ARR. \n\n2. 💼 Large ownership of companies like Clickhouse powering Anthropic, Meta, Lyft, etc.\n\n3. ⚡ NBIS powering Microsoft Azure + likely more Mag7 infrastructure, the cash cows of Hyperscalers\n\n4. 🌊 Huge moat from full-stack + software GPU orchestration, leading to higher gross margins. \n\n5. 💸 Largest datacenter builtout in history, with Meta signing deals with CRWV, and other hyperscalers following-suit.  We've seen forward projections with TSM on this buildout, and they're blowout numbers.\n\n6. 🏦 3X rate cuts boosting forward revenue projections.\n\nNebius is a screaming buy and a once-in-a-generational company in the marketing as a $26B company and $100/share.\n\nWe've seen this play with Robinhood, when they would have 50% below MC price targets, hit-pieces when share price was $20. Yet Robinhood grew from $150m quarterly revenue to $950m-1B, and market cap went from $15B to $130B and then became the darling of Wall Street.  \n\nWall Street and institutional investors see this clearly with Nebius for the next year but don't have large positions yet.\n\nHowever, retail only sees the dropping price, sensationalist articles about Oracle losing $100m trying to enter the space, and the current 100M revenue numbers instead of the projected $1B+/quarter. \n\nSo, even if price can seem like they're dropping off marginal trades are executed at lower prices, even if more shares get bought:\n\n1. Retail panic-sells, gets margin liquidated.\n\n2. Mechanical hedging from MM's from short-dated options (couterparty to retail selling CSPs or buying short dated calls) exacerbates downside, creating a sell-off)\n\n3. MMs from Citadel to Virtu absorb the flow by buying from retail.\n\n4. MMs hedge + rebalance by offload to insitutions in block trades + dark pools. (harvesting selloff by institutions)\n\n5. Institutions get low-visibility accumulation while keeping price down. (eg. 100k shares sold by retail, and 150k shares bought by institutions, while price drops.)\n\nRetail sees \"red days\" and thinks \"no one’s buying\" while accumulation continues quietly.\n\nRetail sentiment is collapsing but fundamentals have only improved (eg. new Israel data center build out for more ~80m+ ARR based on estimates).\n\nIt's a slow, strategic process to accumulate a large percentage of a company's float as hedge funds and institutions see Nebius as a potential next 100B+ company.\n\nThe fundamentals haven’t changed - only the share price and retail sentiment have.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The -17% dip in $NBIS on no material news doesn't change any conviction. My bull-case PT is still $400. \n\nWe've seen this move before:\n\n- $ASTS ER drop from $58 -&gt; $36, into $83.\n\n- $GOOGL AI search drop from $170 -&gt; $144 into $257.\n\n- $HOOD Macro drop from $40 -&gt; $28, into $135 https://t.co/hiItOTDfZu", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.045262766359374096, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.045262766359374096, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04524786165575145, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.048777572966020366, "bench_spy_m1d": 1.4904703622642401e-05, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00351480660664627, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05427690927283124, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05427690927283124, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04907800234539017, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04561851535171679, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0051989069274410715, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008658393921114449, "ret_p1w": 0.16829692421555809, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16829692421555809, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14480482530867644, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.16889705328576543, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.023492098906881642, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0006001290702073447, "ret_p1m": -0.08831990019452474, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08831990019452474, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07541937628962037, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04151318980758534, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01290052390490437, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0468067103869394, "ret_p3m": 0.042673615551673816, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.042673615551673816, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.009284519119612922, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05216489673014646, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.033389096432060894, "bench_c_p3m": -0.009491281178472644, "ret_p6m": 0.5992520735008913, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5992520735008913, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5506360392401897, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5866874758631762, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0486160342607016, "bench_c_p6m": 0.012564597637715114, "price_path": [-0.4998, -0.5074, -0.4942, -0.5167, -0.5082, -0.478, -0.5013, -0.4805, -0.4709, -0.4717, -0.3737, -0.3404, -0.3264, -0.2776, -0.3227, -0.3435, -0.3132, -0.3044, -0.3557, -0.353, -0.3654, -0.3385, -0.3285, -0.3241, -0.3278, -0.3092, -0.3448, -0.3448, -0.3698, -0.3704, -0.3775, -0.3722, -0.3857, -0.0821, -0.1044, -0.1447, -0.133, -0.1277, -0.1424, -0.0978, -0.0974, -0.0477, 0.0222, 0.0338, 0.0858, 0.0351, 0.0328, 0.057, 0.0766, 0.1086, 0.207, 0.2273, 0.1981, 0.1287, 0.1699, 0.272, 0.2426, 0.299, 0.2289, 0.2067, 0.1799, 0.0878, 0.0453, 0.0, -0.0543, 0.018, 0.1245, 0.2028, 0.1683, 0.1997, 0.1908, 0.2545, 0.1553, 0.06, 0.122, 0.0495, 0.0671, 0.0544, -0.0198, -0.0951, -0.1501, -0.1989, -0.1755, -0.1318, -0.0883, -0.1883, -0.2016, -0.1187, -0.1477, -0.092, -0.092, -0.0902, -0.0396, -0.0751, -0.0514, -0.0142, -0.0598, -0.0379, -0.0755, -0.1025, -0.0959, -0.1591, -0.2219, -0.2237, -0.2765, -0.2512, -0.1421, -0.106, -0.1367, -0.1261, -0.1261, -0.16, -0.1749, -0.1833, -0.1973, -0.1973, -0.1374, -0.1098, -0.0387, -0.0774, -0.0669, -0.0609, 0.0292, 0.011, -0.0221, -0.0038, 0.0427, 0.0427, -0.0479, -0.0519, -0.0713, -0.0938, -0.1229, -0.0615, -0.0369, -0.0899, -0.1831, -0.1546, -0.1374, -0.2099, -0.2916, -0.1743, -0.1093, -0.1198, -0.1503, -0.1395, -0.0601, -0.0601, -0.0648, -0.0238, 0.0319, -0.061, -0.0352, -0.0163, 0.0176, 0.0058, -0.1255, -0.1273, -0.1676, -0.0623, -0.0828, -0.1434, -0.0896, -0.0753, 0.074, 0.0361, 0.0831, 0.2452, 0.1156, 0.1369, 0.1653, 0.1279, 0.0946, 0.1019, 0.1037, 0.0162, -0.0332, -0.1153, -0.005, -0.0223, 0.0435, 0.0435, 0.0792, 0.1258, 0.1987, 0.3073, 0.3902, 0.4822, 0.5529, 0.5993]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1999302699683336607", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-12T02:18:03+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it's priced as a small cap component manufacturer but has AI $MSFT Maia $AMZN trainium ramp and made in America as a great driver since it plays a critical part in the hyperscaler ASIC ecosystem. The marketcap is small enough to make me an investor for medium term though", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long AAOI medium-term: undervalued as small-cap but levered to MSFT Maia/AMZN Trainium hyperscaler ASIC ramp + US manufacturing angle; 30-35% margin assumptions.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yeah I really, really like $LITE but it’s already priced in with a premium.\n\nI only have relatively small positions in $AAOI though just because of execution risk in case a hyperscaler drops purchase orders + competition from Jabil.\n\nThat being said it’s priced as a small cap component manufacturer but has AI $MSFT Maia $AMZN trainium ramp and made in America as a great driver since it plays a critical part in the hyperscaler ASIC ecosystem.\n\nThis is just a qualitative investment, off rough estimates like 30-35% margins and assumptions of beating projections due to hyperscaler ramp in 2026.\n\nThe marketcap is small enough to make me an investor for medium term though.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $LITE is so expensive", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "youngvibrantman", "ret_m1d": 0.13287579972102503, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.13287579972102503, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.12200696946833545, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.12200696946833545, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010868830252689587, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010868830252689587, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0673737262082661, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0673737262082661, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06586283842551488, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06586283842551488, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0015108877827512135, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0015108877827512135, "ret_p1w": -0.023081773136893524, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.023081773136893524, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.024315441237677593, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.024315441237677593, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0012336681007840689, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0012336681007840689, "ret_p1m": 0.05177790942938154, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05177790942938154, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02911000087136051, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02911000087136051, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022667908558021033, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022667908558021033, "ret_p3m": 2.961634332369109, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.961634332369109, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.966667683814608, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.966667683814608, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.005033351445499434, "bench_c_p3m": -0.005033351445499434, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0976, -0.0808, -0.0942, -0.0958, -0.0474, -0.1248, -0.1675, -0.1784, -0.1962, -0.1909, -0.1912, -0.1135, -0.1273, -0.1288, 0.054, -0.0226, 0.005, 0.0097, -0.1532, -0.0923, -0.1117, 0.0278, -0.0287, -0.0044, 0.0649, 0.0418, -0.065, -0.0206, 0.0608, 0.1609, 0.15, 0.1067, 0.0939, 0.1092, 0.0306, -0.0799, -0.0172, -0.0923, -0.1089, -0.2071, -0.2592, -0.2533, -0.3478, -0.3305, -0.3253, -0.3484, -0.349, -0.3921, -0.3581, -0.2991, -0.291, -0.2024, -0.2024, -0.1647, -0.1725, -0.1884, -0.1999, -0.1815, -0.1706, -0.1316, -0.0524, 0.0911, 0.1329, 0.0, -0.0674, -0.0967, -0.1535, -0.0876, -0.0231, 0.2194, 0.2676, 0.2789, 0.2789, 0.1594, 0.1463, 0.1235, 0.0873, 0.0873, 0.2352, 0.0914, 0.2043, 0.187, 0.0296, 0.0618, 0.0518, 0.0661, 0.0752, 0.1541, 0.1553, 0.1553, 0.2246, 0.1971, 0.19, 0.1142, 0.0883, 0.1663, 0.4108, 0.2342, 0.3603, 0.3774, 0.4386, 0.2445, 0.1893, 0.3818, 0.4944, 0.5125, 0.5097, 0.3721, 0.3868, 0.3868, 0.3696, 0.355, 0.4654, 0.612, 0.6831, 0.7551, 0.8129, 0.6747, 1.6273, 2.1974, 1.9738, 2.1101, 2.1547, 1.9813, 2.4504, 2.7583, 2.9616, 2.3122, 2.0197, 1.9342, 1.6928, 1.8893, 2.179, 1.7305, 1.9869, 2.5527, 2.5686, 2.0387, 2.0633, 1.6572, 1.6385, 1.6934, 2.2411, 2.2411, 2.3515, 2.6694, 3.1391, 3.1578, 3.6974, 3.7782, 3.5661, 3.4464, 3.907, 3.9726, 4.0989, 3.6965, 3.6606, 3.296, 4.0583, 3.5471, 3.2813, 3.767, 4.1266, 4.724, 4.3955, 4.6323, 4.5689, 3.9142, 3.6457, 4.7673, 4.8727, 5.9588, 5.3497, 4.9376, 4.4042, 4.344, 4.1547, 4.515, 4.6609, 4.6609, 4.5402, 4.6092, 4.272, 3.941, 3.941, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1975647344197837015", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-07T19:40:07+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS was an amazing buy on the 5% drop", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bought dips in Neocloud names NBIS and WYFI; advises buying Neocloud dips on noise.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@NoahIAvest Yeah I would just buy the dips on Neoclouds from noise like this.\n\n$NBIS was an amazing buy on the 5% drop. Finally started positions in $WYFI on that 4% drop.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit You (and half of Finx) convinced me. Managed to exactly time the dip and entered with a for me large position at ~$116. Ready for the overtake.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "NoahIAvest", "ret_m1d": 0.06151236772204682, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06151236772204682, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05779107882132184, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05763499988358456, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003721288900724984, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0038773678384622645, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.036533586773572324, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.036533586773572324, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030570534360780055, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04066930907077948, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005963052412792269, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004135722297207156, "ret_p1w": 0.08878502310274072, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08878502310274072, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09908216387038948, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10145087525266994, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01029714076764876, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012665852149929213, "ret_p1m": -0.005947297930262496, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.005947297930262496, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01859078175754003, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.016799472423983497, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012643483827277535, "bench_c_p1m": -0.022746770354245993, "ret_p3m": -0.23576891010628387, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.23576891010628387, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2597835850019543, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24626742967899928, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02401467489567044, "bench_c_p3m": 0.010498519572715415, "ret_p6m": -0.13381478681708003, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13381478681708003, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.11864699122642897, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.09845601848176999, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.015167795590651068, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03535876833531004, "price_path": [-0.6055, -0.6236, -0.5586, -0.5452, -0.5471, -0.5438, -0.5515, -0.5551, -0.5666, -0.5592, -0.5568, -0.5636, -0.5518, -0.5718, -0.5642, -0.5376, -0.5582, -0.5398, -0.5313, -0.5319, -0.4451, -0.4156, -0.4032, -0.36, -0.3999, -0.4184, -0.3915, -0.3837, -0.4291, -0.4268, -0.4377, -0.4139, -0.4051, -0.4012, -0.4044, -0.3879, -0.4195, -0.4195, -0.4416, -0.4422, -0.4485, -0.4438, -0.4557, -0.1867, -0.2065, -0.2422, -0.2319, -0.2272, -0.2402, -0.2007, -0.2003, -0.1562, -0.0943, -0.0841, -0.038, -0.0829, -0.085, -0.0636, -0.0461, -0.0178, 0.0694, 0.0873, 0.0615, 0.0, 0.0365, 0.1269, 0.1009, 0.1509, 0.0888, 0.0691, 0.0454, -0.0362, -0.0739, -0.114, -0.1621, -0.098, -0.0037, 0.0657, 0.0351, 0.0629, 0.0551, 0.1115, 0.0235, -0.0608, -0.0059, -0.0702, -0.0545, -0.0658, -0.1315, -0.1983, -0.247, -0.2902, -0.2695, -0.2308, -0.1923, -0.2809, -0.2926, -0.2192, -0.2449, -0.1955, -0.1955, -0.194, -0.1491, -0.1805, -0.1596, -0.1266, -0.167, -0.1476, -0.1809, -0.2048, -0.199, -0.255, -0.3106, -0.3122, -0.359, -0.3365, -0.2399, -0.2079, -0.2351, -0.2257, -0.2257, -0.2558, -0.269, -0.2764, -0.2888, -0.2888, -0.2358, -0.2113, -0.1483, -0.1826, -0.1733, -0.168, -0.0881, -0.1042, -0.1336, -0.1174, -0.0762, -0.0762, -0.1564, -0.16, -0.1771, -0.1971, -0.2229, -0.1685, -0.1467, -0.1936, -0.2762, -0.251, -0.2358, -0.3, -0.3724, -0.2685, -0.2109, -0.2201, -0.2472, -0.2376, -0.1673, -0.1673, -0.1715, -0.1351, -0.0857, -0.1681, -0.1452, -0.1285, -0.0984, -0.1089, -0.2252, -0.2268, -0.2625, -0.1692, -0.1873, -0.241, -0.1934, -0.1807, -0.0485, -0.0821, -0.0404, 0.1032, -0.0116, 0.0073, 0.0325, -0.0007, -0.0302, -0.0237, -0.0222, -0.0997, -0.1434, -0.2161, -0.1184, -0.1338]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1975647344197837015", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-07T19:40:07+00:00", "symbol": "WYFI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Finally started positions in $WYFI on that 4% drop", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bought dips in Neocloud names NBIS and WYFI; advises buying Neocloud dips on noise.", "resolved_tickers": ["WYFI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@NoahIAvest Yeah I would just buy the dips on Neoclouds from noise like this.\n\n$NBIS was an amazing buy on the 5% drop. Finally started positions in $WYFI on that 4% drop.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit You (and half of Finx) convinced me. Managed to exactly time the dip and entered with a for me large position at ~$116. Ready for the overtake.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "NoahIAvest", "ret_m1d": 0.008920583631648382, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.008920583631648382, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005199294730923398, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0021998059620136345, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003721288900724984, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006720777669634748, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.019625329362176425, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.019625329362176425, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.013662276949384156, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0020882783718469966, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005963052412792269, "bench_c_p1d": 0.017537050990329428, "ret_p1w": 0.11923872120643786, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11923872120643786, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12953586197408662, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13383545205118785, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01029714076764876, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014596730844749994, "ret_p1m": -0.08831403884548183, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08831403884548183, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10095752267275937, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12125303713778457, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012643483827277535, "bench_c_p1m": 0.032938998292302735, "ret_p3m": -0.4995539878331239, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4995539878331239, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5235686627287943, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5113074486999469, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02401467489567044, "bench_c_p3m": 0.011753460866823051, "ret_p6m": -0.654177825005561, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.654177825005561, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.6390100294149099, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.6012698442039266, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.015167795590651068, "bench_c_p6m": -0.05290798080163439, "price_path": [null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, -0.5177, -0.545, -0.5626, -0.5418, -0.485, -0.4695, -0.4918, -0.4442, -0.4939, -0.5028, -0.5031, -0.4918, -0.5076, -0.504, -0.4975, -0.4942, -0.4972, -0.4972, -0.4674, -0.5031, -0.5165, -0.5141, -0.5242, -0.4532, -0.2988, -0.3883, -0.4068, -0.4056, -0.4267, -0.377, -0.3039, -0.218, -0.1668, -0.1653, -0.2194, -0.2985, -0.3211, -0.2049, -0.1921, -0.0488, 0.0015, -0.0723, 0.0089, 0.0, 0.0196, 0.0033, -0.0178, 0.1635, 0.1192, 0.0907, -0.0651, -0.0999, -0.0485, -0.1127, -0.1745, -0.1381, 0.0122, 0.0993, 0.0062, 0.0045, -0.0419, 0.0107, -0.03, -0.094, -0.0883, -0.1659, -0.1451, -0.1362, -0.2325, -0.3238, -0.4092, -0.4648, -0.4573, -0.4987, -0.4823, -0.4829, -0.4844, -0.4477, -0.4701, -0.4106, -0.4106, -0.3628, -0.4148, -0.4335, -0.4222, -0.3732, -0.4222, -0.4276, -0.4065, -0.4306, -0.4451, -0.446, -0.5477, -0.5516, -0.5787, -0.5748, -0.5022, -0.4555, -0.4761, -0.4841, -0.4841, -0.5073, -0.5201, -0.5376, -0.5302, -0.5302, -0.4996, -0.4773, -0.4731, -0.5019, -0.4737, -0.4731, -0.4445, -0.452, -0.3797, -0.4517, -0.4211, -0.4211, -0.43, -0.3958, -0.4145, -0.402, -0.3895, -0.3577, -0.3411, -0.3452, -0.4199, -0.4205, -0.4514, -0.5204, -0.5718, -0.448, -0.4098, -0.4252, -0.4413, -0.4591, -0.4225, -0.4225, -0.4526, -0.4814, -0.4695, -0.4978, -0.4942, -0.4761, -0.4481, -0.4496, -0.499, -0.4838, -0.5352, -0.4963, -0.526, -0.5391, -0.5299, -0.5281, -0.4903, -0.5013, -0.5317, -0.5296, -0.5439, -0.565, -0.5501, -0.5882, -0.5715, -0.5795, -0.5632, -0.6383, -0.6795, -0.667, -0.6459, -0.6542]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1964085082194579609", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-05T21:55:49+00:00", "symbol": "HOOD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bought $100k of $BULL following $HOOD S&P. Weird it dropped 2.4% on a $18 outperform price target, too many weekly calls IG. Growing rev of 45% y/y similar to Hood, massive regarded retail base from WSB.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long BULL on 45% revenue growth and WSB retail base; also bullish HOOD on S&P inclusion and upcoming catalysts.", "resolved_tickers": ["HOOD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Now playing follow the lead.\n\nBought $100k of $BULL following $HOOD S&amp;P.\n\nWeird it dropped 2.4% on a $18 outperform price target, too many weekly calls IG.\n\nGrowing rev of 45% y/y similar to Hood, massive regarded retail base from WSB. \n\nShort term risk is random Sept macro. https://t.co/mSkBpoxCMI", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$HOOD added to S&amp;P 500.\n\nNew product launch on Tuesday and banking coming soon. \n\nHuge money flows coming into Robinhood given market cap soon. Might be PLTR v2.\n\nThis is just WSB instincts that go into DD! Some of you probably saw my deleted post guessing inclusion lol https://t.co/h8txi6mQD2", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.016395097897376587, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016395097897376587, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.013490346892948368, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.002259592081960582, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0029047510044282188, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01865468997933717, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.15832097559799374, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.15832097559799374, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.1558642432545747, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.15756723164660347, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0024567323434190325, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0007537439513902733, "ret_p1w": 0.1360987533757716, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1360987533757716, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1203858611561659, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1223433990804712, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0157128922196057, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013755354295300393, "ret_p1m": 0.42479006920331797, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.42479006920331797, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3842609754268591, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4095879658779846, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04052909377645886, "bench_c_p1m": 0.015202103325333338, "ret_p3m": 0.31990122853973757, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.31990122853973757, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.26034660530764486, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.30753486678948616, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05955462323209271, "bench_c_p3m": 0.012366361750251409, "ret_p6m": -0.22192593798225313, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.22192593798225313, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2884806269288216, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1951454779467584, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06655468894656846, "bench_c_p6m": -0.026780460035494724, "price_path": [-0.2839, -0.2604, -0.2707, -0.283, -0.242, -0.2598, -0.2262, -0.2262, -0.2247, -0.2459, -0.19, -0.1827, -0.1652, -0.18, -0.0753, -0.0881, -0.0323, -0.0677, -0.0677, -0.0769, -0.0986, -0.0663, -0.0252, -0.0287, -0.0127, -0.0169, 0.0198, 0.0415, 0.0839, 0.0305, 0.0059, 0.0082, 0.0067, 0.0356, 0.0545, 0.0204, 0.0479, 0.0178, -0.0133, 0.0506, 0.0416, 0.0435, 0.0986, 0.1321, 0.1222, 0.1268, 0.0728, 0.0934, 0.1276, 0.136, 0.0617, 0.0404, 0.0499, 0.0797, 0.0661, 0.0746, 0.0165, 0.0241, 0.0275, 0.0275, -0.004, -0.0042, 0.0164, 0.0, 0.1583, 0.1704, 0.1601, 0.163, 0.1361, 0.1341, 0.1593, 0.1718, 0.1942, 0.2324, 0.2335, 0.2464, 0.2523, 0.2114, 0.2028, 0.3503, 0.4141, 0.3742, 0.439, 0.4683, 0.4248, 0.4321, 0.4901, 0.5058, 0.3724, 0.3894, 0.3328, 0.3249, 0.2982, 0.2831, 0.3412, 0.3021, 0.2565, 0.3267, 0.3806, 0.4406, 0.4444, 0.4301, 0.3637, 0.4497, 0.4526, 0.3511, 0.4072, 0.2551, 0.2875, 0.342, 0.303, 0.3134, 0.2003, 0.2099, 0.1454, 0.1289, 0.167, 0.049, 0.0598, 0.1355, 0.1414, 0.2662, 0.2662, 0.269, 0.2172, 0.244, 0.3199, 0.3539, 0.3032, 0.3475, 0.3403, 0.3399, 0.2186, 0.1802, 0.1384, 0.1793, 0.1437, 0.1571, 0.1985, 0.2086, 0.1876, 0.1895, 0.1895, 0.1667, 0.1598, 0.1402, 0.117, 0.117, 0.1379, 0.2172, 0.202, 0.1553, 0.1397, 0.1385, 0.1607, 0.1876, 0.1819, 0.0899, 0.074, 0.074, 0.0447, 0.0461, 0.0494, 0.0567, 0.0568, 0.0394, 0.0212, -0.0001, -0.0175, -0.112, -0.14, -0.2038, -0.2822, -0.182, -0.1451, -0.1546, -0.2299, -0.2976, -0.2497, -0.2497, -0.2549, -0.2572, -0.2528, -0.2483, -0.2911, -0.2752, -0.2343, -0.2153, -0.2509, -0.2219]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1964085082194579609", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-05T21:55:49+00:00", "symbol": "HOOD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$HOOD added to S&P 500. New product launch on Tuesday and banking coming soon. Huge money flows coming into Robinhood given market cap soon.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long BULL on 45% revenue growth and WSB retail base; also bullish HOOD on S&P inclusion and upcoming catalysts.", "resolved_tickers": ["HOOD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Now playing follow the lead.\n\nBought $100k of $BULL following $HOOD S&amp;P.\n\nWeird it dropped 2.4% on a $18 outperform price target, too many weekly calls IG.\n\nGrowing rev of 45% y/y similar to Hood, massive regarded retail base from WSB. \n\nShort term risk is random Sept macro. https://t.co/mSkBpoxCMI", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$HOOD added to S&amp;P 500.\n\nNew product launch on Tuesday and banking coming soon. \n\nHuge money flows coming into Robinhood given market cap soon. Might be PLTR v2.\n\nThis is just WSB instincts that go into DD! Some of you probably saw my deleted post guessing inclusion lol https://t.co/h8txi6mQD2", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.016395097897376587, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016395097897376587, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.013490346892948368, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.002259592081960582, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0029047510044282188, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01865468997933717, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.15832097559799374, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.15832097559799374, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.1558642432545747, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.15756723164660347, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0024567323434190325, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0007537439513902733, "ret_p1w": 0.1360987533757716, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1360987533757716, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1203858611561659, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1223433990804712, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0157128922196057, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013755354295300393, "ret_p1m": 0.42479006920331797, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.42479006920331797, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3842609754268591, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4095879658779846, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04052909377645886, "bench_c_p1m": 0.015202103325333338, "ret_p3m": 0.31990122853973757, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.31990122853973757, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.26034660530764486, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.30753486678948616, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05955462323209271, "bench_c_p3m": 0.012366361750251409, "ret_p6m": -0.22192593798225313, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.22192593798225313, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2884806269288216, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1951454779467584, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06655468894656846, "bench_c_p6m": -0.026780460035494724, "price_path": [-0.2839, -0.2604, -0.2707, -0.283, -0.242, -0.2598, -0.2262, -0.2262, -0.2247, -0.2459, -0.19, -0.1827, -0.1652, -0.18, -0.0753, -0.0881, -0.0323, -0.0677, -0.0677, -0.0769, -0.0986, -0.0663, -0.0252, -0.0287, -0.0127, -0.0169, 0.0198, 0.0415, 0.0839, 0.0305, 0.0059, 0.0082, 0.0067, 0.0356, 0.0545, 0.0204, 0.0479, 0.0178, -0.0133, 0.0506, 0.0416, 0.0435, 0.0986, 0.1321, 0.1222, 0.1268, 0.0728, 0.0934, 0.1276, 0.136, 0.0617, 0.0404, 0.0499, 0.0797, 0.0661, 0.0746, 0.0165, 0.0241, 0.0275, 0.0275, -0.004, -0.0042, 0.0164, 0.0, 0.1583, 0.1704, 0.1601, 0.163, 0.1361, 0.1341, 0.1593, 0.1718, 0.1942, 0.2324, 0.2335, 0.2464, 0.2523, 0.2114, 0.2028, 0.3503, 0.4141, 0.3742, 0.439, 0.4683, 0.4248, 0.4321, 0.4901, 0.5058, 0.3724, 0.3894, 0.3328, 0.3249, 0.2982, 0.2831, 0.3412, 0.3021, 0.2565, 0.3267, 0.3806, 0.4406, 0.4444, 0.4301, 0.3637, 0.4497, 0.4526, 0.3511, 0.4072, 0.2551, 0.2875, 0.342, 0.303, 0.3134, 0.2003, 0.2099, 0.1454, 0.1289, 0.167, 0.049, 0.0598, 0.1355, 0.1414, 0.2662, 0.2662, 0.269, 0.2172, 0.244, 0.3199, 0.3539, 0.3032, 0.3475, 0.3403, 0.3399, 0.2186, 0.1802, 0.1384, 0.1793, 0.1437, 0.1571, 0.1985, 0.2086, 0.1876, 0.1895, 0.1895, 0.1667, 0.1598, 0.1402, 0.117, 0.117, 0.1379, 0.2172, 0.202, 0.1553, 0.1397, 0.1385, 0.1607, 0.1876, 0.1819, 0.0899, 0.074, 0.074, 0.0447, 0.0461, 0.0494, 0.0567, 0.0568, 0.0394, 0.0212, -0.0001, -0.0175, -0.112, -0.14, -0.2038, -0.2822, -0.182, -0.1451, -0.1546, -0.2299, -0.2976, -0.2497, -0.2497, -0.2549, -0.2572, -0.2528, -0.2483, -0.2911, -0.2752, -0.2343, -0.2153, -0.2509, -0.2219]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2011732705063682155", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-15T09:30:27+00:00", "symbol": "LPTH", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LPTH is early discovery at a $700m MC and is now my favorite long of 2026. I'm a happy shareholder on Lightpath's way to $10B+ MC.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long LPTH as favorite 2026 pick; monopoly on Germanium-free Black Diamond glass for defense/drones, targeting $10B+ MC from ~$700M.", "resolved_tickers": ["LPTH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$LPTH is now up 25%.\n\nLightpath genuinely incredible and I suggest people read into this company.\n\nMarkets look at $KRKNF for single source Andruil exposure but Lightpath supplies to most major defense contractors from Andruil to Lockheed at 1/3rd the MC.\n\nTAM is huge. \n\n-> Own the monopoly on the alternative to a critical raw material that China just choked off\n\n-> China produces ~60-70% of the world’s Germanium\n\n-> own the proprietary material called Black Diamond (Chalcogenide glass) with the exclusive license with the U.S. Naval Research Laboratory.\n\n-> Black Diamond = performs like Germanium but uses zero Germanium.\n\n-> Raytheon, Lockheed, and L3Harris  switches from Chinese supply chains to LightPath’s Black Diamond for their missile/drone programs. \n\n-> Many other verticals outside of defense from Space Satellites, Robotaxis, Robotics, and others would use Black Diamond over Chinese supply chains\n\n-> But they’re at full capacity from demand, backlogged for Stinger Missiles and Ghost drones for their War vertical\n\nThis is my own thought process that it’s  $LPTH is early discovery at a $700m MC and is now my favorite long of 2026.\n\nI’m a happy shareholder on Lightpath’s way to $10B+ MC.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I've initiated positions in $LPTH ($621M).\n\nLightpath is incredible.\n\nEvery modern thermal weapon (Missiles, Drones) requires Germanium glass, which China owns (70%)\n\nLPTH is the only US alternative with: Black Diamond\n\nUsers?\n\n- $ONDS\n- L3Harris\n- Lockheed\n- Andruil (likely)\n- https://t.co/XdzME21cvo", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0045557680785728305, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0045557680785728305, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00727158671868311, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00727158671868311, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002715818640110279, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002715818640110279, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04555811526149722, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04555811526149722, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04472024127060181, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04472024127060181, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0008378739908954103, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0008378739908954103, "ret_p1w": 0.08807895525377507, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08807895525377507, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09278827212610119, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09278827212610119, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004709316872326119, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004709316872326119, "ret_p1m": 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{"unit_id": "reply:1973203866629136621", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-01T01:50:36+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "don't really care about macro with $RKLB since I believe it's important to national security like $TSM is to Taiwan + Space = grow big", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long RKLB unconditionally; national-security moat + space growth narrative; Neutron medium-lift launch is the key catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Neat_Lama biggest catalyst is medium lift payload neutron. don't really care about macro with $RKLB since I believe it's important to national security like $TSM is to Taiwan + Space = grow big. \n\nthat's why i dont sell CC's on RKLB cause successful launch news could bring it up 50% lol.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Are you still on the timeframe of next summer-ish before you start allocating more towards $RKLB with the current macro environment?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Neat_Lama", "ret_m1d": -0.00125081033487906, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00125081033487906, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00214509547783992, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004046489271858245, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00339590581271898, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0027956789369791846, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09380862800682754, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09380862800682754, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09265682446963464, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0912080196541527, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001151803537192908, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002600608352674838, "ret_p1w": 0.36147583691131846, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.36147583691131846, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.35450450077697426, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.3498374905867567, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006971336134344197, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011638346324561732, "ret_p1m": 0.26996032142382287, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.26996032142382287, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2529357964475101, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2641735934713163, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017024524976312794, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005786727952506565, "ret_p3m": 0.46174694522040793, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.46174694522040793, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4296839597581281, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.43829265248455096, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032062985462279814, "bench_c_p3m": 0.023454292735856974, "ret_p6m": 0.3746091466211501, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3746091466211501, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.40406062440630064, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.31949182324513514, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02945147778515056, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05511732337601494, "price_path": [-0.2566, -0.1895, -0.1924, -0.1841, -0.1849, -0.1864, -0.0992, -0.0703, -0.0058, 0.07, 0.0713, -0.0163, -0.0227, 0.0246, 0.0033, -0.0113, -0.0596, -0.0871, -0.0319, -0.0427, -0.0659, -0.0715, -0.0671, -0.0807, -0.0784, -0.0684, -0.0615, -0.0946, -0.1036, -0.1076, -0.0771, -0.0625, -0.147, -0.1518, -0.1343, -0.0748, -0.0156, 0.0033, -0.0359, -0.0013, 0.0131, 0.0131, 0.0279, -0.0926, -0.1038, -0.0444, -0.005, -0.0196, -0.0375, 0.0096, 0.1119, 0.1265, -0.0151, 0.0023, -0.0165, -0.0038, 0.0384, 0.103, 0.015, -0.0279, -0.0356, -0.02, -0.0013, 0.0, 0.0938, 0.1707, 0.2195, 0.2823, 0.3615, 0.3846, 0.3396, 0.3638, 0.4182, 0.444, 0.3967, 0.3815, 0.404, 0.3634, 0.2626, 0.3252, 0.3458, 0.3679, 0.329, 0.3792, 0.27, 0.3129, 0.2787, 0.1793, 0.1762, 0.0342, 0.0765, 0.0819, 0.0682, 0.0417, -0.0567, -0.0507, -0.0971, -0.1082, -0.0907, -0.177, -0.1599, -0.1151, -0.1119, -0.1259, -0.1259, -0.1215, -0.1584, -0.1265, -0.0678, 0.0292, 0.0226, 0.0748, 0.1138, 0.1991, 0.3244, 0.2818, 0.1551, 0.1568, 0.1249, 0.2491, 0.4701, 0.6166, 0.6089, 0.6089, 0.6089, 0.4728, 0.4617, 0.4686, 0.4542, 0.4542, 0.5841, 0.6289, 0.7934, 0.7528, 0.7319, 0.7688, 0.8324, 0.8049, 0.9137, 0.892, 1.0075, 1.0075, 0.8587, 0.8307, 0.8341, 0.8532, 0.6777, 0.8136, 0.8464, 0.7861, 0.6692, 0.5458, 0.6942, 0.5241, 0.3825, 0.5076, 0.581, 0.5016, 0.4513, 0.3761, 0.4059, 0.4059, 0.457, 0.5514, 0.5964, 0.4772, 0.4636, 0.4586, 0.4634, 0.5145, 0.4405, 0.4795, 0.462, 0.4991, 0.4592, 0.4615, 0.4901, 0.4369, 0.5001, 0.4253, 0.4261, 0.4866, 0.6383, 0.4484, 0.4995, 0.4015, 0.4176, 0.3773, 0.5193, 0.3746]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2012085118958231697", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-16T08:50:49+00:00", "symbol": "Harmonic Drive", "kind": "equity", "geography": "Japan", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "my opinion is that it's a great long at these levels", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long Harmonic Drive; scaling rapidly on humanoid orders, great entry at current levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["6324.T"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Harmonic Drive Systems listed on TSE as 6324.T", "bench_c": "EWJ", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='T')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TheMaximu5 This post was about the US supply chain angle. Harmonic Drive is a Japanese company.\n\nThey're scaling up rapidly on humanoid orders from their previous earnings call so my opinion is that it's a great long at these levels. https://t.co/E0DECC8Y3i", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Where is Harmonic Drive? Cant make robotic arms without them???", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TheMaximu5", "ret_m1d": -0.01394170967499786, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01394170967499786, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014780286287426225, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.013239730432698105, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0008385766124283656, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0007019792422997551, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005069678769797248, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005069678769797248, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005069678769797248, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005069678769797248, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.0709759370480868, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0709759370480868, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06746262224419664, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.060213118117228404, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0035133148038901663, "bench_c_p1w": -0.010762818930858398, "ret_p1m": -0.01647661109859999, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.01647661109859999, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0021487815307797975, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11439419168452292, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014327829567820194, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09791758058592293, "ret_p3m": 0.10538080286767704, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10538080286767704, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09064585174305795, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06338271914159077, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014734951124619089, "bench_c_p3m": 0.041998083726086266, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1749, -0.1711, -0.2416, -0.2117, -0.2256, -0.2416, -0.2469, -0.27, -0.2771, -0.2771, -0.2616, -0.2913, -0.29, -0.3153, -0.3156, -0.3171, -0.3166, -0.2847, -0.3047, -0.3037, -0.3655, -0.3136, -0.2763, -0.2953, -0.2953, -0.2902, -0.2695, -0.2446, -0.2167, -0.2104, -0.1888, -0.1888, -0.076, -0.0532, -0.0773, -0.0672, -0.0406, -0.0317, 0.0013, -0.0152, -0.0659, -0.0748, -0.1065, -0.1141, -0.0951, -0.1014, -0.1128, -0.1039, -0.1027, -0.0913, -0.0418, -0.0418, -0.0418, -0.0418, -0.0266, -0.0089, -0.0913, -0.0672, -0.1001, -0.1001, -0.0659, -0.0279, -0.0139, 0.0, 0.0051, -0.0253, -0.0152, -0.0444, -0.071, -0.1052, -0.0875, -0.1115, -0.1483, -0.1381, -0.1559, -0.1179, -0.1255, -0.1217, -0.1242, -0.0963, -0.0368, -0.0368, -0.0089, -0.0811, -0.0165, -0.0494, -0.052, -0.033, 0.109, 0.109, 0.1635, 0.1584, 0.1584, 0.1546, 0.1876, 0.1483, 0.0748, 0.1039, 0.0798, -0.0355, 0.0139, 0.0672, 0.076, 0.0659, 0.0849, 0.0596, 0.1052, 0.0482, 0.0482, -0.0304, -0.0152, 0.0317, 0.0279, 0.0304, -0.0369, -0.1195, -0.0712, -0.0941, -0.056, -0.0268, -0.0318, 0.0558, 0.0012, 0.0139, 0.0558, 0.0368, 0.1054, 0.193, 0.1257, 0.1473, 0.141, 0.1143, 0.0851, 0.066, 0.2413, 0.2058, 0.2058, 0.3265, 0.3087, 0.3087, 0.3087, 0.3087, 0.451, 0.5831, 0.6263, 0.6771, 0.7712, 0.6339, 0.8042, 0.728, 0.5323, 0.5043, 0.6644, 0.7813, 0.9465, 1.0329, 0.9948, 0.9541, 0.9821, 1.038, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2009689623015108831", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-09T18:11:59+00:00", "symbol": "VLN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I personally would assign a value of ~$700m which is around $6.5. I'm actually holding my shares for a year for long term capital gains since this is a legitimate fabless semi in the robotics/self driving AI space that's growing 20-30% y/y", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Holding VLN long-term with $6.50 PT (~$700M valuation) on 20-30% growth and high margins in robotics/self-driving AI.", "resolved_tickers": ["VLN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I revisited $VLN and did some quick modeling. I personally would assign a value of ~$700m which is around $6.5.\n\nI’m actually holding my shares for a year for long term capital gains since this is a legitimate fabless semi in the robotics/self driving AI space that’s growing 20-30% y/y off insanely high $NVDA or $CRDO like margins for their robotics segment. \n\nIt’s just funny how suppressed this was because they thought they were -82m in cash lol and only had <1 year runway left.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit You're getting too powerful this stock never moves and you woke it up from the dead! Do you have a price target or was this just supposed to be a quick trade not sure if its too late", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Sumojoe118", "ret_m1d": -0.37096776984608737, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.37096776984608737, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.36439787640680144, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.3446587667058081, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006569893439285934, "bench_c_m1d": -0.026309003140279286, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06854841733326134, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06854841733326134, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07011887114503312, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07224813070073988, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0015704538117717881, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003699713367478541, "ret_p1w": -0.19758064748717397, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.19758064748717397, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.19410836617330818, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2262791043822514, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.003472281313865788, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02869845689507744, "ret_p1m": -0.3870967865982611, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3870967865982611, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.38692395731858265, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.4318786390753073, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00017282927967843253, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04478185247704625, "ret_p3m": -0.471774220683696, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.471774220683696, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.44841378636724327, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5583576750317217, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.02336043431645274, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08658345434802572, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2661, -0.2581, -0.2863, -0.3105, -0.2742, -0.2863, -0.3024, -0.2903, -0.2823, -0.2944, -0.2903, -0.3105, -0.3145, -0.2621, -0.3065, -0.3589, -0.3306, -0.371, -0.3629, -0.3548, -0.2742, -0.3145, -0.3065, -0.2984, -0.371, -0.3871, -0.4153, -0.4274, -0.3952, -0.3831, -0.379, -0.3669, -0.3669, -0.3548, -0.3669, -0.3629, -0.3266, -0.3226, -0.3226, -0.3145, -0.3145, -0.3226, -0.3427, -0.3589, -0.379, -0.3831, -0.4032, -0.4032, -0.3992, -0.4113, -0.4355, -0.4435, -0.4435, -0.4194, -0.4315, -0.4435, -0.4274, -0.4274, -0.371, -0.3669, -0.3589, -0.375, -0.371, 0.0, -0.0685, -0.0565, -0.1573, -0.1573, -0.1976, -0.1976, -0.2177, -0.2097, -0.1532, -0.2097, -0.2581, -0.2581, -0.2863, -0.2903, -0.3145, -0.3266, -0.3548, -0.379, -0.4234, -0.379, -0.3871, -0.375, -0.379, -0.3952, -0.3871, -0.3871, -0.4113, -0.3992, -0.3992, -0.3911, -0.4032, -0.3831, -0.379, -0.3548, -0.4032, -0.4032, -0.4194, -0.4194, -0.4355, -0.4556, -0.4556, -0.4435, -0.4234, -0.4556, -0.4637, -0.4637, -0.4597, -0.496, -0.4839, -0.5081, -0.4919, -0.496, -0.4919, -0.5081, -0.5242, -0.5524, -0.5444, -0.5282, -0.5202, -0.5202, -0.5202, -0.5242, -0.4718, -0.4597, -0.4637, -0.4556, -0.4435, -0.4073, -0.375, -0.3871, -0.4073, -0.3952, -0.3508, -0.3347, -0.2782, -0.3508, -0.3911, -0.3911, -0.125, -0.0565, -0.0927, -0.0242, 0.0081, -0.0282, 0.125, 0.1492, 0.0887, 0.1895, 0.3589, 0.2298, 0.1371, 0.0726, 0.1694, 0.2339, 0.2984, 0.2984, 0.3145, 0.2702, 0.4113, 0.4234, 0.4234, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1973830828355645637", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-02T19:21:56+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Round $900k in shares, $150k+ in calls. I'll post updated positions when I cost avg up above $1M shares.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds ~$900k in NBIS shares plus $150k+ in calls; plans to cost-average up further.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@itsthesquonky Round $900k in shares, $150k+ in calls. I'll post updated positions when I cost avg up above $1M shares.\n\nhttps://t.co/YX06OeQHgp", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What are your $NBIS positions?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "itsthesquonky", "ret_m1d": -0.0815126869972923, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0815126869972923, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08036220858520382, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08374542506568405, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011504784120884848, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0022327380683917486, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01676333172566702, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01676333172566702, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01677809908788863, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01727850796170094, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4767362221612679e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0005151762360339207, "ret_p1w": 0.05378562401954223, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05378562401954223, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.050886634886761595, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06692429946603051, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028989891327806383, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01313867544648828, "ret_p1m": 0.03932632453820406, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03932632453820406, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.020139760379656257, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05340956667881569, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019186564158547803, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01408324214061163, "ret_p3m": -0.3233495168787698, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3233495168787698, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.35296633318039683, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.34243886359072817, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029616816301627047, "bench_c_p3m": 0.019089346711958388, "ret_p6m": -0.1990148765007319, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1990148765007319, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.15191616328831792, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.12412626613538336, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04709871321241399, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07488861036534855, "price_path": [-0.6199, -0.6258, -0.6341, -0.6311, -0.648, -0.5873, -0.5747, -0.5765, -0.5734, -0.5806, -0.5839, -0.5947, -0.5878, -0.5856, -0.5919, -0.5809, -0.5996, -0.5925, -0.5676, -0.5869, -0.5696, -0.5617, -0.5623, -0.4811, -0.4536, -0.442, -0.4015, -0.4389, -0.4561, -0.431, -0.4237, -0.4662, -0.464, -0.4742, -0.452, -0.4437, -0.4401, -0.4431, -0.4277, -0.4572, -0.4572, -0.4779, -0.4784, -0.4843, -0.4799, -0.4911, -0.2395, -0.258, -0.2914, -0.2817, -0.2773, -0.2895, -0.2526, -0.2522, -0.211, -0.1531, -0.1436, -0.1004, -0.1424, -0.1444, -0.1243, -0.108, -0.0815, 0.0, 0.0168, -0.0074, -0.0649, -0.0307, 0.0538, 0.0295, 0.0762, 0.0181, -0.0003, -0.0225, -0.0988, -0.134, -0.1715, -0.2165, -0.1566, -0.0684, -0.0035, -0.0321, -0.0061, -0.0134, 0.0393, -0.0429, -0.1218, -0.0705, -0.1305, -0.1159, -0.1265, -0.1879, -0.2503, -0.2959, -0.3363, -0.3169, -0.2807, -0.2447, -0.3276, -0.3385, -0.2699, -0.2939, -0.2477, -0.2477, -0.2463, -0.2043, -0.2337, -0.2141, -0.1833, -0.2211, -0.2029, -0.2341, -0.2565, -0.251, -0.3033, -0.3554, -0.3569, -0.4006, -0.3796, -0.2893, -0.2593, -0.2847, -0.276, -0.276, -0.3041, -0.3164, -0.3233, -0.335, -0.335, -0.2854, -0.2625, -0.2036, -0.2356, -0.227, -0.222, -0.1473, -0.1624, -0.1898, -0.1747, -0.1362, -0.1362, -0.2112, -0.2145, -0.2306, -0.2492, -0.2734, -0.2225, -0.2021, -0.246, -0.3232, -0.2996, -0.2854, -0.3454, -0.4131, -0.316, -0.2621, -0.2708, -0.296, -0.2871, -0.2213, -0.2213, -0.2252, -0.1912, -0.1451, -0.2221, -0.2007, -0.185, -0.1569, -0.1668, -0.2755, -0.277, -0.3104, -0.2232, -0.2401, -0.2903, -0.2457, -0.2339, -0.1102, -0.1417, -0.1026, 0.0316, -0.0758, -0.0581, -0.0346, -0.0655, -0.0931, -0.0871, -0.0856, -0.1581, -0.199]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1964262583487369415", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-06T09:41:08+00:00", "symbol": "LTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Just holding to see where it goes after ETF launch. Could 300% if there's crypto treasuries that adopt LTC after a spot ETF.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holding LTC long into spot ETF launch; potential 300% upside if crypto treasuries adopt it post-ETF.", "resolved_tickers": ["LTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@mattia030339 No clue. Just holding to see where it goes after ETF launch.\n\nCould 300% if there's crypto treasuries that adopt LTC after a spot ETF. Market cap is extremely tiny so I'm sure there's some incentive to do this type of play.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit what’s the price target on this?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mattia030339", "ret_m1d": -0.005420874896690964, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005420874896690964, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0029701632957263024, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0024507116009646612, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.006839822034259702, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006839822034259702, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009151647645064043, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002311825610804341, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": 0.0094616556662106, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0094616556662106, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.00915637181120621, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01861802747741681, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": 0.038685346796961895, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.038685346796961895, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.004554589052455205, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03413075774450669, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.2585965669913217, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2585965669913217, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3163272230378902, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05773065604656846, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.5140250568072979, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5140250568072979, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.568587992841951, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05456293603465312, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1875, -0.233, -0.2322, -0.2295, -0.2517, -0.2453, -0.2447, -0.2645, -0.2448, -0.2476, -0.2488, -0.2522, -0.2474, -0.2372, -0.2614, -0.2254, -0.2103, -0.2293, -0.2362, -0.2221, -0.1953, -0.1589, -0.1638, -0.1522, -0.1454, -0.135, -0.0985, -0.098, 0.0278, 0.0622, -0.0046, -0.0036, 0.0098, -0.0365, -0.0371, -0.0193, -0.0576, -0.0539, 0.0753, 0.067, 0.0584, 0.0888, 0.099, 0.0672, 0.1575, 0.162, 0.0762, 0.0562, 0.0443, -0.002, 0.0294, 0.0171, 0.0894, -0.029, 0.007, -0.0051, 0.0093, -0.0248, -0.037, -0.0092, 0.0021, -0.0144, -0.0054, 0.0, -0.0068, 0.0431, 0.028, 0.0483, 0.0095, 0.0206, 0.0383, 0.0492, 0.0125, -0.0612, -0.0582, -0.063, -0.0936, -0.0716, -0.0521, -0.0516, 0.0214, 0.0614, 0.0693, 0.0499, 0.0387, 0.0525, 0.1173, -0.1427, -0.1166, -0.1362, -0.1536, -0.1856, -0.2005, -0.165, -0.1776, -0.1845, -0.1656, -0.1446, -0.1183, -0.1419, -0.1256, -0.1715, -0.1528, -0.2246, -0.2416, -0.2055, -0.2281, -0.097, -0.0755, -0.1158, -0.1346, -0.1413, -0.1349, -0.1905, -0.1514, -0.176, -0.2257, -0.2671, -0.2416, -0.2434, -0.2293, -0.2314, -0.252, -0.3116, -0.2653, -0.2371, -0.2586, -0.2859, -0.2556, -0.2361, -0.2503, -0.2641, -0.2732, -0.3116, -0.2986, -0.3264, -0.3409, -0.3124, -0.3169, -0.3175, -0.328, -0.3286, -0.3183, -0.3055, -0.3012, -0.3188, -0.2916, -0.2741, -0.2585, -0.2552, -0.2758, -0.2792, -0.2781, -0.3253, -0.3069, -0.3191, -0.3601, -0.3323, -0.3726, -0.405, -0.393, -0.3956, -0.3963, -0.3813, -0.3793, -0.3844, -0.4135, -0.4202, -0.4678, -0.4742, -0.4784, -0.5503, -0.5115, -0.5174, -0.5269, -0.5366, -0.5289, -0.5113, -0.5117, -0.5218, -0.5272, -0.5328, -0.5102, -0.5453, -0.5461, -0.4972, -0.5065, -0.5162, -0.5161, -0.514]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1981904072761565532", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-25T02:02:07+00:00", "symbol": "CRCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If anything I'd go short + long COIN as hedge during before the event", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Short CRCL into Dec 2 lockup expiry (~4x float unlocking); long COIN as a hedge.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Huge warning on $CRCL, especially going into December 2nd. You're trading on a low float.\n\nCircle sold 34M Class A shares in the IPO at $31. There's 202,550,578 Class A shares outstanding.\n\n77.6% of all outstanding Class A (157M/202.55M) and ~463% of the 34M IPO float will be unlocked in December. \n\nIf anything I'd go short + long COIN as hedge during before the event.\n\n---\n\n@DeepValueBagger Whoops sorry it’s 137.7M shares not 157M. Point still stands though if 4x the float becomes available as selling pressure.\n\nIt’s never a good thing for that big of a lockup https://t.co/tKry3mOGcX", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.008653711302078815, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.008653711302078815, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.003006437641684623, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0045284467496574665, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004125264552421348, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05010812347128579, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05010812347128579, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05276412242787687, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.043732747412553064, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006375376058732729, "ret_p1w": -0.1774722162558876, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1774722162558876, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.17469949667061402, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15534584320591327, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022126373049974335, "ret_p1m": -0.5107125138155995, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5107125138155995, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.49579807191756975, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4958990933474129, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.014813420468186567, "ret_p3m": -0.5020587492690871, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5020587492690871, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5104877164805337, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5145858394226073, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01252709015352016, "ret_p6m": -0.329890424020566, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.329890424020566, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.36323499048270724, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.31906294834596904, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010827475674596965, "price_path": [0.3295, 0.2808, 0.1731, 0.1503, 0.0743, 0.1286, 0.0673, 0.1098, 0.1248, 0.139, 0.0689, -0.0283, 0.0417, -0.0119, -0.0562, -0.0382, -0.0802, -0.0576, -0.126, -0.0994, -0.1109, -0.0862, -0.0789, -0.0789, -0.1616, -0.1733, -0.1801, -0.2005, -0.2152, -0.1766, -0.2066, -0.0669, -0.1254, -0.0645, -0.0592, -0.0855, -0.02, 0.0059, -0.0394, -0.086, -0.0817, -0.13, -0.1138, -0.0672, -0.0747, -0.0995, 0.0449, 0.0174, 0.0364, 0.0379, 0.05, 0.0502, -0.0722, -0.0406, -0.0616, -0.0615, -0.1035, -0.1172, -0.0871, -0.0938, -0.1291, -0.0937, -0.0087, 0.0, -0.0501, -0.0806, -0.1436, -0.1138, -0.1775, -0.2236, -0.2112, -0.302, -0.2802, -0.2735, -0.314, -0.3977, -0.4254, -0.4285, -0.4655, -0.4654, -0.5134, -0.5329, -0.5022, -0.4924, -0.5107, -0.4931, -0.4931, -0.4422, -0.47, -0.4596, -0.3978, -0.3896, -0.4025, -0.4141, -0.3797, -0.383, -0.3819, -0.4175, -0.4734, -0.4208, -0.4473, -0.4348, -0.3989, -0.3928, -0.4226, -0.4233, -0.4233, -0.4328, -0.4381, -0.4425, -0.4466, -0.4466, -0.4175, -0.4082, -0.4078, -0.4376, -0.4292, -0.4215, -0.4215, -0.4175, -0.4082, -0.4654, -0.4514, -0.4514, -0.4926, -0.4931, -0.5021, -0.5022, -0.5052, -0.5118, -0.4917, -0.5286, -0.5538, -0.5892, -0.6081, -0.6158, -0.6495, -0.6019, -0.5806, -0.583, -0.5962, -0.6048, -0.581, -0.581, -0.57, -0.5593, -0.5679, -0.5602, -0.5731, -0.5717, -0.4198, -0.3914, -0.4177, -0.3291, -0.3047, -0.2653, -0.2621, -0.2888, -0.2195, -0.1759, -0.2127, -0.2032, -0.1948, -0.1219, -0.0766, -0.0729, -0.1044, -0.1205, -0.1162, -0.2939, -0.2752, -0.3142, -0.3464, -0.3725, -0.3341, -0.3667, -0.3701, -0.3701, -0.3569, -0.3432, -0.3409, -0.4061, -0.3856, -0.3113, -0.2638, -0.2636, -0.2501, -0.2609, -0.2577, -0.3299]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1981904072761565532", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-25T02:02:07+00:00", "symbol": "COIN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "long COIN as hedge during before the event", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Short CRCL into Dec 2 lockup expiry (~4x float unlocking); long COIN as a hedge.", "resolved_tickers": ["COIN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Financial Data & Stock Exchanges'", "bench_c_industry": "Financial Data & Stock Exchanges", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Huge warning on $CRCL, especially going into December 2nd. You're trading on a low float.\n\nCircle sold 34M Class A shares in the IPO at $31. There's 202,550,578 Class A shares outstanding.\n\n77.6% of all outstanding Class A (157M/202.55M) and ~463% of the 34M IPO float will be unlocked in December. \n\nIf anything I'd go short + long COIN as hedge during before the event.\n\n---\n\n@DeepValueBagger Whoops sorry it’s 137.7M shares not 157M. Point still stands though if 4x the float becomes available as selling pressure.\n\nIt’s never a good thing for that big of a lockup https://t.co/tKry3mOGcX", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01928451252510066, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01928451252510066, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0076243635813372235, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015159247972679313, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004125264552421348, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01718172697595899, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01718172697595899, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.019837725932550065, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01080635091722626, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006375376058732729, "ret_p1w": -0.08579802417190152, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08579802417190152, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08302530458662793, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06367165112192719, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022126373049974335, "ret_p1m": -0.29690396406823816, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.29690396406823816, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.28198952217020845, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2820905436000516, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.014813420468186567, "ret_p3m": -0.3826190302092197, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3826190302092197, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3910479974206663, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3951461203627399, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01252709015352016, "ret_p6m": -0.4578479901527762, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4578479901527762, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.49119255661491745, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.44702051447817925, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010827475674596965, "price_path": [0.0444, 0.0452, -0.1293, -0.1197, -0.1755, -0.1601, -0.1401, -0.1408, -0.1157, -0.1074, -0.0952, -0.1011, -0.1214, -0.1126, -0.1642, -0.1578, -0.1692, -0.115, -0.1534, -0.1465, -0.1451, -0.1465, -0.1574, -0.1574, -0.1601, -0.1636, -0.1511, -0.1725, -0.1639, -0.118, -0.1275, -0.1037, -0.1062, -0.0952, -0.0927, -0.1131, -0.0506, -0.0525, -0.0816, -0.1144, -0.1097, -0.1515, -0.1351, -0.0759, -0.0662, -0.0422, 0.0294, 0.0514, 0.0682, 0.0397, 0.0715, 0.0707, -0.0122, -0.0123, -0.055, -0.0695, -0.0863, -0.0703, -0.0488, -0.0631, -0.1137, -0.107, -0.0193, 0.0, -0.0172, -0.0355, -0.0911, -0.0488, -0.0858, -0.1497, -0.1166, -0.1832, -0.1447, -0.1204, -0.1589, -0.1589, -0.2166, -0.2142, -0.2697, -0.2757, -0.2881, -0.3411, -0.3348, -0.2918, -0.2969, -0.2669, -0.2669, -0.2452, -0.2811, -0.2716, -0.2338, -0.2418, -0.2537, -0.2413, -0.2326, -0.2389, -0.2557, -0.26, -0.3071, -0.3011, -0.3244, -0.3382, -0.3218, -0.3141, -0.3296, -0.3367, -0.3367, -0.3445, -0.3532, -0.3592, -0.3743, -0.3743, -0.3456, -0.2947, -0.3068, -0.3196, -0.3205, -0.3338, -0.3277, -0.3009, -0.2921, -0.338, -0.3328, -0.3328, -0.3699, -0.3721, -0.3826, -0.3997, -0.4093, -0.4167, -0.4206, -0.4489, -0.4612, -0.4802, -0.5029, -0.5335, -0.5957, -0.5431, -0.5373, -0.5504, -0.5761, -0.6096, -0.5454, -0.5454, -0.5407, -0.5461, -0.5409, -0.5259, -0.5566, -0.5517, -0.4911, -0.499, -0.5135, -0.4875, -0.4954, -0.4219, -0.4308, -0.4543, -0.4472, -0.4563, -0.4504, -0.4654, -0.459, -0.4375, -0.4183, -0.4403, -0.4386, -0.4536, -0.4449, -0.4991, -0.4989, -0.5203, -0.5542, -0.5551, -0.5169, -0.5214, -0.5256, -0.5256, -0.5164, -0.5153, -0.5156, -0.5324, -0.5356, -0.5171, -0.4898, -0.458, -0.4471, -0.4291, -0.4145, -0.4578]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1976673663509508249", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-10T15:38:20+00:00", "symbol": "SPY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it's an amazing dip buy opportunity on $SPY 1.65% drop", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Author calls macro-driven dip an amazing buy opportunity across SPY and several names including AMZN, AMD, HIMS, SNAP, META, WLAC, NBIS.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Also since macro fears randomly appeared today with a Trump tweet, it’s an amazing dip buy opportunity on $SPY 1.65% drop.\n\nJust some examples:\n$AMZN - down 3.7%\n$AMD - down 8.27%\n$HIMS - down 8%\n$SNAP - down 5.1%\n$META - down 3.07%\n\n$WLAC, $NBIS always good to DCA.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "People have been asking for my $FLY thesis since my Reddit post, so here it is:\n\nFirefly is a rocket company like $RKLB, and is developing a reusable medium-lift rocket.\n\nThe only one that exists is SpaceX.\n\nThey target 2026-2027, and if they succeed, the company would re-rate to https://t.co/LCAFuKwYvd", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.027778623761385957, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.027778623761385957, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.027778623761385957, "bench_c_m1d": 0.027778623761385957, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.015344074693208754, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015344074693208754, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015344074693208754, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015344074693208754, "ret_p1w": 0.017411470635344983, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.017411470635344983, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017411470635344983, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017411470635344983, "ret_p1m": 0.043520874739531035, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.043520874739531035, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.043520874739531035, "bench_c_p1m": 0.043520874739531035, "ret_p3m": 0.05910643075379762, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05910643075379762, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05910643075379762, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05910643075379762, "ret_p6m": 0.014795783316902344, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.014795783316902344, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.014795783316902344, "bench_c_p6m": 0.014795783316902344, "price_path": [-0.0499, -0.0467, -0.0409, -0.0416, -0.0398, -0.0397, -0.0315, -0.0312, -0.0271, -0.0273, -0.0299, -0.0311, -0.0347, -0.0506, -0.0361, -0.041, -0.0337, -0.0345, -0.027, -0.0289, -0.0185, -0.0152, -0.0151, -0.0174, -0.0176, -0.0229, -0.0255, -0.0294, -0.0145, -0.0189, -0.0148, -0.0125, -0.009, -0.0149, -0.0149, -0.0222, -0.0169, -0.0087, -0.0116, -0.0092, -0.0069, -0.004, 0.0043, 0.0039, 0.0093, 0.0079, 0.0066, 0.0113, 0.0164, 0.0212, 0.0156, 0.0124, 0.0077, 0.0135, 0.0163, 0.0202, 0.0236, 0.0248, 0.0248, 0.0285, 0.0247, 0.0308, 0.0278, 0.0, 0.0153, 0.0141, 0.0186, 0.0117, 0.0174, 0.028, 0.028, 0.0226, 0.0287, 0.0371, 0.0493, 0.0521, 0.0526, 0.0411, 0.0445, 0.0464, 0.034, 0.0376, 0.0265, 0.0275, 0.0435, 0.0459, 0.0465, 0.0291, 0.029, 0.0194, 0.0108, 0.0147, -0.0008, 0.0092, 0.0241, 0.0337, 0.0408, 0.0408, 0.0465, 0.0417, 0.0437, 0.0473, 0.048, 0.05, 0.0469, 0.046, 0.0529, 0.0554, 0.044, 0.0424, 0.0396, 0.0281, 0.0359, 0.0453, 0.0518, 0.0566, 0.0603, 0.0603, 0.0602, 0.0564, 0.0552, 0.0473, 0.0473, 0.0493, 0.0562, 0.0625, 0.0591, 0.059, 0.066, 0.0677, 0.0655, 0.0603, 0.0632, 0.0623, 0.0623, 0.0407, 0.0527, 0.0582, 0.0586, 0.0639, 0.0682, 0.0681, 0.066, 0.0628, 0.0681, 0.059, 0.0539, 0.0407, 0.0607, 0.0658, 0.063, 0.0628, 0.0463, 0.0471, 0.0471, 0.0488, 0.0541, 0.0513, 0.0589, 0.0481, 0.0557, 0.0646, 0.0587, 0.0536, 0.0542, 0.0449, 0.0523, 0.0464, 0.0327, 0.0417, 0.0401, 0.0388, 0.023, 0.0172, 0.0275, 0.0302, 0.0159, 0.0134, -0.0012, 0.0093, 0.0059, 0.0115, -0.0065, -0.0235, -0.0267, 0.0016, 0.0091, 0.01, 0.01, 0.0148]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1976673663509508249", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-10T15:38:20+00:00", "symbol": "AMZN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AMZN - down 3.7%", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Author calls macro-driven dip an amazing buy opportunity across SPY and several names including AMZN, AMD, HIMS, SNAP, META, WLAC, NBIS.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMZN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Also since macro fears randomly appeared today with a Trump tweet, it’s an amazing dip buy opportunity on $SPY 1.65% drop.\n\nJust some examples:\n$AMZN - down 3.7%\n$AMD - down 8.27%\n$HIMS - down 8%\n$SNAP - down 5.1%\n$META - down 3.07%\n\n$WLAC, $NBIS always good to DCA.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "People have been asking for my $FLY thesis since my Reddit post, so here it is:\n\nFirefly is a rocket company like $RKLB, and is developing a reusable medium-lift rocket.\n\nThe only one that exists is SpaceX.\n\nThey target 2026-2027, and if they succeed, the company would re-rate to https://t.co/LCAFuKwYvd", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.05254892375358455, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05254892375358455, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.024770299992198597, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02426476293989621, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.027778623761385957, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02828416081368834, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.017100394188331425, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.017100394188331425, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0017563194951226713, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0052384344283966655, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015344074693208754, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02233882861672809, "ret_p1w": -0.015390312456452837, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.015390312456452837, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03280178309179782, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04017715206508721, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017411470635344983, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02478683960863437, "ret_p1m": 0.14803345889964636, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14803345889964636, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10451258416011533, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10339953408699598, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.043520874739531035, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04463392481265038, "ret_p3m": 0.11642095951318554, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11642095951318554, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05731452875938792, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.057276912151978276, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05910643075379762, "bench_c_p3m": 0.059144047361207264, "ret_p6m": -0.01654574068421888, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.01654574068421888, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.031341524001121224, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.026290801724777157, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.014795783316902344, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04283654240899604, "price_path": [0.0461, 0.0315, 0.0347, 0.0451, 0.0598, 0.0513, 0.0551, 0.0733, 0.0696, 0.0759, 0.0677, 0.0639, 0.082, -0.0075, -0.0218, -0.0121, 0.0275, 0.0312, 0.0292, 0.0228, 0.0236, 0.0379, 0.0675, 0.0678, 0.0699, 0.0538, 0.0344, 0.0258, 0.0576, 0.0535, 0.057, 0.0589, 0.0704, 0.0584, 0.0584, 0.0415, 0.0445, 0.0892, 0.0738, 0.09, 0.1011, 0.0645, 0.0628, 0.0544, 0.0696, 0.0817, 0.0705, 0.0687, 0.0698, 0.052, 0.0201, 0.0177, 0.0082, 0.0158, 0.0268, 0.0148, 0.0197, 0.0279, 0.0145, 0.0209, 0.025, 0.0409, 0.0525, 0.0, 0.0171, 0.0001, -0.0037, -0.0088, -0.0154, 0.0005, 0.0262, 0.0073, 0.0218, 0.0362, 0.049, 0.0595, 0.0644, 0.03, 0.1287, 0.1739, 0.1523, 0.1564, 0.1233, 0.1296, 0.148, 0.1513, 0.1286, 0.098, 0.0847, 0.0763, 0.0286, 0.0292, 0.0036, 0.02, 0.0458, 0.0615, 0.0591, 0.0591, 0.0779, 0.0809, 0.0834, 0.074, 0.0589, 0.0608, 0.0486, 0.0534, 0.0712, 0.0643, 0.0454, 0.0285, 0.0286, 0.0226, 0.048, 0.0507, 0.0557, 0.0729, 0.074, 0.074, 0.0746, 0.0726, 0.0747, 0.0668, 0.0668, 0.0468, 0.0771, 0.1135, 0.1164, 0.1383, 0.1433, 0.1391, 0.1212, 0.0937, 0.1008, 0.1051, 0.1051, 0.0676, 0.069, 0.0831, 0.1053, 0.1019, 0.1308, 0.1231, 0.1172, 0.106, 0.1229, 0.1028, 0.0768, 0.0292, -0.028, -0.0354, -0.0435, -0.0568, -0.0775, -0.0812, -0.0812, -0.0703, -0.0535, -0.0532, -0.0289, -0.0513, -0.0361, -0.0265, -0.0391, -0.0294, -0.0369, -0.0353, 0.0021, 0.0119, -0.0146, -0.0133, -0.0094, -0.0172, -0.0316, -0.0402, -0.0214, -0.0054, -0.03, -0.0352, -0.0508, -0.0288, -0.0422, -0.0215, -0.0408, -0.0787, -0.0713, -0.0374, -0.0268, -0.0305, -0.0305, -0.0165]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1976673663509508249", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-10T15:38:20+00:00", "symbol": "AMD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AMD - down 8.27%", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Author calls macro-driven dip an amazing buy opportunity across SPY and several names including AMZN, AMD, HIMS, SNAP, META, WLAC, NBIS.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Also since macro fears randomly appeared today with a Trump tweet, it’s an amazing dip buy opportunity on $SPY 1.65% drop.\n\nJust some examples:\n$AMZN - down 3.7%\n$AMD - down 8.27%\n$HIMS - down 8%\n$SNAP - down 5.1%\n$META - down 3.07%\n\n$WLAC, $NBIS always good to DCA.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "People have been asking for my $FLY thesis since my Reddit post, so here it is:\n\nFirefly is a rocket company like $RKLB, and is developing a reusable medium-lift rocket.\n\nThe only one that exists is SpaceX.\n\nThey target 2026-2027, and if they succeed, the company would re-rate to https://t.co/LCAFuKwYvd", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.08371338298794795, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08371338298794795, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05593475922656199, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05593475922656199, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.027778623761385957, "bench_c_m1d": 0.027778623761385957, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.007073077317969245, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.007073077317969245, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008270997375239508, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008270997375239508, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015344074693208754, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015344074693208754, "ret_p1w": 0.08459752652821151, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08459752652821151, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06718605589286653, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06718605589286653, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017411470635344983, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017411470635344983, "ret_p1m": 0.13531876527210285, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13531876527210285, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09179789053257181, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09179789053257181, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.043520874739531035, "bench_c_p1m": 0.043520874739531035, "ret_p3m": -0.0227081887511551, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0227081887511551, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08181461950495272, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08181461950495272, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05910643075379762, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05910643075379762, "ret_p6m": 0.024569562258062172, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.024569562258062172, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.009773778941159827, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.009773778941159827, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.014795783316902344, "bench_c_p6m": 0.014795783316902344, "price_path": [-0.2759, -0.2551, -0.2536, -0.2695, -0.2694, -0.28, -0.2617, -0.2456, -0.2254, -0.1919, -0.1743, -0.1647, -0.1796, -0.201, -0.1774, -0.1889, -0.2409, -0.1978, -0.1961, -0.1983, -0.1859, -0.1418, -0.158, -0.174, -0.1804, -0.225, -0.2313, -0.2382, -0.2194, -0.2398, -0.2247, -0.2223, -0.2155, -0.2432, -0.2432, -0.2447, -0.2456, -0.2471, -0.2967, -0.2954, -0.2749, -0.2576, -0.2756, -0.2621, -0.2501, -0.2533, -0.2594, -0.2651, -0.2676, -0.2564, -0.2513, -0.2514, -0.2496, -0.258, -0.2491, -0.2471, -0.2368, -0.2102, -0.2337, -0.0521, -0.0158, 0.0961, 0.0837, 0.0, 0.0071, 0.0148, 0.1103, 0.0915, 0.0846, 0.1194, 0.1076, 0.0713, 0.0935, 0.1769, 0.2083, 0.2006, 0.23, 0.1859, 0.1918, 0.2082, 0.1636, 0.1928, 0.1061, 0.0867, 0.1353, 0.1053, 0.2047, 0.1538, 0.1485, 0.1192, 0.0716, 0.0403, -0.0413, -0.0517, 0.0007, -0.0408, -0.0031, -0.0031, 0.0122, 0.0226, 0.0016, 0.0126, 0.005, 0.0143, 0.0289, 0.0313, 0.0303, 0.0304, -0.0192, -0.0341, -0.0267, -0.0781, -0.0644, -0.0068, 0.0002, 0.0, 0.0007, 0.0007, 0.0004, 0.0033, 0.002, -0.0034, -0.0034, 0.0399, 0.0288, -0.0026, -0.0227, -0.0476, -0.0546, -0.0336, 0.0282, 0.0405, 0.0606, 0.0788, 0.0788, 0.0792, 0.1624, 0.1807, 0.2084, 0.1694, 0.1728, 0.1761, 0.1735, 0.1016, 0.146, 0.1266, -0.0685, -0.1042, -0.0301, 0.0051, -0.0062, -0.0061, -0.0417, -0.0353, -0.0353, -0.055, -0.0688, -0.0537, -0.0686, -0.0852, -0.0049, -0.0188, -0.0522, -0.0684, -0.0758, -0.1114, -0.0597, -0.0719, -0.1046, -0.0569, -0.0543, -0.0469, -0.0799, -0.1001, -0.0852, -0.0865, -0.0718, -0.0448, -0.0631, -0.0569, -0.0443, 0.025, -0.0518, -0.0601, -0.0878, -0.0534, -0.0218, 0.0121, 0.0121, 0.0246]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1976673663509508249", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-10-10T15:38:20+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$HIMS - down 8%", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Author calls macro-driven dip an amazing buy opportunity across SPY and several names including AMZN, AMD, HIMS, SNAP, META, WLAC, NBIS.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Also since macro fears randomly appeared today with a Trump tweet, it’s an amazing dip buy opportunity on $SPY 1.65% drop.\n\nJust some examples:\n$AMZN - down 3.7%\n$AMD - down 8.27%\n$HIMS - down 8%\n$SNAP - down 5.1%\n$META - down 3.07%\n\n$WLAC, $NBIS always good to DCA.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "People have been asking for my $FLY thesis since my Reddit post, so here it is:\n\nFirefly is a rocket company like $RKLB, and is developing a reusable medium-lift rocket.\n\nThe only one that exists is SpaceX.\n\nThey target 2026-2027, and if they succeed, the company would re-rate to https://t.co/LCAFuKwYvd", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.07970341383228297, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07970341383228297, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05192479007089701, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05192479007089701, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.027778623761385957, "bench_c_m1d": 0.027778623761385957, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014457808494280577, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014457808494280577, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0008862661989281762, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0008862661989281762, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015344074693208754, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015344074693208754, "ret_p1w": -0.0772938262219105, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0772938262219105, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09470529685725548, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09470529685725548, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017411470635344983, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017411470635344983, "ret_p1m": -0.23911031220486034, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.23911031220486034, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2826311869443914, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2826311869443914, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.043520874739531035, "bench_c_p1m": 0.043520874739531035, "ret_p3m": -0.34272477139923163, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.34272477139923163, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.40183120215302925, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.40183120215302925, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05910643075379762, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05910643075379762, "ret_p6m": -0.6231696082260003, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.6231696082260003, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.6379653915429027, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.6379653915429027, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.014795783316902344, "bench_c_p6m": 0.014795783316902344, "price_path": [-0.0647, -0.0389, -0.0734, -0.0662, -0.1177, -0.073, 0.0754, 0.0625, 0.0686, 0.0877, 0.1171, 0.2146, 0.2267, 0.1594, 0.1742, 0.0291, -0.0523, -0.0538, -0.0373, -0.0736, -0.111, -0.1042, -0.1264, -0.147, -0.164, -0.2182, -0.1959, -0.1852, -0.1739, -0.2032, -0.1594, -0.1842, -0.1822, -0.215, -0.215, -0.2302, -0.1759, -0.1082, -0.1027, -0.0799, -0.1142, -0.1144, -0.0406, 0.0287, 0.0002, -0.0567, -0.0667, 0.0417, 0.0717, 0.0695, 0.038, -0.013, 0.0171, 0.0825, 0.0958, 0.0513, 0.0437, 0.0727, -0.0261, 0.015, 0.0745, 0.0782, 0.0797, 0.0, 0.0145, 0.0013, 0.1633, 0.0964, -0.0773, -0.048, -0.0851, -0.1203, -0.1012, -0.0958, -0.106, -0.1266, -0.1357, -0.1833, -0.1574, -0.1772, -0.2069, -0.1894, -0.2304, -0.2395, -0.2391, -0.2632, -0.2767, -0.3318, -0.3146, -0.3405, -0.3279, -0.3359, -0.3768, -0.3566, -0.2997, -0.3125, -0.2882, -0.2882, -0.263, -0.3047, -0.327, -0.3129, -0.2582, -0.2734, -0.2749, -0.2619, -0.2979, -0.2999, -0.3103, -0.3281, -0.3168, -0.3518, -0.3555, -0.3409, -0.3503, -0.355, -0.3574, -0.3574, -0.364, -0.3679, -0.3876, -0.3981, -0.3981, -0.3807, -0.3566, -0.3427, -0.3427, -0.3722, -0.4126, -0.4006, -0.4032, -0.4195, -0.4211, -0.4184, -0.4184, -0.4352, -0.4645, -0.4343, -0.451, -0.4387, -0.4499, -0.4686, -0.4463, -0.4979, -0.5099, -0.5266, -0.5477, -0.5648, -0.5733, -0.6417, -0.6804, -0.6906, -0.7071, -0.6979, -0.6979, -0.6984, -0.7064, -0.7068, -0.7103, -0.7125, -0.7134, -0.7068, -0.7108, -0.7309, -0.6945, -0.7068, -0.6951, -0.7057, -0.7082, -0.5892, -0.565, -0.5203, -0.5581, -0.5409, -0.5388, -0.537, -0.5709, -0.5522, -0.5918, -0.5837, -0.6044, -0.6137, -0.6133, -0.6408, -0.6519, -0.6152, -0.6323, -0.6452, -0.6452, -0.6232]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1976673663509508249", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-10-10T15:38:20+00:00", "symbol": "SNAP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SNAP - down 5.1%", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Author calls macro-driven dip an amazing buy opportunity across SPY and several names including AMZN, AMD, HIMS, SNAP, META, WLAC, NBIS.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNAP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Also since macro fears randomly appeared today with a Trump tweet, it’s an amazing dip buy opportunity on $SPY 1.65% drop.\n\nJust some examples:\n$AMZN - down 3.7%\n$AMD - down 8.27%\n$HIMS - down 8%\n$SNAP - down 5.1%\n$META - down 3.07%\n\n$WLAC, $NBIS always good to DCA.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "People have been asking for my $FLY thesis since my Reddit post, so here it is:\n\nFirefly is a rocket company like $RKLB, and is developing a reusable medium-lift rocket.\n\nThe only one that exists is SpaceX.\n\nThey target 2026-2027, and if they succeed, the company would re-rate to https://t.co/LCAFuKwYvd", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.077120808284316, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.077120808284316, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.049342184522930044, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0583265440562688, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.027778623761385957, "bench_c_m1d": 0.018794264228047197, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03470436679244826, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03470436679244826, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.019360292099239507, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.025484562176719017, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015344074693208754, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009219804615729243, "ret_p1w": -0.01670952582713625, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01670952582713625, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.034120996462481235, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03568118562545386, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017411470635344983, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01897165979831761, "ret_p1m": 0.11696649691958916, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11696649691958916, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07344562218005812, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11271118153633686, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.043520874739531035, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0042553153832523005, "ret_p3m": 0.10796910708199392, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10796910708199392, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0488626763281963, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06657671658955233, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05910643075379762, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04139239049244159, "ret_p6m": -0.39460155383941853, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.39460155383941853, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4093973371563209, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3917611825557996, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.014795783316902344, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0028403712836189143, "price_path": [0.2185, 0.2416, 0.2738, 0.2866, 0.2699, 0.3303, 0.2943, 0.2519, 0.2558, 0.2455, 0.1992, 0.1979, 0.2121, 0.1632, 0.2172, 0.2069, 0.0, -0.0308, -0.0476, -0.0758, -0.0656, -0.0591, -0.09, -0.081, -0.0566, -0.0771, -0.0797, -0.0938, -0.0746, -0.1003, -0.0977, -0.1015, -0.0874, -0.0823, -0.0823, -0.0578, -0.0681, -0.0887, -0.0604, -0.072, -0.0643, -0.0938, -0.063, -0.0566, -0.0411, -0.0051, 0.027, 0.0848, 0.0488, 0.0964, 0.0823, 0.0566, 0.0707, 0.063, 0.0797, -0.009, -0.009, 0.0566, 0.0977, 0.0951, 0.045, 0.0835, 0.0771, 0.0, 0.0347, 0.018, 0.0167, -0.0026, -0.0167, -0.0064, 0.009, -0.0013, 0.0116, 0.0219, 0.0167, -0.0051, -0.0051, -0.0231, 0.0026, 0.0051, -0.0398, -0.0617, 0.0296, 0.0553, 0.117, 0.126, 0.1684, 0.1028, 0.1015, 0.0514, 0.0604, 0.0321, 0.0, -0.0116, -0.0129, -0.018, -0.0219, -0.0219, -0.0129, -0.018, -0.0206, -0.0154, -0.0026, 0.0167, 0.0321, 0.018, 0.018, -0.018, -0.0604, -0.0668, -0.0527, -0.036, -0.0193, -0.027, 0.0206, 0.0039, 0.009, 0.009, 0.0103, 0.0129, 0.0373, 0.0373, 0.0373, 0.045, 0.0604, 0.1298, 0.108, 0.0797, 0.0553, 0.0527, 0.027, 0.0154, -0.0026, -0.0321, -0.0321, -0.0553, -0.0527, -0.0154, -0.0206, -0.0283, -0.0411, -0.0141, -0.0694, -0.1093, -0.144, -0.2159, -0.2404, -0.3419, -0.329, -0.3329, -0.3278, -0.3586, -0.3805, -0.3792, -0.3792, -0.392, -0.3728, -0.3573, -0.3393, -0.3663, -0.3612, -0.3483, -0.3239, -0.3303, -0.3239, -0.3252, -0.3098, -0.3136, -0.3368, -0.3406, -0.3689, -0.3753, -0.4023, -0.4139, -0.3985, -0.4023, -0.4062, -0.4139, -0.4242, -0.4203, -0.4396, -0.4229, -0.4846, -0.4949, -0.4833, -0.4087, -0.3702, -0.4049, -0.4049, -0.3946]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1976673663509508249", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2025-10-10T15:38:20+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$META - down 3.07%", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Author calls macro-driven dip an amazing buy opportunity across SPY and several names including AMZN, AMD, HIMS, SNAP, META, WLAC, NBIS.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Also since macro fears randomly appeared today with a Trump tweet, it’s an amazing dip buy opportunity on $SPY 1.65% drop.\n\nJust some examples:\n$AMZN - down 3.7%\n$AMD - down 8.27%\n$HIMS - down 8%\n$SNAP - down 5.1%\n$META - down 3.07%\n\n$WLAC, $NBIS always good to DCA.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "People have been asking for my $FLY thesis since my Reddit post, so here it is:\n\nFirefly is a rocket company like $RKLB, and is developing a reusable medium-lift rocket.\n\nThe only one that exists is SpaceX.\n\nThey target 2026-2027, and if they succeed, the company would re-rate to https://t.co/LCAFuKwYvd", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.039997170680027505, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.039997170680027505, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.012218546918641549, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.021202906451980308, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.027778623761385957, "bench_c_m1d": 0.018794264228047197, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014745489926138555, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014745489926138555, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0005985847670701983, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005525685310409312, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015344074693208754, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009219804615729243, "ret_p1w": 0.016475241153152353, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.016475241153152353, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0009362294821926298, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.002496418645165255, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017411470635344983, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01897165979831761, "ret_p1m": -0.1042676356394111, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1042676356394111, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14778851037894214, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1085229510226634, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.043520874739531035, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0042553153832523005, "ret_p3m": -0.07951359967601512, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07951359967601512, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13862003042981275, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12090599016845671, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05910643075379762, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04139239049244159, "ret_p6m": -0.18619257180417947, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.18619257180417947, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.20098835512108182, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.18335220052056056, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.014795783316902344, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0028403712836189143, "price_path": [0.0065, -0.0041, -0.0062, -0.0021, 0.0102, -0.0014, 0.0111, 0.0128, 0.0098, 0.0168, -0.0082, -0.015, 0.0959, 0.0627, 0.1, 0.0817, 0.0938, 0.0794, 0.09, 0.0851, 0.1193, 0.1053, 0.1082, 0.1126, 0.0873, 0.0648, 0.0594, 0.0472, 0.0694, 0.0673, 0.0685, 0.0589, 0.0642, 0.0466, 0.0466, 0.0416, 0.0443, 0.0607, 0.0661, 0.0659, 0.0849, 0.0655, 0.0639, 0.0706, 0.0835, 0.1037, 0.0991, 0.1055, 0.1029, 0.0849, 0.071, 0.0785, 0.0618, 0.0545, 0.054, 0.0412, 0.0171, 0.0308, 0.0075, 0.0147, 0.011, 0.0178, 0.04, 0.0, 0.0147, 0.0047, 0.0174, 0.0096, 0.0165, 0.0381, 0.0397, 0.0399, 0.0407, 0.0469, 0.0645, 0.0654, 0.0657, -0.0551, -0.0807, -0.0958, -0.1106, -0.0983, -0.1224, -0.1185, -0.1043, -0.1109, -0.1365, -0.1353, -0.1359, -0.1464, -0.1526, -0.163, -0.1647, -0.1575, -0.1308, -0.0979, -0.1016, -0.1016, -0.0813, -0.0914, -0.0825, -0.0932, -0.0621, -0.0452, -0.0546, -0.0685, -0.0782, -0.0746, -0.0866, -0.0812, -0.0675, -0.0784, -0.0572, -0.0652, -0.0613, -0.0565, -0.0528, -0.0528, -0.0588, -0.0653, -0.055, -0.0633, -0.0633, -0.0771, -0.0652, -0.0626, -0.0795, -0.0832, -0.0733, -0.089, -0.1045, -0.1266, -0.1191, -0.1199, -0.1199, -0.1428, -0.1302, -0.081, -0.0652, -0.0459, -0.0451, -0.0511, 0.0477, 0.0167, 0.0024, -0.0185, -0.0507, -0.049, -0.0614, -0.039, -0.0483, -0.0511, -0.0779, -0.0922, -0.0922, -0.0929, -0.0873, -0.0851, -0.0696, -0.0957, -0.0928, -0.0724, -0.0677, -0.0802, -0.0726, -0.0704, -0.0525, -0.0627, -0.0849, -0.0814, -0.0719, -0.0708, -0.0944, -0.1291, -0.1089, -0.1157, -0.1256, -0.1384, -0.1569, -0.1421, -0.1579, -0.1551, -0.2224, -0.2534, -0.2382, -0.1875, -0.1774, -0.1841, -0.1841, -0.1862]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1976673663509508249", "ticker_idx": 7, "ts": "2025-10-10T15:38:20+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$WLAC, $NBIS always good to DCA", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Author calls macro-driven dip an amazing buy opportunity across SPY and several names including AMZN, AMD, HIMS, SNAP, META, WLAC, NBIS.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Also since macro fears randomly appeared today with a Trump tweet, it’s an amazing dip buy opportunity on $SPY 1.65% drop.\n\nJust some examples:\n$AMZN - down 3.7%\n$AMD - down 8.27%\n$HIMS - down 8%\n$SNAP - down 5.1%\n$META - down 3.07%\n\n$WLAC, $NBIS always good to DCA.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "People have been asking for my $FLY thesis since my Reddit post, so here it is:\n\nFirefly is a rocket company like $RKLB, and is developing a reusable medium-lift rocket.\n\nThe only one that exists is SpaceX.\n\nThey target 2026-2027, and if they succeed, the company would re-rate to https://t.co/LCAFuKwYvd", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.023614736188870777, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.023614736188870777, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004163887572515179, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00482047196082358, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.027778623761385957, "bench_c_m1d": 0.018794264228047197, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04537741009202012, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04537741009202012, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030033335398811367, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03615760547629088, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015344074693208754, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009219804615729243, "ret_p1w": -0.12455625221160005, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12455625221160005, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.14196772284694503, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.14352791200991766, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017411470635344983, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01897165979831761, "ret_p1m": -0.15148946292195564, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15148946292195564, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19501033766148668, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.15574477830520794, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.043520874739531035, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0042553153832523005, "ret_p3m": -0.25752432686402926, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.25752432686402926, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3166307576178269, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.29891671735647085, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05910643075379762, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04139239049244159, "ret_p6m": -0.1315017801724062, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1315017801724062, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.14629756348930856, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.1286614088887873, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.014795783316902344, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0028403712836189143, "price_path": [-0.5869, -0.5886, -0.5857, -0.5926, -0.5958, -0.6063, -0.5996, -0.5975, -0.6036, -0.5929, -0.6111, -0.6042, -0.58, -0.5987, -0.582, -0.5742, -0.5749, -0.496, -0.4692, -0.4579, -0.4187, -0.4549, -0.4717, -0.4473, -0.4402, -0.4815, -0.4793, -0.4893, -0.4677, -0.4596, -0.4561, -0.459, -0.4441, -0.4728, -0.4728, -0.4928, -0.4934, -0.4991, -0.4948, -0.5056, -0.2613, -0.2793, -0.3117, -0.3023, -0.298, -0.3098, -0.274, -0.2737, -0.2336, -0.1773, -0.1681, -0.1262, -0.167, -0.1689, -0.1494, -0.1336, -0.1078, -0.0286, -0.0123, -0.0358, -0.0917, -0.0585, 0.0236, 0.0, 0.0454, -0.011, -0.0289, -0.0505, -0.1246, -0.1588, -0.1952, -0.2389, -0.1807, -0.0951, -0.032, -0.0598, -0.0346, -0.0417, 0.0096, -0.0703, -0.1469, -0.0971, -0.1554, -0.1412, -0.1515, -0.2111, -0.2718, -0.316, -0.3553, -0.3365, -0.3013, -0.2663, -0.3468, -0.3575, -0.2908, -0.3141, -0.2693, -0.2693, -0.2679, -0.2271, -0.2557, -0.2366, -0.2067, -0.2434, -0.2257, -0.256, -0.2777, -0.2724, -0.3233, -0.3738, -0.3753, -0.4177, -0.3974, -0.3096, -0.2805, -0.3052, -0.2967, -0.2967, -0.324, -0.336, -0.3427, -0.354, -0.354, -0.3058, -0.2836, -0.2264, -0.2575, -0.2491, -0.2443, -0.1717, -0.1864, -0.213, -0.1983, -0.1609, -0.1609, -0.2338, -0.237, -0.2526, -0.2707, -0.2942, -0.2447, -0.225, -0.2676, -0.3426, -0.3196, -0.3058, -0.3642, -0.4299, -0.3355, -0.2832, -0.2916, -0.3162, -0.3075, -0.2436, -0.2436, -0.2474, -0.2144, -0.1695, -0.2443, -0.2236, -0.2084, -0.181, -0.1906, -0.2963, -0.2977, -0.3301, -0.2454, -0.2618, -0.3106, -0.2673, -0.2558, -0.1357, -0.1662, -0.1283, 0.0021, -0.1023, -0.085, -0.0622, -0.0923, -0.1191, -0.1132, -0.1118, -0.1822, -0.2219, -0.288, -0.1993, -0.2132, -0.1602, -0.1602, -0.1315]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1980804748510130524", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-22T01:13:48+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "just the core business, I think $NBIS is undervalued. It is mindblowing how Nebius is growing from $100m ARR to $1B-1.5B in just 1Y", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS: core business undervalued, ARR growing from $100M to $1B–$1.5B in one year, expects institutional ownership to surge from 38% to 65% in 6 months.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Subsidiaries aside and just the core business, I think $NBIS is undervalued.   \n\nIt is mindblowing how Nebius is growing from $100m ARR to $1B-1.5B in just 1Y.   \n\nAnd this is a generational chance for small companies to power the infrastructure of $GOOGL Cloud, $MSFT Azure, $AMZN Web Services and others, the most profitable segments of Mag7.   \n\nRetail doesn't see this opportunity. Institutions definitely do and I would not be surprised if Nebius was 65% owned by institutions from 38% in 6 months time.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @MktMavPro To me subsidiaries aren’t even priced in rn", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "longinvest32", "ret_m1d": 0.05739196790796086, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05739196790796086, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.052165891093566064, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04865795143168117, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005226076814394798, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008734016476279693, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07645508725955352, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07645508725955352, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07052519606905383, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07982761972858643, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005929891190499692, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0033725324690329073, "ret_p1w": 0.2685053233630823, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2685053233630823, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.23917013427122158, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2628844137812947, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.029335189091860725, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005620909581787625, "ret_p1m": -0.14175626614873638, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14175626614873638, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11889015789478707, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09272476616029002, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.022866108253949302, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04903149998844636, "ret_p3m": 0.10251470623389292, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10251470623389292, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06372503900472015, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10335486794227966, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.038789667229172764, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0008401617083867441, "ret_p6m": 0.6765361157285201, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6765361157285201, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.619849690724092, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.6423340376147957, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05668642500442811, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03420207811372444, "price_path": [-0.4791, -0.4651, -0.4889, -0.4799, -0.4481, -0.4727, -0.4507, -0.4406, -0.4414, -0.3378, -0.3026, -0.2878, -0.2362, -0.2838, -0.3058, -0.2738, -0.2644, -0.3187, -0.3159, -0.3289, -0.3005, -0.29, -0.2853, -0.2892, -0.2695, -0.3072, -0.3072, -0.3336, -0.3343, -0.3418, -0.3361, -0.3504, -0.0294, -0.053, -0.0956, -0.0832, -0.0777, -0.0932, -0.046, -0.0456, 0.007, 0.0809, 0.0931, 0.1481, 0.0945, 0.0921, 0.1176, 0.1384, 0.1723, 0.2763, 0.2977, 0.2669, 0.1935, 0.2371, 0.345, 0.3139, 0.3736, 0.2994, 0.2759, 0.2476, 0.1503, 0.1053, 0.0574, 0.0, 0.0765, 0.189, 0.2719, 0.2353, 0.2685, 0.2592, 0.3265, 0.2216, 0.1209, 0.1864, 0.1097, 0.1284, 0.1149, 0.0365, -0.0432, -0.1013, -0.1529, -0.1282, -0.0819, -0.036, -0.1418, -0.1557, -0.0681, -0.0988, -0.0398, -0.0398, -0.038, 0.0155, -0.022, 0.003, 0.0424, -0.0059, 0.0173, -0.0224, -0.051, -0.044, -0.1108, -0.1772, -0.1792, -0.2349, -0.2082, -0.0929, -0.0547, -0.0871, -0.0759, -0.0759, -0.1118, -0.1276, -0.1364, -0.1512, -0.1512, -0.0879, -0.0587, 0.0164, -0.0244, -0.0134, -0.007, 0.0883, 0.0691, 0.0341, 0.0534, 0.1025, 0.1025, 0.0068, 0.0025, -0.0179, -0.0418, -0.0726, -0.0076, 0.0184, -0.0376, -0.1362, -0.1061, -0.0879, -0.1646, -0.251, -0.127, -0.0582, -0.0693, -0.1015, -0.0901, -0.0062, -0.0062, -0.0112, 0.0322, 0.0912, -0.0071, 0.0202, 0.0402, 0.076, 0.0635, -0.0753, -0.0772, -0.1199, -0.0085, -0.0301, -0.0942, -0.0373, -0.0222, 0.1356, 0.0955, 0.1453, 0.3167, 0.1796, 0.2022, 0.2322, 0.1927, 0.1575, 0.1652, 0.167, 0.0745, 0.0223, -0.0645, 0.0521, 0.0338, 0.1034, 0.1034, 0.1411, 0.1904, 0.2675, 0.3824, 0.47, 0.5672, 0.6421, 0.691, 0.6765]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2007210829117304953", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-02T22:02:08+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AXTI is the bottom of the entire AI supply chain for photonics since they own 10+ materials companies that produce the high-purity chemicals. Basically a materials hedge fund at this point that produces the output substrate, hence why it's has so much control and market share over the critical inp bottleneck.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AXTI as the foundational materials supplier for AI photonics supply chain, owning 10+ chemical companies and controlling the critical InP bottleneck.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If $GOOGL wants to build more TPUs, they need $LITE’s for OCS. $LITE needs $AXTI substrates (est. 30% of merchant market, CEO says 40% of InP supply chain). $AXTI needs the chemicals and materials from that happened to be owned by AXT.\n\n$AXTI is the bottom of the entire AI supply chain for photonics since they own 10+ materials companies that produce the high-purity chemicals. \n\nBasically a materials hedge fund at this point that produces the output substrate, hence why it's has so much control and market share over the critical inp bottleneck.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit You have done great work and nailed this. My question is - what’s the next play for the 2nd-3rd layer China supply chain?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "computefinx", "ret_m1d": -0.024462997721537816, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.024462997721537816, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.022633311874942552, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01081689336021674, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018296858465952637, "bench_c_m1d": -0.035279891081754555, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0053699374319098325, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0053699374319098325, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012030051247972962, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01686205820663944, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006660113816063129, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011492120774729608, "ret_p1w": 0.37171834469909015, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.37171834469909015, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.3557633300304277, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.32907164245337883, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01595501466866245, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04264670224571132, "ret_p1m": 0.24940335609140107, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.24940335609140107, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2314868759110269, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.15652895330154015, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017916480180374172, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09287440278986092, "ret_p3m": 1.8126490898498897, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.8126490898498897, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.8509126728305862, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.7626356581910365, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03826358298069654, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05001343165885319, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6832, -0.6832, -0.6879, -0.7595, -0.7255, -0.7273, -0.7261, -0.7058, -0.7309, -0.707, -0.6915, -0.7053, -0.6909, -0.6384, -0.6307, -0.6062, -0.5782, -0.5632, -0.5257, -0.4952, -0.4905, -0.457, -0.4708, -0.4356, -0.3771, -0.3699, -0.3449, -0.3771, -0.3771, -0.3884, -0.4093, -0.3968, -0.4362, -0.4672, -0.4427, -0.4493, -0.3765, -0.3765, -0.3616, -0.3562, -0.2983, -0.315, -0.278, -0.3091, -0.2416, -0.1074, -0.0746, -0.0227, -0.1163, -0.1152, -0.2243, -0.2625, -0.1641, -0.1259, -0.0919, -0.1265, -0.1044, -0.1044, -0.0829, -0.1295, -0.0573, -0.0245, -0.0245, 0.0, -0.0054, 0.2035, 0.4385, 0.5412, 0.3717, 0.327, 0.2834, 0.3186, 0.5346, 0.318, 0.318, 0.2774, 0.1802, 0.0692, 0.0382, 0.0621, 0.0263, 0.0042, -0.0227, 0.1062, 0.2494, 0.1778, 0.1187, 0.219, 0.4356, 0.6569, 0.4529, 0.599, 0.4791, 0.4463, 0.4463, 0.3848, 0.4045, 0.4206, 0.7709, 0.6963, 1.0931, 1.4445, 1.2148, 1.2613, 1.7637, 1.4916, 1.3347, 1.315, 0.9314, 1.3007, 1.6432, 1.8258, 1.7882, 1.9153, 1.8872, 1.6468, 1.9093, 2.466, 2.2363, 2.8449, 3.0835, 3.0185, 2.491, 2.6175, 2.1462, 2.3998, 1.8126, 2.1527, 2.1527, 1.5054, 1.7124, 2.173, 2.7661, 2.8294, 2.9648, 3.0155, 2.7548, 3.8795, 3.926, 3.6993, 3.4732, 4.1874, 3.491, 3.5442, 3.1856, 3.0996, 3.2405, 3.7267, 4.7279, 5.3246, 5.4171, 5.2548, 5.469, 5.9427, 6.5066, 6.3329, 6.2757, 5.8604, 6.3854, 5.3174, 5.7351, 5.2416, 6.2208, 7.4027, 7.4027, 6.9117, 6.3252, 5.9033, 5.1551, 5.1551, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1982428584431251483", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-26T12:46:20+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS is the clear favorite out of anything. $NBIS is what true asymmetric return looks like.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Consolidating into NBIS as the full-stack gross-margin winner; bearish on miner neoclouds IREN and CIFR due to middleware margin compression and execution risk.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "To settle the Neocloud debate:\n\n$NBIS  > $IREN + others. \n\nBased on the $ORCL report, NBIS whitepaper,  $CRWV acquisitions, and other factors, \n\nI decided to consolidate millions into Nebius and sell off miners like $CIFR.\n\n📏 Gross Margins > GW capacity \n\nHere's the math + why:\n\nWe've had a huge speculative run across the board on Neoclouds backed by forward revenue (eg. 19B $MSFT deal with $NBIS).\n\nHowever, crypto miners have recently gone up 500%+ due to raw GW capacity like $IREN and cheap energy.\n\nHowever, what people miss out on is capacity leads to much higher revenue but that revenue means nothing if it's not profitable (eg. $ORCL 14% gross margins). \n\nNow that more information has come out regarding $ORCL's buildout failure, $NBIS's whitepaper, and others, we know power and capacity mean little if the economics don’t translate. \n\nAnd $NBIS has everything. \n\n1. The Margin Gap: Full Stack vs. Middleware\n\nMiners like $IREN and $CIFR must rely on orchestration partners (Fluidstack, Poolside, etc.) to monetize their GPUs. That means giving up 20–30% of revenue (~private estimates from deep research), plus absorbing GPU depreciation, power, and O&M. The result?\n\nAt $3–4/hr GPU pricing and ~80% utilization, IREN/CIFR margin = ~44–52%\n\nAt $5–6/hr and 90% utilization, margin could reach ~55–60%, but that’s the ceiling\n\nMeanwhile, Nebius earns 70–75% today by owning the orchestration layer and amortizing over 4 years (71.2% from previous Q, likely 60-70%, possibly higher from recent whitepaper claiming higher GPU utilizations).  \n\nThis gap compounds as scale and utilization rise. \n\nMiners give away a piece of every dollar they earn while Nebius INCREASES gross margins over time.\n\n2. Software Is the Moat and Oracle Proved It\n\nEven $ORCL, an $800B hyperscaler, failed at building GPU orchestration profitably, reporting ~14% gross margins on their AI rental platform and losing ~$100M in the process.\n\nIf Oracle can’t execute, expecting $100M marketcap small miners like $SLNH to build hyperscaler-grade orchestration from scratch is wishful thinking.\n\nPlatforms like Fluidstack are essential bridges, but they come at a cost: margin compression, revenue leakage, and platform dependency.\n\nNebius? It already did the hard part. Its in-house orchestration software, GPU utilization, with no middlemen taking a cut.\n\n3. Power vs. Margin Calculations\n\nA single H100 uses ~0.7–0.84 kW. Even at $0.10/kWh, power is just $0.07–0.08 per GPU-hour. When GPUs rent at $4–6/hr, that’s 1–2% of revenue.\n\nWhat actually moves the needle? Utilization:\n\n50% -> 85% uptime = +70% revenue per GPU\n\nThat’s a multi-hundred bps margin swing, far outweighing any \"cheap power\" comparison with miners.\n\nSoftware utilization/orchestration is a moat and matters ~30–70 TIMES more than cheap power. And it's not like $NBIS doesn't have cheap power either lol.\n\n4. The CRWV Exception to Miners\n\nEveryone points to $CRWV as miners pivot but Coreweave literally spent YEARS to do this, along with billions in software acquisitions.\n\nAnd even now, reports suggest their utilization trails Nebius. If miners think they’ll replicate CRWV, good luck.\n\nI'd expect in NBIS to strong outperform in next year's earnings reports when it comes time for execution vs. speculation.\n\n🧩 The Asymmetry\n\nNebius GM: 70–75% (full-stack, 4yr depreciation)\n\nIREN/CIFR realistic GM: 40–60% (middleware, 2–3yr depreciation)\n\nGross margin delta: 15–30 points\n\nExecution risk: Nebius = 0 (already doing it); IREN/CIFR = high\n\nNebius isn’t a power play. It’s a software margins play,  with hardware upside. With $IREN and others, you're guessing if it can pull off a $CRWV.\n\nPeople keep saying \"software it not a moat, and look at $CRWV for $IREN future HPC margins\", but if $ORCL one of the largest hyperscalers is stuck at 14% gross margins. Then how do we expect these small crypto miners to pull off a Coreweave.\n\nIn terms of ASYMMETRICAL UPDATE, $NBIS is the clear favorite out of anything. In terms of raw potential upside if $IREN manages to pull a $CRWV out a hat and beats out $ORCL in this, sure I'd concede. \n\nSoftware full stack is a HUGE moat that people vastly, vastly underestimate. With $NBIS, they can just let it plug and play scale up over time with the highest gross margins in industry. \n\n$NBIS is what true asymmetric return looks like.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Neocloud Position Update Friday Oct 24.\n\nThis post is to send a message to $IREN and other Neoclouds holders that: \n\n👑 $NBIS is superior.\n\nI sold out of other Neoclouds: $CIFR 250%+ gain, $IREN, $BITF, $WYFI, 50-100%+ gain, $WULF 5-10% loss.\n\nNow with $2M+ exposure in $NBIS", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0651359176358719, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0651359176358719, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05347576869210846, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.051394016667661524, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013741900968210374, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02870125540430646, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02870125540430646, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.031357254360897535, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.023750721096447047, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004950534307859411, "ret_p1w": -0.03954396135218685, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03954396135218685, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.036771241766913265, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.009072772543005425, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": -0.030471188809181426, "ret_p1m": -0.291397615903933, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.291397615903933, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2764831740059033, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2669865978192385, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02441101808469448, "ret_p3m": -0.22785618880266678, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22785618880266678, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23628515601411337, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.22330124633290094, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": -0.004554942469765844, "ret_p6m": 0.24810653488691647, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.24810653488691647, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.21476196842477524, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.24166768131940364, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": 0.006438853567512837, "price_path": [-0.5911, -0.5661, -0.5854, -0.5681, -0.5602, -0.5608, -0.4793, -0.4516, -0.44, -0.3994, -0.4369, -0.4542, -0.429, -0.4217, -0.4643, -0.4621, -0.4724, -0.4501, -0.4418, -0.4381, -0.4411, -0.4257, -0.4553, -0.4553, -0.476, -0.4766, -0.4825, -0.478, -0.4893, -0.2369, -0.2554, -0.2889, -0.2792, -0.2748, -0.287, -0.2499, -0.2496, -0.2082, -0.1501, -0.1406, -0.0973, -0.1394, -0.1414, -0.1213, -0.1049, -0.0783, 0.0035, 0.0203, -0.0039, -0.0616, -0.0273, 0.0575, 0.0331, 0.08, 0.0217, 0.0032, -0.0191, -0.0956, -0.131, -0.1686, -0.2137, -0.1536, -0.0651, 0.0, -0.0287, -0.0026, -0.01, 0.043, -0.0395, -0.1187, -0.0672, -0.1275, -0.1128, -0.1234, -0.185, -0.2477, -0.2934, -0.334, -0.3145, -0.2782, -0.242, -0.3252, -0.3362, -0.2673, -0.2914, -0.2451, -0.2451, -0.2436, -0.2015, -0.231, -0.2114, -0.1804, -0.2184, -0.2001, -0.2314, -0.2538, -0.2483, -0.3009, -0.3531, -0.3546, -0.3985, -0.3774, -0.2868, -0.2567, -0.2822, -0.2735, -0.2735, -0.3017, -0.314, -0.321, -0.3327, -0.3327, -0.2829, -0.2599, -0.2008, -0.233, -0.2243, -0.2192, -0.1443, -0.1595, -0.187, -0.1718, -0.1331, -0.1331, -0.2084, -0.2118, -0.2279, -0.2466, -0.2708, -0.2197, -0.1993, -0.2433, -0.3208, -0.2971, -0.2829, -0.3431, -0.4111, -0.3136, -0.2595, -0.2682, -0.2936, -0.2846, -0.2186, -0.2186, -0.2225, -0.1884, -0.1421, -0.2193, -0.1979, -0.1822, -0.154, -0.1638, -0.273, -0.2744, -0.308, -0.2204, -0.2374, -0.2878, -0.2431, -0.2312, -0.1071, -0.1386, -0.0995, 0.0352, -0.0726, -0.0548, -0.0312, -0.0623, -0.0899, -0.0839, -0.0824, -0.1551, -0.1962, -0.2645, -0.1728, -0.1872, -0.1324, -0.1324, -0.1028, -0.064, -0.0034, 0.0869, 0.1558, 0.2322, 0.2911, 0.3296, 0.3182, 0.2528, 0.2689, 0.2481]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1982428584431251483", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-26T12:46:20+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I sold out of other Neoclouds: $CIFR 250%+ gain, $IREN, $BITF, $WYFI, 50-100%+ gain", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Consolidating into NBIS as the full-stack gross-margin winner; bearish on miner neoclouds IREN and CIFR due to middleware margin compression and execution risk.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "To settle the Neocloud debate:\n\n$NBIS  > $IREN + others. \n\nBased on the $ORCL report, NBIS whitepaper,  $CRWV acquisitions, and other factors, \n\nI decided to consolidate millions into Nebius and sell off miners like $CIFR.\n\n📏 Gross Margins > GW capacity \n\nHere's the math + why:\n\nWe've had a huge speculative run across the board on Neoclouds backed by forward revenue (eg. 19B $MSFT deal with $NBIS).\n\nHowever, crypto miners have recently gone up 500%+ due to raw GW capacity like $IREN and cheap energy.\n\nHowever, what people miss out on is capacity leads to much higher revenue but that revenue means nothing if it's not profitable (eg. $ORCL 14% gross margins). \n\nNow that more information has come out regarding $ORCL's buildout failure, $NBIS's whitepaper, and others, we know power and capacity mean little if the economics don’t translate. \n\nAnd $NBIS has everything. \n\n1. The Margin Gap: Full Stack vs. Middleware\n\nMiners like $IREN and $CIFR must rely on orchestration partners (Fluidstack, Poolside, etc.) to monetize their GPUs. That means giving up 20–30% of revenue (~private estimates from deep research), plus absorbing GPU depreciation, power, and O&M. The result?\n\nAt $3–4/hr GPU pricing and ~80% utilization, IREN/CIFR margin = ~44–52%\n\nAt $5–6/hr and 90% utilization, margin could reach ~55–60%, but that’s the ceiling\n\nMeanwhile, Nebius earns 70–75% today by owning the orchestration layer and amortizing over 4 years (71.2% from previous Q, likely 60-70%, possibly higher from recent whitepaper claiming higher GPU utilizations).  \n\nThis gap compounds as scale and utilization rise. \n\nMiners give away a piece of every dollar they earn while Nebius INCREASES gross margins over time.\n\n2. Software Is the Moat and Oracle Proved It\n\nEven $ORCL, an $800B hyperscaler, failed at building GPU orchestration profitably, reporting ~14% gross margins on their AI rental platform and losing ~$100M in the process.\n\nIf Oracle can’t execute, expecting $100M marketcap small miners like $SLNH to build hyperscaler-grade orchestration from scratch is wishful thinking.\n\nPlatforms like Fluidstack are essential bridges, but they come at a cost: margin compression, revenue leakage, and platform dependency.\n\nNebius? It already did the hard part. Its in-house orchestration software, GPU utilization, with no middlemen taking a cut.\n\n3. Power vs. Margin Calculations\n\nA single H100 uses ~0.7–0.84 kW. Even at $0.10/kWh, power is just $0.07–0.08 per GPU-hour. When GPUs rent at $4–6/hr, that’s 1–2% of revenue.\n\nWhat actually moves the needle? Utilization:\n\n50% -> 85% uptime = +70% revenue per GPU\n\nThat’s a multi-hundred bps margin swing, far outweighing any \"cheap power\" comparison with miners.\n\nSoftware utilization/orchestration is a moat and matters ~30–70 TIMES more than cheap power. And it's not like $NBIS doesn't have cheap power either lol.\n\n4. The CRWV Exception to Miners\n\nEveryone points to $CRWV as miners pivot but Coreweave literally spent YEARS to do this, along with billions in software acquisitions.\n\nAnd even now, reports suggest their utilization trails Nebius. If miners think they’ll replicate CRWV, good luck.\n\nI'd expect in NBIS to strong outperform in next year's earnings reports when it comes time for execution vs. speculation.\n\n🧩 The Asymmetry\n\nNebius GM: 70–75% (full-stack, 4yr depreciation)\n\nIREN/CIFR realistic GM: 40–60% (middleware, 2–3yr depreciation)\n\nGross margin delta: 15–30 points\n\nExecution risk: Nebius = 0 (already doing it); IREN/CIFR = high\n\nNebius isn’t a power play. It’s a software margins play,  with hardware upside. With $IREN and others, you're guessing if it can pull off a $CRWV.\n\nPeople keep saying \"software it not a moat, and look at $CRWV for $IREN future HPC margins\", but if $ORCL one of the largest hyperscalers is stuck at 14% gross margins. Then how do we expect these small crypto miners to pull off a Coreweave.\n\nIn terms of ASYMMETRICAL UPDATE, $NBIS is the clear favorite out of anything. In terms of raw potential upside if $IREN manages to pull a $CRWV out a hat and beats out $ORCL in this, sure I'd concede. \n\nSoftware full stack is a HUGE moat that people vastly, vastly underestimate. With $NBIS, they can just let it plug and play scale up over time with the highest gross margins in industry. \n\n$NBIS is what true asymmetric return looks like.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Neocloud Position Update Friday Oct 24.\n\nThis post is to send a message to $IREN and other Neoclouds holders that: \n\n👑 $NBIS is superior.\n\nI sold out of other Neoclouds: $CIFR 250%+ gain, $IREN, $BITF, $WYFI, 50-100%+ gain, $WULF 5-10% loss.\n\nNow with $2M+ exposure in $NBIS", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03215873836881211, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03215873836881211, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.020498589425048674, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.028033473816390764, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004125264552421348, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.039544541918764, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.039544541918764, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.042200540875355075, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03316916586003127, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006375376058732729, "ret_p1w": 0.04246810627715236, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04246810627715236, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04524082586242595, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0645944793271267, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022126373049974335, "ret_p1m": -0.2695798925827233, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2695798925827233, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2546654506846936, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.25476647211453674, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.014813420468186567, "ret_p3m": -0.1958762880546734, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1958762880546734, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.20430525526611998, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.20840337820819355, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01252709015352016, "ret_p6m": -0.30497000071257774, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.30497000071257774, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.33831456717471897, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2941425250379808, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010827475674596965, "price_path": [-0.7517, -0.7521, -0.763, -0.7464, -0.7469, -0.7181, -0.7143, -0.7161, -0.7235, -0.7257, -0.7272, -0.7064, -0.697, -0.6814, -0.7118, -0.696, -0.6986, -0.6703, -0.6443, -0.6463, -0.656, -0.6455, -0.5926, -0.5926, -0.5521, -0.5659, -0.5979, -0.5976, -0.597, -0.5355, -0.4825, -0.4945, -0.4775, -0.4285, -0.4391, -0.4168, -0.4411, -0.4054, -0.3553, -0.3573, -0.2747, -0.2877, -0.3559, -0.2933, -0.2779, -0.2756, -0.2765, -0.2236, -0.1114, -0.0509, -0.0754, -0.0175, -0.0803, -0.0131, 0.0703, 0.046, -0.0486, -0.0657, -0.0888, -0.1507, -0.2025, -0.1405, -0.0322, 0.0, -0.0395, -0.0703, -0.1042, -0.0652, 0.0425, 0.0252, 0.1757, 0.0303, -0.0402, -0.0742, -0.1171, -0.1429, -0.2514, -0.2865, -0.2705, -0.2483, -0.2948, -0.3311, -0.3497, -0.2539, -0.2696, -0.2545, -0.2545, -0.2643, -0.2539, -0.3673, -0.3236, -0.2853, -0.312, -0.287, -0.2793, -0.3242, -0.3239, -0.3825, -0.4541, -0.437, -0.4802, -0.4491, -0.3858, -0.3531, -0.3527, -0.3541, -0.3541, -0.3799, -0.3936, -0.4107, -0.4188, -0.4188, -0.343, -0.2577, -0.2936, -0.3287, -0.2971, -0.2917, -0.2256, -0.1846, -0.1863, -0.2016, -0.1103, -0.1103, -0.1651, -0.1771, -0.1959, -0.1279, -0.1943, -0.0769, -0.0315, -0.0792, -0.1731, -0.1833, -0.1631, -0.3085, -0.3878, -0.3564, -0.2899, -0.3394, -0.3434, -0.3841, -0.3504, -0.3504, -0.3696, -0.3525, -0.3339, -0.3848, -0.3482, -0.3007, -0.3225, -0.3193, -0.3699, -0.3631, -0.4022, -0.3254, -0.3826, -0.4353, -0.4024, -0.4134, -0.3541, -0.3634, -0.3602, -0.3085, -0.339, -0.3505, -0.359, -0.3647, -0.3513, -0.3673, -0.3625, -0.4238, -0.4601, -0.5135, -0.4725, -0.4755, -0.465, -0.465, -0.4595, -0.4501, -0.4333, -0.4298, -0.395, -0.3373, -0.2711, -0.2488, -0.266, -0.2596, -0.2503, -0.305]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1982428584431251483", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-26T12:46:20+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "decided to consolidate millions into Nebius and sell off miners like $CIFR", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Consolidating into NBIS as the full-stack gross-margin winner; bearish on miner neoclouds IREN and CIFR due to middleware margin compression and execution risk.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "To settle the Neocloud debate:\n\n$NBIS  > $IREN + others. \n\nBased on the $ORCL report, NBIS whitepaper,  $CRWV acquisitions, and other factors, \n\nI decided to consolidate millions into Nebius and sell off miners like $CIFR.\n\n📏 Gross Margins > GW capacity \n\nHere's the math + why:\n\nWe've had a huge speculative run across the board on Neoclouds backed by forward revenue (eg. 19B $MSFT deal with $NBIS).\n\nHowever, crypto miners have recently gone up 500%+ due to raw GW capacity like $IREN and cheap energy.\n\nHowever, what people miss out on is capacity leads to much higher revenue but that revenue means nothing if it's not profitable (eg. $ORCL 14% gross margins). \n\nNow that more information has come out regarding $ORCL's buildout failure, $NBIS's whitepaper, and others, we know power and capacity mean little if the economics don’t translate. \n\nAnd $NBIS has everything. \n\n1. The Margin Gap: Full Stack vs. Middleware\n\nMiners like $IREN and $CIFR must rely on orchestration partners (Fluidstack, Poolside, etc.) to monetize their GPUs. That means giving up 20–30% of revenue (~private estimates from deep research), plus absorbing GPU depreciation, power, and O&M. The result?\n\nAt $3–4/hr GPU pricing and ~80% utilization, IREN/CIFR margin = ~44–52%\n\nAt $5–6/hr and 90% utilization, margin could reach ~55–60%, but that’s the ceiling\n\nMeanwhile, Nebius earns 70–75% today by owning the orchestration layer and amortizing over 4 years (71.2% from previous Q, likely 60-70%, possibly higher from recent whitepaper claiming higher GPU utilizations).  \n\nThis gap compounds as scale and utilization rise. \n\nMiners give away a piece of every dollar they earn while Nebius INCREASES gross margins over time.\n\n2. Software Is the Moat and Oracle Proved It\n\nEven $ORCL, an $800B hyperscaler, failed at building GPU orchestration profitably, reporting ~14% gross margins on their AI rental platform and losing ~$100M in the process.\n\nIf Oracle can’t execute, expecting $100M marketcap small miners like $SLNH to build hyperscaler-grade orchestration from scratch is wishful thinking.\n\nPlatforms like Fluidstack are essential bridges, but they come at a cost: margin compression, revenue leakage, and platform dependency.\n\nNebius? It already did the hard part. Its in-house orchestration software, GPU utilization, with no middlemen taking a cut.\n\n3. Power vs. Margin Calculations\n\nA single H100 uses ~0.7–0.84 kW. Even at $0.10/kWh, power is just $0.07–0.08 per GPU-hour. When GPUs rent at $4–6/hr, that’s 1–2% of revenue.\n\nWhat actually moves the needle? Utilization:\n\n50% -> 85% uptime = +70% revenue per GPU\n\nThat’s a multi-hundred bps margin swing, far outweighing any \"cheap power\" comparison with miners.\n\nSoftware utilization/orchestration is a moat and matters ~30–70 TIMES more than cheap power. And it's not like $NBIS doesn't have cheap power either lol.\n\n4. The CRWV Exception to Miners\n\nEveryone points to $CRWV as miners pivot but Coreweave literally spent YEARS to do this, along with billions in software acquisitions.\n\nAnd even now, reports suggest their utilization trails Nebius. If miners think they’ll replicate CRWV, good luck.\n\nI'd expect in NBIS to strong outperform in next year's earnings reports when it comes time for execution vs. speculation.\n\n🧩 The Asymmetry\n\nNebius GM: 70–75% (full-stack, 4yr depreciation)\n\nIREN/CIFR realistic GM: 40–60% (middleware, 2–3yr depreciation)\n\nGross margin delta: 15–30 points\n\nExecution risk: Nebius = 0 (already doing it); IREN/CIFR = high\n\nNebius isn’t a power play. It’s a software margins play,  with hardware upside. With $IREN and others, you're guessing if it can pull off a $CRWV.\n\nPeople keep saying \"software it not a moat, and look at $CRWV for $IREN future HPC margins\", but if $ORCL one of the largest hyperscalers is stuck at 14% gross margins. Then how do we expect these small crypto miners to pull off a Coreweave.\n\nIn terms of ASYMMETRICAL UPDATE, $NBIS is the clear favorite out of anything. In terms of raw potential upside if $IREN manages to pull a $CRWV out a hat and beats out $ORCL in this, sure I'd concede. \n\nSoftware full stack is a HUGE moat that people vastly, vastly underestimate. With $NBIS, they can just let it plug and play scale up over time with the highest gross margins in industry. \n\n$NBIS is what true asymmetric return looks like.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Neocloud Position Update Friday Oct 24.\n\nThis post is to send a message to $IREN and other Neoclouds holders that: \n\n👑 $NBIS is superior.\n\nI sold out of other Neoclouds: $CIFR 250%+ gain, $IREN, $BITF, $WYFI, 50-100%+ gain, $WULF 5-10% loss.\n\nNow with $2M+ exposure in $NBIS", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.005842206744696377, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005842206744696377, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017502355688459814, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0239693602614649, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.018127153516768524, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.028237673086773385, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.028237673086773385, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030893672043364462, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03813722322910784, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009899550142334457, "ret_p1w": 0.10808175337890424, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10808175337890424, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11085447296417783, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09834943885231096, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009732314526593289, "ret_p1m": -0.14703020073775575, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14703020073775575, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.13211575883972604, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0850234511328678, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.062006749604887945, "ret_p3m": -0.15335936638141245, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15335936638141245, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.16178833359285905, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12392620505308272, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": -0.029433161328329738, "ret_p6m": -0.12171372388353252, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.12171372388353252, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.15505829034567375, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.1592872886201938, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03757356473666129, "price_path": [-0.7347, -0.7342, -0.76, -0.7473, -0.7561, -0.7463, -0.7629, -0.7687, -0.7683, -0.7702, -0.7614, -0.741, -0.7463, -0.7055, -0.7196, -0.7103, -0.7128, -0.6894, -0.6767, -0.6534, -0.6597, -0.6582, -0.628, -0.628, -0.5949, -0.6052, -0.6397, -0.6339, -0.6241, -0.5511, -0.501, -0.5146, -0.4718, -0.4718, -0.4396, -0.3973, -0.4231, -0.4021, -0.3204, -0.3111, -0.3116, -0.4323, -0.4416, -0.3841, -0.387, -0.3866, -0.3277, -0.2843, -0.2532, -0.2332, -0.1431, -0.1241, -0.1738, -0.0097, 0.017, 0.0239, -0.0886, -0.0867, -0.0307, -0.12, -0.2157, -0.1599, 0.0058, 0.0, -0.0282, -0.0463, -0.0716, -0.092, 0.1081, 0.0959, 0.203, 0.057, 0.0073, -0.0433, -0.091, -0.1538, -0.2731, -0.3009, -0.3014, -0.2902, -0.2882, -0.2911, -0.3111, -0.1865, -0.147, -0.0677, -0.0677, -0.0093, -0.0414, -0.1412, -0.093, -0.0346, -0.0613, -0.0516, -0.0477, -0.1003, -0.0808, -0.1699, -0.2824, -0.2702, -0.2994, -0.2624, -0.2108, -0.2045, -0.2254, -0.2103, -0.2103, -0.2605, -0.2658, -0.2897, -0.2814, -0.2814, -0.2113, -0.1159, -0.1461, -0.2171, -0.1943, -0.1904, -0.1392, -0.1115, -0.1173, -0.147, -0.0847, -0.0847, -0.1276, -0.1373, -0.1534, -0.1446, -0.1972, -0.0871, -0.0764, -0.1383, -0.223, -0.2303, -0.2084, -0.3062, -0.3817, -0.2829, -0.184, -0.1675, -0.2074, -0.2162, -0.2006, -0.2006, -0.2386, -0.2493, -0.2308, -0.2868, -0.259, -0.1665, -0.1913, -0.1977, -0.2405, -0.2327, -0.2838, -0.2191, -0.2624, -0.3369, -0.3033, -0.3204, -0.313, -0.3325, -0.3145, -0.2629, -0.2653, -0.2858, -0.2872, -0.3179, -0.2751, -0.2756, -0.2269, -0.3014, -0.3308, -0.415, -0.3734, -0.3846, -0.3759, -0.3759, -0.35, -0.3179, -0.2493, -0.2035, -0.1952, -0.1353, -0.1018, -0.1237, -0.1558, -0.057, -0.0609, -0.1217]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2008854319806787681", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-07T10:52:47+00:00", "symbol": "CRDO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I've added $CRDO on the 25.7% drop, taking advantage of CES misinformation... I ended up personally adding $CRDO since a large percent of its market cap got wiped from immaterial + incorrect news", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Added CRDO on 25.7% drop; argues both catalysts (Amazon cable color change, Jensen 'cableless' NVL72) were misunderstood and don't impair Credo's AEC/photonics business.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRDO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I've added $CRDO on the 25.7% drop, taking advantage of CES misinformation.\n\n1. Large drop initially was because investors spotted orange and blue cables in $AMZN DCs (implying $CRDO customer loss). \n\nAll that happened was Amazon requested a color change for internal logistics. - confirmed by Vijay Rakesh from Mizuho. \n\n2. CES 2026 keynote - Second drop was Jensen Huang said \"Cableless\" design of Rubin NVL72 rack. \n\nThe \"cableless\" claim refers specifically to the internal copper backplane (blind-mate midplane) that connects the GPUs to the NVLink switches within a single rack. \n\n$CRDO's main product is AEC, for outside of the racks that connect the entire server rack to the network switch. Nvidia's \"Cableless\" Tech only replaces internal parts Credo didn't make. \n\nJensen did mention Spectrum-X Ethernet Photonics, but $CRDO is operating in the photonics space too with \"BlueBird\" (Optical DSPs) and \"ZeroFlap\" optics. And then there's Top of the Rack Connectivity, which is Credo's main business (which is the most power efficient solution for the next 2-3y).  \n\nThere are larger concerns over the shift to photonics (as I've pointed out with $AXTI multiple times), but industry is moving toward a hybrid model (copper + photonics) given the supply shortage. \n\nAgain as an overview, investors just did not know the nuances, not intentional disinformation.\n\nSo I ended up personally adding $CRDO since a large percent of its market cap got wiped from immaterial  + incorrect news.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05709222022523275, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05709222022523275, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0603260006455425, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06384513222384414, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003233780420309751, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006752911998611388, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004184371190713687, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004184371190713687, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004285903872699448, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01987181132289151, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00010153268198576093, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01568744013217782, "ret_p1w": 0.11234039955950803, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11234039955950803, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1112093396825613, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10369145357004284, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0011310598769467273, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008648945989465195, "ret_p1m": -0.30453902440713654, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.30453902440713654, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2871951300181662, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2942798643578829, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017343894388970327, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010259160049253646, "ret_p3m": -0.27333333982643504, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.27333333982643504, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2314955734318357, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3017994514190647, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04183776639459935, "bench_c_p3m": 0.028466111592629684, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0154, 0.0631, -0.0798, -0.068, -0.0317, 0.0185, 0.0756, 0.0225, -0.027, 0.0707, 0.1032, 0.099, 0.1502, 0.2165, 0.1817, 0.3306, 0.2811, 0.1648, 0.2281, 0.1542, 0.1604, 0.2068, 0.1241, 0.1372, 0.0138, 0.0321, 0.0325, -0.0102, 0.0062, -0.0445, -0.0533, 0.0699, 0.0935, 0.1632, 0.1632, 0.2596, 0.2137, 0.3365, 0.3418, 0.2831, 0.2485, 0.2691, 0.2077, 0.1204, 0.0955, 0.0206, 0.0072, -0.0047, -0.0487, -0.0172, 0.0648, 0.0634, 0.0483, 0.0652, 0.0652, 0.0272, 0.0262, 0.0278, 0.0205, 0.0205, 0.0157, -0.0054, -0.0571, 0.0, 0.0042, 0.0668, 0.1069, 0.1445, 0.1123, 0.0576, 0.0707, 0.0707, 0.0867, -0.013, -0.0418, -0.0556, -0.0921, -0.0811, -0.0804, -0.0818, -0.1115, -0.1492, -0.2106, -0.3124, -0.3045, -0.2099, -0.1248, -0.0445, -0.0894, -0.1363, -0.1387, -0.1387, -0.1149, -0.0928, -0.0733, -0.1201, -0.1202, -0.143, -0.1244, -0.1881, -0.2038, -0.1899, -0.3099, -0.2728, -0.1862, -0.2211, -0.1774, -0.2033, -0.1779, -0.2087, -0.1653, -0.1711, -0.262, -0.2786, -0.2405, -0.2667, -0.2546, -0.2887, -0.263, -0.316, -0.3245, -0.3772, -0.3343, -0.3197, -0.2805, -0.2805, -0.2733, -0.2426, -0.2184, -0.2345, -0.1518, -0.0471, 0.1313, 0.194, 0.1272, 0.1396, 0.2378, 0.3001, 0.3439, 0.3159, 0.3833, 0.2801, 0.1767, 0.2466, 0.2341, 0.3077, 0.277, 0.3728, 0.4063, 0.3354, 0.3369, 0.4909, 0.4083, 0.343, 0.3088, 0.2211, 0.1083, 0.1985, 0.2977, 0.3716, 0.549, 0.549, 0.5719, 0.569, 0.577, 0.674, 0.674, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1996949412279734426", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-05T14:26:56+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "nbis frontloading was majority of cash burn ending -> operating leverage q4 into 2027", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish NBIS: cash burn ending, operating leverage kicking in Q4 through 2027 as capex front-loading concludes.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "yeah that's how capex gets accounted for, it creates fixed depreciation but nebius rev scales past depreciation drag. \n\nAlso subsidiaries + triple digit grwoth drop in pure net income into the statement without opex drag, which people don't model for.\n\ngoing off your own points about leverage works with $IREN doing its msft deal with prepayment for higher levered irr, there's also operating leverage with nbis frontloading was majority of cash burn ending -> operating leverage q4 into 2027.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit CAPEX is not a P&amp;L line bro… come on this is basic finance / accounting knowledge 🤦🏻‍♂️ \n\nCAPEX gets accounted via depreciation which will occur over multiple years. Your “front loading” effect is imageniary, it doesn’t exist on the income (P&amp;L) statement.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Agrippa_Inv", "ret_m1d": 0.048551632923093946, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.048551632923093946, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.050447568366577156, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.059991924556032306, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018959354434832099, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01144029163293836, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.023357822257676686, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.023357822257676686, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.026362099772351377, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030785460100627104, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0030042775146746914, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007427637842950419, "ret_p1w": -0.1055691388970793, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1055691388970793, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09983773652522188, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10061740218695459, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00573140237185743, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004951736710124721, "ret_p1m": -0.05314156503284473, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05314156503284473, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05906570308673709, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0616893501607082, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005924138053892358, "bench_c_p1m": 0.008547785127863472, "ret_p3m": -0.0026520005487810083, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0026520005487810083, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.004787758979803436, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0201075362016786, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0021357584310224276, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01745553565289759, "ret_p6m": 1.3570990838423294, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.3570990838423294, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.2475782186605362, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.363033432342327, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10952086518179316, "bench_c_p6m": -0.005934348499997744, "price_path": [-0.0237, -0.0474, -0.0903, -0.0778, -0.0722, -0.0878, -0.0404, -0.04, 0.013, 0.0873, 0.0996, 0.1549, 0.101, 0.0985, 0.1242, 0.1451, 0.1792, 0.2839, 0.3054, 0.2744, 0.2005, 0.2444, 0.3529, 0.3217, 0.3817, 0.3071, 0.2835, 0.255, 0.1571, 0.1118, 0.0636, 0.0059, 0.0828, 0.196, 0.2794, 0.2427, 0.276, 0.2666, 0.3344, 0.2288, 0.1275, 0.1934, 0.1163, 0.135, 0.1215, 0.0426, -0.0375, -0.096, -0.1479, -0.123, -0.0765, -0.0303, -0.1367, -0.1508, -0.0626, -0.0934, -0.0342, -0.0342, -0.0323, 0.0215, -0.0162, 0.009, 0.0486, 0.0, 0.0234, -0.0166, -0.0454, -0.0384, -0.1056, -0.1724, -0.1743, -0.2304, -0.2035, -0.0875, -0.0491, -0.0817, -0.0705, -0.0705, -0.1066, -0.1224, -0.1313, -0.1462, -0.1462, -0.0825, -0.0531, 0.0224, -0.0187, -0.0075, -0.0011, 0.0948, 0.0754, 0.0402, 0.0596, 0.109, 0.109, 0.0127, 0.0085, -0.0121, -0.0361, -0.0671, -0.0017, 0.0244, -0.0319, -0.1311, -0.1008, -0.0825, -0.1596, -0.2465, -0.1218, -0.0526, -0.0637, -0.0962, -0.0848, -0.0003, -0.0003, -0.0053, 0.0384, 0.0976, -0.0012, 0.0262, 0.0463, 0.0824, 0.0698, -0.0699, -0.0717, -0.1146, -0.0027, -0.0244, -0.0888, -0.0316, -0.0164, 0.1423, 0.102, 0.1521, 0.3245, 0.1866, 0.2093, 0.2395, 0.1997, 0.1643, 0.1721, 0.1739, 0.0809, 0.0284, -0.059, 0.0583, 0.0399, 0.11, 0.11, 0.1479, 0.1975, 0.275, 0.3906, 0.4787, 0.5765, 0.6518, 0.701, 0.6865, 0.6028, 0.6234, 0.5968, 0.5926, 0.6022, 0.501, 0.4786, 0.3822, 0.4401, 0.4099, 0.5758, 0.7995, 0.7944, 0.9899, 0.8846, 0.8059, 0.8982, 0.8269, 1.1141, 1.2557, 1.2434, 1.0386, 1.0168, 0.9565, 1.2433, 1.1906, 1.1906, 1.1222, 1.1254, 1.3086, 1.3571, 1.3571]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972147593741586777", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-28T03:53:21+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS revenue is locked in with $MSFT. It's completely de-risked with mag7 backstopping neoclouds.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long NBIS: revenue locked in with MSFT, de-risked by Mag7 backstop; AI bubble won't pop for at least a year.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Oh yeah I wouldn't recommend full porting anything. It's good to have risk management.\n\nSure it's AI generally is bubble, but $NBIS revenue is locked in with $MSFT.  It's different than OpenAI promising $ORCL 300B+ which they don't have yet. \n\nIt's completely de-risked with mag7 backstopping neoclouds. \n\nAI is also a critical national security risk and I'd expect US gov to be backstopping OpenAI/Anthropic/Gemini and others for years to come so don't really expect it to pop at least for another year (esp with triple rate cut projected).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Hey bro, I came from reddit and have been following into most of your recent trades like nbis amzn and am a believer of your dd’s but I’m not committed enough to go full-port into nbis bcs of recent talks about the ai bubble etc.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "12345tgrf", "ret_m1d": -0.022863402690541768, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.022863402690541768, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.020060912274418974, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01965792073995065, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003205481950591116, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01859912356794835, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01859912356794835, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014832256808836375, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0201175336178111, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0015184100498627506, "ret_p1w": 0.13355108925491654, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.13355108925491654, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12160260787250388, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15075906719363552, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017207977938718977, "ret_p1m": 0.10533478934648022, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10533478934648022, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0701069826039109, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12195232126657751, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016617531920097295, "ret_p3m": -0.17319909050862348, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17319909050862348, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2165030751207767, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17254361511278626, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0006554753958372128, "ret_p6m": 0.042551282793175105, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.042551282793175105, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.052768289205117, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09910514292146178, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.05655386012828667, "price_path": [-0.5466, -0.5441, -0.5441, -0.566, -0.5727, -0.5822, -0.5788, -0.5981, -0.5287, -0.5143, -0.5163, -0.5129, -0.521, -0.5249, -0.5372, -0.5293, -0.5268, -0.5339, -0.5214, -0.5427, -0.5347, -0.5062, -0.5282, -0.5085, -0.4995, -0.5002, -0.4075, -0.376, -0.3627, -0.3165, -0.3592, -0.3789, -0.3502, -0.3419, -0.3904, -0.3879, -0.3996, -0.3742, -0.3647, -0.3606, -0.364, -0.3464, -0.3801, -0.3801, -0.4037, -0.4044, -0.4111, -0.406, -0.4188, -0.1316, -0.1527, -0.1908, -0.1797, -0.1747, -0.1886, -0.1464, -0.1461, -0.099, -0.0328, -0.022, 0.0273, -0.0207, -0.0229, 0.0, 0.0186, 0.0489, 0.142, 0.1611, 0.1336, 0.0679, 0.1069, 0.2034, 0.1756, 0.229, 0.1627, 0.1416, 0.1163, 0.0292, -0.0111, -0.0539, -0.1052, -0.0368, 0.0639, 0.138, 0.1053, 0.135, 0.1267, 0.1869, 0.093, 0.0029, 0.0615, -0.0071, 0.0096, -0.0024, -0.0726, -0.1439, -0.1959, -0.2421, -0.2199, -0.1786, -0.1375, -0.2321, -0.2446, -0.1662, -0.1936, -0.1409, -0.1409, -0.1393, -0.0914, -0.1249, -0.1025, -0.0673, -0.1105, -0.0897, -0.1253, -0.1509, -0.1446, -0.2044, -0.2638, -0.2656, -0.3155, -0.2915, -0.1884, -0.1541, -0.1832, -0.1732, -0.1732, -0.2053, -0.2194, -0.2273, -0.2406, -0.2406, -0.1839, -0.1578, -0.0905, -0.1271, -0.1172, -0.1115, -0.0262, -0.0435, -0.0748, -0.0575, -0.0135, -0.0135, -0.0992, -0.103, -0.1213, -0.1426, -0.1702, -0.112, -0.0888, -0.1389, -0.2271, -0.2001, -0.1839, -0.2525, -0.3298, -0.2188, -0.1573, -0.1672, -0.1961, -0.1859, -0.1108, -0.1108, -0.1152, -0.0764, -0.0237, -0.1116, -0.0872, -0.0693, -0.0372, -0.0484, -0.1727, -0.1743, -0.2125, -0.1129, -0.1322, -0.1895, -0.1386, -0.1251, 0.0161, -0.0198, 0.0248, 0.1781, 0.0554, 0.0757, 0.1025, 0.0671, 0.0357, 0.0426]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1975251409026359803", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-06T17:26:48+00:00", "symbol": "SNAP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Stuff like that makes them actually profitable like this move is an actual catalyst", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish SNAP: shift away from AR/glasses toward profitable initiatives is a real catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNAP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@rioferdy838 Fundamentally $SNAP had nothing going for it earlier because they kept focusing on AR and glasses.\n\nStuff like that makes them actually profitable like this move is an actual catalyst.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit This is such great analysis and a bit of a relief for a SNAP bagholder like myself lol\n\nGot burned at their last earnings. Hopefully will recover and make me some money", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "rioferdy838", "ret_m1d": 0.0023473595087817323, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0023473595087817323, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005920773339130769, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.003377313114077407, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003573413830349037, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0010299536052956748, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04577468572403354, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04577468572403354, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04206719347307164, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04191229379979777, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003707492250961897, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003862391924235764, "ret_p1w": -0.05516434762635847, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05516434762635847, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04240395718853529, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03224781400415311, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012760390437823177, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02291653362220536, "ret_p1m": -0.12323950835181352, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12323950835181352, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12864450469687416, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09148256158561274, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404996345060642, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03175694676620078, "ret_p3m": -0.052816988117576846, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.052816988117576846, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07116845783459014, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06647336361804634, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01835146971701329, "bench_c_p3m": 0.013656375500469498, "ret_p6m": -0.4600939369151189, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4600939369151189, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4339374945429746, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.41772684676669636, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.026156442372144317, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04236709014842255, "price_path": [0.0704, 0.0962, 0.0692, 0.1197, 0.1127, 0.1338, 0.1631, 0.1749, 0.1596, 0.2148, 0.1819, 0.1432, 0.1467, 0.1373, 0.0951, 0.0939, 0.1068, 0.0622, 0.1115, 0.1021, -0.0869, -0.115, -0.1303, -0.1561, -0.1467, -0.1408, -0.169, -0.1608, -0.1385, -0.1573, -0.1596, -0.1725, -0.1549, -0.1784, -0.1761, -0.1796, -0.1667, -0.162, -0.162, -0.1397, -0.1491, -0.1678, -0.142, -0.1526, -0.1455, -0.1725, -0.1444, -0.1385, -0.1244, -0.0915, -0.0622, -0.0094, -0.0423, 0.0012, -0.0117, -0.0352, -0.0223, -0.0293, -0.0141, -0.0951, -0.0951, -0.0352, 0.0023, 0.0, -0.0458, -0.0106, -0.0164, -0.0869, -0.0552, -0.0704, -0.0716, -0.0892, -0.1021, -0.0927, -0.0786, -0.088, -0.0763, -0.0669, -0.0716, -0.0915, -0.0915, -0.108, -0.0845, -0.0822, -0.1232, -0.1432, -0.0599, -0.0364, 0.02, 0.0282, 0.0669, 0.007, 0.0059, -0.0399, -0.0317, -0.0575, -0.0869, -0.0974, -0.0986, -0.1033, -0.1068, -0.1068, -0.0986, -0.1033, -0.1056, -0.1009, -0.0892, -0.0716, -0.0575, -0.0704, -0.0704, -0.1033, -0.142, -0.1479, -0.135, -0.1197, -0.1045, -0.1115, -0.0681, -0.0833, -0.0786, -0.0786, -0.0775, -0.0751, -0.0528, -0.0528, -0.0528, -0.0458, -0.0317, 0.0317, 0.0117, -0.0141, -0.0364, -0.0387, -0.0622, -0.0728, -0.0892, -0.1162, -0.1162, -0.1373, -0.135, -0.1009, -0.1056, -0.1127, -0.1244, -0.0998, -0.1502, -0.1866, -0.2183, -0.284, -0.3063, -0.3991, -0.3873, -0.3908, -0.3862, -0.4143, -0.4343, -0.4331, -0.4331, -0.4448, -0.4272, -0.4131, -0.3967, -0.4214, -0.4167, -0.4049, -0.3826, -0.3885, -0.3826, -0.3838, -0.3697, -0.3732, -0.3944, -0.3979, -0.4237, -0.4296, -0.4542, -0.4648, -0.4507, -0.4542, -0.4577, -0.4648, -0.4742, -0.4707, -0.4883, -0.473, -0.5293, -0.5387, -0.5282, -0.4601]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1998934233042268305", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-11T01:53:54+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this would be an ideal buying opportunity for individual companies in the sector... $NBIS, $CIFR, $WULF are backstopped by AAA-rated Hyperscaler", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Buy dip in NBIS/CIFR/WULF (hyperscaler-backstopped neoclouds) vs avoid ORCL/CRWV (debt-heavy, OpenAI-dependent) on expected sector selloff.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I expect a bad day for Neocloud stocks just because $ORCL / $CRWV are \"sector leaders\". \n\nBut this would be an ideal buying opportunity for individual companies in the sector:\n\nDue to the market missing the nuance that $ORCL / $CRWV's debt-filled buildout is for OpenAI as the main counterparty. \n\nBut other companies in the sector like $NBIS, $CIFR, $WULF are backstopped by AAA-rated Hyperscaler ( $META / $META / $GOOGL / $AMZN) cash cows.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Bad day for neoclouds and OpenAI group of stocks tmrw …", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "RenoHemonc", "ret_m1d": -0.007318651361265971, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007318651361265971, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004997105347894437, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009544508151134945, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002225856789868974, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06989813770911646, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06989813770911646, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05914616878158252, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06767234665436428, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0022257910547521798, "ret_p1w": -0.1717225567567725, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1717225567567725, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.15329456716841428, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.16881187152011068, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002910685236661825, "ret_p1m": 0.03871448422929347, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03871448422929347, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.028628562533218993, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.026029578740943693, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012684905488349774, "ret_p3m": 0.022804428868438142, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.022804428868438142, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.037298660496828284, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.01467154874805865, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "bench_c_p3m": 0.008132880120379493, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0352, -0.0514, -0.0021, -0.0017, 0.0534, 0.1307, 0.1434, 0.201, 0.1449, 0.1423, 0.1691, 0.1908, 0.2262, 0.3351, 0.3574, 0.3252, 0.2484, 0.294, 0.4069, 0.3744, 0.4368, 0.3592, 0.3346, 0.305, 0.2032, 0.1561, 0.1061, 0.046, 0.126, 0.2437, 0.3304, 0.2922, 0.3269, 0.3171, 0.3876, 0.2778, 0.1725, 0.241, 0.1608, 0.1803, 0.1662, 0.0842, 0.0008, -0.0599, -0.1139, -0.088, -0.0397, 0.0084, -0.1022, -0.1169, -0.0252, -0.0573, 0.0043, 0.0043, 0.0063, 0.0623, 0.023, 0.0492, 0.0904, 0.0399, 0.0642, 0.0226, -0.0073, 0.0, -0.0699, -0.1394, -0.1414, -0.1997, -0.1717, -0.0511, -0.0111, -0.0451, -0.0334, -0.0334, -0.071, -0.0874, -0.0966, -0.1122, -0.1122, -0.0459, -0.0154, 0.0632, 0.0205, 0.032, 0.0387, 0.1384, 0.1183, 0.0817, 0.1019, 0.1533, 0.1533, 0.0531, 0.0487, 0.0273, 0.0023, -0.0299, 0.0381, 0.0652, 0.0067, -0.0964, -0.0649, -0.0459, -0.1261, -0.2165, -0.0868, -0.0148, -0.0264, -0.0601, -0.0483, 0.0396, 0.0396, 0.0344, 0.0798, 0.1414, 0.0386, 0.0671, 0.088, 0.1256, 0.1124, -0.0328, -0.0347, -0.0793, 0.0371, 0.0145, -0.0525, 0.007, 0.0228, 0.1879, 0.1459, 0.198, 0.3773, 0.2339, 0.2575, 0.2889, 0.2476, 0.2108, 0.2188, 0.2207, 0.124, 0.0694, -0.0214, 0.1006, 0.0814, 0.1542, 0.1542, 0.1937, 0.2452, 0.3258, 0.446, 0.5377, 0.6394, 0.7176, 0.7689, 0.7537, 0.6667, 0.6882, 0.6605, 0.6561, 0.6661, 0.5609, 0.5375, 0.4373, 0.4976, 0.4662, 0.6386, 0.8712, 0.8659, 1.0693, 0.9598, 0.8779, 0.9739, 0.8998, 1.1985, 1.3457, 1.3328, 1.1199, 1.0973, 1.0346, 1.3327, 1.278, 1.278, 1.2068, 1.2101, 1.4007, 1.4511, 1.4511, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1998934233042268305", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-11T01:53:54+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this would be an ideal buying opportunity for individual companies in the sector... $NBIS, $CIFR, $WULF are backstopped by AAA-rated Hyperscaler", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Buy dip in NBIS/CIFR/WULF (hyperscaler-backstopped neoclouds) vs avoid ORCL/CRWV (debt-heavy, OpenAI-dependent) on expected sector selloff.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I expect a bad day for Neocloud stocks just because $ORCL / $CRWV are \"sector leaders\". \n\nBut this would be an ideal buying opportunity for individual companies in the sector:\n\nDue to the market missing the nuance that $ORCL / $CRWV's debt-filled buildout is for OpenAI as the main counterparty. \n\nBut other companies in the sector like $NBIS, $CIFR, $WULF are backstopped by AAA-rated Hyperscaler ( $META / $META / $GOOGL / $AMZN) cash cows.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Bad day for neoclouds and OpenAI group of stocks tmrw …", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "RenoHemonc", "ret_m1d": -0.021186421414757683, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.021186421414757683, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01886487540138615, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02632258029382384, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005136158879066155, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0969279663692395, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0969279663692395, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08617599744170557, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06800323317392509, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02892473319531441, "ret_p1w": -0.19756354385795827, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.19756354385795827, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.17913555426960004, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.15410886846950722, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "bench_c_p1w": -0.04345467538845105, "ret_p1m": -0.11917373411094168, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11917373411094168, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12925965580701615, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10837208280535737, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010801651305584303, "ret_p3m": -0.2605931854511724, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2605931854511724, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24609895382278224, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2065416019538463, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "bench_c_p3m": -0.05405158349732608, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4253, -0.3904, -0.3443, -0.3724, -0.3496, -0.2606, -0.2505, -0.2511, -0.3824, -0.3925, -0.33, -0.3332, -0.3326, -0.2685, -0.2214, -0.1875, -0.1658, -0.0678, -0.0471, -0.1012, 0.0773, 0.1065, 0.1139, -0.0085, -0.0064, 0.0546, -0.0426, -0.1467, -0.0861, 0.0943, 0.0879, 0.0572, 0.0376, 0.0101, -0.0122, 0.2055, 0.1923, 0.3088, 0.1499, 0.0959, 0.0408, -0.0111, -0.0794, -0.2092, -0.2394, -0.2399, -0.2278, -0.2256, -0.2288, -0.2505, -0.1149, -0.072, 0.0143, 0.0143, 0.0779, 0.0429, -0.0657, -0.0132, 0.0503, 0.0212, 0.0318, 0.036, -0.0212, 0.0, -0.0969, -0.2193, -0.206, -0.2378, -0.1976, -0.1414, -0.1345, -0.1573, -0.1409, -0.1409, -0.1954, -0.2013, -0.2272, -0.2182, -0.2182, -0.1419, -0.0381, -0.071, -0.1483, -0.1234, -0.1192, -0.0636, -0.0334, -0.0397, -0.072, -0.0042, -0.0042, -0.0508, -0.0614, -0.0789, -0.0694, -0.1266, -0.0069, 0.0048, -0.0625, -0.1547, -0.1626, -0.1388, -0.2452, -0.3273, -0.2198, -0.1123, -0.0943, -0.1377, -0.1472, -0.1303, -0.1303, -0.1716, -0.1833, -0.1631, -0.224, -0.1939, -0.0932, -0.1202, -0.1271, -0.1737, -0.1653, -0.2209, -0.1504, -0.1976, -0.2786, -0.2421, -0.2606, -0.2526, -0.2738, -0.2542, -0.1981, -0.2007, -0.223, -0.2246, -0.2579, -0.2113, -0.2119, -0.1589, -0.2399, -0.272, -0.3636, -0.3183, -0.3305, -0.321, -0.321, -0.2929, -0.2579, -0.1833, -0.1335, -0.1245, -0.0593, -0.0228, -0.0466, -0.0816, 0.026, 0.0217, -0.0445, 0.0297, -0.0101, -0.036, -0.0381, -0.0858, -0.1038, -0.0604, -0.0975, -0.0524, 0.1706, 0.1605, 0.0956, 0.0885, 0.0742, 0.0625, 0.125, 0.1806, 0.0768, 0.0127, -0.0042, 0.0318, 0.1398, 0.1637, 0.1637, 0.2193, 0.3326, 0.3024, 0.2526, 0.2526, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1998934233042268305", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-12-11T01:53:54+00:00", "symbol": "WULF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this would be an ideal buying opportunity for individual companies in the sector... $NBIS, $CIFR, $WULF are backstopped by AAA-rated Hyperscaler", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Buy dip in NBIS/CIFR/WULF (hyperscaler-backstopped neoclouds) vs avoid ORCL/CRWV (debt-heavy, OpenAI-dependent) on expected sector selloff.", "resolved_tickers": ["WULF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I expect a bad day for Neocloud stocks just because $ORCL / $CRWV are \"sector leaders\". \n\nBut this would be an ideal buying opportunity for individual companies in the sector:\n\nDue to the market missing the nuance that $ORCL / $CRWV's debt-filled buildout is for OpenAI as the main counterparty. \n\nBut other companies in the sector like $NBIS, $CIFR, $WULF are backstopped by AAA-rated Hyperscaler ( $META / $META / $GOOGL / $AMZN) cash cows.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Bad day for neoclouds and OpenAI group of stocks tmrw …", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "RenoHemonc", "ret_m1d": -0.004421964318483074, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004421964318483074, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00210041830511154, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00210041830511154, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09475679136003601, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09475679136003601, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08400482243250207, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.08400482243250207, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "ret_p1w": -0.255211622319907, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.255211622319907, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2367836327315488, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2367836327315488, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "ret_p1m": -0.17245733135778762, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17245733135778762, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1825432530538621, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1825432530538621, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "ret_p3m": -0.09349333855775765, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09349333855775765, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07899910692936751, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.07899910692936751, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "bench_c_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3373, -0.3089, -0.283, -0.2944, -0.3064, -0.2742, -0.29, -0.2798, -0.307, -0.3159, -0.2672, -0.2786, -0.2754, -0.2685, -0.247, -0.2438, -0.2356, -0.223, -0.1415, -0.1466, -0.1156, -0.0234, -0.0227, -0.1244, -0.12, -0.1251, -0.1699, -0.2028, -0.1864, -0.1339, -0.1383, 0.0069, -0.084, -0.0638, -0.0208, 0.0171, -0.0518, -0.0297, -0.0979, -0.1194, -0.0967, -0.2186, -0.2015, -0.2622, -0.3057, -0.302, -0.2419, -0.2274, -0.2697, -0.2868, -0.2021, -0.1194, -0.0625, -0.0625, -0.0202, -0.0335, -0.1017, -0.0884, -0.0461, -0.084, -0.055, -0.0152, -0.0044, 0.0, -0.0948, -0.211, -0.1794, -0.2691, -0.2552, -0.2091, -0.2123, -0.2154, -0.2224, -0.2224, -0.2577, -0.2786, -0.2956, -0.2742, -0.2742, -0.1952, -0.1396, -0.1674, -0.211, -0.1889, -0.1725, -0.1276, -0.1068, -0.1023, -0.1263, -0.1251, -0.1251, -0.1579, -0.1712, -0.1857, -0.108, -0.1289, -0.0328, -0.0455, -0.0815, -0.1554, -0.151, -0.0651, -0.1232, -0.247, -0.0973, 0.0518, 0.0505, 0.0126, 0.0051, 0.0272, 0.0272, 0.0221, -0.0284, -0.0227, -0.0518, -0.0095, 0.1093, 0.132, 0.1295, 0.0246, 0.012, -0.0689, -0.0291, -0.0379, -0.1314, -0.1251, -0.0935, -0.0385, -0.0733, -0.0733, 0.0366, 0.0133, -0.0335, -0.0057, -0.0461, 0.0227, 0.0246, 0.0651, -0.0303, -0.0594, -0.1346, -0.0884, -0.0853, -0.06, -0.06, -0.0177, 0.0467, 0.1402, 0.2021, 0.192, 0.2287, 0.3234, 0.2426, 0.2198, 0.3039, 0.295, 0.2489, 0.2982, 0.2868, 0.2641, 0.3538, 0.314, 0.2647, 0.3727, 0.3462, 0.4081, 0.4839, 0.626, 0.5174, 0.4776, 0.4763, 0.4403, 0.4605, 0.5268, 0.41, 0.3354, 0.3481, 0.3664, 0.4479, 0.4416, 0.4416, 0.5907, 0.6892, 0.6677, 0.6147, 0.6147, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1998934233042268305", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-12-11T01:53:54+00:00", "symbol": "ORCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ORCL / $CRWV's debt-filled buildout is for OpenAI as the main counterparty", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Buy dip in NBIS/CIFR/WULF (hyperscaler-backstopped neoclouds) vs avoid ORCL/CRWV (debt-heavy, OpenAI-dependent) on expected sector selloff.", "resolved_tickers": ["ORCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I expect a bad day for Neocloud stocks just because $ORCL / $CRWV are \"sector leaders\". \n\nBut this would be an ideal buying opportunity for individual companies in the sector:\n\nDue to the market missing the nuance that $ORCL / $CRWV's debt-filled buildout is for OpenAI as the main counterparty. \n\nBut other companies in the sector like $NBIS, $CIFR, $WULF are backstopped by AAA-rated Hyperscaler ( $META / $META / $GOOGL / $AMZN) cash cows.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Bad day for neoclouds and OpenAI group of stocks tmrw …", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "RenoHemonc", "ret_m1d": 0.12149852071919609, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.12149852071919609, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12382006673256762, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12382006673256762, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04465683155963751, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04465683155963751, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03390486263210357, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03390486263210357, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "ret_p1w": -0.09464432407058543, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09464432407058543, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0762163344822272, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0762163344822272, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "ret_p1m": 0.0009794444821900061, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0009794444821900061, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.009106477213884467, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.009106477213884467, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "ret_p3m": -0.2466939309339543, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2466939309339543, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.23219969930556417, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.23219969930556417, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "bench_c_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.5168, 0.5394, 0.5131, 0.4891, 0.5495, 0.6474, 0.5755, 0.5485, 0.4625, 0.423, 0.4195, 0.4119, 0.4509, 0.4497, 0.4365, 0.4638, 0.4269, 0.449, 0.4934, 0.4733, 0.549, 0.5036, 0.5269, 0.5741, 0.465, 0.3939, 0.3837, 0.3712, 0.4084, 0.4248, 0.4151, 0.4123, 0.3845, 0.2919, 0.3206, 0.2967, 0.248, 0.2588, 0.226, 0.2032, 0.2111, 0.1876, 0.1415, 0.0941, 0.1207, 0.1057, 0.1088, 0.1342, 0.0595, -0.0005, 0.0072, -0.0092, 0.0307, 0.0307, 0.0156, 0.0105, 0.0113, 0.0447, 0.0778, 0.0942, 0.1091, 0.1141, 0.1215, 0.0, -0.0447, -0.0701, -0.0513, -0.1025, -0.0946, -0.0346, -0.0024, -0.0177, -0.0068, -0.0068, -0.0043, -0.0175, -0.0082, -0.0198, -0.0198, -0.0158, -0.0315, -0.0256, -0.0302, -0.0463, 0.001, 0.032, 0.02, -0.0238, -0.0427, -0.0365, -0.0365, -0.0928, -0.1233, -0.1016, -0.1067, -0.0801, -0.1181, -0.1287, -0.1478, -0.1702, -0.1929, -0.2201, -0.2605, -0.3118, -0.2799, -0.2104, -0.1938, -0.2076, -0.211, -0.1925, -0.1925, -0.2237, -0.2126, -0.2107, -0.2533, -0.2875, -0.2631, -0.2543, -0.2421, -0.2669, -0.2475, -0.2487, -0.2317, -0.2195, -0.2287, -0.2358, -0.2467, -0.1775, -0.1975, -0.2179, -0.2136, -0.22, -0.229, -0.2158, -0.2453, -0.2218, -0.2583, -0.2637, -0.2799, -0.2958, -0.3001, -0.2582, -0.2677, -0.2619, -0.2619, -0.2662, -0.2781, -0.2756, -0.3025, -0.3013, -0.2126, -0.1752, -0.1408, -0.0976, -0.1142, -0.1015, -0.0833, -0.0513, -0.1081, -0.1232, -0.1249, -0.1603, -0.171, -0.1834, -0.1306, -0.0878, -0.0622, -0.0182, -0.0154, -0.0085, -0.0192, -0.0547, -0.0398, -0.0102, -0.0237, -0.0558, -0.0818, -0.0479, -0.0398, -0.0281, -0.0281, -0.0232, -0.0338, 0.0307, 0.1424, 0.1424, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1998934233042268305", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-12-11T01:53:54+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ORCL / $CRWV's debt-filled buildout is for OpenAI as the main counterparty", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Buy dip in NBIS/CIFR/WULF (hyperscaler-backstopped neoclouds) vs avoid ORCL/CRWV (debt-heavy, OpenAI-dependent) on expected sector selloff.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I expect a bad day for Neocloud stocks just because $ORCL / $CRWV are \"sector leaders\". \n\nBut this would be an ideal buying opportunity for individual companies in the sector:\n\nDue to the market missing the nuance that $ORCL / $CRWV's debt-filled buildout is for OpenAI as the main counterparty. \n\nBut other companies in the sector like $NBIS, $CIFR, $WULF are backstopped by AAA-rated Hyperscaler ( $META / $META / $GOOGL / $AMZN) cash cows.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Bad day for neoclouds and OpenAI group of stocks tmrw …", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "RenoHemonc", "ret_m1d": 0.008926601432925674, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.008926601432925674, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011248147446297208, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.011248147446297208, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.10059511549347766, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10059511549347766, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08984314656594372, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08984314656594372, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "ret_p1w": -0.22545202068510706, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.22545202068510706, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.20702403109674883, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.20702403109674883, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "ret_p1m": -0.08285646705586647, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08285646705586647, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09294238875194094, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09294238875194094, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "ret_p3m": -0.1425955536292406, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1425955536292406, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.12810132200085045, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12810132200085045, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "bench_c_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3787, 0.359, 0.3832, 0.3892, 0.4289, 0.5247, 0.4979, 0.5267, 0.4495, 0.3772, 0.4022, 0.5661, 0.5684, 0.5793, 0.5426, 0.5318, 0.4744, 0.602, 0.6374, 0.5842, 0.6207, 0.5342, 0.5935, 0.6221, 0.5664, 0.4541, 0.4312, 0.3908, 0.4115, 0.5169, 0.5571, 0.5427, 0.6014, 0.4999, 0.5302, 0.4456, 0.3247, 0.3095, 0.2237, 0.1903, 0.2086, 0.0116, -0.0223, -0.1035, -0.1147, -0.1379, -0.1428, -0.1426, -0.2079, -0.18, -0.1577, -0.1841, -0.1498, -0.1498, -0.1632, -0.1181, -0.1299, -0.0918, -0.0187, 0.0105, -0.013, 0.0375, 0.0089, 0.0, -0.1006, -0.172, -0.2046, -0.2613, -0.2255, -0.0501, -0.0292, -0.0815, -0.0974, -0.0974, -0.1254, -0.1426, -0.1543, -0.1805, -0.1805, -0.0922, -0.1204, -0.108, -0.1167, -0.1178, -0.0829, 0.0292, 0.0011, 0.0277, 0.0873, 0.1585, 0.1585, 0.0897, 0.0763, 0.0505, 0.0641, 0.1251, 0.2458, 0.2133, 0.139, 0.0665, 0.0179, 0.0307, -0.0563, -0.1457, 0.0294, 0.1077, 0.0885, 0.0889, 0.0952, 0.0991, 0.0991, 0.0414, 0.0924, 0.1117, 0.0214, 0.0396, 0.1364, 0.1217, 0.1173, -0.0895, -0.1068, -0.1556, -0.0902, -0.1437, -0.1647, -0.1484, -0.1426, -0.062, -0.0861, -0.0718, -0.0174, -0.0602, -0.0522, -0.0769, -0.0676, -0.062, -0.0499, 0.0023, -0.0793, -0.1439, -0.2086, -0.1134, -0.1023, -0.0588, -0.0588, -0.0737, -0.0245, 0.0174, 0.0529, 0.1673, 0.262, 0.3413, 0.3583, 0.3683, 0.3373, 0.3439, 0.3179, 0.4024, 0.3438, 0.2605, 0.2824, 0.2077, 0.3068, 0.2772, 0.362, 0.4355, 0.4636, 0.5791, 0.4745, 0.3064, 0.3127, 0.2331, 0.2739, 0.3071, 0.228, 0.1876, 0.1423, 0.1591, 0.2312, 0.2073, 0.2073, 0.2118, 0.1933, 0.2229, 0.2535, 0.2535, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2011006623893123154", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-13T09:25:16+00:00", "symbol": "INTC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The infinite money printer won't let it fail. And any chance $NVDA or others get, they'll be pressured to help Intel.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish INTC as de-facto US government semi arm; dismisses Bernstein's bearish standard model; NVDA/others will be pressured to support Intel.", "resolved_tickers": ["INTC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Sorry but Stacy is trolling if they are applying standard financial modeling to $INTC and pricing it like a cash burning foundry.\n\nIt’s the unspoken de facto semi arm of the US government for national security at this point. The infinite money printer won’t let it fail.\n\nAnd any chance $NVDA or others get, they’ll be pressured to help Intel. It’s not degenerate at all to see that reality.\n\nIf Bernstein wants to give an accurate projection they need to look at all the angles instead of ignoring the biggest tailwind because of Trump.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Bernstein: Intel (INTC, Market-Perform, $35 TP) - Trump wants the stock to go up...\n\nFundamentals clearly remain unattractive here. Sustainability of core markets, especially PC, remains questionable as the current windows EOL won't last forever and the trajectory of the AI PC", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jukan05", "ret_m1d": -0.06830195558688978, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06830195558688978, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07030543660317723, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07030543660317723, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002003481016287445, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002003481016287445, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03023895702032542, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03023895702032542, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.035154194361944, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.035154194361944, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0049152373416185835, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0049152373416185835, "ret_p1w": 0.02685558116254283, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02685558116254283, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.050191887386116574, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.050191887386116574, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023336306223573744, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023336306223573744, "ret_p1m": 0.021146119277651643, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.021146119277651643, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.023755028950307344, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.023755028950307344, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026089096726557015, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0026089096726557015, "ret_p3m": 0.31909494312640607, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.31909494312640607, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.33704670114549085, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.33704670114549085, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.017951758019084774, "bench_c_p3m": -0.017951758019084774, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.221, -0.2174, -0.1943, -0.1939, -0.2193, -0.1931, -0.1905, -0.1639, -0.1218, -0.1258, -0.1508, -0.1544, -0.1647, -0.217, -0.1884, -0.2125, -0.1937, -0.1869, -0.199, -0.1988, -0.2406, -0.2489, -0.266, -0.2741, -0.2576, -0.2891, -0.2705, -0.2432, -0.2423, -0.2216, -0.2216, -0.1423, -0.1539, -0.0808, -0.0746, -0.1436, -0.1243, -0.1478, -0.1436, -0.1377, -0.1645, -0.2005, -0.2068, -0.211, -0.2377, -0.2328, -0.2214, -0.2309, -0.2313, -0.2354, -0.2354, -0.2345, -0.2244, -0.2112, -0.2197, -0.2197, -0.1673, -0.1675, -0.1533, -0.0985, -0.1307, -0.0368, -0.0683, 0.0, 0.0302, 0.0218, -0.007, -0.007, 0.0269, 0.1472, 0.1487, -0.0469, -0.1015, -0.0711, 0.0315, 0.029, -0.0173, 0.0321, 0.0414, 0.0277, 0.0201, 0.0698, 0.0624, -0.0034, 0.0211, -0.0171, -0.0106, -0.0106, -0.0235, -0.0387, -0.0565, -0.0672, -0.0774, -0.0247, -0.0087, -0.0387, -0.0355, -0.0379, -0.0886, -0.0362, -0.0283, -0.0818, -0.0362, -0.0108, 0.0146, -0.0431, -0.0321, -0.0324, -0.0683, -0.0478, -0.0235, -0.0723, -0.0694, -0.0683, -0.0023, -0.0675, -0.088, -0.129, -0.0668, 0.0156, 0.0653, 0.0653, 0.0738, 0.1188, 0.2466, 0.3051, 0.3191, 0.3783, 0.3493, 0.3732, 0.4485, 0.4485, 0.3893, 0.4011, 0.3802, 0.4121, 0.7454, 0.7972, 0.7873, 1.0036, 0.9979, 1.1066, 1.0254, 1.287, 1.3897, 1.318, 1.6416, 1.7372, 1.5504, 1.5437, 1.4515, 1.3001, 1.2874, 1.343, 1.5155, 1.5058, 1.5342, 1.5342, 1.612, 1.575, 1.5564, 1.425, 1.425, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2011006623893123154", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-13T09:25:16+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "any chance $NVDA or others get, they'll be pressured to help Intel", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish INTC as de-facto US government semi arm; dismisses Bernstein's bearish standard model; NVDA/others will be pressured to support Intel.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Sorry but Stacy is trolling if they are applying standard financial modeling to $INTC and pricing it like a cash burning foundry.\n\nIt’s the unspoken de facto semi arm of the US government for national security at this point. The infinite money printer won’t let it fail.\n\nAnd any chance $NVDA or others get, they’ll be pressured to help Intel. It’s not degenerate at all to see that reality.\n\nIf Bernstein wants to give an accurate projection they need to look at all the angles instead of ignoring the biggest tailwind because of Trump.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Bernstein: Intel (INTC, Market-Perform, $35 TP) - Trump wants the stock to go up...\n\nFundamentals clearly remain unattractive here. Sustainability of core markets, especially PC, remains questionable as the current windows EOL won't last forever and the trajectory of the AI PC", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jukan05", "ret_m1d": -0.004682183058714706, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004682183058714706, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.006685664075002151, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.006685664075002151, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002003481016287445, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002003481016287445, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01436954614122099, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01436954614122099, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009454308799602407, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009454308799602407, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0049152373416185835, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0049152373416185835, "ret_p1w": -0.0416554395177301, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0416554395177301, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.018319133294156353, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.018319133294156353, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023336306223573744, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023336306223573744, "ret_p1m": 0.022819041627845538, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.022819041627845538, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02542795130050124, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02542795130050124, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026089096726557015, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0026089096726557015, "ret_p3m": 0.015231774754580263, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.015231774754580263, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.033183532773665037, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.033183532773665037, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.017951758019084774, "bench_c_p3m": -0.017951758019084774, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0216, -0.014, -0.0171, -0.0251, -0.0298, -0.0197, 0.0024, 0.0305, 0.0819, 0.1142, 0.0919, 0.0897, 0.1133, 0.0693, 0.0505, 0.0122, 0.0125, 0.0712, 0.0395, 0.0429, 0.0056, 0.0234, 0.0042, -0.024, 0.0038, -0.0279, -0.0373, -0.0176, -0.0431, -0.0299, -0.0299, -0.0475, -0.0318, -0.0235, -0.0335, -0.0131, -0.0183, -0.0014, -0.0045, -0.0109, -0.0263, -0.0581, -0.0512, -0.0435, -0.08, -0.0628, -0.0259, -0.0114, 0.0183, 0.0151, 0.0151, 0.0254, 0.013, 0.0093, 0.0037, 0.0037, 0.0164, 0.0124, 0.0077, 0.0178, -0.0041, -0.0051, -0.0047, 0.0, -0.0144, 0.0067, 0.0023, 0.0023, -0.0417, -0.0134, -0.0052, 0.01, 0.0036, 0.0146, 0.0307, 0.0361, 0.0286, -0.0011, -0.0294, -0.0625, -0.075, -0.0022, 0.0228, 0.0147, 0.0228, 0.0061, -0.0161, -0.0161, -0.0045, 0.0117, 0.0112, 0.0216, 0.0309, 0.0379, 0.0525, -0.005, -0.0464, -0.0179, -0.031, -0.0149, -0.0133, -0.043, -0.017, -0.0056, 0.0012, -0.0143, -0.0299, -0.0139, -0.0208, -0.0291, -0.039, -0.0705, -0.0547, -0.0571, -0.0383, -0.0784, -0.0984, -0.111, -0.0614, -0.0541, -0.0453, -0.0453, -0.0439, -0.0414, -0.02, -0.0102, 0.0152, 0.0189, 0.0576, 0.0703, 0.0675, 0.0855, 0.0875, 0.0758, 0.0899, 0.0745, 0.1209, 0.1658, 0.1473, 0.1262, 0.0741, 0.0681, 0.0682, 0.0576, 0.1186, 0.1383, 0.1582, 0.1811, 0.1883, 0.2154, 0.2688, 0.2127, 0.1966, 0.1874, 0.2027, 0.1814, 0.1589, 0.1589, 0.1564, 0.1442, 0.1531, 0.1364, 0.1364, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1947215927462027284", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-07-21T08:43:49+00:00", "symbol": "UPWK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "that's a potential 3–4x upside", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long UPWK: 7.5x P/E, 78% gross margins, $622M cash; margin expansion to 40-60% via AI/cost cuts implies $6.9B valuation vs $1.7B today, 3-4x upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["UPWK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So for the long term play on Upwork:\n\n$UPWK is trading at a 7.5 P/E with ~$770M in annual revenue, 78% gross margins, and $622M in cash — yet its market cap is only $1.74B.\n\nWho cares about revenue growth when they can just scale operating margins?\n\n---\n\nIf Upwork can scale operating margins from 20% → 40–60% on recurring revenue from cost-cutting + AI automations.. That’s $770M x 60% = $462M operating income.\n\nAt a modest 15x EBIT multiple, that's a $6.9B valuation.\nVS today's $1.7B market cap, that’s a potential 3–4x upside.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01121080500161542, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01121080500161542, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009318218511450538, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009318218511450538, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018925864901648826, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018925864901648826, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02242153872712427, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02242153872712427, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.022278515457992087, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.022278515457992087, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00014302326913218089, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00014302326913218089, "ret_p1w": -0.03886400996382955, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03886400996382955, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05185759075450247, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05185759075450247, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01299358079067292, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01299358079067292, "ret_p1m": 0.03587440494251326, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03587440494251326, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.018316316301174584, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.018316316301174584, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017558088641338676, "bench_c_p1m": 0.017558088641338676, "ret_p3m": 0.25112104842591343, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.25112104842591343, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1975218791160247, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1975218791160247, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05359916930988873, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05359916930988873, "ret_p6m": 0.5134529018534424, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5134529018534424, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.40374798499538467, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.40374798499538467, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10970491685805772, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10970491685805772, "price_path": [-0.0164, 0.0135, 0.012, 0.0045, -0.003, -0.0172, -0.0052, 0.0075, -0.0045, 0.1749, 0.216, 0.2294, 0.2616, 0.3004, 0.3079, 0.2997, 0.2773, 0.2885, 0.2369, 0.2302, 0.2123, 0.2123, 0.1771, 0.1771, 0.1824, 0.1659, 0.1667, 0.1577, 0.1726, 0.1286, 0.1398, 0.1278, 0.151, 0.157, 0.148, 0.0889, 0.0815, 0.0336, 0.0262, 0.0135, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0179, -0.0232, -0.0037, 0.0, 0.0142, 0.0187, 0.0045, 0.0105, 0.006, 0.0194, 0.0194, 0.0052, 0.009, 0.0239, 0.0022, -0.0344, -0.0314, -0.0336, -0.0045, 0.0015, -0.0112, 0.0, 0.0224, 0.0299, -0.0112, -0.0202, -0.0389, -0.0546, -0.0979, -0.1061, -0.1218, -0.1001, -0.1121, -0.1069, 0.0149, -0.0157, 0.0022, 0.0217, 0.0531, 0.0239, 0.0314, 0.0456, 0.0359, 0.062, 0.1054, 0.1151, 0.1143, 0.1278, 0.1061, 0.1143, 0.1502, 0.1502, 0.1928, 0.2294, 0.2541, 0.21, 0.1928, 0.1958, 0.1891, 0.2235, 0.2601, 0.2549, 0.278, 0.3558, 0.4649, 0.5, 0.4447, 0.4694, 0.4888, 0.4425, 0.4312, 0.4208, 0.3879, 0.3236, 0.3572, 0.2907, 0.3004, 0.2773, 0.3348, 0.3027, 0.2556, 0.278, 0.2661, 0.2564, 0.2511, 0.2108, 0.2459, 0.2451, 0.1966, 0.2048, 0.1958, 0.2048, 0.2982, 0.2616, 0.219, 0.1913, 0.1682, 0.3229, 0.2242, 0.207, 0.3042, 0.3154, 0.3416, 0.2735, 0.2743, 0.2317, 0.21, 0.2765, 0.3572, 0.2825, 0.3356, 0.3864, 0.4716, 0.4634, 0.4634, 0.4753, 0.4858, 0.5344, 0.4746, 0.4634, 0.5007, 0.4858, 0.568, 0.5306, 0.6383, 0.6405, 0.5979, 0.6024, 0.509, 0.5299, 0.5396, 0.5912, 0.5561, 0.5673, 0.5673, 0.5583, 0.5172, 0.4611, 0.4813, 0.4813, 0.4828, 0.5411, 0.5149, 0.559, 0.5262, 0.4985, 0.5247, 0.5135]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1982925671505817911", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-27T21:41:35+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd use this as a buying time to get back in", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Sees HIMS dip as a buying opportunity despite near-term turbulence, with fundamentals improving while market cap stalled.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DeepValueBagger It's been a few quarters where $HIMS market cap hasn't really moved while fundamentals improved. \n\nSo I'd use this as a buying time to get back in. The amount of times it swung from $40s -&gt; $63 I lost count.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Glad I rotated out of $hims. Great company but I expect turbulence few quarters.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DeepValueBagger", "ret_m1d": 0.011403674938435415, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011403674938435415, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.023063823882198853, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.023063823882198853, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02301473400138654, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02301473400138654, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.025670732957977616, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.025670732957977616, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "ret_p1w": -0.07961849863226922, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07961849863226922, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07684577904699563, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07684577904699563, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "ret_p1m": -0.23097656013645274, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.23097656013645274, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.21606211823842303, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.21606211823842303, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "ret_p3m": -0.36719882339960475, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.36719882339960475, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.37562779061105134, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.37562779061105134, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "ret_p6m": -0.3829566553733804, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3829566553733804, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.41630122183552165, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.41630122183552165, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "price_path": [0.3587, 0.3722, 0.2969, 0.3135, 0.1512, 0.0601, 0.0585, 0.0769, 0.0363, -0.0056, 0.0021, -0.0228, -0.0458, -0.0649, -0.1254, -0.1006, -0.0885, -0.0759, -0.1086, -0.0597, -0.0875, -0.0852, -0.1219, -0.1219, -0.1389, -0.0782, -0.0025, 0.0037, 0.0292, -0.0091, -0.0093, 0.0732, 0.1507, 0.1188, 0.0552, 0.044, 0.1652, 0.1988, 0.1964, 0.1611, 0.1041, 0.1377, 0.2109, 0.2258, 0.176, 0.1675, 0.1999, 0.0894, 0.1354, 0.2019, 0.2061, 0.2078, 0.1186, 0.1348, 0.12, 0.3013, 0.2264, 0.0321, 0.0649, 0.0234, -0.016, 0.0054, 0.0114, 0.0, -0.023, -0.0332, -0.0865, -0.0574, -0.0796, -0.1128, -0.0933, -0.1391, -0.1493, -0.1489, -0.1758, -0.191, -0.2525, -0.2333, -0.2623, -0.2482, -0.2571, -0.3029, -0.2803, -0.2167, -0.231, -0.2038, -0.2038, -0.1756, -0.2223, -0.2471, -0.2314, -0.1702, -0.1872, -0.1889, -0.1744, -0.2146, -0.2169, -0.2285, -0.2484, -0.2357, -0.2749, -0.2791, -0.2627, -0.2733, -0.2785, -0.2812, -0.2812, -0.2886, -0.293, -0.3149, -0.3268, -0.3268, -0.3073, -0.2803, -0.2648, -0.2648, -0.2977, -0.3429, -0.3295, -0.3324, -0.3506, -0.3525, -0.3494, -0.3494, -0.3682, -0.401, -0.3672, -0.3859, -0.3722, -0.3846, -0.4056, -0.3807, -0.4383, -0.4518, -0.4705, -0.4941, -0.5132, -0.5227, -0.5992, -0.6425, -0.6539, -0.6724, -0.662, -0.662, -0.6627, -0.6716, -0.672, -0.6759, -0.6784, -0.6795, -0.672, -0.6765, -0.6989, -0.6583, -0.672, -0.6589, -0.6707, -0.6736, -0.5405, -0.5134, -0.4634, -0.5057, -0.4864, -0.4841, -0.4821, -0.52, -0.4991, -0.5434, -0.5343, -0.5575, -0.5679, -0.5675, -0.5982, -0.6106, -0.5696, -0.5886, -0.6032, -0.6032, -0.5785, -0.5957, -0.598, -0.5905, -0.5971, -0.5615, -0.5571, -0.4964, -0.4404, -0.4024, -0.357, -0.383]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1983742080058061281", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-30T03:45:42+00:00", "symbol": "MP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd personally DCA instead of going all in at once. There's a reason why the U.S. government took a stake in $MP", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish MP Materials; recommends DCA, citing US critical minerals supply chain push and government stake as durable tailwinds.", "resolved_tickers": ["MP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Other Industrial Metals & Mining'", "bench_c_industry": "Other Industrial Metals & Mining", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TPvegaa I’d personally DCA instead of going all in at once. Don’t think a US-China deal would be much of a headwind since US extremely, extremely wants their own supply chain of critical minerals anyways.\n\nThere’s a reason why the U.S. government took a stake in $MP", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I maybe test MP. Do you think they keep the price at these lvls to buy big?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TPvegaa", "ret_m1d": -0.009704209352848214, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.009704209352848214, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.020824657580174155, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02328200274040182, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01112044822732594, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013577793387553605, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02818850998108635, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02818850998108635, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03146860971316512, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.022386005905272177, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0032800997320787673, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005802504075814174, "ret_p1w": -0.19978431564728694, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.19978431564728694, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.185780778217555, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.18388555638608428, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014003537429731927, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015898759261202655, "ret_p1m": -0.04574857501192242, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04574857501192242, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05098510507307763, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08323265658648915, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005236530061155209, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03748408157456673, "ret_p3m": 0.027880548968562735, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.027880548968562735, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0018225005574761255, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13814011374210433, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02605804841108661, "bench_c_p3m": 0.16602066271066707, "ret_p6m": -0.06454095417262784, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.06454095417262784, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.12069487471255491, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2812079992641212, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05615392053992707, "bench_c_p6m": 0.21666704509149337, "price_path": [0.0077, 0.0535, 0.0399, 0.0947, 0.1448, 0.1197, 0.1545, 0.1614, 0.1796, 0.1557, 0.1123, 0.0673, 0.0501, 0.0518, 0.0456, 0.1138, 0.0756, 0.0998, 0.1322, 0.0958, 0.0958, 0.0368, 0.0165, -0.0114, -0.0288, -0.0339, -0.0273, -0.0382, -0.0291, -0.0217, 0.0157, 0.0163, 0.0291, 0.1111, 0.1278, 0.1278, 0.1506, 0.0972, 0.1881, 0.0571, 0.0502, 0.0331, 0.0417, 0.093, 0.1014, 0.1449, 0.1363, 0.0873, 0.1135, 0.2067, 0.4643, 0.5196, 0.384, 0.2914, 0.2445, 0.277, 0.1416, 0.0752, 0.0544, 0.0907, 0.01, 0.0003, -0.0097, 0.0, -0.0282, -0.1118, -0.1543, -0.1539, -0.1998, -0.0974, -0.0114, -0.0457, -0.0801, -0.1137, -0.0967, -0.1223, -0.0987, -0.0211, -0.1269, -0.1486, -0.0906, -0.1034, -0.0735, -0.0735, -0.0457, -0.1051, -0.0628, -0.0957, -0.0481, -0.0436, -0.0573, -0.0786, -0.1061, -0.0756, -0.1272, -0.1796, -0.1771, -0.1986, -0.1984, -0.1687, -0.1622, -0.165, -0.1599, -0.1599, -0.1778, -0.2001, -0.223, -0.2218, -0.2218, -0.1533, -0.097, -0.0786, -0.0373, -0.0595, -0.045, 0.0065, -0.0169, 0.0675, 0.0274, 0.0625, 0.0625, 0.0533, -0.0042, 0.0531, 0.0718, -0.0228, 0.0279, 0.0322, -0.0425, -0.0947, -0.0895, -0.0048, -0.0673, -0.1289, -0.0564, -0.0327, -0.0397, -0.0669, -0.1174, -0.1061, -0.1061, -0.1228, -0.1075, -0.098, -0.1476, -0.142, -0.0998, -0.0964, -0.0758, -0.0932, -0.0183, -0.0542, -0.051, -0.0992, -0.103, -0.0712, -0.0514, -0.0411, -0.0753, -0.1188, -0.0856, -0.0866, -0.1137, -0.1821, -0.2206, -0.1793, -0.1791, -0.1722, -0.2036, -0.2021, -0.2978, -0.2566, -0.2543, -0.234, -0.234, -0.2118, -0.2377, -0.1614, -0.1697, -0.1491, -0.1251, -0.1165, -0.0832, -0.0404, -0.0605, 0.0202, 0.0129, 0.0658, -0.0246, -0.0645]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1970988912400347352", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-24T23:09:10+00:00", "symbol": "UPWK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$22-25 is good given H1B increasing freelance hiring, $100m+ buyback and Russell going up from triple rate cuts (part of index) and possibly 5 going into next year. Good to hold 1y for long term capital gain though", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long UPWK to $22-25 on H1B-driven freelance demand, $100m+ buyback, Russell index inclusion tailwinds; hold 1yr for LTCG.", "resolved_tickers": ["UPWK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@h20kita I ended up trimming $UPWK around $17, then held a tiny bit. \n\n$22-25 is good given H1B increasing freelance hiring, $100m+ buyback and Russell going up from triple rate cuts (part of index) and possibly 5 going into next year. \n\nGood to hold 1y for long term capital gain though", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit hey, it's me Mimtos! I've messaged you before on reddit as a thanks. I'm curious if you're still on UPWRK like previously mentioned? It's been dancing around 20 but I'm holding long term for the 22-25$ price target you mentioned", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "h20kita", "ret_m1d": -0.013052220275403092, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013052220275403092, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.016244008829253476, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.016244008829253476, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003191788553850383, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003191788553850383, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.031124540002951062, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.031124540002951062, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.026511042514479, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.026511042514479, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0046134974884720625, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0046134974884720625, "ret_p1w": -0.11094382446571016, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11094382446571016, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.12206169603967432, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12206169603967432, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011117871573964155, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011117871573964155, "ret_p1m": -0.19076301317803634, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.19076301317803634, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2068876920005992, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2068876920005992, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.016124678822562855, "bench_c_p1m": 0.016124678822562855, "ret_p3m": 0.0687751422683871, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0687751422683871, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.029819370396590106, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.029819370396590106, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.038955771871796996, "bench_c_p3m": 0.038955771871796996, "ret_p6m": -0.43022086656631386, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.43022086656631386, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4312035838706527, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4312035838706527, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0009827173043388537, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0009827173043388537, "price_path": [-0.3158, -0.3253, -0.3213, -0.3243, -0.3153, -0.3153, -0.3248, -0.3223, -0.3122, -0.3268, -0.3514, -0.3494, -0.3509, -0.3313, -0.3273, -0.3358, -0.3283, -0.3133, -0.3082, -0.3358, -0.3419, -0.3544, -0.365, -0.3941, -0.3996, -0.4101, -0.3956, -0.4036, -0.4001, -0.3183, -0.3389, -0.3268, -0.3138, -0.2927, -0.3122, -0.3072, -0.2977, -0.3042, -0.2866, -0.2575, -0.251, -0.2515, -0.2425, -0.257, -0.2515, -0.2274, -0.2274, -0.1988, -0.1742, -0.1576, -0.1872, -0.1988, -0.1968, -0.2013, -0.1782, -0.1536, -0.1571, -0.1416, -0.0894, -0.0161, 0.0075, -0.0296, -0.0131, 0.0, -0.0311, -0.0387, -0.0457, -0.0678, -0.1109, -0.0884, -0.133, -0.1265, -0.1421, -0.1034, -0.125, -0.1566, -0.1416, -0.1496, -0.1561, -0.1596, -0.1867, -0.1632, -0.1637, -0.1963, -0.1908, -0.1968, -0.1908, -0.128, -0.1526, -0.1812, -0.1998, -0.2154, -0.1114, -0.1777, -0.1893, -0.124, -0.1165, -0.0989, -0.1446, -0.1441, -0.1727, -0.1872, -0.1426, -0.0884, -0.1386, -0.1029, -0.0688, -0.0115, -0.0171, -0.0171, -0.009, -0.002, 0.0306, -0.0095, -0.0171, 0.008, -0.002, 0.0532, 0.0281, 0.1004, 0.1019, 0.0733, 0.0763, 0.0136, 0.0276, 0.0341, 0.0688, 0.0452, 0.0527, 0.0527, 0.0467, 0.0191, -0.0186, -0.005, -0.005, -0.004, 0.0351, 0.0176, 0.0472, 0.0251, 0.0065, 0.0241, 0.0166, 0.009, 0.0115, -0.0025, -0.0025, -0.0216, -0.0115, 0.0607, 0.1099, 0.0979, 0.0693, 0.0296, 0.0552, 0.0055, 0.0015, -0.0838, -0.1441, -0.1054, -0.0497, -0.0567, -0.2364, -0.2721, -0.3419, -0.3358, -0.3358, -0.3594, -0.3107, -0.3313, -0.3389, -0.372, -0.3464, -0.3484, -0.3047, -0.3263, -0.3414, -0.3409, -0.3258, -0.3318, -0.3348, -0.3308, -0.3785, -0.377, -0.4046, -0.387, -0.4001, -0.38, -0.3931, -0.4302]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1970585451577987450", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-23T20:25:58+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I think NBIS will overtake CRWV in a year or two like how HOOD took over COIN", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long NBIS; expects it to overtake CRWV in 1-2 years given better balance sheet and more diversified customers.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@NeuralCadence $COIN is like the equivalent of $CRWV, setting the mc for companies in the sector.\n\n$NBIS is like $HOOD, better balance sheet, more diversified customers, etc.\n\nI think NBIS will overtake CRWV in a year or two like how HOOD took over COIN.\n\n$IREN doesn't have mag7 deals yet", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "As a $NBIS investor, I’m rooting for $IREN and $CRWV. If IREN can succeed with bare metal and CoreWeave can be profitable despite high interest costs, then Nebius will be incredibly successful with their software and low interest costs.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "NeuralCadence", "ret_m1d": -0.011131767566468054, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011131767566468054, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01660512855923091, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012567412585063775, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005473360992762855, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0014356450185957215, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05037105891888216, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05037105891888216, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05355269237149585, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05864740103362831, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003181633452613686, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008276342114746149, "ret_p1w": 0.041465616556267015, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.041465616556267015, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03698748783357497, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.041803468787482756, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004478128722692043, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0003378522312157406, "ret_p1m": -0.08515769986359101, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08515769986359101, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09207851156514568, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.061764383384825705, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006920811701554674, "bench_c_p1m": -0.023393316478765303, "ret_p3m": -0.17012990211586176, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17012990211586176, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.199368054728571, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15416836202068085, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029238152612709234, "bench_c_p3m": -0.015961540095180915, "ret_p6m": 0.09981441746035724, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.09981441746035724, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.09955147178200963, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.13682175222581228, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.00026294567834761473, "bench_c_p6m": -0.037007334765455036, "price_path": [-0.5121, -0.5191, -0.4867, -0.5333, -0.5365, -0.5339, -0.5339, -0.5562, -0.5631, -0.5728, -0.5693, -0.5891, -0.5181, -0.5034, -0.5055, -0.5019, -0.5103, -0.5142, -0.5268, -0.5187, -0.5161, -0.5235, -0.5107, -0.5325, -0.5242, -0.4951, -0.5176, -0.4975, -0.4882, -0.489, -0.3942, -0.362, -0.3484, -0.3012, -0.3448, -0.3649, -0.3356, -0.3271, -0.3767, -0.3741, -0.3861, -0.3601, -0.3505, -0.3462, -0.3497, -0.3317, -0.3662, -0.3662, -0.3904, -0.391, -0.3979, -0.3927, -0.4058, -0.1121, -0.1337, -0.1726, -0.1613, -0.1562, -0.1704, -0.1273, -0.1269, -0.0788, -0.0111, 0.0, 0.0504, 0.0013, -0.0009, 0.0224, 0.0415, 0.0724, 0.1676, 0.1872, 0.159, 0.0918, 0.1317, 0.2304, 0.202, 0.2566, 0.1888, 0.1673, 0.1414, 0.0523, 0.0111, -0.0327, -0.0852, -0.0152, 0.0878, 0.1635, 0.1301, 0.1605, 0.1519, 0.2135, 0.1175, 0.0254, 0.0853, 0.0152, 0.0323, 0.0199, -0.0518, -0.1247, -0.1778, -0.225, -0.2024, -0.1601, -0.1181, -0.2148, -0.2276, -0.1475, -0.1755, -0.1216, -0.1216, -0.1199, -0.071, -0.1053, -0.0824, -0.0464, -0.0905, -0.0693, -0.1057, -0.1318, -0.1254, -0.1865, -0.2473, -0.2491, -0.3001, -0.2756, -0.1701, -0.1352, -0.1648, -0.1546, -0.1546, -0.1875, -0.2019, -0.2099, -0.2235, -0.2235, -0.1656, -0.1389, -0.0701, -0.1075, -0.0974, -0.0916, -0.0044, -0.022, -0.054, -0.0363, 0.0086, 0.0086, -0.0789, -0.0828, -0.1016, -0.1234, -0.1516, -0.0921, -0.0684, -0.1196, -0.2097, -0.1822, -0.1656, -0.2357, -0.3147, -0.2013, -0.1384, -0.1485, -0.178, -0.1676, -0.0908, -0.0908, -0.0954, -0.0557, -0.0018, -0.0917, -0.0667, -0.0484, -0.0156, -0.0271, -0.1541, -0.1558, -0.1948, -0.0929, -0.1127, -0.1713, -0.1193, -0.1055, 0.0389, 0.0022, 0.0478, 0.2045, 0.0791, 0.0998]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1968701372825579919", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-18T15:39:18+00:00", "symbol": "TGT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Cost averaging $TGT calls to ~$100k in positions. 5Y low, oversold at $88, and divided announced in a month. 3 rate cuts but no upward price movement yet.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long TGT via call options, cost-averaging to ~$100k; bullish on 5Y lows, high dividend yield, and expected institutional accumulation into dividend.", "resolved_tickers": ["TGT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLP", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Discount Stores'", "bench_c_industry": "Discount Stores", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Added call positions in $TGT.\n\n5Y low, oversold at $88, and divided announced in a month. 3 rate cuts but no upward price movement yet.\n\nCost average front-running dividend at different strikes, similar to $UNH. Doing options since IV is 33%, which is on the low end. https://t.co/Fgmkcb2vmx\n\n---\n\nCost averaging $TGT calls to ~$100k in positions. Have $100 strikes as well, but it's more risky.\n\nIt's a high paying dividend with the stock at 5y lows, so I'm sure institutions would stock up. https://t.co/wYCW2wMfRJ\n\n---\n\nGot dividend date wrong, it's November 12th instead of Oct.\n\nKeeping this anyway but not adding more until next month.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.005479709112629627, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005479709112629627, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0008289941806913781, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014280327918682834, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004650714931938249, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008800618806053206, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.014426315008169044, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014426315008169044, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01937918978350106, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012414764575348403, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004952874775332017, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0020115504328206413, "ret_p1w": -0.02549761976814824, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02549761976814824, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.021895402281095766, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.009954043468983986, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0036022174870524726, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015543576299164252, "ret_p1m": 0.01588013516245801, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.01588013516245801, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.00988248068869857, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.006612827257594489, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0059976544737594395, "bench_c_p1m": 0.00926730790486352, "ret_p3m": 0.10602923057744462, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10602923057744462, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07810644519718513, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10245832961685997, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.027922785380259496, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0035709009605846553, "ret_p6m": 0.34228927779003837, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.34228927779003837, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.33650818204747157, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2609967751352362, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0057810957425668, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08129250265480215, "price_path": [0.0679, 0.079, 0.0698, 0.0798, 0.0978, 0.0914, 0.1489, 0.1666, 0.1512, 0.1512, 0.124, 0.1286, 0.1332, 0.1588, 0.1532, 0.1602, 0.1308, 0.1211, 0.1467, 0.1446, 0.1252, 0.1787, 0.1885, 0.1707, 0.1733, 0.1775, 0.1526, 0.1411, 0.1119, 0.1038, 0.104, 0.1332, 0.166, 0.169, 0.1661, 0.1507, 0.1756, 0.1783, 0.1658, 0.1521, 0.1737, 0.1783, 0.1037, 0.0854, 0.1098, 0.0862, 0.0748, 0.0955, 0.0826, 0.0734, 0.0734, 0.0338, 0.0328, 0.0368, 0.0419, 0.0233, 0.0167, 0.0152, 0.0235, 0.006, -0.0096, 0.0034, -0.0055, 0.0, -0.0144, -0.032, -0.0265, -0.0124, -0.0255, -0.0176, -0.0066, 0.0031, -0.0031, 0.001, -0.0044, -0.0051, -0.0017, 0.0107, -0.0036, -0.0435, -0.0233, -0.0051, 0.0167, 0.0073, 0.0159, 0.0236, 0.0557, 0.0514, 0.054, 0.0541, 0.0934, 0.086, 0.0526, 0.0391, 0.0369, 0.0227, 0.0063, 0.0282, -0.003, 0.0204, 0.0146, 0.0242, 0.0408, 0.0262, 0.018, 0.002, 0.0025, -0.0252, -0.0524, -0.0078, -0.0427, -0.0196, 0.0169, 0.0169, 0.0262, 0.0346, 0.0245, 0.0296, 0.0372, 0.044, 0.0538, 0.0602, 0.0715, 0.0981, 0.0995, 0.1048, 0.106, 0.1166, 0.1217, 0.1099, 0.0781, 0.0679, 0.0931, 0.0931, 0.1273, 0.1109, 0.1033, 0.1069, 0.1069, 0.1382, 0.1562, 0.1811, 0.174, 0.2041, 0.1949, 0.2019, 0.2301, 0.2436, 0.2585, 0.2602, 0.2602, 0.2382, 0.2008, 0.206, 0.2241, 0.1773, 0.1788, 0.1521, 0.1646, 0.1944, 0.2403, 0.2604, 0.2924, 0.2553, 0.3085, 0.3082, 0.2822, 0.3111, 0.2891, 0.3242, 0.3242, 0.3331, 0.3231, 0.3231, 0.3349, 0.2965, 0.3215, 0.332, 0.3131, 0.3017, 0.2946, 0.3819, 0.3736, 0.3768, 0.3818, 0.3743, 0.3812, 0.3588, 0.3241, 0.3423]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1984594495888080992", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-01T12:12:54+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "ネビウスについて「下方リスクが最も低く、来年には 300%以上の上昇余地がある」と述べました", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS as lowest-downside neocloud with 300%+ upside next year on margins/MSFT contract; also soft long IREN on low valuation but higher risk.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "ja", "tweet_text": "Yes it does! No worries\n\n評価にはキャパシティ（設備能力）以上の多くの要素が関わっています。\nアメリカの $ORCL（オラクル）を例に見ると、彼らは最終的に利益を失いました。というのも、その規模でも粗利益率がわずか 14% にとどまったからです。\n\nマージン（利益率）は非常に重要です。\n$NBIS は Amazon Web Services のようにフルスタックで事業を展開しているため、ネオクラウド業界の中でも最も高い利益率を誇ります。\n\n一方で、AI コンピュート事業へ転換した多くのマイナー企業については、スケールした際の利益率がまだ明確に見えていません。\n\nとはいえ、$NBIS は契約面などで最も高い透明性を持っており、あとは規模拡大を待つだけという段階にあります。\n\n$IREN の場合、$NBIS（ネビウス）が得たような $MSFT とのハイパースケーラー契約を結べるかどうか、そしてスケール時に高い利益率を維持できるかどうかという「賭け」になります。\n\nだからこそ、私はネビウスについて「下方リスクが最も低く、来年には 300%以上の上昇余地がある」と述べました。\n一方で $IREN はリスクが大きいものの、評価額がかなり低いため、成功した場合のリターンはさらに大きくなる可能性があります。", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit ビックテックと契約が複数あるのは、安心感が大きいですね。\n現時点では電力確保の状況と、マイニング恩恵をダブルで得られると言う点で $IREN を選択していましたが、再検討が必要な時期が来ましたね。\n\nthank you", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "NcxPYH7iiE6uD86", "ret_m1d": 0.08591355523068556, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08591355523068556, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08778681678889533, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07517315981838268, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010740395412302872, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08242716198685718, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08242716198685718, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07057362204440965, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.075560366211469, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006866795775388179, "ret_p1w": -0.08732467971995872, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08732467971995872, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08454416095747552, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08459559111130788, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0027290886086508426, "ret_p1m": -0.19938577263277246, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.19938577263277246, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19673703073352378, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2138236734625919, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014437900829819439, "ret_p3m": -0.21216898231591608, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21216898231591608, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23082847835699605, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.27016535998008484, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05799637766416876, "ret_p6m": 0.12484430259595736, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.12484430259595736, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.07742672938322026, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09926724251497565, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "bench_c_p6m": 0.025577060080981706, "price_path": [-0.5427, -0.4579, -0.4291, -0.417, -0.3747, -0.4137, -0.4317, -0.4055, -0.3979, -0.4423, -0.4399, -0.4507, -0.4274, -0.4188, -0.415, -0.4181, -0.402, -0.4329, -0.4329, -0.4545, -0.4551, -0.4612, -0.4565, -0.4682, -0.2054, -0.2248, -0.2596, -0.2495, -0.245, -0.2577, -0.2191, -0.2187, -0.1756, -0.1151, -0.1052, -0.0601, -0.104, -0.106, -0.0851, -0.0681, -0.0403, 0.0448, 0.0623, 0.0371, -0.023, 0.0127, 0.101, 0.0756, 0.1244, 0.0638, 0.0445, 0.0213, -0.0584, -0.0952, -0.1344, -0.1814, -0.1188, -0.0266, 0.0412, 0.0113, 0.0384, 0.0308, 0.0859, 0.0, -0.0824, -0.0288, -0.0916, -0.0763, -0.0873, -0.1515, -0.2167, -0.2643, -0.3065, -0.2863, -0.2484, -0.2108, -0.2974, -0.3089, -0.2372, -0.2622, -0.214, -0.214, -0.2125, -0.1687, -0.1994, -0.1789, -0.1467, -0.1862, -0.1672, -0.1997, -0.2231, -0.2174, -0.2721, -0.3265, -0.328, -0.3737, -0.3518, -0.2574, -0.2261, -0.2527, -0.2435, -0.2435, -0.2729, -0.2858, -0.293, -0.3052, -0.3052, -0.2533, -0.2294, -0.1679, -0.2014, -0.1923, -0.1871, -0.1091, -0.1248, -0.1535, -0.1377, -0.0975, -0.0975, -0.1758, -0.1793, -0.1961, -0.2156, -0.2408, -0.1876, -0.1663, -0.2122, -0.2929, -0.2682, -0.2533, -0.3161, -0.3868, -0.2853, -0.229, -0.2381, -0.2645, -0.2552, -0.1864, -0.1864, -0.1905, -0.155, -0.1067, -0.1872, -0.1649, -0.1485, -0.1191, -0.1294, -0.243, -0.2445, -0.2795, -0.1883, -0.206, -0.2585, -0.2119, -0.1996, -0.0703, -0.1032, -0.0624, 0.0779, -0.0344, -0.0159, 0.0087, -0.0237, -0.0525, -0.0462, -0.0447, -0.1204, -0.1631, -0.2342, -0.1387, -0.1537, -0.0967, -0.0967, -0.0658, -0.0255, 0.0376, 0.1317, 0.2034, 0.283, 0.3442, 0.3843, 0.3725, 0.3044, 0.3212, 0.2995, 0.2961, 0.3039, 0.2215, 0.2033, 0.1248]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1984594495888080992", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-01T12:12:54+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$IREN はリスクが大きいものの、評価額がかなり低いため、成功した場合のリターンはさらに大きくなる可能性があります", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS as lowest-downside neocloud with 300%+ upside next year on margins/MSFT contract; also soft long IREN on low valuation but higher risk.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "ja", "tweet_text": "Yes it does! No worries\n\n評価にはキャパシティ（設備能力）以上の多くの要素が関わっています。\nアメリカの $ORCL（オラクル）を例に見ると、彼らは最終的に利益を失いました。というのも、その規模でも粗利益率がわずか 14% にとどまったからです。\n\nマージン（利益率）は非常に重要です。\n$NBIS は Amazon Web Services のようにフルスタックで事業を展開しているため、ネオクラウド業界の中でも最も高い利益率を誇ります。\n\n一方で、AI コンピュート事業へ転換した多くのマイナー企業については、スケールした際の利益率がまだ明確に見えていません。\n\nとはいえ、$NBIS は契約面などで最も高い透明性を持っており、あとは規模拡大を待つだけという段階にあります。\n\n$IREN の場合、$NBIS（ネビウス）が得たような $MSFT とのハイパースケーラー契約を結べるかどうか、そしてスケール時に高い利益率を維持できるかどうかという「賭け」になります。\n\nだからこそ、私はネビウスについて「下方リスクが最も低く、来年には 300%以上の上昇余地がある」と述べました。\n一方で $IREN はリスクが大きいものの、評価額がかなり低いため、成功した場合のリターンはさらに大きくなる可能性があります。", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit ビックテックと契約が複数あるのは、安心感が大きいですね。\n現時点では電力確保の状況と、マイニング恩恵をダブルで得られると言う点で $IREN を選択していましたが、再検討が必要な時期が来ましたね。\n\nthank you", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "NcxPYH7iiE6uD86", "ret_m1d": -0.10332103321033215, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10332103321033215, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.10144777165212238, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.10753956645400609, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004218533243673939, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01653140585360935, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01653140585360935, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004677865911161816, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0217086564081882, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005177250554578849, "ret_p1w": -0.11188194584582567, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11188194584582567, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10910142708334247, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12760582463574355, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015723878789917878, "ret_p1m": -0.3930627463928448, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3930627463928448, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3904140044935961, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.4062937683424098, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013231021949565047, "ret_p3m": -0.11675276527545553, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11675276527545553, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1354122613165355, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1471872809874556, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "bench_c_p3m": 0.030434515712000065, "ret_p6m": -0.34405906086038396, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.34405906086038396, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.39147663407312105, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.34690997950694125, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0028509186465572878, "price_path": [-0.7296, -0.7259, -0.7277, -0.7348, -0.7368, -0.7383, -0.7184, -0.7094, -0.6944, -0.7235, -0.7083, -0.7108, -0.6837, -0.6587, -0.6607, -0.67, -0.6599, -0.6092, -0.6092, -0.5703, -0.5836, -0.6143, -0.614, -0.6134, -0.5544, -0.5036, -0.5151, -0.4987, -0.4518, -0.462, -0.4406, -0.4639, -0.4297, -0.3815, -0.3835, -0.3042, -0.3168, -0.3821, -0.3221, -0.3073, -0.3051, -0.306, -0.2552, -0.1476, -0.0896, -0.1131, -0.0576, -0.1178, -0.0533, 0.0267, 0.0034, -0.0874, -0.1038, -0.1259, -0.1853, -0.235, -0.1755, -0.0716, -0.0407, -0.0787, -0.1082, -0.1407, -0.1033, 0.0, -0.0165, 0.1278, -0.0117, -0.0793, -0.1119, -0.1531, -0.1779, -0.2819, -0.3156, -0.3002, -0.279, -0.3235, -0.3584, -0.3762, -0.2843, -0.2993, -0.2849, -0.2849, -0.2943, -0.2843, -0.3931, -0.3511, -0.3144, -0.3401, -0.316, -0.3086, -0.3517, -0.3514, -0.4077, -0.4763, -0.4599, -0.5014, -0.4716, -0.4108, -0.3795, -0.379, -0.3804, -0.3804, -0.4052, -0.4183, -0.4347, -0.4425, -0.4425, -0.3697, -0.288, -0.3224, -0.3561, -0.3258, -0.3206, -0.2571, -0.2179, -0.2195, -0.2341, -0.1466, -0.1466, -0.1991, -0.2106, -0.2286, -0.1634, -0.2272, -0.1145, -0.071, -0.1168, -0.2068, -0.2165, -0.1972, -0.3367, -0.4127, -0.3826, -0.3188, -0.3663, -0.3702, -0.4092, -0.3768, -0.3768, -0.3953, -0.3789, -0.361, -0.4099, -0.3748, -0.3292, -0.3501, -0.347, -0.3956, -0.3891, -0.4266, -0.3529, -0.4077, -0.4583, -0.4267, -0.4373, -0.3804, -0.3894, -0.3863, -0.3367, -0.3659, -0.377, -0.3851, -0.3906, -0.3777, -0.3931, -0.3885, -0.4472, -0.4821, -0.5333, -0.494, -0.4968, -0.4868, -0.4868, -0.4815, -0.4725, -0.4564, -0.453, -0.4196, -0.3643, -0.3008, -0.2794, -0.2959, -0.2897, -0.2809, -0.3333, -0.2858, -0.2322, -0.2525, -0.2862, -0.3441]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2009640115157479743", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-09T14:55:15+00:00", "symbol": "VLN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I would value them around $493.5M if i just used conservative EV/revenue models", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author values NYSE VLN at ~$493.5M vs ~$155M market cap using conservative EV/revenue; strongly bullish on mispricing.", "resolved_tickers": ["VLN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It's a pretty hilarious ticker collision error with analysts and algorithms modelling off $VLN in Toronto, rather than $VLN NYSE.\n\nI couldn't believe my eyes that they had $100m+ in assets, $70m+ yearly revenue with 60%+ gross margins and was valued at $155m lol so dug deeper. \n\nI would value them around $493.5M if i just used conservative EV/revenue models.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Comprehensive write up. Will review in detail later.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DivGuru", "ret_m1d": -0.37096776984608737, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.37096776984608737, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.36439787640680144, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.3446587667058081, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006569893439285934, "bench_c_m1d": -0.026309003140279286, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06854841733326134, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06854841733326134, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07011887114503312, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07224813070073988, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0015704538117717881, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003699713367478541, "ret_p1w": -0.19758064748717397, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.19758064748717397, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.19410836617330818, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2262791043822514, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.003472281313865788, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02869845689507744, "ret_p1m": -0.3870967865982611, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3870967865982611, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.38692395731858265, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.4318786390753073, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00017282927967843253, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04478185247704625, "ret_p3m": -0.471774220683696, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.471774220683696, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.44841378636724327, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5583576750317217, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.02336043431645274, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08658345434802572, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2661, -0.2581, -0.2863, -0.3105, -0.2742, -0.2863, -0.3024, -0.2903, -0.2823, -0.2944, -0.2903, -0.3105, -0.3145, -0.2621, -0.3065, -0.3589, -0.3306, -0.371, -0.3629, -0.3548, -0.2742, -0.3145, -0.3065, -0.2984, -0.371, -0.3871, -0.4153, -0.4274, -0.3952, -0.3831, -0.379, -0.3669, -0.3669, -0.3548, -0.3669, -0.3629, -0.3266, -0.3226, -0.3226, -0.3145, -0.3145, -0.3226, -0.3427, -0.3589, -0.379, -0.3831, -0.4032, -0.4032, -0.3992, -0.4113, -0.4355, -0.4435, -0.4435, -0.4194, -0.4315, -0.4435, -0.4274, -0.4274, -0.371, -0.3669, -0.3589, -0.375, -0.371, 0.0, -0.0685, -0.0565, -0.1573, -0.1573, -0.1976, -0.1976, -0.2177, -0.2097, -0.1532, -0.2097, -0.2581, -0.2581, -0.2863, -0.2903, -0.3145, -0.3266, -0.3548, -0.379, -0.4234, -0.379, -0.3871, -0.375, -0.379, -0.3952, -0.3871, -0.3871, -0.4113, -0.3992, -0.3992, -0.3911, -0.4032, -0.3831, -0.379, -0.3548, -0.4032, -0.4032, -0.4194, -0.4194, -0.4355, -0.4556, -0.4556, -0.4435, -0.4234, -0.4556, -0.4637, -0.4637, -0.4597, -0.496, -0.4839, -0.5081, -0.4919, -0.496, -0.4919, -0.5081, -0.5242, -0.5524, -0.5444, -0.5282, -0.5202, -0.5202, -0.5202, -0.5242, -0.4718, -0.4597, -0.4637, -0.4556, -0.4435, -0.4073, -0.375, -0.3871, -0.4073, -0.3952, -0.3508, -0.3347, -0.2782, -0.3508, -0.3911, -0.3911, -0.125, -0.0565, -0.0927, -0.0242, 0.0081, -0.0282, 0.125, 0.1492, 0.0887, 0.1895, 0.3589, 0.2298, 0.1371, 0.0726, 0.1694, 0.2339, 0.2984, 0.2984, 0.3145, 0.2702, 0.4113, 0.4234, 0.4234, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1977424743998661041", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-12T17:22:52+00:00", "symbol": "RDDT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$RDDT was a buy at $192", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish RDDT at $192, AMD at $210, VIRT at $33 (undervalued, earnings catalyst), and lithium/rare-earth stocks.", "resolved_tickers": ["RDDT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Hoona1203 I ran out of tickers because X post limits, otherwise $RDDT was a buy at $192, $AMD was a buy at $210, $VIRT is a buy at $33 (not so much as single long but as a good hedge and I believe this undervalued + will show up in earnings), lithium-rare earth stocks are a buy and so on.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Hey thanks for taking time and compiling this list. I made an X account for the first time just to follow you! One question about this list, I noticed that you left out RDDT that you had in your previous posts, did your conviction change around it?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Hoona1203", "ret_m1d": -0.02518651712733211, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02518651712733211, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010074325038315401, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01605094074093749, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009135576386394617, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03598775940616583, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03598775940616583, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.034766104602709125, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04257594788197905, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006588188475813217, "ret_p1w": -0.005891579887045362, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.005891579887045362, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.018349385303986443, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.026973850459747206, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "bench_c_p1w": 0.021082270572701844, "ret_p1m": 0.022240839557063685, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.022240839557063685, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.007862915929782721, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.019078509088673368, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0031623304683903175, "ret_p3m": 0.24680874941153874, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.24680874941153874, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.203813647325227, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2114930913767985, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03531565803474024, "ret_p6m": -0.3070502530196192, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3070502530196192, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3069500839913273, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2956306813614765, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "bench_c_p6m": -0.011419571658142669, "price_path": [-0.2915, -0.3003, -0.2722, -0.2818, -0.2842, -0.2827, -0.2727, -0.2652, -0.2557, -0.2888, -0.2668, -0.2116, -0.0738, -0.0094, -0.0225, 0.0448, 0.04, 0.0577, 0.0838, 0.0999, 0.1526, 0.1954, 0.2102, 0.187, 0.1203, 0.0721, 0.0735, 0.0669, 0.0788, 0.0773, 0.0364, 0.1073, 0.1051, 0.1051, 0.0804, 0.0955, 0.1396, 0.1783, 0.1291, 0.1793, 0.2717, 0.2792, 0.2485, 0.2944, 0.3092, 0.3083, 0.3291, 0.2985, 0.2645, 0.1658, 0.1572, 0.1427, 0.1789, 0.188, 0.1292, -0.0053, -0.0136, 0.0173, -0.0002, 0.011, -0.0068, 0.0394, -0.0252, 0.0, -0.036, -0.0143, -0.0231, -0.0429, -0.0059, 0.01, -0.0326, -0.014, 0.0516, 0.0764, 0.0456, 0.0348, -0.0455, 0.0259, 0.0064, -0.0781, -0.0364, -0.0984, -0.0447, 0.0025, 0.0222, -0.0042, -0.07, -0.0509, -0.0792, -0.0883, -0.0781, -0.107, -0.0992, -0.0426, 0.0727, 0.019, 0.019, 0.0628, 0.0968, 0.0937, 0.0842, 0.0936, 0.1494, 0.1633, 0.1592, 0.169, 0.1466, 0.1036, 0.0728, 0.0998, 0.1162, 0.1358, 0.1449, 0.1447, 0.1087, 0.1088, 0.1088, 0.1085, 0.1521, 0.1457, 0.1286, 0.1286, 0.1876, 0.1982, 0.2461, 0.2544, 0.2468, 0.2007, 0.1981, 0.2713, 0.2391, 0.1231, 0.1342, 0.1342, 0.1064, 0.0317, 0.0533, 0.0746, 0.0489, -0.0362, -0.0517, -0.0669, -0.1149, -0.1303, -0.1879, -0.2503, -0.2584, -0.3135, -0.3041, -0.2636, -0.3161, -0.3565, -0.3144, -0.3144, -0.3164, -0.276, -0.2826, -0.2627, -0.3006, -0.3024, -0.2652, -0.2574, -0.2841, -0.2777, -0.2847, -0.2769, -0.2913, -0.3156, -0.3182, -0.3415, -0.3268, -0.3507, -0.3502, -0.3126, -0.2914, -0.2989, -0.3219, -0.3134, -0.3079, -0.3317, -0.3145, -0.3752, -0.4018, -0.3906, -0.3389, -0.3314, -0.3323, -0.3323, -0.3208, -0.3071]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1977424743998661041", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-12T17:22:52+00:00", "symbol": "AMD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AMD was a buy at $210", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish RDDT at $192, AMD at $210, VIRT at $33 (undervalued, earnings catalyst), and lithium/rare-earth stocks.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Hoona1203 I ran out of tickers because X post limits, otherwise $RDDT was a buy at $192, $AMD was a buy at $210, $VIRT is a buy at $33 (not so much as single long but as a good hedge and I believe this undervalued + will show up in earnings), lithium-rare earth stocks are a buy and so on.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Hey thanks for taking time and compiling this list. I made an X account for the first time just to follow you! One question about this list, I noticed that you left out RDDT that you had in your previous posts, did your conviction change around it?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Hoona1203", "ret_m1d": -0.007023400264860813, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007023400264860813, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008088791824155894, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008088791824155894, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0077164688248525515, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0077164688248525515, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008938123628309258, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008938123628309258, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "ret_p1w": 0.11154236943853912, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11154236943853912, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09908456402159804, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09908456402159804, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "ret_p1m": 0.09749563941426609, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09749563941426609, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06739188392741968, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06739188392741968, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "ret_p3m": -0.054246398634563264, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.054246398634563264, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09724150072087501, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09724150072087501, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "ret_p6m": 0.02361149918485128, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.02361149918485128, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.02371166821314319, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.02371166821314319, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "bench_c_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "price_path": [-0.2603, -0.2588, -0.2746, -0.2746, -0.2851, -0.2669, -0.2509, -0.2308, -0.1976, -0.1801, -0.1705, -0.1853, -0.2066, -0.1832, -0.1946, -0.2463, -0.2034, -0.2017, -0.204, -0.1916, -0.1479, -0.1639, -0.1798, -0.1861, -0.2304, -0.2367, -0.2436, -0.2248, -0.2452, -0.2301, -0.2278, -0.2211, -0.2485, -0.2485, -0.25, -0.2509, -0.2524, -0.3016, -0.3004, -0.28, -0.2628, -0.2807, -0.2673, -0.2553, -0.2586, -0.2646, -0.2703, -0.2728, -0.2617, -0.2565, -0.2566, -0.2548, -0.2632, -0.2544, -0.2524, -0.2422, -0.2157, -0.2391, -0.0587, -0.0227, 0.0884, 0.0761, -0.007, 0.0, 0.0077, 0.1025, 0.0838, 0.077, 0.1115, 0.0999, 0.0638, 0.0858, 0.1687, 0.1998, 0.1922, 0.2214, 0.1775, 0.1834, 0.1998, 0.1554, 0.1844, 0.0983, 0.0791, 0.1273, 0.0975, 0.1962, 0.1457, 0.1404, 0.1114, 0.0641, 0.0329, -0.0481, -0.0584, -0.0063, -0.0475, -0.0101, -0.0101, 0.0051, 0.0154, -0.0055, 0.0055, -0.002, 0.0072, 0.0217, 0.024, 0.0231, 0.0231, -0.0261, -0.0408, -0.0335, -0.0846, -0.071, -0.0138, -0.0068, -0.007, -0.0064, -0.0064, -0.0066, -0.0037, -0.005, -0.0104, -0.0104, 0.0326, 0.0215, -0.0096, -0.0296, -0.0542, -0.0612, -0.0403, 0.021, 0.0332, 0.0531, 0.0712, 0.0712, 0.0716, 0.1542, 0.1724, 0.1999, 0.1612, 0.1645, 0.1678, 0.1652, 0.0938, 0.1379, 0.1187, -0.075, -0.1105, -0.0369, -0.0019, -0.0132, -0.0131, -0.0484, -0.042, -0.042, -0.0616, -0.0753, -0.0603, -0.0752, -0.0916, -0.0119, -0.0257, -0.0589, -0.0749, -0.0822, -0.1177, -0.0663, -0.0784, -0.1108, -0.0635, -0.0609, -0.0536, -0.0863, -0.1064, -0.0917, -0.0929, -0.0784, -0.0515, -0.0697, -0.0635, -0.0511, 0.0178, -0.0585, -0.0667, -0.0942, -0.06, -0.0287, 0.005, 0.005, 0.0174, 0.0236]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1977424743998661041", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-12T17:22:52+00:00", "symbol": "VIRT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$VIRT is a buy at $33", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish RDDT at $192, AMD at $210, VIRT at $33 (undervalued, earnings catalyst), and lithium/rare-earth stocks.", "resolved_tickers": ["VIRT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Hoona1203 I ran out of tickers because X post limits, otherwise $RDDT was a buy at $192, $AMD was a buy at $210, $VIRT is a buy at $33 (not so much as single long but as a good hedge and I believe this undervalued + will show up in earnings), lithium-rare earth stocks are a buy and so on.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Hey thanks for taking time and compiling this list. I made an X account for the first time just to follow you! One question about this list, I noticed that you left out RDDT that you had in your previous posts, did your conviction change around it?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Hoona1203", "ret_m1d": 0.006668776564723089, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006668776564723089, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.021780968653739796, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.021780968653739796, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01576229668374851, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01576229668374851, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.016983951487205218, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.016983951487205218, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "ret_p1w": 0.0003031368517112387, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0003031368517112387, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.012154668565229843, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.012154668565229843, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "ret_p1m": 0.08002426499851234, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08002426499851234, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.049920509511665934, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.049920509511665934, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "ret_p3m": -0.007281021677738919, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.007281021677738919, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.05027612376405066, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05027612376405066, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "ret_p6m": 0.46285285615448024, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.46285285615448024, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.46295302518277215, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.46295302518277215, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "bench_c_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "price_path": [0.3455, 0.3599, 0.3358, 0.3117, 0.2849, 0.3018, 0.3193, 0.3322, 0.3081, 0.3274, 0.35, 0.3304, 0.3072, 0.3084, 0.2927, 0.2795, 0.2795, 0.2792, 0.2671, 0.2692, 0.2608, 0.2608, 0.2593, 0.2496, 0.2412, 0.2481, 0.2532, 0.2674, 0.2777, 0.3009, 0.2879, 0.2777, 0.2707, 0.2707, 0.2534, 0.2567, 0.2255, 0.1788, 0.1667, 0.1534, 0.1704, 0.124, 0.1103, 0.0982, 0.0731, 0.0661, 0.0673, 0.0752, 0.057, 0.0615, 0.0682, 0.0627, 0.0673, 0.0873, 0.0761, 0.0343, 0.0382, 0.0197, -0.0179, -0.0185, -0.0045, 0.007, 0.0067, 0.0, 0.0158, 0.0185, 0.0033, 0.0073, 0.0003, 0.0097, 0.0127, 0.0142, 0.017, 0.0264, 0.0479, 0.0424, 0.0494, 0.0561, 0.0591, 0.053, 0.0418, 0.063, 0.0803, 0.0897, 0.08, 0.0915, 0.0788, 0.0664, 0.0415, 0.0464, 0.0258, 0.0218, 0.03, 0.0282, 0.0518, 0.0712, 0.0712, 0.084, 0.0687, 0.0473, 0.0647, 0.0818, 0.0797, 0.0751, 0.0852, 0.0916, 0.0446, 0.0287, 0.0187, 0.033, 0.0278, 0.0242, 0.0327, 0.0141, 0.0187, 0.0309, 0.0309, 0.0412, 0.0467, 0.0367, 0.0168, 0.0168, -0.0051, 0.029, 0.0122, 0.0043, -0.0073, 0.0113, 0.0351, 0.0391, 0.0736, 0.095, 0.1258, 0.1258, 0.1178, 0.1264, 0.1325, 0.134, 0.1447, 0.1487, 0.1441, 0.2408, 0.2668, 0.2066, 0.1688, 0.1542, 0.1661, 0.1758, 0.1981, 0.2018, 0.1575, 0.1471, 0.17, 0.17, 0.1926, 0.2012, 0.2015, 0.2152, 0.2201, 0.2466, 0.2436, 0.2738, 0.271, 0.3115, 0.2781, 0.2603, 0.2551, 0.2587, 0.2873, 0.26, 0.2406, 0.2176, 0.1998, 0.1927, 0.2231, 0.2241, 0.2148, 0.2778, 0.3161, 0.33, 0.3425, 0.3333, 0.3051, 0.3149, 0.3499, 0.3625, 0.4187, 0.4187, 0.4576, 0.4629]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1977424743998661041", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-10-12T17:22:52+00:00", "symbol": "lithium rare earth stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "lithium-rare earth stocks are a buy", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish RDDT at $192, AMD at $210, VIRT at $33 (undervalued, earnings catalyst), and lithium/rare-earth stocks.", "resolved_tickers": ["LIT", "REMX"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Lithium/rare earth via LIT and REMX ETFs", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Hoona1203 I ran out of tickers because X post limits, otherwise $RDDT was a buy at $192, $AMD was a buy at $210, $VIRT is a buy at $33 (not so much as single long but as a good hedge and I believe this undervalued + will show up in earnings), lithium-rare earth stocks are a buy and so on.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Hey thanks for taking time and compiling this list. I made an X account for the first time just to follow you! One question about this list, I noticed that you left out RDDT that you had in your previous posts, did your conviction change around it?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Hoona1203", "ret_m1d": -0.09846640909235815, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09846640909235815, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08335421700334145, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08335421700334145, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005002939835675901, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005002939835675901, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.003781285032219195, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.003781285032219195, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "ret_p1w": -0.04730872227412947, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04730872227412947, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05976652769107055, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05976652769107055, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "ret_p1m": -0.038348313254788824, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.038348313254788824, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06845206874163523, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06845206874163523, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "ret_p3m": 0.11615090714284115, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11615090714284115, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07315580505652941, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07315580505652941, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "ret_p6m": 0.20756512075475864, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.20756512075475864, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.20766528978305054, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.20766528978305054, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "bench_c_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "price_path": [-0.3591, -0.3335, -0.3173, -0.3098, -0.2872, -0.2949, -0.2716, -0.2701, -0.2916, -0.3025, -0.3203, -0.3374, -0.3381, -0.3222, -0.312, -0.315, -0.2997, -0.2769, -0.2389, -0.243, -0.2379, -0.2522, -0.237, -0.2267, -0.2436, -0.2566, -0.2511, -0.2289, -0.2151, -0.2257, -0.2074, -0.2092, -0.1943, -0.1943, -0.2136, -0.2148, -0.2211, -0.1813, -0.1665, -0.1954, -0.2189, -0.1957, -0.197, -0.1699, -0.1723, -0.163, -0.1622, -0.1545, -0.154, -0.158, -0.1155, -0.0968, -0.1073, -0.1011, -0.0963, -0.0766, -0.0605, -0.0314, -0.0208, -0.0299, -0.0169, -0.0203, -0.0985, 0.0, -0.005, -0.016, -0.0471, -0.0608, -0.0473, -0.069, -0.082, -0.0563, -0.0121, -0.0504, -0.0498, -0.0288, -0.006, -0.0198, -0.0542, -0.087, -0.0755, -0.0817, -0.0655, -0.0282, -0.0383, -0.0331, -0.0147, -0.0092, 0.0023, -0.0107, 0.0074, -0.0292, -0.047, -0.0454, -0.0221, 0.0035, 0.0035, 0.0172, 0.0035, 0.0012, 0.0025, -0.0176, -0.0049, 0.0113, 0.0193, 0.0299, 0.0326, 0.0059, -0.0079, -0.0168, -0.0014, 0.0031, 0.0085, 0.0418, 0.0538, 0.0655, 0.0655, 0.0762, 0.0401, 0.0398, 0.0336, 0.0336, 0.0641, 0.0928, 0.1382, 0.1404, 0.1162, 0.1335, 0.1738, 0.1805, 0.195, 0.1921, 0.173, 0.173, 0.1781, 0.2212, 0.2462, 0.2765, 0.2642, 0.2749, 0.2703, 0.2351, 0.1527, 0.1489, 0.1993, 0.1691, 0.1107, 0.1689, 0.1928, 0.1896, 0.2258, 0.1783, 0.2025, 0.2025, 0.196, 0.2236, 0.2087, 0.2016, 0.2222, 0.2595, 0.295, 0.2795, 0.2911, 0.311, 0.2159, 0.2415, 0.1957, 0.1886, 0.2237, 0.2403, 0.2514, 0.2156, 0.1815, 0.1958, 0.1961, 0.1551, 0.125, 0.0851, 0.1393, 0.153, 0.1931, 0.1496, 0.1726, 0.1738, 0.2058, 0.21, 0.21, 0.21, 0.198, 0.2076]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1969157740900860220", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-19T21:52:45+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We could see $NBIS similarly from $99 to $225 by March if they have a Q4 earnings blowout along with triple rate cut in the best scenario, but otherwise I'd say 1 year timeframe", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long NBIS to $225 within 1 year (best case by March); long RKLB on a 5-year horizon pending Neutron.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$CRWV went from $41 to $183 in the span of 3 months but part of that was less float.\n\nWe could see $NBIS similarly from $99 to $225 by March if they have a Q4 earnings blowout along with triple rate cut in the best scenario, but otherwise I'd say 1 year timeframe. \n\n$RKLB I like the most on a 5 year timeframe, but they do need an extra two years for Neutron.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit what’s your timeline on hitting $225? I’m thinking of trimming my RKLB position before Neutron hit", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "vicecarloans", "ret_m1d": -0.052260547171492755, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.052260547171492755, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04733208246468823, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04815694863421516, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004928464706804525, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004103598537277597, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07340651590718417, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07340651590718417, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06867541545349609, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07689412942013785, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004731100453688075, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00348761351295368, "ret_p1w": 0.08448292816338321, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08448292816338321, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08731548438653058, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09141608288299907, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0028325562231473755, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006933154719615864, "ret_p1m": 0.09757328244509389, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09757328244509389, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08612236385507366, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12072556935241152, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011450918590020231, "bench_c_p1m": -0.023152286907317632, "ret_p3m": -0.24025779072518816, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.24025779072518816, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2518593683444148, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.21349186697027356, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.011601577619226644, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0267659237549146, "ret_p6m": 0.30752199472065245, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.30752199472065245, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2965126023463669, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.33518395535465373, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.011009392374285554, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02766196063400128, "price_path": [-0.4863, -0.5114, -0.4703, -0.478, -0.4429, -0.4934, -0.4968, -0.494, -0.494, -0.5183, -0.5257, -0.5363, -0.5325, -0.5539, -0.4769, -0.461, -0.4632, -0.4594, -0.4684, -0.4727, -0.4864, -0.4776, -0.4748, -0.4827, -0.4688, -0.4925, -0.4835, -0.4519, -0.4764, -0.4545, -0.4445, -0.4453, -0.3424, -0.3074, -0.2927, -0.2415, -0.2888, -0.3106, -0.2788, -0.2696, -0.3234, -0.3206, -0.3336, -0.3054, -0.2949, -0.2903, -0.2941, -0.2746, -0.3121, -0.3121, -0.3382, -0.3389, -0.3464, -0.3408, -0.3549, -0.0361, -0.0596, -0.1019, -0.0896, -0.0841, -0.0995, -0.0527, -0.0523, 0.0, 0.0734, 0.0855, 0.1402, 0.0869, 0.0845, 0.1099, 0.1305, 0.1641, 0.2674, 0.2887, 0.2581, 0.1852, 0.2285, 0.3356, 0.3048, 0.364, 0.2904, 0.267, 0.2389, 0.1423, 0.0976, 0.05, -0.0069, 0.069, 0.1807, 0.263, 0.2268, 0.2597, 0.2504, 0.3173, 0.2131, 0.1131, 0.1781, 0.102, 0.1205, 0.1071, 0.0293, -0.0498, -0.1075, -0.1588, -0.1342, -0.0883, -0.0427, -0.1477, -0.1616, -0.0746, -0.105, -0.0465, -0.0465, -0.0447, 0.0085, -0.0288, -0.0039, 0.0351, -0.0128, 0.0103, -0.0292, -0.0576, -0.0506, -0.117, -0.183, -0.1849, -0.2403, -0.2137, -0.0992, -0.0612, -0.0934, -0.0824, -0.0824, -0.118, -0.1336, -0.1424, -0.1571, -0.1571, -0.0943, -0.0653, 0.0094, -0.0312, -0.0202, -0.0139, 0.0808, 0.0616, 0.0269, 0.0461, 0.0949, 0.0949, -0.0002, -0.0044, -0.0248, -0.0484, -0.079, -0.0145, 0.0113, -0.0443, -0.1422, -0.1123, -0.0943, -0.1704, -0.2562, -0.133, -0.0647, -0.0757, -0.1077, -0.0965, -0.0131, -0.0131, -0.018, 0.0251, 0.0836, -0.014, 0.0131, 0.0329, 0.0686, 0.0561, -0.0818, -0.0836, -0.126, -0.0154, -0.0369, -0.1005, -0.044, -0.029, 0.1277, 0.0879, 0.1373, 0.3075]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1969157740900860220", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-19T21:52:45+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$RKLB I like the most on a 5 year timeframe", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long NBIS to $225 within 1 year (best case by March); long RKLB on a 5-year horizon pending Neutron.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$CRWV went from $41 to $183 in the span of 3 months but part of that was less float.\n\nWe could see $NBIS similarly from $99 to $225 by March if they have a Q4 earnings blowout along with triple rate cut in the best scenario, but otherwise I'd say 1 year timeframe. \n\n$RKLB I like the most on a 5 year timeframe, but they do need an extra two years for Neutron.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit what’s your timeline on hitting $225? I’m thinking of trimming my RKLB position before Neutron hit", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "vicecarloans", "ret_m1d": -0.012764189132990156, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.012764189132990156, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00783572442618563, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010347853179526245, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004928464706804525, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0024163359534639106, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04226826572642639, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04226826572642639, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.037537165272738315, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03892367737047131, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004731100453688075, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0033445883559550804, "ret_p1w": -0.032015119579063, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.032015119579063, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.029182563355915625, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03260545951135563, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0028325562231473755, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0005903399322926273, "ret_p1m": 0.40929058765174786, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.40929058765174786, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.39783966906172763, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.40253596305377415, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011450918590020231, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006754624597973713, "ret_p3m": 0.12910646684965088, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12910646684965088, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11750488923042424, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12228629367655808, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.011601577619226644, "bench_c_p3m": 0.006820173173092803, "ret_p6m": 0.4921530904475162, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4921530904475162, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.48114369807323065, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.39943377508476274, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.011009392374285554, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09271931536275346, "price_path": [-0.2999, -0.3231, -0.2438, -0.2597, -0.2515, -0.2816, -0.2534, -0.2538, -0.2538, -0.1864, -0.1894, -0.181, -0.1818, -0.1833, -0.0958, -0.0668, -0.0021, 0.0741, 0.0753, -0.0126, -0.019, 0.0285, 0.0071, -0.0075, -0.0561, -0.0837, -0.0282, -0.0391, -0.0624, -0.068, -0.0636, -0.0772, -0.0749, -0.0649, -0.058, -0.0912, -0.1002, -0.1042, -0.0737, -0.059, -0.1438, -0.1486, -0.131, -0.0714, -0.0119, 0.0071, -0.0322, 0.0025, 0.0169, 0.0169, 0.0318, -0.0891, -0.1004, -0.0408, -0.0013, -0.0159, -0.0339, 0.0134, 0.1161, 0.1308, -0.0114, 0.0061, -0.0128, 0.0, 0.0423, 0.1071, 0.0188, -0.0243, -0.032, -0.0163, 0.0025, 0.0038, 0.0979, 0.1751, 0.2241, 0.2871, 0.3666, 0.3898, 0.3446, 0.3689, 0.4235, 0.4495, 0.402, 0.3867, 0.4093, 0.3685, 0.2673, 0.3302, 0.3509, 0.3731, 0.334, 0.3844, 0.2747, 0.3178, 0.2835, 0.1837, 0.1806, 0.0381, 0.0806, 0.086, 0.0722, 0.0456, -0.0531, -0.0471, -0.0937, -0.1048, -0.0873, -0.1739, -0.1567, -0.1117, -0.1086, -0.1226, -0.1226, -0.1182, -0.1553, -0.1232, -0.0642, 0.0331, 0.0265, 0.0789, 0.118, 0.2036, 0.3294, 0.2867, 0.1594, 0.1611, 0.1291, 0.2538, 0.4756, 0.6227, 0.615, 0.615, 0.615, 0.4783, 0.4673, 0.4742, 0.4597, 0.4597, 0.5901, 0.6351, 0.8002, 0.7594, 0.7384, 0.7755, 0.8393, 0.8117, 0.9209, 0.8991, 1.0151, 1.0151, 0.8657, 0.8376, 0.841, 0.8602, 0.684, 0.8205, 0.8533, 0.7928, 0.6755, 0.5516, 0.7006, 0.5298, 0.3877, 0.5133, 0.5869, 0.5072, 0.4568, 0.3813, 0.4112, 0.4112, 0.4624, 0.5572, 0.6024, 0.4827, 0.4691, 0.4641, 0.4689, 0.5202, 0.4459, 0.485, 0.4675, 0.5047, 0.4647, 0.467, 0.4957, 0.4424, 0.5058, 0.4306, 0.4315, 0.4922]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1973204857130778768", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-01T01:54:32+00:00", "symbol": "LTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "LTC at a little 8b marketcap with ETF decision + new treasury companies have a lot more potential to 2-3x", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long LTC on ETF decision + treasury company catalysts with 2-3x upside; also bullish BTC.", "resolved_tickers": ["LTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "not sure about your question exactly, but ltc + btc are both bullish. Tether is printing money to buy Bitcoin now, BTC dropped from $124k to $114k which is reasonable. \n\nGold ATH helps too. \n\ni think my post about LTC was saying LTC at a little 8b marketcap with ETF decision + new treasury companies have a lot more potential to 2-3x.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @Neat_Lama Still learning about $LTC ahead of the ETF decision. What I've gathered\n\n-Approval near certain\n-Spot ETF approval can be bullish ($BTC) or bearish ($ETH) short term\n-ETF inflows need to supersede outflows from Grayscale trust conversions. \n\nWhy is the $BTC scenario more likely?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": -0.07146335862762065, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07146335862762065, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06806745281490167, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00339590581271898, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.03920295327178369, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03920295327178369, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03805114973459078, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001151803537192908, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": 0.030498674427366312, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.030498674427366312, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.023527338293022115, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006971336134344197, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.1888506766699548, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1888506766699548, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2058752016462676, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017024524976312794, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.3200757735157844, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3200757735157844, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.35213875897806424, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032062985462279814, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.5260120393341023, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5260120393341023, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4965605615489518, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02945147778515056, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2454, -0.2522, -0.2383, -0.2122, -0.1765, -0.1813, -0.1699, -0.1633, -0.1531, -0.1174, -0.1169, 0.0063, 0.0399, -0.0255, -0.0244, -0.0114, -0.0567, -0.0573, -0.0399, -0.0773, -0.0737, 0.0528, 0.0447, 0.0362, 0.066, 0.076, 0.0449, 0.1332, 0.1377, 0.0536, 0.0341, 0.0224, -0.0229, 0.0078, -0.0042, 0.0666, -0.0493, -0.0141, -0.0259, -0.0119, -0.0453, -0.0572, -0.03, -0.0189, -0.035, -0.0263, -0.0209, -0.0276, 0.0212, 0.0064, 0.0263, -0.0117, -0.0008, 0.0165, 0.0273, -0.0087, -0.0808, -0.0779, -0.0826, -0.1126, -0.091, -0.072, -0.0715, 0.0, 0.0392, 0.0469, 0.0279, 0.0169, 0.0305, 0.0939, -0.1607, -0.1351, -0.1543, -0.1713, -0.2027, -0.2172, -0.1825, -0.1949, -0.2016, -0.1831, -0.1625, -0.1368, -0.1598, -0.1439, -0.1889, -0.1705, -0.2409, -0.2575, -0.2221, -0.2443, -0.1159, -0.0949, -0.1343, -0.1527, -0.1592, -0.153, -0.2075, -0.1691, -0.1933, -0.242, -0.2825, -0.2575, -0.2592, -0.2454, -0.2475, -0.2677, -0.326, -0.2807, -0.253, -0.2741, -0.3008, -0.2712, -0.2521, -0.266, -0.2795, -0.2884, -0.326, -0.3133, -0.3405, -0.3547, -0.3268, -0.3312, -0.3318, -0.3421, -0.3427, -0.3326, -0.3201, -0.3159, -0.3331, -0.3065, -0.2893, -0.274, -0.2708, -0.291, -0.2943, -0.2932, -0.3394, -0.3214, -0.3334, -0.3735, -0.3462, -0.3857, -0.4175, -0.4057, -0.4082, -0.409, -0.3942, -0.3923, -0.3973, -0.4258, -0.4324, -0.4789, -0.4852, -0.4893, -0.5597, -0.5217, -0.5275, -0.5368, -0.5463, -0.5388, -0.5216, -0.5219, -0.5318, -0.5371, -0.5426, -0.5204, -0.5548, -0.5556, -0.5077, -0.5169, -0.5263, -0.5263, -0.5242, -0.5067, -0.5182, -0.5326, -0.5334, -0.5323, -0.5245, -0.526, -0.5196, -0.4899, -0.4954, -0.5131, -0.5179, -0.512, -0.5165, -0.5102, -0.5082, -0.526]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1973204857130778768", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-01T01:54:32+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "ltc + btc are both bullish", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long LTC on ETF decision + treasury company catalysts with 2-3x upside; also bullish BTC.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "not sure about your question exactly, but ltc + btc are both bullish. Tether is printing money to buy Bitcoin now, BTC dropped from $124k to $114k which is reasonable. \n\nGold ATH helps too. \n\ni think my post about LTC was saying LTC at a little 8b marketcap with ETF decision + new treasury companies have a lot more potential to 2-3x.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @Neat_Lama Still learning about $LTC ahead of the ETF decision. What I've gathered\n\n-Approval near certain\n-Spot ETF approval can be bullish ($BTC) or bearish ($ETH) short term\n-ETF inflows need to supersede outflows from Grayscale trust conversions. \n\nWhy is the $BTC scenario more likely?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": -0.03870952533745331, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03870952533745331, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03531361952473433, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00339590581271898, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.017128920845327356, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.017128920845327356, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.015977117308134448, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001151803537192908, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": 0.03966270502729863, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03966270502729863, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03269136889295443, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006971336134344197, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.0871763684657132, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0871763684657132, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10420089344202599, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017024524976312794, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.2655800532334659, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2655800532334659, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2976430386957457, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032062985462279814, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.4202086341513168, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4202086341513168, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.39075715636616626, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02945147778515056, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0895, -0.0872, -0.0817, -0.0617, -0.0224, -0.0095, 0.0101, -0.0073, 0.0008, 0.0054, -0.0054, -0.0102, 0.0113, 0.0009, -0.0024, -0.0085, -0.0061, -0.0061, -0.0069, -0.0244, -0.0449, -0.0301, -0.038, -0.0305, -0.0097, -0.0165, 0.0007, 0.0128, 0.0396, -0.0024, -0.0105, -0.0202, -0.049, -0.0369, -0.0525, -0.015, -0.0718, -0.0577, -0.0626, -0.0514, -0.0863, -0.0792, -0.0628, -0.0584, -0.0668, -0.0674, -0.0554, -0.06, -0.0396, -0.0265, -0.0215, -0.027, -0.0152, -0.0184, -0.0127, -0.0249, -0.0497, -0.0559, -0.0448, -0.0809, -0.0753, -0.0358, -0.0387, 0.0, 0.0171, 0.0305, 0.0514, 0.0236, 0.0397, 0.0258, -0.0458, -0.0285, -0.0466, -0.0663, -0.0882, -0.1027, -0.0679, -0.0857, -0.0924, -0.0723, -0.0642, -0.0382, -0.048, -0.0724, -0.0872, -0.0766, -0.102, -0.1438, -0.1244, -0.1462, -0.1288, -0.1066, -0.1319, -0.1432, -0.1597, -0.2044, -0.2238, -0.2166, -0.2291, -0.2698, -0.2828, -0.256, -0.2639, -0.2371, -0.2306, -0.2337, -0.2725, -0.2301, -0.2117, -0.2234, -0.2466, -0.2361, -0.2188, -0.2244, -0.2203, -0.2392, -0.2716, -0.2596, -0.274, -0.2797, -0.2574, -0.2542, -0.2633, -0.2616, -0.2648, -0.2642, -0.2656, -0.2547, -0.2625, -0.2521, -0.2419, -0.2087, -0.21, -0.2304, -0.2328, -0.2371, -0.2314, -0.1966, -0.1831, -0.1947, -0.1949, -0.2199, -0.2557, -0.2467, -0.246, -0.2456, -0.2561, -0.249, -0.2483, -0.2873, -0.2909, -0.3368, -0.3625, -0.3846, -0.4715, -0.4053, -0.409, -0.4202, -0.4354, -0.4419, -0.4197, -0.4198, -0.4311, -0.4402, -0.4357, -0.4268, -0.4554, -0.4599, -0.4272, -0.4315, -0.4447, -0.4203, -0.4244, -0.3872, -0.4029, -0.4257, -0.4235, -0.4106, -0.4083, -0.4059, -0.4019, -0.3691, -0.377, -0.3995, -0.4108, -0.4056, -0.4023, -0.4057, -0.399, -0.4202]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2004569946492453003", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-26T15:08:13+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "a $700m company could become the center of it all. InP substrate will likely one of the biggest bottlenecks alongside HBM as the AI industry shifts to photonics", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long AXTI and SMTOY as critical InP substrate duopoly bottlenecking the entire AI/photonics buildout for hyperscalers, transceivers, and co-packaged optics.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Warning: The entire AI industry will likely be bottlenecked by two companies:\n\n1. $AXTI ($700M) \n2. $SMTOY ($31.7B)\n\nWhich both control 60–70%+ of the world's InP substrates.\n\nFuture $NVDA, $GOOGL TPU v7 pods, $META, $MSFT, $AMZN hyperscaler clusters require InP-based lasers and receivers.\n\n$AVGO, $LITE, $COHR use for EMLs for 800G/1.6T transceivers, DFB lasers, and other optical infra.\n\nWithout InP substrates, the supply chain falters. \n\nAfter looking at TPU BOM to Maia BOM, it looks like future ASICs + GPUs + hyperscaler deployments are heavily reliant on photonics. \n\nAnd two vendors could freeze the global InP substrate market covering nearly all of:\n\n- Hyperscaler optics (TPU pods, etc)\n- Optical transceivers (5g, data)\n- LiDAR (robotaxis, drones, military)\n-Optical Modules (interconnect clusters)\n- Silicon photonics laser dies (Nvidia’s future co-packaged optics and Intel/Broadcom SiPh engines use  InP CW laser arrays.)\n\nSince these companies make up majority of the market supply:\n\n-AXTI (est. ~30–35%)\n-Sumitomo (est.~30%)\n- JX Nippon (est. 10-15%)\n\nThat’s it. (eg. 2021 industry note from Yole states that \"Sumitomo Electric + AXT together had “more than 75%” of the InP substrate market\")\n\nHyperscalers/AI are moving toward photonics but the entire AI industry is fragile. \n\nIf either $AXTI or $SMTOY stop supplying materials, the entire future AI buidlout gets crippled. It's even crazier that a $700m company could become the the center of it all. \n\nInP substrate will likely one of the biggest bottlenecks alongside HMB as the AI industry shifts to photonics.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.023422228975777948, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.023422228975777948, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.023523654294073104, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.018803052264763198, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00010142531829515633, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00461917671101475, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05074819380474049, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05074819380474049, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04718456559768569, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04623828847880318, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003563628207054803, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004509905325937313, "ret_p1w": 0.0904359371289738, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0904359371289738, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10077910313269656, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07010028212626285, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.010343166003722759, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02033565500271095, "ret_p1m": 0.15810015417011014, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.15810015417011014, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15459450861879387, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06801098538335615, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.003505645551316272, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09008916878675399, "ret_p3m": 3.3819127505264293, "ret_signed_p3m": 3.3819127505264293, "alpha_spy_p3m": 3.427828630459776, "alpha_c_p3m": 3.291276974574475, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04591587993334656, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09063577595195405, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7079, -0.6805, -0.6942, -0.6662, -0.6487, -0.6545, -0.6545, -0.6597, -0.7378, -0.7007, -0.7027, -0.7014, -0.6792, -0.7066, -0.6805, -0.6636, -0.6786, -0.663, -0.6057, -0.5973, -0.5706, -0.54, -0.5237, -0.4828, -0.4496, -0.4444, -0.4079, -0.4229, -0.3845, -0.3208, -0.3129, -0.2856, -0.3208, -0.3208, -0.3331, -0.3559, -0.3422, -0.3852, -0.419, -0.3923, -0.3995, -0.3201, -0.3201, -0.3038, -0.298, -0.2349, -0.2531, -0.2128, -0.2466, -0.1731, -0.0267, 0.0091, 0.0657, -0.0364, -0.0351, -0.1542, -0.1958, -0.0885, -0.0468, -0.0098, -0.0475, -0.0234, -0.0234, 0.0, -0.0507, 0.028, 0.0638, 0.0638, 0.0904, 0.0846, 0.3123, 0.5686, 0.6805, 0.4958, 0.447, 0.3995, 0.4379, 0.6734, 0.4372, 0.4372, 0.393, 0.2869, 0.1659, 0.1321, 0.1581, 0.1191, 0.095, 0.0657, 0.2062, 0.3624, 0.2843, 0.2199, 0.3292, 0.5654, 0.8068, 0.5843, 0.7437, 0.6129, 0.5771, 0.5771, 0.5101, 0.5316, 0.5491, 0.931, 0.8497, 1.2824, 1.6656, 1.4151, 1.4658, 2.0137, 1.717, 1.5459, 1.5244, 1.1061, 1.5088, 1.8822, 2.0813, 2.0403, 2.1789, 2.1483, 1.8861, 2.1724, 2.7794, 2.529, 3.1926, 3.4528, 3.3819, 2.8068, 2.9447, 2.4307, 2.7072, 2.067, 2.4379, 2.4379, 1.7319, 1.9577, 2.46, 3.1067, 3.1757, 3.3234, 3.3787, 3.0943, 4.3208, 4.3715, 4.1243, 3.8777, 4.6565, 3.8972, 3.9551, 3.5641, 3.4704, 3.6239, 4.1542, 5.2459, 5.8966, 5.9974, 5.8204, 6.054, 6.5706, 7.1854, 6.9961, 6.9336, 6.4808, 7.0534, 5.8887, 6.3442, 5.8061, 6.8738, 8.1627, 8.1627, 7.6272, 6.9876, 6.5277, 5.7118, 5.7118, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2004569946492453003", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-26T15:08:13+00:00", "symbol": "SMTOY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The entire AI industry will likely be bottlenecked by two companies: $AXTI ($700M) $SMTOY ($31.7B) Which both control 60–70%+ of the world's InP substrates", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long AXTI and SMTOY as critical InP substrate duopoly bottlenecking the entire AI/photonics buildout for hyperscalers, transceivers, and co-packaged optics.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMTOY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Parts'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Parts", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Warning: The entire AI industry will likely be bottlenecked by two companies:\n\n1. $AXTI ($700M) \n2. $SMTOY ($31.7B)\n\nWhich both control 60–70%+ of the world's InP substrates.\n\nFuture $NVDA, $GOOGL TPU v7 pods, $META, $MSFT, $AMZN hyperscaler clusters require InP-based lasers and receivers.\n\n$AVGO, $LITE, $COHR use for EMLs for 800G/1.6T transceivers, DFB lasers, and other optical infra.\n\nWithout InP substrates, the supply chain falters. \n\nAfter looking at TPU BOM to Maia BOM, it looks like future ASICs + GPUs + hyperscaler deployments are heavily reliant on photonics. \n\nAnd two vendors could freeze the global InP substrate market covering nearly all of:\n\n- Hyperscaler optics (TPU pods, etc)\n- Optical transceivers (5g, data)\n- LiDAR (robotaxis, drones, military)\n-Optical Modules (interconnect clusters)\n- Silicon photonics laser dies (Nvidia’s future co-packaged optics and Intel/Broadcom SiPh engines use  InP CW laser arrays.)\n\nSince these companies make up majority of the market supply:\n\n-AXTI (est. ~30–35%)\n-Sumitomo (est.~30%)\n- JX Nippon (est. 10-15%)\n\nThat’s it. (eg. 2021 industry note from Yole states that \"Sumitomo Electric + AXT together had “more than 75%” of the InP substrate market\")\n\nHyperscalers/AI are moving toward photonics but the entire AI industry is fragile. \n\nIf either $AXTI or $SMTOY stop supplying materials, the entire future AI buidlout gets crippled. It's even crazier that a $700m company could become the the center of it all. \n\nInP substrate will likely one of the biggest bottlenecks alongside HMB as the AI industry shifts to photonics.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04129352775889661, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04129352775889661, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04119210244060145, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03686917331496531, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00010142531829515633, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0044243544439313, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010696524801367735, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010696524801367735, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014260153008422538, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0205286184331247, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003563628207054803, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009832093631756966, "ret_p1w": 0.018159192248307532, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.018159192248307532, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02850235825203029, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04847468900761631, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.010343166003722759, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03031549675930878, "ret_p1m": 0.0470149092979828, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0470149092979828, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04350926374666653, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04480273207601715, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.003505645551316272, "bench_c_p1m": 0.00221217722196565, "ret_p3m": 0.595522342596057, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.595522342596057, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.6414382225294035, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.6864487267273088, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04591587993334656, "bench_c_p3m": -0.09092638413125187, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2968, -0.301, -0.2933, -0.2893, -0.2714, -0.2672, -0.2562, -0.249, -0.2821, -0.2724, -0.2851, -0.2682, -0.256, -0.2515, -0.2408, -0.2575, -0.2749, -0.2502, -0.2475, -0.2269, -0.2167, -0.1886, -0.1388, -0.0871, -0.0813, -0.0294, -0.0316, -0.0065, -0.0515, -0.0192, -0.048, -0.0366, -0.0055, 0.0124, 0.0301, -0.0525, -0.0463, -0.0201, -0.0784, -0.0766, -0.0254, -0.0284, -0.0284, -0.0239, 0.0179, 0.0517, 0.0945, 0.0662, 0.0741, 0.1025, 0.1306, 0.1127, 0.0858, 0.0361, 0.0585, -0.0005, -0.0015, -0.0177, 0.0159, 0.0679, 0.0557, 0.0413, 0.0413, 0.0, 0.0107, 0.005, -0.008, -0.008, 0.0182, 0.0704, 0.0254, 0.05, 0.0172, 0.0256, 0.0488, 0.0201, 0.009, 0.0435, 0.0637, 0.0637, 0.0206, 0.0652, 0.059, 0.0428, 0.047, 0.104, 0.142, 0.1177, 0.0881, 0.1154, 0.1896, 0.2505, 0.1662, 0.244, 0.3632, 0.401, 0.4338, 0.4132, 0.4149, 0.4149, 0.4251, 0.4261, 0.4769, 0.5682, 0.5938, 0.7351, 0.7562, 0.6107, 0.6463, 0.7092, 0.6617, 0.654, 0.5323, 0.503, 0.5144, 0.5995, 0.6552, 0.5945, 0.61, 0.6284, 0.5035, 0.5137, 0.5517, 0.4706, 0.5149, 0.5361, 0.5955, 0.4505, 0.4259, 0.3428, 0.3731, 0.4958, 0.4751, 0.4751, 0.4935, 0.4505, 0.6634, 0.6498, 0.694, 0.5925, 0.6025, 0.495, 0.592, 0.5965, 0.5803, 0.5786, 0.7042, 0.5868, 0.5896, 0.5443, 0.55, 0.552, 0.6716, 0.5848, 0.5821, 0.6206, 0.7102, 0.7654, 0.8326, 0.8537, 0.7846, 1.0301, 0.9152, 0.744, 0.7532, 0.6821, 0.7045, 0.757, 0.8363, 0.8363, 0.8861, 0.894, 0.9007, 0.9338, 0.9338, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1980059480894431249", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-19T23:52:22+00:00", "symbol": "TE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Yeah I'll probably be buying a bit of $TE, it's been on my radar for awhile.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Plans to buy $TE; been watching it, linked to neocloud energy demand theme.", "resolved_tickers": ["TE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@mysticall3g3nd @t1energy Yeah I’ll probably be buying a bit of $TE, it’s been on my radar for awhile. \n\nEnergy isn’t really in my domain expertise though, so my commentary wouldn’t be as useful", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Neoclouds need energy right? I’m curious to see you would do a dive in on @t1energy 👀", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "FlachtFunds", "ret_m1d": -0.0924369823662422, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0924369823662422, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08214356341717821, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08214356341717821, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010293418949063993, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010293418949063993, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0588235706606518, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0588235706606518, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05880866617917602, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05880866617917602, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4904481475785936e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -1.4904481475785936e-05, "ret_p1w": -0.1953782059784157, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1953782059784157, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.21614389765425357, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.21614389765425357, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02076569167583786, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02076569167583786, "ret_p1m": -0.3571429000753723, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3571429000753723, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.34042903283608095, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.34042903283608095, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016713867239291358, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016713867239291358, "ret_p3m": 0.5567225821652493, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5567225821652493, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.522482324849892, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.522482324849892, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03424025731535729, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03424025731535729, "ret_p6m": 0.02100838231599389, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.02100838231599389, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.01938230529082907, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.01938230529082907, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04039068760682296, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04039068760682296, "price_path": [-0.6702, -0.6891, -0.7017, -0.7059, -0.7185, -0.729, -0.75, -0.7563, -0.7395, -0.7374, -0.7374, -0.7332, -0.7311, -0.7395, -0.7374, -0.7185, -0.7353, -0.6891, -0.6744, -0.6933, -0.7206, -0.6891, -0.666, -0.6597, -0.6618, -0.6681, -0.6555, -0.6534, -0.6534, -0.6029, -0.6155, -0.6113, -0.584, -0.584, -0.5924, -0.6071, -0.605, -0.6092, -0.6261, -0.6324, -0.6282, -0.6092, -0.5903, -0.5735, -0.6134, -0.5378, -0.5231, -0.5378, -0.5105, -0.542, -0.4979, -0.5042, -0.4685, -0.4118, -0.3992, -0.3845, -0.1954, -0.2353, -0.2647, -0.1576, 0.1008, -0.0147, -0.0924, 0.0, -0.0588, -0.1366, -0.2206, -0.271, -0.1954, -0.2227, -0.2437, -0.2353, -0.2185, -0.2815, -0.2269, -0.1408, -0.2269, -0.1996, -0.0546, -0.0735, -0.1912, -0.2668, -0.2941, -0.3319, -0.3571, -0.3929, -0.4286, -0.4286, -0.3403, -0.3088, -0.1933, -0.1933, -0.1345, -0.0609, -0.0042, -0.0504, 0.0735, 0.2248, 0.2647, 0.4139, 0.292, 0.2332, 0.1239, 0.063, 0.1429, 0.1387, 0.2647, 0.3508, 0.5336, 0.4937, 0.4811, 0.4811, 0.4286, 0.3487, 0.3655, 0.4034, 0.4034, 0.6471, 0.7227, 0.6071, 0.5294, 0.4307, 0.458, 0.5147, 0.6513, 0.6513, 0.5567, 0.7164, 0.7164, 0.7395, 0.6429, 0.7584, 0.7857, 0.7101, 0.916, 0.9937, 0.8655, 0.75, 0.8193, 0.9097, 0.6239, 0.5273, 0.7374, 0.605, 0.5777, 0.4391, 0.3046, 0.2857, 0.2857, 0.3529, 0.3571, 0.3256, 0.3046, 0.3214, 0.4895, 0.5168, 0.5315, 0.2941, 0.437, 0.3676, 0.4916, 0.4307, 0.4118, 0.5042, 0.6765, 0.7101, 0.6261, 0.6008, 0.6218, 0.6366, 0.5399, 0.6197, 0.3866, 0.437, 0.3887, 0.4034, 0.3193, 0.2101, 0.1807, -0.0777, -0.0588, -0.1197, -0.1197, -0.1492, -0.1744, -0.1239, -0.1218, -0.0147, 0.0735, 0.021]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2009278429724614950", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-08T14:58:02+00:00", "symbol": "AIRO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AIRO has a long way to go in my opinion, which is why I'm still holding. Trading at ~3 frwd p/s while other drone stocks are 30+. But even rerating to conservative aerospace companies like $AVAV would be 3x current prices.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AIRO; still holding, trading at ~3x fwd P/S vs 30x+ peers, rerating to AVAV multiples implies 3x upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["AIRO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AIRO has a long way to go in my opinion, which is why I’m still holding. Trading at ~3 frwd p/s while other drone stocks are 30+. Of course this is more nuanced since there’s blended revenue from other verticals. \n\nBut even rerating to conservative aerospace companies like $AVAV would be 3x current prices.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $AIRO baby. Still almost 80% to go to hit analyst ratings. Super under valued still. Europe is about to spend everything on defense. AIRO’s main manufacturing is in Denmark. War proven drone tech and training systems. Trash public relations. Money talks though.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ZumnerBo", "ret_m1d": -0.10125523493388089, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10125523493388089, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.10135677792579889, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09376318024913266, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0001015429919180022, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007492054684748228, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.045188282047866846, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.045188282047866846, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03857493965377423, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03420006892435645, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006613342394092614, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010988213123510393, "ret_p1w": 0.10460251212981975, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10460251212981975, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10064322305857942, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06957730216781255, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003959289071240324, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0350252099620072, "ret_p1m": -0.1933053977248922, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1933053977248922, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19491517368767775, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2745314682753366, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0016097759627855535, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0812260705504444, "ret_p3m": -0.2686192543415924, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2686192543415924, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.22730048781200873, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2971614386228465, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04131876652958366, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0285421842812541, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.5523, 0.6803, 0.6326, 0.5732, 0.4644, 0.5289, 0.5046, 0.431, 0.4435, 0.4628, 0.4502, 0.4075, 0.4059, 0.3682, 0.369, 0.3623, 0.1941, 0.1879, 0.0979, 0.1272, 0.1548, 0.1406, 0.1188, 0.0669, -0.1548, -0.1356, -0.1749, -0.2577, -0.3423, -0.3314, -0.3414, -0.3439, -0.3105, -0.3105, -0.2762, -0.3146, -0.3071, -0.2678, -0.1975, -0.2067, -0.1874, -0.1967, -0.1862, -0.1883, -0.2887, -0.3339, -0.3565, -0.3799, -0.3791, -0.328, -0.2385, -0.2301, -0.2176, -0.2176, -0.2686, -0.3054, -0.318, -0.3155, -0.3155, -0.2268, -0.1531, -0.0669, -0.1013, 0.0, 0.0452, 0.0444, 0.0778, 0.1071, 0.1046, 0.1188, 0.1188, 0.0653, 0.0184, 0.0485, 0.0201, -0.0418, -0.0209, -0.0502, -0.0862, -0.1389, -0.159, -0.1473, -0.2008, -0.2904, -0.1933, -0.1548, -0.2025, -0.2293, -0.2377, -0.2301, -0.2301, -0.2343, -0.2167, -0.1456, -0.2209, -0.1925, -0.1573, -0.1715, -0.149, -0.1799, -0.1046, -0.1582, -0.1565, -0.1431, -0.1565, -0.1172, -0.1021, -0.1213, -0.149, -0.1808, -0.1573, -0.1113, -0.1649, -0.1665, -0.2318, -0.1841, -0.205, -0.2117, -0.2418, -0.282, -0.2828, -0.3636, -0.3121, -0.2711, -0.2711, -0.2678, -0.2686, -0.2619, -0.3238, -0.3406, -0.3423, -0.3238, -0.3004, -0.2762, -0.3247, -0.2812, -0.2971, -0.272, -0.3096, -0.3364, -0.3121, -0.3339, -0.3724, -0.3607, -0.3791, -0.3941, -0.4017, -0.3782, -0.3958, -0.3858, -0.3364, -0.3448, -0.3448, -0.4464, -0.4669, -0.4971, -0.5105, -0.4996, -0.4762, -0.451, -0.451, -0.4142, -0.39, -0.2561, -0.2485, -0.2485, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1991179562986910050", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-19T16:19:36+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm probably one of the biggest $RKLB bulls and it's my highest conviction 5Y long alongside Bitcoin. I've maintained $350B-500B long term PT", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Highest-conviction 5Y long on RKLB with $350B-$500B long-term PT; notes near-term overvaluation at $60 but maintains bullish stance long enough.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’m probably one of the biggest $RKLB bulls and it’s my highest conviction 5Y long alongside Bitcoin. I’ve maintained $350B-500B long term PT to match SpaceX’s most recent valuation/capabilities since it’s likely not winner takes all in space.\n\nThat being said I’ve maintained recently it is kinda overvalued (back at $60) just due to lack of Neutron/flatlite commercialization which is likely 2028-2029, and we’re a tad early given current revenue numbers. But always a good buy if you just wait long enough. \n\nMarket prices in forward growth but it’s more about how long in the future with Rocketlab (eg. With Snapchat, Nebius, it’s not that far).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "What if I told you:\n\n&gt; There's an end to end space company that built its own launch vehicle with 100% mission success, and build their own satellite (best small sat in the business) \n\n&gt; 48% YoY revenue increase, Gross margin 40%, $1B backlog.\n\n&gt; The 2nd most successful", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DeepValueBagger", "ret_m1d": -0.019257225427712688, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019257225427712688, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015408892166480226, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01593171805908522, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0038483332612324617, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003325507368627467, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09491057980339002, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09491057980339002, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07966833434359044, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07814967136513462, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015242245459799575, "bench_c_p1d": -0.016760908438255395, "ret_p1w": -0.03874366501814952, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03874366501814952, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06447450141993805, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.055038998339908995, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.025730836401788526, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016295333321759475, "ret_p1m": 0.3736817890003612, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3736817890003612, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3527953893563758, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.34588004087251645, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02088639964398542, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02780174812784475, "ret_p3m": 0.5460798737459358, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5460798737459358, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5141850158835963, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.38368188105992784, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031894857862339476, "bench_c_p3m": 0.16239799268600796, "ret_p6m": 2.038743839924035, "ret_signed_p6m": 2.038743839924035, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.903223185713865, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.8708041859753268, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1355206542101699, "bench_c_p6m": 0.16793965394870813, "price_path": [0.0174, 0.0825, 0.1034, 0.0603, 0.0983, 0.1142, 0.1142, 0.1304, -0.0021, -0.0144, 0.0509, 0.0942, 0.0782, 0.0585, 0.1103, 0.2228, 0.2389, 0.0831, 0.1022, 0.0816, 0.0956, 0.1419, 0.213, 0.1162, 0.069, 0.0605, 0.0777, 0.0983, 0.0997, 0.2029, 0.2875, 0.3411, 0.4101, 0.4972, 0.5227, 0.4732, 0.4998, 0.5596, 0.588, 0.536, 0.5193, 0.544, 0.4993, 0.3885, 0.4574, 0.4801, 0.5044, 0.4615, 0.5167, 0.3966, 0.4438, 0.4062, 0.2969, 0.2934, 0.1373, 0.1839, 0.1898, 0.1747, 0.1456, 0.0374, 0.044, -0.0071, -0.0193, 0.0, -0.0949, -0.0761, -0.0268, -0.0234, -0.0387, -0.0387, -0.0339, -0.0745, -0.0394, 0.0252, 0.1318, 0.1246, 0.182, 0.2249, 0.3187, 0.4564, 0.4097, 0.2703, 0.2721, 0.237, 0.3737, 0.6167, 0.7779, 0.7694, 0.7694, 0.7694, 0.6197, 0.6075, 0.6151, 0.5993, 0.5993, 0.7421, 0.7914, 0.9723, 0.9276, 0.9046, 0.9452, 1.0151, 0.9849, 1.1045, 1.0807, 1.2077, 1.2077, 1.044, 1.0133, 1.017, 1.0381, 0.845, 0.9945, 1.0305, 0.9642, 0.8356, 0.6999, 0.8631, 0.6761, 0.5204, 0.658, 0.7387, 0.6513, 0.5961, 0.5133, 0.5461, 0.5461, 0.6022, 0.7061, 0.7556, 0.6245, 0.6096, 0.6041, 0.6094, 0.6655, 0.5841, 0.627, 0.6077, 0.6486, 0.6048, 0.6073, 0.6387, 0.5802, 0.6497, 0.5674, 0.5683, 0.6348, 0.8017, 0.5928, 0.649, 0.5413, 0.5589, 0.5147, 0.6708, 0.5117, 0.3968, 0.3155, 0.4723, 0.5021, 0.5527, 0.5527, 0.5514, 0.5204, 0.5837, 0.53, 0.5601, 0.619, 0.6557, 0.6873, 0.9012, 0.9441, 1.0509, 0.9862, 1.0642, 0.9395, 0.8267, 0.8865, 0.8017, 0.7657, 0.8916, 0.8067, 0.8411, 0.8056, 0.9406, 0.8015, 1.4179, 1.6903, 1.6951, 1.8462, 2.0387]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1975155632811507945", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-06T11:06:14+00:00", "symbol": "AMD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AMD is about to get a huge re-rating from forward earnings + narrative changes from the $10Bs+ deal with OpenAI", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long AMD on imminent re-rating: OpenAI deal adds 32–65%+ to forward revenue + narrative shift as credible AI inference alternative to NVDA.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AMD is about to get a huge re-rating from forward earnings + narrative changes from the $10Bs+ deal with OpenAI\n\nForward revenue: They're currently doing 7.69B/Q, if we assume 10B/Y, it's quite material how much this adds.\n\n  (32.5% - 65%+ increase in forward revenue based on tens of billions figure). So a 15-20%+ bump is justified.\n\nNarrative changes: AMD as a credible alternative to $NVDA for AI inference is starting to look real.   \n\nThe bigger question is whether OpenAI has the money to do this like with $ORCL, but that aside, forward revenue will spike, great material changes.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.19164502114890114, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.19164502114890114, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1880716073185521, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1880716073185521, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003573413830349037, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003573413830349037, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03828966440477655, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03828966440477655, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.041997156655738443, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.041997156655738443, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003707492250961897, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003707492250961897, "ret_p1w": 0.06239257295264178, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06239257295264178, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07515296339046496, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07515296339046496, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012760390437823177, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012760390437823177, "ret_p1m": 0.22748021604545032, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.22748021604545032, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.22207521970038968, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.22207521970038968, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404996345060642, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005404996345060642, "ret_p3m": 0.05129839774106104, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05129839774106104, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.03294692802404775, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03294692802404775, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01835146971701329, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01835146971701329, "ret_p6m": -0.0013745718367151882, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.0013745718367151882, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.02478187053542913, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.02478187053542913, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.026156442372144317, "bench_c_p6m": -0.026156442372144317, "price_path": [-0.3206, -0.2923, -0.2812, -0.2821, -0.2361, -0.2142, -0.2126, -0.2293, -0.2293, -0.2405, -0.2212, -0.2042, -0.1828, -0.1475, -0.129, -0.1188, -0.1345, -0.1571, -0.1322, -0.1443, -0.1993, -0.1537, -0.1519, -0.1543, -0.1412, -0.0947, -0.1117, -0.1286, -0.1353, -0.1824, -0.189, -0.1964, -0.1765, -0.1981, -0.1821, -0.1796, -0.1725, -0.2017, -0.2017, -0.2032, -0.2041, -0.2058, -0.2581, -0.2567, -0.2351, -0.2168, -0.2358, -0.2216, -0.2089, -0.2123, -0.2187, -0.2248, -0.2274, -0.2156, -0.2102, -0.2102, -0.2083, -0.2172, -0.2079, -0.2058, -0.1949, -0.1668, -0.1916, 0.0, 0.0383, 0.1563, 0.1432, 0.0549, 0.0624, 0.0706, 0.1713, 0.1514, 0.1442, 0.1809, 0.1685, 0.1302, 0.1536, 0.2416, 0.2747, 0.2666, 0.2976, 0.251, 0.2573, 0.2746, 0.2275, 0.2583, 0.1669, 0.1464, 0.1977, 0.166, 0.2709, 0.2172, 0.2116, 0.1807, 0.1305, 0.0974, 0.0113, 0.0003, 0.0557, 0.0119, 0.0517, 0.0517, 0.0678, 0.0788, 0.0566, 0.0682, 0.0602, 0.07, 0.0854, 0.0879, 0.0869, 0.087, 0.0347, 0.019, 0.0268, -0.0275, -0.013, 0.0477, 0.0552, 0.0549, 0.0556, 0.0556, 0.0554, 0.0584, 0.0571, 0.0513, 0.0513, 0.097, 0.0853, 0.0522, 0.031, 0.0048, -0.0027, 0.0195, 0.0847, 0.0976, 0.1188, 0.138, 0.138, 0.1385, 0.2263, 0.2455, 0.2748, 0.2337, 0.2372, 0.2407, 0.2379, 0.1621, 0.2089, 0.1885, -0.0173, -0.055, 0.0232, 0.0603, 0.0484, 0.0485, 0.0109, 0.0177, 0.0177, -0.0031, -0.0176, -0.0017, -0.0175, -0.0349, 0.0497, 0.0351, -0.0001, -0.0172, -0.025, -0.0626, -0.0081, -0.0209, -0.0554, -0.0051, -0.0024, 0.0055, -0.0293, -0.0507, -0.035, -0.0363, -0.0209, 0.0077, -0.0117, -0.0051, 0.0081, 0.0813, 0.0003, -0.0084, -0.0377, -0.0014]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1975155632811507945", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-06T11:06:14+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "AMD as a credible alternative to $NVDA for AI inference is starting to look real", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long AMD on imminent re-rating: OpenAI deal adds 32–65%+ to forward revenue + narrative shift as credible AI inference alternative to NVDA.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AMD is about to get a huge re-rating from forward earnings + narrative changes from the $10Bs+ deal with OpenAI\n\nForward revenue: They're currently doing 7.69B/Q, if we assume 10B/Y, it's quite material how much this adds.\n\n  (32.5% - 65%+ increase in forward revenue based on tens of billions figure). So a 15-20%+ bump is justified.\n\nNarrative changes: AMD as a credible alternative to $NVDA for AI inference is starting to look real.   \n\nThe bigger question is whether OpenAI has the money to do this like with $ORCL, but that aside, forward revenue will spike, great material changes.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.011210610374188246, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011210610374188246, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.014784024204537283, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.014784024204537283, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003573413830349037, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003573413830349037, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.002694803694029413, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.002694803694029413, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.001012688556932484, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.001012688556932484, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003707492250961897, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003707492250961897, "ret_p1w": 0.014983368445398382, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.014983368445398382, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02774375888322156, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02774375888322156, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012760390437823177, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012760390437823177, "ret_p1m": 0.07087422544133548, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07087422544133548, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06546922909627484, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06546922909627484, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404996345060642, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005404996345060642, "ret_p3m": 0.005230126727494788, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.005230126727494788, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.013121342989518503, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.013121342989518503, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01835146971701329, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01835146971701329, "ret_p6m": -0.05993775072555885, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.05993775072555885, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.03378130835341453, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.03378130835341453, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.026156442372144317, "bench_c_p6m": -0.026156442372144317, "price_path": [-0.1222, -0.1156, -0.1112, -0.1158, -0.08, -0.0764, -0.0676, -0.0708, -0.0764, -0.0998, -0.0796, -0.0637, -0.0649, -0.0474, -0.0541, -0.0338, -0.0414, -0.0638, -0.0299, -0.0393, -0.033, -0.0258, -0.0154, -0.0188, -0.0129, -0.0213, -0.019, -0.0275, -0.0191, -0.0534, -0.0547, -0.057, -0.0407, -0.0309, -0.0204, -0.0213, -0.029, -0.0613, -0.0613, -0.0796, -0.0805, -0.0749, -0.0999, -0.0929, -0.0797, -0.0443, -0.0451, -0.0416, -0.042, -0.0575, -0.0822, -0.0501, -0.0478, -0.0104, -0.0383, -0.0462, -0.0423, -0.0396, -0.0199, 0.0056, 0.0092, 0.0181, 0.0112, 0.0, -0.0027, 0.0192, 0.0379, -0.0128, 0.015, -0.0297, -0.0308, -0.0201, -0.0125, -0.0156, -0.0236, -0.0283, -0.0182, 0.0039, 0.0321, 0.0835, 0.1159, 0.0935, 0.0914, 0.115, 0.0709, 0.0521, 0.0137, 0.0141, 0.0728, 0.0411, 0.0445, 0.0071, 0.025, 0.0057, -0.0225, 0.0053, -0.0264, -0.0359, -0.0161, -0.0416, -0.0285, -0.0285, -0.046, -0.0303, -0.022, -0.0321, -0.0116, -0.0168, 0.0001, -0.003, -0.0094, -0.0248, -0.0566, -0.0498, -0.0421, -0.0786, -0.0614, -0.0245, -0.0099, 0.0198, 0.0166, 0.0166, 0.027, 0.0145, 0.0108, 0.0052, 0.0052, 0.0179, 0.014, 0.0092, 0.0193, -0.0026, -0.0036, -0.0032, 0.0015, -0.0129, 0.0082, 0.0038, 0.0038, -0.0402, -0.0119, -0.0037, 0.0115, 0.0051, 0.0161, 0.0323, 0.0376, 0.0302, 0.0004, -0.028, -0.0611, -0.0736, -0.0006, 0.0243, 0.0162, 0.0244, 0.0076, -0.0147, -0.0147, -0.003, 0.0132, 0.0128, 0.0231, 0.0324, 0.0395, 0.0541, -0.0034, -0.045, -0.0164, -0.0295, -0.0134, -0.0118, -0.0416, -0.0155, -0.0041, 0.0028, -0.0128, -0.0284, -0.0124, -0.0193, -0.0276, -0.0375, -0.0691, -0.0533, -0.0556, -0.0369, -0.077, -0.097, -0.1097, -0.0599]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2002662735948226807", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-21T08:49:38+00:00", "symbol": "CRCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "USDC is here to stay (mainly for United States)... Just from the venture capital friends I've talked to everyone seems to be funneling money into USDC-powered fintechs", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Circle (CRCL) on USDC network-effect moat and VC capital flows into USDC-powered fintechs; uses RDDT as a network-effect analogy implying durability.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Not at all. This is the network effect in play, which is an incredible moat. \n\nThat’s what makes Reddit, $RDDT where anyone can create a similar platform in a day, but because everyone agrees to use it, that’s where the value comes from.\n\nObviously $CRCL is a tad more regulated, but from what I’ve seen, there’s that same network effect with $USDC where it’s the agreed upon currency to issue/settle with.\n\nI run a financial institution that does minting/settlement with stablecoins.\n\nIt’s a nightmare to deal with any other coin (like Tether for regulatory reasons) or other minted stablecoins for lack of liquidity/agreed upon settlement asset or trading pairs.\n\nUSDC is here to stay (mainly for United States), Tether seems to be the asset of choice for international for different reasons. \n\nJust from the venture capital friends I’ve talked to everyone seems to be funneling money into USDC-powered fintechs, like Stablecoin Banks, and we’ll start the utility start to expand.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Completely agree on $NBIS and $RKLB, balls deep in it.\nRegarding $CRCL, had a position earlier that I sold for higher convictions. I like the company but are you not worried by every company launching its stablecoins ?SoFi, JPM etc. Tether was alone back then...", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "B38B37", "ret_m1d": -0.010000031569908363, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010000031569908363, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.003808710554574213, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0021294617922437142, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012129493362152077, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.049080421184671374, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.049080421184671374, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05365087600310425, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.051068826359376596, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001988405174705221, "ret_p1w": -0.07459767659505212, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07459767659505212, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07900744787033964, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07459767659505212, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0, "ret_p1m": -0.16436785116963004, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16436785116963004, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15378123648411934, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1260453753501216, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03832247581950843, "ret_p3m": 0.4750574923109734, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4750574923109734, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5116067426212588, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5894826274491245, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "bench_c_p3m": -0.11442513513815111, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.5124, 0.4329, 0.4597, 0.5363, 0.5239, 0.4831, 0.7209, 0.6756, 0.707, 0.7094, 0.7294, 0.7297, 0.528, 0.5801, 0.5455, 0.5457, 0.4766, 0.4539, 0.5036, 0.4925, 0.4344, 0.4926, 0.6328, 0.647, 0.5645, 0.5143, 0.4105, 0.4595, 0.3547, 0.2787, 0.2992, 0.1495, 0.1855, 0.1966, 0.1299, -0.008, -0.0536, -0.0587, -0.1197, -0.1195, -0.1986, -0.2307, -0.1801, -0.1639, -0.1941, -0.1651, -0.1651, -0.0813, -0.1271, -0.1099, -0.0082, 0.0053, -0.0159, -0.0349, 0.0216, 0.0162, 0.018, -0.0406, -0.1326, -0.046, -0.0897, -0.0691, -0.01, 0.0, -0.0491, -0.0501, -0.0501, -0.0659, -0.0746, -0.0817, -0.0885, -0.0885, -0.0406, -0.0253, -0.0247, -0.0737, -0.0599, -0.0471, -0.0471, -0.0407, -0.0253, -0.1195, -0.0964, -0.0964, -0.1644, -0.1651, -0.1799, -0.1801, -0.1851, -0.1959, -0.1628, -0.2236, -0.2652, -0.3234, -0.3545, -0.3672, -0.4226, -0.3444, -0.3092, -0.3132, -0.3349, -0.3491, -0.3099, -0.3099, -0.2917, -0.2741, -0.2883, -0.2756, -0.2969, -0.2946, -0.0444, 0.0024, -0.0409, 0.1051, 0.1452, 0.21, 0.2154, 0.1714, 0.2855, 0.3574, 0.2967, 0.3124, 0.3262, 0.4463, 0.5208, 0.5269, 0.4751, 0.4486, 0.4556, 0.1629, 0.1938, 0.1295, 0.0766, 0.0334, 0.0967, 0.043, 0.0375, 0.0375, 0.0592, 0.0818, 0.0855, -0.0218, 0.012, 0.1343, 0.2125, 0.2129, 0.2352, 0.2174, 0.2225, 0.1037, 0.1995, 0.1495, 0.1455, 0.097, 0.0845, 0.0984, 0.0446, 0.146, 0.3739, 0.3125, 0.4, 0.3017, 0.3066, 0.5145, 0.4213, 0.4548, 0.4239, 0.3103, 0.2803, 0.2762, 0.283, 0.3205, 0.3002, 0.3002, 0.1974, 0.1798, 0.2441, 0.2989, 0.2989, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2002662735948226807", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-21T08:49:38+00:00", "symbol": "RDDT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "That's what makes Reddit, $RDDT where anyone can create a similar platform in a day, but because everyone agrees to use it, that's where the value comes from", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Circle (CRCL) on USDC network-effect moat and VC capital flows into USDC-powered fintechs; uses RDDT as a network-effect analogy implying durability.", "resolved_tickers": ["RDDT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Not at all. This is the network effect in play, which is an incredible moat. \n\nThat’s what makes Reddit, $RDDT where anyone can create a similar platform in a day, but because everyone agrees to use it, that’s where the value comes from.\n\nObviously $CRCL is a tad more regulated, but from what I’ve seen, there’s that same network effect with $USDC where it’s the agreed upon currency to issue/settle with.\n\nI run a financial institution that does minting/settlement with stablecoins.\n\nIt’s a nightmare to deal with any other coin (like Tether for regulatory reasons) or other minted stablecoins for lack of liquidity/agreed upon settlement asset or trading pairs.\n\nUSDC is here to stay (mainly for United States), Tether seems to be the asset of choice for international for different reasons. \n\nJust from the venture capital friends I’ve talked to everyone seems to be funneling money into USDC-powered fintechs, like Stablecoin Banks, and we’ll start the utility start to expand.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Completely agree on $NBIS and $RKLB, balls deep in it.\nRegarding $CRCL, had a position earlier that I sold for higher convictions. I like the company but are you not worried by every company launching its stablecoins ?SoFi, JPM etc. Tether was alone back then...", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "B38B37", "ret_m1d": 0.00017160002560245857, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00017160002560245857, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006362921040936609, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004594774602534213, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004423174576931754, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03143893100644923, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03143893100644923, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03600938582488211, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.037696418432821566, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006257487426372332, "ret_p1w": 0.0064336265891817845, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0064336265891817845, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0020238553138942628, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.004109785066075844, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010543411655257628, "ret_p1m": -0.03341193862347458, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03341193862347458, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02282532393796388, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.006067496672105266, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "bench_c_p1m": -0.027344441951369314, "ret_p3m": -0.4075916846109333, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4075916846109333, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.37104243430064787, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.37741852085919636, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "bench_c_p3m": -0.030173163751736953, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0109, -0.0017, 0.0299, 0.0379, -0.0136, -0.131, -0.1382, -0.1113, -0.1266, -0.1168, -0.1324, -0.092, -0.1484, -0.1264, -0.1578, -0.1389, -0.1466, -0.1638, -0.1315, -0.1177, -0.1548, -0.1387, -0.0813, -0.0597, -0.0866, -0.096, -0.1661, -0.1038, -0.1208, -0.1946, -0.1582, -0.2124, -0.1654, -0.1242, -0.107, -0.1301, -0.1876, -0.1709, -0.1956, -0.2036, -0.1946, -0.2199, -0.213, -0.1636, -0.0629, -0.1098, -0.1098, -0.0715, -0.0418, -0.0446, -0.0528, -0.0446, 0.0041, 0.0163, 0.0127, 0.0213, 0.0017, -0.0359, -0.0628, -0.0392, -0.0249, -0.0078, 0.0002, 0.0, -0.0314, -0.0313, -0.0313, -0.0317, 0.0064, 0.0009, -0.0141, -0.0141, 0.0375, 0.0468, 0.0886, 0.0959, 0.0892, 0.0489, 0.0466, 0.1106, 0.0825, -0.0189, -0.0092, -0.0092, -0.0334, -0.0987, -0.0798, -0.0612, -0.0837, -0.1581, -0.1716, -0.1849, -0.2268, -0.2402, -0.2905, -0.3451, -0.3521, -0.4003, -0.3921, -0.3567, -0.4026, -0.4378, -0.401, -0.401, -0.4028, -0.3675, -0.3732, -0.3559, -0.389, -0.3906, -0.3581, -0.3513, -0.3746, -0.369, -0.3751, -0.3683, -0.3809, -0.4021, -0.4044, -0.4247, -0.4119, -0.4328, -0.4323, -0.3995, -0.381, -0.3876, -0.4076, -0.4002, -0.3954, -0.4162, -0.4011, -0.4542, -0.4774, -0.4676, -0.4225, -0.4159, -0.4167, -0.4167, -0.4066, -0.3946, -0.3781, -0.4065, -0.4007, -0.3594, -0.3372, -0.3203, -0.3032, -0.2974, -0.2868, -0.3274, -0.2953, -0.3439, -0.3357, -0.3128, -0.3655, -0.3663, -0.3685, -0.286, -0.2748, -0.2639, -0.2856, -0.2968, -0.3318, -0.3158, -0.3466, -0.339, -0.3296, -0.3216, -0.3176, -0.3357, -0.3707, -0.3565, -0.3924, -0.3924, -0.3796, -0.3387, -0.2808, -0.2451, -0.2451, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2011081576793469416", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-13T14:23:06+00:00", "symbol": "OSS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$OSS is great! They're already everywhere across US army deployments from Abrams/Bradley Tanks to US Navy Warships for Aegis, and tactical drones. With both high margins, incredibly sticky tech, and demand outstripping supply. Excited to see where it heads over the next year", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish OSS on high margins, sticky defense tech, and demand outstripping supply across army/navy/drone deployments.", "resolved_tickers": ["OSS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@B38B37 $OSS is great!\n\nThey’re already everywhere across US army deployments from Abrams/Bradley Tanks to US Navy Warships for Aegis, and tactical drones. With both high margins, incredibly sticky tech, and demand outstripping supply. \n\nExcited to see where it heads over the next year", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Only in $OSS for war stocks, added to my position now roughly 10% of my portfolio. Love this one, thanks boss !", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "B38B37", "ret_m1d": -0.07522127142676172, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07522127142676172, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07722475244304916, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07722475244304916, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002003481016287445, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002003481016287445, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03451321974031529, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03451321974031529, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.039428457081933876, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.039428457081933876, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0049152373416185835, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0049152373416185835, "ret_p1w": -0.04601773884836147, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04601773884836147, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.022681432624787723, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.022681432624787723, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023336306223573744, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023336306223573744, "ret_p1m": -0.163716845154267, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.163716845154267, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1611079354816113, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1611079354816113, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026089096726557015, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0026089096726557015, "ret_p3m": -0.30973450804626823, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.30973450804626823, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.29178275002718346, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.29178275002718346, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.017951758019084774, "bench_c_p3m": -0.017951758019084774, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5035, -0.5416, -0.5283, -0.5319, -0.5584, -0.5451, -0.5381, -0.5336, -0.5522, -0.5478, -0.5611, -0.5575, -0.546, -0.5823, -0.4903, -0.5274, -0.5407, -0.5195, -0.5035, -0.5097, -0.5434, -0.5478, -0.5814, -0.5788, -0.6, -0.6159, -0.6053, -0.5894, -0.592, -0.4735, -0.4735, -0.4611, -0.4761, -0.4628, -0.454, -0.4195, -0.3823, -0.3478, -0.3301, -0.3159, -0.3062, -0.3301, -0.3938, -0.3823, -0.4, -0.3655, -0.3496, -0.3575, -0.3442, -0.3602, -0.3602, -0.3637, -0.3699, -0.3673, -0.3646, -0.3646, -0.3982, -0.3894, -0.4301, -0.3035, -0.2221, -0.2858, -0.0752, 0.0, 0.0345, -0.0398, -0.0566, -0.0566, -0.046, 0.0327, 0.0035, -0.0619, -0.1044, -0.0699, -0.0832, -0.0602, -0.1248, -0.1549, -0.1558, -0.2071, -0.2876, -0.1823, -0.146, -0.1575, -0.1637, -0.2434, -0.2301, -0.2301, -0.2673, -0.2611, -0.0673, -0.1398, -0.1973, -0.1858, -0.1991, -0.192, -0.2695, -0.2367, -0.2664, -0.2575, -0.2496, -0.2558, -0.2124, -0.1655, -0.123, -0.1018, -0.108, -0.0965, -0.054, -0.0053, -0.0912, -0.2195, -0.185, -0.2, -0.1965, -0.2442, -0.3217, -0.3619, -0.3301, -0.3575, -0.3239, -0.3239, -0.3168, -0.3257, -0.2947, -0.3071, -0.3097, -0.2159, -0.2248, -0.1301, -0.1363, -0.1221, -0.1044, -0.1212, -0.0796, -0.1345, -0.1407, -0.1195, -0.1796, -0.2221, -0.1602, -0.1124, -0.1363, -0.1354, 0.3566, 0.3363, 0.3876, 0.4088, 0.3761, 0.4035, 0.5257, 0.4575, 0.415, 0.3637, 0.3885, 0.4611, 0.5779, 0.5779, 0.5434, 0.554, 0.585, 0.6088, 0.6088, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2011879749610815814", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-15T19:14:45+00:00", "symbol": "SSYS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SSYS happened to be at the bottom of them all as the skeleton/frame of all the humanoids", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long SSYS as common supply-chain beneficiary across Boston Dynamics, Tesla Optimus, and Meta humanoid robots, providing structural frames/limbs.", "resolved_tickers": ["SSYS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yeah I was going down the supply chains of Boston Dynamics, Tesla Optimus, Meta Humanoids, and others.\n\nAnd $SSYS happened to be at the bottom of them all as the skeleton/frame of all the humanoids. \n\nEG. Atlas abandoned metal frames for Stratasys Nylon 12CF (carbon fiber) for the limbs", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Have been looking into companies for Boston dynamics exposure ever since the new Atlas demo at CES. Could only really find Hyundai as it holds 80% of the company, will check this one out now (fully expecting it to double by next week now…) 😂", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "bennybigbull", "ret_m1d": -0.12822717605788292, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.12822717605788292, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12551135741777264, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12300232063521799, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002715818640110279, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005224855422664931, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.037005190138613475, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.037005190138613475, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.036167316147718065, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.038105071254404654, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0008378739908954103, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0010998811157911792, "ret_p1w": -0.010327012628305932, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.010327012628305932, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.005617695755979812, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.006339628491570326, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004709316872326119, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0039873841367356055, "ret_p1m": -0.0559380055879406, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0559380055879406, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04078430694496582, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.015376948584543193, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.015153698642974778, "bench_c_p1m": -0.040561057003397405, "ret_p3m": -0.27280551699776756, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.27280551699776756, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2787523269850628, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2911193988271371, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.005946809987295243, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01831388182936955, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0706, 0.0628, -0.0275, 0.0138, 0.0318, 0.025, -0.0077, -0.0448, -0.0723, -0.0861, -0.0886, -0.1506, -0.1523, -0.1859, -0.1824, -0.1738, -0.1807, -0.179, -0.1971, -0.2298, -0.2659, -0.2685, -0.278, -0.2943, -0.2651, -0.2616, -0.2651, -0.2565, -0.2565, -0.2435, -0.2573, -0.247, -0.2272, -0.2108, -0.2212, -0.216, -0.21, -0.2005, -0.1876, -0.1928, -0.2169, -0.2194, -0.2246, -0.2194, -0.2298, -0.204, -0.2134, -0.2186, -0.2186, -0.2298, -0.2418, -0.2496, -0.253, -0.253, -0.2246, -0.1618, -0.111, -0.1325, -0.1041, -0.1119, -0.1033, -0.1403, -0.1282, 0.0, -0.037, -0.037, -0.062, -0.0422, -0.0103, -0.0482, -0.0577, -0.0361, -0.0491, -0.0327, -0.0792, -0.043, -0.0585, -0.0895, -0.1205, -0.0318, -0.0224, -0.0327, -0.0293, -0.0577, -0.0559, -0.0559, -0.0818, -0.0723, -0.074, -0.1007, -0.1282, -0.1429, -0.1523, -0.1489, -0.1713, -0.1678, -0.1876, -0.1566, -0.2169, -0.2461, -0.2608, -0.2866, -0.2857, -0.2952, -0.3227, -0.3107, -0.3055, -0.3287, -0.3313, -0.346, -0.3279, -0.3081, -0.3046, -0.3193, -0.3425, -0.3614, -0.3279, -0.3184, -0.3141, -0.3141, -0.309, -0.309, -0.2866, -0.2831, -0.2814, -0.2651, -0.2728, -0.2668, -0.2573, -0.2435, -0.241, -0.2539, -0.2478, -0.2702, -0.2582, -0.259, -0.2625, -0.2711, -0.2367, -0.2332, -0.2478, -0.2289, -0.204, -0.2943, -0.2668, -0.2651, -0.2608, -0.2633, -0.2453, -0.2633, -0.2917, -0.3038, -0.2806, -0.2659, -0.2238, -0.2238, -0.1687, -0.1472, -0.1377, -0.0929, -0.0929, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1966171568968708422", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-11T16:06:46+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$HIMS - 42% SI, new product/rate cut catalyst + 1.2M EU customers. Short squeeze inevitable, just a matter of time.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "5 longs for next month: HIMS (short squeeze), LTC (ETF launch), NBIS ($100+ on MSFT deal), CRDO (catch-up to ALAB), HOOD (S&P inclusion flows).", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If I had to buy 5 things for the next month by potential:\n\n1. $HIMS - 42% SI, new product/rate cut catalyst + 1.2M EU customers. Short squeeze inevitable, just a matter of time. \n\n2. $LTC - Frontrun institutions for the ETF launch October 2nd. \n\n3. $NBIS - Should easily be $100+ just based off of MSFT deal. Sorry $IREN holders. \n\n4. $CRDO - Just to catchup $ALAB MC. \n\n5. $HOOD - S&P inclusion flows will add a ton to the market cap given S&P is weighted by MC and hood is $100B+.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.07689334759078936, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07689334759078936, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06865166700453629, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06865166700453629, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008241680586253075, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008241680586253075, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07225660354998276, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07225660354998276, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0725912164931296, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0725912164931296, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0003346129431468503, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0003346129431468503, "ret_p1w": 0.08578057545181794, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08578057545181794, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07874013193195561, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07874013193195561, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007040443519862327, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007040443519862327, "ret_p1m": 0.042310713145737644, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.042310713145737644, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04656773856677432, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04656773856677432, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.004257025421036675, "bench_c_p1m": -0.004257025421036675, "ret_p3m": -0.2306800427723682, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2306800427723682, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.27219834876790217, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.27219834876790217, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.041518305995533966, "bench_c_p3m": 0.041518305995533966, "ret_p6m": -0.6959041676674473, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.6959041676674473, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.724197353375478, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.724197353375478, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.028293185708030633, "bench_c_p6m": 0.028293185708030633, "price_path": [0.1549, 0.1445, 0.1799, 0.1799, 0.2407, -0.1889, -0.1702, -0.2, -0.1059, -0.0454, -0.0369, -0.0734, -0.0831, -0.073, -0.073, -0.0645, -0.0541, -0.01, -0.0288, -0.0748, 0.0052, -0.0251, 0.0017, -0.0342, -0.0267, -0.0804, -0.0338, 0.1209, 0.1074, 0.1138, 0.1337, 0.1644, 0.266, 0.2786, 0.2085, 0.2239, 0.0726, -0.0122, -0.0137, 0.0035, -0.0344, -0.0734, -0.0663, -0.0895, -0.1109, -0.1287, -0.1851, -0.1619, -0.1507, -0.1389, -0.1694, -0.1238, -0.1497, -0.1476, -0.1818, -0.1818, -0.1976, -0.141, -0.0705, -0.0647, -0.041, -0.0767, -0.0769, 0.0, 0.0723, 0.0425, -0.0168, -0.0272, 0.0858, 0.1171, 0.1148, 0.0819, 0.0288, 0.0601, 0.1283, 0.1422, 0.0958, 0.0879, 0.118, 0.0151, 0.058, 0.12, 0.1238, 0.1254, 0.0423, 0.0574, 0.0437, 0.2125, 0.1428, -0.0383, -0.0077, -0.0464, -0.0831, -0.0632, -0.0576, -0.0682, -0.0896, -0.0991, -0.1488, -0.1217, -0.1424, -0.1733, -0.1551, -0.1978, -0.2073, -0.2069, -0.232, -0.2461, -0.3035, -0.2855, -0.3126, -0.2995, -0.3078, -0.3505, -0.3294, -0.2701, -0.2834, -0.2581, -0.2581, -0.2318, -0.2753, -0.2985, -0.2838, -0.2268, -0.2427, -0.2442, -0.2307, -0.2682, -0.2703, -0.2811, -0.2997, -0.2879, -0.3244, -0.3282, -0.313, -0.3228, -0.3277, -0.3302, -0.3302, -0.3371, -0.3412, -0.3617, -0.3727, -0.3727, -0.3545, -0.3294, -0.3149, -0.3149, -0.3456, -0.3878, -0.3752, -0.3779, -0.3949, -0.3966, -0.3937, -0.3937, -0.4113, -0.4418, -0.4104, -0.4277, -0.415, -0.4266, -0.4461, -0.4229, -0.4766, -0.4892, -0.5066, -0.5286, -0.5464, -0.5553, -0.6265, -0.6669, -0.6776, -0.6947, -0.6851, -0.6851, -0.6857, -0.694, -0.6944, -0.698, -0.7003, -0.7013, -0.6944, -0.6986, -0.7195, -0.6816, -0.6944, -0.6822, -0.6932, -0.6959]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1966171568968708422", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-11T16:06:46+00:00", "symbol": "LTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LTC - Frontrun institutions for the ETF launch October 2nd.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "5 longs for next month: HIMS (short squeeze), LTC (ETF launch), NBIS ($100+ on MSFT deal), CRDO (catch-up to ALAB), HOOD (S&P inclusion flows).", "resolved_tickers": ["LTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If I had to buy 5 things for the next month by potential:\n\n1. $HIMS - 42% SI, new product/rate cut catalyst + 1.2M EU customers. Short squeeze inevitable, just a matter of time. \n\n2. $LTC - Frontrun institutions for the ETF launch October 2nd. \n\n3. $NBIS - Should easily be $100+ just based off of MSFT deal. Sorry $IREN holders. \n\n4. $CRDO - Just to catchup $ALAB MC. \n\n5. $HOOD - S&P inclusion flows will add a ton to the market cap given S&P is weighted by MC and hood is $100B+.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01471106298117042, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01471106298117042, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.022952743567423495, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008241680586253075, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.019761085151935198, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.019761085151935198, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02009569809508205, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0003346129431468503, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": 0.020694798976944595, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.020694798976944595, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.013654355457082268, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007040443519862327, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.16603637691116668, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16603637691116668, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16177935149013, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.004257025421036675, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.25687685499898394, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.25687685499898394, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2983951609945179, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.041518305995533966, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.5355734761006794, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5355734761006794, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.56386666180871, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.028293185708030633, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2505, -0.272, -0.2658, -0.2653, -0.2845, -0.2653, -0.2681, -0.2693, -0.2726, -0.2678, -0.2579, -0.2815, -0.2465, -0.2318, -0.2503, -0.257, -0.2432, -0.2172, -0.1818, -0.1866, -0.1752, -0.1687, -0.1585, -0.123, -0.1225, -0.0001, 0.0333, -0.0317, -0.0307, -0.0177, -0.0628, -0.0633, -0.046, -0.0832, -0.0796, 0.0461, 0.038, 0.0296, 0.0592, 0.0691, 0.0382, 0.126, 0.1304, 0.0469, 0.0275, 0.0159, -0.0292, 0.0014, -0.0106, 0.0598, -0.0554, -0.0204, -0.0322, -0.0182, -0.0514, -0.0632, -0.0362, -0.0251, -0.0412, -0.0325, -0.0272, -0.0339, 0.0147, 0.0, 0.0198, -0.018, -0.0072, 0.0101, 0.0207, -0.015, -0.0867, -0.0838, -0.0885, -0.1182, -0.0968, -0.0779, -0.0774, -0.0064, 0.0326, 0.0402, 0.0213, 0.0104, 0.0239, 0.0869, -0.166, -0.1406, -0.1597, -0.1766, -0.2078, -0.2222, -0.1877, -0.2, -0.2067, -0.1883, -0.1679, -0.1423, -0.1652, -0.1494, -0.194, -0.1758, -0.2457, -0.2622, -0.2271, -0.2491, -0.1215, -0.1007, -0.1398, -0.1581, -0.1646, -0.1584, -0.2125, -0.1744, -0.1984, -0.2468, -0.2871, -0.2623, -0.264, -0.2502, -0.2523, -0.2723, -0.3304, -0.2853, -0.2578, -0.2788, -0.3053, -0.2758, -0.2569, -0.2706, -0.2841, -0.2929, -0.3303, -0.3177, -0.3447, -0.3589, -0.3311, -0.3355, -0.336, -0.3463, -0.3468, -0.3369, -0.3244, -0.3202, -0.3374, -0.3109, -0.2938, -0.2787, -0.2755, -0.2955, -0.2988, -0.2977, -0.3436, -0.3257, -0.3377, -0.3775, -0.3504, -0.3896, -0.4212, -0.4095, -0.412, -0.4128, -0.3981, -0.3962, -0.4012, -0.4295, -0.436, -0.4822, -0.4885, -0.4926, -0.5625, -0.5248, -0.5305, -0.5398, -0.5492, -0.5417, -0.5246, -0.5249, -0.5348, -0.5401, -0.5455, -0.5235, -0.5576, -0.5584, -0.5108, -0.52, -0.5294, -0.5293, -0.5272, -0.5098, -0.5212, -0.5356]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1966171568968708422", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-09-11T16:06:46+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS - Should easily be $100+ just based off of MSFT deal.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "5 longs for next month: HIMS (short squeeze), LTC (ETF launch), NBIS ($100+ on MSFT deal), CRDO (catch-up to ALAB), HOOD (S&P inclusion flows).", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If I had to buy 5 things for the next month by potential:\n\n1. $HIMS - 42% SI, new product/rate cut catalyst + 1.2M EU customers. Short squeeze inevitable, just a matter of time. \n\n2. $LTC - Frontrun institutions for the ETF launch October 2nd. \n\n3. $NBIS - Should easily be $100+ just based off of MSFT deal. Sorry $IREN holders. \n\n4. $CRDO - Just to catchup $ALAB MC. \n\n5. $HOOD - S&P inclusion flows will add a ton to the market cap given S&P is weighted by MC and hood is $100B+.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04709044549024877, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04709044549024877, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05533212607650184, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.062213236357662294, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008241680586253075, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015122790867413527, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01367867683942059, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01367867683942059, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01401328978256744, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005343871479318807, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0003346129431468503, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008334805360101782, "ret_p1w": 0.05527525698202074, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05527525698202074, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04823481346215841, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.033450153889387435, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007040443519862327, "bench_c_p1w": 0.021825103092633302, "ret_p1m": 0.4528534396686761, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4528534396686761, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.45711046508971276, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4802343955176718, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.004257025421036675, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02738095584899569, "ret_p3m": 0.08095079070601363, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08095079070601363, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.039432484710479665, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07737694364725556, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.041518305995533966, "bench_c_p3m": 0.003573847058758073, "ret_p6m": 0.001569675813613891, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.001569675813613891, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.02672350989441674, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.01450909381741905, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.028293185708030633, "bench_c_p6m": 0.01607876963103294, "price_path": [-0.4342, -0.4581, -0.4582, -0.4582, -0.4622, -0.4677, -0.428, -0.456, -0.4102, -0.4188, -0.3796, -0.4359, -0.4397, -0.4366, -0.4366, -0.4636, -0.4719, -0.4837, -0.4794, -0.5033, -0.4175, -0.3998, -0.4023, -0.398, -0.4081, -0.4128, -0.4281, -0.4183, -0.4152, -0.424, -0.4086, -0.4349, -0.4249, -0.3897, -0.417, -0.3926, -0.3814, -0.3823, -0.2677, -0.2288, -0.2125, -0.1554, -0.2081, -0.2324, -0.197, -0.1867, -0.2467, -0.2435, -0.258, -0.2266, -0.2149, -0.2098, -0.214, -0.1923, -0.234, -0.234, -0.2631, -0.2639, -0.2722, -0.2659, -0.2818, 0.0732, 0.0471, 0.0, 0.0137, 0.0198, 0.0027, 0.0548, 0.0553, 0.1135, 0.1952, 0.2087, 0.2695, 0.2102, 0.2075, 0.2358, 0.2588, 0.2962, 0.4113, 0.4349, 0.4008, 0.3197, 0.3679, 0.4872, 0.4529, 0.5188, 0.4368, 0.4108, 0.3795, 0.2719, 0.2221, 0.1692, 0.1057, 0.1903, 0.3147, 0.4063, 0.366, 0.4026, 0.3923, 0.4668, 0.3507, 0.2394, 0.3118, 0.227, 0.2477, 0.2328, 0.1461, 0.058, -0.0063, -0.0633, -0.036, 0.0151, 0.0659, -0.051, -0.0665, 0.0304, -0.0035, 0.0617, 0.0617, 0.0637, 0.1229, 0.0814, 0.1091, 0.1526, 0.0992, 0.1249, 0.081, 0.0493, 0.0571, -0.0168, -0.0903, -0.0924, -0.1541, -0.1245, 0.003, 0.0453, 0.0094, 0.0218, 0.0218, -0.0179, -0.0353, -0.0451, -0.0615, -0.0615, 0.0085, 0.0408, 0.1239, 0.0787, 0.0909, 0.098, 0.2034, 0.1821, 0.1434, 0.1648, 0.2191, 0.2191, 0.1132, 0.1085, 0.0859, 0.0595, 0.0255, 0.0973, 0.126, 0.0641, -0.0448, -0.0115, 0.0085, -0.0762, -0.1718, -0.0346, 0.0414, 0.0292, -0.0065, 0.0061, 0.0989, 0.0989, 0.0934, 0.1414, 0.2065, 0.0979, 0.128, 0.1501, 0.1898, 0.1759, 0.0224, 0.0204, -0.0268, 0.0963, 0.0724, 0.0016]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1966171568968708422", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-09-11T16:06:46+00:00", "symbol": "CRDO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$CRDO - Just to catchup $ALAB MC.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "5 longs for next month: HIMS (short squeeze), LTC (ETF launch), NBIS ($100+ on MSFT deal), CRDO (catch-up to ALAB), HOOD (S&P inclusion flows).", "resolved_tickers": ["CRDO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If I had to buy 5 things for the next month by potential:\n\n1. $HIMS - 42% SI, new product/rate cut catalyst + 1.2M EU customers. Short squeeze inevitable, just a matter of time. \n\n2. $LTC - Frontrun institutions for the ETF launch October 2nd. \n\n3. $NBIS - Should easily be $100+ just based off of MSFT deal. Sorry $IREN holders. \n\n4. $CRDO - Just to catchup $ALAB MC. \n\n5. $HOOD - S&P inclusion flows will add a ton to the market cap given S&P is weighted by MC and hood is $100B+.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02912377087835538, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02912377087835538, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03736545146460846, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03932351836747361, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008241680586253075, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010199747489118227, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0167587123160986, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0167587123160986, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01709332525924545, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01547540910713563, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0003346129431468503, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0012833032089629715, "ret_p1w": 0.08153395453930767, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08153395453930767, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07449351101944535, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03862926354786245, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007040443519862327, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04290469099144523, "ret_p1m": -0.12860911719308787, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12860911719308787, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1243520917720512, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.19905300553835592, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.004257025421036675, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07044388834526805, "ret_p3m": 0.06885504304296175, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06885504304296175, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.027336737047427784, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.14524034201095248, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.041518305995533966, "bench_c_p3m": 0.21409538505391423, "ret_p6m": -0.3106327091264257, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3106327091264257, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.33892589483445634, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5666593038504893, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.028293185708030633, "bench_c_p6m": 0.25602659472406364, "price_path": [-0.5031, -0.4997, -0.4628, -0.4628, -0.4633, -0.4692, -0.423, -0.4213, -0.4034, -0.4132, -0.4188, -0.4502, -0.4391, -0.4124, -0.4124, -0.418, -0.414, -0.3875, -0.3893, -0.3816, -0.3805, -0.3561, -0.3649, -0.3821, -0.4133, -0.3991, -0.4167, -0.3823, -0.365, -0.3647, -0.3224, -0.3135, -0.2718, -0.2998, -0.3249, -0.2801, -0.3077, -0.2635, -0.2482, -0.2442, -0.2558, -0.213, -0.2397, -0.2636, -0.2673, -0.2547, -0.3328, -0.3347, -0.3042, -0.2842, -0.2756, -0.2462, -0.2297, -0.1726, -0.2276, -0.2276, -0.22, -0.2169, -0.1589, -0.1161, -0.074, -0.0646, 0.0291, 0.0, 0.0168, 0.0292, 0.032, 0.0321, 0.0815, 0.0643, 0.03, 0.0185, -0.0624, -0.0903, -0.1029, -0.0835, -0.0861, -0.0904, -0.0608, -0.097, -0.0747, -0.1388, -0.0656, -0.0513, -0.1286, -0.0591, -0.1856, -0.1752, -0.143, -0.0986, -0.0481, -0.0951, -0.1388, -0.0524, -0.0237, -0.0274, 0.018, 0.0766, 0.0458, 0.1776, 0.1338, 0.0308, 0.0869, 0.0215, 0.0269, 0.068, -0.0051, 0.0064, -0.1027, -0.0866, -0.0862, -0.124, -0.1095, -0.1543, -0.1621, -0.0532, -0.0323, 0.0294, 0.0294, 0.1147, 0.0741, 0.1828, 0.1875, 0.1356, 0.1049, 0.1231, 0.0689, -0.0084, -0.0304, -0.0967, -0.1086, -0.1191, -0.1581, -0.1302, -0.0577, -0.0589, -0.0722, -0.0573, -0.0573, -0.0909, -0.0918, -0.0904, -0.0968, -0.0968, -0.1011, -0.1198, -0.1655, -0.115, -0.1113, -0.0559, -0.0204, 0.0129, -0.0156, -0.064, -0.0524, -0.0524, -0.0383, -0.1265, -0.152, -0.1642, -0.1965, -0.1867, -0.1862, -0.1874, -0.2137, -0.2471, -0.3013, -0.3915, -0.3845, -0.3008, -0.2254, -0.1544, -0.1941, -0.2356, -0.2378, -0.2378, -0.2167, -0.1972, -0.1799, -0.2213, -0.2214, -0.2416, -0.2251, -0.2814, -0.2953, -0.2831, -0.3893, -0.3564, -0.2798, -0.3106]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1966171568968708422", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-09-11T16:06:46+00:00", "symbol": "HOOD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$HOOD - S&P inclusion flows will add a ton to the market cap given S&P is weighted by MC and hood is $100B+.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "5 longs for next month: HIMS (short squeeze), LTC (ETF launch), NBIS ($100+ on MSFT deal), CRDO (catch-up to ALAB), HOOD (S&P inclusion flows).", "resolved_tickers": ["HOOD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If I had to buy 5 things for the next month by potential:\n\n1. $HIMS - 42% SI, new product/rate cut catalyst + 1.2M EU customers. Short squeeze inevitable, just a matter of time. \n\n2. $LTC - Frontrun institutions for the ETF launch October 2nd. \n\n3. $NBIS - Should easily be $100+ just based off of MSFT deal. Sorry $IREN holders. \n\n4. $CRDO - Just to catchup $ALAB MC. \n\n5. $HOOD - S&P inclusion flows will add a ton to the market cap given S&P is weighted by MC and hood is $100B+.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0024628527857948335, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0024628527857948335, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005778827800458242, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01363932858618333, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008241680586253075, "bench_c_m1d": -0.016102181371978164, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.023099798052680476, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.023099798052680476, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.022765185109533626, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01884288392531286, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0003346129431468503, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004256914127367617, "ret_p1w": 0.026836549147425615, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.026836549147425615, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.019796105627563287, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02498567032115062, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007040443519862327, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0018508788262749931, "ret_p1m": 0.1801274455530122, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1801274455530122, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.18438447097404886, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.21155980498803584, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.004257025421036675, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03143235943502365, "ret_p3m": 0.15252659629611198, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15252659629611198, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11100829030057802, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.16316152239742598, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.041518305995533966, "bench_c_p3m": -0.010634926101314002, "ret_p6m": -0.3453078867270435, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3453078867270435, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3736010724350741, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2876325590954124, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.028293185708030633, "bench_c_p6m": -0.05767532763163108, "price_path": [-0.3482, -0.3635, -0.3346, -0.3346, -0.3333, -0.3516, -0.3035, -0.2972, -0.2822, -0.2949, -0.2048, -0.2159, -0.1679, -0.1983, -0.1983, -0.2063, -0.2249, -0.1971, -0.1618, -0.1648, -0.1511, -0.1546, -0.1231, -0.1045, -0.068, -0.1139, -0.135, -0.1331, -0.1344, -0.1096, -0.0932, -0.1225, -0.0989, -0.1248, -0.1516, -0.0966, -0.1044, -0.1028, -0.0554, -0.0265, -0.0351, -0.0311, -0.0775, -0.0598, -0.0304, -0.0232, -0.087, -0.1054, -0.0972, -0.0716, -0.0833, -0.076, -0.1259, -0.1194, -0.1165, -0.1165, -0.1436, -0.1438, -0.126, -0.1401, -0.004, 0.0064, -0.0025, 0.0, -0.0231, -0.0248, -0.0031, 0.0076, 0.0268, 0.0597, 0.0606, 0.0718, 0.0769, 0.0416, 0.0342, 0.1611, 0.216, 0.1817, 0.2374, 0.2626, 0.2251, 0.2314, 0.2813, 0.2948, 0.1801, 0.1947, 0.1461, 0.1393, 0.1163, 0.1033, 0.1533, 0.1197, 0.0804, 0.1408, 0.1872, 0.2387, 0.242, 0.2297, 0.1726, 0.2465, 0.2491, 0.1618, 0.21, 0.0792, 0.1071, 0.154, 0.1204, 0.1293, 0.0321, 0.0403, -0.0151, -0.0293, 0.0035, -0.098, -0.0887, -0.0236, -0.0185, 0.0887, 0.0887, 0.0912, 0.0466, 0.0696, 0.1349, 0.1642, 0.1206, 0.1586, 0.1525, 0.1521, 0.0478, 0.0149, -0.0211, 0.014, -0.0166, -0.005, 0.0306, 0.0392, 0.0211, 0.0228, 0.0228, 0.0032, -0.0027, -0.0195, -0.0395, -0.0395, -0.0216, 0.0466, 0.0335, -0.0066, -0.02, -0.0211, -0.002, 0.0211, 0.0163, -0.0628, -0.0765, -0.0765, -0.1017, -0.1005, -0.0977, -0.0914, -0.0913, -0.1062, -0.1219, -0.1402, -0.1552, -0.2364, -0.2606, -0.3153, -0.3828, -0.2966, -0.2649, -0.273, -0.3378, -0.396, -0.3548, -0.3548, -0.3593, -0.3613, -0.3575, -0.3536, -0.3904, -0.3767, -0.3416, -0.3253, -0.3558, -0.331, -0.354, -0.3018, -0.3158, -0.3453]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1983888553026441260", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-30T13:27:44+00:00", "symbol": "NUAI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if that's gone, would probably be a great investment", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NUAI now that the dilutive EPFA is terminated; removal of main concern makes it a likely good investment.", "resolved_tickers": ["NUAI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@consmnesique Yep I'll visit $NUAI and appreciate the other comments from @Thebullwhisper, @chaptimustrades and others mentioning it. \n\nMy main concern a month or so ago was that EPFA and future dilution. But if that's gone, would probably be a great investment.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Could you please revisit $NUAI? They terminated their EPFA earlier this month. Thank you for sharing your research!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "consmnesique", "ret_m1d": -0.010733442064713383, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010733442064713383, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.021853890292039324, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.021853890292039324, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01112044822732594, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01112044822732594, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013416781255437993, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013416781255437993, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010136681523359226, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.010136681523359226, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0032800997320787673, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0032800997320787673, "ret_p1w": 0.08050085813625762, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08050085813625762, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09450439556598955, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09450439556598955, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014003537429731927, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014003537429731927, "ret_p1m": -0.08944543584109299, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08944543584109299, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0946819659022482, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0946819659022482, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005236530061155209, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005236530061155209, "ret_p3m": 0.35957060772425, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.35957060772425, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.33351255931316337, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.33351255931316337, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02605804841108661, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02605804841108661, "ret_p6m": -0.2361359813291387, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2361359813291387, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2922899018690658, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2922899018690658, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05615392053992707, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05615392053992707, "price_path": [-0.929, -0.9304, -0.9302, -0.9308, -0.9302, -0.9315, -0.9182, -0.9156, -0.9225, -0.9224, -0.9179, -0.9222, -0.9234, -0.9209, -0.915, -0.9131, -0.9125, -0.9106, -0.9098, -0.9109, -0.9109, -0.9238, -0.932, -0.9275, -0.9326, -0.9411, -0.9331, -0.9306, -0.8975, -0.9286, -0.9249, -0.9159, -0.9193, -0.9141, -0.9027, -0.8914, -0.8488, -0.8352, -0.7531, -0.6708, -0.5528, -0.6708, -0.6637, -0.6601, -0.7156, -0.6798, -0.7013, -0.7245, -0.4937, -0.5349, -0.5796, -0.4508, -0.4007, -0.4365, -0.186, 0.0089, -0.2254, -0.322, -0.2934, 0.0483, 0.1216, 0.0089, -0.0107, 0.0, 0.0134, 0.1306, 0.0411, 0.0143, 0.0805, -0.0394, -0.0903, -0.2129, -0.1109, -0.2424, -0.2818, -0.2862, -0.2343, -0.3229, -0.4043, -0.3202, -0.2129, -0.1628, -0.093, -0.093, -0.0894, -0.1342, -0.2174, -0.2433, -0.2084, -0.2272, -0.22, -0.2844, -0.3631, -0.356, -0.4007, -0.4267, -0.3989, -0.4097, -0.3506, -0.3256, -0.2343, -0.1449, -0.1547, -0.1547, -0.1843, -0.5188, -0.576, -0.4758, -0.4758, -0.3846, -0.3631, -0.415, -0.4275, -0.3614, -0.3596, -0.3399, -0.2111, -0.2594, -0.186, -0.2254, -0.2254, -0.0179, 0.2254, 0.4419, 0.305, 0.1342, 0.3596, 0.3739, 0.3184, 0.2272, 0.093, 0.1923, 0.0376, -0.068, -0.0948, -0.093, -0.1073, -0.102, -0.1771, -0.1199, -0.1199, -0.237, -0.1538, -0.1342, -0.1503, -0.0877, -0.0984, -0.1234, -0.1181, -0.1807, -0.2129, -0.229, -0.1467, -0.1574, -0.1843, -0.1789, -0.1932, -0.059, -0.1199, -0.102, -0.0054, 0.0698, -0.0519, -0.1216, -0.1136, -0.1127, -0.1503, -0.2039, -0.229, -0.2594, -0.3345, -0.2737, -0.2308, -0.2218, -0.2218, -0.2504, -0.254, -0.2594, -0.2147, -0.2326, -0.1807, -0.2308, -0.0859, -0.1091, -0.1753, -0.1807, -0.2254, -0.2326, -0.229, -0.2361]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1988279295190642795", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-11T16:14:59+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS will contract more so not a problem. I still don't think people understand how record breaking growing from $100m quarterly revenue to $2B+ in 1 year is.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish NBIS: sold-out capacity is a demand signal, not a problem; record-breaking revenue ramp from $100M/quarter to $2B+ in a year signals more contracts ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ramiN4real They sold out of capacity... for $7-9B ARR for next year alone. \n\n$NBIS will contract more so not a problem.\n\nI still don't think people understand how record breaking growing from $100m quarterly revenue to $2B+ in 1 year is.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit They said they are out of capacity, is that a problem?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ramiN4real", "ret_m1d": 0.07562116645693662, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07562116645693662, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07790517779341222, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08367715698290779, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0022840113364756, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008055990525971168, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07689298098696984, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07689298098696984, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07744946946558229, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07111371851615012, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005564884786124491, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005779262470819724, "ret_p1w": -0.11426335517212038, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11426335517212038, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08070553613602638, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09333522120495286, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.033557819036094005, "bench_c_p1w": -0.020928133967167528, "ret_p1m": -0.08442579514531079, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08442579514531079, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0911169579698673, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10955721246618133, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006691162824556507, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02513141732087054, "ret_p3m": -0.15769910540088283, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.15769910540088283, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17184363692646742, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1746409985754659, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014144531525584592, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016941893174583056, "ret_p6m": 0.9085305616135924, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.9085305616135924, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.8279910769496042, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.8743308936187839, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08053948466398819, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03419966799480845, "price_path": [-0.3303, -0.2994, -0.2904, -0.3427, -0.34, -0.3526, -0.3252, -0.315, -0.3105, -0.3142, -0.2952, -0.3316, -0.3316, -0.3571, -0.3578, -0.365, -0.3595, -0.3733, -0.0636, -0.0864, -0.1275, -0.1155, -0.1102, -0.1251, -0.0796, -0.0792, -0.0285, 0.0428, 0.0546, 0.1077, 0.056, 0.0536, 0.0783, 0.0983, 0.131, 0.2314, 0.252, 0.2223, 0.1514, 0.1935, 0.2976, 0.2677, 0.3252, 0.2537, 0.231, 0.2037, 0.1098, 0.0663, 0.0202, -0.0352, 0.0385, 0.1471, 0.2271, 0.1918, 0.2238, 0.2148, 0.2798, 0.1785, 0.0814, 0.1446, 0.0706, 0.0886, 0.0756, 0.0, -0.0769, -0.1329, -0.1827, -0.1589, -0.1143, -0.0699, -0.172, -0.1855, -0.101, -0.1305, -0.0737, -0.0737, -0.0719, -0.0203, -0.0564, -0.0323, 0.0057, -0.0409, -0.0185, -0.0568, -0.0844, -0.0777, -0.1421, -0.2062, -0.2081, -0.2619, -0.2361, -0.1248, -0.0879, -0.1193, -0.1085, -0.1085, -0.1431, -0.1583, -0.1668, -0.1811, -0.1811, -0.12, -0.0919, -0.0194, -0.0588, -0.0481, -0.042, 0.05, 0.0314, -0.0023, 0.0163, 0.0637, 0.0637, -0.0287, -0.0328, -0.0525, -0.0755, -0.1053, -0.0426, -0.0175, -0.0715, -0.1666, -0.1375, -0.12, -0.194, -0.2773, -0.1577, -0.0914, -0.102, -0.1331, -0.1222, -0.0412, -0.0412, -0.046, -0.0041, 0.0527, -0.0421, -0.0158, 0.0035, 0.0382, 0.026, -0.1079, -0.1097, -0.1509, -0.0434, -0.0643, -0.1261, -0.0712, -0.0566, 0.0956, 0.0569, 0.105, 0.2703, 0.138, 0.1599, 0.1888, 0.1507, 0.1167, 0.1241, 0.1259, 0.0367, -0.0137, -0.0974, 0.0151, -0.0026, 0.0646, 0.0646, 0.101, 0.1485, 0.2229, 0.3337, 0.4182, 0.512, 0.5842, 0.6315, 0.6175, 0.5373, 0.557, 0.5315, 0.5275, 0.5367, 0.4396, 0.4181, 0.3257, 0.3812, 0.3523, 0.5113, 0.7259, 0.721, 0.9085]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1985334909108433014", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-03T13:15:02+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IREN secured a $9.7B GPU cloud contract with Microsoft... The Neocloud sector just got insanely bullish", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Strongly bullish across the Neocloud sector on accelerating hyperscaler contracts (MSFT/AWS/META); expects sector-wide re-ratings.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The Neocloud List got updated:\n\n$IREN - IREN secured a $9.7B GPU cloud contract with Microsoft, including 20% upfront prepayment, to deploy NVIDIA GB300s over five years.\n\n$CIFR - CIFR secured a $5.5 billion, 15-year lease agreement with Amazon Web Services (AWS).\n\nThe Neocloud sector just got insanely bullish with new contracts coming in from hyperscalers and this just shows insatiable demand for compute. \n\nI expected $ORCL, $META, and $AMZN to make deals in the original thesis and looks like AWS entered the fray with $CIFR, with likely more deals incoming with other Neoclouds. $META also signed a $14B deal with $CRWV recently and from their ER scaling AI Capex, we'll likely see other deals with Neoclouds. \n\nThis is insanely bullish across the whole sector. \n\nI attached my personal tierlist for fun, but we'll likely see a re-ratings in data centers/miners across the board when there's more time to analyze deals and margins.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Neocloud Ecosystem Cheat Sheet Part 1/2:\n\nBullet Point Positive vs. Negatives.\n\nFull List by Marketcap:\n\n$CRWV ($66.2B)\n$NBIS ($32.85B)\n$IREN ($16.52B)\n$APLD ($9.69B)\n$RIOT ($7.34B)\n$CIFR ($7.3B)\n$WULF ($6.36B)\n$HUT($5.39B)\n$CLSK ($5.01B)\n$HIVE ($1.74B CAD)\n$WYFI ($1.29B) https://t.co/z3HZ07q5wn", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.10332103321033215, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10332103321033215, "alpha_spy_m1d": 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{"unit_id": "quote:1985334909108433014", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-03T13:15:02+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CIFR secured a $5.5 billion, 15-year lease agreement with Amazon Web Services (AWS)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Strongly bullish across the Neocloud sector on accelerating hyperscaler contracts (MSFT/AWS/META); expects sector-wide re-ratings.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The Neocloud List got updated:\n\n$IREN - IREN secured a $9.7B GPU cloud contract with Microsoft, including 20% upfront prepayment, to deploy NVIDIA GB300s over five years.\n\n$CIFR - CIFR secured a $5.5 billion, 15-year lease agreement with Amazon Web Services (AWS).\n\nThe Neocloud sector just got insanely bullish with new contracts coming in from hyperscalers and this just shows insatiable demand for compute. \n\nI expected $ORCL, $META, and $AMZN to make deals in the original thesis and looks like AWS entered the fray with $CIFR, with likely more deals incoming with other Neoclouds. $META also signed a $14B deal with $CRWV recently and from their ER scaling AI Capex, we'll likely see other deals with Neoclouds. \n\nThis is insanely bullish across the whole sector. \n\nI attached my personal tierlist for fun, but we'll likely see a re-ratings in data centers/miners across the board when there's more time to analyze deals and margins.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Neocloud Ecosystem Cheat Sheet Part 1/2:\n\nBullet Point Positive vs. Negatives.\n\nFull List by Marketcap:\n\n$CRWV ($66.2B)\n$NBIS ($32.85B)\n$IREN ($16.52B)\n$APLD ($9.69B)\n$RIOT ($7.34B)\n$CIFR ($7.3B)\n$WULF ($6.36B)\n$HUT($5.39B)\n$CLSK ($5.01B)\n$HIVE ($1.74B CAD)\n$WYFI ($1.29B) https://t.co/z3HZ07q5wn", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.18057998985149748, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.18057998985149748, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1787067282932877, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.17650588976145865, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004074100090038835, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010984182666340936, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010984182666340936, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0008693572761065971, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015414351979372798, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "bench_c_p1d": -0.026398534645713734, "ret_p1w": -0.13664325918613363, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.13664325918613363, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.13386274042365043, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11551123428013821, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "bench_c_p1w": -0.021132024905995417, "ret_p1m": -0.2249560978798345, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2249560978798345, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.22230735598058582, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.18318871648704038, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04176738139279412, "ret_p3m": -0.22231983370199526, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22231983370199526, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24097932974307523, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.19673451757203964, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "bench_c_p3m": -0.025585316129955626, "ret_p6m": -0.24165201865950103, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.24165201865950103, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.28906959187223813, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.29021615532764855, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04856413666814752, "price_path": [-0.7711, -0.786, -0.7913, -0.7909, -0.7926, -0.7847, -0.7663, -0.7711, -0.7342, -0.7469, -0.7386, -0.7408, -0.7197, -0.7083, -0.6872, -0.6929, -0.6916, -0.6643, -0.6643, -0.6344, -0.6437, -0.6749, -0.6696, -0.6608, -0.5949, -0.5496, -0.562, -0.5233, -0.5233, -0.4943, -0.4561, -0.4793, -0.4605, -0.3866, -0.3783, -0.3787, -0.4877, -0.496, -0.4442, -0.4468, -0.4464, -0.3932, -0.3541, -0.326, -0.308, -0.2267, -0.2096, -0.2544, -0.1063, -0.0822, -0.076, -0.1775, -0.1757, -0.1252, -0.2058, -0.2922, -0.2419, -0.0923, -0.0975, -0.123, -0.1393, -0.1621, -0.1806, 0.0, -0.011, 0.0857, -0.0461, -0.0909, -0.1366, -0.1797, -0.2364, -0.344, -0.3691, -0.3695, -0.3594, -0.3576, -0.3603, -0.3783, -0.2658, -0.2302, -0.1586, -0.1586, -0.1059, -0.1349, -0.225, -0.1815, -0.1287, -0.1529, -0.1441, -0.1406, -0.188, -0.1705, -0.2509, -0.3524, -0.3414, -0.3678, -0.3344, -0.2878, -0.2821, -0.301, -0.2873, -0.2873, -0.3326, -0.3374, -0.359, -0.3515, -0.3515, -0.2882, -0.2021, -0.2293, -0.2935, -0.2728, -0.2693, -0.2232, -0.1982, -0.2034, -0.2302, -0.174, -0.174, -0.2127, -0.2214, -0.2359, -0.228, -0.2755, -0.1762, -0.1665, -0.2223, -0.2988, -0.3054, -0.2856, -0.3739, -0.442, -0.3528, -0.2636, -0.2487, -0.2847, -0.2926, -0.2786, -0.2786, -0.3128, -0.3225, -0.3058, -0.3563, -0.3313, -0.2478, -0.2702, -0.2759, -0.3146, -0.3076, -0.3537, -0.2953, -0.3344, -0.4016, -0.3713, -0.3866, -0.3801, -0.3976, -0.3814, -0.3348, -0.337, -0.3554, -0.3568, -0.3844, -0.3458, -0.3462, -0.3023, -0.3695, -0.3961, -0.4721, -0.4345, -0.4446, -0.4367, -0.4367, -0.4134, -0.3844, -0.3225, -0.2812, -0.2737, -0.2197, -0.1894, -0.2091, -0.2381, -0.1489, -0.1525, -0.2074, -0.1459, -0.1788, -0.2004, -0.2021, -0.2417]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1985334909108433014", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-11-03T13:15:02+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "META also signed a $14B deal with $CRWV recently... insanely bullish across the whole sector", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Strongly bullish across the Neocloud sector on accelerating hyperscaler contracts (MSFT/AWS/META); expects sector-wide re-ratings.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The Neocloud List got updated:\n\n$IREN - IREN secured a $9.7B GPU cloud contract with Microsoft, including 20% upfront prepayment, to deploy NVIDIA GB300s over five years.\n\n$CIFR - CIFR secured a $5.5 billion, 15-year lease agreement with Amazon Web Services (AWS).\n\nThe Neocloud sector just got insanely bullish with new contracts coming in from hyperscalers and this just shows insatiable demand for compute. \n\nI expected $ORCL, $META, and $AMZN to make deals in the original thesis and looks like AWS entered the fray with $CIFR, with likely more deals incoming with other Neoclouds. $META also signed a $14B deal with $CRWV recently and from their ER scaling AI Capex, we'll likely see other deals with Neoclouds. \n\nThis is insanely bullish across the whole sector. \n\nI attached my personal tierlist for fun, but we'll likely see a re-ratings in data centers/miners across the board when there's more time to analyze deals and margins.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Neocloud Ecosystem Cheat Sheet Part 1/2:\n\nBullet Point Positive vs. Negatives.\n\nFull List by Marketcap:\n\n$CRWV ($66.2B)\n$NBIS ($32.85B)\n$IREN ($16.52B)\n$APLD ($9.69B)\n$RIOT ($7.34B)\n$CIFR ($7.3B)\n$WULF ($6.36B)\n$HUT($5.39B)\n$CLSK ($5.01B)\n$HIVE ($1.74B CAD)\n$WYFI ($1.29B) https://t.co/z3HZ07q5wn", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.05850227229968685, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05850227229968685, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.060375533857896624, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.060375533857896624, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08367637524034377, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08367637524034377, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07182283529789624, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07182283529789624, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "bench_c_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "ret_p1w": -0.16394869485834251, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.16394869485834251, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.16116817609585932, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.16116817609585932, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "ret_p1m": -0.39811590434628463, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.39811590434628463, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.39546716244703595, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.39546716244703595, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "ret_p3m": -0.2120804384123588, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2120804384123588, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23073993445343877, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23073993445343877, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "ret_p6m": -0.16458202157816493, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.16458202157816493, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.21199959479090202, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.21199959479090202, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "bench_c_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "price_path": [-0.1273, -0.0415, 0.0256, 0.1066, 0.1776, -0.0678, -0.2123, -0.2086, -0.2337, -0.2646, -0.2755, -0.2813, -0.2559, -0.2687, -0.2765, -0.2327, -0.1863, -0.1843, -0.1843, -0.2611, -0.2885, -0.3075, -0.2947, -0.2594, -0.2066, -0.0727, -0.1079, -0.1137, -0.0463, -0.0599, -0.0432, -0.039, -0.0116, 0.0547, 0.0362, 0.056, 0.0027, -0.0473, -0.0301, 0.0834, 0.0849, 0.0925, 0.0671, 0.0596, 0.0199, 0.1081, 0.1327, 0.0959, 0.1211, 0.0613, 0.1023, 0.1221, 0.0835, 0.0059, -0.01, -0.0379, -0.0236, 0.0493, 0.0771, 0.0671, 0.1077, 0.0375, 0.0585, 0.0, -0.0837, -0.0942, -0.1535, -0.1766, -0.1639, -0.3003, -0.3237, -0.3798, -0.3876, -0.4037, -0.4071, -0.4069, -0.4521, -0.4328, -0.4174, -0.4356, -0.4119, -0.4119, -0.4212, -0.39, -0.3981, -0.3718, -0.3212, -0.301, -0.3173, -0.2823, -0.3021, -0.3083, -0.3778, -0.4272, -0.4498, -0.489, -0.4642, -0.3429, -0.3285, -0.3646, -0.3756, -0.3756, -0.395, -0.4069, -0.415, -0.4331, -0.4331, -0.3721, -0.3915, -0.383, -0.389, -0.3897, -0.3656, -0.2881, -0.3075, -0.2891, -0.2479, -0.1986, -0.1986, -0.2462, -0.2555, -0.2734, -0.2639, -0.2217, -0.1382, -0.1607, -0.2121, -0.2623, -0.2959, -0.287, -0.3472, -0.409, -0.2879, -0.2338, -0.2471, -0.2468, -0.2424, -0.2397, -0.2397, -0.2796, -0.2444, -0.231, -0.2935, -0.2809, -0.2139, -0.2241, -0.2271, -0.3702, -0.3821, -0.4159, -0.3706, -0.4077, -0.4222, -0.4109, -0.4069, -0.3512, -0.3678, -0.3579, -0.3203, -0.3499, -0.3444, -0.3615, -0.3551, -0.3512, -0.3428, -0.3067, -0.3631, -0.4078, -0.4526, -0.3867, -0.379, -0.349, -0.349, -0.3592, -0.3252, -0.2962, -0.2717, -0.1925, -0.1271, -0.0722, -0.0604, -0.0535, -0.075, -0.0704, -0.0883, -0.0299, -0.0705, -0.1281, -0.1129, -0.1646]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1985334909108433014", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-11-03T13:15:02+00:00", "symbol": "Neocloud sector", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is insanely bullish across the whole sector. we'll likely see a re-ratings in data centers/miners across the board", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Strongly bullish across the Neocloud sector on accelerating hyperscaler contracts (MSFT/AWS/META); expects sector-wide re-ratings.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV", "NBIS", "CIFR", "CORZ", "BTBT"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Neocloud basket: CoreWeave, Nebius, Cipher, Core Scientific", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The Neocloud List got updated:\n\n$IREN - IREN secured a $9.7B GPU cloud contract with Microsoft, including 20% upfront prepayment, to deploy NVIDIA GB300s over five years.\n\n$CIFR - CIFR secured a $5.5 billion, 15-year lease agreement with Amazon Web Services (AWS).\n\nThe Neocloud sector just got insanely bullish with new contracts coming in from hyperscalers and this just shows insatiable demand for compute. \n\nI expected $ORCL, $META, and $AMZN to make deals in the original thesis and looks like AWS entered the fray with $CIFR, with likely more deals incoming with other Neoclouds. $META also signed a $14B deal with $CRWV recently and from their ER scaling AI Capex, we'll likely see other deals with Neoclouds. \n\nThis is insanely bullish across the whole sector. \n\nI attached my personal tierlist for fun, but we'll likely see a re-ratings in data centers/miners across the board when there's more time to analyze deals and margins.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Neocloud Ecosystem Cheat Sheet Part 1/2:\n\nBullet Point Positive vs. Negatives.\n\nFull List by Marketcap:\n\n$CRWV ($66.2B)\n$NBIS ($32.85B)\n$IREN ($16.52B)\n$APLD ($9.69B)\n$RIOT ($7.34B)\n$CIFR ($7.3B)\n$WULF ($6.36B)\n$HUT($5.39B)\n$CLSK ($5.01B)\n$HIVE ($1.74B CAD)\n$WYFI ($1.29B) https://t.co/z3HZ07q5wn", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0050754626283360475, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0050754626283360475, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0032022010701262763, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0032022010701262763, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.059583635145543566, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.059583635145543566, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04773009520309603, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04773009520309603, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "bench_c_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "ret_p1w": -0.13133392864901566, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.13133392864901566, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.12855340988653247, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12855340988653247, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "ret_p1m": -0.29533146678861477, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.29533146678861477, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2926827248893661, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2926827248893661, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "ret_p3m": -0.24138055811820386, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.24138055811820386, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.26004005415928383, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.26004005415928383, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "ret_p6m": -0.19254189325520568, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.19254189325520568, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.23995946646794278, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.23995946646794278, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "bench_c_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "price_path": [-0.3638, -0.3592, -0.3383, -0.3179, -0.2888, -0.3469, -0.3747, -0.3776, -0.3743, -0.4064, -0.4064, -0.415, -0.3938, -0.3971, -0.3888, -0.3845, -0.378, -0.3807, -0.3807, -0.3951, -0.4126, -0.4247, -0.4184, -0.4069, -0.3125, -0.2564, -0.2779, -0.2651, -0.2484, -0.248, -0.2244, -0.2187, -0.2019, -0.1558, -0.1603, -0.1438, -0.1988, -0.2102, -0.1734, -0.1542, -0.1319, -0.0893, -0.0846, -0.0684, -0.0942, -0.0318, -0.0025, -0.035, 0.0295, 0.0155, 0.0257, -0.0192, -0.0507, -0.0319, -0.0758, -0.1369, -0.1016, -0.0164, 0.011, -0.0136, 0.005, -0.0306, -0.0051, 0.0, -0.0596, -0.0253, -0.1012, -0.1088, -0.1313, -0.2025, -0.2457, -0.3179, -0.3413, -0.3482, -0.329, -0.3344, -0.3697, -0.3731, -0.3126, -0.3176, -0.2799, -0.2799, -0.2612, -0.2622, -0.2953, -0.2656, -0.231, -0.2488, -0.2426, -0.2332, -0.2533, -0.2434, -0.3042, -0.3667, -0.3724, -0.4124, -0.3848, -0.311, -0.3002, -0.3251, -0.3208, -0.3208, -0.3467, -0.3568, -0.3729, -0.3803, -0.3803, -0.3238, -0.2893, -0.2808, -0.3069, -0.2961, -0.2866, -0.2387, -0.2312, -0.2341, -0.2302, -0.1904, -0.1904, -0.2362, -0.2419, -0.2598, -0.254, -0.2596, -0.1964, -0.2022, -0.2414, -0.2949, -0.3044, -0.2974, -0.3629, -0.4302, -0.3331, -0.2774, -0.2867, -0.2977, -0.306, -0.2822, -0.2822, -0.3061, -0.2982, -0.2734, -0.3204, -0.3108, -0.2677, -0.2589, -0.2654, -0.3397, -0.3393, -0.3785, -0.3237, -0.3493, -0.3919, -0.3688, -0.3665, -0.3205, -0.3371, -0.3219, -0.269, -0.3032, -0.3056, -0.3038, -0.3239, -0.3133, -0.3092, -0.2888, -0.3485, -0.3852, -0.4363, -0.3847, -0.3812, -0.3546, -0.3546, -0.3459, -0.3234, -0.2842, -0.2489, -0.2125, -0.1651, -0.132, -0.1209, -0.1252, -0.1181, -0.1109, -0.1272, -0.0938, -0.1149, -0.1443, -0.1468, -0.1925]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1994125880600482204", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-27T19:27:13+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "sum of part valuation being extremely undervalued", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NBIS: subsidiaries growing triple digits Y/Y and sum-of-parts valuation is extremely undervalued.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Not as long as people think! \n\nI have an extremely sharp memory of anything financial related that gets mentioned in the past. So I just kind of piece things together on the fly and then do some additional research to double check facts for $NBIS.\n\nI remember for Avride people kept associating it with the small food delivery carts so wanted to post a deeper dive into the robotaxi aspect (which is the main opportunity) updates, growth, opportunity + what they do.\n\nFor Toloka people just drop the name but don’t understand valuations, growth, customers, or what they do exactly. So wanted to make this post.\n\nClickhouse is probably the most understood one but people don’t realize many of Nebius subsidiaries are growing triple digits Y/Y (usually 30-45% is good) so 140% is extremely high lol.\n\nWhen I talk about sum of part valuation being extremely undervalued, it helps for people to come to that conclusion themselves rather than taking my word for it. So I just try to provide the argument I’m thinking about internally", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Awesome write up. 🤩\nI wonder how much time do you spend on these deep dives? You keep bringing in new reasons to full port everything into $nbis", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Perugius__", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0019009430830585483, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0019009430830585483, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0035574632555563923, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00622422630590691, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005458406338614941, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008125169388965459, "ret_p1w": 0.08564790792322552, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08564790792322552, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07871824252335347, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07402809323810788, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006929665399872054, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011619814685117635, "ret_p1m": -0.0749815811643798, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0749815811643798, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09362234586868434, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10898401768209143, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018640764704304535, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03400243651771162, "ret_p3m": 0.08332452409145019, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08332452409145019, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0690516585030807, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06518662201906844, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014272865588369488, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01813790207238175, "ret_p6m": 1.2681381216075018, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.2681381216075018, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.1648459096533572, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.2529063304181431, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10329221195414462, "bench_c_p6m": 0.01523179118935869, "price_path": [-0.2785, -0.3059, -0.3067, -0.3145, -0.3086, -0.3235, 0.0109, -0.0137, -0.0581, -0.0452, -0.0394, -0.0555, -0.0064, -0.006, 0.0488, 0.1258, 0.1385, 0.1958, 0.1399, 0.1374, 0.164, 0.1857, 0.2209, 0.3293, 0.3516, 0.3195, 0.243, 0.2884, 0.4008, 0.3685, 0.4306, 0.3534, 0.3289, 0.2994, 0.198, 0.1511, 0.1013, 0.0415, 0.1211, 0.2384, 0.3246, 0.2866, 0.3212, 0.3114, 0.3816, 0.2723, 0.1674, 0.2356, 0.1558, 0.1752, 0.1612, 0.0795, -0.0035, -0.064, -0.1178, -0.092, -0.0438, 0.004, -0.1061, -0.1207, -0.0295, -0.0614, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0019, 0.0577, 0.0186, 0.0447, 0.0856, 0.0354, 0.0596, 0.0182, -0.0116, -0.0043, -0.0739, -0.1431, -0.1451, -0.2032, -0.1753, -0.0552, -0.0154, -0.0492, -0.0376, -0.0376, -0.075, -0.0914, -0.1005, -0.116, -0.116, -0.0501, -0.0196, 0.0586, 0.0161, 0.0276, 0.0342, 0.1335, 0.1134, 0.077, 0.0971, 0.1483, 0.1483, 0.0486, 0.0441, 0.0228, -0.002, -0.0341, 0.0336, 0.0606, 0.0023, -0.1003, -0.069, -0.0501, -0.1299, -0.2199, -0.0907, -0.0191, -0.0306, -0.0642, -0.0524, 0.0351, 0.0351, 0.0299, 0.0751, 0.1364, 0.0341, 0.0625, 0.0833, 0.1207, 0.1076, -0.037, -0.0389, -0.0833, 0.0326, 0.0101, -0.0566, 0.0026, 0.0184, 0.1828, 0.141, 0.1928, 0.3713, 0.2285, 0.2521, 0.2833, 0.2422, 0.2055, 0.2135, 0.2154, 0.1191, 0.0647, -0.0257, 0.0958, 0.0767, 0.1492, 0.1492, 0.1885, 0.2398, 0.3201, 0.4398, 0.531, 0.6323, 0.7102, 0.7612, 0.7461, 0.6595, 0.6809, 0.6533, 0.649, 0.6589, 0.5541, 0.5309, 0.4311, 0.4911, 0.4598, 0.6315, 0.8631, 0.8579, 1.0603, 0.9513, 0.8698, 0.9654, 0.8915, 1.1889, 1.3355, 1.3227, 1.1107, 1.0882, 1.0258, 1.3226, 1.2681]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2007872395990937749", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-04T17:50:58+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this event is generally seen as bullish for $MSTR and Bitcoin holders as this effectively locks up supply for many years to come", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Venezuela's ~600K BTC seizure likely frozen as U.S. strategic reserve, locking up 3% of supply and acting as a bullish catalyst for BTC and MSTR in Q1 2026.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Venezuela: The $60B+ Bitcoin \"Shadow Reserve\"\n\nMarkets focus on the $17T+ in Oil that Venezuela owns.\n\nBut what they don't know is that Venezuela one of the largest active $BTC holders in the world.\n\nSimilar in scale to both $MSTR and Blackrock.\n\nHere's how this impacts markets and prices:\n\nIntelligence reports indicate that the Venezuelan regime accumulated a  \"shadow reserve\" of Bitcoin (BTC) and Tether (USDT) estimated at more  than $60 billion. (HUMINT)\n\nhis hoard was built through \"gold swaps\" and the requirement that oil exports be settled in USDT to evade sanctions.\n\nIntelligence cited by Whale Hunting (authored by Bradley Hope and Clara  Preve) indicates that the accumulation began in 2018, coinciding with  the  aggressive liquidation of the Orinoco Mining Arc’s gold reserves.\n\n- The regime likely converted ~$2B of gold proceeds into Bitcoin at an  average price of $5K, which would have been around 400,000 BTC. At Jan  2026 price of ~$90K, that specific tranche alone would be worth $36B.\n\nAs the \"Petro\" experiment failed, the regime pivoted to using Tether  (USDT) as a proxy for the petrodollar during cruide oil sales. However,  Venezuela began to \"Wash\" that into Bitcoin, recognizing that USDT  retains the ability to freeze addresses.\n\nGiven market intelligence, we can estimate that Venezuela has roughly:\n\nGold Swaps: 2018–2020, Gold Bars, Value Now: ~$45B - $50B\n\nPetro-Crypto: 2023–2025, Crude Oil, Value Now: ~$10B - $15B\n\nMining Seizures: 2023–2024, ~$500M\n\nGiving a grand total between 2018–2026: ~$56B - $67B in Bitcoin, implied at 660K+ Bitcoin, with a floor at 600K in Bitcoin.\n\nThat does not mean US has full control of the Bitcoin yet. The days  following today will be defined by a high-stakes interrogation to secure  the Bitcoin.\n\nThe U.S. will likely offer plea deals, reduced sentencing, or  protection for family members in exchange for the surrender of seed  phrases. Given the severity of the narco-terrorism charges, the leverage  is there.\n\nSo now the revelation of the $60 billion hoard fundamentally alters the  supply/demand dynamics of the Bitcoin market for 2026, as the  Venezuelan reserve is estimated at: 600,000+ BTC.\n\nThis is 12 times larger than the German sale and 2 times larger than the U.S. government’s entire pre-raid stockpile.\n\nIn 2024, the German state of Saxony liquidated ~50,000 BTC ($3  billion). This 50K BTC sale caused a 15-20% market correction  and weeks  of bearish sentiment.\n\nNow compare that to 600,000.\n\nHere's the leading entity holders of Bitcoin:\n\n1. Satoshi Nakamoto ~1,100,000\n2. BlackRock (IBIT) ~770,791.5\n3. MicroStrategy ~672,497\n4. Venezuela (Seized) ~600,000\n5. U.S. Gov ~325,293\n6. Mt. Gox Trustee ~140,000\n\nNow, here's what will likely happen from here:\n\nThe \"Frozen Asset\" (High Probability):\n\nThe assets are seized but immediately entangled in complex litigation  Creditors file injunctions; the DOJ claims forfeiture. The keys are held  in escrow by the U.S.  Treasury, but the coins cannot move.\n\nShort-term volatility due to uncertainty, followed by a bullish \"supply  shock\" narrative.\n\nShort-term volatility due to uncertainty, followed by a bullish \"supply   shock\" narrative. The market realizes that 600,000 BTC (3% of  circulating supply) have been effectively removed from the market for  5-10 years. This acts as a massive \"lock-up,\" reducing liquid supply and  supporting higher prices.\n\nThe \"Strategic Reserve\" Pivot (High Probability):\n\nInfluenced by the \"Strategic Bitcoin Reserve\" movement, President Trump  orders the Treasury to hold the Bitcoin as a permanent U.S. asset.\n\nThis too acts as a massive lock up, reducing liquid supply and supporting higher prices.\n\nThe \"Fire Sale\" (Very Low Probability):\n\nThe U.S. DOJ declares the assets \"perishable/volatile\" and executes an  immediate liquidation via Coinbase Prime or USMS auctions to fund the   occupation costs.\n\nHowever, this is unlikely due to Trump's positive stance toward Bitcoin \"Reserves\" from confiscating assets.\n_\n\nResults:\n\nMarkets have been looking at the massive oil reserve and beneficiaries, while ignoring the elephant in the room: Bitcoin.\n\nThe \"second order effect\" is likely a massive supply lock-up.\n\nIf the U.S. seizes these assets, they will likely move from \"active  liquid reserves\" of a rogue state to \"frozen sovereign assets\" of the  U.S. Treasury, reducing available supply and potentially acting as a  catalyst for higher prices in Q1 2026.\n\nThere will likely be increased volatility. But for market participants shorting Bitcoin because of fears of  \"conflict\", this event is generally seen as bullish for $MSTR and  Bitcoin holders as this effectively locks up supply for many years to come.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04194452726715481, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04194452726715481, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.035328477098229505, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006616050168925303, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.0016352711961346023, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0016352711961346023, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0075824545692239065, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005947183373089304, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.028648160554988644, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.028648160554988644, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03946652032558773, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010818359770599084, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.19438124445211513, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.19438124445211513, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19701319435723152, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.002631949905116393, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.2875292908768078, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2875292908768078, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24376310093643627, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.043766189940371514, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3139, 0.2964, 0.2059, 0.2278, 0.2049, 0.18, 0.1524, 0.1341, 0.1779, 0.1555, 0.1471, 0.1724, 0.1827, 0.2156, 0.2032, 0.1723, 0.1536, 0.1669, 0.1349, 0.0821, 0.1066, 0.079, 0.1011, 0.129, 0.0971, 0.0829, 0.0619, 0.0055, -0.0191, -0.0099, -0.0257, -0.0772, -0.0936, -0.0598, -0.0697, -0.0358, -0.0277, -0.0316, -0.0805, -0.027, -0.0038, -0.0185, -0.0479, -0.0345, -0.0127, -0.0198, -0.0146, -0.0385, -0.0795, -0.0643, -0.0824, -0.0897, -0.0616, -0.0574, -0.0689, -0.0668, -0.0708, -0.0701, -0.0718, -0.0581, -0.0679, -0.0549, -0.0419, 0.0, -0.0016, -0.0274, -0.0304, -0.0359, -0.0286, 0.0153, 0.0325, 0.0178, 0.0175, -0.0142, -0.0593, -0.048, -0.0471, -0.0466, -0.0598, -0.0509, -0.05, -0.0993, -0.1039, -0.1618, -0.1944, -0.2222, -0.3321, -0.2485, -0.2531, -0.2672, -0.2864, -0.2946, -0.2666, -0.2667, -0.2811, -0.2925, -0.2868, -0.2756, -0.3117, -0.3174, -0.2761, -0.2815, -0.2983, -0.2674, -0.2726, -0.2255, -0.2454, -0.2742, -0.2714, -0.2552, -0.2522, -0.2491, -0.2441, -0.2026, -0.2126, -0.2411, -0.2553, -0.2488, -0.2446, -0.2489, -0.2404, -0.2673, -0.2934, -0.2896, -0.2732, -0.2749, -0.2875, -0.2871, -0.2665, -0.2337, -0.2424, -0.2356, -0.2227, -0.2066, -0.2098, -0.2032, -0.1995, -0.1785, -0.1918, -0.1867, -0.167, -0.1663, -0.175, -0.1759, -0.1867, -0.1929, -0.1872, -0.1673, -0.1497, -0.138, -0.1327, -0.1478, -0.1459, -0.1295, -0.1428, -0.1556, -0.1367, -0.1578, -0.1803, -0.1825, -0.175, -0.1741, -0.1959, -0.1768, -0.1923, -0.2081, -0.2167, -0.2185, -0.2154, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2007872395990937749", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-04T17:50:58+00:00", "symbol": "MSTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this event is generally seen as bullish for $MSTR and Bitcoin holders", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Venezuela's ~600K BTC seizure likely frozen as U.S. strategic reserve, locking up 3% of supply and acting as a bullish catalyst for BTC and MSTR in Q1 2026.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Venezuela: The $60B+ Bitcoin \"Shadow Reserve\"\n\nMarkets focus on the $17T+ in Oil that Venezuela owns.\n\nBut what they don't know is that Venezuela one of the largest active $BTC holders in the world.\n\nSimilar in scale to both $MSTR and Blackrock.\n\nHere's how this impacts markets and prices:\n\nIntelligence reports indicate that the Venezuelan regime accumulated a  \"shadow reserve\" of Bitcoin (BTC) and Tether (USDT) estimated at more  than $60 billion. (HUMINT)\n\nhis hoard was built through \"gold swaps\" and the requirement that oil exports be settled in USDT to evade sanctions.\n\nIntelligence cited by Whale Hunting (authored by Bradley Hope and Clara  Preve) indicates that the accumulation began in 2018, coinciding with  the  aggressive liquidation of the Orinoco Mining Arc’s gold reserves.\n\n- The regime likely converted ~$2B of gold proceeds into Bitcoin at an  average price of $5K, which would have been around 400,000 BTC. At Jan  2026 price of ~$90K, that specific tranche alone would be worth $36B.\n\nAs the \"Petro\" experiment failed, the regime pivoted to using Tether  (USDT) as a proxy for the petrodollar during cruide oil sales. However,  Venezuela began to \"Wash\" that into Bitcoin, recognizing that USDT  retains the ability to freeze addresses.\n\nGiven market intelligence, we can estimate that Venezuela has roughly:\n\nGold Swaps: 2018–2020, Gold Bars, Value Now: ~$45B - $50B\n\nPetro-Crypto: 2023–2025, Crude Oil, Value Now: ~$10B - $15B\n\nMining Seizures: 2023–2024, ~$500M\n\nGiving a grand total between 2018–2026: ~$56B - $67B in Bitcoin, implied at 660K+ Bitcoin, with a floor at 600K in Bitcoin.\n\nThat does not mean US has full control of the Bitcoin yet. The days  following today will be defined by a high-stakes interrogation to secure  the Bitcoin.\n\nThe U.S. will likely offer plea deals, reduced sentencing, or  protection for family members in exchange for the surrender of seed  phrases. Given the severity of the narco-terrorism charges, the leverage  is there.\n\nSo now the revelation of the $60 billion hoard fundamentally alters the  supply/demand dynamics of the Bitcoin market for 2026, as the  Venezuelan reserve is estimated at: 600,000+ BTC.\n\nThis is 12 times larger than the German sale and 2 times larger than the U.S. government’s entire pre-raid stockpile.\n\nIn 2024, the German state of Saxony liquidated ~50,000 BTC ($3  billion). This 50K BTC sale caused a 15-20% market correction  and weeks  of bearish sentiment.\n\nNow compare that to 600,000.\n\nHere's the leading entity holders of Bitcoin:\n\n1. Satoshi Nakamoto ~1,100,000\n2. BlackRock (IBIT) ~770,791.5\n3. MicroStrategy ~672,497\n4. Venezuela (Seized) ~600,000\n5. U.S. Gov ~325,293\n6. Mt. Gox Trustee ~140,000\n\nNow, here's what will likely happen from here:\n\nThe \"Frozen Asset\" (High Probability):\n\nThe assets are seized but immediately entangled in complex litigation  Creditors file injunctions; the DOJ claims forfeiture. The keys are held  in escrow by the U.S.  Treasury, but the coins cannot move.\n\nShort-term volatility due to uncertainty, followed by a bullish \"supply  shock\" narrative.\n\nShort-term volatility due to uncertainty, followed by a bullish \"supply   shock\" narrative. The market realizes that 600,000 BTC (3% of  circulating supply) have been effectively removed from the market for  5-10 years. This acts as a massive \"lock-up,\" reducing liquid supply and  supporting higher prices.\n\nThe \"Strategic Reserve\" Pivot (High Probability):\n\nInfluenced by the \"Strategic Bitcoin Reserve\" movement, President Trump  orders the Treasury to hold the Bitcoin as a permanent U.S. asset.\n\nThis too acts as a massive lock up, reducing liquid supply and supporting higher prices.\n\nThe \"Fire Sale\" (Very Low Probability):\n\nThe U.S. DOJ declares the assets \"perishable/volatile\" and executes an  immediate liquidation via Coinbase Prime or USMS auctions to fund the   occupation costs.\n\nHowever, this is unlikely due to Trump's positive stance toward Bitcoin \"Reserves\" from confiscating assets.\n_\n\nResults:\n\nMarkets have been looking at the massive oil reserve and beneficiaries, while ignoring the elephant in the room: Bitcoin.\n\nThe \"second order effect\" is likely a massive supply lock-up.\n\nIf the U.S. seizes these assets, they will likely move from \"active  liquid reserves\" of a rogue state to \"frozen sovereign assets\" of the  U.S. Treasury, reducing available supply and potentially acting as a  catalyst for higher prices in Q1 2026.\n\nThere will likely be increased volatility. But for market participants shorting Bitcoin because of fears of  \"conflict\", this event is generally seen as bullish for $MSTR and  Bitcoin holders as this effectively locks up supply for many years to come.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04589605088980264, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04589605088980264, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03928000072087734, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03928000072087734, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006616050168925303, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006616050168925303, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04097863009942482, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04097863009942482, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04692581347251412, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04692581347251412, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005947183373089304, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005947183373089304, "ret_p1w": -0.015116594674060124, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.015116594674060124, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02593495444465921, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02593495444465921, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010818359770599084, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010818359770599084, "ret_p1m": -0.19099081156340525, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.19099081156340525, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19362276146852164, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.19362276146852164, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.002631949905116393, "bench_c_p1m": 0.002631949905116393, "ret_p3m": -0.27252306372619406, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.27252306372619406, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.22875687378582255, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.22875687378582255, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.043766189940371514, "bench_c_p3m": -0.043766189940371514, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [1.0083, 0.9445, 0.8504, 0.9152, 0.8253, 0.8016, 0.7232, 0.7598, 0.8007, 0.8329, 0.7048, 0.7297, 0.755, 0.7947, 0.728, 0.6717, 0.5455, 0.6362, 0.6068, 0.4995, 0.5481, 0.44, 0.4687, 0.4502, 0.4045, 0.3636, 0.266, 0.2127, 0.1864, 0.2555, 0.1322, 0.0753, 0.0351, 0.0869, 0.0453, 0.0663, 0.0663, 0.0756, 0.0407, 0.1008, 0.1437, 0.1292, 0.0866, 0.1152, 0.1473, 0.1209, 0.1128, 0.0712, -0.016, 0.0169, -0.0263, -0.0393, 0.0006, -0.0024, -0.0415, -0.0365, -0.0365, -0.0359, -0.0566, -0.0553, -0.0775, -0.0775, -0.0459, 0.0, -0.041, -0.0175, 0.0137, -0.0449, -0.0151, 0.0502, 0.0887, 0.0376, 0.0546, 0.0546, -0.0273, -0.0055, -0.0227, -0.0098, -0.0251, -0.0191, -0.0381, -0.1307, -0.0911, -0.1523, -0.191, -0.2163, -0.3505, -0.1809, -0.1595, -0.1926, -0.2346, -0.2533, -0.1872, -0.1872, -0.2189, -0.2399, -0.2141, -0.2044, -0.249, -0.2435, -0.1765, -0.1901, -0.2138, -0.1643, -0.1945, -0.111, -0.1512, -0.1894, -0.1564, -0.1594, -0.1602, -0.1662, -0.1521, -0.1044, -0.0877, -0.1467, -0.1608, -0.1764, -0.161, -0.1728, -0.1554, -0.193, -0.2349, -0.2627, -0.2424, -0.2546, -0.2725, -0.2725, -0.2248, -0.2489, -0.2211, -0.2177, -0.219, -0.1965, -0.1658, -0.1286, -0.0958, 0.0109, 0.037, -0.0046, 0.0889, 0.047, 0.0382, 0.0272, 0.006, -0.0396, 0.0044, 0.0756, 0.1158, 0.1347, 0.1342, 0.0918, 0.1388, 0.1895, 0.1196, 0.0808, 0.1351, 0.0771, 0.0116, -0.0005, 0.0066, 0.0008, -0.0293, -0.0293, -0.0291, -0.0639, -0.0794, -0.0342, -0.0342, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1973830098794299586", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-02T19:19:02+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "right now $NBIS is undervalued I'm just holding it so I wouldn't sell even if it jumped to $150", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Holding NBIS long; views it as undervalued, won't sell even at $150, operates on 6-month to 1-year timeframes.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I mean right now $NBIS is undervalued I'm just holding it so I wouldn't sell even if it jumped to $150. But if it randomly jumps to $100B marketcap tomorrow or $300+ a share, I would probably sell look to rebuy lower.   \n\nIt really depends.\n\n5 years down the road nobody really knows. Hyperscaler chips come online, Neoclouds might pull an $SMCI at 5B+ quarterly revenue with margin compression and less revenue ramp. \n\nOr they might become the new AWS. I can't make that prediction yet, which is why I do things in 6 months -1 year timframes.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit At what point do you think you’ll sell NBIS?\n\nDo you think all of them will share marketshare 5 yrs down the line or do you think eventually a few will come out on top and the others go bust/sideways?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "EestiRadar", "ret_m1d": -0.0815126869972923, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0815126869972923, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08036220858520382, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08374542506568405, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0011504784120884848, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0022327380683917486, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01676333172566702, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01676333172566702, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01677809908788863, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01727850796170094, "bench_spy_p1d": -1.4767362221612679e-05, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0005151762360339207, "ret_p1w": 0.05378562401954223, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05378562401954223, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.050886634886761595, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06692429946603051, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0028989891327806383, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01313867544648828, "ret_p1m": 0.03932632453820406, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03932632453820406, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.020139760379656257, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05340956667881569, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019186564158547803, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01408324214061163, "ret_p3m": -0.3233495168787698, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3233495168787698, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.35296633318039683, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.34243886359072817, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029616816301627047, "bench_c_p3m": 0.019089346711958388, "ret_p6m": -0.1990148765007319, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1990148765007319, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.15191616328831792, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.12412626613538336, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.04709871321241399, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07488861036534855, "price_path": [-0.6199, -0.6258, -0.6341, -0.6311, -0.648, -0.5873, -0.5747, -0.5765, -0.5734, -0.5806, -0.5839, -0.5947, -0.5878, -0.5856, -0.5919, -0.5809, -0.5996, -0.5925, -0.5676, -0.5869, -0.5696, -0.5617, -0.5623, -0.4811, -0.4536, -0.442, -0.4015, -0.4389, -0.4561, -0.431, -0.4237, -0.4662, -0.464, -0.4742, -0.452, -0.4437, -0.4401, -0.4431, -0.4277, -0.4572, -0.4572, -0.4779, -0.4784, -0.4843, -0.4799, -0.4911, -0.2395, -0.258, -0.2914, -0.2817, -0.2773, -0.2895, -0.2526, -0.2522, -0.211, -0.1531, -0.1436, -0.1004, -0.1424, -0.1444, -0.1243, -0.108, -0.0815, 0.0, 0.0168, -0.0074, -0.0649, -0.0307, 0.0538, 0.0295, 0.0762, 0.0181, -0.0003, -0.0225, -0.0988, -0.134, -0.1715, -0.2165, -0.1566, -0.0684, -0.0035, -0.0321, -0.0061, -0.0134, 0.0393, -0.0429, -0.1218, -0.0705, -0.1305, -0.1159, -0.1265, -0.1879, -0.2503, -0.2959, -0.3363, -0.3169, -0.2807, -0.2447, -0.3276, -0.3385, -0.2699, -0.2939, -0.2477, -0.2477, -0.2463, -0.2043, -0.2337, -0.2141, -0.1833, -0.2211, -0.2029, -0.2341, -0.2565, -0.251, -0.3033, -0.3554, -0.3569, -0.4006, -0.3796, -0.2893, -0.2593, -0.2847, -0.276, -0.276, -0.3041, -0.3164, -0.3233, -0.335, -0.335, -0.2854, -0.2625, -0.2036, -0.2356, -0.227, -0.222, -0.1473, -0.1624, -0.1898, -0.1747, -0.1362, -0.1362, -0.2112, -0.2145, -0.2306, -0.2492, -0.2734, -0.2225, -0.2021, -0.246, -0.3232, -0.2996, -0.2854, -0.3454, -0.4131, -0.316, -0.2621, -0.2708, -0.296, -0.2871, -0.2213, -0.2213, -0.2252, -0.1912, -0.1451, -0.2221, -0.2007, -0.185, -0.1569, -0.1668, -0.2755, -0.277, -0.3104, -0.2232, -0.2401, -0.2903, -0.2457, -0.2339, -0.1102, -0.1417, -0.1026, 0.0316, -0.0758, -0.0581, -0.0346, -0.0655, -0.0931, -0.0871, -0.0856, -0.1581, -0.199]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1965807638832468462", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-10T16:00:38+00:00", "symbol": "AAPL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I quite like the iPhone Air. This play is extremely high risk.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Speculative long AAPL: expects post-event dip to reverse as buybacks and narrative shift (iPhone Air) drive a rally days later.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAPL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Sometimes I like to gamble too.\n\n$APPL somehow always falls every Apple event when people say it’s bad.\n\nThen a few days later rallies when they do buybacks and change public narrative like with Apple Intelligence.\n\nI quite like the iPhone Air. This play is extremely high risk. https://t.co/d8Y1B0aDFP", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03333484245541407, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03333484245541407, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03621736378529805, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03621736378529805, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028825213298839802, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0028825213298839802, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014286370691166894, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014286370691166894, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0059762003352228366, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0059762003352228366, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008310170355944058, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008310170355944058, "ret_p1w": 0.05379435461044779, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05379435461044779, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04310761181141887, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04310761181141887, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010686742799028925, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010686742799028925, "ret_p1m": 0.12015515304353386, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12015515304353386, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08824715287894236, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08824715287894236, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0319080001645915, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0319080001645915, "ret_p3m": 0.22650642713952962, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.22650642713952962, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.17542578600291225, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.17542578600291225, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.051080641136617366, "bench_c_p3m": 0.051080641136617366, "ret_p6m": 0.14990136616481275, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.14990136616481275, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.09929241548449497, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09929241548449497, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05060895068031779, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05060895068031779, "price_path": [-0.1348, -0.1261, -0.1383, -0.1342, -0.1342, -0.1147, -0.1125, -0.1178, -0.1123, -0.1147, -0.1144, -0.0964, -0.0847, -0.0643, -0.0594, -0.0594, -0.0753, -0.075, -0.0701, -0.0645, -0.07, -0.0812, -0.079, -0.0744, -0.075, -0.0699, -0.0642, -0.0557, -0.0568, -0.0585, -0.058, -0.0572, -0.0695, -0.0793, -0.0858, -0.1086, -0.1044, -0.1063, -0.0608, -0.0309, 0.0101, 0.0017, 0.0126, 0.0288, 0.0264, 0.0212, 0.0181, 0.0166, -0.0034, -0.0083, 0.0043, 0.0016, 0.0111, 0.0163, 0.0254, 0.0236, 0.0236, 0.0129, 0.0515, 0.0573, 0.0569, 0.0489, 0.0333, 0.0, 0.0143, 0.0321, 0.0437, 0.0501, 0.0538, 0.0489, 0.0825, 0.1292, 0.1219, 0.1125, 0.1326, 0.1264, 0.1219, 0.1228, 0.1264, 0.1338, 0.1377, 0.1318, 0.1309, 0.1379, 0.1202, 0.0815, 0.092, 0.0925, 0.0994, 0.0911, 0.1124, 0.1563, 0.1586, 0.1396, 0.1446, 0.1589, 0.1853, 0.1861, 0.1892, 0.1967, 0.1922, 0.1863, 0.1907, 0.1911, 0.1895, 0.1838, 0.1892, 0.2149, 0.207, 0.2047, 0.2023, 0.1805, 0.1804, 0.1853, 0.1751, 0.1983, 0.2178, 0.2224, 0.225, 0.225, 0.2307, 0.2495, 0.2631, 0.2541, 0.2389, 0.2304, 0.2265, 0.2234, 0.2304, 0.2271, 0.2282, 0.2098, 0.212, 0.1998, 0.2013, 0.2079, 0.196, 0.2021, 0.2085, 0.2085, 0.2067, 0.2083, 0.2053, 0.1999, 0.1999, 0.1961, 0.1796, 0.158, 0.149, 0.1433, 0.1448, 0.1486, 0.1522, 0.1474, 0.1396, 0.1278, 0.1278, 0.0888, 0.093, 0.0961, 0.0948, 0.1273, 0.1399, 0.1318, 0.14, 0.1453, 0.1917, 0.1894, 0.2203, 0.2178, 0.2275, 0.2132, 0.2091, 0.2171, 0.1563, 0.13, 0.13, 0.1658, 0.1678, 0.1512, 0.1689, 0.1759, 0.2023, 0.2115, 0.2058, 0.1671, 0.1695, 0.1652, 0.1598, 0.1499]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1983467470670402021", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-29T09:34:30+00:00", "symbol": "FLY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I like it because it's a 2026 play for medium-lift, not exactly a short term hold", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long FLY as a 2026 medium-lift play; recommends tax-harvest then re-enter same position.", "resolved_tickers": ["FLY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So $FLY is a interesting one here because it's in the tax harvesting lot since it's down 57% YTD.\n\nI like it because it's a 2026 play for medium-lift, not exactly a short term hold. \n\nBut since you're using too much margin, then it might be a good idea to tax harvest now then re-rebuy 1 month later, so you can lower any taxable gains while having the same position 1 month later at possibly similar costs.\n\nYeah as you mentioned better to tax harvest on a better time rather than right after a 6.3% drop, feels bad but it's hard to go against the tax-harvesting flow EOY and I always underestimate it too personally when trading stuff like $SNAP or $ETOR.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit How are you feeling about $FLY now? I've been looking for positions to sell to lower my margin debt (which ballooned during the great crash of last week), and was thinking of loss harvesting $FLY and re-entering after the 1mo wash sale restriction, but idk feels iffy selling low", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": 0.028742564576126117, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.028742564576126117, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02922272095512013, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02922272095512013, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0004801563789940122, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0004801563789940122, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.023952035624552726, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.023952035624552726, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01295389168747585, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01295389168747585, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010998143937076876, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010998143937076876, "ret_p1w": -0.1017963798293422, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1017963798293422, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08752492136215462, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08752492136215462, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014271458467187581, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014271458467187581, "ret_p1m": -0.3041915833917974, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3041915833917974, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2929751946731952, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2929751946731952, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0112163887186022, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0112163887186022, "ret_p3m": 0.0059880850478024605, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0059880850478024605, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.00475814868932245, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.00475814868932245, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01074623373712491, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01074623373712491, "ret_p6m": 0.5385230374980945, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5385230374980945, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5020170435801943, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.5020170435801943, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.036505993917900215, "bench_c_p6m": 0.036505993917900215, "price_path": [null, null, null, null, 1.4092, 1.0028, 1.1405, 1.0545, 1.0259, 0.9693, 0.8898, 0.9409, 0.8156, 0.8072, 0.8471, 0.8407, 0.7854, 0.7984, 0.8774, 0.8822, 0.8112, 0.8112, 0.7657, 0.7717, 0.7094, 0.7018, 0.7078, 0.778, 0.7074, 0.7154, 0.7465, 0.7509, 0.7505, 0.7309, 0.8052, 0.8044, 0.9768, 0.6743, 0.6192, 0.5034, 0.4363, 0.4754, 0.1705, 0.0647, 0.0699, 0.0926, 0.1613, 0.1353, 0.2375, 0.2, 0.1321, 0.1928, 0.2012, 0.1816, 0.1198, 0.0523, 0.0826, 0.125, 0.0475, 0.0363, 0.0747, 0.0974, 0.0287, 0.0, -0.024, -0.0315, -0.0507, -0.0878, -0.1018, -0.2283, -0.212, -0.2319, -0.2363, -0.2691, -0.1449, -0.0838, -0.2224, -0.2112, -0.2248, -0.3246, -0.3301, -0.3269, -0.3078, -0.3042, -0.3042, -0.293, -0.3289, -0.2854, -0.2595, -0.1928, -0.2092, -0.2363, -0.2232, -0.1497, -0.0615, -0.1178, -0.1872, -0.1904, -0.2603, -0.1988, -0.016, 0.1417, 0.0563, 0.0794, 0.0794, -0.0683, -0.0579, -0.093, -0.107, -0.107, -0.0515, 0.0287, 0.0559, 0.0918, 0.1174, 0.202, 0.2152, 0.1166, 0.198, 0.1876, 0.3337, 0.3337, 0.2112, 0.1537, 0.2343, 0.1629, 0.006, 0.1717, 0.1521, 0.0814, 0.006, -0.0874, 0.0004, -0.0255, -0.106, -0.0467, -0.0136, -0.0818, -0.1689, -0.2363, -0.2295, -0.2295, -0.1864, -0.1429, -0.1405, -0.2024, -0.2024, -0.1737, -0.1876, -0.1405, -0.2307, -0.1649, -0.1673, -0.1457, -0.1864, -0.2124, -0.1717, -0.2259, -0.1776, -0.0727, -0.0631, -0.0447, -0.0188, -0.0743, -0.0834, -0.0731, -0.0415, -0.0527, 0.099, 0.0703, -0.0537, -0.0571, 0.1365, 0.188, 0.3146, 0.3146, 0.3912, 0.42, 0.5218, 0.4998, 0.4986, 0.5489, 0.4615, 0.5018, 0.7633, 0.7453, 0.7082, 0.6802, 0.6547, 0.5385]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1994145089770410477", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-27T20:43:33+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS is just sitting there at a $21B marketcap with many other companies + core businesses to go alongside robotaxis. Probably one of the most misunderstood and undervalued growth companies in the market.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS: undervalued at $21B with Level 4 robotaxi launching soon plus multiple other core businesses; calls it most misunderstood growth stock.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yeah, zero clue why people aren’t talking more about $NBIS for robotaxis when they have fsd level 4 and are launching in a few days.\n\nPeople buy $TSLA or $GOOGL for exposure, but $NBIS is just sitting there at a $21B marketcap with many other companies + core businesses to go alongside robotaxis. \n\nProbably one of the most misunderstood and undervalued growth companies in the market.\n\nUnfortunately finx is a tiny bubble so even if people start to understand it here, majority of people elsewhere wouldn’t even know Nebius owns a robotaxi company that’s been in development for the past 7 years", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Agree, $NBIS rerate coming after they prove and scale this tech.  Supposed to launch in Dallas this year (Dec) with $UBER.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "RKLBMan", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0019009430830585483, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0019009430830585483, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0035574632555563923, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00622422630590691, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005458406338614941, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008125169388965459, "ret_p1w": 0.08564790792322552, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08564790792322552, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07871824252335347, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07402809323810788, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006929665399872054, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011619814685117635, "ret_p1m": -0.0749815811643798, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0749815811643798, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09362234586868434, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10898401768209143, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018640764704304535, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03400243651771162, "ret_p3m": 0.08332452409145019, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08332452409145019, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0690516585030807, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06518662201906844, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014272865588369488, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01813790207238175, "ret_p6m": 1.2681381216075018, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.2681381216075018, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.1648459096533572, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.2529063304181431, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10329221195414462, "bench_c_p6m": 0.01523179118935869, "price_path": [-0.2785, -0.3059, -0.3067, -0.3145, -0.3086, -0.3235, 0.0109, -0.0137, -0.0581, -0.0452, -0.0394, -0.0555, -0.0064, -0.006, 0.0488, 0.1258, 0.1385, 0.1958, 0.1399, 0.1374, 0.164, 0.1857, 0.2209, 0.3293, 0.3516, 0.3195, 0.243, 0.2884, 0.4008, 0.3685, 0.4306, 0.3534, 0.3289, 0.2994, 0.198, 0.1511, 0.1013, 0.0415, 0.1211, 0.2384, 0.3246, 0.2866, 0.3212, 0.3114, 0.3816, 0.2723, 0.1674, 0.2356, 0.1558, 0.1752, 0.1612, 0.0795, -0.0035, -0.064, -0.1178, -0.092, -0.0438, 0.004, -0.1061, -0.1207, -0.0295, -0.0614, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0019, 0.0577, 0.0186, 0.0447, 0.0856, 0.0354, 0.0596, 0.0182, -0.0116, -0.0043, -0.0739, -0.1431, -0.1451, -0.2032, -0.1753, -0.0552, -0.0154, -0.0492, -0.0376, -0.0376, -0.075, -0.0914, -0.1005, -0.116, -0.116, -0.0501, -0.0196, 0.0586, 0.0161, 0.0276, 0.0342, 0.1335, 0.1134, 0.077, 0.0971, 0.1483, 0.1483, 0.0486, 0.0441, 0.0228, -0.002, -0.0341, 0.0336, 0.0606, 0.0023, -0.1003, -0.069, -0.0501, -0.1299, -0.2199, -0.0907, -0.0191, -0.0306, -0.0642, -0.0524, 0.0351, 0.0351, 0.0299, 0.0751, 0.1364, 0.0341, 0.0625, 0.0833, 0.1207, 0.1076, -0.037, -0.0389, -0.0833, 0.0326, 0.0101, -0.0566, 0.0026, 0.0184, 0.1828, 0.141, 0.1928, 0.3713, 0.2285, 0.2521, 0.2833, 0.2422, 0.2055, 0.2135, 0.2154, 0.1191, 0.0647, -0.0257, 0.0958, 0.0767, 0.1492, 0.1492, 0.1885, 0.2398, 0.3201, 0.4398, 0.531, 0.6323, 0.7102, 0.7612, 0.7461, 0.6595, 0.6809, 0.6533, 0.649, 0.6589, 0.5541, 0.5309, 0.4311, 0.4911, 0.4598, 0.6315, 0.8631, 0.8579, 1.0603, 0.9513, 0.8698, 0.9654, 0.8915, 1.1889, 1.3355, 1.3227, 1.1107, 1.0882, 1.0258, 1.3226, 1.2681]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2009399797271417276", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-08T23:00:19+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm seeing something different with SMM prices and increased future pricing power with $AXTI, but people are free to sell if they want to react to deferred revenue from contracts made in 2024", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AXTI on rising SMM prices and increased future pricing power; dismisses selling pressure from 2024-contract deferred revenue.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@itsdsha It’s been a solid 13 days since posting about the substrate bottleneck happening now. \n\nI’m seeing something different with SMM prices and increased future pricing power with $AXTI, but people are free to sell if they want to react to deferred revenue from contracts made in 2024. https://t.co/Sxuw0B3rez", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit FAIL", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "itsdsha", "ret_m1d": -0.06658921093437264, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06658921093437264, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06669075392629065, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08252666898558814, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0001015429919180022, "bench_c_m1d": 0.015937458051215492, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.10994967715742876, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.10994967715742876, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.11656301955152137, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.1369695461149617, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006613342394092614, "bench_c_p1d": 0.027019868957532944, "ret_p1w": -0.004258637656851416, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.004258637656851416, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.00821792672809174, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05025048991950287, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003959289071240324, "bench_c_p1w": 0.045991852262651456, "ret_p1m": -0.06852498888856806, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06852498888856806, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07013476485135361, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1283434021372133, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0016097759627855535, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05981841324864523, "ret_p3m": 0.7599689980157815, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7599689980157815, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.8012877645453652, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.7047682425571753, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04131876652958366, "bench_c_p3m": 0.055200755458606254, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.8219, -0.8231, -0.8223, -0.8091, -0.8254, -0.8099, -0.7998, -0.8087, -0.7995, -0.7654, -0.7604, -0.7445, -0.7263, -0.7166, -0.6922, -0.6725, -0.6694, -0.6477, -0.6566, -0.6338, -0.5958, -0.5912, -0.5749, -0.5958, -0.5958, -0.6032, -0.6167, -0.6086, -0.6341, -0.6543, -0.6384, -0.6427, -0.5954, -0.5954, -0.5858, -0.5823, -0.5447, -0.5556, -0.5316, -0.5517, -0.5079, -0.4208, -0.3995, -0.3659, -0.4266, -0.4259, -0.4967, -0.5215, -0.4576, -0.4328, -0.4108, -0.4332, -0.4189, -0.4189, -0.405, -0.4352, -0.3883, -0.367, -0.367, -0.3511, -0.3546, -0.2191, -0.0666, 0.0, -0.1099, -0.139, -0.1672, -0.1444, -0.0043, -0.1448, -0.1448, -0.1711, -0.2342, -0.3062, -0.3264, -0.3109, -0.3341, -0.3484, -0.3659, -0.2822, -0.1893, -0.2358, -0.2741, -0.2091, -0.0685, 0.0751, -0.0573, 0.0376, -0.0403, -0.0616, -0.0616, -0.1014, -0.0887, -0.0782, 0.1491, 0.1007, 0.3581, 0.5861, 0.4371, 0.4673, 0.7933, 0.6167, 0.5149, 0.5021, 0.2532, 0.4928, 0.7151, 0.8335, 0.8091, 0.8916, 0.8734, 0.7174, 0.8877, 1.2489, 1.0999, 1.4948, 1.6496, 1.6074, 1.2652, 1.3473, 1.0414, 1.206, 0.825, 1.0457, 1.0457, 0.6256, 0.76, 1.0588, 1.4437, 1.4847, 1.5726, 1.6055, 1.4363, 2.1661, 2.1963, 2.0492, 1.9024, 2.3659, 1.9141, 1.9485, 1.7158, 1.6601, 1.7515, 2.067, 2.7166, 3.1038, 3.1638, 3.0585, 3.1974, 3.5048, 3.8707, 3.758, 3.7209, 3.4514, 3.7921, 3.0991, 3.3701, 3.0499, 3.6852, 4.4522, 4.4522, 4.1336, 3.753, 3.4793, 2.9938, 2.9938, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1975613499045974163", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-07T17:25:37+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I just see it as a positive for $NBIS and others and a validation of moat", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NBIS; views recent development as a positive catalyst and validation of competitive moat.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@foogleman1234 It's good to ignore the noise and do your own thinking. \n\nFor example, I liked $HIMS but I would call out that something is a headwind (eg. TrumpRX) if I thought it actually was a net negative. \n\nHere I just see it as a positive for $NBIS and others and a validation of moat.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thought I was crazy for thinking this was good for NBIS, glad to see your post ❤️", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "foogleman1234", "ret_m1d": 0.06151236772204682, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06151236772204682, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05779107882132184, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05763499988358456, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003721288900724984, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0038773678384622645, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.036533586773572324, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.036533586773572324, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030570534360780055, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04066930907077948, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005963052412792269, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004135722297207156, "ret_p1w": 0.08878502310274072, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08878502310274072, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09908216387038948, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10145087525266994, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01029714076764876, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012665852149929213, "ret_p1m": -0.005947297930262496, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.005947297930262496, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01859078175754003, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.016799472423983497, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012643483827277535, "bench_c_p1m": -0.022746770354245993, "ret_p3m": -0.23576891010628387, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.23576891010628387, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2597835850019543, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24626742967899928, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02401467489567044, "bench_c_p3m": 0.010498519572715415, "ret_p6m": -0.13381478681708003, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.13381478681708003, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.11864699122642897, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.09845601848176999, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.015167795590651068, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03535876833531004, "price_path": [-0.6055, -0.6236, -0.5586, -0.5452, -0.5471, -0.5438, -0.5515, -0.5551, -0.5666, -0.5592, -0.5568, -0.5636, -0.5518, -0.5718, -0.5642, -0.5376, -0.5582, -0.5398, -0.5313, -0.5319, -0.4451, -0.4156, -0.4032, -0.36, -0.3999, -0.4184, -0.3915, -0.3837, -0.4291, -0.4268, -0.4377, -0.4139, -0.4051, -0.4012, -0.4044, -0.3879, -0.4195, -0.4195, -0.4416, -0.4422, -0.4485, -0.4438, -0.4557, -0.1867, -0.2065, -0.2422, -0.2319, -0.2272, -0.2402, -0.2007, -0.2003, -0.1562, -0.0943, -0.0841, -0.038, -0.0829, -0.085, -0.0636, -0.0461, -0.0178, 0.0694, 0.0873, 0.0615, 0.0, 0.0365, 0.1269, 0.1009, 0.1509, 0.0888, 0.0691, 0.0454, -0.0362, -0.0739, -0.114, -0.1621, -0.098, -0.0037, 0.0657, 0.0351, 0.0629, 0.0551, 0.1115, 0.0235, -0.0608, -0.0059, -0.0702, -0.0545, -0.0658, -0.1315, -0.1983, -0.247, -0.2902, -0.2695, -0.2308, -0.1923, -0.2809, -0.2926, -0.2192, -0.2449, -0.1955, -0.1955, -0.194, -0.1491, -0.1805, -0.1596, -0.1266, -0.167, -0.1476, -0.1809, -0.2048, -0.199, -0.255, -0.3106, -0.3122, -0.359, -0.3365, -0.2399, -0.2079, -0.2351, -0.2257, -0.2257, -0.2558, -0.269, -0.2764, -0.2888, -0.2888, -0.2358, -0.2113, -0.1483, -0.1826, -0.1733, -0.168, -0.0881, -0.1042, -0.1336, -0.1174, -0.0762, -0.0762, -0.1564, -0.16, -0.1771, -0.1971, -0.2229, -0.1685, -0.1467, -0.1936, -0.2762, -0.251, -0.2358, -0.3, -0.3724, -0.2685, -0.2109, -0.2201, -0.2472, -0.2376, -0.1673, -0.1673, -0.1715, -0.1351, -0.0857, -0.1681, -0.1452, -0.1285, -0.0984, -0.1089, -0.2252, -0.2268, -0.2625, -0.1692, -0.1873, -0.241, -0.1934, -0.1807, -0.0485, -0.0821, -0.0404, 0.1032, -0.0116, 0.0073, 0.0325, -0.0007, -0.0302, -0.0237, -0.0222, -0.0997, -0.1434, -0.2161, -0.1184, -0.1338]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1975939484593406304", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-08T15:00:58+00:00", "symbol": "AMD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AMD over $NVDA because of the OpenAI deal and market cap has higher re-rating potential just due to size", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefers AMD over NVDA: OpenAI deal + larger re-rating potential from smaller market cap.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@arpit_sidana $AMD over $NVDA because of the OpenAI deal and market cap has higher re-rating potential just due to size.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Why AMD and not NVIDIA?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "arpit_sidana", "ret_m1d": -0.10209714425631866, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10209714425631866, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09616943906029773, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09616943906029773, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005927705196020927, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005927705196020927, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011334684142544904, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011334684142544904, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00843767576330745, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00843767576330745, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0028970083792374535, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0028970083792374535, "ret_p1w": 0.012905453287609614, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.012905453287609614, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.024701497258885707, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.024701497258885707, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011796043971276093, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011796043971276093, "ret_p1m": 0.009084731753387532, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.009084731753387532, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.013244484876622109, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.013244484876622109, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0041597531232345775, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0041597531232345775, "ret_p3m": -0.0614705207913635, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0614705207913635, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08619476559076023, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08619476559076023, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024724244799396722, "bench_c_p3m": 0.024724244799396722, "ret_p6m": -0.07666835517818116, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.07666835517818116, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.05654432404318366, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.05654432404318366, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0201240311349975, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0201240311349975, "price_path": [-0.3784, -0.3792, -0.3394, -0.3204, -0.319, -0.3335, -0.3335, -0.3432, -0.3265, -0.3118, -0.2933, -0.2628, -0.2467, -0.2379, -0.2515, -0.2711, -0.2495, -0.26, -0.3075, -0.2681, -0.2666, -0.2686, -0.2573, -0.2171, -0.2318, -0.2464, -0.2522, -0.293, -0.2987, -0.305, -0.2878, -0.3065, -0.2927, -0.2905, -0.2843, -0.3096, -0.3096, -0.3109, -0.3117, -0.3132, -0.3584, -0.3572, -0.3385, -0.3227, -0.3391, -0.3268, -0.3158, -0.3188, -0.3243, -0.3296, -0.3318, -0.3217, -0.3169, -0.317, -0.3154, -0.3231, -0.315, -0.3132, -0.3037, -0.2795, -0.3009, -0.1352, -0.1021, 0.0, -0.0113, -0.0877, -0.0813, -0.0742, 0.0129, -0.0042, -0.0105, 0.0212, 0.0105, -0.0226, -0.0024, 0.0737, 0.1024, 0.0953, 0.1221, 0.0818, 0.0873, 0.1023, 0.0615, 0.0882, 0.0091, -0.0086, 0.0357, 0.0083, 0.099, 0.0526, 0.0478, 0.0211, -0.0224, -0.051, -0.1254, -0.1349, -0.0871, -0.1249, -0.0905, -0.0905, -0.0765, -0.0671, -0.0863, -0.0762, -0.0831, -0.0747, -0.0613, -0.0592, -0.06, -0.06, -0.1052, -0.1188, -0.112, -0.159, -0.1465, -0.0939, -0.0875, -0.0877, -0.0871, -0.0871, -0.0873, -0.0847, -0.0858, -0.0908, -0.0908, -0.0513, -0.0615, -0.09, -0.1084, -0.1311, -0.1375, -0.1183, -0.0619, -0.0508, -0.0324, -0.0158, -0.0158, -0.0155, 0.0605, 0.0771, 0.1024, 0.0669, 0.0699, 0.0729, 0.0706, 0.005, 0.0455, 0.0278, -0.1502, -0.1828, -0.1151, -0.083, -0.0934, -0.0933, -0.1257, -0.1199, -0.1199, -0.1379, -0.1505, -0.1367, -0.1503, -0.1654, -0.0922, -0.1049, -0.1353, -0.1501, -0.1568, -0.1894, -0.1422, -0.1533, -0.1831, -0.1396, -0.1372, -0.1305, -0.1606, -0.179, -0.1655, -0.1666, -0.1533, -0.1286, -0.1453, -0.1396, -0.1282, -0.0649, -0.135, -0.1425, -0.1678, -0.1364, -0.1076, -0.0767]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1975939484593406304", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-08T15:00:58+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AMD over $NVDA", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefers AMD over NVDA: OpenAI deal + larger re-rating potential from smaller market cap.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@arpit_sidana $AMD over $NVDA because of the OpenAI deal and market cap has higher re-rating potential just due to size.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Why AMD and not NVIDIA?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "arpit_sidana", "ret_m1d": -0.02152184705287674, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02152184705287674, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.015594141856855814, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.015594141856855814, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005927705196020927, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005927705196020927, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.018296257179543973, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.018296257179543973, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.021193265558781427, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.021193265558781427, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0028970083792374535, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0028970083792374535, "ret_p1w": -0.049071944888991026, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.049071944888991026, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03727590091771493, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03727590091771493, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011796043971276093, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011796043971276093, "ret_p1m": -0.0054465116309095896, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0054465116309095896, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.001286758507675012, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.001286758507675012, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0041597531232345775, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0041597531232345775, "ret_p3m": -0.005179649184419266, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.005179649184419266, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.029903893983815988, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.029903893983815988, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024724244799396722, "bench_c_p3m": 0.024724244799396722, "ret_p6m": -0.061871497379954676, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.061871497379954676, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.041747466244957177, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.041747466244957177, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0201240311349975, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0201240311349975, "price_path": [-0.128, -0.1325, -0.0974, -0.0939, -0.0852, -0.0884, -0.0938, -0.1168, -0.097, -0.0813, -0.0826, -0.0654, -0.072, -0.0521, -0.0595, -0.0814, -0.0482, -0.0574, -0.0513, -0.0442, -0.034, -0.0373, -0.0315, -0.0398, -0.0375, -0.0458, -0.0376, -0.0713, -0.0725, -0.0748, -0.0589, -0.0492, -0.0389, -0.0398, -0.0473, -0.079, -0.079, -0.097, -0.0978, -0.0923, -0.1169, -0.11, -0.0971, -0.0623, -0.0631, -0.0597, -0.0601, -0.0752, -0.0995, -0.0681, -0.0658, -0.0291, -0.0565, -0.0642, -0.0604, -0.0577, -0.0384, -0.0134, -0.0099, -0.0012, -0.0079, -0.0189, -0.0215, 0.0, 0.0183, -0.0315, -0.0042, -0.048, -0.0491, -0.0386, -0.0311, -0.0342, -0.042, -0.0467, -0.0368, -0.0151, 0.0126, 0.063, 0.0948, 0.0729, 0.0708, 0.094, 0.0507, 0.0323, -0.0054, -0.0051, 0.0526, 0.0214, 0.0248, -0.0119, 0.0056, -0.0133, -0.041, -0.0137, -0.0448, -0.0541, -0.0347, -0.0597, -0.0468, -0.0468, -0.064, -0.0486, -0.0405, -0.0503, -0.0302, -0.0354, -0.0188, -0.0218, -0.0281, -0.0432, -0.0745, -0.0677, -0.0602, -0.096, -0.0791, -0.0429, -0.0286, 0.0006, -0.0026, -0.0026, 0.0076, -0.0047, -0.0082, -0.0137, -0.0137, -0.0013, -0.0052, -0.0098, 0.0001, -0.0215, -0.0224, -0.022, -0.0174, -0.0315, -0.0108, -0.0152, -0.0152, -0.0583, -0.0306, -0.0225, -0.0076, -0.0139, -0.0031, 0.0128, 0.018, 0.0107, -0.0185, -0.0463, -0.0788, -0.0911, -0.0195, 0.005, -0.003, 0.005, -0.0114, -0.0333, -0.0333, -0.0218, -0.0059, -0.0063, 0.0038, 0.013, 0.0198, 0.0342, -0.0223, -0.063, -0.035, -0.0479, -0.032, -0.0305, -0.0596, -0.0341, -0.0229, -0.0162, -0.0315, -0.0467, -0.031, -0.0379, -0.046, -0.0557, -0.0867, -0.0711, -0.0735, -0.055, -0.0944, -0.1141, -0.1265, -0.0777, -0.0705, -0.0619]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1976712569747652807", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-10T18:12:56+00:00", "symbol": "UNH", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I don't think $UNH or $DKNG cares at all, so took advantage of the dip", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bought UNH and DKNG on the dip; both insulated from US-China trade war, supported by rate cuts and seasonality tailwind.", "resolved_tickers": ["UNH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLV", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Healthcare Plans'", "bench_c_industry": "Healthcare Plans", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ThetaHarvest Even if US escalates a trade war with China, I don’t think $UNH or $DKNG cares at all, so took advantage of the dip.\n\nBottom wise, no clue. \n\nI just think two more rate cuts and seasonality is an extremely strong tailwind and like the last tariff drop, it will sort itself out", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Waiting for the 9/21 cross on spy 🫠. What’s your thesis on this bottom ?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ThetaHarvest", "ret_m1d": 0.03720738655865996, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03720738655865996, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009428762797274004, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.022570851859837537, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.027778623761385957, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014636534698822423, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011734931563918582, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011734931563918582, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.003609143129290171, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012860868820878113, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015344074693208754, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0011259372569595305, "ret_p1w": 0.005923930330869132, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.005923930330869132, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.011487540304475852, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0022388170296638865, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017411470635344983, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008162747360533018, "ret_p1m": -0.09286317796979504, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09286317796979504, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13638405270932608, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1292434353166736, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.043520874739531035, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03638025734687855, "ret_p3m": -0.029626376743697724, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.029626376743697724, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08873280749749535, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15790656632212463, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05910643075379762, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1282801895784269, "ret_p6m": -0.19477064039095648, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.19477064039095648, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.20956642370785883, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2327470672774158, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.014795783316902344, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0379764268864593, "price_path": [-0.1823, -0.1801, -0.1925, -0.2077, -0.2091, -0.2007, -0.18, -0.2191, -0.2121, -0.2092, -0.2682, -0.2542, -0.3004, -0.3335, -0.3245, -0.2964, -0.311, -0.3141, -0.2967, -0.2926, -0.2668, -0.2381, -0.239, -0.1478, -0.1352, -0.1472, -0.1595, -0.1497, -0.1382, -0.1454, -0.1578, -0.1482, -0.1526, -0.1314, -0.1314, -0.1344, -0.137, -0.1299, -0.1159, -0.1023, -0.0247, -0.0279, -0.0088, -0.0118, -0.0186, -0.0415, -0.0364, -0.0555, -0.0502, -0.0372, -0.0192, -0.0076, -0.0252, -0.0294, -0.0263, -0.026, -0.0175, -0.0022, 0.0161, 0.012, 0.0258, 0.0435, 0.0372, 0.0, 0.0117, 0.0153, 0.0188, 0.0061, 0.0059, 0.0282, 0.0307, 0.0197, 0.0168, 0.0226, 0.0324, 0.0376, 0.0021, -0.0275, -0.0365, -0.0584, -0.0668, -0.0755, -0.0929, -0.0854, -0.0929, -0.0763, -0.0436, -0.062, -0.0921, -0.0959, -0.1154, -0.1281, -0.1212, -0.0974, -0.1, -0.0796, -0.0699, -0.0699, -0.0698, -0.0883, -0.0845, -0.0417, -0.0593, -0.0665, -0.081, -0.081, -0.0675, -0.0437, -0.0292, -0.0313, -0.0509, -0.0582, -0.0681, -0.0702, -0.0766, -0.0776, -0.0697, -0.0697, -0.0577, -0.0659, -0.0567, -0.0625, -0.0625, -0.0447, -0.0287, -0.009, -0.0296, -0.015, -0.0232, -0.033, -0.0517, -0.0488, -0.0374, -0.06, -0.06, -0.0389, -0.0124, 0.0066, 0.0117, -0.0014, -0.1972, -0.165, -0.1699, -0.1852, -0.189, -0.193, -0.2164, -0.2374, -0.2144, -0.2171, -0.2241, -0.2079, -0.1924, -0.1674, -0.1674, -0.179, -0.1816, -0.1766, -0.1764, -0.1982, -0.222, -0.1929, -0.1859, -0.1672, -0.1624, -0.1787, -0.1709, -0.1799, -0.1864, -0.1839, -0.192, -0.1836, -0.2071, -0.1927, -0.183, -0.177, -0.1863, -0.1974, -0.2113, -0.2286, -0.2208, -0.2257, -0.2329, -0.2587, -0.2508, -0.2256, -0.2159, -0.2065, -0.2065, -0.1948]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1976712569747652807", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-10T18:12:56+00:00", "symbol": "DKNG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I don't think $UNH or $DKNG cares at all, so took advantage of the dip", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bought UNH and DKNG on the dip; both insulated from US-China trade war, supported by rate cuts and seasonality tailwind.", "resolved_tickers": ["DKNG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Gambling", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ThetaHarvest Even if US escalates a trade war with China, I don’t think $UNH or $DKNG cares at all, so took advantage of the dip.\n\nBottom wise, no clue. \n\nI just think two more rate cuts and seasonality is an extremely strong tailwind and like the last tariff drop, it will sort itself out", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Waiting for the 9/21 cross on spy 🫠. What’s your thesis on this bottom ?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ThetaHarvest", "ret_m1d": 0.07678195906009311, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07678195906009311, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04900333529870715, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04900333529870715, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.027778623761385957, "bench_c_m1d": 0.027778623761385957, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.027225550374252228, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.027225550374252228, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011881475681043474, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011881475681043474, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015344074693208754, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015344074693208754, "ret_p1w": 0.04313245355293738, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04313245355293738, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.025720982917592394, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.025720982917592394, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017411470635344983, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017411470635344983, "ret_p1m": -0.06576928117167335, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06576928117167335, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10929015591120439, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10929015591120439, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.043520874739531035, "bench_c_p1m": 0.043520874739531035, "ret_p3m": 0.060263117267112865, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.060263117267112865, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0011566865133152415, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0011566865133152415, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05910643075379762, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05910643075379762, "ret_p6m": -0.2994799455323288, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.2994799455323288, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.31427572884923116, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.31427572884923116, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.014795783316902344, "bench_c_p6m": 0.014795783316902344, "price_path": [0.3399, 0.3264, 0.3441, 0.3374, 0.3604, 0.3631, 0.3711, 0.3472, 0.3723, 0.3545, 0.3337, 0.3995, 0.3778, 0.3377, 0.3781, 0.3747, 0.3876, 0.3827, 0.3117, 0.3071, 0.3184, 0.3203, 0.3359, 0.3747, 0.398, 0.3772, 0.3965, 0.4099, 0.4433, 0.435, 0.4595, 0.4622, 0.4754, 0.4677, 0.4677, 0.4656, 0.4586, 0.45, 0.4243, 0.4169, 0.4044, 0.3965, 0.4032, 0.3454, 0.3102, 0.3116, 0.3044, 0.3246, 0.3292, 0.3411, 0.3236, 0.3139, 0.3129, 0.2946, 0.2941, 0.1441, 0.0756, 0.0673, 0.082, 0.0701, 0.008, 0.0395, 0.0768, 0.0, 0.0272, 0.0511, 0.086, 0.0765, 0.0431, 0.0278, 0.0284, 0.0615, 0.0615, 0.0095, 0.0083, -0.0468, -0.0624, -0.078, -0.0642, -0.0649, -0.1248, -0.1459, -0.1441, -0.0701, -0.0658, -0.0671, -0.0361, -0.0918, -0.0951, -0.1184, -0.1016, -0.1123, -0.1129, -0.0826, -0.0994, -0.0312, -0.015, -0.015, 0.0144, 0.0361, 0.0281, 0.0569, 0.0765, 0.0401, 0.0878, 0.0688, 0.0593, 0.0673, 0.0866, 0.0887, 0.0566, 0.0416, 0.0459, 0.0465, 0.0676, 0.0566, 0.0541, 0.0541, 0.067, 0.0566, 0.0633, 0.0541, 0.0541, 0.0909, 0.1086, 0.0691, 0.0603, 0.1006, 0.0759, 0.0694, 0.0416, 0.0499, 0.0847, -0.0021, -0.0021, -0.0135, -0.034, -0.0327, -0.0832, -0.0645, -0.0789, -0.0786, -0.0841, -0.1585, -0.1612, -0.1814, -0.1667, -0.2193, -0.1857, -0.1673, -0.1704, -0.1955, -0.2303, -0.3344, -0.3344, -0.309, -0.29, -0.312, -0.3175, -0.3328, -0.3157, -0.2983, -0.2814, -0.2707, -0.2713, -0.2521, -0.2221, -0.2212, -0.2307, -0.2303, -0.231, -0.2178, -0.2181, -0.2086, -0.2385, -0.2285, -0.2267, -0.238, -0.2759, -0.2671, -0.2869, -0.3448, -0.3493, -0.3662, -0.3597, -0.3386, -0.3221, -0.2915, -0.2915, -0.2995]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972774948407243097", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-29T21:26:14+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "wouldn't ever touch at these levels and would sell it imo. Better opportunities elsewhere", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Would sell TSLA at current levels; better opportunities elsewhere.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@LiquidB_B There's cult stocks like $PLTR, $TSLA that you don't short. BC regular ppl will put their paychecks into them without looking at fundamentals. \n\nI had TSLA at $150 but wouldn't ever touch at these levels and would sell it imo. Better opportunities elsewhere.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit If you're a $TSLA cultist ... (I'm half and half i suppose for the gains alone) ... sell CCs if you expect chop for a while... or buy calls on the 2x. Small price to pay for possible big upside.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LiquidB_B", "ret_m1d": -0.006340104268336533, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006340104268336533, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.003537613852213739, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.003537613852213739, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0034069849388267404, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0034069849388267404, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00035988182028523497, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00035988182028523497, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "ret_p1w": 0.02265293819744474, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02265293819744474, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01070445681503207, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01070445681503207, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "ret_p1m": 0.03912365847385946, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03912365847385946, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0038958517312901453, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0038958517312901453, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "ret_p3m": 0.09519190283345047, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09519190283345047, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.051887918221297236, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.051887918221297236, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "ret_p6m": -0.13578212097206488, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.13578212097206488, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.12556511456012298, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.12556511456012298, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "price_path": [-0.2878, -0.2885, -0.2885, -0.3368, -0.3281, -0.3324, -0.3009, -0.2926, -0.285, -0.2988, -0.2742, -0.2793, -0.2562, -0.2588, -0.2507, -0.2497, -0.3112, -0.2869, -0.2654, -0.2753, -0.2802, -0.3045, -0.3172, -0.3022, -0.3034, -0.2782, -0.2729, -0.2562, -0.2351, -0.231, -0.2343, -0.2428, -0.2542, -0.2438, -0.257, -0.2692, -0.2777, -0.2328, -0.218, -0.2065, -0.2112, -0.2194, -0.2467, -0.2467, -0.2569, -0.2462, -0.2362, -0.2084, -0.2184, -0.2171, -0.2153, -0.1679, -0.1067, -0.0748, -0.0487, -0.0391, -0.0595, -0.0387, -0.0203, -0.0392, -0.0009, -0.0447, -0.0063, 0.0, 0.0034, 0.0367, -0.0163, -0.0302, 0.0227, -0.0228, -0.0102, -0.0173, -0.0671, -0.0165, -0.0315, -0.0182, -0.0326, -0.0088, 0.0095, -0.0014, -0.0096, 0.013, -0.0214, 0.0208, 0.0391, 0.0413, -0.007, 0.0301, 0.0568, 0.0024, 0.0426, 0.0061, -0.0309, 0.0046, -0.0081, -0.0285, -0.093, -0.0877, -0.0774, -0.0947, -0.0885, -0.1083, -0.1176, -0.0574, -0.0537, -0.0375, -0.0375, -0.0294, -0.0295, -0.0315, 0.008, 0.0255, 0.0266, -0.0082, 0.0044, 0.0186, 0.0083, 0.0355, 0.0724, 0.1053, 0.0543, 0.0906, 0.0857, 0.1027, 0.0956, 0.0952, 0.0952, 0.0722, 0.0371, 0.0253, 0.0147, 0.0147, -0.0116, 0.0191, -0.0231, -0.0266, -0.0167, 0.0041, 0.013, 0.009, -0.009, -0.0105, -0.0129, -0.0129, -0.0541, -0.0266, 0.0139, 0.0132, -0.0181, -0.0278, -0.0265, -0.0601, -0.0289, -0.0483, -0.0479, -0.0839, -0.1038, -0.0724, -0.0584, -0.0406, -0.0337, -0.059, -0.0581, -0.0581, -0.0735, -0.072, -0.0711, -0.0708, -0.0979, -0.0763, -0.0582, -0.0781, -0.0918, -0.09, -0.1146, -0.0841, -0.085, -0.1049, -0.1005, -0.0992, -0.0798, -0.1088, -0.1173, -0.1075, -0.0991, -0.1138, -0.1419, -0.1698, -0.1407, -0.1358]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1971611556489404729", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-26T16:23:20+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$CIFR likely to head back to $16 imo", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long CIFR with $16 target; long NBIS on dips, adding calls on conviction in fundamentals.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@taleino93 Don't know enough, I'd just concentrate in $CIFR likely to head back to $16 imo. \n\nEnded up with $50k-ish in calls so far. Happy with $NBIS dip. I'll keep adding calls if they drop again since I'm convinced about fundamentals https://t.co/ahm6Bw4T1a", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit thoughts on $BITF as a sympathy play to $CIFR?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "platochi", "ret_m1d": 0.01656491507933655, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01656491507933655, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02226142332818548, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01957736193158255, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0056965082488489305, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003012446852245998, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1028770116852955, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1028770116852955, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10006664524415565, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09753353743162485, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028103664411398555, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005343474253670655, "ret_p1w": 0.2816041383644212, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2816041383644212, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2704379842248974, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.26051679090459356, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01116615413952382, "bench_c_p1w": 0.021087347459827654, "ret_p1m": 0.7907585385652331, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.7907585385652331, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.7553713496291417, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.7184589361349065, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035387188936091496, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07229960243032663, "ret_p3m": 0.4141237084344136, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4141237084344136, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3678876573159988, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3631847236253811, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04623605111841478, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05093898480903247, "ret_p6m": 0.29816913658885746, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.29816913658885746, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.30226137737681735, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3131723269356823, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.004092240787959889, "bench_c_p6m": -0.015003190346824846, "price_path": [-0.5728, -0.5048, -0.4725, -0.4725, -0.4952, -0.4743, -0.4542, -0.456, -0.4882, -0.4743, -0.4795, -0.4534, -0.4403, -0.4455, -0.4551, -0.3949, -0.4176, -0.4202, -0.4359, -0.4629, -0.5048, -0.5248, -0.524, -0.5702, -0.5475, -0.5632, -0.5458, -0.5754, -0.5859, -0.585, -0.5885, -0.5728, -0.5362, -0.5458, -0.4725, -0.4978, -0.4813, -0.4856, -0.4438, -0.4211, -0.3793, -0.3906, -0.388, -0.3339, -0.3339, -0.2746, -0.2929, -0.3548, -0.3444, -0.3269, -0.1962, -0.1064, -0.1308, -0.0541, -0.0541, 0.0035, 0.0793, 0.0331, 0.0706, 0.2171, 0.2337, 0.2328, 0.0166, 0.0, 0.1029, 0.0976, 0.0985, 0.204, 0.2816, 0.3374, 0.3731, 0.5344, 0.5684, 0.4795, 0.7733, 0.8213, 0.8335, 0.6321, 0.6356, 0.7358, 0.5759, 0.4045, 0.5044, 0.8012, 0.7908, 0.7402, 0.7079, 0.6626, 0.626, 0.9843, 0.9625, 1.1543, 0.8928, 0.8038, 0.7132, 0.6277, 0.5153, 0.3017, 0.252, 0.2511, 0.2711, 0.2746, 0.2694, 0.2337, 0.4568, 0.5275, 0.6696, 0.6696, 0.7742, 0.7167, 0.5379, 0.6242, 0.7289, 0.6809, 0.6983, 0.7053, 0.6112, 0.646, 0.4865, 0.2851, 0.3069, 0.2546, 0.3208, 0.4133, 0.4246, 0.3871, 0.4141, 0.4141, 0.3243, 0.3147, 0.272, 0.2868, 0.2868, 0.4124, 0.5833, 0.5292, 0.4019, 0.4429, 0.4499, 0.5414, 0.5911, 0.5806, 0.5275, 0.6391, 0.6391, 0.5623, 0.5449, 0.5161, 0.5318, 0.4377, 0.6347, 0.6539, 0.5432, 0.3915, 0.3784, 0.4176, 0.2424, 0.1072, 0.2842, 0.4612, 0.4908, 0.4194, 0.4037, 0.4316, 0.4316, 0.3636, 0.3444, 0.3775, 0.2772, 0.3269, 0.4926, 0.4481, 0.4368, 0.3601, 0.374, 0.2825, 0.3984, 0.3208, 0.1874, 0.2476, 0.2171, 0.2302, 0.1953, 0.2276, 0.32, 0.3156, 0.279, 0.2764, 0.2214, 0.2982]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1971611556489404729", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-26T16:23:20+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Happy with $NBIS dip. I'll keep adding calls if they drop again since I'm convinced about fundamentals", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long CIFR with $16 target; long NBIS on dips, adding calls on conviction in fundamentals.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@taleino93 Don't know enough, I'd just concentrate in $CIFR likely to head back to $16 imo. \n\nEnded up with $50k-ish in calls so far. Happy with $NBIS dip. I'll keep adding calls if they drop again since I'm convinced about fundamentals https://t.co/ahm6Bw4T1a", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit thoughts on $BITF as a sympathy play to $CIFR?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "platochi", "ret_m1d": 0.002228463323721286, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.002228463323721286, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007924971572570216, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011875573732601619, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0056965082488489305, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009647110408880333, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02339836902383552, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02339836902383552, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.020588002582695664, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.020182578916097205, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0028103664411398555, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0032157901077383144, "ret_p1w": 0.18830090049526604, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.18830090049526604, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.17713474635574222, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.20336391087767414, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01116615413952382, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015063010382408093, "ret_p1m": 0.1646239912657952, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1646239912657952, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1292368023297037, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1731709492739053, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035387188936091496, "bench_c_p1m": -0.008546958008110117, "ret_p3m": -0.1538532977191014, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1538532977191014, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20008934883751617, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15641150455970876, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04623605111841478, "bench_c_p3m": 0.002558206840607369, "ret_p6m": 0.05988862358776492, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.05988862358776492, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06398086437572481, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09995188413772027, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.004092240787959889, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04006326054995535, "price_path": [-0.5329, -0.536, -0.5334, -0.5334, -0.5558, -0.5627, -0.5724, -0.5689, -0.5887, -0.5176, -0.503, -0.505, -0.5015, -0.5098, -0.5137, -0.5264, -0.5183, -0.5157, -0.523, -0.5102, -0.532, -0.5238, -0.4946, -0.5172, -0.497, -0.4877, -0.4885, -0.3936, -0.3614, -0.3478, -0.3006, -0.3442, -0.3643, -0.335, -0.3265, -0.3761, -0.3735, -0.3855, -0.3595, -0.3499, -0.3456, -0.3491, -0.3311, -0.3656, -0.3656, -0.3898, -0.3904, -0.3973, -0.3921, -0.4052, -0.1112, -0.1329, -0.1719, -0.1605, -0.1554, -0.1696, -0.1265, -0.1261, -0.0779, -0.0102, 0.0009, 0.0513, 0.0022, 0.0, 0.0234, 0.0424, 0.0734, 0.1687, 0.1883, 0.1601, 0.0929, 0.1328, 0.2316, 0.2032, 0.2578, 0.1899, 0.1683, 0.1424, 0.0533, 0.0121, -0.0318, -0.0843, -0.0143, 0.0888, 0.1646, 0.1312, 0.1616, 0.153, 0.2147, 0.1186, 0.0264, 0.0864, 0.0162, 0.0332, 0.0209, -0.0509, -0.1239, -0.1771, -0.2243, -0.2017, -0.1593, -0.1173, -0.2141, -0.2269, -0.1467, -0.1747, -0.1208, -0.1208, -0.1191, -0.0701, -0.1045, -0.0815, -0.0455, -0.0897, -0.0684, -0.1048, -0.131, -0.1246, -0.1858, -0.2466, -0.2484, -0.2994, -0.2749, -0.1694, -0.1344, -0.1641, -0.1539, -0.1539, -0.1867, -0.2011, -0.2092, -0.2228, -0.2228, -0.1648, -0.1381, -0.0693, -0.1067, -0.0966, -0.0907, -0.0034, -0.0211, -0.0531, -0.0354, 0.0096, 0.0096, -0.0781, -0.082, -0.1007, -0.1226, -0.1508, -0.0913, -0.0675, -0.1188, -0.209, -0.1814, -0.1648, -0.235, -0.3141, -0.2006, -0.1376, -0.1477, -0.1773, -0.1669, -0.09, -0.09, -0.0945, -0.0548, -0.0008, -0.0908, -0.0658, -0.0475, -0.0147, -0.0262, -0.1533, -0.155, -0.1941, -0.0921, -0.1119, -0.1706, -0.1185, -0.1046, 0.0399, 0.0032, 0.0487, 0.2057, 0.0801, 0.1008, 0.1283, 0.0921, 0.0599]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1996223780386165059", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-03T14:23:31+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this is huge for scale since it's not going out of the way to select a separate robotaxi section for more cost like uberx black", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NBIS and UBER on Avride robotaxi integration driving scale and cost savings as human drivers are phased out.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So this is amazing for $NBIS Avride how $UBER is doing it. \n\nHow it works from what I understand is when someone requests a ride with ubebx and the usual, they get matched a $NBIS Avride robotaxi pickup from $UBER and have the option.  \n\n(this is huge for scale since it's not going out of the way to select a separate robotaxi section for more cost like uberx black).\n\nThere's a human behind the wheel at the start, just to monitor if things go well. But they'll be phased out like Waymo. \n\nIF this works out well, $UBER can ramp up their robotaxi network and save the costs of human drivers (and this benefits $NBIS too).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Nice. Do you know if it’s going to be unsupervised or will it have a safety driver?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "halldj00", "ret_m1d": -0.024969685265102903, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.024969685265102903, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.021518866854694507, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.025838245601834675, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003450818410408396, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0008685603367317718, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.039223665129732854, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.039223665129732854, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03849260897573448, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.033491020179764686, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0007310561539983773, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005732644949968169, "ret_p1w": -0.0538819442955466, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0538819442955466, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05926294841396429, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07073246834962588, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005381004118417687, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016850524054079274, "ret_p1m": -0.15381112635995964, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15381112635995964, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1538769169260591, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.17961763261918973, "bench_spy_p1m": 6.57905660994551e-05, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02580650625923009, "ret_p3m": -0.07996356832928131, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07996356832928131, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08657017978752057, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10707721687827598, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006606611458239264, "bench_c_p3m": 0.027113648548994673, "ret_p6m": 1.2881116106707249, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.2881116106707249, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.1784351467745322, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.2682104876915048, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10967646389619268, "bench_c_p6m": 0.019901122979220087, "price_path": [-0.3382, -0.3524, -0.0323, -0.0559, -0.0984, -0.086, -0.0805, -0.0959, -0.0489, -0.0485, 0.0039, 0.0776, 0.0898, 0.1447, 0.0912, 0.0888, 0.1142, 0.135, 0.1687, 0.2724, 0.2938, 0.263, 0.1899, 0.2333, 0.3409, 0.3099, 0.3694, 0.2955, 0.272, 0.2438, 0.1468, 0.1019, 0.0542, -0.003, 0.0732, 0.1854, 0.268, 0.2316, 0.2647, 0.2554, 0.3225, 0.2179, 0.1175, 0.1828, 0.1063, 0.1249, 0.1115, 0.0334, -0.0461, -0.104, -0.1555, -0.1308, -0.0847, -0.0389, -0.1444, -0.1583, -0.071, -0.1015, -0.0428, -0.0428, -0.0409, 0.0124, -0.025, 0.0, 0.0392, -0.0089, 0.0143, -0.0254, -0.0539, -0.0469, -0.1135, -0.1797, -0.1817, -0.2373, -0.2106, -0.0956, -0.0575, -0.0899, -0.0788, -0.0788, -0.1145, -0.1302, -0.139, -0.1538, -0.1538, -0.0907, -0.0616, 0.0133, -0.0274, -0.0164, -0.01, 0.085, 0.0658, 0.0309, 0.0502, 0.0992, 0.0992, 0.0037, -0.0005, -0.0209, -0.0447, -0.0754, -0.0106, 0.0153, -0.0405, -0.1388, -0.1088, -0.0907, -0.1671, -0.2532, -0.1296, -0.0611, -0.0721, -0.1042, -0.0929, -0.0092, -0.0092, -0.0142, 0.0291, 0.0878, -0.0101, 0.0171, 0.037, 0.0728, 0.0603, -0.0781, -0.08, -0.1225, -0.0115, -0.0331, -0.0969, -0.0402, -0.0252, 0.1322, 0.0922, 0.1418, 0.3127, 0.176, 0.1985, 0.2285, 0.189, 0.154, 0.1616, 0.1635, 0.0713, 0.0192, -0.0673, 0.0489, 0.0306, 0.1001, 0.1001, 0.1377, 0.1868, 0.2636, 0.3782, 0.4655, 0.5625, 0.6371, 0.6859, 0.6715, 0.5886, 0.609, 0.5826, 0.5784, 0.5879, 0.4877, 0.4654, 0.3699, 0.4273, 0.3974, 0.5618, 0.7835, 0.7784, 0.9722, 0.8679, 0.7898, 0.8813, 0.8107, 1.0953, 1.2356, 1.2234, 1.0204, 0.9989, 0.9391, 1.2233, 1.1711, 1.1711, 1.1033, 1.1064, 1.2881]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1996223780386165059", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-03T14:23:31+00:00", "symbol": "UBER", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$UBER can ramp up their robotaxi network and save the costs of human drivers", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NBIS and UBER on Avride robotaxi integration driving scale and cost savings as human drivers are phased out.", "resolved_tickers": ["UBER"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So this is amazing for $NBIS Avride how $UBER is doing it. \n\nHow it works from what I understand is when someone requests a ride with ubebx and the usual, they get matched a $NBIS Avride robotaxi pickup from $UBER and have the option.  \n\n(this is huge for scale since it's not going out of the way to select a separate robotaxi section for more cost like uberx black).\n\nThere's a human behind the wheel at the start, just to monitor if things go well. But they'll be phased out like Waymo. \n\nIF this works out well, $UBER can ramp up their robotaxi network and save the costs of human drivers (and this benefits $NBIS too).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Nice. Do you know if it’s going to be unsupervised or will it have a safety driver?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "halldj00", "ret_m1d": -0.034296433611437194, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.034296433611437194, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.030845615201028798, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.030845615201028798, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003450818410408396, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003450818410408396, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0034185879747516967, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0034185879747516967, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0026875318207533194, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0026875318207533194, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0007310561539983773, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0007310561539983773, "ret_p1w": -0.07190115373978734, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07190115373978734, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07728215785820503, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07728215785820503, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005381004118417687, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005381004118417687, "ret_p1m": -0.09891928970572728, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09891928970572728, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09898508027182673, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09898508027182673, "bench_spy_p1m": 6.57905660994551e-05, "bench_c_p1m": 6.57905660994551e-05, "ret_p3m": -0.16243938362771315, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.16243938362771315, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.16904599508595242, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.16904599508595242, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006606611458239264, "bench_c_p3m": 0.006606611458239264, "ret_p6m": -0.217909153834692, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.217909153834692, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3275856177308847, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.3275856177308847, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10967646389619268, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10967646389619268, "price_path": [0.0034, 0.0406, 0.0526, 0.0389, 0.0441, 0.0575, 0.0901, 0.0788, 0.025, 0.0443, 0.0863, 0.0961, 0.0785, 0.0783, 0.0763, 0.0857, 0.098, 0.0804, 0.0654, 0.0654, 0.0653, 0.1039, 0.0785, 0.0948, 0.0587, 0.03, 0.0375, 0.0394, 0.0423, 0.0203, 0.0179, 0.0333, 0.0259, 0.0169, 0.0433, 0.0374, 0.0633, 0.0524, 0.056, 0.0641, 0.0642, 0.0997, 0.044, 0.0228, 0.0159, 0.0144, 0.0377, 0.0322, 0.0319, 0.0121, 0.0104, 0.0158, 0.002, -0.0127, -0.0807, -0.0751, -0.0771, -0.0771, -0.0554, -0.0554, -0.0346, -0.0453, -0.0343, 0.0, 0.0034, 0.0071, 0.0208, -0.0178, -0.0719, -0.0578, -0.0614, -0.0973, -0.1076, -0.1273, -0.1212, -0.1254, -0.1039, -0.1071, -0.1051, -0.1051, -0.1039, -0.1012, -0.0944, -0.0989, -0.0989, -0.0862, -0.1096, -0.0567, -0.0495, -0.0341, -0.0578, -0.0663, -0.0581, -0.0665, -0.0695, -0.0643, -0.0643, -0.0768, -0.0708, -0.0895, -0.0923, -0.0959, -0.1041, -0.1202, -0.099, -0.1172, -0.1085, -0.1406, -0.1848, -0.1706, -0.1755, -0.1849, -0.1895, -0.2169, -0.2146, -0.2282, -0.2282, -0.2222, -0.1975, -0.1956, -0.1855, -0.2201, -0.2128, -0.1968, -0.1751, -0.1683, -0.1624, -0.1579, -0.1547, -0.1681, -0.1715, -0.1857, -0.202, -0.1732, -0.1953, -0.1913, -0.1767, -0.1421, -0.1546, -0.1692, -0.1852, -0.1716, -0.2022, -0.1941, -0.222, -0.2371, -0.229, -0.2068, -0.2092, -0.2078, -0.2078, -0.2041, -0.209, -0.2018, -0.2081, -0.2228, -0.2022, -0.196, -0.1478, -0.1566, -0.1495, -0.1455, -0.148, -0.1665, -0.1762, -0.1769, -0.1589, -0.1827, -0.1788, -0.1772, -0.1716, -0.1847, -0.1955, -0.1269, -0.1538, -0.168, -0.1602, -0.1579, -0.1762, -0.1763, -0.1719, -0.172, -0.183, -0.1773, -0.1882, -0.208, -0.208, -0.2267, -0.22, -0.2179]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2009720858898772293", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-09T20:16:06+00:00", "symbol": "VLN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "algorithms are shorting the maximum amount of shares at these levels to the point they're about to run out for $VLN. They really messed up modeling", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish VLN: algorithmic short sellers have maxed out available shares and mispriced the model, implying a squeeze setup.", "resolved_tickers": ["VLN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@sslickith I still can’t believe algorithms are shorting the maximum amount of shares at these levels to the point they’re about to run out for $VLN\n\nThey really messed up modeling https://t.co/BUFviLSUX6", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit already up 10% thank you", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "sslickith", "ret_m1d": -0.37096776984608737, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.37096776984608737, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.36439787640680144, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.3446587667058081, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006569893439285934, "bench_c_m1d": -0.026309003140279286, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06854841733326134, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06854841733326134, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07011887114503312, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07224813070073988, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0015704538117717881, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003699713367478541, "ret_p1w": -0.19758064748717397, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.19758064748717397, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.19410836617330818, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2262791043822514, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.003472281313865788, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02869845689507744, "ret_p1m": -0.3870967865982611, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3870967865982611, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.38692395731858265, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.4318786390753073, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00017282927967843253, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04478185247704625, "ret_p3m": -0.471774220683696, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.471774220683696, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.44841378636724327, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5583576750317217, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.02336043431645274, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08658345434802572, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2661, -0.2581, -0.2863, -0.3105, -0.2742, -0.2863, -0.3024, -0.2903, -0.2823, -0.2944, -0.2903, -0.3105, -0.3145, -0.2621, -0.3065, -0.3589, -0.3306, -0.371, -0.3629, -0.3548, -0.2742, -0.3145, -0.3065, -0.2984, -0.371, -0.3871, -0.4153, -0.4274, -0.3952, -0.3831, -0.379, -0.3669, -0.3669, -0.3548, -0.3669, -0.3629, -0.3266, -0.3226, -0.3226, -0.3145, -0.3145, -0.3226, -0.3427, -0.3589, -0.379, -0.3831, -0.4032, -0.4032, -0.3992, -0.4113, -0.4355, -0.4435, -0.4435, -0.4194, -0.4315, -0.4435, -0.4274, -0.4274, -0.371, -0.3669, -0.3589, -0.375, -0.371, 0.0, -0.0685, -0.0565, -0.1573, -0.1573, -0.1976, -0.1976, -0.2177, -0.2097, -0.1532, -0.2097, -0.2581, -0.2581, -0.2863, -0.2903, -0.3145, -0.3266, -0.3548, -0.379, -0.4234, -0.379, -0.3871, -0.375, -0.379, -0.3952, -0.3871, -0.3871, -0.4113, -0.3992, -0.3992, -0.3911, -0.4032, -0.3831, -0.379, -0.3548, -0.4032, -0.4032, -0.4194, -0.4194, -0.4355, -0.4556, -0.4556, -0.4435, -0.4234, -0.4556, -0.4637, -0.4637, -0.4597, -0.496, -0.4839, -0.5081, -0.4919, -0.496, -0.4919, -0.5081, -0.5242, -0.5524, -0.5444, -0.5282, -0.5202, -0.5202, -0.5202, -0.5242, -0.4718, -0.4597, -0.4637, -0.4556, -0.4435, -0.4073, -0.375, -0.3871, -0.4073, -0.3952, -0.3508, -0.3347, -0.2782, -0.3508, -0.3911, -0.3911, -0.125, -0.0565, -0.0927, -0.0242, 0.0081, -0.0282, 0.125, 0.1492, 0.0887, 0.1895, 0.3589, 0.2298, 0.1371, 0.0726, 0.1694, 0.2339, 0.2984, 0.2984, 0.3145, 0.2702, 0.4113, 0.4234, 0.4234, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1973188544186425368", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-01T00:49:43+00:00", "symbol": "SPY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Right now, it's an especially great time to go LONG and if you don't have positions setup, use this time of uncertainty to stock up, not panic sell", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Go long equities into Oct-Dec on macro tailwinds, rate cuts, and seasonality; specifically names NBIS, AMZN, LULU as beneficiaries.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Personal thoughts for trading this October (macro + tailwinds):\n\n1. Government shutdown is 97% likely, already priced in Polymarket.\n\nAgain, this was already known way ahead of time. Which is why stuff like $VIRT or $VIX that I posted is a asymmetrical hedge during times of volatility.\n\nDon't be a panickan, this is already priced in and known in advance, usually during the actual news, what WSJ reports, people might panic sell or buy Puts.\n\nUse this opportunity to buy stocks on dips. Historically  initially, stocks drop on the news but ends up increasing new the tail end (eg. Oct 2021 (Debt Ceiling) 15 days, SPY +1.34%).\n\nRight now, it's an especially great time to go LONG and if you don't have positions setup, use this time of uncertainty to stock up, not panic sell.\n\n2. Polymarket is pricing in 56% of 75bps rate cuts this year. There's still a ton of macro tailwind for high growth stocks like $NBIS or RKLB or small caps on Russel.\n\nThis decreased ~8% last fed meeting off positive economic data, but it's still likely just for risk management, so adjust accordingly. (eg. growth stocks that rely on forward earnings, stuff like Zillow or others that benefit from increased housing sales from lower rates, or small cap stocks with floating interest debt cut).\n\nBut we'll likely get rate cut frontrunning in Oct after the short lived gov shutdown drop (if there is any)\n\n3. SEASONALITY TAILWIND. October (front-running) -> November -> December. Huge opportunity for stocks.\n\nE-Commerce like $AMZN, tech like $APPL retail like $LULU, etc. All benefit from seasonality such as Christmas shopping, Nov black friday deals.\n\nTech also performs great in December, so if you're position you can leverage longs aiming for March, on a government rate shutdown dip and just ride the wave until Jan.\n\nI don't know how how it's going to play out exactly, but just going off assumption that stocks drop off confirmation fears, it's likely short term and a great time to build long positions, not sell, because of macro + seasonality tailwind + immateriality of government shutdowns historically.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Lot of inspirational trader mindsets going around X lately like:\n \n\"It will pay off. Be Patient\". All BS. \n\nTraders consider sector momentum, catalysts, valuation, pullbacks, macro, IV, option flows, etc. \n\nHere's my mindset for short term trading for various stocks: \n\n1. $NBIS -", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00339590581271898, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00339590581271898, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00339590581271898, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00339590581271898, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.001151803537192908, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.001151803537192908, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001151803537192908, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001151803537192908, "ret_p1w": 0.006971336134344197, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.006971336134344197, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006971336134344197, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006971336134344197, "ret_p1m": 0.017024524976312794, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.017024524976312794, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017024524976312794, "bench_c_p1m": 0.017024524976312794, "ret_p3m": 0.032062985462279814, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.032062985462279814, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032062985462279814, "bench_c_p3m": 0.032062985462279814, "ret_p6m": -0.02945147778515056, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.02945147778515056, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02945147778515056, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02945147778515056, "price_path": [-0.0671, -0.074, -0.0745, -0.069, -0.0664, -0.0696, -0.0679, -0.0719, -0.0687, -0.0631, -0.0637, -0.062, -0.0618, -0.0538, -0.0535, -0.0495, -0.0498, -0.0523, -0.0535, -0.057, -0.0725, -0.0584, -0.0632, -0.056, -0.0568, -0.0494, -0.0513, -0.0412, -0.0379, -0.0378, -0.0401, -0.0403, -0.0455, -0.048, -0.0518, -0.0373, -0.0415, -0.0375, -0.0353, -0.0319, -0.0377, -0.0377, -0.0448, -0.0396, -0.0316, -0.0344, -0.032, -0.0298, -0.027, -0.0189, -0.0192, -0.014, -0.0154, -0.0166, -0.012, -0.0071, -0.0024, -0.0078, -0.011, -0.0156, -0.0099, -0.0071, -0.0034, 0.0, 0.0012, 0.0011, 0.0047, 0.001, 0.007, 0.0041, -0.0231, -0.0081, -0.0093, -0.0049, -0.0117, -0.0061, 0.0043, 0.0042, -0.001, 0.005, 0.0132, 0.0251, 0.0278, 0.0283, 0.017, 0.0204, 0.0223, 0.0102, 0.0137, 0.0028, 0.0038, 0.0194, 0.0218, 0.0223, 0.0054, 0.0052, -0.0042, -0.0125, -0.0087, -0.0238, -0.0141, 0.0004, 0.0098, 0.0168, 0.0168, 0.0224, 0.0177, 0.0196, 0.0231, 0.0238, 0.0258, 0.0227, 0.0218, 0.0286, 0.031, 0.0199, 0.0184, 0.0156, 0.0044, 0.012, 0.0212, 0.0275, 0.0322, 0.0359, 0.0359, 0.0358, 0.0321, 0.0308, 0.0232, 0.0232, 0.025, 0.0319, 0.038, 0.0347, 0.0346, 0.0414, 0.043, 0.0409, 0.0358, 0.0386, 0.0378, 0.0378, 0.0167, 0.0284, 0.0338, 0.0341, 0.0394, 0.0435, 0.0434, 0.0414, 0.0382, 0.0434, 0.0346, 0.0296, 0.0167, 0.0362, 0.0412, 0.0385, 0.0382, 0.0222, 0.0229, 0.0229, 0.0246, 0.0297, 0.027, 0.0344, 0.0239, 0.0313, 0.04, 0.0342, 0.0293, 0.0299, 0.0208, 0.028, 0.0223, 0.0089, 0.0177, 0.0161, 0.0148, -0.0006, -0.0063, 0.0038, 0.0065, -0.0076, -0.01, -0.0242, -0.014, -0.0173, -0.0118, -0.0295]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1973188544186425368", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-01T00:49:43+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "macro tailwind for high growth stocks like $NBIS", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Go long equities into Oct-Dec on macro tailwinds, rate cuts, and seasonality; specifically names NBIS, AMZN, LULU as beneficiaries.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Personal thoughts for trading this October (macro + tailwinds):\n\n1. Government shutdown is 97% likely, already priced in Polymarket.\n\nAgain, this was already known way ahead of time. Which is why stuff like $VIRT or $VIX that I posted is a asymmetrical hedge during times of volatility.\n\nDon't be a panickan, this is already priced in and known in advance, usually during the actual news, what WSJ reports, people might panic sell or buy Puts.\n\nUse this opportunity to buy stocks on dips. Historically  initially, stocks drop on the news but ends up increasing new the tail end (eg. Oct 2021 (Debt Ceiling) 15 days, SPY +1.34%).\n\nRight now, it's an especially great time to go LONG and if you don't have positions setup, use this time of uncertainty to stock up, not panic sell.\n\n2. Polymarket is pricing in 56% of 75bps rate cuts this year. There's still a ton of macro tailwind for high growth stocks like $NBIS or RKLB or small caps on Russel.\n\nThis decreased ~8% last fed meeting off positive economic data, but it's still likely just for risk management, so adjust accordingly. (eg. growth stocks that rely on forward earnings, stuff like Zillow or others that benefit from increased housing sales from lower rates, or small cap stocks with floating interest debt cut).\n\nBut we'll likely get rate cut frontrunning in Oct after the short lived gov shutdown drop (if there is any)\n\n3. SEASONALITY TAILWIND. October (front-running) -> November -> December. Huge opportunity for stocks.\n\nE-Commerce like $AMZN, tech like $APPL retail like $LULU, etc. All benefit from seasonality such as Christmas shopping, Nov black friday deals.\n\nTech also performs great in December, so if you're position you can leverage longs aiming for March, on a government rate shutdown dip and just ride the wave until Jan.\n\nI don't know how how it's going to play out exactly, but just going off assumption that stocks drop off confirmation fears, it's likely short term and a great time to build long positions, not sell, because of macro + seasonality tailwind + immateriality of government shutdowns historically.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Lot of inspirational trader mindsets going around X lately like:\n \n\"It will pay off. Be Patient\". All BS. \n\nTraders consider sector momentum, catalysts, valuation, pullbacks, macro, IV, option flows, etc. \n\nHere's my mindset for short term trading for various stocks: \n\n1. $NBIS -", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02889026857237209, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02889026857237209, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02549436275965311, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04311358907308438, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00339590581271898, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014223320500712289, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08874666622319705, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08874666622319705, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08759486268600414, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09097443027797636, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001151803537192908, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002227764054779313, "ret_p1w": 0.05527202971986056, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05527202971986056, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04830069358551636, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06495409586065626, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006971336134344197, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009682066140795698, "ret_p1m": 0.07412853256275187, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07412853256275187, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.057104007586439076, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09460657976745435, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017024524976312794, "bench_c_p1m": -0.020478047204702476, "ret_p3m": -0.2557737180063345, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2557737180063345, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.28783670346861434, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.26915438170383343, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032062985462279814, "bench_c_p3m": 0.013380663697498907, "ret_p6m": -0.08338378460993867, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.08338378460993867, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.05393230682478811, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.021697661768761534, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02945147778515056, "bench_c_p6m": -0.06168612284117714, "price_path": [-0.5653, -0.5862, -0.5926, -0.6017, -0.5984, -0.6168, -0.5506, -0.537, -0.5389, -0.5356, -0.5434, -0.547, -0.5588, -0.5512, -0.5488, -0.5557, -0.5437, -0.5641, -0.5564, -0.5292, -0.5502, -0.5314, -0.5228, -0.5235, -0.4351, -0.4051, -0.3924, -0.3484, -0.3891, -0.4078, -0.3805, -0.3725, -0.4188, -0.4164, -0.4276, -0.4033, -0.3943, -0.3904, -0.3937, -0.3769, -0.409, -0.409, -0.4315, -0.4321, -0.4385, -0.4337, -0.4459, -0.172, -0.1922, -0.2285, -0.218, -0.2132, -0.2265, -0.1862, -0.1859, -0.141, -0.0779, -0.0676, -0.0206, -0.0663, -0.0684, -0.0466, -0.0289, 0.0, 0.0887, 0.107, 0.0807, 0.0181, 0.0553, 0.1473, 0.1208, 0.1717, 0.1085, 0.0884, 0.0643, -0.0188, -0.0572, -0.098, -0.147, -0.0817, 0.0143, 0.0849, 0.0538, 0.0821, 0.0741, 0.1316, 0.042, -0.0439, 0.012, -0.0534, -0.0375, -0.049, -0.1158, -0.1838, -0.2334, -0.2774, -0.2563, -0.2168, -0.1777, -0.2679, -0.2798, -0.2051, -0.2312, -0.181, -0.181, -0.1794, -0.1337, -0.1657, -0.1444, -0.1108, -0.152, -0.1322, -0.1661, -0.1905, -0.1845, -0.2415, -0.2982, -0.2998, -0.3474, -0.3245, -0.2262, -0.1936, -0.2213, -0.2117, -0.2117, -0.2424, -0.2558, -0.2633, -0.276, -0.276, -0.222, -0.197, -0.1329, -0.1678, -0.1584, -0.1529, -0.0716, -0.0881, -0.1179, -0.1014, -0.0595, -0.0595, -0.1412, -0.1448, -0.1623, -0.1826, -0.2089, -0.1534, -0.1313, -0.1791, -0.2631, -0.2374, -0.222, -0.2873, -0.361, -0.2553, -0.1966, -0.206, -0.2335, -0.2239, -0.1522, -0.1522, -0.1565, -0.1195, -0.0692, -0.153, -0.1297, -0.1127, -0.0821, -0.0928, -0.2112, -0.2128, -0.2492, -0.1542, -0.1726, -0.2273, -0.1788, -0.1659, -0.0313, -0.0655, -0.023, 0.1232, 0.0062, 0.0255, 0.0511, 0.0174, -0.0126, -0.0061, -0.0045, -0.0834]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1973188544186425368", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-01T00:49:43+00:00", "symbol": "AMZN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "E-Commerce like $AMZN", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Go long equities into Oct-Dec on macro tailwinds, rate cuts, and seasonality; specifically names NBIS, AMZN, LULU as beneficiaries.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMZN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Personal thoughts for trading this October (macro + tailwinds):\n\n1. Government shutdown is 97% likely, already priced in Polymarket.\n\nAgain, this was already known way ahead of time. Which is why stuff like $VIRT or $VIX that I posted is a asymmetrical hedge during times of volatility.\n\nDon't be a panickan, this is already priced in and known in advance, usually during the actual news, what WSJ reports, people might panic sell or buy Puts.\n\nUse this opportunity to buy stocks on dips. Historically  initially, stocks drop on the news but ends up increasing new the tail end (eg. Oct 2021 (Debt Ceiling) 15 days, SPY +1.34%).\n\nRight now, it's an especially great time to go LONG and if you don't have positions setup, use this time of uncertainty to stock up, not panic sell.\n\n2. Polymarket is pricing in 56% of 75bps rate cuts this year. There's still a ton of macro tailwind for high growth stocks like $NBIS or RKLB or small caps on Russel.\n\nThis decreased ~8% last fed meeting off positive economic data, but it's still likely just for risk management, so adjust accordingly. (eg. growth stocks that rely on forward earnings, stuff like Zillow or others that benefit from increased housing sales from lower rates, or small cap stocks with floating interest debt cut).\n\nBut we'll likely get rate cut frontrunning in Oct after the short lived gov shutdown drop (if there is any)\n\n3. SEASONALITY TAILWIND. October (front-running) -> November -> December. Huge opportunity for stocks.\n\nE-Commerce like $AMZN, tech like $APPL retail like $LULU, etc. All benefit from seasonality such as Christmas shopping, Nov black friday deals.\n\nTech also performs great in December, so if you're position you can leverage longs aiming for March, on a government rate shutdown dip and just ride the wave until Jan.\n\nI don't know how how it's going to play out exactly, but just going off assumption that stocks drop off confirmation fears, it's likely short term and a great time to build long positions, not sell, because of macro + seasonality tailwind + immateriality of government shutdowns historically.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Lot of inspirational trader mindsets going around X lately like:\n \n\"It will pay off. Be Patient\". All BS. \n\nTraders consider sector momentum, catalysts, valuation, pullbacks, macro, IV, option flows, etc. \n\nHere's my mindset for short term trading for various stocks: \n\n1. $NBIS -", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.004804412523839452, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004804412523839452, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0014085067111204719, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.001415984650985136, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00339590581271898, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006220397174824588, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008067800117406154, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008067800117406154, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006915996580213246, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015283529453130051, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001151803537192908, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007215729335723897, "ret_p1w": 0.02080404403892655, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02080404403892655, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.013832707904582353, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04046063125478805, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006971336134344197, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0196565872158615, "ret_p1m": 0.01010740007336497, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.01010740007336497, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.006917124902947824, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04075349116312499, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017024524976312794, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03064609108976002, "ret_p3m": 0.05185152603102461, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05185152603102461, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.019788540568744795, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.047542824780985926, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032062985462279814, "bench_c_p3m": 0.004308701250038682, "ret_p6m": -0.05933015141631548, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.05933015141631548, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.02987867363116492, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.03443500457581028, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02945147778515056, "bench_c_p6m": -0.09376515599212576, "price_path": [0.0126, 0.0129, -0.0058, 0.0087, 0.0074, 0.0199, 0.0229, 0.0259, 0.0116, 0.0147, 0.0249, 0.0393, 0.031, 0.0347, 0.0526, 0.049, 0.0551, 0.047, 0.0433, 0.0611, -0.0267, -0.0407, -0.0312, 0.0076, 0.0113, 0.0093, 0.003, 0.0038, 0.0178, 0.0469, 0.0471, 0.0492, 0.0334, 0.0144, 0.006, 0.0372, 0.0331, 0.0366, 0.0385, 0.0497, 0.0379, 0.0379, 0.0213, 0.0243, 0.0682, 0.053, 0.0689, 0.0798, 0.044, 0.0422, 0.0341, 0.049, 0.0608, 0.0498, 0.048, 0.0492, 0.0317, 0.0004, -0.0019, -0.0112, -0.0039, 0.007, -0.0048, 0.0, 0.0081, -0.0051, 0.0012, 0.0052, 0.0208, 0.0322, -0.0193, -0.0025, -0.0192, -0.0229, -0.0279, -0.0344, -0.0188, 0.0063, -0.0121, 0.0021, 0.0162, 0.0287, 0.0391, 0.0438, 0.0101, 0.1069, 0.1512, 0.13, 0.134, 0.1016, 0.1078, 0.1259, 0.129, 0.1068, 0.0768, 0.0637, 0.0555, 0.0087, 0.0093, -0.0158, 0.0003, 0.0256, 0.041, 0.0387, 0.0387, 0.0571, 0.0601, 0.0625, 0.0533, 0.0384, 0.0403, 0.0284, 0.033, 0.0505, 0.0437, 0.0252, 0.0087, 0.0087, 0.0029, 0.0278, 0.0305, 0.0354, 0.0522, 0.0533, 0.0533, 0.0539, 0.0519, 0.0539, 0.0462, 0.0462, 0.0266, 0.0563, 0.092, 0.0949, 0.1163, 0.1212, 0.1171, 0.0996, 0.0726, 0.0795, 0.0838, 0.0838, 0.047, 0.0484, 0.0621, 0.084, 0.0806, 0.109, 0.1014, 0.0956, 0.0846, 0.1012, 0.0815, 0.056, 0.0093, -0.0467, -0.054, -0.062, -0.075, -0.0953, -0.099, -0.099, -0.0883, -0.0718, -0.0715, -0.0477, -0.0696, -0.0547, -0.0453, -0.0576, -0.0482, -0.0555, -0.0539, -0.0173, -0.0077, -0.0336, -0.0324, -0.0286, -0.0362, -0.0503, -0.0587, -0.0403, -0.0246, -0.0488, -0.0538, -0.0692, -0.0475, -0.0607, -0.0404, -0.0593]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1973188544186425368", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-10-01T00:49:43+00:00", "symbol": "LULU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "retail like $LULU", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Go long equities into Oct-Dec on macro tailwinds, rate cuts, and seasonality; specifically names NBIS, AMZN, LULU as beneficiaries.", "resolved_tickers": ["LULU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Personal thoughts for trading this October (macro + tailwinds):\n\n1. Government shutdown is 97% likely, already priced in Polymarket.\n\nAgain, this was already known way ahead of time. Which is why stuff like $VIRT or $VIX that I posted is a asymmetrical hedge during times of volatility.\n\nDon't be a panickan, this is already priced in and known in advance, usually during the actual news, what WSJ reports, people might panic sell or buy Puts.\n\nUse this opportunity to buy stocks on dips. Historically  initially, stocks drop on the news but ends up increasing new the tail end (eg. Oct 2021 (Debt Ceiling) 15 days, SPY +1.34%).\n\nRight now, it's an especially great time to go LONG and if you don't have positions setup, use this time of uncertainty to stock up, not panic sell.\n\n2. Polymarket is pricing in 56% of 75bps rate cuts this year. There's still a ton of macro tailwind for high growth stocks like $NBIS or RKLB or small caps on Russel.\n\nThis decreased ~8% last fed meeting off positive economic data, but it's still likely just for risk management, so adjust accordingly. (eg. growth stocks that rely on forward earnings, stuff like Zillow or others that benefit from increased housing sales from lower rates, or small cap stocks with floating interest debt cut).\n\nBut we'll likely get rate cut frontrunning in Oct after the short lived gov shutdown drop (if there is any)\n\n3. SEASONALITY TAILWIND. October (front-running) -> November -> December. Huge opportunity for stocks.\n\nE-Commerce like $AMZN, tech like $APPL retail like $LULU, etc. All benefit from seasonality such as Christmas shopping, Nov black friday deals.\n\nTech also performs great in December, so if you're position you can leverage longs aiming for March, on a government rate shutdown dip and just ride the wave until Jan.\n\nI don't know how how it's going to play out exactly, but just going off assumption that stocks drop off confirmation fears, it's likely short term and a great time to build long positions, not sell, because of macro + seasonality tailwind + immateriality of government shutdowns historically.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Lot of inspirational trader mindsets going around X lately like:\n \n\"It will pay off. Be Patient\". All BS. \n\nTraders consider sector momentum, catalysts, valuation, pullbacks, macro, IV, option flows, etc. \n\nHere's my mindset for short term trading for various stocks: \n\n1. $NBIS -", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0020272869105941727, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0020272869105941727, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005423192723313153, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005423192723313153, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00339590581271898, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00339590581271898, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0035478380246567465, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0035478380246567465, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0023960344874638384, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0023960344874638384, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001151803537192908, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001151803537192908, "ret_p1w": -0.015486849617451837, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.015486849617451837, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.022458185751796034, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.022458185751796034, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006971336134344197, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006971336134344197, "ret_p1m": -0.05378162222137439, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05378162222137439, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07080614719768719, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07080614719768719, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017024524976312794, "bench_c_p1m": 0.017024524976312794, "ret_p3m": 0.19693633226056928, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.19693633226056928, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.16487334679828947, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.16487334679828947, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032062985462279814, "bench_c_p3m": 0.032062985462279814, "ret_p6m": -0.1474348530423224, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.1474348530423224, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.11798337525717184, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.11798337525717184, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.02945147778515056, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02945147778515056, "price_path": [0.3948, 0.3379, 0.3434, 0.3284, 0.3432, 0.3319, 0.289, 0.2513, 0.2734, 0.3139, 0.294, 0.257, 0.2611, 0.2616, 0.2316, 0.2357, 0.2197, 0.2054, 0.1628, 0.1293, 0.0888, 0.1063, 0.0986, 0.1067, 0.0764, 0.0668, 0.05, 0.0865, 0.1291, 0.0992, 0.1176, 0.1467, 0.1131, 0.1157, 0.1161, 0.1691, 0.1401, 0.1406, 0.1577, 0.1549, 0.1387, 0.1387, 0.1275, 0.118, 0.1606, -0.055, -0.0533, -0.0669, -0.077, -0.0664, -0.0997, -0.0991, -0.0858, -0.0793, -0.044, -0.0448, -0.0234, -0.0239, 0.0093, -0.0313, -0.0072, 0.0087, 0.002, 0.0, 0.0035, -0.0112, -0.0194, -0.0248, -0.0155, -0.023, -0.0567, -0.0435, -0.0475, -0.059, -0.0729, -0.0572, -0.0289, 0.0215, 0.0041, 0.0084, 0.0034, 0.0215, 0.0136, -0.0409, -0.0538, -0.0396, -0.0681, -0.0952, -0.0562, -0.079, -0.0644, -0.0407, -0.0437, -0.0376, -0.0445, -0.0388, -0.0755, -0.0766, -0.0648, -0.0725, -0.0529, -0.0445, -0.0003, 0.0246, 0.0246, 0.0372, 0.0273, 0.0272, 0.0266, 0.034, 0.0701, 0.0308, 0.0265, 0.0566, 0.0532, 0.1543, 0.1617, 0.1643, 0.1706, 0.2114, 0.1795, 0.196, 0.1977, 0.1849, 0.1849, 0.1768, 0.1969, 0.1864, 0.1703, 0.1703, 0.1872, 0.1961, 0.2157, 0.1923, 0.1949, 0.1483, 0.1772, 0.1933, 0.144, 0.1545, 0.1368, 0.1368, 0.063, 0.0691, 0.0962, 0.076, 0.0857, 0.0497, 0.0157, -0.0283, -0.0173, 0.0085, -0.0338, 0.0024, -0.0421, -0.0266, -0.0106, 0.0172, -0.0096, -0.0453, -0.0065, -0.0065, 0.0008, 0.0257, 0.0299, 0.0548, 0.003, 0.0108, 0.028, 0.048, 0.0428, -0.0079, -0.0186, -0.0246, -0.0247, -0.0419, -0.044, -0.0627, -0.0832, -0.1091, -0.1114, -0.0995, -0.1031, -0.0686, -0.0676, -0.0831, -0.0743, -0.0936, -0.1062, -0.1474]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1996263556527120521", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-03T17:01:35+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS, the parent company of the self-driving cars Uber uses, got sent down -3% and is now worth less than $24B", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NBIS: market is mispricing the parent of Uber's self-driving cars relative to UBER and TSLA.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "WHAT IS THE MARKET SMOKING??? \n\nWall Street sent $UBER, a $180B+ company, up 3.4%, $6B+ today off of its self-driving cars.\n\nBut $NBIS, the parent company of the self-driving cars Uber uses, got sent down -3% and is now worth less than $24B. https://t.co/ahpz7B0mwx", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Make this make sense...\n\n$TSLA: FSD level 2 robotaxis -&gt; market adds ~$300B off a $1T+ valuation.   \n\n$NBIS: FSD level 4 robotaxis -&gt; down 3.55% off a $23B marketcap. https://t.co/kMGzihza3V", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.024969685265102903, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.024969685265102903, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.021518866854694507, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.025838245601834675, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003450818410408396, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0008685603367317718, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.039223665129732854, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.039223665129732854, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03849260897573448, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.033491020179764686, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0007310561539983773, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005732644949968169, "ret_p1w": -0.0538819442955466, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0538819442955466, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05926294841396429, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07073246834962588, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005381004118417687, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016850524054079274, "ret_p1m": -0.15381112635995964, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15381112635995964, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1538769169260591, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.17961763261918973, "bench_spy_p1m": 6.57905660994551e-05, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02580650625923009, "ret_p3m": -0.07996356832928131, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07996356832928131, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08657017978752057, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10707721687827598, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006606611458239264, "bench_c_p3m": 0.027113648548994673, "ret_p6m": 1.2881116106707249, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.2881116106707249, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.1784351467745322, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.2682104876915048, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10967646389619268, "bench_c_p6m": 0.019901122979220087, "price_path": [-0.3382, -0.3524, -0.0323, -0.0559, -0.0984, -0.086, -0.0805, -0.0959, -0.0489, -0.0485, 0.0039, 0.0776, 0.0898, 0.1447, 0.0912, 0.0888, 0.1142, 0.135, 0.1687, 0.2724, 0.2938, 0.263, 0.1899, 0.2333, 0.3409, 0.3099, 0.3694, 0.2955, 0.272, 0.2438, 0.1468, 0.1019, 0.0542, -0.003, 0.0732, 0.1854, 0.268, 0.2316, 0.2647, 0.2554, 0.3225, 0.2179, 0.1175, 0.1828, 0.1063, 0.1249, 0.1115, 0.0334, -0.0461, -0.104, -0.1555, -0.1308, -0.0847, -0.0389, -0.1444, -0.1583, -0.071, -0.1015, -0.0428, -0.0428, -0.0409, 0.0124, -0.025, 0.0, 0.0392, -0.0089, 0.0143, -0.0254, -0.0539, -0.0469, -0.1135, -0.1797, -0.1817, -0.2373, -0.2106, -0.0956, -0.0575, -0.0899, -0.0788, -0.0788, -0.1145, -0.1302, -0.139, -0.1538, -0.1538, -0.0907, -0.0616, 0.0133, -0.0274, -0.0164, -0.01, 0.085, 0.0658, 0.0309, 0.0502, 0.0992, 0.0992, 0.0037, -0.0005, -0.0209, -0.0447, -0.0754, -0.0106, 0.0153, -0.0405, -0.1388, -0.1088, -0.0907, -0.1671, -0.2532, -0.1296, -0.0611, -0.0721, -0.1042, -0.0929, -0.0092, -0.0092, -0.0142, 0.0291, 0.0878, -0.0101, 0.0171, 0.037, 0.0728, 0.0603, -0.0781, -0.08, -0.1225, -0.0115, -0.0331, -0.0969, -0.0402, -0.0252, 0.1322, 0.0922, 0.1418, 0.3127, 0.176, 0.1985, 0.2285, 0.189, 0.154, 0.1616, 0.1635, 0.0713, 0.0192, -0.0673, 0.0489, 0.0306, 0.1001, 0.1001, 0.1377, 0.1868, 0.2636, 0.3782, 0.4655, 0.5625, 0.6371, 0.6859, 0.6715, 0.5886, 0.609, 0.5826, 0.5784, 0.5879, 0.4877, 0.4654, 0.3699, 0.4273, 0.3974, 0.5618, 0.7835, 0.7784, 0.9722, 0.8679, 0.7898, 0.8813, 0.8107, 1.0953, 1.2356, 1.2234, 1.0204, 0.9989, 0.9391, 1.2233, 1.1711, 1.1711, 1.1033, 1.1064, 1.2881]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1998093888180170902", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-08T18:14:40+00:00", "symbol": "SMCI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I put my thesis here on why it's bound for a recovery due to forward revenue backlog in Q2 2026", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish SMCI: thesis points to recovery driven by forward revenue backlog by Q2 2026.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMCI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@LandoInvests Happy to debate $SMCI, I put my thesis here on why it's bound for a recovery due to forward revenue backlog in  Q2 2026. \n\nhttps://t.co/FJj3yXlhGT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I’d love to hear the thesis on $SMCI I’m a firm hater", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LandoInvests", "ret_m1d": -0.01922534141110155, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01922534141110155, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02223867180652761, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012248352095429405, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0030133303954260615, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006976989315672144, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.009895348733120368, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.009895348733120368, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009032293555503168, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012537021767834444, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0008630551776172002, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002641673034714076, "ret_p1w": -0.11309013891559705, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11309013891559705, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10884804134313275, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07698634131368642, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004242097572464298, "bench_c_p1w": -0.036103797601910625, "ret_p1m": -0.13655635177312242, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.13655635177312242, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1515121139100154, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13142474021887074, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.01495576213689298, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0051316115542516805, "ret_p3m": -0.0884929982453686, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0884929982453686, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0880442311024503, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0394691725062406, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0004487671429183049, "bench_c_p3m": -0.049023825739128, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2414, 0.2426, 0.2723, 0.283, 0.2697, 0.2694, 0.2988, 0.2952, 0.3251, 0.3285, 0.3062, 0.3073, 0.2954, 0.3107, 0.3554, 0.4812, 0.4843, 0.469, 0.5442, 0.557, 0.659, 0.6392, 0.4945, 0.5479, 0.5016, 0.525, 0.5222, 0.4753, 0.5561, 0.5499, 0.4843, 0.3548, 0.3653, 0.458, 0.4804, 0.4897, 0.4241, 0.469, 0.4348, 0.3401, 0.1883, 0.1405, 0.1241, 0.1363, 0.0975, 0.0718, -0.0079, 0.0297, -0.0359, -0.0133, -0.0464, -0.1077, -0.0899, -0.058, -0.0817, -0.0718, -0.0718, -0.043, -0.0554, -0.0693, -0.0478, -0.0322, -0.0192, 0.0, -0.0099, -0.0133, -0.0382, -0.0859, -0.1131, -0.1049, -0.1563, -0.1696, -0.1204, -0.1216, -0.1303, -0.1363, -0.1363, -0.1337, -0.1496, -0.1617, -0.1725, -0.1725, -0.1247, -0.1498, -0.1366, -0.1515, -0.1547, -0.1473, -0.1484, -0.1914, -0.2007, -0.1682, -0.0772, -0.0772, -0.112, -0.0885, -0.0826, -0.1038, -0.1292, -0.1179, -0.1176, -0.1484, -0.177, -0.16, -0.1612, -0.0455, -0.1278, -0.028, -0.052, -0.0577, -0.0941, -0.1397, -0.1366, -0.1366, -0.1487, -0.16, -0.0908, -0.0834, -0.1318, -0.1199, -0.05, -0.0874, -0.0843, -0.1001, -0.1326, -0.0769, -0.0885, -0.1148, -0.0958, -0.1012, -0.1012, -0.1264, -0.1306, -0.0992, -0.1091, -0.1419, -0.1295, -0.4196, -0.3899, -0.3715, -0.32, -0.3721, -0.3789, -0.4046, -0.3562, -0.3636, -0.3435, -0.3435, -0.3766, -0.3591, -0.3393, -0.3435, -0.2858, -0.2658, -0.231, -0.2284, -0.1971, -0.1925, -0.1855, -0.1962, -0.175, -0.2437, -0.1778, -0.2126, -0.2296, -0.2559, -0.2253, -0.2341, -0.2106, -0.2132, -0.0201, -0.0495, 0.0, -0.0523, -0.0729, -0.0953, -0.0662, -0.1224, -0.1278, -0.136, -0.054, -0.054, 0.0059, 0.0059, 0.0489, 0.0797, 0.1677, 0.3031, 0.3031, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1992984440960921604", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-24T15:51:33+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Nebius [ $NBIS ] is the most undervalued growth company right now. And it has the potential to become the next $GOOGL at a $21B market cap.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS as most undervalued growth co at $21B mktcap; 700%+ Y/Y core revenue, $7.6B portfolio, MSCI inclusion inflows imminent — last month under $90.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Nebius [ $NBIS ] is the most undervalued growth company right now. \n\nAnd it has the potential to become the next $GOOGL at a $21B market cap. There's one simple reason:\n\nIt's portfolio companies are mindblowing.\n\nThe most incredible example on this concept is the company $FTX. Here's the story:\n\nWhen we look at how $META grew into a $1T+ company, it wasn't just Facebook. It was their portfolio companies Instagram, Whatsapp, and others made Meta dominate the social media landscape.\n\n$FTX was doing something similar, but in digital assets and frontier technologies. \n\nFour years ago, in 2021, $FTX invested $5.8B into a large basket of assets. And put a large chunk into these three core companies:\n\n1. Anthropic, 13.56% at a $2.5 Billion valuation.\n2. Robinhood [ $HOOD ] 7.6% at a $8.54B valuation\n3. Solana [ $SOL ], 41M+ tokens. \n\nFast forward to today, that would have been:\n\n· Anthropic in it's latest round is worth $350B. That stake would have been worth ~$47.4B.\n\n· Robinhood is now worth over $100B. That stake would be worth ~$7.6B.\n\n· Solana is now worth  $131.5 per token, making the stake well over $5.7B. \n\nThose three companies alone generated well over $55B+ in value in 4 years time, and this is not even including FTX's tens of billions of dollars + hundreds of other investments + holdings in Chime, Layerzero, Aptos, Hidden Road (bought by $COIN), and crypto.\n\nTheir portfolio companies outlasted their core business (and imagine, how much it would have been worth if the core business kept scaling like $GOOGL search did alongside Youtube). \n\n$NBIS now has the same setup as $FTX did in crypto, $META in social media, but in artificial intelligence with a legitimate and incredibly rapidly growing core business. \n\nNebius owns:\n\n1. Clickhouse, 28% at a ~$7B valuation ($6.3 H1 2025)\n2. Avride, 83% at a ~$6B valuation. (post Uber raise)\n3. Toloka AI, ~65% at a ~$640 million valuation \n4. TripleTen, 100% at a ~$300m valuation.\n\n· Clickhouse powers Anthropic, $META, $TSLA, $NET, and many fortune 500 companies.\n\n· Avride is a self-driving car robotaxi company, spun out of Yandex that $UBER invested in a $375M round in to compete with Waymo.\n\n· Toloka is a AI labeling platform that Amazon, Microsoft, Anthropic, and Shopify uses. \n\n$1.96B + $4.96B + $416M + $300m = $7.6B valuation in portfolio companies that are growing faster than most public growth companies. \n\nBut if we look at their core business that is scaling to 700%+ Y/Y to $7-9B ARR, with $4.8B in cash, powering $META, $MSFT, Cursor, governments, and many more... \n\nThis might be the last month it's under $90 before it receives hundreds of millions to low billions of extra inflows from MSCI inclusion today. There's no other datacenter growth company that has this type of portfolio if we look at crowd favorites like $IREN or $CIFR. \n\n$NBIS is only valued at $21B and the market is sleeping on this opportunity.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The Neocloud Sector Tierlist.\n\nPost Q3 earnings + Market Sector Drop:\n\n[S] Tier: $NBIS\n[A] Tier:  $CIFR, $WULF, $IREN\n[B] Tier: $GLXY, $CORZ\n[C] Tier:  $APLD, $CLSK\n[D] Tier: $WLAC, $DGDX, $WYFI\n[F] Tier, $CRWV*, $SLNH\n[U] Tier: $GRRR, $MARA, $DGDX, $CLSK, $BITF,  $HIVE, $RIOT ** https://t.co/FT5PDtyULL", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.09401522574747101, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09401522574747101, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07951021084950338, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08419309478962045, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014505014897967627, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009822130957850561, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.032861852255905655, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.032861852255905655, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04226784369796155, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.044276829152403385, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009405991442055894, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01141497689649773, "ret_p1w": 0.08977148926027834, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08977148926027834, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07251488706167031, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07348978131197503, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01725660219860803, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016281707948303303, "ret_p1m": -0.020348234118967246, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.020348234118967246, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05214418065646209, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06246872564745665, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031795946537494846, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0421204915284894, "ret_p3m": 0.17094666837463257, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.17094666837463257, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.14437008191616507, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.14880038202328993, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0265765864584675, "bench_c_p3m": 0.022146286351342637, "ret_p6m": 1.1515777197442003, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.1515777197442003, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.0481310897708718, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.119846568058765, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10344662997332854, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03173115168543528, "price_path": [-0.2372, -0.2161, -0.2566, -0.2566, -0.2849, -0.2856, -0.2937, -0.2876, -0.3029, 0.0416, 0.0162, -0.0295, -0.0162, -0.0102, -0.0269, 0.0237, 0.0242, 0.0806, 0.16, 0.173, 0.2321, 0.1745, 0.1719, 0.1993, 0.2217, 0.258, 0.3696, 0.3926, 0.3595, 0.2807, 0.3275, 0.4433, 0.41, 0.474, 0.3945, 0.3692, 0.3388, 0.2344, 0.1861, 0.1347, 0.0731, 0.1552, 0.276, 0.3649, 0.3257, 0.3613, 0.3513, 0.4235, 0.3109, 0.2028, 0.2731, 0.1909, 0.2109, 0.1964, 0.1123, 0.0268, -0.0356, -0.091, -0.0644, -0.0148, 0.0345, -0.079, -0.094, 0.0, -0.0329, 0.0304, 0.0304, 0.0323, 0.0898, 0.0495, 0.0764, 0.1186, 0.0668, 0.0917, 0.0491, 0.0184, 0.0259, -0.0458, -0.1171, -0.1192, -0.179, -0.1503, -0.0266, 0.0145, -0.0203, -0.0084, -0.0084, -0.0469, -0.0638, -0.0732, -0.0892, -0.0892, -0.0212, 0.0101, 0.0908, 0.0469, 0.0588, 0.0656, 0.1679, 0.1472, 0.1097, 0.1304, 0.1831, 0.1831, 0.0804, 0.0758, 0.0539, 0.0283, -0.0048, 0.065, 0.0928, 0.0328, -0.073, -0.0407, -0.0212, -0.1035, -0.1962, -0.0631, 0.0107, -0.0012, -0.0358, -0.0236, 0.0665, 0.0665, 0.0612, 0.1077, 0.1709, 0.0655, 0.0948, 0.1162, 0.1547, 0.1412, -0.0077, -0.0097, -0.0555, 0.064, 0.0408, -0.028, 0.0331, 0.0493, 0.2187, 0.1756, 0.2291, 0.4129, 0.2658, 0.2901, 0.3223, 0.2799, 0.2421, 0.2504, 0.2523, 0.1531, 0.0971, 0.0039, 0.1291, 0.1094, 0.1841, 0.1841, 0.2246, 0.2775, 0.3602, 0.4835, 0.5775, 0.6818, 0.7621, 0.8147, 0.7991, 0.7099, 0.7319, 0.7035, 0.699, 0.7092, 0.6013, 0.5774, 0.4745, 0.5363, 0.5041, 0.6811, 0.9197, 0.9143, 1.1229, 1.0106, 0.9266, 1.025, 0.949, 1.2554, 1.4064, 1.3933, 1.1748, 1.1516]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1982487903721886190", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-26T16:42:03+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Nebius's structural model (full-stack + orchestration + amortization) still points to sustainably higher margins than miners like IREN using middleware", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NBIS on structurally superior margins via full-stack + orchestration; bearish IREN as middleware-dependent miner with inferior margin profile.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "That’s not true, $NBIS margins include colo fees and the costs are reflected in the 29% cost of revenue.\n\n$IREN owns the sites too, but it doesn’t give much of a margin advantage over $NBIS. Thing you didn’t read was software (orchestration, utilization) and no revenue margin cut (fluidstack, poolside), drives higher margins.\n\nSaying intelligent people stopped comparing tradeoffs between capacity and margins is the dumbest take I’ve seen so far, congrats.\n\n---\n\n@FransBakker9812 Also I’ve been more conservative with margin estimates in case it’s a one-off quarter.\n\nEven adjusting for normalization, Nebius’s structural model (full-stack + orchestration + amortization) still points to sustainably higher margins than miners like IREN using middleware", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0651359176358719, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0651359176358719, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05347576869210846, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.051394016667661524, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013741900968210374, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02870125540430646, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02870125540430646, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.031357254360897535, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.023750721096447047, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004950534307859411, "ret_p1w": -0.03954396135218685, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03954396135218685, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.036771241766913265, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.009072772543005425, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": -0.030471188809181426, "ret_p1m": -0.291397615903933, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.291397615903933, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2764831740059033, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2669865978192385, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02441101808469448, "ret_p3m": -0.22785618880266678, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22785618880266678, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23628515601411337, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.22330124633290094, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": -0.004554942469765844, "ret_p6m": 0.24810653488691647, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.24810653488691647, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.21476196842477524, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.24166768131940364, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": 0.006438853567512837, "price_path": [-0.5911, -0.5661, -0.5854, -0.5681, -0.5602, -0.5608, -0.4793, -0.4516, -0.44, -0.3994, -0.4369, -0.4542, -0.429, -0.4217, -0.4643, -0.4621, -0.4724, -0.4501, -0.4418, -0.4381, -0.4411, -0.4257, -0.4553, -0.4553, -0.476, -0.4766, -0.4825, -0.478, -0.4893, -0.2369, -0.2554, -0.2889, -0.2792, -0.2748, -0.287, -0.2499, -0.2496, -0.2082, -0.1501, -0.1406, -0.0973, -0.1394, -0.1414, -0.1213, -0.1049, -0.0783, 0.0035, 0.0203, -0.0039, -0.0616, -0.0273, 0.0575, 0.0331, 0.08, 0.0217, 0.0032, -0.0191, -0.0956, -0.131, -0.1686, -0.2137, -0.1536, -0.0651, 0.0, -0.0287, -0.0026, -0.01, 0.043, -0.0395, -0.1187, -0.0672, -0.1275, -0.1128, -0.1234, -0.185, -0.2477, -0.2934, -0.334, -0.3145, -0.2782, -0.242, -0.3252, -0.3362, -0.2673, -0.2914, -0.2451, -0.2451, -0.2436, -0.2015, -0.231, -0.2114, -0.1804, -0.2184, -0.2001, -0.2314, -0.2538, -0.2483, -0.3009, -0.3531, -0.3546, -0.3985, -0.3774, -0.2868, -0.2567, -0.2822, -0.2735, -0.2735, -0.3017, -0.314, -0.321, -0.3327, -0.3327, -0.2829, -0.2599, -0.2008, -0.233, -0.2243, -0.2192, -0.1443, -0.1595, -0.187, -0.1718, -0.1331, -0.1331, -0.2084, -0.2118, -0.2279, -0.2466, -0.2708, -0.2197, -0.1993, -0.2433, -0.3208, -0.2971, -0.2829, -0.3431, -0.4111, -0.3136, -0.2595, -0.2682, -0.2936, -0.2846, -0.2186, -0.2186, -0.2225, -0.1884, -0.1421, -0.2193, -0.1979, -0.1822, -0.154, -0.1638, -0.273, -0.2744, -0.308, -0.2204, -0.2374, -0.2878, -0.2431, -0.2312, -0.1071, -0.1386, -0.0995, 0.0352, -0.0726, -0.0548, -0.0312, -0.0623, -0.0899, -0.0839, -0.0824, -0.1551, -0.1962, -0.2645, -0.1728, -0.1872, -0.1324, -0.1324, -0.1028, -0.064, -0.0034, 0.0869, 0.1558, 0.2322, 0.2911, 0.3296, 0.3182, 0.2528, 0.2689, 0.2481]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1982487903721886190", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-26T16:42:03+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$IREN owns the sites too, but it doesn't give much of a margin advantage over $NBIS", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NBIS on structurally superior margins via full-stack + orchestration; bearish IREN as middleware-dependent miner with inferior margin profile.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "That’s not true, $NBIS margins include colo fees and the costs are reflected in the 29% cost of revenue.\n\n$IREN owns the sites too, but it doesn’t give much of a margin advantage over $NBIS. Thing you didn’t read was software (orchestration, utilization) and no revenue margin cut (fluidstack, poolside), drives higher margins.\n\nSaying intelligent people stopped comparing tradeoffs between capacity and margins is the dumbest take I’ve seen so far, congrats.\n\n---\n\n@FransBakker9812 Also I’ve been more conservative with margin estimates in case it’s a one-off quarter.\n\nEven adjusting for normalization, Nebius’s structural model (full-stack + orchestration + amortization) still points to sustainably higher margins than miners like IREN using middleware", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03215873836881211, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03215873836881211, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.020498589425048674, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.028033473816390764, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011660148943763438, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004125264552421348, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.039544541918764, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.039544541918764, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.042200540875355075, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03316916586003127, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002655998956591077, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006375376058732729, "ret_p1w": 0.04246810627715236, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04246810627715236, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04524082586242595, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0645944793271267, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027727195852735864, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022126373049974335, "ret_p1m": -0.2695798925827233, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2695798925827233, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2546654506846936, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.25476647211453674, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014914441898029707, "bench_c_p1m": -0.014813420468186567, "ret_p3m": -0.1958762880546734, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1958762880546734, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.20430525526611998, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.20840337820819355, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.008428967211446592, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01252709015352016, "ret_p6m": -0.30497000071257774, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.30497000071257774, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.33831456717471897, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2941425250379808, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.033344566462141234, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010827475674596965, "price_path": [-0.7517, -0.7521, -0.763, -0.7464, -0.7469, -0.7181, -0.7143, -0.7161, -0.7235, -0.7257, -0.7272, -0.7064, -0.697, -0.6814, -0.7118, -0.696, -0.6986, -0.6703, -0.6443, -0.6463, -0.656, -0.6455, -0.5926, -0.5926, -0.5521, -0.5659, -0.5979, -0.5976, -0.597, -0.5355, -0.4825, -0.4945, -0.4775, -0.4285, -0.4391, -0.4168, -0.4411, -0.4054, -0.3553, -0.3573, -0.2747, -0.2877, -0.3559, -0.2933, -0.2779, -0.2756, -0.2765, -0.2236, -0.1114, -0.0509, -0.0754, -0.0175, -0.0803, -0.0131, 0.0703, 0.046, -0.0486, -0.0657, -0.0888, -0.1507, -0.2025, -0.1405, -0.0322, 0.0, -0.0395, -0.0703, -0.1042, -0.0652, 0.0425, 0.0252, 0.1757, 0.0303, -0.0402, -0.0742, -0.1171, -0.1429, -0.2514, -0.2865, -0.2705, -0.2483, -0.2948, -0.3311, -0.3497, -0.2539, -0.2696, -0.2545, -0.2545, -0.2643, -0.2539, -0.3673, -0.3236, -0.2853, -0.312, -0.287, -0.2793, -0.3242, -0.3239, -0.3825, -0.4541, -0.437, -0.4802, -0.4491, -0.3858, -0.3531, -0.3527, -0.3541, -0.3541, -0.3799, -0.3936, -0.4107, -0.4188, -0.4188, -0.343, -0.2577, -0.2936, -0.3287, -0.2971, -0.2917, -0.2256, -0.1846, -0.1863, -0.2016, -0.1103, -0.1103, -0.1651, -0.1771, -0.1959, -0.1279, -0.1943, -0.0769, -0.0315, -0.0792, -0.1731, -0.1833, -0.1631, -0.3085, -0.3878, -0.3564, -0.2899, -0.3394, -0.3434, -0.3841, -0.3504, -0.3504, -0.3696, -0.3525, -0.3339, -0.3848, -0.3482, -0.3007, -0.3225, -0.3193, -0.3699, -0.3631, -0.4022, -0.3254, -0.3826, -0.4353, -0.4024, -0.4134, -0.3541, -0.3634, -0.3602, -0.3085, -0.339, -0.3505, -0.359, -0.3647, -0.3513, -0.3673, -0.3625, -0.4238, -0.4601, -0.5135, -0.4725, -0.4755, -0.465, -0.465, -0.4595, -0.4501, -0.4333, -0.4298, -0.395, -0.3373, -0.2711, -0.2488, -0.266, -0.2596, -0.2503, -0.305]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1983900037446025344", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-30T14:13:22+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$META might 2 day flush so -15% intraday low or back to $650 later. Which is why I said cost averaging is important.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Expects META to dip/flush back to ~$650 short-term but advocates cost averaging into it, implying buy on weakness.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@rioferdy838 $META might 2 day flush so -15% intraday low or back to $650 later. Which is why I said cost averaging is important.\n\nUsually you don’t buy right after earnings but Mag7 is an exception due to high liquidity.\n\nAlso correction to post, 2-6 day recovery, not full recovery", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I didn’t go leaps but wish I had got some more shares around 650ish. Argh. Too late.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "rioferdy838", "ret_m1d": 0.12783760853035342, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.12783760853035342, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.11671716030302748, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.11060527127304076, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01112044822732594, "bench_c_m1d": 0.017232337257312658, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0271880753086835, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0271880753086835, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03046817504076227, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.031474263216923815, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0032800997320787673, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004286187908240313, "ret_p1w": -0.07131610032755076, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07131610032755076, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05731256289781883, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.054521086689985454, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014003537429731927, "bench_c_p1w": -0.016795013637565304, "ret_p1m": -0.02778819201129268, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02778819201129268, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03302472207244789, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03714789811047614, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005236530061155209, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009359706099183462, "ret_p3m": 0.01057634595342738, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.01057634595342738, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.01548170245765923, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.015302317866079607, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02605804841108661, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025878663819506986, "ret_p6m": 0.0145377399744413, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0145377399744413, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.04161618056548577, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0026416026067876963, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05615392053992707, "bench_c_p6m": 0.017179342581228996, "price_path": [0.1641, 0.1448, 0.1575, 0.1423, 0.1535, 0.1484, 0.1846, 0.1697, 0.1727, 0.1774, 0.1506, 0.1268, 0.1212, 0.1082, 0.1318, 0.1295, 0.1307, 0.1206, 0.1262, 0.1076, 0.1076, 0.1022, 0.1052, 0.1225, 0.1282, 0.128, 0.1481, 0.1275, 0.1259, 0.133, 0.1466, 0.1681, 0.1631, 0.1699, 0.1671, 0.1481, 0.1334, 0.1413, 0.1237, 0.116, 0.1154, 0.1019, 0.0763, 0.0909, 0.0662, 0.0738, 0.0699, 0.0771, 0.1006, 0.0583, 0.0739, 0.0633, 0.0766, 0.0684, 0.0757, 0.0986, 0.1002, 0.1004, 0.1013, 0.1079, 0.1266, 0.1275, 0.1278, 0.0, -0.0272, -0.0432, -0.0587, -0.0458, -0.0713, -0.0672, -0.0521, -0.0591, -0.0862, -0.0849, -0.0855, -0.0967, -0.1032, -0.1143, -0.116, -0.1084, -0.0802, -0.0454, -0.0493, -0.0493, -0.0278, -0.0384, -0.0291, -0.0403, -0.0074, 0.0104, 0.0005, -0.0143, -0.0245, -0.0206, -0.0334, -0.0277, -0.0132, -0.0247, -0.0022, -0.0107, -0.0066, -0.0015, 0.0024, 0.0024, -0.004, -0.0109, 0.0, -0.0088, -0.0088, -0.0233, -0.0107, -0.008, -0.0259, -0.0298, -0.0193, -0.036, -0.0523, -0.0757, -0.0678, -0.0686, -0.0686, -0.0928, -0.0795, -0.0275, -0.0108, 0.0097, 0.0106, 0.0042, 0.1087, 0.0759, 0.0608, 0.0387, 0.0046, 0.0064, -0.0067, 0.017, 0.0072, 0.0041, -0.0242, -0.0393, -0.0393, -0.04, -0.0341, -0.0318, -0.0154, -0.0431, -0.04, -0.0184, -0.0134, -0.0266, -0.0186, -0.0163, 0.0027, -0.008, -0.0316, -0.0278, -0.0178, -0.0166, -0.0417, -0.0784, -0.057, -0.0642, -0.0747, -0.0882, -0.1078, -0.0921, -0.1089, -0.1059, -0.1771, -0.2099, -0.1938, -0.1401, -0.1294, -0.1366, -0.1366, -0.1388, -0.1357, -0.0796, -0.0556, -0.0534, -0.0463, -0.0043, 0.0094, 0.0173, 0.0349, 0.0083, 0.0052, 0.0141, -0.0093, 0.0145]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1966328160905289766", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-12T02:29:00+00:00", "symbol": "LTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LTC has a ton of room to run with etf approval and Litecoin treasuries. Given the MC is so small, we'll likely see some massive spike when enough gets accumulated. $200+", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish LTC to $200+ on ETF approval and treasury accumulation; bearish SOL (frontrun) and XRP (absurd fundamentals).", "resolved_tickers": ["LTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@mamadamacdonald $SOL already got frontran and $XRP fundamentals are just as absurd as $PLTR.\n\n$LTC has a ton of room to run with etf approval and Litecoin treasuries. Given the MC is so small, we’ll likely see some massive spike when enough gets accumulated. $200+", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit what do you think about LTC? Thank you", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mamadamacdonald", "ret_m1d": -0.019378151843273184, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019378151843273184, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.019712876789719447, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00033472494644626316, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.03702243676231798, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03702243676231798, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.042346389183250066, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005323952420932088, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.034083799650682534, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.034083799650682534, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04645073946226852, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012366939811585986, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.15728708069616315, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15728708069616315, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16864722404645172, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011360143350288565, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.2847777629048689, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2847777629048689, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.33355453750652053, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04877677460165164, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.5453384375606768, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5453384375606768, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5829867078379162, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.03764827027723938, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2861, -0.28, -0.2795, -0.2984, -0.2796, -0.2823, -0.2834, -0.2867, -0.282, -0.2723, -0.2955, -0.2611, -0.2467, -0.2648, -0.2714, -0.2579, -0.2324, -0.1977, -0.2023, -0.1912, -0.1848, -0.1748, -0.14, -0.1395, -0.0195, 0.0133, -0.0505, -0.0494, -0.0367, -0.0809, -0.0814, -0.0645, -0.101, -0.0974, 0.0258, 0.0179, 0.0097, 0.0387, 0.0484, 0.0181, 0.1042, 0.1085, 0.0266, 0.0076, -0.0038, -0.048, -0.018, -0.0297, 0.0393, -0.0737, -0.0394, -0.0509, -0.0372, -0.0697, -0.0813, -0.0548, -0.044, -0.0598, -0.0512, -0.046, -0.0526, -0.005, -0.0194, 0.0, -0.037, -0.0264, -0.0095, 0.0009, -0.0341, -0.1044, -0.1015, -0.1061, -0.1353, -0.1143, -0.0958, -0.0953, -0.0256, 0.0126, 0.02, 0.0015, -0.0091, 0.0041, 0.0658, -0.1822, -0.1573, -0.1759, -0.1926, -0.2231, -0.2373, -0.2035, -0.2155, -0.222, -0.2041, -0.184, -0.1589, -0.1814, -0.1658, -0.2096, -0.1918, -0.2603, -0.2765, -0.2421, -0.2637, -0.1385, -0.1181, -0.1565, -0.1745, -0.1808, -0.1747, -0.2278, -0.1904, -0.214, -0.2614, -0.3009, -0.2766, -0.2782, -0.2648, -0.2668, -0.2864, -0.3433, -0.2991, -0.2722, -0.2927, -0.3188, -0.2899, -0.2713, -0.2848, -0.298, -0.3066, -0.3433, -0.3309, -0.3574, -0.3713, -0.3441, -0.3484, -0.3489, -0.359, -0.3595, -0.3497, -0.3375, -0.3334, -0.3502, -0.3242, -0.3075, -0.2927, -0.2895, -0.3091, -0.3124, -0.3113, -0.3564, -0.3388, -0.3505, -0.3896, -0.363, -0.4015, -0.4324, -0.4209, -0.4234, -0.4241, -0.4098, -0.4079, -0.4128, -0.4405, -0.4469, -0.4923, -0.4984, -0.5024, -0.571, -0.534, -0.5396, -0.5487, -0.5579, -0.5506, -0.5338, -0.5342, -0.5438, -0.549, -0.5543, -0.5327, -0.5662, -0.567, -0.5203, -0.5293, -0.5385, -0.5384, -0.5364, -0.5193, -0.5305, -0.5446, -0.5453]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1966328160905289766", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-12T02:29:00+00:00", "symbol": "SOL-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SOL already got frontran", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish LTC to $200+ on ETF approval and treasury accumulation; bearish SOL (frontrun) and XRP (absurd fundamentals).", "resolved_tickers": ["SOL-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@mamadamacdonald $SOL already got frontran and $XRP fundamentals are just as absurd as $PLTR.\n\n$LTC has a ton of room to run with etf approval and Litecoin treasuries. Given the MC is so small, we’ll likely see some massive spike when enough gets accumulated. $200+", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit what do you think about LTC? Thank you", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mamadamacdonald", "ret_m1d": -0.05590969992420458, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05590969992420458, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.056244424870650844, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00033472494644626316, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.03279247547228559, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03279247547228559, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.038116427893217675, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005323952420932088, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.01547886506879148, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01547886506879148, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.027845804880377467, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012366939811585986, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.14005583772072672, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14005583772072672, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15141598107101528, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011360143350288565, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.4367842541002953, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4367842541002953, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.48556102870194695, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04877677460165164, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.6494633865815662, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.6494633865815662, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.6871116568588056, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.03764827027723938, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3902, -0.396, -0.393, -0.4215, -0.4022, -0.3976, -0.4077, -0.4261, -0.4132, -0.3614, -0.3936, -0.3717, -0.371, -0.3902, -0.3856, -0.3735, -0.3509, -0.3229, -0.3278, -0.3303, -0.3234, -0.2831, -0.2745, -0.2679, -0.1911, -0.1511, -0.2177, -0.2464, -0.2291, -0.2466, -0.2516, -0.2666, -0.2884, -0.3278, -0.3008, -0.3228, -0.3059, -0.2758, -0.2705, -0.2779, -0.2082, -0.168, -0.2052, -0.2334, -0.2445, -0.2732, -0.2258, -0.256, -0.1719, -0.2271, -0.1915, -0.1625, -0.1151, -0.153, -0.1865, -0.1355, -0.1302, -0.164, -0.1601, -0.116, -0.1034, -0.0756, -0.0559, 0.0, -0.0328, -0.0219, 0.0105, 0.022, -0.0155, -0.09, -0.118, -0.1261, -0.206, -0.1525, -0.1207, -0.1385, -0.0851, -0.0307, -0.0384, -0.0404, -0.0901, -0.0545, -0.088, -0.2214, -0.1401, -0.1644, -0.1993, -0.2378, -0.2487, -0.2169, -0.2337, -0.2565, -0.2101, -0.2012, -0.1798, -0.1975, -0.1977, -0.238, -0.2274, -0.3145, -0.3586, -0.3291, -0.36, -0.3326, -0.3093, -0.3621, -0.3675, -0.4011, -0.4277, -0.46, -0.4193, -0.4356, -0.449, -0.4697, -0.4289, -0.4268, -0.4098, -0.4187, -0.433, -0.4771, -0.4277, -0.402, -0.4263, -0.4498, -0.45, -0.4309, -0.4368, -0.4372, -0.4539, -0.4727, -0.4666, -0.4919, -0.5065, -0.4792, -0.4808, -0.4888, -0.4946, -0.505, -0.4957, -0.4919, -0.4844, -0.4862, -0.4768, -0.4547, -0.4305, -0.4177, -0.4374, -0.4293, -0.4397, -0.4258, -0.4001, -0.3943, -0.4126, -0.4022, -0.4497, -0.4812, -0.466, -0.4705, -0.4744, -0.4877, -0.4756, -0.4836, -0.5146, -0.5156, -0.5688, -0.5973, -0.6202, -0.6773, -0.639, -0.6422, -0.6578, -0.6729, -0.6767, -0.652, -0.6433, -0.6484, -0.6634, -0.66, -0.6507, -0.6791, -0.6738, -0.6372, -0.6454, -0.6618, -0.6425, -0.6409, -0.6251, -0.634, -0.6505, -0.6495]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1966328160905289766", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-09-12T02:29:00+00:00", "symbol": "XRP-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$XRP fundamentals are just as absurd as $PLTR", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish LTC to $200+ on ETF approval and treasury accumulation; bearish SOL (frontrun) and XRP (absurd fundamentals).", "resolved_tickers": ["XRP-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@mamadamacdonald $SOL already got frontran and $XRP fundamentals are just as absurd as $PLTR.\n\n$LTC has a ton of room to run with etf approval and Litecoin treasuries. Given the MC is so small, we’ll likely see some massive spike when enough gets accumulated. $200+", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit what do you think about LTC? Thank you", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mamadamacdonald", "ret_m1d": -0.021465745053759644, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.021465745053759644, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.021800470000205907, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00033472494644626316, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.03556812571661361, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03556812571661361, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.040892078137545695, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005323952420932088, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.03725972705292424, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03725972705292424, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04962666686451023, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012366939811585986, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.16126118626909802, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.16126118626909802, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1726213296193866, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011360143350288565, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.34247734551546116, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.34247734551546116, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3912541201171128, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04877677460165164, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.561776400055392, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.561776400055392, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5994246703326314, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.03764827027723938, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3047, -0.3018, -0.303, -0.3177, -0.3029, -0.295, -0.2966, -0.3224, -0.3105, -0.2796, -0.301, -0.2812, -0.2735, -0.2853, -0.2682, -0.2563, -0.2259, -0.1805, -0.12, -0.0491, -0.0607, -0.0213, 0.1247, 0.0999, 0.1442, 0.1429, 0.0249, 0.0117, 0.011, 0.0026, 0.0067, -0.003, -0.0265, -0.046, -0.0112, -0.0463, -0.0372, 0.0678, 0.0578, 0.0086, 0.0511, 0.0557, -0.0078, -0.0093, -0.0149, -0.082, -0.0505, -0.0828, -0.0103, -0.0793, -0.0307, -0.0454, -0.0452, -0.0919, -0.1139, -0.0791, -0.0845, -0.1003, -0.0938, -0.0442, -0.0518, -0.0405, -0.0215, 0.0, -0.0356, -0.0223, -0.0073, -0.0101, -0.0373, -0.0819, -0.0899, -0.0578, -0.1176, -0.1036, -0.0724, -0.0839, -0.0516, -0.022, -0.0215, -0.0376, -0.081, -0.073, -0.0974, -0.241, -0.1613, -0.1937, -0.2236, -0.2505, -0.2617, -0.1976, -0.2199, -0.2393, -0.2293, -0.1931, -0.1522, -0.1614, -0.1788, -0.2149, -0.1927, -0.2569, -0.2887, -0.2453, -0.2886, -0.2553, -0.187, -0.2304, -0.2319, -0.2499, -0.2779, -0.3043, -0.2868, -0.3218, -0.3568, -0.3724, -0.2837, -0.2925, -0.2843, -0.2918, -0.2983, -0.3465, -0.3064, -0.2915, -0.3252, -0.3443, -0.3329, -0.3215, -0.3425, -0.345, -0.3535, -0.389, -0.3789, -0.4009, -0.4183, -0.3862, -0.3877, -0.3974, -0.4011, -0.4105, -0.407, -0.4054, -0.3965, -0.4079, -0.3957, -0.3546, -0.2442, -0.2577, -0.3026, -0.3171, -0.3269, -0.3395, -0.3037, -0.3115, -0.3313, -0.3345, -0.3608, -0.392, -0.3739, -0.3816, -0.3823, -0.3875, -0.3841, -0.3858, -0.4192, -0.4425, -0.4785, -0.4934, -0.5139, -0.6095, -0.5265, -0.5379, -0.5497, -0.5598, -0.5617, -0.5471, -0.5216, -0.5256, -0.5425, -0.5474, -0.54, -0.5651, -0.5659, -0.5386, -0.5488, -0.5637, -0.5524, -0.5622, -0.5398, -0.5485, -0.5612, -0.5618]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1989416469365727234", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-14T19:33:42+00:00", "symbol": "TSSI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if they're still piggybacking on $DELL, then it's likely a good buy. Lot of forward revenue, including with $SMCI coming in 2026 Q1-Q2", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "TSSI likely a buy on DELL/SMCI forward revenue after -42% drop; CRWV selloff seen as overreaction to short-term delay.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSSI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Wow, disgusting -42.69% drop on $TSSI, sorry if you have that. It's likely part of the datacenter selloff and looks like they missed on earnings due to operational blunders. \n\nI haven't looked at it for a awhile, but if they're still  piggybacking on $DELL, then it's likely a good buy. Lot of forward revenue, including with $SMCI coming in 2026 Q1-Q2. SMCI quoted backlog delays too. And lot of $DELL backlog with the DC buildout. \n\nMarkets tanked $CRWV too for short term delay on buildout.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @accounting_ds Pls checkout $TSS, looks like crazy overreaction based on YoY comparison. Would appreciate your thoughts since you had looked into this player before. High concentration risk but looks like a crazy value now.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "adenois", "ret_m1d": 0.7650462261596607, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.7650462261596607, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.7648824305747237, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.7704601494730693, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0054139233134086195, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06828705198418883, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06828705198418883, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05897061855494423, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05263554815436222, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015651503829826607, "ret_p1w": -0.10300929490246746, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10300929490246746, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08381095416179174, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05112662425736336, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0518826706451041, "ret_p1m": -0.1736111594019094, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1736111594019094, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1867077720306496, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.16129118631753425, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012319973084375158, "ret_p3m": -0.010416683913380353, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.010416683913380353, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04326943752910162, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.004252236921995833, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "bench_c_p3m": -0.00616444699138452, "ret_p6m": 0.41203695885193503, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.41203695885193503, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3055086222614174, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.17399213091270083, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "bench_c_p6m": 0.2380448279392342, "price_path": [0.6956, 0.794, 0.7442, 0.7824, 0.7211, 0.8519, 0.8056, 0.7859, 0.6123, 0.6123, 0.5093, 0.4329, 0.4977, 0.5868, 0.566, 0.6667, 0.8472, 0.816, 0.8229, 0.8519, 0.6667, 0.7581, 0.7569, 0.8414, 1.1528, 1.1238, 1.022, 1.0266, 1.044, 1.14, 1.0961, 1.1713, 1.1933, 1.0799, 1.0787, 1.2535, 1.3634, 1.3009, 1.0451, 1.1678, 1.1238, 1.0903, 0.9838, 0.875, 0.9549, 0.9896, 0.8785, 0.9734, 1.11, 1.1134, 1.0602, 1.0417, 1.0833, 1.3449, 1.235, 1.0972, 1.0382, 0.89, 0.9225, 0.9653, 0.8646, 0.8704, 0.765, 0.0, -0.0683, -0.0822, -0.125, -0.103, -0.103, -0.0683, -0.0405, 0.088, 0.088, 0.1146, 0.0567, 0.0301, 0.0532, 0.0949, -0.0012, 0.0174, 0.0116, -0.0197, -0.0394, -0.1227, -0.1736, -0.1343, -0.1933, -0.1563, -0.1262, -0.103, -0.1273, -0.1366, -0.1366, -0.1771, -0.1991, -0.1921, -0.1817, -0.1817, -0.11, -0.0521, 0.0162, -0.0394, -0.0069, -0.0127, 0.0718, 0.1076, 0.2234, 0.2917, 0.3947, 0.3947, 0.287, 0.3218, 0.2928, 0.2963, 0.1933, 0.2535, 0.2118, 0.2234, 0.1806, 0.169, 0.1076, 0.0174, -0.0995, 0.0509, 0.0613, -0.0093, -0.0104, -0.0729, -0.0579, -0.0579, -0.081, -0.0683, -0.0752, -0.0984, -0.125, -0.022, 0.0, 0.0255, 0.1956, 0.162, 0.1331, 0.1528, 0.0995, 0.0486, 0.1562, 0.2789, 0.3819, 0.4734, 0.3831, 0.4028, 0.3565, 0.2581, 0.2627, 0.2674, 0.4352, 0.5023, 0.544, 0.4722, 0.3542, 0.3681, 0.5058, 0.6146, 0.5417, 0.5417, 0.5104, 0.4873, 0.5394, 0.5185, 0.4375, 0.7176, 0.6759, 0.6424, 0.7326, 0.7257, 0.6944, 0.6759, 0.9294, 0.8287, 0.8229, 0.7465, 0.7604, 0.6424, 0.7731, 0.735, 0.6852, 0.8403, 0.978, 0.8333, 0.3912, 0.412]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1989416469365727234", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-14T19:33:42+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Markets tanked $CRWV too for short term delay on buildout", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "TSSI likely a buy on DELL/SMCI forward revenue after -42% drop; CRWV selloff seen as overreaction to short-term delay.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Wow, disgusting -42.69% drop on $TSSI, sorry if you have that. It's likely part of the datacenter selloff and looks like they missed on earnings due to operational blunders. \n\nI haven't looked at it for a awhile, but if they're still  piggybacking on $DELL, then it's likely a good buy. Lot of forward revenue, including with $SMCI coming in 2026 Q1-Q2. SMCI quoted backlog delays too. And lot of $DELL backlog with the DC buildout. \n\nMarkets tanked $CRWV too for short term delay on buildout.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @accounting_ds Pls checkout $TSS, looks like crazy overreaction based on YoY comparison. Would appreciate your thoughts since you had looked into this player before. High concentration risk but looks like a crazy value now.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "adenois", "ret_m1d": 0.012667990173308441, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.012667990173308441, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.012504194588371487, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.012504194588371487, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00016379558493695434, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02624093540952277, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02624093540952277, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016924501980278173, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016924501980278173, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009316433429244597, "ret_p1w": -0.07381074249511577, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07381074249511577, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05461240175444004, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05461240175444004, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019198340740675723, "ret_p1m": -0.0647621780856098, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0647621780856098, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07785879071434998, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07785879071434998, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013096612628740179, "ret_p3m": 0.2299638156045576, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2299638156045576, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.19711106198883632, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.19711106198883632, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "bench_c_p3m": 0.032852753615721264, "ret_p6m": 0.4826783356164317, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4826783356164317, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.37614999902591406, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.37614999902591406, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10652833659051764, "price_path": [0.2007, 0.183, 0.1736, 0.215, 0.1942, 0.1814, 0.253, 0.3287, 0.332, 0.332, 0.2066, 0.1618, 0.1308, 0.1516, 0.2093, 0.2955, 0.5142, 0.4567, 0.4473, 0.5573, 0.535, 0.5623, 0.5692, 0.614, 0.7222, 0.692, 0.7244, 0.6373, 0.5556, 0.5838, 0.769, 0.7716, 0.7839, 0.7424, 0.7302, 0.6653, 0.8095, 0.8495, 0.7894, 0.8307, 0.7329, 0.7999, 0.8322, 0.7693, 0.6425, 0.6166, 0.571, 0.5944, 0.7134, 0.7588, 0.7425, 0.8088, 0.6942, 0.7284, 0.6329, 0.4963, 0.4791, 0.3822, 0.3445, 0.3652, 0.1426, 0.1043, 0.0127, 0.0, -0.0262, -0.0318, -0.0315, -0.1054, -0.0738, -0.0486, -0.0785, -0.0397, -0.0397, -0.0548, -0.0039, -0.0172, 0.0259, 0.1085, 0.1414, 0.1148, 0.1719, 0.1396, 0.1295, 0.0159, -0.0648, -0.1016, -0.1656, -0.1251, 0.0729, 0.0966, 0.0375, 0.0195, 0.0195, -0.0122, -0.0315, -0.0447, -0.0743, -0.0743, 0.0253, -0.0065, 0.0075, -0.0023, -0.0035, 0.0359, 0.1625, 0.1308, 0.1608, 0.2282, 0.3086, 0.3086, 0.2309, 0.2157, 0.1865, 0.2019, 0.2708, 0.4072, 0.3705, 0.2866, 0.2046, 0.1497, 0.1642, 0.0659, -0.035, 0.1627, 0.2512, 0.2294, 0.23, 0.2371, 0.2415, 0.2415, 0.1763, 0.2338, 0.2557, 0.1537, 0.1743, 0.2836, 0.2669, 0.262, 0.0284, 0.0089, -0.0463, 0.0277, -0.0328, -0.0565, -0.0381, -0.0315, 0.0595, 0.0323, 0.0485, 0.1099, 0.0615, 0.0706, 0.0427, 0.0531, 0.0595, 0.0732, 0.1321, 0.0399, -0.033, -0.1061, 0.0014, 0.014, 0.0631, 0.0631, 0.0463, 0.1019, 0.1492, 0.1892, 0.3185, 0.4254, 0.515, 0.5343, 0.5455, 0.5105, 0.518, 0.4886, 0.584, 0.5178, 0.4237, 0.4486, 0.3641, 0.4761, 0.4426, 0.5384, 0.6214, 0.6532, 0.7836, 0.6655, 0.4756, 0.4827]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1988048592754589970", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-11T00:58:15+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this was a one-off issue, and we'll likely see any sell-off bought back after next quarter since markets are forward looking", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "CRWV sell-off on datacenter delay is a one-off; expects dip to be bought back next quarter.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Neocloud Earnings Today + Why Michael Burry is Wrong:\n\n$WULF - ER was positive, $17B TCV from 520 MW HPC capacity. \n\n240 MW JV in Texas for DC expansion + $5B financing. \n\nNothing special like $CIFR ER with AWS, just conf (eg. deal finances) and site dev.\n\n$CRWV - ER was bearish near term due to lower forward revenue Q4.  \n\n$55.6B backlog ($22.4B from OpenAI). Slight earnings beat 1.36B vs. 1.29B (129% Y/Y), EBITDA margins (61%). \n\nStock dropped on datacenter delay, this hurts FY 2025 (505-5.15B vs. 5.29B consensus). Operating margins was lowered, which I predicted due to debt financing with interest (~1B+ interest/year) that cuts into margins, while other Neoclouds don't have that same issue. \n\nThat being said this was a one-off issue, and we'll likely see any sell-off bought back after next quarter since markets are forward looking. \n\n_\n\nAs for Michael Burry arguing on GPU deprecation: he's completely wrong, but partially right about understating it. \n\nHis general claim: capex of chips on a 2-3 yr product cycle should not result in the extension of useful lives\n\n-> in Google's case, their TPUs from 7 years ago are being run at 100% utilization lol. Repeat 7 years ago.\n\nAmin Vahdat, said that Google currently has seven generations of its TPU hardware in production, and that the “seven- and eight-year-old TPUs have 100 % utilization.”  \n\n\"Google says TPU demand is outstripping supply, claims 8yr old hardware iterations have “100% utilization” -Data Center Dynamics\n\n-> in Nvidia's case A100 (PCIe and SXM4 variants), are still in operation. They were launched in 2020. It's 2025 now. Older models keep their value and still deliver equity. They don't just get nuked since it's an add-on to compliment newer models. \n\nNvidia’s A100 can be partitioned into isolated instances to maximize utilization, and older-gen accelerators are still monetized for inference or lower-prio tasks rather than getting nuked as what he claims. They actually have residual value and still re-sale for a lot 5 years later. \n\nHe's completely wrong here on shelf-life, but might be correct in how some hyperscalers stretch the idea of utilization to justify aggressive capex.\n\nIt's a nuanced argument but Neocloud thesis remains in tact and stronger than ever.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The Neocloud List got updated:\n\n$IREN - IREN secured a $9.7B GPU cloud contract with Microsoft, including 20% upfront prepayment, to deploy NVIDIA GB300s over five years.\n\n$CIFR - CIFR secured a $5.5 billion, 15-year lease agreement with Amazon Web Services (AWS).\n\nThe Neocloud https://t.co/vPeLY3cRgY", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.19481843352880257, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.19481843352880257, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.19710244486527817, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.19710244486527817, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0022840113364756, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0022840113364756, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03348794099911834, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03348794099911834, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03404442947773079, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03404442947773079, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005564884786124491, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0005564884786124491, "ret_p1w": -0.15261905144157495, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.15261905144157495, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11906123240548094, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11906123240548094, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.033557819036094005, "bench_c_p1w": -0.033557819036094005, "ret_p1m": -0.002602055991936081, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.002602055991936081, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.009293218816492588, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.009293218816492588, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.006691162824556507, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006691162824556507, "ret_p3m": 0.01764902782402822, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.01764902782402822, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0035044962984436268, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0035044962984436268, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014144531525584592, "bench_c_p3m": 0.014144531525584592, "ret_p6m": 0.5610362787681864, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5610362787681864, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4804967941041982, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4804967941041982, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.08053948466398819, "bench_c_p6m": 0.08053948466398819, "price_path": [0.1257, 0.131, 0.0951, 0.0509, 0.0354, 0.0272, 0.0634, 0.0451, 0.0339, 0.0966, 0.1629, 0.1657, 0.1657, 0.056, 0.0169, -0.0103, 0.0079, 0.0584, 0.1338, 0.3253, 0.2749, 0.2667, 0.3629, 0.3435, 0.3673, 0.3733, 0.4126, 0.5073, 0.4808, 0.5092, 0.433, 0.3615, 0.3861, 0.5483, 0.5505, 0.5613, 0.5249, 0.5143, 0.4575, 0.5837, 0.6187, 0.5661, 0.6022, 0.5167, 0.5753, 0.6036, 0.5485, 0.4375, 0.4149, 0.3749, 0.3954, 0.4996, 0.5393, 0.5251, 0.5831, 0.4827, 0.5127, 0.4291, 0.3095, 0.2945, 0.2098, 0.1767, 0.1948, 0.0, -0.0335, -0.1137, -0.1248, -0.1478, -0.1526, -0.1524, -0.217, -0.1894, -0.1673, -0.1935, -0.1595, -0.1595, -0.1728, -0.1282, -0.1398, -0.1022, -0.0299, -0.001, -0.0243, 0.0257, -0.0026, -0.0114, -0.1109, -0.1815, -0.2137, -0.2697, -0.2343, -0.061, -0.0403, -0.092, -0.1077, -0.1077, -0.1354, -0.1524, -0.1639, -0.1898, -0.1898, -0.1026, -0.1304, -0.1182, -0.1268, -0.1278, -0.0933, 0.0174, -0.0103, 0.016, 0.0749, 0.1453, 0.1453, 0.0773, 0.064, 0.0385, 0.0519, 0.1122, 0.2316, 0.1995, 0.126, 0.0543, 0.0062, 0.0189, -0.0671, -0.1554, 0.0176, 0.095, 0.076, 0.0765, 0.0827, 0.0865, 0.0865, 0.0295, 0.0799, 0.099, 0.0097, 0.0277, 0.1234, 0.1088, 0.1045, -0.0999, -0.117, -0.1653, -0.1006, -0.1535, -0.1742, -0.1582, -0.1524, -0.0727, -0.0965, -0.0824, -0.0286, -0.0709, -0.063, -0.0875, -0.0783, -0.0727, -0.0608, -0.0092, -0.0898, -0.1536, -0.2177, -0.1235, -0.1126, -0.0696, -0.0696, -0.0843, -0.0356, 0.0058, 0.0408, 0.154, 0.2475, 0.3259, 0.3428, 0.3526, 0.322, 0.3285, 0.3029, 0.3864, 0.3284, 0.2461, 0.2678, 0.1939, 0.2919, 0.2626, 0.3464, 0.4191, 0.4469, 0.561]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1984117145522110637", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-31T04:36:05+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "These $META calls are probably going to print! I'm kinda expecting it to drop again tomorrow to shake people out so I was going to buy a second set of calls on Friday.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Buying META calls; expects short-term dip then recovery, planning to add more calls on Friday.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@soulbiri1 These $META calls are probably going to print!\n\nI’m kinda expecting it to drop again tomorrow to shake people out so I was going to buy a second set of calls on Friday.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Burning money in AI capex is a testament to strength not weakness, means this company prints cash https://t.co/sFnbmQNNZz", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": 0.027947925615026348, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.027947925615026348, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.031217301468244973, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03221582052371541, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0032693758532186257, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004267894908689063, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01641082412447914, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01641082412447914, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.018287601377370066, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005784559001354661, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0018767772528909266, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010626265123124479, "ret_p1w": -0.04108891891713495, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04108891891713495, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.024829335802154517, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.017571824130060865, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.016259583114980436, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02351709478707409, "ret_p1m": -0.011537007193891835, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.011537007193891835, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.008912632902554285, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.011885386304735235, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00262437429133755, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0003483791108433998, "ret_p3m": 0.032274821944340504, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.032274821944340504, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.009674298401423531, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.012085219171432682, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.022600523542916973, "bench_c_p3m": 0.020189602772907822, "ret_p6m": 0.0484383059417266, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0484383059417266, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.006076250511479309, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.033233353487549966, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05451455645320591, "bench_c_p6m": 0.015204952454176635, "price_path": [0.1767, 0.1899, 0.1742, 0.1858, 0.1805, 0.2177, 0.2024, 0.2055, 0.2103, 0.1828, 0.1583, 0.1525, 0.1392, 0.1634, 0.1611, 0.1623, 0.152, 0.1577, 0.1386, 0.1386, 0.1331, 0.136, 0.1539, 0.1598, 0.1595, 0.1802, 0.1591, 0.1574, 0.1646, 0.1787, 0.2007, 0.1956, 0.2026, 0.1997, 0.1802, 0.1651, 0.1732, 0.1551, 0.1471, 0.1466, 0.1327, 0.1064, 0.1214, 0.096, 0.1038, 0.0998, 0.1072, 0.1313, 0.0878, 0.1039, 0.093, 0.1067, 0.0983, 0.1058, 0.1293, 0.131, 0.1312, 0.1321, 0.1388, 0.158, 0.159, 0.1594, 0.0279, 0.0, -0.0164, -0.0324, -0.0191, -0.0454, -0.0411, -0.0256, -0.0328, -0.0607, -0.0593, -0.06, -0.0715, -0.0781, -0.0895, -0.0913, -0.0834, -0.0544, -0.0187, -0.0227, -0.0227, -0.0006, -0.0115, -0.0019, -0.0135, 0.0203, 0.0387, 0.0285, 0.0133, 0.0027, 0.0067, -0.0064, -0.0005, 0.0144, 0.0026, 0.0257, 0.0169, 0.0211, 0.0264, 0.0305, 0.0305, 0.0239, 0.0168, 0.028, 0.0189, 0.0189, 0.004, 0.0169, 0.0198, 0.0013, -0.0027, 0.0081, -0.009, -0.0258, -0.0499, -0.0417, -0.0426, -0.0426, -0.0675, -0.0538, -0.0003, 0.0169, 0.0379, 0.0388, 0.0323, 0.1397, 0.106, 0.0904, 0.0677, 0.0327, 0.0346, 0.0211, 0.0454, 0.0353, 0.0322, 0.0031, -0.0124, -0.0124, -0.0132, -0.0071, -0.0047, 0.0121, -0.0163, -0.0132, 0.0091, 0.0142, 0.0006, 0.0089, 0.0112, 0.0307, 0.0197, -0.0046, -0.0007, 0.0096, 0.0109, -0.0149, -0.0527, -0.0306, -0.038, -0.0488, -0.0627, -0.0828, -0.0668, -0.084, -0.0809, -0.1541, -0.1878, -0.1713, -0.1161, -0.1051, -0.1125, -0.1125, -0.1147, -0.1116, -0.0538, -0.0292, -0.0269, -0.0197, 0.0235, 0.0376, 0.0457, 0.0638, 0.0365, 0.0333, 0.0424, 0.0184, 0.0429, 0.0484]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1983857319760032006", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-30T11:23:37+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it's a good dip buy", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Sees Meta as a good dip buy despite disagreement with capex scaling.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@rioferdy838 @DivesTech @Benzinga My personal take is that it’s a good dip buy but at the same time I disagree with scaling capex spend when it’s not required.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @DivesTech @Benzinga What’s your take on buying the Meta dip?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "rioferdy838", "ret_m1d": 0.12783760853035342, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.12783760853035342, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.11671716030302748, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.11060527127304076, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01112044822732594, "bench_c_m1d": 0.017232337257312658, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0271880753086835, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0271880753086835, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03046817504076227, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.031474263216923815, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0032800997320787673, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004286187908240313, "ret_p1w": -0.07131610032755076, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07131610032755076, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05731256289781883, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.054521086689985454, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.014003537429731927, "bench_c_p1w": -0.016795013637565304, "ret_p1m": -0.02778819201129268, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02778819201129268, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03302472207244789, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03714789811047614, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005236530061155209, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009359706099183462, "ret_p3m": 0.01057634595342738, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.01057634595342738, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.01548170245765923, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.015302317866079607, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02605804841108661, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025878663819506986, "ret_p6m": 0.0145377399744413, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.0145377399744413, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.04161618056548577, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0026416026067876963, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05615392053992707, "bench_c_p6m": 0.017179342581228996, "price_path": [0.1641, 0.1448, 0.1575, 0.1423, 0.1535, 0.1484, 0.1846, 0.1697, 0.1727, 0.1774, 0.1506, 0.1268, 0.1212, 0.1082, 0.1318, 0.1295, 0.1307, 0.1206, 0.1262, 0.1076, 0.1076, 0.1022, 0.1052, 0.1225, 0.1282, 0.128, 0.1481, 0.1275, 0.1259, 0.133, 0.1466, 0.1681, 0.1631, 0.1699, 0.1671, 0.1481, 0.1334, 0.1413, 0.1237, 0.116, 0.1154, 0.1019, 0.0763, 0.0909, 0.0662, 0.0738, 0.0699, 0.0771, 0.1006, 0.0583, 0.0739, 0.0633, 0.0766, 0.0684, 0.0757, 0.0986, 0.1002, 0.1004, 0.1013, 0.1079, 0.1266, 0.1275, 0.1278, 0.0, -0.0272, -0.0432, -0.0587, -0.0458, -0.0713, -0.0672, -0.0521, -0.0591, -0.0862, -0.0849, -0.0855, -0.0967, -0.1032, -0.1143, -0.116, -0.1084, -0.0802, -0.0454, -0.0493, -0.0493, -0.0278, -0.0384, -0.0291, -0.0403, -0.0074, 0.0104, 0.0005, -0.0143, -0.0245, -0.0206, -0.0334, -0.0277, -0.0132, -0.0247, -0.0022, -0.0107, -0.0066, -0.0015, 0.0024, 0.0024, -0.004, -0.0109, 0.0, -0.0088, -0.0088, -0.0233, -0.0107, -0.008, -0.0259, -0.0298, -0.0193, -0.036, -0.0523, -0.0757, -0.0678, -0.0686, -0.0686, -0.0928, -0.0795, -0.0275, -0.0108, 0.0097, 0.0106, 0.0042, 0.1087, 0.0759, 0.0608, 0.0387, 0.0046, 0.0064, -0.0067, 0.017, 0.0072, 0.0041, -0.0242, -0.0393, -0.0393, -0.04, -0.0341, -0.0318, -0.0154, -0.0431, -0.04, -0.0184, -0.0134, -0.0266, -0.0186, -0.0163, 0.0027, -0.008, -0.0316, -0.0278, -0.0178, -0.0166, -0.0417, -0.0784, -0.057, -0.0642, -0.0747, -0.0882, -0.1078, -0.0921, -0.1089, -0.1059, -0.1771, -0.2099, -0.1938, -0.1401, -0.1294, -0.1366, -0.1366, -0.1388, -0.1357, -0.0796, -0.0556, -0.0534, -0.0463, -0.0043, 0.0094, 0.0173, 0.0349, 0.0083, 0.0052, 0.0141, -0.0093, 0.0145]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1991123600947175722", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-19T12:37:14+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I wouldn't sell it if I had it now at $75", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Wouldn't sell CRWV at $75 despite high debt/FCF drag; would rotate proceeds into NBIS as preferred holding.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Accident! I didn’t feel like editing my post when I read it over again. So $CRWV is weird since it’s oversold, $55B backlog (think $22B of which is OpenAI), Neocloud sector leader, spare capacity backstopped by $NVDA.\n\nMiss on recent earnings due to revenue lag from delays but this shouldn’t matter too much if you wait a bit. But core reason was extremely high debt interest compared to others cutting into fcf and low balance cash sheet ~$1.8B cash if I remember correctly. \n\nI wouldn’t sell it if I had it now at $75, but I wouldn’t long term hold it either and would rotate it into $NBIS, so I was probably wondering what category that fits in lol", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Excuse me？Why you put crwv both hold and avoid？", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "95jG5OcU2mL0OCK", "ret_m1d": -0.000266906614457163, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.000266906614457163, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0035814266467752987, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0035814266467752987, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0038483332612324617, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0038483332612324617, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07621461858016276, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07621461858016276, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06097237312036319, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06097237312036319, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015242245459799575, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015242245459799575, "ret_p1w": -0.008408933112856176, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.008408933112856176, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0341397695146447, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0341397695146447, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.025730836401788526, "bench_c_p1w": 0.025730836401788526, "ret_p1m": -0.0966363860213032, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0966363860213032, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11752278566528862, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11752278566528862, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02088639964398542, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02088639964398542, "ret_p3m": 0.2819007376235678, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2819007376235678, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.25000587976122834, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.25000587976122834, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031894857862339476, "bench_c_p3m": 0.031894857862339476, "ret_p6m": 0.5244927806903401, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.5244927806903401, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3889721264801702, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3889721264801702, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1355206542101699, "bench_c_p6m": 0.1355206542101699, "price_path": [0.2545, 0.233, 0.2198, 0.2938, 0.372, 0.3753, 0.3753, 0.2459, 0.1997, 0.1676, 0.1891, 0.2487, 0.3377, 0.5635, 0.5041, 0.4944, 0.608, 0.585, 0.6132, 0.6203, 0.6666, 0.7783, 0.7471, 0.7806, 0.6906, 0.6062, 0.6353, 0.8266, 0.8293, 0.842, 0.7991, 0.7866, 0.7196, 0.8684, 0.9098, 0.8477, 0.8903, 0.7894, 0.8585, 0.8919, 0.8269, 0.6959, 0.6692, 0.6221, 0.6463, 0.7692, 0.8161, 0.7993, 0.8677, 0.7493, 0.7847, 0.6861, 0.545, 0.5272, 0.4273, 0.3883, 0.4096, 0.1798, 0.1403, 0.0456, 0.0326, 0.0055, -0.0003, 0.0, -0.0762, -0.0436, -0.0176, -0.0485, -0.0084, -0.0084, -0.024, 0.0286, 0.0148, 0.0593, 0.1446, 0.1786, 0.1511, 0.2101, 0.1767, 0.1663, 0.049, -0.0343, -0.0723, -0.1384, -0.0966, 0.1078, 0.1323, 0.0713, 0.0527, 0.0527, 0.02, 0.0, -0.0136, -0.0442, -0.0442, 0.0587, 0.0259, 0.0403, 0.0302, 0.029, 0.0697, 0.2003, 0.1676, 0.1986, 0.2682, 0.3512, 0.3512, 0.271, 0.2553, 0.2252, 0.2411, 0.3122, 0.453, 0.4151, 0.3285, 0.2439, 0.1871, 0.2021, 0.1006, -0.0036, 0.2006, 0.2919, 0.2695, 0.27, 0.2774, 0.2819, 0.2819, 0.2146, 0.274, 0.2966, 0.1913, 0.2125, 0.3254, 0.3082, 0.3031, 0.0619, 0.0418, -0.0152, 0.0611, -0.0013, -0.0258, -0.0068, 0.0, 0.094, 0.0659, 0.0826, 0.146, 0.0961, 0.1054, 0.0766, 0.0874, 0.094, 0.1081, 0.169, 0.0738, -0.0015, -0.077, 0.034, 0.047, 0.0977, 0.0977, 0.0804, 0.1377, 0.1866, 0.228, 0.3615, 0.4718, 0.5643, 0.5842, 0.5958, 0.5597, 0.5674, 0.5371, 0.6356, 0.5673, 0.4701, 0.4957, 0.4086, 0.5242, 0.4896, 0.5885, 0.6742, 0.707, 0.8417, 0.7197, 0.5236, 0.531, 0.4382, 0.4857, 0.5245]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1991123600947175722", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-19T12:37:14+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "would rotate it into $NBIS", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Wouldn't sell CRWV at $75 despite high debt/FCF drag; would rotate proceeds into NBIS as preferred holding.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Accident! I didn’t feel like editing my post when I read it over again. So $CRWV is weird since it’s oversold, $55B backlog (think $22B of which is OpenAI), Neocloud sector leader, spare capacity backstopped by $NVDA.\n\nMiss on recent earnings due to revenue lag from delays but this shouldn’t matter too much if you wait a bit. But core reason was extremely high debt interest compared to others cutting into fcf and low balance cash sheet ~$1.8B cash if I remember correctly. \n\nI wouldn’t sell it if I had it now at $75, but I wouldn’t long term hold it either and would rotate it into $NBIS, so I was probably wondering what category that fits in lol", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Excuse me？Why you put crwv both hold and avoid？", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "95jG5OcU2mL0OCK", "ret_m1d": -0.04764908797557821, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04764908797557821, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.043800754714345747, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05322514712814286, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0038483332612324617, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00557605915256465, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.10970863930426211, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.10970863930426211, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.09446639384446254, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.09873641615168005, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015242245459799575, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010972223152582061, "ret_p1w": -0.003997025924453168, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.003997025924453168, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.029727862326241694, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03340611972454799, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.025730836401788526, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02940909380009482, "ret_p1m": -0.17860527412895333, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17860527412895333, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19949167377293875, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.22609158638674665, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.02088639964398542, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04748631225779332, "ret_p3m": 0.030924607666390047, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.030924607666390047, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0009702501959494292, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0028998244709086407, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031894857862339476, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03382443213729869, "ret_p6m": 1.326180652218138, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.326180652218138, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.1906599980079682, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.2661567872788608, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.1355206542101699, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06002386493927725, "price_path": [-0.2744, -0.2635, -0.2587, -0.2626, -0.2422, -0.2814, -0.2814, -0.3087, -0.3095, -0.3172, -0.3113, -0.3262, 0.0068, -0.0177, -0.0618, -0.049, -0.0432, -0.0593, -0.0104, -0.01, 0.0446, 0.1213, 0.1339, 0.191, 0.1354, 0.1328, 0.1594, 0.1809, 0.2161, 0.324, 0.3462, 0.3142, 0.238, 0.2833, 0.3952, 0.363, 0.4248, 0.348, 0.3236, 0.2942, 0.1932, 0.1465, 0.0969, 0.0373, 0.1167, 0.2334, 0.3193, 0.2815, 0.3159, 0.3062, 0.376, 0.2672, 0.1627, 0.2307, 0.1512, 0.1705, 0.1565, 0.0752, -0.0075, -0.0677, -0.1213, -0.0956, -0.0476, 0.0, -0.1097, -0.1242, -0.0333, -0.0651, -0.004, -0.004, -0.0021, 0.0534, 0.0145, 0.0405, 0.0813, 0.0312, 0.0553, 0.0141, -0.0156, -0.0083, -0.0776, -0.1465, -0.1485, -0.2064, -0.1786, -0.059, -0.0194, -0.053, -0.0414, -0.0414, -0.0787, -0.095, -0.1041, -0.1195, -0.1195, -0.0539, -0.0236, 0.0544, 0.012, 0.0235, 0.0301, 0.129, 0.109, 0.0727, 0.0927, 0.1437, 0.1437, 0.0444, 0.04, 0.0187, -0.006, -0.038, 0.0295, 0.0564, -0.0017, -0.1039, -0.0727, -0.0539, -0.1334, -0.223, -0.0944, -0.023, -0.0345, -0.0679, -0.0562, 0.0309, 0.0309, 0.0258, 0.0708, 0.1319, 0.03, 0.0583, 0.079, 0.1162, 0.1032, -0.0408, -0.0427, -0.087, 0.0285, 0.0061, -0.0604, -0.0014, 0.0143, 0.178, 0.1364, 0.1881, 0.3658, 0.2236, 0.2471, 0.2782, 0.2372, 0.2007, 0.2087, 0.2106, 0.1147, 0.0605, -0.0296, 0.0914, 0.0724, 0.1446, 0.1446, 0.1838, 0.2349, 0.3148, 0.434, 0.5249, 0.6257, 0.7034, 0.7542, 0.7391, 0.6529, 0.6741, 0.6467, 0.6424, 0.6523, 0.5479, 0.5248, 0.4254, 0.4851, 0.454, 0.625, 0.8557, 0.8504, 1.0521, 0.9435, 0.8623, 0.9575, 0.884, 1.1802, 1.3262]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2011908685589565813", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-15T21:09:44+00:00", "symbol": "NODE", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NODE is a great way to get exposure without worrying about portfolio rebalancing and stock picking", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "NODE is a good way to get exposure, avoiding rebalancing/stock-picking hassle; implied buy.", "resolved_tickers": ["NODE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@matthew_sigel ^. Also $NODE is a great way to get exposure without worrying about portfolio rebalancing and stock picking. https://t.co/hNThPPqP5u", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Source:\nhttps://t.co/7YMqEuuCAy", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "matthew_sigel", "ret_m1d": -0.002963762450171714, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.002963762450171714, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00024794381006143507, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00024794381006143507, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002715818640110279, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002715818640110279, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02099279918215302, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02099279918215302, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02183067317304843, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02183067317304843, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0008378739908954103, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0008378739908954103, "ret_p1w": -0.031365779331125054, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.031365779331125054, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.026656462458798935, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.026656462458798935, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004709316872326119, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004709316872326119, "ret_p1m": -0.12417880142009619, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12417880142009619, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10902510277712141, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10902510277712141, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.015153698642974778, "bench_c_p1m": -0.015153698642974778, "ret_p3m": -0.03815761717945876, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03815761717945876, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.044104427166754, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.044104427166754, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.005946809987295243, "bench_c_p3m": 0.005946809987295243, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1205, 0.0892, 0.0257, 0.0607, 0.1198, 0.1472, 0.1291, 0.12, 0.0844, 0.1088, 0.1337, 0.0709, 0.1169, 0.0489, 0.0504, 0.0514, 0.0338, -0.0146, -0.0918, -0.1057, -0.1128, -0.1065, -0.1231, -0.1551, -0.1658, -0.1026, -0.0989, -0.0661, -0.0661, -0.0381, -0.0644, -0.0833, -0.0559, -0.0337, -0.0515, -0.0468, -0.0319, -0.0361, -0.04, -0.0862, -0.148, -0.1324, -0.1649, -0.149, -0.1082, -0.0934, -0.1069, -0.105, -0.105, -0.1203, -0.125, -0.1366, -0.1413, -0.1413, -0.0916, -0.0378, -0.0432, -0.0734, -0.0605, -0.0491, -0.0282, -0.0054, -0.003, 0.0, 0.021, 0.021, -0.0165, -0.0153, -0.0314, -0.0158, -0.0346, 0.0126, 0.0103, -0.0205, -0.0645, -0.0882, -0.0926, -0.1576, -0.2287, -0.142, -0.099, -0.1111, -0.1272, -0.1521, -0.1242, -0.1242, -0.1358, -0.1437, -0.1336, -0.1472, -0.1544, -0.1223, -0.1021, -0.1045, -0.1414, -0.1257, -0.1672, -0.1146, -0.1353, -0.1798, -0.1578, -0.1455, -0.1304, -0.1545, -0.1526, -0.1155, -0.1108, -0.1279, -0.1329, -0.1634, -0.1379, -0.1513, -0.1359, -0.1794, -0.2107, -0.2441, -0.2005, -0.1948, -0.1899, -0.1899, -0.178, -0.1467, -0.1198, -0.1168, -0.1069, -0.0743, -0.0382, -0.032, -0.031, -0.0018, 0.0009, -0.0298, 0.0078, -0.0002, 0.0019, -0.0046, -0.0266, -0.0457, -0.0022, 0.0106, 0.0401, 0.0841, 0.142, 0.0997, 0.1072, 0.1306, 0.1146, 0.1213, 0.1476, 0.0919, 0.0533, 0.042, 0.0705, 0.114, 0.1081, 0.1081, 0.1415, 0.1646, 0.1662, 0.1625, 0.1625, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1970219870399967691", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-22T20:13:16+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$HIMS has 42% short interest and can short squeeze 150% any moment", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Both HIMS (short squeeze potential +150%) and NBIS (fundamental growth +100%) are bullish within 3-6 months.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@GrassKaniKani $HIMS has 42% short interest and can short squeeze 150% any moment. \n\n$NBIS is likely to rise another 100% just based on fundamentals. \n\nHIMS has highest upside potential under a short squeeze scenario, NBIS likely rallies just based on staggering growth. \n\nPick your poison.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Is this better than $HIMS special? I'm thinking about exiting my HIMS position and moving into $NBIS but i'm unsure which one has the higher upside potential within the next 3-6 months?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "GrassKaniKani", "ret_m1d": 0.002079704164611451, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.002079704164611451, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006788526705838405, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006788526705838405, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0047088225412269535, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0047088225412269535, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.029462751134508802, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.029462751134508802, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02401918474567999, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02401918474567999, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005443566388828813, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005443566388828813, "ret_p1w": 0.024610019933611005, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.024610019933611005, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.029348850805371418, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.029348850805371418, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004738830871760413, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004738830871760413, "ret_p1m": -0.14454072863625766, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14454072863625766, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15121390017620961, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.15121390017620961, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.00667317153995195, "bench_c_p1m": 0.00667317153995195, "ret_p3m": -0.3974003466548246, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3974003466548246, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.41184144149863866, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.41184144149863866, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014441094843814062, "bench_c_p3m": 0.014441094843814062, "ret_p6m": -0.5670710708502986, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5670710708502986, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5759667919016949, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5759667919016949, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.008895721051396244, "bench_c_p6m": 0.008895721051396244, "price_path": [-0.2823, -0.1979, -0.1437, -0.136, -0.1688, -0.1775, -0.1685, -0.1685, -0.1608, -0.1515, -0.112, -0.1288, -0.17, -0.0983, -0.1255, -0.1014, -0.1336, -0.1269, -0.175, -0.1333, 0.0055, -0.0066, -0.0009, 0.017, 0.0445, 0.1357, 0.147, 0.0841, 0.0979, -0.0378, -0.1139, -0.1153, -0.0998, -0.1338, -0.1688, -0.1624, -0.1832, -0.2024, -0.2184, -0.269, -0.2482, -0.2381, -0.2276, -0.2549, -0.214, -0.2373, -0.2354, -0.266, -0.266, -0.2802, -0.2295, -0.1662, -0.161, -0.1397, -0.1718, -0.1719, -0.1029, -0.0381, -0.0648, -0.118, -0.1274, -0.026, 0.0021, 0.0, -0.0295, -0.0771, -0.049, 0.0121, 0.0246, -0.017, -0.0241, 0.0029, -0.0894, -0.051, 0.0047, 0.0081, 0.0095, -0.065, -0.0515, -0.0638, 0.0877, 0.0251, -0.1373, -0.1099, -0.1445, -0.1775, -0.1596, -0.1546, -0.1641, -0.1834, -0.1919, -0.2364, -0.2121, -0.2307, -0.2584, -0.2421, -0.2804, -0.2889, -0.2886, -0.3111, -0.3237, -0.3752, -0.3591, -0.3834, -0.3716, -0.379, -0.4173, -0.3984, -0.3452, -0.3572, -0.3345, -0.3345, -0.3109, -0.3499, -0.3707, -0.3575, -0.3064, -0.3206, -0.322, -0.3099, -0.3435, -0.3454, -0.3551, -0.3718, -0.3612, -0.3939, -0.3974, -0.3837, -0.3925, -0.3969, -0.3991, -0.3991, -0.4054, -0.409, -0.4274, -0.4373, -0.4373, -0.421, -0.3984, -0.3854, -0.3854, -0.413, -0.4508, -0.4395, -0.4419, -0.4572, -0.4588, -0.4562, -0.4562, -0.4719, -0.4993, -0.4711, -0.4867, -0.4752, -0.4856, -0.5031, -0.4823, -0.5305, -0.5418, -0.5574, -0.5771, -0.5931, -0.601, -0.665, -0.7012, -0.7107, -0.7262, -0.7175, -0.7175, -0.718, -0.7255, -0.7258, -0.7291, -0.7312, -0.7321, -0.7258, -0.7296, -0.7484, -0.7144, -0.7258, -0.7149, -0.7248, -0.7272, -0.6159, -0.5932, -0.5515, -0.5868, -0.5707, -0.5688, -0.5671]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1970219870399967691", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-22T20:13:16+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS is likely to rise another 100% just based on fundamentals", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Both HIMS (short squeeze potential +150%) and NBIS (fundamental growth +100%) are bullish within 3-6 months.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@GrassKaniKani $HIMS has 42% short interest and can short squeeze 150% any moment. \n\n$NBIS is likely to rise another 100% just based on fundamentals. \n\nHIMS has highest upside potential under a short squeeze scenario, NBIS likely rallies just based on staggering growth. \n\nPick your poison.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Is this better than $HIMS special? I'm thinking about exiting my HIMS position and moving into $NBIS but i'm unsure which one has the higher upside potential within the next 3-6 months?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "GrassKaniKani", "ret_m1d": -0.06838650112454847, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06838650112454847, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06367767858332152, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07188632065539091, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0047088225412269535, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0034998195308424407, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011257078750597227, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011257078750597227, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01670064513942604, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012690665647306032, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005443566388828813, "bench_c_p1d": -0.001433586896708805, "ret_p1w": 0.03395875045402419, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03395875045402419, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0386975813257846, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.034211679241166526, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004738830871760413, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0002529287871423369, "ret_p1m": -0.02176359970012043, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02176359970012043, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.028436771240072378, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.005487703476814709, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.00667317153995195, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01627589622330572, "ret_p3m": -0.2674484291212419, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2674484291212419, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.28188952396505595, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24965457165159954, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014441094843814062, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01779385746964235, "ret_p6m": 0.09127583017082053, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.09127583017082053, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08238010911942428, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.11519637919076353, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.008895721051396244, "bench_c_p6m": -0.023920549019943005, "price_path": [-0.5448, -0.5066, -0.5137, -0.481, -0.528, -0.5312, -0.5286, -0.5286, -0.5512, -0.5582, -0.568, -0.5644, -0.5844, -0.5127, -0.4978, -0.4999, -0.4963, -0.5048, -0.5087, -0.5215, -0.5133, -0.5107, -0.5181, -0.5052, -0.5272, -0.5189, -0.4894, -0.5122, -0.4918, -0.4825, -0.4832, -0.3873, -0.3548, -0.3411, -0.2933, -0.3374, -0.3578, -0.3281, -0.3195, -0.3697, -0.3671, -0.3792, -0.3529, -0.3432, -0.3388, -0.3424, -0.3242, -0.3591, -0.3591, -0.3835, -0.3841, -0.3911, -0.3858, -0.3991, -0.1021, -0.1239, -0.1633, -0.1519, -0.1467, -0.1611, -0.1174, -0.1171, -0.0684, 0.0, 0.0113, 0.0622, 0.0126, 0.0103, 0.034, 0.0532, 0.0845, 0.1808, 0.2006, 0.172, 0.1041, 0.1445, 0.2443, 0.2156, 0.2707, 0.2022, 0.1804, 0.1542, 0.0642, 0.0225, -0.0218, -0.0749, -0.0041, 0.1, 0.1766, 0.1429, 0.1735, 0.1649, 0.2272, 0.1301, 0.037, 0.0976, 0.0266, 0.0439, 0.0314, -0.0411, -0.1148, -0.1686, -0.2163, -0.1934, -0.1507, -0.1082, -0.206, -0.2189, -0.1379, -0.1662, -0.1117, -0.1117, -0.11, -0.0605, -0.0952, -0.072, -0.0356, -0.0803, -0.0588, -0.0956, -0.122, -0.1156, -0.1774, -0.2388, -0.2406, -0.2922, -0.2674, -0.1608, -0.1254, -0.1554, -0.1451, -0.1451, -0.1783, -0.1929, -0.201, -0.2148, -0.2148, -0.1562, -0.1292, -0.0597, -0.0975, -0.0872, -0.0813, 0.0068, -0.011, -0.0433, -0.0255, 0.02, 0.02, -0.0686, -0.0725, -0.0915, -0.1135, -0.142, -0.0819, -0.0579, -0.1097, -0.2008, -0.173, -0.1562, -0.2271, -0.307, -0.1923, -0.1287, -0.1389, -0.1688, -0.1583, -0.0806, -0.0806, -0.0852, -0.045, 0.0095, -0.0814, -0.0562, -0.0377, -0.0045, -0.0161, -0.1446, -0.1462, -0.1857, -0.0827, -0.1027, -0.162, -0.1094, -0.0954, 0.0506, 0.0135, 0.0596, 0.2181, 0.0913]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1965742967857295560", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-10T11:43:39+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I do own 6 fig worth after the contract because uncertainty eased for me", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds six-figure position in NBIS post-Microsoft deal; bullish on 300%+ Y/Y revenue for 7 years not yet priced in.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@daniel_koss Yep, $NBIS 26% up on the month (46% on the day) on 300%+ Y/Y revenue for 7 years is not priced in at all. \n\nAgain there are execution risks like high debt, or termination clauses. Aside from that I do own 6 fig worth after the contract because uncertainty eased for me.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$NBIS is ridiculously underpriced after a mere 50% jump on the Microsoft deal.\n\nIt's honestly comical. Just look at the numbers.\n\nThey got a $17.4-19.4B revenue deal from $MSFT.\nMarket cap only increased by $7.55B.\n\nCloud businesses have INSANE NDR (Net Dollar Retention) of", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "daniel_koss", "ret_m1d": 0.024949157792937715, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.024949157792937715, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.027831679122821695, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.017533396592911865, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028825213298839802, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00741576120002585, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04497266276572787, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04497266276572787, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.053282833121671924, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.060327664107197254, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008310170355944058, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015355001341469388, "ret_p1w": 0.0073883975363076, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0073883975363076, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.003298345262721325, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02934164658529692, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010686742799028925, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03673004412160452, "ret_p1m": 0.4202805467022046, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4202805467022046, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3883725465376131, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4141665923213069, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0319080001645915, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006113954380897679, "ret_p3m": 0.0743120514697797, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0743120514697797, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.02323141033316234, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.056466441254471755, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.051080641136617366, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01784561021530795, "ret_p6m": 0.024199616136639346, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.024199616136639346, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.026409334543678442, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.016088632732523145, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05060895068031779, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04028824886916249, "price_path": [-0.4953, -0.4597, -0.4825, -0.4826, -0.4826, -0.4863, -0.4916, -0.4537, -0.4805, -0.4368, -0.4449, -0.4075, -0.4613, -0.4649, -0.4619, -0.4619, -0.4877, -0.4957, -0.5069, -0.5028, -0.5256, -0.4437, -0.4268, -0.4292, -0.4251, -0.4347, -0.4392, -0.4538, -0.4445, -0.4415, -0.4499, -0.4352, -0.4603, -0.4508, -0.4172, -0.4432, -0.42, -0.4093, -0.4101, -0.3007, -0.2635, -0.2479, -0.1934, -0.2437, -0.2669, -0.2331, -0.2233, -0.2805, -0.2775, -0.2914, -0.2614, -0.2502, -0.2453, -0.2494, -0.2286, -0.2684, -0.2684, -0.2963, -0.297, -0.305, -0.299, -0.3141, 0.0249, 0.0, -0.045, -0.0319, -0.026, -0.0424, 0.0074, 0.0078, 0.0634, 0.1414, 0.1543, 0.2124, 0.1558, 0.1532, 0.1802, 0.2022, 0.2379, 0.3478, 0.3704, 0.3378, 0.2603, 0.3063, 0.4203, 0.3875, 0.4505, 0.3722, 0.3474, 0.3175, 0.2147, 0.1671, 0.1166, 0.056, 0.1367, 0.2556, 0.3431, 0.3045, 0.3395, 0.3297, 0.4008, 0.29, 0.1836, 0.2528, 0.1719, 0.1916, 0.1773, 0.0945, 0.0104, -0.051, -0.1055, -0.0793, -0.0305, 0.018, -0.0937, -0.1085, -0.016, -0.0483, 0.0139, 0.0139, 0.0158, 0.0724, 0.0328, 0.0592, 0.1008, 0.0498, 0.0743, 0.0323, 0.0021, 0.0095, -0.061, -0.1312, -0.1332, -0.1921, -0.1638, -0.0421, -0.0017, -0.036, -0.0242, -0.0242, -0.0621, -0.0787, -0.088, -0.1037, -0.1037, -0.0368, -0.006, 0.0733, 0.0302, 0.0419, 0.0486, 0.1493, 0.1289, 0.092, 0.1124, 0.1643, 0.1643, 0.0632, 0.0587, 0.037, 0.0119, -0.0207, 0.048, 0.0754, 0.0163, -0.0878, -0.056, -0.0368, -0.1178, -0.209, -0.0781, -0.0055, -0.0171, -0.0512, -0.0392, 0.0495, 0.0495, 0.0442, 0.0901, 0.1523, 0.0485, 0.0773, 0.0984, 0.1363, 0.123, -0.0236, -0.0255, -0.0706, 0.047, 0.0242]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2008941799382057128", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-07T16:40:23+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "AXT goes up 100% once markets find out it's the single point of failure for the AI supply chain", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AXTI: claims it is the single point of failure for the AI supply chain and could rise 100% once markets discover this.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I mean most of my posts from $AXTI and $AIRO are novel information synthesis based on public info.\n\nSo makes sense if stuff like AXT goes up 100% once markets find out it’s the single point of failure for the AI supply chain.\n\nOr in this case markets didn’t know about $OSS involvement in Venezuela. \n\nThat aside I’m just posting my own thought process or just novel analysis to test my thesis against the markets. Not advice or recommending others to follow along.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Am i the only one thinking your posts bumps the stock immediately within hour lol", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "timskripe", "ret_m1d": -0.16341768703091564, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.16341768703091564, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1666514674512254, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.17017059902952703, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003233780420309751, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006752911998611388, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07133966278773185, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07133966278773185, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07144119546971761, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08702710291990967, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00010153268198576093, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01568744013217782, "ret_p1w": -0.08336790452086706, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08336790452086706, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08449896439781379, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09201685051033226, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0011310598769467273, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008648945989465195, "ret_p1m": -0.1526337707181883, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1526337707181883, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13528987632921796, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14237461066893464, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017343894388970327, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010259160049253646, "ret_p3m": 0.7416010209654871, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7416010209654871, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.7834387873600864, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.7131349093728574, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04183776639459935, "bench_c_p3m": 0.028466111592629684, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.8328, -0.8092, -0.8105, -0.8096, -0.7955, -0.8129, -0.7964, -0.7856, -0.7951, -0.7852, -0.7487, -0.7433, -0.7263, -0.7068, -0.6964, -0.6703, -0.6491, -0.6458, -0.6226, -0.6321, -0.6076, -0.567, -0.562, -0.5446, -0.567, -0.567, -0.5749, -0.5894, -0.5807, -0.608, -0.6296, -0.6126, -0.6172, -0.5666, -0.5666, -0.5562, -0.5525, -0.5122, -0.5238, -0.4981, -0.5197, -0.4728, -0.3795, -0.3567, -0.3206, -0.3857, -0.3849, -0.4608, -0.4873, -0.4189, -0.3924, -0.3687, -0.3928, -0.3774, -0.3774, -0.3625, -0.3949, -0.3447, -0.3219, -0.3219, -0.3049, -0.3086, -0.1634, 0.0, 0.0713, -0.0465, -0.0776, -0.1078, -0.0834, 0.0668, -0.0838, -0.0838, -0.112, -0.1796, -0.2567, -0.2783, -0.2617, -0.2866, -0.3019, -0.3206, -0.231, -0.1315, -0.1813, -0.2223, -0.1526, -0.0021, 0.1518, 0.01, 0.1116, 0.0282, 0.0054, 0.0054, -0.0373, -0.0236, -0.0124, 0.231, 0.1792, 0.455, 0.6993, 0.5396, 0.572, 0.9212, 0.7321, 0.623, 0.6093, 0.3426, 0.5993, 0.8374, 0.9643, 0.9382, 1.0265, 1.0071, 0.8399, 1.0224, 1.4094, 1.2497, 1.6727, 1.8387, 1.7934, 1.4268, 1.5147, 1.1871, 1.3633, 0.9552, 1.1916, 1.1916, 0.7416, 0.8855, 1.2057, 1.618, 1.662, 1.7561, 1.7914, 1.6101, 2.392, 2.4243, 2.2667, 2.1095, 2.606, 2.1219, 2.1589, 1.9096, 1.8499, 1.9477, 2.2858, 2.9818, 3.3965, 3.4608, 3.348, 3.4969, 3.8262, 4.2182, 4.0975, 4.0577, 3.769, 4.134, 3.3915, 3.6819, 3.3389, 4.0195, 4.8411, 4.8411, 4.4998, 4.0921, 3.7988, 3.2787, 3.2787, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1968068563471897087", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-16T21:44:45+00:00", "symbol": "CRCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If you ever see $CRCL at $200, it's an easy short Circle long Coinbaes play", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Pair trade: short CRCL / long COIN if CRCL revisits $200, with $10B+ unlock selling pressure by Dec 2 and CRCL overvalued vs COIN given revenue-sharing dynamics.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Rant: this $CRCL chart is a great lesson on why TA means very little - fundamentals matter more.\n\nWhen people were posting $BULL TA's at IPO, I was doing arbitrage between warrants and rolling my eyes. \n\nBULL went from $10 to $70+ but people were trading on 1% of float. When shares were unlocked, BULL went back to $10 IPO price.\n\nFor CRCL, we saw the rally from $31 IPO price to $200+ because people are trading on a limited float and MC was almost the same as $COIN. (which has 50% interest revenue sharing with Circle on top of their crypto exchange)\n\nWhen 1.4m+ Circle shares had early unlock, the price crashed back down to $130.  If you ever see $CRCL at $200, it's an easy short Circle long Coinbaes play. \n\nThe full 180 day lock up is December 2nd and you have another $10B+ USD of potential selling pressure in two months.  \n\nI am bullish on USDC and Circle/Coin but with the existing business model it doesn't make sense that $CRCL should ever be worth more than 1/2 of $COIN today at $200 given how Stablecoin businesses like Tether make money off interest income. \n\nTA doesn't mean anything with upcoming share lockups.\n\nLesson: Float & fundamentals > lines on a chart.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$CRCL is a $200 stock trading at $130.\n\nHas a similar business model to Tether, which is stupidly profitable &amp; does $90M per employee(!!!).\n\nCircle's revenue growth is remarkable. https://t.co/YtkNUWEQcv", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.005637523333576255, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005637523333576255, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007016214290620826, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007877995919410297, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0013786909570445705, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0022404725858340413, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.027965316673359775, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.027965316673359775, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.026722881380811137, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.037674127312883776, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012424352925486382, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009708810639524001, "ret_p1w": -0.02848450713918016, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02848450713918016, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03613412956829887, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03552276959629053, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007649622429118708, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007038262457110367, "ret_p1m": -0.002447903249247152, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.002447903249247152, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.013075285508405199, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.000254430309082454, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010627382259158047, "bench_c_p1m": -0.002702333558329606, "ret_p3m": -0.3808322622035226, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3808322622035226, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.41666582325137613, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.41016180339495534, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03583356104785351, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029329541191432718, "ret_p6m": -0.16319264445085335, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.16319264445085335, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1938124911469099, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09630453726278154, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030619846696056552, "bench_c_p6m": -0.06688810718807181, "price_path": [0.4805, 0.7824, 0.9542, 0.6516, 0.4733, 0.5847, 0.3384, 0.3448, 0.4282, 0.3202, 0.4003, 0.4003, 0.5389, 0.5192, 0.4886, 0.5051, 0.3896, 0.5184, 0.4489, 0.7298, 0.7438, 0.66, 0.603, 0.471, 0.5014, 0.4322, 0.4306, 0.375, 0.3474, 0.4131, 0.3613, 0.2469, 0.2226, 0.1418, 0.1995, 0.1344, 0.1797, 0.1955, 0.2107, 0.1361, 0.0328, 0.1072, 0.0502, 0.0031, 0.0223, -0.0223, 0.0017, -0.071, -0.0427, -0.055, -0.0287, -0.021, -0.021, -0.1088, -0.1213, -0.1285, -0.1502, -0.1658, -0.1248, -0.1567, -0.0082, -0.0704, -0.0056, 0.0, -0.028, 0.0416, 0.0692, 0.021, -0.0285, -0.024, -0.0753, -0.058, -0.0085, -0.0165, -0.0429, 0.1106, 0.0814, 0.1016, 0.1032, 0.1161, 0.1162, -0.0139, 0.0197, -0.0026, -0.0024, -0.0471, -0.0617, -0.0297, -0.0368, -0.0743, -0.0367, 0.0537, 0.0629, 0.0096, -0.0228, -0.0898, -0.0581, -0.1257, -0.1748, -0.1616, -0.2581, -0.2349, -0.2278, -0.2708, -0.3598, -0.3892, -0.3926, -0.4319, -0.4318, -0.4828, -0.5035, -0.4709, -0.4604, -0.4799, -0.4612, -0.4612, -0.4071, -0.4367, -0.4256, -0.3599, -0.3512, -0.3649, -0.3772, -0.3407, -0.3442, -0.343, -0.3808, -0.4402, -0.3843, -0.4125, -0.3992, -0.3611, -0.3546, -0.3863, -0.387, -0.387, -0.3972, -0.4028, -0.4074, -0.4118, -0.4118, -0.3808, -0.371, -0.3706, -0.4022, -0.3933, -0.3851, -0.3851, -0.3809, -0.371, -0.4318, -0.4169, -0.4169, -0.4607, -0.4612, -0.4707, -0.4709, -0.4741, -0.481, -0.4597, -0.4989, -0.5258, -0.5634, -0.5834, -0.5916, -0.6274, -0.5769, -0.5542, -0.5568, -0.5708, -0.5799, -0.5546, -0.5546, -0.5429, -0.5316, -0.5407, -0.5325, -0.5463, -0.5448, -0.3833, -0.3531, -0.3811, -0.2868, -0.261, -0.2191, -0.2156, -0.244, -0.1704, -0.124, -0.1632]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1968068563471897087", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-16T21:44:45+00:00", "symbol": "COIN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If you ever see $CRCL at $200, it's an easy short Circle long Coinbaes play", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Pair trade: short CRCL / long COIN if CRCL revisits $200, with $10B+ unlock selling pressure by Dec 2 and CRCL overvalued vs COIN given revenue-sharing dynamics.", "resolved_tickers": ["COIN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Financial Data & Stock Exchanges'", "bench_c_industry": "Financial Data & Stock Exchanges", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Rant: this $CRCL chart is a great lesson on why TA means very little - fundamentals matter more.\n\nWhen people were posting $BULL TA's at IPO, I was doing arbitrage between warrants and rolling my eyes. \n\nBULL went from $10 to $70+ but people were trading on 1% of float. When shares were unlocked, BULL went back to $10 IPO price.\n\nFor CRCL, we saw the rally from $31 IPO price to $200+ because people are trading on a limited float and MC was almost the same as $COIN. (which has 50% interest revenue sharing with Circle on top of their crypto exchange)\n\nWhen 1.4m+ Circle shares had early unlock, the price crashed back down to $130.  If you ever see $CRCL at $200, it's an easy short Circle long Coinbaes play. \n\nThe full 180 day lock up is December 2nd and you have another $10B+ USD of potential selling pressure in two months.  \n\nI am bullish on USDC and Circle/Coin but with the existing business model it doesn't make sense that $CRCL should ever be worth more than 1/2 of $COIN today at $200 given how Stablecoin businesses like Tether make money off interest income. \n\nTA doesn't mean anything with upcoming share lockups.\n\nLesson: Float & fundamentals > lines on a chart.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$CRCL is a $200 stock trading at $130.\n\nHas a similar business model to Tether, which is stupidly profitable &amp; does $90M per employee(!!!).\n\nCircle's revenue growth is remarkable. https://t.co/YtkNUWEQcv", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00271420401481437, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00271420401481437, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00409289497185894, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004954676600648411, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0013786909570445705, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0022404725858340413, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.022414705319845463, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.022414705319845463, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.021172270027296825, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.032123515959369464, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012424352925486382, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009708810639524001, "ret_p1w": -0.02390898798552432, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02390898798552432, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03155861041464303, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03094725044263469, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007649622429118708, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007038262457110367, "ret_p1m": 0.025586240240187186, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.025586240240187186, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.014958857981029139, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.028288573798516792, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010627382259158047, "bench_c_p1m": -0.002702333558329606, "ret_p3m": -0.18434939932275196, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.18434939932275196, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.22018296037060547, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.21367894051418468, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03583356104785351, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029329541191432718, "ret_p6m": -0.39425451293188296, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.39425451293188296, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4248743596279395, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.32736640574381115, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.030619846696056552, "bench_c_p6m": -0.06688810718807181, "price_path": [-0.0995, -0.0596, -0.062, 0.0516, 0.0837, 0.1438, 0.0778, 0.0689, 0.0226, 0.0809, 0.0851, 0.0851, 0.089, 0.0821, 0.1401, 0.1862, 0.1804, 0.2016, 0.1833, 0.2144, 0.2526, 0.2802, 0.2614, 0.2334, 0.2132, 0.2098, 0.1944, 0.1573, 0.1327, 0.1512, 0.152, -0.0403, -0.0297, -0.0912, -0.0742, -0.0522, -0.053, -0.0253, -0.0161, -0.0027, -0.0092, -0.0316, -0.0219, -0.0788, -0.0717, -0.0843, -0.0246, -0.0668, -0.0593, -0.0578, -0.0593, -0.0713, -0.0713, -0.0743, -0.0781, -0.0644, -0.088, -0.0784, -0.0278, -0.0383, -0.0121, -0.0149, -0.0027, 0.0, -0.0224, 0.0464, 0.0444, 0.0123, -0.0239, -0.0187, -0.0647, -0.0467, 0.0185, 0.0292, 0.0557, 0.1347, 0.1589, 0.1774, 0.146, 0.181, 0.1802, 0.0887, 0.0887, 0.0416, 0.0256, 0.0071, 0.0247, 0.0484, 0.0327, -0.0231, -0.0157, 0.081, 0.1022, 0.0833, 0.0631, 0.0018, 0.0484, 0.0077, -0.0628, -0.0263, -0.0997, -0.0572, -0.0304, -0.0729, -0.0729, -0.1365, -0.1339, -0.1951, -0.2016, -0.2154, -0.2737, -0.2668, -0.2194, -0.225, -0.1919, -0.1919, -0.168, -0.2076, -0.1972, -0.1555, -0.1643, -0.1774, -0.1638, -0.1542, -0.1611, -0.1796, -0.1843, -0.2363, -0.2296, -0.2553, -0.2705, -0.2525, -0.244, -0.2611, -0.2689, -0.2689, -0.2775, -0.2871, -0.2937, -0.3104, -0.3104, -0.2787, -0.2226, -0.2359, -0.25, -0.251, -0.2657, -0.259, -0.2294, -0.2197, -0.2703, -0.2646, -0.2646, -0.3055, -0.308, -0.3195, -0.3384, -0.349, -0.357, -0.3613, -0.3926, -0.4061, -0.4271, -0.4521, -0.4858, -0.5544, -0.4964, -0.49, -0.5044, -0.5328, -0.5697, -0.4989, -0.4989, -0.4937, -0.4997, -0.4939, -0.4774, -0.5113, -0.5059, -0.4391, -0.4478, -0.4637, -0.4351, -0.4439, -0.3628, -0.3727, -0.3986, -0.3907, -0.4007, -0.3943]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2006442583757828201", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-31T19:09:24+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the backlog for Nvidia, it's wild", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish NVDA on backlog, SMCI on revenue growth/guidance raise, SNAP as undervalued with FCF catalysts, HIMS on growth+buybacks, and long-term on SK Hynix/TSMC as top-tier compounders.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So I can argue the bear case for $NVDA too, that hyperscalers are building their own ASICs. But in cases like these, you look at numbers rather than narrative like, the backlog for Nvidia, it's wild. \n\n$SMCI is nowhere close, which is why it's down 40% in 3 months but it's still growing revenue 50%+ Y/Y and even raised FY guidance from $33B to FY $36B.\n\nAs for $SNAP, it's materially undervalued if you're value investing. Perplexity deal adding $400m in value, then net FCF from memory monetization is +$630M. Yet it's trading 25% down from the start of the year. \n\n$HIMS has Zava acqusition and is expanding to Europe. Amazon and others already launched competitors but Hims I think is still growing 20%+ Y/Y into next year and has buybacks.\n\nThey're obviously not god-tier stocks like Sk Hynix, TSM, Lite, and others just growing at insane rates but this is the point of being over-sold + revert to mean a lot faster. And upside could be higher.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.005576345814116035, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005576345814116035, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0018879240914713158, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0018879240914713158, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007464269905587351, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007464269905587351, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.013994580014094593, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.013994580014094593, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0027615574407093835, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0027615574407093835, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01123302257338521, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01123302257338521, "ret_p1m": 0.03222511441233333, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03222511441233333, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.014451790992109581, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.014451790992109581, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017773323420223752, "bench_c_p1m": 0.017773323420223752, "ret_p3m": -0.11432208488387519, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11432208488387519, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0436039432831713, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0436039432831713, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.07071814160070389, "bench_c_p3m": -0.07071814160070389, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0059, -0.0052, -0.0079, 0.0139, 0.0325, -0.018, 0.0097, -0.0347, -0.0358, -0.0252, -0.0176, -0.0208, -0.0287, -0.0334, -0.0233, -0.0013, 0.0267, 0.0778, 0.1101, 0.0878, 0.0857, 0.1092, 0.0653, 0.0466, 0.0084, 0.0088, 0.0672, 0.0357, 0.0391, 0.0019, 0.0196, 0.0005, -0.0276, 0.0001, -0.0315, -0.0409, -0.0212, -0.0466, -0.0335, -0.0335, -0.051, -0.0353, -0.0271, -0.0371, -0.0167, -0.0219, -0.0051, -0.0082, -0.0146, -0.0299, -0.0616, -0.0547, -0.0471, -0.0834, -0.0663, -0.0295, -0.0151, 0.0145, 0.0113, 0.0113, 0.0216, 0.0092, 0.0056, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0126, 0.0087, 0.004, 0.014, -0.0078, -0.0088, -0.0084, -0.0037, -0.018, 0.0029, -0.0014, -0.0014, -0.0452, -0.0171, -0.0089, 0.0063, -0.0002, 0.0108, 0.0269, 0.0322, 0.0248, -0.0048, -0.033, -0.066, -0.0784, -0.0058, 0.019, 0.0109, 0.019, 0.0024, -0.0198, -0.0198, -0.0082, 0.0079, 0.0075, 0.0178, 0.0271, 0.034, 0.0486, -0.0086, -0.0499, -0.0216, -0.0346, -0.0186, -0.0169, -0.0465, -0.0206, -0.0093, -0.0025, -0.018, -0.0335, -0.0175, -0.0245, -0.0327, -0.0425, -0.0739, -0.0582, -0.0605, -0.0419, -0.0818, -0.1017, -0.1143, -0.0648, -0.0576, -0.0488, -0.0488, -0.0475, -0.045, -0.0236, -0.0138, 0.0115, 0.0151, 0.0537, 0.0664, 0.0636, 0.0815, 0.0835, 0.0718, 0.0858, 0.0705, 0.1168, 0.1615, 0.1431, 0.122, 0.0701, 0.0641, 0.0643, 0.0537, 0.1144, 0.1341, 0.1539, 0.1767, 0.1839, 0.211, 0.2641, 0.2082, 0.1921, 0.183, 0.1983, 0.1771, 0.1546, 0.1546, 0.1521, 0.14, 0.1489, 0.1322, 0.1322, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2006442583757828201", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-31T19:09:24+00:00", "symbol": "SMCI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it's still growing revenue 50%+ Y/Y and even raised FY guidance from $33B to FY $36B", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish NVDA on backlog, SMCI on revenue growth/guidance raise, SNAP as undervalued with FCF catalysts, HIMS on growth+buybacks, and long-term on SK Hynix/TSMC as top-tier compounders.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMCI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So I can argue the bear case for $NVDA too, that hyperscalers are building their own ASICs. But in cases like these, you look at numbers rather than narrative like, the backlog for Nvidia, it's wild. \n\n$SMCI is nowhere close, which is why it's down 40% in 3 months but it's still growing revenue 50%+ Y/Y and even raised FY guidance from $33B to FY $36B.\n\nAs for $SNAP, it's materially undervalued if you're value investing. Perplexity deal adding $400m in value, then net FCF from memory monetization is +$630M. Yet it's trading 25% down from the start of the year. \n\n$HIMS has Zava acqusition and is expanding to Europe. Amazon and others already launched competitors but Hims I think is still growing 20%+ Y/Y into next year and has buybacks.\n\nThey're obviously not god-tier stocks like Sk Hynix, TSM, Lite, and others just growing at insane rates but this is the point of being over-sold + revert to mean a lot faster. And upside could be higher.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.012982547141225265, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.012982547141225265, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005518277235637914, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.002980425848936985, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007464269905587351, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01000212129228828, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.025281850343185974, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.025281850343185974, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.014048827769800765, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.007500348542528235, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01123302257338521, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01778150180065774, "ret_p1m": 0.02903998524688345, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.02903998524688345, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.011266661826659696, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.008896940745694248, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017773323420223752, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0201430445011892, "ret_p3m": -0.2804920008002132, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2804920008002132, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2097738591995093, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.16719429965920418, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.07071814160070389, "bench_c_p3m": -0.11329770114100901, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.7752, 0.8661, 0.8814, 1.0048, 0.9809, 0.8059, 0.8705, 0.8145, 0.8428, 0.8394, 0.7827, 0.8804, 0.8729, 0.7936, 0.6372, 0.6498, 0.7619, 0.7889, 0.8001, 0.7209, 0.7752, 0.7339, 0.6194, 0.4359, 0.3782, 0.3584, 0.3731, 0.3263, 0.2952, 0.1988, 0.2443, 0.165, 0.1923, 0.1524, 0.0782, 0.0998, 0.1384, 0.1097, 0.1216, 0.1216, 0.1565, 0.1414, 0.1247, 0.1507, 0.1695, 0.1852, 0.2084, 0.1964, 0.1923, 0.1623, 0.1045, 0.0717, 0.0817, 0.0195, 0.0034, 0.0629, 0.0615, 0.0509, 0.0437, 0.0437, 0.0468, 0.0277, 0.013, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0577, 0.0273, 0.0434, 0.0253, 0.0215, 0.0304, 0.029, -0.0229, -0.0342, 0.0051, 0.1151, 0.1151, 0.0731, 0.1015, 0.1086, 0.083, 0.0523, 0.0659, 0.0663, 0.029, -0.0055, 0.015, 0.0137, 0.1534, 0.054, 0.1746, 0.1455, 0.1387, 0.0946, 0.0396, 0.0434, 0.0434, 0.0287, 0.015, 0.0987, 0.1076, 0.0492, 0.0635, 0.1479, 0.1028, 0.1066, 0.0875, 0.0482, 0.1155, 0.1015, 0.0697, 0.0926, 0.0861, 0.0861, 0.0557, 0.0506, 0.0885, 0.0765, 0.0369, 0.0519, -0.2986, -0.2627, -0.2405, -0.1783, -0.2412, -0.2494, -0.2805, -0.2221, -0.231, -0.2067, -0.2067, -0.2467, -0.2255, -0.2016, -0.2067, -0.137, -0.1127, -0.0707, -0.0676, -0.0297, -0.0243, -0.0157, -0.0287, -0.0031, -0.0861, -0.0065, -0.0485, -0.069, -0.1008, -0.0639, -0.0745, -0.0461, -0.0492, 0.1841, 0.1486, 0.2084, 0.1452, 0.1203, 0.0933, 0.1285, 0.0605, 0.054, 0.0441, 0.1431, 0.1431, 0.2156, 0.2156, 0.2675, 0.3047, 0.411, 0.5746, 0.5746, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2006442583757828201", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-12-31T19:09:24+00:00", "symbol": "SNAP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it's materially undervalued if you're value investing. Perplexity deal adding $400m in value, then net FCF from memory monetization is +$630M", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish NVDA on backlog, SMCI on revenue growth/guidance raise, SNAP as undervalued with FCF catalysts, HIMS on growth+buybacks, and long-term on SK Hynix/TSMC as top-tier compounders.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNAP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So I can argue the bear case for $NVDA too, that hyperscalers are building their own ASICs. But in cases like these, you look at numbers rather than narrative like, the backlog for Nvidia, it's wild. \n\n$SMCI is nowhere close, which is why it's down 40% in 3 months but it's still growing revenue 50%+ Y/Y and even raised FY guidance from $33B to FY $36B.\n\nAs for $SNAP, it's materially undervalued if you're value investing. Perplexity deal adding $400m in value, then net FCF from memory monetization is +$630M. Yet it's trading 25% down from the start of the year. \n\n$HIMS has Zava acqusition and is expanding to Europe. Amazon and others already launched competitors but Hims I think is still growing 20%+ Y/Y into next year and has buybacks.\n\nThey're obviously not god-tier stocks like Sk Hynix, TSM, Lite, and others just growing at insane rates but this is the point of being over-sold + revert to mean a lot faster. And upside could be higher.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.007464269905587351, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00484197287590149, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007464269905587351, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00484197287590149, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.06815368172660663, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06815368172660663, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05692065915322142, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0735053838647518, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01123302257338521, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005351702138145176, "ret_p1m": -0.1028500563932343, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1028500563932343, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12062337981345805, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12043415554493808, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017773323420223752, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01758409915170378, "ret_p3m": -0.5018587195852332, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.5018587195852332, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4311405779845293, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.42187667193777023, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.07071814160070389, "bench_c_p3m": -0.07998204764746297, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0582, 0.0558, 0.0074, 0.0446, 0.0384, -0.0359, -0.0025, -0.0186, -0.0198, -0.0384, -0.052, -0.0421, -0.0273, -0.0372, -0.0248, -0.0149, -0.0198, -0.0409, -0.0409, -0.0582, -0.0335, -0.031, -0.0743, -0.0954, -0.0074, 0.0173, 0.0768, 0.0855, 0.1264, 0.0632, 0.062, 0.0136, 0.0223, -0.005, -0.0359, -0.0471, -0.0483, -0.0533, -0.057, -0.057, -0.0483, -0.0533, -0.0558, -0.0508, -0.0384, -0.0198, -0.005, -0.0186, -0.0186, -0.0533, -0.0942, -0.1004, -0.0867, -0.0706, -0.0545, -0.062, -0.0161, -0.0322, -0.0273, -0.0273, -0.026, -0.0235, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0074, 0.0223, 0.0892, 0.0682, 0.0409, 0.0173, 0.0149, -0.0099, -0.0211, -0.0384, -0.0669, -0.0669, -0.0892, -0.0867, -0.0508, -0.0558, -0.0632, -0.0756, -0.0496, -0.1029, -0.1413, -0.1747, -0.2441, -0.2677, -0.3656, -0.3532, -0.3569, -0.3519, -0.3817, -0.4027, -0.4015, -0.4015, -0.4139, -0.3953, -0.3804, -0.3631, -0.3891, -0.3841, -0.3717, -0.3482, -0.3544, -0.3482, -0.3494, -0.3346, -0.3383, -0.3606, -0.3643, -0.3916, -0.3978, -0.4238, -0.4349, -0.4201, -0.4238, -0.4275, -0.4349, -0.4449, -0.4411, -0.4597, -0.4436, -0.5031, -0.513, -0.5019, -0.43, -0.3928, -0.4263, -0.4263, -0.4164, -0.4052, -0.4139, -0.3866, -0.4027, -0.3618, -0.3061, -0.2515, -0.254, -0.2528, -0.2565, -0.3011, -0.2763, -0.3098, -0.2999, -0.2491, -0.2627, -0.259, -0.2478, -0.2206, -0.2354, -0.2429, -0.2429, -0.259, -0.2466, -0.2875, -0.3123, -0.3048, -0.3358, -0.3147, -0.2974, -0.3123, -0.3036, -0.2949, -0.2912, -0.2912, -0.2875, -0.2714, -0.2677, -0.2924, -0.2924, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2006442583757828201", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-12-31T19:09:24+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Hims I think is still growing 20%+ Y/Y into next year and has buybacks", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish NVDA on backlog, SMCI on revenue growth/guidance raise, SNAP as undervalued with FCF catalysts, HIMS on growth+buybacks, and long-term on SK Hynix/TSMC as top-tier compounders.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So I can argue the bear case for $NVDA too, that hyperscalers are building their own ASICs. But in cases like these, you look at numbers rather than narrative like, the backlog for Nvidia, it's wild. \n\n$SMCI is nowhere close, which is why it's down 40% in 3 months but it's still growing revenue 50%+ Y/Y and even raised FY guidance from $33B to FY $36B.\n\nAs for $SNAP, it's materially undervalued if you're value investing. Perplexity deal adding $400m in value, then net FCF from memory monetization is +$630M. Yet it's trading 25% down from the start of the year. \n\n$HIMS has Zava acqusition and is expanding to Europe. Amazon and others already launched competitors but Hims I think is still growing 20%+ Y/Y into next year and has buybacks.\n\nThey're obviously not god-tier stocks like Sk Hynix, TSM, Lite, and others just growing at insane rates but this is the point of being over-sold + revert to mean a lot faster. And upside could be higher.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01755465578673232, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01755465578673232, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01009038588114497, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01009038588114497, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007464269905587351, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007464269905587351, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.09208493228707004, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09208493228707004, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08085190971368483, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08085190971368483, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01123302257338521, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01123302257338521, "ret_p1m": -0.08007392312051853, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08007392312051853, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09784724654074228, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09784724654074228, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017773323420223752, "bench_c_p1m": 0.017773323420223752, "ret_p3m": -0.4216199574802839, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4216199574802839, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.35090181587958, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.35090181587958, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.07071814160070389, "bench_c_p3m": -0.07071814160070389, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.6181, 0.6865, 0.7853, 0.7915, 0.794, 0.6615, 0.6856, 0.6637, 0.9329, 0.8217, 0.5331, 0.5818, 0.5202, 0.4617, 0.4934, 0.5023, 0.4854, 0.4512, 0.4361, 0.3569, 0.4001, 0.3671, 0.3178, 0.3468, 0.2787, 0.2636, 0.2642, 0.2242, 0.2017, 0.1103, 0.1389, 0.0958, 0.1167, 0.1035, 0.0354, 0.069, 0.1635, 0.1423, 0.1826, 0.1826, 0.2245, 0.1552, 0.1183, 0.1417, 0.2325, 0.2073, 0.2048, 0.2264, 0.1666, 0.1632, 0.146, 0.1164, 0.1352, 0.077, 0.0708, 0.0952, 0.0795, 0.0718, 0.0678, 0.0678, 0.0567, 0.0502, 0.0176, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0289, 0.069, 0.0921, 0.0921, 0.0431, -0.024, -0.004, -0.0083, -0.0354, -0.0382, -0.0336, -0.0336, -0.0616, -0.1103, -0.0601, -0.0878, -0.0674, -0.0859, -0.117, -0.0801, -0.1657, -0.1857, -0.2134, -0.2485, -0.2769, -0.291, -0.4047, -0.469, -0.486, -0.5134, -0.498, -0.498, -0.4989, -0.5122, -0.5128, -0.5186, -0.5223, -0.5239, -0.5128, -0.5196, -0.5528, -0.4925, -0.5128, -0.4934, -0.5109, -0.5152, -0.3175, -0.2772, -0.203, -0.2658, -0.2371, -0.2338, -0.2307, -0.287, -0.2559, -0.3218, -0.3083, -0.3428, -0.3582, -0.3576, -0.4031, -0.4216, -0.3606, -0.389, -0.4105, -0.4105, -0.3739, -0.3994, -0.4028, -0.3917, -0.4016, -0.3486, -0.3422, -0.2519, -0.1688, -0.1124, -0.045, -0.0835, -0.1066, -0.133, -0.0588, -0.0949, -0.1404, -0.1891, -0.1632, -0.1558, -0.1601, -0.1891, -0.1722, -0.21, -0.1294, -0.1026, -0.2291, -0.2565, -0.2535, -0.2285, -0.3135, -0.3089, -0.2904, -0.2605, -0.2686, -0.2686, -0.2655, -0.2239, -0.2184, -0.1946, -0.1946, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2006442583757828201", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-12-31T19:09:24+00:00", "symbol": "SK Hynix", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "god-tier stocks like Sk Hynix, TSM, Lite, and others just growing at insane rates", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish NVDA on backlog, SMCI on revenue growth/guidance raise, SNAP as undervalued with FCF catalysts, HIMS on growth+buybacks, and long-term on SK Hynix/TSMC as top-tier compounders.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "SK Hynix listed on KOSPI as 000660.KS", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So I can argue the bear case for $NVDA too, that hyperscalers are building their own ASICs. But in cases like these, you look at numbers rather than narrative like, the backlog for Nvidia, it's wild. \n\n$SMCI is nowhere close, which is why it's down 40% in 3 months but it's still growing revenue 50%+ Y/Y and even raised FY guidance from $33B to FY $36B.\n\nAs for $SNAP, it's materially undervalued if you're value investing. Perplexity deal adding $400m in value, then net FCF from memory monetization is +$630M. Yet it's trading 25% down from the start of the year. \n\n$HIMS has Zava acqusition and is expanding to Europe. Amazon and others already launched competitors but Hims I think is still growing 20%+ Y/Y into next year and has buybacks.\n\nThey're obviously not god-tier stocks like Sk Hynix, TSM, Lite, and others just growing at insane rates but this is the point of being over-sold + revert to mean a lot faster. And upside could be higher.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.007464269905587351, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014400344664681652, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007464269905587351, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014400344664681652, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.13978480969551166, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.13978480969551166, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12855178712212645, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03887967252807156, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01123302257338521, "bench_c_p1w": 0.1009051371674401, "ret_p1m": 0.3225805520651215, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3225805520651215, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.30480722864489773, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04197986869990089, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017773323420223752, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2806006833652206, "ret_p3m": 0.3434882354899116, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3434882354899116, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4142063770906155, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.14589515954596832, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.07071814160070389, "bench_c_p3m": 0.19759307594394326, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3929, -0.3929, -0.3929, -0.3929, -0.3929, -0.343, -0.363, -0.3683, -0.3515, -0.3054, -0.2855, -0.2548, -0.2647, -0.2609, -0.2655, -0.2172, -0.1788, -0.2003, -0.1435, -0.1281, -0.1419, -0.0483, -0.1005, -0.1112, -0.0897, -0.1097, -0.0698, -0.0498, -0.0529, -0.0606, -0.1404, -0.0698, -0.1251, -0.1373, -0.1235, -0.2003, -0.2018, -0.2033, -0.1957, -0.1644, -0.1859, -0.1736, -0.1429, -0.1521, -0.1674, -0.1644, -0.1137, -0.1306, -0.0983, -0.1321, -0.1229, -0.149, -0.1859, -0.1536, -0.1521, -0.1598, -0.1091, -0.1029, -0.0968, -0.0968, -0.0799, -0.0169, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0399, 0.0691, 0.1152, 0.1398, 0.1613, 0.1429, 0.1505, 0.1336, 0.1398, 0.1505, 0.1613, 0.1736, 0.1413, 0.1367, 0.1598, 0.1782, 0.1306, 0.2289, 0.2919, 0.3226, 0.3963, 0.275, 0.3932, 0.3825, 0.2934, 0.2888, 0.3625, 0.3456, 0.321, 0.3641, 0.3518, 0.3518, 0.3518, 0.3518, 0.3733, 0.4578, 0.4608, 0.5438, 0.5637, 0.6913, 0.6328, 0.6328, 0.4451, 0.3066, 0.4481, 0.422, 0.2865, 0.4435, 0.4697, 0.4312, 0.4004, 0.4989, 0.4928, 0.6251, 0.5589, 0.5497, 0.4358, 0.5174, 0.5312, 0.4358, 0.4358, 0.3435, 0.2419, 0.3804, 0.2773, 0.3481, 0.3635, 0.4097, 0.5897, 0.5359, 0.5805, 0.6005, 0.6974, 0.7482, 0.7775, 0.7359, 0.7944, 0.8837, 0.8821, 0.8852, 0.8806, 0.9883, 1.0006, 0.9898, 0.9791, 0.9791, 1.2268, 1.2268, 1.4638, 1.5454, 1.5946, 1.8932, 1.8239, 2.0409, 2.0317, 1.7993, 1.8316, 1.6854, 1.6854, 1.9855, 1.9871, 1.9871, 2.1579, 2.4518, 2.5232, 2.5909, 2.6656, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2006442583757828201", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2025-12-31T19:09:24+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "god-tier stocks like Sk Hynix, TSM, Lite, and others just growing at insane rates", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish NVDA on backlog, SMCI on revenue growth/guidance raise, SNAP as undervalued with FCF catalysts, HIMS on growth+buybacks, and long-term on SK Hynix/TSMC as top-tier compounders.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So I can argue the bear case for $NVDA too, that hyperscalers are building their own ASICs. But in cases like these, you look at numbers rather than narrative like, the backlog for Nvidia, it's wild. \n\n$SMCI is nowhere close, which is why it's down 40% in 3 months but it's still growing revenue 50%+ Y/Y and even raised FY guidance from $33B to FY $36B.\n\nAs for $SNAP, it's materially undervalued if you're value investing. Perplexity deal adding $400m in value, then net FCF from memory monetization is +$630M. Yet it's trading 25% down from the start of the year. \n\n$HIMS has Zava acqusition and is expanding to Europe. Amazon and others already launched competitors but Hims I think is still growing 20%+ Y/Y into next year and has buybacks.\n\nThey're obviously not god-tier stocks like Sk Hynix, TSM, Lite, and others just growing at insane rates but this is the point of being over-sold + revert to mean a lot faster. And upside could be higher.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01418293942489579, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01418293942489579, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02164720933048314, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02164720933048314, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.007464269905587351, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007464269905587351, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.04866882687901408, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04866882687901408, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03743580430562887, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03743580430562887, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01123302257338521, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01123302257338521, "ret_p1m": 0.11734492876455405, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11734492876455405, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0995716053443303, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0995716053443303, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017773323420223752, "bench_c_p1m": 0.017773323420223752, "ret_p3m": 0.04442990696370397, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04442990696370397, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11514804856440786, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.11514804856440786, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.07071814160070389, "bench_c_p3m": -0.07071814160070389, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0411, -0.0076, -0.0351, -0.0006, -0.0159, -0.0789, -0.006, -0.0288, -0.0, -0.016, -0.0316, -0.023, -0.0335, -0.052, -0.0459, -0.032, -0.0212, -0.0104, 0.0012, -0.0049, -0.014, 0.0005, -0.035, -0.0363, -0.0508, -0.0598, -0.031, -0.0444, -0.0462, -0.0739, -0.0653, -0.0745, -0.088, -0.0733, -0.0893, -0.0973, -0.0659, -0.0657, -0.0484, -0.0484, -0.0433, -0.0559, -0.0414, -0.0304, -0.0387, -0.0328, -0.0093, -0.0043, 0.0178, 0.0032, -0.039, -0.0531, -0.056, -0.0886, -0.0632, -0.0492, -0.0349, -0.0228, -0.0167, -0.0167, -0.0035, -0.0098, -0.0142, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0517, 0.0604, 0.0775, 0.0487, 0.0465, 0.065, 0.0917, 0.0899, 0.0764, 0.1242, 0.1267, 0.1267, 0.0766, 0.0732, 0.0773, 0.1019, 0.0948, 0.1134, 0.1264, 0.1173, 0.0878, 0.1233, 0.1048, 0.0719, 0.0883, 0.1479, 0.1695, 0.1909, 0.231, 0.2113, 0.2056, 0.2056, 0.1985, 0.1921, 0.1859, 0.2193, 0.2177, 0.2694, 0.2759, 0.24, 0.2326, 0.2146, 0.162, 0.1762, 0.1644, 0.1152, 0.1475, 0.1422, 0.1667, 0.108, 0.1133, 0.1196, 0.1417, 0.1206, 0.118, 0.0865, 0.1169, 0.1327, 0.1476, 0.0761, 0.0782, 0.0444, 0.1152, 0.1269, 0.1188, 0.1188, 0.1278, 0.1395, 0.2074, 0.2061, 0.223, 0.2196, 0.2536, 0.2378, 0.199, 0.2226, 0.2086, 0.2146, 0.2785, 0.2628, 0.3281, 0.3364, 0.2947, 0.2996, 0.307, 0.3123, 0.3253, 0.3015, 0.3843, 0.3667, 0.3585, 0.335, 0.311, 0.3193, 0.3784, 0.3343, 0.3066, 0.2956, 0.3253, 0.3436, 0.3349, 0.3349, 0.3606, 0.395, 0.402, 0.3809, 0.3809, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2007099013913616665", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-02T14:37:49+00:00", "symbol": "SMCI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "stock price should be a good swing trade especially as it trades near 1Y low. Markets are pricing in doom and gloom + accounting issues. I believe $SMCI is past that accounting issues, and 1 quarter delay is not too material + margins should recover.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long SMCI: PEG <0.5, 50% Y/Y revenue growth, accounting issues behind it, margin recovery expected, sovereign AI upside; trades near 1Y low.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMCI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Sure, $SMCI trades at PEG <.5, compared to $DELL ~1.2 PEG, despite growing 4x faster.\n\nRevenue is increasing 50% Y/Y, and the main drop recently was due to backlog delays from Q1 to Q2, not loss. They even increased revenue projections from $33B -> $36B.\n\nThe main issue was gross margin compression, which I believe is transitory, just given new DLC segments and acquiring new customers (where it will increase at scale).\n\nI think markets are missing sovereign AI, where other countries rely on OEMs like $SMCI for DC deployments. And other countries. eg. Malaysia, would likely command higher margins too.\n\nRegardless $17B valuation for less than .5 P/S, seems pretty attractive. But a lot of the revenue increase is pass through from more expensive components, so gross margins are the things to watch.  \n\nTLDR: Markets are pricing in doom and gloom + accounting issues. I believe $SMCI is past that accounting issues, and 1 quarter delay is not too material + margins should recover. So stock price should be a good swing trade especially as it trades near 1Y low.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Do you have an in-depth thesis on $SMCI?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "itsthesquonky", "ret_m1d": -0.05458652056474278, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05458652056474278, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.052756834718147516, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05229962072110961, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018296858465952637, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0022868998436331722, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.028746751161720763, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.028746751161720763, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03540686497778389, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.030964302885095663, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006660113816063129, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0022175517233749, "ret_p1w": -0.025839769403022017, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.025839769403022017, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.041794784071684465, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0386602781514197, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01595501466866245, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012820508748397685, "ret_p1m": -0.04037467819651552, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04037467819651552, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.058291158376889696, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.047027439241632996, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017916480180374172, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006652761045117472, "ret_p3m": -0.2729327876443234, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2729327876443234, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23466920466362684, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20902251288918838, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03826358298069654, "bench_c_p3m": -0.063910274755135, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.7787, 0.8953, 0.8727, 0.7074, 0.7684, 0.7154, 0.7422, 0.739, 0.6854, 0.7778, 0.7707, 0.6957, 0.5478, 0.5598, 0.6657, 0.6912, 0.7019, 0.6269, 0.6783, 0.6392, 0.531, 0.3576, 0.303, 0.2842, 0.2981, 0.2539, 0.2245, 0.1334, 0.1764, 0.1014, 0.1273, 0.0895, 0.0194, 0.0397, 0.0762, 0.0491, 0.0604, 0.0604, 0.0933, 0.0791, 0.0633, 0.0879, 0.1056, 0.1205, 0.1424, 0.1311, 0.1273, 0.0988, 0.0443, 0.0132, 0.0226, -0.0362, -0.0514, 0.0048, 0.0036, -0.0065, -0.0132, -0.0132, -0.0103, -0.0284, -0.0423, -0.0546, -0.0546, 0.0, -0.0287, -0.0136, -0.0307, -0.0342, -0.0258, -0.0271, -0.0762, -0.0869, -0.0497, 0.0543, 0.0543, 0.0145, 0.0413, 0.0481, 0.0239, -0.0052, 0.0078, 0.0081, -0.0271, -0.0598, -0.0404, -0.0417, 0.0904, -0.0036, 0.1105, 0.083, 0.0766, 0.0349, -0.0171, -0.0136, -0.0136, -0.0275, -0.0404, 0.0388, 0.0472, -0.0081, 0.0055, 0.0853, 0.0426, 0.0462, 0.0281, -0.009, 0.0546, 0.0413, 0.0113, 0.0329, 0.0268, 0.0268, -0.0019, -0.0068, 0.0291, 0.0178, -0.0197, -0.0055, -0.3369, -0.303, -0.282, -0.2232, -0.2826, -0.2904, -0.3198, -0.2645, -0.2729, -0.25, -0.25, -0.2878, -0.2678, -0.2452, -0.25, -0.1841, -0.1612, -0.1214, -0.1185, -0.0827, -0.0775, -0.0694, -0.0817, -0.0575, -0.136, -0.0607, -0.1005, -0.1198, -0.1499, -0.115, -0.125, -0.0982, -0.1011, 0.1195, 0.0859, 0.1424, 0.0827, 0.0591, 0.0336, 0.0669, 0.0026, -0.0036, -0.0129, 0.0807, 0.0807, 0.1492, 0.1492, 0.1983, 0.2335, 0.334, 0.4887, 0.4887, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2003024646367740327", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-22T08:47:44+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LITE is a $26B MC in the center of every future $GOOGL TPU deployment, $NVDA/ $AMZN / other GPU/ASICs. 8-12% BOM share of every Google TPU v7", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long LITE on TPU/GPU BOM dominance, long AAOI as MSFT Maia + AMZN Trainium ASIC play with revaluation catalyst, long AXTI as photonics materials supplier.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"Late\". \n\n$LITE is a $26B MC in the center of every future $GOOGL TPU deployment, $NVDA/ $AMZN / other GPU/ASICs. \n\n8-12% BOM share of every Google TPU v7. This is like saying $NVDA was \"late\" when price it was a $1T MC.\n\nBut if you want want another player, $AAOI. \n\n$MSFT is using them for Maia ASICs and are likely creating a new architecture with $AAOI.\n\nThey also have a $4B warrant + purchase agreement with $AMZN. \n\nSo it's more of a long $MSFT Maia + $AMZN Trainium ASIC play but markets haven't really cared about those two hyperscaler ASICs yet.  \n\nIf there's any positive news about those two $AAOI will revalue extremely fast. \n\nEveryone jumped on the $GOOGL TPU bandwagon after $META reportedly was going to buy a bunch though.\n\n---\n\n@manukafirth Another good one is $AXTI which is the materials supplier for $LITE / photonics. $500m mc", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04732228371797842, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04732228371797842, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04113096270264427, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04113096270264427, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006335285702701143, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006335285702701143, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010905740521134022, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010905740521134022, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "ret_p1w": -0.044295730263061106, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.044295730263061106, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04870550153834863, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04870550153834863, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "ret_p1m": -0.08476971862273575, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08476971862273575, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07418310393722505, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07418310393722505, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "ret_p3m": 0.9804298635804474, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.9804298635804474, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.016979113890733, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.016979113890733, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6082, -0.5919, -0.5877, -0.583, -0.5827, -0.5604, -0.5646, -0.5798, -0.5881, -0.5969, -0.5817, -0.5902, -0.6163, -0.5882, -0.5979, -0.5984, -0.5813, -0.5774, -0.5871, -0.5821, -0.5946, -0.5678, -0.5401, -0.5029, -0.4912, -0.4504, -0.4867, -0.483, -0.4881, -0.5169, -0.403, -0.3852, -0.3841, -0.3334, -0.3524, -0.349, -0.4181, -0.4046, -0.3791, -0.3654, -0.3102, -0.4018, -0.3444, -0.2322, -0.2529, -0.2093, -0.2093, -0.166, -0.1845, -0.2233, -0.2229, -0.1591, -0.15, -0.1214, -0.0758, -0.0612, -0.0456, -0.1681, -0.1416, -0.1891, -0.1786, -0.1353, -0.0473, 0.0, -0.0063, 0.0155, 0.0155, 0.0023, -0.0443, -0.048, -0.0546, -0.0546, -0.0097, -0.0842, 0.0193, 0.0077, -0.1068, -0.0986, -0.1283, -0.0732, -0.1494, -0.1195, -0.1683, -0.1683, -0.0848, -0.0704, -0.0908, -0.13, -0.1473, -0.0493, -0.0125, -0.0216, 0.005, 0.086, 0.116, 0.1941, 0.2938, 0.4158, 0.4803, 0.4392, 0.4725, 0.4965, 0.4434, 0.4434, 0.54, 0.5242, 0.6303, 0.7128, 0.7306, 0.7653, 0.8554, 0.7364, 0.7978, 1.009, 0.7811, 0.7462, 0.6693, 0.4323, 0.6433, 0.7236, 0.7236, 0.5802, 0.5966, 0.6026, 0.6661, 0.7975, 0.9804, 0.8117, 0.8697, 1.057, 0.9934, 0.7667, 0.8024, 0.6795, 0.8025, 0.9612, 1.1209, 1.1209, 0.9808, 1.0923, 1.2982, 1.2933, 1.3015, 1.2345, 1.1873, 1.1135, 1.2859, 1.2932, 1.2959, 1.1466, 1.2407, 1.1722, 1.2613, 1.205, 1.0298, 1.2015, 1.3144, 1.4365, 1.5038, 1.5509, 1.422, 1.2894, 1.3181, 1.7011, 1.5453, 1.6428, 1.5695, 1.4897, 1.2699, 1.283, 1.2265, 1.4738, 1.4287, 1.4287, 1.3361, 1.3143, 1.2074, 1.1929, 1.1929, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2003024646367740327", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-22T08:47:44+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If there's any positive news about those two $AAOI will revalue extremely fast", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long LITE on TPU/GPU BOM dominance, long AAOI as MSFT Maia + AMZN Trainium ASIC play with revaluation catalyst, long AXTI as photonics materials supplier.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"Late\". \n\n$LITE is a $26B MC in the center of every future $GOOGL TPU deployment, $NVDA/ $AMZN / other GPU/ASICs. \n\n8-12% BOM share of every Google TPU v7. This is like saying $NVDA was \"late\" when price it was a $1T MC.\n\nBut if you want want another player, $AAOI. \n\n$MSFT is using them for Maia ASICs and are likely creating a new architecture with $AAOI.\n\nThey also have a $4B warrant + purchase agreement with $AMZN. \n\nSo it's more of a long $MSFT Maia + $AMZN Trainium ASIC play but markets haven't really cared about those two hyperscaler ASICs yet.  \n\nIf there's any positive news about those two $AAOI will revalue extremely fast. \n\nEveryone jumped on the $GOOGL TPU bandwagon after $META reportedly was going to buy a bunch though.\n\n---\n\n@manukafirth Another good one is $AXTI which is the materials supplier for $LITE / photonics. $500m mc", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.19887456920609026, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.19887456920609026, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1926832481907561, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1926832481907561, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03951907202210658, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03951907202210658, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.034948617203673704, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.034948617203673704, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "ret_p1w": -0.059982124248184165, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.059982124248184165, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06439189552347169, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06439189552347169, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "ret_p1m": 0.0042204142646937726, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0042204142646937726, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.01480702895020447, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01480702895020447, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "ret_p3m": 1.6069828619156716, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.6069828619156716, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.643532112225957, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.643532112225957, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3173, -0.3263, -0.3408, -0.3365, -0.3367, -0.2731, -0.2843, -0.2856, -0.1357, -0.1985, -0.1759, -0.172, -0.3055, -0.2557, -0.2715, -0.1572, -0.2035, -0.1835, -0.1267, -0.1457, -0.2333, -0.1968, -0.1301, -0.048, -0.0569, -0.0925, -0.103, -0.0904, -0.1549, -0.2454, -0.194, -0.2557, -0.2692, -0.3498, -0.3925, -0.3876, -0.4651, -0.451, -0.4467, -0.4657, -0.4662, -0.5015, -0.4736, -0.4252, -0.4186, -0.346, -0.346, -0.315, -0.3214, -0.3344, -0.3439, -0.3288, -0.3199, -0.2879, -0.2229, -0.1053, -0.071, -0.1799, -0.2352, -0.2592, -0.3058, -0.2518, -0.1989, 0.0, 0.0395, 0.0487, 0.0487, -0.0492, -0.06, -0.0787, -0.1083, -0.1083, 0.0129, -0.105, -0.0124, -0.0266, -0.1556, -0.1293, -0.1375, -0.1257, -0.1183, -0.0536, -0.0526, -0.0526, 0.0042, -0.0183, -0.0242, -0.0863, -0.1076, -0.0436, 0.1569, 0.0121, 0.1155, 0.1296, 0.1797, 0.0206, -0.0247, 0.1331, 0.2255, 0.2403, 0.238, 0.1252, 0.1372, 0.1372, 0.1232, 0.1111, 0.2017, 0.3219, 0.3802, 0.4393, 0.4866, 0.3733, 1.1545, 1.6221, 1.4387, 1.5505, 1.587, 1.4448, 1.8295, 2.082, 2.2488, 1.7162, 1.4763, 1.4062, 1.2082, 1.3694, 1.607, 1.2392, 1.4494, 1.9134, 1.9265, 1.4919, 1.5121, 1.1791, 1.1637, 1.2087, 1.6579, 1.6579, 1.7484, 2.0091, 2.3943, 2.4096, 2.8522, 2.9184, 2.7445, 2.6462, 3.024, 3.0778, 3.1814, 2.8514, 2.822, 2.523, 3.1481, 2.7289, 2.5109, 2.9092, 3.2041, 3.694, 3.4246, 3.6187, 3.5668, 3.0299, 2.8097, 3.7295, 3.816, 4.7066, 4.2071, 3.8692, 3.4318, 3.3824, 3.2271, 3.5226, 3.6423, 3.6423, 3.5433, 3.5998, 3.3233, 3.0519, 3.0519, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2003024646367740327", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-12-22T08:47:44+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AXTI which is the materials supplier for $LITE / photonics. $500m mc", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long LITE on TPU/GPU BOM dominance, long AAOI as MSFT Maia + AMZN Trainium ASIC play with revaluation catalyst, long AXTI as photonics materials supplier.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"Late\". \n\n$LITE is a $26B MC in the center of every future $GOOGL TPU deployment, $NVDA/ $AMZN / other GPU/ASICs. \n\n8-12% BOM share of every Google TPU v7. This is like saying $NVDA was \"late\" when price it was a $1T MC.\n\nBut if you want want another player, $AAOI. \n\n$MSFT is using them for Maia ASICs and are likely creating a new architecture with $AAOI.\n\nThey also have a $4B warrant + purchase agreement with $AMZN. \n\nSo it's more of a long $MSFT Maia + $AMZN Trainium ASIC play but markets haven't really cared about those two hyperscaler ASICs yet.  \n\nIf there's any positive news about those two $AAOI will revalue extremely fast. \n\nEveryone jumped on the $GOOGL TPU bandwagon after $META reportedly was going to buy a bunch though.\n\n---\n\n@manukafirth Another good one is $AXTI which is the materials supplier for $LITE / photonics. $500m mc", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.037450764684500815, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.037450764684500815, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.031259443669166664, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02473179873573672, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012718965948764094, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03810774727530808, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03810774727530808, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04267820209374096, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.047726850243496766, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009619102968188686, "ret_p1w": -0.04139291086647956, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04139291086647956, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04580268214176708, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05393107904827843, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01253816818179887, "ret_p1m": 0.4067016735730773, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4067016735730773, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.417288288258588, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3213805687638227, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08532110480925459, "ret_p3m": 2.8166885107373263, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.8166885107373263, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.8532377610476116, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.718773581558976, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0979149291783501, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6827, -0.6879, -0.6938, -0.6787, -0.705, -0.6774, -0.6912, -0.6629, -0.6452, -0.6511, -0.6511, -0.6564, -0.7352, -0.6978, -0.6997, -0.6984, -0.6761, -0.7037, -0.6774, -0.6603, -0.6754, -0.6597, -0.6018, -0.5933, -0.5664, -0.5355, -0.5191, -0.4777, -0.4442, -0.4389, -0.4021, -0.4172, -0.3784, -0.3141, -0.3062, -0.2786, -0.3141, -0.3141, -0.3265, -0.3495, -0.3357, -0.3791, -0.4133, -0.3863, -0.3936, -0.3134, -0.3134, -0.297, -0.2911, -0.2273, -0.2457, -0.205, -0.2392, -0.1649, -0.0171, 0.0191, 0.0762, -0.0269, -0.0256, -0.1459, -0.1879, -0.0795, -0.0375, 0.0, -0.0381, -0.0138, -0.0138, 0.0099, -0.0414, 0.0381, 0.0742, 0.0742, 0.1012, 0.0953, 0.3252, 0.5841, 0.6971, 0.5105, 0.4612, 0.4133, 0.452, 0.6899, 0.4514, 0.4514, 0.4067, 0.2996, 0.1774, 0.1432, 0.1695, 0.1301, 0.1058, 0.0762, 0.2181, 0.3758, 0.297, 0.2319, 0.3423, 0.5808, 0.8246, 0.5999, 0.7608, 0.6288, 0.5926, 0.5926, 0.525, 0.5466, 0.5644, 0.9501, 0.8679, 1.3049, 1.6919, 1.4389, 1.4901, 2.0434, 1.7438, 1.571, 1.5493, 1.1268, 1.5335, 1.9106, 2.1117, 2.0703, 2.2102, 2.1794, 1.9146, 2.2037, 2.8167, 2.5637, 3.2339, 3.4967, 3.4251, 2.8443, 2.9836, 2.4645, 2.7438, 2.0972, 2.4717, 2.4717, 1.7589, 1.9869, 2.4941, 3.1472, 3.2168, 3.366, 3.4218, 3.1347, 4.3732, 4.4244, 4.1748, 3.9258, 4.7122, 3.9455, 4.0039, 3.6091, 3.5145, 3.6695, 4.205, 5.3075, 5.9645, 6.0664, 5.8876, 6.1235, 6.6452, 7.2661, 7.0749, 7.0118, 6.5545, 7.1327, 5.9566, 6.4166, 5.8732, 6.9514, 8.253, 8.253, 7.7122, 7.0664, 6.6018, 5.7779, 5.7779, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1963340844188275072", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-03T20:38:29+00:00", "symbol": "UPWK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Upwork is probably the most undervalued and immensely profitable stocks to hold in this market", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long UPWK: ~2B mktcap, 77.8% gross margins, ~9x P/E, $100M buyback, expanding margins — most undervalued profitable stock to hold.", "resolved_tickers": ["UPWK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$UPWK just announced it's buying ~5% of it's float back with a $100M repurchase program.   \n\nLet's reiterate this one more time: \n\n1. ~2B market cap, with 773M yearly revenue and 77.8% gross margins.  \n\n 2. Big Cash Pile, profitable, ~9 p/e. Expanding margins + new business acquisitions not priced into forward revenue. \n\nIf you're worried about $RKLB, $CRWV, $IREN, $HIMS, $WULF and other high beta stocks from September, seasonality doesn't matter if your market cap is this low and you're printing money.  \n\nUpwork is probably the most undervalued and immensely profitable stocks to hold in this market.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$UPWK is the safest value play, even over $UNH, $NVO, $GOOGL, and others. \n\nMarket makers flushed Upwork call open interest for August 15th, and now it's rallying where it should be above $17.5+.\n\nA 1.8B software company with ~80% gross margins doing 770m in annual revenue is https://t.co/uADbSl08F8", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02978727672137338, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02978727672137338, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.024396930312206133, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.024396930312206133, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005390346409167246, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005390346409167246, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.020060784705221213, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.020060784705221213, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011703328645809696, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011703328645809696, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008357456059411517, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008357456059411517, "ret_p1w": -0.032826801853038434, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.032826801853038434, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04598435689578628, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04598435689578628, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.013157555042747848, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013157555042747848, "ret_p1m": 0.10395130730480862, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10395130730480862, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.061488010597477105, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.061488010597477105, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04246329670733151, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04246329670733151, "ret_p3m": 0.20851053123077423, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.20851053123077423, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.14883425034222664, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.14883425034222664, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.059676280888547595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.059676280888547595, "ret_p6m": -0.15805472710538238, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.15805472710538238, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2349700957791071, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2349700957791071, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.07691536867372473, "bench_c_p6m": 0.07691536867372473, "price_path": [-0.0638, -0.059, -0.0663, -0.1143, -0.1204, -0.1593, -0.1653, -0.1757, -0.1866, -0.1866, -0.2012, -0.2055, -0.1897, -0.1866, -0.1751, -0.1714, -0.183, -0.1781, -0.1818, -0.1708, -0.1708, -0.1824, -0.1793, -0.1672, -0.1848, -0.2146, -0.2122, -0.214, -0.1903, -0.1854, -0.1957, -0.1866, -0.1684, -0.1623, -0.1957, -0.203, -0.2182, -0.231, -0.2663, -0.2729, -0.2857, -0.2681, -0.2778, -0.2736, -0.1745, -0.1994, -0.1848, -0.169, -0.1435, -0.1672, -0.1611, -0.1495, -0.1574, -0.1362, -0.1009, -0.093, -0.0936, -0.0827, -0.1003, -0.0936, -0.0644, -0.0644, -0.0298, 0.0, 0.0201, -0.0158, -0.0298, -0.0274, -0.0328, -0.0049, 0.0249, 0.0207, 0.0395, 0.1027, 0.1915, 0.2201, 0.1751, 0.1951, 0.2109, 0.1733, 0.1641, 0.1556, 0.1289, 0.0766, 0.104, 0.0498, 0.0578, 0.0389, 0.0857, 0.0596, 0.0213, 0.0395, 0.0298, 0.0219, 0.0176, -0.0152, 0.0134, 0.0128, -0.0267, -0.0201, -0.0274, -0.0201, 0.0559, 0.0261, -0.0085, -0.031, -0.0498, 0.076, -0.0043, -0.0182, 0.0608, 0.0699, 0.0912, 0.0359, 0.0365, 0.0018, -0.0158, 0.0383, 0.104, 0.0432, 0.0863, 0.1277, 0.197, 0.1903, 0.1903, 0.2, 0.2085, 0.248, 0.1994, 0.1903, 0.2207, 0.2085, 0.2754, 0.245, 0.3325, 0.3343, 0.2997, 0.3033, 0.2274, 0.2444, 0.2523, 0.2942, 0.2657, 0.2748, 0.2748, 0.2675, 0.234, 0.1884, 0.2049, 0.2049, 0.2061, 0.2535, 0.2322, 0.2681, 0.2413, 0.2188, 0.2401, 0.231, 0.2219, 0.2249, 0.2079, 0.2079, 0.1848, 0.197, 0.2845, 0.3441, 0.3295, 0.2948, 0.2468, 0.2778, 0.2176, 0.2128, 0.1094, 0.0365, 0.0833, 0.1508, 0.1422, -0.0754, -0.1185, -0.203, -0.1957, -0.1957, -0.2243, -0.1653, -0.1903, -0.1994, -0.2395, -0.2085, -0.2109, -0.1581]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1998933069307470323", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-11T01:49:16+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this sector sell-off is a good buying opportunity for some of the unaffected (minus credit tightening) / misunderstood companies", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Sector selloff is buying opportunity for de-risked neoclouds NBIS/IREN (Mag7 take-or-pay contracts); ORCL/CRWV face real counterparty risk from OpenAI exposure.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The alpha is knowing what types of contracts lead to isolation from current fears and where there's mispricing on individual components in the sector.  Compute capacity contracts are take or pay for $MSFT, $META, and others.  \n\nCompanies like $NBIS, $IREN and others are effectively de-risked due to **no counterparty risk** from Mag7 (infinite balance sheets) and 5 Year contracts.   \n\nHowever, their drops were different reasons ( $NBIS, 25M share ATM), $IREN fears over dilution for monetizing their rest of the 3 GW capacity pipeline for AI Cloud  instead of colo. \n\nHowever, the main overarching fear was that $ORCL, $CRWV faces severe counterparty risk from OpenAI insolvency + inability to pay, but this causes a sector algorithmic selloff because they're the two largest players.  \n\nBut this sector sell-off is a good buying opportunity for some of the unaffected (minus credit tightening) / misunderstood companies.   \n\nAlso AI is a growing market, and there's likely compute strain for the time being (eg. anthropic, gemini, and other models) but it's basically 100% utilization for hyperscaler contracts on $NBIS, $IREN. \n\nObviously if there's overbuild, there's probably margin compression but we're not seeing that right now.   What happens after 5 years I don't know.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Question: if OPENAI cannot absorb the increasing buildout of data center and compute, which means that AI arm race cools off, wouldn’t that cause margins compression for Neocloud sector as a whole?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MaoBaoBaomby", "ret_m1d": -0.007318651361265971, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007318651361265971, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004997105347894437, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009544508151134945, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002225856789868974, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06989813770911646, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06989813770911646, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05914616878158252, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06767234665436428, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0022257910547521798, "ret_p1w": -0.1717225567567725, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1717225567567725, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.15329456716841428, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.16881187152011068, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002910685236661825, "ret_p1m": 0.03871448422929347, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03871448422929347, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.028628562533218993, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.026029578740943693, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012684905488349774, "ret_p3m": 0.022804428868438142, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.022804428868438142, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.037298660496828284, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.01467154874805865, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "bench_c_p3m": 0.008132880120379493, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0352, -0.0514, -0.0021, -0.0017, 0.0534, 0.1307, 0.1434, 0.201, 0.1449, 0.1423, 0.1691, 0.1908, 0.2262, 0.3351, 0.3574, 0.3252, 0.2484, 0.294, 0.4069, 0.3744, 0.4368, 0.3592, 0.3346, 0.305, 0.2032, 0.1561, 0.1061, 0.046, 0.126, 0.2437, 0.3304, 0.2922, 0.3269, 0.3171, 0.3876, 0.2778, 0.1725, 0.241, 0.1608, 0.1803, 0.1662, 0.0842, 0.0008, -0.0599, -0.1139, -0.088, -0.0397, 0.0084, -0.1022, -0.1169, -0.0252, -0.0573, 0.0043, 0.0043, 0.0063, 0.0623, 0.023, 0.0492, 0.0904, 0.0399, 0.0642, 0.0226, -0.0073, 0.0, -0.0699, -0.1394, -0.1414, -0.1997, -0.1717, -0.0511, -0.0111, -0.0451, -0.0334, -0.0334, -0.071, -0.0874, -0.0966, -0.1122, -0.1122, -0.0459, -0.0154, 0.0632, 0.0205, 0.032, 0.0387, 0.1384, 0.1183, 0.0817, 0.1019, 0.1533, 0.1533, 0.0531, 0.0487, 0.0273, 0.0023, -0.0299, 0.0381, 0.0652, 0.0067, -0.0964, -0.0649, -0.0459, -0.1261, -0.2165, -0.0868, -0.0148, -0.0264, -0.0601, -0.0483, 0.0396, 0.0396, 0.0344, 0.0798, 0.1414, 0.0386, 0.0671, 0.088, 0.1256, 0.1124, -0.0328, -0.0347, -0.0793, 0.0371, 0.0145, -0.0525, 0.007, 0.0228, 0.1879, 0.1459, 0.198, 0.3773, 0.2339, 0.2575, 0.2889, 0.2476, 0.2108, 0.2188, 0.2207, 0.124, 0.0694, -0.0214, 0.1006, 0.0814, 0.1542, 0.1542, 0.1937, 0.2452, 0.3258, 0.446, 0.5377, 0.6394, 0.7176, 0.7689, 0.7537, 0.6667, 0.6882, 0.6605, 0.6561, 0.6661, 0.5609, 0.5375, 0.4373, 0.4976, 0.4662, 0.6386, 0.8712, 0.8659, 1.0693, 0.9598, 0.8779, 0.9739, 0.8998, 1.1985, 1.3457, 1.3328, 1.1199, 1.0973, 1.0346, 1.3327, 1.278, 1.278, 1.2068, 1.2101, 1.4007, 1.4511, 1.4511, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1998933069307470323", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-11T01:49:16+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this sector sell-off is a good buying opportunity for some of the unaffected (minus credit tightening) / misunderstood companies", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Sector selloff is buying opportunity for de-risked neoclouds NBIS/IREN (Mag7 take-or-pay contracts); ORCL/CRWV face real counterparty risk from OpenAI exposure.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The alpha is knowing what types of contracts lead to isolation from current fears and where there's mispricing on individual components in the sector.  Compute capacity contracts are take or pay for $MSFT, $META, and others.  \n\nCompanies like $NBIS, $IREN and others are effectively de-risked due to **no counterparty risk** from Mag7 (infinite balance sheets) and 5 Year contracts.   \n\nHowever, their drops were different reasons ( $NBIS, 25M share ATM), $IREN fears over dilution for monetizing their rest of the 3 GW capacity pipeline for AI Cloud  instead of colo. \n\nHowever, the main overarching fear was that $ORCL, $CRWV faces severe counterparty risk from OpenAI insolvency + inability to pay, but this causes a sector algorithmic selloff because they're the two largest players.  \n\nBut this sector sell-off is a good buying opportunity for some of the unaffected (minus credit tightening) / misunderstood companies.   \n\nAlso AI is a growing market, and there's likely compute strain for the time being (eg. anthropic, gemini, and other models) but it's basically 100% utilization for hyperscaler contracts on $NBIS, $IREN. \n\nObviously if there's overbuild, there's probably margin compression but we're not seeing that right now.   What happens after 5 years I don't know.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Question: if OPENAI cannot absorb the increasing buildout of data center and compute, which means that AI arm race cools off, wouldn’t that cause margins compression for Neocloud sector as a whole?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MaoBaoBaomby", "ret_m1d": -0.0004551765677915931, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0004551765677915931, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0018663694455799407, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01740521203171863, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "bench_c_m1d": -0.017860388599510224, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0867090959870408, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0867090959870408, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07595712705950686, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.08816711551519008, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0014580195281492792, "ret_p1w": -0.18525260910455577, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.18525260910455577, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.16682461951619754, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.17923841879906732, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006014190305488443, "ret_p1m": 0.047564866133552375, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.047564866133552375, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0374789444374779, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.028341616360053168, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "bench_c_p1m": 0.019223249773499207, "ret_p3m": -0.13245334266548026, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.13245334266548026, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11795911103709011, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04798028292819301, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "bench_c_p3m": -0.08447305973728725, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1548, -0.1705, -0.1375, -0.1734, -0.1206, -0.0464, -0.0494, 0.0728, 0.0535, -0.0473, 0.0453, 0.068, 0.0715, 0.0701, 0.1484, 0.3143, 0.4037, 0.3675, 0.4531, 0.3603, 0.4597, 0.5831, 0.5471, 0.4071, 0.3819, 0.3477, 0.2561, 0.1796, 0.2713, 0.4315, 0.4791, 0.4206, 0.3751, 0.325, 0.3826, 0.5419, 0.5164, 0.739, 0.5239, 0.4197, 0.3694, 0.3059, 0.2676, 0.1072, 0.0553, 0.079, 0.1117, 0.043, -0.0107, -0.0382, 0.1036, 0.0803, 0.1026, 0.1026, 0.0881, 0.1036, -0.0642, 0.0005, 0.0571, 0.0175, 0.0546, 0.066, -0.0005, 0.0, -0.0867, -0.1925, -0.1673, -0.2312, -0.1853, -0.0915, -0.0432, -0.0426, -0.0446, -0.0446, -0.0828, -0.1031, -0.1284, -0.1404, -0.1404, -0.0282, 0.0979, 0.0448, -0.0072, 0.0396, 0.0476, 0.1454, 0.206, 0.2035, 0.1809, 0.3159, 0.3159, 0.2349, 0.2171, 0.1893, 0.2899, 0.1916, 0.3653, 0.4324, 0.3619, 0.223, 0.208, 0.2378, 0.0228, -0.0944, -0.048, 0.0503, -0.023, -0.0289, -0.089, -0.0391, -0.0391, -0.0676, -0.0423, -0.0148, -0.0901, -0.036, 0.0344, 0.002, 0.0068, -0.068, -0.058, -0.1158, -0.0023, -0.0868, -0.1648, -0.1161, -0.1325, -0.0446, -0.0585, -0.0537, 0.0228, -0.0223, -0.0394, -0.0519, -0.0603, -0.0405, -0.0642, -0.0571, -0.1477, -0.2014, -0.2804, -0.2198, -0.2242, -0.2087, -0.2087, -0.2005, -0.1866, -0.1618, -0.1566, -0.1051, -0.0198, 0.0781, 0.1111, 0.0856, 0.0951, 0.1088, 0.028, 0.1013, 0.1839, 0.1525, 0.1006, 0.0114, -0.0246, 0.0357, 0.0391, 0.1261, 0.2458, 0.3878, 0.2938, 0.3928, 0.2551, 0.2872, 0.2556, 0.3291, 0.2048, 0.1484, 0.0865, 0.1996, 0.3213, 0.2934, 0.2934, 0.3605, 0.5439, 0.4577, 0.4461, 0.4461, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1998933069307470323", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-12-11T01:49:16+00:00", "symbol": "ORCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ORCL, $CRWV faces severe counterparty risk from OpenAI insolvency + inability to pay", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Sector selloff is buying opportunity for de-risked neoclouds NBIS/IREN (Mag7 take-or-pay contracts); ORCL/CRWV face real counterparty risk from OpenAI exposure.", "resolved_tickers": ["ORCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The alpha is knowing what types of contracts lead to isolation from current fears and where there's mispricing on individual components in the sector.  Compute capacity contracts are take or pay for $MSFT, $META, and others.  \n\nCompanies like $NBIS, $IREN and others are effectively de-risked due to **no counterparty risk** from Mag7 (infinite balance sheets) and 5 Year contracts.   \n\nHowever, their drops were different reasons ( $NBIS, 25M share ATM), $IREN fears over dilution for monetizing their rest of the 3 GW capacity pipeline for AI Cloud  instead of colo. \n\nHowever, the main overarching fear was that $ORCL, $CRWV faces severe counterparty risk from OpenAI insolvency + inability to pay, but this causes a sector algorithmic selloff because they're the two largest players.  \n\nBut this sector sell-off is a good buying opportunity for some of the unaffected (minus credit tightening) / misunderstood companies.   \n\nAlso AI is a growing market, and there's likely compute strain for the time being (eg. anthropic, gemini, and other models) but it's basically 100% utilization for hyperscaler contracts on $NBIS, $IREN. \n\nObviously if there's overbuild, there's probably margin compression but we're not seeing that right now.   What happens after 5 years I don't know.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Question: if OPENAI cannot absorb the increasing buildout of data center and compute, which means that AI arm race cools off, wouldn’t that cause margins compression for Neocloud sector as a whole?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MaoBaoBaomby", "ret_m1d": 0.12149852071919609, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.12149852071919609, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12382006673256762, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12382006673256762, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04465683155963751, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04465683155963751, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03390486263210357, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03390486263210357, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "ret_p1w": -0.09464432407058543, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09464432407058543, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0762163344822272, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0762163344822272, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "ret_p1m": 0.0009794444821900061, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0009794444821900061, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.009106477213884467, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.009106477213884467, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "ret_p3m": -0.2466939309339543, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2466939309339543, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.23219969930556417, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.23219969930556417, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "bench_c_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.5168, 0.5394, 0.5131, 0.4891, 0.5495, 0.6474, 0.5755, 0.5485, 0.4625, 0.423, 0.4195, 0.4119, 0.4509, 0.4497, 0.4365, 0.4638, 0.4269, 0.449, 0.4934, 0.4733, 0.549, 0.5036, 0.5269, 0.5741, 0.465, 0.3939, 0.3837, 0.3712, 0.4084, 0.4248, 0.4151, 0.4123, 0.3845, 0.2919, 0.3206, 0.2967, 0.248, 0.2588, 0.226, 0.2032, 0.2111, 0.1876, 0.1415, 0.0941, 0.1207, 0.1057, 0.1088, 0.1342, 0.0595, -0.0005, 0.0072, -0.0092, 0.0307, 0.0307, 0.0156, 0.0105, 0.0113, 0.0447, 0.0778, 0.0942, 0.1091, 0.1141, 0.1215, 0.0, -0.0447, -0.0701, -0.0513, -0.1025, -0.0946, -0.0346, -0.0024, -0.0177, -0.0068, -0.0068, -0.0043, -0.0175, -0.0082, -0.0198, -0.0198, -0.0158, -0.0315, -0.0256, -0.0302, -0.0463, 0.001, 0.032, 0.02, -0.0238, -0.0427, -0.0365, -0.0365, -0.0928, -0.1233, -0.1016, -0.1067, -0.0801, -0.1181, -0.1287, -0.1478, -0.1702, -0.1929, -0.2201, -0.2605, -0.3118, -0.2799, -0.2104, -0.1938, -0.2076, -0.211, -0.1925, -0.1925, -0.2237, -0.2126, -0.2107, -0.2533, -0.2875, -0.2631, -0.2543, -0.2421, -0.2669, -0.2475, -0.2487, -0.2317, -0.2195, -0.2287, -0.2358, -0.2467, -0.1775, -0.1975, -0.2179, -0.2136, -0.22, -0.229, -0.2158, -0.2453, -0.2218, -0.2583, -0.2637, -0.2799, -0.2958, -0.3001, -0.2582, -0.2677, -0.2619, -0.2619, -0.2662, -0.2781, -0.2756, -0.3025, -0.3013, -0.2126, -0.1752, -0.1408, -0.0976, -0.1142, -0.1015, -0.0833, -0.0513, -0.1081, -0.1232, -0.1249, -0.1603, -0.171, -0.1834, -0.1306, -0.0878, -0.0622, -0.0182, -0.0154, -0.0085, -0.0192, -0.0547, -0.0398, -0.0102, -0.0237, -0.0558, -0.0818, -0.0479, -0.0398, -0.0281, -0.0281, -0.0232, -0.0338, 0.0307, 0.1424, 0.1424, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2011474026166948297", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-14T16:22:33+00:00", "symbol": "UAVS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$UAVS gave control to arbitrage investors of over 100% the marketcap where they can mint $100 million worth of shares at $1.23 (-50% under current prices) and just pocket the difference. This only works if retail buys into this arbitrage.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish UAVS: convertible structure gives arbitrage investors rights to mint shares 50% below market, diluting retail; company has history of fake press releases.", "resolved_tickers": ["UAVS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$ONDS convertible note at a higher strike is wildly different and this is a delusional take.\n\n$UAVS gave control to arbitrage investors of over 100% the marketcap where they can mint $100 million worth of shares at $1.23 (-50% under current prices) and just pocket the difference.\n\nThis only works if retail buys into this arbitrage. And as we’ve seen the same company would do anything from putting out fake press releases like $AMZN partnerships to get retail to buy.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I'm long. If the company is this tightly controlled, they would be foolish to not allow it to squeeze much harder. Company has recent military orders from all over. I think it's reasonable for them to get a contract soon.\n\nYou could make similar comments about risk with $ONDS and", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "peonyKingOF", "ret_m1d": 0.041420077439480396, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.041420077439480396, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03648056120320775, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.029118787318596073, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004939516236272645, "bench_c_m1d": 0.012301290120884323, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07692314203511275, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07692314203511275, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0796463564316422, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08217543995504617, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027232143965294497, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005252297919933424, "ret_p1w": -0.2485207467890379, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2485207467890379, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.24133611678910527, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2423700489374374, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.007184629999932635, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006150697851600495, "ret_p1m": -0.40828404370311155, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.40828404370311155, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3951170831252703, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3703435661564054, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01316696057784128, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03794047754670615, "ret_p3m": -0.43195269465183417, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.43195269465183417, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4284961503025705, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4394927502071375, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0034565443492636794, "bench_c_p3m": 0.007540055555303349, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2485, 0.2899, 0.2012, 0.1598, 0.2426, 0.2308, 0.1893, 0.1243, 0.0828, 0.1006, 0.1302, 0.0355, -0.0296, 0.0059, -0.2249, -0.2012, -0.1657, -0.1775, -0.213, -0.2722, -0.2663, -0.3254, -0.3195, -0.3432, -0.3728, -0.3018, -0.2663, -0.2485, -0.2426, -0.2426, -0.2189, -0.3018, -0.2959, -0.2367, -0.1953, -0.2544, -0.284, -0.2426, -0.2899, -0.3136, -0.3373, -0.3728, -0.3728, -0.4497, -0.4734, -0.3905, -0.3728, -0.4142, -0.432, -0.432, -0.4438, -0.4734, -0.5089, -0.5207, -0.5207, -0.2722, -0.1302, -0.1657, -0.2899, 0.0296, 0.0059, -0.0651, 0.0414, 0.0, -0.0769, -0.1479, -0.1479, -0.213, -0.2485, -0.1716, -0.2071, -0.284, -0.2781, -0.3018, -0.3195, -0.3787, -0.3787, -0.355, -0.4024, -0.426, -0.3609, -0.3373, -0.3846, -0.3787, -0.4083, -0.4024, -0.4024, -0.4142, -0.3964, -0.3669, -0.3964, -0.4201, -0.4083, -0.4083, -0.4201, -0.4438, -0.3787, -0.3787, -0.3669, -0.3136, -0.355, -0.3787, -0.3787, -0.3669, -0.3609, -0.3728, -0.4083, -0.3905, -0.3669, -0.3728, -0.4201, -0.4083, -0.3964, -0.4024, -0.4438, -0.4793, -0.4911, -0.4675, -0.4615, -0.4615, -0.4615, -0.4438, -0.4556, -0.4615, -0.4556, -0.4497, -0.432, -0.3846, -0.3787, -0.3373, -0.3195, -0.2959, -0.3136, -0.284, -0.3432, -0.3609, -0.3728, -0.3846, -0.4083, -0.3787, -0.3728, -0.3787, -0.3728, -0.3373, -0.3077, -0.3077, -0.3314, -0.355, -0.3669, -0.3491, -0.3787, -0.4201, -0.4379, -0.4379, -0.426, -0.3964, -0.3964, -0.3787, -0.3728, -0.2959, -0.3077, -0.3077, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1975363493785444738", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-07T00:52:12+00:00", "symbol": "ORCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's undervalued based on forward revenue under the condition OpenAI will pay up on its contract. Assuming it goes public and government/MSFT/NVDA/etc. keeps backstopping it, $ORCL great buy.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "ORCL undervalued on forward revenue if OpenAI pays up; great buy contingent on OpenAI IPO and continued backing.", "resolved_tickers": ["ORCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ccjdjff It's undervalued based on forward revenue under the condition OpenAI will pay up on its contract.\n\nAssuming it goes public and government/MSFT/NVDA/etc. keeps backstopping it, $ORCL great buy. \n\nAlso they managed to buy a large part of TikTok at a crazy low valuation.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thoughts on $ORCL?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ccjdjff", "ret_m1d": 0.025858527795320274, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.025858527795320274, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02213723889459529, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02213723889459529, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003721288900724984, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003721288900724984, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.015444886577848482, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015444886577848482, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.009481834165056213, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.009481834165056213, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005963052412792269, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005963052412792269, "ret_p1w": 0.05375351204603107, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05375351204603107, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06405065281367983, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06405065281367983, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01029714076764876, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01029714076764876, "ret_p1m": -0.11784264388946197, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11784264388946197, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1304861277167395, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1304861277167395, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012643483827277535, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012643483827277535, "ret_p3m": -0.31026716438777746, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.31026716438777746, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3342818392834479, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3342818392834479, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02401467489567044, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02401467489567044, "ret_p6m": -0.48681887083851494, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.48681887083851494, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.47165107524786387, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.47165107524786387, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.015167795590651068, "bench_c_p6m": -0.015167795590651068, "price_path": [-0.1732, -0.1889, -0.1934, -0.1734, -0.1511, -0.1249, -0.1365, -0.1432, -0.1623, -0.149, -0.1457, -0.1376, -0.1285, -0.1205, -0.1184, -0.1072, -0.1401, -0.1116, -0.1005, -0.0978, -0.1226, -0.1203, -0.111, -0.1069, -0.1409, -0.1382, -0.1265, -0.1237, -0.1746, -0.173, -0.1797, -0.1684, -0.1718, -0.176, -0.1704, -0.1545, -0.2044, -0.2044, -0.2074, -0.2139, -0.2155, -0.181, -0.161, -0.1503, 0.1551, 0.0831, 0.0279, 0.063, 0.0788, 0.0604, 0.0436, 0.0859, 0.1545, 0.1041, 0.0852, 0.0249, -0.0027, -0.0052, -0.0106, 0.0168, 0.016, 0.0067, 0.0259, 0.0, 0.0154, 0.0466, 0.0325, 0.0855, 0.0538, 0.07, 0.1031, 0.0267, -0.0231, -0.0303, -0.0391, -0.013, -0.0015, -0.0083, -0.0103, -0.0298, -0.0947, -0.0745, -0.0913, -0.1254, -0.1178, -0.1408, -0.1568, -0.1513, -0.1677, -0.2, -0.2332, -0.2146, -0.2252, -0.2229, -0.2052, -0.2575, -0.2995, -0.2942, -0.3056, -0.2777, -0.2777, -0.2883, -0.2918, -0.2913, -0.2679, -0.2446, -0.2332, -0.2228, -0.2193, -0.2141, -0.2992, -0.3305, -0.3483, -0.3351, -0.3711, -0.3655, -0.3234, -0.3009, -0.3116, -0.304, -0.304, -0.3022, -0.3114, -0.305, -0.3131, -0.3131, -0.3103, -0.3213, -0.3172, -0.3204, -0.3316, -0.2985, -0.2767, -0.2852, -0.3159, -0.3292, -0.3248, -0.3248, -0.3642, -0.3856, -0.3704, -0.374, -0.3553, -0.382, -0.3894, -0.4028, -0.4184, -0.4344, -0.4535, -0.4817, -0.5177, -0.4953, -0.4467, -0.435, -0.4447, -0.4471, -0.4341, -0.4341, -0.4559, -0.4482, -0.4469, -0.4767, -0.5007, -0.4836, -0.4774, -0.4689, -0.4862, -0.4726, -0.4735, -0.4616, -0.453, -0.4595, -0.4645, -0.4721, -0.4236, -0.4376, -0.4519, -0.4489, -0.4534, -0.4597, -0.4505, -0.4711, -0.4546, -0.4802, -0.484, -0.4954, -0.5065, -0.5095, -0.4802, -0.4868]}
{"unit_id": "orig:1969115361736896720", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-19T19:04:21+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bought $500K worth of $NBIS. My highest conviction stock out of anything for a 1 year time period. $225 PT", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bought $500K of NBIS; highest-conviction 1-year pick with $225 price target.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bought $500K worth of $NBIS.\n\nMy highest conviction stock out of anything for a 1 year time period.\n\n$225 PT https://t.co/buW9CV4WWH", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.052260547171492755, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.052260547171492755, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04733208246468823, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04815694863421516, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004928464706804525, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004103598537277597, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07340651590718417, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07340651590718417, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06867541545349609, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07689412942013785, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004731100453688075, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00348761351295368, "ret_p1w": 0.08448292816338321, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08448292816338321, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08731548438653058, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09141608288299907, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0028325562231473755, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006933154719615864, "ret_p1m": 0.09757328244509389, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09757328244509389, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08612236385507366, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12072556935241152, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.011450918590020231, "bench_c_p1m": -0.023152286907317632, "ret_p3m": -0.24025779072518816, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.24025779072518816, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2518593683444148, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.21349186697027356, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.011601577619226644, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0267659237549146, "ret_p6m": 0.30752199472065245, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.30752199472065245, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2965126023463669, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.33518395535465373, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.011009392374285554, "bench_c_p6m": -0.02766196063400128, "price_path": [-0.4863, -0.5114, -0.4703, -0.478, -0.4429, -0.4934, -0.4968, -0.494, -0.494, -0.5183, -0.5257, -0.5363, -0.5325, -0.5539, -0.4769, -0.461, -0.4632, -0.4594, -0.4684, -0.4727, -0.4864, -0.4776, -0.4748, -0.4827, -0.4688, -0.4925, -0.4835, -0.4519, -0.4764, -0.4545, -0.4445, -0.4453, -0.3424, -0.3074, -0.2927, -0.2415, -0.2888, -0.3106, -0.2788, -0.2696, -0.3234, -0.3206, -0.3336, -0.3054, -0.2949, -0.2903, -0.2941, -0.2746, -0.3121, -0.3121, -0.3382, -0.3389, -0.3464, -0.3408, -0.3549, -0.0361, -0.0596, -0.1019, -0.0896, -0.0841, -0.0995, -0.0527, -0.0523, 0.0, 0.0734, 0.0855, 0.1402, 0.0869, 0.0845, 0.1099, 0.1305, 0.1641, 0.2674, 0.2887, 0.2581, 0.1852, 0.2285, 0.3356, 0.3048, 0.364, 0.2904, 0.267, 0.2389, 0.1423, 0.0976, 0.05, -0.0069, 0.069, 0.1807, 0.263, 0.2268, 0.2597, 0.2504, 0.3173, 0.2131, 0.1131, 0.1781, 0.102, 0.1205, 0.1071, 0.0293, -0.0498, -0.1075, -0.1588, -0.1342, -0.0883, -0.0427, -0.1477, -0.1616, -0.0746, -0.105, -0.0465, -0.0465, -0.0447, 0.0085, -0.0288, -0.0039, 0.0351, -0.0128, 0.0103, -0.0292, -0.0576, -0.0506, -0.117, -0.183, -0.1849, -0.2403, -0.2137, -0.0992, -0.0612, -0.0934, -0.0824, -0.0824, -0.118, -0.1336, -0.1424, -0.1571, -0.1571, -0.0943, -0.0653, 0.0094, -0.0312, -0.0202, -0.0139, 0.0808, 0.0616, 0.0269, 0.0461, 0.0949, 0.0949, -0.0002, -0.0044, -0.0248, -0.0484, -0.079, -0.0145, 0.0113, -0.0443, -0.1422, -0.1123, -0.0943, -0.1704, -0.2562, -0.133, -0.0647, -0.0757, -0.1077, -0.0965, -0.0131, -0.0131, -0.018, 0.0251, 0.0836, -0.014, 0.0131, 0.0329, 0.0686, 0.0561, -0.0818, -0.0836, -0.126, -0.0154, -0.0369, -0.1005, -0.044, -0.029, 0.1277, 0.0879, 0.1373, 0.3075]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1977506041391960539", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-12T22:45:55+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's what I have the most conviction in the next 5 years", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Highest conviction long RKLB over 5 years; also long HOOD and TSM within a decade timeframe.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@paramdan42454 It's what I have the most conviction in the next 5 years, or a 2 year time-frame.\n\nFor stocks like $RKLB ($16 - When I first bought, $28 - When I developed conviction). \n\nThings from $HOOD, $TSM, are in random order, it's  just what I believe in the most within the next decade.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Didn’t get the 5-2 year ones,\nDoes Rklb being on 5 years mean you bought 5 years ago, or you are convicted for the next 5 years?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Drunkandmiller", "ret_m1d": -0.017731520409388968, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.017731520409388968, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0026193283203722606, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00743164055758927, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010299879851799698, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03989606669831014, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03989606669831014, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.041117721501766846, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.028143804745226708, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011752261953083432, "ret_p1w": 0.029501686933582683, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.029501686933582683, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0170438815166416, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.015900772785412354, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013600914148170329, "ret_p1m": -0.21675323887749232, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.21675323887749232, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.24685699436433872, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2351078735446478, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01835463466715548, "ret_p3m": 0.269948091660029, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.269948091660029, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.22695298957371723, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.20881919733570342, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "bench_c_p3m": 0.061128894324325556, "ret_p6m": 0.013757284485925503, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.013757284485925503, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.01385745351421741, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.07765854628636837, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09141583077229387, "price_path": [-0.271, -0.2154, -0.2145, -0.2787, -0.2834, -0.2487, -0.2643, -0.275, -0.3105, -0.3306, -0.2901, -0.2981, -0.315, -0.3192, -0.316, -0.3259, -0.3242, -0.3169, -0.3118, -0.3361, -0.3427, -0.3456, -0.3233, -0.3126, -0.3745, -0.378, -0.3652, -0.3216, -0.2782, -0.2643, -0.293, -0.2677, -0.2571, -0.2571, -0.2463, -0.3346, -0.3429, -0.2993, -0.2704, -0.2811, -0.2943, -0.2597, -0.1847, -0.174, -0.2778, -0.2651, -0.2788, -0.2695, -0.2386, -0.1912, -0.2557, -0.2872, -0.2929, -0.2814, -0.2677, -0.2667, -0.198, -0.1415, -0.1058, -0.0598, -0.0017, 0.0153, -0.0177, 0.0, 0.0399, 0.0589, 0.0242, 0.013, 0.0295, -0.0003, -0.0742, -0.0283, -0.0131, 0.0031, -0.0255, 0.0113, -0.0688, -0.0373, -0.0624, -0.1353, -0.1376, -0.2417, -0.2106, -0.2067, -0.2168, -0.2362, -0.3083, -0.3039, -0.338, -0.3461, -0.3332, -0.3965, -0.384, -0.3511, -0.3488, -0.3591, -0.3591, -0.3559, -0.3829, -0.3595, -0.3164, -0.2453, -0.2502, -0.2119, -0.1833, -0.1208, -0.0289, -0.0601, -0.153, -0.1518, -0.1752, -0.0841, 0.078, 0.1854, 0.1798, 0.1798, 0.1798, 0.0799, 0.0718, 0.0769, 0.0663, 0.0663, 0.1616, 0.1944, 0.315, 0.2852, 0.2699, 0.297, 0.3436, 0.3234, 0.4032, 0.3873, 0.472, 0.472, 0.3629, 0.3424, 0.3448, 0.3589, 0.2302, 0.3299, 0.3539, 0.3097, 0.2239, 0.1334, 0.2423, 0.1175, 0.0138, 0.1055, 0.1593, 0.101, 0.0642, 0.009, 0.0309, 0.0309, 0.0683, 0.1376, 0.1706, 0.0832, 0.0732, 0.0696, 0.0731, 0.1105, 0.0563, 0.0848, 0.072, 0.0992, 0.07, 0.0717, 0.0926, 0.0537, 0.1, 0.0451, 0.0457, 0.09, 0.2013, 0.0621, 0.0995, 0.0277, 0.0394, 0.0099, 0.114, 0.0079, -0.0686, -0.1229, -0.0183, 0.0015, 0.0353, 0.0353, 0.0344, 0.0138]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1977506041391960539", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-12T22:45:55+00:00", "symbol": "HOOD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "what I believe in the most within the next decade", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Highest conviction long RKLB over 5 years; also long HOOD and TSM within a decade timeframe.", "resolved_tickers": ["HOOD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@paramdan42454 It's what I have the most conviction in the next 5 years, or a 2 year time-frame.\n\nFor stocks like $RKLB ($16 - When I first bought, $28 - When I developed conviction). \n\nThings from $HOOD, $TSM, are in random order, it's  just what I believe in the most within the next decade.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Didn’t get the 5-2 year ones,\nDoes Rklb being on 5 years mean you bought 5 years ago, or you are convicted for the next 5 years?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Drunkandmiller", "ret_m1d": -0.01222623010706314, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01222623010706314, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0028859619819535665, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.002731394773740292, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009494835333322849, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04073070817358315, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04073070817358315, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.039509053370126446, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05174482529937341, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011014117125790257, "ret_p1w": -0.03468858315389689, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03468858315389689, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04714638857083797, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03715722426582435, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "bench_c_p1w": 0.002468641111927461, "ret_p1m": -0.062197899172242055, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.062197899172242055, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09230165465908846, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07264223995899233, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010444340786750272, "ret_p3m": -0.1797696517117221, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1797696517117221, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.22276475379803384, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24500655825437356, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06523690654265146, "ret_p6m": -0.5049047117425001, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5049047117425001, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5048045427142082, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.4603098126363139, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04459489910618619, "price_path": [-0.2661, -0.2504, -0.2199, -0.2583, -0.276, -0.2744, -0.2754, -0.2547, -0.241, -0.2656, -0.2458, -0.2675, -0.2899, -0.2439, -0.2504, -0.249, -0.2093, -0.1852, -0.1924, -0.189, -0.2279, -0.213, -0.1884, -0.1824, -0.2359, -0.2512, -0.2444, -0.2229, -0.2327, -0.2266, -0.2684, -0.2629, -0.2605, -0.2605, -0.2832, -0.2833, -0.2685, -0.2803, -0.1663, -0.1577, -0.1651, -0.163, -0.1823, -0.1838, -0.1656, -0.1567, -0.1405, -0.113, -0.1122, -0.1029, -0.0987, -0.1282, -0.1343, -0.0281, 0.0178, -0.0109, 0.0357, 0.0568, 0.0254, 0.0307, 0.0724, 0.0837, -0.0122, 0.0, -0.0407, -0.0464, -0.0657, -0.0766, -0.0347, -0.0628, -0.0957, -0.0451, -0.0063, 0.0368, 0.0396, 0.0293, -0.0186, 0.0434, 0.0455, -0.0276, 0.0128, -0.0967, -0.0734, -0.0341, -0.0622, -0.0547, -0.1361, -0.1292, -0.1756, -0.1875, -0.1601, -0.245, -0.2373, -0.1828, -0.1785, -0.0887, -0.0887, -0.0867, -0.124, -0.1047, -0.05, -0.0256, -0.0621, -0.0302, -0.0353, -0.0357, -0.123, -0.1506, -0.1807, -0.1513, -0.1769, -0.1672, -0.1374, -0.1302, -0.1453, -0.1439, -0.1439, -0.1603, -0.1653, -0.1793, -0.196, -0.196, -0.181, -0.124, -0.1349, -0.1685, -0.1798, -0.1806, -0.1646, -0.1453, -0.1493, -0.2156, -0.227, -0.227, -0.2481, -0.2471, -0.2447, -0.2395, -0.2394, -0.2519, -0.265, -0.2804, -0.2929, -0.3609, -0.3811, -0.4269, -0.4834, -0.4113, -0.3847, -0.3915, -0.4458, -0.4945, -0.46, -0.46, -0.4637, -0.4654, -0.4623, -0.459, -0.4898, -0.4783, -0.4489, -0.4352, -0.4608, -0.44, -0.4593, -0.4156, -0.4274, -0.452, -0.436, -0.4418, -0.4406, -0.4589, -0.4783, -0.4647, -0.4502, -0.4676, -0.4728, -0.4961, -0.4847, -0.509, -0.4844, -0.4999, -0.5307, -0.5368, -0.5074, -0.5016, -0.5102, -0.5102, -0.504, -0.5049]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1977506041391960539", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-12T22:45:55+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "what I believe in the most within the next decade", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Highest conviction long RKLB over 5 years; also long HOOD and TSM within a decade timeframe.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@paramdan42454 It's what I have the most conviction in the next 5 years, or a 2 year time-frame.\n\nFor stocks like $RKLB ($16 - When I first bought, $28 - When I developed conviction). \n\nThings from $HOOD, $TSM, are in random order, it's  just what I believe in the most within the next decade.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Didn’t get the 5-2 year ones,\nDoes Rklb being on 5 years mean you bought 5 years ago, or you are convicted for the next 5 years?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Drunkandmiller", "ret_m1d": -0.07339306311239524, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07339306311239524, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05828087102337853, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05828087102337853, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015112192089016707, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02294569763736931, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02294569763736931, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.021724042833912605, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.021724042833912605, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012216548034567065, "ret_p1w": -0.01713498670035607, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01713498670035607, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02959279211729715, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02959279211729715, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012457805416941081, "ret_p1m": -0.038693934946986364, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.038693934946986364, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06879769043383277, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06879769043383277, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030103755486846406, "ret_p3m": 0.052753413811671424, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.052753413811671424, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.00975831172535968, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.00975831172535968, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04299510208631174, "ret_p6m": 0.14638280584748697, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.14638280584748697, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.14648297487577888, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.14648297487577888, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "bench_c_p6m": -0.00010016902829190766, "price_path": [-0.2182, -0.1917, -0.2088, -0.2139, -0.2279, -0.209, -0.2049, -0.1917, -0.2011, -0.2057, -0.2005, -0.2048, -0.2259, -0.2134, -0.2349, -0.2385, -0.2015, -0.2041, -0.2032, -0.196, -0.2054, -0.2068, -0.2138, -0.2055, -0.2342, -0.2476, -0.2518, -0.2332, -0.2246, -0.2143, -0.2125, -0.2158, -0.2402, -0.2402, -0.2483, -0.2385, -0.2259, -0.1989, -0.1865, -0.1742, -0.1429, -0.1479, -0.1465, -0.1398, -0.1348, -0.1324, -0.1131, -0.1255, -0.0999, -0.0666, -0.0732, -0.0866, -0.0975, -0.0979, -0.0779, -0.0476, -0.0488, -0.0353, -0.0016, -0.0293, 0.0054, -0.0099, -0.0734, 0.0, -0.0229, 0.006, -0.0101, -0.0258, -0.0171, -0.0277, -0.0463, -0.0401, -0.0262, -0.0153, -0.0045, 0.0073, 0.0011, -0.0081, 0.0065, -0.0292, -0.0305, -0.0451, -0.0541, -0.0252, -0.0387, -0.0405, -0.0683, -0.0597, -0.0689, -0.0825, -0.0677, -0.0838, -0.0919, -0.0603, -0.0601, -0.0427, -0.0427, -0.0376, -0.0502, -0.0357, -0.0246, -0.0329, -0.027, -0.0034, 0.0017, 0.0239, 0.0092, -0.0332, -0.0475, -0.0503, -0.0831, -0.0576, -0.0434, -0.0291, -0.017, -0.0108, -0.0108, 0.0025, -0.0038, -0.0083, 0.006, 0.006, 0.0581, 0.0668, 0.0839, 0.055, 0.0528, 0.0714, 0.0983, 0.0965, 0.0829, 0.131, 0.1335, 0.1335, 0.083, 0.0796, 0.0837, 0.1086, 0.1014, 0.1201, 0.1332, 0.1241, 0.0943, 0.1301, 0.1115, 0.0783, 0.0949, 0.1548, 0.1766, 0.1981, 0.2384, 0.2186, 0.2128, 0.2128, 0.2057, 0.1992, 0.193, 0.2267, 0.225, 0.277, 0.2836, 0.2474, 0.24, 0.2219, 0.169, 0.1833, 0.1714, 0.1219, 0.1544, 0.149, 0.1738, 0.1147, 0.12, 0.1263, 0.1486, 0.1273, 0.1247, 0.093, 0.1236, 0.1395, 0.1544, 0.0826, 0.0847, 0.0507, 0.1219, 0.1337, 0.1255, 0.1255, 0.1346, 0.1464]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2007202015940931878", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-02T21:27:07+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "AXT is one of the most interesting companies at $850m given it controls the critical bottleneck to the hyperscaler AI buildout and captures both the InP substrate price surge + margin arbitrage opportunities", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long AXTI as the dominant InP substrate supplier capturing margin arbitrage + price surge; COHR and LITE also named as constrained IDMs benefiting from capacity monopolization by NVDA.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The InP substrate shortage and \"Spread\" Arbitrage - $AXTI\n\nMarket research is showing InP and optical components to become analogous to the HBM shortage and price craze.\n\nThe initial bottleneck was caused by $NVDA monopolizing of the production capacity of EML from $COHR to $LITE (TrendForce). \n\nHere's the breakdown:\n\n$NVDA has reportedly engaged in strategic capacity reservations for EML laser chips, pushing lead times for these specific components beyond 2027. \n\nBy booking out the finished goods capacity of IDMs like $LITE and $COHR (who are constrained by InP), Nvidia has effectively removed the capacity for optical engines.\n\nThe \"Second Order effect\": As a result, many hyperscalers have likely delayed their roadmaps/ramp from $MSFT to $AMZN and are looking for capacity. \n\nOptical makers have also scrambled for alternative sources. \n\nSince the primary IDMs are booked, hyperscalers are moving upstream to secure wafers, substrate, and feedstock capacity directly, creating a effect that is amplifying demand at the materials level.\n\nBoth 6N and 7N Indium are at all time highs on the Shanghai Metal Markets; prices sit higher on Western markets, representing a price bifurcation between China and Western markets. \n\n6N for example sits ~$412.83-$425.46 per kg.\n\n6N Western prices are ~$668.00 (Jan 1st, source: Indium Corporation at 5-9 kg quantities), over 50%+ premium. (Spot direct negotiations to hyperscalers would likely have different prices). \n\nPremiums for 7N would likely higher margin, with  substrates commanding the most premium (not public data, but some estimates go into triple digit premiums)\n\nHowever, the bottleneck has now migrated upstream to substrate itself (and third order effect, feedstock) to secure capacity. \n\n$AXTI perhaps plays one of the most critical roles and unique roles as \"40% of the InP supply chain\" ( $AXTI CEO ER quote) in the InP bottleneck:\n\nLow costs: AXTI's factory is in Beijing. They source materials (own 10+ materials suppliers) and refine them themselves into finish substrates.\n\nSell High: They sell finished InP substrates to the global market, where prices are inflated by the shortage and the Western Indium price. \n\nArbitrage: As long as AXTI continues their export permits, they capture the massive spread between low Chinese manufacturing costs and high global selling prices.\n\nThis is compared to Western companies that are largely affected by upstream material costs and Western premiums. As a result $AXTI, margins next quarter should expand rapidly on top of their production capacity funded by the $100m share sale injection by Northland. \n\nThis is implicated from reports from late December reports from Asian Metal, indicating that Chinese suppliers explicitly \"raised offering prices\" for exports to the US:\n\nDecember 19, 2025: Asian Metal reported that \"Indium ingot suppliers raise offering prices in United States,\" marking the beginning of the specific divergence in Western pricing.\n\nDecember 24, 2025: They subsequently reported that \"Suppliers of indium ingot raise quotes in China,\" confirming that the pricing pressure had solidified across both domestic and export channels by the end of the week.\n\nThis stems from capacity monopolization by hyperscalers, extended lead times, and a decoupling of \"AI\" material pricing from commodity baselines.\n\nThe conditions for a \"Massive Price Increase\" for InP substrates are not just present, they are active. \n\nThroughout 2026, both the price of InP substrates, and by one-hop, the commodity price of Indium would likely see a rapid surge as hyperscalers go upstream to secure demand.\n\nThe company that benefits both ways from the a possible parabolic rally in InP substrate + InP feedstock prices would be $AXTI, presenting an asymmetrical upside at $16, ~$850M MC. However, the risks are present as they're heavily reliant on export permits and US-China trade relations. \n\nTLDR, AXT: \n\n1. Sits in the center of both InP substrate and InP feedstock bottlenecks\n\n2. Benefits from margin arbitrage and substrate price surges between China production and US hyperscaler premiums during allocation battles. \n\n3. Controls a major a major percentage of the world's merchant output for substrates required for the Western hyperscaler AI buildout. \n\nHyperscalers saw Nvidia monopolized EML capacity and are likely looking at companies like $AXTI, Sumitomo or feedstock (Vital, $AXTI, $DOWA) to secure their roadmaps now. \n\nAXT is one of the most interesting companies at $850m given it controls the critical bottleneck to the hyperscaler AI buildout and captures both the InP substrate price surge + margin arbitrage opportunities.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$AXTI CEO - “We are 40% of the Indium Phosphide supply chain”\n\nHas there ever been a company this small ($700M) that controlled a critical bottleneck for a multi-trillion dollar industry? https://t.co/tn7EOMPgas", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.024462997721537816, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.024462997721537816, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.022633311874942552, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01081689336021674, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018296858465952637, "bench_c_m1d": -0.035279891081754555, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0053699374319098325, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0053699374319098325, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012030051247972962, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01686205820663944, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006660113816063129, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011492120774729608, "ret_p1w": 0.37171834469909015, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.37171834469909015, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.3557633300304277, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.32907164245337883, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01595501466866245, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04264670224571132, "ret_p1m": 0.24940335609140107, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.24940335609140107, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2314868759110269, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.15652895330154015, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017916480180374172, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09287440278986092, "ret_p3m": 1.8126490898498897, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.8126490898498897, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.8509126728305862, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.7626356581910365, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03826358298069654, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05001343165885319, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6832, -0.6832, -0.6879, -0.7595, -0.7255, -0.7273, -0.7261, -0.7058, -0.7309, -0.707, -0.6915, -0.7053, -0.6909, -0.6384, -0.6307, -0.6062, -0.5782, -0.5632, -0.5257, -0.4952, -0.4905, -0.457, -0.4708, -0.4356, -0.3771, -0.3699, -0.3449, -0.3771, -0.3771, -0.3884, -0.4093, -0.3968, -0.4362, -0.4672, -0.4427, -0.4493, -0.3765, -0.3765, -0.3616, -0.3562, -0.2983, -0.315, -0.278, -0.3091, -0.2416, -0.1074, -0.0746, -0.0227, -0.1163, -0.1152, -0.2243, -0.2625, -0.1641, -0.1259, -0.0919, -0.1265, -0.1044, -0.1044, -0.0829, -0.1295, -0.0573, -0.0245, -0.0245, 0.0, -0.0054, 0.2035, 0.4385, 0.5412, 0.3717, 0.327, 0.2834, 0.3186, 0.5346, 0.318, 0.318, 0.2774, 0.1802, 0.0692, 0.0382, 0.0621, 0.0263, 0.0042, -0.0227, 0.1062, 0.2494, 0.1778, 0.1187, 0.219, 0.4356, 0.6569, 0.4529, 0.599, 0.4791, 0.4463, 0.4463, 0.3848, 0.4045, 0.4206, 0.7709, 0.6963, 1.0931, 1.4445, 1.2148, 1.2613, 1.7637, 1.4916, 1.3347, 1.315, 0.9314, 1.3007, 1.6432, 1.8258, 1.7882, 1.9153, 1.8872, 1.6468, 1.9093, 2.466, 2.2363, 2.8449, 3.0835, 3.0185, 2.491, 2.6175, 2.1462, 2.3998, 1.8126, 2.1527, 2.1527, 1.5054, 1.7124, 2.173, 2.7661, 2.8294, 2.9648, 3.0155, 2.7548, 3.8795, 3.926, 3.6993, 3.4732, 4.1874, 3.491, 3.5442, 3.1856, 3.0996, 3.2405, 3.7267, 4.7279, 5.3246, 5.4171, 5.2548, 5.469, 5.9427, 6.5066, 6.3329, 6.2757, 5.8604, 6.3854, 5.3174, 5.7351, 5.2416, 6.2208, 7.4027, 7.4027, 6.9117, 6.3252, 5.9033, 5.1551, 5.1551, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2007202015940931878", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-02T21:27:07+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NVDA has reportedly engaged in strategic capacity reservations for EML laser chips, pushing lead times for these specific components beyond 2027. By booking out the finished goods capacity of IDMs like $LITE and $COHR (who are constrained by InP), Nvidia has effectively removed the capacity for optical engines", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long AXTI as the dominant InP substrate supplier capturing margin arbitrage + price surge; COHR and LITE also named as constrained IDMs benefiting from capacity monopolization by NVDA.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The InP substrate shortage and \"Spread\" Arbitrage - $AXTI\n\nMarket research is showing InP and optical components to become analogous to the HBM shortage and price craze.\n\nThe initial bottleneck was caused by $NVDA monopolizing of the production capacity of EML from $COHR to $LITE (TrendForce). \n\nHere's the breakdown:\n\n$NVDA has reportedly engaged in strategic capacity reservations for EML laser chips, pushing lead times for these specific components beyond 2027. \n\nBy booking out the finished goods capacity of IDMs like $LITE and $COHR (who are constrained by InP), Nvidia has effectively removed the capacity for optical engines.\n\nThe \"Second Order effect\": As a result, many hyperscalers have likely delayed their roadmaps/ramp from $MSFT to $AMZN and are looking for capacity. \n\nOptical makers have also scrambled for alternative sources. \n\nSince the primary IDMs are booked, hyperscalers are moving upstream to secure wafers, substrate, and feedstock capacity directly, creating a effect that is amplifying demand at the materials level.\n\nBoth 6N and 7N Indium are at all time highs on the Shanghai Metal Markets; prices sit higher on Western markets, representing a price bifurcation between China and Western markets. \n\n6N for example sits ~$412.83-$425.46 per kg.\n\n6N Western prices are ~$668.00 (Jan 1st, source: Indium Corporation at 5-9 kg quantities), over 50%+ premium. (Spot direct negotiations to hyperscalers would likely have different prices). \n\nPremiums for 7N would likely higher margin, with  substrates commanding the most premium (not public data, but some estimates go into triple digit premiums)\n\nHowever, the bottleneck has now migrated upstream to substrate itself (and third order effect, feedstock) to secure capacity. \n\n$AXTI perhaps plays one of the most critical roles and unique roles as \"40% of the InP supply chain\" ( $AXTI CEO ER quote) in the InP bottleneck:\n\nLow costs: AXTI's factory is in Beijing. They source materials (own 10+ materials suppliers) and refine them themselves into finish substrates.\n\nSell High: They sell finished InP substrates to the global market, where prices are inflated by the shortage and the Western Indium price. \n\nArbitrage: As long as AXTI continues their export permits, they capture the massive spread between low Chinese manufacturing costs and high global selling prices.\n\nThis is compared to Western companies that are largely affected by upstream material costs and Western premiums. As a result $AXTI, margins next quarter should expand rapidly on top of their production capacity funded by the $100m share sale injection by Northland. \n\nThis is implicated from reports from late December reports from Asian Metal, indicating that Chinese suppliers explicitly \"raised offering prices\" for exports to the US:\n\nDecember 19, 2025: Asian Metal reported that \"Indium ingot suppliers raise offering prices in United States,\" marking the beginning of the specific divergence in Western pricing.\n\nDecember 24, 2025: They subsequently reported that \"Suppliers of indium ingot raise quotes in China,\" confirming that the pricing pressure had solidified across both domestic and export channels by the end of the week.\n\nThis stems from capacity monopolization by hyperscalers, extended lead times, and a decoupling of \"AI\" material pricing from commodity baselines.\n\nThe conditions for a \"Massive Price Increase\" for InP substrates are not just present, they are active. \n\nThroughout 2026, both the price of InP substrates, and by one-hop, the commodity price of Indium would likely see a rapid surge as hyperscalers go upstream to secure demand.\n\nThe company that benefits both ways from the a possible parabolic rally in InP substrate + InP feedstock prices would be $AXTI, presenting an asymmetrical upside at $16, ~$850M MC. However, the risks are present as they're heavily reliant on export permits and US-China trade relations. \n\nTLDR, AXT: \n\n1. Sits in the center of both InP substrate and InP feedstock bottlenecks\n\n2. Benefits from margin arbitrage and substrate price surges between China production and US hyperscaler premiums during allocation battles. \n\n3. Controls a major a major percentage of the world's merchant output for substrates required for the Western hyperscaler AI buildout. \n\nHyperscalers saw Nvidia monopolized EML capacity and are likely looking at companies like $AXTI, Sumitomo or feedstock (Vital, $AXTI, $DOWA) to secure their roadmaps now. \n\nAXT is one of the most interesting companies at $850m given it controls the critical bottleneck to the hyperscaler AI buildout and captures both the InP substrate price surge + margin arbitrage opportunities.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$AXTI CEO - “We are 40% of the Indium Phosphide supply chain”\n\nHas there ever been a company this small ($700M) that controlled a critical bottleneck for a multi-trillion dollar industry? https://t.co/tn7EOMPgas", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05022381729467085, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05022381729467085, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.048394131448075584, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.048394131448075584, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018296858465952637, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018296858465952637, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04101271623324554, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04101271623324554, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04767283004930867, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04767283004930867, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006660113816063129, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006660113816063129, "ret_p1w": -0.08372358420809178, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08372358420809178, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09967859887675423, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09967859887675423, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01595501466866245, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01595501466866245, "ret_p1m": 0.14465085342195194, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14465085342195194, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12673437324157777, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12673437324157777, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017916480180374172, "bench_c_p1m": 0.017916480180374172, "ret_p3m": 0.2751505208505505, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2751505208505505, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.313414103831247, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.313414103831247, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03826358298069654, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03826358298069654, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4156, -0.3996, -0.3704, -0.4283, -0.4076, -0.4372, -0.4318, -0.4033, -0.4013, -0.3815, -0.3784, -0.4063, -0.3747, -0.3344, -0.3054, -0.3092, -0.2896, -0.3171, -0.3209, -0.3207, -0.3377, -0.3072, -0.1803, -0.2049, -0.1421, -0.1869, -0.1938, -0.2797, -0.283, -0.2844, -0.2891, -0.2644, -0.3022, -0.2821, -0.2188, -0.234, -0.2075, -0.2075, -0.1547, -0.1586, -0.1515, -0.1203, -0.0874, -0.0645, -0.0436, -0.0082, 0.0161, 0.0215, -0.0823, -0.0817, -0.0984, -0.1229, -0.0958, -0.0437, -0.0172, -0.0127, -0.0152, -0.0152, -0.0134, -0.0273, -0.0387, -0.0502, -0.0502, 0.0, -0.041, -0.0011, -0.0139, -0.109, -0.0837, -0.0471, -0.0221, -0.0526, 0.0084, -0.0169, -0.0169, -0.0045, 0.0367, 0.0432, 0.0134, 0.0177, 0.1012, 0.138, 0.1108, 0.0919, 0.1447, 0.1793, 0.0858, 0.0767, 0.1716, 0.2477, 0.1752, 0.1511, 0.112, 0.1178, 0.1178, 0.1319, 0.1521, 0.1963, 0.2771, 0.2808, 0.3115, 0.3786, 0.2872, 0.3324, 0.5382, 0.445, 0.4144, 0.3064, 0.213, 0.2984, 0.3412, 0.2937, 0.2415, 0.2492, 0.2729, 0.2649, 0.3236, 0.4181, 0.3052, 0.3125, 0.4014, 0.3999, 0.2519, 0.2529, 0.1303, 0.2258, 0.2752, 0.3285, 0.3285, 0.303, 0.3127, 0.4501, 0.4623, 0.5824, 0.5846, 0.6128, 0.586, 0.6879, 0.7754, 0.7882, 0.7691, 0.8035, 0.7377, 0.7295, 0.6546, 0.5642, 0.5691, 0.6452, 0.6956, 0.6976, 0.7276, 0.7736, 0.6425, 0.7252, 0.9538, 0.9246, 1.0774, 1.0838, 0.968, 0.8671, 0.8197, 0.8448, 0.9451, 0.9429, 0.9429, 0.9624, 0.9564, 0.9397, 0.8601, 0.8601, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2007202015940931878", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-02T21:27:07+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "By booking out the finished goods capacity of IDMs like $LITE and $COHR (who are constrained by InP), Nvidia has effectively removed the capacity for optical engines", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long AXTI as the dominant InP substrate supplier capturing margin arbitrage + price surge; COHR and LITE also named as constrained IDMs benefiting from capacity monopolization by NVDA.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The InP substrate shortage and \"Spread\" Arbitrage - $AXTI\n\nMarket research is showing InP and optical components to become analogous to the HBM shortage and price craze.\n\nThe initial bottleneck was caused by $NVDA monopolizing of the production capacity of EML from $COHR to $LITE (TrendForce). \n\nHere's the breakdown:\n\n$NVDA has reportedly engaged in strategic capacity reservations for EML laser chips, pushing lead times for these specific components beyond 2027. \n\nBy booking out the finished goods capacity of IDMs like $LITE and $COHR (who are constrained by InP), Nvidia has effectively removed the capacity for optical engines.\n\nThe \"Second Order effect\": As a result, many hyperscalers have likely delayed their roadmaps/ramp from $MSFT to $AMZN and are looking for capacity. \n\nOptical makers have also scrambled for alternative sources. \n\nSince the primary IDMs are booked, hyperscalers are moving upstream to secure wafers, substrate, and feedstock capacity directly, creating a effect that is amplifying demand at the materials level.\n\nBoth 6N and 7N Indium are at all time highs on the Shanghai Metal Markets; prices sit higher on Western markets, representing a price bifurcation between China and Western markets. \n\n6N for example sits ~$412.83-$425.46 per kg.\n\n6N Western prices are ~$668.00 (Jan 1st, source: Indium Corporation at 5-9 kg quantities), over 50%+ premium. (Spot direct negotiations to hyperscalers would likely have different prices). \n\nPremiums for 7N would likely higher margin, with  substrates commanding the most premium (not public data, but some estimates go into triple digit premiums)\n\nHowever, the bottleneck has now migrated upstream to substrate itself (and third order effect, feedstock) to secure capacity. \n\n$AXTI perhaps plays one of the most critical roles and unique roles as \"40% of the InP supply chain\" ( $AXTI CEO ER quote) in the InP bottleneck:\n\nLow costs: AXTI's factory is in Beijing. They source materials (own 10+ materials suppliers) and refine them themselves into finish substrates.\n\nSell High: They sell finished InP substrates to the global market, where prices are inflated by the shortage and the Western Indium price. \n\nArbitrage: As long as AXTI continues their export permits, they capture the massive spread between low Chinese manufacturing costs and high global selling prices.\n\nThis is compared to Western companies that are largely affected by upstream material costs and Western premiums. As a result $AXTI, margins next quarter should expand rapidly on top of their production capacity funded by the $100m share sale injection by Northland. \n\nThis is implicated from reports from late December reports from Asian Metal, indicating that Chinese suppliers explicitly \"raised offering prices\" for exports to the US:\n\nDecember 19, 2025: Asian Metal reported that \"Indium ingot suppliers raise offering prices in United States,\" marking the beginning of the specific divergence in Western pricing.\n\nDecember 24, 2025: They subsequently reported that \"Suppliers of indium ingot raise quotes in China,\" confirming that the pricing pressure had solidified across both domestic and export channels by the end of the week.\n\nThis stems from capacity monopolization by hyperscalers, extended lead times, and a decoupling of \"AI\" material pricing from commodity baselines.\n\nThe conditions for a \"Massive Price Increase\" for InP substrates are not just present, they are active. \n\nThroughout 2026, both the price of InP substrates, and by one-hop, the commodity price of Indium would likely see a rapid surge as hyperscalers go upstream to secure demand.\n\nThe company that benefits both ways from the a possible parabolic rally in InP substrate + InP feedstock prices would be $AXTI, presenting an asymmetrical upside at $16, ~$850M MC. However, the risks are present as they're heavily reliant on export permits and US-China trade relations. \n\nTLDR, AXT: \n\n1. Sits in the center of both InP substrate and InP feedstock bottlenecks\n\n2. Benefits from margin arbitrage and substrate price surges between China production and US hyperscaler premiums during allocation battles. \n\n3. Controls a major a major percentage of the world's merchant output for substrates required for the Western hyperscaler AI buildout. \n\nHyperscalers saw Nvidia monopolized EML capacity and are likely looking at companies like $AXTI, Sumitomo or feedstock (Vital, $AXTI, $DOWA) to secure their roadmaps now. \n\nAXT is one of the most interesting companies at $850m given it controls the critical bottleneck to the hyperscaler AI buildout and captures both the InP substrate price surge + margin arbitrage opportunities.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$AXTI CEO - “We are 40% of the Indium Phosphide supply chain”\n\nHas there ever been a company this small ($700M) that controlled a critical bottleneck for a multi-trillion dollar industry? https://t.co/tn7EOMPgas", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04537564341341627, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04537564341341627, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.043545957566821, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.043545957566821, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018296858465952637, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018296858465952637, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07526352247050516, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07526352247050516, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08192363628656829, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.08192363628656829, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006660113816063129, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006660113816063129, "ret_p1w": -0.0898447935560176, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0898447935560176, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10579980822468005, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10579980822468005, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01595501466866245, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01595501466866245, "ret_p1m": 0.09663057028219613, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09663057028219613, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07871409010182195, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07871409010182195, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.017916480180374172, "bench_c_p1m": 0.017916480180374172, "ret_p3m": 0.9803943265487685, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.9803943265487685, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.018657909529465, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.018657909529465, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03826358298069654, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03826358298069654, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.593, -0.5776, -0.5862, -0.6125, -0.5842, -0.5939, -0.5945, -0.5772, -0.5733, -0.583, -0.578, -0.5906, -0.5636, -0.5356, -0.4981, -0.4862, -0.445, -0.4817, -0.478, -0.4831, -0.5122, -0.3972, -0.3792, -0.3781, -0.3269, -0.3461, -0.3426, -0.4124, -0.3987, -0.3731, -0.3592, -0.3035, -0.3959, -0.338, -0.2247, -0.2456, -0.2016, -0.2016, -0.1579, -0.1766, -0.2157, -0.2153, -0.1509, -0.1417, -0.1128, -0.0668, -0.0521, -0.0363, -0.16, -0.1332, -0.1812, -0.1706, -0.1269, -0.038, 0.0098, 0.0034, 0.0254, 0.0254, 0.0121, -0.035, -0.0387, -0.0454, -0.0454, 0.0, -0.0753, 0.0293, 0.0175, -0.098, -0.0898, -0.1198, -0.0642, -0.1411, -0.111, -0.1602, -0.1602, -0.0758, -0.0613, -0.0819, -0.1215, -0.139, -0.04, -0.0029, -0.0121, 0.0148, 0.0966, 0.1269, 0.2057, 0.3064, 0.4296, 0.4948, 0.4533, 0.4869, 0.5111, 0.4575, 0.4575, 0.555, 0.5391, 0.6463, 0.7295, 0.7475, 0.7826, 0.8735, 0.7534, 0.8153, 1.0286, 0.7985, 0.7632, 0.6856, 0.4463, 0.6593, 0.7404, 0.7404, 0.5956, 0.6122, 0.6183, 0.6823, 0.8151, 0.9998, 0.8294, 0.8879, 1.0771, 1.0128, 0.7839, 0.82, 0.6959, 0.8201, 0.9804, 1.1416, 1.1416, 1.0002, 1.1127, 1.3206, 1.3157, 1.3239, 1.2563, 1.2087, 1.1341, 1.3082, 1.3156, 1.3183, 1.1676, 1.2626, 1.1934, 1.2834, 1.2265, 1.0496, 1.223, 1.337, 1.4603, 1.5282, 1.5758, 1.4456, 1.3117, 1.3408, 1.7274, 1.5702, 1.6686, 1.5946, 1.5141, 1.292, 1.3053, 1.2482, 1.498, 1.4524, 1.4524, 1.3589, 1.3369, 1.229, 1.2143, 1.2143, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1968748972110913815", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-18T18:48:27+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Unfortunately their partners are short $4.5B+ on $HIMS and ppl know the PT is bs", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Dismisses Citi's $30 HIMS sell rating as conflicted/fabricated, implying the target is invalid and the stock should be higher.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "True story: I had lunch with a former Citi sellside analyst the other day.\n\nHe told me they pull numbers out of thin air so they can get along better at the corporate events and investors dinners.\n\nUnfortunately their partners are short $4.5B+ on $HIMS and ppl know the PT is bs", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "🚨 BREAKING: CITI REITERATES $HIMS SELL RATING, $30 PRICE TARGET \n\nCITI SAYS IT IS WORRIED INCREASED FDA SCRUTINY WILL INCREASE CUSTOMER ACQUISITION COSTS (CAC)", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.10409256600359496, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10409256600359496, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0994418510716567, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0994418510716567, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004650714931938249, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004650714931938249, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02882560337887141, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02882560337887141, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.023872728603539395, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.023872728603539395, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004952874775332017, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004952874775332017, "ret_p1w": -0.023665512686820933, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.023665512686820933, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02006329519976846, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02006329519976846, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0036022174870524726, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0036022174870524726, "ret_p1m": -0.11423490919018253, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11423490919018253, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12023256366394197, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12023256366394197, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0059976544737594395, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0059976544737594395, "ret_p3m": -0.3441281119224018, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3441281119224018, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3720508973026613, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3720508973026613, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.027922785380259496, "bench_c_p3m": 0.027922785380259496, "ret_p6m": -0.5592526668772216, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5592526668772216, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.5650337626197884, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.5650337626197884, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0057810957425668, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0057810957425668, "price_path": [-0.253, -0.2358, -0.2632, -0.1765, -0.1208, -0.113, -0.1466, -0.1555, -0.1463, -0.1463, -0.1384, -0.1288, -0.0883, -0.1055, -0.1479, -0.0742, -0.1021, -0.0774, -0.1105, -0.1036, -0.153, -0.1101, 0.0324, 0.0199, 0.0258, 0.0441, 0.0724, 0.166, 0.1776, 0.113, 0.1272, -0.0121, -0.0902, -0.0916, -0.0758, -0.1107, -0.1466, -0.14, -0.1614, -0.1811, -0.1975, -0.2495, -0.2281, -0.2178, -0.2069, -0.2351, -0.1931, -0.2169, -0.2149, -0.2464, -0.2464, -0.261, -0.2089, -0.144, -0.1386, -0.1167, -0.1496, -0.1498, -0.079, -0.0125, -0.0399, -0.0945, -0.1041, 0.0, 0.0288, 0.0267, -0.0036, -0.0525, -0.0237, 0.0391, 0.052, 0.0093, 0.002, 0.0297, -0.0651, -0.0256, 0.0315, 0.0351, 0.0365, -0.04, -0.0262, -0.0388, 0.1167, 0.0525, -0.1142, -0.0861, -0.1217, -0.1555, -0.1372, -0.132, -0.1418, -0.1616, -0.1703, -0.216, -0.1911, -0.2101, -0.2386, -0.2219, -0.2612, -0.2699, -0.2696, -0.2927, -0.3057, -0.3585, -0.342, -0.3669, -0.3548, -0.3625, -0.4018, -0.3824, -0.3278, -0.34, -0.3167, -0.3167, -0.2925, -0.3326, -0.3539, -0.3404, -0.2879, -0.3025, -0.3039, -0.2915, -0.326, -0.3279, -0.3379, -0.355, -0.3441, -0.3778, -0.3813, -0.3673, -0.3763, -0.3808, -0.3831, -0.3831, -0.3895, -0.3932, -0.4121, -0.4222, -0.4222, -0.4055, -0.3824, -0.369, -0.369, -0.3973, -0.4361, -0.4246, -0.427, -0.4427, -0.4443, -0.4416, -0.4416, -0.4578, -0.4859, -0.4569, -0.473, -0.4612, -0.4719, -0.4899, -0.4685, -0.518, -0.5295, -0.5456, -0.5658, -0.5822, -0.5904, -0.656, -0.6932, -0.703, -0.7189, -0.71, -0.71, -0.7105, -0.7181, -0.7185, -0.7219, -0.724, -0.7249, -0.7185, -0.7224, -0.7416, -0.7068, -0.7185, -0.7073, -0.7174, -0.7199, -0.6057, -0.5824, -0.5395, -0.5758, -0.5593]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1998907552143388819", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-11T00:07:52+00:00", "symbol": "ORCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I've been putting $ORCL on avoid and this earnings was the reason why on the 11% drop", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Avoid ORCL on OpenAI-dependent backlog risk; long NBIS and other neoclouds sold off with it as hyperscaler-backed thesis intact.", "resolved_tickers": ["ORCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’ve been putting $ORCL on avoid and this earnings was the reason why on the 11% drop.\n\nI need more time to look into it but it’s not just capex spend that’s worrying, a large part of it is because of OpenAi (which doesn’t have the funding for the backlog) that a lot of the spend is for.\n\nOther neoclouds like $NBIS don’t have this problem because their backlog is from $MSFT that actually have the money. And hyperscaler capex funnel was the core Neocloud thesis, not levered/contingency on OpenAi which oracle faces. \n\nSo selloff on other Neoclouds that got brought down with it presents a good opportunity", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Take on $ORCL earnings and how itll affect the sector? I feel like coreweave and oracle really cooked the market", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "__visionxry__", "ret_m1d": 0.12149852071919609, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.12149852071919609, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12382006673256762, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12382006673256762, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04465683155963751, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04465683155963751, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03390486263210357, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03390486263210357, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "ret_p1w": -0.09464432407058543, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09464432407058543, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0762163344822272, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0762163344822272, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "ret_p1m": 0.0009794444821900061, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0009794444821900061, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.009106477213884467, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.009106477213884467, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "ret_p3m": -0.2466939309339543, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2466939309339543, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.23219969930556417, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.23219969930556417, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "bench_c_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.5168, 0.5394, 0.5131, 0.4891, 0.5495, 0.6474, 0.5755, 0.5485, 0.4625, 0.423, 0.4195, 0.4119, 0.4509, 0.4497, 0.4365, 0.4638, 0.4269, 0.449, 0.4934, 0.4733, 0.549, 0.5036, 0.5269, 0.5741, 0.465, 0.3939, 0.3837, 0.3712, 0.4084, 0.4248, 0.4151, 0.4123, 0.3845, 0.2919, 0.3206, 0.2967, 0.248, 0.2588, 0.226, 0.2032, 0.2111, 0.1876, 0.1415, 0.0941, 0.1207, 0.1057, 0.1088, 0.1342, 0.0595, -0.0005, 0.0072, -0.0092, 0.0307, 0.0307, 0.0156, 0.0105, 0.0113, 0.0447, 0.0778, 0.0942, 0.1091, 0.1141, 0.1215, 0.0, -0.0447, -0.0701, -0.0513, -0.1025, -0.0946, -0.0346, -0.0024, -0.0177, -0.0068, -0.0068, -0.0043, -0.0175, -0.0082, -0.0198, -0.0198, -0.0158, -0.0315, -0.0256, -0.0302, -0.0463, 0.001, 0.032, 0.02, -0.0238, -0.0427, -0.0365, -0.0365, -0.0928, -0.1233, -0.1016, -0.1067, -0.0801, -0.1181, -0.1287, -0.1478, -0.1702, -0.1929, -0.2201, -0.2605, -0.3118, -0.2799, -0.2104, -0.1938, -0.2076, -0.211, -0.1925, -0.1925, -0.2237, -0.2126, -0.2107, -0.2533, -0.2875, -0.2631, -0.2543, -0.2421, -0.2669, -0.2475, -0.2487, -0.2317, -0.2195, -0.2287, -0.2358, -0.2467, -0.1775, -0.1975, -0.2179, -0.2136, -0.22, -0.229, -0.2158, -0.2453, -0.2218, -0.2583, -0.2637, -0.2799, -0.2958, -0.3001, -0.2582, -0.2677, -0.2619, -0.2619, -0.2662, -0.2781, -0.2756, -0.3025, -0.3013, -0.2126, -0.1752, -0.1408, -0.0976, -0.1142, -0.1015, -0.0833, -0.0513, -0.1081, -0.1232, -0.1249, -0.1603, -0.171, -0.1834, -0.1306, -0.0878, -0.0622, -0.0182, -0.0154, -0.0085, -0.0192, -0.0547, -0.0398, -0.0102, -0.0237, -0.0558, -0.0818, -0.0479, -0.0398, -0.0281, -0.0281, -0.0232, -0.0338, 0.0307, 0.1424, 0.1424, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1998907552143388819", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-11T00:07:52+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Other neoclouds like $NBIS don't have this problem because their backlog is from $MSFT that actually have the money", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Avoid ORCL on OpenAI-dependent backlog risk; long NBIS and other neoclouds sold off with it as hyperscaler-backed thesis intact.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’ve been putting $ORCL on avoid and this earnings was the reason why on the 11% drop.\n\nI need more time to look into it but it’s not just capex spend that’s worrying, a large part of it is because of OpenAi (which doesn’t have the funding for the backlog) that a lot of the spend is for.\n\nOther neoclouds like $NBIS don’t have this problem because their backlog is from $MSFT that actually have the money. And hyperscaler capex funnel was the core Neocloud thesis, not levered/contingency on OpenAi which oracle faces. \n\nSo selloff on other Neoclouds that got brought down with it presents a good opportunity", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Take on $ORCL earnings and how itll affect the sector? I feel like coreweave and oracle really cooked the market", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "__visionxry__", "ret_m1d": -0.007318651361265971, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007318651361265971, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004997105347894437, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009544508151134945, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002225856789868974, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06989813770911646, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06989813770911646, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05914616878158252, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06767234665436428, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0022257910547521798, "ret_p1w": -0.1717225567567725, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1717225567567725, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.15329456716841428, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.16881187152011068, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002910685236661825, "ret_p1m": 0.03871448422929347, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03871448422929347, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.028628562533218993, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.026029578740943693, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012684905488349774, "ret_p3m": 0.022804428868438142, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.022804428868438142, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.037298660496828284, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.01467154874805865, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "bench_c_p3m": 0.008132880120379493, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0352, -0.0514, -0.0021, -0.0017, 0.0534, 0.1307, 0.1434, 0.201, 0.1449, 0.1423, 0.1691, 0.1908, 0.2262, 0.3351, 0.3574, 0.3252, 0.2484, 0.294, 0.4069, 0.3744, 0.4368, 0.3592, 0.3346, 0.305, 0.2032, 0.1561, 0.1061, 0.046, 0.126, 0.2437, 0.3304, 0.2922, 0.3269, 0.3171, 0.3876, 0.2778, 0.1725, 0.241, 0.1608, 0.1803, 0.1662, 0.0842, 0.0008, -0.0599, -0.1139, -0.088, -0.0397, 0.0084, -0.1022, -0.1169, -0.0252, -0.0573, 0.0043, 0.0043, 0.0063, 0.0623, 0.023, 0.0492, 0.0904, 0.0399, 0.0642, 0.0226, -0.0073, 0.0, -0.0699, -0.1394, -0.1414, -0.1997, -0.1717, -0.0511, -0.0111, -0.0451, -0.0334, -0.0334, -0.071, -0.0874, -0.0966, -0.1122, -0.1122, -0.0459, -0.0154, 0.0632, 0.0205, 0.032, 0.0387, 0.1384, 0.1183, 0.0817, 0.1019, 0.1533, 0.1533, 0.0531, 0.0487, 0.0273, 0.0023, -0.0299, 0.0381, 0.0652, 0.0067, -0.0964, -0.0649, -0.0459, -0.1261, -0.2165, -0.0868, -0.0148, -0.0264, -0.0601, -0.0483, 0.0396, 0.0396, 0.0344, 0.0798, 0.1414, 0.0386, 0.0671, 0.088, 0.1256, 0.1124, -0.0328, -0.0347, -0.0793, 0.0371, 0.0145, -0.0525, 0.007, 0.0228, 0.1879, 0.1459, 0.198, 0.3773, 0.2339, 0.2575, 0.2889, 0.2476, 0.2108, 0.2188, 0.2207, 0.124, 0.0694, -0.0214, 0.1006, 0.0814, 0.1542, 0.1542, 0.1937, 0.2452, 0.3258, 0.446, 0.5377, 0.6394, 0.7176, 0.7689, 0.7537, 0.6667, 0.6882, 0.6605, 0.6561, 0.6661, 0.5609, 0.5375, 0.4373, 0.4976, 0.4662, 0.6386, 0.8712, 0.8659, 1.0693, 0.9598, 0.8779, 0.9739, 0.8998, 1.1985, 1.3457, 1.3328, 1.1199, 1.0973, 1.0346, 1.3327, 1.278, 1.278, 1.2068, 1.2101, 1.4007, 1.4511, 1.4511, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1998907552143388819", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-12-11T00:07:52+00:00", "symbol": "neoclouds", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "selloff on other Neoclouds that got brought down with it presents a good opportunity", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Avoid ORCL on OpenAI-dependent backlog risk; long NBIS and other neoclouds sold off with it as hyperscaler-backed thesis intact.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV", "NBIS", "CIFR", "CORZ"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Neocloud basket of HPC/AI cloud infrastructure names", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’ve been putting $ORCL on avoid and this earnings was the reason why on the 11% drop.\n\nI need more time to look into it but it’s not just capex spend that’s worrying, a large part of it is because of OpenAi (which doesn’t have the funding for the backlog) that a lot of the spend is for.\n\nOther neoclouds like $NBIS don’t have this problem because their backlog is from $MSFT that actually have the money. And hyperscaler capex funnel was the core Neocloud thesis, not levered/contingency on OpenAi which oracle faces. \n\nSo selloff on other Neoclouds that got brought down with it presents a good opportunity", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Take on $ORCL earnings and how itll affect the sector? I feel like coreweave and oracle really cooked the market", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "__visionxry__", "ret_m1d": -0.005900360599551235, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005900360599551235, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0035788145861797016, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0035788145861797016, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07935528982051918, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07935528982051918, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06860332089298524, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06860332089298524, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "ret_p1w": -0.18948911741082775, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.18948911741082775, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.17106112782246952, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.17106112782246952, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "ret_p1m": -0.04456456478871723, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04456456478871723, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.054650486484791705, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.054650486484791705, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "ret_p3m": -0.12296963535349623, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.12296963535349623, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.10847540372510608, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10847540372510608, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "bench_c_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.036, -0.0382, -0.007, -0.0055, 0.022, 0.0954, 0.092, 0.1135, 0.045, 0.0239, 0.0593, 0.1137, 0.1237, 0.1715, 0.1757, 0.1747, 0.1349, 0.2089, 0.2585, 0.2305, 0.3097, 0.2721, 0.297, 0.2623, 0.2138, 0.1865, 0.15, 0.0783, 0.1224, 0.2416, 0.2793, 0.2617, 0.2899, 0.2548, 0.2859, 0.3113, 0.2347, 0.278, 0.1794, 0.1567, 0.1311, 0.02, -0.039, -0.1253, -0.1525, -0.154, -0.1309, -0.1188, -0.1669, -0.1752, -0.0982, -0.1049, -0.0503, -0.0503, -0.0271, -0.0149, -0.0658, -0.0262, 0.0259, 0.0137, 0.0249, 0.0253, -0.0059, 0.0, -0.0794, -0.1631, -0.1764, -0.2297, -0.1895, -0.0865, -0.0668, -0.0986, -0.0942, -0.0942, -0.1283, -0.1411, -0.1596, -0.1685, -0.1685, -0.0903, -0.0531, -0.0377, -0.0778, -0.0626, -0.0446, 0.0272, 0.0306, 0.0249, 0.0391, 0.0983, 0.0983, 0.0368, 0.0274, 0.0095, 0.0192, 0.0159, 0.1057, 0.1009, 0.0415, -0.0377, -0.0457, -0.0336, -0.1249, -0.2095, -0.0778, 0.0117, 0.0024, -0.0173, -0.0239, 0.0084, 0.0084, -0.0264, -0.0047, 0.0308, -0.0424, -0.0291, 0.0396, 0.0415, 0.034, -0.0802, -0.0898, -0.1441, -0.0733, -0.1018, -0.1604, -0.1281, -0.123, -0.0441, -0.0702, -0.0451, 0.0343, -0.0208, -0.0195, -0.0164, -0.0423, -0.0274, -0.0186, 0.011, -0.0719, -0.1201, -0.1986, -0.1179, -0.118, -0.0732, -0.0732, -0.0592, -0.0175, 0.0437, 0.0997, 0.1583, 0.2293, 0.2774, 0.2943, 0.2894, 0.2927, 0.2989, 0.2819, 0.3265, 0.299, 0.2463, 0.2486, 0.1774, 0.2062, 0.2081, 0.2682, 0.3667, 0.4438, 0.5561, 0.4537, 0.3975, 0.4199, 0.3763, 0.4942, 0.5664, 0.5072, 0.4187, 0.3881, 0.3894, 0.5325, 0.5252, 0.5252, 0.5384, 0.5748, 0.6304, 0.6251, 0.6251, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1970196818136092989", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-22T18:41:40+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this is one of the only stocks I'd be fine telling a friend to full port", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strong long NBIS as a full-port pick; implicitly bearish on IREN (more speculative), CRWV (worse valuation), ALAB (lower growth).", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@soulbiri1 Honestly $NBIS this is one of the only stocks I'd be fine telling a friend to full port. \n\nLess speculative than $IREN, better valuation than $CRWV, future growth higher than $ALAB.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Just convinced my wife to dump her entire IRA into Nebius.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": -0.06838650112454847, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06838650112454847, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06367767858332152, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07188632065539091, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0047088225412269535, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0034998195308424407, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011257078750597227, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011257078750597227, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01670064513942604, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012690665647306032, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005443566388828813, "bench_c_p1d": -0.001433586896708805, "ret_p1w": 0.03395875045402419, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03395875045402419, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0386975813257846, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.034211679241166526, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004738830871760413, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0002529287871423369, "ret_p1m": -0.02176359970012043, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02176359970012043, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.028436771240072378, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.005487703476814709, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.00667317153995195, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01627589622330572, "ret_p3m": -0.2674484291212419, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2674484291212419, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.28188952396505595, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24965457165159954, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014441094843814062, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01779385746964235, "ret_p6m": 0.09127583017082053, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.09127583017082053, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.08238010911942428, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.11519637919076353, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.008895721051396244, "bench_c_p6m": -0.023920549019943005, "price_path": [-0.5448, -0.5066, -0.5137, -0.481, -0.528, -0.5312, -0.5286, -0.5286, -0.5512, -0.5582, -0.568, -0.5644, -0.5844, -0.5127, -0.4978, -0.4999, -0.4963, -0.5048, -0.5087, -0.5215, -0.5133, -0.5107, -0.5181, -0.5052, -0.5272, -0.5189, -0.4894, -0.5122, -0.4918, -0.4825, -0.4832, -0.3873, -0.3548, -0.3411, -0.2933, -0.3374, -0.3578, -0.3281, -0.3195, -0.3697, -0.3671, -0.3792, -0.3529, -0.3432, -0.3388, -0.3424, -0.3242, -0.3591, -0.3591, -0.3835, -0.3841, -0.3911, -0.3858, -0.3991, -0.1021, -0.1239, -0.1633, -0.1519, -0.1467, -0.1611, -0.1174, -0.1171, -0.0684, 0.0, 0.0113, 0.0622, 0.0126, 0.0103, 0.034, 0.0532, 0.0845, 0.1808, 0.2006, 0.172, 0.1041, 0.1445, 0.2443, 0.2156, 0.2707, 0.2022, 0.1804, 0.1542, 0.0642, 0.0225, -0.0218, -0.0749, -0.0041, 0.1, 0.1766, 0.1429, 0.1735, 0.1649, 0.2272, 0.1301, 0.037, 0.0976, 0.0266, 0.0439, 0.0314, -0.0411, -0.1148, -0.1686, -0.2163, -0.1934, -0.1507, -0.1082, -0.206, -0.2189, -0.1379, -0.1662, -0.1117, -0.1117, -0.11, -0.0605, -0.0952, -0.072, -0.0356, -0.0803, -0.0588, -0.0956, -0.122, -0.1156, -0.1774, -0.2388, -0.2406, -0.2922, -0.2674, -0.1608, -0.1254, -0.1554, -0.1451, -0.1451, -0.1783, -0.1929, -0.201, -0.2148, -0.2148, -0.1562, -0.1292, -0.0597, -0.0975, -0.0872, -0.0813, 0.0068, -0.011, -0.0433, -0.0255, 0.02, 0.02, -0.0686, -0.0725, -0.0915, -0.1135, -0.142, -0.0819, -0.0579, -0.1097, -0.2008, -0.173, -0.1562, -0.2271, -0.307, -0.1923, -0.1287, -0.1389, -0.1688, -0.1583, -0.0806, -0.0806, -0.0852, -0.045, 0.0095, -0.0814, -0.0562, -0.0377, -0.0045, -0.0161, -0.1446, -0.1462, -0.1857, -0.0827, -0.1027, -0.162, -0.1094, -0.0954, 0.0506, 0.0135, 0.0596, 0.2181, 0.0913]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1970196818136092989", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-22T18:41:40+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Less speculative than $IREN", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strong long NBIS as a full-port pick; implicitly bearish on IREN (more speculative), CRWV (worse valuation), ALAB (lower growth).", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@soulbiri1 Honestly $NBIS this is one of the only stocks I'd be fine telling a friend to full port. \n\nLess speculative than $IREN, better valuation than $CRWV, future growth higher than $ALAB.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Just convinced my wife to dump her entire IRA into Nebius.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": -0.07780434409332848, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07780434409332848, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07309552155210153, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07913771723380814, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0047088225412269535, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0013333731404796545, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0031026506773500495, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0031026506773500495, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0023409157114787638, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0013418077011789764, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005443566388828813, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004444458378529026, "ret_p1w": 0.09618135161183239, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09618135161183239, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1009201824835928, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09377389806096481, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004738830871760413, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0024074535508675776, "ret_p1m": 0.31730304736943404, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.31730304736943404, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3106298758294821, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.34082151789717063, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.00667317153995195, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02351847052773659, "ret_p3m": -0.14558477486094568, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.14558477486094568, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.16002586970475974, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.15558482402609652, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014441094843814062, "bench_c_p3m": 0.010000049165150848, "ret_p6m": 0.025298270166865144, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.025298270166865144, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.0164025491154689, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.10431272407991599, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.008895721051396244, "bench_c_p6m": -0.07901445391305084, "price_path": [-0.7167, -0.6871, -0.6659, -0.6523, -0.6365, -0.6263, -0.5986, -0.5986, -0.5955, -0.5969, -0.5952, -0.5936, -0.6126, -0.5876, -0.5971, -0.5869, -0.5692, -0.5718, -0.5668, -0.5563, -0.5468, -0.5671, -0.5771, -0.6043, -0.6232, -0.6148, -0.6155, -0.6325, -0.6067, -0.6074, -0.5628, -0.5568, -0.5597, -0.5711, -0.5745, -0.5768, -0.5446, -0.5301, -0.5058, -0.553, -0.5284, -0.5325, -0.4885, -0.4482, -0.4513, -0.4665, -0.4501, -0.368, -0.368, -0.3053, -0.3267, -0.3764, -0.3759, -0.3749, -0.2795, -0.1974, -0.216, -0.1895, -0.1136, -0.1301, -0.0955, -0.1332, -0.0778, 0.0, -0.0031, 0.1251, 0.1048, -0.001, 0.0962, 0.12, 0.1236, 0.1222, 0.2043, 0.3783, 0.4721, 0.4341, 0.5239, 0.4265, 0.5308, 0.6601, 0.6224, 0.4757, 0.4492, 0.4134, 0.3173, 0.237, 0.3332, 0.5012, 0.5511, 0.4897, 0.442, 0.3895, 0.4499, 0.6169, 0.5902, 0.8236, 0.5981, 0.4888, 0.436, 0.3695, 0.3294, 0.1611, 0.1067, 0.1315, 0.1659, 0.0938, 0.0375, 0.0086, 0.1573, 0.1329, 0.1563, 0.1563, 0.1411, 0.1573, -0.0186, 0.0492, 0.1086, 0.0671, 0.106, 0.1179, 0.0482, 0.0487, -0.0422, -0.1532, -0.1267, -0.1938, -0.1456, -0.0473, 0.0033, 0.0041, 0.0019, 0.0019, -0.0382, -0.0594, -0.0859, -0.0986, -0.0986, 0.0191, 0.1513, 0.0957, 0.0412, 0.0902, 0.0986, 0.2012, 0.2647, 0.2621, 0.2384, 0.38, 0.38, 0.295, 0.2764, 0.2473, 0.3527, 0.2496, 0.4317, 0.5021, 0.4282, 0.2826, 0.2668, 0.2981, 0.0726, -0.0504, -0.0017, 0.1014, 0.0246, 0.0184, -0.0446, 0.0076, 0.0076, -0.0222, 0.0043, 0.0332, -0.0458, 0.011, 0.0847, 0.0508, 0.0558, -0.0227, -0.0122, -0.0728, 0.0463, -0.0424, -0.1241, -0.073, -0.0902, 0.0019, -0.0126, -0.0076, 0.0726, 0.0253]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1970196818136092989", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-09-22T18:41:40+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "better valuation than $CRWV", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strong long NBIS as a full-port pick; implicitly bearish on IREN (more speculative), CRWV (worse valuation), ALAB (lower growth).", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@soulbiri1 Honestly $NBIS this is one of the only stocks I'd be fine telling a friend to full port. \n\nLess speculative than $IREN, better valuation than $CRWV, future growth higher than $ALAB.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Just convinced my wife to dump her entire IRA into Nebius.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": -0.06282365372362908, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06282365372362908, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05811483118240213, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05811483118240213, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0047088225412269535, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0047088225412269535, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.017563584875256, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.017563584875256, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012120018486427186, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012120018486427186, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005443566388828813, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005443566388828813, "ret_p1w": -0.08038729586372617, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08038729586372617, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07564846499196576, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07564846499196576, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004738830871760413, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004738830871760413, "ret_p1m": -0.06132251317978954, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06132251317978954, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06799568471974149, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06799568471974149, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.00667317153995195, "bench_c_p1m": 0.00667317153995195, "ret_p3m": -0.4920062863051934, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4920062863051934, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5064473811490074, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5064473811490074, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014441094843814062, "bench_c_p3m": 0.014441094843814062, "ret_p6m": -0.38362226690661394, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.38362226690661394, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.3925179879580102, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.3925179879580102, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.008895721051396244, "bench_c_p6m": 0.008895721051396244, "price_path": [0.1972, 0.1865, 0.2009, 0.2239, 0.1705, 0.1392, 0.24, 0.24, 0.1987, 0.1368, 0.1488, 0.038, -0.0555, -0.0064, 0.0552, 0.0736, -0.0077, -0.0766, -0.0624, -0.026, -0.0539, -0.0993, -0.1322, -0.1723, -0.1838, -0.2277, -0.1434, -0.2183, -0.2043, -0.1605, -0.1726, -0.0912, -0.0276, 0.0492, 0.1165, -0.1161, -0.2531, -0.2496, -0.2734, -0.3028, -0.3131, -0.3185, -0.2945, -0.3066, -0.314, -0.2725, -0.2285, -0.2266, -0.2266, -0.2994, -0.3254, -0.3434, -0.3313, -0.2978, -0.2478, -0.1208, -0.1542, -0.1596, -0.0958, -0.1087, -0.0928, -0.0889, -0.0628, 0.0, -0.0176, 0.0013, -0.0493, -0.0967, -0.0804, 0.0272, 0.0287, 0.0358, 0.0117, 0.0047, -0.033, 0.0507, 0.0739, 0.039, 0.063, 0.0062, 0.0451, 0.0639, 0.0273, -0.0463, -0.0613, -0.0878, -0.0742, -0.0051, 0.0212, 0.0118, 0.0503, -0.0163, 0.0036, -0.0519, -0.1312, -0.1412, -0.1974, -0.2193, -0.2073, -0.3366, -0.3588, -0.412, -0.4193, -0.4346, -0.4378, -0.4377, -0.4805, -0.4622, -0.4476, -0.4649, -0.4424, -0.4424, -0.4512, -0.4216, -0.4293, -0.4043, -0.3564, -0.3372, -0.3527, -0.3195, -0.3383, -0.3441, -0.4101, -0.457, -0.4783, -0.5155, -0.492, -0.377, -0.3633, -0.3976, -0.408, -0.408, -0.4264, -0.4377, -0.4453, -0.4625, -0.4625, -0.4046, -0.4231, -0.415, -0.4207, -0.4214, -0.3985, -0.325, -0.3434, -0.326, -0.2869, -0.2402, -0.2402, -0.2853, -0.2941, -0.311, -0.3021, -0.2621, -0.1829, -0.2042, -0.2529, -0.3005, -0.3324, -0.324, -0.3811, -0.4397, -0.3249, -0.2735, -0.2861, -0.2858, -0.2817, -0.2791, -0.2791, -0.317, -0.2836, -0.2709, -0.3301, -0.3182, -0.2547, -0.2644, -0.2672, -0.4028, -0.4142, -0.4462, -0.4033, -0.4384, -0.4522, -0.4415, -0.4377, -0.3848, -0.4006, -0.3912, -0.3556, -0.3836]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1970196818136092989", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-09-22T18:41:40+00:00", "symbol": "ALAB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "future growth higher than $ALAB", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strong long NBIS as a full-port pick; implicitly bearish on IREN (more speculative), CRWV (worse valuation), ALAB (lower growth).", "resolved_tickers": ["ALAB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@soulbiri1 Honestly $NBIS this is one of the only stocks I'd be fine telling a friend to full port. \n\nLess speculative than $IREN, better valuation than $CRWV, future growth higher than $ALAB.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Just convinced my wife to dump her entire IRA into Nebius.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": 0.03329116643441976, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03329116643441976, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.037999988975646715, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.053342724189367474, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0047088225412269535, "bench_c_m1d": -0.020051557754947713, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.030299209224359025, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.030299209224359025, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02485564283553021, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.028840369910478114, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005443566388828813, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0014588393138809108, "ret_p1w": -0.16224188581911947, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16224188581911947, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15750305494735906, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.16376277307620124, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004738830871760413, "bench_c_p1w": 0.001520887257081771, "ret_p1m": -0.33624107677537096, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.33624107677537096, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3429142483153229, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.40803539306975, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.00667317153995195, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07179431629437905, "ret_p3m": -0.38525072479247113, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.38525072479247113, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3996918196362852, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4630978036931298, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014441094843814062, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07784707890065867, "ret_p6m": -0.46241045910564205, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.46241045910564205, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4713061801570383, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.6981398122487076, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.008895721051396244, "bench_c_p6m": 0.23572935314306553, "price_path": [-0.6223, -0.5872, -0.6164, -0.619, -0.6264, -0.6268, -0.6174, -0.6174, -0.6223, -0.611, -0.5792, -0.5912, -0.5959, -0.6194, -0.6108, -0.6126, -0.5872, -0.5696, -0.4863, -0.5073, -0.4965, -0.4872, -0.4849, -0.4772, -0.501, -0.4569, -0.4238, -0.4475, -0.4188, -0.4288, -0.2651, -0.2799, -0.2445, -0.2439, -0.1909, -0.184, -0.1964, -0.2168, -0.2144, -0.2791, -0.2733, -0.2519, -0.2453, -0.2661, -0.2475, -0.2448, -0.2029, -0.2322, -0.2322, -0.2657, -0.2558, -0.208, -0.1943, -0.0893, -0.0961, -0.0292, -0.0185, -0.0329, -0.0253, 0.0063, 0.0509, 0.0614, 0.0333, 0.0, -0.0303, -0.135, -0.1545, -0.1665, -0.1622, -0.1749, -0.1804, -0.1167, -0.1541, -0.0695, -0.1062, -0.0756, -0.05, -0.131, -0.1592, -0.3192, -0.3196, -0.3108, -0.3266, -0.3413, -0.3362, -0.3475, -0.3104, -0.3048, -0.2824, -0.291, -0.2684, -0.2855, -0.2133, -0.1928, -0.2444, -0.2333, -0.3138, -0.3026, -0.2678, -0.2939, -0.3351, -0.3912, -0.3917, -0.4042, -0.4121, -0.4016, -0.413, -0.4024, -0.3774, -0.3899, -0.3501, -0.3501, -0.336, -0.3039, -0.3976, -0.3574, -0.3573, -0.3206, -0.2594, -0.2959, -0.3076, -0.268, -0.3727, -0.3946, -0.3892, -0.409, -0.3853, -0.3072, -0.2726, -0.2885, -0.2837, -0.2837, -0.2952, -0.2832, -0.2801, -0.2989, -0.2989, -0.2433, -0.2958, -0.3215, -0.3014, -0.3395, -0.3147, -0.2728, -0.2391, -0.2746, -0.2649, -0.233, -0.233, -0.2257, -0.2583, -0.2568, -0.285, -0.3121, -0.2797, -0.2925, -0.3238, -0.3653, -0.3576, -0.332, -0.3903, -0.3981, -0.2842, -0.2091, -0.2294, -0.3944, -0.4666, -0.455, -0.455, -0.4788, -0.4539, -0.4411, -0.4535, -0.4596, -0.4589, -0.46, -0.4746, -0.4992, -0.492, -0.5373, -0.5206, -0.4943, -0.4977, -0.4846, -0.5091, -0.4745, -0.4947, -0.493, -0.4628, -0.4624]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1985743086153240654", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-04T16:16:59+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'll DCA another 6 figures into $META at $610", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Will DCA 6 figures into META at $610 and cost-average up on NBIS; calls both amazing buying opportunities now.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@rioferdy838 @Nykonikus @John12321043976 @DeepValueBagger I’ll DCA another 6 figures into $META at $610. For $NBIS I’ll always cost average up for longs if I trim other positions \n\nBut if others don’t have positions they want in those right now it’s an amazing buying opportunity", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @Nykonikus @John12321043976 @DeepValueBagger Are you buying any dips? Meta? NBIS? Or just sitting tight.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "rioferdy838", "ret_m1d": 0.016562565479468105, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016562565479468105, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004566833650648805, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009648290791865355, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0119957318288193, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0069142746876027505, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01375694996028587, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01375694996028587, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010291560763289631, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00834958719909551, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003465389196996238, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00540736276119036, "ret_p1w": -0.0003825219158256621, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0003825219158256621, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.011874640089406197, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.012704091298675224, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011492118173580534, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012321569382849562, "ret_p1m": 0.019575278851167388, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.019575278851167388, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.00676503829474151, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0009903014943830613, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012810240556425878, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02056558034555045, "ret_p3m": 0.14309184911581396, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.14309184911581396, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11528746647706756, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07520117527318182, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.027804382638746405, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06789067384263214, "ret_p6m": 0.06841655418410753, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.06841655418410753, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.00859825144575832, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.039852272536762046, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.059818302738349205, "bench_c_p6m": 0.02856428164734548, "price_path": [0.2136, 0.2255, 0.22, 0.2585, 0.2427, 0.2459, 0.2509, 0.2224, 0.1971, 0.1911, 0.1774, 0.2024, 0.2, 0.2013, 0.1906, 0.1965, 0.1768, 0.1768, 0.171, 0.1741, 0.1926, 0.1987, 0.1984, 0.2198, 0.1979, 0.1962, 0.2037, 0.2182, 0.241, 0.2357, 0.2429, 0.24, 0.2197, 0.2042, 0.2126, 0.1938, 0.1856, 0.185, 0.1707, 0.1435, 0.159, 0.1327, 0.1408, 0.1367, 0.1443, 0.1693, 0.1243, 0.1409, 0.1296, 0.1438, 0.1351, 0.1428, 0.1671, 0.1689, 0.1691, 0.1701, 0.177, 0.1969, 0.1979, 0.1982, 0.0624, 0.0335, 0.0166, 0.0, 0.0138, -0.0134, -0.0089, 0.0071, -0.0004, -0.0292, -0.0278, -0.0285, -0.0403, -0.0472, -0.059, -0.0608, -0.0527, -0.0227, 0.0142, 0.01, 0.01, 0.0329, 0.0216, 0.0315, 0.0196, 0.0545, 0.0735, 0.0629, 0.0472, 0.0364, 0.0405, 0.027, 0.033, 0.0484, 0.0362, 0.0601, 0.051, 0.0553, 0.0608, 0.065, 0.065, 0.0582, 0.0509, 0.0624, 0.0531, 0.0531, 0.0377, 0.051, 0.0539, 0.0349, 0.0307, 0.0419, 0.0242, 0.0068, -0.018, -0.0096, -0.0105, -0.0105, -0.0362, -0.0221, 0.0332, 0.051, 0.0727, 0.0736, 0.0669, 0.1779, 0.1431, 0.127, 0.1035, 0.0673, 0.0692, 0.0553, 0.0804, 0.0701, 0.0668, 0.0367, 0.0207, 0.0207, 0.0199, 0.0262, 0.0287, 0.046, 0.0167, 0.0199, 0.0429, 0.0482, 0.0341, 0.0427, 0.0451, 0.0653, 0.0539, 0.0288, 0.0328, 0.0435, 0.0448, 0.0181, -0.0209, 0.0019, -0.0058, -0.0169, -0.0313, -0.0521, -0.0355, -0.0533, -0.0501, -0.1257, -0.1606, -0.1435, -0.0865, -0.0751, -0.0827, -0.0827, -0.085, -0.0818, -0.0221, 0.0034, 0.0057, 0.0132, 0.0578, 0.0723, 0.0808, 0.0994, 0.0713, 0.068, 0.0774, 0.0525, 0.0779, 0.0836, 0.072, 0.0684]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1985743086153240654", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-04T16:16:59+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "For $NBIS I'll always cost average up for longs", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Will DCA 6 figures into META at $610 and cost-average up on NBIS; calls both amazing buying opportunities now.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@rioferdy838 @Nykonikus @John12321043976 @DeepValueBagger I’ll DCA another 6 figures into $META at $610. For $NBIS I’ll always cost average up for longs if I trim other positions \n\nBut if others don’t have positions they want in those right now it’s an amazing buying opportunity", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @Nykonikus @John12321043976 @DeepValueBagger Are you buying any dips? Meta? NBIS? Or just sitting tight.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "rioferdy838", "ret_m1d": 0.0898317371352666, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0898317371352666, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0778360053064473, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08291746244766385, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0119957318288193, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0069142746876027505, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05844037480521891, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05844037480521891, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05497498560822267, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05303301204402855, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003465389196996238, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00540736276119036, "ret_p1w": -0.07526686833648766, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07526686833648766, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08675898651006819, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08758843771933722, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011492118173580534, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012321569382849562, "ret_p1m": -0.10512034241307655, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10512034241307655, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11793058296950243, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.125685922758627, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012810240556425878, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02056558034555045, "ret_p3m": -0.22932873407060217, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22932873407060217, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2571331167093486, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2972194079132343, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.027804382638746405, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06789067384263214, "ret_p6m": 0.2772752060071093, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.2772752060071093, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2174569032687601, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.24871092435976383, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.059818302738349205, "bench_c_p6m": 0.02856428164734548, "price_path": [-0.4092, -0.3778, -0.3646, -0.3185, -0.361, -0.3807, -0.3521, -0.3438, -0.3922, -0.3896, -0.4013, -0.376, -0.3666, -0.3624, -0.3658, -0.3483, -0.3819, -0.3819, -0.4055, -0.4061, -0.4128, -0.4077, -0.4205, -0.1341, -0.1551, -0.1931, -0.1821, -0.1771, -0.191, -0.1489, -0.1485, -0.1016, -0.0356, -0.0248, 0.0243, -0.0235, -0.0257, -0.0029, 0.0157, 0.0459, 0.1387, 0.1578, 0.1303, 0.0648, 0.1037, 0.1999, 0.1722, 0.2254, 0.1593, 0.1383, 0.1131, 0.0262, -0.0139, -0.0566, -0.1078, -0.0396, 0.0608, 0.1347, 0.1021, 0.1317, 0.1234, 0.1835, 0.0898, 0.0, 0.0584, -0.01, 0.0067, -0.0053, -0.0753, -0.1464, -0.1982, -0.2443, -0.2222, -0.1809, -0.1399, -0.2343, -0.2468, -0.1686, -0.1959, -0.1434, -0.1434, -0.1418, -0.094, -0.1275, -0.1051, -0.07, -0.1131, -0.0924, -0.1278, -0.1533, -0.1471, -0.2067, -0.266, -0.2677, -0.3174, -0.2936, -0.1907, -0.1566, -0.1855, -0.1756, -0.1756, -0.2076, -0.2216, -0.2295, -0.2428, -0.2428, -0.1863, -0.1602, -0.0932, -0.1296, -0.1198, -0.1141, -0.029, -0.0462, -0.0774, -0.0602, -0.0164, -0.0164, -0.1018, -0.1056, -0.1238, -0.1451, -0.1726, -0.1146, -0.0915, -0.1414, -0.2293, -0.2025, -0.1863, -0.2547, -0.3317, -0.2211, -0.1598, -0.1696, -0.1984, -0.1883, -0.1134, -0.1134, -0.1178, -0.0791, -0.0265, -0.1142, -0.0898, -0.072, -0.04, -0.0512, -0.175, -0.1767, -0.2148, -0.1154, -0.1347, -0.1919, -0.1411, -0.1276, 0.0132, -0.0226, 0.0218, 0.1747, 0.0524, 0.0726, 0.0993, 0.064, 0.0327, 0.0395, 0.0412, -0.0413, -0.0879, -0.1654, -0.0613, -0.0777, -0.0156, -0.0156, 0.0181, 0.0621, 0.1308, 0.2333, 0.3115, 0.3982, 0.465, 0.5087, 0.4957, 0.4216, 0.4398, 0.4162, 0.4125, 0.421, 0.3313, 0.3114, 0.2259, 0.2773]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1983030739332673923", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-28T04:39:05+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "consolidating into likely winners like $NBIS. When Nebius already has hyperscaler contracts + large moats in full stack + high gross margins + high cash balances + subsidiaries, the downside risk is a lot less, and the asymmetrical upside is a lot higher.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS and CRWV as full-stack Neocloud winners with moats/margins; sold off HPC miner pivots CIFR, IREN, WYFI, WULF due to lack of asymmetric upside and execution risk.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The harsh reality is:\n\nMany of these HPC miner pivots will fail.\n\nThe lack of asymmetrical upside is why I sold off miners like $CIFR, $IREN, $WYFI, and $WULF and into full-stack AWS Neoclouds like $NBIS\n\nHowever, miners that pivot well like $CRWV have very high upside 📈\n\nWhy?\n\nAs a trader, I rode almost every single Neocloud from  $BITF to $IREN as a narrative momentum trade. And most are up 50%-250%+.\n\nBut none of them aside from $CRWV have contracted AI workloads or cash-flow visibility at scale. Currently, many just look at Coreweave when it comes time to execution.\n\nWhen the new report that $ORCL, a $800B hyperscaler, lost $100M on their buildout and only had 14% gross margins, this should have sent alarm bells regarding moats, buildout risks, and margins.\n\nI took this as a lesson that HPC is actually a huge moat and gross margins matter a ton more than capacity buildout. These tradeoffs are what people should think of when weighing the execution risk when putting money into $200M market caps like $SLNH.\n\nThis is not a bear post, I am still bullish on the Neocloud buildout as a whole, this about execution risks and the reality of the situation. \n\nHowever, my guess is: The market will price this in before earning reports come out and margins are scrutinized. \n\nWe will likely see several popular names sell-off and consolidate into the Neocloud winners whether that's $NBIS or $IREN, and people are free to speculate which one will succeed.\n\nThe reality is when there's a new emerging market, not every company succeeds. But if you choose the right winner like $NVDA, there's generational returns.\n\nI just started early, selling off many miners like $CIFR to $SLNH to $IREN to $BITF and consolidating into likely winners like $NBIS.\n\nWhen Nebius already has hyperscaler contracts + large moats in full stack + high gross margins + high cash balances + subsidiaries, the downside risk is a lot less, and the asymmetrical upside is a lot higher.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The Neocloud thesis aged well. \n\n1 month later: \n\n$CRWV 120.34 → 135.64 (+12.7%)\n$NBIS 107.70 → 126.49 (+17.5%)\n$WULF 10.63 → 13.69 (+28.8%)\n$IREN 41.68 → 64.69 (+55.2%)\n$CIFR 11.47 → 20.70 (+80.4%)\n$BITF 2.54 → 4.51 (+77.6%)\n$WYFI 22.83 → 36.52 (+59.9%)\n$GRRR 19.90 →", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.029549359107072126, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.029549359107072126, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03219832241986831, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0245741950790046, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002648963312796182, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004975164028067525, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02684065167790939, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02684065167790939, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.026360264638013664, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.029328167827136653, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004803870398957244, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0024875161492272646, "ret_p1w": -0.0926701202154091, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0926701202154091, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07546642127987246, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06033181749219574, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017203698935536638, "bench_c_p1w": -0.032338302723213364, "ret_p1m": -0.22276942445822412, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.22276942445822412, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.21202803457174269, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.20458448069194934, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010741389886481434, "bench_c_p1m": -0.018184943766274775, "ret_p3m": -0.22432899466712652, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22432899466712652, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23045153955164333, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23083650341973594, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006122544884516801, "bench_c_p3m": 0.006507508752609414, "ret_p6m": 0.28162190792849584, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.28162190792849584, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.24057798588324242, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2639601283207009, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04104392204525342, "bench_c_p6m": 0.017661779607794914, "price_path": [-0.5532, -0.5732, -0.5554, -0.5472, -0.5478, -0.4639, -0.4354, -0.4235, -0.3817, -0.4203, -0.4381, -0.4121, -0.4046, -0.4485, -0.4462, -0.4568, -0.4338, -0.4253, -0.4215, -0.4246, -0.4087, -0.4392, -0.4392, -0.4606, -0.4611, -0.4672, -0.4626, -0.4742, -0.2143, -0.2334, -0.2679, -0.2579, -0.2534, -0.2659, -0.2278, -0.2274, -0.1848, -0.125, -0.1152, -0.0706, -0.114, -0.116, -0.0953, -0.0785, -0.0511, 0.0332, 0.0505, 0.0255, -0.0339, 0.0014, 0.0887, 0.0636, 0.1119, 0.0519, 0.0328, 0.0099, -0.0689, -0.1053, -0.1441, -0.1905, -0.1286, -0.0375, 0.0295, 0.0, 0.0268, 0.0193, 0.0738, -0.0112, -0.0927, -0.0396, -0.1017, -0.0866, -0.0975, -0.161, -0.2255, -0.2725, -0.3143, -0.2943, -0.2568, -0.2197, -0.3053, -0.3166, -0.2457, -0.2705, -0.2228, -0.2228, -0.2213, -0.178, -0.2083, -0.188, -0.1562, -0.1953, -0.1765, -0.2087, -0.2318, -0.2261, -0.2802, -0.334, -0.3355, -0.3807, -0.359, -0.2657, -0.2348, -0.261, -0.252, -0.252, -0.281, -0.2938, -0.3009, -0.3129, -0.3129, -0.2617, -0.238, -0.1772, -0.2103, -0.2013, -0.1962, -0.119, -0.1346, -0.1629, -0.1473, -0.1075, -0.1075, -0.185, -0.1885, -0.205, -0.2243, -0.2493, -0.1967, -0.1757, -0.221, -0.3007, -0.2764, -0.2617, -0.3237, -0.3937, -0.2933, -0.2376, -0.2466, -0.2727, -0.2635, -0.1955, -0.1955, -0.1995, -0.1644, -0.1167, -0.1963, -0.1742, -0.158, -0.129, -0.1391, -0.2515, -0.253, -0.2875, -0.1974, -0.2149, -0.2668, -0.2207, -0.2085, -0.0807, -0.1132, -0.0729, 0.0658, -0.0451, -0.0268, -0.0025, -0.0346, -0.063, -0.0568, -0.0553, -0.1302, -0.1725, -0.2427, -0.1483, -0.1632, -0.1068, -0.1068, -0.0763, -0.0364, 0.026, 0.119, 0.1899, 0.2687, 0.3292, 0.3689, 0.3571, 0.2898, 0.3064, 0.285, 0.2816]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1983030739332673923", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-10-28T04:39:05+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "miners that pivot well like $CRWV have very high upside", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS and CRWV as full-stack Neocloud winners with moats/margins; sold off HPC miner pivots CIFR, IREN, WYFI, WULF due to lack of asymmetric upside and execution risk.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The harsh reality is:\n\nMany of these HPC miner pivots will fail.\n\nThe lack of asymmetrical upside is why I sold off miners like $CIFR, $IREN, $WYFI, and $WULF and into full-stack AWS Neoclouds like $NBIS\n\nHowever, miners that pivot well like $CRWV have very high upside 📈\n\nWhy?\n\nAs a trader, I rode almost every single Neocloud from  $BITF to $IREN as a narrative momentum trade. And most are up 50%-250%+.\n\nBut none of them aside from $CRWV have contracted AI workloads or cash-flow visibility at scale. Currently, many just look at Coreweave when it comes time to execution.\n\nWhen the new report that $ORCL, a $800B hyperscaler, lost $100M on their buildout and only had 14% gross margins, this should have sent alarm bells regarding moats, buildout risks, and margins.\n\nI took this as a lesson that HPC is actually a huge moat and gross margins matter a ton more than capacity buildout. These tradeoffs are what people should think of when weighing the execution risk when putting money into $200M market caps like $SLNH.\n\nThis is not a bear post, I am still bullish on the Neocloud buildout as a whole, this about execution risks and the reality of the situation. \n\nHowever, my guess is: The market will price this in before earning reports come out and margins are scrutinized. \n\nWe will likely see several popular names sell-off and consolidate into the Neocloud winners whether that's $NBIS or $IREN, and people are free to speculate which one will succeed.\n\nThe reality is when there's a new emerging market, not every company succeeds. But if you choose the right winner like $NVDA, there's generational returns.\n\nI just started early, selling off many miners like $CIFR to $SLNH to $IREN to $BITF and consolidating into likely winners like $NBIS.\n\nWhen Nebius already has hyperscaler contracts + large moats in full stack + high gross margins + high cash balances + subsidiaries, the downside risk is a lot less, and the asymmetrical upside is a lot higher.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The Neocloud thesis aged well. \n\n1 month later: \n\n$CRWV 120.34 → 135.64 (+12.7%)\n$NBIS 107.70 → 126.49 (+17.5%)\n$WULF 10.63 → 13.69 (+28.8%)\n$IREN 41.68 → 64.69 (+55.2%)\n$CIFR 11.47 → 20.70 (+80.4%)\n$BITF 2.54 → 4.51 (+77.6%)\n$WYFI 22.83 → 36.52 (+59.9%)\n$GRRR 19.90 →", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.009347140046815472, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.009347140046815472, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.011996103359611654, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011996103359611654, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002648963312796182, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002648963312796182, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.038056301987276164, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.038056301987276164, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03757591494738044, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03757591494738044, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004803870398957244, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0004803870398957244, "ret_p1w": -0.1413204942172247, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1413204942172247, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.12411679528168806, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12411679528168806, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017203698935536638, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017203698935536638, "ret_p1m": -0.4488872460410631, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.4488872460410631, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.4381458561545817, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.4381458561545817, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010741389886481434, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010741389886481434, "ret_p3m": -0.3102373794366089, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3102373794366089, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3163599243211257, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3163599243211257, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006122544884516801, "bench_c_p3m": 0.006122544884516801, "ret_p6m": -0.0909495686845283, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.0909495686845283, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.13199349072978173, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.13199349072978173, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04104392204525342, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04104392204525342, "price_path": [-0.1533, -0.2274, -0.2136, -0.1703, -0.1822, -0.1018, -0.0389, 0.0369, 0.1035, -0.1264, -0.2618, -0.2584, -0.2819, -0.3109, -0.3211, -0.3265, -0.3027, -0.3147, -0.322, -0.2809, -0.2375, -0.2356, -0.2356, -0.3076, -0.3332, -0.351, -0.3391, -0.306, -0.2565, -0.131, -0.164, -0.1694, -0.1063, -0.1191, -0.1034, -0.0995, -0.0737, -0.0116, -0.029, -0.0104, -0.0604, -0.1073, -0.0911, 0.0152, 0.0167, 0.0237, -0.0001, -0.007, -0.0443, 0.0384, 0.0614, 0.0269, 0.0506, -0.0055, 0.0329, 0.0515, 0.0154, -0.0574, -0.0723, -0.0984, -0.085, -0.0167, 0.0093, 0.0, 0.0381, -0.0277, -0.0081, -0.0629, -0.1413, -0.1512, -0.2068, -0.2284, -0.2165, -0.3443, -0.3662, -0.4188, -0.4261, -0.4412, -0.4444, -0.4442, -0.4866, -0.4685, -0.454, -0.4711, -0.4489, -0.4489, -0.4576, -0.4283, -0.436, -0.4113, -0.3639, -0.345, -0.3602, -0.3274, -0.346, -0.3518, -0.417, -0.4633, -0.4844, -0.5211, -0.4979, -0.3843, -0.3707, -0.4046, -0.4149, -0.4149, -0.4331, -0.4442, -0.4518, -0.4688, -0.4688, -0.4116, -0.4298, -0.4218, -0.4274, -0.4281, -0.4055, -0.3329, -0.351, -0.3338, -0.2952, -0.249, -0.249, -0.2936, -0.3023, -0.3191, -0.3102, -0.2707, -0.1924, -0.2135, -0.2616, -0.3087, -0.3402, -0.3319, -0.3883, -0.4462, -0.3327, -0.282, -0.2944, -0.2941, -0.2901, -0.2875, -0.2875, -0.3249, -0.2919, -0.2794, -0.3379, -0.3261, -0.2634, -0.2729, -0.2757, -0.4098, -0.421, -0.4527, -0.4102, -0.445, -0.4585, -0.448, -0.4442, -0.392, -0.4076, -0.3983, -0.3631, -0.3908, -0.3856, -0.4016, -0.3956, -0.392, -0.3841, -0.3503, -0.4032, -0.445, -0.487, -0.4253, -0.4181, -0.3899, -0.3899, -0.3996, -0.3677, -0.3405, -0.3175, -0.2433, -0.182, -0.1306, -0.1195, -0.1131, -0.1332, -0.1289, -0.1457, -0.0909]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1983030739332673923", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-10-28T04:39:05+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I sold off miners like $CIFR, $IREN, $WYFI, and $WULF", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS and CRWV as full-stack Neocloud winners with moats/margins; sold off HPC miner pivots CIFR, IREN, WYFI, WULF due to lack of asymmetric upside and execution risk.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The harsh reality is:\n\nMany of these HPC miner pivots will fail.\n\nThe lack of asymmetrical upside is why I sold off miners like $CIFR, $IREN, $WYFI, and $WULF and into full-stack AWS Neoclouds like $NBIS\n\nHowever, miners that pivot well like $CRWV have very high upside 📈\n\nWhy?\n\nAs a trader, I rode almost every single Neocloud from  $BITF to $IREN as a narrative momentum trade. And most are up 50%-250%+.\n\nBut none of them aside from $CRWV have contracted AI workloads or cash-flow visibility at scale. Currently, many just look at Coreweave when it comes time to execution.\n\nWhen the new report that $ORCL, a $800B hyperscaler, lost $100M on their buildout and only had 14% gross margins, this should have sent alarm bells regarding moats, buildout risks, and margins.\n\nI took this as a lesson that HPC is actually a huge moat and gross margins matter a ton more than capacity buildout. These tradeoffs are what people should think of when weighing the execution risk when putting money into $200M market caps like $SLNH.\n\nThis is not a bear post, I am still bullish on the Neocloud buildout as a whole, this about execution risks and the reality of the situation. \n\nHowever, my guess is: The market will price this in before earning reports come out and margins are scrutinized. \n\nWe will likely see several popular names sell-off and consolidate into the Neocloud winners whether that's $NBIS or $IREN, and people are free to speculate which one will succeed.\n\nThe reality is when there's a new emerging market, not every company succeeds. But if you choose the right winner like $NVDA, there's generational returns.\n\nI just started early, selling off many miners like $CIFR to $SLNH to $IREN to $BITF and consolidating into likely winners like $NBIS.\n\nWhen Nebius already has hyperscaler contracts + large moats in full stack + high gross margins + high cash balances + subsidiaries, the downside risk is a lot less, and the asymmetrical upside is a lot higher.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The Neocloud thesis aged well. \n\n1 month later: \n\n$CRWV 120.34 → 135.64 (+12.7%)\n$NBIS 107.70 → 126.49 (+17.5%)\n$WULF 10.63 → 13.69 (+28.8%)\n$IREN 41.68 → 64.69 (+55.2%)\n$CIFR 11.47 → 20.70 (+80.4%)\n$BITF 2.54 → 4.51 (+77.6%)\n$WYFI 22.83 → 36.52 (+59.9%)\n$GRRR 19.90 →", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02905820930151659, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02905820930151659, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03170717261431277, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03886071900749599, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002648963312796182, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0098025097059794, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.018537021485767302, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.018537021485767302, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.019017408525663027, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02572343415840328, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004803870398957244, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007186412672635978, "ret_p1w": 0.12775557421707928, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12775557421707928, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.14495927315261592, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.15431533365046834, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017203698935536638, "bench_c_p1w": -0.026559759433389063, "ret_p1m": -0.04058113742963543, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04058113742963543, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.029839747543153994, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01962547687522853, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010741389886481434, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06020661430486396, "ret_p3m": -0.11973945387140184, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11973945387140184, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.12586199875591864, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08218527657331509, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006122544884516801, "bench_c_p3m": -0.037554177298086744, "ret_p6m": -0.026052032778877132, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.026052032778877132, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.06709595482413055, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.07603647138972902, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04104392204525342, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04998443861085189, "price_path": [-0.7265, -0.753, -0.74, -0.749, -0.739, -0.756, -0.762, -0.7615, -0.7635, -0.7545, -0.7335, -0.739, -0.6969, -0.7114, -0.7019, -0.7044, -0.6804, -0.6673, -0.6433, -0.6498, -0.6483, -0.6172, -0.6172, -0.5832, -0.5937, -0.6293, -0.6232, -0.6132, -0.5381, -0.4865, -0.5005, -0.4564, -0.4564, -0.4233, -0.3798, -0.4063, -0.3848, -0.3006, -0.2911, -0.2916, -0.4158, -0.4254, -0.3662, -0.3692, -0.3687, -0.3081, -0.2635, -0.2315, -0.2109, -0.1182, -0.0987, -0.1498, 0.019, 0.0466, 0.0536, -0.0621, -0.0601, -0.0025, -0.0944, -0.1929, -0.1355, 0.0351, 0.0291, 0.0, -0.0185, -0.0446, -0.0656, 0.1403, 0.1278, 0.238, 0.0877, 0.0366, -0.0155, -0.0646, -0.1293, -0.252, -0.2806, -0.2811, -0.2695, -0.2675, -0.2705, -0.2911, -0.1628, -0.1222, -0.0406, -0.0406, 0.0195, -0.0135, -0.1162, -0.0666, -0.0065, -0.0341, -0.024, -0.02, -0.0741, -0.0541, -0.1458, -0.2615, -0.249, -0.2791, -0.241, -0.1879, -0.1814, -0.2029, -0.1874, -0.1874, -0.239, -0.2445, -0.269, -0.2605, -0.2605, -0.1884, -0.0902, -0.1212, -0.1944, -0.1708, -0.1668, -0.1142, -0.0857, -0.0917, -0.1222, -0.0581, -0.0581, -0.1022, -0.1122, -0.1288, -0.1197, -0.1738, -0.0606, -0.0496, -0.1132, -0.2004, -0.2079, -0.1854, -0.2861, -0.3637, -0.262, -0.1603, -0.1433, -0.1844, -0.1934, -0.1774, -0.1774, -0.2164, -0.2275, -0.2084, -0.266, -0.2375, -0.1423, -0.1678, -0.1743, -0.2184, -0.2104, -0.263, -0.1964, -0.241, -0.3176, -0.2831, -0.3006, -0.2931, -0.3131, -0.2946, -0.2415, -0.244, -0.265, -0.2665, -0.2981, -0.254, -0.2545, -0.2044, -0.2811, -0.3114, -0.398, -0.3552, -0.3667, -0.3577, -0.3577, -0.3312, -0.2981, -0.2275, -0.1804, -0.1718, -0.1102, -0.0757, -0.0982, -0.1313, -0.0296, -0.0336, -0.0962, -0.0261]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1983030739332673923", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2025-10-28T04:39:05+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I sold off miners like $CIFR, $IREN, $WYFI, and $WULF", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS and CRWV as full-stack Neocloud winners with moats/margins; sold off HPC miner pivots CIFR, IREN, WYFI, WULF due to lack of asymmetric upside and execution risk.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The harsh reality is:\n\nMany of these HPC miner pivots will fail.\n\nThe lack of asymmetrical upside is why I sold off miners like $CIFR, $IREN, $WYFI, and $WULF and into full-stack AWS Neoclouds like $NBIS\n\nHowever, miners that pivot well like $CRWV have very high upside 📈\n\nWhy?\n\nAs a trader, I rode almost every single Neocloud from  $BITF to $IREN as a narrative momentum trade. And most are up 50%-250%+.\n\nBut none of them aside from $CRWV have contracted AI workloads or cash-flow visibility at scale. Currently, many just look at Coreweave when it comes time to execution.\n\nWhen the new report that $ORCL, a $800B hyperscaler, lost $100M on their buildout and only had 14% gross margins, this should have sent alarm bells regarding moats, buildout risks, and margins.\n\nI took this as a lesson that HPC is actually a huge moat and gross margins matter a ton more than capacity buildout. These tradeoffs are what people should think of when weighing the execution risk when putting money into $200M market caps like $SLNH.\n\nThis is not a bear post, I am still bullish on the Neocloud buildout as a whole, this about execution risks and the reality of the situation. \n\nHowever, my guess is: The market will price this in before earning reports come out and margins are scrutinized. \n\nWe will likely see several popular names sell-off and consolidate into the Neocloud winners whether that's $NBIS or $IREN, and people are free to speculate which one will succeed.\n\nThe reality is when there's a new emerging market, not every company succeeds. But if you choose the right winner like $NVDA, there's generational returns.\n\nI just started early, selling off many miners like $CIFR to $SLNH to $IREN to $BITF and consolidating into likely winners like $NBIS.\n\nWhen Nebius already has hyperscaler contracts + large moats in full stack + high gross margins + high cash balances + subsidiaries, the downside risk is a lot less, and the asymmetrical upside is a lot higher.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The Neocloud thesis aged well. \n\n1 month later: \n\n$CRWV 120.34 → 135.64 (+12.7%)\n$NBIS 107.70 → 126.49 (+17.5%)\n$WULF 10.63 → 13.69 (+28.8%)\n$IREN 41.68 → 64.69 (+55.2%)\n$CIFR 11.47 → 20.70 (+80.4%)\n$BITF 2.54 → 4.51 (+77.6%)\n$WYFI 22.83 → 36.52 (+59.9%)\n$GRRR 19.90 →", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04117269737606022, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04117269737606022, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0438216606888564, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0347564151049502, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002648963312796182, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006416282271110019, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03204101343589949, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03204101343589949, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.032521400475795215, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015056642867497527, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004803870398957244, "bench_c_p1d": -0.016984370568401963, "ret_p1w": 0.06744631861535644, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06744631861535644, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08465001755089308, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07820319798033304, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017203698935536638, "bench_c_p1w": -0.010756879364976601, "ret_p1m": -0.2238064372926576, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2238064372926576, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.21306504740617616, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.22305156346971544, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010741389886481434, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0007548738229421481, "ret_p3m": -0.09195767433753699, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09195767433753699, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09808021922205379, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09696768099024378, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006122544884516801, "bench_c_p3m": 0.005010006652706789, "ret_p6m": -0.22476768969655248, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.22476768969655248, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2658116117418059, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.21857389043751385, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04104392204525342, "bench_c_p6m": -0.006193799259038624, "price_path": [-0.7419, -0.7533, -0.736, -0.7365, -0.7065, -0.7025, -0.7044, -0.7121, -0.7144, -0.716, -0.6943, -0.6846, -0.6683, -0.6999, -0.6834, -0.6862, -0.6567, -0.6296, -0.6317, -0.6419, -0.6309, -0.5758, -0.5758, -0.5336, -0.5481, -0.5814, -0.5811, -0.5804, -0.5163, -0.4612, -0.4737, -0.4559, -0.405, -0.4161, -0.3928, -0.4181, -0.381, -0.3287, -0.3308, -0.2448, -0.2584, -0.3294, -0.2642, -0.2482, -0.2458, -0.2467, -0.1916, -0.0748, -0.0119, -0.0373, 0.0229, -0.0425, 0.0276, 0.1144, 0.0891, -0.0095, -0.0272, -0.0513, -0.1157, -0.1697, -0.1051, 0.0077, 0.0412, 0.0, -0.032, -0.0673, -0.0268, 0.0854, 0.0674, 0.2241, 0.0727, -0.0006, -0.036, -0.0807, -0.1077, -0.2206, -0.2571, -0.2405, -0.2174, -0.2658, -0.3036, -0.323, -0.2232, -0.2395, -0.2238, -0.2238, -0.2341, -0.2232, -0.3412, -0.2957, -0.2558, -0.2837, -0.2576, -0.2496, -0.2964, -0.2961, -0.3571, -0.4316, -0.4138, -0.4588, -0.4265, -0.3605, -0.3265, -0.326, -0.3275, -0.3275, -0.3544, -0.3686, -0.3864, -0.3949, -0.3949, -0.3159, -0.2272, -0.2645, -0.3011, -0.2682, -0.2626, -0.1937, -0.1511, -0.1528, -0.1687, -0.0737, -0.0737, -0.1307, -0.1432, -0.1628, -0.092, -0.1612, -0.0389, 0.0083, -0.0413, -0.1391, -0.1496, -0.1286, -0.28, -0.3625, -0.3299, -0.2607, -0.3122, -0.3164, -0.3587, -0.3236, -0.3236, -0.3436, -0.3259, -0.3065, -0.3595, -0.3214, -0.2719, -0.2946, -0.2913, -0.344, -0.3369, -0.3776, -0.2977, -0.3572, -0.412, -0.3778, -0.3893, -0.3275, -0.3372, -0.3339, -0.28, -0.3118, -0.3238, -0.3326, -0.3385, -0.3246, -0.3412, -0.3363, -0.4, -0.4378, -0.4934, -0.4508, -0.4539, -0.443, -0.443, -0.4372, -0.4274, -0.41, -0.4063, -0.3701, -0.31, -0.2411, -0.2179, -0.2358, -0.2291, -0.2195, -0.2764, -0.2248]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1983030739332673923", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2025-10-28T04:39:05+00:00", "symbol": "WYFI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I sold off miners like $CIFR, $IREN, $WYFI, and $WULF", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS and CRWV as full-stack Neocloud winners with moats/margins; sold off HPC miner pivots CIFR, IREN, WYFI, WULF due to lack of asymmetric upside and execution risk.", "resolved_tickers": ["WYFI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The harsh reality is:\n\nMany of these HPC miner pivots will fail.\n\nThe lack of asymmetrical upside is why I sold off miners like $CIFR, $IREN, $WYFI, and $WULF and into full-stack AWS Neoclouds like $NBIS\n\nHowever, miners that pivot well like $CRWV have very high upside 📈\n\nWhy?\n\nAs a trader, I rode almost every single Neocloud from  $BITF to $IREN as a narrative momentum trade. And most are up 50%-250%+.\n\nBut none of them aside from $CRWV have contracted AI workloads or cash-flow visibility at scale. Currently, many just look at Coreweave when it comes time to execution.\n\nWhen the new report that $ORCL, a $800B hyperscaler, lost $100M on their buildout and only had 14% gross margins, this should have sent alarm bells regarding moats, buildout risks, and margins.\n\nI took this as a lesson that HPC is actually a huge moat and gross margins matter a ton more than capacity buildout. These tradeoffs are what people should think of when weighing the execution risk when putting money into $200M market caps like $SLNH.\n\nThis is not a bear post, I am still bullish on the Neocloud buildout as a whole, this about execution risks and the reality of the situation. \n\nHowever, my guess is: The market will price this in before earning reports come out and margins are scrutinized. \n\nWe will likely see several popular names sell-off and consolidate into the Neocloud winners whether that's $NBIS or $IREN, and people are free to speculate which one will succeed.\n\nThe reality is when there's a new emerging market, not every company succeeds. But if you choose the right winner like $NVDA, there's generational returns.\n\nI just started early, selling off many miners like $CIFR to $SLNH to $IREN to $BITF and consolidating into likely winners like $NBIS.\n\nWhen Nebius already has hyperscaler contracts + large moats in full stack + high gross margins + high cash balances + subsidiaries, the downside risk is a lot less, and the asymmetrical upside is a lot higher.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The Neocloud thesis aged well. \n\n1 month later: \n\n$CRWV 120.34 → 135.64 (+12.7%)\n$NBIS 107.70 → 126.49 (+17.5%)\n$WULF 10.63 → 13.69 (+28.8%)\n$IREN 41.68 → 64.69 (+55.2%)\n$CIFR 11.47 → 20.70 (+80.4%)\n$BITF 2.54 → 4.51 (+77.6%)\n$WYFI 22.83 → 36.52 (+59.9%)\n$GRRR 19.90 →", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.09249412098113918, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09249412098113918, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09514308429393536, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.10229663068711858, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002648963312796182, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0098025097059794, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0017730902192808484, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0017730902192808484, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.002253477259176573, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008959502891916826, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004803870398957244, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007186412672635978, "ret_p1w": -0.09958631276707253, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09958631276707253, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08238261383153589, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07302655333368346, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017203698935536638, "bench_c_p1w": -0.026559759433389063, "ret_p1m": -0.4143026121319773, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4143026121319773, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.40356122224549584, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3540959978271133, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010741389886481434, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06020661430486396, "ret_p3m": -0.40573284516331, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.40573284516331, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4118553900478268, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.36817866786522324, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006122544884516801, "bench_c_p3m": -0.037554177298086744, "ret_p6m": -0.4893616841392351, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4893616841392351, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.5304056061844885, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.539346122750087, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04104392204525342, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04998443861085189, "price_path": [null, null, null, null, null, -0.5207, -0.5479, -0.5653, -0.5446, -0.4882, -0.4728, -0.495, -0.4477, -0.497, -0.5059, -0.5062, -0.495, -0.5106, -0.5071, -0.5006, -0.4973, -0.5003, -0.5003, -0.4707, -0.5062, -0.5195, -0.5171, -0.5272, -0.4566, -0.3032, -0.3921, -0.4105, -0.4093, -0.4303, -0.3809, -0.3082, -0.2228, -0.172, -0.1705, -0.2243, -0.3029, -0.3254, -0.2098, -0.1971, -0.0547, -0.0047, -0.078, 0.0027, -0.0062, 0.0133, -0.003, -0.0239, 0.1563, 0.1123, 0.0839, -0.0709, -0.1055, -0.0544, -0.1182, -0.1797, -0.1435, 0.0059, 0.0925, 0.0, -0.0018, -0.0479, 0.0044, -0.0361, -0.0996, -0.094, -0.1711, -0.1504, -0.1415, -0.2373, -0.328, -0.4128, -0.4681, -0.4607, -0.5018, -0.4855, -0.4861, -0.4876, -0.4511, -0.4734, -0.4143, -0.4143, -0.3667, -0.4184, -0.4371, -0.4258, -0.3771, -0.4258, -0.4311, -0.4102, -0.4341, -0.4486, -0.4495, -0.5505, -0.5544, -0.5813, -0.5774, -0.5053, -0.4589, -0.4793, -0.4873, -0.4873, -0.5103, -0.523, -0.5405, -0.5331, -0.5331, -0.5027, -0.4805, -0.4764, -0.505, -0.477, -0.4764, -0.448, -0.4554, -0.3836, -0.4551, -0.4246, -0.4246, -0.4335, -0.3995, -0.4181, -0.4057, -0.3933, -0.3617, -0.3452, -0.3493, -0.4235, -0.4241, -0.4548, -0.5233, -0.5745, -0.4514, -0.4134, -0.4288, -0.4447, -0.4625, -0.4261, -0.4261, -0.456, -0.4846, -0.4728, -0.5009, -0.4973, -0.4793, -0.4515, -0.453, -0.5021, -0.487, -0.5381, -0.4994, -0.529, -0.542, -0.5328, -0.531, -0.4935, -0.5044, -0.5346, -0.5325, -0.5467, -0.5677, -0.5529, -0.5907, -0.5742, -0.5822, -0.5659, -0.6405, -0.6814, -0.669, -0.648, -0.6563, -0.6566, -0.6566, -0.6445, -0.6226, -0.6025, -0.5987, -0.5715, -0.5505, -0.5245, -0.5275, -0.5269, -0.5151, -0.5124, -0.5281, -0.4894]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1983030739332673923", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2025-10-28T04:39:05+00:00", "symbol": "WULF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I sold off miners like $CIFR, $IREN, $WYFI, and $WULF", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS and CRWV as full-stack Neocloud winners with moats/margins; sold off HPC miner pivots CIFR, IREN, WYFI, WULF due to lack of asymmetric upside and execution risk.", "resolved_tickers": ["WULF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The harsh reality is:\n\nMany of these HPC miner pivots will fail.\n\nThe lack of asymmetrical upside is why I sold off miners like $CIFR, $IREN, $WYFI, and $WULF and into full-stack AWS Neoclouds like $NBIS\n\nHowever, miners that pivot well like $CRWV have very high upside 📈\n\nWhy?\n\nAs a trader, I rode almost every single Neocloud from  $BITF to $IREN as a narrative momentum trade. And most are up 50%-250%+.\n\nBut none of them aside from $CRWV have contracted AI workloads or cash-flow visibility at scale. Currently, many just look at Coreweave when it comes time to execution.\n\nWhen the new report that $ORCL, a $800B hyperscaler, lost $100M on their buildout and only had 14% gross margins, this should have sent alarm bells regarding moats, buildout risks, and margins.\n\nI took this as a lesson that HPC is actually a huge moat and gross margins matter a ton more than capacity buildout. These tradeoffs are what people should think of when weighing the execution risk when putting money into $200M market caps like $SLNH.\n\nThis is not a bear post, I am still bullish on the Neocloud buildout as a whole, this about execution risks and the reality of the situation. \n\nHowever, my guess is: The market will price this in before earning reports come out and margins are scrutinized. \n\nWe will likely see several popular names sell-off and consolidate into the Neocloud winners whether that's $NBIS or $IREN, and people are free to speculate which one will succeed.\n\nThe reality is when there's a new emerging market, not every company succeeds. But if you choose the right winner like $NVDA, there's generational returns.\n\nI just started early, selling off many miners like $CIFR to $SLNH to $IREN to $BITF and consolidating into likely winners like $NBIS.\n\nWhen Nebius already has hyperscaler contracts + large moats in full stack + high gross margins + high cash balances + subsidiaries, the downside risk is a lot less, and the asymmetrical upside is a lot higher.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The Neocloud thesis aged well. \n\n1 month later: \n\n$CRWV 120.34 → 135.64 (+12.7%)\n$NBIS 107.70 → 126.49 (+17.5%)\n$WULF 10.63 → 13.69 (+28.8%)\n$IREN 41.68 → 64.69 (+55.2%)\n$CIFR 11.47 → 20.70 (+80.4%)\n$BITF 2.54 → 4.51 (+77.6%)\n$WYFI 22.83 → 36.52 (+59.9%)\n$GRRR 19.90 →", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.14429104752870014, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.14429104752870014, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.14164208421590396, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.14164208421590396, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002648963312796182, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002648963312796182, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09033874644234297, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09033874644234297, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09081913348223869, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09081913348223869, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004803870398957244, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0004803870398957244, "ret_p1w": -0.058343750061698674, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.058343750061698674, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.041140051126162036, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.041140051126162036, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017203698935536638, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017203698935536638, "ret_p1m": -0.06900874885524677, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06900874885524677, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05826735896876534, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05826735896876534, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010741389886481434, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010741389886481434, "ret_p3m": -0.11417815199092085, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11417815199092085, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.12030069687543765, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12030069687543765, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006122544884516801, "bench_c_p3m": 0.006122544884516801, "ret_p6m": 0.28920952183402715, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.28920952183402715, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.24816559978877373, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.24816559978877373, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.04104392204525342, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04104392204525342, "price_path": [-0.6763, -0.7014, -0.6932, -0.6826, -0.6769, -0.6901, -0.6844, -0.6612, -0.6713, -0.6575, -0.4536, -0.4373, -0.4115, -0.4492, -0.4178, -0.4235, -0.4253, -0.4398, -0.4203, -0.4272, -0.4078, -0.4072, -0.4072, -0.3959, -0.4366, -0.4435, -0.4272, -0.4228, -0.3538, -0.3381, -0.3325, -0.325, -0.3419, -0.3137, -0.288, -0.2992, -0.3112, -0.2792, -0.2949, -0.2848, -0.3118, -0.3206, -0.2723, -0.2836, -0.2804, -0.2735, -0.2522, -0.2491, -0.2409, -0.2284, -0.1474, -0.1524, -0.1217, -0.0301, -0.0295, -0.1305, -0.1261, -0.1311, -0.1757, -0.2083, -0.192, -0.1399, -0.1443, 0.0, -0.0903, -0.0703, -0.0276, 0.01, -0.0583, -0.0364, -0.1041, -0.1255, -0.1029, -0.224, -0.207, -0.2673, -0.3105, -0.3068, -0.2472, -0.2327, -0.2748, -0.2917, -0.2077, -0.1255, -0.069, -0.069, -0.027, -0.0402, -0.1079, -0.0947, -0.0527, -0.0903, -0.0615, -0.022, -0.0113, -0.0069, -0.101, -0.2164, -0.1851, -0.2742, -0.2604, -0.2146, -0.2177, -0.2208, -0.2277, -0.2277, -0.2629, -0.2836, -0.3005, -0.2792, -0.2792, -0.2008, -0.1455, -0.1731, -0.2164, -0.1945, -0.1782, -0.1336, -0.1129, -0.1085, -0.1324, -0.1311, -0.1311, -0.1637, -0.1769, -0.1913, -0.1142, -0.1349, -0.0395, -0.0521, -0.0878, -0.1612, -0.1568, -0.0715, -0.1292, -0.2522, -0.1035, 0.0445, 0.0433, 0.0056, -0.0019, 0.0201, 0.0201, 0.0151, -0.0351, -0.0295, -0.0583, -0.0163, 0.1016, 0.1242, 0.1217, 0.0176, 0.005, -0.0753, -0.0358, -0.0445, -0.1374, -0.1311, -0.0997, -0.0452, -0.0797, -0.0797, 0.0295, 0.0063, -0.0402, -0.0125, -0.0527, 0.0157, 0.0176, 0.0577, -0.037, -0.0659, -0.1405, -0.0947, -0.0916, -0.0665, -0.0665, -0.0245, 0.0395, 0.1324, 0.1939, 0.1838, 0.2202, 0.3143, 0.234, 0.2114, 0.2949, 0.2861, 0.2403, 0.2892]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2001193162384269381", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-17T07:30:04+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "このセクターにとって最大級の追い風であることに変わりはありません。これにより、収益化（マネタイズ）までの期間に伴うリスクが大幅に低減され $CRWV などがガイダンス下方修正の要因として挙げていた「繰延収益」の計上も加速することになります。個人的には、この法案は3回分の利下げよりもポジティブだと考えています", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish CRWV: SPEED Act removes permitting bottlenecks, accelerates deferred revenue recognition and CapEx-to-FCF conversion faster than 3 rate cuts.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "ja", "tweet_text": "おっしゃる通り、AIデータセンター業界には信用の引き締め（クレジットタイトニング）や物理的な制約といった懸念材料が依然として存在します。この法案ですべての問題が解決するわけではありません。\n\nしかし、エネルギー供給と許認可プロセスのボトルネックを解消するという点で、このセクターにとって最大級の追い風であることに変わりはありません。これにより、収益化（マネタイズ）までの期間に伴うリスクが大幅に低減され $CRWV などがガイダンス下方修正の要因として挙げていた「繰延収益」の計上も加速することになります。\n個人的には、この法案は3回分の利下げよりもポジティブだと考えています。なぜなら、金利低下以上に、膨大な設備投資（CapEx）をより迅速にフリーキャッシュフロー（FCF）へと転換できることの方が重要だからです。", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I see the logic, but I think the SPEED Act’s impact is being slightly overstated. \nIt mainly streamlines NEPA reviews and litigation, not the core physical bottlenecks—interconnection queues, transformer lead times, transmission/substation capacity, and equipment/labor", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cornety", "ret_m1d": 0.07668468960835151, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07668468960835151, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06555864271303657, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06555864271303657, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.011126046895314934, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011126046895314934, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0484894981477888, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0484894981477888, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.040938165570173934, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.040938165570173934, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0075513325776148665, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0075513325776148665, "ret_p1w": 0.22184351692969062, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.22184351692969062, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1905357849506164, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1905357849506164, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.031307731979074216, "bench_c_p1w": 0.031307731979074216, "ret_p1m": 0.47188222531994395, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.47188222531994395, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.43779599863935514, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.43779599863935514, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.034086226680588805, "bench_c_p1m": 0.034086226680588805, "ret_p3m": 0.33013162743783075, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.33013162743783075, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.33071702119169855, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.33071702119169855, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.0005853937538677911, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0005853937538677911, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.9343, 1.064, 1.0277, 1.0666, 0.9622, 0.8643, 0.8981, 1.1201, 1.1232, 1.1379, 1.0881, 1.0736, 0.9958, 1.1686, 1.2166, 1.1445, 1.194, 1.0768, 1.1571, 1.1958, 1.1204, 0.9684, 0.9374, 0.8827, 0.9108, 1.0534, 1.1078, 1.0883, 1.1678, 1.0304, 1.0714, 0.9569, 0.7932, 0.7726, 0.6565, 0.6113, 0.6361, 0.3693, 0.3235, 0.2136, 0.1985, 0.167, 0.1603, 0.1607, 0.0722, 0.11, 0.1402, 0.1044, 0.1509, 0.1509, 0.1328, 0.1938, 0.1778, 0.2294, 0.3284, 0.3679, 0.336, 0.4045, 0.3658, 0.3537, 0.2175, 0.1208, 0.0767, 0.0, 0.0485, 0.2858, 0.3142, 0.2434, 0.2218, 0.2218, 0.1839, 0.1607, 0.1448, 0.1094, 0.1094, 0.2288, 0.1907, 0.2074, 0.1957, 0.1943, 0.2415, 0.3932, 0.3552, 0.3912, 0.4719, 0.5682, 0.5682, 0.4751, 0.457, 0.422, 0.4404, 0.523, 0.6864, 0.6424, 0.5419, 0.4437, 0.3778, 0.3952, 0.2775, 0.1565, 0.3935, 0.4995, 0.4734, 0.4741, 0.4826, 0.4878, 0.4878, 0.4098, 0.4787, 0.5049, 0.3826, 0.4073, 0.5383, 0.5184, 0.5125, 0.2325, 0.2091, 0.143, 0.2316, 0.1591, 0.1308, 0.1527, 0.1607, 0.2697, 0.2372, 0.2565, 0.3301, 0.2722, 0.283, 0.2496, 0.2621, 0.2697, 0.2861, 0.3568, 0.2463, 0.1589, 0.0713, 0.2002, 0.2152, 0.2741, 0.2741, 0.2539, 0.3205, 0.3772, 0.4253, 0.5802, 0.7083, 0.8156, 0.8387, 0.8522, 0.8102, 0.8192, 0.784, 0.8984, 0.8191, 0.7063, 0.736, 0.6349, 0.769, 0.7289, 0.8437, 0.9431, 0.9813, 1.1376, 0.996, 0.7684, 0.7769, 0.6692, 0.7244, 0.7694, 0.6623, 0.6076, 0.5462, 0.569, 0.6666, 0.6342, 0.6342, 0.6404, 0.6153, 0.6555, 0.6968, 0.6968, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1970883359627993438", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-24T16:09:44+00:00", "symbol": "LUNR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I don't like it long term compared to $ASTS or $RKLB", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish LUNR long-term vs ASTS/RKLB; bearish SNAP on wrong strategic direction (AR instead of competing with TikTok).", "resolved_tickers": ["LUNR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$LUNR is an enigma. I've sold puts on it because of high IV but I don't like it long term compared to $ASTS or $RKLB.\n\nWith $SNAP, I've always maintained that fundamentally it was extremely undervalued from 1.1B MAU but it just needs a change of CEO. They're heading the wrong direction with AR and should just compete with Tiktok.\n\nWith $DJT, yeah never short the President's company. 0 clue. Could be a 10x if the President wants to use his powers to help his own company, we'll never know.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Unrelated but what are your thoughts on:\n\n- $DJT I like this chart and hearing chatter on a possible Tik Tok deal. With the company having his name I'd assume he wants to pump it\n\n- $SNAP Has volume picking up with a growing user base\n\n- $LUNR space company", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LibertadEterno", "ret_m1d": 0.03703702643004858, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03703702643004858, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0338452378761982, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0338452378761982, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003191788553850383, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003191788553850383, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011011072359539131, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011011072359539131, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.015624569848011194, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.015624569848011194, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0046134974884720625, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0046134974884720625, "ret_p1w": 0.0620620520284243, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0620620520284243, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05094418045446014, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05094418045446014, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011117871573964155, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011117871573964155, "ret_p1m": 0.23023025459763624, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.23023025459763624, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2141055757750734, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2141055757750734, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.016124678822562855, "bench_c_p1m": 0.016124678822562855, "ret_p3m": 0.6706707624067876, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.6706707624067876, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.6317149905349906, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.6317149905349906, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.038955771871796996, "bench_c_p3m": 0.038955771871796996, "ret_p6m": 0.8928929209870786, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.8928929209870786, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.8919102036827398, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.8919102036827398, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0009827173043388537, "bench_c_p6m": 0.0009827173043388537, "price_path": [0.0971, 0.0881, 0.0661, 0.0721, 0.0801, 0.0801, 0.042, 0.0691, 0.0871, 0.1191, 0.0871, 0.1081, 0.1091, 0.1231, 0.2262, 0.2422, 0.1261, 0.1291, 0.3383, 0.2803, 0.2833, 0.2843, 0.1762, 0.1562, 0.1171, 0.0621, 0.1211, 0.1481, 0.0511, 0.006, -0.018, 0.016, 0.047, 0.0501, -0.1001, -0.0906, -0.0911, -0.1301, -0.1341, -0.1351, -0.1026, -0.1131, -0.1081, -0.1001, -0.1091, -0.1221, -0.1221, -0.1281, -0.1532, -0.1572, -0.1502, -0.1552, -0.1582, -0.1692, -0.1471, -0.1211, -0.0951, -0.0841, -0.0711, -0.041, -0.028, 0.014, 0.037, 0.0, 0.011, 0.009, 0.027, 0.0531, 0.0621, 0.1231, 0.1451, 0.1992, 0.1802, 0.2492, 0.2753, 0.2242, 0.2262, 0.3864, 0.2893, 0.1842, 0.2412, 0.2903, 0.2693, 0.1361, 0.2302, 0.2823, 0.2803, 0.2362, 0.2032, 0.1381, 0.1942, 0.1592, 0.041, 0.045, -0.043, -0.04, -0.012, -0.0551, -0.0651, -0.1331, -0.046, -0.1261, -0.0771, -0.1226, -0.1942, -0.1371, -0.0991, -0.0601, -0.0701, -0.0701, -0.049, -0.0731, -0.0571, 0.021, 0.1411, 0.1221, 0.1642, 0.1672, 0.1842, 0.2563, 0.1982, 0.1131, 0.0791, 0.022, 0.0861, 0.4955, 0.6707, 0.6527, 0.6727, 0.6727, 0.5265, 0.5716, 0.5956, 0.6246, 0.6246, 0.7898, 0.8378, 0.8839, 0.8639, 0.965, 0.8579, 0.9219, 0.7588, 0.978, 0.952, 1.1602, 1.1602, 1.1211, 0.962, 1.0631, 1.005, 0.8438, 1.031, 1.2833, 1.1011, 0.9009, 0.7858, 0.963, 0.6627, 0.4805, 0.7538, 0.9469, 0.8639, 0.7057, 0.5736, 0.6146, 0.6146, 0.6637, 0.7758, 0.8208, 0.7568, 0.8158, 0.8919, 0.5906, 0.7688, 0.6496, 0.8008, 0.8218, 0.8639, 0.7688, 0.7648, 0.8098, 0.7698, 0.8468, 0.7658, 0.7618, 0.7708, 0.8919, 0.8128, 0.8929]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1970883359627993438", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-24T16:09:44+00:00", "symbol": "SNAP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "they're heading the wrong direction with AR and should just compete with Tiktok", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish LUNR long-term vs ASTS/RKLB; bearish SNAP on wrong strategic direction (AR instead of competing with TikTok).", "resolved_tickers": ["SNAP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$LUNR is an enigma. I've sold puts on it because of high IV but I don't like it long term compared to $ASTS or $RKLB.\n\nWith $SNAP, I've always maintained that fundamentally it was extremely undervalued from 1.1B MAU but it just needs a change of CEO. They're heading the wrong direction with AR and should just compete with Tiktok.\n\nWith $DJT, yeah never short the President's company. 0 clue. Could be a 10x if the President wants to use his powers to help his own company, we'll never know.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Unrelated but what are your thoughts on:\n\n- $DJT I like this chart and hearing chatter on a possible Tik Tok deal. With the company having his name I'd assume he wants to pump it\n\n- $SNAP Has volume picking up with a growing user base\n\n- $LUNR space company", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LibertadEterno", "ret_m1d": 0.02433087624915964, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02433087624915964, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.021139087695309255, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015985464652954917, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003191788553850383, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008345411596204722, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013381952932345342, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.013381952932345342, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.017995450420817405, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01678827807547656, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0046134974884720625, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003406325143131217, "ret_p1w": -0.0620438214494341, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0620438214494341, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07316169302339826, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05591244926940819, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011117871573964155, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006131372180025907, "ret_p1m": -0.04257912045010637, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04257912045010637, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05870379927266922, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02401486420061072, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.016124678822562855, "bench_c_p1m": -0.018564256249495648, "ret_p3m": -0.03406328475820819, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.03406328475820819, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07301905663000519, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03072234766635218, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.038955771871796996, "bench_c_p3m": -0.003340937091856011, "ret_p6m": -0.44525549943469855, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.44525549943469855, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4462382167390374, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.4118422052330625, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0009827173043388537, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03341329420163608, "price_path": [0.0608, 0.0572, 0.1375, 0.1411, 0.1277, 0.1277, 0.118, 0.1338, 0.1095, 0.1363, 0.1083, 0.1606, 0.1533, 0.1752, 0.2056, 0.2178, 0.2019, 0.2591, 0.2251, 0.1849, 0.1886, 0.1788, 0.135, 0.1338, 0.1472, 0.101, 0.1521, 0.1423, -0.0535, -0.0827, -0.0985, -0.1253, -0.1156, -0.1095, -0.1387, -0.1302, -0.1071, -0.1265, -0.129, -0.1423, -0.1241, -0.1484, -0.146, -0.1496, -0.1363, -0.1314, -0.1314, -0.1083, -0.118, -0.1375, -0.1107, -0.1217, -0.1144, -0.1423, -0.1131, -0.1071, -0.0925, -0.0584, -0.028, 0.0268, -0.0073, 0.0377, 0.0243, 0.0, 0.0134, 0.0061, 0.0219, -0.062, -0.062, 0.0, 0.0389, 0.0365, -0.0109, 0.0255, 0.0195, -0.0535, -0.0207, -0.0365, -0.0377, -0.056, -0.0693, -0.0596, -0.045, -0.0547, -0.0426, -0.0328, -0.0377, -0.0584, -0.0584, -0.0754, -0.0511, -0.0487, -0.0912, -0.1119, -0.0255, -0.0012, 0.0572, 0.0657, 0.1058, 0.0438, 0.0426, -0.0049, 0.0036, -0.0231, -0.0535, -0.0645, -0.0657, -0.0706, -0.0742, -0.0742, -0.0657, -0.0706, -0.073, -0.0681, -0.056, -0.0377, -0.0231, -0.0365, -0.0365, -0.0706, -0.1107, -0.1168, -0.1034, -0.0876, -0.0718, -0.0791, -0.0341, -0.0499, -0.045, -0.045, -0.0438, -0.0414, -0.0182, -0.0182, -0.0182, -0.0109, 0.0036, 0.0693, 0.0487, 0.0219, -0.0012, -0.0036, -0.028, -0.0389, -0.056, -0.0839, -0.0839, -0.1058, -0.1034, -0.0681, -0.073, -0.0803, -0.0925, -0.0669, -0.1192, -0.1569, -0.1898, -0.2579, -0.281, -0.3771, -0.365, -0.3686, -0.3637, -0.3929, -0.4136, -0.4124, -0.4124, -0.4246, -0.4063, -0.3917, -0.3747, -0.4002, -0.3954, -0.3832, -0.3601, -0.3662, -0.3601, -0.3613, -0.3467, -0.3504, -0.3723, -0.3759, -0.4027, -0.4088, -0.4343, -0.4453, -0.4307, -0.4343, -0.438, -0.4453]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1989608255371579717", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-15T08:15:47+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The 1Y price target on $NBIS remains $400. When forward growth backs up any market cap projections, it's a matter of time and execution.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long NBIS with $400 1Y PT; institutional accumulation, 700%+ Y/Y ARR growth, and fundamentals intact despite -33% drawdown.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Nebius ( $NBIS ) crashed -33.61% last month, falling to a $21B market cap.\n\nDespite this, new 13F filing data shows $NBIS institutional ownership increase:\n\n· 38.36% → 44.6% 🟢 (+6.24%)\n\nwith Fintel placing it closer to ~46.3%. \n\n Nebius is a $21B MC full-stack Neocloud with:\n\n· $7-9B forward ARR (700%+ Y/Y), 30% EBIT margins, powering $MSFT Azure, $META | enterprises from Cursor to Shopify | and Governments. \n\n· $4.7B+ Cash, $7B+ NAV in portfolio companies that power Cloudflare, Tiktok, Tesla, Netflix and Antrophic.\n\nAs expected from last month, institutions are starting to realize this once-a-generation growth, as Neoclouds are the center of the AI DC buildout and Mag7 AI compute. \n\nThe institutional ownership of Nebius was always low <28%, due to how their unusual IPO. With high-value companies, ownership typically ranges from 60-80%.\n\nSo, we're seeing mechanical flows down + retail capitulation + margin liquidation-  > dark pools/block trades -> for institutions to accumulate at lower prices. \n\nThis type of accumulation pattern has not changed and we've seen this same story before with Robinhood ( S-st ), now at 74.62% ownership, before their rally from $20 to $150. \n\nIrrational fear and capitulation is how institutions accumulate off shareholders. The recent drop is a change in stock price, not in fundamentals. The 1Y price target on $NBIS remains $400. \n\nWhen forward growth backs up any market cap projections, it’s a matter of time and execution.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "We're seeing a live crash in AI + DC stocks right now with $IREN down 37.88% this week to $NBIS down 35.27% this month.\n\nPanic stems from Credit Tightening, High Interest Debt, OpenAI contagion, Macro, and most importantly: Irrational Fear.\n\nHere's what happening real time:\n\n1. https://t.co/aN6iWYEV3k", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.028378720006289493, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.028378720006289493, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03778276560027605, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02972795147062146, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.009404045593986554, "bench_c_m1d": 0.001349231464331968, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.053035559206290994, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.053035559206290994, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.061433111976391674, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04736900806043187, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00839755277010068, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005666551145859122, "ret_p1w": 0.0688531976949256, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0688531976949256, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06425634256313084, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.052393347345248475, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004596855131794753, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01645985034967712, "ret_p1m": -0.058502049456895966, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.058502049456895966, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07833175621938437, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10770162010072437, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.019829706762488408, "bench_c_p1m": 0.049199570643828405, "ret_p3m": 0.04361479243531097, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04361479243531097, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.01715551154792272, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.009155934671352783, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.026459280887388248, "bench_c_p3m": 0.034458857763958184, "ret_p6m": 1.083158799922375, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.083158799922375, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.9679167086598945, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.0343549651656587, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.11524209126248053, "bench_c_p6m": 0.04880383475671635, "price_path": [-0.2153, -0.2303, -0.1977, -0.1856, -0.1803, -0.1847, -0.1621, -0.2054, -0.2054, -0.2356, -0.2365, -0.2451, -0.2385, -0.2549, 0.1133, 0.0862, 0.0373, 0.0515, 0.0579, 0.0401, 0.0942, 0.0947, 0.155, 0.2398, 0.2538, 0.3169, 0.2554, 0.2526, 0.2819, 0.3058, 0.3446, 0.4639, 0.4885, 0.4531, 0.3689, 0.4189, 0.5427, 0.5071, 0.5755, 0.4905, 0.4635, 0.431, 0.3194, 0.2677, 0.2128, 0.147, 0.2347, 0.3638, 0.4588, 0.417, 0.455, 0.4443, 0.5215, 0.4011, 0.2856, 0.3608, 0.2729, 0.2943, 0.2788, 0.1889, 0.0975, 0.0308, -0.0284, 0.0, 0.053, 0.1057, -0.0156, -0.0316, 0.0689, 0.0337, 0.1013, 0.1013, 0.1034, 0.1648, 0.1218, 0.1505, 0.1956, 0.1403, 0.1669, 0.1213, 0.0885, 0.0965, 0.0199, -0.0563, -0.0585, -0.1225, -0.0918, 0.0405, 0.0843, 0.0471, 0.0599, 0.0599, 0.0187, 0.0007, -0.0094, -0.0265, -0.0265, 0.0462, 0.0797, 0.1659, 0.119, 0.1317, 0.139, 0.2483, 0.2262, 0.1861, 0.2082, 0.2646, 0.2646, 0.1548, 0.1499, 0.1264, 0.0991, 0.0637, 0.1383, 0.1681, 0.1039, -0.0092, 0.0254, 0.0462, -0.0418, -0.1408, 0.0014, 0.0803, 0.0676, 0.0306, 0.0436, 0.1399, 0.1399, 0.1342, 0.184, 0.2516, 0.1389, 0.1702, 0.1931, 0.2342, 0.2198, 0.0606, 0.0585, 0.0095, 0.1372, 0.1125, 0.039, 0.1042, 0.1215, 0.3026, 0.2566, 0.3137, 0.5102, 0.353, 0.3789, 0.4134, 0.368, 0.3276, 0.3365, 0.3386, 0.2325, 0.1726, 0.073, 0.2068, 0.1857, 0.2656, 0.2656, 0.3089, 0.3654, 0.4538, 0.5856, 0.6861, 0.7976, 0.8835, 0.9396, 0.923, 0.8276, 0.8511, 0.8208, 0.816, 0.8269, 0.7116, 0.686, 0.5761, 0.6421, 0.6077, 0.7968, 1.0519, 1.0461, 1.269, 1.149, 1.0592, 1.1645, 1.0832]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2011090837669904576", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-13T14:59:54+00:00", "symbol": "AIRO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AIRO for higher upside", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefers AIRO over AVAV for higher upside in a higher-beta portfolio.", "resolved_tickers": ["AIRO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@__visionxry__ $AIRO for higher upside", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Do you prefer $airo over $avav for a higher beta portfolio?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "__visionxry__", "ret_m1d": -0.03105594477100304, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03105594477100304, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.033059425787290486, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.025934397710194457, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002003481016287445, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0051215470608085845, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02717386837621172, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02717386837621172, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0320891057178303, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02558846990268382, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0049152373416185835, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0015853984735278992, "ret_p1w": -0.011646007055264751, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.011646007055264751, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.011690299168308993, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.008719462047459992, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023336306223573744, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0029265450078047595, "ret_p1m": -0.28493789159048066, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.28493789159048066, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.28232898191782496, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3509705357035565, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026089096726557015, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06603264411307586, "ret_p3m": -0.38819875431476536, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.38819875431476536, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3702469962956806, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.43692729608683845, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.017951758019084774, "bench_c_p3m": 0.048728541772073086, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.4596, 0.3587, 0.4185, 0.396, 0.3276, 0.3393, 0.3571, 0.3455, 0.3059, 0.3043, 0.2694, 0.2702, 0.264, 0.1079, 0.1021, 0.0186, 0.0458, 0.0714, 0.0582, 0.038, -0.0101, -0.2158, -0.198, -0.2345, -0.3113, -0.3898, -0.3797, -0.389, -0.3913, -0.3602, -0.3602, -0.3284, -0.3641, -0.3571, -0.3207, -0.2554, -0.264, -0.2461, -0.2547, -0.245, -0.2469, -0.3401, -0.382, -0.403, -0.4247, -0.4239, -0.3766, -0.2935, -0.2857, -0.2741, -0.2741, -0.3214, -0.3556, -0.3672, -0.3649, -0.3649, -0.2826, -0.2143, -0.1343, -0.1661, -0.0722, -0.0303, -0.0311, 0.0, 0.0272, 0.0248, 0.038, 0.038, -0.0116, -0.0551, -0.0272, -0.0536, -0.111, -0.0916, -0.1188, -0.1522, -0.2011, -0.2197, -0.2089, -0.2585, -0.3416, -0.2516, -0.2158, -0.2601, -0.2849, -0.2927, -0.2857, -0.2857, -0.2896, -0.2733, -0.2073, -0.2772, -0.2508, -0.2182, -0.2314, -0.2104, -0.2391, -0.1693, -0.2189, -0.2174, -0.205, -0.2174, -0.1809, -0.1669, -0.1848, -0.2104, -0.2399, -0.2182, -0.1755, -0.2252, -0.2267, -0.2873, -0.243, -0.2624, -0.2686, -0.2966, -0.3339, -0.3346, -0.4095, -0.3618, -0.3238, -0.3238, -0.3207, -0.3214, -0.3152, -0.3727, -0.3882, -0.3898, -0.3727, -0.3509, -0.3284, -0.3734, -0.3331, -0.3478, -0.3245, -0.3595, -0.3843, -0.3618, -0.382, -0.4177, -0.4068, -0.4239, -0.4379, -0.4449, -0.4231, -0.4394, -0.4301, -0.3843, -0.3921, -0.3921, -0.4864, -0.5054, -0.5334, -0.5458, -0.5357, -0.514, -0.4907, -0.4907, -0.4565, -0.434, -0.3098, -0.3028, -0.3028, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1973104978060517636", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-30T19:17:39+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "something higher conviction like NBIS", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "High conviction long NBIS with cost-averaging strategy; CRWV sold recent position but watching for re-entry while holding neocloud names.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thanks! Forgot to add above that portfolio positioning is extremely important just in case you get timing wrong + something unexpected happens so you can cost average.\n\nSo if you have $100 portfolio for example, $30k cash.  $NBIS drops $117-> $112, you can do like $15k at that level. If it drops $112 -> $105, do another $15k. If it drop $105 -> $95, you can switch that $30k to calls.\n\nIf you're doing only shares with less risk tolerance eg. 25% allocation, you shouldn't think \"i should have full ported it went up 3%\".  3% profit off 25% of your portfolio is already good.\n\nObviously just examples, from something higher conviction like NBIS, I don't really know about $PATH. \n\nFor something like $CRWV I actually bought yesterday on some drop to $120 then sold $139-140ish, and will likely wait for another entry point while I hold other neoclouds like NBIS.\n\n---\n\n@taleino93 Adding on to this, for long term holds, you should cost average up. \n\nIf it's materially positive like Meta for $CRWV or MSFT of $NBIS, just hold it and buy more if you think forward rev potential is not priced in from a rally.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.018259512636138342, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.018259512636138342, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014506781913640965, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01978023176120358, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003752730722497377, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0015207191250652397, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02974974674581876, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02974974674581876, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.026342269461182122, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04377360146618792, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0034074772846366397, "bench_c_p1d": -0.014023854720369155, "ret_p1w": 0.04836555150561783, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04836555150561783, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04395235197004688, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06788067932989972, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004413199535570955, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019515127824281886, "ret_p1m": 0.11427809935582678, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11427809935582678, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08243978005730224, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.13185008247203667, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03183831929852454, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01757198311620989, "ret_p3m": -0.2198272115714005, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2198272115714005, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.25911054762443786, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2196744455628039, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.039283336053037354, "bench_c_p3m": -0.00015276600859659428, "ret_p6m": 0.025118017094003076, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.025118017094003076, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.03355428991590492, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.07760134694928789, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.008436272821901847, "bench_c_p6m": -0.05248332985528481, "price_path": [-0.5524, -0.5524, -0.5739, -0.5805, -0.5898, -0.5864, -0.6054, -0.5373, -0.5232, -0.5252, -0.5218, -0.5298, -0.5335, -0.5456, -0.5379, -0.5354, -0.5424, -0.5302, -0.5511, -0.5432, -0.5152, -0.5368, -0.5175, -0.5086, -0.5093, -0.4183, -0.3874, -0.3744, -0.329, -0.3709, -0.3902, -0.3621, -0.3539, -0.4015, -0.399, -0.4105, -0.3856, -0.3763, -0.3722, -0.3756, -0.3583, -0.3915, -0.3915, -0.4146, -0.4152, -0.4218, -0.4169, -0.4294, -0.1474, -0.1682, -0.2056, -0.1947, -0.1898, -0.2034, -0.162, -0.1617, -0.1154, -0.0505, -0.0398, 0.0086, -0.0386, -0.0407, -0.0183, 0.0, 0.0297, 0.1211, 0.1399, 0.1129, 0.0484, 0.0867, 0.1814, 0.1542, 0.2066, 0.1414, 0.1208, 0.0959, 0.0104, -0.0291, -0.0712, -0.1216, -0.0544, 0.0444, 0.1172, 0.0852, 0.1143, 0.1061, 0.1652, 0.073, -0.0154, 0.0421, -0.0252, -0.0088, -0.0207, -0.0895, -0.1595, -0.2106, -0.2559, -0.2342, -0.1936, -0.1532, -0.2461, -0.2584, -0.1814, -0.2083, -0.1566, -0.1566, -0.155, -0.108, -0.1409, -0.1189, -0.0844, -0.1267, -0.1064, -0.1413, -0.1664, -0.1602, -0.2189, -0.2773, -0.279, -0.328, -0.3044, -0.2032, -0.1696, -0.1981, -0.1883, -0.1883, -0.2198, -0.2336, -0.2414, -0.2544, -0.2544, -0.1988, -0.1732, -0.1072, -0.143, -0.1333, -0.1277, -0.044, -0.0609, -0.0917, -0.0747, -0.0315, -0.0315, -0.1156, -0.1194, -0.1373, -0.1583, -0.1854, -0.1283, -0.1055, -0.1546, -0.2412, -0.2148, -0.1988, -0.2661, -0.342, -0.2331, -0.1727, -0.1824, -0.2107, -0.2008, -0.127, -0.127, -0.1314, -0.0933, -0.0415, -0.1278, -0.1039, -0.0863, -0.0548, -0.0658, -0.1878, -0.1894, -0.2269, -0.1291, -0.148, -0.2043, -0.1544, -0.1411, -0.0024, -0.0377, 0.0061, 0.1566, 0.0362, 0.056, 0.0824, 0.0477, 0.0167, 0.0235, 0.0251]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1973104978060517636", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-30T19:17:39+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "will likely wait for another entry point while I hold other neoclouds like NBIS", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "High conviction long NBIS with cost-averaging strategy; CRWV sold recent position but watching for re-entry while holding neocloud names.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thanks! Forgot to add above that portfolio positioning is extremely important just in case you get timing wrong + something unexpected happens so you can cost average.\n\nSo if you have $100 portfolio for example, $30k cash.  $NBIS drops $117-> $112, you can do like $15k at that level. If it drops $112 -> $105, do another $15k. If it drop $105 -> $95, you can switch that $30k to calls.\n\nIf you're doing only shares with less risk tolerance eg. 25% allocation, you shouldn't think \"i should have full ported it went up 3%\".  3% profit off 25% of your portfolio is already good.\n\nObviously just examples, from something higher conviction like NBIS, I don't really know about $PATH. \n\nFor something like $CRWV I actually bought yesterday on some drop to $120 then sold $139-140ish, and will likely wait for another entry point while I hold other neoclouds like NBIS.\n\n---\n\n@taleino93 Adding on to this, for long term holds, you should cost average up. \n\nIf it's materially positive like Meta for $CRWV or MSFT of $NBIS, just hold it and buy more if you think forward rev potential is not priced in from a rally.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.10471325408352383, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10471325408352383, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.10096052336102646, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.10096052336102646, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003752730722497377, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003752730722497377, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0014614317816756817, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0014614317816756817, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.001946045502960958, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.001946045502960958, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0034074772846366397, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0034074772846366397, "ret_p1w": -0.05860433989600611, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05860433989600611, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06301753943157706, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06301753943157706, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004413199535570955, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004413199535570955, "ret_p1m": 0.02250629473802057, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.02250629473802057, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.009332024560503971, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.009332024560503971, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03183831929852454, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03183831929852454, "ret_p3m": -0.44157840876426446, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.44157840876426446, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4808617448173018, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4808617448173018, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.039283336053037354, "bench_c_p3m": 0.039283336053037354, "ret_p6m": -0.3600292442456472, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3600292442456472, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.35159297142374535, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.35159297142374535, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.008436272821901847, "bench_c_p6m": -0.008436272821901847, "price_path": [0.2072, 0.2072, 0.167, 0.1067, 0.1184, 0.0105, -0.0805, -0.0327, 0.0273, 0.0452, -0.0339, -0.1011, -0.0872, -0.0517, -0.0789, -0.1231, -0.1551, -0.1942, -0.2054, -0.2482, -0.166, -0.239, -0.2254, -0.1828, -0.1944, -0.1152, -0.0533, 0.0214, 0.087, -0.1395, -0.2729, -0.2695, -0.2927, -0.3212, -0.3312, -0.3366, -0.3132, -0.325, -0.3322, -0.2917, -0.2489, -0.2471, -0.2471, -0.3179, -0.3432, -0.3608, -0.349, -0.3164, -0.2677, -0.144, -0.1765, -0.1819, -0.1197, -0.1323, -0.1168, -0.113, -0.0876, -0.0265, -0.0436, -0.0252, -0.0745, -0.1206, -0.1047, 0.0, 0.0015, 0.0084, -0.0151, -0.0219, -0.0586, 0.0229, 0.0455, 0.0115, 0.0349, -0.0204, 0.0175, 0.0357, 0.0001, -0.0715, -0.0862, -0.1119, -0.0987, -0.0314, -0.0058, -0.015, 0.0225, -0.0423, -0.0229, -0.0769, -0.1542, -0.1639, -0.2186, -0.24, -0.2283, -0.3541, -0.3757, -0.4275, -0.4347, -0.4495, -0.4527, -0.4525, -0.4943, -0.4764, -0.4622, -0.4791, -0.4571, -0.4571, -0.4657, -0.4369, -0.4444, -0.4201, -0.3734, -0.3548, -0.3698, -0.3375, -0.3558, -0.3615, -0.4257, -0.4713, -0.4921, -0.5283, -0.5054, -0.3935, -0.3801, -0.4135, -0.4237, -0.4237, -0.4416, -0.4525, -0.46, -0.4767, -0.4767, -0.4204, -0.4384, -0.4305, -0.436, -0.4367, -0.4144, -0.3429, -0.3608, -0.3438, -0.3057, -0.2603, -0.2603, -0.3042, -0.3128, -0.3293, -0.3206, -0.2816, -0.2045, -0.2253, -0.2727, -0.319, -0.3501, -0.3419, -0.3974, -0.4545, -0.3427, -0.2927, -0.305, -0.3047, -0.3007, -0.2982, -0.2982, -0.335, -0.3025, -0.2902, -0.3478, -0.3362, -0.2744, -0.2838, -0.2866, -0.4186, -0.4297, -0.4609, -0.4191, -0.4533, -0.4666, -0.4563, -0.4525, -0.4011, -0.4164, -0.4073, -0.3726, -0.3999, -0.3948, -0.4106, -0.4047, -0.4011, -0.3934, -0.36]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972772140282986553", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-29T21:15:05+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if you're holding for a year, doesn't matter if you buy now and wait for $70", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long IREN with $70 target over a year horizon; holds position bought at $40.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@chickvestor I mean I bought $IREN on Friday at $40 and still have it. Personally not a fan of buying after a 9.72% day so this is based on today's prices\n\nI try to time the bottom a lot but if you're holding for a year, doesn't matter if you buy now and wait for $70\n\nhttps://t.co/ls4L5BDxgq", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Why do you think $IREN is a HOLD position? I’m just curious.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "chickvestor", "ret_m1d": -0.08861309966866204, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08861309966866204, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08581060925253925, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08362508350331566, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004988016165346387, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.021772261993373343, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.021772261993373343, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.018005395234261368, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.026575534186569327, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004803272193195984, "ret_p1w": 0.2573481301173046, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2573481301173046, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.24539964873489195, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2652919787543433, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007943848637038675, "ret_p1m": 0.3590245537601553, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3590245537601553, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.323796747017586, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.38008494008901605, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02106038632886076, "ret_p3m": -0.086000451484742, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.086000451484742, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12930443609689524, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11915726748529021, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": 0.033156816000548206, "ret_p6m": -0.10472461008777711, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.10472461008777711, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.09450760367583522, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.0230035156243954, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.08172109446338172, "price_path": [-0.659, -0.6338, -0.6338, -0.631, -0.6323, -0.6307, -0.6292, -0.6466, -0.6238, -0.6325, -0.6231, -0.607, -0.6094, -0.6048, -0.5953, -0.5865, -0.6051, -0.6142, -0.639, -0.6562, -0.6486, -0.6492, -0.6647, -0.6412, -0.6418, -0.6011, -0.5957, -0.5983, -0.6088, -0.6118, -0.614, -0.5846, -0.5713, -0.5492, -0.5922, -0.5698, -0.5735, -0.5334, -0.4966, -0.4995, -0.5133, -0.4984, -0.4235, -0.4235, -0.3662, -0.3858, -0.4311, -0.4307, -0.4298, -0.3427, -0.2678, -0.2848, -0.2606, -0.1914, -0.2064, -0.1748, -0.2092, -0.1587, -0.0877, -0.0906, 0.0263, 0.0078, -0.0886, 0.0, 0.0218, 0.025, 0.0237, 0.0986, 0.2573, 0.3429, 0.3083, 0.3902, 0.3013, 0.3965, 0.5145, 0.4801, 0.3462, 0.322, 0.2894, 0.2017, 0.1285, 0.2162, 0.3695, 0.415, 0.359, 0.3155, 0.2676, 0.3227, 0.4751, 0.4507, 0.6636, 0.4579, 0.3582, 0.31, 0.2493, 0.2127, 0.0592, 0.0096, 0.0322, 0.0636, -0.0022, -0.0536, -0.0799, 0.0557, 0.0335, 0.0549, 0.0549, 0.0409, 0.0557, -0.1047, -0.0429, 0.0113, -0.0266, 0.0089, 0.0198, -0.0438, -0.0433, -0.1263, -0.2275, -0.2034, -0.2645, -0.2206, -0.1309, -0.0847, -0.084, -0.086, -0.086, -0.1226, -0.142, -0.1661, -0.1777, -0.1777, -0.0703, 0.0503, -0.0004, -0.0502, -0.0054, 0.0022, 0.0958, 0.1537, 0.1513, 0.1298, 0.2589, 0.2589, 0.1814, 0.1644, 0.1378, 0.2341, 0.14, 0.3061, 0.3703, 0.3029, 0.17, 0.1557, 0.1842, -0.0216, -0.1337, -0.0893, 0.0048, -0.0653, -0.071, -0.1285, -0.0808, -0.0808, -0.108, -0.0838, -0.0575, -0.1295, -0.0777, -0.0105, -0.0414, -0.0368, -0.1084, -0.0988, -0.1541, -0.0455, -0.1264, -0.201, -0.1544, -0.17, -0.086, -0.0993, -0.0947, -0.0216, -0.0647, -0.081, -0.093, -0.101, -0.0821, -0.1047]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2009743779092410700", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-09T21:47:10+00:00", "symbol": "VLN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$VLN might be a $7 stock by now", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish VLN: algorithmic suppression from data typo has kept it undervalued; fundamentals suggest fair value around $7.", "resolved_tickers": ["VLN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It’s algorithmic price suppression due to ingesting data from the $82m typo. Otherwise $VLN might be a $7 stock by now. \n\nI’d suggest you try modeling yourself what a AI fabless semi would be valued at with $93m cash, $11m in inventory, $70-80m yearly revenue with 60%+ blended gross margins, 20-30% y/y growth, in automotive and robotics computer vision segments.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Interesting thesis but I am confused on the inventory typo piece as this didn't seem to move the stock with it being basically flat since November. Was this an issuer earlier than Nov.? https://t.co/bXPKLfwEGa", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "CompoundAtValue", "ret_m1d": -0.37096776984608737, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.37096776984608737, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.36439787640680144, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.3446587667058081, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.006569893439285934, "bench_c_m1d": -0.026309003140279286, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06854841733326134, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06854841733326134, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07011887114503312, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07224813070073988, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0015704538117717881, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003699713367478541, "ret_p1w": -0.19758064748717397, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.19758064748717397, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.19410836617330818, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2262791043822514, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.003472281313865788, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02869845689507744, "ret_p1m": -0.3870967865982611, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3870967865982611, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.38692395731858265, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.4318786390753073, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00017282927967843253, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04478185247704625, "ret_p3m": -0.471774220683696, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.471774220683696, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.44841378636724327, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5583576750317217, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.02336043431645274, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08658345434802572, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2661, -0.2581, -0.2863, -0.3105, -0.2742, -0.2863, -0.3024, -0.2903, -0.2823, -0.2944, -0.2903, -0.3105, -0.3145, -0.2621, -0.3065, -0.3589, -0.3306, -0.371, -0.3629, -0.3548, -0.2742, -0.3145, -0.3065, -0.2984, -0.371, -0.3871, -0.4153, -0.4274, -0.3952, -0.3831, -0.379, -0.3669, -0.3669, -0.3548, -0.3669, -0.3629, -0.3266, -0.3226, -0.3226, -0.3145, -0.3145, -0.3226, -0.3427, -0.3589, -0.379, -0.3831, -0.4032, -0.4032, -0.3992, -0.4113, -0.4355, -0.4435, -0.4435, -0.4194, -0.4315, -0.4435, -0.4274, -0.4274, -0.371, -0.3669, -0.3589, -0.375, -0.371, 0.0, -0.0685, -0.0565, -0.1573, -0.1573, -0.1976, -0.1976, -0.2177, -0.2097, -0.1532, -0.2097, -0.2581, -0.2581, -0.2863, -0.2903, -0.3145, -0.3266, -0.3548, -0.379, -0.4234, -0.379, -0.3871, -0.375, -0.379, -0.3952, -0.3871, -0.3871, -0.4113, -0.3992, -0.3992, -0.3911, -0.4032, -0.3831, -0.379, -0.3548, -0.4032, -0.4032, -0.4194, -0.4194, -0.4355, -0.4556, -0.4556, -0.4435, -0.4234, -0.4556, -0.4637, -0.4637, -0.4597, -0.496, -0.4839, -0.5081, -0.4919, -0.496, -0.4919, -0.5081, -0.5242, -0.5524, -0.5444, -0.5282, -0.5202, -0.5202, -0.5202, -0.5242, -0.4718, -0.4597, -0.4637, -0.4556, -0.4435, -0.4073, -0.375, -0.3871, -0.4073, -0.3952, -0.3508, -0.3347, -0.2782, -0.3508, -0.3911, -0.3911, -0.125, -0.0565, -0.0927, -0.0242, 0.0081, -0.0282, 0.125, 0.1492, 0.0887, 0.1895, 0.3589, 0.2298, 0.1371, 0.0726, 0.1694, 0.2339, 0.2984, 0.2984, 0.3145, 0.2702, 0.4113, 0.4234, 0.4234, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972792600316068038", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-29T22:36:23+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm long Bitcoin at $114k", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long BTC at $114k; sell ETH at $4.2k; long MSTR on NAV recorrection potential during Bitcoin bull run, plus long-term nationalization thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm long Bitcoin at $114k, but sell Ethereum at $4.2k. I don't think I said to buy ETH anywhere above $3k+. \n\n$MSTR has historically been trading between 1.6-2x NAV during Bitcoin runs. Recently it's been short MSTR/long BTC, so NAV is under 1.5x and there's potential for recorrection on a Bitcoin run (which usually goes up in Oct).\n\nLong term, MSTR probably has the highest likelihood of being nationalized into the US treasury given how much BTC they have. I don't see ETH OR BMNR being a strategic importance for the US gov. \n\nOtherwise I'd just recommend longing the underlying asset like BTC, or ETH if you really believed in it compared to buying the asset.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Could you please explain why you put $MSTR as a buy, but $BMNR as a sell, with the explanation to buy $ETH instead. Wouldn't the same thesis apply for $MSTR, to buy $BTC instead? I'm just curious, trying to learn. Thanks for all the content you've been posting!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "CarineMorneau12", "ret_m1d": -0.04097499127413595, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04097499127413595, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03817250085801316, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.003009577997342028, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.003009577997342028, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006776444756454003, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": 0.0904905052150653, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0904905052150653, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07854202383265263, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.012624247528673416, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.012624247528673416, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04785205427124273, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.23746109896785883, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.23746109896785883, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.28076508358001206, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.3835872080028141, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3835872080028141, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3733702015908722, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0484, -0.0415, -0.0556, -0.0533, -0.0476, -0.0269, 0.0139, 0.0272, 0.0476, 0.0295, 0.0379, 0.0427, 0.0315, 0.0266, 0.0489, 0.0381, 0.0347, 0.0283, 0.0308, 0.0308, 0.03, 0.0119, -0.0094, 0.0059, -0.0023, 0.0055, 0.0271, 0.02, 0.0379, 0.0505, 0.0782, 0.0346, 0.0262, 0.0162, -0.0137, -0.0011, -0.0173, 0.0216, -0.0374, -0.0227, -0.0278, -0.0162, -0.0524, -0.045, -0.028, -0.0234, -0.0321, -0.0328, -0.0204, -0.0251, -0.0039, 0.0097, 0.0149, 0.0091, 0.0214, 0.0181, 0.0239, 0.0113, -0.0144, -0.0209, -0.0094, -0.0468, -0.041, 0.0, -0.003, 0.0371, 0.0549, 0.0688, 0.0905, 0.0616, 0.0783, 0.0639, -0.0104, 0.0076, -0.0112, -0.0316, -0.0543, -0.0693, -0.0333, -0.0518, -0.0587, -0.0379, -0.0294, -0.0025, -0.0126, -0.038, -0.0533, -0.0423, -0.0686, -0.112, -0.0919, -0.1145, -0.0964, -0.0735, -0.0997, -0.1113, -0.1285, -0.1748, -0.195, -0.1875, -0.2005, -0.2427, -0.2562, -0.2284, -0.2365, -0.2088, -0.2021, -0.2053, -0.2454, -0.2015, -0.1825, -0.1946, -0.2186, -0.2077, -0.1898, -0.1956, -0.1913, -0.2109, -0.2446, -0.2321, -0.247, -0.253, -0.2299, -0.2265, -0.2359, -0.2342, -0.2375, -0.2369, -0.2383, -0.227, -0.2351, -0.2244, -0.2138, -0.1794, -0.1807, -0.2019, -0.2043, -0.2088, -0.2029, -0.1668, -0.1527, -0.1648, -0.165, -0.191, -0.2281, -0.2187, -0.218, -0.2176, -0.2284, -0.2211, -0.2204, -0.2608, -0.2646, -0.3122, -0.3389, -0.3617, -0.4519, -0.3833, -0.3871, -0.3987, -0.4144, -0.4211, -0.3981, -0.3982, -0.41, -0.4194, -0.4147, -0.4055, -0.4352, -0.4399, -0.4059, -0.4104, -0.4241, -0.3988, -0.403, -0.3644, -0.3808, -0.4044, -0.4021, -0.3888, -0.3863, -0.3838, -0.3797, -0.3456, -0.3538, -0.3772, -0.3889, -0.3835, -0.3801, -0.3836]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972792600316068038", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-29T22:36:23+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "sell Ethereum at $4.2k", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long BTC at $114k; sell ETH at $4.2k; long MSTR on NAV recorrection potential during Bitcoin bull run, plus long-term nationalization thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm long Bitcoin at $114k, but sell Ethereum at $4.2k. I don't think I said to buy ETH anywhere above $3k+. \n\n$MSTR has historically been trading between 1.6-2x NAV during Bitcoin runs. Recently it's been short MSTR/long BTC, so NAV is under 1.5x and there's potential for recorrection on a Bitcoin run (which usually goes up in Oct).\n\nLong term, MSTR probably has the highest likelihood of being nationalized into the US treasury given how much BTC they have. I don't see ETH OR BMNR being a strategic importance for the US gov. \n\nOtherwise I'd just recommend longing the underlying asset like BTC, or ETH if you really believed in it compared to buying the asset.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Could you please explain why you put $MSTR as a buy, but $BMNR as a sell, with the explanation to buy $ETH instead. Wouldn't the same thesis apply for $MSTR, to buy $BTC instead? I'm just curious, trying to learn. Thanks for all the content you've been posting!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "CarineMorneau12", "ret_m1d": -0.043025646523677574, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.043025646523677574, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04022315610755478, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.016926367551390986, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.016926367551390986, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02069323431050296, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": 0.11154649306550946, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11154649306550946, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09959801168309679, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.055741117752731384, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.055741117752731384, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0909689244953007, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.3115142832399148, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3115142832399148, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.35481826785206805, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": -0.48884760839150476, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.48884760839150476, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.47863060197956286, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3903, -0.3856, -0.4052, -0.397, -0.3798, -0.343, -0.2994, -0.2986, -0.2855, -0.2555, -0.2006, -0.1756, -0.1585, -0.1076, -0.111, -0.1393, -0.1208, -0.1162, -0.1019, -0.1005, -0.097, -0.1235, -0.1729, -0.1182, -0.1436, -0.1265, -0.0718, -0.0492, 0.0023, 0.0886, 0.1278, 0.0784, 0.0528, 0.0226, -0.0341, 0.0278, 0.0014, 0.1456, 0.0369, 0.0908, 0.0678, 0.0687, 0.0339, 0.023, 0.0256, 0.0553, 0.0193, 0.0213, 0.0215, 0.0217, 0.0313, 0.0578, 0.1181, 0.0734, 0.0679, 0.089, 0.0883, 0.0601, -0.0034, -0.0123, -0.0151, -0.0828, -0.043, 0.0, -0.0169, 0.0317, 0.0642, 0.0705, 0.1115, 0.0554, 0.0736, 0.036, -0.0888, 0.0067, -0.0218, -0.0545, -0.0765, -0.0912, -0.0561, -0.0808, -0.097, -0.0857, -0.0671, -0.0231, -0.0557, -0.0745, -0.0979, -0.0878, -0.1458, -0.2193, -0.1878, -0.2146, -0.1854, -0.1539, -0.1902, -0.1907, -0.2335, -0.264, -0.2828, -0.2595, -0.2832, -0.3285, -0.3442, -0.2999, -0.2986, -0.2821, -0.2852, -0.281, -0.336, -0.2891, -0.2432, -0.2568, -0.2829, -0.259, -0.2125, -0.2115, -0.2324, -0.2687, -0.2971, -0.2971, -0.3286, -0.3297, -0.2939, -0.2872, -0.2973, -0.3016, -0.3115, -0.3063, -0.3042, -0.2954, -0.2965, -0.2886, -0.2591, -0.235, -0.2185, -0.2491, -0.2639, -0.269, -0.2668, -0.2123, -0.2045, -0.2135, -0.2186, -0.2444, -0.3039, -0.2937, -0.3006, -0.2997, -0.3061, -0.2834, -0.2871, -0.3318, -0.3592, -0.4441, -0.4718, -0.4917, -0.568, -0.5107, -0.5012, -0.5211, -0.5398, -0.5383, -0.5143, -0.5263, -0.5276, -0.5367, -0.538, -0.5331, -0.56, -0.5606, -0.5128, -0.5194, -0.5422, -0.5193, -0.5299, -0.4958, -0.5088, -0.5308, -0.5274, -0.517, -0.5135, -0.5084, -0.5038, -0.4425, -0.4504, -0.4775, -0.4932, -0.491, -0.4897, -0.4888]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1972792600316068038", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-09-29T22:36:23+00:00", "symbol": "MSTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "there's potential for recorrection on a Bitcoin run (which usually goes up in Oct)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long BTC at $114k; sell ETH at $4.2k; long MSTR on NAV recorrection potential during Bitcoin bull run, plus long-term nationalization thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm long Bitcoin at $114k, but sell Ethereum at $4.2k. I don't think I said to buy ETH anywhere above $3k+. \n\n$MSTR has historically been trading between 1.6-2x NAV during Bitcoin runs. Recently it's been short MSTR/long BTC, so NAV is under 1.5x and there's potential for recorrection on a Bitcoin run (which usually goes up in Oct).\n\nLong term, MSTR probably has the highest likelihood of being nationalized into the US treasury given how much BTC they have. I don't see ETH OR BMNR being a strategic importance for the US gov. \n\nOtherwise I'd just recommend longing the underlying asset like BTC, or ETH if you really believed in it compared to buying the asset.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Could you please explain why you put $MSTR as a buy, but $BMNR as a sell, with the explanation to buy $ETH instead. Wouldn't the same thesis apply for $MSTR, to buy $BTC instead? I'm just curious, trying to learn. Thanks for all the content you've been posting!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "CarineMorneau12", "ret_m1d": -0.05318306217453772, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05318306217453772, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05038057175841493, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05038057175841493, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0028024904161227937, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.012897560809604913, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.012897560809604913, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01666442756871689, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01666442756871689, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0037668667591119753, "ret_p1w": 0.10192386387189911, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10192386387189911, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08997538248948644, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08997538248948644, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011948481382412668, "ret_p1m": -0.12799459916861522, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12799459916861522, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16322240591118453, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.16322240591118453, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03522780674256931, "ret_p3m": -0.5137859194132907, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.5137859194132907, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5570899040254439, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5570899040254439, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "bench_c_p3m": 0.043303984612153235, "ret_p6m": -0.5825929955420329, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.5825929955420329, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.572375989130091, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.572375989130091, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "bench_c_p6m": -0.010217006411941898, "price_path": [0.2324, 0.2376, 0.2376, 0.2121, 0.216, 0.2726, 0.292, 0.3314, 0.3817, 0.355, 0.3967, 0.3827, 0.2966, 0.3059, 0.3063, 0.2642, 0.2711, 0.2435, 0.2371, 0.2091, 0.2102, 0.2311, 0.1232, 0.1925, 0.1502, 0.1746, 0.2316, 0.2105, 0.2262, 0.2082, 0.1945, 0.1425, 0.1222, 0.1139, 0.0311, 0.055, 0.0342, 0.0971, 0.0514, 0.0764, 0.0479, 0.038, 0.0245, 0.0245, 0.0466, 0.0118, 0.0036, 0.029, 0.0107, 0.0065, 0.0001, -0.0012, 0.0154, 0.0042, 0.0266, 0.0101, 0.0695, 0.0562, 0.0291, 0.0042, -0.0095, -0.0788, -0.0532, 0.0, -0.0129, 0.0367, 0.0794, 0.0772, 0.1019, 0.0061, 0.0134, -0.0188, -0.0663, -0.0335, -0.0789, -0.0909, -0.1304, -0.112, -0.0913, -0.0751, -0.1397, -0.1271, -0.1144, -0.0943, -0.128, -0.1564, -0.2201, -0.1743, -0.1892, -0.2433, -0.2188, -0.2733, -0.2588, -0.2682, -0.2913, -0.3119, -0.3611, -0.3881, -0.4013, -0.3665, -0.4287, -0.4574, -0.4777, -0.4515, -0.4725, -0.4619, -0.4619, -0.4572, -0.4748, -0.4445, -0.4229, -0.4302, -0.4517, -0.4373, -0.421, -0.4343, -0.4385, -0.4594, -0.5035, -0.4869, -0.5087, -0.5152, -0.4951, -0.4966, -0.5163, -0.5138, -0.5138, -0.5135, -0.524, -0.5233, -0.5345, -0.5345, -0.5185, -0.4954, -0.5161, -0.5042, -0.4885, -0.518, -0.503, -0.47, -0.4506, -0.4764, -0.4678, -0.4678, -0.5091, -0.4982, -0.5068, -0.5003, -0.5081, -0.505, -0.5146, -0.5613, -0.5414, -0.5722, -0.5918, -0.6045, -0.6722, -0.5866, -0.5759, -0.5925, -0.6138, -0.6232, -0.5899, -0.5899, -0.6058, -0.6164, -0.6034, -0.5985, -0.621, -0.6183, -0.5844, -0.5913, -0.6033, -0.5783, -0.5935, -0.5514, -0.5717, -0.5909, -0.5743, -0.5758, -0.5762, -0.5793, -0.5721, -0.5481, -0.5396, -0.5694, -0.5765, -0.5844, -0.5766, -0.5826]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1970891703080161537", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-24T16:42:54+00:00", "symbol": "SG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Many of them all exited $SG so good time to buy now too", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish SG: mass exits by others signal a good buying opportunity now.", "resolved_tickers": ["SG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Restaurants'", "bench_c_industry": "Restaurants", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Completely ignore it, it's better to make independent decisions based on companies. Only upside is if it helps you know when they panic sell, but you usually see mainstream news about it. \n\nEg. when Berkshire exited $BYD it's probably a decent buy now.\n\nOr when everyone was panic selling $ALAB at $50 was a good time to buy. \n\nMany of them all exited $SG so good time to buy now too.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit When you see info like this, can it be used to aid in decision making or is it just noise?\n\nhttps://t.co/YhfGEguasL", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LibertadEterno", "ret_m1d": 0.0024039012616927646, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0024039012616927646, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0007878872921576185, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009415623996629763, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003191788553850383, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007011722734936998, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01802880096541193, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01802880096541193, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013415303476939866, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.003921915336422388, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0046134974884720625, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01410688562898954, "ret_p1w": -0.030048078025233904, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.030048078025233904, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04116594959919806, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.036475399952265564, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011117871573964155, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0064273219270316595, "ret_p1m": -0.10576919109158112, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10576919109158112, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12189386991414397, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10063554329434699, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.016124678822562855, "bench_c_p1m": -0.005133647797234131, "ret_p3m": -0.1899038439495323, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1899038439495323, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2288596158213293, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2131295561016996, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.038955771871796996, "bench_c_p3m": 0.023225712152167288, "ret_p6m": -0.3581730350411134, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3581730350411134, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3591557523454523, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2756805131655653, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0009827173043388537, "bench_c_p6m": -0.08249252187554812, "price_path": [0.6334, 0.7885, 0.7488, 0.7308, 0.7656, 0.7656, 0.5901, 0.6166, 0.6022, 0.6478, 0.6394, 0.6298, 0.5625, 0.5709, 0.6334, 0.72, 0.6827, 0.8293, 0.9543, 0.7175, 0.7764, 0.649, 0.5817, 0.6034, 0.5481, 0.4339, 0.4928, 0.4976, 0.4808, 0.5216, 0.1707, 0.1514, 0.1599, 0.155, 0.0998, 0.1046, 0.1154, 0.1346, 0.0841, 0.0793, 0.1226, 0.0938, 0.0986, 0.0865, 0.113, 0.0938, 0.0938, 0.0589, 0.0709, 0.0505, 0.0733, -0.0132, 0.0433, 0.0445, 0.0445, 0.0204, 0.0096, 0.0649, 0.0469, 0.0373, 0.0325, 0.0661, 0.0024, 0.0, -0.018, -0.0204, -0.0361, -0.0409, -0.03, -0.024, -0.0096, -0.0469, -0.0673, -0.0661, -0.0469, -0.095, -0.0974, -0.0757, -0.0986, -0.1142, -0.1214, -0.107, -0.024, -0.0505, -0.1058, -0.113, -0.1298, -0.1623, -0.1659, -0.2464, -0.244, -0.2296, -0.2296, -0.2224, -0.2488, -0.3053, -0.3474, -0.3714, -0.3546, -0.2861, -0.2644, -0.3125, -0.2849, -0.2728, -0.2728, -0.1899, -0.2212, -0.1755, -0.2031, -0.2031, -0.22, -0.2296, -0.2019, -0.1647, -0.1707, -0.1959, -0.2175, -0.1707, -0.1587, -0.1358, -0.1274, -0.1286, -0.1695, -0.1839, -0.1514, -0.1767, -0.1899, -0.1995, -0.1562, -0.1562, -0.1623, -0.1851, -0.2151, -0.1875, -0.1875, -0.1671, -0.1635, -0.1214, -0.1238, -0.0781, -0.0601, -0.0577, -0.0721, -0.0469, -0.0276, -0.0421, -0.0421, -0.1599, -0.1671, -0.1538, -0.1394, -0.1995, -0.2224, -0.226, -0.2632, -0.262, -0.2632, -0.268, -0.2175, -0.2921, -0.2692, -0.3221, -0.3498, -0.3642, -0.3834, -0.3822, -0.3822, -0.3654, -0.2849, -0.274, -0.3041, -0.3498, -0.3498, -0.2957, -0.262, -0.3329, -0.3522, -0.3594, -0.3353, -0.3089, -0.3245, -0.2788, -0.3149, -0.3245, -0.3474, -0.3606, -0.3101, -0.3173, -0.3365, -0.3582]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1976495540713214118", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-10T03:50:33+00:00", "symbol": "US graphite lithium battery stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "No export from China = American made Graphite/Lithium battery stocks go up", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "China's graphite/lithium battery export controls are bullish for US domestic graphite and lithium battery stocks.", "resolved_tickers": ["LIT", "REMX"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "US lithium/graphite battery stocks via LIT and REMX ETFs", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@EccShibaInuInv Depends on the news source but other headlines were \"BREAKING: China imposes export control on graphite and lithium batteries.\"\n\nNo export from China = American made Graphite/Lithium battery stocks go up.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit How did you even come to those names from that headline?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "EccShibaInuInv", "ret_m1d": 0.08643753244533514, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08643753244533514, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.058658908683949185, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.058658908683949185, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.027778623761385957, "bench_c_m1d": 0.027778623761385957, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.11004809800808735, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.11004809800808735, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0947040233148786, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0947040233148786, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.015344074693208754, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015344074693208754, "ret_p1w": 0.041471867457834044, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.041471867457834044, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02406039682248906, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02406039682248906, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017411470635344983, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017411470635344983, "ret_p1m": 0.07570353273059766, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07570353273059766, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03218265799106662, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03218265799106662, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.043520874739531035, "bench_c_p1m": 0.043520874739531035, "ret_p3m": 0.2644956625834477, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2644956625834477, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.20538923182965008, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.20538923182965008, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05910643075379762, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05910643075379762, "ret_p6m": 0.3280346893367071, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.3280346893367071, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.31323890601980475, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.31323890601980475, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.014795783316902344, "bench_c_p6m": 0.014795783316902344, "price_path": [-0.2888, -0.2898, -0.2615, -0.2434, -0.2351, -0.2101, -0.2185, -0.1925, -0.1909, -0.2147, -0.2269, -0.2468, -0.2657, -0.2664, -0.2487, -0.2374, -0.2409, -0.2237, -0.1983, -0.1562, -0.1608, -0.1552, -0.1708, -0.1538, -0.1423, -0.1611, -0.1757, -0.1694, -0.1449, -0.129, -0.1411, -0.1205, -0.1225, -0.106, -0.106, -0.1275, -0.129, -0.1362, -0.0927, -0.0763, -0.1084, -0.1347, -0.109, -0.1103, -0.0804, -0.0831, -0.0729, -0.0719, -0.0633, -0.063, -0.0675, -0.0201, 0.0008, -0.0109, -0.0044, 0.0009, 0.0231, 0.041, 0.0739, 0.0856, 0.0757, 0.0901, 0.0864, 0.0, 0.11, 0.1048, 0.0923, 0.0568, 0.0415, 0.0564, 0.0319, 0.0175, 0.0459, 0.0948, 0.0519, 0.0521, 0.0752, 0.1006, 0.0853, 0.0466, 0.0103, 0.0227, 0.0158, 0.034, 0.0757, 0.0645, 0.0702, 0.0904, 0.0967, 0.1098, 0.0957, 0.1159, 0.0752, 0.0554, 0.0572, 0.0832, 0.1117, 0.1117, 0.1269, 0.1116, 0.1091, 0.1103, 0.0879, 0.1021, 0.1201, 0.129, 0.1405, 0.1437, 0.1138, 0.0982, 0.0884, 0.1056, 0.1107, 0.1167, 0.1538, 0.167, 0.1802, 0.1802, 0.1919, 0.1519, 0.1515, 0.1448, 0.1448, 0.1789, 0.211, 0.2617, 0.2645, 0.2373, 0.257, 0.302, 0.3093, 0.3259, 0.3224, 0.3013, 0.3013, 0.3069, 0.3548, 0.3828, 0.4166, 0.4028, 0.4146, 0.4095, 0.37, 0.278, 0.2735, 0.3301, 0.2963, 0.2311, 0.2959, 0.3225, 0.319, 0.3594, 0.3062, 0.3334, 0.3334, 0.326, 0.3568, 0.3402, 0.3321, 0.3553, 0.3968, 0.4365, 0.4195, 0.4329, 0.4557, 0.3498, 0.3787, 0.3274, 0.3194, 0.3582, 0.3768, 0.389, 0.3491, 0.3106, 0.3263, 0.3266, 0.2809, 0.2471, 0.2025, 0.2628, 0.2779, 0.323, 0.2742, 0.2996, 0.3007, 0.3362, 0.341, 0.3412, 0.3412, 0.328]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1999007067273900257", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-11T06:43:19+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS is paying ~$73m/year from interest, while $CRWV is paying upwards of $1.3B. But the market seems to move the whole sector together from OpenAI contagion without discerning individual companies that are isolated. The difference in interest debt, risk, and customer anchors is massive.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Market misprices neocloud sector together; NBIS and IREN isolated from OpenAI contagion via MSFT anchor and low-cost debt, while CRWV faces junk-level 9.25% bonds.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yep that’s a good example. If you look at convertible offerings for $NBIS and $IREN both their interest rates were 1-2.5% roughly because $MSFT (mag7) is their shared backlog.\n\nA lot of Neoclouds are affected by OpenAi though and even by two hops like $APLD from $CRWV(main tenant), which had to sell junk bonds at 9.25%.\n\n$NBIS is paying ~$73m/year from interest, while $CRWV is paying upwards of $1.3B. But the market seems to move the whole sector together from OpenAI contagion without discerning individual companies that are isolated.\n\nThe difference in interest debt, risk, and customer anchors is massive.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Well said.  That would also explain why $CRWV raised funds at 9% interest rate on $2B while $IREN got less than 1% on $2B.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mcF_dan", "ret_m1d": -0.007318651361265971, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007318651361265971, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004997105347894437, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009544508151134945, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002225856789868974, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06989813770911646, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06989813770911646, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05914616878158252, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06767234665436428, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0022257910547521798, "ret_p1w": -0.1717225567567725, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1717225567567725, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.15329456716841428, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.16881187152011068, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002910685236661825, "ret_p1m": 0.03871448422929347, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03871448422929347, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.028628562533218993, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.026029578740943693, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012684905488349774, "ret_p3m": 0.022804428868438142, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.022804428868438142, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.037298660496828284, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.01467154874805865, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "bench_c_p3m": 0.008132880120379493, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0352, -0.0514, -0.0021, -0.0017, 0.0534, 0.1307, 0.1434, 0.201, 0.1449, 0.1423, 0.1691, 0.1908, 0.2262, 0.3351, 0.3574, 0.3252, 0.2484, 0.294, 0.4069, 0.3744, 0.4368, 0.3592, 0.3346, 0.305, 0.2032, 0.1561, 0.1061, 0.046, 0.126, 0.2437, 0.3304, 0.2922, 0.3269, 0.3171, 0.3876, 0.2778, 0.1725, 0.241, 0.1608, 0.1803, 0.1662, 0.0842, 0.0008, -0.0599, -0.1139, -0.088, -0.0397, 0.0084, -0.1022, -0.1169, -0.0252, -0.0573, 0.0043, 0.0043, 0.0063, 0.0623, 0.023, 0.0492, 0.0904, 0.0399, 0.0642, 0.0226, -0.0073, 0.0, -0.0699, -0.1394, -0.1414, -0.1997, -0.1717, -0.0511, -0.0111, -0.0451, -0.0334, -0.0334, -0.071, -0.0874, -0.0966, -0.1122, -0.1122, -0.0459, -0.0154, 0.0632, 0.0205, 0.032, 0.0387, 0.1384, 0.1183, 0.0817, 0.1019, 0.1533, 0.1533, 0.0531, 0.0487, 0.0273, 0.0023, -0.0299, 0.0381, 0.0652, 0.0067, -0.0964, -0.0649, -0.0459, -0.1261, -0.2165, -0.0868, -0.0148, -0.0264, -0.0601, -0.0483, 0.0396, 0.0396, 0.0344, 0.0798, 0.1414, 0.0386, 0.0671, 0.088, 0.1256, 0.1124, -0.0328, -0.0347, -0.0793, 0.0371, 0.0145, -0.0525, 0.007, 0.0228, 0.1879, 0.1459, 0.198, 0.3773, 0.2339, 0.2575, 0.2889, 0.2476, 0.2108, 0.2188, 0.2207, 0.124, 0.0694, -0.0214, 0.1006, 0.0814, 0.1542, 0.1542, 0.1937, 0.2452, 0.3258, 0.446, 0.5377, 0.6394, 0.7176, 0.7689, 0.7537, 0.6667, 0.6882, 0.6605, 0.6561, 0.6661, 0.5609, 0.5375, 0.4373, 0.4976, 0.4662, 0.6386, 0.8712, 0.8659, 1.0693, 0.9598, 0.8779, 0.9739, 0.8998, 1.1985, 1.3457, 1.3328, 1.1199, 1.0973, 1.0346, 1.3327, 1.278, 1.278, 1.2068, 1.2101, 1.4007, 1.4511, 1.4511, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1999007067273900257", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-11T06:43:19+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$CRWV is paying upwards of $1.3B... had to sell junk bonds at 9.25%", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Market misprices neocloud sector together; NBIS and IREN isolated from OpenAI contagion via MSFT anchor and low-cost debt, while CRWV faces junk-level 9.25% bonds.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yep that’s a good example. If you look at convertible offerings for $NBIS and $IREN both their interest rates were 1-2.5% roughly because $MSFT (mag7) is their shared backlog.\n\nA lot of Neoclouds are affected by OpenAi though and even by two hops like $APLD from $CRWV(main tenant), which had to sell junk bonds at 9.25%.\n\n$NBIS is paying ~$73m/year from interest, while $CRWV is paying upwards of $1.3B. But the market seems to move the whole sector together from OpenAI contagion without discerning individual companies that are isolated.\n\nThe difference in interest debt, risk, and customer anchors is massive.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Well said.  That would also explain why $CRWV raised funds at 9% interest rate on $2B while $IREN got less than 1% on $2B.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mcF_dan", "ret_m1d": 0.008926601432925674, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.008926601432925674, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011248147446297208, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.011248147446297208, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.10059511549347766, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10059511549347766, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08984314656594372, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08984314656594372, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "ret_p1w": -0.22545202068510706, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.22545202068510706, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.20702403109674883, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.20702403109674883, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "ret_p1m": -0.08285646705586647, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08285646705586647, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09294238875194094, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09294238875194094, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "ret_p3m": -0.1425955536292406, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1425955536292406, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.12810132200085045, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12810132200085045, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "bench_c_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3787, 0.359, 0.3832, 0.3892, 0.4289, 0.5247, 0.4979, 0.5267, 0.4495, 0.3772, 0.4022, 0.5661, 0.5684, 0.5793, 0.5426, 0.5318, 0.4744, 0.602, 0.6374, 0.5842, 0.6207, 0.5342, 0.5935, 0.6221, 0.5664, 0.4541, 0.4312, 0.3908, 0.4115, 0.5169, 0.5571, 0.5427, 0.6014, 0.4999, 0.5302, 0.4456, 0.3247, 0.3095, 0.2237, 0.1903, 0.2086, 0.0116, -0.0223, -0.1035, -0.1147, -0.1379, -0.1428, -0.1426, -0.2079, -0.18, -0.1577, -0.1841, -0.1498, -0.1498, -0.1632, -0.1181, -0.1299, -0.0918, -0.0187, 0.0105, -0.013, 0.0375, 0.0089, 0.0, -0.1006, -0.172, -0.2046, -0.2613, -0.2255, -0.0501, -0.0292, -0.0815, -0.0974, -0.0974, -0.1254, -0.1426, -0.1543, -0.1805, -0.1805, -0.0922, -0.1204, -0.108, -0.1167, -0.1178, -0.0829, 0.0292, 0.0011, 0.0277, 0.0873, 0.1585, 0.1585, 0.0897, 0.0763, 0.0505, 0.0641, 0.1251, 0.2458, 0.2133, 0.139, 0.0665, 0.0179, 0.0307, -0.0563, -0.1457, 0.0294, 0.1077, 0.0885, 0.0889, 0.0952, 0.0991, 0.0991, 0.0414, 0.0924, 0.1117, 0.0214, 0.0396, 0.1364, 0.1217, 0.1173, -0.0895, -0.1068, -0.1556, -0.0902, -0.1437, -0.1647, -0.1484, -0.1426, -0.062, -0.0861, -0.0718, -0.0174, -0.0602, -0.0522, -0.0769, -0.0676, -0.062, -0.0499, 0.0023, -0.0793, -0.1439, -0.2086, -0.1134, -0.1023, -0.0588, -0.0588, -0.0737, -0.0245, 0.0174, 0.0529, 0.1673, 0.262, 0.3413, 0.3583, 0.3683, 0.3373, 0.3439, 0.3179, 0.4024, 0.3438, 0.2605, 0.2824, 0.2077, 0.3068, 0.2772, 0.362, 0.4355, 0.4636, 0.5791, 0.4745, 0.3064, 0.3127, 0.2331, 0.2739, 0.3071, 0.228, 0.1876, 0.1423, 0.1591, 0.2312, 0.2073, 0.2073, 0.2118, 0.1933, 0.2229, 0.2535, 0.2535, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1999007067273900257", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-12-11T06:43:19+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$IREN got less than 1% on $2B... their interest rates were 1-2.5% roughly because $MSFT (mag7) is their shared backlog", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Market misprices neocloud sector together; NBIS and IREN isolated from OpenAI contagion via MSFT anchor and low-cost debt, while CRWV faces junk-level 9.25% bonds.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yep that’s a good example. If you look at convertible offerings for $NBIS and $IREN both their interest rates were 1-2.5% roughly because $MSFT (mag7) is their shared backlog.\n\nA lot of Neoclouds are affected by OpenAi though and even by two hops like $APLD from $CRWV(main tenant), which had to sell junk bonds at 9.25%.\n\n$NBIS is paying ~$73m/year from interest, while $CRWV is paying upwards of $1.3B. But the market seems to move the whole sector together from OpenAI contagion without discerning individual companies that are isolated.\n\nThe difference in interest debt, risk, and customer anchors is massive.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Well said.  That would also explain why $CRWV raised funds at 9% interest rate on $2B while $IREN got less than 1% on $2B.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mcF_dan", "ret_m1d": -0.0004551765677915931, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0004551765677915931, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0018663694455799407, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01740521203171863, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0023215460133715338, "bench_c_m1d": -0.017860388599510224, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0867090959870408, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0867090959870408, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07595712705950686, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.08816711551519008, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01075196892753394, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0014580195281492792, "ret_p1w": -0.18525260910455577, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.18525260910455577, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.16682461951619754, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.17923841879906732, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01842798958835823, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006014190305488443, "ret_p1m": 0.047564866133552375, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.047564866133552375, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0374789444374779, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.028341616360053168, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010085921696074474, "bench_c_p1m": 0.019223249773499207, "ret_p3m": -0.13245334266548026, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.13245334266548026, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11795911103709011, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04798028292819301, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.014494231628390142, "bench_c_p3m": -0.08447305973728725, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1548, -0.1705, -0.1375, -0.1734, -0.1206, -0.0464, -0.0494, 0.0728, 0.0535, -0.0473, 0.0453, 0.068, 0.0715, 0.0701, 0.1484, 0.3143, 0.4037, 0.3675, 0.4531, 0.3603, 0.4597, 0.5831, 0.5471, 0.4071, 0.3819, 0.3477, 0.2561, 0.1796, 0.2713, 0.4315, 0.4791, 0.4206, 0.3751, 0.325, 0.3826, 0.5419, 0.5164, 0.739, 0.5239, 0.4197, 0.3694, 0.3059, 0.2676, 0.1072, 0.0553, 0.079, 0.1117, 0.043, -0.0107, -0.0382, 0.1036, 0.0803, 0.1026, 0.1026, 0.0881, 0.1036, -0.0642, 0.0005, 0.0571, 0.0175, 0.0546, 0.066, -0.0005, 0.0, -0.0867, -0.1925, -0.1673, -0.2312, -0.1853, -0.0915, -0.0432, -0.0426, -0.0446, -0.0446, -0.0828, -0.1031, -0.1284, -0.1404, -0.1404, -0.0282, 0.0979, 0.0448, -0.0072, 0.0396, 0.0476, 0.1454, 0.206, 0.2035, 0.1809, 0.3159, 0.3159, 0.2349, 0.2171, 0.1893, 0.2899, 0.1916, 0.3653, 0.4324, 0.3619, 0.223, 0.208, 0.2378, 0.0228, -0.0944, -0.048, 0.0503, -0.023, -0.0289, -0.089, -0.0391, -0.0391, -0.0676, -0.0423, -0.0148, -0.0901, -0.036, 0.0344, 0.002, 0.0068, -0.068, -0.058, -0.1158, -0.0023, -0.0868, -0.1648, -0.1161, -0.1325, -0.0446, -0.0585, -0.0537, 0.0228, -0.0223, -0.0394, -0.0519, -0.0603, -0.0405, -0.0642, -0.0571, -0.1477, -0.2014, -0.2804, -0.2198, -0.2242, -0.2087, -0.2087, -0.2005, -0.1866, -0.1618, -0.1566, -0.1051, -0.0198, 0.0781, 0.1111, 0.0856, 0.0951, 0.1088, 0.028, 0.1013, 0.1839, 0.1525, 0.1006, 0.0114, -0.0246, 0.0357, 0.0391, 0.1261, 0.2458, 0.3878, 0.2938, 0.3928, 0.2551, 0.2872, 0.2556, 0.3291, 0.2048, 0.1484, 0.0865, 0.1996, 0.3213, 0.2934, 0.2934, 0.3605, 0.5439, 0.4577, 0.4461, 0.4461, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1995149247495524771", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-30T15:13:43+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Just waiting for market to price in $NBIS forward growth/margins and the marketcap overtaking $CRWV", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS as clear neocloud leader; expects market to re-rate on forward growth/margins, surpassing CRWV in market cap.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@babyfolio It’s already the clear leader in my view! Just waiting for market to price in $NBIS forward growth/margins and the marketcap overtaking $CRWV.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Exactly why $NBIS is going to be the clear leading **NEOCLOUD**", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "babyfolio", "ret_m1d": -0.052720905630066484, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.052720905630066484, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05730735049238922, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.057422753442149754, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004701847812083271, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.036944628270231594, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.036944628270231594, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.038796927944310666, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04025331122801734, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003308682957785747, "ret_p1w": 0.0017973070637373745, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0017973070637373745, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.003141948190520605, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01047963228719273, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012276939350930105, "ret_p1m": -0.1495756677853144, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1495756677853144, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16246777457768147, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.18286213217720948, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03328646439189509, "ret_p3m": 0.047229112885403435, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.047229112885403435, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.030960854270874583, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.027656878277190877, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "bench_c_p3m": 0.019572234608212558, "ret_p6m": 1.0774837183085886, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.0774837183085886, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.9678303387279186, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.0649106695834534, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "bench_c_p6m": 0.012573048725135205, "price_path": [-0.3445, -0.3519, -0.3463, -0.3604, -0.0442, -0.0675, -0.1094, -0.0973, -0.0918, -0.107, -0.0606, -0.0602, -0.0084, 0.0644, 0.0764, 0.1306, 0.0778, 0.0754, 0.1005, 0.121, 0.1544, 0.2568, 0.2779, 0.2475, 0.1752, 0.2182, 0.3244, 0.2939, 0.3526, 0.2796, 0.2564, 0.2286, 0.1327, 0.0884, 0.0412, -0.0153, 0.06, 0.1708, 0.2524, 0.2165, 0.2491, 0.2399, 0.3062, 0.2029, 0.1037, 0.1682, 0.0928, 0.1111, 0.0979, 0.0207, -0.0578, -0.115, -0.1659, -0.1415, -0.096, -0.0507, -0.1549, -0.1686, -0.0824, -0.1125, -0.0545, -0.0545, -0.0527, 0.0, -0.0369, -0.0123, 0.0265, -0.0211, 0.0018, -0.0373, -0.0655, -0.0586, -0.1244, -0.1898, -0.1917, -0.2466, -0.2203, -0.1067, -0.0691, -0.101, -0.0901, -0.0901, -0.1254, -0.1409, -0.1496, -0.1642, -0.1642, -0.1018, -0.0731, 0.0009, -0.0393, -0.0285, -0.0222, 0.0717, 0.0527, 0.0183, 0.0373, 0.0857, 0.0857, -0.0086, -0.0128, -0.033, -0.0564, -0.0868, -0.0228, 0.0028, -0.0523, -0.1494, -0.1197, -0.1018, -0.1773, -0.2624, -0.1403, -0.0726, -0.0835, -0.1152, -0.104, -0.0214, -0.0214, -0.0263, 0.0165, 0.0745, -0.0223, 0.0046, 0.0243, 0.0596, 0.0472, -0.0895, -0.0913, -0.1333, -0.0237, -0.0449, -0.108, -0.052, -0.0371, 0.1183, 0.0788, 0.1278, 0.2966, 0.1616, 0.1838, 0.2134, 0.1744, 0.1398, 0.1474, 0.1492, 0.0581, 0.0067, -0.0788, 0.036, 0.018, 0.0866, 0.0866, 0.1237, 0.1722, 0.2481, 0.3613, 0.4475, 0.5433, 0.617, 0.6652, 0.6509, 0.569, 0.5892, 0.5632, 0.5591, 0.5684, 0.4694, 0.4474, 0.3531, 0.4098, 0.3802, 0.5426, 0.7616, 0.7566, 0.948, 0.8449, 0.7678, 0.8582, 0.7884, 1.0696, 1.2082, 1.1961, 0.9956, 0.9743, 0.9153, 1.196, 1.1445, 1.1445, 1.0775]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1995149247495524771", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-30T15:13:43+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the marketcap overtaking $CRWV", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS as clear neocloud leader; expects market to re-rate on forward growth/margins, surpassing CRWV in market cap.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@babyfolio It’s already the clear leader in my view! Just waiting for market to price in $NBIS forward growth/margins and the marketcap overtaking $CRWV.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Exactly why $NBIS is going to be the clear leading **NEOCLOUD**", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "babyfolio", "ret_m1d": -0.051128924692943056, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.051128924692943056, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05571536955526579, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05571536955526579, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004586444862322736, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.013366192732016335, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013366192732016335, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.015218492406095407, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015218492406095407, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001852299674079072, "ret_p1w": 0.11912795997943837, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11912795997943837, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11418870472518039, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11418870472518039, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004939255254257979, "ret_p1m": -0.04100695734271331, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04100695734271331, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05389906413508039, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05389906413508039, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012892106792367075, "ret_p3m": 0.26693486045316184, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.26693486045316184, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.250666601838633, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.250666601838633, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016268258614528852, "ret_p6m": 0.3741240947890423, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3741240947890423, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2644707152083723, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2644707152083723, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10965337958067001, "price_path": [0.1664, 0.1352, 0.1561, 0.214, 0.3005, 0.5201, 0.4624, 0.4529, 0.5633, 0.541, 0.5684, 0.5753, 0.6203, 0.7289, 0.6985, 0.7311, 0.6437, 0.5616, 0.5899, 0.7759, 0.7785, 0.7908, 0.7492, 0.737, 0.6718, 0.8165, 0.8567, 0.7964, 0.8378, 0.7397, 0.8069, 0.8393, 0.7761, 0.6488, 0.6229, 0.5771, 0.6006, 0.7201, 0.7656, 0.7493, 0.8159, 0.7008, 0.7351, 0.6392, 0.5021, 0.4848, 0.3876, 0.3497, 0.3705, 0.147, 0.1086, 0.0166, 0.0039, -0.0224, -0.028, -0.0278, -0.1019, -0.0702, -0.0449, -0.0749, -0.0359, -0.0359, -0.0511, 0.0, -0.0134, 0.0298, 0.1128, 0.1459, 0.1191, 0.1765, 0.144, 0.1339, 0.0199, -0.0611, -0.0981, -0.1623, -0.1217, 0.0771, 0.1008, 0.0415, 0.0235, 0.0235, -0.0083, -0.0278, -0.041, -0.0707, -0.0707, 0.0293, -0.0026, 0.0114, 0.0016, 0.0004, 0.04, 0.167, 0.1352, 0.1653, 0.2329, 0.3137, 0.3137, 0.2357, 0.2205, 0.1911, 0.2066, 0.2758, 0.4127, 0.3758, 0.2916, 0.2093, 0.1542, 0.1687, 0.0701, -0.0313, 0.1673, 0.256, 0.2342, 0.2348, 0.2419, 0.2463, 0.2463, 0.1809, 0.2386, 0.2606, 0.1582, 0.1788, 0.2886, 0.2719, 0.2669, 0.0324, 0.0128, -0.0426, 0.0317, -0.0291, -0.0528, -0.0344, -0.0278, 0.0636, 0.0363, 0.0526, 0.1142, 0.0657, 0.0747, 0.0467, 0.0572, 0.0636, 0.0773, 0.1365, 0.044, -0.0292, -0.1026, 0.0053, 0.0179, 0.0672, 0.0672, 0.0504, 0.1062, 0.1536, 0.1939, 0.3236, 0.431, 0.5209, 0.5402, 0.5515, 0.5164, 0.5239, 0.4944, 0.5902, 0.5237, 0.4293, 0.4542, 0.3695, 0.4818, 0.4482, 0.5444, 0.6277, 0.6596, 0.7906, 0.6719, 0.4813, 0.4885, 0.3983, 0.4445, 0.4822, 0.3924, 0.3466, 0.2952, 0.3143, 0.3961, 0.3689, 0.3689, 0.3741]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1993685263558885878", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-26T14:16:22+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "sitting in some small $21B marketcap company is Avride, one of the only Level 4 developers out there… we can see this scale up extremely rapidly over the next year alongside their core business", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish NBIS as undervalued Level-4 autonomous play; also sees GOOGL/TSLA as robotaxi exposure but prefers NBIS given valuation and Avride's Uber partnership scaling rapidly.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "🎯 Spot on commentary of my point. People see robotaxis as a trillion + dollar market.\n\n$GOOGL Waymo is expanding rapidly and has first mover advantage. $TSLA is banking on low cost + cameras to achieve FSD robotaxis at scale but aren't quite there yet. \n\nAnd people buy $TSLA or $GOOGL for that self-driving car robotaxi exposure through trillion dollar companies.\n\nYet, sitting in some small $21B marketcap company is Avride, one of the only Level 4 developers out there (that's been in development for 7+ years since Yandex).\n\nUber sees an immense threat from Tesla + Waymo so they're expanding with $NBIS Avride (hence the $375m investment + partnership) and we can see this scale up extremely rapidly over the next year alongside their core business.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Investors keep reaching for autonomy exposure through trillion dollar firms like $GOOGL or $TSLA, yet one of the few fully driverless platforms in the US just happens to sit inside $NBIS. \n\nAvride is already on the short list of Level 4 operators with real partners ( $UBER,", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Analytica_X", "ret_m1d": -0.06135816916451642, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06135816916451642, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05450201704657076, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05996039154774202, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0068561521179456575, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0013977776167743983, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.04467204159337279, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04467204159337279, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03847796056855057, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.038818428543512695, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006194081024822218, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005853613049860096, "ret_p1m": -0.03759642091245263, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03759642091245263, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0563405015805456, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07265061196442191, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018744080668092966, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035054191051969275, "ret_p3m": 0.06251978050806972, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06251978050806972, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05556591171807934, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05139391075443167, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006953868789990381, "bench_c_p3m": 0.011125869753638051, "ret_p6m": 1.3226316084622867, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.3226316084622867, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.2236600628888836, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.3017723468774232, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09897154557340304, "bench_c_p6m": 0.02085926158486351, "price_path": [-0.2785, -0.2785, -0.3059, -0.3067, -0.3145, -0.3086, -0.3235, 0.0109, -0.0137, -0.0581, -0.0452, -0.0394, -0.0555, -0.0064, -0.006, 0.0488, 0.1258, 0.1385, 0.1958, 0.1399, 0.1374, 0.164, 0.1857, 0.2209, 0.3293, 0.3516, 0.3195, 0.243, 0.2884, 0.4008, 0.3685, 0.4306, 0.3534, 0.3289, 0.2994, 0.198, 0.1511, 0.1013, 0.0415, 0.1211, 0.2384, 0.3246, 0.2866, 0.3212, 0.3114, 0.3816, 0.2723, 0.1674, 0.2356, 0.1558, 0.1752, 0.1612, 0.0795, -0.0035, -0.064, -0.1178, -0.092, -0.0438, 0.004, -0.1061, -0.1207, -0.0295, -0.0614, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0019, 0.0577, 0.0186, 0.0447, 0.0856, 0.0354, 0.0596, 0.0182, -0.0116, -0.0043, -0.0739, -0.1431, -0.1451, -0.2032, -0.1753, -0.0552, -0.0154, -0.0492, -0.0376, -0.0376, -0.075, -0.0914, -0.1005, -0.116, -0.116, -0.0501, -0.0196, 0.0586, 0.0161, 0.0276, 0.0342, 0.1335, 0.1134, 0.077, 0.0971, 0.1483, 0.1483, 0.0486, 0.0441, 0.0228, -0.002, -0.0341, 0.0336, 0.0606, 0.0023, -0.1003, -0.069, -0.0501, -0.1299, -0.2199, -0.0907, -0.0191, -0.0306, -0.0642, -0.0524, 0.0351, 0.0351, 0.0299, 0.0751, 0.1364, 0.0341, 0.0625, 0.0833, 0.1207, 0.1076, -0.037, -0.0389, -0.0833, 0.0326, 0.0101, -0.0566, 0.0026, 0.0184, 0.1828, 0.141, 0.1928, 0.3713, 0.2285, 0.2521, 0.2833, 0.2422, 0.2055, 0.2135, 0.2154, 0.1191, 0.0647, -0.0257, 0.0958, 0.0767, 0.1492, 0.1492, 0.1885, 0.2398, 0.3201, 0.4398, 0.531, 0.6323, 0.7102, 0.7612, 0.7461, 0.6595, 0.6809, 0.6533, 0.649, 0.6589, 0.5541, 0.5309, 0.4311, 0.4911, 0.4598, 0.6315, 0.8631, 0.8579, 1.0603, 0.9513, 0.8698, 0.9654, 0.8915, 1.1889, 1.3355, 1.3227, 1.1107, 1.0882, 1.0258, 1.3226]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1993685263558885878", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-26T14:16:22+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$GOOGL Waymo is expanding rapidly and has first mover advantage", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish NBIS as undervalued Level-4 autonomous play; also sees GOOGL/TSLA as robotaxi exposure but prefers NBIS given valuation and Avride's Uber partnership scaling rapidly.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "🎯 Spot on commentary of my point. People see robotaxis as a trillion + dollar market.\n\n$GOOGL Waymo is expanding rapidly and has first mover advantage. $TSLA is banking on low cost + cameras to achieve FSD robotaxis at scale but aren't quite there yet. \n\nAnd people buy $TSLA or $GOOGL for that self-driving car robotaxi exposure through trillion dollar companies.\n\nYet, sitting in some small $21B marketcap company is Avride, one of the only Level 4 developers out there (that's been in development for 7+ years since Yandex).\n\nUber sees an immense threat from Tesla + Waymo so they're expanding with $NBIS Avride (hence the $375m investment + partnership) and we can see this scale up extremely rapidly over the next year alongside their core business.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Investors keep reaching for autonomy exposure through trillion dollar firms like $GOOGL or $TSLA, yet one of the few fully driverless platforms in the US just happens to sit inside $NBIS. \n\nAvride is already on the short list of Level 4 operators with real partners ( $UBER,", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Analytica_X", "ret_m1d": 0.010907841613371883, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.010907841613371883, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01776399373131754, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01230561923014628, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0068561521179456575, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0013977776167743983, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.001000200670512652, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.001000200670512652, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.00719428169533487, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.006853813720372748, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006194081024822218, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005853613049860096, "ret_p1m": -0.0176733319012915, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0176733319012915, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.036417412569384466, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.052727522953260775, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018744080668092966, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035054191051969275, "ret_p3m": -0.025804928968273688, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.025804928968273688, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03275879775826407, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03693079872191174, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006953868789990381, "bench_c_p3m": 0.011125869753638051, "ret_p6m": 0.21327273548675119, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.21327273548675119, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.11430118991334814, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.19241347390188768, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09897154557340304, "bench_c_p6m": 0.02085926158486351, "price_path": [-0.3351, -0.3351, -0.34, -0.2797, -0.2746, -0.2662, -0.2685, -0.251, -0.2525, -0.2487, -0.2474, -0.2136, -0.215, -0.2201, -0.2123, -0.2039, -0.2107, -0.2134, -0.2276, -0.2318, -0.2294, -0.2372, -0.2402, -0.2346, -0.2321, -0.2332, -0.2173, -0.2319, -0.2354, -0.2451, -0.2606, -0.2369, -0.2328, -0.2154, -0.2141, -0.2083, -0.1982, -0.2172, -0.2133, -0.209, -0.1876, -0.1584, -0.164, -0.1418, -0.1202, -0.1211, -0.1132, -0.1326, -0.1114, -0.11, -0.1285, -0.0933, -0.0895, -0.1039, -0.1293, -0.1361, -0.1092, -0.1115, -0.0848, -0.0953, -0.0634, -0.0043, 0.0109, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0007, -0.0158, -0.0129, -0.001, -0.0073, 0.0041, -0.0188, -0.0083, 0.0015, -0.0229, -0.0327, -0.036, -0.0412, -0.072, -0.054, -0.0393, -0.0312, -0.0169, -0.0177, -0.0177, -0.0195, -0.0193, -0.0184, -0.0211, -0.0211, -0.0144, -0.01, -0.0169, 0.007, 0.0178, 0.0276, 0.0379, 0.0508, 0.0504, 0.0408, 0.0321, 0.0321, 0.0071, 0.027, 0.0338, 0.0256, 0.0423, 0.0463, 0.0509, 0.0579, 0.0571, 0.0749, 0.0625, 0.0416, 0.036, 0.0098, 0.0143, -0.0036, -0.0275, -0.0336, -0.0439, -0.0439, -0.0554, -0.0513, -0.0528, -0.0149, -0.0258, -0.0277, -0.0214, -0.0387, -0.025, -0.0413, -0.0505, -0.052, -0.059, -0.0664, -0.0412, -0.039, -0.0339, -0.05, -0.0539, -0.0437, -0.0269, -0.037, -0.0388, -0.058, -0.0546, -0.091, -0.0895, -0.1208, -0.1414, -0.144, -0.1, -0.0692, -0.0743, -0.0743, -0.0611, -0.044, -0.0069, -0.0032, -0.0071, 0.0056, 0.0419, 0.0551, 0.0517, 0.0694, 0.056, 0.04, 0.062, 0.0606, 0.0779, 0.0965, 0.0947, 0.0952, 0.2043, 0.2071, 0.1995, 0.2157, 0.2458, 0.2456, 0.2544, 0.2163, 0.2123, 0.2601, 0.2552, 0.2418, 0.2423, 0.2133, 0.2172, 0.2133]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1993685263558885878", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2025-11-26T14:16:22+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSLA is banking on low cost + cameras to achieve FSD robotaxis at scale", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish NBIS as undervalued Level-4 autonomous play; also sees GOOGL/TSLA as robotaxi exposure but prefers NBIS given valuation and Avride's Uber partnership scaling rapidly.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "🎯 Spot on commentary of my point. People see robotaxis as a trillion + dollar market.\n\n$GOOGL Waymo is expanding rapidly and has first mover advantage. $TSLA is banking on low cost + cameras to achieve FSD robotaxis at scale but aren't quite there yet. \n\nAnd people buy $TSLA or $GOOGL for that self-driving car robotaxi exposure through trillion dollar companies.\n\nYet, sitting in some small $21B marketcap company is Avride, one of the only Level 4 developers out there (that's been in development for 7+ years since Yandex).\n\nUber sees an immense threat from Tesla + Waymo so they're expanding with $NBIS Avride (hence the $375m investment + partnership) and we can see this scale up extremely rapidly over the next year alongside their core business.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Investors keep reaching for autonomy exposure through trillion dollar firms like $GOOGL or $TSLA, yet one of the few fully driverless platforms in the US just happens to sit inside $NBIS. \n\nAvride is already on the short list of Level 4 operators with real partners ( $UBER,", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Analytica_X", "ret_m1d": -0.016831527267547775, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.016831527267547775, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009975375149602117, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009975375149602117, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0068561521179456575, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0068561521179456575, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.04725960967860399, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04725960967860399, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04106552865378177, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04106552865378177, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.006194081024822218, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006194081024822218, "ret_p1m": 0.13788740488474427, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13788740488474427, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1191433242166513, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1191433242166513, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.018744080668092966, "bench_c_p1m": 0.018744080668092966, "ret_p3m": -0.06270805204657293, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06270805204657293, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0696619208365633, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0696619208365633, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.006953868789990381, "bench_c_p3m": 0.006953868789990381, "ret_p6m": -0.020465049330838925, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.020465049330838925, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.11943659490424197, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.11943659490424197, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.09897154557340304, "bench_c_p6m": 0.09897154557340304, "price_path": [-0.2173, -0.2173, -0.2279, -0.2168, -0.2064, -0.1776, -0.188, -0.1866, -0.1847, -0.1354, -0.0718, -0.0388, -0.0116, -0.0017, -0.0228, -0.0012, 0.0179, -0.0017, 0.038, -0.0075, 0.0324, 0.039, 0.0425, 0.0771, 0.0221, 0.0076, 0.0625, 0.0153, 0.0284, 0.021, -0.0307, 0.0218, 0.0062, 0.0201, 0.0051, 0.0298, 0.0489, 0.0376, 0.029, 0.0525, 0.0167, 0.0606, 0.0796, 0.0819, 0.0317, 0.0703, 0.098, 0.0414, 0.0832, 0.0453, 0.0069, 0.0437, 0.0306, 0.0094, -0.0576, -0.0521, -0.0414, -0.0594, -0.053, -0.0735, -0.0832, -0.0206, -0.0168, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0084, 0.0083, 0.0062, 0.0473, 0.0655, 0.0666, 0.0305, 0.0436, 0.0583, 0.0476, 0.0759, 0.1142, 0.1484, 0.0954, 0.1331, 0.128, 0.1457, 0.1383, 0.1379, 0.1379, 0.114, 0.0775, 0.0653, 0.0542, 0.0542, 0.0269, 0.0588, 0.015, 0.0113, 0.0216, 0.0432, 0.0525, 0.0483, 0.0296, 0.0281, 0.0256, 0.0256, -0.0172, 0.0114, 0.0534, 0.0527, 0.0202, 0.0101, 0.0114, -0.0235, 0.009, -0.0112, -0.0108, -0.0482, -0.0688, -0.0363, -0.0217, -0.0032, 0.004, -0.0223, -0.0214, -0.0214, -0.0374, -0.0358, -0.0349, -0.0346, -0.0627, -0.0403, -0.0215, -0.0422, -0.0564, -0.0545, -0.0801, -0.0484, -0.0493, -0.07, -0.0654, -0.0641, -0.044, -0.074, -0.0829, -0.0727, -0.064, -0.0792, -0.1085, -0.1374, -0.1072, -0.1021, -0.0952, -0.1277, -0.1518, -0.1671, -0.1285, -0.1062, -0.1547, -0.1547, -0.1729, -0.1874, -0.1953, -0.1898, -0.182, -0.1738, -0.1462, -0.0812, -0.0883, -0.0609, -0.0799, -0.0941, -0.0916, -0.1239, -0.1179, -0.1123, -0.1185, -0.1261, -0.1054, -0.0838, -0.0799, -0.0872, -0.0653, -0.0347, 0.0041, 0.0432, 0.0161, 0.0438, 0.0392, -0.0102, -0.0389, -0.0527, -0.0218, -0.0205]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1965780291018166563", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-10T14:11:58+00:00", "symbol": "SG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Realistically it could go back to $14+ if earnings are good. People forget $SG was $40 not too long ago lol so worth the risk just holding it for investing.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long SG with targets of $10 (swing) and $14+ (investing); cites potential earnings catalyst and prior $40 history.", "resolved_tickers": ["SG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Restaurants'", "bench_c_industry": "Restaurants", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@okcnav On WSB I said $10 if you’re swing trading. \n\nRealistically it could go back to $14+ if earnings are good. \n\nPeople forget $SG was $40 not too long ago lol so worth the risk just holding it for investing.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Whats your target exit on $SG?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "okcnav", "ret_m1d": -0.0011506646364047857, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0011506646364047857, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0017318566934791946, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01326055027939499, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028825213298839802, "bench_c_m1d": 0.012109885642990204, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008310170355944058, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01945289683247875, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008310170355944058, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01945289683247875, "ret_p1w": 0.0023015487605799745, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0023015487605799745, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.008385194038448951, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.035058431057375605, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010686742799028925, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03735997981795558, "ret_p1m": -0.08745682264016352, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08745682264016352, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11936482280475502, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09932991986431516, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0319080001645915, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01187309722415164, "ret_p3m": -0.25086299847730364, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.25086299847730364, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.301943639613921, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.26600546299067407, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.051080641136617366, "bench_c_p3m": 0.015142464513370424, "ret_p6m": -0.3383198759894097, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.3383198759894097, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.3889288266697275, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.34306038936093675, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05060895068031779, "bench_c_p6m": 0.004740513371527033, "price_path": [0.4476, 0.4545, 0.4074, 0.4143, 0.4143, 0.412, 0.4753, 0.5339, 0.458, 0.5708, 0.5639, 0.7123, 0.6743, 0.6571, 0.6904, 0.6904, 0.5224, 0.5478, 0.5339, 0.5777, 0.5696, 0.5604, 0.496, 0.504, 0.5639, 0.6467, 0.611, 0.7514, 0.8711, 0.6444, 0.7008, 0.5788, 0.5144, 0.5351, 0.4822, 0.3728, 0.4292, 0.4338, 0.4177, 0.4568, 0.1208, 0.1024, 0.1105, 0.1059, 0.0529, 0.0575, 0.0679, 0.0863, 0.038, 0.0334, 0.0748, 0.0472, 0.0518, 0.0403, 0.0656, 0.0472, 0.0472, 0.0138, 0.0253, 0.0058, 0.0276, -0.0552, -0.0012, 0.0, 0.0, -0.023, -0.0334, 0.0196, 0.0023, -0.0069, -0.0115, 0.0207, -0.0403, -0.0426, -0.0598, -0.0621, -0.0771, -0.0817, -0.0713, -0.0656, -0.0518, -0.0875, -0.107, -0.1059, -0.0875, -0.1335, -0.1358, -0.1151, -0.1369, -0.1519, -0.1588, -0.145, -0.0656, -0.0909, -0.1438, -0.1507, -0.1669, -0.1979, -0.2014, -0.2785, -0.2762, -0.2624, -0.2624, -0.2555, -0.2808, -0.3349, -0.3751, -0.3982, -0.382, -0.3165, -0.2957, -0.3418, -0.3153, -0.3038, -0.3038, -0.2244, -0.2543, -0.2106, -0.2371, -0.2371, -0.2532, -0.2624, -0.2359, -0.2002, -0.206, -0.2301, -0.2509, -0.206, -0.1945, -0.1726, -0.1646, -0.1657, -0.2048, -0.2186, -0.1876, -0.2117, -0.2244, -0.2336, -0.1922, -0.1922, -0.1979, -0.2198, -0.2486, -0.2221, -0.2221, -0.2025, -0.1991, -0.1588, -0.1611, -0.1174, -0.1001, -0.0978, -0.1116, -0.0875, -0.069, -0.0829, -0.0829, -0.1956, -0.2025, -0.1899, -0.1761, -0.2336, -0.2555, -0.2589, -0.2946, -0.2934, -0.2946, -0.2992, -0.2509, -0.3222, -0.3003, -0.351, -0.3774, -0.3913, -0.4097, -0.4085, -0.4085, -0.3924, -0.3153, -0.3049, -0.3337, -0.3774, -0.3774, -0.3257, -0.2934, -0.3613, -0.3797, -0.3867, -0.3636, -0.3383]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2002688753710887007", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-12-21T10:33:01+00:00", "symbol": "CRCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Go extraordinarily long on Circle at $84 ($18B MC) as both a geopolitical instrument, standard settlement currency, and as the private sector extension of US Treasury.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "High-conviction long CRCL at $84 ($18B MC) as private-sector US Treasury extension / digital dollar; also long NBIS into 2026.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The 1000%+ Circle Thesis: USDC and the Rise of a Private-Sector Federal Reserve.\n\nCircle $CRCL, alongside names like $NBIS, is now my high-conviction long going into 2026 for one reason:\n\nCircle has become the private-sector extension of the US Treasury. \n\nAt a $18B MC.\n\nA 10x+ generational opportunity capitalizing on the monetary shift on the Dollar becoming programmable and purely digital.\n\nCircle is not a fintech company. It shouldn't be valued like a traditional one. It's a national security interest of the US Government as the digital money printer. \n\nHere's the qualitative reasons to long Circle:\n\n1. Circle Buys US Debt and collects interest as the private-sector extension of the US Treasury.\n\n- As USDC market cap expands, Circle buys more short-dated US Treasuries. They are becoming one of the largest single holders of US debt in the world.\n\n- In an era where BRICS and other blocs are trying to de-dollarize, the US government needs a digital dollar export. Circle spreads USD hegemony instantly to anyone globally, bypassing local banking restrictions.\n\n- Circle becomes an effective \"short\" against other foreign currencies (with low interest or devaluation) -> convert local currencies to Circle (USD) -> buy into the US debt. \n\nFor $CRCL: The US government cannot afford to let Circle fail. It has an implicit \"state-backed\" strategic moat that traditional fintechs do not have.\n\nAt an $18B valuation. \n\n2. Network effect: \n\nCircle + USDC has already captured the network effect.\n\n- There's hundreds of stablecoins now. Paypal USD, FDUSD, USD1, USDe, and many more to come. But Circle + USDC has already captured the network effect for the US markets (USDT, is still widely used internationally). \n\nEveryone settles with Circle USDC now, whether that's Visa, Stripe, Banks, or more. The network effect is why Meta/Reddit have their moats. Or why Bitcoin has a 1.5T+ market cap. And exactly why USDC won't be displaced by new stablecoins.\n\nUSDC has already become the standard for settlement, issuance, storage, and cannibalizes all former settlement methods from T+2 or more rails such as Swift/ACH. \n\nCircle has secured the ultimate network effect both in adoption + agreed upon settlement infrastructure. \n\nWith this, as more usage grows -> Circle prints more money. \n\n3. The Private-to-Public Lag:\n\nLot of people don't know but I help SV venture capital firms with DD as well for fintech Seed/Series A/B type investments on the side. \n\nFrom personal experience, I've seen a record breaking amount of funding pour into USDC-related companies: whether that's Stablecoin Neobanks (banks like Mecury, just powered by USDC) or settlement infrastructure with USDC.\n\nAnd of course many public-news about private sector acquisitions such as Stripe acquisition of bridge for $1.1B or Banks starting to look into M&A to create USDC related products. \n\nMany years ago this was AI and we've seen it come into fruition from Anthropic to NVDA's rise a year or two later. \n\nNow it's stablecoins + USDC. \n\nPublic markets are lagging indicators and they haven't priced in the inevitability of USDC becoming the agreed upon settlement rail (Bitcoin for digital gold, USDC for USD/settlement).\n\nWe've seen a selloff of Circle mainly due to float dynamics, but we'll likely see hedge funds try and accumulate control of the future money printer of the USD. \n_\n\n$CRCL isn't just a \"crypto stock\" or \"fintech company\" and shouldn't be valued like one (especially pricing profitability from interest rates cuts).  \n\nIt's basically the private sector digitization of the US dollar. \n\nEver since the GENIUS act, we're seeing companies like Circle file for charters, and effectively connect USDC into the federal reserve system.\n\nAnd now we're finally seeing the start of a new Central Bank Digital Currency, but this time issued and privatized through Circle. \n\nGo extraordinarily long on Circle at $84 ($18B MC) as both a geopolitical instrument, standard settlement currency, and as the private sector extension of US Treasury.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I’ve added 2 new stocks to my extreme growth high conviction basket in my personal portfolio. \n\nI’ve never been wrong before about high conviction stocks on longer timeframes (eg. $HOOD $18 -&gt; $100+)\n\nMy 5 high conviction multi-bagger stocks for 2026 are now:\n\n$NBIS -  AI Compute", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.010000031569908363, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010000031569908363, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.003808710554574213, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0021294617922437142, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012129493362152077, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.049080421184671374, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.049080421184671374, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05365087600310425, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.051068826359376596, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001988405174705221, "ret_p1w": -0.07459767659505212, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07459767659505212, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07900744787033964, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07459767659505212, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0, "ret_p1m": -0.16436785116963004, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16436785116963004, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15378123648411934, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1260453753501216, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03832247581950843, "ret_p3m": 0.4750574923109734, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4750574923109734, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5116067426212588, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5894826274491245, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "bench_c_p3m": -0.11442513513815111, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.5124, 0.4329, 0.4597, 0.5363, 0.5239, 0.4831, 0.7209, 0.6756, 0.707, 0.7094, 0.7294, 0.7297, 0.528, 0.5801, 0.5455, 0.5457, 0.4766, 0.4539, 0.5036, 0.4925, 0.4344, 0.4926, 0.6328, 0.647, 0.5645, 0.5143, 0.4105, 0.4595, 0.3547, 0.2787, 0.2992, 0.1495, 0.1855, 0.1966, 0.1299, -0.008, -0.0536, -0.0587, -0.1197, -0.1195, -0.1986, -0.2307, -0.1801, -0.1639, -0.1941, -0.1651, -0.1651, -0.0813, -0.1271, -0.1099, -0.0082, 0.0053, -0.0159, -0.0349, 0.0216, 0.0162, 0.018, -0.0406, -0.1326, -0.046, -0.0897, -0.0691, -0.01, 0.0, -0.0491, -0.0501, -0.0501, -0.0659, -0.0746, -0.0817, -0.0885, -0.0885, -0.0406, -0.0253, -0.0247, -0.0737, -0.0599, -0.0471, -0.0471, -0.0407, -0.0253, -0.1195, -0.0964, -0.0964, -0.1644, -0.1651, -0.1799, -0.1801, -0.1851, -0.1959, -0.1628, -0.2236, -0.2652, -0.3234, -0.3545, -0.3672, -0.4226, -0.3444, -0.3092, -0.3132, -0.3349, -0.3491, -0.3099, -0.3099, -0.2917, -0.2741, -0.2883, -0.2756, -0.2969, -0.2946, -0.0444, 0.0024, -0.0409, 0.1051, 0.1452, 0.21, 0.2154, 0.1714, 0.2855, 0.3574, 0.2967, 0.3124, 0.3262, 0.4463, 0.5208, 0.5269, 0.4751, 0.4486, 0.4556, 0.1629, 0.1938, 0.1295, 0.0766, 0.0334, 0.0967, 0.043, 0.0375, 0.0375, 0.0592, 0.0818, 0.0855, -0.0218, 0.012, 0.1343, 0.2125, 0.2129, 0.2352, 0.2174, 0.2225, 0.1037, 0.1995, 0.1495, 0.1455, 0.097, 0.0845, 0.0984, 0.0446, 0.146, 0.3739, 0.3125, 0.4, 0.3017, 0.3066, 0.5145, 0.4213, 0.4548, 0.4239, 0.3103, 0.2803, 0.2762, 0.283, 0.3205, 0.3002, 0.3002, 0.1974, 0.1798, 0.2441, 0.2989, 0.2989, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2002688753710887007", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-12-21T10:33:01+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Circle $CRCL, alongside names like $NBIS, is now my high-conviction long going into 2026", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "High-conviction long CRCL at $84 ($18B MC) as private-sector US Treasury extension / digital dollar; also long NBIS into 2026.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The 1000%+ Circle Thesis: USDC and the Rise of a Private-Sector Federal Reserve.\n\nCircle $CRCL, alongside names like $NBIS, is now my high-conviction long going into 2026 for one reason:\n\nCircle has become the private-sector extension of the US Treasury. \n\nAt a $18B MC.\n\nA 10x+ generational opportunity capitalizing on the monetary shift on the Dollar becoming programmable and purely digital.\n\nCircle is not a fintech company. It shouldn't be valued like a traditional one. It's a national security interest of the US Government as the digital money printer. \n\nHere's the qualitative reasons to long Circle:\n\n1. Circle Buys US Debt and collects interest as the private-sector extension of the US Treasury.\n\n- As USDC market cap expands, Circle buys more short-dated US Treasuries. They are becoming one of the largest single holders of US debt in the world.\n\n- In an era where BRICS and other blocs are trying to de-dollarize, the US government needs a digital dollar export. Circle spreads USD hegemony instantly to anyone globally, bypassing local banking restrictions.\n\n- Circle becomes an effective \"short\" against other foreign currencies (with low interest or devaluation) -> convert local currencies to Circle (USD) -> buy into the US debt. \n\nFor $CRCL: The US government cannot afford to let Circle fail. It has an implicit \"state-backed\" strategic moat that traditional fintechs do not have.\n\nAt an $18B valuation. \n\n2. Network effect: \n\nCircle + USDC has already captured the network effect.\n\n- There's hundreds of stablecoins now. Paypal USD, FDUSD, USD1, USDe, and many more to come. But Circle + USDC has already captured the network effect for the US markets (USDT, is still widely used internationally). \n\nEveryone settles with Circle USDC now, whether that's Visa, Stripe, Banks, or more. The network effect is why Meta/Reddit have their moats. Or why Bitcoin has a 1.5T+ market cap. And exactly why USDC won't be displaced by new stablecoins.\n\nUSDC has already become the standard for settlement, issuance, storage, and cannibalizes all former settlement methods from T+2 or more rails such as Swift/ACH. \n\nCircle has secured the ultimate network effect both in adoption + agreed upon settlement infrastructure. \n\nWith this, as more usage grows -> Circle prints more money. \n\n3. The Private-to-Public Lag:\n\nLot of people don't know but I help SV venture capital firms with DD as well for fintech Seed/Series A/B type investments on the side. \n\nFrom personal experience, I've seen a record breaking amount of funding pour into USDC-related companies: whether that's Stablecoin Neobanks (banks like Mecury, just powered by USDC) or settlement infrastructure with USDC.\n\nAnd of course many public-news about private sector acquisitions such as Stripe acquisition of bridge for $1.1B or Banks starting to look into M&A to create USDC related products. \n\nMany years ago this was AI and we've seen it come into fruition from Anthropic to NVDA's rise a year or two later. \n\nNow it's stablecoins + USDC. \n\nPublic markets are lagging indicators and they haven't priced in the inevitability of USDC becoming the agreed upon settlement rail (Bitcoin for digital gold, USDC for USD/settlement).\n\nWe've seen a selloff of Circle mainly due to float dynamics, but we'll likely see hedge funds try and accumulate control of the future money printer of the USD. \n_\n\n$CRCL isn't just a \"crypto stock\" or \"fintech company\" and shouldn't be valued like one (especially pricing profitability from interest rates cuts).  \n\nIt's basically the private sector digitization of the US dollar. \n\nEver since the GENIUS act, we're seeing companies like Circle file for charters, and effectively connect USDC into the federal reserve system.\n\nAnd now we're finally seeing the start of a new Central Bank Digital Currency, but this time issued and privatized through Circle. \n\nGo extraordinarily long on Circle at $84 ($18B MC) as both a geopolitical instrument, standard settlement currency, and as the private sector extension of US Treasury.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I’ve added 2 new stocks to my extreme growth high conviction basket in my personal portfolio. \n\nI’ve never been wrong before about high conviction stocks on longer timeframes (eg. $HOOD $18 -&gt; $100+)\n\nMy 5 high conviction multi-bagger stocks for 2026 are now:\n\n$NBIS -  AI Compute", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.040437671744227854, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.040437671744227854, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.034246350728893704, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0360144971672961, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00619132101533415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004423174576931754, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03432376340678023, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03432376340678023, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.038894218225213106, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04058125083315256, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004570454818432879, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006257487426372332, "ret_p1w": -0.07712112176891306, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07712112176891306, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08153089304420058, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08766453342417069, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004409771275287522, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010543411655257628, "ret_p1m": 0.06500050778066457, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06500050778066457, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07558712246617527, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09234494973203389, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.010586614685510698, "bench_c_p1m": -0.027344441951369314, "ret_p3m": 0.3034430147752307, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3034430147752307, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.33999226508551617, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3336161785269677, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.03654925031028544, "bench_c_p3m": -0.030173163751736953, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2145, 0.1578, 0.1552, 0.1822, 0.2042, 0.2401, 0.3501, 0.3727, 0.3401, 0.2625, 0.3086, 0.4227, 0.3899, 0.453, 0.3746, 0.3497, 0.3197, 0.2168, 0.1692, 0.1185, 0.0578, 0.1387, 0.2577, 0.3454, 0.3068, 0.3418, 0.332, 0.4032, 0.2922, 0.1857, 0.255, 0.1739, 0.1936, 0.1793, 0.0964, 0.0121, -0.0493, -0.1039, -0.0778, -0.0289, 0.0197, -0.0921, -0.1069, -0.0143, -0.0467, 0.0157, 0.0157, 0.0176, 0.0742, 0.0345, 0.061, 0.1026, 0.0516, 0.0762, 0.0341, 0.0039, 0.0113, -0.0594, -0.1297, -0.1317, -0.1907, -0.1624, -0.0404, 0.0, -0.0343, -0.0225, -0.0225, -0.0605, -0.0771, -0.0865, -0.1022, -0.1022, -0.0352, -0.0043, 0.0752, 0.032, 0.0437, 0.0504, 0.1512, 0.1309, 0.0939, 0.1143, 0.1663, 0.1663, 0.065, 0.0605, 0.0388, 0.0136, -0.019, 0.0498, 0.0772, 0.018, -0.0862, -0.0544, -0.0352, -0.1163, -0.2077, -0.0765, -0.0038, -0.0154, -0.0496, -0.0375, 0.0513, 0.0513, 0.046, 0.0919, 0.1542, 0.0503, 0.0792, 0.1003, 0.1383, 0.125, -0.0219, -0.0238, -0.069, 0.0488, 0.026, -0.0418, 0.0183, 0.0343, 0.2013, 0.1589, 0.2115, 0.3928, 0.2478, 0.2717, 0.3034, 0.2616, 0.2244, 0.2325, 0.2345, 0.1367, 0.0814, -0.0104, 0.1129, 0.0935, 0.1672, 0.1672, 0.2071, 0.2593, 0.3408, 0.4623, 0.555, 0.6578, 0.737, 0.7888, 0.7735, 0.6855, 0.7072, 0.6792, 0.6748, 0.6849, 0.5785, 0.5549, 0.4535, 0.5144, 0.4827, 0.6571, 0.8923, 0.8869, 1.0926, 0.9819, 0.8991, 0.9961, 0.9212, 1.2232, 1.3721, 1.3591, 1.1437, 1.1209, 1.0575, 1.359, 1.3037, 1.3037, 1.2317, 1.235, 1.4278, 1.4787, 1.4787, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1992210928549630282", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-22T12:37:53+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Coreweave only has $1.9B cash equivalent left and faces $1.2B+ a year from debt interest. And they'd need to raise more for buildout for their other hyperscaler contracts during a period of credit tightening", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish CRWV on cash burn, debt load, and OpenAI backlog risk; bullish NBIS as better-capitalized neocloud alternative.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Agreed. But to @_melonBird with the SemiAnalysis ranking on $CRWV, I agree with that table. Coreweave and $NBIS are the two with full-stack nailed down in the whole Neocloud sector.\n\nCoreweave spent many years and billions of USD on acquisitions to get software right.\n\nHowever, that table doesn't mean anything when you look at company financials. \n\nCoreweave only has $1.9B cash equivalent left and faces $1.2B+ a year from debt interest. And they'd need to raise more for buildout for their other hyperscaler contracts during a period of credit tightening (when much smaller players like $NBIS has $4.9B+ to spend on capex)\n\nOn top, 1/3 ($22B+) of their backlog comes from OpenAi which has no funding for that $1T+ promised yet, and $CRWV / $ORCL  is building out capacity for them, which presents a massive risk.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I think exactly like you actually.\nThis $CRWV placement might trigger some, but it's very deserving", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "babyfolio", "ret_m1d": -0.026494524302576372, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.026494524302576372, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.011989509404608745, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011989509404608745, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014505014897967627, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014505014897967627, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.031385837044629605, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.031385837044629605, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0407918284866855, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0407918284866855, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009405991442055894, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009405991442055894, "ret_p1w": 0.04701085810061856, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04701085810061856, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02975425590201053, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02975425590201053, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01725660219860803, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01725660219860803, "ret_p1m": 0.09048918206772982, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09048918206772982, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05869323553023498, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05869323553023498, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031795946537494846, "bench_c_p1m": 0.031795946537494846, "ret_p3m": 0.31983697559184554, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.31983697559184554, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.29326038913337804, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.29326038913337804, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0265765864584675, "bench_c_p3m": 0.0265765864584675, "ret_p6m": 0.35611412537852827, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.35611412537852827, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.2526674954051997, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.2526674954051997, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10344662997332854, "bench_c_p6m": 0.10344662997332854, "price_path": [0.317, 0.3966, 0.4, 0.4, 0.2682, 0.2212, 0.1886, 0.2105, 0.2711, 0.3617, 0.5916, 0.5311, 0.5212, 0.6368, 0.6135, 0.6421, 0.6493, 0.6965, 0.8102, 0.7784, 0.8125, 0.7209, 0.6351, 0.6647, 0.8594, 0.8621, 0.875, 0.8314, 0.8186, 0.7504, 0.9019, 0.944, 0.8808, 0.9242, 0.8215, 0.8918, 0.9258, 0.8596, 0.7264, 0.6992, 0.6512, 0.6758, 0.801, 0.8486, 0.8315, 0.9012, 0.7807, 0.8167, 0.7163, 0.5727, 0.5546, 0.4529, 0.4132, 0.4349, 0.201, 0.1607, 0.0644, 0.0511, 0.0235, 0.0177, 0.0179, -0.0596, -0.0265, 0.0, -0.0314, 0.0094, 0.0094, -0.0065, 0.047, 0.033, 0.0783, 0.1651, 0.1997, 0.1717, 0.2318, 0.1978, 0.1872, 0.0678, -0.017, -0.0557, -0.123, -0.0804, 0.1277, 0.1526, 0.0905, 0.0716, 0.0716, 0.0383, 0.0179, 0.0041, -0.027, -0.027, 0.0777, 0.0443, 0.059, 0.0486, 0.0474, 0.0889, 0.2219, 0.1886, 0.2201, 0.2909, 0.3754, 0.3754, 0.2938, 0.2779, 0.2471, 0.2633, 0.3357, 0.4791, 0.4405, 0.3523, 0.2662, 0.2084, 0.2236, 0.1204, 0.0143, 0.2221, 0.3151, 0.2923, 0.2928, 0.3003, 0.3049, 0.3049, 0.2364, 0.2969, 0.3198, 0.2126, 0.2342, 0.3492, 0.3317, 0.3265, 0.081, 0.0605, 0.0024, 0.0802, 0.0166, -0.0083, 0.011, 0.0179, 0.1136, 0.0851, 0.102, 0.1666, 0.1158, 0.1253, 0.0959, 0.1069, 0.1136, 0.128, 0.1899, 0.0931, 0.0164, -0.0605, 0.0526, 0.0658, 0.1174, 0.1174, 0.0997, 0.1582, 0.2079, 0.25, 0.3859, 0.4982, 0.5924, 0.6126, 0.6245, 0.5876, 0.5955, 0.5647, 0.6649, 0.5954, 0.4965, 0.5226, 0.4338, 0.5515, 0.5163, 0.617, 0.7042, 0.7376, 0.8747, 0.7505, 0.551, 0.5584, 0.464, 0.5124, 0.5518, 0.4579, 0.4099, 0.3561]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1992210928549630282", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-22T12:37:53+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "much smaller players like $NBIS has $4.9B+ to spend on capex", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish CRWV on cash burn, debt load, and OpenAI backlog risk; bullish NBIS as better-capitalized neocloud alternative.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Agreed. But to @_melonBird with the SemiAnalysis ranking on $CRWV, I agree with that table. Coreweave and $NBIS are the two with full-stack nailed down in the whole Neocloud sector.\n\nCoreweave spent many years and billions of USD on acquisitions to get software right.\n\nHowever, that table doesn't mean anything when you look at company financials. \n\nCoreweave only has $1.9B cash equivalent left and faces $1.2B+ a year from debt interest. And they'd need to raise more for buildout for their other hyperscaler contracts during a period of credit tightening (when much smaller players like $NBIS has $4.9B+ to spend on capex)\n\nOn top, 1/3 ($22B+) of their backlog comes from OpenAi which has no funding for that $1T+ promised yet, and $CRWV / $ORCL  is building out capacity for them, which presents a massive risk.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I think exactly like you actually.\nThis $CRWV placement might trigger some, but it's very deserving", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "babyfolio", "ret_m1d": -0.09401522574747101, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09401522574747101, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07951021084950338, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08419309478962045, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.014505014897967627, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009822130957850561, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.032861852255905655, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.032861852255905655, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04226784369796155, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.044276829152403385, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009405991442055894, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01141497689649773, "ret_p1w": 0.08977148926027834, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08977148926027834, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07251488706167031, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07348978131197503, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01725660219860803, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016281707948303303, "ret_p1m": -0.020348234118967246, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.020348234118967246, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05214418065646209, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06246872564745665, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.031795946537494846, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0421204915284894, "ret_p3m": 0.17094666837463257, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.17094666837463257, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.14437008191616507, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.14880038202328993, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.0265765864584675, "bench_c_p3m": 0.022146286351342637, "ret_p6m": 1.1515777197442003, "ret_signed_p6m": 1.1515777197442003, "alpha_spy_p6m": 1.0481310897708718, "alpha_c_p6m": 1.119846568058765, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.10344662997332854, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03173115168543528, "price_path": [-0.2372, -0.2161, -0.2566, -0.2566, -0.2849, -0.2856, -0.2937, -0.2876, -0.3029, 0.0416, 0.0162, -0.0295, -0.0162, -0.0102, -0.0269, 0.0237, 0.0242, 0.0806, 0.16, 0.173, 0.2321, 0.1745, 0.1719, 0.1993, 0.2217, 0.258, 0.3696, 0.3926, 0.3595, 0.2807, 0.3275, 0.4433, 0.41, 0.474, 0.3945, 0.3692, 0.3388, 0.2344, 0.1861, 0.1347, 0.0731, 0.1552, 0.276, 0.3649, 0.3257, 0.3613, 0.3513, 0.4235, 0.3109, 0.2028, 0.2731, 0.1909, 0.2109, 0.1964, 0.1123, 0.0268, -0.0356, -0.091, -0.0644, -0.0148, 0.0345, -0.079, -0.094, 0.0, -0.0329, 0.0304, 0.0304, 0.0323, 0.0898, 0.0495, 0.0764, 0.1186, 0.0668, 0.0917, 0.0491, 0.0184, 0.0259, -0.0458, -0.1171, -0.1192, -0.179, -0.1503, -0.0266, 0.0145, -0.0203, -0.0084, -0.0084, -0.0469, -0.0638, -0.0732, -0.0892, -0.0892, -0.0212, 0.0101, 0.0908, 0.0469, 0.0588, 0.0656, 0.1679, 0.1472, 0.1097, 0.1304, 0.1831, 0.1831, 0.0804, 0.0758, 0.0539, 0.0283, -0.0048, 0.065, 0.0928, 0.0328, -0.073, -0.0407, -0.0212, -0.1035, -0.1962, -0.0631, 0.0107, -0.0012, -0.0358, -0.0236, 0.0665, 0.0665, 0.0612, 0.1077, 0.1709, 0.0655, 0.0948, 0.1162, 0.1547, 0.1412, -0.0077, -0.0097, -0.0555, 0.064, 0.0408, -0.028, 0.0331, 0.0493, 0.2187, 0.1756, 0.2291, 0.4129, 0.2658, 0.2901, 0.3223, 0.2799, 0.2421, 0.2504, 0.2523, 0.1531, 0.0971, 0.0039, 0.1291, 0.1094, 0.1841, 0.1841, 0.2246, 0.2775, 0.3602, 0.4835, 0.5775, 0.6818, 0.7621, 0.8147, 0.7991, 0.7099, 0.7319, 0.7035, 0.699, 0.7092, 0.6013, 0.5774, 0.4745, 0.5363, 0.5041, 0.6811, 0.9197, 0.9143, 1.1229, 1.0106, 0.9266, 1.025, 0.949, 1.2554, 1.4064, 1.3933, 1.1748, 1.1516]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2010573877798482313", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-12T04:45:41+00:00", "symbol": "AVAV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm omega long on $AVAV. This is probably the coolest company in the \"Venezuela Invasion port\"... $4b backlog, $887m contract recently, 150% y/y revenue growth (which is unholy for a military contractor), and a lot more coming from the $1.5T Department of War funding.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "High-conviction long AVAV: $4B backlog, $887M contract, 150% YoY revenue growth, beneficiary of US military drone demand across multiple theaters.", "resolved_tickers": ["AVAV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’m omega long on $AVAV.\n\nThis is probably the coolest company in the “Venezuela Invasion port”\n\nIf you want a TLDR pitch: they made the Kamikaze drones primarily used in Venezuela. \n\n-> US invasion of Greenland? Profit\n-> US drone striking Mexican Cartels? Profit\n\n$4b backlog, $887m contract recently, 150% y/y revenue growth (which is unholy for a military contractor), and a lot more coming from the $1.5T Department of War funding.\n\nIf you want a 5 kill streak Call of Duty style Drone Strike company used in every military engagement by the Department of War, $AVAV is long.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "And... We're off to the races.\n\n\"Nation Building Port\" Performance Today: \n\n$GDRZF +95.83%\n$AVAV +14.7%\n$CVX +5.19%\n$ASHM +5.2%\n$HII +3.82%\n$TRGP -3.14%\n\nI'm surprised Gold Reserve $GDRZF is only up 95%, given they're still a $333m MC with ~$8.1B in claims.\n\nAnother surprise is https://t.co/JVQjzucHN0", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.015350174149763363, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.015350174149763363, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.013782182795989861, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.007750638310559443, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0015679913537735013, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007599535839203919, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01839863887712967, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01839863887712967, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016399163771259384, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02354655121323257, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019994751058702853, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0051479123361029, "ret_p1w": 0.059835958546544, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.059835958546544, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06487078670710522, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03697639569568745, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.005034828160561222, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022859562850856552, "ret_p1m": -0.2897916937322057, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2897916937322057, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.28541857377012625, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.35561257545391445, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0043731199620794525, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06582088172170875, "ret_p3m": -0.5206107681574572, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.5206107681574572, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5013444595727089, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5788557459537738, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.019266308584748315, "bench_c_p3m": 0.058244977796316544, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0378, 0.0092, -0.0542, -0.0179, 0.0175, -0.0418, -0.0173, 0.0212, 0.0255, 0.025, 0.0269, -0.0131, -0.0021, -0.0076, -0.0151, -0.0539, -0.1145, -0.1107, -0.0993, -0.1149, -0.1278, -0.2028, -0.2144, -0.2348, -0.2421, -0.2435, -0.2609, -0.2648, -0.2528, -0.2488, -0.2468, -0.2468, -0.2461, -0.3045, -0.2852, -0.2668, -0.2245, -0.249, -0.238, -0.2408, -0.3384, -0.3262, -0.3552, -0.3652, -0.367, -0.3819, -0.3777, -0.3444, -0.311, -0.2955, -0.2967, -0.2967, -0.3121, -0.3279, -0.3418, -0.3474, -0.3474, -0.3089, -0.1977, -0.1447, -0.1408, -0.0694, -0.0154, 0.0, -0.0184, 0.03, 0.0213, 0.0598, 0.0598, -0.1073, -0.1377, -0.158, -0.1698, -0.1835, -0.1649, -0.172, -0.209, -0.249, -0.2716, -0.23, -0.3059, -0.361, -0.3061, -0.2599, -0.2898, -0.3433, -0.3657, -0.3421, -0.3421, -0.2905, -0.2839, -0.2401, -0.2861, -0.295, -0.2925, -0.3115, -0.2996, -0.3195, -0.438, -0.3841, -0.389, -0.405, -0.3801, -0.3868, -0.4023, -0.4396, -0.4284, -0.4414, -0.4284, -0.3997, -0.4177, -0.4298, -0.4666, -0.4435, -0.4708, -0.4631, -0.4715, -0.5025, -0.5226, -0.5062, -0.505, -0.5026, -0.5026, -0.4894, -0.4959, -0.4957, -0.5206, -0.5152, -0.4756, -0.4752, -0.4647, -0.4551, -0.4836, -0.4679, -0.4333, -0.4332, -0.4553, -0.4705, -0.4719, -0.4811, -0.505, -0.4739, -0.501, -0.5137, -0.5503, -0.5296, -0.5463, -0.546, -0.551, -0.5445, -0.5657, -0.5541, -0.5738, -0.5643, -0.5677, -0.5579, -0.56, -0.53, -0.53, -0.5083, -0.511, -0.4216, -0.4409, -0.4409, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1985024837363155266", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-02T16:42:55+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSM can raise their prices anytime for higher margins... whole AI buildout is on top of TSM, it doesn't care about who wins like $AMD vs $NVDA. Pure monopoly.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long TSM: pricing power, margin expansion, monopoly position on AI buildout regardless of AMD/NVDA competitive outcome.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$TSM can raise their prices anytime for higher margins (which they projected 3% increase) and $NVDA will be forced to use them anyway.\n\nAlso earning projections were a blowout as expected, whole AI buildout is on top of TSM, it doesn’t care about who wins like $AMD vs $NVDA. Pure monopoly.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @pepemoonboy Why TSM over NVDA?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Docofgothm", "ret_m1d": -0.014531198633646158, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014531198633646158, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012657937075436387, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012657937075436387, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03545892694762087, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03545892694762087, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02360538700517334, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02360538700517334, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "bench_c_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "ret_p1w": -0.03145711995918976, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03145711995918976, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.028676601196706564, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.028676601196706564, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "ret_p1m": -0.04188806938706735, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04188806938706735, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.039239327487818665, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.039239327487818665, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "ret_p3m": 0.11679675869437034, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11679675869437034, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09813726265329037, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09813726265329037, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "ret_p6m": 0.294061901029939, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.294061901029939, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.2466443278172019, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.2466443278172019, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "bench_c_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "price_path": [-0.2434, -0.2067, -0.2092, -0.2084, -0.2012, -0.2105, -0.212, -0.2189, -0.2106, -0.2391, -0.2525, -0.2567, -0.2382, -0.2296, -0.2194, -0.2176, -0.2209, -0.2451, -0.2451, -0.2532, -0.2434, -0.2309, -0.2041, -0.1917, -0.1795, -0.1484, -0.1534, -0.152, -0.1453, -0.1404, -0.138, -0.1188, -0.1312, -0.1057, -0.0727, -0.0792, -0.0925, -0.1033, -0.1038, -0.0839, -0.0538, -0.0549, -0.0416, -0.0081, -0.0355, -0.0011, -0.0163, -0.0794, -0.0065, -0.0293, -0.0005, -0.0165, -0.0321, -0.0235, -0.0339, -0.0524, -0.0463, -0.0325, -0.0217, -0.0109, 0.0008, -0.0054, -0.0145, 0.0, -0.0355, -0.0368, -0.0512, -0.0602, -0.0315, -0.0449, -0.0467, -0.0743, -0.0657, -0.075, -0.0884, -0.0738, -0.0897, -0.0977, -0.0663, -0.0662, -0.0489, -0.0489, -0.0438, -0.0564, -0.0419, -0.0309, -0.0391, -0.0333, -0.0098, -0.0048, 0.0173, 0.0027, -0.0395, -0.0536, -0.0565, -0.0891, -0.0637, -0.0496, -0.0354, -0.0233, -0.0172, -0.0172, -0.0039, -0.0103, -0.0147, -0.0005, -0.0005, 0.0512, 0.0599, 0.0769, 0.0482, 0.046, 0.0644, 0.0912, 0.0894, 0.0759, 0.1237, 0.1262, 0.1262, 0.076, 0.0726, 0.0767, 0.1014, 0.0943, 0.1128, 0.1258, 0.1168, 0.0872, 0.1227, 0.1043, 0.0714, 0.0878, 0.1474, 0.169, 0.1903, 0.2304, 0.2107, 0.205, 0.205, 0.1979, 0.1915, 0.1853, 0.2187, 0.2171, 0.2688, 0.2753, 0.2393, 0.232, 0.214, 0.1615, 0.1756, 0.1639, 0.1146, 0.1469, 0.1416, 0.1662, 0.1075, 0.1127, 0.119, 0.1412, 0.12, 0.1174, 0.0859, 0.1163, 0.1321, 0.147, 0.0756, 0.0777, 0.0439, 0.1147, 0.1263, 0.1183, 0.1183, 0.1272, 0.139, 0.2069, 0.2055, 0.2224, 0.219, 0.253, 0.2372, 0.1984, 0.222, 0.208, 0.214, 0.2779, 0.2621, 0.3274, 0.3358, 0.2941]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1981508355769454949", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-23T23:49:41+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I stand by $100B MC so I'm personally holding 1 year min", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Personally holding NBIS long-term with a $100B market cap target, minimum 1-year hold.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@soulbiri1 @accounting_ds $CIFR hit 16% dilution at $16 or so and now it's back at $19, it's not doom and gloom if it hits convertible note number.\n\nFor short term trading, it's a smart to take profits on stuff like $NBIS at $140, but I stand by $100B MC so I'm personally holding 1 year min.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @accounting_ds I have more calls than shares from buying all the way down haha, do you recommend deleveraging at some point senpai? I was thinking of taking some profits off the table around $140 because of the convertible notes at $138.75 (~7% max dilution) but curious to hear your thoughts.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": -0.07102487429753657, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07102487429753657, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06512993942938017, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07440881923073017, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0058949348681563984, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033839449331936056, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10455913801068295, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10455913801068295, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09638656690605218, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10195610344668782, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008172571104630766, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0026030345639951324, "ret_p1w": 0.16974374549214621, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16974374549214621, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15773046162608217, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.17781315264053088, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01201328386606404, "bench_c_p1w": -0.008069407148384666, "ret_p1m": -0.2157121395621464, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2157121395621464, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19676196118720868, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.18664489805590412, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01895017837493773, "bench_c_p1m": -0.029067241506242292, "ret_p3m": -0.06471366342872564, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06471366342872564, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07635797132099198, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.05245634876501981, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.011644307892266337, "bench_c_p3m": -0.012257314663705832, "ret_p6m": 0.4802184812445973, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.4802184812445973, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.4170656573905107, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.44015893191536004, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0631528238540866, "bench_c_p6m": 0.040059549329237276, "price_path": [-0.5031, -0.5252, -0.5169, -0.4873, -0.5102, -0.4897, -0.4803, -0.4811, -0.3848, -0.3521, -0.3384, -0.2904, -0.3347, -0.3551, -0.3254, -0.3167, -0.3671, -0.3644, -0.3766, -0.3502, -0.3404, -0.3361, -0.3397, -0.3214, -0.3564, -0.3564, -0.3809, -0.3816, -0.3886, -0.3833, -0.3966, -0.0983, -0.1203, -0.1599, -0.1484, -0.1432, -0.1576, -0.1138, -0.1134, -0.0645, 0.0041, 0.0154, 0.0666, 0.0168, 0.0145, 0.0382, 0.0576, 0.089, 0.1857, 0.2055, 0.1769, 0.1087, 0.1492, 0.2494, 0.2206, 0.276, 0.2071, 0.1853, 0.159, 0.0686, 0.0268, -0.0177, -0.071, 0.0, 0.1046, 0.1815, 0.1476, 0.1784, 0.1697, 0.2323, 0.1348, 0.0413, 0.1021, 0.0309, 0.0482, 0.0357, -0.0371, -0.1112, -0.1651, -0.2131, -0.1901, -0.1471, -0.1045, -0.2027, -0.2157, -0.1343, -0.1628, -0.108, -0.108, -0.1063, -0.0566, -0.0915, -0.0682, -0.0317, -0.0765, -0.0549, -0.0918, -0.1184, -0.1119, -0.174, -0.2357, -0.2375, -0.2893, -0.2644, -0.1573, -0.1218, -0.1519, -0.1416, -0.1416, -0.1749, -0.1895, -0.1977, -0.2115, -0.2115, -0.1527, -0.1256, -0.0558, -0.0937, -0.0835, -0.0775, 0.011, -0.0069, -0.0394, -0.0214, 0.0242, 0.0242, -0.0647, -0.0687, -0.0877, -0.1098, -0.1385, -0.0781, -0.054, -0.106, -0.1975, -0.1696, -0.1527, -0.2239, -0.3042, -0.189, -0.1251, -0.1354, -0.1653, -0.1548, -0.0768, -0.0768, -0.0814, -0.0411, 0.0137, -0.0776, -0.0523, -0.0337, -0.0004, -0.0121, -0.141, -0.1427, -0.1824, -0.0789, -0.099, -0.1585, -0.1057, -0.0917, 0.055, 0.0177, 0.064, 0.2232, 0.0958, 0.1168, 0.1447, 0.108, 0.0753, 0.0824, 0.0841, -0.0018, -0.0503, -0.1309, -0.0226, -0.0397, 0.0251, 0.0251, 0.0601, 0.1059, 0.1775, 0.2842, 0.3656, 0.4559, 0.5254, 0.5709, 0.5575, 0.4802]}
{"unit_id": "quote:1978247373089358249", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-14T23:51:42+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS is the new infra of AI and Mag7 with 1400% Y/Y forward revenue. 🥭And it sold off 5.4% because of Seed Oils and Soybeans.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NBIS as core AI infrastructure with 1400% forward revenue growth; recent selloff seen as unwarranted.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "AI is the largest national security issue and race in history.\n\nAI can design nuclear weapons or create life changing discoveries based on compute.\n\n$NBIS is the new infra of AI and Mag7 with 1400% Y/Y forward revenue. \n\n🥭And it sold off 5.4% because of Seed Oils and Soybeans. https://t.co/VRd8RoLB4a", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "🧙‍♂️ Summoning Exodia, the ideal Neocloud Deck\n\nExodia Deck:\n🧩 $NBIS – Head\n🧩 $WLAC – Left Arm\n🧩 $IREN – Right Arm\n🧩 $CIFR – Left Leg\n🧩 $WULF – Right Leg\n\nPot of Greed Setup:\n🏭 $TSM\n⚡ $FLNC\n🏡 $GLXY\n\nWhen all five are in your port, Sydney Sweeney descends from the Neocloud https://t.co/dlnjgCAIxl", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.05704263102257823, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05704263102257823, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.055819481953185646, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06358769935463282, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012231490693925817, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006545068332054593, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.018103723573359765, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.018103723573359765, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.022543246749142765, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.025172464380612714, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004439523175783, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007068740807252949, "ret_p1w": -0.1862660651897412, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1862660651897412, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.19994714881305797, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.20424327555329658, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01368108362331677, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017977210363555374, "ret_p1m": -0.263675340581189, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.263675340581189, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2956130085486798, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2545123119249466, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.03193766796749076, "bench_c_p1m": -0.009163028656242411, "ret_p3m": -0.23581736270482678, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.23581736270482678, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2869943239005246, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2681214880913829, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05117696119569781, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03230412538655614, "ret_p6m": -0.02458052318776416, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.02458052318776416, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.05120153402648142, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.02416868812281603, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.026621010838717263, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0004118350649481295, "price_path": [-0.581, -0.5881, -0.5913, -0.602, -0.5952, -0.593, -0.5991, -0.5884, -0.6067, -0.5998, -0.5753, -0.5942, -0.5773, -0.5695, -0.5701, -0.4904, -0.4633, -0.4519, -0.4122, -0.4488, -0.4658, -0.4411, -0.4339, -0.4757, -0.4735, -0.4836, -0.4617, -0.4536, -0.45, -0.453, -0.4378, -0.4669, -0.4669, -0.4872, -0.4877, -0.4935, -0.4891, -0.5001, -0.2531, -0.2712, -0.304, -0.2945, -0.2902, -0.3021, -0.2659, -0.2655, -0.225, -0.1682, -0.1588, -0.1164, -0.1577, -0.1596, -0.1399, -0.1239, -0.0979, -0.0178, -0.0013, -0.025, -0.0815, -0.048, 0.035, 0.0112, 0.057, 0.0, -0.0181, -0.0399, -0.1148, -0.1494, -0.1863, -0.2304, -0.1716, -0.085, -0.0212, -0.0493, -0.0238, -0.031, 0.0208, -0.0599, -0.1374, -0.087, -0.146, -0.1316, -0.142, -0.2023, -0.2637, -0.3084, -0.3481, -0.3291, -0.2935, -0.2581, -0.3395, -0.3503, -0.2829, -0.3064, -0.2611, -0.2611, -0.2597, -0.2185, -0.2474, -0.2281, -0.1978, -0.235, -0.2171, -0.2477, -0.2697, -0.2643, -0.3157, -0.3668, -0.3683, -0.4112, -0.3906, -0.3019, -0.2725, -0.2975, -0.2889, -0.2889, -0.3165, -0.3286, -0.3354, -0.3468, -0.3468, -0.2981, -0.2756, -0.2178, -0.2492, -0.2407, -0.2358, -0.1625, -0.1773, -0.2042, -0.1893, -0.1515, -0.1515, -0.2252, -0.2285, -0.2442, -0.2626, -0.2863, -0.2363, -0.2163, -0.2594, -0.3352, -0.3121, -0.2981, -0.3571, -0.4236, -0.3281, -0.2752, -0.2837, -0.3085, -0.2998, -0.2352, -0.2352, -0.239, -0.2056, -0.1603, -0.2359, -0.2149, -0.1995, -0.1719, -0.1816, -0.2884, -0.2898, -0.3227, -0.237, -0.2536, -0.3029, -0.2591, -0.2475, -0.1261, -0.1569, -0.1186, 0.0133, -0.0922, -0.0748, -0.0517, -0.0822, -0.1092, -0.1033, -0.1019, -0.1731, -0.2133, -0.2801, -0.1903, -0.2044, -0.1508, -0.1508, -0.1218, -0.0839, -0.0246]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1965660475469037898", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-10T06:15:52+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "shorts are trapped… A surprise product launch like this, which increase forward revenue + upcoming rate cut can trigger explosive upside given short covering & stock repricing… So stupid short since they'll likely keep expanding", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Strong long HIMS: 36% short interest trapped by new product launches, EU expansion via Zava, TRT market optionality, and rate-cut catalyst; HOOD cited as favorable analogy for retail-base monetization.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "HIMS is 36%+ shorted.\n\nNormally people say “shorts are trapped” for random microcaps, but with $HIMS they really are.\n\nA surprise product launch like this, which increase forward revenue + upcoming rate cut can trigger explosive upside given short covering &amp; stock repricing. https://t.co/3YhLuZgBQM\n\n---\n\nIf $HIMS were just another telehealth company, I’d understand the shorts.\n\nBut they have a massive retail client base and just acquired another 1.3M users in the EU through Zava.\n\nIf the product is in fact TRT, capturing just 5% of the TRT market could add ~$125M in ARR, and they’re rolling out new products that further boost revenue.\n\nLike $HOOD expands with crypto, banking, and card offerings for retail, $HIMS monetizes its retail base in healthcare. So stupid short since they’ll likely keep expanding.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.00020933730611139012, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00020933730611139012, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0030918586359953704, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0030918586359953704, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028825213298839802, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0028825213298839802, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08329844378231477, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08329844378231477, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07498827342637071, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07498827342637071, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008310170355944058, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008310170355944058, "ret_p1w": 0.053788190884965115, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.053788190884965115, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04310144808593619, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04310144808593619, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010686742799028925, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010686742799028925, "ret_p1m": 0.21912937396808374, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21912937396808374, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.18722137380349224, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.18722137380349224, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0319080001645915, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0319080001645915, "ret_p3m": -0.18124738527964335, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.18124738527964335, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2323280264162607, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2323280264162607, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.051080641136617366, "bench_c_p3m": 0.051080641136617366, "ret_p6m": -0.6676433545385159, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.6676433545385159, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.7182523052188337, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.7182523052188337, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05060895068031779, "bench_c_p6m": 0.05060895068031779, "price_path": [0.1612, 0.2512, 0.2398, 0.2781, 0.2781, 0.3441, -0.1214, -0.1011, -0.1333, -0.0314, 0.0341, 0.0433, 0.0038, -0.0067, 0.0042, 0.0042, 0.0134, 0.0247, 0.0724, 0.0521, 0.0023, 0.0889, 0.0561, 0.0852, 0.0463, 0.0544, -0.0038, 0.0467, 0.2143, 0.1997, 0.2066, 0.2281, 0.2614, 0.3715, 0.3851, 0.3091, 0.3259, 0.162, 0.0701, 0.0684, 0.0871, 0.046, 0.0038, 0.0115, -0.0136, -0.0368, -0.0561, -0.1172, -0.0921, -0.0799, -0.0672, -0.1003, -0.0509, -0.0789, -0.0766, -0.1136, -0.1136, -0.1308, -0.0695, 0.0069, 0.0132, 0.0389, 0.0002, 0.0, 0.0833, 0.1616, 0.1293, 0.0651, 0.0538, 0.1762, 0.2101, 0.2076, 0.172, 0.1145, 0.1484, 0.2223, 0.2373, 0.1871, 0.1785, 0.2112, 0.0996, 0.1461, 0.2133, 0.2175, 0.2191, 0.1291, 0.1455, 0.1306, 0.3135, 0.238, 0.0419, 0.0749, 0.0331, -0.0067, 0.0149, 0.0209, 0.0094, -0.0138, -0.0241, -0.0779, -0.0486, -0.071, -0.1044, -0.0848, -0.131, -0.1413, -0.1409, -0.1681, -0.1833, -0.2455, -0.226, -0.2553, -0.2411, -0.2501, -0.2964, -0.2735, -0.2093, -0.2237, -0.1963, -0.1963, -0.1679, -0.2149, -0.2401, -0.2242, -0.1624, -0.1796, -0.1812, -0.1666, -0.2072, -0.2095, -0.2212, -0.2413, -0.2285, -0.2681, -0.2723, -0.2558, -0.2664, -0.2717, -0.2744, -0.2744, -0.2819, -0.2863, -0.3085, -0.3204, -0.3204, -0.3008, -0.2735, -0.2578, -0.2578, -0.2911, -0.3368, -0.3231, -0.3261, -0.3445, -0.3464, -0.3432, -0.3432, -0.3623, -0.3954, -0.3612, -0.3801, -0.3663, -0.3788, -0.4, -0.3748, -0.433, -0.4466, -0.4655, -0.4893, -0.5086, -0.5182, -0.5954, -0.6392, -0.6507, -0.6693, -0.6589, -0.6589, -0.6595, -0.6685, -0.6689, -0.6729, -0.6754, -0.6764, -0.6689, -0.6735, -0.6961, -0.6551, -0.6689, -0.6557, -0.6676]}
{"unit_id": "thread:1965660475469037898", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-09-10T06:15:52+00:00", "symbol": "HOOD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Like $HOOD expands with crypto, banking, and card offerings for retail", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Strong long HIMS: 36% short interest trapped by new product launches, EU expansion via Zava, TRT market optionality, and rate-cut catalyst; HOOD cited as favorable analogy for retail-base monetization.", "resolved_tickers": ["HOOD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "HIMS is 36%+ shorted.\n\nNormally people say “shorts are trapped” for random microcaps, but with $HIMS they really are.\n\nA surprise product launch like this, which increase forward revenue + upcoming rate cut can trigger explosive upside given short covering &amp; stock repricing. https://t.co/3YhLuZgBQM\n\n---\n\nIf $HIMS were just another telehealth company, I’d understand the shorts.\n\nBut they have a massive retail client base and just acquired another 1.3M users in the EU through Zava.\n\nIf the product is in fact TRT, capturing just 5% of the TRT market could add ~$125M in ARR, and they’re rolling out new products that further boost revenue.\n\nLike $HOOD expands with crypto, banking, and card offerings for retail, $HIMS monetizes its retail base in healthcare. So stupid short since they’ll likely keep expanding.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.00885408584738201, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00885408584738201, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01173660717726599, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005467980273999862, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0028825213298839802, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033861055733821477, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0024689334053100698, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0024689334053100698, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005841236950633988, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01389677151558466, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008310170355944058, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01636570492089473, "ret_p1w": 0.01004597577365196, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01004597577365196, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0006407670253769648, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.007260422955765122, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010686742799028925, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017306398729417083, "ret_p1m": 0.297973845583158, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.297973845583158, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2660658454185665, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.29166217790819005, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0319080001645915, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006311667674967936, "ret_p3m": 0.1615017345408467, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1615017345408467, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11042109340422934, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1521703918126298, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.051080641136617366, "bench_c_p3m": 0.009331342728216896, "ret_p6m": -0.31414951314057016, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.31414951314057016, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.36475846382088795, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.28439573251945804, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.05060895068031779, "bench_c_p6m": -0.029753780621112114, "price_path": [-0.3819, -0.3466, -0.3619, -0.333, -0.333, -0.3317, -0.35, -0.3018, -0.2955, -0.2804, -0.2931, -0.2029, -0.2139, -0.1658, -0.1963, -0.1963, -0.2043, -0.223, -0.1951, -0.1597, -0.1628, -0.149, -0.1526, -0.121, -0.1022, -0.0657, -0.1117, -0.1329, -0.1309, -0.1322, -0.1074, -0.091, -0.1204, -0.0967, -0.1227, -0.1495, -0.0944, -0.1022, -0.1005, -0.053, -0.0241, -0.0327, -0.0287, -0.0753, -0.0575, -0.028, -0.0208, -0.0848, -0.1032, -0.095, -0.0693, -0.081, -0.0737, -0.1238, -0.1172, -0.1143, -0.1143, -0.1415, -0.1417, -0.1239, -0.138, -0.0015, 0.0089, 0.0, 0.0025, -0.0207, -0.0224, -0.0007, 0.01, 0.0294, 0.0623, 0.0633, 0.0744, 0.0795, 0.0442, 0.0368, 0.164, 0.219, 0.1846, 0.2404, 0.2657, 0.2282, 0.2345, 0.2844, 0.298, 0.183, 0.1977, 0.1489, 0.1421, 0.119, 0.106, 0.1561, 0.1224, 0.0831, 0.1436, 0.1901, 0.2418, 0.2451, 0.2328, 0.1755, 0.2496, 0.2522, 0.1647, 0.213, 0.0819, 0.1098, 0.1568, 0.1232, 0.1321, 0.0347, 0.0429, -0.0127, -0.0269, 0.006, -0.0958, -0.0865, -0.0212, -0.0161, 0.0914, 0.0914, 0.0939, 0.0492, 0.0723, 0.1377, 0.167, 0.1234, 0.1615, 0.1554, 0.1549, 0.0504, 0.0174, -0.0187, 0.0165, -0.0141, -0.0026, 0.0331, 0.0418, 0.0237, 0.0254, 0.0254, 0.0057, -0.0003, -0.0171, -0.0371, -0.0371, -0.0192, 0.0492, 0.0361, -0.0042, -0.0176, -0.0186, 0.0005, 0.0237, 0.0188, -0.0605, -0.0742, -0.0742, -0.0994, -0.0982, -0.0954, -0.0891, -0.0891, -0.104, -0.1197, -0.1381, -0.1531, -0.2345, -0.2587, -0.3136, -0.3812, -0.2949, -0.2631, -0.2712, -0.3362, -0.3945, -0.3532, -0.3532, -0.3577, -0.3597, -0.356, -0.352, -0.3889, -0.3752, -0.3399, -0.3236, -0.3542, -0.3293, -0.3524, -0.3001, -0.3141]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1984989851671007444", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-02T14:23:54+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "that's kinda why I go with valuation approaches (in my previous post on how you get to $100B MC for $NBIS)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NBIS to $100B market cap on neocloud TAM, hyperscaler deals, and utilization-driven margin expansion; CRWV also flagged as beneficiary of Meta $14B deal and growing GPU utilization.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I've actually found AI tools like @AskPerplexity, Grok and others to be extremely off when looking at Neoclouds and sectors with new news every day.   \n\nThey miss a lot of details, eg. with $NBIS you have utilization information from Whitepapers comparing Nebius to $CRWV and others that aren't publicly viewable to AI (which insinuated growing gross margins from GPU utilization).  \n\nWhen Meta struck a $14B deal with $CRWV and you have earnings report last week from $AMZN, $MSFT, and others you have increased capex spend into AI, and they might miss tailwinds that don't mention $NBIS directly with increased changes of more hyperscaler deals.   \n\nOr when there's an additional rate cut a few days ago that boosts forward earnings especially with Neoclouds that involve debt. Or when there's new information about subsidiaries or portfolio companies like Clickhouse that AI might put 1+1 together with.   \n\nFinX retail does a lot better job with piecing all this information together into forward growth and AI/Neocloud TAM is really hard to model given how speculative and rapidly growing it is.   \n\nThat's kinda why I go with valuation approaches (in my previous post on how you get to $100B MC for $NBIS), but if you look at $UPWK and more standard businesses. I do valuation modelling differently", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @grok Analyze $NBIS’s key growth metrics over past 3 yrs: revenue/EPS/FCF per share growth, ROIC, debt/equity. Project FCF/share &amp; stock price growth for next 3 yrs.  Give only accurate using current market data, financials, trends. No info provided without direct reference.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "vincentinvests", "ret_m1d": 0.08591355523068556, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08591355523068556, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08778681678889533, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07517315981838268, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010740395412302872, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08242716198685718, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08242716198685718, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07057362204440965, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.075560366211469, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006866795775388179, "ret_p1w": -0.08732467971995872, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08732467971995872, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08454416095747552, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08459559111130788, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0027290886086508426, "ret_p1m": -0.19938577263277246, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.19938577263277246, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19673703073352378, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2138236734625919, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014437900829819439, "ret_p3m": -0.21216898231591608, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21216898231591608, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23082847835699605, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.27016535998008484, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05799637766416876, "ret_p6m": 0.12484430259595736, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.12484430259595736, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.07742672938322026, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09926724251497565, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "bench_c_p6m": 0.025577060080981706, "price_path": [-0.5427, -0.4579, -0.4291, -0.417, -0.3747, -0.4137, -0.4317, -0.4055, -0.3979, -0.4423, -0.4399, -0.4507, -0.4274, -0.4188, -0.415, -0.4181, -0.402, -0.4329, -0.4329, -0.4545, -0.4551, -0.4612, -0.4565, -0.4682, -0.2054, -0.2248, -0.2596, -0.2495, -0.245, -0.2577, -0.2191, -0.2187, -0.1756, -0.1151, -0.1052, -0.0601, -0.104, -0.106, -0.0851, -0.0681, -0.0403, 0.0448, 0.0623, 0.0371, -0.023, 0.0127, 0.101, 0.0756, 0.1244, 0.0638, 0.0445, 0.0213, -0.0584, -0.0952, -0.1344, -0.1814, -0.1188, -0.0266, 0.0412, 0.0113, 0.0384, 0.0308, 0.0859, 0.0, -0.0824, -0.0288, -0.0916, -0.0763, -0.0873, -0.1515, -0.2167, -0.2643, -0.3065, -0.2863, -0.2484, -0.2108, -0.2974, -0.3089, -0.2372, -0.2622, -0.214, -0.214, -0.2125, -0.1687, -0.1994, -0.1789, -0.1467, -0.1862, -0.1672, -0.1997, -0.2231, -0.2174, -0.2721, -0.3265, -0.328, -0.3737, -0.3518, -0.2574, -0.2261, -0.2527, -0.2435, -0.2435, -0.2729, -0.2858, -0.293, -0.3052, -0.3052, -0.2533, -0.2294, -0.1679, -0.2014, -0.1923, -0.1871, -0.1091, -0.1248, -0.1535, -0.1377, -0.0975, -0.0975, -0.1758, -0.1793, -0.1961, -0.2156, -0.2408, -0.1876, -0.1663, -0.2122, -0.2929, -0.2682, -0.2533, -0.3161, -0.3868, -0.2853, -0.229, -0.2381, -0.2645, -0.2552, -0.1864, -0.1864, -0.1905, -0.155, -0.1067, -0.1872, -0.1649, -0.1485, -0.1191, -0.1294, -0.243, -0.2445, -0.2795, -0.1883, -0.206, -0.2585, -0.2119, -0.1996, -0.0703, -0.1032, -0.0624, 0.0779, -0.0344, -0.0159, 0.0087, -0.0237, -0.0525, -0.0462, -0.0447, -0.1204, -0.1631, -0.2342, -0.1387, -0.1537, -0.0967, -0.0967, -0.0658, -0.0255, 0.0376, 0.1317, 0.2034, 0.283, 0.3442, 0.3843, 0.3725, 0.3044, 0.3212, 0.2995, 0.2961, 0.3039, 0.2215, 0.2033, 0.1248]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1984989851671007444", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-02T14:23:54+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "you have utilization information from Whitepapers comparing Nebius to $CRWV and others that aren't publicly viewable to AI (which insinuated growing gross margins from GPU utilization)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NBIS to $100B market cap on neocloud TAM, hyperscaler deals, and utilization-driven margin expansion; CRWV also flagged as beneficiary of Meta $14B deal and growing GPU utilization.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I've actually found AI tools like @AskPerplexity, Grok and others to be extremely off when looking at Neoclouds and sectors with new news every day.   \n\nThey miss a lot of details, eg. with $NBIS you have utilization information from Whitepapers comparing Nebius to $CRWV and others that aren't publicly viewable to AI (which insinuated growing gross margins from GPU utilization).  \n\nWhen Meta struck a $14B deal with $CRWV and you have earnings report last week from $AMZN, $MSFT, and others you have increased capex spend into AI, and they might miss tailwinds that don't mention $NBIS directly with increased changes of more hyperscaler deals.   \n\nOr when there's an additional rate cut a few days ago that boosts forward earnings especially with Neoclouds that involve debt. Or when there's new information about subsidiaries or portfolio companies like Clickhouse that AI might put 1+1 together with.   \n\nFinX retail does a lot better job with piecing all this information together into forward growth and AI/Neocloud TAM is really hard to model given how speculative and rapidly growing it is.   \n\nThat's kinda why I go with valuation approaches (in my previous post on how you get to $100B MC for $NBIS), but if you look at $UPWK and more standard businesses. I do valuation modelling differently", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @grok Analyze $NBIS’s key growth metrics over past 3 yrs: revenue/EPS/FCF per share growth, ROIC, debt/equity. Project FCF/share &amp; stock price growth for next 3 yrs.  Give only accurate using current market data, financials, trends. No info provided without direct reference.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "vincentinvests", "ret_m1d": 0.05850227229968685, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05850227229968685, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.060375533857896624, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.060375533857896624, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018732615582097711, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08367637524034377, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08367637524034377, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07182283529789624, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07182283529789624, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "bench_c_p1d": -0.011853539942447533, "ret_p1w": -0.16394869485834251, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.16394869485834251, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.16116817609585932, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.16116817609585932, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0027805187624831973, "ret_p1m": -0.39811590434628463, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.39811590434628463, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.39546716244703595, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.39546716244703595, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0026487418992486855, "ret_p3m": -0.2120804384123588, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2120804384123588, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23073993445343877, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23073993445343877, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "bench_c_p3m": 0.01865949604107997, "ret_p6m": -0.16458202157816493, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.16458202157816493, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.21199959479090202, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.21199959479090202, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "bench_c_p6m": 0.047417573212737096, "price_path": [-0.1273, -0.0415, 0.0256, 0.1066, 0.1776, -0.0678, -0.2123, -0.2086, -0.2337, -0.2646, -0.2755, -0.2813, -0.2559, -0.2687, -0.2765, -0.2327, -0.1863, -0.1843, -0.1843, -0.2611, -0.2885, -0.3075, -0.2947, -0.2594, -0.2066, -0.0727, -0.1079, -0.1137, -0.0463, -0.0599, -0.0432, -0.039, -0.0116, 0.0547, 0.0362, 0.056, 0.0027, -0.0473, -0.0301, 0.0834, 0.0849, 0.0925, 0.0671, 0.0596, 0.0199, 0.1081, 0.1327, 0.0959, 0.1211, 0.0613, 0.1023, 0.1221, 0.0835, 0.0059, -0.01, -0.0379, -0.0236, 0.0493, 0.0771, 0.0671, 0.1077, 0.0375, 0.0585, 0.0, -0.0837, -0.0942, -0.1535, -0.1766, -0.1639, -0.3003, -0.3237, -0.3798, -0.3876, -0.4037, -0.4071, -0.4069, -0.4521, -0.4328, -0.4174, -0.4356, -0.4119, -0.4119, -0.4212, -0.39, -0.3981, -0.3718, -0.3212, -0.301, -0.3173, -0.2823, -0.3021, -0.3083, -0.3778, -0.4272, -0.4498, -0.489, -0.4642, -0.3429, -0.3285, -0.3646, -0.3756, -0.3756, -0.395, -0.4069, -0.415, -0.4331, -0.4331, -0.3721, -0.3915, -0.383, -0.389, -0.3897, -0.3656, -0.2881, -0.3075, -0.2891, -0.2479, -0.1986, -0.1986, -0.2462, -0.2555, -0.2734, -0.2639, -0.2217, -0.1382, -0.1607, -0.2121, -0.2623, -0.2959, -0.287, -0.3472, -0.409, -0.2879, -0.2338, -0.2471, -0.2468, -0.2424, -0.2397, -0.2397, -0.2796, -0.2444, -0.231, -0.2935, -0.2809, -0.2139, -0.2241, -0.2271, -0.3702, -0.3821, -0.4159, -0.3706, -0.4077, -0.4222, -0.4109, -0.4069, -0.3512, -0.3678, -0.3579, -0.3203, -0.3499, -0.3444, -0.3615, -0.3551, -0.3512, -0.3428, -0.3067, -0.3631, -0.4078, -0.4526, -0.3867, -0.379, -0.349, -0.349, -0.3592, -0.3252, -0.2962, -0.2717, -0.1925, -0.1271, -0.0722, -0.0604, -0.0535, -0.075, -0.0704, -0.0883, -0.0299, -0.0705, -0.1281, -0.1129, -0.1646]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1970881340179730841", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-09-24T16:01:43+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Very confident about $NBIS rising a lot until end of year.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Very confident NBIS rises significantly by end of year; recommends trimming losers to buy more.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@soulbiri1 I think it's worth trimming some losing positions to buy more, just for tax loss harvesting end of year!\n\nVery confident about $NBIS rising a lot until end of year.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I ran out of funds to buy nebius, sad!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": -0.04795549010149591, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04795549010149591, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.051147278655346295, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.056300901697700634, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003191788553850383, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008345411596204722, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04671907408544129, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04671907408544129, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04210557659696923, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.043312748942310075, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0046134974884720625, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003406325143131217, "ret_p1w": 0.02101913965254898, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02101913965254898, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.009901268078584824, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.027150511832574886, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011117871573964155, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006131372180025907, "ret_p1m": -0.06243927832923879, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06243927832923879, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07856395715180164, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04387502207974314, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.016124678822562855, "bench_c_p1m": -0.018564256249495648, "ret_p3m": -0.17663162948917555, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.17663162948917555, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.21558740136097254, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17329069239731953, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.038955771871796996, "bench_c_p3m": -0.003340937091856011, "ret_p6m": 0.07321375112919815, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.07321375112919815, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.07223103382485929, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.10662704533083422, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.0009827173043388537, "bench_c_p6m": -0.03341329420163608, "price_path": [-0.5422, -0.5113, -0.5557, -0.5587, -0.5562, -0.5562, -0.5775, -0.584, -0.5933, -0.5899, -0.6088, -0.5412, -0.5272, -0.5292, -0.5258, -0.5338, -0.5375, -0.5495, -0.5418, -0.5393, -0.5463, -0.5341, -0.5549, -0.547, -0.5193, -0.5408, -0.5216, -0.5128, -0.5135, -0.4232, -0.3926, -0.3797, -0.3347, -0.3762, -0.3954, -0.3675, -0.3594, -0.4066, -0.4041, -0.4155, -0.3908, -0.3816, -0.3776, -0.3809, -0.3638, -0.3966, -0.3966, -0.4196, -0.4202, -0.4267, -0.4218, -0.4342, -0.1546, -0.1752, -0.2123, -0.2015, -0.1967, -0.2102, -0.1691, -0.1688, -0.1229, -0.0586, -0.048, 0.0, -0.0467, -0.0488, -0.0266, -0.0085, 0.021, 0.1116, 0.1303, 0.1034, 0.0395, 0.0775, 0.1714, 0.1444, 0.1963, 0.1318, 0.1113, 0.0866, 0.0019, -0.0374, -0.079, -0.129, -0.0624, 0.0356, 0.1077, 0.076, 0.1048, 0.0967, 0.1553, 0.0639, -0.0238, 0.0333, -0.0335, -0.0172, -0.029, -0.0972, -0.1667, -0.2173, -0.2622, -0.2407, -0.2004, -0.1604, -0.2525, -0.2647, -0.1884, -0.215, -0.1637, -0.1637, -0.1621, -0.1155, -0.1482, -0.1264, -0.0921, -0.1342, -0.1139, -0.1485, -0.1735, -0.1674, -0.2256, -0.2834, -0.2851, -0.3337, -0.3103, -0.2099, -0.1766, -0.2049, -0.1952, -0.1952, -0.2264, -0.2401, -0.2478, -0.2608, -0.2608, -0.2056, -0.1802, -0.1147, -0.1503, -0.1407, -0.1351, -0.0521, -0.0689, -0.0994, -0.0825, -0.0397, -0.0397, -0.1231, -0.1268, -0.1447, -0.1654, -0.1923, -0.1357, -0.113, -0.1618, -0.2476, -0.2214, -0.2056, -0.2724, -0.3476, -0.2396, -0.1797, -0.1893, -0.2174, -0.2075, -0.1344, -0.1344, -0.1387, -0.1009, -0.0496, -0.1352, -0.1115, -0.0941, -0.0628, -0.0737, -0.1946, -0.1962, -0.2334, -0.1364, -0.1553, -0.2111, -0.1615, -0.1484, -0.0109, -0.0458, -0.0025, 0.1468, 0.0274, 0.0471, 0.0732]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2009321878071201826", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-08T17:50:41+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "You're watching the InP \"bottleneck\" play out real time while hyperscalers scramble for material. 7-N Indium (required for photonics) is now parabolically exploding on SMM, reaching daily ATHs in 2026. This is a live \"Game Theory\" scenario for materials controlled by $AXTI.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish AXTI as InP/indium monopoly bottleneck for AI hyperscaler buildout with input materials at parabolic ATHs.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "You're watching the InP \"bottleneck\" play out real time while hyperscalers scramble for material.\n\n7-N Indium (required for photonics) is now parabolically exploding on SMM, reaching daily ATHs in 2026. \n\nThis is a live \"Game Theory\" scenario for materials controlled by $AXTI. https://t.co/3YDMVfjGTx", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$AXTI is effectively a monopoly for InP, and the single point of failure for the AI buildout for:\n\n- Nvidia ($4.6T)\n- Microsoft ($3.59T)\n- Meta ($1.64T)\n- Amazon ($2.57T)\n- Google ($3.89T)\n\nafter China's export control ban on Japan.\n\nLooks like markets are starting to find out. https://t.co/rxGkcHYBtS", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06658921093437264, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06658921093437264, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06669075392629065, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08252666898558814, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0001015429919180022, "bench_c_m1d": 0.015937458051215492, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.10994967715742876, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.10994967715742876, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.11656301955152137, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.1369695461149617, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.006613342394092614, "bench_c_p1d": 0.027019868957532944, "ret_p1w": -0.004258637656851416, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.004258637656851416, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.00821792672809174, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05025048991950287, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003959289071240324, "bench_c_p1w": 0.045991852262651456, "ret_p1m": -0.06852498888856806, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06852498888856806, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07013476485135361, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1283434021372133, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0016097759627855535, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05981841324864523, "ret_p3m": 0.7599689980157815, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7599689980157815, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.8012877645453652, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.7047682425571753, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04131876652958366, "bench_c_p3m": 0.055200755458606254, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.8219, -0.8231, -0.8223, -0.8091, -0.8254, -0.8099, -0.7998, -0.8087, -0.7995, -0.7654, -0.7604, -0.7445, -0.7263, -0.7166, -0.6922, -0.6725, -0.6694, -0.6477, -0.6566, -0.6338, -0.5958, -0.5912, -0.5749, -0.5958, -0.5958, -0.6032, -0.6167, -0.6086, -0.6341, -0.6543, -0.6384, -0.6427, -0.5954, -0.5954, -0.5858, -0.5823, -0.5447, -0.5556, -0.5316, -0.5517, -0.5079, -0.4208, -0.3995, -0.3659, -0.4266, -0.4259, -0.4967, -0.5215, -0.4576, -0.4328, -0.4108, -0.4332, -0.4189, -0.4189, -0.405, -0.4352, -0.3883, -0.367, -0.367, -0.3511, -0.3546, -0.2191, -0.0666, 0.0, -0.1099, -0.139, -0.1672, -0.1444, -0.0043, -0.1448, -0.1448, -0.1711, -0.2342, -0.3062, -0.3264, -0.3109, -0.3341, -0.3484, -0.3659, -0.2822, -0.1893, -0.2358, -0.2741, -0.2091, -0.0685, 0.0751, -0.0573, 0.0376, -0.0403, -0.0616, -0.0616, -0.1014, -0.0887, -0.0782, 0.1491, 0.1007, 0.3581, 0.5861, 0.4371, 0.4673, 0.7933, 0.6167, 0.5149, 0.5021, 0.2532, 0.4928, 0.7151, 0.8335, 0.8091, 0.8916, 0.8734, 0.7174, 0.8877, 1.2489, 1.0999, 1.4948, 1.6496, 1.6074, 1.2652, 1.3473, 1.0414, 1.206, 0.825, 1.0457, 1.0457, 0.6256, 0.76, 1.0588, 1.4437, 1.4847, 1.5726, 1.6055, 1.4363, 2.1661, 2.1963, 2.0492, 1.9024, 2.3659, 1.9141, 1.9485, 1.7158, 1.6601, 1.7515, 2.067, 2.7166, 3.1038, 3.1638, 3.0585, 3.1974, 3.5048, 3.8707, 3.758, 3.7209, 3.4514, 3.7921, 3.0991, 3.3701, 3.0499, 3.6852, 4.4522, 4.4522, 4.1336, 3.753, 3.4793, 2.9938, 2.9938, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1974193295317479663", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-03T19:22:14+00:00", "symbol": "ETOR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "for $ETOR, I think the market is extremely off about this", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author believes market is mispricing ETOR to the downside; implied bullish despite being at a loss.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETOR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@LegalEagle123 @BaronAfanas I'm like cost average $ETOR $48 at this point so I'm at a loss, my $VIRT is down 30% but it's expected if VIX stays low.\n\nThought government shutdown would have spiked VIX for a bit but turned out not to.\n\nBut yeah for $ETOR, I think the market is extremely off about this", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @BaronAfanas Bought VIRT at 35 and ETOR at 42 🤷🏻‍♀️ trusting the process and your DD :) plan to hold both, but if your analysis on them changes, pls provide an update.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LegalEagle123", "ret_m1d": 0.011957093312355394, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011957093312355394, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.011942325732055448, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011942325732055448, "bench_spy_m1d": 1.4767580299945848e-05, "bench_c_m1d": 1.4767580299945848e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00536850227331942, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00536850227331942, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.001782273362983311, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.001782273362983311, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003586228910336109, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003586228910336109, "ret_p1w": -0.05710102925150484, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05710102925150484, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03290824720447971, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03290824720447971, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02419278204702513, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02419278204702513, "ret_p1m": -0.1100536449954066, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1100536449954066, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13116807448066936, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13116807448066936, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.021114429485262765, "bench_c_p1m": 0.021114429485262765, "ret_p3m": -0.14275252658535909, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.14275252658535909, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.16475603778395453, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.16475603778395453, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02200351119859545, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02200351119859545, "ret_p6m": -0.29477794188981665, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.29477794188981665, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.24450726406705325, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.24450726406705325, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.0502706778227634, "bench_c_p6m": -0.0502706778227634, "price_path": [0.4956, 0.4888, 0.4488, 0.4063, 0.3712, 0.3143, 0.3912, 0.4187, 0.3856, 0.3709, 0.4058, 0.5217, 0.5559, 0.5881, 0.5495, 0.4815, 0.5132, 0.4632, 0.4175, 0.4463, 0.4145, 0.3736, 0.3755, 0.4136, 0.3494, 0.2382, 0.1713, 0.1606, 0.1747, 0.1623, 0.091, 0.083, 0.0918, 0.1374, 0.0918, 0.1074, 0.0864, 0.0835, 0.0835, 0.0835, 0.1403, 0.1445, 0.1263, 0.1323, 0.121, 0.1081, 0.0403, 0.0832, 0.0771, 0.0578, 0.0598, 0.0473, 0.072, 0.0774, 0.0986, 0.0678, 0.0354, 0.0012, 0.0029, 0.0246, 0.0071, -0.0469, 0.012, 0.0, 0.0054, -0.0112, -0.0012, -0.0364, -0.0571, -0.0395, -0.0464, -0.0593, -0.0598, -0.0876, -0.0347, -0.0317, -0.0759, -0.0717, -0.0417, -0.0178, -0.0478, -0.0749, -0.0859, -0.0957, -0.1101, -0.1596, -0.1652, -0.1833, -0.1489, -0.0793, 0.0063, 0.0085, -0.042, -0.0117, -0.06, -0.0432, -0.0652, -0.1069, -0.1022, -0.0508, -0.0261, 0.0244, 0.0244, 0.0242, 0.022, 0.0183, 0.042, 0.072, 0.0495, 0.0081, 0.0273, -0.0054, -0.0417, -0.0739, -0.1081, -0.121, -0.1518, -0.132, -0.1164, -0.1101, -0.1162, -0.1227, -0.1227, -0.1249, -0.1296, -0.1327, -0.1428, -0.1428, -0.1293, -0.1144, -0.1447, -0.1879, -0.2062, -0.2284, -0.2201, -0.2387, -0.2357, -0.2369, -0.2355, -0.2355, -0.2482, -0.2543, -0.2411, -0.2321, -0.2365, -0.2321, -0.2338, -0.2626, -0.2826, -0.3058, -0.3399, -0.3524, -0.3958, -0.3409, -0.3119, -0.3099, -0.3426, -0.3475, -0.3299, -0.3299, -0.193, -0.223, -0.2435, -0.2391, -0.2548, -0.2499, -0.2084, -0.2123, -0.2516, -0.2516, -0.2316, -0.2035, -0.202, -0.2235, -0.2294, -0.243, -0.246, -0.2684, -0.2653, -0.2545, -0.2401, -0.267, -0.2831, -0.2818, -0.2692, -0.2838, -0.2753, -0.2667, -0.2911, -0.2948]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2009044396143182025", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-07T23:28:04+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AXTI is just getting started imo. This is only beginning the ramp up after the export control nuke on Japan's supply chains.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long AXTI: export controls disrupt Japan supply chains, AXTI is a Western AI photonics monopoly at $1.3B with room to grow vs $10B+ peers.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AXTI is just getting started imo. This is only beginning the ramp up after the export control nuke on Japan's supply chains.\n\nThis is single point of failure and a monopoly for Western's AI deployment using photonics valued at $1.3B.\n\nYou have random quantum and energy companies are valued at $10B+. I think there's room to grow.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $AXTI almost up 20% again, trading at 24. Is it too late to establish a position at these prices?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "shahriar_m1031", "ret_m1d": -0.16341768703091564, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.16341768703091564, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1666514674512254, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.17017059902952703, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003233780420309751, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006752911998611388, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07133966278773185, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07133966278773185, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07144119546971761, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08702710291990967, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00010153268198576093, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01568744013217782, "ret_p1w": -0.08336790452086706, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08336790452086706, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08449896439781379, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09201685051033226, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0011310598769467273, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008648945989465195, "ret_p1m": -0.1526337707181883, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1526337707181883, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13528987632921796, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14237461066893464, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017343894388970327, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010259160049253646, "ret_p3m": 0.7416010209654871, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7416010209654871, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.7834387873600864, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.7131349093728574, "bench_spy_p3m": -0.04183776639459935, "bench_c_p3m": 0.028466111592629684, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.8328, -0.8092, -0.8105, -0.8096, -0.7955, -0.8129, -0.7964, -0.7856, -0.7951, -0.7852, -0.7487, -0.7433, -0.7263, -0.7068, -0.6964, -0.6703, -0.6491, -0.6458, -0.6226, -0.6321, -0.6076, -0.567, -0.562, -0.5446, -0.567, -0.567, -0.5749, -0.5894, -0.5807, -0.608, -0.6296, -0.6126, -0.6172, -0.5666, -0.5666, -0.5562, -0.5525, -0.5122, -0.5238, -0.4981, -0.5197, -0.4728, -0.3795, -0.3567, -0.3206, -0.3857, -0.3849, -0.4608, -0.4873, -0.4189, -0.3924, -0.3687, -0.3928, -0.3774, -0.3774, -0.3625, -0.3949, -0.3447, -0.3219, -0.3219, -0.3049, -0.3086, -0.1634, 0.0, 0.0713, -0.0465, -0.0776, -0.1078, -0.0834, 0.0668, -0.0838, -0.0838, -0.112, -0.1796, -0.2567, -0.2783, -0.2617, -0.2866, -0.3019, -0.3206, -0.231, -0.1315, -0.1813, -0.2223, -0.1526, -0.0021, 0.1518, 0.01, 0.1116, 0.0282, 0.0054, 0.0054, -0.0373, -0.0236, -0.0124, 0.231, 0.1792, 0.455, 0.6993, 0.5396, 0.572, 0.9212, 0.7321, 0.623, 0.6093, 0.3426, 0.5993, 0.8374, 0.9643, 0.9382, 1.0265, 1.0071, 0.8399, 1.0224, 1.4094, 1.2497, 1.6727, 1.8387, 1.7934, 1.4268, 1.5147, 1.1871, 1.3633, 0.9552, 1.1916, 1.1916, 0.7416, 0.8855, 1.2057, 1.618, 1.662, 1.7561, 1.7914, 1.6101, 2.392, 2.4243, 2.2667, 2.1095, 2.606, 2.1219, 2.1589, 1.9096, 1.8499, 1.9477, 2.2858, 2.9818, 3.3965, 3.4608, 3.348, 3.4969, 3.8262, 4.2182, 4.0975, 4.0577, 3.769, 4.134, 3.3915, 3.6819, 3.3389, 4.0195, 4.8411, 4.8411, 4.4998, 4.0921, 3.7988, 3.2787, 3.2787, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1985895515004055651", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-11-05T02:22:41+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$1B+ in interest debt a year, which is an extremely big drag on FCF + margins... the debt interest is just ridiculous", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish CRWV on crushing debt load vs peers; bullish NBIS as lower-risk, higher-upside alternative with better utilization and no debt drag.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "For $CRWV it was $CORZ acquisition failing to get approved. Core scientific would have delivered so much more value than that 9B price tag. Having more GW capacity added to their full stack model (on top of their existing contract with them), would have been omega bullish with the acquisition.\n\nCoreweave also has $1B+ in interest debt a year, which is an extremely big drag on FCF + margins (compared to $NBIS, $CIFR, $IREN with did convertible notes). \n\n$NBIS already achieved what $CRWV did with full-stack vertical integration, but higher utilization + better orchestration/performance (as per their whitepaper) + no massive interest on debt + high backlogs, so markets see other lower risk, higher upside, alternatives emerging. \n\nIf $CRWV get approved for US Gov contracts though, that would be another huge catalyst upside. But we already have visibility into large contracted backlogs like $14B with $META but the debt interest is just ridiculous.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit CRWV not looking good these days. Any take on the recent happenings and near future? I'm holding quite a bit 😅", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Solar_Twelve", "ret_m1d": 0.01162385817460776, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01162385817460776, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015077279921190678, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015077279921190678, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0034534217465829187, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0034534217465829187, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06546056619149976, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06546056619149976, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.054731232978833755, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.054731232978833755, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010729333212666003, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010729333212666003, "ret_p1w": -0.2533647817487703, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2533647817487703, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.26192473088007895, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.26192473088007895, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008559949131308642, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008559949131308642, "ret_p1m": -0.2505680705099559, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2505680705099559, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.26061851432914074, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.26061851432914074, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010050443819184851, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010050443819184851, "ret_p3m": -0.22268830742259682, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.22268830742259682, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2520351902793895, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2520351902793895, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029346882856792655, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029346882856792655, "ret_p6m": -0.02464603862919479, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.02464603862919479, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.09131272341407326, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.09131272341407326, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06666668478487847, "bench_c_p6m": 0.06666668478487847, "price_path": [0.1322, 0.2216, 0.3, 0.0292, -0.1304, -0.1263, -0.154, -0.1882, -0.2001, -0.2065, -0.1786, -0.1926, -0.2013, -0.1529, -0.1016, -0.0995, -0.0995, -0.1842, -0.2145, -0.2354, -0.2214, -0.1824, -0.1241, 0.0238, -0.0151, -0.0215, 0.0529, 0.0378, 0.0563, 0.0609, 0.0912, 0.1644, 0.1439, 0.1659, 0.107, 0.0517, 0.0708, 0.196, 0.1978, 0.2061, 0.178, 0.1698, 0.1259, 0.2234, 0.2505, 0.2098, 0.2377, 0.1716, 0.2169, 0.2388, 0.1962, 0.1105, 0.093, 0.0621, 0.078, 0.1585, 0.1891, 0.1781, 0.223, 0.1454, 0.1686, 0.104, 0.0116, 0.0, -0.0655, -0.091, -0.077, -0.2275, -0.2534, -0.3153, -0.3239, -0.3416, -0.3454, -0.3452, -0.3951, -0.3738, -0.3568, -0.3769, -0.3507, -0.3507, -0.361, -0.3265, -0.3355, -0.3064, -0.2506, -0.2283, -0.2463, -0.2077, -0.2295, -0.2363, -0.3131, -0.3677, -0.3926, -0.4359, -0.4085, -0.2746, -0.2586, -0.2985, -0.3107, -0.3107, -0.3321, -0.3452, -0.3541, -0.3741, -0.3741, -0.3068, -0.3283, -0.3188, -0.3255, -0.3263, -0.2996, -0.214, -0.2354, -0.2152, -0.1696, -0.1153, -0.1153, -0.1678, -0.178, -0.1978, -0.1874, -0.1408, -0.0486, -0.0734, -0.1301, -0.1855, -0.2227, -0.2129, -0.2793, -0.3476, -0.2139, -0.1541, -0.1688, -0.1684, -0.1636, -0.1606, -0.1606, -0.2047, -0.1658, -0.151, -0.22, -0.2061, -0.1321, -0.1434, -0.1467, -0.3047, -0.3179, -0.3552, -0.3052, -0.3461, -0.3621, -0.3497, -0.3452, -0.2837, -0.302, -0.2911, -0.2496, -0.2823, -0.2762, -0.2951, -0.288, -0.2837, -0.2744, -0.2346, -0.2969, -0.3462, -0.3956, -0.3229, -0.3145, -0.2812, -0.2812, -0.2926, -0.255, -0.223, -0.1959, -0.1085, -0.0363, 0.0243, 0.0373, 0.0449, 0.0212, 0.0263, 0.0065, 0.071, 0.0262, -0.0374, -0.0206, -0.0777, -0.002, -0.0246]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1985895515004055651", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2025-11-05T02:22:41+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS already achieved what $CRWV did with full-stack vertical integration, but higher utilization + better orchestration/performance... + no massive interest on debt + high backlogs, so markets see other lower risk, higher upside, alternatives emerging", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish CRWV on crushing debt load vs peers; bullish NBIS as lower-risk, higher-upside alternative with better utilization and no debt drag.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "For $CRWV it was $CORZ acquisition failing to get approved. Core scientific would have delivered so much more value than that 9B price tag. Having more GW capacity added to their full stack model (on top of their existing contract with them), would have been omega bullish with the acquisition.\n\nCoreweave also has $1B+ in interest debt a year, which is an extremely big drag on FCF + margins (compared to $NBIS, $CIFR, $IREN with did convertible notes). \n\n$NBIS already achieved what $CRWV did with full-stack vertical integration, but higher utilization + better orchestration/performance (as per their whitepaper) + no massive interest on debt + high backlogs, so markets see other lower risk, higher upside, alternatives emerging. \n\nIf $CRWV get approved for US Gov contracts though, that would be another huge catalyst upside. But we already have visibility into large contracted backlogs like $14B with $META but the debt interest is just ridiculous.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit CRWV not looking good these days. Any take on the recent happenings and near future? I'm holding quite a bit 😅", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Solar_Twelve", "ret_m1d": -0.055213667388655185, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.055213667388655185, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05176024564207227, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04983538694087741, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0034534217465829187, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005378280447777772, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0646153637486645, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0646153637486645, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0538860305359985, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05562218126056173, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010729333212666003, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008993182488102769, "ret_p1w": -0.19350426828759348, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.19350426828759348, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.20206421741890213, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1945622817920919, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008559949131308642, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0010580135044984118, "ret_p1m": -0.12136749528412127, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12136749528412127, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13141793910330613, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1422632619979658, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.010050443819184851, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02089576671384452, "ret_p3m": -0.2464956951956464, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2464956951956464, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.27584257805243906, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.30501633938965844, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029346882856792655, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05852064419401204, "ret_p6m": 0.18145295493623137, "ret_signed_p6m": 0.18145295493623137, "alpha_spy_p6m": 0.1147862701513529, "alpha_c_p6m": 0.14759483029563314, "bench_spy_p6m": 0.06666668478487847, "bench_c_p6m": 0.03385812464059823, "price_path": [-0.4121, -0.3997, -0.3562, -0.3963, -0.4149, -0.3879, -0.38, -0.4257, -0.4233, -0.4344, -0.4104, -0.4015, -0.3976, -0.4009, -0.3843, -0.4161, -0.4161, -0.4383, -0.4389, -0.4452, -0.4404, -0.4525, -0.1819, -0.2018, -0.2377, -0.2273, -0.2226, -0.2356, -0.1959, -0.1956, -0.1512, -0.0889, -0.0786, -0.0322, -0.0774, -0.0795, -0.0579, -0.0404, -0.0119, 0.0758, 0.0938, 0.0679, 0.006, 0.0427, 0.1337, 0.1075, 0.1578, 0.0953, 0.0755, 0.0516, -0.0304, -0.0684, -0.1087, -0.1571, -0.0926, 0.0022, 0.0721, 0.0413, 0.0692, 0.0614, 0.1181, 0.0297, -0.0552, 0.0, -0.0646, -0.0489, -0.0603, -0.1263, -0.1935, -0.2425, -0.286, -0.2651, -0.2262, -0.1874, -0.2766, -0.2884, -0.2145, -0.2403, -0.1907, -0.1907, -0.1891, -0.144, -0.1756, -0.1545, -0.1214, -0.1621, -0.1425, -0.176, -0.2001, -0.1942, -0.2505, -0.3065, -0.3081, -0.3551, -0.3326, -0.2354, -0.2032, -0.2305, -0.2211, -0.2211, -0.2514, -0.2646, -0.2721, -0.2846, -0.2846, -0.2312, -0.2066, -0.1432, -0.1777, -0.1684, -0.163, -0.0826, -0.0989, -0.1284, -0.1121, -0.0707, -0.0707, -0.1514, -0.155, -0.1722, -0.1923, -0.2183, -0.1635, -0.1416, -0.1888, -0.2719, -0.2465, -0.2312, -0.2958, -0.3686, -0.2641, -0.2062, -0.2155, -0.2426, -0.2331, -0.1623, -0.1623, -0.1665, -0.1299, -0.0803, -0.1631, -0.1401, -0.1232, -0.093, -0.1036, -0.2206, -0.2221, -0.2581, -0.1643, -0.1825, -0.2365, -0.1885, -0.1758, -0.0428, -0.0766, -0.0346, 0.1098, -0.0057, 0.0133, 0.0386, 0.0053, -0.0244, -0.0179, -0.0163, -0.0943, -0.1383, -0.2115, -0.1132, -0.1286, -0.0699, -0.0699, -0.0381, 0.0034, 0.0684, 0.1652, 0.2391, 0.321, 0.3841, 0.4254, 0.4132, 0.3431, 0.3603, 0.338, 0.3345, 0.3426, 0.2578, 0.239, 0.1582, 0.2068, 0.1815]}
{"unit_id": "reply:1975208526479069257", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2025-10-06T14:36:24+00:00", "symbol": "SNAP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "numbers wise, the new update reduces OpEx by a ton and increases revenue, but clearly hasn't been priced in yet. Obviously a bit early, so probably just a Buy.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Reluctant Buy on SNAP: new update cuts OpEx and boosts revenue but not yet priced in.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNAP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@robswainept I still hate $SNAP from the bottom of my heart and would prefer other stocks any day of the week. \n\nBut numbers wise, the new update reduces OpEx by a ton and increases revenue, but clearly hasn't been priced in yet. \n\nObviously a bit early, so probably just a Buy.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit So you have this as a buy or a strong buy? 👀", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "robswainept", "ret_m1d": 0.0023473595087817323, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0023473595087817323, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005920773339130769, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.003377313114077407, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.003573413830349037, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0010299536052956748, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04577468572403354, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04577468572403354, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04206719347307164, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04191229379979777, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.003707492250961897, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003862391924235764, "ret_p1w": -0.05516434762635847, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05516434762635847, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04240395718853529, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03224781400415311, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012760390437823177, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02291653362220536, "ret_p1m": -0.12323950835181352, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12323950835181352, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12864450469687416, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09148256158561274, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.005404996345060642, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03175694676620078, "ret_p3m": -0.052816988117576846, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.052816988117576846, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07116845783459014, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06647336361804634, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.01835146971701329, "bench_c_p3m": 0.013656375500469498, "ret_p6m": -0.4600939369151189, "ret_signed_p6m": -0.4600939369151189, "alpha_spy_p6m": -0.4339374945429746, "alpha_c_p6m": -0.41772684676669636, "bench_spy_p6m": -0.026156442372144317, "bench_c_p6m": -0.04236709014842255, "price_path": [0.0704, 0.0962, 0.0692, 0.1197, 0.1127, 0.1338, 0.1631, 0.1749, 0.1596, 0.2148, 0.1819, 0.1432, 0.1467, 0.1373, 0.0951, 0.0939, 0.1068, 0.0622, 0.1115, 0.1021, -0.0869, -0.115, -0.1303, -0.1561, -0.1467, -0.1408, -0.169, -0.1608, -0.1385, -0.1573, -0.1596, -0.1725, -0.1549, -0.1784, -0.1761, -0.1796, -0.1667, -0.162, -0.162, -0.1397, -0.1491, -0.1678, -0.142, -0.1526, -0.1455, -0.1725, -0.1444, -0.1385, -0.1244, -0.0915, -0.0622, -0.0094, -0.0423, 0.0012, -0.0117, -0.0352, -0.0223, -0.0293, -0.0141, -0.0951, -0.0951, -0.0352, 0.0023, 0.0, -0.0458, -0.0106, -0.0164, -0.0869, -0.0552, -0.0704, -0.0716, -0.0892, -0.1021, -0.0927, -0.0786, -0.088, -0.0763, -0.0669, -0.0716, -0.0915, -0.0915, -0.108, -0.0845, -0.0822, -0.1232, -0.1432, -0.0599, -0.0364, 0.02, 0.0282, 0.0669, 0.007, 0.0059, -0.0399, -0.0317, -0.0575, -0.0869, -0.0974, -0.0986, -0.1033, -0.1068, -0.1068, -0.0986, -0.1033, -0.1056, -0.1009, -0.0892, -0.0716, -0.0575, -0.0704, -0.0704, -0.1033, -0.142, -0.1479, -0.135, -0.1197, -0.1045, -0.1115, -0.0681, -0.0833, -0.0786, -0.0786, -0.0775, -0.0751, -0.0528, -0.0528, -0.0528, -0.0458, -0.0317, 0.0317, 0.0117, -0.0141, -0.0364, -0.0387, -0.0622, -0.0728, -0.0892, -0.1162, -0.1162, -0.1373, -0.135, -0.1009, -0.1056, -0.1127, -0.1244, -0.0998, -0.1502, -0.1866, -0.2183, -0.284, -0.3063, -0.3991, -0.3873, -0.3908, -0.3862, -0.4143, -0.4343, -0.4331, -0.4331, -0.4448, -0.4272, -0.4131, -0.3967, -0.4214, -0.4167, -0.4049, -0.3826, -0.3885, -0.3826, -0.3838, -0.3697, -0.3732, -0.3944, -0.3979, -0.4237, -0.4296, -0.4542, -0.4648, -0.4507, -0.4542, -0.4577, -0.4648, -0.4742, -0.4707, -0.4883, -0.473, -0.5293, -0.5387, -0.5282, -0.4601]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028811480439943673", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-03T12:35:25+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I personally like $AXTI miles better since they're a current bottleneck and will still be one for anything photonics related", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AXTI as a current and future bottleneck supplier for photonics.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Long311203 Yes I personally like $AXTI miles better since they're a current bottleneck and will still be one for anything photonics related.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Isn’t that a pointless thought when you can invest in $AXTI", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Long311203", "ret_m1d": 0.10919543957308275, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.10919543957308275, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.10030271762903897, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06999425002275861, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00889272194404378, "bench_c_m1d": 0.039201189550324145, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06297886396374286, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06297886396374286, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07003417231682751, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.08353839087806814, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007055308353084655, "bench_c_p1d": 0.020559526914325277, "ret_p1w": 0.06082377915752013, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06082377915752013, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06545397144768772, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04479046188442726, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00463019229016759, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016033317273092873, "ret_p1m": 0.1288314483801376, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1288314483801376, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1630803879203695, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1265044303578633, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03424893954023189, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0023270180222743075, "ret_p3m": 1.47030670039361, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.47030670039361, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.3553391247837034, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.9387514494987863, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11496757560990667, "bench_c_p3m": 0.5315552508948238, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7102, -0.7227, -0.6956, -0.6418, -0.6286, -0.6078, -0.6454, -0.6449, -0.6887, -0.704, -0.6645, -0.6492, -0.6355, -0.6494, -0.6406, -0.6406, -0.6319, -0.6506, -0.6216, -0.6085, -0.6085, -0.5987, -0.6008, -0.517, -0.4227, -0.3815, -0.4495, -0.4674, -0.4849, -0.4708, -0.3841, -0.471, -0.471, -0.4873, -0.5263, -0.5709, -0.5833, -0.5738, -0.5881, -0.597, -0.6078, -0.556, -0.4986, -0.5273, -0.551, -0.5108, -0.4239, -0.335, -0.4169, -0.3582, -0.4064, -0.4195, -0.4195, -0.4442, -0.4363, -0.4298, -0.2893, -0.3192, -0.16, -0.0189, -0.1111, -0.0924, 0.1092, 0.0, -0.063, -0.0709, -0.2249, -0.0766, 0.0608, 0.1341, 0.119, 0.17, 0.1588, 0.0623, 0.1676, 0.391, 0.2989, 0.5431, 0.6389, 0.6128, 0.4011, 0.4519, 0.2627, 0.3645, 0.1288, 0.2653, 0.2653, 0.0055, 0.0886, 0.2735, 0.5115, 0.5369, 0.5912, 0.6116, 0.5069, 0.9583, 0.977, 0.886, 0.7953, 1.0819, 0.8024, 0.8238, 0.6798, 0.6454, 0.7019, 0.897, 1.2989, 1.5383, 1.5754, 1.5103, 1.5963, 1.7864, 2.0127, 1.943, 1.92, 1.7534, 1.9641, 1.5354, 1.7031, 1.505, 1.898, 2.3724, 2.3724, 2.1753, 1.9399, 1.7706, 1.4703, 1.4703, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2029652414585000068", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-05T20:16:59+00:00", "symbol": "LASR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I just wanted exposure to energy directed weapons and found $LASR to be pure play + operational + small enough that risk/reward was asymmetrical from here", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds LASR as asymmetric long: pure-play energy directed weapons, operational, small-cap with favorable risk/reward.", "resolved_tickers": ["LASR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SpilledMocha No clue where this heads, I just wanted exposure to energy directed weapons and found $LASR to be pure play + operational + small enough that risk/reward was asymmetrical from here", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Long term goal?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SpilledMocha", "ret_m1d": 0.0712914829263338, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0712914829263338, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06568467506002262, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06568467506002262, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005606807866311181, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005606807866311181, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06265987687967278, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06265987687967278, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04955274180883629, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04955274180883629, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013107135070836495, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013107135070836495, "ret_p1w": 0.00335676278553132, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.00335676278553132, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.025740157378199235, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.025740157378199235, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.022383394592667916, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022383394592667916, "ret_p1m": -0.0390025957136243, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0390025957136243, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.004232949046901968, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.004232949046901968, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03476964666672233, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03476964666672233, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4094, -0.3942, -0.3958, -0.3889, -0.4226, -0.4166, -0.4337, -0.446, -0.4254, -0.3972, -0.3887, -0.3694, -0.3715, -0.3715, -0.3734, -0.3764, -0.3838, -0.4004, -0.4004, -0.3867, -0.3911, -0.3974, -0.3998, -0.3601, -0.3603, -0.3355, -0.3171, -0.3099, -0.2994, -0.2976, -0.2976, -0.2767, -0.2657, -0.2327, -0.2978, -0.3034, -0.2819, -0.265, -0.247, -0.2709, -0.2315, -0.2011, -0.2989, -0.2633, -0.1829, -0.1274, -0.1541, -0.1234, -0.1619, -0.1643, -0.1643, -0.1865, -0.1312, -0.11, -0.1047, -0.1256, -0.0786, -0.0313, 0.0062, -0.1018, 0.082, 0.0082, 0.0713, 0.0, -0.0627, -0.0249, 0.0197, 0.0628, 0.0034, 0.0006, 0.0949, 0.1371, 0.0956, 0.133, 0.0512, 0.1181, 0.1439, 0.1469, 0.0208, 0.0281, -0.1368, -0.0886, -0.0681, -0.039, -0.039, -0.0697, -0.0774, -0.0358, 0.0026, 0.0449, 0.1167, 0.0689, 0.0617, 0.1106, 0.1258, 0.1403, 0.1544, 0.1506, 0.1861, 0.2115, 0.1196, 0.0515, 0.0385, 0.1165, 0.1346, 0.1095, 0.0702, 0.1395, 0.058, 0.1814, 0.3579, 0.3397, 0.2855, 0.3, 0.2086, 0.1322, 0.1108, 0.1397, 0.2217, 0.2555, 0.2555, 0.3039, 0.301, 0.2652, 0.1848, 0.1848, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2029682047292428426", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-05T22:14:44+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The $6B dilution is absolutely immense long term selling pressure for $IREN. A lot of people understate how egregious that ATM actually is for existing shareholders.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish IREN: $6B ATM creates immense long-term selling pressure and egregious dilution for existing shareholders.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The $6B dilution is absolutely immense long term selling pressure for $IREN. \n\nA lot of people understate how egregious that ATM actually is for existing shareholders.\n\nIf you believe that TA quoted where $IREN randomly goes to $130 off the chart alone when close to half of their float is diluted and later sold, idk.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit “If a company is valued at $13B issues $6B new shares then sells all of that on the open market.”\n\n…Clearly implying that $IREN would issue the entire $6b ATM at today’s market cap.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Agrippa_Inv", "ret_m1d": 0.09258567358474501, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09258567358474501, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08697886571843383, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08731531757656397, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005606807866311181, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005270356008181043, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08535823643764606, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08535823643764606, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07225110136680957, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0724751772376202, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013107135070836495, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01288305920002586, "ret_p1w": 0.03102801076348327, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03102801076348327, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05341140535615119, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0778755531962596, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.022383394592667916, "bench_c_p1w": -0.046847542432776335, "ret_p1m": -0.13345793251679328, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13345793251679328, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09868828585007094, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10524401041525522, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03476964666672233, "bench_c_p1m": -0.028213922101538058, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1549, 0.1674, 0.0946, 0.0951, 0.0001, -0.1158, -0.0881, -0.1581, -0.1078, -0.0051, 0.0477, 0.0485, 0.0462, 0.0462, 0.0044, -0.0178, -0.0455, -0.0587, -0.0587, 0.0642, 0.2022, 0.1442, 0.0872, 0.1384, 0.1472, 0.2543, 0.3206, 0.3179, 0.2932, 0.441, 0.441, 0.3523, 0.3328, 0.3024, 0.4126, 0.3049, 0.4951, 0.5686, 0.4913, 0.3393, 0.3229, 0.3555, 0.12, -0.0083, 0.0425, 0.1502, 0.0699, 0.0634, -0.0024, 0.0522, 0.0522, 0.0211, 0.0487, 0.0789, -0.0036, 0.0557, 0.1327, 0.0973, 0.1026, 0.0206, 0.0315, -0.0318, 0.0926, 0.0, -0.0854, -0.032, -0.05, 0.0462, 0.031, 0.0363, 0.12, 0.0707, 0.052, 0.0383, 0.029, 0.0507, 0.0248, 0.0325, -0.0667, -0.1255, -0.212, -0.1457, -0.1504, -0.1335, -0.1335, -0.1245, -0.1093, -0.0821, -0.0764, -0.0201, 0.0734, 0.1806, 0.2167, 0.1888, 0.1993, 0.2142, 0.1257, 0.206, 0.2964, 0.2621, 0.2052, 0.1075, 0.0682, 0.1342, 0.1379, 0.2331, 0.3642, 0.5198, 0.4168, 0.5252, 0.3745, 0.4096, 0.375, 0.4555, 0.3194, 0.2576, 0.1898, 0.3136, 0.447, 0.4163, 0.4163, 0.4898, 0.6907, 0.5963, 0.5836, 0.5836, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2017273921394102695", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-30T16:29:16+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$1m seems inevitable to me, it's how long you want to wait (like 8 years maybe)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long BTC to $1M in ~8 years on generational wealth transfer, finite supply, digital gold; same wealth-transfer thesis applied to HOOD.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@nwongmd Extremely popular among age 30 and under.\n\nWealth transfer (same thesis as $HOOD) down to next generation. Finite supply, digital gold. \n\n$1m seems inevitable to me, it’s how long you want to wait (like 8 years maybe)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit what's your thesis for bitcoin?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mdinca08", "ret_m1d": 0.005146043058306793, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005146043058306793, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00215454040112939, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002991502657177403, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.06466156560060354, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06466156560060354, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06963292773153906, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004971362130935519, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.16133938458098218, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.16133938458098218, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1593884468873411, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.001950937693641075, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.18249197564593223, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.18249197564593223, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1744136890747835, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00807828657114873, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.09928273919744202, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09928273919744202, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13043061192533556, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031147872727893544, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2076, 0.2349, 0.2041, 0.2287, 0.2599, 0.2243, 0.2084, 0.1851, 0.1221, 0.0947, 0.1048, 0.0872, 0.0298, 0.0114, 0.0492, 0.0382, 0.076, 0.0851, 0.0807, 0.0261, 0.0858, 0.1117, 0.0952, 0.0625, 0.0774, 0.1018, 0.0938, 0.0996, 0.073, 0.0272, 0.0442, 0.024, 0.0159, 0.0472, 0.0518, 0.0391, 0.0414, 0.0369, 0.0377, 0.0358, 0.0511, 0.0402, 0.0547, 0.0691, 0.1159, 0.1141, 0.0853, 0.082, 0.0759, 0.084, 0.133, 0.1522, 0.1358, 0.1355, 0.1001, 0.0497, 0.0624, 0.0634, 0.0639, 0.0492, 0.0591, 0.0601, 0.0051, 0.0, -0.0647, -0.101, -0.132, -0.2547, -0.1613, -0.1665, -0.1823, -0.2037, -0.2129, -0.1815, -0.1817, -0.1977, -0.2104, -0.2041, -0.1916, -0.2319, -0.2383, -0.1922, -0.1982, -0.2169, -0.1825, -0.1882, -0.1357, -0.1579, -0.1901, -0.1869, -0.1688, -0.1655, -0.1621, -0.1564, -0.1102, -0.1213, -0.1531, -0.169, -0.1617, -0.1571, -0.1618, -0.1524, -0.1823, -0.2115, -0.2073, -0.1889, -0.1908, -0.2049, -0.2044, -0.1815, -0.1449, -0.1546, -0.1469, -0.1325, -0.1146, -0.1182, -0.1108, -0.1067, -0.0832, -0.0981, -0.0924, -0.0704, -0.0697, -0.0793, -0.0804, -0.0925, -0.0993, -0.093, -0.0707, -0.0511, -0.0381, -0.0321, -0.049, -0.0469, -0.0285, -0.0434, -0.0577, -0.0366, -0.0602, -0.0853, -0.0877, -0.0793, -0.0783, -0.1027, -0.0814, -0.0987, -0.1163, -0.1259, -0.1279, -0.1245, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2017273921394102695", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-30T16:29:16+00:00", "symbol": "HOOD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Wealth transfer (same thesis as $HOOD) down to next generation", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long BTC to $1M in ~8 years on generational wealth transfer, finite supply, digital gold; same wealth-transfer thesis applied to HOOD.", "resolved_tickers": ["HOOD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@nwongmd Extremely popular among age 30 and under.\n\nWealth transfer (same thesis as $HOOD) down to next generation. Finite supply, digital gold. \n\n$1m seems inevitable to me, it’s how long you want to wait (like 8 years maybe)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit what's your thesis for bitcoin?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mdinca08", "ret_m1d": 0.017691942575847053, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.017691942575847053, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01470043991866965, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.015633514176494945, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002991502657177403, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002058428399352108, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09620023494055507, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09620023494055507, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.1011715970714906, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.10724065501521496, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004971362130935519, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011040420074659885, "ret_p1w": -0.16747087957298712, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.16747087957298712, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.16551994187934604, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.18281520802839024, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.001950937693641075, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015344328455403122, "ret_p1m": -0.20808206553195663, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.20808206553195663, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2000037789608079, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1680371702822776, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00807828657114873, "bench_c_p1m": -0.040044895249679024, "ret_p3m": -0.2842783017127868, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2842783017127868, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.31542617444068033, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.26082933744903813, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031147872727893544, "bench_c_p3m": -0.02344896426374865, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3752, 0.4322, 0.2774, 0.3104, 0.3659, 0.3262, 0.3368, 0.2217, 0.2314, 0.1658, 0.149, 0.1878, 0.0677, 0.0786, 0.1557, 0.1617, 0.2887, 0.2887, 0.2916, 0.2388, 0.2661, 0.3434, 0.378, 0.3264, 0.3714, 0.3642, 0.3637, 0.2402, 0.2012, 0.1586, 0.2002, 0.1641, 0.1777, 0.2198, 0.2301, 0.2087, 0.2107, 0.2107, 0.1875, 0.1804, 0.1605, 0.1369, 0.1369, 0.1581, 0.2388, 0.2234, 0.1758, 0.1599, 0.1587, 0.1813, 0.2087, 0.203, 0.1093, 0.0931, 0.0931, 0.0633, 0.0647, 0.0681, 0.0755, 0.0756, 0.0579, 0.0394, 0.0177, 0.0, -0.0962, -0.1247, -0.1896, -0.2694, -0.1675, -0.1299, -0.1395, -0.2162, -0.2851, -0.2363, -0.2363, -0.2417, -0.244, -0.2395, -0.2349, -0.2784, -0.2623, -0.2206, -0.2013, -0.2375, -0.2081, -0.2353, -0.1736, -0.1902, -0.2251, -0.2024, -0.2106, -0.209, -0.2348, -0.2623, -0.243, -0.2225, -0.2471, -0.2545, -0.2874, -0.2713, -0.3056, -0.2708, -0.2928, -0.3363, -0.345, -0.3034, -0.2952, -0.3074, -0.3074, -0.2986, -0.2999, -0.2779, -0.2951, -0.3045, -0.2796, -0.205, -0.1222, -0.127, -0.0878, -0.0825, -0.1312, -0.1111, -0.1602, -0.1485, -0.1561, -0.175, -0.2843, -0.2673, -0.2595, -0.2305, -0.2257, -0.2054, -0.2332, -0.2257, -0.188, -0.2132, -0.2285, -0.1888, -0.2246, -0.2245, -0.2545, -0.2384, -0.2368, -0.2598, -0.2598, -0.2552, -0.2337, -0.1472, -0.0521, -0.0521, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2027047979623047390", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-26T15:47:53+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "a known $LITE supplier", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Implies bullish interest in LITE supplier as a turnaround play in upstream photonic epiwafer supply chain.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Not telling people to invest, I’ve already maintained multiple times its net debt and inherently risky due to dilution and just sharing why I found it interesting. \n\nThat aside, they’re one of the largest epiwafer fabs in the world for upstream photonic supply chains and a known $LITE supplier. \n\nThe other leader is Landmark over in Taiwan and it’s sitting at $3.85B as a benchmark, so I do think there’s a turnaround potential.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit You don’t have any reservations telling people to invest in a stock with that low market cap?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "RJCcapital", "ret_m1d": 0.06852291676283229, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06852291676283229, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0629374158381899, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0629374158381899, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005585500924642384, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005585500924642384, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.035317537879662186, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.035317537879662186, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04011948113818953, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04011948113818953, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004801943258527341, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004801943258527341, "ret_p1w": -0.0386705947943593, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0386705947943593, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.027079179851697055, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.027079179851697055, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011591414942662248, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011591414942662248, "ret_p1m": 0.03800587956979329, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03800587956979329, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11558927585410517, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11558927585410517, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07758339628431188, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07758339628431188, "ret_p3m": 0.3453618870880262, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3453618870880262, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.25347166009869526, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.25347166009869526, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09189022698933091, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09189022698933091, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5304, -0.5527, -0.5525, -0.5157, -0.5105, -0.494, -0.4678, -0.4594, -0.4504, -0.5209, -0.5056, -0.533, -0.527, -0.502, -0.4514, -0.4241, -0.4278, -0.4152, -0.4152, -0.4228, -0.4496, -0.4517, -0.4556, -0.4556, -0.4297, -0.4726, -0.413, -0.4197, -0.4856, -0.4809, -0.498, -0.4663, -0.5102, -0.493, -0.521, -0.521, -0.4729, -0.4646, -0.4764, -0.499, -0.5089, -0.4525, -0.4313, -0.4366, -0.4212, -0.3746, -0.3573, -0.3123, -0.2549, -0.1847, -0.1475, -0.1712, -0.152, -0.1382, -0.1688, -0.1688, -0.1131, -0.1222, -0.0611, -0.0136, -0.0034, 0.0166, 0.0685, 0.0, 0.0353, 0.1569, 0.0257, 0.0056, -0.0387, -0.1751, -0.0536, -0.0074, -0.0074, -0.09, -0.0805, -0.077, -0.0405, 0.0352, 0.1405, 0.0434, 0.0767, 0.1846, 0.148, 0.0174, 0.038, -0.0328, 0.0381, 0.1295, 0.2214, 0.2214, 0.1407, 0.2049, 0.3235, 0.3207, 0.3254, 0.2868, 0.2597, 0.2171, 0.3164, 0.3206, 0.3222, 0.2362, 0.2904, 0.2509, 0.3023, 0.2698, 0.1689, 0.2678, 0.3328, 0.4031, 0.4419, 0.4691, 0.3948, 0.3184, 0.335, 0.5555, 0.4658, 0.522, 0.4798, 0.4338, 0.3072, 0.3148, 0.2822, 0.4247, 0.3987, 0.3987, 0.3454, 0.3328, 0.2712, 0.2629, 0.2629, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2014457989168816616", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-22T21:59:46+00:00", "symbol": "POET", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the drop was quite the overreaction and it's nice to get in 4%+ underneath underwriter prices", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish POET: no debt, ~435M cash vs $1B MC, war chest to ramp Celestial production; drop is an overreaction, current price is below underwriter levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["POET"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$POET is in an extremely good spot if you look at the financials today. \n\nOf course this is at the expense of former retail shareholders. \n\nNo debt, ~435M cash to $1B MC. And they can use that war chest to ramp up production/inventory for Celestial.\n\nDilution isn't like $BMNR to put $200m into Mr. Beast's chocolate bar company.\n\nSo I'd say the drop was quite the overreaction and it's nice to get in 4%+ underneath underwriter prices.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I added a ton to my position at this price, this over reaction seems completely dumb.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "B38B37", "ret_m1d": 0.20605184676487642, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.20605184676487642, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.21124793641316786, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.20826130665330034, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005196089648291435, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0022094598884239147, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004322796766714321, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004322796766714321, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0046855770064548885, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.002454450978407796, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0003627802397405677, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006777247745122117, "ret_p1w": -0.1426513313822403, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1426513313822403, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.149995499325685, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.17914401154254211, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007344167943444724, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03649268016030183, "ret_p1m": -0.18011527229016155, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.18011527229016155, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.18076843661504216, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.21042655582392755, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0006531643248806063, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030311283533765998, "ret_p3m": 0.4769452327793251, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4769452327793251, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.45223789090318633, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.323427544448325, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024707341876138766, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1535176883310001, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0677, 0.0187, -0.0447, -0.0807, -0.072, -0.049, -0.1427, -0.1297, -0.2334, -0.2233, -0.2392, -0.2378, -0.2723, -0.3228, -0.366, -0.3991, -0.3818, -0.3876, -0.3948, -0.3847, -0.3329, -0.3271, -0.3026, -0.3026, -0.2867, -0.3357, -0.3256, -0.134, -0.0821, -0.1282, -0.1023, -0.0058, 0.0303, 0.0403, -0.0634, -0.1441, -0.1254, -0.1398, -0.1167, -0.0231, 0.0965, 0.0303, 0.0115, 0.0115, -0.0187, -0.0576, -0.0605, -0.0879, -0.0879, 0.0317, 0.0706, 0.0591, 0.0735, 0.049, 0.0648, 0.0389, 0.0288, 0.1657, 0.1974, 0.196, 0.196, 0.1873, 0.2061, 0.0, -0.0043, -0.0692, -0.0216, -0.1037, -0.1427, -0.1643, -0.1585, -0.1297, -0.1916, -0.2536, -0.1542, -0.1052, -0.1585, -0.1599, -0.1859, -0.196, -0.196, -0.2046, -0.196, -0.1974, -0.1801, -0.2046, -0.1196, -0.0836, -0.1009, -0.1354, -0.0043, 0.0144, -0.0144, -0.0432, -0.0951, -0.036, 0.0086, 0.072, 0.072, -0.0159, -0.0043, -0.0533, -0.1095, -0.1023, -0.1455, -0.1268, -0.1729, -0.121, -0.2089, -0.2522, -0.268, -0.1441, -0.1931, -0.1196, -0.1196, -0.1239, -0.1412, -0.1037, -0.1239, 0.0144, 0.0519, -0.0331, 0.0043, 0.0576, 0.0461, 0.2378, 0.4769, 0.8401, 0.6888, 1.1758, 0.1455, 0.1571, -0.049, 0.0259, 0.0533, 0.0245, 0.3271, 0.4006, 0.3804, 0.5778, 1.0029, 0.9784, 1.0706, 1.964, 1.3012, 1.0476, 0.8833, 1.1297, 1.1354, 1.1023, 1.1023, 0.9236, 0.9135, 0.9107, 0.7709, 0.7709, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2031448823164436895", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-10T19:15:16+00:00", "symbol": "CODA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is the biggest tailwind of the year for underwater defense companies... don't think they've been priced in yet", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Long CODA, KRKNF, EXALF as unpriced beneficiaries of Iran mining Strait of Hormuz; biggest tailwind of the year for underwater defense.", "resolved_tickers": ["CODA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Iran is now deploying mines in Strait of Hormuz.\n\nYou might be wondering like everyone else: How do I profit off Iran mining the waterway for oil?\n\nHere's how:\n\nSonar for Minefields:  $CODA, $KRKNF.\n\nCoda Octopus ( $CODA, $174M): 3D/4D/5D volumetric sonar for mines in muddy water. DAVD for U.S. Navy EOD to defuse mines.\n\nKraken Robotics ( $KRKNF, $2.97B):  KATFISH towed underwater vehicle is actively used by NATO navies for high-speed, high-resolution seabed mapping and minehunting\n\nMine Identification and Disposal:\n\nExail ( $EXALF, 2.2B MC ): Operates MIDS - Mine Identification and Disposal Systems\n\nThis is the biggest tailwind of the year for underwater defense companies:\n\nAs the battle moves from land to underseas: Search and Destroy for Iranian mines in the Straight.\n\nGiven this is brand new news, that came out a few minutes ago, don’t think they’ve been priced in yet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.10799525029227619, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10799525029227619, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.10960496421219401, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.10960496421219401, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0016097139199178212, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0016097139199178212, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.12768498294140695, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.12768498294140695, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.12642982001288983, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.12642982001288983, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012551629285171284, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012551629285171284, "ret_p1w": -0.178997610920686, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.178997610920686, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.16956138495556938, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.16956138495556938, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009436225965116618, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009436225965116618, "ret_p1m": -0.28281621159825, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.28281621159825, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2838147927616417, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2838147927616417, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0009985811633916875, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0009985811633916875, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.463, -0.4576, -0.4576, -0.4475, -0.4702, -0.4511, -0.4403, -0.4296, -0.4475, -0.4308, -0.4308, -0.4415, -0.4714, -0.4463, -0.4451, -0.4451, -0.4326, -0.4021, -0.3992, -0.4051, -0.4004, -0.3887, -0.3998, -0.2846, -0.3052, -0.3156, -0.3252, -0.3252, -0.3562, -0.3138, -0.3473, -0.3646, -0.3741, -0.3956, -0.4087, -0.3514, -0.3646, -0.355, -0.3317, -0.3222, -0.3622, -0.3156, -0.256, -0.2202, -0.3061, -0.2285, -0.2005, -0.2005, -0.1826, -0.2181, -0.2133, -0.1972, -0.1748, -0.1504, -0.1163, -0.1498, -0.1909, -0.1647, -0.1772, -0.1563, -0.1659, -0.1408, -0.108, 0.0, -0.1277, -0.1348, -0.1611, -0.1874, -0.179, -0.2315, -0.2434, -0.2918, -0.281, -0.2876, -0.2876, -0.3109, -0.3204, -0.3502, -0.3258, -0.3067, -0.2906, -0.2906, -0.2965, -0.3019, -0.2828, -0.2613, -0.2709, -0.2124, -0.2303, -0.2237, -0.2017, -0.2082, -0.2491, -0.2828, -0.2804, -0.2655, -0.2685, -0.3305, -0.3365, -0.3449, -0.3252, -0.3067, -0.3126, -0.304, -0.2888, -0.29, -0.2774, -0.278, -0.2942, -0.3037, -0.2882, -0.318, -0.318, -0.3365, -0.3234, -0.3192, -0.2918, -0.2918, -0.2595, -0.2566, -0.2303, -0.2518, -0.2518, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2031448823164436895", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-10T19:15:16+00:00", "symbol": "KRKNF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is the biggest tailwind of the year for underwater defense companies... don't think they've been priced in yet", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Long CODA, KRKNF, EXALF as unpriced beneficiaries of Iran mining Strait of Hormuz; biggest tailwind of the year for underwater defense.", "resolved_tickers": ["KRKNF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Scientific & Technical Instruments'", "bench_c_industry": "Scientific & Technical Instruments", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Iran is now deploying mines in Strait of Hormuz.\n\nYou might be wondering like everyone else: How do I profit off Iran mining the waterway for oil?\n\nHere's how:\n\nSonar for Minefields:  $CODA, $KRKNF.\n\nCoda Octopus ( $CODA, $174M): 3D/4D/5D volumetric sonar for mines in muddy water. DAVD for U.S. Navy EOD to defuse mines.\n\nKraken Robotics ( $KRKNF, $2.97B):  KATFISH towed underwater vehicle is actively used by NATO navies for high-speed, high-resolution seabed mapping and minehunting\n\nMine Identification and Disposal:\n\nExail ( $EXALF, 2.2B MC ): Operates MIDS - Mine Identification and Disposal Systems\n\nThis is the biggest tailwind of the year for underwater defense companies:\n\nAs the battle moves from land to underseas: Search and Destroy for Iranian mines in the Straight.\n\nGiven this is brand new news, that came out a few minutes ago, don’t think they’ve been priced in yet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.10317456863424435, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10317456863424435, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.10478428255416217, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.10317456863424435, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0016097139199178212, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03042328317649745, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03042328317649745, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.029168120247980323, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03521715090864297, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012551629285171284, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004793867732145518, "ret_p1w": -0.026455001425780944, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.026455001425780944, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.017018775460664326, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02488087602461131, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009436225965116618, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0015741254011696348, "ret_p1m": -0.19576719977187507, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.19576719977187507, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19676578093526675, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2108371548885315, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0009985811633916875, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01506995511665643, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4041, -0.4101, -0.414, -0.4312, -0.4577, -0.4444, -0.419, -0.422, -0.3981, -0.3958, -0.3958, -0.3717, -0.3889, -0.3828, -0.3825, -0.3825, -0.3462, -0.314, -0.3205, -0.2995, -0.2394, -0.2487, -0.1997, -0.168, -0.2439, -0.2341, -0.2382, -0.2382, -0.2725, -0.2765, -0.2315, -0.1944, -0.1786, -0.1455, -0.1234, -0.1693, -0.2209, -0.2045, -0.2116, -0.2659, -0.2725, -0.2116, -0.2103, -0.2024, -0.2262, -0.2946, -0.2857, -0.2857, -0.2646, -0.2077, -0.2116, -0.1997, -0.2282, -0.1653, -0.1693, -0.1455, -0.1759, -0.1083, -0.0926, -0.1173, -0.1476, -0.1878, -0.1032, 0.0, -0.0304, -0.0635, -0.0899, -0.0728, -0.0265, -0.0735, -0.1138, -0.1429, -0.1083, -0.119, -0.1377, -0.2156, -0.2103, -0.2796, -0.2341, -0.2116, -0.205, -0.205, -0.1825, -0.1905, -0.1958, -0.1931, -0.2143, -0.1455, -0.1759, -0.1825, -0.1429, -0.1495, -0.1521, -0.2069, -0.168, -0.2066, -0.2183, -0.2209, -0.25, -0.2639, -0.2381, -0.2791, -0.25, -0.3122, -0.3029, -0.3056, -0.3255, -0.328, -0.3413, -0.3135, -0.2808, -0.2989, -0.3164, -0.2876, -0.2421, -0.2628, -0.298, -0.298, -0.2209, -0.213, -0.2526, -0.2775, -0.2775, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2020033017880698920", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-07T07:12:56+00:00", "symbol": "3446.T", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Are the likely winners for this sector", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Japan's $550B investment plan; names likely winners across synthetic diamonds for semis, gas power for data centers, and deepwater oil terminals.", "resolved_tickers": ["3446.T"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWJ", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='T')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "A new release shows Japan is investing:\n\n$550B USD (86 Trillion Yen) into several sectors. \n\nThe first round of investments go into these three:\n\n1. Synthetic Diamonds for Semis (heat sink for AI chips)\n\n- J-TEC Corporation (3446.T)\n- $COHR - diamond substrates into optical (likely partner). They launched bondable diamonds in Jan 2026. Likely Element Six grows Diamondond Wafer -> $COHR bonds it to AI processors.   \n- EDP (7794.T)\n- Element Six\n\nAre the likely winners for this sector. The text mentions a \"synthetic diamond production plant,\" but it does not name these companies. They are the logical technical winners.\n\n2. Gas Power for Data Centers \n\n- SoftBank (Explicitly named)\n- GE Vernova $GEV \n- Quanta Services $PWR\n- Hitachi (6501.T)\n\n3. Deepwater Oil Terminals\n\n- EPD $EDP\n- ENEOS (5020.T)\n- Idemitsu Kosan (5019.T)\n\nSorry couldn't find English version of the article yet (and translation tools were off).  \n\nPhase 1 is $40–45 Billion (approx. 6–7 Trillion Yen).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04430769230769227, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04430769230769227, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03950899869957403, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.023604445832787535, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "bench_c_m1d": -0.020703246474904735, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.021538461538461506, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.021538461538461506, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.018901301106380664, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04136535977968925, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01982689824122774, "ret_p1w": 0.25784615384615384, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.25784615384615384, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.27542672363049703, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.22980367895383158, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "bench_c_p1w": 0.028042474892322256, "ret_p1m": 0.32492307692307687, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.32492307692307687, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3490891395381307, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3778314106136855, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "bench_c_p1m": -0.052908333690608655, "ret_p3m": 0.1963076923076923, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1963076923076923, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.13920278858450885, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.19959395639739708, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0032862640897047823, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0929, -0.1477, -0.1742, -0.1575, -0.1674, -0.2234, -0.2351, -0.2578, -0.2578, -0.2622, -0.1742, -0.1797, -0.1612, -0.2006, -0.2185, -0.2, -0.2018, -0.2154, -0.216, -0.2185, -0.2289, -0.2529, -0.2597, -0.2517, -0.2763, -0.2917, -0.3071, -0.2997, -0.2825, -0.2609, -0.2683, -0.2498, -0.2695, -0.2597, -0.2677, -0.2677, -0.2677, -0.2677, -0.2492, -0.2486, -0.2431, -0.2345, -0.2154, -0.2154, -0.1778, -0.2055, -0.1422, -0.1557, -0.1483, -0.1778, -0.1957, -0.1871, -0.1692, -0.2203, -0.1803, 0.0043, -0.1883, -0.2178, -0.1766, -0.1471, -0.1385, -0.1237, -0.0443, 0.0, -0.0215, -0.0215, 0.0775, 0.0117, 0.2578, 0.5231, 0.2615, 0.344, 0.3225, 0.3225, 0.2406, 0.2892, 0.3403, 0.3643, 0.416, 0.3803, 0.2326, 0.3612, 0.4523, 0.3083, 0.3249, 0.3975, 0.3317, 0.3262, 0.2972, 0.2474, 0.3206, 0.2295, 0.2295, 0.1483, 0.2037, 0.2369, 0.1957, 0.224, 0.1514, 0.1292, 0.1945, 0.1809, 0.2006, 0.2289, 0.2018, 0.304, 0.2406, 0.2431, 0.3071, 0.3108, 0.2437, 0.2646, 0.248, 0.2665, 0.2886, 0.3668, 0.3108, 0.2628, 0.2812, 0.2492, 0.2492, 0.1815, 0.1729, 0.1729, 0.1729, 0.1729, 0.1963, 0.2234, 0.216, 0.2228, 0.1932, 0.0363, 0.0775, 0.0677, 0.0338, 0.008, 0.0431, 0.0905, 0.1409, 0.1231, 0.112, 0.1428, 0.1108, 0.1022, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2020033017880698920", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-07T07:12:56+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$COHR - diamond substrates into optical (likely partner). They launched bondable diamonds in Jan 2026. Likely Element Six grows Diamond Wafer -> $COHR bonds it to AI processors", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Japan's $550B investment plan; names likely winners across synthetic diamonds for semis, gas power for data centers, and deepwater oil terminals.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "A new release shows Japan is investing:\n\n$550B USD (86 Trillion Yen) into several sectors. \n\nThe first round of investments go into these three:\n\n1. Synthetic Diamonds for Semis (heat sink for AI chips)\n\n- J-TEC Corporation (3446.T)\n- $COHR - diamond substrates into optical (likely partner). They launched bondable diamonds in Jan 2026. Likely Element Six grows Diamondond Wafer -> $COHR bonds it to AI processors.   \n- EDP (7794.T)\n- Element Six\n\nAre the likely winners for this sector. The text mentions a \"synthetic diamond production plant,\" but it does not name these companies. They are the logical technical winners.\n\n2. Gas Power for Data Centers \n\n- SoftBank (Explicitly named)\n- GE Vernova $GEV \n- Quanta Services $PWR\n- Hitachi (6501.T)\n\n3. Deepwater Oil Terminals\n\n- EPD $EDP\n- ENEOS (5020.T)\n- Idemitsu Kosan (5019.T)\n\nSorry couldn't find English version of the article yet (and translation tools were off).  \n\nPhase 1 is $40–45 Billion (approx. 6–7 Trillion Yen).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06095856483056272, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06095856483056272, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05615987122244448, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05615987122244448, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0581127246000106, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0581127246000106, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05547556416792976, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05547556416792976, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "ret_p1w": -0.10405844381627305, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10405844381627305, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08647787403192986, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08647787403192986, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "ret_p1m": 0.07498147088655727, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07498147088655727, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0991475335016111, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0991475335016111, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "ret_p3m": 0.3164645450913064, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3164645450913064, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.25935964136812295, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.25935964136812295, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3538, -0.4227, -0.4253, -0.4264, -0.4302, -0.4105, -0.4407, -0.4246, -0.3739, -0.3861, -0.3648, -0.3648, -0.3225, -0.3257, -0.3199, -0.2949, -0.2685, -0.2502, -0.2334, -0.2051, -0.1856, -0.1813, -0.2645, -0.264, -0.2774, -0.297, -0.2753, -0.2336, -0.2123, -0.2087, -0.2107, -0.2107, -0.2093, -0.2204, -0.2295, -0.2388, -0.2388, -0.1985, -0.2314, -0.1994, -0.2097, -0.2859, -0.2656, -0.2362, -0.2162, -0.2407, -0.1918, -0.2121, -0.2121, -0.2021, -0.1691, -0.1639, -0.1877, -0.1844, -0.1174, -0.0879, -0.1097, -0.1249, -0.0826, -0.0548, -0.1298, -0.137, -0.061, 0.0, -0.0581, -0.0774, -0.1087, -0.1041, -0.1041, -0.0928, -0.0766, -0.0412, 0.0236, 0.0265, 0.0511, 0.1049, 0.0317, 0.0679, 0.2328, 0.1582, 0.1336, 0.0471, -0.0278, 0.0407, 0.075, 0.0369, -0.0049, 0.0012, 0.0203, 0.0138, 0.0608, 0.1366, 0.0461, 0.0519, 0.1232, 0.122, 0.0034, 0.0042, -0.0941, -0.0175, 0.022, 0.0648, 0.0648, 0.0444, 0.0521, 0.1622, 0.172, 0.2683, 0.27, 0.2927, 0.2711, 0.3528, 0.423, 0.4333, 0.4179, 0.4455, 0.3927, 0.3862, 0.3261, 0.2537, 0.2577, 0.3186, 0.359, 0.3606, 0.3847, 0.4216, 0.3165, 0.3827, 0.566, 0.5426, 0.6651, 0.6701, 0.5774, 0.4965, 0.4585, 0.4786, 0.559, 0.5572, 0.5572, 0.5728, 0.568, 0.5547, 0.4908, 0.4908, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2020033017880698920", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-07T07:12:56+00:00", "symbol": "7794.T", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Are the likely winners for this sector", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Japan's $550B investment plan; names likely winners across synthetic diamonds for semis, gas power for data centers, and deepwater oil terminals.", "resolved_tickers": ["7794.T"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWJ", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='T')", "bench_c_industry": "Luxury Goods", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "A new release shows Japan is investing:\n\n$550B USD (86 Trillion Yen) into several sectors. \n\nThe first round of investments go into these three:\n\n1. Synthetic Diamonds for Semis (heat sink for AI chips)\n\n- J-TEC Corporation (3446.T)\n- $COHR - diamond substrates into optical (likely partner). They launched bondable diamonds in Jan 2026. Likely Element Six grows Diamondond Wafer -> $COHR bonds it to AI processors.   \n- EDP (7794.T)\n- Element Six\n\nAre the likely winners for this sector. The text mentions a \"synthetic diamond production plant,\" but it does not name these companies. They are the logical technical winners.\n\n2. Gas Power for Data Centers \n\n- SoftBank (Explicitly named)\n- GE Vernova $GEV \n- Quanta Services $PWR\n- Hitachi (6501.T)\n\n3. Deepwater Oil Terminals\n\n- EPD $EDP\n- ENEOS (5020.T)\n- Idemitsu Kosan (5019.T)\n\nSorry couldn't find English version of the article yet (and translation tools were off).  \n\nPhase 1 is $40–45 Billion (approx. 6–7 Trillion Yen).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.22271714922049002, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.22271714922049002, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.21791845561237178, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.20201390274558528, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "bench_c_m1d": -0.020703246474904735, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0326651818856718, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0326651818856718, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.035302342317752644, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01283828364444406, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01982689824122774, "ret_p1w": 0.613214550853749, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.613214550853749, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.6307951206380922, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.5851720759614267, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "bench_c_p1w": 0.028042474892322256, "ret_p1m": -0.06310319227913885, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06310319227913885, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.038937129664085024, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.010194858588530198, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "bench_c_p1m": -0.052908333690608655, "ret_p3m": -0.04454342984409798, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.04454342984409798, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.10164833356728142, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0412571657543932, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0032862640897047823, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6073, -0.6474, -0.6526, -0.657, -0.6674, -0.6726, -0.6733, -0.6808, -0.6808, -0.68, -0.6845, -0.6808, -0.683, -0.7008, -0.7112, -0.7045, -0.7105, -0.7179, -0.7209, -0.7016, -0.6934, -0.7105, -0.7112, -0.7134, -0.7171, -0.7238, -0.7313, -0.7305, -0.7097, -0.703, -0.7149, -0.709, -0.7171, -0.7127, -0.7142, -0.7142, -0.7142, -0.7142, -0.703, -0.7053, -0.6867, -0.6867, -0.6823, -0.6823, -0.6741, -0.6474, -0.6065, -0.5598, -0.5961, -0.6095, -0.6125, -0.614, -0.6236, -0.6451, -0.5857, -0.5115, -0.4373, -0.51, -0.5405, -0.5197, -0.4454, -0.3341, -0.2227, 0.0, 0.0327, 0.0327, 0.2554, 0.3163, 0.6132, 0.9844, 0.6132, 0.242, -0.0549, -0.0549, 0.0772, -0.0646, 0.0906, 0.0624, 0.0512, -0.0802, -0.1685, -0.1084, -0.0965, -0.0809, -0.0631, -0.0646, -0.1173, -0.0423, -0.0408, -0.0267, 0.0015, -0.0876, -0.0876, -0.1693, -0.1945, -0.1834, -0.2472, -0.0245, -0.0156, -0.0512, -0.046, -0.0698, -0.1047, -0.1314, -0.1537, -0.1002, -0.1002, -0.1203, -0.0973, -0.1054, -0.1269, -0.0958, -0.0468, 0.1759, 0.1403, 0.0913, 0.0609, 0.049, -0.0022, -0.023, -0.023, -0.0111, -0.0371, -0.0371, -0.0371, -0.0371, -0.0445, 0.0104, 0.0453, -0.0052, -0.0126, -0.1618, -0.1463, -0.1819, -0.1559, -0.1908, -0.1938, -0.17, -0.1329, -0.1648, -0.1878, -0.0468, -0.147, -0.1218, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2020033017880698920", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-02-07T07:12:56+00:00", "symbol": "SoftBank", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "SoftBank (Explicitly named)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Japan's $550B investment plan; names likely winners across synthetic diamonds for semis, gas power for data centers, and deepwater oil terminals.", "resolved_tickers": ["9984.T"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "SoftBank Group listed on TSE as 9984.T", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Telecom Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Telecom Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "A new release shows Japan is investing:\n\n$550B USD (86 Trillion Yen) into several sectors. \n\nThe first round of investments go into these three:\n\n1. Synthetic Diamonds for Semis (heat sink for AI chips)\n\n- J-TEC Corporation (3446.T)\n- $COHR - diamond substrates into optical (likely partner). They launched bondable diamonds in Jan 2026. Likely Element Six grows Diamondond Wafer -> $COHR bonds it to AI processors.   \n- EDP (7794.T)\n- Element Six\n\nAre the likely winners for this sector. The text mentions a \"synthetic diamond production plant,\" but it does not name these companies. They are the logical technical winners.\n\n2. Gas Power for Data Centers \n\n- SoftBank (Explicitly named)\n- GE Vernova $GEV \n- Quanta Services $PWR\n- Hitachi (6501.T)\n\n3. Deepwater Oil Terminals\n\n- EPD $EDP\n- ENEOS (5020.T)\n- Idemitsu Kosan (5019.T)\n\nSorry couldn't find English version of the article yet (and translation tools were off).  \n\nPhase 1 is $40–45 Billion (approx. 6–7 Trillion Yen).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.059280204520081536, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.059280204520081536, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05448151091196329, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.049697770196849955, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009582434323231581, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10679838792976337, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10679838792976337, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10943554836184421, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10080930917945796, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00598907875030541, "ret_p1w": 0.10279926854578969, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10279926854578969, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12037983833013288, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.12247752983160387, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01967826128581418, "ret_p1m": -0.1456128390503978, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1456128390503978, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12144677643534396, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1498907617982953, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "bench_c_p1m": 0.004277922747897511, "ret_p3m": 0.5132829701328998, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5132829701328998, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.45617806640971637, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5058002724143604, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "bench_c_p3m": 0.007482697718539377, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2885, 0.245, 0.1633, 0.1962, 0.1068, 0.1071, 0.128, 0.0051, 0.0051, -0.0949, -0.0438, -0.0096, -0.0105, -0.0276, -0.0785, -0.0196, 0.0703, 0.1341, 0.0971, 0.1056, 0.0974, 0.013, 0.0524, -0.0102, -0.0273, -0.0146, -0.0517, 0.0065, 0.0477, 0.043, 0.0306, 0.0283, 0.0468, 0.055, 0.0351, 0.0351, 0.0351, 0.0351, 0.0856, 0.1101, 0.0946, 0.0115, 0.0028, 0.0028, 0.0461, 0.0024, -0.047, -0.0567, -0.0633, -0.0941, -0.0884, 0.0174, 0.0054, -0.0438, -0.047, -0.0118, 0.0033, 0.0005, -0.0379, 0.0115, -0.0104, -0.0797, -0.0593, 0.0, 0.1068, 0.1068, 0.1331, 0.0327, 0.1028, 0.0466, 0.0176, 0.0445, 0.0183, 0.0183, -0.0365, -0.0503, -0.0125, -0.0381, -0.0482, -0.0609, -0.1282, -0.091, -0.0765, -0.167, -0.1456, -0.0854, -0.1183, -0.1583, -0.151, -0.1663, -0.1179, -0.163, -0.163, -0.175, -0.1696, -0.104, -0.1009, -0.0717, -0.1303, -0.1626, -0.1133, -0.151, -0.1498, -0.1407, -0.1602, -0.0997, -0.1107, -0.11, -0.1133, -0.0007, 0.0469, 0.1006, 0.0664, 0.1246, 0.2205, 0.3239, 0.375, 0.4047, 0.3767, 0.241, 0.241, 0.2294, 0.2777, 0.2777, 0.2777, 0.2777, 0.5133, 0.4443, 0.3529, 0.4103, 0.4162, 0.3592, 0.3533, 0.3175, 0.2629, 0.187, 0.4226, 0.5917, 0.6655, 0.8471, 0.713, 0.6784, 0.7646, 0.9455, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2020033017880698920", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-02-07T07:12:56+00:00", "symbol": "GEV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "GE Vernova $GEV", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Japan's $550B investment plan; names likely winners across synthetic diamonds for semis, gas power for data centers, and deepwater oil terminals.", "resolved_tickers": ["GEV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Specialty Industrial Machinery'", "bench_c_industry": "Specialty Industrial Machinery", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "A new release shows Japan is investing:\n\n$550B USD (86 Trillion Yen) into several sectors. \n\nThe first round of investments go into these three:\n\n1. Synthetic Diamonds for Semis (heat sink for AI chips)\n\n- J-TEC Corporation (3446.T)\n- $COHR - diamond substrates into optical (likely partner). They launched bondable diamonds in Jan 2026. Likely Element Six grows Diamondond Wafer -> $COHR bonds it to AI processors.   \n- EDP (7794.T)\n- Element Six\n\nAre the likely winners for this sector. The text mentions a \"synthetic diamond production plant,\" but it does not name these companies. They are the logical technical winners.\n\n2. Gas Power for Data Centers \n\n- SoftBank (Explicitly named)\n- GE Vernova $GEV \n- Quanta Services $PWR\n- Hitachi (6501.T)\n\n3. Deepwater Oil Terminals\n\n- EPD $EDP\n- ENEOS (5020.T)\n- Idemitsu Kosan (5019.T)\n\nSorry couldn't find English version of the article yet (and translation tools were off).  \n\nPhase 1 is $40–45 Billion (approx. 6–7 Trillion Yen).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.027684265185060508, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.027684265185060508, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.022885571576942265, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.024690530146468048, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00299373503859246, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.013411716031740628, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.013411716031740628, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010774555599659785, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0146206973073304, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001208981275589771, "ret_p1w": 0.0007361045129736787, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0007361045129736787, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01831667429731687, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0019697442819122113, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00270584879488589, "ret_p1m": 0.04698458874036682, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04698458874036682, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07115065135542065, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06817047921356967, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02118589047320285, "ret_p3m": 0.3053151378395893, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3053151378395893, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.24821023411640586, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3007732654549451, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "bench_c_p3m": 0.004541872384644208, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2827, -0.3041, -0.279, -0.2806, -0.3082, -0.2578, -0.3043, -0.307, -0.2763, -0.2862, -0.2648, -0.2648, -0.2523, -0.2808, -0.25, -0.2495, -0.2157, -0.2129, -0.2247, -0.2205, -0.0987, -0.1221, -0.1626, -0.1506, -0.1445, -0.2343, -0.2028, -0.1793, -0.1749, -0.1754, -0.1681, -0.1681, -0.1729, -0.1729, -0.1776, -0.1852, -0.1852, -0.1528, -0.1506, -0.1437, -0.1737, -0.216, -0.2234, -0.2018, -0.1865, -0.1963, -0.1988, -0.1497, -0.1497, -0.1456, -0.1667, -0.1745, -0.1794, -0.1691, -0.1358, -0.1122, -0.105, -0.0938, -0.0581, -0.0266, -0.069, -0.0799, -0.0277, 0.0, -0.0134, 0.0276, 0.0187, 0.0007, 0.0007, 0.022, 0.02, 0.0413, 0.0359, 0.0376, 0.0975, 0.0929, 0.0935, 0.0899, 0.0994, 0.0505, 0.0496, 0.0168, -0.0154, 0.0356, 0.047, 0.0575, 0.0381, 0.0043, 0.0322, 0.0537, 0.0717, 0.0953, 0.0624, 0.1018, 0.1353, 0.1531, 0.09, 0.065, 0.0203, 0.0897, 0.117, 0.1217, 0.1217, 0.1202, 0.1369, 0.1685, 0.2084, 0.2375, 0.2373, 0.2327, 0.2308, 0.2213, 0.2518, 0.2361, 0.2375, 0.4076, 0.435, 0.4346, 0.3984, 0.3594, 0.3271, 0.3525, 0.3269, 0.3407, 0.3672, 0.3969, 0.3053, 0.2985, 0.3396, 0.3382, 0.3265, 0.3614, 0.3098, 0.2636, 0.2631, 0.279, 0.3031, 0.2967, 0.2967, 0.3363, 0.2882, 0.2434, 0.2088, 0.2088, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2020033017880698920", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2026-02-07T07:12:56+00:00", "symbol": "PWR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Quanta Services $PWR", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Japan's $550B investment plan; names likely winners across synthetic diamonds for semis, gas power for data centers, and deepwater oil terminals.", "resolved_tickers": ["PWR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Engineering & Construction'", "bench_c_industry": "Engineering & Construction", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "A new release shows Japan is investing:\n\n$550B USD (86 Trillion Yen) into several sectors. \n\nThe first round of investments go into these three:\n\n1. Synthetic Diamonds for Semis (heat sink for AI chips)\n\n- J-TEC Corporation (3446.T)\n- $COHR - diamond substrates into optical (likely partner). They launched bondable diamonds in Jan 2026. Likely Element Six grows Diamondond Wafer -> $COHR bonds it to AI processors.   \n- EDP (7794.T)\n- Element Six\n\nAre the likely winners for this sector. The text mentions a \"synthetic diamond production plant,\" but it does not name these companies. They are the logical technical winners.\n\n2. Gas Power for Data Centers \n\n- SoftBank (Explicitly named)\n- GE Vernova $GEV \n- Quanta Services $PWR\n- Hitachi (6501.T)\n\n3. Deepwater Oil Terminals\n\n- EPD $EDP\n- ENEOS (5020.T)\n- Idemitsu Kosan (5019.T)\n\nSorry couldn't find English version of the article yet (and translation tools were off).  \n\nPhase 1 is $40–45 Billion (approx. 6–7 Trillion Yen).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01253497641149881, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01253497641149881, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0077362828033805675, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00954124137290635, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00299373503859246, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007618080424539597, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007618080424539597, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004980919992458754, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008827061700129368, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001208981275589771, "ret_p1w": 0.01850135753263027, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01850135753263027, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03608192731697346, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01579550873774438, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00270584879488589, "ret_p1m": 0.09617927379567548, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09617927379567548, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12034533641072931, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11736516426887833, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02118589047320285, "ret_p3m": 0.4592612673428724, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4592612673428724, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.402156363619689, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4547193949582282, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "bench_c_p3m": 0.004541872384644208, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1268, -0.1705, -0.1659, -0.1706, -0.1465, -0.1345, -0.165, -0.1643, -0.14, -0.1254, -0.1054, -0.1054, -0.0968, -0.1214, -0.1165, -0.114, -0.0969, -0.105, -0.1003, -0.1102, -0.102, -0.0928, -0.1488, -0.1531, -0.1481, -0.1952, -0.1814, -0.171, -0.1587, -0.1544, -0.1576, -0.1576, -0.1594, -0.1626, -0.1669, -0.18, -0.18, -0.1455, -0.153, -0.1484, -0.1509, -0.197, -0.1788, -0.1592, -0.1367, -0.1506, -0.1301, -0.0929, -0.0929, -0.0992, -0.0803, -0.089, -0.089, -0.0851, -0.0686, -0.0647, -0.0605, -0.0776, -0.0715, -0.0505, -0.0972, -0.0716, -0.0125, 0.0, -0.0076, 0.0183, 0.0026, 0.0185, 0.0185, 0.0205, 0.0092, 0.0766, 0.074, 0.0671, 0.1043, 0.0937, 0.0981, 0.0943, 0.1129, 0.1, 0.1046, 0.0674, 0.0498, 0.1039, 0.0962, 0.1033, 0.1017, 0.0864, 0.1156, 0.1109, 0.1116, 0.1232, 0.0793, 0.1028, 0.1241, 0.1145, 0.0604, 0.0688, 0.0374, 0.067, 0.0885, 0.0897, 0.0897, 0.0776, 0.0799, 0.1201, 0.1314, 0.1378, 0.1582, 0.1554, 0.1504, 0.1418, 0.1699, 0.1759, 0.1777, 0.1931, 0.2313, 0.2146, 0.2387, 0.2264, 0.2219, 0.4146, 0.4427, 0.4721, 0.4998, 0.5263, 0.4593, 0.4481, 0.5188, 0.4886, 0.5039, 0.5163, 0.4967, 0.4054, 0.3881, 0.38, 0.3935, 0.4062, 0.4062, 0.4426, 0.426, 0.4192, 0.3835, 0.3835, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2020033017880698920", "ticker_idx": 6, "ts": "2026-02-07T07:12:56+00:00", "symbol": "6501.T", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Hitachi (6501.T)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Japan's $550B investment plan; names likely winners across synthetic diamonds for semis, gas power for data centers, and deepwater oil terminals.", "resolved_tickers": ["6501.T"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Conglomerates'", "bench_c_industry": "Conglomerates", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "A new release shows Japan is investing:\n\n$550B USD (86 Trillion Yen) into several sectors. \n\nThe first round of investments go into these three:\n\n1. Synthetic Diamonds for Semis (heat sink for AI chips)\n\n- J-TEC Corporation (3446.T)\n- $COHR - diamond substrates into optical (likely partner). They launched bondable diamonds in Jan 2026. Likely Element Six grows Diamondond Wafer -> $COHR bonds it to AI processors.   \n- EDP (7794.T)\n- Element Six\n\nAre the likely winners for this sector. The text mentions a \"synthetic diamond production plant,\" but it does not name these companies. They are the logical technical winners.\n\n2. Gas Power for Data Centers \n\n- SoftBank (Explicitly named)\n- GE Vernova $GEV \n- Quanta Services $PWR\n- Hitachi (6501.T)\n\n3. Deepwater Oil Terminals\n\n- EPD $EDP\n- ENEOS (5020.T)\n- Idemitsu Kosan (5019.T)\n\nSorry couldn't find English version of the article yet (and translation tools were off).  \n\nPhase 1 is $40–45 Billion (approx. 6–7 Trillion Yen).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.07751805154482805, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07751805154482805, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0727193579367098, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07452431650623559, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00299373503859246, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.028875887805627887, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.028875887805627887, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.026238727373547044, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.030084869081217658, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001208981275589771, "ret_p1w": -0.12581641652979003, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12581641652979003, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10823584674544684, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12852226532467592, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00270584879488589, "ret_p1m": -0.15228605069263257, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15228605069263257, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12811998807757874, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13110016021942972, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02118589047320285, "ret_p3m": -0.16158009671102003, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.16158009671102003, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.21868500043420347, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.16612196909566423, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "bench_c_p3m": 0.004541872384644208, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0997, -0.0806, -0.1263, -0.1196, -0.1801, -0.1922, -0.1621, -0.1904, -0.1904, -0.1904, -0.1659, -0.1478, -0.1461, -0.164, -0.159, -0.1617, -0.148, -0.1607, -0.1559, -0.1561, -0.16, -0.1739, -0.1389, -0.1554, -0.1648, -0.1476, -0.1729, -0.1559, -0.1399, -0.1387, -0.1427, -0.1475, -0.1454, -0.1528, -0.1574, -0.1574, -0.1574, -0.1574, -0.1289, -0.0641, -0.0954, -0.1255, -0.1174, -0.1174, -0.0839, -0.0722, -0.0791, -0.1055, -0.103, -0.1067, -0.1095, -0.0952, -0.0892, -0.1222, -0.1244, -0.1256, -0.1274, -0.0785, -0.0909, -0.0751, -0.1131, -0.1124, -0.0775, 0.0, -0.0289, -0.0289, -0.0418, -0.1047, -0.1258, -0.1583, -0.1557, -0.142, -0.1526, -0.1526, -0.1727, -0.1612, -0.1152, -0.1018, -0.1287, -0.1724, -0.1836, -0.1647, -0.1696, -0.1891, -0.1523, -0.1636, -0.1533, -0.1659, -0.175, -0.1748, -0.1631, -0.1666, -0.1666, -0.175, -0.1733, -0.1611, -0.1786, -0.1894, -0.2164, -0.2283, -0.182, -0.1918, -0.1683, -0.1842, -0.1764, -0.1503, -0.1628, -0.1685, -0.1619, -0.1431, -0.0976, -0.0976, -0.1085, -0.1092, -0.103, -0.1298, -0.1006, -0.0961, -0.0741, -0.1275, -0.1275, -0.156, -0.1711, -0.1711, -0.1711, -0.1711, -0.1616, -0.1464, -0.1552, -0.1585, -0.1789, -0.1925, -0.1681, -0.1688, -0.1453, -0.1516, -0.1144, -0.1353, -0.1263, -0.126, -0.1426, -0.1056, -0.107, -0.1135, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2020033017880698920", "ticker_idx": 7, "ts": "2026-02-07T07:12:56+00:00", "symbol": "EPD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "EPD $EDP", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Japan's $550B investment plan; names likely winners across synthetic diamonds for semis, gas power for data centers, and deepwater oil terminals.", "resolved_tickers": ["EPD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLE", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Oil & Gas Midstream'", "bench_c_industry": "Oil & Gas Midstream", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "A new release shows Japan is investing:\n\n$550B USD (86 Trillion Yen) into several sectors. \n\nThe first round of investments go into these three:\n\n1. Synthetic Diamonds for Semis (heat sink for AI chips)\n\n- J-TEC Corporation (3446.T)\n- $COHR - diamond substrates into optical (likely partner). They launched bondable diamonds in Jan 2026. Likely Element Six grows Diamondond Wafer -> $COHR bonds it to AI processors.   \n- EDP (7794.T)\n- Element Six\n\nAre the likely winners for this sector. The text mentions a \"synthetic diamond production plant,\" but it does not name these companies. They are the logical technical winners.\n\n2. Gas Power for Data Centers \n\n- SoftBank (Explicitly named)\n- GE Vernova $GEV \n- Quanta Services $PWR\n- Hitachi (6501.T)\n\n3. Deepwater Oil Terminals\n\n- EPD $EDP\n- ENEOS (5020.T)\n- Idemitsu Kosan (5019.T)\n\nSorry couldn't find English version of the article yet (and translation tools were off).  \n\nPhase 1 is $40–45 Billion (approx. 6–7 Trillion Yen).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.007110378090258163, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007110378090258163, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0023116844821399196, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00016027879067070927, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007270656880928872, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0008532629797664004, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0008532629797664004, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0034904234118472433, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.001971792539304351, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0011185295595379507, "ret_p1w": 0.05830483620608451, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05830483620608451, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0758854059904277, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.045068449736584304, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013236386469500205, "ret_p1m": 0.044368684445234896, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.044368684445234896, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06853474706028873, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.007828787563839423, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03653989688139547, "ret_p3m": 0.08852859294920612, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08852859294920612, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.03142368922602268, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.038648588279241336, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "bench_c_p3m": 0.049880004669964784, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1166, -0.1113, -0.0973, -0.1115, -0.1129, -0.1124, -0.1076, -0.0922, -0.0892, -0.09, -0.0897, -0.0897, -0.0838, -0.0897, -0.1048, -0.1009, -0.0875, -0.0875, -0.0847, -0.0953, -0.0987, -0.0987, -0.1009, -0.0959, -0.1107, -0.104, -0.1048, -0.1062, -0.1034, -0.1012, -0.1023, -0.1023, -0.1082, -0.1068, -0.1015, -0.1029, -0.1029, -0.1001, -0.1001, -0.1121, -0.1129, -0.1085, -0.1034, -0.102, -0.0945, -0.0908, -0.0872, -0.0794, -0.0794, -0.0836, -0.0774, -0.0713, -0.0754, -0.0752, -0.0718, -0.0637, -0.0455, -0.056, -0.0586, -0.0151, 0.0011, -0.0023, -0.0071, 0.0, 0.0009, 0.0082, 0.0074, 0.0583, 0.0583, 0.0452, 0.027, 0.029, 0.0338, 0.0341, 0.0321, 0.0216, 0.0233, 0.0279, 0.0492, 0.0631, 0.0572, 0.0606, 0.0685, 0.0549, 0.0444, 0.058, 0.0407, 0.052, 0.0614, 0.0677, 0.0535, 0.0651, 0.0683, 0.0839, 0.0919, 0.1092, 0.1121, 0.1172, 0.1115, 0.0762, 0.0646, 0.0685, 0.0685, 0.0759, 0.0924, 0.0816, 0.0671, 0.0623, 0.0643, 0.0594, 0.0552, 0.0617, 0.0429, 0.0498, 0.0583, 0.0734, 0.0762, 0.0808, 0.087, 0.0941, 0.1032, 0.1165, 0.0972, 0.1156, 0.1107, 0.0836, 0.0885, 0.0729, 0.0934, 0.1009, 0.1047, 0.1318, 0.1318, 0.1384, 0.1482, 0.1364, 0.1387, 0.1433, 0.1433, 0.1079, 0.096, 0.0819, 0.0614, 0.0614, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2020033017880698920", "ticker_idx": 8, "ts": "2026-02-07T07:12:56+00:00", "symbol": "5020.T", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "ENEOS (5020.T)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Japan's $550B investment plan; names likely winners across synthetic diamonds for semis, gas power for data centers, and deepwater oil terminals.", "resolved_tickers": ["5020.T"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWJ", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='T')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "A new release shows Japan is investing:\n\n$550B USD (86 Trillion Yen) into several sectors. \n\nThe first round of investments go into these three:\n\n1. Synthetic Diamonds for Semis (heat sink for AI chips)\n\n- J-TEC Corporation (3446.T)\n- $COHR - diamond substrates into optical (likely partner). They launched bondable diamonds in Jan 2026. Likely Element Six grows Diamondond Wafer -> $COHR bonds it to AI processors.   \n- EDP (7794.T)\n- Element Six\n\nAre the likely winners for this sector. The text mentions a \"synthetic diamond production plant,\" but it does not name these companies. They are the logical technical winners.\n\n2. Gas Power for Data Centers \n\n- SoftBank (Explicitly named)\n- GE Vernova $GEV \n- Quanta Services $PWR\n- Hitachi (6501.T)\n\n3. Deepwater Oil Terminals\n\n- EPD $EDP\n- ENEOS (5020.T)\n- Idemitsu Kosan (5019.T)\n\nSorry couldn't find English version of the article yet (and translation tools were off).  \n\nPhase 1 is $40–45 Billion (approx. 6–7 Trillion Yen).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.018271269863152084, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.018271269863152084, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.013472576255033841, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.002431976611752651, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "bench_c_m1d": -0.020703246474904735, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.026352826461307544, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.026352826461307544, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.028989986893388386, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006525928220079802, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01982689824122774, "ret_p1w": -0.01651435689067904, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01651435689067904, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0010662128936641535, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.044556831783001294, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "bench_c_p1w": 0.028042474892322256, "ret_p1m": -0.04392126168540722, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04392126168540722, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01975519907035339, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.008987072005201435, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "bench_c_p1m": -0.052908333690608655, "ret_p3m": -0.06765790426794949, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06765790426794949, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12476280799113293, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0643716401782447, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0032862640897047823, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2895, -0.2758, -0.266, -0.2593, -0.2992, -0.2878, -0.2741, -0.2857, -0.2857, -0.2874, -0.2713, -0.279, -0.2772, -0.2762, -0.2653, -0.2607, -0.2519, -0.2474, -0.2382, -0.2396, -0.2277, -0.2431, -0.2266, -0.2161, -0.2316, -0.2484, -0.2477, -0.2389, -0.2298, -0.2294, -0.2277, -0.2245, -0.2256, -0.2186, -0.2221, -0.2221, -0.2221, -0.2221, -0.2119, -0.1694, -0.1996, -0.1841, -0.1771, -0.1771, -0.1479, -0.1311, -0.1349, -0.1353, -0.1391, -0.15, -0.1349, -0.1202, -0.1167, -0.1307, -0.1258, -0.1349, -0.1086, -0.0875, -0.11, -0.0738, -0.0362, -0.0467, -0.0183, 0.0, 0.0264, 0.0264, 0.046, 0.0018, -0.0165, -0.0014, 0.0144, 0.0221, 0.0232, 0.0232, 0.0225, 0.0119, 0.0172, 0.0457, 0.085, 0.0172, -0.0636, -0.0109, -0.0183, -0.0632, -0.0439, -0.0358, -0.0495, -0.0415, -0.0664, -0.046, 0.0112, -0.039, -0.039, -0.091, -0.0538, -0.033, -0.0148, 0.0081, 0.0216, 0.0031, 0.0646, 0.0234, 0.0404, 0.0383, 0.0465, 0.0412, 0.0266, 0.0138, 0.0152, 0.017, 0.0052, 0.0003, -0.0221, -0.0488, -0.0573, -0.062, -0.0769, -0.0758, -0.0869, -0.0751, -0.0751, -0.0609, -0.0573, -0.0573, -0.0573, -0.0573, -0.0677, -0.0829, -0.0719, -0.025, -0.0389, -0.0645, -0.0143, -0.0342, -0.0328, -0.0659, -0.0701, -0.0755, -0.0829, -0.0844, -0.0783, -0.0815, -0.0716, -0.105, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2020033017880698920", "ticker_idx": 9, "ts": "2026-02-07T07:12:56+00:00", "symbol": "5019.T", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Idemitsu Kosan (5019.T)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Japan's $550B investment plan; names likely winners across synthetic diamonds for semis, gas power for data centers, and deepwater oil terminals.", "resolved_tickers": ["5019.T"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWJ", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='T')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "A new release shows Japan is investing:\n\n$550B USD (86 Trillion Yen) into several sectors. \n\nThe first round of investments go into these three:\n\n1. Synthetic Diamonds for Semis (heat sink for AI chips)\n\n- J-TEC Corporation (3446.T)\n- $COHR - diamond substrates into optical (likely partner). They launched bondable diamonds in Jan 2026. Likely Element Six grows Diamondond Wafer -> $COHR bonds it to AI processors.   \n- EDP (7794.T)\n- Element Six\n\nAre the likely winners for this sector. The text mentions a \"synthetic diamond production plant,\" but it does not name these companies. They are the logical technical winners.\n\n2. Gas Power for Data Centers \n\n- SoftBank (Explicitly named)\n- GE Vernova $GEV \n- Quanta Services $PWR\n- Hitachi (6501.T)\n\n3. Deepwater Oil Terminals\n\n- EPD $EDP\n- ENEOS (5020.T)\n- Idemitsu Kosan (5019.T)\n\nSorry couldn't find English version of the article yet (and translation tools were off).  \n\nPhase 1 is $40–45 Billion (approx. 6–7 Trillion Yen).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.004908786588556535, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004908786588556535, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00011009298043829219, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0157944598863482, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "bench_c_m1d": -0.020703246474904735, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.016129043433134926, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.016129043433134926, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01876620386521577, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0036978548080928153, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01982689824122774, "ret_p1w": -0.04207574665017899, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04207574665017899, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0244951768658358, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07011822154250125, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "bench_c_p1w": 0.028042474892322256, "ret_p1m": 0.0038569470515494864, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0038569470515494864, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.028023009666603316, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05676528074215814, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "bench_c_p1m": -0.052908333690608655, "ret_p3m": -0.0280084646018105, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0280084646018105, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08511336832499394, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.02472220051210572, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0032862640897047823, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2191, -0.2262, -0.2097, -0.2013, -0.2128, -0.2072, -0.202, -0.196, -0.196, -0.1967, -0.1957, -0.1957, -0.1886, -0.1946, -0.1992, -0.1957, -0.1858, -0.1932, -0.1841, -0.1865, -0.1767, -0.1816, -0.1725, -0.1683, -0.176, -0.1837, -0.1802, -0.1869, -0.1785, -0.1778, -0.176, -0.1739, -0.1781, -0.1704, -0.1704, -0.1704, -0.1704, -0.1704, -0.1729, -0.1445, -0.1665, -0.1669, -0.1504, -0.1504, -0.1297, -0.1055, -0.1052, -0.0954, -0.1013, -0.114, -0.1115, -0.0964, -0.0947, -0.1024, -0.1024, -0.1171, -0.0933, -0.0838, -0.0922, -0.0572, -0.0126, -0.0245, -0.0049, 0.0, 0.0161, 0.0161, -0.0025, -0.0295, -0.0421, -0.0354, -0.0217, -0.0014, -0.0067, -0.0067, -0.0133, -0.0249, -0.0154, 0.0456, 0.0649, 0.0323, -0.027, 0.0224, 0.0007, -0.0273, 0.0039, 0.0095, 0.0102, 0.0252, 0.0109, 0.0365, 0.0775, 0.0372, 0.0372, -0.013, 0.0238, 0.0438, 0.0715, 0.0894, 0.105, 0.0937, 0.132, 0.1068, 0.1316, 0.1543, 0.177, 0.1079, 0.1057, 0.0954, 0.0965, 0.0898, 0.0706, 0.0678, 0.0554, 0.0248, 0.0014, -0.0174, -0.0454, -0.0521, -0.067, -0.0436, -0.0436, -0.0433, -0.028, -0.028, -0.028, -0.028, -0.028, -0.0489, -0.0351, -0.011, -0.0145, 0.0057, 0.0131, -0.0312, -0.0234, -0.0248, -0.045, -0.055, -0.0684, -0.0734, -0.0589, -0.0674, -0.0078, -0.0507, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028529465962414375", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-02T17:54:47+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$GOOGL $180B capex -> TPU program -> BOM of TPU -> 8-12% $LITE", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long GOOGL capex chain (LITE, AXTI, IQE), memory on DRAM/NAND price hikes, and XLU on power/grid expansion theme.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’m flattered lol. But I’m happy with the performance even with a relatively flat index!\n\nA large part of it is mapping where all the spend goes.\n\nEg. $GOOGL $180B capex -> TPU program -> BOM of TPU -> 8-12% $LITE -> upstream materials from $AXTI or epiwafers from $IQE.\n\nOr just the DRAM/NAND price hikes -> as simple as going long on memory.\n\nRecently it’s been power/grid focused from Elon and OpenAI pushing for grid expansion and more capacity, so long $XLU.\n\nI guess it’s just getting lucky with momentum?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit ur 🐐 serenity. an absolute legend. beating out market by all the possible odds.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Gubloinvestor", "ret_m1d": 0.01709527994523463, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01709527994523463, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.017663535629441007, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0155681681261437, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0015271118190909316, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.009591529564517476, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.009591529564517476, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0007771910817218064, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010355020540317783, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0007634909758003072, "ret_p1w": 0.00018162832030865772, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.00018162832030865772, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.011997209243823526, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.002811704734989373, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0026300764146807154, "ret_p1m": -0.0611951940528731, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0611951940528731, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.011275452477689352, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.004724198950371017, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.056470995102502086, "ret_p3m": 0.2736678489278799, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2736678489278799, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.17127446976197191, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.28068997893264014, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": -0.007022130004760263, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0421, 0.0355, 0.0474, 0.0235, 0.0345, 0.0447, 0.0193, 0.009, 0.0055, 0.0002, -0.032, -0.0132, 0.0021, 0.0106, 0.0255, 0.0247, 0.0247, 0.0228, 0.023, 0.0239, 0.0211, 0.0211, 0.0282, 0.0327, 0.0255, 0.0504, 0.0617, 0.0719, 0.0827, 0.0961, 0.0957, 0.0857, 0.0766, 0.0766, 0.0505, 0.0713, 0.0784, 0.0698, 0.0872, 0.0914, 0.0962, 0.1035, 0.1027, 0.1213, 0.1083, 0.0865, 0.0807, 0.0533, 0.0581, 0.0393, 0.0145, 0.0081, -0.0026, -0.0026, -0.0147, -0.0104, -0.012, 0.0276, 0.0162, 0.0143, 0.0208, 0.0028, 0.0171, 0.0, -0.0096, -0.0111, -0.0184, -0.0261, 0.0002, 0.0024, 0.0078, -0.009, -0.0131, -0.0024, 0.0151, 0.0045, 0.0027, -0.0173, -0.0139, -0.0518, -0.0502, -0.0829, -0.1044, -0.1071, -0.0612, -0.0291, -0.0344, -0.0344, -0.0206, -0.0028, 0.036, 0.0398, 0.0357, 0.049, 0.0869, 0.1006, 0.097, 0.1155, 0.1016, 0.0848, 0.1078, 0.1064, 0.1244, 0.1438, 0.1419, 0.1425, 0.2563, 0.2592, 0.2512, 0.2681, 0.2995, 0.2993, 0.3085, 0.2688, 0.2646, 0.3144, 0.3094, 0.2954, 0.2959, 0.2656, 0.2697, 0.2656, 0.2503, 0.2503, 0.2696, 0.2694, 0.2737, 0.2417, 0.2417, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028529465962414375", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-02T17:54:47+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "8-12% $LITE", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long GOOGL capex chain (LITE, AXTI, IQE), memory on DRAM/NAND price hikes, and XLU on power/grid expansion theme.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’m flattered lol. But I’m happy with the performance even with a relatively flat index!\n\nA large part of it is mapping where all the spend goes.\n\nEg. $GOOGL $180B capex -> TPU program -> BOM of TPU -> 8-12% $LITE -> upstream materials from $AXTI or epiwafers from $IQE.\n\nOr just the DRAM/NAND price hikes -> as simple as going long on memory.\n\nRecently it’s been power/grid focused from Elon and OpenAI pushing for grid expansion and more capacity, so long $XLU.\n\nI guess it’s just getting lucky with momentum?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit ur 🐐 serenity. an absolute legend. beating out market by all the possible odds.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Gubloinvestor", "ret_m1d": -0.10512611152948448, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10512611152948448, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1045578558452781, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1045578558452781, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.11339930714869928, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.11339930714869928, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.10458496866590361, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.10458496866590361, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "ret_p1w": -0.18201084910130072, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.18201084910130072, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.17019526817778585, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.17019526817778585, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "ret_p1m": -0.10276411137488028, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10276411137488028, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05284436979969653, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05284436979969653, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "ret_p3m": 0.09878071511929454, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09878071511929454, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.003612664046613423, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.003612664046613423, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6132, -0.5814, -0.5769, -0.5626, -0.54, -0.5327, -0.5249, -0.5859, -0.5727, -0.5964, -0.5911, -0.5696, -0.5258, -0.5022, -0.5054, -0.4945, -0.4945, -0.5011, -0.5243, -0.5261, -0.5294, -0.5294, -0.507, -0.5441, -0.4926, -0.4984, -0.5554, -0.5513, -0.5661, -0.5387, -0.5766, -0.5617, -0.586, -0.586, -0.5444, -0.5373, -0.5474, -0.5669, -0.5756, -0.5268, -0.5085, -0.513, -0.4997, -0.4594, -0.4445, -0.4056, -0.356, -0.2953, -0.2631, -0.2836, -0.267, -0.2551, -0.2815, -0.2815, -0.2334, -0.2413, -0.1885, -0.1474, -0.1386, -0.1213, -0.0764, -0.1357, -0.1051, 0.0, -0.1134, -0.1308, -0.1691, -0.287, -0.182, -0.142, -0.142, -0.2134, -0.2052, -0.2022, -0.1707, -0.1053, -0.0142, -0.0982, -0.0693, 0.0239, -0.0078, -0.1206, -0.1028, -0.164, -0.1028, -0.0237, 0.0557, 0.0557, -0.014, 0.0415, 0.144, 0.1416, 0.1456, 0.1123, 0.0888, 0.052, 0.1378, 0.1415, 0.1428, 0.0685, 0.1154, 0.0813, 0.1256, 0.0976, 0.0104, 0.0958, 0.152, 0.2128, 0.2463, 0.2698, 0.2056, 0.1396, 0.1539, 0.3445, 0.267, 0.3155, 0.279, 0.2393, 0.1299, 0.1364, 0.1083, 0.2314, 0.2089, 0.2089, 0.1629, 0.152, 0.0988, 0.0916, 0.0916, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028529465962414375", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-02T17:54:47+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "upstream materials from $AXTI", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long GOOGL capex chain (LITE, AXTI, IQE), memory on DRAM/NAND price hikes, and XLU on power/grid expansion theme.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’m flattered lol. But I’m happy with the performance even with a relatively flat index!\n\nA large part of it is mapping where all the spend goes.\n\nEg. $GOOGL $180B capex -> TPU program -> BOM of TPU -> 8-12% $LITE -> upstream materials from $AXTI or epiwafers from $IQE.\n\nOr just the DRAM/NAND price hikes -> as simple as going long on memory.\n\nRecently it’s been power/grid focused from Elon and OpenAI pushing for grid expansion and more capacity, so long $XLU.\n\nI guess it’s just getting lucky with momentum?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit ur 🐐 serenity. an absolute legend. beating out market by all the possible odds.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Gubloinvestor", "ret_m1d": -0.18177889085535037, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.18177889085535037, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.181210635171144, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.18172962898737033, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -4.926186798004384e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09844562615142993, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09844562615142993, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08963128766863426, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0607232005571261, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03772242559430383, "ret_p1w": -0.16753018939247322, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.16753018939247322, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.15571460846895835, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.13795264295189846, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.029577546440574753, "ret_p1m": 0.2301381674793761, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2301381674793761, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.28005790905455985, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.286709490403837, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.056571322924460876, "ret_p3m": 1.4978410559266577, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.4978410559266577, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.3954476767607498, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.021845102608886, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.4759959533177718, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7522, -0.7388, -0.75, -0.7256, -0.677, -0.6652, -0.6464, -0.6803, -0.6798, -0.7193, -0.7332, -0.6975, -0.6837, -0.6714, -0.6839, -0.6759, -0.6759, -0.6682, -0.685, -0.6589, -0.647, -0.647, -0.6382, -0.6401, -0.5646, -0.4795, -0.4424, -0.5037, -0.5199, -0.5356, -0.5229, -0.4447, -0.5231, -0.5231, -0.5378, -0.573, -0.6131, -0.6244, -0.6157, -0.6287, -0.6367, -0.6464, -0.5997, -0.5479, -0.5738, -0.5952, -0.5589, -0.4806, -0.4005, -0.4743, -0.4214, -0.4648, -0.4767, -0.4767, -0.4989, -0.4918, -0.486, -0.3592, -0.3862, -0.2427, -0.1155, -0.1986, -0.1818, 0.0, -0.0984, -0.1552, -0.1623, -0.3012, -0.1675, -0.0436, 0.0225, 0.0089, 0.0548, 0.0447, -0.0423, 0.0527, 0.2541, 0.171, 0.3912, 0.4775, 0.454, 0.2632, 0.3089, 0.1384, 0.2301, 0.0177, 0.1408, 0.1408, -0.0935, -0.0186, 0.1481, 0.3627, 0.3856, 0.4346, 0.4529, 0.3586, 0.7655, 0.7824, 0.7003, 0.6185, 0.8769, 0.625, 0.6442, 0.5145, 0.4834, 0.5343, 0.7103, 1.0725, 1.2884, 1.3219, 1.2632, 1.3407, 1.5121, 1.7161, 1.6533, 1.6326, 1.4823, 1.6723, 1.2858, 1.437, 1.2584, 1.6127, 2.0404, 2.0404, 1.8627, 1.6505, 1.4978, 1.2271, 1.2271, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028529465962414375", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-03-02T17:54:47+00:00", "symbol": "IQE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "epiwafers from $IQE", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long GOOGL capex chain (LITE, AXTI, IQE), memory on DRAM/NAND price hikes, and XLU on power/grid expansion theme.", "resolved_tickers": ["IQE.L"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "IQE plc LSE-listed epiwafer supplier", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’m flattered lol. But I’m happy with the performance even with a relatively flat index!\n\nA large part of it is mapping where all the spend goes.\n\nEg. $GOOGL $180B capex -> TPU program -> BOM of TPU -> 8-12% $LITE -> upstream materials from $AXTI or epiwafers from $IQE.\n\nOr just the DRAM/NAND price hikes -> as simple as going long on memory.\n\nRecently it’s been power/grid focused from Elon and OpenAI pushing for grid expansion and more capacity, so long $XLU.\n\nI guess it’s just getting lucky with momentum?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit ur 🐐 serenity. an absolute legend. beating out market by all the possible odds.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Gubloinvestor", "ret_m1d": -0.25781251105945546, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.25781251105945546, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.2572442553752491, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.2577632491914754, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -4.926186798004384e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.015624984866008385, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015624984866008385, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.024439323348804054, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05334741046031222, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03772242559430383, "ret_p1w": -0.2546875140862538, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.2546875140862538, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.24287193316273892, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.22510996764567903, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.029577546440574753, "ret_p1m": -0.04687502910383001, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04687502910383001, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.003044712471353739, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.009696293820630864, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.056571322924460876, "ret_p3m": 0.8613281568686939, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.8613281568686939, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.758934777702786, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3853322035509221, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.4759959533177718, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.8074, -0.8016, -0.8039, -0.8039, -0.8035, -0.7996, -0.7965, -0.8094, -0.8086, -0.8057, -0.8061, -0.8027, -0.8008, -0.7996, -0.8057, -0.8061, -0.8061, -0.8061, -0.8061, -0.8047, -0.8047, -0.8047, -0.7988, -0.8035, -0.8016, -0.782, -0.7598, -0.7133, -0.5922, -0.6145, -0.6484, -0.6816, -0.6934, -0.6512, -0.6957, -0.7016, -0.6953, -0.6863, -0.7012, -0.7008, -0.6867, -0.6973, -0.691, -0.6863, -0.6992, -0.6895, -0.6949, -0.6906, -0.6809, -0.6094, -0.6, -0.5977, -0.5859, -0.5898, -0.5852, -0.5914, -0.5945, -0.5906, -0.5008, -0.5234, -0.3742, -0.2188, -0.2578, 0.0, 0.0156, 0.0488, -0.1621, -0.232, -0.2547, -0.1133, -0.0508, -0.1133, -0.0918, -0.0977, -0.1562, -0.002, -0.1074, -0.0781, -0.082, -0.002, 0.1523, 0.0391, -0.043, -0.0977, -0.0469, -0.0195, -0.0781, -0.0781, -0.0781, -0.0039, 0.1211, 0.1719, 0.4453, 0.918, 0.8672, 1.1094, 1.2891, 1.0352, 1.2891, 1.4609, 1.4453, 0.9434, 0.8594, 0.9297, 0.5723, 0.5781, 0.6895, 0.6074, 0.6074, 0.9531, 0.7402, 0.7832, 0.8398, 1.1289, 0.8418, 0.9727, 0.9375, 0.7969, 0.5273, 0.25, 0.4668, 0.5566, 0.7871, 0.7871, 1.1094, 0.9805, 0.8613, 0.8555, 0.8555, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028529465962414375", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-03-02T17:54:47+00:00", "symbol": "memory", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "going long on memory", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long GOOGL capex chain (LITE, AXTI, IQE), memory on DRAM/NAND price hikes, and XLU on power/grid expansion theme.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU", "000660.KS", "005930.KS"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Memory sector basket: Micron, SK Hynix, Samsung", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’m flattered lol. But I’m happy with the performance even with a relatively flat index!\n\nA large part of it is mapping where all the spend goes.\n\nEg. $GOOGL $180B capex -> TPU program -> BOM of TPU -> 8-12% $LITE -> upstream materials from $AXTI or epiwafers from $IQE.\n\nOr just the DRAM/NAND price hikes -> as simple as going long on memory.\n\nRecently it’s been power/grid focused from Elon and OpenAI pushing for grid expansion and more capacity, so long $XLU.\n\nI guess it’s just getting lucky with momentum?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit ur 🐐 serenity. an absolute legend. beating out market by all the possible odds.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Gubloinvestor", "ret_m1d": -0.00024234231454889343, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00024234231454889343, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0003259133696574823, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0001930804465688496, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -4.926186798004384e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09792466559878654, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09792466559878654, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08911032711599087, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06020224000448271, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03772242559430383, "ret_p1w": -0.15575373314900898, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.15575373314900898, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1439381522254941, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12617618670843422, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.029577546440574753, "ret_p1m": -0.2154998089974616, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2154998089974616, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16558006742227785, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.15892848607300072, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.056571322924460876, "ret_p3m": 0.9276162263145401, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.9276162263145401, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.8252228471486321, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4516202729967683, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.4759959533177718, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4777, -0.486, -0.4718, -0.4519, -0.4526, -0.4375, -0.4497, -0.4594, -0.4739, -0.4886, -0.4798, -0.4613, -0.4509, -0.4255, -0.423, -0.4139, -0.4139, -0.4029, -0.3775, -0.3749, -0.3807, -0.3807, -0.3351, -0.317, -0.2811, -0.276, -0.2851, -0.2739, -0.272, -0.2836, -0.282, -0.2717, -0.2407, -0.2375, -0.2486, -0.2235, -0.2076, -0.2025, -0.2207, -0.1722, -0.1346, -0.1306, -0.1327, -0.1545, -0.1189, -0.151, -0.1814, -0.1739, -0.1559, -0.1685, -0.1405, -0.1122, -0.1125, -0.1125, -0.1221, -0.105, -0.09, -0.0639, -0.0646, -0.0393, -0.0209, 0.0166, -0.0002, 0.0, -0.0979, -0.1444, -0.0887, -0.1208, -0.1558, -0.0904, -0.0692, -0.0911, -0.0874, -0.0466, -0.0238, 0.0257, -0.0142, -0.035, -0.0934, -0.0787, -0.0878, -0.1425, -0.141, -0.1937, -0.2155, -0.1283, -0.168, -0.1416, -0.1185, -0.1039, -0.022, -0.0311, -0.0197, -0.0185, 0.0414, 0.0511, 0.0679, 0.0554, 0.0596, 0.0856, 0.1137, 0.1205, 0.124, 0.1762, 0.1584, 0.1739, 0.1621, 0.1824, 0.2791, 0.3306, 0.452, 0.461, 0.5474, 0.6738, 0.6264, 0.7084, 0.7027, 0.5744, 0.5624, 0.5379, 0.5656, 0.6874, 0.668, 0.668, 0.8299, 0.9286, 0.9276, 1.0068, 1.0676, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028529465962414375", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2026-03-02T17:54:47+00:00", "symbol": "XLU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "long $XLU", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long GOOGL capex chain (LITE, AXTI, IQE), memory on DRAM/NAND price hikes, and XLU on power/grid expansion theme.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’m flattered lol. But I’m happy with the performance even with a relatively flat index!\n\nA large part of it is mapping where all the spend goes.\n\nEg. $GOOGL $180B capex -> TPU program -> BOM of TPU -> 8-12% $LITE -> upstream materials from $AXTI or epiwafers from $IQE.\n\nOr just the DRAM/NAND price hikes -> as simple as going long on memory.\n\nRecently it’s been power/grid focused from Elon and OpenAI pushing for grid expansion and more capacity, so long $XLU.\n\nI guess it’s just getting lucky with momentum?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit ur 🐐 serenity. an absolute legend. beating out market by all the possible odds.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Gubloinvestor", "ret_m1d": 0.007599777027146537, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007599777027146537, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008168032711352913, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008168032711352913, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006333106976205594, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006333106976205594, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.002481231506590076, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.002481231506590076, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "ret_p1w": -0.010977374613045265, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.010977374613045265, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0008382063104696025, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0008382063104696025, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "ret_p1m": -0.024470411090385613, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.024470411090385613, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02544933048479814, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02544933048479814, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "ret_p3m": -0.05125545491214156, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05125545491214156, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.15364883407804952, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15364883407804952, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0822, -0.0841, -0.0927, -0.1049, -0.1042, -0.1047, -0.0982, -0.1026, -0.0944, -0.0982, -0.104, -0.0952, -0.1068, -0.1034, -0.1003, -0.0963, -0.0963, -0.0969, -0.0952, -0.0931, -0.0988, -0.0988, -0.0885, -0.0986, -0.0942, -0.1161, -0.1136, -0.1026, -0.1011, -0.0954, -0.0887, -0.0794, -0.084, -0.084, -0.0931, -0.0918, -0.0984, -0.1015, -0.095, -0.0832, -0.0853, -0.0853, -0.087, -0.1003, -0.0872, -0.0906, -0.0901, -0.0849, -0.0821, -0.0669, -0.0587, -0.0448, -0.0184, -0.0184, -0.0209, -0.0372, -0.0266, -0.022, -0.0146, -0.0036, -0.0002, -0.004, 0.0076, 0.0, -0.0063, -0.0021, -0.0099, -0.0133, -0.011, -0.0171, -0.0253, -0.0184, -0.0087, -0.0023, -0.0051, -0.0135, -0.0175, -0.0574, -0.0481, -0.0415, -0.0381, -0.0364, -0.0308, -0.0238, -0.0245, -0.0198, -0.0149, -0.0149, -0.0185, -0.0164, -0.0056, 0.0023, -0.0017, -0.0138, -0.0121, -0.0217, -0.0147, -0.0187, -0.0274, -0.0445, -0.0462, -0.0202, -0.0183, -0.0181, -0.0168, -0.0289, -0.0041, -0.0104, -0.0143, -0.0143, -0.0283, -0.0408, -0.0493, -0.0404, -0.0394, -0.0504, -0.0455, -0.0674, -0.0659, -0.0574, -0.0538, -0.0434, -0.0359, -0.0359, -0.0364, -0.0404, -0.0513, -0.0557, -0.0557, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2025833422959333694", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-23T07:21:40+00:00", "symbol": "RDDT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Just fundamentally undervalued at 25-30 forward p/e when their net income is 1/3rd revenue, and they grew revenue ~70% Y/Y. Reddit is one of the few software names not disrupted by AI but sold off in the bucket. Long term they should be directionally right if you do the research.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long RDDT long-term: fundamentally undervalued at 25-30x fwd P/E, 70% revenue growth, not disrupted by AI.", "resolved_tickers": ["RDDT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "There’s no catalyst. Just fundamentally undervalued at 25-30 forward p/e when their net income is 1/3rd revenue, and they grew revenue ~70% Y/Y.\n\nReddit is one of the few software names not disrupted by AI but sold off in the bucket. \n\nThat being said, markets don’t always play in your favor in the short term, which is why weekly options are a bad idea.\n\nLong term they should be directionally right if you do the research.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What could be the catalyst for $RDDT to go up now? Datas are precious but market think its a SW company", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "theodore_invest", "ret_m1d": 0.054120392332732026, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.054120392332732026, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04380373094566847, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04163768225028175, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "bench_c_m1d": 0.012482710082450277, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0026674495641134666, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0026674495641134666, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009935902494508486, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009602325358016639, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0069348757939031724, "ret_p1w": 0.03264069687869631, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03264069687869631, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.026793611165804698, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.010882669208458928, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02175802767023738, "ret_p1m": -0.0445037996482317, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0445037996482317, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.004312417323768969, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.010910073698865319, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03359372594936638, "ret_p3m": 0.05320782124831802, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05320782124831802, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.03817439558946645, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04358153027665379, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "bench_c_p3m": 0.00962629097166423, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.457, 0.457, 0.5195, 0.5682, 0.5637, 0.5502, 0.5636, 0.6433, 0.6633, 0.6574, 0.6714, 0.6393, 0.5778, 0.5338, 0.5724, 0.5958, 0.6239, 0.6369, 0.6366, 0.5851, 0.5854, 0.5854, 0.5848, 0.6471, 0.6381, 0.6136, 0.6136, 0.698, 0.7131, 0.7816, 0.7935, 0.7826, 0.7167, 0.7129, 0.8176, 0.7716, 0.6057, 0.6216, 0.6216, 0.5819, 0.475, 0.506, 0.5364, 0.4996, 0.3779, 0.3557, 0.3341, 0.2654, 0.2435, 0.1611, 0.0718, 0.0603, -0.0185, -0.0051, 0.0528, -0.0223, -0.08, -0.0197, -0.0197, -0.0227, 0.0351, 0.0258, 0.0541, 0.0, -0.0027, 0.0506, 0.0617, 0.0235, 0.0326, 0.0227, 0.0339, 0.0132, -0.0215, -0.0253, -0.0585, -0.0375, -0.0717, -0.0709, -0.0173, 0.0131, 0.0023, -0.0305, -0.0183, -0.0105, -0.0445, -0.0199, -0.1067, -0.1447, -0.1287, -0.0548, -0.0441, -0.0453, -0.0453, -0.0289, -0.0093, 0.0178, -0.0286, -0.0192, 0.0484, 0.0848, 0.1125, 0.1403, 0.1498, 0.1672, 0.1008, 0.1534, 0.0737, 0.0873, 0.1246, 0.0384, 0.0371, 0.0335, 0.1686, 0.1868, 0.2048, 0.1692, 0.1508, 0.0936, 0.1197, 0.0694, 0.0818, 0.0972, 0.1103, 0.1169, 0.0872, 0.0299, 0.0532, -0.0055, -0.0055, 0.0153, 0.0823, 0.1771, 0.2354, 0.2354, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2014002413146173863", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-21T15:49:28+00:00", "symbol": "VPG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is my top robotics sector stock. And reminds me of $SNDK at $30 before current memory rally to $470. Or $SMCI at $1.3 before the AI buildout rally to $100. This may be the inflection point for robotics humanoids.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Top robotics pick VPG as asymmetric humanoid ramp play; compares to SMCI/SNDK multi-bagger setups at inflection point.", "resolved_tickers": ["VPG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Scientific & Technical Instruments'", "bench_c_industry": "Scientific & Technical Instruments", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Looks like markets are starting to find out about $VPG.\n\nThis is my top robotics sector stock.\n\nAnd reminds me of $SNDK at $30 before current memory rally to $470.\n\nOr $SMCI at $1.3 before the AI buildout rally to $100.\n\nThis may be the inflection point for robotics humanoids. https://t.co/POgwnIJyu8", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$VPG is one of the least known robotic supply chain stocks.\n\nHowever, it's likely the single best asymmetrical exposure to robotics Humanoid ramp for\n\n- $TSLA Optimus\n\n~ Figure AI\n\nas this $580m company makes:\n\nest. ~3-9% BOM cost of every humanoid.\n\n$8.5B revenue may come from https://t.co/IBG9j0e0XW", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06601153731969323, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06601153731969323, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05460213493417854, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.052312969759923944, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011409402385514689, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013698567559769281, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02093568710714666, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02093568710714666, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.015712457087418974, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.013495254549206859, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005223230019727687, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007440432557939802, "ret_p1w": -0.05212566481141945, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05212566481141945, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06674481548805522, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08981428105690381, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014619150676635773, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03768861624548436, "ret_p1m": 0.0021362630033621155, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0021362630033621155, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.003478613920304907, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.027169227953641628, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0013423509169427916, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025032964950279513, "ret_p3m": 0.13565473804374406, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.13565473804374406, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09880692409877811, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05956700092025935, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.036847813944965946, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07608773712348471, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2205, -0.2318, -0.2081, -0.1854, -0.1812, -0.1997, -0.188, -0.2376, -0.229, -0.2927, -0.2959, -0.2696, -0.282, -0.2833, -0.3153, -0.3175, -0.3501, -0.3529, -0.3463, -0.3745, -0.335, -0.307, -0.2809, -0.2726, -0.2726, -0.2707, -0.2638, -0.2525, -0.2153, -0.2027, -0.1666, -0.1906, -0.2143, -0.1809, -0.1671, -0.1899, -0.1869, -0.176, -0.1871, -0.1839, -0.172, -0.1726, -0.1589, -0.1568, -0.1568, -0.1521, -0.1628, -0.1683, -0.1775, -0.1775, -0.1609, -0.1596, -0.1169, -0.1448, -0.1374, -0.1098, -0.1124, -0.1132, -0.1064, -0.0664, -0.0684, -0.0684, -0.066, 0.0, 0.0209, -0.057, -0.0825, -0.0391, -0.0521, 0.0763, 0.0699, 0.0818, 0.1284, 0.1515, 0.1117, 0.1959, 0.1765, 0.1448, -0.0081, -0.0028, -0.0558, -0.0558, -0.0299, -0.0167, 0.0021, 0.0222, 0.0, -0.0004, 0.032, 0.0096, -0.0158, 0.0515, 0.0164, 0.0036, -0.0389, -0.0716, -0.0692, -0.0485, -0.0626, -0.109, -0.1239, -0.1207, -0.128, -0.122, -0.0752, -0.1318, -0.0996, -0.0863, -0.028, -0.0916, -0.1124, -0.131, -0.0724, -0.0607, -0.0436, -0.0436, -0.0147, -0.0017, 0.0485, 0.0517, 0.066, 0.11, 0.1066, 0.0852, 0.0976, 0.1369, 0.1357, 0.1626, 0.2243, 0.2346, 0.295, 0.2514, 0.2222, 0.2021, 0.2907, 0.2865, 0.2824, 0.3662, 0.358, 0.3337, 0.4364, 0.4228, 0.828, 1.1278, 1.1436, 1.079, 1.2476, 1.0925, 1.1515, 1.2226, 1.4302, 1.4302, 1.6364, 1.69, 1.6757, 1.677, 1.677, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2013621368831778896", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-20T14:35:20+00:00", "symbol": "DPRO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I've initiated small positions in $DPRO ($240m). This is an end-to-end war drone contractor... took small speculative positions in $DPRO as it's setup to be the Infrastructure of Drone Warfare", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Initiated small speculative long in DPRO on drone infrastructure thesis, Army micro-factory contracts, DJI ban beneficiary, and potential 1000%+ revenue growth.", "resolved_tickers": ["DPRO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’ve initiated small positions in $DPRO ($240m).  \n\nThis is an end-to-end war drone contractor and Draganfly looks like the $RKLB to Ondas.  \n\n$ONDS went from ($.51 -> $15, 13x) and was looking for an equivalent.\n\nHere’s what markets (and myself missed). \n\nDraganfly is a vertically integrated defense prime, not just a drone maker.   \n\n$DPRO controls the entire ecosystem, from the factory infrastructure to the end-drone. And it’s the largest beneficiary of NDAA that banned DJI, which controlled est. 70-80% of market share.\n\nThe biggest moat I didn’t understand earlier: embedded production.\n\nI looked small current revenue numbers but missed the that they’re buildout distributed manufacturing throughout many US bases.\n\nDraganfly’s contract with the U.S. Army (Sept 2025) isn't just to ship drones; it is to install Micro-Factories at US bases.\n\nIt integrates Draganfly into the fabric of US Dpt. of War, creating a layer of \"stickiness\" that is impossible for competitors to displace.\n\nHere's why I entered positions: they went from $5M drone capacity ramp in 2025 to $400m.\n\nCombining this with its partnership with Global Ordnance (where it’s a sub-contractor and Ordnance received $750 Million IDIQ), US-CAD programs (benefits from both) like $220m CAD funding to NATO.\n\nIt’s possible for $DPRO from triple digits or possibly 1000%+ revenue growth rates Y/Y.\n\nAnd... revenue hits balance sheet by surprise in the earnings.\n\nEach drone player from $AVAV, $AIRO, $ONDS, have their own specialty, $DPRO focuses on the nonkinetic and infrastructure aspect:\n\n-> European countries like Sweden use $DPRO drones (2026) for life-saving operations.\n-> DEF-C -> reconnaissance drones for Ukraine conflict -> Global Ordnance (massive defense contractor)\n-> U.S. Department of War (US Army)\n\nand those nonkinetic drones can be transformed with kinetic applications.\n\nWith $51M cash on hand (healthy balance sheet), just 20% of capacity ramp would be ~2.2 fwd p/s.\n\nThis is a very speculative venture style bet as they've been rapidly expanding infrastructure (like $RKLB at the start), with Northland giving $20 PT's.\n\nAnd this is a hunch that the revenue will catch up to the infrastructure they've deployed across the US army (esp. with Replicator programs and is hidden until earnings). \n\n$DPRO has already been popular on FinX (and it took some convincing from other users) so I've personally joined the party as I'm curious to see where it heads.\n\nTLDR: took small speculative positions in $DPRO as it's setup to be the Infrastructure of Drone Warfare (like $RKLB back at $2 for space) with high potential upside.\n\n As it's extremely early, there's lot of risks as well with revenue recognition from capacity buildout.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I've initiated positions in $LPTH ($621M).\n\nLightpath is incredible.\n\nEvery modern thermal weapon (Missiles, Drones) requires Germanium glass, which China owns (70%)\n\nLPTH is the only US alternative with: Black Diamond\n\nUsers?\n\n- $ONDS\n- L3Harris\n- Lockheed\n- Andruil (likely)\n- https://t.co/XdzME21cvo", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.018046717082493613, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.018046717082493613, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0027330784868353497, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00860298003891291, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.020779795569328963, "bench_c_m1d": 0.026649697121406524, "ret_t0": 0.0, 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{"unit_id": "reply:2028589072269422944", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-02T21:51:38+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I would not be surprised if it were trading at $20B or more next year", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long AXTI: $2.5B MC monopoly on photonics supply chain for AI buildout; sees $20B+ MC next year on pricing power and competitor export controls.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AXTI controls the supply chain needed for the AI buildout for photonics. At a $2.5B MC.\n\nI would not be surprised if it were trading at $20B or more next year. \n\n$NVDA today showed how critical photonics are for the next few years. If AXT wanted to AXT could price hike 500% the next day for new contracts and everyone from $LITE or $COHR would happily pay it to secure allocation.\n\nTheir main competitor over in Japan got export controls by China and will likely be capacity strained in the future. \n\nI would happy sleep on a $2.5b monopoly for the trillion dollar AI buildout", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit How long we should be long on this master.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "chad_the_stud", "ret_m1d": -0.18177889085535037, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.18177889085535037, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.181210635171144, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.18172962898737033, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -4.926186798004384e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09844562615142993, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09844562615142993, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08963128766863426, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0607232005571261, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03772242559430383, "ret_p1w": -0.16753018939247322, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.16753018939247322, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.15571460846895835, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.13795264295189846, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.029577546440574753, "ret_p1m": 0.2301381674793761, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2301381674793761, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.28005790905455985, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.286709490403837, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.056571322924460876, "ret_p3m": 1.4978410559266577, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.4978410559266577, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.3954476767607498, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.021845102608886, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.4759959533177718, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7522, -0.7388, -0.75, -0.7256, -0.677, -0.6652, -0.6464, -0.6803, -0.6798, -0.7193, -0.7332, -0.6975, -0.6837, -0.6714, -0.6839, -0.6759, -0.6759, -0.6682, -0.685, -0.6589, -0.647, -0.647, -0.6382, -0.6401, -0.5646, -0.4795, -0.4424, -0.5037, -0.5199, -0.5356, -0.5229, -0.4447, -0.5231, -0.5231, -0.5378, -0.573, -0.6131, -0.6244, -0.6157, -0.6287, -0.6367, -0.6464, -0.5997, -0.5479, -0.5738, -0.5952, -0.5589, -0.4806, -0.4005, -0.4743, -0.4214, -0.4648, -0.4767, -0.4767, -0.4989, -0.4918, -0.486, -0.3592, -0.3862, -0.2427, -0.1155, -0.1986, -0.1818, 0.0, -0.0984, -0.1552, -0.1623, -0.3012, -0.1675, -0.0436, 0.0225, 0.0089, 0.0548, 0.0447, -0.0423, 0.0527, 0.2541, 0.171, 0.3912, 0.4775, 0.454, 0.2632, 0.3089, 0.1384, 0.2301, 0.0177, 0.1408, 0.1408, -0.0935, -0.0186, 0.1481, 0.3627, 0.3856, 0.4346, 0.4529, 0.3586, 0.7655, 0.7824, 0.7003, 0.6185, 0.8769, 0.625, 0.6442, 0.5145, 0.4834, 0.5343, 0.7103, 1.0725, 1.2884, 1.3219, 1.2632, 1.3407, 1.5121, 1.7161, 1.6533, 1.6326, 1.4823, 1.6723, 1.2858, 1.437, 1.2584, 1.6127, 2.0404, 2.0404, 1.8627, 1.6505, 1.4978, 1.2271, 1.2271, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028589072269422944", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-02T21:51:38+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NVDA today showed how critical photonics are for the next few years", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long AXTI: $2.5B MC monopoly on photonics supply chain for AI buildout; sees $20B+ MC next year on pricing power and competitor export controls.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AXTI controls the supply chain needed for the AI buildout for photonics. At a $2.5B MC.\n\nI would not be surprised if it were trading at $20B or more next year. \n\n$NVDA today showed how critical photonics are for the next few years. If AXT wanted to AXT could price hike 500% the next day for new contracts and everyone from $LITE or $COHR would happily pay it to secure allocation.\n\nTheir main competitor over in Japan got export controls by China and will likely be capacity strained in the future. \n\nI would happy sleep on a $2.5b monopoly for the trillion dollar AI buildout", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit How long we should be long on this master.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "chad_the_stud", "ret_m1d": -0.0289894217953931, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0289894217953931, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.028421166111186724, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.028421166111186724, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.013316539505995872, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.013316539505995872, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004502201023200203, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004502201023200203, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "ret_p1w": 0.0009315657110897657, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0009315657110897657, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.012747146634604634, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.012747146634604634, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "ret_p1m": -0.04422712742765267, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04422712742765267, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.005692614147531083, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.005692614147531083, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "ret_p3m": 0.17416482290802038, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.17416482290802038, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07177144374211242, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07177144374211242, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0159, 0.0049, -0.0004, 0.0168, 0.0136, 0.0071, -0.0085, -0.0409, -0.0339, -0.0261, -0.0632, -0.0457, -0.0082, 0.0066, 0.0369, 0.0336, 0.0336, 0.0441, 0.0315, 0.0277, 0.022, 0.022, 0.0349, 0.0309, 0.0261, 0.0363, 0.014, 0.013, 0.0135, 0.0182, 0.0036, 0.025, 0.0206, 0.0206, -0.0242, 0.0046, 0.0129, 0.0284, 0.0219, 0.0331, 0.0495, 0.055, 0.0474, 0.0172, -0.0117, -0.0454, -0.0581, 0.0161, 0.0414, 0.0332, 0.0415, 0.0244, 0.0018, 0.0018, 0.0136, 0.0301, 0.0297, 0.0402, 0.0497, 0.0568, 0.0717, 0.0132, -0.029, 0.0, -0.0133, 0.0031, 0.0047, -0.0255, 0.0009, 0.0125, 0.0195, 0.0037, -0.0122, 0.0041, -0.003, -0.0113, -0.0214, -0.0535, -0.0374, -0.0398, -0.0208, -0.0615, -0.0819, -0.0948, -0.0442, -0.0368, -0.0278, -0.0278, -0.0265, -0.0239, -0.0021, 0.0079, 0.0338, 0.0375, 0.0769, 0.0899, 0.087, 0.1053, 0.1074, 0.0954, 0.1098, 0.0941, 0.1414, 0.1871, 0.1682, 0.1468, 0.0937, 0.0876, 0.0877, 0.0769, 0.139, 0.1591, 0.1794, 0.2026, 0.21, 0.2376, 0.2919, 0.2348, 0.2184, 0.209, 0.2247, 0.203, 0.1801, 0.1801, 0.1775, 0.1651, 0.1742, 0.1571, 0.1571, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2030987568020631691", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-09T12:42:24+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if retail wins and doesn't capitulate, it could end up triggering one of the largest short squeezes reminiscent of GameStop from $3 to $150+", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish HIMS: Novo partnership + 40% short float sets up a potential GameStop-style short squeeze next week.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just in: CEO of $HIMS announces partnership with $NVO.\n\nThis is confirmation of the report on Friday from Bloomberg.\n\nWith 40%+ of the float sold short and transparency around the Novo partnership:\n\nThis next week will end up as a battleground stock for:\n\nRetail vs. Short Seller.\n\nAnd if retail wins and doesn’t capitulate, it could end up triggering one of the largest short squeezes reminiscent of GameStop from $3 to $150+.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.2897111967734822, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.2897111967734822, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.281027243409127, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.281027243409127, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0591154997726846, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0591154997726846, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06072262667805173, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06072262667805173, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "ret_p1w": 0.12274365216984151, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12274365216984151, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.13636655889404026, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13636655889404026, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "ret_p1m": -0.12003609502383417, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12003609502383417, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09460413060422168, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09460413060422168, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.7094, 0.7044, 0.6792, 0.6358, 0.6634, 0.5781, 0.569, 0.6047, 0.5817, 0.5704, 0.5645, 0.5645, 0.5483, 0.5388, 0.491, 0.4653, 0.4653, 0.5077, 0.5663, 0.6002, 0.6002, 0.5284, 0.4301, 0.4594, 0.4531, 0.4134, 0.4093, 0.4161, 0.4161, 0.375, 0.3037, 0.3773, 0.3366, 0.3664, 0.3394, 0.2938, 0.3479, 0.2225, 0.1931, 0.1525, 0.1011, 0.0596, 0.0388, -0.1277, -0.222, -0.2468, -0.287, -0.2644, -0.2644, -0.2658, -0.2852, -0.2861, -0.2947, -0.3001, -0.3023, -0.2861, -0.296, -0.3448, -0.2563, -0.2861, -0.2577, -0.2834, -0.2897, 0.0, 0.0591, 0.1679, 0.0758, 0.1178, 0.1227, 0.1273, 0.0447, 0.0903, -0.0063, 0.0135, -0.037, -0.0596, -0.0587, -0.1255, -0.1525, -0.0632, -0.1047, -0.1363, -0.1363, -0.0826, -0.12, -0.125, -0.1088, -0.1232, -0.0456, -0.0361, 0.0961, 0.218, 0.3005, 0.3994, 0.343, 0.3091, 0.2703, 0.3791, 0.3263, 0.2595, 0.1882, 0.2261, 0.2369, 0.2306, 0.1882, 0.213, 0.1575, 0.2757, 0.315, 0.1295, 0.0894, 0.0939, 0.1304, 0.0059, 0.0126, 0.0397, 0.0835, 0.0718, 0.0718, 0.0763, 0.1372, 0.1453, 0.1801, 0.1801, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2027839956765515961", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-28T20:14:55+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm making $AAOI one of my largest photonics positions because this looks like black magic and the beginning of the next $SNDK", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long AAOI as a top photonics position on ~10x revenue growth, 6.4x forward P/E, hyperscaler demand, and Made-in-America premium; also long LITE on Google TPU/capex exposure.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AAOI feels like must-have photonics exposure to me. \n\nTheir earnings report is genuinely black magic.\n\n$LITE ($50B MC): FY 2026 est. ~$2.91B\n$AAOI ($5.6B MC) H2 2027: $4.35B ARR. \n\nTheir growth projections literally leapfrogged $LITE for 2026. \n\nNot even kidding. \n\nGross margins are ~40% for $AAOI, maybe 45% for $LITE with OCS monopoly. \n\n\"-term objective of gross margins to around 40%,\"\n\nDon't get me wrong, $LITE is an amazing long due to 8-12% BOM of $GOOGL TPU and Google capex spend... \n\nBut $AAOI top line growth for revenue is close to 10X revenue growth from last year's revenue, which is just insane. \n\nAnd if you go off napkin math modeling:\n\n\"By Q2 2027, management forecasts monthly transceiver revenue potential of $378 million\"\n\n~ $4.30B target, 40% margin (in-house), $1.72B gross profit, maybe ~$600m capex/opex:\n\nNet income ~$896M.\n\nForward P/E (on 2027 NI): ~6.4x forward p/e off ~900%-ish Y/Y growth. \n\nAnd if you look at photonics ramp, it's expected to increase exponentially toward 2030. \n\nFrom their management call hyperscalers likely ( $GOOGL, $MSFT, $AMZN ) are buying out all available capacity for transceivers. \n\nReminds me of a early $ALAB or $CRDO where all the hyperscalers are their customers. \n\nAnd if you get to likely price hikes like NAND for $SNDK:\n\n+15% ASP Price Hike: $1.41B net income \n- (4.1x forward p/e)\n+30% ASP Price Hike: $1.92B net income  \n- (3.0x forward p/e)\n\nThis is why I got so excited about $AAOI post-earnings. \n\nNot even including $AAOI \"Made in America\" transceiver supply chains that would give them a premium where $FN, Innolight, Eptolink, and others do theirs abroad.\n\nKinda like $INTC to $TSM or $MU to SK Hynix premiums. \n\nThe ROI for this is just astronomical if they hit their projections and price hikes give them a 3 p/e rate off 800%+ growth in photonics segments. \n\nAgain, these are management projections, execution is the biggest the name of the game.\n\nRegardless, I'm making $AAOI one of my largest photonics positions because this looks like black magic and the beginning of the next $SNDK. \n\nThere's a nonzero chance we might see this at a $50B $LITE valuation one and a half year from now if they can execute on their projections.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.17832405032051124, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.17832405032051124, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.17775579463630486, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.17775579463630486, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06994445077477685, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06994445077477685, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.061130112291981176, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.061130112291981176, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "ret_p1w": 0.07911423706316767, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07911423706316767, 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{"unit_id": "orig:2027839956765515961", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-28T20:14:55+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LITE is an amazing long due to 8-12% BOM of $GOOGL TPU and Google capex spend", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long AAOI as a top photonics position on ~10x revenue growth, 6.4x forward P/E, hyperscaler demand, and Made-in-America premium; also long LITE on Google TPU/capex exposure.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AAOI feels like must-have photonics exposure to me. \n\nTheir earnings report is genuinely black magic.\n\n$LITE ($50B MC): FY 2026 est. ~$2.91B\n$AAOI ($5.6B MC) H2 2027: $4.35B ARR. \n\nTheir growth projections literally leapfrogged $LITE for 2026. \n\nNot even kidding. \n\nGross margins are ~40% for $AAOI, maybe 45% for $LITE with OCS monopoly. \n\n\"-term objective of gross margins to around 40%,\"\n\nDon't get me wrong, $LITE is an amazing long due to 8-12% BOM of $GOOGL TPU and Google capex spend... \n\nBut $AAOI top line growth for revenue is close to 10X revenue growth from last year's revenue, which is just insane. \n\nAnd if you go off napkin math modeling:\n\n\"By Q2 2027, management forecasts monthly transceiver revenue potential of $378 million\"\n\n~ $4.30B target, 40% margin (in-house), $1.72B gross profit, maybe ~$600m capex/opex:\n\nNet income ~$896M.\n\nForward P/E (on 2027 NI): ~6.4x forward p/e off ~900%-ish Y/Y growth. \n\nAnd if you look at photonics ramp, it's expected to increase exponentially toward 2030. \n\nFrom their management call hyperscalers likely ( $GOOGL, $MSFT, $AMZN ) are buying out all available capacity for transceivers. \n\nReminds me of a early $ALAB or $CRDO where all the hyperscalers are their customers. \n\nAnd if you get to likely price hikes like NAND for $SNDK:\n\n+15% ASP Price Hike: $1.41B net income \n- (4.1x forward p/e)\n+30% ASP Price Hike: $1.92B net income  \n- (3.0x forward p/e)\n\nThis is why I got so excited about $AAOI post-earnings. \n\nNot even including $AAOI \"Made in America\" transceiver supply chains that would give them a premium where $FN, Innolight, Eptolink, and others do theirs abroad.\n\nKinda like $INTC to $TSM or $MU to SK Hynix premiums. \n\nThe ROI for this is just astronomical if they hit their projections and price hikes give them a 3 p/e rate off 800%+ growth in photonics segments. \n\nAgain, these are management projections, execution is the biggest the name of the game.\n\nRegardless, I'm making $AAOI one of my largest photonics positions because this looks like black magic and the beginning of the next $SNDK. \n\nThere's a nonzero chance we might see this at a $50B $LITE valuation one and a half year from now if they can execute on their projections.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.10512611152948448, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10512611152948448, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1045578558452781, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1045578558452781, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.11339930714869928, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.11339930714869928, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.10458496866590361, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.10458496866590361, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "ret_p1w": -0.18201084910130072, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.18201084910130072, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.17019526817778585, "alpha_c_p1w": 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{"unit_id": "orig:2036458844793217133", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-24T15:03:18+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Would hyperscalers pay $10B to secure their AI buildout? Yes. Lot of these bottlenecks can't be valued with traditional metrics.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AXTI despite apparent overvaluation; hyperscalers could pay $10B, traditional metrics don't apply to AI bottleneck plays.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AXTI has now reached the legendary status of $69.69.\n\nWas expecting close to 10x returns in a year and half, not a few months…\n\nEverything from $AAOI to $SIVE are ridiculously outperforming. \n\nAs for AXT valuations at $4B? Is it overvalued. Yes.\n\nWould hyperscalers pay $10B to secure their AI buildout? Yes. \n\nLot of these bottlenecks can’t be valued with traditional metrics.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05844535150951424, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05844535150951424, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06181350765590632, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05025961183971728, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008185739669796965, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.015926416253686515, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.015926416253686515, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.021499175201072473, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02715324084857018, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011226824594883666, "ret_p1w": -0.16744597443550957, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.16744597443550957, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.16309806749996725, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1390874186047526, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02835855583075697, "ret_p1m": 0.2703097507315033, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2703097507315033, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.18146742557216644, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06189090839483091, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2084188423366724, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7807, -0.7754, -0.7868, -0.7691, -0.7611, -0.7611, -0.7551, -0.7564, -0.7053, -0.6477, -0.6226, -0.6641, -0.675, -0.6857, -0.6771, -0.6242, -0.6772, -0.6772, -0.6872, -0.711, -0.7382, -0.7458, -0.7399, -0.7487, -0.7541, -0.7607, -0.7291, -0.694, -0.7116, -0.726, -0.7015, -0.6485, -0.5942, -0.6442, -0.6084, -0.6378, -0.6458, -0.6458, -0.6609, -0.656, -0.6521, -0.5663, -0.5846, -0.4874, -0.4014, -0.4576, -0.4462, -0.3232, -0.3898, -0.4283, -0.4331, -0.527, -0.4366, -0.3527, -0.308, -0.3172, -0.2861, -0.293, -0.3518, -0.2876, -0.1512, -0.2075, -0.0584, 0.0, -0.0159, -0.1451, -0.1141, -0.2295, -0.1674, -0.3112, -0.2279, -0.2279, -0.3865, -0.3358, -0.223, -0.0777, -0.0622, -0.0291, -0.0167, -0.0805, 0.1949, 0.2063, 0.1508, 0.0954, 0.2703, 0.0998, 0.1128, 0.025, 0.0039, 0.0384, 0.1575, 0.4027, 0.5488, 0.5714, 0.5317, 0.5842, 0.7002, 0.8383, 0.7957, 0.7817, 0.68, 0.8086, 0.547, 0.6493, 0.5285, 0.7683, 1.0577, 1.0577, 0.9375, 0.7938, 0.6905, 0.5073, 0.5073, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2024558754130481336", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-19T18:56:36+00:00", "symbol": "XLU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$XLU is a once a generation type long due of AI creating critical importance to the boring grid sector... potential triple digit return long if my thesis plays out correctly", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long XLU as a generational trade: AI-driven grid demand, US grid upgrade spend, low IV, rate cut tailwind — triple-digit return potential.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thanks, I do think $XLU is a once a generation type long due of AI creating critical importance to the boring grid sector.    \n\nDon't think we've ever seen a shift like this in awhile and IV is pricing in historical averages (flat since the dawn of time).   \n\nUS will spend a lot to upgrade the grid and demand cannot be fulfilled from US hyperscalers. \n\nUsually high interest rates hurt, but there's the tailwind of additional rate cuts too.  So, I do think this is a potential triple digit return long if my thesis plays out correctly.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Great DD", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "valleyinvesting", "ret_m1d": -0.010843636267906964, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010843636267906964, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.013488044660771914, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.013488044660771914, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0026444083928649498, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0026444083928649498, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004771259940194339, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004771259940194339, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0024606046489286104, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0024606046489286104, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007231864589122949, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007231864589122949, "ret_p1w": 0.023205408272127803, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.023205408272127803, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01616354766727679, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01616354766727679, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0070418606048510135, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0070418606048510135, "ret_p1m": -0.031663331261166494, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.031663331261166494, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.018212044007879125, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.018212044007879125, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04987537526904562, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04987537526904562, "ret_p3m": -0.0316634145699376, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0316634145699376, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.10654340358278958, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10654340358278958, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07487998901285198, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07487998901285198, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0405, -0.0441, -0.0314, -0.0314, -0.0245, -0.0474, -0.0541, -0.0572, -0.0591, -0.0679, -0.0804, -0.0798, -0.0802, -0.0735, -0.078, -0.0696, -0.0735, -0.0795, -0.0705, -0.0823, -0.0789, -0.0757, -0.0716, -0.0716, -0.0722, -0.0705, -0.0683, -0.0742, -0.0742, -0.0635, -0.074, -0.0694, -0.092, -0.0894, -0.0781, -0.0766, -0.0707, -0.0638, -0.0542, -0.059, -0.059, -0.0683, -0.067, -0.0737, -0.077, -0.0703, -0.0581, -0.0603, -0.0603, -0.062, -0.0757, -0.0622, -0.0657, -0.0653, -0.0599, -0.057, -0.0414, -0.033, -0.0187, 0.0085, 0.0085, 0.0059, -0.0108, 0.0, 0.0048, 0.0124, 0.0236, 0.0271, 0.0232, 0.0351, 0.0273, 0.0208, 0.0252, 0.0171, 0.0137, 0.016, 0.0098, 0.0013, 0.0085, 0.0184, 0.0249, 0.0221, 0.0134, 0.0093, -0.0317, -0.0221, -0.0153, -0.0118, -0.01, -0.0044, 0.0028, 0.0022, 0.007, 0.012, 0.012, 0.0083, 0.0105, 0.0216, 0.0297, 0.0256, 0.0131, 0.0149, 0.005, 0.0122, 0.0081, -0.0009, -0.0183, -0.0201, 0.0066, 0.0085, 0.0087, 0.01, -0.0024, 0.0232, 0.0166, 0.0127, 0.0127, -0.0017, -0.0146, -0.0234, -0.0142, -0.0131, -0.0245, -0.0194, -0.0419, -0.0404, -0.0317, -0.028, -0.0172, -0.0096, -0.0096, -0.01, -0.0142, -0.0253, -0.0299, -0.0299, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2028380960954413389", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-02T08:04:41+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI does not concern itself with a war in Iran. The photonics stock with surprise ~900% revenue growth blowout projections to: $4.53B ARR by mid-2027, off ~40% margins.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish AAOI on ~900% revenue growth blowout, $4.53B ARR by mid-2027 at ~40% margins; geopolitical risk dismissed.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AAOI does not concern itself with a war in Iran.\n\nThe photonics stock with surprise ~900% revenue growth blowout projections to:\n\n$4.53B ARR by mid-2027, off ~40% margins.\n\nCoupled with double digit directional SI stuck. \n\nMight not need to be. https://t.co/qKReNvBMYh", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$AAOI feels like must-have photonics exposure to me. \n\nTheir earnings report is genuinely black magic.\n\n$LITE ($50B MC): FY 2026 est. ~$2.91B\n$AAOI ($5.6B MC) H2 2027: $4.35B ARR. \n\nTheir growth projections literally leapfrogged $LITE for 2026. \n\nNot even kidding. \n\nGross margins https://t.co/R6BSOngtMK", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.17832405032051124, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.17832405032051124, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.17775579463630486, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.17775579463630486, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06994445077477685, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06994445077477685, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.061130112291981176, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.061130112291981176, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "ret_p1w": 0.07911423706316767, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07911423706316767, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09092981798668254, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09092981798668254, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "ret_p1m": -0.17481226636328706, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17481226636328706, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12489252478810331, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12489252478810331, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "ret_p3m": 0.6488147570989427, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6488147570989427, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5464213779330347, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5464213779330347, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7498, -0.744, -0.7406, -0.7284, -0.7036, -0.6588, -0.6457, -0.6873, -0.7083, -0.7175, -0.7352, -0.7147, -0.6945, -0.6186, -0.6036, -0.6, -0.6, -0.6374, -0.6415, -0.6486, -0.6599, -0.6599, -0.6137, -0.6587, -0.6234, -0.6288, -0.678, -0.6679, -0.6711, -0.6666, -0.6637, -0.6391, -0.6387, -0.6387, -0.617, -0.6256, -0.6278, -0.6515, -0.6596, -0.6353, -0.5588, -0.614, -0.5746, -0.5692, -0.5501, -0.6108, -0.628, -0.5678, -0.5326, -0.527, -0.5279, -0.5709, -0.5663, -0.5663, -0.5717, -0.5762, -0.5417, -0.4959, -0.4736, -0.4511, -0.433, -0.4762, -0.1783, 0.0, -0.0699, -0.0273, -0.0134, -0.0676, 0.0791, 0.1754, 0.239, 0.0359, -0.0556, -0.0823, -0.1578, -0.0964, -0.0058, -0.146, -0.0658, 0.1111, 0.1161, -0.0497, -0.0419, -0.169, -0.1748, -0.1576, 0.0137, 0.0137, 0.0482, 0.1476, 0.2945, 0.3004, 0.4691, 0.4944, 0.4281, 0.3906, 0.5347, 0.5552, 0.5947, 0.4688, 0.4576, 0.3436, 0.582, 0.4221, 0.339, 0.4909, 0.6034, 0.7902, 0.6874, 0.7615, 0.7417, 0.5369, 0.4529, 0.8037, 0.8367, 1.1764, 0.9859, 0.857, 0.6902, 0.6713, 0.6121, 0.7248, 0.7705, 0.7705, 0.7327, 0.7543, 0.6488, 0.5453, 0.5453, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2031175321748385992", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-10T01:08:28+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Does nobody else see the parallels to $HIMS and $META and $HOOD? $HIMS literally just bought out the largest players around the world... I can't be the only one who sees potential from $HIMS global DTC retail distribution network and latent revenue monetization?", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish HIMS: global DTC acquisitions create a META-like retail network with cross-sell monetization potential now regulatory headwinds are clearing.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Does nobody else see the parallels to $HIMS and $META and $HOOD? \n\n$HIMS literally just bought out the largest players around the world:\n\n- Zava (Europe/UK)\n- Livewell (Canada)\n- Eucalyptus (Australia/Japan)\n\nWithout antitrust blocking it? \n\n$META did that a decade ago with companies like WhatsApp and Instagram with minimal friction. \n\nNow no social media company anymore can go on buying sprees due to regulator PTSD after $META ended up a trillion dollar monopoly.\n\n$HIMS now is the largest independent global retail DTC distribution network in the world, after their M&A spree. \n\nAnd just needs to figure out how to cross-sell products like what $HOOD did for financial products? \n\n$HOOD previously had the SEC + Gary trying to block all their crypto offerings. But ever since they got regulatory headaches cleared up, they managed to scale to become a $70B company off cross-selling fintech products to their retail audience. \n\nI'm seeing strong parallels to $NVO / Regulators trying to block $HIMS product offerings. \n\nHowever, that regulatory uncertainty is now cleared up after $NVO partnered with $HIMS and FDA dropped their threats. The potential is there? \n\nI can't be the only one who sees potential from $HIMS global DTC retail distribution network and latent revenue monetization?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Feels like people aren't articulating the bull case for $HIMS correctly:\n\nHere's my view. \n\nThe main moat of $HIMS is network capture of retail audiences.\n\nAnd the bull case is latent revenue monetization. \n\n$HOOD achieved that same effect in fintech over 2025. \n\n$META (fully https://t.co/LGmgQFcam0", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05581591411453468, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05581591411453468, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0574256280344525, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0574256280344525, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0016097139199178212, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0016097139199178212, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10268427430420979, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10268427430420979, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10393943723272692, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10393943723272692, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012551629285171284, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012551629285171284, "ret_p1w": 0.06433746370084648, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06433746370084648, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0737736896659631, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0737736896659631, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009436225965116618, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009436225965116618, "ret_p1m": -0.17383894516709786, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17383894516709786, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.17483752633048955, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.17483752633048955, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0009985811633916875, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0009985811633916875, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.6093, 0.5854, 0.5445, 0.5705, 0.49, 0.4815, 0.5151, 0.4934, 0.4827, 0.4772, 0.4772, 0.4619, 0.4529, 0.4078, 0.3835, 0.3835, 0.4235, 0.4789, 0.5109, 0.5109, 0.4431, 0.3502, 0.3779, 0.372, 0.3345, 0.3306, 0.337, 0.337, 0.2983, 0.2309, 0.3004, 0.262, 0.2902, 0.2646, 0.2216, 0.2727, 0.1542, 0.1265, 0.0882, 0.0396, 0.0004, -0.0192, -0.1764, -0.2654, -0.2889, -0.3268, -0.3055, -0.3055, -0.3068, -0.3251, -0.3259, -0.334, -0.3392, -0.3413, -0.3259, -0.3353, -0.3813, -0.2978, -0.3259, -0.2991, -0.3234, -0.3294, -0.0558, 0.0, 0.1027, 0.0158, 0.0554, 0.0601, 0.0643, -0.0136, 0.0294, -0.0618, -0.043, -0.0908, -0.1121, -0.1112, -0.1743, -0.1998, -0.1155, -0.1547, -0.1845, -0.1845, -0.1338, -0.1692, -0.1738, -0.1585, -0.1721, -0.0988, -0.0899, 0.0349, 0.15, 0.228, 0.3213, 0.268, 0.236, 0.1994, 0.3021, 0.2522, 0.1892, 0.1219, 0.1576, 0.1679, 0.1619, 0.1219, 0.1453, 0.0929, 0.2045, 0.2416, 0.0665, 0.0285, 0.0328, 0.0673, -0.0503, -0.0439, -0.0183, 0.023, 0.0119, 0.0119, 0.0162, 0.0737, 0.0814, 0.1142, 0.1142, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2012522511741985059", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-17T13:48:52+00:00", "symbol": "POET Technologies", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm sure all players benefit both in engineering workarounds like $POET", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long POET, ALMU, and AXTI as beneficiaries of AI infrastructure bottleneck — engineering workarounds and direct exposure.", "resolved_tickers": ["POET"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "POET Technologies trades as POET on NASDAQ", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@crux_capital_ Great writeup! I'm sure all players benefit both in engineering workarounds like $POET and $ALMU as well as the bottleneck itself like $AXTI. \n\nLot of opportunities by identifying the right players.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Pretty much sums up my entire thesis I wrote on the 7th!\n$POET $ALMU $LITE $COHR\n\nHere are excerpts from the full piece -\n\nThe Infrastructure Crisis\nArtificial Intelligence creates an unprecedented computational demand and we have hit a physical wall. Data center architectures", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "crux_capital_", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007228966052757024, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007228966052757024, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.013127819670788021, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.017746681775974382, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.024975647828731407, "ret_p1w": -0.22168676027765022, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.22168676027765022, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2232337514051257, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.21776556527582858, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "bench_c_p1w": -0.003921195001821642, "ret_p1m": -0.3349397766173081, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3349397766173081, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.322202296047607, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.35272242567622447, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "bench_c_p1m": 0.017782649058916356, "ret_p3m": -0.11566265254049068, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11566265254049068, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13289112365437128, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.25155508530334547, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1358924327628548, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.112, -0.1193, -0.0084, -0.1072, -0.1482, -0.2012, -0.2313, -0.2241, -0.2048, -0.2831, -0.2723, -0.359, -0.3506, -0.3639, -0.3627, -0.3916, -0.4337, -0.4699, -0.4976, -0.4831, -0.488, -0.494, -0.4855, -0.4422, -0.4373, -0.4169, -0.4169, -0.4036, -0.4446, -0.4361, -0.2759, -0.2325, -0.2711, -0.2494, -0.1687, -0.1386, -0.1301, -0.2169, -0.2843, -0.2687, -0.2807, -0.2614, -0.1831, -0.0831, -0.1386, -0.1542, -0.1542, -0.1795, -0.212, -0.2145, -0.2373, -0.2373, -0.1373, -0.1048, -0.1145, -0.1024, -0.1229, -0.1096, -0.1313, -0.1398, -0.0253, 0.0012, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0072, 0.0084, -0.1639, -0.1675, -0.2217, -0.1819, -0.2506, -0.2831, -0.3012, -0.2964, -0.2723, -0.3241, -0.3759, -0.2928, -0.2518, -0.2964, -0.2976, -0.3193, -0.3277, -0.3277, -0.3349, -0.3277, -0.3289, -0.3145, -0.3349, -0.2639, -0.2337, -0.2482, -0.2771, -0.1675, -0.1518, -0.1759, -0.2, -0.2434, -0.194, -0.1566, -0.1036, -0.1036, -0.1771, -0.1675, -0.2084, -0.2554, -0.2494, -0.2855, -0.2699, -0.3084, -0.2651, -0.3386, -0.3747, -0.388, -0.2843, -0.3253, -0.2639, -0.2639, -0.2675, -0.2819, -0.2506, -0.2675, -0.1518, -0.1205, -0.1916, -0.1602, -0.1157, -0.1253, 0.0349, 0.2349, 0.5386, 0.412, 0.8193, -0.0422, -0.0325, -0.2048, -0.1422, -0.1193, -0.1434, 0.1096, 0.1711, 0.1542, 0.3193, 0.6747, 0.6542, 0.7313, 1.4783, 0.9241, 0.712, 0.5747, 0.7807, 0.7855, 0.7578, 0.7578, 0.6084, 0.6, 0.5976, 0.4807, 0.4807, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2012522511741985059", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-17T13:48:52+00:00", "symbol": "ALMU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm sure all players benefit both in engineering workarounds like $POET and $ALMU", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long POET, ALMU, and AXTI as beneficiaries of AI infrastructure bottleneck — engineering workarounds and direct exposure.", "resolved_tickers": ["ALMU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@crux_capital_ Great writeup! I'm sure all players benefit both in engineering workarounds like $POET and $ALMU as well as the bottleneck itself like $AXTI. \n\nLot of opportunities by identifying the right players.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Pretty much sums up my entire thesis I wrote on the 7th!\n$POET $ALMU $LITE $COHR\n\nHere are excerpts from the full piece -\n\nThe Infrastructure Crisis\nArtificial Intelligence creates an unprecedented computational demand and we have hit a physical wall. Data center architectures", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "crux_capital_", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.047729411042028436, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.047729411042028436, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02737262531848339, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02275376321329703, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.024975647828731407, "ret_p1w": -0.25579242248744605, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.25579242248744605, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2573394136149215, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2518712274856244, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "bench_c_p1w": -0.003921195001821642, "ret_p1m": -0.2594995552024083, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2594995552024083, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.24676207463270716, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.27728220426132466, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "bench_c_p1m": 0.017782649058916356, "ret_p3m": -0.19601480802553617, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.19601480802553617, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.21324327913941676, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.33190724078839096, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1358924327628548, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2943, -0.253, -0.2711, -0.2665, -0.26, -0.2581, -0.278, -0.2442, -0.241, -0.2813, -0.2776, -0.3272, -0.3184, -0.2873, -0.3327, -0.3489, -0.3786, -0.3675, -0.4064, -0.4055, -0.411, -0.4439, -0.4147, -0.3656, -0.3601, -0.3663, -0.3663, -0.3503, -0.3888, -0.3559, -0.2922, -0.2386, -0.2521, -0.2549, -0.2081, -0.1854, -0.1738, -0.1589, -0.2317, -0.2419, -0.3411, -0.335, -0.3281, -0.3109, -0.3105, -0.2544, -0.2544, -0.1624, -0.2099, -0.1942, -0.2044, -0.2044, -0.1752, -0.1084, -0.0714, -0.1029, 0.0361, 0.0301, 0.0519, 0.0473, -0.0056, 0.0023, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0477, -0.1358, -0.1821, -0.2243, -0.2558, -0.2178, -0.2053, -0.2044, -0.2683, -0.2658, -0.2625, -0.316, -0.3577, -0.3021, -0.3095, -0.2294, -0.222, -0.2875, -0.3313, -0.3313, -0.2595, -0.2623, -0.259, -0.2873, -0.2757, -0.1775, -0.2419, -0.2586, -0.2831, -0.1084, -0.1066, -0.1492, -0.2715, -0.304, -0.2864, -0.2669, -0.2549, -0.3146, -0.3137, -0.3082, -0.336, -0.3387, -0.3485, -0.3851, -0.3985, -0.3985, -0.4059, -0.4069, -0.4347, -0.4129, -0.3934, -0.4045, -0.3772, -0.3772, -0.4562, -0.4578, -0.4676, -0.5028, -0.5014, -0.2887, -0.3392, -0.2294, -0.196, -0.253, -0.2275, -0.1993, -0.0181, -0.133, -0.1101, -0.0741, -0.1237, -0.1117, 0.0792, 0.1854, 0.0639, 0.2685, 0.3172, 0.1108, 0.1311, 0.3058, 0.2563, 0.4592, 0.2349, 0.152, -0.038, 0.0165, -0.0292, 0.0802, 0.0491, 0.0491, 0.1288, 0.0737, 0.07, 0.0, 0.0, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2012522511741985059", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-17T13:48:52+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "as well as the bottleneck itself like $AXTI", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long POET, ALMU, and AXTI as beneficiaries of AI infrastructure bottleneck — engineering workarounds and direct exposure.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@crux_capital_ Great writeup! I'm sure all players benefit both in engineering workarounds like $POET and $ALMU as well as the bottleneck itself like $AXTI. \n\nLot of opportunities by identifying the right players.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Pretty much sums up my entire thesis I wrote on the 7th!\n$POET $ALMU $LITE $COHR\n\nHere are excerpts from the full piece -\n\nThe Infrastructure Crisis\nArtificial Intelligence creates an unprecedented computational demand and we have hit a physical wall. Data center architectures", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "crux_capital_", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0307831734032884, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0307831734032884, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010426387679743354, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005807525574556993, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.024975647828731407, "ret_p1w": -0.19420556296486768, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.19420556296486768, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.19575255409234316, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.19028436796304604, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "bench_c_p1w": -0.003921195001821642, "ret_p1m": 0.050701626262938504, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.050701626262938504, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06343910683263965, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03291897720402215, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "bench_c_p1m": 0.017782649058916356, "ret_p3m": 2.702127578741378, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.702127578741378, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.6848991076274973, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.5662351459785233, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1358924327628548, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7764, -0.7655, -0.7257, -0.7198, -0.7012, -0.6799, -0.6686, -0.6401, -0.617, -0.6134, -0.588, -0.5985, -0.5718, -0.5274, -0.522, -0.5029, -0.5274, -0.5274, -0.536, -0.5518, -0.5423, -0.5722, -0.5957, -0.5772, -0.5822, -0.5269, -0.5269, -0.5156, -0.5115, -0.4676, -0.4803, -0.4522, -0.4758, -0.4246, -0.3228, -0.2979, -0.2585, -0.3296, -0.3287, -0.4115, -0.4405, -0.3658, -0.3368, -0.311, -0.3373, -0.3205, -0.3205, -0.3042, -0.3395, -0.2847, -0.2598, -0.2598, -0.2413, -0.2454, -0.0869, 0.0914, 0.1693, 0.0407, 0.0068, -0.0263, 0.0005, 0.1643, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0308, -0.1046, -0.1888, -0.2123, -0.1942, -0.2214, -0.2381, -0.2585, -0.1607, -0.0521, -0.1064, -0.1512, -0.0751, 0.0892, 0.2571, 0.1023, 0.2132, 0.1222, 0.0973, 0.0973, 0.0507, 0.0656, 0.0779, 0.3436, 0.287, 0.588, 0.8547, 0.6804, 0.7157, 1.0969, 0.8904, 0.7714, 0.7565, 0.4654, 0.7456, 1.0054, 1.144, 1.1154, 1.2119, 1.1906, 1.0081, 1.2073, 1.6297, 1.4554, 1.9172, 2.0982, 2.0489, 1.6487, 1.7447, 1.3871, 1.5794, 1.134, 1.392, 1.392, 0.9009, 1.0579, 1.4074, 1.8574, 1.9054, 2.0081, 2.0466, 1.8488, 2.7021, 2.7374, 2.5654, 2.3938, 2.9357, 2.4074, 2.4477, 2.1756, 2.1105, 2.2173, 2.5862, 3.3459, 3.7986, 3.8687, 3.7456, 3.9081, 4.2675, 4.6953, 4.5636, 4.5201, 4.2051, 4.6034, 3.7931, 4.11, 3.7356, 4.4785, 5.3753, 5.3753, 5.0027, 4.5577, 4.2377, 3.67, 3.67, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2025112091967811613", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-21T07:35:22+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm extremely confident in core longs like $NBIS to strongly outperform in due time", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Extremely confident NBIS is a core long that will strongly outperform.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Year to Date: 316.4%\n\nFrom January 2026 into February 2026.\n\nReflection of my short term trades and longs:\n\n> Swing traded tax harvested stocks like $GLXY, $SMCI, and $IREN start of the year\n\n> Rode Venezuela stocks from Gold Reserve, $AVAV, to $CVX (calls) up\n\n> Bought into defense like $LPTH, $OSS, $AIRO after invasion from war + $ONDS “follow the leader” catalyst \n\n> Catalyst traded $INTC and timed earnings correctly. \n\n> Swing traded $CRDO off wire color change fears\n\n> Swing traded $MRVL after erroneous reporting on hyperscaler client losses\n\n> Got earnings right like $META\n\n> Portfolio margined into $NBIS and $CIFR on the major selloff to $70 and $11.\n\n> Swing trades things from $HOOD drop to $CRDO drop into recovery.\n\n> Bought Bitcoin dip to $73k and heavy margin on $62k into recovery\n\n> Recovery plays like $ETOR after selloff and ER helped.\n\n> Getting catalysts on companies like $RPI correct\n\n> Time lag arbitrages between Asian equities and European/US time zones.\n\n> IV expansion off $EWY and other indexes.\n\n> Timing rotation into power/grids like $XLU and currently swing trading stuff like $RDDT,\n\nI’m sure I missed a bunch but these were the main ones I posted about!\n\nOn the side I would day trade:\n\nEg. $ORCL 8% selloff from offering into recovery or random 10% selloffs on immaterial $SOFI sellside downgrades. \n\nI don’t post stuff like these on my main timeline since I don’t want to influence when people buy/sell. \n\nJust want to give directional ideas and let people come to their own conclusions. \n\nAside from that I’m happy everything went up today, including my hedges. \n\nThis is all while my core long portfolio from:\n\n- Photonics and memory from SK Hynix to $AXTI to supply chain bottlenecks like $AEHR and $FORM have been mogging Burry’s $PLTR $415/year returns.\n\n- Longs from Korean/Japanese equities like Nittobo, Kioxia, and Unimicron have hard carried US equity drawdowns.\n\nNot everything in my portfolio is green like $CRCL, $CPSH, $VLN, $NBIS or recently $INFQ.\n\nBut what matters is you have more concentration in green than red. This is all while SPY is YTD: .55% and most high beta stocks are heavily red YTD.\n\nI also don’t want people to follow along everything since sector rotation, option arbitrage, and substrate bottlenecks are hard to digest. Since I also rotate around like 30 different stocks based on macro/earning catalysts, whereas most people focus on a few and hold on for years. \n\nBut it does hurt when more if get something wrong with short term drawdowns from Q4 2025 (if people bought short term options) and it’s only now recovered past cost average. \n\nHowever, I’m extremely confident in core longs like $NBIS to strongly outperform in due time.\n\nHopefully people can take away one or two trade ideas that they find interesting or learn something!\n\n——\n\nJust some reflection, i think a reason for my recent popularity is I’m not trying to sell anything. This is also not my full time job (I run a tech company) and I was just doing this for enjoyment, so very surprised by the recent popularity.\n\nI do think my edge is probably information synthesis and mapping -> discovering alpha markets missed -> into actionable long ideas across fintech and semis.\n\nCompared to accounts that publish breaking news or excel in breakdowns of one or two specific stocks. \n\nRegardless, I publish all my ideas for free just to get fulfillment if I can help others. \n\nSo it does bring me gratitude that people find my ideas interesting or high-signal enough to listen.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "There’s different levels between traders:\n\nLevel 1: understanding financials, technicals, and catalysts\n\nLevel 2: becoming an analyst\n\nLevel 3: finding unpriced alpha\n\nLevel 4: finding free real estate time lag arbitrage methods\n\nLevel 5: making market makers cry after https://t.co/k5WCISQDTh", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02673692898407043, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02673692898407043, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03705359037113398, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.039219639066520706, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "bench_c_m1d": 0.012482710082450277, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01958057060681928, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01958057060681928, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012312117676424261, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012645694812916108, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0069348757939031724, "ret_p1w": -0.0954179347568096, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0954179347568096, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1012650204697012, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11717596242704698, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02175802767023738, "ret_p1m": 0.1421330182388103, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1421330182388103, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.18232440056327304, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1757267441881767, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03359372594936638, "ret_p3m": 1.1859655237210394, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.1859655237210394, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.094583306883255, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.1763392327493751, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "bench_c_p3m": 0.00962629097166423, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0588, -0.0588, -0.0571, -0.0046, -0.0413, -0.0168, 0.0218, -0.0255, -0.0028, -0.0417, -0.0698, -0.0629, -0.1284, -0.1935, -0.1954, -0.2501, -0.2238, -0.1108, -0.0734, -0.1052, -0.0942, -0.0942, -0.1294, -0.1448, -0.1535, -0.168, -0.168, -0.106, -0.0773, -0.0037, -0.0437, -0.0329, -0.0266, 0.0668, 0.0479, 0.0136, 0.0326, 0.0807, 0.0807, -0.0131, -0.0173, -0.0374, -0.0607, -0.0909, -0.0272, -0.0018, -0.0567, -0.1533, -0.1237, -0.106, -0.1811, -0.2658, -0.1442, -0.0768, -0.0877, -0.1193, -0.1081, -0.0258, -0.0258, -0.0307, 0.0118, 0.0696, -0.0267, 0.0, 0.0196, 0.0548, 0.0424, -0.0936, -0.0954, -0.1373, -0.0281, -0.0493, -0.1121, -0.0564, -0.0415, 0.1132, 0.0738, 0.1227, 0.2906, 0.1562, 0.1784, 0.2078, 0.1691, 0.1346, 0.1421, 0.1439, 0.0533, 0.0021, -0.083, 0.0313, 0.0133, 0.0816, 0.0816, 0.1186, 0.1669, 0.2424, 0.355, 0.4409, 0.5362, 0.6096, 0.6576, 0.6434, 0.5619, 0.582, 0.556, 0.5519, 0.5613, 0.4627, 0.4408, 0.3469, 0.4033, 0.3739, 0.5355, 0.7535, 0.7485, 0.9391, 0.8365, 0.7598, 0.8497, 0.7802, 1.0601, 1.1981, 1.1861, 0.9865, 0.9653, 0.9066, 1.186, 1.1347, 1.1347, 1.068, 1.0711, 1.2497, 1.2969, 1.2969, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2013895541277762034", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-21T08:44:48+00:00", "symbol": "VPG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$VPG is one of the least known robotic supply chain stocks. However, it's likely the single best asymmetrical exposure to robotics Humanoid ramp", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long VPG as the best asymmetric play on humanoid robotics ramp via Tesla Optimus and Figure AI; bull case $47–83B MC from $580M on BOM capture + 55% margins.", "resolved_tickers": ["VPG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Scientific & Technical Instruments'", "bench_c_industry": "Scientific & Technical Instruments", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$VPG is one of the least known robotic supply chain stocks.\n\nHowever, it's likely the single best asymmetrical exposure to robotics Humanoid ramp for\n\n- $TSLA Optimus\n\n~ Figure AI\n\nas this $580m company makes:\n\nest. ~3-9% BOM cost of every humanoid.\n\n$8.5B revenue may come from $TSLA alone ($850 midpoint * 10M) every year if Elon hits his 10M Giga Texas production target in 2027.\n\nThis is based on $VPG CEO's quote on value capture of $500–$1,200 per robot ($850 midpoint) and Elon's ambitious projections on production targets.\n\nAgain this math is extremely speculative, but Elon quotes $20-30k/humanoid at scale and you can derive an est. ~3%-9%+ of BOM from each Tesla Robot produced (if this does ever happen) for $VPG.\n\nIf you consider Elon Musk saying \"About 80% of Tesla's Value Could Eventually Come From Optimus Robots\": This looks like great exposure for robotics ramp for such a small company that's critical in the robotics supply chain.\n\nWhat I believe markets also missed is factoring in low end corporate margins to for blended margin estimates: ~40%\n\nHowever, the humanoid-specific gross margin at scale is projected to be 50% to 55% (and with current robotics ramp, blended margins would likely increase significantly).\n\nTheir integrated actuator/sensor Modules (sensor + housing + electronics) is likely directly tethered to humanoid exposure, (measurement systems segment which houses these complex assemblies), which the CEO said on their earnings call achieves margins of \"55% or so\".\n\nIn a bull case scenario where Elon hits his 10M humanoid projections in 2028 (single customer, not including Figure, OpenAI, or other potential customers)\n\n55% margin off $8.5B revenue at :\n\n- 20x P/E would be $47.6 Billion\n-30x P/E $83.3 Billion\n\nfrom $580m MC.\n\nIt sounds stupid, but when I look at $SMCI pre-server rack rally ($3 -> $113) or $SNDK's rally ($30 -> $453), it looks possible.\n\nAgain this is speculative best case possible scenario, but the operating leverage is the real story here.\n\nSo I think it's likely for this small $580m company to be strongly re-rated if the stars align for robotics ramp.\n\nNow downside risk:\n\n- The other humanoid provider is likely to be Figure due to timeline mapping. But this is not confirmed. (not taking credit for either mapping research, they were done by other analysts). These figures are hypothetical modeling based on third-party estimates like Citron, gross margins might be compressed if there's competitors or revenue ramp might not play out.\n\n- $TSLA has likely been using $VPG since 2022 and is starting to ramp up. There is always a risk they figure out the patented technology/materials in-house and drop a customer. This bull-case scenario is tethered to Tesla Optimus ramp and there's always a risk they get dropped that markets might price in.\n\n- Again this is a humanoid scale play. If Elon's projections are too ambitious and face delays, this might be stagnant like 2025 (which was still ~85% return).\n\nBut TLDR:\n\nMy opinion was that institutional analysts like Citron were way too early.\n\nHowever, given OpenAI's push into robotics last week:\n\nI believe 2026 to be the inflection point for robotics and $VPG likely captures the best exposure to Tesla and Humanoid robotics ramp.\n\nEspecially when a small company likely has high % BOM cost of each robot deployed and high gross margins:\n\nI've taken long positions to see where this ends up. Of course DYOR on this, I just wanted to share how I came to develop my own conviction on this long.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I've initiated positions in $VPG ($573m).\n\nThis is my actual/main robotics sector exposure going forward, tethered to $TSLA Optimus. \n\nMarkets have completely overlooked this robotics sector play:\n\nFor every Tesla Optimus deployed, $VPG likely takes an exceptionally high BOM for https://t.co/c21atQhoMe", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06601153731969323, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06601153731969323, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05460213493417854, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.052312969759923944, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011409402385514689, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013698567559769281, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02093568710714666, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02093568710714666, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.015712457087418974, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.013495254549206859, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005223230019727687, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007440432557939802, "ret_p1w": -0.05212566481141945, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05212566481141945, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06674481548805522, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08981428105690381, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014619150676635773, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03768861624548436, "ret_p1m": 0.0021362630033621155, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0021362630033621155, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.003478613920304907, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.027169227953641628, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0013423509169427916, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025032964950279513, "ret_p3m": 0.13565473804374406, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.13565473804374406, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09880692409877811, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05956700092025935, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.036847813944965946, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07608773712348471, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2205, -0.2318, -0.2081, -0.1854, -0.1812, -0.1997, -0.188, -0.2376, -0.229, -0.2927, -0.2959, -0.2696, -0.282, -0.2833, -0.3153, -0.3175, -0.3501, -0.3529, -0.3463, -0.3745, -0.335, -0.307, -0.2809, -0.2726, -0.2726, -0.2707, -0.2638, -0.2525, -0.2153, -0.2027, -0.1666, -0.1906, -0.2143, -0.1809, -0.1671, -0.1899, -0.1869, -0.176, -0.1871, -0.1839, -0.172, -0.1726, -0.1589, -0.1568, -0.1568, -0.1521, -0.1628, -0.1683, -0.1775, -0.1775, -0.1609, -0.1596, -0.1169, -0.1448, -0.1374, -0.1098, -0.1124, -0.1132, -0.1064, -0.0664, -0.0684, -0.0684, -0.066, 0.0, 0.0209, -0.057, -0.0825, -0.0391, -0.0521, 0.0763, 0.0699, 0.0818, 0.1284, 0.1515, 0.1117, 0.1959, 0.1765, 0.1448, -0.0081, -0.0028, -0.0558, -0.0558, -0.0299, -0.0167, 0.0021, 0.0222, 0.0, -0.0004, 0.032, 0.0096, -0.0158, 0.0515, 0.0164, 0.0036, -0.0389, -0.0716, -0.0692, -0.0485, -0.0626, -0.109, -0.1239, -0.1207, -0.128, -0.122, -0.0752, -0.1318, -0.0996, -0.0863, -0.028, -0.0916, -0.1124, -0.131, -0.0724, -0.0607, -0.0436, -0.0436, -0.0147, -0.0017, 0.0485, 0.0517, 0.066, 0.11, 0.1066, 0.0852, 0.0976, 0.1369, 0.1357, 0.1626, 0.2243, 0.2346, 0.295, 0.2514, 0.2222, 0.2021, 0.2907, 0.2865, 0.2824, 0.3662, 0.358, 0.3337, 0.4364, 0.4228, 0.828, 1.1278, 1.1436, 1.079, 1.2476, 1.0925, 1.1515, 1.2226, 1.4302, 1.4302, 1.6364, 1.69, 1.6757, 1.677, 1.677, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2015120952485625909", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-24T17:54:08+00:00", "symbol": "UAMY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$UAMY is an amazing long for antimony one of the only US players. $245m sole source contract is huge too for stockpiles.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strong long on UAMY as rare US antimony player with $245M sole-source contract; also implicitly long copper via COPX.", "resolved_tickers": ["UAMY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Other Industrial Metals & Mining'", "bench_c_industry": "Other Industrial Metals & Mining", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I've been looking into $SHMD awhile back since one of their customers was reportedly $AVGO. But still can't wrap my head around taking a long position yet.\n\nI put $COPX up there as Copper. \n\n$UAMY is an amazing long for antimony one of the only US players. $245m sole source contract is huge too for stockpiles.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What are your thoughts about $SHMD, $UAMY, Copper?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Ren_aramb", "ret_m1d": 0.14210530331260274, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.14210530331260274, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.1471577930871154, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.1433045069886698, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0050524897745126696, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0011992036760670732, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.043157878674958905, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.043157878674958905, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0391736139452743, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04415726612987003, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003984264729684606, "bench_c_p1d": -0.000999387454911127, "ret_p1w": -0.17263156489322062, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.17263156489322062, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.17650035777329887, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.16503617428352613, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0038687928800782423, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007595390609694497, "ret_p1m": -0.118947380467465, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.118947380467465, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11118099300648865, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.18550747337702966, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007766387460976354, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06656009290956466, "ret_p3m": 0.06526314584832438, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06526314584832438, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.039777262922467305, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.025079100480468686, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025485882925857073, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04018404536785569, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1158, -0.1221, -0.1505, -0.2589, -0.2663, -0.3305, -0.2568, -0.1242, -0.1926, -0.1505, -0.1979, -0.2432, -0.2232, -0.2789, -0.2547, -0.2905, -0.3811, -0.3821, -0.3811, -0.3905, -0.3905, -0.3905, -0.3568, -0.4232, -0.4358, -0.44, -0.3558, -0.3305, -0.3316, -0.3221, -0.3768, -0.3684, -0.4105, -0.4758, -0.4758, -0.5221, -0.5274, -0.4926, -0.4116, -0.3653, -0.3316, -0.3316, -0.3432, -0.4095, -0.4547, -0.4716, -0.4716, -0.3758, -0.2768, -0.2642, -0.1747, -0.22, -0.1947, -0.0979, -0.1842, -0.0758, -0.1274, -0.1274, -0.1274, -0.0242, -0.0411, 0.0726, 0.1421, 0.0, 0.0432, 0.0211, -0.1274, -0.2284, -0.1726, 0.0158, -0.1505, -0.2137, -0.0937, -0.1337, -0.1421, -0.1484, -0.2221, -0.1979, -0.1979, -0.2368, -0.2158, -0.1895, -0.2221, -0.1853, -0.1189, -0.0368, -0.0621, -0.0589, 0.1211, 0.0095, 0.0189, -0.0253, 0.0074, 0.0105, 0.1821, 0.1063, 0.0189, -0.0295, 0.1558, 0.0842, -0.0168, -0.0411, -0.1411, -0.0589, -0.0232, 0.0389, -0.0684, -0.0789, -0.1716, -0.0811, -0.1263, -0.0853, -0.0853, -0.1284, -0.1442, -0.0695, -0.0768, -0.12, -0.0221, -0.0137, 0.1263, 0.0968, 0.1126, 0.12, 0.06, 0.1158, 0.0653, 0.0253, 0.1768, 0.1379, 0.0505, 0.2642, 0.2789, 0.2368, 0.1737, 0.3274, 0.16, 0.1221, 0.1211, 0.1053, 0.0495, 0.0074, -0.0937, -0.1537, -0.2168, -0.1232, -0.1368, -0.1137, -0.1137, -0.0726, -0.0274, -0.0421, -0.0547, -0.0547, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2015120952485625909", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-24T17:54:08+00:00", "symbol": "COPX", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I put $COPX up there as Copper.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strong long on UAMY as rare US antimony player with $245M sole-source contract; also implicitly long copper via COPX.", "resolved_tickers": ["COPX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I've been looking into $SHMD awhile back since one of their customers was reportedly $AVGO. But still can't wrap my head around taking a long position yet.\n\nI put $COPX up there as Copper. \n\n$UAMY is an amazing long for antimony one of the only US players. $245m sole source contract is huge too for stockpiles.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What are your thoughts about $SHMD, $UAMY, Copper?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Ren_aramb", "ret_m1d": -0.023501358444504405, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.023501358444504405, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.018448868669991736, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.018448868669991736, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0050524897745126696, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0050524897745126696, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.026566715363822935, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.026566715363822935, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02258245063413833, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02258245063413833, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003984264729684606, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003984264729684606, "ret_p1w": -0.03269760244029751, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03269760244029751, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.036566395320375755, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.036566395320375755, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0038687928800782423, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0038687928800782423, "ret_p1m": 0.06005904638460424, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06005904638460424, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0678254338455806, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0678254338455806, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007766387460976354, "bench_c_p1m": -0.007766387460976354, "ret_p3m": -0.06380566110070818, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06380566110070818, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08929154402656525, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08929154402656525, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025485882925857073, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025485882925857073, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3029, -0.311, -0.3149, -0.3321, -0.3574, -0.3422, -0.334, -0.3248, -0.3063, -0.3122, -0.2976, -0.3151, -0.3217, -0.3349, -0.3484, -0.3361, -0.3629, -0.3523, -0.3343, -0.3274, -0.3093, -0.3093, -0.2867, -0.2805, -0.2828, -0.2515, -0.2545, -0.2456, -0.2519, -0.2579, -0.2406, -0.2329, -0.2441, -0.2372, -0.242, -0.2373, -0.2329, -0.2201, -0.1952, -0.1798, -0.1819, -0.1819, -0.1601, -0.1904, -0.1769, -0.1849, -0.1849, -0.1705, -0.1298, -0.1136, -0.1383, -0.1415, -0.1197, -0.0909, -0.0936, -0.0646, -0.0686, -0.083, -0.083, -0.0662, -0.0467, -0.0664, -0.0235, 0.0, 0.0266, 0.0443, 0.0698, -0.0371, -0.0327, 0.0304, -0.0167, -0.0769, -0.0386, 0.0108, 0.0017, 0.0232, -0.0106, -0.0016, -0.0016, -0.0375, -0.0161, -0.0223, 0.0115, 0.0314, 0.0601, 0.0792, 0.0723, 0.0865, 0.0627, -0.012, 0.0009, -0.0656, -0.0923, -0.0663, -0.057, -0.0657, -0.0947, -0.1327, -0.1069, -0.1155, -0.1493, -0.1782, -0.2157, -0.165, -0.1712, -0.1412, -0.1952, -0.187, -0.1968, -0.1332, -0.1127, -0.1274, -0.1274, -0.129, -0.1287, -0.0687, -0.074, -0.0518, -0.0364, -0.0187, -0.0227, -0.0212, -0.0101, -0.0208, -0.075, -0.0361, -0.0638, -0.0648, -0.0724, -0.1066, -0.1175, -0.0962, -0.1025, -0.1298, -0.1121, -0.0512, -0.0621, -0.024, -0.0056, 0.0305, 0.0435, 0.0148, -0.0571, -0.0707, -0.0989, -0.0655, -0.0574, -0.0537, -0.0537, -0.0065, -0.0226, 0.0041, 0.0007, 0.0007, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2012208047494500441", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-16T16:59:18+00:00", "symbol": "AVAV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I think the marketcaps follow the tech eventually", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AVAV, AIRO, and RKLB; expects market caps to follow their tech advancements.", "resolved_tickers": ["AVAV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Nerd_0ne Kamikaze drones from $AVAV to $AIRO are really cool. I think the marketcaps follow the tech eventually like $RKLB!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Kamikaze drones FTW! \n\nMoat - I was able to find 10 patents associated with \"Aspen Avionics\" (AIRO acquired in 2020). The newest was filed in 2023. Couldn't find any underneath \"AIRO\" or \"AIRO Group Holdings\"  Cheers 🍻 https://t.co/hyghDZ8RK3", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Nerd_0ne", "ret_m1d": -0.036374226340603055, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.036374226340603055, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03721280295303142, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02966358916241707, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0008385766124283656, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006710637178185985, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.21664203157620976, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.21664203157620976, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2131287167723196, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.20058454352461863, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0035133148038901663, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01605748805159113, "ret_p1m": -0.37924450386833586, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.37924450386833586, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.36491667430051566, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.4228035482156589, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014327829567820194, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04355904434732305, "ret_p3m": -0.4949345681225762, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4949345681225762, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5096695192471953, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5234605749931979, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014734951124619089, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02852600687062168, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0399, -0.0959, -0.0727, -0.0365, -0.0324, -0.0329, -0.0311, -0.0688, -0.0584, -0.0636, -0.0707, -0.1073, -0.1645, -0.1609, -0.1502, -0.1649, -0.177, -0.2478, -0.2587, -0.278, -0.2849, -0.2862, -0.3026, -0.3063, -0.2949, -0.2912, -0.2893, -0.2893, -0.2887, -0.3438, -0.3256, -0.3082, -0.2683, -0.2914, -0.281, -0.2837, -0.3757, -0.3643, -0.3916, -0.401, -0.4027, -0.4168, -0.4128, -0.3814, -0.3499, -0.3353, -0.3364, -0.3364, -0.3509, -0.3658, -0.3789, -0.3843, -0.3843, -0.3479, -0.243, -0.193, -0.1893, -0.1219, -0.0709, -0.0565, -0.0738, -0.0282, -0.0364, 0.0, 0.0, -0.1577, -0.1864, -0.2055, -0.2166, -0.2296, -0.212, -0.2187, -0.2536, -0.2914, -0.3128, -0.2735, -0.3451, -0.397, -0.3453, -0.3017, -0.3299, -0.3804, -0.4015, -0.3792, -0.3792, -0.3306, -0.3243, -0.283, -0.3264, -0.3348, -0.3325, -0.3504, -0.3392, -0.3579, -0.4697, -0.4189, -0.4235, -0.4386, -0.4151, -0.4214, -0.436, -0.4712, -0.4607, -0.4729, -0.4607, -0.4336, -0.4506, -0.462, -0.4967, -0.475, -0.5006, -0.4934, -0.5013, -0.5305, -0.5495, -0.5341, -0.5329, -0.5307, -0.5307, -0.5183, -0.5244, -0.5242, -0.5477, -0.5425, -0.5052, -0.5049, -0.4949, -0.4858, -0.5128, -0.498, -0.4653, -0.4652, -0.4861, -0.5004, -0.5018, -0.5104, -0.5329, -0.5036, -0.5292, -0.5412, -0.5757, -0.5562, -0.5719, -0.5716, -0.5763, -0.5702, -0.5902, -0.5793, -0.5978, -0.5889, -0.5921, -0.5829, -0.5849, -0.5565, -0.5565, -0.5361, -0.5386, -0.4543, -0.4725, -0.4725, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2012208047494500441", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-16T16:59:18+00:00", "symbol": "AIRO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I think the marketcaps follow the tech eventually", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AVAV, AIRO, and RKLB; expects market caps to follow their tech advancements.", "resolved_tickers": ["AIRO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Nerd_0ne Kamikaze drones from $AVAV to $AIRO are really cool. I think the marketcaps follow the tech eventually like $RKLB!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Kamikaze drones FTW! \n\nMoat - I was able to find 10 patents associated with \"Aspen Avionics\" (AIRO acquired in 2020). The newest was filed in 2023. Couldn't find any underneath \"AIRO\" or \"AIRO Group Holdings\"  Cheers 🍻 https://t.co/hyghDZ8RK3", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Nerd_0ne", "ret_m1d": -0.012715039472630196, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.012715039472630196, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.013553616085058562, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.006004402294444211, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0008385766124283656, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006710637178185985, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.088257316026629, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.088257316026629, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08474400122273884, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07219982797503788, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0035133148038901663, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01605748805159113, "ret_p1m": -0.31189230456149486, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.31189230456149486, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.29756447499367467, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3554513489088179, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014327829567820194, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04355904434732305, "ret_p3m": -0.3747195416428635, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3747195416428635, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.38945449276748256, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.40324554851348515, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014734951124619089, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02852600687062168, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3448, 0.279, 0.2902, 0.3074, 0.2962, 0.258, 0.2565, 0.2229, 0.2236, 0.2177, 0.0673, 0.0617, -0.0187, 0.0075, 0.0322, 0.0194, 0.0, -0.0464, -0.2446, -0.2274, -0.2625, -0.3366, -0.4121, -0.4024, -0.4114, -0.4136, -0.3837, -0.3837, -0.353, -0.3874, -0.3807, -0.3455, -0.2827, -0.2909, -0.2737, -0.282, -0.2726, -0.2745, -0.3642, -0.4046, -0.4248, -0.4458, -0.445, -0.3994, -0.3194, -0.3119, -0.3007, -0.3007, -0.3463, -0.3792, -0.3904, -0.3882, -0.3882, -0.3089, -0.2431, -0.166, -0.1967, -0.1062, -0.0658, -0.0666, -0.0366, -0.0105, -0.0127, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0479, -0.0898, -0.0628, -0.0883, -0.1436, -0.1249, -0.1511, -0.1832, -0.2304, -0.2483, -0.2378, -0.2857, -0.3657, -0.279, -0.2446, -0.2872, -0.3111, -0.3186, -0.3119, -0.3119, -0.3156, -0.2999, -0.2364, -0.3037, -0.2782, -0.2468, -0.2595, -0.2393, -0.267, -0.1997, -0.2476, -0.2461, -0.2341, -0.2461, -0.2109, -0.1975, -0.2147, -0.2393, -0.2678, -0.2468, -0.2057, -0.2536, -0.255, -0.3134, -0.2708, -0.2895, -0.2954, -0.3224, -0.3583, -0.359, -0.4312, -0.3852, -0.3485, -0.3485, -0.3455, -0.3463, -0.3403, -0.3957, -0.4106, -0.4121, -0.3957, -0.3747, -0.353, -0.3964, -0.3575, -0.3717, -0.3493, -0.3829, -0.4069, -0.3852, -0.4046, -0.439, -0.4286, -0.445, -0.4585, -0.4652, -0.4443, -0.46, -0.451, -0.4069, -0.4144, -0.4144, -0.5052, -0.5236, -0.5505, -0.5625, -0.5527, -0.5318, -0.5093, -0.5093, -0.4764, -0.4547, -0.3351, -0.3283, -0.3283, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2012208047494500441", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-16T16:59:18+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "marketcaps follow the tech eventually like $RKLB", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AVAV, AIRO, and RKLB; expects market caps to follow their tech advancements.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Nerd_0ne Kamikaze drones from $AVAV to $AIRO are really cool. I think the marketcaps follow the tech eventually like $RKLB!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Kamikaze drones FTW! \n\nMoat - I was able to find 10 patents associated with \"Aspen Avionics\" (AIRO acquired in 2020). The newest was filed in 2023. Couldn't find any underneath \"AIRO\" or \"AIRO Group Holdings\"  Cheers 🍻 https://t.co/hyghDZ8RK3", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Nerd_0ne", "ret_m1d": -0.05752856427792419, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05752856427792419, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.058367140890352553, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0508179270997382, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0008385766124283656, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006710637178185985, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.07684321174841158, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07684321174841158, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07332989694452141, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06078572369682045, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0035133148038901663, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01605748805159113, "ret_p1m": -0.29968847036111035, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.29968847036111035, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.28536064079329015, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3432475147084334, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014327829567820194, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04355904434732305, "ret_p3m": -0.2357217430765426, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2357217430765426, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2504566942011617, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.26424774994716427, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014734951124619089, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02852600687062168, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3209, -0.3711, -0.3399, -0.3296, -0.3186, -0.338, -0.313, -0.3674, -0.346, -0.363, -0.4126, -0.4141, -0.4848, -0.4638, -0.4611, -0.4679, -0.4811, -0.5301, -0.5271, -0.5503, -0.5558, -0.547, -0.59, -0.5815, -0.5592, -0.5576, -0.5646, -0.5646, -0.5624, -0.5808, -0.5649, -0.5356, -0.4873, -0.4906, -0.4646, -0.4452, -0.4027, -0.3403, -0.3615, -0.4246, -0.4238, -0.4397, -0.3778, -0.2677, -0.1947, -0.1985, -0.1985, -0.1985, -0.2664, -0.2719, -0.2684, -0.2756, -0.2756, -0.2109, -0.1886, -0.1066, -0.1269, -0.1373, -0.1189, -0.0872, -0.1009, -0.0467, -0.0575, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0741, -0.0881, -0.0864, -0.0768, -0.1643, -0.0966, -0.0803, -0.1103, -0.1685, -0.23, -0.1561, -0.2408, -0.3113, -0.249, -0.2125, -0.252, -0.2771, -0.3145, -0.2997, -0.2997, -0.2742, -0.2272, -0.2048, -0.2642, -0.2709, -0.2734, -0.271, -0.2456, -0.2825, -0.263, -0.2718, -0.2533, -0.2731, -0.272, -0.2577, -0.2842, -0.2528, -0.29, -0.2896, -0.2595, -0.1839, -0.2785, -0.2531, -0.3019, -0.2939, -0.3139, -0.2432, -0.3153, -0.3673, -0.4042, -0.3331, -0.3196, -0.2967, -0.2967, -0.2973, -0.3113, -0.2827, -0.307, -0.2934, -0.2667, -0.2501, -0.2357, -0.1388, -0.1194, -0.071, -0.1003, -0.065, -0.1215, -0.1726, -0.1455, -0.1839, -0.2002, -0.1432, -0.1816, -0.166, -0.1821, -0.121, -0.184, 0.0952, 0.2186, 0.2208, 0.2892, 0.3764, 0.2956, 0.362, 0.322, 0.3944, 0.3027, 0.4098, 0.4098, 0.487, 0.56, 0.5372, 0.4899, 0.4899, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2030426533303841126", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-07T23:33:03+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI gave projections of $378M/revenue off ~36-40% gross margins H2 2027 and they're a $7B MC. Don't care if someone sells their shares as long as they execute and hit projections.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish AAOI despite insider selling; $378M revenue at 36-40% gross margins H2 2027 at $7B MC makes insider sales immaterial if they execute.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Insider selling is probably the least material thing I look at if a company gives projections or serves as a bottleneck. \n\n$AAOI gave projections of $378M/revenue off ~36-40% gross margins H2 2027 and they're a $7B MC. \n\nDon't care if someone sells their shares as long as they execute and hit projections.  \n\nSame concern was said about $AXTI on Reddit 2 months ago when I first posted it around $12 and it's tripled since then.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What do you think of insider selling in AAOI?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Pomenyahu", "ret_m1d": -0.13596095228800786, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.13596095228800786, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12727699892365263, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12727699892365263, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08922432536725333, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08922432536725333, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09083145227262046, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09083145227262046, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "ret_p1w": -0.1496113057389088, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1496113057389088, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.13598839901471005, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.13598839901471005, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "ret_p1m": 0.0634604634674294, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0634604634674294, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08889242788704188, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08889242788704188, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6838, -0.6717, -0.7102, -0.7297, -0.7382, -0.7547, -0.7356, -0.7169, -0.6466, -0.6326, -0.6294, -0.6294, -0.664, -0.6678, -0.6744, -0.6849, -0.6849, -0.642, -0.6837, -0.651, -0.656, -0.7016, -0.6923, -0.6952, -0.691, -0.6884, -0.6655, -0.6652, -0.6652, -0.6451, -0.653, -0.6551, -0.6771, -0.6846, -0.662, -0.5911, -0.6423, -0.6058, -0.6008, -0.5831, -0.6393, -0.6553, -0.5995, -0.5669, -0.5617, -0.5625, -0.6023, -0.5981, -0.5981, -0.6031, -0.6073, -0.5753, -0.5328, -0.5122, -0.4913, -0.4746, -0.5146, -0.2386, -0.0733, -0.1381, -0.0986, -0.0857, -0.136, 0.0, 0.0892, 0.1482, -0.04, -0.1248, -0.1496, -0.2196, -0.1626, -0.0786, -0.2086, -0.1343, 0.0297, 0.0343, -0.1193, -0.1122, -0.2299, -0.2353, -0.2194, -0.0607, -0.0607, -0.0287, 0.0635, 0.1996, 0.205, 0.3614, 0.3848, 0.3234, 0.2886, 0.4222, 0.4411, 0.4778, 0.3611, 0.3508, 0.2451, 0.466, 0.3178, 0.2408, 0.3816, 0.4858, 0.6589, 0.5637, 0.6323, 0.614, 0.4242, 0.3464, 0.6715, 0.702, 1.0168, 0.8403, 0.7208, 0.5663, 0.5488, 0.4939, 0.5984, 0.6407, 0.6407, 0.6057, 0.6257, 0.5279, 0.432, 0.432, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2018559372033708259", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-03T05:37:11+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm long shares on $AXTI. AXT remains my most bullish material chokepoint play for the impending hyperscale photonics ramp in 2027 -> onward.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long AXTI as the InP substrate/precursor bottleneck for hyperscale photonics ramp; supply shortages expected H2 2026 into 2027+ buildout.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm long shares on $AXTI.\n\nWe're seeing the HBM/NAND supercycle with $SNDK, $MU, Sk Hynix, and Samsung today. \n\nWith constant price hikes due to extreme demand. \n\nThe next? -> Photonics | CPO | Optical Interconnects. \n\nDemand scale up looks parabolic. (Lightcounting)\n\nMy thesis was on on AXT was that they're the material bottleneck from InP Substrates to the precursor supply chain. And LightCounting's projections tripled the demand forecast in the past few months.\n\nThis is a physics/material problem. \n\nIn the future, Western supply chains can engineer away less InP substrates/feedstock usage with SiPh or $POET interposers. But hyperscalers can't get around it. \n\nCurrently, midstream bottlenecks like $LITE, $COHR, $AVGO, and others rely on Western supply chains like Sumitomo | JX (Japan).\n\nBut many precursors that companies these companies originated from China. After China's most recent export controls, the Japanese companies have some production, but without raw precursors, they are likely using inventory (maybe 1 year, there is no public information). \n\nBut as hyperscaler demand ramps up, the inventory will disappear, leaving more control of the supply chain to $AXTI. \n\nWe've already see $NVDA secure EML capacity (which uses InP). CPO CW lasers, SOA, and other components also use InP. \n\nThe \"shortage\" bottleneck is the same InP wafer lines that $AXTI chokepoints. \n\nJudging from the projections, I expect hyperscalers to start securing inventory for the 2028 ramp in 2026, leading to supply shortages H2 2026. \n\n$AXTI's main issue is export controls + 60D administrative delays. China is likely playing their hand with $AXTI to force American hyperscalers to become dependent on their supply chain over Japan. \n\nThis has been a double edged sword as seen with their pre-earnings release with delayed revenue recognition. But these export controls hurt their competitors in Sumitomo the most.  \n\nEven if we don't see 100% monthly price hikes upstream, the base-case is ramped up demand for InP substrates and precursors increasing AXT's bottom line revenue. \n\nAXT remains my most bullish material chokepoint play for the impending hyperscale photonics ramp in 2027 -> onward. \n\nBefore I expected this to be a short few month play for risk management, but after looking new data and architectures involving photonics, I think $AXTI will likely be a critical player for the AI buildout moving forward. \n\nMy thesis might be early, or perhaps this may very well be the inflection point.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Korean memory stocks likely have a lot of repricing to do. \n\nForward P/E for 2026 (Morgan Stanley): \n\nSK Hynix ~4.3x \nSamsung Electronics ~5.1x \n\nFor exposure: $EWY or $FLKR | $HY9H.\n\nEven after going up 15-30% every month, they're cheaper than ever. https://t.co/lzUH0jWxk1", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.06079031291049897, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06079031291049897, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.052262813088238325, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03491521550948118, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008527499822260642, "bench_c_m1d": 0.025875097401017788, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05015196467056926, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05015196467056926, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.045308042991672126, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010773560047441566, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004843921678897134, "bench_c_p1d": -0.039378404623127694, "ret_p1w": 0.23353600120586182, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.23353600120586182, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.22977990713895147, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2157326990024846, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0037560940669103537, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017803302203377225, "ret_p1m": 0.9822695806393482, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.9822695806393482, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.9886508043939316, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.9786988366897222, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.006381223754583387, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0035707439496259763, "ret_p3m": 3.8632219408866852, "ret_signed_p3m": 3.8632219408866852, "alpha_spy_p3m": 3.815235482636286, "alpha_c_p3m": 3.58123638286576, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.047986458250399266, "bench_c_p3m": 0.28198555802092495, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5507, -0.5208, -0.4711, -0.465, -0.4438, -0.4711, -0.4711, -0.4807, -0.4985, -0.4878, -0.5213, -0.5476, -0.5268, -0.5324, -0.4706, -0.4706, -0.458, -0.4534, -0.4043, -0.4184, -0.387, -0.4134, -0.3561, -0.2421, -0.2143, -0.1702, -0.2497, -0.2487, -0.3414, -0.3739, -0.2903, -0.2579, -0.229, -0.2584, -0.2396, -0.2396, -0.2214, -0.2609, -0.1996, -0.1717, -0.1717, -0.151, -0.1555, 0.0218, 0.2214, 0.3085, 0.1646, 0.1266, 0.0897, 0.1196, 0.3029, 0.119, 0.119, 0.0846, 0.002, -0.0922, -0.1185, -0.0983, -0.1287, -0.1474, -0.1702, -0.0608, 0.0608, 0.0, -0.0502, 0.035, 0.2188, 0.4068, 0.2335, 0.3576, 0.2558, 0.228, 0.228, 0.1758, 0.1925, 0.2062, 0.5035, 0.4402, 0.7771, 1.0755, 0.8804, 0.92, 1.3465, 1.1155, 0.9823, 0.9656, 0.6398, 0.9534, 1.2442, 1.3992, 1.3673, 1.4752, 1.4514, 1.2472, 1.4701, 1.9428, 1.7477, 2.2644, 2.4671, 2.4119, 1.964, 2.0714, 1.6712, 1.8865, 1.388, 1.6768, 1.6768, 1.1272, 1.3029, 1.694, 2.1976, 2.2513, 2.3663, 2.4093, 2.1879, 3.1429, 3.1824, 2.9899, 2.7979, 3.4043, 2.8131, 2.8582, 2.5537, 2.4807, 2.6003, 3.0132, 3.8632, 4.3698, 4.4483, 4.3105, 4.4924, 4.8946, 5.3734, 5.2259, 5.1773, 4.8247, 5.2705, 4.3637, 4.7183, 4.2994, 5.1307, 6.1342, 6.1342, 5.7173, 5.2194, 4.8612, 4.2259, 4.2259, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2016621132632510939", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-28T21:15:19+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Hope it goes up even more over the next few weeks, capex spend was overblown since they're printing money and growing at astounding rates.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish META from here; capex fears overblown, strong cash generation and growth rates support further upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Btw this $META call at $625 was only 2 weeks ago. 🎯\n\nHope it goes up even more over the next few weeks, capex spend was overblown since they’re printing money and growing at astounding rates. https://t.co/ElqIsW49al", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I added positions in $META at $625\n\nMy theory:\n\nBig beautiful bill wrecked their last earnings despite record beat. \n\nThis caused an speculated algorithmic selloff from artificially low looking EPS (-80% drop)\n\nThis works in reverse for next earnings.\n\nQ4 earnings -&gt; EPS looks https://t.co/IwOckolGLW", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.006340401233239978, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006340401233239978, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006239721194140291, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005055621701289592, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00010068003909968759, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012847795319503863, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10404802222031617, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10404802222031617, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10603240466928598, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07800950466368395, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019843824489698125, "bench_c_p1d": 0.026038517556632224, "ret_p1w": 0.0003888701472416489, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0003888701472416489, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.013661385931081904, "alpha_c_p1w": -3.941154896369703e-05, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013272515783840255, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00042828169620534595, "ret_p1m": -0.01752564766245379, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.01752564766245379, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.008725208965024711, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.017268665533397454, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00880043869742908, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0002569821290563379, "ret_p3m": 0.01565812093231278, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.01565812093231278, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.015550579019961042, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.020544124774326766, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031208699952273822, "bench_c_p3m": -0.004886003842013986, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0313, -0.0472, -0.0627, -0.0498, -0.0752, -0.0711, -0.0561, -0.063, -0.09, -0.0887, -0.0894, -0.1005, -0.107, -0.118, -0.1197, -0.1121, -0.084, -0.0494, -0.0533, -0.0533, -0.0319, -0.0424, -0.0331, -0.0443, -0.0116, 0.0062, -0.0037, -0.0184, -0.0286, -0.0248, -0.0374, -0.0317, -0.0173, -0.0288, -0.0064, -0.0149, -0.0108, -0.0057, -0.0018, -0.0018, -0.0081, -0.015, -0.0042, -0.0129, -0.0129, -0.0274, -0.0149, -0.0121, -0.03, -0.0339, -0.0234, -0.04, -0.0563, -0.0796, -0.0717, -0.0725, -0.0725, -0.0966, -0.0834, -0.0316, -0.0149, 0.0054, 0.0063, 0.0, 0.104, 0.0714, 0.0563, 0.0343, 0.0004, 0.0022, -0.0109, 0.0127, 0.003, -0.0001, -0.0283, -0.0433, -0.0433, -0.044, -0.0381, -0.0358, -0.0195, -0.0471, -0.044, -0.0225, -0.0175, -0.0307, -0.0227, -0.0204, -0.0015, -0.0122, -0.0357, -0.0319, -0.0219, -0.0207, -0.0457, -0.0823, -0.0609, -0.0681, -0.0785, -0.092, -0.1115, -0.0959, -0.1126, -0.1097, -0.1805, -0.2132, -0.1972, -0.1437, -0.1331, -0.1402, -0.1402, -0.1424, -0.1394, -0.0834, -0.0595, -0.0573, -0.0503, -0.0085, 0.0051, 0.013, 0.0305, 0.0041, 0.001, 0.0098, -0.0135, 0.0103, 0.0157, 0.0048, 0.0014, -0.0842, -0.0889, -0.0864, -0.0946, -0.0827, -0.0768, -0.0876, -0.1037, -0.0975, -0.0771, -0.0744, -0.0807, -0.0852, -0.0981, -0.0944, -0.091, -0.0867, -0.0867, -0.0835, -0.0492, -0.0492, -0.0534, -0.0534, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2028754498710290457", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-03T08:48:59+00:00", "symbol": "IQE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Photonics is a new paradigm shift for AI for the foreseeable future and institutions are aggressively repositioning into upstream bottlenecks in the photonics supply chains", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish on photonics supply chain — IQE, AAOI, and Lumentum repricing higher as optical transceiver boom and $4.5B AAOI ARR projection drive institutional flows into upstream photonics.", "resolved_tickers": ["IQE.L"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "IQE plc LSE-listed epiwafer supplier", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The two largest photonics epiwafer fabs \n\n- $IQE ( $LITE supplier) is up 62.53% this week\n\n- Landmark is up 23.95% this week.\n\nAnd they’re both on a tear. \n\nBoth are up 7-9% today so far. \n\nMarkets are probably pricing in the optical transceiver boom signaled from $AAOI earnings and Nvidia’s investment into Coherent and Lumentum.\n\nPhotonics is a new paradigm shift for AI  for the foreseeable future and institutions are aggressively repositioning into upstream bottlenecks in the photonics supply chains.\n\nMarkets are typically forward looking, so if companies like $AAOI project $4.5B ARR a year from now, then AAOI along with the entire supply chain will start to get repriced in now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.015384600712702867, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.015384600712702867, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.024277322656746647, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05458579026302701, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00889272194404378, "bench_c_m1d": 0.039201189550324145, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03269232236422015, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03269232236422015, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.025637014011135495, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012132795449894873, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007055308353084655, "bench_c_p1d": 0.020559526914325277, "ret_p1w": -0.12692304757925177, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12692304757925177, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.12229285528908418, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.14295636485234464, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00463019229016759, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016033317273092873, "ret_p1m": -0.03461536994347203, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03461536994347203, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.00036643040324013665, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03694238796574634, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03424893954023189, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0023270180222743075, "ret_p3m": 0.8269230769230769, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.8269230769230769, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.7119555013131702, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.29536782602825307, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11496757560990667, "bench_c_p3m": 0.5315552508948238, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.8046, -0.8069, -0.8069, -0.8065, -0.8027, -0.7996, -0.8123, -0.8115, -0.8087, -0.809, -0.8058, -0.8038, -0.8027, -0.8087, -0.809, -0.809, -0.809, -0.809, -0.8077, -0.8077, -0.8077, -0.8019, -0.8065, -0.8046, -0.7854, -0.7635, -0.7177, -0.5985, -0.6204, -0.6538, -0.6865, -0.6981, -0.6565, -0.7004, -0.7062, -0.7, -0.6912, -0.7058, -0.7054, -0.6915, -0.7019, -0.6958, -0.6912, -0.7038, -0.6942, -0.6996, -0.6954, -0.6858, -0.6154, -0.6062, -0.6038, -0.5923, -0.5962, -0.5915, -0.5977, -0.6008, -0.5969, -0.5085, -0.5308, -0.3838, -0.2308, -0.2692, -0.0154, 0.0, 0.0327, -0.175, -0.2438, -0.2662, -0.1269, -0.0654, -0.1269, -0.1058, -0.1115, -0.1692, -0.0173, -0.1212, -0.0923, -0.0962, -0.0173, 0.1346, 0.0231, -0.0577, -0.1115, -0.0615, -0.0346, -0.0923, -0.0923, -0.0923, -0.0192, 0.1038, 0.1538, 0.4231, 0.8885, 0.8385, 1.0769, 1.2538, 1.0038, 1.2538, 1.4231, 1.4077, 0.9135, 0.8308, 0.9, 0.5481, 0.5538, 0.6635, 0.5827, 0.5827, 0.9231, 0.7135, 0.7558, 0.8115, 1.0962, 0.8135, 0.9423, 0.9077, 0.7692, 0.5038, 0.2308, 0.4442, 0.5327, 0.7596, 0.7596, 1.0769, 0.95, 0.8327, 0.8269, 0.8269, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2028754498710290457", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-03T08:48:59+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if companies like $AAOI project $4.5B ARR a year from now, then AAOI along with the entire supply chain will start to get repriced in now", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish on photonics supply chain — IQE, AAOI, and Lumentum repricing higher as optical transceiver boom and $4.5B AAOI ARR projection drive institutional flows into upstream photonics.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The two largest photonics epiwafer fabs \n\n- $IQE ( $LITE supplier) is up 62.53% this week\n\n- Landmark is up 23.95% this week.\n\nAnd they’re both on a tear. \n\nBoth are up 7-9% today so far. \n\nMarkets are probably pricing in the optical transceiver boom signaled from $AAOI earnings and Nvidia’s investment into Coherent and Lumentum.\n\nPhotonics is a new paradigm shift for AI  for the foreseeable future and institutions are aggressively repositioning into upstream bottlenecks in the photonics supply chains.\n\nMarkets are typically forward looking, so if companies like $AAOI project $4.5B ARR a year from now, then AAOI along with the entire supply chain will start to get repriced in now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0752045948578488, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0752045948578488, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06631187291380503, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06631187291380503, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00889272194404378, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00889272194404378, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04583598609648032, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04583598609648032, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.038780677743395664, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.038780677743395664, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007055308353084655, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007055308353084655, "ret_p1w": 0.2637927679034704, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2637927679034704, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.268422960193638, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.268422960193638, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00463019229016759, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00463019229016759, "ret_p1m": -0.0942940865228109, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0942940865228109, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06004514698257901, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06004514698257901, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03424893954023189, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03424893954023189, "ret_p3m": 0.6615272681645055, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6615272681645055, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5465596925545988, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5465596925545988, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11496757560990667, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11496757560990667, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7248, -0.7211, -0.708, -0.6814, -0.6331, -0.619, -0.6637, -0.6864, -0.6962, -0.7153, -0.6932, -0.6715, -0.5899, -0.5737, -0.57, -0.57, -0.6101, -0.6145, -0.6222, -0.6344, -0.6344, -0.5846, -0.633, -0.595, -0.6008, -0.6538, -0.643, -0.6463, -0.6415, -0.6385, -0.6119, -0.6115, -0.6115, -0.5882, -0.5974, -0.5999, -0.6253, -0.634, -0.6078, -0.5256, -0.585, -0.5426, -0.5368, -0.5163, -0.5815, -0.6001, -0.5353, -0.4975, -0.4914, -0.4923, -0.5386, -0.5337, -0.5337, -0.5394, -0.5444, -0.5072, -0.4579, -0.434, -0.4098, -0.3904, -0.4369, -0.1165, 0.0752, 0.0, 0.0458, 0.0608, 0.0025, 0.1603, 0.2638, 0.3322, 0.1138, 0.0154, -0.0133, -0.0945, -0.0284, 0.069, -0.0818, 0.0044, 0.1947, 0.2, 0.0218, 0.0301, -0.1065, -0.1128, -0.0943, 0.0899, 0.0899, 0.127, 0.2339, 0.3919, 0.3982, 0.5796, 0.6068, 0.5355, 0.4952, 0.6501, 0.6721, 0.7146, 0.5793, 0.5672, 0.4446, 0.701, 0.5291, 0.4397, 0.603, 0.7239, 0.9248, 0.8143, 0.894, 0.8727, 0.6525, 0.5622, 0.9394, 0.9748, 1.34, 1.1352, 0.9966, 0.8173, 0.797, 0.7334, 0.8545, 0.9036, 0.9036, 0.863, 0.8862, 0.7728, 0.6615, 0.6615, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2028754498710290457", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-03T08:48:59+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "institutions are aggressively repositioning into upstream bottlenecks in the photonics supply chains", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish on photonics supply chain — IQE, AAOI, and Lumentum repricing higher as optical transceiver boom and $4.5B AAOI ARR projection drive institutional flows into upstream photonics.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The two largest photonics epiwafer fabs \n\n- $IQE ( $LITE supplier) is up 62.53% this week\n\n- Landmark is up 23.95% this week.\n\nAnd they’re both on a tear. \n\nBoth are up 7-9% today so far. \n\nMarkets are probably pricing in the optical transceiver boom signaled from $AAOI earnings and Nvidia’s investment into Coherent and Lumentum.\n\nPhotonics is a new paradigm shift for AI  for the foreseeable future and institutions are aggressively repositioning into upstream bottlenecks in the photonics supply chains.\n\nMarkets are typically forward looking, so if companies like $AAOI project $4.5B ARR a year from now, then AAOI along with the entire supply chain will start to get repriced in now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.12790347228808052, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.12790347228808052, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.11901075034403674, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.11901075034403674, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00889272194404378, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00889272194404378, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01962761549266223, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01962761549266223, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.026682923845746886, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.026682923845746886, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007055308353084655, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007055308353084655, "ret_p1w": -0.03229986163090948, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03229986163090948, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.027669669340741887, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.027669669340741887, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00463019229016759, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00463019229016759, "ret_p1m": 0.1011189500437748, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1011189500437748, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1353678895840067, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1353678895840067, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03424893954023189, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03424893954023189, "ret_p3m": 0.23116805292110132, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.23116805292110132, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11620047731119465, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.11620047731119465, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11496757560990667, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11496757560990667, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5279, -0.5228, -0.5067, -0.4811, -0.4729, -0.4642, -0.5329, -0.518, -0.5447, -0.5388, -0.5145, -0.4651, -0.4386, -0.4421, -0.4299, -0.4299, -0.4373, -0.4634, -0.4655, -0.4692, -0.4692, -0.444, -0.4858, -0.4277, -0.4342, -0.4985, -0.4939, -0.5106, -0.4797, -0.5225, -0.5057, -0.5331, -0.5331, -0.4862, -0.4781, -0.4895, -0.5116, -0.5213, -0.4662, -0.4456, -0.4507, -0.4357, -0.3903, -0.3734, -0.3296, -0.2736, -0.2051, -0.1689, -0.192, -0.1733, -0.1598, -0.1896, -0.1896, -0.1354, -0.1442, -0.0847, -0.0384, -0.0284, -0.0089, 0.0417, -0.0251, 0.0093, 0.1279, 0.0, -0.0196, -0.0628, -0.1958, -0.0774, -0.0323, -0.0323, -0.1128, -0.1036, -0.1002, -0.0646, 0.0092, 0.1119, 0.0172, 0.0497, 0.1549, 0.1191, -0.0081, 0.012, -0.0571, 0.012, 0.1011, 0.1907, 0.1907, 0.1121, 0.1747, 0.2903, 0.2876, 0.2921, 0.2545, 0.228, 0.1866, 0.2834, 0.2875, 0.289, 0.2052, 0.258, 0.2195, 0.2696, 0.238, 0.1396, 0.236, 0.2994, 0.3679, 0.4057, 0.4322, 0.3598, 0.2853, 0.3015, 0.5165, 0.429, 0.4838, 0.4426, 0.3978, 0.2744, 0.2818, 0.25, 0.3889, 0.3636, 0.3636, 0.3116, 0.2994, 0.2393, 0.2312, 0.2312, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2034099575108391411", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-18T02:48:25+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI is still undervalued at $6b", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Even in a downside execution scenario, AAOI remains undervalued at $6B market cap.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@HeLiuLeo even if they can’t scale up internal laser fab (buying from $COHR) and end up as a US Innolight/eoptolink, $AAOI is still undervalued at $6b", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What do you make of execution risks?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "HeLiuLeo", "ret_m1d": -0.06801247553886569, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06801247553886569, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08216358042540872, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08216358042540872, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.014151104886543031, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014151104886543031, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10029149509863067, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10029149509863067, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10275583558382251, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10275583558382251, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0024643404851918405, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0024643404851918405, "ret_p1w": 0.2351290840385698, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2351290840385698, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.239386832975081, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.239386832975081, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0042577489365112076, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0042577489365112076, "ret_p1m": 0.6983699880053034, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6983699880053034, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.63465013576395, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.63465013576395, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06371985224135335, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06371985224135335, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6619, -0.5779, -0.5613, -0.5574, -0.5574, -0.5987, -0.6033, -0.6111, -0.6237, -0.6237, -0.5725, -0.6223, -0.5832, -0.5892, -0.6436, -0.6325, -0.636, -0.631, -0.6279, -0.6006, -0.6001, -0.6001, -0.5762, -0.5857, -0.5881, -0.6144, -0.6233, -0.5964, -0.5117, -0.5728, -0.5292, -0.5233, -0.5021, -0.5693, -0.5884, -0.5218, -0.4828, -0.4765, -0.4775, -0.5251, -0.52, -0.52, -0.526, -0.531, -0.4928, -0.4421, -0.4175, -0.3925, -0.3726, -0.4204, -0.0907, 0.1067, 0.0293, 0.0764, 0.0919, 0.0318, 0.1942, 0.3008, 0.3712, 0.1464, 0.0451, 0.0155, -0.068, 0.0, 0.1003, -0.0549, 0.0338, 0.2296, 0.2351, 0.0517, 0.0602, -0.0803, -0.0868, -0.0678, 0.1218, 0.1218, 0.16, 0.27, 0.4326, 0.4391, 0.6258, 0.6538, 0.5804, 0.5389, 0.6984, 0.721, 0.7648, 0.6255, 0.6131, 0.4869, 0.7507, 0.5738, 0.4818, 0.6499, 0.7744, 0.9811, 0.8674, 0.9494, 0.9275, 0.7009, 0.6079, 0.9961, 1.0326, 1.4085, 1.1977, 1.0551, 0.8705, 0.8496, 0.7841, 0.9088, 0.9593, 0.9593, 0.9175, 0.9414, 0.8247, 0.7101, 0.7101, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2036638807496499687", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-25T02:58:25+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "That's $AXTI with the InP substrate + feedstock supply chain and hyperscalers", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AXTI: irreplaceable InP substrate/feedstock bottleneck means hyperscalers will pay a massive premium over raw cost — traditional P/S or P/E metrics miss this.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I keep this all over X:\n\nStop trying to model bottlenecks with traditional metrics like P/S or P/E…\n\nFor $AXTI:\n\nIt’s like you found a restroom after eating 20 Tacos with Pinto Beans from Taco Bell.\n\nYou’re out of the toilet paper… but it’s urgent.\n\nA random guy next to you offers you toilet paper for $20. \n\nBut the toilet paper raw cost is $1 from Amazon.\n\nBut because there’s no supply, and you need that Toilet Paper:\n\nYou’re happy to pay $20.\n\nThat’s $AXTI with the InP substrate + feedstock supply chain and hyperscalers.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01618417211551959, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01618417211551959, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.021726047527120373, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02728635445663896, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005541875411600783, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011102182341119371, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.1312546451799047, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.1312546451799047, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.113395901021766, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0856930362973023, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017858744158138706, "bench_c_p1d": -0.04556160888260241, "ret_p1w": -0.3000742322546339, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.3000742322546339, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2976686765891169, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2824059750568042, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002405555665517034, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017668257197829718, "ret_p1m": 0.117594630265486, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.117594630265486, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03898861292879574, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08998899804995086, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07860601733669026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.20758362831543686, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7718, -0.7834, -0.7654, -0.7572, -0.7572, -0.7512, -0.7525, -0.7005, -0.642, -0.6165, -0.6586, -0.6698, -0.6806, -0.6719, -0.6181, -0.672, -0.672, -0.6821, -0.7063, -0.7339, -0.7416, -0.7357, -0.7446, -0.7501, -0.7568, -0.7247, -0.6891, -0.7069, -0.7216, -0.6967, -0.6428, -0.5877, -0.6385, -0.6021, -0.6319, -0.6401, -0.6401, -0.6554, -0.6505, -0.6465, -0.5593, -0.5779, -0.4791, -0.3917, -0.4488, -0.4373, -0.3122, -0.38, -0.419, -0.4239, -0.5194, -0.4275, -0.3422, -0.2968, -0.3062, -0.2745, -0.2815, -0.3414, -0.276, -0.1375, -0.1947, -0.0432, 0.0162, 0.0, -0.1313, -0.0998, -0.2171, -0.154, -0.3001, -0.2154, -0.2154, -0.3765, -0.325, -0.2104, -0.0628, -0.0471, -0.0134, -0.0007, -0.0656, 0.2143, 0.2258, 0.1694, 0.1131, 0.2909, 0.1176, 0.1308, 0.0416, 0.0202, 0.0552, 0.1762, 0.4254, 0.5739, 0.5969, 0.5565, 0.6098, 0.7277, 0.868, 0.8248, 0.8105, 0.7072, 0.8379, 0.5721, 0.676, 0.5532, 0.7969, 1.091, 1.091, 0.9688, 0.8229, 0.7179, 0.5317, 0.5317, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2016368174695120903", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-28T04:30:09+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Coreweave is a clear short to me purely because a large part of their revenue will be used to pay off debt interest. Then you compound that with GPU depreciation.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Short CRWV on debt interest burden + GPU depreciation; long NBIS and CIFR as a hedge in a pair trade.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$CRWV is probably the only $50B+ company I can think of that is likely going to go bankrupt. At least $ORCL has a profitable core business and owns tons of assets like  15% of Tiktok.  \n\nCoreweave is a clear short to me purely because a large part of their revenue will be used to pay off debt interest. Then you compound that with GPU depreciation. \n\nBut it's a good idea to hedge. I would personally long $NBIS, $CIFR short $CRWV, seems decent for long term. Nvidia is keeping them alive for now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit lost my shirt shorting $CRWV this month.... will try again after march. I think it's a very clear short, just don't have the money to short it now.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "feanor_legend", "ret_m1d": 0.026787436872371284, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.026787436872371284, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.026686756833271597, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.026686756833271597, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00010068003909968759, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00010068003909968759, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06121484690873147, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06121484690873147, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.059230464459761656, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.059230464459761656, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019843824489698125, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0019843824489698125, "ret_p1w": -0.2222222062307012, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2222222062307012, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.20894969044686096, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.20894969044686096, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013272515783840255, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013272515783840255, "ret_p1m": -0.07913600882194649, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07913600882194649, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07033557012451741, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07033557012451741, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00880043869742908, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00880043869742908, "ret_p3m": 0.056970393385900486, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.056970393385900486, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.025761693433626665, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.025761693433626665, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031208699952273822, "bench_c_p3m": 0.031208699952273822, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2612, 0.1915, 0.0918, 0.0792, 0.0086, -0.019, -0.0039, -0.1663, -0.1942, -0.2611, -0.2703, -0.2895, -0.2935, -0.2933, -0.3472, -0.3242, -0.3058, -0.3276, -0.2993, -0.2993, -0.3103, -0.2732, -0.2829, -0.2515, -0.1912, -0.1671, -0.1866, -0.1449, -0.1685, -0.1758, -0.2587, -0.3176, -0.3445, -0.3912, -0.3616, -0.2171, -0.1999, -0.243, -0.2561, -0.2561, -0.2792, -0.2933, -0.303, -0.3246, -0.3246, -0.2518, -0.275, -0.2649, -0.272, -0.2729, -0.2441, -0.1518, -0.1749, -0.153, -0.1038, -0.0452, -0.0452, -0.1019, -0.1129, -0.1342, -0.123, -0.0727, 0.0268, 0.0, -0.0612, -0.121, -0.1611, -0.1505, -0.2222, -0.2959, -0.1516, -0.0871, -0.1029, -0.1025, -0.0973, -0.0941, -0.0941, -0.1417, -0.0997, -0.0838, -0.1582, -0.1432, -0.0634, -0.0756, -0.0791, -0.2496, -0.2638, -0.3041, -0.2501, -0.2943, -0.3115, -0.2982, -0.2933, -0.2269, -0.2467, -0.235, -0.1902, -0.2254, -0.2188, -0.2392, -0.2316, -0.2269, -0.2169, -0.1739, -0.2412, -0.2944, -0.3478, -0.2693, -0.2601, -0.2243, -0.2243, -0.2366, -0.196, -0.1615, -0.1322, -0.0379, 0.0401, 0.1055, 0.1195, 0.1277, 0.1022, 0.1076, 0.0862, 0.1558, 0.1075, 0.0389, 0.057, -0.0046, 0.0771, 0.0526, 0.1225, 0.1831, 0.2063, 0.3015, 0.2152, 0.0767, 0.0819, 0.0163, 0.0499, 0.0773, 0.0121, -0.0212, -0.0586, -0.0447, 0.0147, -0.005, -0.005, -0.0012, -0.0165, 0.0079, 0.0331, 0.0331, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2016368174695120903", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-28T04:30:09+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I would personally long $NBIS, $CIFR short $CRWV, seems decent for long term.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Short CRWV on debt interest burden + GPU depreciation; long NBIS and CIFR as a hedge in a pair trade.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$CRWV is probably the only $50B+ company I can think of that is likely going to go bankrupt. At least $ORCL has a profitable core business and owns tons of assets like  15% of Tiktok.  \n\nCoreweave is a clear short to me purely because a large part of their revenue will be used to pay off debt interest. Then you compound that with GPU depreciation. \n\nBut it's a good idea to hedge. I would personally long $NBIS, $CIFR short $CRWV, seems decent for long term. Nvidia is keeping them alive for now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit lost my shirt shorting $CRWV this month.... will try again after march. I think it's a very clear short, just don't have the money to short it now.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "feanor_legend", "ret_m1d": -0.025490366930346564, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.025490366930346564, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02559104696944625, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02677514646229695, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00010068003909968759, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012847795319503863, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05496362268538124, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05496362268538124, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05297924023641143, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.08100214024201347, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019843824489698125, "bench_c_p1d": 0.026038517556632224, "ret_p1w": -0.1796276098845897, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1796276098845897, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.16635509410074945, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.18005589158079505, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013272515783840255, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00042828169620534595, "ret_p1m": 0.04430943876052984, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04430943876052984, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05310987745795892, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04456642088958618, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00880043869742908, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0002569821290563379, "ret_p3m": 0.4433934708093046, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4433934708093046, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.41218477085703076, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.44827947465131857, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031208699952273822, "bench_c_p3m": -0.004886003842013986, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3026, 0.1995, 0.1007, 0.165, 0.0897, 0.108, 0.0948, 0.0178, -0.0604, -0.1175, -0.1682, -0.1439, -0.0985, -0.0534, -0.1572, -0.171, -0.0849, -0.115, -0.0572, -0.0572, -0.0554, -0.0028, -0.0396, -0.015, 0.0236, -0.0238, -0.001, -0.04, -0.0681, -0.0612, -0.1269, -0.1921, -0.194, -0.2487, -0.2224, -0.1092, -0.0717, -0.1036, -0.0926, -0.0926, -0.1279, -0.1433, -0.1519, -0.1665, -0.1665, -0.1044, -0.0757, -0.0019, -0.042, -0.0312, -0.0249, 0.0687, 0.0498, 0.0154, 0.0344, 0.0826, 0.0826, -0.0114, -0.0155, -0.0356, -0.059, -0.0893, -0.0255, 0.0, -0.055, -0.1517, -0.1222, -0.1044, -0.1796, -0.2645, -0.1427, -0.0752, -0.086, -0.1177, -0.1065, -0.0241, -0.0241, -0.029, 0.0136, 0.0715, -0.025, 0.0018, 0.0214, 0.0567, 0.0443, -0.092, -0.0938, -0.1357, -0.0264, -0.0476, -0.1105, -0.0547, -0.0398, 0.1152, 0.0758, 0.1247, 0.2929, 0.1583, 0.1805, 0.21, 0.1712, 0.1366, 0.1442, 0.146, 0.0552, 0.0039, -0.0814, 0.0332, 0.0151, 0.0835, 0.0835, 0.1206, 0.169, 0.2446, 0.3575, 0.4435, 0.539, 0.6125, 0.6606, 0.6463, 0.5647, 0.5848, 0.5588, 0.5547, 0.5641, 0.4653, 0.4434, 0.3493, 0.4059, 0.3764, 0.5383, 0.7566, 0.7517, 0.9425, 0.8398, 0.7629, 0.853, 0.7834, 1.0638, 1.202, 1.19, 0.99, 0.9688, 0.91, 1.1899, 1.1385, 1.1385, 1.0717, 1.0748, 1.2537, 1.301, 1.301, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2016368174695120903", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-28T04:30:09+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I would personally long $NBIS, $CIFR short $CRWV, seems decent for long term.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Short CRWV on debt interest burden + GPU depreciation; long NBIS and CIFR as a hedge in a pair trade.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$CRWV is probably the only $50B+ company I can think of that is likely going to go bankrupt. At least $ORCL has a profitable core business and owns tons of assets like  15% of Tiktok.  \n\nCoreweave is a clear short to me purely because a large part of their revenue will be used to pay off debt interest. Then you compound that with GPU depreciation. \n\nBut it's a good idea to hedge. I would personally long $NBIS, $CIFR short $CRWV, seems decent for long term. Nvidia is keeping them alive for now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit lost my shirt shorting $CRWV this month.... will try again after march. I think it's a very clear short, just don't have the money to short it now.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "feanor_legend", "ret_m1d": -0.011597223053119277, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011597223053119277, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011697903092218964, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.003690011269739779, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00010068003909968759, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007907211783379497, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06694773834393264, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06694773834393264, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06496335589496283, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.051133212399891215, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019843824489698125, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015814525944041424, "ret_p1w": -0.24881388952037065, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.24881388952037065, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2355413737365304, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1743650273824382, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013272515783840255, "bench_c_p1w": -0.07444886213793245, "ret_p1m": -0.13125987671308215, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.13125987671308215, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12245943801565307, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07617711082289935, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00880043869742908, "bench_c_p1m": -0.055082765890182794, "ret_p3m": -0.042698971811356845, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.042698971811356845, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07390767176363067, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1200269902622002, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031208699952273822, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07732801845084336, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0169, 0.1998, 0.1866, 0.3026, 0.1444, 0.0907, 0.0358, -0.0158, -0.0838, -0.213, -0.243, -0.2435, -0.2314, -0.2293, -0.2325, -0.2541, -0.1191, -0.0764, 0.0095, 0.0095, 0.0727, 0.038, -0.0701, -0.0179, 0.0453, 0.0163, 0.0269, 0.0311, -0.0258, -0.0047, -0.1012, -0.223, -0.2098, -0.2414, -0.2014, -0.1455, -0.1386, -0.1613, -0.145, -0.145, -0.1993, -0.2051, -0.2309, -0.2219, -0.2219, -0.146, -0.0427, -0.0754, -0.1523, -0.1276, -0.1234, -0.068, -0.038, -0.0443, -0.0764, -0.009, -0.009, -0.0554, -0.0659, -0.0833, -0.0738, -0.1307, -0.0116, 0.0, -0.0669, -0.1587, -0.1666, -0.1429, -0.2488, -0.3305, -0.2235, -0.1165, -0.0986, -0.1418, -0.1513, -0.1344, -0.1344, -0.1755, -0.1871, -0.1671, -0.2277, -0.1977, -0.0975, -0.1244, -0.1313, -0.1776, -0.1692, -0.2246, -0.1545, -0.2014, -0.282, -0.2457, -0.2641, -0.2562, -0.2773, -0.2578, -0.2019, -0.2045, -0.2267, -0.2283, -0.2615, -0.2151, -0.2156, -0.1629, -0.2435, -0.2754, -0.3666, -0.3216, -0.3337, -0.3242, -0.3242, -0.2963, -0.2615, -0.1871, -0.1376, -0.1286, -0.0638, -0.0274, -0.0511, -0.0859, 0.0211, 0.0169, -0.049, 0.0248, -0.0148, -0.0406, -0.0427, -0.0901, -0.1081, -0.0648, -0.1017, -0.0569, 0.165, 0.155, 0.0904, 0.0833, 0.0691, 0.0575, 0.1197, 0.175, 0.0717, 0.0079, -0.009, 0.0269, 0.1344, 0.1581, 0.1581, 0.2135, 0.3263, 0.2963, 0.2467, 0.2467, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2036634794701037821", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-25T02:42:28+00:00", "symbol": "TSEM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "バリュエーション的にもっと魅力的かもしれない $SIVE や $TSEM といった他の銘柄もシェアしておきたいと思いました", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "SIVE and TSEM flagged as more attractively valued alternatives to AXTI at current levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSEM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "ja", "tweet_text": "@beauty_oe あなたも10ドル台から $AXTI をカバーしていましたよね！あそこまで上昇したのは本当に見事です。\n今の水準だと少し高値圏にあるので、バリュエーション的にもっと魅力的かもしれない $SIVE や $TSEM といった他の銘柄もシェアしておきたいと思いました。", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "🌟セレ様、フォトニクス銘柄について語る\n\n自分の10倍狙いの銘柄 $AXTI は、結果的に本当に月まで到達した。\n\nもし乗り遅れたと感じているなら：\n\n→ $SIVE は、今の株価水準での次の10倍候補として個人的に一番のお気に入り\n→ $AAOI", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "beauty_oe", "ret_m1d": -0.041962477156080036, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.041962477156080036, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03642060174447925, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03642060174447925, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005541875411600783, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005541875411600783, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07449407866999369, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07449407866999369, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.056635334511854984, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.056635334511854984, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017858744158138706, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017858744158138706, "ret_p1w": -0.008848140936425941, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.008848140936425941, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.006442585270908907, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.006442585270908907, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002405555665517034, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002405555665517034, "ret_p1m": 0.06638761478551869, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06638761478551869, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01221840255117157, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01221840255117157, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07860601733669026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07860601733669026, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3557, -0.3583, -0.3607, -0.3779, -0.3779, -0.355, -0.368, -0.3521, -0.3524, -0.3784, -0.364, -0.3573, -0.3389, -0.3473, -0.343, -0.3121, -0.3121, -0.3165, -0.2931, -0.3113, -0.3185, -0.3269, -0.2973, -0.2639, -0.2863, -0.2862, -0.2747, -0.2773, -0.3574, -0.3161, -0.2633, -0.2183, -0.2764, -0.2877, -0.2923, -0.3179, -0.3179, -0.323, -0.32, -0.3332, -0.3193, -0.3248, -0.3324, -0.3326, -0.3439, -0.3384, -0.2657, -0.3349, -0.3457, -0.3613, -0.4141, -0.3883, -0.3807, -0.3672, -0.3719, -0.3392, -0.2663, -0.2696, -0.2479, -0.1201, -0.133, -0.088, -0.042, 0.0, -0.0745, -0.0891, -0.1598, -0.0703, -0.0088, 0.048, 0.048, 0.0077, 0.0112, 0.0792, 0.0799, 0.0787, 0.1098, 0.1344, 0.1425, 0.1378, 0.1998, 0.1894, 0.1482, 0.092, 0.0664, 0.0625, 0.0773, 0.0255, 0.0553, 0.1712, 0.1551, 0.1395, 0.1949, 0.149, 0.1126, 0.118, 0.2127, 0.17, 0.4346, 0.4872, 0.4516, 0.3143, 0.3314, 0.4013, 0.4783, 0.5017, 0.5017, 0.5287, 0.4718, 0.4597, 0.3523, 0.3523, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2017922194643558554", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-01T11:25:17+00:00", "symbol": "AI companies", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "medium-long term this is actually bullish. A strong dollar makes the AI companies the ability to buys globally cheaper, and Warsh's 'AI Productivity Boom' thesis allows short term rate cuts, which fuel high-growth tech", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Medium-long term bullish on US AI/high-growth tech: strong dollar enables cheaper global buying and rate cuts fuel growth.", "resolved_tickers": ["QQQ"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Broad US AI/tech sector best proxied by QQQ", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Silver dropped 28% and Gold dropped 8.35% on Friday, est. ~$7.34T wiped out.\n\nThis creates a large liquidity vacuum where other assets from Bitcoin, tech, to small cap gets sold off to meet margin calls or raise cash.\n\nIs this likely a short term (eg. 24-48) hour flush, with CME raising margin requirements by another few percent on the 2nd. However, medium-long term this is actually bullish.\n\nA strong dollar makes the AI companies the ability to buys globally cheaper, and Warsh’s \"AI Productivity Boom\" thesis allows short term rate cuts, which fuel high-growth tech.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Black Monday my ass. We’re on!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DogUrineCapital", "ret_m1d": -0.006819602139773173, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006819602139773173, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0018728321936184456, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0018728321936184456, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946769946154728, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004946769946154728, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.015364015491678096, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.015364015491678096, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0069086190609775056, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0069086190609775056, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00845539643070059, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00845539643070059, "ret_p1w": -0.018877566805934, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.018877566805934, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.016778129055693425, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.016778129055693425, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0020994377502405737, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0020994377502405737, "ret_p1m": -0.039224424466747676, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.039224424466747676, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01753944591524792, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01753944591524792, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684978551499756, "bench_c_p1m": -0.021684978551499756, "ret_p3m": 0.06778346045422312, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06778346045422312, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.031527653447249504, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.031527653447249504, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03625580700697362, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03625580700697362, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0058, -0.0244, -0.0274, -0.0059, -0.0086, -0.0094, -0.0296, -0.0288, -0.0371, -0.0489, -0.0432, -0.0658, -0.0588, -0.0348, -0.0288, -0.0202, -0.0202, -0.0123, -0.0156, -0.0079, -0.0055, -0.0064, -0.0023, -0.0043, -0.003, 0.0011, -0.0022, -0.0213, -0.0262, -0.0242, -0.0423, -0.0285, -0.0158, -0.0111, -0.0064, -0.0035, -0.0035, -0.0036, -0.0084, -0.0107, -0.0189, -0.0189, -0.0208, -0.013, -0.0043, -0.0034, -0.0091, 0.0008, 0.0016, 0.0002, -0.0105, -0.007, -0.0078, -0.0078, -0.0289, -0.0157, -0.0086, -0.0055, -0.0011, 0.008, 0.0113, 0.0053, -0.0068, 0.0, -0.0154, -0.0326, -0.0465, -0.0263, -0.0189, -0.0234, -0.0208, -0.0407, -0.0387, -0.0387, -0.0397, -0.0325, -0.0362, -0.0277, -0.0395, -0.0292, -0.0151, -0.027, -0.0301, -0.0288, -0.0392, -0.0246, -0.0275, -0.0421, -0.0294, -0.0293, -0.0295, -0.0461, -0.0518, -0.0411, -0.0365, -0.0499, -0.0529, -0.0704, -0.0597, -0.0662, -0.06, -0.0825, -0.1004, -0.1073, -0.077, -0.0656, -0.0646, -0.0646, -0.0589, -0.0588, -0.0308, -0.0242, -0.0228, -0.0127, 0.0052, 0.0193, 0.0242, 0.0376, 0.0343, 0.0303, 0.0476, 0.0417, 0.0616, 0.0622, 0.0515, 0.0579, 0.0678, 0.078, 0.076, 0.09, 0.1126, 0.1113, 0.1373, 0.1406, 0.1309, 0.1429, 0.151, 0.1337, 0.1288, 0.1218, 0.1404, 0.1426, 0.1474, 0.1474, 0.1678, 0.1665, 0.1763, 0.1806, 0.1806, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2027847487650922757", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-28T20:44:51+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I don't really see too much downside from $5B here even if they miss projections by 40%, so I'm in for the ride for the next year", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long AAOI for next year; sees limited downside from $5B even if projections missed by 40%, upside if execution delivers.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My first buy was in the high 20s, low 30's so around the same! I just remember hyperscaler qualifcation and expected them to pull an $ALAB. \n\nYeah name of the game is execution with $AAOI, but if they hit, the ROI is just enormous. \n\nI don't really see too much downside from $5B here even if they miss projections by 40%, so I'm in for the ride for the next year.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "The excitement around $AAOI is palpable\n\nThis was a name that for the most part sat on the sidelines of the optical supercycle while others like $LITE $COHR $GLW etc. ripped\n\nI think the reason this is so exciting is because of that very fact. \n\nEveryone sees the gains that these", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "crux_capital_", "ret_m1d": -0.17832405032051124, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.17832405032051124, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.17775579463630486, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.17775579463630486, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06994445077477685, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06994445077477685, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.061130112291981176, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.061130112291981176, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "ret_p1w": 0.07911423706316767, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07911423706316767, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09092981798668254, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09092981798668254, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "ret_p1m": -0.17481226636328706, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17481226636328706, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12489252478810331, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12489252478810331, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "ret_p3m": 0.6488147570989427, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6488147570989427, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5464213779330347, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5464213779330347, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7498, -0.744, -0.7406, -0.7284, -0.7036, -0.6588, -0.6457, -0.6873, -0.7083, -0.7175, -0.7352, -0.7147, -0.6945, -0.6186, -0.6036, -0.6, -0.6, -0.6374, -0.6415, -0.6486, -0.6599, -0.6599, -0.6137, -0.6587, -0.6234, -0.6288, -0.678, -0.6679, -0.6711, -0.6666, -0.6637, -0.6391, -0.6387, -0.6387, -0.617, -0.6256, -0.6278, -0.6515, -0.6596, -0.6353, -0.5588, -0.614, -0.5746, -0.5692, -0.5501, -0.6108, -0.628, -0.5678, -0.5326, -0.527, -0.5279, -0.5709, -0.5663, -0.5663, -0.5717, -0.5762, -0.5417, -0.4959, -0.4736, -0.4511, -0.433, -0.4762, -0.1783, 0.0, -0.0699, -0.0273, -0.0134, -0.0676, 0.0791, 0.1754, 0.239, 0.0359, -0.0556, -0.0823, -0.1578, -0.0964, -0.0058, -0.146, -0.0658, 0.1111, 0.1161, -0.0497, -0.0419, -0.169, -0.1748, -0.1576, 0.0137, 0.0137, 0.0482, 0.1476, 0.2945, 0.3004, 0.4691, 0.4944, 0.4281, 0.3906, 0.5347, 0.5552, 0.5947, 0.4688, 0.4576, 0.3436, 0.582, 0.4221, 0.339, 0.4909, 0.6034, 0.7902, 0.6874, 0.7615, 0.7417, 0.5369, 0.4529, 0.8037, 0.8367, 1.1764, 0.9859, 0.857, 0.6902, 0.6713, 0.6121, 0.7248, 0.7705, 0.7705, 0.7327, 0.7543, 0.6488, 0.5453, 0.5453, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2027854978199785918", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-28T21:14:37+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "hyperscalers wanted to buy anything they can make. It's moreso production ramp and just drives the first point home that demand > supply across the board", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long AAOI: only US-made 800G/1.6T supply chain play, hyperscaler demand far outstrips supply, no flood risk, potential upside from export controls on Chinese competitors.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "- even if everyone produces 800g/1.6T there’s not enough. Demand far outstrips supply.\n\nIt’s not quite the trio Samsung/sk Hynix/micron but $AAOI is probably the only one from made in America supply chains since $COHR does assembly in Malaysia and $LITE -> $FN Thailand and other places in Asia. \n\n- in their call they detailed hyperscalers wanted to buy anything they can make. It’s moreso production ramp and just drives the first point home that demand > supply across the board.\n\nDon’t think we’ll see flooding bc demand will eat up anything the players can make for the foreseeable future. And nonzero chance there’s export controls like cmxt/YMTC from memory on Chinese players", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Very compelling idea. thanks for sharing. Highly uncovered by the street and somehow 2027 ests didn’t move that much post the call.. creating lots of opportunity for this to drift upward as we get revisions\n\nSome questions (that may not matter near term):\n\nGiven AAOI has to", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "obsidiancap1", "ret_m1d": -0.17832405032051124, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.17832405032051124, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.17775579463630486, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.17775579463630486, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06994445077477685, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06994445077477685, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.061130112291981176, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.061130112291981176, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "ret_p1w": 0.07911423706316767, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07911423706316767, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09092981798668254, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09092981798668254, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "ret_p1m": -0.17481226636328706, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17481226636328706, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12489252478810331, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12489252478810331, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "ret_p3m": 0.6488147570989427, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6488147570989427, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5464213779330347, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5464213779330347, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7498, -0.744, -0.7406, -0.7284, -0.7036, -0.6588, -0.6457, -0.6873, -0.7083, -0.7175, -0.7352, -0.7147, -0.6945, -0.6186, -0.6036, -0.6, -0.6, -0.6374, -0.6415, -0.6486, -0.6599, -0.6599, -0.6137, -0.6587, -0.6234, -0.6288, -0.678, -0.6679, -0.6711, -0.6666, -0.6637, -0.6391, -0.6387, -0.6387, -0.617, -0.6256, -0.6278, -0.6515, -0.6596, -0.6353, -0.5588, -0.614, -0.5746, -0.5692, -0.5501, -0.6108, -0.628, -0.5678, -0.5326, -0.527, -0.5279, -0.5709, -0.5663, -0.5663, -0.5717, -0.5762, -0.5417, -0.4959, -0.4736, -0.4511, -0.433, -0.4762, -0.1783, 0.0, -0.0699, -0.0273, -0.0134, -0.0676, 0.0791, 0.1754, 0.239, 0.0359, -0.0556, -0.0823, -0.1578, -0.0964, -0.0058, -0.146, -0.0658, 0.1111, 0.1161, -0.0497, -0.0419, -0.169, -0.1748, -0.1576, 0.0137, 0.0137, 0.0482, 0.1476, 0.2945, 0.3004, 0.4691, 0.4944, 0.4281, 0.3906, 0.5347, 0.5552, 0.5947, 0.4688, 0.4576, 0.3436, 0.582, 0.4221, 0.339, 0.4909, 0.6034, 0.7902, 0.6874, 0.7615, 0.7417, 0.5369, 0.4529, 0.8037, 0.8367, 1.1764, 0.9859, 0.857, 0.6902, 0.6713, 0.6121, 0.7248, 0.7705, 0.7705, 0.7327, 0.7543, 0.6488, 0.5453, 0.5453, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2035019273991856406", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-20T15:42:58+00:00", "symbol": "SMCI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$13B valuation for $SMCI looks like a buying opportunity to me as well", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Agrees $13B valuation is a buying opportunity; hard to see it go below $10B given fundamentals.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMCI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@gofallingknife Agreed, $13B valuation for $SMCI looks like a buying opportunity to me as well. \n\nCould be near term fluctuations around the level but hard to see it going below $10B given fundamentals", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Already bought it at $22. Headlines create the best opportunities and this is no where near a broken company.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "gofallingknife", "ret_m1d": 0.4997564484036199, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.4997564484036199, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.485212169001378, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.4765471021944616, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0145442794022419, "bench_c_m1d": 0.023209346209158266, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05114462746918247, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05114462746918247, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04064460822424465, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03761609021686452, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01050001924493782, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013528537252317951, "ret_p1w": 0.07014118745966158, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07014118745966158, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09246719745893606, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10863970050628702, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.022326009999274476, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03849851304662544, "ret_p1m": 0.4033121530620749, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4033121530620749, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.31056971554624724, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.25945693777143997, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09274243751582767, "bench_c_p1m": 0.14385521529063494, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.4983, 0.4881, 0.4881, 0.4924, 0.4652, 0.4442, 0.4257, 0.4257, 0.508, 0.4647, 0.4876, 0.4618, 0.4564, 0.4691, 0.4671, 0.3931, 0.377, 0.433, 0.5899, 0.5899, 0.53, 0.5704, 0.5806, 0.5441, 0.5002, 0.5197, 0.5202, 0.4671, 0.4179, 0.4472, 0.4452, 0.6444, 0.5027, 0.6746, 0.6332, 0.6235, 0.5606, 0.4822, 0.4876, 0.4876, 0.4666, 0.4472, 0.5665, 0.5792, 0.4959, 0.5163, 0.6366, 0.5723, 0.5777, 0.5504, 0.4944, 0.5904, 0.5704, 0.5251, 0.5577, 0.5485, 0.5485, 0.5051, 0.4978, 0.5519, 0.5348, 0.4783, 0.4998, 0.0, 0.0511, 0.0828, 0.1715, 0.0818, 0.0701, 0.0258, 0.1091, 0.0964, 0.131, 0.131, 0.074, 0.1042, 0.1383, 0.131, 0.2304, 0.265, 0.3249, 0.3293, 0.3833, 0.3911, 0.4033, 0.3848, 0.4213, 0.303, 0.4165, 0.3566, 0.3273, 0.282, 0.3346, 0.3195, 0.36, 0.3556, 0.6883, 0.6376, 0.7228, 0.6327, 0.5972, 0.5587, 0.6089, 0.5119, 0.5027, 0.4886, 0.6298, 0.6298, 0.7331, 0.7331, 0.8071, 0.8602, 1.0117, 1.245, 1.245, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2012462671019561407", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-17T09:51:05+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "leans slightly positive for AXT since there's a 6 month limbo", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Slightly positive lean on AXTI medium-term as US EO tightens InP supply chain control, validating bottleneck thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Good question, I didn't put 1+1 together at the time and missed the one-hop relational impact with $AXTI.    \n\nMy take is basically, no impact short/medium term, but leans slightly positive for AXT since there's a 6 month limbo. Emcore is very tiny in comparison, but US gov is trying to gain control of any little % of the upstream control. \n\nThis was just affirmation that US government now views InP supply chains as a national security priority and is validating the InP bottlenek thesis I put out earlier. \n\nTLDR: EOs seizing InP supply chain assets was a move to regain independence from China long term, but short-medium term bottleneck is even more severe with $ATI", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I got the EO on Jan2, but couldn't connect it to this,  so in basic terms this should ease the bottle necks on InP for us in general but will be more or alternative source for AXTI ? \n\nWould you care to clear that angle , thanks.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "KAnalyser1", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0307831734032884, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0307831734032884, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010426387679743354, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005807525574556993, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.024975647828731407, "ret_p1w": -0.19420556296486768, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.19420556296486768, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.19575255409234316, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.19028436796304604, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "bench_c_p1w": -0.003921195001821642, "ret_p1m": 0.050701626262938504, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.050701626262938504, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06343910683263965, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03291897720402215, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "bench_c_p1m": 0.017782649058916356, "ret_p3m": 2.702127578741378, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.702127578741378, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.6848991076274973, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.5662351459785233, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1358924327628548, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7764, -0.7655, -0.7257, -0.7198, -0.7012, -0.6799, -0.6686, -0.6401, -0.617, -0.6134, -0.588, -0.5985, -0.5718, -0.5274, -0.522, -0.5029, -0.5274, -0.5274, -0.536, -0.5518, -0.5423, -0.5722, -0.5957, -0.5772, -0.5822, -0.5269, -0.5269, -0.5156, -0.5115, -0.4676, -0.4803, -0.4522, -0.4758, -0.4246, -0.3228, -0.2979, -0.2585, -0.3296, -0.3287, -0.4115, -0.4405, -0.3658, -0.3368, -0.311, -0.3373, -0.3205, -0.3205, -0.3042, -0.3395, -0.2847, -0.2598, -0.2598, -0.2413, -0.2454, -0.0869, 0.0914, 0.1693, 0.0407, 0.0068, -0.0263, 0.0005, 0.1643, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0308, -0.1046, -0.1888, -0.2123, -0.1942, -0.2214, -0.2381, -0.2585, -0.1607, -0.0521, -0.1064, -0.1512, -0.0751, 0.0892, 0.2571, 0.1023, 0.2132, 0.1222, 0.0973, 0.0973, 0.0507, 0.0656, 0.0779, 0.3436, 0.287, 0.588, 0.8547, 0.6804, 0.7157, 1.0969, 0.8904, 0.7714, 0.7565, 0.4654, 0.7456, 1.0054, 1.144, 1.1154, 1.2119, 1.1906, 1.0081, 1.2073, 1.6297, 1.4554, 1.9172, 2.0982, 2.0489, 1.6487, 1.7447, 1.3871, 1.5794, 1.134, 1.392, 1.392, 0.9009, 1.0579, 1.4074, 1.8574, 1.9054, 2.0081, 2.0466, 1.8488, 2.7021, 2.7374, 2.5654, 2.3938, 2.9357, 2.4074, 2.4477, 2.1756, 2.1105, 2.2173, 2.5862, 3.3459, 3.7986, 3.8687, 3.7456, 3.9081, 4.2675, 4.6953, 4.5636, 4.5201, 4.2051, 4.6034, 3.7931, 4.11, 3.7356, 4.4785, 5.3753, 5.3753, 5.0027, 4.5577, 4.2377, 3.67, 3.67, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2032239138980905334", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-12T23:35:42+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "InP substrates is a massive bottleneck for photonics. 7N Indium High Purity Indium (non standard) has reached all time highs on SMM, recently. $AXTI is very. highly. correlated. Demand does not seem to be slowing down anytime soon.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AXTI: InP substrate bottleneck + 7N indium at ATH; demand not slowing, no NAND-style price hike yet.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "As expected from my original $AXTI thesis:\n\nInP substrates is a massive bottleneck for photonics. \n\nAnd:\n \n7N Indium High Purity Indium (non standard) has reached all time highs on SMM, recently. \n\n$AXTI is very. highly. correlated. \n\nTracking derivatives on SMM and other markets is likely the best insight you'll get into performance. \n\nDemand does not seem to be slowing down anytime soon. We haven't gotten to the point of NAND-style price hikes yet either.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Warning: The entire AI industry will likely be bottlenecked by two companies:\n\n1. $AXTI ($700M) \n2. $SMTOY ($31.7B)\n\nWhich both control 60–70%+ of the world's InP substrates.\n\nFuture $NVDA, $GOOGL TPU v7 pods, $META, $MSFT, $AMZN hyperscaler clusters require InP-based lasers and https://t.co/8mqrgONJbb", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.013481726391754378, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.013481726391754378, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0019373605240378122, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019754544275800034, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01541908691579219, "bench_c_m1d": 0.03323627066755441, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04558102052173263, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04558102052173263, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.051241130022739, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.047642232745684354, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005660109501006372, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002061212223951725, "ret_p1w": 0.24309866727227258, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.24309866727227258, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.25249717439415664, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.22560450691491507, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009398507121884059, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017494160357357513, "ret_p1m": 0.37342180470529396, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.37342180470529396, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.35051746900021996, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2478195596154844, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022904335705073997, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12560224508980955, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6826, -0.7218, -0.7355, -0.7002, -0.6865, -0.6743, -0.6867, -0.6788, -0.6788, -0.6711, -0.6878, -0.6619, -0.6501, -0.6501, -0.6413, -0.6433, -0.5684, -0.4841, -0.4473, -0.508, -0.5241, -0.5397, -0.5271, -0.4496, -0.5273, -0.5273, -0.5418, -0.5767, -0.6165, -0.6276, -0.6191, -0.6319, -0.6398, -0.6495, -0.6033, -0.5519, -0.5776, -0.5988, -0.5628, -0.4851, -0.4057, -0.4789, -0.4265, -0.4695, -0.4813, -0.4813, -0.5033, -0.4963, -0.4905, -0.3649, -0.3916, -0.2493, -0.1233, -0.2056, -0.189, -0.0088, -0.1064, -0.1626, -0.1697, -0.3073, -0.1748, -0.052, 0.0135, 0.0, 0.0456, 0.0355, -0.0507, 0.0434, 0.2431, 0.1607, 0.379, 0.4646, 0.4413, 0.2521, 0.2975, 0.1284, 0.2193, 0.0088, 0.1308, 0.1308, -0.1014, -0.0272, 0.138, 0.3507, 0.3734, 0.422, 0.4402, 0.3467, 0.7501, 0.7667, 0.6854, 0.6043, 0.8605, 0.6107, 0.6298, 0.5012, 0.4704, 0.5209, 0.6953, 1.0544, 1.2684, 1.3015, 1.2433, 1.3201, 1.49, 1.6923, 1.63, 1.6095, 1.4605, 1.6488, 1.2658, 1.4156, 1.2386, 1.5898, 2.0137, 2.0137, 1.8376, 1.6272, 1.4759, 1.2076, 1.2076, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2012209300798632101", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-16T17:04:17+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My thesis with $NBIS for 2026 hasn't changed at all since last year", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Still long NBIS into 2026 and long VLN on undervaluation: $120m cash, $200m MC, $80m fwd rev, 63% GM — expects MC to catch up to fundamentals.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thesis should play out by itself without me posting. My thesis with $NBIS for 2026 hasn't changed at all since last year.\n\nSame with $VLN, it's basically sitting on $120m off $200m MC right now doing $80m forward revenue, 63% gross margins. \n\nMC should catch up to fundamentals once market makers stop with their shenanigans from mass OI expiry today across the board.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit When ya gonna post on $VLN again :)", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ShortsHoward", "ret_m1d": -0.044559928916751645, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.044559928916751645, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04539850552918001, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05359010746483761, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0008385766124283656, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009030178548085965, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.1308746704460224, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1308746704460224, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.12736135564213225, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1464169420314898, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0035133148038901663, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015542271585467393, "ret_p1m": -0.09859285284404917, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09859285284404917, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08426502327622898, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09347002315683717, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014327829567820194, "bench_c_p1m": -0.005122829687212005, "ret_p3m": 0.5337993113547181, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5337993113547181, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.519064360230099, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5115320880611878, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014734951124619089, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02226722329353037, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0409, -0.093, -0.0236, 0.0785, 0.1536, 0.1205, 0.1506, 0.1421, 0.2032, 0.108, 0.0166, 0.0761, 0.0065, 0.0235, 0.0112, -0.0599, -0.1322, -0.1849, -0.2317, -0.2092, -0.1673, -0.1256, -0.2216, -0.2342, -0.1548, -0.1826, -0.1291, -0.1291, -0.1275, -0.0789, -0.1129, -0.0902, -0.0545, -0.0983, -0.0773, -0.1133, -0.1392, -0.1329, -0.1935, -0.2537, -0.2555, -0.3061, -0.2818, -0.1772, -0.1426, -0.172, -0.1619, -0.1619, -0.1944, -0.2087, -0.2167, -0.2302, -0.2302, -0.1727, -0.1462, -0.0781, -0.1151, -0.1051, -0.0993, -0.0129, -0.0304, -0.0621, -0.0446, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0868, -0.0907, -0.1093, -0.1309, -0.1588, -0.0999, -0.0763, -0.1271, -0.2165, -0.1892, -0.1727, -0.2423, -0.3206, -0.2081, -0.1458, -0.1558, -0.185, -0.1747, -0.0986, -0.0986, -0.1031, -0.0637, -0.0103, -0.0994, -0.0747, -0.0566, -0.024, -0.0354, -0.1613, -0.163, -0.2017, -0.1007, -0.1203, -0.1784, -0.1268, -0.1131, 0.03, -0.0063, 0.0388, 0.1942, 0.0699, 0.0904, 0.1176, 0.0818, 0.0498, 0.0568, 0.0585, -0.0254, -0.0727, -0.1515, -0.0457, -0.0624, 0.0008, 0.0008, 0.035, 0.0797, 0.1496, 0.2538, 0.3333, 0.4215, 0.4894, 0.5338, 0.5206, 0.4452, 0.4638, 0.4398, 0.436, 0.4447, 0.3534, 0.3332, 0.2463, 0.2985, 0.2713, 0.4209, 0.6226, 0.618, 0.7943, 0.6993, 0.6283, 0.7116, 0.6473, 0.9063, 1.0339, 1.0228, 0.8381, 0.8185, 0.7642, 1.0227, 0.9753, 0.9753, 0.9135, 0.9164, 1.0817, 1.1254, 1.1254, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2012209300798632101", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-16T17:04:17+00:00", "symbol": "VLN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "MC should catch up to fundamentals once market makers stop with their shenanigans from mass OI expiry today across the board", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Still long NBIS into 2026 and long VLN on undervaluation: $120m cash, $200m MC, $80m fwd rev, 63% GM — expects MC to catch up to fundamentals.", "resolved_tickers": ["VLN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thesis should play out by itself without me posting. My thesis with $NBIS for 2026 hasn't changed at all since last year.\n\nSame with $VLN, it's basically sitting on $120m off $200m MC right now doing $80m forward revenue, 63% gross margins. \n\nMC should catch up to fundamentals once market makers stop with their shenanigans from mass OI expiry today across the board.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit When ya gonna post on $VLN again :)", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ShortsHoward", "ret_m1d": 0.05025120811725392, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05025120811725392, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.049412631504825555, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06019154339215527, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0008385766124283656, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009940335274901346, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.015075362435176154, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.015075362435176154, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.011562047631285988, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.014326047268537145, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0035133148038901663, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0007493151666390085, "ret_p1m": -0.23618091776775518, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.23618091776775518, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.221853088199935, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.25448803408957876, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014327829567820194, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01830711632182358, "ret_p3m": -0.26130652182638214, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.26130652182638214, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.27604147295100123, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.39270336846791665, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014734951124619089, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1313968466415345, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1106, -0.1307, -0.1156, -0.1055, -0.1206, -0.1156, -0.1407, -0.1457, -0.0804, -0.1357, -0.201, -0.1658, -0.2161, -0.206, -0.196, -0.0955, -0.1457, -0.1357, -0.1256, -0.2161, -0.2362, -0.2714, -0.2864, -0.2462, -0.2312, -0.2261, -0.2111, -0.2111, -0.196, -0.2111, -0.206, -0.1608, -0.1558, -0.1558, -0.1457, -0.1457, -0.1558, -0.1809, -0.201, -0.2261, -0.2312, -0.2563, -0.2563, -0.2513, -0.2663, -0.2965, -0.3065, -0.3065, -0.2764, -0.2915, -0.3065, -0.2864, -0.2864, -0.2161, -0.2111, -0.201, -0.2211, -0.2161, 0.2462, 0.1608, 0.1759, 0.0503, 0.0503, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0251, -0.0151, 0.0553, -0.0151, -0.0754, -0.0754, -0.1106, -0.1156, -0.1457, -0.1608, -0.196, -0.2261, -0.2814, -0.2261, -0.2362, -0.2211, -0.2261, -0.2462, -0.2362, -0.2362, -0.2663, -0.2513, -0.2513, -0.2412, -0.2563, -0.2312, -0.2261, -0.196, -0.2563, -0.2563, -0.2764, -0.2764, -0.2965, -0.3216, -0.3216, -0.3065, -0.2814, -0.3216, -0.3317, -0.3317, -0.3266, -0.3719, -0.3568, -0.3869, -0.3668, -0.3719, -0.3668, -0.3869, -0.407, -0.4422, -0.4322, -0.4121, -0.402, -0.402, -0.402, -0.407, -0.3417, -0.3266, -0.3317, -0.3216, -0.3065, -0.2613, -0.2211, -0.2362, -0.2613, -0.2462, -0.191, -0.1709, -0.1005, -0.191, -0.2412, -0.2412, 0.0905, 0.1759, 0.1307, 0.2161, 0.2563, 0.2111, 0.402, 0.4322, 0.3568, 0.4824, 0.6935, 0.5327, 0.4171, 0.3367, 0.4573, 0.5377, 0.6181, 0.6181, 0.6382, 0.5829, 0.7588, 0.7739, 0.7739, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2034186487672328657", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-18T08:33:46+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If $AAOI hits $378M/month projections, could easily 5x from here to a ~$30B MC", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long AAOI (5x to ~$30B MC) and SIVE (20-30x) on optical supercycle capacity ramp; also flags LWLG as undervalued at $1.1B+.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I feel like markets should value:\n\n$AAOI $93 -> $162 (~$13B MC) after their new capacity projections today. \n\nand \n\n$SIVE should be valued at 7.7 -> 38.5 ($1.1B MC) at least?\n\nIf one is ramping to ~$1.97B capacity EOY 2027 (which is basically revenue, since hyperscalers are buying anything they can make)\n\nThen the other is the likely laser supplier to hyperscaler supply chains from $AMZN Trainium to $MSFT Maia Clusters?\n\nAt the very least, should price in forward revenue growth. \n\nThis is including execution uncertainty, and without premiums assigned to others like $LWLG at $1.1b+. \n\nIf Win semi qualifies $SIVE and $POET/Ayar/and others scale up. I feel like $SIVE valuation could easily 20x-30x from here?  \n\nIf $AAOI hits $378M/month projections, could easily 5x from here to a ~$30B MC. \n\nThese possible price targets is how insane the optical supercycle is (like memory), but largely depends on how each company can execute.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06801247553886569, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06801247553886569, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08216358042540872, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08216358042540872, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.014151104886543031, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014151104886543031, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10029149509863067, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10029149509863067, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10275583558382251, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10275583558382251, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0024643404851918405, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0024643404851918405, "ret_p1w": 0.2351290840385698, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2351290840385698, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.239386832975081, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.239386832975081, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0042577489365112076, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0042577489365112076, "ret_p1m": 0.6983699880053034, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6983699880053034, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.63465013576395, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.63465013576395, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06371985224135335, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06371985224135335, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6619, -0.5779, -0.5613, -0.5574, -0.5574, -0.5987, -0.6033, -0.6111, -0.6237, -0.6237, -0.5725, -0.6223, -0.5832, -0.5892, -0.6436, -0.6325, -0.636, -0.631, -0.6279, -0.6006, -0.6001, -0.6001, -0.5762, -0.5857, -0.5881, -0.6144, -0.6233, -0.5964, -0.5117, -0.5728, -0.5292, -0.5233, -0.5021, -0.5693, -0.5884, -0.5218, -0.4828, -0.4765, -0.4775, -0.5251, -0.52, -0.52, -0.526, -0.531, -0.4928, -0.4421, -0.4175, -0.3925, -0.3726, -0.4204, -0.0907, 0.1067, 0.0293, 0.0764, 0.0919, 0.0318, 0.1942, 0.3008, 0.3712, 0.1464, 0.0451, 0.0155, -0.068, 0.0, 0.1003, -0.0549, 0.0338, 0.2296, 0.2351, 0.0517, 0.0602, -0.0803, -0.0868, -0.0678, 0.1218, 0.1218, 0.16, 0.27, 0.4326, 0.4391, 0.6258, 0.6538, 0.5804, 0.5389, 0.6984, 0.721, 0.7648, 0.6255, 0.6131, 0.4869, 0.7507, 0.5738, 0.4818, 0.6499, 0.7744, 0.9811, 0.8674, 0.9494, 0.9275, 0.7009, 0.6079, 0.9961, 1.0326, 1.4085, 1.1977, 1.0551, 0.8705, 0.8496, 0.7841, 0.9088, 0.9593, 0.9593, 0.9175, 0.9414, 0.8247, 0.7101, 0.7101, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2034186487672328657", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-18T08:33:46+00:00", "symbol": "LWLG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "without premiums assigned to others like $LWLG at $1.1b+", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long AAOI (5x to ~$30B MC) and SIVE (20-30x) on optical supercycle capacity ramp; also flags LWLG as undervalued at $1.1B+.", "resolved_tickers": ["LWLG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I feel like markets should value:\n\n$AAOI $93 -> $162 (~$13B MC) after their new capacity projections today. \n\nand \n\n$SIVE should be valued at 7.7 -> 38.5 ($1.1B MC) at least?\n\nIf one is ramping to ~$1.97B capacity EOY 2027 (which is basically revenue, since hyperscalers are buying anything they can make)\n\nThen the other is the likely laser supplier to hyperscaler supply chains from $AMZN Trainium to $MSFT Maia Clusters?\n\nAt the very least, should price in forward revenue growth. \n\nThis is including execution uncertainty, and without premiums assigned to others like $LWLG at $1.1b+. \n\nIf Win semi qualifies $SIVE and $POET/Ayar/and others scale up. I feel like $SIVE valuation could easily 20x-30x from here?  \n\nIf $AAOI hits $378M/month projections, could easily 5x from here to a ~$30B MC. \n\nThese possible price targets is how insane the optical supercycle is (like memory), but largely depends on how each company can execute.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.1034482832575685, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.1034482832575685, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08929717837102547, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08929717837102547, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.014151104886543031, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014151104886543031, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05547224607599488, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05547224607599488, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05793658656118672, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05793658656118672, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0024643404851918405, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0024643404851918405, "ret_p1w": 0.2878560801097856, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2878560801097856, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2921138290462968, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2921138290462968, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0042577489365112076, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0042577489365112076, "ret_p1m": 0.8545726752723262, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.8545726752723262, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.7908528230309728, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.7908528230309728, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06371985224135335, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06371985224135335, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5517, -0.5127, -0.5202, -0.4888, -0.4888, -0.5052, -0.5247, -0.5322, -0.5142, -0.5142, -0.4513, -0.4288, -0.4183, -0.4198, -0.3643, -0.3778, -0.3493, -0.3088, -0.3223, -0.3118, -0.3118, -0.3118, -0.3313, -0.3463, -0.3958, -0.4138, -0.4873, -0.4618, -0.4603, -0.4693, -0.5052, -0.5067, -0.4483, -0.5112, -0.5487, -0.5067, -0.4978, -0.4648, -0.4678, -0.5007, -0.4768, -0.4768, -0.4813, -0.4828, -0.4843, -0.4813, -0.4708, -0.3988, -0.3403, -0.3283, -0.3388, -0.2429, -0.2129, -0.1604, -0.3418, -0.3703, -0.3538, -0.3463, -0.2474, 0.0615, 0.1409, 0.1424, 0.1034, 0.0, 0.0555, 0.015, 0.1094, 0.1019, 0.2879, 0.1754, 0.0855, -0.012, 0.054, 0.0255, 0.1484, 0.1484, 0.1799, 0.2309, 0.2579, 0.2654, 0.5892, 0.7076, 0.8321, 0.8126, 0.8546, 0.8801, 1.1259, 0.9355, 1.2729, 1.039, 0.8996, 0.8666, 0.7331, 0.7631, 1.057, 1.4393, 1.3673, 1.5067, 1.3103, 1.2234, 1.4633, 1.5277, 1.3883, 1.7316, 1.2384, 1.0465, 0.7376, 0.7376, 0.7526, 0.9745, 0.9265, 0.9265, 0.7946, 0.7391, 0.7181, 0.6282, 0.6282, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2023225495140335674", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-16T02:38:42+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Negative until they have less correlation with Bitcoin given Bitcoin's recent price drop", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish BTC-correlated miners IREN/CIFR/WULF on BTC price drop; prefers NBIS as purer HPC/neocloud play.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Negative until they have less correlation with Bitcoin given Bitcoin's recent price drop. Neoclouds like $NBIS are a bit more pure play to the sector.\n\nLast I recall, $CIFR balance sheet had a lot of Bitcoin exposure and a lot of $IREN's profit comes from Bitcoin mining.\n\nRevenue numbers are a lot of noise since revenue from Bitcoin mining vs HPC hits the balance sheet a lot different. But as they scale up, it should be less materially impacted.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What do you expect for $BTC correlated, DC companies, e.g. $IREN $CIFR $WULF?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "platochi", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.029606820555633906, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.029606820555633906, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03122028702635893, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.040255352773640674, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0016134664707250224, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010648532218006768, "ret_p1w": 0.0033159494457757344, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0033159494457757344, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0023771171778825817, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02112821246951757, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0009388322678931527, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017812263023741837, "ret_p1m": 0.017527187171341607, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.017527187171341607, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03360350028420167, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05799184715599692, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016076313112860063, "bench_c_p1m": -0.040464659984655316, "ret_p3m": 0.38323069250035235, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.38323069250035235, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.28280786787023415, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3850961770278326, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1004228246301182, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0018654845274802545, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0855, 0.0296, 0.0009, 0.1485, 0.1243, 0.1476, 0.1476, 0.1324, 0.1485, -0.0261, 0.0412, 0.1002, 0.059, 0.0976, 0.1094, 0.0403, 0.0407, -0.0495, -0.1596, -0.1333, -0.1999, -0.1521, -0.0545, -0.0043, -0.0036, -0.0057, -0.0057, -0.0455, -0.0666, -0.0928, -0.1054, -0.1054, 0.0114, 0.1426, 0.0874, 0.0333, 0.082, 0.0902, 0.1921, 0.2551, 0.2525, 0.229, 0.3695, 0.3695, 0.2852, 0.2667, 0.2378, 0.3425, 0.2402, 0.4209, 0.4908, 0.4173, 0.2729, 0.2572, 0.2883, 0.0644, -0.0576, -0.0092, 0.0931, 0.0168, 0.0107, -0.0519, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0296, -0.0033, 0.0253, -0.0531, 0.0033, 0.0765, 0.0429, 0.0478, -0.0301, -0.0197, -0.0798, 0.0384, -0.0496, -0.1307, -0.0801, -0.0971, -0.0057, -0.0201, -0.0152, 0.0644, 0.0175, -0.0002, -0.0133, -0.022, -0.0014, -0.0261, -0.0187, -0.113, -0.1689, -0.2511, -0.1881, -0.1926, -0.1765, -0.1765, -0.1679, -0.1535, -0.1277, -0.1222, -0.0687, 0.0201, 0.122, 0.1563, 0.1298, 0.1397, 0.154, 0.0699, 0.1461, 0.2321, 0.1994, 0.1454, 0.0526, 0.0152, 0.0779, 0.0815, 0.172, 0.2965, 0.4443, 0.3465, 0.4495, 0.3063, 0.3396, 0.3067, 0.3832, 0.2539, 0.1952, 0.1307, 0.2485, 0.3752, 0.346, 0.346, 0.4159, 0.6068, 0.5171, 0.505, 0.505, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2023225495140335674", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-16T02:38:42+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Negative until they have less correlation with Bitcoin given Bitcoin's recent price drop", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish BTC-correlated miners IREN/CIFR/WULF on BTC price drop; prefers NBIS as purer HPC/neocloud play.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Negative until they have less correlation with Bitcoin given Bitcoin's recent price drop. Neoclouds like $NBIS are a bit more pure play to the sector.\n\nLast I recall, $CIFR balance sheet had a lot of Bitcoin exposure and a lot of $IREN's profit comes from Bitcoin mining.\n\nRevenue numbers are a lot of noise since revenue from Bitcoin mining vs HPC hits the balance sheet a lot different. But as they scale up, it should be less materially impacted.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What do you expect for $BTC correlated, DC companies, e.g. $IREN $CIFR $WULF?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "platochi", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04750302858386102, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04750302858386102, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04911649505458604, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04692983884426383, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0016134664707250224, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0005731897395971908, "ret_p1w": -0.07308159583979623, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07308159583979623, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07402042810768938, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06562969134135144, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0009388322678931527, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007451904498444795, "ret_p1m": -0.08099877695044688, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08099877695044688, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06492246383758682, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08085547951554761, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016076313112860063, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00014329743489926994, "ret_p3m": 0.35749091424841684, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.35749091424841684, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.25706808961829863, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06970653342798494, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1004228246301182, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2877843808204319, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1096, -0.1133, -0.1382, 0.0177, 0.067, 0.1663, 0.1663, 0.2393, 0.1991, 0.0743, 0.1346, 0.2077, 0.1742, 0.1864, 0.1912, 0.1255, 0.1498, 0.0384, -0.1023, -0.0871, -0.1236, -0.0773, -0.0128, -0.0049, -0.0311, -0.0122, -0.0122, -0.0749, -0.0816, -0.1114, -0.1011, -0.1011, -0.0134, 0.106, 0.0682, -0.0207, 0.0079, 0.0128, 0.0767, 0.1114, 0.1041, 0.067, 0.1449, 0.1449, 0.0914, 0.0792, 0.0591, 0.07, 0.0043, 0.1419, 0.1553, 0.078, -0.028, -0.0371, -0.0097, -0.1322, -0.2266, -0.1029, 0.0207, 0.0414, -0.0085, -0.0195, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0475, -0.0609, -0.0378, -0.1078, -0.0731, 0.0426, 0.0116, 0.0037, -0.0499, -0.0402, -0.1041, -0.0231, -0.0773, -0.1705, -0.1285, -0.1498, -0.1407, -0.165, -0.1425, -0.078, -0.081, -0.1066, -0.1084, -0.1468, -0.0932, -0.0938, -0.0329, -0.1261, -0.1629, -0.2683, -0.2162, -0.2302, -0.2192, -0.2192, -0.187, -0.1468, -0.0609, -0.0037, 0.0067, 0.0816, 0.1236, 0.0962, 0.056, 0.1797, 0.1748, 0.0987, 0.1839, 0.1382, 0.1084, 0.106, 0.0512, 0.0305, 0.0804, 0.0378, 0.0895, 0.3459, 0.3343, 0.2597, 0.2515, 0.2351, 0.2217, 0.2935, 0.3575, 0.2381, 0.1644, 0.1449, 0.1864, 0.3106, 0.338, 0.338, 0.4019, 0.5323, 0.4976, 0.4403, 0.4403, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2023225495140335674", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-16T02:38:42+00:00", "symbol": "WULF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Negative until they have less correlation with Bitcoin given Bitcoin's recent price drop", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish BTC-correlated miners IREN/CIFR/WULF on BTC price drop; prefers NBIS as purer HPC/neocloud play.", "resolved_tickers": ["WULF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Negative until they have less correlation with Bitcoin given Bitcoin's recent price drop. Neoclouds like $NBIS are a bit more pure play to the sector.\n\nLast I recall, $CIFR balance sheet had a lot of Bitcoin exposure and a lot of $IREN's profit comes from Bitcoin mining.\n\nRevenue numbers are a lot of noise since revenue from Bitcoin mining vs HPC hits the balance sheet a lot different. But as they scale up, it should be less materially impacted.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What do you expect for $BTC correlated, DC companies, e.g. $IREN $CIFR $WULF?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "platochi", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004920044439111093, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004920044439111093, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0065335109098361155, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0065335109098361155, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0016134664707250224, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0016134664707250224, "ret_p1w": -0.03567035150933329, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03567035150933329, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03660918377722644, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03660918377722644, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0009388322678931527, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0009388322678931527, "ret_p1m": -0.013530092881777311, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.013530092881777311, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.002546220231082752, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.002546220231082752, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016076313112860063, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016076313112860063, "ret_p3m": 0.4864698484666665, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4864698484666665, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3860470238365483, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3860470238365483, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1004228246301182, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1004228246301182, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2478, -0.2891, -0.3057, -0.2232, -0.1427, -0.0873, -0.0873, -0.0461, -0.059, -0.1255, -0.1125, -0.0713, -0.1082, -0.08, -0.0412, -0.0308, -0.0264, -0.1187, -0.2319, -0.2011, -0.2884, -0.2749, -0.23, -0.2331, -0.2362, -0.2429, -0.2429, -0.2774, -0.2977, -0.3143, -0.2934, -0.2934, -0.2165, -0.1624, -0.1894, -0.2319, -0.2103, -0.1943, -0.1507, -0.1304, -0.1261, -0.1494, -0.1482, -0.1482, -0.1802, -0.1931, -0.2073, -0.1316, -0.1519, -0.0584, -0.0707, -0.1058, -0.1777, -0.1734, -0.0898, -0.1464, -0.2669, -0.1212, 0.024, 0.0228, -0.0141, -0.0215, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0049, -0.0541, -0.0486, -0.0769, -0.0357, 0.08, 0.1021, 0.0996, -0.0025, -0.0148, -0.0935, -0.0547, -0.0633, -0.1544, -0.1482, -0.1175, -0.064, -0.0978, -0.0978, 0.0092, -0.0135, -0.059, -0.032, -0.0713, -0.0043, -0.0025, 0.0369, -0.056, -0.0843, -0.1574, -0.1125, -0.1095, -0.0849, -0.0849, -0.0437, 0.0191, 0.1101, 0.1704, 0.1605, 0.1962, 0.2884, 0.2097, 0.1876, 0.2694, 0.2608, 0.2159, 0.2638, 0.2528, 0.2306, 0.318, 0.2792, 0.2312, 0.3364, 0.3106, 0.3708, 0.4446, 0.583, 0.4772, 0.4385, 0.4373, 0.4022, 0.4219, 0.4865, 0.3727, 0.3001, 0.3124, 0.3303, 0.4096, 0.4034, 0.4034, 0.5486, 0.6445, 0.6236, 0.572, 0.572, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2023225495140335674", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-02-16T02:38:42+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Neoclouds like $NBIS are a bit more pure play to the sector", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish BTC-correlated miners IREN/CIFR/WULF on BTC price drop; prefers NBIS as purer HPC/neocloud play.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Negative until they have less correlation with Bitcoin given Bitcoin's recent price drop. Neoclouds like $NBIS are a bit more pure play to the sector.\n\nLast I recall, $CIFR balance sheet had a lot of Bitcoin exposure and a lot of $IREN's profit comes from Bitcoin mining.\n\nRevenue numbers are a lot of noise since revenue from Bitcoin mining vs HPC hits the balance sheet a lot different. But as they scale up, it should be less materially impacted.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What do you expect for $BTC correlated, DC companies, e.g. $IREN $CIFR $WULF?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "platochi", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004999545785979831, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004999545785979831, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006613012256704853, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0034285850597975953, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0016134664707250224, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0015709607261822356, "ret_p1w": 0.026527889168976637, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.026527889168976637, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.025589056901083485, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.019720414954929488, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0009388322678931527, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006807474214047149, "ret_p1m": 0.186919694883386, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.186919694883386, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.20299600799624606, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1800249153853386, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016076313112860063, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006894779498047399, "ret_p3m": 1.2564022964624941, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.2564022964624941, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.155979471832376, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.231060050731452, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1004228246301182, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025342245731042157, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.03, -0.1364, -0.1505, -0.0623, -0.0932, -0.0339, -0.0339, -0.032, 0.0218, -0.0159, 0.0093, 0.0489, 0.0003, 0.0237, -0.0163, -0.0451, -0.0381, -0.1053, -0.1721, -0.1741, -0.2302, -0.2032, -0.0872, -0.0488, -0.0814, -0.0702, -0.0702, -0.1063, -0.1221, -0.131, -0.146, -0.146, -0.0822, -0.0529, 0.0228, -0.0184, -0.0072, -0.0008, 0.0951, 0.0757, 0.0405, 0.0599, 0.1094, 0.1094, 0.0131, 0.0088, -0.0118, -0.0358, -0.0668, -0.0014, 0.0247, -0.0316, -0.1308, -0.1005, -0.0822, -0.1594, -0.2463, -0.1215, -0.0523, -0.0635, -0.0959, -0.0845, 0.0, 0.0, -0.005, 0.0387, 0.0979, -0.0009, 0.0265, 0.0466, 0.0827, 0.0701, -0.0696, -0.0714, -0.1144, -0.0023, -0.0241, -0.0886, -0.0313, -0.0161, 0.1427, 0.1023, 0.1524, 0.3249, 0.1869, 0.2097, 0.2399, 0.2001, 0.1647, 0.1724, 0.1743, 0.0812, 0.0287, -0.0587, 0.0587, 0.0402, 0.1103, 0.1103, 0.1483, 0.1978, 0.2754, 0.391, 0.4791, 0.577, 0.6523, 0.7016, 0.687, 0.6033, 0.6239, 0.5973, 0.5931, 0.6027, 0.5015, 0.479, 0.3826, 0.4406, 0.4104, 0.5763, 0.8, 0.7949, 0.9905, 0.8852, 0.8064, 0.8988, 0.8275, 1.1148, 1.2564, 1.2441, 1.0392, 1.0174, 0.9571, 1.244, 1.1913, 1.1913, 1.1228, 1.126, 1.3094, 1.3578, 1.3578, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2026488864748228736", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-25T02:46:10+00:00", "symbol": "XLU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "For the Power/Grid sector in $XLU, this is fundamentally good news", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish XLU: Trump data-center energy deals reduce regulatory risk, guarantee infrastructure funding, and clear the AI energy trade bottleneck.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Trump's State of the Union is now ongoing. \n\nThe President is expected to announce \"data center energy deals\" during his speech. \n\nThis is a positive tailwind for the Power/Grid sector as there's:   \n\n1. Reduced Regulatory and Political Risk\n\n- Regulated utilities in $XLU are expected to cost burden to hyperscalers from Google to Microsoft.\n\n2. Guarantees Funding for Massive Infrastructure Growth\n\n- The AI race requires a massive a new buildout of grid capacity and generation. Having hyperscalers commit to \"pay their own way\" provides utilities with highly capitalized counterparties. \n\n- Utilities get to build the new infrastructure (which drives EPS growth) without worrying about if the end-user can pay up. \n\n3. Clears the Bottleneck for the \"AI Energy Trade\"\n\n- Regulators in states like Virginia and Ohio have been actively debating how to slow down data center approvals specifically because of the cost fears. These agreements directly addresses the biggest hurdle to new data center construction.\n\nFor the Power/Grid sector in $XLU, this is fundamentally good news.\n\nWe'll see what Trump's actual remarks are on the sector soon.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0033783106954099473, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0033783106954099473, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00498942834626892, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00498942834626892, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008367739041678868, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008367739041678868, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.003800650226057467, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.003800650226057467, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0017538261655636322, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0017538261655636322, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005554476391621099, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005554476391621099, "ret_p1w": -0.0019003251130287335, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0019003251130287335, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.009670146842640004, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.009670146842640004, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011570471955668737, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011570471955668737, "ret_p1m": -0.036171389550588406, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.036171389550588406, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.030622628270920993, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.030622628270920993, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0667940178215094, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0667940178215094, "ret_p3m": -0.03574621117154975, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03574621117154975, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11441072814365916, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11441072814365916, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07866451697210941, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07866451697210941, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0503, -0.0725, -0.0791, -0.082, -0.0839, -0.0925, -0.1047, -0.1041, -0.1045, -0.098, -0.1024, -0.0942, -0.098, -0.1038, -0.095, -0.1066, -0.1033, -0.1001, -0.0961, -0.0961, -0.0967, -0.095, -0.0929, -0.0986, -0.0986, -0.0883, -0.0984, -0.094, -0.1159, -0.1134, -0.1024, -0.1009, -0.0952, -0.0885, -0.0792, -0.0838, -0.0838, -0.0929, -0.0916, -0.0982, -0.1014, -0.0948, -0.083, -0.0851, -0.0851, -0.0868, -0.1001, -0.087, -0.0904, -0.0899, -0.0847, -0.0819, -0.0667, -0.0585, -0.0446, -0.0182, -0.0182, -0.0207, -0.037, -0.0264, -0.0217, -0.0144, -0.0034, 0.0, -0.0038, 0.0078, 0.0002, -0.0061, -0.0019, -0.0097, -0.0131, -0.0108, -0.0169, -0.0251, -0.0182, -0.0084, -0.0021, -0.0049, -0.0133, -0.0173, -0.0572, -0.0479, -0.0413, -0.0379, -0.0362, -0.0306, -0.0236, -0.0243, -0.0196, -0.0147, -0.0147, -0.0183, -0.0162, -0.0053, 0.0025, -0.0015, -0.0136, -0.0119, -0.0215, -0.0145, -0.0185, -0.0272, -0.0443, -0.046, -0.02, -0.0181, -0.0179, -0.0166, -0.0287, -0.0039, -0.0102, -0.0141, -0.0141, -0.0281, -0.0406, -0.0491, -0.0402, -0.0391, -0.0502, -0.0453, -0.0672, -0.0657, -0.0572, -0.0536, -0.0432, -0.0357, -0.0357, -0.0362, -0.0402, -0.0511, -0.0555, -0.0555, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2012841053095629236", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-18T10:54:38+00:00", "symbol": "S&P500", "kind": "index", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "i personally would just stay long and ignore the noise", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Stay long US equities; tariff/Greenland noise doesn't matter given strong US economic growth.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPY"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "S&P 500 proxied by SPY ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SukhTatla Bitcoin markets are a pretty good proxy, there’s almost no price drops.\n\nI don’t think markets seem to care much about tariffs anymore since this is a daily occurrence.\n\nUS economic growth is an absolute powerhouse, so i personally would just stay long and ignore the noise", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thanks, what do think this Greenland/Tariff will do to the markets on Tuesday?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SukhTatla", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "ret_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "ret_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "ret_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0373, -0.0316, -0.0237, -0.0122, -0.0096, -0.0091, -0.02, -0.0168, -0.0149, -0.0266, -0.0232, -0.0337, -0.0328, -0.0177, -0.0154, -0.0149, -0.0312, -0.0314, -0.0404, -0.0485, -0.0448, -0.0594, -0.05, -0.036, -0.0269, -0.0202, -0.0202, -0.0149, -0.0194, -0.0175, -0.0141, -0.0134, -0.0116, -0.0145, -0.0154, -0.0088, -0.0065, -0.0172, -0.0187, -0.0214, -0.0322, -0.0248, -0.016, -0.0099, -0.0053, -0.0019, -0.0019, -0.002, -0.0055, -0.0067, -0.0141, -0.0141, -0.0123, -0.0057, 0.0002, -0.003, -0.0031, 0.0035, 0.0051, 0.0031, -0.0019, 0.0008, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0204, -0.0091, -0.0039, -0.0035, 0.0015, 0.0055, 0.0054, 0.0034, 0.0004, 0.0054, -0.0031, -0.0079, -0.0203, -0.0015, 0.0033, 0.0007, 0.0004, -0.015, -0.0143, -0.0143, -0.0127, -0.0078, -0.0104, -0.0032, -0.0134, -0.0062, 0.0022, -0.0034, -0.0082, -0.0076, -0.0164, -0.0094, -0.015, -0.0279, -0.0194, -0.0209, -0.0222, -0.037, -0.0425, -0.0327, -0.0302, -0.0437, -0.0461, -0.0597, -0.0499, -0.0531, -0.0478, -0.0648, -0.0807, -0.0838, -0.0572, -0.0501, -0.0492, -0.0492, -0.0447, -0.0443, -0.02, -0.0143, -0.015, -0.0053, 0.0068, 0.0147, 0.0172, 0.0295, 0.0275, 0.0207, 0.0311, 0.0271, 0.035, 0.0368, 0.0318, 0.0316, 0.0419, 0.0448, 0.0409, 0.0493, 0.0639, 0.0606, 0.0694, 0.0718, 0.0702, 0.0762, 0.0847, 0.0716, 0.0709, 0.0637, 0.0746, 0.0768, 0.081, 0.081, 0.0882, 0.088, 0.094, 0.0967, 0.0967, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2024998363020865895", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-21T00:03:27+00:00", "symbol": "EWY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "calls might double again off IV expansion (not including $EWY price going up)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish EWY: IV expansion to ~60% could double calls again, plus upside from EWY price appreciation.", "resolved_tickers": ["EWY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@jflood215 Anytime, I like to publish my ideas for free for anyone to read! \n\nIV could easily expand to ~60% given the volatility, so calls might double again off IV expansion (not including $EWY price going up)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit My OTM leaps have doubled since your post 🚀 Thanks again", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jflood215", "ret_m1d": 0.018521190054074044, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.018521190054074044, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008204528667010491, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008204528667010491, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.037688441385384186, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.037688441385384186, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030419988454989166, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030419988454989166, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "ret_p1w": 0.05915283599321519, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05915283599321519, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05330575028032358, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05330575028032358, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "ret_p1m": -0.0757358422155805, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0757358422155805, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03554445989111776, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03554445989111776, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "ret_p3m": 0.33826269981975354, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.33826269981975354, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.24688048298196907, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.24688048298196907, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3572, -0.3572, -0.362, -0.3638, -0.3536, -0.347, -0.355, -0.3379, -0.3325, -0.329, -0.3207, -0.3333, -0.3494, -0.3489, -0.3574, -0.3641, -0.3534, -0.3443, -0.3413, -0.3345, -0.3209, -0.3209, -0.312, -0.2913, -0.292, -0.3021, -0.3021, -0.2662, -0.2475, -0.2275, -0.2317, -0.2348, -0.2183, -0.218, -0.228, -0.2129, -0.2028, -0.1944, -0.1944, -0.2034, -0.1697, -0.1673, -0.1531, -0.1578, -0.1192, -0.0986, -0.1062, -0.1212, -0.1319, -0.1075, -0.1367, -0.137, -0.1047, -0.0951, -0.1066, -0.0625, -0.061, -0.0383, -0.0383, -0.0619, -0.0457, -0.0294, 0.0185, 0.0, 0.0377, 0.0688, 0.0798, 0.0866, 0.0592, -0.05, -0.0354, -0.0973, -0.0902, -0.0388, -0.0646, -0.0463, -0.1134, -0.1088, -0.0445, -0.035, -0.0533, -0.0322, -0.0971, -0.0394, -0.0757, -0.083, -0.1386, -0.1315, -0.1642, -0.1169, -0.0939, -0.1179, -0.1179, -0.0959, -0.0869, 0.0055, -0.0001, -0.0041, 0.0139, 0.053, 0.0403, 0.0587, 0.0935, 0.0775, 0.0538, 0.1184, 0.081, 0.1096, 0.1251, 0.1082, 0.1052, 0.1541, 0.163, 0.1744, 0.2453, 0.3064, 0.2688, 0.3654, 0.3844, 0.2814, 0.3541, 0.3677, 0.284, 0.2642, 0.2492, 0.293, 0.3383, 0.3067, 0.3067, 0.4404, 0.4235, 0.4818, 0.4776, 0.4776, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2018506303736569942", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-03T02:06:19+00:00", "symbol": "000660.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Korean memory stocks likely have a lot of repricing to do", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Korean memory stocks have major repricing to do; SK Hynix ~4.3x and Samsung ~5.1x 2026 P/E are cheap; play via EWY/FLKR.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Korean memory stocks likely have a lot of repricing to do. \n\nForward P/E for 2026 (Morgan Stanley): \n\nSK Hynix ~4.3x \nSamsung Electronics ~5.1x \n\nFor exposure: $EWY or $FLKR | $HY9H.\n\nEven after going up 15-30% every month, they're cheaper than ever. https://t.co/lzUH0jWxk1", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The Memory Supercycle is here. \n\nNew reports from Morgan Stanley est. \n\n- Samsung's net profit ~$163.0B USD  \n- SK Hynix's ~$120.9B USD.\n\nThat would make Samsung the most profitable company in the world, even more than $NVDA and $GOOGL.\n\nHere are the top 10 rankings:\n\n1. Samsung https://t.co/EllvfY0dxq", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08489530720818073, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08489530720818073, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09342280703044137, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05762697228242397, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008527499822260642, "bench_c_m1d": -0.027268334925756754, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007717817970910423, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007717817970910423, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0028738962920132893, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02493982012883278, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004843921678897134, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0326576380997432, "ret_p1w": -0.034178631968155404, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.034178631968155404, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03793472603506576, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.035224298423569556, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0037560940669103537, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0010456664554141515, "ret_p1m": -0.06221986694607762, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06221986694607762, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05583864319149423, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14305959866288598, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.006381223754583387, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08083973171680836, "ret_p3m": 0.42047732317879416, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.42047732317879416, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3724908649283949, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.11738851689122054, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.047986458250399266, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3030888062875736, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3467, -0.361, -0.3323, -0.318, -0.3202, -0.3257, -0.383, -0.3323, -0.372, -0.3808, -0.3709, -0.426, -0.4271, -0.4282, -0.4227, -0.4002, -0.4157, -0.4068, -0.3848, -0.3914, -0.4024, -0.4002, -0.3638, -0.376, -0.3528, -0.3771, -0.3705, -0.3892, -0.4157, -0.3925, -0.3914, -0.3969, -0.3605, -0.3561, -0.3517, -0.3517, -0.3396, -0.2944, -0.2822, -0.2822, -0.2822, -0.2536, -0.2326, -0.1996, -0.1819, -0.1665, -0.1797, -0.1742, -0.1863, -0.1819, -0.1742, -0.1665, -0.1577, -0.1808, -0.1841, -0.1676, -0.1544, -0.1885, -0.118, -0.0728, -0.0507, 0.0022, -0.0849, 0.0, -0.0077, -0.0717, -0.075, -0.0221, -0.0342, -0.0518, -0.0209, -0.0298, -0.0298, -0.0298, -0.0298, -0.0143, 0.0463, 0.0485, 0.108, 0.1224, 0.2139, 0.1719, 0.1719, 0.0372, -0.0622, 0.0394, 0.0206, -0.0766, 0.0361, 0.0549, 0.0273, 0.0052, 0.0759, 0.0714, 0.1664, 0.1189, 0.1123, 0.0306, 0.0891, 0.099, 0.0306, 0.0306, -0.0357, -0.1086, -0.0092, -0.0832, -0.0324, -0.0214, 0.0118, 0.141, 0.1024, 0.1344, 0.1488, 0.2183, 0.2548, 0.2758, 0.246, 0.2879, 0.352, 0.3509, 0.3531, 0.3498, 0.4271, 0.4359, 0.4282, 0.4205, 0.4205, 0.5983, 0.5983, 0.7684, 0.827, 0.8623, 1.0766, 1.0269, 1.1826, 1.176, 1.0092, 1.0324, 0.9275, 0.9275, 1.1429, 1.144, 1.144, 1.2666, 1.4776, 1.5288, 1.5774, 1.631, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2018506303736569942", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-03T02:06:19+00:00", "symbol": "005930.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Korean memory stocks likely have a lot of repricing to do", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Korean memory stocks have major repricing to do; SK Hynix ~4.3x and Samsung ~5.1x 2026 P/E are cheap; play via EWY/FLKR.", "resolved_tickers": ["005930.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Korean memory stocks likely have a lot of repricing to do. \n\nForward P/E for 2026 (Morgan Stanley): \n\nSK Hynix ~4.3x \nSamsung Electronics ~5.1x \n\nFor exposure: $EWY or $FLKR | $HY9H.\n\nEven after going up 15-30% every month, they're cheaper than ever. https://t.co/lzUH0jWxk1", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The Memory Supercycle is here. \n\nNew reports from Morgan Stanley est. \n\n- Samsung's net profit ~$163.0B USD  \n- SK Hynix's ~$120.9B USD.\n\nThat would make Samsung the most profitable company in the world, even more than $NVDA and $GOOGL.\n\nHere are the top 10 rankings:\n\n1. Samsung https://t.co/EllvfY0dxq", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.10208951194617766, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10208951194617766, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1106170117684383, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12447119532146178, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008527499822260642, "bench_c_m1d": 0.022381683375284123, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00955228696738053, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00955228696738053, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014396208646277664, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03742398560322102, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004843921678897134, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02787169863584049, "ret_p1w": -0.010149228953051037, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.010149228953051037, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01390532301996139, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.013457259928367438, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0037560940669103537, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0033080309753164006, "ret_p1m": 0.028059731963139933, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.028059731963139933, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03444095571772332, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04382556844636454, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.006381223754583387, "bench_c_p1m": -0.015765836483224605, "ret_p3m": 0.31914270306660475, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.31914270306660475, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2711562448162055, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.17843848086464575, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.047986458250399266, "bench_c_p3m": 0.140704222201959, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4106, -0.4183, -0.4023, -0.3851, -0.3875, -0.3892, -0.4225, -0.4023, -0.4189, -0.4267, -0.4023, -0.4368, -0.4255, -0.41, -0.3892, -0.3851, -0.4029, -0.4011, -0.3857, -0.3791, -0.3756, -0.356, -0.3494, -0.356, -0.3583, -0.3625, -0.353, -0.3774, -0.3892, -0.3589, -0.3607, -0.3684, -0.3435, -0.3375, -0.3399, -0.3399, -0.3049, -0.2866, -0.2842, -0.2842, -0.2842, -0.2328, -0.1755, -0.1707, -0.1582, -0.1713, -0.1701, -0.1713, -0.1785, -0.1624, -0.1409, -0.111, -0.1087, -0.1331, -0.1075, -0.0907, -0.0919, -0.0919, -0.0478, -0.0304, -0.0406, -0.0418, -0.1021, 0.0, 0.0096, -0.049, -0.0531, -0.0066, -0.0101, 0.0018, 0.0663, 0.0818, 0.0818, 0.0818, 0.0818, 0.1343, 0.1349, 0.1522, 0.194, 0.2149, 0.3015, 0.2925, 0.2925, 0.1648, 0.0281, 0.1439, 0.1236, 0.0358, 0.1218, 0.1343, 0.1218, 0.0955, 0.1266, 0.1576, 0.2448, 0.197, 0.1904, 0.1122, 0.1325, 0.1284, 0.0752, 0.0752, 0.0547, 0.0003, 0.1346, 0.0673, 0.1139, 0.1552, 0.1756, 0.2593, 0.2204, 0.2324, 0.2025, 0.2354, 0.2623, 0.3012, 0.2922, 0.2832, 0.3102, 0.3012, 0.3431, 0.3132, 0.3431, 0.3281, 0.352, 0.3191, 0.3191, 0.3909, 0.3909, 0.5913, 0.6243, 0.6063, 0.708, 0.6691, 0.699, 0.7708, 0.6183, 0.6811, 0.6482, 0.6512, 0.7918, 0.7499, 0.7499, 0.7888, 0.8366, 0.7918, 0.8965, 1.0729, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2018506303736569942", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-03T02:06:19+00:00", "symbol": "EWY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "For exposure: $EWY or $FLKR | $HY9H", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Korean memory stocks have major repricing to do; SK Hynix ~4.3x and Samsung ~5.1x 2026 P/E are cheap; play via EWY/FLKR.", "resolved_tickers": ["EWY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Korean memory stocks likely have a lot of repricing to do. \n\nForward P/E for 2026 (Morgan Stanley): \n\nSK Hynix ~4.3x \nSamsung Electronics ~5.1x \n\nFor exposure: $EWY or $FLKR | $HY9H.\n\nEven after going up 15-30% every month, they're cheaper than ever. https://t.co/lzUH0jWxk1", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The Memory Supercycle is here. \n\nNew reports from Morgan Stanley est. \n\n- Samsung's net profit ~$163.0B USD  \n- SK Hynix's ~$120.9B USD.\n\nThat would make Samsung the most profitable company in the world, even more than $NVDA and $GOOGL.\n\nHere are the top 10 rankings:\n\n1. Samsung https://t.co/EllvfY0dxq", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.027268334925756754, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.027268334925756754, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0357958347480174, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0357958347480174, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008527499822260642, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008527499822260642, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0326576380997432, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0326576380997432, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02781371642084607, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02781371642084607, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004843921678897134, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004843921678897134, "ret_p1w": 0.0010456664554141515, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0010456664554141515, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0027104276114962023, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0027104276114962023, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0037560940669103537, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0037560940669103537, "ret_p1m": 0.08083973171680836, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08083973171680836, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08722095547139175, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08722095547139175, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.006381223754583387, "bench_c_p1m": -0.006381223754583387, "ret_p3m": 0.3030888062875736, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3030888062875736, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.25510234803717435, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.25510234803717435, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.047986458250399266, "bench_c_p3m": 0.047986458250399266, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2644, -0.2778, -0.2474, -0.2503, -0.2454, -0.2599, -0.2595, -0.2682, -0.2795, -0.2876, -0.3035, -0.2981, -0.2896, -0.2936, -0.2798, -0.2798, -0.2851, -0.2871, -0.2757, -0.2684, -0.2773, -0.2581, -0.2521, -0.2481, -0.2389, -0.2529, -0.271, -0.2705, -0.2799, -0.2875, -0.2755, -0.2653, -0.262, -0.2543, -0.2391, -0.2391, -0.2291, -0.2059, -0.2067, -0.218, -0.218, -0.1778, -0.1568, -0.1344, -0.1391, -0.1426, -0.1241, -0.1238, -0.135, -0.1181, -0.1067, -0.0973, -0.0973, -0.1074, -0.0697, -0.067, -0.0511, -0.0563, -0.013, 0.01, 0.0014, -0.0154, -0.0273, 0.0, -0.0327, -0.0331, 0.0031, 0.0139, 0.001, 0.0505, 0.0521, 0.0776, 0.0776, 0.0512, 0.0693, 0.0876, 0.1412, 0.1205, 0.1627, 0.1976, 0.2099, 0.2176, 0.1868, 0.0645, 0.0808, 0.0114, 0.0194, 0.077, 0.0481, 0.0686, -0.0066, -0.0014, 0.0706, 0.0813, 0.0608, 0.0845, 0.0117, 0.0763, 0.0356, 0.0275, -0.0348, -0.0269, -0.0635, -0.0105, 0.0153, -0.0117, -0.0117, 0.013, 0.0231, 0.1267, 0.1204, 0.1159, 0.136, 0.1799, 0.1657, 0.1862, 0.2253, 0.2073, 0.1807, 0.2532, 0.2113, 0.2433, 0.2607, 0.2417, 0.2384, 0.2931, 0.3031, 0.3159, 0.3954, 0.4638, 0.4217, 0.5299, 0.5512, 0.4358, 0.5173, 0.5325, 0.4387, 0.4165, 0.3998, 0.4488, 0.4995, 0.4642, 0.4642, 0.614, 0.595, 0.6603, 0.6556, 0.6556, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2018506303736569942", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-02-03T02:06:19+00:00", "symbol": "FLKR", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "For exposure: $EWY or $FLKR | $HY9H", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Korean memory stocks have major repricing to do; SK Hynix ~4.3x and Samsung ~5.1x 2026 P/E are cheap; play via EWY/FLKR.", "resolved_tickers": ["FLKR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Korean memory stocks likely have a lot of repricing to do. \n\nForward P/E for 2026 (Morgan Stanley): \n\nSK Hynix ~4.3x \nSamsung Electronics ~5.1x \n\nFor exposure: $EWY or $FLKR | $HY9H.\n\nEven after going up 15-30% every month, they're cheaper than ever. https://t.co/lzUH0jWxk1", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The Memory Supercycle is here. \n\nNew reports from Morgan Stanley est. \n\n- Samsung's net profit ~$163.0B USD  \n- SK Hynix's ~$120.9B USD.\n\nThat would make Samsung the most profitable company in the world, even more than $NVDA and $GOOGL.\n\nHere are the top 10 rankings:\n\n1. Samsung https://t.co/EllvfY0dxq", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02416768337052544, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02416768337052544, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03269518319278608, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03269518319278608, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008527499822260642, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008527499822260642, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.032305735714946215, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.032305735714946215, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02746181403604908, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02746181403604908, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004843921678897134, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004843921678897134, "ret_p1w": 0.0024661477361251904, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0024661477361251904, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0012899463307851633, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0012899463307851633, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0037560940669103537, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0037560940669103537, "ret_p1m": 0.07102345554381828, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07102345554381828, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07740467929840167, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07740467929840167, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.006381223754583387, "bench_c_p1m": -0.006381223754583387, "ret_p3m": 0.30135638595856484, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.30135638595856484, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2533699277081656, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2533699277081656, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.047986458250399266, "bench_c_p3m": 0.047986458250399266, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2584, -0.2731, -0.2425, -0.2463, -0.2411, -0.256, -0.2539, -0.2632, -0.2764, -0.2833, -0.2992, -0.2923, -0.2851, -0.2883, -0.2771, -0.2771, -0.2812, -0.2838, -0.2705, -0.2636, -0.2691, -0.2556, -0.2468, -0.2449, -0.2361, -0.2489, -0.2665, -0.2646, -0.2743, -0.2824, -0.2674, -0.258, -0.2552, -0.2488, -0.2313, -0.2313, -0.2234, -0.2037, -0.202, -0.2096, -0.2096, -0.1761, -0.1549, -0.1319, -0.1371, -0.1393, -0.1212, -0.1207, -0.1319, -0.1134, -0.1023, -0.0935, -0.0935, -0.1028, -0.0676, -0.0651, -0.0481, -0.0525, -0.0121, 0.0099, 0.003, -0.0118, -0.0242, 0.0, -0.0323, -0.0343, 0.0037, 0.0145, 0.0025, 0.0506, 0.0501, 0.0752, 0.0752, 0.0518, 0.0661, 0.0848, 0.1361, 0.1174, 0.1573, 0.1928, 0.203, 0.2101, 0.181, 0.0599, 0.071, 0.0052, 0.0106, 0.0651, 0.0446, 0.0614, -0.0136, -0.0074, 0.0609, 0.0737, 0.057, 0.0769, 0.0059, 0.0698, 0.0296, 0.0212, -0.0412, -0.0311, -0.0686, -0.0168, 0.0069, -0.0168, -0.0168, 0.0059, 0.0185, 0.1181, 0.1117, 0.1065, 0.1263, 0.1704, 0.1568, 0.1751, 0.2163, 0.1985, 0.1716, 0.2439, 0.2039, 0.235, 0.2562, 0.2397, 0.2363, 0.2836, 0.3014, 0.3137, 0.3926, 0.456, 0.4141, 0.5159, 0.542, 0.4229, 0.5083, 0.5189, 0.4318, 0.4074, 0.3879, 0.4296, 0.4846, 0.4496, 0.4496, 0.5946, 0.5805, 0.6446, 0.6343, 0.6343, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2022966933637996825", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-15T09:31:16+00:00", "symbol": "SIMO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "great long", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses SIMO as a great long despite its prior rally.", "resolved_tickers": ["SIMO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@LAMINAR27174405 Nope but great long. This one is the very start of the cycle, $SIMO has already rallied quite a bit.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $SIMO fits this description", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LAMINAR27174405", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03610203730163142, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03610203730163142, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03771550377235644, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.035586998906533274, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0016134664707250224, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0005150383950981441, "ret_p1w": -0.0008805101304104612, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0008805101304104612, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0018193423983036139, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.013536263212575839, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0009388322678931527, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012655753082165377, "ret_p1m": -0.07411207094344618, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07411207094344618, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05803575783058612, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04752520666051685, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016076313112860063, "bench_c_p1m": -0.026586864282929334, "ret_p3m": 0.9400476718596344, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.9400476718596344, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.8396248472295162, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5215741480591496, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1004228246301182, "bench_c_p3m": 0.41847352380048486, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3801, -0.414, -0.4076, -0.3871, -0.3808, -0.3598, -0.3598, -0.3497, -0.3515, -0.3521, -0.3352, -0.3347, -0.326, -0.3213, -0.3087, -0.3003, -0.3183, -0.3588, -0.3635, -0.375, -0.382, -0.3673, -0.3512, -0.3454, -0.3448, -0.3488, -0.3488, -0.3404, -0.3485, -0.3387, -0.3224, -0.3224, -0.3146, -0.3159, -0.2309, -0.1146, -0.1884, -0.1731, -0.157, -0.1699, -0.1832, -0.1712, -0.1749, -0.1749, -0.1739, -0.1388, -0.1574, -0.1745, -0.1729, -0.1503, -0.144, -0.1508, -0.1306, -0.1246, -0.1197, -0.0616, -0.0776, -0.0639, 0.0055, -0.0401, 0.0269, 0.0152, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0361, -0.0258, -0.0291, -0.0103, -0.0009, -0.0029, 0.0494, -0.0382, -0.0517, -0.052, -0.1236, -0.1026, -0.0919, -0.1316, -0.1075, -0.0991, -0.0928, -0.1187, -0.0955, -0.0757, -0.0741, -0.0798, -0.0644, -0.0919, -0.0921, -0.1294, -0.186, -0.1838, -0.1924, -0.2262, -0.176, -0.1416, -0.1642, -0.1642, -0.1445, -0.1414, -0.1066, -0.0681, -0.0702, -0.0754, -0.045, 0.0202, 0.0053, 0.0252, 0.0178, 0.0453, 0.0416, 0.042, 0.1261, 0.0826, 0.0947, 0.596, 0.6054, 0.7209, 0.6669, 0.7494, 0.7974, 0.7846, 0.8646, 0.9268, 0.9023, 0.9843, 0.94, 0.9117, 0.7629, 0.8597, 0.8972, 0.9375, 1.0304, 1.0304, 1.1347, 1.0954, 1.0767, 1.0358, 1.0358, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2033449575038738810", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-16T07:45:33+00:00", "symbol": "EWY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd expect sk hynix/samsung to heavily carry returns", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish EWY; expects SK Hynix/Samsung to carry returns despite FX headwind concerns.", "resolved_tickers": ["EWY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@NicholasBardy I’m more worried about currency exchange rates on $EWY than I am on individual companies.\n\nBut regardless I’d expect sk hynix/samsung to heavily carry returns", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I been white knuckling this shit, brutal how much I was down. Still am, knuckles getting whiter.\n\nLeaps on EWY may still be exposed some as Korean economy is only 50% memory companies", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "NicholasBardy", "ret_m1d": -0.06724270598963045, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06724270598963045, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05716836509657741, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05716836509657741, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010074340893053035, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010074340893053035, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009992385509218105, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009992385509218105, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0073618306392428945, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0073618306392428945, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00263055486997521, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00263055486997521, "ret_p1w": 0.005334270642526784, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.005334270642526784, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.023061700296955867, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.023061700296955867, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017727429654429083, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017727429654429083, "ret_p1m": 0.10202844439919923, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10202844439919923, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06118339922987537, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06118339922987537, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04084504516932386, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04084504516932386, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3345, -0.3233, -0.3137, -0.3107, -0.3035, -0.2893, -0.2893, -0.2799, -0.2583, -0.2591, -0.2696, -0.2696, -0.232, -0.2124, -0.1915, -0.1959, -0.1992, -0.1819, -0.1816, -0.192, -0.1763, -0.1657, -0.1569, -0.1569, -0.1663, -0.131, -0.1286, -0.1137, -0.1186, -0.0781, -0.0566, -0.0646, -0.0803, -0.0914, -0.066, -0.0965, -0.0968, -0.063, -0.053, -0.065, -0.0188, -0.0173, 0.0065, 0.0065, -0.0182, -0.0013, 0.0159, 0.066, 0.0466, 0.086, 0.1186, 0.1301, 0.1373, 0.1085, -0.0057, 0.0095, -0.0553, -0.0479, 0.0059, -0.021, -0.0019, -0.0721, -0.0672, 0.0, 0.01, -0.0092, 0.0129, -0.055, 0.0053, -0.0327, -0.0403, -0.0985, -0.0911, -0.1252, -0.0758, -0.0517, -0.0769, -0.0769, -0.0538, -0.0444, 0.0524, 0.0465, 0.0423, 0.0611, 0.102, 0.0888, 0.108, 0.1445, 0.1276, 0.1029, 0.1705, 0.1314, 0.1613, 0.1775, 0.1598, 0.1567, 0.2078, 0.2171, 0.2291, 0.3033, 0.3672, 0.3279, 0.429, 0.4489, 0.3411, 0.4172, 0.4314, 0.3438, 0.3231, 0.3074, 0.3532, 0.4006, 0.3676, 0.3676, 0.5075, 0.4898, 0.5508, 0.5464, 0.5464, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2026597625408139705", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-25T09:58:20+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Still one of my favorite longs but right now is just silent buildout phase. Should see acceleration toward end of this year and past midterms.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Still long NBIS with major ARR ramp expected Q4/Feb; acceleration into year-end and post-midterms.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NBIS major ramp up to $8B ARR is q4 earnings so maybe Feb of next year? Still one of my favorite longs but right now is just silent buildout phase. \n\nShould see acceleration toward end of this year and past midterms. \n\nI think in recent history post-midterm, 100% of the time indexes went up. And pre-midterm was around 60%.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Do you still see $NBIS as a long? I rememebr you had $400 target by EOY...", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Alex84Crypto", "ret_m1d": -0.03335846988226132, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03335846988226132, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.024990730840582454, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.030440062372791843, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008367739041678868, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0029184075094694784, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011684936497082798, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011684936497082798, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006130460105461699, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013573341014038176, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005554476391621099, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0018884045169553776, "ret_p1w": -0.07859031051102927, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07859031051102927, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06701983855536053, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09824695647098736, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011570471955668737, "bench_c_p1w": 0.019656645959958086, "ret_p1m": -0.0014135084997793923, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0014135084997793923, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06538050932173001, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06161462014744978, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0667940178215094, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06302812864722918, "ret_p3m": 1.0238409226707108, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.0238409226707108, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.9451764056986014, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.0296053392142224, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07866451697210941, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0057644165435115635, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.106, -0.0563, -0.0911, -0.0678, -0.0313, -0.0761, -0.0546, -0.0915, -0.1181, -0.1116, -0.1737, -0.2354, -0.2372, -0.289, -0.2641, -0.157, -0.1215, -0.1516, -0.1413, -0.1413, -0.1746, -0.1892, -0.1974, -0.2112, -0.2112, -0.1524, -0.1252, -0.0554, -0.0934, -0.0831, -0.0772, 0.0114, -0.0065, -0.039, -0.0211, 0.0246, 0.0246, -0.0644, -0.0683, -0.0874, -0.1095, -0.1381, -0.0777, -0.0536, -0.1056, -0.1972, -0.1692, -0.1524, -0.2236, -0.3039, -0.1887, -0.1248, -0.135, -0.165, -0.1544, -0.0764, -0.0764, -0.081, -0.0407, 0.014, -0.0773, -0.0519, -0.0334, 0.0, -0.0117, -0.1407, -0.1424, -0.1821, -0.0786, -0.0987, -0.1582, -0.1054, -0.0913, 0.0554, 0.0181, 0.0644, 0.2236, 0.0962, 0.1172, 0.1451, 0.1084, 0.0757, 0.0828, 0.0845, -0.0014, -0.0499, -0.1306, -0.0222, -0.0393, 0.0254, 0.0254, 0.0605, 0.1063, 0.1779, 0.2847, 0.3661, 0.4565, 0.526, 0.5715, 0.558, 0.4808, 0.4998, 0.4752, 0.4714, 0.4802, 0.3867, 0.366, 0.277, 0.3305, 0.3026, 0.4558, 0.6625, 0.6577, 0.8384, 0.7411, 0.6684, 0.7537, 0.6878, 0.9532, 1.084, 1.0726, 0.8833, 0.8633, 0.8076, 1.0725, 1.0238, 1.0238, 0.9606, 0.9635, 1.1329, 1.1776, 1.1776, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2026511301682569619", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-25T04:15:19+00:00", "symbol": "SNDK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I think the recent Citron shorts to Sandisk will just add fuel to the rally", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish SNDK; expects Citron short position to add fuel to the ongoing rally.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNDK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MrHase0 Congrats on 67% YTD! \n\nYeah $SNDK and $AXTI have been hard outperforming the market both up over 100%+ in the last two months.\n\nI think the recent Citron shorts to Sandisk will just add fuel to the rally. https://t.co/s15nu19khI", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Dont listen to them, bro, haters gonna hate. Just keep up the good work💯\n\nbcs of you, my portfolio challenge look like this. Thanks for recommending AXTI and SNDK https://t.co/uO7uEXStRm", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mrhaseee", "ret_m1d": 0.009709375060926062, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.009709375060926062, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01807711410260493, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01807711410260493, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008367739041678868, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008367739041678868, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.030867547013709418, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.030867547013709418, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03642202340533052, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03642202340533052, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005554476391621099, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005554476391621099, "ret_p1w": -0.05268984956346512, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05268984956346512, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04111937760779638, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04111937760779638, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011570471955668737, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011570471955668737, "ret_p1m": -0.04619061600163843, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04619061600163843, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02060340181987097, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02060340181987097, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0667940178215094, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0667940178215094, "ret_p3m": 1.3382933204541607, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.3382933204541607, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.2596288034820513, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.2596288034820513, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07866451697210941, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07866451697210941, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6469, -0.6677, -0.6753, -0.6926, -0.6627, -0.6387, -0.6435, -0.653, -0.6318, -0.6179, -0.674, -0.6808, -0.669, -0.6729, -0.653, -0.6243, -0.6188, -0.6127, -0.6045, -0.6045, -0.6046, -0.6138, -0.6201, -0.6246, -0.6246, -0.5648, -0.5666, -0.4471, -0.4409, -0.471, -0.4032, -0.3844, -0.3836, -0.3867, -0.3529, -0.3459, -0.3459, -0.2835, -0.2073, -0.2039, -0.2507, -0.2555, -0.2387, -0.1656, -0.1472, -0.0888, 0.052, 0.0998, -0.0756, -0.0888, -0.0544, -0.0775, -0.1435, -0.0522, -0.0033, -0.0092, -0.0092, -0.0661, -0.0506, -0.0179, 0.0278, 0.0539, 0.0097, 0.0, 0.0309, 0.0047, -0.021, -0.1059, -0.0527, -0.1056, -0.1661, -0.069, -0.0213, 0.0364, -0.0214, 0.0462, 0.1127, 0.1388, 0.1918, 0.2209, 0.1223, 0.1109, 0.1109, 0.0719, -0.0462, -0.0262, -0.0947, 0.0047, 0.0954, 0.1094, 0.1094, 0.1459, 0.124, 0.2349, 0.3466, 0.3469, 0.5062, 0.4935, 0.4101, 0.454, 0.4564, 0.4438, 0.4287, 0.5482, 0.4745, 0.5654, 0.6923, 0.585, 0.6829, 0.7339, 0.877, 0.9859, 1.2239, 1.2296, 1.1189, 1.4706, 1.4472, 1.2961, 1.2885, 1.1865, 1.2259, 1.1079, 1.1874, 1.2021, 1.4388, 1.3383, 1.3383, 1.5136, 1.5142, 1.596, 1.6803, 1.6803, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2025281236521144343", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-21T18:47:29+00:00", "symbol": "Raspberry Pi", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Yes I own $RPI. It's a very small weighting in my portfolio.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds a small position in Raspberry Pi; bullish thesis based on unpriced revenue growth and TAM, not meme-stock narrative.", "resolved_tickers": ["RPI.L"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Raspberry Pi Holdings listed on LSE as RPI.L", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Electronic Components'", "bench_c_industry": "Electronic Components", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yes I own $RPI. It’s a very small weighting in my portfolio.\n\nWhat gets me riled up is this: \"fondness for the company itself rather than financial performance or potential\". \n\nThe whole thesis was around unpriced financials from revenue growth to TAM. \n\nI’d rather not have a profitable fabless semi like Raspberry Pi turn into a meme stock just because the media wants to make something up.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Are you still holding $RPI? I suppose if it went on to become a meme stock, it would make for a good story... Lots of Brits would get behind it.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Breadcrumb_Cap", "ret_m1d": -0.05717097680468464, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05717097680468464, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06748763819174819, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0742082383488678, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01703726154418317, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09512076703957062, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09512076703957062, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0878523141091756, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0821262885183236, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "bench_c_p1d": 0.012994478521247022, "ret_p1w": -0.07639231378147704, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07639231378147704, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08223939949436865, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08375579278735068, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007363479005873641, "ret_p1m": -0.2557910076772242, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2557910076772242, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.21559962535276145, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.23990354869787822, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01588745897934596, "ret_p3m": 0.6584524895140005, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6584524895140005, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.567070272676216, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3675049044082066, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2909475851057939, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2075, -0.1814, -0.1976, -0.1971, -0.1981, -0.169, -0.1897, -0.1966, -0.2001, -0.1912, -0.207, -0.2213, -0.2366, -0.239, -0.2484, -0.2543, -0.2351, -0.2499, -0.2518, -0.2371, -0.2459, -0.2459, -0.2459, -0.2469, -0.2533, -0.2602, -0.2602, -0.2642, -0.3026, -0.2247, -0.2706, -0.2982, -0.2799, -0.2854, -0.3006, -0.2893, -0.2642, -0.2612, -0.3021, -0.3105, -0.2987, -0.3036, -0.3095, -0.3204, -0.3164, -0.3164, -0.3406, -0.3391, -0.3253, -0.3578, -0.3662, -0.346, -0.3322, -0.3544, -0.346, -0.3465, -0.3297, -0.3011, -0.2484, 0.0227, 0.0103, -0.0591, -0.0572, 0.0, 0.0951, -0.0113, -0.0315, -0.0803, -0.0764, -0.173, -0.1853, -0.2119, -0.239, -0.2686, -0.2647, -0.2346, -0.2804, -0.2799, -0.2854, -0.1449, -0.1966, -0.1769, -0.2361, -0.2104, -0.2558, -0.2282, -0.2469, -0.2809, -0.2799, 0.0591, 0.2031, 0.2016, 0.2016, 0.2016, 0.1444, 0.173, 0.2139, 0.2383, 0.2518, 0.3714, 0.5315, 0.6018, 0.6387, 0.4995, 0.4539, 0.4835, 0.4823, 0.4675, 0.4527, 0.3714, 0.4071, 0.5303, 0.6067, 0.6067, 0.6609, 0.7028, 0.7706, 0.7767, 0.773, 0.6658, 0.7422, 0.7866, 0.7324, 0.7176, 0.5845, 0.555, 0.6585, 0.8457, 0.8457, 0.9283, 0.9431, 0.9591, 1.0084, 1.0084, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2031036045358399608", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-09T15:55:02+00:00", "symbol": "JETS", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Long $JETS (US Airliner ETF) 2028 calls where IV is 25%... $JETS at sub 30 IV is the best way to go", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long JETS 2028 calls as the best way to play inverse crude; also implicitly bearish oil as it reverts to mean.", "resolved_tickers": ["JETS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "For trade ideas if you want to inverse Jim Cramer on the oil trade:\n\nLong $JETS (US Airliner ETF) 2028 calls where IV is 25%.\n\nIt’s priced low beta (25% IV) but it moved -20% this month.\n\nIndividual long on $DAL or $AAL carries elevated 55%+ IV, while the ETF basically moves relatively around the same rate. \n\nUS is largely insulated regarding oil compared to the rest of the world as well and the ETF is concentrated around US airliners.\n\nNot exactly a very well kept secret airliners move in the opposite direction of oil. \n\nOf course this trade carries risks in the event Jim Cramer, Wallstreetbets, and X doomposters are actually right about $200 oil.\n\nBut given the date, there’s enough time for oil prices to revert to mean + Venezuela production to get rolling.\n\nTLDR: if you want to go the other direction of crude oil, $JETS at sub 30 IV is the best way to go.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "There’s only one certainty in life.\n\nIf Jim Cramer. Wallstreetbets. And retail doomposters on X.\n\nAll agree on one thing: \n\nOil to 150-200 and a possible recession.\n\nIt’s wrong.\n\nCrude Oil has since dropped 16% intraday from 116 to 98. https://t.co/xgjgxLRCq1", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.016298023625661684, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.016298023625661684, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.007614070261306449, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.007614070261306449, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.016298023625661684, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.016298023625661684, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.014690896720294555, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.014690896720294555, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "ret_p1w": -0.04617774594175872, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04617774594175872, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03255483921755997, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03255483921755997, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "ret_p1m": -0.038028697121776145, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.038028697121776145, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01259673270216366, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01259673270216366, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0792, 0.0873, 0.0885, 0.0973, 0.1066, 0.0896, 0.0985, 0.1062, 0.1239, 0.1039, 0.1075, 0.1075, 0.1024, 0.0885, 0.09, 0.0893, 0.0893, 0.0978, 0.1257, 0.1312, 0.1265, 0.1253, 0.1436, 0.135, 0.116, 0.1021, 0.1273, 0.1257, 0.1257, 0.0974, 0.1234, 0.1207, 0.1083, 0.099, 0.0811, 0.0745, 0.1028, 0.0846, 0.1226, 0.1389, 0.1568, 0.1436, 0.2092, 0.2026, 0.1983, 0.1591, 0.1381, 0.1393, 0.1393, 0.1707, 0.1758, 0.1292, 0.1436, 0.1063, 0.1184, 0.1218, 0.1498, 0.104, 0.0749, 0.0644, 0.0601, 0.012, -0.0163, 0.0, -0.0163, -0.0213, -0.0601, -0.0667, -0.0462, -0.0272, -0.0458, -0.0419, -0.0652, -0.0326, -0.0365, -0.0182, -0.0295, -0.0636, -0.0827, -0.0442, -0.0194, -0.0326, -0.0326, -0.0303, -0.038, 0.0163, 0.0132, 0.0047, 0.0016, 0.0458, 0.0485, 0.0334, 0.0834, 0.0691, 0.038, 0.0043, -0.0019, 0.0089, -0.0093, -0.019, -0.0326, -0.0136, -0.0004, -0.0136, 0.0113, 0.057, 0.0706, 0.0664, 0.0326, 0.0194, 0.014, 0.0175, -0.0081, -0.0085, -0.0373, 0.026, 0.0477, 0.0528, 0.0528, 0.0966, 0.1284, 0.1308, 0.1378, 0.1378, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2031036045358399608", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-09T15:55:02+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if you want to go the other direction of crude oil", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long JETS 2028 calls as the best way to play inverse crude; also implicitly bearish oil as it reverts to mean.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Oil proxied by USO ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "For trade ideas if you want to inverse Jim Cramer on the oil trade:\n\nLong $JETS (US Airliner ETF) 2028 calls where IV is 25%.\n\nIt’s priced low beta (25% IV) but it moved -20% this month.\n\nIndividual long on $DAL or $AAL carries elevated 55%+ IV, while the ETF basically moves relatively around the same rate. \n\nUS is largely insulated regarding oil compared to the rest of the world as well and the ETF is concentrated around US airliners.\n\nNot exactly a very well kept secret airliners move in the opposite direction of oil. \n\nOf course this trade carries risks in the event Jim Cramer, Wallstreetbets, and X doomposters are actually right about $200 oil.\n\nBut given the date, there’s enough time for oil prices to revert to mean + Venezuela production to get rolling.\n\nTLDR: if you want to go the other direction of crude oil, $JETS at sub 30 IV is the best way to go.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "There’s only one certainty in life.\n\nIf Jim Cramer. Wallstreetbets. And retail doomposters on X.\n\nAll agree on one thing: \n\nOil to 150-200 and a possible recession.\n\nIt’s wrong.\n\nCrude Oil has since dropped 16% intraday from 116 to 98. https://t.co/xgjgxLRCq1", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04255721972670501, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04255721972670501, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.051241173091060244, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.051241173091060244, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014664993313950658, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014664993313950658, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016272120219317787, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016272120219317787, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "ret_p1w": 0.10255915614349442, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10255915614349442, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11618206286769317, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11618206286769317, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "ret_p1m": 0.3234927576695781, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3234927576695781, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.34892472208919056, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.34892472208919056, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3239, -0.3362, -0.3405, -0.3493, -0.3658, -0.3484, -0.356, -0.3479, -0.3316, -0.3262, -0.3271, -0.3271, -0.3436, -0.3328, -0.3315, -0.3371, -0.3371, -0.339, -0.3269, -0.3433, -0.3502, -0.3239, -0.3216, -0.3132, -0.2957, -0.304, -0.3182, -0.3132, -0.3132, -0.3112, -0.297, -0.3116, -0.2912, -0.2957, -0.2748, -0.2656, -0.2414, -0.2378, -0.278, -0.2575, -0.2535, -0.2649, -0.2621, -0.2522, -0.2521, -0.2438, -0.2679, -0.2694, -0.2694, -0.2741, -0.239, -0.2218, -0.2251, -0.2246, -0.2259, -0.2358, -0.2354, -0.2145, -0.1643, -0.1354, -0.1224, -0.0769, 0.0426, 0.0, 0.0147, 0.0357, 0.1348, 0.1491, 0.1026, 0.1391, 0.1662, 0.1249, 0.1639, 0.0597, 0.0979, 0.0868, 0.1239, 0.1905, 0.2444, 0.2197, 0.1894, 0.322, 0.322, 0.3317, 0.3235, 0.1941, 0.2169, 0.1964, 0.2314, 0.1871, 0.175, 0.2062, 0.1122, 0.1628, 0.2293, 0.2403, 0.2913, 0.2691, 0.2913, 0.3381, 0.4438, 0.4099, 0.3687, 0.4148, 0.3819, 0.2839, 0.2937, 0.2805, 0.3291, 0.3831, 0.3614, 0.3707, 0.4208, 0.4309, 0.4661, 0.3828, 0.3662, 0.3507, 0.3507, 0.3131, 0.2559, 0.2535, 0.2373, 0.2373, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2030973822514712627", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-09T11:47:47+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is gradual confirmation of $378m/month revenue from their earnings projections. People were panicking over insider sales, but what matters is execution and fundamentals.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish AAOI: $200M hyperscale 1.6T order confirms $378M/month revenue trajectory; insider sales fears overblown, fundamentals intact.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AAOI Receives First $200M Volume Order of 1.6T Data Center Transceivers from Major Hyperscale Customer”\n\n“We expect that we will soon have the largest production capacity for 800G and 1.6T transceivers in the U.S”\n\nThis is gradual confirmation of $378m/month revenue from their earnings projections.\n\nPeople were panicking over insider sales, but what matters is execution and fundamentals.\n\nEspecially when they’re getting volume orders from Hyperscalers like $AMZN, $META, or $GOOGL", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.13596095228800786, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.13596095228800786, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12727699892365263, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12727699892365263, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08922432536725333, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08922432536725333, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09083145227262046, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09083145227262046, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "ret_p1w": -0.1496113057389088, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1496113057389088, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.13598839901471005, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.13598839901471005, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "ret_p1m": 0.0634604634674294, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0634604634674294, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08889242788704188, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08889242788704188, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6838, -0.6717, -0.7102, -0.7297, -0.7382, -0.7547, -0.7356, -0.7169, -0.6466, -0.6326, -0.6294, -0.6294, -0.664, -0.6678, -0.6744, -0.6849, -0.6849, -0.642, -0.6837, -0.651, -0.656, -0.7016, -0.6923, -0.6952, -0.691, -0.6884, -0.6655, -0.6652, -0.6652, -0.6451, -0.653, -0.6551, -0.6771, -0.6846, -0.662, -0.5911, -0.6423, -0.6058, -0.6008, -0.5831, -0.6393, -0.6553, -0.5995, -0.5669, -0.5617, -0.5625, -0.6023, -0.5981, -0.5981, -0.6031, -0.6073, -0.5753, -0.5328, -0.5122, -0.4913, -0.4746, -0.5146, -0.2386, -0.0733, -0.1381, -0.0986, -0.0857, -0.136, 0.0, 0.0892, 0.1482, -0.04, -0.1248, -0.1496, -0.2196, -0.1626, -0.0786, -0.2086, -0.1343, 0.0297, 0.0343, -0.1193, -0.1122, -0.2299, -0.2353, -0.2194, -0.0607, -0.0607, -0.0287, 0.0635, 0.1996, 0.205, 0.3614, 0.3848, 0.3234, 0.2886, 0.4222, 0.4411, 0.4778, 0.3611, 0.3508, 0.2451, 0.466, 0.3178, 0.2408, 0.3816, 0.4858, 0.6589, 0.5637, 0.6323, 0.614, 0.4242, 0.3464, 0.6715, 0.702, 1.0168, 0.8403, 0.7208, 0.5663, 0.5488, 0.4939, 0.5984, 0.6407, 0.6407, 0.6057, 0.6257, 0.5279, 0.432, 0.432, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2024800666695442788", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-20T10:57:52+00:00", "symbol": "XLU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Shifting a lot of my fintech positions into power like $XLU leaps", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Rotating fintech into power via long XLU leaps; also holding CVX leaps.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Sandeman52 Thanks! Biggest concentration in memory, photonics, and semi bottlenecks right now. Tons of random Japanese and Korean supply chain names like Nittobo and SK Hynix.\n\nShifting a lot of my fintech positions into power like $XLU leaps + holding some $CVX leaps.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Amazing.  Got me beat.  What are your biggest positions?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Sandeman52", "ret_m1d": -0.0047486031203543, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0047486031203543, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.002431337113241172, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.002431337113241172, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007179940233595472, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007179940233595472, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0075544677347541, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0075544677347541, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.017765782445628764, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.017765782445628764, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010211314710874664, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010211314710874664, "ret_p1w": 0.030217953852187396, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.030217953852187396, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0352076310402778, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0352076310402778, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004989677188090402, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004989677188090402, "ret_p1m": -0.0266982068368542, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0266982068368542, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.020094309037958946, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.020094309037958946, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.046792515874813145, "bench_c_p1m": -0.046792515874813145, "ret_p3m": -0.032566718155745744, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.032566718155745744, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11066651116687753, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11066651116687753, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07809979301113179, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07809979301113179, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0487, -0.036, -0.036, -0.0292, -0.0519, -0.0586, -0.0616, -0.0636, -0.0724, -0.0848, -0.0841, -0.0846, -0.0779, -0.0824, -0.0741, -0.0779, -0.0839, -0.0749, -0.0867, -0.0833, -0.0801, -0.076, -0.076, -0.0766, -0.0749, -0.0727, -0.0786, -0.0786, -0.068, -0.0784, -0.0738, -0.0963, -0.0937, -0.0825, -0.0809, -0.0751, -0.0682, -0.0587, -0.0635, -0.0635, -0.0727, -0.0714, -0.0781, -0.0814, -0.0747, -0.0626, -0.0648, -0.0648, -0.0665, -0.0801, -0.0667, -0.0701, -0.0697, -0.0643, -0.0615, -0.046, -0.0376, -0.0233, 0.0037, 0.0037, 0.0011, -0.0155, -0.0047, 0.0, 0.0076, 0.0188, 0.0222, 0.0183, 0.0302, 0.0224, 0.016, 0.0203, 0.0123, 0.0088, 0.0112, 0.005, -0.0035, 0.0037, 0.0136, 0.0201, 0.0173, 0.0086, 0.0045, -0.0363, -0.0267, -0.02, -0.0165, -0.0147, -0.0091, -0.0019, -0.0026, 0.0022, 0.0072, 0.0072, 0.0035, 0.0057, 0.0168, 0.0248, 0.0207, 0.0083, 0.01, 0.0003, 0.0074, 0.0033, -0.0056, -0.023, -0.0247, 0.0018, 0.0037, 0.0039, 0.0053, -0.0071, 0.0183, 0.0118, 0.0079, 0.0079, -0.0065, -0.0193, -0.028, -0.0189, -0.0178, -0.0291, -0.0241, -0.0465, -0.045, -0.0363, -0.0326, -0.0219, -0.0143, -0.0143, -0.0147, -0.0189, -0.03, -0.0345, -0.0345, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2024800666695442788", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-20T10:57:52+00:00", "symbol": "CVX", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "holding some $CVX leaps", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Rotating fintech into power via long XLU leaps; also holding CVX leaps.", "resolved_tickers": ["CVX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Sandeman52 Thanks! Biggest concentration in memory, photonics, and semi bottlenecks right now. Tons of random Japanese and Korean supply chain names like Nittobo and SK Hynix.\n\nShifting a lot of my fintech positions into power like $XLU leaps + holding some $CVX leaps.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Amazing.  Got me beat.  What are your biggest positions?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Sandeman52", "ret_m1d": 0.004621322396426875, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004621322396426875, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.011801262630022347, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011801262630022347, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007179940233595472, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007179940233595472, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00532816705209771, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00532816705209771, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.015539481762972374, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015539481762972374, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010211314710874664, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010211314710874664, "ret_p1w": 0.015386324552625341, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.015386324552625341, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.020376001740715743, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.020376001740715743, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004989677188090402, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004989677188090402, "ret_p1m": 0.11569622942789448, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11569622942789448, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.16248874530270763, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.16248874530270763, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.046792515874813145, "bench_c_p1m": -0.046792515874813145, "ret_p3m": 0.04976042378196133, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04976042378196133, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.028339369229170464, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.028339369229170464, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07809979301113179, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07809979301113179, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2003, -0.195, -0.195, -0.1863, -0.1787, -0.191, -0.1838, -0.1802, -0.1924, -0.1993, -0.2005, -0.1848, -0.1885, -0.1924, -0.1934, -0.2099, -0.195, -0.2048, -0.2045, -0.1934, -0.1896, -0.1897, -0.1897, -0.1923, -0.187, -0.1799, -0.1794, -0.1794, -0.1606, -0.1178, -0.1572, -0.1644, -0.1426, -0.1272, -0.1259, -0.1177, -0.0995, -0.1054, -0.1048, -0.1048, -0.11, -0.1023, -0.1027, -0.1023, -0.0981, -0.0898, -0.0851, -0.0783, -0.0475, -0.063, -0.0414, -0.0242, -0.035, -0.0262, -0.0168, -0.0187, 0.0005, -0.0179, -0.0107, -0.0107, -0.0184, -0.0003, 0.0046, 0.0, 0.0053, 0.0077, 0.0016, 0.0013, 0.0154, 0.0308, 0.0263, 0.0114, 0.0325, 0.0327, 0.03, 0.0128, 0.0427, 0.0709, 0.0701, 0.0702, 0.0763, 0.0798, 0.0952, 0.0968, 0.1157, 0.1243, 0.1154, 0.1297, 0.148, 0.1456, 0.1249, 0.0733, 0.0818, 0.0818, 0.0812, 0.0957, 0.0487, 0.035, 0.0251, 0.0427, 0.0168, 0.0053, 0.0229, 0.0003, -0.0037, 0.0111, 0.013, 0.02, 0.007, 0.0046, 0.0241, 0.0451, 0.051, 0.0364, 0.0454, 0.0474, 0.0067, -0.0078, -0.0126, 0.0044, 0.011, 0.0113, 0.0147, 0.039, 0.0663, 0.0822, 0.0498, 0.048, 0.0503, 0.0503, 0.0134, 0.0008, 0.0042, 0.0011, 0.0011, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2026529571990839302", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-25T05:27:55+00:00", "symbol": "EWY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My mind is blown on Samsung and Sk Hynix projections - $EWY?", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Shares Macquarie projections showing Samsung and SK Hynix at absurdly low forward P/E (3.7x / 2.2x by 2027), implying both are deeply undervalued; author's astonishment signals bullish lean.", "resolved_tickers": ["EWY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My mind is blown on Samsung and Sk Hynix projections - $EWY?\n\nMacquarie projects Samsung Electronics to make: \n\nFY2026: ~$210.8 billion USD (+73% increase from prior KRW 172.1 trillion)\nFY2027: ~$333.7 billion USD (+82% from KRW 260.1 trillion)\n\nSk Hynix:\n\nFY2026: ~$190.5 billion USD (+58% from KRW 272.2 trillion)\nFY2027: ~$312.8 billion USD (+77% from KRW 447 trillion)\n\n(Numbers heavily depend on conversion rates). \n\nIf these projections are true: \n\nThe operating profit from SK Hynix from 2026+2027 are close to eclipsing it's current marketcap. \n\nMacquarie's report slashed their projected forward P/E ratios to an absurd 3.7x by 2027 for Samsung and 2.2x for SK Hynix for 2027.\n\nIt feels unreal but these are genuine projections from Macquarie's desk.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.029149011724640794, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.029149011724640794, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.020781272682961927, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.020781272682961927, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008367739041678868, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008367739041678868, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010208907775484999, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010208907775484999, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.015763384167106098, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015763384167106098, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005554476391621099, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005554476391621099, "ret_p1w": -0.09752168938131134, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09752168938131134, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0859512174256426, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0859512174256426, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011570471955668737, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011570471955668737, "ret_p1m": -0.19410304012593194, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.19410304012593194, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12730902230442254, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12730902230442254, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0667940178215094, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0667940178215094, "ret_p3m": 0.22258042531735334, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.22258042531735334, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.14391590834524393, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.14391590834524393, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07866451697210941, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07866451697210941, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4031, -0.4047, -0.3952, -0.3891, -0.3965, -0.3806, -0.3755, -0.3722, -0.3645, -0.3762, -0.3913, -0.3909, -0.3988, -0.4051, -0.3951, -0.3865, -0.3838, -0.3774, -0.3646, -0.3646, -0.3563, -0.337, -0.3376, -0.347, -0.347, -0.3135, -0.2959, -0.2773, -0.2811, -0.2841, -0.2687, -0.2684, -0.2777, -0.2636, -0.2541, -0.2463, -0.2463, -0.2547, -0.2232, -0.221, -0.2077, -0.212, -0.1759, -0.1567, -0.1638, -0.1778, -0.1878, -0.165, -0.1923, -0.1926, -0.1624, -0.1534, -0.1641, -0.1228, -0.1215, -0.1002, -0.1002, -0.1223, -0.1072, -0.0919, -0.0471, -0.0644, -0.0291, 0.0, 0.0102, 0.0167, -0.0091, -0.1112, -0.0975, -0.1555, -0.1488, -0.1007, -0.1249, -0.1077, -0.1705, -0.1662, -0.1061, -0.0971, -0.1142, -0.0945, -0.1552, -0.1013, -0.1353, -0.1421, -0.1941, -0.1875, -0.218, -0.1738, -0.1523, -0.1748, -0.1748, -0.1541, -0.1457, -0.0592, -0.0645, -0.0682, -0.0514, -0.0148, -0.0267, -0.0095, 0.0231, 0.0081, -0.0141, 0.0464, 0.0114, 0.0381, 0.0527, 0.0368, 0.0341, 0.0797, 0.0881, 0.0987, 0.1651, 0.2222, 0.1871, 0.2775, 0.2953, 0.1989, 0.2669, 0.2796, 0.2013, 0.1828, 0.1688, 0.2097, 0.2521, 0.2226, 0.2226, 0.3476, 0.3318, 0.3863, 0.3824, 0.3824, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2026529571990839302", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-25T05:27:55+00:00", "symbol": "005930.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Macquarie's report slashed their projected forward P/E ratios to an absurd 3.7x by 2027 for Samsung", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Shares Macquarie projections showing Samsung and SK Hynix at absurdly low forward P/E (3.7x / 2.2x by 2027), implying both are deeply undervalued; author's astonishment signals bullish lean.", "resolved_tickers": ["005930.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My mind is blown on Samsung and Sk Hynix projections - $EWY?\n\nMacquarie projects Samsung Electronics to make: \n\nFY2026: ~$210.8 billion USD (+73% increase from prior KRW 172.1 trillion)\nFY2027: ~$333.7 billion USD (+82% from KRW 260.1 trillion)\n\nSk Hynix:\n\nFY2026: ~$190.5 billion USD (+58% from KRW 272.2 trillion)\nFY2027: ~$312.8 billion USD (+77% from KRW 447 trillion)\n\n(Numbers heavily depend on conversion rates). \n\nIf these projections are true: \n\nThe operating profit from SK Hynix from 2026+2027 are close to eclipsing it's current marketcap. \n\nMacquarie's report slashed their projected forward P/E ratios to an absurd 3.7x by 2027 for Samsung and 2.2x for SK Hynix for 2027.\n\nIt feels unreal but these are genuine projections from Macquarie's desk.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.017198993190633782, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.017198993190633782, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.008831254148954915, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.001610783551699857, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008367739041678868, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01880977674233364, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07125313666173794, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07125313666173794, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07680761305335904, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08523814883608793, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005554476391621099, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013985012174349998, "ret_p1w": -0.15380833475288103, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.15380833475288103, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1422378627972123, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1316420653514796, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011570471955668737, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02216626940140143, "ret_p1m": -0.11498766878575506, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11498766878575506, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04819365096424566, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04264835610451789, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0667940178215094, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07233931268123717, "ret_p3m": 0.4403215240817604, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4403215240817604, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.361657007109651, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.17737276318189266, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07866451697210941, "bench_c_p3m": 0.26294876089986774, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5085, -0.5071, -0.4943, -0.489, -0.486, -0.4699, -0.4645, -0.4699, -0.4719, -0.4753, -0.4675, -0.4875, -0.4973, -0.4723, -0.4738, -0.4802, -0.4596, -0.4547, -0.4567, -0.4567, -0.4278, -0.4128, -0.4108, -0.4108, -0.4108, -0.3686, -0.3214, -0.3174, -0.3071, -0.3179, -0.317, -0.3179, -0.3238, -0.3106, -0.2929, -0.2683, -0.2663, -0.2865, -0.2654, -0.2516, -0.2526, -0.2526, -0.2162, -0.202, -0.2103, -0.2113, -0.2609, -0.1769, -0.169, -0.2172, -0.2206, -0.1823, -0.1853, -0.1754, -0.1224, -0.1096, -0.1096, -0.1096, -0.1096, -0.0663, -0.0658, -0.0516, -0.0172, 0.0, 0.0713, 0.0639, 0.0639, -0.0413, -0.1538, -0.0585, -0.0752, -0.1474, -0.0767, -0.0663, -0.0767, -0.0983, -0.0727, -0.0472, 0.0246, -0.0147, -0.0201, -0.0845, -0.0678, -0.0713, -0.115, -0.115, -0.1319, -0.1767, -0.0661, -0.1215, -0.0831, -0.0491, -0.0324, 0.0365, 0.0045, 0.0144, -0.0102, 0.0168, 0.039, 0.071, 0.0636, 0.0562, 0.0784, 0.071, 0.1055, 0.0809, 0.1055, 0.0932, 0.1129, 0.0858, 0.0858, 0.1449, 0.1449, 0.3098, 0.3369, 0.3221, 0.4059, 0.3738, 0.3985, 0.4576, 0.332, 0.3837, 0.3566, 0.3591, 0.4748, 0.4403, 0.4403, 0.4723, 0.5117, 0.4748, 0.561, 0.7062, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2026529571990839302", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-25T05:27:55+00:00", "symbol": "000660.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "2.2x for SK Hynix for 2027", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Shares Macquarie projections showing Samsung and SK Hynix at absurdly low forward P/E (3.7x / 2.2x by 2027), implying both are deeply undervalued; author's astonishment signals bullish lean.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My mind is blown on Samsung and Sk Hynix projections - $EWY?\n\nMacquarie projects Samsung Electronics to make: \n\nFY2026: ~$210.8 billion USD (+73% increase from prior KRW 172.1 trillion)\nFY2027: ~$333.7 billion USD (+82% from KRW 260.1 trillion)\n\nSk Hynix:\n\nFY2026: ~$190.5 billion USD (+58% from KRW 272.2 trillion)\nFY2027: ~$312.8 billion USD (+77% from KRW 447 trillion)\n\n(Numbers heavily depend on conversion rates). \n\nIf these projections are true: \n\nThe operating profit from SK Hynix from 2026+2027 are close to eclipsing it's current marketcap. \n\nMacquarie's report slashed their projected forward P/E ratios to an absurd 3.7x by 2027 for Samsung and 2.2x for SK Hynix for 2027.\n\nIt feels unreal but these are genuine projections from Macquarie's desk.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.012770126042722652, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.012770126042722652, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004402387001043784, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.016378885681918143, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008367739041678868, "bench_c_m1d": -0.029149011724640794, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08155982775321902, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08155982775321902, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08711430414484012, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07135091997773402, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005554476391621099, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010208907775484999, "ret_p1w": -0.16447287718539738, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.16447287718539738, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.15290240522972864, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06695118780408604, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011570471955668737, "bench_c_p1w": -0.09752168938131134, "ret_p1m": -0.0818059016140108, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0818059016140108, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.015011883792501401, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11229713851192114, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0667940178215094, "bench_c_p1m": -0.19410304012593194, "ret_p3m": 0.9101980513164889, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.9101980513164889, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.8315335343443795, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.6876176259991356, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07866451697210941, "bench_c_p3m": 0.22258042531735334, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4794, -0.4715, -0.4519, -0.4578, -0.4676, -0.4656, -0.4332, -0.444, -0.4234, -0.445, -0.4391, -0.4558, -0.4794, -0.4587, -0.4578, -0.4627, -0.4303, -0.4263, -0.4224, -0.4224, -0.4116, -0.3713, -0.3605, -0.3605, -0.3605, -0.335, -0.3163, -0.2868, -0.2711, -0.2574, -0.2692, -0.2642, -0.275, -0.2711, -0.2642, -0.2574, -0.2495, -0.2701, -0.2731, -0.2583, -0.2466, -0.277, -0.2141, -0.1739, -0.1542, -0.1071, -0.1847, -0.109, -0.1159, -0.1729, -0.1758, -0.1287, -0.1395, -0.1552, -0.1277, -0.1356, -0.1356, -0.1356, -0.1356, -0.1218, -0.0678, -0.0658, -0.0128, 0.0, 0.0816, 0.0442, 0.0442, -0.0759, -0.1645, -0.0739, -0.0907, -0.1773, -0.0769, -0.0602, -0.0848, -0.1044, -0.0415, -0.0454, 0.0392, -0.0031, -0.009, -0.0818, -0.0296, -0.0208, -0.0818, -0.0818, -0.1409, -0.2058, -0.1172, -0.1832, -0.1379, -0.1281, -0.0985, 0.0166, -0.0178, 0.0107, 0.0235, 0.0855, 0.118, 0.1367, 0.1101, 0.1475, 0.2046, 0.2036, 0.2056, 0.2026, 0.2715, 0.2794, 0.2725, 0.2656, 0.2656, 0.424, 0.424, 0.5756, 0.6278, 0.6592, 0.8502, 0.8059, 0.9446, 0.9387, 0.7901, 0.8108, 0.7173, 0.7173, 0.9092, 0.9102, 0.9102, 1.0194, 1.2074, 1.2531, 1.2964, 1.3441, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2018972810912399375", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-04T09:00:03+00:00", "symbol": "005930.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "sitting back and chilling in profitable, hyper-growth companies like Samsung", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long Samsung and SK Hynix as obvious high-conviction trades; projected to become world's most profitable companies by 2027.", "resolved_tickers": ["005930.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Honestly just looking at the quoted net income chart…\n\nMakes you wonder why people try and full port it into contrarian turnaround plays like $PYPL, $FIG, or $DUOL\n\nI feel like sitting back and chilling in profitable, hyper-growth companies like Samsung or SK Hynix is just the easiest thing to do?\n\nThey’re relatively small compared to Mag7, but projected to become the most profitable companies in the world in 2027. \n\nSometimes the best thing to do is just join in on the no-brainer trades and live life on easy mode.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The Memory Supercycle is here. \n\nNew reports from Morgan Stanley est. \n\n- Samsung's net profit ~$163.0B USD  \n- SK Hynix's ~$120.9B USD.\n\nThat would make Samsung the most profitable company in the world, even more than $NVDA and $GOOGL.\n\nHere are the top 10 rankings:\n\n1. Samsung https://t.co/EllvfY0dxq", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.009461904143741595, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.009461904143741595, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014329403608819735, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.038132706749456124, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00486749946507814, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02867080260571453, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05795391982589704, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05795391982589704, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04546470856969531, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03992622672485968, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012489211256201727, "bench_c_p1d": -0.018027693101037356, "ret_p1w": -0.007687745033678528, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.007687745033678528, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01609656575541596, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.042802263542479624, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008408820721737431, "bench_c_p1w": 0.035114518508801096, "ret_p1m": 0.13305739623701607, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13305739623701607, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14016911495559026, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11814277395181372, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007111718718574189, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01491462228520235, "ret_p3m": 0.37777190949001516, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.37777190949001516, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3285422371690374, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2030578891344874, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.049229672320977746, "bench_c_p3m": 0.17471402035552774, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4239, -0.408, -0.3909, -0.3933, -0.395, -0.428, -0.408, -0.4244, -0.4321, -0.408, -0.4421, -0.4309, -0.4156, -0.395, -0.3909, -0.4086, -0.4068, -0.3915, -0.385, -0.3815, -0.3621, -0.3556, -0.3621, -0.3644, -0.3685, -0.3591, -0.3832, -0.395, -0.365, -0.3668, -0.3744, -0.3497, -0.3438, -0.3462, -0.3462, -0.3114, -0.2933, -0.291, -0.291, -0.291, -0.2401, -0.1833, -0.1786, -0.1662, -0.1792, -0.178, -0.1792, -0.1863, -0.1703, -0.149, -0.1195, -0.1171, -0.1413, -0.1159, -0.0993, -0.1005, -0.1005, -0.0568, -0.0396, -0.0497, -0.0509, -0.1106, -0.0095, 0.0, -0.058, -0.0621, -0.016, -0.0195, -0.0077, 0.0562, 0.0716, 0.0716, 0.0716, 0.0716, 0.1236, 0.1242, 0.1413, 0.1827, 0.2034, 0.2892, 0.2803, 0.2803, 0.1538, 0.0183, 0.1331, 0.113, 0.026, 0.1112, 0.1236, 0.1112, 0.0852, 0.1159, 0.1467, 0.233, 0.1857, 0.1792, 0.1017, 0.1218, 0.1177, 0.0651, 0.0651, 0.0447, -0.0092, 0.1238, 0.0572, 0.1034, 0.1443, 0.1644, 0.2474, 0.2089, 0.2207, 0.1911, 0.2237, 0.2504, 0.2889, 0.28, 0.2711, 0.2978, 0.2889, 0.3304, 0.3007, 0.3304, 0.3155, 0.3393, 0.3067, 0.3067, 0.3778, 0.3778, 0.5763, 0.6089, 0.5911, 0.6918, 0.6533, 0.683, 0.7541, 0.603, 0.6652, 0.6326, 0.6355, 0.7748, 0.7333, 0.7333, 0.7718, 0.8193, 0.7748, 0.8785, 1.0533, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2018972810912399375", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-04T09:00:03+00:00", "symbol": "000660.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "sitting back and chilling in profitable, hyper-growth companies like Samsung or SK Hynix", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long Samsung and SK Hynix as obvious high-conviction trades; projected to become world's most profitable companies by 2027.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Honestly just looking at the quoted net income chart…\n\nMakes you wonder why people try and full port it into contrarian turnaround plays like $PYPL, $FIG, or $DUOL\n\nI feel like sitting back and chilling in profitable, hyper-growth companies like Samsung or SK Hynix is just the easiest thing to do?\n\nThey’re relatively small compared to Mag7, but projected to become the most profitable companies in the world in 2027. \n\nSometimes the best thing to do is just join in on the no-brainer trades and live life on easy mode.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The Memory Supercycle is here. \n\nNew reports from Morgan Stanley est. \n\n- Samsung's net profit ~$163.0B USD  \n- SK Hynix's ~$120.9B USD.\n\nThat would make Samsung the most profitable company in the world, even more than $NVDA and $GOOGL.\n\nHere are the top 10 rankings:\n\n1. Samsung https://t.co/EllvfY0dxq", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.007777845970315056, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007777845970315056, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.002910346505236916, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.025982319392018782, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00486749946507814, "bench_c_m1d": 0.03376016536233384, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0644443832103293, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0644443832103293, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05195517195412758, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06402859200070365, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012489211256201727, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00041579120962564886, "ret_p1w": -0.04444448619497754, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04444448619497754, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05285330691671497, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.13042489350922315, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008408820721737431, "bench_c_p1w": 0.08598040731424561, "ret_p1m": 0.04748489918011689, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04748489918011689, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05459661789869108, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0019169993780585592, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007111718718574189, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04556789980205833, "ret_p3m": 0.6107446110151544, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6107446110151544, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5615149386941767, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2504419880983848, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.049229672320977746, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3603026229167696, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.356, -0.3271, -0.3127, -0.3149, -0.3205, -0.3782, -0.3271, -0.3671, -0.376, -0.366, -0.4215, -0.4226, -0.4237, -0.4182, -0.3956, -0.4111, -0.4022, -0.38, -0.3867, -0.3978, -0.3956, -0.3589, -0.3711, -0.3478, -0.3722, -0.3656, -0.3844, -0.4111, -0.3878, -0.3867, -0.3922, -0.3556, -0.3511, -0.3467, -0.3467, -0.3344, -0.2889, -0.2767, -0.2767, -0.2767, -0.2478, -0.2267, -0.1933, -0.1756, -0.16, -0.1733, -0.1678, -0.18, -0.1756, -0.1678, -0.16, -0.1511, -0.1744, -0.1778, -0.1611, -0.1478, -0.1822, -0.1111, -0.0656, -0.0433, 0.01, -0.0778, 0.0078, 0.0, -0.0644, -0.0678, -0.0144, -0.0267, -0.0444, -0.0133, -0.0222, -0.0222, -0.0222, -0.0222, -0.0067, 0.0544, 0.0567, 0.1167, 0.1311, 0.2234, 0.1811, 0.1811, 0.0453, -0.0549, 0.0475, 0.0286, -0.0694, 0.0441, 0.0631, 0.0352, 0.013, 0.0842, 0.0798, 0.1755, 0.1276, 0.121, 0.0386, 0.0976, 0.1076, 0.0386, 0.0386, -0.0282, -0.1017, -0.0015, -0.0761, -0.0249, -0.0137, 0.0197, 0.1499, 0.1109, 0.1432, 0.1577, 0.2278, 0.2646, 0.2857, 0.2556, 0.2979, 0.3625, 0.3614, 0.3636, 0.3603, 0.4382, 0.4471, 0.4393, 0.4315, 0.4315, 0.6107, 0.6107, 0.7822, 0.8412, 0.8768, 1.0927, 1.0427, 1.1996, 1.1929, 1.0248, 1.0482, 0.9425, 0.9425, 1.1595, 1.1606, 1.1606, 1.2842, 1.4968, 1.5485, 1.5974, 1.6514, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2036747050021445870", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-25T10:08:32+00:00", "symbol": "ARM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "pivot to AI CPUs themself... It's an incredibly massive game changer, esp if you look at revenue projections", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish ARM on its pivot to AI CPUs as a massive game changer with strong revenue projections, overcoming RISC-V concerns.", "resolved_tickers": ["ARM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@piyush1337 I didn't long $ARM bc of RISC-V cannibalizing their model, but pivot to AI CPUs themself...\n\nIt's an incredibly massive game changer, esp if you look at revenue projections.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I have been long on this when it was 80 around", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "piyush1337", "ret_m1d": -0.1407652612170115, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1407652612170115, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1352233858054107, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12966307887589212, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005541875411600783, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011102182341119371, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.014452181617177096, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014452181617177096, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0034065625409616107, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.031109427265425316, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017858744158138706, "bench_c_p1d": -0.04556160888260241, "ret_p1w": -0.012733175697074106, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.012733175697074106, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.010327620031557072, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0049350815007556115, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002405555665517034, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017668257197829718, "ret_p1m": 0.30266754357502723, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.30266754357502723, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.22406152623833697, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09508391525959037, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07860601733669026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.20758362831543686, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.298, -0.2964, -0.2942, -0.3041, -0.3041, -0.2696, -0.2608, -0.2645, -0.2635, -0.2801, -0.2883, -0.2924, -0.3134, -0.3316, -0.3308, -0.3265, -0.3265, -0.3177, -0.2747, -0.2411, -0.261, -0.2696, -0.2686, -0.2999, -0.3097, -0.3292, -0.3192, -0.3344, -0.3321, -0.2941, -0.2125, -0.2067, -0.1981, -0.2024, -0.2221, -0.2024, -0.2024, -0.1921, -0.1899, -0.1919, -0.2005, -0.2119, -0.1842, -0.1613, -0.1771, -0.1886, -0.2082, -0.2251, -0.2098, -0.2321, -0.2718, -0.2511, -0.2325, -0.2354, -0.2671, -0.2631, -0.2252, -0.1895, -0.1828, -0.1735, -0.1574, -0.1285, -0.1408, 0.0, -0.0145, -0.0824, -0.128, -0.0369, -0.0127, -0.0507, -0.0507, -0.0528, -0.0841, -0.052, -0.0463, -0.0518, 0.0032, 0.0264, 0.0145, 0.0335, 0.0615, 0.1148, 0.1173, 0.2515, 0.3027, 0.4949, 0.3744, 0.2647, 0.2841, 0.339, 0.3445, 0.2941, 0.3296, 0.5108, 0.3581, 0.3578, 0.3539, 0.3237, 0.4084, 0.4548, 0.3316, 0.3696, 0.4207, 0.6345, 0.8987, 0.9514, 0.9514, 1.0451, 0.9272, 1.1345, 1.2493, 1.2493, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2023944611765592084", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-18T02:16:13+00:00", "symbol": "HOOD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I would not touch this from a mile away.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish HOOD: Robinhood Ventures concentrated in overvalued late-stage names like Stripe, Databricks, Revolut at inflated valuations.", "resolved_tickers": ["HOOD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Robinhood Ventures $RVI, is a major red flag. \n\n$HOOD concentrates in firms that raised at inflated valuations like: \n\n- Stripe @ $140B  \n- Databricks @ $134B\n- Revolut @ $75B\n\nA real venture fund would look like:\n\n1. Lightmatter\n2. Cerebras\n3. SiFive\n4. Anduril\n5. Anthropic\n6. World Labs\n7. Fireblocks\n8. Bytedance\n9. Discord\n10. Physical Intelligence\n\namid others. \n\nMajority of this fund is concentrated in firms that freshly raised extremely high valuations. \n\nI would not touch this from a mile away.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0030581486469007935, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0030581486469007935, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.008070655389858516, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010474056751875738, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005012506742957723, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007415908104974944, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005850318398648913, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005850318398648913, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008487752339066179, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.014216965258258218, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0026374339404172664, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008366646859609306, "ret_p1w": 0.03084695815803018, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03084695815803018, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.020851105818302962, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04453781495300524, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009995852339727218, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01369085679497506, "ret_p1m": -0.013960848758739819, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.013960848758739819, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.024637985812039798, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.054493216487894514, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03859883457077962, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06845406524663433, "ret_p3m": 0.02579447500361387, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.02579447500361387, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05343921287991216, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.036899963988824225, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07923368788352603, "bench_c_p3m": -0.011105488985210354, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.4267, 0.5287, 0.5366, 0.7046, 0.7046, 0.7084, 0.6386, 0.6746, 0.7769, 0.8226, 0.7544, 0.814, 0.8044, 0.8037, 0.6405, 0.5889, 0.5325, 0.5876, 0.5397, 0.5578, 0.6135, 0.627, 0.5987, 0.6014, 0.6014, 0.5707, 0.5614, 0.535, 0.5038, 0.5038, 0.5318, 0.6386, 0.6181, 0.5552, 0.5342, 0.5326, 0.5626, 0.5987, 0.5911, 0.4672, 0.4458, 0.4458, 0.4065, 0.4083, 0.4127, 0.4226, 0.4227, 0.3993, 0.3748, 0.3461, 0.3227, 0.1955, 0.1577, 0.0719, -0.0336, 0.1012, 0.1509, 0.1381, 0.0367, -0.0544, 0.0101, 0.0101, 0.0031, 0.0, 0.0059, 0.012, -0.0456, -0.0242, 0.0308, 0.0564, 0.0085, 0.0475, 0.0114, 0.0931, 0.0711, 0.025, 0.055, 0.0441, 0.0463, 0.0121, -0.0242, 0.0013, 0.0285, -0.0041, -0.014, -0.0574, -0.0362, -0.0815, -0.0355, -0.0646, -0.1222, -0.1336, -0.0786, -0.0678, -0.0839, -0.0839, -0.0722, -0.0739, -0.0449, -0.0677, -0.08, -0.0471, 0.0516, 0.161, 0.1548, 0.2066, 0.2136, 0.1492, 0.1758, 0.1108, 0.1263, 0.1162, 0.0912, -0.0533, -0.0308, -0.0206, 0.0178, 0.0242, 0.0511, 0.0142, 0.0242, 0.0741, 0.0407, 0.0205, 0.073, 0.0257, 0.0258, -0.014, 0.0073, 0.0094, -0.0209, -0.0209, -0.0149, 0.0136, 0.128, 0.2538, 0.2538, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2018513800463548719", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-03T02:36:06+00:00", "symbol": "005930.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "삼성전자와 SK하이닉스가 2026~2027년에 거둘 것으로 예상되는 순이익은 정말 엄청난 수준입니다", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish Samsung and SK Hynix on expectations of massive net profits in 2026-2027 and growing US investor demand for Korean equity exposure.", "resolved_tickers": ["005930.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "ko", "tweet_text": "@Alisvolatprop12 삼성전자와 SK하이닉스가 2026~2027년에 거둘 것으로 예상되는 순이익은 정말 엄청난 수준입니다. SK하이닉스가 미국 증시에도 상장될 예정이라고 들었는데, 많은 미국 투자자들이 한국 주식에 대한 투자 기회(익스포저)를 원하고 있을 것이라 확신합니다.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "한국 메모리 반도체 종목들의 가격 재평가가 이뤄진다면, 지금 코스피 지수는 우스운 수준이 되겠죠.\n\n곧 리테일(개인) 외국인 투자자들을 위한 옴니버스 계좌가 옵니다.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Alisvolatprop12", "ret_m1d": -0.10208951194617766, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10208951194617766, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1106170117684383, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12447119532146178, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008527499822260642, "bench_c_m1d": 0.022381683375284123, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00955228696738053, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00955228696738053, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014396208646277664, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03742398560322102, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004843921678897134, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02787169863584049, "ret_p1w": -0.010149228953051037, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.010149228953051037, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01390532301996139, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.013457259928367438, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0037560940669103537, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0033080309753164006, "ret_p1m": 0.028059731963139933, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.028059731963139933, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03444095571772332, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04382556844636454, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.006381223754583387, "bench_c_p1m": -0.015765836483224605, "ret_p3m": 0.31914270306660475, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.31914270306660475, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2711562448162055, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.17843848086464575, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.047986458250399266, "bench_c_p3m": 0.140704222201959, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4106, -0.4183, -0.4023, -0.3851, -0.3875, -0.3892, -0.4225, -0.4023, -0.4189, -0.4267, -0.4023, -0.4368, -0.4255, -0.41, -0.3892, -0.3851, -0.4029, -0.4011, -0.3857, -0.3791, -0.3756, -0.356, -0.3494, -0.356, -0.3583, -0.3625, -0.353, -0.3774, -0.3892, -0.3589, -0.3607, -0.3684, -0.3435, -0.3375, -0.3399, -0.3399, -0.3049, -0.2866, -0.2842, -0.2842, -0.2842, -0.2328, -0.1755, -0.1707, -0.1582, -0.1713, -0.1701, -0.1713, -0.1785, -0.1624, -0.1409, -0.111, -0.1087, -0.1331, -0.1075, -0.0907, -0.0919, -0.0919, -0.0478, -0.0304, -0.0406, -0.0418, -0.1021, 0.0, 0.0096, -0.049, -0.0531, -0.0066, -0.0101, 0.0018, 0.0663, 0.0818, 0.0818, 0.0818, 0.0818, 0.1343, 0.1349, 0.1522, 0.194, 0.2149, 0.3015, 0.2925, 0.2925, 0.1648, 0.0281, 0.1439, 0.1236, 0.0358, 0.1218, 0.1343, 0.1218, 0.0955, 0.1266, 0.1576, 0.2448, 0.197, 0.1904, 0.1122, 0.1325, 0.1284, 0.0752, 0.0752, 0.0547, 0.0003, 0.1346, 0.0673, 0.1139, 0.1552, 0.1756, 0.2593, 0.2204, 0.2324, 0.2025, 0.2354, 0.2623, 0.3012, 0.2922, 0.2832, 0.3102, 0.3012, 0.3431, 0.3132, 0.3431, 0.3281, 0.352, 0.3191, 0.3191, 0.3909, 0.3909, 0.5913, 0.6243, 0.6063, 0.708, 0.6691, 0.699, 0.7708, 0.6183, 0.6811, 0.6482, 0.6512, 0.7918, 0.7499, 0.7499, 0.7888, 0.8366, 0.7918, 0.8965, 1.0729, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2018513800463548719", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-03T02:36:06+00:00", "symbol": "000660.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "SK하이닉스가 미국 증시에도 상장될 예정이라고 들었는데, 많은 미국 투자자들이 한국 주식에 대한 투자 기회(익스포저)를 원하고 있을 것이라 확신합니다", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish Samsung and SK Hynix on expectations of massive net profits in 2026-2027 and growing US investor demand for Korean equity exposure.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "ko", "tweet_text": "@Alisvolatprop12 삼성전자와 SK하이닉스가 2026~2027년에 거둘 것으로 예상되는 순이익은 정말 엄청난 수준입니다. SK하이닉스가 미국 증시에도 상장될 예정이라고 들었는데, 많은 미국 투자자들이 한국 주식에 대한 투자 기회(익스포저)를 원하고 있을 것이라 확신합니다.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "한국 메모리 반도체 종목들의 가격 재평가가 이뤄진다면, 지금 코스피 지수는 우스운 수준이 되겠죠.\n\n곧 리테일(개인) 외국인 투자자들을 위한 옴니버스 계좌가 옵니다.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Alisvolatprop12", "ret_m1d": -0.08489530720818073, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08489530720818073, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09342280703044137, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05762697228242397, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008527499822260642, "bench_c_m1d": -0.027268334925756754, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007717817970910423, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007717817970910423, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0028738962920132893, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02493982012883278, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004843921678897134, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0326576380997432, "ret_p1w": -0.034178631968155404, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.034178631968155404, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03793472603506576, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.035224298423569556, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0037560940669103537, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0010456664554141515, "ret_p1m": -0.06221986694607762, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06221986694607762, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05583864319149423, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14305959866288598, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.006381223754583387, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08083973171680836, "ret_p3m": 0.42047732317879416, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.42047732317879416, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3724908649283949, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.11738851689122054, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.047986458250399266, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3030888062875736, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3467, -0.361, -0.3323, -0.318, -0.3202, -0.3257, -0.383, -0.3323, -0.372, -0.3808, -0.3709, -0.426, -0.4271, -0.4282, -0.4227, -0.4002, -0.4157, -0.4068, -0.3848, -0.3914, -0.4024, -0.4002, -0.3638, -0.376, -0.3528, -0.3771, -0.3705, -0.3892, -0.4157, -0.3925, -0.3914, -0.3969, -0.3605, -0.3561, -0.3517, -0.3517, -0.3396, -0.2944, -0.2822, -0.2822, -0.2822, -0.2536, -0.2326, -0.1996, -0.1819, -0.1665, -0.1797, -0.1742, -0.1863, -0.1819, -0.1742, -0.1665, -0.1577, -0.1808, -0.1841, -0.1676, -0.1544, -0.1885, -0.118, -0.0728, -0.0507, 0.0022, -0.0849, 0.0, -0.0077, -0.0717, -0.075, -0.0221, -0.0342, -0.0518, -0.0209, -0.0298, -0.0298, -0.0298, -0.0298, -0.0143, 0.0463, 0.0485, 0.108, 0.1224, 0.2139, 0.1719, 0.1719, 0.0372, -0.0622, 0.0394, 0.0206, -0.0766, 0.0361, 0.0549, 0.0273, 0.0052, 0.0759, 0.0714, 0.1664, 0.1189, 0.1123, 0.0306, 0.0891, 0.099, 0.0306, 0.0306, -0.0357, -0.1086, -0.0092, -0.0832, -0.0324, -0.0214, 0.0118, 0.141, 0.1024, 0.1344, 0.1488, 0.2183, 0.2548, 0.2758, 0.246, 0.2879, 0.352, 0.3509, 0.3531, 0.3498, 0.4271, 0.4359, 0.4282, 0.4205, 0.4205, 0.5983, 0.5983, 0.7684, 0.827, 0.8623, 1.0766, 1.0269, 1.1826, 1.176, 1.0092, 1.0324, 0.9275, 0.9275, 1.1429, 1.144, 1.144, 1.2666, 1.4776, 1.5288, 1.5774, 1.631, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2027437815823536446", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-27T17:36:57+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Probably going much higher", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Impressed by AAOI earnings; photonics scale-up seen driving the stock much higher.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@crux_capital_ I don’t think I’ve been this impressed by earnings before. \n\nThat photonics scale up on $AAOI is just crazy.\n\nProbably going much higher.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Isnt it lovely??", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "crux_capital_", "ret_m1d": -0.3625786953944201, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.3625786953944201, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.3674038085726452, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.3674038085726452, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.21702478987010654, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.21702478987010654, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.21645621108777524, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.21645621108777524, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "ret_p1w": 0.1347500655559073, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1347500655559073, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15459001236840897, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15459001236840897, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "ret_p1m": 0.011397353035883961, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.011397353035883961, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08762893098965874, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08762893098965874, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "ret_p3m": 1.1349874707828982, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.1349874707828982, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.0380187816928927, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.0380187816928927, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6911, -0.6955, -0.6885, -0.6843, -0.6695, -0.6393, -0.5847, -0.5688, -0.6194, -0.645, -0.6562, -0.6778, -0.6527, -0.6282, -0.5359, -0.5175, -0.5132, -0.5132, -0.5587, -0.5637, -0.5724, -0.5861, -0.5861, -0.5299, -0.5846, -0.5416, -0.5482, -0.6081, -0.5959, -0.5997, -0.5942, -0.5908, -0.5607, -0.5603, -0.5603, -0.5339, -0.5443, -0.5471, -0.5759, -0.5858, -0.5561, -0.463, -0.5302, -0.4823, -0.4757, -0.4525, -0.5263, -0.5473, -0.4741, -0.4312, -0.4243, -0.4254, -0.4777, -0.4722, -0.4722, -0.4787, -0.4843, -0.4422, -0.3864, -0.3594, -0.3319, -0.31, -0.3626, 0.0, 0.217, 0.1319, 0.1838, 0.2008, 0.1348, 0.3133, 0.4305, 0.5079, 0.2607, 0.1494, 0.1168, 0.0249, 0.0997, 0.21, 0.0393, 0.1369, 0.3522, 0.3583, 0.1566, 0.166, 0.0114, 0.0043, 0.0252, 0.2336, 0.2336, 0.2757, 0.3967, 0.5754, 0.5826, 0.788, 0.8187, 0.738, 0.6924, 0.8677, 0.8927, 0.9408, 0.7876, 0.774, 0.6352, 0.9253, 0.7307, 0.6296, 0.8144, 0.9513, 1.1787, 1.0537, 1.1438, 1.1197, 0.8705, 0.7683, 1.1952, 1.2353, 1.6487, 1.4168, 1.26, 1.057, 1.0341, 0.962, 1.0991, 1.1547, 1.1547, 1.1087, 1.135, 1.0066, 0.8807, 0.8807, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2016584615679643966", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-28T18:50:13+00:00", "symbol": "LEU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LEU is a $5.83B MC company. They're the only company in the US that can currently enrich uranium into HALEU (High-Assay Low-Enriched Uranium) for SMR nuclear power plants. DOE said one campus would attract \"50 Billion in investments\" from enrichment to recycling. It's only up 2% on the news, which was surprising.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish LEU as sole US HALEU enricher for SMR plants with $50B DOE investment draw; surprised muted +2% reaction implies upside still ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["LEU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "♻️ $LEU is a $5.83B MC company.\n\nAnd Centrus was the another company on the original bottleneck list. \n\nThey’re the only company in the US that can currently enrich uranium into HALEU (High-Assay Low-Enriched Uranium) for SMR nuclear power plants.\n\nDOE said one campus would attract “50 Billion in investments” from enrichment to recycling.\n\nIt’s only up 2% on the news, which was surprising.\n\n“The Trump administration has made nuclear power a cornerstone of its national energy policy”", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I'm surprised majority of the X detectives in the comments guessed this right.\n\nI'll do a write-up on this mystery company soon. \n\nFrom my research, it was unique to have US company own a large % of the AlSiC supply chain, as this material could be used for $NVDA Rubin gen for", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0839945354598779, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0839945354598779, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08409521549897758, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08409521549897758, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00010068003909968759, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00010068003909968759, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.10735436024763911, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.10735436024763911, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.1053699777986693, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.1053699777986693, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019843824489698125, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0019843824489698125, "ret_p1w": -0.25559573245438083, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.25559573245438083, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.24232321667054058, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.24232321667054058, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013272515783840255, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013272515783840255, "ret_p1m": -0.375414493680722, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.375414493680722, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3666140549832929, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3666140549832929, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00880043869742908, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00880043869742908, "ret_p3m": -0.342787809955438, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.342787809955438, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3739965099077118, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3739965099077118, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031208699952273822, "bench_c_p3m": 0.031208699952273822, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0879, 0.0155, -0.0313, -0.0356, -0.1776, -0.1291, -0.1408, -0.1842, -0.184, -0.2484, -0.2598, -0.2727, -0.2714, -0.2176, -0.2856, -0.2843, -0.2603, -0.2628, -0.2473, -0.2473, -0.2323, -0.2558, -0.2137, -0.2062, -0.1751, -0.2118, -0.2051, -0.2163, -0.2167, -0.1914, -0.2628, -0.3228, -0.3018, -0.3454, -0.32, -0.225, -0.2268, -0.236, -0.2297, -0.2297, -0.2471, -0.2621, -0.2686, -0.2813, -0.2813, -0.1932, -0.1106, -0.0766, -0.0438, -0.1525, -0.0935, -0.0844, -0.1169, -0.0894, -0.0937, -0.0199, -0.0199, -0.0647, -0.1001, -0.1048, -0.1231, -0.166, -0.084, 0.0, -0.1074, -0.1761, -0.2089, -0.1696, -0.2556, -0.2832, -0.2199, -0.1821, -0.2154, -0.3778, -0.4517, -0.4103, -0.4103, -0.4098, -0.3881, -0.3816, -0.3968, -0.4049, -0.3866, -0.3764, -0.3754, -0.4002, -0.3842, -0.4157, -0.3987, -0.4248, -0.4408, -0.4202, -0.4054, -0.4068, -0.3639, -0.3793, -0.3698, -0.3676, -0.3828, -0.3928, -0.4471, -0.4268, -0.4202, -0.4278, -0.4277, -0.4585, -0.5011, -0.4861, -0.4577, -0.4576, -0.4576, -0.4566, -0.4864, -0.4371, -0.4666, -0.4457, -0.4316, -0.4283, -0.4144, -0.4019, -0.3971, -0.409, -0.4329, -0.3573, -0.3499, -0.3912, -0.3428, -0.3913, -0.4316, -0.3754, -0.3882, -0.3874, -0.39, -0.3151, -0.3892, -0.3862, -0.3687, -0.4009, -0.4306, -0.4306, -0.4594, -0.488, -0.4996, -0.4987, -0.4755, -0.469, -0.469, -0.4571, -0.4667, -0.4509, -0.4598, -0.4598, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2024322169376035019", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-19T03:16:29+00:00", "symbol": "JBSS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Companies like $JBSS might benefit from Pistachio prices going up (if California becomes a monopoly)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "If US strikes Iran, longs in oil (CVX, XLS), defense (AVAV, ITA), and pistachio play JBSS on supply disruption.", "resolved_tickers": ["JBSS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLP", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Packaged Foods'", "bench_c_industry": "Packaged Foods", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The funniest beneficary if US invades Iran was:\n\nPistachios.\n\nNot even joking. \n\nDid you know US (California) and Iran operate a virtual duopoly in pistachio production? \n\nThis is the $AXTI InP situation as the two control ~70-80% of the world’s supply.\n\nCompanies like $JBSS might benefit from Pistachio prices going up (if California becomes a monopoly)\n\nUnfortunately there’s no Pistachio Futures, so I’m not taking any positions but I just found this fun fact amusing, so wanted to share.\n\nI’ll do another writeup on more nuanced second order effects and potential longs soon.\n\nUS strikes seem likely so standard oil  like $CVX or $XLS and Defence like $AVAV or $ITA might be good longs/hedges here.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03459004300453117, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03459004300453117, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03723445139739612, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.038810397953666476, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0026444083928649498, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004220354949135308, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006822213519404152, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006822213519404152, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.014054078108527102, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009331585376563312, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007231864589122949, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0025093718571591594, "ret_p1w": -0.030520659012114426, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.030520659012114426, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03756251961696544, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04409431818631282, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0070418606048510135, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013573659174198394, "ret_p1m": -0.10891681232517492, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10891681232517492, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0590414370561293, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0361438907876338, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04987537526904562, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07277292153754111, "ret_p3m": -0.08066963534055249, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08066963534055249, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.15554962435340447, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.06817475927590289, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07487998901285198, "bench_c_p3m": -0.012494876064649607, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.164, -0.146, -0.1437, -0.1437, -0.1427, -0.1476, -0.1406, -0.132, -0.1391, -0.1373, -0.1431, -0.1287, -0.1139, -0.1077, -0.102, -0.0783, -0.088, -0.0829, -0.0889, -0.1143, -0.1203, -0.1396, -0.1351, -0.1351, -0.1414, -0.1471, -0.1458, -0.155, -0.155, -0.1649, -0.1643, -0.1643, -0.1686, -0.1601, -0.152, -0.1428, -0.1364, -0.1154, -0.1086, -0.1204, -0.1204, -0.1005, -0.0974, -0.1087, -0.1175, -0.1105, -0.1094, -0.1126, -0.0956, -0.0317, -0.0439, -0.0596, -0.0466, -0.0501, -0.0591, -0.0636, -0.0607, -0.0546, -0.0542, -0.0411, -0.0411, -0.0451, -0.0346, 0.0, -0.0068, -0.0047, -0.0044, -0.014, -0.0305, -0.0113, -0.0087, -0.0394, -0.0505, -0.0701, -0.0791, -0.0912, -0.0831, -0.0892, -0.0868, -0.0871, -0.0856, -0.0889, -0.0975, -0.0887, -0.1089, -0.081, -0.0786, -0.0797, -0.0713, -0.0713, -0.0511, -0.0505, -0.0121, -0.0163, -0.0163, -0.0177, -0.0169, -0.0081, 0.0031, -0.0128, -0.0349, -0.0231, -0.0322, -0.0317, -0.0279, -0.0287, -0.0349, -0.0359, -0.0253, -0.022, -0.0434, -0.0625, -0.0657, -0.0028, -0.0289, -0.0363, -0.0206, -0.029, -0.0477, -0.0496, -0.0799, -0.0684, -0.0773, -0.0886, -0.0866, -0.0787, -0.0807, -0.0799, -0.0713, -0.0647, -0.0647, -0.0773, -0.0553, -0.0755, -0.0866, -0.0866, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2024322169376035019", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-19T03:16:29+00:00", "symbol": "CVX", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "standard oil like $CVX or $XLS and Defence like $AVAV or $ITA might be good longs/hedges here", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "If US strikes Iran, longs in oil (CVX, XLS), defense (AVAV, ITA), and pistachio play JBSS on supply disruption.", "resolved_tickers": ["CVX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The funniest beneficary if US invades Iran was:\n\nPistachios.\n\nNot even joking. \n\nDid you know US (California) and Iran operate a virtual duopoly in pistachio production? \n\nThis is the $AXTI InP situation as the two control ~70-80% of the world’s supply.\n\nCompanies like $JBSS might benefit from Pistachio prices going up (if California becomes a monopoly)\n\nUnfortunately there’s no Pistachio Futures, so I’m not taking any positions but I just found this fun fact amusing, so wanted to share.\n\nI’ll do another writeup on more nuanced second order effects and potential longs soon.\n\nUS strikes seem likely so standard oil  like $CVX or $XLS and Defence like $AVAV or $ITA might be good longs/hedges here.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.004924735202564867, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004924735202564867, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.007569143595429817, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.007569143595429817, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0026444083928649498, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0026444083928649498, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004600064017557526, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004600064017557526, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.011831928606680475, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011831928606680475, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007231864589122949, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007231864589122949, "ret_p1w": -0.0033552966945457063, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0033552966945457063, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01039715729939672, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01039715729939672, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0070418606048510135, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0070418606048510135, "ret_p1m": 0.09173069325214778, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09173069325214778, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1416060685211934, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1416060685211934, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04987537526904562, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04987537526904562, "ret_p3m": 0.07726299190997077, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07726299190997077, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.002383002897118791, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.002383002897118791, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07487998901285198, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07487998901285198, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1974, -0.204, -0.1987, -0.1987, -0.19, -0.1825, -0.1947, -0.1876, -0.184, -0.1961, -0.203, -0.2042, -0.1885, -0.1922, -0.1961, -0.1972, -0.2135, -0.1987, -0.2085, -0.2081, -0.1972, -0.1934, -0.1934, -0.1934, -0.196, -0.1908, -0.1837, -0.1832, -0.1832, -0.1645, -0.1219, -0.161, -0.1682, -0.1465, -0.1312, -0.13, -0.1218, -0.1037, -0.1095, -0.1089, -0.1089, -0.1141, -0.1064, -0.1068, -0.1065, -0.1023, -0.094, -0.0893, -0.0825, -0.0519, -0.0673, -0.0458, -0.0287, -0.0394, -0.0307, -0.0214, -0.0232, -0.0041, -0.0224, -0.0153, -0.0153, -0.0229, -0.0049, 0.0, -0.0046, 0.0007, 0.003, -0.003, -0.0034, 0.0107, 0.0261, 0.0216, 0.0068, 0.0277, 0.0279, 0.0252, 0.0082, 0.0379, 0.066, 0.0652, 0.0653, 0.0714, 0.0748, 0.0902, 0.0917, 0.1106, 0.1191, 0.1102, 0.1245, 0.1427, 0.1403, 0.1197, 0.0684, 0.0768, 0.0768, 0.0762, 0.0907, 0.0439, 0.0302, 0.0204, 0.0379, 0.0121, 0.0007, 0.0182, -0.0043, -0.0083, 0.0065, 0.0083, 0.0153, 0.0023, 0.0, 0.0194, 0.0403, 0.0462, 0.0317, 0.0406, 0.0425, 0.0021, -0.0123, -0.0171, -0.0002, 0.0063, 0.0066, 0.0101, 0.0342, 0.0614, 0.0773, 0.0449, 0.0432, 0.0455, 0.0455, 0.0088, -0.0038, -0.0004, -0.0035, -0.0035, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2024322169376035019", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-02-19T03:16:29+00:00", "symbol": "AVAV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Defence like $AVAV or $ITA might be good longs/hedges here", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "If US strikes Iran, longs in oil (CVX, XLS), defense (AVAV, ITA), and pistachio play JBSS on supply disruption.", "resolved_tickers": ["AVAV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The funniest beneficary if US invades Iran was:\n\nPistachios.\n\nNot even joking. \n\nDid you know US (California) and Iran operate a virtual duopoly in pistachio production? \n\nThis is the $AXTI InP situation as the two control ~70-80% of the world’s supply.\n\nCompanies like $JBSS might benefit from Pistachio prices going up (if California becomes a monopoly)\n\nUnfortunately there’s no Pistachio Futures, so I’m not taking any positions but I just found this fun fact amusing, so wanted to share.\n\nI’ll do another writeup on more nuanced second order effects and potential longs soon.\n\nUS strikes seem likely so standard oil  like $CVX or $XLS and Defence like $AVAV or $ITA might be good longs/hedges here.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05754969006246424, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05754969006246424, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06019409845532919, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05017757446191595, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0026444083928649498, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00737211560054829, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.060496352939940046, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.060496352939940046, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.067728217529063, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06554345541163542, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007231864589122949, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005047102471695375, "ret_p1w": -0.07828315851663792, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07828315851663792, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08532501912148893, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08032468213694566, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0070418606048510135, "bench_c_p1w": 0.002041523620307739, "ret_p1m": -0.29804383926217826, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.29804383926217826, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.24816846399313264, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.21485229406994166, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04987537526904562, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0831915451922366, "ret_p3m": -0.4311428689989114, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4311428689989114, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5060228580117634, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3907331620126956, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07487998901285198, "bench_c_p3m": -0.04040970698621582, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0166, -0.0114, -0.0088, -0.0088, -0.0078, -0.0847, -0.0594, -0.0351, 0.0205, -0.0116, 0.0028, -0.0009, -0.1293, -0.1133, -0.1515, -0.1646, -0.1669, -0.1866, -0.181, -0.1373, -0.0933, -0.0729, -0.0744, -0.0744, -0.0947, -0.1155, -0.1337, -0.1412, -0.1412, -0.0905, 0.0559, 0.1255, 0.1307, 0.2247, 0.2958, 0.316, 0.2918, 0.3555, 0.344, 0.3948, 0.3948, 0.1747, 0.1348, 0.1081, 0.0926, 0.0746, 0.0991, 0.0897, 0.041, -0.0116, -0.0415, 0.0133, -0.0865, -0.159, -0.0869, -0.026, -0.0654, -0.1358, -0.1653, -0.1342, -0.1342, -0.0663, -0.0575, 0.0, -0.0605, -0.0722, -0.0689, -0.0939, -0.0783, -0.1044, -0.2604, -0.1895, -0.1959, -0.217, -0.1842, -0.1931, -0.2134, -0.2625, -0.2478, -0.2648, -0.2478, -0.21, -0.2337, -0.2497, -0.298, -0.2677, -0.3035, -0.2934, -0.3045, -0.3452, -0.3717, -0.3501, -0.3485, -0.3455, -0.3455, -0.3281, -0.3366, -0.3363, -0.3691, -0.3619, -0.3099, -0.3094, -0.2956, -0.2829, -0.3204, -0.2998, -0.2542, -0.2541, -0.2832, -0.3032, -0.3051, -0.3171, -0.3485, -0.3076, -0.3433, -0.36, -0.4082, -0.3809, -0.4029, -0.4025, -0.4091, -0.4005, -0.4284, -0.4132, -0.4391, -0.4266, -0.4311, -0.4182, -0.421, -0.3814, -0.3814, -0.3529, -0.3564, -0.2389, -0.2642, -0.2642, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2024322169376035019", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-02-19T03:16:29+00:00", "symbol": "ITA", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Defence like $AVAV or $ITA might be good longs/hedges here", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "If US strikes Iran, longs in oil (CVX, XLS), defense (AVAV, ITA), and pistachio play JBSS on supply disruption.", "resolved_tickers": ["ITA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The funniest beneficary if US invades Iran was:\n\nPistachios.\n\nNot even joking. \n\nDid you know US (California) and Iran operate a virtual duopoly in pistachio production? \n\nThis is the $AXTI InP situation as the two control ~70-80% of the world’s supply.\n\nCompanies like $JBSS might benefit from Pistachio prices going up (if California becomes a monopoly)\n\nUnfortunately there’s no Pistachio Futures, so I’m not taking any positions but I just found this fun fact amusing, so wanted to share.\n\nI’ll do another writeup on more nuanced second order effects and potential longs soon.\n\nUS strikes seem likely so standard oil  like $CVX or $XLS and Defence like $AVAV or $ITA might be good longs/hedges here.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.013018991458650153, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013018991458650153, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015663399851515103, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015663399851515103, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0026444083928649498, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0026444083928649498, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0006570510298136156, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0006570510298136156, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006574813559309334, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006574813559309334, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007231864589122949, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007231864589122949, "ret_p1w": -0.002751675533427589, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.002751675533427589, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.009793536138278602, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.009793536138278602, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0070418606048510135, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0070418606048510135, "ret_p1m": -0.08536515087372798, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08536515087372798, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03548977560468236, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03548977560468236, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04987537526904562, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04987537526904562, "ret_p3m": -0.10278985823738385, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.10278985823738385, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17766984725023582, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17766984725023582, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07487998901285198, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07487998901285198, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1758, -0.1688, -0.1634, -0.1634, -0.1577, -0.1817, -0.1732, -0.172, -0.1594, -0.1687, -0.1607, -0.1678, -0.1604, -0.1446, -0.14, -0.139, -0.146, -0.1589, -0.1447, -0.1215, -0.0991, -0.0977, -0.0957, -0.0957, -0.1044, -0.1088, -0.1115, -0.1183, -0.1183, -0.0882, -0.0699, -0.0545, -0.0701, -0.066, -0.0432, -0.0285, -0.0244, -0.0178, -0.0094, 0.0011, 0.0011, -0.023, -0.0132, -0.0315, -0.0346, -0.0415, -0.0266, -0.0402, -0.044, -0.0456, -0.0506, -0.037, -0.0636, -0.0711, -0.0393, -0.0355, -0.0422, -0.0515, -0.045, -0.0354, -0.0354, -0.0218, -0.013, 0.0, 0.0007, -0.0092, -0.0016, -0.0093, -0.0028, 0.0009, 0.0291, 0.0061, 0.0143, -0.0142, -0.0053, -0.0062, -0.0155, -0.0198, -0.0493, -0.0581, -0.0439, -0.0429, -0.0489, -0.0658, -0.0854, -0.0821, -0.085, -0.0718, -0.0954, -0.1122, -0.1337, -0.101, -0.0809, -0.088, -0.088, -0.0745, -0.0823, -0.0459, -0.0476, -0.0563, -0.0432, -0.0325, -0.0384, -0.0588, -0.0468, -0.0472, -0.0832, -0.0994, -0.0995, -0.1131, -0.1122, -0.1115, -0.1241, -0.1018, -0.1112, -0.1192, -0.1149, -0.0818, -0.0856, -0.0815, -0.0713, -0.0737, -0.0724, -0.0776, -0.1071, -0.0949, -0.1028, -0.0824, -0.0829, -0.0738, -0.0738, -0.0569, -0.0528, -0.0319, -0.0324, -0.0324, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2031477579119833292", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-10T21:09:32+00:00", "symbol": "CODA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$CODA to be the biggest direct beneficiary compared to the others", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "CODA seen as the biggest direct beneficiary of the relevant trend vs peers.", "resolved_tickers": ["CODA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DanzTrader So far I’ve found $CODA to be the biggest direct beneficiary compared to the others. Still looking into other names though.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $OPTT I think might be benefit the most. Their autonomous surface vehicles directly ties into the Navy's USV expansion plans, and potential new contracts, partnerships, etc…, \n\n2nd bet will be $KRKNF", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DanzTrader", "ret_m1d": -0.10799525029227619, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10799525029227619, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.10960496421219401, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.10960496421219401, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0016097139199178212, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0016097139199178212, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.12768498294140695, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.12768498294140695, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.12642982001288983, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.12642982001288983, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012551629285171284, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012551629285171284, "ret_p1w": -0.178997610920686, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.178997610920686, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.16956138495556938, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.16956138495556938, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009436225965116618, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009436225965116618, "ret_p1m": -0.28281621159825, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.28281621159825, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2838147927616417, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2838147927616417, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0009985811633916875, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0009985811633916875, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.463, -0.4576, -0.4576, -0.4475, -0.4702, -0.4511, -0.4403, -0.4296, -0.4475, -0.4308, -0.4308, -0.4415, -0.4714, -0.4463, -0.4451, -0.4451, -0.4326, -0.4021, -0.3992, -0.4051, -0.4004, -0.3887, -0.3998, -0.2846, -0.3052, -0.3156, -0.3252, -0.3252, -0.3562, -0.3138, -0.3473, -0.3646, -0.3741, -0.3956, -0.4087, -0.3514, -0.3646, -0.355, -0.3317, -0.3222, -0.3622, -0.3156, -0.256, -0.2202, -0.3061, -0.2285, -0.2005, -0.2005, -0.1826, -0.2181, -0.2133, -0.1972, -0.1748, -0.1504, -0.1163, -0.1498, -0.1909, -0.1647, -0.1772, -0.1563, -0.1659, -0.1408, -0.108, 0.0, -0.1277, -0.1348, -0.1611, -0.1874, -0.179, -0.2315, -0.2434, -0.2918, -0.281, -0.2876, -0.2876, -0.3109, -0.3204, -0.3502, -0.3258, -0.3067, -0.2906, -0.2906, -0.2965, -0.3019, -0.2828, -0.2613, -0.2709, -0.2124, -0.2303, -0.2237, -0.2017, -0.2082, -0.2491, -0.2828, -0.2804, -0.2655, -0.2685, -0.3305, -0.3365, -0.3449, -0.3252, -0.3067, -0.3126, -0.304, -0.2888, -0.29, -0.2774, -0.278, -0.2942, -0.3037, -0.2882, -0.318, -0.318, -0.3365, -0.3234, -0.3192, -0.2918, -0.2918, -0.2595, -0.2566, -0.2303, -0.2518, -0.2518, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2030357884199129395", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-07T19:00:16+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it's likely a time to exit to pursue more asymmetric opportunities", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish IREN on $6B dilution/share sales undermining the colo thesis; conditionally bullish HIMS now that NVO dropped lawsuit and partnered.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Most people on X make the mistake of getting married to a stock. \n\nIf your thesis materially changes with $HIMS or $IREN, so should your position. \n\nIf the bull case with $IREN last year was monetizing 3GW capacity through colo.\n\nThen if the company: \n\n-> inevitably dilutes you $6B off a $12.2B MC \n-> sells those shares into the open market in every rally\n-> pivots to GPU offerings\n\nYour thesis has changed. \n\nAnd it’s likely a time to exit to pursue more asymmetric opportunities. \n\nIf your thesis with $HIMS was that they’re the Amazon of healthcare.\n\nBut they get sued to oblivion by $NVO and the US gov. It’s respectable to exit.\n\nBut if the thesis is back online given $NVO dropping their lawsuit and partnering up, then there’s nothing wrong with going long again. \n\nA lot of things change every month with catalysts or fundamentals.\n\nIf you’re still cheering on an inevitable $6B worth of new shares getting sold against your $IREN positions on every rally.\n\nAnd your only qualifier is “Trusting in Management” like $AMC investors.\n\nMaybe it’s a good time to ask yourself this:\n\nAre you ignoring every red flag because you’re married to the stock?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I see zero compelling case to hold $IREN.\n\nEspecially given the new $6B share dilution at a $12.8B marketcap.\n\nPeople will likely see that marketcap inflate to $20-$25B.\n\nBut the value of their shares decrease over time. \n\nThe risk reward is just not there anymore.\n\nCompanies https://t.co/RZSnkkDZvy", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05509782135018482, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05509782135018482, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04641386798582958, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05986636349258456, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004768542142399745, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.018537621469477572, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.018537621469477572, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.016930494564110443, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.013173021082192093, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005364600387285479, "ret_p1w": 0.15705454300093913, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.15705454300093913, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.17067744972513788, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.17751951414193812, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02046497114099899, "ret_p1m": -0.07981458449903078, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07981458449903078, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0543826200794183, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07596801281670362, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00384657168232716, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1308, 0.1313, 0.0332, -0.0865, -0.0579, -0.1303, -0.0783, 0.0278, 0.0824, 0.0832, 0.0808, 0.0808, 0.0376, 0.0147, -0.0139, -0.0275, -0.0275, 0.0994, 0.242, 0.182, 0.1232, 0.1761, 0.1851, 0.2958, 0.3643, 0.3615, 0.336, 0.4887, 0.4887, 0.397, 0.3769, 0.3455, 0.4593, 0.3481, 0.5445, 0.6205, 0.5407, 0.3836, 0.3666, 0.4004, 0.1571, 0.0245, 0.077, 0.1882, 0.1053, 0.0986, 0.0306, 0.087, 0.087, 0.0548, 0.0834, 0.1146, 0.0294, 0.0906, 0.1702, 0.1336, 0.139, 0.0543, 0.0657, 0.0003, 0.1287, 0.0331, -0.0551, 0.0, -0.0185, 0.0808, 0.0651, 0.0705, 0.1571, 0.1061, 0.0868, 0.0726, 0.0631, 0.0855, 0.0587, 0.0667, -0.0358, -0.0965, -0.1859, -0.1174, -0.1223, -0.1048, -0.1048, -0.0955, -0.0798, -0.0518, -0.0458, 0.0124, 0.1089, 0.2196, 0.257, 0.2281, 0.2389, 0.2544, 0.163, 0.2459, 0.3393, 0.3038, 0.2451, 0.1442, 0.1035, 0.1717, 0.1756, 0.2739, 0.4094, 0.57, 0.4637, 0.5757, 0.4199, 0.4562, 0.4204, 0.5036, 0.363, 0.2992, 0.2291, 0.3571, 0.4949, 0.4632, 0.4632, 0.5391, 0.7467, 0.6491, 0.6359, 0.6359, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2030357884199129395", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-07T19:00:16+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if the thesis is back online given $NVO dropping their lawsuit and partnering up, then there's nothing wrong with going long again", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish IREN on $6B dilution/share sales undermining the colo thesis; conditionally bullish HIMS now that NVO dropped lawsuit and partnered.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Most people on X make the mistake of getting married to a stock. \n\nIf your thesis materially changes with $HIMS or $IREN, so should your position. \n\nIf the bull case with $IREN last year was monetizing 3GW capacity through colo.\n\nThen if the company: \n\n-> inevitably dilutes you $6B off a $12.2B MC \n-> sells those shares into the open market in every rally\n-> pivots to GPU offerings\n\nYour thesis has changed. \n\nAnd it’s likely a time to exit to pursue more asymmetric opportunities. \n\nIf your thesis with $HIMS was that they’re the Amazon of healthcare.\n\nBut they get sued to oblivion by $NVO and the US gov. It’s respectable to exit.\n\nBut if the thesis is back online given $NVO dropping their lawsuit and partnering up, then there’s nothing wrong with going long again. \n\nA lot of things change every month with catalysts or fundamentals.\n\nIf you’re still cheering on an inevitable $6B worth of new shares getting sold against your $IREN positions on every rally.\n\nAnd your only qualifier is “Trusting in Management” like $AMC investors.\n\nMaybe it’s a good time to ask yourself this:\n\nAre you ignoring every red flag because you’re married to the stock?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I see zero compelling case to hold $IREN.\n\nEspecially given the new $6B share dilution at a $12.8B marketcap.\n\nPeople will likely see that marketcap inflate to $20-$25B.\n\nBut the value of their shares decrease over time. \n\nThe risk reward is just not there anymore.\n\nCompanies https://t.co/RZSnkkDZvy", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.2897111967734822, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.2897111967734822, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.281027243409127, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.281027243409127, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0591154997726846, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0591154997726846, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06072262667805173, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06072262667805173, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "ret_p1w": 0.12274365216984151, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12274365216984151, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.13636655889404026, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13636655889404026, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "ret_p1m": -0.12003609502383417, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12003609502383417, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09460413060422168, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09460413060422168, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.7094, 0.7044, 0.6792, 0.6358, 0.6634, 0.5781, 0.569, 0.6047, 0.5817, 0.5704, 0.5645, 0.5645, 0.5483, 0.5388, 0.491, 0.4653, 0.4653, 0.5077, 0.5663, 0.6002, 0.6002, 0.5284, 0.4301, 0.4594, 0.4531, 0.4134, 0.4093, 0.4161, 0.4161, 0.375, 0.3037, 0.3773, 0.3366, 0.3664, 0.3394, 0.2938, 0.3479, 0.2225, 0.1931, 0.1525, 0.1011, 0.0596, 0.0388, -0.1277, -0.222, -0.2468, -0.287, -0.2644, -0.2644, -0.2658, -0.2852, -0.2861, -0.2947, -0.3001, -0.3023, -0.2861, -0.296, -0.3448, -0.2563, -0.2861, -0.2577, -0.2834, -0.2897, 0.0, 0.0591, 0.1679, 0.0758, 0.1178, 0.1227, 0.1273, 0.0447, 0.0903, -0.0063, 0.0135, -0.037, -0.0596, -0.0587, -0.1255, -0.1525, -0.0632, -0.1047, -0.1363, -0.1363, -0.0826, -0.12, -0.125, -0.1088, -0.1232, -0.0456, -0.0361, 0.0961, 0.218, 0.3005, 0.3994, 0.343, 0.3091, 0.2703, 0.3791, 0.3263, 0.2595, 0.1882, 0.2261, 0.2369, 0.2306, 0.1882, 0.213, 0.1575, 0.2757, 0.315, 0.1295, 0.0894, 0.0939, 0.1304, 0.0059, 0.0126, 0.0397, 0.0835, 0.0718, 0.0718, 0.0763, 0.1372, 0.1453, 0.1801, 0.1801, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2028497913979302109", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-02T15:49:25+00:00", "symbol": "LASR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LASR is the only US publicly traded, pure-play Energy Directed Weapons stock... markets may have missed the two-hop relation to NLight... $LASR is the pure play exposure for the future of warfare at a tiny $3.5B MC", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long LASR as the only pure-play US directed-energy weapons stock; Iron Beam's live debut validates its laser engine role, and markets may have missed the connection.", "resolved_tickers": ["LASR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$LASR is the only US publicly traded, pure-play Energy Directed Weapons stock. \n\n$LASR is the laser engine for Rafael's Iron Beam. \n\nAnd markets may have missed the the two-hop relation to NLight.\n\nThe Iron Beam was live for the first time today and wildly successful. \n\nAn article: \"America’s ongoing quest to stop firing $4 million missiles at $30,000 drones\" was also put out today:\n\n\"For years, laser weapons were the novelty tool of the defense industry, always five years away and ten billion dollars over budget. Since late 2025, the dream is officially operational, baking threats in mid-air like dinner rolls.\n\nThe appeal is pure, unadulterated Einsteinian art. Instead of launching a sophisticated interceptor that  requires a PhD to maintain, the Iron Beam focuses a 100kW high-energy laser onto a target until its structural integrity ceases to exist.\n\nThere is no explosion, no exhaust trail to track, and, magically, no reload time. As long as the generator has that sweet, sweet diesel, you have an infinite  magazine.\"\n\n$LASR is the pure play exposure for the future of warfare at a tiny $3.5B MC.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$LASR Energy Directed Weapons from the Iron Beam. \n\nIs probably the single largest beneficiary and validation from the US / Israel vs. Iran conflict. \n\nHezbollah Fired Rockets into Israel. \n\n-&gt; $LASR (Nlight) laser engine inside of Rafael's Iron Beam shot them down. \n\nIt's https://t.co/m1EeFM5GwB", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.16989220564221263, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.16989220564221263, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.16932394995800626, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.16932394995800626, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06825236489806885, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06825236489806885, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05943802641527318, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05943802641527318, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "ret_p1w": -0.0988329472612628, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0988329472612628, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08701736633774793, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08701736633774793, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "ret_p1m": -0.15763039738222395, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15763039738222395, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1077106558070402, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1077106558070402, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "ret_p3m": 0.1693012065466042, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1693012065466042, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06690782738069623, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06690782738069623, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4959, -0.4631, -0.4617, -0.4541, -0.4401, -0.4416, -0.4352, -0.4664, -0.4608, -0.4766, -0.488, -0.4689, -0.4429, -0.4351, -0.4172, -0.4191, -0.4191, -0.4209, -0.4237, -0.4305, -0.4459, -0.4459, -0.4332, -0.4373, -0.443, -0.4453, -0.4086, -0.4088, -0.3859, -0.3689, -0.3622, -0.3525, -0.3509, -0.3509, -0.3315, -0.3213, -0.2909, -0.351, -0.3562, -0.3363, -0.3207, -0.304, -0.3262, -0.2897, -0.2616, -0.352, -0.3191, -0.2448, -0.1935, -0.2182, -0.1898, -0.2254, -0.2277, -0.2277, -0.2482, -0.1971, -0.1774, -0.1726, -0.1919, -0.1485, -0.1047, -0.07, -0.1699, 0.0, -0.0683, -0.0099, -0.0758, -0.1337, -0.0988, -0.0576, -0.0177, -0.0727, -0.0752, 0.012, 0.051, 0.0126, 0.0471, -0.0285, 0.0334, 0.0572, 0.06, -0.0566, -0.0498, -0.2022, -0.1576, -0.1387, -0.1118, -0.1118, -0.1402, -0.1473, -0.1089, -0.0734, -0.0343, 0.0321, -0.0121, -0.0188, 0.0264, 0.0405, 0.0539, 0.0669, 0.0634, 0.0962, 0.1197, 0.0347, -0.0282, -0.0402, 0.0319, 0.0486, 0.0254, -0.0109, 0.0532, -0.0222, 0.0919, 0.255, 0.2381, 0.1881, 0.2015, 0.117, 0.0464, 0.0266, 0.0533, 0.1291, 0.1604, 0.1604, 0.2051, 0.2024, 0.1693, 0.095, 0.095, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2033519828473159919", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-16T12:24:42+00:00", "symbol": "TSEM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSEM and $SIVE are my two new choices", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long TSEM and SIVE as new positions; NBIS is top Neocloud sector pick.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSEM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Ricky_Macchiato $TSEM and $SIVE are my two new choices.\n\n$NBIS is my #1 Neocloud sector long.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What is your favorite tech companies except Nebius and Soitec ? 😁 I read your post about IREN. I decided to take my profit from IREN. So i'm looking for a new position. Thank you !", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Ricky_Macchiato", "ret_m1d": -0.0993717196138304, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0993717196138304, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08929737872077737, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08929737872077737, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010074340893053035, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010074340893053035, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004405290712602095, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004405290712602095, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007035845582577305, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007035845582577305, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00263055486997521, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00263055486997521, "ret_p1w": 0.24308516910070455, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.24308516910070455, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.26081259875513363, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.26081259875513363, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017727429654429083, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017727429654429083, "ret_p1m": 0.5462554973845066, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5462554973845066, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5054104522151828, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5054104522151828, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04084504516932386, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04084504516932386, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1869, -0.1573, -0.1395, -0.1453, -0.1255, -0.1155, -0.1155, -0.1218, -0.1254, -0.1285, -0.152, -0.152, -0.1208, -0.1385, -0.1169, -0.1174, -0.1527, -0.1332, -0.124, -0.0989, -0.1103, -0.1045, -0.0624, -0.0624, -0.0684, -0.0365, -0.0613, -0.0711, -0.0825, -0.0422, 0.0033, -0.0272, -0.027, -0.0114, -0.0149, -0.1241, -0.0678, 0.0041, 0.0654, -0.0137, -0.0291, -0.0353, -0.0703, -0.0703, -0.0772, -0.0731, -0.0911, -0.0722, -0.0797, -0.09, -0.0903, -0.1057, -0.0982, 0.0009, -0.0934, -0.1081, -0.1295, -0.2013, -0.1662, -0.1559, -0.1374, -0.1439, -0.0994, 0.0, -0.0044, 0.0252, 0.1994, 0.1817, 0.2431, 0.3058, 0.363, 0.2615, 0.2416, 0.1452, 0.2673, 0.351, 0.4285, 0.4285, 0.3735, 0.3783, 0.4709, 0.4719, 0.4703, 0.5127, 0.5463, 0.5572, 0.5509, 0.6354, 0.6212, 0.5651, 0.4884, 0.4535, 0.4483, 0.4684, 0.3978, 0.4384, 0.5964, 0.5744, 0.5531, 0.6287, 0.5662, 0.5166, 0.5239, 0.6529, 0.5948, 0.9554, 1.0271, 0.9786, 0.7915, 0.8147, 0.91, 1.0149, 1.0469, 1.0469, 1.0837, 1.0061, 0.9896, 0.8432, 0.8432, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2033519828473159919", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-16T12:24:42+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS is my #1 Neocloud sector long", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long TSEM and SIVE as new positions; NBIS is top Neocloud sector pick.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Ricky_Macchiato $TSEM and $SIVE are my two new choices.\n\n$NBIS is my #1 Neocloud sector long.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What is your favorite tech companies except Nebius and Soitec ? 😁 I read your post about IREN. I decided to take my profit from IREN. So i'm looking for a new position. Thank you !", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Ricky_Macchiato", "ret_m1d": -0.13015023766576383, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.13015023766576383, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1200758967727108, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12251992349076146, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010074340893053035, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007630314175002373, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.10412016663043411, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.10412016663043411, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.10675072150040932, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.10446698401024546, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00263055486997521, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0003468173798113483, "ret_p1w": -0.12090877042486059, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12090877042486059, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1031813407704315, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10130993845482839, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017727429654429083, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019598831970032204, "ret_p1m": 0.2471312655334701, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2471312655334701, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.20628622036414623, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.23324111665351577, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04084504516932386, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013890148879954323, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4189, -0.3986, -0.3111, -0.282, -0.3067, -0.2982, -0.2982, -0.3255, -0.3374, -0.3441, -0.3554, -0.3554, -0.3073, -0.2851, -0.228, -0.2591, -0.2507, -0.2458, -0.1734, -0.1881, -0.2146, -0.2, -0.1626, -0.1626, -0.2353, -0.2386, -0.2541, -0.2722, -0.2956, -0.2463, -0.2266, -0.2691, -0.3439, -0.3211, -0.3073, -0.3655, -0.4311, -0.3369, -0.2847, -0.2931, -0.3176, -0.309, -0.2452, -0.2452, -0.249, -0.216, -0.1713, -0.2459, -0.2252, -0.21, -0.1827, -0.1923, -0.2977, -0.2991, -0.3315, -0.247, -0.2634, -0.3121, -0.2688, -0.2574, -0.1375, -0.168, -0.1302, 0.0, -0.1041, -0.0869, -0.0642, -0.0942, -0.1209, -0.1151, -0.1137, -0.1839, -0.2236, -0.2895, -0.2009, -0.2149, -0.162, -0.162, -0.1333, -0.0959, -0.0374, 0.0499, 0.1164, 0.1903, 0.2471, 0.2843, 0.2733, 0.2102, 0.2257, 0.2056, 0.2025, 0.2097, 0.1333, 0.1164, 0.0436, 0.0873, 0.0645, 0.1898, 0.3586, 0.3548, 0.5024, 0.4229, 0.3635, 0.4332, 0.3794, 0.5962, 0.7031, 0.6938, 0.5392, 0.5228, 0.4772, 0.6937, 0.654, 0.654, 0.6023, 0.6047, 0.7431, 0.7797, 0.7797, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2032496203993334046", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-13T16:37:11+00:00", "symbol": "CL=F", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I would not position against the US government wanting to contain crude oil prices", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short crude oil: US Treasury considering futures market intervention to suppress prices; don't fight the government.", "resolved_tickers": ["CL=F"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The $150-200 Crude Oil longs:\n\nAre about to get a taste of what the Silver paper price manipulation is like.\n\nThis time, it’s coming from the US Gov, not bullion banks/CME.\n\nPer Financial Times:\n\n“US Treasury was considering measures to lower oil prices, including intervention in futures markets.”\n\nThe speculation was that it could be from the US Treasury,” he added, noting that the government has previously intervened in other markets.\n\nI would not position against the US government wanting to contain crude oil prices.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.030189400822391743, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.030189400822391743, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03588172952718294, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03588172952718294, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005692328704791194, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005692328704791194, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0527808644797384, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0527808644797384, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06295773059122156, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06295773059122156, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010176866111483163, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010176866111483163, "ret_p1w": -0.003950961333863301, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.003950961333863301, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.014090594449183702, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.014090594449183702, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.018041555783047003, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018041555783047003, "ret_p1m": 0.0037483816230754474, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0037483816230754474, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0350317916741838, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0350317916741838, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.038780173297259246, "bench_c_p1m": 0.038780173297259246, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4401, -0.4333, -0.4312, -0.426, -0.4123, -0.4086, -0.4089, -0.4089, -0.4252, -0.4116, -0.4129, -0.4183, -0.4183, -0.4193, -0.4092, -0.4212, -0.4328, -0.4149, -0.4011, -0.3972, -0.3805, -0.3717, -0.4004, -0.3978, -0.3978, -0.3887, -0.3859, -0.3986, -0.3813, -0.3858, -0.3679, -0.3596, -0.3373, -0.3394, -0.3705, -0.3596, -0.3401, -0.3588, -0.3562, -0.348, -0.352, -0.3453, -0.3634, -0.3629, -0.3629, -0.3686, -0.3396, -0.327, -0.3274, -0.3282, -0.3351, -0.3373, -0.3394, -0.321, -0.2784, -0.2447, -0.2436, -0.1793, -0.0791, -0.0399, -0.1546, -0.1161, -0.0302, 0.0, -0.0528, -0.0253, -0.0242, -0.026, -0.004, -0.1072, -0.0644, -0.085, -0.0429, 0.0094, 0.0422, 0.027, 0.0143, 0.13, 0.13, 0.1388, 0.1443, -0.0436, -0.0085, -0.0217, 0.0037, -0.0753, -0.0752, -0.0407, -0.1505, -0.0922, -0.0667, -0.0583, -0.029, -0.0437, -0.0237, 0.0124, 0.0828, 0.0644, 0.0327, 0.0781, 0.0361, -0.0368, -0.0395, -0.0333, -0.0065, 0.0352, 0.0234, 0.0249, 0.068, 0.1008, 0.0918, -0.0046, -0.0239, -0.0214, -0.0214, -0.0488, -0.1016, -0.0994, -0.115, -0.0907, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2030020673570275618", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-06T20:40:19+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This looks like a buying opportunity for specific names", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Sell-off on Bloomberg Stargate headlines is a buying opportunity; AI spend now backed by profitable hyperscalers META and GOOGL, not just OpenAI.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It’s honestly impressive Bloomberg titles have managed to crash the Semi Market for a second day in a row.\n\n$LITE down 14.4%\n$NVDA down 3.5%\n$TSM down 4.4%.\n\nOn the news that Oracle and OpenAI are not expanding a part of their Stargate project. \n\nThis looks more legitimate than yesterday’s report as the OpenAI contagion is spreading. \n\nAt the very bottom, they left added: \n\n$META, to step in and consider leasing the planned expansion site in Abilene, ‌Texas, ⁠from developer Crusoe.\n\nThis looks like a buying opportunity for specific names, as the AI trade has expanded far beyond OpenAI now and is now funded by profitable hyperscalers from $GOOGL to $META.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.16542512083472283, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.16542512083472283, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.15214390710158132, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.15214390710158132, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013281213733141506, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013281213733141506, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1472852941057532, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1472852941057532, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.13852526909271412, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.13852526909271412, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008760025013039074, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008760025013039074, "ret_p1w": 0.11471240827758433, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11471240827758433, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12971877531571463, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.12971877531571463, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.015006367038130297, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015006367038130297, "ret_p1m": 0.38292390573847856, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.38292390573847856, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.40025107865521914, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.40025107865521914, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017327172916740574, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017327172916740574, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3548, -0.3446, -0.3337, -0.4192, -0.4007, -0.4339, -0.4265, -0.3963, -0.3349, -0.3018, -0.3063, -0.291, -0.291, -0.3002, -0.3328, -0.3353, -0.34, -0.34, -0.3086, -0.3606, -0.2883, -0.2965, -0.3764, -0.3707, -0.3914, -0.353, -0.4062, -0.3853, -0.4194, -0.4194, -0.361, -0.351, -0.3652, -0.3926, -0.4047, -0.3363, -0.3106, -0.317, -0.2983, -0.2418, -0.2209, -0.1664, -0.0967, -0.0116, 0.0335, 0.0048, 0.0281, 0.0448, 0.0077, 0.0077, 0.0752, 0.0641, 0.1382, 0.1958, 0.2082, 0.2325, 0.2954, 0.2123, 0.2551, 0.4026, 0.2435, 0.2191, 0.1654, 0.0, 0.1473, 0.2034, 0.2034, 0.1032, 0.1147, 0.1189, 0.1632, 0.2549, 0.3827, 0.2649, 0.3053, 0.4361, 0.3917, 0.2334, 0.2584, 0.1725, 0.2584, 0.3693, 0.4807, 0.4807, 0.3829, 0.4608, 0.6045, 0.6011, 0.6068, 0.56, 0.5271, 0.4756, 0.5959, 0.601, 0.6029, 0.4987, 0.5644, 0.5165, 0.5788, 0.5394, 0.4171, 0.537, 0.6158, 0.701, 0.748, 0.781, 0.6909, 0.5983, 0.6184, 0.8858, 0.777, 0.8451, 0.7939, 0.7382, 0.5847, 0.5939, 0.5545, 0.7271, 0.6956, 0.6956, 0.631, 0.6158, 0.5411, 0.531, 0.531, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2030020673570275618", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-06T20:40:19+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This looks like a buying opportunity for specific names", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Sell-off on Bloomberg Stargate headlines is a buying opportunity; AI spend now backed by profitable hyperscalers META and GOOGL, not just OpenAI.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It’s honestly impressive Bloomberg titles have managed to crash the Semi Market for a second day in a row.\n\n$LITE down 14.4%\n$NVDA down 3.5%\n$TSM down 4.4%.\n\nOn the news that Oracle and OpenAI are not expanding a part of their Stargate project. \n\nThis looks more legitimate than yesterday’s report as the OpenAI contagion is spreading. \n\nAt the very bottom, they left added: \n\n$META, to step in and consider leasing the planned expansion site in Abilene, ‌Texas, ⁠from developer Crusoe.\n\nThis looks like a buying opportunity for specific names, as the AI trade has expanded far beyond OpenAI now and is now funded by profitable hyperscalers from $GOOGL to $META.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03104261476097836, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03104261476097836, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.017761401027836854, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.017761401027836854, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013281213733141506, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013281213733141506, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02716223428151121, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02716223428151121, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.018402209268472136, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.018402209268472136, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008760025013039074, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008760025013039074, "ret_p1w": 0.013720351899655592, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.013720351899655592, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02872671893778589, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02872671893778589, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.015006367038130297, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015006367038130297, "ret_p1m": -0.0009582097490762331, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0009582097490762331, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.01636896316766434, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01636896316766434, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017327172916740574, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017327172916740574, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0402, 0.0335, 0.0175, -0.0157, -0.0086, -0.0006, -0.0387, -0.0207, 0.0178, 0.033, 0.0641, 0.0607, 0.0607, 0.0715, 0.0585, 0.0547, 0.0488, 0.0488, 0.062, 0.0579, 0.053, 0.0635, 0.0406, 0.0396, 0.04, 0.0449, 0.0299, 0.0519, 0.0473, 0.0473, 0.0014, 0.0309, 0.0395, 0.0554, 0.0486, 0.0602, 0.077, 0.0826, 0.0749, 0.0438, 0.0142, -0.0204, -0.0334, 0.0427, 0.0687, 0.0603, 0.0688, 0.0513, 0.0281, 0.0281, 0.0402, 0.0571, 0.0567, 0.0675, 0.0772, 0.0845, 0.0998, 0.0398, -0.0035, 0.0262, 0.0125, 0.0294, 0.031, 0.0, 0.0272, 0.0391, 0.0462, 0.03, 0.0137, 0.0304, 0.0232, 0.0146, 0.0042, -0.0287, -0.0122, -0.0147, 0.0049, -0.037, -0.0579, -0.0711, -0.0192, -0.0116, -0.0024, -0.0024, -0.001, 0.0016, 0.024, 0.0343, 0.0608, 0.0647, 0.1052, 0.1184, 0.1155, 0.1342, 0.1364, 0.1241, 0.1389, 0.1228, 0.1713, 0.2182, 0.1989, 0.1768, 0.1224, 0.1161, 0.1162, 0.1051, 0.1688, 0.1895, 0.2103, 0.2341, 0.2417, 0.2701, 0.3258, 0.2672, 0.2503, 0.2407, 0.2568, 0.2345, 0.211, 0.211, 0.2084, 0.1957, 0.2049, 0.1874, 0.1874, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2030020673570275618", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-06T20:40:19+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This looks like a buying opportunity for specific names", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Sell-off on Bloomberg Stargate headlines is a buying opportunity; AI spend now backed by profitable hyperscalers META and GOOGL, not just OpenAI.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It’s honestly impressive Bloomberg titles have managed to crash the Semi Market for a second day in a row.\n\n$LITE down 14.4%\n$NVDA down 3.5%\n$TSM down 4.4%.\n\nOn the news that Oracle and OpenAI are not expanding a part of their Stargate project. \n\nThis looks more legitimate than yesterday’s report as the OpenAI contagion is spreading. \n\nAt the very bottom, they left added: \n\n$META, to step in and consider leasing the planned expansion site in Abilene, ‌Texas, ⁠from developer Crusoe.\n\nThis looks like a buying opportunity for specific names, as the AI trade has expanded far beyond OpenAI now and is now funded by profitable hyperscalers from $GOOGL to $META.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04417356862684896, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04417356862684896, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.030892354893707452, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.030892354893707452, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013281213733141506, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013281213733141506, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02894745991459824, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02894745991459824, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.020187434901559165, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.020187434901559165, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008760025013039074, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008760025013039074, "ret_p1w": -0.001711556687582938, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.001711556687582938, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01329481035054736, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01329481035054736, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.015006367038130297, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015006367038130297, "ret_p1m": 0.01131047013399944, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.01131047013399944, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.028637643050740014, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.028637643050740014, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017327172916740574, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017327172916740574, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1071, -0.0873, -0.1004, -0.1382, -0.1509, -0.1535, -0.1827, -0.16, -0.1474, -0.1346, -0.1238, -0.1183, -0.1183, -0.1064, -0.112, -0.116, -0.1033, -0.1033, -0.0569, -0.0491, -0.0338, -0.0596, -0.0616, -0.045, -0.021, -0.0227, -0.0348, 0.0081, 0.0104, 0.0104, -0.0346, -0.0377, -0.034, -0.0119, -0.0182, -0.0016, 0.0101, 0.0019, -0.0246, 0.0073, -0.0093, -0.0388, -0.0241, 0.0294, 0.0487, 0.0679, 0.1039, 0.0862, 0.0811, 0.0811, 0.0747, 0.069, 0.0634, 0.0934, 0.0919, 0.1383, 0.1441, 0.1119, 0.1053, 0.0892, 0.042, 0.0547, 0.0442, 0.0, 0.0289, 0.0242, 0.0462, -0.0064, -0.0017, 0.004, 0.0238, 0.0048, 0.0025, -0.0257, 0.0015, 0.0157, 0.029, -0.035, -0.0331, -0.0634, 0.0, 0.0105, 0.0033, 0.0033, 0.0113, 0.0218, 0.0827, 0.0815, 0.0967, 0.0936, 0.1241, 0.11, 0.0752, 0.0964, 0.0837, 0.0892, 0.1465, 0.1323, 0.1909, 0.1984, 0.161, 0.1654, 0.172, 0.1768, 0.1884, 0.1671, 0.2414, 0.2255, 0.2182, 0.1971, 0.1756, 0.1831, 0.2361, 0.1965, 0.1717, 0.1618, 0.1884, 0.2048, 0.197, 0.197, 0.2201, 0.2509, 0.2572, 0.2382, 0.2382, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2030020673570275618", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-03-06T20:40:19+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the AI trade has expanded far beyond OpenAI now and is now funded by profitable hyperscalers from $GOOGL to $META", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Sell-off on Bloomberg Stargate headlines is a buying opportunity; AI spend now backed by profitable hyperscalers META and GOOGL, not just OpenAI.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It’s honestly impressive Bloomberg titles have managed to crash the Semi Market for a second day in a row.\n\n$LITE down 14.4%\n$NVDA down 3.5%\n$TSM down 4.4%.\n\nOn the news that Oracle and OpenAI are not expanding a part of their Stargate project. \n\nThis looks more legitimate than yesterday’s report as the OpenAI contagion is spreading. \n\nAt the very bottom, they left added: \n\n$META, to step in and consider leasing the planned expansion site in Abilene, ‌Texas, ⁠from developer Crusoe.\n\nThis looks like a buying opportunity for specific names, as the AI trade has expanded far beyond OpenAI now and is now funded by profitable hyperscalers from $GOOGL to $META.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.007905659956570998, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007905659956570998, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0053755537765705075, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0004376081659702713, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013281213733141506, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00834326812254127, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.026985310109787886, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.026985310109787886, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01822528509674881, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02613398946483536, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008760025013039074, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0008513206449525246, "ret_p1w": 0.013308307643706607, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.013308307643706607, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.028314674681836904, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.038934069042997566, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.015006367038130297, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02562576139929096, "ret_p1m": 0.005631700880059487, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.005631700880059487, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02295887379680006, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05112258806759584, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017327172916740574, "bench_c_p1m": -0.045490887187536355, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0622, 0.0727, 0.0466, 0.0361, 0.0325, 0.027, -0.006, 0.0132, 0.0289, 0.0377, 0.053, 0.0522, 0.0522, 0.0502, 0.0504, 0.0514, 0.0485, 0.0485, 0.0557, 0.0604, 0.053, 0.0786, 0.0902, 0.1007, 0.1117, 0.1255, 0.125, 0.1148, 0.1055, 0.1055, 0.0787, 0.1, 0.1073, 0.0985, 0.1164, 0.1207, 0.1256, 0.1331, 0.1323, 0.1513, 0.138, 0.1156, 0.1096, 0.0815, 0.0864, 0.0672, 0.0417, 0.0351, 0.0241, 0.0241, 0.0117, 0.0161, 0.0145, 0.0551, 0.0434, 0.0415, 0.0482, 0.0297, 0.0444, 0.0268, 0.017, 0.0154, 0.0079, 0.0, 0.027, 0.0293, 0.0348, 0.0176, 0.0133, 0.0243, 0.0423, 0.0314, 0.0296, 0.009, 0.0126, -0.0264, -0.0247, -0.0583, -0.0804, -0.0832, -0.036, -0.0031, -0.0085, -0.0085, 0.0056, 0.024, 0.0637, 0.0676, 0.0635, 0.0771, 0.116, 0.1301, 0.1264, 0.1454, 0.1311, 0.1139, 0.1375, 0.136, 0.1545, 0.1744, 0.1725, 0.1731, 0.2899, 0.2929, 0.2847, 0.3021, 0.3343, 0.3341, 0.3436, 0.3028, 0.2985, 0.3497, 0.3445, 0.3301, 0.3306, 0.2995, 0.3037, 0.2995, 0.2838, 0.2838, 0.3036, 0.3034, 0.3078, 0.275, 0.275, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2030020673570275618", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-03-06T20:40:19+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the AI trade has expanded far beyond OpenAI now and is now funded by profitable hyperscalers from $GOOGL to $META", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Sell-off on Bloomberg Stargate headlines is a buying opportunity; AI spend now backed by profitable hyperscalers META and GOOGL, not just OpenAI.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It’s honestly impressive Bloomberg titles have managed to crash the Semi Market for a second day in a row.\n\n$LITE down 14.4%\n$NVDA down 3.5%\n$TSM down 4.4%.\n\nOn the news that Oracle and OpenAI are not expanding a part of their Stargate project. \n\nThis looks more legitimate than yesterday’s report as the OpenAI contagion is spreading. \n\nAt the very bottom, they left added: \n\n$META, to step in and consider leasing the planned expansion site in Abilene, ‌Texas, ⁠from developer Crusoe.\n\nThis looks like a buying opportunity for specific names, as the AI trade has expanded far beyond OpenAI now and is now funded by profitable hyperscalers from $GOOGL to $META.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.024361928954975687, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.024361928954975687, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.011080715221834181, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.016018660832434417, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013281213733141506, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00834326812254127, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.003923326514055914, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.003923326514055914, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004836698498983161, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.003072005869103389, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008760025013039074, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0008513206449525246, "ret_p1w": -0.04830505777187333, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04830505777187333, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03329869073374303, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02267929637258237, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.015006367038130297, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02562576139929096, "ret_p1m": -0.11064318834506026, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11064318834506026, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09331601542831969, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0651523011575239, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017327172916740574, "bench_c_p1m": -0.045490887187536355, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0179, 0.0074, 0.0113, -0.0018, 0.0041, 0.0191, 0.0072, 0.0304, 0.0216, 0.0258, 0.0311, 0.0352, 0.0352, 0.0286, 0.0214, 0.0327, 0.0236, 0.0236, 0.0086, 0.0216, 0.0244, 0.0059, 0.0019, 0.0127, -0.0045, -0.0214, -0.0455, -0.0373, -0.0382, -0.0382, -0.0632, -0.0495, 0.0043, 0.0216, 0.0426, 0.0436, 0.037, 0.1449, 0.1111, 0.0954, 0.0726, 0.0374, 0.0393, 0.0257, 0.0502, 0.0401, 0.037, 0.0077, -0.0079, -0.0079, -0.0086, -0.0025, -0.0001, 0.0167, -0.0118, -0.0086, 0.0137, 0.0188, 0.0051, 0.0135, 0.0158, 0.0355, 0.0244, 0.0, 0.0039, 0.0143, 0.0155, -0.0104, -0.0483, -0.0262, -0.0336, -0.0444, -0.0584, -0.0786, -0.0625, -0.0798, -0.0767, -0.1502, -0.1841, -0.1675, -0.112, -0.101, -0.1084, -0.1084, -0.1106, -0.1075, -0.0495, -0.0247, -0.0224, -0.0152, 0.0282, 0.0423, 0.0505, 0.0687, 0.0413, 0.0381, 0.0472, 0.023, 0.0477, 0.0533, 0.042, 0.0385, -0.0503, -0.0552, -0.0526, -0.0611, -0.0488, -0.0427, -0.0538, -0.0705, -0.0641, -0.043, -0.0402, -0.0467, -0.0514, -0.0647, -0.0609, -0.0573, -0.0528, -0.0528, -0.0496, -0.014, -0.014, -0.0183, -0.0183, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2030377470474748288", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-07T20:18:06+00:00", "symbol": "EWY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "No I'm long on memory and volatility increases. Q2 NAND prices were doubled by Samsung and likely SK Hynix, around 4-10 times more than analyst expectations. I expect that sector to directionally outperform.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Still long EWY; expects memory sector to outperform on NAND price surge 4-10x above analyst expectations.", "resolved_tickers": ["EWY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@eclement04 No I’m long on memory and volatility increases. Q2 NAND prices were doubled by Samsung and likely SK Hynix, around 4-10 times more than analyst expectations.\n\nThere’s a lot of macro backdrop affecting majority of stocks, but I expect that sector to directionally outperform.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Did you fully exit $EWY?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "eclement04", "ret_m1d": -0.053476705245757206, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.053476705245757206, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04479275188140197, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04479275188140197, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02681302826391818, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02681302826391818, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.025205901358551053, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.025205901358551053, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "ret_p1w": -0.005900315854313831, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.005900315854313831, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0077225908698849155, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0077225908698849155, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "ret_p1m": -0.05004105593236852, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05004105593236852, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02460909151275603, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02460909151275603, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2933, -0.3063, -0.3231, -0.3226, -0.3314, -0.3384, -0.3273, -0.3178, -0.3147, -0.3076, -0.2934, -0.2934, -0.2842, -0.2627, -0.2634, -0.2739, -0.2739, -0.2365, -0.217, -0.1963, -0.2006, -0.2039, -0.1867, -0.1864, -0.1968, -0.1811, -0.1706, -0.1618, -0.1618, -0.1712, -0.1362, -0.1337, -0.1189, -0.1238, -0.0836, -0.0622, -0.0701, -0.0857, -0.0968, -0.0715, -0.1018, -0.1022, -0.0686, -0.0586, -0.0705, -0.0246, -0.0231, 0.0006, 0.0006, -0.024, -0.0072, 0.0099, 0.0597, 0.0404, 0.0796, 0.112, 0.1234, 0.1306, 0.1019, -0.0116, 0.0036, -0.0609, -0.0535, 0.0, -0.0268, -0.0078, -0.0776, -0.0727, -0.0059, 0.004, -0.015, 0.0069, -0.0606, -0.0006, -0.0384, -0.0459, -0.1038, -0.0964, -0.1304, -0.0813, -0.0573, -0.0823, -0.0823, -0.0594, -0.05, 0.0462, 0.0403, 0.0361, 0.0548, 0.0955, 0.0824, 0.1014, 0.1377, 0.121, 0.0963, 0.1636, 0.1247, 0.1545, 0.1706, 0.153, 0.1499, 0.2007, 0.2099, 0.2218, 0.2956, 0.3592, 0.3201, 0.4206, 0.4404, 0.3332, 0.4088, 0.423, 0.3359, 0.3153, 0.2997, 0.3452, 0.3923, 0.3595, 0.3595, 0.4986, 0.481, 0.5416, 0.5373, 0.5373, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2021050004627128695", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-10T02:34:05+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "should be a positive hold through earnings. Of course I expect most of the ramp to happen H2 2026 to Q1 next year as the $5B in buildout capex spend converts to recognized $8B midpoint revenue + FCF", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long NBIS into earnings and beyond; expects $7-9B ARR EOY 700%+ y/y with $5B capex converting to $8B revenue by H2 2026-Q1 2027.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "After seeing $IREN report earnings with no new hyperscaler deals.\n\nAnd seeing hyperscaler capex exponentially increasing:\n\n-> It looks more and more likely $NBIS has something cooking for earnings through process of elimination.\n\nFew other TLDR tailwinds past few weeks:\n\n- Older GPUs have massively increased in price (see previous). Better for balance sheet\n\n- GPU availability dropped off the roof (increased demand)\n\n- Hyperscaler capex spend blowout (a large portion was cited for DCs)\n\n- $NBIS likely went through the 25M share ATM this quarter so hopefully the end of dilution is in sight. \n\n- Clickhouse raising at $15B valuation (getting close to main company valuation) \n\n- “Uber is not returning to developing its own robotaxis” and relying on partners like Avride (Nebius subsidiary)\n\nThings are looking good.\n\nWith the price reset to $92, if Nebius is still on track for $7-9B ARR EOY (700%+ y/y), should be a positive hold through earnings. \n\nOf course I expect most of the ramp to happen H2 2026 to Q1 next year as the $5B in buildout capex spend converts to recognized $8B midpoint revenue + FCF.\n\nWith $NBIS, you’re basically holding 5 companies, each growing triple digits Y/Y and waiting for valuation to reflect Sum of Parts + growth.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.011874891894747108, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011874891894747108, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009230758458591337, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.017828315124495675, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002644133436155771, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005953423229748567, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03464429974352301, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03464429974352301, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03441324092910669, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02750024394294681, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00023105881441631837, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007144055800576199, "ret_p1w": 0.06242505360482853, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06242505360482853, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07581868329651398, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08947046350178356, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01339362969168545, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02704540989695503, "ret_p1m": 0.22012203540175346, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.22012203540175346, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.24293593207292374, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2250548513340329, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.022813896671170286, "bench_c_p1m": -0.004932815932279455, "ret_p3m": 0.928859366879119, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.928859366879119, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.8602087247115839, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.9311286705084555, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06865064216753503, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0022693036293365276, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0344, -0.0899, -0.0633, -0.0136, 0.0357, -0.0779, -0.0929, 0.0012, -0.0317, 0.0316, 0.0316, 0.0336, 0.0911, 0.0508, 0.0777, 0.1199, 0.0681, 0.093, 0.0503, 0.0196, 0.0271, -0.0447, -0.116, -0.1181, -0.178, -0.1493, -0.0254, 0.0157, -0.0192, -0.0072, -0.0072, -0.0458, -0.0626, -0.0721, -0.0881, -0.0881, -0.02, 0.0113, 0.0921, 0.0482, 0.06, 0.0669, 0.1693, 0.1486, 0.111, 0.1318, 0.1846, 0.1846, 0.0817, 0.0771, 0.0551, 0.0295, -0.0036, 0.0662, 0.0941, 0.034, -0.0719, -0.0395, -0.02, -0.1024, -0.1952, -0.062, 0.0119, 0.0, -0.0346, -0.0224, 0.0678, 0.0678, 0.0624, 0.1091, 0.1723, 0.0668, 0.0961, 0.1176, 0.1561, 0.1426, -0.0065, -0.0085, -0.0544, 0.0653, 0.0421, -0.0268, 0.0343, 0.0506, 0.2201, 0.177, 0.2305, 0.4146, 0.2673, 0.2916, 0.3239, 0.2814, 0.2436, 0.2519, 0.2538, 0.1545, 0.0984, 0.0051, 0.1304, 0.1107, 0.1855, 0.1855, 0.2261, 0.279, 0.3618, 0.4852, 0.5794, 0.6838, 0.7642, 0.8169, 0.8013, 0.712, 0.734, 0.7055, 0.7011, 0.7113, 0.6032, 0.5793, 0.4763, 0.5382, 0.5059, 0.6831, 0.922, 0.9165, 1.1254, 1.013, 0.9289, 1.0275, 0.9513, 1.2581, 1.4093, 1.3961, 1.1774, 1.1542, 1.0898, 1.396, 1.3398, 1.3398, 1.2667, 1.2701, 1.4658, 1.5176, 1.5176, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2019319256438173896", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-05T07:56:42+00:00", "symbol": "VPG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "cross checked that with a few institutional reports/newsletters recently that mentioned long $VPG because of Optimus", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses long VPG thesis on its likely Optimus BOM inclusion, corroborated by institutional reports.", "resolved_tickers": ["VPG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Scientific & Technical Instruments'", "bench_c_industry": "Scientific & Technical Instruments", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@kacper_kalinski Yes sorry I should have added highly likely.\n\n$VPG link to Optimus was found by Citron. And cross checked that with a few institutional reports/newsletters recently that mentioned long $VPG because of Optimus. https://t.co/1THByp4zKP", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit The $VPG share in Optimus BOM is not confirmed and highly speculative, no?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "kacper_kalinski", "ret_m1d": 0.0357417482250002, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0357417482250002, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.023094583861267948, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.017383090883666297, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012647164363732255, "bench_c_m1d": 0.018358657341333906, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07571096382385711, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07571096382385711, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05652625198290573, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03515950909674026, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.019184711840951385, "bench_c_p1d": 0.040551454727116854, "ret_p1w": -0.10299770399796981, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10299770399796981, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10838422837515604, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12939309645156938, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00538652437718623, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026395392453599564, "ret_p1m": -0.1648732067661176, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1648732067661176, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15714019932718826, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.17711231166034036, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007733007438929351, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012239104894222752, "ret_p3m": 0.22886240656960632, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.22886240656960632, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.15783938601728686, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.006154042494139977, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07102302055231946, "bench_c_p3m": 0.22270836407546635, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.343, -0.3542, -0.3553, -0.3841, -0.386, -0.4154, -0.4179, -0.412, -0.4374, -0.4018, -0.3766, -0.3532, -0.3457, -0.3457, -0.344, -0.3378, -0.3276, -0.2942, -0.2829, -0.2504, -0.2719, -0.2932, -0.2633, -0.2508, -0.2713, -0.2686, -0.2588, -0.2688, -0.2659, -0.2552, -0.2558, -0.2435, -0.2415, -0.2415, -0.2373, -0.2469, -0.2519, -0.2602, -0.2602, -0.2452, -0.244, -0.2056, -0.2308, -0.2241, -0.1993, -0.2016, -0.2023, -0.1962, -0.1603, -0.162, -0.162, -0.1599, -0.1005, -0.0817, -0.1518, -0.1747, -0.1357, -0.1474, -0.0319, -0.0377, -0.0269, 0.015, 0.0357, 0.0, 0.0757, 0.0582, 0.0298, -0.1078, -0.103, -0.1507, -0.1507, -0.1274, -0.1155, -0.0986, -0.0805, -0.1005, -0.1009, -0.0717, -0.0919, -0.1147, -0.0542, -0.0857, -0.0972, -0.1355, -0.1649, -0.1628, -0.1441, -0.1568, -0.1985, -0.212, -0.2091, -0.2156, -0.2102, -0.1681, -0.2191, -0.19, -0.1781, -0.1257, -0.1829, -0.2016, -0.2183, -0.1656, -0.1551, -0.1397, -0.1397, -0.1138, -0.102, -0.0569, -0.054, -0.0411, -0.0015, -0.0046, -0.0238, -0.0127, 0.0227, 0.0215, 0.0457, 0.1013, 0.1105, 0.1649, 0.1257, 0.0993, 0.0813, 0.161, 0.1572, 0.1535, 0.2289, 0.2216, 0.1997, 0.2921, 0.2798, 0.6443, 0.9139, 0.9281, 0.8701, 1.0217, 0.8822, 0.9352, 0.9992, 1.186, 1.186, 1.3714, 1.4197, 1.4068, 1.408, 1.408, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2025528128492495261", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-22T11:08:32+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LITE is very undervalued if you fast forward 2 years", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "LITE is undervalued on a 2-year horizon despite being near-term overextended.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ValarMorghuliz9 $LITE is very undervalued if you fast forward 2 years. \n\nBut as of now, it’s probably a tad overextended and markets have done a bit too much frontrunning imo.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thoughts on $LITE and where it is currently? - it doesn't want to take a break and be rationale 😳", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ValarMorghuliz9", "ret_m1d": -0.010315179611056768, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010315179611056768, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02063184099812032, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02063184099812032, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.020067344648141194, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.020067344648141194, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012798891717746175, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012798891717746175, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "ret_p1w": 0.16083473785448033, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16083473785448033, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15498765214158872, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15498765214158872, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "ret_p1m": 0.18860879677706732, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.18860879677706732, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.22880017910153005, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.22880017910153005, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "ret_p3m": 0.429460714536414, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.429460714536414, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3380784976986295, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3380784976986295, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5431, -0.5431, -0.5181, -0.5288, -0.5512, -0.551, -0.5141, -0.5088, -0.4923, -0.466, -0.4576, -0.4485, -0.5193, -0.504, -0.5314, -0.5254, -0.5003, -0.4495, -0.4222, -0.4258, -0.4132, -0.4132, -0.4208, -0.4478, -0.4499, -0.4537, -0.4537, -0.4278, -0.4708, -0.411, -0.4177, -0.4839, -0.4792, -0.4963, -0.4645, -0.5085, -0.4912, -0.5194, -0.5194, -0.4712, -0.4628, -0.4746, -0.4973, -0.5073, -0.4507, -0.4294, -0.4347, -0.4193, -0.3725, -0.3551, -0.31, -0.2524, -0.1819, -0.1446, -0.1684, -0.1491, -0.1353, -0.166, -0.166, -0.1101, -0.1193, -0.0579, -0.0103, 0.0, 0.0201, 0.0721, 0.0034, 0.0388, 0.1608, 0.0292, 0.009, -0.0354, -0.1724, -0.0504, -0.004, -0.004, -0.0869, -0.0774, -0.0739, -0.0373, 0.0387, 0.1444, 0.0469, 0.0804, 0.1886, 0.1518, 0.0209, 0.0415, -0.0296, 0.0415, 0.1333, 0.2255, 0.2255, 0.1446, 0.209, 0.328, 0.3252, 0.3299, 0.2912, 0.2639, 0.2212, 0.3209, 0.3251, 0.3266, 0.2404, 0.2947, 0.2552, 0.3067, 0.2741, 0.1729, 0.2721, 0.3373, 0.4079, 0.4468, 0.474, 0.3995, 0.3229, 0.3395, 0.5608, 0.4708, 0.5271, 0.4848, 0.4386, 0.3116, 0.3192, 0.2865, 0.4295, 0.4034, 0.4034, 0.3499, 0.3373, 0.2755, 0.2671, 0.2671, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2034528751334342789", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-19T07:13:48+00:00", "symbol": "JBL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$JBL is probably one of the largest players in this space and basically supply to all the hyperscalers", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Adding SIVE at market open on news; bullish JBL as major hyperscaler supplier in the space.", "resolved_tickers": ["JBL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Be_nice_dot_com I don't have enough $SIVE... Especially after this news and I'll probably add more market open. \n\n$JBL is probably one of the largest players in this space and basically supply to all the hyperscalers.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit To the moon we go Serenity!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Be_nice_dot_com", "ret_m1d": -0.02502728172748414, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02502728172748414, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.027497710189550828, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.027497710189550828, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002470428462066687, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002470428462066687, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0440239354373676, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0440239354373676, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02968815956486337, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02968815956486337, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01433577587250423, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01433577587250423, "ret_p1w": -0.004372209627213963, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.004372209627213963, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.015252266323884323, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.015252266323884323, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019624475951098286, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019624475951098286, "ret_p1m": 0.2125061624777158, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2125061624777158, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.13327092394404083, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.13327092394404083, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07923523853367498, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07923523853367498, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1342, -0.1143, -0.1164, -0.1164, -0.1103, -0.1146, -0.1274, -0.1408, -0.1408, -0.0942, -0.1581, -0.1545, -0.1543, -0.1642, -0.1479, -0.1312, -0.1019, -0.0906, -0.046, -0.0531, -0.0531, -0.0702, -0.0461, -0.078, -0.0839, -0.0889, -0.0871, -0.082, -0.0809, -0.1063, -0.0835, -0.0745, -0.1105, -0.0888, -0.0269, 0.0021, -0.0244, -0.0163, -0.0537, -0.0407, -0.0407, -0.0298, -0.018, -0.0108, 0.0218, -0.0152, 0.0036, 0.0462, 0.0249, -0.0012, -0.0156, -0.0417, -0.0382, -0.0494, -0.0913, -0.0673, -0.0534, -0.0371, -0.0496, -0.0553, -0.0276, -0.0112, -0.025, 0.0, -0.044, 0.0036, 0.0455, 0.0676, -0.0044, -0.0159, -0.0672, 0.0012, 0.0251, 0.0122, 0.0122, 0.0081, 0.0284, 0.0823, 0.1044, 0.1289, 0.151, 0.1533, 0.1494, 0.1688, 0.2125, 0.2449, 0.2577, 0.268, 0.276, 0.2877, 0.2845, 0.247, 0.2584, 0.2721, 0.2908, 0.2845, 0.2712, 0.4034, 0.3177, 0.3386, 0.3767, 0.3222, 0.3397, 0.3356, 0.2811, 0.277, 0.255, 0.3012, 0.3437, 0.3736, 0.3736, 0.4336, 0.4001, 0.371, 0.3744, 0.3744, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028147215206859218", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-01T16:35:51+00:00", "symbol": "Macronix", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Macronix I've talked about earlier on for NOR Flash. It's probably the most pure play out of the bunch since it's 30-35% of the market with a smaller MC of $6.7B compared to the others at $15B+", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Macronix as the purest NOR Flash play with 30-35% market share and smaller MC vs peers.", "resolved_tickers": ["2337.TW"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Macronix NOR Flash leader, TWSE 2337.TW", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Macronix I've talked about earlier on for NOR Flash. It's probably the most pure play out of the bunch since it's 30-35% of the market with a smaller MC of $6.7B compared to the others at $15B+\n\nThe hikes have been pretty modest so far, for it to pull a $SNDK, it will need to be a lot steeper.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit All have had huge run ups last 6 m", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ShortsHoward", "ret_m1d": -0.051724137931034475, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.051724137931034475, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0511558822468281, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05167487606305443, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -4.926186798004384e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09913793103448276, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09913793103448276, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.09032359255168709, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06141550544017893, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03772242559430383, "ret_p1w": -0.20431031851932924, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.20431031851932924, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.19249473759581437, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.17473277207875448, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.029577546440574753, "ret_p1m": -0.004310344827586188, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.004310344827586188, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.045609396747597564, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05226097809687469, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.056571322924460876, "ret_p3m": 0.3793103448275863, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3793103448275863, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.27691696566167834, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09668560849018548, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.4759959533177718, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7172, -0.7164, -0.7078, -0.6789, -0.6659, -0.681, -0.6862, -0.6716, -0.6728, -0.6797, -0.6754, -0.6728, -0.6797, -0.6642, -0.6681, -0.6642, -0.6642, -0.6621, -0.6711, -0.6659, -0.6599, -0.6599, -0.6263, -0.5892, -0.5483, -0.5034, -0.4543, -0.4974, -0.4724, -0.475, -0.4819, -0.4664, -0.4224, -0.3647, -0.3379, -0.3681, -0.3672, -0.4026, -0.3431, -0.3431, -0.2776, -0.206, -0.2, -0.269, -0.2716, -0.2267, -0.2422, -0.3034, -0.2345, -0.2276, -0.1509, -0.1509, -0.1509, -0.1509, -0.1509, -0.1509, -0.1509, -0.1509, -0.1078, -0.0216, -0.069, -0.0517, -0.0517, 0.0, -0.0991, -0.1552, -0.0733, -0.1164, -0.2043, -0.2181, -0.1405, -0.1466, -0.0647, 0.0259, 0.125, 0.2371, 0.3534, 0.3793, 0.2802, 0.1767, 0.2241, 0.1034, 0.0776, 0.1034, -0.0043, 0.0948, 0.1121, 0.1121, 0.1121, 0.1767, 0.2931, 0.2241, 0.2586, 0.2716, 0.3405, 0.2241, 0.1983, 0.1293, 0.0388, 0.1422, 0.1595, 0.0862, 0.1379, 0.25, 0.375, 0.4397, 0.3276, 0.3276, 0.3319, 0.3836, 0.4828, 0.4181, 0.319, 0.375, 0.319, 0.4483, 0.4569, 0.4009, 0.3793, 0.2414, 0.2155, 0.2155, 0.2888, 0.3147, 0.3836, 0.3405, 0.3793, 0.4353, 0.4871, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2018284243852607499", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-02T11:23:56+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "buy during the fear, sell during the greed", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Buy BTC and ETH now while Fear & Greed hits extreme fear (15); historical extreme-fear entries returned 6–43% over 2 months.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just In -- Today, Crypto Fear and Greed Index Hits:\n\n15. Extreme Fear. \n\nThis has only happened in 3 periods since 2023:\n\n~ 3/11/2025\n~ 4/7/2025\n~ 11/22/2025\n\nIf you bought $BTC and $ETH on each of those days and waited 2 months, here were the returns.\n\n3/11: +33.7% (BTC), +39.5% (ETH)\n4/7: +33.5%, +43.1%\n11/22: +5.9%, +6.2%\n\nThe March/April dips were generational buying opportunities.\n\nThe November dip was a slower recovery, but very profitable nevertheless. \n\nRegardless, this is a tale as old as time, buy during the fear, sell during the greed.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.06913173159843944, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06913173159843944, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07407850154459417, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946769946154728, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.03882661934945053, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03882661934945053, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03037122291874994, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00845539643070059, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.10888446790272044, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10888446790272044, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10678503015247987, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0020994377502405737, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.13210420960266522, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.13210420960266522, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11041923105116547, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684978551499756, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.030302233026037517, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.030302233026037517, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.06655804003301113, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03625580700697362, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3203, 0.2874, 0.3137, 0.347, 0.3089, 0.292, 0.267, 0.1996, 0.1704, 0.1812, 0.1624, 0.1009, 0.0814, 0.1218, 0.11, 0.1503, 0.1601, 0.1554, 0.097, 0.1609, 0.1886, 0.171, 0.136, 0.1519, 0.178, 0.1694, 0.1757, 0.1472, 0.0982, 0.1163, 0.0947, 0.0861, 0.1196, 0.1246, 0.1109, 0.1134, 0.1086, 0.1095, 0.1074, 0.1238, 0.1121, 0.1276, 0.143, 0.1931, 0.1911, 0.1604, 0.1568, 0.1503, 0.1589, 0.2114, 0.2318, 0.2143, 0.214, 0.1762, 0.1223, 0.1358, 0.1369, 0.1374, 0.1217, 0.1323, 0.1334, 0.0746, 0.0691, 0.0, -0.0388, -0.072, -0.2032, -0.1034, -0.1089, -0.1257, -0.1486, -0.1584, -0.1249, -0.1251, -0.1423, -0.1558, -0.1491, -0.1358, -0.1788, -0.1857, -0.1363, -0.1428, -0.1628, -0.126, -0.1321, -0.076, -0.0997, -0.1341, -0.1307, -0.1113, -0.1078, -0.1041, -0.0981, -0.0486, -0.0606, -0.0946, -0.1115, -0.1038, -0.0988, -0.1038, -0.0938, -0.1258, -0.157, -0.1525, -0.1329, -0.1348, -0.15, -0.1494, -0.1249, -0.0858, -0.0961, -0.088, -0.0726, -0.0534, -0.0573, -0.0494, -0.0449, -0.0198, -0.0358, -0.0297, -0.0062, -0.0053, -0.0157, -0.0168, -0.0297, -0.037, -0.0303, -0.0065, 0.0145, 0.0284, 0.0348, 0.0168, 0.019, 0.0386, 0.0227, 0.0075, 0.03, 0.0048, -0.022, -0.0246, -0.0156, -0.0146, -0.0407, -0.0179, -0.0364, -0.0552, -0.0655, -0.0676, -0.0639, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2018284243852607499", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-02T11:23:56+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If you bought $BTC and $ETH on each of those days and waited 2 months", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Buy BTC and ETH now while Fear & Greed hits extreme fear (15); historical extreme-fear entries returned 6–43% over 2 months.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just In -- Today, Crypto Fear and Greed Index Hits:\n\n15. Extreme Fear. \n\nThis has only happened in 3 periods since 2023:\n\n~ 3/11/2025\n~ 4/7/2025\n~ 11/22/2025\n\nIf you bought $BTC and $ETH on each of those days and waited 2 months, here were the returns.\n\n3/11: +33.7% (BTC), +39.5% (ETH)\n4/7: +33.5%, +43.1%\n11/22: +5.9%, +6.2%\n\nThe March/April dips were generational buying opportunities.\n\nThe November dip was a slower recovery, but very profitable nevertheless. \n\nRegardless, this is a tale as old as time, buy during the fear, sell during the greed.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.1527150524057055, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.1527150524057055, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.15766182235186021, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946769946154728, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.04982085366444211, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04982085366444211, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04136545723374152, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00845539643070059, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.1027100797345687, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1027100797345687, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10061064198432812, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0020994377502405737, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.15423752289120995, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15423752289120995, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1325525443397102, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684978551499756, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.03758193842531388, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03758193842531388, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0738377454322875, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03625580700697362, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.461, 0.4129, 0.4653, 0.5221, 0.4568, 0.4559, 0.379, 0.3239, 0.2901, 0.3321, 0.2895, 0.2079, 0.1797, 0.2595, 0.2617, 0.2915, 0.2859, 0.2934, 0.1944, 0.2788, 0.3614, 0.337, 0.2901, 0.3331, 0.4166, 0.4185, 0.3808, 0.3156, 0.2644, 0.2644, 0.2078, 0.2059, 0.2703, 0.2823, 0.264, 0.2565, 0.2385, 0.248, 0.2517, 0.2675, 0.2656, 0.2798, 0.3327, 0.3761, 0.4059, 0.3508, 0.3242, 0.3151, 0.3191, 0.4171, 0.431, 0.4149, 0.4057, 0.3593, 0.2522, 0.2707, 0.2582, 0.2597, 0.2483, 0.2891, 0.2825, 0.2021, 0.1527, 0.0, -0.0498, -0.0857, -0.2229, -0.1198, -0.1027, -0.1386, -0.1722, -0.1695, -0.1262, -0.1478, -0.1502, -0.1665, -0.169, -0.1601, -0.2085, -0.2096, -0.1236, -0.1355, -0.1764, -0.1353, -0.1542, -0.0929, -0.1163, -0.156, -0.1499, -0.1311, -0.1249, -0.1157, -0.1074, 0.0029, -0.0112, -0.06, -0.0883, -0.0844, -0.082, -0.0805, -0.0752, -0.1215, -0.1506, -0.1369, -0.1022, -0.0877, -0.1226, -0.1241, -0.1009, -0.0437, -0.0657, -0.0662, -0.0423, 0.0112, -0.009, 0.0064, 0.0018, 0.0327, -0.0124, -0.007, 0.0135, -0.0055, -0.0122, -0.0176, -0.0234, -0.0388, -0.0376, -0.021, 0.0009, 0.0072, 0.0027, -0.0227, -0.0159, -0.0021, -0.0297, -0.037, -0.0271, -0.0516, -0.0921, -0.1, -0.0927, -0.0908, -0.1193, -0.0994, -0.1167, -0.1374, -0.1437, -0.1418, -0.1431, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2033857675042165005", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-17T10:47:11+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Same with substrate providers like $AXTI and $SOI", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long SIVE, AXTI, and SOI for multi-year hold on CPO TAM exponential growth thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just look at this graph. Straight line up for CPO TAM next few years.\n\nNormally markets are scared of one-and-done cycles, but this looks exponential.\n\nI said $SIVE could be the next $LITE so I’m long for awhile. Same with substrate providers like $AXTI and $SOI.\n\nAs for current transceiver bottlenecks, would re-evaluate next year.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Are you considering those for long term holding, like 10+ years or short term trades?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "whale_xbt", "ret_m1d": 0.09084758169179241, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.09084758169179241, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.09347123489804876, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.09830573382508556, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002623653206256349, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00745815213329315, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09918840510914895, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09918840510914895, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.11314205049626913, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10727647055861889, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013953645387120184, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008088065449469939, "ret_p1w": 0.5428314134295917, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.5428314134295917, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.5664246760166218, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.5486014409360116, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023593262587030095, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005770027506419861, "ret_p1m": 0.41862036608022146, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.41862036608022146, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.37231438330056865, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2772174371678462, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04630598277965281, "bench_c_p1m": 0.14140292891237527, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6842, -0.6697, -0.6569, -0.67, -0.6616, -0.6616, -0.6535, -0.6711, -0.6438, -0.6314, -0.6314, -0.6222, -0.6242, -0.5453, -0.4565, -0.4177, -0.4817, -0.4986, -0.5151, -0.5018, -0.4202, -0.502, -0.502, -0.5174, -0.5541, -0.596, -0.6078, -0.5987, -0.6123, -0.6206, -0.6307, -0.5821, -0.528, -0.555, -0.5773, -0.5394, -0.4576, -0.374, -0.4511, -0.3959, -0.4412, -0.4536, -0.4536, -0.4768, -0.4693, -0.4633, -0.3309, -0.3591, -0.2092, -0.0764, -0.1632, -0.1456, 0.0442, -0.0586, -0.1179, -0.1253, -0.2703, -0.1307, -0.0014, 0.0676, 0.0534, 0.1014, 0.0908, 0.0, 0.0992, 0.3095, 0.2227, 0.4527, 0.5428, 0.5183, 0.319, 0.3668, 0.1887, 0.2845, 0.0627, 0.1912, 0.1912, -0.0534, 0.0248, 0.1988, 0.4229, 0.4468, 0.498, 0.5171, 0.4186, 0.8436, 0.8611, 0.7755, 0.69, 0.9599, 0.6968, 0.7169, 0.5814, 0.5489, 0.6021, 0.7858, 1.1641, 1.3895, 1.4245, 1.3632, 1.4441, 1.6231, 1.8361, 1.7705, 1.7489, 1.592, 1.7904, 1.3868, 1.5446, 1.3582, 1.7281, 2.1747, 2.1747, 1.9892, 1.7676, 1.6082, 1.3255, 1.3255, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2029219794025644382", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-04T15:37:54+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "High conviction long: $AAOI. I genuinely think this could easily be a 3x by next year. $AAOI remains an asymmetrical 1Y high conviction as long as management delivers.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "High-conviction long AAOI as the only pure Made-in-America optical transceiver play; sees 3x in ~1 year as it leapfrogs LITE and others on revenue and margins.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "High conviction long: $AAOI.   \n\nI genuinely think this could easily be a 3x by next year.  \n\nNvidia funded $COHR, who does Malaysia manufacturing for 800G/1.6T.  \n\n$LITE uses FN in Thailand for volume production, and has it's own manufacturing in Thailand. \n\nI will keep hammering this home but Applied Optoelectronics is only pure Made in America, optical transceiver play.\n\nAgain, the two \"American\" optical companies outsourced it to Asia, while $AAOI spent the years building up capacity and fabs in Texas.   \n\nNvidia funded both $COHR and $LITE just now to build out a US-version to  insulate its most critical supply chain from geopolitical risks. \n\nBut guess who already has the supply chain setup and is years ahead in that regard? $AAOI.\n\n$LITE ($55B) FY 2026 est. ~$2.91B   \n\n$AAOI ($7.1B MC) H2 2027: $4.35B ARR.  \n\n$AAOI will actually leapfrong Lite FY 2026 projections if management executes (and with ~40% gross margins).   \n\nOnce again. $AAOI ($7B) will leapfrog $LITE ($55B MC) entire 2026 revenue projections if they deliver their projections. \n\n$FN over in Asia, 2026 projections are actually around the exact same as AAOI. \n\n~4.39B revenue off 12.4% gross margins. And it's a $20B MC (with much lower margins)  \n\nEven if $AAOI hits 70% of their target, it's likely to be heavily re-rated way past it's current marketcap.  \n\nTLDR: Hard to see downside with $AAOI at these levels, especially with 3-4 hyperscalers (likely $GOOGL, $MSFT, $AMZN) wanting to buy up any capacity it can make for years out. And with $GOOGL not going the CPO route.  \n\n$AAOI leapfrogs $CRDO, $ALAB, $LITE, and others in growth + benefits from photonics theme vs. copper (from the first two). \n\n$AAOI remains an asymmetrical 1Y high conviction as long as management delivers.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.043827126534018324, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.043827126534018324, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.036821246822582476, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.036821246822582476, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007005879711435847, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007005879711435847, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0143415938050937, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0143415938050937, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01991714065148753, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01991714065148753, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005575546846393831, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005575546846393831, "ret_p1w": 0.2737940357278481, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2737940357278481, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.28663826763722366, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.28663826763722366, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012844231909375559, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012844231909375559, "ret_p1m": 0.042122200543583954, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.042122200543583954, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08227353426287731, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08227353426287731, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04015133371929336, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04015133371929336, "ret_p3m": 0.5887073023429381, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5887073023429381, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4815510554499056, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4815510554499056, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10715624689303249, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10715624689303249, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7333, -0.7208, -0.6953, -0.6492, -0.6357, -0.6785, -0.7001, -0.7096, -0.7278, -0.7066, -0.6859, -0.6079, -0.5924, -0.5888, -0.5888, -0.6272, -0.6314, -0.6388, -0.6504, -0.6504, -0.6028, -0.6491, -0.6128, -0.6183, -0.6689, -0.6586, -0.6618, -0.6572, -0.6543, -0.6289, -0.6285, -0.6285, -0.6063, -0.6151, -0.6174, -0.6418, -0.6501, -0.625, -0.5464, -0.6031, -0.5626, -0.5571, -0.5375, -0.5998, -0.6176, -0.5557, -0.5195, -0.5137, -0.5146, -0.5588, -0.5541, -0.5541, -0.5596, -0.5643, -0.5288, -0.4817, -0.4588, -0.4357, -0.4171, -0.4615, -0.1553, 0.0281, -0.0438, 0.0, 0.0143, -0.0414, 0.1094, 0.2084, 0.2738, 0.065, -0.0291, -0.0566, -0.1342, -0.071, 0.0222, -0.1221, -0.0396, 0.1423, 0.1474, -0.023, -0.015, -0.1456, -0.1516, -0.134, 0.0421, 0.0421, 0.0776, 0.1798, 0.3309, 0.3369, 0.5104, 0.5364, 0.4682, 0.4296, 0.5778, 0.5988, 0.6395, 0.5101, 0.4985, 0.3813, 0.6264, 0.462, 0.3766, 0.5327, 0.6484, 0.8404, 0.7348, 0.811, 0.7906, 0.5801, 0.4937, 0.8544, 0.8883, 1.2375, 1.0416, 0.9091, 0.7376, 0.7183, 0.6574, 0.7732, 0.8202, 0.8202, 0.7814, 0.8035, 0.6951, 0.5887, 0.5887, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2029219794025644382", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-04T15:37:54+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Nvidia funded $COHR, who does Malaysia manufacturing for 800G/1.6T", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "High-conviction long AAOI as the only pure Made-in-America optical transceiver play; sees 3x in ~1 year as it leapfrogs LITE and others on revenue and margins.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "High conviction long: $AAOI.   \n\nI genuinely think this could easily be a 3x by next year.  \n\nNvidia funded $COHR, who does Malaysia manufacturing for 800G/1.6T.  \n\n$LITE uses FN in Thailand for volume production, and has it's own manufacturing in Thailand. \n\nI will keep hammering this home but Applied Optoelectronics is only pure Made in America, optical transceiver play.\n\nAgain, the two \"American\" optical companies outsourced it to Asia, while $AAOI spent the years building up capacity and fabs in Texas.   \n\nNvidia funded both $COHR and $LITE just now to build out a US-version to  insulate its most critical supply chain from geopolitical risks. \n\nBut guess who already has the supply chain setup and is years ahead in that regard? $AAOI.\n\n$LITE ($55B) FY 2026 est. ~$2.91B   \n\n$AAOI ($7.1B MC) H2 2027: $4.35B ARR.  \n\n$AAOI will actually leapfrong Lite FY 2026 projections if management executes (and with ~40% gross margins).   \n\nOnce again. $AAOI ($7B) will leapfrog $LITE ($55B MC) entire 2026 revenue projections if they deliver their projections. \n\n$FN over in Asia, 2026 projections are actually around the exact same as AAOI. \n\n~4.39B revenue off 12.4% gross margins. And it's a $20B MC (with much lower margins)  \n\nEven if $AAOI hits 70% of their target, it's likely to be heavily re-rated way past it's current marketcap.  \n\nTLDR: Hard to see downside with $AAOI at these levels, especially with 3-4 hyperscalers (likely $GOOGL, $MSFT, $AMZN) wanting to buy up any capacity it can make for years out. And with $GOOGL not going the CPO route.  \n\n$AAOI leapfrogs $CRDO, $ALAB, $LITE, and others in growth + benefits from photonics theme vs. copper (from the first two). \n\n$AAOI remains an asymmetrical 1Y high conviction as long as management delivers.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02164742968832223, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02164742968832223, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.028653309399758076, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.028653309399758076, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007005879711435847, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007005879711435847, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07636611858043851, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07636611858043851, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07079057173404468, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07079057173404468, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005575546846393831, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005575546846393831, "ret_p1w": -0.08531609888379776, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08531609888379776, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0724718669744222, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0724718669744222, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012844231909375559, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012844231909375559, "ret_p1m": -0.06075814079700559, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06075814079700559, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02060680707771223, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02060680707771223, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04015133371929336, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04015133371929336, "ret_p3m": 0.31510594660900226, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.31510594660900226, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.20794969971596977, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.20794969971596977, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10715624689303249, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10715624689303249, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3386, -0.3238, -0.2988, -0.2816, -0.2778, -0.3512, -0.3508, -0.3626, -0.3799, -0.3607, -0.3239, -0.3052, -0.3019, -0.3038, -0.3038, -0.3025, -0.3123, -0.3203, -0.3285, -0.3285, -0.293, -0.322, -0.2938, -0.3028, -0.37, -0.3522, -0.3263, -0.3086, -0.3302, -0.2871, -0.305, -0.305, -0.2962, -0.267, -0.2625, -0.2835, -0.2805, -0.2214, -0.1954, -0.2147, -0.228, -0.1907, -0.1662, -0.2323, -0.2387, -0.1717, -0.1179, -0.1691, -0.1862, -0.2138, -0.2097, -0.2097, -0.1997, -0.1854, -0.1542, -0.0971, -0.0945, -0.0728, -0.0253, -0.0899, -0.058, 0.0875, 0.0216, 0.0, -0.0764, -0.1424, -0.082, -0.0517, -0.0853, -0.1222, -0.1168, -0.1, -0.1057, -0.0642, 0.0026, -0.0772, -0.0721, -0.0092, -0.0103, -0.1149, -0.1142, -0.2009, -0.1333, -0.0985, -0.0608, -0.0608, -0.0787, -0.0719, 0.0252, 0.0339, 0.1188, 0.1203, 0.1403, 0.1213, 0.1933, 0.2553, 0.2643, 0.2508, 0.2751, 0.2286, 0.2228, 0.1698, 0.1059, 0.1094, 0.1632, 0.1988, 0.2002, 0.2215, 0.254, 0.1613, 0.2197, 0.3814, 0.3607, 0.4688, 0.4733, 0.3914, 0.3201, 0.2866, 0.3043, 0.3752, 0.3737, 0.3737, 0.3874, 0.3832, 0.3714, 0.3151, 0.3151, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2029219794025644382", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-04T15:37:54+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LITE ($55B) FY 2026 est. ~$2.91B", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "High-conviction long AAOI as the only pure Made-in-America optical transceiver play; sees 3x in ~1 year as it leapfrogs LITE and others on revenue and margins.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "High conviction long: $AAOI.   \n\nI genuinely think this could easily be a 3x by next year.  \n\nNvidia funded $COHR, who does Malaysia manufacturing for 800G/1.6T.  \n\n$LITE uses FN in Thailand for volume production, and has it's own manufacturing in Thailand. \n\nI will keep hammering this home but Applied Optoelectronics is only pure Made in America, optical transceiver play.\n\nAgain, the two \"American\" optical companies outsourced it to Asia, while $AAOI spent the years building up capacity and fabs in Texas.   \n\nNvidia funded both $COHR and $LITE just now to build out a US-version to  insulate its most critical supply chain from geopolitical risks. \n\nBut guess who already has the supply chain setup and is years ahead in that regard? $AAOI.\n\n$LITE ($55B) FY 2026 est. ~$2.91B   \n\n$AAOI ($7.1B MC) H2 2027: $4.35B ARR.  \n\n$AAOI will actually leapfrong Lite FY 2026 projections if management executes (and with ~40% gross margins).   \n\nOnce again. $AAOI ($7B) will leapfrog $LITE ($55B MC) entire 2026 revenue projections if they deliver their projections. \n\n$FN over in Asia, 2026 projections are actually around the exact same as AAOI. \n\n~4.39B revenue off 12.4% gross margins. And it's a $20B MC (with much lower margins)  \n\nEven if $AAOI hits 70% of their target, it's likely to be heavily re-rated way past it's current marketcap.  \n\nTLDR: Hard to see downside with $AAOI at these levels, especially with 3-4 hyperscalers (likely $GOOGL, $MSFT, $AMZN) wanting to buy up any capacity it can make for years out. And with $GOOGL not going the CPO route.  \n\n$AAOI leapfrogs $CRDO, $ALAB, $LITE, and others in growth + benefits from photonics theme vs. copper (from the first two). \n\n$AAOI remains an asymmetrical 1Y high conviction as long as management delivers.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.020020571573449164, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.020020571573449164, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02702645128488501, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02702645128488501, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007005879711435847, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007005879711435847, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04403639983299601, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04403639983299601, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03846085298660218, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03846085298660218, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005575546846393831, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005575546846393831, "ret_p1w": -0.01292595174905442, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01292595174905442, "alpha_spy_p1w": -8.17198396788621e-05, "alpha_c_p1w": -8.17198396788621e-05, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012844231909375559, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012844231909375559, "ret_p1m": 0.21457112178190374, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21457112178190374, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2547224555011971, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2547224555011971, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04015133371929336, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04015133371929336, "ret_p3m": 0.25581674104355234, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.25581674104355234, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.14866049415051985, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.14866049415051985, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10715624689303249, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10715624689303249, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5132, -0.4968, -0.4707, -0.4624, -0.4535, -0.5236, -0.5084, -0.5356, -0.5296, -0.5048, -0.4544, -0.4273, -0.4309, -0.4184, -0.4184, -0.426, -0.4527, -0.4548, -0.4586, -0.4586, -0.4329, -0.4755, -0.4162, -0.4229, -0.4885, -0.4838, -0.5008, -0.4693, -0.5129, -0.4958, -0.5237, -0.5237, -0.4759, -0.4676, -0.4793, -0.5018, -0.5117, -0.4556, -0.4345, -0.4397, -0.4244, -0.3781, -0.3609, -0.3162, -0.2591, -0.1892, -0.1522, -0.1758, -0.1567, -0.143, -0.1734, -0.1734, -0.1181, -0.1271, -0.0663, -0.0191, -0.0089, 0.011, 0.0626, -0.0056, 0.0295, 0.1505, 0.02, 0.0, -0.044, -0.1797, -0.0589, -0.0129, -0.0129, -0.095, -0.0856, -0.0822, -0.0459, 0.0294, 0.1342, 0.0375, 0.0707, 0.178, 0.1416, 0.0118, 0.0322, -0.0382, 0.0323, 0.1232, 0.2146, 0.2146, 0.1344, 0.1982, 0.3161, 0.3134, 0.318, 0.2796, 0.2526, 0.2104, 0.3091, 0.3133, 0.3148, 0.2293, 0.2832, 0.244, 0.295, 0.2627, 0.1624, 0.2608, 0.3254, 0.3953, 0.4339, 0.4609, 0.387, 0.3111, 0.3276, 0.5468, 0.4577, 0.5135, 0.4715, 0.4258, 0.2999, 0.3074, 0.2751, 0.4167, 0.3909, 0.3909, 0.3379, 0.3254, 0.2641, 0.2558, 0.2558, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2020263863460192426", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-07T22:30:14+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "just feel like $RKLB is a tad overvalued right now but long term it's my favorite pick", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "RKLB viewed as tad overvalued near-term despite long-term bullishness; AVAV added as a buy at $259.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$OSS, $AIRO, $DPRO, $LPTH (sorta) are defense stocks. Forgot to include $AVAV up there but I’d add that in at $259.\n\nThere was peace with Greenland so no really military catalysts recently. But they might pick up again with new Iran tensions.\n\nThat being said just feel like $RKLB is a tad overvalued right now but long term it’s my favorite pick", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit No exposure to space/defense stocks like RKLB or KTOS?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TheSpirit404", "ret_m1d": -0.046413460087520786, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.046413460087520786, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04161476647940254, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.043419725048928326, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00299373503859246, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05023731200643833, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05023731200643833, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.047600151574357485, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0514462932820281, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001208981275589771, "ret_p1w": -0.1107594185403149, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1107594185403149, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09317884875597171, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.11346526733520079, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00270584879488589, "ret_p1m": -0.09111282128665565, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09111282128665565, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06694675867160182, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0699269308134528, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02118589047320285, "ret_p3m": 0.03612876615864402, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03612876615864402, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.02097613756453942, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03158689377399981, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "bench_c_p3m": 0.004541872384644208, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3411, -0.4033, -0.3995, -0.4289, -0.4359, -0.4248, -0.4794, -0.4686, -0.4403, -0.4383, -0.4471, -0.4471, -0.4444, -0.4677, -0.4475, -0.4103, -0.349, -0.3532, -0.3201, -0.2955, -0.2416, -0.1623, -0.1892, -0.2694, -0.2683, -0.2885, -0.2099, -0.0701, 0.0225, 0.0177, 0.0177, 0.0177, -0.0684, -0.0754, -0.0711, -0.0802, -0.0802, 0.002, 0.0303, 0.1344, 0.1086, 0.0955, 0.1188, 0.159, 0.1416, 0.2104, 0.1967, 0.2698, 0.2698, 0.1756, 0.158, 0.1601, 0.1722, 0.0612, 0.1472, 0.1679, 0.1297, 0.0558, -0.0223, 0.0716, -0.036, -0.1255, -0.0464, 0.0, -0.0502, -0.082, -0.1296, -0.1108, -0.1108, -0.0785, -0.0187, 0.0098, -0.0657, -0.0742, -0.0774, -0.0744, -0.0421, -0.0889, -0.0642, -0.0753, -0.0518, -0.077, -0.0756, -0.0575, -0.0911, -0.0512, -0.0985, -0.098, -0.0597, 0.0363, -0.0839, -0.0516, -0.1135, -0.1034, -0.1288, -0.039, -0.1305, -0.1966, -0.2434, -0.1532, -0.1361, -0.1069, -0.1069, -0.1077, -0.1255, -0.0891, -0.12, -0.1027, -0.0688, -0.0477, -0.0295, 0.0935, 0.1181, 0.1796, 0.1424, 0.1872, 0.1155, 0.0506, 0.085, 0.0363, 0.0156, 0.0879, 0.0392, 0.0589, 0.0385, 0.1162, 0.0361, 0.3907, 0.5473, 0.5501, 0.637, 0.7478, 0.6452, 0.7294, 0.6787, 0.7706, 0.6541, 0.7901, 0.7901, 0.8882, 0.9809, 0.9519, 0.8919, 0.8919, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2020263863460192426", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-07T22:30:14+00:00", "symbol": "AVAV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Forgot to include $AVAV up there but I'd add that in at $259", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "RKLB viewed as tad overvalued near-term despite long-term bullishness; AVAV added as a buy at $259.", "resolved_tickers": ["AVAV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$OSS, $AIRO, $DPRO, $LPTH (sorta) are defense stocks. Forgot to include $AVAV up there but I’d add that in at $259.\n\nThere was peace with Greenland so no really military catalysts recently. But they might pick up again with new Iran tensions.\n\nThat being said just feel like $RKLB is a tad overvalued right now but long term it’s my favorite pick", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit No exposure to space/defense stocks like RKLB or KTOS?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TheSpirit404", "ret_m1d": -0.06251136692161574, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06251136692161574, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0577126733134975, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05951763188302328, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00299373503859246, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04042280332119341, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04042280332119341, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03778564288911257, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04163178459678318, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001208981275589771, "ret_p1w": -0.11109899875426876, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11109899875426876, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09351842896992557, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11380484754915465, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00270584879488589, "ret_p1m": -0.1923819850741404, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1923819850741404, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16821592245908656, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.17119609460093754, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02118589047320285, "ret_p3m": -0.3869874651567353, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3869874651567353, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.44409236887991876, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.39152933754137953, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "bench_c_p3m": 0.004541872384644208, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1785, 0.0771, 0.0615, 0.0339, 0.0241, 0.0222, -0.0013, -0.0066, 0.0096, 0.015, 0.0176, 0.0176, 0.0186, -0.0603, -0.0343, -0.0094, 0.0477, 0.0147, 0.0296, 0.0258, -0.1061, -0.0897, -0.1289, -0.1423, -0.1447, -0.1649, -0.1591, -0.1142, -0.0691, -0.0481, -0.0498, -0.0498, -0.0705, -0.0919, -0.1106, -0.1183, -0.1183, -0.0662, 0.0841, 0.1556, 0.1609, 0.2574, 0.3304, 0.3511, 0.3263, 0.3917, 0.3799, 0.432, 0.432, 0.2061, 0.165, 0.1377, 0.1217, 0.1032, 0.1284, 0.1188, 0.0688, 0.0147, -0.0159, 0.0403, -0.0621, -0.1366, -0.0625, 0.0, -0.0404, -0.1127, -0.143, -0.1111, -0.1111, -0.0414, -0.0324, 0.0267, -0.0354, -0.0475, -0.0441, -0.0697, -0.0537, -0.0806, -0.2407, -0.1679, -0.1745, -0.1961, -0.1624, -0.1715, -0.1924, -0.2428, -0.2277, -0.2452, -0.2277, -0.189, -0.2132, -0.2296, -0.2793, -0.2482, -0.2849, -0.2746, -0.2859, -0.3278, -0.3549, -0.3328, -0.3311, -0.328, -0.328, -0.3102, -0.3189, -0.3186, -0.3523, -0.3449, -0.2915, -0.291, -0.2768, -0.2638, -0.3023, -0.2811, -0.2343, -0.2342, -0.264, -0.2846, -0.2865, -0.2989, -0.3311, -0.2892, -0.3258, -0.343, -0.3924, -0.3644, -0.387, -0.3866, -0.3933, -0.3845, -0.4132, -0.3976, -0.4241, -0.4113, -0.416, -0.4027, -0.4055, -0.3649, -0.3649, -0.3357, -0.3392, -0.2186, -0.2446, -0.2446, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2029664885572010171", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-05T21:06:32+00:00", "symbol": "RDDT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "High conviction in $RDDT long term. Nothing changed about it other than the market dropping as a whole today", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "High conviction long RDDT; views today's weakness as market-wide, not stock-specific.", "resolved_tickers": ["RDDT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@swingtrader003 @CryptoVandelay High conviction in $RDDT long term. Nothing changed about it other than the market dropping as a whole today", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @CryptoVandelay What is your level of conviction for RDDT? Surprised it is acting poorly even in today’s tape?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "swingtrader003", "ret_m1d": 0.020437834440125924, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.020437834440125924, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.014831026573814743, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.017482769342618276, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005606807866311181, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0029550650975076476, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03429400771671465, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03429400771671465, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.021186872645878152, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.026019773746693953, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013107135070836495, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008274233970020695, "ret_p1w": -0.08376054208556805, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08376054208556805, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06137714749290013, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0569959070205015, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.022383394592667916, "bench_c_p1w": -0.026764635065066544, "ret_p1m": -0.057780217191964134, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.057780217191964134, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.023010570525241802, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0038832521547739196, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03476964666672233, "bench_c_p1m": -0.053896965037190214, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.6416, 0.6358, 0.6496, 0.618, 0.5573, 0.5138, 0.5519, 0.575, 0.6027, 0.6156, 0.6153, 0.5645, 0.5647, 0.5647, 0.5642, 0.6257, 0.6167, 0.5926, 0.5926, 0.6758, 0.6908, 0.7584, 0.7701, 0.7594, 0.6943, 0.6906, 0.7939, 0.7485, 0.5848, 0.6005, 0.6005, 0.5613, 0.4558, 0.4864, 0.5164, 0.48, 0.36, 0.3381, 0.3167, 0.2489, 0.2273, 0.146, 0.0578, 0.0465, -0.0312, -0.018, 0.0391, -0.035, -0.0919, -0.0325, -0.0325, -0.0354, 0.0216, 0.0124, 0.0404, -0.013, -0.0157, 0.0369, 0.0479, 0.0102, 0.0192, 0.0094, 0.0204, 0.0, -0.0343, -0.038, -0.0707, -0.05, -0.0838, -0.083, -0.0301, -0.0001, -0.0107, -0.0431, -0.0311, -0.0234, -0.0569, -0.0326, -0.1183, -0.1559, -0.14, -0.0671, -0.0565, -0.0578, -0.0578, -0.0416, -0.0222, 0.0046, -0.0413, -0.0319, 0.0347, 0.0707, 0.098, 0.1255, 0.1348, 0.152, 0.0865, 0.1384, 0.0597, 0.0731, 0.1099, 0.0249, 0.0236, 0.02, 0.1534, 0.1713, 0.1891, 0.1539, 0.1359, 0.0794, 0.1051, 0.0555, 0.0678, 0.0829, 0.0958, 0.1023, 0.073, 0.0165, 0.0395, -0.0185, -0.0185, 0.0021, 0.0682, 0.1618, 0.2193, 0.2193, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2013527028318846987", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-20T08:20:27+00:00", "symbol": "SPY", "kind": "index", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "we'll likely see that full 'trade-deal made' so he can claim he succeeded -> markets hit ATHs", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Tariff panic is a valuation gift; defense/AI/drone/space names unchanged, markets will ATH once trade deal is announced.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPY"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "SPY is the S&P 500 ETF, passed through", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "There's a lot of panic about a potential market crash from\n\n$OSS -6.1% to $ONDS -4.85% dropping ON. \n\nBut now, Trump is already starting to de-escalate as markets go red. \n\nFrom the history of Trump's tariffs\n\nWe know one thing.\n\nTrump cares too much about the market:\n\n$1.5T in proposed defense spending from \n\n- $AVAV Replicator Switchblade drone programs\nto\n- Replicator 2 counter-UAV with potential for $AIRO, $ONDS and others.\n\nis still the same. \n\nNothing in the AI buildout from \n\n- $LITE, $COHR role in $GOOGL and hyperscaler ASIC buildout\nor\n- $INTC, $SKY role in US domestic hardware\n\nhas changed. \n\nWe're seeing the largest buildup from drone, critical material stockpiles, AI buildout, Space scale-up, and Made in America supply chains in history.\n\nMy opinion is that this volatility is often a \"valuation gift\" since these are all empty threats. And the leaked messages between the EU/US leaders shows dialogue is taking place. \n\nTrump is just doing his \"Maximum Pressure\" rhetoric to see what can be negotiated. \n\nAnd, of course, Trump views the S&P 500 as his real-time approval rating, which is why he's forcing so many rate cuts before midterm elections. \n\nAs US markets go red overnight, we're seeing the walk-back happen already.\n\nAnd we'll likely see that full \"trade-deal made\" so he can claim he succeeded -> markets hit ATHs.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "US Futures are down due to Greenland Tariff news.\n\nMany popular names on EU stock exchanges are now down:\n\n$ONDS (-8.55%) or $RKLB (-7.65%). \n\nHere's how to potentially profit off the situation:\n\nTier 1: Supply Chains\n\nThis is a dispute with NATO Allies. This threatens supply https://t.co/VC94PsnSxF", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.020779795569328963, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.020779795569328963, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.020779795569328963, "bench_c_m1d": 0.020779795569328963, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011541079202094462, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011541079202094462, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011541079202094462, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011541079202094462, "ret_p1w": 0.02643228149343768, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02643228149343768, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02643228149343768, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02643228149343768, "ret_p1m": 0.012854573134794878, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.012854573134794878, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012854573134794878, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012854573134794878, "ret_p3m": 0.05091563858955217, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05091563858955217, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091563858955217, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05091563858955217, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0115, -0.0034, 0.0083, 0.011, 0.0115, 0.0004, 0.0036, 0.0055, -0.0064, -0.0029, -0.0136, -0.0127, 0.0027, 0.005, 0.0056, -0.0111, -0.0113, -0.0205, -0.0287, -0.0249, -0.0398, -0.0302, -0.016, -0.0067, 0.0001, 0.0001, 0.0056, 0.001, 0.0029, 0.0063, 0.0071, 0.009, 0.006, 0.0051, 0.0118, 0.0141, 0.0032, 0.0017, -0.001, -0.012, -0.0046, 0.0044, 0.0107, 0.0153, 0.0189, 0.0189, 0.0188, 0.0152, 0.0139, 0.0064, 0.0064, 0.0082, 0.015, 0.021, 0.0177, 0.0176, 0.0243, 0.0259, 0.0239, 0.0189, 0.0216, 0.0208, 0.0208, 0.0, 0.0115, 0.0168, 0.0172, 0.0224, 0.0264, 0.0263, 0.0243, 0.0212, 0.0263, 0.0176, 0.0127, 0.0001, 0.0192, 0.0242, 0.0215, 0.0212, 0.0054, 0.0062, 0.0062, 0.0078, 0.0129, 0.0102, 0.0175, 0.0071, 0.0144, 0.023, 0.0173, 0.0124, 0.013, 0.0041, 0.0111, 0.0055, -0.0077, 0.001, -0.0006, -0.0018, -0.017, -0.0226, -0.0126, -0.01, -0.0238, -0.0262, -0.0402, -0.0301, -0.0334, -0.028, -0.0453, -0.0616, -0.0648, -0.0376, -0.0303, -0.0295, -0.0295, -0.0249, -0.0244, 0.0004, 0.0062, 0.0055, 0.0153, 0.0277, 0.0358, 0.0384, 0.0509, 0.0488, 0.0419, 0.0525, 0.0484, 0.0565, 0.0584, 0.0532, 0.053, 0.0635, 0.0665, 0.0626, 0.0711, 0.086, 0.0826, 0.0916, 0.0941, 0.0924, 0.0985, 0.1072, 0.0939, 0.0931, 0.0858, 0.097, 0.0991, 0.1035, 0.1035, 0.1108, 0.1106, 0.1167, 0.1195, 0.1195, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2013527028318846987", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-20T08:20:27+00:00", "symbol": "AVAV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$1.5T in proposed defense spending from - $AVAV Replicator Switchblade drone programs", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Tariff panic is a valuation gift; defense/AI/drone/space names unchanged, markets will ATH once trade deal is announced.", "resolved_tickers": ["AVAV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "There's a lot of panic about a potential market crash from\n\n$OSS -6.1% to $ONDS -4.85% dropping ON. \n\nBut now, Trump is already starting to de-escalate as markets go red. \n\nFrom the history of Trump's tariffs\n\nWe know one thing.\n\nTrump cares too much about the market:\n\n$1.5T in proposed defense spending from \n\n- $AVAV Replicator Switchblade drone programs\nto\n- Replicator 2 counter-UAV with potential for $AIRO, $ONDS and others.\n\nis still the same. \n\nNothing in the AI buildout from \n\n- $LITE, $COHR role in $GOOGL and hyperscaler ASIC buildout\nor\n- $INTC, $SKY role in US domestic hardware\n\nhas changed. \n\nWe're seeing the largest buildup from drone, critical material stockpiles, AI buildout, Space scale-up, and Made in America supply chains in history.\n\nMy opinion is that this volatility is often a \"valuation gift\" since these are all empty threats. And the leaked messages between the EU/US leaders shows dialogue is taking place. \n\nTrump is just doing his \"Maximum Pressure\" rhetoric to see what can be negotiated. \n\nAnd, of course, Trump views the S&P 500 as his real-time approval rating, which is why he's forcing so many rate cuts before midterm elections. \n\nAs US markets go red overnight, we're seeing the walk-back happen already.\n\nAnd we'll likely see that full \"trade-deal made\" so he can claim he succeeded -> markets hit ATHs.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "US Futures are down due to Greenland Tariff news.\n\nMany popular names on EU stock exchanges are now down:\n\n$ONDS (-8.55%) or $RKLB (-7.65%). \n\nHere's how to potentially profit off the situation:\n\nTier 1: Supply Chains\n\nThis is a dispute with NATO Allies. This threatens supply https://t.co/VC94PsnSxF", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.18728268596731934, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.18728268596731934, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.16650289039799038, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.16667489185942852, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.020779795569328963, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02060779410789082, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03402946377088012, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03402946377088012, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04557054297297458, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05133513764435327, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011541079202094462, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01730567387347315, "ret_p1w": -0.06443230795849408, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06443230795849408, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09086458945193177, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07378837767000435, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02643228149343768, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009356069711510262, "ret_p1m": -0.19773949136203817, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.19773949136203817, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.21059406449683304, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2681240578378169, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012854573134794878, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07038456647577873, "ret_p3m": -0.4214996231532573, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4214996231532573, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.47241526174280946, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.48550947879848394, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091563858955217, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06400985564522665, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1009, 0.144, 0.1488, 0.1482, 0.1504, 0.1056, 0.1179, 0.1118, 0.1033, 0.0599, -0.008, -0.0037, 0.009, -0.0085, -0.0229, -0.107, -0.1199, -0.1427, -0.1509, -0.1525, -0.172, -0.1763, -0.1629, -0.1584, -0.1562, -0.1562, -0.1554, -0.2209, -0.1993, -0.1786, -0.1313, -0.1587, -0.1463, -0.1495, -0.2588, -0.2452, -0.2777, -0.2888, -0.2909, -0.3076, -0.3028, -0.2656, -0.2282, -0.2108, -0.2121, -0.2121, -0.2294, -0.247, -0.2626, -0.269, -0.269, -0.2258, -0.1012, -0.0419, -0.0375, 0.0425, 0.1031, 0.1203, 0.0996, 0.1539, 0.1441, 0.1873, 0.1873, 0.0, -0.034, -0.0567, -0.0699, -0.0853, -0.0644, -0.0724, -0.1138, -0.1587, -0.184, -0.1374, -0.2224, -0.2841, -0.2227, -0.1709, -0.2044, -0.2643, -0.2894, -0.263, -0.263, -0.2052, -0.1977, -0.1488, -0.2002, -0.2102, -0.2074, -0.2287, -0.2154, -0.2377, -0.3704, -0.31, -0.3155, -0.3334, -0.3055, -0.3131, -0.3304, -0.3722, -0.3597, -0.3742, -0.3597, -0.3275, -0.3477, -0.3613, -0.4025, -0.3766, -0.4071, -0.3985, -0.4079, -0.4426, -0.4652, -0.4468, -0.4454, -0.4428, -0.4428, -0.428, -0.4353, -0.435, -0.463, -0.4569, -0.4125, -0.4121, -0.4003, -0.3896, -0.4215, -0.4039, -0.3651, -0.365, -0.3898, -0.4068, -0.4084, -0.4187, -0.4454, -0.4106, -0.441, -0.4552, -0.4962, -0.473, -0.4917, -0.4914, -0.497, -0.4897, -0.5135, -0.5005, -0.5225, -0.5119, -0.5158, -0.5048, -0.5071, -0.4735, -0.4735, -0.4492, -0.4521, -0.3521, -0.3737, -0.3737, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2013527028318846987", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-20T08:20:27+00:00", "symbol": "AIRO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Replicator 2 counter-UAV with potential for $AIRO, $ONDS and others", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Tariff panic is a valuation gift; defense/AI/drone/space names unchanged, markets will ATH once trade deal is announced.", "resolved_tickers": ["AIRO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "There's a lot of panic about a potential market crash from\n\n$OSS -6.1% to $ONDS -4.85% dropping ON. \n\nBut now, Trump is already starting to de-escalate as markets go red. \n\nFrom the history of Trump's tariffs\n\nWe know one thing.\n\nTrump cares too much about the market:\n\n$1.5T in proposed defense spending from \n\n- $AVAV Replicator Switchblade drone programs\nto\n- Replicator 2 counter-UAV with potential for $AIRO, $ONDS and others.\n\nis still the same. \n\nNothing in the AI buildout from \n\n- $LITE, $COHR role in $GOOGL and hyperscaler ASIC buildout\nor\n- $INTC, $SKY role in US domestic hardware\n\nhas changed. \n\nWe're seeing the largest buildup from drone, critical material stockpiles, AI buildout, Space scale-up, and Made in America supply chains in history.\n\nMy opinion is that this volatility is often a \"valuation gift\" since these are all empty threats. And the leaked messages between the EU/US leaders shows dialogue is taking place. \n\nTrump is just doing his \"Maximum Pressure\" rhetoric to see what can be negotiated. \n\nAnd, of course, Trump views the S&P 500 as his real-time approval rating, which is why he's forcing so many rate cuts before midterm elections. \n\nAs US markets go red overnight, we're seeing the walk-back happen already.\n\nAnd we'll likely see that full \"trade-deal made\" so he can claim he succeeded -> markets hit ATHs.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "US Futures are down due to Greenland Tariff news.\n\nMany popular names on EU stock exchanges are now down:\n\n$ONDS (-8.55%) or $RKLB (-7.65%). \n\nHere's how to potentially profit off the situation:\n\nTier 1: Supply Chains\n\nThis is a dispute with NATO Allies. This threatens supply https://t.co/VC94PsnSxF", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.05027496986149327, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05027496986149327, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.029495174292164306, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02966717575360245, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.020779795569328963, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02060779410789082, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04399053307774159, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04399053307774159, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05553161227983605, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06129620695121474, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011541079202094462, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01730567387347315, "ret_p1w": -0.0809112152403304, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0809112152403304, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10734349673376808, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09026728495184067, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02643228149343768, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009356069711510262, "ret_p1m": -0.26472898717536486, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.26472898717536486, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.27758356031015974, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3351135536511436, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012854573134794878, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07038456647577873, "ret_p3m": -0.3660644159452553, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3660644159452553, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.41698005453480746, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.43007427159048195, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091563858955217, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06400985564522665, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3551, 0.3731, 0.3614, 0.3213, 0.3197, 0.2844, 0.2852, 0.2789, 0.121, 0.1151, 0.0306, 0.0581, 0.0841, 0.0707, 0.0503, 0.0016, -0.2066, -0.1885, -0.2255, -0.3032, -0.3826, -0.3723, -0.3818, -0.3841, -0.3527, -0.3527, -0.3205, -0.3566, -0.3496, -0.3126, -0.2467, -0.2553, -0.2372, -0.2459, -0.2361, -0.238, -0.3323, -0.3747, -0.3959, -0.4179, -0.4171, -0.3692, -0.2852, -0.2773, -0.2655, -0.2655, -0.3134, -0.348, -0.3598, -0.3574, -0.3574, -0.2742, -0.205, -0.1241, -0.1563, -0.0613, -0.0189, -0.0196, 0.0118, 0.0393, 0.0369, 0.0503, 0.0503, 0.0, -0.044, -0.0157, -0.0424, -0.1005, -0.0809, -0.1084, -0.1422, -0.1917, -0.2105, -0.1995, -0.2498, -0.3339, -0.2427, -0.2066, -0.2514, -0.2765, -0.2844, -0.2773, -0.2773, -0.2812, -0.2647, -0.198, -0.2687, -0.2419, -0.209, -0.2223, -0.2011, -0.2302, -0.1595, -0.2097, -0.2082, -0.1956, -0.2082, -0.1712, -0.1571, -0.1752, -0.2011, -0.231, -0.209, -0.1658, -0.216, -0.2176, -0.2789, -0.2341, -0.2537, -0.26, -0.2883, -0.326, -0.3268, -0.4026, -0.3543, -0.3158, -0.3158, -0.3126, -0.3134, -0.3071, -0.3653, -0.381, -0.3826, -0.3653, -0.3433, -0.3205, -0.3661, -0.3252, -0.3401, -0.3166, -0.3519, -0.3771, -0.3543, -0.3747, -0.4108, -0.3998, -0.4171, -0.4313, -0.4383, -0.4163, -0.4328, -0.4234, -0.3771, -0.3849, -0.3849, -0.4804, -0.4996, -0.5279, -0.5405, -0.5302, -0.5082, -0.4847, -0.4847, -0.4501, -0.4273, -0.3016, -0.2946, -0.2946, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2013527028318846987", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-01-20T08:20:27+00:00", "symbol": "ONDS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "potential for $AIRO, $ONDS and others", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Tariff panic is a valuation gift; defense/AI/drone/space names unchanged, markets will ATH once trade deal is announced.", "resolved_tickers": ["ONDS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "There's a lot of panic about a potential market crash from\n\n$OSS -6.1% to $ONDS -4.85% dropping ON. \n\nBut now, Trump is already starting to de-escalate as markets go red. \n\nFrom the history of Trump's tariffs\n\nWe know one thing.\n\nTrump cares too much about the market:\n\n$1.5T in proposed defense spending from \n\n- $AVAV Replicator Switchblade drone programs\nto\n- Replicator 2 counter-UAV with potential for $AIRO, $ONDS and others.\n\nis still the same. \n\nNothing in the AI buildout from \n\n- $LITE, $COHR role in $GOOGL and hyperscaler ASIC buildout\nor\n- $INTC, $SKY role in US domestic hardware\n\nhas changed. \n\nWe're seeing the largest buildup from drone, critical material stockpiles, AI buildout, Space scale-up, and Made in America supply chains in history.\n\nMy opinion is that this volatility is often a \"valuation gift\" since these are all empty threats. And the leaked messages between the EU/US leaders shows dialogue is taking place. \n\nTrump is just doing his \"Maximum Pressure\" rhetoric to see what can be negotiated. \n\nAnd, of course, Trump views the S&P 500 as his real-time approval rating, which is why he's forcing so many rate cuts before midterm elections. \n\nAs US markets go red overnight, we're seeing the walk-back happen already.\n\nAnd we'll likely see that full \"trade-deal made\" so he can claim he succeeded -> markets hit ATHs.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "US Futures are down due to Greenland Tariff news.\n\nMany popular names on EU stock exchanges are now down:\n\n$ONDS (-8.55%) or $RKLB (-7.65%). \n\nHere's how to potentially profit off the situation:\n\nTier 1: Supply Chains\n\nThis is a dispute with NATO Allies. This threatens supply https://t.co/VC94PsnSxF", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.07387663812447054, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07387663812447054, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0946564336937995, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0946564336937995, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.020779795569328963, "bench_c_m1d": 0.020779795569328963, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04417364193836881, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04417364193836881, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.055714721140463275, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.055714721140463275, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011541079202094462, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011541079202094462, "ret_p1w": -0.06626046290755327, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06626046290755327, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09269274440099096, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09269274440099096, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02643228149343768, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02643228149343768, "ret_p1m": -0.15689264292930394, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15689264292930394, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16974721606409882, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.16974721606409882, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012854573134794878, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012854573134794878, "ret_p3m": -0.23838538363746198, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.23838538363746198, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.28930102222701415, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.28930102222701415, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091563858955217, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05091563858955217, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4623, -0.4318, -0.4265, -0.4829, -0.4859, -0.5209, -0.5095, -0.5316, -0.5461, -0.543, -0.6002, -0.5575, -0.5522, -0.5583, -0.5804, -0.5004, -0.4532, -0.5236, -0.4029, -0.4288, -0.5225, -0.4871, -0.3359, -0.3572, -0.3724, -0.3724, -0.3983, -0.4227, -0.3854, -0.3206, -0.3001, -0.3092, -0.313, -0.297, -0.366, -0.313, -0.3336, -0.4143, -0.3839, -0.4387, -0.4059, -0.2978, -0.294, -0.3176, -0.3046, -0.3046, -0.3542, -0.3557, -0.3153, -0.2567, -0.2567, -0.1607, -0.0457, -0.0221, -0.0724, 0.067, 0.0427, 0.0046, 0.0579, 0.0327, -0.0236, -0.0739, -0.0739, 0.0, -0.0442, -0.0388, -0.0731, -0.15, -0.0663, -0.0655, -0.1417, -0.211, -0.1896, -0.1333, -0.2628, -0.3542, -0.262, -0.2125, -0.2628, -0.297, -0.3168, -0.2909, -0.2909, -0.2346, -0.1569, -0.1325, -0.2361, -0.2239, -0.2079, -0.2155, -0.2041, -0.2323, -0.1874, -0.2369, -0.1995, -0.2011, -0.2513, -0.2597, -0.2376, -0.2513, -0.2133, -0.2262, -0.198, -0.1409, -0.1752, -0.1813, -0.2338, -0.1698, -0.1866, -0.2148, -0.281, -0.3298, -0.3793, -0.3115, -0.329, -0.2688, -0.2688, -0.2749, -0.2742, -0.2803, -0.3039, -0.3046, -0.2788, -0.2841, -0.2361, -0.2232, -0.2384, -0.1828, -0.1721, -0.1577, -0.1973, -0.1965, -0.166, -0.2018, -0.2772, -0.2353, -0.214, -0.2589, -0.2894, -0.2887, -0.3229, -0.31, -0.2826, -0.3115, -0.3252, -0.1462, -0.1912, -0.2612, -0.305, -0.2871, -0.3008, -0.31, -0.31, -0.2559, -0.1775, 0.0091, 0.0069, 0.0069, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2013527028318846987", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-01-20T08:20:27+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LITE, $COHR role in $GOOGL and hyperscaler ASIC buildout", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Tariff panic is a valuation gift; defense/AI/drone/space names unchanged, markets will ATH once trade deal is announced.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "There's a lot of panic about a potential market crash from\n\n$OSS -6.1% to $ONDS -4.85% dropping ON. \n\nBut now, Trump is already starting to de-escalate as markets go red. \n\nFrom the history of Trump's tariffs\n\nWe know one thing.\n\nTrump cares too much about the market:\n\n$1.5T in proposed defense spending from \n\n- $AVAV Replicator Switchblade drone programs\nto\n- Replicator 2 counter-UAV with potential for $AIRO, $ONDS and others.\n\nis still the same. \n\nNothing in the AI buildout from \n\n- $LITE, $COHR role in $GOOGL and hyperscaler ASIC buildout\nor\n- $INTC, $SKY role in US domestic hardware\n\nhas changed. \n\nWe're seeing the largest buildup from drone, critical material stockpiles, AI buildout, Space scale-up, and Made in America supply chains in history.\n\nMy opinion is that this volatility is often a \"valuation gift\" since these are all empty threats. And the leaked messages between the EU/US leaders shows dialogue is taking place. \n\nTrump is just doing his \"Maximum Pressure\" rhetoric to see what can be negotiated. \n\nAnd, of course, Trump views the S&P 500 as his real-time approval rating, which is why he's forcing so many rate cuts before midterm elections. \n\nAs US markets go red overnight, we're seeing the walk-back happen already.\n\nAnd we'll likely see that full \"trade-deal made\" so he can claim he succeeded -> markets hit ATHs.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "US Futures are down due to Greenland Tariff news.\n\nMany popular names on EU stock exchanges are now down:\n\n$ONDS (-8.55%) or $RKLB (-7.65%). \n\nHere's how to potentially profit off the situation:\n\nTier 1: Supply Chains\n\nThis is a dispute with NATO Allies. This threatens supply https://t.co/VC94PsnSxF", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.09130394809368825, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09130394809368825, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11208374366301721, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.11208374366301721, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.020779795569328963, "bench_c_m1d": 0.020779795569328963, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.015721817336684207, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015721817336684207, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004180738134589745, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004180738134589745, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011541079202094462, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011541079202094462, "ret_p1w": 0.03875800131792695, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03875800131792695, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.012325719824489267, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.012325719824489267, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02643228149343768, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02643228149343768, "ret_p1m": 0.665386968943191, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.665386968943191, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6525323958083962, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.6525323958083962, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012854573134794878, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012854573134794878, "ret_p3m": 1.5055910124390586, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.5055910124390586, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.4546753738495064, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.4546753738495064, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091563858955217, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05091563858955217, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5278, -0.4975, -0.4569, -0.444, -0.3995, -0.4391, -0.4351, -0.4407, -0.4721, -0.3477, -0.3283, -0.3271, -0.2717, -0.2925, -0.2887, -0.3642, -0.3494, -0.3216, -0.3066, -0.2464, -0.3464, -0.2837, -0.1611, -0.1837, -0.1361, -0.1361, -0.0888, -0.109, -0.1514, -0.1509, -0.0812, -0.0712, -0.04, 0.0098, 0.0257, 0.0428, -0.091, -0.062, -0.114, -0.1025, -0.0552, 0.0409, 0.0926, 0.0857, 0.1095, 0.1095, 0.0951, 0.0442, 0.0402, 0.033, 0.033, 0.0821, 0.0006, 0.1138, 0.101, -0.024, -0.0152, -0.0475, 0.0126, -0.0706, -0.038, -0.0913, -0.0913, 0.0, 0.0157, -0.0066, -0.0494, -0.0683, 0.0388, 0.0789, 0.069, 0.0981, 0.1866, 0.2193, 0.3047, 0.4136, 0.5469, 0.6174, 0.5725, 0.6089, 0.6351, 0.5771, 0.5771, 0.6827, 0.6654, 0.7814, 0.8714, 0.8909, 0.9288, 1.0273, 0.8973, 0.9643, 1.195, 0.9461, 0.9079, 0.8239, 0.565, 0.7955, 0.8832, 0.8832, 0.7266, 0.7445, 0.7511, 0.8204, 0.964, 1.1639, 0.9795, 1.0428, 1.2475, 1.178, 0.9303, 0.9694, 0.835, 0.9695, 1.1429, 1.3173, 1.3173, 1.1643, 1.2861, 1.5111, 1.5058, 1.5146, 1.4414, 1.3899, 1.3093, 1.4976, 1.5056, 1.5085, 1.3454, 1.4482, 1.3734, 1.4708, 1.4092, 1.2178, 1.4054, 1.5287, 1.6621, 1.7357, 1.7872, 1.6463, 1.5014, 1.5329, 1.9512, 1.7811, 1.8876, 1.8075, 1.7203, 1.4801, 1.4944, 1.4327, 1.703, 1.6536, 1.6536, 1.5525, 1.5287, 1.4118, 1.396, 1.396, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2013527028318846987", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2026-01-20T08:20:27+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LITE, $COHR role in $GOOGL and hyperscaler ASIC buildout", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Tariff panic is a valuation gift; defense/AI/drone/space names unchanged, markets will ATH once trade deal is announced.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "There's a lot of panic about a potential market crash from\n\n$OSS -6.1% to $ONDS -4.85% dropping ON. \n\nBut now, Trump is already starting to de-escalate as markets go red. \n\nFrom the history of Trump's tariffs\n\nWe know one thing.\n\nTrump cares too much about the market:\n\n$1.5T in proposed defense spending from \n\n- $AVAV Replicator Switchblade drone programs\nto\n- Replicator 2 counter-UAV with potential for $AIRO, $ONDS and others.\n\nis still the same. \n\nNothing in the AI buildout from \n\n- $LITE, $COHR role in $GOOGL and hyperscaler ASIC buildout\nor\n- $INTC, $SKY role in US domestic hardware\n\nhas changed. \n\nWe're seeing the largest buildup from drone, critical material stockpiles, AI buildout, Space scale-up, and Made in America supply chains in history.\n\nMy opinion is that this volatility is often a \"valuation gift\" since these are all empty threats. And the leaked messages between the EU/US leaders shows dialogue is taking place. \n\nTrump is just doing his \"Maximum Pressure\" rhetoric to see what can be negotiated. \n\nAnd, of course, Trump views the S&P 500 as his real-time approval rating, which is why he's forcing so many rate cuts before midterm elections. \n\nAs US markets go red overnight, we're seeing the walk-back happen already.\n\nAnd we'll likely see that full \"trade-deal made\" so he can claim he succeeded -> markets hit ATHs.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "US Futures are down due to Greenland Tariff news.\n\nMany popular names on EU stock exchanges are now down:\n\n$ONDS (-8.55%) or $RKLB (-7.65%). \n\nHere's how to potentially profit off the situation:\n\nTier 1: Supply Chains\n\nThis is a dispute with NATO Allies. This threatens supply https://t.co/VC94PsnSxF", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.012509114771786622, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.012509114771786622, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.033288910341115585, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.033288910341115585, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.020779795569328963, "bench_c_m1d": 0.020779795569328963, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.041352216077570114, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.041352216077570114, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.029811136875475652, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.029811136875475652, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011541079202094462, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011541079202094462, "ret_p1w": 0.10617178007500039, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10617178007500039, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0797394985815627, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0797394985815627, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02643228149343768, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02643228149343768, "ret_p1m": 0.15729345404597272, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.15729345404597272, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14443888091117785, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14443888091117785, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012854573134794878, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012854573134794878, "ret_p3m": 0.783417642096778, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.783417642096778, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.7325020035072258, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.7325020035072258, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091563858955217, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05091563858955217, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3719, -0.3314, -0.3022, -0.3061, -0.2864, -0.314, -0.3179, -0.3177, -0.3347, -0.3041, -0.1766, -0.2013, -0.1382, -0.1832, -0.1902, -0.2765, -0.2798, -0.2811, -0.2859, -0.2611, -0.299, -0.2789, -0.2153, -0.2306, -0.204, -0.204, -0.1509, -0.1549, -0.1477, -0.1163, -0.0833, -0.0603, -0.0393, -0.0038, 0.0206, 0.0261, -0.0782, -0.0776, -0.0944, -0.119, -0.0918, -0.0394, -0.0128, -0.0082, -0.0108, -0.0108, -0.009, -0.023, -0.0344, -0.046, -0.046, 0.0045, -0.0367, 0.0034, -0.0095, -0.105, -0.0796, -0.0428, -0.0177, -0.0483, 0.0129, -0.0125, -0.0125, 0.0, 0.0414, 0.0479, 0.018, 0.0222, 0.1062, 0.1431, 0.1158, 0.0968, 0.1498, 0.1846, 0.0907, 0.0816, 0.1769, 0.2533, 0.1805, 0.1563, 0.117, 0.1229, 0.1229, 0.137, 0.1573, 0.2017, 0.2828, 0.2865, 0.3174, 0.3848, 0.293, 0.3384, 0.5451, 0.4515, 0.4208, 0.3123, 0.2184, 0.3042, 0.3473, 0.2995, 0.2471, 0.2548, 0.2787, 0.2705, 0.3295, 0.4244, 0.311, 0.3184, 0.4077, 0.4062, 0.2576, 0.2586, 0.1354, 0.2313, 0.2809, 0.3344, 0.3344, 0.3089, 0.3186, 0.4566, 0.4689, 0.5895, 0.5917, 0.6201, 0.5931, 0.6954, 0.7834, 0.7963, 0.7771, 0.8116, 0.7455, 0.7373, 0.662, 0.5712, 0.5762, 0.6526, 0.7032, 0.7052, 0.7354, 0.7816, 0.6499, 0.733, 0.9626, 0.9333, 1.0868, 1.0931, 0.9769, 0.8755, 0.8279, 0.8531, 0.9539, 0.9517, 0.9517, 0.9712, 0.9652, 0.9485, 0.8684, 0.8684, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2022303907972870348", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-13T13:36:38+00:00", "symbol": "MU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "calls will benefit from vega expansion. So further out IV looks to be mispriced from my view", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long calls on memory names (MU, SNDK, Samsung, SK Hynix) via 2028 LEAPs; author sees IV mispriced low given memory volatility and steep operating income projections.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My assumption is MMS used garchr models or volatility forecasting projections against long-term averages. \n\nKorean indexes were range bound for 10-20 years. If it looks at previous years, models typically assume volatility might re-revert to mean in 2 years. \n\nBut if we look at MS's steep operating income projections on Samsung/Sk Hynix + inherent volatility with memory like $MU / $SNDK, it looks calls will benefit from vega expsnion. So further out IV looks to be mispriced from my view.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Looking at some 2028 leaps today 🤝", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "seer_xyz", "ret_m1d": 0.005611404838065992, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005611404838065992, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0063153943814602265, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009560232132092006, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0007039895433942345, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003948827294026014, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.04010587371587615, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04010587371587615, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02884069444631243, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.022176908895146674, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011265179269563719, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017928964820729476, "ret_p1m": 0.07321569867300393, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07321569867300393, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09187348632167702, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10706242621065709, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.018657787648673096, "bench_c_p1m": -0.033846727537653165, "ret_p3m": 0.9529892993798175, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.9529892993798175, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.8611854540995187, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5489374494369013, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09180384528029872, "bench_c_p3m": 0.4040518499429162, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4452, -0.4514, -0.511, -0.4965, -0.4563, -0.4548, -0.4409, -0.4409, -0.4258, -0.4161, -0.4185, -0.4314, -0.4496, -0.424, -0.4004, -0.3871, -0.3597, -0.3724, -0.4145, -0.4233, -0.4354, -0.4524, -0.3965, -0.3543, -0.3284, -0.3292, -0.3039, -0.3039, -0.3085, -0.2849, -0.2891, -0.3067, -0.3067, -0.2338, -0.2417, -0.1657, -0.1752, -0.2056, -0.1617, -0.1598, -0.1786, -0.1902, -0.1823, -0.1188, -0.1188, -0.1133, -0.0548, -0.0342, -0.0292, -0.0548, -0.0034, 0.0574, 0.0586, 0.0078, 0.0635, 0.0189, -0.0784, -0.0699, -0.0412, -0.0684, -0.0933, -0.0032, 0.0056, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0289, 0.0226, 0.0138, 0.0401, 0.0226, 0.0154, 0.0421, 0.0095, 0.0017, 0.0025, -0.0777, -0.0265, -0.0355, -0.1005, -0.0543, -0.0208, 0.0171, -0.0153, 0.0352, 0.0732, 0.1215, 0.1216, 0.0792, 0.0273, -0.0178, -0.0392, -0.0718, -0.1365, -0.1322, -0.218, -0.179, -0.106, -0.11, -0.11, -0.082, -0.0824, -0.0116, 0.0244, 0.0221, 0.0366, 0.1317, 0.1087, 0.1112, 0.1059, 0.0898, 0.0921, 0.1847, 0.1707, 0.2071, 0.2748, 0.2255, 0.26, 0.2568, 0.3177, 0.4009, 0.5558, 0.62, 0.5714, 0.8149, 0.9328, 0.863, 0.953, 0.8859, 0.7611, 0.6563, 0.6981, 0.7789, 0.8521, 0.8251, 0.8251, 1.1772, 1.2562, 1.2443, 1.3597, 1.3597, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2022303907972870348", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-13T13:36:38+00:00", "symbol": "SNDK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "calls will benefit from vega expansion. So further out IV looks to be mispriced from my view", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long calls on memory names (MU, SNDK, Samsung, SK Hynix) via 2028 LEAPs; author sees IV mispriced low given memory volatility and steep operating income projections.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNDK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My assumption is MMS used garchr models or volatility forecasting projections against long-term averages. \n\nKorean indexes were range bound for 10-20 years. If it looks at previous years, models typically assume volatility might re-revert to mean in 2 years. \n\nBut if we look at MS's steep operating income projections on Samsung/Sk Hynix + inherent volatility with memory like $MU / $SNDK, it looks calls will benefit from vega expsnion. So further out IV looks to be mispriced from my view.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Looking at some 2028 leaps today 🤝", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "seer_xyz", "ret_m1d": 0.005953109811165591, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005953109811165591, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006657099354559826, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006657099354559826, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0007039895433942345, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0007039895433942345, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.037362699878301875, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.037362699878301875, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.026097520608738156, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.026097520608738156, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011265179269563719, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011265179269563719, "ret_p1m": 0.12300499173985546, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12300499173985546, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14166277938852856, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14166277938852856, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.018657787648673096, "bench_c_p1m": -0.018657787648673096, "ret_p3m": 1.3098027102079879, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.3098027102079879, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.2179988649276892, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.2179988649276892, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09180384528029872, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09180384528029872, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6091, -0.6074, -0.6872, -0.6804, -0.6378, -0.6481, -0.6568, -0.6568, -0.6436, -0.6646, -0.6723, -0.6898, -0.6596, -0.6354, -0.6401, -0.6497, -0.6284, -0.6144, -0.6709, -0.6778, -0.6659, -0.6699, -0.6497, -0.6208, -0.6153, -0.6091, -0.6009, -0.6009, -0.6009, -0.6102, -0.6166, -0.6211, -0.6211, -0.5607, -0.5626, -0.442, -0.4357, -0.4661, -0.3976, -0.3787, -0.3779, -0.381, -0.3468, -0.3399, -0.3399, -0.2768, -0.1999, -0.1965, -0.2438, -0.2486, -0.2316, -0.1579, -0.1393, -0.0803, 0.0617, 0.11, -0.067, -0.0804, -0.0457, -0.0689, -0.1355, -0.0434, 0.006, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0574, -0.0418, -0.0087, 0.0374, 0.0637, 0.0191, 0.0093, 0.0404, 0.014, -0.0119, -0.0976, -0.0439, -0.0973, -0.1584, -0.0604, -0.0122, 0.0461, -0.0124, 0.056, 0.123, 0.1494, 0.2029, 0.2323, 0.1327, 0.1212, 0.1212, 0.0819, -0.0373, -0.0171, -0.0863, 0.014, 0.1056, 0.1197, 0.1197, 0.1565, 0.1344, 0.2463, 0.3591, 0.3594, 0.5202, 0.5074, 0.4232, 0.4675, 0.4699, 0.4572, 0.442, 0.5626, 0.4882, 0.5799, 0.7081, 0.5998, 0.6985, 0.75, 0.8945, 1.0044, 1.2445, 1.2504, 1.1386, 1.4935, 1.4699, 1.3174, 1.3098, 1.2068, 1.2466, 1.1275, 1.2078, 1.2225, 1.4614, 1.36, 1.36, 1.5369, 1.5376, 1.6201, 1.7052, 1.7052, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2022303907972870348", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-13T13:36:38+00:00", "symbol": "005930.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "MS's steep operating income projections on Samsung/Sk Hynix", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long calls on memory names (MU, SNDK, Samsung, SK Hynix) via 2028 LEAPs; author sees IV mispriced low given memory volatility and steep operating income projections.", "resolved_tickers": ["005930.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My assumption is MMS used garchr models or volatility forecasting projections against long-term averages. \n\nKorean indexes were range bound for 10-20 years. If it looks at previous years, models typically assume volatility might re-revert to mean in 2 years. \n\nBut if we look at MS's steep operating income projections on Samsung/Sk Hynix + inherent volatility with memory like $MU / $SNDK, it looks calls will benefit from vega expsnion. So further out IV looks to be mispriced from my view.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Looking at some 2028 leaps today 🤝", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "seer_xyz", "ret_m1d": -0.014348760883882816, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014348760883882816, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.013644771340488582, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01184100103768504, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0007039895433942345, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002507759846197777, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.049117045193550535, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.049117045193550535, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.037851865923986816, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03965864819375442, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011265179269563719, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009458396999796115, "ret_p1m": 0.04139076939242092, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04139076939242092, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06004855704109402, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.046979697766254436, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.018657787648673096, "bench_c_p1m": -0.005588928373833513, "ret_p3m": 0.5705730465954528, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5705730465954528, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4787692013151541, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3018004805335839, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09180384528029872, "bench_c_p3m": 0.26877256606186894, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4629, -0.47, -0.4475, -0.4794, -0.4689, -0.4546, -0.4354, -0.4316, -0.448, -0.4464, -0.4321, -0.4261, -0.4228, -0.4047, -0.3986, -0.4047, -0.4069, -0.4107, -0.4019, -0.4244, -0.4354, -0.4074, -0.4091, -0.4162, -0.3931, -0.3876, -0.3898, -0.3898, -0.3574, -0.3405, -0.3383, -0.3383, -0.3383, -0.2908, -0.2379, -0.2334, -0.2219, -0.234, -0.2329, -0.234, -0.2406, -0.2257, -0.2058, -0.1783, -0.176, -0.1987, -0.1749, -0.1595, -0.1606, -0.1606, -0.1198, -0.1038, -0.1131, -0.1142, -0.17, -0.0756, -0.0668, -0.1209, -0.1247, -0.0817, -0.085, -0.074, -0.0143, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0486, 0.0491, 0.0651, 0.1038, 0.1231, 0.2031, 0.1948, 0.1948, 0.0767, -0.0497, 0.0574, 0.0386, -0.0425, 0.037, 0.0486, 0.037, 0.0127, 0.0414, 0.0701, 0.1507, 0.1065, 0.1004, 0.0281, 0.0469, 0.043, -0.0061, -0.0061, -0.025, -0.0754, 0.0488, -0.0134, 0.0297, 0.0679, 0.0867, 0.1641, 0.1282, 0.1392, 0.1116, 0.142, 0.1669, 0.2028, 0.1945, 0.1862, 0.2111, 0.2028, 0.2415, 0.2139, 0.2415, 0.2277, 0.2498, 0.2194, 0.2194, 0.2858, 0.2858, 0.471, 0.5014, 0.4849, 0.5789, 0.5429, 0.5706, 0.6369, 0.4959, 0.554, 0.5236, 0.5263, 0.6563, 0.6176, 0.6176, 0.6535, 0.6978, 0.6563, 0.7531, 0.9162, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2022303907972870348", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-02-13T13:36:38+00:00", "symbol": "000660.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "MS's steep operating income projections on Samsung/Sk Hynix", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long calls on memory names (MU, SNDK, Samsung, SK Hynix) via 2028 LEAPs; author sees IV mispriced low given memory volatility and steep operating income projections.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My assumption is MMS used garchr models or volatility forecasting projections against long-term averages. \n\nKorean indexes were range bound for 10-20 years. If it looks at previous years, models typically assume volatility might re-revert to mean in 2 years. \n\nBut if we look at MS's steep operating income projections on Samsung/Sk Hynix + inherent volatility with memory like $MU / $SNDK, it looks calls will benefit from vega expsnion. So further out IV looks to be mispriced from my view.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Looking at some 2028 leaps today 🤝", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "seer_xyz", "ret_m1d": 0.009090917501398676, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.009090917501398676, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009794907044792911, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03275291750185427, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0007039895433942345, "bench_c_m1d": -0.023662000000455596, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.07840906559675243, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07840906559675243, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0671438863271887, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.019365969455561904, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011265179269563719, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05904309614119052, "ret_p1m": 0.10886050437821937, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10886050437821937, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12751829202689247, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11535445906404684, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.018657787648673096, "bench_c_p1m": -0.006493954685827474, "ret_p3m": 1.2495979672804398, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.2495979672804398, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.157794122000141, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.841596152216916, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09180384528029872, "bench_c_p3m": 0.40800181506352384, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3527, -0.3618, -0.3516, -0.4084, -0.4095, -0.4106, -0.405, -0.3818, -0.3977, -0.3886, -0.3659, -0.3727, -0.3841, -0.3818, -0.3443, -0.3568, -0.333, -0.358, -0.3511, -0.3705, -0.3977, -0.3739, -0.3727, -0.3784, -0.3409, -0.3364, -0.3318, -0.3318, -0.3193, -0.2727, -0.2602, -0.2602, -0.2602, -0.2307, -0.2091, -0.175, -0.1568, -0.1409, -0.1545, -0.1489, -0.1614, -0.1568, -0.1489, -0.1409, -0.1318, -0.1557, -0.1591, -0.142, -0.1284, -0.1636, -0.0909, -0.0443, -0.0216, 0.033, -0.0568, 0.0307, 0.0227, -0.0432, -0.0466, 0.008, -0.0045, -0.0227, 0.0091, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0159, 0.0784, 0.0807, 0.142, 0.1568, 0.2512, 0.2079, 0.2079, 0.069, -0.0334, 0.0713, 0.0519, -0.0482, 0.0679, 0.0872, 0.0588, 0.036, 0.1089, 0.1043, 0.2022, 0.1533, 0.1464, 0.0622, 0.1225, 0.1328, 0.0622, 0.0622, -0.0061, -0.0813, 0.0212, -0.0551, -0.0027, 0.0087, 0.0428, 0.176, 0.1362, 0.1692, 0.184, 0.2557, 0.2933, 0.3149, 0.2842, 0.3274, 0.3935, 0.3923, 0.3946, 0.3912, 0.4709, 0.48, 0.472, 0.4641, 0.4641, 0.6474, 0.6474, 0.8227, 0.883, 0.9194, 1.1403, 1.0891, 1.2496, 1.2428, 1.0709, 1.0948, 0.9866, 0.9866, 1.2086, 1.2098, 1.2098, 1.3361, 1.5536, 1.6064, 1.6565, 1.7117, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2029186462546313349", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-04T13:25:27+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AXTI is always the winner as long as photonics is a thing", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AXTI as the enduring winner in photonics.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@kingcoinmatt $AXTI is always the winner as long as photonics is a thing.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Isn’t AXTI a clear winner here?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TheMindofMatt", "ret_m1d": 0.06721178588367072, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06721178588367072, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07421766559510656, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08735713397178002, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007005879711435847, "bench_c_m1d": -0.020145348088109305, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008433473602012964, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008433473602012964, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0028579267556191335, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0009626675722553824, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005575546846393831, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009396141174268346, "ret_p1w": 0.21032454172209247, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.21032454172209247, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.22316877363146803, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2054886794162405, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012844231909375559, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004835862305851979, "ret_p1m": 0.3503705267118977, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3503705267118977, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3905218604311911, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3673587468963352, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04015133371929336, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016988220184437464, "ret_p3m": 1.6363404254074623, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.6363404254074623, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.5291841785144298, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.1356388881580863, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10715624689303249, "bench_c_p3m": 0.5007015372493759, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7041, -0.6752, -0.6177, -0.6036, -0.5814, -0.6215, -0.621, -0.6678, -0.6841, -0.642, -0.6256, -0.611, -0.6259, -0.6164, -0.6164, -0.6072, -0.6271, -0.5962, -0.5822, -0.5822, -0.5717, -0.574, -0.4845, -0.3838, -0.3399, -0.4125, -0.4316, -0.4503, -0.4352, -0.3427, -0.4355, -0.4355, -0.4528, -0.4945, -0.542, -0.5553, -0.5451, -0.5604, -0.5699, -0.5814, -0.5262, -0.4649, -0.4955, -0.5208, -0.4779, -0.3851, -0.2903, -0.3777, -0.3151, -0.3665, -0.3805, -0.3805, -0.4068, -0.3984, -0.3915, -0.2415, -0.2734, -0.1035, 0.047, -0.0514, -0.0314, 0.1837, 0.0672, 0.0, -0.0084, -0.1728, -0.0146, 0.1321, 0.2103, 0.1942, 0.2487, 0.2366, 0.1337, 0.2461, 0.4845, 0.3861, 0.6468, 0.749, 0.7212, 0.4953, 0.5495, 0.3476, 0.4562, 0.2047, 0.3504, 0.3504, 0.0731, 0.1618, 0.3591, 0.6131, 0.6402, 0.6982, 0.7199, 0.6082, 1.09, 1.1099, 1.0128, 0.9159, 1.2218, 0.9236, 0.9463, 0.7927, 0.7559, 0.8163, 1.0245, 1.4534, 1.7089, 1.7485, 1.679, 1.7708, 1.9737, 2.2152, 2.1408, 2.1163, 1.9384, 2.1633, 1.7059, 1.8847, 1.6734, 2.0928, 2.599, 2.599, 2.3887, 2.1375, 1.9568, 1.6363, 1.6363, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2016361080117961170", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-28T04:01:58+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "That doesn't make Coreweave a good long.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Avoid CRWV (debt-laden casino customer); long NVDA as the house that collects regardless.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thinking about buying $CRWV on the $NVDA deal?\n\nHere's the way to think about it:\n\nA casino gives you more money, so you could take on more debt with collateral to gamble.\n\nThen all the extra money goes back to the Casino (aka. $NVDA). \n\nThat doesn't make Coreweave a good long.\n\nBut it does make Nvidia one. \n\nBet on the house, not the one with $14.7B+ in debt with $1.2B+ in yearly interest payments.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.026787436872371284, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.026787436872371284, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.026686756833271597, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.026686756833271597, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00010068003909968759, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00010068003909968759, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06121484690873147, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06121484690873147, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.059230464459761656, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.059230464459761656, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019843824489698125, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0019843824489698125, "ret_p1w": -0.2222222062307012, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2222222062307012, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.20894969044686096, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.20894969044686096, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013272515783840255, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013272515783840255, "ret_p1m": -0.07913600882194649, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07913600882194649, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07033557012451741, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07033557012451741, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00880043869742908, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00880043869742908, "ret_p3m": 0.056970393385900486, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.056970393385900486, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.025761693433626665, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.025761693433626665, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031208699952273822, "bench_c_p3m": 0.031208699952273822, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2612, 0.1915, 0.0918, 0.0792, 0.0086, -0.019, -0.0039, -0.1663, -0.1942, -0.2611, -0.2703, -0.2895, -0.2935, -0.2933, -0.3472, -0.3242, -0.3058, -0.3276, -0.2993, -0.2993, -0.3103, -0.2732, -0.2829, -0.2515, -0.1912, -0.1671, -0.1866, -0.1449, -0.1685, -0.1758, -0.2587, -0.3176, -0.3445, -0.3912, -0.3616, -0.2171, -0.1999, -0.243, -0.2561, -0.2561, -0.2792, -0.2933, -0.303, -0.3246, -0.3246, -0.2518, -0.275, -0.2649, -0.272, -0.2729, -0.2441, -0.1518, -0.1749, -0.153, -0.1038, -0.0452, -0.0452, -0.1019, -0.1129, -0.1342, -0.123, -0.0727, 0.0268, 0.0, -0.0612, -0.121, -0.1611, -0.1505, -0.2222, -0.2959, -0.1516, -0.0871, -0.1029, -0.1025, -0.0973, -0.0941, -0.0941, -0.1417, -0.0997, -0.0838, -0.1582, -0.1432, -0.0634, -0.0756, -0.0791, -0.2496, -0.2638, -0.3041, -0.2501, -0.2943, -0.3115, -0.2982, -0.2933, -0.2269, -0.2467, -0.235, -0.1902, -0.2254, -0.2188, -0.2392, -0.2316, -0.2269, -0.2169, -0.1739, -0.2412, -0.2944, -0.3478, -0.2693, -0.2601, -0.2243, -0.2243, -0.2366, -0.196, -0.1615, -0.1322, -0.0379, 0.0401, 0.1055, 0.1195, 0.1277, 0.1022, 0.1076, 0.0862, 0.1558, 0.1075, 0.0389, 0.057, -0.0046, 0.0771, 0.0526, 0.1225, 0.1831, 0.2063, 0.3015, 0.2152, 0.0767, 0.0819, 0.0163, 0.0499, 0.0773, 0.0121, -0.0212, -0.0586, -0.0447, 0.0147, -0.005, -0.005, -0.0012, -0.0165, 0.0079, 0.0331, 0.0331, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2016361080117961170", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-28T04:01:58+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "But it does make Nvidia one. Bet on the house", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Avoid CRWV (debt-laden casino customer); long NVDA as the house that collects regardless.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thinking about buying $CRWV on the $NVDA deal?\n\nHere's the way to think about it:\n\nA casino gives you more money, so you could take on more debt with collateral to gamble.\n\nThen all the extra money goes back to the Casino (aka. $NVDA). \n\nThat doesn't make Coreweave a good long.\n\nBut it does make Nvidia one. \n\nBet on the house, not the one with $14.7B+ in debt with $1.2B+ in yearly interest payments.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01566421072290669, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01566421072290669, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01576489076200638, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01576489076200638, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00010068003909968759, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00010068003909968759, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005169082772252587, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005169082772252587, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007153465221222399, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.007153465221222399, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019843824489698125, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0019843824489698125, "ret_p1w": -0.09048667588362669, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09048667588362669, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07721416009978643, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07721416009978643, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013272515783840255, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013272515783840255, "ret_p1m": -0.034617859485341795, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.034617859485341795, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.025817420787912715, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.025817420787912715, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00880043869742908, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00880043869742908, "ret_p3m": 0.1310657603960106, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1310657603960106, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09985706044373677, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09985706044373677, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031208699952273822, "bench_c_p3m": 0.031208699952273822, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0572, 0.0801, 0.0374, 0.0192, -0.018, -0.0177, 0.0393, 0.0085, 0.0118, -0.0244, -0.0071, -0.0257, -0.0531, -0.0262, -0.0569, -0.0661, -0.0469, -0.0716, -0.0588, -0.0588, -0.0759, -0.0606, -0.0526, -0.0623, -0.0425, -0.0476, -0.0312, -0.0342, -0.0404, -0.0553, -0.0862, -0.0795, -0.0721, -0.1075, -0.0907, -0.055, -0.0409, -0.0121, -0.0152, -0.0152, -0.0052, -0.0172, -0.0208, -0.0262, -0.0262, -0.0139, -0.0178, -0.0223, -0.0126, -0.0338, -0.0348, -0.0344, -0.0298, -0.0438, -0.0233, -0.0276, -0.0276, -0.0702, -0.0428, -0.0349, -0.0201, -0.0264, -0.0157, 0.0, 0.0052, -0.002, -0.0309, -0.0584, -0.0905, -0.1025, -0.0319, -0.0077, -0.0156, -0.0077, -0.0239, -0.0455, -0.0455, -0.0342, -0.0185, -0.0189, -0.0089, 0.0002, 0.0069, 0.0211, -0.0346, -0.0748, -0.0472, -0.0599, -0.0443, -0.0427, -0.0715, -0.0463, -0.0352, -0.0286, -0.0437, -0.0588, -0.0433, -0.05, -0.058, -0.0676, -0.0982, -0.0829, -0.0852, -0.067, -0.1058, -0.1253, -0.1375, -0.0893, -0.0823, -0.0737, -0.0737, -0.0724, -0.07, -0.0492, -0.0397, -0.015, -0.0115, 0.0261, 0.0384, 0.0357, 0.0531, 0.0551, 0.0437, 0.0574, 0.0425, 0.0875, 0.1311, 0.1131, 0.0926, 0.0421, 0.0362, 0.0364, 0.0261, 0.0852, 0.1044, 0.1237, 0.1458, 0.1528, 0.1792, 0.231, 0.1765, 0.1609, 0.152, 0.1669, 0.1462, 0.1244, 0.1244, 0.1219, 0.1101, 0.1187, 0.1025, 0.1025, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2027454966013825423", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-27T18:45:06+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the shorts are going to be in for a brutal ride on $AAOI. It's really elevated at 16%", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "High short interest (16%) sets up a brutal squeeze in AAOI; implied bullish.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@CameronBoswell8 Nice! On a side note, the shorts are going to be in for a brutal ride on $AAOI. It’s really elevated at 16% https://t.co/pPmOxjMV6Y", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.3625786953944201, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.3625786953944201, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.3674038085726452, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.3674038085726452, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.21702478987010654, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.21702478987010654, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.21645621108777524, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.21645621108777524, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "ret_p1w": 0.1347500655559073, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1347500655559073, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15459001236840897, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15459001236840897, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "ret_p1m": 0.011397353035883961, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.011397353035883961, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08762893098965874, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08762893098965874, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "ret_p3m": 1.1349874707828982, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.1349874707828982, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.0380187816928927, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.0380187816928927, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6911, -0.6955, -0.6885, -0.6843, -0.6695, -0.6393, -0.5847, -0.5688, -0.6194, -0.645, -0.6562, -0.6778, -0.6527, -0.6282, -0.5359, -0.5175, -0.5132, -0.5132, -0.5587, -0.5637, -0.5724, -0.5861, -0.5861, -0.5299, -0.5846, -0.5416, -0.5482, -0.6081, -0.5959, -0.5997, -0.5942, -0.5908, -0.5607, -0.5603, -0.5603, -0.5339, -0.5443, -0.5471, -0.5759, -0.5858, -0.5561, -0.463, -0.5302, -0.4823, -0.4757, -0.4525, -0.5263, -0.5473, -0.4741, -0.4312, -0.4243, -0.4254, -0.4777, -0.4722, -0.4722, -0.4787, -0.4843, -0.4422, -0.3864, -0.3594, -0.3319, -0.31, -0.3626, 0.0, 0.217, 0.1319, 0.1838, 0.2008, 0.1348, 0.3133, 0.4305, 0.5079, 0.2607, 0.1494, 0.1168, 0.0249, 0.0997, 0.21, 0.0393, 0.1369, 0.3522, 0.3583, 0.1566, 0.166, 0.0114, 0.0043, 0.0252, 0.2336, 0.2336, 0.2757, 0.3967, 0.5754, 0.5826, 0.788, 0.8187, 0.738, 0.6924, 0.8677, 0.8927, 0.9408, 0.7876, 0.774, 0.6352, 0.9253, 0.7307, 0.6296, 0.8144, 0.9513, 1.1787, 1.0537, 1.1438, 1.1197, 0.8705, 0.7683, 1.1952, 1.2353, 1.6487, 1.4168, 1.26, 1.057, 1.0341, 0.962, 1.0991, 1.1547, 1.1547, 1.1087, 1.135, 1.0066, 0.8807, 0.8807, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2015143021374054642", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-24T19:21:50+00:00", "symbol": "AEHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I really like $AEHR especially, since they're a toll booth for a lot of things like hbm4, SiC wafers, photonics, etc", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AEHR as a diversified toll-booth play across HBM4, SiC wafers, and photonics testing.", "resolved_tickers": ["AEHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@PhotonCap Agreed! I really like $AEHR especially, since they're a toll booth for a lot of things like hbm4, SiC wafers, photonics, etc", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Great posting and thanks for sharing it with us\n\n(photonics perspective only)\n​My view aligns on AEHR and FORM over AAOI because the technical hurdles of 800G and 1.6T production make testing equipment more critical than manufacturing due to rising yield risks. (considering Pam4", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PhotonCap", "ret_m1d": 0.0470500446816704, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0470500446816704, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05210253445618307, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.043865678325046176, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0050524897745126696, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003184366356624224, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.036221033923953705, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.036221033923953705, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0322367691942691, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015083697479024272, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003984264729684606, "bench_c_p1d": 0.021137336444929433, "ret_p1w": -0.02688578051688295, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02688578051688295, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.030754573396961193, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04982844570029221, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0038687928800782423, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02294266518340926, "ret_p1m": 0.4648991238375626, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4648991238375626, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.47266551129853895, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4138986826251052, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007766387460976354, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05100044121245739, "ret_p3m": 2.5664675013940097, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.5664675013940097, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.5409816184681526, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.358278350261985, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025485882925857073, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2081891511320244, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0082, -0.0627, -0.0295, -0.0291, -0.0739, -0.0392, -0.1154, -0.0859, -0.0818, -0.1352, -0.1329, -0.2255, -0.2405, -0.2506, -0.2629, -0.2584, -0.2756, -0.2431, -0.2207, -0.1972, -0.1453, -0.1453, -0.1423, -0.1587, -0.1613, -0.0754, -0.0478, -0.0762, -0.1087, -0.0844, -0.0351, -0.0131, -0.0859, -0.1441, -0.1822, -0.1975, -0.1983, -0.1856, -0.1557, -0.1497, -0.1759, -0.1759, -0.1987, -0.2397, -0.2405, -0.2461, -0.2461, -0.1725, -0.1229, -0.0765, -0.0971, -0.1524, -0.0172, -0.0161, 0.0011, -0.0302, -0.0093, 0.0758, 0.0758, 0.0851, 0.0904, 0.1542, 0.0471, 0.0, 0.0362, 0.0448, 0.0037, -0.0426, -0.0269, 0.0153, -0.1102, -0.1412, -0.0146, 0.0302, 0.0019, 0.264, 0.0414, 0.0769, 0.0769, 0.0639, 0.0833, 0.1303, 0.2547, 0.2816, 0.4649, 0.5489, 0.4862, 0.3977, 0.6441, 0.5549, 0.593, 0.5119, 0.3297, 0.5265, 0.5668, 0.5851, 0.4059, 0.332, 0.3996, 0.385, 0.3559, 0.41, 0.289, 0.3872, 0.4634, 0.4574, 0.2909, 0.2143, 0.1247, 0.3846, 0.4787, 0.655, 0.655, 0.9477, 0.8764, 1.3585, 1.5713, 1.6299, 1.6759, 1.7774, 1.7341, 2.019, 2.1314, 2.3663, 2.4996, 2.6355, 2.5665, 2.5814, 2.304, 2.078, 2.0549, 2.3816, 2.4754, 2.1968, 2.4052, 2.612, 2.4078, 2.6307, 2.9044, 2.6117, 2.8555, 2.9709, 2.7155, 2.1206, 2.0299, 2.0747, 2.4093, 2.5482, 2.5482, 3.1046, 2.8768, 2.7338, 2.4477, 2.4477, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2017097752535322767", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-30T04:49:14+00:00", "symbol": "Phison Electronics", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Phison does the same with Sandisk with flash (inventory)... Phison happens to be sitting on a massive stockpile of lower-cost NAND from 2024/2025", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long Phison and Macronix as legacy NAND void plays: Phison on cheap NAND stockpile arbitrage, Macronix on MLC NAND production fill as SNDK/Samsung pivot to enterprise/HBM.", "resolved_tickers": ["8299.TWO"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Phison Electronics Taiwan; retrying .TWO OTC market suffix", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Interesting beneficiaries post $SNDK earnings that I own: \n\nPhison (TPE: 8299) and Macronix (TPE: 2337). \n\nSimilar to Nayna (1,035.96% 1Y) that filled legacy dram void from $MU, Sk Hynix, and Samsung: \n\nPhison does the same with Sandisk with flash (inventory). And Macronix with MLC NAND (owns wafer fabs). \n\nSo another \"legacy void\" play. \n\nAs $SNDK pivots their NAND wafers toward enterprise SSDs to focus on AI, Phison/Macronix looks to fill the vacuum. \n\nEsp. when Sk Hynix and Samsung stop making MLC NAND to focus on HBM, the \"Last Man Standing\" for legacy storage would be those two. \n\nPhison happens to be sitting on a massive stockpile of lower-cost NAND from 2024/2025.\n\nAnd Macronix are upping their MLC NAND production to fill the void from the Samsung/SanDisk pivot. \n\nSo for Nanya v2 left by Sandisk:\n\nPhison = Massive stockpile price abritrage\n\nMacronix = MLC NAND", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$SNDK: \"Sandisk will pay Kioxia USD 1.165 billion for manufacturing services and continued availability of supply\".\n\nKioxia and SanDisk together operate one of the world’s largest NAND flash manufacturing sites.\n\nSandisk's earnings looks like a blowout, but many second order https://t.co/aX5FjQOQls", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.031512605042016806, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.031512605042016806, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03450410769919421, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06636115968528233, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002991502657177403, "bench_c_m1d": 0.03484855464326553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09873949579831931, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09873949579831931, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.10371085792925483, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.10991782787868154, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004971362130935519, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01117833208036223, "ret_p1w": -0.20378151260504207, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.20378151260504207, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.201830574911401, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.19929532414291973, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.001950937693641075, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0044861884621223425, "ret_p1m": -0.19327731092436973, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.19327731092436973, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.185199024353221, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2005395506889427, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00807828657114873, "bench_c_p1m": 0.007262239764572964, "ret_p3m": -0.13025210084033612, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.13025210084033612, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.16139997356822966, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3684913244385195, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031147872727893544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2382392235981834, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5634, -0.5466, -0.5153, -0.5174, -0.4693, -0.4526, -0.4505, -0.4505, -0.4735, -0.461, -0.5007, -0.532, -0.5069, -0.555, -0.5592, -0.5404, -0.5759, -0.5592, -0.532, -0.5383, -0.5529, -0.5529, -0.5696, -0.5487, -0.5174, -0.5174, -0.5299, -0.5383, -0.5299, -0.5299, -0.5609, -0.5399, -0.5462, -0.5336, -0.5063, -0.5063, -0.458, -0.458, -0.4496, -0.437, -0.437, -0.3908, -0.3908, -0.3929, -0.3824, -0.3214, -0.2962, -0.2857, -0.3151, -0.2542, -0.2563, -0.2542, -0.2458, -0.2059, -0.1681, -0.1576, -0.1996, -0.1366, -0.1597, -0.1282, -0.1092, -0.0399, -0.0315, 0.0, -0.0987, -0.1639, -0.1366, -0.1513, -0.2038, -0.1912, -0.2332, -0.2206, -0.2206, -0.2206, -0.2206, -0.2206, -0.2206, -0.2206, -0.2206, -0.1912, -0.1303, -0.1912, -0.2059, -0.2059, -0.1933, -0.2626, -0.2836, -0.2437, -0.2563, -0.3256, -0.2668, -0.2059, -0.2395, -0.2437, -0.1681, -0.1828, -0.1702, -0.1765, -0.1954, -0.2437, -0.292, -0.2752, -0.3067, -0.3424, -0.3256, -0.3697, -0.3067, -0.3466, -0.3466, -0.3466, -0.3403, -0.2752, -0.3214, -0.3025, -0.2773, -0.2605, -0.3151, -0.334, -0.3403, -0.313, -0.2584, -0.2542, -0.2836, -0.2941, -0.229, -0.1723, -0.1303, -0.2017, -0.2017, -0.1555, -0.1113, -0.0231, 0.0042, 0.021, 0.1218, 0.145, 0.1008, 0.2101, 0.1134, 0.1492, 0.0357, -0.0483, -0.0189, 0.021, 0.042, 0.0525, 0.042, 0.0294, 0.0819, 0.1723, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2017097752535322767", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-30T04:49:14+00:00", "symbol": "Macronix International", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Macronix with MLC NAND (owns wafer fabs)... Macronix are upping their MLC NAND production to fill the void from the Samsung/SanDisk pivot", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long Phison and Macronix as legacy NAND void plays: Phison on cheap NAND stockpile arbitrage, Macronix on MLC NAND production fill as SNDK/Samsung pivot to enterprise/HBM.", "resolved_tickers": ["2337.TW"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Macronix International listed on TWSE as 2337.TW", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Interesting beneficiaries post $SNDK earnings that I own: \n\nPhison (TPE: 8299) and Macronix (TPE: 2337). \n\nSimilar to Nayna (1,035.96% 1Y) that filled legacy dram void from $MU, Sk Hynix, and Samsung: \n\nPhison does the same with Sandisk with flash (inventory). And Macronix with MLC NAND (owns wafer fabs). \n\nSo another \"legacy void\" play. \n\nAs $SNDK pivots their NAND wafers toward enterprise SSDs to focus on AI, Phison/Macronix looks to fill the vacuum. \n\nEsp. when Sk Hynix and Samsung stop making MLC NAND to focus on HBM, the \"Last Man Standing\" for legacy storage would be those two. \n\nPhison happens to be sitting on a massive stockpile of lower-cost NAND from 2024/2025.\n\nAnd Macronix are upping their MLC NAND production to fill the void from the Samsung/SanDisk pivot. \n\nSo for Nanya v2 left by Sandisk:\n\nPhison = Massive stockpile price abritrage\n\nMacronix = MLC NAND", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$SNDK: \"Sandisk will pay Kioxia USD 1.165 billion for manufacturing services and continued availability of supply\".\n\nKioxia and SanDisk together operate one of the world’s largest NAND flash manufacturing sites.\n\nSandisk's earnings looks like a blowout, but many second order https://t.co/aX5FjQOQls", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.007543152528198704, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007543152528198704, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010534655185376107, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04239170717146423, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002991502657177403, "bench_c_m1d": 0.03484855464326553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0862068937167827, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0862068937167827, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.09117825584771821, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.09738522579714493, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004971362130935519, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01117833208036223, "ret_p1w": -0.1293103405751741, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1293103405751741, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.12735940288153302, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12482415211305176, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.001950937693641075, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0044861884621223425, "ret_p1m": 0.2499999588933497, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2499999588933497, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2580782454644984, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.24273771912877673, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00807828657114873, "bench_c_p1m": 0.007262239764572964, "ret_p3m": 0.7995689063378397, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7995689063378397, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.7684210336099462, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5613296827396563, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031147872727893544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2382392235981834, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.68, -0.6622, -0.6288, -0.6202, -0.5916, -0.5668, -0.562, -0.5808, -0.59, -0.5824, -0.5943, -0.6078, -0.5954, -0.6282, -0.6352, -0.6282, -0.646, -0.6369, -0.6325, -0.6352, -0.639, -0.6466, -0.6455, -0.6347, -0.5986, -0.5824, -0.6013, -0.6078, -0.5894, -0.5911, -0.5997, -0.5943, -0.5911, -0.5997, -0.5803, -0.5851, -0.5803, -0.5803, -0.5776, -0.5889, -0.5824, -0.5749, -0.5749, -0.5329, -0.4865, -0.4353, -0.3793, -0.3179, -0.3718, -0.3405, -0.3438, -0.3524, -0.333, -0.278, -0.2058, -0.1724, -0.2101, -0.2091, -0.2532, -0.1789, -0.1789, -0.097, -0.0075, 0.0, -0.0862, -0.0894, -0.0334, -0.0528, -0.1293, -0.0431, -0.0345, 0.0614, 0.0614, 0.0614, 0.0614, 0.0614, 0.0614, 0.0614, 0.0614, 0.1153, 0.2231, 0.1638, 0.1853, 0.1853, 0.25, 0.1261, 0.056, 0.1584, 0.1045, -0.0054, -0.0226, 0.0744, 0.0668, 0.1692, 0.2823, 0.4062, 0.5463, 0.6918, 0.7241, 0.6002, 0.4709, 0.5302, 0.3793, 0.347, 0.3793, 0.2446, 0.3685, 0.3901, 0.3901, 0.3901, 0.4709, 0.6164, 0.5302, 0.5733, 0.5894, 0.6756, 0.5302, 0.4978, 0.4116, 0.2985, 0.4278, 0.4494, 0.3578, 0.4224, 0.5625, 0.7187, 0.7996, 0.6595, 0.6595, 0.6649, 0.7295, 0.8534, 0.7726, 0.6487, 0.7187, 0.6487, 0.8103, 0.8211, 0.7511, 0.7241, 0.5517, 0.5194, 0.5194, 0.611, 0.6433, 0.7295, 0.6756, 0.7241, 0.7942, 0.8588, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2027491394978455919", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-27T21:09:52+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "That's why I'm saying it's looks extremely cheap", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "AAOI looks extremely cheap at ~6.3-7.8x forward P/E on napkin-math $4.3B revenue / 40% gross margin estimates.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MarkoTominic $AAOI forward p/e might sit around ~6.3-7.8x from some napkin math if they hit ~$4.3B revenue, 40% gross profit. But of course need some more time to do modeling. \n\nThat's why I'm saying it's looks extremely cheap.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Nice forward pe 😂 https://t.co/8vLZM4CUD7", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MarkoTominic", "ret_m1d": -0.3625786953944201, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.3625786953944201, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.3674038085726452, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.3674038085726452, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.21702478987010654, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.21702478987010654, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.21645621108777524, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.21645621108777524, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "ret_p1w": 0.1347500655559073, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1347500655559073, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15459001236840897, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15459001236840897, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "ret_p1m": 0.011397353035883961, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.011397353035883961, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08762893098965874, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08762893098965874, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "ret_p3m": 1.1349874707828982, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.1349874707828982, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.0380187816928927, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.0380187816928927, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6911, -0.6955, -0.6885, -0.6843, -0.6695, -0.6393, -0.5847, -0.5688, -0.6194, -0.645, -0.6562, -0.6778, -0.6527, -0.6282, -0.5359, -0.5175, -0.5132, -0.5132, -0.5587, -0.5637, -0.5724, -0.5861, -0.5861, -0.5299, -0.5846, -0.5416, -0.5482, -0.6081, -0.5959, -0.5997, -0.5942, -0.5908, -0.5607, -0.5603, -0.5603, -0.5339, -0.5443, -0.5471, -0.5759, -0.5858, -0.5561, -0.463, -0.5302, -0.4823, -0.4757, -0.4525, -0.5263, -0.5473, -0.4741, -0.4312, -0.4243, -0.4254, -0.4777, -0.4722, -0.4722, -0.4787, -0.4843, -0.4422, -0.3864, -0.3594, -0.3319, -0.31, -0.3626, 0.0, 0.217, 0.1319, 0.1838, 0.2008, 0.1348, 0.3133, 0.4305, 0.5079, 0.2607, 0.1494, 0.1168, 0.0249, 0.0997, 0.21, 0.0393, 0.1369, 0.3522, 0.3583, 0.1566, 0.166, 0.0114, 0.0043, 0.0252, 0.2336, 0.2336, 0.2757, 0.3967, 0.5754, 0.5826, 0.788, 0.8187, 0.738, 0.6924, 0.8677, 0.8927, 0.9408, 0.7876, 0.774, 0.6352, 0.9253, 0.7307, 0.6296, 0.8144, 0.9513, 1.1787, 1.0537, 1.1438, 1.1197, 0.8705, 0.7683, 1.1952, 1.2353, 1.6487, 1.4168, 1.26, 1.057, 1.0341, 0.962, 1.0991, 1.1547, 1.1547, 1.1087, 1.135, 1.0066, 0.8807, 0.8807, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2026656439658582472", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-25T13:52:03+00:00", "symbol": "IQE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if they got rid of all the debt and random business drag, it could re-rate quite a bit", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish IQE on potential re-rating if debt and non-core business drag removed; compares favorably to Landmark's $3.75B MC.", "resolved_tickers": ["IQE.L"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "IQE plc LSE-listed epiwafer supplier", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yes landmark is an amazing name! Basically like $IQE for InP epiwafer for 800/1.6t transcievers but without the balance sheet drag.\n\nLandmark's a $3.75B MC company while $IQE is a $135m company but IQE Is significantly larger production capacity (not as pure play though)\n\nSo just felt like if they got rid of all the debt and random business drag, it could re-rate quite a bit.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit FYI back when they were looking at a Taiwan IPO of the Taiwan biz, in Nov 24 the house broker estimated at a cyclical low revenue of £40M back then, that float might trade at a £190EV based on a 20% discount to Landmark at the time https://t.co/U3NvXs7STn", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "hareng_rouge", "ret_m1d": -0.23845196874805785, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.23845196874805785, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.23008422970637898, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.22202621330445194, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008367739041678868, "bench_c_m1d": -0.016425755443605916, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.24843941501309552, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.24843941501309552, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.2539938914047166, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.2816428920519767, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005554476391621099, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03320347703888116, "ret_p1w": 0.6760299384671729, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.6760299384671729, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.6876004104228416, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.7395272102103205, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011570471955668737, "bench_c_p1w": -0.06349727174314768, "ret_p1m": 0.660424445779509, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.660424445779509, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.7272184636010184, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.766769496780944, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0667940178215094, "bench_c_p1m": -0.10634505100143499, "ret_p3m": 1.855805161842456, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.855805161842456, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.7771406448703466, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.503449233618917, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07866451697210941, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3523559282235391, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.676, -0.6785, -0.6879, -0.6923, -0.6829, -0.6866, -0.6866, -0.686, -0.6798, -0.6748, -0.6954, -0.6941, -0.6895, -0.6901, -0.6848, -0.6816, -0.6798, -0.6895, -0.6901, -0.6901, -0.6901, -0.6901, -0.6879, -0.6879, -0.6879, -0.6785, -0.686, -0.6829, -0.6517, -0.6161, -0.5418, -0.3483, -0.3839, -0.4382, -0.4913, -0.51, -0.4426, -0.5137, -0.5231, -0.5131, -0.4988, -0.5225, -0.5218, -0.4994, -0.5162, -0.5062, -0.4988, -0.5194, -0.5037, -0.5125, -0.5056, -0.49, -0.3758, -0.3608, -0.3571, -0.3383, -0.3446, -0.3371, -0.3471, -0.3521, -0.3458, -0.2022, -0.2385, 0.0, 0.2484, 0.186, 0.598, 0.623, 0.676, 0.339, 0.2272, 0.191, 0.417, 0.5169, 0.417, 0.4513, 0.4419, 0.3483, 0.5949, 0.4263, 0.4732, 0.4669, 0.5949, 0.8414, 0.6604, 0.5293, 0.4419, 0.5231, 0.5668, 0.4732, 0.4732, 0.4732, 0.5918, 0.7915, 0.8727, 1.3096, 2.0649, 1.9838, 2.3708, 2.6579, 2.2522, 2.6579, 2.9326, 2.9076, 2.1055, 1.9713, 2.0836, 1.5125, 1.5218, 1.6998, 1.5687, 1.5687, 2.1211, 1.7809, 1.8496, 1.9401, 2.402, 1.9432, 2.1523, 2.0961, 1.8714, 1.4407, 0.9975, 1.3439, 1.4875, 1.8558, 1.8558, 2.3708, 2.1648, 1.9744, 1.965, 1.965, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2027450758539710618", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-27T18:28:23+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "long term value creation is understated", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long AAOI as the only US domestic assembler for 800G/1.6T transceivers; geopolitical manufacturing premium + $4.5B ARR/40% margin projections make long-term value understated.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yeah $AAOI is the only true domestic player assembling in Sugar Texas for 800G and 1.6T transceivers. $COHR does their stuff in Malaysia/Vietnam, and $LITE uses $FN and others. \n\nThere's likely going to be a huge geopolitical premium for American domestic manufacturing on top if they hit their $4.5B ARR/40% margin projections. \n\nThat being said:\n-> execution risk is always present\n-> $250m ATM overhang does impact short term stock pricing. \n\nBut long term value creation is understated.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Crazy cheap on a forward basis and given the growth rate, multiple should be that much higher", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Superioresearch", "ret_m1d": -0.3625786953944201, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.3625786953944201, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.3674038085726452, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.3674038085726452, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.21702478987010654, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.21702478987010654, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.21645621108777524, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.21645621108777524, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "ret_p1w": 0.1347500655559073, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1347500655559073, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15459001236840897, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15459001236840897, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "ret_p1m": 0.011397353035883961, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.011397353035883961, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08762893098965874, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08762893098965874, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "ret_p3m": 1.1349874707828982, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.1349874707828982, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.0380187816928927, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.0380187816928927, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6911, -0.6955, -0.6885, -0.6843, -0.6695, -0.6393, -0.5847, -0.5688, -0.6194, -0.645, -0.6562, -0.6778, -0.6527, -0.6282, -0.5359, -0.5175, -0.5132, -0.5132, -0.5587, -0.5637, -0.5724, -0.5861, -0.5861, -0.5299, -0.5846, -0.5416, -0.5482, -0.6081, -0.5959, -0.5997, -0.5942, -0.5908, -0.5607, -0.5603, -0.5603, -0.5339, -0.5443, -0.5471, -0.5759, -0.5858, -0.5561, -0.463, -0.5302, -0.4823, -0.4757, -0.4525, -0.5263, -0.5473, -0.4741, -0.4312, -0.4243, -0.4254, -0.4777, -0.4722, -0.4722, -0.4787, -0.4843, -0.4422, -0.3864, -0.3594, -0.3319, -0.31, -0.3626, 0.0, 0.217, 0.1319, 0.1838, 0.2008, 0.1348, 0.3133, 0.4305, 0.5079, 0.2607, 0.1494, 0.1168, 0.0249, 0.0997, 0.21, 0.0393, 0.1369, 0.3522, 0.3583, 0.1566, 0.166, 0.0114, 0.0043, 0.0252, 0.2336, 0.2336, 0.2757, 0.3967, 0.5754, 0.5826, 0.788, 0.8187, 0.738, 0.6924, 0.8677, 0.8927, 0.9408, 0.7876, 0.774, 0.6352, 0.9253, 0.7307, 0.6296, 0.8144, 0.9513, 1.1787, 1.0537, 1.1438, 1.1197, 0.8705, 0.7683, 1.1952, 1.2353, 1.6487, 1.4168, 1.26, 1.057, 1.0341, 0.962, 1.0991, 1.1547, 1.1547, 1.1087, 1.135, 1.0066, 0.8807, 0.8807, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2033492012746572208", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-16T10:34:10+00:00", "symbol": "Nebius", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is a huge signal of confidence to Nebius as the infra of choice for AI", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Nebius: META deal expansion from $3B to $27B cumulative signals it is the AI infra provider of choice.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Nebius Group NASDAQ ticker NBIS", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@daniel_koss Yep, but markets are forward looking.\n\nOriginally their deal with $META was $3B but it’s 9’xed to $27B cumulative…\n\nThis is a huge signal of confidence to Nebius as the infra of choice for AI.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Won't effect their 7-9B ARR target this year though. This deal's capacity only comes up 2027+ \n\nObviously still insanely bullish for 27+", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "daniel_koss", "ret_m1d": -0.13015023766576383, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.13015023766576383, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1200758967727108, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12251992349076146, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010074340893053035, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007630314175002373, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.10412016663043411, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.10412016663043411, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.10675072150040932, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.10446698401024546, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00263055486997521, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0003468173798113483, "ret_p1w": -0.12090877042486059, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12090877042486059, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1031813407704315, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10130993845482839, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017727429654429083, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019598831970032204, "ret_p1m": 0.2471312655334701, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2471312655334701, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.20628622036414623, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.23324111665351577, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04084504516932386, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013890148879954323, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4189, -0.3986, -0.3111, -0.282, -0.3067, -0.2982, -0.2982, -0.3255, -0.3374, -0.3441, -0.3554, -0.3554, -0.3073, -0.2851, -0.228, -0.2591, -0.2507, -0.2458, -0.1734, -0.1881, -0.2146, -0.2, -0.1626, -0.1626, -0.2353, -0.2386, -0.2541, -0.2722, -0.2956, -0.2463, -0.2266, -0.2691, -0.3439, -0.3211, -0.3073, -0.3655, -0.4311, -0.3369, -0.2847, -0.2931, -0.3176, -0.309, -0.2452, -0.2452, -0.249, -0.216, -0.1713, -0.2459, -0.2252, -0.21, -0.1827, -0.1923, -0.2977, -0.2991, -0.3315, -0.247, -0.2634, -0.3121, -0.2688, -0.2574, -0.1375, -0.168, -0.1302, 0.0, -0.1041, -0.0869, -0.0642, -0.0942, -0.1209, -0.1151, -0.1137, -0.1839, -0.2236, -0.2895, -0.2009, -0.2149, -0.162, -0.162, -0.1333, -0.0959, -0.0374, 0.0499, 0.1164, 0.1903, 0.2471, 0.2843, 0.2733, 0.2102, 0.2257, 0.2056, 0.2025, 0.2097, 0.1333, 0.1164, 0.0436, 0.0873, 0.0645, 0.1898, 0.3586, 0.3548, 0.5024, 0.4229, 0.3635, 0.4332, 0.3794, 0.5962, 0.7031, 0.6938, 0.5392, 0.5228, 0.4772, 0.6937, 0.654, 0.654, 0.6023, 0.6047, 0.7431, 0.7797, 0.7797, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2016896340576653639", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-29T15:28:54+00:00", "symbol": "UAMY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I wonder if markets think a inaccurate press release presents a good buying opportunity after a 17% drop", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Implied buying opportunity in UAMY after 17% drop on a Reuters article the company and Energy Dept. both called false.", "resolved_tickers": ["UAMY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Other Industrial Metals & Mining'", "bench_c_industry": "Other Industrial Metals & Mining", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$UAMY is now down 17% after the Reuter's article. \n\nBut this just in: \n\n\"Inaccurate and Misleading Reuters Article\" - Press Release by UAMY. \n\n\"Yesterday's Reuters article that was released to the public, is  completely inaccurate, misleading, and inconsistent with the facts\"\n\n\"U.S. Antimony maintains binding, long-term relationships and contractual  arrangements with U.S. government agencies that remain fully in effect\"\n\n\"The Energy Department told Reuters in a statement after the story was  published that the article was \"false and relies on unnamed sources that  are either misinformed or deliberately misleading\"\n\nI wonder if markets think a inaccurate press release presents a good buying opportunity after a 17% drop.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.170084421459628, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.170084421459628, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.16809609340736853, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.17108440850861173, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.001988328052259458, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0009999870489837415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.11580217642514778, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.11580217642514778, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.11281959616474457, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.10120216626358114, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0029825802604032114, "bench_c_p1d": -0.014600010161566646, "ret_p1w": -0.09891437580635232, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09891437580635232, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.075255846899274, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10891432292942194, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023658528907078313, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009999947123069619, "ret_p1m": 0.07840767448990205, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07840767448990205, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09000643115877704, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.010207699457009056, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.011598756668874999, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06819997503289299, "ret_p3m": 0.30398075625568355, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.30398075625568355, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2757494608292701, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.27140910360868364, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02823129542641345, "bench_c_p3m": 0.032571652646999905, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1508, -0.1592, -0.2328, -0.1484, 0.0036, -0.0748, -0.0265, -0.0808, -0.1327, -0.1098, -0.1737, -0.146, -0.187, -0.2907, -0.2919, -0.2907, -0.3016, -0.3016, -0.3016, -0.263, -0.339, -0.3534, -0.3583, -0.2618, -0.2328, -0.234, -0.2232, -0.2859, -0.2762, -0.3245, -0.3993, -0.3993, -0.4524, -0.4584, -0.4186, -0.3257, -0.2726, -0.234, -0.234, -0.2473, -0.3233, -0.3752, -0.3945, -0.3945, -0.2847, -0.1713, -0.1568, -0.0543, -0.1062, -0.0772, 0.0338, -0.0651, 0.0591, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.1182, 0.0989, 0.2292, 0.3088, 0.146, 0.1954, 0.1701, 0.0, -0.1158, -0.0519, 0.1641, -0.0265, -0.0989, 0.0386, -0.0072, -0.0169, -0.0241, -0.1086, -0.0808, -0.0808, -0.1255, -0.1013, -0.0712, -0.1086, -0.0663, 0.0097, 0.1037, 0.0748, 0.0784, 0.2847, 0.1568, 0.1677, 0.117, 0.1544, 0.158, 0.3546, 0.2678, 0.1677, 0.1122, 0.3245, 0.2425, 0.1267, 0.0989, -0.0157, 0.0784, 0.1194, 0.1906, 0.0676, 0.0555, -0.0507, 0.0531, 0.0012, 0.0483, 0.0483, -0.0012, -0.0193, 0.0663, 0.0579, 0.0084, 0.1206, 0.1303, 0.2907, 0.2569, 0.275, 0.2835, 0.2147, 0.2786, 0.2207, 0.1749, 0.3486, 0.304, 0.2039, 0.4487, 0.4656, 0.4174, 0.345, 0.5211, 0.3293, 0.2859, 0.2847, 0.2666, 0.2027, 0.1544, 0.0386, -0.0302, -0.1025, 0.0048, -0.0109, 0.0157, 0.0157, 0.0627, 0.1146, 0.0977, 0.0832, 0.0832, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2013991833966113138", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-21T15:07:26+00:00", "symbol": "INTC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$INTC is probably one of the most asymmetrical longs in the semi space right now", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long INTC as highly asymmetric play: White House backing, TSM comp implies ~7x return potential.", "resolved_tickers": ["INTC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Never bet against the White House.\n\n$INTC is probably one of the most asymmetrical longs in the semi space right now. https://t.co/ow1BO48XO4", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$INTC is basically the $RKLB to SpaceX and is one of my biggest positions. \n\nEveryone knows it will catch up to TSM as the de-facto semi arm of the US government with Nvidia to Apple backing it.\n\nIt’s more of a matter of time.\n\nAt a $234B MC ( $TSM is $1.5T), ~7X return just for https://t.co/d7upeoxC1b", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.10488476731260798, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10488476731260798, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0934753649270933, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0934753649270933, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011409402385514689, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011409402385514689, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0012903169552851423, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0012903169552851423, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.003932913064442545, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.003932913064442545, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005223230019727687, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005223230019727687, "ret_p1w": -0.10082951558899766, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10082951558899766, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11544866626563344, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11544866626563344, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014619150676635773, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014619150676635773, "ret_p1m": -0.1775115404260873, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1775115404260873, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1761691895091445, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1761691895091445, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0013423509169427916, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0013423509169427916, "ret_p3m": 0.2110598515805011, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2110598515805011, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.17421203763553517, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.17421203763553517, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.036847813944965946, "bench_c_p3m": 0.036847813944965946, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2944, -0.2712, -0.2345, -0.238, -0.2597, -0.2629, -0.2719, -0.3174, -0.2925, -0.3135, -0.2971, -0.2912, -0.3018, -0.3016, -0.3381, -0.3453, -0.3602, -0.3672, -0.3528, -0.3803, -0.3641, -0.3403, -0.3395, -0.3215, -0.3215, -0.2524, -0.2625, -0.1987, -0.1934, -0.2535, -0.2367, -0.2571, -0.2535, -0.2483, -0.2717, -0.303, -0.3086, -0.3123, -0.3355, -0.3312, -0.3213, -0.3296, -0.33, -0.3335, -0.3335, -0.3327, -0.3239, -0.3124, -0.3198, -0.3198, -0.2741, -0.2743, -0.2619, -0.2142, -0.2422, -0.1604, -0.1878, -0.1283, -0.1019, -0.1093, -0.1344, -0.1344, -0.1049, 0.0, 0.0013, -0.1692, -0.2168, -0.1902, -0.1008, -0.103, -0.1434, -0.1003, -0.0922, -0.1041, -0.1108, -0.0675, -0.0739, -0.1312, -0.1099, -0.1432, -0.1375, -0.1375, -0.1488, -0.162, -0.1775, -0.1869, -0.1958, -0.1499, -0.1359, -0.162, -0.1593, -0.1613, -0.2055, -0.1598, -0.153, -0.1996, -0.1598, -0.1377, -0.1156, -0.1659, -0.1563, -0.1565, -0.1878, -0.17, -0.1488, -0.1913, -0.1888, -0.1878, -0.1303, -0.1871, -0.205, -0.2407, -0.1865, -0.1147, -0.0713, -0.0713, -0.064, -0.0247, 0.0866, 0.1377, 0.1499, 0.2015, 0.1762, 0.1971, 0.2627, 0.2627, 0.2111, 0.2214, 0.2031, 0.231, 0.5215, 0.5666, 0.558, 0.7465, 0.7416, 0.8363, 0.7655, 0.9935, 1.0831, 1.0206, 1.3027, 1.386, 1.2232, 1.2173, 1.137, 1.005, 0.9939, 1.0424, 1.1928, 1.1843, 1.209, 1.209, 1.2769, 1.2446, 1.2284, 1.1139, 1.1139, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028508633294864551", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-02T16:32:00+00:00", "symbol": "LASR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LASR is likely going to be a huge part of energy directed weapons in the Golden Dome, which is much wider in scale", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish LASR as a major beneficiary of the Golden Dome energy-directed weapons program, larger in scale than Israel deployment.", "resolved_tickers": ["LASR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DA_Capital_ Basically. If it works in Israel, $LASR is likely going to be a huge part of energy directed weapons in the Golden Dome, which is much wider in scale", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thesis: goybeam go brrrr", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DA_Capital_", "ret_m1d": -0.16989220564221263, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.16989220564221263, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.16932394995800626, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.16932394995800626, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06825236489806885, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06825236489806885, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05943802641527318, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05943802641527318, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "ret_p1w": -0.0988329472612628, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0988329472612628, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08701736633774793, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08701736633774793, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "ret_p1m": -0.15763039738222395, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15763039738222395, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1077106558070402, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1077106558070402, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "ret_p3m": 0.1693012065466042, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1693012065466042, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06690782738069623, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06690782738069623, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4959, -0.4631, -0.4617, -0.4541, -0.4401, -0.4416, -0.4352, -0.4664, -0.4608, -0.4766, -0.488, -0.4689, -0.4429, -0.4351, -0.4172, -0.4191, -0.4191, -0.4209, -0.4237, -0.4305, -0.4459, -0.4459, -0.4332, -0.4373, -0.443, -0.4453, -0.4086, -0.4088, -0.3859, -0.3689, -0.3622, -0.3525, -0.3509, -0.3509, -0.3315, -0.3213, -0.2909, -0.351, -0.3562, -0.3363, -0.3207, -0.304, -0.3262, -0.2897, -0.2616, -0.352, -0.3191, -0.2448, -0.1935, -0.2182, -0.1898, -0.2254, -0.2277, -0.2277, -0.2482, -0.1971, -0.1774, -0.1726, -0.1919, -0.1485, -0.1047, -0.07, -0.1699, 0.0, -0.0683, -0.0099, -0.0758, -0.1337, -0.0988, -0.0576, -0.0177, -0.0727, -0.0752, 0.012, 0.051, 0.0126, 0.0471, -0.0285, 0.0334, 0.0572, 0.06, -0.0566, -0.0498, -0.2022, -0.1576, -0.1387, -0.1118, -0.1118, -0.1402, -0.1473, -0.1089, -0.0734, -0.0343, 0.0321, -0.0121, -0.0188, 0.0264, 0.0405, 0.0539, 0.0669, 0.0634, 0.0962, 0.1197, 0.0347, -0.0282, -0.0402, 0.0319, 0.0486, 0.0254, -0.0109, 0.0532, -0.0222, 0.0919, 0.255, 0.2381, 0.1881, 0.2015, 0.117, 0.0464, 0.0266, 0.0533, 0.1291, 0.1604, 0.1604, 0.2051, 0.2024, 0.1693, 0.095, 0.095, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2012120051747635438", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-16T11:09:38+00:00", "symbol": "SSYS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "昨日のOpenAIに関するニュースは、絶好のカタリスト（材料）になったと考えています", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish SSYS as humanoid robot frame supplier; OpenAI news seen as a strong catalyst for the robotics ramp-up.", "resolved_tickers": ["SSYS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "ja", "tweet_text": "$SSYS は、ボストン・ダイナミクスの「Atlas」やMetaのヒューマノイドなど、あらゆる人型ロボットの**機体フレーム（骨格）**を担っているため、非常に興味深い銘柄です。\n今後の展開はロボティクスの普及（ランプアップ）次第であり、本格的な立ち上がりには時間がかかるかもしれませんが、あるいは今まさに始まっている可能性もあります！いずれにせよ、昨日のOpenAIに関するニュースは、絶好の**カタリスト（材料）**になったと考えています。", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "\"私は $SSYS  (9億3200万ドル) のポジションを持ち始めました。\n\nStratasysは、金属に代わるプラスチックによってロボット工学のボトルネックを解決します。\n\nそして同社は、OpenAIの米国拠点のロボティクス推進サプライヤーの有力候補です（1時間前のブルームバーグ）。 $SSYS  の顧客：", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "yasutaketin", "ret_m1d": 0.03842719582667331, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03842719582667331, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.037588619214244945, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03952586853310225, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0008385766124283656, "bench_c_m1d": -0.001098672706428938, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.011617441076092416, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.011617441076092416, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.00810412627220225, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.007977825447871845, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0035133148038901663, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0036396156282205716, "ret_p1m": -0.019660350456148667, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.019660350456148667, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.005332520888328474, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.021954815927404114, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014327829567820194, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04161516638355278, "ret_p3m": -0.23860582866332614, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.23860582866332614, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2533407797879452, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2720276370437691, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014734951124619089, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03342180838044295, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1037, 0.0098, 0.0527, 0.0715, 0.0643, 0.0304, -0.008, -0.0366, -0.0509, -0.0536, -0.118, -0.1197, -0.1546, -0.151, -0.1421, -0.1492, -0.1475, -0.1662, -0.2002, -0.2377, -0.2404, -0.2502, -0.2672, -0.2368, -0.2332, -0.2368, -0.2279, -0.2279, -0.2145, -0.2288, -0.2181, -0.1975, -0.1805, -0.1912, -0.1859, -0.1796, -0.1698, -0.1564, -0.1618, -0.1868, -0.1895, -0.1948, -0.1895, -0.2002, -0.1734, -0.1832, -0.1886, -0.1886, -0.2002, -0.2127, -0.2207, -0.2243, -0.2243, -0.1948, -0.1296, -0.0769, -0.0992, -0.0697, -0.0777, -0.0688, -0.1072, -0.0947, 0.0384, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0259, -0.0054, 0.0277, -0.0116, -0.0214, 0.0009, -0.0125, 0.0045, -0.0438, -0.0063, -0.0223, -0.0545, -0.0867, 0.0054, 0.0152, 0.0045, 0.008, -0.0214, -0.0197, -0.0197, -0.0465, -0.0366, -0.0384, -0.0661, -0.0947, -0.1099, -0.1197, -0.1162, -0.1394, -0.1358, -0.1564, -0.1242, -0.1868, -0.2172, -0.2324, -0.2592, -0.2583, -0.2681, -0.2967, -0.2842, -0.2788, -0.3029, -0.3056, -0.3208, -0.3021, -0.2815, -0.2779, -0.2931, -0.3172, -0.3369, -0.3021, -0.2922, -0.2878, -0.2878, -0.2824, -0.2824, -0.2592, -0.2556, -0.2538, -0.2368, -0.2449, -0.2386, -0.2288, -0.2145, -0.2118, -0.2252, -0.2189, -0.2422, -0.2297, -0.2306, -0.2341, -0.2431, -0.2073, -0.2038, -0.2189, -0.1993, -0.1734, -0.2672, -0.2386, -0.2368, -0.2324, -0.235, -0.2163, -0.235, -0.2645, -0.277, -0.2529, -0.2377, -0.1939, -0.1939, -0.1367, -0.1144, -0.1046, -0.0581, -0.0581, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2018238476303626710", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-02T08:22:04+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I personally added $ETH ON drop since they're all down a ton", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bought ETH, SOL, IBIT, GLXY, HOOD, NBIS, and CRCL on the dip; buyer at current levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’m just citing risks for extended selloffs given $ETH if you’re using margin. \n\nOther than that I’m a buyer at these levels, I don’t know what’s going to happen.\n\nI personally added $GLXY on the 9% drop + and $HOOD, $NBIS, $CRCL, $SOL, $ETH and $IBIT ON drop since they’re all down a ton.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit bro you're too early on the selloff warning but good call on liquidation cascade", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MacroBombastic", "ret_m1d": 0.1527150524057055, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.1527150524057055, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.15766182235186021, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946769946154728, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.04982085366444211, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04982085366444211, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04136545723374152, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00845539643070059, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.1027100797345687, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1027100797345687, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10061064198432812, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0020994377502405737, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.15423752289120995, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15423752289120995, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1325525443397102, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684978551499756, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.03758193842531388, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03758193842531388, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0738377454322875, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03625580700697362, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.461, 0.4129, 0.4653, 0.5221, 0.4568, 0.4559, 0.379, 0.3239, 0.2901, 0.3321, 0.2895, 0.2079, 0.1797, 0.2595, 0.2617, 0.2915, 0.2859, 0.2934, 0.1944, 0.2788, 0.3614, 0.337, 0.2901, 0.3331, 0.4166, 0.4185, 0.3808, 0.3156, 0.2644, 0.2644, 0.2078, 0.2059, 0.2703, 0.2823, 0.264, 0.2565, 0.2385, 0.248, 0.2517, 0.2675, 0.2656, 0.2798, 0.3327, 0.3761, 0.4059, 0.3508, 0.3242, 0.3151, 0.3191, 0.4171, 0.431, 0.4149, 0.4057, 0.3593, 0.2522, 0.2707, 0.2582, 0.2597, 0.2483, 0.2891, 0.2825, 0.2021, 0.1527, 0.0, -0.0498, -0.0857, -0.2229, -0.1198, -0.1027, -0.1386, -0.1722, -0.1695, -0.1262, -0.1478, -0.1502, -0.1665, -0.169, -0.1601, -0.2085, -0.2096, -0.1236, -0.1355, -0.1764, -0.1353, -0.1542, -0.0929, -0.1163, -0.156, -0.1499, -0.1311, -0.1249, -0.1157, -0.1074, 0.0029, -0.0112, -0.06, -0.0883, -0.0844, -0.082, -0.0805, -0.0752, -0.1215, -0.1506, -0.1369, -0.1022, -0.0877, -0.1226, -0.1241, -0.1009, -0.0437, -0.0657, -0.0662, -0.0423, 0.0112, -0.009, 0.0064, 0.0018, 0.0327, -0.0124, -0.007, 0.0135, -0.0055, -0.0122, -0.0176, -0.0234, -0.0388, -0.0376, -0.021, 0.0009, 0.0072, 0.0027, -0.0227, -0.0159, -0.0021, -0.0297, -0.037, -0.0271, -0.0516, -0.0921, -0.1, -0.0927, -0.0908, -0.1193, -0.0994, -0.1167, -0.1374, -0.1437, -0.1418, -0.1431, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2018238476303626710", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-02T08:22:04+00:00", "symbol": "SOL-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I personally added $SOL ON drop since they're all down a ton", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bought ETH, SOL, IBIT, GLXY, HOOD, NBIS, and CRCL on the dip; buyer at current levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["SOL-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’m just citing risks for extended selloffs given $ETH if you’re using margin. \n\nOther than that I’m a buyer at these levels, I don’t know what’s going to happen.\n\nI personally added $GLXY on the 9% drop + and $HOOD, $NBIS, $CRCL, $SOL, $ETH and $IBIT ON drop since they’re all down a ton.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit bro you're too early on the selloff warning but good call on liquidation cascade", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MacroBombastic", "ret_m1d": 0.12340137394772, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.12340137394772, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.12834814389387472, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946769946154728, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.0661163319748288, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0661163319748288, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05766093554412821, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00845539643070059, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.17008878028382324, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.17008878028382324, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.16798934253358266, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0020994377502405737, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.16704516234758993, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16704516234758993, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14536018379609017, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684978551499756, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.20529490347903712, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.20529490347903712, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24155071048601073, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03625580700697362, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.5561, 0.4843, 0.5479, 0.602, 0.4795, 0.467, 0.389, 0.3274, 0.2525, 0.3469, 0.3091, 0.278, 0.23, 0.3245, 0.3295, 0.3689, 0.3482, 0.3151, 0.2129, 0.3274, 0.387, 0.3306, 0.2762, 0.2757, 0.32, 0.3063, 0.3054, 0.2666, 0.2229, 0.2372, 0.1785, 0.1445, 0.2079, 0.2042, 0.1856, 0.1722, 0.1481, 0.1697, 0.1786, 0.1958, 0.1916, 0.2134, 0.2648, 0.3208, 0.3506, 0.3048, 0.3237, 0.2995, 0.3318, 0.3914, 0.4047, 0.3624, 0.3866, 0.2763, 0.2033, 0.2384, 0.228, 0.2191, 0.1883, 0.2162, 0.1976, 0.1257, 0.1234, 0.0, -0.0661, -0.1191, -0.2516, -0.1628, -0.1701, -0.2063, -0.2414, -0.25, -0.1929, -0.1727, -0.1845, -0.2192, -0.2113, -0.1899, -0.2557, -0.2435, -0.1585, -0.1777, -0.2156, -0.1707, -0.167, -0.1305, -0.151, -0.1894, -0.187, -0.1784, -0.1714, -0.1685, -0.1562, -0.0789, -0.0935, -0.1379, -0.1489, -0.1399, -0.1249, -0.1306, -0.1222, -0.1726, -0.2053, -0.2108, -0.2045, -0.2228, -0.2443, -0.2307, -0.2328, -0.1802, -0.2095, -0.2027, -0.188, -0.1705, -0.1981, -0.1872, -0.1481, -0.1493, -0.1832, -0.1765, -0.168, -0.1755, -0.1746, -0.1881, -0.1956, -0.2053, -0.2053, -0.1986, -0.1951, -0.1738, -0.1467, -0.1538, -0.1199, -0.0682, -0.0975, -0.1281, -0.118, -0.1462, -0.1835, -0.194, -0.1764, -0.1657, -0.193, -0.1863, -0.1999, -0.2116, -0.2152, -0.2157, -0.2099, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2018238476303626710", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-02T08:22:04+00:00", "symbol": "IBIT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I personally added $IBIT ON drop since they're all down a ton", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bought ETH, SOL, IBIT, GLXY, HOOD, NBIS, and CRCL on the dip; buyer at current levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["IBIT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’m just citing risks for extended selloffs given $ETH if you’re using margin. \n\nOther than that I’m a buyer at these levels, I don’t know what’s going to happen.\n\nI personally added $GLXY on the 9% drop + and $HOOD, $NBIS, $CRCL, $SOL, $ETH and $IBIT ON drop since they’re all down a ton.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit bro you're too early on the selloff warning but good call on liquidation cascade", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MacroBombastic", "ret_m1d": 0.07394844793067779, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07394844793067779, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07889521787683251, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07889521787683251, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946769946154728, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004946769946154728, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02080510986534856, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02080510986534856, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012349713434647969, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012349713434647969, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00845539643070059, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00845539643070059, "ret_p1w": -0.09294438030063468, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09294438030063468, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0908449425503941, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0908449425503941, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0020994377502405737, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0020994377502405737, "ret_p1m": -0.12483040039309845, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12483040039309845, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1031454218415987, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1031454218415987, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684978551499756, "bench_c_p1m": -0.021684978551499756, "ret_p3m": -0.020352815491500698, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.020352815491500698, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.056608622498474315, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.056608622498474315, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03625580700697362, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03625580700697362, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3324, 0.2949, 0.3315, 0.3611, 0.3195, 0.3024, 0.2571, 0.2093, 0.1782, 0.1909, 0.1472, 0.1072, 0.0848, 0.1436, 0.1208, 0.154, 0.154, 0.1658, 0.0968, 0.1685, 0.1927, 0.1875, 0.1463, 0.1651, 0.1952, 0.187, 0.1782, 0.1578, 0.1004, 0.1242, 0.1015, 0.0846, 0.1287, 0.1327, 0.1228, 0.1185, 0.1185, 0.1219, 0.1167, 0.1269, 0.1228, 0.1228, 0.152, 0.209, 0.1861, 0.1655, 0.1651, 0.1569, 0.173, 0.2114, 0.2537, 0.2212, 0.2266, 0.2266, 0.1479, 0.1558, 0.1459, 0.1465, 0.1228, 0.145, 0.1422, 0.0764, 0.0739, 0.0, -0.0208, -0.0599, -0.1836, -0.1027, -0.0929, -0.1187, -0.1341, -0.1621, -0.1187, -0.1187, -0.1318, -0.1511, -0.1391, -0.1312, -0.1735, -0.1739, -0.1128, -0.1348, -0.159, -0.1136, -0.1248, -0.0629, -0.0866, -0.1271, -0.1151, -0.102, -0.0938, -0.0966, -0.0871, -0.0516, -0.0441, -0.0896, -0.0995, -0.1006, -0.0943, -0.1117, -0.0916, -0.1221, -0.1542, -0.1479, -0.1312, -0.1262, -0.1413, -0.1413, -0.1063, -0.1158, -0.0859, -0.0749, -0.0602, -0.0595, -0.0473, -0.0375, -0.0337, -0.0063, -0.0219, -0.0387, 0.012, -0.0038, -0.0045, -0.0149, -0.0215, -0.0332, -0.0204, 0.0057, 0.0267, 0.0466, 0.0445, 0.0267, 0.0278, 0.0509, 0.0357, 0.0204, 0.0441, 0.0136, -0.0156, -0.0163, -0.0052, -0.005, -0.0285, -0.0285, -0.0278, -0.04, -0.0602, -0.0586, -0.0586, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2018238476303626710", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-02-02T08:22:04+00:00", "symbol": "GLXY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I personally added $GLXY on the 9% drop", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bought ETH, SOL, IBIT, GLXY, HOOD, NBIS, and CRCL on the dip; buyer at current levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLXY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’m just citing risks for extended selloffs given $ETH if you’re using margin. \n\nOther than that I’m a buyer at these levels, I don’t know what’s going to happen.\n\nI personally added $GLXY on the 9% drop + and $HOOD, $NBIS, $CRCL, $SOL, $ETH and $IBIT ON drop since they’re all down a ton.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit bro you're too early on the selloff warning but good call on liquidation cascade", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MacroBombastic", "ret_m1d": 0.06883508540326466, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06883508540326466, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07378185534941939, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07975494563382268, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946769946154728, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01091986023055802, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.16868384651037804, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.16868384651037804, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.16022845007967745, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.1594297060202028, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00845539643070059, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009254140490175256, "ret_p1w": -0.20007567355050704, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.20007567355050704, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.19797623580026646, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.19840995381012427, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0020994377502405737, "bench_c_p1w": -0.001665719740382765, "ret_p1m": -0.21785174404449514, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.21785174404449514, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1961667654929954, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.16565855348294922, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684978551499756, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05219319056154592, "ret_p3m": 0.03782148183816747, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.03782148183816747, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0015656748311938529, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06802748407814607, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03625580700697362, "bench_c_p3m": -0.030206002239978602, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1891, 0.149, 0.1936, 0.2023, 0.1626, 0.1827, 0.0303, -0.0038, -0.053, -0.0325, -0.0257, -0.0911, -0.1142, -0.0628, -0.0363, -0.0076, -0.0076, 0.0057, -0.062, -0.0408, 0.0231, 0.0427, -0.0352, -0.0132, 0.1138, 0.1165, 0.1293, 0.0117, -0.0719, -0.0806, -0.1373, -0.1486, -0.0923, -0.0692, -0.07, -0.076, -0.076, -0.115, -0.1241, -0.1384, -0.1543, -0.1543, -0.0639, -0.0053, -0.0136, -0.0352, -0.0356, -0.0567, -0.0359, 0.0144, 0.0662, 0.2099, 0.2977, 0.2977, 0.2141, 0.2273, 0.1694, 0.2065, 0.1831, 0.2549, 0.2065, 0.1331, 0.0688, 0.0, -0.1687, -0.2375, -0.3631, -0.2526, -0.2001, -0.1986, -0.2284, -0.2379, -0.1808, -0.1808, -0.1944, -0.1781, -0.1819, -0.1982, -0.2307, -0.1853, -0.1365, -0.1702, -0.2213, -0.1781, -0.2179, -0.0794, -0.1403, -0.2226, -0.187, -0.1744, -0.1884, -0.2197, -0.1547, -0.1263, -0.1112, -0.1838, -0.2039, -0.2163, -0.1793, -0.1944, -0.1933, -0.2583, -0.3192, -0.3514, -0.3022, -0.343, -0.3328, -0.3328, -0.3086, -0.2954, -0.2814, -0.2001, -0.1808, -0.149, -0.1029, -0.0908, -0.076, -0.0227, 0.0136, -0.0564, 0.0136, -0.0061, -0.0165, -0.0526, -0.003, -0.0386, 0.0378, 0.0632, 0.1033, 0.1467, 0.177, 0.1082, 0.1433, 0.1982, 0.1868, 0.1653, 0.2118, 0.1199, 0.0541, 0.042, 0.0503, 0.1184, 0.0836, 0.0836, 0.1203, 0.1335, 0.1396, 0.1188, 0.1188, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2018238476303626710", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-02-02T08:22:04+00:00", "symbol": "HOOD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I personally added $HOOD ON drop", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bought ETH, SOL, IBIT, GLXY, HOOD, NBIS, and CRCL on the dip; buyer at current levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["HOOD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’m just citing risks for extended selloffs given $ETH if you’re using margin. \n\nOther than that I’m a buyer at these levels, I don’t know what’s going to happen.\n\nI personally added $GLXY on the 9% drop + and $HOOD, $NBIS, $CRCL, $SOL, $ETH and $IBIT ON drop since they’re all down a ton.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit bro you're too early on the selloff warning but good call on liquidation cascade", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MacroBombastic", "ret_m1d": 0.10643976537682298, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.10643976537682298, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.11138653532297771, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.117359625607381, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946769946154728, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01091986023055802, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03158718553675266, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03158718553675266, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02313178910605207, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.022333045046577404, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00845539643070059, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009254140490175256, "ret_p1w": -0.037259548071038595, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.037259548071038595, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03516011032079802, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03559382833065583, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0020994377502405737, "bench_c_p1w": -0.001665719740382765, "ret_p1m": -0.15393174734256765, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15393174734256765, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1322467687910679, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10173855678102173, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684978551499756, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05219319056154592, "ret_p3m": -0.1893004513315758, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1893004513315758, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.22555625833854942, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1590944490915972, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03625580700697362, "bench_c_p3m": -0.030206002239978602, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.5847, 0.4134, 0.4499, 0.5113, 0.4674, 0.479, 0.3517, 0.3625, 0.2898, 0.2713, 0.3142, 0.1813, 0.1934, 0.2787, 0.2854, 0.4259, 0.4259, 0.4291, 0.3707, 0.4008, 0.4864, 0.5246, 0.4676, 0.5174, 0.5094, 0.5088, 0.3723, 0.3291, 0.2819, 0.328, 0.288, 0.3031, 0.3497, 0.361, 0.3373, 0.3396, 0.3396, 0.3139, 0.3061, 0.2841, 0.2579, 0.2579, 0.2814, 0.3707, 0.3536, 0.301, 0.2834, 0.2821, 0.3071, 0.3373, 0.331, 0.2273, 0.2094, 0.2094, 0.1765, 0.1781, 0.1817, 0.19, 0.1901, 0.1705, 0.15, 0.126, 0.1064, 0.0, -0.0316, -0.1033, -0.1916, -0.0789, -0.0373, -0.0479, -0.1328, -0.209, -0.155, -0.155, -0.1609, -0.1635, -0.1586, -0.1535, -0.2016, -0.1837, -0.1377, -0.1163, -0.1564, -0.1238, -0.1539, -0.0856, -0.104, -0.1426, -0.1175, -0.1266, -0.1248, -0.1534, -0.1837, -0.1624, -0.1397, -0.1669, -0.1752, -0.2115, -0.1937, -0.2317, -0.1932, -0.2176, -0.2657, -0.2753, -0.2292, -0.2202, -0.2337, -0.2337, -0.2239, -0.2253, -0.2011, -0.2201, -0.2305, -0.2029, -0.1203, -0.0288, -0.034, 0.0093, 0.0152, -0.0387, -0.0165, -0.0708, -0.0578, -0.0663, -0.0872, -0.2081, -0.1893, -0.1807, -0.1486, -0.1433, -0.1208, -0.1516, -0.1433, -0.1015, -0.1295, -0.1464, -0.1024, -0.142, -0.1419, -0.1752, -0.1574, -0.1556, -0.181, -0.181, -0.176, -0.1522, -0.0564, 0.0488, 0.0488, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2018238476303626710", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2026-02-02T08:22:04+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I personally added $NBIS ON drop", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bought ETH, SOL, IBIT, GLXY, HOOD, NBIS, and CRCL on the dip; buyer at current levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’m just citing risks for extended selloffs given $ETH if you’re using margin. \n\nOther than that I’m a buyer at these levels, I don’t know what’s going to happen.\n\nI personally added $GLXY on the 9% drop + and $HOOD, $NBIS, $CRCL, $SOL, $ETH and $IBIT ON drop since they’re all down a ton.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit bro you're too early on the selloff warning but good call on liquidation cascade", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MacroBombastic", "ret_m1d": -0.03368876017843925, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03368876017843925, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02874199023228452, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.037114875802182645, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946769946154728, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0034261156237433976, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.020303915741579637, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.020303915741579637, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.028759312172280227, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03643158323855811, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00845539643070059, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01612766749697847, "ret_p1w": 0.05353894504586121, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05353894504586121, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05563838279610178, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07685308337384844, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0020994377502405737, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023314138327987233, "ret_p1m": -0.01542650356009545, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.01542650356009545, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.006258474991404306, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0011372177295448926, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684978551499756, "bench_c_p1m": -0.014289285830550558, "ret_p3m": 0.5679445325040233, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5679445325040233, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5316887254970497, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5912435769663942, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03625580700697362, "bench_c_p3m": -0.023299044462370855, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3271, 0.2414, 0.2623, 0.2472, 0.1595, 0.0703, 0.0053, -0.0524, -0.0247, 0.027, 0.0784, -0.0399, -0.0556, 0.0424, 0.0082, 0.0741, 0.0741, 0.0761, 0.136, 0.094, 0.1221, 0.1661, 0.1121, 0.138, 0.0936, 0.0616, 0.0694, -0.0053, -0.0796, -0.0818, -0.1442, -0.1142, 0.0147, 0.0575, 0.0212, 0.0337, 0.0337, -0.0065, -0.024, -0.0339, -0.0505, -0.0505, 0.0203, 0.053, 0.137, 0.0913, 0.1037, 0.1108, 0.2174, 0.1959, 0.1568, 0.1784, 0.2333, 0.2333, 0.1262, 0.1215, 0.0986, 0.0719, 0.0374, 0.1101, 0.1392, 0.0766, -0.0337, 0.0, 0.0203, -0.0654, -0.1621, -0.0234, 0.0535, 0.0412, 0.0051, 0.0178, 0.1117, 0.1117, 0.1062, 0.1547, 0.2206, 0.1107, 0.1412, 0.1636, 0.2037, 0.1897, 0.0344, 0.0323, -0.0154, 0.1091, 0.085, 0.0133, 0.0769, 0.0938, 0.2704, 0.2255, 0.2812, 0.4729, 0.3195, 0.3448, 0.3784, 0.3342, 0.2948, 0.3034, 0.3055, 0.202, 0.1436, 0.0465, 0.177, 0.1564, 0.2343, 0.2343, 0.2765, 0.3317, 0.4179, 0.5464, 0.6444, 0.7532, 0.8369, 0.8917, 0.8755, 0.7824, 0.8054, 0.7757, 0.7711, 0.7818, 0.6692, 0.6443, 0.5371, 0.6015, 0.5679, 0.7524, 1.0011, 0.9955, 1.2129, 1.0958, 1.0083, 1.1109, 1.0316, 1.3511, 1.5085, 1.4948, 1.267, 1.2429, 1.1758, 1.4947, 1.4361, 1.4361, 1.36, 1.3635, 1.5674, 1.6213, 1.6213, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2018238476303626710", "ticker_idx": 6, "ts": "2026-02-02T08:22:04+00:00", "symbol": "CRCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I personally added $CRCL ON drop", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bought ETH, SOL, IBIT, GLXY, HOOD, NBIS, and CRCL on the dip; buyer at current levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’m just citing risks for extended selloffs given $ETH if you’re using margin. \n\nOther than that I’m a buyer at these levels, I don’t know what’s going to happen.\n\nI personally added $GLXY on the 9% drop + and $HOOD, $NBIS, $CRCL, $SOL, $ETH and $IBIT ON drop since they’re all down a ton.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit bro you're too early on the selloff warning but good call on liquidation cascade", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MacroBombastic", "ret_m1d": 0.08613658923293599, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08613658923293599, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.09108335917909072, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.09705644946349401, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946769946154728, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01091986023055802, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04587157211929438, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04587157211929438, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03741617568859379, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.036617431629119124, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00845539643070059, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009254140490175256, "ret_p1w": 0.021066901986260822, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.021066901986260822, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.023166339736501396, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.022732621726643587, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0020994377502405737, "bench_c_p1w": -0.001665719740382765, "ret_p1m": 0.692660486243629, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.692660486243629, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.7143454647951287, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.7448536768051749, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684978551499756, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05219319056154592, "ret_p3m": 0.5440026556410726, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5440026556410726, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.507746848634099, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5742086578810512, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03625580700697362, "bench_c_p3m": -0.030206002239978602, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.9203, 0.6991, 0.7523, 0.7686, 0.6701, 0.4662, 0.3989, 0.3913, 0.3012, 0.3014, 0.1845, 0.1371, 0.2119, 0.2358, 0.1911, 0.2341, 0.2341, 0.358, 0.2902, 0.3157, 0.466, 0.4859, 0.4546, 0.4264, 0.51, 0.502, 0.5048, 0.4181, 0.282, 0.4101, 0.3456, 0.376, 0.4633, 0.4781, 0.4055, 0.404, 0.404, 0.3807, 0.3678, 0.3573, 0.3473, 0.3473, 0.4181, 0.4407, 0.4416, 0.3692, 0.3896, 0.4084, 0.4084, 0.4179, 0.4407, 0.3014, 0.3355, 0.3355, 0.2351, 0.2341, 0.2122, 0.2119, 0.2046, 0.1886, 0.2375, 0.1476, 0.0861, 0.0, -0.0459, -0.0647, -0.1466, -0.0309, 0.0211, 0.0151, -0.017, -0.0379, 0.02, 0.02, 0.0469, 0.0729, 0.052, 0.0707, 0.0392, 0.0426, 0.4125, 0.4817, 0.4176, 0.6334, 0.6927, 0.7885, 0.7965, 0.7314, 0.9001, 1.0063, 0.9166, 0.9399, 0.9602, 1.1378, 1.2479, 1.2569, 1.1803, 1.1412, 1.1515, 0.7188, 0.7645, 0.6696, 0.5912, 0.5275, 0.621, 0.5416, 0.5335, 0.5335, 0.5656, 0.599, 0.6045, 0.4458, 0.4958, 0.6765, 0.7922, 0.7927, 0.8257, 0.7994, 0.807, 0.6313, 0.773, 0.6991, 0.6932, 0.6215, 0.603, 0.6235, 0.544, 0.6938, 1.0308, 0.94, 1.0693, 0.9241, 0.9312, 1.2385, 1.1007, 1.1504, 1.1047, 0.9368, 0.8925, 0.8863, 0.8964, 0.9517, 0.9218, 0.9218, 0.7698, 0.7438, 0.8389, 0.9198, 0.9198, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2023705448411734355", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-17T10:25:52+00:00", "symbol": "Raspberry Pi", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "TAM of Raspberry Pi just shot through the roof from education to AI agents", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Raspberry Pi: TAM expansion from education into AI agents dramatically increases addressable market.", "resolved_tickers": ["RPI.L"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Raspberry Pi Holdings listed on LSE as RPI.L", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Electronic Components'", "bench_c_industry": "Electronic Components", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@dirtyculture OpenAI just bought OpenClaw... Don't quite think it will.\n\nThere's going to be a ton of other agentic variants from $META Manus to OpenAI OpenClaw, Picoclaw, and others. \n\nTAM of Raspberry Pi just shot through the roof from education to AI agents.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit lol wait people are actually trading on raspberry pi drama now? that's wild!\n\nOpenClaw will dissapear...", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "dirtyculture", "ret_m1d": -0.2650602409638554, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.2650602409638554, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.2634493735736533, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.26563375943835754, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0016108673902021087, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0005735184745021549, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.012048192771084376, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.012048192771084376, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01708595131270141, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.022300547471887477, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005037758541617032, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010252354700803101, "ret_p1w": 0.07084335878670944, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07084335878670944, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06425334896089341, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06482097666962017, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0065900098258160344, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0060223821170892755, "ret_p1m": -0.21445783132530116, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.21445783132530116, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1830893415334215, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.20356021357383092, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03136848979187967, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010897617751470245, "ret_p3m": 0.6939759036144579, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6939759036144579, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.608541763963109, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.42871101278122414, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08543413965134894, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2652648908332338, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2366, -0.2573, -0.2212, -0.2087, -0.2251, -0.1995, -0.2154, -0.2149, -0.2159, -0.1875, -0.2077, -0.2145, -0.2178, -0.2092, -0.2246, -0.2386, -0.2535, -0.2559, -0.2651, -0.2708, -0.252, -0.2665, -0.2684, -0.254, -0.2627, -0.2627, -0.2627, -0.2636, -0.2699, -0.2766, -0.2766, -0.2805, -0.3181, -0.2419, -0.2867, -0.3137, -0.2959, -0.3012, -0.3161, -0.3051, -0.2805, -0.2776, -0.3176, -0.3258, -0.3142, -0.319, -0.3248, -0.3354, -0.3316, -0.3316, -0.3552, -0.3537, -0.3402, -0.372, -0.3802, -0.3605, -0.347, -0.3687, -0.3605, -0.361, -0.3446, -0.3166, -0.2651, 0.0, -0.012, -0.08, -0.0781, -0.0222, 0.0708, -0.0333, -0.053, -0.1007, -0.0969, -0.1913, -0.2034, -0.2294, -0.2559, -0.2848, -0.281, -0.2516, -0.2964, -0.2959, -0.3012, -0.1639, -0.2145, -0.1952, -0.253, -0.228, -0.2723, -0.2453, -0.2636, -0.2969, -0.2959, 0.0357, 0.1764, 0.1749, 0.1749, 0.1749, 0.119, 0.147, 0.187, 0.2108, 0.2241, 0.341, 0.4976, 0.5663, 0.6024, 0.4663, 0.4217, 0.4506, 0.4494, 0.4349, 0.4205, 0.341, 0.3759, 0.4964, 0.5711, 0.5711, 0.6241, 0.6651, 0.7313, 0.7373, 0.7337, 0.6289, 0.7036, 0.747, 0.694, 0.6795, 0.5494, 0.5205, 0.6217, 0.8048, 0.8048, 0.8855, 0.9, 0.9157, 0.9639, 0.9639, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2020276214611800320", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-07T23:19:19+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$RKLB is my most bullish pick with Bitcoin on a 10 year timeframe", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Most bullish on RKLB over a 10-year horizon; willing to trim if overextended above $90 but core long conviction intact.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yeah sorry for not clarifying the nuance. $RKLB is my most bullish pick with Bitcoin on a 10 year timeframe. \n\nThat being said, if it looks overextended to $90+, I’m not afraid to trim and wait for opportunities to buy it if it drops again.\n\nMarkets don’t move in a straight line up", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Appreciate the reply. You mentioned it along with $RKLB as long-term conviction holds. Hence my confusion...", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "0xcyberbro", "ret_m1d": -0.046413460087520786, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.046413460087520786, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04161476647940254, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.043419725048928326, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00299373503859246, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05023731200643833, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05023731200643833, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.047600151574357485, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0514462932820281, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001208981275589771, "ret_p1w": -0.1107594185403149, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1107594185403149, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09317884875597171, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11346526733520079, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00270584879488589, "ret_p1m": -0.09111282128665565, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09111282128665565, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06694675867160182, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0699269308134528, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02118589047320285, "ret_p3m": 0.03612876615864402, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.03612876615864402, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.02097613756453942, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03158689377399981, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "bench_c_p3m": 0.004541872384644208, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3411, -0.4033, -0.3995, -0.4289, -0.4359, -0.4248, -0.4794, -0.4686, -0.4403, -0.4383, -0.4471, -0.4471, -0.4444, -0.4677, -0.4475, -0.4103, -0.349, -0.3532, -0.3201, -0.2955, -0.2416, -0.1623, -0.1892, -0.2694, -0.2683, -0.2885, -0.2099, -0.0701, 0.0225, 0.0177, 0.0177, 0.0177, -0.0684, -0.0754, -0.0711, -0.0802, -0.0802, 0.002, 0.0303, 0.1344, 0.1086, 0.0955, 0.1188, 0.159, 0.1416, 0.2104, 0.1967, 0.2698, 0.2698, 0.1756, 0.158, 0.1601, 0.1722, 0.0612, 0.1472, 0.1679, 0.1297, 0.0558, -0.0223, 0.0716, -0.036, -0.1255, -0.0464, 0.0, -0.0502, -0.082, -0.1296, -0.1108, -0.1108, -0.0785, -0.0187, 0.0098, -0.0657, -0.0742, -0.0774, -0.0744, -0.0421, -0.0889, -0.0642, -0.0753, -0.0518, -0.077, -0.0756, -0.0575, -0.0911, -0.0512, -0.0985, -0.098, -0.0597, 0.0363, -0.0839, -0.0516, -0.1135, -0.1034, -0.1288, -0.039, -0.1305, -0.1966, -0.2434, -0.1532, -0.1361, -0.1069, -0.1069, -0.1077, -0.1255, -0.0891, -0.12, -0.1027, -0.0688, -0.0477, -0.0295, 0.0935, 0.1181, 0.1796, 0.1424, 0.1872, 0.1155, 0.0506, 0.085, 0.0363, 0.0156, 0.0879, 0.0392, 0.0589, 0.0385, 0.1162, 0.0361, 0.3907, 0.5473, 0.5501, 0.637, 0.7478, 0.6452, 0.7294, 0.6787, 0.7706, 0.6541, 0.7901, 0.7901, 0.8882, 0.9809, 0.9519, 0.8919, 0.8919, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2030667380855083222", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-08T15:30:06+00:00", "symbol": "EWY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the sell-off destroyed more value in one day than DECADES of hiked energy cost increases could have. The fact that the math doesn't support the fear is precisely why it's Korea is a buy", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long KOSPI/EWY, SK Hynix, Samsung: energy/helium selloff driven by bad math; 70%+ margins easily absorb cost headwinds, making the dislocation a buy.", "resolved_tickers": ["EWY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The sentiment around KOSPI | $EWY (SK Hynix / Samsung) on \n\nCrude Oil / LNG / Helium either:\n\nDisrupting Supply or Compressing Margins are overblown. \n\nThe supply chain disruption and energy cost threats to SK Hynix, Samsung are sensationalized noise. \n\nHere's why:\n\n1. Crude Oil:\n\nThe a likely scenario if oil prices increase 31% and oil floats to $120/bbl:\n\nIn this case, the effect on oil has almost no material impact on SK Hynix and South Korean memory equities. \n\nThere are increased energy costs via oil-pegged LNG/JKM prices on Korean equities, mainly for companies surviving on razor-thin 5% to 10% margins.\n\nHowever, a KEPCO 70% rate hike has little material affect on Samsung/SK Hynix, given memory prices have soared with Samsung doubling NAND prices Q2. \n\nFrom disclosed financial from, their SK Hynix's annual electricity bill exceeds ₩1 trillion per DIGITIMES (~$750M). Which against FY2025 revenue of ₩97.15 trillion represents roughly 1–2% of revenue. \n\nSK Hynix posted a 58% operating margin in Q4 2025. Against this backdrop, the energy cost shock is small:\n\n If we model a 50% increase in energy costs: \n\n- Hit to SK Hynix quarterly OP (₩19.17T): ~₩134 billion-~₩146 billion (0.76%)\n\n- Hit to Samsung DS quarterly OP (₩16.4T): ~₩407 billion (2.4%)\n\nEvery 50% energy cost spike would shave roughly .7% off SK Hynix margins and 2.4% off Samsung operating margins. \n\nAnalysts project SK Hynix margins could reach 70%+ on conventional DRAM in 2026. Energy costs do not meaningfully threaten Korean semiconductor operating margins, even if they were to increase by 100%. \n\nHowever, this is material to companies with low operating margins of 5-10%\n\nThe Losers: Traditional heavy manufacturing (steel, basic chemicals, standard flat glass). \nThe Winners: Samsung/SK Hynix. \n\nThe main risk is second-order effects on supply chains such as increased material costs. This is very hard to model, but in an example where: \n\nan industrial company forces 30% price hikes on raw materials (chemicals, specialty gases), it barely dents the fabs. \n\nMaterials are roughly 15-20% of semiconductor COGS, so mathematically, a 30% spike in material costs only shaves an additional ~2% off SK Hynix's operating margins. \n\nA combined 3-4% direct (utilities) and indirect (materials) energy headwind is easily absorbed by an oligopoly printing 70% margins (and increasing prices). \n\nIn majority of cases, the costs likely get passed down to hyperscalers through NAND/DRAM price hikes. \n\nIn the very worst case scenario of oil prices increasing 3x or 5x. \n\nThe main affect on oil increasing hundreds of percent are two factors:\n\n- Global macroeconomic shock, causing global inflation (affecting every single company, from $GOOGL to $COST). \n\n- KRW (South korean Won) USD/KRW exchange rate blowout. \n\nKRW depreciation from sustained high oil is a real second order risk, but historically Korean memory exporters benefit from won weakness on the revenue side. The majority of Samsung/SK Hynix sales are dollar denominated wheras costs are won denominated. So a weaker KRW is actually margin accretive for exporters, which partially offsets the energy cost headwind. \n\nBut in an extreme case of oil prices hiking 5x, the only longs in that apocalyptic world are crude oil itself, defense contractors like $LMT / $NOC, domestic US energy producers, and the US Dollar. \n\nThis is unlikely to happen. \n\nThe financial media and algorithms will likely panic, but , if crude oil goes from $91 to $120 and KEPCO increases energy costs:\n\nThe data shows there's little affect on Samsung / SK Hynix in specific, and the main impact are on players with razer-thin operating margins. \n\n2. LNG:\n\nIf the Hormuz closed, the majority of South Korea’s LNG imports would be unaffected.  \n\nThe media has been quoting Hormuz + LNG flows going to China, INdia, SK, and Japan. But if we look at the trade data from South Korea, that’s just a fraction of their total imports.   \n\nMajority of imports arrive via Hormuz free routes, eg. Australia (24.6%), US (12.2%), Malaysia, Indonesia (~20%), and Russia/Sakhalin (~4.6%). Then the rest filled in with minor sources from Nigeria, Peru, Brunei, PNG, etc.\n\nThe 82% of 2024 important were long term contracts that were oil-indexed, and as we've modeled above, increasing energy costs would hurt opex by 1-2% per 50% increase, but given DRAM/NAND price hikes and operating margins hitting 70%+, this would make a very little dent. \n\nEven if they did, costs would be passed onto hyperscalers.\n\nSouth Korea learned their lesson from 2022 and diversified sources, and there's little impact on LNG supply disruption. The main concern is oil impacting hiking of LNG. \n\n3. Helium:\n\nSK Hynix statement:  “Long secured diverse supply chains and sufficient inventory\" of helium.   \n\n\"Therefore there is almost no chance that the company will be affected [by helium].\n\nThe reality is larger players like $TSM to SK Hynix have diversified their supply chains against foreign events. \n\nHelium is critical to semiconductor supply chains, but the media narrative is sensational. Especially when the largest memory company puts out an assertive statement that there’s no chance the company [SK Hynix] will be affected.\n\n_\n\nBut to South Korean equities in Samsung/SK Hynix, fears around Oil/LNG/Helium look disconnected from reality: \n\nThe algorithms selling off SK Hynix because of helium and KEPCO rate hikes are acting on bad math. It is fundamentally a supply chain non-issue. \n\nThe main threat is oil and energy costs on global macroeconomic shock affecting everything from consumer goods to inflation.\n\nMarch 3 \"Black Tuesday\" crash dropped KOSPI dropped 7.2% and SK Hynix fell 11.5% in a single session on exactly these energy security fears as the main catalyst. Of course, forced liquidations from leverage added fuel to the fire.  \n\nHowever, the disconnect between fundamentals and price action is the trade. If margins were actually threatened, the selloff would be justified. \n\nBut, the sell-off destroyed more value in one day than DECADES of hiked energy cost increases could have.\n\nThe fact that the math doesn't support the fear is precisely why it's Korea is a buy, as markets are selling off on emotion rather than looking at the structural expanding profitability despite increasing oil/energy costs.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.053476705245757206, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.053476705245757206, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04479275188140197, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04479275188140197, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02681302826391818, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02681302826391818, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.025205901358551053, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.025205901358551053, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "ret_p1w": -0.005900315854313831, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.005900315854313831, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0077225908698849155, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0077225908698849155, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "ret_p1m": -0.05004105593236852, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05004105593236852, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02460909151275603, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02460909151275603, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2933, -0.3063, -0.3231, -0.3226, -0.3314, -0.3384, -0.3273, -0.3178, -0.3147, -0.3076, -0.2934, -0.2934, -0.2842, -0.2627, -0.2634, -0.2739, -0.2739, -0.2365, -0.217, -0.1963, -0.2006, -0.2039, -0.1867, -0.1864, -0.1968, -0.1811, -0.1706, -0.1618, -0.1618, -0.1712, -0.1362, -0.1337, -0.1189, -0.1238, -0.0836, -0.0622, -0.0701, -0.0857, -0.0968, -0.0715, -0.1018, -0.1022, -0.0686, -0.0586, -0.0705, -0.0246, -0.0231, 0.0006, 0.0006, -0.024, -0.0072, 0.0099, 0.0597, 0.0404, 0.0796, 0.112, 0.1234, 0.1306, 0.1019, -0.0116, 0.0036, -0.0609, -0.0535, 0.0, -0.0268, -0.0078, -0.0776, -0.0727, -0.0059, 0.004, -0.015, 0.0069, -0.0606, -0.0006, -0.0384, -0.0459, -0.1038, -0.0964, -0.1304, -0.0813, -0.0573, -0.0823, -0.0823, -0.0594, -0.05, 0.0462, 0.0403, 0.0361, 0.0548, 0.0955, 0.0824, 0.1014, 0.1377, 0.121, 0.0963, 0.1636, 0.1247, 0.1545, 0.1706, 0.153, 0.1499, 0.2007, 0.2099, 0.2218, 0.2956, 0.3592, 0.3201, 0.4206, 0.4404, 0.3332, 0.4088, 0.423, 0.3359, 0.3153, 0.2997, 0.3452, 0.3923, 0.3595, 0.3595, 0.4986, 0.481, 0.5416, 0.5373, 0.5373, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2030667380855083222", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-08T15:30:06+00:00", "symbol": "000660.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "algorithms selling off SK Hynix because of helium and KEPCO rate hikes are acting on bad math. It is fundamentally a supply chain non-issue", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long KOSPI/EWY, SK Hynix, Samsung: energy/helium selloff driven by bad math; 70%+ margins easily absorb cost headwinds, making the dislocation a buy.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The sentiment around KOSPI | $EWY (SK Hynix / Samsung) on \n\nCrude Oil / LNG / Helium either:\n\nDisrupting Supply or Compressing Margins are overblown. \n\nThe supply chain disruption and energy cost threats to SK Hynix, Samsung are sensationalized noise. \n\nHere's why:\n\n1. Crude Oil:\n\nThe a likely scenario if oil prices increase 31% and oil floats to $120/bbl:\n\nIn this case, the effect on oil has almost no material impact on SK Hynix and South Korean memory equities. \n\nThere are increased energy costs via oil-pegged LNG/JKM prices on Korean equities, mainly for companies surviving on razor-thin 5% to 10% margins.\n\nHowever, a KEPCO 70% rate hike has little material affect on Samsung/SK Hynix, given memory prices have soared with Samsung doubling NAND prices Q2. \n\nFrom disclosed financial from, their SK Hynix's annual electricity bill exceeds ₩1 trillion per DIGITIMES (~$750M). Which against FY2025 revenue of ₩97.15 trillion represents roughly 1–2% of revenue. \n\nSK Hynix posted a 58% operating margin in Q4 2025. Against this backdrop, the energy cost shock is small:\n\n If we model a 50% increase in energy costs: \n\n- Hit to SK Hynix quarterly OP (₩19.17T): ~₩134 billion-~₩146 billion (0.76%)\n\n- Hit to Samsung DS quarterly OP (₩16.4T): ~₩407 billion (2.4%)\n\nEvery 50% energy cost spike would shave roughly .7% off SK Hynix margins and 2.4% off Samsung operating margins. \n\nAnalysts project SK Hynix margins could reach 70%+ on conventional DRAM in 2026. Energy costs do not meaningfully threaten Korean semiconductor operating margins, even if they were to increase by 100%. \n\nHowever, this is material to companies with low operating margins of 5-10%\n\nThe Losers: Traditional heavy manufacturing (steel, basic chemicals, standard flat glass). \nThe Winners: Samsung/SK Hynix. \n\nThe main risk is second-order effects on supply chains such as increased material costs. This is very hard to model, but in an example where: \n\nan industrial company forces 30% price hikes on raw materials (chemicals, specialty gases), it barely dents the fabs. \n\nMaterials are roughly 15-20% of semiconductor COGS, so mathematically, a 30% spike in material costs only shaves an additional ~2% off SK Hynix's operating margins. \n\nA combined 3-4% direct (utilities) and indirect (materials) energy headwind is easily absorbed by an oligopoly printing 70% margins (and increasing prices). \n\nIn majority of cases, the costs likely get passed down to hyperscalers through NAND/DRAM price hikes. \n\nIn the very worst case scenario of oil prices increasing 3x or 5x. \n\nThe main affect on oil increasing hundreds of percent are two factors:\n\n- Global macroeconomic shock, causing global inflation (affecting every single company, from $GOOGL to $COST). \n\n- KRW (South korean Won) USD/KRW exchange rate blowout. \n\nKRW depreciation from sustained high oil is a real second order risk, but historically Korean memory exporters benefit from won weakness on the revenue side. The majority of Samsung/SK Hynix sales are dollar denominated wheras costs are won denominated. So a weaker KRW is actually margin accretive for exporters, which partially offsets the energy cost headwind. \n\nBut in an extreme case of oil prices hiking 5x, the only longs in that apocalyptic world are crude oil itself, defense contractors like $LMT / $NOC, domestic US energy producers, and the US Dollar. \n\nThis is unlikely to happen. \n\nThe financial media and algorithms will likely panic, but , if crude oil goes from $91 to $120 and KEPCO increases energy costs:\n\nThe data shows there's little affect on Samsung / SK Hynix in specific, and the main impact are on players with razer-thin operating margins. \n\n2. LNG:\n\nIf the Hormuz closed, the majority of South Korea’s LNG imports would be unaffected.  \n\nThe media has been quoting Hormuz + LNG flows going to China, INdia, SK, and Japan. But if we look at the trade data from South Korea, that’s just a fraction of their total imports.   \n\nMajority of imports arrive via Hormuz free routes, eg. Australia (24.6%), US (12.2%), Malaysia, Indonesia (~20%), and Russia/Sakhalin (~4.6%). Then the rest filled in with minor sources from Nigeria, Peru, Brunei, PNG, etc.\n\nThe 82% of 2024 important were long term contracts that were oil-indexed, and as we've modeled above, increasing energy costs would hurt opex by 1-2% per 50% increase, but given DRAM/NAND price hikes and operating margins hitting 70%+, this would make a very little dent. \n\nEven if they did, costs would be passed onto hyperscalers.\n\nSouth Korea learned their lesson from 2022 and diversified sources, and there's little impact on LNG supply disruption. The main concern is oil impacting hiking of LNG. \n\n3. Helium:\n\nSK Hynix statement:  “Long secured diverse supply chains and sufficient inventory\" of helium.   \n\n\"Therefore there is almost no chance that the company will be affected [by helium].\n\nThe reality is larger players like $TSM to SK Hynix have diversified their supply chains against foreign events. \n\nHelium is critical to semiconductor supply chains, but the media narrative is sensational. Especially when the largest memory company puts out an assertive statement that there’s no chance the company [SK Hynix] will be affected.\n\n_\n\nBut to South Korean equities in Samsung/SK Hynix, fears around Oil/LNG/Helium look disconnected from reality: \n\nThe algorithms selling off SK Hynix because of helium and KEPCO rate hikes are acting on bad math. It is fundamentally a supply chain non-issue. \n\nThe main threat is oil and energy costs on global macroeconomic shock affecting everything from consumer goods to inflation.\n\nMarch 3 \"Black Tuesday\" crash dropped KOSPI dropped 7.2% and SK Hynix fell 11.5% in a single session on exactly these energy security fears as the main catalyst. Of course, forced liquidations from leverage added fuel to the fire.  \n\nHowever, the disconnect between fundamentals and price action is the trade. If margins were actually threatened, the selloff would be justified. \n\nBut, the sell-off destroyed more value in one day than DECADES of hiked energy cost increases could have.\n\nThe fact that the math doesn't support the fear is precisely why it's Korea is a buy, as markets are selling off on emotion rather than looking at the structural expanding profitability despite increasing oil/energy costs.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.10526311066951677, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.10526311066951677, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.113947064033872, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.15873981591527397, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.053476705245757206, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.12200955542508463, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.12200955542508463, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.12361668233045175, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.1488225836890028, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02681302826391818, "ret_p1w": 0.16507170307476637, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16507170307476637, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.17869460979896512, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1709720189290802, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005900315854313831, "ret_p1m": 0.09569377775770538, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09569377775770538, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12112574217731786, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1457348336900739, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05004105593236852, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2991, -0.3254, -0.3182, -0.3385, -0.3672, -0.3421, -0.3409, -0.3469, -0.3075, -0.3027, -0.2979, -0.2979, -0.2848, -0.2359, -0.2227, -0.2227, -0.2227, -0.1917, -0.169, -0.1332, -0.1141, -0.0974, -0.1117, -0.1057, -0.1189, -0.1141, -0.1057, -0.0974, -0.0878, -0.1129, -0.1165, -0.0986, -0.0842, -0.1212, -0.0448, 0.0041, 0.028, 0.0853, -0.009, 0.0829, 0.0746, 0.0053, 0.0017, 0.0591, 0.0459, 0.0268, 0.0602, 0.0507, 0.0507, 0.0507, 0.0507, 0.0674, 0.1331, 0.1355, 0.1999, 0.2155, 0.3146, 0.2691, 0.2691, 0.1232, 0.0156, 0.1256, 0.1053, 0.0, 0.122, 0.1423, 0.1124, 0.0885, 0.1651, 0.1603, 0.2632, 0.2117, 0.2045, 0.116, 0.1794, 0.1902, 0.116, 0.116, 0.0443, -0.0347, 0.073, -0.0072, 0.0478, 0.0598, 0.0957, 0.2356, 0.1938, 0.2285, 0.244, 0.3194, 0.3589, 0.3816, 0.3493, 0.3947, 0.4641, 0.4629, 0.4653, 0.4617, 0.5455, 0.555, 0.5467, 0.5383, 0.5383, 0.7309, 0.7309, 0.9151, 0.9785, 1.0167, 1.2488, 1.195, 1.3636, 1.3565, 1.1758, 1.201, 1.0873, 1.0873, 1.3206, 1.3218, 1.3218, 1.4545, 1.683, 1.7385, 1.7911, 1.8492, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2030667380855083222", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-08T15:30:06+00:00", "symbol": "005930.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "fears around Oil/LNG/Helium look disconnected from reality", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long KOSPI/EWY, SK Hynix, Samsung: energy/helium selloff driven by bad math; 70%+ margins easily absorb cost headwinds, making the dislocation a buy.", "resolved_tickers": ["005930.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The sentiment around KOSPI | $EWY (SK Hynix / Samsung) on \n\nCrude Oil / LNG / Helium either:\n\nDisrupting Supply or Compressing Margins are overblown. \n\nThe supply chain disruption and energy cost threats to SK Hynix, Samsung are sensationalized noise. \n\nHere's why:\n\n1. Crude Oil:\n\nThe a likely scenario if oil prices increase 31% and oil floats to $120/bbl:\n\nIn this case, the effect on oil has almost no material impact on SK Hynix and South Korean memory equities. \n\nThere are increased energy costs via oil-pegged LNG/JKM prices on Korean equities, mainly for companies surviving on razor-thin 5% to 10% margins.\n\nHowever, a KEPCO 70% rate hike has little material affect on Samsung/SK Hynix, given memory prices have soared with Samsung doubling NAND prices Q2. \n\nFrom disclosed financial from, their SK Hynix's annual electricity bill exceeds ₩1 trillion per DIGITIMES (~$750M). Which against FY2025 revenue of ₩97.15 trillion represents roughly 1–2% of revenue. \n\nSK Hynix posted a 58% operating margin in Q4 2025. Against this backdrop, the energy cost shock is small:\n\n If we model a 50% increase in energy costs: \n\n- Hit to SK Hynix quarterly OP (₩19.17T): ~₩134 billion-~₩146 billion (0.76%)\n\n- Hit to Samsung DS quarterly OP (₩16.4T): ~₩407 billion (2.4%)\n\nEvery 50% energy cost spike would shave roughly .7% off SK Hynix margins and 2.4% off Samsung operating margins. \n\nAnalysts project SK Hynix margins could reach 70%+ on conventional DRAM in 2026. Energy costs do not meaningfully threaten Korean semiconductor operating margins, even if they were to increase by 100%. \n\nHowever, this is material to companies with low operating margins of 5-10%\n\nThe Losers: Traditional heavy manufacturing (steel, basic chemicals, standard flat glass). \nThe Winners: Samsung/SK Hynix. \n\nThe main risk is second-order effects on supply chains such as increased material costs. This is very hard to model, but in an example where: \n\nan industrial company forces 30% price hikes on raw materials (chemicals, specialty gases), it barely dents the fabs. \n\nMaterials are roughly 15-20% of semiconductor COGS, so mathematically, a 30% spike in material costs only shaves an additional ~2% off SK Hynix's operating margins. \n\nA combined 3-4% direct (utilities) and indirect (materials) energy headwind is easily absorbed by an oligopoly printing 70% margins (and increasing prices). \n\nIn majority of cases, the costs likely get passed down to hyperscalers through NAND/DRAM price hikes. \n\nIn the very worst case scenario of oil prices increasing 3x or 5x. \n\nThe main affect on oil increasing hundreds of percent are two factors:\n\n- Global macroeconomic shock, causing global inflation (affecting every single company, from $GOOGL to $COST). \n\n- KRW (South korean Won) USD/KRW exchange rate blowout. \n\nKRW depreciation from sustained high oil is a real second order risk, but historically Korean memory exporters benefit from won weakness on the revenue side. The majority of Samsung/SK Hynix sales are dollar denominated wheras costs are won denominated. So a weaker KRW is actually margin accretive for exporters, which partially offsets the energy cost headwind. \n\nBut in an extreme case of oil prices hiking 5x, the only longs in that apocalyptic world are crude oil itself, defense contractors like $LMT / $NOC, domestic US energy producers, and the US Dollar. \n\nThis is unlikely to happen. \n\nThe financial media and algorithms will likely panic, but , if crude oil goes from $91 to $120 and KEPCO increases energy costs:\n\nThe data shows there's little affect on Samsung / SK Hynix in specific, and the main impact are on players with razer-thin operating margins. \n\n2. LNG:\n\nIf the Hormuz closed, the majority of South Korea’s LNG imports would be unaffected.  \n\nThe media has been quoting Hormuz + LNG flows going to China, INdia, SK, and Japan. But if we look at the trade data from South Korea, that’s just a fraction of their total imports.   \n\nMajority of imports arrive via Hormuz free routes, eg. Australia (24.6%), US (12.2%), Malaysia, Indonesia (~20%), and Russia/Sakhalin (~4.6%). Then the rest filled in with minor sources from Nigeria, Peru, Brunei, PNG, etc.\n\nThe 82% of 2024 important were long term contracts that were oil-indexed, and as we've modeled above, increasing energy costs would hurt opex by 1-2% per 50% increase, but given DRAM/NAND price hikes and operating margins hitting 70%+, this would make a very little dent. \n\nEven if they did, costs would be passed onto hyperscalers.\n\nSouth Korea learned their lesson from 2022 and diversified sources, and there's little impact on LNG supply disruption. The main concern is oil impacting hiking of LNG. \n\n3. Helium:\n\nSK Hynix statement:  “Long secured diverse supply chains and sufficient inventory\" of helium.   \n\n\"Therefore there is almost no chance that the company will be affected [by helium].\n\nThe reality is larger players like $TSM to SK Hynix have diversified their supply chains against foreign events. \n\nHelium is critical to semiconductor supply chains, but the media narrative is sensational. Especially when the largest memory company puts out an assertive statement that there’s no chance the company [SK Hynix] will be affected.\n\n_\n\nBut to South Korean equities in Samsung/SK Hynix, fears around Oil/LNG/Helium look disconnected from reality: \n\nThe algorithms selling off SK Hynix because of helium and KEPCO rate hikes are acting on bad math. It is fundamentally a supply chain non-issue. \n\nThe main threat is oil and energy costs on global macroeconomic shock affecting everything from consumer goods to inflation.\n\nMarch 3 \"Black Tuesday\" crash dropped KOSPI dropped 7.2% and SK Hynix fell 11.5% in a single session on exactly these energy security fears as the main catalyst. Of course, forced liquidations from leverage added fuel to the fire.  \n\nHowever, the disconnect between fundamentals and price action is the trade. If margins were actually threatened, the selloff would be justified. \n\nBut, the sell-off destroyed more value in one day than DECADES of hiked energy cost increases could have.\n\nThe fact that the math doesn't support the fear is precisely why it's Korea is a buy, as markets are selling off on emotion rather than looking at the structural expanding profitability despite increasing oil/energy costs.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.08472625011460999, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08472625011460999, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.09341020347896523, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.10239941511345074, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01767316499884075, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08299717427857112, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08299717427857112, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08460430118393825, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08299717427857112, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.08760810333736901, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08760810333736901, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10123101006156776, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09462006679973212, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007011963462363102, "ret_p1m": 0.1349090664939756, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1349090664939756, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1603410309135881, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.15035790484955236, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.015448838355576755, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3805, -0.3845, -0.3754, -0.3989, -0.4104, -0.3811, -0.3828, -0.3903, -0.3662, -0.3605, -0.3628, -0.3628, -0.3289, -0.3112, -0.3089, -0.3089, -0.3089, -0.2594, -0.204, -0.1994, -0.1873, -0.2, -0.1988, -0.2, -0.2069, -0.1914, -0.1706, -0.1418, -0.1395, -0.1631, -0.1383, -0.1222, -0.1233, -0.1233, -0.0807, -0.064, -0.0738, -0.0749, -0.1331, -0.0346, -0.0254, -0.0818, -0.0859, -0.0409, -0.0444, -0.0329, 0.0294, 0.0444, 0.0444, 0.0444, 0.0444, 0.0951, 0.0957, 0.1124, 0.1527, 0.1729, 0.2565, 0.2478, 0.2478, 0.1245, -0.0075, 0.1043, 0.0847, 0.0, 0.083, 0.0951, 0.083, 0.0576, 0.0876, 0.1176, 0.2017, 0.1556, 0.1493, 0.0738, 0.0934, 0.0893, 0.038, 0.038, 0.0182, -0.0343, 0.0953, 0.0304, 0.0754, 0.1153, 0.1349, 0.2158, 0.1782, 0.1898, 0.1609, 0.1927, 0.2187, 0.2562, 0.2475, 0.2389, 0.2649, 0.2562, 0.2966, 0.2677, 0.2966, 0.2822, 0.3053, 0.2735, 0.2735, 0.3428, 0.3428, 0.5363, 0.5681, 0.5508, 0.6489, 0.6114, 0.6403, 0.7096, 0.5623, 0.6229, 0.5912, 0.5941, 0.7298, 0.6894, 0.6894, 0.7269, 0.7731, 0.7298, 0.8309, 1.0013, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2019546899666419753", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-05T23:01:16+00:00", "symbol": "VPG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$VPG may be used for high-end or high precision Optimus versions, like the Tesla giga factory grade/industrial versions. So the first thousands of Tesla humanoids may use $VPG.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "VPG likely used in high-end/industrial Optimus versions and first thousands of Tesla humanoids, implying durable demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["VPG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Scientific & Technical Instruments'", "bench_c_industry": "Scientific & Technical Instruments", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It’s a lot more nuanced than that. From my research, for cheap mass production $20k Optimus, it’s possible Tesla is designing two different models.\n\nThe mass production models may just be Chinese supply chains. However, the mass-market Chinese sensors haven't quite matched US high cost ultra specialized precision sensing. \n\n$VPG may be used for high-end or high precision Optimus versions, like the Tesla giga factory grade/industrial versions.\n\nSo the first thousands of Tesla humanoids may use $VPG. This was just talking about possible mass production/consumer grade versions that likely went to China manufacturers for the lowest cost possible.\n\nThis also signals the threat China has on Made in America robotics supply chains.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Does any of them replace $VPG?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LuffyDDK", "ret_m1d": 0.0357417482250002, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0357417482250002, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.023094583861267948, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.017383090883666297, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012647164363732255, "bench_c_m1d": 0.018358657341333906, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07571096382385711, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07571096382385711, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05652625198290573, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03515950909674026, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.019184711840951385, "bench_c_p1d": 0.040551454727116854, "ret_p1w": -0.10299770399796981, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10299770399796981, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10838422837515604, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12939309645156938, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00538652437718623, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026395392453599564, "ret_p1m": -0.1648732067661176, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1648732067661176, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15714019932718826, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.17711231166034036, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007733007438929351, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012239104894222752, "ret_p3m": 0.22886240656960632, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.22886240656960632, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.15783938601728686, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.006154042494139977, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07102302055231946, "bench_c_p3m": 0.22270836407546635, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.343, -0.3542, -0.3553, -0.3841, -0.386, -0.4154, -0.4179, -0.412, -0.4374, -0.4018, -0.3766, -0.3532, -0.3457, -0.3457, -0.344, -0.3378, -0.3276, -0.2942, -0.2829, -0.2504, -0.2719, -0.2932, -0.2633, -0.2508, -0.2713, -0.2686, -0.2588, -0.2688, -0.2659, -0.2552, -0.2558, -0.2435, -0.2415, -0.2415, -0.2373, -0.2469, -0.2519, -0.2602, -0.2602, -0.2452, -0.244, -0.2056, -0.2308, -0.2241, -0.1993, -0.2016, -0.2023, -0.1962, -0.1603, -0.162, -0.162, -0.1599, -0.1005, -0.0817, -0.1518, -0.1747, -0.1357, -0.1474, -0.0319, -0.0377, -0.0269, 0.015, 0.0357, 0.0, 0.0757, 0.0582, 0.0298, -0.1078, -0.103, -0.1507, -0.1507, -0.1274, -0.1155, -0.0986, -0.0805, -0.1005, -0.1009, -0.0717, -0.0919, -0.1147, -0.0542, -0.0857, -0.0972, -0.1355, -0.1649, -0.1628, -0.1441, -0.1568, -0.1985, -0.212, -0.2091, -0.2156, -0.2102, -0.1681, -0.2191, -0.19, -0.1781, -0.1257, -0.1829, -0.2016, -0.2183, -0.1656, -0.1551, -0.1397, -0.1397, -0.1138, -0.102, -0.0569, -0.054, -0.0411, -0.0015, -0.0046, -0.0238, -0.0127, 0.0227, 0.0215, 0.0457, 0.1013, 0.1105, 0.1649, 0.1257, 0.0993, 0.0813, 0.161, 0.1572, 0.1535, 0.2289, 0.2216, 0.1997, 0.2921, 0.2798, 0.6443, 0.9139, 0.9281, 0.8701, 1.0217, 0.8822, 0.9352, 0.9992, 1.186, 1.186, 1.3714, 1.4197, 1.4068, 1.408, 1.408, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2036802025460289559", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-25T13:46:59+00:00", "symbol": "TSEM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Probably see it doubling again in 5 months", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Expects TSEM to double in 5 months from current $21B MC.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSEM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@vatsalBN Probably see it doubling again in 5 months", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Whats the growth upside do you see for TSEM? Currently at 21B MC.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "vatsalBN", "ret_m1d": -0.041962477156080036, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.041962477156080036, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03642060174447925, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03642060174447925, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005541875411600783, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005541875411600783, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07449407866999369, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07449407866999369, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.056635334511854984, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.056635334511854984, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017858744158138706, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017858744158138706, "ret_p1w": -0.008848140936425941, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.008848140936425941, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.006442585270908907, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.006442585270908907, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002405555665517034, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002405555665517034, "ret_p1m": 0.06638761478551869, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06638761478551869, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01221840255117157, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01221840255117157, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07860601733669026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07860601733669026, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3557, -0.3583, -0.3607, -0.3779, -0.3779, -0.355, -0.368, -0.3521, -0.3524, -0.3784, -0.364, -0.3573, -0.3389, -0.3473, -0.343, -0.3121, -0.3121, -0.3165, -0.2931, -0.3113, -0.3185, -0.3269, -0.2973, -0.2639, -0.2863, -0.2862, -0.2747, -0.2773, -0.3574, -0.3161, -0.2633, -0.2183, -0.2764, -0.2877, -0.2923, -0.3179, -0.3179, -0.323, -0.32, -0.3332, -0.3193, -0.3248, -0.3324, -0.3326, -0.3439, -0.3384, -0.2657, -0.3349, -0.3457, -0.3613, -0.4141, -0.3883, -0.3807, -0.3672, -0.3719, -0.3392, -0.2663, -0.2696, -0.2479, -0.1201, -0.133, -0.088, -0.042, 0.0, -0.0745, -0.0891, -0.1598, -0.0703, -0.0088, 0.048, 0.048, 0.0077, 0.0112, 0.0792, 0.0799, 0.0787, 0.1098, 0.1344, 0.1425, 0.1378, 0.1998, 0.1894, 0.1482, 0.092, 0.0664, 0.0625, 0.0773, 0.0255, 0.0553, 0.1712, 0.1551, 0.1395, 0.1949, 0.149, 0.1126, 0.118, 0.2127, 0.17, 0.4346, 0.4872, 0.4516, 0.3143, 0.3314, 0.4013, 0.4783, 0.5017, 0.5017, 0.5287, 0.4718, 0.4597, 0.3523, 0.3523, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013640586893406716", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-20T15:51:42+00:00", "symbol": "FIG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I ended up initiating $FIG positions myself", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Initiated long FIG and added to META via DCA.", "resolved_tickers": ["FIG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@charlieliner Nice! Going from -5% to +7% on some of these names like $LPTH was extremely profitable 6 hour buy.\n\nI ended up initiating $FIG positions myself and DCA $META (even though I told myself I wouldn’t buy software stuff).\n\nCurious to see how that turns out https://t.co/FHRRQrj0Ub", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Bought $LPTH, some $OSS and $DPRO, I'm too big in $ONDS now. Bought some $IBRX for a swing too, already +36% during the day. Pretty nice opening so far. Reratings in $ONDS are coming hotttt, 16/17/19/25$ PT", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "QGrowthCap", "ret_m1d": 0.06520170933065184, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06520170933065184, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04442191376132287, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04442191376132287, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.020779795569328963, "bench_c_m1d": 0.020779795569328963, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02485592681442894, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02485592681442894, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0363970060165234, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0363970060165234, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011541079202094462, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011541079202094462, "ret_p1w": 0.02521609689550841, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02521609689550841, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0012161845979292707, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0012161845979292707, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02643228149343768, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02643228149343768, "ret_p1m": -0.12860229342181162, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12860229342181162, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1414568665566065, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1414568665566065, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012854573134794878, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012854573134794878, "ret_p3m": -0.31844380690568763, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.31844380690568763, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3693594454952398, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3693594454952398, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091563858955217, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05091563858955217, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.9218, 0.9222, 0.9143, 0.8692, 0.8303, 0.7594, 0.7954, 0.7352, 0.6502, 0.5854, 0.6563, 0.594, 0.6001, 0.6023, 0.585, 0.4611, 0.388, 0.3465, 0.3242, 0.2875, 0.2093, 0.236, 0.2777, 0.2788, 0.3015, 0.3015, 0.2957, 0.2857, 0.3033, 0.3462, 0.3945, 0.3678, 0.3563, 0.3858, 0.4143, 0.3937, 0.2994, 0.2637, 0.2947, 0.3458, 0.3325, 0.4222, 0.4139, 0.3829, 0.3999, 0.3999, 0.3883, 0.3628, 0.3555, 0.3462, 0.3462, 0.3548, 0.3354, 0.3505, 0.3422, 0.3426, 0.3447, 0.3112, 0.2089, 0.1657, 0.1383, 0.0652, 0.0652, 0.0, -0.0249, 0.0238, 0.0421, 0.0508, 0.0252, 0.0829, -0.0249, -0.0663, -0.1354, -0.2295, -0.1891, -0.2003, -0.2079, -0.2028, -0.1318, -0.187, -0.2068, -0.1884, -0.1884, -0.1679, -0.1286, -0.0684, -0.0602, -0.1084, -0.0119, 0.1254, 0.0886, 0.0587, 0.0551, 0.1073, 0.0677, 0.0915, 0.0486, 0.098, 0.0213, 0.0029, -0.0573, -0.0623, -0.0216, -0.0112, -0.0901, -0.1275, -0.1452, -0.1643, -0.2122, -0.2403, -0.2021, -0.2727, -0.2738, -0.2385, -0.2644, -0.2338, -0.2338, -0.2284, -0.2367, -0.2741, -0.3127, -0.3458, -0.3091, -0.3365, -0.2673, -0.268, -0.3184, -0.3152, -0.3256, -0.3094, -0.3761, -0.3707, -0.3764, -0.3811, -0.3927, -0.3624, -0.3249, -0.281, -0.3004, -0.3051, -0.2594, -0.2558, -0.2777, -0.3037, -0.3177, -0.2709, -0.1744, -0.1225, -0.1617, -0.1866, -0.2223, -0.1819, -0.1819, -0.2089, -0.2313, -0.1549, -0.0814, -0.0814, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013640586893406716", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-20T15:51:42+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "DCA $META", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Initiated long FIG and added to META via DCA.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@charlieliner Nice! Going from -5% to +7% on some of these names like $LPTH was extremely profitable 6 hour buy.\n\nI ended up initiating $FIG positions myself and DCA $META (even though I told myself I wouldn’t buy software stuff).\n\nCurious to see how that turns out https://t.co/FHRRQrj0Ub", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Bought $LPTH, some $OSS and $DPRO, I'm too big in $ONDS now. Bought some $IBRX for a swing too, already +36% during the day. Pretty nice opening so far. Reratings in $ONDS are coming hotttt, 16/17/19/25$ PT", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "QGrowthCap", "ret_m1d": 0.026700008645589968, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.026700008645589968, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005920213076261005, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011718116046184779, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.020779795569328963, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014981892599405189, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014632888532054578, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014632888532054578, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0030918093299601157, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004409981000873309, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011541079202094462, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010222907531181269, "ret_p1w": 0.11396738034073728, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11396738034073728, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0875350988472996, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08373911714702209, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02643228149343768, "bench_c_p1w": 0.030228263193715188, "ret_p1m": 0.06472220101552817, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06472220101552817, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05186762788073329, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05485179590754807, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012854573134794878, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009870405107980096, "ret_p3m": 0.1407328123396332, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1407328123396332, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08981717375008103, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08776672636438665, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091563858955217, "bench_c_p3m": 0.052966085975246546, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.214, 0.2212, 0.2418, 0.2428, 0.2432, 0.1023, 0.0723, 0.0547, 0.0376, 0.0518, 0.0237, 0.0283, 0.0449, 0.0372, 0.0073, 0.0087, 0.008, -0.0043, -0.0114, -0.0236, -0.0256, -0.0171, 0.014, 0.0523, 0.048, 0.048, 0.0717, 0.06, 0.0703, 0.0579, 0.0941, 0.1138, 0.1029, 0.0866, 0.0753, 0.0796, 0.0655, 0.0718, 0.0878, 0.0751, 0.0999, 0.0905, 0.095, 0.1007, 0.105, 0.105, 0.0979, 0.0903, 0.1023, 0.0926, 0.0926, 0.0766, 0.0905, 0.0935, 0.0738, 0.0694, 0.081, 0.0627, 0.0446, 0.0189, 0.0276, 0.0267, 0.0267, 0.0, 0.0146, 0.072, 0.0904, 0.113, 0.114, 0.1069, 0.2221, 0.186, 0.1693, 0.145, 0.1074, 0.1094, 0.0949, 0.121, 0.1102, 0.1069, 0.0756, 0.059, 0.059, 0.0582, 0.0647, 0.0673, 0.0853, 0.0548, 0.0582, 0.0821, 0.0875, 0.0729, 0.0818, 0.0844, 0.1053, 0.0934, 0.0674, 0.0716, 0.0827, 0.084, 0.0564, 0.0159, 0.0395, 0.0316, 0.02, 0.0051, -0.0165, 0.0008, -0.0177, -0.0144, -0.0929, -0.129, -0.1114, -0.0521, -0.0404, -0.0483, -0.0483, -0.0507, -0.0473, 0.0146, 0.0411, 0.0435, 0.0512, 0.0976, 0.1126, 0.1214, 0.1407, 0.1115, 0.1081, 0.1178, 0.092, 0.1183, 0.1243, 0.1122, 0.1085, 0.0138, 0.0085, 0.0113, 0.0022, 0.0154, 0.0219, 0.01, -0.0079, -0.001, 0.0216, 0.0246, 0.0176, 0.0126, -0.0016, 0.0024, 0.0063, 0.011, 0.011, 0.0145, 0.0524, 0.0525, 0.0479, 0.0479, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2018396671206736123", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-02T18:50:41+00:00", "symbol": "AVAV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "AVAV is scaling triple digits Y/Y off billions in defense contracts. So at $13-14B I think this is a good long", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AVAV at $13-14B valuation; triple-digit Y/Y growth off billions in defense contracts makes it cheap vs RKLB.", "resolved_tickers": ["AVAV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "They’re all running it down Toplane. Hence why $VPG is the hard carry.\n\nJokes aside $AIRO, $LPTH and $AVAV were all mentioned last month.\n\n$AIRO was up 24.9% since I mentioned it. Cost averaged up, so slightly green/breakeven after the drop. This was my catchup play to $ONDS and nothing about the thesis changed.\n\n$LPTH is down a few percent as a Germanium choke point fix. Nothing too dire materially changed. This was a long term US germanium supply chain pivot away from China into black diamond. Short term prices in 2-3 weeks don’t matter much. \n\n$AVAV is up, but I did talk about it in the $320s. $RKLB is a $45B+ launch company and AVAV is scaling triple digits Y/Y off billions in defense contracts. So at $13-14B I think this is a good long", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Hows your $AIRO $AVAV $LPTH", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "willynilly53634", "ret_m1d": 0.03111235496831033, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03111235496831033, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03605912491446506, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04358769173189092, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946769946154728, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012475336763580591, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.057113278215790375, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.057113278215790375, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06556867464649097, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04869686030506992, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00845539643070059, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008416417910720453, "ret_p1w": 0.01614880561074039, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01614880561074039, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.018248243360980965, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.020680409617452877, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0020994377502405737, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03682921522819327, "ret_p1m": -0.15441308452371372, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15441308452371372, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13272810597221396, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2016284884491164, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684978551499756, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04721540392540269, "ret_p3m": -0.2776769090470115, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2776769090470115, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3139327160539851, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.32268707575322697, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03625580700697362, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04501016670621549, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2989, 0.2157, 0.221, 0.2366, 0.2152, 0.1975, 0.0944, 0.0786, 0.0506, 0.0406, 0.0387, 0.0148, 0.0094, 0.0259, 0.0314, 0.0341, 0.0341, 0.0351, -0.0451, -0.0187, 0.0066, 0.0647, 0.0311, 0.0462, 0.0423, -0.0916, -0.075, -0.1148, -0.1284, -0.1309, -0.1515, -0.1456, -0.0999, -0.0541, -0.0327, -0.0344, -0.0344, -0.0555, -0.0772, -0.0963, -0.1041, -0.1041, -0.0511, 0.1016, 0.1742, 0.1796, 0.2777, 0.3519, 0.3729, 0.3477, 0.4141, 0.4022, 0.4551, 0.4551, 0.2256, 0.1839, 0.156, 0.1399, 0.121, 0.1466, 0.1369, 0.086, 0.0311, 0.0, 0.0571, -0.047, -0.1226, -0.0474, 0.0161, -0.0249, -0.0984, -0.1292, -0.0967, -0.0967, -0.0259, -0.0168, 0.0433, -0.0199, -0.0321, -0.0287, -0.0547, -0.0384, -0.0657, -0.2284, -0.1544, -0.1612, -0.1831, -0.1489, -0.1582, -0.1793, -0.2306, -0.2152, -0.233, -0.2152, -0.1759, -0.2005, -0.2172, -0.2677, -0.236, -0.2734, -0.2629, -0.2744, -0.3169, -0.3445, -0.322, -0.3203, -0.3172, -0.3172, -0.299, -0.3079, -0.3076, -0.3418, -0.3343, -0.28, -0.2795, -0.2651, -0.2519, -0.291, -0.2695, -0.2219, -0.2218, -0.2522, -0.273, -0.275, -0.2876, -0.3203, -0.2777, -0.3149, -0.3323, -0.3826, -0.3542, -0.3771, -0.3767, -0.3835, -0.3746, -0.4037, -0.3879, -0.4148, -0.4018, -0.4065, -0.3931, -0.3959, -0.3547, -0.3547, -0.3249, -0.3286, -0.2059, -0.2324, -0.2324, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2021469143694967038", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-11T06:19:35+00:00", "symbol": "RDDT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm just long $RDDT shares", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds long RDDT shares; avoids calls due to high IV.", "resolved_tickers": ["RDDT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@number1invest_ I’m just long $RDDT shares. IV is really high for Reddit calls so not a fan.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Good stock for Leaps?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "vincentinvests", "ret_m1d": 0.07674637774909354, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07674637774909354, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07651526553416299, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06955091717667705, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00023111221493055112, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00719546057241649, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05901347087459741, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05901347087459741, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04356459664669621, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.041024753881273246, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0154488742279012, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01798871699332416, "ret_p1w": 0.058654704727792994, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.058654704727792994, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06684888427323865, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0770717401167399, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.008194179545445657, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0184170353889469, "ret_p1m": -0.05054198883957939, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05054198883957939, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.013111981434789977, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03794990005670906, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03743000740478941, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012592088782870325, "ret_p3m": 0.14516477992189092, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.14516477992189092, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07383265371427883, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.15194195312800196, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07133212620761209, "bench_c_p3m": -0.006777173206111042, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3878, 0.3465, 0.3331, 0.3481, 0.3058, 0.3173, 0.4, 0.5685, 0.4901, 0.4901, 0.5541, 0.6038, 0.5993, 0.5855, 0.5992, 0.6807, 0.7011, 0.6951, 0.7095, 0.6766, 0.6138, 0.5687, 0.6082, 0.6321, 0.6609, 0.6741, 0.6738, 0.6212, 0.6214, 0.6214, 0.6209, 0.6846, 0.6754, 0.6503, 0.6503, 0.7366, 0.7521, 0.8222, 0.8343, 0.8232, 0.7558, 0.7519, 0.8589, 0.8119, 0.6423, 0.6585, 0.6585, 0.6179, 0.5086, 0.5402, 0.5714, 0.5337, 0.4093, 0.3866, 0.3644, 0.2942, 0.2718, 0.1875, 0.0962, 0.0844, 0.0039, 0.0176, 0.0767, 0.0, -0.059, 0.0026, 0.0026, -0.0004, 0.0587, 0.0491, 0.0781, 0.0228, 0.02, 0.0745, 0.0859, 0.0468, 0.0561, 0.0459, 0.0574, 0.0363, 0.0007, -0.0031, -0.037, -0.0156, -0.0505, -0.0498, 0.0051, 0.0362, 0.0251, -0.0084, 0.004, 0.012, -0.0228, 0.0024, -0.0864, -0.1253, -0.1088, -0.0333, -0.0223, -0.0236, -0.0236, -0.0068, 0.0133, 0.041, -0.0065, 0.0032, 0.0722, 0.1095, 0.1378, 0.1663, 0.176, 0.1938, 0.1259, 0.1796, 0.0981, 0.112, 0.1502, 0.062, 0.0607, 0.057, 0.1952, 0.2138, 0.2322, 0.1958, 0.177, 0.1185, 0.1452, 0.0938, 0.1065, 0.1222, 0.1355, 0.1423, 0.1119, 0.0533, 0.0772, 0.0171, 0.0171, 0.0384, 0.107, 0.2039, 0.2636, 0.2636, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2036854584174694447", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-25T17:15:50+00:00", "symbol": "ARM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ARM and $AAOI seems promising long term at these levels too!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "High conviction long SIVE at ~$400M MC; also bullish ARM and AAOI long term at current levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["ARM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Jornka329996 Thanks! $SIVE is high conviction for me personally. Even so at these levels around ~$400m MC. \n\n$ARM and $AAOI seems promising long term at these levels too!\n\nI did have two more large cap companies I'm looking at this week.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @aleabitoreddit im a massive fan of yours. First time in history retail has the chance to get in first. \nThanks\nReally sitting on cash and waiting for your next good play where you have conviction", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Jornka329996", "ret_m1d": -0.1407652612170115, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1407652612170115, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1352233858054107, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12966307887589212, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005541875411600783, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011102182341119371, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.014452181617177096, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014452181617177096, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0034065625409616107, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.031109427265425316, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017858744158138706, "bench_c_p1d": -0.04556160888260241, "ret_p1w": -0.012733175697074106, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.012733175697074106, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.010327620031557072, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0049350815007556115, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002405555665517034, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017668257197829718, "ret_p1m": 0.30266754357502723, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.30266754357502723, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.22406152623833697, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09508391525959037, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07860601733669026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.20758362831543686, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.298, -0.2964, -0.2942, -0.3041, -0.3041, -0.2696, -0.2608, -0.2645, -0.2635, -0.2801, -0.2883, -0.2924, -0.3134, -0.3316, -0.3308, -0.3265, -0.3265, -0.3177, -0.2747, -0.2411, -0.261, -0.2696, -0.2686, -0.2999, -0.3097, -0.3292, -0.3192, -0.3344, -0.3321, -0.2941, -0.2125, -0.2067, -0.1981, -0.2024, -0.2221, -0.2024, -0.2024, -0.1921, -0.1899, -0.1919, -0.2005, -0.2119, -0.1842, -0.1613, -0.1771, -0.1886, -0.2082, -0.2251, -0.2098, -0.2321, -0.2718, -0.2511, -0.2325, -0.2354, -0.2671, -0.2631, -0.2252, -0.1895, -0.1828, -0.1735, -0.1574, -0.1285, -0.1408, 0.0, -0.0145, -0.0824, -0.128, -0.0369, -0.0127, -0.0507, -0.0507, -0.0528, -0.0841, -0.052, -0.0463, -0.0518, 0.0032, 0.0264, 0.0145, 0.0335, 0.0615, 0.1148, 0.1173, 0.2515, 0.3027, 0.4949, 0.3744, 0.2647, 0.2841, 0.339, 0.3445, 0.2941, 0.3296, 0.5108, 0.3581, 0.3578, 0.3539, 0.3237, 0.4084, 0.4548, 0.3316, 0.3696, 0.4207, 0.6345, 0.8987, 0.9514, 0.9514, 1.0451, 0.9272, 1.1345, 1.2493, 1.2493, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2036854584174694447", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-25T17:15:50+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ARM and $AAOI seems promising long term at these levels too!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "High conviction long SIVE at ~$400M MC; also bullish ARM and AAOI long term at current levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Jornka329996 Thanks! $SIVE is high conviction for me personally. Even so at these levels around ~$400m MC. \n\n$ARM and $AAOI seems promising long term at these levels too!\n\nI did have two more large cap companies I'm looking at this week.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @aleabitoreddit im a massive fan of yours. First time in history retail has the chance to get in first. \nThanks\nReally sitting on cash and waiting for your next good play where you have conviction", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Jornka329996", "ret_m1d": -0.004457670832147431, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004457670832147431, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0010842045794533517, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0010842045794533517, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005541875411600783, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005541875411600783, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.14850104841654554, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.14850104841654554, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.13064230425840684, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.13064230425840684, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017858744158138706, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017858744158138706, "ret_p1w": -0.2452583191139367, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.2452583191139367, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.24285276344841966, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.24285276344841966, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002405555665517034, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002405555665517034, "ret_p1m": 0.20382826080751948, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.20382826080751948, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12522224347082922, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12522224347082922, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07860601733669026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07860601733669026, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6751, -0.6788, -0.6852, -0.6953, -0.6953, -0.6539, -0.6942, -0.6625, -0.6674, -0.7115, -0.7025, -0.7053, -0.7012, -0.6987, -0.6766, -0.6763, -0.6763, -0.6568, -0.6645, -0.6666, -0.6878, -0.695, -0.6732, -0.6047, -0.6541, -0.6188, -0.614, -0.5969, -0.6513, -0.6667, -0.6128, -0.5812, -0.5762, -0.577, -0.6155, -0.6114, -0.6114, -0.6162, -0.6203, -0.5894, -0.5483, -0.5284, -0.5082, -0.492, -0.5307, -0.2638, -0.104, -0.1667, -0.1285, -0.116, -0.1646, -0.0331, 0.0531, 0.1101, -0.0718, -0.1538, -0.1778, -0.2454, -0.1904, -0.1092, -0.2349, -0.163, -0.0045, 0.0, -0.1485, -0.1416, -0.2554, -0.2606, -0.2453, -0.0918, -0.0918, -0.0608, 0.0282, 0.1599, 0.1651, 0.3163, 0.339, 0.2795, 0.246, 0.3751, 0.3934, 0.4288, 0.3161, 0.306, 0.2038, 0.4174, 0.2742, 0.1997, 0.3358, 0.4366, 0.604, 0.5119, 0.5783, 0.5605, 0.3771, 0.3018, 0.6161, 0.6457, 0.95, 0.7793, 0.6638, 0.5144, 0.4975, 0.4445, 0.5454, 0.5863, 0.5863, 0.5525, 0.5718, 0.4773, 0.3846, 0.3846, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2025982782011551925", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-23T17:15:10+00:00", "symbol": "SPY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "calls will likely go up from index going up anyway", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Expects index to go up, lifting calls; also bought more leaps expecting IV expansion to ~55%.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Veri_ta5321 @TheValueist Probably on tail end for the IV trade but calls will likely go up from index going up anyway. \n\nActually just bought more leaps at 47% IV today since I expect it to expand further to ~55% long term.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @TheValueist I guess it's already late to go in? Family issues got me distracted for some weeks :S", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Veri_ta5321", "ret_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "ret_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "ret_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "ret_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0069, -0.0069, -0.0015, -0.006, -0.0042, -0.0008, -0.0, 0.0019, -0.0011, -0.002, 0.0046, 0.007, -0.0039, -0.0054, -0.0081, -0.019, -0.0116, -0.0026, 0.0036, 0.0082, 0.0117, 0.0117, 0.0116, 0.008, 0.0068, -0.0007, -0.0007, 0.0011, 0.0078, 0.0138, 0.0105, 0.0104, 0.0171, 0.0187, 0.0167, 0.0117, 0.0144, 0.0136, 0.0136, -0.007, 0.0044, 0.0097, 0.01, 0.0152, 0.0192, 0.0191, 0.0171, 0.014, 0.0191, 0.0105, 0.0056, -0.007, 0.0121, 0.0169, 0.0143, 0.014, -0.0016, -0.0009, -0.0009, 0.0007, 0.0057, 0.0031, 0.0103, 0.0, 0.0073, 0.0158, 0.0101, 0.0053, 0.0058, -0.003, 0.004, -0.0016, -0.0147, -0.006, -0.0076, -0.0089, -0.0239, -0.0295, -0.0196, -0.017, -0.0307, -0.0331, -0.047, -0.037, -0.0402, -0.0348, -0.0521, -0.0682, -0.0714, -0.0444, -0.0372, -0.0363, -0.0363, -0.0317, -0.0313, -0.0066, -0.0009, -0.0016, 0.0082, 0.0205, 0.0285, 0.031, 0.0435, 0.0414, 0.0346, 0.0451, 0.041, 0.0491, 0.0509, 0.0458, 0.0456, 0.056, 0.059, 0.0551, 0.0635, 0.0783, 0.075, 0.0839, 0.0864, 0.0847, 0.0908, 0.0994, 0.0862, 0.0854, 0.0782, 0.0892, 0.0914, 0.0957, 0.0957, 0.1029, 0.1028, 0.1088, 0.1116, 0.1116, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2034534975865843929", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-19T07:38:32+00:00", "symbol": "Sivers Semiconductors", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "ended up going long", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Disclosed long positions in Sivers Semiconductors and POET Technologies, catalyzed by NVDA GTC and Jabil announcement in silicon photonics/CPO space.", "resolved_tickers": ["SIVE.ST"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Sivers Semiconductors on Nasdaq Stockholm as SIVE.ST", "bench_c": "FEZ", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='ST')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Was aware of it for awhile from all the $POET shilling back on Reddit as it's their #1 favorite stock over there. \n\nAnd Sivers got name dropped from time to time. \n\nJust felt like silicon photonics/CPO was quite a ways away so never went long. \n\nBut $NVDA GTC was the catalyst it needed, especially with the new Jabil announcement.  So ended up going long.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit How do you find these picks?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Kaizen_Investor", "ret_m1d": -0.14966632307722794, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.14966632307722794, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.15213675153929462, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.14403567514275561, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002470428462066687, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0056306479344723215, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.19590080041368918, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.19590080041368918, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.18156502454118495, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.16115175546033178, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01433577587250423, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0347490449533574, "ret_p1w": 0.08102959008731436, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08102959008731436, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10065406603841265, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10688471900462826, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019624475951098286, "bench_c_p1w": -0.025855128917313897, "ret_p1m": 1.2554814455339223, "ret_signed_p1m": 1.2554814455339223, "alpha_spy_p1m": 1.1762462070002473, "alpha_c_p1m": 1.1661341692223366, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07923523853367498, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08934727631158568, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6139, -0.6015, -0.6015, -0.6015, -0.6015, -0.6072, -0.604, -0.604, -0.604, -0.592, -0.6092, -0.6092, -0.5888, -0.6145, -0.6162, -0.6185, -0.6133, -0.6538, -0.6522, -0.6582, -0.6726, -0.6778, -0.694, -0.6713, -0.669, -0.6673, -0.6656, -0.6669, -0.6795, -0.6816, -0.6778, -0.6873, -0.6829, -0.69, -0.673, -0.6866, -0.6908, -0.6932, -0.7176, -0.711, -0.7058, -0.706, -0.7045, -0.693, -0.6988, -0.7051, -0.693, -0.6993, -0.7235, -0.7117, -0.7112, -0.7173, -0.6847, -0.6786, -0.6568, -0.6711, -0.65, -0.6071, -0.6101, -0.596, -0.2979, -0.3418, -0.1497, 0.0, -0.1959, 0.0858, 0.1878, 0.3794, 0.081, -0.0548, -0.0467, 0.021, 0.0629, -0.0562, -0.0562, -0.0562, -0.0806, 0.1239, 0.0839, 0.2774, 0.6063, 0.5214, 0.9809, 1.1735, 1.2555, 1.9685, 2.2602, 1.8599, 1.7035, 2.0467, 1.8198, 2.0429, 2.8017, 2.6225, 2.6225, 4.3337, 4.2145, 3.6006, 3.7417, 3.1487, 3.7188, 3.1125, 4.4004, 4.4004, 4.3098, 3.5853, 3.3337, 4.1478, 4.6292, 5.9495, 7.1554, 7.2793, 5.9971, 5.6921, 5.5729, 5.5729, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2034534975865843929", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-19T07:38:32+00:00", "symbol": "POET", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "all the $POET shilling back on Reddit as it's their #1 favorite stock over there", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Disclosed long positions in Sivers Semiconductors and POET Technologies, catalyzed by NVDA GTC and Jabil announcement in silicon photonics/CPO space.", "resolved_tickers": ["POET"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Was aware of it for awhile from all the $POET shilling back on Reddit as it's their #1 favorite stock over there. \n\nAnd Sivers got name dropped from time to time. \n\nJust felt like silicon photonics/CPO was quite a ways away so never went long. \n\nBut $NVDA GTC was the catalyst it needed, especially with the new Jabil announcement.  So ended up going long.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit How do you find these picks?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Kaizen_Investor", "ret_m1d": -0.008025712773962246, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.008025712773962246, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010496141236028933, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004860514866794841, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002470428462066687, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0031651979071674052, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04815412356603477, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04815412356603477, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03381834769353054, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.022376693080805143, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01433577587250423, "bench_c_p1d": -0.025777430485229624, "ret_p1w": -0.11878013574474655, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11878013574474655, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09915565979364827, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08312730324422246, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019624475951098286, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03565283250052409, "ret_p1m": 0.16532908614044106, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.16532908614044106, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08609384760676608, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.009997531605268728, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07923523853367498, "bench_c_p1m": 0.1753266177457098, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2215, 0.1477, 0.1268, 0.1268, 0.0931, 0.0498, 0.0465, 0.0161, 0.0161, 0.1493, 0.1926, 0.1798, 0.1958, 0.1685, 0.1862, 0.1573, 0.1461, 0.2986, 0.3339, 0.3323, 0.3323, 0.3226, 0.3435, 0.114, 0.1091, 0.0369, 0.0899, -0.0016, -0.0449, -0.069, -0.0626, -0.0305, -0.0995, -0.1685, -0.0578, -0.0032, -0.0626, -0.0642, -0.0931, -0.1043, -0.1043, -0.114, -0.1043, -0.1059, -0.0867, -0.114, -0.0193, 0.0209, 0.0016, -0.0369, 0.1091, 0.13, 0.0979, 0.0658, 0.008, 0.0738, 0.1236, 0.1942, 0.1942, 0.0963, 0.1091, 0.0546, -0.008, 0.0, -0.0482, -0.0273, -0.0787, -0.0209, -0.1188, -0.1669, -0.1846, -0.0465, -0.1011, -0.0193, -0.0193, -0.0241, -0.0433, -0.0016, -0.0241, 0.13, 0.1717, 0.077, 0.1188, 0.1782, 0.1653, 0.3788, 0.6453, 1.0498, 0.8812, 1.4238, 0.2761, 0.2889, 0.0594, 0.1429, 0.1734, 0.1413, 0.4783, 0.5602, 0.5377, 0.7576, 1.2311, 1.2039, 1.3066, 2.3018, 1.5634, 1.2809, 1.0979, 1.3724, 1.3788, 1.3419, 1.3419, 1.1429, 1.1316, 1.1284, 0.9727, 0.9727, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2033651209371013588", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-16T21:06:46+00:00", "symbol": "MU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "memory is critical to the AI buildout. United States wont let their buildout stall... Just know that directionally, memory is critical to the AI buildout.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Remained bullish on memory names (EWY/MU/SNDK); Iran conflict supply disruption fears overblown, memory critical to AI buildout long-term.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just a reminder:\n\nWhile the entire community was doomposting about memory names.\n\nFrom $EWY (SK Hynix, Samsung), $MU and $SNDK.\n\nduring the initial Iran conflict. \n\nSayin “Kospi and memory names would drop 30-40% because of Helium or LNG.”\n\nI was one of the only few analysts that remained bullish the entire time.\n\nAs I actually did the research to back up my claims about little material disruption of LNG, Crude, and Helium.\n\nThe Iran conflict is still ongoing, and there’s a lot of unknowns still regarding potential oil spikes:\n\nBut fear and sensational headlines drive short term prices. Operating income drives long term prices. \n\nJust know that directionally, memory is critical to the AI buildout. \n\nUnited Stares wont let their buildout stall, and lose China, in AI - the most transformative technology in history.\n\nOver a Middle East conflict.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The sentiment around KOSPI | $EWY (SK Hynix / Samsung) on \n\nCrude Oil / LNG / Helium either:\n\nDisrupting Supply or Compressing Margins are overblown. \n\nThe supply chain disruption and energy cost threats to SK Hynix, Samsung are sensationalized noise. \n\nHere's why:\n\n1. Crude Oil: https://t.co/pbJoQoUWlE", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03546847335497094, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03546847335497094, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.025394132461917907, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.018739120616264038, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010074340893053035, "bench_c_m1d": -0.016729352738706904, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.045020383429470456, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.045020383429470456, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.042389828559495246, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03750618929314964, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00263055486997521, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0075141941363208176, "ret_p1w": -0.08476684429074977, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08476684429074977, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06703941463632068, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07826799176001509, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017727429654429083, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006498852530734678, "ret_p1m": 0.05444914916034849, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05444914916034849, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.01360410399102463, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09299191651914529, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04084504516932386, "bench_c_p1m": 0.14744106567949378, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4897, -0.4376, -0.3983, -0.3742, -0.3749, -0.3514, -0.3514, -0.3556, -0.3337, -0.3376, -0.354, -0.354, -0.2861, -0.2935, -0.2227, -0.2314, -0.2598, -0.2189, -0.2171, -0.2347, -0.2455, -0.238, -0.1789, -0.1789, -0.1738, -0.1193, -0.1001, -0.0954, -0.1193, -0.0714, -0.0148, -0.0136, -0.0609, -0.0091, -0.0506, -0.1412, -0.1333, -0.1066, -0.132, -0.1552, -0.0712, -0.063, -0.0682, -0.0682, -0.0951, -0.0472, -0.0553, -0.0309, -0.0471, -0.0538, -0.029, -0.0594, -0.0666, -0.0659, -0.1406, -0.0929, -0.1013, -0.1618, -0.1188, -0.0876, -0.0523, -0.0825, -0.0355, 0.0, 0.045, 0.0451, 0.0056, -0.0428, -0.0848, -0.1047, -0.1352, -0.1954, -0.1914, -0.2713, -0.235, -0.167, -0.1707, -0.1707, -0.1446, -0.145, -0.079, -0.0455, -0.0476, -0.0341, 0.0544, 0.0331, 0.0354, 0.0305, 0.0154, 0.0176, 0.1039, 0.0908, 0.1248, 0.1878, 0.1419, 0.174, 0.1711, 0.2278, 0.3053, 0.4497, 0.5094, 0.4642, 0.6911, 0.801, 0.7359, 0.8198, 0.7572, 0.6409, 0.5433, 0.5822, 0.6575, 0.7257, 0.7006, 0.7006, 1.0286, 1.1023, 1.0912, 1.1988, 1.1988, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2033651209371013588", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-16T21:06:46+00:00", "symbol": "EWY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I was one of the only few analysts that remained bullish the entire time", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Remained bullish on memory names (EWY/MU/SNDK); Iran conflict supply disruption fears overblown, memory critical to AI buildout long-term.", "resolved_tickers": ["EWY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just a reminder:\n\nWhile the entire community was doomposting about memory names.\n\nFrom $EWY (SK Hynix, Samsung), $MU and $SNDK.\n\nduring the initial Iran conflict. \n\nSayin “Kospi and memory names would drop 30-40% because of Helium or LNG.”\n\nI was one of the only few analysts that remained bullish the entire time.\n\nAs I actually did the research to back up my claims about little material disruption of LNG, Crude, and Helium.\n\nThe Iran conflict is still ongoing, and there’s a lot of unknowns still regarding potential oil spikes:\n\nBut fear and sensational headlines drive short term prices. Operating income drives long term prices. \n\nJust know that directionally, memory is critical to the AI buildout. \n\nUnited Stares wont let their buildout stall, and lose China, in AI - the most transformative technology in history.\n\nOver a Middle East conflict.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The sentiment around KOSPI | $EWY (SK Hynix / Samsung) on \n\nCrude Oil / LNG / Helium either:\n\nDisrupting Supply or Compressing Margins are overblown. \n\nThe supply chain disruption and energy cost threats to SK Hynix, Samsung are sensationalized noise. \n\nHere's why:\n\n1. Crude Oil: https://t.co/pbJoQoUWlE", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06724270598963045, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06724270598963045, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05716836509657741, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05716836509657741, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010074340893053035, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010074340893053035, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009992385509218105, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009992385509218105, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0073618306392428945, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0073618306392428945, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00263055486997521, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00263055486997521, "ret_p1w": 0.005334270642526784, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.005334270642526784, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.023061700296955867, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.023061700296955867, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017727429654429083, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017727429654429083, "ret_p1m": 0.10202844439919923, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10202844439919923, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06118339922987537, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06118339922987537, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04084504516932386, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04084504516932386, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3345, -0.3233, -0.3137, -0.3107, -0.3035, -0.2893, -0.2893, -0.2799, -0.2583, -0.2591, -0.2696, -0.2696, -0.232, -0.2124, -0.1915, -0.1959, -0.1992, -0.1819, -0.1816, -0.192, -0.1763, -0.1657, -0.1569, -0.1569, -0.1663, -0.131, -0.1286, -0.1137, -0.1186, -0.0781, -0.0566, -0.0646, -0.0803, -0.0914, -0.066, -0.0965, -0.0968, -0.063, -0.053, -0.065, -0.0188, -0.0173, 0.0065, 0.0065, -0.0182, -0.0013, 0.0159, 0.066, 0.0466, 0.086, 0.1186, 0.1301, 0.1373, 0.1085, -0.0057, 0.0095, -0.0553, -0.0479, 0.0059, -0.021, -0.0019, -0.0721, -0.0672, 0.0, 0.01, -0.0092, 0.0129, -0.055, 0.0053, -0.0327, -0.0403, -0.0985, -0.0911, -0.1252, -0.0758, -0.0517, -0.0769, -0.0769, -0.0538, -0.0444, 0.0524, 0.0465, 0.0423, 0.0611, 0.102, 0.0888, 0.108, 0.1445, 0.1276, 0.1029, 0.1705, 0.1314, 0.1613, 0.1775, 0.1598, 0.1567, 0.2078, 0.2171, 0.2291, 0.3033, 0.3672, 0.3279, 0.429, 0.4489, 0.3411, 0.4172, 0.4314, 0.3438, 0.3231, 0.3074, 0.3532, 0.4006, 0.3676, 0.3676, 0.5075, 0.4898, 0.5508, 0.5464, 0.5464, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2033651209371013588", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-16T21:06:46+00:00", "symbol": "SNDK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "From $EWY (SK Hynix, Samsung), $MU and $SNDK", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Remained bullish on memory names (EWY/MU/SNDK); Iran conflict supply disruption fears overblown, memory critical to AI buildout long-term.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNDK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just a reminder:\n\nWhile the entire community was doomposting about memory names.\n\nFrom $EWY (SK Hynix, Samsung), $MU and $SNDK.\n\nduring the initial Iran conflict. \n\nSayin “Kospi and memory names would drop 30-40% because of Helium or LNG.”\n\nI was one of the only few analysts that remained bullish the entire time.\n\nAs I actually did the research to back up my claims about little material disruption of LNG, Crude, and Helium.\n\nThe Iran conflict is still ongoing, and there’s a lot of unknowns still regarding potential oil spikes:\n\nBut fear and sensational headlines drive short term prices. Operating income drives long term prices. \n\nJust know that directionally, memory is critical to the AI buildout. \n\nUnited Stares wont let their buildout stall, and lose China, in AI - the most transformative technology in history.\n\nOver a Middle East conflict.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The sentiment around KOSPI | $EWY (SK Hynix / Samsung) on \n\nCrude Oil / LNG / Helium either:\n\nDisrupting Supply or Compressing Margins are overblown. \n\nThe supply chain disruption and energy cost threats to SK Hynix, Samsung are sensationalized noise. \n\nHere's why:\n\n1. Crude Oil: https://t.co/pbJoQoUWlE", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05970468779628246, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05970468779628246, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04963034690322943, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04963034690322943, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010074340893053035, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010074340893053035, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.023506641150271124, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.023506641150271124, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.020876086280295914, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.020876086280295914, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00263055486997521, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00263055486997521, "ret_p1w": -0.0016201904985949644, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0016201904985949644, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01610723915583412, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01610723915583412, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017727429654429083, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017727429654429083, "ret_p1m": 0.34226797524069963, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.34226797524069963, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.30142293007137577, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.30142293007137577, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04084504516932386, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04084504516932386, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7061, -0.6881, -0.6623, -0.6574, -0.6519, -0.6446, -0.6446, -0.6446, -0.6529, -0.6586, -0.6626, -0.6626, -0.6088, -0.6105, -0.5031, -0.4975, -0.5246, -0.4636, -0.4468, -0.446, -0.4488, -0.4184, -0.4122, -0.4122, -0.356, -0.2876, -0.2845, -0.3266, -0.3309, -0.3158, -0.2501, -0.2335, -0.181, -0.0546, -0.0115, -0.1692, -0.1811, -0.1502, -0.1709, -0.2302, -0.1482, -0.1042, -0.1095, -0.1095, -0.1607, -0.1467, -0.1173, -0.0763, -0.0528, -0.0925, -0.1013, -0.0735, -0.097, -0.1202, -0.1964, -0.1486, -0.1962, -0.2506, -0.1633, -0.1204, -0.0685, -0.1205, -0.0597, 0.0, 0.0235, 0.0711, 0.0973, 0.0086, -0.0016, -0.0016, -0.0366, -0.1428, -0.1248, -0.1864, -0.0971, -0.0155, -0.0029, -0.0029, 0.0298, 0.0102, 0.1098, 0.2103, 0.2105, 0.3537, 0.3423, 0.2673, 0.3068, 0.3089, 0.2976, 0.284, 0.3915, 0.3252, 0.4068, 0.521, 0.4245, 0.5125, 0.5584, 0.687, 0.7848, 0.9987, 1.0039, 0.9044, 1.2204, 1.1994, 1.0636, 1.0568, 0.9651, 1.0005, 0.8945, 0.9659, 0.9791, 1.1918, 1.1015, 1.1015, 1.2591, 1.2596, 1.3331, 1.4089, 1.4089, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2017262857017258345", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-30T15:45:18+00:00", "symbol": "IBIT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin $82.9k via IBIT ($46.9)", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Rotated into crypto dip; long BTC via IBIT, SOL via SOLZ, LTC via LTCC, and COIN at current levels, hoping to have timed the bottom.", "resolved_tickers": ["IBIT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I ended up rotating a lot of my positions into the falling knife on crypto today.\n\nJust felt like everything has recent from $COIN to $SOL has crashed a bit much\n\n- Bitcoin $82.9k via IBIT ($46.9) \n- Solana ($114.8) via $SOLZ \n- Litecoin ($64.2) via $LTCC\n- $COIN ($197)\n\nHope I timed the bottom correctly", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0023162095549928985, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0023162095549928985, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0006752931021845043, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0006752931021845043, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002991502657177403, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002991502657177403, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0688566085952862, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0688566085952862, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07382797072622171, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07382797072622171, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004971362130935519, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004971362130935519, "ret_p1w": -0.16445569798394577, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.16445569798394577, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1625047602903047, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1625047602903047, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.001950937693641075, "bench_c_p1w": -0.001950937693641075, "ret_p1m": -0.17466838682812147, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17466838682812147, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16659010025697274, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.16659010025697274, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00807828657114873, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00807828657114873, "ret_p3m": -0.09981051823411569, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09981051823411569, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13095839096200923, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13095839096200923, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031147872727893544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.031147872727893544, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.204, 0.2407, 0.2057, 0.2398, 0.2674, 0.2287, 0.2127, 0.1706, 0.126, 0.0971, 0.1089, 0.0682, 0.031, 0.0101, 0.0649, 0.0436, 0.0745, 0.0745, 0.0855, 0.0213, 0.088, 0.1105, 0.1057, 0.0674, 0.0849, 0.1129, 0.1053, 0.0971, 0.0781, 0.0246, 0.0467, 0.0257, 0.0099, 0.051, 0.0547, 0.0455, 0.0415, 0.0415, 0.0446, 0.0398, 0.0493, 0.0455, 0.0455, 0.0726, 0.1257, 0.1044, 0.0853, 0.0849, 0.0773, 0.0922, 0.128, 0.1674, 0.1371, 0.1421, 0.1421, 0.0689, 0.0762, 0.067, 0.0676, 0.0455, 0.0661, 0.0636, 0.0023, 0.0, -0.0689, -0.0882, -0.1247, -0.2398, -0.1645, -0.1554, -0.1794, -0.1937, -0.2198, -0.1794, -0.1794, -0.1916, -0.2095, -0.1984, -0.191, -0.2304, -0.2308, -0.1739, -0.1944, -0.2169, -0.1747, -0.1851, -0.1274, -0.1495, -0.1872, -0.176, -0.1638, -0.1562, -0.1588, -0.1499, -0.1169, -0.1099, -0.1522, -0.1615, -0.1626, -0.1567, -0.1729, -0.1541, -0.1826, -0.2125, -0.2066, -0.191, -0.1864, -0.2005, -0.2005, -0.1678, -0.1767, -0.1489, -0.1386, -0.1249, -0.1242, -0.1129, -0.1038, -0.1002, -0.0748, -0.0893, -0.1049, -0.0577, -0.0724, -0.0731, -0.0828, -0.0889, -0.0998, -0.0878, -0.0636, -0.044, -0.0255, -0.0274, -0.044, -0.043, -0.0215, -0.0356, -0.0499, -0.0278, -0.0562, -0.0834, -0.084, -0.0737, -0.0735, -0.0954, -0.0954, -0.0948, -0.1061, -0.1249, -0.1234, -0.1234, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2017262857017258345", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-30T15:45:18+00:00", "symbol": "SOLZ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Solana ($114.8) via $SOLZ", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Rotated into crypto dip; long BTC via IBIT, SOL via SOLZ, LTC via LTCC, and COIN at current levels, hoping to have timed the bottom.", "resolved_tickers": ["SOLZ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I ended up rotating a lot of my positions into the falling knife on crypto today.\n\nJust felt like everything has recent from $COIN to $SOL has crashed a bit much\n\n- Bitcoin $82.9k via IBIT ($46.9) \n- Solana ($114.8) via $SOLZ \n- Litecoin ($64.2) via $LTCC\n- $COIN ($197)\n\nHope I timed the bottom correctly", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0016778831831564256, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0016778831831564256, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004669385840333828, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004669385840333828, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002991502657177403, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002991502657177403, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.1124160776302876, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.1124160776302876, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.11738743976122312, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.11738743976122312, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004971362130935519, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004971362130935519, "ret_p1w": -0.26090595858497145, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.26090595858497145, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2589550208913304, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2589550208913304, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.001950937693641075, "bench_c_p1w": -0.001950937693641075, "ret_p1m": -0.25171205825495635, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.25171205825495635, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.24363377168380762, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.24363377168380762, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00807828657114873, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00807828657114873, "ret_p3m": -0.30228165353183245, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.30228165353183245, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.333429526259726, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.333429526259726, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031147872727893544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.031147872727893544, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.328, 0.4089, 0.3423, 0.4173, 0.4531, 0.3547, 0.3288, 0.2312, 0.2062, 0.1236, 0.2196, 0.1503, 0.1537, 0.0978, 0.1995, 0.1881, 0.2307, 0.2307, 0.1781, 0.0695, 0.1948, 0.2198, 0.2086, 0.1413, 0.1522, 0.2065, 0.1898, 0.1689, 0.1304, 0.073, 0.104, 0.0563, 0.0044, 0.0906, 0.0679, 0.0697, 0.0466, 0.0466, 0.0488, 0.0546, 0.0631, 0.0663, 0.0663, 0.1249, 0.1818, 0.1919, 0.1634, 0.1793, 0.1626, 0.2019, 0.2362, 0.2664, 0.2111, 0.2438, 0.2438, 0.0914, 0.1225, 0.1007, 0.0864, 0.0587, 0.0896, 0.0738, -0.0017, 0.0, -0.1124, -0.1359, -0.2081, -0.328, -0.2609, -0.2492, -0.2953, -0.3196, -0.3431, -0.2752, -0.2752, -0.2743, -0.3061, -0.298, -0.2761, -0.3316, -0.3274, -0.2366, -0.2668, -0.3064, -0.2517, -0.2769, -0.2055, -0.2374, -0.2753, -0.266, -0.2652, -0.256, -0.2593, -0.2402, -0.1861, -0.1912, -0.2346, -0.243, -0.2414, -0.2212, -0.2462, -0.2169, -0.2742, -0.2969, -0.2999, -0.2962, -0.2867, -0.3298, -0.3298, -0.3028, -0.3063, -0.2927, -0.2843, -0.2734, -0.2835, -0.2859, -0.2717, -0.2313, -0.2388, -0.2691, -0.2792, -0.2567, -0.2755, -0.266, -0.2854, -0.2888, -0.3023, -0.2947, -0.2879, -0.282, -0.2635, -0.2398, -0.2474, -0.2129, -0.1631, -0.1934, -0.2268, -0.2095, -0.2407, -0.2778, -0.2846, -0.2689, -0.2554, -0.2818, -0.2818, -0.2909, -0.2892, -0.3053, -0.3047, -0.3047, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2017262857017258345", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-30T15:45:18+00:00", "symbol": "LTCC", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Litecoin ($64.2) via $LTCC", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Rotated into crypto dip; long BTC via IBIT, SOL via SOLZ, LTC via LTCC, and COIN at current levels, hoping to have timed the bottom.", "resolved_tickers": ["LTCC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I ended up rotating a lot of my positions into the falling knife on crypto today.\n\nJust felt like everything has recent from $COIN to $SOL has crashed a bit much\n\n- Bitcoin $82.9k via IBIT ($46.9) \n- Solana ($114.8) via $SOLZ \n- Litecoin ($64.2) via $LTCC\n- $COIN ($197)\n\nHope I timed the bottom correctly", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.011140546616025704, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011140546616025704, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008149043958848301, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008149043958848301, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002991502657177403, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002991502657177403, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07980864087300099, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07980864087300099, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08478000300393651, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.08478000300393651, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004971362130935519, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004971362130935519, "ret_p1w": -0.15281971095047797, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.15281971095047797, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1508687732568369, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1508687732568369, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.001950937693641075, "bench_c_p1w": -0.001950937693641075, "ret_p1m": -0.15464500570986106, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15464500570986106, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14656671913871233, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14656671913871233, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00807828657114873, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00807828657114873, "ret_p3m": -0.1581696631557149, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1581696631557149, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18931753588360845, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.18931753588360845, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031147872727893544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.031147872727893544, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2829, 0.3742, 0.3406, 0.5641, 0.656, 0.5363, 0.5185, 0.4614, 0.5164, 0.4199, 0.4732, 0.4019, 0.3372, 0.2664, 0.3442, 0.3255, 0.3371, 0.3371, 0.2944, 0.1878, 0.2754, 0.327, 0.2972, 0.2358, 0.2946, 0.3252, 0.3203, 0.2744, 0.2593, 0.1791, 0.2199, 0.1748, 0.1324, 0.199, 0.1845, 0.1944, 0.1653, 0.1653, 0.1874, 0.2047, 0.1987, 0.1816, 0.1816, 0.2518, 0.2943, 0.2766, 0.2542, 0.2503, 0.2522, 0.1767, 0.1838, 0.2002, 0.1088, 0.1484, 0.1484, 0.0373, 0.0612, 0.0483, 0.0389, 0.0605, 0.0797, 0.0658, 0.0111, 0.0, -0.0798, -0.0634, -0.0927, -0.2189, -0.1528, -0.1547, -0.1774, -0.1949, -0.2005, -0.1492, -0.1492, -0.1658, -0.1818, -0.1896, -0.1533, -0.2082, -0.2083, -0.1053, -0.1474, -0.1688, -0.1546, -0.1585, -0.1186, -0.1388, -0.1719, -0.1652, -0.1726, -0.1525, -0.164, -0.1443, -0.1013, -0.1037, -0.1417, -0.1437, -0.1433, -0.1492, -0.1431, -0.1339, -0.1653, -0.1742, -0.1799, -0.1696, -0.1667, -0.1991, -0.1991, -0.1694, -0.1733, -0.1643, -0.1577, -0.1503, -0.1723, -0.161, -0.1453, -0.1305, -0.1261, -0.1494, -0.1566, -0.139, -0.1465, -0.1273, -0.1494, -0.1476, -0.1582, -0.1492, -0.1431, -0.1516, -0.1384, -0.1239, -0.1305, -0.1003, -0.093, -0.1119, -0.127, -0.0943, -0.1213, -0.1667, -0.1703, -0.1677, -0.1676, -0.1831, -0.1831, -0.2041, -0.1968, -0.2055, -0.2039, -0.2039, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2017262857017258345", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-01-30T15:45:18+00:00", "symbol": "COIN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$COIN ($197)", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Rotated into crypto dip; long BTC via IBIT, SOL via SOLZ, LTC via LTCC, and COIN at current levels, hoping to have timed the bottom.", "resolved_tickers": ["COIN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Financial Data & Stock Exchanges'", "bench_c_industry": "Financial Data & Stock Exchanges", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I ended up rotating a lot of my positions into the falling knife on crypto today.\n\nJust felt like everything has recent from $COIN to $SOL has crashed a bit much\n\n- Bitcoin $82.9k via IBIT ($46.9) \n- Solana ($114.8) via $SOLZ \n- Litecoin ($64.2) via $LTCC\n- $COIN ($197)\n\nHope I timed the bottom correctly", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.022799563815217416, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.022799563815217416, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.019808061158040013, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02074113541586531, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002991502657177403, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002058428399352108, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.035329180901425006, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.035329180901425006, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.040300543032360525, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04636960097608489, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004971362130935519, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011040420074659885, "ret_p1w": -0.15210028520316698, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.15210028520316698, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1501493475095259, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1674446136585701, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.001950937693641075, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015344328455403122, "ret_p1m": -0.04878299133217123, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04878299133217123, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0407047047610225, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.008738096082492208, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00807828657114873, "bench_c_p1m": -0.040044895249679024, "ret_p3m": -0.06680707301346811, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06680707301346811, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09795494574136165, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04335810874971946, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031147872727893544, "bench_c_p3m": -0.02344896426374865, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.5781, 0.6396, 0.516, 0.5874, 0.6326, 0.5611, 0.5611, 0.4539, 0.4584, 0.3554, 0.3443, 0.3212, 0.223, 0.2345, 0.3144, 0.3049, 0.3606, 0.3606, 0.4009, 0.3343, 0.3519, 0.422, 0.4073, 0.3851, 0.408, 0.4243, 0.4126, 0.3814, 0.3734, 0.2859, 0.2972, 0.2539, 0.2283, 0.2587, 0.273, 0.2442, 0.231, 0.231, 0.2165, 0.2004, 0.1893, 0.1612, 0.1612, 0.2146, 0.309, 0.2866, 0.2629, 0.2611, 0.2364, 0.2477, 0.2976, 0.3139, 0.2287, 0.2383, 0.2383, 0.1694, 0.1653, 0.1458, 0.114, 0.0962, 0.0826, 0.0754, 0.0228, 0.0, -0.0353, -0.0774, -0.1341, -0.2497, -0.1521, -0.1412, -0.1655, -0.2133, -0.2755, -0.1562, -0.1562, -0.1475, -0.1576, -0.1479, -0.1201, -0.1772, -0.168, -0.0555, -0.0702, -0.097, -0.0488, -0.0636, 0.0729, 0.0563, 0.0127, 0.0259, 0.0091, 0.02, -0.0078, 0.0041, 0.0441, 0.0795, 0.0388, 0.042, 0.0142, 0.0302, -0.0704, -0.07, -0.1097, -0.1725, -0.1743, -0.1034, -0.1117, -0.1195, -0.1195, -0.1024, -0.1004, -0.1009, -0.1321, -0.1381, -0.1038, -0.053, 0.006, 0.0261, 0.0595, 0.0867, 0.0062, 0.0591, 0.0164, 0.0258, 0.01, -0.0033, -0.0668, -0.0358, -0.0179, 0.0424, 0.0155, 0.0165, -0.0091, 0.033, 0.1123, 0.0662, 0.0363, 0.0887, 0.0035, -0.0272, -0.0066, -0.0177, -0.0061, -0.0501, -0.0501, -0.0756, -0.1076, -0.0641, -0.0293, -0.0293, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2016182596821196907", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-27T16:12:44+00:00", "symbol": "INTC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I personally loaded up on $INTC and $META", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Loaded up on both INTC and META; watching how they perform over the coming weeks.", "resolved_tickers": ["INTC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Neomeldir Nice! I personally loaded up on $INTC and $META, curious to see how those two do in the upcoming weeks.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Been piling up on $META, let’s hope Zuck does us good tomorrow.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Neomeldir", "ret_m1d": -0.03277939031881416, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03277939031881416, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.028810936957886946, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.028810936957886946, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0039684533609272155, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0039684533609272155, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.11040287822510386, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.11040287822510386, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.11050354812875374, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.11050354812875374, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00010066990364987483, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00010066990364987483, "ret_p1w": 0.12110174500038462, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12110174500038462, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1296711825504171, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1296711825504171, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.008569437550032477, "bench_c_p1w": -0.008569437550032477, "ret_p1m": 0.06715230463114485, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06715230463114485, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07051673857017249, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07051673857017249, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0033644339390276334, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0033644339390276334, "ret_p3m": 0.8788982549996154, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.8788982549996154, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.849566705799796, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.849566705799796, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029331549199819396, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029331549199819396, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0858, -0.0897, -0.1008, -0.1571, -0.1263, -0.1523, -0.132, -0.1247, -0.1377, -0.1375, -0.1826, -0.1914, -0.2099, -0.2185, -0.2008, -0.2347, -0.2147, -0.1853, -0.1844, -0.1621, -0.1621, -0.0767, -0.0892, -0.0105, -0.0039, -0.0781, -0.0574, -0.0826, -0.0781, -0.0717, -0.1006, -0.1393, -0.1461, -0.1507, -0.1794, -0.1741, -0.1618, -0.1721, -0.1725, -0.1769, -0.1769, -0.176, -0.165, -0.1509, -0.16, -0.16, -0.1036, -0.1038, -0.0885, -0.0296, -0.0642, 0.0369, 0.003, 0.0765, 0.109, 0.0999, 0.069, 0.069, 0.1054, 0.2349, 0.2365, 0.026, -0.0328, 0.0, 0.1104, 0.1077, 0.0578, 0.1111, 0.1211, 0.1063, 0.0981, 0.1516, 0.1436, 0.0728, 0.0992, 0.058, 0.0651, 0.0651, 0.0512, 0.0348, 0.0157, 0.0041, -0.0068, 0.0499, 0.0672, 0.0348, 0.0382, 0.0357, -0.0189, 0.0376, 0.046, -0.0116, 0.0376, 0.0649, 0.0922, 0.03, 0.0419, 0.0417, 0.003, 0.025, 0.0512, -0.0014, 0.0018, 0.003, 0.074, 0.0039, -0.0182, -0.0624, 0.0046, 0.0933, 0.1468, 0.1468, 0.1559, 0.2044, 0.3419, 0.405, 0.42, 0.4837, 0.4525, 0.4783, 0.5593, 0.5593, 0.4956, 0.5083, 0.4858, 0.5201, 0.8789, 0.9347, 0.924, 1.1568, 1.1507, 1.2677, 1.1803, 1.4619, 1.5725, 1.4953, 1.8436, 1.9465, 1.7455, 1.7382, 1.639, 1.476, 1.4623, 1.5222, 1.7079, 1.6975, 1.728, 1.728, 1.8117, 1.7719, 1.7519, 1.6105, 1.6105, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2016182596821196907", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-27T16:12:44+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I personally loaded up on $INTC and $META", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Loaded up on both INTC and META; watching how they perform over the coming weeks.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Neomeldir Nice! I personally loaded up on $INTC and $META, curious to see how those two do in the upcoming weeks.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Been piling up on $META, let’s hope Zuck does us good tomorrow.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Neomeldir", "ret_m1d": -0.0009064578358224384, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0009064578358224384, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.003061995525104777, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.008348656870141635, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0039684533609272155, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007442199034319197, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006300453828018804, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006300453828018804, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006199783924368929, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005017322836503246, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00010066990364987483, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012831309915155575, "ret_p1w": 0.02783186831979778, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02783186831979778, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03640130586983026, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.020646256200252955, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.008569437550032477, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007185612119544826, "ret_p1m": -0.02864909642874125, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02864909642874125, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.025284662489713616, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02522737013633447, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0033644339390276334, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0034217262924067793, "ret_p3m": 0.003919935427814325, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.003919935427814325, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.02541161377200507, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.012399808871998319, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029331549199819396, "bench_c_p3m": -0.008479873444183994, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0105, -0.0374, -0.0532, -0.0686, -0.0558, -0.081, -0.0769, -0.062, -0.0689, -0.0958, -0.0945, -0.0951, -0.1062, -0.1126, -0.1235, -0.1253, -0.1177, -0.0898, -0.0554, -0.0593, -0.0593, -0.038, -0.0485, -0.0392, -0.0504, -0.0178, -0.0001, -0.01, -0.0246, -0.0347, -0.0309, -0.0435, -0.0378, -0.0235, -0.0349, -0.0127, -0.0211, -0.017, -0.0119, -0.0081, -0.0081, -0.0144, -0.0212, -0.0104, -0.0191, -0.0191, -0.0335, -0.0211, -0.0184, -0.0361, -0.04, -0.0296, -0.0461, -0.0622, -0.0854, -0.0775, -0.0783, -0.0783, -0.1023, -0.0892, -0.0377, -0.0211, -0.0009, 0.0, -0.0063, 0.0971, 0.0647, 0.0497, 0.0278, -0.0059, -0.0041, -0.0171, 0.0063, -0.0033, -0.0064, -0.0344, -0.0493, -0.0493, -0.05, -0.0442, -0.0419, -0.0257, -0.0531, -0.05, -0.0286, -0.0237, -0.0368, -0.0288, -0.0266, -0.0078, -0.0184, -0.0418, -0.038, -0.0281, -0.0269, -0.0517, -0.0881, -0.0668, -0.074, -0.0843, -0.0977, -0.1171, -0.1016, -0.1182, -0.1153, -0.1857, -0.2181, -0.2023, -0.1491, -0.1386, -0.1457, -0.1457, -0.1478, -0.1448, -0.0892, -0.0654, -0.0633, -0.0563, -0.0147, -0.0012, 0.0067, 0.024, -0.0022, -0.0053, 0.0035, -0.0197, 0.0039, 0.0093, -0.0016, -0.0049, -0.09, -0.0947, -0.0922, -0.1003, -0.0885, -0.0827, -0.0933, -0.1094, -0.1032, -0.0829, -0.0803, -0.0865, -0.091, -0.1038, -0.1001, -0.0967, -0.0924, -0.0924, -0.0893, -0.0552, -0.0552, -0.0593, -0.0593, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2014731960418238574", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-23T16:08:25+00:00", "symbol": "Unimicron", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This one is an incredible long at $16B as they're foundational for: $MU and Samsung memory substrates, $NVDA Rubin/Blackwell, TSMC for CoWoS process", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long Unimicron as a high-conviction AI supply-chain choke point across HBM4, CoWoS, glass core substrates, and hyperscaler ASICs through 2026-2028.", "resolved_tickers": ["3037.TW"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Unimicron Technology listed on TWSE as 3037.TW", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TW')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I've hold positions in the $MU that markets sleep on:\n\nUnimicron.\n\nThis one is an incredible long at $16B as they're foundational for:\n\n- $MU and Samsung memory substrates\n- $NVDA Rubin/Blackwell\n- TSMC for CoWoS process\n- Apple (iPhones and M-series)\n- Google TPUs\n- AMZN/Hyperscaler ASICs\n- Intel for ABF substrates\n- Amkor that buys Unimicron substrates\n- and all the world's semis.\n\nUnimicron is one of the most significant \"choke points\" in the global AI supply chain as they provide the future:\n\n- IC Substrates for HBM4 / Memory (DRAM/NAND) + GPUs/CPUs\n- The \"S\" (substrate) in TSM CoWoS\n- Glass Core Substrates for CoPoS\n\nfor 2026-2028\n\nand all the foundational parts for customer devices like IPhones and semiconductors used today.\n\nThey're in the center of the memory bottleneck, CoWoS bottleneck, and interconnects bottleneck for Hyperscaler ASiCs.\n\nAs well as the future cycles with Glass Core substrates and more.\n\nAI revolves around the other Micron and you get exposure to most popular bottlenecks like HBM today and tomorrow.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Memory Supercycle Supply Chain TLDR:\n\nUS Sleeper HBM4/Memory alpha picks that benefit from $MU and SK/Samsung:\n\n$VECO ($2B) -Laser annealing\n$PLAB ($2.1B) - Lithography photomask\n$ADEA ($2.18B) - Hybrid bonding\n$ACLS ($2.9B) - Ion implantation\n$FORM ($6.43B) - HBM wafer testing https://t.co/dYDJ5scXEM", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03539823008849563, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03539823008849563, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.035035581410529426, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014454332460502983, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00036264867796620415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.020943897627992647, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.017699115044247815, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.017699115044247815, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.022777262104857643, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.020998546402077656, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005078147060609828, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0032994313578298406, "ret_p1w": 0.11651917404129786, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11651917404129786, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11254371338690339, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1401886841194644, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003975460654394469, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023669510078166534, "ret_p1m": 0.19616519174041303, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.19616519174041303, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.20608919180150564, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14638752331011684, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00992400006109262, "bench_c_p1m": 0.049777668430296185, "ret_p3m": 1.112094395280236, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.112094395280236, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.0773855247372894, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.8756863681195473, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03470887054294658, "bench_c_p3m": 0.23640802716068876, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5206, -0.5103, -0.528, -0.5177, -0.4735, -0.5029, -0.52, -0.5156, -0.5273, -0.5185, -0.5126, -0.5097, -0.4775, -0.4941, -0.5059, -0.4985, -0.5265, -0.4941, -0.528, -0.5162, -0.4808, -0.4735, -0.4484, -0.4499, -0.4189, -0.4218, -0.4204, -0.4145, -0.3658, -0.3496, -0.3333, -0.3289, -0.3363, -0.3363, -0.3466, -0.3687, -0.3746, -0.3894, -0.3658, -0.3496, -0.3643, -0.3599, -0.3599, -0.3496, -0.3496, -0.3525, -0.351, -0.351, -0.354, -0.3215, -0.3201, -0.3333, -0.3289, -0.3348, -0.2817, -0.2507, -0.2625, -0.264, -0.1917, -0.1121, -0.0914, -0.0531, -0.0354, 0.0, -0.0177, 0.0442, 0.0841, 0.0162, 0.1165, 0.0767, 0.1357, 0.1445, 0.0782, 0.0029, 0.0251, 0.0959, 0.0885, 0.0885, 0.0885, 0.0885, 0.0885, 0.0885, 0.0885, 0.0885, 0.1962, 0.3156, 0.3525, 0.4204, 0.4204, 0.4189, 0.3658, 0.2301, 0.3274, 0.2743, 0.1475, 0.2507, 0.3746, 0.4159, 0.4985, 0.6195, 0.6018, 0.7109, 0.7139, 0.6342, 0.472, 0.3569, 0.4926, 0.4808, 0.4897, 0.4558, 0.3112, 0.441, 0.531, 0.531, 0.531, 0.6637, 0.8289, 0.8437, 0.882, 0.8466, 0.7611, 0.823, 0.9027, 0.8968, 1.0, 1.0944, 1.1121, 1.1475, 1.3304, 1.4749, 1.4336, 1.3687, 1.6047, 1.6047, 1.6873, 1.6637, 1.531, 1.6431, 1.413, 1.5398, 1.5811, 1.6313, 1.5988, 1.4218, 1.4071, 1.413, 1.4277, 1.6696, 1.8614, 1.9204, 2.2006, 2.1858, 2.0236, 2.1121, 2.1416, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2016164601789050918", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-27T15:01:14+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Safety isn't found in stagnation and dividends. It's found in the most obvious growth companies like $NVDA, $META, or $TSM.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author prefers NVDA, META, TSM as true safety plays via growth vs. dividend stagnation; implicitly bearish on UNH/PYPL/FISV.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$UNH has just crashed -19.48% to $283.31. \n\nDividend investors and Buffet copytraders are not having a fun time this year. \n\nOthers from \n\n$PYPL are down -37.8% 1Y with $FISV down -72% 1Y. \n\nThis is a brutal wake-up call that by chasing a ~2.85% \"dividends\" with UNH or value investing, a single-day drop of 20% (like today) effectively wipes 6.6 years of waiting. \n\nSafety isn't found in stagnation and dividends.\n\nIt's found in the most obvious growth companies like $NVDA, $META, or $TSM.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.010874135049697364, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010874135049697364, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.006905681688770149, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.006905681688770149, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0039684533609272155, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0039684533609272155, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01591348287194827, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01591348287194827, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.016014152775598145, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.016014152775598145, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00010066990364987483, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00010066990364987483, "ret_p1w": -0.04339066508512346, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04339066508512346, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03482122753509098, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03482122753509098, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.008569437550032477, "bench_c_p1w": -0.008569437550032477, "ret_p1m": 0.03734348007613297, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03734348007613297, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04070791401516061, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04070791401516061, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0033644339390276334, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0033644339390276334, "ret_p3m": 0.10482324279284305, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10482324279284305, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07549169359302366, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07549169359302366, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029331549199819396, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029331549199819396, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0762, 0.074, 0.0973, 0.0539, 0.0354, -0.0024, -0.002, 0.0558, 0.0246, 0.028, -0.0089, 0.0087, -0.0102, -0.038, -0.0107, -0.0419, -0.0512, -0.0317, -0.0568, -0.0439, -0.0439, -0.0612, -0.0457, -0.0375, -0.0474, -0.0273, -0.0324, -0.0158, -0.0188, -0.0251, -0.0403, -0.0716, -0.0649, -0.0573, -0.0933, -0.0763, -0.0399, -0.0256, 0.0037, 0.0005, 0.0005, 0.0107, -0.0016, -0.0052, -0.0107, -0.0107, 0.0018, -0.0021, -0.0068, 0.0031, -0.0185, -0.0194, -0.019, -0.0144, -0.0285, -0.0078, -0.0121, -0.0121, -0.0554, -0.0276, -0.0195, -0.0045, -0.0109, 0.0, 0.0159, 0.0212, 0.0138, -0.0154, -0.0434, -0.076, -0.0883, -0.0165, 0.0081, 0.0001, 0.0081, -0.0084, -0.0303, -0.0303, -0.0188, -0.0029, -0.0033, 0.0069, 0.0161, 0.023, 0.0373, -0.0193, -0.0601, -0.032, -0.0449, -0.0291, -0.0275, -0.0568, -0.0311, -0.0199, -0.0132, -0.0285, -0.0438, -0.0281, -0.0349, -0.043, -0.0528, -0.0839, -0.0683, -0.0706, -0.0521, -0.0916, -0.1113, -0.1238, -0.0748, -0.0677, -0.059, -0.059, -0.0577, -0.0552, -0.0341, -0.0244, 0.0006, 0.0042, 0.0424, 0.055, 0.0522, 0.0699, 0.0719, 0.0603, 0.0742, 0.059, 0.1048, 0.1491, 0.1308, 0.11, 0.0587, 0.0527, 0.0529, 0.0424, 0.1025, 0.122, 0.1416, 0.1641, 0.1712, 0.198, 0.2505, 0.1953, 0.1794, 0.1703, 0.1855, 0.1644, 0.1423, 0.1423, 0.1398, 0.1278, 0.1365, 0.12, 0.12, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2016164601789050918", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-27T15:01:14+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Safety isn't found in stagnation and dividends. It's found in the most obvious growth companies like $NVDA, $META, or $TSM.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author prefers NVDA, META, TSM as true safety plays via growth vs. dividend stagnation; implicitly bearish on UNH/PYPL/FISV.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$UNH has just crashed -19.48% to $283.31. \n\nDividend investors and Buffet copytraders are not having a fun time this year. \n\nOthers from \n\n$PYPL are down -37.8% 1Y with $FISV down -72% 1Y. \n\nThis is a brutal wake-up call that by chasing a ~2.85% \"dividends\" with UNH or value investing, a single-day drop of 20% (like today) effectively wipes 6.6 years of waiting. \n\nSafety isn't found in stagnation and dividends.\n\nIt's found in the most obvious growth companies like $NVDA, $META, or $TSM.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0009064578358224384, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0009064578358224384, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.003061995525104777, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.008348656870141635, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0039684533609272155, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007442199034319197, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006300453828018804, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006300453828018804, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006199783924368929, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005017322836503246, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00010066990364987483, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012831309915155575, "ret_p1w": 0.02783186831979778, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02783186831979778, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03640130586983026, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.020646256200252955, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.008569437550032477, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007185612119544826, "ret_p1m": -0.02864909642874125, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02864909642874125, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.025284662489713616, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02522737013633447, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0033644339390276334, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0034217262924067793, "ret_p3m": 0.003919935427814325, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.003919935427814325, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.02541161377200507, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.012399808871998319, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029331549199819396, "bench_c_p3m": -0.008479873444183994, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0105, -0.0374, -0.0532, -0.0686, -0.0558, -0.081, -0.0769, -0.062, -0.0689, -0.0958, -0.0945, -0.0951, -0.1062, -0.1126, -0.1235, -0.1253, -0.1177, -0.0898, -0.0554, -0.0593, -0.0593, -0.038, -0.0485, -0.0392, -0.0504, -0.0178, -0.0001, -0.01, -0.0246, -0.0347, -0.0309, -0.0435, -0.0378, -0.0235, -0.0349, -0.0127, -0.0211, -0.017, -0.0119, -0.0081, -0.0081, -0.0144, -0.0212, -0.0104, -0.0191, -0.0191, -0.0335, -0.0211, -0.0184, -0.0361, -0.04, -0.0296, -0.0461, -0.0622, -0.0854, -0.0775, -0.0783, -0.0783, -0.1023, -0.0892, -0.0377, -0.0211, -0.0009, 0.0, -0.0063, 0.0971, 0.0647, 0.0497, 0.0278, -0.0059, -0.0041, -0.0171, 0.0063, -0.0033, -0.0064, -0.0344, -0.0493, -0.0493, -0.05, -0.0442, -0.0419, -0.0257, -0.0531, -0.05, -0.0286, -0.0237, -0.0368, -0.0288, -0.0266, -0.0078, -0.0184, -0.0418, -0.038, -0.0281, -0.0269, -0.0517, -0.0881, -0.0668, -0.074, -0.0843, -0.0977, -0.1171, -0.1016, -0.1182, -0.1153, -0.1857, -0.2181, -0.2023, -0.1491, -0.1386, -0.1457, -0.1457, -0.1478, -0.1448, -0.0892, -0.0654, -0.0633, -0.0563, -0.0147, -0.0012, 0.0067, 0.024, -0.0022, -0.0053, 0.0035, -0.0197, 0.0039, 0.0093, -0.0016, -0.0049, -0.09, -0.0947, -0.0922, -0.1003, -0.0885, -0.0827, -0.0933, -0.1094, -0.1032, -0.0829, -0.0803, -0.0865, -0.091, -0.1038, -0.1001, -0.0967, -0.0924, -0.0924, -0.0893, -0.0552, -0.0552, -0.0593, -0.0593, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2016164601789050918", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-27T15:01:14+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Safety isn't found in stagnation and dividends. It's found in the most obvious growth companies like $NVDA, $META, or $TSM.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author prefers NVDA, META, TSM as true safety plays via growth vs. dividend stagnation; implicitly bearish on UNH/PYPL/FISV.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$UNH has just crashed -19.48% to $283.31. \n\nDividend investors and Buffet copytraders are not having a fun time this year. \n\nOthers from \n\n$PYPL are down -37.8% 1Y with $FISV down -72% 1Y. \n\nThis is a brutal wake-up call that by chasing a ~2.85% \"dividends\" with UNH or value investing, a single-day drop of 20% (like today) effectively wipes 6.6 years of waiting. \n\nSafety isn't found in stagnation and dividends.\n\nIt's found in the most obvious growth companies like $NVDA, $META, or $TSM.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01664011444725655, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01664011444725655, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012671661086329333, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012671661086329333, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0039684533609272155, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0039684533609272155, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011704142336177448, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011704142336177448, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011804812239827323, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011804812239827323, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00010066990364987483, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00010066990364987483, "ret_p1w": -0.007655053247805466, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.007655053247805466, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0009143843022270115, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0009143843022270115, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.008569437550032477, "bench_c_p1w": -0.008569437550032477, "ret_p1m": 0.14597741790497887, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14597741790497887, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1493418518440065, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1493418518440065, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0033644339390276334, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0033644339390276334, "ret_p3m": 0.1928652635191319, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1928652635191319, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.16353371431931252, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.16353371431931252, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029331549199819396, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029331549199819396, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1062, -0.1144, -0.1014, -0.1332, -0.1345, -0.1474, -0.1555, -0.1296, -0.1417, -0.1434, -0.1682, -0.1605, -0.1687, -0.1808, -0.1677, -0.182, -0.1892, -0.161, -0.1609, -0.1453, -0.1453, -0.1407, -0.152, -0.139, -0.1291, -0.1365, -0.1313, -0.1102, -0.1057, -0.0858, -0.099, -0.1368, -0.1496, -0.1521, -0.1814, -0.1586, -0.146, -0.1332, -0.1223, -0.1169, -0.1169, -0.1049, -0.1106, -0.1146, -0.1018, -0.1018, -0.0554, -0.0476, -0.0322, -0.0581, -0.0601, -0.0435, -0.0194, -0.0211, -0.0332, 0.0098, 0.012, 0.012, -0.033, -0.0361, -0.0324, -0.0103, -0.0166, 0.0, 0.0117, 0.0036, -0.023, 0.0089, -0.0077, -0.0372, -0.0225, 0.0311, 0.0505, 0.0697, 0.1057, 0.088, 0.0828, 0.0828, 0.0764, 0.0707, 0.0652, 0.0952, 0.0937, 0.1401, 0.146, 0.1137, 0.1071, 0.0909, 0.0437, 0.0565, 0.0459, 0.0016, 0.0306, 0.0259, 0.0479, -0.0048, -0.0001, 0.0056, 0.0255, 0.0065, 0.0042, -0.0242, 0.0031, 0.0174, 0.0307, -0.0334, -0.0316, -0.0619, 0.0017, 0.0122, 0.0049, 0.0049, 0.013, 0.0235, 0.0845, 0.0833, 0.0984, 0.0954, 0.126, 0.1118, 0.0769, 0.0981, 0.0855, 0.091, 0.1483, 0.1342, 0.1929, 0.2003, 0.1629, 0.1673, 0.1739, 0.1787, 0.1903, 0.169, 0.2434, 0.2275, 0.2202, 0.199, 0.1775, 0.185, 0.2381, 0.1985, 0.1736, 0.1637, 0.1904, 0.2068, 0.199, 0.199, 0.2221, 0.2529, 0.2593, 0.2403, 0.2403, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2021595337123590608", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-11T14:41:02+00:00", "symbol": "VPG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$1M order in 1 month is actually really bullish for $VPG if that's a follow-on order", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish VPG: $1M follow-on humanoid order in one month equals ~1/3 of prior total order flow, signaling accelerating demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["VPG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Scientific & Technical Instruments'", "bench_c_industry": "Scientific & Technical Instruments", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@savelikameisha Thanks, I fell asleep during the call lol. $1M order in 1 month is actually really bullish for $VPG if that’s a follow-on order.\n\nTheir entire order flow was $3.6M up until Oct and they got 1/3rd that volume in 1 month basically", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit ''Received orders of $0.8 million related to humanoid projects in 4Q25, which included a prototype order from a third humanoid developer customer. Total humanoid orders for 2025 were $4 million, which are expected to increase in 2026. Received a follow-on order of $1 million in", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "savelikameisha", "ret_m1d": 0.15421063537262025, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.15421063537262025, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.1539795231576897, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.15714832098159404, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00023111221493055112, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0029376856089737835, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005384449673848657, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005384449673848657, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.020833323901749856, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03168363368093907, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0154488742279012, "bench_c_p1d": -0.026299184007090415, "ret_p1w": -0.008615152342230648, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.008615152342230648, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0004209727967849908, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.005793516475098404, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.008194179545445657, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014408668817329051, "ret_p1m": -0.1016584361335221, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1016584361335221, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06422842872873269, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06577669713392098, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03743000740478941, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03588173899960112, "ret_p3m": 0.43441736024922806, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.43441736024922806, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.36308523404161597, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.18869333257550513, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07133212620761209, "bench_c_p3m": 0.24572402767372292, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3119, -0.3448, -0.3476, -0.3409, -0.3694, -0.3295, -0.3013, -0.275, -0.2666, -0.2666, -0.2647, -0.2578, -0.2464, -0.2089, -0.1962, -0.1598, -0.1839, -0.2078, -0.1742, -0.1602, -0.1833, -0.1803, -0.1693, -0.1805, -0.1773, -0.1652, -0.1658, -0.1521, -0.1499, -0.1499, -0.1452, -0.1559, -0.1615, -0.1708, -0.1708, -0.154, -0.1527, -0.1096, -0.1378, -0.1303, -0.1025, -0.1051, -0.106, -0.0991, -0.0588, -0.0607, -0.0607, -0.0584, 0.0082, 0.0293, -0.0493, -0.075, -0.0312, -0.0444, 0.0851, 0.0786, 0.0907, 0.1376, 0.1609, 0.1208, 0.2057, 0.1861, 0.1542, 0.0, 0.0054, -0.048, -0.048, -0.022, -0.0086, 0.0103, 0.0306, 0.0082, 0.0078, 0.0405, 0.0179, -0.0078, 0.0601, 0.0248, 0.0118, -0.031, -0.064, -0.0616, -0.0407, -0.0549, -0.1017, -0.1167, -0.1135, -0.1208, -0.1148, -0.0676, -0.1247, -0.0922, -0.0788, -0.02, -0.0842, -0.1051, -0.1238, -0.0648, -0.053, -0.0358, -0.0358, -0.0067, 0.0065, 0.0571, 0.0603, 0.0747, 0.1191, 0.1157, 0.0941, 0.1066, 0.1462, 0.1449, 0.1721, 0.2343, 0.2447, 0.3056, 0.2617, 0.2322, 0.2119, 0.3013, 0.297, 0.2929, 0.3773, 0.3692, 0.3446, 0.4482, 0.4344, 0.843, 1.1452, 1.1611, 1.0961, 1.266, 1.1096, 1.1691, 1.2408, 1.4501, 1.4501, 1.658, 1.712, 1.6976, 1.6989, 1.6989, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013912079162560966", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-21T09:50:31+00:00", "symbol": "VPG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is a long position tethered to humanoid ramp that several institution like Citron already entered last year", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long VPG as a held position tied to humanoid robotics ramp, already entered by institutions including Citron.", "resolved_tickers": ["VPG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Scientific & Technical Instruments'", "bench_c_industry": "Scientific & Technical Instruments", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I normally don’t reply to disingenuous leading questions like this but I’m posting information synthesis on robotic supply chain stocks linked to Tesla Optimus.\n\nUnfortunately I try and discover alpha to find the next $30->$453 $SNDK at the start rather than bull posting the same known $SOFI, $ASTS, $TSLA finx theme for confirmation bias.\n\nAnd people really seem to dislike when the information turns out to be directionally right and companies like $OSS get re-rated 60%+. If it wasn’t, the company would crash the next day instead of constantly going up like $LPTH\n\nNobody knows how markets price in the information, it could be right or wrong. And I have no control what HFT algorithms do that scan my posts. That being said $VPG ended the day flat. \n\nThis is a long position tethered to humanoid ramp that several institution like Citron already entered last year. It’s just under the radar now considering the inflection point for robotics.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Pumping low vol companies only ?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "dizstocks", "ret_m1d": -0.06601153731969323, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06601153731969323, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05460213493417854, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.052312969759923944, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011409402385514689, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013698567559769281, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02093568710714666, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02093568710714666, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.015712457087418974, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.013495254549206859, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005223230019727687, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007440432557939802, "ret_p1w": -0.05212566481141945, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05212566481141945, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06674481548805522, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08981428105690381, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014619150676635773, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03768861624548436, "ret_p1m": 0.0021362630033621155, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0021362630033621155, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.003478613920304907, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.027169227953641628, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0013423509169427916, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025032964950279513, "ret_p3m": 0.13565473804374406, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.13565473804374406, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09880692409877811, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05956700092025935, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.036847813944965946, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07608773712348471, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2205, -0.2318, -0.2081, -0.1854, -0.1812, -0.1997, -0.188, -0.2376, -0.229, -0.2927, -0.2959, -0.2696, -0.282, -0.2833, -0.3153, -0.3175, -0.3501, -0.3529, -0.3463, -0.3745, -0.335, -0.307, -0.2809, -0.2726, -0.2726, -0.2707, -0.2638, -0.2525, -0.2153, -0.2027, -0.1666, -0.1906, -0.2143, -0.1809, -0.1671, -0.1899, -0.1869, -0.176, -0.1871, -0.1839, -0.172, -0.1726, -0.1589, -0.1568, -0.1568, -0.1521, -0.1628, -0.1683, -0.1775, -0.1775, -0.1609, -0.1596, -0.1169, -0.1448, -0.1374, -0.1098, -0.1124, -0.1132, -0.1064, -0.0664, -0.0684, -0.0684, -0.066, 0.0, 0.0209, -0.057, -0.0825, -0.0391, -0.0521, 0.0763, 0.0699, 0.0818, 0.1284, 0.1515, 0.1117, 0.1959, 0.1765, 0.1448, -0.0081, -0.0028, -0.0558, -0.0558, -0.0299, -0.0167, 0.0021, 0.0222, 0.0, -0.0004, 0.032, 0.0096, -0.0158, 0.0515, 0.0164, 0.0036, -0.0389, -0.0716, -0.0692, -0.0485, -0.0626, -0.109, -0.1239, -0.1207, -0.128, -0.122, -0.0752, -0.1318, -0.0996, -0.0863, -0.028, -0.0916, -0.1124, -0.131, -0.0724, -0.0607, -0.0436, -0.0436, -0.0147, -0.0017, 0.0485, 0.0517, 0.066, 0.11, 0.1066, 0.0852, 0.0976, 0.1369, 0.1357, 0.1626, 0.2243, 0.2346, 0.295, 0.2514, 0.2222, 0.2021, 0.2907, 0.2865, 0.2824, 0.3662, 0.358, 0.3337, 0.4364, 0.4228, 0.828, 1.1278, 1.1436, 1.079, 1.2476, 1.0925, 1.1515, 1.2226, 1.4302, 1.4302, 1.6364, 1.69, 1.6757, 1.677, 1.677, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2031648475310616604", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-11T08:28:37+00:00", "symbol": "SLOIF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Changed my mind about Soitec ( $SLOIF ) and took a sizable position ~43 for CPO exposure. I personally think it's a 3x from here so I went long.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long Soitec (3x target) on CPO monopoly/depressed valuation; also bullish TSEM and AXTI as undiscovered CPO plays ahead of NVDA GTC catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLOIF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Changed my mind about Soitec ( $SLOIF ) and took a sizable position ~43 for CPO exposure.\n\n$NVDA GTC next week biggest catalyst pushing photonics and this architecture. \n\n~1.5B euros MC. Trading at 1x book value and ~2x P/S (very depressed valuations)\n\nGenuine monopoly over substrates side for CPO (typically very premium valuations for photonics + even extra premium for monopoly status)\n\nAlgos and analysts might get confused over market share but it’s an actual monopoly over SOI substrates since they give licenses to other players like Shin Etsu for diversification sake eg. $TSM doesn’t like just 1. \n\nI don’t think institutions will wait until next year to frontrun these names like Soitec or $TSEM (and most probably haven’t even heard of these names like $AXTI yet)\n\nThis timing would be buying the likely bottom of the depressed smartphone cycle, while getting full upside of CPO mid-late 2027 + $NVDA GTC catalyst next week.\n\nI personally think it’s a 3x from here so I went long.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.16154719362766368, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.16154719362766368, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.16280393397006943, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.15232092073462877, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009226272893034904, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08158628916063027, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08158628916063027, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09677123802999377, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.11375344357738437, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03216715441675411, "ret_p1w": 0.1846253995729623, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1846253995729623, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.20665609035212773, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.20297810479193767, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018352705218975363, "ret_p1m": 0.040143040300761657, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.040143040300761657, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03210435427129288, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.032868950992714696, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07301199129347635, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4994, -0.5332, -0.5287, -0.5422, -0.5422, -0.5422, -0.5422, -0.5774, -0.5774, -0.5774, -0.5774, -0.5661, -0.5644, -0.6007, -0.6007, -0.6007, -0.6007, -0.6007, -0.5043, -0.5043, -0.484, -0.484, -0.4453, -0.4453, -0.4442, -0.436, -0.436, -0.4703, -0.4703, -0.4703, -0.4695, -0.4373, -0.4373, -0.4373, -0.4534, -0.484, -0.5002, -0.5009, -0.3927, -0.4068, -0.4005, -0.4005, -0.4005, -0.2604, -0.2604, -0.2604, -0.2604, -0.2604, -0.247, -0.247, -0.247, -0.247, -0.2504, -0.2504, -0.1843, -0.1843, -0.1706, -0.184, -0.1791, -0.2217, -0.1971, -0.2236, -0.1615, 0.0, 0.0816, 0.1058, 0.1851, 0.1451, 0.1846, 0.0502, -0.0471, -0.014, -0.0351, 0.0336, -0.0034, -0.0005, -0.0418, -0.032, -0.0085, -0.0538, -0.0538, -0.0452, -0.0501, 0.0117, 0.0401, 0.2059, 0.2732, 0.4227, 0.4877, 0.6668, 0.8365, 0.93, 0.8853, 1.0965, 0.9504, 1.1128, 1.1099, 0.8747, 1.1575, 1.4668, 1.4624, 1.9132, 2.0065, 1.8051, 1.8367, 2.3057, 2.103, 1.8035, 1.994, 1.8734, 1.8048, 1.6561, 1.7292, 1.9902, 2.2179, 2.3356, 2.3356, 2.1368, 1.8474, 2.6745, 2.348, 2.348, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2031648475310616604", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-11T08:28:37+00:00", "symbol": "TSEM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I don't think institutions will wait until next year to frontrun these names like Soitec or $TSEM", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long Soitec (3x target) on CPO monopoly/depressed valuation; also bullish TSEM and AXTI as undiscovered CPO plays ahead of NVDA GTC catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSEM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Changed my mind about Soitec ( $SLOIF ) and took a sizable position ~43 for CPO exposure.\n\n$NVDA GTC next week biggest catalyst pushing photonics and this architecture. \n\n~1.5B euros MC. Trading at 1x book value and ~2x P/S (very depressed valuations)\n\nGenuine monopoly over substrates side for CPO (typically very premium valuations for photonics + even extra premium for monopoly status)\n\nAlgos and analysts might get confused over market share but it’s an actual monopoly over SOI substrates since they give licenses to other players like Shin Etsu for diversification sake eg. $TSM doesn’t like just 1. \n\nI don’t think institutions will wait until next year to frontrun these names like Soitec or $TSEM (and most probably haven’t even heard of these names like $AXTI yet)\n\nThis timing would be buying the likely bottom of the depressed smartphone cycle, while getting full upside of CPO mid-late 2027 + $NVDA GTC catalyst next week.\n\nI personally think it’s a 3x from here so I went long.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0214333986575741, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0214333986575741, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.022690138999979848, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.022690138999979848, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007535176720382397, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007535176720382397, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007649772148981104, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.007649772148981104, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "ret_p1w": 0.18854658248611966, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.18854658248611966, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.21057727326528508, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.21057727326528508, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "ret_p1m": 0.7064635227565979, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.7064635227565979, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6984248367271291, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.6984248367271291, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "bench_c_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0042, -0.01, -0.0383, -0.0574, -0.023, -0.0023, -0.0091, 0.0138, 0.0254, 0.0254, 0.0182, 0.014, 0.0103, -0.0169, -0.0169, 0.0193, -0.0013, 0.0238, 0.0233, -0.0177, 0.0049, 0.0156, 0.0447, 0.0315, 0.0382, 0.087, 0.087, 0.08, 0.117, 0.0882, 0.0769, 0.0637, 0.1103, 0.1632, 0.1278, 0.128, 0.1461, 0.142, 0.0154, 0.0807, 0.1641, 0.2352, 0.1434, 0.1256, 0.1184, 0.0779, 0.0779, 0.0698, 0.0746, 0.0538, 0.0756, 0.0669, 0.055, 0.0547, 0.0368, 0.0455, 0.1603, 0.051, 0.034, 0.0092, -0.0741, -0.0333, -0.0214, 0.0, -0.0075, 0.0441, 0.1593, 0.1542, 0.1885, 0.3905, 0.37, 0.4411, 0.5139, 0.5802, 0.4625, 0.4394, 0.3277, 0.4692, 0.5662, 0.6561, 0.6561, 0.5923, 0.598, 0.7053, 0.7065, 0.7045, 0.7538, 0.7926, 0.8053, 0.798, 0.8959, 0.8795, 0.8145, 0.7256, 0.6851, 0.679, 0.7024, 0.6205, 0.6676, 0.8507, 0.8253, 0.8006, 0.8882, 0.8157, 0.7582, 0.7667, 0.9163, 0.8489, 1.267, 1.3501, 1.2939, 1.0769, 1.1038, 1.2143, 1.336, 1.373, 1.373, 1.4157, 1.3258, 1.3066, 1.1369, 1.1369, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2031648475310616604", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-11T08:28:37+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "most probably haven't even heard of these names like $AXTI yet", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long Soitec (3x target) on CPO monopoly/depressed valuation; also bullish TSEM and AXTI as undiscovered CPO plays ahead of NVDA GTC catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Changed my mind about Soitec ( $SLOIF ) and took a sizable position ~43 for CPO exposure.\n\n$NVDA GTC next week biggest catalyst pushing photonics and this architecture. \n\n~1.5B euros MC. Trading at 1x book value and ~2x P/S (very depressed valuations)\n\nGenuine monopoly over substrates side for CPO (typically very premium valuations for photonics + even extra premium for monopoly status)\n\nAlgos and analysts might get confused over market share but it’s an actual monopoly over SOI substrates since they give licenses to other players like Shin Etsu for diversification sake eg. $TSM doesn’t like just 1. \n\nI don’t think institutions will wait until next year to frontrun these names like Soitec or $TSEM (and most probably haven’t even heard of these names like $AXTI yet)\n\nThis timing would be buying the likely bottom of the depressed smartphone cycle, while getting full upside of CPO mid-late 2027 + $NVDA GTC catalyst next week.\n\nI personally think it’s a 3x from here so I went long.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0646115146506604, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0646115146506604, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06586825499306614, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05538524175762549, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009226272893034904, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.013302387246539316, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.013302387246539316, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.001882561622824186, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01886476717021479, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03216715441675411, "ret_p1w": 0.0295607621017564, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0295607621017564, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05159145288092182, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04791346732073176, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018352705218975363, "ret_p1m": 0.33277023054109733, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.33277023054109733, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.32473154451162856, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.259758239247621, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07301199129347635, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6873, -0.6869, -0.7255, -0.739, -0.7042, -0.6907, -0.6786, -0.6909, -0.6831, -0.6831, -0.6755, -0.6919, -0.6664, -0.6548, -0.6548, -0.6461, -0.648, -0.5741, -0.4909, -0.4546, -0.5146, -0.5304, -0.5458, -0.5334, -0.4569, -0.5336, -0.5336, -0.5479, -0.5823, -0.6216, -0.6326, -0.6242, -0.6368, -0.6446, -0.6541, -0.6085, -0.5579, -0.5832, -0.6041, -0.5686, -0.492, -0.4136, -0.4859, -0.4341, -0.4766, -0.4882, -0.4882, -0.5099, -0.503, -0.4973, -0.3733, -0.3997, -0.2593, -0.1349, -0.2162, -0.1997, -0.022, -0.1182, -0.1738, -0.1807, -0.3165, -0.1858, -0.0646, 0.0, -0.0133, 0.0317, 0.0217, -0.0633, 0.0296, 0.2266, 0.1453, 0.3606, 0.4451, 0.4221, 0.2354, 0.2802, 0.1134, 0.2031, -0.0046, 0.1157, 0.1157, -0.1134, -0.0401, 0.1229, 0.3328, 0.3552, 0.4031, 0.421, 0.3288, 0.7268, 0.7432, 0.663, 0.583, 0.8357, 0.5893, 0.6081, 0.4812, 0.4508, 0.5006, 0.6727, 1.027, 1.2382, 1.2709, 1.2135, 1.2893, 1.4569, 1.6565, 1.595, 1.5747, 1.4278, 1.6136, 1.2356, 1.3834, 1.2088, 1.5553, 1.9736, 1.9736, 1.7998, 1.5923, 1.443, 1.1782, 1.1782, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2019405783562351021", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-05T13:40:32+00:00", "symbol": "S&P500", "kind": "index", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this could be one of the biggest opportunities since April", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Selloff driven by perception not policy; if new Fed chair aligns with Trump's pro-liquidity stance, current crash could be a major buying opportunity across stocks, Bitcoin, and silver.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPY"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "S&P 500 proxied by SPY ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Silver is crashing. Bitcoin is crashing. Stocks from $CRDO to $HOOD are crashing. \n\nHappened to be around the same time as 2021 and chart looks basically the same. \n\nThe million dollar question, is it the same this time? \n\nStructurally, yes.\n\nIt looks eerily similar with markets frontrunning a liquidity drain back in 2021. \n\nThe trigger last time was Quantitative Tightening after Powell stated the Fed would accelerate \"Tapering\" and QT for inflation to come down. And then they began QT faster than anyone imagined in Jan 2022. \n\nThis year, there's Midterms. Trump wants lower rates and higher liquidity to ensure a win in November. And, most of all, he cares deeply about the stock market. \n\nAnd just 2 months ago in December 2025, Powell gave a stealth QE announcement to resume purchasing assets.\n\nThis time, it looks like optics and a self-fulfilling prophecy. \n\nHowever, the market operates off Vietnam flashbacks and PTSD, mainly given the look of the new Fed chair.\n\nIf the new Fed chair operates in line with Trump's policies (which one might expect), this could be one of the biggest opportunities since April. \n\nThis time, markets are selling off because of \"perception\" rather than any formal policy change. \n\nHistory doesn't repeat itself but it does rhyme.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.012647164363732255, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.012647164363732255, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012647164363732255, "bench_c_m1d": 0.012647164363732255, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.019184711840951385, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.019184711840951385, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.019184711840951385, "bench_c_p1d": 0.019184711840951385, "ret_p1w": 0.00538652437718623, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.00538652437718623, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00538652437718623, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00538652437718623, "ret_p1m": -0.007733007438929351, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.007733007438929351, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007733007438929351, "bench_c_p1m": -0.007733007438929351, "ret_p3m": 0.07102302055231946, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07102302055231946, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07102302055231946, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07102302055231946, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0027, 0.005, 0.0055, -0.0112, -0.0113, -0.0205, -0.0288, -0.025, -0.0399, -0.0303, -0.016, -0.0068, 0.0001, 0.0001, 0.0055, 0.001, 0.0028, 0.0063, 0.007, 0.0089, 0.0059, 0.005, 0.0117, 0.014, 0.0031, 0.0016, -0.0011, -0.0121, -0.0046, 0.0044, 0.0106, 0.0153, 0.0188, 0.0188, 0.0187, 0.0151, 0.0139, 0.0063, 0.0063, 0.0082, 0.0149, 0.0209, 0.0177, 0.0175, 0.0243, 0.0259, 0.0238, 0.0188, 0.0216, 0.0207, 0.0207, -0.0001, 0.0115, 0.0168, 0.0171, 0.0223, 0.0264, 0.0263, 0.0242, 0.0212, 0.0263, 0.0176, 0.0126, 0.0, 0.0192, 0.0241, 0.0214, 0.0212, 0.0054, 0.0061, 0.0061, 0.0077, 0.0128, 0.0101, 0.0174, 0.007, 0.0144, 0.0229, 0.0172, 0.0124, 0.0129, 0.004, 0.0111, 0.0054, -0.0077, 0.001, -0.0006, -0.0019, -0.0171, -0.0226, -0.0127, -0.0101, -0.0239, -0.0263, -0.0403, -0.0302, -0.0334, -0.028, -0.0454, -0.0617, -0.0648, -0.0376, -0.0304, -0.0295, -0.0295, -0.0249, -0.0245, 0.0003, 0.0061, 0.0055, 0.0153, 0.0277, 0.0358, 0.0383, 0.0509, 0.0488, 0.0419, 0.0524, 0.0484, 0.0565, 0.0583, 0.0531, 0.053, 0.0635, 0.0664, 0.0625, 0.071, 0.0859, 0.0826, 0.0915, 0.094, 0.0923, 0.0985, 0.1071, 0.0938, 0.093, 0.0858, 0.0969, 0.0991, 0.1034, 0.1034, 0.1107, 0.1105, 0.1166, 0.1194, 0.1194, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2019405783562351021", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-05T13:40:32+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this could be one of the biggest opportunities since April", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Selloff driven by perception not policy; if new Fed chair aligns with Trump's pro-liquidity stance, current crash could be a major buying opportunity across stocks, Bitcoin, and silver.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Silver is crashing. Bitcoin is crashing. Stocks from $CRDO to $HOOD are crashing. \n\nHappened to be around the same time as 2021 and chart looks basically the same. \n\nThe million dollar question, is it the same this time? \n\nStructurally, yes.\n\nIt looks eerily similar with markets frontrunning a liquidity drain back in 2021. \n\nThe trigger last time was Quantitative Tightening after Powell stated the Fed would accelerate \"Tapering\" and QT for inflation to come down. And then they began QT faster than anyone imagined in Jan 2022. \n\nThis year, there's Midterms. Trump wants lower rates and higher liquidity to ensure a win in November. And, most of all, he cares deeply about the stock market. \n\nAnd just 2 months ago in December 2025, Powell gave a stealth QE announcement to resume purchasing assets.\n\nThis time, it looks like optics and a self-fulfilling prophecy. \n\nHowever, the market operates off Vietnam flashbacks and PTSD, mainly given the look of the new Fed chair.\n\nIf the new Fed chair operates in line with Trump's policies (which one might expect), this could be one of the biggest opportunities since April. \n\nThis time, markets are selling off because of \"perception\" rather than any formal policy change. \n\nHistory doesn't repeat itself but it does rhyme.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.16454960606444025, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.16454960606444025, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.151902441700708, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012647164363732255, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.1252476912623226, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1252476912623226, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10606297942137122, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.019184711840951385, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": 0.05613442333374885, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05613442333374885, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05074789895656262, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00538652437718623, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": 0.08667005944590289, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08667005944590289, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09440306688483224, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007733007438929351, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": 0.29065944701187174, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.29065944701187174, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.21963642645955228, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07102302055231946, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.6905, 0.6426, 0.6214, 0.59, 0.5055, 0.4688, 0.4824, 0.4587, 0.3816, 0.3571, 0.4078, 0.393, 0.4436, 0.4559, 0.45, 0.3767, 0.4569, 0.4916, 0.4695, 0.4256, 0.4456, 0.4783, 0.4676, 0.4754, 0.4397, 0.3783, 0.401, 0.3739, 0.363, 0.4051, 0.4113, 0.3941, 0.3973, 0.3913, 0.3923, 0.3897, 0.4103, 0.3956, 0.4151, 0.4345, 0.4973, 0.4948, 0.4562, 0.4517, 0.4435, 0.4544, 0.5202, 0.5459, 0.5239, 0.5235, 0.4761, 0.4084, 0.4254, 0.4268, 0.4274, 0.4077, 0.421, 0.4224, 0.3486, 0.3417, 0.255, 0.2062, 0.1645, 0.0, 0.1252, 0.1183, 0.0972, 0.0684, 0.0561, 0.0982, 0.0979, 0.0764, 0.0594, 0.0679, 0.0846, 0.0305, 0.022, 0.0839, 0.0758, 0.0507, 0.0969, 0.0892, 0.1596, 0.1298, 0.0867, 0.0909, 0.1152, 0.1197, 0.1243, 0.1318, 0.1939, 0.1789, 0.1363, 0.115, 0.1247, 0.131, 0.1246, 0.1373, 0.0971, 0.058, 0.0636, 0.0882, 0.0857, 0.0668, 0.0674, 0.0982, 0.1473, 0.1343, 0.1446, 0.1639, 0.1879, 0.1831, 0.193, 0.1986, 0.2301, 0.21, 0.2177, 0.2472, 0.2483, 0.2353, 0.2339, 0.2177, 0.2085, 0.2169, 0.2468, 0.2731, 0.2907, 0.2986, 0.276, 0.2789, 0.3034, 0.2835, 0.2643, 0.2926, 0.261, 0.2273, 0.2241, 0.2353, 0.2366, 0.2039, 0.2325, 0.2093, 0.1857, 0.1728, 0.1702, 0.1747, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2019405783562351021", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-05T13:40:32+00:00", "symbol": "Silver", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this could be one of the biggest opportunities since April", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Selloff driven by perception not policy; if new Fed chair aligns with Trump's pro-liquidity stance, current crash could be a major buying opportunity across stocks, Bitcoin, and silver.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Silver proxied by SLV ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Silver is crashing. Bitcoin is crashing. Stocks from $CRDO to $HOOD are crashing. \n\nHappened to be around the same time as 2021 and chart looks basically the same. \n\nThe million dollar question, is it the same this time? \n\nStructurally, yes.\n\nIt looks eerily similar with markets frontrunning a liquidity drain back in 2021. \n\nThe trigger last time was Quantitative Tightening after Powell stated the Fed would accelerate \"Tapering\" and QT for inflation to come down. And then they began QT faster than anyone imagined in Jan 2022. \n\nThis year, there's Midterms. Trump wants lower rates and higher liquidity to ensure a win in November. And, most of all, he cares deeply about the stock market. \n\nAnd just 2 months ago in December 2025, Powell gave a stealth QE announcement to resume purchasing assets.\n\nThis time, it looks like optics and a self-fulfilling prophecy. \n\nHowever, the market operates off Vietnam flashbacks and PTSD, mainly given the look of the new Fed chair.\n\nIf the new Fed chair operates in line with Trump's policies (which one might expect), this could be one of the biggest opportunities since April. \n\nThis time, markets are selling off because of \"perception\" rather than any formal policy change. \n\nHistory doesn't repeat itself but it does rhyme.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.18728441155393916, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.18728441155393916, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.1746372471902069, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.1746372471902069, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012647164363732255, "bench_c_m1d": 0.012647164363732255, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.052481629507737715, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.052481629507737715, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03329691766678633, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03329691766678633, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.019184711840951385, "bench_c_p1d": 0.019184711840951385, "ret_p1w": 0.015594555067546922, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.015594555067546922, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.010208030690360692, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.010208030690360692, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00538652437718623, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00538652437718623, "ret_p1m": 0.13870144941330653, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13870144941330653, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14643445685223588, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14643445685223588, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007733007438929351, "bench_c_p1m": -0.007733007438929351, "ret_p3m": -0.01169588770044172, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.01169588770044172, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08271890825276118, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08271890825276118, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07102302055231946, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07102302055231946, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3134, -0.3035, -0.2755, -0.2889, -0.3108, -0.3182, -0.3087, -0.3035, -0.3135, -0.3207, -0.3008, -0.3002, -0.2743, -0.2743, -0.2321, -0.2125, -0.2033, -0.2042, -0.2239, -0.206, -0.2096, -0.1727, -0.1592, -0.136, -0.1588, -0.1287, -0.1344, -0.0964, -0.1105, -0.0864, -0.0633, -0.0277, -0.022, -0.022, 0.0664, -0.0102, 0.0343, -0.034, -0.034, -0.0141, 0.0358, 0.1053, 0.064, 0.0453, 0.0853, 0.158, 0.1786, 0.268, 0.2494, 0.2149, 0.2149, 0.2804, 0.259, 0.3065, 0.3932, 0.4746, 0.5233, 0.5834, 0.583, 0.1312, 0.0862, 0.154, 0.1873, 0.0, 0.0525, 0.1402, 0.1008, 0.148, 0.0156, 0.0454, 0.0454, -0.0048, 0.051, 0.0648, 0.1489, 0.2081, 0.1858, 0.2002, 0.2063, 0.2744, 0.2231, 0.1198, 0.1297, 0.1137, 0.1387, 0.1735, 0.2009, 0.1682, 0.1468, 0.09, 0.0979, 0.0745, 0.0301, -0.0151, -0.0775, -0.0633, -0.0561, -0.0222, -0.0888, -0.0487, -0.0475, 0.0217, 0.0217, -0.0135, -0.0135, -0.009, -0.0112, 0.0117, 0.0255, 0.0358, 0.0238, 0.0802, 0.0772, 0.0682, 0.1041, 0.0819, 0.027, 0.0552, 0.0253, 0.0315, 0.0246, -0.0073, -0.0277, -0.0004, 0.024, -0.0112, -0.0117, 0.0516, 0.0736, 0.0948, 0.1696, 0.1778, 0.1898, 0.1323, 0.0352, 0.0487, 0.0031, 0.0306, 0.0414, 0.025, 0.025, 0.0454, 0.0121, 0.025, 0.0246, 0.0246, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2032207864572604569", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-12T21:31:26+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this is net bearish near term with a PTSD overhang that $AAOI pulls a $POET and keeps diluting if the new $250m atm is successful", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Net bearish near-term on AAOI: risk of dilution overhang if $250M ATM proceeds, echoing POET pattern.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It’s usually better to just hold stocks long term and forget about it. As you never know if there’s going to be a surprise hyperscaler deal the next day. \n\nHowever, this is net bearish near term with a PTSD overhang that $AAOI pulls a $POET and keeps diluting if the new $250m atm is successful. \n\nBut if you bought at $28, you wouldn’t need to care about to short term -20% to 20% day to day changes happening around $100", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Damn should've taken some profit. Was up quite a lot earlier this week.  I got greedy", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Temptemo95", "ret_m1d": 0.1960636520967436, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1960636520967436, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1806445651809514, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1806445651809514, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01541908691579219, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01541908691579219, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08833227862470594, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08833227862470594, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08267216912369957, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08267216912369957, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005660109501006372, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005660109501006372, "ret_p1w": -0.040210981959596936, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.040210981959596936, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.030812474837712878, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.030812474837712878, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009398507121884059, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009398507121884059, "ret_p1m": 0.41821266259612355, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.41821266259612355, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.39530832689104956, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.39530832689104956, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022904335705073997, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022904335705073997, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7184, -0.7273, -0.7444, -0.7246, -0.7051, -0.6318, -0.6173, -0.6139, -0.6139, -0.65, -0.6539, -0.6608, -0.6717, -0.6717, -0.6271, -0.6705, -0.6364, -0.6416, -0.6891, -0.6794, -0.6825, -0.6781, -0.6754, -0.6516, -0.6512, -0.6512, -0.6303, -0.6386, -0.6407, -0.6636, -0.6714, -0.6479, -0.5741, -0.6274, -0.5893, -0.5841, -0.5657, -0.6243, -0.6409, -0.5828, -0.5488, -0.5434, -0.5442, -0.5857, -0.5813, -0.5813, -0.5865, -0.5909, -0.5576, -0.5133, -0.4919, -0.4701, -0.4527, -0.4944, -0.2068, -0.0347, -0.1022, -0.061, -0.0476, -0.0999, 0.0417, 0.1347, 0.1961, 0.0, -0.0883, -0.1141, -0.187, -0.1277, -0.0402, -0.1756, -0.0982, 0.0726, 0.0774, -0.0826, -0.0751, -0.1978, -0.2034, -0.1868, -0.0215, -0.0215, 0.0119, 0.1078, 0.2496, 0.2553, 0.4182, 0.4426, 0.3786, 0.3424, 0.4815, 0.5013, 0.5394, 0.4179, 0.4071, 0.297, 0.5272, 0.3728, 0.2926, 0.4392, 0.5478, 0.7281, 0.629, 0.7004, 0.6813, 0.4837, 0.4026, 0.7412, 0.773, 1.101, 0.917, 0.7926, 0.6316, 0.6134, 0.5563, 0.665, 0.7091, 0.7091, 0.6727, 0.6935, 0.5917, 0.4918, 0.4918, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2030228734490620134", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-07T10:27:04+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "structurally the $6B ATM works against them in any rally", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish IREN: $6B ATM overhang creates structural selling pressure that will weigh against any rally.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Agrippa_Inv We'll see how this bodes for $IREN. Cheering on the holders, but structurally the $6B ATM works against them in any rally. \n\nWhich is why it's probably better to hold other DC stocks that don't have that large overhang and likely selling pressure of half the MC.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit This will age like milk 😂 \n\nAlready bookmarked &amp; screenshotted (in case you delete). Going to be fun re-visiting this one…", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Agrippa_Inv", "ret_m1d": -0.05509782135018482, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05509782135018482, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04641386798582958, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05986636349258456, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004768542142399745, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.018537621469477572, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.018537621469477572, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.016930494564110443, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.013173021082192093, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005364600387285479, "ret_p1w": 0.15705454300093913, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.15705454300093913, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.17067744972513788, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.17751951414193812, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02046497114099899, "ret_p1m": -0.07981458449903078, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07981458449903078, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0543826200794183, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07596801281670362, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00384657168232716, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1308, 0.1313, 0.0332, -0.0865, -0.0579, -0.1303, -0.0783, 0.0278, 0.0824, 0.0832, 0.0808, 0.0808, 0.0376, 0.0147, -0.0139, -0.0275, -0.0275, 0.0994, 0.242, 0.182, 0.1232, 0.1761, 0.1851, 0.2958, 0.3643, 0.3615, 0.336, 0.4887, 0.4887, 0.397, 0.3769, 0.3455, 0.4593, 0.3481, 0.5445, 0.6205, 0.5407, 0.3836, 0.3666, 0.4004, 0.1571, 0.0245, 0.077, 0.1882, 0.1053, 0.0986, 0.0306, 0.087, 0.087, 0.0548, 0.0834, 0.1146, 0.0294, 0.0906, 0.1702, 0.1336, 0.139, 0.0543, 0.0657, 0.0003, 0.1287, 0.0331, -0.0551, 0.0, -0.0185, 0.0808, 0.0651, 0.0705, 0.1571, 0.1061, 0.0868, 0.0726, 0.0631, 0.0855, 0.0587, 0.0667, -0.0358, -0.0965, -0.1859, -0.1174, -0.1223, -0.1048, -0.1048, -0.0955, -0.0798, -0.0518, -0.0458, 0.0124, 0.1089, 0.2196, 0.257, 0.2281, 0.2389, 0.2544, 0.163, 0.2459, 0.3393, 0.3038, 0.2451, 0.1442, 0.1035, 0.1717, 0.1756, 0.2739, 0.4094, 0.57, 0.4637, 0.5757, 0.4199, 0.4562, 0.4204, 0.5036, 0.363, 0.2992, 0.2291, 0.3571, 0.4949, 0.4632, 0.4632, 0.5391, 0.7467, 0.6491, 0.6359, 0.6359, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2022923880575455472", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-15T06:40:11+00:00", "symbol": "SNDK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Analysts were projecting no growth, but hoarding from AI demand likely triples revenue estimates", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish SNDK: AI-driven hardware hoarding likely to triple revenue estimates vs analyst no-growth projections.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNDK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "There's a hilarious hardware hoarding cycle right now like $SNDK SSDs. \n\nEveryone is buying this, but not the stock (hasn't moved at all). \n\nAnalysts were projecting no growth, but hoarding from AI demand likely triples revenue estimates. \n\nWondering if anyone can guess?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05740866133057143, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05740866133057143, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05902212780129645, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05902212780129645, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0016134664707250224, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0016134664707250224, "ret_p1w": 0.06372892114301809, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06372892114301809, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06279008887512494, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06279008887512494, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0009388322678931527, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0009388322678931527, "ret_p1m": 0.14940306709064743, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14940306709064743, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1654793802035075, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1654793802035075, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016076313112860063, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016076313112860063, "ret_p3m": 1.2068436799204019, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.2068436799204019, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.1064208552902837, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.1064208552902837, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1004228246301182, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1004228246301182, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6074, -0.6872, -0.6804, -0.6378, -0.6481, -0.6568, -0.6568, -0.6436, -0.6646, -0.6723, -0.6898, -0.6596, -0.6354, -0.6401, -0.6497, -0.6284, -0.6144, -0.6709, -0.6778, -0.6659, -0.6699, -0.6497, -0.6208, -0.6153, -0.6091, -0.6009, -0.6009, -0.6009, -0.6102, -0.6166, -0.6211, -0.6211, -0.5607, -0.5626, -0.442, -0.4357, -0.4661, -0.3976, -0.3787, -0.3779, -0.381, -0.3468, -0.3399, -0.3399, -0.2768, -0.1999, -0.1965, -0.2438, -0.2486, -0.2316, -0.1579, -0.1393, -0.0803, 0.0617, 0.11, -0.067, -0.0804, -0.0457, -0.0689, -0.1355, -0.0434, 0.006, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0574, -0.0418, -0.0087, 0.0374, 0.0637, 0.0191, 0.0093, 0.0404, 0.014, -0.0119, -0.0976, -0.0439, -0.0973, -0.1584, -0.0604, -0.0122, 0.0461, -0.0124, 0.056, 0.123, 0.1494, 0.2029, 0.2323, 0.1327, 0.1212, 0.1212, 0.0819, -0.0373, -0.0171, -0.0863, 0.014, 0.1056, 0.1197, 0.1197, 0.1565, 0.1344, 0.2463, 0.3591, 0.3594, 0.5202, 0.5074, 0.4232, 0.4675, 0.4699, 0.4572, 0.442, 0.5626, 0.4882, 0.5799, 0.7081, 0.5998, 0.6985, 0.75, 0.8945, 1.0044, 1.2445, 1.2504, 1.1386, 1.4935, 1.4699, 1.3174, 1.3098, 1.2068, 1.2466, 1.1275, 1.2078, 1.2225, 1.4614, 1.36, 1.36, 1.5369, 1.5376, 1.6201, 1.7052, 1.7052, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013696273270911214", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-20T19:32:58+00:00", "symbol": "AVAV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AVAV secured $1.4B+ in contracts in the past 4 months. This is a contract renegotiation (possibly better long term). Completely misunderstood", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AVAV: $1.4B+ in recent contracts, FFP contract shift locks in volume pricing, valuation concern is misunderstood.", "resolved_tickers": ["AVAV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@victor_privin $AVAV secured $1.4B+ in contracts in the past 4 months.\n\nThis is a contract renegotiation (possibly better long term). \n\nOTA agreements a lot of times is for prototyping and R&amp;D. Moving to an FFP contract = locking in price for volume.\n\nCompletely misunderstood", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What’s the justification for a $17B market cap? Just because it makes drones?\nIf it can’t secure a $175M contract, why should it trade at 12× sales? Pretty boring.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "victor_privin", "ret_m1d": 0.18728268596731934, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.18728268596731934, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.16650289039799038, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.16667489185942852, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.020779795569328963, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02060779410789082, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03402946377088012, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03402946377088012, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04557054297297458, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05133513764435327, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011541079202094462, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01730567387347315, "ret_p1w": -0.06443230795849408, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06443230795849408, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09086458945193177, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07378837767000435, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02643228149343768, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009356069711510262, "ret_p1m": -0.19773949136203817, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.19773949136203817, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.21059406449683304, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2681240578378169, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012854573134794878, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07038456647577873, "ret_p3m": -0.4214996231532573, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4214996231532573, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.47241526174280946, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.48550947879848394, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091563858955217, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06400985564522665, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1009, 0.144, 0.1488, 0.1482, 0.1504, 0.1056, 0.1179, 0.1118, 0.1033, 0.0599, -0.008, -0.0037, 0.009, -0.0085, -0.0229, -0.107, -0.1199, -0.1427, -0.1509, -0.1525, -0.172, -0.1763, -0.1629, -0.1584, -0.1562, -0.1562, -0.1554, -0.2209, -0.1993, -0.1786, -0.1313, -0.1587, -0.1463, -0.1495, -0.2588, -0.2452, -0.2777, -0.2888, -0.2909, -0.3076, -0.3028, -0.2656, -0.2282, -0.2108, -0.2121, -0.2121, -0.2294, -0.247, -0.2626, -0.269, -0.269, -0.2258, -0.1012, -0.0419, -0.0375, 0.0425, 0.1031, 0.1203, 0.0996, 0.1539, 0.1441, 0.1873, 0.1873, 0.0, -0.034, -0.0567, -0.0699, -0.0853, -0.0644, -0.0724, -0.1138, -0.1587, -0.184, -0.1374, -0.2224, -0.2841, -0.2227, -0.1709, -0.2044, -0.2643, -0.2894, -0.263, -0.263, -0.2052, -0.1977, -0.1488, -0.2002, -0.2102, -0.2074, -0.2287, -0.2154, -0.2377, -0.3704, -0.31, -0.3155, -0.3334, -0.3055, -0.3131, -0.3304, -0.3722, -0.3597, -0.3742, -0.3597, -0.3275, -0.3477, -0.3613, -0.4025, -0.3766, -0.4071, -0.3985, -0.4079, -0.4426, -0.4652, -0.4468, -0.4454, -0.4428, -0.4428, -0.428, -0.4353, -0.435, -0.463, -0.4569, -0.4125, -0.4121, -0.4003, -0.3896, -0.4215, -0.4039, -0.3651, -0.365, -0.3898, -0.4068, -0.4084, -0.4187, -0.4454, -0.4106, -0.441, -0.4552, -0.4962, -0.473, -0.4917, -0.4914, -0.497, -0.4897, -0.5135, -0.5005, -0.5225, -0.5119, -0.5158, -0.5048, -0.5071, -0.4735, -0.4735, -0.4492, -0.4521, -0.3521, -0.3737, -0.3737, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2031039573644779644", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-09T16:09:03+00:00", "symbol": "XLU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Nothing's changed about $XLU, especially 2-3 weeks in. It's a boring 2 year trade on power grid modernization, ai inference, and rate cuts.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Still long XLU via LEAP calls; 2-year thesis on power grid modernization, AI inference, and rate cuts unchanged.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@RoshiPosts Nothing’s changed about $XLU, especially 2-3 weeks in. It’s a boring 2 year trade on power grid modernization, ai inference, and rate cuts.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Has your thesis changed on those XLU leap calls or are they still good print potential?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "RoshiPosts", "ret_m1d": -0.002347866684136668, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.002347866684136668, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006336086680218567, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006336086680218567, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006189971973187047, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006189971973187047, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004582845067819918, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004582845067819918, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "ret_p1w": 0.008751266175354377, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.008751266175354377, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.022374172899553124, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.022374172899553124, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "ret_p1m": -0.005475075880329028, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.005475075880329028, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.019956888539283457, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.019956888539283457, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0947, -0.0882, -0.0926, -0.0843, -0.0882, -0.0941, -0.0852, -0.0968, -0.0935, -0.0903, -0.0862, -0.0862, -0.0869, -0.0852, -0.083, -0.0888, -0.0888, -0.0783, -0.0886, -0.0841, -0.1063, -0.1037, -0.0926, -0.0911, -0.0854, -0.0785, -0.0692, -0.0739, -0.0739, -0.083, -0.0818, -0.0884, -0.0916, -0.085, -0.073, -0.0751, -0.0751, -0.0768, -0.0903, -0.0771, -0.0805, -0.08, -0.0747, -0.0719, -0.0566, -0.0482, -0.0342, -0.0075, -0.0075, -0.01, -0.0265, -0.0158, -0.0111, -0.0036, 0.0075, 0.0109, 0.007, 0.0188, 0.0111, 0.0047, 0.009, 0.0011, -0.0023, 0.0, -0.0062, -0.0145, -0.0075, 0.0023, 0.0088, 0.006, -0.0026, -0.0066, -0.047, -0.0375, -0.0308, -0.0274, -0.0257, -0.0201, -0.013, -0.0136, -0.0089, -0.004, -0.004, -0.0076, -0.0055, 0.0055, 0.0134, 0.0094, -0.0029, -0.0012, -0.0108, -0.0038, -0.0078, -0.0167, -0.0338, -0.0356, -0.0093, -0.0074, -0.0072, -0.0059, -0.0182, 0.007, 0.0005, -0.0033, -0.0033, -0.0175, -0.0302, -0.0388, -0.0298, -0.0287, -0.0399, -0.0349, -0.0571, -0.0556, -0.047, -0.0433, -0.0328, -0.0252, -0.0252, -0.0257, -0.0298, -0.0407, -0.0452, -0.0452, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2020926882624176300", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-09T18:24:50+00:00", "symbol": "AEVA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "took positions into $AEVA which is 4D LiDAR. Looks like the clearest functional midstream bottleneck exposure to the trend, from my research? ... Disclosure: I have long shares only of $AEVA, as speculative exposure to 4D AI + World Models for physical AI.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AEVA as speculative play on 4D LiDAR / World Models bottleneck for physical AI and humanoids.", "resolved_tickers": ["AEVA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Speaking of other bottlenecks like $AXTI.\n\nI’ve been looking into 4D AI.\n\nConvos with industry insiders leads me to believe it’s an upcoming trend eg. “World Models” for physical AI and humanoids post $NVDA Jensen’s conference.\n\nSo took positions into $AEVA which is 4D LiDAR.\n\nLooks like the clearest functional midstream bottleneck exposure to the trend, from my research? \n\nUnless someone has others they’d like to mention.\n\nThere’s stuff like $AMBA, $U (yes the games software), $TER, and $OUST but they’re larger companies without the clearest exposure.\n\nThat being said it’s still a new space so still doing research. Also, fundamentals are shaky, so this is more of a venture bet for the industry growth. \n\nDisclosure: I have long shares only of $AEVA, as speculative exposure to 4D AI + World Models for physical AI.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$AXTI up 63.29% in 1 week to new yearly highs.\n\nWhat a crazy photonics rally off $GOOGL earnings.  \n\nMarkets are finally pricing in upstream bottlenecks. https://t.co/YdEOofJWN8", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.11428574153355187, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11428574153355187, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.10948704792543362, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.10948704792543362, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07571431568690712, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07571431568690712, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07307715525482628, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07307715525482628, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "ret_p1w": -0.03000000544956749, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03000000544956749, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.012419435665224299, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.012419435665224299, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "ret_p1m": 0.15714291163853233, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.15714291163853233, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.18130897425358616, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.18130897425358616, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "ret_p3m": -0.024285725184849283, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.024285725184849283, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08139062890803272, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08139062890803272, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.195, -0.2371, -0.2864, -0.3436, -0.3186, -0.295, -0.2907, -0.2993, -0.2421, -0.2543, -0.2479, -0.2479, -0.2036, -0.2629, -0.2221, -0.0221, 0.1343, 0.05, 0.0779, 0.0829, 0.1029, 0.2229, 0.1436, 0.0264, 0.0014, -0.08, -0.0521, 0.0207, 0.0557, -0.0071, -0.0364, -0.0364, -0.0557, -0.0786, -0.0571, -0.0514, -0.0514, -0.0893, -0.065, 0.2564, 0.2136, 0.2064, 0.4193, 0.3643, 0.4214, 0.4779, 0.4157, 0.3814, 0.3814, 0.41, 0.2993, 0.3064, 0.1279, 0.0243, 0.025, 0.0286, -0.0536, -0.0879, -0.0886, -0.0657, -0.1021, -0.1893, -0.1143, 0.0, -0.0757, -0.09, -0.0836, -0.03, -0.03, -0.0786, -0.0743, -0.0807, -0.1043, -0.11, -0.0671, -0.0257, -0.0257, -0.0529, 0.0357, -0.0021, 0.0721, 0.0771, 0.0121, 0.0543, 0.1571, 0.1936, 0.0929, 0.0829, 0.1107, 0.1193, 0.0429, 0.0864, 0.0079, 0.0986, 0.1043, 0.09, 0.0143, -0.0882, -0.17, -0.06, -0.0571, -0.055, -0.055, -0.0936, -0.1036, -0.0707, -0.0679, -0.0464, -0.0286, 0.0086, 0.0664, 0.0543, 0.1236, 0.1279, 0.1807, 0.1657, 0.1064, 0.155, 0.1486, 0.115, 0.0529, 0.1421, 0.1771, 0.1236, 0.0886, 0.1836, -0.0243, -0.0307, 0.1093, 0.3636, 0.4471, 0.5164, 0.4625, 0.3893, 0.3571, 0.5079, 0.535, 0.8086, 0.8086, 1.0093, 1.0921, 0.8457, 1.0129, 1.0129, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2019846302591512896", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-06T18:51:00+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "every institution I've seen personally is buying now after the liquidation wipeout. Easy to wait out volatility and ride the wave back up.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on crypto complex and related equities after reset from highs; institutions buying BTC post-liquidation, expects wave back up.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I've been in the memory/AI trade like $MU, $SNDK. But opportunities like this don't come often. \n\nEvery crypto name has been reset:\n\nBitcoin - $70K from $125k\nEthereum - $2.05K from $4k\nSolana - $88 from $233\n$COIN $162 from $415\n$CRCL $56 from $240\n$GLXY $19 from $40\n$ETOR $26 from $68\n$MSTR  $132 from $434\n\nIf people think Bitcoin is going back to $30K idk what to tell you, every institution I've seen personally is buying now after the liquidation wipeout. \n\nEasy to wait out volatility and ride the wave back up.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.11130677470825778, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11130677470825778, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09248318795498112, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.018823586753276667, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.006159832312600089, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006159832312600089, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010981664415610548, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004821832103010459, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.02405977573028284, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02405977573028284, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.011216267493174614, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012843508237108225, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.03051514269041722, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03051514269041722, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.012632775153219478, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01788236753719774, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": 0.154093691902085, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.154093691902085, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08862476604935154, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06546892585273345, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.4598, 0.4409, 0.413, 0.3379, 0.3053, 0.3174, 0.2964, 0.2279, 0.206, 0.2511, 0.2379, 0.2829, 0.2938, 0.2886, 0.2235, 0.2947, 0.3256, 0.3059, 0.2669, 0.2847, 0.3137, 0.3042, 0.3112, 0.2794, 0.2249, 0.245, 0.2209, 0.2113, 0.2487, 0.2542, 0.2389, 0.2417, 0.2364, 0.2373, 0.235, 0.2533, 0.2403, 0.2576, 0.2748, 0.3306, 0.3284, 0.2941, 0.2902, 0.2829, 0.2925, 0.351, 0.3738, 0.3543, 0.3539, 0.3118, 0.2517, 0.2668, 0.268, 0.2686, 0.251, 0.2629, 0.264, 0.1985, 0.1924, 0.1153, 0.072, 0.0349, -0.1113, 0.0, -0.0062, -0.025, -0.0505, -0.0614, -0.0241, -0.0243, -0.0434, -0.0585, -0.051, -0.0361, -0.0842, -0.0918, -0.0368, -0.044, -0.0662, -0.0252, -0.0321, 0.0305, 0.004, -0.0343, -0.0305, -0.0089, -0.005, -0.0009, 0.0059, 0.061, 0.0477, 0.0098, -0.0091, -0.0005, 0.0051, -0.0005, 0.0107, -0.025, -0.0598, -0.0548, -0.0329, -0.0351, -0.052, -0.0514, -0.024, 0.0196, 0.008, 0.0172, 0.0344, 0.0557, 0.0514, 0.0602, 0.0652, 0.0931, 0.0754, 0.0822, 0.1084, 0.1093, 0.0978, 0.0965, 0.0821, 0.074, 0.0815, 0.1081, 0.1314, 0.147, 0.1541, 0.134, 0.1365, 0.1584, 0.1406, 0.1236, 0.1488, 0.1206, 0.0907, 0.0878, 0.0978, 0.099, 0.0699, 0.0953, 0.0747, 0.0537, 0.0423, 0.0399, 0.044, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2019846302591512896", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-06T18:51:00+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Every crypto name has been reset", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on crypto complex and related equities after reset from highs; institutions buying BTC post-liquidation, expects wave back up.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I've been in the memory/AI trade like $MU, $SNDK. But opportunities like this don't come often. \n\nEvery crypto name has been reset:\n\nBitcoin - $70K from $125k\nEthereum - $2.05K from $4k\nSolana - $88 from $233\n$COIN $162 from $415\n$CRCL $56 from $240\n$GLXY $19 from $40\n$ETOR $26 from $68\n$MSTR  $132 from $434\n\nIf people think Bitcoin is going back to $30K idk what to tell you, every institution I've seen personally is buying now after the liquidation wipeout. \n\nEasy to wait out volatility and ride the wave back up.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.11713937413041953, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11713937413041953, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09831578737714286, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.018823586753276667, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.019473159802371853, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.019473159802371853, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014651327699361394, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004821832103010459, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.0072015668451291814, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0072015668451291814, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.005641941391979044, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012843508237108225, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.03414227759298116, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03414227759298116, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.016259910055783422, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01788236753719774, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": 0.1392928443532746, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1392928443532746, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07382391850054115, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06546892585273345, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.6552, 0.6541, 0.5667, 0.5042, 0.4658, 0.5135, 0.4651, 0.3724, 0.3404, 0.431, 0.4335, 0.4674, 0.461, 0.4696, 0.3571, 0.4529, 0.5468, 0.519, 0.4658, 0.5146, 0.6095, 0.6116, 0.5688, 0.4947, 0.4366, 0.4366, 0.3722, 0.3701, 0.4432, 0.4569, 0.4362, 0.4276, 0.4072, 0.4179, 0.4222, 0.4401, 0.4379, 0.4541, 0.5142, 0.5635, 0.5973, 0.5348, 0.5045, 0.4942, 0.4987, 0.61, 0.6258, 0.6076, 0.5971, 0.5444, 0.4227, 0.4437, 0.4295, 0.4313, 0.4183, 0.4647, 0.4571, 0.3658, 0.3097, 0.1362, 0.0796, 0.0388, -0.1171, 0.0, 0.0195, -0.0213, -0.0595, -0.0564, -0.0072, -0.0317, -0.0345, -0.053, -0.0558, -0.0457, -0.1007, -0.102, -0.0042, -0.0177, -0.0643, -0.0175, -0.0391, 0.0306, 0.004, -0.041, -0.0341, -0.0127, -0.0057, 0.0047, 0.0141, 0.1395, 0.1234, 0.068, 0.0359, 0.0403, 0.043, 0.0447, 0.0507, -0.0018, -0.0349, -0.0193, 0.02, 0.0365, -0.0032, -0.0048, 0.0215, 0.0865, 0.0615, 0.0609, 0.0881, 0.1489, 0.126, 0.1435, 0.1382, 0.1733, 0.122, 0.1282, 0.1515, 0.1299, 0.1223, 0.1162, 0.1095, 0.0921, 0.0935, 0.1123, 0.1372, 0.1443, 0.1393, 0.1104, 0.1181, 0.1337, 0.1024, 0.0941, 0.1054, 0.0775, 0.0316, 0.0226, 0.0308, 0.033, 0.0006, 0.0233, 0.0036, -0.02, -0.0271, -0.0249, -0.0264, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2019846302591512896", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-06T18:51:00+00:00", "symbol": "SOL-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Every crypto name has been reset", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on crypto complex and related equities after reset from highs; institutions buying BTC post-liquidation, expects wave back up.", "resolved_tickers": ["SOL-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I've been in the memory/AI trade like $MU, $SNDK. But opportunities like this don't come often. \n\nEvery crypto name has been reset:\n\nBitcoin - $70K from $125k\nEthereum - $2.05K from $4k\nSolana - $88 from $233\n$COIN $162 from $415\n$CRCL $56 from $240\n$GLXY $19 from $40\n$ETOR $26 from $68\n$MSTR  $132 from $434\n\nIf people think Bitcoin is going back to $30K idk what to tell you, every institution I've seen personally is buying now after the liquidation wipeout. \n\nEasy to wait out volatility and ride the wave back up.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.10606966061166334, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10606966061166334, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08724607385838667, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.018823586753276667, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.00872343018250843, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00872343018250843, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013545262285518889, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004821832103010459, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.03592571751515128, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03592571751515128, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.023082209278043053, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012843508237108225, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.028909953722825232, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.028909953722825232, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.011027586185627491, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01788236753719774, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": 0.01921052725693584, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.01921052725693584, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04625839859579761, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06546892585273345, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.7672, 0.7523, 0.6591, 0.5855, 0.496, 0.6088, 0.5637, 0.5265, 0.4692, 0.582, 0.588, 0.6351, 0.6103, 0.5708, 0.4487, 0.5855, 0.6566, 0.5894, 0.5243, 0.5238, 0.5767, 0.5603, 0.5592, 0.5129, 0.4607, 0.4778, 0.4077, 0.3671, 0.4428, 0.4383, 0.4161, 0.4001, 0.3714, 0.3971, 0.4077, 0.4284, 0.4233, 0.4493, 0.5107, 0.5777, 0.6132, 0.5585, 0.5811, 0.5521, 0.5908, 0.6619, 0.6779, 0.6273, 0.6562, 0.5245, 0.4372, 0.4792, 0.4667, 0.4561, 0.4193, 0.4526, 0.4305, 0.3446, 0.3418, 0.1944, 0.1155, 0.0522, -0.1061, 0.0, -0.0087, -0.052, -0.0939, -0.1042, -0.0359, -0.0118, -0.0259, -0.0674, -0.058, -0.0324, -0.111, -0.0964, 0.0052, -0.0178, -0.063, -0.0095, -0.0051, 0.0385, 0.014, -0.0318, -0.0289, -0.0186, -0.0103, -0.0068, 0.0079, 0.1001, 0.0828, 0.0297, 0.0166, 0.0273, 0.0453, 0.0384, 0.0485, -0.0117, -0.0508, -0.0574, -0.0498, -0.0717, -0.0973, -0.0811, -0.0836, -0.0208, -0.0558, -0.0476, -0.0301, -0.0092, -0.0422, -0.0291, 0.0175, 0.0161, -0.0244, -0.0164, -0.0063, -0.0151, -0.0141, -0.0303, -0.0392, -0.0507, -0.0508, -0.0428, -0.0386, -0.0131, 0.0192, 0.0107, 0.0513, 0.113, 0.078, 0.0414, 0.0536, 0.0198, -0.0248, -0.0372, -0.0163, -0.0035, -0.0361, -0.0281, -0.0443, -0.0583, -0.0626, -0.0633, -0.0563, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2019846302591512896", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-02-06T18:51:00+00:00", "symbol": "COIN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Every crypto name has been reset", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on crypto complex and related equities after reset from highs; institutions buying BTC post-liquidation, expects wave back up.", "resolved_tickers": ["COIN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Financial Data & Stock Exchanges'", "bench_c_industry": "Financial Data & Stock Exchanges", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I've been in the memory/AI trade like $MU, $SNDK. But opportunities like this don't come often. \n\nEvery crypto name has been reset:\n\nBitcoin - $70K from $125k\nEthereum - $2.05K from $4k\nSolana - $88 from $233\n$COIN $162 from $415\n$CRCL $56 from $240\n$GLXY $19 from $40\n$ETOR $26 from $68\n$MSTR  $132 from $434\n\nIf people think Bitcoin is going back to $30K idk what to tell you, every institution I've seen personally is buying now after the liquidation wipeout. \n\nEasy to wait out volatility and ride the wave back up.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.11506783286006939, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11506783286006939, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09624424610679272, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09719096299095376, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.018823586753276667, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01787686986911563, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012899739255084253, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012899739255084253, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008077907152073793, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01879726406412685, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004821832103010459, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005897524809042598, "ret_p1w": -0.004844887455338065, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.004844887455338065, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.00799862078177016, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04325678822694201, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012843508237108225, "bench_c_p1w": -0.048101675682280076, "ret_p1m": 0.20996850287174262, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.20996850287174262, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.22785087040894036, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2823975302235747, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01788236753719774, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0724290273518321, "ret_p3m": 0.19888573502786722, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.19888573502786722, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.13341680917513377, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.23857469124363728, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06546892585273345, "bench_c_p3m": -0.039688956215770066, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.8411, 0.8411, 0.7148, 0.72, 0.5985, 0.5855, 0.5582, 0.4423, 0.456, 0.5502, 0.539, 0.6047, 0.6047, 0.6523, 0.5736, 0.5944, 0.6771, 0.6597, 0.6335, 0.6606, 0.6797, 0.666, 0.6292, 0.6198, 0.5166, 0.5299, 0.4789, 0.4486, 0.4845, 0.5013, 0.4674, 0.4519, 0.4519, 0.4347, 0.4158, 0.4026, 0.3695, 0.3695, 0.4325, 0.5438, 0.5174, 0.4894, 0.4873, 0.4582, 0.4715, 0.5303, 0.5495, 0.4491, 0.4605, 0.4605, 0.3792, 0.3743, 0.3514, 0.3139, 0.2929, 0.2768, 0.2684, 0.2063, 0.1794, 0.1377, 0.0881, 0.0212, -0.1151, 0.0, 0.0129, -0.0158, -0.0722, -0.1455, -0.0048, -0.0048, 0.0055, -0.0065, 0.005, 0.0377, -0.0296, -0.0187, 0.114, 0.0965, 0.065, 0.1219, 0.1044, 0.2653, 0.2458, 0.1944, 0.21, 0.1902, 0.2029, 0.1702, 0.1842, 0.2313, 0.2732, 0.2251, 0.2289, 0.1961, 0.215, 0.0964, 0.0968, 0.05, -0.0241, -0.0262, 0.0575, 0.0477, 0.0384, 0.0384, 0.0586, 0.0609, 0.0604, 0.0236, 0.0165, 0.057, 0.1168, 0.1864, 0.2102, 0.2496, 0.2817, 0.1867, 0.249, 0.1987, 0.2098, 0.1911, 0.1755, 0.1006, 0.1372, 0.1582, 0.2293, 0.1976, 0.1989, 0.1686, 0.2183, 0.3118, 0.2575, 0.2221, 0.284, 0.1836, 0.1473, 0.1716, 0.1585, 0.1722, 0.1203, 0.1203, 0.0902, 0.0524, 0.1037, 0.1448, 0.1448, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2019846302591512896", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-02-06T18:51:00+00:00", "symbol": "MSTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Every crypto name has been reset", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on crypto complex and related equities after reset from highs; institutions buying BTC post-liquidation, expects wave back up.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I've been in the memory/AI trade like $MU, $SNDK. But opportunities like this don't come often. \n\nEvery crypto name has been reset:\n\nBitcoin - $70K from $125k\nEthereum - $2.05K from $4k\nSolana - $88 from $233\n$COIN $162 from $415\n$CRCL $56 from $240\n$GLXY $19 from $40\n$ETOR $26 from $68\n$MSTR  $132 from $434\n\nIf people think Bitcoin is going back to $30K idk what to tell you, every institution I've seen personally is buying now after the liquidation wipeout. \n\nEasy to wait out volatility and ride the wave back up.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.20707030555576922, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.20707030555576922, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.18824671880249255, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.18824671880249255, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.018823586753276667, "bench_c_m1d": -0.018823586753276667, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.026013562263055068, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.026013562263055068, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02119173016004461, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02119173016004461, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004821832103010459, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004821832103010459, "ret_p1w": -0.007781722744858777, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.007781722744858777, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.005061785492249449, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.005061785492249449, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012843508237108225, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012843508237108225, "ret_p1m": 0.02979325939874955, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.02979325939874955, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04767562693594729, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04767562693594729, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01788236753719774, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01788236753719774, "ret_p3m": 0.3845699063596799, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3845699063596799, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.31910098050694646, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.31910098050694646, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06546892585273345, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06546892585273345, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.7146, 0.6646, 0.5455, 0.4804, 0.4483, 0.5326, 0.3822, 0.3128, 0.2636, 0.3269, 0.2761, 0.3017, 0.3017, 0.3131, 0.2704, 0.3439, 0.3962, 0.3786, 0.3265, 0.3614, 0.4007, 0.3684, 0.3585, 0.3077, 0.2012, 0.2414, 0.1886, 0.1728, 0.2215, 0.2178, 0.1701, 0.1762, 0.1762, 0.177, 0.1516, 0.1533, 0.1261, 0.1261, 0.1648, 0.2208, 0.1708, 0.1994, 0.2375, 0.166, 0.2023, 0.2821, 0.3291, 0.2667, 0.2874, 0.2874, 0.1875, 0.214, 0.1931, 0.2088, 0.1901, 0.1975, 0.1743, 0.0612, 0.1095, 0.0348, -0.0124, -0.0433, -0.2071, 0.0, 0.026, -0.0143, -0.0657, -0.0884, -0.0078, -0.0078, -0.0464, -0.0721, -0.0406, -0.0288, -0.0832, -0.0765, 0.0053, -0.0113, -0.0402, 0.0202, -0.0167, 0.0853, 0.0362, -0.0104, 0.0298, 0.0262, 0.0252, 0.0179, 0.0351, 0.0933, 0.1138, 0.0417, 0.0245, 0.0054, 0.0242, 0.0098, 0.0311, -0.0148, -0.066, -0.1, -0.0751, -0.09, -0.1119, -0.1119, -0.0537, -0.0831, -0.0491, -0.045, -0.0466, -0.019, 0.0184, 0.0638, 0.1038, 0.2341, 0.2659, 0.2152, 0.3293, 0.2782, 0.2675, 0.254, 0.2281, 0.1724, 0.2262, 0.3131, 0.3622, 0.3852, 0.3846, 0.3328, 0.3903, 0.4522, 0.3668, 0.3194, 0.3857, 0.3149, 0.2349, 0.2201, 0.2289, 0.2217, 0.185, 0.185, 0.1853, 0.1428, 0.1238, 0.1791, 0.1791, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028461742783893827", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-02T13:25:41+00:00", "symbol": "LASR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "nothing publicly traded really has pure play exposure to energy directed weapons aside from $LASR AFAIK", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "LASR singled out as the only pure-play publicly traded name in energy directed weapons.", "resolved_tickers": ["LASR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@geokoutalidis Yep great shout! There's other large players out there, like $DRS or $RTX and $ESLT. But nothing publicly traded really has pure play exposure to energy directed weapons aside from $LASR AFAIK.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $ESLT is a large player with direct exposure", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "geokoutalidis", "ret_m1d": -0.16989220564221263, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.16989220564221263, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.16932394995800626, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.16932394995800626, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06825236489806885, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06825236489806885, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05943802641527318, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05943802641527318, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "ret_p1w": -0.0988329472612628, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0988329472612628, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08701736633774793, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08701736633774793, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "ret_p1m": -0.15763039738222395, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15763039738222395, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1077106558070402, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1077106558070402, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "ret_p3m": 0.1693012065466042, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1693012065466042, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06690782738069623, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06690782738069623, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4959, -0.4631, -0.4617, -0.4541, -0.4401, -0.4416, -0.4352, -0.4664, -0.4608, -0.4766, -0.488, -0.4689, -0.4429, -0.4351, -0.4172, -0.4191, -0.4191, -0.4209, -0.4237, -0.4305, -0.4459, -0.4459, -0.4332, -0.4373, -0.443, -0.4453, -0.4086, -0.4088, -0.3859, -0.3689, -0.3622, -0.3525, -0.3509, -0.3509, -0.3315, -0.3213, -0.2909, -0.351, -0.3562, -0.3363, -0.3207, -0.304, -0.3262, -0.2897, -0.2616, -0.352, -0.3191, -0.2448, -0.1935, -0.2182, -0.1898, -0.2254, -0.2277, -0.2277, -0.2482, -0.1971, -0.1774, -0.1726, -0.1919, -0.1485, -0.1047, -0.07, -0.1699, 0.0, -0.0683, -0.0099, -0.0758, -0.1337, -0.0988, -0.0576, -0.0177, -0.0727, -0.0752, 0.012, 0.051, 0.0126, 0.0471, -0.0285, 0.0334, 0.0572, 0.06, -0.0566, -0.0498, -0.2022, -0.1576, -0.1387, -0.1118, -0.1118, -0.1402, -0.1473, -0.1089, -0.0734, -0.0343, 0.0321, -0.0121, -0.0188, 0.0264, 0.0405, 0.0539, 0.0669, 0.0634, 0.0962, 0.1197, 0.0347, -0.0282, -0.0402, 0.0319, 0.0486, 0.0254, -0.0109, 0.0532, -0.0222, 0.0919, 0.255, 0.2381, 0.1881, 0.2015, 0.117, 0.0464, 0.0266, 0.0533, 0.1291, 0.1604, 0.1604, 0.2051, 0.2024, 0.1693, 0.095, 0.095, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2026353801100407194", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-24T17:49:28+00:00", "symbol": "XLU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$XLU was a directional long on US power/grid over the next two years", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Still long XLU as a directional play on US power/grid over the next two years, though current IV at 21-23% is elevated vs ideal 14-16%.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Investmnt_Eagle I still think so! Ideal would be 14-16% IV not the elevated strikes you're looking at ~21-23% IV. \n\nPoint was $XLU was a directional long on US power/grid over the next two years (that benefits from low IV).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thanks! Helped me a lot. You still think XLU is a valuable trade with calls? Since you posted they exploded in price. Current IV is priced around 21-23%", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Investmnt_Eagle", "ret_m1d": -0.011016992189979646, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011016992189979646, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0038009884431638996, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0038009884431638996, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007216003746815747, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007216003746815747, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.003389762365865412, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.003389762365865412, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005048586577715897, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005048586577715897, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008438348943581309, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008438348943581309, "ret_p1w": -0.0027543090861680275, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0027543090861680275, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.007458702016266638, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.007458702016266638, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.010213011102434666, "bench_c_p1w": -0.010213011102434666, "ret_p1m": -0.034611043670159436, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.034611043670159436, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.007196136005146236, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.007196136005146236, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04180717967530567, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04180717967530567, "ret_p3m": -0.03247761996703591, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03247761996703591, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12024428452641545, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12024428452641545, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08776666455937954, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08776666455937954, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0538, -0.0471, -0.0694, -0.076, -0.0789, -0.0808, -0.0894, -0.1016, -0.101, -0.1014, -0.0949, -0.0993, -0.0911, -0.0949, -0.1008, -0.092, -0.1035, -0.1002, -0.097, -0.093, -0.093, -0.0936, -0.0919, -0.0898, -0.0956, -0.0956, -0.0852, -0.0953, -0.0909, -0.1129, -0.1104, -0.0994, -0.0979, -0.0922, -0.0854, -0.0761, -0.0807, -0.0807, -0.0898, -0.0886, -0.0951, -0.0983, -0.0917, -0.0799, -0.082, -0.082, -0.0837, -0.097, -0.0839, -0.0873, -0.0869, -0.0816, -0.0788, -0.0636, -0.0553, -0.0413, -0.0148, -0.0148, -0.0174, -0.0337, -0.0231, -0.0184, -0.011, 0.0, 0.0034, -0.0004, 0.0112, 0.0036, -0.0028, 0.0015, -0.0064, -0.0097, -0.0074, -0.0136, -0.0218, -0.0148, -0.0051, 0.0013, -0.0015, -0.01, -0.014, -0.054, -0.0446, -0.038, -0.0346, -0.0329, -0.0274, -0.0203, -0.021, -0.0163, -0.0114, -0.0114, -0.015, -0.0128, -0.002, 0.0059, 0.0019, -0.0103, -0.0086, -0.0182, -0.0111, -0.0152, -0.0239, -0.041, -0.0427, -0.0167, -0.0148, -0.0146, -0.0133, -0.0254, -0.0005, -0.0069, -0.0107, -0.0107, -0.0248, -0.0374, -0.0459, -0.037, -0.0359, -0.047, -0.0421, -0.0641, -0.0626, -0.054, -0.0504, -0.0399, -0.0325, -0.0325, -0.0329, -0.037, -0.0478, -0.0523, -0.0523, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2021595023679316286", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-11T14:39:47+00:00", "symbol": "VPG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "For $VPG that's actually really promising it's $1m for January 2026 and that's its follow up (maybe $500/humanoid, so 2K units) Their entire order flow was $3.6M up until October and they got 1/3.6th their volume in one month", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish VPG: $1M single-month order from Optimus ramp equals ~28% of prior total order flow, with more volume expected as Optimus scales.", "resolved_tickers": ["VPG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Scientific & Technical Instruments'", "bench_c_industry": "Scientific & Technical Instruments", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "For $VPG that’s actually really promising it’s $1m for January 2026 and that’s its follow up (maybe $500/humanoid, so 2K units)\n\nTheir entire order flow was $3.6M up until October and they got 1/3.6th their volume in one month from your numbers \n\nI’d be more curious about future projections rather than previous ones since now we know Optimus is ramping up later in the year.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit They did mention this which sounds promising but pretty small for time being. Probably takes some time. Thoughts? https://t.co/Dpo5bVn9W3", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JDK_Invests", "ret_m1d": 0.15421063537262025, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.15421063537262025, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.1539795231576897, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.15714832098159404, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00023111221493055112, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0029376856089737835, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005384449673848657, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005384449673848657, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.020833323901749856, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03168363368093907, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0154488742279012, "bench_c_p1d": -0.026299184007090415, "ret_p1w": -0.008615152342230648, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.008615152342230648, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0004209727967849908, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.005793516475098404, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.008194179545445657, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014408668817329051, "ret_p1m": -0.1016584361335221, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1016584361335221, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06422842872873269, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06577669713392098, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03743000740478941, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03588173899960112, "ret_p3m": 0.43441736024922806, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.43441736024922806, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.36308523404161597, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.18869333257550513, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07133212620761209, "bench_c_p3m": 0.24572402767372292, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3119, -0.3448, -0.3476, -0.3409, -0.3694, -0.3295, -0.3013, -0.275, -0.2666, -0.2666, -0.2647, -0.2578, -0.2464, -0.2089, -0.1962, -0.1598, -0.1839, -0.2078, -0.1742, -0.1602, -0.1833, -0.1803, -0.1693, -0.1805, -0.1773, -0.1652, -0.1658, -0.1521, -0.1499, -0.1499, -0.1452, -0.1559, -0.1615, -0.1708, -0.1708, -0.154, -0.1527, -0.1096, -0.1378, -0.1303, -0.1025, -0.1051, -0.106, -0.0991, -0.0588, -0.0607, -0.0607, -0.0584, 0.0082, 0.0293, -0.0493, -0.075, -0.0312, -0.0444, 0.0851, 0.0786, 0.0907, 0.1376, 0.1609, 0.1208, 0.2057, 0.1861, 0.1542, 0.0, 0.0054, -0.048, -0.048, -0.022, -0.0086, 0.0103, 0.0306, 0.0082, 0.0078, 0.0405, 0.0179, -0.0078, 0.0601, 0.0248, 0.0118, -0.031, -0.064, -0.0616, -0.0407, -0.0549, -0.1017, -0.1167, -0.1135, -0.1208, -0.1148, -0.0676, -0.1247, -0.0922, -0.0788, -0.02, -0.0842, -0.1051, -0.1238, -0.0648, -0.053, -0.0358, -0.0358, -0.0067, 0.0065, 0.0571, 0.0603, 0.0747, 0.1191, 0.1157, 0.0941, 0.1066, 0.1462, 0.1449, 0.1721, 0.2343, 0.2447, 0.3056, 0.2617, 0.2322, 0.2119, 0.3013, 0.297, 0.2929, 0.3773, 0.3692, 0.3446, 0.4482, 0.4344, 0.843, 1.1452, 1.1611, 1.0961, 1.266, 1.1096, 1.1691, 1.2408, 1.4501, 1.4501, 1.658, 1.712, 1.6976, 1.6989, 1.6989, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2027489537568739570", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-27T21:02:29+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Yes I'm buying at these levels and increasing my exposure as much as possible for $AAOI. If they hit their $4.3B ARR 2027 mid-year target. It's undervalued, even factoring in short term ATMs.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Actively buying and increasing AAOI exposure; undervalued on path to $4.3B ARR by mid-2027, with upside from potential price hikes.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yes I'm buying at these levels and increasing my exposure as much as possible for $AAOI. \n\nIf they hit their $4.3B ARR* (ARR should be added to post) 2027 mid-year target. It's undervalued, even factoring in short term ATMs. \n\nThis is not factoring in price hikes either, which is a likely scenario is hyperscalers are trying to build for allocation.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Do you even buy at these levels though? Or is theere some retracement to be had before an entry?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "pablocuellar_3", "ret_m1d": -0.3625786953944201, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.3625786953944201, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.3674038085726452, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.3674038085726452, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.21702478987010654, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.21702478987010654, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.21645621108777524, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.21645621108777524, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "ret_p1w": 0.1347500655559073, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1347500655559073, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15459001236840897, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15459001236840897, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "ret_p1m": 0.011397353035883961, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.011397353035883961, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08762893098965874, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08762893098965874, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "ret_p3m": 1.1349874707828982, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.1349874707828982, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.0380187816928927, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.0380187816928927, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6911, -0.6955, -0.6885, -0.6843, -0.6695, -0.6393, -0.5847, -0.5688, -0.6194, -0.645, -0.6562, -0.6778, -0.6527, -0.6282, -0.5359, -0.5175, -0.5132, -0.5132, -0.5587, -0.5637, -0.5724, -0.5861, -0.5861, -0.5299, -0.5846, -0.5416, -0.5482, -0.6081, -0.5959, -0.5997, -0.5942, -0.5908, -0.5607, -0.5603, -0.5603, -0.5339, -0.5443, -0.5471, -0.5759, -0.5858, -0.5561, -0.463, -0.5302, -0.4823, -0.4757, -0.4525, -0.5263, -0.5473, -0.4741, -0.4312, -0.4243, -0.4254, -0.4777, -0.4722, -0.4722, -0.4787, -0.4843, -0.4422, -0.3864, -0.3594, -0.3319, -0.31, -0.3626, 0.0, 0.217, 0.1319, 0.1838, 0.2008, 0.1348, 0.3133, 0.4305, 0.5079, 0.2607, 0.1494, 0.1168, 0.0249, 0.0997, 0.21, 0.0393, 0.1369, 0.3522, 0.3583, 0.1566, 0.166, 0.0114, 0.0043, 0.0252, 0.2336, 0.2336, 0.2757, 0.3967, 0.5754, 0.5826, 0.788, 0.8187, 0.738, 0.6924, 0.8677, 0.8927, 0.9408, 0.7876, 0.774, 0.6352, 0.9253, 0.7307, 0.6296, 0.8144, 0.9513, 1.1787, 1.0537, 1.1438, 1.1197, 0.8705, 0.7683, 1.1952, 1.2353, 1.6487, 1.4168, 1.26, 1.057, 1.0341, 0.962, 1.0991, 1.1547, 1.1547, 1.1087, 1.135, 1.0066, 0.8807, 0.8807, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2012827175314239662", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-18T09:59:29+00:00", "symbol": "LPTH", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LPTH Is existentially critical to the Pentagon + US National Security right now... Lightpath it's the main way around the Germanium chokepoint for Western countries at a small $670M MC.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long LPTH as sole-source supplier of Black Diamond germanium replacement for US defense; no domestic alternative until 2030, supply shock from China export ban drives multi-year demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["LPTH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$LPTH isn't just important. \n\nLighpath is a critical point of failure for the US Dpt of War. \n\n\"Germanium\" is the AI's InP for Lockheed Stinger Missiles and Anduril Ghost / $ONDS Drones. \n\nGermanium's price tripled (~$4,150/kg+ in 2025/26).\n\nThere is a demand shock since US has 0:\n\nThe US has zero (Yes Korea Zinc in TN, but not until 2030). \n\nUS mines germanium ore (Red Dog mine in Alaska), but we do not have the industrial capacity to refine it into metal at scale. \n\n60-70% of refined Germanium comes from China and the rest elsewhere like Canada (Teck), Belgium (Umicore), and Russia (also banned). \n\nAnd China banned exports to US military programs. \n\nThere is effectively no new domestic capacity coming online between now (Jan 2026) and 2029/2030.\n\nThe Demand Shock: \n\nAt the exact moment supply was cut, demand exploded from three sectors:\n\n- AI Data Centers: Germanium is essential for high-speed fiber optic cables.\n\n- Space: It is the primary material for satellite solar cells (Starlink, etc.).\n\n- Defense (The Big One): Every thermal Andruil drone, night vision goggle, and missile seeker head traditionally uses a Germanium lens.\n\n$LPTH Is existentially critical to the Pentagon + US National Security right now.  You might think other companies can just make \"germanium-free\" glass, but it's hard. \n\nThe specific material Lightpath uses called Black Diamond, was invented by the US Naval Research Lab.  Lightpath holds the exclusive license to commercialize BLack Diamond.\n\nIf Lockheed or Raytheon wants to build a missile seeker that uses this specific, military-grade germanium replacement, they legally have to buy it from Lightpath. \n\nThere is no second source. \n\n$LPTH is the Sole Source supplier of many advanced weapons.\n\nExample 1) Allies are stockpiling Short Range Interceptor, eg. Stinger Missiles. Allies need to build thousands more now, but we can't get the Chinese germanium to build the seekers.\n\nLightpath is the \"sole source\" supplier for the optical assembly for companies like Lockheed.\n\nExample 2) Drone companies build \"Blue UAS\" (government-approved drones). To stay off the blacklist, they must remove Chinese parts. \n\nCompanies like $ONDS or $UMAC have likely  sole-sourced their thermal camera supply to Lightpath to not use Chinese supply chains in their drone components. \n\n2026 (Now): China bans exports. US stockpiles are critically low.\n\n2030 (Earliest): The new \"Super Smelter\" in Tennessee (Korea Zinc deal) comes online to refine germanium domestically.\n\nThe Gap: For the next 4 years, the US has no domestic metal.\n\nThis situation seems absurd, but since the US closed most of its Zinc smelters, so we accidentally closed our Germanium supply with them. And for 30 years, it was cheaper to ship the ore to China/Canada than to deal with EPA regulations to refine it here.\n\nThe US military is currently in a position where it has the raw ore in Alaska but has to ask Canada or wait for a Korean company (in 2030) to turn it into a missile seeker. \n\nPeople think $LPTH some cheap penny stock. But it's actually central to US national security now. \n\nLightpath it's the main way around the Germanium chokepoint for Western countries at a small $670M MC.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I've initiated positions in $LPTH ($621M).\n\nLightpath is incredible.\n\nEvery modern thermal weapon (Missiles, Drones) requires Germanium glass, which China owns (70%)\n\nLPTH is the only US alternative with: Black Diamond\n\nUsers?\n\n- $ONDS\n- L3Harris\n- Lockheed\n- Andruil (likely)\n- https://t.co/XdzME21cvo", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.11376295464546371, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.11376295464546371, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.13411974036900876, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.13411974036900876, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "ret_p1w": -0.18615753455836603, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.18615753455836603, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1877045256858415, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1877045256858415, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "ret_p1m": -0.11058070194073111, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11058070194073111, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09784322137102996, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09784322137102996, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "ret_p3m": 0.18695309773454927, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.18695309773454927, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.16972462662066867, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.16972462662066867, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4153, -0.3652, -0.3278, -0.3286, -0.3286, -0.3477, -0.3413, -0.3095, -0.3508, -0.401, -0.3771, -0.3938, -0.3866, -0.3811, -0.3604, -0.4137, -0.4702, -0.467, -0.459, -0.4566, -0.4654, -0.5084, -0.506, -0.4598, -0.4503, -0.4495, -0.4495, -0.4153, -0.4296, -0.3699, -0.3357, -0.2824, -0.2999, -0.3047, -0.2999, -0.2983, -0.2745, -0.3556, -0.4041, -0.4169, -0.4527, -0.4288, -0.3922, -0.3214, -0.3071, -0.2816, -0.2816, -0.2824, -0.1814, -0.1599, -0.1408, -0.1408, -0.0676, -0.07, -0.0835, -0.0294, 0.0048, -0.0183, -0.0461, -0.0724, 0.0525, 0.0477, 0.0, 0.0, 0.1138, 0.0851, 0.14, -0.0103, -0.1862, -0.105, -0.1026, -0.0859, -0.171, -0.1647, -0.1337, -0.2522, -0.2792, -0.1599, -0.0986, -0.1241, -0.183, -0.0072, -0.0835, -0.0835, -0.1106, -0.1058, 0.0819, -0.0453, -0.109, -0.0461, -0.0636, -0.1138, -0.1702, -0.0446, -0.0469, -0.0613, -0.0986, -0.1193, -0.1177, -0.1193, -0.1337, -0.1273, -0.1639, -0.1249, -0.0461, -0.0716, -0.0859, -0.1623, -0.0899, -0.0557, -0.0493, -0.1257, -0.245, -0.2593, -0.2021, -0.187, -0.1265, -0.1265, -0.0859, -0.1281, -0.0788, -0.0326, 0.0207, 0.1464, 0.1368, 0.1154, 0.187, 0.1265, 0.1376, 0.1289, 0.1655, 0.1631, 0.28, 0.113, 0.0103, -0.0302, 0.0191, 0.0899, -0.0191, -0.0374, 0.0239, -0.043, -0.0843, 0.0199, -0.0286, -0.0358, -0.0334, -0.0835, -0.0103, 0.1042, 0.0859, 0.136, 0.3484, 0.3484, 0.292, 0.401, 0.4439, 0.3508, 0.3508, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013862825014309361", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-21T06:34:47+00:00", "symbol": "VPG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Fully agree, ramp up on robotics presents an incredibly opportunity", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses bullish VPG thesis; robotics ramp seen as major opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["VPG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Scientific & Technical Instruments'", "bench_c_industry": "Scientific & Technical Instruments", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ThematicTrader Great thesis on $VPG! Fully agree, ramp up on robotics presents an incredibly opportunity", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Vishay Precision Group $VPG is a silent monster in the making for the humanoid robotics era. One of the most important developments for robotics lies in high-precision tactile sensing. VPG dominates this niche through its proprietary foil technology, which provides the human-like", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ThematicTrader", "ret_m1d": -0.06601153731969323, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06601153731969323, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05460213493417854, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.052312969759923944, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011409402385514689, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013698567559769281, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02093568710714666, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02093568710714666, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.015712457087418974, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.013495254549206859, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005223230019727687, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007440432557939802, "ret_p1w": -0.05212566481141945, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05212566481141945, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06674481548805522, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08981428105690381, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014619150676635773, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03768861624548436, "ret_p1m": 0.0021362630033621155, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0021362630033621155, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.003478613920304907, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.027169227953641628, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0013423509169427916, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025032964950279513, "ret_p3m": 0.13565473804374406, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.13565473804374406, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09880692409877811, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05956700092025935, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.036847813944965946, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07608773712348471, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2205, -0.2318, -0.2081, -0.1854, -0.1812, -0.1997, -0.188, -0.2376, -0.229, -0.2927, -0.2959, -0.2696, -0.282, -0.2833, -0.3153, -0.3175, -0.3501, -0.3529, -0.3463, -0.3745, -0.335, -0.307, -0.2809, -0.2726, -0.2726, -0.2707, -0.2638, -0.2525, -0.2153, -0.2027, -0.1666, -0.1906, -0.2143, -0.1809, -0.1671, -0.1899, -0.1869, -0.176, -0.1871, -0.1839, -0.172, -0.1726, -0.1589, -0.1568, -0.1568, -0.1521, -0.1628, -0.1683, -0.1775, -0.1775, -0.1609, -0.1596, -0.1169, -0.1448, -0.1374, -0.1098, -0.1124, -0.1132, -0.1064, -0.0664, -0.0684, -0.0684, -0.066, 0.0, 0.0209, -0.057, -0.0825, -0.0391, -0.0521, 0.0763, 0.0699, 0.0818, 0.1284, 0.1515, 0.1117, 0.1959, 0.1765, 0.1448, -0.0081, -0.0028, -0.0558, -0.0558, -0.0299, -0.0167, 0.0021, 0.0222, 0.0, -0.0004, 0.032, 0.0096, -0.0158, 0.0515, 0.0164, 0.0036, -0.0389, -0.0716, -0.0692, -0.0485, -0.0626, -0.109, -0.1239, -0.1207, -0.128, -0.122, -0.0752, -0.1318, -0.0996, -0.0863, -0.028, -0.0916, -0.1124, -0.131, -0.0724, -0.0607, -0.0436, -0.0436, -0.0147, -0.0017, 0.0485, 0.0517, 0.066, 0.11, 0.1066, 0.0852, 0.0976, 0.1369, 0.1357, 0.1626, 0.2243, 0.2346, 0.295, 0.2514, 0.2222, 0.2021, 0.2907, 0.2865, 0.2824, 0.3662, 0.358, 0.3337, 0.4364, 0.4228, 0.828, 1.1278, 1.1436, 1.079, 1.2476, 1.0925, 1.1515, 1.2226, 1.4302, 1.4302, 1.6364, 1.69, 1.6757, 1.677, 1.677, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2023668078647861663", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-17T07:57:22+00:00", "symbol": "ALAB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ALAB selloff is a good buying opportunity... good long here", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Buyable dip post-earnings selloff; CFO departure immaterial, gross margin compression optically distorted by Amazon deal — algorithmic overreaction.", "resolved_tickers": ["ALAB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$ALAB selloff is a good buying opportunity. Did a little more research into earnings\n\n- CFO leaving is immaterial (he's still there though)\n- gross margin compression is just optics, the Amazon deal artificially compressed it by 2% or so. \n\nprob sold off algorithmically, missed the nuance. good long here", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit ALAB cooked me so bad on earnings 😭", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SVBriskmanager", "ret_m1d": 0.045517056930122646, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.045517056930122646, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.047127924320324754, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.045001753133784295, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0016108673902021087, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0005153037963383511, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04761904174461162, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04761904174461162, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04258128320299459, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.035251301304953575, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005037758541617032, "bench_c_p1d": 0.012367740439658048, "ret_p1w": 0.03807899880436438, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03807899880436438, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03148898897854835, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.009490758964109336, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0065900098258160344, "bench_c_p1w": 0.028588239840255047, "ret_p1m": 0.02142447929645508, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.02142447929645508, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05279296908833475, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05538682624800739, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03136848979187967, "bench_c_p1m": -0.033962346951552314, "ret_p3m": 0.8811544028063638, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.8811544028063638, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.7957202631550149, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5159363381619106, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08543413965134894, "bench_c_p3m": 0.36521806464445317, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1261, 0.1464, 0.1945, 0.1705, 0.2468, 0.2468, 0.2739, 0.3355, 0.1556, 0.2329, 0.233, 0.3035, 0.4208, 0.3508, 0.3284, 0.4043, 0.2034, 0.1615, 0.1718, 0.1338, 0.1794, 0.3291, 0.3956, 0.3649, 0.3742, 0.3742, 0.3523, 0.3753, 0.3812, 0.345, 0.345, 0.4517, 0.351, 0.3017, 0.3402, 0.2671, 0.3147, 0.3952, 0.4598, 0.3917, 0.4104, 0.4714, 0.4714, 0.4856, 0.423, 0.4257, 0.3717, 0.3198, 0.3819, 0.3574, 0.2973, 0.2177, 0.2324, 0.2816, 0.1696, 0.1547, 0.3732, 0.5173, 0.4784, 0.1619, 0.0234, 0.0455, 0.0455, 0.0, 0.0476, 0.0722, 0.0484, 0.0368, 0.0381, 0.0361, 0.0079, -0.0393, -0.0254, -0.1123, -0.0802, -0.0298, -0.0363, -0.0112, -0.0583, 0.0082, -0.0306, -0.0273, 0.0306, 0.0314, 0.0214, 0.02, -0.0618, 0.0015, -0.0156, -0.0272, -0.0815, -0.0907, -0.1893, -0.1139, -0.1404, -0.053, -0.053, -0.0461, -0.038, 0.0143, 0.0466, 0.205, 0.3485, 0.3793, 0.3913, 0.381, 0.4071, 0.4213, 0.552, 0.5689, 0.5971, 0.7208, 0.5898, 0.482, 0.5915, 0.5744, 0.6386, 0.6271, 0.7438, 0.7294, 0.5818, 0.6152, 0.6764, 0.6527, 0.8117, 0.8485, 0.8812, 0.7429, 0.9748, 1.3242, 1.408, 1.481, 1.481, 1.5768, 1.6302, 1.8229, 1.7718, 1.7718, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2022111102294012103", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-13T00:50:30+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Mag7 earnings are too strong for a full-blown correction. $META projecting guided ~30% revenue growth", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long Mag7/META/GOOGL on strong earnings; long RDDT on growth; BTC/ETH not recovering signals near-term liquidity risk; broader recovery expected into midterms.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "IMO Mag7 earnings are too strong for a full-blown correction. $META projecting guided ~30% revenue growth. $GOOGL's enormous $180B capex spend is funded by it's $132B+ operating income from 2025. \n\nAll those funds trickle down into AI, memory, semis and puts a floor on them (eg. memory is a huge percentage of BOM for AI clusters).\n\nEven mid cap in other segments like $RDDT, is close to ~26-30 forward P/E estimates after 35% of revenue as net income -> 70% Y/Y revenue growth and 50%+ forward. \n\nGrowth still looks sustainable right now, and other segments like software are heavily discounted. \n\nBut the fact Bitcoin/Ethereum is not recovering yet is usually the best canary in the coal mine for short term liquidity issues. I'd expect a broader recovery going forward to midterms.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit And most are predicting 15-20% S&amp;P crash. Completely disconnected to the sell off many are experiencing for months.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MambaHarveyInc", "ret_m1d": 0.01569317365326639, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01569317365326639, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.016397163196660625, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.015169542343948406, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0007039895433942345, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0005236313093179845, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.024837045648224754, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.024837045648224754, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.013571866378661035, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.00546188562471972, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011265179269563719, "bench_c_p1w": 0.019375160023505034, "ret_p1m": -0.01841721947574837, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.01841721947574837, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.00024056817292472665, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.024962911434250445, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.018657787648673096, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006545691958502076, "ret_p3m": -0.03534403861348556, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03534403861348556, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12714788389378429, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.057621915634875176, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09180384528029872, "bench_c_p3m": 0.022277877021389614, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0665, -0.078, -0.0799, -0.0719, -0.0425, -0.0064, -0.0104, -0.0104, 0.012, 0.0009, 0.0106, -0.0011, 0.0332, 0.0517, 0.0414, 0.026, 0.0154, 0.0194, 0.0062, 0.0121, 0.0272, 0.0152, 0.0386, 0.0297, 0.034, 0.0393, 0.0434, 0.0434, 0.0368, 0.0296, 0.0409, 0.0318, 0.0318, 0.0166, 0.0297, 0.0326, 0.0139, 0.0098, 0.0208, 0.0034, -0.0136, -0.0379, -0.0297, -0.0305, -0.0305, -0.0557, -0.0419, 0.0123, 0.0297, 0.0509, 0.0519, 0.0453, 0.154, 0.1199, 0.1042, 0.0812, 0.0457, 0.0476, 0.0339, 0.0585, 0.0484, 0.0452, 0.0157, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0008, 0.0054, 0.0078, 0.0248, -0.0039, -0.0007, 0.0218, 0.0269, 0.0131, 0.0216, 0.0239, 0.0437, 0.0325, 0.008, 0.0119, 0.0224, 0.0236, -0.0025, -0.0407, -0.0184, -0.0259, -0.0368, -0.0509, -0.0713, -0.055, -0.0724, -0.0694, -0.1434, -0.1776, -0.1609, -0.105, -0.0939, -0.1013, -0.1013, -0.1036, -0.1004, -0.0419, -0.0169, -0.0146, -0.0073, 0.0364, 0.0506, 0.0589, 0.0772, 0.0496, 0.0463, 0.0555, 0.0312, 0.056, 0.0616, 0.0502, 0.0468, -0.0427, -0.0477, -0.0451, -0.0536, -0.0412, -0.0351, -0.0463, -0.0631, -0.0567, -0.0353, -0.0325, -0.0391, -0.0438, -0.0573, -0.0534, -0.0498, -0.0453, -0.0453, -0.0421, -0.0062, -0.0062, -0.0105, -0.0105, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2022111102294012103", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-13T00:50:30+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$GOOGL's enormous $180B capex spend is funded by it's $132B+ operating income from 2025", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long Mag7/META/GOOGL on strong earnings; long RDDT on growth; BTC/ETH not recovering signals near-term liquidity risk; broader recovery expected into midterms.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "IMO Mag7 earnings are too strong for a full-blown correction. $META projecting guided ~30% revenue growth. $GOOGL's enormous $180B capex spend is funded by it's $132B+ operating income from 2025. \n\nAll those funds trickle down into AI, memory, semis and puts a floor on them (eg. memory is a huge percentage of BOM for AI clusters).\n\nEven mid cap in other segments like $RDDT, is close to ~26-30 forward P/E estimates after 35% of revenue as net income -> 70% Y/Y revenue growth and 50%+ forward. \n\nGrowth still looks sustainable right now, and other segments like software are heavily discounted. \n\nBut the fact Bitcoin/Ethereum is not recovering yet is usually the best canary in the coal mine for short term liquidity issues. I'd expect a broader recovery going forward to midterms.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit And most are predicting 15-20% S&amp;P crash. Completely disconnected to the sell off many are experiencing for months.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MambaHarveyInc", "ret_m1d": 0.01072872799398561, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01072872799398561, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.011432717537379844, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.010205096684667625, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0007039895433942345, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0005236313093179845, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.030289130144226517, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.030289130144226517, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0190239508746628, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.010913970120721483, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011265179269563719, "bench_c_p1w": 0.019375160023505034, "ret_p1m": 0.00018020563020715308, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.00018020563020715308, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.01883799327888025, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0063654863282949226, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.018657787648673096, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006545691958502076, "ret_p3m": 0.3178837306081661, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3178837306081661, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.22607988532786738, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2956058535867765, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09180384528029872, "bench_c_p3m": 0.022277877021389614, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0707, -0.0429, -0.0538, -0.0205, 0.0414, 0.0573, 0.0459, 0.0459, 0.0466, 0.0293, 0.0323, 0.0448, 0.0382, 0.0502, 0.0262, 0.0372, 0.0474, 0.0219, 0.0117, 0.0082, 0.0028, -0.0294, -0.0107, 0.0047, 0.0133, 0.0282, 0.0274, 0.0274, 0.0255, 0.0256, 0.0266, 0.0238, 0.0238, 0.0308, 0.0354, 0.0282, 0.0532, 0.0645, 0.0747, 0.0855, 0.0989, 0.0985, 0.0885, 0.0794, 0.0794, 0.0533, 0.0741, 0.0812, 0.0726, 0.0901, 0.0943, 0.0991, 0.1064, 0.1056, 0.1242, 0.1112, 0.0894, 0.0835, 0.0561, 0.0608, 0.0421, 0.0171, 0.0107, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0121, -0.0078, -0.0094, 0.0303, 0.0189, 0.0169, 0.0235, 0.0054, 0.0198, 0.0026, -0.007, -0.0085, -0.0158, -0.0236, 0.0028, 0.005, 0.0105, -0.0064, -0.0106, 0.0002, 0.0177, 0.0072, 0.0053, -0.0147, -0.0113, -0.0493, -0.0477, -0.0805, -0.102, -0.1048, -0.0587, -0.0266, -0.0319, -0.0319, -0.0181, -0.0001, 0.0387, 0.0425, 0.0384, 0.0517, 0.0897, 0.1035, 0.0999, 0.1184, 0.1045, 0.0877, 0.1107, 0.1093, 0.1273, 0.1468, 0.1449, 0.1454, 0.2596, 0.2625, 0.2545, 0.2714, 0.3029, 0.3027, 0.3119, 0.2721, 0.2679, 0.3179, 0.3128, 0.2988, 0.2993, 0.2689, 0.273, 0.2689, 0.2536, 0.2536, 0.2729, 0.2727, 0.277, 0.245, 0.245, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2022111102294012103", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-13T00:50:30+00:00", "symbol": "RDDT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$RDDT, is close to ~26-30 forward P/E estimates after 35% of revenue as net income -> 70% Y/Y revenue growth and 50%+ forward", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long Mag7/META/GOOGL on strong earnings; long RDDT on growth; BTC/ETH not recovering signals near-term liquidity risk; broader recovery expected into midterms.", "resolved_tickers": ["RDDT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "IMO Mag7 earnings are too strong for a full-blown correction. $META projecting guided ~30% revenue growth. $GOOGL's enormous $180B capex spend is funded by it's $132B+ operating income from 2025. \n\nAll those funds trickle down into AI, memory, semis and puts a floor on them (eg. memory is a huge percentage of BOM for AI clusters).\n\nEven mid cap in other segments like $RDDT, is close to ~26-30 forward P/E estimates after 35% of revenue as net income -> 70% Y/Y revenue growth and 50%+ forward. \n\nGrowth still looks sustainable right now, and other segments like software are heavily discounted. \n\nBut the fact Bitcoin/Ethereum is not recovering yet is usually the best canary in the coal mine for short term liquidity issues. I'd expect a broader recovery going forward to midterms.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit And most are predicting 15-20% S&amp;P crash. Completely disconnected to the sell off many are experiencing for months.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MambaHarveyInc", "ret_m1d": -0.06143921909961225, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06143921909961225, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06073522955621802, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06196285040893024, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0007039895433942345, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0005236313093179845, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.07533121899209605, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07533121899209605, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06406603972253233, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.055956058968591016, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011265179269563719, "bench_c_p1w": 0.019375160023505034, "ret_p1m": 0.002506309479505253, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.002506309479505253, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02116409712817835, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0040393824789968225, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.018657787648673096, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006545691958502076, "ret_p3m": 0.10361619658522159, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10361619658522159, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.011812351304922863, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08133831956383197, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09180384528029872, "bench_c_p3m": 0.022277877021389614, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3297, 0.3446, 0.3024, 0.3139, 0.3963, 0.5645, 0.4863, 0.4863, 0.5501, 0.5997, 0.5951, 0.5814, 0.5951, 0.6764, 0.6967, 0.6907, 0.705, 0.6723, 0.6096, 0.5646, 0.604, 0.6279, 0.6566, 0.6698, 0.6695, 0.617, 0.6173, 0.6173, 0.6167, 0.6803, 0.671, 0.646, 0.646, 0.7321, 0.7476, 0.8175, 0.8296, 0.8185, 0.7512, 0.7474, 0.8541, 0.8072, 0.638, 0.6542, 0.6542, 0.6137, 0.5047, 0.5363, 0.5673, 0.5298, 0.4057, 0.383, 0.3609, 0.2909, 0.2685, 0.1845, 0.0934, 0.0816, 0.0013, 0.015, 0.074, -0.0026, -0.0614, 0.0, 0.0, -0.003, 0.0559, 0.0464, 0.0753, 0.0201, 0.0174, 0.0718, 0.0831, 0.0441, 0.0534, 0.0433, 0.0547, 0.0336, -0.0019, -0.0057, -0.0395, -0.0181, -0.053, -0.0522, 0.0025, 0.0335, 0.0225, -0.011, 0.0014, 0.0094, -0.0253, -0.0001, -0.0887, -0.1275, -0.1111, -0.0358, -0.0248, -0.0261, -0.0261, -0.0094, 0.0107, 0.0383, -0.0091, 0.0006, 0.0695, 0.1066, 0.1348, 0.1633, 0.1729, 0.1907, 0.123, 0.1766, 0.0953, 0.1091, 0.1472, 0.0593, 0.058, 0.0543, 0.1921, 0.2107, 0.229, 0.1927, 0.174, 0.1156, 0.1422, 0.0909, 0.1036, 0.1193, 0.1326, 0.1393, 0.1091, 0.0506, 0.0744, 0.0145, 0.0145, 0.0357, 0.1041, 0.2008, 0.2603, 0.2603, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2022111102294012103", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-02-13T00:50:30+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the fact Bitcoin/Ethereum is not recovering yet is usually the best canary in the coal mine for short term liquidity issues", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long Mag7/META/GOOGL on strong earnings; long RDDT on growth; BTC/ETH not recovering signals near-term liquidity risk; broader recovery expected into midterms.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "IMO Mag7 earnings are too strong for a full-blown correction. $META projecting guided ~30% revenue growth. $GOOGL's enormous $180B capex spend is funded by it's $132B+ operating income from 2025. \n\nAll those funds trickle down into AI, memory, semis and puts a floor on them (eg. memory is a huge percentage of BOM for AI clusters).\n\nEven mid cap in other segments like $RDDT, is close to ~26-30 forward P/E estimates after 35% of revenue as net income -> 70% Y/Y revenue growth and 50%+ forward. \n\nGrowth still looks sustainable right now, and other segments like software are heavily discounted. \n\nBut the fact Bitcoin/Ethereum is not recovering yet is usually the best canary in the coal mine for short term liquidity issues. I'd expect a broader recovery going forward to midterms.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit And most are predicting 15-20% S&amp;P crash. Completely disconnected to the sell off many are experiencing for months.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MambaHarveyInc", "ret_m1d": -0.03828176800845584, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03828176800845584, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.037577778465061606, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0007039895433942345, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.0002133017707224294, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0002133017707224294, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0002133017707224294, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.012379444789105798, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.012379444789105798, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.023644624058669517, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011265179269563719, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": 0.08718312773916925, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08718312773916925, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10584091538784235, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.018657787648673096, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": 0.1513157088585133, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1513157088585133, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.059511863578214586, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09180384528029872, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3499, 0.3283, 0.2581, 0.2357, 0.2819, 0.2684, 0.3146, 0.3257, 0.3204, 0.2536, 0.3266, 0.3583, 0.3381, 0.2981, 0.3163, 0.3461, 0.3364, 0.3435, 0.311, 0.255, 0.2757, 0.251, 0.2411, 0.2795, 0.2851, 0.2695, 0.2724, 0.2669, 0.2679, 0.2655, 0.2842, 0.2709, 0.2886, 0.3062, 0.3634, 0.3612, 0.326, 0.322, 0.3145, 0.3244, 0.3843, 0.4077, 0.3877, 0.3873, 0.3441, 0.2825, 0.298, 0.2992, 0.2998, 0.2819, 0.294, 0.2952, 0.2281, 0.2218, 0.1428, 0.0984, 0.0604, -0.0894, 0.0247, 0.0183, -0.0009, -0.0271, -0.0383, 0.0, -0.0002, -0.0198, -0.0353, -0.0276, -0.0124, -0.0616, -0.0694, -0.013, -0.0204, -0.0432, -0.0012, -0.0082, 0.056, 0.0288, -0.0105, -0.0066, 0.0155, 0.0196, 0.0238, 0.0306, 0.0872, 0.0736, 0.0347, 0.0153, 0.0242, 0.0299, 0.0241, 0.0356, -0.001, -0.0366, -0.0315, -0.0091, -0.0113, -0.0286, -0.028, 0.0, 0.0448, 0.0329, 0.0423, 0.0599, 0.0817, 0.0773, 0.0864, 0.0914, 0.1201, 0.1019, 0.1088, 0.1357, 0.1367, 0.1249, 0.1236, 0.1088, 0.1005, 0.1081, 0.1354, 0.1593, 0.1753, 0.1825, 0.162, 0.1645, 0.1869, 0.1687, 0.1513, 0.1771, 0.1482, 0.1176, 0.1146, 0.1249, 0.1261, 0.0963, 0.1223, 0.1012, 0.0797, 0.0679, 0.0656, 0.0697, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2022111102294012103", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-02-13T00:50:30+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin/Ethereum is not recovering yet is usually the best canary in the coal mine for short term liquidity issues", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long Mag7/META/GOOGL on strong earnings; long RDDT on growth; BTC/ETH not recovering signals near-term liquidity risk; broader recovery expected into midterms.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "IMO Mag7 earnings are too strong for a full-blown correction. $META projecting guided ~30% revenue growth. $GOOGL's enormous $180B capex spend is funded by it's $132B+ operating income from 2025. \n\nAll those funds trickle down into AI, memory, semis and puts a floor on them (eg. memory is a huge percentage of BOM for AI clusters).\n\nEven mid cap in other segments like $RDDT, is close to ~26-30 forward P/E estimates after 35% of revenue as net income -> 70% Y/Y revenue growth and 50%+ forward. \n\nGrowth still looks sustainable right now, and other segments like software are heavily discounted. \n\nBut the fact Bitcoin/Ethereum is not recovering yet is usually the best canary in the coal mine for short term liquidity issues. I'd expect a broader recovery going forward to midterms.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit And most are predicting 15-20% S&amp;P crash. Completely disconnected to the sell off many are experiencing for months.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MambaHarveyInc", "ret_m1d": -0.04959009711625917, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04959009711625917, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.048886107572864934, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0007039895433942345, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.0247053666601198, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0247053666601198, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0247053666601198, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.038810809689887704, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.038810809689887704, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05007598895945142, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011265179269563719, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": 0.1477396347986264, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1477396347986264, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1663974224472995, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.018657787648673096, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": 0.10204846564700643, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.10204846564700643, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.010244620366707702, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09180384528029872, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.5245, 0.4757, 0.3823, 0.3501, 0.4414, 0.4439, 0.478, 0.4716, 0.4802, 0.3669, 0.4635, 0.558, 0.53, 0.4764, 0.5256, 0.6212, 0.6233, 0.5802, 0.5056, 0.447, 0.447, 0.3822, 0.38, 0.4537, 0.4674, 0.4466, 0.4379, 0.4174, 0.4282, 0.4325, 0.4505, 0.4484, 0.4647, 0.5252, 0.5749, 0.6089, 0.5459, 0.5154, 0.505, 0.5095, 0.6217, 0.6376, 0.6193, 0.6087, 0.5556, 0.433, 0.4542, 0.4399, 0.4416, 0.4286, 0.4753, 0.4677, 0.3757, 0.3192, 0.1444, 0.0874, 0.0464, -0.1107, 0.0073, 0.0269, -0.0142, -0.0527, -0.0496, 0.0, -0.0247, -0.0275, -0.0462, -0.049, -0.0388, -0.0942, -0.0955, 0.003, -0.0106, -0.0575, -0.0104, -0.0321, 0.0381, 0.0113, -0.0341, -0.0271, -0.0056, 0.0015, 0.012, 0.0215, 0.1477, 0.1316, 0.0757, 0.0434, 0.0478, 0.0506, 0.0523, 0.0583, 0.0054, -0.0279, -0.0122, 0.0274, 0.044, 0.0041, 0.0024, 0.0289, 0.0944, 0.0692, 0.0686, 0.096, 0.1573, 0.1341, 0.1518, 0.1465, 0.1819, 0.1302, 0.1364, 0.1599, 0.1381, 0.1304, 0.1243, 0.1176, 0.1, 0.1014, 0.1204, 0.1454, 0.1526, 0.1476, 0.1184, 0.1262, 0.142, 0.1104, 0.102, 0.1135, 0.0853, 0.039, 0.03, 0.0383, 0.0405, 0.0079, 0.0307, 0.0109, -0.0129, -0.02, -0.0178, -0.0194, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2014045203737588190", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-21T18:39:30+00:00", "symbol": "INTC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Yep. Not every day do you get a company backstopped by the White House like $INTC", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish INTC at current price; White House backing + Mag7/government support makes it a compelling buy.", "resolved_tickers": ["INTC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Crypto_fox7 Yep. Not every day do you get a company backstopped by the White House like $INTC. \n\nBoth the government and all the Mag7 companies like $NVDA and $APPL are just pushing for Intel to succeed.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit mmmh even at this price ?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Crypto_fox7", "ret_m1d": -0.10488476731260798, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10488476731260798, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0934753649270933, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0934753649270933, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011409402385514689, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011409402385514689, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0012903169552851423, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0012903169552851423, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.003932913064442545, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.003932913064442545, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005223230019727687, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005223230019727687, "ret_p1w": -0.10082951558899766, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10082951558899766, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11544866626563344, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11544866626563344, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014619150676635773, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014619150676635773, "ret_p1m": -0.1775115404260873, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1775115404260873, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1761691895091445, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1761691895091445, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0013423509169427916, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0013423509169427916, "ret_p3m": 0.2110598515805011, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2110598515805011, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.17421203763553517, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.17421203763553517, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.036847813944965946, "bench_c_p3m": 0.036847813944965946, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2944, -0.2712, -0.2345, -0.238, -0.2597, -0.2629, -0.2719, -0.3174, -0.2925, -0.3135, -0.2971, -0.2912, -0.3018, -0.3016, -0.3381, -0.3453, -0.3602, -0.3672, -0.3528, -0.3803, -0.3641, -0.3403, -0.3395, -0.3215, -0.3215, -0.2524, -0.2625, -0.1987, -0.1934, -0.2535, -0.2367, -0.2571, -0.2535, -0.2483, -0.2717, -0.303, -0.3086, -0.3123, -0.3355, -0.3312, -0.3213, -0.3296, -0.33, -0.3335, -0.3335, -0.3327, -0.3239, -0.3124, -0.3198, -0.3198, -0.2741, -0.2743, -0.2619, -0.2142, -0.2422, -0.1604, -0.1878, -0.1283, -0.1019, -0.1093, -0.1344, -0.1344, -0.1049, 0.0, 0.0013, -0.1692, -0.2168, -0.1902, -0.1008, -0.103, -0.1434, -0.1003, -0.0922, -0.1041, -0.1108, -0.0675, -0.0739, -0.1312, -0.1099, -0.1432, -0.1375, -0.1375, -0.1488, -0.162, -0.1775, -0.1869, -0.1958, -0.1499, -0.1359, -0.162, -0.1593, -0.1613, -0.2055, -0.1598, -0.153, -0.1996, -0.1598, -0.1377, -0.1156, -0.1659, -0.1563, -0.1565, -0.1878, -0.17, -0.1488, -0.1913, -0.1888, -0.1878, -0.1303, -0.1871, -0.205, -0.2407, -0.1865, -0.1147, -0.0713, -0.0713, -0.064, -0.0247, 0.0866, 0.1377, 0.1499, 0.2015, 0.1762, 0.1971, 0.2627, 0.2627, 0.2111, 0.2214, 0.2031, 0.231, 0.5215, 0.5666, 0.558, 0.7465, 0.7416, 0.8363, 0.7655, 0.9935, 1.0831, 1.0206, 1.3027, 1.386, 1.2232, 1.2173, 1.137, 1.005, 0.9939, 1.0424, 1.1928, 1.1843, 1.209, 1.209, 1.2769, 1.2446, 1.2284, 1.1139, 1.1139, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2034799632157745304", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-20T01:10:11+00:00", "symbol": "TSEM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Names like $TSEM, $SIVE, $SOI were my favorite three higher conviction ones", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Top high-conviction buys: TSEM, SIVE, SOI on silicon photonics/CPO theme; RDDT and AAOI as diversifiers on current prices/transceiver cycle.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSEM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@moderndayvenom I’d send it into silicon photonics/CPO since we know it’s coming from OFC and $NVDA GTC.\n\nNames like $TSEM, $SIVE, $SOI were my favorite three higher conviction ones. \n\nThen I’d diversify a bit, maybe $RDDT as a long as of today’s prices. And $AAOI for current transceiver cycles.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Unreal, no words left! If u were to build ur port from scratch TODAY, what would be ur top 5 HIGH CONVICTION picks at this price for solid returns?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "moderndayvenom", "ret_m1d": 0.014972785400799937, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.014972785400799937, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0004285059985580375, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0004285059985580375, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0145442794022419, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0145442794022419, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.051946463034621804, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.051946463034621804, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.041446443789683984, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.041446443789683984, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01050001924493782, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01050001924493782, "ret_p1w": 0.05066303879945422, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05066303879945422, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0729890487987287, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0729890487987287, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.022326009999274476, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022326009999274476, "ret_p1m": 0.371936679057963, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.371936679057963, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.27919424154213535, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.27919424154213535, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09274243751582767, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09274243751582767, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.26, -0.2515, -0.2515, -0.2568, -0.2599, -0.2625, -0.2824, -0.2824, -0.256, -0.271, -0.2527, -0.2531, -0.283, -0.2665, -0.2587, -0.2374, -0.2471, -0.2422, -0.2066, -0.2066, -0.2116, -0.1846, -0.2056, -0.214, -0.2236, -0.1895, -0.151, -0.1767, -0.1766, -0.1634, -0.1664, -0.2588, -0.2111, -0.1503, -0.0984, -0.1654, -0.1784, -0.1836, -0.2132, -0.2132, -0.2191, -0.2156, -0.2308, -0.2149, -0.2212, -0.2299, -0.2302, -0.2432, -0.2369, -0.153, -0.2328, -0.2452, -0.2633, -0.3241, -0.2944, -0.2857, -0.2701, -0.2756, -0.2379, -0.1538, -0.1575, -0.1324, 0.015, 0.0, 0.0519, 0.1051, 0.1535, 0.0675, 0.0507, -0.0309, 0.0724, 0.1433, 0.2088, 0.2088, 0.1623, 0.1664, 0.2448, 0.2456, 0.2442, 0.2801, 0.3085, 0.3178, 0.3124, 0.3839, 0.3719, 0.3245, 0.2595, 0.23, 0.2256, 0.2426, 0.1829, 0.2173, 0.3509, 0.3323, 0.3143, 0.3783, 0.3254, 0.2834, 0.2896, 0.3988, 0.3496, 0.6548, 0.7154, 0.6744, 0.516, 0.5357, 0.6163, 0.7051, 0.7321, 0.7321, 0.7633, 0.6977, 0.6837, 0.5598, 0.5598, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2034799632157745304", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-03-20T01:10:11+00:00", "symbol": "RDDT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$RDDT as a long as of today's prices", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Top high-conviction buys: TSEM, SIVE, SOI on silicon photonics/CPO theme; RDDT and AAOI as diversifiers on current prices/transceiver cycle.", "resolved_tickers": ["RDDT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@moderndayvenom I’d send it into silicon photonics/CPO since we know it’s coming from OFC and $NVDA GTC.\n\nNames like $TSEM, $SIVE, $SOI were my favorite three higher conviction ones. \n\nThen I’d diversify a bit, maybe $RDDT as a long as of today’s prices. And $AAOI for current transceiver cycles.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Unreal, no words left! If u were to build ur port from scratch TODAY, what would be ur top 5 HIGH CONVICTION picks at this price for solid returns?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "moderndayvenom", "ret_m1d": -0.012370474871825077, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.012370474871825077, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.026914754274066977, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02047881632400228, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0145442794022419, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008108341452177203, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.007937079455899054, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.007937079455899054, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.002562939789038765, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0004553995365241814, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01050001924493782, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007481679919374873, "ret_p1w": -0.1287809008195121, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1287809008195121, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10645489082023762, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08558012730272357, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.022326009999274476, "bench_c_p1w": -0.043200773516788527, "ret_p1m": 0.18898814102459194, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.18898814102459194, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09624570350876427, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12751666145550367, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09274243751582767, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06147147956908827, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.6147, 0.6149, 0.6149, 0.6144, 0.6779, 0.6686, 0.6437, 0.6437, 0.7296, 0.7451, 0.8149, 0.827, 0.8159, 0.7487, 0.7449, 0.8515, 0.8046, 0.6357, 0.6518, 0.6518, 0.6114, 0.5025, 0.5341, 0.5651, 0.5276, 0.4036, 0.3811, 0.359, 0.289, 0.2667, 0.1828, 0.0918, 0.0801, -0.0001, 0.0135, 0.0724, -0.004, -0.0628, -0.0014, -0.0014, -0.0044, 0.0544, 0.0449, 0.0738, 0.0187, 0.0159, 0.0702, 0.0815, 0.0426, 0.0519, 0.0418, 0.0532, 0.0321, -0.0033, -0.0071, -0.0409, -0.0195, -0.0543, -0.0536, 0.0011, 0.032, 0.021, -0.0124, 0.0, 0.0079, -0.0267, -0.0016, -0.09, -0.1288, -0.1124, -0.0372, -0.0262, -0.0275, -0.0275, -0.0108, 0.0092, 0.0368, -0.0105, -0.0009, 0.0679, 0.105, 0.1332, 0.1616, 0.1713, 0.189, 0.1213, 0.1749, 0.0937, 0.1075, 0.1456, 0.0578, 0.0565, 0.0528, 0.1904, 0.2089, 0.2272, 0.191, 0.1723, 0.1141, 0.1406, 0.0894, 0.102, 0.1177, 0.131, 0.1377, 0.1075, 0.0491, 0.0729, 0.013, 0.013, 0.0343, 0.1025, 0.1991, 0.2585, 0.2585, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2034799632157745304", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-03-20T01:10:11+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI for current transceiver cycles", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Top high-conviction buys: TSEM, SIVE, SOI on silicon photonics/CPO theme; RDDT and AAOI as diversifiers on current prices/transceiver cycle.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@moderndayvenom I’d send it into silicon photonics/CPO since we know it’s coming from OFC and $NVDA GTC.\n\nNames like $TSEM, $SIVE, $SOI were my favorite three higher conviction ones. \n\nThen I’d diversify a bit, maybe $RDDT as a long as of today’s prices. And $AAOI for current transceiver cycles.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Unreal, no words left! If u were to build ur port from scratch TODAY, what would be ur top 5 HIGH CONVICTION picks at this price for solid returns?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "moderndayvenom", "ret_m1d": 0.16426773021506014, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.16426773021506014, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.14972345081281824, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.14972345081281824, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0145442794022419, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0145442794022419, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09389994442238025, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09389994442238025, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08339992517744244, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08339992517744244, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01050001924493782, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01050001924493782, "ret_p1w": 0.12188711511713879, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12188711511713879, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14421312511641327, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14421312511641327, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.022326009999274476, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022326009999274476, "ret_p1m": 0.8673749087396656, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.8673749087396656, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.7746324712238379, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.7746324712238379, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09274243751582767, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09274243751582767, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5358, -0.5316, -0.5316, -0.5754, -0.5802, -0.5885, -0.6018, -0.6018, -0.5476, -0.6003, -0.5589, -0.5653, -0.6229, -0.6111, -0.6148, -0.6095, -0.6062, -0.5773, -0.5769, -0.5769, -0.5515, -0.5616, -0.5642, -0.592, -0.6014, -0.5729, -0.4833, -0.548, -0.5018, -0.4955, -0.4732, -0.5442, -0.5644, -0.4939, -0.4527, -0.4461, -0.4471, -0.4975, -0.4921, -0.4921, -0.4984, -0.5038, -0.4633, -0.4096, -0.3836, -0.3572, -0.3361, -0.3867, -0.0378, 0.171, 0.0891, 0.139, 0.1554, 0.0918, 0.2637, 0.3764, 0.4509, 0.213, 0.1059, 0.0746, -0.0138, 0.0581, 0.1643, 0.0, 0.0939, 0.3011, 0.3069, 0.1129, 0.1219, -0.0268, -0.0337, -0.0136, 0.187, 0.187, 0.2274, 0.3438, 0.5159, 0.5227, 0.7204, 0.7499, 0.6723, 0.6284, 0.7971, 0.8211, 0.8674, 0.72, 0.7069, 0.5733, 0.8525, 0.6653, 0.568, 0.7458, 0.8775, 1.0963, 0.976, 1.0627, 1.0395, 0.7997, 0.7014, 1.1122, 1.1508, 1.5485, 1.3255, 1.1745, 0.9792, 0.9572, 0.8878, 1.0198, 1.0732, 1.0732, 1.029, 1.0543, 0.9308, 0.8096, 0.8096, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2035012093435429308", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-20T15:14:26+00:00", "symbol": "IQE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$IQE can possibly 2.5x in a day based on a successful Taiwan sale, and over the long run like Landmark if they become more pure play inp epiwafer", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefers SIVE as asymmetric long on fabless model and multiple customers; IQE also a potential long on Taiwan sale catalyst and pure-play pivot, though debt-laden.", "resolved_tickers": ["IQE.L"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "IQE plc LSE-listed epiwafer supplier", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I personally don’t see much downside risk in the long run aside from dilution since $SIVE is the light for many customers like $POET, $JBL, Ayar, O-Net, and others rather than one.\n\nAnd compared to $IQE they’re fabless through win semi so capex is more lightweight.\n\n$IQE on the other hand has a lot of debt, but a huge amount of assets, and requires restructuring to be strongly rerated. \n\nRisk profiles are extremely different, $SIVE definitely more assymetrical.\n\n$IQE can possibly 2.5x in a day based on a successful Taiwan sale, and over the long run like Landmark if they become more pure play inp epiwafer. But of course lot of debt overhang\n\nBut I don’t put all my eggs in one basket and like to pick multiple horses that can win the race", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit How do you see this comparatively from a risk perspective to names of similar size, appreciating they operate different business models eg IQE. Supporter of your work and think the perspectives you share trump a lot of paid material trying to take your money not support you.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "EquityAndy", "ret_m1d": -0.03177966050326364, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03177966050326364, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04632393990550554, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.058239148603676405, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0145442794022419, "bench_c_m1d": 0.026459488100412765, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004237304231073047, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004237304231073047, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.014737323476010866, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02144371709487425, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01050001924493782, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0172064128638012, "ret_p1w": 0.03813557643994514, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03813557643994514, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06046158643921962, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06540071783578683, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.022326009999274476, "bench_c_p1w": -0.027265141395841686, "ret_p1m": 1.48305074266578, "ret_signed_p1m": 1.48305074266578, "alpha_spy_p1m": 1.3903083051499523, "alpha_c_p1m": 1.2771454475794957, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09274243751582767, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2059052950862843, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7892, -0.7896, -0.7896, -0.7896, -0.7896, -0.7881, -0.7881, -0.7881, -0.7818, -0.7869, -0.7847, -0.7636, -0.7394, -0.689, -0.5576, -0.5818, -0.6186, -0.6547, -0.6674, -0.6216, -0.6699, -0.6763, -0.6695, -0.6597, -0.6758, -0.6754, -0.6602, -0.6716, -0.6648, -0.6597, -0.6737, -0.6631, -0.6691, -0.6644, -0.6538, -0.5763, -0.5661, -0.5636, -0.5508, -0.5551, -0.55, -0.5568, -0.5602, -0.5559, -0.4585, -0.4831, -0.3212, -0.1525, -0.1949, 0.0847, 0.1017, 0.1377, -0.0911, -0.1669, -0.1915, -0.0381, 0.0297, -0.0381, -0.0148, -0.0212, -0.0847, 0.0826, -0.0318, 0.0, -0.0042, 0.0826, 0.25, 0.1271, 0.0381, -0.0212, 0.0339, 0.0636, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0805, 0.2161, 0.2712, 0.5678, 1.0805, 1.0254, 1.2881, 1.4831, 1.2076, 1.4831, 1.6695, 1.6525, 1.1081, 1.0169, 1.0932, 0.7055, 0.7119, 0.8326, 0.7436, 0.7436, 1.1186, 0.8877, 0.9343, 0.9958, 1.3093, 0.9979, 1.1398, 1.1017, 0.9492, 0.6568, 0.3559, 0.5911, 0.6886, 0.9386, 0.9386, 1.2881, 1.1483, 1.0191, 1.0127, 1.0127, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028515209116283375", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-02T16:58:08+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "would not be surprised if $AXTI traded at $20B in a year or two", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Sees AXTI reaching $20B market cap within 1–2 years.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DeFi_AdamZ would not be surprised if $AXTI traded at $20B in a year or two", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What’s your target price for $AXTI ?👀", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "AI_AdamZ", "ret_m1d": -0.18177889085535037, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.18177889085535037, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.181210635171144, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.18172962898737033, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -4.926186798004384e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09844562615142993, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09844562615142993, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08963128766863426, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0607232005571261, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03772242559430383, "ret_p1w": -0.16753018939247322, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.16753018939247322, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.15571460846895835, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.13795264295189846, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.029577546440574753, "ret_p1m": 0.2301381674793761, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2301381674793761, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.28005790905455985, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.286709490403837, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.056571322924460876, "ret_p3m": 1.4978410559266577, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.4978410559266577, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.3954476767607498, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.021845102608886, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.4759959533177718, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7522, -0.7388, -0.75, -0.7256, -0.677, -0.6652, -0.6464, -0.6803, -0.6798, -0.7193, -0.7332, -0.6975, -0.6837, -0.6714, -0.6839, -0.6759, -0.6759, -0.6682, -0.685, -0.6589, -0.647, -0.647, -0.6382, -0.6401, -0.5646, -0.4795, -0.4424, -0.5037, -0.5199, -0.5356, -0.5229, -0.4447, -0.5231, -0.5231, -0.5378, -0.573, -0.6131, -0.6244, -0.6157, -0.6287, -0.6367, -0.6464, -0.5997, -0.5479, -0.5738, -0.5952, -0.5589, -0.4806, -0.4005, -0.4743, -0.4214, -0.4648, -0.4767, -0.4767, -0.4989, -0.4918, -0.486, -0.3592, -0.3862, -0.2427, -0.1155, -0.1986, -0.1818, 0.0, -0.0984, -0.1552, -0.1623, -0.3012, -0.1675, -0.0436, 0.0225, 0.0089, 0.0548, 0.0447, -0.0423, 0.0527, 0.2541, 0.171, 0.3912, 0.4775, 0.454, 0.2632, 0.3089, 0.1384, 0.2301, 0.0177, 0.1408, 0.1408, -0.0935, -0.0186, 0.1481, 0.3627, 0.3856, 0.4346, 0.4529, 0.3586, 0.7655, 0.7824, 0.7003, 0.6185, 0.8769, 0.625, 0.6442, 0.5145, 0.4834, 0.5343, 0.7103, 1.0725, 1.2884, 1.3219, 1.2632, 1.3407, 1.5121, 1.7161, 1.6533, 1.6326, 1.4823, 1.6723, 1.2858, 1.437, 1.2584, 1.6127, 2.0404, 2.0404, 1.8627, 1.6505, 1.4978, 1.2271, 1.2271, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2021379616011964744", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-11T00:23:50+00:00", "symbol": "SNDK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SNDK looks like a possible $NVDA for me at $79B and fundamentals matter more to me than short term supply events. So I'm buying into the drop but cost averaging over the next two weeks.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Buying SNDK into the drop, cost-averaging over two weeks; sees it as a fundamentals-driven long despite short-term supply overhang.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNDK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yep my friend @RJCcapital did mention that as an explanation for short term weakness.\n\nThat being said $SNDK looks like a possible $NVDA for me at $79B and fundamentals matter more to me than short term supply events.\n\nSo I'm buying into the drop but cost averaging over the next two weeks.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Someone said that the pull back was because Western Digital might sell more $SNDK shares to pay off debts soon.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LuffyDDK", "ret_m1d": -0.09627258254344095, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09627258254344095, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0965036947583715, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0965036947583715, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00023111221493055112, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00023111221493055112, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0516400537008328, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0516400537008328, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.067088927928734, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.067088927928734, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0154488742279012, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0154488742279012, "ret_p1w": 0.0017686079872809568, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0017686079872809568, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.009962787532726614, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.009962787532726614, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.008194179545445657, "bench_c_p1w": -0.008194179545445657, "ret_p1m": 0.03250238528361726, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03250238528361726, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06993239268840667, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06993239268840667, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03743000740478941, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03743000740478941, "ret_p3m": 1.5821069664131495, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.5821069664131495, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.5107748402055374, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.5107748402055374, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07133212620761209, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07133212620761209, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5759, -0.5564, -0.5913, -0.5896, -0.673, -0.6658, -0.6213, -0.6321, -0.6412, -0.6412, -0.6275, -0.6493, -0.6574, -0.6757, -0.6441, -0.6188, -0.6238, -0.6338, -0.6115, -0.5969, -0.656, -0.6632, -0.6508, -0.6549, -0.6338, -0.6035, -0.5978, -0.5914, -0.5827, -0.5827, -0.5828, -0.5925, -0.5992, -0.6039, -0.6039, -0.5408, -0.5427, -0.4166, -0.4101, -0.4418, -0.3703, -0.3505, -0.3496, -0.3529, -0.3172, -0.3099, -0.3099, -0.244, -0.1636, -0.16, -0.2094, -0.2145, -0.1967, -0.1196, -0.1002, -0.0385, 0.11, 0.1605, -0.0247, -0.0386, -0.0023, -0.0266, -0.0963, 0.0, 0.0516, 0.0454, 0.0454, -0.0146, 0.0018, 0.0363, 0.0845, 0.112, 0.0654, 0.0551, 0.0877, 0.0601, 0.0329, -0.0566, -0.0005, -0.0563, -0.1201, -0.0177, 0.0326, 0.0936, 0.0325, 0.1039, 0.174, 0.2016, 0.2575, 0.2882, 0.1842, 0.1721, 0.1721, 0.131, 0.0064, 0.0275, -0.0448, 0.0601, 0.1558, 0.1706, 0.1706, 0.209, 0.186, 0.3029, 0.4208, 0.4212, 0.5892, 0.5758, 0.4878, 0.5341, 0.5367, 0.5234, 0.5075, 0.6336, 0.5558, 0.6517, 0.7856, 0.6724, 0.7756, 0.8295, 0.9805, 1.0954, 1.3464, 1.3526, 1.2357, 1.6068, 1.5821, 1.4227, 1.4147, 1.3071, 1.3486, 1.2241, 1.308, 1.3235, 1.5732, 1.4672, 1.4672, 1.6522, 1.6528, 1.7391, 1.8281, 1.8281, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2037035075104309568", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-26T05:13:02+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SOI is slow rerating compared to $AAOI", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long Soitec ~2.5x in ~1 year on silicon photonics/CPO substrate ramp + bottom of legacy drag cycle; AAOI implied faster re-rating.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@excu4e16421 $SOI is slow rerating compared to $AAOI but I do think it’s the bottom of their legacy drag cycle but they get upside from silicon photonics/cpo ramp up with the substrates they provide.\n\nMaybe 2.5x in a years time (which is still good, not everything triples in 3 months)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit How much upside does Soitec really have from here? it serve as infrastructure base for optical communications, is the upside less explosive ？And is there a risk that its existing cyclical businesses continue to hold back the stock even as its photonics business grows? Thanks", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "excu4e16421", "ret_m1d": 0.17439956695236303, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.17439956695236303, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.15621608870835968, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.15621608870835968, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.018183478244003348, "bench_c_m1d": 0.018183478244003348, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008109227369901273, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008109227369901273, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.025161110893229255, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.025161110893229255, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017051883523327982, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017051883523327982, "ret_p1w": 0.06661882175268707, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06661882175268707, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.049969997887392203, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.049969997887392203, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01664882386529487, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01664882386529487, "ret_p1m": 0.6646479287313356, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6646479287313356, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5579186774335734, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5579186774335734, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.10672925129776223, "bench_c_p1m": 0.10672925129776223, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6228, -0.6303, -0.6422, -0.6422, -0.5935, -0.6408, -0.6037, -0.6094, -0.6612, -0.6506, -0.6539, -0.6491, -0.6462, -0.6202, -0.6198, -0.6198, -0.597, -0.606, -0.6084, -0.6333, -0.6419, -0.6162, -0.5357, -0.5938, -0.5524, -0.5467, -0.5266, -0.5904, -0.6086, -0.5453, -0.5082, -0.5023, -0.5032, -0.5484, -0.5436, -0.5436, -0.5493, -0.5541, -0.5178, -0.4695, -0.4461, -0.4224, -0.4034, -0.4489, -0.1354, 0.0522, -0.0214, 0.0235, 0.0382, -0.0189, 0.1355, 0.2368, 0.3037, 0.09, -0.0063, -0.0344, -0.1138, -0.0492, 0.0462, -0.1014, -0.017, 0.1692, 0.1744, 0.0, 0.0081, -0.1255, -0.1317, -0.1136, 0.0666, 0.0666, 0.103, 0.2076, 0.3621, 0.3683, 0.5459, 0.5725, 0.5027, 0.4633, 0.6149, 0.6364, 0.678, 0.5456, 0.5338, 0.4138, 0.6646, 0.4964, 0.409, 0.5688, 0.6871, 0.8837, 0.7756, 0.8535, 0.8327, 0.6172, 0.5288, 0.898, 0.9327, 1.2901, 1.0896, 0.954, 0.7785, 0.7587, 0.6964, 0.8149, 0.863, 0.863, 0.8232, 0.8459, 0.735, 0.6261, 0.6261, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2012961292966117410", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-18T18:52:25+00:00", "symbol": "WOLF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$WOLF was probably the most interesting one up there after restructuring", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on WOLF post-restructuring, LPKFF for glass substrates/LIDE tech at $169M MC with 10x upside, and MTRN for Beryllium dominance; all passed on for now but flagged as interesting.", "resolved_tickers": ["WOLF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$WOLF was probably the most interesting one up there after restructuring. \n\n$LPKFF also for glass substrates and they own the laser induced deep etching at a $169m MC, so possibly most explosive 10x upside. \n\n$MTRN is probably the most stable one up there with decently high upside given it owns the mountain for ~65% of the world's Beryllium.   \n\nThere were a few others but just the fundamentals were either really bad or their bottleneck was too niche.  \n\n$LPTH's bottleneck for example spreads across both defense, AI, drones, etc.  \n\n$AXTI's bottleneck was so big and AI is such a big sector so it doesn't need to be spread across (but InP is used in a lot of other sectors too).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit After AXTI and LPTH, what was the 3rd best that you passed on for now?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "gauchos805", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.007370988487393815, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.007370988487393815, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02772777421093886, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03234663631612522, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.024975647828731407, "ret_p1w": -0.14496317973662842, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.14496317973662842, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1465101708641039, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.14104198473480678, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "bench_c_p1w": -0.003921195001821642, "ret_p1m": -0.06044223681471472, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06044223681471472, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04770475624501358, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07822488587363108, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "bench_c_p1m": 0.017782649058916356, "ret_p3m": 0.30417692471859104, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.30417692471859104, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.28694845360471044, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.16828449195573625, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1358924327628548, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.4486, 0.4541, 0.4531, 0.5179, 0.5115, 0.572, 0.2855, 0.2934, 0.1676, 0.0762, -0.0049, -0.0835, -0.1179, -0.1214, -0.145, -0.0393, -0.1061, -0.141, -0.1101, -0.1356, -0.1396, -0.1479, -0.1558, -0.1125, -0.0241, 0.0074, 0.0074, -0.0034, 0.0865, 0.0496, 0.0747, 0.1179, 0.0845, 0.1258, 0.1184, 0.0383, -0.0241, -0.088, -0.1283, -0.1229, -0.1572, -0.1209, -0.0973, -0.0968, -0.0988, -0.0943, -0.0943, -0.1179, -0.1494, -0.1587, -0.1445, -0.1445, -0.0698, -0.1165, -0.0319, -0.0329, -0.0722, -0.086, -0.0948, -0.0413, -0.0423, -0.0211, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0074, -0.0428, -0.0575, -0.1174, -0.145, -0.1155, -0.142, -0.1484, -0.2305, -0.1833, -0.1646, -0.1548, -0.2369, -0.2265, -0.2683, -0.2236, -0.114, -0.2138, -0.1283, -0.1283, -0.0604, -0.0373, -0.0634, -0.083, -0.0924, -0.0098, 0.0059, -0.0069, -0.031, 0.0423, 0.0246, 0.0118, -0.0693, -0.1857, -0.1273, -0.1853, -0.1057, -0.1661, -0.1794, -0.0988, -0.1209, -0.1754, -0.1617, -0.198, -0.1843, -0.1808, -0.0909, -0.1735, -0.2413, -0.2727, -0.198, -0.1916, -0.1415, -0.1415, -0.113, -0.0698, 0.0103, 0.2005, 0.141, 0.1867, 0.1302, 0.1744, 0.3042, 0.256, 0.2939, 0.2138, 0.3636, 0.3538, 0.5346, 0.458, 0.2703, 0.2595, 0.4511, 0.8064, 0.7661, 0.8, 1.117, 1.2192, 1.2899, 1.4722, 1.6398, 2.0762, 2.4378, 2.0531, 1.9165, 1.8909, 1.8806, 2.4152, 2.4344, 2.4344, 2.6118, 2.1086, 2.1966, 1.913, 1.913, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2012961292966117410", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-18T18:52:25+00:00", "symbol": "MTRN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$MTRN is probably the most stable one up there with decently high upside given it owns the mountain for ~65% of the world's Beryllium", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on WOLF post-restructuring, LPKFF for glass substrates/LIDE tech at $169M MC with 10x upside, and MTRN for Beryllium dominance; all passed on for now but flagged as interesting.", "resolved_tickers": ["MTRN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$WOLF was probably the most interesting one up there after restructuring. \n\n$LPKFF also for glass substrates and they own the laser induced deep etching at a $169m MC, so possibly most explosive 10x upside. \n\n$MTRN is probably the most stable one up there with decently high upside given it owns the mountain for ~65% of the world's Beryllium.   \n\nThere were a few others but just the fundamentals were either really bad or their bottleneck was too niche.  \n\n$LPTH's bottleneck for example spreads across both defense, AI, drones, etc.  \n\n$AXTI's bottleneck was so big and AI is such a big sector so it doesn't need to be spread across (but InP is used in a lot of other sectors too).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit After AXTI and LPTH, what was the 3rd best that you passed on for now?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "gauchos805", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0023300645465376135, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0023300645465376135, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.018026721177007432, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.018026721177007432, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "ret_p1w": -0.06867238377040807, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06867238377040807, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07021937489788355, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07021937489788355, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "ret_p1m": 0.05071624399376784, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05071624399376784, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06345372456346898, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06345372456346898, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "ret_p3m": 0.14250178714044437, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.14250178714044437, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.12527331602656377, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12527331602656377, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1156, -0.0965, -0.08, -0.0951, -0.0835, -0.2051, -0.2093, -0.2153, -0.2164, -0.2367, -0.2062, -0.2118, -0.2052, -0.1911, -0.1805, -0.1805, -0.1958, -0.2022, -0.2261, -0.2198, -0.2153, -0.2216, -0.1949, -0.1926, -0.1725, -0.1722, -0.1722, -0.1626, -0.1651, -0.1632, -0.1383, -0.1543, -0.1416, -0.1554, -0.1467, -0.1265, -0.1049, -0.1239, -0.1365, -0.1379, -0.1487, -0.144, -0.1319, -0.1195, -0.1187, -0.1231, -0.1231, -0.1166, -0.1311, -0.1323, -0.148, -0.148, -0.1191, -0.1111, -0.0772, -0.095, -0.0664, -0.0544, -0.0437, -0.0421, 0.0087, 0.0225, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0023, 0.022, 0.0197, -0.074, -0.0687, -0.0772, -0.0733, -0.0273, -0.0523, -0.0384, -0.0062, 0.0392, -0.0005, 0.0374, 0.0298, 0.0321, 0.0768, 0.0897, 0.0944, 0.0944, 0.0507, 0.0493, 0.0348, 0.0223, 0.0028, 0.0638, 0.1081, 0.1062, 0.1186, 0.1428, 0.1062, 0.0983, 0.0317, -0.0109, -0.0037, 0.0124, -0.0165, -0.0506, -0.0671, -0.0116, -0.009, -0.0301, -0.071, -0.0941, -0.0535, -0.0297, 0.016, -0.035, -0.0301, -0.0573, -0.0077, 0.0146, 0.0229, 0.0229, 0.0212, 0.0349, 0.1119, 0.1179, 0.1205, 0.1479, 0.1345, 0.1176, 0.1425, 0.2481, 0.2413, 0.2235, 0.23, 0.2571, 0.2752, 0.2454, 0.2161, 0.1836, 0.2609, 0.2912, 0.2992, 0.3508, 0.3504, 0.3106, 0.3676, 0.3927, 0.397, 0.4478, 0.448, 0.4064, 0.3877, 0.3308, 0.4135, 0.4414, 0.4751, 0.4751, 0.5293, 0.5232, 0.5255, 0.5104, 0.5104, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2031820871170736570", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-11T19:53:39+00:00", "symbol": "TSEM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm long $TSEM as an asymmetrical upside for upstream photonics foundry layer. I expect the $NVDA GTC conference to be that catalyst that brings it to premium valuations.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long TSEM as asymmetric upstream photonics foundry play; expects NVDA GTC catalyst next week to reprice stock to premium valuations on SiPh capacity leadership and 70% pre-reserved capacity.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSEM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm long $TSEM, the $TSM of photonics. \n\nMy top two picks for CPO are $SOI and Tower Semi. \n\nGiven the $NVDA GTC catalyst on new photonic related architecture next week:\n\nI expect Tower Semi to get a huge catalyst. \n\nNvidia laready directly collaborated with Tower to scale 1.6T silicon photonics last month (hint hint for GTC), likely pushing the downstream players to use it. \n\nAnd now, Tower is the leading supplier of 1.6T SiPh PICs and the primary foundry for scale-up CPO architectures. (the other being global foundries)\n\nFrom my forward est:\n2028 Forward P/E: ~16.8x to ~18.1x\n\n(Tower set a target $2.84B revenue by 2028, with ~31.7% operating margin, ~$750M in net profit) \n\nThe thing to note is over 70% of their planned SiPh capacity is already reserved through 2028. And photonics haven't even ramped up yet. \n\nSo, I expect them to strongly beat earning projections due to extreme photonics scaling + allocations price hikes that's not modeled into projections. \n\nAlso, $TSEM is heavily de-risked by 70% of capacity already being reserved. MC is likely due to $TSEM being a very obscure upstream player in the photonics supply chain. \n\nBut I expect the $NVDA GTC conference to be that catalyst that brings it to premium valuations.\n\nI'm long $TSEM as an asymmetrical upside for upstream photonics foundry layer.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0214333986575741, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0214333986575741, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.022690138999979848, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.022690138999979848, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007535176720382397, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007535176720382397, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007649772148981104, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.007649772148981104, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "ret_p1w": 0.18854658248611966, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.18854658248611966, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.21057727326528508, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.21057727326528508, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "ret_p1m": 0.7064635227565979, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.7064635227565979, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6984248367271291, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.6984248367271291, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "bench_c_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0042, -0.01, -0.0383, -0.0574, -0.023, -0.0023, -0.0091, 0.0138, 0.0254, 0.0254, 0.0182, 0.014, 0.0103, -0.0169, -0.0169, 0.0193, -0.0013, 0.0238, 0.0233, -0.0177, 0.0049, 0.0156, 0.0447, 0.0315, 0.0382, 0.087, 0.087, 0.08, 0.117, 0.0882, 0.0769, 0.0637, 0.1103, 0.1632, 0.1278, 0.128, 0.1461, 0.142, 0.0154, 0.0807, 0.1641, 0.2352, 0.1434, 0.1256, 0.1184, 0.0779, 0.0779, 0.0698, 0.0746, 0.0538, 0.0756, 0.0669, 0.055, 0.0547, 0.0368, 0.0455, 0.1603, 0.051, 0.034, 0.0092, -0.0741, -0.0333, -0.0214, 0.0, -0.0075, 0.0441, 0.1593, 0.1542, 0.1885, 0.3905, 0.37, 0.4411, 0.5139, 0.5802, 0.4625, 0.4394, 0.3277, 0.4692, 0.5662, 0.6561, 0.6561, 0.5923, 0.598, 0.7053, 0.7065, 0.7045, 0.7538, 0.7926, 0.8053, 0.798, 0.8959, 0.8795, 0.8145, 0.7256, 0.6851, 0.679, 0.7024, 0.6205, 0.6676, 0.8507, 0.8253, 0.8006, 0.8882, 0.8157, 0.7582, 0.7667, 0.9163, 0.8489, 1.267, 1.3501, 1.2939, 1.0769, 1.1038, 1.2143, 1.336, 1.373, 1.373, 1.4157, 1.3258, 1.3066, 1.1369, 1.1369, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2033889361801175094", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-17T12:53:06+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AXTI and $SOI on substrate level are probably kinda my favorites", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Favorites: AXTI & SOI (semi-monopoly substrates), TSEM & COHR (compounders), SIVE highest upside as next LITE, AAOI second.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I tend to like semi-monopolies... So $AXTI and $SOI on substrate level are probably kinda my favorites? \n\n$TSEM and $COHR were my two steady compounders. \n\nAs for highest upside, I do think $SIVE takes the crown as the next potential $LITE. Maybe $AAOI second place.  And $AXTI third?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Out of all of these, which is your favorite company(and undervalued)", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "N27gd", "ret_m1d": 0.09084758169179241, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.09084758169179241, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.09347123489804876, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.09830573382508556, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002623653206256349, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00745815213329315, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09918840510914895, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09918840510914895, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.11314205049626913, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10727647055861889, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013953645387120184, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008088065449469939, "ret_p1w": 0.5428314134295917, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.5428314134295917, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.5664246760166218, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.5486014409360116, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023593262587030095, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005770027506419861, "ret_p1m": 0.41862036608022146, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.41862036608022146, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.37231438330056865, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2772174371678462, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04630598277965281, "bench_c_p1m": 0.14140292891237527, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6842, -0.6697, -0.6569, -0.67, -0.6616, -0.6616, -0.6535, -0.6711, -0.6438, -0.6314, -0.6314, -0.6222, -0.6242, -0.5453, -0.4565, -0.4177, -0.4817, -0.4986, -0.5151, -0.5018, -0.4202, -0.502, -0.502, -0.5174, -0.5541, -0.596, -0.6078, -0.5987, -0.6123, -0.6206, -0.6307, -0.5821, -0.528, -0.555, -0.5773, -0.5394, -0.4576, -0.374, -0.4511, -0.3959, -0.4412, -0.4536, -0.4536, -0.4768, -0.4693, -0.4633, -0.3309, -0.3591, -0.2092, -0.0764, -0.1632, -0.1456, 0.0442, -0.0586, -0.1179, -0.1253, -0.2703, -0.1307, -0.0014, 0.0676, 0.0534, 0.1014, 0.0908, 0.0, 0.0992, 0.3095, 0.2227, 0.4527, 0.5428, 0.5183, 0.319, 0.3668, 0.1887, 0.2845, 0.0627, 0.1912, 0.1912, -0.0534, 0.0248, 0.1988, 0.4229, 0.4468, 0.498, 0.5171, 0.4186, 0.8436, 0.8611, 0.7755, 0.69, 0.9599, 0.6968, 0.7169, 0.5814, 0.5489, 0.6021, 0.7858, 1.1641, 1.3895, 1.4245, 1.3632, 1.4441, 1.6231, 1.8361, 1.7705, 1.7489, 1.592, 1.7904, 1.3868, 1.5446, 1.3582, 1.7281, 2.1747, 2.1747, 1.9892, 1.7676, 1.6082, 1.3255, 1.3255, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2033889361801175094", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-17T12:53:06+00:00", "symbol": "TSEM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSEM and $COHR were my two steady compounders", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Favorites: AXTI & SOI (semi-monopoly substrates), TSEM & COHR (compounders), SIVE highest upside as next LITE, AAOI second.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSEM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I tend to like semi-monopolies... So $AXTI and $SOI on substrate level are probably kinda my favorites? \n\n$TSEM and $COHR were my two steady compounders. \n\nAs for highest upside, I do think $SIVE takes the crown as the next potential $LITE. Maybe $AAOI second place.  And $AXTI third?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Out of all of these, which is your favorite company(and undervalued)", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "N27gd", "ret_m1d": 0.004424783168800905, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004424783168800905, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007048436375057254, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007048436375057254, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002623653206256349, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002623653206256349, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.029740360404494126, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.029740360404494126, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04369400579161431, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04369400579161431, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013953645387120184, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013953645387120184, "ret_p1w": 0.3116205318705143, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.3116205318705143, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.3352137944575444, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.3352137944575444, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023593262587030095, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023593262587030095, "ret_p1m": 0.5641230518507729, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5641230518507729, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5178170690711201, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5178170690711201, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04630598277965281, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04630598277965281, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1536, -0.1356, -0.1415, -0.1216, -0.1116, -0.1116, -0.1179, -0.1215, -0.1247, -0.1483, -0.1483, -0.1169, -0.1347, -0.113, -0.1134, -0.1489, -0.1293, -0.1201, -0.0949, -0.1063, -0.1005, -0.0582, -0.0582, -0.0643, -0.0322, -0.0572, -0.067, -0.0784, -0.038, 0.0078, -0.0228, -0.0227, -0.007, -0.0106, -0.1203, -0.0637, 0.0086, 0.0701, -0.0094, -0.0248, -0.031, -0.0662, -0.0662, -0.0731, -0.069, -0.087, -0.0681, -0.0757, -0.086, -0.0862, -0.1017, -0.0942, 0.0053, -0.0894, -0.1042, -0.1256, -0.1978, -0.1625, -0.1522, -0.1336, -0.1401, -0.0954, 0.0044, 0.0, 0.0297, 0.2047, 0.1869, 0.2486, 0.3116, 0.3691, 0.2671, 0.2471, 0.1503, 0.2729, 0.357, 0.4348, 0.4348, 0.3796, 0.3844, 0.4774, 0.4785, 0.4768, 0.5194, 0.5531, 0.5641, 0.5577, 0.6426, 0.6284, 0.572, 0.495, 0.46, 0.4547, 0.4749, 0.404, 0.4448, 0.6034, 0.5814, 0.56, 0.6359, 0.5731, 0.5233, 0.5307, 0.6602, 0.6018, 0.9641, 1.0361, 0.9874, 0.7994, 0.8227, 0.9185, 1.0239, 1.0559, 1.0559, 1.0929, 1.015, 0.9984, 0.8514, 0.8514, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2033889361801175094", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-03-17T12:53:06+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSEM and $COHR were my two steady compounders", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Favorites: AXTI & SOI (semi-monopoly substrates), TSEM & COHR (compounders), SIVE highest upside as next LITE, AAOI second.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I tend to like semi-monopolies... So $AXTI and $SOI on substrate level are probably kinda my favorites? \n\n$TSEM and $COHR were my two steady compounders. \n\nAs for highest upside, I do think $SIVE takes the crown as the next potential $LITE. Maybe $AAOI second place.  And $AXTI third?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Out of all of these, which is your favorite company(and undervalued)", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "N27gd", "ret_m1d": 0.006387274393560904, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006387274393560904, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009010927599817253, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009010927599817253, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002623653206256349, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002623653206256349, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.046419805783801005, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.046419805783801005, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06037345117092119, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06037345117092119, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013953645387120184, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013953645387120184, "ret_p1w": 0.10793321070431983, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10793321070431983, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.13152647329134992, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13152647329134992, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023593262587030095, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023593262587030095, "ret_p1m": 0.2538649649330311, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2538649649330311, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2075589821533783, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2075589821533783, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04630598277965281, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04630598277965281, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2852, -0.244, -0.223, -0.2194, -0.2214, -0.2214, -0.22, -0.231, -0.24, -0.2491, -0.2491, -0.2094, -0.2418, -0.2103, -0.2204, -0.2956, -0.2756, -0.2466, -0.2269, -0.251, -0.2028, -0.2228, -0.2228, -0.2129, -0.1804, -0.1753, -0.1988, -0.1954, -0.1294, -0.1003, -0.1218, -0.1368, -0.095, -0.0676, -0.1416, -0.1487, -0.0737, -0.0136, -0.0709, -0.09, -0.1208, -0.1162, -0.1162, -0.1051, -0.0891, -0.0542, 0.0097, 0.0126, 0.0369, 0.0899, 0.0177, 0.0534, 0.2161, 0.1424, 0.1182, 0.0328, -0.041, 0.0265, 0.0604, 0.0228, -0.0184, -0.0124, 0.0064, 0.0, 0.0464, 0.1211, 0.0319, 0.0376, 0.1079, 0.1068, -0.0102, -0.0094, -0.1064, -0.0309, 0.0081, 0.0503, 0.0503, 0.0302, 0.0378, 0.1464, 0.1561, 0.251, 0.2528, 0.2751, 0.2539, 0.3344, 0.4037, 0.4138, 0.3987, 0.4258, 0.3738, 0.3673, 0.3081, 0.2367, 0.2406, 0.3007, 0.3405, 0.3421, 0.3659, 0.4022, 0.2986, 0.364, 0.5447, 0.5216, 0.6424, 0.6474, 0.5559, 0.4761, 0.4387, 0.4585, 0.5378, 0.5361, 0.5361, 0.5515, 0.5467, 0.5336, 0.4706, 0.4706, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2033889361801175094", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2026-03-17T12:53:06+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Maybe $AAOI second place", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Favorites: AXTI & SOI (semi-monopoly substrates), TSEM & COHR (compounders), SIVE highest upside as next LITE, AAOI second.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I tend to like semi-monopolies... So $AXTI and $SOI on substrate level are probably kinda my favorites? \n\n$TSEM and $COHR were my two steady compounders. \n\nAs for highest upside, I do think $SIVE takes the crown as the next potential $LITE. Maybe $AAOI second place.  And $AXTI third?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Out of all of these, which is your favorite company(and undervalued)", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "N27gd", "ret_m1d": 0.08965594462648663, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08965594462648663, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.09227959783274298, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.09227959783274298, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002623653206256349, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002623653206256349, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07297573599838669, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07297573599838669, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08692938138550688, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08692938138550688, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013953645387120184, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013953645387120184, "ret_p1w": 0.3193559493810496, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.3193559493810496, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.3429492119680797, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.3429492119680797, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023593262587030095, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023593262587030095, "ret_p1m": 0.6512220552331742, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6512220552331742, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6049160724535214, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.6049160724535214, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04630598277965281, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04630598277965281, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6612, -0.6372, -0.5471, -0.5292, -0.5251, -0.5251, -0.5694, -0.5743, -0.5828, -0.5962, -0.5962, -0.5413, -0.5947, -0.5528, -0.5592, -0.6176, -0.6057, -0.6094, -0.6041, -0.6007, -0.5714, -0.5709, -0.5709, -0.5452, -0.5554, -0.5581, -0.5862, -0.5959, -0.5669, -0.4761, -0.5416, -0.4948, -0.4885, -0.4658, -0.5378, -0.5583, -0.4869, -0.445, -0.4383, -0.4394, -0.4904, -0.485, -0.485, -0.4914, -0.4968, -0.4558, -0.4014, -0.375, -0.3482, -0.3268, -0.3781, -0.0243, 0.1874, 0.1044, 0.155, 0.1716, 0.1071, 0.2814, 0.3957, 0.4712, 0.23, 0.1214, 0.0897, 0.0, 0.073, 0.1806, 0.014, 0.1092, 0.3194, 0.3253, 0.1285, 0.1376, -0.0132, -0.0202, 0.0002, 0.2036, 0.2036, 0.2446, 0.3627, 0.5371, 0.5441, 0.7445, 0.7745, 0.6957, 0.6512, 0.8223, 0.8466, 0.8935, 0.7441, 0.7308, 0.5954, 0.8785, 0.6886, 0.5899, 0.7703, 0.9039, 1.1257, 1.0037, 1.0916, 1.0681, 0.825, 0.7252, 1.1418, 1.1809, 1.5843, 1.358, 1.205, 1.0069, 0.9846, 0.9143, 1.0481, 1.1023, 1.1023, 1.0575, 1.0831, 0.9578, 0.8349, 0.8349, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2021440319641030728", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-11T04:25:03+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I don't quite think it's priced in long term yet", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long LITE long-term; ~8-12% of Google TPU BOM not yet priced in, with ramp accelerating in 2028.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@mhayavkay You do realize a lot of the ramp happens 2028 right? \n\nFor stuff like $LITE which is ~8-12 of Google TPU BOM, I don't quite think it's priced in long term yet (short term yes, it rallied 70% 1M). https://t.co/ZFfhiLTrXI", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Nice list, but I think because they have run up a lot, everything is priced in already.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mhayavkay", "ret_m1d": -0.022608874257432743, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.022608874257432743, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.022839986472363294, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.022839986472363294, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00023111221493055112, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00023111221493055112, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.016286141784083608, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.016286141784083608, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03173501601198481, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03173501601198481, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0154488742279012, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0154488742279012, "ret_p1w": 0.035097846977393043, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.035097846977393043, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0432920265228387, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0432920265228387, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.008194179545445657, "bench_c_p1w": -0.008194179545445657, "ret_p1m": 0.07312194975706499, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07312194975706499, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1105519571618544, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1105519571618544, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03743000740478941, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03743000740478941, "ret_p3m": 0.8343000342964622, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.8343000342964622, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.7629679080888501, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.7629679080888501, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07133212620761209, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07133212620761209, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5956, -0.5784, -0.569, -0.5316, -0.5937, -0.5548, -0.4786, -0.4927, -0.463, -0.463, -0.4336, -0.4462, -0.4726, -0.4723, -0.4289, -0.4227, -0.4033, -0.3724, -0.3625, -0.3519, -0.435, -0.417, -0.4493, -0.4422, -0.4128, -0.353, -0.3209, -0.3252, -0.3104, -0.3104, -0.3193, -0.351, -0.3535, -0.358, -0.358, -0.3275, -0.3781, -0.3078, -0.3157, -0.3934, -0.3879, -0.408, -0.3706, -0.4224, -0.4021, -0.4352, -0.4352, -0.3785, -0.3687, -0.3825, -0.4092, -0.4209, -0.3544, -0.3294, -0.3356, -0.3175, -0.2625, -0.2421, -0.1891, -0.1214, -0.0385, 0.0053, -0.0226, 0.0, 0.0163, -0.0198, -0.0198, 0.0458, 0.0351, 0.1072, 0.1631, 0.1753, 0.1988, 0.26, 0.1792, 0.2209, 0.3643, 0.2096, 0.1858, 0.1336, -0.0273, 0.116, 0.1705, 0.1705, 0.0731, 0.0843, 0.0884, 0.1314, 0.2207, 0.3449, 0.2303, 0.2697, 0.3969, 0.3537, 0.1998, 0.224, 0.1405, 0.2241, 0.3319, 0.4403, 0.4403, 0.3452, 0.4209, 0.5607, 0.5574, 0.5629, 0.5174, 0.4854, 0.4353, 0.5524, 0.5573, 0.5591, 0.4578, 0.5217, 0.4751, 0.5357, 0.4974, 0.3784, 0.495, 0.5717, 0.6546, 0.7003, 0.7324, 0.6448, 0.5547, 0.5743, 0.8343, 0.7285, 0.7947, 0.745, 0.6908, 0.5415, 0.5504, 0.512, 0.68, 0.6493, 0.6493, 0.5865, 0.5717, 0.4991, 0.4892, 0.4892, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2032586030059237713", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-13T22:34:07+00:00", "symbol": "BESIY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "So good long just based on supply chain importance", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long BESI/BESIY on supply chain importance of hybrid bonding to advanced packaging, though limited upside vs peers.", "resolved_tickers": ["BESIY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$BESIY / $BESI was in my informal bottleneck ETF! Still need to catch up to the $LRCX, $AMAT and BESI news though.   \n\nDoes definitely validate how important hybrid bonding is to advanced packaging. So good long just based on supply chain importance.  \n\nBut don't really see it going up 300% like other names above like $AAOI.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit any opinion on Besi?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PhotonCap", "ret_m1d": -0.04948159488713533, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04948159488713533, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05517392359192652, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05517392359192652, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005692328704791194, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005692328704791194, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0007540543265024402, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0007540543265024402, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010930920437985603, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010930920437985603, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010176866111483163, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010176866111483163, "ret_p1w": -0.01734209165262579, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01734209165262579, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0006994641304212124, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0006994641304212124, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.018041555783047003, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018041555783047003, "ret_p1m": 0.1625824348906293, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1625824348906293, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12380226159337004, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12380226159337004, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.038780173297259246, "bench_c_p1m": 0.038780173297259246, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2578, -0.2768, -0.2709, -0.2802, -0.2696, -0.2689, -0.2689, -0.2689, -0.266, -0.2633, -0.2633, -0.2613, -0.2613, -0.177, -0.1543, -0.1114, -0.1237, -0.1951, -0.1664, -0.1049, -0.0952, -0.1011, -0.0547, -0.0525, -0.0525, -0.0534, -0.0339, -0.0295, -0.0213, -0.0173, -0.0079, -0.0425, -0.0728, -0.0902, -0.0843, -0.1024, -0.1211, -0.1188, -0.0762, -0.0567, -0.0488, -0.0313, -0.0522, -0.0104, -0.0104, 0.0132, 0.0482, -0.0309, 0.0552, 0.086, 0.0966, 0.1074, 0.0529, 0.0639, 0.0482, 0.0058, 0.0603, 0.0273, -0.1517, -0.0594, -0.0562, -0.0428, -0.0495, 0.0, -0.0008, 0.0297, 0.0368, 0.0064, -0.0173, 0.0181, 0.0123, 0.0281, 0.0038, -0.0552, -0.0726, 0.0096, 0.0276, 0.0544, 0.0544, 0.058, 0.0567, 0.1384, 0.1521, 0.173, 0.1626, 0.2334, 0.2111, 0.2535, 0.2724, 0.2884, 0.2796, 0.3318, 0.3289, 0.4048, 0.388, 0.3208, 0.3222, 0.3813, 0.3898, 0.3554, 0.4191, 0.4269, 0.4062, 0.4651, 0.4631, 0.4153, 0.4545, 0.4698, 0.4384, 0.426, 0.409, 0.4622, 0.516, 0.4944, 0.4944, 0.5882, 0.5397, 0.5826, 0.5698, 0.5698, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2020263176072523912", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-07T22:27:30+00:00", "symbol": "SNDK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "forward p/e for 2027 looks low, so the growth trajectory looks hilarious", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish SNDK: 2027 forward P/E looks low and growth trajectory is compelling.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNDK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@yepyepmf Where did I ever say $SNDK was the weakest link? \n\nIt’s just the most volatile memory company out the bunch but forward p/e for 2027 looks low, so the growth trajectory looks hilarious. https://t.co/OFhiqtOH4O", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Interesting, out of all Memory Supercycle companies you believe $SNDK to be the weakest link?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "yepyepmf", "ret_m1d": 0.024939984888725508, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.024939984888725508, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02973867849684375, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02973867849684375, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07158040455614767, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07158040455614767, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06894324412406683, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06894324412406683, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "ret_p1w": 0.07398006742951191, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07398006742951191, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0915606372138551, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0915606372138551, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "ret_p1m": 0.060833028366804376, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.060833028366804376, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0849990909818582, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0849990909818582, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "ret_p3m": 1.2968116298645822, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.2968116298645822, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.2397067261413988, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.2397067261413988, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5147, -0.5825, -0.5643, -0.5443, -0.5802, -0.5784, -0.6641, -0.6567, -0.611, -0.622, -0.6314, -0.6314, -0.6173, -0.6397, -0.648, -0.6668, -0.6344, -0.6084, -0.6135, -0.6238, -0.6009, -0.5859, -0.6466, -0.654, -0.6412, -0.6455, -0.6238, -0.5927, -0.5868, -0.5802, -0.5713, -0.5713, -0.5714, -0.5813, -0.5882, -0.5931, -0.5931, -0.5282, -0.5302, -0.4007, -0.394, -0.4266, -0.3531, -0.3328, -0.3318, -0.3353, -0.2985, -0.291, -0.291, -0.2233, -0.1407, -0.1371, -0.1878, -0.193, -0.1748, -0.0956, -0.0756, -0.0123, 0.1403, 0.1922, 0.002, -0.0123, 0.0249, 0.0, -0.0716, 0.0273, 0.0804, 0.074, 0.074, 0.0123, 0.0291, 0.0646, 0.1141, 0.1424, 0.0945, 0.084, 0.1174, 0.0891, 0.0612, -0.0308, 0.0268, -0.0305, -0.0961, 0.0091, 0.0608, 0.1235, 0.0607, 0.1341, 0.2061, 0.2344, 0.2919, 0.3234, 0.2165, 0.2041, 0.2041, 0.1619, 0.0339, 0.0556, -0.0187, 0.089, 0.1874, 0.2026, 0.2026, 0.2421, 0.2184, 0.3385, 0.4597, 0.46, 0.6327, 0.6189, 0.5285, 0.5761, 0.5787, 0.565, 0.5487, 0.6782, 0.5983, 0.6968, 0.8344, 0.7181, 0.8242, 0.8795, 1.0346, 1.1527, 1.4106, 1.4168, 1.2968, 1.678, 1.6527, 1.4889, 1.4807, 1.3701, 1.4128, 1.2849, 1.3711, 1.387, 1.6435, 1.5346, 1.5346, 1.7246, 1.7253, 1.8139, 1.9053, 1.9053, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2014733903140159682", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-23T16:16:09+00:00", "symbol": "INTC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's one of the most asymmetrical longs there are, since it's a waiting game with infinite backstop from US Gov to buildout their foundry. I'd say it's a long on policy, not fundamentals.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long INTC multi-year on US gov foundry backstop; asymmetric risk/reward despite weak near-term fundamentals.", "resolved_tickers": ["INTC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I don't think anyone expected $INTC to deliver everything in 1-2 quarter. \n\nIt's one of the most asymmetrical longs there are, since it's a waiting game with infinite backstop from US Gov to buildout their foundry. \n\nI'd say it's a long on policy, not fundamentals. In terms of timing the amount of short term way OTM calls are a bit worrysome. \n\nBut it shouldn't really matter if you're long for the next few years.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit any thoughts on intc sell off? is it a good time to buy?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "tHERO0kie", "ret_m1d": 0.20523630047998997, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.20523630047998997, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.20559894915795618, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.20559894915795618, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00036264867796620415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00036264867796620415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05724424304031461, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05724424304031461, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06232239010092444, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06232239010092444, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005078147060609828, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005078147060609828, "ret_p1w": 0.031062825279754236, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.031062825279754236, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.027087364625359767, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.027087364625359767, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003975460654394469, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003975460654394469, "ret_p1m": -0.03195026928021816, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03195026928021816, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.022026269219125538, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.022026269219125538, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00992400006109262, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00992400006109262, "ret_p3m": 0.4481916371204664, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4481916371204664, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4134827665775198, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4134827665775198, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03470887054294658, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03470887054294658, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0785, -0.0828, -0.1089, -0.1127, -0.1236, -0.1784, -0.1484, -0.1737, -0.154, -0.1469, -0.1595, -0.1593, -0.2032, -0.2119, -0.2299, -0.2383, -0.221, -0.254, -0.2345, -0.2059, -0.205, -0.1833, -0.1833, -0.1001, -0.1123, -0.0355, -0.0291, -0.1014, -0.0812, -0.1058, -0.1014, -0.0952, -0.1234, -0.1611, -0.1677, -0.1722, -0.2001, -0.195, -0.183, -0.193, -0.1935, -0.1977, -0.1977, -0.1968, -0.1862, -0.1724, -0.1813, -0.1813, -0.1262, -0.1265, -0.1116, -0.0541, -0.0879, 0.0107, -0.0224, 0.0493, 0.081, 0.0721, 0.0419, 0.0419, 0.0774, 0.2037, 0.2052, 0.0, -0.0572, -0.0253, 0.0823, 0.0797, 0.0311, 0.083, 0.0927, 0.0783, 0.0703, 0.1225, 0.1147, 0.0457, 0.0714, 0.0313, 0.0382, 0.0382, 0.0246, 0.0087, -0.01, -0.0213, -0.032, 0.0233, 0.0402, 0.0087, 0.012, 0.0095, -0.0437, 0.0113, 0.0195, -0.0366, 0.0113, 0.0379, 0.0646, 0.004, 0.0155, 0.0153, -0.0224, -0.0009, 0.0246, -0.0266, -0.0235, -0.0224, 0.0468, -0.0215, -0.043, -0.0861, -0.0209, 0.0657, 0.1178, 0.1178, 0.1267, 0.174, 0.308, 0.3694, 0.3841, 0.4462, 0.4158, 0.4409, 0.5199, 0.5199, 0.4577, 0.4702, 0.4482, 0.4817, 0.8314, 0.8857, 0.8753, 1.1023, 1.0963, 1.2103, 1.1251, 1.3996, 1.5074, 1.4322, 1.7717, 1.872, 1.6761, 1.669, 1.5722, 1.4134, 1.4, 1.4584, 1.6394, 1.6292, 1.659, 1.659, 1.7406, 1.7018, 1.6823, 1.5445, 1.5445, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013624142252376385", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-20T14:46:21+00:00", "symbol": "DPRO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "hits Q reports that algos might not price in. A lot of people missed that aspect, so just wanted to post my own thoughts about it", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish DPRO: infrastructure setup + capacity ramp + subcontractor model means earnings beats algos may not yet price in.", "resolved_tickers": ["DPRO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Pigybacking off of this, meant to say ev/revenue not p/s above. \n\nBut yeah I looked at $PDYN before too, interesting company. Also there's nothing too new with the $DPRO post since it's already popular on finx. \n\nIt's just really nuanced with the infrastructure setup + large capacity ramp + no flashy contracts since it's a subcontractor -> hits Q reports that algos might not price in. \n\nA lot of people missed that aspect, so just wanted to post my own thoughts about it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Two drone plays that go together beautifully. \n\n$DPRO - the drones\n$PDYN - the AI swarm software", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TheTetherman", "ret_m1d": 0.018046717082493613, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.018046717082493613, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0027330784868353497, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00860298003891291, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.020779795569328963, "bench_c_m1d": 0.026649697121406524, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.042462804170978585, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.042462804170978585, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05400388337307305, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05635162873232724, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011541079202094462, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013888824561348656, "ret_p1w": -0.09554136000435731, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09554136000435731, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.121973641497795, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.139323066824514, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02643228149343768, "bench_c_p1w": 0.043781706820156696, "ret_p1m": -0.17515924437408092, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17515924437408092, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1880138175088758, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1686025386660428, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012854573134794878, "bench_c_p1m": -0.006556705708038124, "ret_p3m": -0.3694267506251021, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3694267506251021, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4203423892146543, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4589777595938931, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091563858955217, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08955100896879098, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1253, 0.0021, 0.0117, -0.0648, -0.0924, 0.0414, 0.1624, 0.0287, -0.0764, -0.0499, -0.1699, -0.1008, -0.1242, -0.1401, -0.172, -0.2314, -0.2696, -0.3174, -0.293, -0.241, -0.2251, -0.2972, -0.1985, -0.207, -0.224, -0.224, -0.224, -0.2718, -0.2622, -0.1879, -0.1221, -0.1858, -0.2017, -0.207, -0.2251, -0.2049, -0.2601, -0.327, -0.2994, -0.3546, -0.3439, -0.2006, -0.1497, -0.1476, -0.1401, -0.1401, -0.2187, -0.2537, -0.2834, -0.2665, -0.2665, -0.2197, -0.1391, -0.0966, -0.12, -0.0053, 0.0074, 0.0318, 0.0425, 0.0329, -0.0085, 0.018, 0.018, 0.0, -0.0425, 0.0255, 0.0159, -0.1454, -0.0955, -0.1093, -0.1454, -0.2261, -0.1714, -0.1285, -0.2335, -0.3121, -0.2044, -0.1826, -0.2452, -0.2728, -0.2803, -0.2686, -0.2686, -0.2463, -0.1752, -0.2059, -0.1624, -0.1582, -0.1741, -0.1338, -0.2718, -0.3047, -0.2197, -0.2707, -0.2824, -0.293, -0.2983, -0.3291, -0.3185, -0.2994, -0.2983, -0.327, -0.3195, -0.2813, -0.2951, -0.3057, -0.3992, -0.3397, -0.328, -0.4745, -0.4989, -0.5127, -0.5308, -0.4788, -0.482, -0.4268, -0.4268, -0.4533, -0.4724, -0.4469, -0.4618, -0.4204, -0.4214, -0.3864, -0.3694, -0.3376, -0.3694, -0.3769, -0.3588, -0.311, -0.3461, -0.3769, -0.397, -0.4395, -0.4618, -0.4289, -0.4363, -0.4575, -0.4575, -0.4246, -0.4459, -0.4183, -0.4119, -0.4278, -0.4363, -0.4023, -0.4331, -0.4406, -0.4406, -0.4183, -0.3376, -0.3185, -0.3185, -0.3079, -0.2919, -0.173, -0.207, -0.207, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2031785810052465078", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-11T17:34:20+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Nebius: $2B dilution from $NVDA, zero immediate selling pressure to the public float", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS on strategic NVDA-backed financing; short IREN on toxic ATM dilution suppressing share value.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NBIS vs. $IREN.\n\nThe difference is night and day.\n\nNebius: $2B dilution from $NVDA, zero immediate selling pressure to the public float\n\nIren: $6B dilution from ATM into selling pressure into the open market. This extracts liquidity directly from the public and suppresses momentum\n\nVery clear, which company leads to higher share value appreciation from capex financing.\n\nOne is strategic with Nvidia, the other is toxic financing.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.1389794371149411, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1389794371149411, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.14023617745734684, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1422273054172145, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0032478683022734156, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03531409200465763, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03531409200465763, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.020129143135294125, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.020527783801718047, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01478630820293958, "ret_p1w": 0.058618640573336434, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.058618640573336434, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08064933135250185, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08716559025659587, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "bench_c_p1w": -0.028546949683259437, "ret_p1m": 0.21728647250035737, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21728647250035737, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2092477864708886, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2375031427147838, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "bench_c_p1m": -0.020216670214426413, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.217, -0.2755, -0.2772, -0.3263, -0.3027, -0.2012, -0.1676, -0.1961, -0.1863, -0.1863, -0.2179, -0.2318, -0.2395, -0.2526, -0.2526, -0.1968, -0.1711, -0.105, -0.1409, -0.1312, -0.1256, -0.0417, -0.0586, -0.0894, -0.0724, -0.0292, -0.0292, -0.1134, -0.1172, -0.1352, -0.1562, -0.1834, -0.1261, -0.1033, -0.1526, -0.2393, -0.2128, -0.1968, -0.2643, -0.3404, -0.2312, -0.1707, -0.1804, -0.2088, -0.1988, -0.1249, -0.1249, -0.1292, -0.091, -0.0392, -0.1257, -0.1017, -0.0841, -0.0525, -0.0635, -0.1858, -0.1874, -0.225, -0.1269, -0.1459, -0.2024, -0.1523, -0.139, 0.0, -0.0353, 0.0085, 0.1594, 0.0387, 0.0586, 0.085, 0.0502, 0.0192, 0.026, 0.0276, -0.0538, -0.0998, -0.1762, -0.0735, -0.0897, -0.0283, -0.0283, 0.0049, 0.0483, 0.1161, 0.2173, 0.2944, 0.3801, 0.446, 0.4891, 0.4763, 0.4031, 0.4211, 0.3978, 0.3942, 0.4026, 0.314, 0.2943, 0.21, 0.2607, 0.2343, 0.3794, 0.5752, 0.5708, 0.742, 0.6498, 0.5809, 0.6617, 0.5993, 0.8507, 0.9746, 0.9638, 0.7845, 0.7655, 0.7128, 0.9637, 0.9177, 0.9177, 0.8578, 0.8605, 1.021, 1.0634, 1.0634, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2031785810052465078", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-11T17:34:20+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Iren: $6B dilution from ATM into selling pressure into the open market. This extracts liquidity directly from the public and suppresses momentum", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS on strategic NVDA-backed financing; short IREN on toxic ATM dilution suppressing share value.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NBIS vs. $IREN.\n\nThe difference is night and day.\n\nNebius: $2B dilution from $NVDA, zero immediate selling pressure to the public float\n\nIren: $6B dilution from ATM into selling pressure into the open market. This extracts liquidity directly from the public and suppresses momentum\n\nVery clear, which company leads to higher share value appreciation from capex financing.\n\nOne is strategic with Nvidia, the other is toxic financing.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.09194856246884886, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.09194856246884886, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.09320530281125461, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.10040952642613721, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008460963957288348, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.014530743616084085, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014530743616084085, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0006542052532794163, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0017866862801818595, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "bench_c_p1d": -0.016317429896265945, "ret_p1w": 0.0054787885837142, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0054787885837142, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02750947936287962, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.018975871413460133, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013497082829745932, "ret_p1m": -0.11719862369210543, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11719862369210543, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1252373097215742, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.15655919980822341, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "bench_c_p1m": 0.039360576116117985, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0441, -0.1548, -0.1284, -0.1953, -0.1472, -0.0491, 0.0014, 0.0021, 0.0, 0.0, -0.04, -0.0612, -0.0877, -0.1003, -0.1003, 0.0172, 0.1491, 0.0936, 0.0392, 0.0881, 0.0965, 0.1989, 0.2623, 0.2596, 0.2361, 0.3773, 0.3773, 0.2925, 0.2739, 0.2449, 0.3502, 0.2473, 0.429, 0.4993, 0.4254, 0.2801, 0.2644, 0.2956, 0.0705, -0.0522, -0.0036, 0.0993, 0.0226, 0.0164, -0.0465, 0.0057, 0.0057, -0.0241, 0.0024, 0.0312, -0.0476, 0.0091, 0.0827, 0.0488, 0.0538, -0.0245, -0.0141, -0.0746, 0.0443, -0.0442, -0.1258, -0.0748, -0.0919, 0.0, -0.0145, -0.0095, 0.0705, 0.0233, 0.0055, -0.0076, -0.0164, 0.0043, -0.0205, -0.0131, -0.1079, -0.1641, -0.2468, -0.1834, -0.1879, -0.1717, -0.1717, -0.1632, -0.1486, -0.1227, -0.1172, -0.0634, 0.026, 0.1284, 0.1629, 0.1363, 0.1463, 0.1606, 0.076, 0.1527, 0.2392, 0.2063, 0.152, 0.0586, 0.021, 0.0841, 0.0877, 0.1787, 0.304, 0.4526, 0.3542, 0.4578, 0.3137, 0.3473, 0.3142, 0.3911, 0.2611, 0.202, 0.1372, 0.2556, 0.383, 0.3537, 0.3537, 0.424, 0.616, 0.5257, 0.5136, 0.5136, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2036449457064255618", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-24T14:26:00+00:00", "symbol": "MSFT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "leaps on $MSFT, especially with OpenAI liquidity unlock feels more compelling here", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish on MSFT LEAPS via OpenAI liquidity unlock catalyst; bullish META post blowout earnings despite Avocado delay given ad revenue resilience.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSFT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TheVantaBlack Not yet, but leaps on $MSFT, especially with OpenAI liquidity unlock feels more compelling here?\n\nSame with $META with blowout earnings, delaying Avocado launch doesn’t materially change earnings much short term since they sell ads but does impact optics.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit You in any calls?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TheVantaBlack", "ret_m1d": 0.027525965643455663, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.027525965643455663, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.024157809497063587, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.024157809497063587, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004560720873527657, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004560720873527657, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010133479820913616, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010133479820913616, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "ret_p1w": -0.006894824692778578, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.006894824692778578, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0025469177572362556, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0025469177572362556, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "ret_p1m": 0.16145307993478908, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.16145307993478908, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0726107547754522, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0726107547754522, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3063, 0.3055, 0.3038, 0.3049, 0.2945, 0.2945, 0.2659, 0.2657, 0.2808, 0.2941, 0.2798, 0.2829, 0.2773, 0.2599, 0.2296, 0.2224, 0.2309, 0.2309, 0.2166, 0.1888, 0.2076, 0.2472, 0.2588, 0.2864, 0.2892, 0.1604, 0.1518, 0.1332, 0.1007, 0.1087, 0.0537, 0.0737, 0.1071, 0.1062, 0.0824, 0.0756, 0.0742, 0.0742, 0.0623, 0.0696, 0.069, 0.0657, 0.0315, 0.0436, 0.0747, 0.0777, 0.0537, 0.0692, 0.0837, 0.0871, 0.1018, 0.0972, 0.0984, 0.0886, 0.0862, 0.0781, 0.0612, 0.073, 0.0716, 0.0511, 0.0437, 0.0245, 0.0275, 0.0, -0.0046, -0.0182, -0.0428, -0.037, -0.0069, -0.009, 0.0019, 0.0019, 0.0004, -0.0012, 0.0043, 0.0009, -0.005, 0.0312, 0.0546, 0.1032, 0.1275, 0.1343, 0.1216, 0.138, 0.1615, 0.1154, 0.1392, 0.1397, 0.1516, 0.1388, 0.094, 0.1119, 0.1097, 0.1037, 0.1106, 0.1289, 0.1137, 0.1071, 0.094, 0.0871, 0.0984, 0.1319, 0.1363, 0.1199, 0.1296, 0.1268, 0.1254, 0.1254, 0.1186, 0.1095, 0.148, 0.2105, 0.2105, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2036449457064255618", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-24T14:26:00+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$META with blowout earnings, delaying Avocado launch doesn't materially change earnings much short term", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish on MSFT LEAPS via OpenAI liquidity unlock catalyst; bullish META post blowout earnings despite Avocado delay given ad revenue resilience.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TheVantaBlack Not yet, but leaps on $MSFT, especially with OpenAI liquidity unlock feels more compelling here?\n\nSame with $META with blowout earnings, delaying Avocado launch doesn’t materially change earnings much short term since they sell ads but does impact optics.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit You in any calls?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TheVantaBlack", "ret_m1d": 0.01878839467302207, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01878839467302207, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.015420238526629992, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004570794834054315, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014217599838967754, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0033225929215809913, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0033225929215809913, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.002250166025804967, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0005330203880611339, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0027895725335198573, "ret_p1w": -0.0350637162291324, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0350637162291324, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03071580929359008, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0326341594061379, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0024295568229945053, "ret_p1m": 0.13796125978328466, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13796125978328466, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.049118934623947785, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07722158402672474, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06073967575655992, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1249, 0.1177, 0.11, 0.1222, 0.1123, 0.1123, 0.096, 0.1101, 0.1132, 0.0931, 0.0887, 0.1005, 0.0818, 0.0635, 0.0372, 0.0461, 0.0452, 0.0452, 0.018, 0.0329, 0.0913, 0.1101, 0.133, 0.134, 0.1269, 0.2441, 0.2074, 0.1904, 0.1656, 0.1273, 0.1294, 0.1146, 0.1412, 0.1302, 0.1268, 0.095, 0.0781, 0.0781, 0.0773, 0.0839, 0.0865, 0.1049, 0.0738, 0.0773, 0.1015, 0.1071, 0.0923, 0.1013, 0.1039, 0.1252, 0.1131, 0.0867, 0.0909, 0.1022, 0.1035, 0.0754, 0.0342, 0.0582, 0.0502, 0.0384, 0.0232, 0.0012, 0.0188, 0.0, 0.0033, -0.0765, -0.1133, -0.0954, -0.0351, -0.0231, -0.0311, -0.0311, -0.0336, -0.0301, 0.0329, 0.0598, 0.0623, 0.0702, 0.1173, 0.1327, 0.1416, 0.1613, 0.1315, 0.128, 0.138, 0.1117, 0.1385, 0.1445, 0.1323, 0.1285, 0.032, 0.0267, 0.0295, 0.0203, 0.0337, 0.0403, 0.0282, 0.01, 0.017, 0.04, 0.043, 0.0359, 0.0308, 0.0163, 0.0205, 0.0244, 0.0292, 0.0292, 0.0328, 0.0714, 0.0715, 0.0668, 0.0668, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2012492311092244821", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-17T11:48:51+00:00", "symbol": "INTC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "one of my biggest positions … strongly believe Intel is one of the rare opportunities in the market … this is a high conviction long on US policy", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "High-conviction long INTC on US government/policy backstop + foundry TAM expansion; ~7x upside to TSM's market cap. Also endorses TSM as a long.", "resolved_tickers": ["INTC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$INTC is basically the $RKLB to SpaceX and is one of my biggest positions. \n\nEveryone knows it will catch up to TSM as the de-facto semi arm of the US government with Nvidia to Apple backing it.\n\nIt’s more of a matter of time.\n\nAt a $234B MC ( $TSM is $1.5T), ~7X return just for waiting.\n\nWhether it’s in 2 years or 10 years, I strongly believe Intel is one of the rare opportunities in the market where you can invest in the White House and infinite money printer subsidizing the cash burning foundry development.\n\nIt’s not winner takes all, the TAM of semis will keep going up, $TSM is a great long, but US hyperscalers from Google to Nvidia would be pressured to use Intel when available. \n\nUnited States won’t let Intel fail, this is a high conviction long on US policy.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.034071599659536655, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.034071599659536655, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0544283853830817, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0544283853830817, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "ret_p1w": -0.09518734014379204, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09518734014379204, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09673433127126752, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09673433127126752, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "ret_p1m": -0.016609855078868252, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.016609855078868252, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.003872374509167109, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.003872374509167109, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "ret_p3m": 0.4586882737535989, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4586882737535989, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4414598026397183, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4414598026397183, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2138, -0.1874, -0.1848, -0.158, -0.1156, -0.1197, -0.1448, -0.1484, -0.1589, -0.2115, -0.1827, -0.207, -0.188, -0.1812, -0.1934, -0.1931, -0.2353, -0.2436, -0.2609, -0.269, -0.2523, -0.2841, -0.2653, -0.2379, -0.237, -0.2161, -0.2161, -0.1363, -0.148, -0.0743, -0.0681, -0.1376, -0.1182, -0.1418, -0.1376, -0.1316, -0.1586, -0.1948, -0.2012, -0.2055, -0.2323, -0.2274, -0.2159, -0.2255, -0.2259, -0.23, -0.23, -0.2291, -0.2189, -0.2057, -0.2142, -0.2142, -0.1614, -0.1616, -0.1474, -0.0922, -0.1246, -0.03, -0.0618, 0.007, 0.0375, 0.029, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0341, 0.1552, 0.1567, -0.0402, -0.0952, -0.0645, 0.0388, 0.0362, -0.0104, 0.0394, 0.0488, 0.0349, 0.0273, 0.0773, 0.0698, 0.0036, 0.0283, -0.0102, -0.0036, -0.0036, -0.0166, -0.0319, -0.0498, -0.0607, -0.0709, -0.0179, -0.0017, -0.0319, -0.0287, -0.0311, -0.0822, -0.0294, -0.0215, -0.0754, -0.0294, -0.0038, 0.0217, -0.0364, -0.0253, -0.0256, -0.0618, -0.0411, -0.0166, -0.0658, -0.0628, -0.0618, 0.0047, -0.0609, -0.0816, -0.1229, -0.0603, 0.0228, 0.0728, 0.0728, 0.0813, 0.1267, 0.2553, 0.3143, 0.3284, 0.388, 0.3588, 0.3829, 0.4587, 0.4587, 0.3991, 0.411, 0.3899, 0.4221, 0.7577, 0.8098, 0.7998, 1.0177, 1.0119, 1.1214, 1.0396, 1.303, 1.4065, 1.3343, 1.6601, 1.7564, 1.5684, 1.5615, 1.4687, 1.3162, 1.3034, 1.3595, 1.5332, 1.5234, 1.552, 1.552, 1.6303, 1.5931, 1.5743, 1.4421, 1.4421, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2012492311092244821", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-17T11:48:51+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSM is a great long", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "High-conviction long INTC on US government/policy backstop + foundry TAM expansion; ~7x upside to TSM's market cap. Also endorses TSM as a long.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$INTC is basically the $RKLB to SpaceX and is one of my biggest positions. \n\nEveryone knows it will catch up to TSM as the de-facto semi arm of the US government with Nvidia to Apple backing it.\n\nIt’s more of a matter of time.\n\nAt a $234B MC ( $TSM is $1.5T), ~7X return just for waiting.\n\nWhether it’s in 2 years or 10 years, I strongly believe Intel is one of the rare opportunities in the market where you can invest in the White House and infinite money printer subsidizing the cash burning foundry development.\n\nIt’s not winner takes all, the TAM of semis will keep going up, $TSM is a great long, but US hyperscalers from Google to Nvidia would be pressured to use Intel when available. \n\nUnited States won’t let Intel fail, this is a high conviction long on US policy.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04450933601066909, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04450933601066909, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02415255028712404, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02415255028712404, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "ret_p1w": -0.02830025856620666, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02830025856620666, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.029847249693682132, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.029847249693682132, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "ret_p1m": 0.06366829733764123, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06366829733764123, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07640577790734238, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07640577790734238, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "ret_p3m": 0.06417597339062442, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06417597339062442, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.046947502276743824, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.046947502276743824, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1586, -0.1532, -0.1409, -0.1313, -0.1217, -0.1114, -0.1168, -0.1249, -0.112, -0.1435, -0.1447, -0.1575, -0.1655, -0.14, -0.1519, -0.1535, -0.178, -0.1704, -0.1786, -0.1905, -0.1775, -0.1917, -0.1988, -0.1709, -0.1708, -0.1554, -0.1554, -0.1509, -0.1621, -0.1492, -0.1394, -0.1468, -0.1416, -0.1207, -0.1163, -0.0967, -0.1097, -0.1471, -0.1596, -0.1622, -0.1911, -0.1686, -0.1561, -0.1435, -0.1327, -0.1273, -0.1273, -0.1155, -0.1211, -0.1251, -0.1125, -0.1125, -0.0666, -0.0588, -0.0437, -0.0693, -0.0712, -0.0548, -0.031, -0.0327, -0.0447, -0.0022, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0445, -0.0475, -0.0439, -0.022, -0.0283, -0.0119, -0.0003, -0.0083, -0.0346, -0.003, -0.0194, -0.0487, -0.0341, 0.0188, 0.038, 0.057, 0.0926, 0.0751, 0.07, 0.07, 0.0637, 0.058, 0.0525, 0.0822, 0.0807, 0.1266, 0.1324, 0.1005, 0.094, 0.078, 0.0313, 0.0439, 0.0335, -0.0103, 0.0184, 0.0137, 0.0355, -0.0166, -0.0119, -0.0063, 0.0133, -0.0055, -0.0078, -0.0357, -0.0088, 0.0053, 0.0185, -0.0449, -0.043, -0.073, -0.0102, 0.0002, -0.007, -0.007, 0.0009, 0.0114, 0.0716, 0.0704, 0.0854, 0.0824, 0.1126, 0.0986, 0.0642, 0.0851, 0.0726, 0.078, 0.1347, 0.1207, 0.1787, 0.1861, 0.1491, 0.1534, 0.16, 0.1647, 0.1762, 0.1551, 0.2286, 0.213, 0.2057, 0.1848, 0.1635, 0.1709, 0.2234, 0.1843, 0.1597, 0.1499, 0.1763, 0.1925, 0.1848, 0.1848, 0.2076, 0.2381, 0.2443, 0.2256, 0.2256, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2026365675133088228", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-24T18:36:39+00:00", "symbol": "000660.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm still buying into SK Hynix for example even after the 300% 1Y rise at $500B because their operating income (~$156B) is projected to surpass $AAPL ($3.8T) next year", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Still buying SK Hynix despite 300% rise; projected operating income to surpass Apple next year justifies continued accumulation.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I like to tell all the people who draw charts that stocks are more about fundamentals and catalysts. \n\nI'm still buying into SK Hynix for example even after the 300% 1Y rise at $500B because their operating income (~$156B) is projected to surpass $AAPL ($3.8T) next year.  \n\nObviously hyperscaler revenues are more persistent vs. memory (unless it becomes structural). \n\nBut just given the sheer amount of money printing, can just be confident to buy even after a 10% increase the previous day.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit How do you get the confidence to play names that doubled the past month or more?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ishkunreborn", "ret_m1d": -0.053731375835789574, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.053731375835789574, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04651537208897383, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0174117640117748, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007216003746815747, "bench_c_m1d": -0.036319611824014775, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01293531160228567, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01293531160228567, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004496962658704362, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.017088875504349232, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008438348943581309, "bench_c_p1d": 0.030024187106634903, "ret_p1w": -0.06394760619901918, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06394760619901918, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.053734595096584514, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02052148031836576, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.010213011102434666, "bench_c_p1w": -0.08446908651738494, "ret_p1m": -0.008123407092605173, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.008123407092605173, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0336837725827005, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10816856684785381, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04180717967530567, "bench_c_p1m": -0.11629197394045898, "ret_p3m": 0.9349070583323467, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.9349070583323467, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.8471403937729671, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.6756196495723557, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08776666455937954, "bench_c_p3m": 0.259287408759991, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4587, -0.4726, -0.4647, -0.4448, -0.4507, -0.4607, -0.4587, -0.4259, -0.4368, -0.4159, -0.4378, -0.4318, -0.4488, -0.4726, -0.4517, -0.4507, -0.4557, -0.4229, -0.4189, -0.4149, -0.4149, -0.404, -0.3632, -0.3522, -0.3522, -0.3522, -0.3264, -0.3075, -0.2776, -0.2617, -0.2478, -0.2597, -0.2547, -0.2657, -0.2617, -0.2547, -0.2478, -0.2398, -0.2607, -0.2637, -0.2488, -0.2368, -0.2677, -0.204, -0.1632, -0.1433, -0.0955, -0.1741, -0.0975, -0.1045, -0.1622, -0.1652, -0.1174, -0.1284, -0.1443, -0.1164, -0.1244, -0.1244, -0.1244, -0.1244, -0.1104, -0.0557, -0.0537, 0.0, 0.0129, 0.0956, 0.0577, 0.0577, -0.0639, -0.1537, -0.062, -0.0789, -0.1666, -0.0649, -0.048, -0.0729, -0.0929, -0.0291, -0.033, 0.0527, 0.0098, 0.0038, -0.0699, -0.0171, -0.0081, -0.0699, -0.0699, -0.1297, -0.1955, -0.1058, -0.1726, -0.1267, -0.1168, -0.0869, 0.0298, -0.0051, 0.0238, 0.0367, 0.0995, 0.1324, 0.1514, 0.1245, 0.1623, 0.2202, 0.2192, 0.2212, 0.2182, 0.2879, 0.2959, 0.2889, 0.282, 0.282, 0.4425, 0.4425, 0.596, 0.6488, 0.6807, 0.8741, 0.8292, 0.9698, 0.9638, 0.8133, 0.8342, 0.7395, 0.7395, 0.9339, 0.9349, 0.9349, 1.0456, 1.236, 1.2822, 1.3261, 1.3744, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2020757990039802293", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-09T07:13:43+00:00", "symbol": "RDDT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$RDDT was my top pick, I'm still looking for others", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "RDDT is author's top pick; still holding conviction as AI-disruption concerns are misplaced for this name.", "resolved_tickers": ["RDDT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Still doing research into software segment for opportunities. $SPOT, $NFLX is something that's not disrupted by AI because majority of it is licensing. Netflix drop is more multifaceted bc of acquisition.Those two were richly valued though. \n\n$DUOL make more sense. Dont know enough about $ADBE. \n\nIt's a good time to figure out what gets disrupted, and what has no material effect (but gets sold off in the bucket).\n\n$RDDT was my top pick, I'm still looking for others.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit it's been bit by the bug that has devoured $ADBE $DUOL $SPOT and $INTU", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "futureman1977", "ret_m1d": -0.013475402766239375, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013475402766239375, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.008676709158121132, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0038929684430077938, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009582434323231581, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0581345415199126, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0581345415199126, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06077170195199344, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05214546276960719, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00598907875030541, "ret_p1w": -0.014745389556094612, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.014745389556094612, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0028351802282485794, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.004932871729719568, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01967826128581418, "ret_p1m": -0.053689856888841314, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.053689856888841314, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.029523794273787485, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.057967779636738825, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "bench_c_p1m": 0.004277922747897511, "ret_p3m": 0.15669529133854376, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15669529133854376, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09959038761536032, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.14921259362000439, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "bench_c_p3m": 0.007482697718539377, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.4309, 0.3364, 0.3638, 0.3232, 0.3101, 0.3248, 0.2832, 0.2945, 0.3758, 0.5414, 0.4644, 0.4644, 0.5272, 0.5761, 0.5716, 0.5581, 0.5715, 0.6517, 0.6717, 0.6658, 0.6799, 0.6477, 0.5859, 0.5416, 0.5804, 0.6039, 0.6321, 0.6452, 0.6449, 0.5932, 0.5934, 0.5934, 0.5928, 0.6555, 0.6464, 0.6218, 0.6218, 0.7066, 0.7218, 0.7907, 0.8026, 0.7917, 0.7254, 0.7216, 0.8268, 0.7806, 0.6139, 0.6298, 0.6298, 0.59, 0.4825, 0.5136, 0.5442, 0.5072, 0.3849, 0.3626, 0.3408, 0.2718, 0.2498, 0.167, 0.0773, 0.0657, -0.0135, 0.0, 0.0581, -0.0173, -0.0753, -0.0147, -0.0147, -0.0177, 0.0404, 0.031, 0.0595, 0.0051, 0.0024, 0.0559, 0.0671, 0.0287, 0.0379, 0.0279, 0.0392, 0.0183, -0.0166, -0.0203, -0.0537, -0.0326, -0.067, -0.0662, -0.0123, 0.0183, 0.0074, -0.0255, -0.0133, -0.0055, -0.0397, -0.0149, -0.1022, -0.1404, -0.1242, -0.05, -0.0392, -0.0405, -0.0405, -0.024, -0.0042, 0.023, -0.0237, -0.0142, 0.0537, 0.0903, 0.1181, 0.1461, 0.1556, 0.1731, 0.1064, 0.1592, 0.0792, 0.0928, 0.1303, 0.0437, 0.0424, 0.0387, 0.1745, 0.1928, 0.2109, 0.1751, 0.1567, 0.0992, 0.1254, 0.0749, 0.0873, 0.1028, 0.1159, 0.1225, 0.0927, 0.0351, 0.0586, -0.0005, -0.0005, 0.0205, 0.0878, 0.1831, 0.2417, 0.2417, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2030424332552573150", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-07T23:24:18+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AXTI is my personal favorite since inp substrate/feedstock is used across any photonics bottleneck", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long AXTI as top photonics pick; also bullish LITE/COHR/AAOI on demand ramp, IQE/AXTI for upside, Soitec/TSEM for 2-3x over 2 years.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AXTI is my personal favorite since inp substrate/feedstock is used across any photonics bottleneck.  \n\nI just need someone to join their board and tell them that they're a semi-monopoly and to price hike.  \n\nFor timeframes: \n$LITE, $COHR, $AAOI probably get their time to shine next two years from extreme demand ramp. \n\nThe exponential curve for pluggables probably dwindles a tiny bit in 2028 from cpo? So would be more cautious with innolight/eoptolink type players. \n\n$AAOI manufactures their own lasers, so I'm sure they'll get qualified if there's any time for a pivot.\n\nTLDR: For safest, $COHR. They're widely diversified. \n\nHighest upside probably $AAOI, $IQE, $AXTI given their small starting point. \n\nSignificant upside for Soitec, $TSEM could probably double or triple in 2 years. But probably dead capital for 2026.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What is your favorite photonics play at the moment? Even after such massive runs do you still see significant upside over the next 12 months or are these more long term plays?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "HyperAICapital", "ret_m1d": -0.1605291032404843, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1605291032404843, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.15184514987612907, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.125511232384234, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0350178708562503, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.14885886046013996, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.14885886046013996, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.1504659873655071, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.1413532401246005, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007505620335539476, "ret_p1w": 0.2549273253700213, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2549273253700213, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.26855023209422, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2560683393797697, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00114101400974842, "ret_p1m": 0.17894184298346505, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.17894184298346505, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.20437380740307753, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.164919481120835, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014022361862630062, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5978, -0.5752, -0.6159, -0.6154, -0.6629, -0.6795, -0.6367, -0.6201, -0.6053, -0.6203, -0.6107, -0.6107, -0.6014, -0.6216, -0.5902, -0.576, -0.576, -0.5654, -0.5677, -0.4769, -0.3747, -0.3301, -0.4038, -0.4232, -0.4422, -0.4269, -0.333, -0.4271, -0.4271, -0.4448, -0.487, -0.5353, -0.5488, -0.5384, -0.5539, -0.5635, -0.5752, -0.5192, -0.457, -0.4881, -0.5137, -0.4702, -0.376, -0.2798, -0.3685, -0.305, -0.3571, -0.3714, -0.3714, -0.3981, -0.3895, -0.3825, -0.2303, -0.2627, -0.0902, 0.0625, -0.0373, -0.0171, 0.2012, 0.083, 0.0148, 0.0062, -0.1605, 0.0, 0.1489, 0.2282, 0.2119, 0.2671, 0.2549, 0.1504, 0.2645, 0.5065, 0.4066, 0.6712, 0.7749, 0.7466, 0.5174, 0.5724, 0.3675, 0.4777, 0.2225, 0.3703, 0.3703, 0.089, 0.1789, 0.3791, 0.6369, 0.6644, 0.7233, 0.7453, 0.632, 1.1209, 1.1411, 1.0425, 0.9442, 1.2547, 0.952, 0.9751, 0.8192, 0.7819, 0.8431, 1.0545, 1.4896, 1.749, 1.7892, 1.7186, 1.8117, 2.0176, 2.2627, 2.1872, 2.1623, 1.9818, 2.2101, 1.7459, 1.9274, 1.7129, 2.1385, 2.6522, 2.6522, 2.4388, 2.1839, 2.0005, 1.6753, 1.6753, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2030424332552573150", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-07T23:24:18+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LITE, $COHR, $AAOI probably get their time to shine next two years from extreme demand ramp", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long AXTI as top photonics pick; also bullish LITE/COHR/AAOI on demand ramp, IQE/AXTI for upside, Soitec/TSEM for 2-3x over 2 years.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AXTI is my personal favorite since inp substrate/feedstock is used across any photonics bottleneck.  \n\nI just need someone to join their board and tell them that they're a semi-monopoly and to price hike.  \n\nFor timeframes: \n$LITE, $COHR, $AAOI probably get their time to shine next two years from extreme demand ramp. \n\nThe exponential curve for pluggables probably dwindles a tiny bit in 2028 from cpo? So would be more cautious with innolight/eoptolink type players. \n\n$AAOI manufactures their own lasers, so I'm sure they'll get qualified if there's any time for a pivot.\n\nTLDR: For safest, $COHR. They're widely diversified. \n\nHighest upside probably $AAOI, $IQE, $AXTI given their small starting point. \n\nSignificant upside for Soitec, $TSEM could probably double or triple in 2 years. But probably dead capital for 2026.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What is your favorite photonics play at the moment? Even after such massive runs do you still see significant upside over the next 12 months or are these more long term plays?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "HyperAICapital", "ret_m1d": -0.12837721782231515, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.12837721782231515, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11969326445795991, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.11969326445795991, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04886918390997863, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04886918390997863, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05047631081534576, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05047631081534576, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "ret_p1w": -0.024738915115796623, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.024738915115796623, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.011116008391597876, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.011116008391597876, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "ret_p1m": 0.2732366618669124, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2732366618669124, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2986686262865249, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2986686262865249, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4287, -0.4192, -0.4937, -0.4776, -0.5065, -0.5001, -0.4738, -0.4203, -0.3915, -0.3953, -0.382, -0.382, -0.3901, -0.4184, -0.4207, -0.4247, -0.4247, -0.3974, -0.4427, -0.3797, -0.3868, -0.4564, -0.4515, -0.4695, -0.436, -0.4824, -0.4642, -0.4939, -0.4939, -0.4431, -0.4343, -0.4467, -0.4706, -0.4811, -0.4215, -0.3991, -0.4046, -0.3884, -0.3391, -0.3209, -0.2734, -0.2127, -0.1384, -0.0992, -0.1242, -0.1039, -0.0893, -0.1217, -0.1217, -0.0629, -0.0725, -0.0079, 0.0423, 0.0531, 0.0743, 0.1291, 0.0567, 0.094, 0.2225, 0.0839, 0.0626, 0.0158, -0.1284, 0.0, 0.0489, 0.0489, -0.0384, -0.0284, -0.0247, 0.0138, 0.0938, 0.2052, 0.1025, 0.1378, 0.2518, 0.213, 0.0751, 0.0968, 0.022, 0.0969, 0.1935, 0.2906, 0.2906, 0.2054, 0.2732, 0.3985, 0.3956, 0.4005, 0.3598, 0.331, 0.2861, 0.391, 0.3955, 0.3971, 0.3063, 0.3635, 0.3218, 0.3761, 0.3418, 0.2352, 0.3397, 0.4084, 0.4827, 0.5236, 0.5523, 0.4738, 0.3932, 0.4107, 0.6437, 0.5489, 0.6082, 0.5636, 0.5151, 0.3813, 0.3893, 0.3549, 0.5054, 0.4779, 0.4779, 0.4216, 0.4083, 0.3433, 0.3344, 0.3344, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2030424332552573150", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-07T23:24:18+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "For safest, $COHR. They're widely diversified", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long AXTI as top photonics pick; also bullish LITE/COHR/AAOI on demand ramp, IQE/AXTI for upside, Soitec/TSEM for 2-3x over 2 years.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AXTI is my personal favorite since inp substrate/feedstock is used across any photonics bottleneck.  \n\nI just need someone to join their board and tell them that they're a semi-monopoly and to price hike.  \n\nFor timeframes: \n$LITE, $COHR, $AAOI probably get their time to shine next two years from extreme demand ramp. \n\nThe exponential curve for pluggables probably dwindles a tiny bit in 2028 from cpo? So would be more cautious with innolight/eoptolink type players. \n\n$AAOI manufactures their own lasers, so I'm sure they'll get qualified if there's any time for a pivot.\n\nTLDR: For safest, $COHR. They're widely diversified. \n\nHighest upside probably $AAOI, $IQE, $AXTI given their small starting point. \n\nSignificant upside for Soitec, $TSEM could probably double or triple in 2 years. But probably dead capital for 2026.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What is your favorite photonics play at the moment? Even after such massive runs do you still see significant upside over the next 12 months or are these more long term plays?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "HyperAICapital", "ret_m1d": -0.06578949596408912, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06578949596408912, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05710554259973388, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05710554259973388, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03297402933857696, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03297402933857696, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03458115624394409, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03458115624394409, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "ret_p1w": -0.019617993275779844, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.019617993275779844, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.005995086551581097, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.005995086551581097, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "ret_p1m": 0.011017750073717858, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.011017750073717858, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03644971449333034, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03644971449333034, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2175, -0.2133, -0.2932, -0.2928, -0.3056, -0.3245, -0.3036, -0.2635, -0.2431, -0.2396, -0.2416, -0.2416, -0.2402, -0.2509, -0.2596, -0.2685, -0.2685, -0.2298, -0.2614, -0.2307, -0.2406, -0.3138, -0.2943, -0.2661, -0.2469, -0.2703, -0.2234, -0.2429, -0.2429, -0.2333, -0.2016, -0.1966, -0.2195, -0.2162, -0.1519, -0.1236, -0.1445, -0.1591, -0.1184, -0.0917, -0.1638, -0.1707, -0.0977, -0.0391, -0.0949, -0.1135, -0.1435, -0.1391, -0.1391, -0.1282, -0.1127, -0.0786, -0.0164, -0.0136, 0.0101, 0.0617, -0.0086, 0.0262, 0.1846, 0.1129, 0.0893, 0.0061, -0.0658, 0.0, 0.033, -0.0036, -0.0438, -0.0379, -0.0196, -0.0258, 0.0194, 0.0921, 0.0052, 0.0108, 0.0793, 0.0782, -0.0358, -0.035, -0.1295, -0.0559, -0.0179, 0.0231, 0.0231, 0.0036, 0.011, 0.1168, 0.1262, 0.2187, 0.2204, 0.2422, 0.2215, 0.2999, 0.3674, 0.3773, 0.3625, 0.389, 0.3383, 0.332, 0.2743, 0.2047, 0.2085, 0.2671, 0.3059, 0.3074, 0.3306, 0.366, 0.265, 0.3287, 0.5048, 0.4823, 0.6, 0.6049, 0.5157, 0.438, 0.4015, 0.4208, 0.4981, 0.4964, 0.4964, 0.5114, 0.5067, 0.4939, 0.4326, 0.4326, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2030424332552573150", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-03-07T23:24:18+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Highest upside probably $AAOI, $IQE, $AXTI given their small starting point", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long AXTI as top photonics pick; also bullish LITE/COHR/AAOI on demand ramp, IQE/AXTI for upside, Soitec/TSEM for 2-3x over 2 years.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AXTI is my personal favorite since inp substrate/feedstock is used across any photonics bottleneck.  \n\nI just need someone to join their board and tell them that they're a semi-monopoly and to price hike.  \n\nFor timeframes: \n$LITE, $COHR, $AAOI probably get their time to shine next two years from extreme demand ramp. \n\nThe exponential curve for pluggables probably dwindles a tiny bit in 2028 from cpo? So would be more cautious with innolight/eoptolink type players. \n\n$AAOI manufactures their own lasers, so I'm sure they'll get qualified if there's any time for a pivot.\n\nTLDR: For safest, $COHR. They're widely diversified. \n\nHighest upside probably $AAOI, $IQE, $AXTI given their small starting point. \n\nSignificant upside for Soitec, $TSEM could probably double or triple in 2 years. But probably dead capital for 2026.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What is your favorite photonics play at the moment? Even after such massive runs do you still see significant upside over the next 12 months or are these more long term plays?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "HyperAICapital", "ret_m1d": -0.13596095228800786, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.13596095228800786, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12727699892365263, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12727699892365263, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08922432536725333, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08922432536725333, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09083145227262046, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09083145227262046, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "ret_p1w": -0.1496113057389088, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1496113057389088, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.13598839901471005, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.13598839901471005, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "ret_p1m": 0.0634604634674294, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0634604634674294, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08889242788704188, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08889242788704188, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6838, -0.6717, -0.7102, -0.7297, -0.7382, -0.7547, -0.7356, -0.7169, -0.6466, -0.6326, -0.6294, -0.6294, -0.664, -0.6678, -0.6744, -0.6849, -0.6849, -0.642, -0.6837, -0.651, -0.656, -0.7016, -0.6923, -0.6952, -0.691, -0.6884, -0.6655, -0.6652, -0.6652, -0.6451, -0.653, -0.6551, -0.6771, -0.6846, -0.662, -0.5911, -0.6423, -0.6058, -0.6008, -0.5831, -0.6393, -0.6553, -0.5995, -0.5669, -0.5617, -0.5625, -0.6023, -0.5981, -0.5981, -0.6031, -0.6073, -0.5753, -0.5328, -0.5122, -0.4913, -0.4746, -0.5146, -0.2386, -0.0733, -0.1381, -0.0986, -0.0857, -0.136, 0.0, 0.0892, 0.1482, -0.04, -0.1248, -0.1496, -0.2196, -0.1626, -0.0786, -0.2086, -0.1343, 0.0297, 0.0343, -0.1193, -0.1122, -0.2299, -0.2353, -0.2194, -0.0607, -0.0607, -0.0287, 0.0635, 0.1996, 0.205, 0.3614, 0.3848, 0.3234, 0.2886, 0.4222, 0.4411, 0.4778, 0.3611, 0.3508, 0.2451, 0.466, 0.3178, 0.2408, 0.3816, 0.4858, 0.6589, 0.5637, 0.6323, 0.614, 0.4242, 0.3464, 0.6715, 0.702, 1.0168, 0.8403, 0.7208, 0.5663, 0.5488, 0.4939, 0.5984, 0.6407, 0.6407, 0.6057, 0.6257, 0.5279, 0.432, 0.432, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2030424332552573150", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-03-07T23:24:18+00:00", "symbol": "IQE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Highest upside probably $AAOI, $IQE, $AXTI given their small starting point", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long AXTI as top photonics pick; also bullish LITE/COHR/AAOI on demand ramp, IQE/AXTI for upside, Soitec/TSEM for 2-3x over 2 years.", "resolved_tickers": ["IQE.L"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "IQE plc LSE-listed epiwafer supplier", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AXTI is my personal favorite since inp substrate/feedstock is used across any photonics bottleneck.  \n\nI just need someone to join their board and tell them that they're a semi-monopoly and to price hike.  \n\nFor timeframes: \n$LITE, $COHR, $AAOI probably get their time to shine next two years from extreme demand ramp. \n\nThe exponential curve for pluggables probably dwindles a tiny bit in 2028 from cpo? So would be more cautious with innolight/eoptolink type players. \n\n$AAOI manufactures their own lasers, so I'm sure they'll get qualified if there's any time for a pivot.\n\nTLDR: For safest, $COHR. They're widely diversified. \n\nHighest upside probably $AAOI, $IQE, $AXTI given their small starting point. \n\nSignificant upside for Soitec, $TSEM could probably double or triple in 2 years. But probably dead capital for 2026.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What is your favorite photonics play at the moment? Even after such massive runs do you still see significant upside over the next 12 months or are these more long term plays?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "HyperAICapital", "ret_m1d": 0.030398318974070415, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.030398318974070415, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03908227233842565, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06541618983032071, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0350178708562503, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1897275080559988, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1897275080559988, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.19133463496136593, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.18222188772045933, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007505620335539476, "ret_p1w": 0.21069184873365754, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.21069184873365754, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.22431475545785629, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.21183286274340596, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00114101400974842, "ret_p1m": 0.33647799276547063, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.33647799276547063, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3619099571850831, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3224556309028406, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014022361862630062, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7311, -0.7269, -0.7442, -0.7432, -0.7393, -0.7398, -0.7353, -0.7327, -0.7311, -0.7393, -0.7398, -0.7398, -0.7398, -0.7398, -0.7379, -0.7379, -0.7379, -0.7301, -0.7364, -0.7338, -0.7075, -0.6777, -0.6153, -0.4528, -0.4827, -0.5283, -0.5729, -0.5886, -0.532, -0.5917, -0.5996, -0.5912, -0.5791, -0.5991, -0.5985, -0.5797, -0.5938, -0.5854, -0.5791, -0.5964, -0.5833, -0.5907, -0.5849, -0.5718, -0.4759, -0.4633, -0.4602, -0.4444, -0.4497, -0.4434, -0.4518, -0.456, -0.4507, -0.3302, -0.3606, -0.1604, 0.0482, -0.0042, 0.3417, 0.3627, 0.4072, 0.1242, 0.0304, 0.0, 0.1897, 0.2736, 0.1897, 0.2186, 0.2107, 0.1321, 0.3391, 0.1976, 0.2369, 0.2317, 0.3391, 0.5461, 0.3941, 0.2841, 0.2107, 0.2788, 0.3155, 0.2369, 0.2369, 0.2369, 0.3365, 0.5042, 0.5723, 0.9392, 1.5734, 1.5052, 1.8302, 2.0713, 1.7306, 2.0713, 2.3019, 2.2809, 1.6074, 1.4948, 1.5891, 1.1095, 1.1174, 1.2668, 1.1567, 1.1567, 1.6205, 1.3349, 1.3926, 1.4686, 1.8564, 1.4712, 1.6468, 1.5996, 1.4109, 1.0493, 0.6771, 0.968, 1.0886, 1.3978, 1.3978, 1.8302, 1.6572, 1.4974, 1.4895, 1.4895, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2030424332552573150", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2026-03-07T23:24:18+00:00", "symbol": "Soitec", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Significant upside for Soitec, $TSEM could probably double or triple in 2 years", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long AXTI as top photonics pick; also bullish LITE/COHR/AAOI on demand ramp, IQE/AXTI for upside, Soitec/TSEM for 2-3x over 2 years.", "resolved_tickers": ["SOI.PA"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Soitec listed on Euronext Paris as SOI.PA", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AXTI is my personal favorite since inp substrate/feedstock is used across any photonics bottleneck.  \n\nI just need someone to join their board and tell them that they're a semi-monopoly and to price hike.  \n\nFor timeframes: \n$LITE, $COHR, $AAOI probably get their time to shine next two years from extreme demand ramp. \n\nThe exponential curve for pluggables probably dwindles a tiny bit in 2028 from cpo? So would be more cautious with innolight/eoptolink type players. \n\n$AAOI manufactures their own lasers, so I'm sure they'll get qualified if there's any time for a pivot.\n\nTLDR: For safest, $COHR. They're widely diversified. \n\nHighest upside probably $AAOI, $IQE, $AXTI given their small starting point. \n\nSignificant upside for Soitec, $TSEM could probably double or triple in 2 years. But probably dead capital for 2026.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What is your favorite photonics play at the moment? Even after such massive runs do you still see significant upside over the next 12 months or are these more long term plays?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "HyperAICapital", "ret_m1d": -0.0016758365826450294, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0016758365826450294, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007008116781710205, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03334203427360527, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0350178708562503, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05745744996120927, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05745744996120927, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0590645768665764, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0499518296256698, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007505620335539476, "ret_p1w": 0.512089996534169, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.512089996534169, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.5257129032583677, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.5132310105439174, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00114101400974842, "ret_p1m": 0.17309072212117993, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.17309072212117993, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.19852268654079241, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.15906836025854987, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014022361862630062, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3871, -0.3778, -0.3823, -0.3907, -0.4101, -0.4269, -0.4307, -0.4422, -0.4475, -0.4455, -0.4506, -0.4506, -0.4506, -0.4506, -0.447, -0.4448, -0.4448, -0.4046, -0.3735, -0.3833, -0.3728, -0.3771, -0.3538, -0.3605, -0.3222, -0.3239, -0.3026, -0.3251, -0.3428, -0.3433, -0.3244, -0.3179, -0.3404, -0.3356, -0.3285, -0.3421, -0.3641, -0.3692, -0.3823, -0.4132, -0.2765, -0.2717, -0.2368, -0.2219, -0.1669, -0.0639, -0.1243, -0.1061, -0.1168, -0.1116, -0.1092, -0.1264, -0.1154, -0.0608, -0.0345, -0.0093, 0.0093, -0.0208, 0.0309, 0.0057, 0.0136, -0.0172, -0.0017, 0.0, 0.0575, 0.2282, 0.3795, 0.4125, 0.5121, 0.4695, 0.5083, 0.2971, 0.2392, 0.2411, 0.2138, 0.3057, 0.2799, 0.2875, 0.2401, 0.2363, 0.2708, 0.197, 0.197, 0.197, 0.1731, 0.2981, 0.2823, 0.526, 0.5475, 0.7319, 0.8391, 1.0464, 1.3419, 1.3941, 1.412, 1.6263, 1.5521, 1.6969, 1.6227, 1.3644, 1.7077, 2.0393, 2.0393, 2.6749, 2.7802, 2.5157, 2.609, 3.1022, 2.8712, 2.4642, 2.7311, 2.6366, 2.5444, 2.3577, 2.4271, 2.7826, 2.9885, 3.2459, 3.2207, 2.9909, 2.6916, 3.6014, 3.2507, 3.2507, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2030424332552573150", "ticker_idx": 6, "ts": "2026-03-07T23:24:18+00:00", "symbol": "TSEM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSEM could probably double or triple in 2 years", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long AXTI as top photonics pick; also bullish LITE/COHR/AAOI on demand ramp, IQE/AXTI for upside, Soitec/TSEM for 2-3x over 2 years.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSEM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AXTI is my personal favorite since inp substrate/feedstock is used across any photonics bottleneck.  \n\nI just need someone to join their board and tell them that they're a semi-monopoly and to price hike.  \n\nFor timeframes: \n$LITE, $COHR, $AAOI probably get their time to shine next two years from extreme demand ramp. \n\nThe exponential curve for pluggables probably dwindles a tiny bit in 2028 from cpo? So would be more cautious with innolight/eoptolink type players. \n\n$AAOI manufactures their own lasers, so I'm sure they'll get qualified if there's any time for a pivot.\n\nTLDR: For safest, $COHR. They're widely diversified. \n\nHighest upside probably $AAOI, $IQE, $AXTI given their small starting point. \n\nSignificant upside for Soitec, $TSEM could probably double or triple in 2 years. But probably dead capital for 2026.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What is your favorite photonics play at the moment? Even after such massive runs do you still see significant upside over the next 12 months or are these more long term plays?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "HyperAICapital", "ret_m1d": -0.04217913377098714, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04217913377098714, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03349518040663191, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03349518040663191, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012298615799454682, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012298615799454682, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01390574270482181, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01390574270482181, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "ret_p1w": 0.19928981741456564, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.19928981741456564, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2129127241387644, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2129127241387644, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "ret_p1m": 0.6530400322514716, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6530400322514716, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.678471996671084, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.678471996671084, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0957, 0.1168, 0.0301, 0.0242, -0.0052, -0.0249, 0.0107, 0.032, 0.025, 0.0488, 0.0607, 0.0607, 0.0533, 0.0489, 0.0451, 0.017, 0.017, 0.0544, 0.0332, 0.0591, 0.0585, 0.0162, 0.0396, 0.0506, 0.0807, 0.067, 0.074, 0.1245, 0.1245, 0.1173, 0.1556, 0.1258, 0.114, 0.1004, 0.1486, 0.2033, 0.1667, 0.1669, 0.1856, 0.1814, 0.0504, 0.118, 0.2042, 0.2778, 0.1828, 0.1644, 0.1569, 0.115, 0.115, 0.1067, 0.1116, 0.0901, 0.1127, 0.1037, 0.0914, 0.091, 0.0726, 0.0815, 0.2003, 0.0872, 0.0696, 0.044, -0.0422, 0.0, 0.0123, 0.0345, 0.0267, 0.0801, 0.1993, 0.194, 0.2295, 0.4384, 0.4172, 0.4908, 0.5661, 0.6347, 0.5129, 0.489, 0.3735, 0.5198, 0.6202, 0.7131, 0.7131, 0.6472, 0.653, 0.7641, 0.7653, 0.7633, 0.8142, 0.8544, 0.8676, 0.86, 0.9613, 0.9443, 0.877, 0.785, 0.7432, 0.7369, 0.761, 0.6763, 0.7251, 0.9145, 0.8882, 0.8626, 0.9533, 0.8783, 0.8188, 0.8276, 0.9823, 0.9126, 1.3451, 1.4311, 1.3729, 1.1485, 1.1763, 1.2907, 1.4165, 1.4548, 1.4548, 1.499, 1.4059, 1.3861, 1.2105, 1.2105, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2027457116068581663", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-27T18:53:39+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I think there's a lot of room to go but certainly depends on execution", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AAOI; not yet crowded, still entering radars, plenty of upside if execution delivers.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@yianisz Agreed! But I don’t quite think it’s crowded quite yet. \n\nMost people are in names like $LITE and $COHR and $AAOI is just getting out on their radar. \n\nI think there’s a lot of room to go but certainly depends on execution.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "All fair points and this is exactly the right framework to pressure-test the bull case.\n\nHere’s how I see it.\n\n$AAOI valuation is no longer cheap. At ~$79 the stock is trading on forward execution, not optionality. \n\nThe easy re-rate phase (legacy CATV &gt; AI pivot) is behind us.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "yianisz", "ret_m1d": -0.3625786953944201, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.3625786953944201, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.3674038085726452, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.3674038085726452, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.21702478987010654, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.21702478987010654, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.21645621108777524, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.21645621108777524, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "ret_p1w": 0.1347500655559073, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1347500655559073, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15459001236840897, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15459001236840897, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "ret_p1m": 0.011397353035883961, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.011397353035883961, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08762893098965874, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08762893098965874, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "ret_p3m": 1.1349874707828982, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.1349874707828982, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.0380187816928927, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.0380187816928927, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6911, -0.6955, -0.6885, -0.6843, -0.6695, -0.6393, -0.5847, -0.5688, -0.6194, -0.645, -0.6562, -0.6778, -0.6527, -0.6282, -0.5359, -0.5175, -0.5132, -0.5132, -0.5587, -0.5637, -0.5724, -0.5861, -0.5861, -0.5299, -0.5846, -0.5416, -0.5482, -0.6081, -0.5959, -0.5997, -0.5942, -0.5908, -0.5607, -0.5603, -0.5603, -0.5339, -0.5443, -0.5471, -0.5759, -0.5858, -0.5561, -0.463, -0.5302, -0.4823, -0.4757, -0.4525, -0.5263, -0.5473, -0.4741, -0.4312, -0.4243, -0.4254, -0.4777, -0.4722, -0.4722, -0.4787, -0.4843, -0.4422, -0.3864, -0.3594, -0.3319, -0.31, -0.3626, 0.0, 0.217, 0.1319, 0.1838, 0.2008, 0.1348, 0.3133, 0.4305, 0.5079, 0.2607, 0.1494, 0.1168, 0.0249, 0.0997, 0.21, 0.0393, 0.1369, 0.3522, 0.3583, 0.1566, 0.166, 0.0114, 0.0043, 0.0252, 0.2336, 0.2336, 0.2757, 0.3967, 0.5754, 0.5826, 0.788, 0.8187, 0.738, 0.6924, 0.8677, 0.8927, 0.9408, 0.7876, 0.774, 0.6352, 0.9253, 0.7307, 0.6296, 0.8144, 0.9513, 1.1787, 1.0537, 1.1438, 1.1197, 0.8705, 0.7683, 1.1952, 1.2353, 1.6487, 1.4168, 1.26, 1.057, 1.0341, 0.962, 1.0991, 1.1547, 1.1547, 1.1087, 1.135, 1.0066, 0.8807, 0.8807, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2031157876362981761", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-09T23:59:09+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The upside is clearly there with $HIMS and all their main regulatory problems were cleared last Friday.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish HIMS: network/DTC moat is massive, regulatory hurdles cleared, upside clear with latent monetization streams.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Did you just skip over the entire post? \n\nNetwork capture and retail distribution network at masses is $HIMS moat, not the pills they sell. \n\nAnd that moat is massive. This cannot be understated for latent monetization streams. \n\neg. $HOOD with cross-selling new products.\n\n$HIMS is genuinely the first of its kind to reach this sort of scale DTC for healthcare. And there's always going to be bear cases like with $HOOD with $18. \n\nThe upside is clearly there with $HIMS and all their main regulatory problems were cleared last Friday. \n\nIt's more of whether or not they can figure out new monetization avenues.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit HIMS has no moat. it is a glorified drug store. they don't make their own drugs, they repackaged other people's drugs and resale them. HIMS has no patients, no moat, nada. HIMS is all marketing. They can only drive up meaningful top line by increasing ad spend. There's nothing", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "CashflowingOptn", "ret_m1d": -0.2897111967734822, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.2897111967734822, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.281027243409127, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.281027243409127, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0591154997726846, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0591154997726846, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06072262667805173, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06072262667805173, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "ret_p1w": 0.12274365216984151, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12274365216984151, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.13636655889404026, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13636655889404026, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "ret_p1m": -0.12003609502383417, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12003609502383417, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09460413060422168, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09460413060422168, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.7094, 0.7044, 0.6792, 0.6358, 0.6634, 0.5781, 0.569, 0.6047, 0.5817, 0.5704, 0.5645, 0.5645, 0.5483, 0.5388, 0.491, 0.4653, 0.4653, 0.5077, 0.5663, 0.6002, 0.6002, 0.5284, 0.4301, 0.4594, 0.4531, 0.4134, 0.4093, 0.4161, 0.4161, 0.375, 0.3037, 0.3773, 0.3366, 0.3664, 0.3394, 0.2938, 0.3479, 0.2225, 0.1931, 0.1525, 0.1011, 0.0596, 0.0388, -0.1277, -0.222, -0.2468, -0.287, -0.2644, -0.2644, -0.2658, -0.2852, -0.2861, -0.2947, -0.3001, -0.3023, -0.2861, -0.296, -0.3448, -0.2563, -0.2861, -0.2577, -0.2834, -0.2897, 0.0, 0.0591, 0.1679, 0.0758, 0.1178, 0.1227, 0.1273, 0.0447, 0.0903, -0.0063, 0.0135, -0.037, -0.0596, -0.0587, -0.1255, -0.1525, -0.0632, -0.1047, -0.1363, -0.1363, -0.0826, -0.12, -0.125, -0.1088, -0.1232, -0.0456, -0.0361, 0.0961, 0.218, 0.3005, 0.3994, 0.343, 0.3091, 0.2703, 0.3791, 0.3263, 0.2595, 0.1882, 0.2261, 0.2369, 0.2306, 0.1882, 0.213, 0.1575, 0.2757, 0.315, 0.1295, 0.0894, 0.0939, 0.1304, 0.0059, 0.0126, 0.0397, 0.0835, 0.0718, 0.0718, 0.0763, 0.1372, 0.1453, 0.1801, 0.1801, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2013664829282599094", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-20T17:28:02+00:00", "symbol": "VPG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I entered long positions given the asymmetrical upside - of high probability correlation to $TSLA Optimus supply chains - high BOM of each robot deployed. - very clean balance sheet, which is rare.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long VPG as a hidden Tesla Optimus supply-chain play; $500–$1,200 revenue per robot with 10M-unit target implies massive upside for a $574M company.", "resolved_tickers": ["VPG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Scientific & Technical Instruments'", "bench_c_industry": "Scientific & Technical Instruments", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I've initiated positions in $VPG ($573m).\n\nThis is my actual/main robotics sector exposure going forward, tethered to $TSLA Optimus. \n\nMarkets have completely overlooked this robotics sector play:\n\nFor every Tesla Optimus deployed, $VPG likely takes an exceptionally high BOM for each.\n\nIt's a pretty open secret by now that VPG is likely a main supplier for Tesla Optimus Ramp. \n\nThis was first discovered by Citron Research (not taking credit for this).\n\nIn April 2025, Citron Research published a report calling VPG the \"Hidden Tesla Optimus Play.\" \n\nThey pointed out that VPG announced a \"major design win\" with a humanoid developer in November 2023, right before Tesla revealed the Optimus Gen 2 in December 2023.\n\nCitron: \"The evidence is conclusive: VPG is not only supplying Tesla Optimus but expects substantial revenues from this ramp-up, revenue currently invisible to the market due to confidentiality\"\n\nI've cross-checked with recent Sellside/Buyside analysts much later in 2025/2026 regarding VPG:\n\nMany from Signia Capital mention for $VPG: \"The most notable application would be Tesla’s Optimus robot, which was prototyped in 2022 and is targeting production in 2026\".\n\nHowever, this was completely forgotten given robotics ramp from Optimus and others were nonexistent through 2023-2025 for the prototyping phase. \n\nHowever, given OpenAI's push to robotics last week per Bloomberg:\n\nI expect robotics to hit the inflection point this year. \n\nThis company is extremely solid fundamentally already:\n\n- $79.7 Million Revenue (up 5.3% Y/Y but this should ramp up exponentially due to robotics sector)\n- 40.5% Gross Margins\n- ~$65 Million Net Cash ($86m Cash, $20m Debt)\n\n$VPG has a material science/patent moat for Bulk Metal Foil, introduced Z-Foil technology, and is vertically integrated. Can't say I understand it all, but it's the reason why $TSLA has been prototyping and scaling their Optimus iterations with Vishay.\n\nAs for BOM:\n\nThere are BOM estimates like:\n\nLegs/Locomotion: ~$21,300 (38% of cost): concentrated in high-torque actuators.\n\nCore Stability: ~$15,600 (28%): structural torso and shoulder mechanisms.\n\nDexterous Hands: ~$9,500 (17%): Actuators and VPG-style sensors.\n\nCompute/AI: ~$2,100 (4%): Dual FSD chips and 8-camera array.\n\nBut generally, we can estimate 3-8% of each robots value is est. $VPG since Shoshani explicitly stated that VPG expects to capture between $500 and $1,200 in revenue per robot in ERs.\n\nElon likes to claim big numbers, but if you take it at face value \"10-million-unit annual target at Giga Texas\" \n\n10M robots/year × $750/robot = $7.5 Billion in annual revenue for VPG.\n\nConsidering $VPG is a small $574M company deep in the robotics supply chain right now, I entered long positions given the asymmetrical upside\n\n- of high probability correlation to $TSLA Optimus supply chains\n- high BOM of each robot deployed. \n- very clean balance sheet, which is rare. \n\nPlease do your own research, this is my own personal thought process of why I entered this long.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I’ve initiated small positions in $DPRO ($240m).  \n\nThis is an end-to-end war drone contractor and Draganfly looks like the $RKLB to Ondas.  \n\n$ONDS went from ($.51 -&gt; $15, 13x) and was looking for an equivalent.\n\nHere’s what markets (and myself missed). \n\nDraganfly is a https://t.co/CQsR9Cem4K", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.002516024869173017, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.002516024869173017, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02329582043850198, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02916572199057954, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.020779795569328963, "bench_c_m1d": 0.026649697121406524, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07067703719835805, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07067703719835805, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05913595799626359, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.056788212637009394, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011541079202094462, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013888824561348656, "ret_p1w": 0.02881972292664403, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02881972292664403, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.00238744143320635, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.014961983893512665, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02643228149343768, "bench_c_p1w": 0.043781706820156696, "ret_p1m": 0.05283617324099876, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05283617324099876, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.039981600106203885, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05939287894903689, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012854573134794878, "bench_c_p1m": -0.006556705708038124, "ret_p3m": 0.21729185120656802, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.21729185120656802, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.16637621261701585, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12774084223777704, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091563858955217, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08955100896879098, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.15, -0.1654, -0.1775, -0.1521, -0.1279, -0.1233, -0.1432, -0.1306, -0.1837, -0.1745, -0.2427, -0.2461, -0.218, -0.2312, -0.2326, -0.2669, -0.2692, -0.3042, -0.3072, -0.3001, -0.3303, -0.288, -0.258, -0.2301, -0.2212, -0.2212, -0.2191, -0.2118, -0.1997, -0.1599, -0.1464, -0.1077, -0.1333, -0.1587, -0.1231, -0.1082, -0.1327, -0.1295, -0.1178, -0.1297, -0.1263, -0.1134, -0.1141, -0.0995, -0.0972, -0.0972, -0.0922, -0.1036, -0.1096, -0.1194, -0.1194, -0.1016, -0.1002, -0.0544, -0.0844, -0.0764, -0.0469, -0.0496, -0.0505, -0.0432, -0.0005, -0.0025, -0.0025, 0.0, 0.0707, 0.0931, 0.0096, -0.0176, 0.0288, 0.0149, 0.1523, 0.1455, 0.1583, 0.2081, 0.2328, 0.1903, 0.2804, 0.2596, 0.2258, 0.062, 0.0677, 0.011, 0.011, 0.0387, 0.0528, 0.073, 0.0945, 0.0707, 0.0702, 0.105, 0.081, 0.0538, 0.1258, 0.0883, 0.0746, 0.029, -0.0059, -0.0034, 0.0188, 0.0037, -0.046, -0.062, -0.0586, -0.0663, -0.0599, -0.0098, -0.0704, -0.0359, -0.0217, 0.0407, -0.0274, -0.0496, -0.0695, -0.0069, 0.0057, 0.024, 0.024, 0.0549, 0.0688, 0.1226, 0.126, 0.1414, 0.1885, 0.1848, 0.1619, 0.1752, 0.2173, 0.2159, 0.2447, 0.3108, 0.3218, 0.3866, 0.3399, 0.3086, 0.2871, 0.382, 0.3774, 0.3731, 0.4627, 0.454, 0.428, 0.538, 0.5233, 0.9572, 1.2781, 1.2951, 1.226, 1.4065, 1.2404, 1.3035, 1.3797, 1.602, 1.602, 1.8227, 1.8801, 1.8648, 1.8662, 1.8662, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2028097416273293518", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-01T13:17:58+00:00", "symbol": "XLU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My call for the once in a lifetime run for $XLU (grid/power utilities ETF) is playing out real time.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long XLU as a once-in-a-lifetime run on US grid/power modernization driven by AI capacity needs.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Elon is completely right when he sounds the alarm that power/grid is vital for US dominance in AI.\n\nMy call for the once in a lifetime run for $XLU (grid/power utilities ETF) is playing out real time.\n\nNew calls are already up ~100%+ in the week alone. \n\nPower generation and the grid is a measurement of industrial capacity and the US has every motivation to modernize and expand it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Electricity output is the single best proxy for industrial capacity", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.007599777027146537, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007599777027146537, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008168032711352913, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008168032711352913, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006333106976205594, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006333106976205594, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.002481231506590076, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.002481231506590076, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "ret_p1w": -0.010977374613045265, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.010977374613045265, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0008382063104696025, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0008382063104696025, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "ret_p1m": -0.024470411090385613, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.024470411090385613, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02544933048479814, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02544933048479814, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "ret_p3m": -0.05125545491214156, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05125545491214156, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.15364883407804952, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15364883407804952, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0822, -0.0841, -0.0927, -0.1049, -0.1042, -0.1047, -0.0982, -0.1026, -0.0944, -0.0982, -0.104, -0.0952, -0.1068, -0.1034, -0.1003, -0.0963, -0.0963, -0.0969, -0.0952, -0.0931, -0.0988, -0.0988, -0.0885, -0.0986, -0.0942, -0.1161, -0.1136, -0.1026, -0.1011, -0.0954, -0.0887, -0.0794, -0.084, -0.084, -0.0931, -0.0918, -0.0984, -0.1015, -0.095, -0.0832, -0.0853, -0.0853, -0.087, -0.1003, -0.0872, -0.0906, -0.0901, -0.0849, -0.0821, -0.0669, -0.0587, -0.0448, -0.0184, -0.0184, -0.0209, -0.0372, -0.0266, -0.022, -0.0146, -0.0036, -0.0002, -0.004, 0.0076, 0.0, -0.0063, -0.0021, -0.0099, -0.0133, -0.011, -0.0171, -0.0253, -0.0184, -0.0087, -0.0023, -0.0051, -0.0135, -0.0175, -0.0574, -0.0481, -0.0415, -0.0381, -0.0364, -0.0308, -0.0238, -0.0245, -0.0198, -0.0149, -0.0149, -0.0185, -0.0164, -0.0056, 0.0023, -0.0017, -0.0138, -0.0121, -0.0217, -0.0147, -0.0187, -0.0274, -0.0445, -0.0462, -0.0202, -0.0183, -0.0181, -0.0168, -0.0289, -0.0041, -0.0104, -0.0143, -0.0143, -0.0283, -0.0408, -0.0493, -0.0404, -0.0394, -0.0504, -0.0455, -0.0674, -0.0659, -0.0574, -0.0538, -0.0434, -0.0359, -0.0359, -0.0364, -0.0404, -0.0513, -0.0557, -0.0557, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2016934299568853309", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-29T17:59:44+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AXTI same view, photonics ramping up, 7n InP prices are going higher. China export controls on Japan will tighten inventory.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long AXTI: photonics ramp, rising 7n InP prices, and China export controls on Japan tightening inventory over the next year.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DanilSer33 $AXTI same view, photonics ramping up, 7n InP prices are going higher. China export controls on Japan will tighten inventory.\n\nWe’ll see how it plays out over the next year", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Nice\nWhat’s your take on $axti?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DanilSer33", "ret_m1d": 0.027472575457591963, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.027472575457591963, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.025484247405332505, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02960417191830711, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.001988328052259458, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002131596460715146, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.13186824575268496, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.13186824575268496, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.13485082601308818, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.16554327432271432, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0029825802604032114, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03367502857002935, "ret_p1w": 0.2472528297870582, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2472528297870582, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2709113586941365, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.3345539953565456, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023658528907078313, "bench_c_p1w": -0.08730116556948742, "ret_p1m": 1.3137975255003091, "ret_signed_p1m": 1.3137975255003091, "alpha_spy_p1m": 1.325396282169184, "alpha_c_p1m": 1.3405028191146928, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.011598756668874999, "bench_c_p1m": -0.026705293614383674, "ret_p3m": 3.194749853775753, "ret_signed_p3m": 3.194749853775753, "alpha_spy_p3m": 3.1665185583493396, "alpha_c_p3m": 3.0182553041004483, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02823129542641345, "bench_c_p3m": 0.17649454967530476, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4835, -0.4786, -0.4444, -0.4585, -0.4225, -0.3626, -0.3553, -0.3297, -0.3626, -0.3626, -0.3742, -0.3956, -0.3828, -0.4231, -0.4548, -0.4298, -0.4365, -0.362, -0.362, -0.3468, -0.3413, -0.2821, -0.2991, -0.2613, -0.293, -0.2241, -0.0867, -0.0531, 0.0, -0.0958, -0.0946, -0.2063, -0.2454, -0.1447, -0.1056, -0.0708, -0.1062, -0.0836, -0.0836, -0.0617, -0.1093, -0.0354, -0.0018, -0.0018, 0.0232, 0.0177, 0.2314, 0.4719, 0.5769, 0.4035, 0.3578, 0.3132, 0.3492, 0.5702, 0.3486, 0.3486, 0.3071, 0.2076, 0.094, 0.0623, 0.0867, 0.0501, 0.0275, 0.0, 0.1319, 0.2784, 0.2051, 0.1447, 0.2473, 0.4689, 0.6954, 0.4866, 0.6361, 0.5134, 0.4799, 0.4799, 0.417, 0.4371, 0.4536, 0.812, 0.7357, 1.1416, 1.5012, 1.2662, 1.3138, 1.8278, 1.5495, 1.3889, 1.3687, 0.9762, 1.3541, 1.7045, 1.8913, 1.8529, 1.9829, 1.9542, 1.7082, 1.9768, 2.5464, 2.3114, 2.9341, 3.1783, 3.1117, 2.572, 2.7015, 2.2192, 2.4786, 1.8779, 2.2259, 2.2259, 1.5635, 1.7753, 2.2466, 2.8535, 2.9182, 3.0568, 3.1087, 2.8419, 3.9927, 4.0403, 3.8083, 3.5769, 4.3077, 3.5952, 3.6496, 3.2827, 3.1947, 3.3388, 3.8364, 4.8608, 5.4713, 5.5659, 5.3999, 5.619, 6.1038, 6.6807, 6.5031, 6.4444, 6.0195, 6.5568, 5.464, 5.8913, 5.3864, 6.3883, 7.5977, 7.5977, 7.0952, 6.4951, 6.0635, 5.2979, 5.2979, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2029977266541953094", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-06T17:47:50+00:00", "symbol": "RDDT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$RDDT is probably the most compelling dip buy at $138, ~$26.5B MC. You don't get more profitable + high growth than Reddit.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long RDDT at $138 dip: 54% forward growth, 34.7% net margin, zero AI disruption risk, money-printer fundamentals.", "resolved_tickers": ["RDDT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$RDDT is probably the most compelling dip buy at $138, ~$26.5B MC.\n\nYou don’t get more profitable + high growth than Reddit.\n\nForward 54% Y/Y growth rate coming off 70% ~$2.2B FY 2025 revenue. \n\nNet profit margin is literally 34.7% of revenue and expanding because Reddit is so profitable. \n\nReddit gets sold off with the software bucket but has zero disruption from AI.\n\nThis is a money printer that is here to stay. \n\nPrice action makes you doubt your thesis sometimes, but the fundamentals of Reddit are way too compelling.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0355118514234658, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0355118514234658, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.022230637690324295, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02716858330092453, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013281213733141506, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00834326812254127, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0038022726280048103, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0038022726280048103, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012562297641043885, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004653593272957335, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008760025013039074, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0008513206449525246, "ret_p1w": -0.050434025468680366, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.050434025468680366, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03542765843055007, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.024808264069389407, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.015006367038130297, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02562576139929096, "ret_p1m": -0.007532843506388498, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.007532843506388498, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.009794329410352076, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03795804368114786, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017327172916740574, "bench_c_p1m": -0.045490887187536355, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.6939, 0.7082, 0.6754, 0.6126, 0.5675, 0.607, 0.631, 0.6597, 0.6729, 0.6726, 0.6201, 0.6203, 0.6203, 0.6197, 0.6834, 0.6742, 0.6491, 0.6491, 0.7353, 0.7508, 0.8209, 0.833, 0.8219, 0.7545, 0.7506, 0.8576, 0.8106, 0.6411, 0.6573, 0.6573, 0.6168, 0.5075, 0.5391, 0.5703, 0.5326, 0.4083, 0.3856, 0.3634, 0.2933, 0.2709, 0.1867, 0.0954, 0.0837, 0.0032, 0.0169, 0.076, -0.0007, -0.0597, 0.0019, 0.0019, -0.0011, 0.0579, 0.0484, 0.0773, 0.022, 0.0193, 0.0737, 0.0851, 0.0461, 0.0554, 0.0452, 0.0567, 0.0355, 0.0, -0.0038, -0.0377, -0.0163, -0.0512, -0.0504, 0.0044, 0.0354, 0.0244, -0.0091, 0.0033, 0.0113, -0.0235, 0.0017, -0.087, -0.1259, -0.1095, -0.034, -0.023, -0.0243, -0.0243, -0.0075, 0.0126, 0.0402, -0.0072, 0.0024, 0.0715, 0.1087, 0.137, 0.1654, 0.1751, 0.1929, 0.125, 0.1788, 0.0974, 0.1112, 0.1494, 0.0613, 0.06, 0.0562, 0.1943, 0.2129, 0.2313, 0.1949, 0.1762, 0.1177, 0.1443, 0.093, 0.1057, 0.1214, 0.1347, 0.1415, 0.1111, 0.0526, 0.0764, 0.0164, 0.0164, 0.0377, 0.1062, 0.203, 0.2626, 0.2626, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2019239422429196701", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-05T02:39:28+00:00", "symbol": "AVGO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I like them both here too", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Likes both AVGO and MRVL here on a buy-and-wait basis; market misread AVGO's ASIC recognition timing and MRVL delay is already priced in.", "resolved_tickers": ["AVGO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AVGO got sold off bc of their ASIC backlog but markets misunderstood how recognition timing works.\n\n$MRVL makes a tiny bit more sense bc of Microsoft reportedly had a 6M delay with their Maia asics so revenue recognition might be delayed.\n\nObviously don’t need to time the market if you buy now and just wait a year but I like them both here too", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Since my $SOXL sale on Monday at $66 we have seen a pretty sharp decline down to $50.\n\nYet, here is what I like in the rubble *today* related to chips:\n\n1. $MRVL Marvell\nCelestial AI acquisition = optical connectivity capabilities not being priced in. Maybe it works out, maybe https://t.co/2H2TfX9TP3", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SayNoToTrading", "ret_m1d": -0.00792249524375499, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00792249524375499, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.020569659607487245, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010415427437825309, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012647164363732255, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0024929321940703186, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07217161621128798, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07217161621128798, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.052986904370336596, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.018165826784895422, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.019184711840951385, "bench_c_p1d": 0.05400578942639256, "ret_p1w": 0.06653572322352508, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06653572322352508, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06114919884633885, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0008260700205129368, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00538652437718623, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06570965320301214, "ret_p1m": 0.06431353229868786, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06431353229868786, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07204653973761721, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06565189468833421, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007733007438929351, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0013383623896463526, "ret_p3m": 0.37920339335438547, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.37920339335438547, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.308180372802066, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.007565656468166537, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07102302055231946, "bench_c_p3m": 0.37163773688621893, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.152, 0.1313, 0.1418, 0.0928, 0.1008, 0.1014, 0.0945, 0.1392, 0.1148, 0.0935, 0.2149, 0.2376, 0.2779, 0.2779, 0.2953, 0.241, 0.2265, 0.2234, 0.2248, 0.2544, 0.2893, 0.306, 0.3274, 0.3062, 0.1569, 0.0923, 0.0971, 0.0479, 0.0604, 0.094, 0.0996, 0.125, 0.1279, 0.1279, 0.134, 0.1252, 0.1267, 0.1146, 0.1146, 0.1195, 0.106, 0.1071, 0.1062, 0.0708, 0.111, 0.1343, 0.142, 0.0946, 0.1047, 0.1327, 0.1327, 0.0711, 0.0589, 0.0482, 0.0307, 0.0462, 0.0718, 0.0732, 0.0651, 0.067, 0.0663, 0.0316, -0.0079, 0.0, 0.0722, 0.1077, 0.0964, 0.1039, 0.0665, 0.0472, 0.0472, 0.0709, 0.0741, 0.0756, 0.0713, 0.0639, 0.0482, 0.0702, 0.036, 0.0291, 0.0268, 0.0107, 0.0226, 0.0717, 0.0643, 0.1135, 0.1033, 0.1, 0.082, 0.0375, 0.0464, 0.0348, 0.0175, 0.03, 0.0, 0.0408, 0.0272, 0.0289, -0.0014, -0.0296, -0.0531, -0.0011, 0.0117, 0.0151, 0.0151, 0.0147, 0.0778, 0.1316, 0.1454, 0.1991, 0.2256, 0.2289, 0.2803, 0.286, 0.312, 0.2897, 0.2979, 0.364, 0.3553, 0.3644, 0.3496, 0.2904, 0.3085, 0.3472, 0.3596, 0.3442, 0.3792, 0.373, 0.3314, 0.3877, 0.3827, 0.3532, 0.3451, 0.4193, 0.3722, 0.3577, 0.3266, 0.3482, 0.3379, 0.3365, 0.3365, 0.3619, 0.3615, 0.3767, 0.4418, 0.4418, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2019239422429196701", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-05T02:39:28+00:00", "symbol": "MRVL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I like them both here too", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Likes both AVGO and MRVL here on a buy-and-wait basis; market misread AVGO's ASIC recognition timing and MRVL delay is already priced in.", "resolved_tickers": ["MRVL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AVGO got sold off bc of their ASIC backlog but markets misunderstood how recognition timing works.\n\n$MRVL makes a tiny bit more sense bc of Microsoft reportedly had a 6M delay with their Maia asics so revenue recognition might be delayed.\n\nObviously don’t need to time the market if you buy now and just wait a year but I like them both here too", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Since my $SOXL sale on Monday at $66 we have seen a pretty sharp decline down to $50.\n\nYet, here is what I like in the rubble *today* related to chips:\n\n1. $MRVL Marvell\nCelestial AI acquisition = optical connectivity capabilities not being priced in. Maybe it works out, maybe https://t.co/2H2TfX9TP3", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SayNoToTrading", "ret_m1d": -0.006468020011549114, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006468020011549114, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01911518437528137, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01911518437528137, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012647164363732255, "bench_c_m1d": 0.012647164363732255, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08179491309697418, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08179491309697418, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06261020125602279, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06261020125602279, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.019184711840951385, "bench_c_p1d": 0.019184711840951385, "ret_p1w": 0.0541707219080545, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0541707219080545, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04878419753086827, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04878419753086827, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00538652437718623, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00538652437718623, "ret_p1m": 0.20698024045704244, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.20698024045704244, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2147132478959718, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2147132478959718, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007733007438929351, "bench_c_p1m": -0.007733007438929351, "ret_p3m": 1.275090706775344, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.275090706775344, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.2040676862230246, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.2040676862230246, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07102302055231946, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07102302055231946, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2554, 0.2029, 0.2029, 0.1785, 0.1641, 0.1237, 0.0595, 0.095, 0.0325, 0.0429, 0.1283, 0.1234, 0.1812, 0.1812, 0.2038, 0.2267, 0.2508, 0.3493, 0.3222, 0.3319, 0.2388, 0.1971, 0.2452, 0.2042, 0.1369, 0.1346, 0.1321, 0.1001, 0.1374, 0.1323, 0.1419, 0.1807, 0.1646, 0.1646, 0.1626, 0.1548, 0.1683, 0.1443, 0.1443, 0.2037, 0.215, 0.1881, 0.1397, 0.1237, 0.1214, 0.117, 0.1191, 0.0943, 0.0831, 0.0842, 0.0842, 0.0753, 0.1124, 0.1198, 0.0811, 0.1019, 0.1175, 0.1268, 0.0961, 0.0635, 0.06, 0.0179, -0.0065, 0.0, 0.0818, 0.1097, 0.1051, 0.0961, 0.0542, 0.0593, 0.0593, 0.0647, 0.0658, 0.0728, 0.071, 0.0482, 0.0563, 0.0904, 0.0685, 0.1008, 0.0896, 0.0445, 0.0523, 0.0198, 0.207, 0.2485, 0.2572, 0.2187, 0.1814, 0.1839, 0.2341, 0.2234, 0.1807, 0.2064, 0.1846, 0.2149, 0.2446, 0.3266, 0.3163, 0.2785, 0.1833, 0.3347, 0.4379, 0.4433, 0.4433, 0.4757, 0.4739, 0.5422, 0.6161, 0.7323, 0.7702, 0.8043, 0.8147, 0.7981, 0.8833, 0.9932, 1.04, 1.121, 1.2321, 1.2152, 1.133, 1.0658, 1.1109, 1.2266, 1.2239, 1.2065, 1.2751, 1.3209, 1.1573, 1.2937, 1.3033, 1.2178, 1.3991, 1.4615, 1.3848, 1.2775, 1.3765, 1.5184, 1.5709, 1.6469, 1.6469, 1.8078, 1.6789, 1.7615, 1.7638, 1.7638, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2027506154214199793", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-27T22:08:31+00:00", "symbol": "IQE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$IQE is definitely one of those moonshots \"why didn't you tell me this earlier\" if it ends up going 10x type picks", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish IQE as a high-risk moonshot with 10x potential on InP epiwafer capacity refactoring, despite dilution risk.", "resolved_tickers": ["IQE.L"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "IQE plc LSE-listed epiwafer supplier", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thanks! $IQE is definitely one of those moonshots “why didn’t you tell me this earlier” if it ends up going 10x type picks. \n\nBut reason for a lot of upside is materially higher risk from debt and execution -> refactoring capacity toward InP epiwafers. \n\nJust wanted to put my thesis out there and see how it goes, but it’s definitely not a trade for everyone due to high risk of dilution. \n\nAgreed, it does remind me of Bitcoin miners, they have all the capacity just need to put it toward good use.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Serenity makes a compelling case here for a 10x of $IQE. Once upon a time I was focused exclusively on special situations in the HF world. This is a top notch pitch, reminds me of $iren and $cifr in early 2025", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "UncleAlpha007", "ret_m1d": 0.05263157894736836, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05263157894736836, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04780646576914327, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0387525654468488, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013879013500519566, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.34736844112998555, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.34736844112998555, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.34679986234765425, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.34731917683515445, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "bench_c_p1d": 4.926429483109729e-05, "ret_p1w": 0.03473683407432149, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03473683407432149, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05457678088682316, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09825037559736316, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "bench_c_p1w": -0.06351354152304167, "ret_p1m": 0.21578949376156453, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21578949376156453, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2920210717153393, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.32367146552291026, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "bench_c_p1m": -0.10788197176134573, "ret_p3m": 1.668421092786287, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.668421092786287, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.5714524036962816, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.2030077818742158, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.4654133109120713, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7368, -0.7405, -0.7326, -0.7358, -0.7358, -0.7353, -0.73, -0.7258, -0.7432, -0.7421, -0.7382, -0.7387, -0.7342, -0.7316, -0.73, -0.7382, -0.7387, -0.7387, -0.7387, -0.7387, -0.7368, -0.7368, -0.7368, -0.7289, -0.7353, -0.7326, -0.7063, -0.6763, -0.6137, -0.4505, -0.4805, -0.5263, -0.5711, -0.5868, -0.53, -0.59, -0.5979, -0.5895, -0.5774, -0.5974, -0.5968, -0.5779, -0.5921, -0.5837, -0.5774, -0.5947, -0.5816, -0.5889, -0.5832, -0.57, -0.4737, -0.4611, -0.4579, -0.4421, -0.4474, -0.4411, -0.4495, -0.4537, -0.4484, -0.3274, -0.3579, -0.1568, 0.0526, 0.0, 0.3474, 0.3684, 0.4132, 0.1289, 0.0347, 0.0042, 0.1947, 0.2789, 0.1947, 0.2237, 0.2158, 0.1368, 0.3447, 0.2026, 0.2421, 0.2368, 0.3447, 0.5526, 0.4, 0.2895, 0.2158, 0.2842, 0.3211, 0.2421, 0.2421, 0.2421, 0.3421, 0.5105, 0.5789, 0.9474, 1.5842, 1.5158, 1.8421, 2.0842, 1.7421, 2.0842, 2.3158, 2.2947, 1.6184, 1.5053, 1.6, 1.1184, 1.1263, 1.2763, 1.1658, 1.1658, 1.6316, 1.3447, 1.4026, 1.4789, 1.8684, 1.4816, 1.6579, 1.6105, 1.4211, 1.0579, 0.6842, 0.9763, 1.0974, 1.4079, 1.4079, 1.8421, 1.6684, 1.5079, 1.5, 1.5, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2029998991895830803", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-06T19:14:09+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "you're in $AMC bagholderterritory", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish IREN: compares holders defending the $6B ATM to AMC bagholder-tier denial.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MikeFReichmann If the $IREN community’s main response is to say mentioning the $6B ATM is communist propaganda paid off by the Soviet Union.\n\nSorry to say you’re in $AMC bagholderterritory. https://t.co/mK0TwgxArO", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Hard Agree I honenstly feel bad for $IREN holders at this point", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MikeFReichmann", "ret_m1d": 0.09332422795258344, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09332422795258344, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08004301421944193, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08027302938882941, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013281213733141506, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01305119856375403, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05831060885997208, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05831060885997208, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.049550583846933005, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06305651992545203, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008760025013039074, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004745911065479946, "ret_p1w": 0.13297005358766034, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.13297005358766034, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.14797642062579064, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1661913552242653, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.015006367038130297, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03322130163660497, "ret_p1m": -0.04277928234839823, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04277928234839823, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.025452109431657655, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03420505508770244, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017327172916740574, "bench_c_p1m": -0.008574227260695788, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2763, 0.1967, 0.1973, 0.0935, -0.0332, -0.003, -0.0796, -0.0245, 0.0877, 0.1455, 0.1463, 0.1439, 0.1439, 0.0981, 0.0738, 0.0436, 0.0292, 0.0292, 0.1635, 0.3144, 0.251, 0.1887, 0.2447, 0.2542, 0.3714, 0.4439, 0.4409, 0.4139, 0.5755, 0.5755, 0.4785, 0.4572, 0.424, 0.5444, 0.4267, 0.6346, 0.715, 0.6305, 0.4643, 0.4463, 0.482, 0.2245, 0.0842, 0.1398, 0.2575, 0.1698, 0.1627, 0.0907, 0.1504, 0.1504, 0.1163, 0.1466, 0.1796, 0.0894, 0.1542, 0.2384, 0.1997, 0.2054, 0.1158, 0.1278, 0.0586, 0.1946, 0.0933, 0.0, 0.0583, 0.0387, 0.1439, 0.1272, 0.133, 0.2245, 0.1706, 0.1501, 0.1351, 0.1251, 0.1488, 0.1204, 0.1289, 0.0204, -0.0439, -0.1384, -0.0659, -0.0711, -0.0526, -0.0526, -0.0428, -0.0262, 0.0035, 0.0098, 0.0714, 0.1736, 0.2907, 0.3302, 0.2997, 0.3112, 0.3275, 0.2308, 0.3185, 0.4174, 0.3798, 0.3177, 0.2109, 0.1678, 0.2401, 0.2441, 0.3482, 0.4916, 0.6616, 0.549, 0.6676, 0.5027, 0.5411, 0.5033, 0.5913, 0.4425, 0.3749, 0.3008, 0.4362, 0.582, 0.5485, 0.5485, 0.6289, 0.8485, 0.7452, 0.7313, 0.7313, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2012436515868352958", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-17T08:07:09+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "InP bottleneck increase near term with $AXTI (InP supply chains + substrates)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "InP supply-chain emergency validates bottleneck thesis: long AXTI on substrate scarcity, long POET/ALMU as alternatives, long COHR as Western substitute; potential disruption risk for LITE.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Executive Order: \"President Trump orders HieFo to divest indium phosphide assets\"\n\nA follow-up report on the Jan 2nd EO shows that President Trump targeted HieFo's InP wafer fabrication operations of Emcore Corp.\n\nAs $AXTI and Sumitomo control ~80% of the supply chain (Fastmarket Research), by forcing the sale, the US likely ensures the InP supply chain remains available for US defense contractors and AI semiconductors.\n\nThe original reporting on the 2nd was broad regarding the \"chip design and fabrication assets\" with light references to InP. \n\nBut it's now clear this is now InP supply chains is becoming a silent emergency for the US government so the AI buildout continues. \n\nThis is further validation of the InP bottleneck thesis if the US President is now signing executive orders to gain access to the InP supply chain. \n\nWe'll likely see third order effects where:\n\n-> US starts rushes engineering alternatives from $POET (optical interposers) to $ALMU (quantum dot)\n\n-> InP bottleneck increase near term with $AXTI (InP supply chains + substrates)\n\n-> Potential influence supply chain disruption of $LITE and optical suppliers (this is debated from analyst reports over stockpiled)\n\n-> Western alternatives like $COHR becoming more critical after Sumitomo/JX are blocked off China material supply from export controls.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Markets are witnessing a supply shock happen real time with InP. \n\nHere's the timeline this week: \n\nFastmarket Research, 2025: \n\nUS-based $AXTI and Japan's Sumitomo control nearly 80% of the InP market. \n\nChina Commerce Ministry - Jan 6 2026: China announces new export https://t.co/piaM9hnEw2", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0307831734032884, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0307831734032884, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010426387679743354, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005807525574556993, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.024975647828731407, "ret_p1w": -0.19420556296486768, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.19420556296486768, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.19575255409234316, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.19028436796304604, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "bench_c_p1w": -0.003921195001821642, "ret_p1m": 0.050701626262938504, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.050701626262938504, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06343910683263965, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03291897720402215, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "bench_c_p1m": 0.017782649058916356, "ret_p3m": 2.702127578741378, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.702127578741378, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.6848991076274973, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.5662351459785233, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1358924327628548, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7764, -0.7655, -0.7257, -0.7198, -0.7012, -0.6799, -0.6686, -0.6401, -0.617, -0.6134, -0.588, -0.5985, -0.5718, -0.5274, -0.522, -0.5029, -0.5274, -0.5274, -0.536, -0.5518, -0.5423, -0.5722, -0.5957, -0.5772, -0.5822, -0.5269, -0.5269, -0.5156, -0.5115, -0.4676, -0.4803, -0.4522, -0.4758, -0.4246, -0.3228, -0.2979, -0.2585, -0.3296, -0.3287, -0.4115, -0.4405, -0.3658, -0.3368, -0.311, -0.3373, -0.3205, -0.3205, -0.3042, -0.3395, -0.2847, -0.2598, -0.2598, -0.2413, -0.2454, -0.0869, 0.0914, 0.1693, 0.0407, 0.0068, -0.0263, 0.0005, 0.1643, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0308, -0.1046, -0.1888, -0.2123, -0.1942, -0.2214, -0.2381, -0.2585, -0.1607, -0.0521, -0.1064, -0.1512, -0.0751, 0.0892, 0.2571, 0.1023, 0.2132, 0.1222, 0.0973, 0.0973, 0.0507, 0.0656, 0.0779, 0.3436, 0.287, 0.588, 0.8547, 0.6804, 0.7157, 1.0969, 0.8904, 0.7714, 0.7565, 0.4654, 0.7456, 1.0054, 1.144, 1.1154, 1.2119, 1.1906, 1.0081, 1.2073, 1.6297, 1.4554, 1.9172, 2.0982, 2.0489, 1.6487, 1.7447, 1.3871, 1.5794, 1.134, 1.392, 1.392, 0.9009, 1.0579, 1.4074, 1.8574, 1.9054, 2.0081, 2.0466, 1.8488, 2.7021, 2.7374, 2.5654, 2.3938, 2.9357, 2.4074, 2.4477, 2.1756, 2.1105, 2.2173, 2.5862, 3.3459, 3.7986, 3.8687, 3.7456, 3.9081, 4.2675, 4.6953, 4.5636, 4.5201, 4.2051, 4.6034, 3.7931, 4.11, 3.7356, 4.4785, 5.3753, 5.3753, 5.0027, 4.5577, 4.2377, 3.67, 3.67, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2012436515868352958", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-17T08:07:09+00:00", "symbol": "POET Technologies", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "US starts rushes engineering alternatives from $POET (optical interposers)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "InP supply-chain emergency validates bottleneck thesis: long AXTI on substrate scarcity, long POET/ALMU as alternatives, long COHR as Western substitute; potential disruption risk for LITE.", "resolved_tickers": ["POET"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "POET Technologies trades as POET on NASDAQ", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Executive Order: \"President Trump orders HieFo to divest indium phosphide assets\"\n\nA follow-up report on the Jan 2nd EO shows that President Trump targeted HieFo's InP wafer fabrication operations of Emcore Corp.\n\nAs $AXTI and Sumitomo control ~80% of the supply chain (Fastmarket Research), by forcing the sale, the US likely ensures the InP supply chain remains available for US defense contractors and AI semiconductors.\n\nThe original reporting on the 2nd was broad regarding the \"chip design and fabrication assets\" with light references to InP. \n\nBut it's now clear this is now InP supply chains is becoming a silent emergency for the US government so the AI buildout continues. \n\nThis is further validation of the InP bottleneck thesis if the US President is now signing executive orders to gain access to the InP supply chain. \n\nWe'll likely see third order effects where:\n\n-> US starts rushes engineering alternatives from $POET (optical interposers) to $ALMU (quantum dot)\n\n-> InP bottleneck increase near term with $AXTI (InP supply chains + substrates)\n\n-> Potential influence supply chain disruption of $LITE and optical suppliers (this is debated from analyst reports over stockpiled)\n\n-> Western alternatives like $COHR becoming more critical after Sumitomo/JX are blocked off China material supply from export controls.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Markets are witnessing a supply shock happen real time with InP. \n\nHere's the timeline this week: \n\nFastmarket Research, 2025: \n\nUS-based $AXTI and Japan's Sumitomo control nearly 80% of the InP market. \n\nChina Commerce Ministry - 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{"unit_id": "quote:2012436515868352958", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-17T08:07:09+00:00", "symbol": "ALMU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ALMU (quantum dot)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "InP supply-chain emergency validates bottleneck thesis: long AXTI on substrate scarcity, long POET/ALMU as alternatives, long COHR as Western substitute; potential disruption risk for LITE.", "resolved_tickers": ["ALMU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Executive Order: \"President Trump orders HieFo to divest indium phosphide assets\"\n\nA follow-up report on the Jan 2nd EO shows that President Trump targeted HieFo's InP wafer fabrication operations of Emcore Corp.\n\nAs $AXTI and Sumitomo control ~80% of the supply chain (Fastmarket Research), by forcing the sale, the US likely ensures the InP supply chain remains available for US defense contractors and AI semiconductors.\n\nThe original reporting on the 2nd was broad regarding the \"chip design and fabrication assets\" with light references to InP. \n\nBut it's now clear this is now InP supply chains is becoming a silent emergency for the US government so the AI buildout continues. \n\nThis is further validation of the InP bottleneck thesis if the US President is now signing executive orders to gain access to the InP supply chain. \n\nWe'll likely see third order effects where:\n\n-> US starts rushes engineering alternatives from $POET (optical interposers) to $ALMU (quantum dot)\n\n-> InP bottleneck increase near term with $AXTI (InP supply chains + substrates)\n\n-> Potential influence supply chain disruption of $LITE and optical suppliers (this is debated from analyst reports over stockpiled)\n\n-> Western alternatives like $COHR becoming more critical after Sumitomo/JX are blocked off China material supply from export controls.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Markets are witnessing a supply shock happen real time with InP. \n\nHere's the timeline this week: \n\nFastmarket Research, 2025: \n\nUS-based $AXTI and Japan's Sumitomo control nearly 80% of the InP market. \n\nChina Commerce Ministry - 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{"unit_id": "quote:2012436515868352958", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-01-17T08:07:09+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Western alternatives like $COHR becoming more critical after Sumitomo/JX are blocked off China material supply", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "InP supply-chain emergency validates bottleneck thesis: long AXTI on substrate scarcity, long POET/ALMU as alternatives, long COHR as Western substitute; potential disruption risk for LITE.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Executive Order: \"President Trump orders HieFo to divest indium phosphide assets\"\n\nA follow-up report on the Jan 2nd EO shows that President Trump targeted HieFo's InP wafer fabrication operations of Emcore Corp.\n\nAs $AXTI and Sumitomo control ~80% of the supply chain (Fastmarket Research), by forcing the sale, the US likely ensures the InP supply chain remains available for US defense contractors and AI semiconductors.\n\nThe original reporting on the 2nd was broad regarding the \"chip design and fabrication assets\" with light references to InP. \n\nBut it's now clear this is now InP supply chains is becoming a silent emergency for the US government so the AI buildout continues. \n\nThis is further validation of the InP bottleneck thesis if the US President is now signing executive orders to gain access to the InP supply chain. \n\nWe'll likely see third order effects where:\n\n-> US starts rushes engineering alternatives from $POET (optical interposers) to $ALMU (quantum dot)\n\n-> InP bottleneck increase near term with $AXTI (InP supply chains + substrates)\n\n-> Potential influence supply chain disruption of $LITE and optical suppliers (this is debated from analyst reports over stockpiled)\n\n-> Western alternatives like $COHR becoming more critical after Sumitomo/JX are blocked off China material supply from export controls.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Markets are witnessing a supply shock happen real time with InP. \n\nHere's the timeline this week: \n\nFastmarket Research, 2025: \n\nUS-based $AXTI and Japan's Sumitomo control nearly 80% of the InP market. \n\nChina Commerce Ministry - 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{"unit_id": "quote:2012436515868352958", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-01-17T08:07:09+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Potential influence supply chain disruption of $LITE and optical suppliers", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "InP supply-chain emergency validates bottleneck thesis: long AXTI on substrate scarcity, long POET/ALMU as alternatives, long COHR as Western substitute; potential disruption risk for LITE.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Executive Order: \"President Trump orders HieFo to divest indium phosphide assets\"\n\nA follow-up report on the Jan 2nd EO shows that President Trump targeted HieFo's InP wafer fabrication operations of Emcore Corp.\n\nAs $AXTI and Sumitomo control ~80% of the supply chain (Fastmarket Research), by forcing the sale, the US likely ensures the InP supply chain remains available for US defense contractors and AI semiconductors.\n\nThe original reporting on the 2nd was broad regarding the \"chip design and fabrication assets\" with light references to InP. \n\nBut it's now clear this is now InP supply chains is becoming a silent emergency for the US government so the AI buildout continues. \n\nThis is further validation of the InP bottleneck thesis if the US President is now signing executive orders to gain access to the InP supply chain. \n\nWe'll likely see third order effects where:\n\n-> US starts rushes engineering alternatives from $POET (optical interposers) to $ALMU (quantum dot)\n\n-> InP bottleneck increase near term with $AXTI (InP supply chains + substrates)\n\n-> Potential influence supply chain disruption of $LITE and optical suppliers (this is debated from analyst reports over stockpiled)\n\n-> Western alternatives like $COHR becoming more critical after Sumitomo/JX are blocked off China material supply from export controls.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Markets are witnessing a supply shock happen real time with InP. \n\nHere's the timeline this week: \n\nFastmarket Research, 2025: \n\nUS-based $AXTI and Japan's Sumitomo control nearly 80% of the InP market. \n\nChina Commerce Ministry - Jan 6 2026: China announces new export https://t.co/piaM9hnEw2", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10047798480266956, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.10047798480266956, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.12083477052621461, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.12083477052621461, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "ret_p1w": 0.0252891664056476, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0252891664056476, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02374217527817213, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02374217527817213, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "ret_p1m": 0.8517192996458172, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.8517192996458172, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.8644567802155183, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.8644567802155183, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "ret_p3m": 1.748558120904009, "ret_signed_p3m": -1.748558120904009, "alpha_spy_p3m": -1.7313296497901285, "alpha_c_p3m": -1.7313296497901285, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5125, -0.4803, -0.447, -0.4023, -0.3882, -0.3392, -0.3828, -0.3784, -0.3845, -0.4191, -0.2822, -0.2608, -0.2595, -0.1985, -0.2214, -0.2172, -0.3004, -0.284, -0.2534, -0.2369, -0.1706, -0.2807, -0.2118, -0.0768, -0.1017, -0.0493, -0.0493, 0.0028, -0.0195, -0.0661, -0.0656, 0.0111, 0.0221, 0.0565, 0.1113, 0.1288, 0.1475, 0.0003, 0.0322, -0.025, -0.0123, 0.0397, 0.1455, 0.2024, 0.1948, 0.221, 0.221, 0.2052, 0.1491, 0.1447, 0.1367, 0.1367, 0.1908, 0.1012, 0.2257, 0.2117, 0.074, 0.0838, 0.0482, 0.1144, 0.0227, 0.0587, 0.0, 0.0, 0.1005, 0.1178, 0.0933, 0.0461, 0.0253, 0.1431, 0.1874, 0.1764, 0.2085, 0.3058, 0.3419, 0.4357, 0.5557, 0.7024, 0.78, 0.7305, 0.7706, 0.7994, 0.7355, 0.7355, 0.8517, 0.8327, 0.9603, 1.0594, 1.0809, 1.1227, 1.231, 1.0879, 1.1616, 1.4156, 1.1416, 1.0996, 1.0072, 0.7223, 0.9759, 1.0725, 1.0725, 0.9, 0.9198, 0.927, 1.0033, 1.1613, 1.3813, 1.1784, 1.2481, 1.4734, 1.3968, 1.1243, 1.1672, 1.0194, 1.1673, 1.3582, 1.5501, 1.5501, 1.3817, 1.5158, 1.7634, 1.7575, 1.7673, 1.6868, 1.63, 1.5413, 1.7486, 1.7573, 1.7606, 1.5811, 1.6942, 1.6118, 1.719, 1.6513, 1.4406, 1.6471, 1.7828, 1.9296, 2.0106, 2.0673, 1.9122, 1.7528, 1.7874, 2.2478, 2.0605, 2.1777, 2.0896, 1.9937, 1.7293, 1.7451, 1.6772, 1.9746, 1.9203, 1.9203, 1.809, 1.7828, 1.6542, 1.6367, 1.6367, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2027436587542540693", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-27T17:32:05+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if they price in $AAOI projections, definitely getting sent a lot higher. That guidance is insanity", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AAOI; insane guidance not yet priced in, expects significant upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Meatusmax Uh if they price in $AAOI projections, definitely getting sent a lot higher. That guidance is insanity", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Is there more upside here in your opinion? Or do you think it’ll chop sideways for a bit?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Meatusmax", "ret_m1d": -0.3625786953944201, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.3625786953944201, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.3674038085726452, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.3674038085726452, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.21702478987010654, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.21702478987010654, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.21645621108777524, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.21645621108777524, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "ret_p1w": 0.1347500655559073, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1347500655559073, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15459001236840897, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15459001236840897, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "ret_p1m": 0.011397353035883961, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.011397353035883961, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08762893098965874, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08762893098965874, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "ret_p3m": 1.1349874707828982, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.1349874707828982, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.0380187816928927, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.0380187816928927, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6911, -0.6955, -0.6885, -0.6843, -0.6695, -0.6393, -0.5847, -0.5688, -0.6194, -0.645, -0.6562, -0.6778, -0.6527, -0.6282, -0.5359, -0.5175, -0.5132, -0.5132, -0.5587, -0.5637, -0.5724, -0.5861, -0.5861, -0.5299, -0.5846, -0.5416, -0.5482, -0.6081, -0.5959, -0.5997, -0.5942, -0.5908, -0.5607, -0.5603, -0.5603, -0.5339, -0.5443, -0.5471, -0.5759, -0.5858, -0.5561, -0.463, -0.5302, -0.4823, -0.4757, -0.4525, -0.5263, -0.5473, -0.4741, -0.4312, -0.4243, -0.4254, -0.4777, -0.4722, -0.4722, -0.4787, -0.4843, -0.4422, -0.3864, -0.3594, -0.3319, -0.31, -0.3626, 0.0, 0.217, 0.1319, 0.1838, 0.2008, 0.1348, 0.3133, 0.4305, 0.5079, 0.2607, 0.1494, 0.1168, 0.0249, 0.0997, 0.21, 0.0393, 0.1369, 0.3522, 0.3583, 0.1566, 0.166, 0.0114, 0.0043, 0.0252, 0.2336, 0.2336, 0.2757, 0.3967, 0.5754, 0.5826, 0.788, 0.8187, 0.738, 0.6924, 0.8677, 0.8927, 0.9408, 0.7876, 0.774, 0.6352, 0.9253, 0.7307, 0.6296, 0.8144, 0.9513, 1.1787, 1.0537, 1.1438, 1.1197, 0.8705, 0.7683, 1.1952, 1.2353, 1.6487, 1.4168, 1.26, 1.057, 1.0341, 0.962, 1.0991, 1.1547, 1.1547, 1.1087, 1.135, 1.0066, 0.8807, 0.8807, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2015241123896369372", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-25T01:51:39+00:00", "symbol": "MU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "That extra 65% increase (from 35% to 100%) is pure, added high-margin profit. If $MU guided for 68.0% gross margins Q2 2026, and we see a 100% NAND hike from 33-38% est, that could bring gross margin projections over 73-75%+. This is a blowout.", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Samsung 100% NAND price hike vs 33-38% estimates could push MU gross margins to 73-75%+; bullish memory supercycle for MU, Samsung, Hynix, SNDK.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Holy crap. This just happened:\n\n\"Samsung increases NAND prices by 100%\" - ETNews\n\nEstimates were 33-38% Q/Q growth - Trendforce\n\nThis is an absolute shock. \n\nIt's called the \"Memory Supercycle\" for a reason with $MU, Samsung, and SK Hynix + $SNDK.\n\nIn simpler terms:\n\nThat extra 65% increase (from 35% to 100%) is pure, added high-margin profit. \n\nIf $MU guided for 68.0% gross margins Q2 2026, and we see a 100% NAND hike from 33-38% est, that could bring gross margin projections over 73-75%+. \n\nThis is a blowout.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$MU looks like the next Nvidia. \n\nWhen Nvidia was $400B (now $4.5T+), markets thought GPUs were a short-term cycle.\n\nSame with memory today. \n\nAI has broken that cycle.\n\nWith the same \"Made in America\" and White House backing like $INTC:\n\nDon't overthink things with Micron. https://t.co/LBhbVjoKGz", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02714026854416307, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02714026854416307, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03219275831867574, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.023955902187538847, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0050524897745126696, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003184366356624224, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05435759085969649, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05435759085969649, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.050373326130011886, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03322025441476706, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003984264729684606, "bench_c_p1d": 0.021137336444929433, "ret_p1w": 0.12518954482328515, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12518954482328515, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1213207519432069, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10224687963987589, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0038687928800782423, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02294266518340926, "ret_p1m": 0.07432730762902162, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07432730762902162, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08209369508999798, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02332686641656423, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007766387460976354, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05100044121245739, "ret_p3m": 0.2385884502360145, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2385884502360145, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.21310256731015742, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.030399299103990085, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025485882925857073, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2081891511320244, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4178, -0.4245, -0.4251, -0.397, -0.4399, -0.3898, -0.3877, -0.3888, -0.3493, -0.3806, -0.3708, -0.3913, -0.3659, -0.3784, -0.413, -0.4196, -0.4827, -0.4673, -0.4247, -0.4232, -0.4084, -0.4084, -0.3925, -0.3822, -0.3847, -0.3984, -0.4177, -0.3906, -0.3656, -0.3515, -0.3225, -0.336, -0.3805, -0.3898, -0.4027, -0.4206, -0.3615, -0.3168, -0.2894, -0.2902, -0.2635, -0.2635, -0.2684, -0.2434, -0.2479, -0.2665, -0.2665, -0.1893, -0.1977, -0.1174, -0.1273, -0.1595, -0.1131, -0.1111, -0.131, -0.1433, -0.1348, -0.0677, -0.0677, -0.0619, 0.0001, 0.0218, 0.0271, 0.0, 0.0544, 0.1187, 0.12, 0.0663, 0.1252, 0.078, -0.0249, -0.0159, 0.0144, -0.0144, -0.0407, 0.0546, 0.0639, 0.058, 0.058, 0.0275, 0.0819, 0.0726, 0.1004, 0.0819, 0.0743, 0.1026, 0.068, 0.0598, 0.0606, -0.0242, 0.03, 0.0205, -0.0483, 0.0006, 0.036, 0.0761, 0.0418, 0.0952, 0.1355, 0.1866, 0.1867, 0.1418, 0.0869, 0.0392, 0.0166, -0.018, -0.0864, -0.0819, -0.1726, -0.1314, -0.0542, -0.0583, -0.0583, -0.0287, -0.0292, 0.0458, 0.0838, 0.0814, 0.0968, 0.1973, 0.173, 0.1756, 0.1701, 0.153, 0.1554, 0.2534, 0.2386, 0.2772, 0.3487, 0.2966, 0.3331, 0.3297, 0.3941, 0.4822, 0.6461, 0.7139, 0.6626, 0.9202, 1.0449, 0.971, 1.0663, 0.9953, 0.8632, 0.7524, 0.7966, 0.8821, 0.9595, 0.931, 0.931, 1.3035, 1.3871, 1.3745, 1.4966, 1.4966, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2015241123896369372", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-25T01:51:39+00:00", "symbol": "Samsung Electronics", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's called the 'Memory Supercycle' for a reason with $MU, Samsung, and SK Hynix + $SNDK.", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Samsung 100% NAND price hike vs 33-38% estimates could push MU gross margins to 73-75%+; bullish memory supercycle for MU, Samsung, Hynix, SNDK.", "resolved_tickers": ["005930.KS"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Samsung Electronics listed on KOSPI as 005930.KS", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Holy crap. This just happened:\n\n\"Samsung increases NAND prices by 100%\" - ETNews\n\nEstimates were 33-38% Q/Q growth - Trendforce\n\nThis is an absolute shock. \n\nIt's called the \"Memory Supercycle\" for a reason with $MU, Samsung, and SK Hynix + $SNDK.\n\nIn simpler terms:\n\nThat extra 65% increase (from 35% to 100%) is pure, added high-margin profit. \n\nIf $MU guided for 68.0% gross margins Q2 2026, and we see a 100% NAND hike from 33-38% est, that could bring gross margin projections over 73-75%+. \n\nThis is a blowout.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$MU looks like the next Nvidia. \n\nWhen Nvidia was $400B (now $4.5T+), markets thought GPUs were a short-term cycle.\n\nSame with memory today. \n\nAI has broken that cycle.\n\nWith the same \"Made in America\" and White House backing like $INTC:\n\nDon't overthink things with Micron. https://t.co/LBhbVjoKGz", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0050524897745126696, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006777205222007088, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0050524897745126696, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006777205222007088, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.048652228216711224, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.048652228216711224, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04466796348702662, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03516653004304571, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003984264729684606, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013485698173665517, "ret_p1w": -0.011176829852671766, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.011176829852671766, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.015045622732750008, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.005563340661362881, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0038687928800782423, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005613489191308885, "ret_p1m": 0.31492441086551537, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.31492441086551537, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3226907983264917, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3543549001418518, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007766387460976354, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03943048927633641, "ret_p3m": 0.4790577142361261, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4790577142361261, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.453571831310269, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.41091867364976475, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025485882925857073, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06813904058636133, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3424, -0.3189, -0.2966, -0.2731, -0.3137, -0.3418, -0.351, -0.3595, -0.3418, -0.3228, -0.3254, -0.3274, -0.364, -0.3418, -0.3601, -0.3686, -0.3418, -0.3797, -0.3673, -0.3503, -0.3274, -0.3228, -0.3424, -0.3405, -0.3235, -0.3163, -0.3123, -0.2908, -0.2836, -0.2908, -0.2934, -0.298, -0.2875, -0.3143, -0.3274, -0.294, -0.296, -0.3045, -0.277, -0.2705, -0.2731, -0.2731, -0.2345, -0.2143, -0.2117, -0.2117, -0.2117, -0.1552, -0.092, -0.0868, -0.073, -0.0874, -0.0861, -0.0874, -0.0953, -0.0776, -0.0539, -0.021, -0.0184, -0.0454, -0.0171, 0.0013, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0487, 0.0677, 0.0565, 0.0552, -0.0112, 0.1012, 0.1118, 0.0473, 0.0427, 0.094, 0.0901, 0.1032, 0.1742, 0.1913, 0.1913, 0.1913, 0.1913, 0.2492, 0.2498, 0.2689, 0.3149, 0.3379, 0.4333, 0.4234, 0.4234, 0.2827, 0.1321, 0.2597, 0.2373, 0.1407, 0.2354, 0.2492, 0.2354, 0.2064, 0.2406, 0.2748, 0.3708, 0.3182, 0.311, 0.2249, 0.2472, 0.2426, 0.1841, 0.1841, 0.1615, 0.1016, 0.2495, 0.1753, 0.2267, 0.2722, 0.2946, 0.3868, 0.344, 0.3572, 0.3242, 0.3605, 0.3901, 0.4329, 0.4231, 0.4132, 0.4428, 0.4329, 0.4791, 0.4461, 0.4791, 0.4626, 0.4889, 0.4527, 0.4527, 0.5318, 0.5318, 0.7525, 0.7887, 0.7689, 0.8809, 0.8381, 0.8711, 0.9501, 0.7821, 0.8513, 0.8151, 0.8184, 0.9732, 0.9271, 0.9271, 0.9699, 1.0226, 0.9732, 1.0885, 1.2828, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2015241123896369372", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-25T01:51:39+00:00", "symbol": "SK Hynix", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's called the 'Memory Supercycle' for a reason with $MU, Samsung, and SK Hynix + $SNDK.", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Samsung 100% NAND price hike vs 33-38% estimates could push MU gross margins to 73-75%+; bullish memory supercycle for MU, Samsung, Hynix, SNDK.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "SK Hynix listed on KOSPI as 000660.KS", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Holy crap. This just happened:\n\n\"Samsung increases NAND prices by 100%\" - ETNews\n\nEstimates were 33-38% Q/Q growth - Trendforce\n\nThis is an absolute shock. \n\nIt's called the \"Memory Supercycle\" for a reason with $MU, Samsung, and SK Hynix + $SNDK.\n\nIn simpler terms:\n\nThat extra 65% increase (from 35% to 100%) is pure, added high-margin profit. \n\nIf $MU guided for 68.0% gross margins Q2 2026, and we see a 100% NAND hike from 33-38% est, that could bring gross margin projections over 73-75%+. \n\nThis is a blowout.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$MU looks like the next Nvidia. \n\nWhen Nvidia was $400B (now $4.5T+), markets thought GPUs were a short-term cycle.\n\nSame with memory today. \n\nAI has broken that cycle.\n\nWith the same \"Made in America\" and White House backing like $INTC:\n\nDon't overthink things with Micron. https://t.co/LBhbVjoKGz", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04211959400443055, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04211959400443055, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04717208377894322, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03657917866544569, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0050524897745126696, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005540415338984861, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08695651803959126, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08695651803959126, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08297225330990665, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.041099057526357674, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003984264729684606, "bench_c_p1d": 0.04585746051323358, "ret_p1w": 0.1277174044839562, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1277174044839562, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12384861160387794, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09694685709440631, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0038687928800782423, "bench_c_p1w": 0.030770547389549874, "ret_p1m": 0.36548918534981745, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.36548918534981745, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3732555728107938, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.13338891746910675, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007766387460976354, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2321002678807107, "ret_p3m": 0.6674735127329907, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6674735127329907, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.6419876298071336, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3838901788631546, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025485882925857073, "bench_c_p3m": 0.28358333386983614, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2424, -0.2288, -0.241, -0.1582, -0.2044, -0.2139, -0.1949, -0.2125, -0.1772, -0.1596, -0.1623, -0.1691, -0.2397, -0.1772, -0.2261, -0.237, -0.2247, -0.2926, -0.294, -0.2953, -0.2886, -0.2609, -0.2799, -0.269, -0.2418, -0.25, -0.2636, -0.2609, -0.216, -0.231, -0.2024, -0.2323, -0.2242, -0.2473, -0.2799, -0.2514, -0.25, -0.2568, -0.212, -0.2065, -0.2011, -0.2011, -0.1861, -0.1304, -0.1155, -0.1155, -0.1155, -0.0802, -0.0543, -0.0136, 0.0082, 0.0272, 0.0109, 0.0177, 0.0027, 0.0082, 0.0177, 0.0272, 0.038, 0.0095, 0.0054, 0.0258, 0.0421, 0.0, 0.087, 0.1427, 0.1698, 0.2351, 0.1277, 0.2323, 0.2228, 0.144, 0.1399, 0.2052, 0.1902, 0.1685, 0.2065, 0.1957, 0.1957, 0.1957, 0.1957, 0.2147, 0.2894, 0.2921, 0.3655, 0.3832, 0.496, 0.4442, 0.4442, 0.2782, 0.1557, 0.2809, 0.2578, 0.138, 0.2768, 0.2999, 0.2659, 0.2387, 0.3258, 0.3204, 0.4374, 0.3789, 0.3707, 0.27, 0.3421, 0.3544, 0.27, 0.27, 0.1883, 0.0985, 0.221, 0.1298, 0.1924, 0.206, 0.2469, 0.4061, 0.3585, 0.398, 0.4157, 0.5014, 0.5463, 0.5722, 0.5354, 0.5872, 0.6661, 0.6648, 0.6675, 0.6634, 0.7587, 0.7696, 0.76, 0.7505, 0.7505, 0.9697, 0.9697, 1.1793, 1.2514, 1.295, 1.5591, 1.4978, 1.6897, 1.6816, 1.476, 1.5046, 1.3753, 1.3753, 1.6407, 1.6421, 1.6421, 1.7932, 2.0532, 2.1163, 2.1762, 2.2422, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2015241123896369372", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-01-25T01:51:39+00:00", "symbol": "SNDK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's called the 'Memory Supercycle' for a reason with $MU, Samsung, and SK Hynix + $SNDK.", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Samsung 100% NAND price hike vs 33-38% estimates could push MU gross margins to 73-75%+; bullish memory supercycle for MU, Samsung, Hynix, SNDK.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNDK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Holy crap. This just happened:\n\n\"Samsung increases NAND prices by 100%\" - ETNews\n\nEstimates were 33-38% Q/Q growth - Trendforce\n\nThis is an absolute shock. \n\nIt's called the \"Memory Supercycle\" for a reason with $MU, Samsung, and SK Hynix + $SNDK.\n\nIn simpler terms:\n\nThat extra 65% increase (from 35% to 100%) is pure, added high-margin profit. \n\nIf $MU guided for 68.0% gross margins Q2 2026, and we see a 100% NAND hike from 33-38% est, that could bring gross margin projections over 73-75%+. \n\nThis is a blowout.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$MU looks like the next Nvidia. \n\nWhen Nvidia was $400B (now $4.5T+), markets thought GPUs were a short-term cycle.\n\nSame with memory today. \n\nAI has broken that cycle.\n\nWith the same \"Made in America\" and White House backing like $INTC:\n\nDon't overthink things with Micron. https://t.co/LBhbVjoKGz", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.006435851439803519, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006435851439803519, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.011488341214316189, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011488341214316189, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0050524897745126696, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0050524897745126696, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.022578600591397935, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.022578600591397935, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01859433586171333, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01859433586171333, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003984264729684606, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003984264729684606, "ret_p1w": 0.41299916627633815, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.41299916627633815, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.4091303733962599, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.4091303733962599, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0038687928800782423, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0038687928800782423, "ret_p1m": 0.35624476653987314, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.35624476653987314, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3640111540008495, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3640111540008495, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007766387460976354, "bench_c_p1m": -0.007766387460976354, "ret_p3m": 0.9805225506628759, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.9805225506628759, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.9550366677370188, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.9550366677370188, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025485882925857073, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025485882925857073, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5659, -0.5841, -0.5766, -0.5603, -0.5867, -0.5401, -0.5589, -0.4913, -0.4309, -0.4232, -0.3987, -0.4826, -0.4602, -0.4353, -0.4798, -0.4776, -0.5838, -0.5746, -0.5179, -0.5316, -0.5432, -0.5432, -0.5257, -0.5536, -0.5638, -0.5871, -0.5469, -0.5147, -0.5211, -0.5339, -0.5054, -0.4868, -0.5621, -0.5712, -0.5554, -0.5607, -0.5339, -0.4953, -0.488, -0.4798, -0.4688, -0.4688, -0.4689, -0.4812, -0.4898, -0.4958, -0.4958, -0.4154, -0.4178, -0.2574, -0.249, -0.2894, -0.1984, -0.1732, -0.172, -0.1763, -0.1308, -0.1215, -0.1215, -0.0376, 0.0648, 0.0693, 0.0064, 0.0, 0.0226, 0.1207, 0.1455, 0.224, 0.413, 0.4773, 0.2416, 0.2239, 0.2701, 0.2392, 0.1505, 0.273, 0.3388, 0.3308, 0.3308, 0.2544, 0.2753, 0.3192, 0.3806, 0.4157, 0.3562, 0.3432, 0.3847, 0.3495, 0.315, 0.201, 0.2724, 0.2013, 0.1201, 0.2505, 0.3145, 0.3922, 0.3144, 0.4053, 0.4945, 0.5297, 0.6009, 0.64, 0.5075, 0.4921, 0.4921, 0.4398, 0.2812, 0.3081, 0.216, 0.3495, 0.4714, 0.4902, 0.4902, 0.5391, 0.5098, 0.6587, 0.8088, 0.8092, 1.0232, 1.0061, 0.8941, 0.953, 0.9562, 0.9393, 0.9191, 1.0796, 0.9805, 1.1026, 1.2732, 1.129, 1.2604, 1.329, 1.5212, 1.6675, 1.9871, 1.9949, 1.8461, 2.3185, 2.2871, 2.0842, 2.074, 1.937, 1.9898, 1.8314, 1.9382, 1.9579, 2.2758, 2.1408, 2.1408, 2.3763, 2.3771, 2.4869, 2.6002, 2.6002, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013666615112437839", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-20T17:35:07+00:00", "symbol": "VPG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "thought I'd personally frontrun the robotics ramp with $VPG", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author is long VPG to front-run the robotics ramp.", "resolved_tickers": ["VPG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Scientific & Technical Instruments'", "bench_c_industry": "Scientific & Technical Instruments", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@alecolace That's fair if you're bearish on $VPG! Drone sector has a lot more catalysts than robotics for sure, but thought I'd personally frontrun the robotics ramp with $VPG. \n\nAgain these are just my own personal opinions, I don't expect a lot of people to agree.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I am currently:\n🐂ish on $DPRO\n🧸ish on $VPG\n\nmy 2 cents...always grateful for your content", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "alecolace", "ret_m1d": -0.002516024869173017, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.002516024869173017, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02329582043850198, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02916572199057954, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.020779795569328963, "bench_c_m1d": 0.026649697121406524, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07067703719835805, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07067703719835805, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05913595799626359, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.056788212637009394, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011541079202094462, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013888824561348656, "ret_p1w": 0.02881972292664403, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02881972292664403, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.00238744143320635, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.014961983893512665, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02643228149343768, "bench_c_p1w": 0.043781706820156696, "ret_p1m": 0.05283617324099876, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05283617324099876, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.039981600106203885, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05939287894903689, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012854573134794878, "bench_c_p1m": -0.006556705708038124, "ret_p3m": 0.21729185120656802, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.21729185120656802, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.16637621261701585, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12774084223777704, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091563858955217, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08955100896879098, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.15, -0.1654, -0.1775, -0.1521, -0.1279, -0.1233, -0.1432, -0.1306, -0.1837, -0.1745, -0.2427, -0.2461, -0.218, -0.2312, -0.2326, -0.2669, -0.2692, -0.3042, -0.3072, -0.3001, -0.3303, -0.288, -0.258, -0.2301, -0.2212, -0.2212, -0.2191, -0.2118, -0.1997, -0.1599, -0.1464, -0.1077, -0.1333, -0.1587, -0.1231, -0.1082, -0.1327, -0.1295, -0.1178, -0.1297, -0.1263, -0.1134, -0.1141, -0.0995, -0.0972, -0.0972, -0.0922, -0.1036, -0.1096, -0.1194, -0.1194, -0.1016, -0.1002, -0.0544, -0.0844, -0.0764, -0.0469, -0.0496, -0.0505, -0.0432, -0.0005, -0.0025, -0.0025, 0.0, 0.0707, 0.0931, 0.0096, -0.0176, 0.0288, 0.0149, 0.1523, 0.1455, 0.1583, 0.2081, 0.2328, 0.1903, 0.2804, 0.2596, 0.2258, 0.062, 0.0677, 0.011, 0.011, 0.0387, 0.0528, 0.073, 0.0945, 0.0707, 0.0702, 0.105, 0.081, 0.0538, 0.1258, 0.0883, 0.0746, 0.029, -0.0059, -0.0034, 0.0188, 0.0037, -0.046, -0.062, -0.0586, -0.0663, -0.0599, -0.0098, -0.0704, -0.0359, -0.0217, 0.0407, -0.0274, -0.0496, -0.0695, -0.0069, 0.0057, 0.024, 0.024, 0.0549, 0.0688, 0.1226, 0.126, 0.1414, 0.1885, 0.1848, 0.1619, 0.1752, 0.2173, 0.2159, 0.2447, 0.3108, 0.3218, 0.3866, 0.3399, 0.3086, 0.2871, 0.382, 0.3774, 0.3731, 0.4627, 0.454, 0.428, 0.538, 0.5233, 0.9572, 1.2781, 1.2951, 1.226, 1.4065, 1.2404, 1.3035, 1.3797, 1.602, 1.602, 1.8227, 1.8801, 1.8648, 1.8662, 1.8662, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2032474260179149056", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-13T15:09:59+00:00", "symbol": "TSEM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Tower semi is one of my favorite photonic names, as a safer $TSM like compounder. For the new paradigm of AI.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long TSEM as a compounder in photonics for AI, with NVDA GTC as a near-term catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSEM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$TSEM does not concern itself with the rest of the market.\n\nTower semi is one of my favorite photonic names, as a safer $TSM like compounder.\n\nFor the new paradigm of AI. \n\nUp 5.8% today. https://t.co/UcH1K6C4UI", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I'm long $TSEM, the $TSM of photonics. \n\nMy top two picks for CPO are $SOI and Tower Semi. \n\nGiven the $NVDA GTC catalyst on new photonic related architecture next week:\n\nI expect Tower Semi to get a huge catalyst. \n\nNvidia laready directly collaborated with Tower to scale 1.6T https://t.co/Au3HYKNm7V", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04947476717376964, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04947476717376964, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.055167095878560835, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.055167095878560835, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005692328704791194, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005692328704791194, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.11033599741196443, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.11033599741196443, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10015913130048126, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10015913130048126, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010176866111483163, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010176866111483163, "ret_p1w": 0.3120840837467833, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.3120840837467833, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.3301256395298303, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.3301256395298303, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.018041555783047003, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018041555783047003, "ret_p1m": 0.679656825903896, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.679656825903896, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6408766526066367, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.6408766526066367, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.038780173297259246, "bench_c_p1m": 0.038780173297259246, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.079, -0.0972, -0.0643, -0.0445, -0.051, -0.029, -0.018, -0.018, -0.0249, -0.0289, -0.0324, -0.0585, -0.0585, -0.0238, -0.0435, -0.0195, -0.02, -0.0592, -0.0375, -0.0273, 0.0006, -0.0121, -0.0057, 0.0411, 0.0411, 0.0344, 0.0698, 0.0423, 0.0314, 0.0188, 0.0634, 0.114, 0.0802, 0.0803, 0.0977, 0.0937, -0.0275, 0.035, 0.1149, 0.183, 0.0951, 0.078, 0.0711, 0.0323, 0.0323, 0.0246, 0.0292, 0.0092, 0.0301, 0.0218, 0.0104, 0.0101, -0.007, 0.0013, 0.1113, 0.0066, -0.0097, -0.0334, -0.1132, -0.0742, -0.0628, -0.0423, -0.0495, 0.0, 0.1103, 0.1054, 0.1383, 0.3317, 0.3121, 0.3802, 0.4499, 0.5134, 0.4007, 0.3786, 0.2716, 0.4071, 0.5, 0.5861, 0.5861, 0.5251, 0.5304, 0.6332, 0.6344, 0.6325, 0.6797, 0.7169, 0.7291, 0.722, 0.8158, 0.8001, 0.7378, 0.6526, 0.6139, 0.6081, 0.6304, 0.552, 0.5971, 0.7725, 0.7481, 0.7245, 0.8084, 0.739, 0.6839, 0.6921, 0.8353, 0.7707, 1.1712, 1.2507, 1.1969, 0.9892, 1.0149, 1.1208, 1.2373, 1.2727, 1.2727, 1.3136, 1.2275, 1.2091, 1.0466, 1.0466, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2015104590010884548", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-24T16:49:07+00:00", "symbol": "ORCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it looks increasingly likely they'll default at some point... there's a lot better longs out there than taking a risk on OpenAI... I don't think it can be sustained over the years", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bearish ORCL long-term: massive capex funded by debt on sole/risky OpenAI counterparty, OpenAI contagion risk, and loss of revenue share to Gemini make it unsustainable.", "resolved_tickers": ["ORCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I've been saying this about $ORCL in the 300's though too when they projected $25B capex to $50B+ in just 1 year time.\n\nThis is to fulfill $500B+ in backlog. But that backlog doesn't matter when it's OpenAI (eg. $300B Stargate). \n\nThey're borrowing so much to build out on a sole customer, which happens to be the most obvious + extreme counterparty risk given OpenAI's other contractual obligations. \n\nWhen you compound that with losing revenue share to Gemini, it looks increasingly likely they'll default at some point. I have high doubts Sam will find a way to sustain $1T+ in contractual obligations, even with an IPO (they just signed another $10B+ one with Cerebras the other day) + are just spreading contagion so they try and get backstopped by US government if they run out of funds. \n\nThis type of debt buildout on a questionable counterparty overshadows their other business verticals, and my opnion is that there's a lot better longs out there than taking a risk on OpenAI. \n\nJust my opnion though, we might see a short term oracle recovery bc of openai's recent funding from softbank and others but I don't think it can be sustained over the years.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Well, this is certainly a post to be bookmarked. \nThanks for a very solid breakdown.\n\nAs for the ORCL - fair concern on the capex, but ORCL has strong underlying fundamentals: database business still generates massive cash flow, cloud infrastructure revenue growing steadily, and", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "VotrubaLog", "ret_m1d": -0.02894104168983469, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02894104168983469, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02388855191532202, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02388855191532202, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0050524897745126696, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0050524897745126696, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04132877037124072, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04132877037124072, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.045313035100925325, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.045313035100925325, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003984264729684606, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003984264729684606, "ret_p1w": -0.1226705498005628, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1226705498005628, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12653934268064104, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.12653934268064104, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0038687928800782423, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0038687928800782423, "ret_p1m": -0.1989695986705582, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1989695986705582, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.19120321120958184, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.19120321120958184, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007766387460976354, "bench_c_p1m": -0.007766387460976354, "ret_p3m": -0.030389915042457805, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.030389915042457805, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05587579796831488, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05587579796831488, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025485882925857073, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025485882925857073, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.505, 0.4044, 0.4356, 0.4096, 0.3567, 0.3684, 0.3328, 0.308, 0.3166, 0.291, 0.2409, 0.1894, 0.2183, 0.2019, 0.2054, 0.2329, 0.1518, 0.0866, 0.0949, 0.0771, 0.1205, 0.1205, 0.104, 0.0985, 0.0994, 0.1356, 0.1717, 0.1895, 0.2056, 0.2111, 0.2192, 0.0871, 0.0385, 0.0109, 0.0313, -0.0244, -0.0158, 0.0495, 0.0845, 0.0679, 0.0796, 0.0796, 0.0824, 0.0681, 0.0781, 0.0655, 0.0655, 0.0699, 0.0529, 0.0592, 0.0542, 0.0368, 0.0881, 0.1219, 0.1088, 0.0612, 0.0406, 0.0474, 0.0474, -0.0138, -0.0469, -0.0234, -0.0289, 0.0, -0.0413, -0.0528, -0.0736, -0.0979, -0.1227, -0.1522, -0.1961, -0.2519, -0.2172, -0.1417, -0.1236, -0.1386, -0.1423, -0.1222, -0.1222, -0.1561, -0.144, -0.142, -0.1883, -0.2254, -0.199, -0.1894, -0.1761, -0.203, -0.1819, -0.1832, -0.1648, -0.1516, -0.1616, -0.1693, -0.1811, -0.1059, -0.1276, -0.1498, -0.1451, -0.1521, -0.1619, -0.1476, -0.1796, -0.154, -0.1938, -0.1996, -0.2172, -0.2345, -0.2392, -0.1937, -0.204, -0.1977, -0.1977, -0.2023, -0.2152, -0.2126, -0.2417, -0.2405, -0.144, -0.1034, -0.066, -0.0191, -0.0371, -0.0232, -0.0035, 0.0313, -0.0304, -0.0469, -0.0487, -0.0872, -0.0989, -0.1123, -0.0549, -0.0083, 0.0195, 0.0672, 0.0703, 0.0778, 0.0662, 0.0276, 0.0438, 0.0759, 0.0613, 0.0264, -0.0019, 0.035, 0.0438, 0.0565, 0.0565, 0.0619, 0.0504, 0.1204, 0.2419, 0.2419, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2029502562328838261", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-05T10:21:31+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I see the risk being priced into MC already and hyperscaler demand + $NVDA funding the ecosystem is probably the biggest tailwind + signal. It sorta does gives me $RKLB neutron vibes if they can execute. And if they can flawlessly I see it being a 10x.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AAOI: execution risks priced in, hyperscaler demand + NVDA ecosystem tailwind, 10x upside if they execute.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The base case I’ve seen from $AAOI short sellers was that the $250m ATM doesn’t cover the capacity ramp and they needed $50m-$278m more (which is pennies given scale) \n\nThe main argument is always around execution and potential headwinds:\n\n- whether they can reshore Taiwan assembly to US\n- scale up laser capacity so they don’t need to use $COHR here and there\n- executing on manufacturing expansion.\n- whether there’s margin compression from Chinese players\n- cpo arrival ( $GOOGL + $AVGO confirmed its way out) \n\nI don’t see it being a customer concentration problem since every hyperscaler from $AMZN, $MSFT, $META are trying to buy up any supply they can make. \n\nBut I see the risk being priced into MC already and hyperscaler demand + $NVDA funding the ecosystem is probably the biggest tailwind + signal.\n\nIt sorta does gives me $RKLB neutron vibes if they can execute. And if they can flawlessly I see it being a 10x. And if they don’t, that’s the risk I’m taking for the upside.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Would love to ape into this one, but honestly I don’t understand the space well enough yet and I’m already mega excited about $NBIS. Still, a few thoughts:\n\nManagement execution doesn’t seem as bad as many people here claim. It looks more like heavy customer concentration and a https://t.co/anfrTh1Hn5", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "daniel_koss", "ret_m1d": -0.014138820583403544, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014138820583403544, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.019745628449714725, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019745628449714725, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005606807866311181, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005606807866311181, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05497328052349992, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05497328052349992, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04186614545266343, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04186614545266343, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013107135070836495, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013107135070836495, "ret_p1w": 0.049930819480256794, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.049930819480256794, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07231421407292471, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07231421407292471, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.022383394592667916, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022383394592667916, "ret_p1m": 0.027387821724116357, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.027387821724116357, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06215746839083869, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06215746839083869, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03476964666672233, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03476964666672233, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7247, -0.6996, -0.6541, -0.6409, -0.683, -0.7044, -0.7137, -0.7317, -0.7108, -0.6903, -0.6135, -0.5982, -0.5946, -0.5946, -0.6325, -0.6366, -0.6439, -0.6553, -0.6553, -0.6085, -0.654, -0.6183, -0.6237, -0.6736, -0.6634, -0.6666, -0.6621, -0.6592, -0.6342, -0.6338, -0.6338, -0.6118, -0.6205, -0.6228, -0.6468, -0.655, -0.6303, -0.5528, -0.6088, -0.5688, -0.5634, -0.544, -0.6055, -0.623, -0.562, -0.5263, -0.5206, -0.5215, -0.5651, -0.5604, -0.5604, -0.5658, -0.5705, -0.5355, -0.489, -0.4665, -0.4436, -0.4254, -0.4692, -0.1672, 0.0135, -0.0573, -0.0141, 0.0, -0.055, 0.0937, 0.1913, 0.2558, 0.0499, -0.0428, -0.0699, -0.1464, -0.0841, 0.0077, -0.1345, -0.0532, 0.1262, 0.1312, -0.0368, -0.029, -0.1577, -0.1636, -0.1462, 0.0274, 0.0274, 0.0624, 0.1631, 0.312, 0.318, 0.489, 0.5146, 0.4474, 0.4094, 0.5555, 0.5762, 0.6163, 0.4887, 0.4774, 0.3618, 0.6034, 0.4414, 0.3571, 0.5111, 0.6251, 0.8144, 0.7103, 0.7853, 0.7653, 0.5577, 0.4726, 0.8282, 0.8616, 1.2059, 1.0128, 0.8821, 0.7131, 0.694, 0.634, 0.7482, 0.7944, 0.7944, 0.7562, 0.778, 0.6711, 0.5662, 0.5662, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2025414357434478905", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-22T03:36:27+00:00", "symbol": "EWY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "There's likely a long way to go for repricing. Fundamentals > TA.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Dismisses EWY pullback fears; long Korean equities on SK Hynix and Samsung re-rating with long way to go on repricing.", "resolved_tickers": ["EWY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Not really, Gemini is just very confidently wrong. I tried asking it similar questions just now and they were super off. \n\nBasically reason it's a straight line up is because analyst projections (which LLMs haven't trained on), projects that Sk Hynix makes more net income than $AAPL next year.  \n\nSK Hynix is still a ~$430B company compared to $3.7T. Then Samsung net income is just astronomical. \n\nThere's likely a long way to go for repricing. \n\nFundamentals > TA.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit aren't you worried of $EWY pullback? from TA side it looks overextended similar to $SLV before end of January 30% correction..i asked gemini and the bot is quite bearish lol", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LarryVasqu99365", "ret_m1d": 0.018521190054074044, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.018521190054074044, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008204528667010491, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008204528667010491, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.037688441385384186, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.037688441385384186, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030419988454989166, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030419988454989166, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "ret_p1w": 0.05915283599321519, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05915283599321519, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05330575028032358, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05330575028032358, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "ret_p1m": -0.0757358422155805, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0757358422155805, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03554445989111776, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03554445989111776, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "ret_p3m": 0.33826269981975354, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.33826269981975354, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.24688048298196907, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.24688048298196907, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3572, -0.3572, -0.362, -0.3638, -0.3536, -0.347, -0.355, -0.3379, -0.3325, -0.329, -0.3207, -0.3333, -0.3494, -0.3489, -0.3574, -0.3641, -0.3534, -0.3443, -0.3413, -0.3345, -0.3209, -0.3209, -0.312, -0.2913, -0.292, -0.3021, -0.3021, -0.2662, -0.2475, -0.2275, -0.2317, -0.2348, -0.2183, -0.218, -0.228, -0.2129, -0.2028, -0.1944, -0.1944, -0.2034, -0.1697, -0.1673, -0.1531, -0.1578, -0.1192, -0.0986, -0.1062, -0.1212, -0.1319, -0.1075, -0.1367, -0.137, -0.1047, -0.0951, -0.1066, -0.0625, -0.061, -0.0383, -0.0383, -0.0619, -0.0457, -0.0294, 0.0185, 0.0, 0.0377, 0.0688, 0.0798, 0.0866, 0.0592, -0.05, -0.0354, -0.0973, -0.0902, -0.0388, -0.0646, -0.0463, -0.1134, -0.1088, -0.0445, -0.035, -0.0533, -0.0322, -0.0971, -0.0394, -0.0757, -0.083, -0.1386, -0.1315, -0.1642, -0.1169, -0.0939, -0.1179, -0.1179, -0.0959, -0.0869, 0.0055, -0.0001, -0.0041, 0.0139, 0.053, 0.0403, 0.0587, 0.0935, 0.0775, 0.0538, 0.1184, 0.081, 0.1096, 0.1251, 0.1082, 0.1052, 0.1541, 0.163, 0.1744, 0.2453, 0.3064, 0.2688, 0.3654, 0.3844, 0.2814, 0.3541, 0.3677, 0.284, 0.2642, 0.2492, 0.293, 0.3383, 0.3067, 0.3067, 0.4404, 0.4235, 0.4818, 0.4776, 0.4776, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2025414357434478905", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-22T03:36:27+00:00", "symbol": "000660.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Sk Hynix makes more net income than $AAPL next year", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Dismisses EWY pullback fears; long Korean equities on SK Hynix and Samsung re-rating with long way to go on repricing.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Not really, Gemini is just very confidently wrong. I tried asking it similar questions just now and they were super off. \n\nBasically reason it's a straight line up is because analyst projections (which LLMs haven't trained on), projects that Sk Hynix makes more net income than $AAPL next year.  \n\nSK Hynix is still a ~$430B company compared to $3.7T. Then Samsung net income is just astronomical. \n\nThere's likely a long way to go for repricing. \n\nFundamentals > TA.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit aren't you worried of $EWY pullback? from TA side it looks overextended similar to $SLV before end of January 30% correction..i asked gemini and the bot is quite bearish lol", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LarryVasqu99365", "ret_m1d": -0.0021030678409936776, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0021030678409936776, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01241972922805723, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02062425789506772, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "bench_c_m1d": 0.018521190054074044, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05678237073880332, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05678237073880332, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0495139178084083, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.019093929353419137, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "bench_c_p1d": 0.037688441385384186, "ret_p1w": 0.1177264266713467, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1177264266713467, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11187934095845509, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.058573590678131504, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05915283599321519, "ret_p1m": 0.03871650696868412, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03871650696868412, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07890788929314685, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11445234918426461, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0757358422155805, "ret_p3m": 1.043722158765949, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.043722158765949, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.9523399419281646, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.7054594589461956, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "bench_c_p3m": 0.33826269981975354, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4494, -0.428, -0.4427, -0.4343, -0.4132, -0.4196, -0.4301, -0.428, -0.3933, -0.4048, -0.3828, -0.4059, -0.3996, -0.4175, -0.4427, -0.4206, -0.4196, -0.4248, -0.3901, -0.3859, -0.3817, -0.3817, -0.3701, -0.327, -0.3155, -0.3155, -0.3155, -0.2881, -0.2681, -0.2366, -0.2198, -0.205, -0.2177, -0.2124, -0.224, -0.2198, -0.2124, -0.205, -0.1966, -0.2187, -0.2219, -0.2061, -0.1935, -0.2261, -0.1588, -0.1157, -0.0946, -0.0442, -0.1272, -0.0463, -0.0536, -0.1146, -0.1178, -0.0673, -0.0789, -0.0957, -0.0662, -0.0747, -0.0747, -0.0747, -0.0747, -0.0599, -0.0021, 0.0, 0.0568, 0.0705, 0.1578, 0.1177, 0.1177, -0.0108, -0.1056, -0.0087, -0.0266, -0.1193, -0.0118, 0.0061, -0.0203, -0.0413, 0.0261, 0.0219, 0.1125, 0.0672, 0.0608, -0.0171, 0.0387, 0.0482, -0.0171, -0.0171, -0.0803, -0.1499, -0.055, -0.1256, -0.0772, -0.0666, -0.035, 0.0882, 0.0514, 0.0819, 0.0956, 0.162, 0.1967, 0.2168, 0.1883, 0.2283, 0.2894, 0.2884, 0.2905, 0.2873, 0.3611, 0.3695, 0.3621, 0.3548, 0.3548, 0.5244, 0.5244, 0.6866, 0.7424, 0.7761, 0.9805, 0.9331, 1.0816, 1.0753, 0.9163, 0.9384, 0.8383, 0.8383, 1.0437, 1.0448, 1.0448, 1.1617, 1.3629, 1.4118, 1.4581, 1.5092, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2025414357434478905", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-22T03:36:27+00:00", "symbol": "005930.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Samsung net income is just astronomical", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Dismisses EWY pullback fears; long Korean equities on SK Hynix and Samsung re-rating with long way to go on repricing.", "resolved_tickers": ["005930.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Not really, Gemini is just very confidently wrong. I tried asking it similar questions just now and they were super off. \n\nBasically reason it's a straight line up is because analyst projections (which LLMs haven't trained on), projects that Sk Hynix makes more net income than $AAPL next year.  \n\nSK Hynix is still a ~$430B company compared to $3.7T. Then Samsung net income is just astronomical. \n\nThere's likely a long way to go for repricing. \n\nFundamentals > TA.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit aren't you worried of $EWY pullback? from TA side it looks overextended similar to $SLV before end of January 30% correction..i asked gemini and the bot is quite bearish lol", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LarryVasqu99365", "ret_m1d": -0.015025855706159885, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.015025855706159885, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.025342517093223438, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.032063117250343054, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01703726154418317, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03626946073682302, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03626946073682302, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.029001007806428003, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.023274982215576, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "bench_c_p1d": 0.012994478521247022, "ret_p1w": 0.12176170889254245, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12176170889254245, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11591462317965084, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.11439822988666881, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007363479005873641, "ret_p1m": -0.01709838473024672, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.01709838473024672, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.023092997594216014, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0012109257509007598, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01588745897934596, "ret_p3m": 0.5550254955061809, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5550254955061809, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4636432786683964, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.264077910400387, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2909475851057939, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4699, -0.4663, -0.4818, -0.4802, -0.4668, -0.4612, -0.4581, -0.4411, -0.4354, -0.4411, -0.4431, -0.4467, -0.4385, -0.4596, -0.4699, -0.4436, -0.4452, -0.4519, -0.4302, -0.4251, -0.4271, -0.4271, -0.3967, -0.3808, -0.3788, -0.3788, -0.3788, -0.3342, -0.2845, -0.2803, -0.2694, -0.2808, -0.2798, -0.2808, -0.287, -0.2731, -0.2544, -0.2285, -0.2264, -0.2477, -0.2254, -0.2109, -0.2119, -0.2119, -0.1736, -0.1585, -0.1674, -0.1684, -0.2207, -0.1321, -0.1238, -0.1746, -0.1782, -0.1378, -0.1409, -0.1306, -0.0746, -0.0611, -0.0611, -0.0611, -0.0611, -0.0155, -0.015, 0.0, 0.0363, 0.0544, 0.1295, 0.1218, 0.1218, 0.0109, -0.1078, -0.0073, -0.0249, -0.101, -0.0264, -0.0155, -0.0264, -0.0492, -0.0223, 0.0047, 0.0803, 0.0389, 0.0332, -0.0347, -0.0171, -0.0207, -0.0668, -0.0668, -0.0846, -0.1319, -0.0153, -0.0737, -0.0332, 0.0026, 0.0202, 0.0929, 0.0592, 0.0696, 0.0436, 0.0722, 0.0955, 0.1293, 0.1215, 0.1137, 0.1371, 0.1293, 0.1656, 0.1397, 0.1656, 0.1526, 0.1734, 0.1449, 0.1449, 0.2072, 0.2072, 0.3811, 0.4096, 0.3941, 0.4823, 0.4486, 0.4745, 0.5369, 0.4045, 0.459, 0.4304, 0.433, 0.555, 0.5187, 0.5187, 0.5524, 0.594, 0.555, 0.6459, 0.7991, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2034800163890634891", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-20T01:12:18+00:00", "symbol": "AEHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AEHR is one of my favorite longs", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "States AEHR is one of their favorite longs.", "resolved_tickers": ["AEHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@mi20483980476 @moderndayvenom $AEHR is one of my favorite longs. Unfortunately the question asked me to pick 5 only", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @moderndayvenom What about AEHR? Don’t you think that’s the next bottleneck", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mi20483980476", "ret_m1d": 0.09385856954821814, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.09385856954821814, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07931429014597624, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06739908144780538, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0145442794022419, "bench_c_m1d": 0.026459488100412765, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07618774719696564, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07618774719696564, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06568772795202782, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05898133433316444, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01050001924493782, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0172064128638012, "ret_p1w": -0.057937426809917425, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.057937426809917425, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03561141681064295, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03067228541407574, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.022326009999274476, "bench_c_p1w": -0.027265141395841686, "ret_p1m": 1.6115295576597783, "ret_signed_p1m": 1.6115295576597783, "alpha_spy_p1m": 1.5187871201439507, "alpha_c_p1m": 1.405624262573494, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09274243751582767, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2059052950862843, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3404, -0.3607, -0.3607, -0.3783, -0.4102, -0.4108, -0.4151, -0.4151, -0.3581, -0.3195, -0.2836, -0.2995, -0.3424, -0.2375, -0.2367, -0.2233, -0.2477, -0.2315, -0.1654, -0.1654, -0.1582, -0.1541, -0.1046, -0.1877, -0.2242, -0.1961, -0.1895, -0.2213, -0.2572, -0.2451, -0.2123, -0.3097, -0.3337, -0.2355, -0.2008, -0.2228, -0.0194, -0.1921, -0.1645, -0.1645, -0.1747, -0.1596, -0.1231, -0.0267, -0.0058, 0.1364, 0.2016, 0.153, 0.0843, 0.2755, 0.2063, 0.2358, 0.1729, 0.0316, 0.1842, 0.2155, 0.2297, 0.0907, 0.0333, 0.0857, 0.0744, 0.0519, 0.0939, 0.0, 0.0762, 0.1353, 0.1306, 0.0014, -0.0579, -0.1275, 0.0742, 0.1472, 0.2839, 0.2839, 0.511, 0.4557, 0.8297, 0.9948, 1.0403, 1.0759, 1.1547, 1.1211, 1.3421, 1.4293, 1.6115, 1.7149, 1.8204, 1.7668, 1.7784, 1.5632, 1.3879, 1.3699, 1.6234, 1.6961, 1.48, 1.6417, 1.8021, 1.6437, 1.8166, 2.029, 1.8019, 1.991, 2.0805, 1.8824, 1.4209, 1.3505, 1.3853, 1.6448, 1.7526, 1.7526, 2.1842, 2.0075, 1.8966, 1.6747, 1.6747, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2019315806245646768", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-05T07:42:59+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd rather hold 50% in Bitcoin around $70K than sit on cash to lower volatility", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long BTC as 50% position vs cash; bearish VPG on TSLA vertical integration risk.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Bonek2801 Risk management purposes. I’d rather hold 50% in Bitcoin around $70K than sit on cash to lower volatility. \n\nAlso the downside risk of $VPG is $TSLA creating their own sensors and vertically integrating it away. Similar bear case with $GOOGL and OCS with $LITE though.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Why did you invest 50% port in btc instead $VPG?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Bonek2801", "ret_m1d": 0.16454960606444025, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.16454960606444025, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.151902441700708, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012647164363732255, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.1252476912623226, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1252476912623226, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10606297942137122, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.019184711840951385, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": 0.05613442333374885, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05613442333374885, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05074789895656262, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00538652437718623, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": 0.08667005944590289, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08667005944590289, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09440306688483224, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007733007438929351, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": 0.29065944701187174, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.29065944701187174, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.21963642645955228, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07102302055231946, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.6905, 0.6426, 0.6214, 0.59, 0.5055, 0.4688, 0.4824, 0.4587, 0.3816, 0.3571, 0.4078, 0.393, 0.4436, 0.4559, 0.45, 0.3767, 0.4569, 0.4916, 0.4695, 0.4256, 0.4456, 0.4783, 0.4676, 0.4754, 0.4397, 0.3783, 0.401, 0.3739, 0.363, 0.4051, 0.4113, 0.3941, 0.3973, 0.3913, 0.3923, 0.3897, 0.4103, 0.3956, 0.4151, 0.4345, 0.4973, 0.4948, 0.4562, 0.4517, 0.4435, 0.4544, 0.5202, 0.5459, 0.5239, 0.5235, 0.4761, 0.4084, 0.4254, 0.4268, 0.4274, 0.4077, 0.421, 0.4224, 0.3486, 0.3417, 0.255, 0.2062, 0.1645, 0.0, 0.1252, 0.1183, 0.0972, 0.0684, 0.0561, 0.0982, 0.0979, 0.0764, 0.0594, 0.0679, 0.0846, 0.0305, 0.022, 0.0839, 0.0758, 0.0507, 0.0969, 0.0892, 0.1596, 0.1298, 0.0867, 0.0909, 0.1152, 0.1197, 0.1243, 0.1318, 0.1939, 0.1789, 0.1363, 0.115, 0.1247, 0.131, 0.1246, 0.1373, 0.0971, 0.058, 0.0636, 0.0882, 0.0857, 0.0668, 0.0674, 0.0982, 0.1473, 0.1343, 0.1446, 0.1639, 0.1879, 0.1831, 0.193, 0.1986, 0.2301, 0.21, 0.2177, 0.2472, 0.2483, 0.2353, 0.2339, 0.2177, 0.2085, 0.2169, 0.2468, 0.2731, 0.2907, 0.2986, 0.276, 0.2789, 0.3034, 0.2835, 0.2643, 0.2926, 0.261, 0.2273, 0.2241, 0.2353, 0.2366, 0.2039, 0.2325, 0.2093, 0.1857, 0.1728, 0.1702, 0.1747, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2019315806245646768", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-05T07:42:59+00:00", "symbol": "VPG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the downside risk of $VPG is $TSLA creating their own sensors and vertically integrating it away", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long BTC as 50% position vs cash; bearish VPG on TSLA vertical integration risk.", "resolved_tickers": ["VPG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Scientific & Technical Instruments'", "bench_c_industry": "Scientific & Technical Instruments", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Bonek2801 Risk management purposes. I’d rather hold 50% in Bitcoin around $70K than sit on cash to lower volatility. \n\nAlso the downside risk of $VPG is $TSLA creating their own sensors and vertically integrating it away. Similar bear case with $GOOGL and OCS with $LITE though.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Why did you invest 50% port in btc instead $VPG?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Bonek2801", "ret_m1d": 0.0357417482250002, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0357417482250002, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.023094583861267948, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017383090883666297, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012647164363732255, "bench_c_m1d": 0.018358657341333906, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07571096382385711, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07571096382385711, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05652625198290573, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03515950909674026, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.019184711840951385, "bench_c_p1d": 0.040551454727116854, "ret_p1w": -0.10299770399796981, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10299770399796981, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10838422837515604, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.12939309645156938, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00538652437718623, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026395392453599564, "ret_p1m": -0.1648732067661176, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1648732067661176, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15714019932718826, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.17711231166034036, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007733007438929351, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012239104894222752, "ret_p3m": 0.22886240656960632, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22886240656960632, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.15783938601728686, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.006154042494139977, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07102302055231946, "bench_c_p3m": 0.22270836407546635, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.343, -0.3542, -0.3553, -0.3841, -0.386, -0.4154, -0.4179, -0.412, -0.4374, -0.4018, -0.3766, -0.3532, -0.3457, -0.3457, -0.344, -0.3378, -0.3276, -0.2942, -0.2829, -0.2504, -0.2719, -0.2932, -0.2633, -0.2508, -0.2713, -0.2686, -0.2588, -0.2688, -0.2659, -0.2552, -0.2558, -0.2435, -0.2415, -0.2415, -0.2373, -0.2469, -0.2519, -0.2602, -0.2602, -0.2452, -0.244, -0.2056, -0.2308, -0.2241, -0.1993, -0.2016, -0.2023, -0.1962, -0.1603, -0.162, -0.162, -0.1599, -0.1005, -0.0817, -0.1518, -0.1747, -0.1357, -0.1474, -0.0319, -0.0377, -0.0269, 0.015, 0.0357, 0.0, 0.0757, 0.0582, 0.0298, -0.1078, -0.103, -0.1507, -0.1507, -0.1274, -0.1155, -0.0986, -0.0805, -0.1005, -0.1009, -0.0717, -0.0919, -0.1147, -0.0542, -0.0857, -0.0972, -0.1355, -0.1649, -0.1628, -0.1441, -0.1568, -0.1985, -0.212, -0.2091, -0.2156, -0.2102, -0.1681, -0.2191, -0.19, -0.1781, -0.1257, -0.1829, -0.2016, -0.2183, -0.1656, -0.1551, -0.1397, -0.1397, -0.1138, -0.102, -0.0569, -0.054, -0.0411, -0.0015, -0.0046, -0.0238, -0.0127, 0.0227, 0.0215, 0.0457, 0.1013, 0.1105, 0.1649, 0.1257, 0.0993, 0.0813, 0.161, 0.1572, 0.1535, 0.2289, 0.2216, 0.1997, 0.2921, 0.2798, 0.6443, 0.9139, 0.9281, 0.8701, 1.0217, 0.8822, 0.9352, 0.9992, 1.186, 1.186, 1.3714, 1.4197, 1.4068, 1.408, 1.408, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2012963701389967869", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-18T19:02:00+00:00", "symbol": "LPTH", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LPTH is incredible. My thesis is most US companies will move off China germanium supply chains (especially for defense) and use Lightpath black diamond in the next 2 years", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long LPTH: US defense supply chains shift from China germanium to Lightpath Black Diamond; 4-year window before Korea Zinc competes, vendors lock in for production.", "resolved_tickers": ["LPTH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$LPTH is incredible. \n\nMy thesis is most US companies will move off China germanium supply chains (especially for defense) and use Lightpath black diamond in the next 2 years (most of the catalysts). \n\nThey have a 4 year window until Korea Zinc starts ramping up in 2030. \n\nBut by that time I'd assume many vendors like Lockheed Stingers to Andruil Ghost are locked into Lightpath's material for production.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Added $LTPH this week such a great company", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "burak_finance", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.11376295464546371, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.11376295464546371, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.13411974036900876, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.13411974036900876, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "ret_p1w": -0.18615753455836603, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.18615753455836603, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1877045256858415, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1877045256858415, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "ret_p1m": -0.11058070194073111, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11058070194073111, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09784322137102996, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09784322137102996, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "ret_p3m": 0.18695309773454927, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.18695309773454927, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.16972462662066867, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.16972462662066867, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4153, -0.3652, -0.3278, -0.3286, -0.3286, -0.3477, -0.3413, -0.3095, -0.3508, -0.401, -0.3771, -0.3938, -0.3866, -0.3811, -0.3604, -0.4137, -0.4702, -0.467, -0.459, -0.4566, -0.4654, -0.5084, -0.506, -0.4598, -0.4503, -0.4495, -0.4495, -0.4153, -0.4296, -0.3699, -0.3357, -0.2824, -0.2999, -0.3047, -0.2999, -0.2983, -0.2745, -0.3556, -0.4041, -0.4169, -0.4527, -0.4288, -0.3922, -0.3214, -0.3071, -0.2816, -0.2816, -0.2824, -0.1814, -0.1599, -0.1408, -0.1408, -0.0676, -0.07, -0.0835, -0.0294, 0.0048, -0.0183, -0.0461, -0.0724, 0.0525, 0.0477, 0.0, 0.0, 0.1138, 0.0851, 0.14, -0.0103, -0.1862, -0.105, -0.1026, -0.0859, -0.171, -0.1647, -0.1337, -0.2522, -0.2792, -0.1599, -0.0986, -0.1241, -0.183, -0.0072, -0.0835, -0.0835, -0.1106, -0.1058, 0.0819, -0.0453, -0.109, -0.0461, -0.0636, -0.1138, -0.1702, -0.0446, -0.0469, -0.0613, -0.0986, -0.1193, -0.1177, -0.1193, -0.1337, -0.1273, -0.1639, -0.1249, -0.0461, -0.0716, -0.0859, -0.1623, -0.0899, -0.0557, -0.0493, -0.1257, -0.245, -0.2593, -0.2021, -0.187, -0.1265, -0.1265, -0.0859, -0.1281, -0.0788, -0.0326, 0.0207, 0.1464, 0.1368, 0.1154, 0.187, 0.1265, 0.1376, 0.1289, 0.1655, 0.1631, 0.28, 0.113, 0.0103, -0.0302, 0.0191, 0.0899, -0.0191, -0.0374, 0.0239, -0.043, -0.0843, 0.0199, -0.0286, -0.0358, -0.0334, -0.0835, -0.0103, 0.1042, 0.0859, 0.136, 0.3484, 0.3484, 0.292, 0.401, 0.4439, 0.3508, 0.3508, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2013947011490615486", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-21T12:09:19+00:00", "symbol": "BKKT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this is one of the worst companies in the entire market... endless cycle of news fomo -> ATM/massive dilution that only harms retail... $BKKT so far is of the biggest retail capital destruction companies I've seen", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish BKKT: serial ATM dilution, toxic financing structure, and value transfer from retail to executives make it uninvestable.", "resolved_tickers": ["BKKT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$BKKT is down -23.87% premarket after a new $300M ATM dilution. \n\nIn my opinion, this is one of the worst companies in the entire market. \n\nI feel sorry for people who followed a  certain influencer at $45 since retail portfolios are now wiped over 64%.\n\nThere’s an endless cycle of news fomo -> ATM/massive dilution that only harms retail.\n\nThis is the history $BKKT endlessly tries to hide:\n\nFeb 2024: Issued ~1.4M shares + warrants in a registered direct offering. \n\nJul 2025: Issued another ~6.75M shares + pre-funded warrants in a $75M public offering, when the stock was trading around $24, but sold them to institutions at ~$10 (60%+ discount).\n\nSeptember: Mike Alfred joins -> he starts posting about the stock every day. Management after rally tries to issue 24% dilution awards to executives to sell\n\nToday: $300 Million ATM dumped in the public market on retail, when MC is only $500m\n\n$BKKT so far is of the biggest retail capital destruction companies I’ve seen.\n\nStocks are a positive sum game where everyone benefits, but this just looks like a value transfer from retail pockets to executives.\n\nAfter influencer promotion -> ATM or executive grant dilution\n\nI have zero positions but as a spectator:\n\nThis is the perfect example of why you should do your own research into companies that have completely toxic financing structures", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Warning to retail investors: \n\nStay away from $UAVS until the result of the vote on the 22nd. \n\nI was researching drone stock recs, and found SEC filings where the shady board voted for a wealth transfer from retail to arbitrage.\n\nIt's a drone company that's been getting retail https://t.co/P2gZHshw4q", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.009196788684358581, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.009196788684358581, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0022126137011561076, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0022126137011561076, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011409402385514689, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011409402385514689, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.048436482774162126, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.048436482774162126, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05365971279388981, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05365971279388981, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005223230019727687, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005223230019727687, "ret_p1w": -0.11097483293742105, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11097483293742105, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12559398361405683, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.12559398361405683, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014619150676635773, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014619150676635773, "ret_p1m": -0.3623543863231288, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3623543863231288, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.361012035406186, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.361012035406186, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0013423509169427916, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0013423509169427916, "ret_p3m": -0.45003062165885077, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.45003062165885077, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4868784356038167, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4868784356038167, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.036847813944965946, "bench_c_p3m": 0.036847813944965946, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.7682, 0.7817, 0.6395, 0.596, 0.4083, 0.6965, 0.6481, 0.3231, 0.4629, 0.3066, 0.4506, 0.2851, 0.3164, 0.325, 0.1355, 0.1128, 0.0294, 0.0497, 0.0411, -0.095, -0.1435, -0.0435, -0.0576, -0.0871, -0.0871, -0.0331, -0.1508, -0.149, -0.1006, -0.0435, -0.1416, -0.2177, -0.1987, -0.2121, -0.2238, -0.2912, -0.3452, -0.3164, -0.3863, -0.3697, -0.3525, -0.3519, -0.366, -0.3378, -0.3378, -0.3538, -0.3611, -0.3771, -0.3844, -0.3844, -0.3102, -0.0932, -0.0521, -0.0717, 0.0092, -0.0018, 0.1778, 0.1478, 0.2882, 0.1888, 0.3127, 0.3127, -0.0092, 0.0, -0.0484, -0.0668, -0.1502, -0.084, -0.111, -0.1643, -0.179, -0.2483, -0.2532, -0.2882, -0.393, -0.2698, -0.301, -0.3489, -0.3624, -0.3832, -0.3397, -0.3397, -0.3709, -0.3648, -0.3624, -0.3599, -0.3777, -0.3807, -0.3329, -0.3624, -0.4139, -0.3893, -0.412, -0.3746, -0.3899, -0.4304, -0.4347, -0.4335, -0.4304, -0.4353, -0.4206, -0.409, -0.4096, -0.4525, -0.4482, -0.4758, -0.4568, -0.4929, -0.4862, -0.5113, -0.5512, -0.5739, -0.5487, -0.5561, -0.5481, -0.5481, -0.5322, -0.5322, -0.5126, -0.4856, -0.5015, -0.4654, -0.4494, -0.4335, -0.4139, -0.4365, -0.45, -0.4684, -0.4402, -0.4678, -0.4586, -0.4482, -0.4739, -0.5181, -0.4715, -0.4746, -0.4506, -0.4427, -0.4396, -0.4758, -0.3961, -0.3918, -0.4562, -0.5083, -0.4678, -0.4923, -0.4654, -0.4065, -0.3758, -0.2446, -0.2716, -0.2716, -0.2759, -0.2955, -0.3256, -0.3335, -0.3335, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2025896767687110958", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-23T11:33:23+00:00", "symbol": "South Korea index", "kind": "index", "geography": "Korea", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's the South Korea index not some random meme stock", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Not too late to enter Korea index and SK Hynix; fundamentals support further upside despite recent run.", "resolved_tickers": ["EWY"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "South Korea index proxied by EWY ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@AntoineLavenant It’s the South Korea index not some random meme stock. \n\nSK Hynix was a $400B company last week and projected to make more than $AAPL next year. So I think there’s some ways to go. \n\nMore important to look at fundamentals over the chart", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Would you say it's too late to enter those? I'm always anxious of chasing a stock that has run so much already.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "AntoineLavenant", "ret_m1d": 0.018521190054074044, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.018521190054074044, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008204528667010491, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008204528667010491, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.037688441385384186, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.037688441385384186, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030419988454989166, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030419988454989166, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "ret_p1w": 0.05915283599321519, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05915283599321519, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05330575028032358, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05330575028032358, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "ret_p1m": -0.0757358422155805, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0757358422155805, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03554445989111776, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03554445989111776, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "ret_p3m": 0.33826269981975354, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.33826269981975354, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.24688048298196907, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.24688048298196907, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3572, -0.3572, -0.362, -0.3638, -0.3536, -0.347, -0.355, -0.3379, -0.3325, -0.329, -0.3207, -0.3333, -0.3494, -0.3489, -0.3574, -0.3641, -0.3534, -0.3443, -0.3413, -0.3345, -0.3209, -0.3209, -0.312, -0.2913, -0.292, -0.3021, -0.3021, -0.2662, -0.2475, -0.2275, -0.2317, -0.2348, -0.2183, -0.218, -0.228, -0.2129, -0.2028, -0.1944, -0.1944, -0.2034, -0.1697, -0.1673, -0.1531, -0.1578, -0.1192, -0.0986, -0.1062, -0.1212, -0.1319, -0.1075, -0.1367, -0.137, -0.1047, -0.0951, -0.1066, -0.0625, -0.061, -0.0383, -0.0383, -0.0619, -0.0457, -0.0294, 0.0185, 0.0, 0.0377, 0.0688, 0.0798, 0.0866, 0.0592, -0.05, -0.0354, -0.0973, -0.0902, -0.0388, -0.0646, -0.0463, -0.1134, -0.1088, -0.0445, -0.035, -0.0533, -0.0322, -0.0971, -0.0394, -0.0757, -0.083, -0.1386, -0.1315, -0.1642, -0.1169, -0.0939, -0.1179, -0.1179, -0.0959, -0.0869, 0.0055, -0.0001, -0.0041, 0.0139, 0.053, 0.0403, 0.0587, 0.0935, 0.0775, 0.0538, 0.1184, 0.081, 0.1096, 0.1251, 0.1082, 0.1052, 0.1541, 0.163, 0.1744, 0.2453, 0.3064, 0.2688, 0.3654, 0.3844, 0.2814, 0.3541, 0.3677, 0.284, 0.2642, 0.2492, 0.293, 0.3383, 0.3067, 0.3067, 0.4404, 0.4235, 0.4818, 0.4776, 0.4776, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2025896767687110958", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-23T11:33:23+00:00", "symbol": "000660.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "SK Hynix was a $400B company last week and projected to make more than $AAPL next year. So I think there's some ways to go", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Not too late to enter Korea index and SK Hynix; fundamentals support further upside despite recent run.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@AntoineLavenant It’s the South Korea index not some random meme stock. \n\nSK Hynix was a $400B company last week and projected to make more than $AAPL next year. So I think there’s some ways to go. \n\nMore important to look at fundamentals over the chart", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Would you say it's too late to enter those? I'm always anxious of chasing a stock that has run so much already.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "AntoineLavenant", "ret_m1d": -0.0021030678409936776, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0021030678409936776, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01241972922805723, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02062425789506772, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "bench_c_m1d": 0.018521190054074044, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05678237073880332, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05678237073880332, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0495139178084083, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.019093929353419137, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "bench_c_p1d": 0.037688441385384186, "ret_p1w": 0.1177264266713467, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1177264266713467, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11187934095845509, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.058573590678131504, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05915283599321519, "ret_p1m": 0.03871650696868412, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03871650696868412, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07890788929314685, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11445234918426461, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0757358422155805, "ret_p3m": 1.043722158765949, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.043722158765949, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.9523399419281646, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.7054594589461956, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "bench_c_p3m": 0.33826269981975354, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4494, -0.428, -0.4427, -0.4343, -0.4132, -0.4196, -0.4301, -0.428, -0.3933, -0.4048, -0.3828, -0.4059, -0.3996, -0.4175, -0.4427, -0.4206, -0.4196, -0.4248, -0.3901, -0.3859, -0.3817, -0.3817, -0.3701, -0.327, -0.3155, -0.3155, -0.3155, -0.2881, -0.2681, -0.2366, -0.2198, -0.205, -0.2177, -0.2124, -0.224, -0.2198, -0.2124, -0.205, -0.1966, -0.2187, -0.2219, -0.2061, -0.1935, -0.2261, -0.1588, -0.1157, -0.0946, -0.0442, -0.1272, -0.0463, -0.0536, -0.1146, -0.1178, -0.0673, -0.0789, -0.0957, -0.0662, -0.0747, -0.0747, -0.0747, -0.0747, -0.0599, -0.0021, 0.0, 0.0568, 0.0705, 0.1578, 0.1177, 0.1177, -0.0108, -0.1056, -0.0087, -0.0266, -0.1193, -0.0118, 0.0061, -0.0203, -0.0413, 0.0261, 0.0219, 0.1125, 0.0672, 0.0608, -0.0171, 0.0387, 0.0482, -0.0171, -0.0171, -0.0803, -0.1499, -0.055, -0.1256, -0.0772, -0.0666, -0.035, 0.0882, 0.0514, 0.0819, 0.0956, 0.162, 0.1967, 0.2168, 0.1883, 0.2283, 0.2894, 0.2884, 0.2905, 0.2873, 0.3611, 0.3695, 0.3621, 0.3548, 0.3548, 0.5244, 0.5244, 0.6866, 0.7424, 0.7761, 0.9805, 0.9331, 1.0816, 1.0753, 0.9163, 0.9384, 0.8383, 0.8383, 1.0437, 1.0448, 1.0448, 1.1617, 1.3629, 1.4118, 1.4581, 1.5092, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2033466880661606646", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-16T08:54:18+00:00", "symbol": "POET Technologies", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$POET commands worth 11x+ more than the company making the laser itself? It's feels like valuing a more advanced $FN (~$20B) packaging at $400B when $LITE is valued at $40B.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long SIVE as an undervalued InP laser play for CPO/silicon photonics comparable to LITE's prior run; POET seen as overvalued vs its laser supplier SIVE.", "resolved_tickers": ["POET"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "POET Technologies trades as POET on NASDAQ", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’m long $SIVE at $140M. \n\nI believe this is the next $LITE that markets and institutions missed.\n\n$SIVE makes InP CW DFB lasers. \n\nClosest comparison is $LITE in the current EML laser bottleneck.\n\nBut instead of supplying to Innolight/Eoptolink for current optical transceivers cycles. \n\nThey supply the lasers to $POET Starlight, Ayar SuperNova.\n\nAnd others for the future CPO/silicon photonics architectures spearheaded by $NVDA. \n\nCurrent valuations make 0 sense to me personally. 

\n\n$POET is advanced packaging for $SIVE type lasers… \n\nBut $POET commands worth 11x+ more than the company making the laser itself?

\n\nIt’s feels like valuing a more advanced $FN (~$20B)  packaging at $400B when $LITE is valued at $40B. 

\n\nSo now at $130m:

-\n\n- You have a likely mini $LITE like laser supplier to Marvell Celestial + hyperscalers through $POET. 

\n\n- Laser supplier to Ayar ( $NVDA, $INTC ), though they do multi source with $LITE, Sumitomo, $MTSI. \n\nAnd other potential up and coming suppliers potentially like Lightmatter that they’ve name dropped (eg. Q2 2023 earnings). This is unconfirmed but supply chain BOM is confidential. 

\n\nOn top, for revenue, they expected $453M \"pipeline next few years”.\n\n

And, they have capacity expansion through WIN: “Win Semi foundry qualification in progress for volume production from Laser designs from Sivers.\"\n\n

Sivers feels the silicon photonics/CPO version of $LITE, with actual rapidly growing customers like Celestial through $POET, Ayar, with more to come. \n\n

I wouldn’t have liked it last year, but just 3 weeks ago, they refinanced all their debt successfully to $12M convertible loan (10.85%) and a $5M term loan (12%), which cleans up debt.

\n\nIt’s $17m total, which feels like nothing to US markets when $AAOI is doing a $500m ATMs every other week.\n\nBest of all, this is their pure play inp laser segment for silicon/photonics + cpo. 

Their Lidar segment is ramping up and they have $53-138M projected revenue coming in. \n\n

Downside risk: \n
- execution (as always) \n
- dilution to scale up capacity to compete with $LITE and others. \n- $LITE, $COHR competition on scale after $NVDA just gave them $4B
- CPO ramp gets delayed. \n\n

I have no clue how, $LWLG, a pre-revenue science project with $TSEM, is valued at $1B+ MC. \n\n

Or how $POET, is worth ~9-10x more than its laser supplier. 

\n\nWhen $SIVE, the mini $LITE equivalent for CPO/Silicon photonics, is valued at $140M.\n\nI do believe this is largely undiscovered by institutions, since this is some random company in OMX Nordic Exchange (similar to micro $AXTI before I started posting about the inp substrate bottleneck). 

\n\nBut I do think it will get a lot of institutional attention as Celestial and Ayar scale up. \n\nEspecially if $POET and $SIVE gets qualified with other customers. 

\n\nIf CPO completely replaces pluggable transceivers in the next generation of hyperscaler architectures. \n\nSivers, with possible WIN Semi qualifcation and if they become the multi-source lasers for NVIDIA, Marvell, Intel, and Broadcom architectures, can be strongly rerated.\n\nJust as how $LITE did today going from $16 -> $622. \n\nThis is just my personal thesis I'm sharing, DYOR/NFI.\n\n TLDR: \n\nInP Lasers are the current bottleneck in photonics as seen with $LITE valuations. 

\n\n$SIVE looks like the mini $LITE for the upcoming CPO/Silicon Photonics ramp. \n\n

I personally took long position in $SIVE, as I believe they’re a large beneficiary of the upcoming silicon photonic/CPO architectural changes by $NVDA (with GTC cataylst). 

\n\nThe upside here just way too compelling for me personally as the next possible $LITE.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.011577413237717438, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011577413237717438, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0015030723446644023, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005151939500989466, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010074340893053035, "bench_c_m1d": -0.016729352738706904, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.049204006260299304, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.049204006260299304, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.051834561130274515, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05671820039662012, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00263055486997521, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0075141941363208176, "ret_p1w": -0.12301011916098736, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12301011916098736, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10528268950655828, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.11651126663025269, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017727429654429083, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006498852530734678, "ret_p1m": -0.02894353309429365, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.02894353309429365, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0697885782636175, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.17638459877378743, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04084504516932386, "bench_c_p1m": 0.14744106567949378, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.136, -0.1129, -0.0188, 0.1013, 0.0347, 0.0159, 0.0159, -0.0145, -0.0535, -0.0564, -0.0839, -0.0839, 0.0362, 0.0753, 0.0637, 0.0781, 0.0535, 0.0695, 0.0434, 0.0333, 0.1708, 0.2026, 0.2012, 0.2012, 0.1925, 0.2113, 0.0043, 0.0, -0.0651, -0.0174, -0.0999, -0.1389, -0.1606, -0.1548, -0.1259, -0.1881, -0.2504, -0.1505, -0.1013, -0.1548, -0.1563, -0.1823, -0.1925, -0.1925, -0.2012, -0.1925, -0.1939, -0.1766, -0.2012, -0.1158, -0.0796, -0.097, -0.1317, 0.0, 0.0188, -0.0101, -0.0391, -0.0912, -0.0318, 0.013, 0.0767, 0.0767, -0.0116, 0.0, -0.0492, -0.1056, -0.0984, -0.1418, -0.123, -0.1693, -0.1172, -0.2055, -0.2489, -0.2648, -0.1404, -0.1896, -0.1158, -0.1158, -0.1201, -0.1375, -0.0999, -0.1201, 0.0188, 0.0564, -0.0289, 0.0087, 0.0622, 0.0507, 0.2431, 0.4834, 0.848, 0.6961, 1.1852, 0.1505, 0.1621, -0.0449, 0.0304, 0.0579, 0.0289, 0.3329, 0.4067, 0.3864, 0.5847, 1.0116, 0.987, 1.0796, 1.9768, 1.3111, 1.0564, 0.8915, 1.1389, 1.1447, 1.1114, 1.1114, 0.932, 0.9219, 0.919, 0.7786, 0.7786, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2026713998281027594", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-25T17:40:46+00:00", "symbol": "XLU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My thesis was this was the once in a lifetime rerating on the most boring sector in the world due to rate cuts, AI inference usage, and grid/power modernization.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long XLU via OTM 2-year LEAPS; thesis: once-in-a-lifetime rerating on utilities from rate cuts + AI inference + grid modernization.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Don’t think people realize how big this move on one of the \n\nSlowest. Moving. Sectors.\n\nIn the world is.\n\n2.56% in a week on $XLU.\n\nEspecially if IV is 14%.\n\nAll time return since year 2000 is 79.73% for the boring power/grid sector (not including dividends).\n\nOption values are easily up double digits or triple digits. \n\nThat being said if IV is elevated (eg. above 17.5%) probably stay away. \n\nMy thesis was this was the once in a lifetime rerating on the most boring sector in the world due to rate cuts, AI inference usage, and grid/power modernization.\n\nHopefully this is the start my thesis playing out.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "If I had to turn $100k -&gt; $1M in 1 year. \n\nIt would be: $XLU OTM 2 year leaps \n\n2026 is the first time in modern history markets have: \n\n-  falling interest rates\n- AI inference + buildout\n\nThere's a potential ~40%  for XLU (1000%+ OTM), from mapping. \n\nHere's my macro thesis: https://t.co/R3Lcbwam38", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0033783106954099473, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0033783106954099473, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00498942834626892, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00498942834626892, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008367739041678868, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008367739041678868, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.003800650226057467, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.003800650226057467, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0017538261655636322, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0017538261655636322, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005554476391621099, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005554476391621099, "ret_p1w": -0.0019003251130287335, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0019003251130287335, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.009670146842640004, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.009670146842640004, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011570471955668737, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011570471955668737, "ret_p1m": -0.036171389550588406, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.036171389550588406, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.030622628270920993, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.030622628270920993, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0667940178215094, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0667940178215094, "ret_p3m": -0.03574621117154975, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03574621117154975, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11441072814365916, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11441072814365916, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07866451697210941, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07866451697210941, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0503, -0.0725, -0.0791, -0.082, -0.0839, -0.0925, -0.1047, -0.1041, -0.1045, -0.098, -0.1024, -0.0942, -0.098, -0.1038, -0.095, -0.1066, -0.1033, -0.1001, -0.0961, -0.0961, -0.0967, -0.095, -0.0929, -0.0986, -0.0986, -0.0883, -0.0984, -0.094, -0.1159, -0.1134, -0.1024, -0.1009, -0.0952, -0.0885, -0.0792, -0.0838, -0.0838, -0.0929, -0.0916, -0.0982, -0.1014, -0.0948, -0.083, -0.0851, -0.0851, -0.0868, -0.1001, -0.087, -0.0904, -0.0899, -0.0847, -0.0819, -0.0667, -0.0585, -0.0446, -0.0182, -0.0182, -0.0207, -0.037, -0.0264, -0.0217, -0.0144, -0.0034, 0.0, -0.0038, 0.0078, 0.0002, -0.0061, -0.0019, -0.0097, -0.0131, -0.0108, -0.0169, -0.0251, -0.0182, -0.0084, -0.0021, -0.0049, -0.0133, -0.0173, -0.0572, -0.0479, -0.0413, -0.0379, -0.0362, -0.0306, -0.0236, -0.0243, -0.0196, -0.0147, -0.0147, -0.0183, -0.0162, -0.0053, 0.0025, -0.0015, -0.0136, -0.0119, -0.0215, -0.0145, -0.0185, -0.0272, -0.0443, -0.046, -0.02, -0.0181, -0.0179, -0.0166, -0.0287, -0.0039, -0.0102, -0.0141, -0.0141, -0.0281, -0.0406, -0.0491, -0.0402, -0.0391, -0.0502, -0.0453, -0.0672, -0.0657, -0.0572, -0.0536, -0.0432, -0.0357, -0.0357, -0.0362, -0.0402, -0.0511, -0.0555, -0.0555, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2032534951930081343", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-13T19:11:09+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Think whatever Zuck is spending on with $META seems to be working", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish META; ~33.5% y/y growth guidance at $1.5T+ scale suggests capex spending is paying off.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@mktoperative They guided ~33.5% y/y growth ($53.5B- $56.5B) as a $1.5T+ company.\n\nThink whatever Zuck is spending on with $META seems to be working.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Or its mkt putting them in penalty box for reckless spending with no ROI insight", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mktoperative", "ret_m1d": 0.03987230081791293, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03987230081791293, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03417997211312174, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03270761023635438, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005692328704791194, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007164690581558553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.023263802449886795, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.023263802449886795, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.013086936338403632, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015574818914825483, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010176866111483163, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007688983535061311, "ret_p1w": -0.03184197997635574, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03184197997635574, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.013800424193308736, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.012444879423387123, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.018041555783047003, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019397100552968616, "ret_p1m": 0.03481010106781279, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03481010106781279, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.003970072229446453, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.028375809419692644, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.038780173297259246, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0064342916481201495, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0708, 0.0583, 0.0827, 0.0734, 0.0779, 0.0835, 0.0877, 0.0877, 0.0808, 0.0733, 0.0851, 0.0756, 0.0756, 0.0598, 0.0735, 0.0764, 0.057, 0.0527, 0.0641, 0.046, 0.0283, 0.0029, 0.0116, 0.0107, 0.0107, -0.0156, -0.0012, 0.0553, 0.0734, 0.0956, 0.0966, 0.0897, 0.203, 0.1675, 0.151, 0.1271, 0.0901, 0.0921, 0.0778, 0.1035, 0.0929, 0.0896, 0.0588, 0.0425, 0.0425, 0.0417, 0.0481, 0.0506, 0.0684, 0.0384, 0.0417, 0.0651, 0.0706, 0.0562, 0.0649, 0.0674, 0.088, 0.0764, 0.0508, 0.0549, 0.0658, 0.0671, 0.0399, 0.0, 0.0233, 0.0155, 0.0041, -0.0106, -0.0318, -0.0149, -0.033, -0.0298, -0.1071, -0.1426, -0.1253, -0.067, -0.0554, -0.0632, -0.0632, -0.0655, -0.0622, -0.0012, 0.0248, 0.0272, 0.0348, 0.0804, 0.0952, 0.1039, 0.1229, 0.0941, 0.0908, 0.1004, 0.075, 0.1009, 0.1067, 0.0948, 0.0912, -0.0021, -0.0072, -0.0045, -0.0134, -0.0005, 0.0059, -0.0058, -0.0234, -0.0166, 0.0056, 0.0086, 0.0017, -0.0032, -0.0172, -0.0133, -0.0095, -0.0048, -0.0048, -0.0014, 0.036, 0.036, 0.0315, 0.0315, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2035695554190033094", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-22T12:30:16+00:00", "symbol": "JBL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "You have $JBL bridging the MASSIVE gap for 1.6 pluggable optical transceivers", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "High-conviction long SIVE post-restructuring as Jabil light source; also bullish JBL and POET in photonics supercycle.", "resolved_tickers": ["JBL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yes in my original post, I published financials. The restructuring February, made $SIVE much more highly compelling. \n\nSo, I see $SIVE being more low risk, high reward. Not high-risk anymore. \n\nAnd it's now my high conviction small cap after they were announced as the light source for Jabil. \n\nYou have $JBL bridging the MASSIVE gap for 1.6 pluggable optical transceivers, rather than waiting for CPO.\n\nThen $POET -> $MRVL Celestial -> $AMZN, $MSFT.\n\nThen Ayar -> AiChip/others -> $AMZN, $MSFT, $META, and others.\n\nThen onet -> Asian supply chains for CPO. \n\nAlso I don't think any revenue forecasts should be accurate given TAM expansion/ramp for photonics supercycles.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Gm, was a great call from you and looks like high risk, high reward. Did you already published dd about the finnlancials from this company (debt,revenue or forecasts)?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Cheva28789724", "ret_m1d": -0.047434848612343816, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.047434848612343816, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03704393416903329, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03704393416903329, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010390914443310528, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010390914443310528, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04176370121742479, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04176370121742479, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04512055096969125, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04512055096969125, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0033568497522664664, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0033568497522664664, "ret_p1w": -0.0705326064750944, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0705326064750944, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03481281947324133, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03481281947324133, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.035719787001853076, "bench_c_p1w": -0.035719787001853076, "ret_p1m": 0.2532110535584864, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2532110535584864, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.17890300045311402, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.17890300045311402, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07430805310537236, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07430805310537236, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1196, -0.1196, -0.1135, -0.1178, -0.1306, -0.1439, -0.1439, -0.0974, -0.1611, -0.1576, -0.1573, -0.1672, -0.1509, -0.1343, -0.1051, -0.0939, -0.0494, -0.0565, -0.0565, -0.0736, -0.0495, -0.0813, -0.0871, -0.0921, -0.0903, -0.0853, -0.0842, -0.1095, -0.0868, -0.0778, -0.1137, -0.092, -0.0304, -0.0014, -0.0278, -0.0198, -0.0571, -0.0442, -0.0442, -0.0333, -0.0215, -0.0143, 0.0181, -0.0187, 0.0, 0.0425, 0.0212, -0.0048, -0.0191, -0.0451, -0.0416, -0.0528, -0.0945, -0.0706, -0.0567, -0.0406, -0.053, -0.0586, -0.031, -0.0147, -0.0285, -0.0036, -0.0474, 0.0, 0.0418, 0.0638, -0.0079, -0.0194, -0.0705, -0.0024, 0.0214, 0.0086, 0.0086, 0.0045, 0.0248, 0.0784, 0.1005, 0.1248, 0.1469, 0.1491, 0.1453, 0.1647, 0.2082, 0.2404, 0.2532, 0.2634, 0.2714, 0.2831, 0.28, 0.2425, 0.2539, 0.2675, 0.2862, 0.28, 0.2667, 0.3984, 0.313, 0.3338, 0.3717, 0.3175, 0.3349, 0.3308, 0.2766, 0.2725, 0.2505, 0.2966, 0.3389, 0.3687, 0.3687, 0.4284, 0.3951, 0.3661, 0.3695, 0.3695, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2035695554190033094", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-22T12:30:16+00:00", "symbol": "POET Technologies", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$POET -> $MRVL Celestial -> $AMZN, $MSFT", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "High-conviction long SIVE post-restructuring as Jabil light source; also bullish JBL and POET in photonics supercycle.", "resolved_tickers": ["POET"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "POET Technologies trades as POET on NASDAQ", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yes in my original post, I published financials. The restructuring February, made $SIVE much more highly compelling. \n\nSo, I see $SIVE being more low risk, high reward. Not high-risk anymore. \n\nAnd it's now my high conviction small cap after they were announced as the light source for Jabil. \n\nYou have $JBL bridging the MASSIVE gap for 1.6 pluggable optical transceivers, rather than waiting for CPO.\n\nThen $POET -> $MRVL Celestial -> $AMZN, $MSFT.\n\nThen Ayar -> AiChip/others -> $AMZN, $MSFT, $META, and others.\n\nThen onet -> Asian supply chains for CPO. \n\nAlso I don't think any revenue forecasts should be accurate given TAM expansion/ramp for photonics supercycles.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Gm, was a great call from you and looks like high risk, high reward. Did you already published dd about the finnlancials from this company (debt,revenue or forecasts)?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Cheva28789724", "ret_m1d": -0.02145216430171959, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02145216430171959, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011061249858409061, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004536804109131931, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010390914443310528, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01691536019258766, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05280530935361738, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05280530935361738, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.049448459601350914, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06105860838066679, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0033568497522664664, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00825329902704941, "ret_p1w": -0.16171617629157753, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.16171617629157753, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.12599638928972445, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08805001814726099, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.035719787001853076, "bench_c_p1w": -0.07366615814431654, "ret_p1m": 0.6914191578851123, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6914191578851123, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.61711110477974, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5041235194597871, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07430805310537236, "bench_c_p1m": 0.18729563842532526, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1584, 0.1584, 0.1238, 0.0792, 0.0759, 0.0446, 0.0446, 0.1815, 0.2261, 0.2129, 0.2294, 0.2013, 0.2195, 0.1898, 0.1782, 0.335, 0.3713, 0.3696, 0.3696, 0.3597, 0.3812, 0.1452, 0.1403, 0.066, 0.1205, 0.0264, -0.0182, -0.0429, -0.0363, -0.0033, -0.0743, -0.1452, -0.0314, 0.0248, -0.0363, -0.038, -0.0677, -0.0792, -0.0792, -0.0891, -0.0792, -0.0809, -0.0611, -0.0891, 0.0083, 0.0495, 0.0297, -0.0099, 0.1403, 0.1617, 0.1287, 0.0957, 0.0363, 0.104, 0.1551, 0.2277, 0.2277, 0.1271, 0.1403, 0.0842, 0.0198, 0.0281, -0.0215, 0.0, -0.0528, 0.0066, -0.0941, -0.1436, -0.1617, -0.0198, -0.0759, 0.0083, 0.0083, 0.0033, -0.0165, 0.0264, 0.0033, 0.1617, 0.2046, 0.1073, 0.1502, 0.2112, 0.198, 0.4175, 0.6914, 1.1073, 0.934, 1.4917, 0.3119, 0.3251, 0.0891, 0.1749, 0.2063, 0.1733, 0.5198, 0.604, 0.5809, 0.8069, 1.2937, 1.2657, 1.3713, 2.3944, 1.6353, 1.3449, 1.1568, 1.4389, 1.4455, 1.4076, 1.4076, 1.203, 1.1914, 1.1881, 1.0281, 1.0281, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2026145776003408348", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-24T04:02:51+00:00", "symbol": "5210.T", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Yamamura glass (TYO: 5210) is a banger. You're basically buying the business for free? And their photonics division is growing 91% Y/Y for optical communication caps.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long Yamamura Glass: buying below book value with a fast-growing AI DC photonics division and 5.5% dividend signaling structural value unlock.", "resolved_tickers": ["5210.T"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWJ", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='T')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Took a closer look: Yamamura glass (TYO: 5210) is a banger. \n\nYou’re basically buying the business for free?\n\nAnd their photonics division is growing 91% Y/Y for optical communication caps.\n\nYou are paying $240M for a company that does $500M sales with $360M+ in actual book value (factories, equipment, cash) and a fast growing AI DC photonics division. \n\nBefore this was a trap but \n\n-> they upped dividend amount to 5.5%, which is the biggest signal that value is now unlocked. And now from their Feb 12th earnings, they confirmed this was structural (not just one off that markets were fearing)\n\nIt’s just wait and chill basically?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.17412933588050095, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.17412933588050095, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1669133321336852, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.17588310138337904, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007216003746815747, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0017537655028780907, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.12562188737098456, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.12562188737098456, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.13406023631456587, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.13888505781874383, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008438348943581309, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013263170447759265, "ret_p1w": -0.200248745605485, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.200248745605485, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.19003573450305034, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.15201898166845995, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.010213011102434666, "bench_c_p1w": -0.04822976393702505, "ret_p1m": -0.24129351452015724, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.24129351452015724, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19948633484485156, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.17026421364881061, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04180717967530567, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07102930087134662, "ret_p3m": -0.34560771480110475, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.34560771480110475, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4333743793604843, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3497729810450536, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08776666455937954, "bench_c_p3m": 0.004165266243948862, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2948, -0.2955, -0.3015, -0.3114, -0.3005, -0.301, -0.301, -0.3047, -0.3114, -0.3055, -0.3077, -0.2886, -0.2816, -0.2913, -0.2913, -0.2898, -0.2719, -0.2789, -0.2706, -0.2692, -0.2609, -0.2537, -0.2438, -0.2463, -0.2463, -0.2463, -0.2463, -0.2363, -0.2488, -0.2376, -0.2338, -0.2289, -0.2289, -0.2152, -0.2139, -0.2065, -0.209, -0.2226, -0.2276, -0.2264, -0.2276, -0.2139, -0.2289, -0.2201, -0.2301, -0.2376, -0.2326, -0.2313, -0.2139, -0.2152, -0.2114, -0.1978, -0.1841, -0.1828, -0.1828, -0.1617, -0.1965, -0.1455, -0.1741, -0.1617, -0.1617, -0.1741, -0.1741, 0.0, -0.1256, -0.1157, -0.1318, -0.1517, -0.2002, -0.245, -0.1928, -0.1915, -0.2338, -0.2226, -0.2226, -0.2425, -0.2326, -0.2239, -0.2239, -0.2114, -0.2525, -0.2525, -0.2779, -0.2609, -0.2413, -0.2525, -0.2525, -0.2772, -0.2834, -0.2691, -0.28, -0.2892, -0.2897, -0.2826, -0.266, -0.2806, -0.2933, -0.2915, -0.2959, -0.2925, -0.2887, -0.3015, -0.2987, -0.304, -0.176, -0.1785, -0.1989, -0.2193, -0.1938, -0.1938, -0.2002, -0.2104, -0.2104, -0.2104, -0.2104, -0.1887, -0.2142, -0.2104, -0.2219, -0.2364, -0.2433, -0.2573, -0.3418, -0.341, -0.354, -0.3448, -0.3456, -0.3469, -0.3431, -0.3395, -0.3538, -0.3482, -0.3535, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2016883354004758910", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-29T14:37:18+00:00", "symbol": "VPG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": "robotics supply chain", "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Pretty interesting figures for such a small company", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish VPG as Optimus ramp supplier; napkin math shows $850M–$8.5B revenue potential vs $589M market cap.", "resolved_tickers": ["VPG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Scientific & Technical Instruments'", "bench_c_industry": "Scientific & Technical Instruments", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Elon Musk from $TSLA earnings: \"We are replacing the Model S and Model X production line in Fremont with a line capable of producing up to 1 million Optimus units per year\"\n\nJust some napkin math on $VPG (a $589M company):\n\n1M * $850 midpoint ($500-$1.2k per robot quoted by CEO from ER) = $850m revenue/year near term. \n\nIf you scale that to Elon's 10m target, $8.5B revenue/year...\n\nOff 50% to 55% gross margins.\n\nPretty interesting figures for such a small company.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "FYI: Markets often miss statements in earnings calls like $TSLA and their second order effects (price them in much later)\n\nThis is probably one of the biggest news for robotic supply chains of Optimus like $VPG.\n\nEspecially that Optimus will ramping up now and that Elon has", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.11929341025826434, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11929341025826434, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1212817383105238, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.135362054188628, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.001988328052259458, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01606864393036367, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005954728676066057, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005954728676066057, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0029721484156628453, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014403276712083413, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0029825802604032114, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02035800538814947, "ret_p1w": 0.032949579440614496, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.032949579440614496, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05660810834769281, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10947975595925497, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023658528907078313, "bench_c_p1w": -0.07653017651864047, "ret_p1m": -0.08554984680257882, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08554984680257882, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07395109013370382, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03033093645538243, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.011598756668874999, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05521891034719639, "ret_p3m": 0.1355696282563208, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1355696282563208, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10733833282990735, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05947322492257112, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02823129542641345, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07609640333374967, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2455, -0.2916, -0.2836, -0.3428, -0.3458, -0.3214, -0.3329, -0.3341, -0.3638, -0.3658, -0.3962, -0.3988, -0.3926, -0.4188, -0.3821, -0.3561, -0.3319, -0.3241, -0.3241, -0.3224, -0.316, -0.3055, -0.2709, -0.2592, -0.2257, -0.2479, -0.2699, -0.239, -0.2261, -0.2473, -0.2445, -0.2344, -0.2447, -0.2418, -0.2306, -0.2312, -0.2185, -0.2166, -0.2166, -0.2122, -0.2221, -0.2273, -0.2358, -0.2358, -0.2203, -0.2191, -0.1794, -0.2054, -0.1985, -0.1729, -0.1753, -0.1761, -0.1697, -0.1326, -0.1344, -0.1344, -0.1322, -0.0709, -0.0514, -0.1239, -0.1475, -0.1072, -0.1193, 0.0, -0.006, 0.0052, 0.0484, 0.0699, 0.0329, 0.1112, 0.0931, 0.0637, -0.0784, -0.0734, -0.1227, -0.1227, -0.0987, -0.0863, -0.0689, -0.0502, -0.0709, -0.0713, -0.0411, -0.0619, -0.0855, -0.023, -0.0556, -0.0675, -0.107, -0.1374, -0.1352, -0.1159, -0.129, -0.1721, -0.186, -0.183, -0.1898, -0.1842, -0.1407, -0.1933, -0.1634, -0.1511, -0.0969, -0.156, -0.1753, -0.1925, -0.1382, -0.1272, -0.1114, -0.1114, -0.0846, -0.0724, -0.0258, -0.0228, -0.0095, 0.0314, 0.0282, 0.0083, 0.0198, 0.0564, 0.0552, 0.0802, 0.1376, 0.1471, 0.2033, 0.1628, 0.1356, 0.1169, 0.1993, 0.1953, 0.1915, 0.2694, 0.2618, 0.2392, 0.3347, 0.322, 0.6985, 0.977, 0.9917, 0.9317, 1.0883, 0.9442, 0.999, 1.0651, 1.258, 1.258, 1.4496, 1.4994, 1.4861, 1.4873, 1.4873, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2024147309949551096", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-18T15:41:40+00:00", "symbol": "SIMO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SIMO for NAND exposure is another trade idea that I took positions in today", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Initiated long SIMO as asymmetric NAND backdoor play: record revenue guide, TAM expansion into NVDA enterprise boot drives, debt-free with ~50% GMs at <20x forward earnings.", "resolved_tickers": ["SIMO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SIMO for NAND exposure is another trade idea that I took positions in today. \n\nSIMO operates effectively as a duopoly (alongside Phison) for merchant controllers and supplies basically: \n\n- Samsung\n- SK Hynix\n- $MU\n- $WDC\n- Kioxia\n- YMTC, and others. \n\n- Revenue: Q4 2025 reached $278.5 million (+46% yoy and +15% qoq).\n- Gross Margins: ~49.2%\n- Net Income: ~$47.7 million (up 107% YoY).\n- Net Cash: $277.1 million, no debt. \n\nBut, management announced 2026 will be the highest revenue year in the company’s history. \n\nThey guided Q1 2026 revenue to between $292m-$306m, which is +76%-84% YoY growth rate for the quarter. \n\nThey also started shipments to a \"Leading AI GPU maker\" likely $NVDA for enterprise boot drives, which is TAM expansion. \n\nMemory makers basically outsourcing parts of the SSD controller spaces (eg. mobile/consumer) as they shift to HBM so now quite a bit is sourced exclusively from Silicon Motion. \n\nSo you have a profitable, debt-free company with ~50% gross margins profiting off of NAND volume demand, while expanding its TAM into high-margin Nvidia and AI enterprise storage pipelines.\n\nWhile it doesn't exactly profit from all the NAND hikes (but can do price hikes of its own), it feels like a pretty asymmetrical tailwind/backdoor plays for memory. \n\nAt a $4.56B MC and under 20x forward earnings (assuming, $1.2B rev/$6.5 EPS), it's a little later to the game. But upside seems compelling given TAM expansion and the memory supercycle.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.010545217043490207, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010545217043490207, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.005532710300532484, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0016714310633398899, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005012506742957723, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012216648106830097, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.003389575181920068, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.003389575181920068, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0007521412415028017, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0023066450470738964, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0026374339404172664, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0056962202289939645, "ret_p1w": 0.07720701584823053, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07720701584823053, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06721116350850331, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04421703579284242, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009995852339727218, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03298998005538811, "ret_p1m": -0.03962028834250342, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03962028834250342, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0010214537717238015, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.003113864819274559, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03859883457077962, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04273415316177798, "ret_p3m": 0.8096596500736686, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.8096596500736686, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.7304259621901426, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.48579590190986455, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07923368788352603, "bench_c_p3m": 0.32386374816380403, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3919, -0.3709, -0.3644, -0.3428, -0.3428, -0.3325, -0.3343, -0.3349, -0.3175, -0.317, -0.3081, -0.3033, -0.2904, -0.2817, -0.3002, -0.3418, -0.3467, -0.3584, -0.3656, -0.3505, -0.334, -0.328, -0.3274, -0.3316, -0.3316, -0.3229, -0.3312, -0.3212, -0.3044, -0.3044, -0.2965, -0.2978, -0.2105, -0.0911, -0.1669, -0.1512, -0.1347, -0.1479, -0.1615, -0.1492, -0.1531, -0.1531, -0.152, -0.116, -0.135, -0.1526, -0.151, -0.1278, -0.1213, -0.1283, -0.1076, -0.1014, -0.0964, -0.0367, -0.0532, -0.0391, 0.0321, -0.0146, 0.0541, 0.0421, 0.0265, 0.0265, -0.0105, 0.0, -0.0034, 0.016, 0.0256, 0.0236, 0.0772, -0.0127, -0.0266, -0.0269, -0.1004, -0.0788, -0.0678, -0.1085, -0.0838, -0.0752, -0.0687, -0.0953, -0.0716, -0.0511, -0.0496, -0.0554, -0.0396, -0.0678, -0.068, -0.1064, -0.1644, -0.1622, -0.171, -0.2057, -0.1542, -0.1189, -0.1421, -0.1421, -0.1218, -0.1186, -0.0829, -0.0434, -0.0456, -0.0509, -0.0197, 0.0472, 0.0319, 0.0524, 0.0447, 0.073, 0.0692, 0.0696, 0.1559, 0.1113, 0.1237, 0.6383, 0.6479, 0.7665, 0.7111, 0.7958, 0.8451, 0.8319, 0.914, 0.9779, 0.9527, 1.0369, 0.9915, 0.9624, 0.8097, 0.909, 0.9475, 0.9889, 1.0842, 1.0842, 1.1913, 1.151, 1.1318, 1.0898, 1.0898, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2024147309949551096", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-18T15:41:40+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "They also started shipments to a \"Leading AI GPU maker\" likely $NVDA for enterprise boot drives, which is TAM expansion", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Initiated long SIMO as asymmetric NAND backdoor play: record revenue guide, TAM expansion into NVDA enterprise boot drives, debt-free with ~50% GMs at <20x forward earnings.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SIMO for NAND exposure is another trade idea that I took positions in today. \n\nSIMO operates effectively as a duopoly (alongside Phison) for merchant controllers and supplies basically: \n\n- Samsung\n- SK Hynix\n- $MU\n- $WDC\n- Kioxia\n- YMTC, and others. \n\n- Revenue: Q4 2025 reached $278.5 million (+46% yoy and +15% qoq).\n- Gross Margins: ~49.2%\n- Net Income: ~$47.7 million (up 107% YoY).\n- Net Cash: $277.1 million, no debt. \n\nBut, management announced 2026 will be the highest revenue year in the company’s history. \n\nThey guided Q1 2026 revenue to between $292m-$306m, which is +76%-84% YoY growth rate for the quarter. \n\nThey also started shipments to a \"Leading AI GPU maker\" likely $NVDA for enterprise boot drives, which is TAM expansion. \n\nMemory makers basically outsourcing parts of the SSD controller spaces (eg. mobile/consumer) as they shift to HBM so now quite a bit is sourced exclusively from Silicon Motion. \n\nSo you have a profitable, debt-free company with ~50% gross margins profiting off of NAND volume demand, while expanding its TAM into high-margin Nvidia and AI enterprise storage pipelines.\n\nWhile it doesn't exactly profit from all the NAND hikes (but can do price hikes of its own), it feels like a pretty asymmetrical tailwind/backdoor plays for memory. \n\nAt a $4.56B MC and under 20x forward earnings (assuming, $1.2B rev/$6.5 EPS), it's a little later to the game. But upside seems compelling given TAM expansion and the memory supercycle.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.016012286921036845, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.016012286921036845, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010999780178079122, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010999780178079122, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005012506742957723, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005012506742957723, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00042552880599477927, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00042552880599477927, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.002211905134422487, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.002211905134422487, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0026374339404172664, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0026374339404172664, "ret_p1w": 0.04032344085742179, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04032344085742179, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03032758851769457, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03032758851769457, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009995852339727218, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009995852339727218, "ret_p1m": -0.05006027377688882, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05006027377688882, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.011461439206109203, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.011461439206109203, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03859883457077962, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03859883457077962, "ret_p3m": 0.18274311032171187, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.18274311032171187, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10350942243818584, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10350942243818584, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07923368788352603, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07923368788352603, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0485, -0.0289, -0.0541, -0.0411, -0.0411, -0.0585, -0.0429, -0.0347, -0.0447, -0.0245, -0.0296, -0.0129, -0.016, -0.0223, -0.0375, -0.0689, -0.0622, -0.0546, -0.0906, -0.0736, -0.0372, -0.0228, 0.0065, 0.0034, 0.0034, 0.0136, 0.0013, -0.0023, -0.0079, -0.0079, 0.0046, 0.0007, -0.0039, 0.006, -0.0156, -0.0166, -0.0162, -0.0115, -0.0257, -0.0049, -0.0093, -0.0093, -0.0527, -0.0248, -0.0167, -0.0016, -0.008, 0.0029, 0.0188, 0.0241, 0.0168, -0.0126, -0.0406, -0.0734, -0.0856, -0.0137, 0.011, 0.003, 0.011, -0.0055, -0.0275, -0.0275, -0.016, 0.0, -0.0004, 0.0098, 0.019, 0.0259, 0.0403, -0.0164, -0.0574, -0.0293, -0.0422, -0.0263, -0.0247, -0.054, -0.0284, -0.0171, -0.0103, -0.0257, -0.0411, -0.0253, -0.0321, -0.0403, -0.0501, -0.0812, -0.0656, -0.0679, -0.0494, -0.089, -0.1088, -0.1213, -0.0722, -0.065, -0.0563, -0.0563, -0.055, -0.0525, -0.0313, -0.0216, 0.0035, 0.0071, 0.0454, 0.058, 0.0552, 0.0729, 0.075, 0.0634, 0.0773, 0.0621, 0.108, 0.1524, 0.1341, 0.1132, 0.0617, 0.0558, 0.0559, 0.0454, 0.1057, 0.1252, 0.1449, 0.1674, 0.1746, 0.2014, 0.2541, 0.1987, 0.1827, 0.1736, 0.1889, 0.1678, 0.1456, 0.1456, 0.1431, 0.131, 0.1398, 0.1233, 0.1233, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2028810725398053326", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-03T12:32:25+00:00", "symbol": "SLOIF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I feel like Soitec ( $SLOIF ) is a free 2-3x if people have the patience to wait a year?", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long Soitec 2-3x over ~1 year as CPO substrate monopoly; demand inflection expected 2027–2028.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLOIF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I feel like Soitec ( $SLOIF ) is a free 2-3x if people have the patience to wait a year? \n\nThey're a genuine monopoly over CPO for substrates. \n\nLot of folks looking at Shin-Etsu but they're just licensing Soitec's stuff.\n\nIt's not a current materials bottleneck like $AXTI, but a demand one (they have none right now since CPO hasn't scaled up).\n\nBut we all know it's coming later in 2027 -> 2028. \n\nMain thing is opportunity cost, but just a matter of when markets want to frontrun it. Still better than your index returns imo?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01633140230583674, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01633140230583674, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00743868036179296, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.022869787244487405, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00889272194404378, "bench_c_m1d": 0.039201189550324145, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005974890311307046, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005974890311307046, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0010804180417776088, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01458463660301823, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007055308353084655, "bench_c_p1d": 0.020559526914325277, "ret_p1w": 0.027484586601834726, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.027484586601834726, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.032114778892002316, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.011451269328741853, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00463019229016759, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016033317273092873, "ret_p1m": 0.21509658303101675, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21509658303101675, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.24934552257124865, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.21276956500874245, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03424893954023189, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0023270180222743075, "ret_p3m": 3.1027684476438298, "ret_signed_p3m": 3.1027684476438298, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.9878008720339233, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.5712131967490057, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11496757560990667, "bench_c_p3m": 0.5315552508948238, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3778, -0.3627, -0.3509, -0.3509, -0.3509, -0.3866, -0.3866, -0.428, -0.4224, -0.439, -0.439, -0.439, -0.439, -0.4822, -0.4822, -0.4822, -0.4822, -0.4682, -0.4662, -0.5107, -0.5107, -0.5107, -0.5107, -0.5107, -0.3926, -0.3926, -0.3677, -0.3677, -0.3203, -0.3203, -0.3189, -0.3089, -0.3089, -0.3509, -0.3509, -0.3509, -0.3499, -0.3105, -0.3105, -0.3105, -0.3302, -0.3677, -0.3876, -0.3884, -0.2557, -0.2731, -0.2653, -0.2653, -0.2653, -0.0936, -0.0936, -0.0936, -0.0936, -0.0936, -0.0773, -0.0773, -0.0773, -0.0773, -0.0815, -0.0815, -0.0004, -0.0004, 0.0163, 0.0, 0.006, -0.0462, -0.0161, -0.0486, 0.0275, 0.2255, 0.3254, 0.3551, 0.4523, 0.4033, 0.4517, 0.287, 0.1677, 0.2083, 0.1824, 0.2667, 0.2213, 0.2249, 0.1743, 0.1862, 0.2151, 0.1595, 0.1595, 0.1701, 0.1641, 0.2398, 0.2746, 0.4778, 0.5602, 0.7435, 0.8231, 1.0426, 1.2505, 1.3651, 1.3103, 1.5692, 1.3902, 1.5891, 1.5855, 1.2974, 1.6439, 2.0229, 2.0175, 2.57, 2.6843, 2.4376, 2.4762, 3.051, 2.8026, 2.4356, 2.669, 2.5212, 2.4372, 2.2549, 2.3446, 2.6644, 2.9434, 3.0876, 3.0876, 2.8441, 2.4893, 3.5029, 3.1028, 3.1028, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2036467416218108244", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-24T15:37:22+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I still think it can 4x again from these levels", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author sees SIVE as next 10x, AAOI another 4x; VNP, SOI, IQE, TSEM, LITE, COHR as varying-conviction longs in photonics/compound semiconductors.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So my 10x moonshot $AXTI ended up landing on the moon. \n\nIf you felt like you missed the rocket: \n\n-> $SIVE is my personal favorite next 10x AXT moonshot at today's prices.   \n-> $AAOI already up 4x since I've mentioned it, but I still think it can 4x again from these levels. \n\nIf you want to play a bit safer:\n-> $VNP is the Western $AXTI \n-> $SOI is the $AXTI for silicon photonics/CPO, but it hasn't really ramped up yet. \n-> $IQE is more binary based on restructuring. \n-> $TSEM, $LITE, $COHR are the steadier compounders. \n\nI haven’t mentioned $VNP (5N Plus) much yet but it’s genuinely one of the most important companies in Western supply chains as the counterbalance to $AXTI.\n\nBasically it supplies: indium, germanium, gallium, tellurium, bismuth. Solar cells for LEO. Substrate feedstock for photonics.\n\nThere's always more opportunities in the market!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$AXTI has now reached the legendary status of $69.69.\n\nWas expecting close to 10x returns in a year and half, not a few months…\n\nEverything from $AAOI to $SIVE are ridiculously outperforming. \n\nAs for AXT valuations at $4B? Is it overvalued. Yes.\n\nWould hyperscalers pay $10B to https://t.co/FGeiljgkSo", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.15926250348229276, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.15926250348229276, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.16263065962868484, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.16263065962868484, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004477630635629115, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004477630635629115, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0010951283117568433, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0010951283117568433, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "ret_p1w": -0.25733103419958103, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.25733103419958103, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2529831272640387, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2529831272640387, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "ret_p1m": 0.311852468544489, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.311852468544489, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.22301014338515213, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.22301014338515213, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.64, -0.6737, -0.6773, -0.6838, -0.6939, -0.6939, -0.6523, -0.6928, -0.661, -0.6659, -0.7102, -0.7011, -0.704, -0.6999, -0.6974, -0.6752, -0.6748, -0.6748, -0.6553, -0.663, -0.6651, -0.6864, -0.6937, -0.6717, -0.6029, -0.6526, -0.6171, -0.6123, -0.5951, -0.6497, -0.6652, -0.6111, -0.5794, -0.5743, -0.5751, -0.6138, -0.6097, -0.6097, -0.6145, -0.6186, -0.5875, -0.5463, -0.5263, -0.506, -0.4897, -0.5286, -0.2605, -0.1, -0.1629, -0.1246, -0.112, -0.1608, -0.0288, 0.0579, 0.1151, -0.0677, -0.15, -0.1741, -0.2421, -0.1867, -0.1052, -0.2314, -0.1593, 0.0, 0.0045, -0.1447, -0.1378, -0.2521, -0.2573, -0.2419, -0.0877, -0.0877, -0.0566, 0.0328, 0.1651, 0.1703, 0.3222, 0.345, 0.2853, 0.2515, 0.3812, 0.3996, 0.4352, 0.3219, 0.3119, 0.2092, 0.4238, 0.2799, 0.2051, 0.3418, 0.443, 0.6112, 0.5187, 0.5853, 0.5675, 0.3832, 0.3076, 0.6234, 0.653, 0.9587, 0.7873, 0.6713, 0.5212, 0.5042, 0.4509, 0.5523, 0.5934, 0.5934, 0.5594, 0.5788, 0.4839, 0.3908, 0.3908, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2036467416218108244", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-24T15:37:22+00:00", "symbol": "VNP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$VNP is the Western $AXTI", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author sees SIVE as next 10x, AAOI another 4x; VNP, SOI, IQE, TSEM, LITE, COHR as varying-conviction longs in photonics/compound semiconductors.", "resolved_tickers": ["VNP.TO"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "5N Plus trades on TSX main board as VNP.TO", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Specialty Chemicals'", "bench_c_industry": "Specialty Chemicals", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So my 10x moonshot $AXTI ended up landing on the moon. \n\nIf you felt like you missed the rocket: \n\n-> $SIVE is my personal favorite next 10x AXT moonshot at today's prices.   \n-> $AAOI already up 4x since I've mentioned it, but I still think it can 4x again from these levels. \n\nIf you want to play a bit safer:\n-> $VNP is the Western $AXTI \n-> $SOI is the $AXTI for silicon photonics/CPO, but it hasn't really ramped up yet. \n-> $IQE is more binary based on restructuring. \n-> $TSEM, $LITE, $COHR are the steadier compounders. \n\nI haven’t mentioned $VNP (5N Plus) much yet but it’s genuinely one of the most important companies in Western supply chains as the counterbalance to $AXTI.\n\nBasically it supplies: indium, germanium, gallium, tellurium, bismuth. Solar cells for LEO. Substrate feedstock for photonics.\n\nThere's always more opportunities in the market!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$AXTI has now reached the legendary status of $69.69.\n\nWas expecting close to 10x returns in a year and half, not a few months…\n\nEverything from $AAOI to $SIVE are ridiculously outperforming. \n\nAs for AXT valuations at $4B? Is it overvalued. Yes.\n\nWould hyperscalers pay $10B to https://t.co/FGeiljgkSo", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06640622492592974, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06640622492592974, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06977438107232181, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04783034233136563, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "bench_c_m1d": -0.018575882594564108, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0444711417224275, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0444711417224275, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03889838277504154, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.024656919444705938, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01981422227772156, "ret_p1w": -0.04807687899064572, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04807687899064572, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0437289720551034, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07944943696439821, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03137255797375249, "ret_p1m": 0.003906282238090197, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.003906282238090197, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08493604292124668, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06585638060794796, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06976266284603816, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4498, -0.4498, -0.4564, -0.463, -0.4675, -0.4675, -0.4591, -0.4411, -0.4486, -0.4531, -0.4144, -0.3963, -0.3774, -0.381, -0.3924, -0.3786, -0.3858, -0.3957, -0.4056, -0.4324, -0.4285, -0.4189, -0.4318, -0.4231, -0.4132, -0.3014, -0.2764, -0.2335, -0.1914, -0.1683, -0.2299, -0.168, -0.1743, -0.1827, -0.1662, -0.2109, -0.1671, -0.1671, -0.186, -0.177, -0.1584, -0.1154, -0.1487, -0.1202, -0.1007, -0.0853, -0.1088, -0.0718, -0.0667, -0.0862, -0.1406, -0.1505, -0.152, -0.1235, -0.1205, -0.1283, -0.1385, -0.0956, -0.0769, -0.0956, -0.1268, -0.1217, -0.0664, 0.0, 0.0445, -0.0039, -0.0069, -0.0998, -0.0481, -0.0267, -0.0454, -0.0454, -0.0541, -0.049, 0.0204, 0.0231, 0.0658, 0.0751, 0.043, 0.0207, 0.0114, 0.0087, 0.0448, 0.0093, 0.0039, -0.0084, 0.0006, -0.0096, -0.0352, -0.0574, -0.0153, 0.0505, 0.0649, 0.0577, 0.0832, 0.1205, 0.1298, 0.1581, 0.1764, 0.2109, 0.2124, 0.2028, 0.2028, 0.2548, 0.3008, 0.2945, 0.3441, 0.3606, 0.4318, 0.3792, 0.3603, 0.2843, 0.2843, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2036467416218108244", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-03-24T15:37:22+00:00", "symbol": "IQE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$IQE is more binary based on restructuring", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author sees SIVE as next 10x, AAOI another 4x; VNP, SOI, IQE, TSEM, LITE, COHR as varying-conviction longs in photonics/compound semiconductors.", "resolved_tickers": ["IQE.L"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "IQE plc LSE-listed epiwafer supplier", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So my 10x moonshot $AXTI ended up landing on the moon. \n\nIf you felt like you missed the rocket: \n\n-> $SIVE is my personal favorite next 10x AXT moonshot at today's prices.   \n-> $AAOI already up 4x since I've mentioned it, but I still think it can 4x again from these levels. \n\nIf you want to play a bit safer:\n-> $VNP is the Western $AXTI \n-> $SOI is the $AXTI for silicon photonics/CPO, but it hasn't really ramped up yet. \n-> $IQE is more binary based on restructuring. \n-> $TSEM, $LITE, $COHR are the steadier compounders. \n\nI haven’t mentioned $VNP (5N Plus) much yet but it’s genuinely one of the most important companies in Western supply chains as the counterbalance to $AXTI.\n\nBasically it supplies: indium, germanium, gallium, tellurium, bismuth. Solar cells for LEO. Substrate feedstock for photonics.\n\nThere's always more opportunities in the market!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$AXTI has now reached the legendary status of $69.69.\n\nWas expecting close to 10x returns in a year and half, not a few months…\n\nEverything from $AAOI to $SIVE are ridiculously outperforming. \n\nAs for AXT valuations at $4B? Is it overvalued. Yes.\n\nWould hyperscalers pay $10B to https://t.co/FGeiljgkSo", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08023480619471024, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08023480619471024, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08360296234110232, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07204906652491327, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008185739669796965, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.15459886030876802, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.15459886030876802, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.14902610136138206, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.14337203571388435, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011226824594883666, "ret_p1w": -0.04500977114951088, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04500977114951088, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04066186421396856, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01665121531875391, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02835855583075697, "ret_p1m": 1.4500978607983335, "ret_signed_p1m": 1.4500978607983335, "alpha_spy_p1m": 1.3612555356389966, "alpha_c_p1m": 1.241679018461661, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2084188423366724, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.8057, -0.8057, -0.8057, -0.8043, -0.8043, -0.8043, -0.7984, -0.8031, -0.8012, -0.7816, -0.7593, -0.7127, -0.5914, -0.6137, -0.6477, -0.681, -0.6928, -0.6505, -0.6951, -0.701, -0.6947, -0.6857, -0.7006, -0.7002, -0.6861, -0.6967, -0.6904, -0.6857, -0.6986, -0.6888, -0.6943, -0.69, -0.6802, -0.6086, -0.5992, -0.5969, -0.5851, -0.589, -0.5843, -0.5906, -0.5937, -0.5898, -0.4998, -0.5225, -0.373, -0.2172, -0.2564, 0.002, 0.0176, 0.0509, -0.1605, -0.2305, -0.2532, -0.1115, -0.0489, -0.1115, -0.09, -0.0959, -0.1546, 0.0, -0.1057, -0.0763, -0.0802, 0.0, 0.1546, 0.0411, -0.0411, -0.0959, -0.045, -0.0176, -0.0763, -0.0763, -0.0763, -0.002, 0.1233, 0.1742, 0.4481, 0.9217, 0.8708, 1.1135, 1.2935, 1.0391, 1.2935, 1.4658, 1.4501, 0.9472, 0.863, 0.9335, 0.5753, 0.5812, 0.6928, 0.6106, 0.6106, 0.9569, 0.7436, 0.7867, 0.8434, 1.1331, 0.8454, 0.9765, 0.9413, 0.8004, 0.5303, 0.2524, 0.4697, 0.5597, 0.7906, 0.7906, 1.1135, 0.9843, 0.865, 0.8591, 0.8591, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2036467416218108244", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2026-03-24T15:37:22+00:00", "symbol": "TSEM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSEM, $LITE, $COHR are the steadier compounders", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author sees SIVE as next 10x, AAOI another 4x; VNP, SOI, IQE, TSEM, LITE, COHR as varying-conviction longs in photonics/compound semiconductors.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSEM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So my 10x moonshot $AXTI ended up landing on the moon. \n\nIf you felt like you missed the rocket: \n\n-> $SIVE is my personal favorite next 10x AXT moonshot at today's prices.   \n-> $AAOI already up 4x since I've mentioned it, but I still think it can 4x again from these levels. \n\nIf you want to play a bit safer:\n-> $VNP is the Western $AXTI \n-> $SOI is the $AXTI for silicon photonics/CPO, but it hasn't really ramped up yet. \n-> $IQE is more binary based on restructuring. \n-> $TSEM, $LITE, $COHR are the steadier compounders. \n\nI haven’t mentioned $VNP (5N Plus) much yet but it’s genuinely one of the most important companies in Western supply chains as the counterbalance to $AXTI.\n\nBasically it supplies: indium, germanium, gallium, tellurium, bismuth. Solar cells for LEO. Substrate feedstock for photonics.\n\nThere's always more opportunities in the market!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$AXTI has now reached the legendary status of $69.69.\n\nWas expecting close to 10x returns in a year and half, not a few months…\n\nEverything from $AAOI to $SIVE are ridiculously outperforming. \n\nAs for AXT valuations at $4B? Is it overvalued. Yes.\n\nWould hyperscalers pay $10B to https://t.co/FGeiljgkSo", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0480588546035432, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0480588546035432, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.051427010749935276, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.051427010749935276, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04380045264982413, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04380045264982413, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03822769370243817, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03822769370243817, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "ret_p1w": -0.029532194339008, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.029532194339008, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.025184287403465677, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.025184287403465677, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "ret_p1m": 0.13980753099942445, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13980753099942445, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05096520584008757, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05096520584008757, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3227, -0.3275, -0.3302, -0.3327, -0.3506, -0.3506, -0.3267, -0.3403, -0.3237, -0.3241, -0.3511, -0.3362, -0.3292, -0.3099, -0.3187, -0.3142, -0.282, -0.282, -0.2866, -0.2621, -0.2812, -0.2887, -0.2974, -0.2666, -0.2317, -0.255, -0.2549, -0.2429, -0.2457, -0.3293, -0.2861, -0.2311, -0.1841, -0.2447, -0.2565, -0.2613, -0.288, -0.288, -0.2933, -0.2902, -0.3039, -0.2895, -0.2953, -0.3031, -0.3033, -0.3151, -0.3094, -0.2335, -0.3058, -0.317, -0.3334, -0.3884, -0.3615, -0.3536, -0.3395, -0.3444, -0.3103, -0.2342, -0.2376, -0.2149, -0.0815, -0.0951, -0.0481, 0.0, 0.0438, -0.034, -0.0492, -0.123, -0.0295, 0.0346, 0.0939, 0.0939, 0.0518, 0.0555, 0.1264, 0.1272, 0.1259, 0.1584, 0.1841, 0.1925, 0.1876, 0.2524, 0.2415, 0.1985, 0.1398, 0.1131, 0.1091, 0.1245, 0.0704, 0.1015, 0.2225, 0.2057, 0.1894, 0.2473, 0.1994, 0.1614, 0.167, 0.2658, 0.2213, 0.4975, 0.5523, 0.5152, 0.3719, 0.3897, 0.4627, 0.543, 0.5675, 0.5675, 0.5957, 0.5363, 0.5236, 0.4115, 0.4115, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2036467416218108244", "ticker_idx": 6, "ts": "2026-03-24T15:37:22+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSEM, $LITE, $COHR are the steadier compounders", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author sees SIVE as next 10x, AAOI another 4x; VNP, SOI, IQE, TSEM, LITE, COHR as varying-conviction longs in photonics/compound semiconductors.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So my 10x moonshot $AXTI ended up landing on the moon. \n\nIf you felt like you missed the rocket: \n\n-> $SIVE is my personal favorite next 10x AXT moonshot at today's prices.   \n-> $AAOI already up 4x since I've mentioned it, but I still think it can 4x again from these levels. \n\nIf you want to play a bit safer:\n-> $VNP is the Western $AXTI \n-> $SOI is the $AXTI for silicon photonics/CPO, but it hasn't really ramped up yet. \n-> $IQE is more binary based on restructuring. \n-> $TSEM, $LITE, $COHR are the steadier compounders. \n\nI haven’t mentioned $VNP (5N Plus) much yet but it’s genuinely one of the most important companies in Western supply chains as the counterbalance to $AXTI.\n\nBasically it supplies: indium, germanium, gallium, tellurium, bismuth. Solar cells for LEO. Substrate feedstock for photonics.\n\nThere's always more opportunities in the market!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$AXTI has now reached the legendary status of $69.69.\n\nWas expecting close to 10x returns in a year and half, not a few months…\n\nEverything from $AAOI to $SIVE are ridiculously outperforming. \n\nAs for AXT valuations at $4B? Is it overvalued. Yes.\n\nWould hyperscalers pay $10B to https://t.co/FGeiljgkSo", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.09107342849254063, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09107342849254063, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09444158463893271, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09444158463893271, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03094802631759197, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03094802631759197, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03652078526497793, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03652078526497793, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "ret_p1w": -0.12372969946888102, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12372969946888102, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1193817925333387, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1193817925333387, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "ret_p1m": 0.0892903729766441, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0892903729766441, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.00044804781730722887, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.00044804781730722887, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5063, -0.5127, -0.5354, -0.5372, -0.5404, -0.5404, -0.5186, -0.5548, -0.5045, -0.5101, -0.5658, -0.5618, -0.5762, -0.5495, -0.5865, -0.572, -0.5957, -0.5957, -0.5551, -0.5481, -0.558, -0.5771, -0.5855, -0.5378, -0.5199, -0.5244, -0.5114, -0.472, -0.4575, -0.4195, -0.371, -0.3117, -0.2804, -0.3003, -0.2841, -0.2725, -0.2983, -0.2983, -0.2513, -0.259, -0.2074, -0.1674, -0.1587, -0.1418, -0.098, -0.1558, -0.126, -0.0234, -0.1341, -0.1511, -0.1885, -0.3037, -0.2011, -0.1621, -0.1621, -0.2318, -0.2238, -0.2209, -0.1901, -0.1262, -0.0372, -0.1193, -0.0911, 0.0, -0.0309, -0.1411, -0.1238, -0.1835, -0.1237, -0.0466, 0.031, 0.031, -0.037, 0.0172, 0.1172, 0.1149, 0.1188, 0.0863, 0.0633, 0.0275, 0.1113, 0.1148, 0.1161, 0.0436, 0.0893, 0.056, 0.0993, 0.0719, -0.0132, 0.0702, 0.1251, 0.1845, 0.2172, 0.2401, 0.1774, 0.113, 0.1269, 0.3131, 0.2374, 0.2848, 0.2492, 0.2104, 0.1035, 0.1099, 0.0824, 0.2026, 0.1807, 0.1807, 0.1357, 0.1251, 0.0731, 0.066, 0.066, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2036467416218108244", "ticker_idx": 7, "ts": "2026-03-24T15:37:22+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSEM, $LITE, $COHR are the steadier compounders", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author sees SIVE as next 10x, AAOI another 4x; VNP, SOI, IQE, TSEM, LITE, COHR as varying-conviction longs in photonics/compound semiconductors.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So my 10x moonshot $AXTI ended up landing on the moon. \n\nIf you felt like you missed the rocket: \n\n-> $SIVE is my personal favorite next 10x AXT moonshot at today's prices.   \n-> $AAOI already up 4x since I've mentioned it, but I still think it can 4x again from these levels. \n\nIf you want to play a bit safer:\n-> $VNP is the Western $AXTI \n-> $SOI is the $AXTI for silicon photonics/CPO, but it hasn't really ramped up yet. \n-> $IQE is more binary based on restructuring. \n-> $TSEM, $LITE, $COHR are the steadier compounders. \n\nI haven’t mentioned $VNP (5N Plus) much yet but it’s genuinely one of the most important companies in Western supply chains as the counterbalance to $AXTI.\n\nBasically it supplies: indium, germanium, gallium, tellurium, bismuth. Solar cells for LEO. Substrate feedstock for photonics.\n\nThere's always more opportunities in the market!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$AXTI has now reached the legendary status of $69.69.\n\nWas expecting close to 10x returns in a year and half, not a few months…\n\nEverything from $AAOI to $SIVE are ridiculously outperforming. \n\nAs for AXT valuations at $4B? Is it overvalued. Yes.\n\nWould hyperscalers pay $10B to https://t.co/FGeiljgkSo", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06345237165398376, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06345237165398376, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06682052780037584, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06682052780037584, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0010648038836765794, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0010648038836765794, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006637562831062538, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006637562831062538, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "ret_p1w": -0.12528910344342248, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12528910344342248, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.12094119650788016, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12094119650788016, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "ret_p1m": 0.2869313645256697, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2869313645256697, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.19808903936633282, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.19808903936633282, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2973, -0.296, -0.3059, -0.314, -0.3223, -0.3223, -0.2864, -0.3157, -0.2872, -0.2964, -0.3642, -0.3462, -0.32, -0.3022, -0.3239, -0.2804, -0.2985, -0.2985, -0.2896, -0.2602, -0.2556, -0.2768, -0.2738, -0.2142, -0.188, -0.2074, -0.2209, -0.1832, -0.1584, -0.2252, -0.2317, -0.164, -0.1097, -0.1614, -0.1786, -0.2065, -0.2023, -0.2023, -0.1923, -0.1779, -0.1463, -0.0887, -0.0861, -0.0642, -0.0163, -0.0815, -0.0492, 0.0976, 0.0311, 0.0093, -0.0678, -0.1344, -0.0735, -0.0429, -0.0768, -0.1141, -0.1086, -0.0917, -0.0974, -0.0555, 0.0119, -0.0687, -0.0635, 0.0, -0.0011, -0.1066, -0.1059, -0.1934, -0.1253, -0.0901, -0.052, -0.052, -0.0702, -0.0633, 0.0347, 0.0435, 0.1291, 0.1307, 0.1509, 0.1317, 0.2044, 0.2669, 0.2761, 0.2624, 0.2869, 0.24, 0.2341, 0.1807, 0.1162, 0.1197, 0.174, 0.2099, 0.2114, 0.2328, 0.2656, 0.1721, 0.2311, 0.3942, 0.3734, 0.4824, 0.4869, 0.4044, 0.3323, 0.2985, 0.3164, 0.388, 0.3864, 0.3864, 0.4003, 0.396, 0.3842, 0.3273, 0.3273, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2029270327247962447", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-04T18:58:42+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "all your space stocks from $RKLB to $ASTS are going to be parabolic around the time of IPO day", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Space stocks RKLB and ASTS expected to go parabolic around SpaceX IPO day (~3 months out), with RKLB particularly undervalued vs SpaceX.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "SpaceX to be valued at $1.75T ahead of June IPO (3M from now).\n\nHaving a weird feeling all your space stocks from $RKLB to $ASTS are going to be parabolic around the time of IPO day.\n\nEspecially when everyone see SpaceX's next biggest competitor in Rocketlab valued at 2.3% of SpaceX's valuation.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02475325153723118, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02475325153723118, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017747371825795333, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0217413531603885, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007005879711435847, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003011898376842681, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02656102857516318, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02656102857516318, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02098548172876935, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00434131068857202, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005575546846393831, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02221971788659116, "ret_p1w": 0.000695249893160943, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.000695249893160943, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.013539481802536502, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03751967926985267, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012844231909375559, "bench_c_p1w": -0.036824429376691725, "ret_p1m": -0.05812821710894023, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05812821710894023, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01797688338964687, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.008586675409844036, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04015133371929336, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06671489251878426, "ret_p3m": 0.9952717065865087, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.9952717065865087, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.8881154596934762, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.0086462501539488, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10715624689303249, "bench_c_p3m": -0.013374543567440056, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3178, -0.283, -0.257, -0.2001, -0.1165, -0.1449, -0.2295, -0.2283, -0.2496, -0.1667, -0.0193, 0.0784, 0.0733, 0.0733, 0.0733, -0.0175, -0.0249, -0.0203, -0.0299, -0.0299, 0.0567, 0.0866, 0.1964, 0.1692, 0.1553, 0.1799, 0.2224, 0.204, 0.2766, 0.2621, 0.3392, 0.3392, 0.2399, 0.2212, 0.2235, 0.2363, 0.1192, 0.2098, 0.2317, 0.1915, 0.1135, 0.0312, 0.1302, 0.0167, -0.0777, 0.0057, 0.0547, 0.0017, -0.0318, -0.082, -0.0622, -0.0622, -0.0281, 0.0349, 0.0649, -0.0146, -0.0236, -0.027, -0.0238, 0.0103, -0.0391, -0.0131, -0.0248, 0.0, -0.0266, -0.025, -0.006, -0.0414, 0.0007, -0.0492, -0.0487, -0.0083, 0.0929, -0.0338, 0.0003, -0.0651, -0.0544, -0.0812, 0.0135, -0.083, -0.1527, -0.2021, -0.1069, -0.0889, -0.0581, -0.0581, -0.059, -0.0777, -0.0394, -0.0719, -0.0537, -0.0179, 0.0043, 0.0235, 0.1532, 0.1793, 0.2441, 0.2048, 0.2521, 0.1765, 0.1081, 0.1443, 0.0929, 0.0711, 0.1474, 0.096, 0.1168, 0.0953, 0.1772, 0.0928, 0.4667, 0.6319, 0.6348, 0.7265, 0.8433, 0.7351, 0.8239, 0.7704, 0.8673, 0.7445, 0.8879, 0.8879, 0.9914, 1.0891, 1.0585, 0.9953, 0.9953, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2029270327247962447", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-04T18:58:42+00:00", "symbol": "ASTS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "all your space stocks from $RKLB to $ASTS are going to be parabolic around the time of IPO day", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Space stocks RKLB and ASTS expected to go parabolic around SpaceX IPO day (~3 months out), with RKLB particularly undervalued vs SpaceX.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASTS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "SpaceX to be valued at $1.75T ahead of June IPO (3M from now).\n\nHaving a weird feeling all your space stocks from $RKLB to $ASTS are going to be parabolic around the time of IPO day.\n\nEspecially when everyone see SpaceX's next biggest competitor in Rocketlab valued at 2.3% of SpaceX's valuation.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.11640765712195877, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11640765712195877, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.10940177741052293, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.10940177741052293, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007005879711435847, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007005879711435847, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.1051577733194784, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.1051577733194784, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.09958222647308457, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.09958222647308457, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005575546846393831, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005575546846393831, "ret_p1w": -0.15902374299014366, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.15902374299014366, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1461795110807681, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1461795110807681, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012844231909375559, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012844231909375559, "ret_p1m": -0.11697966168810303, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11697966168810303, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07682832796880967, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07682832796880967, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04015133371929336, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04015133371929336, "ret_p3m": 0.08122799429915695, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08122799429915695, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.025928252593875545, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.025928252593875545, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10715624689303249, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10715624689303249, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2953, -0.2945, -0.3056, -0.2464, -0.192, -0.2688, -0.3535, -0.3482, -0.4102, -0.3714, -0.277, -0.1755, -0.1832, -0.2559, -0.2559, -0.314, -0.3186, -0.288, -0.3076, -0.3076, -0.2042, -0.1332, -0.0706, -0.1827, -0.1366, -0.0688, -0.062, -0.116, -0.0922, -0.0347, 0.1037, 0.1037, 0.072, -0.0133, 0.1094, 0.0828, -0.001, 0.0615, 0.1558, 0.164, 0.0603, -0.0032, 0.1036, -0.0133, -0.1108, -0.0296, -0.0264, -0.0822, -0.076, -0.2161, -0.2134, -0.2134, -0.2084, -0.1951, -0.1763, -0.2354, -0.2001, -0.1818, -0.2148, -0.1824, -0.245, -0.1713, -0.1164, 0.0, -0.1052, -0.147, -0.1442, -0.1655, -0.159, -0.1697, -0.1769, -0.1504, -0.0876, -0.1349, -0.103, -0.1426, -0.157, -0.1708, -0.0842, -0.1624, -0.25, -0.2962, -0.2099, -0.1993, -0.117, -0.117, -0.0961, -0.1175, -0.0804, -0.1266, -0.0952, -0.0564, -0.1556, -0.1714, -0.133, -0.1846, -0.2278, -0.2372, -0.1929, -0.2492, -0.2716, -0.264, -0.3147, -0.3341, -0.2955, -0.3241, -0.3476, -0.3911, -0.3262, -0.377, -0.2845, -0.213, -0.3044, -0.2868, -0.2086, -0.2023, -0.1722, -0.1601, -0.146, -0.0826, 0.0092, 0.0092, 0.1412, 0.2356, 0.2689, 0.0812, 0.0812, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2024138627417293107", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-18T15:07:10+00:00", "symbol": "IONQ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I've been bear posting $IONQ, $RGTI, $QBTS since the dawn of time", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Ongoing bear on IONQ/RGTI/QBTS; initiated long INFQ as preferred pure-play quantum exposure with sensing applications.", "resolved_tickers": ["IONQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you've read my previous posts, I've been bear posting $IONQ, $RGTI, $QBTS since the dawn of time.\n\nHowever, just from industry discussions, everyone I've talked to seems to know it's coming. It's feels like a matter of time, whether it's 2 years or 5. \n\nI've been watching $GOOGL Willow and other breakthroughs, but there hasn't been any pure play exposure I thought it was worth to take the risk on. But  decided to pull the trigger with $INFQ.\n\nAs for \"applications\" it's largely national security and doesn't feel very commercial. Eg. breaking encryption, so Governments have a huge incentive to fund research into this area. But you can see other applications with $INFQ + quantum sensing.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit There is no quantum computing market. None of it has real application, not now, not in 20 years, besides breaking old at-rest encrypted data (which is not going to be a big industry fwiw)", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "playerTwoQ", "ret_m1d": -0.004799035593276435, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004799035593276435, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.000213471149681288, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005349275027429323, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005012506742957723, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010148310620705758, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0026994646723450533, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0026994646723450533, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00533689861276232, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007667149458878142, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0026374339404172664, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004967684786533089, "ret_p1w": 0.007498500265621377, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.007498500265621377, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.002497352074105841, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.007404554093978, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009995852339727218, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014903054359599377, "ret_p1m": -0.04319137754850433, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04319137754850433, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.004592542977724712, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.025591431325876823, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03859883457077962, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017599946222627505, "ret_p3m": 0.47900423358167, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.47900423358167, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.39977054569814396, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24008014966728441, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07923368788352603, "bench_c_p3m": 0.23892408391438558, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.251, 0.4025, 0.4115, 0.4067, 0.4067, 0.4787, 0.4133, 0.4076, 0.4592, 0.6425, 0.5804, 0.6305, 0.6329, 0.5498, 0.5762, 0.5102, 0.3818, 0.4898, 0.3752, 0.3929, 0.4541, 0.6155, 0.5414, 0.4943, 0.4943, 0.3797, 0.3572, 0.359, 0.3458, 0.3458, 0.4028, 0.461, 0.5225, 0.4931, 0.5132, 0.4832, 0.5282, 0.4679, 0.5261, 0.4265, 0.5237, 0.5237, 0.5195, 0.4496, 0.4796, 0.4172, 0.3008, 0.3644, 0.3737, 0.2969, 0.1992, 0.1566, 0.1539, 0.06, -0.0873, 0.0495, 0.0642, 0.0555, 0.0081, -0.0612, 0.0231, 0.0231, -0.0048, 0.0, 0.0027, -0.0432, -0.0768, -0.0516, 0.0075, 0.2262, 0.1509, 0.15, 0.1113, 0.1137, 0.0804, 0.0717, 0.0759, 0.0534, 0.0279, -0.0093, -0.0108, -0.0015, -0.0009, -0.0288, -0.0432, -0.0642, -0.0069, -0.0192, -0.0414, -0.105, -0.1749, -0.2025, -0.1353, -0.1665, -0.1212, -0.1212, -0.123, -0.1455, -0.1305, -0.1578, -0.1365, -0.1074, 0.0726, 0.2972, 0.3401, 0.3824, 0.4493, 0.3881, 0.4205, 0.3086, 0.2804, 0.3149, 0.2921, 0.263, 0.3533, 0.3857, 0.3722, 0.4397, 0.5768, 0.4301, 0.4769, 0.7064, 0.6758, 0.6575, 0.7238, 0.5582, 0.479, 0.4529, 0.5738, 0.7663, 0.9088, 0.9088, 0.9082, 0.9616, 1.1038, 1.1617, 1.1617, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2024138627417293107", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-18T15:07:10+00:00", "symbol": "RGTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I've been bear posting $IONQ, $RGTI, $QBTS since the dawn of time", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Ongoing bear on IONQ/RGTI/QBTS; initiated long INFQ as preferred pure-play quantum exposure with sensing applications.", "resolved_tickers": ["RGTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you've read my previous posts, I've been bear posting $IONQ, $RGTI, $QBTS since the dawn of time.\n\nHowever, just from industry discussions, everyone I've talked to seems to know it's coming. It's feels like a matter of time, whether it's 2 years or 5. \n\nI've been watching $GOOGL Willow and other breakthroughs, but there hasn't been any pure play exposure I thought it was worth to take the risk on. But  decided to pull the trigger with $INFQ.\n\nAs for \"applications\" it's largely national security and doesn't feel very commercial. Eg. breaking encryption, so Governments have a huge incentive to fund research into this area. But you can see other applications with $INFQ + quantum sensing.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit There is no quantum computing market. None of it has real application, not now, not in 20 years, besides breaking old at-rest encrypted data (which is not going to be a big industry fwiw)", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "playerTwoQ", "ret_m1d": -0.036464780065495805, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.036464780065495805, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03145227332253808, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.026316469444790047, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005012506742957723, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010148310620705758, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.025957977031656254, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.025957977031656254, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02859541097207352, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.030925661818189343, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0026374339404172664, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004967684786533089, "ret_p1w": 0.08961673845747598, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08961673845747598, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07962088611774876, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0747136840978766, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009995852339727218, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014903054359599377, "ret_p1m": -0.04758964420522038, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04758964420522038, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.008990809634440766, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.029989697982592878, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03859883457077962, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017599946222627505, "ret_p3m": 0.027194099243426306, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.027194099243426306, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05203958864009972, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.21172998467095927, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07923368788352603, "bench_c_p3m": 0.23892408391438558, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.458, 0.6422, 0.6119, 0.5803, 0.5803, 0.5803, 0.4493, 0.4759, 0.6094, 0.8578, 0.7373, 0.7466, 0.7441, 0.6143, 0.6613, 0.597, 0.4543, 0.4808, 0.3888, 0.4104, 0.4685, 0.6613, 0.5519, 0.5148, 0.5148, 0.3832, 0.3764, 0.385, 0.369, 0.369, 0.4586, 0.5457, 0.5686, 0.5581, 0.5606, 0.5278, 0.5779, 0.5124, 0.5896, 0.5266, 0.5834, 0.5834, 0.5445, 0.4629, 0.5426, 0.4493, 0.3449, 0.3789, 0.3603, 0.2268, 0.123, 0.0946, 0.1255, 0.0624, -0.0745, 0.0946, 0.0871, 0.0488, 0.0155, -0.0735, -0.0056, -0.0056, -0.0365, 0.0, 0.026, -0.0161, -0.0099, 0.0185, 0.0896, 0.152, 0.0766, 0.0933, 0.0482, 0.0977, 0.0488, 0.0513, 0.0878, 0.0501, 0.047, -0.0068, -0.0006, -0.0025, 0.0025, -0.0315, -0.0476, -0.0803, -0.0185, -0.0358, -0.0643, -0.1094, -0.1768, -0.2027, -0.1323, -0.1656, -0.123, -0.123, -0.1224, -0.1446, -0.102, -0.1156, -0.0927, -0.0649, 0.0426, 0.1811, 0.2021, 0.2244, 0.2138, 0.1279, 0.136, 0.042, 0.0266, 0.0451, 0.013, -0.0062, 0.0785, 0.0816, 0.0939, 0.1292, 0.2417, 0.1335, 0.1706, 0.2676, 0.1786, 0.1381, 0.191, 0.1032, 0.0272, -0.0136, 0.0433, 0.3622, 0.6329, 0.6329, 0.5491, 0.5216, 0.6706, 0.5785, 0.5785, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2024138627417293107", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-18T15:07:10+00:00", "symbol": "QBTS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I've been bear posting $IONQ, $RGTI, $QBTS since the dawn of time", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Ongoing bear on IONQ/RGTI/QBTS; initiated long INFQ as preferred pure-play quantum exposure with sensing applications.", "resolved_tickers": ["QBTS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you've read my previous posts, I've been bear posting $IONQ, $RGTI, $QBTS since the dawn of time.\n\nHowever, just from industry discussions, everyone I've talked to seems to know it's coming. It's feels like a matter of time, whether it's 2 years or 5. \n\nI've been watching $GOOGL Willow and other breakthroughs, but there hasn't been any pure play exposure I thought it was worth to take the risk on. But  decided to pull the trigger with $INFQ.\n\nAs for \"applications\" it's largely national security and doesn't feel very commercial. Eg. breaking encryption, so Governments have a huge incentive to fund research into this area. But you can see other applications with $INFQ + quantum sensing.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit There is no quantum computing market. None of it has real application, not now, not in 20 years, besides breaking old at-rest encrypted data (which is not going to be a big industry fwiw)", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "playerTwoQ", "ret_m1d": -0.033036139006210385, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.033036139006210385, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.028023632263252662, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.022887828385504627, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005012506742957723, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010148310620705758, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.016255871573323644, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.016255871573323644, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01889330551374091, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.021223556359856732, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0026374339404172664, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004967684786533089, "ret_p1w": 0.030414259726678106, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.030414259726678106, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.020418407386950888, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.015511205367078729, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009995852339727218, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014903054359599377, "ret_p1m": -0.15574196963204878, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.15574196963204878, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11714313506126917, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.13814202340942128, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03859883457077962, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017599946222627505, "ret_p3m": -0.0005243958595630982, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0005243958595630982, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07975808374308913, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.23944847977394867, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07923368788352603, "bench_c_p3m": 0.23892408391438558, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0703, 0.2119, 0.1846, 0.1751, 0.1751, 0.1888, 0.1232, 0.1799, 0.3152, 0.5066, 0.4158, 0.4913, 0.4856, 0.4053, 0.4672, 0.3686, 0.2449, 0.3382, 0.248, 0.3052, 0.4064, 0.688, 0.527, 0.4431, 0.4431, 0.3262, 0.3713, 0.3765, 0.3713, 0.3713, 0.4751, 0.6067, 0.6397, 0.5836, 0.5354, 0.474, 0.5102, 0.5113, 0.581, 0.506, 0.5118, 0.5118, 0.4179, 0.3655, 0.4384, 0.344, 0.2454, 0.2947, 0.3094, 0.2176, 0.1127, 0.0996, 0.1222, 0.0545, -0.0975, 0.0865, 0.1122, 0.0718, 0.0299, -0.0131, 0.0315, 0.0315, -0.033, 0.0, 0.0163, -0.053, -0.0535, -0.0215, 0.0304, 0.0561, -0.0152, -0.0068, -0.0435, -0.0084, -0.0126, -0.0252, -0.0016, -0.0163, -0.0084, -0.065, -0.0797, -0.0844, -0.0839, -0.1353, -0.1557, -0.1751, -0.1447, -0.1647, -0.151, -0.2318, -0.2711, -0.3193, -0.2433, -0.2816, -0.2491, -0.2491, -0.2585, -0.2795, -0.236, -0.2727, -0.2528, -0.2318, -0.1101, 0.0912, 0.1285, 0.1374, 0.1358, 0.0676, 0.1138, 0.0126, -0.0304, -0.0142, -0.0503, -0.042, 0.0635, 0.0745, 0.097, 0.1295, 0.2496, 0.1531, 0.1835, 0.2601, 0.172, 0.1243, 0.1605, 0.0671, -0.0005, -0.0461, 0.0121, 0.3498, 0.5417, 0.5417, 0.4588, 0.441, 0.5464, 0.5805, 0.5805, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2024138627417293107", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-02-18T15:07:10+00:00", "symbol": "INFQ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "decided to pull the trigger with $INFQ", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Ongoing bear on IONQ/RGTI/QBTS; initiated long INFQ as preferred pure-play quantum exposure with sensing applications.", "resolved_tickers": ["INFQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you've read my previous posts, I've been bear posting $IONQ, $RGTI, $QBTS since the dawn of time.\n\nHowever, just from industry discussions, everyone I've talked to seems to know it's coming. It's feels like a matter of time, whether it's 2 years or 5. \n\nI've been watching $GOOGL Willow and other breakthroughs, but there hasn't been any pure play exposure I thought it was worth to take the risk on. But  decided to pull the trigger with $INFQ.\n\nAs for \"applications\" it's largely national security and doesn't feel very commercial. Eg. breaking encryption, so Governments have a huge incentive to fund research into this area. But you can see other applications with $INFQ + quantum sensing.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit There is no quantum computing market. None of it has real application, not now, not in 20 years, besides breaking old at-rest encrypted data (which is not going to be a big industry fwiw)", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "playerTwoQ", "ret_m1d": 0.05982325711480918, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05982325711480918, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0648357638577669, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0648357638577669, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005012506742957723, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005012506742957723, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0700203759551411, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0700203759551411, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06738294201472383, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06738294201472383, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0026374339404172664, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0026374339404172664, "ret_p1w": -0.11012915576872795, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11012915576872795, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.12012500810845517, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12012500810845517, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009995852339727218, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009995852339727218, "ret_p1m": -0.34602312300395355, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.34602312300395355, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.30742428843317393, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.30742428843317393, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03859883457077962, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03859883457077962, "ret_p3m": -0.2270564339854776, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2270564339854776, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3062901218690036, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3062901218690036, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07923368788352603, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07923368788352603, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.0598, 0.0, -0.07, -0.0965, -0.1509, -0.1822, -0.1101, -0.1237, -0.2087, -0.1897, -0.1971, -0.1978, -0.2379, -0.2746, -0.2073, -0.174, -0.223, -0.274, -0.3148, -0.2828, -0.2672, -0.3338, -0.346, -0.4011, -0.3487, -0.3032, -0.2298, -0.276, -0.3304, -0.3936, -0.3331, -0.3603, -0.2814, -0.2814, -0.2896, -0.3175, -0.2305, -0.1917, -0.1441, -0.1441, -0.0401, 0.0197, 0.0585, 0.1842, 0.0877, 0.0204, 0.0095, -0.051, -0.0979, -0.0959, -0.1421, -0.1801, -0.1917, -0.1564, -0.1652, -0.1774, -0.0789, -0.1768, -0.1761, -0.1271, -0.1094, -0.0965, -0.0503, -0.1543, -0.2271, -0.2774, -0.24, -0.0007, 0.1115, 0.1115, 0.0795, 0.051, 0.208, 0.1027, 0.1027, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2017391893190217989", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-31T00:18:03+00:00", "symbol": "ORCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "excessive Capex for a shaky counterparty and questions on whether that turns into FCF or more losses", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish ORCL on excessive capex, OpenAI counterparty risk, and GPU profitability issues; CRWV flagged as similarly debt-burdened with FCF headwinds.", "resolved_tickers": ["ORCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I've been covering Neoclouds for awhile so I'm familiar with $ORCL. It's nuanced: \n\nMain thing is CapEx -> $50B from $35B, and $200B+ or so in DC leases.\n\nThis is mainly for the Stargate project, mainly for OpenAI, which presents incredible counter party risk.\n\nAs you know OpenAI has $1T+ in contracted capex spend, but not enough money to pay for it. So that $300B+ in contracted revenue you see in earnings for ROI spend, could easily just disappear.\n\nYou might think it's easy to just get another customer but any utilization lag, combined with asset/lease depreciation, hurts. A lot. \n\nSecond part is\n\n-> It's incredibly hard to turn this into a high margin business. \n\nYou have to combine GPU depreciation, GPU orchestration (which is really difficult Nebius, Coreweave are the few currently that can do this well), amid other things to turn that revenue into FCF. \n\nAnd when you take on a lot of debt as seen with $CRWV, and $ORCL that cuts into any FCF + you still need to pay it off. \n\nThe Information leaked news a month or two ago that Oracle was facing a lot of issues with profitability on their GPU segment (GPU utilization issues, etc). So that took a toll.\n\nOverall, main uncertainty is counterparty risk with OpenAI. It's core business is strong, but new buildout is shaky. \n\nSo I would argue it's excessive Capex for a shaky counterparty and questions on whether that turns into FCF or more losses.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I’m not sure why Oracle’s stock is trading sideways. Is it because its core business is software, so it’s included in the short SaaS basket? Or is it because no LLM trained on Blackwell has been released yet?\n\nIt doesn’t seem like a sufficient explanation to simply say the stock", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jukan05", "ret_m1d": 0.028239436734246448, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.028239436734246448, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.033186206680401176, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.033186206680401176, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946769946154728, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004946769946154728, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.033674814647366214, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.033674814647366214, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.025219418216665623, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.025219418216665623, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00845539643070059, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00845539643070059, "ret_p1w": -0.021679329635767353, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.021679329635767353, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01957989188552678, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01957989188552678, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0020994377502405737, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0020994377502405737, "ret_p1m": -0.06903657957580955, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06903657957580955, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0473516010243098, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0473516010243098, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684978551499756, "bench_c_p1m": -0.021684978551499756, "ret_p3m": 0.01183103749355574, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.01183103749355574, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.024424769513417877, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.024424769513417877, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03625580700697362, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03625580700697362, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.5597, 0.5192, 0.4909, 0.5007, 0.4715, 0.4144, 0.3557, 0.3886, 0.37, 0.3739, 0.4053, 0.3128, 0.2385, 0.248, 0.2277, 0.2771, 0.2771, 0.2584, 0.2521, 0.2531, 0.2944, 0.3355, 0.3558, 0.3742, 0.3804, 0.3896, 0.2391, 0.1837, 0.1523, 0.1755, 0.112, 0.1218, 0.1962, 0.2361, 0.2172, 0.2306, 0.2306, 0.2337, 0.2174, 0.2289, 0.2145, 0.2145, 0.2195, 0.2001, 0.2073, 0.2016, 0.1817, 0.2403, 0.2788, 0.2638, 0.2096, 0.1861, 0.1939, 0.1939, 0.1241, 0.0863, 0.1132, 0.1068, 0.1398, 0.0927, 0.0796, 0.0559, 0.0282, 0.0, -0.0337, -0.0837, -0.1473, -0.1077, -0.0217, -0.0011, -0.0181, -0.0224, 0.0005, 0.0005, -0.038, -0.0243, -0.022, -0.0748, -0.1171, -0.087, -0.076, -0.0609, -0.0916, -0.0675, -0.069, -0.048, -0.0329, -0.0444, -0.0531, -0.0666, 0.0191, -0.0056, -0.0309, -0.0256, -0.0335, -0.0447, -0.0284, -0.0649, -0.0357, -0.081, -0.0877, -0.1078, -0.1275, -0.1328, -0.0809, -0.0927, -0.0855, -0.0855, -0.0907, -0.1055, -0.1025, -0.1357, -0.1342, -0.0243, 0.0219, 0.0646, 0.1181, 0.0975, 0.1133, 0.1358, 0.1755, 0.1052, 0.0864, 0.0844, 0.0405, 0.0271, 0.0118, 0.0773, 0.1303, 0.162, 0.2165, 0.22, 0.2285, 0.2153, 0.1713, 0.1897, 0.2264, 0.2097, 0.1699, 0.1377, 0.1797, 0.1898, 0.2042, 0.2042, 0.2104, 0.1972, 0.2771, 0.4155, 0.4155, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2017391893190217989", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-31T00:18:03+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "when you take on a lot of debt as seen with $CRWV, and $ORCL that cuts into any FCF + you still need to pay it off", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish ORCL on excessive capex, OpenAI counterparty risk, and GPU profitability issues; CRWV flagged as similarly debt-burdened with FCF headwinds.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I've been covering Neoclouds for awhile so I'm familiar with $ORCL. It's nuanced: \n\nMain thing is CapEx -> $50B from $35B, and $200B+ or so in DC leases.\n\nThis is mainly for the Stargate project, mainly for OpenAI, which presents incredible counter party risk.\n\nAs you know OpenAI has $1T+ in contracted capex spend, but not enough money to pay for it. So that $300B+ in contracted revenue you see in earnings for ROI spend, could easily just disappear.\n\nYou might think it's easy to just get another customer but any utilization lag, combined with asset/lease depreciation, hurts. A lot. \n\nSecond part is\n\n-> It's incredibly hard to turn this into a high margin business. \n\nYou have to combine GPU depreciation, GPU orchestration (which is really difficult Nebius, Coreweave are the few currently that can do this well), amid other things to turn that revenue into FCF. \n\nAnd when you take on a lot of debt as seen with $CRWV, and $ORCL that cuts into any FCF + you still need to pay it off. \n\nThe Information leaked news a month or two ago that Oracle was facing a lot of issues with profitability on their GPU segment (GPU utilization issues, etc). So that took a toll.\n\nOverall, main uncertainty is counterparty risk with OpenAI. It's core business is strong, but new buildout is shaky. \n\nSo I would argue it's excessive Capex for a shaky counterparty and questions on whether that turns into FCF or more losses.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "I’m not sure why Oracle’s stock is trading sideways. Is it because its core business is software, so it’s included in the short SaaS basket? Or is it because no LLM trained on Blackwell has been released yet?\n\nIt doesn’t seem like a sufficient explanation to simply say the stock", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jukan05", "ret_m1d": 0.047785022299722923, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.047785022299722923, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05273179224587765, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05273179224587765, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946769946154728, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004946769946154728, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012592703917737813, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.012592703917737813, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.021048100348438403, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.021048100348438403, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00845539643070059, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00845539643070059, "ret_p1w": 0.08826172991498038, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08826172991498038, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09036116766522095, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09036116766522095, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0020994377502405737, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0020994377502405737, "ret_p1m": -0.17045202660182968, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.17045202660182968, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14876704805032992, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14876704805032992, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684978551499756, "bench_c_p1m": -0.021684978551499756, "ret_p3m": 0.25477845076115524, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.25477845076115524, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.21852264375418162, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.21852264375418162, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03625580700697362, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03625580700697362, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2865, 0.2023, 0.1694, 0.1874, -0.0062, -0.0395, -0.1192, -0.1302, -0.153, -0.1579, -0.1576, -0.2218, -0.1944, -0.1725, -0.1984, -0.1647, -0.1647, -0.1779, -0.1336, -0.1452, -0.1077, -0.0359, -0.0072, -0.0304, 0.0193, -0.0088, -0.0175, -0.1164, -0.1865, -0.2186, -0.2742, -0.239, -0.0668, -0.0462, -0.0976, -0.1132, -0.1132, -0.1408, -0.1576, -0.1691, -0.1949, -0.1949, -0.1082, -0.1358, -0.1237, -0.1322, -0.1332, -0.0989, 0.0111, -0.0164, 0.0097, 0.0682, 0.1382, 0.1382, 0.0706, 0.0575, 0.032, 0.0454, 0.1054, 0.224, 0.192, 0.1191, 0.0478, 0.0, 0.0126, -0.0729, -0.1607, 0.0114, 0.0883, 0.0694, 0.0698, 0.076, 0.0798, 0.0798, 0.0232, 0.0732, 0.0922, 0.0035, 0.0214, 0.1165, 0.102, 0.0977, -0.1055, -0.1224, -0.1705, -0.1061, -0.1588, -0.1793, -0.1634, -0.1576, -0.0785, -0.1021, -0.088, -0.0346, -0.0767, -0.0688, -0.0931, -0.084, -0.0785, -0.0666, -0.0153, -0.0955, -0.1589, -0.2225, -0.129, -0.1181, -0.0753, -0.0753, -0.0899, -0.0416, -0.0004, 0.0344, 0.1468, 0.2398, 0.3177, 0.3345, 0.3443, 0.3138, 0.3203, 0.2948, 0.3778, 0.3202, 0.2384, 0.26, 0.1865, 0.2839, 0.2548, 0.3381, 0.4103, 0.4379, 0.5514, 0.4486, 0.2834, 0.2896, 0.2115, 0.2515, 0.2842, 0.2064, 0.1667, 0.1222, 0.1387, 0.2096, 0.1861, 0.1861, 0.1906, 0.1724, 0.2015, 0.2315, 0.2315, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2026314925149483021", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-24T15:14:59+00:00", "symbol": "SNDK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "They're going to get their positions nuked on $SNDK? Zero clue, just adds fuel to the fire for the rally", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Dismisses Citron's short; expects SNDK rally to continue as short squeeze adds fuel.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNDK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ZeroKnowledger_ They’re going to get their positions nuked on $SNDK? Zero clue, just adds fuel to the fire for the rally", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Whats your opinion on CITRON short $SNDK?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ZeroKnowledger_", "ret_m1d": 0.04380437550518512, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04380437550518512, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05102037925200087, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05102037925200087, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007216003746815747, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007216003746815747, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.009616009616965515, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.009616009616965515, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.018054358560546824, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.018054358560546824, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008438348943581309, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008438348943581309, "ret_p1w": -0.11449922343921226, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11449922343921226, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1042862123367776, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1042862123367776, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.010213011102434666, "bench_c_p1w": -0.010213011102434666, "ret_p1m": 0.06161117054590193, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06161117054590193, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1034183502212076, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1034183502212076, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04180717967530567, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04180717967530567, "ret_p3m": 1.3158082693973872, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.3158082693973872, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.2280416048380076, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.2280416048380076, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08776666455937954, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08776666455937954, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6632, -0.6503, -0.6708, -0.6784, -0.6956, -0.6659, -0.6422, -0.6469, -0.6563, -0.6353, -0.6216, -0.6771, -0.6838, -0.6722, -0.6761, -0.6563, -0.6279, -0.6225, -0.6165, -0.6083, -0.6083, -0.6084, -0.6175, -0.6238, -0.6282, -0.6282, -0.5689, -0.5708, -0.4524, -0.4463, -0.4761, -0.4089, -0.3904, -0.3895, -0.3926, -0.3591, -0.3522, -0.3522, -0.2904, -0.2149, -0.2116, -0.2579, -0.2627, -0.246, -0.1737, -0.1554, -0.0975, 0.0418, 0.0893, -0.0845, -0.0976, -0.0635, -0.0863, -0.1517, -0.0614, -0.0129, -0.0187, -0.0187, -0.0751, -0.0597, -0.0273, 0.0179, 0.0438, 0.0, -0.0096, 0.021, -0.0049, -0.0304, -0.1145, -0.0618, -0.1142, -0.1741, -0.078, -0.0307, 0.0265, -0.0309, 0.0362, 0.102, 0.1279, 0.1804, 0.2092, 0.1115, 0.1002, 0.1002, 0.0616, -0.0554, -0.0355, -0.1034, -0.005, 0.0849, 0.0988, 0.0988, 0.1349, 0.1132, 0.223, 0.3337, 0.334, 0.4917, 0.4791, 0.3965, 0.44, 0.4424, 0.4299, 0.415, 0.5333, 0.4603, 0.5503, 0.6761, 0.5698, 0.6667, 0.7173, 0.859, 0.9668, 1.2025, 1.2082, 1.0985, 1.4468, 1.4237, 1.274, 1.2665, 1.1655, 1.2045, 1.0877, 1.1664, 1.1809, 1.4153, 1.3158, 1.3158, 1.4894, 1.49, 1.571, 1.6545, 1.6545, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2035739495031792031", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-22T15:24:52+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I was one of the first to connect $AXTI's bottleneck to photonics + AI hyperscaler supply chains", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long oil, rare earths, and semiconductors as geopolitical supply-chain weaponization drives massive funding into all three sectors; AXTI flagged as a specific photonics/AI bottleneck play.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The World is fighting over:\n\nOil, Rare Earths, and Semiconductors. \n\nThe reason being... Every supply chain is being weaponized right now. \n\nAnd it so happens, US biggest geopolitical enemies own most of the chokepoints.\n\nI was one of the first to connect $AXTI's bottleneck to photonics + AI hyperscaler supply chains.\n\nBut there are many more that I'm scared to broadcast, just due to national security vulnerabilities.\n\nBut the thematic investments hold true:\n\nMassive amounts of funding will be poured into these three sectors to either go to war over them, secure them domestically, or engineer around them for 2026. \n\nAs a theme, if your portfolio is not overweight into those three right sectors the entire world is fighting over...\n\nMaybe you're might be something wrong?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.15828678424110965, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.15828678424110965, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.14789586979779912, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.141371424048522, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010390914443310528, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01691536019258766, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06207324407905013, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06207324407905013, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0654300938313166, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05381994505200072, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0033568497522664664, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00825329902704941, "ret_p1w": -0.18171946703164, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.18171946703164, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.14599968002978692, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10805330888732345, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.035719787001853076, "bench_c_p1w": -0.07366615814431654, "ret_p1m": 0.1634077960948488, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1634077960948488, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08909974298947643, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.023887842330476472, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07430805310537236, "bench_c_p1m": 0.18729563842532526, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7671, -0.7671, -0.7615, -0.7736, -0.7548, -0.7463, -0.7463, -0.7399, -0.7413, -0.687, -0.6259, -0.5992, -0.6432, -0.6549, -0.6662, -0.657, -0.6009, -0.6572, -0.6572, -0.6678, -0.693, -0.7219, -0.73, -0.7238, -0.7331, -0.7388, -0.7458, -0.7123, -0.675, -0.6937, -0.709, -0.683, -0.6266, -0.5691, -0.6221, -0.5841, -0.6153, -0.6238, -0.6238, -0.6398, -0.6347, -0.6305, -0.5394, -0.5588, -0.4556, -0.3642, -0.424, -0.4119, -0.2812, -0.352, -0.3928, -0.3979, -0.4977, -0.4016, -0.3125, -0.2651, -0.2748, -0.2418, -0.2491, -0.3116, -0.2433, -0.0985, -0.1583, 0.0, 0.0621, 0.0452, -0.092, -0.0591, -0.1817, -0.1158, -0.2685, -0.18, -0.18, -0.3484, -0.2945, -0.1747, -0.0205, -0.004, 0.0312, 0.0444, -0.0234, 0.2691, 0.2812, 0.2222, 0.1634, 0.3492, 0.1681, 0.1819, 0.0886, 0.0663, 0.1029, 0.2294, 0.4898, 0.6449, 0.669, 0.6268, 0.6825, 0.8057, 0.9524, 0.9072, 0.8923, 0.7843, 0.9209, 0.6431, 0.7517, 0.6234, 0.878, 1.1854, 1.1854, 1.0577, 0.9052, 0.7955, 0.6009, 0.6009, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2035739495031792031", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-22T15:24:52+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Massive amounts of funding will be poured into these three sectors", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long oil, rare earths, and semiconductors as geopolitical supply-chain weaponization drives massive funding into all three sectors; AXTI flagged as a specific photonics/AI bottleneck play.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Oil proxied by USO ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The World is fighting over:\n\nOil, Rare Earths, and Semiconductors. \n\nThe reason being... Every supply chain is being weaponized right now. \n\nAnd it so happens, US biggest geopolitical enemies own most of the chokepoints.\n\nI was one of the first to connect $AXTI's bottleneck to photonics + AI hyperscaler supply chains.\n\nBut there are many more that I'm scared to broadcast, just due to national security vulnerabilities.\n\nBut the thematic investments hold true:\n\nMassive amounts of funding will be poured into these three sectors to either go to war over them, secure them domestically, or engineer around them for 2026. \n\nAs a theme, if your portfolio is not overweight into those three right sectors the entire world is fighting over...\n\nMaybe you're might be something wrong?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.09831768258516127, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.09831768258516127, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.1087085970284718, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.1087085970284718, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010390914443310528, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010390914443310528, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03599858397992728, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03599858397992728, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.039355433732193745, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.039355433732193745, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0033568497522664664, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0033568497522664664, "ret_p1w": 0.17429454321621485, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.17429454321621485, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.21001433021806792, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.21001433021806792, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.035719787001853076, "bench_c_p1w": -0.035719787001853076, "ret_p1m": 0.16000364356042107, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.16000364356042107, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08569559045504871, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08569559045504871, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07430805310537236, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07430805310537236, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3651, -0.3651, -0.3806, -0.3704, -0.3692, -0.3745, -0.3745, -0.3763, -0.3649, -0.3803, -0.3868, -0.362, -0.3598, -0.3519, -0.3354, -0.3433, -0.3566, -0.3519, -0.3519, -0.35, -0.3366, -0.3504, -0.3311, -0.3354, -0.3157, -0.307, -0.2842, -0.2808, -0.3187, -0.2993, -0.2956, -0.3063, -0.3036, -0.2943, -0.2942, -0.2865, -0.3092, -0.3106, -0.3106, -0.315, -0.2818, -0.2656, -0.2687, -0.2683, -0.2695, -0.2789, -0.2785, -0.2588, -0.2114, -0.1842, -0.1719, -0.1289, -0.0162, -0.0563, -0.0425, -0.0227, 0.0708, 0.0844, 0.0404, 0.0749, 0.1005, 0.0615, 0.0983, 0.0, 0.036, 0.0256, 0.0606, 0.1234, 0.1743, 0.151, 0.1224, 0.2475, 0.2475, 0.2567, 0.2489, 0.1268, 0.1483, 0.129, 0.162, 0.1202, 0.1088, 0.1382, 0.0496, 0.0973, 0.16, 0.1704, 0.2185, 0.1975, 0.2185, 0.2627, 0.3624, 0.3304, 0.2916, 0.3351, 0.304, 0.2116, 0.2208, 0.2083, 0.2542, 0.3052, 0.2847, 0.2934, 0.3407, 0.3503, 0.3835, 0.3049, 0.2893, 0.2746, 0.2746, 0.2391, 0.1851, 0.1829, 0.1676, 0.1676, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2035739495031792031", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-22T15:24:52+00:00", "symbol": "rare earths", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Massive amounts of funding will be poured into these three sectors", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long oil, rare earths, and semiconductors as geopolitical supply-chain weaponization drives massive funding into all three sectors; AXTI flagged as a specific photonics/AI bottleneck play.", "resolved_tickers": ["REMX"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Rare earths proxied by REMX ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The World is fighting over:\n\nOil, Rare Earths, and Semiconductors. \n\nThe reason being... Every supply chain is being weaponized right now. \n\nAnd it so happens, US biggest geopolitical enemies own most of the chokepoints.\n\nI was one of the first to connect $AXTI's bottleneck to photonics + AI hyperscaler supply chains.\n\nBut there are many more that I'm scared to broadcast, just due to national security vulnerabilities.\n\nBut the thematic investments hold true:\n\nMassive amounts of funding will be poured into these three sectors to either go to war over them, secure them domestically, or engineer around them for 2026. \n\nAs a theme, if your portfolio is not overweight into those three right sectors the entire world is fighting over...\n\nMaybe you're might be something wrong?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05416715207546818, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05416715207546818, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.043776237632157655, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.043776237632157655, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010390914443310528, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010390914443310528, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011837923301182496, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011837923301182496, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.015194773053448962, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015194773053448962, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0033568497522664664, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0033568497522664664, "ret_p1w": 0.022121322064733384, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.022121322064733384, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05784110906658646, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05784110906658646, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.035719787001853076, "bench_c_p1w": -0.035719787001853076, "ret_p1m": 0.20291763455737244, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.20291763455737244, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12860958145200008, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12860958145200008, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07430805310537236, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07430805310537236, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0897, -0.0897, -0.0824, -0.115, -0.1152, -0.1161, -0.1161, -0.0819, -0.0469, 0.0031, 0.0165, -0.0141, 0.0161, 0.0623, 0.0666, 0.092, 0.0826, 0.0664, 0.0664, 0.0703, 0.1101, 0.1429, 0.1773, 0.1588, 0.1672, 0.1661, 0.1184, 0.0239, 0.0141, 0.0786, 0.041, -0.0236, 0.0359, 0.0611, 0.0611, 0.0991, 0.0427, 0.0726, 0.0726, 0.0641, 0.0935, 0.0772, 0.0642, 0.092, 0.1322, 0.1742, 0.1666, 0.1941, 0.234, 0.1351, 0.1702, 0.1168, 0.1064, 0.1324, 0.1538, 0.1589, 0.1217, 0.0703, 0.0774, 0.0776, 0.0364, -0.0081, -0.0542, 0.0, 0.0118, 0.066, 0.0116, 0.0295, 0.0221, 0.0523, 0.0586, 0.063, 0.063, 0.0575, 0.0653, 0.1192, 0.1144, 0.13, 0.1839, 0.1814, 0.1651, 0.2322, 0.2152, 0.2331, 0.2029, 0.2412, 0.1747, 0.1785, 0.2071, 0.1708, 0.2082, 0.2607, 0.2737, 0.2211, 0.2415, 0.3038, 0.2742, 0.272, 0.3097, 0.2918, 0.2706, 0.1939, 0.1547, 0.1322, 0.1016, 0.1381, 0.1443, 0.1577, 0.1577, 0.1833, 0.1722, 0.2137, 0.1913, 0.1913, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2035739495031792031", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-03-22T15:24:52+00:00", "symbol": "semiconductors", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Massive amounts of funding will be poured into these three sectors", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long oil, rare earths, and semiconductors as geopolitical supply-chain weaponization drives massive funding into all three sectors; AXTI flagged as a specific photonics/AI bottleneck play.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMH"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "US semiconductors proxied by SMH ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The World is fighting over:\n\nOil, Rare Earths, and Semiconductors. \n\nThe reason being... Every supply chain is being weaponized right now. \n\nAnd it so happens, US biggest geopolitical enemies own most of the chokepoints.\n\nI was one of the first to connect $AXTI's bottleneck to photonics + AI hyperscaler supply chains.\n\nBut there are many more that I'm scared to broadcast, just due to national security vulnerabilities.\n\nBut the thematic investments hold true:\n\nMassive amounts of funding will be poured into these three sectors to either go to war over them, secure them domestically, or engineer around them for 2026. \n\nAs a theme, if your portfolio is not overweight into those three right sectors the entire world is fighting over...\n\nMaybe you're might be something wrong?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01691536019258766, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01691536019258766, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00652444574927713, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00652444574927713, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010390914443310528, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010390914443310528, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00825329902704941, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00825329902704941, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011610148779315876, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011610148779315876, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0033568497522664664, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0033568497522664664, "ret_p1w": -0.07366615814431654, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07366615814431654, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.037946371142463464, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.037946371142463464, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.035719787001853076, "bench_c_p1w": -0.035719787001853076, "ret_p1m": 0.18729563842532526, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.18729563842532526, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1129875853199529, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1129875853199529, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07430805310537236, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07430805310537236, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0695, -0.0695, -0.0652, -0.0694, -0.0717, -0.0798, -0.0798, -0.0461, -0.0352, -0.0096, -0.0162, -0.0316, -0.0055, -0.0018, 0.0004, -0.0077, 0.0129, 0.0231, 0.0231, -0.0025, 0.027, 0.0293, 0.0223, 0.0191, 0.0406, 0.0646, 0.0668, 0.0309, 0.0424, 0.0161, -0.0239, -0.0263, 0.0263, 0.0391, 0.0342, 0.0598, 0.0377, 0.0418, 0.0418, 0.0413, 0.0541, 0.0481, 0.0605, 0.055, 0.071, 0.0889, 0.0528, 0.0384, 0.0384, -0.0008, 0.0198, 0.0102, -0.0276, 0.0077, 0.0153, 0.0247, -0.0083, -0.0103, 0.0065, 0.0141, 0.0059, 0.0091, -0.0169, 0.0, 0.0083, 0.0196, -0.0269, -0.0437, -0.0737, -0.0203, 0.0016, 0.0025, 0.0025, 0.0118, 0.0218, 0.0806, 0.0995, 0.1163, 0.1328, 0.1549, 0.1575, 0.1621, 0.186, 0.1855, 0.1873, 0.2184, 0.2312, 0.2941, 0.2936, 0.2551, 0.2765, 0.2948, 0.3027, 0.2949, 0.3356, 0.4047, 0.3801, 0.4476, 0.4726, 0.4341, 0.4627, 0.4778, 0.4216, 0.3955, 0.3899, 0.4428, 0.451, 0.4726, 0.4726, 0.5386, 0.5216, 0.5327, 0.5304, 0.5304, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2037028699519017435", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-26T04:47:42+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "yes high conviction with $AAOI", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still long AAOI with high conviction.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@usbastats $AAOI is up over 3x since I went long… I just forgot about it since there were too many names\n\nBut yes high conviction with $AAOI", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Are you as confident about $AAOI as you are with $AXTI or $SIVE?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "usbastats", "ret_m1d": 0.17439956695236303, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.17439956695236303, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.15621608870835968, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.15621608870835968, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.018183478244003348, "bench_c_m1d": 0.018183478244003348, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008109227369901273, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008109227369901273, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.025161110893229255, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.025161110893229255, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017051883523327982, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017051883523327982, "ret_p1w": 0.06661882175268707, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06661882175268707, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.049969997887392203, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.049969997887392203, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01664882386529487, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01664882386529487, "ret_p1m": 0.6646479287313356, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6646479287313356, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5579186774335734, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5579186774335734, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.10672925129776223, "bench_c_p1m": 0.10672925129776223, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6228, -0.6303, -0.6422, -0.6422, -0.5935, -0.6408, -0.6037, -0.6094, -0.6612, -0.6506, -0.6539, -0.6491, -0.6462, -0.6202, -0.6198, -0.6198, -0.597, -0.606, -0.6084, -0.6333, -0.6419, -0.6162, -0.5357, -0.5938, -0.5524, -0.5467, -0.5266, -0.5904, -0.6086, -0.5453, -0.5082, -0.5023, -0.5032, -0.5484, -0.5436, -0.5436, -0.5493, -0.5541, -0.5178, -0.4695, -0.4461, -0.4224, -0.4034, -0.4489, -0.1354, 0.0522, -0.0214, 0.0235, 0.0382, -0.0189, 0.1355, 0.2368, 0.3037, 0.09, -0.0063, -0.0344, -0.1138, -0.0492, 0.0462, -0.1014, -0.017, 0.1692, 0.1744, 0.0, 0.0081, -0.1255, -0.1317, -0.1136, 0.0666, 0.0666, 0.103, 0.2076, 0.3621, 0.3683, 0.5459, 0.5725, 0.5027, 0.4633, 0.6149, 0.6364, 0.678, 0.5456, 0.5338, 0.4138, 0.6646, 0.4964, 0.409, 0.5688, 0.6871, 0.8837, 0.7756, 0.8535, 0.8327, 0.6172, 0.5288, 0.898, 0.9327, 1.2901, 1.0896, 0.954, 0.7785, 0.7587, 0.6964, 0.8149, 0.863, 0.863, 0.8232, 0.8459, 0.735, 0.6261, 0.6261, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2016973892674630066", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-29T20:37:04+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Wouldn't be surprised to see Meta at $800+ in the upcoming weeks. ... When you have half of the world using a company daily, maybe it's time to rethink your position and go long.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long META to $800+ on 33.5% y/y revenue growth, capex fears overblown, and FCF expansion.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Not sure why FinX is so bearish on $META.\n\nThey’re guiding $53.5B – $56.5B.High end is ~33.5% y/y growth. \n\nThis is insane. \n\nPeople were citing 2026 Capex Guide: $115B – $135B as a bear case\n\nWhere est. ~$110B\n\n$META is growing like a startup again even at a $1T valuation. \n\nIt’s clear wherever capex spend is going, it’s delivered in revenue and future FCF ROI, not going into a black hole.\n\nWouldn’t be surprised to see Meta at $800+ in the upcoming weeks.\n\nThis was pure optics last time around with BBB earnings (even though they grew 26% Y/Y and delivered $10B+ FCF).\n\nAnd that same $META narrative is still being parroted today.\n\nWhen you have half of the world using a company daily, maybe it’s time to rethink your position and go long.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Btw this $META call at $625 was only 2 weeks ago. 🎯\n\nHope it goes up even more over the next few weeks, capex spend was overblown since they’re printing money and growing at astounding rates. https://t.co/ElqIsW49al", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.09424229755067026, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09424229755067026, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09623062560292972, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06886457818528091, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.001988328052259458, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02537771936538935, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.029540407622858034, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.029540407622858034, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.026557827362454822, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03196131289703241, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0029825802604032114, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0024209052741743786, "ret_p1w": -0.09223760175202589, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09223760175202589, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06857907284494758, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.062351976587900815, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023658528907078313, "bench_c_p1w": -0.029885625164125074, "ret_p1m": -0.12207611986076927, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12207611986076927, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11047736319189427, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10755075210870979, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.011598756668874999, "bench_c_p1m": -0.014525367752059481, "ret_p3m": -0.08992859000359332, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.08992859000359332, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11815988543000677, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0592864079814186, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02823129542641345, "bench_c_p3m": -0.030642182022174724, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.137, -0.151, -0.1393, -0.1624, -0.1586, -0.145, -0.1513, -0.1758, -0.1746, -0.1752, -0.1853, -0.1911, -0.2011, -0.2027, -0.1958, -0.1703, -0.139, -0.1425, -0.1425, -0.1231, -0.1327, -0.1243, -0.1344, -0.1047, -0.0886, -0.0976, -0.1109, -0.1202, -0.1167, -0.1281, -0.123, -0.1099, -0.1203, -0.1, -0.1077, -0.104, -0.0994, -0.0958, -0.0958, -0.1016, -0.1078, -0.098, -0.1059, -0.1059, -0.1191, -0.1077, -0.1052, -0.1214, -0.1249, -0.1155, -0.1305, -0.1452, -0.1663, -0.1592, -0.1599, -0.1599, -0.1818, -0.1698, -0.1228, -0.1077, -0.0893, -0.0885, -0.0942, 0.0, -0.0295, -0.0432, -0.0631, -0.0939, -0.0922, -0.1041, -0.0827, -0.0915, -0.0943, -0.1199, -0.1335, -0.1335, -0.1341, -0.1288, -0.1267, -0.1119, -0.1369, -0.1341, -0.1146, -0.1101, -0.1221, -0.1148, -0.1127, -0.0956, -0.1053, -0.1266, -0.1231, -0.1141, -0.113, -0.1356, -0.1688, -0.1494, -0.1559, -0.1654, -0.1776, -0.1952, -0.1811, -0.1962, -0.1936, -0.2578, -0.2873, -0.2729, -0.2244, -0.2148, -0.2213, -0.2213, -0.2232, -0.2205, -0.1698, -0.1482, -0.1462, -0.1398, -0.1019, -0.0896, -0.0824, -0.0666, -0.0905, -0.0933, -0.0853, -0.1065, -0.0849, -0.0801, -0.0899, -0.0929, -0.1705, -0.1748, -0.1725, -0.1799, -0.1692, -0.1638, -0.1736, -0.1882, -0.1826, -0.1641, -0.1617, -0.1673, -0.1714, -0.1831, -0.1798, -0.1766, -0.1727, -0.1727, -0.1699, -0.1388, -0.1388, -0.1426, -0.1426, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028431595779358963", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-02T11:25:53+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "photonics is a known bottleneck and demand outstrips supply", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on photonics transceiver space including LITE and COHR; demand outstrips supply and photonics is a known bottleneck.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Three to four hyperscaler orders for all the capacity they can make a year out doesn’t mean risk of cancellation? Not sure where you’re getting that from. \n\nWhat 20% margin ceiling? They cited 40%. \n\nAlso they’re Made in America supply chains which is rare, $LITE and $COHR do assembly in Asia. \n\nBut makes sense of people have ptsd from $AMZN order cancellation many years ago. But this time should be different since photonics is a known bottleneck and demand outstrips supply", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Great call so far but how do you get comfortable with execution of the team. They have been very early or wrong before. \n\nThey are by definition late to the transceiver game a bit, lagging LITE by years. \n\nSuggests they are marginal supply and there’s risk of customers", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Compounds365", "ret_m1d": -0.13375266968823796, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.13375266968823796, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.13318441400403158, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.13318441400403158, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.060553363493234036, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.060553363493234036, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.051739025010438366, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.051739025010438366, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "ret_p1w": -0.15586630011405167, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.15586630011405167, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1440507191905368, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1440507191905368, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "ret_p1m": -0.20307114584514885, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.20307114584514885, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1531514042699651, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1531514042699651, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "ret_p3m": 0.2610819564043063, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2610819564043063, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.15868857723839835, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.15868857723839835, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4281, -0.4067, -0.3918, -0.3782, -0.3552, -0.3394, -0.3359, -0.4034, -0.403, -0.4139, -0.4298, -0.4122, -0.3783, -0.3611, -0.3581, -0.3598, -0.3598, -0.3586, -0.3676, -0.375, -0.3825, -0.3825, -0.3499, -0.3765, -0.3506, -0.3589, -0.4207, -0.4043, -0.3805, -0.3643, -0.3841, -0.3444, -0.3609, -0.3609, -0.3528, -0.326, -0.3218, -0.3411, -0.3384, -0.2841, -0.2602, -0.2778, -0.2902, -0.2558, -0.2333, -0.2941, -0.3, -0.2383, -0.1889, -0.236, -0.2516, -0.277, -0.2733, -0.2733, -0.2641, -0.251, -0.2222, -0.1697, -0.1673, -0.1474, -0.1037, -0.1632, -0.1338, 0.0, -0.0606, -0.0805, -0.1507, -0.2114, -0.1559, -0.128, -0.1589, -0.1928, -0.1878, -0.1724, -0.1777, -0.1395, -0.0781, -0.1515, -0.1467, -0.0889, -0.0899, -0.1861, -0.1854, -0.2652, -0.2031, -0.171, -0.1363, -0.1363, -0.1529, -0.1466, -0.0573, -0.0493, 0.0287, 0.0302, 0.0485, 0.0311, 0.0973, 0.1543, 0.1626, 0.1501, 0.1725, 0.1297, 0.1244, 0.0757, 0.0169, 0.0201, 0.0696, 0.1023, 0.1036, 0.1232, 0.1531, 0.0678, 0.1216, 0.2702, 0.2512, 0.3506, 0.3547, 0.2795, 0.2138, 0.1831, 0.1994, 0.2646, 0.2632, 0.2632, 0.2758, 0.2719, 0.2611, 0.2093, 0.2093, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028431595779358963", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-02T11:25:53+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "photonics is a known bottleneck and demand outstrips supply", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on photonics transceiver space including LITE and COHR; demand outstrips supply and photonics is a known bottleneck.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Three to four hyperscaler orders for all the capacity they can make a year out doesn’t mean risk of cancellation? Not sure where you’re getting that from. \n\nWhat 20% margin ceiling? They cited 40%. \n\nAlso they’re Made in America supply chains which is rare, $LITE and $COHR do assembly in Asia. \n\nBut makes sense of people have ptsd from $AMZN order cancellation many years ago. But this time should be different since photonics is a known bottleneck and demand outstrips supply", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Great call so far but how do you get comfortable with execution of the team. They have been very early or wrong before. \n\nThey are by definition late to the transceiver game a bit, lagging LITE by years. \n\nSuggests they are marginal supply and there’s risk of customers", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Compounds365", "ret_m1d": -0.10512611152948448, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10512611152948448, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1045578558452781, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1045578558452781, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.11339930714869928, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.11339930714869928, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.10458496866590361, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.10458496866590361, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "ret_p1w": -0.18201084910130072, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.18201084910130072, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.17019526817778585, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.17019526817778585, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "ret_p1m": -0.10276411137488028, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10276411137488028, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05284436979969653, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05284436979969653, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "ret_p3m": 0.09878071511929454, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09878071511929454, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.003612664046613423, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.003612664046613423, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6132, -0.5814, -0.5769, -0.5626, -0.54, -0.5327, -0.5249, -0.5859, -0.5727, -0.5964, -0.5911, -0.5696, -0.5258, -0.5022, -0.5054, -0.4945, -0.4945, -0.5011, -0.5243, -0.5261, -0.5294, -0.5294, -0.507, -0.5441, -0.4926, -0.4984, -0.5554, -0.5513, -0.5661, -0.5387, -0.5766, -0.5617, -0.586, -0.586, -0.5444, -0.5373, -0.5474, -0.5669, -0.5756, -0.5268, -0.5085, -0.513, -0.4997, -0.4594, -0.4445, -0.4056, -0.356, -0.2953, -0.2631, -0.2836, -0.267, -0.2551, -0.2815, -0.2815, -0.2334, -0.2413, -0.1885, -0.1474, -0.1386, -0.1213, -0.0764, -0.1357, -0.1051, 0.0, -0.1134, -0.1308, -0.1691, -0.287, -0.182, -0.142, -0.142, -0.2134, -0.2052, -0.2022, -0.1707, -0.1053, -0.0142, -0.0982, -0.0693, 0.0239, -0.0078, -0.1206, -0.1028, -0.164, -0.1028, -0.0237, 0.0557, 0.0557, -0.014, 0.0415, 0.144, 0.1416, 0.1456, 0.1123, 0.0888, 0.052, 0.1378, 0.1415, 0.1428, 0.0685, 0.1154, 0.0813, 0.1256, 0.0976, 0.0104, 0.0958, 0.152, 0.2128, 0.2463, 0.2698, 0.2056, 0.1396, 0.1539, 0.3445, 0.267, 0.3155, 0.279, 0.2393, 0.1299, 0.1364, 0.1083, 0.2314, 0.2089, 0.2089, 0.1629, 0.152, 0.0988, 0.0916, 0.0916, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2029211003792273650", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-04T15:02:58+00:00", "symbol": "EWY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I expect IV to increase further after this week's events (alongside underlying stock to go up)", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Still holding EWY 2028 calls; expects underlying to go up alongside further IV expansion.", "resolved_tickers": ["EWY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@exitvalley Yeah! I think the underlying actually dropped more after I bought some strikes but calls are close to double anyway off volatility expansion alone.\n\nAnd I expect IV to increase further after this week’s events (alongside underlying stock to go up) https://t.co/TwCJrLo0Z3", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Goated indeed! Are you still holding the EWY 2028 calls?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "exitvalley", "ret_m1d": -0.015107530349513398, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.015107530349513398, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.008101650638077551, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.008101650638077551, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007005879711435847, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007005879711435847, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06422562749884397, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06422562749884397, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05865008065245014, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05865008065245014, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005575546846393831, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005575546846393831, "ret_p1w": -0.011311967469718631, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.011311967469718631, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0015322644396569274, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0015322644396569274, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012844231909375559, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012844231909375559, "ret_p1m": -0.08558452622236112, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08558452622236112, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.045433192503067765, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.045433192503067765, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04015133371929336, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04015133371929336, "ret_p3m": 0.5318152065983561, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5318152065983561, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.42465895970532364, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.42465895970532364, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10715624689303249, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10715624689303249, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3136, -0.308, -0.3044, -0.2958, -0.3088, -0.3255, -0.3251, -0.3338, -0.3408, -0.3297, -0.3202, -0.3172, -0.3101, -0.296, -0.296, -0.2867, -0.2653, -0.2661, -0.2765, -0.2765, -0.2393, -0.2198, -0.1992, -0.2035, -0.2067, -0.1896, -0.1893, -0.1997, -0.184, -0.1736, -0.1648, -0.1648, -0.1741, -0.1392, -0.1368, -0.1221, -0.1269, -0.0868, -0.0656, -0.0735, -0.089, -0.1, -0.0748, -0.105, -0.1054, -0.0719, -0.0619, -0.0738, -0.0281, -0.0266, -0.003, -0.003, -0.0275, -0.0107, 0.0063, 0.0559, 0.0367, 0.0758, 0.1081, 0.1194, 0.1265, 0.098, -0.0151, 0.0, -0.0642, -0.0569, -0.0036, -0.0303, -0.0113, -0.0809, -0.0761, -0.0095, 0.0004, -0.0185, 0.0033, -0.0639, -0.0042, -0.0418, -0.0493, -0.107, -0.0997, -0.1335, -0.0845, -0.0607, -0.0856, -0.0856, -0.0627, -0.0534, 0.0424, 0.0366, 0.0324, 0.0511, 0.0916, 0.0785, 0.0975, 0.1337, 0.117, 0.0924, 0.1595, 0.1207, 0.1503, 0.1664, 0.1488, 0.1458, 0.1964, 0.2056, 0.2175, 0.291, 0.3543, 0.3154, 0.4155, 0.4352, 0.3284, 0.4038, 0.4179, 0.3311, 0.3106, 0.2951, 0.3404, 0.3874, 0.3547, 0.3547, 0.4933, 0.4757, 0.5361, 0.5318, 0.5318, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2032241749410840904", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-12T23:46:04+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "long term I expect them all to go up as photonics becomes the new architectural paradigm for AI", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long SOI, AAOI, AXTI long-term as photonics becomes the dominant AI architectural paradigm.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Jacktecau990 There's always going to be better buying short term opportunities like with $SOI, $AAOI, or $AXTI. \n\nBut long term I expect them all to go up as photonics becomes the new architectural paradigm for AI.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Too high to enter now ?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Jacktecau990", "ret_m1d": 0.1960636520967436, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.1960636520967436, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.1806445651809514, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.1806445651809514, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01541908691579219, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01541908691579219, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08833227862470594, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08833227862470594, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08267216912369957, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.08267216912369957, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005660109501006372, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005660109501006372, "ret_p1w": -0.040210981959596936, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.040210981959596936, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.030812474837712878, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.030812474837712878, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009398507121884059, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009398507121884059, "ret_p1m": 0.41821266259612355, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.41821266259612355, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.39530832689104956, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.39530832689104956, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022904335705073997, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022904335705073997, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7184, -0.7273, -0.7444, -0.7246, -0.7051, -0.6318, -0.6173, -0.6139, -0.6139, -0.65, -0.6539, -0.6608, -0.6717, -0.6717, -0.6271, -0.6705, -0.6364, -0.6416, -0.6891, -0.6794, -0.6825, -0.6781, -0.6754, -0.6516, -0.6512, -0.6512, -0.6303, -0.6386, -0.6407, -0.6636, -0.6714, -0.6479, -0.5741, -0.6274, -0.5893, -0.5841, -0.5657, -0.6243, -0.6409, -0.5828, -0.5488, -0.5434, -0.5442, -0.5857, -0.5813, -0.5813, -0.5865, -0.5909, -0.5576, -0.5133, -0.4919, -0.4701, -0.4527, -0.4944, -0.2068, -0.0347, -0.1022, -0.061, -0.0476, -0.0999, 0.0417, 0.1347, 0.1961, 0.0, -0.0883, -0.1141, -0.187, -0.1277, -0.0402, -0.1756, -0.0982, 0.0726, 0.0774, -0.0826, -0.0751, -0.1978, -0.2034, -0.1868, -0.0215, -0.0215, 0.0119, 0.1078, 0.2496, 0.2553, 0.4182, 0.4426, 0.3786, 0.3424, 0.4815, 0.5013, 0.5394, 0.4179, 0.4071, 0.297, 0.5272, 0.3728, 0.2926, 0.4392, 0.5478, 0.7281, 0.629, 0.7004, 0.6813, 0.4837, 0.4026, 0.7412, 0.773, 1.101, 0.917, 0.7926, 0.6316, 0.6134, 0.5563, 0.665, 0.7091, 0.7091, 0.6727, 0.6935, 0.5917, 0.4918, 0.4918, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2032241749410840904", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-12T23:46:04+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "long term I expect them all to go up as photonics becomes the new architectural paradigm for AI", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long SOI, AAOI, AXTI long-term as photonics becomes the dominant AI architectural paradigm.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Jacktecau990 There's always going to be better buying short term opportunities like with $SOI, $AAOI, or $AXTI. \n\nBut long term I expect them all to go up as photonics becomes the new architectural paradigm for AI.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Too high to enter now ?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Jacktecau990", "ret_m1d": 0.013481726391754378, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.013481726391754378, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0019373605240378122, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019754544275800034, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01541908691579219, "bench_c_m1d": 0.03323627066755441, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04558102052173263, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04558102052173263, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.051241130022739, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.047642232745684354, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005660109501006372, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002061212223951725, "ret_p1w": 0.24309866727227258, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.24309866727227258, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.25249717439415664, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.22560450691491507, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009398507121884059, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017494160357357513, "ret_p1m": 0.37342180470529396, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.37342180470529396, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.35051746900021996, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2478195596154844, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022904335705073997, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12560224508980955, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6826, -0.7218, -0.7355, -0.7002, -0.6865, -0.6743, -0.6867, -0.6788, -0.6788, -0.6711, -0.6878, -0.6619, -0.6501, -0.6501, -0.6413, -0.6433, -0.5684, -0.4841, -0.4473, -0.508, -0.5241, -0.5397, -0.5271, -0.4496, -0.5273, -0.5273, -0.5418, -0.5767, -0.6165, -0.6276, -0.6191, -0.6319, -0.6398, -0.6495, -0.6033, -0.5519, -0.5776, -0.5988, -0.5628, -0.4851, -0.4057, -0.4789, -0.4265, -0.4695, -0.4813, -0.4813, -0.5033, -0.4963, -0.4905, -0.3649, -0.3916, -0.2493, -0.1233, -0.2056, -0.189, -0.0088, -0.1064, -0.1626, -0.1697, -0.3073, -0.1748, -0.052, 0.0135, 0.0, 0.0456, 0.0355, -0.0507, 0.0434, 0.2431, 0.1607, 0.379, 0.4646, 0.4413, 0.2521, 0.2975, 0.1284, 0.2193, 0.0088, 0.1308, 0.1308, -0.1014, -0.0272, 0.138, 0.3507, 0.3734, 0.422, 0.4402, 0.3467, 0.7501, 0.7667, 0.6854, 0.6043, 0.8605, 0.6107, 0.6298, 0.5012, 0.4704, 0.5209, 0.6953, 1.0544, 1.2684, 1.3015, 1.2433, 1.3201, 1.49, 1.6923, 1.63, 1.6095, 1.4605, 1.6488, 1.2658, 1.4156, 1.2386, 1.5898, 2.0137, 2.0137, 1.8376, 1.6272, 1.4759, 1.2076, 1.2076, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2027488567971443170", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-27T20:58:38+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI looks like an early $SNDK. And is likely going much higher than a $5.5B MC over the next year.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long AAOI: 900%+ revenue growth forecast, completely sold out on 800G/1.6T transceivers, hyperscale demand, and pricing power suggest significant upside from $5.5B MC.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AAOI looks like an early $SNDK. And is likely going much higher than a $5.5B MC over the next year. \n\nOn their earnings call:\n\n- 3 hyperscale customers (probably $GOOGL, $AMZN, $MSFT)\n\n- \"they would like to buy all the transceiver we can make for 800G and 1.6\". - completely sold out, like memory.\n\n- 900%+ revenue growth forecast to $4.3B off $5.5B MC.\n\nThere is unprecedented demand for photonics, and $AAOI just confirmed it. \n\nAnd they can always begin price hikes to increase gross margins from 40%. Of course there are execution risks... \n\nBut this is one example where you look at fundamentals over chart.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "After earnings, $AAOI could easily be a $25B-$30B company next year from $5B if they hit their projections. \n\nAnd they're one of the only \"Made in America\"  (Sugarland, Texas) companies out of\n\n- $LITE (global)\n- $COHR (global)\n- $FN (Thai)\n- $AVGO (global)\n- Innolight (China), https://t.co/xhqPPmyz9B", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.3625786953944201, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.3625786953944201, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.3674038085726452, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.3674038085726452, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.21702478987010654, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.21702478987010654, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.21645621108777524, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.21645621108777524, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "ret_p1w": 0.1347500655559073, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1347500655559073, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15459001236840897, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15459001236840897, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "ret_p1m": 0.011397353035883961, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.011397353035883961, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08762893098965874, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08762893098965874, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "ret_p3m": 1.1349874707828982, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.1349874707828982, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.0380187816928927, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.0380187816928927, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6911, -0.6955, -0.6885, -0.6843, -0.6695, -0.6393, -0.5847, -0.5688, -0.6194, -0.645, -0.6562, -0.6778, -0.6527, -0.6282, -0.5359, -0.5175, -0.5132, -0.5132, -0.5587, -0.5637, -0.5724, -0.5861, -0.5861, -0.5299, -0.5846, -0.5416, -0.5482, -0.6081, -0.5959, -0.5997, -0.5942, -0.5908, -0.5607, -0.5603, -0.5603, -0.5339, -0.5443, -0.5471, -0.5759, -0.5858, -0.5561, -0.463, -0.5302, -0.4823, -0.4757, -0.4525, -0.5263, -0.5473, -0.4741, -0.4312, -0.4243, -0.4254, -0.4777, -0.4722, -0.4722, -0.4787, -0.4843, -0.4422, -0.3864, -0.3594, -0.3319, -0.31, -0.3626, 0.0, 0.217, 0.1319, 0.1838, 0.2008, 0.1348, 0.3133, 0.4305, 0.5079, 0.2607, 0.1494, 0.1168, 0.0249, 0.0997, 0.21, 0.0393, 0.1369, 0.3522, 0.3583, 0.1566, 0.166, 0.0114, 0.0043, 0.0252, 0.2336, 0.2336, 0.2757, 0.3967, 0.5754, 0.5826, 0.788, 0.8187, 0.738, 0.6924, 0.8677, 0.8927, 0.9408, 0.7876, 0.774, 0.6352, 0.9253, 0.7307, 0.6296, 0.8144, 0.9513, 1.1787, 1.0537, 1.1438, 1.1197, 0.8705, 0.7683, 1.1952, 1.2353, 1.6487, 1.4168, 1.26, 1.057, 1.0341, 0.962, 1.0991, 1.1547, 1.1547, 1.1087, 1.135, 1.0066, 0.8807, 0.8807, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2031810360882446636", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-11T19:11:53+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "short-medium term IREN's upside is capped due to the $6B ATM", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "IREN capped near-term by $6B ATM dilution; NBIS preferred for equity appreciation on superior capex structure.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It’s not that $IREN will crash. \n\nIt’s moreso short-medium term IREN’s upside is capped due to the $6B ATM.\n\nIf you’re investing in IREN it’s better to wait after existing holders get diluted to oblivion from up to $6B in selling pressure, then go long after. \n\nIf you’re chasing equity appreciation, $NBIS has a much superior capex financing structure.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Sorry about these people very mad at you. Could I please ask you to clarify though? Do you think IREN will fail? Or just underperformed competition yet still go up in value? \n\nTrying to decide to hold for breakeven @ 55 run away now", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "tcuso14", "ret_m1d": -0.09194856246884886, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.09194856246884886, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.09320530281125461, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.10040952642613721, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008460963957288348, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.014530743616084085, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014530743616084085, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0006542052532794163, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0017866862801818595, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "bench_c_p1d": -0.016317429896265945, "ret_p1w": 0.0054787885837142, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0054787885837142, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02750947936287962, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.018975871413460133, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013497082829745932, "ret_p1m": -0.11719862369210543, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11719862369210543, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1252373097215742, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.15655919980822341, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "bench_c_p1m": 0.039360576116117985, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0441, -0.1548, -0.1284, -0.1953, -0.1472, -0.0491, 0.0014, 0.0021, 0.0, 0.0, -0.04, -0.0612, -0.0877, -0.1003, -0.1003, 0.0172, 0.1491, 0.0936, 0.0392, 0.0881, 0.0965, 0.1989, 0.2623, 0.2596, 0.2361, 0.3773, 0.3773, 0.2925, 0.2739, 0.2449, 0.3502, 0.2473, 0.429, 0.4993, 0.4254, 0.2801, 0.2644, 0.2956, 0.0705, -0.0522, -0.0036, 0.0993, 0.0226, 0.0164, -0.0465, 0.0057, 0.0057, -0.0241, 0.0024, 0.0312, -0.0476, 0.0091, 0.0827, 0.0488, 0.0538, -0.0245, -0.0141, -0.0746, 0.0443, -0.0442, -0.1258, -0.0748, -0.0919, 0.0, -0.0145, -0.0095, 0.0705, 0.0233, 0.0055, -0.0076, -0.0164, 0.0043, -0.0205, -0.0131, -0.1079, -0.1641, -0.2468, -0.1834, -0.1879, -0.1717, -0.1717, -0.1632, -0.1486, -0.1227, -0.1172, -0.0634, 0.026, 0.1284, 0.1629, 0.1363, 0.1463, 0.1606, 0.076, 0.1527, 0.2392, 0.2063, 0.152, 0.0586, 0.021, 0.0841, 0.0877, 0.1787, 0.304, 0.4526, 0.3542, 0.4578, 0.3137, 0.3473, 0.3142, 0.3911, 0.2611, 0.202, 0.1372, 0.2556, 0.383, 0.3537, 0.3537, 0.424, 0.616, 0.5257, 0.5136, 0.5136, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2031810360882446636", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-11T19:11:53+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS has a much superior capex financing structure", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "IREN capped near-term by $6B ATM dilution; NBIS preferred for equity appreciation on superior capex structure.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It’s not that $IREN will crash. \n\nIt’s moreso short-medium term IREN’s upside is capped due to the $6B ATM.\n\nIf you’re investing in IREN it’s better to wait after existing holders get diluted to oblivion from up to $6B in selling pressure, then go long after. \n\nIf you’re chasing equity appreciation, $NBIS has a much superior capex financing structure.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Sorry about these people very mad at you. Could I please ask you to clarify though? Do you think IREN will fail? Or just underperformed competition yet still go up in value? \n\nTrying to decide to hold for breakeven @ 55 run away now", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "tcuso14", "ret_m1d": -0.1389794371149411, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1389794371149411, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.14023617745734684, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1422273054172145, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0032478683022734156, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03531409200465763, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03531409200465763, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.020129143135294125, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.020527783801718047, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01478630820293958, "ret_p1w": 0.058618640573336434, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.058618640573336434, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08064933135250185, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08716559025659587, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "bench_c_p1w": -0.028546949683259437, "ret_p1m": 0.21728647250035737, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21728647250035737, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2092477864708886, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2375031427147838, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "bench_c_p1m": -0.020216670214426413, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.217, -0.2755, -0.2772, -0.3263, -0.3027, -0.2012, -0.1676, -0.1961, -0.1863, -0.1863, -0.2179, -0.2318, -0.2395, -0.2526, -0.2526, -0.1968, -0.1711, -0.105, -0.1409, -0.1312, -0.1256, -0.0417, -0.0586, -0.0894, -0.0724, -0.0292, -0.0292, -0.1134, -0.1172, -0.1352, -0.1562, -0.1834, -0.1261, -0.1033, -0.1526, -0.2393, -0.2128, -0.1968, -0.2643, -0.3404, -0.2312, -0.1707, -0.1804, -0.2088, -0.1988, -0.1249, -0.1249, -0.1292, -0.091, -0.0392, -0.1257, -0.1017, -0.0841, -0.0525, -0.0635, -0.1858, -0.1874, -0.225, -0.1269, -0.1459, -0.2024, -0.1523, -0.139, 0.0, -0.0353, 0.0085, 0.1594, 0.0387, 0.0586, 0.085, 0.0502, 0.0192, 0.026, 0.0276, -0.0538, -0.0998, -0.1762, -0.0735, -0.0897, -0.0283, -0.0283, 0.0049, 0.0483, 0.1161, 0.2173, 0.2944, 0.3801, 0.446, 0.4891, 0.4763, 0.4031, 0.4211, 0.3978, 0.3942, 0.4026, 0.314, 0.2943, 0.21, 0.2607, 0.2343, 0.3794, 0.5752, 0.5708, 0.742, 0.6498, 0.5809, 0.6617, 0.5993, 0.8507, 0.9746, 0.9638, 0.7845, 0.7655, 0.7128, 0.9637, 0.9177, 0.9177, 0.8578, 0.8605, 1.021, 1.0634, 1.0634, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2030799872870527461", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-09T00:16:34+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the setup looks prime for a short squeeze. Due to revenue reaccelerating, new acquisitions for global expansion, no threats of balance sheet insolvency, and now a partnership with $NVO", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bullish HIMS into Monday: NVO partnership flips short-squeeze setup with 40%+ float short, revenue reaccelerating, and insolvency risk removed.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$HIMS overnight trading will begin soon after finishing Friday at $22.\n\nPreviously it traded at $70, but given:\n\n- $NVO / US Gov lawsuit threatening to bankrupt the company\n\n- $HIMS revenue deceleration from GLP-1.\n\nShort sellers shorted 40%+ of the company’s float.\n\nAll of that flipped Friday after hours once $NVO partnered up with $HIMS per Bloomberg, in an extremely surprising event.\n\nDue to revenue reaccelerating, new acquisitions for global expansion, no threats of balance sheet insolvency, and now a partnership with $NVO:\n\nShort sellers now face infinite losses, selling close to half of the float short. \n\nAnd the setup looks prime for a short squeeze.\n\nHowever, the outcome primarily depends on how retail reacts or if they capitulate to short sellers.\n\nEither way, everyone will be watching Monday to see whether $HIMS cactus pills serves as a macroeconomic flight to safety against crude oil.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Monday could make history.\n\nAs one of the largest short squeezes in history could unfold. \n\n&gt; Institutions shorted 40% of $HIMS (extraordinarily large)\n\n&gt; expecting 0 revenue growth\n\n&gt; betting the FDA and $NVO would bankrupt the company\n\nAll in one day:\n\n&gt; $HIMS lawsuit with Novo https://t.co/5FTEJtvpT8", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.2897111967734822, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.2897111967734822, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.281027243409127, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.281027243409127, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0591154997726846, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0591154997726846, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06072262667805173, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06072262667805173, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "ret_p1w": 0.12274365216984151, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12274365216984151, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.13636655889404026, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13636655889404026, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "ret_p1m": -0.12003609502383417, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12003609502383417, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09460413060422168, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09460413060422168, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.7094, 0.7044, 0.6792, 0.6358, 0.6634, 0.5781, 0.569, 0.6047, 0.5817, 0.5704, 0.5645, 0.5645, 0.5483, 0.5388, 0.491, 0.4653, 0.4653, 0.5077, 0.5663, 0.6002, 0.6002, 0.5284, 0.4301, 0.4594, 0.4531, 0.4134, 0.4093, 0.4161, 0.4161, 0.375, 0.3037, 0.3773, 0.3366, 0.3664, 0.3394, 0.2938, 0.3479, 0.2225, 0.1931, 0.1525, 0.1011, 0.0596, 0.0388, -0.1277, -0.222, -0.2468, -0.287, -0.2644, -0.2644, -0.2658, -0.2852, -0.2861, -0.2947, -0.3001, -0.3023, -0.2861, -0.296, -0.3448, -0.2563, -0.2861, -0.2577, -0.2834, -0.2897, 0.0, 0.0591, 0.1679, 0.0758, 0.1178, 0.1227, 0.1273, 0.0447, 0.0903, -0.0063, 0.0135, -0.037, -0.0596, -0.0587, -0.1255, -0.1525, -0.0632, -0.1047, -0.1363, -0.1363, -0.0826, -0.12, -0.125, -0.1088, -0.1232, -0.0456, -0.0361, 0.0961, 0.218, 0.3005, 0.3994, 0.343, 0.3091, 0.2703, 0.3791, 0.3263, 0.2595, 0.1882, 0.2261, 0.2369, 0.2306, 0.1882, 0.213, 0.1575, 0.2757, 0.315, 0.1295, 0.0894, 0.0939, 0.1304, 0.0059, 0.0126, 0.0397, 0.0835, 0.0718, 0.0718, 0.0763, 0.1372, 0.1453, 0.1801, 0.1801, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2022196582884790607", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-13T06:30:10+00:00", "symbol": "005930.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If your answer to that is \"likely, might be good to get exposure to Korean, Japanese, or Taiwanese equities", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "If memory shortage proves durable (AI-cycle 'oil'), get exposure to Samsung and SK Hynix ahead of projected 2027 profit supremacy.", "resolved_tickers": ["005930.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "These numbers are staggering:\n\nSamsung and SK Hynix are projected to become the most profitable companies in the world by 2027.\n\nTheir projections exceed $APPL and $GOOGL, both ~$4T companies in operating profit.\n\nFor reference, Samsung is valued at ~$820B and SK Hynix is valued at ~$410B. \n\nThat would make a ~$410B company in SK Hynix more profitable than $GOOGL ($3.7T) in 2027.\n\nBy Morgan Stanley estimates earlier, SK Hynix and Samsung are est. to bring in:\n\n~$387.7 Billion USD combined operating income.\n\nAmerica’s two most profitable companies $APPL and $GOOGL combined brought in $263 Billion USD for 2025. (Google $129-132B, Apple $133.1B)\n\n2027 est.\nSamsung Electronics: ~$226.7 Billion\nSk Hynix: ~$161.0 Billion\n\n2027 est:\nApple: ~$156B-$165B\nGoogle: ~$168B-178B\n\nThe statistics of smaller Korean equities exceeding multi trillion dollar US hyperscalers in profitability is staggering. \n\nIt’s a genuinely interesting point, that a $410B company exceeds $4T+ hyperscalers in profitability. \n\nBut the bigger question markets are pricing in is if the memory shortage is ephemeral, or if they become a necessary “Oil” like GPUs for the AI buildout.\n\nIf your answer to that is “likely, might be good to get exposure to Korean, Japanese, or Taiwanese equities.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.014348760883882816, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014348760883882816, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.013644771340488582, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01184100103768504, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0007039895433942345, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002507759846197777, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.049117045193550535, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.049117045193550535, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.037851865923986816, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03965864819375442, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011265179269563719, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009458396999796115, "ret_p1m": 0.04139076939242092, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04139076939242092, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06004855704109402, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.046979697766254436, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.018657787648673096, "bench_c_p1m": -0.005588928373833513, "ret_p3m": 0.5705730465954528, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5705730465954528, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4787692013151541, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3018004805335839, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09180384528029872, "bench_c_p3m": 0.26877256606186894, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4629, -0.47, -0.4475, -0.4794, -0.4689, -0.4546, -0.4354, -0.4316, -0.448, -0.4464, -0.4321, -0.4261, -0.4228, -0.4047, -0.3986, -0.4047, -0.4069, -0.4107, -0.4019, -0.4244, -0.4354, -0.4074, -0.4091, -0.4162, -0.3931, -0.3876, -0.3898, -0.3898, -0.3574, -0.3405, -0.3383, -0.3383, -0.3383, -0.2908, -0.2379, -0.2334, -0.2219, -0.234, -0.2329, -0.234, -0.2406, -0.2257, -0.2058, -0.1783, -0.176, -0.1987, -0.1749, -0.1595, -0.1606, -0.1606, -0.1198, -0.1038, -0.1131, -0.1142, -0.17, -0.0756, -0.0668, -0.1209, -0.1247, -0.0817, -0.085, -0.074, -0.0143, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0486, 0.0491, 0.0651, 0.1038, 0.1231, 0.2031, 0.1948, 0.1948, 0.0767, -0.0497, 0.0574, 0.0386, -0.0425, 0.037, 0.0486, 0.037, 0.0127, 0.0414, 0.0701, 0.1507, 0.1065, 0.1004, 0.0281, 0.0469, 0.043, -0.0061, -0.0061, -0.025, -0.0754, 0.0488, -0.0134, 0.0297, 0.0679, 0.0867, 0.1641, 0.1282, 0.1392, 0.1116, 0.142, 0.1669, 0.2028, 0.1945, 0.1862, 0.2111, 0.2028, 0.2415, 0.2139, 0.2415, 0.2277, 0.2498, 0.2194, 0.2194, 0.2858, 0.2858, 0.471, 0.5014, 0.4849, 0.5789, 0.5429, 0.5706, 0.6369, 0.4959, 0.554, 0.5236, 0.5263, 0.6563, 0.6176, 0.6176, 0.6535, 0.6978, 0.6563, 0.7531, 0.9162, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2022196582884790607", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-13T06:30:10+00:00", "symbol": "000660.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If your answer to that is \"likely, might be good to get exposure to Korean, Japanese, or Taiwanese equities", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "If memory shortage proves durable (AI-cycle 'oil'), get exposure to Samsung and SK Hynix ahead of projected 2027 profit supremacy.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "These numbers are staggering:\n\nSamsung and SK Hynix are projected to become the most profitable companies in the world by 2027.\n\nTheir projections exceed $APPL and $GOOGL, both ~$4T companies in operating profit.\n\nFor reference, Samsung is valued at ~$820B and SK Hynix is valued at ~$410B. \n\nThat would make a ~$410B company in SK Hynix more profitable than $GOOGL ($3.7T) in 2027.\n\nBy Morgan Stanley estimates earlier, SK Hynix and Samsung are est. to bring in:\n\n~$387.7 Billion USD combined operating income.\n\nAmerica’s two most profitable companies $APPL and $GOOGL combined brought in $263 Billion USD for 2025. (Google $129-132B, Apple $133.1B)\n\n2027 est.\nSamsung Electronics: ~$226.7 Billion\nSk Hynix: ~$161.0 Billion\n\n2027 est:\nApple: ~$156B-$165B\nGoogle: ~$168B-178B\n\nThe statistics of smaller Korean equities exceeding multi trillion dollar US hyperscalers in profitability is staggering. \n\nIt’s a genuinely interesting point, that a $410B company exceeds $4T+ hyperscalers in profitability. \n\nBut the bigger question markets are pricing in is if the memory shortage is ephemeral, or if they become a necessary “Oil” like GPUs for the AI buildout.\n\nIf your answer to that is “likely, might be good to get exposure to Korean, Japanese, or Taiwanese equities.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.009090917501398676, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.009090917501398676, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009794907044792911, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03275291750185427, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0007039895433942345, "bench_c_m1d": -0.023662000000455596, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.07840906559675243, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07840906559675243, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0671438863271887, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.019365969455561904, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011265179269563719, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05904309614119052, "ret_p1m": 0.10886050437821937, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10886050437821937, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12751829202689247, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11535445906404684, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.018657787648673096, "bench_c_p1m": -0.006493954685827474, "ret_p3m": 1.2495979672804398, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.2495979672804398, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.157794122000141, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.841596152216916, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09180384528029872, "bench_c_p3m": 0.40800181506352384, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3527, -0.3618, -0.3516, -0.4084, -0.4095, -0.4106, -0.405, -0.3818, -0.3977, -0.3886, -0.3659, -0.3727, -0.3841, -0.3818, -0.3443, -0.3568, -0.333, -0.358, -0.3511, -0.3705, -0.3977, -0.3739, -0.3727, -0.3784, -0.3409, -0.3364, -0.3318, -0.3318, -0.3193, -0.2727, -0.2602, -0.2602, -0.2602, -0.2307, -0.2091, -0.175, -0.1568, -0.1409, -0.1545, -0.1489, -0.1614, -0.1568, -0.1489, -0.1409, -0.1318, -0.1557, -0.1591, -0.142, -0.1284, -0.1636, -0.0909, -0.0443, -0.0216, 0.033, -0.0568, 0.0307, 0.0227, -0.0432, -0.0466, 0.008, -0.0045, -0.0227, 0.0091, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0159, 0.0784, 0.0807, 0.142, 0.1568, 0.2512, 0.2079, 0.2079, 0.069, -0.0334, 0.0713, 0.0519, -0.0482, 0.0679, 0.0872, 0.0588, 0.036, 0.1089, 0.1043, 0.2022, 0.1533, 0.1464, 0.0622, 0.1225, 0.1328, 0.0622, 0.0622, -0.0061, -0.0813, 0.0212, -0.0551, -0.0027, 0.0087, 0.0428, 0.176, 0.1362, 0.1692, 0.184, 0.2557, 0.2933, 0.3149, 0.2842, 0.3274, 0.3935, 0.3923, 0.3946, 0.3912, 0.4709, 0.48, 0.472, 0.4641, 0.4641, 0.6474, 0.6474, 0.8227, 0.883, 0.9194, 1.1403, 1.0891, 1.2496, 1.2428, 1.0709, 1.0948, 0.9866, 0.9866, 1.2086, 1.2098, 1.2098, 1.3361, 1.5536, 1.6064, 1.6565, 1.7117, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2023675057915260944", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-17T08:25:06+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "these names drop 50-70%+", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Expects HIMS, DUOL, BMNR to drop 50-70%+ in Q1 2026 as markets turn sour; CRWV and ASST also implicitly bearish as retail darlings in a turning market.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This data is alarming... Robinhood users lost a collective:\n\n- $24.6 Billion USD in Q4 2025. \n\nWith Robinhood portfolios on X consisting of :\n\n$HIMS, $DUOL, and $BMNR.\n\nQ1 2026 is likely to be even worse, as these names drop 50-70%+. \n\nEveryone thinks they're Warren Buffet, making profit from Duolingo, $CRWV, and $ASST in an extreme bull market. \n\nBut as markets turn sour: \n\nWe'll start to see the real traders and investors, who are able to profit in any market condition.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0018438093701811376, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0018438093701811376, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0034546767603832462, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0034546767603832462, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0016108673902021087, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0016108673902021087, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.026429028462048643, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.026429028462048643, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.031466787003665675, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.031466787003665675, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005037758541617032, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005037758541617032, "ret_p1w": -0.04978490453761397, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04978490453761397, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.056374914363430007, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.056374914363430007, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0065900098258160344, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0065900098258160344, "ret_p1m": 0.4228641036997405, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.4228641036997405, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.45423259349162015, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.45423259349162015, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03136848979187967, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03136848979187967, "ret_p3m": 0.5396434254620601, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.5396434254620601, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4542092858107112, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4542092858107112, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08543413965134894, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08543413965134894, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [1.0664, 1.1334, 1.3221, 1.2797, 1.3602, 1.3602, 1.4438, 1.3055, 1.2317, 1.2784, 1.4597, 1.4093, 1.4044, 1.4474, 1.3282, 1.3215, 1.287, 1.228, 1.2655, 1.1494, 1.1371, 1.1856, 1.1543, 1.1389, 1.1309, 1.1309, 1.1088, 1.0959, 1.0307, 0.9957, 0.9957, 1.0535, 1.1334, 1.1795, 1.1795, 1.0817, 0.9478, 0.9877, 0.9791, 0.925, 0.9195, 0.9287, 0.9287, 0.8728, 0.7757, 0.8758, 0.8205, 0.8611, 0.8242, 0.7621, 0.8359, 0.665, 0.6251, 0.5698, 0.4997, 0.4431, 0.4149, 0.1881, 0.0596, 0.0258, -0.0289, 0.0018, 0.0018, 0.0, -0.0264, -0.0277, -0.0393, -0.0467, -0.0498, -0.0277, -0.0412, -0.1076, 0.0129, -0.0277, 0.0111, -0.024, -0.0326, 0.362, 0.4425, 0.5907, 0.4653, 0.5224, 0.5292, 0.5353, 0.4229, 0.4849, 0.3534, 0.3805, 0.3116, 0.2809, 0.2821, 0.1911, 0.1543, 0.276, 0.2194, 0.1764, 0.1764, 0.2495, 0.1985, 0.1918, 0.2139, 0.1942, 0.2999, 0.3128, 0.4929, 0.6589, 0.7714, 0.906, 0.8291, 0.783, 0.7302, 0.8783, 0.8064, 0.7154, 0.6183, 0.6699, 0.6847, 0.6761, 0.6183, 0.6521, 0.5765, 0.7376, 0.791, 0.5384, 0.4837, 0.4899, 0.5396, 0.37, 0.3792, 0.4161, 0.4757, 0.4597, 0.4597, 0.4659, 0.5489, 0.5599, 0.6073, 0.6073, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2023675057915260944", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-17T08:25:06+00:00", "symbol": "DUOL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "these names drop 50-70%+", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Expects HIMS, DUOL, BMNR to drop 50-70%+ in Q1 2026 as markets turn sour; CRWV and ASST also implicitly bearish as retail darlings in a turning market.", "resolved_tickers": ["DUOL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This data is alarming... Robinhood users lost a collective:\n\n- $24.6 Billion USD in Q4 2025. \n\nWith Robinhood portfolios on X consisting of :\n\n$HIMS, $DUOL, and $BMNR.\n\nQ1 2026 is likely to be even worse, as these names drop 50-70%+. \n\nEveryone thinks they're Warren Buffet, making profit from Duolingo, $CRWV, and $ASST in an extreme bull market. \n\nBut as markets turn sour: \n\nWe'll start to see the real traders and investors, who are able to profit in any market condition.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.004371858099254222, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004371858099254222, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.005982725489456331, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005982725489456331, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0016108673902021087, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0016108673902021087, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0033904108423441492, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0033904108423441492, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.001647347699272883, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.001647347699272883, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005037758541617032, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005037758541617032, "ret_p1w": -0.023643839066610828, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.023643839066610828, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.030233848892426862, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.030233848892426862, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0065900098258160344, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0065900098258160344, "ret_p1m": -0.10733403446433254, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10733403446433254, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07596554467245287, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07596554467245287, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03136848979187967, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03136848979187967, "ret_p3m": -0.00017848208542226018, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.00017848208542226018, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0856126217367712, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0856126217367712, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08543413965134894, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08543413965134894, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.499, 0.5416, 0.5388, 0.5682, 0.6812, 0.6812, 0.7078, 0.6546, 0.6293, 0.6536, 0.6808, 0.7822, 0.8551, 0.8655, 0.7616, 0.793, 0.7512, 0.6593, 0.6664, 0.6412, 0.6318, 0.6592, 0.6539, 0.5994, 0.6122, 0.6122, 0.6208, 0.6075, 0.5805, 0.5658, 0.5658, 0.5746, 0.6519, 0.5965, 0.573, 0.5513, 0.5762, 0.4431, 0.4793, 0.3943, 0.3778, 0.3398, 0.3398, 0.3257, 0.3099, 0.3713, 0.3916, 0.3522, 0.3034, 0.2741, 0.2444, 0.1961, 0.1771, 0.0732, 0.043, 0.0202, 0.0653, 0.0609, 0.0769, -0.0248, -0.0003, 0.0044, 0.0044, 0.0, 0.0034, -0.0087, 0.0077, -0.053, -0.0236, -0.0038, 0.0479, -0.0989, -0.1005, -0.0934, -0.142, -0.094, -0.0906, -0.104, -0.1508, -0.1184, -0.1531, -0.1221, -0.0904, -0.0689, -0.1073, -0.1113, -0.1252, -0.11, -0.1285, -0.1156, -0.1246, -0.1493, -0.1602, -0.1205, -0.1418, -0.1387, -0.1387, -0.1133, -0.1409, -0.1875, -0.1923, -0.1967, -0.1655, -0.184, -0.1187, -0.077, -0.1032, -0.0646, -0.0843, -0.0585, -0.1052, -0.077, -0.0783, -0.0521, -0.0469, -0.0177, -0.0074, -0.0165, -0.0718, -0.063, 0.0137, -0.0365, -0.0618, -0.0542, -0.0633, -0.0261, -0.0002, 0.0103, 0.018, -0.0469, -0.0575, -0.0488, -0.0488, -0.05, -0.038, -0.0304, -0.0064, -0.0064, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2023675057915260944", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-17T08:25:06+00:00", "symbol": "BMNR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "these names drop 50-70%+", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Expects HIMS, DUOL, BMNR to drop 50-70%+ in Q1 2026 as markets turn sour; CRWV and ASST also implicitly bearish as retail darlings in a turning market.", "resolved_tickers": ["BMNR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This data is alarming... Robinhood users lost a collective:\n\n- $24.6 Billion USD in Q4 2025. \n\nWith Robinhood portfolios on X consisting of :\n\n$HIMS, $DUOL, and $BMNR.\n\nQ1 2026 is likely to be even worse, as these names drop 50-70%+. \n\nEveryone thinks they're Warren Buffet, making profit from Duolingo, $CRWV, and $ASST in an extreme bull market. \n\nBut as markets turn sour: \n\nWe'll start to see the real traders and investors, who are able to profit in any market condition.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04019848542317073, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04019848542317073, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.041809352813372835, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05073482113093375, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0016108673902021087, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010536335707763023, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.016377167739625276, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.016377167739625276, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.021414926281242308, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02384848242775084, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005037758541617032, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007471314688125563, "ret_p1w": -0.03523568724138981, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03523568724138981, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04182569706720585, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.011864048062242838, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0065900098258160344, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023371639179146975, "ret_p1m": 0.06253102991243331, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06253102991243331, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09389951970431298, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12440835914330384, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03136848979187967, "bench_c_p1m": -0.061877329230870526, "ret_p3m": -0.013895721319983734, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.013895721319983734, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09932986097133267, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.002145047492209895, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08543413965134894, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01604076881219363, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2909, 0.2899, 0.543, 0.4343, 0.5747, 0.5747, 0.6432, 0.4358, 0.5832, 0.67, 0.802, 0.6898, 0.7787, 0.9459, 1.005, 0.9047, 0.73, 0.536, 0.5578, 0.4551, 0.4109, 0.5563, 0.5429, 0.4779, 0.4566, 0.4566, 0.405, 0.4164, 0.3757, 0.3474, 0.3474, 0.5479, 0.6551, 0.6045, 0.5067, 0.5524, 0.4918, 0.5449, 0.5494, 0.6208, 0.532, 0.5464, 0.5464, 0.4015, 0.4566, 0.4342, 0.4293, 0.3797, 0.4556, 0.4705, 0.3251, 0.2457, 0.1315, 0.1092, 0.0074, -0.1365, 0.0159, 0.0645, -0.0099, -0.0337, -0.0203, 0.0402, 0.0402, 0.0, -0.0164, -0.0094, -0.001, -0.0462, -0.0352, 0.067, 0.0144, -0.0581, 0.0124, -0.0288, 0.0481, 0.0099, -0.063, 0.0273, 0.0288, 0.0447, 0.0199, 0.0194, 0.1608, 0.1529, 0.0625, 0.0491, 0.0392, 0.0556, 0.0323, 0.0541, -0.0337, -0.0873, -0.0918, -0.0184, -0.0228, -0.0347, -0.0347, 0.0223, 0.001, 0.068, 0.0462, 0.0561, 0.0675, 0.066, 0.1087, 0.1136, 0.139, 0.1181, 0.0774, 0.1568, 0.0918, 0.0988, 0.0695, 0.066, 0.0253, 0.062, 0.0859, 0.131, 0.1464, 0.137, 0.0918, 0.1002, 0.1424, 0.0754, 0.0511, 0.0918, -0.0139, -0.0705, -0.0754, -0.0377, -0.0268, -0.063, -0.063, -0.0471, -0.066, -0.0447, -0.0437, -0.0437, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2023675057915260944", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-02-17T08:25:06+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Everyone thinks they're Warren Buffet, making profit from Duolingo, $CRWV, and $ASST in an extreme bull market", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Expects HIMS, DUOL, BMNR to drop 50-70%+ in Q1 2026 as markets turn sour; CRWV and ASST also implicitly bearish as retail darlings in a turning market.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This data is alarming... Robinhood users lost a collective:\n\n- $24.6 Billion USD in Q4 2025. \n\nWith Robinhood portfolios on X consisting of :\n\n$HIMS, $DUOL, and $BMNR.\n\nQ1 2026 is likely to be even worse, as these names drop 50-70%+. \n\nEveryone thinks they're Warren Buffet, making profit from Duolingo, $CRWV, and $ASST in an extreme bull market. \n\nBut as markets turn sour: \n\nWe'll start to see the real traders and investors, who are able to profit in any market condition.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.055384625445355384, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.055384625445355384, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05699549283555749, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05699549283555749, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0016108673902021087, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0016108673902021087, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04890106536529881, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04890106536529881, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04386330682368178, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04386330682368178, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005037758541617032, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005037758541617032, "ret_p1w": 0.09120882474459124, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09120882474459124, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08461881491877521, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08461881491877521, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0065900098258160344, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0065900098258160344, "ret_p1m": -0.0898901132436899, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0898901132436899, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05852162345181022, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05852162345181022, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03136848979187967, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03136848979187967, "ret_p3m": 0.1791209126566793, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1791209126566793, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09368677300533035, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09368677300533035, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08543413965134894, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08543413965134894, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2395, -0.2126, -0.1912, -0.2166, -0.1836, -0.1836, -0.1965, -0.1532, -0.1645, -0.1279, -0.0577, -0.0297, -0.0523, -0.0037, -0.0312, -0.0398, -0.1364, -0.2049, -0.2363, -0.2907, -0.2563, -0.0879, -0.0678, -0.118, -0.1333, -0.1333, -0.1602, -0.1767, -0.1879, -0.2131, -0.2131, -0.1284, -0.1554, -0.1435, -0.1519, -0.1529, -0.1193, -0.0118, -0.0387, -0.0132, 0.0441, 0.1124, 0.1124, 0.0464, 0.0335, 0.0087, 0.0218, 0.0803, 0.1963, 0.1651, 0.0937, 0.0241, -0.0226, -0.0103, -0.0938, -0.1797, -0.0115, 0.0636, 0.0452, 0.0456, 0.0516, 0.0554, 0.0554, 0.0, 0.0489, 0.0675, -0.0192, -0.0018, 0.0912, 0.077, 0.0729, -0.1257, -0.1423, -0.1892, -0.1264, -0.1778, -0.1979, -0.1823, -0.1767, -0.0993, -0.1224, -0.1087, -0.0565, -0.0976, -0.0899, -0.1136, -0.1047, -0.0993, -0.0877, -0.0376, -0.1159, -0.1779, -0.2401, -0.1487, -0.138, -0.0963, -0.0963, -0.1105, -0.0633, -0.0231, 0.011, 0.1209, 0.2118, 0.2879, 0.3043, 0.3138, 0.2841, 0.2904, 0.2655, 0.3466, 0.2903, 0.2103, 0.2314, 0.1597, 0.2548, 0.2264, 0.3078, 0.3784, 0.4054, 0.5163, 0.4158, 0.2544, 0.2604, 0.1841, 0.2232, 0.2551, 0.1791, 0.1403, 0.0968, 0.113, 0.1822, 0.1592, 0.1592, 0.1636, 0.1458, 0.1743, 0.2036, 0.2036, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2023675057915260944", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-02-17T08:25:06+00:00", "symbol": "ASST", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Everyone thinks they're Warren Buffet, making profit from Duolingo, $CRWV, and $ASST in an extreme bull market", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Expects HIMS, DUOL, BMNR to drop 50-70%+ in Q1 2026 as markets turn sour; CRWV and ASST also implicitly bearish as retail darlings in a turning market.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASST"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Asset Management'", "bench_c_industry": "Asset Management", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This data is alarming... Robinhood users lost a collective:\n\n- $24.6 Billion USD in Q4 2025. \n\nWith Robinhood portfolios on X consisting of :\n\n$HIMS, $DUOL, and $BMNR.\n\nQ1 2026 is likely to be even worse, as these names drop 50-70%+. \n\nEveryone thinks they're Warren Buffet, making profit from Duolingo, $CRWV, and $ASST in an extreme bull market. \n\nBut as markets turn sour: \n\nWe'll start to see the real traders and investors, who are able to profit in any market condition.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.018337360994395535, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.018337360994395535, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.019948228384597644, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.028873696702158558, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0016108673902021087, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010536335707763023, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.015892433935321804, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015892433935321804, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.020930192476938836, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.023363748623447367, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005037758541617032, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007471314688125563, "ret_p1w": -0.12408316692610954, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12408316692610954, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.13067317675192558, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10071152774696257, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0065900098258160344, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023371639179146975, "ret_p1m": 0.22677255171526123, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.22677255171526123, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2581410415071409, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.28864988094613175, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03136848979187967, "bench_c_p1m": -0.061877329230870526, "ret_p3m": 1.0525672725102106, "ret_signed_p3m": -1.0525672725102106, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.9671331328588617, "alpha_c_p3m": -1.0686080413224044, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08543413965134894, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01604076881219363, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [1.4034, 1.4939, 1.7628, 1.7139, 1.7628, 1.7628, 1.7384, 1.5672, 1.5306, 1.5672, 1.3888, 1.2029, 1.4083, 1.4939, 1.445, 1.2543, 1.11, 0.9291, 1.1027, 1.0073, 1.0318, 1.198, 1.1174, 0.9682, 1.1076, 1.1076, 0.9927, 0.89, 0.7897, 0.8044, 0.8044, 1.1149, 1.5183, 1.5428, 1.4939, 1.4694, 1.313, 1.6895, 1.3716, 1.5183, 1.3741, 1.3178, 1.3178, 1.1638, 1.1809, 1.1271, 1.1296, 0.9218, 1.0024, 0.9584, 0.9193, 1.0073, 0.7677, 0.6675, 0.4474, 0.2054, 0.4566, 0.2402, 0.1222, -0.011, -0.0587, 0.0183, 0.0183, 0.0, -0.0159, -0.0073, -0.0037, -0.1002, -0.1241, 0.044, 0.0012, -0.0293, 0.0672, 0.0183, 0.176, 0.1308, 0.0636, 0.0403, 0.0978, 0.1284, 0.0795, 0.165, 0.3276, 0.357, 0.2268, 0.2543, 0.2249, 0.2763, 0.2139, 0.3264, 0.2726, 0.2048, 0.1455, 0.2249, 0.2421, 0.1919, 0.1919, 0.2372, 0.1326, 0.2531, 0.1785, 0.2995, 0.4156, 0.5196, 0.654, 0.709, 0.9083, 0.9095, 0.8716, 1.0367, 0.9804, 0.9315, 0.9181, 0.868, 0.7616, 0.8778, 0.9939, 0.9994, 1.0183, 0.9902, 0.89, 0.9462, 1.1944, 1.0868, 1.0465, 1.165, 1.0526, 0.9303, 0.9756, 1.0758, 1.2653, 1.2262, 1.2262, 1.2127, 1.1785, 1.176, 1.1601, 1.1601, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2014282167980040198", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-22T10:21:07+00:00", "symbol": "MU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$MU has the biggest moat in the world: US national security + Made in America supply chains. The White House + US hyperscalers won't let $INTC or $MU fail. And it's trading at 11 forward p/e. This is the easiest long on US policy.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strong long MU on US national-security moat, policy backstop, and 11x forward P/E; INTC also backed by same policy floor.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It's extremely easy to overthink things with qualification risk or Sk Hynix ramp + competition. \n\n$MU has the biggest moat in the world:\n\nUS national security + Made in America supply chains.\n\nThe White House + US hyperscalers won't let $INTC or $MU fail. And it's trading at 11 forward p/e. \n\nThis is the easiest long on US policy.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Very true.\nWaiting for a pullback, which may never come.\nIt's just very hard to buy with the price climibng from 240 so fast.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "VotrubaLog", "ret_m1d": -0.02130385803571222, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02130385803571222, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.016107768387420784, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019094398147288305, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005196089648291435, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0022094598884239147, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0052065551513811315, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0052065551513811315, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004843774911640564, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011983802896503248, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0003627802397405677, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006777247745122117, "ret_p1w": 0.09610656382871707, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09610656382871707, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08876239588527235, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.059613883668415246, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007344167943444724, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03649268016030183, "ret_p1m": 0.07694055564130498, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07694055564130498, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07628739131642437, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04662927210753898, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0006531643248806063, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030311283533765998, "ret_p3m": 0.1307631524991879, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1307631524991879, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10605581062304914, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.022754535831812195, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024707341876138766, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1535176883310001, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4466, -0.4421, -0.4302, -0.4368, -0.4374, -0.4099, -0.4518, -0.4029, -0.4008, -0.4018, -0.3632, -0.3938, -0.3843, -0.4043, -0.3794, -0.3917, -0.4255, -0.432, -0.4937, -0.4786, -0.437, -0.4355, -0.4211, -0.4211, -0.4054, -0.3954, -0.3979, -0.4113, -0.4302, -0.4036, -0.3792, -0.3654, -0.337, -0.3502, -0.3937, -0.4029, -0.4154, -0.433, -0.3751, -0.3314, -0.3046, -0.3054, -0.2792, -0.2792, -0.284, -0.2596, -0.264, -0.2821, -0.2821, -0.2067, -0.2149, -0.1362, -0.146, -0.1775, -0.132, -0.1301, -0.1495, -0.1616, -0.1533, -0.0876, -0.0876, -0.0819, -0.0213, 0.0, 0.0052, -0.0214, 0.0318, 0.0948, 0.0961, 0.0435, 0.1012, 0.055, -0.0457, -0.0369, -0.0073, -0.0354, -0.0612, 0.0321, 0.0412, 0.0354, 0.0354, 0.0055, 0.0588, 0.0497, 0.0769, 0.0588, 0.0514, 0.079, 0.0452, 0.0372, 0.038, -0.045, 0.008, -0.0013, -0.0686, -0.0208, 0.0139, 0.0531, 0.0195, 0.0718, 0.1112, 0.1613, 0.1614, 0.1174, 0.0637, 0.017, -0.0052, -0.039, -0.1059, -0.1015, -0.1903, -0.1499, -0.0744, -0.0784, -0.0784, -0.0495, -0.0499, 0.0234, 0.0606, 0.0583, 0.0733, 0.1717, 0.148, 0.1505, 0.1451, 0.1283, 0.1308, 0.2266, 0.2121, 0.2499, 0.3199, 0.2689, 0.3046, 0.3013, 0.3643, 0.4505, 0.6109, 0.6773, 0.6271, 0.8792, 1.0013, 0.9289, 1.0222, 0.9527, 0.8234, 0.7149, 0.7582, 0.8419, 0.9177, 0.8897, 0.8897, 1.2543, 1.3361, 1.3238, 1.4433, 1.4433, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2014282167980040198", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-22T10:21:07+00:00", "symbol": "INTC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The White House + US hyperscalers won't let $INTC or $MU fail", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strong long MU on US national-security moat, policy backstop, and 11x forward P/E; INTC also backed by same policy floor.", "resolved_tickers": ["INTC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It's extremely easy to overthink things with qualification risk or Sk Hynix ramp + competition. \n\n$MU has the biggest moat in the world:\n\nUS national security + Made in America supply chains.\n\nThe White House + US hyperscalers won't let $INTC or $MU fail. And it's trading at 11 forward p/e. \n\nThis is the easiest long on US policy.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Very true.\nWaiting for a pullback, which may never come.\nIt's just very hard to buy with the price climibng from 240 so fast.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "VotrubaLog", "ret_m1d": -0.0012886541829434384, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0012886541829434384, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.003907435465347997, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.003907435465347997, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005196089648291435, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005196089648291435, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.1702871879964567, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.1702871879964567, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.17064996823619727, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.17064996823619727, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0003627802397405677, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0003627802397405677, "ret_p1w": -0.10419734681904669, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10419734681904669, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11154151476249141, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11154151476249141, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007344167943444724, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007344167943444724, "ret_p1m": -0.18796021984229683, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.18796021984229683, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.18861338416717743, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.18861338416717743, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0006531643248806063, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0006531643248806063, "ret_p3m": 0.2198085881532863, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2198085881532863, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.19510124627714753, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.19510124627714753, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024707341876138766, "bench_c_p3m": 0.024707341876138766, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2721, -0.2355, -0.239, -0.2607, -0.2638, -0.2728, -0.3183, -0.2934, -0.3144, -0.298, -0.2922, -0.3027, -0.3025, -0.3389, -0.3461, -0.361, -0.368, -0.3536, -0.3811, -0.3649, -0.3411, -0.3404, -0.3223, -0.3223, -0.2533, -0.2634, -0.1997, -0.1944, -0.2544, -0.2377, -0.2581, -0.2544, -0.2493, -0.2726, -0.3039, -0.3095, -0.3131, -0.3363, -0.3321, -0.3222, -0.3304, -0.3308, -0.3343, -0.3343, -0.3336, -0.3247, -0.3133, -0.3207, -0.3207, -0.275, -0.2752, -0.2629, -0.2152, -0.2432, -0.1615, -0.1889, -0.1294, -0.1031, -0.1105, -0.1355, -0.1355, -0.106, -0.0013, 0.0, -0.1703, -0.2178, -0.1913, -0.102, -0.1042, -0.1445, -0.1014, -0.0933, -0.1053, -0.1119, -0.0687, -0.0751, -0.1324, -0.111, -0.1443, -0.1386, -0.1386, -0.1499, -0.1631, -0.1786, -0.188, -0.1968, -0.151, -0.137, -0.1631, -0.1603, -0.1624, -0.2066, -0.1609, -0.1541, -0.2007, -0.1609, -0.1388, -0.1167, -0.167, -0.1574, -0.1576, -0.1889, -0.171, -0.1499, -0.1924, -0.1898, -0.1889, -0.1314, -0.1881, -0.206, -0.2417, -0.1876, -0.1158, -0.0725, -0.0725, -0.0652, -0.026, 0.0852, 0.1362, 0.1484, 0.1999, 0.1747, 0.1955, 0.261, 0.261, 0.2095, 0.2198, 0.2016, 0.2294, 0.5195, 0.5646, 0.556, 0.7443, 0.7393, 0.8339, 0.7633, 0.991, 1.0804, 1.018, 1.2997, 1.3829, 1.2204, 1.2145, 1.1342, 1.0024, 0.9913, 1.0398, 1.19, 1.1815, 1.2062, 1.2062, 1.2739, 1.2417, 1.2255, 1.1112, 1.1112, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2031840738695406034", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-11T21:12:36+00:00", "symbol": "TSEM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I like $TSEM. I think it could get rerated to $35B MC which is like 2.5x from here. Feels like a matter of time, maybe another year and a half?", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long TSEM targeting $35B market cap, ~2.5x upside over ~18 months via re-rating.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSEM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@PhotonCap Oh yeah I like $TSEM. I think it could get rerated to $35B MC which is like 2.5x from here. \n\nFeels like a matter of time, maybe another year and a half?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit so i believe you still like TSEM or waiting for a target range in terms of price??", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PhotonCap", "ret_m1d": -0.0214333986575741, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0214333986575741, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.022690138999979848, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.022690138999979848, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007535176720382397, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007535176720382397, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007649772148981104, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.007649772148981104, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "ret_p1w": 0.18854658248611966, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.18854658248611966, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.21057727326528508, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.21057727326528508, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "ret_p1m": 0.7064635227565979, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.7064635227565979, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6984248367271291, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.6984248367271291, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "bench_c_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0042, -0.01, -0.0383, -0.0574, -0.023, -0.0023, -0.0091, 0.0138, 0.0254, 0.0254, 0.0182, 0.014, 0.0103, -0.0169, -0.0169, 0.0193, -0.0013, 0.0238, 0.0233, -0.0177, 0.0049, 0.0156, 0.0447, 0.0315, 0.0382, 0.087, 0.087, 0.08, 0.117, 0.0882, 0.0769, 0.0637, 0.1103, 0.1632, 0.1278, 0.128, 0.1461, 0.142, 0.0154, 0.0807, 0.1641, 0.2352, 0.1434, 0.1256, 0.1184, 0.0779, 0.0779, 0.0698, 0.0746, 0.0538, 0.0756, 0.0669, 0.055, 0.0547, 0.0368, 0.0455, 0.1603, 0.051, 0.034, 0.0092, -0.0741, -0.0333, -0.0214, 0.0, -0.0075, 0.0441, 0.1593, 0.1542, 0.1885, 0.3905, 0.37, 0.4411, 0.5139, 0.5802, 0.4625, 0.4394, 0.3277, 0.4692, 0.5662, 0.6561, 0.6561, 0.5923, 0.598, 0.7053, 0.7065, 0.7045, 0.7538, 0.7926, 0.8053, 0.798, 0.8959, 0.8795, 0.8145, 0.7256, 0.6851, 0.679, 0.7024, 0.6205, 0.6676, 0.8507, 0.8253, 0.8006, 0.8882, 0.8157, 0.7582, 0.7667, 0.9163, 0.8489, 1.267, 1.3501, 1.2939, 1.0769, 1.1038, 1.2143, 1.336, 1.373, 1.373, 1.4157, 1.3258, 1.3066, 1.1369, 1.1369, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2021940112125571250", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-12T13:31:03+00:00", "symbol": "LASR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LASR has one of the best exposure to energy directed lasers", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long LASR as a top way to gain exposure to directed-energy lasers.", "resolved_tickers": ["LASR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@metapata If people ever want to see this in their lifetime, $LASR has one of the best exposure to energy directed lasers https://t.co/eNPepoBrk7", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit own stock with cool tickers. Lasers!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "metapata", "ret_m1d": 0.045966046793522564, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.045966046793522564, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.030274759847112254, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.030274759847112254, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01569128694641031, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01569128694641031, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.002860986553610556, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.002860986553610556, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.003565472047425966, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.003565472047425966, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0007044854938154099, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0007044854938154099, "ret_p1w": 0.06198741142633879, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06198741142633879, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.057275749199913184, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.057275749199913184, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004711662226425606, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004711662226425606, "ret_p1m": 0.1939728802164693, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1939728802164693, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.22183266730050666, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.22183266730050666, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.027859787084037357, "bench_c_p1m": -0.027859787084037357, "ret_p3m": 0.5985122462476926, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5985122462476926, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5120180111345976, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5120180111345976, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08649423511309506, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08649423511309506, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4377, -0.4545, -0.4352, -0.4535, -0.4215, -0.3841, -0.3658, -0.338, -0.338, -0.3281, -0.3696, -0.3584, -0.3492, -0.3069, -0.305, -0.2953, -0.2771, -0.279, -0.2708, -0.3111, -0.3038, -0.3242, -0.3389, -0.3143, -0.2808, -0.2706, -0.2476, -0.25, -0.25, -0.2523, -0.256, -0.2647, -0.2846, -0.2846, -0.2682, -0.2735, -0.2809, -0.2838, -0.2365, -0.2367, -0.2071, -0.1852, -0.1766, -0.164, -0.1619, -0.1619, -0.1369, -0.1238, -0.0845, -0.1621, -0.1688, -0.1431, -0.123, -0.1015, -0.1301, -0.083, -0.0467, -0.1635, -0.1209, -0.025, 0.0412, 0.0093, 0.046, 0.0, -0.0029, -0.0029, -0.0294, 0.0366, 0.062, 0.0683, 0.0433, 0.0994, 0.1558, 0.2006, 0.0717, 0.2911, 0.2029, 0.2783, 0.1932, 0.1184, 0.1635, 0.2167, 0.2682, 0.1972, 0.194, 0.3065, 0.3569, 0.3073, 0.3519, 0.2542, 0.3342, 0.3649, 0.3685, 0.218, 0.2268, 0.0299, 0.0875, 0.112, 0.1467, 0.1467, 0.1101, 0.1009, 0.1505, 0.1963, 0.2468, 0.3324, 0.2754, 0.2668, 0.3252, 0.3433, 0.3607, 0.3775, 0.3729, 0.4152, 0.4455, 0.3359, 0.2546, 0.2392, 0.3323, 0.3538, 0.3239, 0.2769, 0.3597, 0.2624, 0.4097, 0.6203, 0.5985, 0.5339, 0.5512, 0.4421, 0.3509, 0.3254, 0.3599, 0.4578, 0.4981, 0.4981, 0.5558, 0.5524, 0.5096, 0.4137, 0.4137, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2036862433319583898", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-25T17:47:01+00:00", "symbol": "MU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Prob not... Feels more like a narrative headwind than anything material to earnings", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "TurboQuant is a narrative headwind not material to DRAM earnings; dismisses bear case for memory stocks; sees ARM as modest beneficiary via on-device AI.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Google's TurboQuant...\n\nAnd it's effect on $SNDK, $MU, SK Hynix, and others:\n\nWhat it does:\n-> 6x reduction in KV cache memory footprint\n-> 8x Speedup on H100 GPUs\n\nIt's a compression algorithm.\n\nNow... Will it beat down memory?\n\n-> Prob not.\n\nImplications might be bullish for $ARM and others though where you can run AI locally, rather than DRAM heavy DCs.\n\nHowever:\n\n->This is basically DeepSeek round 3. You can make algorithms more efficient. But that doesn't replace either memory or GPUs.\n-> It could structurally (and slightly) reduce DRAM demand.\n-> think it's only been tested on small models so far like Gemma, Mistral, and Llama-3.1 (and paper's been out for a year)\n\nAlso, markets conflated DRAM with NAND... this algo compresses the KV cache (DRAM). Doesn't do anything to NAND storage?\n\nRegardless:\n\nAlgorithms will always get more efficient. People keep saying Jevons Paradox, which is true since this just scales use cases.\n\nMain thing to look out for is hyperscaper capex projections, not Google Algorithms that made things more efficient.\n\nFeels more like a narrative headwind than anything material to earnings.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03517495869778742, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03517495869778742, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0407168341093882, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04627714103890679, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005541875411600783, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011102182341119371, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06969566605630906, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06969566605630906, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05183692189817035, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.024134057173706647, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017858744158138706, "bench_c_p1d": -0.04556160888260241, "ret_p1w": -0.03686428231952077, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03686428231952077, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.034458726654003735, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01919602512169105, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002405555665517034, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017668257197829718, "ret_p1m": 0.2612796830189017, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2612796830189017, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.18267366568221144, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.053696054703464835, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07860601733669026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.20758362831543686, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.255, -0.2296, -0.2341, -0.253, -0.253, -0.1745, -0.183, -0.1012, -0.1113, -0.1441, -0.0968, -0.0948, -0.1151, -0.1276, -0.119, -0.0506, -0.0506, -0.0447, 0.0184, 0.0405, 0.046, 0.0183, 0.0737, 0.1392, 0.1405, 0.0858, 0.1458, 0.0978, -0.007, 0.0021, 0.033, 0.0037, -0.0231, 0.0739, 0.0834, 0.0774, 0.0774, 0.0463, 0.1017, 0.0923, 0.1206, 0.1018, 0.094, 0.1228, 0.0876, 0.0792, 0.08, -0.0063, 0.0489, 0.0392, -0.0309, 0.0189, 0.055, 0.0958, 0.0609, 0.1153, 0.1563, 0.2083, 0.2084, 0.1627, 0.1068, 0.0583, 0.0352, 0.0, -0.0697, -0.0651, -0.1574, -0.1154, -0.0369, -0.0411, -0.0411, -0.0109, -0.0114, 0.0649, 0.1036, 0.1012, 0.1169, 0.2192, 0.1945, 0.1972, 0.1915, 0.1741, 0.1766, 0.2764, 0.2613, 0.3006, 0.3734, 0.3204, 0.3575, 0.3541, 0.4197, 0.5093, 0.6762, 0.7453, 0.6931, 0.9554, 1.0824, 1.0071, 1.1041, 1.0318, 0.8974, 0.7845, 0.8295, 0.9166, 0.9954, 0.9663, 0.9663, 1.3457, 1.4308, 1.418, 1.5424, 1.5424, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2036862433319583898", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-25T17:47:01+00:00", "symbol": "SandDisk", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Prob not... Feels more like a narrative headwind than anything material to earnings", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "TurboQuant is a narrative headwind not material to DRAM earnings; dismisses bear case for memory stocks; sees ARM as modest beneficiary via on-device AI.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNDK"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "SanDisk (spun off from WD) trades as SNDK on NASDAQ", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Google's TurboQuant...\n\nAnd it's effect on $SNDK, $MU, SK Hynix, and others:\n\nWhat it does:\n-> 6x reduction in KV cache memory footprint\n-> 8x Speedup on H100 GPUs\n\nIt's a compression algorithm.\n\nNow... Will it beat down memory?\n\n-> Prob not.\n\nImplications might be bullish for $ARM and others though where you can run AI locally, rather than DRAM heavy DCs.\n\nHowever:\n\n->This is basically DeepSeek round 3. You can make algorithms more efficient. But that doesn't replace either memory or GPUs.\n-> It could structurally (and slightly) reduce DRAM demand.\n-> think it's only been tested on small models so far like Gemma, Mistral, and Llama-3.1 (and paper's been out for a year)\n\nAlso, markets conflated DRAM with NAND... this algo compresses the KV cache (DRAM). Doesn't do anything to NAND storage?\n\nRegardless:\n\nAlgorithms will always get more efficient. People keep saying Jevons Paradox, which is true since this just scales use cases.\n\nMain thing to look out for is hyperscaper capex projections, not Google Algorithms that made things more efficient.\n\nFeels more like a narrative headwind than anything material to earnings.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03632017769041007, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03632017769041007, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.041862053102010854, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.041862053102010854, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005541875411600783, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005541875411600783, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.11018499993427011, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.11018499993427011, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0923262557761314, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0923262557761314, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017858744158138706, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017858744158138706, "ret_p1w": 0.021936676361675733, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.021936676361675733, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.024342232027192767, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.024342232027192767, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002405555665517034, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002405555665517034, "ret_p1m": 0.3755495424209021, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3755495424209021, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.29694352508421185, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.29694352508421185, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07860601733669026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07860601733669026, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6311, -0.6397, -0.6456, -0.6498, -0.6498, -0.594, -0.5957, -0.4842, -0.4784, -0.5065, -0.4432, -0.4257, -0.4249, -0.4279, -0.3963, -0.3898, -0.3898, -0.3315, -0.2605, -0.2573, -0.301, -0.3055, -0.2898, -0.2216, -0.2044, -0.1499, -0.0186, 0.026, -0.1377, -0.15, -0.1179, -0.1394, -0.201, -0.1158, -0.0702, -0.0757, -0.0757, -0.1287, -0.1143, -0.0837, -0.0411, -0.0168, -0.058, -0.0671, -0.0383, -0.0627, -0.0867, -0.1659, -0.1162, -0.1656, -0.2221, -0.1315, -0.087, -0.0331, -0.0871, -0.024, 0.038, 0.0624, 0.1119, 0.139, 0.047, 0.0363, 0.0363, 0.0, -0.1102, -0.0915, -0.1554, -0.0627, 0.0219, 0.035, 0.035, 0.069, 0.0486, 0.152, 0.2563, 0.2566, 0.4052, 0.3933, 0.3155, 0.3564, 0.3587, 0.3469, 0.3329, 0.4444, 0.3755, 0.4603, 0.5788, 0.4787, 0.57, 0.6176, 0.7511, 0.8527, 1.0746, 1.08, 0.9768, 1.3048, 1.283, 1.1421, 1.135, 1.0398, 1.0765, 0.9665, 1.0407, 1.0543, 1.2752, 1.1814, 1.1814, 1.345, 1.3455, 1.4218, 1.5005, 1.5005, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2036862433319583898", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-25T17:47:01+00:00", "symbol": "SK Hynix", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Prob not... Feels more like a narrative headwind than anything material to earnings", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "TurboQuant is a narrative headwind not material to DRAM earnings; dismisses bear case for memory stocks; sees ARM as modest beneficiary via on-device AI.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "SK Hynix listed on KOSPI as 000660.KS", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Google's TurboQuant...\n\nAnd it's effect on $SNDK, $MU, SK Hynix, and others:\n\nWhat it does:\n-> 6x reduction in KV cache memory footprint\n-> 8x Speedup on H100 GPUs\n\nIt's a compression algorithm.\n\nNow... Will it beat down memory?\n\n-> Prob not.\n\nImplications might be bullish for $ARM and others though where you can run AI locally, rather than DRAM heavy DCs.\n\nHowever:\n\n->This is basically DeepSeek round 3. You can make algorithms more efficient. But that doesn't replace either memory or GPUs.\n-> It could structurally (and slightly) reduce DRAM demand.\n-> think it's only been tested on small models so far like Gemma, Mistral, and Llama-3.1 (and paper's been out for a year)\n\nAlso, markets conflated DRAM with NAND... this algo compresses the KV cache (DRAM). Doesn't do anything to NAND storage?\n\nRegardless:\n\nAlgorithms will always get more efficient. People keep saying Jevons Paradox, which is true since this just scales use cases.\n\nMain thing to look out for is hyperscaper capex projections, not Google Algorithms that made things more efficient.\n\nFeels more like a narrative headwind than anything material to earnings.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.009045231055594849, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.009045231055594849, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.003503355643994066, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01695193336592049, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005541875411600783, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007906702310325642, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06231154983326981, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06231154983326981, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0444528056751311, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0016414376553667287, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017858744158138706, "bench_c_p1d": -0.06067011217790308, "ret_p1w": -0.0984924740556492, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0984924740556492, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09608691839013217, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08659332994663305, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002405555665517034, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011899144109016158, "ret_p1m": 0.2311558628710404, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2311558628710404, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15254984553435014, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05227689891106091, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07860601733669026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.1788789639599795, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3991, -0.358, -0.3469, -0.3469, -0.3469, -0.3209, -0.3018, -0.2717, -0.2556, -0.2416, -0.2536, -0.2486, -0.2597, -0.2556, -0.2486, -0.2416, -0.2336, -0.2546, -0.2577, -0.2426, -0.2306, -0.2617, -0.1975, -0.1563, -0.1363, -0.0881, -0.1674, -0.0901, -0.0971, -0.1553, -0.1583, -0.1102, -0.1212, -0.1373, -0.1092, -0.1172, -0.1172, -0.1172, -0.1172, -0.1032, -0.048, -0.046, 0.0082, 0.0212, 0.1045, 0.0663, 0.0663, -0.0563, -0.1467, -0.0543, -0.0714, -0.1598, -0.0573, -0.0402, -0.0653, -0.0854, -0.0211, -0.0251, 0.0613, 0.0181, 0.0121, -0.0623, -0.009, 0.0, -0.0623, -0.0623, -0.1226, -0.1889, -0.0985, -0.1658, -0.1196, -0.1095, -0.0794, 0.0382, 0.003, 0.0322, 0.0452, 0.1085, 0.1417, 0.1608, 0.1337, 0.1719, 0.2302, 0.2291, 0.2312, 0.2281, 0.2985, 0.3065, 0.2995, 0.2925, 0.2925, 0.4543, 0.4543, 0.609, 0.6623, 0.6945, 0.8894, 0.8442, 0.9859, 0.9799, 0.8281, 0.8492, 0.7538, 0.7538, 0.9497, 0.9508, 0.9508, 1.0623, 1.2543, 1.3009, 1.3451, 1.3939, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2036862433319583898", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-03-25T17:47:01+00:00", "symbol": "ARM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Implications might be bullish for $ARM and others though where you can run AI locally", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "TurboQuant is a narrative headwind not material to DRAM earnings; dismisses bear case for memory stocks; sees ARM as modest beneficiary via on-device AI.", "resolved_tickers": ["ARM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Google's TurboQuant...\n\nAnd it's effect on $SNDK, $MU, SK Hynix, and others:\n\nWhat it does:\n-> 6x reduction in KV cache memory footprint\n-> 8x Speedup on H100 GPUs\n\nIt's a compression algorithm.\n\nNow... Will it beat down memory?\n\n-> Prob not.\n\nImplications might be bullish for $ARM and others though where you can run AI locally, rather than DRAM heavy DCs.\n\nHowever:\n\n->This is basically DeepSeek round 3. You can make algorithms more efficient. But that doesn't replace either memory or GPUs.\n-> It could structurally (and slightly) reduce DRAM demand.\n-> think it's only been tested on small models so far like Gemma, Mistral, and Llama-3.1 (and paper's been out for a year)\n\nAlso, markets conflated DRAM with NAND... this algo compresses the KV cache (DRAM). Doesn't do anything to NAND storage?\n\nRegardless:\n\nAlgorithms will always get more efficient. People keep saying Jevons Paradox, which is true since this just scales use cases.\n\nMain thing to look out for is hyperscaper capex projections, not Google Algorithms that made things more efficient.\n\nFeels more like a narrative headwind than anything material to earnings.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.1407652612170115, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1407652612170115, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1352233858054107, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12966307887589212, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005541875411600783, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011102182341119371, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.014452181617177096, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014452181617177096, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0034065625409616107, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.031109427265425316, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017858744158138706, "bench_c_p1d": -0.04556160888260241, "ret_p1w": -0.012733175697074106, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.012733175697074106, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.010327620031557072, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0049350815007556115, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002405555665517034, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017668257197829718, "ret_p1m": 0.30266754357502723, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.30266754357502723, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.22406152623833697, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09508391525959037, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07860601733669026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.20758362831543686, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.298, -0.2964, -0.2942, -0.3041, -0.3041, -0.2696, -0.2608, -0.2645, -0.2635, -0.2801, -0.2883, -0.2924, -0.3134, -0.3316, -0.3308, -0.3265, -0.3265, -0.3177, -0.2747, -0.2411, -0.261, -0.2696, -0.2686, -0.2999, -0.3097, -0.3292, -0.3192, -0.3344, -0.3321, -0.2941, -0.2125, -0.2067, -0.1981, -0.2024, -0.2221, -0.2024, -0.2024, -0.1921, -0.1899, -0.1919, -0.2005, -0.2119, -0.1842, -0.1613, -0.1771, -0.1886, -0.2082, -0.2251, -0.2098, -0.2321, -0.2718, -0.2511, -0.2325, -0.2354, -0.2671, -0.2631, -0.2252, -0.1895, -0.1828, -0.1735, -0.1574, -0.1285, -0.1408, 0.0, -0.0145, -0.0824, -0.128, -0.0369, -0.0127, -0.0507, -0.0507, -0.0528, -0.0841, -0.052, -0.0463, -0.0518, 0.0032, 0.0264, 0.0145, 0.0335, 0.0615, 0.1148, 0.1173, 0.2515, 0.3027, 0.4949, 0.3744, 0.2647, 0.2841, 0.339, 0.3445, 0.2941, 0.3296, 0.5108, 0.3581, 0.3578, 0.3539, 0.3237, 0.4084, 0.4548, 0.3316, 0.3696, 0.4207, 0.6345, 0.8987, 0.9514, 0.9514, 1.0451, 0.9272, 1.1345, 1.2493, 1.2493, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2015128204563161531", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-24T18:22:57+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Long term, $RKLB is probably my most bullish stock", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Most bullish on RKLB long-term, though considers it overvalued short-term.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@AstronautCoin Long term, $RKLB is probably my most bullish stock. \n\nShort term though it's pretty overvalued. So I just leave them out. \n\nThis is more like a short-med term list for me.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.10462223928597658, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.10462223928597658, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.10967472906048925, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.10559555846261703, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0050524897745126696, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0009733191766404525, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08101387141039051, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08101387141039051, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07702960668070591, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07687707873538074, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003984264729684606, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0041367926750097705, "ret_p1w": -0.07865310098187683, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07865310098187683, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08252189386195508, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0978160204255657, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0038687928800782423, "bench_c_p1w": 0.019162919443688864, "ret_p1m": -0.13059147238871238, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.13059147238871238, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12282508492773603, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.20724315016346784, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007766387460976354, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07665167777475546, "ret_p3m": 0.05119278013589379, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05119278013589379, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.025706897210036717, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.010731580602108437, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025485882925857073, "bench_c_p3m": 0.061924360738002227, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1779, -0.243, -0.2174, -0.2378, -0.2971, -0.299, -0.3836, -0.3583, -0.3551, -0.3633, -0.3791, -0.4377, -0.4341, -0.4619, -0.4684, -0.458, -0.5094, -0.4993, -0.4725, -0.4707, -0.479, -0.479, -0.4764, -0.4984, -0.4794, -0.4443, -0.3866, -0.3905, -0.3593, -0.3361, -0.2853, -0.2106, -0.236, -0.3115, -0.3105, -0.3295, -0.2555, -0.1238, -0.0364, -0.041, -0.041, -0.041, -0.1221, -0.1287, -0.1246, -0.1332, -0.1332, -0.0558, -0.0291, 0.069, 0.0447, 0.0323, 0.0543, 0.0922, 0.0758, 0.1407, 0.1277, 0.1966, 0.1966, 0.1079, 0.0912, 0.0932, 0.1046, 0.0, 0.081, 0.1005, 0.0646, -0.0051, -0.0787, 0.0098, -0.0916, -0.1759, -0.1014, -0.0577, -0.105, -0.1349, -0.1798, -0.162, -0.162, -0.1316, -0.0753, -0.0485, -0.1195, -0.1276, -0.1306, -0.1277, -0.0973, -0.1414, -0.1182, -0.1286, -0.1065, -0.1302, -0.1289, -0.1118, -0.1435, -0.1059, -0.1505, -0.15, -0.1139, -0.0235, -0.1367, -0.1062, -0.1646, -0.1551, -0.1791, -0.0944, -0.1807, -0.2429, -0.287, -0.202, -0.1859, -0.1584, -0.1584, -0.1592, -0.1759, -0.1417, -0.1707, -0.1544, -0.1225, -0.1026, -0.0855, 0.0304, 0.0537, 0.1116, 0.0765, 0.1188, 0.0512, -0.0099, 0.0225, -0.0235, -0.043, 0.0252, -0.0208, -0.0021, -0.0214, 0.0518, -0.0236, 0.3105, 0.4581, 0.4607, 0.5426, 0.647, 0.5503, 0.6297, 0.5819, 0.6685, 0.5588, 0.6869, 0.6869, 0.7793, 0.8667, 0.8393, 0.7828, 0.7828, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2030528714380083620", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-08T06:19:05+00:00", "symbol": "000660.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "as Sk Hynix drops to high $300B+ MC", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Sees KR equities as compelling long; SK Hynix at high $300B MC and Samsung boosting NAND prices in Q2 to beat operating income projections.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Lot of discussion around LNG/JKM fears still look overblown, even if it's not just helium. Majority of SK’s LNG imports would be largely unaffected if Hormuz were closed as they arrive via Hormuz-free routes like Australia, US, Malaysia, Indonesia.  \n\nThen 82% of 2024 imports for example were long term contracts, not spot, but likely oil indexed and I'd agree with you there on looking at oil impact.      \n\nHowever, even if costs shot up, opex would be passed onto hyperscalers through price hikes rather than see margins being compressed.\n\nWhich is why I see KR equities still be a compelling long around now, as Sk Hynix drops to high $300B+ MC and Samsung doubles nand prices again in q2 to boost operating income past projections", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "This is very reminiscent of the “WDC is a zero because of neon gas shortage from Ukraine” episode.\n\nThe impact of higher oil, or more importantly JKM prices, for Korean equities is a real discussion. This helium stuff is not though.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "citrini", "ret_m1d": 0.10526311066951677, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.10526311066951677, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.113947064033872, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.15873981591527397, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.053476705245757206, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.12200955542508463, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.12200955542508463, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.12361668233045175, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.1488225836890028, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02681302826391818, "ret_p1w": 0.16507170307476637, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16507170307476637, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.17869460979896512, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1709720189290802, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005900315854313831, "ret_p1m": 0.09569377775770538, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09569377775770538, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12112574217731786, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1457348336900739, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05004105593236852, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2991, -0.3254, -0.3182, -0.3385, -0.3672, -0.3421, -0.3409, -0.3469, -0.3075, -0.3027, -0.2979, -0.2979, -0.2848, -0.2359, -0.2227, -0.2227, -0.2227, -0.1917, -0.169, -0.1332, -0.1141, -0.0974, -0.1117, -0.1057, -0.1189, -0.1141, -0.1057, -0.0974, -0.0878, -0.1129, -0.1165, -0.0986, -0.0842, -0.1212, -0.0448, 0.0041, 0.028, 0.0853, -0.009, 0.0829, 0.0746, 0.0053, 0.0017, 0.0591, 0.0459, 0.0268, 0.0602, 0.0507, 0.0507, 0.0507, 0.0507, 0.0674, 0.1331, 0.1355, 0.1999, 0.2155, 0.3146, 0.2691, 0.2691, 0.1232, 0.0156, 0.1256, 0.1053, 0.0, 0.122, 0.1423, 0.1124, 0.0885, 0.1651, 0.1603, 0.2632, 0.2117, 0.2045, 0.116, 0.1794, 0.1902, 0.116, 0.116, 0.0443, -0.0347, 0.073, -0.0072, 0.0478, 0.0598, 0.0957, 0.2356, 0.1938, 0.2285, 0.244, 0.3194, 0.3589, 0.3816, 0.3493, 0.3947, 0.4641, 0.4629, 0.4653, 0.4617, 0.5455, 0.555, 0.5467, 0.5383, 0.5383, 0.7309, 0.7309, 0.9151, 0.9785, 1.0167, 1.2488, 1.195, 1.3636, 1.3565, 1.1758, 1.201, 1.0873, 1.0873, 1.3206, 1.3218, 1.3218, 1.4545, 1.683, 1.7385, 1.7911, 1.8492, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2030528714380083620", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-08T06:19:05+00:00", "symbol": "005930.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Samsung doubles nand prices again in q2 to boost operating income past projections", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Sees KR equities as compelling long; SK Hynix at high $300B MC and Samsung boosting NAND prices in Q2 to beat operating income projections.", "resolved_tickers": ["005930.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Lot of discussion around LNG/JKM fears still look overblown, even if it's not just helium. Majority of SK’s LNG imports would be largely unaffected if Hormuz were closed as they arrive via Hormuz-free routes like Australia, US, Malaysia, Indonesia.  \n\nThen 82% of 2024 imports for example were long term contracts, not spot, but likely oil indexed and I'd agree with you there on looking at oil impact.      \n\nHowever, even if costs shot up, opex would be passed onto hyperscalers through price hikes rather than see margins being compressed.\n\nWhich is why I see KR equities still be a compelling long around now, as Sk Hynix drops to high $300B+ MC and Samsung doubles nand prices again in q2 to boost operating income past projections", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "This is very reminiscent of the “WDC is a zero because of neon gas shortage from Ukraine” episode.\n\nThe impact of higher oil, or more importantly JKM prices, for Korean equities is a real discussion. This helium stuff is not though.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "citrini", "ret_m1d": 0.08472625011460999, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08472625011460999, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.09341020347896523, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.10239941511345074, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01767316499884075, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08299717427857112, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08299717427857112, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08460430118393825, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08299717427857112, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.08760810333736901, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08760810333736901, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10123101006156776, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09462006679973212, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007011963462363102, "ret_p1m": 0.1349090664939756, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1349090664939756, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1603410309135881, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.15035790484955236, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.015448838355576755, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3805, -0.3845, -0.3754, -0.3989, -0.4104, -0.3811, -0.3828, -0.3903, -0.3662, -0.3605, -0.3628, -0.3628, -0.3289, -0.3112, -0.3089, -0.3089, -0.3089, -0.2594, -0.204, -0.1994, -0.1873, -0.2, -0.1988, -0.2, -0.2069, -0.1914, -0.1706, -0.1418, -0.1395, -0.1631, -0.1383, -0.1222, -0.1233, -0.1233, -0.0807, -0.064, -0.0738, -0.0749, -0.1331, -0.0346, -0.0254, -0.0818, -0.0859, -0.0409, -0.0444, -0.0329, 0.0294, 0.0444, 0.0444, 0.0444, 0.0444, 0.0951, 0.0957, 0.1124, 0.1527, 0.1729, 0.2565, 0.2478, 0.2478, 0.1245, -0.0075, 0.1043, 0.0847, 0.0, 0.083, 0.0951, 0.083, 0.0576, 0.0876, 0.1176, 0.2017, 0.1556, 0.1493, 0.0738, 0.0934, 0.0893, 0.038, 0.038, 0.0182, -0.0343, 0.0953, 0.0304, 0.0754, 0.1153, 0.1349, 0.2158, 0.1782, 0.1898, 0.1609, 0.1927, 0.2187, 0.2562, 0.2475, 0.2389, 0.2649, 0.2562, 0.2966, 0.2677, 0.2966, 0.2822, 0.3053, 0.2735, 0.2735, 0.3428, 0.3428, 0.5363, 0.5681, 0.5508, 0.6489, 0.6114, 0.6403, 0.7096, 0.5623, 0.6229, 0.5912, 0.5941, 0.7298, 0.6894, 0.6894, 0.7269, 0.7731, 0.7298, 0.8309, 1.0013, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2032944164439208062", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-14T22:17:13+00:00", "symbol": "IQE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$IQE is my $IREN equivalent for photonics. They have the reactors and capacity. And they're not some unknown company as they're a known $LITE supplier. They just need to completely restructure away from legacy drag, restructure debt from Taiwan asset sales, and pivot to photonics for AI.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long IQE as a photonics-for-AI play with existing reactor capacity and LITE supplier credibility, pending debt restructuring and legacy pivot.", "resolved_tickers": ["IQE.L"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "IQE plc LSE-listed epiwafer supplier", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$IQE is my $IREN equivalent for photonics.\n\nThey have the reactors and capacity. And they’re not some unknown company as they’re a known $LITE supplier.\n\nThey just need to completely restructure away from legacy drag, restructure debt from Taiwan asset sales, and pivot to photonics for AI.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Landmark at 4B vs IQE at 250M is wild. Clearing debt via asset sales is the only way to catch up.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MoshPitAlpha", "ret_m1d": 0.006493489872433145, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006493489872433145, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01656783076548618, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02322284261114005, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010074340893053035, "bench_c_m1d": -0.016729352738706904, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06493506386273762, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06493506386273762, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06756561873271283, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07244925799905844, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00263055486997521, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0075141941363208176, "ret_p1w": 0.01731600051622273, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01731600051622273, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03504343017065181, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.023814853046957407, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017727429654429083, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006498852530734678, "ret_p1m": 1.0692640020648905, "ret_signed_p1m": 1.0692640020648905, "alpha_spy_p1m": 1.0284189568955666, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.9218229363853967, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04084504516932386, "bench_c_p1m": 0.14744106567949378, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7851, -0.7814, -0.7792, -0.7779, -0.7846, -0.7851, -0.7851, -0.7851, -0.7851, -0.7835, -0.7835, -0.7835, -0.7771, -0.7823, -0.7801, -0.7584, -0.7338, -0.6823, -0.5481, -0.5727, -0.6104, -0.6472, -0.6602, -0.6134, -0.6628, -0.6693, -0.6623, -0.6524, -0.6688, -0.6684, -0.6528, -0.6645, -0.6576, -0.6524, -0.6667, -0.6558, -0.6619, -0.6571, -0.6463, -0.5671, -0.5567, -0.5541, -0.5411, -0.5455, -0.5403, -0.5472, -0.5506, -0.5463, -0.4468, -0.4719, -0.3065, -0.1342, -0.1775, 0.1082, 0.1255, 0.1623, -0.0714, -0.1489, -0.174, -0.0173, 0.0519, -0.0173, 0.0065, 0.0, -0.0649, 0.1061, -0.0108, 0.0216, 0.0173, 0.1061, 0.2771, 0.1515, 0.0606, 0.0, 0.0563, 0.0866, 0.0216, 0.0216, 0.0216, 0.1039, 0.2424, 0.2987, 0.6017, 1.1255, 1.0693, 1.3377, 1.5368, 1.2554, 1.5368, 1.7273, 1.71, 1.1537, 1.0606, 1.1385, 0.7424, 0.7489, 0.8723, 0.7814, 0.7814, 1.1645, 0.9286, 0.9762, 1.039, 1.3593, 1.0411, 1.1861, 1.1472, 0.9913, 0.6926, 0.3853, 0.6255, 0.7251, 0.9805, 0.9805, 1.3377, 1.1948, 1.0628, 1.0563, 1.0563, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2029659552141246661", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-05T20:45:21+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "There's a raw, unadulterated upside when you look at $AAOI laser -> design -> assembly supply chain valued at $7.5B. And compare it to their Asian or Western counterparts all valued at $50B+", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AAOI: vertically integrated photonics supply chain at $7.5B vs $50B+ comps implies massive re-rating potential.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AAOI has exceptionally strong buying pressure.\n\nAll major photonics names are down today: \n\n$LITE down -4.74%\n$COHR down -8%\n$AXTI down -2.5%\n$IQE down -20%.\n$FN down -3.98.\n\nBut $AAOI is the photonics name green. \n\nThere’s a raw, unadulterated upside when you look at $AAOI laser -> design -> assembly supply chain valued at $7.5B.\n\nAnd compare it to their Asian or Western counterparts all valued at $50B+", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$AAOI is extraordinarily exciting. \n\nThere is a chance this re-rates to $35B+ or higher next year from $7B if they can execute. \n\nI'll give a TLDR of the landscape and a simple explanation why:\n\nAssembly:\n\n-&gt; Lasers from $LITE / $COHR -&gt; assembles from blueprints -&gt;  then sell https://t.co/DFi5TiujG1", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.014138820583403544, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014138820583403544, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.019745628449714725, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019745628449714725, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005606807866311181, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005606807866311181, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05497328052349992, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05497328052349992, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04186614545266343, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04186614545266343, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013107135070836495, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013107135070836495, "ret_p1w": 0.049930819480256794, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.049930819480256794, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07231421407292471, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07231421407292471, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.022383394592667916, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022383394592667916, "ret_p1m": 0.027387821724116357, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.027387821724116357, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06215746839083869, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06215746839083869, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03476964666672233, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03476964666672233, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7247, -0.6996, -0.6541, -0.6409, -0.683, -0.7044, -0.7137, -0.7317, -0.7108, -0.6903, -0.6135, -0.5982, -0.5946, -0.5946, -0.6325, -0.6366, -0.6439, -0.6553, -0.6553, -0.6085, -0.654, -0.6183, -0.6237, -0.6736, -0.6634, -0.6666, -0.6621, -0.6592, -0.6342, -0.6338, -0.6338, -0.6118, -0.6205, -0.6228, -0.6468, -0.655, -0.6303, -0.5528, -0.6088, -0.5688, -0.5634, -0.544, -0.6055, -0.623, -0.562, -0.5263, -0.5206, -0.5215, -0.5651, -0.5604, -0.5604, -0.5658, -0.5705, -0.5355, -0.489, -0.4665, -0.4436, -0.4254, -0.4692, -0.1672, 0.0135, -0.0573, -0.0141, 0.0, -0.055, 0.0937, 0.1913, 0.2558, 0.0499, -0.0428, -0.0699, -0.1464, -0.0841, 0.0077, -0.1345, -0.0532, 0.1262, 0.1312, -0.0368, -0.029, -0.1577, -0.1636, -0.1462, 0.0274, 0.0274, 0.0624, 0.1631, 0.312, 0.318, 0.489, 0.5146, 0.4474, 0.4094, 0.5555, 0.5762, 0.6163, 0.4887, 0.4774, 0.3618, 0.6034, 0.4414, 0.3571, 0.5111, 0.6251, 0.8144, 0.7103, 0.7853, 0.7653, 0.5577, 0.4726, 0.8282, 0.8616, 1.2059, 1.0128, 0.8821, 0.7131, 0.694, 0.634, 0.7482, 0.7944, 0.7944, 0.7562, 0.778, 0.6711, 0.5662, 0.5662, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2031825744016638199", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-11T20:13:01+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Were the names I've liked.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long entire photonics AI supply chain: AXTI, SOI, AAOI, LITE, COHR, TSEM as the new AI paradigm.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@demarscrypto There's nothing wrong with buying the entire photonics supply chain if you see it being the new paradigm of AI.\n\nSubstrates: $AXTI, $SOI\nAssembly/Laser/Transceivers/supply chain: $AAOI, $LITE, $COHR\nFoundry: $TSEM\n\nWere the names I've liked.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Stop bro I don’t have enough money to buy all this shit", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "demarscrypto", "ret_m1d": -0.0646115146506604, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0646115146506604, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06586825499306614, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05538524175762549, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009226272893034904, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.013302387246539316, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.013302387246539316, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.001882561622824186, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01886476717021479, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03216715441675411, "ret_p1w": 0.0295607621017564, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0295607621017564, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05159145288092182, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04791346732073176, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018352705218975363, "ret_p1m": 0.33277023054109733, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.33277023054109733, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.32473154451162856, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.259758239247621, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07301199129347635, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6873, -0.6869, -0.7255, -0.739, -0.7042, -0.6907, -0.6786, -0.6909, -0.6831, -0.6831, -0.6755, -0.6919, -0.6664, -0.6548, -0.6548, -0.6461, -0.648, -0.5741, -0.4909, -0.4546, -0.5146, -0.5304, -0.5458, -0.5334, -0.4569, -0.5336, -0.5336, -0.5479, -0.5823, -0.6216, -0.6326, -0.6242, -0.6368, -0.6446, -0.6541, -0.6085, -0.5579, -0.5832, -0.6041, -0.5686, -0.492, -0.4136, -0.4859, -0.4341, -0.4766, -0.4882, -0.4882, -0.5099, -0.503, -0.4973, -0.3733, -0.3997, -0.2593, -0.1349, -0.2162, -0.1997, -0.022, -0.1182, -0.1738, -0.1807, -0.3165, -0.1858, -0.0646, 0.0, -0.0133, 0.0317, 0.0217, -0.0633, 0.0296, 0.2266, 0.1453, 0.3606, 0.4451, 0.4221, 0.2354, 0.2802, 0.1134, 0.2031, -0.0046, 0.1157, 0.1157, -0.1134, -0.0401, 0.1229, 0.3328, 0.3552, 0.4031, 0.421, 0.3288, 0.7268, 0.7432, 0.663, 0.583, 0.8357, 0.5893, 0.6081, 0.4812, 0.4508, 0.5006, 0.6727, 1.027, 1.2382, 1.2709, 1.2135, 1.2893, 1.4569, 1.6565, 1.595, 1.5747, 1.4278, 1.6136, 1.2356, 1.3834, 1.2088, 1.5553, 1.9736, 1.9736, 1.7998, 1.5923, 1.443, 1.1782, 1.1782, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2031825744016638199", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-11T20:13:01+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Were the names I've liked.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long entire photonics AI supply chain: AXTI, SOI, AAOI, LITE, COHR, TSEM as the new AI paradigm.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@demarscrypto There's nothing wrong with buying the entire photonics supply chain if you see it being the new paradigm of AI.\n\nSubstrates: $AXTI, $SOI\nAssembly/Laser/Transceivers/supply chain: $AAOI, $LITE, $COHR\nFoundry: $TSEM\n\nWere the names I've liked.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Stop bro I don’t have enough money to buy all this shit", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "demarscrypto", "ret_m1d": -0.051334573362715186, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.051334573362715186, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.052591313705120935, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.052591313705120935, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.16392409530465768, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.16392409530465768, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.14873914643529418, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.14873914643529418, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "ret_p1w": -0.2706873813444758, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.2706873813444758, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.24865669056531037, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.24865669056531037, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "ret_p1m": 0.04952366592971713, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04952366592971713, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04148497990024835, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04148497990024835, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "bench_c_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7476, -0.7646, -0.772, -0.7863, -0.7697, -0.7534, -0.6922, -0.68, -0.6772, -0.6772, -0.7073, -0.7107, -0.7164, -0.7255, -0.7255, -0.6882, -0.7245, -0.696, -0.7004, -0.7401, -0.732, -0.7345, -0.7309, -0.7286, -0.7087, -0.7084, -0.7084, -0.6909, -0.6978, -0.6996, -0.7188, -0.7253, -0.7056, -0.6439, -0.6884, -0.6566, -0.6523, -0.6369, -0.6859, -0.6998, -0.6512, -0.6228, -0.6182, -0.6189, -0.6536, -0.6499, -0.6499, -0.6543, -0.658, -0.6301, -0.5931, -0.5752, -0.557, -0.5424, -0.5773, -0.3368, -0.1929, -0.2494, -0.2149, -0.2037, -0.2475, -0.129, -0.0513, 0.0, -0.1639, -0.2378, -0.2593, -0.3203, -0.2707, -0.1975, -0.3108, -0.246, -0.1032, -0.0992, -0.233, -0.2268, -0.3293, -0.334, -0.3201, -0.1819, -0.1819, -0.154, -0.0738, 0.0448, 0.0495, 0.1857, 0.2061, 0.1526, 0.1224, 0.2386, 0.2552, 0.2871, 0.1855, 0.1764, 0.0844, 0.2768, 0.1478, 0.0807, 0.2033, 0.2941, 0.4448, 0.3619, 0.4217, 0.4057, 0.2405, 0.1727, 0.4558, 0.4824, 0.7566, 0.6028, 0.4988, 0.3641, 0.3489, 0.3012, 0.3921, 0.4289, 0.4289, 0.3985, 0.4159, 0.3308, 0.2472, 0.2472, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2031825744016638199", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-03-11T20:13:01+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Were the names I've liked.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long entire photonics AI supply chain: AXTI, SOI, AAOI, LITE, COHR, TSEM as the new AI paradigm.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@demarscrypto There's nothing wrong with buying the entire photonics supply chain if you see it being the new paradigm of AI.\n\nSubstrates: $AXTI, $SOI\nAssembly/Laser/Transceivers/supply chain: $AAOI, $LITE, $COHR\nFoundry: $TSEM\n\nWere the names I've liked.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Stop bro I don’t have enough money to buy all this shit", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "demarscrypto", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0012567403424057488, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0012567403424057488, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08319936479840961, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08319936479840961, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06801441592904611, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06801441592904611, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "ret_p1w": 0.04287202017647873, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04287202017647873, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06490271095564415, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06490271095564415, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "ret_p1m": 0.33055060250418533, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.33055060250418533, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.32251191647471655, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.32251191647471655, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "bench_c_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5173, -0.5019, -0.5295, -0.5234, -0.4983, -0.4473, -0.4198, -0.4235, -0.4108, -0.4108, -0.4185, -0.4455, -0.4476, -0.4515, -0.4515, -0.4254, -0.4687, -0.4086, -0.4154, -0.4818, -0.4771, -0.4942, -0.4623, -0.5065, -0.4892, -0.5175, -0.5175, -0.469, -0.4607, -0.4725, -0.4953, -0.5053, -0.4484, -0.4271, -0.4324, -0.4169, -0.3699, -0.3525, -0.3072, -0.2494, -0.1786, -0.1411, -0.165, -0.1457, -0.1318, -0.1626, -0.1626, -0.1065, -0.1157, -0.0541, -0.0063, 0.0041, 0.0242, 0.0765, 0.0074, 0.043, 0.1656, 0.0334, 0.0131, -0.0315, -0.169, -0.0466, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0832, -0.0737, -0.0702, -0.0334, 0.0429, 0.149, 0.0511, 0.0847, 0.1934, 0.1565, 0.025, 0.0457, -0.0256, 0.0458, 0.1379, 0.2305, 0.2305, 0.1492, 0.2139, 0.3334, 0.3306, 0.3353, 0.2964, 0.269, 0.2262, 0.3262, 0.3305, 0.332, 0.2454, 0.3, 0.2603, 0.312, 0.2793, 0.1776, 0.2773, 0.3427, 0.4136, 0.4526, 0.48, 0.4052, 0.3282, 0.3449, 0.5671, 0.4767, 0.5333, 0.4908, 0.4445, 0.3169, 0.3245, 0.2918, 0.4353, 0.4091, 0.4091, 0.3554, 0.3427, 0.2807, 0.2723, 0.2723, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2031825744016638199", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-03-11T20:13:01+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Were the names I've liked.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long entire photonics AI supply chain: AXTI, SOI, AAOI, LITE, COHR, TSEM as the new AI paradigm.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@demarscrypto There's nothing wrong with buying the entire photonics supply chain if you see it being the new paradigm of AI.\n\nSubstrates: $AXTI, $SOI\nAssembly/Laser/Transceivers/supply chain: $AAOI, $LITE, $COHR\nFoundry: $TSEM\n\nWere the names I've liked.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Stop bro I don’t have enough money to buy all this shit", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "demarscrypto", "ret_m1d": 0.036712982187984355, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.036712982187984355, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03545624184557861, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03545624184557861, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04033252154626443, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04033252154626443, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02514757267690093, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02514757267690093, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "ret_p1w": 0.02306983695352005, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02306983695352005, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04510052773268547, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04510052773268547, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "ret_p1m": 0.13030511629781394, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13030511629781394, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12226643026834516, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12226643026834516, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "bench_c_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2906, -0.2902, -0.3031, -0.3221, -0.3011, -0.2608, -0.2404, -0.2368, -0.2388, -0.2388, -0.2374, -0.2482, -0.257, -0.2659, -0.2659, -0.227, -0.2587, -0.2279, -0.2378, -0.3113, -0.2918, -0.2634, -0.2441, -0.2677, -0.2206, -0.2401, -0.2401, -0.2305, -0.1987, -0.1937, -0.2167, -0.2134, -0.1488, -0.1204, -0.1414, -0.156, -0.1152, -0.0884, -0.1607, -0.1677, -0.0944, -0.0356, -0.0916, -0.1103, -0.1404, -0.136, -0.136, -0.1251, -0.1095, -0.0753, -0.0128, -0.01, 0.0137, 0.0656, -0.0051, 0.0299, 0.1889, 0.1169, 0.0933, 0.0098, -0.0624, 0.0036, 0.0367, 0.0, -0.0403, -0.0344, -0.0161, -0.0223, 0.0231, 0.0961, 0.0088, 0.0145, 0.0832, 0.0821, -0.0323, -0.0315, -0.1263, -0.0525, -0.0144, 0.0268, 0.0268, 0.0072, 0.0147, 0.1208, 0.1303, 0.2231, 0.2248, 0.2466, 0.2259, 0.3046, 0.3723, 0.3822, 0.3674, 0.394, 0.3431, 0.3368, 0.2789, 0.2091, 0.2129, 0.2717, 0.3106, 0.3122, 0.3354, 0.3709, 0.2696, 0.3335, 0.5102, 0.4876, 0.6058, 0.6107, 0.5212, 0.4432, 0.4066, 0.426, 0.5035, 0.5018, 0.5018, 0.5168, 0.5122, 0.4993, 0.4378, 0.4378, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2031825744016638199", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2026-03-11T20:13:01+00:00", "symbol": "TSEM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Were the names I've liked.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long entire photonics AI supply chain: AXTI, SOI, AAOI, LITE, COHR, TSEM as the new AI paradigm.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSEM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@demarscrypto There's nothing wrong with buying the entire photonics supply chain if you see it being the new paradigm of AI.\n\nSubstrates: $AXTI, $SOI\nAssembly/Laser/Transceivers/supply chain: $AAOI, $LITE, $COHR\nFoundry: $TSEM\n\nWere the names I've liked.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Stop bro I don’t have enough money to buy all this shit", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "demarscrypto", "ret_m1d": -0.0214333986575741, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0214333986575741, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.022690138999979848, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.022690138999979848, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007535176720382397, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007535176720382397, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007649772148981104, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.007649772148981104, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "ret_p1w": 0.18854658248611966, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.18854658248611966, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.21057727326528508, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.21057727326528508, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "ret_p1m": 0.7064635227565979, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.7064635227565979, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6984248367271291, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.6984248367271291, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "bench_c_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0042, -0.01, -0.0383, -0.0574, -0.023, -0.0023, -0.0091, 0.0138, 0.0254, 0.0254, 0.0182, 0.014, 0.0103, -0.0169, -0.0169, 0.0193, -0.0013, 0.0238, 0.0233, -0.0177, 0.0049, 0.0156, 0.0447, 0.0315, 0.0382, 0.087, 0.087, 0.08, 0.117, 0.0882, 0.0769, 0.0637, 0.1103, 0.1632, 0.1278, 0.128, 0.1461, 0.142, 0.0154, 0.0807, 0.1641, 0.2352, 0.1434, 0.1256, 0.1184, 0.0779, 0.0779, 0.0698, 0.0746, 0.0538, 0.0756, 0.0669, 0.055, 0.0547, 0.0368, 0.0455, 0.1603, 0.051, 0.034, 0.0092, -0.0741, -0.0333, -0.0214, 0.0, -0.0075, 0.0441, 0.1593, 0.1542, 0.1885, 0.3905, 0.37, 0.4411, 0.5139, 0.5802, 0.4625, 0.4394, 0.3277, 0.4692, 0.5662, 0.6561, 0.6561, 0.5923, 0.598, 0.7053, 0.7065, 0.7045, 0.7538, 0.7926, 0.8053, 0.798, 0.8959, 0.8795, 0.8145, 0.7256, 0.6851, 0.679, 0.7024, 0.6205, 0.6676, 0.8507, 0.8253, 0.8006, 0.8882, 0.8157, 0.7582, 0.7667, 0.9163, 0.8489, 1.267, 1.3501, 1.2939, 1.0769, 1.1038, 1.2143, 1.336, 1.373, 1.373, 1.4157, 1.3258, 1.3066, 1.1369, 1.1369, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2034999054653157796", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-20T14:22:37+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I personally it's very undervalued given long term revenue potential", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AAOI long-term once ATM offering finishes; views current price as undervalued relative to revenue potential.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Jornka329996 It makes sense, since there is an ongoing ATM at $100. \n\nI've been saying this is the ceiling for short term $AAOI since they're selling $250m worth of shares at that price. \n\nBut once that finishes, I personally it's very undervalued given long term revenue potential.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @aleabitoreddit will we have a day where $AAOI hits 150$ usd. This stock is getting wrecked for no reasons", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Jornka329996", "ret_m1d": 0.16426773021506014, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.16426773021506014, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.14972345081281824, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.14972345081281824, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0145442794022419, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0145442794022419, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09389994442238025, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09389994442238025, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08339992517744244, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08339992517744244, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01050001924493782, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01050001924493782, "ret_p1w": 0.12188711511713879, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12188711511713879, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14421312511641327, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14421312511641327, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.022326009999274476, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022326009999274476, "ret_p1m": 0.8673749087396656, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.8673749087396656, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.7746324712238379, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.7746324712238379, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09274243751582767, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09274243751582767, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5358, -0.5316, -0.5316, -0.5754, -0.5802, -0.5885, -0.6018, -0.6018, -0.5476, -0.6003, -0.5589, -0.5653, -0.6229, -0.6111, -0.6148, -0.6095, -0.6062, -0.5773, -0.5769, -0.5769, -0.5515, -0.5616, -0.5642, -0.592, -0.6014, -0.5729, -0.4833, -0.548, -0.5018, -0.4955, -0.4732, -0.5442, -0.5644, -0.4939, -0.4527, -0.4461, -0.4471, -0.4975, -0.4921, -0.4921, -0.4984, -0.5038, -0.4633, -0.4096, -0.3836, -0.3572, -0.3361, -0.3867, -0.0378, 0.171, 0.0891, 0.139, 0.1554, 0.0918, 0.2637, 0.3764, 0.4509, 0.213, 0.1059, 0.0746, -0.0138, 0.0581, 0.1643, 0.0, 0.0939, 0.3011, 0.3069, 0.1129, 0.1219, -0.0268, -0.0337, -0.0136, 0.187, 0.187, 0.2274, 0.3438, 0.5159, 0.5227, 0.7204, 0.7499, 0.6723, 0.6284, 0.7971, 0.8211, 0.8674, 0.72, 0.7069, 0.5733, 0.8525, 0.6653, 0.568, 0.7458, 0.8775, 1.0963, 0.976, 1.0627, 1.0395, 0.7997, 0.7014, 1.1122, 1.1508, 1.5485, 1.3255, 1.1745, 0.9792, 0.9572, 0.8878, 1.0198, 1.0732, 1.0732, 1.029, 1.0543, 0.9308, 0.8096, 0.8096, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2035897562025410927", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-23T01:52:58+00:00", "symbol": "AEVA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AEVA was my long for 4D Physical AI + World Models", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AEVA on 4D Physical AI/LiDAR + LG $50M deal for humanoids; long SIVE as likely CW laser supplier for FMCW LiDAR in the SIVE→AEVA→LG→Boston Dynamics chain.", "resolved_tickers": ["AEVA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you don't remember:\n\n$AEVA was my long for 4D Physical AI + World Models.\n\n-> LG $50m in $AEVA to co-develop FMCW 4D LiDAR, explicitly citing Humanoids\n-> LG (Boston Dynamics vision spuplier).\n\nBut... \n\nGuess who makes those CW lasers for FM-CW Lidar?\n\nThe very same company for scaling photonics with 1.6T+ pluggables with $JBL to CPO in $MRVL Celestial.\n\nIs the likely 4D AI CW laser supplier for humanoids and 4D physical AI.\n\nOne highly possible mapping: \n\n-> $SIVE -> $AEVA -> $LG -> Boston Dynamics.\n\nBoth $SIVE and $AEVA were my two longs, but frontier sectors in 4D Physical AI to photonics tend to overlap.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08257480158086705, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08257480158086705, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07218388713755652, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07218388713755652, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010390914443310528, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010390914443310528, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005201555468841601, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005201555468841601, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008558405221108067, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008558405221108067, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0033568497522664664, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0033568497522664664, "ret_p1w": -0.24447335506528478, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.24447335506528478, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2087535680634317, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2087535680634317, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.035719787001853076, "bench_c_p1w": -0.035719787001853076, "ret_p1m": 0.07477246837760476, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07477246837760476, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0004644152722323991, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0004644152722323991, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07430805310537236, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07430805310537236, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1229, -0.1229, -0.1404, -0.1612, -0.1417, -0.1365, -0.1365, -0.171, -0.1489, 0.1437, 0.1047, 0.0982, 0.2919, 0.2419, 0.2939, 0.3453, 0.2887, 0.2575, 0.2575, 0.2835, 0.1827, 0.1892, 0.0267, -0.0676, -0.067, -0.0637, -0.1385, -0.1697, -0.1704, -0.1495, -0.1827, -0.262, -0.1938, -0.0897, -0.1586, -0.1717, -0.1658, -0.117, -0.117, -0.1612, -0.1573, -0.1632, -0.1847, -0.1899, -0.1508, -0.1131, -0.1131, -0.1378, -0.0572, -0.0917, -0.0241, -0.0195, -0.0787, -0.0403, 0.0533, 0.0865, -0.0052, -0.0143, 0.0111, 0.0189, -0.0507, -0.0111, -0.0826, 0.0, 0.0052, -0.0078, -0.0767, -0.17, -0.2445, -0.1443, -0.1417, -0.1398, -0.1398, -0.1749, -0.184, -0.1541, -0.1515, -0.132, -0.1157, -0.0819, -0.0293, -0.0403, 0.0228, 0.0267, 0.0748, 0.0611, 0.0072, 0.0514, 0.0455, 0.015, -0.0416, 0.0397, 0.0715, 0.0228, -0.0091, 0.0774, -0.1118, -0.1177, 0.0098, 0.2412, 0.3173, 0.3804, 0.3313, 0.2646, 0.2354, 0.3726, 0.3973, 0.6463, 0.6463, 0.829, 0.9044, 0.6801, 0.8322, 0.8322, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013689876038681058", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-20T19:07:33+00:00", "symbol": "AVAV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AVAV is a great dip buy on the 15% drop", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "AVAV is a great dip buy; market overreacting to $175M contract renegotiation vs $1B+ core Switchblade revenue.", "resolved_tickers": ["AVAV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@__visionxry__ IMO $AVAV is a great dip buy on the 15% drop.\n\nMain revenue is $1B+ switchblade replicator. \n\nMarkets are trolling if they’re panicking over a $175m contract that’s getting renegotiated.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thoughts on the SCAR update with $avav? Concerning or dip buying opportunity you think?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "__visionxry__", "ret_m1d": 0.18728268596731934, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.18728268596731934, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.16650289039799038, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.16667489185942852, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.020779795569328963, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02060779410789082, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03402946377088012, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03402946377088012, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04557054297297458, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05133513764435327, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011541079202094462, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01730567387347315, "ret_p1w": -0.06443230795849408, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06443230795849408, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09086458945193177, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07378837767000435, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02643228149343768, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009356069711510262, "ret_p1m": -0.19773949136203817, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.19773949136203817, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.21059406449683304, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2681240578378169, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012854573134794878, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07038456647577873, "ret_p3m": -0.4214996231532573, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4214996231532573, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.47241526174280946, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.48550947879848394, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091563858955217, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06400985564522665, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1009, 0.144, 0.1488, 0.1482, 0.1504, 0.1056, 0.1179, 0.1118, 0.1033, 0.0599, -0.008, -0.0037, 0.009, -0.0085, -0.0229, -0.107, -0.1199, -0.1427, -0.1509, -0.1525, -0.172, -0.1763, -0.1629, -0.1584, -0.1562, -0.1562, -0.1554, -0.2209, -0.1993, -0.1786, -0.1313, -0.1587, -0.1463, -0.1495, -0.2588, -0.2452, -0.2777, -0.2888, -0.2909, -0.3076, -0.3028, -0.2656, -0.2282, -0.2108, -0.2121, -0.2121, -0.2294, -0.247, -0.2626, -0.269, -0.269, -0.2258, -0.1012, -0.0419, -0.0375, 0.0425, 0.1031, 0.1203, 0.0996, 0.1539, 0.1441, 0.1873, 0.1873, 0.0, -0.034, -0.0567, -0.0699, -0.0853, -0.0644, -0.0724, -0.1138, -0.1587, -0.184, -0.1374, -0.2224, -0.2841, -0.2227, -0.1709, -0.2044, -0.2643, -0.2894, -0.263, -0.263, -0.2052, -0.1977, -0.1488, -0.2002, -0.2102, -0.2074, -0.2287, -0.2154, -0.2377, -0.3704, -0.31, -0.3155, -0.3334, -0.3055, -0.3131, -0.3304, -0.3722, -0.3597, -0.3742, -0.3597, -0.3275, -0.3477, -0.3613, -0.4025, -0.3766, -0.4071, -0.3985, -0.4079, -0.4426, -0.4652, -0.4468, -0.4454, -0.4428, -0.4428, -0.428, -0.4353, -0.435, -0.463, -0.4569, -0.4125, -0.4121, -0.4003, -0.3896, -0.4215, -0.4039, -0.3651, -0.365, -0.3898, -0.4068, -0.4084, -0.4187, -0.4454, -0.4106, -0.441, -0.4552, -0.4962, -0.473, -0.4917, -0.4914, -0.497, -0.4897, -0.5135, -0.5005, -0.5225, -0.5119, -0.5158, -0.5048, -0.5071, -0.4735, -0.4735, -0.4492, -0.4521, -0.3521, -0.3737, -0.3737, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2032682368562262337", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-14T04:56:56+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Short $IREN", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Pair trade: short IREN, long NBIS.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@BTCSuperCycle Short $IREN, long $NBIS", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit If you had to short something what would you short?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "AISuperCycles", "ret_m1d": -0.07476628612216663, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07476628612216663, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06469194522911359, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06644988569739085, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010074340893053035, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008316400424775772, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.044058736153578026, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.044058736153578026, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04668929102355324, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.049332657286330184, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00263055486997521, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005273921132752157, "ret_p1w": -0.06186023284933195, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06186023284933195, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04413280319490287, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0663889919355879, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017727429654429083, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00452875908625594, "ret_p1m": 0.05407210457126199, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05407210457126199, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.013227059401938135, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0016311110973468157, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04084504516932386, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05570321566860881, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2483, -0.2034, -0.1117, -0.0645, -0.0639, -0.0659, -0.0659, -0.1032, -0.1231, -0.1478, -0.1595, -0.1595, -0.0498, 0.0734, 0.0216, -0.0293, 0.0165, 0.0243, 0.1199, 0.1791, 0.1767, 0.1547, 0.2866, 0.2866, 0.2074, 0.19, 0.1629, 0.2612, 0.1651, 0.3349, 0.4005, 0.3316, 0.1958, 0.1811, 0.2103, 0.0, -0.1146, -0.0692, 0.0269, -0.0447, -0.0505, -0.1093, -0.0605, -0.0605, -0.0883, -0.0636, -0.0367, -0.1104, -0.0574, 0.0113, -0.0202, -0.0156, -0.0888, -0.079, -0.1355, -0.0245, -0.1071, -0.1834, -0.1357, -0.1518, -0.0659, -0.0794, -0.0748, 0.0, -0.0441, -0.0607, -0.073, -0.0812, -0.0619, -0.085, -0.0781, -0.1667, -0.2192, -0.2964, -0.2372, -0.2414, -0.2263, -0.2263, -0.2183, -0.2047, -0.1805, -0.1753, -0.1251, -0.0416, 0.0541, 0.0863, 0.0614, 0.0708, 0.0841, 0.0051, 0.0768, 0.1575, 0.1268, 0.0761, -0.0111, -0.0463, 0.0127, 0.016, 0.101, 0.2181, 0.3569, 0.265, 0.3618, 0.2272, 0.2586, 0.2276, 0.2995, 0.178, 0.1228, 0.0623, 0.1729, 0.2919, 0.2646, 0.2646, 0.3302, 0.5096, 0.4252, 0.4139, 0.4139, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2032682368562262337", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-14T04:56:56+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "long $NBIS", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Pair trade: short IREN, long NBIS.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@BTCSuperCycle Short $IREN, long $NBIS", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit If you had to short something what would you short?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "AISuperCycles", "ret_m1d": -0.13015023766576383, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.13015023766576383, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1200758967727108, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12251992349076146, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010074340893053035, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007630314175002373, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.10412016663043411, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.10412016663043411, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.10675072150040932, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.10446698401024546, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00263055486997521, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0003468173798113483, "ret_p1w": -0.12090877042486059, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12090877042486059, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1031813407704315, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10130993845482839, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017727429654429083, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019598831970032204, "ret_p1m": 0.2471312655334701, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2471312655334701, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.20628622036414623, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.23324111665351577, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04084504516932386, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013890148879954323, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4189, -0.3986, -0.3111, -0.282, -0.3067, -0.2982, -0.2982, -0.3255, -0.3374, -0.3441, -0.3554, -0.3554, -0.3073, -0.2851, -0.228, -0.2591, -0.2507, -0.2458, -0.1734, -0.1881, -0.2146, -0.2, -0.1626, -0.1626, -0.2353, -0.2386, -0.2541, -0.2722, -0.2956, -0.2463, -0.2266, -0.2691, -0.3439, -0.3211, -0.3073, -0.3655, -0.4311, -0.3369, -0.2847, -0.2931, -0.3176, -0.309, -0.2452, -0.2452, -0.249, -0.216, -0.1713, -0.2459, -0.2252, -0.21, -0.1827, -0.1923, -0.2977, -0.2991, -0.3315, -0.247, -0.2634, -0.3121, -0.2688, -0.2574, -0.1375, -0.168, -0.1302, 0.0, -0.1041, -0.0869, -0.0642, -0.0942, -0.1209, -0.1151, -0.1137, -0.1839, -0.2236, -0.2895, -0.2009, -0.2149, -0.162, -0.162, -0.1333, -0.0959, -0.0374, 0.0499, 0.1164, 0.1903, 0.2471, 0.2843, 0.2733, 0.2102, 0.2257, 0.2056, 0.2025, 0.2097, 0.1333, 0.1164, 0.0436, 0.0873, 0.0645, 0.1898, 0.3586, 0.3548, 0.5024, 0.4229, 0.3635, 0.4332, 0.3794, 0.5962, 0.7031, 0.6938, 0.5392, 0.5228, 0.4772, 0.6937, 0.654, 0.654, 0.6023, 0.6047, 0.7431, 0.7797, 0.7797, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2036674779399545279", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-25T05:21:21+00:00", "symbol": "AVGO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If you aren't long", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strongest conviction on SIVE as highest-upside CW laser play for CPO scale-up and 1.6T pluggables; also bullish AVGO, MTSI, COHR, LITE, TSEM, JBL on laser/photonics bottleneck theme.", "resolved_tickers": ["AVGO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SIVE has gotta be the highest upside stock I’ve seen in this market since $AXTI?\n\nNo way markets missed the CW laser light source for Jabil, Marvell (Celestial via $POET), O-Net, Ayar ( $NVDA, Mediatek backed)…\n\nAt a $140M valuation. ($350m now)\n\nNot only do you get the most direct laser exposure to future CPO scale up? \n\nBut also this cycle’s 1.6T pluggables with $JBL (formerly Intel Silicon Photonics division) coming soon.\n\nWith Win Semi bridge capacity scaling needed for hyperscaler supply chains.\n\nDon’t think 99.9% of people realized the sheer scale of this yet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Every industry leader... \n\nEspecially $AVGO (Physical Layer Products division) in this statement today. \n\nCites Lasers as a bottleneck for semiconductors.\n\nIf you aren't long...\n-&gt; CW Lasers: $SIVE | $MTSI\n-&gt; EML Lasers: $COHR | $LITE \n-&gt; or their foundries in $TSEM/Win Semi https://t.co/U2jL4zwbtW", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0016310310769859226, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0016310310769859226, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00391084433461486, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009471151264133448, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005541875411600783, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011102182341119371, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02945322983208387, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02945322983208387, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.011594485673945165, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01610837905051854, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017858744158138706, "bench_c_p1d": -0.04556160888260241, "ret_p1w": -0.016687078087132434, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.016687078087132434, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0142815224216154, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0009811791106972834, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002405555665517034, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017668257197829718, "ret_p1m": 0.31721089569729033, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.31721089569729033, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.23860487836060007, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10962726738185347, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07860601733669026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.20758362831543686, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1022, 0.0936, 0.0951, 0.0833, 0.0833, 0.0881, 0.0749, 0.076, 0.0752, 0.0407, 0.0798, 0.1025, 0.11, 0.0639, 0.0737, 0.1009, 0.1009, 0.0411, 0.0292, 0.0188, 0.0018, 0.0168, 0.0417, 0.0431, 0.0352, 0.037, 0.0364, 0.0027, -0.0358, -0.0281, 0.0421, 0.0766, 0.0656, 0.0729, 0.0366, 0.0178, 0.0178, 0.0409, 0.0439, 0.0454, 0.0412, 0.034, 0.0188, 0.0402, 0.007, 0.0002, -0.0021, -0.0176, -0.0061, 0.0416, 0.0344, 0.0822, 0.0723, 0.0691, 0.0516, 0.0084, 0.017, 0.0057, -0.0111, 0.0011, -0.0281, 0.0116, -0.0016, 0.0, -0.0295, -0.0569, -0.0797, -0.0292, -0.0167, -0.0134, -0.0134, -0.0137, 0.0476, 0.0998, 0.1132, 0.1654, 0.1911, 0.1944, 0.2444, 0.2499, 0.2752, 0.2535, 0.2615, 0.3257, 0.3172, 0.3261, 0.3118, 0.2541, 0.2718, 0.3093, 0.3214, 0.3064, 0.3405, 0.3345, 0.2941, 0.3488, 0.3438, 0.3152, 0.3073, 0.3795, 0.3337, 0.3196, 0.2894, 0.3104, 0.3004, 0.299, 0.299, 0.3237, 0.3232, 0.338, 0.4014, 0.4014, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2036674779399545279", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-25T05:21:21+00:00", "symbol": "MTSI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CW Lasers: $SIVE | $MTSI", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strongest conviction on SIVE as highest-upside CW laser play for CPO scale-up and 1.6T pluggables; also bullish AVGO, MTSI, COHR, LITE, TSEM, JBL on laser/photonics bottleneck theme.", "resolved_tickers": ["MTSI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SIVE has gotta be the highest upside stock I’ve seen in this market since $AXTI?\n\nNo way markets missed the CW laser light source for Jabil, Marvell (Celestial via $POET), O-Net, Ayar ( $NVDA, Mediatek backed)…\n\nAt a $140M valuation. ($350m now)\n\nNot only do you get the most direct laser exposure to future CPO scale up? \n\nBut also this cycle’s 1.6T pluggables with $JBL (formerly Intel Silicon Photonics division) coming soon.\n\nWith Win Semi bridge capacity scaling needed for hyperscaler supply chains.\n\nDon’t think 99.9% of people realized the sheer scale of this yet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Every industry leader... \n\nEspecially $AVGO (Physical Layer Products division) in this statement today. \n\nCites Lasers as a bottleneck for semiconductors.\n\nIf you aren't long...\n-&gt; CW Lasers: $SIVE | $MTSI\n-&gt; EML Lasers: $COHR | $LITE \n-&gt; or their foundries in $TSEM/Win Semi https://t.co/U2jL4zwbtW", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03187233828183311, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03187233828183311, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02633046287023233, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02633046287023233, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005541875411600783, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005541875411600783, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06749915825707309, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06749915825707309, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04964041409893438, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04964041409893438, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017858744158138706, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017858744158138706, "ret_p1w": -0.06398952458944829, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06398952458944829, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.061583968923931254, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.061583968923931254, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002405555665517034, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002405555665517034, "ret_p1m": 0.1606268433267175, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1606268433267175, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08202082599002725, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08202082599002725, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07860601733669026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07860601733669026, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2858, -0.2911, -0.2864, -0.301, -0.301, -0.286, -0.3031, -0.299, -0.3037, -0.3158, -0.2864, -0.1938, -0.1286, -0.1226, -0.1066, -0.0994, -0.0994, -0.0952, -0.0767, -0.0847, -0.1052, -0.1067, -0.1055, -0.0767, -0.0706, -0.106, -0.0673, -0.0748, -0.1225, -0.0704, -0.0374, -0.0381, -0.0592, -0.0331, -0.0247, -0.0036, -0.0036, 0.0022, 0.007, -0.0101, -0.0059, 0.002, 0.0133, 0.034, 0.0084, 0.0126, 0.0551, -0.0164, -0.0246, -0.0655, -0.1532, -0.1074, -0.0998, -0.0918, -0.1188, -0.1112, -0.0821, -0.0969, -0.1067, -0.0837, -0.1064, -0.0644, -0.0319, 0.0, -0.0675, -0.08, -0.1451, -0.0937, -0.064, -0.0275, -0.0275, -0.049, -0.0329, 0.008, 0.0109, 0.0533, 0.0759, 0.077, 0.0658, 0.0668, 0.1303, 0.1471, 0.166, 0.1304, 0.1606, 0.1738, 0.1404, 0.0839, 0.1004, 0.1492, 0.1597, 0.1905, 0.2389, 0.2643, 0.4058, 0.4687, 0.4931, 0.4804, 0.5571, 0.5653, 0.5328, 0.4538, 0.465, 0.5333, 0.5526, 0.5752, 0.5752, 0.6719, 0.6351, 0.596, 0.4881, 0.4881, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2036674779399545279", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-03-25T05:21:21+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "EML Lasers: $COHR | $LITE", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strongest conviction on SIVE as highest-upside CW laser play for CPO scale-up and 1.6T pluggables; also bullish AVGO, MTSI, COHR, LITE, TSEM, JBL on laser/photonics bottleneck theme.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SIVE has gotta be the highest upside stock I’ve seen in this market since $AXTI?\n\nNo way markets missed the CW laser light source for Jabil, Marvell (Celestial via $POET), O-Net, Ayar ( $NVDA, Mediatek backed)…\n\nAt a $140M valuation. ($350m now)\n\nNot only do you get the most direct laser exposure to future CPO scale up? \n\nBut also this cycle’s 1.6T pluggables with $JBL (formerly Intel Silicon Photonics division) coming soon.\n\nWith Win Semi bridge capacity scaling needed for hyperscaler supply chains.\n\nDon’t think 99.9% of people realized the sheer scale of this yet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Every industry leader... \n\nEspecially $AVGO (Physical Layer Products division) in this statement today. \n\nCites Lasers as a bottleneck for semiconductors.\n\nIf you aren't long...\n-&gt; CW Lasers: $SIVE | $MTSI\n-&gt; EML Lasers: $COHR | $LITE \n-&gt; or their foundries in $TSEM/Win Semi https://t.co/U2jL4zwbtW", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.00106593889955664, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00106593889955664, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006607814311157423, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006607814311157423, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005541875411600783, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005541875411600783, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.10568304056659217, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.10568304056659217, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08782429640845346, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.08782429640845346, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017858744158138706, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017858744158138706, "ret_p1w": -0.08910456084315743, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08910456084315743, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0866990051776404, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0866990051776404, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002405555665517034, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002405555665517034, "ret_p1m": 0.24128797996277185, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.24128797996277185, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1626819626260816, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1626819626260816, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07860601733669026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07860601733669026, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2953, -0.3052, -0.3133, -0.3215, -0.3215, -0.2857, -0.315, -0.2865, -0.2956, -0.3635, -0.3455, -0.3193, -0.3015, -0.3232, -0.2797, -0.2978, -0.2978, -0.2889, -0.2594, -0.2548, -0.2761, -0.273, -0.2134, -0.1871, -0.2065, -0.22, -0.1823, -0.1576, -0.2244, -0.2308, -0.1631, -0.1087, -0.1605, -0.1777, -0.2056, -0.2015, -0.2015, -0.1914, -0.177, -0.1454, -0.0877, -0.0851, -0.0632, -0.0152, -0.0805, -0.0482, 0.0988, 0.0322, 0.0104, -0.0668, -0.1335, -0.0725, -0.0419, -0.0758, -0.1131, -0.1076, -0.0907, -0.0965, -0.0545, 0.013, -0.0677, -0.0625, 0.0011, 0.0, -0.1057, -0.105, -0.1926, -0.1244, -0.0891, -0.051, -0.051, -0.0692, -0.0623, 0.0358, 0.0446, 0.1303, 0.1319, 0.1521, 0.1329, 0.2057, 0.2683, 0.2774, 0.2637, 0.2883, 0.2413, 0.2354, 0.1819, 0.1174, 0.1209, 0.1752, 0.2112, 0.2127, 0.2341, 0.267, 0.1733, 0.2324, 0.3957, 0.3748, 0.484, 0.4885, 0.4059, 0.3337, 0.2999, 0.3178, 0.3895, 0.3879, 0.3879, 0.4018, 0.3975, 0.3856, 0.3287, 0.3287, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2036674779399545279", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-03-25T05:21:21+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "EML Lasers: $COHR | $LITE", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strongest conviction on SIVE as highest-upside CW laser play for CPO scale-up and 1.6T pluggables; also bullish AVGO, MTSI, COHR, LITE, TSEM, JBL on laser/photonics bottleneck theme.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SIVE has gotta be the highest upside stock I’ve seen in this market since $AXTI?\n\nNo way markets missed the CW laser light source for Jabil, Marvell (Celestial via $POET), O-Net, Ayar ( $NVDA, Mediatek backed)…\n\nAt a $140M valuation. ($350m now)\n\nNot only do you get the most direct laser exposure to future CPO scale up? \n\nBut also this cycle’s 1.6T pluggables with $JBL (formerly Intel Silicon Photonics division) coming soon.\n\nWith Win Semi bridge capacity scaling needed for hyperscaler supply chains.\n\nDon’t think 99.9% of people realized the sheer scale of this yet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Every industry leader... \n\nEspecially $AVGO (Physical Layer Products division) in this statement today. \n\nCites Lasers as a bottleneck for semiconductors.\n\nIf you aren't long...\n-&gt; CW Lasers: $SIVE | $MTSI\n-&gt; EML Lasers: $COHR | $LITE \n-&gt; or their foundries in $TSEM/Win Semi https://t.co/U2jL4zwbtW", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03193639470129672, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03193639470129672, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.037478270112897505, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.037478270112897505, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005541875411600783, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005541875411600783, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.11370742187736216, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.11370742187736216, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.09584867771922345, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.09584867771922345, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017858744158138706, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017858744158138706, "ret_p1w": -0.016109678411937667, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.016109678411937667, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.013704122746420633, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.013704122746420633, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002405555665517034, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002405555665517034, "ret_p1m": 0.089710144847863, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.089710144847863, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.011104127511172734, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.011104127511172734, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07860601733669026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07860601733669026, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4972, -0.5206, -0.5224, -0.5257, -0.5257, -0.5032, -0.5406, -0.4886, -0.4945, -0.5519, -0.5478, -0.5627, -0.5351, -0.5733, -0.5583, -0.5828, -0.5828, -0.5409, -0.5336, -0.5439, -0.5636, -0.5722, -0.5231, -0.5046, -0.5092, -0.4958, -0.4552, -0.4401, -0.401, -0.351, -0.2897, -0.2574, -0.278, -0.2613, -0.2493, -0.2759, -0.2759, -0.2274, -0.2354, -0.1821, -0.1408, -0.1318, -0.1144, -0.0692, -0.1289, -0.0981, 0.0078, -0.1065, -0.124, -0.1626, -0.2814, -0.1756, -0.1353, -0.1353, -0.2073, -0.199, -0.196, -0.1642, -0.0983, -0.0065, -0.0911, -0.062, 0.0319, 0.0, -0.1137, -0.0958, -0.1575, -0.0957, -0.0161, 0.064, 0.064, -0.0063, 0.0496, 0.1529, 0.1505, 0.1546, 0.121, 0.0973, 0.0603, 0.1468, 0.1504, 0.1518, 0.0769, 0.1241, 0.0897, 0.1344, 0.1062, 0.0183, 0.1044, 0.161, 0.2223, 0.2561, 0.2797, 0.215, 0.1485, 0.1629, 0.355, 0.2769, 0.3258, 0.289, 0.249, 0.1387, 0.1453, 0.117, 0.241, 0.2184, 0.2184, 0.172, 0.161, 0.1074, 0.1001, 0.1001, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2036674779399545279", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2026-03-25T05:21:21+00:00", "symbol": "TSEM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "or their foundries in $TSEM/Win Semi", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strongest conviction on SIVE as highest-upside CW laser play for CPO scale-up and 1.6T pluggables; also bullish AVGO, MTSI, COHR, LITE, TSEM, JBL on laser/photonics bottleneck theme.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSEM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SIVE has gotta be the highest upside stock I’ve seen in this market since $AXTI?\n\nNo way markets missed the CW laser light source for Jabil, Marvell (Celestial via $POET), O-Net, Ayar ( $NVDA, Mediatek backed)…\n\nAt a $140M valuation. ($350m now)\n\nNot only do you get the most direct laser exposure to future CPO scale up? \n\nBut also this cycle’s 1.6T pluggables with $JBL (formerly Intel Silicon Photonics division) coming soon.\n\nWith Win Semi bridge capacity scaling needed for hyperscaler supply chains.\n\nDon’t think 99.9% of people realized the sheer scale of this yet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Every industry leader... \n\nEspecially $AVGO (Physical Layer Products division) in this statement today. \n\nCites Lasers as a bottleneck for semiconductors.\n\nIf you aren't long...\n-&gt; CW Lasers: $SIVE | $MTSI\n-&gt; EML Lasers: $COHR | $LITE \n-&gt; or their foundries in $TSEM/Win Semi https://t.co/U2jL4zwbtW", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.041962477156080036, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.041962477156080036, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03642060174447925, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03642060174447925, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005541875411600783, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005541875411600783, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07449407866999369, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07449407866999369, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.056635334511854984, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.056635334511854984, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017858744158138706, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017858744158138706, "ret_p1w": -0.008848140936425941, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.008848140936425941, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.006442585270908907, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.006442585270908907, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002405555665517034, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002405555665517034, "ret_p1m": 0.06638761478551869, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06638761478551869, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01221840255117157, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01221840255117157, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07860601733669026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07860601733669026, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3557, -0.3583, -0.3607, -0.3779, -0.3779, -0.355, -0.368, -0.3521, -0.3524, -0.3784, -0.364, -0.3573, -0.3389, -0.3473, -0.343, -0.3121, -0.3121, -0.3165, -0.2931, -0.3113, -0.3185, -0.3269, -0.2973, -0.2639, -0.2863, -0.2862, -0.2747, -0.2773, -0.3574, -0.3161, -0.2633, -0.2183, -0.2764, -0.2877, -0.2923, -0.3179, -0.3179, -0.323, -0.32, -0.3332, -0.3193, -0.3248, -0.3324, -0.3326, -0.3439, -0.3384, -0.2657, -0.3349, -0.3457, -0.3613, -0.4141, -0.3883, -0.3807, -0.3672, -0.3719, -0.3392, -0.2663, -0.2696, -0.2479, -0.1201, -0.133, -0.088, -0.042, 0.0, -0.0745, -0.0891, -0.1598, -0.0703, -0.0088, 0.048, 0.048, 0.0077, 0.0112, 0.0792, 0.0799, 0.0787, 0.1098, 0.1344, 0.1425, 0.1378, 0.1998, 0.1894, 0.1482, 0.092, 0.0664, 0.0625, 0.0773, 0.0255, 0.0553, 0.1712, 0.1551, 0.1395, 0.1949, 0.149, 0.1126, 0.118, 0.2127, 0.17, 0.4346, 0.4872, 0.4516, 0.3143, 0.3314, 0.4013, 0.4783, 0.5017, 0.5017, 0.5287, 0.4718, 0.4597, 0.3523, 0.3523, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2036674779399545279", "ticker_idx": 6, "ts": "2026-03-25T05:21:21+00:00", "symbol": "JBL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this cycle's 1.6T pluggables with $JBL (formerly Intel Silicon Photonics division) coming soon", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strongest conviction on SIVE as highest-upside CW laser play for CPO scale-up and 1.6T pluggables; also bullish AVGO, MTSI, COHR, LITE, TSEM, JBL on laser/photonics bottleneck theme.", "resolved_tickers": ["JBL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SIVE has gotta be the highest upside stock I’ve seen in this market since $AXTI?\n\nNo way markets missed the CW laser light source for Jabil, Marvell (Celestial via $POET), O-Net, Ayar ( $NVDA, Mediatek backed)…\n\nAt a $140M valuation. ($350m now)\n\nNot only do you get the most direct laser exposure to future CPO scale up? \n\nBut also this cycle’s 1.6T pluggables with $JBL (formerly Intel Silicon Photonics division) coming soon.\n\nWith Win Semi bridge capacity scaling needed for hyperscaler supply chains.\n\nDon’t think 99.9% of people realized the sheer scale of this yet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Every industry leader... \n\nEspecially $AVGO (Physical Layer Products division) in this statement today. \n\nCites Lasers as a bottleneck for semiconductors.\n\nIf you aren't long...\n-&gt; CW Lasers: $SIVE | $MTSI\n-&gt; EML Lasers: $COHR | $LITE \n-&gt; or their foundries in $TSEM/Win Semi https://t.co/U2jL4zwbtW", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02068904869345256, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02068904869345256, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015147173281851778, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015147173281851778, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005541875411600783, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005541875411600783, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06739858296785295, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06739858296785295, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04953983880971424, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04953983880971424, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017858744158138706, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017858744158138706, "ret_p1w": -0.03982482375468688, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03982482375468688, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.037419268089169844, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.037419268089169844, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002405555665517034, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002405555665517034, "ret_p1m": 0.19520553259837792, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.19520553259837792, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11659951526168766, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11659951526168766, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07860601733669026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07860601733669026, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1667, -0.1707, -0.1827, -0.1952, -0.1952, -0.1516, -0.2114, -0.2081, -0.2078, -0.2171, -0.2018, -0.1862, -0.1588, -0.1482, -0.1064, -0.1131, -0.1131, -0.1291, -0.1065, -0.1363, -0.1418, -0.1465, -0.1449, -0.1402, -0.1391, -0.1628, -0.1416, -0.1331, -0.1668, -0.1465, -0.0885, -0.0613, -0.0861, -0.0785, -0.1136, -0.1015, -0.1015, -0.0912, -0.0801, -0.0734, -0.0429, -0.0775, -0.0599, -0.02, -0.04, -0.0644, -0.0779, -0.1024, -0.0991, -0.1096, -0.1488, -0.1263, -0.1133, -0.0981, -0.1098, -0.1151, -0.0891, -0.0738, -0.0867, -0.0633, -0.1045, -0.0599, -0.0207, 0.0, -0.0674, -0.0782, -0.1263, -0.0622, -0.0398, -0.0519, -0.0519, -0.0557, -0.0367, 0.0138, 0.0345, 0.0574, 0.0781, 0.0803, 0.0766, 0.0948, 0.1358, 0.1661, 0.1781, 0.1877, 0.1952, 0.2062, 0.2032, 0.168, 0.1787, 0.1915, 0.2091, 0.2032, 0.1907, 0.3146, 0.2343, 0.2539, 0.2895, 0.2385, 0.2549, 0.251, 0.2, 0.1962, 0.1755, 0.2189, 0.2586, 0.2867, 0.2867, 0.3428, 0.3115, 0.2842, 0.2874, 0.2874, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2027318568728273305", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-27T09:43:07+00:00", "symbol": "IQE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I personally decided to enter this long as a massive potential turnaround. It's a deep asset value trade on a successful restructuring to unlock trapped value. If gross 41M debt is removed and management reallocates capex toward InP, the equity could rerate materially.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long IQE: distressed valuation vs massive photonics capacity; debt clearance via Taiwan asset sale could trigger material equity rerate.", "resolved_tickers": ["IQE.L"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "IQE plc LSE-listed epiwafer supplier", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Here's a deeper look into $IQE ($179M):\n\nIQE's hidden InP optionality versus LandMark's $3.5B valuation. And the $IREN / $CRWV \"miner\" pivot to photonics: \n\nBefore I did a high-level shower thought overview eg. $AXTI -> $IQE -> $LITE -> $GOOGL TPUs, but this is slightly more DD. \n\nBasically: IQE is the largest independent merchant compound semi epitaxial foundry in the world by reactor count and physical capacity. \n\nHowever, it's trading at distressed valuations because it's burdened by a low-margin legacy wireless business, and near-term liquidity constraints. \n\nLandMark Optoelectronics (TPEX: 3081) is the closest comparison. As a pure-play proxy for AI InP demand in the 800G and 1.6T optical interconnect market, LandMark commands a ~$3.8B billion market cap with large premiums in comparison to $IQE which is trading at a $175M MC. \n\nBut if you look deeper at the physical hardware, the disconnect is pretty fascinating:\n\nLandMark's operational scale is physically limited. They only operate around 27 to 30 Metal-Organic Chemical Vapor Deposition (MOCVD) reactors out of a single campus in Taiwan per some estimates. \n\nIQE, by stark contrast, possesses well over 100+ MOCVD and MBE systems globally. \n\nThe underlying replacement value and structural capacity of IQE’s photonics asset base looks to vastly exceeds its current public market valuation.\n\nKind of like if a Bitcoin miner has 3GW capacity, vs 750 MW, there's large optionality to monetize it if they convert it.  \n\nAnd we're seeing an transceiver bottleneck too: \n\n-> The downstream demand for optical transceivers is experiencing unprecedented acceleration.\n\n-> Extreme demand, from $GOOGL, $MSFT, $AMZN and others flow directly up the hardware supply chain.\n\nThis puts immense pressure on transceiver integrators like Innolight, optical component manufacturers like $COHR, $LITE, and $AVGO, and ultimately, the merchant epitaxial foundries that grow the raw epiwafers required for the foundational laser chips. \n\nAnd since other players are hitting a physical capacity ceiling, vertically integrated players like $COHR are capped out, hyperscalers and module makers are desperate for alternative capacity in players like $IQE\n\nAnd..\n\nHidden entirely beneath IQE's consolidated corporate lines is a massive fleet of Aixtron AIX 2800G4-TM reactors. \n\nThese are natively dual-capable (GaAs/InP) and can be repurposed for InP production at a relatively modest cost ($500K-$1.5M per reactor) but take few months or year to refactor. And obviously qualification and yield risk added to execution (similar to Bitcoin miners doing software orchestration to GPUs like $CRWV). \n\nBut still,  IQE has the capacity kinda like $IREN or Bitcoin miners that pivoted to HPC. And LandMark is proof of the valuation pure play exposure brings. \n\nThe Major Question..  Unlocking Trapped Value:\n\nWhile IQE generates significantly higher top-line revenue than LandMark, it's priced ($175M MC) for bankruptcy because of its gross debt of 45M. \n\nBut the debt looks like pennies to hyperscalers:\n\nThe explicit, stated goal of their ongoing Lazard-advised strategic review is to definitively conclude the sale of IQE Taiwan (their legacy GaAs wireless business) and utilize the proceeds to completely and permanently extinguish the parent company's restrictive debt profile.\n\nOnce again their convertible loan notes is a norminal face value of £21.2 million, for proceeds of £18 million for the company. Then they're net debt, £23.5 million. \n\n-> The immediate debt burden requiring clearance: £23.5M HSBC facility + £21.2M CLN = ~£45M.\n\nAssuming a highly sale price for the IQE Taiwan unit of between £100 million and £150 millio (not guaranteed), IQE would net £50 million to £100 million in surplus cash after becoming completely debt-free. \n\nHowever, RF GaAs is not currently \"hot\", so in a distressed asset sale it might only be £50M to £60M, which gives it enough room to clear debt alone and little cushion room. \n\nThe Geopolitical Pivot:\n\nOnce debt-free, IQE can shift its massive, currently underutilized manufacturing capacity in places like North Carolina and Wales toward the InP epiwafer market for datacenters.\n\nIt creates a fully capitalized, purely Western-based supply chain for the most critical bottleneck in photonics, eliminating more dependency on Asia at a time when the US and UK are heavily prioritizing domestic semiconductor infrastructure.\n\nBasically, just given the amount of raw assets $IQE has:\n\n -> Successfully selling off their Taiwan business wipes out the going-concern risks, clears all debt, and leaves them to monetize their 6-inch inp epiwafer tech directly for the Tier 1 optical transceiver players.\n\nIt's a deep asset value trade on a successful restructuring to unlock trapped value. And a currently well-known supplier for optical networking for hyperscalers (so not a science project). \n\nDownside risks are excessive dilution and failure to restructure. But given it's geopolitical importance to Western supply chains and hyperscaler supply chains, it seems to have more cushion. \n\nI personally decided to enter this long as a massive potential turnaround. But again, it's not for everyone and it's extremely high risk. \n\nTLDR:\n\n-> IQE is priced like a distressed RF supplier.\n-> It owns real photonics-capable infrastructure. \n-> If gross 41M debt is removed and management reallocates capex toward InP, the equity could rerate materially.\n-> Restructuring + capacity optionality trade with extreme risk but extreme upside. \n\nClosest comparison is Bitcoin miners like $IREN or $CIFR that pivot their GW capacity to AI HPC. They have a ton of physical hardware (GW capacity), and need funds to pivot (either through sale of Taiwan business or dilution). \n\nIt's an optimistic trade I took they can do it (with wiggle room like $INTC given their geopolitical importance to the West). \n\nThe downside is extreme dilution, which is always a possibility (meaning your equity gets wiped out to 0 to clear their debts or to help them refactor). \n\nI just found that 45M gross debt (14.4% of float + debt) wasn't the most and management was looking to clear that through asset sales rather than dilution to shareholders. \n\nJust wanted to publish deeper breakdown and more risks of this very binary **high risk**, but potentially high upside trade.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.05263157894736836, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05263157894736836, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04780646576914327, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0387525654468488, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013879013500519566, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.34736844112998555, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.34736844112998555, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.34679986234765425, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.34731917683515445, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "bench_c_p1d": 4.926429483109729e-05, "ret_p1w": 0.03473683407432149, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03473683407432149, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05457678088682316, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09825037559736316, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "bench_c_p1w": -0.06351354152304167, "ret_p1m": 0.21578949376156453, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21578949376156453, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2920210717153393, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.32367146552291026, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "bench_c_p1m": -0.10788197176134573, "ret_p3m": 1.668421092786287, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.668421092786287, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.5714524036962816, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.2030077818742158, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.4654133109120713, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7368, -0.7405, -0.7326, -0.7358, -0.7358, -0.7353, -0.73, -0.7258, -0.7432, -0.7421, -0.7382, -0.7387, -0.7342, -0.7316, -0.73, -0.7382, -0.7387, -0.7387, -0.7387, -0.7387, -0.7368, -0.7368, -0.7368, -0.7289, -0.7353, -0.7326, -0.7063, -0.6763, -0.6137, -0.4505, -0.4805, -0.5263, -0.5711, -0.5868, -0.53, -0.59, -0.5979, -0.5895, -0.5774, -0.5974, -0.5968, -0.5779, -0.5921, -0.5837, -0.5774, -0.5947, -0.5816, -0.5889, -0.5832, -0.57, -0.4737, -0.4611, -0.4579, -0.4421, -0.4474, -0.4411, -0.4495, -0.4537, -0.4484, -0.3274, -0.3579, -0.1568, 0.0526, 0.0, 0.3474, 0.3684, 0.4132, 0.1289, 0.0347, 0.0042, 0.1947, 0.2789, 0.1947, 0.2237, 0.2158, 0.1368, 0.3447, 0.2026, 0.2421, 0.2368, 0.3447, 0.5526, 0.4, 0.2895, 0.2158, 0.2842, 0.3211, 0.2421, 0.2421, 0.2421, 0.3421, 0.5105, 0.5789, 0.9474, 1.5842, 1.5158, 1.8421, 2.0842, 1.7421, 2.0842, 2.3158, 2.2947, 1.6184, 1.5053, 1.6, 1.1184, 1.1263, 1.2763, 1.1658, 1.1658, 1.6316, 1.3447, 1.4026, 1.4789, 1.8684, 1.4816, 1.6579, 1.6105, 1.4211, 1.0579, 0.6842, 0.9763, 1.0974, 1.4079, 1.4079, 1.8421, 1.6684, 1.5079, 1.5, 1.5, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2030816176029462616", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-09T01:21:21+00:00", "symbol": "EWY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$EWY IV is starting to look seriously mispriced.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Memory names (SK Hynix, Samsung) and EWY seen as compelling longs post-war-volatility on intact fundamentals vs. overblown oil/LNG fears.", "resolved_tickers": ["EWY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$EWY IV is starting to look seriously mispriced.\n\nThe volatility on the South Korean index and SK Hynix / Samsung is just insane.\n\nThat being said, three things regarding memory names: \n\n1. Crude Oil costs and LNG as a byproduct are likely to have little to moderate material effect.\n\n- Price hikes are a small haircut to SK Hynix/Samsung margins, but DRAM/NAND hikes makes up for all of that \n\n- Found low disruption to Helium/LNG given shipping routes / SK Hynix statements. \n\n2. Majority of the fears seem overblown and markets are pricing in the worst case fears of Oil to $200 + global recession.\n\n3. Liquidations causing exaggerated effects.  \n\nThe operating income of these stocks are likely in tact. \n\nBut short term repricing does make sense as markets are derisking of future oil spillovers. \n\nHowever, I do believe memory names serve as compelling longs once the War volatility is over given fundamentals > fear. \n\nAlso a good lesson not to use margin during volatile periods like these.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The sentiment around KOSPI | $EWY (SK Hynix / Samsung) on \n\nCrude Oil / LNG / Helium either:\n\nDisrupting Supply or Compressing Margins are overblown. \n\nThe supply chain disruption and energy cost threats to SK Hynix, Samsung are sensationalized noise. \n\nHere's why:\n\n1. Crude Oil: https://t.co/pbJoQoUWlE", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.053476705245757206, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.053476705245757206, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04479275188140197, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04479275188140197, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02681302826391818, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02681302826391818, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.025205901358551053, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.025205901358551053, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "ret_p1w": -0.005900315854313831, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.005900315854313831, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0077225908698849155, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0077225908698849155, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "ret_p1m": -0.05004105593236852, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05004105593236852, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02460909151275603, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02460909151275603, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2933, -0.3063, -0.3231, -0.3226, -0.3314, -0.3384, -0.3273, -0.3178, -0.3147, -0.3076, -0.2934, -0.2934, -0.2842, -0.2627, -0.2634, -0.2739, -0.2739, -0.2365, -0.217, -0.1963, -0.2006, -0.2039, -0.1867, -0.1864, -0.1968, -0.1811, -0.1706, -0.1618, -0.1618, -0.1712, -0.1362, -0.1337, -0.1189, -0.1238, -0.0836, -0.0622, -0.0701, -0.0857, -0.0968, -0.0715, -0.1018, -0.1022, -0.0686, -0.0586, -0.0705, -0.0246, -0.0231, 0.0006, 0.0006, -0.024, -0.0072, 0.0099, 0.0597, 0.0404, 0.0796, 0.112, 0.1234, 0.1306, 0.1019, -0.0116, 0.0036, -0.0609, -0.0535, 0.0, -0.0268, -0.0078, -0.0776, -0.0727, -0.0059, 0.004, -0.015, 0.0069, -0.0606, -0.0006, -0.0384, -0.0459, -0.1038, -0.0964, -0.1304, -0.0813, -0.0573, -0.0823, -0.0823, -0.0594, -0.05, 0.0462, 0.0403, 0.0361, 0.0548, 0.0955, 0.0824, 0.1014, 0.1377, 0.121, 0.0963, 0.1636, 0.1247, 0.1545, 0.1706, 0.153, 0.1499, 0.2007, 0.2099, 0.2218, 0.2956, 0.3592, 0.3201, 0.4206, 0.4404, 0.3332, 0.4088, 0.423, 0.3359, 0.3153, 0.2997, 0.3452, 0.3923, 0.3595, 0.3595, 0.4986, 0.481, 0.5416, 0.5373, 0.5373, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2030816176029462616", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-09T01:21:21+00:00", "symbol": "SK Hynix", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "memory names serve as compelling longs once the War volatility is over given fundamentals > fear", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Memory names (SK Hynix, Samsung) and EWY seen as compelling longs post-war-volatility on intact fundamentals vs. overblown oil/LNG fears.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "SK Hynix listed on KOSPI as 000660.KS", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$EWY IV is starting to look seriously mispriced.\n\nThe volatility on the South Korean index and SK Hynix / Samsung is just insane.\n\nThat being said, three things regarding memory names: \n\n1. Crude Oil costs and LNG as a byproduct are likely to have little to moderate material effect.\n\n- Price hikes are a small haircut to SK Hynix/Samsung margins, but DRAM/NAND hikes makes up for all of that \n\n- Found low disruption to Helium/LNG given shipping routes / SK Hynix statements. \n\n2. Majority of the fears seem overblown and markets are pricing in the worst case fears of Oil to $200 + global recession.\n\n3. Liquidations causing exaggerated effects.  \n\nThe operating income of these stocks are likely in tact. \n\nBut short term repricing does make sense as markets are derisking of future oil spillovers. \n\nHowever, I do believe memory names serve as compelling longs once the War volatility is over given fundamentals > fear. \n\nAlso a good lesson not to use margin during volatile periods like these.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The sentiment around KOSPI | $EWY (SK Hynix / Samsung) on \n\nCrude Oil / LNG / Helium either:\n\nDisrupting Supply or Compressing Margins are overblown. \n\nThe supply chain disruption and energy cost threats to SK Hynix, Samsung are sensationalized noise. \n\nHere's why:\n\n1. Crude Oil: https://t.co/pbJoQoUWlE", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.10526311066951677, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.10526311066951677, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.113947064033872, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.15873981591527397, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.053476705245757206, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.12200955542508463, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.12200955542508463, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.12361668233045175, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.1488225836890028, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02681302826391818, "ret_p1w": 0.16507170307476637, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16507170307476637, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.17869460979896512, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1709720189290802, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005900315854313831, "ret_p1m": 0.09569377775770538, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09569377775770538, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12112574217731786, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1457348336900739, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05004105593236852, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2991, -0.3254, -0.3182, -0.3385, -0.3672, -0.3421, -0.3409, -0.3469, -0.3075, -0.3027, -0.2979, -0.2979, -0.2848, -0.2359, -0.2227, -0.2227, -0.2227, -0.1917, -0.169, -0.1332, -0.1141, -0.0974, -0.1117, -0.1057, -0.1189, -0.1141, -0.1057, -0.0974, -0.0878, -0.1129, -0.1165, -0.0986, -0.0842, -0.1212, -0.0448, 0.0041, 0.028, 0.0853, -0.009, 0.0829, 0.0746, 0.0053, 0.0017, 0.0591, 0.0459, 0.0268, 0.0602, 0.0507, 0.0507, 0.0507, 0.0507, 0.0674, 0.1331, 0.1355, 0.1999, 0.2155, 0.3146, 0.2691, 0.2691, 0.1232, 0.0156, 0.1256, 0.1053, 0.0, 0.122, 0.1423, 0.1124, 0.0885, 0.1651, 0.1603, 0.2632, 0.2117, 0.2045, 0.116, 0.1794, 0.1902, 0.116, 0.116, 0.0443, -0.0347, 0.073, -0.0072, 0.0478, 0.0598, 0.0957, 0.2356, 0.1938, 0.2285, 0.244, 0.3194, 0.3589, 0.3816, 0.3493, 0.3947, 0.4641, 0.4629, 0.4653, 0.4617, 0.5455, 0.555, 0.5467, 0.5383, 0.5383, 0.7309, 0.7309, 0.9151, 0.9785, 1.0167, 1.2488, 1.195, 1.3636, 1.3565, 1.1758, 1.201, 1.0873, 1.0873, 1.3206, 1.3218, 1.3218, 1.4545, 1.683, 1.7385, 1.7911, 1.8492, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2030816176029462616", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-09T01:21:21+00:00", "symbol": "005930.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "memory names serve as compelling longs once the War volatility is over given fundamentals > fear", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Memory names (SK Hynix, Samsung) and EWY seen as compelling longs post-war-volatility on intact fundamentals vs. overblown oil/LNG fears.", "resolved_tickers": ["005930.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$EWY IV is starting to look seriously mispriced.\n\nThe volatility on the South Korean index and SK Hynix / Samsung is just insane.\n\nThat being said, three things regarding memory names: \n\n1. Crude Oil costs and LNG as a byproduct are likely to have little to moderate material effect.\n\n- Price hikes are a small haircut to SK Hynix/Samsung margins, but DRAM/NAND hikes makes up for all of that \n\n- Found low disruption to Helium/LNG given shipping routes / SK Hynix statements. \n\n2. Majority of the fears seem overblown and markets are pricing in the worst case fears of Oil to $200 + global recession.\n\n3. Liquidations causing exaggerated effects.  \n\nThe operating income of these stocks are likely in tact. \n\nBut short term repricing does make sense as markets are derisking of future oil spillovers. \n\nHowever, I do believe memory names serve as compelling longs once the War volatility is over given fundamentals > fear. \n\nAlso a good lesson not to use margin during volatile periods like these.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The sentiment around KOSPI | $EWY (SK Hynix / Samsung) on \n\nCrude Oil / LNG / Helium either:\n\nDisrupting Supply or Compressing Margins are overblown. \n\nThe supply chain disruption and energy cost threats to SK Hynix, Samsung are sensationalized noise. \n\nHere's why:\n\n1. Crude Oil: https://t.co/pbJoQoUWlE", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.08472625011460999, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08472625011460999, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.09341020347896523, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.10239941511345074, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01767316499884075, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08299717427857112, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08299717427857112, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08460430118393825, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08299717427857112, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.08760810333736901, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08760810333736901, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10123101006156776, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09462006679973212, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007011963462363102, "ret_p1m": 0.1349090664939756, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1349090664939756, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1603410309135881, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.15035790484955236, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.015448838355576755, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3805, -0.3845, -0.3754, -0.3989, -0.4104, -0.3811, -0.3828, -0.3903, -0.3662, -0.3605, -0.3628, -0.3628, -0.3289, -0.3112, -0.3089, -0.3089, -0.3089, -0.2594, -0.204, -0.1994, -0.1873, -0.2, -0.1988, -0.2, -0.2069, -0.1914, -0.1706, -0.1418, -0.1395, -0.1631, -0.1383, -0.1222, -0.1233, -0.1233, -0.0807, -0.064, -0.0738, -0.0749, -0.1331, -0.0346, -0.0254, -0.0818, -0.0859, -0.0409, -0.0444, -0.0329, 0.0294, 0.0444, 0.0444, 0.0444, 0.0444, 0.0951, 0.0957, 0.1124, 0.1527, 0.1729, 0.2565, 0.2478, 0.2478, 0.1245, -0.0075, 0.1043, 0.0847, 0.0, 0.083, 0.0951, 0.083, 0.0576, 0.0876, 0.1176, 0.2017, 0.1556, 0.1493, 0.0738, 0.0934, 0.0893, 0.038, 0.038, 0.0182, -0.0343, 0.0953, 0.0304, 0.0754, 0.1153, 0.1349, 0.2158, 0.1782, 0.1898, 0.1609, 0.1927, 0.2187, 0.2562, 0.2475, 0.2389, 0.2649, 0.2562, 0.2966, 0.2677, 0.2966, 0.2822, 0.3053, 0.2735, 0.2735, 0.3428, 0.3428, 0.5363, 0.5681, 0.5508, 0.6489, 0.6114, 0.6403, 0.7096, 0.5623, 0.6229, 0.5912, 0.5941, 0.7298, 0.6894, 0.6894, 0.7269, 0.7731, 0.7298, 0.8309, 1.0013, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2019668459685310565", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-06T07:04:19+00:00", "symbol": "AVGO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "ASICs: $AVGO (Google TPUs, Meta MTIA, etc.)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Stay long AI buildout beneficiaries — AVGO, memory (Hynix/Samsung/MU), TSM, NVDA as core plays; AAOI, POET, LITE as hidden beneficiaries; hyperscaler capex blowout validates the trade.", "resolved_tickers": ["AVGO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Markets have been hit with an AI capex shock.\n\nThis is effectively an AI arms race between hyperscalers and foreign nations. \n\nBetween 2025 to 2026, capex has increased from:\n\n$GOOGL: $91B - $93B to $175B – $185B\n$AMZN: $125B to ~$200B\n$META: $72B to $115B-$135B\n$MSFT: $110B to $150B\n$TSLA: $8.5B to $20B+\n\nWhen Google says they are spending $185 Billion in 1 year (on DCs, TPUs, infrastructure), from $92B the previous year, that is enormous. \n\nCapex projections like $AMZN are mixed from robotics to space, but the same memory companies and semiconductors actually benefit twice. \n\nMarkets might not appreciate $GOOGL spending that much but AI supply chains upstream certainly do. \n\nEspecially the most obvious ones that benefit from most such as:\n\nASICs: $AVGO (Google TPUs, Meta MTIA, etc.)\nMemory: SK Hynix, Samsung, Micron\n$TSM (You cannot build God without TSM)\n$NVDA (training)\n\nThere's hidden beneficiaries in each buildout (eg. $AAOI with $MSFT to $POET with $MRVL, $LITE with $GOOGL). But sometimes, the braindead obvious plays like memory or $TSM are are just the best. \n\nThe biggest signal of whether the AI trade continues is hyperscaler spending:\n\nAnd they just blew all expectations out of the room. \n\nStay long in the AI buildout, fundamentals matter more than macro and short term liquidity shock.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06731349265364761, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06731349265364761, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.048489905900370944, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01607488469895757, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.018823586753276667, "bench_c_m1d": -0.05123860795469004, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.033101001287215714, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.033101001287215714, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.028279169184205255, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.020652351776496047, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004821832103010459, "bench_c_p1d": 0.012448649510719667, "ret_p1w": -0.023278919616945615, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.023278919616945615, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01043541137983739, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03839159835828565, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012843508237108225, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015112678741340035, "ret_p1m": 0.03853774937221477, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03853774937221477, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05642011690941251, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05666298002060144, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01788236753719774, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01812523064838667, "ret_p3m": 0.2805851986081205, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2805851986081205, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.21511627275538703, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08816873670828951, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06546892585273345, "bench_c_p3m": 0.36875393531641, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0552, 0.0649, 0.0193, 0.0267, 0.0273, 0.0208, 0.0625, 0.0398, 0.0199, 0.1331, 0.1543, 0.1919, 0.1919, 0.2081, 0.1575, 0.1439, 0.1411, 0.1423, 0.1699, 0.2025, 0.2181, 0.2381, 0.2183, 0.0791, 0.0187, 0.0232, -0.0226, -0.011, 0.0204, 0.0256, 0.0493, 0.052, 0.052, 0.0577, 0.0495, 0.0509, 0.0396, 0.0396, 0.0442, 0.0315, 0.0326, 0.0318, -0.0013, 0.0362, 0.0579, 0.0652, 0.0209, 0.0303, 0.0564, 0.0564, -0.001, -0.0124, -0.0223, -0.0387, -0.0242, -0.0004, 0.001, -0.0066, -0.0049, -0.0054, -0.0378, -0.0747, -0.0673, 0.0, 0.0331, 0.0226, 0.0296, -0.0053, -0.0233, -0.0233, -0.0011, 0.0018, 0.0032, -0.0008, -0.0077, -0.0223, -0.0018, -0.0337, -0.0402, -0.0424, -0.0573, -0.0462, -0.0005, -0.0073, 0.0385, 0.029, 0.026, 0.0092, -0.0323, -0.024, -0.0349, -0.051, -0.0393, -0.0673, -0.0292, -0.0419, -0.0404, -0.0686, -0.0949, -0.1168, -0.0684, -0.0564, -0.0532, -0.0532, -0.0536, 0.0053, 0.0554, 0.0683, 0.1184, 0.1431, 0.1462, 0.1941, 0.1994, 0.2237, 0.2029, 0.2105, 0.2722, 0.264, 0.2725, 0.2588, 0.2035, 0.2204, 0.2565, 0.2681, 0.2537, 0.2864, 0.2806, 0.2418, 0.2943, 0.2896, 0.2621, 0.2545, 0.3238, 0.2798, 0.2663, 0.2373, 0.2575, 0.2479, 0.2466, 0.2466, 0.2703, 0.2698, 0.284, 0.3448, 0.3448, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2019668459685310565", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-06T07:04:19+00:00", "symbol": "SK Hynix", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Memory: SK Hynix, Samsung, Micron", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Stay long AI buildout beneficiaries — AVGO, memory (Hynix/Samsung/MU), TSM, NVDA as core plays; AAOI, POET, LITE as hidden beneficiaries; hyperscaler capex blowout validates the trade.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "SK Hynix listed on KOSPI as 000660.KS", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Markets have been hit with an AI capex shock.\n\nThis is effectively an AI arms race between hyperscalers and foreign nations. \n\nBetween 2025 to 2026, capex has increased from:\n\n$GOOGL: $91B - $93B to $175B – $185B\n$AMZN: $125B to ~$200B\n$META: $72B to $115B-$135B\n$MSFT: $110B to $150B\n$TSLA: $8.5B to $20B+\n\nWhen Google says they are spending $185 Billion in 1 year (on DCs, TPUs, infrastructure), from $92B the previous year, that is enormous. \n\nCapex projections like $AMZN are mixed from robotics to space, but the same memory companies and semiconductors actually benefit twice. \n\nMarkets might not appreciate $GOOGL spending that much but AI supply chains upstream certainly do. \n\nEspecially the most obvious ones that benefit from most such as:\n\nASICs: $AVGO (Google TPUs, Meta MTIA, etc.)\nMemory: SK Hynix, Samsung, Micron\n$TSM (You cannot build God without TSM)\n$NVDA (training)\n\nThere's hidden beneficiaries in each buildout (eg. $AAOI with $MSFT to $POET with $MRVL, $LITE with $GOOGL). But sometimes, the braindead obvious plays like memory or $TSM are are just the best. \n\nThe biggest signal of whether the AI trade continues is hyperscaler spending:\n\nAnd they just blew all expectations out of the room. \n\nStay long in the AI buildout, fundamentals matter more than macro and short term liquidity shock.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.003575716567135956, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.003575716567135956, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.022399303320412622, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03965943104901892, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.018823586753276667, "bench_c_m1d": -0.03608371448188297, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05721094257050163, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05721094257050163, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05238911046749117, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04646598244603317, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004821832103010459, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010744960124468461, "ret_p1w": 0.04886767855723306, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04886767855723306, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06171118679434129, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.025384604372848507, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012843508237108225, "bench_c_p1w": 0.07425228293008157, "ret_p1m": -0.0017370261404855425, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0017370261404855425, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0161453413967122, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07534780613061043, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01788236753719774, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07361077999012489, "ret_p3m": 0.9117452481090031, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.9117452481090031, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.8462763222562697, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4525198687208243, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06546892585273345, "bench_c_p3m": 0.45922537938817887, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2627, -0.2651, -0.2711, -0.333, -0.2782, -0.3211, -0.3306, -0.3199, -0.3795, -0.3807, -0.3818, -0.3759, -0.3516, -0.3683, -0.3588, -0.3349, -0.3421, -0.354, -0.3516, -0.3123, -0.3254, -0.3004, -0.3266, -0.3194, -0.3397, -0.3683, -0.3433, -0.3421, -0.348, -0.3087, -0.3039, -0.2992, -0.2992, -0.2861, -0.2372, -0.2241, -0.2241, -0.2241, -0.1931, -0.1704, -0.1347, -0.1156, -0.0989, -0.1132, -0.1073, -0.1204, -0.1156, -0.1073, -0.0989, -0.0894, -0.1144, -0.118, -0.1001, -0.0858, -0.1228, -0.0465, 0.0024, 0.0262, 0.0834, -0.0107, 0.081, 0.0727, 0.0036, 0.0, 0.0572, 0.0441, 0.025, 0.0584, 0.0489, 0.0489, 0.0489, 0.0489, 0.0656, 0.1311, 0.1335, 0.1979, 0.2133, 0.3123, 0.2669, 0.2669, 0.1213, 0.0138, 0.1236, 0.1033, -0.0017, 0.1201, 0.1404, 0.1105, 0.0866, 0.163, 0.1583, 0.261, 0.2096, 0.2025, 0.1141, 0.1774, 0.1881, 0.1141, 0.1141, 0.0424, -0.0364, 0.0711, -0.0089, 0.046, 0.058, 0.0938, 0.2335, 0.1917, 0.2263, 0.2419, 0.3171, 0.3565, 0.3792, 0.3469, 0.3923, 0.4616, 0.4604, 0.4628, 0.4592, 0.5428, 0.5523, 0.544, 0.5356, 0.5356, 0.7279, 0.7279, 0.9117, 0.975, 1.0132, 1.2449, 1.1912, 1.3595, 1.3524, 1.1721, 1.1971, 1.0837, 1.0837, 1.3165, 1.3177, 1.3177, 1.4503, 1.6784, 1.7337, 1.7863, 1.8442, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2019668459685310565", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-06T07:04:19+00:00", "symbol": "005930.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Memory: SK Hynix, Samsung, Micron", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Stay long AI buildout beneficiaries — AVGO, memory (Hynix/Samsung/MU), TSM, NVDA as core plays; AAOI, POET, LITE as hidden beneficiaries; hyperscaler capex blowout validates the trade.", "resolved_tickers": ["005930.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Markets have been hit with an AI capex shock.\n\nThis is effectively an AI arms race between hyperscalers and foreign nations. \n\nBetween 2025 to 2026, capex has increased from:\n\n$GOOGL: $91B - $93B to $175B – $185B\n$AMZN: $125B to ~$200B\n$META: $72B to $115B-$135B\n$MSFT: $110B to $150B\n$TSLA: $8.5B to $20B+\n\nWhen Google says they are spending $185 Billion in 1 year (on DCs, TPUs, infrastructure), from $92B the previous year, that is enormous. \n\nCapex projections like $AMZN are mixed from robotics to space, but the same memory companies and semiconductors actually benefit twice. \n\nMarkets might not appreciate $GOOGL spending that much but AI supply chains upstream certainly do. \n\nEspecially the most obvious ones that benefit from most such as:\n\nASICs: $AVGO (Google TPUs, Meta MTIA, etc.)\nMemory: SK Hynix, Samsung, Micron\n$TSM (You cannot build God without TSM)\n$NVDA (training)\n\nThere's hidden beneficiaries in each buildout (eg. $AAOI with $MSFT to $POET with $MRVL, $LITE with $GOOGL). But sometimes, the braindead obvious plays like memory or $TSM are are just the best. \n\nThe biggest signal of whether the AI trade continues is hyperscaler spending:\n\nAnd they just blew all expectations out of the room. \n\nStay long in the AI buildout, fundamentals matter more than macro and short term liquidity shock.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.004413573354641542, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004413573354641542, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02323716010791821, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.043384692507755784, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.018823586753276667, "bench_c_m1d": -0.03897111915311424, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04918033919762932, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04918033919762932, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04435850709461886, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.033450079963909696, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004821832103010459, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015730259233719623, "ret_p1w": 0.1424968068304704, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1424968068304704, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15534031506757862, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15362132929894434, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012843508237108225, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011124522468473952, "ret_p1m": 0.09394700631841824, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09394700631841824, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11182937385561598, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10365438734013277, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01788236753719774, "bench_c_p1m": -0.009707381021714534, "ret_p3m": 0.6806467172795636, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6806467172795636, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.6151777914268302, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.47437301661456477, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06546892585273345, "bench_c_p3m": 0.20627370066499884, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3506, -0.3531, -0.355, -0.3901, -0.3688, -0.3863, -0.3945, -0.3688, -0.4052, -0.3932, -0.3769, -0.355, -0.3506, -0.3694, -0.3675, -0.3512, -0.3443, -0.3405, -0.3198, -0.3129, -0.3198, -0.3223, -0.3267, -0.3167, -0.3424, -0.355, -0.323, -0.3248, -0.333, -0.3066, -0.3004, -0.3029, -0.3029, -0.2659, -0.2465, -0.244, -0.244, -0.244, -0.1898, -0.1293, -0.1242, -0.111, -0.1248, -0.1236, -0.1248, -0.1324, -0.1154, -0.0927, -0.0612, -0.0586, -0.0845, -0.0574, -0.0397, -0.041, -0.041, 0.0057, 0.024, 0.0132, 0.012, -0.0517, 0.0561, 0.0662, 0.0044, 0.0, 0.0492, 0.0454, 0.058, 0.1261, 0.1425, 0.1425, 0.1425, 0.1425, 0.198, 0.1986, 0.2169, 0.261, 0.2831, 0.3745, 0.3651, 0.3651, 0.2301, 0.0858, 0.2081, 0.1866, 0.0939, 0.1847, 0.198, 0.1847, 0.157, 0.1898, 0.2226, 0.3146, 0.2642, 0.2573, 0.1747, 0.1961, 0.1917, 0.1356, 0.1356, 0.1139, 0.0564, 0.1983, 0.1272, 0.1765, 0.22, 0.2415, 0.33, 0.2889, 0.3016, 0.27, 0.3047, 0.3331, 0.3742, 0.3647, 0.3553, 0.3837, 0.3742, 0.4184, 0.3868, 0.4184, 0.4026, 0.4279, 0.3932, 0.3932, 0.469, 0.469, 0.6806, 0.7154, 0.6964, 0.8039, 0.7628, 0.7944, 0.8702, 0.7091, 0.7754, 0.7407, 0.7438, 0.8923, 0.8481, 0.8481, 0.8891, 0.9397, 0.8923, 1.0029, 1.1893, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2019668459685310565", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-02-06T07:04:19+00:00", "symbol": "MU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Memory: SK Hynix, Samsung, Micron", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Stay long AI buildout beneficiaries — AVGO, memory (Hynix/Samsung/MU), TSM, NVDA as core plays; AAOI, POET, LITE as hidden beneficiaries; hyperscaler capex blowout validates the trade.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Markets have been hit with an AI capex shock.\n\nThis is effectively an AI arms race between hyperscalers and foreign nations. \n\nBetween 2025 to 2026, capex has increased from:\n\n$GOOGL: $91B - $93B to $175B – $185B\n$AMZN: $125B to ~$200B\n$META: $72B to $115B-$135B\n$MSFT: $110B to $150B\n$TSLA: $8.5B to $20B+\n\nWhen Google says they are spending $185 Billion in 1 year (on DCs, TPUs, infrastructure), from $92B the previous year, that is enormous. \n\nCapex projections like $AMZN are mixed from robotics to space, but the same memory companies and semiconductors actually benefit twice. \n\nMarkets might not appreciate $GOOGL spending that much but AI supply chains upstream certainly do. \n\nEspecially the most obvious ones that benefit from most such as:\n\nASICs: $AVGO (Google TPUs, Meta MTIA, etc.)\nMemory: SK Hynix, Samsung, Micron\n$TSM (You cannot build God without TSM)\n$NVDA (training)\n\nThere's hidden beneficiaries in each buildout (eg. $AAOI with $MSFT to $POET with $MRVL, $LITE with $GOOGL). But sometimes, the braindead obvious plays like memory or $TSM are are just the best. \n\nThe biggest signal of whether the AI trade continues is hyperscaler spending:\n\nAnd they just blew all expectations out of the room. \n\nStay long in the AI buildout, fundamentals matter more than macro and short term liquidity shock.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.029896801235108517, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.029896801235108517, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01107321448183185, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.021341806719581524, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.018823586753276667, "bench_c_m1d": -0.05123860795469004, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.028351368538319544, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.028351368538319544, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03317320064133, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04080001804903921, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004821832103010459, "bench_c_p1d": 0.012448649510719667, "ret_p1w": 0.042995811110824844, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.042995811110824844, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05583931934793307, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02788313236948481, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012843508237108225, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015112678741340035, "ret_p1m": -0.013605593725321996, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.013605593725321996, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.004276773811875745, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.004519636923064674, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01788236753719774, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01812523064838667, "ret_p3m": 0.6896046503298983, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6896046503298983, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.6241357244771648, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3208507150134883, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06546892585273345, "bench_c_p3m": 0.36875393531641, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3894, -0.3798, -0.3999, -0.3749, -0.3872, -0.4213, -0.4278, -0.49, -0.4748, -0.4329, -0.4314, -0.4168, -0.4168, -0.4011, -0.391, -0.3935, -0.407, -0.426, -0.3992, -0.3746, -0.3607, -0.3321, -0.3454, -0.3893, -0.3985, -0.4111, -0.4288, -0.3705, -0.3265, -0.2995, -0.3003, -0.274, -0.274, -0.2787, -0.2542, -0.2586, -0.2769, -0.2769, -0.2008, -0.2091, -0.1299, -0.1397, -0.1715, -0.1257, -0.1237, -0.1433, -0.1554, -0.1471, -0.0809, -0.0809, -0.0752, -0.0141, 0.0073, 0.0126, -0.0142, 0.0394, 0.1028, 0.1041, 0.0512, 0.1092, 0.0627, -0.0387, -0.0299, 0.0, -0.0284, -0.0543, 0.0397, 0.0488, 0.043, 0.043, 0.0129, 0.0665, 0.0574, 0.0848, 0.0666, 0.0591, 0.0869, 0.0529, 0.0448, 0.0456, -0.038, 0.0154, 0.006, -0.0618, -0.0136, 0.0213, 0.0608, 0.027, 0.0797, 0.1194, 0.1698, 0.1699, 0.1256, 0.0715, 0.0245, 0.0021, -0.0319, -0.0994, -0.0949, -0.1843, -0.1437, -0.0676, -0.0717, -0.0717, -0.0425, -0.0429, 0.0309, 0.0684, 0.0661, 0.0812, 0.1803, 0.1564, 0.1589, 0.1535, 0.1366, 0.139, 0.2356, 0.221, 0.259, 0.3296, 0.2782, 0.3141, 0.3108, 0.3743, 0.4611, 0.6227, 0.6896, 0.639, 0.8929, 1.0159, 0.943, 1.037, 0.967, 0.8368, 0.7275, 0.7711, 0.8554, 0.9317, 0.9036, 0.9036, 1.2708, 1.3532, 1.3408, 1.4612, 1.4612, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2019668459685310565", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-02-06T07:04:19+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSM (You cannot build God without TSM)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Stay long AI buildout beneficiaries — AVGO, memory (Hynix/Samsung/MU), TSM, NVDA as core plays; AAOI, POET, LITE as hidden beneficiaries; hyperscaler capex blowout validates the trade.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Markets have been hit with an AI capex shock.\n\nThis is effectively an AI arms race between hyperscalers and foreign nations. \n\nBetween 2025 to 2026, capex has increased from:\n\n$GOOGL: $91B - $93B to $175B – $185B\n$AMZN: $125B to ~$200B\n$META: $72B to $115B-$135B\n$MSFT: $110B to $150B\n$TSLA: $8.5B to $20B+\n\nWhen Google says they are spending $185 Billion in 1 year (on DCs, TPUs, infrastructure), from $92B the previous year, that is enormous. \n\nCapex projections like $AMZN are mixed from robotics to space, but the same memory companies and semiconductors actually benefit twice. \n\nMarkets might not appreciate $GOOGL spending that much but AI supply chains upstream certainly do. \n\nEspecially the most obvious ones that benefit from most such as:\n\nASICs: $AVGO (Google TPUs, Meta MTIA, etc.)\nMemory: SK Hynix, Samsung, Micron\n$TSM (You cannot build God without TSM)\n$NVDA (training)\n\nThere's hidden beneficiaries in each buildout (eg. $AAOI with $MSFT to $POET with $MRVL, $LITE with $GOOGL). But sometimes, the braindead obvious plays like memory or $TSM are are just the best. \n\nThe biggest signal of whether the AI trade continues is hyperscaler spending:\n\nAnd they just blew all expectations out of the room. \n\nStay long in the AI buildout, fundamentals matter more than macro and short term liquidity shock.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05194211385440317, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05194211385440317, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.033118527101126505, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.033118527101126505, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.018823586753276667, "bench_c_m1d": -0.018823586753276667, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01880463693428469, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01880463693428469, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.013982804831274231, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.013982804831274231, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004821832103010459, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004821832103010459, "ret_p1w": 0.050193451230840846, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.050193451230840846, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06303695946794907, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06303695946794907, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012843508237108225, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012843508237108225, "ret_p1m": -0.00042995010876833994, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.00042995010876833994, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0174524174284294, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0174524174284294, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01788236753719774, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01788236753719774, "ret_p3m": 0.20591101129336198, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.20591101129336198, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.14044208544062853, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.14044208544062853, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06546892585273345, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06546892585273345, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1676, -0.1692, -0.1932, -0.1857, -0.1938, -0.2055, -0.1927, -0.2067, -0.2136, -0.1863, -0.1861, -0.171, -0.171, -0.1666, -0.1776, -0.165, -0.1554, -0.1626, -0.1574, -0.137, -0.1326, -0.1134, -0.1261, -0.1628, -0.1752, -0.1777, -0.2061, -0.1839, -0.1717, -0.1593, -0.1488, -0.1435, -0.1435, -0.1319, -0.1374, -0.1412, -0.1289, -0.1289, -0.0838, -0.0763, -0.0614, -0.0865, -0.0884, -0.0723, -0.049, -0.0506, -0.0623, -0.0207, -0.0185, -0.0185, -0.0622, -0.0652, -0.0616, -0.0401, -0.0463, -0.0301, -0.0188, -0.0267, -0.0524, -0.0215, -0.0376, -0.0662, -0.0519, 0.0, 0.0188, 0.0374, 0.0724, 0.0552, 0.0502, 0.0502, 0.044, 0.0384, 0.0331, 0.0622, 0.0607, 0.1058, 0.1115, 0.0801, 0.0738, 0.0581, 0.0123, 0.0246, 0.0144, -0.0286, -0.0004, -0.005, 0.0164, -0.0348, -0.0302, -0.0247, -0.0054, -0.0239, -0.0261, -0.0536, -0.0271, -0.0133, -0.0003, -0.0626, -0.0607, -0.0902, -0.0285, -0.0183, -0.0254, -0.0254, -0.0176, -0.0073, 0.0518, 0.0507, 0.0653, 0.0624, 0.092, 0.0783, 0.0445, 0.0651, 0.0528, 0.0581, 0.1138, 0.1, 0.1569, 0.1642, 0.1278, 0.1321, 0.1385, 0.1432, 0.1545, 0.1338, 0.2059, 0.1905, 0.1834, 0.1629, 0.142, 0.1493, 0.2008, 0.1624, 0.1382, 0.1286, 0.1545, 0.1704, 0.1628, 0.1628, 0.1853, 0.2152, 0.2213, 0.2029, 0.2029, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2019668459685310565", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2026-02-06T07:04:19+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NVDA (training)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Stay long AI buildout beneficiaries — AVGO, memory (Hynix/Samsung/MU), TSM, NVDA as core plays; AAOI, POET, LITE as hidden beneficiaries; hyperscaler capex blowout validates the trade.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Markets have been hit with an AI capex shock.\n\nThis is effectively an AI arms race between hyperscalers and foreign nations. \n\nBetween 2025 to 2026, capex has increased from:\n\n$GOOGL: $91B - $93B to $175B – $185B\n$AMZN: $125B to ~$200B\n$META: $72B to $115B-$135B\n$MSFT: $110B to $150B\n$TSLA: $8.5B to $20B+\n\nWhen Google says they are spending $185 Billion in 1 year (on DCs, TPUs, infrastructure), from $92B the previous year, that is enormous. \n\nCapex projections like $AMZN are mixed from robotics to space, but the same memory companies and semiconductors actually benefit twice. \n\nMarkets might not appreciate $GOOGL spending that much but AI supply chains upstream certainly do. \n\nEspecially the most obvious ones that benefit from most such as:\n\nASICs: $AVGO (Google TPUs, Meta MTIA, etc.)\nMemory: SK Hynix, Samsung, Micron\n$TSM (You cannot build God without TSM)\n$NVDA (training)\n\nThere's hidden beneficiaries in each buildout (eg. $AAOI with $MSFT to $POET with $MRVL, $LITE with $GOOGL). But sometimes, the braindead obvious plays like memory or $TSM are are just the best. \n\nThe biggest signal of whether the AI trade continues is hyperscaler spending:\n\nAnd they just blew all expectations out of the room. \n\nStay long in the AI buildout, fundamentals matter more than macro and short term liquidity shock.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.07297340361266302, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07297340361266302, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05414981685938636, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05414981685938636, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.018823586753276667, "bench_c_m1d": -0.018823586753276667, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.024971663419029566, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.024971663419029566, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.020149831316019107, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.020149831316019107, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004821832103010459, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004821832103010459, "ret_p1w": -0.014022945141103471, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.014022945141103471, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0011794369039952457, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0011794369039952457, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012843508237108225, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012843508237108225, "ret_p1m": -0.014885963985300177, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.014885963985300177, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.002996403551897564, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.002996403551897564, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01788236753719774, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01788236753719774, "ret_p3m": 0.12098189257086123, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.12098189257086123, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.055512966718127776, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.055512966718127776, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06546892585273345, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06546892585273345, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0417, 0.0452, 0.0078, 0.0256, 0.0064, -0.0219, 0.0059, -0.0258, -0.0353, -0.0155, -0.041, -0.0278, -0.0278, -0.0454, -0.0297, -0.0214, -0.0314, -0.0109, -0.0162, 0.0008, -0.0024, -0.0088, -0.0242, -0.056, -0.0492, -0.0415, -0.078, -0.0608, -0.0238, -0.0093, 0.0205, 0.0173, 0.0173, 0.0276, 0.0152, 0.0115, 0.0059, 0.0059, 0.0186, 0.0146, 0.0099, 0.02, -0.002, -0.003, -0.0025, 0.0022, -0.0122, 0.0088, 0.0044, 0.0044, -0.0396, -0.0113, -0.0031, 0.0122, 0.0057, 0.0168, 0.033, 0.0383, 0.0309, 0.0011, -0.0273, -0.0605, -0.073, 0.0, 0.025, 0.0169, 0.025, 0.0083, -0.014, -0.014, -0.0024, 0.0139, 0.0134, 0.0238, 0.0331, 0.0401, 0.0547, -0.0028, -0.0443, -0.0158, -0.0289, -0.0128, -0.0112, -0.0409, -0.0149, -0.0035, 0.0034, -0.0122, -0.0278, -0.0118, -0.0187, -0.027, -0.0369, -0.0685, -0.0526, -0.055, -0.0362, -0.0764, -0.0964, -0.1091, -0.0593, -0.052, -0.0432, -0.0432, -0.0419, -0.0394, -0.0179, -0.008, 0.0174, 0.0211, 0.0599, 0.0727, 0.0698, 0.0878, 0.0899, 0.0781, 0.0922, 0.0768, 0.1234, 0.1683, 0.1498, 0.1286, 0.0764, 0.0704, 0.0706, 0.0599, 0.121, 0.1408, 0.1607, 0.1836, 0.1908, 0.2181, 0.2715, 0.2153, 0.1991, 0.1899, 0.2053, 0.184, 0.1614, 0.1614, 0.1589, 0.1467, 0.1556, 0.1388, 0.1388, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2019668459685310565", "ticker_idx": 6, "ts": "2026-02-06T07:04:19+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI with $MSFT", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Stay long AI buildout beneficiaries — AVGO, memory (Hynix/Samsung/MU), TSM, NVDA as core plays; AAOI, POET, LITE as hidden beneficiaries; hyperscaler capex blowout validates the trade.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Markets have been hit with an AI capex shock.\n\nThis is effectively an AI arms race between hyperscalers and foreign nations. \n\nBetween 2025 to 2026, capex has increased from:\n\n$GOOGL: $91B - $93B to $175B – $185B\n$AMZN: $125B to ~$200B\n$META: $72B to $115B-$135B\n$MSFT: $110B to $150B\n$TSLA: $8.5B to $20B+\n\nWhen Google says they are spending $185 Billion in 1 year (on DCs, TPUs, infrastructure), from $92B the previous year, that is enormous. \n\nCapex projections like $AMZN are mixed from robotics to space, but the same memory companies and semiconductors actually benefit twice. \n\nMarkets might not appreciate $GOOGL spending that much but AI supply chains upstream certainly do. \n\nEspecially the most obvious ones that benefit from most such as:\n\nASICs: $AVGO (Google TPUs, Meta MTIA, etc.)\nMemory: SK Hynix, Samsung, Micron\n$TSM (You cannot build God without TSM)\n$NVDA (training)\n\nThere's hidden beneficiaries in each buildout (eg. $AAOI with $MSFT to $POET with $MRVL, $LITE with $GOOGL). But sometimes, the braindead obvious plays like memory or $TSM are are just the best. \n\nThe biggest signal of whether the AI trade continues is hyperscaler spending:\n\nAnd they just blew all expectations out of the room. \n\nStay long in the AI buildout, fundamentals matter more than macro and short term liquidity shock.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.1392776134357946, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1392776134357946, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12045402668251792, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12045402668251792, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.018823586753276667, "bench_c_m1d": -0.018823586753276667, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08148985716757084, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08148985716757084, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07666802506456039, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07666802506456039, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004821832103010459, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004821832103010459, "ret_p1w": 0.0036117347667639077, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0036117347667639077, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.016455243003872133, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.016455243003872133, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012843508237108225, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012843508237108225, "ret_p1m": 1.4970655677582814, "ret_signed_p1m": 1.4970655677582814, "alpha_spy_p1m": 1.514947935295479, "alpha_c_p1m": 1.514947935295479, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01788236753719774, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01788236753719774, "ret_p3m": 3.0302482248525546, "ret_signed_p3m": 3.0302482248525546, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.9647792989998214, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.9647792989998214, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06546892585273345, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06546892585273345, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4639, -0.4596, -0.528, -0.5155, -0.5117, -0.5284, -0.5289, -0.56, -0.5354, -0.4928, -0.4869, -0.4228, -0.4228, -0.3955, -0.4011, -0.4126, -0.421, -0.4077, -0.3998, -0.3716, -0.3142, -0.2104, -0.1801, -0.2763, -0.3251, -0.3463, -0.3874, -0.3397, -0.293, -0.1175, -0.0826, -0.0745, -0.0745, -0.1609, -0.1704, -0.1869, -0.2131, -0.2131, -0.1061, -0.2102, -0.1284, -0.141, -0.2549, -0.2316, -0.2388, -0.2284, -0.2219, -0.1648, -0.1639, -0.1639, -0.1138, -0.1336, -0.1388, -0.1937, -0.2124, -0.156, 0.021, -0.1068, -0.0156, -0.0032, 0.0411, -0.0993, -0.1393, 0.0, 0.0815, 0.0946, 0.0926, -0.007, 0.0036, 0.0036, -0.0088, -0.0194, 0.0605, 0.1666, 0.2181, 0.2702, 0.312, 0.212, 0.9014, 1.314, 1.1521, 1.2508, 1.2831, 1.1576, 1.4971, 1.7199, 1.867, 1.3971, 1.1853, 1.1235, 0.9488, 1.091, 1.3007, 0.9761, 1.1616, 1.5711, 1.5826, 1.1991, 1.2169, 0.923, 0.9095, 0.9492, 1.3456, 1.3456, 1.4255, 1.6555, 1.9955, 2.009, 2.3995, 2.458, 2.3045, 2.2178, 2.5512, 2.5986, 2.6901, 2.3989, 2.3729, 2.109, 2.6607, 2.2907, 2.0984, 2.4499, 2.7102, 3.1424, 2.9047, 3.0761, 3.0302, 2.5564, 2.3621, 3.1738, 3.2501, 4.0361, 3.5953, 3.2971, 2.9111, 2.8675, 2.7305, 2.9912, 3.0968, 3.0968, 3.0095, 3.0594, 2.8154, 2.5758, 2.5758, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2019668459685310565", "ticker_idx": 7, "ts": "2026-02-06T07:04:19+00:00", "symbol": "POET Technologies", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$POET with $MRVL", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Stay long AI buildout beneficiaries — AVGO, memory (Hynix/Samsung/MU), TSM, NVDA as core plays; AAOI, POET, LITE as hidden beneficiaries; hyperscaler capex blowout validates the trade.", "resolved_tickers": ["POET"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "POET Technologies trades as POET on NASDAQ", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Markets have been hit with an AI capex shock.\n\nThis is effectively an AI arms race between hyperscalers and foreign nations. \n\nBetween 2025 to 2026, capex has increased from:\n\n$GOOGL: $91B - $93B to $175B – $185B\n$AMZN: $125B to ~$200B\n$META: $72B to $115B-$135B\n$MSFT: $110B to $150B\n$TSLA: $8.5B to $20B+\n\nWhen Google says they are spending $185 Billion in 1 year (on DCs, TPUs, infrastructure), from $92B the previous year, that is enormous. \n\nCapex projections like $AMZN are mixed from robotics to space, but the same memory companies and semiconductors actually benefit twice. \n\nMarkets might not appreciate $GOOGL spending that much but AI supply chains upstream certainly do. \n\nEspecially the most obvious ones that benefit from most such as:\n\nASICs: $AVGO (Google TPUs, Meta MTIA, etc.)\nMemory: SK Hynix, Samsung, Micron\n$TSM (You cannot build God without TSM)\n$NVDA (training)\n\nThere's hidden beneficiaries in each buildout (eg. $AAOI with $MSFT to $POET with $MRVL, $LITE with $GOOGL). But sometimes, the braindead obvious plays like memory or $TSM are are just the best. \n\nThe biggest signal of whether the AI trade continues is hyperscaler spending:\n\nAnd they just blew all expectations out of the room. \n\nStay long in the AI buildout, fundamentals matter more than macro and short term liquidity shock.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.11754686042123164, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11754686042123164, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09872327366795497, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0663082524665416, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.018823586753276667, "bench_c_m1d": -0.05123860795469004, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05792166255817688, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05792166255817688, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05309983045516642, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04547301304745721, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004821832103010459, "bench_c_p1d": 0.012448649510719667, "ret_p1w": -0.04940374233506595, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04940374233506595, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03656023409795772, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06451642107640598, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012843508237108225, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015112678741340035, "ret_p1m": 0.1396933880149942, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1396933880149942, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15757575555219194, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.15781861866338087, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01788236753719774, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01812523064838667, "ret_p3m": 0.6558774201923239, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6558774201923239, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5904084943395904, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2871234848759139, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06546892585273345, "bench_c_p3m": 0.36875393531641, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0988, -0.1397, -0.1993, -0.2504, -0.2896, -0.2692, -0.276, -0.2845, -0.2726, -0.2112, -0.2044, -0.1755, -0.1755, -0.1567, -0.2147, -0.2027, 0.0239, 0.0852, 0.0307, 0.0613, 0.1755, 0.2181, 0.23, 0.1073, 0.0119, 0.0341, 0.017, 0.0443, 0.155, 0.2964, 0.2181, 0.1959, 0.1959, 0.1601, 0.1141, 0.1107, 0.0784, 0.0784, 0.2198, 0.2658, 0.2521, 0.2692, 0.2402, 0.2589, 0.2283, 0.2164, 0.3782, 0.4157, 0.414, 0.414, 0.4037, 0.4259, 0.1823, 0.1772, 0.1005, 0.1567, 0.0596, 0.0136, -0.0119, -0.0051, 0.029, -0.0443, -0.1175, 0.0, 0.0579, -0.0051, -0.0068, -0.0375, -0.0494, -0.0494, -0.0596, -0.0494, -0.0511, -0.0307, -0.0596, 0.0409, 0.0835, 0.063, 0.0221, 0.1772, 0.1993, 0.1652, 0.1312, 0.0698, 0.1397, 0.1925, 0.2675, 0.2675, 0.1635, 0.1772, 0.1193, 0.0528, 0.0613, 0.0102, 0.0324, -0.0221, 0.0392, -0.0647, -0.1158, -0.1346, 0.0119, -0.046, 0.0409, 0.0409, 0.0358, 0.0153, 0.0596, 0.0358, 0.1993, 0.2436, 0.1431, 0.1874, 0.2504, 0.2368, 0.4634, 0.7462, 1.1755, 0.9966, 1.5724, 0.3543, 0.368, 0.1244, 0.2129, 0.2453, 0.2112, 0.569, 0.6559, 0.632, 0.8654, 1.368, 1.339, 1.448, 2.5043, 1.7206, 1.4208, 1.2266, 1.5179, 1.5247, 1.4855, 1.4855, 1.2743, 1.2624, 1.2589, 1.0937, 1.0937, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2019668459685310565", "ticker_idx": 8, "ts": "2026-02-06T07:04:19+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LITE with $GOOGL", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Stay long AI buildout beneficiaries — AVGO, memory (Hynix/Samsung/MU), TSM, NVDA as core plays; AAOI, POET, LITE as hidden beneficiaries; hyperscaler capex blowout validates the trade.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Markets have been hit with an AI capex shock.\n\nThis is effectively an AI arms race between hyperscalers and foreign nations. \n\nBetween 2025 to 2026, capex has increased from:\n\n$GOOGL: $91B - $93B to $175B – $185B\n$AMZN: $125B to ~$200B\n$META: $72B to $115B-$135B\n$MSFT: $110B to $150B\n$TSLA: $8.5B to $20B+\n\nWhen Google says they are spending $185 Billion in 1 year (on DCs, TPUs, infrastructure), from $92B the previous year, that is enormous. \n\nCapex projections like $AMZN are mixed from robotics to space, but the same memory companies and semiconductors actually benefit twice. \n\nMarkets might not appreciate $GOOGL spending that much but AI supply chains upstream certainly do. \n\nEspecially the most obvious ones that benefit from most such as:\n\nASICs: $AVGO (Google TPUs, Meta MTIA, etc.)\nMemory: SK Hynix, Samsung, Micron\n$TSM (You cannot build God without TSM)\n$NVDA (training)\n\nThere's hidden beneficiaries in each buildout (eg. $AAOI with $MSFT to $POET with $MRVL, $LITE with $GOOGL). But sometimes, the braindead obvious plays like memory or $TSM are are just the best. \n\nThe biggest signal of whether the AI trade continues is hyperscaler spending:\n\nAnd they just blew all expectations out of the room. \n\nStay long in the AI buildout, fundamentals matter more than macro and short term liquidity shock.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08617905695435235, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08617905695435235, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06735547020107568, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06735547020107568, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.018823586753276667, "bench_c_m1d": -0.018823586753276667, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04558059860651564, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04558059860651564, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.040758766503505184, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.040758766503505184, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004821832103010459, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004821832103010459, "ret_p1w": 0.019474990833503236, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.019474990833503236, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03231849907061146, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03231849907061146, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012843508237108225, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012843508237108225, "ret_p1m": 0.16069134182916844, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.16069134182916844, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.17857370936636618, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.17857370936636618, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01788236753719774, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01788236753719774, "ret_p3m": 0.7106832478899365, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7106832478899365, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.6452143220372031, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.6452143220372031, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06546892585273345, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06546892585273345, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5426, -0.5402, -0.589, -0.5794, -0.5615, -0.5517, -0.5128, -0.5775, -0.537, -0.4577, -0.4723, -0.4415, -0.4415, -0.4109, -0.424, -0.4514, -0.4511, -0.4061, -0.3996, -0.3794, -0.3472, -0.3369, -0.3259, -0.4124, -0.3937, -0.4273, -0.4198, -0.3892, -0.3271, -0.2937, -0.2982, -0.2827, -0.2827, -0.2921, -0.325, -0.3276, -0.3323, -0.3323, -0.3005, -0.3532, -0.28, -0.2882, -0.3691, -0.3634, -0.3843, -0.3454, -0.3992, -0.3781, -0.4126, -0.4126, -0.3536, -0.3434, -0.3578, -0.3855, -0.3977, -0.3285, -0.3025, -0.309, -0.2901, -0.2329, -0.2118, -0.1566, -0.0862, 0.0, 0.0456, 0.0166, 0.0401, 0.057, 0.0195, 0.0195, 0.0877, 0.0766, 0.1515, 0.2098, 0.2224, 0.2469, 0.3105, 0.2265, 0.2698, 0.419, 0.258, 0.2334, 0.179, 0.0117, 0.1607, 0.2174, 0.2174, 0.1161, 0.1277, 0.132, 0.1768, 0.2696, 0.3988, 0.2796, 0.3206, 0.4529, 0.4079, 0.2478, 0.2731, 0.1862, 0.2731, 0.3853, 0.498, 0.498, 0.3991, 0.4778, 0.6233, 0.6198, 0.6256, 0.5783, 0.5449, 0.4928, 0.6146, 0.6197, 0.6216, 0.5162, 0.5826, 0.5342, 0.5972, 0.5574, 0.4337, 0.555, 0.6347, 0.7209, 0.7685, 0.8018, 0.7107, 0.617, 0.6373, 0.9078, 0.7978, 0.8666, 0.8149, 0.7585, 0.6033, 0.6125, 0.5726, 0.7473, 0.7154, 0.7154, 0.65, 0.6346, 0.5591, 0.5489, 0.5489, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2036419881025798345", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-24T12:28:29+00:00", "symbol": "Soitec", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Soitec is a legitimate monopoly in SOI substrate space that Citrini also likes", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Soitec as a legitimate monopoly in SOI substrate; endorsed by Citrini.", "resolved_tickers": ["SOI.PA"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Soitec listed on Euronext Paris as SOI.PA", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thanks. Soitec is a legitimate monopoly in SOI substrate space that Citrini also likes.\n\nUnfortunately as my account gets bigger, the amount of spammers or people who stray away from stock discussion and go into personal attacks (like the guy below) also increases so I end up blocking.\n\nHappy to hold a conversation with anyone as long as it’s in good faith", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "The amount of hate @aleabitoreddit is getting is wild.\nFrom what I see, he’s smart, consistent, and actually does the work.\nLet’s be real: people don’t hate on average.\nThey hate on winners.\n\nSimilar to what @daniel_koss is experiencing.\n\nKeep up the great work guys😎", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "babyfolio", "ret_m1d": 0.022485194723739443, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.022485194723739443, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.019117038577347367, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03067093439353641, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008185739669796965, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07573964684029844, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07573964684029844, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07016688789291248, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06451282224541477, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011226824594883666, "ret_p1w": 0.018540406559443223, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.018540406559443223, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.022888313494985546, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.046898962390200194, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02835855583075697, "ret_p1m": 1.1637079940328205, "ret_signed_p1m": 1.1637079940328205, "alpha_spy_p1m": 1.0748656688734837, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.9552891516961481, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2084188423366724, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5473, -0.5473, -0.5473, -0.5444, -0.5426, -0.5426, -0.5095, -0.4838, -0.4919, -0.4832, -0.4868, -0.4677, -0.4732, -0.4416, -0.443, -0.4254, -0.444, -0.4586, -0.459, -0.4434, -0.4381, -0.4566, -0.4527, -0.4467, -0.458, -0.4761, -0.4803, -0.4911, -0.5166, -0.4039, -0.4, -0.3712, -0.359, -0.3136, -0.2288, -0.2785, -0.2635, -0.2724, -0.268, -0.2661, -0.2803, -0.2712, -0.2262, -0.2045, -0.1838, -0.1684, -0.1933, -0.1507, -0.1714, -0.1649, -0.1903, -0.1775, -0.1761, -0.1288, 0.0118, 0.1365, 0.1637, 0.2458, 0.2107, 0.2426, 0.0686, 0.0209, 0.0225, 0.0, 0.0757, 0.0544, 0.0607, 0.0217, 0.0185, 0.0469, -0.0138, -0.0138, -0.0138, -0.0335, 0.0694, 0.0564, 0.2572, 0.275, 0.4268, 0.5152, 0.686, 0.9294, 0.9724, 0.9872, 1.1637, 1.1026, 1.2219, 1.1607, 0.9479, 1.2308, 1.5039, 1.5039, 2.0276, 2.1144, 1.8964, 1.9734, 2.3797, 2.1893, 1.854, 2.074, 1.9961, 1.9201, 1.7663, 1.8235, 2.1164, 2.286, 2.498, 2.4773, 2.288, 2.0414, 2.7909, 2.502, 2.502, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2032589767431618628", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-13T22:48:58+00:00", "symbol": "MRVL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I would buy them for $MSFT Maia ASIC ramp", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish MRVL as a play on Microsoft Maia ASIC ramp, not photonics.", "resolved_tickers": ["MRVL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@kingcoinmatt $MRVL is too big. I would buy them for $MSFT Maia ASIC ramp not photonics like Celestial.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit How come you don’t mention marvel", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TheMindofMatt", "ret_m1d": -0.0021625122152271192, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0021625122152271192, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.007854840920018313, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.007854840920018313, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005692328704791194, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005692328704791194, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04234009694337826, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04234009694337826, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.032163230831895095, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.032163230831895095, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010176866111483163, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010176866111483163, "ret_p1w": 0.0005691461782151297, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0005691461782151297, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.018610701961262133, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.018610701961262133, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.018041555783047003, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018041555783047003, "ret_p1m": 0.4951710757323229, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4951710757323229, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.45639090243506364, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.45639090243506364, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.038780173297259246, "bench_c_p1m": 0.038780173297259246, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0438, -0.0708, -0.0393, -0.0436, -0.0355, -0.0028, -0.0163, -0.0163, -0.018, -0.0246, -0.0132, -0.0335, -0.0335, 0.0167, 0.0262, 0.0035, -0.0373, -0.0509, -0.0528, -0.0566, -0.0547, -0.0757, -0.0851, -0.0842, -0.0842, -0.0917, -0.0604, -0.0542, -0.0868, -0.0693, -0.0561, -0.0483, -0.0742, -0.1018, -0.1047, -0.1402, -0.1608, -0.1554, -0.0863, -0.0627, -0.0666, -0.0742, -0.1096, -0.1053, -0.1053, -0.1007, -0.0998, -0.0939, -0.0954, -0.1146, -0.1078, -0.079, -0.0975, -0.0702, -0.0797, -0.1178, -0.1112, -0.1386, 0.0195, 0.0545, 0.0619, 0.0294, -0.0022, 0.0, 0.0423, 0.0333, -0.0027, 0.019, 0.0006, 0.0262, 0.0512, 0.1205, 0.1118, 0.0799, -0.0006, 0.1274, 0.2145, 0.2191, 0.2191, 0.2464, 0.2449, 0.3026, 0.365, 0.4632, 0.4952, 0.524, 0.5327, 0.5187, 0.5907, 0.6835, 0.723, 0.7915, 0.8853, 0.8711, 0.8016, 0.7449, 0.7829, 0.8806, 0.8784, 0.8637, 0.9216, 0.9603, 0.8221, 0.9373, 0.9454, 0.8732, 1.0264, 1.0791, 1.0143, 0.9237, 1.0073, 1.1272, 1.1715, 1.2357, 1.2357, 1.3715, 1.2627, 1.3325, 1.3344, 1.3344, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2019166071899713744", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-04T21:48:00+00:00", "symbol": "SNAP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I would personally not invest in a Victoria Secret model's private piggy bank.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish SNAP: SBC masks negative real FCF, buybacks funded by expensive debt to offset stock grants, not excess capital.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNAP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SNAP Just reported earnings and issued a $500M share buyback.\n\nThe buyback is a red flag. \n\nQ4 Report:\n- Revenue: $1.716 Billion (+10%)\n- FCF: $206M (+13%)\n- Net Income: $45M \n- Gross Margins: 59%\n\n$SNAP recognized $257.2 million in STOCK BASED COMPENSATION, ending the year with $1.017 billion in SBC.\n\nIf $SNAP paid employees/executives in cash instead of stock, If their \"Free Cash Flow\" for the quarter would actually be -$51M.\n\nYou see a $3B balance sheet, but they are net cash -$490 Million, because they are going into $3.5B+ in long term debt to do buybacks. \n\nThese are not $META or $NVDA buybacks because of excess capital from their balance sheet. \n\nIt's to offset any stock grants going to their executives and \"Talent\". \n\nThey are paying market rates of (6.875%) for their debt.\n\n That debt interest is now over $30M+ a quarter, so $120m+ a year just for \"buybacks\". \n\nEarnings look great, but the stock compensation optical illusion makes the reality look horrendous. \n\nI would personally not invest in a Victoria Secret model's private piggy bank.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$SNAP is close to all time lows at $6.7, despite growing revenues/profit. \n\nHere's why: \n\nThe financial engineering looks criminal. \n\nSnapchat is a $11.5B company that has ~1B MAU with Q3 adjusted EBITDA ~$132M. \n\nHowever:\n\n- $SNAP stock comp for the last 12M?\n\n$2.5 Billion. Yes https://t.co/7gLKLGBDks", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03214891068121717, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03214891068121717, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02728141121613903, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.024101015564722994, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00486749946507814, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008047895116494175, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.1336717398053665, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1336717398053665, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.12118252854916478, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.12862033654969596, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012489211256201727, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00505140325567055, "ret_p1w": -0.1556683756424796, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1556683756424796, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.16407719636421703, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15515463141161756, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008408820721737431, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0005137442308620344, "ret_p1m": -0.09644665136054309, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09644665136054309, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0893349326419689, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11048772678448682, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007111718718574189, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014041075423943727, "ret_p3m": 0.043993271674226175, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.043993271674226175, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.005236400646751571, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04681447452770837, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.049229672320977746, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0028212028534821965, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3892, 0.4704, 0.4822, 0.5381, 0.4518, 0.4501, 0.3841, 0.3959, 0.3587, 0.3164, 0.3012, 0.2995, 0.2927, 0.2876, 0.2876, 0.2995, 0.2927, 0.2893, 0.2961, 0.313, 0.3384, 0.3587, 0.3401, 0.3401, 0.2927, 0.2369, 0.2284, 0.247, 0.269, 0.291, 0.2809, 0.3435, 0.3215, 0.3283, 0.3283, 0.3299, 0.3333, 0.3655, 0.3655, 0.3655, 0.3756, 0.3959, 0.4873, 0.4585, 0.4213, 0.3892, 0.3858, 0.3519, 0.3367, 0.313, 0.2741, 0.2741, 0.2437, 0.247, 0.2961, 0.2893, 0.2792, 0.2623, 0.2978, 0.225, 0.1726, 0.1269, 0.0321, 0.0, -0.1337, -0.1168, -0.1218, -0.1151, -0.1557, -0.1844, -0.1827, -0.1827, -0.1997, -0.1743, -0.154, -0.1303, -0.1658, -0.1591, -0.1421, -0.11, -0.1184, -0.11, -0.1117, -0.0914, -0.0964, -0.1269, -0.132, -0.1692, -0.1777, -0.2132, -0.2284, -0.2081, -0.2132, -0.2183, -0.2284, -0.242, -0.2369, -0.2623, -0.2403, -0.3215, -0.335, -0.3198, -0.2217, -0.1709, -0.2166, -0.2166, -0.203, -0.1878, -0.1997, -0.1624, -0.1844, -0.1286, -0.0525, 0.022, 0.0186, 0.0203, 0.0152, -0.0457, -0.0118, -0.0575, -0.044, 0.0254, 0.0068, 0.0118, 0.0271, 0.0643, 0.044, 0.0338, 0.0338, 0.0118, 0.0288, -0.0271, -0.0609, -0.0508, -0.0931, -0.0643, -0.0406, -0.0609, -0.0491, -0.0372, -0.0321, -0.0321, -0.0271, -0.0051, 0.0, -0.0338, -0.0338, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2033728941064917424", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-17T02:15:39+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I think there's a lot of room for rerating a $2B company when the future of AI is scaled with photonics", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AXTI: duopoly control of photonics feedstock/substrates warrants major re-rating as AI scales with photonics.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Depends how big you think photonics is and how much value you think hyperscalers would place to secure their supply chain.\n\nIf you look at $SNDK and NAND, we’ve already seen what it’s like.\n\nThe more downstream you go like lasers or finished transceivers typically have higher revenue/margins. \n\nBut if you’re a duopoly and hold a major chokepoint around both feedstock and substrates, I think there’s a lot of room for rerating a $2B company when the future of AI is scaled with photonics.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit My biggest question is still do we see a lot of room for axti to run?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "stephenandstuff", "ret_m1d": 0.09084758169179241, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.09084758169179241, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.09347123489804876, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.09830573382508556, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002623653206256349, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00745815213329315, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09918840510914895, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09918840510914895, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.11314205049626913, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10727647055861889, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013953645387120184, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008088065449469939, "ret_p1w": 0.5428314134295917, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.5428314134295917, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.5664246760166218, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.5486014409360116, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023593262587030095, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005770027506419861, "ret_p1m": 0.41862036608022146, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.41862036608022146, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.37231438330056865, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2772174371678462, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04630598277965281, "bench_c_p1m": 0.14140292891237527, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6842, -0.6697, -0.6569, -0.67, -0.6616, -0.6616, -0.6535, -0.6711, -0.6438, -0.6314, -0.6314, -0.6222, -0.6242, -0.5453, -0.4565, -0.4177, -0.4817, -0.4986, -0.5151, -0.5018, -0.4202, -0.502, -0.502, -0.5174, -0.5541, -0.596, -0.6078, -0.5987, -0.6123, -0.6206, -0.6307, -0.5821, -0.528, -0.555, -0.5773, -0.5394, -0.4576, -0.374, -0.4511, -0.3959, -0.4412, -0.4536, -0.4536, -0.4768, -0.4693, -0.4633, -0.3309, -0.3591, -0.2092, -0.0764, -0.1632, -0.1456, 0.0442, -0.0586, -0.1179, -0.1253, -0.2703, -0.1307, -0.0014, 0.0676, 0.0534, 0.1014, 0.0908, 0.0, 0.0992, 0.3095, 0.2227, 0.4527, 0.5428, 0.5183, 0.319, 0.3668, 0.1887, 0.2845, 0.0627, 0.1912, 0.1912, -0.0534, 0.0248, 0.1988, 0.4229, 0.4468, 0.498, 0.5171, 0.4186, 0.8436, 0.8611, 0.7755, 0.69, 0.9599, 0.6968, 0.7169, 0.5814, 0.5489, 0.6021, 0.7858, 1.1641, 1.3895, 1.4245, 1.3632, 1.4441, 1.6231, 1.8361, 1.7705, 1.7489, 1.592, 1.7904, 1.3868, 1.5446, 1.3582, 1.7281, 2.1747, 2.1747, 1.9892, 1.7676, 1.6082, 1.3255, 1.3255, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2030061202995577071", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-06T23:21:22+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I expect companies like $LITE to probably end up $1000+ next year", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish LITE to $1000+ next year and COHR on NVDA funding, S&P inflows, Google TPU BOM exposure, and reasonable forward P/E given growth.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "They're really well priced right now, and I expect companies like $LITE to probably end up $1000+ next year. \n\nEach of them just got $2B each in new funding from $NVDA at way higher share values and now have billions in S&P index passive inflows. \n\nSo this is structurally a large tailwind for the photonics sector, minus AH MM pinning/shenanigans today. \n\nIf you look at Google TPU BOM $LITE is ~8-12% of it and Google's expanding capex enormously this year alone (eg. ~$180B). \n\nPretty sure both of them have 2028 mid ~20s or low 30s fwd p/e, which makes sense given their growth ( $COHR does everything, $LITE OCS monopoly).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Everyone knows now that S&amp;P 500 inclusion is meant for Exit liquidity for initial Investors, no one wants to FOMO in at these nosebleed prices for $LITE &amp; $COHR", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DanRunner42", "ret_m1d": 0.16542512083472283, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.16542512083472283, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.15214390710158132, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.15214390710158132, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013281213733141506, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013281213733141506, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1472852941057532, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1472852941057532, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.13852526909271412, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.13852526909271412, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008760025013039074, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008760025013039074, "ret_p1w": 0.11471240827758433, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11471240827758433, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12971877531571463, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.12971877531571463, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.015006367038130297, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015006367038130297, "ret_p1m": 0.38292390573847856, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.38292390573847856, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.40025107865521914, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.40025107865521914, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017327172916740574, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017327172916740574, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3548, -0.3446, -0.3337, -0.4192, -0.4007, -0.4339, -0.4265, -0.3963, -0.3349, -0.3018, -0.3063, -0.291, -0.291, -0.3002, -0.3328, -0.3353, -0.34, -0.34, -0.3086, -0.3606, -0.2883, -0.2965, -0.3764, -0.3707, -0.3914, -0.353, -0.4062, -0.3853, -0.4194, -0.4194, -0.361, -0.351, -0.3652, -0.3926, -0.4047, -0.3363, -0.3106, -0.317, -0.2983, -0.2418, -0.2209, -0.1664, -0.0967, -0.0116, 0.0335, 0.0048, 0.0281, 0.0448, 0.0077, 0.0077, 0.0752, 0.0641, 0.1382, 0.1958, 0.2082, 0.2325, 0.2954, 0.2123, 0.2551, 0.4026, 0.2435, 0.2191, 0.1654, 0.0, 0.1473, 0.2034, 0.2034, 0.1032, 0.1147, 0.1189, 0.1632, 0.2549, 0.3827, 0.2649, 0.3053, 0.4361, 0.3917, 0.2334, 0.2584, 0.1725, 0.2584, 0.3693, 0.4807, 0.4807, 0.3829, 0.4608, 0.6045, 0.6011, 0.6068, 0.56, 0.5271, 0.4756, 0.5959, 0.601, 0.6029, 0.4987, 0.5644, 0.5165, 0.5788, 0.5394, 0.4171, 0.537, 0.6158, 0.701, 0.748, 0.781, 0.6909, 0.5983, 0.6184, 0.8858, 0.777, 0.8451, 0.7939, 0.7382, 0.5847, 0.5939, 0.5545, 0.7271, 0.6956, 0.6956, 0.631, 0.6158, 0.5411, 0.531, 0.531, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2030061202995577071", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-06T23:21:22+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Pretty sure both of them have 2028 mid ~20s or low 30s fwd p/e, which makes sense given their growth ( $COHR does everything, $LITE OCS monopoly)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish LITE to $1000+ next year and COHR on NVDA funding, S&P inflows, Google TPU BOM exposure, and reasonable forward P/E given growth.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "They're really well priced right now, and I expect companies like $LITE to probably end up $1000+ next year. \n\nEach of them just got $2B each in new funding from $NVDA at way higher share values and now have billions in S&P index passive inflows. \n\nSo this is structurally a large tailwind for the photonics sector, minus AH MM pinning/shenanigans today. \n\nIf you look at Google TPU BOM $LITE is ~8-12% of it and Google's expanding capex enormously this year alone (eg. ~$180B). \n\nPretty sure both of them have 2028 mid ~20s or low 30s fwd p/e, which makes sense given their growth ( $COHR does everything, $LITE OCS monopoly).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Everyone knows now that S&amp;P 500 inclusion is meant for Exit liquidity for initial Investors, no one wants to FOMO in at these nosebleed prices for $LITE &amp; $COHR", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DanRunner42", "ret_m1d": 0.07699810708676624, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07699810708676624, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06371689335362474, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06371689335362474, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013281213733141506, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013281213733141506, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07042256073965114, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07042256073965114, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06166253572661207, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06166253572661207, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008760025013039074, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008760025013039074, "ret_p1w": 0.0298659140067683, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0298659140067683, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0448722810448986, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0448722810448986, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.015006367038130297, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015006367038130297, "ret_p1m": 0.07424062408524623, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07424062408524623, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0915677970019868, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0915677970019868, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017327172916740574, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017327172916740574, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1824, -0.1624, -0.1579, -0.2434, -0.243, -0.2567, -0.2769, -0.2546, -0.2116, -0.1898, -0.186, -0.1881, -0.1881, -0.1867, -0.1981, -0.2075, -0.217, -0.217, -0.1756, -0.2094, -0.1765, -0.1871, -0.2654, -0.2446, -0.2144, -0.1938, -0.2189, -0.1687, -0.1895, -0.1895, -0.1793, -0.1453, -0.14, -0.1645, -0.161, -0.0921, -0.0619, -0.0843, -0.0999, -0.0563, -0.0277, -0.1049, -0.1123, -0.0341, 0.0286, -0.0312, -0.051, -0.0832, -0.0784, -0.0784, -0.0669, -0.0502, -0.0137, 0.0529, 0.0559, 0.0812, 0.1365, 0.0612, 0.0985, 0.2681, 0.1913, 0.166, 0.077, 0.0, 0.0704, 0.1057, 0.0666, 0.0235, 0.0299, 0.0494, 0.0428, 0.0912, 0.1691, 0.076, 0.082, 0.1553, 0.1541, 0.0321, 0.0329, -0.0682, 0.0106, 0.0512, 0.0952, 0.0952, 0.0742, 0.0822, 0.1954, 0.2055, 0.3045, 0.3063, 0.3296, 0.3075, 0.3915, 0.4637, 0.4742, 0.4585, 0.4868, 0.4325, 0.4258, 0.364, 0.2895, 0.2936, 0.3563, 0.3978, 0.3995, 0.4243, 0.4622, 0.3541, 0.4223, 0.6108, 0.5867, 0.7127, 0.7179, 0.6225, 0.5392, 0.5002, 0.5209, 0.6036, 0.6018, 0.6018, 0.6178, 0.6128, 0.5991, 0.5335, 0.5335, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2024855782970536412", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-20T14:36:53+00:00", "symbol": "EWY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$EWY leaps is still might be a good trade idea from call vega expansion since MMs likely priced in volatility wrong", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long EWY via LEAPS calls; MMs mispriced volatility, creating a call vega expansion opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["EWY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@jseth53 Just saying $EWY leaps is still might be a good trade idea from call vega expansion since MMs likely priced in volatility wrong.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit so your saying to full port $ewy?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jseth53", "ret_m1d": -0.04701154454043388, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04701154454043388, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03983160430683841, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03983160430683841, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007179940233595472, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007179940233595472, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.018184393447023606, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.018184393447023606, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007973078736148942, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007973078736148942, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010211314710874664, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010211314710874664, "ret_p1w": 0.06688743944020414, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06688743944020414, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07187711662829455, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07187711662829455, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004989677188090402, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004989677188090402, "ret_p1m": -0.05687910238573979, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05687910238573979, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.010086586510926643, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.010086586510926643, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.046792515874813145, "bench_c_p1m": -0.046792515874813145, "ret_p3m": 0.2694530195365836, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2694530195365836, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.19135322652545184, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.19135322652545184, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07809979301113179, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07809979301113179, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.381, -0.3689, -0.3689, -0.3736, -0.3753, -0.3653, -0.3589, -0.3667, -0.35, -0.3446, -0.3412, -0.3331, -0.3454, -0.3612, -0.3608, -0.369, -0.3757, -0.3652, -0.3562, -0.3533, -0.3466, -0.3332, -0.3332, -0.3245, -0.3042, -0.3049, -0.3148, -0.3148, -0.2795, -0.2611, -0.2415, -0.2456, -0.2487, -0.2325, -0.2322, -0.242, -0.2272, -0.2173, -0.209, -0.209, -0.2179, -0.1848, -0.1825, -0.1685, -0.1731, -0.1352, -0.115, -0.1225, -0.1372, -0.1477, -0.1238, -0.1524, -0.1527, -0.121, -0.1116, -0.1229, -0.0795, -0.0781, -0.0558, -0.0558, -0.0789, -0.0631, -0.047, 0.0, -0.0182, 0.0188, 0.0494, 0.0601, 0.0669, 0.0399, -0.0672, -0.0529, -0.1138, -0.1068, -0.0563, -0.0816, -0.0636, -0.1295, -0.125, -0.0619, -0.0525, -0.0705, -0.0498, -0.1135, -0.0569, -0.0925, -0.0997, -0.1543, -0.1473, -0.1794, -0.133, -0.1104, -0.134, -0.134, -0.1123, -0.1035, -0.0128, -0.0183, -0.0222, -0.0046, 0.0338, 0.0214, 0.0394, 0.0737, 0.0579, 0.0346, 0.0981, 0.0614, 0.0894, 0.1047, 0.088, 0.0851, 0.1331, 0.1418, 0.153, 0.2227, 0.2826, 0.2458, 0.3406, 0.3592, 0.2581, 0.3295, 0.3428, 0.2606, 0.2412, 0.2265, 0.2695, 0.3139, 0.283, 0.283, 0.4142, 0.3976, 0.4548, 0.4507, 0.4507, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2036533604076114214", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-24T20:00:22+00:00", "symbol": "ARM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If $ARM does $4.67B annual revenue. Then $ARM introduces a new product that does billions in annual revenue. That would be very material.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish ARM: new product adding billions to $4.67B revenue base would be materially positive.", "resolved_tickers": ["ARM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@GiovandomenicoC If $ARM does $4.67B annual revenue. \n\nThen $ARM introduces a new product that does billions in annual revenue.\n\nThat would be very material. Of course need more time to look into details.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit i don‘t really get the notion though that it‘s a buy really, more so the other mentioned tickers", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "GiovandomenicoC", "ret_m1d": 0.014300478510445691, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.014300478510445691, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010932322364053615, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.022486218180242656, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008185739669796965, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.16382631528188685, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.16382631528188685, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.1582535563345009, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.15259949068700318, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011226824594883666, "ret_p1w": 0.12092465362742755, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12092465362742755, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12527256056296987, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14928320945818452, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02835855583075697, "ret_p1m": 0.4565056131107996, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4565056131107996, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.36766328795146275, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.24808677077412722, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2084188423366724, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1735, -0.1829, -0.1812, -0.1786, -0.1901, -0.1901, -0.1499, -0.1397, -0.144, -0.1429, -0.1621, -0.1717, -0.1765, -0.2009, -0.2221, -0.2212, -0.2162, -0.2162, -0.2059, -0.1559, -0.1168, -0.14, -0.1499, -0.1488, -0.1852, -0.1966, -0.2193, -0.2077, -0.2253, -0.2227, -0.1784, -0.0834, -0.0767, -0.0668, -0.0717, -0.0946, -0.0717, -0.0717, -0.0598, -0.0572, -0.0595, -0.0695, -0.0828, -0.0505, -0.0239, -0.0422, -0.0556, -0.0785, -0.0981, -0.0804, -0.1063, -0.1525, -0.1284, -0.1068, -0.1101, -0.147, -0.1423, -0.0983, -0.0567, -0.0489, -0.0381, -0.0193, 0.0143, 0.0, 0.1638, 0.147, 0.0679, 0.0148, 0.1209, 0.149, 0.1048, 0.1048, 0.1023, 0.0659, 0.1034, 0.1099, 0.1035, 0.1676, 0.1946, 0.1806, 0.2028, 0.2354, 0.2974, 0.3003, 0.4565, 0.5161, 0.7398, 0.5996, 0.4719, 0.4944, 0.5584, 0.5648, 0.5061, 0.5474, 0.7583, 0.5805, 0.5802, 0.5757, 0.5406, 0.6391, 0.6931, 0.5498, 0.594, 0.6535, 0.9023, 1.2098, 1.2711, 1.2711, 1.3801, 1.243, 1.4842, 1.6177, 1.6177, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2036519951222391101", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-24T19:06:07+00:00", "symbol": "EWY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I still think Samsung/SK Hynix outperformance will carry $EWY index regardless so I'm personally holding", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holding EWY long on Samsung/SK Hynix outperformance; also prefers direct SK Hynix over EWY proxy given KRW devaluation.", "resolved_tickers": ["EWY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@HeLiuLeo So $EWY as a proxy has gotten a tad worse due to current devaluation from Oil/War tensions.\n\nSo individually holding SK Hynix might be better as of now. \n\nHowever, I still think Samsung/SK Hynix outperformance will carry $EWY index regardless so I’m personally holding", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Makes sense. I’m slightly concerned about SK’s new fab investments in China and how geopolitically they will play out. Do you like EWY as a proxy for Samsung and SK?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "HeLiuLeo", "ret_m1d": 0.03930095191140781, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03930095191140781, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.035932795765015735, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.035932795765015735, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00784467678625611, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00784467678625611, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013417435733642069, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013417435733642069, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "ret_p1w": -0.04458250767976335, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04458250767976335, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04023460074422103, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04023460074422103, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "ret_p1m": 0.2100971110816141, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2100971110816141, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12125478592227723, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12125478592227723, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2652, -0.2556, -0.2332, -0.234, -0.2449, -0.2449, -0.2061, -0.1858, -0.1642, -0.1687, -0.1721, -0.1543, -0.1539, -0.1647, -0.1484, -0.1375, -0.1284, -0.1284, -0.1381, -0.1017, -0.0991, -0.0837, -0.0888, -0.047, -0.0248, -0.033, -0.0492, -0.0607, -0.0344, -0.0659, -0.0663, -0.0314, -0.021, -0.0334, 0.0144, 0.0159, 0.0405, 0.0405, 0.015, 0.0325, 0.0502, 0.102, 0.0819, 0.1227, 0.1564, 0.1682, 0.1757, 0.1459, 0.0279, 0.0437, -0.0234, -0.0157, 0.0399, 0.012, 0.0318, -0.0408, -0.0357, 0.0338, 0.0441, 0.0243, 0.0471, -0.0231, 0.0393, 0.0, -0.0078, -0.068, -0.0603, -0.0957, -0.0446, -0.0197, -0.0457, -0.0457, -0.0218, -0.0121, 0.0879, 0.0819, 0.0775, 0.0969, 0.1393, 0.1256, 0.1454, 0.1831, 0.1657, 0.1401, 0.2101, 0.1696, 0.2005, 0.2173, 0.199, 0.1958, 0.2486, 0.2583, 0.2706, 0.3473, 0.4134, 0.3728, 0.4773, 0.4979, 0.3864, 0.4651, 0.4798, 0.3892, 0.3678, 0.3516, 0.3989, 0.4479, 0.4138, 0.4138, 0.5584, 0.5401, 0.6032, 0.5987, 0.5987, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2036519951222391101", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-24T19:06:07+00:00", "symbol": "000660.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "individually holding SK Hynix might be better as of now", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holding EWY long on Samsung/SK Hynix outperformance; also prefers direct SK Hynix over EWY proxy given KRW devaluation.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@HeLiuLeo So $EWY as a proxy has gotten a tad worse due to current devaluation from Oil/War tensions.\n\nSo individually holding SK Hynix might be better as of now. \n\nHowever, I still think Samsung/SK Hynix outperformance will carry $EWY index regardless so I’m personally holding", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Makes sense. I’m slightly concerned about SK’s new fab investments in China and how geopolitically they will play out. Do you like EWY as a proxy for Samsung and SK?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "HeLiuLeo", "ret_m1d": -0.0537525227659138, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0537525227659138, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05712067891230588, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09305347467732161, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "bench_c_m1d": 0.03930095191140781, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009127794061912775, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009127794061912775, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0035550351145268166, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.016972470848168886, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00784467678625611, "ret_p1w": -0.18154157623466705, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.18154157623466705, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.17719366929912472, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1369590685549037, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "bench_c_p1w": -0.04458250767976335, "ret_p1m": 0.2403651168343186, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2403651168343186, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15152279167498173, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.030268005752704497, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2100971110816141, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4047, -0.3936, -0.3521, -0.341, -0.341, -0.341, -0.3147, -0.2954, -0.265, -0.2489, -0.2347, -0.2468, -0.2418, -0.2529, -0.2489, -0.2418, -0.2347, -0.2266, -0.2478, -0.2509, -0.2357, -0.2235, -0.2549, -0.1901, -0.1486, -0.1284, -0.0798, -0.1598, -0.0818, -0.0889, -0.1476, -0.1507, -0.1021, -0.1132, -0.1294, -0.1011, -0.1091, -0.1091, -0.1091, -0.1091, -0.095, -0.0393, -0.0373, 0.0174, 0.0306, 0.1146, 0.0761, 0.0761, -0.0477, -0.1389, -0.0456, -0.0629, -0.1521, -0.0487, -0.0314, -0.0568, -0.0771, -0.0122, -0.0162, 0.071, 0.0274, 0.0213, -0.0538, 0.0, 0.0091, -0.0538, -0.0538, -0.1146, -0.1815, -0.0903, -0.1582, -0.1116, -0.1014, -0.071, 0.0477, 0.0122, 0.0416, 0.0548, 0.1187, 0.1521, 0.1714, 0.144, 0.1826, 0.2414, 0.2404, 0.2424, 0.2394, 0.3103, 0.3185, 0.3114, 0.3043, 0.3043, 0.4675, 0.4675, 0.6237, 0.6775, 0.7099, 0.9067, 0.8611, 1.0041, 0.998, 0.8448, 0.8661, 0.7698, 0.7698, 0.9675, 0.9686, 0.9686, 1.0811, 1.2748, 1.3219, 1.3665, 1.4157, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2017439237294211221", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-31T03:26:11+00:00", "symbol": "MCB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if there's an algorithmic sell-off or short sellers mistaking the two, this would be a good buying opportunity", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Buy MCB on any mistaken algo/short-seller selloff; buy KRE if sector sells off on bank-failure headlines — both seen as isolated, not systemic.", "resolved_tickers": ["MCB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Banks - Regional", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The first US Bank of the year has just collapsed:\n\nMetropolitan Capital Bank & Trust has been shut down and placed into receivership by the FDIC.\n\nHere's what likely happened and how markets might react: \n\nThe Chicago bank was a community bank by asset size ($261M), but operated with the risk of a boutique investment bank.\n\nThey operated in three segments:\n\n- Tech-Infused Sports\n- Digital Media\n- Niche Real Estate Construction\n\nFrom public information, we're able to see high concentration of risk in these two volatile sectors.\n\nNamely, TMRW Sports, the venture founded by Tiger Woods. The bank didn't just facilitate the equity; it lent against it. \n\nBy providing \"secured stock loans\" and \"NAV-backed financing\", the bank allowed investors to borrow money to buy into the SPV. \n\nSince the TGL venture dropped and the investment was illiquid, the collateral for these loans likely became worthless. The borrowers, facing liquidity constraints, would default on the loans.\n\nThe bank also financed \"strategic add-on acquisitions\" for clients in the digital media industry and Niche Real Estate Construction.\n\nThe bank’s involvement in \"gap financing\" for construction projects was likely equally toxic. MCB&T’s \"creative\" gap loans likely suffered total losses on projects that stalled or were foreclosed as construction sectors in 2024-2025 faced difficulty. \n\nSnippet reveals that MCB&T held $43 million in FHLB advances against $261 million in assets (~16.5% of the balance sheet was funded by FHLB borrowing).\n\nA series of terrible investments/loans likely caused the bank to collapse. \n\n_\n\nCommentary:\n\nYou'll probably see headlines regarding bank collapses and silver trades. \n\nYes, community banks are designed to be conservative institutions but they this bank in specific took on a high-risk venture debt models. \n\nThis wasn't a bank run, just a terribly run leveraged investment fund.\n\nBut here's what to look out for:\n\n$MCB - Metropolitan Bank Holding Corp is not  Metropolitan Capital Bank. \n\nThe alpha is that if there's an algorithmic sell-off or short sellers mistaking the two, this would be a good buying opportunity. \n\n$KRE - Looks like a buy if the sector sells off largely on \"bank failure\" headlines. \n\nThe bank ran a \"casino\" model on a community bank balance sheet, but this is isolated. \n\nLook for commercial real estate exposure from small-cap Illinois/Midwest banks like CRE Loans or uninsured deposits ( > 50%) that might be affected. \n\nHowever, this looks to be an extremely small regional bank and isolated incident so not much market opportunity here.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.021348532567355583, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.021348532567355583, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.016401762621200855, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.016401762621200855, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946769946154728, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004946769946154728, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.003593290142370753, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.003593290142370753, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012048686573071343, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012048686573071343, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00845539643070059, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00845539643070059, "ret_p1w": 0.011414061312989388, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.011414061312989388, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.013513499063229961, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.013513499063229961, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0020994377502405737, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0020994377502405737, "ret_p1m": -0.1137180348346507, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1137180348346507, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09203305628315095, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09203305628315095, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684978551499756, "bench_c_p1m": -0.021684978551499756, "ret_p3m": -0.06626506365075469, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06626506365075469, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1025208706577283, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1025208706577283, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03625580700697362, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03625580700697362, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3018, -0.3078, -0.2942, -0.281, -0.2646, -0.2723, -0.2688, -0.2663, -0.2787, -0.2748, -0.2656, -0.2624, -0.2308, -0.2338, -0.206, -0.2083, -0.2083, -0.2133, -0.207, -0.2118, -0.1908, -0.1778, -0.1829, -0.1787, -0.1779, -0.1467, -0.1513, -0.1572, -0.1576, -0.1603, -0.1481, -0.1395, -0.1482, -0.1575, -0.1736, -0.174, -0.174, -0.1742, -0.1827, -0.1909, -0.1948, -0.1948, -0.1884, -0.158, -0.1613, -0.1679, -0.1419, -0.1567, -0.1536, -0.1592, -0.144, -0.1329, -0.1617, -0.1617, -0.1603, -0.0435, 0.0012, -0.0529, -0.0639, -0.0537, -0.0574, -0.0277, -0.0213, 0.0, 0.0036, 0.0104, 0.0062, 0.0187, 0.0114, -0.0027, -0.0098, -0.0211, -0.0149, -0.0149, -0.0021, 0.0004, -0.0082, -0.0054, -0.052, -0.0406, -0.0081, -0.0879, -0.1107, -0.0918, -0.1137, -0.115, -0.1372, -0.1613, -0.1632, -0.1585, -0.1634, -0.1718, -0.166, -0.1627, -0.1549, -0.1659, -0.145, -0.1509, -0.1346, -0.1321, -0.1352, -0.1318, -0.1476, -0.1325, -0.1197, -0.1218, -0.1178, -0.1178, -0.1017, -0.0934, -0.0659, -0.0482, -0.0505, -0.0454, -0.0517, -0.0572, -0.0754, -0.0592, -0.0346, -0.061, -0.0739, -0.0576, -0.0699, -0.0473, -0.0398, -0.0626, -0.0663, -0.0508, -0.0683, -0.042, -0.0385, -0.0445, -0.0405, -0.0693, -0.0686, -0.0825, -0.0624, -0.0765, -0.0654, -0.0638, -0.037, -0.0323, -0.0333, -0.0333, -0.0318, -0.049, -0.0462, -0.0512, -0.0512, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2017439237294211221", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-31T03:26:11+00:00", "symbol": "KRE", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$KRE - Looks like a buy if the sector sells off largely on \"bank failure\" headlines", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Buy MCB on any mistaken algo/short-seller selloff; buy KRE if sector sells off on bank-failure headlines — both seen as isolated, not systemic.", "resolved_tickers": ["KRE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The first US Bank of the year has just collapsed:\n\nMetropolitan Capital Bank & Trust has been shut down and placed into receivership by the FDIC.\n\nHere's what likely happened and how markets might react: \n\nThe Chicago bank was a community bank by asset size ($261M), but operated with the risk of a boutique investment bank.\n\nThey operated in three segments:\n\n- Tech-Infused Sports\n- Digital Media\n- Niche Real Estate Construction\n\nFrom public information, we're able to see high concentration of risk in these two volatile sectors.\n\nNamely, TMRW Sports, the venture founded by Tiger Woods. The bank didn't just facilitate the equity; it lent against it. \n\nBy providing \"secured stock loans\" and \"NAV-backed financing\", the bank allowed investors to borrow money to buy into the SPV. \n\nSince the TGL venture dropped and the investment was illiquid, the collateral for these loans likely became worthless. The borrowers, facing liquidity constraints, would default on the loans.\n\nThe bank also financed \"strategic add-on acquisitions\" for clients in the digital media industry and Niche Real Estate Construction.\n\nThe bank’s involvement in \"gap financing\" for construction projects was likely equally toxic. MCB&T’s \"creative\" gap loans likely suffered total losses on projects that stalled or were foreclosed as construction sectors in 2024-2025 faced difficulty. \n\nSnippet reveals that MCB&T held $43 million in FHLB advances against $261 million in assets (~16.5% of the balance sheet was funded by FHLB borrowing).\n\nA series of terrible investments/loans likely caused the bank to collapse. \n\n_\n\nCommentary:\n\nYou'll probably see headlines regarding bank collapses and silver trades. \n\nYes, community banks are designed to be conservative institutions but they this bank in specific took on a high-risk venture debt models. \n\nThis wasn't a bank run, just a terribly run leveraged investment fund.\n\nBut here's what to look out for:\n\n$MCB - Metropolitan Bank Holding Corp is not  Metropolitan Capital Bank. \n\nThe alpha is that if there's an algorithmic sell-off or short sellers mistaking the two, this would be a good buying opportunity. \n\n$KRE - Looks like a buy if the sector sells off largely on \"bank failure\" headlines. \n\nThe bank ran a \"casino\" model on a community bank balance sheet, but this is isolated. \n\nLook for commercial real estate exposure from small-cap Illinois/Midwest banks like CRE Loans or uninsured deposits ( > 50%) that might be affected. \n\nHowever, this looks to be an extremely small regional bank and isolated incident so not much market opportunity here.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.017561429890082247, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.017561429890082247, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01261465994392752, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01261465994392752, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946769946154728, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004946769946154728, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01713304354256895, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01713304354256895, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02558843997326954, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02558843997326954, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00845539643070059, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00845539643070059, "ret_p1w": 0.04825810551341991, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04825810551341991, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05035754326366049, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05035754326366049, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0020994377502405737, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0020994377502405737, "ret_p1m": -0.039120548027752, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.039120548027752, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.017435569476252244, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.017435569476252244, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684978551499756, "bench_c_p1m": -0.021684978551499756, "ret_p3m": 0.0030791227392623632, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0030791227392623632, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.033176684267711254, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.033176684267711254, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03625580700697362, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03625580700697362, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1407, -0.1464, -0.1343, -0.1298, -0.1281, -0.127, -0.1375, -0.1356, -0.1681, -0.1606, -0.1517, -0.1545, -0.1258, -0.1251, -0.1003, -0.1037, -0.1037, -0.1062, -0.0965, -0.1014, -0.0827, -0.0796, -0.0817, -0.0786, -0.0804, -0.0486, -0.0437, -0.0482, -0.0457, -0.0494, -0.0452, -0.0425, -0.0459, -0.0413, -0.0481, -0.0473, -0.0473, -0.0503, -0.0585, -0.0657, -0.0747, -0.0747, -0.0685, -0.0497, -0.0401, -0.047, -0.028, -0.0366, -0.048, -0.0543, -0.0437, -0.0257, -0.0313, -0.0313, -0.044, 0.0006, -0.0016, -0.0347, -0.0301, -0.0254, -0.0323, -0.0144, -0.0176, 0.0, 0.0171, 0.033, 0.0323, 0.0513, 0.0483, 0.0371, 0.0253, 0.0094, 0.0177, 0.0177, 0.0213, 0.0191, 0.0136, 0.0266, -0.0186, -0.0196, -0.0024, 0.005, -0.0467, -0.0326, -0.0391, -0.0363, -0.0491, -0.0732, -0.0755, -0.076, -0.0865, -0.0939, -0.0989, -0.0939, -0.0941, -0.1059, -0.0978, -0.0999, -0.0837, -0.076, -0.0727, -0.0742, -0.09, -0.0865, -0.0644, -0.0544, -0.0522, -0.0522, -0.043, -0.0414, -0.0136, 0.0031, -0.01, -0.0035, -0.005, -0.0067, -0.0116, 0.0105, 0.0144, -0.0001, -0.0055, 0.0052, -0.0107, 0.0062, 0.0105, -0.0087, 0.0031, 0.0026, -0.0093, 0.0041, 0.0154, 0.0045, 0.0031, -0.0156, -0.0202, -0.0358, -0.0272, -0.0383, -0.0246, -0.0298, -0.0067, -0.0061, -0.0038, -0.0038, 0.0095, -0.0008, -0.0012, -0.0004, -0.0004, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2036851975376298062", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-25T17:05:28+00:00", "symbol": "VPG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This was a sensor play for $TSLA Optimus Ramp. Very important breadcrumb this week at the Sidoti Conference: \"Potential to scale to hundreds of robots per week by the end of 2026.\"", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish VPG as a sensor play on Tesla Optimus ramp, flagging CEO's scale-to-hundreds-of-robots-per-week-by-2026 comment as an inflection catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["VPG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Scientific & Technical Instruments'", "bench_c_industry": "Scientific & Technical Instruments", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Been awhile since I covered $VPG. \n\nThis was a sensor play for $TSLA Optimus Ramp. \n\nVery important breadcrumb this week at the Sidoti Conference:\n\n\"Potential to scale to hundreds of robots per week by the end of 2026.\"\n\nKinda sounds aligned with Optimus? No?\n\nIf we go off their CEO \"$500-$1.2k per robot\" statement: Not too shabby. \n\nBut of course, a lot of robotic supply chains are kind of dead money until the actual inflection point humanoids at scale hits. \n\nMaybe Unitree IPO sparks some life into robotic supply chains soon?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05999998993925992, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05999998993925992, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05445811452765914, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05553961676835373, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005541875411600783, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0044603731709061956, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0654944954337654, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0654944954337654, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04763575127562669, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03434507544294341, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017858744158138706, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03114941999082199, "ret_p1w": -0.033626346797733464, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.033626346797733464, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03122079113221643, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.020099066020941025, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002405555665517034, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013527280776792439, "ret_p1m": 0.2701099102313702, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2701099102313702, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.19150389289467995, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1305954133212306, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07860601733669026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.13951449691013962, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1277, -0.1387, -0.1444, -0.1538, -0.1538, -0.1367, -0.1354, -0.0914, -0.1202, -0.1125, -0.0842, -0.0868, -0.0877, -0.0807, -0.0396, -0.0415, -0.0415, -0.0391, 0.0288, 0.0503, -0.0299, -0.056, -0.0114, -0.0248, 0.1073, 0.1007, 0.113, 0.1609, 0.1846, 0.1437, 0.2303, 0.2103, 0.1778, 0.0204, 0.0259, -0.0286, -0.0286, -0.002, 0.0116, 0.031, 0.0516, 0.0288, 0.0284, 0.0618, 0.0387, 0.0125, 0.0818, 0.0457, 0.0325, -0.0112, -0.0448, -0.0424, -0.0211, -0.0356, -0.0833, -0.0987, -0.0954, -0.1029, -0.0967, -0.0486, -0.1068, -0.0736, -0.06, 0.0, -0.0655, -0.0868, -0.1059, -0.0457, -0.0336, -0.016, -0.016, 0.0136, 0.027, 0.0787, 0.082, 0.0967, 0.142, 0.1385, 0.1165, 0.1292, 0.1697, 0.1684, 0.196, 0.2596, 0.2701, 0.3323, 0.2875, 0.2574, 0.2367, 0.3279, 0.3235, 0.3193, 0.4055, 0.3971, 0.3721, 0.4778, 0.4637, 0.8807, 1.189, 1.2053, 1.1389, 1.3123, 1.1527, 1.2134, 1.2866, 1.5002, 1.5002, 1.7123, 1.7675, 1.7527, 1.7541, 1.7541, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2016365769203057034", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-28T04:20:36+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "저는 $NBIS 가 현재 매우 매력적이라고 생각합니다", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS (5 fast-growing units, 20-30% EBIT margin target) and CIFR (colocation); bearish CRWV on $1.2B+ debt interest eroding FCF.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "ko", "tweet_text": "저는 $NBIS 가 현재 매우 매력적이라고 생각합니다. $CIFR(네오클라우드가 아닌 코로케이션 부문) 같은 특정 종목들도 마찬가지입니다. 반면 $CRWV 는 그만큼 설득력이 있지는 않네요.\n\n네비우스(Nebius)의 비즈니스 모델은 기본적으로 전년 대비(Y/Y) 100%씩 성장하는 5개의 회사가 하나로 합쳐진 형태입니다. ($UBER와 협력하는 자율주행 Avride, 약 150억 달러의 가치로 평가받는 Clickhouse, Toloka(AI 라벨링), 그리고 에듀테크). 여기에 약 70억 달러의 ARR(연간 반복 매출)을 기록한 주력 사업 부문이 포함됩니다.\n\n따라서 이러한 낙관적인 매출 수치들은 실제 창출되는 FCF(잉여현금흐름)를 통해 면밀히 살펴봐야 하겠지만, 사측에서는 장기적으로 20%~30%의 EBIT 마진을 제시하고 있습니다.\n\n가장 중요한 차이점은 코어위브(Coreweave)의 경우 12억 달러 이상의 부채 이자가 FCF를 잠식하고 있는 반면, 다른 기업들은 2~3% 수준의 저금리를 확보했다는 점입니다.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit CRWV and other Neocloud stocks have solid concepts and are clearly essential, but I’m hesitant to bet on a single stock. \n\nMy concern is the displacement risk. I feel like these players could be replaced at any time (though I could be wrong). \n\nFrom an asymmetric risk-reward", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PhotonCap", "ret_m1d": -0.025490366930346564, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.025490366930346564, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02559104696944625, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02677514646229695, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00010068003909968759, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012847795319503863, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05496362268538124, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05496362268538124, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05297924023641143, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.08100214024201347, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019843824489698125, "bench_c_p1d": 0.026038517556632224, "ret_p1w": -0.1796276098845897, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1796276098845897, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.16635509410074945, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.18005589158079505, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013272515783840255, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00042828169620534595, "ret_p1m": 0.04430943876052984, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04430943876052984, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05310987745795892, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04456642088958618, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00880043869742908, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0002569821290563379, "ret_p3m": 0.4433934708093046, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4433934708093046, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.41218477085703076, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.44827947465131857, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031208699952273822, "bench_c_p3m": -0.004886003842013986, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3026, 0.1995, 0.1007, 0.165, 0.0897, 0.108, 0.0948, 0.0178, -0.0604, -0.1175, -0.1682, -0.1439, -0.0985, -0.0534, -0.1572, -0.171, -0.0849, -0.115, -0.0572, -0.0572, -0.0554, -0.0028, -0.0396, -0.015, 0.0236, -0.0238, -0.001, -0.04, -0.0681, -0.0612, -0.1269, -0.1921, -0.194, -0.2487, -0.2224, -0.1092, -0.0717, -0.1036, -0.0926, -0.0926, -0.1279, -0.1433, -0.1519, -0.1665, -0.1665, -0.1044, -0.0757, -0.0019, -0.042, -0.0312, -0.0249, 0.0687, 0.0498, 0.0154, 0.0344, 0.0826, 0.0826, -0.0114, -0.0155, -0.0356, -0.059, -0.0893, -0.0255, 0.0, -0.055, -0.1517, -0.1222, -0.1044, -0.1796, -0.2645, -0.1427, -0.0752, -0.086, -0.1177, -0.1065, -0.0241, -0.0241, -0.029, 0.0136, 0.0715, -0.025, 0.0018, 0.0214, 0.0567, 0.0443, -0.092, -0.0938, -0.1357, -0.0264, -0.0476, -0.1105, -0.0547, -0.0398, 0.1152, 0.0758, 0.1247, 0.2929, 0.1583, 0.1805, 0.21, 0.1712, 0.1366, 0.1442, 0.146, 0.0552, 0.0039, -0.0814, 0.0332, 0.0151, 0.0835, 0.0835, 0.1206, 0.169, 0.2446, 0.3575, 0.4435, 0.539, 0.6125, 0.6606, 0.6463, 0.5647, 0.5848, 0.5588, 0.5547, 0.5641, 0.4653, 0.4434, 0.3493, 0.4059, 0.3764, 0.5383, 0.7566, 0.7517, 0.9425, 0.8398, 0.7629, 0.853, 0.7834, 1.0638, 1.202, 1.19, 0.99, 0.9688, 0.91, 1.1899, 1.1385, 1.1385, 1.0717, 1.0748, 1.2537, 1.301, 1.301, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2016365769203057034", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-28T04:20:36+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$CIFR(네오클라우드가 아닌 코로케이션 부문) 같은 특정 종목들도 마찬가지입니다", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS (5 fast-growing units, 20-30% EBIT margin target) and CIFR (colocation); bearish CRWV on $1.2B+ debt interest eroding FCF.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "ko", "tweet_text": "저는 $NBIS 가 현재 매우 매력적이라고 생각합니다. $CIFR(네오클라우드가 아닌 코로케이션 부문) 같은 특정 종목들도 마찬가지입니다. 반면 $CRWV 는 그만큼 설득력이 있지는 않네요.\n\n네비우스(Nebius)의 비즈니스 모델은 기본적으로 전년 대비(Y/Y) 100%씩 성장하는 5개의 회사가 하나로 합쳐진 형태입니다. ($UBER와 협력하는 자율주행 Avride, 약 150억 달러의 가치로 평가받는 Clickhouse, Toloka(AI 라벨링), 그리고 에듀테크). 여기에 약 70억 달러의 ARR(연간 반복 매출)을 기록한 주력 사업 부문이 포함됩니다.\n\n따라서 이러한 낙관적인 매출 수치들은 실제 창출되는 FCF(잉여현금흐름)를 통해 면밀히 살펴봐야 하겠지만, 사측에서는 장기적으로 20%~30%의 EBIT 마진을 제시하고 있습니다.\n\n가장 중요한 차이점은 코어위브(Coreweave)의 경우 12억 달러 이상의 부채 이자가 FCF를 잠식하고 있는 반면, 다른 기업들은 2~3% 수준의 저금리를 확보했다는 점입니다.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit CRWV and other Neocloud stocks have solid concepts and are clearly essential, but I’m hesitant to bet on a single stock. \n\nMy concern is the displacement risk. I feel like these players could be replaced at any time (though I could be wrong). \n\nFrom an asymmetric risk-reward", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PhotonCap", "ret_m1d": -0.011597223053119277, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011597223053119277, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011697903092218964, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.003690011269739779, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00010068003909968759, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007907211783379497, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06694773834393264, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06694773834393264, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06496335589496283, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.051133212399891215, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019843824489698125, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015814525944041424, "ret_p1w": -0.24881388952037065, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.24881388952037065, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2355413737365304, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1743650273824382, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013272515783840255, "bench_c_p1w": -0.07444886213793245, "ret_p1m": -0.13125987671308215, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.13125987671308215, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12245943801565307, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07617711082289935, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00880043869742908, "bench_c_p1m": -0.055082765890182794, "ret_p3m": -0.042698971811356845, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.042698971811356845, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.07390767176363067, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1200269902622002, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031208699952273822, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07732801845084336, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0169, 0.1998, 0.1866, 0.3026, 0.1444, 0.0907, 0.0358, -0.0158, -0.0838, -0.213, -0.243, -0.2435, -0.2314, -0.2293, -0.2325, -0.2541, -0.1191, -0.0764, 0.0095, 0.0095, 0.0727, 0.038, -0.0701, -0.0179, 0.0453, 0.0163, 0.0269, 0.0311, -0.0258, -0.0047, -0.1012, -0.223, -0.2098, -0.2414, -0.2014, -0.1455, -0.1386, -0.1613, -0.145, -0.145, -0.1993, -0.2051, -0.2309, -0.2219, -0.2219, -0.146, -0.0427, -0.0754, -0.1523, -0.1276, -0.1234, -0.068, -0.038, -0.0443, -0.0764, -0.009, -0.009, -0.0554, -0.0659, -0.0833, -0.0738, -0.1307, -0.0116, 0.0, -0.0669, -0.1587, -0.1666, -0.1429, -0.2488, -0.3305, -0.2235, -0.1165, -0.0986, -0.1418, -0.1513, -0.1344, -0.1344, -0.1755, -0.1871, -0.1671, -0.2277, -0.1977, -0.0975, -0.1244, -0.1313, -0.1776, -0.1692, -0.2246, -0.1545, -0.2014, -0.282, -0.2457, -0.2641, -0.2562, -0.2773, -0.2578, -0.2019, -0.2045, -0.2267, -0.2283, -0.2615, -0.2151, -0.2156, -0.1629, -0.2435, -0.2754, -0.3666, -0.3216, -0.3337, -0.3242, -0.3242, -0.2963, -0.2615, -0.1871, -0.1376, -0.1286, -0.0638, -0.0274, -0.0511, -0.0859, 0.0211, 0.0169, -0.049, 0.0248, -0.0148, -0.0406, -0.0427, -0.0901, -0.1081, -0.0648, -0.1017, -0.0569, 0.165, 0.155, 0.0904, 0.0833, 0.0691, 0.0575, 0.1197, 0.175, 0.0717, 0.0079, -0.009, 0.0269, 0.1344, 0.1581, 0.1581, 0.2135, 0.3263, 0.2963, 0.2467, 0.2467, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2016365769203057034", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-28T04:20:36+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$CRWV 는 그만큼 설득력이 있지는 않네요. 코어위브(Coreweave)의 경우 12억 달러 이상의 부채 이자가 FCF를 잠식하고 있는 반면", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS (5 fast-growing units, 20-30% EBIT margin target) and CIFR (colocation); bearish CRWV on $1.2B+ debt interest eroding FCF.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "ko", "tweet_text": "저는 $NBIS 가 현재 매우 매력적이라고 생각합니다. $CIFR(네오클라우드가 아닌 코로케이션 부문) 같은 특정 종목들도 마찬가지입니다. 반면 $CRWV 는 그만큼 설득력이 있지는 않네요.\n\n네비우스(Nebius)의 비즈니스 모델은 기본적으로 전년 대비(Y/Y) 100%씩 성장하는 5개의 회사가 하나로 합쳐진 형태입니다. ($UBER와 협력하는 자율주행 Avride, 약 150억 달러의 가치로 평가받는 Clickhouse, Toloka(AI 라벨링), 그리고 에듀테크). 여기에 약 70억 달러의 ARR(연간 반복 매출)을 기록한 주력 사업 부문이 포함됩니다.\n\n따라서 이러한 낙관적인 매출 수치들은 실제 창출되는 FCF(잉여현금흐름)를 통해 면밀히 살펴봐야 하겠지만, 사측에서는 장기적으로 20%~30%의 EBIT 마진을 제시하고 있습니다.\n\n가장 중요한 차이점은 코어위브(Coreweave)의 경우 12억 달러 이상의 부채 이자가 FCF를 잠식하고 있는 반면, 다른 기업들은 2~3% 수준의 저금리를 확보했다는 점입니다.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit CRWV and other Neocloud stocks have solid concepts and are clearly essential, but I’m hesitant to bet on a single stock. \n\nMy concern is the displacement risk. I feel like these players could be replaced at any time (though I could be wrong). \n\nFrom an asymmetric risk-reward", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PhotonCap", "ret_m1d": 0.026787436872371284, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.026787436872371284, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.026686756833271597, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.026686756833271597, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00010068003909968759, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00010068003909968759, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06121484690873147, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06121484690873147, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.059230464459761656, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.059230464459761656, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019843824489698125, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0019843824489698125, "ret_p1w": -0.2222222062307012, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2222222062307012, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.20894969044686096, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.20894969044686096, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013272515783840255, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013272515783840255, "ret_p1m": -0.07913600882194649, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07913600882194649, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07033557012451741, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07033557012451741, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00880043869742908, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00880043869742908, "ret_p3m": 0.056970393385900486, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.056970393385900486, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.025761693433626665, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.025761693433626665, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031208699952273822, "bench_c_p3m": 0.031208699952273822, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2612, 0.1915, 0.0918, 0.0792, 0.0086, -0.019, -0.0039, -0.1663, -0.1942, -0.2611, -0.2703, -0.2895, -0.2935, -0.2933, -0.3472, -0.3242, -0.3058, -0.3276, -0.2993, -0.2993, -0.3103, -0.2732, -0.2829, -0.2515, -0.1912, -0.1671, -0.1866, -0.1449, -0.1685, -0.1758, -0.2587, -0.3176, -0.3445, -0.3912, -0.3616, -0.2171, -0.1999, -0.243, -0.2561, -0.2561, -0.2792, -0.2933, -0.303, -0.3246, -0.3246, -0.2518, -0.275, -0.2649, -0.272, -0.2729, -0.2441, -0.1518, -0.1749, -0.153, -0.1038, -0.0452, -0.0452, -0.1019, -0.1129, -0.1342, -0.123, -0.0727, 0.0268, 0.0, -0.0612, -0.121, -0.1611, -0.1505, -0.2222, -0.2959, -0.1516, -0.0871, -0.1029, -0.1025, -0.0973, -0.0941, -0.0941, -0.1417, -0.0997, -0.0838, -0.1582, -0.1432, -0.0634, -0.0756, -0.0791, -0.2496, -0.2638, -0.3041, -0.2501, -0.2943, -0.3115, -0.2982, -0.2933, -0.2269, -0.2467, -0.235, -0.1902, -0.2254, -0.2188, -0.2392, -0.2316, -0.2269, -0.2169, -0.1739, -0.2412, -0.2944, -0.3478, -0.2693, -0.2601, -0.2243, -0.2243, -0.2366, -0.196, -0.1615, -0.1322, -0.0379, 0.0401, 0.1055, 0.1195, 0.1277, 0.1022, 0.1076, 0.0862, 0.1558, 0.1075, 0.0389, 0.057, -0.0046, 0.0771, 0.0526, 0.1225, 0.1831, 0.2063, 0.3015, 0.2152, 0.0767, 0.0819, 0.0163, 0.0499, 0.0773, 0.0121, -0.0212, -0.0586, -0.0447, 0.0147, -0.005, -0.005, -0.0012, -0.0165, 0.0079, 0.0331, 0.0331, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2020702873458463137", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-09T03:34:42+00:00", "symbol": "RDDT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm long $RDDT at $139. Reddit presents an incredible opportunity after the -44.9% drop last month. Blowout Q4 earnings... Reddit is a money printer waiting for premiums to catch up.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long RDDT at $139 after -44.9% drop; blowout Q4 earnings, ~$2.5B cash, 0 debt, 70% YoY growth, forward P/E ~27-30, durable network effects.", "resolved_tickers": ["RDDT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm long $RDDT at $139.\n\nReddit presents an incredible opportunity after the -44.9% drop last month.\n\nBlowout Q4 earnings, but likely short-term option chain + liquidity influencing price. \n\nResults TLDR: \n\nQ4 Revenue: $726M (70% Y/Y growth)\nNet Income: $252M\nCash: ~$2.5 Billion, 0 Debt.\nQ1 2026 Guidance: $595M – $605M (52% – 54% YoY)\n\nData licensing was only $36 Million of it (so this was all operational). \n\nThis is $HOOD levels profitability and incredible blaance sheet. To have net income reach close to ~1/3 of revenue, while growing 70% Y/Y, is incredible. \n\nModeled forward P/E may be around ~27-30 ( $WMT for reference 46+ now growing in line with inflation)\n\nReddit is not going anywhere. You can't disrupt Reddit by vibecoding it with Opus 4.6 and Cursor, because the main point of it is network effect.\n\nReddit is a money printer waiting for premiums to catch up.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.013475402766239375, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013475402766239375, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.008676709158121132, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0038929684430077938, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009582434323231581, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0581345415199126, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0581345415199126, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06077170195199344, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05214546276960719, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00598907875030541, "ret_p1w": -0.014745389556094612, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.014745389556094612, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0028351802282485794, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.004932871729719568, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01967826128581418, "ret_p1m": -0.053689856888841314, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.053689856888841314, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.029523794273787485, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.057967779636738825, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "bench_c_p1m": 0.004277922747897511, "ret_p3m": 0.15669529133854376, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15669529133854376, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09959038761536032, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.14921259362000439, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "bench_c_p3m": 0.007482697718539377, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.4309, 0.3364, 0.3638, 0.3232, 0.3101, 0.3248, 0.2832, 0.2945, 0.3758, 0.5414, 0.4644, 0.4644, 0.5272, 0.5761, 0.5716, 0.5581, 0.5715, 0.6517, 0.6717, 0.6658, 0.6799, 0.6477, 0.5859, 0.5416, 0.5804, 0.6039, 0.6321, 0.6452, 0.6449, 0.5932, 0.5934, 0.5934, 0.5928, 0.6555, 0.6464, 0.6218, 0.6218, 0.7066, 0.7218, 0.7907, 0.8026, 0.7917, 0.7254, 0.7216, 0.8268, 0.7806, 0.6139, 0.6298, 0.6298, 0.59, 0.4825, 0.5136, 0.5442, 0.5072, 0.3849, 0.3626, 0.3408, 0.2718, 0.2498, 0.167, 0.0773, 0.0657, -0.0135, 0.0, 0.0581, -0.0173, -0.0753, -0.0147, -0.0147, -0.0177, 0.0404, 0.031, 0.0595, 0.0051, 0.0024, 0.0559, 0.0671, 0.0287, 0.0379, 0.0279, 0.0392, 0.0183, -0.0166, -0.0203, -0.0537, -0.0326, -0.067, -0.0662, -0.0123, 0.0183, 0.0074, -0.0255, -0.0133, -0.0055, -0.0397, -0.0149, -0.1022, -0.1404, -0.1242, -0.05, -0.0392, -0.0405, -0.0405, -0.024, -0.0042, 0.023, -0.0237, -0.0142, 0.0537, 0.0903, 0.1181, 0.1461, 0.1556, 0.1731, 0.1064, 0.1592, 0.0792, 0.0928, 0.1303, 0.0437, 0.0424, 0.0387, 0.1745, 0.1928, 0.2109, 0.1751, 0.1567, 0.0992, 0.1254, 0.0749, 0.0873, 0.1028, 0.1159, 0.1225, 0.0927, 0.0351, 0.0586, -0.0005, -0.0005, 0.0205, 0.0878, 0.1831, 0.2417, 0.2417, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013382311056642527", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-19T22:45:24+00:00", "symbol": "ONDS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ONDS is richly priced compared to other drone companies... Fwd EV/revenue multiples was ~28s+ now for Ondas... So IMO higher upside with other drone companies", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "ONDS richly priced at 28x+ fwd EV/rev vs peers; prefers AVAV, KTOS, DPRO, AIRO for drone exposure on cheaper multiples.", "resolved_tickers": ["ONDS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Personally speaking, I feel like $ONDS is richly priced compared to other drone companies. \n\nI have $AVAV, $DPRO, $KTOS, and $AIRO for drone exposure. \n\n(Just going off the top of my head, dont take this too literally) Fwd EV/revenue multiples was ~28s+ now for Ondas. Even AVAV was 8-9 and they were in the replicator program. \n\nAiro was for counter UAV for replicator 2.\n\nWhen I bought $AIRO was trading at ~2.5 fwd p/s (probably higher now, maybe 3-4's). \n\nEven $DPRO might even be potential 2.8 from some rev calculations. \n\nSo IMO higher upside with other drone companies.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I loved $MP earlier last year, but sold it at $100 after that extreme run up even though I considered it a long term hold, the gains were too nice to turn down. Fell off my radar recently but would love an entry back in.\n\nWhat’s your thoughts on $ONDS? I’m not sure if you’re", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "bennybigbull", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07976975980268985, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07976975980268985, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.1001265455262349, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.1001265455262349, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "ret_p1w": -0.08223684313719959, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08223684313719959, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08378383426467506, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08378383426467506, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "ret_p1m": -0.1735197107857116, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1735197107857116, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.16078223021601046, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.16078223021601046, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "ret_p3m": -0.16118421568599772, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.16118421568599772, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.17841268679987832, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.17841268679987832, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4457, -0.4194, -0.3865, -0.3808, -0.4416, -0.4449, -0.4827, -0.4704, -0.4942, -0.5099, -0.5066, -0.5683, -0.5222, -0.5164, -0.523, -0.5469, -0.4605, -0.4095, -0.4856, -0.3553, -0.3832, -0.4844, -0.4461, -0.2829, -0.3059, -0.3224, -0.3224, -0.3503, -0.3766, -0.3363, -0.2664, -0.2442, -0.2541, -0.2582, -0.241, -0.3154, -0.2582, -0.2804, -0.3676, -0.3347, -0.3939, -0.3586, -0.2418, -0.2377, -0.2632, -0.2492, -0.2492, -0.3026, -0.3043, -0.2607, -0.1974, -0.1974, -0.0937, 0.0304, 0.0559, 0.0016, 0.1521, 0.1258, 0.0847, 0.1423, 0.1151, 0.0543, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0798, 0.0321, 0.0378, 0.0008, -0.0822, 0.0082, 0.009, -0.0732, -0.148, -0.125, -0.0641, -0.2039, -0.3026, -0.2031, -0.1497, -0.2039, -0.241, -0.2623, -0.2344, -0.2344, -0.1735, -0.0896, -0.0633, -0.1752, -0.162, -0.1447, -0.153, -0.1406, -0.1711, -0.1225, -0.176, -0.1357, -0.1373, -0.1916, -0.2007, -0.1768, -0.1916, -0.1505, -0.1645, -0.134, -0.0724, -0.1094, -0.116, -0.1727, -0.1036, -0.1217, -0.1521, -0.2237, -0.2763, -0.3298, -0.2566, -0.2755, -0.2105, -0.2105, -0.2171, -0.2163, -0.2229, -0.2484, -0.2492, -0.2212, -0.227, -0.1752, -0.1612, -0.1776, -0.1176, -0.1061, -0.0905, -0.1332, -0.1324, -0.0995, -0.1382, -0.2196, -0.1743, -0.1513, -0.1998, -0.2327, -0.2319, -0.2689, -0.2549, -0.2253, -0.2566, -0.2714, -0.0781, -0.1266, -0.2023, -0.2496, -0.2303, -0.2451, -0.2549, -0.2549, -0.1965, -0.1118, 0.0896, 0.0872, 0.0872, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013382311056642527", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-19T22:45:24+00:00", "symbol": "AVAV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have $AVAV... for drone exposure. Even AVAV was 8-9 and they were in the replicator program", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "ONDS richly priced at 28x+ fwd EV/rev vs peers; prefers AVAV, KTOS, DPRO, AIRO for drone exposure on cheaper multiples.", "resolved_tickers": ["AVAV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Personally speaking, I feel like $ONDS is richly priced compared to other drone companies. \n\nI have $AVAV, $DPRO, $KTOS, and $AIRO for drone exposure. \n\n(Just going off the top of my head, dont take this too literally) Fwd EV/revenue multiples was ~28s+ now for Ondas. Even AVAV was 8-9 and they were in the replicator program. \n\nAiro was for counter UAV for replicator 2.\n\nWhen I bought $AIRO was trading at ~2.5 fwd p/s (probably higher now, maybe 3-4's). \n\nEven $DPRO might even be potential 2.8 from some rev calculations. \n\nSo IMO higher upside with other drone companies.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I loved $MP earlier last year, but sold it at $100 after that extreme run up even though I considered it a long term hold, the gains were too nice to turn down. Fell off my radar recently but would love an entry back in.\n\nWhat’s your thoughts on $ONDS? I’m not sure if you’re", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "bennybigbull", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.15774060228523734, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.15774060228523734, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.1373838165616923, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.1375489143255112, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.020191687959726146, "ret_p1w": -0.2295728129275343, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.2295728129275343, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.23111980405500976, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.21447394803784103, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015098864889693253, "ret_p1m": -0.33057577752788814, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.33057577752788814, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.317838296958187, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3795872203125894, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "bench_c_p1m": 0.049011442784701265, "ret_p3m": -0.4858473425019164, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4858473425019164, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.503075813615797, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.509266223967649, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.023418881465732566, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0959, -0.0727, -0.0365, -0.0324, -0.0329, -0.0311, -0.0688, -0.0584, -0.0636, -0.0707, -0.1073, -0.1645, -0.1609, -0.1502, -0.1649, -0.177, -0.2478, -0.2587, -0.278, -0.2849, -0.2862, -0.3026, -0.3063, -0.2949, -0.2912, -0.2893, -0.2893, -0.2887, -0.3438, -0.3256, -0.3082, -0.2683, -0.2914, -0.281, -0.2837, -0.3757, -0.3643, -0.3916, -0.401, -0.4027, -0.4168, -0.4128, -0.3814, -0.3499, -0.3353, -0.3364, -0.3364, -0.3509, -0.3658, -0.3789, -0.3843, -0.3843, -0.3479, -0.243, -0.193, -0.1893, -0.1219, -0.0709, -0.0565, -0.0738, -0.0282, -0.0364, 0.0, 0.0, -0.1577, -0.1864, -0.2055, -0.2166, -0.2296, -0.212, -0.2187, -0.2536, -0.2914, -0.3128, -0.2735, -0.3451, -0.397, -0.3453, -0.3017, -0.3299, -0.3804, -0.4015, -0.3792, -0.3792, -0.3306, -0.3243, -0.283, -0.3264, -0.3348, -0.3325, -0.3504, -0.3392, -0.3579, -0.4697, -0.4189, -0.4235, -0.4386, -0.4151, -0.4214, -0.436, -0.4712, -0.4607, -0.4729, -0.4607, -0.4336, -0.4506, -0.462, -0.4967, -0.475, -0.5006, -0.4934, -0.5013, -0.5305, -0.5495, -0.5341, -0.5329, -0.5307, -0.5307, -0.5183, -0.5244, -0.5242, -0.5477, -0.5425, -0.5052, -0.5049, -0.4949, -0.4858, -0.5128, -0.498, -0.4653, -0.4652, -0.4861, -0.5004, -0.5018, -0.5104, -0.5329, -0.5036, -0.5292, -0.5412, -0.5757, -0.5562, -0.5719, -0.5716, -0.5763, -0.5702, -0.5902, -0.5793, -0.5978, -0.5889, -0.5921, -0.5829, -0.5849, -0.5565, -0.5565, -0.5361, -0.5386, -0.4543, -0.4725, -0.4725, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013382311056642527", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-19T22:45:24+00:00", "symbol": "DPRO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$DPRO might even be potential 2.8 from some rev calculations", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "ONDS richly priced at 28x+ fwd EV/rev vs peers; prefers AVAV, KTOS, DPRO, AIRO for drone exposure on cheaper multiples.", "resolved_tickers": ["DPRO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Personally speaking, I feel like $ONDS is richly priced compared to other drone companies. \n\nI have $AVAV, $DPRO, $KTOS, and $AIRO for drone exposure. \n\n(Just going off the top of my head, dont take this too literally) Fwd EV/revenue multiples was ~28s+ now for Ondas. Even AVAV was 8-9 and they were in the replicator program. \n\nAiro was for counter UAV for replicator 2.\n\nWhen I bought $AIRO was trading at ~2.5 fwd p/s (probably higher now, maybe 3-4's). \n\nEven $DPRO might even be potential 2.8 from some rev calculations. \n\nSo IMO higher upside with other drone companies.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I loved $MP earlier last year, but sold it at $100 after that extreme run up even though I considered it a long term hold, the gains were too nice to turn down. Fell off my radar recently but would love an entry back in.\n\nWhat’s your thoughts on $ONDS? I’m not sure if you’re", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "bennybigbull", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0177268064222158, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0177268064222158, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.002629979301329244, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00823111982675595, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.025957926248971752, "ret_p1w": -0.1605839350729784, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1605839350729784, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.16213092620045388, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.16374293384977123, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0031589987767928207, "ret_p1m": -0.2596454857493812, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2596454857493812, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.24690800517968003, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.21748098301261387, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "bench_c_p1m": -0.042164502736767306, "ret_p3m": -0.3493222448558271, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3493222448558271, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3665507159697077, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3945703122903266, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.045248067434499495, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1272, -0.1408, -0.0156, -0.0063, -0.0813, -0.1084, 0.0229, 0.1418, 0.0104, -0.0928, -0.0667, -0.1846, -0.1168, -0.1397, -0.1554, -0.1867, -0.245, -0.2826, -0.3295, -0.3055, -0.2544, -0.2388, -0.3097, -0.2127, -0.2211, -0.2377, -0.2377, -0.2377, -0.2847, -0.2753, -0.2023, -0.1376, -0.2002, -0.2158, -0.2211, -0.2388, -0.219, -0.2732, -0.3389, -0.3118, -0.366, -0.3556, -0.2148, -0.1648, -0.1627, -0.1554, -0.1554, -0.2325, -0.2669, -0.2961, -0.2795, -0.2795, -0.2336, -0.1543, -0.1126, -0.1356, -0.0229, -0.0104, 0.0136, 0.024, 0.0146, -0.0261, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0177, -0.0594, 0.0073, -0.0021, -0.1606, -0.1116, -0.1251, -0.1606, -0.2398, -0.1861, -0.1439, -0.2471, -0.3243, -0.2185, -0.1971, -0.2586, -0.2857, -0.293, -0.2815, -0.2815, -0.2596, -0.1898, -0.22, -0.1773, -0.1731, -0.1887, -0.1491, -0.2847, -0.317, -0.2336, -0.2836, -0.2951, -0.3055, -0.3107, -0.341, -0.3306, -0.3118, -0.3107, -0.3389, -0.3316, -0.2941, -0.3076, -0.318, -0.4098, -0.3514, -0.3399, -0.4838, -0.5078, -0.5214, -0.5391, -0.488, -0.4911, -0.4369, -0.4369, -0.463, -0.4818, -0.4567, -0.4713, -0.4307, -0.4317, -0.3973, -0.3806, -0.3493, -0.3806, -0.3879, -0.3702, -0.3233, -0.3577, -0.3879, -0.4077, -0.4494, -0.4713, -0.439, -0.4463, -0.4672, -0.4672, -0.4348, -0.4557, -0.4286, -0.4223, -0.438, -0.4463, -0.4129, -0.4432, -0.4505, -0.4505, -0.4286, -0.3493, -0.3306, -0.3306, -0.3201, -0.3045, -0.1877, -0.2211, -0.2211, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013382311056642527", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-01-19T22:45:24+00:00", "symbol": "KTOS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have $AVAV, $DPRO, $KTOS, and $AIRO for drone exposure", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "ONDS richly priced at 28x+ fwd EV/rev vs peers; prefers AVAV, KTOS, DPRO, AIRO for drone exposure on cheaper multiples.", "resolved_tickers": ["KTOS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Personally speaking, I feel like $ONDS is richly priced compared to other drone companies. \n\nI have $AVAV, $DPRO, $KTOS, and $AIRO for drone exposure. \n\n(Just going off the top of my head, dont take this too literally) Fwd EV/revenue multiples was ~28s+ now for Ondas. Even AVAV was 8-9 and they were in the replicator program. \n\nAiro was for counter UAV for replicator 2.\n\nWhen I bought $AIRO was trading at ~2.5 fwd p/s (probably higher now, maybe 3-4's). \n\nEven $DPRO might even be potential 2.8 from some rev calculations. \n\nSo IMO higher upside with other drone companies.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I loved $MP earlier last year, but sold it at $100 after that extreme run up even though I considered it a long term hold, the gains were too nice to turn down. Fell off my radar recently but would love an entry back in.\n\nWhat’s your thoughts on $ONDS? I’m not sure if you’re", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "bennybigbull", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0156059403753952, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0156059403753952, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004750845348149846, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004750845348149846, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "ret_p1w": -0.14840882301649172, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.14840882301649172, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1499558141439672, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1499558141439672, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "ret_p1m": -0.29643512575077047, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.29643512575077047, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2836976451810693, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2836976451810693, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "ret_p3m": -0.4307680311563178, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4307680311563178, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4479965022701984, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4479965022701984, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3551, -0.3167, -0.3025, -0.3063, -0.3132, -0.3022, -0.3245, -0.3069, -0.3031, -0.3098, -0.4078, -0.4461, -0.4042, -0.3943, -0.4141, -0.4132, -0.4516, -0.4458, -0.4627, -0.4618, -0.4594, -0.4851, -0.4711, -0.4331, -0.4259, -0.4204, -0.4204, -0.4178, -0.4399, -0.4572, -0.4432, -0.4058, -0.4148, -0.4107, -0.4107, -0.4116, -0.3973, -0.4189, -0.4319, -0.4406, -0.4663, -0.4538, -0.4233, -0.3763, -0.3704, -0.3882, -0.3882, -0.4056, -0.4074, -0.4188, -0.4193, -0.4193, -0.3934, -0.312, -0.2967, -0.3005, -0.2041, -0.1302, -0.0984, -0.0841, -0.0705, -0.0471, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0156, -0.0775, -0.1291, -0.1555, -0.1484, -0.0968, -0.1381, -0.1726, -0.212, -0.2644, -0.2092, -0.3013, -0.3478, -0.2778, -0.2441, -0.2849, -0.3285, -0.3341, -0.3187, -0.3187, -0.2964, -0.2563, -0.1916, -0.265, -0.2785, -0.3063, -0.325, -0.2951, -0.3407, -0.306, -0.3195, -0.3182, -0.3456, -0.3345, -0.2926, -0.3195, -0.3198, -0.3156, -0.3304, -0.3151, -0.2709, -0.2882, -0.2902, -0.3527, -0.3598, -0.4072, -0.3882, -0.4197, -0.4497, -0.5006, -0.4606, -0.4821, -0.4851, -0.4851, -0.4332, -0.4495, -0.4304, -0.4773, -0.4619, -0.4373, -0.4365, -0.4289, -0.4308, -0.4569, -0.4658, -0.4756, -0.4751, -0.4988, -0.5314, -0.5168, -0.5283, -0.5444, -0.5177, -0.5253, -0.5262, -0.5463, -0.5294, -0.564, -0.5571, -0.564, -0.5614, -0.5985, -0.5804, -0.6015, -0.5852, -0.591, -0.573, -0.5818, -0.5702, -0.5702, -0.5655, -0.5617, -0.5013, -0.5094, -0.5094, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013382311056642527", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-01-19T22:45:24+00:00", "symbol": "AIRO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "When I bought $AIRO was trading at ~2.5 fwd p/s... So IMO higher upside with other drone companies", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "ONDS richly priced at 28x+ fwd EV/rev vs peers; prefers AVAV, KTOS, DPRO, AIRO for drone exposure on cheaper multiples.", "resolved_tickers": ["AIRO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Personally speaking, I feel like $ONDS is richly priced compared to other drone companies. \n\nI have $AVAV, $DPRO, $KTOS, and $AIRO for drone exposure. \n\n(Just going off the top of my head, dont take this too literally) Fwd EV/revenue multiples was ~28s+ now for Ondas. Even AVAV was 8-9 and they were in the replicator program. \n\nAiro was for counter UAV for replicator 2.\n\nWhen I bought $AIRO was trading at ~2.5 fwd p/s (probably higher now, maybe 3-4's). \n\nEven $DPRO might even be potential 2.8 from some rev calculations. \n\nSo IMO higher upside with other drone companies.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I loved $MP earlier last year, but sold it at $100 after that extreme run up even though I considered it a long term hold, the gains were too nice to turn down. Fell off my radar recently but would love an entry back in.\n\nWhat’s your thoughts on $ONDS? I’m not sure if you’re", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "bennybigbull", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04786838809280902, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04786838809280902, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.027511602369263977, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.027676700133082877, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.020191687959726146, "ret_p1w": -0.14360509294900847, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.14360509294900847, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.14515208407648394, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12850622805931522, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015098864889693253, "ret_p1m": -0.31563203464098943, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.31563203464098943, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3028945540712883, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3646434774256907, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "bench_c_p1m": 0.049011442784701265, "ret_p3m": -0.35302919277709754, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.35302919277709754, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.37025766389097814, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3764480742428301, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.023418881465732566, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.279, 0.2902, 0.3074, 0.2962, 0.258, 0.2565, 0.2229, 0.2236, 0.2177, 0.0673, 0.0617, -0.0187, 0.0075, 0.0322, 0.0194, 0.0, -0.0464, -0.2446, -0.2274, -0.2625, -0.3366, -0.4121, -0.4024, -0.4114, -0.4136, -0.3837, -0.3837, -0.353, -0.3874, -0.3807, -0.3455, -0.2827, -0.2909, -0.2737, -0.282, -0.2726, -0.2745, -0.3642, -0.4046, -0.4248, -0.4458, -0.445, -0.3994, -0.3194, -0.3119, -0.3007, -0.3007, -0.3463, -0.3792, -0.3904, -0.3882, -0.3882, -0.3089, -0.2431, -0.166, -0.1967, -0.1062, -0.0658, -0.0666, -0.0366, -0.0105, -0.0127, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0479, -0.0898, -0.0628, -0.0883, -0.1436, -0.1249, -0.1511, -0.1832, -0.2304, -0.2483, -0.2378, -0.2857, -0.3657, -0.279, -0.2446, -0.2872, -0.3111, -0.3186, -0.3119, -0.3119, -0.3156, -0.2999, -0.2364, -0.3037, -0.2782, -0.2468, -0.2595, -0.2393, -0.267, -0.1997, -0.2476, -0.2461, -0.2341, -0.2461, -0.2109, -0.1975, -0.2147, -0.2393, -0.2678, -0.2468, -0.2057, -0.2536, -0.255, -0.3134, -0.2708, -0.2895, -0.2954, -0.3224, -0.3583, -0.359, -0.4312, -0.3852, -0.3485, -0.3485, -0.3455, -0.3463, -0.3403, -0.3957, -0.4106, -0.4121, -0.3957, -0.3747, -0.353, -0.3964, -0.3575, -0.3717, -0.3493, -0.3829, -0.4069, -0.3852, -0.4046, -0.439, -0.4286, -0.445, -0.4585, -0.4652, -0.4443, -0.46, -0.451, -0.4069, -0.4144, -0.4144, -0.5052, -0.5236, -0.5505, -0.5625, -0.5527, -0.5318, -0.5093, -0.5093, -0.4764, -0.4547, -0.3351, -0.3283, -0.3283, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2032052366338609402", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-12T11:13:32+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI doesn't need it since they're likely in $AMZN, $MSFT, and $ORCL / $META roadmaps", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AAOI: doesn't need NVDA partnership given likely design wins in Amazon, Microsoft, Oracle, and Meta roadmaps.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Sher_Lockknows No. But $AAOI doesn’t need it since they’re likely in $AMZN, $MSFT, and $ORCL / $META roadmaps.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Think $AAOI will get a nvidia partnership ?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Sher_Lockknows", "ret_m1d": 0.1960636520967436, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.1960636520967436, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.1806445651809514, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.1806445651809514, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01541908691579219, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01541908691579219, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08833227862470594, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08833227862470594, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08267216912369957, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.08267216912369957, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005660109501006372, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005660109501006372, "ret_p1w": -0.040210981959596936, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.040210981959596936, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.030812474837712878, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.030812474837712878, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009398507121884059, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009398507121884059, "ret_p1m": 0.41821266259612355, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.41821266259612355, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.39530832689104956, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.39530832689104956, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022904335705073997, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022904335705073997, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7184, -0.7273, -0.7444, -0.7246, -0.7051, -0.6318, -0.6173, -0.6139, -0.6139, -0.65, -0.6539, -0.6608, -0.6717, -0.6717, -0.6271, -0.6705, -0.6364, -0.6416, -0.6891, -0.6794, -0.6825, -0.6781, -0.6754, -0.6516, -0.6512, -0.6512, -0.6303, -0.6386, -0.6407, -0.6636, -0.6714, -0.6479, -0.5741, -0.6274, -0.5893, -0.5841, -0.5657, -0.6243, -0.6409, -0.5828, -0.5488, -0.5434, -0.5442, -0.5857, -0.5813, -0.5813, -0.5865, -0.5909, -0.5576, -0.5133, -0.4919, -0.4701, -0.4527, -0.4944, -0.2068, -0.0347, -0.1022, -0.061, -0.0476, -0.0999, 0.0417, 0.1347, 0.1961, 0.0, -0.0883, -0.1141, -0.187, -0.1277, -0.0402, -0.1756, -0.0982, 0.0726, 0.0774, -0.0826, -0.0751, -0.1978, -0.2034, -0.1868, -0.0215, -0.0215, 0.0119, 0.1078, 0.2496, 0.2553, 0.4182, 0.4426, 0.3786, 0.3424, 0.4815, 0.5013, 0.5394, 0.4179, 0.4071, 0.297, 0.5272, 0.3728, 0.2926, 0.4392, 0.5478, 0.7281, 0.629, 0.7004, 0.6813, 0.4837, 0.4026, 0.7412, 0.773, 1.101, 0.917, 0.7926, 0.6316, 0.6134, 0.5563, 0.665, 0.7091, 0.7091, 0.6727, 0.6935, 0.5917, 0.4918, 0.4918, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2025095393898270750", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-21T06:29:01+00:00", "symbol": "EWY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "would probably double again once 2x leveraged ETFs and 10x leveraged SK Hynix and Samsung perps gain popularity", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long EWY: expects it to double again as leveraged ETFs and SK Hynix/Samsung perps gain popularity, driving further IV expansion.", "resolved_tickers": ["EWY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Makes sense though, 2028 leaps were extremely mispriced, not short dated options. \n\nWould probably be a 200% gain alone off IV expansion off 2028 OTM $EWY options. \n\nIt’s caught up a decent amount but would probably double again once 2x leveraged ETFs and 10x leveraged SK Hynix and Samsung perps gain popularity.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thinking running debit call spreads on this was a mistake, didnt capture the full IV expansion but would have got some of it, but they were shorted dated and OTM so decent gains simply of EWY moving up, still slightly annoying wondering if leaps would have been safer and better", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "KisekiLogos", "ret_m1d": 0.018521190054074044, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.018521190054074044, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008204528667010491, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008204528667010491, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.037688441385384186, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.037688441385384186, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030419988454989166, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030419988454989166, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "ret_p1w": 0.05915283599321519, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05915283599321519, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05330575028032358, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05330575028032358, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "ret_p1m": -0.0757358422155805, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0757358422155805, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03554445989111776, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03554445989111776, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "ret_p3m": 0.33826269981975354, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.33826269981975354, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.24688048298196907, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.24688048298196907, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3572, -0.3572, -0.362, -0.3638, -0.3536, -0.347, -0.355, -0.3379, -0.3325, -0.329, -0.3207, -0.3333, -0.3494, -0.3489, -0.3574, -0.3641, -0.3534, -0.3443, -0.3413, -0.3345, -0.3209, -0.3209, -0.312, -0.2913, -0.292, -0.3021, -0.3021, -0.2662, -0.2475, -0.2275, -0.2317, -0.2348, -0.2183, -0.218, -0.228, -0.2129, -0.2028, -0.1944, -0.1944, -0.2034, -0.1697, -0.1673, -0.1531, -0.1578, -0.1192, -0.0986, -0.1062, -0.1212, -0.1319, -0.1075, -0.1367, -0.137, -0.1047, -0.0951, -0.1066, -0.0625, -0.061, -0.0383, -0.0383, -0.0619, -0.0457, -0.0294, 0.0185, 0.0, 0.0377, 0.0688, 0.0798, 0.0866, 0.0592, -0.05, -0.0354, -0.0973, -0.0902, -0.0388, -0.0646, -0.0463, -0.1134, -0.1088, -0.0445, -0.035, -0.0533, -0.0322, -0.0971, -0.0394, -0.0757, -0.083, -0.1386, -0.1315, -0.1642, -0.1169, -0.0939, -0.1179, -0.1179, -0.0959, -0.0869, 0.0055, -0.0001, -0.0041, 0.0139, 0.053, 0.0403, 0.0587, 0.0935, 0.0775, 0.0538, 0.1184, 0.081, 0.1096, 0.1251, 0.1082, 0.1052, 0.1541, 0.163, 0.1744, 0.2453, 0.3064, 0.2688, 0.3654, 0.3844, 0.2814, 0.3541, 0.3677, 0.284, 0.2642, 0.2492, 0.293, 0.3383, 0.3067, 0.3067, 0.4404, 0.4235, 0.4818, 0.4776, 0.4776, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2017269310042124617", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-30T16:10:57+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AXTI I'm actually extremely bullish on out of the group of stocks I've posted and im a net buyer at these levels", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Extremely bullish on AXTI, net buyer at current levels on rising indium prices and photonics ramp into 2027.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AXTI I’m actually extremely bullish on out of the group of stocks I’ve posted and im a net buyer at these levels. \n\nI’ll make a follow-up post but I just see 7n indium prices increase every day. And the photonics ramp are incredible if you look at 2027-2027.\n\nI did take cut on others like $OSS, after a 100% rally but still hold positions. $LPTH there was some concerning stuff regarding cheaper germanium alternatives so I did trim some positions. \n\nI’m in a weird situation where I need to be truthful/objective but don’t enjoy posting bear updates or when I sell since I don’t want to spread panic. So I just lean on the side of caution by refraining from it unless it’s extremely material (like an ATM)\n\nLast time I posted about selling $IREN I had a flood of negative comment spam for the next few weeks.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Did you rotate out of $AXTI $OSS $VLN $LPTH or any of those other somewhat recently entered positions?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Swiftrooney_", "ret_m1d": -0.11650494326306804, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11650494326306804, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11949644592024544, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.15135349790633357, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002991502657177403, "bench_c_m1d": 0.03484855464326553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.12944981121981836, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.12944981121981836, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.12447844908888284, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.11827147913945613, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004971362130935519, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01117833208036223, "ret_p1w": 0.29773453494233726, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.29773453494233726, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.29968547263597833, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.3022207234044596, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.001950937693641075, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0044861884621223425, "ret_p1m": 1.4983817371891814, "ret_signed_p1m": 1.4983817371891814, "alpha_spy_p1m": 1.5064600237603303, "alpha_c_p1m": 1.4911194974246085, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00807828657114873, "bench_c_p1m": 0.007262239764572964, "ret_p3m": 2.833333127578367, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.833333127578367, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.8021852548504738, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.5950939039801835, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031147872727893544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2382392235981834, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5394, -0.5092, -0.5216, -0.4898, -0.4369, -0.4304, -0.4078, -0.4369, -0.4369, -0.4471, -0.466, -0.4547, -0.4903, -0.5183, -0.4962, -0.5022, -0.4364, -0.4364, -0.4229, -0.418, -0.3657, -0.3808, -0.3474, -0.3754, -0.3145, -0.1931, -0.1634, -0.1165, -0.2012, -0.2001, -0.2988, -0.3333, -0.2443, -0.2098, -0.1791, -0.2104, -0.1904, -0.1904, -0.171, -0.2131, -0.1478, -0.1181, -0.1181, -0.096, -0.1009, 0.0879, 0.3004, 0.3932, 0.24, 0.1996, 0.1602, 0.192, 0.3873, 0.1915, 0.1915, 0.1548, 0.0669, -0.0334, -0.0615, -0.0399, -0.0723, -0.0922, -0.1165, 0.0, 0.1294, 0.0647, 0.0113, 0.1019, 0.2977, 0.4978, 0.3134, 0.4455, 0.3371, 0.3074, 0.3074, 0.2519, 0.2697, 0.2843, 0.6009, 0.5334, 0.8921, 1.2098, 1.0022, 1.0442, 1.4984, 1.2524, 1.1106, 1.0928, 0.746, 1.0798, 1.3894, 1.5545, 1.5205, 1.6354, 1.61, 1.3927, 1.63, 2.1332, 1.9256, 2.4757, 2.6915, 2.6327, 2.1559, 2.2702, 1.8441, 2.0734, 1.5426, 1.8501, 1.8501, 1.2648, 1.452, 1.8684, 2.4045, 2.4617, 2.5841, 2.63, 2.3943, 3.411, 3.4531, 3.2481, 3.0437, 3.6893, 3.0599, 3.1079, 2.7837, 2.706, 2.8333, 3.2729, 4.178, 4.7174, 4.801, 4.6543, 4.8479, 5.2762, 5.7859, 5.6289, 5.5771, 5.2017, 5.6764, 4.7109, 5.0885, 4.6424, 5.5275, 6.596, 6.596, 6.1521, 5.6219, 5.2406, 4.5642, 4.5642, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2026638711941902461", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-25T12:41:36+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AXTI and $IQE might are personally interesting to me", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AXTI and IQE as upstream photonics BOM plays; IQE held as position, AXTI seen as moonshot on supply-chain re-rating.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Was the first to talk about $AXTI in relation to photonics BOM/supply chains:\n\n$IQE is very interesting too as one of the only Western suppliers. \n\nBasically if you look at photonics flow on $GOOGL TPU/hyperscaler ASICs kinda looks like this (very likely, but undisclosed): \n\nOptical Transceivers (highest BOM):\n\nLumentum/Cloud Light:\n~ Vital / $AXTI-> $AXTI/Sumitomo/JX -> $IQE (Epi-Wafers) -> $LITE / Cloud Light -> $FN (Contract Manufacturing) -> $GOOGL TPU\n\nMerhcant optical supply chain:\n\n~ Vital / $AXTI -> $AXTI / Sumitomo / JX  -> → $LITE / $AVGO / $COHR (EML) + $MRVL / $MTSI / Semtech -> Innolight/Eoptolink -> $GOOGL \n\nSo if you want moonshot-type photonics BOM / price-hikes stocks deeper upstream in the photonics BOM: $AXTI, $IQE and your way to go. \n\n$AXTI had terrible fundamentals before but the recent Northland fundraising round cemented its run. \n\n$IQE has terrible fundamentals now (Net debt £23.5 million) but is probably one of the most critical parts of the supply chain. If they manage to sell their Taiwan operations, wouldn't be surprised if it went up quite a bit just from their inp business. \n\nThere's £18m convertible notes (which is basically nothing), then there's 120 to 154m new shares (~12% to 15%), which is also kinda nothing relative to current size. \n\nOn the other hand, others $LITE and Innolight are probably more established. \n\nTLDR:\n\n$IQE -> seems critical to Western supply chains, $130MC. Net debt, if they sell Taiwan business -> strong re-rating or they might just dilute you anyway. \n\nBut if the Taiwan business fails to be sold, probably expect to be diluted to oblivion like Wolfspeed. So huge, huge, risk ad do you own research into risks. \n\nBut $AXTI and $IQE might are personally interesting to me (I do own $IQE).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.14376371037724256, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.14376371037724256, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1353959713355637, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12733795493363664, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008367739041678868, "bench_c_m1d": -0.016425755443605916, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09397125150371877, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09397125150371877, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08841677511209767, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06076777446483761, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005554476391621099, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03320347703888116, "ret_p1w": -0.044910912808518444, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.044910912808518444, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.033340440852849706, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.018586358934629232, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011570471955668737, "bench_c_p1w": -0.06349727174314768, "ret_p1m": 0.4281180517018559, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4281180517018559, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4949120695233653, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5344631027032909, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0667940178215094, "bench_c_p1m": -0.10634505100143499, "ret_p3m": 2.437393156822507, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.437393156822507, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.3587286398503977, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.085037228598968, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07866451697210941, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3523559282235391, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7388, -0.7366, -0.713, -0.7198, -0.7047, -0.7174, -0.6898, -0.6349, -0.6214, -0.6002, -0.6385, -0.638, -0.6827, -0.6983, -0.658, -0.6424, -0.6285, -0.6427, -0.6336, -0.6336, -0.6248, -0.6439, -0.6144, -0.6009, -0.6009, -0.5909, -0.5931, -0.5077, -0.4115, -0.3695, -0.4389, -0.4572, -0.475, -0.4606, -0.3722, -0.4608, -0.4608, -0.4774, -0.5172, -0.5626, -0.5753, -0.5655, -0.5802, -0.5892, -0.6002, -0.5475, -0.4889, -0.5182, -0.5423, -0.5013, -0.4127, -0.3222, -0.4057, -0.3459, -0.3949, -0.4083, -0.4083, -0.4335, -0.4254, -0.4188, -0.2756, -0.3061, -0.1438, 0.0, -0.094, -0.0749, 0.1306, 0.0193, -0.0449, -0.053, -0.2099, -0.0588, 0.0813, 0.156, 0.1406, 0.1926, 0.1811, 0.0827, 0.1901, 0.4179, 0.3239, 0.5729, 0.6705, 0.6439, 0.4281, 0.4799, 0.287, 0.3908, 0.1506, 0.2897, 0.2897, 0.0249, 0.1096, 0.298, 0.5406, 0.5665, 0.6219, 0.6427, 0.536, 0.9961, 1.0151, 0.9224, 0.8299, 1.122, 0.8372, 0.8589, 0.7122, 0.6771, 0.7347, 0.9336, 1.3432, 1.5873, 1.6251, 1.5587, 1.6463, 1.8401, 2.0708, 1.9998, 1.9763, 1.8064, 2.0212, 1.5843, 1.7552, 1.5533, 1.9539, 2.4374, 2.4374, 2.2365, 1.9966, 1.824, 1.5179, 1.5179, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2026638711941902461", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-25T12:41:36+00:00", "symbol": "IQE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I do own $IQE", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AXTI and IQE as upstream photonics BOM plays; IQE held as position, AXTI seen as moonshot on supply-chain re-rating.", "resolved_tickers": ["IQE.L"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "IQE plc LSE-listed epiwafer supplier", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Was the first to talk about $AXTI in relation to photonics BOM/supply chains:\n\n$IQE is very interesting too as one of the only Western suppliers. \n\nBasically if you look at photonics flow on $GOOGL TPU/hyperscaler ASICs kinda looks like this (very likely, but undisclosed): \n\nOptical Transceivers (highest BOM):\n\nLumentum/Cloud Light:\n~ Vital / $AXTI-> $AXTI/Sumitomo/JX -> $IQE (Epi-Wafers) -> $LITE / Cloud Light -> $FN (Contract Manufacturing) -> $GOOGL TPU\n\nMerhcant optical supply chain:\n\n~ Vital / $AXTI -> $AXTI / Sumitomo / JX  -> → $LITE / $AVGO / $COHR (EML) + $MRVL / $MTSI / Semtech -> Innolight/Eoptolink -> $GOOGL \n\nSo if you want moonshot-type photonics BOM / price-hikes stocks deeper upstream in the photonics BOM: $AXTI, $IQE and your way to go. \n\n$AXTI had terrible fundamentals before but the recent Northland fundraising round cemented its run. \n\n$IQE has terrible fundamentals now (Net debt £23.5 million) but is probably one of the most critical parts of the supply chain. If they manage to sell their Taiwan operations, wouldn't be surprised if it went up quite a bit just from their inp business. \n\nThere's £18m convertible notes (which is basically nothing), then there's 120 to 154m new shares (~12% to 15%), which is also kinda nothing relative to current size. \n\nOn the other hand, others $LITE and Innolight are probably more established. \n\nTLDR:\n\n$IQE -> seems critical to Western supply chains, $130MC. Net debt, if they sell Taiwan business -> strong re-rating or they might just dilute you anyway. \n\nBut if the Taiwan business fails to be sold, probably expect to be diluted to oblivion like Wolfspeed. So huge, huge, risk ad do you own research into risks. \n\nBut $AXTI and $IQE might are personally interesting to me (I do own $IQE).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.23845196874805785, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.23845196874805785, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.23008422970637898, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.22202621330445194, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008367739041678868, "bench_c_m1d": -0.016425755443605916, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.24843941501309552, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.24843941501309552, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.2539938914047166, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.2816428920519767, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005554476391621099, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03320347703888116, "ret_p1w": 0.6760299384671729, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.6760299384671729, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.6876004104228416, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.7395272102103205, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011570471955668737, "bench_c_p1w": -0.06349727174314768, "ret_p1m": 0.660424445779509, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.660424445779509, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.7272184636010184, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.766769496780944, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0667940178215094, "bench_c_p1m": -0.10634505100143499, "ret_p3m": 1.855805161842456, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.855805161842456, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.7771406448703466, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.503449233618917, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07866451697210941, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3523559282235391, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.676, -0.6785, -0.6879, -0.6923, -0.6829, -0.6866, -0.6866, -0.686, -0.6798, -0.6748, -0.6954, -0.6941, -0.6895, -0.6901, -0.6848, -0.6816, -0.6798, -0.6895, -0.6901, -0.6901, -0.6901, -0.6901, -0.6879, -0.6879, -0.6879, -0.6785, -0.686, -0.6829, -0.6517, -0.6161, -0.5418, -0.3483, -0.3839, -0.4382, -0.4913, -0.51, -0.4426, -0.5137, -0.5231, -0.5131, -0.4988, -0.5225, -0.5218, -0.4994, -0.5162, -0.5062, -0.4988, -0.5194, -0.5037, -0.5125, -0.5056, -0.49, -0.3758, -0.3608, -0.3571, -0.3383, -0.3446, -0.3371, -0.3471, -0.3521, -0.3458, -0.2022, -0.2385, 0.0, 0.2484, 0.186, 0.598, 0.623, 0.676, 0.339, 0.2272, 0.191, 0.417, 0.5169, 0.417, 0.4513, 0.4419, 0.3483, 0.5949, 0.4263, 0.4732, 0.4669, 0.5949, 0.8414, 0.6604, 0.5293, 0.4419, 0.5231, 0.5668, 0.4732, 0.4732, 0.4732, 0.5918, 0.7915, 0.8727, 1.3096, 2.0649, 1.9838, 2.3708, 2.6579, 2.2522, 2.6579, 2.9326, 2.9076, 2.1055, 1.9713, 2.0836, 1.5125, 1.5218, 1.6998, 1.5687, 1.5687, 2.1211, 1.7809, 1.8496, 1.9401, 2.402, 1.9432, 2.1523, 2.0961, 1.8714, 1.4407, 0.9975, 1.3439, 1.4875, 1.8558, 1.8558, 2.3708, 2.1648, 1.9744, 1.965, 1.965, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2032202209623228478", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-12T21:08:57+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It doesn't change my bullish thesis around $378/month US supply chain from laser -> design -> assembly being very mispriced at $8B with $AAOI", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still bullish AAOI on mispriced US supply chain thesis at $8B, despite ATM dilution concerns.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It doesn’t change my bullish thesis around $378/month US supply chain from laser -> design -> assembly being very mispriced at $8B with $AAOI.\n\nBut it does change some views on share appreciation, as ATMs are very net negative way to get there ($250m was fine after projections).\n\nDoubling that by another $250m after the first ATM gives left a very bearish impression like what $POET did. \n\nAnd now, main concern is doing it again after their new round finishes. Which is why $AAOI should have just announced the amount they needed form the start.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit We bullish?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ethaantran", "ret_m1d": 0.1960636520967436, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.1960636520967436, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.1806445651809514, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.1806445651809514, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01541908691579219, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01541908691579219, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08833227862470594, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08833227862470594, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08267216912369957, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.08267216912369957, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005660109501006372, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005660109501006372, "ret_p1w": -0.040210981959596936, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.040210981959596936, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.030812474837712878, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.030812474837712878, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009398507121884059, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009398507121884059, "ret_p1m": 0.41821266259612355, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.41821266259612355, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.39530832689104956, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.39530832689104956, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022904335705073997, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022904335705073997, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7184, -0.7273, -0.7444, -0.7246, -0.7051, -0.6318, -0.6173, -0.6139, -0.6139, -0.65, -0.6539, -0.6608, -0.6717, -0.6717, -0.6271, -0.6705, -0.6364, -0.6416, -0.6891, -0.6794, -0.6825, -0.6781, -0.6754, -0.6516, -0.6512, -0.6512, -0.6303, -0.6386, -0.6407, -0.6636, -0.6714, -0.6479, -0.5741, -0.6274, -0.5893, -0.5841, -0.5657, -0.6243, -0.6409, -0.5828, -0.5488, -0.5434, -0.5442, -0.5857, -0.5813, -0.5813, -0.5865, -0.5909, -0.5576, -0.5133, -0.4919, -0.4701, -0.4527, -0.4944, -0.2068, -0.0347, -0.1022, -0.061, -0.0476, -0.0999, 0.0417, 0.1347, 0.1961, 0.0, -0.0883, -0.1141, -0.187, -0.1277, -0.0402, -0.1756, -0.0982, 0.0726, 0.0774, -0.0826, -0.0751, -0.1978, -0.2034, -0.1868, -0.0215, -0.0215, 0.0119, 0.1078, 0.2496, 0.2553, 0.4182, 0.4426, 0.3786, 0.3424, 0.4815, 0.5013, 0.5394, 0.4179, 0.4071, 0.297, 0.5272, 0.3728, 0.2926, 0.4392, 0.5478, 0.7281, 0.629, 0.7004, 0.6813, 0.4837, 0.4026, 0.7412, 0.773, 1.101, 0.917, 0.7926, 0.6316, 0.6134, 0.5563, 0.665, 0.7091, 0.7091, 0.6727, 0.6935, 0.5917, 0.4918, 0.4918, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2027442395680493832", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-27T17:55:09+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI is one of the only pure \"Made in America\" texas fab. So it will get the premium.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AAOI as a rare pure US-fab optical play commanding a valuation premium.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Investmnt_Eagle $LITE, $COHR, Innolight, $AVGO, and Eoptolink.\n\n$AAOI is one of the only pure \"Made in America\" texas fab. So it will get the premium.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Projecting this forward. What other companies could announce something similar?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Investmnt_Eagle", "ret_m1d": -0.3625786953944201, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.3625786953944201, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.3674038085726452, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.3674038085726452, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.21702478987010654, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.21702478987010654, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.21645621108777524, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.21645621108777524, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "ret_p1w": 0.1347500655559073, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1347500655559073, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15459001236840897, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15459001236840897, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "ret_p1m": 0.011397353035883961, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.011397353035883961, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08762893098965874, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08762893098965874, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "ret_p3m": 1.1349874707828982, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.1349874707828982, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.0380187816928927, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.0380187816928927, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6911, -0.6955, -0.6885, -0.6843, -0.6695, -0.6393, -0.5847, -0.5688, -0.6194, -0.645, -0.6562, -0.6778, -0.6527, -0.6282, -0.5359, -0.5175, -0.5132, -0.5132, -0.5587, -0.5637, -0.5724, -0.5861, -0.5861, -0.5299, -0.5846, -0.5416, -0.5482, -0.6081, -0.5959, -0.5997, -0.5942, -0.5908, -0.5607, -0.5603, -0.5603, -0.5339, -0.5443, -0.5471, -0.5759, -0.5858, -0.5561, -0.463, -0.5302, -0.4823, -0.4757, -0.4525, -0.5263, -0.5473, -0.4741, -0.4312, -0.4243, -0.4254, -0.4777, -0.4722, -0.4722, -0.4787, -0.4843, -0.4422, -0.3864, -0.3594, -0.3319, -0.31, -0.3626, 0.0, 0.217, 0.1319, 0.1838, 0.2008, 0.1348, 0.3133, 0.4305, 0.5079, 0.2607, 0.1494, 0.1168, 0.0249, 0.0997, 0.21, 0.0393, 0.1369, 0.3522, 0.3583, 0.1566, 0.166, 0.0114, 0.0043, 0.0252, 0.2336, 0.2336, 0.2757, 0.3967, 0.5754, 0.5826, 0.788, 0.8187, 0.738, 0.6924, 0.8677, 0.8927, 0.9408, 0.7876, 0.774, 0.6352, 0.9253, 0.7307, 0.6296, 0.8144, 0.9513, 1.1787, 1.0537, 1.1438, 1.1197, 0.8705, 0.7683, 1.1952, 1.2353, 1.6487, 1.4168, 1.26, 1.057, 1.0341, 0.962, 1.0991, 1.1547, 1.1547, 1.1087, 1.135, 1.0066, 0.8807, 0.8807, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2021380669625205217", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-11T00:28:01+00:00", "symbol": "SNDK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm just holding shares of $SNDK. Fundamentals matter more than share sales over the medium-long term.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Holding SNDK shares; dismisses WD share-sale overhang, fundamentals will prevail medium-to-long term.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNDK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@visheratin No? If i were holding 1 week options I would be but I'm just holding shares of $SNDK. \n\nFundamentals matter more than share sales over the medium-long term.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Aren't you afraid it'll drop even more until WD unloads their remaining shares?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "visheratin", "ret_m1d": -0.09627258254344095, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09627258254344095, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0965036947583715, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0965036947583715, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00023111221493055112, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00023111221493055112, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0516400537008328, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0516400537008328, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.067088927928734, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.067088927928734, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0154488742279012, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0154488742279012, "ret_p1w": 0.0017686079872809568, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0017686079872809568, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.009962787532726614, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.009962787532726614, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.008194179545445657, "bench_c_p1w": -0.008194179545445657, "ret_p1m": 0.03250238528361726, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03250238528361726, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06993239268840667, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06993239268840667, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03743000740478941, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03743000740478941, "ret_p3m": 1.5821069664131495, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.5821069664131495, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.5107748402055374, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.5107748402055374, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07133212620761209, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07133212620761209, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5759, -0.5564, -0.5913, -0.5896, -0.673, -0.6658, -0.6213, -0.6321, -0.6412, -0.6412, -0.6275, -0.6493, -0.6574, -0.6757, -0.6441, -0.6188, -0.6238, -0.6338, -0.6115, -0.5969, -0.656, -0.6632, -0.6508, -0.6549, -0.6338, -0.6035, -0.5978, -0.5914, -0.5827, -0.5827, -0.5828, -0.5925, -0.5992, -0.6039, -0.6039, -0.5408, -0.5427, -0.4166, -0.4101, -0.4418, -0.3703, -0.3505, -0.3496, -0.3529, -0.3172, -0.3099, -0.3099, -0.244, -0.1636, -0.16, -0.2094, -0.2145, -0.1967, -0.1196, -0.1002, -0.0385, 0.11, 0.1605, -0.0247, -0.0386, -0.0023, -0.0266, -0.0963, 0.0, 0.0516, 0.0454, 0.0454, -0.0146, 0.0018, 0.0363, 0.0845, 0.112, 0.0654, 0.0551, 0.0877, 0.0601, 0.0329, -0.0566, -0.0005, -0.0563, -0.1201, -0.0177, 0.0326, 0.0936, 0.0325, 0.1039, 0.174, 0.2016, 0.2575, 0.2882, 0.1842, 0.1721, 0.1721, 0.131, 0.0064, 0.0275, -0.0448, 0.0601, 0.1558, 0.1706, 0.1706, 0.209, 0.186, 0.3029, 0.4208, 0.4212, 0.5892, 0.5758, 0.4878, 0.5341, 0.5367, 0.5234, 0.5075, 0.6336, 0.5558, 0.6517, 0.7856, 0.6724, 0.7756, 0.8295, 0.9805, 1.0954, 1.3464, 1.3526, 1.2357, 1.6068, 1.5821, 1.4227, 1.4147, 1.3071, 1.3486, 1.2241, 1.308, 1.3235, 1.5732, 1.4672, 1.4672, 1.6522, 1.6528, 1.7391, 1.8281, 1.8281, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2029088341258584454", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-04T06:55:33+00:00", "symbol": "000660.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "SK Hynix futures is now trading in the high $300B MC-low $400B range. If MS and updated analyst projections are even slightly right, SK Hynix's operating profits for example would be ~$300B. Looks to be another DeepSeek-Nvidia type fear selling situation", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Author calls KOSPI/EWY selloff irrational fear-driven deleveraging; strongly bullish SK Hynix on ~$300B operating profit outlook and structural memory demand; also implicitly long Samsung.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Feels like everyone is doom-posting KOSPI saying:\n\n> “Look at the chart, it can’t keep going up like this!”\n\n> Memory is a black hole for demand ( $SNDK taking 3Y preorders )\n\n> $EWY is basically just two stocks, Samsung and SK Hynix, not a representation of the Korean economy\n\n> Like saying Taiwan Index is a bubble because the index that tracks $TSM and Mediatek goes up.\n\n> Memory demand/AI doesn’t just disappear because of a War in Iran, but it does get more expensive. \n\n> Increased energy from crude/LNG get  passed down to hyperscalers, not eaten up in opex. \n\nIt’s looks to be fear selling and deleveraging (3x ETFs and 10x likely got wiped out today) rather than materially operational (slight bearish headwind, but not enough for -30%).\n\nSK Hynix futures is now trading in the high $300B MC-low $400B range. \n\nIf MS and updated analyst projections are even slightly right, SK Hynix’s operating profits for example would be ~$300B. \n\nThey’ll be sitting on too much money by 2028 as a cushion if memory prices  drops. (and not even considering demand becomes structural).\n\nLooks to be another DeepSeek-Nvidia type fear selling situation, especially as nand/dram prices get hiked again recently. More of a question of timing the bottom. \n\nIt’s times like these logic matter more than irrational headline selling.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.10600704814534301, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.10600704814534301, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.11301292785677886, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.1211145784948564, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007005879711435847, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015107530349513398, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10836278650531161, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10836278650531161, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.11393833335170545, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.1725884140041556, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005575546846393831, "bench_c_p1d": -0.06422562749884397, "ret_p1w": 0.12485273414010845, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12485273414010845, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.137696966049484, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13616470160982708, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012844231909375559, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011311967469718631, "ret_p1m": -0.02237925672055452, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02237925672055452, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.01777207699873884, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0632052695018066, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04015133371929336, "bench_c_p1m": -0.08558452622236112, "ret_p3m": 1.805533816791662, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.805533816791662, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.6983775698986294, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.2737186101933058, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10715624689303249, "bench_c_p3m": 0.5318152065983561, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3604, -0.3216, -0.3346, -0.3099, -0.3357, -0.3287, -0.3487, -0.3769, -0.3522, -0.351, -0.3569, -0.3181, -0.3134, -0.3087, -0.3087, -0.2958, -0.2476, -0.2346, -0.2346, -0.2346, -0.2041, -0.1817, -0.1465, -0.1276, -0.1112, -0.1253, -0.1194, -0.1323, -0.1276, -0.1194, -0.1112, -0.1018, -0.1265, -0.13, -0.1124, -0.0982, -0.1347, -0.0595, -0.0112, 0.0123, 0.0687, -0.0242, 0.0663, 0.0581, -0.0101, -0.0136, 0.0428, 0.0299, 0.0111, 0.044, 0.0346, 0.0346, 0.0346, 0.0346, 0.0511, 0.1157, 0.1181, 0.1816, 0.1968, 0.2945, 0.2497, 0.2497, 0.106, 0.0, 0.1084, 0.0883, -0.0153, 0.1048, 0.1249, 0.0954, 0.0718, 0.1472, 0.1425, 0.2438, 0.1932, 0.1861, 0.0989, 0.1614, 0.172, 0.0989, 0.0989, 0.0283, -0.0495, 0.0565, -0.0224, 0.0318, 0.0436, 0.0789, 0.2167, 0.1755, 0.2097, 0.225, 0.2992, 0.338, 0.3604, 0.3286, 0.3734, 0.4417, 0.4405, 0.4429, 0.4393, 0.5218, 0.5312, 0.523, 0.5147, 0.5147, 0.7044, 0.7044, 0.8857, 0.9482, 0.9859, 1.2144, 1.1614, 1.3274, 1.3204, 1.1425, 1.1673, 1.0554, 1.0554, 1.285, 1.2862, 1.2862, 1.417, 1.6419, 1.6966, 1.7484, 1.8055, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2029088341258584454", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-04T06:55:33+00:00", "symbol": "EWY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "everyone is doom-posting KOSPI... It looks to be fear selling and deleveraging... rather than materially operational", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Author calls KOSPI/EWY selloff irrational fear-driven deleveraging; strongly bullish SK Hynix on ~$300B operating profit outlook and structural memory demand; also implicitly long Samsung.", "resolved_tickers": ["EWY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Feels like everyone is doom-posting KOSPI saying:\n\n> “Look at the chart, it can’t keep going up like this!”\n\n> Memory is a black hole for demand ( $SNDK taking 3Y preorders )\n\n> $EWY is basically just two stocks, Samsung and SK Hynix, not a representation of the Korean economy\n\n> Like saying Taiwan Index is a bubble because the index that tracks $TSM and Mediatek goes up.\n\n> Memory demand/AI doesn’t just disappear because of a War in Iran, but it does get more expensive. \n\n> Increased energy from crude/LNG get  passed down to hyperscalers, not eaten up in opex. \n\nIt’s looks to be fear selling and deleveraging (3x ETFs and 10x likely got wiped out today) rather than materially operational (slight bearish headwind, but not enough for -30%).\n\nSK Hynix futures is now trading in the high $300B MC-low $400B range. \n\nIf MS and updated analyst projections are even slightly right, SK Hynix’s operating profits for example would be ~$300B. \n\nThey’ll be sitting on too much money by 2028 as a cushion if memory prices  drops. (and not even considering demand becomes structural).\n\nLooks to be another DeepSeek-Nvidia type fear selling situation, especially as nand/dram prices get hiked again recently. More of a question of timing the bottom. \n\nIt’s times like these logic matter more than irrational headline selling.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.015107530349513398, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.015107530349513398, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.008101650638077551, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.008101650638077551, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007005879711435847, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007005879711435847, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06422562749884397, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06422562749884397, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05865008065245014, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05865008065245014, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005575546846393831, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005575546846393831, "ret_p1w": -0.011311967469718631, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.011311967469718631, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0015322644396569274, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0015322644396569274, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012844231909375559, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012844231909375559, "ret_p1m": -0.08558452622236112, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08558452622236112, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.045433192503067765, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.045433192503067765, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04015133371929336, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04015133371929336, "ret_p3m": 0.5318152065983561, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5318152065983561, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.42465895970532364, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.42465895970532364, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10715624689303249, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10715624689303249, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3136, -0.308, -0.3044, -0.2958, -0.3088, -0.3255, -0.3251, -0.3338, -0.3408, -0.3297, -0.3202, -0.3172, -0.3101, -0.296, -0.296, -0.2867, -0.2653, -0.2661, -0.2765, -0.2765, -0.2393, -0.2198, -0.1992, -0.2035, -0.2067, -0.1896, -0.1893, -0.1997, -0.184, -0.1736, -0.1648, -0.1648, -0.1741, -0.1392, -0.1368, -0.1221, -0.1269, -0.0868, -0.0656, -0.0735, -0.089, -0.1, -0.0748, -0.105, -0.1054, -0.0719, -0.0619, -0.0738, -0.0281, -0.0266, -0.003, -0.003, -0.0275, -0.0107, 0.0063, 0.0559, 0.0367, 0.0758, 0.1081, 0.1194, 0.1265, 0.098, -0.0151, 0.0, -0.0642, -0.0569, -0.0036, -0.0303, -0.0113, -0.0809, -0.0761, -0.0095, 0.0004, -0.0185, 0.0033, -0.0639, -0.0042, -0.0418, -0.0493, -0.107, -0.0997, -0.1335, -0.0845, -0.0607, -0.0856, -0.0856, -0.0627, -0.0534, 0.0424, 0.0366, 0.0324, 0.0511, 0.0916, 0.0785, 0.0975, 0.1337, 0.117, 0.0924, 0.1595, 0.1207, 0.1503, 0.1664, 0.1488, 0.1458, 0.1964, 0.2056, 0.2175, 0.291, 0.3543, 0.3154, 0.4155, 0.4352, 0.3284, 0.4038, 0.4179, 0.3311, 0.3106, 0.2951, 0.3404, 0.3874, 0.3547, 0.3547, 0.4933, 0.4757, 0.5361, 0.5318, 0.5318, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2029088341258584454", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-04T06:55:33+00:00", "symbol": "005930.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$EWY is basically just two stocks, Samsung and SK Hynix", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Author calls KOSPI/EWY selloff irrational fear-driven deleveraging; strongly bullish SK Hynix on ~$300B operating profit outlook and structural memory demand; also implicitly long Samsung.", "resolved_tickers": ["005930.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Feels like everyone is doom-posting KOSPI saying:\n\n> “Look at the chart, it can’t keep going up like this!”\n\n> Memory is a black hole for demand ( $SNDK taking 3Y preorders )\n\n> $EWY is basically just two stocks, Samsung and SK Hynix, not a representation of the Korean economy\n\n> Like saying Taiwan Index is a bubble because the index that tracks $TSM and Mediatek goes up.\n\n> Memory demand/AI doesn’t just disappear because of a War in Iran, but it does get more expensive. \n\n> Increased energy from crude/LNG get  passed down to hyperscalers, not eaten up in opex. \n\nIt’s looks to be fear selling and deleveraging (3x ETFs and 10x likely got wiped out today) rather than materially operational (slight bearish headwind, but not enough for -30%).\n\nSK Hynix futures is now trading in the high $300B MC-low $400B range. \n\nIf MS and updated analyst projections are even slightly right, SK Hynix’s operating profits for example would be ~$300B. \n\nThey’ll be sitting on too much money by 2028 as a cushion if memory prices  drops. (and not even considering demand becomes structural).\n\nLooks to be another DeepSeek-Nvidia type fear selling situation, especially as nand/dram prices get hiked again recently. More of a question of timing the bottom. \n\nIt’s times like these logic matter more than irrational headline selling.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.13298492567218356, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.13298492567218356, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.1399908053836194, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.14971824864116934, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007005879711435847, "bench_c_m1d": -0.016733322968985775, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.11265975125013239, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.11265975125013239, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.11823529809652622, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.11022835396309327, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005575546846393831, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0024313972870391165, "ret_p1w": 0.10336818319198082, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10336818319198082, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11621241510135638, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09914909982056419, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012844231909375559, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004219083371416632, "ret_p1m": 0.03814899314750386, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03814899314750386, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07830032686679722, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06447123134839883, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04015133371929336, "bench_c_p1m": -0.026322238200894965, "ret_p3m": 1.0163600119148546, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.0163600119148546, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.9092037650218221, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.6486717796482953, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10715624689303249, "bench_c_p3m": 0.36768823226655933, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3735, -0.3672, -0.3735, -0.3759, -0.3799, -0.3707, -0.3943, -0.4059, -0.3764, -0.3782, -0.3857, -0.3614, -0.3556, -0.3579, -0.3579, -0.3238, -0.306, -0.3037, -0.3037, -0.3037, -0.2538, -0.198, -0.1934, -0.1812, -0.194, -0.1928, -0.194, -0.2009, -0.1852, -0.1643, -0.1353, -0.133, -0.1568, -0.1318, -0.1156, -0.1167, -0.1167, -0.0738, -0.0569, -0.0668, -0.0679, -0.1266, -0.0273, -0.018, -0.0749, -0.079, -0.0337, -0.0372, -0.0256, 0.0372, 0.0523, 0.0523, 0.0523, 0.0523, 0.1034, 0.1039, 0.1208, 0.1614, 0.1818, 0.266, 0.2573, 0.2573, 0.133, 0.0, 0.1127, 0.0929, 0.0075, 0.0912, 0.1034, 0.0912, 0.0656, 0.0958, 0.126, 0.2108, 0.1643, 0.158, 0.0819, 0.1016, 0.0976, 0.0459, 0.0459, 0.0259, -0.027, 0.1036, 0.0381, 0.0835, 0.1237, 0.1435, 0.2249, 0.1871, 0.1988, 0.1697, 0.2017, 0.2279, 0.2657, 0.257, 0.2482, 0.2744, 0.2657, 0.3064, 0.2773, 0.3064, 0.2919, 0.3151, 0.2831, 0.2831, 0.353, 0.353, 0.5479, 0.5799, 0.5625, 0.6614, 0.6236, 0.6527, 0.7225, 0.5741, 0.6352, 0.6032, 0.6061, 0.7429, 0.7021, 0.7021, 0.7399, 0.7865, 0.7429, 0.8447, 1.0164, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
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{"unit_id": "orig:2029632678350426448", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-03-05T18:58:33+00:00", "symbol": "MU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Sensational / false headline reporting triggered a massive selloff of the entire supply chain from $TSM, $NVDA, to $MU today.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Selloff in NVDA/AMD/TSM/MU supply chain overdone — proposal has near-zero chance of passing as-is; sensational headlines caused false panic.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "“US Mulls Requiring Permits for Global $NVDA, $AMD AI Chip Sales”\n\nMarkets are reacting violently to news of the Trump administration was thinking about giving Nvidia the $AXTI export control treatment. \n\nKeyword: Proposal | Draft.\n\nThere is an almost zero chance it passes as is.\n\nTech companies are likely lobbying the administration as this gets reported.\n\nIn the article: \n\nThe Trump administration will propose regulations that would require American approval for AI chip shipments worldwide.\n\nThe result of this bill would bottleneck the AI trade for no reason and harm Trump’s favorite metric: the US stock market. \n\nTrump was known for rescinding the Biden-era AI Diffusion Rule:\n\n“Major U.S. tech firms, including Nvidia, Microsoft, and Oracle, lobbied against the rule, arguing it could cost them billions in revenue and push partners towards Chinese technology.”\n\nSo a new policy getting enacted, would be counterintuitive to his agenda. \n\nUnfortunately other articles + news on elsewhere reworded this as an imminent export control, rather than a proposal.\n\nSensational / false headline reporting triggered a massive selloff of the entire supply chain from $TSM, $NVDA, to $MU today.\n\nHowever, people do have a right to be worried about the implications.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.009369037662308788, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.009369037662308788, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.003762229795997607, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00011622841106051496, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005606807866311181, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009485266073369303, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06737187363298514, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06737187363298514, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05426473856214864, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.029961962626054772, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013107135070836495, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03740991100693036, "ret_p1w": 0.02090415346444474, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02090415346444474, "alpha_spy_p1w": 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{"unit_id": "reply:2013851945266749642", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-21T05:51:33+00:00", "symbol": "VLN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "still deeply misvalued, with low downside risk due to cash balance", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish VLN; views it as deeply misvalued with low downside protected by cash balance.", "resolved_tickers": ["VLN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Great post on $VLN! I’d recommend everyone do their own research on companies like this.\n\nIt’s no longer close to 1:1 on assets/MC but personal my feeling was that it’s still deeply misvalued, with low downside risk due to cash balance. \n\nWe’ll see how things get priced in after their next earnings.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Today I entered $VLN, I honestly can’t write something better than the post I attached, and quite frankly it was Serenitys post who introduced me to the name so ill share the original as it is the best representation of the thesis\n\nWhat I like- because of their design wins from", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "accounting_ds", "ret_m1d": -0.010204071702683226, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010204071702683226, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0012053306828314625, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.018507341323546256, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011409402385514689, "bench_c_m1d": -0.028711413026229482, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07142850191878303, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07142850191878303, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06620527189905534, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06921414950752758, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005223230019727687, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002214352411255449, "ret_p1w": -0.09693880281762102, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09693880281762102, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11155795349425679, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.133512366559825, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014619150676635773, "bench_c_p1w": 0.036573563742203996, "ret_p1m": -0.23979592829731677, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.23979592829731677, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.23845357738037398, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2603716994065932, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0013423509169427916, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02057577110927644, "ret_p3m": -0.25, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.25, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.28684781394496595, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.404330355807345, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.036847813944965946, "bench_c_p3m": 0.154330355807345, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0918, -0.1071, -0.102, -0.1276, -0.1327, -0.0663, -0.1224, -0.1888, -0.1531, -0.2041, -0.1939, -0.1837, -0.0816, -0.1327, -0.1224, -0.1122, -0.2041, -0.2245, -0.2602, -0.2755, -0.2347, -0.2194, -0.2143, -0.199, -0.199, -0.1837, -0.199, -0.1939, -0.148, -0.1429, -0.1429, -0.1327, -0.1327, -0.1429, -0.1684, -0.1888, -0.2143, -0.2194, -0.2449, -0.2449, -0.2398, -0.2551, -0.2857, -0.2959, -0.2959, -0.2653, -0.2806, -0.2959, -0.2755, -0.2755, -0.2041, -0.199, -0.1888, -0.2092, -0.2041, 0.2653, 0.1786, 0.1939, 0.0663, 0.0663, 0.0153, 0.0153, -0.0102, 0.0, 0.0714, 0.0, -0.0612, -0.0612, -0.0969, -0.102, -0.1327, -0.148, -0.1837, -0.2143, -0.2704, -0.2143, -0.2245, -0.2092, -0.2143, -0.2347, -0.2245, -0.2245, -0.2551, -0.2398, -0.2398, -0.2296, -0.2449, -0.2194, -0.2143, -0.1837, -0.2449, -0.2449, -0.2653, -0.2653, -0.2857, -0.3112, -0.3112, -0.2959, -0.2704, -0.3112, -0.3214, -0.3214, -0.3163, -0.3622, -0.3469, -0.3776, -0.3571, -0.3622, -0.3571, -0.3776, -0.398, -0.4337, -0.4235, -0.4031, -0.3929, -0.3929, -0.3929, -0.398, -0.3316, -0.3163, -0.3214, -0.3112, -0.2959, -0.25, -0.2092, -0.2245, -0.25, -0.2347, -0.1786, -0.1582, -0.0867, -0.1786, -0.2296, -0.2296, 0.1071, 0.1939, 0.148, 0.2347, 0.2755, 0.2296, 0.4235, 0.4541, 0.3776, 0.5051, 0.7194, 0.5561, 0.4388, 0.3571, 0.4796, 0.5612, 0.6429, 0.6429, 0.6633, 0.6071, 0.7857, 0.801, 0.801, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2021072807409713380", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-10T04:04:41+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin at these levels feels like free real estate and I expect the asset + crypto companies that applied for bank charters in specific to recover", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish BTC at current levels; sees regulatory headwinds as priced in and expects recovery.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I feel like Bernstein and institutions missed a lot on why Bitcoin crashed.\n\nSame with WSJ + media, which is why nobody in retail knows. \n\nTwo things:\n\n1. “Clarity Act” + part of the Genius Act is a tactical nuke on crypto by banks + Gov to strengthen the dollar. \n\n“Safety” purposes is just BS. \n\n-> For example (Stablecoin reserves must be kept 1:1 with USD/treasuries)\n\nTether has 100k+ Bitcoin (as per CEO last year conference) and were a net buyer in 2025.\n\nWith the act the main buyers like Tether would probably be a forced sellers 2026-2027 with their $180b-ish stablecoin MC since they have a lot of illiquid assets like farms in South America while their 100k+ Bitcoin is liquid. \n\n-> Stablecoin yield\n\nThis is extremely destructive if exchanges and fintechs were not able to give yield off stablecoin and other deposits. An enormous of liquidity would flow out of crypto. \n\nThere’s also different clauses around exchange rules regarding USD collateral + banks in flow of funds + national cftc licenses that would likely blow up a lot of exchanges/dexs/fintechs tops and harm altcoins.\n\nThere’s just way too many poison pill clauses that just kills off any non-bank fintech/crypto company. Eg. Making banks an effective monopoly. But can explain in another post. \n\n2. Silver liquidity nuke. This was CME + exchange margin hikes to unreasonable levels to force liquidation cascades, with a “hawkish” fed chair as a narrative excuse. \n\nOther VCs were claiming some Asian firm blew up and were forced to liquidate a bitcoin from the silver trade but it’s all multifaceted, likely stemming from above two.\n\nAlmost zero mainstream media reporting over changes to percentages and 6+ hikes. Just blaming the fed chair. \n\nThis also trickled into anything high beta in the stock market but looks like an isolated crash.\n\nBut basically, nobody can report that the Clarity Act is a poison pill nuking crypto because of bank lobbying and that the CME margin hikes (to force Silver liquidations).\n\nBessent and the Us gov would just go after them if they did lol. So nobody in retail knows and are being gaslit that “Clarity Act” is a good thing for crypto. \n\nWhen in reality US gov is just doing everything to strengthen the dollar + bank monopoly from their lobbying while blowing up crypto in the process.\n(Which makes sense if I’m the government, I’m just citing the honest repercussions) \n\nThat being said Bitcoin at these levels feels like free real estate and I expect the asset + crypto companies that applied for bank charters in specific to recover.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Bernstein: \"Weakest Bitcoin bear case in history: What we are experiencing is the weakest Bitcoin bear case in its history. When all stars are aligned, Bitcoin community manufactures a self-imposed crisis of confidence. Nothing blew up, no skeletons will unravel. Media is back", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01928687190588474, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01928687190588474, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.016642738469728968, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002644133436155771, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.02619404614799148, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02619404614799148, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02596298733357516, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00023105881441631837, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.01889325995752489, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01889325995752489, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.005499630265839439, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01339362969168545, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": 0.02050938564624638, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.02050938564624638, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04332328231741667, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.022813896671170286, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": 0.16560762794063377, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.16560762794063377, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09695698577309875, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06865064216753503, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.4492, 0.3722, 0.3387, 0.3511, 0.3296, 0.2593, 0.2369, 0.2831, 0.2696, 0.3158, 0.3269, 0.3216, 0.2548, 0.3279, 0.3595, 0.3394, 0.2994, 0.3176, 0.3474, 0.3376, 0.3448, 0.3122, 0.2562, 0.2769, 0.2522, 0.2423, 0.2807, 0.2863, 0.2707, 0.2735, 0.2681, 0.269, 0.2667, 0.2854, 0.272, 0.2898, 0.3075, 0.3647, 0.3625, 0.3273, 0.3232, 0.3157, 0.3256, 0.3856, 0.409, 0.3889, 0.3886, 0.3454, 0.2837, 0.2992, 0.3004, 0.301, 0.2831, 0.2952, 0.2964, 0.2292, 0.2229, 0.1438, 0.0994, 0.0614, -0.0886, 0.0256, 0.0193, 0.0, -0.0262, -0.0374, 0.0009, 0.0007, -0.0189, -0.0344, -0.0267, -0.0115, -0.0607, -0.0685, -0.0121, -0.0195, -0.0423, -0.0003, -0.0073, 0.0569, 0.0298, -0.0096, -0.0057, 0.0165, 0.0205, 0.0247, 0.0316, 0.0882, 0.0745, 0.0356, 0.0163, 0.0251, 0.0308, 0.0251, 0.0366, -0.0, -0.0357, -0.0306, -0.0081, -0.0104, -0.0277, -0.0271, 0.001, 0.0457, 0.0339, 0.0432, 0.0608, 0.0827, 0.0783, 0.0874, 0.0924, 0.1211, 0.1029, 0.1099, 0.1368, 0.1377, 0.1259, 0.1246, 0.1098, 0.1015, 0.1092, 0.1364, 0.1604, 0.1764, 0.1836, 0.163, 0.1656, 0.188, 0.1698, 0.1524, 0.1782, 0.1493, 0.1186, 0.1157, 0.1259, 0.1271, 0.0973, 0.1234, 0.1022, 0.0807, 0.0689, 0.0666, 0.0707, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2028767576357228608", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-03T09:40:57+00:00", "symbol": "LASR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LASR for laser beams that go pew pew to hypersonic missiles and rockets That I would buy and hold like a meme stock just based on raw, unadulterated badass tech", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Buy-and-hold conviction on LASR as pure-play directed-energy/Golden Dome play; also long RKLB on reusable rockets and space TAM.", "resolved_tickers": ["LASR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Looking back, should have had more Energy Directed Weapon exposure. \n\nEspecially with America’s Golden Dome laser defense giving $LASR practically exponential TAM.\n\nThere’s only two companies I’ve seen:\n\n$RKLB back in the 10’s for reusable rockets and infinite space TAM\n\nAnd\n\n$LASR for laser beams that go pew pew to hypersonic missiles and rockets\n\nThat I would buy and hold like a meme stock just based on raw, unadulterated badass tech. \n\nIt definitely helps that I’ve seen videos of Nlight laser beams shoot down rockets from the Iron Beam yesterday.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$LASR is the only US publicly traded, pure-play Energy Directed Weapons stock. \n\n$LASR is the laser engine for Rafael's Iron Beam. \n\nAnd markets may have missed the the two-hop relation to NLight.\n\nThe Iron Beam was live for the first time today and wildly successful. \n\nAn https://t.co/gDJN9tEzJS", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.07325198618894513, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07325198618894513, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06435926424490135, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06435926424490135, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00889272194404378, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00889272194404378, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06262877703115555, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06262877703115555, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05557346867807089, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05557346867807089, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007055308353084655, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007055308353084655, "ret_p1w": 0.011415906519533614, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.011415906519533614, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.016046098809701204, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.016046098809701204, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00463019229016759, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00463019229016759, "ret_p1m": -0.07563025972481685, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07563025972481685, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04138132018458496, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04138132018458496, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03424893954023189, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03424893954023189, "ret_p3m": 0.17520220556881694, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.17520220556881694, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06023462995891027, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06023462995891027, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11496757560990667, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11496757560990667, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4238, -0.4222, -0.4141, -0.3991, -0.4007, -0.3938, -0.4273, -0.4213, -0.4382, -0.4505, -0.43, -0.4021, -0.3937, -0.3745, -0.3766, -0.3766, -0.3785, -0.3815, -0.3888, -0.4053, -0.4053, -0.3916, -0.3961, -0.4023, -0.4046, -0.3653, -0.3655, -0.3409, -0.3227, -0.3155, -0.3051, -0.3033, -0.3033, -0.2825, -0.2716, -0.2389, -0.3035, -0.309, -0.2877, -0.271, -0.2531, -0.2768, -0.2377, -0.2075, -0.3046, -0.2692, -0.1895, -0.1345, -0.1609, -0.1305, -0.1687, -0.1711, -0.1711, -0.1931, -0.1383, -0.1172, -0.1119, -0.1327, -0.0861, -0.0392, -0.0019, -0.1091, 0.0733, 0.0, 0.0626, -0.0081, -0.0702, -0.0328, 0.0114, 0.0542, -0.0048, -0.0075, 0.0861, 0.128, 0.0867, 0.1238, 0.0427, 0.1091, 0.1346, 0.1376, 0.0125, 0.0198, -0.1438, -0.0959, -0.0756, -0.0468, -0.0468, -0.0772, -0.0848, -0.0436, -0.0055, 0.0365, 0.1077, 0.0603, 0.0531, 0.1016, 0.1167, 0.1311, 0.1451, 0.1413, 0.1765, 0.2017, 0.1105, 0.043, 0.0301, 0.1075, 0.1254, 0.1005, 0.0615, 0.1303, 0.0495, 0.1719, 0.3469, 0.3288, 0.2751, 0.2895, 0.1988, 0.123, 0.1018, 0.1305, 0.2118, 0.2454, 0.2454, 0.2933, 0.2905, 0.255, 0.1752, 0.1752, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2028767576357228608", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-03T09:40:57+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$RKLB back in the 10's for reusable rockets and infinite space TAM And $LASR for laser beams... That I would buy and hold like a meme stock", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Buy-and-hold conviction on LASR as pure-play directed-energy/Golden Dome play; also long RKLB on reusable rockets and space TAM.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Looking back, should have had more Energy Directed Weapon exposure. \n\nEspecially with America’s Golden Dome laser defense giving $LASR practically exponential TAM.\n\nThere’s only two companies I’ve seen:\n\n$RKLB back in the 10’s for reusable rockets and infinite space TAM\n\nAnd\n\n$LASR for laser beams that go pew pew to hypersonic missiles and rockets\n\nThat I would buy and hold like a meme stock just based on raw, unadulterated badass tech. \n\nIt definitely helps that I’ve seen videos of Nlight laser beams shoot down rockets from the Iron Beam yesterday.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$LASR is the only US publicly traded, pure-play Energy Directed Weapons stock. \n\n$LASR is the laser engine for Rafael's Iron Beam. \n\nAnd markets may have missed the the two-hop relation to NLight.\n\nThe Iron Beam was live for the first time today and wildly successful. \n\nAn https://t.co/gDJN9tEzJS", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.011977812636292606, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011977812636292606, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0030850906922488264, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.007744013491474799, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00889272194404378, "bench_c_m1d": 0.019721826127767406, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02538152685589412, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02538152685589412, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.018326218502809466, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.022360529542145624, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007055308353084655, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003020997313748497, "ret_p1w": -0.01711103657834101, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01711103657834101, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01248084428817342, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.013782644673081212, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00463019229016759, "bench_c_p1w": -0.030893681251422223, "ret_p1m": -0.06573507473118978, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06573507473118978, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03148613519095789, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.005612108444480124, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03424893954023189, "bench_c_p1m": -0.060122966286709656, "ret_p3m": 1.0459147489920397, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.0459147489920397, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.9309471733821331, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.0563086997059212, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11496757560990667, "bench_c_p3m": -0.010393950713881495, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.296, -0.3005, -0.2648, -0.2381, -0.1798, -0.0941, -0.1232, -0.2099, -0.2088, -0.2306, -0.1456, 0.0056, 0.1058, 0.1005, 0.1005, 0.1005, 0.0074, -0.0001, 0.0046, -0.0053, -0.0053, 0.0836, 0.1142, 0.2267, 0.1989, 0.1847, 0.2099, 0.2534, 0.2346, 0.309, 0.2942, 0.3732, 0.3732, 0.2714, 0.2522, 0.2545, 0.2676, 0.1476, 0.2406, 0.2629, 0.2217, 0.1417, 0.0573, 0.1588, 0.0425, -0.0543, 0.0312, 0.0814, 0.0271, -0.0073, -0.0587, -0.0384, -0.0384, -0.0034, 0.0612, 0.092, 0.0104, 0.0011, -0.0023, 0.001, 0.0359, -0.0147, 0.012, 0.0, 0.0254, -0.0019, -0.0003, 0.0193, -0.0171, 0.0261, -0.0251, -0.0245, 0.0168, 0.1206, -0.0093, 0.0257, -0.0414, -0.0304, -0.0579, 0.0392, -0.0597, -0.1312, -0.1818, -0.0843, -0.0657, -0.0342, -0.0342, -0.0351, -0.0543, -0.015, -0.0483, -0.0297, 0.007, 0.0298, 0.0495, 0.1825, 0.2092, 0.2756, 0.2354, 0.2839, 0.2063, 0.1362, 0.1734, 0.1206, 0.0982, 0.1765, 0.1238, 0.1452, 0.1231, 0.207, 0.1205, 0.5039, 0.6733, 0.6763, 0.7703, 0.8901, 0.7791, 0.8702, 0.8153, 0.9147, 0.7888, 0.9358, 0.9358, 1.0419, 1.1422, 1.1108, 1.0459, 1.0459, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2032334155053470177", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-13T05:53:16+00:00", "symbol": "PAYP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$PAYP is not a terrible long at $11.8B", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "PAYP acceptable but not screaming buy at $11.8B; RDDT flagged as a better mispriced opportunity right now.", "resolved_tickers": ["PAYP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "PayPay ( $PAYP ) is the newest IPO. \n\nIf you're wondering if you should fomo in the $PYPL / WeChat of Japan at an $11.8B MC?\n\n Let's find out. \n\nIf you've ever been to Japan: PayPay is everywhere. \n\nIt's the Japanese SuperApp for payments, investing, and banking. \n\nHere's a breakdown:\n\nFY 2025 metrics:\nRevenue: ¥299.1 billion (~$1.9 billion)\nGrowth Rate: ~26.3%\nNet Income (GAAP): ¥39.2 billion (~$248 million)\nP/E: ~44x\nStock Base Compensation: Virtually 0, unlike $SNAP and $DUOL in the US.\n\nIf we look at balance sheet:\n\nConsolidated accounting makes things a nightmare when you see $PAYP  ¥4.85 Trillion (~$32.3 Billion) in liabilities or customer deposits mixed into assets. \n\nBut pre-IPO net debt is approximately -$480M, and post-IPO proceeds of ~$496M.\n\nSo balance sheet looks roughly net cash slightly positive but neutral. Also PSA: Softbank is the majority owner, lockup expires September 2026. \n\nAt $11B, it's roughly ~5.8x P/S and very profitable for a  Japanese superapp growing at 26% with expanding margins and zero SBC.\n\nBy US standards, this is normally valued, not exactly a screaming buy. \n\nTLDR: In general, $PAYP is not a terrible long at $11.8B. \n\nMight get some IPO hype + mixed with low float dynamics, but would not chase if it ends up a lot higher.\n\nMaybe there's some TAM expansion like $HOOD that prices it up over time. But Softbank ATM-like overhang in a few months. \n\nBut there's a lot better mispriced choices out there like $RDDT right now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.14096497768564442, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.14096497768564442, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.14665730639043562, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.14665730639043562, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005692328704791194, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005692328704791194, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0846735600690327, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0846735600690327, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.09485042618051587, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.09485042618051587, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010176866111483163, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010176866111483163, "ret_p1w": -0.0586565660794367, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0586565660794367, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0406150102963897, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0406150102963897, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.018041555783047003, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018041555783047003, "ret_p1m": -0.03027433340238528, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03027433340238528, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06905450669964452, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06905450669964452, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.038780173297259246, "bench_c_p1m": 0.038780173297259246, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, -0.141, 0.0, -0.0847, -0.0639, -0.1268, -0.0326, -0.0587, 0.1405, 0.0648, 0.1618, 0.0743, 0.0899, -0.0227, 0.0095, -0.0005, -0.0057, -0.0057, -0.1088, -0.0492, -0.0369, 0.0009, -0.0492, -0.0303, 0.0497, 0.0199, -0.0137, 0.0218, -0.0109, -0.0747, -0.0345, -0.043, -0.053, -0.043, -0.0412, -0.0464, 0.0473, 0.0345, 0.0019, 0.0071, 0.0104, -0.0885, -0.0724, -0.0913, -0.0378, -0.0686, -0.0643, -0.0875, -0.087, -0.0951, -0.0653, -0.0818, -0.096, -0.096, -0.0724, -0.0861, -0.0667, -0.0766, -0.0766, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2032334155053470177", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-13T05:53:16+00:00", "symbol": "RDDT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "there's a lot better mispriced choices out there like $RDDT right now", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "PAYP acceptable but not screaming buy at $11.8B; RDDT flagged as a better mispriced opportunity right now.", "resolved_tickers": ["RDDT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "PayPay ( $PAYP ) is the newest IPO. \n\nIf you're wondering if you should fomo in the $PYPL / WeChat of Japan at an $11.8B MC?\n\n Let's find out. \n\nIf you've ever been to Japan: PayPay is everywhere. \n\nIt's the Japanese SuperApp for payments, investing, and banking. \n\nHere's a breakdown:\n\nFY 2025 metrics:\nRevenue: ¥299.1 billion (~$1.9 billion)\nGrowth Rate: ~26.3%\nNet Income (GAAP): ¥39.2 billion (~$248 million)\nP/E: ~44x\nStock Base Compensation: Virtually 0, unlike $SNAP and $DUOL in the US.\n\nIf we look at balance sheet:\n\nConsolidated accounting makes things a nightmare when you see $PAYP  ¥4.85 Trillion (~$32.3 Billion) in liabilities or customer deposits mixed into assets. \n\nBut pre-IPO net debt is approximately -$480M, and post-IPO proceeds of ~$496M.\n\nSo balance sheet looks roughly net cash slightly positive but neutral. Also PSA: Softbank is the majority owner, lockup expires September 2026. \n\nAt $11B, it's roughly ~5.8x P/S and very profitable for a  Japanese superapp growing at 26% with expanding margins and zero SBC.\n\nBy US standards, this is normally valued, not exactly a screaming buy. \n\nTLDR: In general, $PAYP is not a terrible long at $11.8B. \n\nMight get some IPO hype + mixed with low float dynamics, but would not chase if it ends up a lot higher.\n\nMaybe there's some TAM expansion like $HOOD that prices it up over time. But Softbank ATM-like overhang in a few months. \n\nBut there's a lot better mispriced choices out there like $RDDT right now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0008310713950160364, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0008310713950160364, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.006523400099807231, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.007995761976574589, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005692328704791194, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007164690581558553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05772136109412296, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05772136109412296, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.047544494982639796, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05003237755906165, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010176866111483163, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007688983535061311, "ret_p1w": 0.056588134320228134, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.056588134320228134, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07462969010327514, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07598523487319675, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.018041555783047003, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019397100552968616, "ret_p1m": 0.1283620838230437, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1283620838230437, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08958191052578446, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12192779217492355, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.038780173297259246, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0064342916481201495, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.6924, 0.7176, 0.7478, 0.7618, 0.7615, 0.7061, 0.7063, 0.7063, 0.7057, 0.7728, 0.7631, 0.7367, 0.7367, 0.8275, 0.8438, 0.9176, 0.9303, 0.9186, 0.8477, 0.8436, 0.9563, 0.9068, 0.7282, 0.7453, 0.7453, 0.7026, 0.5876, 0.6209, 0.6537, 0.614, 0.4831, 0.4592, 0.4359, 0.362, 0.3384, 0.2497, 0.1536, 0.1412, 0.0564, 0.0709, 0.1331, 0.0524, -0.0097, 0.0551, 0.0551, 0.0519, 0.1141, 0.104, 0.1346, 0.0763, 0.0734, 0.1308, 0.1427, 0.1016, 0.1114, 0.1007, 0.1128, 0.0905, 0.0531, 0.0491, 0.0134, 0.036, -0.0008, 0.0, 0.0577, 0.0904, 0.0788, 0.0435, 0.0566, 0.065, 0.0284, 0.0549, -0.0385, -0.0795, -0.0622, 0.0173, 0.0289, 0.0275, 0.0275, 0.0452, 0.0663, 0.0955, 0.0455, 0.0557, 0.1284, 0.1676, 0.1973, 0.2273, 0.2375, 0.2563, 0.1848, 0.2414, 0.1556, 0.1702, 0.2104, 0.1176, 0.1163, 0.1123, 0.2578, 0.2773, 0.2967, 0.2584, 0.2387, 0.1771, 0.2051, 0.151, 0.1644, 0.1809, 0.195, 0.2021, 0.1701, 0.1085, 0.1336, 0.0703, 0.0703, 0.0928, 0.1649, 0.2669, 0.3297, 0.3297, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2029662482911093161", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-05T20:56:59+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I see $AAOI risk-return extremely promising over the next year compared to other companies", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long AAOI over next year; risk-return extremely promising vs peers despite high beta volatility.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Ren_aramb Nice! I see $AAOI risk-return extremely promising over the next year compared to other companies.\n\nIt’s just very high beta so need to stomach the volatility and develop your own conviction.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I doubled down on my position today on the unfortunate news. The risk, reward seems to be in the right place and the volume as well. Lfg!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Ren_aramb", "ret_m1d": -0.014138820583403544, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014138820583403544, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.019745628449714725, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019745628449714725, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005606807866311181, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005606807866311181, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05497328052349992, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05497328052349992, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04186614545266343, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04186614545266343, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013107135070836495, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013107135070836495, "ret_p1w": 0.049930819480256794, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.049930819480256794, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07231421407292471, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07231421407292471, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.022383394592667916, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022383394592667916, "ret_p1m": 0.027387821724116357, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.027387821724116357, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06215746839083869, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06215746839083869, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03476964666672233, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03476964666672233, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7247, -0.6996, -0.6541, -0.6409, -0.683, -0.7044, -0.7137, -0.7317, -0.7108, -0.6903, -0.6135, -0.5982, -0.5946, -0.5946, -0.6325, -0.6366, -0.6439, -0.6553, -0.6553, -0.6085, -0.654, -0.6183, -0.6237, -0.6736, -0.6634, -0.6666, -0.6621, -0.6592, -0.6342, -0.6338, -0.6338, -0.6118, -0.6205, -0.6228, -0.6468, -0.655, -0.6303, -0.5528, -0.6088, -0.5688, -0.5634, -0.544, -0.6055, -0.623, -0.562, -0.5263, -0.5206, -0.5215, -0.5651, -0.5604, -0.5604, -0.5658, -0.5705, -0.5355, -0.489, -0.4665, -0.4436, -0.4254, -0.4692, -0.1672, 0.0135, -0.0573, -0.0141, 0.0, -0.055, 0.0937, 0.1913, 0.2558, 0.0499, -0.0428, -0.0699, -0.1464, -0.0841, 0.0077, -0.1345, -0.0532, 0.1262, 0.1312, -0.0368, -0.029, -0.1577, -0.1636, -0.1462, 0.0274, 0.0274, 0.0624, 0.1631, 0.312, 0.318, 0.489, 0.5146, 0.4474, 0.4094, 0.5555, 0.5762, 0.6163, 0.4887, 0.4774, 0.3618, 0.6034, 0.4414, 0.3571, 0.5111, 0.6251, 0.8144, 0.7103, 0.7853, 0.7653, 0.5577, 0.4726, 0.8282, 0.8616, 1.2059, 1.0128, 0.8821, 0.7131, 0.694, 0.634, 0.7482, 0.7944, 0.7944, 0.7562, 0.778, 0.6711, 0.5662, 0.5662, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2021359576575246505", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-10T23:04:12+00:00", "symbol": "RDDT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Reddit is growing rapidly 50%+ Y/Y (grew 70% Y/Y this quarter) and net income is 1/3rd their revenue. Gross margins are 91%, which is absurdly high.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long RDDT on 70% Y/Y growth, 91% gross margins, and $2.5B cash; implies pivoting away from HOOD and HIMS due to revenue deceleration and structural headwinds.", "resolved_tickers": ["RDDT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Day 1 of holding $RDDT: +5.83%.\n\nReddit is growing rapidly 50%+ Y/Y (grew 70% Y/Y this quarter) and net income is 1/3rd their revenue.\n\nGross margins are 91%, which is absurdly high.\n\nSurprised more $HOOD or $HIMS holders after earnings are not pivoting after seeing revenue deceleration or disruption.\n\nYou have actual structural headwinds for revenue for other companies while Reddit is just noise from AI disruption.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I'm long $RDDT at $139.\n\nReddit presents an incredible opportunity after the -44.9% drop last month.\n\nBlowout Q4 earnings, but likely short-term option chain + liquidity influencing price. \n\nResults TLDR: \n\nQ4 Revenue: $726M (70% Y/Y growth)\nNet Income: $252M\nCash: ~$2.5 Billion, https://t.co/ie2VU0nRb5", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.054940595206737886, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.054940595206737886, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05758472864289366, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04898717197698932, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002644133436155771, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005953423229748567, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07127618846466854, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07127618846466854, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07104512965025223, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06413213266409235, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00023105881441631837, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007144055800576199, "ret_p1w": -0.07167622553829756, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07167622553829756, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.058282595846612106, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.044630815641342525, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01339362969168545, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02704540989695503, "ret_p1m": -0.08574477248094914, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08574477248094914, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06293087580977885, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08081195654866968, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.022813896671170286, "bench_c_p1m": -0.004932815932279455, "ret_p3m": 0.03880522396327879, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.03880522396327879, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.029845418204256235, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04107452759261532, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06865064216753503, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0022693036293365276, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.263, 0.2889, 0.2505, 0.2381, 0.252, 0.2127, 0.2234, 0.3002, 0.4567, 0.3839, 0.3839, 0.4433, 0.4895, 0.4853, 0.4725, 0.4852, 0.5609, 0.5799, 0.5743, 0.5876, 0.5571, 0.4987, 0.4569, 0.4935, 0.5158, 0.5425, 0.5548, 0.5545, 0.5057, 0.5059, 0.5059, 0.5053, 0.5645, 0.5559, 0.5327, 0.5327, 0.6128, 0.6272, 0.6923, 0.7036, 0.6932, 0.6306, 0.627, 0.7264, 0.6828, 0.5252, 0.5403, 0.5403, 0.5026, 0.4011, 0.4305, 0.4594, 0.4244, 0.3088, 0.2878, 0.2672, 0.202, 0.1812, 0.1029, 0.0181, 0.0071, -0.0677, -0.0549, 0.0, -0.0713, -0.1261, -0.0689, -0.0689, -0.0717, -0.0168, -0.0257, 0.0013, -0.0501, -0.0527, -0.0021, 0.0085, -0.0278, -0.0191, -0.0286, -0.0179, -0.0376, -0.0706, -0.0741, -0.1057, -0.0857, -0.1182, -0.1175, -0.0665, -0.0377, -0.0479, -0.0791, -0.0675, -0.0601, -0.0924, -0.069, -0.1515, -0.1876, -0.1724, -0.1022, -0.092, -0.0932, -0.0932, -0.0776, -0.0589, -0.0332, -0.0773, -0.0683, -0.0042, 0.0304, 0.0567, 0.0831, 0.0921, 0.1087, 0.0456, 0.0955, 0.0199, 0.0327, 0.0682, -0.0137, -0.0149, -0.0183, 0.11, 0.1273, 0.1444, 0.1105, 0.0931, 0.0388, 0.0635, 0.0158, 0.0276, 0.0422, 0.0546, 0.0609, 0.0327, -0.0217, 0.0004, -0.0554, -0.0554, -0.0356, 0.0281, 0.1181, 0.1735, 0.1735, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2021359576575246505", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-10T23:04:12+00:00", "symbol": "HOOD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Surprised more $HOOD or $HIMS holders after earnings are not pivoting after seeing revenue deceleration or disruption", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long RDDT on 70% Y/Y growth, 91% gross margins, and $2.5B cash; implies pivoting away from HOOD and HIMS due to revenue deceleration and structural headwinds.", "resolved_tickers": ["HOOD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Day 1 of holding $RDDT: +5.83%.\n\nReddit is growing rapidly 50%+ Y/Y (grew 70% Y/Y this quarter) and net income is 1/3rd their revenue.\n\nGross margins are 91%, which is absurdly high.\n\nSurprised more $HOOD or $HIMS holders after earnings are not pivoting after seeing revenue deceleration or disruption.\n\nYou have actual structural headwinds for revenue for other companies while Reddit is just noise from AI disruption.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I'm long $RDDT at $139.\n\nReddit presents an incredible opportunity after the -44.9% drop last month.\n\nBlowout Q4 earnings, but likely short-term option chain + liquidity influencing price. \n\nResults TLDR: \n\nQ4 Revenue: $726M (70% Y/Y growth)\nNet Income: $252M\nCash: ~$2.5 Billion, https://t.co/ie2VU0nRb5", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.011214942775529257, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011214942775529257, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.008570809339373486, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.003932052394654217, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002644133436155771, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00728289038087504, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08913548352135425, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08913548352135425, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08890442470693793, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07400941432813168, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00023105881441631837, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015126069193222569, "ret_p1w": -0.11869154455401598, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11869154455401598, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10529791486233053, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09348142923197833, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01339362969168545, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02521011532203765, "ret_p1m": -0.08072425415759676, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08072425415759676, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05791035748642648, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.007708324996384741, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.022813896671170286, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07301592916121202, "ret_p3m": -0.10011682064942018, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10011682064942018, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1687674628169552, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06189820419452585, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06865064216753503, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03821861645489433, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.4197, 0.4311, 0.3548, 0.3353, 0.3804, 0.2408, 0.2535, 0.3431, 0.3501, 0.4977, 0.4977, 0.5011, 0.4397, 0.4714, 0.5612, 0.6014, 0.5415, 0.5938, 0.5854, 0.5848, 0.4414, 0.396, 0.3465, 0.3949, 0.3528, 0.3687, 0.4176, 0.4296, 0.4047, 0.407, 0.407, 0.38, 0.3718, 0.3487, 0.3213, 0.3213, 0.3459, 0.4397, 0.4217, 0.3665, 0.348, 0.3466, 0.3729, 0.4047, 0.398, 0.2891, 0.2703, 0.2703, 0.2357, 0.2374, 0.2412, 0.2499, 0.25, 0.2294, 0.2079, 0.1827, 0.1621, 0.0504, 0.0172, -0.0582, -0.1509, -0.0325, 0.0112, 0.0, -0.0891, -0.1692, -0.1125, -0.1125, -0.1187, -0.1214, -0.1162, -0.1109, -0.1614, -0.1426, -0.0943, -0.0718, -0.1139, -0.0797, -0.1113, -0.0396, -0.0589, -0.0994, -0.073, -0.0826, -0.0807, -0.1107, -0.1426, -0.1202, -0.0964, -0.125, -0.1336, -0.1718, -0.1532, -0.193, -0.1526, -0.1782, -0.2287, -0.2388, -0.1904, -0.181, -0.1951, -0.1951, -0.1848, -0.1863, -0.1609, -0.1808, -0.1917, -0.1627, -0.0761, 0.0201, 0.0146, 0.0602, 0.0663, 0.0097, 0.0331, -0.0241, -0.0104, -0.0193, -0.0412, -0.1682, -0.1485, -0.1395, -0.1057, -0.1001, -0.0765, -0.1089, -0.1001, -0.0563, -0.0856, -0.1034, -0.0572, -0.0988, -0.0987, -0.1336, -0.115, -0.1131, -0.1397, -0.1397, -0.1345, -0.1095, -0.0089, 0.1016, 0.1016, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2021359576575246505", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-10T23:04:12+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Surprised more $HOOD or $HIMS holders after earnings are not pivoting after seeing revenue deceleration or disruption", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long RDDT on 70% Y/Y growth, 91% gross margins, and $2.5B cash; implies pivoting away from HOOD and HIMS due to revenue deceleration and structural headwinds.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Day 1 of holding $RDDT: +5.83%.\n\nReddit is growing rapidly 50%+ Y/Y (grew 70% Y/Y this quarter) and net income is 1/3rd their revenue.\n\nGross margins are 91%, which is absurdly high.\n\nSurprised more $HOOD or $HIMS holders after earnings are not pivoting after seeing revenue deceleration or disruption.\n\nYou have actual structural headwinds for revenue for other companies while Reddit is just noise from AI disruption.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I'm long $RDDT at $139.\n\nReddit presents an incredible opportunity after the -44.9% drop last month.\n\nBlowout Q4 earnings, but likely short-term option chain + liquidity influencing price. \n\nResults TLDR: \n\nQ4 Revenue: $726M (70% Y/Y growth)\nNet Income: $252M\nCash: ~$2.5 Billion, https://t.co/ie2VU0nRb5", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.1212297088361467, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1212297088361467, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11858557539999093, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.11858557539999093, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002644133436155771, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002644133436155771, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03190250837369213, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03190250837369213, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03167144955927581, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03167144955927581, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00023105881441631837, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00023105881441631837, "ret_p1w": -0.05626446207844582, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05626446207844582, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04287083238676037, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04287083238676037, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01339362969168545, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01339362969168545, "ret_p1m": 0.5011600640577072, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.5011600640577072, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.5239739607288775, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.5239739607288775, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.022813896671170286, "bench_c_p1m": -0.022813896671170286, "ret_p3m": 0.6397912316172911, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.6397912316172911, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.5711405894497561, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5711405894497561, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06865064216753503, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06865064216753503, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [1.0911, 1.145, 1.0638, 1.1032, 1.0783, 0.9501, 1.0133, 1.1914, 1.1514, 1.2274, 1.2274, 1.3063, 1.1758, 1.1061, 1.1502, 1.3213, 1.2738, 1.2691, 1.3097, 1.1972, 1.1908, 1.1584, 1.1027, 1.1381, 1.0284, 1.0168, 1.0626, 1.0331, 1.0186, 1.011, 1.011, 0.9901, 0.978, 0.9165, 0.8834, 0.8834, 0.9379, 1.0133, 1.0568, 1.0568, 0.9646, 0.8382, 0.8759, 0.8677, 0.8167, 0.8115, 0.8202, 0.8202, 0.7674, 0.6758, 0.7703, 0.7181, 0.7564, 0.7216, 0.663, 0.7326, 0.5713, 0.5336, 0.4814, 0.4153, 0.3619, 0.3353, 0.1212, 0.0, -0.0319, -0.0835, -0.0545, -0.0545, -0.0563, -0.0812, -0.0824, -0.0934, -0.1003, -0.1032, -0.0824, -0.0951, -0.1578, -0.0441, -0.0824, -0.0458, -0.0789, -0.087, 0.2854, 0.3614, 0.5012, 0.3828, 0.4368, 0.4432, 0.449, 0.3428, 0.4014, 0.2773, 0.3028, 0.2378, 0.2088, 0.21, 0.1241, 0.0893, 0.2042, 0.1508, 0.1102, 0.1102, 0.1792, 0.1311, 0.1247, 0.1456, 0.127, 0.2268, 0.239, 0.4089, 0.5655, 0.6717, 0.7987, 0.7262, 0.6827, 0.6328, 0.7726, 0.7048, 0.6189, 0.5273, 0.576, 0.5899, 0.5818, 0.5273, 0.5592, 0.4878, 0.6398, 0.6903, 0.4519, 0.4002, 0.406, 0.453, 0.2929, 0.3016, 0.3364, 0.3927, 0.3776, 0.3776, 0.3834, 0.4617, 0.4722, 0.5168, 0.5168, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2014489208556249563", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-23T00:03:49+00:00", "symbol": "POET", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Celestial은 꽤 오랫동안 $POET 와 함께 빌딩해왔는데, $MRVL(마벨) 하이퍼스케일러 백도어 소식까지 더해진 현시점에서 그것이 가장 큰 리스크 완화 요인이라고 생각합니다", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish POET on Celestial partnership + Marvell hyperscaler news as key de-risking factors, though acknowledges moonshot risk profile.", "resolved_tickers": ["POET"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "ko", "tweet_text": "저도 비슷한 생각입니다! Celestial은 꽤 오랫동안 $POET 와 함께 빌딩해왔는데, $MRVL(마벨) 하이퍼스케일러 백도어 소식까지 더해진 현시점에서 그것이 가장 큰 리스크 완화 요인(de-risking factor)이라고 생각합니다.\n\n다만, 이 종목은 일종의 '문샷(moonshot, 대박 아니면 쪽박)'에 가깝습니다. 자금 조달 이후 재무 상태는 탄탄해졌지만, 시장에는 이보다 더 비대칭적인 수익 기회(asymmetrical plays)를 제공하는 종목들이 분명 있을 겁니다.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "InP 쇼티지 관련\n$ALMU\n$POET 눈에 띄는데,\n\nALMU는 미팅해보니 잘 모르겠고,\n\nPOET은 만나서 대화를 못 해봤기에 섣불리 말은 못 하겠지만 나보다 더 많이 아는 Celestial, Marvell 소속 과학자, 엔지니어들이 검증 했겠지", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PhotonCap", "ret_m1d": 0.004341564467557069, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004341564467557069, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004704213145523273, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0024819277749796864, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00036264867796620415, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006823492242536755, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06512298396557392, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06512298396557392, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07020113102618375, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06194872561046294, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005078147060609828, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0031742583551109815, "ret_p1w": -0.16063671218356923, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.16063671218356923, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1646121728379637, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.16905980485780203, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003975460654394469, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008423092674232802, "ret_p1m": -0.20115772752240657, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.20115772752240657, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19123372746131395, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2331255564158845, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00992400006109262, "bench_c_p1m": 0.031967828893477934, "ret_p3m": 0.8480464167515451, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.8480464167515451, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.8133375462085985, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.6562395959442453, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03470887054294658, "bench_c_p3m": 0.19180682080729983, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0232, -0.0405, -0.0767, -0.068, -0.0449, -0.1389, -0.1259, -0.2301, -0.22, -0.2359, -0.2344, -0.2692, -0.3198, -0.3632, -0.3965, -0.3792, -0.3849, -0.3922, -0.3821, -0.33, -0.3242, -0.2996, -0.2996, -0.2836, -0.3329, -0.3227, -0.1302, -0.0781, -0.1245, -0.0984, -0.0014, 0.0347, 0.0449, -0.0593, -0.1404, -0.1216, -0.136, -0.1129, -0.0188, 0.1013, 0.0347, 0.0159, 0.0159, -0.0145, -0.0535, -0.0564, -0.0839, -0.0839, 0.0362, 0.0753, 0.0637, 0.0781, 0.0535, 0.0695, 0.0434, 0.0333, 0.1708, 0.2026, 0.2012, 0.2012, 0.1925, 0.2113, 0.0043, 0.0, -0.0651, -0.0174, -0.0999, -0.1389, -0.1606, -0.1548, -0.1259, -0.1881, -0.2504, -0.1505, -0.1013, -0.1548, -0.1563, -0.1823, -0.1925, -0.1925, -0.2012, -0.1925, -0.1939, -0.1766, -0.2012, -0.1158, -0.0796, -0.097, -0.1317, 0.0, 0.0188, -0.0101, -0.0391, -0.0912, -0.0318, 0.013, 0.0767, 0.0767, -0.0116, 0.0, -0.0492, -0.1056, -0.0984, -0.1418, -0.123, -0.1693, -0.1172, -0.2055, -0.2489, -0.2648, -0.1404, -0.1896, -0.1158, -0.1158, -0.1201, -0.1375, -0.0999, -0.1201, 0.0188, 0.0564, -0.0289, 0.0087, 0.0622, 0.0507, 0.2431, 0.4834, 0.848, 0.6961, 1.1852, 0.1505, 0.1621, -0.0449, 0.0304, 0.0579, 0.0289, 0.3329, 0.4067, 0.3864, 0.5847, 1.0116, 0.987, 1.0796, 1.9768, 1.3111, 1.0564, 0.8915, 1.1389, 1.1447, 1.1114, 1.1114, 0.932, 0.9219, 0.919, 0.7786, 0.7786, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028524172121719168", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-02T17:33:45+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Cost averaging up on $AXTI since it's the bottleneck of the entire AI industry for many years to come, even at a small $2.4B MC", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Averaging up AXTI as AI bottleneck; long AAOI on revenue/growth vs LITE at 1/10th valuation; new longs IQE, LASR, and SK Hynix on memory cycle.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Both. Cost averaging up on $AXTI since it’s the bottleneck of the entire AI industry for many years to come, even at a small $2.4B MC.\n\n$AAOI probably has a long way to go, it leapfrogged $LITE 2026 revenue + growth midyear 2027 at 1/10th the valuation.\n\nI did enter new longs like $IQE as a $LITE supplier. And then been adding new positions like $LASR for energy directed weapons.\n\nDefinitely long memory since SK Hynix might print more operating income than their entire marketcap by next year…\n\nThen I did rotate out of a few like some advanced packing names into extreme existing bottlenecks from ai capex", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Are you still an owner, a buyer at these levels?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Whatathingtodo1", "ret_m1d": -0.18177889085535037, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.18177889085535037, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.181210635171144, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.18172962898737033, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -4.926186798004384e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09844562615142993, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09844562615142993, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08963128766863426, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0607232005571261, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03772242559430383, "ret_p1w": -0.16753018939247322, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.16753018939247322, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.15571460846895835, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.13795264295189846, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.029577546440574753, "ret_p1m": 0.2301381674793761, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2301381674793761, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.28005790905455985, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.286709490403837, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.056571322924460876, "ret_p3m": 1.4978410559266577, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.4978410559266577, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.3954476767607498, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.021845102608886, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.4759959533177718, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7522, -0.7388, -0.75, -0.7256, -0.677, -0.6652, -0.6464, -0.6803, -0.6798, -0.7193, -0.7332, -0.6975, -0.6837, -0.6714, -0.6839, -0.6759, -0.6759, -0.6682, -0.685, -0.6589, -0.647, -0.647, -0.6382, -0.6401, -0.5646, -0.4795, -0.4424, -0.5037, -0.5199, -0.5356, -0.5229, -0.4447, -0.5231, -0.5231, -0.5378, -0.573, -0.6131, -0.6244, -0.6157, -0.6287, -0.6367, -0.6464, -0.5997, -0.5479, -0.5738, -0.5952, -0.5589, -0.4806, -0.4005, -0.4743, -0.4214, -0.4648, -0.4767, -0.4767, -0.4989, -0.4918, -0.486, -0.3592, -0.3862, -0.2427, -0.1155, -0.1986, -0.1818, 0.0, -0.0984, -0.1552, -0.1623, -0.3012, -0.1675, -0.0436, 0.0225, 0.0089, 0.0548, 0.0447, -0.0423, 0.0527, 0.2541, 0.171, 0.3912, 0.4775, 0.454, 0.2632, 0.3089, 0.1384, 0.2301, 0.0177, 0.1408, 0.1408, -0.0935, -0.0186, 0.1481, 0.3627, 0.3856, 0.4346, 0.4529, 0.3586, 0.7655, 0.7824, 0.7003, 0.6185, 0.8769, 0.625, 0.6442, 0.5145, 0.4834, 0.5343, 0.7103, 1.0725, 1.2884, 1.3219, 1.2632, 1.3407, 1.5121, 1.7161, 1.6533, 1.6326, 1.4823, 1.6723, 1.2858, 1.437, 1.2584, 1.6127, 2.0404, 2.0404, 1.8627, 1.6505, 1.4978, 1.2271, 1.2271, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028524172121719168", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-02T17:33:45+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI probably has a long way to go, it leapfrogged $LITE 2026 revenue + growth midyear 2027 at 1/10th the valuation", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Averaging up AXTI as AI bottleneck; long AAOI on revenue/growth vs LITE at 1/10th valuation; new longs IQE, LASR, and SK Hynix on memory cycle.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Both. Cost averaging up on $AXTI since it’s the bottleneck of the entire AI industry for many years to come, even at a small $2.4B MC.\n\n$AAOI probably has a long way to go, it leapfrogged $LITE 2026 revenue + growth midyear 2027 at 1/10th the valuation.\n\nI did enter new longs like $IQE as a $LITE supplier. And then been adding new positions like $LASR for energy directed weapons.\n\nDefinitely long memory since SK Hynix might print more operating income than their entire marketcap by next year…\n\nThen I did rotate out of a few like some advanced packing names into extreme existing bottlenecks from ai capex", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Are you still an owner, a buyer at these levels?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Whatathingtodo1", "ret_m1d": -0.17832405032051124, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.17832405032051124, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.17775579463630486, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.17775579463630486, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06994445077477685, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06994445077477685, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.061130112291981176, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.061130112291981176, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "ret_p1w": 0.07911423706316767, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07911423706316767, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09092981798668254, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09092981798668254, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "ret_p1m": -0.17481226636328706, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17481226636328706, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12489252478810331, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12489252478810331, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "ret_p3m": 0.6488147570989427, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6488147570989427, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5464213779330347, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5464213779330347, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7498, -0.744, -0.7406, -0.7284, -0.7036, -0.6588, -0.6457, -0.6873, -0.7083, -0.7175, -0.7352, -0.7147, -0.6945, -0.6186, -0.6036, -0.6, -0.6, -0.6374, -0.6415, -0.6486, -0.6599, -0.6599, -0.6137, -0.6587, -0.6234, -0.6288, -0.678, -0.6679, -0.6711, -0.6666, -0.6637, -0.6391, -0.6387, -0.6387, -0.617, -0.6256, -0.6278, -0.6515, -0.6596, -0.6353, -0.5588, -0.614, -0.5746, -0.5692, -0.5501, -0.6108, -0.628, -0.5678, -0.5326, -0.527, -0.5279, -0.5709, -0.5663, -0.5663, -0.5717, -0.5762, -0.5417, -0.4959, -0.4736, -0.4511, -0.433, -0.4762, -0.1783, 0.0, -0.0699, -0.0273, -0.0134, -0.0676, 0.0791, 0.1754, 0.239, 0.0359, -0.0556, -0.0823, -0.1578, -0.0964, -0.0058, -0.146, -0.0658, 0.1111, 0.1161, -0.0497, -0.0419, -0.169, -0.1748, -0.1576, 0.0137, 0.0137, 0.0482, 0.1476, 0.2945, 0.3004, 0.4691, 0.4944, 0.4281, 0.3906, 0.5347, 0.5552, 0.5947, 0.4688, 0.4576, 0.3436, 0.582, 0.4221, 0.339, 0.4909, 0.6034, 0.7902, 0.6874, 0.7615, 0.7417, 0.5369, 0.4529, 0.8037, 0.8367, 1.1764, 0.9859, 0.857, 0.6902, 0.6713, 0.6121, 0.7248, 0.7705, 0.7705, 0.7327, 0.7543, 0.6488, 0.5453, 0.5453, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028524172121719168", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-02T17:33:45+00:00", "symbol": "IQE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I did enter new longs like $IQE as a $LITE supplier", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Averaging up AXTI as AI bottleneck; long AAOI on revenue/growth vs LITE at 1/10th valuation; new longs IQE, LASR, and SK Hynix on memory cycle.", "resolved_tickers": ["IQE.L"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "IQE plc LSE-listed epiwafer supplier", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Both. Cost averaging up on $AXTI since it’s the bottleneck of the entire AI industry for many years to come, even at a small $2.4B MC.\n\n$AAOI probably has a long way to go, it leapfrogged $LITE 2026 revenue + growth midyear 2027 at 1/10th the valuation.\n\nI did enter new longs like $IQE as a $LITE supplier. And then been adding new positions like $LASR for energy directed weapons.\n\nDefinitely long memory since SK Hynix might print more operating income than their entire marketcap by next year…\n\nThen I did rotate out of a few like some advanced packing names into extreme existing bottlenecks from ai capex", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Are you still an owner, a buyer at these levels?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Whatathingtodo1", "ret_m1d": -0.25781251105945546, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.25781251105945546, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.2572442553752491, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.2577632491914754, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -4.926186798004384e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.015624984866008385, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015624984866008385, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.024439323348804054, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05334741046031222, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03772242559430383, "ret_p1w": -0.2546875140862538, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.2546875140862538, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.24287193316273892, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.22510996764567903, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.029577546440574753, "ret_p1m": -0.04687502910383001, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04687502910383001, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.003044712471353739, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.009696293820630864, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.056571322924460876, "ret_p3m": 0.8613281568686939, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.8613281568686939, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.758934777702786, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3853322035509221, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.4759959533177718, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.8074, -0.8016, -0.8039, -0.8039, -0.8035, -0.7996, -0.7965, -0.8094, -0.8086, -0.8057, -0.8061, -0.8027, -0.8008, -0.7996, -0.8057, -0.8061, -0.8061, -0.8061, -0.8061, -0.8047, -0.8047, -0.8047, -0.7988, -0.8035, -0.8016, -0.782, -0.7598, -0.7133, -0.5922, -0.6145, -0.6484, -0.6816, -0.6934, -0.6512, -0.6957, -0.7016, -0.6953, -0.6863, -0.7012, -0.7008, -0.6867, -0.6973, -0.691, -0.6863, -0.6992, -0.6895, -0.6949, -0.6906, -0.6809, -0.6094, -0.6, -0.5977, -0.5859, -0.5898, -0.5852, -0.5914, -0.5945, -0.5906, -0.5008, -0.5234, -0.3742, -0.2188, -0.2578, 0.0, 0.0156, 0.0488, -0.1621, -0.232, -0.2547, -0.1133, -0.0508, -0.1133, -0.0918, -0.0977, -0.1562, -0.002, -0.1074, -0.0781, -0.082, -0.002, 0.1523, 0.0391, -0.043, -0.0977, -0.0469, -0.0195, -0.0781, -0.0781, -0.0781, -0.0039, 0.1211, 0.1719, 0.4453, 0.918, 0.8672, 1.1094, 1.2891, 1.0352, 1.2891, 1.4609, 1.4453, 0.9434, 0.8594, 0.9297, 0.5723, 0.5781, 0.6895, 0.6074, 0.6074, 0.9531, 0.7402, 0.7832, 0.8398, 1.1289, 0.8418, 0.9727, 0.9375, 0.7969, 0.5273, 0.25, 0.4668, 0.5566, 0.7871, 0.7871, 1.1094, 0.9805, 0.8613, 0.8555, 0.8555, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028524172121719168", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-03-02T17:33:45+00:00", "symbol": "LASR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "been adding new positions like $LASR for energy directed weapons", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Averaging up AXTI as AI bottleneck; long AAOI on revenue/growth vs LITE at 1/10th valuation; new longs IQE, LASR, and SK Hynix on memory cycle.", "resolved_tickers": ["LASR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Both. Cost averaging up on $AXTI since it’s the bottleneck of the entire AI industry for many years to come, even at a small $2.4B MC.\n\n$AAOI probably has a long way to go, it leapfrogged $LITE 2026 revenue + growth midyear 2027 at 1/10th the valuation.\n\nI did enter new longs like $IQE as a $LITE supplier. And then been adding new positions like $LASR for energy directed weapons.\n\nDefinitely long memory since SK Hynix might print more operating income than their entire marketcap by next year…\n\nThen I did rotate out of a few like some advanced packing names into extreme existing bottlenecks from ai capex", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Are you still an owner, a buyer at these levels?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Whatathingtodo1", "ret_m1d": -0.16989220564221263, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.16989220564221263, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.16932394995800626, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.16932394995800626, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06825236489806885, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06825236489806885, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05943802641527318, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05943802641527318, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "ret_p1w": -0.0988329472612628, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0988329472612628, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08701736633774793, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08701736633774793, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "ret_p1m": -0.15763039738222395, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15763039738222395, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1077106558070402, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1077106558070402, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "ret_p3m": 0.1693012065466042, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1693012065466042, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06690782738069623, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06690782738069623, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4959, -0.4631, -0.4617, -0.4541, -0.4401, -0.4416, -0.4352, -0.4664, -0.4608, -0.4766, -0.488, -0.4689, -0.4429, -0.4351, -0.4172, -0.4191, -0.4191, -0.4209, -0.4237, -0.4305, -0.4459, -0.4459, -0.4332, -0.4373, -0.443, -0.4453, -0.4086, -0.4088, -0.3859, -0.3689, -0.3622, -0.3525, -0.3509, -0.3509, -0.3315, -0.3213, -0.2909, -0.351, -0.3562, -0.3363, -0.3207, -0.304, -0.3262, -0.2897, -0.2616, -0.352, -0.3191, -0.2448, -0.1935, -0.2182, -0.1898, -0.2254, -0.2277, -0.2277, -0.2482, -0.1971, -0.1774, -0.1726, -0.1919, -0.1485, -0.1047, -0.07, -0.1699, 0.0, -0.0683, -0.0099, -0.0758, -0.1337, -0.0988, -0.0576, -0.0177, -0.0727, -0.0752, 0.012, 0.051, 0.0126, 0.0471, -0.0285, 0.0334, 0.0572, 0.06, -0.0566, -0.0498, -0.2022, -0.1576, -0.1387, -0.1118, -0.1118, -0.1402, -0.1473, -0.1089, -0.0734, -0.0343, 0.0321, -0.0121, -0.0188, 0.0264, 0.0405, 0.0539, 0.0669, 0.0634, 0.0962, 0.1197, 0.0347, -0.0282, -0.0402, 0.0319, 0.0486, 0.0254, -0.0109, 0.0532, -0.0222, 0.0919, 0.255, 0.2381, 0.1881, 0.2015, 0.117, 0.0464, 0.0266, 0.0533, 0.1291, 0.1604, 0.1604, 0.2051, 0.2024, 0.1693, 0.095, 0.095, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028524172121719168", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-03-02T17:33:45+00:00", "symbol": "000660.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Definitely long memory since SK Hynix might print more operating income than their entire marketcap by next year", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Averaging up AXTI as AI bottleneck; long AAOI on revenue/growth vs LITE at 1/10th valuation; new longs IQE, LASR, and SK Hynix on memory cycle.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Both. Cost averaging up on $AXTI since it’s the bottleneck of the entire AI industry for many years to come, even at a small $2.4B MC.\n\n$AAOI probably has a long way to go, it leapfrogged $LITE 2026 revenue + growth midyear 2027 at 1/10th the valuation.\n\nI did enter new longs like $IQE as a $LITE supplier. And then been adding new positions like $LASR for energy directed weapons.\n\nDefinitely long memory since SK Hynix might print more operating income than their entire marketcap by next year…\n\nThen I did rotate out of a few like some advanced packing names into extreme existing bottlenecks from ai capex", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Are you still an owner, a buyer at these levels?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Whatathingtodo1", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0005682556842063757, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.025959075541144516, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": 0.025959075541144516, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.11498588182920777, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.11498588182920777, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.1061715433464121, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01196298878376778, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.10302289304543999, "ret_p1w": -0.21206408092964646, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.21206408092964646, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2002485000061316, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11954683463960392, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.09251724629004254, "ret_p1m": -0.23939681952013425, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.23939681952013425, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1894770779449505, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07313687464993268, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.16625994487020157, "ret_p3m": 1.157759408647605, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.157759408647605, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.055366029481697, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.7587488823165744, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3990105263310306, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4807, -0.4901, -0.4882, -0.4572, -0.4675, -0.4478, -0.4685, -0.4628, -0.4788, -0.5014, -0.4816, -0.4807, -0.4854, -0.4544, -0.4506, -0.4468, -0.4468, -0.4365, -0.3979, -0.3876, -0.3876, -0.3876, -0.3631, -0.3452, -0.317, -0.3019, -0.2888, -0.3001, -0.2954, -0.3057, -0.3019, -0.2954, -0.2888, -0.2813, -0.301, -0.3038, -0.2897, -0.2784, -0.3076, -0.2474, -0.2088, -0.19, -0.1448, -0.2192, -0.1467, -0.1533, -0.2079, -0.2107, -0.1655, -0.1759, -0.1909, -0.1646, -0.1721, -0.1721, -0.1721, -0.1721, -0.159, -0.1072, -0.1053, -0.0545, -0.0423, 0.0358, 0.0, 0.0, -0.115, -0.1998, -0.1131, -0.1291, -0.2121, -0.1159, -0.0999, -0.1235, -0.1423, -0.082, -0.0858, -0.0047, -0.0452, -0.0509, -0.1206, -0.0707, -0.0622, -0.1206, -0.1206, -0.1772, -0.2394, -0.1546, -0.2177, -0.1744, -0.1649, -0.1367, -0.0264, -0.0594, -0.032, -0.0198, 0.0396, 0.0707, 0.0886, 0.0631, 0.099, 0.1536, 0.1527, 0.1546, 0.1517, 0.2177, 0.2253, 0.2187, 0.2121, 0.2121, 0.3638, 0.3638, 0.509, 0.5589, 0.5891, 0.7719, 0.7295, 0.8624, 0.8567, 0.7144, 0.7342, 0.6447, 0.6447, 0.8285, 0.8294, 0.8294, 0.934, 1.114, 1.1578, 1.1992, 1.245, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2031771668004344072", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-11T16:38:08+00:00", "symbol": "MRVL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it's an amazing long nevertheless", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "MRVL is an amazing long despite minimal CPO exposure; Soitec and TSEM flagged as the two CPO plays.", "resolved_tickers": ["MRVL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@siflower You're getting very minimal exposure from $MRVL. Celestial revenue was ~$500m 2028, $1B 2029. \n\nMost of Marvell's revenue ramp comes from $MSFT Maia and ASICs toward 2028, but it's an amazing long nevertheless. \n\nFor CPO Soitec and $TSEM are probably the two.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Do you think I can buy MRVL to get exposure to CPO? Can't buy SOI and IQE in the US.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "siflower", "ret_m1d": 0.031623228499873424, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.031623228499873424, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.030366488157467675, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.030366488157467675, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.030628058001281322, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.030628058001281322, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01544310913191782, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01544310913191782, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "ret_p1w": -0.03118088361113458, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03118088361113458, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.009150192831969162, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.009150192831969162, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "ret_p1m": 0.3260724964532651, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3260724964532651, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3180338104237963, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3180338104237963, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "bench_c_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0671, -0.069, -0.0711, -0.0973, -0.0667, -0.0709, -0.063, -0.0312, -0.0444, -0.0444, -0.046, -0.0524, -0.0414, -0.061, -0.061, -0.0123, -0.003, -0.0251, -0.0648, -0.078, -0.0798, -0.0835, -0.0817, -0.1021, -0.1112, -0.1103, -0.1103, -0.1176, -0.0872, -0.0812, -0.1129, -0.0959, -0.083, -0.0754, -0.1006, -0.1274, -0.1303, -0.1648, -0.1848, -0.1795, -0.1123, -0.0895, -0.0932, -0.1006, -0.135, -0.1308, -0.1308, -0.1264, -0.1255, -0.1197, -0.1212, -0.1399, -0.1332, -0.1053, -0.1233, -0.0967, -0.1059, -0.143, -0.1366, -0.1632, -0.0096, 0.0244, 0.0316, 0.0, -0.0306, -0.0285, 0.0126, 0.0039, -0.0312, -0.0101, -0.028, -0.0031, 0.0212, 0.0886, 0.0801, 0.0491, -0.0291, 0.0952, 0.1799, 0.1843, 0.1843, 0.2109, 0.2094, 0.2655, 0.3261, 0.4214, 0.4525, 0.4805, 0.489, 0.4754, 0.5453, 0.6355, 0.6739, 0.7404, 0.8315, 0.8177, 0.7502, 0.6951, 0.7321, 0.827, 0.8248, 0.8105, 0.8668, 0.9044, 0.7701, 0.8821, 0.8899, 0.8198, 0.9686, 1.0198, 0.9569, 0.8688, 0.95, 1.0665, 1.1095, 1.1719, 1.1719, 1.3039, 1.1981, 1.266, 1.2678, 1.2678, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2031771668004344072", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-11T16:38:08+00:00", "symbol": "Soitec", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "For CPO Soitec and $TSEM are probably the two", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "MRVL is an amazing long despite minimal CPO exposure; Soitec and TSEM flagged as the two CPO plays.", "resolved_tickers": ["SOI.PA"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Soitec listed on Euronext Paris as SOI.PA", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@siflower You're getting very minimal exposure from $MRVL. Celestial revenue was ~$500m 2028, $1B 2029. \n\nMost of Marvell's revenue ramp comes from $MSFT Maia and ASICs toward 2028, but it's an amazing long nevertheless. \n\nFor CPO Soitec and $TSEM are probably the two.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Do you think I can buy MRVL to get exposure to CPO? Can't buy SOI and IQE in the US.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "siflower", "ret_m1d": -0.1389863776638095, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1389863776638095, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.14024311800621525, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1297601047707746, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009226272893034904, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.12319687697497028, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.12319687697497028, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.13838182584433378, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.1553640313917244, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03216715441675411, "ret_p1w": 0.22807019370259662, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.22807019370259662, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.25010088448176204, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.246422898921572, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018352705218975363, "ret_p1m": 0.044054623193791054, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.044054623193791054, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.036015937164322276, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0289573680996853, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07301199129347635, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4971, -0.5039, -0.5197, -0.5333, -0.5365, -0.5458, -0.5501, -0.5485, -0.5526, -0.5526, -0.5526, -0.5526, -0.5497, -0.548, -0.548, -0.5152, -0.4899, -0.4979, -0.4893, -0.4928, -0.4739, -0.4793, -0.4481, -0.4495, -0.4322, -0.4505, -0.4649, -0.4653, -0.4499, -0.4446, -0.463, -0.4591, -0.4532, -0.4643, -0.4823, -0.4864, -0.4971, -0.5222, -0.4109, -0.407, -0.3786, -0.3665, -0.3216, -0.2378, -0.2869, -0.2721, -0.2809, -0.2766, -0.2747, -0.2887, -0.2797, -0.2353, -0.2138, -0.1934, -0.1782, -0.2027, -0.1606, -0.1811, -0.1747, -0.1998, -0.1871, -0.1858, -0.139, 0.0, 0.1232, 0.1501, 0.2312, 0.1965, 0.2281, 0.0561, 0.009, 0.0105, -0.0117, 0.0632, 0.0421, 0.0483, 0.0097, 0.0066, 0.0347, -0.0253, -0.0253, -0.0253, -0.0448, 0.0569, 0.0441, 0.2425, 0.26, 0.4101, 0.4975, 0.6663, 0.9068, 0.9493, 0.9639, 1.1384, 1.078, 1.1959, 1.1355, 0.9251, 1.2047, 1.4747, 1.4747, 1.9922, 2.078, 1.8626, 1.9386, 2.3402, 2.152, 1.8207, 2.038, 1.961, 1.886, 1.7339, 1.7904, 2.0799, 2.2476, 2.4571, 2.4366, 2.2495, 2.0058, 2.7466, 2.461, 2.461, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2031771668004344072", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-11T16:38:08+00:00", "symbol": "TSEM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "For CPO Soitec and $TSEM are probably the two", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "MRVL is an amazing long despite minimal CPO exposure; Soitec and TSEM flagged as the two CPO plays.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSEM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@siflower You're getting very minimal exposure from $MRVL. Celestial revenue was ~$500m 2028, $1B 2029. \n\nMost of Marvell's revenue ramp comes from $MSFT Maia and ASICs toward 2028, but it's an amazing long nevertheless. \n\nFor CPO Soitec and $TSEM are probably the two.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Do you think I can buy MRVL to get exposure to CPO? Can't buy SOI and IQE in the US.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "siflower", "ret_m1d": -0.0214333986575741, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0214333986575741, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.022690138999979848, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.022690138999979848, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007535176720382397, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007535176720382397, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007649772148981104, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.007649772148981104, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "ret_p1w": 0.18854658248611966, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.18854658248611966, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.21057727326528508, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.21057727326528508, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "ret_p1m": 0.7064635227565979, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.7064635227565979, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6984248367271291, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.6984248367271291, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "bench_c_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0042, -0.01, -0.0383, -0.0574, -0.023, -0.0023, -0.0091, 0.0138, 0.0254, 0.0254, 0.0182, 0.014, 0.0103, -0.0169, -0.0169, 0.0193, -0.0013, 0.0238, 0.0233, -0.0177, 0.0049, 0.0156, 0.0447, 0.0315, 0.0382, 0.087, 0.087, 0.08, 0.117, 0.0882, 0.0769, 0.0637, 0.1103, 0.1632, 0.1278, 0.128, 0.1461, 0.142, 0.0154, 0.0807, 0.1641, 0.2352, 0.1434, 0.1256, 0.1184, 0.0779, 0.0779, 0.0698, 0.0746, 0.0538, 0.0756, 0.0669, 0.055, 0.0547, 0.0368, 0.0455, 0.1603, 0.051, 0.034, 0.0092, -0.0741, -0.0333, -0.0214, 0.0, -0.0075, 0.0441, 0.1593, 0.1542, 0.1885, 0.3905, 0.37, 0.4411, 0.5139, 0.5802, 0.4625, 0.4394, 0.3277, 0.4692, 0.5662, 0.6561, 0.6561, 0.5923, 0.598, 0.7053, 0.7065, 0.7045, 0.7538, 0.7926, 0.8053, 0.798, 0.8959, 0.8795, 0.8145, 0.7256, 0.6851, 0.679, 0.7024, 0.6205, 0.6676, 0.8507, 0.8253, 0.8006, 0.8882, 0.8157, 0.7582, 0.7667, 0.9163, 0.8489, 1.267, 1.3501, 1.2939, 1.0769, 1.1038, 1.2143, 1.336, 1.373, 1.373, 1.4157, 1.3258, 1.3066, 1.1369, 1.1369, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2029698209199837354", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-05T23:18:57+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This delay is extremely bullish to certain photonics players like $AAOI... Is probably the most greatest thing that can happen to many photonics companies like $AAOI", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "CPO delay is bullish for traditional optical transceiver makers (AAOI, LITE, COHR) sold off mistakenly; net negative for CPO players like Soitec.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The entire market misunderstood $AVGO CEO’s comments around CPO.\n\nThis caused a selloff today on the photonics sector from $LITE to $COHR in the morning.\n\nMarkets trade off headline news but miss all the nuances. \n\nCPO is an evolution to photonics. \n\nThis delay is extremely bullish to certain photonics players like $AAOI. \n\nWhile net negative to CPO companies like Soitec.\n\nMarkets and people conflated CPO with the photonics sector as a whole.\n\nTan basically just gave traditional transceiver makers a massive extension on their product lifecycle.\n\nThe exact quote:\n\n\"What all I'm trying to say is you don't need to go run into some bright shiny objects called CPO, even as we are the lead in CPOs. CPOs will come in its time, not this year, maybe not next year, but in its time.\"\n\nIn fact, $GOOGL rejecting CPO and $AVGO delaying CPO timeline projections by years:\n\nIs probably the most greatest thing that can happen to many photonics companies like $AAOI (optical transceivers) that dropped 8% on open then recovered to green. \n\nInside the rack, hyperscalers can still use copper. But for longer distances, pluggable optical transceivers are used (and now get a life extension by years).\n\nNames get sold off all together, but where the most money to be made is understanding the nuances everyone misses.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.014138820583403544, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014138820583403544, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.019745628449714725, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019745628449714725, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005606807866311181, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005606807866311181, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05497328052349992, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05497328052349992, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04186614545266343, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04186614545266343, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013107135070836495, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013107135070836495, "ret_p1w": 0.049930819480256794, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.049930819480256794, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07231421407292471, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07231421407292471, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.022383394592667916, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022383394592667916, "ret_p1m": 0.027387821724116357, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.027387821724116357, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06215746839083869, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06215746839083869, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03476964666672233, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03476964666672233, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7247, -0.6996, -0.6541, -0.6409, -0.683, -0.7044, -0.7137, -0.7317, -0.7108, -0.6903, -0.6135, -0.5982, -0.5946, -0.5946, -0.6325, -0.6366, -0.6439, -0.6553, -0.6553, -0.6085, -0.654, -0.6183, -0.6237, -0.6736, -0.6634, -0.6666, -0.6621, -0.6592, -0.6342, -0.6338, -0.6338, -0.6118, -0.6205, -0.6228, -0.6468, -0.655, -0.6303, -0.5528, -0.6088, -0.5688, -0.5634, -0.544, -0.6055, -0.623, -0.562, -0.5263, -0.5206, -0.5215, -0.5651, -0.5604, -0.5604, -0.5658, -0.5705, -0.5355, -0.489, -0.4665, -0.4436, -0.4254, -0.4692, -0.1672, 0.0135, -0.0573, -0.0141, 0.0, -0.055, 0.0937, 0.1913, 0.2558, 0.0499, -0.0428, -0.0699, -0.1464, -0.0841, 0.0077, -0.1345, -0.0532, 0.1262, 0.1312, -0.0368, -0.029, -0.1577, -0.1636, -0.1462, 0.0274, 0.0274, 0.0624, 0.1631, 0.312, 0.318, 0.489, 0.5146, 0.4474, 0.4094, 0.5555, 0.5762, 0.6163, 0.4887, 0.4774, 0.3618, 0.6034, 0.4414, 0.3571, 0.5111, 0.6251, 0.8144, 0.7103, 0.7853, 0.7653, 0.5577, 0.4726, 0.8282, 0.8616, 1.2059, 1.0128, 0.8821, 0.7131, 0.694, 0.634, 0.7482, 0.7944, 0.7944, 0.7562, 0.778, 0.6711, 0.5662, 0.5662, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2029698209199837354", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-05T23:18:57+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This caused a selloff today on the photonics sector from $LITE to $COHR in the morning... Names get sold off all together, but where the most money to be made is understanding the nuances everyone misses", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "CPO delay is bullish for traditional optical transceiver makers (AAOI, LITE, COHR) sold off mistakenly; net negative for CPO players like Soitec.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The entire market misunderstood $AVGO CEO’s comments around CPO.\n\nThis caused a selloff today on the photonics sector from $LITE to $COHR in the morning.\n\nMarkets trade off headline news but miss all the nuances. \n\nCPO is an evolution to photonics. \n\nThis delay is extremely bullish to certain photonics players like $AAOI. \n\nWhile net negative to CPO companies like Soitec.\n\nMarkets and people conflated CPO with the photonics sector as a whole.\n\nTan basically just gave traditional transceiver makers a massive extension on their product lifecycle.\n\nThe exact quote:\n\n\"What all I'm trying to say is you don't need to go run into some bright shiny objects called CPO, even as we are the lead in CPOs. CPOs will come in its time, not this year, maybe not next year, but in its time.\"\n\nIn fact, $GOOGL rejecting CPO and $AVGO delaying CPO timeline projections by years:\n\nIs probably the most greatest thing that can happen to many photonics companies like $AAOI (optical transceivers) that dropped 8% on open then recovered to green. \n\nInside the rack, hyperscalers can still use copper. 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{"unit_id": "orig:2029698209199837354", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-05T23:18:57+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This caused a selloff today on the photonics sector from $LITE to $COHR in the morning... Names get sold off all together, but where the most money to be made is understanding the nuances everyone misses", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "CPO delay is bullish for traditional optical transceiver makers (AAOI, LITE, COHR) sold off mistakenly; net negative for CPO players like Soitec.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The entire market misunderstood $AVGO CEO’s comments around CPO.\n\nThis caused a selloff today on the photonics sector from $LITE to $COHR in the morning.\n\nMarkets trade off headline news but miss all the nuances. \n\nCPO is an evolution to photonics. \n\nThis delay is extremely bullish to certain photonics players like $AAOI. \n\nWhile net negative to CPO companies like Soitec.\n\nMarkets and people conflated CPO with the photonics sector as a whole.\n\nTan basically just gave traditional transceiver makers a massive extension on their product lifecycle.\n\nThe exact quote:\n\n\"What all I'm trying to say is you don't need to go run into some bright shiny objects called CPO, even as we are the lead in CPOs. CPOs will come in its time, not this year, maybe not next year, but in its time.\"\n\nIn fact, $GOOGL rejecting CPO and $AVGO delaying CPO timeline projections by years:\n\nIs probably the most greatest thing that can happen to many photonics companies like $AAOI (optical transceivers) that dropped 8% on open then recovered to green. \n\nInside the rack, hyperscalers can still use copper. 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{"unit_id": "orig:2029698209199837354", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-03-05T23:18:57+00:00", "symbol": "Soitec", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "While net negative to CPO companies like Soitec", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "CPO delay is bullish for traditional optical transceiver makers (AAOI, LITE, COHR) sold off mistakenly; net negative for CPO players like Soitec.", "resolved_tickers": ["SOI.PA"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Soitec listed on Euronext Paris as SOI.PA", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The entire market misunderstood $AVGO CEO’s comments around CPO.\n\nThis caused a selloff today on the photonics sector from $LITE to $COHR in the morning.\n\nMarkets trade off headline news but miss all the nuances. \n\nCPO is an evolution to photonics. \n\nThis delay is extremely bullish to certain photonics players like $AAOI. \n\nWhile net negative to CPO companies like Soitec.\n\nMarkets and people conflated CPO with the photonics sector as a whole.\n\nTan basically just gave traditional transceiver makers a massive extension on their product lifecycle.\n\nThe exact quote:\n\n\"What all I'm trying to say is you don't need to go run into some bright shiny objects called CPO, even as we are the lead in CPOs. CPOs will come in its time, not this year, maybe not next year, but in its time.\"\n\nIn fact, $GOOGL rejecting CPO and $AVGO delaying CPO timeline projections by years:\n\nIs probably the most greatest thing that can happen to many photonics companies like $AAOI (optical transceivers) that dropped 8% on open then recovered to green. \n\nInside the rack, hyperscalers can still use copper. But for longer distances, pluggable optical transceivers are used (and now get a life extension by years).\n\nNames get sold off all together, but where the most money to be made is understanding the nuances everyone misses.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.031425114238801566, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.031425114238801566, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.025818306372490385, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.021939848165432263, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005606807866311181, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009485266073369303, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.015834385821183572, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.015834385821183572, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.028941520892020067, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.053244296828113935, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013107135070836495, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03740991100693036, "ret_p1w": 0.4036540804576818, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.4036540804576818, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.4260374750503497, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.4219163824919271, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.022383394592667916, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01826230203424528, "ret_p1m": 0.21802681922730116, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.21802681922730116, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2527964658940235, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.22569091112693185, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03476964666672233, "bench_c_p1m": -0.007664091899630687, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3576, -0.3635, -0.3764, -0.3669, -0.3715, -0.38, -0.3998, -0.4168, -0.4207, -0.4324, -0.4378, -0.4358, -0.4409, -0.4409, -0.4409, -0.4409, -0.4373, -0.4351, -0.4351, -0.3942, -0.3625, -0.3725, -0.3618, -0.3661, -0.3425, -0.3493, -0.3104, -0.3121, -0.2904, -0.3133, -0.3313, -0.3318, -0.3125, -0.306, -0.3289, -0.324, -0.3167, -0.3306, -0.353, -0.3581, -0.3715, -0.4029, -0.2638, -0.259, -0.2234, -0.2083, -0.1523, -0.0475, -0.1089, -0.0904, -0.1013, -0.096, -0.0935, -0.1111, -0.0999, -0.0443, -0.0175, 0.008, 0.027, -0.0037, 0.049, 0.0234, 0.0314, 0.0, 0.0158, 0.0175, 0.076, 0.2497, 0.4037, 0.4373, 0.5386, 0.4952, 0.5347, 0.3199, 0.2609, 0.2629, 0.2351, 0.3286, 0.3023, 0.3101, 0.2619, 0.258, 0.2931, 0.218, 0.218, 0.218, 0.1937, 0.3208, 0.3048, 0.5527, 0.5747, 0.7622, 0.8714, 1.0823, 1.3829, 1.4361, 1.4543, 1.6724, 1.5968, 1.7442, 1.6687, 1.4058, 1.7552, 2.0926, 2.0926, 2.7393, 2.8465, 2.5773, 2.6724, 3.1742, 2.9391, 2.525, 2.7966, 2.7004, 2.6066, 2.4166, 2.4872, 2.849, 3.0585, 3.3203, 3.2948, 3.0609, 2.7564, 3.6821, 3.3252, 3.3252, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2031156422789222800", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-09T23:53:22+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I was bearish on $HIMS too until $NVO partnered up + dropped the lawsuit, giving $HIMS revenue stream expansion and more regulatory clarity. This is a massive fundamental shift.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Flipped bullish on HIMS: NVO partnership + lawsuit dropped removes existential legal risk and opens revenue expansion and regulatory clarity.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yes the 40% SI made sense earlier. \n\nI was bearish on $HIMS too until $NVO partnered up + dropped the lawsuit, giving $HIMS revenue stream expansion and more regulatory clarity. \n\nThe lawsuit was threatening their entire balance sheet + revenue growth + global expansion, so it made sense why short sellers piled on. \n\nHowever, it was the biggest surprise of the decade last Friday when $HIMS's legal drama all vanished in a day.\n\nThis is a massive fundamental shift.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit 40% short interest is there for a reason", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "QuantReviewai", "ret_m1d": -0.2897111967734822, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.2897111967734822, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.281027243409127, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.281027243409127, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0591154997726846, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0591154997726846, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06072262667805173, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06072262667805173, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "ret_p1w": 0.12274365216984151, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12274365216984151, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.13636655889404026, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13636655889404026, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "ret_p1m": -0.12003609502383417, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12003609502383417, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09460413060422168, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09460413060422168, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.7094, 0.7044, 0.6792, 0.6358, 0.6634, 0.5781, 0.569, 0.6047, 0.5817, 0.5704, 0.5645, 0.5645, 0.5483, 0.5388, 0.491, 0.4653, 0.4653, 0.5077, 0.5663, 0.6002, 0.6002, 0.5284, 0.4301, 0.4594, 0.4531, 0.4134, 0.4093, 0.4161, 0.4161, 0.375, 0.3037, 0.3773, 0.3366, 0.3664, 0.3394, 0.2938, 0.3479, 0.2225, 0.1931, 0.1525, 0.1011, 0.0596, 0.0388, -0.1277, -0.222, -0.2468, -0.287, -0.2644, -0.2644, -0.2658, -0.2852, -0.2861, -0.2947, -0.3001, -0.3023, -0.2861, -0.296, -0.3448, -0.2563, -0.2861, -0.2577, -0.2834, -0.2897, 0.0, 0.0591, 0.1679, 0.0758, 0.1178, 0.1227, 0.1273, 0.0447, 0.0903, -0.0063, 0.0135, -0.037, -0.0596, -0.0587, -0.1255, -0.1525, -0.0632, -0.1047, -0.1363, -0.1363, -0.0826, -0.12, -0.125, -0.1088, -0.1232, -0.0456, -0.0361, 0.0961, 0.218, 0.3005, 0.3994, 0.343, 0.3091, 0.2703, 0.3791, 0.3263, 0.2595, 0.1882, 0.2261, 0.2369, 0.2306, 0.1882, 0.213, 0.1575, 0.2757, 0.315, 0.1295, 0.0894, 0.0939, 0.1304, 0.0059, 0.0126, 0.0397, 0.0835, 0.0718, 0.0718, 0.0763, 0.1372, 0.1453, 0.1801, 0.1801, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2027440484688470511", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-27T17:47:34+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Probably tripling my $AAOI position size after earnings. 4.5B ARR for photonics(which usually has a premium like $LITE ), ~40% margins, $5.5B MC.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Adding aggressively to AAOI post-earnings on 4.5B ARR guidance, ~40% margins, and photonics premium valuation vs market cap.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Pacheca12345 Probably tripling my $AAOI position size after earnings.\n\n4.5B ARR for photonics(which usually has a premium like $LITE ), ~40% margins, $5.5B MC.\n\nAgain idk, this is just unheard of guidance scale up.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Too late to hop onboard now?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Pacheca12345", "ret_m1d": -0.3625786953944201, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.3625786953944201, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.3674038085726452, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.3674038085726452, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.21702478987010654, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.21702478987010654, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.21645621108777524, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.21645621108777524, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "ret_p1w": 0.1347500655559073, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1347500655559073, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15459001236840897, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15459001236840897, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "ret_p1m": 0.011397353035883961, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.011397353035883961, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08762893098965874, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08762893098965874, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "ret_p3m": 1.1349874707828982, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.1349874707828982, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.0380187816928927, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.0380187816928927, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6911, -0.6955, -0.6885, -0.6843, -0.6695, -0.6393, -0.5847, -0.5688, -0.6194, -0.645, -0.6562, -0.6778, -0.6527, -0.6282, -0.5359, -0.5175, -0.5132, -0.5132, -0.5587, -0.5637, -0.5724, -0.5861, -0.5861, -0.5299, -0.5846, -0.5416, -0.5482, -0.6081, -0.5959, -0.5997, -0.5942, -0.5908, -0.5607, -0.5603, -0.5603, -0.5339, -0.5443, -0.5471, -0.5759, -0.5858, -0.5561, -0.463, -0.5302, -0.4823, -0.4757, -0.4525, -0.5263, -0.5473, -0.4741, -0.4312, -0.4243, -0.4254, -0.4777, -0.4722, -0.4722, -0.4787, -0.4843, -0.4422, -0.3864, -0.3594, -0.3319, -0.31, -0.3626, 0.0, 0.217, 0.1319, 0.1838, 0.2008, 0.1348, 0.3133, 0.4305, 0.5079, 0.2607, 0.1494, 0.1168, 0.0249, 0.0997, 0.21, 0.0393, 0.1369, 0.3522, 0.3583, 0.1566, 0.166, 0.0114, 0.0043, 0.0252, 0.2336, 0.2336, 0.2757, 0.3967, 0.5754, 0.5826, 0.788, 0.8187, 0.738, 0.6924, 0.8677, 0.8927, 0.9408, 0.7876, 0.774, 0.6352, 0.9253, 0.7307, 0.6296, 0.8144, 0.9513, 1.1787, 1.0537, 1.1438, 1.1197, 0.8705, 0.7683, 1.1952, 1.2353, 1.6487, 1.4168, 1.26, 1.057, 1.0341, 0.962, 1.0991, 1.1547, 1.1547, 1.1087, 1.135, 1.0066, 0.8807, 0.8807, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2020975054411137326", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-09T21:36:15+00:00", "symbol": "CRDO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Credo will be a core part of the AI buildout in the future… The selloff to $95 was may have been one of the biggest dip-buying opportunities this year", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish CRDO: mid-term fears overblown, massive Q3 revenue beat, core AI buildout beneficiary; $95 was a major dip-buying opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRDO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Imagine panicking with $CRDO at $95 ($17B MC).  \n\nIf you bought then it would be a 52.6%+ gain in a week after today's preliminary ER. \n\nMid-term fears were overblown. 200%+ YoY revenue growth for this year. $340M guidance -> $406M (huge beat) for Q3 2026 guidance. \n\nThat being said, long term risks are still with photonics transitions (since this is medium term guidance). \n\nBut, Credo will be a core part of the AI buildout in the future, it just loses it's defacto \"leader\" status.\n\nThe selloff to $95 was may have been one of the biggest dip-buying opportunities this year.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.09731789790002177, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09731789790002177, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09251920429190352, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08502231183080666, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012295586069215103, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09164571123067122, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09164571123067122, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09428287166275207, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09629340374075768, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004647692510086454, "ret_p1w": -0.015963059413699465, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.015963059413699465, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0016175103706437266, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.018594332843623995, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00263127342992453, "ret_p1m": -0.08978203956132436, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08978203956132436, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06561597694627053, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0668630491171951, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02291899044412926, "ret_p3m": 0.5257271509501102, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5257271509501102, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4686222472269268, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.19755800379054156, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3281691471595687, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2992, 0.1583, 0.1792, 0.1796, 0.1309, 0.1497, 0.0917, 0.0817, 0.2223, 0.2493, 0.329, 0.329, 0.4391, 0.3867, 0.5269, 0.533, 0.466, 0.4265, 0.45, 0.3799, 0.2801, 0.2517, 0.1661, 0.1508, 0.1372, 0.0869, 0.1228, 0.2165, 0.215, 0.1977, 0.217, 0.217, 0.1736, 0.1725, 0.1743, 0.166, 0.166, 0.1605, 0.1364, 0.0773, 0.1425, 0.1473, 0.2189, 0.2646, 0.3077, 0.2709, 0.2083, 0.2233, 0.2233, 0.2416, 0.1276, 0.0947, 0.079, 0.0374, 0.0499, 0.0506, 0.0491, 0.0152, -0.028, -0.098, -0.2144, -0.2054, -0.0973, 0.0, 0.0916, 0.0404, -0.0132, -0.016, -0.016, 0.0113, 0.0365, 0.0587, 0.0053, 0.0052, -0.0209, 0.0004, -0.0724, -0.0903, -0.0745, -0.2116, -0.1691, -0.0703, -0.11, -0.0602, -0.0898, -0.0608, -0.0959, -0.0463, -0.0529, -0.1568, -0.1758, -0.1322, -0.1621, -0.1484, -0.1873, -0.158, -0.2185, -0.2283, -0.2885, -0.2394, -0.2228, -0.1779, -0.1779, -0.1698, -0.1347, -0.107, -0.1254, -0.031, 0.0887, 0.2926, 0.3642, 0.2878, 0.3021, 0.4142, 0.4855, 0.5355, 0.5034, 0.5804, 0.4626, 0.3445, 0.4243, 0.41, 0.494, 0.459, 0.5685, 0.6068, 0.5257, 0.5275, 0.7034, 0.609, 0.5344, 0.4953, 0.3951, 0.2663, 0.3693, 0.4827, 0.5671, 0.7698, 0.7698, 0.796, 0.7926, 0.8017, 0.9126, 0.9126, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2034897725662404902", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-20T07:39:59+00:00", "symbol": "SMCI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SMCI as a company looks cheap ~$14B at roughly 10-11x forward earnings", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "SMCI looks cheap at ~$14B MC / 10-11x forward earnings; buying opportunity if it drops below ~$24, despite DOJ/SEC and China revenue risks.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMCI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Everyone is looking at $SMCI smuggling billions of dollars of AI chips to China. \n\nBut nobody is answering the question: \n\nHow do I make money off this, and is it a good buying opportunity?\n\nMy answer: \n\nIf $SMCI drops much lower than ~$24 overnight. It like a buying opportunity at a ~$14B MC. \n\nEveryone looks at the DOJ case and thinks Super Micro are cooked. \n\nBut two things:\n\n1. The company itself looks insulated, so far (not named a defendant)\n\n2. $SMCI chip sales to China state actors was already known (just not to the $2.5B+ extent), by Hindenburg short seller reports in 2024.\n\nSo a decent part of the China revenue stuff was already priced in, which is why $SMCI crashed from $100+ and is now trading at $24.\n\nNow if we strip away optics and some material revenue:\n\n-> $SMCI GAAP net income was $1.05B last year, and FY 2026 is estimated to be around ~$1.25B with some estimates going to $1.5B. \n\nAnd then we rip away an est ~$150M in smuggled in profit out of financials: ~$1.05 billion -> ~$900M? \n\nOn a P/E basis, still looks relatively cheap as a growing company, maybe ~10-11x? \n\nNow the downside:\n\n-> Optics are still trash. You can add more trash to trash. \n\nBut it's still trash regardless, doesn't change much?\n\n-> $NVDA distancing itself with $SMCI? (They already did in 2024).\n-> $SMCI not named a defendant, but in the case SEC/DOJ goes after them, then lot of regulatory fees and possibly fines.  \n-> Maybe order cancellations, but if they didn't cancel orders for the problems they had in 2024, it looks fine now? \n\nNow... Are there a lot better opportunities than taking this regulatory leap of faith? \n\n100%. \n\nIs there potential more downside from panicking? \n\nYes. \n\nBut if you strip away the noise, $SMCI as a company looks cheap ~$14B at roughly 10-11x forward earnings.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.4997564484036199, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.4997564484036199, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.485212169001378, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.4765471021944616, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0145442794022419, "bench_c_m1d": 0.023209346209158266, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05114462746918247, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05114462746918247, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04064460822424465, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03761609021686452, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01050001924493782, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013528537252317951, "ret_p1w": 0.07014118745966158, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07014118745966158, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09246719745893606, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10863970050628702, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.022326009999274476, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03849851304662544, "ret_p1m": 0.4033121530620749, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4033121530620749, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.31056971554624724, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.25945693777143997, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09274243751582767, "bench_c_p1m": 0.14385521529063494, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.4983, 0.4881, 0.4881, 0.4924, 0.4652, 0.4442, 0.4257, 0.4257, 0.508, 0.4647, 0.4876, 0.4618, 0.4564, 0.4691, 0.4671, 0.3931, 0.377, 0.433, 0.5899, 0.5899, 0.53, 0.5704, 0.5806, 0.5441, 0.5002, 0.5197, 0.5202, 0.4671, 0.4179, 0.4472, 0.4452, 0.6444, 0.5027, 0.6746, 0.6332, 0.6235, 0.5606, 0.4822, 0.4876, 0.4876, 0.4666, 0.4472, 0.5665, 0.5792, 0.4959, 0.5163, 0.6366, 0.5723, 0.5777, 0.5504, 0.4944, 0.5904, 0.5704, 0.5251, 0.5577, 0.5485, 0.5485, 0.5051, 0.4978, 0.5519, 0.5348, 0.4783, 0.4998, 0.0, 0.0511, 0.0828, 0.1715, 0.0818, 0.0701, 0.0258, 0.1091, 0.0964, 0.131, 0.131, 0.074, 0.1042, 0.1383, 0.131, 0.2304, 0.265, 0.3249, 0.3293, 0.3833, 0.3911, 0.4033, 0.3848, 0.4213, 0.303, 0.4165, 0.3566, 0.3273, 0.282, 0.3346, 0.3195, 0.36, 0.3556, 0.6883, 0.6376, 0.7228, 0.6327, 0.5972, 0.5587, 0.6089, 0.5119, 0.5027, 0.4886, 0.6298, 0.6298, 0.7331, 0.7331, 0.8071, 0.8602, 1.0117, 1.245, 1.245, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2019835298658807869", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-06T18:07:16+00:00", "symbol": "ETOR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ETOR has gotta be one of the most undervalued companies on NASDAQ at this point. Forward EV/EBITDA: ~2.6x... Most are valued at 10-15x+.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long ETOR: deeply undervalued at 2.6x EV/EBITDA vs 10-15x peers, $1.2B net cash on $2.1B MC, growing AUM 76% Y/Y.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETOR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$ETOR has gotta be one of the most undervalued companies on NASDAQ at this point. \n\nFeels like markets just forgot about it. \n\n$2.1B MC. Net cash $1.2B, no debt. \n\nSo you're valuing the brokerage at $900m.\n\nForward EV/EBITDA: ~2.6x... Most are valued at 10-15x+. \n\nIn a couple years, Etoro will have more cash than their marketcap with their existing $1.2B cash pile.  \n\nNet income per quarter (Q3) was $57 million. If you use that number growing forward... 3.9 years. \n\nWalmart is valued at 45 P/E now. \n\nNot to mention $ETOR is growing too. (eg. AUM 76%+ Y/Y).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08330247985685213, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08330247985685213, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06447889310357546, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06447889310357546, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.018823586753276667, "bench_c_m1d": -0.018823586753276667, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04405777578576786, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04405777578576786, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0392359436827574, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0392359436827574, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004821832103010459, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004821832103010459, "ret_p1w": 0.016660453601538228, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.016660453601538228, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.029503961838646453, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.029503961838646453, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012843508237108225, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012843508237108225, "ret_p1m": 0.16919658112173996, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.16919658112173996, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1870789486589377, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1870789486589377, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01788236753719774, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01788236753719774, "ret_p3m": 0.429470576940826, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.429470576940826, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.36400165108809257, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.36400165108809257, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06546892585273345, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06546892585273345, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.5268, 0.5302, 0.4535, 0.4994, 0.4261, 0.4517, 0.4184, 0.3551, 0.3621, 0.4402, 0.4776, 0.5542, 0.5542, 0.5539, 0.5505, 0.545, 0.5809, 0.6264, 0.5924, 0.5294, 0.5587, 0.5091, 0.4539, 0.405, 0.3532, 0.3336, 0.2869, 0.3169, 0.3406, 0.3502, 0.341, 0.331, 0.331, 0.3277, 0.3206, 0.3158, 0.3006, 0.3006, 0.321, 0.3436, 0.2977, 0.2321, 0.2044, 0.1707, 0.1833, 0.1551, 0.1596, 0.1577, 0.1599, 0.1599, 0.1407, 0.1314, 0.1514, 0.1651, 0.1585, 0.1651, 0.1625, 0.1188, 0.0885, 0.0533, 0.0015, -0.0174, -0.0833, 0.0, 0.0441, 0.047, -0.0026, -0.01, 0.0167, 0.0167, 0.2244, 0.1788, 0.1477, 0.1544, 0.1307, 0.1381, 0.201, 0.1951, 0.1355, 0.1355, 0.1659, 0.2084, 0.2107, 0.1781, 0.1692, 0.1485, 0.144, 0.11, 0.1148, 0.1311, 0.1529, 0.1122, 0.0877, 0.0896, 0.1088, 0.0866, 0.0996, 0.1126, 0.0755, 0.07, 0.1118, 0.1111, 0.1063, 0.1063, 0.1174, 0.0966, 0.1492, 0.187, 0.1814, 0.2332, 0.2854, 0.3673, 0.4069, 0.3943, 0.4417, 0.3832, 0.3939, 0.3695, 0.3558, 0.3473, 0.3551, 0.3236, 0.3173, 0.3665, 0.4184, 0.4406, 0.4295, 0.4158, 0.421, 0.4347, 0.3924, 0.5287, 0.5394, 0.5028, 0.5076, 0.4739, 0.4658, 0.4665, 0.5124, 0.5124, 0.4561, 0.4291, 0.4787, 0.5542, 0.5542, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2032277356006817996", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-13T02:07:34+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The stock will keep going up despite \"charts looking too high\"", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NVDA; fundamentals (revenue, margins) override extended technicals and the stock keeps rising.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If $NVDA gives a company $100B and the MC of it is $100M off, 80% gross margins.   \n\nThe stock will keep going up despite \"charts looking too high\".   \n\nIt doesn't matter what the RSI is or if it's extended.  \n\nMajority of TA drawers do completely discount fundamentals, but there's a few I follow that actually do know what they're talking about.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Imo when someone looks at a chart that’s been up 9 days in a row (random example) and is 25% from say its daily 20ma and is 90+ RSI and they say it’s extended, they aren’t discounting fundamentals pointing to higher prices at some point", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jayjay12246", "ret_m1d": 0.016033283715109148, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016033283715109148, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010340955010317954, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.010340955010317954, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005692328704791194, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005692328704791194, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01647712189016981, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01647712189016981, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0063002557786866475, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0063002557786866475, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010176866111483163, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010176866111483163, "ret_p1w": -0.041886286001430295, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.041886286001430295, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.023844730218383292, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.023844730218383292, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.018041555783047003, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018041555783047003, "ret_p1m": 0.05026350934032586, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05026350934032586, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.011483336043066616, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.011483336043066616, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.038780173297259246, "bench_c_p1m": 0.038780173297259246, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0141, -0.0517, -0.0339, 0.0041, 0.019, 0.0497, 0.0463, 0.0463, 0.057, 0.0442, 0.0404, 0.0346, 0.0346, 0.0477, 0.0436, 0.0387, 0.0491, 0.0265, 0.0255, 0.026, 0.0308, 0.016, 0.0377, 0.0331, 0.0331, -0.0121, 0.017, 0.0254, 0.0411, 0.0345, 0.0458, 0.0625, 0.068, 0.0603, 0.0297, 0.0004, -0.0337, -0.0465, 0.0286, 0.0543, 0.0459, 0.0543, 0.0371, 0.0141, 0.0141, 0.0261, 0.0428, 0.0424, 0.053, 0.0626, 0.0698, 0.0849, 0.0257, -0.017, 0.0123, -0.0012, 0.0154, 0.0171, -0.0135, 0.0133, 0.025, 0.0321, 0.016, 0.0, 0.0165, 0.0093, 0.0008, -0.0094, -0.0419, -0.0256, -0.028, -0.0087, -0.05, -0.0706, -0.0837, -0.0325, -0.025, -0.0159, -0.0159, -0.0145, -0.0119, 0.0102, 0.0203, 0.0465, 0.0503, 0.0902, 0.1033, 0.1004, 0.1189, 0.121, 0.1089, 0.1234, 0.1076, 0.1555, 0.2017, 0.1826, 0.1609, 0.1072, 0.101, 0.1011, 0.0902, 0.153, 0.1734, 0.1939, 0.2174, 0.2249, 0.2529, 0.3079, 0.25, 0.2334, 0.2239, 0.2398, 0.2178, 0.1946, 0.1946, 0.192, 0.1795, 0.1886, 0.1714, 0.1714, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2030297739783970882", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-07T15:01:16+00:00", "symbol": "000660.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "SK Hynix looks like a terrific buy on the dip. Fears are overblown on oil/LNG imports.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long SK Hynix on the dip; DRAM/NAND price hikes are tailwinds and oil/LNG import fears are overblown.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@PronologieFR Samsung just doubled NAND prices the other day, DRAM prices hiked. \n\nimo SK Hynix looks like a terrific buy on the dip. Fears are overblown on oil/LNG imports.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Do you think SK Hynix is a buy at this price ?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PronologieFR", "ret_m1d": 0.10526311066951677, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.10526311066951677, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.113947064033872, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.15873981591527397, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.053476705245757206, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.12200955542508463, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.12200955542508463, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.12361668233045175, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.1488225836890028, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02681302826391818, "ret_p1w": 0.16507170307476637, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16507170307476637, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.17869460979896512, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1709720189290802, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005900315854313831, "ret_p1m": 0.09569377775770538, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09569377775770538, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12112574217731786, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1457348336900739, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05004105593236852, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2991, -0.3254, -0.3182, -0.3385, -0.3672, -0.3421, -0.3409, -0.3469, -0.3075, -0.3027, -0.2979, -0.2979, -0.2848, -0.2359, -0.2227, -0.2227, -0.2227, -0.1917, -0.169, -0.1332, -0.1141, -0.0974, -0.1117, -0.1057, -0.1189, -0.1141, -0.1057, -0.0974, -0.0878, -0.1129, -0.1165, -0.0986, -0.0842, -0.1212, -0.0448, 0.0041, 0.028, 0.0853, -0.009, 0.0829, 0.0746, 0.0053, 0.0017, 0.0591, 0.0459, 0.0268, 0.0602, 0.0507, 0.0507, 0.0507, 0.0507, 0.0674, 0.1331, 0.1355, 0.1999, 0.2155, 0.3146, 0.2691, 0.2691, 0.1232, 0.0156, 0.1256, 0.1053, 0.0, 0.122, 0.1423, 0.1124, 0.0885, 0.1651, 0.1603, 0.2632, 0.2117, 0.2045, 0.116, 0.1794, 0.1902, 0.116, 0.116, 0.0443, -0.0347, 0.073, -0.0072, 0.0478, 0.0598, 0.0957, 0.2356, 0.1938, 0.2285, 0.244, 0.3194, 0.3589, 0.3816, 0.3493, 0.3947, 0.4641, 0.4629, 0.4653, 0.4617, 0.5455, 0.555, 0.5467, 0.5383, 0.5383, 0.7309, 0.7309, 0.9151, 0.9785, 1.0167, 1.2488, 1.195, 1.3636, 1.3565, 1.1758, 1.201, 1.0873, 1.0873, 1.3206, 1.3218, 1.3218, 1.4545, 1.683, 1.7385, 1.7911, 1.8492, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2024560808475447316", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-19T19:04:45+00:00", "symbol": "CEG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "they still go directly to $CEG or others in $XLU to pull power directly for \"off-grid\"", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Dismisses off-grid AI power risk; data centers still route to CEG/utilities for power, supporting utilities demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["CEG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Utilities - Independent Power Producers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SnakePoops Risk is largely overstated. they still go directly to $CEG or others in $XLU to pull power directly for \"off-grid\". Lot of regulatory problems too.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Risk could be that AI data centers inplement direct power generation that bypasses grid and provides power directly into data center.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SnakePoops", "ret_m1d": 0.008194432478701108, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.008194432478701108, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005550024085836158, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005550024085836158, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0026444083928649498, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0026444083928649498, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010903068664850801, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010903068664850801, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.003671204075727852, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.003671204075727852, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007231864589122949, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007231864589122949, "ret_p1w": 0.10937393587231425, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10937393587231425, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10233207526746324, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10233207526746324, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0070418606048510135, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0070418606048510135, "ret_p1m": -0.031859425433749644, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.031859425433749644, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.018015949835295975, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.018015949835295975, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04987537526904562, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04987537526904562, "ret_p3m": -0.10366567294739637, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.10366567294739637, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17854566196024835, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17854566196024835, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07487998901285198, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07487998901285198, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2141, 0.2055, 0.2312, 0.2312, 0.2493, 0.2311, 0.2469, 0.2386, 0.2639, 0.2337, 0.2263, 0.2314, 0.2414, 0.2981, 0.2068, 0.2245, 0.2536, 0.1691, 0.2379, 0.2185, 0.2268, 0.2389, 0.2479, 0.2479, 0.2359, 0.2286, 0.2244, 0.2112, 0.2112, 0.2557, 0.217, 0.2157, 0.161, 0.1059, 0.1744, 0.1515, 0.1436, 0.1328, 0.1699, 0.055, 0.055, 0.0128, 0.0093, -0.0148, -0.0089, -0.0219, -0.0099, -0.0127, -0.0144, -0.0376, -0.0712, -0.0796, -0.1413, -0.1529, -0.1037, -0.0669, -0.0704, -0.0508, -0.0533, -0.0111, -0.0111, 0.0389, 0.0082, 0.0, 0.0109, 0.0073, 0.0719, 0.1172, 0.1094, 0.131, 0.1217, 0.1139, 0.1069, 0.1386, 0.0939, 0.1089, 0.0886, 0.0323, 0.0353, 0.0361, 0.0491, 0.0564, 0.0891, 0.0865, -0.0319, -0.0052, 0.0123, 0.0414, 0.0135, 0.0351, 0.0252, -0.0413, -0.0405, -0.0633, -0.0633, -0.0553, -0.0642, -0.024, -0.0378, -0.0164, 0.0015, 0.0183, 0.0119, 0.027, 0.017, -0.0127, -0.0466, -0.0141, 0.0052, 0.0764, 0.0821, 0.0496, 0.0197, 0.0746, 0.0568, 0.1022, 0.1001, 0.1082, 0.0687, 0.0424, 0.0289, 0.008, -0.0562, -0.055, -0.0812, -0.0991, -0.1037, -0.0329, -0.0172, 0.0112, 0.0112, 0.037, -0.0074, -0.0155, -0.0105, -0.0105, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2024560808475447316", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-19T19:04:45+00:00", "symbol": "XLU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "they still go directly to $CEG or others in $XLU to pull power directly for \"off-grid\"", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Dismisses off-grid AI power risk; data centers still route to CEG/utilities for power, supporting utilities demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SnakePoops Risk is largely overstated. they still go directly to $CEG or others in $XLU to pull power directly for \"off-grid\". Lot of regulatory problems too.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Risk could be that AI data centers inplement direct power generation that bypasses grid and provides power directly into data center.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SnakePoops", "ret_m1d": -0.010843636267906964, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010843636267906964, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.013488044660771914, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.013488044660771914, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0026444083928649498, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0026444083928649498, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004771259940194339, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004771259940194339, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0024606046489286104, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0024606046489286104, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007231864589122949, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007231864589122949, "ret_p1w": 0.023205408272127803, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.023205408272127803, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01616354766727679, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01616354766727679, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0070418606048510135, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0070418606048510135, "ret_p1m": -0.031663331261166494, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.031663331261166494, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.018212044007879125, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.018212044007879125, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04987537526904562, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04987537526904562, "ret_p3m": -0.0316634145699376, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0316634145699376, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.10654340358278958, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10654340358278958, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07487998901285198, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07487998901285198, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0405, -0.0441, -0.0314, -0.0314, -0.0245, -0.0474, -0.0541, -0.0572, -0.0591, -0.0679, -0.0804, -0.0798, -0.0802, -0.0735, -0.078, -0.0696, -0.0735, -0.0795, -0.0705, -0.0823, -0.0789, -0.0757, -0.0716, -0.0716, -0.0722, -0.0705, -0.0683, -0.0742, -0.0742, -0.0635, -0.074, -0.0694, -0.092, -0.0894, -0.0781, -0.0766, -0.0707, -0.0638, -0.0542, -0.059, -0.059, -0.0683, -0.067, -0.0737, -0.077, -0.0703, -0.0581, -0.0603, -0.0603, -0.062, -0.0757, -0.0622, -0.0657, -0.0653, -0.0599, -0.057, -0.0414, -0.033, -0.0187, 0.0085, 0.0085, 0.0059, -0.0108, 0.0, 0.0048, 0.0124, 0.0236, 0.0271, 0.0232, 0.0351, 0.0273, 0.0208, 0.0252, 0.0171, 0.0137, 0.016, 0.0098, 0.0013, 0.0085, 0.0184, 0.0249, 0.0221, 0.0134, 0.0093, -0.0317, -0.0221, -0.0153, -0.0118, -0.01, -0.0044, 0.0028, 0.0022, 0.007, 0.012, 0.012, 0.0083, 0.0105, 0.0216, 0.0297, 0.0256, 0.0131, 0.0149, 0.005, 0.0122, 0.0081, -0.0009, -0.0183, -0.0201, 0.0066, 0.0085, 0.0087, 0.01, -0.0024, 0.0232, 0.0166, 0.0127, 0.0127, -0.0017, -0.0146, -0.0234, -0.0142, -0.0131, -0.0245, -0.0194, -0.0419, -0.0404, -0.0317, -0.028, -0.0172, -0.0096, -0.0096, -0.01, -0.0142, -0.0253, -0.0299, -0.0299, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2024858041078911142", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-20T14:45:51+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Did you listen anon? - $AXTI", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses bullish AXTI thesis as AI hyperscaler InP substrate bottleneck play.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Did you listen anon? - $AXTI https://t.co/Pcuu4M3muO", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Warning: The entire AI industry will likely be bottlenecked by two companies:\n\n1. $AXTI ($700M) \n2. $SMTOY ($31.7B)\n\nWhich both control 60–70%+ of the world's InP substrates.\n\nFuture $NVDA, $GOOGL TPU v7 pods, $META, $MSFT, $AMZN hyperscaler clusters require InP-based lasers and https://t.co/8mqrgONJbb", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.19777630656593193, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.19777630656593193, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.19059636633233645, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.18613862594893604, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007179940233595472, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011637680616995882, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04211590253191533, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04211590253191533, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.031904587821040664, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03693556881433335, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010211314710874664, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005180333717581975, "ret_p1w": 0.2769542161786862, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2769542161786862, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2819438933667766, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.29782018656053943, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004989677188090402, "bench_c_p1w": -0.020865970381853227, "ret_p1m": 1.1711590895829205, "ret_signed_p1m": 1.1711590895829205, "alpha_spy_p1m": 1.2179516054577335, "alpha_c_p1m": 1.228191143885871, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.046792515874813145, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05703205430295055, "ret_p3m": 2.5245956716553346, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.5245956716553346, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.446495878644203, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.164067577769755, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07809979301113179, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3605280938855797, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.689, -0.6479, -0.6479, -0.6395, -0.6365, -0.6038, -0.6132, -0.5923, -0.6098, -0.5718, -0.496, -0.4774, -0.4481, -0.501, -0.5003, -0.562, -0.5836, -0.528, -0.5064, -0.4872, -0.5067, -0.4943, -0.4943, -0.4821, -0.5084, -0.4677, -0.4491, -0.4491, -0.4353, -0.4383, -0.3204, -0.1877, -0.1297, -0.2254, -0.2507, -0.2753, -0.2554, -0.1334, -0.2557, -0.2557, -0.2786, -0.3336, -0.3962, -0.4137, -0.4003, -0.4205, -0.433, -0.4481, -0.3753, -0.2945, -0.3349, -0.3683, -0.3117, -0.1894, -0.0644, -0.1796, -0.097, -0.1648, -0.1833, -0.1833, -0.218, -0.2069, -0.1978, 0.0, -0.0421, 0.1819, 0.3804, 0.2507, 0.277, 0.5606, 0.407, 0.3184, 0.3073, 0.0906, 0.2992, 0.4926, 0.5957, 0.5745, 0.6462, 0.6304, 0.4946, 0.6429, 0.9572, 0.8275, 1.1712, 1.3059, 1.2692, 0.9714, 1.0428, 0.7766, 0.9198, 0.5883, 0.7803, 0.7803, 0.4148, 0.5317, 0.7918, 1.1267, 1.1624, 1.2389, 1.2675, 1.1203, 1.7554, 1.7817, 1.6536, 1.5259, 1.9292, 1.5361, 1.566, 1.3635, 1.315, 1.3945, 1.6691, 2.2345, 2.5714, 2.6237, 2.532, 2.653, 2.9205, 3.2389, 3.1408, 3.1085, 2.874, 3.1705, 2.5674, 2.8032, 2.5246, 3.0775, 3.7449, 3.7449, 3.4677, 3.1365, 2.8982, 2.4757, 2.4757, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2036216008802029738", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-23T22:58:22+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's time to start getting used to seeing this every day. Any production these photonics companies can make? -> get bought out.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AAOI and photonics companies as hyperscaler 800G orders keep coming and any production capacity gets acquired.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AAOI receives $53M 800G order from hyperscaler for optical transceivers.\n\nIt’s time to start getting used to seeing this every day.\n\nAny production these photonics companies can make?\n\n-&gt; get bought out. https://t.co/3eqwBUV8Np", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08583960983009542, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08583960983009542, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07544869538678489, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07544869538678489, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010390914443310528, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010390914443310528, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.18943190251648123, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.18943190251648123, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.1927887522687477, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.1927887522687477, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0033568497522664664, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0033568497522664664, "ret_p1w": -0.1103801113098043, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1103801113098043, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07466032430795122, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07466032430795122, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.035719787001853076, "bench_c_p1w": -0.035719787001853076, "ret_p1m": 0.5723684624611249, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5723684624611249, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4980604093557526, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4980604093557526, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07430805310537236, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07430805310537236, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5718, -0.5718, -0.6118, -0.6162, -0.6239, -0.636, -0.636, -0.5865, -0.6346, -0.5968, -0.6026, -0.6553, -0.6445, -0.6479, -0.6431, -0.64, -0.6136, -0.6132, -0.6132, -0.59, -0.5992, -0.6016, -0.627, -0.6357, -0.6095, -0.5277, -0.5868, -0.5446, -0.5388, -0.5184, -0.5833, -0.6018, -0.5374, -0.4997, -0.4936, -0.4946, -0.5406, -0.5357, -0.5357, -0.5415, -0.5464, -0.5094, -0.4603, -0.4365, -0.4124, -0.3931, -0.4393, -0.1204, 0.0705, -0.0044, 0.0412, 0.0562, -0.0019, 0.1552, 0.2582, 0.3263, 0.1089, 0.011, -0.0176, -0.0985, -0.0327, 0.0643, -0.0858, 0.0, 0.1894, 0.1948, 0.0173, 0.0256, -0.1104, -0.1166, -0.0983, 0.0851, 0.0851, 0.1221, 0.2285, 0.3858, 0.392, 0.5727, 0.5997, 0.5287, 0.4886, 0.6429, 0.6648, 0.7071, 0.5724, 0.5604, 0.4383, 0.6935, 0.5223, 0.4334, 0.596, 0.7164, 0.9164, 0.8064, 0.8857, 0.8645, 0.6453, 0.5553, 0.9309, 0.9662, 1.3298, 1.1258, 0.9879, 0.8093, 0.7892, 0.7258, 0.8464, 0.8953, 0.8953, 0.8548, 0.8779, 0.765, 0.6542, 0.6542, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2028455727996752242", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-02T13:01:47+00:00", "symbol": "LASR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Is probably the single largest beneficiary and validation from the US / Israel vs. Iran conflict... Ended up taking positions in $LASR at $3B MC", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long LASR as the only pure-play directed-energy weapons stock and known critical Iron Beam supplier, validated by live combat use against Hezbollah rockets.", "resolved_tickers": ["LASR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$LASR Energy Directed Weapons from the Iron Beam. \n\nIs probably the single largest beneficiary and validation from the US / Israel vs. Iran conflict. \n\nHezbollah Fired Rockets into Israel. \n\n-> $LASR (Nlight) laser engine inside of Rafael's Iron Beam shot them down. \n\nIt's absolutely wild to see it in action. \n\nLot of defense funds will now probably be pouring into Energy Directed Weapons in the near future given validation just now. \n\nEspecially to zap down hypersonic missiles with the HELSI initiative.  \n\nThere's a few large player exposure like $DRS or $RTX but there's only one $3.1B MC pure-play energy directed weapons stock.\n\nWhich also happens to be a known critical supplier for the Iron Beam.\n\nEnded up taking positions in $LASR at $3B MC.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.16989220564221263, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.16989220564221263, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.16932394995800626, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.16932394995800626, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06825236489806885, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06825236489806885, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05943802641527318, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05943802641527318, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "ret_p1w": -0.0988329472612628, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0988329472612628, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08701736633774793, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08701736633774793, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "ret_p1m": -0.15763039738222395, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15763039738222395, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1077106558070402, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1077106558070402, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "ret_p3m": 0.1693012065466042, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1693012065466042, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06690782738069623, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06690782738069623, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4959, -0.4631, -0.4617, -0.4541, -0.4401, -0.4416, -0.4352, -0.4664, -0.4608, -0.4766, -0.488, -0.4689, -0.4429, -0.4351, -0.4172, -0.4191, -0.4191, -0.4209, -0.4237, -0.4305, -0.4459, -0.4459, -0.4332, -0.4373, -0.443, -0.4453, -0.4086, -0.4088, -0.3859, -0.3689, -0.3622, -0.3525, -0.3509, -0.3509, -0.3315, -0.3213, -0.2909, -0.351, -0.3562, -0.3363, -0.3207, -0.304, -0.3262, -0.2897, -0.2616, -0.352, -0.3191, -0.2448, -0.1935, -0.2182, -0.1898, -0.2254, -0.2277, -0.2277, -0.2482, -0.1971, -0.1774, -0.1726, -0.1919, -0.1485, -0.1047, -0.07, -0.1699, 0.0, -0.0683, -0.0099, -0.0758, -0.1337, -0.0988, -0.0576, -0.0177, -0.0727, -0.0752, 0.012, 0.051, 0.0126, 0.0471, -0.0285, 0.0334, 0.0572, 0.06, -0.0566, -0.0498, -0.2022, -0.1576, -0.1387, -0.1118, -0.1118, -0.1402, -0.1473, -0.1089, -0.0734, -0.0343, 0.0321, -0.0121, -0.0188, 0.0264, 0.0405, 0.0539, 0.0669, 0.0634, 0.0962, 0.1197, 0.0347, -0.0282, -0.0402, 0.0319, 0.0486, 0.0254, -0.0109, 0.0532, -0.0222, 0.0919, 0.255, 0.2381, 0.1881, 0.2015, 0.117, 0.0464, 0.0266, 0.0533, 0.1291, 0.1604, 0.1604, 0.2051, 0.2024, 0.1693, 0.095, 0.095, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2013644584841101483", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-20T16:07:35+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I just hold it instead of trying to trade it", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds AXTI as a long-term position rather than trading the volatility.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@jliljliljlil $AXTI moves up and down randomly 20%, I just hold it instead of trying to trade it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03176087389173787, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03176087389173787, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01098107832240891, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006145464622099084, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.020779795569328963, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02561540926963879, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07613260963958501, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07613260963958501, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08767368884167948, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.10569273565288995, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011541079202094462, "bench_c_p1d": 0.029560126013304933, "ret_p1w": -0.19663704411382943, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.19663704411382943, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2230693256072671, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.23982458661986827, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02643228149343768, "bench_c_p1w": 0.043187542506038845, "ret_p1m": 0.09948627198952065, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09948627198952065, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08663169885472577, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04272259383938337, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012854573134794878, "bench_c_p1m": 0.056763678150137276, "ret_p3m": 2.85614190317582, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.85614190317582, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.805226264586268, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.667177057135624, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091563858955217, "bench_c_p3m": 0.18896484604019603, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7581, -0.717, -0.7109, -0.6917, -0.6698, -0.6581, -0.6287, -0.6049, -0.6011, -0.575, -0.5857, -0.5582, -0.5124, -0.5068, -0.4872, -0.5124, -0.5124, -0.5213, -0.5376, -0.5278, -0.5586, -0.5829, -0.5638, -0.5689, -0.5119, -0.5119, -0.5002, -0.496, -0.4507, -0.4638, -0.4348, -0.4591, -0.4064, -0.3013, -0.2756, -0.2349, -0.3083, -0.3073, -0.3928, -0.4227, -0.3456, -0.3157, -0.2891, -0.3162, -0.2989, -0.2989, -0.2821, -0.3185, -0.262, -0.2363, -0.2363, -0.2172, -0.2214, -0.0579, 0.1261, 0.2064, 0.0738, 0.0388, 0.0047, 0.0322, 0.2013, 0.0318, 0.0318, 0.0, -0.0761, -0.163, -0.1873, -0.1686, -0.1966, -0.2139, -0.2349, -0.134, -0.022, -0.078, -0.1242, -0.0458, 0.1238, 0.2971, 0.1373, 0.2518, 0.1579, 0.1322, 0.1322, 0.0841, 0.0995, 0.1121, 0.3863, 0.3279, 0.6385, 0.9136, 0.7338, 0.7702, 1.1635, 0.9505, 0.8277, 0.8122, 0.5119, 0.801, 1.0691, 1.2121, 1.1826, 1.2821, 1.2602, 1.0719, 1.2774, 1.7132, 1.5334, 2.0098, 2.1966, 2.1457, 1.7328, 1.8319, 1.4629, 1.6614, 1.2018, 1.468, 1.468, 0.9612, 1.1233, 1.4839, 1.9482, 1.9977, 2.1037, 2.1434, 1.9393, 2.8197, 2.8561, 2.6787, 2.5016, 3.0607, 2.5156, 2.5572, 2.2765, 2.2092, 2.3195, 2.7001, 3.4839, 3.951, 4.0234, 3.8963, 4.064, 4.4348, 4.8762, 4.7403, 4.6955, 4.3704, 4.7814, 3.9454, 4.2723, 3.886, 4.6525, 5.5778, 5.5778, 5.1934, 4.7342, 4.404, 3.8183, 3.8183, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2015805598265479518", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-26T15:14:41+00:00", "symbol": "ALM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Not everyday do you have foreign governments telling you what to buy", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Names Western-listed equities as beneficiaries of Chinese critical-mineral export controls; implicit buy signal across tungsten, indium, bismuth, tellurium, molybdenum, lithium, antimony, gallium, germanium, graphite plays.", "resolved_tickers": ["ALM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Other Industrial Metals & Mining'", "bench_c_industry": "Other Industrial Metals & Mining", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Today, all eyes are on Copper, $SLV, and $USAR after US Gov's $1.6B funding.\n\nBut ever wonder about the more silent trades you should really be watching out for? \n\n1. Tungsten - $ALM\n2. Indium - $TECK\n3. Bismuth - TSE: $VNP\n4. Tellurium - $VNP\n5. Molybdenum - $FCX\n6. Lithium  - $LAC\n7. Antimony- $UAMY\n8. Gallium - $AA\n9. Germanium - $TECK\n10. Graphite  - $SYAAF\n\nThis are the list of some of the top Chinese critical minerals/material export control chokepoints and the Western beneficiary. \n\nNot everyday do you have foreign governments telling you what to buy.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03972366504124769, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03972366504124769, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03467117526673502, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03852446136518062, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0050524897745126696, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0011992036760670732, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04145073794462595, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04145073794462595, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.045435002674310554, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04045135048971482, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003984264729684606, "bench_c_p1d": -0.000999387454911127, "ret_p1w": -0.019861791342976054, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.019861791342976054, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.023730584223054296, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.012266400733281557, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0038687928800782423, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007595390609694497, "ret_p1m": 0.4317789320329981, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4317789320329981, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.43954531949397446, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.36521883912343345, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007766387460976354, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06656009290956466, "ret_p3m": 0.906735757269296, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.906735757269296, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.8812498743434389, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.8665517119014403, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025485882925857073, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04018404536785569, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3877, -0.4162, -0.3843, -0.4352, -0.4646, -0.475, -0.4465, -0.3955, -0.3826, -0.3817, -0.3998, -0.4093, -0.4309, -0.4396, -0.4819, -0.4706, -0.5121, -0.5173, -0.4836, -0.4646, -0.4491, -0.4491, -0.4076, -0.4447, -0.4119, -0.4231, -0.3782, -0.3748, -0.3178, -0.3877, -0.4128, -0.4197, -0.4162, -0.3687, -0.3109, -0.3238, -0.2789, -0.2694, -0.2366, -0.2366, -0.1848, -0.1848, -0.1822, -0.2003, -0.2323, -0.2392, -0.2392, -0.2401, -0.1701, -0.1589, -0.1788, -0.196, -0.2547, -0.215, -0.215, -0.2202, -0.2228, -0.2513, -0.2513, -0.1848, -0.1244, -0.0959, -0.0397, 0.0, -0.0415, 0.0458, -0.0121, -0.025, -0.0199, 0.1563, 0.1537, 0.0967, 0.2176, 0.2807, 0.2228, 0.2245, 0.1028, 0.1952, 0.1952, 0.1684, 0.253, 0.2591, 0.2729, 0.3359, 0.4318, 0.4421, 0.5406, 0.5881, 0.7893, 0.671, 0.6883, 0.6667, 0.6166, 0.7012, 0.8385, 0.924, 0.8187, 0.6991, 0.6658, 0.5682, 0.5354, 0.4836, 0.399, 0.462, 0.2716, 0.4111, 0.2677, 0.2876, 0.1891, 0.2504, 0.2971, 0.3264, 0.3264, 0.4361, 0.3808, 0.5225, 0.5225, 0.544, 0.7807, 0.8826, 0.8135, 0.9663, 1.0225, 1.0181, 0.8946, 1.0147, 0.9067, 0.8929, 0.8558, 0.7936, 0.7073, 0.8722, 0.7789, 0.6874, 0.7297, 0.8446, 0.7116, 0.6995, 0.8066, 0.9102, 0.6865, 0.5842, 0.5069, 0.494, 0.487, 0.5233, 0.6226, 0.6114, 0.6114, 0.7073, 0.7556, 0.7876, 0.6978, 0.6978, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2015805598265479518", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-26T15:14:41+00:00", "symbol": "TECK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Not everyday do you have foreign governments telling you what to buy", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Names Western-listed equities as beneficiaries of Chinese critical-mineral export controls; implicit buy signal across tungsten, indium, bismuth, tellurium, molybdenum, lithium, antimony, gallium, germanium, graphite plays.", "resolved_tickers": ["TECK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Today, all eyes are on Copper, $SLV, and $USAR after US Gov's $1.6B funding.\n\nBut ever wonder about the more silent trades you should really be watching out for? \n\n1. Tungsten - $ALM\n2. Indium - $TECK\n3. Bismuth - TSE: $VNP\n4. Tellurium - $VNP\n5. Molybdenum - $FCX\n6. Lithium  - $LAC\n7. Antimony- $UAMY\n8. Gallium - $AA\n9. Germanium - $TECK\n10. Graphite  - $SYAAF\n\nThis are the list of some of the top Chinese critical minerals/material export control chokepoints and the Western beneficiary. \n\nNot everyday do you have foreign governments telling you what to buy.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03178085350886106, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03178085350886106, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.026728363734348393, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.026728363734348393, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0050524897745126696, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0050524897745126696, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.030867538386456506, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.030867538386456506, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0268832736567719, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0268832736567719, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003984264729684606, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003984264729684606, "ret_p1w": -0.0034703182706020685, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0034703182706020685, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.007339111150680311, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.007339111150680311, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0038687928800782423, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0038687928800782423, "ret_p1m": 0.09242009173215648, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09242009173215648, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10018647919313284, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10018647919313284, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007766387460976354, "bench_c_p1m": -0.007766387460976354, "ret_p3m": 0.11156055226912565, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11156055226912565, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08607466934326857, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08607466934326857, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025485882925857073, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025485882925857073, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1974, -0.2132, -0.2161, -0.2203, -0.2493, -0.2382, -0.2429, -0.2495, -0.2267, -0.2159, -0.2013, -0.2351, -0.2491, -0.2621, -0.2862, -0.2679, -0.3017, -0.2716, -0.2493, -0.2285, -0.2223, -0.2223, -0.2166, -0.2091, -0.2104, -0.1881, -0.1803, -0.1768, -0.1903, -0.183, -0.2011, -0.1774, -0.2113, -0.2135, -0.2115, -0.1918, -0.1737, -0.1828, -0.175, -0.1461, -0.1498, -0.1498, -0.1262, -0.1282, -0.1238, -0.1253, -0.1253, -0.1227, -0.0868, -0.0623, -0.0919, -0.0977, -0.0942, -0.0765, -0.0906, -0.0469, -0.0453, -0.0769, -0.0769, -0.0829, -0.032, -0.0641, -0.0318, 0.0, 0.0309, 0.0384, 0.065, -0.0181, -0.0035, 0.082, 0.021, -0.0232, 0.0047, 0.0566, 0.0656, 0.1028, 0.0698, 0.076, 0.076, 0.0572, 0.0842, 0.0829, 0.0849, 0.0798, 0.0924, 0.122, 0.114, 0.0756, 0.0446, 0.013, 0.0137, -0.0234, -0.0769, -0.0694, -0.0416, -0.027, -0.0526, -0.0937, -0.0833, -0.0859, -0.1054, -0.1334, -0.17, -0.1177, -0.1115, -0.0785, -0.1113, -0.1118, -0.1159, -0.0531, -0.0269, -0.0334, -0.0334, -0.0328, -0.0387, 0.019, 0.0001, 0.034, 0.0503, 0.0775, 0.0664, 0.0587, 0.0865, 0.0819, 0.0376, 0.0843, 0.1116, 0.1009, 0.1019, 0.0578, 0.029, 0.0691, 0.0603, 0.0387, 0.0576, 0.1346, 0.1117, 0.1869, 0.1946, 0.2071, 0.223, 0.1966, 0.1225, 0.1022, 0.0865, 0.1202, 0.1527, 0.1465, 0.1465, 0.1932, 0.1937, 0.2093, 0.2105, 0.2105, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2015805598265479518", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-26T15:14:41+00:00", "symbol": "VNP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Not everyday do you have foreign governments telling you what to buy", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Names Western-listed equities as beneficiaries of Chinese critical-mineral export controls; implicit buy signal across tungsten, indium, bismuth, tellurium, molybdenum, lithium, antimony, gallium, germanium, graphite plays.", "resolved_tickers": ["VNP.TO"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "5N Plus trades on TSX main board as VNP.TO", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Specialty Chemicals'", "bench_c_industry": "Specialty Chemicals", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Today, all eyes are on Copper, $SLV, and $USAR after US Gov's $1.6B funding.\n\nBut ever wonder about the more silent trades you should really be watching out for? \n\n1. Tungsten - $ALM\n2. Indium - $TECK\n3. Bismuth - TSE: $VNP\n4. Tellurium - $VNP\n5. Molybdenum - $FCX\n6. Lithium  - $LAC\n7. Antimony- $UAMY\n8. Gallium - $AA\n9. Germanium - $TECK\n10. Graphite  - $SYAAF\n\nThis are the list of some of the top Chinese critical minerals/material export control chokepoints and the Western beneficiary. \n\nNot everyday do you have foreign governments telling you what to buy.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.022739307702037248, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.022739307702037248, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.027791797476549918, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02393851137810432, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0050524897745126696, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0011992036760670732, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.015335849702136972, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015335849702136972, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011351584972452367, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0163352371570481, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003984264729684606, "bench_c_p1d": -0.000999387454911127, "ret_p1w": 0.34902170463914395, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.34902170463914395, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.3451529117590657, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.35661709524883844, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0038687928800782423, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007595390609694497, "ret_p1m": 0.5483871455796212, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5483871455796212, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5561535330405976, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.48182705267005654, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007766387460976354, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06656009290956466, "ret_p3m": 0.7451084223311695, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7451084223311695, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.7196225394053124, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.7049243769633138, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025485882925857073, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04018404536785569, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0566, 0.0212, 0.0608, 0.0978, 0.0286, 0.1311, 0.0666, 0.0809, 0.1031, 0.1015, 0.0814, 0.0555, 0.0719, 0.0434, 0.0206, 0.0656, -0.0032, -0.027, -0.0005, 0.046, 0.0672, 0.0418, 0.0518, 0.0391, 0.0497, 0.0212, 0.0397, 0.0217, 0.0307, 0.01, -0.0137, -0.0037, -0.0259, -0.0423, -0.0746, -0.0857, -0.046, -0.0555, -0.0164, -0.0455, -0.0317, -0.0317, -0.0317, -0.0434, -0.055, -0.0629, -0.0629, -0.0481, -0.0164, -0.0296, -0.0375, 0.0307, 0.0624, 0.0957, 0.0894, 0.0693, 0.0936, 0.0809, 0.0635, 0.046, -0.0011, 0.0058, 0.0227, 0.0, 0.0153, 0.0328, 0.2295, 0.2734, 0.349, 0.4231, 0.4638, 0.3554, 0.4643, 0.4532, 0.4384, 0.4675, 0.3887, 0.4659, 0.4659, 0.4326, 0.4484, 0.4812, 0.5568, 0.4981, 0.5484, 0.5828, 0.6097, 0.5685, 0.6335, 0.6425, 0.6081, 0.5124, 0.495, 0.4923, 0.5426, 0.5479, 0.5341, 0.5161, 0.5918, 0.6245, 0.5918, 0.5368, 0.5457, 0.643, 0.7599, 0.8382, 0.753, 0.7478, 0.5843, 0.6753, 0.7129, 0.6801, 0.6801, 0.6647, 0.6737, 0.7959, 0.8006, 0.8757, 0.8921, 0.8355, 0.7964, 0.78, 0.7753, 0.8387, 0.7763, 0.7668, 0.7451, 0.761, 0.743, 0.698, 0.6589, 0.7329, 0.8488, 0.8741, 0.8614, 0.9064, 0.972, 0.9884, 1.0381, 1.0703, 1.1311, 1.1338, 1.1169, 1.1169, 1.2084, 1.2893, 1.2782, 1.3654, 1.3945, 1.5198, 1.4273, 1.394, 1.2602, 1.2602, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2015805598265479518", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-01-26T15:14:41+00:00", "symbol": "FCX", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Not everyday do you have foreign governments telling you what to buy", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Names Western-listed equities as beneficiaries of Chinese critical-mineral export controls; implicit buy signal across tungsten, indium, bismuth, tellurium, molybdenum, lithium, antimony, gallium, germanium, graphite plays.", "resolved_tickers": ["FCX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Copper'", "bench_c_industry": "Copper", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Today, all eyes are on Copper, $SLV, and $USAR after US Gov's $1.6B funding.\n\nBut ever wonder about the more silent trades you should really be watching out for? \n\n1. Tungsten - $ALM\n2. Indium - $TECK\n3. Bismuth - TSE: $VNP\n4. Tellurium - $VNP\n5. Molybdenum - $FCX\n6. Lithium  - $LAC\n7. Antimony- $UAMY\n8. Gallium - $AA\n9. Germanium - $TECK\n10. Graphite  - $SYAAF\n\nThis are the list of some of the top Chinese critical minerals/material export control chokepoints and the Western beneficiary. \n\nNot everyday do you have foreign governments telling you what to buy.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.012424347423481197, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.012424347423481197, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.007371857648968527, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.011225143747414124, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0050524897745126696, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0011992036760670732, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.027791423512179447, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.027791423512179447, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02380715878249484, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.028790810967090574, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003984264729684606, "bench_c_p1d": -0.000999387454911127, "ret_p1w": -0.006702638905867975, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.006702638905867975, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.010571431785946217, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.000892751703826522, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0038687928800782423, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007595390609694497, "ret_p1m": 0.10969432971610948, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10969432971610948, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11746071717708584, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04313423680654482, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007766387460976354, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06656009290956466, "ret_p3m": 0.0072810097126796425, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0072810097126796425, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.01820487321317743, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03290303565517605, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025485882925857073, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04018404536785569, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.312, -0.3195, -0.32, -0.3285, -0.3572, -0.3443, -0.3697, -0.3508, -0.3322, -0.3303, -0.3182, -0.3389, -0.3451, -0.364, -0.3477, -0.3273, -0.3537, -0.3498, -0.3348, -0.3303, -0.3126, -0.3126, -0.2991, -0.2976, -0.2993, -0.2738, -0.2725, -0.2629, -0.2662, -0.2694, -0.2425, -0.2155, -0.2274, -0.2251, -0.2248, -0.2202, -0.2186, -0.1985, -0.1742, -0.1537, -0.1533, -0.1533, -0.1351, -0.1605, -0.1616, -0.1718, -0.1718, -0.1532, -0.1127, -0.0843, -0.0949, -0.1158, -0.0782, -0.0426, -0.0323, -0.0159, -0.0198, -0.0402, -0.0402, -0.018, -0.0096, -0.0379, -0.0124, 0.0, 0.0278, 0.0402, 0.0647, -0.0154, -0.0067, 0.0572, 0.0113, -0.0319, -0.0082, 0.0399, 0.0342, 0.0701, 0.0142, 0.0273, 0.0273, -0.0013, 0.0226, 0.0229, 0.0518, 0.0716, 0.1097, 0.1251, 0.1179, 0.113, 0.1164, 0.0719, 0.0778, 0.0244, -0.0296, -0.0111, 0.0201, 0.006, -0.032, -0.0783, -0.053, -0.0504, -0.0935, -0.1234, -0.1484, -0.1018, -0.0767, -0.0667, -0.0873, -0.0806, -0.1066, -0.0391, 0.0005, 0.0034, 0.0034, -0.002, -0.0067, 0.0642, 0.0863, 0.1084, 0.1121, 0.1161, 0.1256, 0.1187, 0.1503, 0.1498, 0.1071, 0.1528, 0.0073, 0.0002, -0.0076, -0.0463, -0.0673, -0.0533, -0.0735, -0.0895, -0.055, -0.0024, -0.007, 0.0101, 0.0546, 0.0818, 0.1003, 0.0836, 0.0323, -0.0088, -0.0383, -0.0027, 0.0209, 0.0156, 0.0156, 0.0545, 0.0425, 0.0792, 0.0766, 0.0766, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2015805598265479518", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-01-26T15:14:41+00:00", "symbol": "LAC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Not everyday do you have foreign governments telling you what to buy", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Names Western-listed equities as beneficiaries of Chinese critical-mineral export controls; implicit buy signal across tungsten, indium, bismuth, tellurium, molybdenum, lithium, antimony, gallium, germanium, graphite plays.", "resolved_tickers": ["LAC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Today, all eyes are on Copper, $SLV, and $USAR after US Gov's $1.6B funding.\n\nBut ever wonder about the more silent trades you should really be watching out for? \n\n1. Tungsten - $ALM\n2. Indium - $TECK\n3. Bismuth - TSE: $VNP\n4. Tellurium - $VNP\n5. Molybdenum - $FCX\n6. Lithium  - $LAC\n7. Antimony- $UAMY\n8. Gallium - $AA\n9. Germanium - $TECK\n10. Graphite  - $SYAAF\n\nThis are the list of some of the top Chinese critical minerals/material export control chokepoints and the Western beneficiary. \n\nNot everyday do you have foreign governments telling you what to buy.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.07512525931504221, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07512525931504221, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08017774908955488, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08017774908955488, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0050524897745126696, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0050524897745126696, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.048414098459314436, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.048414098459314436, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04442983372962983, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04442983372962983, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003984264729684606, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003984264729684606, "ret_p1w": -0.2053421684867146, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.2053421684867146, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.20921096136679285, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.20921096136679285, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0038687928800782423, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0038687928800782423, "ret_p1m": -0.15859763698919116, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15859763698919116, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1508312495282148, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1508312495282148, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007766387460976354, "bench_c_p1m": -0.007766387460976354, "ret_p3m": -0.2120200383061852, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2120200383061852, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23750592123204228, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.23750592123204228, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025485882925857073, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025485882925857073, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0401, -0.0618, -0.0818, -0.1503, -0.2287, -0.2304, -0.2404, -0.1853, -0.1486, -0.1753, -0.187, -0.2321, -0.2554, -0.2037, -0.1669, -0.1452, -0.2003, -0.2087, -0.187, -0.1603, -0.1219, -0.1219, -0.0601, -0.1102, -0.0985, -0.1235, -0.0918, -0.1102, -0.1135, -0.1202, -0.1419, -0.1102, -0.1452, -0.1953, -0.202, -0.2304, -0.2454, -0.207, -0.1853, -0.2037, -0.1886, -0.1886, -0.217, -0.2454, -0.2638, -0.2721, -0.2721, -0.2037, -0.1302, -0.0902, -0.0668, -0.0785, -0.1002, -0.0384, -0.025, 0.0117, -0.02, -0.005, -0.005, -0.0351, -0.0534, 0.0234, 0.0751, 0.0, 0.0484, 0.0033, -0.0935, -0.187, -0.2053, -0.1369, -0.1937, -0.2638, -0.222, -0.192, -0.2087, -0.2053, -0.2421, -0.227, -0.227, -0.2421, -0.2421, -0.2304, -0.2471, -0.2371, -0.1586, -0.1469, -0.1402, -0.1553, -0.1452, -0.2037, -0.197, -0.2321, -0.2404, -0.2254, -0.217, -0.217, -0.2404, -0.2671, -0.2671, -0.2487, -0.2855, -0.3306, -0.3806, -0.3422, -0.3306, -0.3239, -0.3523, -0.3489, -0.3673, -0.3406, -0.3406, -0.3255, -0.3255, -0.3272, -0.3372, -0.3038, -0.3205, -0.3205, -0.2688, -0.2638, -0.2387, -0.187, -0.192, -0.1686, -0.2087, -0.1686, -0.212, -0.2254, -0.1235, -0.1786, -0.1736, -0.0434, -0.0467, -0.0751, -0.0785, 0.0, -0.0551, -0.0701, -0.0334, -0.0701, -0.0851, -0.1419, -0.1636, -0.202, -0.2237, -0.2053, -0.1669, -0.187, -0.187, -0.1669, -0.1603, -0.1402, -0.1302, -0.1302, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2015805598265479518", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2026-01-26T15:14:41+00:00", "symbol": "UAMY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Not everyday do you have foreign governments telling you what to buy", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Names Western-listed equities as beneficiaries of Chinese critical-mineral export controls; implicit buy signal across tungsten, indium, bismuth, tellurium, molybdenum, lithium, antimony, gallium, germanium, graphite plays.", "resolved_tickers": ["UAMY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Other Industrial Metals & Mining'", "bench_c_industry": "Other Industrial Metals & Mining", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Today, all eyes are on Copper, $SLV, and $USAR after US Gov's $1.6B funding.\n\nBut ever wonder about the more silent trades you should really be watching out for? \n\n1. Tungsten - $ALM\n2. Indium - $TECK\n3. Bismuth - TSE: $VNP\n4. Tellurium - $VNP\n5. Molybdenum - $FCX\n6. Lithium  - $LAC\n7. Antimony- $UAMY\n8. Gallium - $AA\n9. Germanium - $TECK\n10. Graphite  - $SYAAF\n\nThis are the list of some of the top Chinese critical minerals/material export control chokepoints and the Western beneficiary. \n\nNot everyday do you have foreign governments telling you what to buy.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.14210530331260274, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.14210530331260274, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.1471577930871154, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.1433045069886698, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0050524897745126696, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0011992036760670732, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.043157878674958905, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.043157878674958905, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0391736139452743, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04415726612987003, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003984264729684606, "bench_c_p1d": -0.000999387454911127, "ret_p1w": -0.17263156489322062, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.17263156489322062, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.17650035777329887, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.16503617428352613, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0038687928800782423, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007595390609694497, "ret_p1m": -0.118947380467465, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.118947380467465, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11118099300648865, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.18550747337702966, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007766387460976354, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06656009290956466, "ret_p3m": 0.06526314584832438, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06526314584832438, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.039777262922467305, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.025079100480468686, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025485882925857073, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04018404536785569, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1158, -0.1221, -0.1505, -0.2589, -0.2663, -0.3305, -0.2568, -0.1242, -0.1926, -0.1505, -0.1979, -0.2432, -0.2232, -0.2789, -0.2547, -0.2905, -0.3811, -0.3821, -0.3811, -0.3905, -0.3905, -0.3905, -0.3568, -0.4232, -0.4358, -0.44, -0.3558, -0.3305, -0.3316, -0.3221, -0.3768, -0.3684, -0.4105, -0.4758, -0.4758, -0.5221, -0.5274, -0.4926, -0.4116, -0.3653, -0.3316, -0.3316, -0.3432, -0.4095, -0.4547, -0.4716, -0.4716, -0.3758, -0.2768, -0.2642, -0.1747, -0.22, -0.1947, -0.0979, -0.1842, -0.0758, -0.1274, -0.1274, -0.1274, -0.0242, -0.0411, 0.0726, 0.1421, 0.0, 0.0432, 0.0211, -0.1274, -0.2284, -0.1726, 0.0158, -0.1505, -0.2137, -0.0937, -0.1337, -0.1421, -0.1484, -0.2221, -0.1979, -0.1979, -0.2368, -0.2158, -0.1895, -0.2221, -0.1853, -0.1189, -0.0368, -0.0621, -0.0589, 0.1211, 0.0095, 0.0189, -0.0253, 0.0074, 0.0105, 0.1821, 0.1063, 0.0189, -0.0295, 0.1558, 0.0842, -0.0168, -0.0411, -0.1411, -0.0589, -0.0232, 0.0389, -0.0684, -0.0789, -0.1716, -0.0811, -0.1263, -0.0853, -0.0853, -0.1284, -0.1442, -0.0695, -0.0768, -0.12, -0.0221, -0.0137, 0.1263, 0.0968, 0.1126, 0.12, 0.06, 0.1158, 0.0653, 0.0253, 0.1768, 0.1379, 0.0505, 0.2642, 0.2789, 0.2368, 0.1737, 0.3274, 0.16, 0.1221, 0.1211, 0.1053, 0.0495, 0.0074, -0.0937, -0.1537, -0.2168, -0.1232, -0.1368, -0.1137, -0.1137, -0.0726, -0.0274, -0.0421, -0.0547, -0.0547, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2015805598265479518", "ticker_idx": 6, "ts": "2026-01-26T15:14:41+00:00", "symbol": "AA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Not everyday do you have foreign governments telling you what to buy", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Names Western-listed equities as beneficiaries of Chinese critical-mineral export controls; implicit buy signal across tungsten, indium, bismuth, tellurium, molybdenum, lithium, antimony, gallium, germanium, graphite plays.", "resolved_tickers": ["AA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aluminum'", "bench_c_industry": "Aluminum", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Today, all eyes are on Copper, $SLV, and $USAR after US Gov's $1.6B funding.\n\nBut ever wonder about the more silent trades you should really be watching out for? \n\n1. Tungsten - $ALM\n2. Indium - $TECK\n3. Bismuth - TSE: $VNP\n4. Tellurium - $VNP\n5. Molybdenum - $FCX\n6. Lithium  - $LAC\n7. Antimony- $UAMY\n8. Gallium - $AA\n9. Germanium - $TECK\n10. Graphite  - $SYAAF\n\nThis are the list of some of the top Chinese critical minerals/material export control chokepoints and the Western beneficiary. \n\nNot everyday do you have foreign governments telling you what to buy.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.06251061755663923, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06251061755663923, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0675631073311519, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0637098212327063, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0050524897745126696, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0011992036760670732, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.018958160078013098, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.018958160078013098, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014973895348328492, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.019957547532924225, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003984264729684606, "bench_c_p1d": -0.000999387454911127, "ret_p1w": -0.005806998688080212, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.005806998688080212, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.009675791568158454, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0017883919216142852, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0038687928800782423, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007595390609694497, "ret_p1m": 0.0488471335260654, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0488471335260654, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.056613520987041754, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01771295938349926, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007766387460976354, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06656009290956466, "ret_p3m": 0.11831025299574427, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.11831025299574427, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0928243700698872, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07812620762788858, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025485882925857073, "bench_c_p3m": 0.04018404536785569, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3372, -0.3738, -0.3733, -0.3664, -0.3978, -0.3896, -0.3732, -0.3626, -0.3375, -0.3599, -0.3163, -0.3477, -0.358, -0.3889, -0.3757, -0.3728, -0.388, -0.3793, -0.3387, -0.3305, -0.29, -0.29, -0.2871, -0.2886, -0.2921, -0.2468, -0.2483, -0.2524, -0.2406, -0.2576, -0.2376, -0.1932, -0.212, -0.2231, -0.2048, -0.2, -0.1771, -0.1247, -0.0825, -0.0837, -0.084, -0.084, -0.0734, -0.0816, -0.0712, -0.0924, -0.0924, -0.0343, 0.0494, 0.0856, 0.0716, 0.0434, 0.0874, 0.1216, 0.1165, 0.1028, 0.0898, 0.026, 0.026, 0.061, 0.0909, 0.0784, 0.0625, 0.0, 0.019, 0.0249, 0.0357, -0.0297, -0.0058, 0.0478, -0.0067, -0.0371, 0.0104, 0.0651, 0.0548, 0.0786, 0.0335, 0.0239, 0.0239, -0.0184, 0.0284, 0.0195, 0.0331, 0.0215, 0.0488, 0.1085, 0.084, 0.0603, 0.0944, 0.0904, 0.0512, 0.0313, 0.0188, 0.0446, 0.0489, 0.1352, 0.1279, 0.0879, 0.1394, 0.1192, 0.0988, 0.0033, -0.0343, -0.0406, -0.0304, 0.0042, -0.0146, -0.0008, 0.0815, 0.1347, 0.2328, 0.2237, 0.2237, 0.2148, 0.2482, 0.2276, 0.2535, 0.2494, 0.2541, 0.229, 0.204, 0.2045, 0.1226, 0.1382, 0.1488, 0.1724, 0.1183, 0.1293, 0.1524, 0.0807, 0.0685, 0.0913, 0.0714, 0.0685, 0.0788, 0.0822, 0.0716, 0.0808, 0.1178, 0.1568, 0.1708, 0.1294, 0.0697, 0.0708, 0.0954, 0.099, 0.1355, 0.2231, 0.2231, 0.2777, 0.2534, 0.295, 0.3303, 0.3303, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2015805598265479518", "ticker_idx": 7, "ts": "2026-01-26T15:14:41+00:00", "symbol": "SYAAF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Not everyday do you have foreign governments telling you what to buy", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Names Western-listed equities as beneficiaries of Chinese critical-mineral export controls; implicit buy signal across tungsten, indium, bismuth, tellurium, molybdenum, lithium, antimony, gallium, germanium, graphite plays.", "resolved_tickers": ["SYAAF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Today, all eyes are on Copper, $SLV, and $USAR after US Gov's $1.6B funding.\n\nBut ever wonder about the more silent trades you should really be watching out for? \n\n1. Tungsten - $ALM\n2. Indium - $TECK\n3. Bismuth - TSE: $VNP\n4. Tellurium - $VNP\n5. Molybdenum - $FCX\n6. Lithium  - $LAC\n7. Antimony- $UAMY\n8. Gallium - $AA\n9. Germanium - $TECK\n10. Graphite  - $SYAAF\n\nThis are the list of some of the top Chinese critical minerals/material export control chokepoints and the Western beneficiary. \n\nNot everyday do you have foreign governments telling you what to buy.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.07079647301376579, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07079647301376579, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06574398323925312, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06574398323925312, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0050524897745126696, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0050524897745126696, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06637168520861259, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06637168520861259, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07035594993829719, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07035594993829719, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003984264729684606, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003984264729684606, "ret_p1w": -0.20796456530180163, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.20796456530180163, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.21183335818187987, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.21183335818187987, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0038687928800782423, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0038687928800782423, "ret_p1m": -0.26106195302929736, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.26106195302929736, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.253295565568321, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.253295565568321, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007766387460976354, "bench_c_p1m": -0.007766387460976354, "ret_p3m": -0.6017698887483243, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.6017698887483243, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.6272557716741813, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.6272557716741813, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025485882925857073, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025485882925857073, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0398, -0.0354, -0.0708, -0.0841, -0.0265, -0.0664, -0.0531, -0.1726, -0.0265, -0.0221, -0.0265, -0.115, -0.1593, -0.1018, -0.0841, -0.0354, -0.115, -0.1372, -0.1549, -0.1593, -0.0929, -0.0929, -0.1593, -0.1814, -0.1239, -0.0885, -0.1327, -0.1106, -0.2035, -0.2035, -0.1637, -0.1681, -0.1504, -0.177, -0.1903, -0.1903, -0.1593, -0.1858, -0.1504, -0.1239, -0.0487, -0.0487, -0.0088, 0.0177, 0.0531, 0.0177, 0.0177, 0.0531, -0.0044, 0.0619, 0.0664, 0.0221, -0.0708, -0.0398, -0.0487, -0.0398, -0.0752, -0.0575, -0.0575, -0.0752, -0.0752, -0.0708, -0.0708, 0.0, -0.0664, -0.1283, -0.1858, -0.2212, -0.208, -0.292, -0.2301, -0.2699, -0.2655, -0.2699, -0.2124, -0.2257, -0.2035, -0.2301, -0.2301, -0.2566, -0.2168, -0.2434, -0.2478, -0.2699, -0.2611, -0.2345, -0.2345, -0.2301, -0.2522, -0.2478, -0.292, -0.2522, -0.2743, -0.3186, -0.2478, -0.2522, -0.2434, -0.4336, -0.4558, -0.4292, -0.4469, -0.469, -0.4956, -0.4912, -0.4956, -0.4956, -0.4956, -0.6018, -0.5619, -0.5885, -0.6106, -0.6018, -0.6018, -0.6195, -0.6239, -0.646, -0.5885, -0.5752, -0.615, -0.5708, -0.5708, -0.5442, -0.6018, -0.6106, -0.6283, -0.6062, -0.6018, -0.6195, -0.6239, -0.6327, -0.6283, -0.5973, -0.6416, -0.5796, -0.5398, -0.615, -0.6239, -0.6239, -0.646, -0.6593, -0.646, -0.6637, -0.6681, -0.6593, -0.7212, -0.6681, -0.6681, -0.6106, -0.6106, -0.646, -0.6504, -0.6858, -0.6681, -0.6681, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2026934223416734052", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-26T08:15:52+00:00", "symbol": "IQE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if you look at a much smaller sized (but more pure-play version of $IQE in Landmark), it's valued at close to 25 times IQE's current business… binary asymmetrical moonshot pick on re-rating due to $IQE's importance in the hyperscaler supply chains for photonics", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long IQE as a binary moonshot: largest epiwafer foundry at $150M vs Landmark at $3.8B; restructuring + hyperscaler photonics exposure warrants massive re-rating.", "resolved_tickers": ["IQE.L"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "IQE plc LSE-listed epiwafer supplier", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If I had to pick a 10x return-stock only after $AXTI, it would probably be $IQE.\n\nMy thought process TLDR: \n\n- Closest comparison would be Taiwan's LandMark Optoelectronics for epiwafers. It's valued at ~$3.8B. \n\n- $LITE <- $IQE is a known relation, and $LITE is a known supplier to $GOOGL TPUs and hyperscaler ASICs. \n\n- IQE is the largest epiwafer foundry in the world, valued at $150M.\n\n- Why is Landmark valued at $3.8B vs. $150M? $IQE has  -£23.5 million net debt and £18M convertible notes. And drag from legacy smartphone RF. \n\n- Landmark is pure play for InP epiwafer and just an idea to what it could be valued at. \n\n- So when you go look at net debt + convertibles... £41M is basically pennies? Especially to a hyperscaler supply chain. \n\n- Landmark has 27 to 30 MOCVD reactors. IQE operates over 100.\n\n- All $IQE needs to do is restructure (which they're doing now), selling off their drag will remove debt. And focusing on the photonics supply chain with much more capacity than their Taiwan counterparty would warrant rerating. \n\nBasically, if you look at a much smaller sized (but more pure-play version of $IQE in Landmark), it's valued at close to 25 times IQE's current business. \n\nThe downside is you get diluted to oblivion, but the £41M feels kinda like nothing to hyperscalers? \n\nSo this is a binary asymmetrical moonshot pick on re-rating due to $IQE's importance in the hyperscaler supply chains for photonics.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.19899997711181638, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.19899997711181638, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.20458547803645877, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.23334378808993728, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005585500924642384, "bench_c_m1d": 0.03434381097812089, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.050000000000000044, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.050000000000000044, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0451980567414727, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03631097663950966, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004801943258527341, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013689023360490382, "ret_p1w": 0.0725000381469727, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0725000381469727, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08409145308963495, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.11293595782665855, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011591414942662248, "bench_c_p1w": -0.04043591967968585, "ret_p1m": 0.2250000000000001, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2250000000000001, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.30258339628431197, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3166482824946537, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07758339628431188, "bench_c_p1m": -0.09164828249465362, "ret_p3m": 1.7000000000000002, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.7000000000000002, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.6081097730106693, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.238530617275611, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09189022698933091, "bench_c_p3m": 0.4614693827243892, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7425, -0.75, -0.7535, -0.746, -0.749, -0.749, -0.7485, -0.7435, -0.7395, -0.756, -0.755, -0.7513, -0.7517, -0.7475, -0.745, -0.7435, -0.7513, -0.7517, -0.7517, -0.7517, -0.7517, -0.75, -0.75, -0.75, -0.7425, -0.7485, -0.746, -0.721, -0.6925, -0.633, -0.478, -0.5065, -0.55, -0.5925, -0.6075, -0.5535, -0.6105, -0.618, -0.61, -0.5985, -0.6175, -0.617, -0.599, -0.6125, -0.6045, -0.5985, -0.615, -0.6025, -0.6095, -0.604, -0.5915, -0.5, -0.488, -0.485, -0.47, -0.475, -0.469, -0.477, -0.481, -0.476, -0.361, -0.39, -0.199, 0.0, -0.05, 0.28, 0.3, 0.3425, 0.0725, -0.017, -0.046, 0.135, 0.215, 0.135, 0.1625, 0.155, 0.08, 0.2775, 0.1425, 0.18, 0.175, 0.2775, 0.475, 0.33, 0.225, 0.155, 0.22, 0.255, 0.18, 0.18, 0.18, 0.275, 0.435, 0.5, 0.85, 1.455, 1.39, 1.7, 1.93, 1.605, 1.93, 2.15, 2.13, 1.4875, 1.38, 1.47, 1.0125, 1.02, 1.1625, 1.0575, 1.0575, 1.5, 1.2275, 1.2825, 1.355, 1.725, 1.3575, 1.525, 1.48, 1.3, 0.955, 0.6, 0.8775, 0.9925, 1.2875, 1.2875, 1.7, 1.535, 1.3825, 1.375, 1.375, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2029889046399566190", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-06T11:57:16+00:00", "symbol": "005930.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The implications for memory companies is crazy", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish memory names (Samsung, SanDisk, SK Hynix) as NAND price hike massively exceeds analyst expectations, boosting operating income projections.", "resolved_tickers": ["005930.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"Samsung Electronics (005930) will reportedly double its NAND Flash supply price in the second quarter\" - Sedaily\n\nThe price hike of NAND from Samsung (and likely $SNDK + SK Hynix following) is almost 20 times some analyst expectations and 2-4X others. \n\nPer BNP Paribas Analyst note in March, they projected for NAND: a 5% Q/Q increase in CQ2\n\nPer ITJungle: \"The industry analysts have Q2 up over Q1 in a range of 20 percent to 50 percent, and Q3 at 5 percent to 15 percent,  with Q4 up 5 percent to 10 percent\"\n\nMacquarie's wild SK Hynix ~$190.5 billion operating income projections is starting to look a little more reasonable.  \n\nThe implications for memory companies is crazy.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01806592572447019, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01806592572447019, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004784711991328683, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.002984424009301323, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013281213733141506, "bench_c_m1d": 0.021050349733771512, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07810841685232373, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07810841685232373, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0868684418653628, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.09609954197395376, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008760025013039074, "bench_c_p1d": 0.017991125121630036, "ret_p1w": -0.024973458644195756, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.024973458644195756, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.009967091606065459, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.021404455997489635, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.015006367038130297, "bench_c_p1w": -0.003569002646706121, "ret_p1m": 0.028159835659485655, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.028159835659485655, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04548700857622623, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.030635836809685513, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017327172916740574, "bench_c_p1m": -0.002476001150199858, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4268, -0.4289, -0.4326, -0.4242, -0.4458, -0.4564, -0.4294, -0.431, -0.4379, -0.4157, -0.4104, -0.4125, -0.4125, -0.3813, -0.365, -0.3629, -0.3629, -0.3629, -0.3172, -0.2662, -0.262, -0.2508, -0.2625, -0.2614, -0.2625, -0.2689, -0.2545, -0.2354, -0.2088, -0.2067, -0.2285, -0.2056, -0.1908, -0.1918, -0.1918, -0.1525, -0.1371, -0.1461, -0.1472, -0.2009, -0.11, -0.1015, -0.1536, -0.1573, -0.1158, -0.119, -0.1084, -0.051, -0.0372, -0.0372, -0.0372, -0.0372, 0.0096, 0.0101, 0.0255, 0.0627, 0.0813, 0.1583, 0.1504, 0.1504, 0.0367, -0.085, 0.0181, 0.0, -0.0781, -0.0016, 0.0096, -0.0016, -0.025, 0.0027, 0.0303, 0.1079, 0.0654, 0.0595, -0.0101, 0.008, 0.0043, -0.043, -0.043, -0.0613, -0.1097, 0.0098, -0.0501, -0.0086, 0.0282, 0.0463, 0.1208, 0.0862, 0.0968, 0.0702, 0.0995, 0.1235, 0.1581, 0.1501, 0.1421, 0.1661, 0.1581, 0.1953, 0.1687, 0.1953, 0.182, 0.2033, 0.1741, 0.1741, 0.2379, 0.2379, 0.4163, 0.4456, 0.4296, 0.5201, 0.4855, 0.5122, 0.5761, 0.4403, 0.4962, 0.4669, 0.4696, 0.5947, 0.5574, 0.5574, 0.592, 0.6346, 0.5947, 0.6879, 0.8449, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2029889046399566190", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-06T11:57:16+00:00", "symbol": "SNDK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SNDK + SK Hynix following", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish memory names (Samsung, SanDisk, SK Hynix) as NAND price hike massively exceeds analyst expectations, boosting operating income projections.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNDK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"Samsung Electronics (005930) will reportedly double its NAND Flash supply price in the second quarter\" - Sedaily\n\nThe price hike of NAND from Samsung (and likely $SNDK + SK Hynix following) is almost 20 times some analyst expectations and 2-4X others. \n\nPer BNP Paribas Analyst note in March, they projected for NAND: a 5% Q/Q increase in CQ2\n\nPer ITJungle: \"The industry analysts have Q2 up over Q1 in a range of 20 percent to 50 percent, and Q3 at 5 percent to 15 percent,  with Q4 up 5 percent to 10 percent\"\n\nMacquarie's wild SK Hynix ~$190.5 billion operating income projections is starting to look a little more reasonable.  \n\nThe implications for memory companies is crazy.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.07255420424721715, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07255420424721715, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05927299051407564, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05927299051407564, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013281213733141506, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013281213733141506, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.11643555532406813, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.11643555532406813, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10767553031102906, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10767553031102906, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008760025013039074, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008760025013039074, "ret_p1w": 0.2546602197395187, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2546602197395187, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.269666586777649, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.269666586777649, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.015006367038130297, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015006367038130297, "ret_p1m": 0.37414897957412085, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.37414897957412085, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.39147615249086143, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.39147615249086143, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017327172916740574, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017327172916740574, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5838, -0.5584, -0.5418, -0.609, -0.6172, -0.6031, -0.6078, -0.5838, -0.5494, -0.5429, -0.5356, -0.5258, -0.5258, -0.5258, -0.5368, -0.5445, -0.5498, -0.5498, -0.478, -0.4802, -0.337, -0.3295, -0.3656, -0.2843, -0.2618, -0.2608, -0.2646, -0.2239, -0.2156, -0.2156, -0.1407, -0.0494, -0.0453, -0.1015, -0.1072, -0.087, 0.0006, 0.0227, 0.0928, 0.2615, 0.3189, 0.1085, 0.0927, 0.1339, 0.1063, 0.0271, 0.1366, 0.1952, 0.1882, 0.1882, 0.12, 0.1386, 0.1778, 0.2326, 0.2639, 0.2109, 0.1992, 0.2362, 0.2049, 0.174, 0.0722, 0.136, 0.0726, 0.0, 0.1164, 0.1736, 0.2429, 0.1735, 0.2547, 0.3343, 0.3657, 0.4293, 0.4641, 0.3459, 0.3322, 0.3321, 0.2855, 0.1438, 0.1678, 0.0857, 0.2048, 0.3137, 0.3305, 0.3305, 0.3741, 0.3479, 0.4809, 0.6149, 0.6153, 0.8063, 0.791, 0.691, 0.7436, 0.7465, 0.7314, 0.7133, 0.8567, 0.7682, 0.8772, 1.0295, 0.9008, 1.0181, 1.0794, 1.251, 1.3815, 1.6669, 1.6738, 1.541, 1.9627, 1.9347, 1.7535, 1.7444, 1.6221, 1.6693, 1.5278, 1.6232, 1.6408, 1.9246, 1.8041, 1.8041, 2.0143, 2.0151, 2.1131, 2.2143, 2.2143, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2029889046399566190", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-06T11:57:16+00:00", "symbol": "000660.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SNDK + SK Hynix following", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish memory names (Samsung, SanDisk, SK Hynix) as NAND price hike massively exceeds analyst expectations, boosting operating income projections.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"Samsung Electronics (005930) will reportedly double its NAND Flash supply price in the second quarter\" - Sedaily\n\nThe price hike of NAND from Samsung (and likely $SNDK + SK Hynix following) is almost 20 times some analyst expectations and 2-4X others. \n\nPer BNP Paribas Analyst note in March, they projected for NAND: a 5% Q/Q increase in CQ2\n\nPer ITJungle: \"The industry analysts have Q2 up over Q1 in a range of 20 percent to 50 percent, and Q3 at 5 percent to 15 percent,  with Q4 up 5 percent to 10 percent\"\n\nMacquarie's wild SK Hynix ~$190.5 billion operating income projections is starting to look a little more reasonable.  \n\nThe implications for memory companies is crazy.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0183983009063744, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0183983009063744, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005117087173232893, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.026210227576775602, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013281213733141506, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007811926670401204, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09523805657980688, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09523805657980688, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.10399808159284596, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.15173609053431403, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008760025013039074, "bench_c_p1d": 0.05649803395450714, "ret_p1w": -0.015151478250421735, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.015151478250421735, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.00014511121229143775, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.005206777590447631, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.015006367038130297, "bench_c_p1w": -0.020358255840869366, "ret_p1m": -0.041125518282007056, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.041125518282007056, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.023798345365266482, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03489178598025433, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017327172916740574, "bench_c_p1m": -0.006233732301752726, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3886, -0.3659, -0.3897, -0.3832, -0.4015, -0.4275, -0.4048, -0.4037, -0.4091, -0.3735, -0.3691, -0.3648, -0.3648, -0.3529, -0.3086, -0.2968, -0.2968, -0.2968, -0.2687, -0.2481, -0.2157, -0.1984, -0.1833, -0.1963, -0.1909, -0.2028, -0.1984, -0.1909, -0.1833, -0.1747, -0.1974, -0.2006, -0.1844, -0.1714, -0.2049, -0.1358, -0.0915, -0.0699, -0.018, -0.1034, -0.0202, -0.0278, -0.0904, -0.0937, -0.0418, -0.0537, -0.071, -0.0407, -0.0494, -0.0494, -0.0494, -0.0494, -0.0342, 0.0252, 0.0273, 0.0857, 0.0997, 0.1894, 0.1483, 0.1483, 0.0162, -0.0812, 0.0184, 0.0, -0.0952, 0.0152, 0.0335, 0.0065, -0.0152, 0.0541, 0.0498, 0.1429, 0.0963, 0.0898, 0.0097, 0.0671, 0.0768, 0.0097, 0.0097, -0.0552, -0.1266, -0.0292, -0.1017, -0.0519, -0.0411, -0.0087, 0.118, 0.0801, 0.1115, 0.1255, 0.1937, 0.2294, 0.25, 0.2208, 0.2619, 0.3247, 0.3236, 0.3258, 0.3225, 0.3983, 0.4069, 0.3994, 0.3918, 0.3918, 0.566, 0.566, 0.7327, 0.79, 0.8247, 1.0346, 0.9859, 1.1385, 1.132, 0.9686, 0.9913, 0.8885, 0.8885, 1.0996, 1.1006, 1.1006, 1.2208, 1.4275, 1.4777, 1.5253, 1.5778, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2026914153710105048", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-26T06:56:07+00:00", "symbol": "EWY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I genuinely believe market makers are mispricing $EWY 2028 IV as it's effectively a call option on Samsung/SK Hynix. Most OTM strikes 2 years out are now ITM in just a 2 month timeframe. If IV stays low, you can just let the calls blow past the strikes with low premiums.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish EWY 2028 calls: market makers mispricing IV on memory supercycle; OTM strikes going ITM fast with low premiums.", "resolved_tickers": ["EWY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I genuinely believe market makers are mispricing $EWY 2028 IV as it’s effectively a call option on Samsung/SK Hynix. \n\nNot every day do you have an “non- volatile” index at 45% IV move 7% a day. \n\nFor comparison, it’s a lot more volatile than $MRVL trading at 55% IV (just comparing the two graphs)\n\nMarket makers like Jane Street are possibly pricing in mean reversion (back to the boring 5-10 year stagnant periods) that will never happen due to the memory supercycle. \n\nOr ETF rebalancing, which just inadvertently causes more concentration into SK Hynix and Samsung through pass-through structures. \n\nMost OTM strikes 2 years out are now ITM in just a 2 month timeframe. \n\nAnd there’s a lot of unrealized future volatility as 10x leverage SK Hynix/Samsung take off or 2x leveraged ETFs. \n\nIf IV stays low, you can just let the calls blow past the strikes with low premiums.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "My mind is blown on Samsung and Sk Hynix projections - $EWY?\n\nMacquarie projects Samsung Electronics to make: \n\nFY2026: ~$210.8 billion USD (+73% increase from prior KRW 172.1 trillion)\nFY2027: ~$333.7 billion USD (+82% from KRW 260.1 trillion)\n\nSk Hynix:\n\nFY2026: ~$190.5 billion https://t.co/61be2LVZIn", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01010573921582747, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01010573921582747, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015691240140469853, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015691240140469853, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005585500924642384, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005585500924642384, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006382497385178709, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.006382497385178709, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01118444064370605, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01118444064370605, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004801943258527341, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004801943258527341, "ret_p1w": -0.16401838440054906, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.16401838440054906, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1524269694578868, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1524269694578868, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011591414942662248, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011591414942662248, "ret_p1m": -0.1956651791013131, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1956651791013131, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11808178281700121, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11808178281700121, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07758339628431188, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07758339628431188, "ret_p3m": 0.33402027133273204, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.33402027133273204, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.24213004434340113, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.24213004434340113, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09189022698933091, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09189022698933091, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4107, -0.4013, -0.3953, -0.4026, -0.3868, -0.3818, -0.3786, -0.3709, -0.3825, -0.3974, -0.397, -0.4048, -0.4111, -0.4012, -0.3927, -0.39, -0.3837, -0.3711, -0.3711, -0.3628, -0.3437, -0.3443, -0.3536, -0.3536, -0.3204, -0.303, -0.2846, -0.2884, -0.2913, -0.276, -0.2758, -0.285, -0.2711, -0.2617, -0.2539, -0.2539, -0.2622, -0.231, -0.2288, -0.2157, -0.22, -0.1842, -0.1652, -0.1723, -0.1862, -0.196, -0.1735, -0.2005, -0.2008, -0.1709, -0.162, -0.1726, -0.1317, -0.1304, -0.1093, -0.1093, -0.1312, -0.1162, -0.1011, -0.0567, -0.0739, -0.039, -0.0101, 0.0, 0.0064, -0.0191, -0.1201, -0.1066, -0.164, -0.1574, -0.1098, -0.1337, -0.1167, -0.1789, -0.1746, -0.1151, -0.1062, -0.1232, -0.1036, -0.1638, -0.1104, -0.144, -0.1507, -0.2022, -0.1957, -0.2259, -0.1822, -0.1608, -0.1831, -0.1831, -0.1627, -0.1544, -0.0687, -0.0739, -0.0777, -0.061, -0.0248, -0.0365, -0.0195, 0.0128, -0.0021, -0.0241, 0.0358, 0.0012, 0.0277, 0.042, 0.0263, 0.0236, 0.0688, 0.0771, 0.0876, 0.1533, 0.2099, 0.1751, 0.2645, 0.2822, 0.1868, 0.2541, 0.2667, 0.1891, 0.1708, 0.157, 0.1975, 0.2394, 0.2102, 0.2102, 0.334, 0.3183, 0.3723, 0.3685, 0.3685, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2012976046136774864", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-18T19:51:03+00:00", "symbol": "UAVS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "US defense like $UAVS and $DPRO are likely to benefit", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long US defense names on Greenland trade tensions; bearish on NVO pharma and European luxury LVMH.", "resolved_tickers": ["UAVS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm a bull that's excited about Greenland trade tensions.   \n\nUS defense like $UAVS and $DPRO are likely to benefit. Same with rare earth/critical materials.   \n\nCan't say the same about the pharma bulls in $NVO, European luxury like $LVMH, or possibly big tech.\n\nAs you mentioned, I agree it's just noise to the AI trade.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "A lot of bears are getting excited about Trump floating new tariffs on Europe tied to Greenland but this is the same negotiation playbook he’s always used: lead with an aggressive headline, let markets wobble, then use the pressure to force talks before anything actually lands.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "StockSavvyShay", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07638889578757435, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07638889578757435, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.056032110064029306, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0504309695386026, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.025957926248971752, "ret_p1w": -0.15972222912090772, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.15972222912090772, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1612692202483832, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.16288122789770054, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0031589987767928207, "ret_p1m": -0.3125000206960564, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3125000206960564, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2997625401263553, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2703355179592891, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "bench_c_p1m": -0.042164502736767306, "ret_p3m": -0.22222224981696403, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22222224981696403, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.23945072093084463, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.26747031725146353, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.045248067434499495, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3611, 0.4583, 0.4444, 0.3958, 0.3194, 0.2708, 0.2917, 0.3264, 0.2153, 0.1389, 0.1806, -0.0903, -0.0625, -0.0208, -0.0347, -0.0764, -0.1458, -0.1389, -0.2083, -0.2014, -0.2292, -0.2639, -0.1806, -0.1389, -0.1181, -0.1111, -0.1111, -0.0833, -0.1806, -0.1736, -0.1042, -0.0556, -0.125, -0.1597, -0.1111, -0.1667, -0.1944, -0.2222, -0.2639, -0.2639, -0.3542, -0.3819, -0.2847, -0.2639, -0.3125, -0.3333, -0.3333, -0.3472, -0.3819, -0.4236, -0.4375, -0.4375, -0.1458, 0.0208, -0.0208, -0.1667, 0.2083, 0.1806, 0.0972, 0.2222, 0.1736, 0.0833, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0764, -0.1181, -0.0278, -0.0694, -0.1597, -0.1528, -0.1806, -0.2014, -0.2708, -0.2708, -0.2431, -0.2986, -0.3264, -0.25, -0.2222, -0.2778, -0.2708, -0.3056, -0.2986, -0.2986, -0.3125, -0.2917, -0.2569, -0.2917, -0.3194, -0.3056, -0.3056, -0.3194, -0.3472, -0.2708, -0.2708, -0.2569, -0.1944, -0.2431, -0.2708, -0.2708, -0.2569, -0.25, -0.2639, -0.3056, -0.2847, -0.2569, -0.2639, -0.3194, -0.3056, -0.2917, -0.2986, -0.3472, -0.3889, -0.4028, -0.375, -0.3681, -0.3681, -0.3681, -0.3472, -0.3611, -0.3681, -0.3611, -0.3542, -0.3333, -0.2778, -0.2708, -0.2222, -0.2014, -0.1736, -0.1944, -0.1597, -0.2292, -0.25, -0.2639, -0.2778, -0.3056, -0.2708, -0.2639, -0.2708, -0.2639, -0.2222, -0.1875, -0.1875, -0.2153, -0.2431, -0.2569, -0.2361, -0.2708, -0.3194, -0.3403, -0.3403, -0.3264, -0.2917, -0.2917, -0.2708, -0.2639, -0.1736, -0.1875, -0.1875, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2012976046136774864", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-18T19:51:03+00:00", "symbol": "DPRO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "US defense like $UAVS and $DPRO are likely to benefit", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long US defense names on Greenland trade tensions; bearish on NVO pharma and European luxury LVMH.", "resolved_tickers": ["DPRO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm a bull that's excited about Greenland trade tensions.   \n\nUS defense like $UAVS and $DPRO are likely to benefit. Same with rare earth/critical materials.   \n\nCan't say the same about the pharma bulls in $NVO, European luxury like $LVMH, or possibly big tech.\n\nAs you mentioned, I agree it's just noise to the AI trade.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "A lot of bears are getting excited about Trump floating new tariffs on Europe tied to Greenland but this is the same negotiation playbook he’s always used: lead with an aggressive headline, let markets wobble, then use the pressure to force talks before anything actually lands.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "StockSavvyShay", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0177268064222158, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0177268064222158, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.002629979301329244, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00823111982675595, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.025957926248971752, "ret_p1w": -0.1605839350729784, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1605839350729784, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.16213092620045388, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.16374293384977123, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0031589987767928207, "ret_p1m": -0.2596454857493812, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2596454857493812, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.24690800517968003, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.21748098301261387, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "bench_c_p1m": -0.042164502736767306, "ret_p3m": -0.3493222448558271, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3493222448558271, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3665507159697077, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3945703122903266, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.045248067434499495, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1272, -0.1408, -0.0156, -0.0063, -0.0813, -0.1084, 0.0229, 0.1418, 0.0104, -0.0928, -0.0667, -0.1846, -0.1168, -0.1397, -0.1554, -0.1867, -0.245, -0.2826, -0.3295, -0.3055, -0.2544, -0.2388, -0.3097, -0.2127, -0.2211, -0.2377, -0.2377, -0.2377, -0.2847, -0.2753, -0.2023, -0.1376, -0.2002, -0.2158, -0.2211, -0.2388, -0.219, -0.2732, -0.3389, -0.3118, -0.366, -0.3556, -0.2148, -0.1648, -0.1627, -0.1554, -0.1554, -0.2325, -0.2669, -0.2961, -0.2795, -0.2795, -0.2336, -0.1543, -0.1126, -0.1356, -0.0229, -0.0104, 0.0136, 0.024, 0.0146, -0.0261, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0177, -0.0594, 0.0073, -0.0021, -0.1606, -0.1116, -0.1251, -0.1606, -0.2398, -0.1861, -0.1439, -0.2471, -0.3243, -0.2185, -0.1971, -0.2586, -0.2857, -0.293, -0.2815, -0.2815, -0.2596, -0.1898, -0.22, -0.1773, -0.1731, -0.1887, -0.1491, -0.2847, -0.317, -0.2336, -0.2836, -0.2951, -0.3055, -0.3107, -0.341, -0.3306, -0.3118, -0.3107, -0.3389, -0.3316, -0.2941, -0.3076, -0.318, -0.4098, -0.3514, -0.3399, -0.4838, -0.5078, -0.5214, -0.5391, -0.488, -0.4911, -0.4369, -0.4369, -0.463, -0.4818, -0.4567, -0.4713, -0.4307, -0.4317, -0.3973, -0.3806, -0.3493, -0.3806, -0.3879, -0.3702, -0.3233, -0.3577, -0.3879, -0.4077, -0.4494, -0.4713, -0.439, -0.4463, -0.4672, -0.4672, -0.4348, -0.4557, -0.4286, -0.4223, -0.438, -0.4463, -0.4129, -0.4432, -0.4505, -0.4505, -0.4286, -0.3493, -0.3306, -0.3306, -0.3201, -0.3045, -0.1877, -0.2211, -0.2211, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2012976046136774864", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-18T19:51:03+00:00", "symbol": "NVO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Can't say the same about the pharma bulls in $NVO", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long US defense names on Greenland trade tensions; bearish on NVO pharma and European luxury LVMH.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm a bull that's excited about Greenland trade tensions.   \n\nUS defense like $UAVS and $DPRO are likely to benefit. Same with rare earth/critical materials.   \n\nCan't say the same about the pharma bulls in $NVO, European luxury like $LVMH, or possibly big tech.\n\nAs you mentioned, I agree it's just noise to the AI trade.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "A lot of bears are getting excited about Trump floating new tariffs on Europe tied to Greenland but this is the same negotiation playbook he’s always used: lead with an aggressive headline, let markets wobble, then use the pressure to force talks before anything actually lands.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "StockSavvyShay", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02647203070287585, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02647203070287585, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006115244979330803, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006115244979330803, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "ret_p1w": 0.02647190381051412, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02647190381051412, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.024924912683038647, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.024924912683038647, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "ret_p1m": -0.2079256334625309, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2079256334625309, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.19518815289282976, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.19518815289282976, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "ret_p3m": -0.3192507767398688, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3192507767398688, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3364792478537494, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3364792478537494, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1436, -0.146, -0.1503, -0.1515, -0.1649, -0.1758, -0.1972, -0.2065, -0.2121, -0.2259, -0.2225, -0.2538, -0.2671, -0.263, -0.2115, -0.1936, -0.2113, -0.2257, -0.2225, -0.2371, -0.2139, -0.2363, -0.2358, -0.2785, -0.245, -0.2185, -0.2185, -0.2082, -0.223, -0.2391, -0.2368, -0.2301, -0.2322, -0.2496, -0.2562, -0.2131, -0.1932, -0.1949, -0.1919, -0.2145, -0.2336, -0.2362, -0.2285, -0.2283, -0.172, -0.1567, -0.1567, -0.1593, -0.1742, -0.1782, -0.1837, -0.1837, -0.1595, -0.1158, -0.0974, -0.0924, -0.0801, -0.0565, -0.0396, -0.0432, -0.0549, -0.0836, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0265, -0.0483, -0.0016, -0.0011, 0.0265, 0.009, -0.0321, -0.0481, -0.0465, -0.0545, -0.193, -0.2429, -0.3047, -0.2357, -0.2079, -0.2119, -0.218, -0.215, -0.2047, -0.2047, -0.2079, -0.2102, -0.2227, -0.2392, -0.3642, -0.3809, -0.3878, -0.3964, -0.3992, -0.3942, -0.4118, -0.3823, -0.3732, -0.381, -0.3618, -0.3788, -0.377, -0.39, -0.391, -0.381, -0.3834, -0.3992, -0.4051, -0.4139, -0.4093, -0.4082, -0.4171, -0.416, -0.4218, -0.4131, -0.3888, -0.3933, -0.3849, -0.3849, -0.3901, -0.3861, -0.3745, -0.3773, -0.376, -0.3683, -0.346, -0.3212, -0.3193, -0.3261, -0.3271, -0.3444, -0.3489, -0.3593, -0.3153, -0.3148, -0.3153, -0.3299, -0.2978, -0.2702, -0.2617, -0.2537, -0.2389, -0.2383, -0.2338, -0.2283, -0.2183, -0.217, -0.2383, -0.2559, -0.2635, -0.2635, -0.2504, -0.2617, -0.2522, -0.2522, -0.265, -0.259, -0.2431, -0.2419, -0.2419, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2012976046136774864", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-01-18T19:51:03+00:00", "symbol": "LVMH", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "European luxury like $LVMH", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long US defense names on Greenland trade tensions; bearish on NVO pharma and European luxury LVMH.", "resolved_tickers": ["MC.PA"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "LVMH listed on Euronext Paris as MC.PA", "bench_c": "FEZ", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='PA')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm a bull that's excited about Greenland trade tensions.   \n\nUS defense like $UAVS and $DPRO are likely to benefit. Same with rare earth/critical materials.   \n\nCan't say the same about the pharma bulls in $NVO, European luxury like $LVMH, or possibly big tech.\n\nAs you mentioned, I agree it's just noise to the AI trade.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "A lot of bears are getting excited about Trump floating new tariffs on Europe tied to Greenland but this is the same negotiation playbook he’s always used: lead with an aggressive headline, let markets wobble, then use the pressure to force talks before anything actually lands.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "StockSavvyShay", "ret_m1d": 0.045298584103932615, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.045298584103932615, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.045298584103932615, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.045298584103932615, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02196299824818393, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02196299824818393, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0016062125246388836, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0025907902975037533, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.019372207950680176, "ret_p1w": 0.008922458060030003, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.008922458060030003, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.007375466932554531, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0018899610923883703, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010812419152418373, "ret_p1m": -0.09454357044990025, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09454357044990025, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0818060898801991, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11376580194126173, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "bench_c_p1m": 0.019222231491361486, "ret_p3m": -0.1694406503272402, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1694406503272402, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1866691214411208, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.16631386491027633, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "bench_c_p3m": -0.003126785416963873, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0602, 0.0561, 0.042, 0.0403, 0.0455, 0.0527, 0.0379, 0.0413, 0.0493, 0.0398, 0.0425, 0.0207, 0.0261, 0.0512, 0.0767, 0.101, 0.0833, 0.0836, 0.0615, 0.0399, 0.037, 0.054, 0.0598, 0.0576, 0.0535, 0.0639, 0.0673, 0.0811, 0.0933, 0.0916, 0.0815, 0.0863, 0.0777, 0.0728, 0.0575, 0.0618, 0.0728, 0.0716, 0.0743, 0.0921, 0.0839, 0.0937, 0.0839, 0.077, 0.0764, 0.0846, 0.0846, 0.0846, 0.0865, 0.0969, 0.1067, 0.1067, 0.1012, 0.103, 0.1057, 0.0798, 0.0887, 0.1189, 0.1124, 0.1095, 0.0945, 0.0736, 0.0453, 0.0, -0.022, 0.0041, 0.0221, 0.0148, 0.0089, 0.0112, -0.0686, -0.0693, -0.0616, -0.0764, -0.0923, -0.0801, -0.0765, -0.08, -0.0813, -0.0774, -0.099, -0.1, -0.1177, -0.1107, -0.0945, -0.0839, -0.088, -0.0482, -0.0426, -0.036, -0.0511, -0.0535, -0.0664, -0.1069, -0.1383, -0.1294, -0.1321, -0.1383, -0.146, -0.1344, -0.1416, -0.1507, -0.1872, -0.1781, -0.1897, -0.196, -0.2103, -0.2142, -0.1994, -0.2094, -0.2067, -0.2136, -0.218, -0.2044, -0.2054, -0.1917, -0.1917, -0.1917, -0.1917, -0.199, -0.144, -0.1696, -0.1707, -0.1734, -0.1739, -0.1731, -0.1694, -0.1431, -0.1583, -0.1661, -0.1862, -0.1846, -0.1907, -0.1979, -0.207, -0.218, -0.2128, -0.2128, -0.2241, -0.2136, -0.1734, -0.1659, -0.1757, -0.2118, -0.21, -0.2113, -0.1964, -0.2055, -0.2044, -0.1943, -0.1738, -0.1742, -0.1759, -0.1666, -0.1818, -0.1561, -0.1613, -0.1751, -0.1751, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2027447224188473736", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-27T18:14:21+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI is a core hold over 2026-2027... $25-30B MC projections sound surreal but that's how wild the earnings was if they hit $4.35B ARR, off 900%+ growth", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long AAOI as core hold 2026-2027 on 900%+ ARR growth to $4.35B and $25-30B MC potential; also bullish IQE and AXTI as epiwafer/upstream tailwind plays.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "After earnings, $AAOI could easily be a $25B-$30B company next year from $5B if they hit their projections. \n\nAnd they're one of the only \"Made in America\"  (Sugarland, Texas) companies out of\n\n- $LITE (global)\n- $COHR (global)\n- $FN (Thai)\n- $AVGO (global)\n- Innolight (China), and Eoptolink (China). \n\nSo they likely get that \"America\" premium like $INTC compared to $TSM and $MU compared to Sk Hynix. \n\nBut from revenue: \nFY Revenue: $456 million\n2027 ARR by : $4.536B (~900%+ growth). \n\nOff high 30's - low 40% projected margins + hyperscaler qualifications. \n\nThis is wild. But there was a $250M ATM, but that's typically pennies compared to the projection. \n\nThis part is extremely interesting: \n\n-> Management stated that demand and capacity for 800G, 1.6T modules could surge nearly 10x by mid-2027. \n\nThis is also a large tailwind for epiwafer companies too like $IQE and Landmark and more upstream like $AXTI. \n\n$AAOI is a core hold over 2026-2027, but there's always execution risks if they can deliver. \n\n$25-30B MC projections sound surreal but that's how wild the earnings was if they hit $4.35B ARR, off 900%+ growth (and photonics scale up is likely to continue even further into 2028-2029)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Holy $AAOI …\n\nJust putting it out there they’re projecting $378 million in monthly revenue for transceivers. \n\nAt a $5.5B MC.\n\nThis is the definition of extreme scale up. \n\nAlthough margins are different, $AAOI projections would actually surpass $LITE next quarter guidance by https://t.co/DGX3nIDZva", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.3625786953944201, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.3625786953944201, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.3674038085726452, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.3674038085726452, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.21702478987010654, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.21702478987010654, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.21645621108777524, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.21645621108777524, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "ret_p1w": 0.1347500655559073, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1347500655559073, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15459001236840897, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15459001236840897, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "ret_p1m": 0.011397353035883961, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.011397353035883961, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08762893098965874, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08762893098965874, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "ret_p3m": 1.1349874707828982, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.1349874707828982, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.0380187816928927, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.0380187816928927, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6911, -0.6955, -0.6885, -0.6843, -0.6695, -0.6393, -0.5847, -0.5688, -0.6194, -0.645, -0.6562, -0.6778, -0.6527, -0.6282, -0.5359, -0.5175, -0.5132, -0.5132, -0.5587, -0.5637, -0.5724, -0.5861, -0.5861, -0.5299, -0.5846, -0.5416, -0.5482, -0.6081, -0.5959, -0.5997, -0.5942, -0.5908, -0.5607, -0.5603, -0.5603, -0.5339, -0.5443, -0.5471, -0.5759, -0.5858, -0.5561, -0.463, -0.5302, -0.4823, -0.4757, -0.4525, -0.5263, -0.5473, -0.4741, -0.4312, -0.4243, -0.4254, -0.4777, -0.4722, -0.4722, -0.4787, -0.4843, -0.4422, -0.3864, -0.3594, -0.3319, -0.31, -0.3626, 0.0, 0.217, 0.1319, 0.1838, 0.2008, 0.1348, 0.3133, 0.4305, 0.5079, 0.2607, 0.1494, 0.1168, 0.0249, 0.0997, 0.21, 0.0393, 0.1369, 0.3522, 0.3583, 0.1566, 0.166, 0.0114, 0.0043, 0.0252, 0.2336, 0.2336, 0.2757, 0.3967, 0.5754, 0.5826, 0.788, 0.8187, 0.738, 0.6924, 0.8677, 0.8927, 0.9408, 0.7876, 0.774, 0.6352, 0.9253, 0.7307, 0.6296, 0.8144, 0.9513, 1.1787, 1.0537, 1.1438, 1.1197, 0.8705, 0.7683, 1.1952, 1.2353, 1.6487, 1.4168, 1.26, 1.057, 1.0341, 0.962, 1.0991, 1.1547, 1.1547, 1.1087, 1.135, 1.0066, 0.8807, 0.8807, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2027447224188473736", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-27T18:14:21+00:00", "symbol": "IQE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is also a large tailwind for epiwafer companies too like $IQE", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long AAOI as core hold 2026-2027 on 900%+ ARR growth to $4.35B and $25-30B MC potential; also bullish IQE and AXTI as epiwafer/upstream tailwind plays.", "resolved_tickers": ["IQE.L"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "IQE plc LSE-listed epiwafer supplier", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "After earnings, $AAOI could easily be a $25B-$30B company next year from $5B if they hit their projections. \n\nAnd they're one of the only \"Made in America\"  (Sugarland, Texas) companies out of\n\n- $LITE (global)\n- $COHR (global)\n- $FN (Thai)\n- $AVGO (global)\n- Innolight (China), and Eoptolink (China). \n\nSo they likely get that \"America\" premium like $INTC compared to $TSM and $MU compared to Sk Hynix. \n\nBut from revenue: \nFY Revenue: $456 million\n2027 ARR by : $4.536B (~900%+ growth). \n\nOff high 30's - low 40% projected margins + hyperscaler qualifications. \n\nThis is wild. But there was a $250M ATM, but that's typically pennies compared to the projection. \n\nThis part is extremely interesting: \n\n-> Management stated that demand and capacity for 800G, 1.6T modules could surge nearly 10x by mid-2027. \n\nThis is also a large tailwind for epiwafer companies too like $IQE and Landmark and more upstream like $AXTI. \n\n$AAOI is a core hold over 2026-2027, but there's always execution risks if they can deliver. \n\n$25-30B MC projections sound surreal but that's how wild the earnings was if they hit $4.35B ARR, off 900%+ growth (and photonics scale up is likely to continue even further into 2028-2029)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Holy $AAOI …\n\nJust putting it out there they’re projecting $378 million in monthly revenue for transceivers. \n\nAt a $5.5B MC.\n\nThis is the definition of extreme scale up. \n\nAlthough margins are different, $AAOI projections would actually surpass $LITE next quarter guidance by https://t.co/DGX3nIDZva", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.05263157894736836, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05263157894736836, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04780646576914327, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0387525654468488, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013879013500519566, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.34736844112998555, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.34736844112998555, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.34679986234765425, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.34731917683515445, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "bench_c_p1d": 4.926429483109729e-05, "ret_p1w": 0.03473683407432149, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03473683407432149, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05457678088682316, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09825037559736316, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "bench_c_p1w": -0.06351354152304167, "ret_p1m": 0.21578949376156453, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21578949376156453, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2920210717153393, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.32367146552291026, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "bench_c_p1m": -0.10788197176134573, "ret_p3m": 1.668421092786287, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.668421092786287, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.5714524036962816, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.2030077818742158, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.4654133109120713, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7368, -0.7405, -0.7326, -0.7358, -0.7358, -0.7353, -0.73, -0.7258, -0.7432, -0.7421, -0.7382, -0.7387, -0.7342, -0.7316, -0.73, -0.7382, -0.7387, -0.7387, -0.7387, -0.7387, -0.7368, -0.7368, -0.7368, -0.7289, -0.7353, -0.7326, -0.7063, -0.6763, -0.6137, -0.4505, -0.4805, -0.5263, -0.5711, -0.5868, -0.53, -0.59, -0.5979, -0.5895, -0.5774, -0.5974, -0.5968, -0.5779, -0.5921, -0.5837, -0.5774, -0.5947, -0.5816, -0.5889, -0.5832, -0.57, -0.4737, -0.4611, -0.4579, -0.4421, -0.4474, -0.4411, -0.4495, -0.4537, -0.4484, -0.3274, -0.3579, -0.1568, 0.0526, 0.0, 0.3474, 0.3684, 0.4132, 0.1289, 0.0347, 0.0042, 0.1947, 0.2789, 0.1947, 0.2237, 0.2158, 0.1368, 0.3447, 0.2026, 0.2421, 0.2368, 0.3447, 0.5526, 0.4, 0.2895, 0.2158, 0.2842, 0.3211, 0.2421, 0.2421, 0.2421, 0.3421, 0.5105, 0.5789, 0.9474, 1.5842, 1.5158, 1.8421, 2.0842, 1.7421, 2.0842, 2.3158, 2.2947, 1.6184, 1.5053, 1.6, 1.1184, 1.1263, 1.2763, 1.1658, 1.1658, 1.6316, 1.3447, 1.4026, 1.4789, 1.8684, 1.4816, 1.6579, 1.6105, 1.4211, 1.0579, 0.6842, 0.9763, 1.0974, 1.4079, 1.4079, 1.8421, 1.6684, 1.5079, 1.5, 1.5, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2027447224188473736", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-27T18:14:21+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "more upstream like $AXTI", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long AAOI as core hold 2026-2027 on 900%+ ARR growth to $4.35B and $25-30B MC potential; also bullish IQE and AXTI as epiwafer/upstream tailwind plays.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "After earnings, $AAOI could easily be a $25B-$30B company next year from $5B if they hit their projections. \n\nAnd they're one of the only \"Made in America\"  (Sugarland, Texas) companies out of\n\n- $LITE (global)\n- $COHR (global)\n- $FN (Thai)\n- $AVGO (global)\n- Innolight (China), and Eoptolink (China). \n\nSo they likely get that \"America\" premium like $INTC compared to $TSM and $MU compared to Sk Hynix. \n\nBut from revenue: \nFY Revenue: $456 million\n2027 ARR by : $4.536B (~900%+ growth). \n\nOff high 30's - low 40% projected margins + hyperscaler qualifications. \n\nThis is wild. But there was a $250M ATM, but that's typically pennies compared to the projection. \n\nThis part is extremely interesting: \n\n-> Management stated that demand and capacity for 800G, 1.6T modules could surge nearly 10x by mid-2027. \n\nThis is also a large tailwind for epiwafer companies too like $IQE and Landmark and more upstream like $AXTI. \n\n$AAOI is a core hold over 2026-2027, but there's always execution risks if they can deliver. \n\n$25-30B MC projections sound surreal but that's how wild the earnings was if they hit $4.35B ARR, off 900%+ growth (and photonics scale up is likely to continue even further into 2028-2029)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Holy $AAOI …\n\nJust putting it out there they’re projecting $378 million in monthly revenue for transceivers. \n\nAt a $5.5B MC.\n\nThis is the definition of extreme scale up. \n\nAlthough margins are different, $AAOI projections would actually surpass $LITE next quarter guidance by https://t.co/DGX3nIDZva", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.020580542548567893, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.020580542548567893, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.025405655726792986, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03445955604908746, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013879013500519566, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.22216353113326304, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.22216353113326304, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.22159495235093174, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.22211426683843194, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "bench_c_p1d": 4.926429483109729e-05, "ret_p1w": -0.1459103528061375, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1459103528061375, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.12607040599363584, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08239681128309584, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "bench_c_p1w": -0.06351354152304167, "ret_p1m": 0.39129280789688603, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.39129280789688603, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4675243858506608, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.49917477965823176, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "bench_c_p1m": -0.10788197176134573, "ret_p3m": 2.239313765178519, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.239313765178519, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.1423450760885134, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.7739004542664476, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.4654133109120713, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6897, -0.6971, -0.6807, -0.6945, -0.6646, -0.6053, -0.5908, -0.5678, -0.6092, -0.6087, -0.657, -0.6739, -0.6303, -0.6135, -0.5984, -0.6137, -0.604, -0.604, -0.5945, -0.615, -0.5831, -0.5686, -0.5686, -0.5578, -0.5602, -0.4678, -0.3639, -0.3185, -0.3934, -0.4132, -0.4325, -0.4169, -0.3214, -0.4172, -0.4172, -0.4351, -0.4781, -0.5272, -0.5409, -0.5303, -0.5462, -0.5559, -0.5678, -0.5108, -0.4475, -0.4792, -0.5053, -0.4609, -0.3652, -0.2673, -0.3575, -0.2929, -0.3459, -0.3604, -0.3604, -0.3876, -0.3789, -0.3718, -0.2169, -0.2499, -0.0744, 0.081, -0.0206, 0.0, 0.2222, 0.1018, 0.0325, 0.0237, -0.1459, 0.0174, 0.1689, 0.2496, 0.233, 0.2892, 0.2768, 0.1704, 0.2865, 0.5327, 0.4311, 0.7003, 0.8058, 0.777, 0.5438, 0.5997, 0.3913, 0.5034, 0.2438, 0.3942, 0.3942, 0.1079, 0.1995, 0.4032, 0.6654, 0.6934, 0.7533, 0.7757, 0.6604, 1.1578, 1.1784, 1.0781, 0.9781, 1.2939, 0.986, 1.0095, 0.8509, 0.8129, 0.8752, 1.0902, 1.533, 1.7968, 1.8377, 1.766, 1.8607, 2.0702, 2.3195, 2.2427, 2.2174, 2.0338, 2.266, 1.7937, 1.9784, 1.7602, 2.1931, 2.7158, 2.7158, 2.4987, 2.2393, 2.0528, 1.7219, 1.7219, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2031255532951179459", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-10T06:27:12+00:00", "symbol": "RIOT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$RIOT, $WULF, $NBIS look structurally in better positions than $CRWV and $IREN are", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefers RIOT/WULF/NBIS structurally over CRWV/IREN; latter two better hedges (implying relative weakness) in sector declines.", "resolved_tickers": ["RIOT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@jorge_r006 $RIOT, $WULF, $NBIS look structurally in better positions than $CRWV and $IREN are. \n\nHence why the latter two serve as better hedges in sector declines. \n\nThat being said, just floating this trade idea out after doing more research, I haven't taken any positions yet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Riot and Wukf have been on my radar lately, is this a sign👀", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jorge_r006", "ret_m1d": 0.004098324080282545, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.004098324080282545, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0024886101603647237, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0012952104645107543, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0016097139199178212, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005393534544793299, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011612026796944841, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011612026796944841, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01286718972546197, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.020002003464050344, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012551629285171284, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008389976667105503, "ret_p1w": 0.002732237767417267, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.002732237767417267, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.012168463732533885, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.012720199455299341, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009436225965116618, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009987961687882074, "ret_p1m": 0.10040985195053431, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10040985195053431, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09941127078714262, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0723797409279916, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0009985811633916875, "bench_c_p1m": 0.028030111022542714, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0758, 0.0451, -0.0635, -0.0799, -0.1148, -0.0861, -0.0096, -0.0164, -0.0663, -0.0492, -0.0492, -0.082, -0.0977, -0.1325, -0.1346, -0.1346, -0.0328, 0.0102, 0.0232, 0.043, 0.0335, 0.0464, 0.1236, 0.1441, 0.1824, 0.1318, 0.3142, 0.3142, 0.2363, 0.1783, 0.1667, 0.1803, 0.1086, 0.1988, 0.1988, 0.1592, 0.0567, 0.0464, 0.0478, -0.0342, -0.1762, -0.013, 0.0225, 0.013, 0.0109, -0.0301, 0.0396, 0.0396, 0.0007, 0.0581, 0.1079, 0.071, 0.069, 0.127, 0.1667, 0.1673, 0.1127, 0.1223, 0.0444, 0.1291, 0.0656, -0.0324, 0.0041, 0.0, 0.0116, -0.0096, -0.041, -0.0164, 0.0027, -0.0369, -0.0342, -0.0861, -0.0184, -0.0212, 0.0355, -0.0434, -0.1257, -0.1919, -0.1557, -0.1428, -0.1216, -0.1216, -0.0765, -0.0307, 0.1004, 0.14, 0.1339, 0.1865, 0.2377, 0.1899, 0.1557, 0.237, 0.237, 0.1892, 0.2623, 0.2439, 0.2712, 0.2486, 0.1318, 0.0915, 0.1776, 0.2637, 0.276, 0.39, 0.6189, 0.6469, 0.6448, 0.7309, 0.6742, 0.7022, 0.6817, 0.6045, 0.5833, 0.5468, 0.6168, 0.6714, 0.6728, 0.6728, 0.7814, 0.8402, 0.8948, 0.8518, 0.8518, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2031255532951179459", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-10T06:27:12+00:00", "symbol": "WULF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$RIOT, $WULF, $NBIS look structurally in better positions than $CRWV and $IREN are", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefers RIOT/WULF/NBIS structurally over CRWV/IREN; latter two better hedges (implying relative weakness) in sector declines.", "resolved_tickers": ["WULF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@jorge_r006 $RIOT, $WULF, $NBIS look structurally in better positions than $CRWV and $IREN are. \n\nHence why the latter two serve as better hedges in sector declines. \n\nThat being said, just floating this trade idea out after doing more research, I haven't taken any positions yet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Riot and Wukf have been on my radar lately, is this a sign👀", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jorge_r006", "ret_m1d": -0.03484320464866708, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03484320464866708, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0364529185685849, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0364529185685849, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0016097139199178212, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0016097139199178212, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.060627168113704055, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.060627168113704055, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.061882331042221184, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.061882331042221184, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012551629285171284, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012551629285171284, "ret_p1w": 0.1177700689290524, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1177700689290524, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12720629489416901, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.12720629489416901, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009436225965116618, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009436225965116618, "ret_p1m": 0.25783963465036974, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.25783963465036974, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.25684105348697805, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.25684105348697805, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0009985811633916875, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0009985811633916875, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1031, -0.0014, -0.1296, -0.0948, -0.1937, -0.1784, -0.1275, -0.131, -0.1345, -0.1422, -0.1422, -0.1812, -0.2042, -0.223, -0.1993, -0.1993, -0.1122, -0.0509, -0.0815, -0.1296, -0.1052, -0.0871, -0.0376, -0.0146, -0.0098, -0.0362, -0.0348, -0.0348, -0.0711, -0.0857, -0.1017, -0.016, -0.039, 0.0669, 0.053, 0.0132, -0.0683, -0.0634, 0.0314, -0.0328, -0.1693, -0.0042, 0.1603, 0.1589, 0.1171, 0.1087, 0.1331, 0.1331, 0.1275, 0.0718, 0.078, 0.046, 0.0927, 0.2237, 0.2488, 0.246, 0.1303, 0.1164, 0.0272, 0.0711, 0.0613, -0.0418, -0.0348, 0.0, 0.0606, 0.0223, 0.0223, 0.1436, 0.1178, 0.0662, 0.0969, 0.0523, 0.1282, 0.1303, 0.1749, 0.0697, 0.0376, -0.0453, 0.0056, 0.0091, 0.0369, 0.0369, 0.0836, 0.1547, 0.2578, 0.3261, 0.315, 0.3554, 0.4599, 0.3707, 0.3456, 0.4383, 0.4286, 0.3777, 0.4321, 0.4195, 0.3944, 0.4934, 0.4495, 0.3951, 0.5143, 0.485, 0.5533, 0.6369, 0.7937, 0.6739, 0.63, 0.6286, 0.5889, 0.6111, 0.6843, 0.5554, 0.4732, 0.4871, 0.5073, 0.5972, 0.5902, 0.5902, 0.7547, 0.8634, 0.8397, 0.7812, 0.7812, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2031255532951179459", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-10T06:27:12+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$RIOT, $WULF, $NBIS look structurally in better positions than $CRWV and $IREN are", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefers RIOT/WULF/NBIS structurally over CRWV/IREN; latter two better hedges (implying relative weakness) in sector declines.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@jorge_r006 $RIOT, $WULF, $NBIS look structurally in better positions than $CRWV and $IREN are. \n\nHence why the latter two serve as better hedges in sector declines. \n\nThat being said, just floating this trade idea out after doing more research, I haven't taken any positions yet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Riot and Wukf have been on my radar lately, is this a sign👀", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jorge_r006", "ret_m1d": -0.01545160073684615, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01545160073684615, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01706131465676397, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.016985087549270306, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0016097139199178212, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0015334868124241563, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.16141244832673518, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.16141244832673518, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.1626676112552523, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.16464980213020697, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012551629285171284, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0032373538034717875, "ret_p1w": 0.20636732824743964, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.20636732824743964, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.21580355421255626, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.22349115564482014, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009436225965116618, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017123827397380498, "ret_p1m": 0.2962770880888481, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2962770880888481, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.29527850692545643, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.32359705743476097, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0009985811633916875, "bench_c_p1m": -0.027319969345912853, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0223, -0.0906, -0.1586, -0.1605, -0.2176, -0.1902, -0.0723, -0.0332, -0.0664, -0.055, -0.055, -0.0917, -0.1077, -0.1168, -0.132, -0.132, -0.0672, -0.0373, 0.0395, -0.0023, 0.009, 0.0156, 0.113, 0.0933, 0.0576, 0.0773, 0.1276, 0.1276, 0.0297, 0.0253, 0.0044, -0.02, -0.0515, 0.0149, 0.0415, -0.0158, -0.1166, -0.0858, -0.0672, -0.1456, -0.234, -0.1071, -0.0368, -0.0481, -0.0811, -0.0695, 0.0164, 0.0164, 0.0113, 0.0557, 0.1159, 0.0155, 0.0433, 0.0638, 0.1005, 0.0876, -0.0543, -0.0562, -0.0999, 0.014, -0.0081, -0.0736, -0.0155, 0.0, 0.1614, 0.1204, 0.1713, 0.3466, 0.2064, 0.2295, 0.2602, 0.2197, 0.1838, 0.1916, 0.1935, 0.0989, 0.0455, -0.0432, 0.076, 0.0572, 0.1285, 0.1285, 0.1671, 0.2175, 0.2963, 0.4138, 0.5034, 0.6028, 0.6794, 0.7294, 0.7146, 0.6296, 0.6505, 0.6235, 0.6192, 0.629, 0.5261, 0.5033, 0.4053, 0.4642, 0.4335, 0.6021, 0.8295, 0.8243, 1.0231, 0.9161, 0.836, 0.9299, 0.8574, 1.1494, 1.2934, 1.2808, 1.0726, 1.0505, 0.9892, 1.2807, 1.2272, 1.2272, 1.1576, 1.1608, 1.3472, 1.3965, 1.3965, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2031255532951179459", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-03-10T06:27:12+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the latter two serve as better hedges in sector declines", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefers RIOT/WULF/NBIS structurally over CRWV/IREN; latter two better hedges (implying relative weakness) in sector declines.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@jorge_r006 $RIOT, $WULF, $NBIS look structurally in better positions than $CRWV and $IREN are. \n\nHence why the latter two serve as better hedges in sector declines. \n\nThat being said, just floating this trade idea out after doing more research, I haven't taken any positions yet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Riot and Wukf have been on my radar lately, is this a sign👀", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jorge_r006", "ret_m1d": -0.006807187924456337, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006807187924456337, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008416901844374158, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008416901844374158, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0016097139199178212, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0016097139199178212, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09396691254118927, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09396691254118927, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0952220754697064, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0952220754697064, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012551629285171284, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012551629285171284, "ret_p1w": 0.09610257279238898, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09610257279238898, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1055387987575056, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1055387987575056, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009436225965116618, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009436225965116618, "ret_p1m": 0.18659908834232164, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.18659908834232164, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.18560050717892995, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.18560050717892995, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0009985811633916875, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0009985811633916875, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1663, 0.049, -0.0343, -0.0723, -0.1384, -0.0966, 0.1078, 0.1323, 0.0713, 0.0527, 0.0527, 0.02, 0.0, -0.0136, -0.0442, -0.0442, 0.0587, 0.0259, 0.0403, 0.0302, 0.029, 0.0697, 0.2003, 0.1676, 0.1986, 0.2682, 0.3512, 0.3512, 0.271, 0.2553, 0.2252, 0.2411, 0.3122, 0.453, 0.4151, 0.3285, 0.2439, 0.1871, 0.2021, 0.1006, -0.0036, 0.2006, 0.2919, 0.2695, 0.27, 0.2774, 0.2819, 0.2819, 0.2146, 0.274, 0.2966, 0.1913, 0.2125, 0.3254, 0.3082, 0.3031, 0.0619, 0.0418, -0.0152, 0.0611, -0.0013, -0.0258, -0.0068, 0.0, 0.094, 0.0659, 0.0826, 0.146, 0.0961, 0.1054, 0.0766, 0.0874, 0.094, 0.1081, 0.169, 0.0738, -0.0015, -0.077, 0.034, 0.047, 0.0977, 0.0977, 0.0804, 0.1377, 0.1866, 0.228, 0.3615, 0.4718, 0.5643, 0.5842, 0.5958, 0.5597, 0.5674, 0.5371, 0.6356, 0.5673, 0.4701, 0.4957, 0.4086, 0.5242, 0.4896, 0.5885, 0.6742, 0.707, 0.8417, 0.7197, 0.5236, 0.531, 0.4382, 0.4857, 0.5245, 0.4322, 0.3851, 0.3322, 0.3518, 0.4359, 0.408, 0.408, 0.4134, 0.3918, 0.4263, 0.462, 0.462, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2031255532951179459", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-03-10T06:27:12+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the latter two serve as better hedges in sector declines", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefers RIOT/WULF/NBIS structurally over CRWV/IREN; latter two better hedges (implying relative weakness) in sector declines.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@jorge_r006 $RIOT, $WULF, $NBIS look structurally in better positions than $CRWV and $IREN are. \n\nHence why the latter two serve as better hedges in sector declines. \n\nThat being said, just floating this trade idea out after doing more research, I haven't taken any positions yet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Riot and Wukf have been on my radar lately, is this a sign👀", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jorge_r006", "ret_m1d": 0.018887755531936667, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.018887755531936667, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017278041612018846, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.013494220987143368, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0016097139199178212, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005393534544793299, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10125920038058922, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.10125920038058922, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.10251436330910635, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.10964917704769472, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012551629285171284, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008389976667105503, "ret_p1w": 0.12696747870419167, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12696747870419167, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1364037046693083, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.13695544039207375, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009436225965116618, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009987961687882074, "ret_p1m": -0.033840428567039726, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.033840428567039726, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.034839009730431414, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06187053958958244, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0009985811633916875, "bench_c_p1m": 0.028030111022542714, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1527, 0.0527, -0.0693, -0.0401, -0.1139, -0.0609, 0.0472, 0.1028, 0.1036, 0.1013, 0.1013, 0.0572, 0.0338, 0.0047, -0.0092, -0.0092, 0.1201, 0.2655, 0.2044, 0.1444, 0.1983, 0.2075, 0.3203, 0.3901, 0.3872, 0.3612, 0.5168, 0.5168, 0.4234, 0.4029, 0.3709, 0.4869, 0.3736, 0.5737, 0.6511, 0.5698, 0.4098, 0.3924, 0.4268, 0.1789, 0.0438, 0.0973, 0.2107, 0.1262, 0.1194, 0.0501, 0.1076, 0.1076, 0.0748, 0.1039, 0.1356, 0.0488, 0.1112, 0.1923, 0.155, 0.1605, 0.0742, 0.0858, 0.0192, 0.1501, 0.0526, -0.0373, 0.0189, 0.0, 0.1013, 0.0853, 0.0908, 0.1789, 0.127, 0.1073, 0.0929, 0.0832, 0.106, 0.0787, 0.0868, -0.0176, -0.0795, -0.1705, -0.1007, -0.1057, -0.0879, -0.0879, -0.0784, -0.0624, -0.0338, -0.0278, 0.0315, 0.1299, 0.2427, 0.2807, 0.2513, 0.2623, 0.2781, 0.1849, 0.2694, 0.3646, 0.3284, 0.2686, 0.1658, 0.1243, 0.1939, 0.1978, 0.298, 0.436, 0.5997, 0.4913, 0.6055, 0.4467, 0.4837, 0.4473, 0.532, 0.3888, 0.3237, 0.2524, 0.3827, 0.5231, 0.4908, 0.4908, 0.5682, 0.7796, 0.6802, 0.6668, 0.6668, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2035181650523660763", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-21T02:28:11+00:00", "symbol": "MU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Yeah I do think $MU is going higher long term.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long MU long term; option flow + macro headwinds explain recent selloff but fundamentals intact.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yeah I do think $MU is going higher long term.\n\nIf I had to give a TLDR:\n\n1. Don't buy shorted options on earnings week, since earnings is more likely than not priced in.\n\n2. If you're going to buy options, do it before markets price in information (eg. around rumors from DRAM/NAND price hikes)\n\n3. I don't think capex was the reason for selloff, lot of it is option flow related and then there needs to be a story for it.\n\n4. Lot of macro headwinds too, but in general, repricing happens leading up to earnings, piecing together different information that changes fundamentals. \n\nEarnings is just confirmation of that.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Do you think micron going higher long term?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "thynxedge", "ret_m1d": 0.04587608576961788, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04587608576961788, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05626700021292841, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06279144596220554, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010390914443310528, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01691536019258766, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.021812755900196712, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.021812755900196712, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.018455906147930246, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.030066054927246122, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0033568497522664664, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00825329902704941, "ret_p1w": -0.2038205167448306, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.2038205167448306, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.16810072974297752, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.13015435860051405, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.035719787001853076, "bench_c_p1w": -0.07366615814431654, "ret_p1m": 0.11183080685194713, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11183080685194713, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.037522753746574766, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07546483157337813, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07430805310537236, "bench_c_p1m": 0.18729563842532526, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2913, -0.2913, -0.296, -0.272, -0.2763, -0.2942, -0.2942, -0.2199, -0.228, -0.1507, -0.1603, -0.1912, -0.1466, -0.1446, -0.1638, -0.1756, -0.1675, -0.1029, -0.1029, -0.0973, -0.0377, -0.0167, -0.0116, -0.0377, 0.0146, 0.0765, 0.0778, 0.026, 0.0827, 0.0373, -0.0617, -0.0531, -0.0239, -0.0516, -0.0769, 0.0148, 0.0238, 0.0181, 0.0181, -0.0113, 0.0411, 0.0322, 0.0589, 0.0411, 0.0338, 0.061, 0.0277, 0.0198, 0.0206, -0.061, -0.0089, -0.0181, -0.0842, -0.0372, -0.0031, 0.0355, 0.0025, 0.0539, 0.0926, 0.1418, 0.1419, 0.0987, 0.0459, 0.0, -0.0218, -0.0551, -0.1209, -0.1166, -0.2038, -0.1641, -0.0899, -0.0939, -0.0939, -0.0654, -0.0658, 0.0063, 0.0429, 0.0406, 0.0554, 0.1521, 0.1288, 0.1313, 0.1259, 0.1095, 0.1118, 0.2061, 0.1918, 0.229, 0.2978, 0.2477, 0.2827, 0.2795, 0.3415, 0.4262, 0.5839, 0.6492, 0.5999, 0.8477, 0.9678, 0.8966, 0.9883, 0.92, 0.7929, 0.6862, 0.7288, 0.811, 0.8855, 0.8581, 0.8581, 1.2165, 1.297, 1.2849, 1.4024, 1.4024, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2027081846673334690", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-26T18:02:28+00:00", "symbol": "AEHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "they've finally gotten past that $POET R&D stage and hitting hyperscaler/AI company production orders this year", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish AEHR: moved past R&D into hyperscaler/AI production orders, a durable positive inflection.", "resolved_tickers": ["AEHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I haven't been trading it, but it's really volatile. You did time it well considering $NVDA caused a selloff across the board. \n\nAs for, $AEHR they've finally gotten past that $POET R&D stage and hitting hyperscaler/AI company production orders this year.  So just wanted to do a tiny write-up about it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Yes I sold all of my AEHR yesterday, need to buy it back today, tomorrow and Monday", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "labubu_trader", "ret_m1d": 0.042211063753273104, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.042211063753273104, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03662556282863072, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007867252775152211, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005585500924642384, "bench_c_m1d": 0.03434381097812089, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05954771299789108, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05954771299789108, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05474576973936374, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.045858689637400696, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004801943258527341, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013689023360490382, "ret_p1w": 0.01733674509128491, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01733674509128491, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02892816003394716, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05777266477097076, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011591414942662248, "bench_c_p1w": -0.04043591967968585, "ret_p1m": -0.18291454569973864, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.18291454569973864, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10533114941542676, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09126626320508502, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07758339628431188, "bench_c_p1m": -0.09164828249465362, "ret_p3m": 1.7618090521617686, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.7618090521617686, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.6699188251724377, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.3003396694373794, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09189022698933091, "bench_c_p3m": 0.4614693827243892, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4339, -0.4357, -0.3779, -0.3593, -0.3784, -0.4003, -0.3839, -0.3508, -0.3359, -0.3849, -0.4241, -0.4497, -0.4601, -0.4606, -0.452, -0.4319, -0.4279, -0.4455, -0.4455, -0.4608, -0.4884, -0.4889, -0.4927, -0.4927, -0.4432, -0.4098, -0.3786, -0.3925, -0.4296, -0.3387, -0.3379, -0.3264, -0.3475, -0.3334, -0.2761, -0.2761, -0.2698, -0.2663, -0.2234, -0.2955, -0.3271, -0.3028, -0.297, -0.3246, -0.3558, -0.3452, -0.3168, -0.4013, -0.4221, -0.3369, -0.3068, -0.3259, -0.1495, -0.2992, -0.2754, -0.2754, -0.2842, -0.2711, -0.2394, -0.1558, -0.1377, -0.0143, 0.0422, 0.0, -0.0595, 0.1063, 0.0462, 0.0719, 0.0173, -0.1053, 0.0271, 0.0543, 0.0666, -0.054, -0.1038, -0.0583, -0.0681, -0.0877, -0.0513, -0.1327, -0.0666, -0.0153, -0.0193, -0.1314, -0.1829, -0.2432, -0.0683, -0.005, 0.1136, 0.1136, 0.3106, 0.2626, 0.5869, 0.7302, 0.7696, 0.8005, 0.8688, 0.8397, 1.0314, 1.107, 1.2651, 1.3548, 1.4462, 1.3997, 1.4098, 1.2231, 1.0711, 1.0555, 1.2754, 1.3384, 1.151, 1.2912, 1.4304, 1.293, 1.443, 1.6271, 1.4302, 1.5942, 1.6719, 1.5, 1.0997, 1.0387, 1.0688, 1.294, 1.3874, 1.3874, 1.7618, 1.6085, 1.5123, 1.3198, 1.3198, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2029839589444374560", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-06T08:40:45+00:00", "symbol": "POET Technologies", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Risk/reward at $6.64 with a Celestial backdoor to hyperscalers seems promising if people have the patience to wait a year", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish POET as large beneficiary of Marvell Celestial CPO ramp; projects $50-150M revenue 2027-28, re-rating likely late 2026, good risk/reward at $6.64.", "resolved_tickers": ["POET"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "POET Technologies trades as POET on NASDAQ", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$MRVL released earnings. From transcript:\n\nTargeting $500m ARR 2028, $1B ARR 2029 with Celestial CPO revenue. \n\n$POET the $1B retail favorite interposer stock, is the large beneficiary from the ramp (Starlight light source).\n\nUsually revenue + stockpiles start to hit ~12M-18M ahead for manufacture and shipment\n\n-> lot of the flow will start hitting likely h2 2027. \n \nFor BOM likely est. 10-15% (speculation). So possibly ~$50-75m 2027, from Celestial alone, and $100m-$150M revenue in 2028. \n\nBiggest risk is customer concentration, in the event $MRVL wants to dual-source its light engines. \n\nBut $POET and Celestial spent years co-developing this specific integration, so a workaround now would likely delay Marvell's 2028 commercialization timelines. \n\nAnd the upside is $POET can always find more customers too. \n\nGiven $POET's solid cash balance sheet from recent dilution + rich P/S multiples for a hot industry:\n\nProbably could see re-rating late 2026 once people frontrun h2 2027 revenue. \n\nI think a lot of retail are typically good at finding moonshots like $RKLB, but a lot of times they're too early. My opinion is that it's the same for $POET.\n\nIt's a lot easier ride up stocks that have just hit that inflection point like $AAOI or $AEHR. \n\nBut regardless:\n\nRisk/reward at $6.64 with a Celestial backdoor to hyperscalers seems promising if people have the patience to wait a year. \n\nJust thought about $POET when I went through earning projections.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.05732478417994069, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05732478417994069, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.044043570446799185, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01846098178398692, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013281213733141506, "bench_c_m1d": 0.03886380239595377, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0652865977252286, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0652865977252286, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05652657271218953, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.028997976621620625, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008760025013039074, "bench_c_p1d": 0.036288621103607976, "ret_p1w": 0.08757956935076128, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08757956935076128, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10258593638889157, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06979002484502406, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.015006367038130297, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01778954450573722, "ret_p1m": -0.031847178251670494, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.031847178251670494, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01452000533492992, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07236644860761543, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017327172916740574, "bench_c_p1m": 0.040519270355944936, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0987, 0.1385, 0.1497, 0.035, -0.0541, -0.0334, -0.0494, -0.0239, 0.0796, 0.2118, 0.1385, 0.1178, 0.1178, 0.0844, 0.0414, 0.0382, 0.008, 0.008, 0.1401, 0.1831, 0.1704, 0.1863, 0.1592, 0.1768, 0.1481, 0.1369, 0.2882, 0.3232, 0.3217, 0.3217, 0.3121, 0.3328, 0.1051, 0.1003, 0.0287, 0.0812, -0.0096, -0.0525, -0.0764, -0.0701, -0.0382, -0.1067, -0.1752, -0.0653, -0.0111, -0.0701, -0.0717, -0.1003, -0.1115, -0.1115, -0.121, -0.1115, -0.1131, -0.0939, -0.121, -0.0271, 0.0127, -0.0064, -0.0446, 0.1003, 0.121, 0.0892, 0.0573, 0.0, 0.0653, 0.1146, 0.1847, 0.1847, 0.0876, 0.1003, 0.0462, -0.0159, -0.008, -0.0557, -0.035, -0.086, -0.0287, -0.1258, -0.1736, -0.1911, -0.0541, -0.1083, -0.0271, -0.0271, -0.0318, -0.051, -0.0096, -0.0318, 0.121, 0.1624, 0.0685, 0.1099, 0.1688, 0.1561, 0.3678, 0.6322, 1.0334, 0.8662, 1.4045, 0.2659, 0.2787, 0.051, 0.1338, 0.164, 0.1322, 0.4666, 0.5478, 0.5255, 0.7436, 1.2134, 1.1863, 1.2882, 2.2755, 1.543, 1.2627, 1.0812, 1.3535, 1.3599, 1.3232, 1.3232, 1.1258, 1.1146, 1.1115, 0.957, 0.957, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2021617997824270558", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-11T16:11:05+00:00", "symbol": "RDDT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Probably best opportunity I've seen in awhile from the \"not actually disrupted by AI\" bucket", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long RDDT after -42% crash; beating estimates, 70% Y/Y growth, 35% margins, and network effect not disrupted by AI.", "resolved_tickers": ["RDDT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "-41.96% crash on $RDDT for beating all estimates and growing 70% Y/Y off 35% net income margins is wild. \n\nYou can’t vibecode the network effect Reddit has. And you can’t defeat the human element for Super Bowl threads by talking with ChatGPT.\n\nProbably best opportunity I’ve seen in awhile from the “not actually disrupted by AI” bucket. \n\nBut yeah algos go brrr", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What I find funny is that option strike only goes to 80, definitely less beta that some other names. I sold puts to keep an eye on it. Algo trading has fast and furious and irrational moves", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "AI_PowerFlow", "ret_m1d": 0.07674637774909354, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07674637774909354, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07651526553416299, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06955091717667705, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00023111221493055112, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00719546057241649, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05901347087459741, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05901347087459741, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04356459664669621, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.041024753881273246, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0154488742279012, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01798871699332416, "ret_p1w": 0.058654704727792994, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.058654704727792994, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06684888427323865, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0770717401167399, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.008194179545445657, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0184170353889469, "ret_p1m": -0.05054198883957939, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05054198883957939, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.013111981434789977, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03794990005670906, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03743000740478941, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012592088782870325, "ret_p3m": 0.14516477992189092, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.14516477992189092, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07383265371427883, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.15194195312800196, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07133212620761209, "bench_c_p3m": -0.006777173206111042, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3878, 0.3465, 0.3331, 0.3481, 0.3058, 0.3173, 0.4, 0.5685, 0.4901, 0.4901, 0.5541, 0.6038, 0.5993, 0.5855, 0.5992, 0.6807, 0.7011, 0.6951, 0.7095, 0.6766, 0.6138, 0.5687, 0.6082, 0.6321, 0.6609, 0.6741, 0.6738, 0.6212, 0.6214, 0.6214, 0.6209, 0.6846, 0.6754, 0.6503, 0.6503, 0.7366, 0.7521, 0.8222, 0.8343, 0.8232, 0.7558, 0.7519, 0.8589, 0.8119, 0.6423, 0.6585, 0.6585, 0.6179, 0.5086, 0.5402, 0.5714, 0.5337, 0.4093, 0.3866, 0.3644, 0.2942, 0.2718, 0.1875, 0.0962, 0.0844, 0.0039, 0.0176, 0.0767, 0.0, -0.059, 0.0026, 0.0026, -0.0004, 0.0587, 0.0491, 0.0781, 0.0228, 0.02, 0.0745, 0.0859, 0.0468, 0.0561, 0.0459, 0.0574, 0.0363, 0.0007, -0.0031, -0.037, -0.0156, -0.0505, -0.0498, 0.0051, 0.0362, 0.0251, -0.0084, 0.004, 0.012, -0.0228, 0.0024, -0.0864, -0.1253, -0.1088, -0.0333, -0.0223, -0.0236, -0.0236, -0.0068, 0.0133, 0.041, -0.0065, 0.0032, 0.0722, 0.1095, 0.1378, 0.1663, 0.176, 0.1938, 0.1259, 0.1796, 0.0981, 0.112, 0.1502, 0.062, 0.0607, 0.057, 0.1952, 0.2138, 0.2322, 0.1958, 0.177, 0.1185, 0.1452, 0.0938, 0.1065, 0.1222, 0.1355, 0.1423, 0.1119, 0.0533, 0.0772, 0.0171, 0.0171, 0.0384, 0.107, 0.2039, 0.2636, 0.2636, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2034100201275945325", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-18T02:50:54+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LITE as a reference point is $44B+ as the leading laser supplier in current pluggable bottlenecks", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "SIVE undervalued at $200M vs pre-product LLM startups; LITE cited as bullish reference as leading laser supplier in CPO/silicon photonics growth.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Zantetrader $SIVE is trading at $200m… Pre-product Silicon Valley LLM startups are worth 20x more than that.\n\n$LITE as a reference point is $44B+ as the leading laser supplier in current pluggable bottlenecks.\n\nCPO/Silicon photonics is the main growth engine past 2027.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Is it too late for SIVE?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Zantetrader", "ret_m1d": -0.0731296645004198, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0731296645004198, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08728076938696283, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08728076938696283, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.014151104886543031, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014151104886543031, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10176796503000207, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10176796503000207, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10423230551519391, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10423230551519391, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0024643404851918405, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0024643404851918405, "ret_p1w": 0.1089596119027656, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1089596119027656, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1132173608392768, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1132173608392768, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0042577489365112076, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0042577489365112076, "ret_p1m": 0.2716998527530443, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2716998527530443, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.20798000051169097, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.20798000051169097, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06371985224135335, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06371985224135335, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.47, -0.4437, -0.4472, -0.4351, -0.4351, -0.4424, -0.4683, -0.4704, -0.4741, -0.4741, -0.4491, -0.4905, -0.4329, -0.4394, -0.5031, -0.4986, -0.515, -0.4844, -0.5268, -0.5102, -0.5373, -0.5373, -0.4908, -0.4828, -0.4942, -0.516, -0.5256, -0.4711, -0.4506, -0.4557, -0.4409, -0.3958, -0.3791, -0.3357, -0.2802, -0.2124, -0.1765, -0.1993, -0.1808, -0.1674, -0.197, -0.197, -0.1432, -0.152, -0.093, -0.0471, -0.0372, -0.0179, 0.0322, -0.034, 0.0001, 0.1176, -0.0091, -0.0286, -0.0713, -0.2032, -0.0858, -0.0411, -0.0411, -0.1209, -0.1117, -0.1084, -0.0731, 0.0, 0.1018, 0.0079, 0.0402, 0.1444, 0.109, -0.0171, 0.0027, -0.0657, 0.0028, 0.0911, 0.1799, 0.1799, 0.102, 0.164, 0.2785, 0.2759, 0.2804, 0.2431, 0.2169, 0.1758, 0.2717, 0.2758, 0.2773, 0.1942, 0.2466, 0.2084, 0.258, 0.2267, 0.1292, 0.2248, 0.2875, 0.3555, 0.3929, 0.4192, 0.3474, 0.2736, 0.2897, 0.5027, 0.416, 0.4703, 0.4295, 0.3851, 0.2628, 0.2701, 0.2387, 0.3763, 0.3512, 0.3512, 0.2997, 0.2875, 0.228, 0.22, 0.22, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2027843145011237281", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-28T20:27:35+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LITE, $COHR, and others are going through a repricing cycle right now", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish LITE and COHR on hyperscaler demand for 800G/1.6T optical transceivers severely outstripping supply, with biggest growth ramp expected in 2028.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Seems reasonable to me. It's expected hyperscaler demand for qualified 800G or 1.6T optical transceivers severely outstrips supply like memory.\n\nAnd it's only 2026, biggest growth ramp is expected to happen 2028, which is the largest part of why $LITE, $COHR, and others are going through a repricing cycle right now", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What are the chances that management is blowing smoke up our bums", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Meatusmax", "ret_m1d": -0.10512611152948448, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10512611152948448, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1045578558452781, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1045578558452781, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.11339930714869928, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.11339930714869928, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.10458496866590361, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.10458496866590361, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "ret_p1w": -0.18201084910130072, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.18201084910130072, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.17019526817778585, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.17019526817778585, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "ret_p1m": -0.10276411137488028, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10276411137488028, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05284436979969653, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05284436979969653, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "ret_p3m": 0.09878071511929454, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09878071511929454, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.003612664046613423, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.003612664046613423, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6132, -0.5814, -0.5769, -0.5626, -0.54, -0.5327, -0.5249, -0.5859, -0.5727, -0.5964, -0.5911, -0.5696, -0.5258, -0.5022, -0.5054, -0.4945, -0.4945, -0.5011, -0.5243, -0.5261, -0.5294, -0.5294, -0.507, -0.5441, -0.4926, -0.4984, -0.5554, -0.5513, -0.5661, -0.5387, -0.5766, -0.5617, -0.586, -0.586, -0.5444, -0.5373, -0.5474, -0.5669, -0.5756, -0.5268, -0.5085, -0.513, -0.4997, -0.4594, -0.4445, -0.4056, -0.356, -0.2953, -0.2631, -0.2836, -0.267, -0.2551, -0.2815, -0.2815, -0.2334, -0.2413, -0.1885, -0.1474, -0.1386, -0.1213, -0.0764, -0.1357, -0.1051, 0.0, -0.1134, -0.1308, -0.1691, -0.287, -0.182, -0.142, -0.142, -0.2134, -0.2052, -0.2022, -0.1707, -0.1053, -0.0142, -0.0982, -0.0693, 0.0239, -0.0078, -0.1206, -0.1028, -0.164, -0.1028, -0.0237, 0.0557, 0.0557, -0.014, 0.0415, 0.144, 0.1416, 0.1456, 0.1123, 0.0888, 0.052, 0.1378, 0.1415, 0.1428, 0.0685, 0.1154, 0.0813, 0.1256, 0.0976, 0.0104, 0.0958, 0.152, 0.2128, 0.2463, 0.2698, 0.2056, 0.1396, 0.1539, 0.3445, 0.267, 0.3155, 0.279, 0.2393, 0.1299, 0.1364, 0.1083, 0.2314, 0.2089, 0.2089, 0.1629, 0.152, 0.0988, 0.0916, 0.0916, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2027843145011237281", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-28T20:27:35+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LITE, $COHR, and others are going through a repricing cycle right now", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish LITE and COHR on hyperscaler demand for 800G/1.6T optical transceivers severely outstripping supply, with biggest growth ramp expected in 2028.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Seems reasonable to me. It's expected hyperscaler demand for qualified 800G or 1.6T optical transceivers severely outstrips supply like memory.\n\nAnd it's only 2026, biggest growth ramp is expected to happen 2028, which is the largest part of why $LITE, $COHR, and others are going through a repricing cycle right now", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What are the chances that management is blowing smoke up our bums", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Meatusmax", "ret_m1d": -0.13375266968823796, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.13375266968823796, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.13318441400403158, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.13318441400403158, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.060553363493234036, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.060553363493234036, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.051739025010438366, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.051739025010438366, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "ret_p1w": -0.15586630011405167, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.15586630011405167, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1440507191905368, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1440507191905368, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "ret_p1m": -0.20307114584514885, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.20307114584514885, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1531514042699651, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1531514042699651, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "ret_p3m": 0.2610819564043063, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2610819564043063, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.15868857723839835, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.15868857723839835, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4281, -0.4067, -0.3918, -0.3782, -0.3552, -0.3394, -0.3359, -0.4034, -0.403, -0.4139, -0.4298, -0.4122, -0.3783, -0.3611, -0.3581, -0.3598, -0.3598, -0.3586, -0.3676, -0.375, -0.3825, -0.3825, -0.3499, -0.3765, -0.3506, -0.3589, -0.4207, -0.4043, -0.3805, -0.3643, -0.3841, -0.3444, -0.3609, -0.3609, -0.3528, -0.326, -0.3218, -0.3411, -0.3384, -0.2841, -0.2602, -0.2778, -0.2902, -0.2558, -0.2333, -0.2941, -0.3, -0.2383, -0.1889, -0.236, -0.2516, -0.277, -0.2733, -0.2733, -0.2641, -0.251, -0.2222, -0.1697, -0.1673, -0.1474, -0.1037, -0.1632, -0.1338, 0.0, -0.0606, -0.0805, -0.1507, -0.2114, -0.1559, -0.128, -0.1589, -0.1928, -0.1878, -0.1724, -0.1777, -0.1395, -0.0781, -0.1515, -0.1467, -0.0889, -0.0899, -0.1861, -0.1854, -0.2652, -0.2031, -0.171, -0.1363, -0.1363, -0.1529, -0.1466, -0.0573, -0.0493, 0.0287, 0.0302, 0.0485, 0.0311, 0.0973, 0.1543, 0.1626, 0.1501, 0.1725, 0.1297, 0.1244, 0.0757, 0.0169, 0.0201, 0.0696, 0.1023, 0.1036, 0.1232, 0.1531, 0.0678, 0.1216, 0.2702, 0.2512, 0.3506, 0.3547, 0.2795, 0.2138, 0.1831, 0.1994, 0.2646, 0.2632, 0.2632, 0.2758, 0.2719, 0.2611, 0.2093, 0.2093, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2019946788233617526", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-07T01:30:17+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AXTI is of my most interesting bottleneck longs starting from a tiny $700M MC", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long AXTI as a key InP substrate bottleneck play; expects photonics to ramp significantly over the next two years amid export controls, rising prices, and hyperscaler capex.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It’s been 6 weeks since I made the initial $AXTI post.\n\nIt’s now up another 60%.\n\nAlmost nobody talked about this tiny $700M stock on X.\n\nEspecially not from angles of InP supply chains with photonics.\n\nAnd now it’s a $1.4B company on institution and gov radars.\n\nSince then:\n\n- China export control banned precursors to their competitors\n\n- 7n InP prices hit all time highs week after week\n\n- They raised $100M from Northland to double their capacity\n\n- $LITE blows out earnings with expectations of optical demand outstripping supply\n\n- Every hyperscaler blew out expectations of capex\n\n- Trump signed executive orders to seize InP supply chains from foreign owned companies in the US.\n\nIt’s been 6 weeks. And I expect photonics to ramp up the most over the next two years onwards.\n\nEvery stock has volatility (this one moves 20%+ up and down daily) so it’s important to develop conviction by yourself before entering a trade. \n\nBut $AXTI is of my most interesting bottleneck longs starting from a tiny $700M MC.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Warning: The entire AI industry will likely be bottlenecked by two companies:\n\n1. $AXTI ($700M) \n2. $SMTOY ($31.7B)\n\nWhich both control 60–70%+ of the world's InP substrates.\n\nFuture $NVDA, $GOOGL TPU v7 pods, $META, $MSFT, $AMZN hyperscaler clusters require InP-based lasers and https://t.co/8mqrgONJbb", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.1335974407873689, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1335974407873689, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12879874717925066, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1213018547181538, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012295586069215103, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.123154483972571, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.123154483972571, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.12051732354049016, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.11850679146248455, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004647692510086454, "ret_p1w": -0.1271156149966366, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1271156149966366, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1095350452122934, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12974688842656112, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00263127342992453, "ret_p1m": 0.5952466152976088, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5952466152976088, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6194126779126626, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.6181656057417381, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02291899044412926, "ret_p3m": 2.904213049396414, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.904213049396414, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.8471081456732303, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.5760439022368455, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3281691471595687, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6046, -0.6241, -0.6241, -0.6309, -0.6435, -0.6359, -0.6597, -0.6784, -0.6637, -0.6676, -0.6237, -0.6237, -0.6147, -0.6115, -0.5765, -0.5866, -0.5643, -0.583, -0.5423, -0.4613, -0.4415, -0.4102, -0.4667, -0.466, -0.5319, -0.5549, -0.4955, -0.4725, -0.4519, -0.4728, -0.4595, -0.4595, -0.4465, -0.4746, -0.431, -0.4112, -0.4112, -0.3965, -0.3997, -0.2737, -0.1318, -0.0699, -0.1721, -0.1991, -0.2254, -0.2042, -0.0738, -0.2045, -0.2045, -0.229, -0.2877, -0.3547, -0.3734, -0.359, -0.3806, -0.394, -0.4102, -0.3324, -0.2459, -0.2892, -0.3248, -0.2643, -0.1336, 0.0, -0.1232, -0.0349, -0.1073, -0.1271, -0.1271, -0.1642, -0.1523, -0.1426, 0.0688, 0.0238, 0.2632, 0.4753, 0.3367, 0.3648, 0.668, 0.5038, 0.4091, 0.3972, 0.1656, 0.3885, 0.5952, 0.7054, 0.6828, 0.7595, 0.7425, 0.5974, 0.7559, 1.0918, 0.9532, 1.3205, 1.4645, 1.4253, 1.1069, 1.1833, 0.8988, 1.0519, 0.6975, 0.9028, 0.9028, 0.5121, 0.637, 0.915, 1.273, 1.3111, 1.3929, 1.4235, 1.2661, 1.9449, 1.973, 1.8362, 1.6997, 2.1307, 1.7105, 1.7425, 1.5261, 1.4743, 1.5592, 1.8527, 2.457, 2.8171, 2.8729, 2.7749, 2.9042, 3.1901, 3.5304, 3.4256, 3.3911, 3.1404, 3.4573, 2.8127, 3.0648, 2.767, 3.3579, 4.0713, 4.0713, 3.7749, 3.421, 3.1664, 2.7148, 2.7148, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2019188484695880064", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-04T23:17:04+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LITE and $COHR are large beneficiaries from this", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Both Lumentum and Coherent are large beneficiaries of AI/TPU CapEx spending.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@stefano_kerope True, $LITE and $COHR are large beneficiaries from this. https://t.co/A3nxoIQ3iE", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Strongly bullish on $LITE. Per recent Mizuho analysis, Lumentum captures a massive 8-12% of every dollar spent on TPU CapEx. While the NVIDIA GPU split is more competitive at ~2-3%", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "stefano_kerope", "ret_m1d": -0.06538643700366076, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06538643700366076, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0702539364687389, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0702539364687389, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00486749946507814, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00486749946507814, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08351592595518209, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08351592595518209, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09600513721138382, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09600513721138382, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012489211256201727, "bench_c_p1d": -0.012489211256201727, "ret_p1w": 0.2332129888169736, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2332129888169736, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.22480416809523618, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.22480416809523618, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008408820721737431, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008408820721737431, "ret_p1m": 0.3979894217006237, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3979894217006237, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.40510114041919787, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.40510114041919787, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007111718718574189, "bench_c_p1m": -0.007111718718574189, "ret_p3m": 1.0968766910644279, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.0968766910644279, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.0476470187434501, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.0476470187434501, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.049229672320977746, "bench_c_p3m": 0.049229672320977746, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4842, -0.4417, -0.4577, -0.4548, -0.5127, -0.5013, -0.48, -0.4685, -0.4223, -0.499, -0.451, -0.357, -0.3743, -0.3378, -0.3378, -0.3015, -0.3171, -0.3496, -0.3492, -0.2958, -0.2881, -0.2642, -0.226, -0.2138, -0.2007, -0.3033, -0.2811, -0.3209, -0.3121, -0.2758, -0.2022, -0.1625, -0.1678, -0.1495, -0.1495, -0.1606, -0.1996, -0.2027, -0.2083, -0.2083, -0.1706, -0.233, -0.1463, -0.1561, -0.2519, -0.2451, -0.2699, -0.2238, -0.2877, -0.2626, -0.3035, -0.3035, -0.2335, -0.2215, -0.2385, -0.2714, -0.2859, -0.2038, -0.173, -0.1807, -0.1583, -0.0905, -0.0654, 0.0, 0.0835, 0.1857, 0.2397, 0.2053, 0.2332, 0.2533, 0.2088, 0.2088, 0.2897, 0.2765, 0.3654, 0.4344, 0.4493, 0.4784, 0.5539, 0.4542, 0.5056, 0.6825, 0.4917, 0.4624, 0.398, 0.1996, 0.3762, 0.4435, 0.4435, 0.3234, 0.3372, 0.3422, 0.3953, 0.5054, 0.6586, 0.5173, 0.5658, 0.7227, 0.6694, 0.4796, 0.5095, 0.4065, 0.5096, 0.6425, 0.7762, 0.7762, 0.6589, 0.7523, 0.9247, 0.9206, 0.9274, 0.8713, 0.8318, 0.77, 0.9144, 0.9205, 0.9227, 0.7977, 0.8765, 0.8192, 0.8938, 0.8466, 0.6999, 0.8437, 0.9382, 1.0405, 1.0969, 1.1364, 1.0284, 0.9173, 0.9414, 1.2621, 1.1317, 1.2133, 1.1519, 1.0851, 0.901, 0.912, 0.8647, 1.0718, 1.034, 1.034, 0.9565, 0.9382, 0.8486, 0.8365, 0.8365, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2019188484695880064", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-04T23:17:04+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LITE and $COHR are large beneficiaries from this", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Both Lumentum and Coherent are large beneficiaries of AI/TPU CapEx spending.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@stefano_kerope True, $LITE and $COHR are large beneficiaries from this. https://t.co/A3nxoIQ3iE", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Strongly bullish on $LITE. Per recent Mizuho analysis, Lumentum captures a massive 8-12% of every dollar spent on TPU CapEx. While the NVIDIA GPU split is more competitive at ~2-3%", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "stefano_kerope", "ret_m1d": 0.08616110272882116, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08616110272882116, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08129360326374302, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08129360326374302, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00486749946507814, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00486749946507814, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008341206193535289, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008341206193535289, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004148005062666438, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004148005062666438, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012489211256201727, "bench_c_p1d": -0.012489211256201727, "ret_p1w": 0.060142191665432554, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.060142191665432554, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05173337094369512, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05173337094369512, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008408820721737431, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008408820721737431, "ret_p1m": 0.20317533230894558, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.20317533230894558, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.21028705102751977, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.21028705102751977, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007111718718574189, "bench_c_p1m": -0.007111718718574189, "ret_p3m": 0.5634597850636849, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5634597850636849, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5142301127427071, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5142301127427071, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.049229672320977746, "bench_c_p3m": 0.049229672320977746, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2677, -0.2099, -0.2511, -0.2575, -0.3366, -0.3397, -0.3409, -0.3453, -0.3226, -0.3573, -0.3388, -0.2805, -0.2945, -0.2701, -0.2701, -0.2215, -0.2251, -0.2185, -0.1898, -0.1595, -0.1384, -0.1191, -0.0866, -0.0642, -0.0592, -0.1548, -0.1543, -0.1697, -0.1922, -0.1673, -0.1193, -0.0949, -0.0907, -0.093, -0.093, -0.0914, -0.1042, -0.1146, -0.1253, -0.1253, -0.079, -0.1168, -0.08, -0.0918, -0.1794, -0.1561, -0.1224, -0.0994, -0.1274, -0.0713, -0.0946, -0.0946, -0.0831, -0.0452, -0.0392, -0.0666, -0.0627, 0.0142, 0.0481, 0.023, 0.0056, 0.0542, 0.0862, 0.0, -0.0083, 0.0791, 0.1491, 0.0823, 0.0601, 0.0242, 0.0295, 0.0295, 0.0425, 0.0611, 0.1018, 0.1762, 0.1796, 0.2079, 0.2697, 0.1855, 0.2272, 0.4166, 0.3309, 0.3027, 0.2032, 0.1172, 0.1958, 0.2353, 0.1915, 0.1435, 0.1505, 0.1724, 0.1649, 0.219, 0.306, 0.202, 0.2088, 0.2907, 0.2893, 0.153, 0.1539, 0.041, 0.129, 0.1744, 0.2235, 0.2235, 0.2001, 0.209, 0.3355, 0.3468, 0.4573, 0.4594, 0.4854, 0.4607, 0.5545, 0.6352, 0.647, 0.6293, 0.661, 0.6004, 0.5928, 0.5238, 0.4406, 0.4452, 0.5152, 0.5616, 0.5635, 0.5911, 0.6335, 0.5127, 0.5889, 0.7995, 0.7726, 0.9133, 0.9191, 0.8126, 0.7196, 0.676, 0.6991, 0.7915, 0.7894, 0.7894, 0.8073, 0.8018, 0.7865, 0.7131, 0.7131, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2030083176744505386", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-07T00:48:41+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Would not be surprised to see a short squeeze off the positive news", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Expects HIMS short squeeze on NVO partnership news; stock up 37% AH and heavily shorted.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Congrats to the $HIMS holders, stock back up 37% after hours.\n\nIt looks like $NVO dropped the lawsuit and partnered with $HIMS to sell NOVO branded GLP-1s.\n\nGiven HIMS was once trading at $70 and became one of the most shorted stocks.\n\nWould not be surprised to see a short squeeze off the positive news.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.2897111967734822, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.2897111967734822, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.281027243409127, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.281027243409127, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0591154997726846, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0591154997726846, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06072262667805173, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06072262667805173, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "ret_p1w": 0.12274365216984151, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12274365216984151, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.13636655889404026, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13636655889404026, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "ret_p1m": -0.12003609502383417, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12003609502383417, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09460413060422168, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09460413060422168, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.7094, 0.7044, 0.6792, 0.6358, 0.6634, 0.5781, 0.569, 0.6047, 0.5817, 0.5704, 0.5645, 0.5645, 0.5483, 0.5388, 0.491, 0.4653, 0.4653, 0.5077, 0.5663, 0.6002, 0.6002, 0.5284, 0.4301, 0.4594, 0.4531, 0.4134, 0.4093, 0.4161, 0.4161, 0.375, 0.3037, 0.3773, 0.3366, 0.3664, 0.3394, 0.2938, 0.3479, 0.2225, 0.1931, 0.1525, 0.1011, 0.0596, 0.0388, -0.1277, -0.222, -0.2468, -0.287, -0.2644, -0.2644, -0.2658, -0.2852, -0.2861, -0.2947, -0.3001, -0.3023, -0.2861, -0.296, -0.3448, -0.2563, -0.2861, -0.2577, -0.2834, -0.2897, 0.0, 0.0591, 0.1679, 0.0758, 0.1178, 0.1227, 0.1273, 0.0447, 0.0903, -0.0063, 0.0135, -0.037, -0.0596, -0.0587, -0.1255, -0.1525, -0.0632, -0.1047, -0.1363, -0.1363, -0.0826, -0.12, -0.125, -0.1088, -0.1232, -0.0456, -0.0361, 0.0961, 0.218, 0.3005, 0.3994, 0.343, 0.3091, 0.2703, 0.3791, 0.3263, 0.2595, 0.1882, 0.2261, 0.2369, 0.2306, 0.1882, 0.213, 0.1575, 0.2757, 0.315, 0.1295, 0.0894, 0.0939, 0.1304, 0.0059, 0.0126, 0.0397, 0.0835, 0.0718, 0.0718, 0.0763, 0.1372, 0.1453, 0.1801, 0.1801, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2014082996840910937", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-21T21:09:40+00:00", "symbol": "MU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "US government likely tarrifs on hynix/samsung to push for domestic usage, $6B+ in grants, and tens of billions in tax credits, and hyperscalers wanting a domestic supply chain gives Micron a pretty big edge even if there's delays. As with the demand side, they're sold out for 2026 and into 2027. I see a structural demand shift, not a cycle this time around", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long MU: structural demand shift, sold out through 2027, US tariffs/grants/tax credits vs Hynix/Samsung give Micron durable domestic supply-chain edge.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So this is just an oversimplified bull case scenario for $MU.\n\nThere's obviously bear cases too, one being HBM4 qualification  execution risk for stuff like $NVDA Rubin that @MarkosAAIG mentioned.\n\nSimilar thesis with $INTC here, Micron is in the US.\n\nUS government likely tarrifs on hynix/samsung to push for domestic  usage, $6B+ in grants, and tens of billions in tax credits, and  hyperscalers wanting a domestic supply chain gives Micron a pretty big  edge even if there's delays.\n\nAs with the demand side, they're sold out for 2026 and into 2027. I see a structural demand shift, not a cycle this time around, people can interpret it differently though.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit The 20 fwd P/E logic is widely cited by bulls.\n\nBut to assign a critical infra PE to Micron you're basically assuming infinite demand that can not be met by the big three through 2030, despite nearly $60B on capex just this year between them\n\nIn every past cycle, Micron's fwd PE", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "michaelsikand", "ret_m1d": -0.06196185767565987, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06196185767565987, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05055245529014518, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03325044464943039, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011409402385514689, "bench_c_m1d": -0.028711413026229482, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.021767591719483503, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.021767591719483503, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.016544361699755816, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.019553239308228054, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005223230019727687, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002214352411255449, "ret_p1w": 0.11865545411448353, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11865545411448353, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10403630343784775, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08208189037227953, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014619150676635773, "bench_c_p1w": 0.036573563742203996, "ret_p1m": 0.07257590073347964, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07257590073347964, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07391825165042243, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.052000129624203195, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0013423509169427916, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02057577110927644, "ret_p3m": 0.15290895992013187, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15290895992013187, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11606114597516592, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0014213958872131283, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.036847813944965946, "bench_c_p3m": 0.154330355807345, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4374, -0.4346, -0.4299, -0.4178, -0.4245, -0.4252, -0.3971, -0.4399, -0.3899, -0.3877, -0.3888, -0.3493, -0.3806, -0.3709, -0.3913, -0.3659, -0.3784, -0.413, -0.4196, -0.4827, -0.4673, -0.4247, -0.4232, -0.4085, -0.4085, -0.3925, -0.3823, -0.3848, -0.3985, -0.4178, -0.3906, -0.3657, -0.3516, -0.3225, -0.336, -0.3805, -0.3899, -0.4027, -0.4207, -0.3615, -0.3169, -0.2895, -0.2903, -0.2635, -0.2635, -0.2684, -0.2435, -0.248, -0.2665, -0.2665, -0.1894, -0.1978, -0.1174, -0.1274, -0.1596, -0.1131, -0.1111, -0.131, -0.1433, -0.1349, -0.0677, -0.0677, -0.062, 0.0, 0.0218, 0.0271, -0.0001, 0.0543, 0.1187, 0.12, 0.0662, 0.1251, 0.0779, -0.025, -0.016, 0.0143, -0.0144, -0.0408, 0.0546, 0.0639, 0.058, 0.058, 0.0274, 0.0818, 0.0726, 0.1004, 0.0819, 0.0743, 0.1025, 0.068, 0.0598, 0.0605, -0.0242, 0.03, 0.0204, -0.0483, 0.0005, 0.036, 0.076, 0.0417, 0.0951, 0.1354, 0.1865, 0.1866, 0.1418, 0.0868, 0.0392, 0.0165, -0.018, -0.0865, -0.082, -0.1726, -0.1314, -0.0542, -0.0584, -0.0584, -0.0288, -0.0292, 0.0457, 0.0837, 0.0814, 0.0967, 0.1972, 0.173, 0.1756, 0.17, 0.1529, 0.1554, 0.2533, 0.2385, 0.2771, 0.3487, 0.2966, 0.333, 0.3296, 0.394, 0.4821, 0.646, 0.7138, 0.6625, 0.9201, 1.0448, 0.9709, 1.0662, 0.9952, 0.8631, 0.7523, 0.7965, 0.882, 0.9594, 0.9309, 0.9309, 1.3033, 1.387, 1.3744, 1.4965, 1.4965, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2027402619212435584", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-27T15:17:06+00:00", "symbol": "PLTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$PLTR has extreme premiums with more than triple digit forward p/e... the biggest risk factor I see that people aren't factoring in is administration shift to Democrats in 4 year cycles... that 'insider premium' for gov contracts that Tesla and $PLTR have might disappear", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bearish PLTR: triple-digit forward P/E unjustified given risk of Democratic administration shift wiping out insider gov-contract premium.", "resolved_tickers": ["PLTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$PLTR has extreme premiums with more than triple digit forward p/e. It would make a little bit more sense if they can keep compounding like that under a Trump administration.   \n\nBut the biggest risk factor I see that people aren't factoring in is administration shift to Democrats in 4 year cycles.   \n\nPalantir was the core \"Trump Election\" trade few years back alongside $TSLA and Bitcoin.   \n\nBut if the administration shifts with the CEO being an outspoken critic of democrats, then that \"insider premium\" for gov contracts that Tesla and $PLTR have might disappear.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What’s your view on Palantir?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "yuntungshieh", "ret_m1d": -0.00911145110981304, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00911145110981304, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.013936564288038134, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.013936564288038134, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05816747274239109, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05816747274239109, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.057598893960059794, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.057598893960059794, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "ret_p1w": 0.145564551828274, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.145564551828274, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.16540449864077567, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.16540449864077567, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "ret_p1m": 0.0026241023685769083, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0026241023685769083, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07885568032235168, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07885568032235168, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "ret_p3m": -0.034113330791499474, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.034113330791499474, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.13108201988150492, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.13108201988150492, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2442, 0.2835, 0.2969, 0.3249, 0.3229, 0.3255, 0.3697, 0.367, 0.3381, 0.3357, 0.3685, 0.2923, 0.3535, 0.4096, 0.414, 0.415, 0.4153, 0.4153, 0.3755, 0.3425, 0.3182, 0.2956, 0.2956, 0.2236, 0.2686, 0.3099, 0.3243, 0.2892, 0.2938, 0.3077, 0.3045, 0.3004, 0.2907, 0.2462, 0.2462, 0.2284, 0.2051, 0.2093, 0.2362, 0.2207, 0.2078, 0.1469, 0.1069, 0.0685, 0.077, 0.1508, 0.0171, -0.0523, -0.0094, 0.0417, 0.0169, -0.011, -0.0588, -0.0421, -0.0421, -0.0304, -0.0132, -0.0168, -0.0142, -0.048, -0.0609, -0.0219, -0.0091, 0.0, 0.0582, 0.0731, 0.1166, 0.1128, 0.1456, 0.1402, 0.1017, 0.105, 0.1189, 0.1003, 0.1132, 0.1304, 0.1136, 0.1348, 0.0983, 0.1724, 0.1282, 0.1295, 0.0756, 0.0428, 0.0026, 0.0663, 0.0678, 0.0821, 0.0821, 0.0783, 0.0939, 0.026, -0.0488, -0.0666, -0.0351, -0.0109, 0.0362, 0.0406, 0.0671, 0.0634, 0.064, 0.1125, 0.0319, 0.043, 0.0431, 0.0291, 0.0057, 0.014, 0.0501, 0.0644, -0.0093, -0.0248, -0.001, 0.0044, -0.0022, -0.0087, -0.052, -0.0252, -0.0233, -0.0149, -0.0141, -0.0003, 0.0016, -0.0023, -0.0023, -0.0043, -0.0341, 0.0448, 0.141, 0.141, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2036493814656106744", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-24T17:22:16+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI is one of my few high conviction longs", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "High-conviction longs AAOI and LITE on optical transceiver supercycle; COHR as implied beneficiary if AAOI buys from them.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you're new to $AAOI:\n\nIt looks scary entering positions near ATH at $109 after a 175% YTD increase. \n\nHowever, this looks like the photonics equivalent of $SNDK. \n\nAnd it so happens the center of the optical transceiver supercycle...\n\nAt a $8.2B valuation we can look at projections:\n\n(est. Capacity * ASP Projections)\nQ2 2026: ~$312.1M\nQ4 2026: ~$1.41B\nQ2-2027: ~$1.53B\nQ4-2027: ~$1.97B\n\nIf $AAOI ends up leapfrogging the $55B $LITE in revenue... \n\n$8B MC looks a little absurd for revenue growth off 30-40% margins…\n\nRe-rating potential is enormous. \n\nWorst case scenario if they fail internal laser fab and buys off $COHR.\n\nIs  it ends up a Made in America Innolight / Eoptolink (Both $66B-$90B+ Chinese companies)?\n\nThe optionality of making the entire supply chain in America is understated. \n\n$AAOI is one of my few high conviction longs aside from $SIVE and $LITE if they can deliver on projections.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.15926250348229276, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.15926250348229276, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.16263065962868484, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.16263065962868484, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004477630635629115, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004477630635629115, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0010951283117568433, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0010951283117568433, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "ret_p1w": -0.25733103419958103, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.25733103419958103, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2529831272640387, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2529831272640387, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "ret_p1m": 0.311852468544489, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.311852468544489, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.22301014338515213, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.22301014338515213, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.64, -0.6737, -0.6773, -0.6838, -0.6939, -0.6939, -0.6523, -0.6928, -0.661, -0.6659, -0.7102, -0.7011, -0.704, -0.6999, -0.6974, -0.6752, -0.6748, -0.6748, -0.6553, -0.663, -0.6651, -0.6864, -0.6937, -0.6717, -0.6029, -0.6526, -0.6171, -0.6123, -0.5951, -0.6497, -0.6652, -0.6111, -0.5794, -0.5743, -0.5751, -0.6138, -0.6097, -0.6097, -0.6145, -0.6186, -0.5875, -0.5463, -0.5263, -0.506, -0.4897, -0.5286, -0.2605, -0.1, -0.1629, -0.1246, -0.112, -0.1608, -0.0288, 0.0579, 0.1151, -0.0677, -0.15, -0.1741, -0.2421, -0.1867, -0.1052, -0.2314, -0.1593, 0.0, 0.0045, -0.1447, -0.1378, -0.2521, -0.2573, -0.2419, -0.0877, -0.0877, -0.0566, 0.0328, 0.1651, 0.1703, 0.3222, 0.345, 0.2853, 0.2515, 0.3812, 0.3996, 0.4352, 0.3219, 0.3119, 0.2092, 0.4238, 0.2799, 0.2051, 0.3418, 0.443, 0.6112, 0.5187, 0.5853, 0.5675, 0.3832, 0.3076, 0.6234, 0.653, 0.9587, 0.7873, 0.6713, 0.5212, 0.5042, 0.4509, 0.5523, 0.5934, 0.5934, 0.5594, 0.5788, 0.4839, 0.3908, 0.3908, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2036493814656106744", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-24T17:22:16+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LITE if they can deliver on projections", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "High-conviction longs AAOI and LITE on optical transceiver supercycle; COHR as implied beneficiary if AAOI buys from them.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you're new to $AAOI:\n\nIt looks scary entering positions near ATH at $109 after a 175% YTD increase. \n\nHowever, this looks like the photonics equivalent of $SNDK. \n\nAnd it so happens the center of the optical transceiver supercycle...\n\nAt a $8.2B valuation we can look at projections:\n\n(est. Capacity * ASP Projections)\nQ2 2026: ~$312.1M\nQ4 2026: ~$1.41B\nQ2-2027: ~$1.53B\nQ4-2027: ~$1.97B\n\nIf $AAOI ends up leapfrogging the $55B $LITE in revenue... \n\n$8B MC looks a little absurd for revenue growth off 30-40% margins…\n\nRe-rating potential is enormous. \n\nWorst case scenario if they fail internal laser fab and buys off $COHR.\n\nIs  it ends up a Made in America Innolight / Eoptolink (Both $66B-$90B+ Chinese companies)?\n\nThe optionality of making the entire supply chain in America is understated. \n\n$AAOI is one of my few high conviction longs aside from $SIVE and $LITE if they can deliver on projections.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.09107342849254063, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09107342849254063, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09444158463893271, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09444158463893271, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03094802631759197, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03094802631759197, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03652078526497793, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03652078526497793, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "ret_p1w": -0.12372969946888102, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12372969946888102, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1193817925333387, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1193817925333387, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "ret_p1m": 0.0892903729766441, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0892903729766441, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.00044804781730722887, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.00044804781730722887, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5063, -0.5127, -0.5354, -0.5372, -0.5404, -0.5404, -0.5186, -0.5548, -0.5045, -0.5101, -0.5658, -0.5618, -0.5762, -0.5495, -0.5865, -0.572, -0.5957, -0.5957, -0.5551, -0.5481, -0.558, -0.5771, -0.5855, -0.5378, -0.5199, -0.5244, -0.5114, -0.472, -0.4575, -0.4195, -0.371, -0.3117, -0.2804, -0.3003, -0.2841, -0.2725, -0.2983, -0.2983, -0.2513, -0.259, -0.2074, -0.1674, -0.1587, -0.1418, -0.098, -0.1558, -0.126, -0.0234, -0.1341, -0.1511, -0.1885, -0.3037, -0.2011, -0.1621, -0.1621, -0.2318, -0.2238, -0.2209, -0.1901, -0.1262, -0.0372, -0.1193, -0.0911, 0.0, -0.0309, -0.1411, -0.1238, -0.1835, -0.1237, -0.0466, 0.031, 0.031, -0.037, 0.0172, 0.1172, 0.1149, 0.1188, 0.0863, 0.0633, 0.0275, 0.1113, 0.1148, 0.1161, 0.0436, 0.0893, 0.056, 0.0993, 0.0719, -0.0132, 0.0702, 0.1251, 0.1845, 0.2172, 0.2401, 0.1774, 0.113, 0.1269, 0.3131, 0.2374, 0.2848, 0.2492, 0.2104, 0.1035, 0.1099, 0.0824, 0.2026, 0.1807, 0.1807, 0.1357, 0.1251, 0.0731, 0.066, 0.066, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2036493814656106744", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-24T17:22:16+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Worst case scenario if they fail internal laser fab and buys off $COHR", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "High-conviction longs AAOI and LITE on optical transceiver supercycle; COHR as implied beneficiary if AAOI buys from them.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you're new to $AAOI:\n\nIt looks scary entering positions near ATH at $109 after a 175% YTD increase. \n\nHowever, this looks like the photonics equivalent of $SNDK. \n\nAnd it so happens the center of the optical transceiver supercycle...\n\nAt a $8.2B valuation we can look at projections:\n\n(est. Capacity * ASP Projections)\nQ2 2026: ~$312.1M\nQ4 2026: ~$1.41B\nQ2-2027: ~$1.53B\nQ4-2027: ~$1.97B\n\nIf $AAOI ends up leapfrogging the $55B $LITE in revenue... \n\n$8B MC looks a little absurd for revenue growth off 30-40% margins…\n\nRe-rating potential is enormous. \n\nWorst case scenario if they fail internal laser fab and buys off $COHR.\n\nIs  it ends up a Made in America Innolight / Eoptolink (Both $66B-$90B+ Chinese companies)?\n\nThe optionality of making the entire supply chain in America is understated. \n\n$AAOI is one of my few high conviction longs aside from $SIVE and $LITE if they can deliver on projections.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06345237165398376, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06345237165398376, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06682052780037584, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06682052780037584, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0010648038836765794, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0010648038836765794, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006637562831062538, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006637562831062538, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "ret_p1w": -0.12528910344342248, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12528910344342248, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.12094119650788016, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12094119650788016, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "ret_p1m": 0.2869313645256697, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2869313645256697, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.19808903936633282, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.19808903936633282, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2973, -0.296, -0.3059, -0.314, -0.3223, -0.3223, -0.2864, -0.3157, -0.2872, -0.2964, -0.3642, -0.3462, -0.32, -0.3022, -0.3239, -0.2804, -0.2985, -0.2985, -0.2896, -0.2602, -0.2556, -0.2768, -0.2738, -0.2142, -0.188, -0.2074, -0.2209, -0.1832, -0.1584, -0.2252, -0.2317, -0.164, -0.1097, -0.1614, -0.1786, -0.2065, -0.2023, -0.2023, -0.1923, -0.1779, -0.1463, -0.0887, -0.0861, -0.0642, -0.0163, -0.0815, -0.0492, 0.0976, 0.0311, 0.0093, -0.0678, -0.1344, -0.0735, -0.0429, -0.0768, -0.1141, -0.1086, -0.0917, -0.0974, -0.0555, 0.0119, -0.0687, -0.0635, 0.0, -0.0011, -0.1066, -0.1059, -0.1934, -0.1253, -0.0901, -0.052, -0.052, -0.0702, -0.0633, 0.0347, 0.0435, 0.1291, 0.1307, 0.1509, 0.1317, 0.2044, 0.2669, 0.2761, 0.2624, 0.2869, 0.24, 0.2341, 0.1807, 0.1162, 0.1197, 0.174, 0.2099, 0.2114, 0.2328, 0.2656, 0.1721, 0.2311, 0.3942, 0.3734, 0.4824, 0.4869, 0.4044, 0.3323, 0.2985, 0.3164, 0.388, 0.3864, 0.3864, 0.4003, 0.396, 0.3842, 0.3273, 0.3273, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2018979080910332176", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-04T09:24:58+00:00", "symbol": "SNDK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Big fan of $SNDK. Ssds and later hbf reminds me of initial buildout where everyone was fighting to stack Nvidia GPUs. Growth trajectory is probably the highest out of any memory play, think they're double digit forward p/e in 2026 but goes down to like 6.5 or so in 2027. It's cheaper than ever post earnings.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish on SNDK as fastest-growing memory play with compressing P/E (6.5x by 2027); also cites SK Hynix as most undervalued and MU as safest memory name.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNDK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Imo most undervalued = SK Hynix, fastest growth = $SNDK, safest = $MU, Samsung\n\nBig fan of $SNDK. Ssds and later hbf reminds me of initial buildout where everyone was fighting to stack Nvidia GPUs.\n\nThis feels like dejavu. Growth trajectory is probably the highest out of any memory play, think they’re double digit forward p/e in 2026 but goes down to like 6.5 or so in 2027. \n\nIt’s cheaper than ever post earnings.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What do you think about $SNDK?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "iiiiiiiivanth", "ret_m1d": 0.18982127155899486, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.18982127155899486, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.18495377209391672, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.18495377209391672, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00486749946507814, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00486749946507814, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01428445087727015, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01428445087727015, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.001795239621068423, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.001795239621068423, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012489211256201727, "bench_c_p1d": -0.012489211256201727, "ret_p1w": 0.02530158133839233, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02530158133839233, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0168927606166549, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0168927606166549, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008408820721737431, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008408820721737431, "ret_p1m": -0.032435140421583686, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.032435140421583686, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.025323421703009497, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.025323421703009497, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007111718718574189, "bench_c_p1m": -0.007111718718574189, "ret_p3m": 1.1484218827772055, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.1484218827772055, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.0991922104562277, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.0991922104562277, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.049229672320977746, "bench_c_p3m": 0.049229672320977746, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5903, -0.5416, -0.5354, -0.5157, -0.5833, -0.5652, -0.5452, -0.581, -0.5792, -0.6648, -0.6574, -0.6117, -0.6228, -0.6321, -0.6321, -0.618, -0.6405, -0.6487, -0.6675, -0.6351, -0.6092, -0.6143, -0.6246, -0.6016, -0.5867, -0.6473, -0.6547, -0.6419, -0.6462, -0.6246, -0.5935, -0.5876, -0.581, -0.5722, -0.5722, -0.5722, -0.5822, -0.5891, -0.5939, -0.5939, -0.5291, -0.5311, -0.4019, -0.3952, -0.4277, -0.3544, -0.3341, -0.3331, -0.3366, -0.2999, -0.2924, -0.2924, -0.2248, -0.1424, -0.1388, -0.1894, -0.1946, -0.1764, -0.0974, -0.0774, -0.0142, 0.138, 0.1898, 0.0, -0.0143, 0.0229, -0.002, -0.0734, 0.0253, 0.0782, 0.0719, 0.0719, 0.0103, 0.0271, 0.0625, 0.1119, 0.1402, 0.0923, 0.0818, 0.1152, 0.0869, 0.0591, -0.0327, 0.0248, -0.0324, -0.0979, 0.0072, 0.0587, 0.1213, 0.0586, 0.1318, 0.2037, 0.232, 0.2894, 0.3208, 0.2141, 0.2018, 0.2017, 0.1596, 0.0319, 0.0535, -0.0206, 0.0869, 0.1851, 0.2002, 0.2002, 0.2396, 0.216, 0.3359, 0.4568, 0.4571, 0.6295, 0.6157, 0.5255, 0.573, 0.5756, 0.5619, 0.5456, 0.6749, 0.5951, 0.6934, 0.8308, 0.7147, 0.8206, 0.8758, 1.0306, 1.1484, 1.4058, 1.4121, 1.2923, 1.6727, 1.6474, 1.484, 1.4758, 1.3654, 1.408, 1.2804, 1.3664, 1.3823, 1.6383, 1.5296, 1.5296, 1.7193, 1.7199, 1.8084, 1.8996, 1.8996, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2018979080910332176", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-04T09:24:58+00:00", "symbol": "SK Hynix", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "most undervalued = SK Hynix", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish on SNDK as fastest-growing memory play with compressing P/E (6.5x by 2027); also cites SK Hynix as most undervalued and MU as safest memory name.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "SK Hynix listed on KOSPI as 000660.KS", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Imo most undervalued = SK Hynix, fastest growth = $SNDK, safest = $MU, Samsung\n\nBig fan of $SNDK. Ssds and later hbf reminds me of initial buildout where everyone was fighting to stack Nvidia GPUs.\n\nThis feels like dejavu. Growth trajectory is probably the highest out of any memory play, think they’re double digit forward p/e in 2026 but goes down to like 6.5 or so in 2027. \n\nIt’s cheaper than ever post earnings.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What do you think about $SNDK?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "iiiiiiiivanth", "ret_m1d": 0.007777845970315056, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007777845970315056, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.002910346505236916, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.025982319392018782, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00486749946507814, "bench_c_m1d": 0.03376016536233384, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0644443832103293, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0644443832103293, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05195517195412758, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06402859200070365, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012489211256201727, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00041579120962564886, "ret_p1w": -0.04444448619497754, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04444448619497754, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05285330691671497, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.13042489350922315, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008408820721737431, "bench_c_p1w": 0.08598040731424561, "ret_p1m": 0.04748489918011689, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04748489918011689, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05459661789869108, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0019169993780585592, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007111718718574189, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04556789980205833, "ret_p3m": 0.6107446110151544, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6107446110151544, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5615149386941767, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2504419880983848, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.049229672320977746, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3603026229167696, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.356, -0.3271, -0.3127, -0.3149, -0.3205, -0.3782, -0.3271, -0.3671, -0.376, -0.366, -0.4215, -0.4226, -0.4237, -0.4182, -0.3956, -0.4111, -0.4022, -0.38, -0.3867, -0.3978, -0.3956, -0.3589, -0.3711, -0.3478, -0.3722, -0.3656, -0.3844, -0.4111, -0.3878, -0.3867, -0.3922, -0.3556, -0.3511, -0.3467, -0.3467, -0.3344, -0.2889, -0.2767, -0.2767, -0.2767, -0.2478, -0.2267, -0.1933, -0.1756, -0.16, -0.1733, -0.1678, -0.18, -0.1756, -0.1678, -0.16, -0.1511, -0.1744, -0.1778, -0.1611, -0.1478, -0.1822, -0.1111, -0.0656, -0.0433, 0.01, -0.0778, 0.0078, 0.0, -0.0644, -0.0678, -0.0144, -0.0267, -0.0444, -0.0133, -0.0222, -0.0222, -0.0222, -0.0222, -0.0067, 0.0544, 0.0567, 0.1167, 0.1311, 0.2234, 0.1811, 0.1811, 0.0453, -0.0549, 0.0475, 0.0286, -0.0694, 0.0441, 0.0631, 0.0352, 0.013, 0.0842, 0.0798, 0.1755, 0.1276, 0.121, 0.0386, 0.0976, 0.1076, 0.0386, 0.0386, -0.0282, -0.1017, -0.0015, -0.0761, -0.0249, -0.0137, 0.0197, 0.1499, 0.1109, 0.1432, 0.1577, 0.2278, 0.2646, 0.2857, 0.2556, 0.2979, 0.3625, 0.3614, 0.3636, 0.3603, 0.4382, 0.4471, 0.4393, 0.4315, 0.4315, 0.6107, 0.6107, 0.7822, 0.8412, 0.8768, 1.0927, 1.0427, 1.1996, 1.1929, 1.0248, 1.0482, 0.9425, 0.9425, 1.1595, 1.1606, 1.1606, 1.2842, 1.4968, 1.5485, 1.5974, 1.6514, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2018979080910332176", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-04T09:24:58+00:00", "symbol": "MU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "safest = $MU", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish on SNDK as fastest-growing memory play with compressing P/E (6.5x by 2027); also cites SK Hynix as most undervalued and MU as safest memory name.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Imo most undervalued = SK Hynix, fastest growth = $SNDK, safest = $MU, Samsung\n\nBig fan of $SNDK. Ssds and later hbf reminds me of initial buildout where everyone was fighting to stack Nvidia GPUs.\n\nThis feels like dejavu. Growth trajectory is probably the highest out of any memory play, think they’re double digit forward p/e in 2026 but goes down to like 6.5 or so in 2027. \n\nIt’s cheaper than ever post earnings.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What do you think about $SNDK?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "iiiiiiiivanth", "ret_m1d": 0.10553507096949466, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.10553507096949466, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.10066757150441652, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06454244201690629, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00486749946507814, "bench_c_m1d": 0.04099262895258837, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009198791112129623, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009198791112129623, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02168800236833135, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011685524049601992, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012489211256201727, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002486732937472369, "ret_p1w": 0.08154979830544229, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08154979830544229, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07314097758370486, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.004204902254094645, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008408820721737431, "bench_c_p1w": 0.08575470055953693, "ret_p1m": 0.046520794025312284, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.046520794025312284, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.053632512743886473, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.011627287211021686, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007111718718574189, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0348935068142906, "ret_p3m": 0.5200109696990229, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5200109696990229, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4707812973780452, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.19340497231812503, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.049229672320977746, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3266059973808979, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3732, -0.3326, -0.3648, -0.3548, -0.3757, -0.3497, -0.3625, -0.398, -0.4048, -0.4695, -0.4536, -0.41, -0.4084, -0.3933, -0.3933, -0.377, -0.3665, -0.369, -0.3831, -0.4029, -0.375, -0.3494, -0.335, -0.3052, -0.319, -0.3647, -0.3743, -0.3874, -0.4058, -0.3452, -0.2994, -0.2713, -0.2721, -0.2447, -0.2447, -0.2497, -0.2241, -0.2287, -0.2477, -0.2477, -0.1686, -0.1773, -0.0948, -0.105, -0.1381, -0.0904, -0.0884, -0.1088, -0.1214, -0.1127, -0.0439, -0.0439, -0.038, 0.0256, 0.0479, 0.0534, 0.0255, 0.0813, 0.1473, 0.1486, 0.0935, 0.1539, 0.1055, 0.0, 0.0092, 0.0403, 0.0108, -0.0162, 0.0815, 0.0911, 0.085, 0.085, 0.0537, 0.1095, 0.1, 0.1285, 0.1096, 0.1018, 0.1307, 0.0953, 0.0869, 0.0877, 0.0007, 0.0563, 0.0465, -0.024, 0.0261, 0.0625, 0.1036, 0.0684, 0.1232, 0.1645, 0.2169, 0.217, 0.171, 0.1147, 0.0658, 0.0425, 0.0071, -0.0631, -0.0585, -0.1515, -0.1092, -0.03, -0.0343, -0.0343, -0.0039, -0.0044, 0.0725, 0.1115, 0.109, 0.1248, 0.2279, 0.203, 0.2056, 0.2, 0.1824, 0.1849, 0.2854, 0.2702, 0.3098, 0.3832, 0.3297, 0.3671, 0.3637, 0.4297, 0.52, 0.6881, 0.7577, 0.7051, 0.9692, 1.0972, 1.0214, 1.1191, 1.0462, 0.9108, 0.7971, 0.8425, 0.9301, 1.0095, 0.9803, 0.9803, 1.3623, 1.4481, 1.4352, 1.5604, 1.5604, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2034441352172503550", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-19T01:26:31+00:00", "symbol": "IQE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$IQE is InP epiwafer and refactoring reactors from legacy drag to photonic supply chains... those two are my favorites right now", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long SIVE/SIVEF and IQE as low-cap photonics plays embedded in hyperscaler silicon-photonics supply chains.", "resolved_tickers": ["IQE.L"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "IQE plc LSE-listed epiwafer supplier", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SIVE / $SIVEF and $IQE.\n\nSivers makes laser arrays and cw dfb lasers for cpo/silicon photonics. And is embedded into hyperscaler supply chains like $AMZN and $MSFT clusters as the light source from captive models like $MRVL celestial from $POET and merchant models from Ayar. \n\nThen they’re up capacity through win qualification, so they don’t burn as much capex scaling in house.\n\n$IQE is InP epiwafer and refactoring reactors from legacy drag to photonic supply chains. They’re already a known $LITE supplier and the other biggest one is Landmark sitting around ~$4B (with less latent capacity).\n\nThis is basically the equivalent of $IREN or $RIOT turning their Bitcoin miners into HPC, but for photonics.\n\nThere’s a decent amount of debt, but this is more of a guess that their Taiwan sales will go through and management will pivot toward InP production for rerating. \n\nSo those two are my favorites right now", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit So if you were to buy two low cap tickers right now which ones would they be and why?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "hankisinvesting", "ret_m1d": 0.1181618735455423, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.1181618735455423, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.11569144508347562, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.12132707145270971, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002470428462066687, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0031651979071674052, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0328227565636372, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0328227565636372, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04715853243614143, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.058600187048866825, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01433577587250423, "bench_c_p1d": -0.025777430485229624, "ret_p1w": 0.16411378281818645, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16411378281818645, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.18373825876928473, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.19976661531871054, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019624475951098286, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03565283250052409, "ret_p1m": 1.2800874225092675, "ret_signed_p1m": 1.2800874225092675, "alpha_spy_p1m": 1.2008521839755926, "alpha_c_p1m": 1.1047608047635578, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07923523853367498, "bench_c_p1m": 0.1753266177457098, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7755, -0.7823, -0.7827, -0.7827, -0.7827, -0.7827, -0.7812, -0.7812, -0.7812, -0.7746, -0.7799, -0.7777, -0.7558, -0.7309, -0.6788, -0.5431, -0.5681, -0.6061, -0.6433, -0.6565, -0.6092, -0.6591, -0.6656, -0.6586, -0.6486, -0.6652, -0.6648, -0.649, -0.6608, -0.6538, -0.6486, -0.663, -0.6521, -0.6582, -0.6534, -0.6425, -0.5624, -0.5519, -0.5492, -0.5361, -0.5405, -0.5352, -0.5422, -0.5457, -0.5414, -0.4407, -0.4661, -0.2989, -0.1247, -0.1685, 0.1204, 0.1379, 0.1751, -0.0613, -0.1396, -0.165, -0.0066, 0.0635, -0.0066, 0.0175, 0.0109, -0.0547, 0.1182, 0.0, 0.0328, 0.0284, 0.1182, 0.291, 0.1641, 0.0722, 0.0109, 0.0678, 0.0985, 0.0328, 0.0328, 0.0328, 0.116, 0.256, 0.3129, 0.6193, 1.1488, 1.0919, 1.3632, 1.5646, 1.2801, 1.5646, 1.7571, 1.7396, 1.1772, 1.0832, 1.1619, 0.7615, 0.7681, 0.8928, 0.8009, 0.8009, 1.1882, 0.9497, 0.9978, 1.0613, 1.3851, 1.0635, 1.2101, 1.1707, 1.0131, 0.7112, 0.4004, 0.6433, 0.744, 1.0022, 1.0022, 1.3632, 1.2188, 1.0853, 1.0788, 1.0788, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2031259621487460382", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-10T06:43:27+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The better way to go long with $IREN is to wait until existing shareholders get diluted first then go long after", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "IREN: tactical wait-for-dilution then go long; but won't outperform RIOT/NBIS/WULF by 2027.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Messed up my original $RIOT YTD calculations so ended up deleting my post. But, it was a 3-6M short term trade idea capitalizing off $IREN ATM on existing shareholders. \n\nI do think $IREN performs well long term if they manage to fill up the ATM since it's much better than debt interest that $CRWV does. But it's at the cost of current holders. \n\nThe better way to go long with $IREN is to wait until existing shareholders get diluted first then go long after.\n\nThat being said, I don't think $IREN will outperform all three in 2027.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @Jacktecau990 Dilutive to book but accretive to eps. Bad for 3 month holders great for 1 year+ holders.\n\nHave you tried modeling it based off Microsoft deal terms? Those assumptions would be worst case because $/KWh/month is only increasing and not decreasing.\n\nBullish on Riot NBIS and WULF", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "gofallingknife", "ret_m1d": 0.018887755531936667, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.018887755531936667, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.017278041612018846, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.013494220987143368, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0016097139199178212, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005393534544793299, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10125920038058922, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10125920038058922, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10251436330910635, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10964917704769472, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012551629285171284, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008389976667105503, "ret_p1w": 0.12696747870419167, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12696747870419167, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1364037046693083, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13695544039207375, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009436225965116618, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009987961687882074, "ret_p1m": -0.033840428567039726, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.033840428567039726, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.034839009730431414, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06187053958958244, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0009985811633916875, "bench_c_p1m": 0.028030111022542714, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1527, 0.0527, -0.0693, -0.0401, -0.1139, -0.0609, 0.0472, 0.1028, 0.1036, 0.1013, 0.1013, 0.0572, 0.0338, 0.0047, -0.0092, -0.0092, 0.1201, 0.2655, 0.2044, 0.1444, 0.1983, 0.2075, 0.3203, 0.3901, 0.3872, 0.3612, 0.5168, 0.5168, 0.4234, 0.4029, 0.3709, 0.4869, 0.3736, 0.5737, 0.6511, 0.5698, 0.4098, 0.3924, 0.4268, 0.1789, 0.0438, 0.0973, 0.2107, 0.1262, 0.1194, 0.0501, 0.1076, 0.1076, 0.0748, 0.1039, 0.1356, 0.0488, 0.1112, 0.1923, 0.155, 0.1605, 0.0742, 0.0858, 0.0192, 0.1501, 0.0526, -0.0373, 0.0189, 0.0, 0.1013, 0.0853, 0.0908, 0.1789, 0.127, 0.1073, 0.0929, 0.0832, 0.106, 0.0787, 0.0868, -0.0176, -0.0795, -0.1705, -0.1007, -0.1057, -0.0879, -0.0879, -0.0784, -0.0624, -0.0338, -0.0278, 0.0315, 0.1299, 0.2427, 0.2807, 0.2513, 0.2623, 0.2781, 0.1849, 0.2694, 0.3646, 0.3284, 0.2686, 0.1658, 0.1243, 0.1939, 0.1978, 0.298, 0.436, 0.5997, 0.4913, 0.6055, 0.4467, 0.4837, 0.4473, 0.532, 0.3888, 0.3237, 0.2524, 0.3827, 0.5231, 0.4908, 0.4908, 0.5682, 0.7796, 0.6802, 0.6668, 0.6668, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2031259621487460382", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-10T06:43:27+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I don't think $IREN will outperform all three in 2027", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "IREN: tactical wait-for-dilution then go long; but won't outperform RIOT/NBIS/WULF by 2027.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Messed up my original $RIOT YTD calculations so ended up deleting my post. But, it was a 3-6M short term trade idea capitalizing off $IREN ATM on existing shareholders. \n\nI do think $IREN performs well long term if they manage to fill up the ATM since it's much better than debt interest that $CRWV does. But it's at the cost of current holders. \n\nThe better way to go long with $IREN is to wait until existing shareholders get diluted first then go long after.\n\nThat being said, I don't think $IREN will outperform all three in 2027.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @Jacktecau990 Dilutive to book but accretive to eps. Bad for 3 month holders great for 1 year+ holders.\n\nHave you tried modeling it based off Microsoft deal terms? Those assumptions would be worst case because $/KWh/month is only increasing and not decreasing.\n\nBullish on Riot NBIS and WULF", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "gofallingknife", "ret_m1d": 0.018887755531936667, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.018887755531936667, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017278041612018846, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.013494220987143368, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0016097139199178212, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005393534544793299, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10125920038058922, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.10125920038058922, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.10251436330910635, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.10964917704769472, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012551629285171284, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008389976667105503, "ret_p1w": 0.12696747870419167, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12696747870419167, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1364037046693083, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.13695544039207375, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009436225965116618, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009987961687882074, "ret_p1m": -0.033840428567039726, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.033840428567039726, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.034839009730431414, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06187053958958244, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0009985811633916875, "bench_c_p1m": 0.028030111022542714, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1527, 0.0527, -0.0693, -0.0401, -0.1139, -0.0609, 0.0472, 0.1028, 0.1036, 0.1013, 0.1013, 0.0572, 0.0338, 0.0047, -0.0092, -0.0092, 0.1201, 0.2655, 0.2044, 0.1444, 0.1983, 0.2075, 0.3203, 0.3901, 0.3872, 0.3612, 0.5168, 0.5168, 0.4234, 0.4029, 0.3709, 0.4869, 0.3736, 0.5737, 0.6511, 0.5698, 0.4098, 0.3924, 0.4268, 0.1789, 0.0438, 0.0973, 0.2107, 0.1262, 0.1194, 0.0501, 0.1076, 0.1076, 0.0748, 0.1039, 0.1356, 0.0488, 0.1112, 0.1923, 0.155, 0.1605, 0.0742, 0.0858, 0.0192, 0.1501, 0.0526, -0.0373, 0.0189, 0.0, 0.1013, 0.0853, 0.0908, 0.1789, 0.127, 0.1073, 0.0929, 0.0832, 0.106, 0.0787, 0.0868, -0.0176, -0.0795, -0.1705, -0.1007, -0.1057, -0.0879, -0.0879, -0.0784, -0.0624, -0.0338, -0.0278, 0.0315, 0.1299, 0.2427, 0.2807, 0.2513, 0.2623, 0.2781, 0.1849, 0.2694, 0.3646, 0.3284, 0.2686, 0.1658, 0.1243, 0.1939, 0.1978, 0.298, 0.436, 0.5997, 0.4913, 0.6055, 0.4467, 0.4837, 0.4473, 0.532, 0.3888, 0.3237, 0.2524, 0.3827, 0.5231, 0.4908, 0.4908, 0.5682, 0.7796, 0.6802, 0.6668, 0.6668, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2032247018496934198", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-13T00:07:01+00:00", "symbol": "Soitec", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "C'est vraiment $SOI que je préfère, principalement en raison de son rôle majeur dans la photonique. Les nouvelles architectures d'intelligence artificielle basées sur la photonique sur silicium finissent toutes par utiliser les matériaux de substrat de Soitec", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long Soitec as the substrate-materials play on silicon-photonics AI architectures, attracting heavy hyperscaler investment.", "resolved_tickers": ["SOI.PA"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Soitec listed on Euronext Paris as SOI.PA", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "fr", "tweet_text": "C'est vraiment $SOI que je préfère, principalement en raison de son rôle majeur dans la photonique.\n\nLes nouvelles architectures d'intelligence artificielle basées sur la photonique sur silicium finissent toutes par utiliser les matériaux de substrat de Soitec, d'où le vif intérêt qu'elle suscite récemment.\n\nJ'investis de manière plutôt thématique dans des secteurs où de nombreux « hyperscalers » comme $GOOGL, $NVDA et d'autres ont injecté massivement de l'argent, et ces deux secteurs sont la photonique et la mémoire.\n\nJ'ai jeté un petit coup d'œil à Viridien, mais je ne pense pas que les données terrestres, les géosciences et la détection soient mes domaines d'expertise. Je ne me sens donc pas qualifié pour donner un bon avis directionnel.\n\nMais j'apprécie que vous ayez pris le temps de traduire du français vers l'anglais pour poser une question.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @Jacktecau990 Hello, I am a Soitec shareholder and I firmly believe in the company, just like you. If I may ask, what are your thoughts on Viridien stock (formerly CGG)? Thank you. Sorry if m’y tralater is bad (îm French)", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "liliCoc755", "ret_m1d": -0.023389848612122566, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.023389848612122566, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02908217731691376, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.025455318207251998, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005692328704791194, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002065469595129432, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07050847199003574, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07050847199003574, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.060331605878552574, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05349448628294362, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010176866111483163, "bench_c_p1d": 0.017013985707092116, "ret_p1w": -0.12271189285536943, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12271189285536943, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10467033707232243, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11602509754470636, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.018041555783047003, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006686795310663074, "ret_p1m": 0.0955932099940413, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0955932099940413, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05681303669678206, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04901219549313485, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.038780173297259246, "bench_c_p1m": 0.14460540548717615, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5824, -0.5942, -0.5969, -0.6051, -0.6088, -0.6075, -0.611, -0.611, -0.611, -0.611, -0.6085, -0.6069, -0.6069, -0.5785, -0.5564, -0.5634, -0.5559, -0.559, -0.5425, -0.5473, -0.5202, -0.5214, -0.5063, -0.5222, -0.5347, -0.5351, -0.5217, -0.5171, -0.5331, -0.5297, -0.5246, -0.5342, -0.5498, -0.5534, -0.5627, -0.5846, -0.4878, -0.4844, -0.4597, -0.4492, -0.4102, -0.3373, -0.38, -0.3671, -0.3747, -0.371, -0.3693, -0.3815, -0.3737, -0.3351, -0.3164, -0.2986, -0.2854, -0.3068, -0.2702, -0.288, -0.2824, -0.3042, -0.2932, -0.292, -0.2514, -0.1305, -0.0234, 0.0, 0.0705, 0.0403, 0.0678, -0.0817, -0.1227, -0.1214, -0.1407, -0.0756, -0.0939, -0.0885, -0.122, -0.1247, -0.1003, -0.1525, -0.1525, -0.1525, -0.1695, -0.081, -0.0922, 0.0803, 0.0956, 0.2261, 0.302, 0.4488, 0.658, 0.6949, 0.7076, 0.8593, 0.8068, 0.9093, 0.8568, 0.6739, 0.9169, 1.1517, 1.1517, 1.6017, 1.6763, 1.489, 1.5551, 1.9042, 1.7407, 1.4525, 1.6415, 1.5746, 1.5093, 1.3771, 1.4263, 1.678, 1.8237, 2.0059, 1.9881, 1.8254, 1.6136, 2.2576, 2.0093, 2.0093, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2031415909336887682", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-10T17:04:29+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Hope you listened to my $AXTI thesis anon?", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AXTI as a bottleneck play on InP substrates for AI hyperscaler buildout; author touts prior thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Hope you listened to my $AXTI thesis anon? https://t.co/d5eg0BIhlG", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Warning: The entire AI industry will likely be bottlenecked by two companies:\n\n1. $AXTI ($700M) \n2. $SMTOY ($31.7B)\n\nWhich both control 60–70%+ of the world's InP substrates.\n\nFuture $NVDA, $GOOGL TPU v7 pods, $META, $MSFT, $AMZN hyperscaler clusters require InP-based lasers and https://t.co/8mqrgONJbb", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.12957106010438835, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.12957106010438835, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.13118077402430617, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12212135443124317, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0016097139199178212, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007449705673145179, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06907452428872896, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06907452428872896, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07032968721724608, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.059762334592323274, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012551629285171284, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009312189696405682, "ret_p1w": 0.0013544328289925023, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0013544328289925023, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01079065879410912, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0024869466201993262, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009436225965116618, "bench_c_p1w": -0.001132513791206824, "ret_p1m": 0.20045149483177394, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.20045149483177394, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.19945291366838225, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.13604652233968517, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0009985811633916875, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06440497249208876, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6302, -0.6657, -0.6652, -0.7065, -0.721, -0.6837, -0.6693, -0.6564, -0.6695, -0.6612, -0.6612, -0.653, -0.6707, -0.6433, -0.6309, -0.6309, -0.6217, -0.6237, -0.5447, -0.4558, -0.4169, -0.481, -0.498, -0.5144, -0.5011, -0.4194, -0.5014, -0.5014, -0.5167, -0.5535, -0.5955, -0.6072, -0.5982, -0.6117, -0.6201, -0.6302, -0.5815, -0.5273, -0.5544, -0.5767, -0.5388, -0.4569, -0.3731, -0.4503, -0.395, -0.4404, -0.4528, -0.4528, -0.4761, -0.4686, -0.4625, -0.33, -0.3582, -0.2081, -0.0752, -0.1621, -0.1445, 0.0456, -0.0573, -0.1167, -0.1242, -0.2693, -0.1296, 0.0, 0.0691, 0.0549, 0.1029, 0.0923, 0.0014, 0.1007, 0.3113, 0.2244, 0.4546, 0.5449, 0.5203, 0.3208, 0.3686, 0.1903, 0.2862, 0.0641, 0.1928, 0.1928, -0.0521, 0.0262, 0.2005, 0.4248, 0.4488, 0.5, 0.5192, 0.4205, 0.846, 0.8637, 0.7779, 0.6923, 0.9625, 0.6991, 0.7192, 0.5835, 0.551, 0.6043, 0.7883, 1.167, 1.3928, 1.4278, 1.3664, 1.4474, 1.6266, 1.84, 1.7743, 1.7526, 1.5955, 1.7941, 1.3901, 1.5481, 1.3614, 1.7318, 2.179, 2.179, 1.9932, 1.7713, 1.6117, 1.3287, 1.3287, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2033354594689130499", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-16T01:28:07+00:00", "symbol": "000660.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "SK Hynix makes $400b in operating profit in a bull case by 2028. And their MC is $400B. There's probably quite a way to go for re-rating", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long memory names broadly and SK Hynix specifically; structural demand keeps margins high and SK Hynix deserves significant re-rating toward $400B operating profit bull case by 2028.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yes, memory names are incredibly bullish due to record operating profits.\n\nWell if SK Hynix makes $400b in operating profit in a bull case by 2028. And their MC is $400B. There’s probably quite a way to go for re-rating. \n\nMarkets aren’t giving a premium because they fear memory prices are a commodity cycle, but I disagree since demand is now structural.\n\nPricing isn’t, but margins are likely to remain high.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Are you still bullish memory names? whats the upside from here?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Whaler99_", "ret_m1d": -0.06570836986729167, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06570836986729167, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.055634028974238636, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0015343361223387753, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010074340893053035, "bench_c_m1d": -0.06724270598963045, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004106757071928202, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004106757071928202, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006737311941903412, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.014099142581146307, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00263055486997521, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009992385509218105, "ret_p1w": -0.04209443647981692, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04209443647981692, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.024367006825387838, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.047428707122343705, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017727429654429083, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005334270642526784, "ret_p1m": 0.13244360549511813, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13244360549511813, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09159856032579428, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.030415161095918908, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04084504516932386, "bench_c_p1m": 0.10202844439919923, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4353, -0.4343, -0.4394, -0.4056, -0.4015, -0.3974, -0.3974, -0.3861, -0.3441, -0.3329, -0.3329, -0.3329, -0.3062, -0.2867, -0.256, -0.2396, -0.2252, -0.2375, -0.2324, -0.2437, -0.2396, -0.2324, -0.2252, -0.2171, -0.2386, -0.2416, -0.2263, -0.214, -0.2457, -0.1802, -0.1381, -0.1176, -0.0685, -0.1494, -0.0705, -0.0777, -0.1371, -0.1402, -0.091, -0.1023, -0.1187, -0.09, -0.0982, -0.0982, -0.0982, -0.0982, -0.0838, -0.0275, -0.0254, 0.0299, 0.0432, 0.1283, 0.0893, 0.0893, -0.0359, -0.1283, -0.0339, -0.0513, -0.1417, -0.037, -0.0195, -0.0452, -0.0657, 0.0, -0.0041, 0.0842, 0.04, 0.0339, -0.0421, 0.0123, 0.0216, -0.0421, -0.0421, -0.1037, -0.1715, -0.0791, -0.1478, -0.1006, -0.0903, -0.0595, 0.0606, 0.0246, 0.0544, 0.0678, 0.1324, 0.1663, 0.1858, 0.1581, 0.1971, 0.2567, 0.2556, 0.2577, 0.2546, 0.3265, 0.3347, 0.3275, 0.3203, 0.3203, 0.4856, 0.4856, 0.6437, 0.6982, 0.731, 0.9302, 0.884, 1.0287, 1.0226, 0.8676, 0.8891, 0.7916, 0.7916, 0.9918, 0.9928, 0.9928, 1.1068, 1.3029, 1.3505, 1.3957, 1.4455, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2033354594689130499", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-16T01:28:07+00:00", "symbol": "memory", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "memory names are incredibly bullish due to record operating profits", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long memory names broadly and SK Hynix specifically; structural demand keeps margins high and SK Hynix deserves significant re-rating toward $400B operating profit bull case by 2028.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU", "000660.KS", "005930.KS"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Memory sector basket: Micron, SK Hynix, Samsung", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yes, memory names are incredibly bullish due to record operating profits.\n\nWell if SK Hynix makes $400b in operating profit in a bull case by 2028. And their MC is $400B. There’s probably quite a way to go for re-rating. \n\nMarkets aren’t giving a premium because they fear memory prices are a commodity cycle, but I disagree since demand is now structural.\n\nPricing isn’t, but margins are likely to remain high.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Are you still bullish memory names? whats the upside from here?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Whaler99_", "ret_m1d": -0.04291128195265215, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04291128195265215, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03283694105959911, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.026181929213945243, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010074340893053035, "bench_c_m1d": -0.016729352738706904, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.022823515339485862, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.022823515339485862, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.020192960469510652, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015309321203165045, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00263055486997521, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0075141941363208176, "ret_p1w": -0.04652663458477713, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04652663458477713, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.028799204930348044, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04002778205404245, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017727429654429083, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006498852530734678, "ret_p1m": 0.09449580941850193, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09449580941850193, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05365076424917807, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05294525626099185, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04084504516932386, "bench_c_p1m": 0.14744106567949378, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.452, -0.4348, -0.4257, -0.399, -0.3961, -0.3876, -0.3876, -0.3749, -0.3482, -0.345, -0.3505, -0.3505, -0.3038, -0.2828, -0.2475, -0.2413, -0.2498, -0.2399, -0.238, -0.2497, -0.2472, -0.236, -0.205, -0.2016, -0.2143, -0.1895, -0.1731, -0.1678, -0.1863, -0.1354, -0.0974, -0.0932, -0.0929, -0.1205, -0.0778, -0.1076, -0.1421, -0.1354, -0.1137, -0.1263, -0.1002, -0.0688, -0.0687, -0.0687, -0.0777, -0.0617, -0.0441, -0.017, -0.0166, 0.012, 0.0309, 0.0747, 0.0567, 0.0569, -0.0475, -0.1029, -0.0399, -0.0719, -0.1137, -0.0429, -0.0216, -0.044, -0.0429, 0.0, 0.0228, 0.0781, 0.0361, 0.0159, -0.0465, -0.029, -0.0373, -0.0944, -0.093, -0.1463, -0.1729, -0.0797, -0.1237, -0.0942, -0.0698, -0.0537, 0.0331, 0.0208, 0.0336, 0.0337, 0.0945, 0.1066, 0.1254, 0.1119, 0.1172, 0.1457, 0.1715, 0.1802, 0.1817, 0.2355, 0.2185, 0.2339, 0.2208, 0.2397, 0.3419, 0.39, 0.5219, 0.5347, 0.616, 0.7491, 0.7005, 0.7856, 0.7839, 0.6483, 0.6415, 0.6123, 0.6383, 0.7693, 0.7489, 0.7489, 0.9077, 1.0118, 1.0107, 1.0926, 1.1614, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2016586744662261846", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-28T18:58:40+00:00", "symbol": "LEU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "my favorite is $LEU since they're the best one by default (as the only one that can currently produce HALEU, which is a bottleneck)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long LEU as the sole HALEU producer, making it the default best nuclear stock by eliminating competition.", "resolved_tickers": ["LEU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@stocktalkweekly Wow nice! I agree, my favorite is $LEU since they’re the best one by default (as the only one that can currently produce HALEU, which is a bottleneck)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Best nuclear stock on the market. Long since last May at $96. Haven’t sold a share. Up +230% on stock 🍻 https://t.co/tZ3kRsppqt", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "stocktalkweekly", "ret_m1d": -0.0839945354598779, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0839945354598779, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08409521549897758, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08409521549897758, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00010068003909968759, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00010068003909968759, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.10735436024763911, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.10735436024763911, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.1053699777986693, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.1053699777986693, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019843824489698125, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0019843824489698125, "ret_p1w": -0.25559573245438083, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.25559573245438083, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.24232321667054058, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.24232321667054058, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013272515783840255, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013272515783840255, "ret_p1m": -0.375414493680722, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.375414493680722, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3666140549832929, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3666140549832929, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00880043869742908, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00880043869742908, "ret_p3m": -0.342787809955438, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.342787809955438, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3739965099077118, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3739965099077118, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031208699952273822, "bench_c_p3m": 0.031208699952273822, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0879, 0.0155, -0.0313, -0.0356, -0.1776, -0.1291, -0.1408, -0.1842, -0.184, -0.2484, -0.2598, -0.2727, -0.2714, -0.2176, -0.2856, -0.2843, -0.2603, -0.2628, -0.2473, -0.2473, -0.2323, -0.2558, -0.2137, -0.2062, -0.1751, -0.2118, -0.2051, -0.2163, -0.2167, -0.1914, -0.2628, -0.3228, -0.3018, -0.3454, -0.32, -0.225, -0.2268, -0.236, -0.2297, -0.2297, -0.2471, -0.2621, -0.2686, -0.2813, -0.2813, -0.1932, -0.1106, -0.0766, -0.0438, -0.1525, -0.0935, -0.0844, -0.1169, -0.0894, -0.0937, -0.0199, -0.0199, -0.0647, -0.1001, -0.1048, -0.1231, -0.166, -0.084, 0.0, -0.1074, -0.1761, -0.2089, -0.1696, -0.2556, -0.2832, -0.2199, -0.1821, -0.2154, -0.3778, -0.4517, -0.4103, -0.4103, -0.4098, -0.3881, -0.3816, -0.3968, -0.4049, -0.3866, -0.3764, -0.3754, -0.4002, -0.3842, -0.4157, -0.3987, -0.4248, -0.4408, -0.4202, -0.4054, -0.4068, -0.3639, -0.3793, -0.3698, -0.3676, -0.3828, -0.3928, -0.4471, -0.4268, -0.4202, -0.4278, -0.4277, -0.4585, -0.5011, -0.4861, -0.4577, -0.4576, -0.4576, -0.4566, -0.4864, -0.4371, -0.4666, -0.4457, -0.4316, -0.4283, -0.4144, -0.4019, -0.3971, -0.409, -0.4329, -0.3573, -0.3499, -0.3912, -0.3428, -0.3913, -0.4316, -0.3754, -0.3882, -0.3874, -0.39, -0.3151, -0.3892, -0.3862, -0.3687, -0.4009, -0.4306, -0.4306, -0.4594, -0.488, -0.4996, -0.4987, -0.4755, -0.469, -0.469, -0.4571, -0.4667, -0.4509, -0.4598, -0.4598, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2014354847202681059", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-22T15:09:55+00:00", "symbol": "RMBS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$RMBS is a good shout, I have positions in it. Reminds me of $ARM but for HBM... Id expect it to get rerated as well over this year", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long RMBS; held position, ARM-like HBM licensing model with high gross margins, expects re-rating over the year.", "resolved_tickers": ["RMBS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$RMBS is a good shout, I have positions in it.\n\nReminds me of $ARM but for HBM, pretty nonexistent in retail eyes.\n\nIt doesn’t get the same pricing power like $MU but all its licenses to sk Hynix, Samsung, and micron should pay dividends. Gross margins are crazy high \n\nId expect it to get rerated as well over this year", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit how about $RMBS which hasn't really run much", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "timlihk", "ret_m1d": 0.009297136277304219, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.009297136277304219, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.014493225925595654, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.014493225925595654, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005196089648291435, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005196089648291435, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07581950259672754, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07581950259672754, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07618228283646811, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07618228283646811, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0003627802397405677, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0003627802397405677, "ret_p1w": -0.025406734425214683, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.025406734425214683, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03275090236865941, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03275090236865941, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007344167943444724, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007344167943444724, "ret_p1m": -0.1773663368504046, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1773663368504046, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1780195011752852, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1780195011752852, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0006531643248806063, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0006531643248806063, "ret_p3m": 0.045523767395976966, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.045523767395976966, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0208164255198382, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0208164255198382, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024707341876138766, "bench_c_p3m": 0.024707341876138766, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0894, -0.1687, -0.1075, -0.1364, -0.1758, -0.1524, -0.196, -0.1295, -0.1465, -0.1371, -0.1136, -0.159, -0.1808, -0.2597, -0.2366, -0.2696, -0.2971, -0.2769, -0.3005, -0.2935, -0.2566, -0.259, -0.2396, -0.2396, -0.234, -0.2451, -0.2289, -0.2143, -0.2081, -0.1857, -0.1659, -0.1608, -0.1437, -0.1504, -0.2448, -0.235, -0.2411, -0.2738, -0.2667, -0.2274, -0.2365, -0.2451, -0.2428, -0.2428, -0.2457, -0.2501, -0.2411, -0.2635, -0.2635, -0.2043, -0.2186, -0.2226, -0.2654, -0.2679, -0.2516, -0.2554, -0.2348, -0.1936, -0.1739, -0.1345, -0.1345, -0.1176, 0.0093, 0.0, -0.0758, -0.0848, -0.0726, -0.0026, -0.0254, -0.0877, -0.0886, -0.2109, -0.1917, -0.2138, -0.1416, -0.111, -0.1425, -0.2035, -0.2322, -0.1829, -0.1829, -0.1829, -0.1637, -0.1654, -0.1774, -0.2364, -0.21, -0.1898, -0.1811, -0.2013, -0.2075, -0.298, -0.2623, -0.2634, -0.2937, -0.2905, -0.2818, -0.2584, -0.2804, -0.2465, -0.2564, -0.2506, -0.2521, -0.2416, -0.265, -0.2518, -0.2571, -0.2311, -0.2671, -0.2808, -0.361, -0.3105, -0.2791, -0.2544, -0.2544, -0.2609, -0.2637, -0.1871, -0.1538, -0.1149, -0.0931, -0.0244, -0.0381, -0.038, 0.0173, 0.0168, 0.0455, 0.0543, 0.11, 0.2695, 0.1326, -0.1082, -0.1011, -0.0774, -0.1029, -0.1064, -0.0543, 0.0422, 0.0147, 0.0359, 0.0781, 0.0442, 0.0808, 0.0456, 0.0183, -0.0081, -0.022, 0.0704, 0.1367, 0.1459, 0.1459, 0.2602, 0.1915, 0.1863, 0.1658, 0.1658, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2030422486324764892", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-07T23:16:58+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "before the ramp for optical all their capacity from $AAOI to $LITE are already maxed out before price hikes. This is the definition of an upcoming bottleneck", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Hold/long optical photonics names (AAOI, LITE) through war-driven volatility; capacity maxed before ramp, hyperscaler capex unbroken.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Sentiment (eg. War/Oil/LNG) dictates short term prices, fundamentals dictate prices in the long run.\n\nI see zero slowdown from the hyperscaler capex that matters ( $GOOGL, $MSFT, $AMZN, etc).\n\nAnd before the ramp for optical all their capacity from $AAOI to $LITE are already maxed out before price hikes. \n\nThis is the definition of an upcoming bottleneck when new AI cluster architectures use photonics to scale.\n\nIf there's been nothing breaking the fundamentals of any of these companies, probably better to hold through short term volatility.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Are you planning on holding through the war or going to do any trimming? Photonics getting killed rn", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Oscar69969", "ret_m1d": -0.13596095228800786, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.13596095228800786, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12727699892365263, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12727699892365263, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08922432536725333, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08922432536725333, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09083145227262046, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09083145227262046, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "ret_p1w": -0.1496113057389088, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1496113057389088, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.13598839901471005, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.13598839901471005, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "ret_p1m": 0.0634604634674294, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0634604634674294, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08889242788704188, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08889242788704188, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6838, -0.6717, -0.7102, -0.7297, -0.7382, -0.7547, -0.7356, -0.7169, -0.6466, -0.6326, -0.6294, -0.6294, -0.664, -0.6678, -0.6744, -0.6849, -0.6849, -0.642, -0.6837, -0.651, -0.656, -0.7016, -0.6923, -0.6952, -0.691, -0.6884, -0.6655, -0.6652, -0.6652, -0.6451, -0.653, -0.6551, -0.6771, -0.6846, -0.662, -0.5911, -0.6423, -0.6058, -0.6008, -0.5831, -0.6393, -0.6553, -0.5995, -0.5669, -0.5617, -0.5625, -0.6023, -0.5981, -0.5981, -0.6031, -0.6073, -0.5753, -0.5328, -0.5122, -0.4913, -0.4746, -0.5146, -0.2386, -0.0733, -0.1381, -0.0986, -0.0857, -0.136, 0.0, 0.0892, 0.1482, -0.04, -0.1248, -0.1496, -0.2196, -0.1626, -0.0786, -0.2086, -0.1343, 0.0297, 0.0343, -0.1193, -0.1122, -0.2299, -0.2353, -0.2194, -0.0607, -0.0607, -0.0287, 0.0635, 0.1996, 0.205, 0.3614, 0.3848, 0.3234, 0.2886, 0.4222, 0.4411, 0.4778, 0.3611, 0.3508, 0.2451, 0.466, 0.3178, 0.2408, 0.3816, 0.4858, 0.6589, 0.5637, 0.6323, 0.614, 0.4242, 0.3464, 0.6715, 0.702, 1.0168, 0.8403, 0.7208, 0.5663, 0.5488, 0.4939, 0.5984, 0.6407, 0.6407, 0.6057, 0.6257, 0.5279, 0.432, 0.432, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2030422486324764892", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-07T23:16:58+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "all their capacity from $AAOI to $LITE are already maxed out before price hikes. This is the definition of an upcoming bottleneck", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Hold/long optical photonics names (AAOI, LITE) through war-driven volatility; capacity maxed before ramp, hyperscaler capex unbroken.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Sentiment (eg. War/Oil/LNG) dictates short term prices, fundamentals dictate prices in the long run.\n\nI see zero slowdown from the hyperscaler capex that matters ( $GOOGL, $MSFT, $AMZN, etc).\n\nAnd before the ramp for optical all their capacity from $AAOI to $LITE are already maxed out before price hikes. \n\nThis is the definition of an upcoming bottleneck when new AI cluster architectures use photonics to scale.\n\nIf there's been nothing breaking the fundamentals of any of these companies, probably better to hold through short term volatility.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Are you planning on holding through the war or going to do any trimming? Photonics getting killed rn", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Oscar69969", "ret_m1d": -0.12837721782231515, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.12837721782231515, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11969326445795991, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.11969326445795991, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04886918390997863, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04886918390997863, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05047631081534576, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05047631081534576, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "ret_p1w": -0.024738915115796623, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.024738915115796623, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.011116008391597876, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.011116008391597876, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "ret_p1m": 0.2732366618669124, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2732366618669124, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2986686262865249, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2986686262865249, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4287, -0.4192, -0.4937, -0.4776, -0.5065, -0.5001, -0.4738, -0.4203, -0.3915, -0.3953, -0.382, -0.382, -0.3901, -0.4184, -0.4207, -0.4247, -0.4247, -0.3974, -0.4427, -0.3797, -0.3868, -0.4564, -0.4515, -0.4695, -0.436, -0.4824, -0.4642, -0.4939, -0.4939, -0.4431, -0.4343, -0.4467, -0.4706, -0.4811, -0.4215, -0.3991, -0.4046, -0.3884, -0.3391, -0.3209, -0.2734, -0.2127, -0.1384, -0.0992, -0.1242, -0.1039, -0.0893, -0.1217, -0.1217, -0.0629, -0.0725, -0.0079, 0.0423, 0.0531, 0.0743, 0.1291, 0.0567, 0.094, 0.2225, 0.0839, 0.0626, 0.0158, -0.1284, 0.0, 0.0489, 0.0489, -0.0384, -0.0284, -0.0247, 0.0138, 0.0938, 0.2052, 0.1025, 0.1378, 0.2518, 0.213, 0.0751, 0.0968, 0.022, 0.0969, 0.1935, 0.2906, 0.2906, 0.2054, 0.2732, 0.3985, 0.3956, 0.4005, 0.3598, 0.331, 0.2861, 0.391, 0.3955, 0.3971, 0.3063, 0.3635, 0.3218, 0.3761, 0.3418, 0.2352, 0.3397, 0.4084, 0.4827, 0.5236, 0.5523, 0.4738, 0.3932, 0.4107, 0.6437, 0.5489, 0.6082, 0.5636, 0.5151, 0.3813, 0.3893, 0.3549, 0.5054, 0.4779, 0.4779, 0.4216, 0.4083, 0.3433, 0.3344, 0.3344, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2021622271316742460", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-11T16:28:04+00:00", "symbol": "U", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I think the -30% drop is the world telling me to enter some positions", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Sees Unity's -30% drop as an entry signal; also bullish Figma as AI augments rather than replaces its design workflow.", "resolved_tickers": ["U"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’ve been following $U since looking at 4D physical AI + World Models supply chains.\n\nDon’t think they’re purely gaming related. I think the -30% drop is the world telling me to enter some positions.\n\nAnd agreed. With others like $FIG, AI just helps translate the Figma designs into stuff like HTML/CSS/JS rather than replacing it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Following $U has been very interesting.\n\nI think the market views AI gaming models as anathema for $U and other software gaming companies.\n\nBut if these companies adopt the tech, they can churn out far more games.\n\nThe narrative has to break somewhere", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "platochi", "ret_m1d": 0.3573096531084259, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.3573096531084259, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.35707854089349533, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.35707854089349533, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00023111221493055112, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00023111221493055112, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08220458857661195, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08220458857661195, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06675571434871075, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06675571434871075, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0154488742279012, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0154488742279012, "ret_p1w": -0.13358246757284586, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.13358246757284586, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1253882880274002, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1253882880274002, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.008194179545445657, "bench_c_p1w": -0.008194179545445657, "ret_p1m": -0.09248012874113387, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09248012874113387, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05505012133634446, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05505012133634446, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03743000740478941, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03743000740478941, "ret_p3m": 0.25502106635845, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.25502106635845, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.18368894015083792, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.18368894015083792, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07133212620761209, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07133212620761209, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.7151, 0.7128, 0.7282, 0.8319, 0.7613, 0.8108, 0.9426, 0.9888, 0.9837, 0.9837, 0.986, 1.0149, 1.0747, 1.0841, 1.0621, 1.1383, 1.2905, 1.3106, 1.2877, 1.2994, 1.156, 1.1121, 1.0817, 1.0448, 1.0803, 1.1681, 1.1597, 1.1112, 1.1224, 1.1224, 1.1088, 1.1042, 1.1079, 1.0631, 1.0631, 1.0668, 1.1443, 1.1275, 1.1186, 1.1149, 1.0859, 1.2088, 1.1331, 0.9636, 1.0542, 0.9127, 0.9127, 0.9402, 0.9612, 0.9678, 0.9776, 1.0084, 0.9267, 0.8758, 0.7936, 0.3592, 0.3456, 0.2083, 0.1649, 0.0841, 0.1728, 0.2858, 0.3573, 0.0, -0.0822, -0.1275, -0.1275, -0.1425, -0.1336, -0.1364, -0.1476, -0.1999, -0.1457, -0.1322, -0.0855, -0.1485, -0.1186, -0.0649, -0.0481, -0.0318, -0.0729, -0.0075, -0.0346, -0.064, -0.0925, -0.0925, -0.0771, -0.0617, -0.0794, -0.1056, -0.1411, -0.1289, -0.1527, -0.1686, -0.1999, -0.0915, -0.0406, 0.0248, 0.0257, 0.0626, 0.0626, 0.0271, 0.028, 0.0388, 0.0075, 0.0098, 0.0649, 0.0906, 0.1798, 0.2111, 0.2106, 0.2391, 0.1868, 0.206, 0.1355, 0.2149, 0.2443, 0.2396, 0.2195, 0.234, 0.2672, 0.2947, 0.277, 0.2742, 0.2485, 0.3153, 0.255, 0.2536, 0.256, 0.2742, 0.2686, 0.2518, 0.2237, 0.2251, 0.1929, 0.1943, 0.1943, 0.2504, 0.2966, 0.3984, 0.4232, 0.4232, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2021622271316742460", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-11T16:28:04+00:00", "symbol": "FIG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "With others like $FIG, AI just helps translate the Figma designs into stuff like HTML/CSS/JS rather than replacing it", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Sees Unity's -30% drop as an entry signal; also bullish Figma as AI augments rather than replaces its design workflow.", "resolved_tickers": ["FIG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’ve been following $U since looking at 4D physical AI + World Models supply chains.\n\nDon’t think they’re purely gaming related. I think the -30% drop is the world telling me to enter some positions.\n\nAnd agreed. With others like $FIG, AI just helps translate the Figma designs into stuff like HTML/CSS/JS rather than replacing it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Following $U has been very interesting.\n\nI think the market views AI gaming models as anathema for $U and other software gaming companies.\n\nBut if these companies adopt the tech, they can churn out far more games.\n\nThe narrative has to break somewhere", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "platochi", "ret_m1d": 0.06778913191551217, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06778913191551217, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06755801970058162, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06755801970058162, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00023111221493055112, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00023111221493055112, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02436859745224873, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02436859745224873, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008919723224347531, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008919723224347531, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0154488742279012, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0154488742279012, "ret_p1w": 0.07177673288160924, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07177673288160924, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0799709124270549, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0799709124270549, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.008194179545445657, "bench_c_p1w": -0.008194179545445657, "ret_p1m": 0.15950378511946917, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.15950378511946917, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.19693379252425858, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.19693379252425858, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03743000740478941, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03743000740478941, "ret_p3m": -0.11165265803444213, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11165265803444213, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.18298478424205422, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.18298478424205422, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07133212620761209, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07133212620761209, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.7071, 0.6562, 0.6287, 0.5835, 0.4874, 0.5202, 0.5716, 0.5729, 0.6008, 0.6008, 0.5937, 0.5813, 0.603, 0.6557, 0.7151, 0.6823, 0.6681, 0.7045, 0.7395, 0.7142, 0.5981, 0.5543, 0.5924, 0.6553, 0.6389, 0.7492, 0.739, 0.7009, 0.7218, 0.7218, 0.7076, 0.6761, 0.6673, 0.6557, 0.6557, 0.6664, 0.6424, 0.6611, 0.6509, 0.6513, 0.654, 0.6128, 0.4869, 0.4338, 0.4001, 0.3101, 0.3101, 0.23, 0.1994, 0.2592, 0.2818, 0.2924, 0.261, 0.3319, 0.1994, 0.1484, 0.0634, -0.0523, -0.0027, -0.0164, -0.0257, -0.0195, 0.0678, 0.0, -0.0244, -0.0018, -0.0018, 0.0235, 0.0718, 0.1458, 0.156, 0.0966, 0.2153, 0.3841, 0.3389, 0.3022, 0.2977, 0.362, 0.3132, 0.3425, 0.2898, 0.3505, 0.2561, 0.2335, 0.1595, 0.1533, 0.2034, 0.2162, 0.1192, 0.0731, 0.0514, 0.0279, -0.031, -0.0656, -0.0186, -0.1054, -0.1068, -0.0634, -0.0953, -0.0576, -0.0576, -0.051, -0.0611, -0.1072, -0.1546, -0.1954, -0.1502, -0.1839, -0.0988, -0.0997, -0.1617, -0.1577, -0.1706, -0.1506, -0.2326, -0.226, -0.2331, -0.2388, -0.253, -0.2158, -0.1697, -0.1156, -0.1396, -0.1453, -0.0891, -0.0846, -0.1117, -0.1436, -0.1608, -0.1032, 0.0155, 0.0793, 0.031, 0.0004, -0.0434, 0.0062, 0.0062, -0.027, -0.0545, 0.0394, 0.1298, 0.1298, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2023024514721108031", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-15T13:20:04+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the clear winners appear to be Nvidia, Samsung, SK Hynix, Broadcom, and TSMC", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "AI capex surge by hyperscalers transfers balance sheets to Nvidia, Samsung, SK Hynix, TSMC, and Broadcom as clear winners of the buildout.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The richest companies in the world are going into debt for the AI buildout.\n\nDespite hundreds of billions in net income, companies from $AMZN to $GOOGL have increased capex so much:\n\nThat some are projected to be net negative cash in 2026. \n\nHere are the results and who profits:\n\nAmazon ( $AMZN )\n2025: +$46.0 billion\n2026 (Est): +$11.0 billion\n\nAlphabet ( $GOOGL )\n2025: +$80.3 billion\n2026 (Est): +$13.0 billion\n\nMeta Platforms ( $META ) - Net Debt\n2025: +$22.9 billion\n2026 (Est): -$7.0 billion (Expected to swing into Net Debt)\n\nMicrosoft ( $MSFT )\n2025: +$49.2 billion\n2026 (Est): +$59.0 billion\n\nOracle ( $ORCL )\n2025: -$98.0 billion (Net Debt)\n2026 (Est): -$115.0 billion\n\nMicrosoft appears to be in the safest position. While Amazon and Google have been largely funding the AI buildout with operating income. \n\nHowever, that large cashflow buffer has vanished.  Oracle and Meta appear to be in debt to fuel the buildout, despite $META achieving staggering operating income numbers. \n\nNow, where does the money flow into? \n\nOperating Income Projections:\n\n1. $NVDA - USA\n$135.0B -> $186.5B -> $240.1 Billion Operating Income\n\n2. Samsung - Korea\n~$30.2B -> ~$170B -> ~$226.7 Billion\n\n3. SK Hynix - Korea\n~$32.7B -> ~$124B -> ~$161.0 Billion\n\n4. $TSM - Taiwan\n~$62.2B -> ~$86.3B - ~$103.3B – $105.3 Billion\n\n5. $AVGO - America\n~$41.5B -> ~$62.8B-$65.1B - ~$84.7B-$93.3B\n\nOf course, these are rough estimates based on analyst projections. \n\nHowever, from the general trend, this looks like a leveraged bet that the AI buildout will pay off dividends in FCF after they're finished. \n\nBut the clear winners appear to be Nvidia, Samsung, SK Hynix, Broadcom, and TSMC.\n\nThis comes as hyperscalers, with some going into debt, transfer over their balance sheets to them, expecting a long term ROI from their AI spend.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011815537711723945, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011815537711723945, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010202071240998922, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.010202071240998922, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0016134664707250224, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0016134664707250224, "ret_p1w": 0.04780922985899494, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04780922985899494, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04687039759110179, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04687039759110179, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0009388322678931527, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0009388322678931527, "ret_p1m": -0.004759937989921137, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.004759937989921137, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.011316375122938926, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.011316375122938926, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016076313112860063, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016076313112860063, "ret_p3m": 0.2896053819085629, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2896053819085629, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.18918255727844469, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.18918255727844469, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1004228246301182, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1004228246301182, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0202, -0.0119, -0.0216, -0.0015, -0.0274, -0.014, -0.014, -0.0318, -0.0159, -0.0074, -0.0177, 0.0031, -0.0022, 0.015, 0.0118, 0.0053, -0.0103, -0.0426, -0.0357, -0.0278, -0.0649, -0.0474, -0.01, 0.0048, 0.035, 0.0317, 0.0317, 0.0422, 0.0296, 0.0259, 0.0202, 0.0202, 0.033, 0.029, 0.0242, 0.0345, 0.0122, 0.0112, 0.0117, 0.0164, 0.0018, 0.0232, 0.0187, 0.0187, -0.0259, 0.0028, 0.0111, 0.0266, 0.02, 0.0312, 0.0476, 0.0531, 0.0455, 0.0153, -0.0135, -0.0472, -0.0598, 0.0142, 0.0395, 0.0313, 0.0396, 0.0226, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0118, 0.0283, 0.0278, 0.0383, 0.0478, 0.0549, 0.0697, 0.0114, -0.0307, -0.0018, -0.0151, 0.0013, 0.0029, -0.0273, -0.0009, 0.0107, 0.0177, 0.0019, -0.014, 0.0023, -0.0048, -0.0131, -0.0232, -0.0553, -0.0392, -0.0416, -0.0225, -0.0632, -0.0836, -0.0964, -0.046, -0.0386, -0.0296, -0.0296, -0.0282, -0.0257, -0.0039, 0.0061, 0.0319, 0.0356, 0.075, 0.0879, 0.0851, 0.1033, 0.1054, 0.0934, 0.1078, 0.0921, 0.1393, 0.185, 0.1661, 0.1447, 0.0917, 0.0856, 0.0858, 0.0749, 0.1369, 0.157, 0.1772, 0.2004, 0.2078, 0.2354, 0.2896, 0.2326, 0.2162, 0.2068, 0.2225, 0.2008, 0.178, 0.178, 0.1754, 0.163, 0.172, 0.155, 0.155, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2023024514721108031", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-15T13:20:04+00:00", "symbol": "005930.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the clear winners appear to be Nvidia, Samsung, SK Hynix, Broadcom, and TSMC", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "AI capex surge by hyperscalers transfers balance sheets to Nvidia, Samsung, SK Hynix, TSMC, and Broadcom as clear winners of the buildout.", "resolved_tickers": ["005930.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The richest companies in the world are going into debt for the AI buildout.\n\nDespite hundreds of billions in net income, companies from $AMZN to $GOOGL have increased capex so much:\n\nThat some are projected to be net negative cash in 2026. \n\nHere are the results and who profits:\n\nAmazon ( $AMZN )\n2025: +$46.0 billion\n2026 (Est): +$11.0 billion\n\nAlphabet ( $GOOGL )\n2025: +$80.3 billion\n2026 (Est): +$13.0 billion\n\nMeta Platforms ( $META ) - Net Debt\n2025: +$22.9 billion\n2026 (Est): -$7.0 billion (Expected to swing into Net Debt)\n\nMicrosoft ( $MSFT )\n2025: +$49.2 billion\n2026 (Est): +$59.0 billion\n\nOracle ( $ORCL )\n2025: -$98.0 billion (Net Debt)\n2026 (Est): -$115.0 billion\n\nMicrosoft appears to be in the safest position. While Amazon and Google have been largely funding the AI buildout with operating income. \n\nHowever, that large cashflow buffer has vanished.  Oracle and Meta appear to be in debt to fuel the buildout, despite $META achieving staggering operating income numbers. \n\nNow, where does the money flow into? \n\nOperating Income Projections:\n\n1. $NVDA - USA\n$135.0B -> $186.5B -> $240.1 Billion Operating Income\n\n2. Samsung - Korea\n~$30.2B -> ~$170B -> ~$226.7 Billion\n\n3. SK Hynix - Korea\n~$32.7B -> ~$124B -> ~$161.0 Billion\n\n4. $TSM - Taiwan\n~$62.2B -> ~$86.3B - ~$103.3B – $105.3 Billion\n\n5. $AVGO - America\n~$41.5B -> ~$62.8B-$65.1B - ~$84.7B-$93.3B\n\nOf course, these are rough estimates based on analyst projections. \n\nHowever, from the general trend, this looks like a leveraged bet that the AI buildout will pay off dividends in FCF after they're finished. \n\nBut the clear winners appear to be Nvidia, Samsung, SK Hynix, Broadcom, and TSMC.\n\nThis comes as hyperscalers, with some going into debt, transfer over their balance sheets to them, expecting a long term ROI from their AI spend.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0016134664707250224, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0005731897395971908, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0016134664707250224, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0005731897395971908, "ret_p1w": 0.06512140574582959, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06512140574582959, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06418257347793643, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07257331024427438, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0009388322678931527, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007451904498444795, "ret_p1m": 0.07008829116018656, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07008829116018656, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08616460427304662, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07023158859508583, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016076313112860063, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00014329743489926994, "ret_p3m": 0.6369352880008945, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6369352880008945, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5365124633707763, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3491509071804626, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1004228246301182, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2877843808204319, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.47, -0.4475, -0.4794, -0.4689, -0.4546, -0.4354, -0.4316, -0.448, -0.4464, -0.4321, -0.4261, -0.4228, -0.4047, -0.3986, -0.4047, -0.4069, -0.4107, -0.4019, -0.4244, -0.4354, -0.4074, -0.4091, -0.4162, -0.3931, -0.3876, -0.3898, -0.3898, -0.3574, -0.3405, -0.3383, -0.3383, -0.3383, -0.2908, -0.2379, -0.2334, -0.2219, -0.234, -0.2329, -0.234, -0.2406, -0.2257, -0.2058, -0.1783, -0.176, -0.1987, -0.1749, -0.1595, -0.1606, -0.1606, -0.1198, -0.1038, -0.1131, -0.1142, -0.17, -0.0756, -0.0668, -0.1209, -0.1247, -0.0817, -0.085, -0.074, -0.0143, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0486, 0.0491, 0.0651, 0.1038, 0.1231, 0.2031, 0.1948, 0.1948, 0.0767, -0.0497, 0.0574, 0.0386, -0.0425, 0.037, 0.0486, 0.037, 0.0127, 0.0414, 0.0701, 0.1507, 0.1065, 0.1004, 0.0281, 0.0469, 0.043, -0.0061, -0.0061, -0.025, -0.0754, 0.0488, -0.0134, 0.0297, 0.0679, 0.0867, 0.1641, 0.1282, 0.1392, 0.1116, 0.142, 0.1669, 0.2028, 0.1945, 0.1862, 0.2111, 0.2028, 0.2415, 0.2139, 0.2415, 0.2277, 0.2498, 0.2194, 0.2194, 0.2858, 0.2858, 0.471, 0.5014, 0.4849, 0.5789, 0.5429, 0.5706, 0.6369, 0.4959, 0.554, 0.5236, 0.5263, 0.6563, 0.6176, 0.6176, 0.6535, 0.6978, 0.6563, 0.7531, 0.9162, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2023024514721108031", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-15T13:20:04+00:00", "symbol": "000660.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the clear winners appear to be Nvidia, Samsung, SK Hynix, Broadcom, and TSMC", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "AI capex surge by hyperscalers transfers balance sheets to Nvidia, Samsung, SK Hynix, TSMC, and Broadcom as clear winners of the buildout.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The richest companies in the world are going into debt for the AI buildout.\n\nDespite hundreds of billions in net income, companies from $AMZN to $GOOGL have increased capex so much:\n\nThat some are projected to be net negative cash in 2026. \n\nHere are the results and who profits:\n\nAmazon ( $AMZN )\n2025: +$46.0 billion\n2026 (Est): +$11.0 billion\n\nAlphabet ( $GOOGL )\n2025: +$80.3 billion\n2026 (Est): +$13.0 billion\n\nMeta Platforms ( $META ) - Net Debt\n2025: +$22.9 billion\n2026 (Est): -$7.0 billion (Expected to swing into Net Debt)\n\nMicrosoft ( $MSFT )\n2025: +$49.2 billion\n2026 (Est): +$59.0 billion\n\nOracle ( $ORCL )\n2025: -$98.0 billion (Net Debt)\n2026 (Est): -$115.0 billion\n\nMicrosoft appears to be in the safest position. While Amazon and Google have been largely funding the AI buildout with operating income. \n\nHowever, that large cashflow buffer has vanished.  Oracle and Meta appear to be in debt to fuel the buildout, despite $META achieving staggering operating income numbers. \n\nNow, where does the money flow into? \n\nOperating Income Projections:\n\n1. $NVDA - USA\n$135.0B -> $186.5B -> $240.1 Billion Operating Income\n\n2. Samsung - Korea\n~$30.2B -> ~$170B -> ~$226.7 Billion\n\n3. SK Hynix - Korea\n~$32.7B -> ~$124B -> ~$161.0 Billion\n\n4. $TSM - Taiwan\n~$62.2B -> ~$86.3B - ~$103.3B – $105.3 Billion\n\n5. $AVGO - America\n~$41.5B -> ~$62.8B-$65.1B - ~$84.7B-$93.3B\n\nOf course, these are rough estimates based on analyst projections. \n\nHowever, from the general trend, this looks like a leveraged bet that the AI buildout will pay off dividends in FCF after they're finished. \n\nBut the clear winners appear to be Nvidia, Samsung, SK Hynix, Broadcom, and TSMC.\n\nThis comes as hyperscalers, with some going into debt, transfer over their balance sheets to them, expecting a long term ROI from their AI spend.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0016134664707250224, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02455780036533617, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0016134664707250224, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02455780036533617, "ret_p1w": 0.08068181276352204, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08068181276352204, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07974298049562889, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.040896772959917005, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0009388322678931527, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03978503980360504, "ret_p1m": 0.10430668366008233, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10430668366008233, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1203829967729424, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10087314293539174, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016076313112860063, "bench_c_p1m": 0.003433540724690598, "ret_p3m": 1.2427672006203938, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.2427672006203938, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.1423443759902756, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.8206577542033788, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1004228246301182, "bench_c_p3m": 0.422109446417015, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3618, -0.3516, -0.4084, -0.4095, -0.4106, -0.405, -0.3818, -0.3977, -0.3886, -0.3659, -0.3727, -0.3841, -0.3818, -0.3443, -0.3568, -0.333, -0.358, -0.3511, -0.3705, -0.3977, -0.3739, -0.3727, -0.3784, -0.3409, -0.3364, -0.3318, -0.3318, -0.3193, -0.2727, -0.2602, -0.2602, -0.2602, -0.2307, -0.2091, -0.175, -0.1568, -0.1409, -0.1545, -0.1489, -0.1614, -0.1568, -0.1489, -0.1409, -0.1318, -0.1557, -0.1591, -0.142, -0.1284, -0.1636, -0.0909, -0.0443, -0.0216, 0.033, -0.0568, 0.0307, 0.0227, -0.0432, -0.0466, 0.008, -0.0045, -0.0227, 0.0091, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0159, 0.0784, 0.0807, 0.142, 0.1568, 0.2512, 0.2079, 0.2079, 0.069, -0.0334, 0.0713, 0.0519, -0.0482, 0.0679, 0.0872, 0.0588, 0.036, 0.1089, 0.1043, 0.2022, 0.1533, 0.1464, 0.0622, 0.1225, 0.1328, 0.0622, 0.0622, -0.0061, -0.0813, 0.0212, -0.0551, -0.0027, 0.0087, 0.0428, 0.176, 0.1362, 0.1692, 0.184, 0.2557, 0.2933, 0.3149, 0.2842, 0.3274, 0.3935, 0.3923, 0.3946, 0.3912, 0.4709, 0.48, 0.472, 0.4641, 0.4641, 0.6474, 0.6474, 0.8227, 0.883, 0.9194, 1.1403, 1.0891, 1.2496, 1.2428, 1.0709, 1.0948, 0.9866, 0.9866, 1.2086, 1.2098, 1.2098, 1.3361, 1.5536, 1.6064, 1.6565, 1.7117, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2023024514721108031", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-02-15T13:20:04+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the clear winners appear to be Nvidia, Samsung, SK Hynix, Broadcom, and TSMC", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "AI capex surge by hyperscalers transfers balance sheets to Nvidia, Samsung, SK Hynix, TSMC, and Broadcom as clear winners of the buildout.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The richest companies in the world are going into debt for the AI buildout.\n\nDespite hundreds of billions in net income, companies from $AMZN to $GOOGL have increased capex so much:\n\nThat some are projected to be net negative cash in 2026. \n\nHere are the results and who profits:\n\nAmazon ( $AMZN )\n2025: +$46.0 billion\n2026 (Est): +$11.0 billion\n\nAlphabet ( $GOOGL )\n2025: +$80.3 billion\n2026 (Est): +$13.0 billion\n\nMeta Platforms ( $META ) - Net Debt\n2025: +$22.9 billion\n2026 (Est): -$7.0 billion (Expected to swing into Net Debt)\n\nMicrosoft ( $MSFT )\n2025: +$49.2 billion\n2026 (Est): +$59.0 billion\n\nOracle ( $ORCL )\n2025: -$98.0 billion (Net Debt)\n2026 (Est): -$115.0 billion\n\nMicrosoft appears to be in the safest position. While Amazon and Google have been largely funding the AI buildout with operating income. \n\nHowever, that large cashflow buffer has vanished.  Oracle and Meta appear to be in debt to fuel the buildout, despite $META achieving staggering operating income numbers. \n\nNow, where does the money flow into? \n\nOperating Income Projections:\n\n1. $NVDA - USA\n$135.0B -> $186.5B -> $240.1 Billion Operating Income\n\n2. Samsung - Korea\n~$30.2B -> ~$170B -> ~$226.7 Billion\n\n3. SK Hynix - Korea\n~$32.7B -> ~$124B -> ~$161.0 Billion\n\n4. $TSM - Taiwan\n~$62.2B -> ~$86.3B - ~$103.3B – $105.3 Billion\n\n5. $AVGO - America\n~$41.5B -> ~$62.8B-$65.1B - ~$84.7B-$93.3B\n\nOf course, these are rough estimates based on analyst projections. \n\nHowever, from the general trend, this looks like a leveraged bet that the AI buildout will pay off dividends in FCF after they're finished. \n\nBut the clear winners appear to be Nvidia, Samsung, SK Hynix, Broadcom, and TSMC.\n\nThis comes as hyperscalers, with some going into debt, transfer over their balance sheets to them, expecting a long term ROI from their AI spend.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005895756732518298, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005895756732518298, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00750922320324332, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00750922320324332, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0016134664707250224, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0016134664707250224, "ret_p1w": 0.010044814400485436, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.010044814400485436, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.009105982132592283, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.009105982132592283, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0009388322678931527, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0009388322678931527, "ret_p1m": -0.05296724993551161, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05296724993551161, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03689093682265154, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03689093682265154, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016076313112860063, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016076313112860063, "ret_p3m": 0.14340282372155988, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.14340282372155988, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.04297999909144168, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04297999909144168, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1004228246301182, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1004228246301182, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2313, -0.2446, -0.2512, -0.2252, -0.225, -0.2107, -0.2107, -0.2064, -0.2169, -0.2049, -0.1957, -0.2026, -0.1977, -0.1782, -0.1741, -0.1557, -0.1679, -0.2029, -0.2146, -0.217, -0.244, -0.223, -0.2113, -0.1995, -0.1895, -0.1844, -0.1844, -0.1734, -0.1786, -0.1823, -0.1705, -0.1705, -0.1276, -0.1204, -0.1063, -0.1301, -0.132, -0.1166, -0.0944, -0.0959, -0.1071, -0.0675, -0.0654, -0.0654, -0.107, -0.1098, -0.1064, -0.086, -0.0918, -0.0765, -0.0657, -0.0732, -0.0977, -0.0682, -0.0836, -0.1109, -0.0973, -0.0478, -0.0299, -0.0121, 0.0211, 0.0047, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0059, -0.0112, -0.0163, 0.0114, 0.01, 0.0529, 0.0583, 0.0285, 0.0224, 0.0075, -0.0361, -0.0243, -0.0341, -0.075, -0.0482, -0.0526, -0.0322, -0.0809, -0.0766, -0.0713, -0.053, -0.0705, -0.0726, -0.0988, -0.0736, -0.0604, -0.0481, -0.1074, -0.1056, -0.1337, -0.0749, -0.0653, -0.072, -0.072, -0.0645, -0.0548, 0.0016, 0.0004, 0.0144, 0.0116, 0.0399, 0.0267, -0.0054, 0.0142, 0.0025, 0.0075, 0.0605, 0.0474, 0.1016, 0.1085, 0.0739, 0.078, 0.0841, 0.0885, 0.0993, 0.0796, 0.1483, 0.1336, 0.1269, 0.1073, 0.0875, 0.0944, 0.1434, 0.1068, 0.0838, 0.0747, 0.0993, 0.1145, 0.1073, 0.1073, 0.1286, 0.1571, 0.1629, 0.1454, 0.1454, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2023024514721108031", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-02-15T13:20:04+00:00", "symbol": "AVGO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the clear winners appear to be Nvidia, Samsung, SK Hynix, Broadcom, and TSMC", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "AI capex surge by hyperscalers transfers balance sheets to Nvidia, Samsung, SK Hynix, TSMC, and Broadcom as clear winners of the buildout.", "resolved_tickers": ["AVGO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The richest companies in the world are going into debt for the AI buildout.\n\nDespite hundreds of billions in net income, companies from $AMZN to $GOOGL have increased capex so much:\n\nThat some are projected to be net negative cash in 2026. \n\nHere are the results and who profits:\n\nAmazon ( $AMZN )\n2025: +$46.0 billion\n2026 (Est): +$11.0 billion\n\nAlphabet ( $GOOGL )\n2025: +$80.3 billion\n2026 (Est): +$13.0 billion\n\nMeta Platforms ( $META ) - Net Debt\n2025: +$22.9 billion\n2026 (Est): -$7.0 billion (Expected to swing into Net Debt)\n\nMicrosoft ( $MSFT )\n2025: +$49.2 billion\n2026 (Est): +$59.0 billion\n\nOracle ( $ORCL )\n2025: -$98.0 billion (Net Debt)\n2026 (Est): -$115.0 billion\n\nMicrosoft appears to be in the safest position. While Amazon and Google have been largely funding the AI buildout with operating income. \n\nHowever, that large cashflow buffer has vanished.  Oracle and Meta appear to be in debt to fuel the buildout, despite $META achieving staggering operating income numbers. \n\nNow, where does the money flow into? \n\nOperating Income Projections:\n\n1. $NVDA - USA\n$135.0B -> $186.5B -> $240.1 Billion Operating Income\n\n2. Samsung - Korea\n~$30.2B -> ~$170B -> ~$226.7 Billion\n\n3. SK Hynix - Korea\n~$32.7B -> ~$124B -> ~$161.0 Billion\n\n4. $TSM - Taiwan\n~$62.2B -> ~$86.3B - ~$103.3B – $105.3 Billion\n\n5. $AVGO - America\n~$41.5B -> ~$62.8B-$65.1B - ~$84.7B-$93.3B\n\nOf course, these are rough estimates based on analyst projections. \n\nHowever, from the general trend, this looks like a leveraged bet that the AI buildout will pay off dividends in FCF after they're finished. \n\nBut the clear winners appear to be Nvidia, Samsung, SK Hynix, Broadcom, and TSMC.\n\nThis comes as hyperscalers, with some going into debt, transfer over their balance sheets to them, expecting a long term ROI from their AI spend.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.022665102710783813, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.022665102710783813, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02105163624005879, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.023180141105881957, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0016134664707250224, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0005150383950981441, "ret_p1w": 0.015899382160933895, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.015899382160933895, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.014960549893040742, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0032436290787685174, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0009388322678931527, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012655753082165377, "ret_p1m": -0.011870741152949726, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.011870741152949726, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.004205571959910337, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.014716123129979608, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016076313112860063, "bench_c_p1m": -0.026586864282929334, "ret_p3m": 0.35532969191937536, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.35532969191937536, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.25490686728925716, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0631438318811095, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1004228246301182, "bench_c_p3m": 0.41847352380048486, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0879, 0.0645, 0.0442, 0.1601, 0.1818, 0.2203, 0.2203, 0.2369, 0.185, 0.1712, 0.1683, 0.1695, 0.1978, 0.2312, 0.2471, 0.2676, 0.2473, 0.1048, 0.043, 0.0476, 0.0007, 0.0125, 0.0447, 0.0501, 0.0743, 0.077, 0.077, 0.0829, 0.0745, 0.0759, 0.0644, 0.0644, 0.069, 0.0561, 0.0572, 0.0564, 0.0225, 0.0609, 0.0832, 0.0905, 0.0453, 0.0549, 0.0816, 0.0816, 0.0228, 0.0112, 0.001, -0.0157, -0.001, 0.0234, 0.0248, 0.0171, 0.0189, 0.0183, -0.0149, -0.0526, -0.0451, 0.0238, 0.0577, 0.047, 0.0541, 0.0185, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0227, 0.0256, 0.0271, 0.023, 0.0159, 0.001, 0.022, -0.0107, -0.0173, -0.0195, -0.0348, -0.0235, 0.0234, 0.0163, 0.0633, 0.0535, 0.0504, 0.0332, -0.0093, -0.0008, -0.0119, -0.0284, -0.0164, -0.0451, -0.0061, -0.0191, -0.0175, -0.0464, -0.0734, -0.0958, -0.0462, -0.0339, -0.0306, -0.0306, -0.031, 0.0292, 0.0806, 0.0937, 0.145, 0.1703, 0.1735, 0.2226, 0.228, 0.2529, 0.2316, 0.2394, 0.3025, 0.2942, 0.3028, 0.2888, 0.2322, 0.2495, 0.2864, 0.2983, 0.2836, 0.317, 0.3111, 0.2714, 0.3252, 0.3203, 0.2922, 0.2844, 0.3553, 0.3103, 0.2965, 0.2668, 0.2874, 0.2776, 0.2763, 0.2763, 0.3005, 0.3001, 0.3146, 0.3768, 0.3768, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2033491494775267787", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-16T10:32:07+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "今後の $NBIS には強い確信を持ってる", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "強い確信をもってNBISの上昇を予想。METAから270億ドルの巨額AI支出契約獲得が根拠。", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "ja", "tweet_text": "@yasutaketin $META からとんでもない巨額契約がきた！元々は30億ドルだったけど、なんと270億ドルに増額。\n\n今後の $NBIS には強い確信を持ってる。", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "速報： $META が $NBIS と累計270億ドルという巨額のAI支出契約を締結しました。\nNebiusは、私がネオクラウドAIインフラ・データセンター関連で最も注目していた銘柄でした。\n経営陣が年間経常収益（ARR）70億〜90億ドルの目標達成に向けて実行に移していることを嬉しく思います。", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "yasutaketin", "ret_m1d": -0.13015023766576383, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.13015023766576383, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1200758967727108, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12251992349076146, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010074340893053035, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007630314175002373, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.10412016663043411, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.10412016663043411, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.10675072150040932, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.10446698401024546, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00263055486997521, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0003468173798113483, "ret_p1w": -0.12090877042486059, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12090877042486059, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1031813407704315, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10130993845482839, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017727429654429083, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019598831970032204, "ret_p1m": 0.2471312655334701, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2471312655334701, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.20628622036414623, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.23324111665351577, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04084504516932386, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013890148879954323, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4189, -0.3986, -0.3111, -0.282, -0.3067, -0.2982, -0.2982, -0.3255, -0.3374, -0.3441, -0.3554, -0.3554, -0.3073, -0.2851, -0.228, -0.2591, -0.2507, -0.2458, -0.1734, -0.1881, -0.2146, -0.2, -0.1626, -0.1626, -0.2353, -0.2386, -0.2541, -0.2722, -0.2956, -0.2463, -0.2266, -0.2691, -0.3439, -0.3211, -0.3073, -0.3655, -0.4311, -0.3369, -0.2847, -0.2931, -0.3176, -0.309, -0.2452, -0.2452, -0.249, -0.216, -0.1713, -0.2459, -0.2252, -0.21, -0.1827, -0.1923, -0.2977, -0.2991, -0.3315, -0.247, -0.2634, -0.3121, -0.2688, -0.2574, -0.1375, -0.168, -0.1302, 0.0, -0.1041, -0.0869, -0.0642, -0.0942, -0.1209, -0.1151, -0.1137, -0.1839, -0.2236, -0.2895, -0.2009, -0.2149, -0.162, -0.162, -0.1333, -0.0959, -0.0374, 0.0499, 0.1164, 0.1903, 0.2471, 0.2843, 0.2733, 0.2102, 0.2257, 0.2056, 0.2025, 0.2097, 0.1333, 0.1164, 0.0436, 0.0873, 0.0645, 0.1898, 0.3586, 0.3548, 0.5024, 0.4229, 0.3635, 0.4332, 0.3794, 0.5962, 0.7031, 0.6938, 0.5392, 0.5228, 0.4772, 0.6937, 0.654, 0.654, 0.6023, 0.6047, 0.7431, 0.7797, 0.7797, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2032049059104772347", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-12T11:00:23+00:00", "symbol": "TSEM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Don't quite think so with niche upstream suppliers like $SOI and $TSEM", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Niche upstream suppliers TSEM and SOI not priced in (bullish); LITE and COHR likely priced in (bearish).", "resolved_tickers": ["TSEM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "“Priced in”. Meanwhile $TSEM is chilling at -1.89% YTD.\n\nLot of retail are earlier than institutions. $AXTI was the perfect example before it went up 4x in the past three months.\n\nDon’t quite think so with niche upstream suppliers like $SOI and $TSEM but likely yes to $LITE and $COHR", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Can it be sell the news, or is it not priced in yet?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "csapagyi", "ret_m1d": 0.007592386695865372, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007592386695865372, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.007826700219926819, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.007826700219926819, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01541908691579219, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01541908691579219, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05204992509947859, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05204992509947859, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05771003460048496, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05771003460048496, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005660109501006372, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005660109501006372, "ret_p1w": 0.4010460650274903, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.4010460650274903, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.41044457214937435, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.41044457214937435, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009398507121884059, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009398507121884059, "ret_p1m": 0.7174792877129355, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.7174792877129355, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6945749520078615, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.6945749520078615, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022904335705073997, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022904335705073997, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0024, -0.031, -0.0502, -0.0156, 0.0052, -0.0016, 0.0215, 0.0332, 0.0332, 0.0259, 0.0217, 0.018, -0.0094, -0.0094, 0.027, 0.0063, 0.0316, 0.031, -0.0102, 0.0126, 0.0233, 0.0526, 0.0393, 0.0461, 0.0952, 0.0952, 0.0882, 0.1255, 0.0965, 0.085, 0.0718, 0.1188, 0.172, 0.1364, 0.1366, 0.1548, 0.1507, 0.0231, 0.0889, 0.1729, 0.2446, 0.1521, 0.1341, 0.1269, 0.086, 0.086, 0.0779, 0.0828, 0.0618, 0.0838, 0.075, 0.063, 0.0627, 0.0447, 0.0534, 0.1691, 0.059, 0.0418, 0.0169, -0.0671, -0.026, -0.014, 0.0076, 0.0, 0.052, 0.1681, 0.163, 0.1976, 0.401, 0.3804, 0.4521, 0.5254, 0.5922, 0.4736, 0.4503, 0.3378, 0.4803, 0.5781, 0.6686, 0.6686, 0.6044, 0.6101, 0.7182, 0.7194, 0.7175, 0.7671, 0.8062, 0.819, 0.8116, 0.9103, 0.8938, 0.8282, 0.7387, 0.6979, 0.6917, 0.7153, 0.6328, 0.6803, 0.8648, 0.8391, 0.8142, 0.9026, 0.8295, 0.7716, 0.7802, 0.9308, 0.8629, 1.2842, 1.3679, 1.3113, 1.0927, 1.1198, 1.2311, 1.3537, 1.391, 1.391, 1.434, 1.3434, 1.3241, 1.1531, 1.1531, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2032049059104772347", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-12T11:00:23+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "likely yes to $LITE and $COHR", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Niche upstream suppliers TSEM and SOI not priced in (bullish); LITE and COHR likely priced in (bearish).", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "“Priced in”. Meanwhile $TSEM is chilling at -1.89% YTD.\n\nLot of retail are earlier than institutions. $AXTI was the perfect example before it went up 4x in the past three months.\n\nDon’t quite think so with niche upstream suppliers like $SOI and $TSEM but likely yes to $LITE and $COHR", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Can it be sell the news, or is it not priced in yet?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "csapagyi", "ret_m1d": 0.09074968057817201, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09074968057817201, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07533059366237982, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07533059366237982, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01541908691579219, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01541908691579219, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010404279999869148, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010404279999869148, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01606438950087552, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01606438950087552, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005660109501006372, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005660109501006372, "ret_p1w": 0.2532746371886163, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.2532746371886163, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2626731443105004, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2626731443105004, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009398507121884059, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009398507121884059, "ret_p1m": 0.4564429688511582, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.4564429688511582, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.4335386331460842, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.4335386331460842, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022904335705073997, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022904335705073997, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4568, -0.4868, -0.4802, -0.4528, -0.3971, -0.3672, -0.3712, -0.3574, -0.3574, -0.3657, -0.3952, -0.3975, -0.4017, -0.4017, -0.3733, -0.4205, -0.3549, -0.3623, -0.4347, -0.4296, -0.4483, -0.4135, -0.4617, -0.4428, -0.4737, -0.4737, -0.4208, -0.4117, -0.4246, -0.4494, -0.4604, -0.3984, -0.3751, -0.3809, -0.364, -0.3127, -0.2938, -0.2444, -0.1813, -0.104, -0.0632, -0.0892, -0.0681, -0.053, -0.0866, -0.0866, -0.0254, -0.0354, 0.0317, 0.0839, 0.0952, 0.1172, 0.1742, 0.0989, 0.1377, 0.2713, 0.1272, 0.105, 0.0564, -0.0936, 0.0399, 0.0907, 0.0907, 0.0, 0.0104, 0.0142, 0.0543, 0.1375, 0.2533, 0.1465, 0.1832, 0.3017, 0.2615, 0.118, 0.1406, 0.0628, 0.1407, 0.2411, 0.3421, 0.3421, 0.2535, 0.3241, 0.4544, 0.4513, 0.4564, 0.414, 0.3842, 0.3375, 0.4466, 0.4512, 0.4529, 0.3584, 0.418, 0.3746, 0.431, 0.3954, 0.2845, 0.3932, 0.4646, 0.5419, 0.5845, 0.6143, 0.5327, 0.4488, 0.467, 0.7093, 0.6108, 0.6724, 0.6261, 0.5756, 0.4364, 0.4447, 0.409, 0.5655, 0.537, 0.537, 0.4784, 0.4646, 0.3969, 0.3877, 0.3877, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2032049059104772347", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-03-12T11:00:23+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "likely yes to $LITE and $COHR", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Niche upstream suppliers TSEM and SOI not priced in (bullish); LITE and COHR likely priced in (bearish).", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "“Priced in”. Meanwhile $TSEM is chilling at -1.89% YTD.\n\nLot of retail are earlier than institutions. $AXTI was the perfect example before it went up 4x in the past three months.\n\nDon’t quite think so with niche upstream suppliers like $SOI and $TSEM but likely yes to $LITE and $COHR", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Can it be sell the news, or is it not priced in yet?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "csapagyi", "ret_m1d": 0.04202760065522915, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04202760065522915, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.026608513739436956, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.026608513739436956, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01541908691579219, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01541908691579219, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0061756132465284885, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0061756132465284885, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01183572274753486, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01183572274753486, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005660109501006372, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005660109501006372, "ret_p1w": 0.14216439028626016, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.14216439028626016, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.15156289740814421, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.15156289740814421, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009398507121884059, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009398507121884059, "ret_p1m": 0.274505717887529, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.274505717887529, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.251601382182455, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.251601382182455, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022904335705073997, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022904335705073997, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2604, -0.2738, -0.2936, -0.2717, -0.2298, -0.2084, -0.2047, -0.2068, -0.2068, -0.2054, -0.2166, -0.2257, -0.235, -0.235, -0.1946, -0.2276, -0.1955, -0.2058, -0.2823, -0.262, -0.2325, -0.2124, -0.2369, -0.1878, -0.2082, -0.2082, -0.1982, -0.165, -0.1598, -0.1837, -0.1803, -0.113, -0.0834, -0.1053, -0.1206, -0.078, -0.0501, -0.1255, -0.1328, -0.0563, 0.0049, -0.0535, -0.0729, -0.1043, -0.0996, -0.0996, -0.0883, -0.072, -0.0364, 0.0286, 0.0316, 0.0563, 0.1104, 0.0368, 0.0732, 0.2389, 0.1639, 0.1392, 0.0522, -0.023, 0.0458, 0.0803, 0.042, 0.0, 0.0062, 0.0253, 0.0188, 0.0661, 0.1422, 0.0512, 0.0571, 0.1287, 0.1275, 0.0084, 0.0092, -0.0896, -0.0127, 0.0271, 0.07, 0.07, 0.0495, 0.0573, 0.1679, 0.1778, 0.2745, 0.2763, 0.299, 0.2774, 0.3595, 0.43, 0.4403, 0.4249, 0.4526, 0.3996, 0.393, 0.3327, 0.2599, 0.2639, 0.3251, 0.3657, 0.3673, 0.3915, 0.4286, 0.323, 0.3896, 0.5737, 0.5502, 0.6733, 0.6784, 0.5852, 0.5038, 0.4657, 0.4859, 0.5667, 0.5649, 0.5649, 0.5806, 0.5757, 0.5624, 0.4982, 0.4982, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2030002711572443169", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-06T19:28:56+00:00", "symbol": "WULF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "might be a better idea to long $WULF or $CIFR that have agreements with Google", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefers WULF and CIFR over IREN as power/AI data center plays; both have Google agreements and no dilution overhang.", "resolved_tickers": ["WULF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@eddyluxe_ If there’s a demand for power, might be a better idea to long $WULF or $CIFR that have agreements with Google.\n\nIt comes without a $6B new share dilution, and all that selling pressure against you in any rallies.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I'm outta IREN for now, but this seems overly bearish.\n\nThere is still real demand for power and they are one of the few AI data centers who are executing well and have gigawatts, with more in development.\n\nIf the market believes a deal is coming, we'll likely see another nice", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "eddyluxe_", "ret_m1d": 0.1076363303444603, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.1076363303444603, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.09435511661131879, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.09435511661131879, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013281213733141506, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013281213733141506, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.007272755015980126, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.007272755015980126, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0014872699970589487, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0014872699970589487, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008760025013039074, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008760025013039074, "ret_p1w": 0.06690909645774146, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06690909645774146, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08191546349587175, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08191546349587175, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.015006367038130297, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015006367038130297, "ret_p1m": 0.13090910478071738, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13090910478071738, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14823627769745795, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14823627769745795, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017327172916740574, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017327172916740574, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1338, 0.1462, 0.1513, 0.0422, -0.0916, -0.0553, -0.1585, -0.1425, -0.0895, -0.0931, -0.0967, -0.1047, -0.1047, -0.1455, -0.1695, -0.1891, -0.1644, -0.1644, -0.0735, -0.0095, -0.0415, -0.0916, -0.0662, -0.0473, 0.0044, 0.0284, 0.0335, 0.0058, 0.0073, 0.0073, -0.0305, -0.0458, -0.0625, 0.0269, 0.0029, 0.1135, 0.0989, 0.0575, -0.0276, -0.0225, 0.0764, 0.0095, -0.1331, 0.0393, 0.2109, 0.2095, 0.1658, 0.1571, 0.1825, 0.1825, 0.1767, 0.1185, 0.1251, 0.0916, 0.1404, 0.2771, 0.3033, 0.3004, 0.1796, 0.1651, 0.072, 0.1178, 0.1076, 0.0, 0.0073, 0.0436, 0.1069, 0.0669, 0.0669, 0.1935, 0.1665, 0.1127, 0.1447, 0.0982, 0.1775, 0.1796, 0.2262, 0.1164, 0.0829, -0.0036, 0.0495, 0.0531, 0.0822, 0.0822, 0.1309, 0.2051, 0.3127, 0.384, 0.3724, 0.4145, 0.5236, 0.4305, 0.4044, 0.5011, 0.4909, 0.4378, 0.4945, 0.4815, 0.4553, 0.5585, 0.5127, 0.456, 0.5804, 0.5498, 0.6211, 0.7084, 0.872, 0.7469, 0.7011, 0.6996, 0.6582, 0.6815, 0.7578, 0.6233, 0.5375, 0.552, 0.5731, 0.6669, 0.6596, 0.6596, 0.8313, 0.9447, 0.92, 0.8589, 0.8589, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2030002711572443169", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-06T19:28:56+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "might be a better idea to long $WULF or $CIFR that have agreements with Google", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefers WULF and CIFR over IREN as power/AI data center plays; both have Google agreements and no dilution overhang.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@eddyluxe_ If there’s a demand for power, might be a better idea to long $WULF or $CIFR that have agreements with Google.\n\nIt comes without a $6B new share dilution, and all that selling pressure against you in any rallies.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I'm outta IREN for now, but this seems overly bearish.\n\nThere is still real demand for power and they are one of the few AI data centers who are executing well and have gigawatts, with more in development.\n\nIf the market believes a deal is coming, we'll likely see another nice", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "eddyluxe_", "ret_m1d": 0.11233478310035871, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.11233478310035871, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.09905356936721721, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0912844333665872, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013281213733141506, "bench_c_m1d": 0.021050349733771512, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.050660832588494076, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.050660832588494076, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.041900807575455, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03266970746686404, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008760025013039074, "bench_c_p1d": 0.017991125121630036, "ret_p1w": 0.033773865052282304, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.033773865052282304, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0487802320904126, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.037342867698988425, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.015006367038130297, "bench_c_p1w": -0.003569002646706121, "ret_p1m": -0.019823752302349784, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.019823752302349784, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.00249657938560921, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.017347751152149926, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017327172916740574, "bench_c_p1m": -0.002476001150199858, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.4361, 0.3568, 0.3862, 0.2518, 0.0822, 0.1006, 0.0565, 0.1123, 0.1902, 0.1997, 0.1681, 0.1909, 0.1909, 0.1153, 0.1072, 0.0712, 0.0837, 0.0837, 0.1894, 0.3333, 0.2878, 0.1806, 0.2151, 0.221, 0.2981, 0.3399, 0.3311, 0.2863, 0.3803, 0.3803, 0.3157, 0.301, 0.2768, 0.29, 0.2107, 0.3767, 0.3928, 0.2996, 0.1718, 0.1608, 0.1938, 0.0463, -0.0675, 0.0815, 0.2305, 0.2555, 0.1953, 0.1821, 0.2056, 0.2056, 0.1483, 0.1322, 0.1601, 0.0756, 0.1175, 0.257, 0.2195, 0.21, 0.1454, 0.1571, 0.08, 0.1777, 0.1123, 0.0, 0.0507, 0.025, 0.036, 0.0066, 0.0338, 0.1116, 0.1079, 0.0771, 0.0749, 0.0286, 0.0932, 0.0925, 0.1659, 0.0536, 0.0092, -0.1178, -0.0551, -0.072, -0.0587, -0.0587, -0.0198, 0.0286, 0.1322, 0.2012, 0.2137, 0.304, 0.3546, 0.3216, 0.2731, 0.4222, 0.4163, 0.3245, 0.4273, 0.3722, 0.3363, 0.3333, 0.2673, 0.2423, 0.3025, 0.2511, 0.3135, 0.6226, 0.6087, 0.5187, 0.5088, 0.489, 0.4728, 0.5595, 0.6366, 0.4927, 0.4038, 0.3803, 0.4302, 0.58, 0.6131, 0.6131, 0.6902, 0.8473, 0.8054, 0.7364, 0.7364, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2020708815646449887", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-09T03:58:19+00:00", "symbol": "RDDT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$RDDT is personally my choice", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long RDDT as a pick among stocks oversold on AI-disruption fears; network-effect moat misunderstood by market.", "resolved_tickers": ["RDDT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I don’t know enough about $APP to comment. \n\nThat being said I’ve been looking for stocks sold off partly because of “AI” disruption narratives and $RDDT is personally my choice.\n\nMarkets misunderstand network effect moat. I can make Reddit in a day but value comes from everyone agreeing to use it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit \"You can't disrupt Reddit by vibecoding it with Opus 4.6 and Cursor, because the main point of it is network effect.\"\n💯\n\nDo you think the same applies for $APP?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "hun_chang23441", "ret_m1d": -0.013475402766239375, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013475402766239375, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.008676709158121132, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0038929684430077938, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009582434323231581, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0581345415199126, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0581345415199126, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06077170195199344, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05214546276960719, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00598907875030541, "ret_p1w": -0.014745389556094612, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.014745389556094612, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0028351802282485794, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.004932871729719568, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01967826128581418, "ret_p1m": -0.053689856888841314, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.053689856888841314, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.029523794273787485, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.057967779636738825, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "bench_c_p1m": 0.004277922747897511, "ret_p3m": 0.15669529133854376, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15669529133854376, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09959038761536032, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.14921259362000439, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "bench_c_p3m": 0.007482697718539377, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.4309, 0.3364, 0.3638, 0.3232, 0.3101, 0.3248, 0.2832, 0.2945, 0.3758, 0.5414, 0.4644, 0.4644, 0.5272, 0.5761, 0.5716, 0.5581, 0.5715, 0.6517, 0.6717, 0.6658, 0.6799, 0.6477, 0.5859, 0.5416, 0.5804, 0.6039, 0.6321, 0.6452, 0.6449, 0.5932, 0.5934, 0.5934, 0.5928, 0.6555, 0.6464, 0.6218, 0.6218, 0.7066, 0.7218, 0.7907, 0.8026, 0.7917, 0.7254, 0.7216, 0.8268, 0.7806, 0.6139, 0.6298, 0.6298, 0.59, 0.4825, 0.5136, 0.5442, 0.5072, 0.3849, 0.3626, 0.3408, 0.2718, 0.2498, 0.167, 0.0773, 0.0657, -0.0135, 0.0, 0.0581, -0.0173, -0.0753, -0.0147, -0.0147, -0.0177, 0.0404, 0.031, 0.0595, 0.0051, 0.0024, 0.0559, 0.0671, 0.0287, 0.0379, 0.0279, 0.0392, 0.0183, -0.0166, -0.0203, -0.0537, -0.0326, -0.067, -0.0662, -0.0123, 0.0183, 0.0074, -0.0255, -0.0133, -0.0055, -0.0397, -0.0149, -0.1022, -0.1404, -0.1242, -0.05, -0.0392, -0.0405, -0.0405, -0.024, -0.0042, 0.023, -0.0237, -0.0142, 0.0537, 0.0903, 0.1181, 0.1461, 0.1556, 0.1731, 0.1064, 0.1592, 0.0792, 0.0928, 0.1303, 0.0437, 0.0424, 0.0387, 0.1745, 0.1928, 0.2109, 0.1751, 0.1567, 0.0992, 0.1254, 0.0749, 0.0873, 0.1028, 0.1159, 0.1225, 0.0927, 0.0351, 0.0586, -0.0005, -0.0005, 0.0205, 0.0878, 0.1831, 0.2417, 0.2417, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2021374206185963683", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-11T00:02:20+00:00", "symbol": "SNDK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Ended up buying the 7.8% drop today", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bought SNDK on a 7.8% dip the author views as unrelated to Samsung HBM4 news.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNDK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Let’s keep it a secret from reporters that Samsung HBM4 has nothing to do with $SNDK.\n\n“The [Sandisk] pullback came after reports that Samsung plans to begin mass production of HBM4 memory chips later this month.”\n\nEnded up buying the 7.8% drop today. https://t.co/22T8dZpLJ7", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.09627258254344095, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09627258254344095, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0965036947583715, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0965036947583715, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00023111221493055112, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00023111221493055112, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0516400537008328, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0516400537008328, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.067088927928734, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.067088927928734, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0154488742279012, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0154488742279012, "ret_p1w": 0.0017686079872809568, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0017686079872809568, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.009962787532726614, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.009962787532726614, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.008194179545445657, "bench_c_p1w": -0.008194179545445657, "ret_p1m": 0.03250238528361726, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03250238528361726, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06993239268840667, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06993239268840667, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03743000740478941, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03743000740478941, "ret_p3m": 1.5821069664131495, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.5821069664131495, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.5107748402055374, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.5107748402055374, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07133212620761209, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07133212620761209, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5759, -0.5564, -0.5913, -0.5896, -0.673, -0.6658, -0.6213, -0.6321, -0.6412, -0.6412, -0.6275, -0.6493, -0.6574, -0.6757, -0.6441, -0.6188, -0.6238, -0.6338, -0.6115, -0.5969, -0.656, -0.6632, -0.6508, -0.6549, -0.6338, -0.6035, -0.5978, -0.5914, -0.5827, -0.5827, -0.5828, -0.5925, -0.5992, -0.6039, -0.6039, -0.5408, -0.5427, -0.4166, -0.4101, -0.4418, -0.3703, -0.3505, -0.3496, -0.3529, -0.3172, -0.3099, -0.3099, -0.244, -0.1636, -0.16, -0.2094, -0.2145, -0.1967, -0.1196, -0.1002, -0.0385, 0.11, 0.1605, -0.0247, -0.0386, -0.0023, -0.0266, -0.0963, 0.0, 0.0516, 0.0454, 0.0454, -0.0146, 0.0018, 0.0363, 0.0845, 0.112, 0.0654, 0.0551, 0.0877, 0.0601, 0.0329, -0.0566, -0.0005, -0.0563, -0.1201, -0.0177, 0.0326, 0.0936, 0.0325, 0.1039, 0.174, 0.2016, 0.2575, 0.2882, 0.1842, 0.1721, 0.1721, 0.131, 0.0064, 0.0275, -0.0448, 0.0601, 0.1558, 0.1706, 0.1706, 0.209, 0.186, 0.3029, 0.4208, 0.4212, 0.5892, 0.5758, 0.4878, 0.5341, 0.5367, 0.5234, 0.5075, 0.6336, 0.5558, 0.6517, 0.7856, 0.6724, 0.7756, 0.8295, 0.9805, 1.0954, 1.3464, 1.3526, 1.2357, 1.6068, 1.5821, 1.4227, 1.4147, 1.3071, 1.3486, 1.2241, 1.308, 1.3235, 1.5732, 1.4672, 1.4672, 1.6522, 1.6528, 1.7391, 1.8281, 1.8281, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2034956432844759416", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-20T11:33:15+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "AXT is inherently super valuable", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AXTI: controls InP feedstock/refinery bottleneck, making it inherently valuable upstream of wafer production.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@AlphaAllegro There’s two different bottlenecks. One is feedstock/refineries that $AXTI controls.\n\nAnd then is InP substrate production… \n\nIf you can’t get the materials, you can’t make the wafers. Which is why AXT is inherently super valuable", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit im surprised your not more interested in NOK given their InP biz in the US...    js-", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "AlphaAllegro", "ret_m1d": 0.07098079563020243, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07098079563020243, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05643651622796053, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04452130752978967, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0145442794022419, "bench_c_m1d": 0.026459488100412765, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.18805310559178756, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.18805310559178756, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.17755308634684974, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.17084669272798636, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01050001924493782, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0172064128638012, "ret_p1w": 0.11780971961483666, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11780971961483666, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14013572961411114, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14507486101067835, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.022326009999274476, "bench_c_p1w": -0.027265141395841686, "ret_p1m": 0.4520648912055265, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4520648912055265, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.35932245368969884, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2461595961192422, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09274243751582767, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2059052950862843, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7301, -0.7233, -0.7233, -0.7166, -0.731, -0.7087, -0.6986, -0.6986, -0.691, -0.6927, -0.6281, -0.5555, -0.5238, -0.5761, -0.59, -0.6034, -0.5926, -0.5258, -0.5927, -0.5927, -0.6053, -0.6353, -0.6696, -0.6792, -0.6718, -0.6829, -0.6897, -0.698, -0.6582, -0.6139, -0.6361, -0.6543, -0.6233, -0.5564, -0.488, -0.5511, -0.5059, -0.543, -0.5531, -0.5531, -0.5721, -0.566, -0.561, -0.4528, -0.4758, -0.3532, -0.2447, -0.3156, -0.3013, -0.146, -0.2301, -0.2786, -0.2847, -0.4032, -0.2891, -0.1833, -0.1268, -0.1385, -0.0992, -0.1079, -0.1822, -0.101, 0.071, 0.0, 0.1881, 0.2618, 0.2417, 0.0787, 0.1178, -0.0278, 0.0505, -0.1309, -0.0258, -0.0258, -0.2258, -0.1619, -0.0195, 0.1637, 0.1833, 0.2251, 0.2408, 0.1602, 0.5077, 0.5221, 0.4521, 0.3822, 0.6029, 0.3877, 0.4041, 0.2933, 0.2668, 0.3103, 0.4605, 0.7699, 0.9543, 0.9829, 0.9327, 0.9989, 1.1453, 1.3195, 1.2659, 1.2482, 1.1198, 1.2821, 0.9521, 1.0811, 0.9287, 1.2312, 1.5964, 1.5964, 1.4447, 1.2635, 1.1331, 0.9019, 0.9019, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013703080806883488", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-20T20:00:01+00:00", "symbol": "AVAV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I personally added since I thought this selloff was stupid", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AVAV; author added on the dip, viewing 17% selloff as unwarranted after contract renegotiation to long-term volume deal.", "resolved_tickers": ["AVAV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I mean this is the $CRDO Amazon wire incident equivalent. But in the Defense sector.\n\nBe $AVAV:\n\n-> Renegotiates contract from R&D type to long term volume contract. \n-> Media: \"Oh no the fancy Scar program got halted\" \n-> Sells off 17% for no reason. \n\nup to you though, I personally added since I thought this selloff was stupid.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I have been debating whether to add to my position on this dip.  I already have a decent allocation and lots of green behind me on it. Hard call, it ran up so fast recently.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Para_Capital", "ret_m1d": 0.18728268596731934, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.18728268596731934, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.16650289039799038, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.16667489185942852, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.020779795569328963, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02060779410789082, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03402946377088012, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03402946377088012, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04557054297297458, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05133513764435327, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011541079202094462, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01730567387347315, "ret_p1w": -0.06443230795849408, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06443230795849408, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09086458945193177, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07378837767000435, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02643228149343768, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009356069711510262, "ret_p1m": -0.19773949136203817, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.19773949136203817, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.21059406449683304, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2681240578378169, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012854573134794878, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07038456647577873, "ret_p3m": -0.4214996231532573, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4214996231532573, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.47241526174280946, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.48550947879848394, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091563858955217, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06400985564522665, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1009, 0.144, 0.1488, 0.1482, 0.1504, 0.1056, 0.1179, 0.1118, 0.1033, 0.0599, -0.008, -0.0037, 0.009, -0.0085, -0.0229, -0.107, -0.1199, -0.1427, -0.1509, -0.1525, -0.172, -0.1763, -0.1629, -0.1584, -0.1562, -0.1562, -0.1554, -0.2209, -0.1993, -0.1786, -0.1313, -0.1587, -0.1463, -0.1495, -0.2588, -0.2452, -0.2777, -0.2888, -0.2909, -0.3076, -0.3028, -0.2656, -0.2282, -0.2108, -0.2121, -0.2121, -0.2294, -0.247, -0.2626, -0.269, -0.269, -0.2258, -0.1012, -0.0419, -0.0375, 0.0425, 0.1031, 0.1203, 0.0996, 0.1539, 0.1441, 0.1873, 0.1873, 0.0, -0.034, -0.0567, -0.0699, -0.0853, -0.0644, -0.0724, -0.1138, -0.1587, -0.184, -0.1374, -0.2224, -0.2841, -0.2227, -0.1709, -0.2044, -0.2643, -0.2894, -0.263, -0.263, -0.2052, -0.1977, -0.1488, -0.2002, -0.2102, -0.2074, -0.2287, -0.2154, -0.2377, -0.3704, -0.31, -0.3155, -0.3334, -0.3055, -0.3131, -0.3304, -0.3722, -0.3597, -0.3742, -0.3597, -0.3275, -0.3477, -0.3613, -0.4025, -0.3766, -0.4071, -0.3985, -0.4079, -0.4426, -0.4652, -0.4468, -0.4454, -0.4428, -0.4428, -0.428, -0.4353, -0.435, -0.463, -0.4569, -0.4125, -0.4121, -0.4003, -0.3896, -0.4215, -0.4039, -0.3651, -0.365, -0.3898, -0.4068, -0.4084, -0.4187, -0.4454, -0.4106, -0.441, -0.4552, -0.4962, -0.473, -0.4917, -0.4914, -0.497, -0.4897, -0.5135, -0.5005, -0.5225, -0.5119, -0.5158, -0.5048, -0.5071, -0.4735, -0.4735, -0.4492, -0.4521, -0.3521, -0.3737, -0.3737, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2025548194634256782", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-22T12:28:17+00:00", "symbol": "EWY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Long OTM calls is effectively calls on Sk Hynix/Samsung at 44% IV... Vega expansion on 2028 OTM calls if they go from 44% to 65%+ would increase option values from volatility expansion alone... This is a volatility expansion trade coupled with the added benefit of long SK Hynix/Samsung during the memory, robotics, foundry supercycles for the next two years.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long EWY 2028 OTM calls for vega expansion (44%→65%+ IV) plus directional upside on Samsung/SK Hynix through memory/robotics/foundry supercycles.", "resolved_tickers": ["EWY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "2028 IV for $EWY will likely go much higher (~44% right now).\n\nRealized should be priced around ~65-68%+. \n\nSo, 2028 OTM leap call value may double again from volatility Vega Expansion alone. \n\nMost people don’t this but top holdings include: \n\n1. SK Square (#5 concentration).  90% of their NAV is SK Hynix.\n\n2. Samsung Life Insurance, NAV as one of the largest shareholders of Samsung Electronics. \n\n3. Samsung C&T (large part of $EWY) owns ~5% of Samsung as its NAV. \n\n4. Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance: 1.49% stake in Samsung Electronics (given how big Samsung Electronics is, it makes up a large part of NAV)\n\n5. Samsung C&T -> owns Samsung Life (which indirectly owns Samsung Electronics)\n\n6. Samsung Electro-Mechanics / Samsung SDS -> Largely tethered to Samsung Electronics Capex cycles.\n\n7. Samsung Electronics Preferred Shares - Non-voting preferred shares are treated as separate entities, but increases in weighting.  \n\nPass through concentration of SK Hynix and Samsung weightings is significantly higher than algorithms and markets think. \n\nAnd you see that realized, as Indexes with broad diversification don’t go up and down 6% a day depending on Samsung/Sk Hynix performance. Or 42% in 2 months... or 145% in 12 months...\n\nIf the ETF rebalances quarterly, you get more weighting into more volatile names like SK Hynix  and the weighting of smaller owners that own Samsung and SK Hynix as NAV go up more than others. \n\nThis is compounded with unrealized volatility that MMs have not priced in yet from:\n\n- 10x Leverage Samsung / Sk Hynix perps now. \n- 2x leveraged Samsung / Sk Hynix ETFs approvals and release soon. \n\nDynamically hedging both of these will increase volatility on Samsung + SK Hynix and by second order effect -> $EWY. \n\nSo, it's not a joke when you say its SK Index is basically Samsung and Sk Hynix. \n\nAnd that 44% IV pricing comes from the flat 10 year Korean index. \n\nWhen the new volatility from the memory supercycle is structural. \n\nTLDR: \n\n- Long OTM calls is effectively calls on Sk Hynix/Samsung at 44% IV. \n\n- Individually they likely sit around 73-88%. \n\n- When you account for other names, realized IV may sit in the mid 60's. \n\n- Vega expansion on 2028 OTM calls if they go from 44% to 65%+ would increase option values from volatility expansion alone.\n\n- There are genuine inefficiencies with the markets sometimes and this looks like one of them. \n\nThis is a volatility expansion trade coupled with the added benefit of long SK Hynix/Samsung during the memory, robotics, foundry supercycles for the next two years.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Probably up there with my most legendary calls to date?\n\nYour portfolio would have doubled in a week off IV expansion alone.\n\nHope you listened anon - $EWY.\n\nIV: 32% -&gt; 44.7% and still going. https://t.co/UPAzgzKsfx", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.018521190054074044, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.018521190054074044, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008204528667010491, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008204528667010491, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.037688441385384186, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.037688441385384186, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030419988454989166, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030419988454989166, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "ret_p1w": 0.05915283599321519, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05915283599321519, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05330575028032358, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05330575028032358, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "ret_p1m": -0.0757358422155805, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0757358422155805, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03554445989111776, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03554445989111776, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "ret_p3m": 0.33826269981975354, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.33826269981975354, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.24688048298196907, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.24688048298196907, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3572, -0.3572, -0.362, -0.3638, -0.3536, -0.347, -0.355, -0.3379, -0.3325, -0.329, -0.3207, -0.3333, -0.3494, -0.3489, -0.3574, -0.3641, -0.3534, -0.3443, -0.3413, -0.3345, -0.3209, -0.3209, -0.312, -0.2913, -0.292, -0.3021, -0.3021, -0.2662, -0.2475, -0.2275, -0.2317, -0.2348, -0.2183, -0.218, -0.228, -0.2129, -0.2028, -0.1944, -0.1944, -0.2034, -0.1697, -0.1673, -0.1531, -0.1578, -0.1192, -0.0986, -0.1062, -0.1212, -0.1319, -0.1075, -0.1367, -0.137, -0.1047, -0.0951, -0.1066, -0.0625, -0.061, -0.0383, -0.0383, -0.0619, -0.0457, -0.0294, 0.0185, 0.0, 0.0377, 0.0688, 0.0798, 0.0866, 0.0592, -0.05, -0.0354, -0.0973, -0.0902, -0.0388, -0.0646, -0.0463, -0.1134, -0.1088, -0.0445, -0.035, -0.0533, -0.0322, -0.0971, -0.0394, -0.0757, -0.083, -0.1386, -0.1315, -0.1642, -0.1169, -0.0939, -0.1179, -0.1179, -0.0959, -0.0869, 0.0055, -0.0001, -0.0041, 0.0139, 0.053, 0.0403, 0.0587, 0.0935, 0.0775, 0.0538, 0.1184, 0.081, 0.1096, 0.1251, 0.1082, 0.1052, 0.1541, 0.163, 0.1744, 0.2453, 0.3064, 0.2688, 0.3654, 0.3844, 0.2814, 0.3541, 0.3677, 0.284, 0.2642, 0.2492, 0.293, 0.3383, 0.3067, 0.3067, 0.4404, 0.4235, 0.4818, 0.4776, 0.4776, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2036515409357316247", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-24T18:48:04+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Much better opportunities out than $IREN", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefers NBIS and AAOI over IREN in the same sector; IREN better after dilution-driven re-entry.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Much better opportunities out than $IREN. \n\nIf you want the same sector, $NBIS is objectively better when you look at how they finance capex ( $NVDA $2B funding )…\n\nThen there’s others like $AAOI that leapfrogs $IREN revenue + profit, with less capex.\n\nBut if you still want to hold $IREN, probably better to re-enter after everyone gets diluted to fund their buildout and reap the rewards after.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I plead guilty as charged. But as long term investment?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "NieMehrKrieg", "ret_m1d": 0.025291851715514513, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.025291851715514513, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.021923695569122437, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02549473973866523, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00020288802315071575, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.007538944098820055, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007538944098820055, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0019661851514340967, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006321383734021024, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0012175603647990307, "ret_p1w": -0.1663424204829952, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1663424204829952, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.16199451354745287, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.16816872232587798, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0018263018428827937, "ret_p1m": 0.17679962661979687, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17679962661979687, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08795730146045999, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11734345012316294, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05945617649663393, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0209, -0.0199, -0.0416, -0.0686, -0.0815, -0.0815, 0.0384, 0.1732, 0.1165, 0.0609, 0.1109, 0.1194, 0.224, 0.2887, 0.286, 0.2619, 0.4061, 0.4061, 0.3196, 0.3006, 0.2709, 0.3784, 0.2733, 0.4589, 0.5306, 0.4553, 0.3069, 0.2909, 0.3227, 0.0929, -0.0323, 0.0173, 0.1223, 0.044, 0.0377, -0.0265, 0.0268, 0.0268, -0.0036, 0.0233, 0.0528, -0.0277, 0.0302, 0.1053, 0.0708, 0.0759, -0.0041, 0.0066, -0.0552, 0.0661, -0.0242, -0.1075, -0.0554, -0.073, 0.0209, 0.0061, 0.0112, 0.0929, 0.0447, 0.0265, 0.0131, 0.0041, 0.0253, 0.0, 0.0075, -0.0893, -0.1466, -0.231, -0.1663, -0.171, -0.1544, -0.1544, -0.1457, -0.1308, -0.1043, -0.0987, -0.0438, 0.0474, 0.152, 0.1873, 0.16, 0.1702, 0.1848, 0.0985, 0.1768, 0.2651, 0.2315, 0.1761, 0.0807, 0.0423, 0.1068, 0.1104, 0.2033, 0.3312, 0.483, 0.3825, 0.4883, 0.3412, 0.3755, 0.3417, 0.4202, 0.2875, 0.2271, 0.161, 0.2819, 0.412, 0.3821, 0.3821, 0.4538, 0.6498, 0.5576, 0.5452, 0.5452, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2036515409357316247", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-24T18:48:04+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS is objectively better when you look at how they finance capex", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefers NBIS and AAOI over IREN in the same sector; IREN better after dilution-driven re-entry.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Much better opportunities out than $IREN. \n\nIf you want the same sector, $NBIS is objectively better when you look at how they finance capex ( $NVDA $2B funding )…\n\nThen there’s others like $AAOI that leapfrogs $IREN revenue + profit, with less capex.\n\nBut if you still want to hold $IREN, probably better to re-enter after everyone gets diluted to fund their buildout and reap the rewards after.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I plead guilty as charged. But as long term investment?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "NieMehrKrieg", "ret_m1d": -0.006613890105384046, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006613890105384046, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009982046251776122, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0208314899443518, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014217599838967754, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0015663795147942139, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0015663795147942139, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0040063794325917446, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0012231930187256435, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0027895725335198573, "ret_p1w": -0.0970324703727734, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0970324703727734, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09268456343723108, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0946029135497789, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0024295568229945053, "ret_p1m": 0.3588024925033948, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3588024925033948, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2699601673440579, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2980628167468349, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06073967575655992, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2069, -0.2378, -0.2512, -0.2588, -0.2716, -0.2716, -0.2172, -0.1922, -0.1277, -0.1627, -0.1533, -0.1478, -0.066, -0.0825, -0.1125, -0.0959, -0.0538, -0.0538, -0.1359, -0.1396, -0.1572, -0.1776, -0.2041, -0.1483, -0.126, -0.174, -0.2586, -0.2328, -0.2172, -0.283, -0.3571, -0.2507, -0.1917, -0.2012, -0.2289, -0.2191, -0.1471, -0.1471, -0.1513, -0.1141, -0.0635, -0.1479, -0.1244, -0.1073, -0.0765, -0.0873, -0.2064, -0.208, -0.2446, -0.1491, -0.1676, -0.2226, -0.1738, -0.1608, -0.0254, -0.0598, -0.0171, 0.13, 0.0124, 0.0318, 0.0575, 0.0236, -0.0066, 0.0, 0.0016, -0.0778, -0.1226, -0.1971, -0.097, -0.1128, -0.053, -0.053, -0.0206, 0.0217, 0.0878, 0.1864, 0.2616, 0.3451, 0.4093, 0.4513, 0.4389, 0.3675, 0.3851, 0.3624, 0.3588, 0.367, 0.2807, 0.2615, 0.1793, 0.2287, 0.2029, 0.3444, 0.5353, 0.5309, 0.6978, 0.608, 0.5408, 0.6195, 0.5587, 0.8038, 0.9245, 0.914, 0.7393, 0.7207, 0.6693, 0.9139, 0.869, 0.869, 0.8106, 0.8133, 0.9697, 1.0111, 1.0111, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2036515409357316247", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-24T18:48:04+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI that leapfrogs $IREN revenue + profit, with less capex", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefers NBIS and AAOI over IREN in the same sector; IREN better after dilution-driven re-entry.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Much better opportunities out than $IREN. \n\nIf you want the same sector, $NBIS is objectively better when you look at how they finance capex ( $NVDA $2B funding )…\n\nThen there’s others like $AAOI that leapfrogs $IREN revenue + profit, with less capex.\n\nBut if you still want to hold $IREN, probably better to re-enter after everyone gets diluted to fund their buildout and reap the rewards after.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I plead guilty as charged. But as long term investment?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "NieMehrKrieg", "ret_m1d": -0.15926250348229276, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.15926250348229276, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.16263065962868484, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.16263065962868484, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004477630635629115, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004477630635629115, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0010951283117568433, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0010951283117568433, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "ret_p1w": -0.25733103419958103, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.25733103419958103, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2529831272640387, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2529831272640387, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "ret_p1m": 0.311852468544489, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.311852468544489, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.22301014338515213, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.22301014338515213, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.64, -0.6737, -0.6773, -0.6838, -0.6939, -0.6939, -0.6523, -0.6928, -0.661, -0.6659, -0.7102, -0.7011, -0.704, -0.6999, -0.6974, -0.6752, -0.6748, -0.6748, -0.6553, -0.663, -0.6651, -0.6864, -0.6937, -0.6717, -0.6029, -0.6526, -0.6171, -0.6123, -0.5951, -0.6497, -0.6652, -0.6111, -0.5794, -0.5743, -0.5751, -0.6138, -0.6097, -0.6097, -0.6145, -0.6186, -0.5875, -0.5463, -0.5263, -0.506, -0.4897, -0.5286, -0.2605, -0.1, -0.1629, -0.1246, -0.112, -0.1608, -0.0288, 0.0579, 0.1151, -0.0677, -0.15, -0.1741, -0.2421, -0.1867, -0.1052, -0.2314, -0.1593, 0.0, 0.0045, -0.1447, -0.1378, -0.2521, -0.2573, -0.2419, -0.0877, -0.0877, -0.0566, 0.0328, 0.1651, 0.1703, 0.3222, 0.345, 0.2853, 0.2515, 0.3812, 0.3996, 0.4352, 0.3219, 0.3119, 0.2092, 0.4238, 0.2799, 0.2051, 0.3418, 0.443, 0.6112, 0.5187, 0.5853, 0.5675, 0.3832, 0.3076, 0.6234, 0.653, 0.9587, 0.7873, 0.6713, 0.5212, 0.5042, 0.4509, 0.5523, 0.5934, 0.5934, 0.5594, 0.5788, 0.4839, 0.3908, 0.3908, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028112194949513586", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-01T14:16:42+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Don't think sum of parts is priced in properly but I'd expect Nebius to be rerated after their silent buildout phase ends and they start turning capex to fcf", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long NBIS: sum-of-parts undervalued across 5 business lines; expects rerating as buildout phase ends and capex converts to FCF by ~Feb 2027.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NBIS is my actually favorite Neocloud out of the bunch. It’s really nuanced but they actually are basically 5 different companies all scaling triple digits y/y.\n\nBiggest fan of their robotaxi division working with $UBER and Clickhouse would likely command higher valuations in the future than $15B (they own ~1/4th).\n\nThis is on top of their DC business expected to come online and bring ~$7-9B ARR by Feb 2027 report. \n\nDon’t think sum of parts is priced in properly but I’d expect Nebius to be rerated after their silent buildout phase ends and they start turning capex to fcf", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Long NVDA, short basket of CRWV, NBIS and IREN.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ORadiocirc18583", "ret_m1d": 0.0019778079436405527, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0019778079436405527, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0025460636278469284, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00045069612454962105, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0015271118190909316, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04625864174984662, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04625864174984662, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03744430326705095, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.047022132725646926, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0007634909758003072, "ret_p1w": 0.04318207024424714, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04318207024424714, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05499765116776201, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.045812146658927855, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0026300764146807154, "ret_p1m": 0.14009449182206213, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14009449182206213, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.19001423339724588, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.19656548692456421, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.056470995102502086, "ret_p3m": 1.4869793541932705, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.4869793541932705, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.3845859750273626, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.494001484198031, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": -0.007022130004760263, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0869, 0.1295, 0.0772, 0.1024, 0.0593, 0.0283, 0.0359, -0.0365, -0.1084, -0.1105, -0.171, -0.142, -0.017, 0.0244, -0.0108, 0.0013, 0.0013, -0.0376, -0.0546, -0.0642, -0.0803, -0.0803, -0.0116, 0.02, 0.1014, 0.0571, 0.0691, 0.076, 0.1793, 0.1584, 0.1205, 0.1415, 0.1947, 0.1947, 0.091, 0.0864, 0.0642, 0.0383, 0.0049, 0.0754, 0.1035, 0.0429, -0.0639, -0.0313, -0.0116, -0.0947, -0.1883, -0.054, 0.0205, 0.0086, -0.0264, -0.0141, 0.0769, 0.0769, 0.0715, 0.1186, 0.1824, 0.0759, 0.1055, 0.1271, 0.166, 0.1524, 0.002, 0.0, -0.0463, 0.0744, 0.051, -0.0185, 0.0432, 0.0596, 0.2306, 0.1871, 0.2411, 0.4268, 0.2782, 0.3027, 0.3352, 0.2924, 0.2543, 0.2626, 0.2646, 0.1644, 0.1078, 0.0137, 0.1401, 0.1202, 0.1957, 0.1957, 0.2366, 0.29, 0.3735, 0.498, 0.5929, 0.6983, 0.7794, 0.8324, 0.8167, 0.7266, 0.7488, 0.7201, 0.7156, 0.726, 0.617, 0.5928, 0.489, 0.5514, 0.5188, 0.6975, 0.9385, 0.933, 1.1436, 1.0302, 0.9454, 1.0448, 0.968, 1.2774, 1.43, 1.4167, 1.196, 1.1726, 1.1077, 1.4165, 1.3599, 1.3599, 1.2861, 1.2895, 1.487, 1.5392, 1.5392, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2034745488864596064", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-19T21:35:02+00:00", "symbol": "TSEM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSEM is high conviction long term, I'm personally comfortable holding over two years and just forgetting about it", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "High-conviction long TSEM; comfortable holding 2+ years.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSEM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Kevin1151268 LOL, pls don’t full port it into names I mention. \n\nThat being said $TSEM is high conviction long term, I’m personally comfortable holding over two years and just forgetting about it.\n\nThat’s probably a better strategy imo", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I invested all my money in it. Should I sell? What's your price target?？ https://t.co/jt4aO6wBfh", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Kevin1151268", "ret_m1d": -0.14523118287127446, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.14523118287127446, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.14770161133334114, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.14770161133334114, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002470428462066687, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002470428462066687, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.014751908244404088, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014751908244404088, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00041613237189985774, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00041613237189985774, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01433577587250423, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01433577587250423, "ret_p1w": 0.05178221790649373, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05178221790649373, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07140669385759202, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07140669385759202, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019624475951098286, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019624475951098286, "ret_p1m": 0.3634994848964359, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3634994848964359, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.28426424636276093, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.28426424636276093, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07923523853367498, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07923523853367498, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2874, -0.2709, -0.2626, -0.2626, -0.2678, -0.2708, -0.2734, -0.293, -0.293, -0.267, -0.2817, -0.2637, -0.2641, -0.2935, -0.2773, -0.2696, -0.2487, -0.2582, -0.2534, -0.2183, -0.2183, -0.2233, -0.1967, -0.2174, -0.2256, -0.235, -0.2015, -0.1635, -0.1889, -0.1888, -0.1758, -0.1787, -0.2697, -0.2228, -0.1628, -0.1117, -0.1777, -0.1905, -0.1957, -0.2248, -0.2248, -0.2306, -0.2272, -0.2422, -0.2265, -0.2327, -0.2413, -0.2415, -0.2543, -0.2481, -0.1655, -0.2442, -0.2564, -0.2742, -0.3341, -0.3048, -0.2962, -0.2808, -0.2862, -0.2491, -0.1662, -0.1699, -0.1452, 0.0, -0.0148, 0.0364, 0.0888, 0.1364, 0.0518, 0.0352, -0.0452, 0.0566, 0.1264, 0.191, 0.191, 0.1452, 0.1492, 0.2264, 0.2272, 0.2259, 0.2613, 0.2892, 0.2984, 0.2931, 0.3635, 0.3517, 0.3049, 0.241, 0.2119, 0.2075, 0.2243, 0.1654, 0.1993, 0.331, 0.3127, 0.2949, 0.358, 0.3058, 0.2645, 0.2706, 0.3781, 0.3297, 0.6304, 0.6901, 0.6497, 0.4937, 0.513, 0.5925, 0.68, 0.7066, 0.7066, 0.7373, 0.6726, 0.6588, 0.5368, 0.5368, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2034189736924033071", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-18T08:46:41+00:00", "symbol": "FN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$FN for low margin assembly ~$20B MC, ~$4B projected revenue", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Price target analysis for optical networking names: FN ~$20B MC, LITE ~$47B MC, AAOI ~$13B MC target, SIVE at least ~$1B MC.", "resolved_tickers": ["FN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "For design/assembly\nEoptolink (China): ~$50B MC:  ~$5.3B revenue\nInnolight (China): ~$84B MC  ~$11B revenue\n\n$FN for low margin assembly ~$20B MC, ~$4B projected revenue.\n\nFor lasers/transceiver:\n$LITE ~$47B MC: ~$3B+ EOY 2026. \n\nThen you have $AAOI, $375M/month for laser/design/assembly supply chain, ~$4.5B ARR target + growth.\n\nMaybe ~$13B sounds reasonable since it hasn't hit those numbers yet. It's discretionary. \n\nAs for $SIVE, you can just look at CPO ramp and just take a guess. \n\nUsually advanced packaging companies (at least in current cycles), have around the less valuation as their laser counterparts (Unless they do design).\n\n$SIVE supplies lasers to $POET/Ayar both of which are $1-$3B+ valuations. \n\nSo $SIVE at least should be ~$1B low end. \n\nThis is just comparing similar company valuation/revenue projections, then making an estimate.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit How do you make your price target calculations?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Kaizen_Investor", "ret_m1d": -0.0008193027358673888, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0008193027358673888, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01497040762241042, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01497040762241042, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.014151104886543031, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014151104886543031, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08057072500516838, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08057072500516838, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08303506549036022, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08303506549036022, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0024643404851918405, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0024643404851918405, "ret_p1w": 0.22300828938004358, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.22300828938004358, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.22726603831655479, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.22726603831655479, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0042577489365112076, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0042577489365112076, "ret_p1m": 0.34412410225825085, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.34412410225825085, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2804042500168975, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2804042500168975, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06371985224135335, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06371985224135335, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0499, -0.0337, -0.027, -0.0373, -0.0373, -0.0442, -0.0567, -0.0769, -0.0902, -0.0902, -0.042, -0.087, -0.0425, -0.0598, -0.1149, -0.1063, -0.0749, -0.0228, -0.0467, -0.0057, -0.0119, -0.0119, -0.0357, -0.0241, -0.06, -0.067, -0.0526, -0.0037, 0.0011, -0.0083, -0.022, -0.0016, -0.1037, -0.1547, -0.1154, 0.0071, 0.0029, -0.0682, -0.0697, -0.0767, -0.0098, -0.0098, -0.0073, 0.0107, 0.0268, 0.0913, 0.1524, 0.1707, 0.2309, 0.1239, 0.0903, 0.1617, 0.1051, 0.1268, 0.088, -0.0221, 0.0542, 0.0851, 0.0478, 0.0247, 0.0034, 0.0248, -0.0008, 0.0, 0.0806, 0.0117, 0.092, 0.2008, 0.223, 0.0985, 0.103, -0.0171, 0.0421, 0.069, 0.115, 0.115, 0.1077, 0.1145, 0.2193, 0.2355, 0.3231, 0.3786, 0.3622, 0.3704, 0.3441, 0.3786, 0.3988, 0.3898, 0.3789, 0.3777, 0.4391, 0.3683, 0.2744, 0.2858, 0.3658, 0.4118, 0.4344, 0.3195, 0.357, 0.2512, 0.2415, 0.2979, 0.2679, 0.3909, 0.4917, 0.4428, 0.3993, 0.3543, 0.3233, 0.4053, 0.4065, 0.4065, 0.3604, 0.3726, 0.3348, 0.3072, 0.3072, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2034189736924033071", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-18T08:46:41+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LITE ~$47B MC: ~$3B+ EOY 2026", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Price target analysis for optical networking names: FN ~$20B MC, LITE ~$47B MC, AAOI ~$13B MC target, SIVE at least ~$1B MC.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "For design/assembly\nEoptolink (China): ~$50B MC:  ~$5.3B revenue\nInnolight (China): ~$84B MC  ~$11B revenue\n\n$FN for low margin assembly ~$20B MC, ~$4B projected revenue.\n\nFor lasers/transceiver:\n$LITE ~$47B MC: ~$3B+ EOY 2026. \n\nThen you have $AAOI, $375M/month for laser/design/assembly supply chain, ~$4.5B ARR target + growth.\n\nMaybe ~$13B sounds reasonable since it hasn't hit those numbers yet. It's discretionary. \n\nAs for $SIVE, you can just look at CPO ramp and just take a guess. \n\nUsually advanced packaging companies (at least in current cycles), have around the less valuation as their laser counterparts (Unless they do design).\n\n$SIVE supplies lasers to $POET/Ayar both of which are $1-$3B+ valuations. \n\nSo $SIVE at least should be ~$1B low end. \n\nThis is just comparing similar company valuation/revenue projections, then making an estimate.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit How do you make your price target calculations?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Kaizen_Investor", "ret_m1d": -0.0731296645004198, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0731296645004198, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08728076938696283, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08728076938696283, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.014151104886543031, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014151104886543031, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10176796503000207, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10176796503000207, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10423230551519391, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10423230551519391, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0024643404851918405, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0024643404851918405, "ret_p1w": 0.1089596119027656, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1089596119027656, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1132173608392768, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1132173608392768, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0042577489365112076, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0042577489365112076, "ret_p1m": 0.2716998527530443, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2716998527530443, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.20798000051169097, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.20798000051169097, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06371985224135335, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06371985224135335, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.47, -0.4437, -0.4472, -0.4351, -0.4351, -0.4424, -0.4683, -0.4704, -0.4741, -0.4741, -0.4491, -0.4905, -0.4329, -0.4394, -0.5031, -0.4986, -0.515, -0.4844, -0.5268, -0.5102, -0.5373, -0.5373, -0.4908, -0.4828, -0.4942, -0.516, -0.5256, -0.4711, -0.4506, -0.4557, -0.4409, -0.3958, -0.3791, -0.3357, -0.2802, -0.2124, -0.1765, -0.1993, -0.1808, -0.1674, -0.197, -0.197, -0.1432, -0.152, -0.093, -0.0471, -0.0372, -0.0179, 0.0322, -0.034, 0.0001, 0.1176, -0.0091, -0.0286, -0.0713, -0.2032, -0.0858, -0.0411, -0.0411, -0.1209, -0.1117, -0.1084, -0.0731, 0.0, 0.1018, 0.0079, 0.0402, 0.1444, 0.109, -0.0171, 0.0027, -0.0657, 0.0028, 0.0911, 0.1799, 0.1799, 0.102, 0.164, 0.2785, 0.2759, 0.2804, 0.2431, 0.2169, 0.1758, 0.2717, 0.2758, 0.2773, 0.1942, 0.2466, 0.2084, 0.258, 0.2267, 0.1292, 0.2248, 0.2875, 0.3555, 0.3929, 0.4192, 0.3474, 0.2736, 0.2897, 0.5027, 0.416, 0.4703, 0.4295, 0.3851, 0.2628, 0.2701, 0.2387, 0.3763, 0.3512, 0.3512, 0.2997, 0.2875, 0.228, 0.22, 0.22, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2034189736924033071", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-18T08:46:41+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI, $375M/month for laser/design/assembly supply chain, ~$4.5B ARR target + growth. Maybe ~$13B sounds reasonable", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Price target analysis for optical networking names: FN ~$20B MC, LITE ~$47B MC, AAOI ~$13B MC target, SIVE at least ~$1B MC.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "For design/assembly\nEoptolink (China): ~$50B MC:  ~$5.3B revenue\nInnolight (China): ~$84B MC  ~$11B revenue\n\n$FN for low margin assembly ~$20B MC, ~$4B projected revenue.\n\nFor lasers/transceiver:\n$LITE ~$47B MC: ~$3B+ EOY 2026. \n\nThen you have $AAOI, $375M/month for laser/design/assembly supply chain, ~$4.5B ARR target + growth.\n\nMaybe ~$13B sounds reasonable since it hasn't hit those numbers yet. It's discretionary. \n\nAs for $SIVE, you can just look at CPO ramp and just take a guess. \n\nUsually advanced packaging companies (at least in current cycles), have around the less valuation as their laser counterparts (Unless they do design).\n\n$SIVE supplies lasers to $POET/Ayar both of which are $1-$3B+ valuations. \n\nSo $SIVE at least should be ~$1B low end. \n\nThis is just comparing similar company valuation/revenue projections, then making an estimate.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit How do you make your price target calculations?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Kaizen_Investor", "ret_m1d": -0.06801247553886569, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06801247553886569, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08216358042540872, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08216358042540872, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.014151104886543031, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014151104886543031, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10029149509863067, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10029149509863067, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10275583558382251, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10275583558382251, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0024643404851918405, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0024643404851918405, "ret_p1w": 0.2351290840385698, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2351290840385698, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.239386832975081, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.239386832975081, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0042577489365112076, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0042577489365112076, "ret_p1m": 0.6983699880053034, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6983699880053034, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.63465013576395, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.63465013576395, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06371985224135335, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06371985224135335, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6619, -0.5779, -0.5613, -0.5574, -0.5574, -0.5987, -0.6033, -0.6111, -0.6237, -0.6237, -0.5725, -0.6223, -0.5832, -0.5892, -0.6436, -0.6325, -0.636, -0.631, -0.6279, -0.6006, -0.6001, -0.6001, -0.5762, -0.5857, -0.5881, -0.6144, -0.6233, -0.5964, -0.5117, -0.5728, -0.5292, -0.5233, -0.5021, -0.5693, -0.5884, -0.5218, -0.4828, -0.4765, -0.4775, -0.5251, -0.52, -0.52, -0.526, -0.531, -0.4928, -0.4421, -0.4175, -0.3925, -0.3726, -0.4204, -0.0907, 0.1067, 0.0293, 0.0764, 0.0919, 0.0318, 0.1942, 0.3008, 0.3712, 0.1464, 0.0451, 0.0155, -0.068, 0.0, 0.1003, -0.0549, 0.0338, 0.2296, 0.2351, 0.0517, 0.0602, -0.0803, -0.0868, -0.0678, 0.1218, 0.1218, 0.16, 0.27, 0.4326, 0.4391, 0.6258, 0.6538, 0.5804, 0.5389, 0.6984, 0.721, 0.7648, 0.6255, 0.6131, 0.4869, 0.7507, 0.5738, 0.4818, 0.6499, 0.7744, 0.9811, 0.8674, 0.9494, 0.9275, 0.7009, 0.6079, 0.9961, 1.0326, 1.4085, 1.1977, 1.0551, 0.8705, 0.8496, 0.7841, 0.9088, 0.9593, 0.9593, 0.9175, 0.9414, 0.8247, 0.7101, 0.7101, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2031765468982473011", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-11T16:13:30+00:00", "symbol": "KRKNF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "There's two very aquatic warfare stocks I found interesting for exposure. $KRKNF the Squid and $CODA the Octopus.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long KRKNF and CODA as pure-play aquatic/underwater warfare stocks benefiting from Iran mining Strait of Hormuz and potential sector re-rating.", "resolved_tickers": ["KRKNF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Scientific & Technical Instruments'", "bench_c_industry": "Scientific & Technical Instruments", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just in 10M ago from Reuters: \n\nNew confirmation from sources that Iran has deployed about a dozen mines in the Strait of Hormuz.\n\nThere's two very aquatic warfare stocks I found interesting for exposure. \n\n$KRKNF the Squid🦑and $CODA the Octopus.\n\n$KRKNF: Kraken Robotics, the Andruil supplier, is one of the more pure play stocks for the acquatic warfare sector:\n\nThey build Synthetic Aperture Sonar (SAS) and SeaPower batteries that many defense primes like Andruil rely on. \n\nAnduril recently opened a facility in Rhode Island to mass produce UUVs (eg. Dive-LD and Ghost Shark). \n\nAccording to retail BOM estimates:\n- Dive-LD carries $1M to $2M CAD in Kraken hardware\n- Ghost Shark XL-AUV carries $8M to $10M CAD.\n\nIf that Anduril ramps happens: the revenue ramp is there.\n\nI wouldn't try and model Kraken based off revenue projections but more like how much Andruil scales (similar modeling $LITE based on $GOOGL TPU)\n\nBut financials, assets: $301.5M, Liabilities: $65.7M, Total debt: ~$24.1M so looks pretty healthy. 60% YoY revenue growth off 59% gross margins. \n\nAs for demining the strait, they have the KATFISH mine-hunting drone. And SAS Sonar for 3D images of the seafloor for identifying buried mines. \n\n$CODA: Coda Octopus, basically pure play exposure to Iran placing mines.\n\nTheir main product is Echoscope real-time 3D/4D/5D volumetric sonar that maps static and moving objects in murky, pitch-black water.\n\nThis carries forward to other products like \"NANO Gen Series\", Echoscope version as a perception sensor for UUVs. \n\nAnd then a diver augmented display (that SPECWAR ordered), which is basically the Echoscope sonar feeding people data. \n\nCODA has an amazing balance sheet. Recent FY2025 report (ending Oct 2025), they hold $28.7 million in pure cash and have zero long-term debt.\n\nGross margins are extremely high as well, consolidated gross margin of 66.5% while majority of defense contracotrs sit around 10-20%. \n\n$26.6M revenue for 2025, 30.7% Y/Y increase, and $4.1M net income, which is rare to be profitable. \n\nBut basically their product set of sonar / detection looks perfect pure play for this exact scenario and they’re fundamentally very sound, without the catalyst. \n\nRegardless, Iran mining the straight isn't exactly a major TAM increase. \n\nHowever, it does alert investors and the government that warfare may transition underwater:\n\nLeading to more sector inflows as well as defense contract opportunities. \n\nThese were my two favorites personally, just publishing my thoughts here in case other's find this helpful.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.031377901973728584, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.031377901973728584, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.030121161631322835, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03614889818110534, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004770996207376754, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.034106412360451976, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.034106412360451976, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.018921463491088475, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01566310789454317, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "bench_c_p1d": -0.018443304465908805, "ret_p1w": -0.04447472580887324, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04447472580887324, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02244403502970782, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.026885988205940348, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01758873760293289, "ret_p1m": -0.16780355141553638, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16780355141553638, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.17584223744500516, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.18073998567519267, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012936434259656293, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3915, -0.3956, -0.4134, -0.4407, -0.427, -0.4008, -0.4038, -0.3793, -0.3768, -0.3768, -0.352, -0.3697, -0.3634, -0.3632, -0.3632, -0.3256, -0.2925, -0.2992, -0.2775, -0.2156, -0.2251, -0.1746, -0.1419, -0.2202, -0.2101, -0.2143, -0.2143, -0.2497, -0.2538, -0.2074, -0.1692, -0.1528, -0.1187, -0.0959, -0.1432, -0.1965, -0.1795, -0.1869, -0.2428, -0.2497, -0.1869, -0.1855, -0.1774, -0.2019, -0.2724, -0.2633, -0.2633, -0.2415, -0.1828, -0.1869, -0.1746, -0.204, -0.1392, -0.1432, -0.1187, -0.1501, -0.0804, -0.0641, -0.0896, -0.1209, -0.1623, -0.075, 0.0314, 0.0, -0.0341, -0.0614, -0.0437, 0.0041, -0.0445, -0.0859, -0.116, -0.0804, -0.0914, -0.1106, -0.191, -0.1855, -0.257, -0.2101, -0.1869, -0.1801, -0.1801, -0.1569, -0.1651, -0.1705, -0.1678, -0.1896, -0.1187, -0.1501, -0.1569, -0.116, -0.1228, -0.1255, -0.182, -0.1419, -0.1817, -0.1937, -0.1965, -0.2265, -0.2408, -0.2142, -0.2565, -0.2265, -0.2906, -0.281, -0.2838, -0.3044, -0.307, -0.3206, -0.292, -0.2583, -0.2769, -0.295, -0.2652, -0.2183, -0.2397, -0.276, -0.276, -0.1965, -0.1883, -0.2292, -0.2548, -0.2548, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2031765468982473011", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-11T16:13:30+00:00", "symbol": "CODA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$CODA: Coda Octopus, basically pure play exposure to Iran placing mines. Their main product is Echoscope real-time 3D/4D/5D volumetric sonar... fundamentally very sound", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long KRKNF and CODA as pure-play aquatic/underwater warfare stocks benefiting from Iran mining Strait of Hormuz and potential sector re-rating.", "resolved_tickers": ["CODA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just in 10M ago from Reuters: \n\nNew confirmation from sources that Iran has deployed about a dozen mines in the Strait of Hormuz.\n\nThere's two very aquatic warfare stocks I found interesting for exposure. \n\n$KRKNF the Squid🦑and $CODA the Octopus.\n\n$KRKNF: Kraken Robotics, the Andruil supplier, is one of the more pure play stocks for the acquatic warfare sector:\n\nThey build Synthetic Aperture Sonar (SAS) and SeaPower batteries that many defense primes like Andruil rely on. \n\nAnduril recently opened a facility in Rhode Island to mass produce UUVs (eg. Dive-LD and Ghost Shark). \n\nAccording to retail BOM estimates:\n- Dive-LD carries $1M to $2M CAD in Kraken hardware\n- Ghost Shark XL-AUV carries $8M to $10M CAD.\n\nIf that Anduril ramps happens: the revenue ramp is there.\n\nI wouldn't try and model Kraken based off revenue projections but more like how much Andruil scales (similar modeling $LITE based on $GOOGL TPU)\n\nBut financials, assets: $301.5M, Liabilities: $65.7M, Total debt: ~$24.1M so looks pretty healthy. 60% YoY revenue growth off 59% gross margins. \n\nAs for demining the strait, they have the KATFISH mine-hunting drone. And SAS Sonar for 3D images of the seafloor for identifying buried mines. \n\n$CODA: Coda Octopus, basically pure play exposure to Iran placing mines.\n\nTheir main product is Echoscope real-time 3D/4D/5D volumetric sonar that maps static and moving objects in murky, pitch-black water.\n\nThis carries forward to other products like \"NANO Gen Series\", Echoscope version as a perception sensor for UUVs. \n\nAnd then a diver augmented display (that SPECWAR ordered), which is basically the Echoscope sonar feeding people data. \n\nCODA has an amazing balance sheet. Recent FY2025 report (ending Oct 2025), they hold $28.7 million in pure cash and have zero long-term debt.\n\nGross margins are extremely high as well, consolidated gross margin of 66.5% while majority of defense contracotrs sit around 10-20%. \n\n$26.6M revenue for 2025, 30.7% Y/Y increase, and $4.1M net income, which is rare to be profitable. \n\nBut basically their product set of sonar / detection looks perfect pure play for this exact scenario and they’re fundamentally very sound, without the catalyst. \n\nRegardless, Iran mining the straight isn't exactly a major TAM increase. \n\nHowever, it does alert investors and the government that warfare may transition underwater:\n\nLeading to more sector inflows as well as defense contract opportunities. \n\nThese were my two favorites personally, just publishing my thoughts here in case other's find this helpful.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.14637485363023428, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.14637485363023428, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.14511811328782853, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.14511811328782853, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008207926573078339, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008207926573078339, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0069770222962851625, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0069770222962851625, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "ret_p1w": -0.11901503315583817, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11901503315583817, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09698434237667275, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09698434237667275, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "ret_p1m": -0.15321475982573196, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15321475982573196, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16125344585520074, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.16125344585520074, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "bench_c_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3782, -0.3782, -0.3666, -0.3926, -0.3707, -0.3584, -0.3461, -0.3666, -0.3475, -0.3475, -0.3598, -0.394, -0.3653, -0.3639, -0.3639, -0.3495, -0.3146, -0.3112, -0.3181, -0.3126, -0.2992, -0.3119, -0.1799, -0.2035, -0.2155, -0.2264, -0.2264, -0.262, -0.2134, -0.2517, -0.2715, -0.2825, -0.3071, -0.3222, -0.2565, -0.2715, -0.2606, -0.2339, -0.223, -0.2688, -0.2155, -0.1471, -0.106, -0.2045, -0.1156, -0.0834, -0.0834, -0.0629, -0.1036, -0.0982, -0.0797, -0.054, -0.026, 0.013, -0.0253, -0.0725, -0.0424, -0.0568, -0.0328, -0.0438, -0.015, 0.0226, 0.1464, 0.0, -0.0082, -0.0383, -0.0684, -0.0588, -0.119, -0.1327, -0.1881, -0.1758, -0.1833, -0.1833, -0.21, -0.2209, -0.2551, -0.2271, -0.2052, -0.1867, -0.1867, -0.1936, -0.1997, -0.1778, -0.1532, -0.1642, -0.0971, -0.1176, -0.1101, -0.0848, -0.0923, -0.1392, -0.1778, -0.1751, -0.158, -0.1614, -0.2326, -0.2394, -0.249, -0.2264, -0.2052, -0.212, -0.2021, -0.1847, -0.186, -0.1717, -0.1724, -0.1908, -0.2018, -0.184, -0.2182, -0.2182, -0.2394, -0.2244, -0.2196, -0.1881, -0.1881, -0.1512, -0.1477, -0.1176, -0.1423, -0.1423, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013667593740034383", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-20T17:39:01+00:00", "symbol": "VPG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$2.5-$4B revenue ramp from current levels presents pretty high upside and great exposure to robotics ramp", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long VPG on robotics inflection; $2.5-4B revenue ramp to 2028/2029 implies massive valuation expansion.", "resolved_tickers": ["VPG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Scientific & Technical Instruments'", "bench_c_industry": "Scientific & Technical Instruments", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "A lot of people model $VPG based on Y/Y revenue, but underestimate inflection point for robotics. \n\n$2.5-$4B revenue ramp from current levels presents pretty high upside and great exposure to robotics ramp. \n\nBut it's already a pretty well known stock by institutions, I think Citron and others likely just got timing off since they were months or years ahead of time.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Also top of my radar. Did work on it this weekend and agree that this has a chance for a massive valuation expansion. I modeled $2.5B - $4B by 2028/2029 if robotics market expands as expected.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ThematicTrader", "ret_m1d": -0.002516024869173017, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.002516024869173017, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02329582043850198, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02916572199057954, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.020779795569328963, "bench_c_m1d": 0.026649697121406524, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07067703719835805, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07067703719835805, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05913595799626359, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.056788212637009394, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011541079202094462, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013888824561348656, "ret_p1w": 0.02881972292664403, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02881972292664403, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.00238744143320635, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.014961983893512665, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02643228149343768, "bench_c_p1w": 0.043781706820156696, "ret_p1m": 0.05283617324099876, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05283617324099876, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.039981600106203885, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05939287894903689, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012854573134794878, "bench_c_p1m": -0.006556705708038124, "ret_p3m": 0.21729185120656802, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.21729185120656802, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.16637621261701585, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12774084223777704, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091563858955217, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08955100896879098, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.15, -0.1654, -0.1775, -0.1521, -0.1279, -0.1233, -0.1432, -0.1306, -0.1837, -0.1745, -0.2427, -0.2461, -0.218, -0.2312, -0.2326, -0.2669, -0.2692, -0.3042, -0.3072, -0.3001, -0.3303, -0.288, -0.258, -0.2301, -0.2212, -0.2212, -0.2191, -0.2118, -0.1997, -0.1599, -0.1464, -0.1077, -0.1333, -0.1587, -0.1231, -0.1082, -0.1327, -0.1295, -0.1178, -0.1297, -0.1263, -0.1134, -0.1141, -0.0995, -0.0972, -0.0972, -0.0922, -0.1036, -0.1096, -0.1194, -0.1194, -0.1016, -0.1002, -0.0544, -0.0844, -0.0764, -0.0469, -0.0496, -0.0505, -0.0432, -0.0005, -0.0025, -0.0025, 0.0, 0.0707, 0.0931, 0.0096, -0.0176, 0.0288, 0.0149, 0.1523, 0.1455, 0.1583, 0.2081, 0.2328, 0.1903, 0.2804, 0.2596, 0.2258, 0.062, 0.0677, 0.011, 0.011, 0.0387, 0.0528, 0.073, 0.0945, 0.0707, 0.0702, 0.105, 0.081, 0.0538, 0.1258, 0.0883, 0.0746, 0.029, -0.0059, -0.0034, 0.0188, 0.0037, -0.046, -0.062, -0.0586, -0.0663, -0.0599, -0.0098, -0.0704, -0.0359, -0.0217, 0.0407, -0.0274, -0.0496, -0.0695, -0.0069, 0.0057, 0.024, 0.024, 0.0549, 0.0688, 0.1226, 0.126, 0.1414, 0.1885, 0.1848, 0.1619, 0.1752, 0.2173, 0.2159, 0.2447, 0.3108, 0.3218, 0.3866, 0.3399, 0.3086, 0.2871, 0.382, 0.3774, 0.3731, 0.4627, 0.454, 0.428, 0.538, 0.5233, 0.9572, 1.2781, 1.2951, 1.226, 1.4065, 1.2404, 1.3035, 1.3797, 1.602, 1.602, 1.8227, 1.8801, 1.8648, 1.8662, 1.8662, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2012562412457562304", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-17T16:27:25+00:00", "symbol": "MSFT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Microsoft / Oracle -> Write down billions in investment, buildout + GPU utilization lag would cost billions", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "If Musk wins vs OpenAI, MSFT, ORCL, CRWV, APLD, CORZ face contagion risk as OpenAI-levered names; author sees this as most likely outcome (59% odds).", "resolved_tickers": ["MSFT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Breaking: Elon Musk has sued OpenAI for $134 Billion.\n\nPrediction markets have priced the odds of Elon winning at 59% as of today.   \n\nThis may be alarming.   \n\nIf OpenAI loses this: \n\nMarkets may trigger a contagion across the AI ecosystem tied to OpenAI.  \n\n$AMD or $CRWV and companies like $ORCL (Stargate) to $MSFT are massive losers as they're heavily levered to OpenAI.  \n\nThen there's third order effects on companies as $APLD and $CORZ involved to Coreweave. \n\nSame goes with $AMD partners, such as $RIOT.  \n\n For example: \n\n1. Microsoft / Oracle -> Write down billions in investment, buildout + GPU utilization lag would cost billions \n\n2. CoreWeave -> Massive risk to backlog revenue, utilization lag + already at risk due to massive debt interest \n\n3. APLD / CORZ -> Depend on Coreweave for revenue, if the tenant goes down, so does their near term revenue.   \n\nIf OpenAI are forced to pay massive damages, return to a strict non-profit status, or declare bankruptcy due to liquidity crises (and cannot fulfill its contractual obligations):  \n\nThis might trigger a contagion event across many AI sector names tied to OpenAI.   \n\nOf course this is the worst case scenario. \n\nMy expectation is middle ground: \n \n-> Musk wins the trial (or forces a settlement just before the verdict). \n\n-> OpenAI is forced to pay a massive fine (e.g., $10B–$20B) and possibly open-source its older models \n\n-> $MSFT likely steps in to pay the fine or restructure the debt since there's too much at stake.   \n\nOr in the 41% chance Musk loses: nothing happens, and companies tied to OpenAI will be fine.  \n\nHowever it looks markets already priced in a lot of that uncertainty with OpenAI contagion risk with Oracle ($330 -> $195) and Coreweave ($150 -> $101).   \n\nThis lawsuit is definitely one of the biggest events markets are watching.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011612274057560046, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011612274057560046, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008744511665985, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008744511665985, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "ret_p1w": 0.02265901918325608, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02265901918325608, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.021112028055780607, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.021112028055780607, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "ret_p1m": -0.1369982505531805, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1369982505531805, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12426076998347935, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12426076998347935, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "ret_p3m": -0.08402724057676747, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.08402724057676747, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10125571169064806, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.10125571169064806, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1298, 0.1299, 0.1365, 0.1537, 0.1766, 0.1754, 0.1412, 0.1239, 0.1222, 0.1164, 0.1008, 0.079, 0.0784, 0.0983, 0.1041, 0.1094, 0.0924, 0.1074, 0.1015, 0.0718, 0.0573, 0.0404, 0.0267, 0.0307, 0.0373, 0.0558, 0.0558, 0.0699, 0.0585, 0.0655, 0.0389, 0.0456, 0.0507, 0.0678, 0.0699, 0.0407, 0.0513, 0.0406, 0.0325, 0.0359, 0.0354, 0.0525, 0.0567, 0.0545, 0.0587, 0.0612, 0.0612, 0.0606, 0.0592, 0.0601, 0.0517, 0.0517, 0.0284, 0.0282, 0.0406, 0.0513, 0.0397, 0.0422, 0.0377, 0.0235, -0.001, -0.007, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0116, -0.0342, -0.019, 0.0132, 0.0227, 0.0451, 0.0473, -0.0573, -0.0643, -0.0794, -0.1058, -0.0993, -0.1439, -0.1277, -0.1006, -0.1013, -0.1207, -0.1262, -0.1273, -0.1273, -0.137, -0.131, -0.1315, -0.1342, -0.162, -0.1522, -0.1269, -0.1244, -0.144, -0.1313, -0.1196, -0.1169, -0.1049, -0.1087, -0.1077, -0.1156, -0.1175, -0.1241, -0.1379, -0.1283, -0.1295, -0.1461, -0.1521, -0.1677, -0.1652, -0.1876, -0.1913, -0.2024, -0.2224, -0.2176, -0.1932, -0.1949, -0.186, -0.186, -0.1873, -0.1886, -0.1841, -0.1869, -0.1917, -0.1623, -0.1432, -0.1037, -0.084, -0.0785, -0.0888, -0.0755, -0.0564, -0.0939, -0.0745, -0.0741, -0.0644, -0.0749, -0.1112, -0.0967, -0.0985, -0.1034, -0.0978, -0.0829, -0.0952, -0.1006, -0.1112, -0.1168, -0.1076, -0.0804, -0.0769, -0.0902, -0.0823, -0.0846, -0.0857, -0.0857, -0.0913, -0.0986, -0.0673, -0.0166, -0.0166, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2012562412457562304", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-17T16:27:25+00:00", "symbol": "ORCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AMD or $CRWV and companies like $ORCL (Stargate) to $MSFT are massive losers as they're heavily levered to OpenAI", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "If Musk wins vs OpenAI, MSFT, ORCL, CRWV, APLD, CORZ face contagion risk as OpenAI-levered names; author sees this as most likely outcome (59% odds).", "resolved_tickers": ["ORCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Breaking: Elon Musk has sued OpenAI for $134 Billion.\n\nPrediction markets have priced the odds of Elon winning at 59% as of today.   \n\nThis may be alarming.   \n\nIf OpenAI loses this: \n\nMarkets may trigger a contagion across the AI ecosystem tied to OpenAI.  \n\n$AMD or $CRWV and companies like $ORCL (Stargate) to $MSFT are massive losers as they're heavily levered to OpenAI.  \n\nThen there's third order effects on companies as $APLD and $CORZ involved to Coreweave. \n\nSame goes with $AMD partners, such as $RIOT.  \n\n For example: \n\n1. Microsoft / Oracle -> Write down billions in investment, buildout + GPU utilization lag would cost billions \n\n2. CoreWeave -> Massive risk to backlog revenue, utilization lag + already at risk due to massive debt interest \n\n3. APLD / CORZ -> Depend on Coreweave for revenue, if the tenant goes down, so does their near term revenue.   \n\nIf OpenAI are forced to pay massive damages, return to a strict non-profit status, or declare bankruptcy due to liquidity crises (and cannot fulfill its contractual obligations):  \n\nThis might trigger a contagion event across many AI sector names tied to OpenAI.   \n\nOf course this is the worst case scenario. \n\nMy expectation is middle ground: \n \n-> Musk wins the trial (or forces a settlement just before the verdict). \n\n-> OpenAI is forced to pay a massive fine (e.g., $10B–$20B) and possibly open-source its older models \n\n-> $MSFT likely steps in to pay the fine or restructure the debt since there's too much at stake.   \n\nOr in the 41% chance Musk loses: nothing happens, and companies tied to OpenAI will be fine.  \n\nHowever it looks markets already priced in a lot of that uncertainty with OpenAI contagion risk with Oracle ($330 -> $195) and Coreweave ($150 -> $101).   \n\nThis lawsuit is definitely one of the biggest events markets are watching.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05845418571361716, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05845418571361716, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03809739999007211, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03809739999007211, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "ret_p1w": -0.04526659640849995, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04526659640849995, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04681358753597542, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04681358753597542, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "ret_p1m": -0.19425405506932547, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.19425405506932547, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.18151657449962433, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.18151657449962433, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "ret_p3m": -0.06346296477924773, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06346296477924773, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.08069143589312833, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08069143589312833, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.4231, 0.4618, 0.4788, 0.4687, 0.4657, 0.4369, 0.3408, 0.3707, 0.3458, 0.2953, 0.3065, 0.2725, 0.2488, 0.257, 0.2325, 0.1847, 0.1356, 0.1631, 0.1475, 0.1508, 0.1771, 0.0997, 0.0374, 0.0453, 0.0284, 0.0698, 0.0698, 0.054, 0.0488, 0.0496, 0.0842, 0.1187, 0.1356, 0.1511, 0.1562, 0.164, 0.0379, -0.0085, -0.0348, -0.0154, -0.0686, -0.0604, 0.002, 0.0354, 0.0195, 0.0308, 0.0308, 0.0334, 0.0198, 0.0293, 0.0173, 0.0173, 0.0215, 0.0052, 0.0112, 0.0065, -0.0102, 0.0389, 0.0711, 0.0586, 0.0132, -0.0065, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0585, -0.0901, -0.0676, -0.0729, -0.0453, -0.0847, -0.0957, -0.1155, -0.1387, -0.1624, -0.1906, -0.2325, -0.2858, -0.2526, -0.1805, -0.1633, -0.1776, -0.1811, -0.162, -0.162, -0.1943, -0.1827, -0.1808, -0.2251, -0.2605, -0.2352, -0.2261, -0.2134, -0.2391, -0.219, -0.2202, -0.2026, -0.19, -0.1995, -0.2069, -0.2182, -0.1464, -0.1671, -0.1883, -0.1838, -0.1905, -0.1999, -0.1861, -0.2167, -0.1923, -0.2303, -0.2359, -0.2527, -0.2691, -0.2736, -0.2302, -0.24, -0.234, -0.234, -0.2384, -0.2508, -0.2482, -0.276, -0.2748, -0.1828, -0.144, -0.1083, -0.0635, -0.0807, -0.0675, -0.0486, -0.0154, -0.0743, -0.09, -0.0917, -0.1285, -0.1397, -0.1525, -0.0976, -0.0532, -0.0267, 0.0189, 0.0219, 0.029, 0.0179, -0.0189, -0.0035, 0.0272, 0.0133, -0.02, -0.0471, -0.0119, -0.0034, 0.0087, 0.0087, 0.0138, 0.0028, 0.0697, 0.1857, 0.1857, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2012562412457562304", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-17T16:27:25+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CoreWeave -> Massive risk to backlog revenue, utilization lag + already at risk due to massive debt interest", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "If Musk wins vs OpenAI, MSFT, ORCL, CRWV, APLD, CORZ face contagion risk as OpenAI-levered names; author sees this as most likely outcome (59% odds).", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Breaking: Elon Musk has sued OpenAI for $134 Billion.\n\nPrediction markets have priced the odds of Elon winning at 59% as of today.   \n\nThis may be alarming.   \n\nIf OpenAI loses this: \n\nMarkets may trigger a contagion across the AI ecosystem tied to OpenAI.  \n\n$AMD or $CRWV and companies like $ORCL (Stargate) to $MSFT are massive losers as they're heavily levered to OpenAI.  \n\nThen there's third order effects on companies as $APLD and $CORZ involved to Coreweave. \n\nSame goes with $AMD partners, such as $RIOT.  \n\n For example: \n\n1. Microsoft / Oracle -> Write down billions in investment, buildout + GPU utilization lag would cost billions \n\n2. CoreWeave -> Massive risk to backlog revenue, utilization lag + already at risk due to massive debt interest \n\n3. APLD / CORZ -> Depend on Coreweave for revenue, if the tenant goes down, so does their near term revenue.   \n\nIf OpenAI are forced to pay massive damages, return to a strict non-profit status, or declare bankruptcy due to liquidity crises (and cannot fulfill its contractual obligations):  \n\nThis might trigger a contagion event across many AI sector names tied to OpenAI.   \n\nOf course this is the worst case scenario. \n\nMy expectation is middle ground: \n \n-> Musk wins the trial (or forces a settlement just before the verdict). \n\n-> OpenAI is forced to pay a massive fine (e.g., $10B–$20B) and possibly open-source its older models \n\n-> $MSFT likely steps in to pay the fine or restructure the debt since there's too much at stake.   \n\nOr in the 41% chance Musk loses: nothing happens, and companies tied to OpenAI will be fine.  \n\nHowever it looks markets already priced in a lot of that uncertainty with OpenAI contagion risk with Oracle ($330 -> $195) and Coreweave ($150 -> $101).   \n\nThis lawsuit is definitely one of the biggest events markets are watching.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05936977118374087, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05936977118374087, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.039012985460195826, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.039012985460195826, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "ret_p1w": -0.028845260313229426, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.028845260313229426, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.030392251440704898, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.030392251440704898, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "ret_p1m": -0.1010570287236181, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1010570287236181, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08831954815391696, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08831954815391696, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "ret_p3m": 0.1810727412210904, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1810727412210904, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1638442701072098, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1638442701072098, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2005, 0.2184, 0.3094, 0.3441, 0.3316, 0.3823, 0.2947, 0.3209, 0.2479, 0.1434, 0.1303, 0.0563, 0.0275, 0.0433, -0.1268, -0.1561, -0.2261, -0.2358, -0.2559, -0.2601, -0.2599, -0.3163, -0.2922, -0.2729, -0.2958, -0.2661, -0.2661, -0.2777, -0.2388, -0.2489, -0.216, -0.1529, -0.1277, -0.1481, -0.1044, -0.1291, -0.1368, -0.2236, -0.2853, -0.3134, -0.3623, -0.3314, -0.1801, -0.162, -0.2072, -0.2209, -0.2209, -0.2451, -0.2599, -0.27, -0.2926, -0.2926, -0.2164, -0.2407, -0.2301, -0.2376, -0.2385, -0.2083, -0.1116, -0.1358, -0.1129, -0.0614, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0594, -0.0709, -0.0933, -0.0815, -0.0288, 0.0754, 0.0473, -0.0168, -0.0794, -0.1214, -0.1103, -0.1854, -0.2626, -0.1114, -0.0439, -0.0605, -0.0601, -0.0546, -0.0513, -0.0513, -0.1011, -0.0571, -0.0404, -0.1183, -0.1026, -0.0191, -0.0318, -0.0356, -0.2141, -0.229, -0.2712, -0.2147, -0.2609, -0.279, -0.2649, -0.2599, -0.1904, -0.2111, -0.1988, -0.1518, -0.1888, -0.1819, -0.2032, -0.1952, -0.1904, -0.1799, -0.1348, -0.2053, -0.261, -0.3169, -0.2347, -0.2251, -0.1876, -0.1876, -0.2004, -0.158, -0.1218, -0.0912, 0.0076, 0.0893, 0.1578, 0.1725, 0.1811, 0.1543, 0.16, 0.1376, 0.2105, 0.1599, 0.088, 0.107, 0.0425, 0.128, 0.1024, 0.1756, 0.2391, 0.2634, 0.363, 0.2727, 0.1276, 0.1331, 0.0644, 0.0996, 0.1283, 0.06, 0.0251, -0.014, 0.0005, 0.0627, 0.0421, 0.0421, 0.046, 0.03, 0.0556, 0.082, 0.082, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2012562412457562304", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-01-17T16:27:25+00:00", "symbol": "APLD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "APLD / CORZ -> Depend on Coreweave for revenue, if the tenant goes down, so does their near term revenue", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "If Musk wins vs OpenAI, MSFT, ORCL, CRWV, APLD, CORZ face contagion risk as OpenAI-levered names; author sees this as most likely outcome (59% odds).", "resolved_tickers": ["APLD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Breaking: Elon Musk has sued OpenAI for $134 Billion.\n\nPrediction markets have priced the odds of Elon winning at 59% as of today.   \n\nThis may be alarming.   \n\nIf OpenAI loses this: \n\nMarkets may trigger a contagion across the AI ecosystem tied to OpenAI.  \n\n$AMD or $CRWV and companies like $ORCL (Stargate) to $MSFT are massive losers as they're heavily levered to OpenAI.  \n\nThen there's third order effects on companies as $APLD and $CORZ involved to Coreweave. \n\nSame goes with $AMD partners, such as $RIOT.  \n\n For example: \n\n1. Microsoft / Oracle -> Write down billions in investment, buildout + GPU utilization lag would cost billions \n\n2. CoreWeave -> Massive risk to backlog revenue, utilization lag + already at risk due to massive debt interest \n\n3. APLD / CORZ -> Depend on Coreweave for revenue, if the tenant goes down, so does their near term revenue.   \n\nIf OpenAI are forced to pay massive damages, return to a strict non-profit status, or declare bankruptcy due to liquidity crises (and cannot fulfill its contractual obligations):  \n\nThis might trigger a contagion event across many AI sector names tied to OpenAI.   \n\nOf course this is the worst case scenario. \n\nMy expectation is middle ground: \n \n-> Musk wins the trial (or forces a settlement just before the verdict). \n\n-> OpenAI is forced to pay a massive fine (e.g., $10B–$20B) and possibly open-source its older models \n\n-> $MSFT likely steps in to pay the fine or restructure the debt since there's too much at stake.   \n\nOr in the 41% chance Musk loses: nothing happens, and companies tied to OpenAI will be fine.  \n\nHowever it looks markets already priced in a lot of that uncertainty with OpenAI contagion risk with Oracle ($330 -> $195) and Coreweave ($150 -> $101).   \n\nThis lawsuit is definitely one of the biggest events markets are watching.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0518717209159435, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0518717209159435, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03151493519239845, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.025913794666971746, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.025957926248971752, "ret_p1w": -0.03262035216386139, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03262035216386139, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03416734329133686, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03577935094065421, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0031589987767928207, "ret_p1m": -0.10267379668235588, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10267379668235588, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08993631611265474, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06050929394558857, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "bench_c_p1m": -0.042164502736767306, "ret_p3m": -0.19545457419922474, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.19545457419922474, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.21268304531310533, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.24070264163372423, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.045248067434499495, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1813, -0.1075, -0.1061, -0.0816, -0.0821, -0.0797, -0.0922, -0.0733, -0.1211, -0.1695, -0.1152, -0.169, -0.1717, -0.1594, -0.2361, -0.2939, -0.3834, -0.3676, -0.3868, -0.3893, -0.3826, -0.4286, -0.4361, -0.3639, -0.3652, -0.3332, -0.3332, -0.2754, -0.2457, -0.25, -0.215, -0.1674, -0.1652, -0.1414, -0.1238, -0.1714, -0.1775, -0.2551, -0.3856, -0.3519, -0.4118, -0.361, -0.2553, -0.2572, -0.3027, -0.3123, -0.3123, -0.357, -0.3366, -0.3561, -0.3444, -0.3444, -0.2484, -0.1925, -0.1909, -0.2096, -0.146, 0.0075, 0.0217, -0.0184, -0.0348, -0.0583, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0519, -0.0626, -0.0711, 0.0078, -0.0326, 0.1056, 0.0754, 0.0179, -0.0941, -0.0695, -0.0187, -0.1567, -0.2555, -0.0655, 0.023, 0.0019, -0.0214, -0.0329, -0.0567, -0.0567, -0.1027, -0.1468, -0.157, -0.2235, -0.1979, -0.1802, -0.2225, -0.234, -0.2709, -0.2532, -0.3008, -0.234, -0.2489, -0.3278, -0.2773, -0.2674, -0.2374, -0.2652, -0.2767, -0.2591, -0.2644, -0.2874, -0.2861, -0.3067, -0.2711, -0.2837, -0.2414, -0.3124, -0.3647, -0.4507, -0.3652, -0.3452, -0.3433, -0.3433, -0.3265, -0.3267, -0.257, -0.3163, -0.2979, -0.262, -0.1586, -0.1762, -0.1955, -0.157, -0.1393, -0.1626, -0.1329, -0.0281, -0.0647, -0.0997, -0.1414, -0.1261, -0.0842, -0.1029, -0.0473, 0.0663, 0.1829, 0.1104, 0.1029, 0.1922, 0.1746, 0.216, 0.2489, 0.138, 0.0465, -0.0209, 0.0567, 0.284, 0.2265, 0.2265, 0.207, 0.3096, 0.3275, 0.2642, 0.2642, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2012562412457562304", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-01-17T16:27:25+00:00", "symbol": "CORZ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "APLD / CORZ -> Depend on Coreweave for revenue, if the tenant goes down, so does their near term revenue", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "If Musk wins vs OpenAI, MSFT, ORCL, CRWV, APLD, CORZ face contagion risk as OpenAI-levered names; author sees this as most likely outcome (59% odds).", "resolved_tickers": ["CORZ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Breaking: Elon Musk has sued OpenAI for $134 Billion.\n\nPrediction markets have priced the odds of Elon winning at 59% as of today.   \n\nThis may be alarming.   \n\nIf OpenAI loses this: \n\nMarkets may trigger a contagion across the AI ecosystem tied to OpenAI.  \n\n$AMD or $CRWV and companies like $ORCL (Stargate) to $MSFT are massive losers as they're heavily levered to OpenAI.  \n\nThen there's third order effects on companies as $APLD and $CORZ involved to Coreweave. \n\nSame goes with $AMD partners, such as $RIOT.  \n\n For example: \n\n1. Microsoft / Oracle -> Write down billions in investment, buildout + GPU utilization lag would cost billions \n\n2. CoreWeave -> Massive risk to backlog revenue, utilization lag + already at risk due to massive debt interest \n\n3. APLD / CORZ -> Depend on Coreweave for revenue, if the tenant goes down, so does their near term revenue.   \n\nIf OpenAI are forced to pay massive damages, return to a strict non-profit status, or declare bankruptcy due to liquidity crises (and cannot fulfill its contractual obligations):  \n\nThis might trigger a contagion event across many AI sector names tied to OpenAI.   \n\nOf course this is the worst case scenario. \n\nMy expectation is middle ground: \n \n-> Musk wins the trial (or forces a settlement just before the verdict). \n\n-> OpenAI is forced to pay a massive fine (e.g., $10B–$20B) and possibly open-source its older models \n\n-> $MSFT likely steps in to pay the fine or restructure the debt since there's too much at stake.   \n\nOr in the 41% chance Musk loses: nothing happens, and companies tied to OpenAI will be fine.  \n\nHowever it looks markets already priced in a lot of that uncertainty with OpenAI contagion risk with Oracle ($330 -> $195) and Coreweave ($150 -> $101).   \n\nThis lawsuit is definitely one of the biggest events markets are watching.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.028057109392354396, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.028057109392354396, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00770032366880935, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00770032366880935, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "ret_p1w": 0.008470082190674244, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.008470082190674244, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.006923091063198772, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.006923091063198772, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "ret_p1m": -0.08787717845675402, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08787717845675402, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07513969788705288, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07513969788705288, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "ret_p3m": 0.02911599588036906, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.02911599588036906, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.011887524766488466, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.011887524766488466, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0577, -0.0439, 0.0238, 0.0519, 0.0635, 0.0995, 0.0979, 0.1403, 0.2123, 0.1509, 0.154, 0.09, 0.0688, 0.0212, -0.0831, -0.1297, -0.1975, -0.2096, -0.217, -0.1832, -0.1853, -0.1975, -0.2202, -0.1662, -0.1768, -0.1435, -0.1435, -0.1059, -0.1218, -0.1625, -0.1239, -0.0958, -0.0942, -0.0635, -0.0741, -0.0826, -0.0789, -0.1249, -0.1911, -0.2202, -0.2816, -0.2292, -0.1742, -0.1641, -0.1805, -0.1758, -0.1758, -0.1906, -0.2017, -0.2266, -0.2292, -0.2292, -0.1535, -0.1143, -0.1112, -0.1403, -0.117, -0.0926, -0.0746, -0.0455, -0.0513, -0.0429, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0281, -0.0365, -0.0429, -0.0053, 0.0085, 0.0556, 0.0318, -0.0026, -0.0476, -0.054, -0.0609, -0.1451, -0.2157, -0.1101, -0.018, -0.0402, -0.0424, -0.0746, -0.0556, -0.0556, -0.0879, -0.0858, -0.0482, -0.0842, -0.1059, -0.054, -0.0429, -0.0482, -0.1016, -0.1271, -0.19, -0.1615, -0.153, -0.2133, -0.1975, -0.1816, -0.1244, -0.1403, -0.1271, -0.1016, -0.1308, -0.1345, -0.1276, -0.163, -0.1223, -0.108, -0.0974, -0.1641, -0.2022, -0.2636, -0.208, -0.19, -0.1408, -0.1408, -0.1376, -0.1091, -0.0651, -0.0482, -0.0302, -0.0095, -0.0111, 0.0101, 0.0291, 0.0508, 0.0519, 0.0995, 0.1218, 0.1016, 0.1053, 0.117, 0.0598, 0.0355, 0.0588, 0.0773, 0.117, 0.1747, 0.3039, 0.1837, 0.2133, 0.2149, 0.2065, 0.2705, 0.3192, 0.2816, 0.2478, 0.2133, 0.2271, 0.3139, 0.3372, 0.3372, 0.396, 0.4399, 0.4696, 0.4214, 0.4214, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2031152993886941656", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-09T23:39:45+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it might be worth flipping long again in the off-chance $HIMS manages to figure out latent revenue expansion from their new global userbase", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish HIMS on latent revenue monetization from global user network capture; uses HOOD and META as comps for the same monetization trajectory.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Feels like people aren't articulating the bull case for $HIMS correctly:\n\nHere's my view. \n\nThe main moat of $HIMS is network capture of retail audiences.\n\nAnd the bull case is latent revenue monetization. \n\n$HOOD achieved that same effect in fintech over 2025. \n\n$META (fully grown) achieved that same effect in the social media sector over the past decade. \n\n$HIMS is now at the starting point in 2026. \n\nBut given millions of new users across the globe (Europe, Australia, Japan, Canada) from Zava + Eucalyptus: \n\n$HIMS now has that one-of-a-kind retail audience capture in the healthcare sector. \n\nHowever, the difference between ~$70B companies in Robinhood and $1.6T giants in $META is that:\n\nThey've already successfully monetized their retail audiences both through margin optimization, and new revenue streams. \n\nAnd very aggressively. $HIMS has not yet. \n\nRobinhood did so by pushing new products from banking/credit cards/prediction markets/etc. \n\nAnd they are all now independently generating $100m+ each as new revenue streams.\n\n$META did so by capturing the maximum amount of revenue per user after acquiring WhatsApp/Instagram. \n\nHowever, $HIMS has not gotten the chance to yet in the same way they did with the US (eg. Testosterone). Especially partially due to former lawsuits. \n\nNow that's cleared up, the bull case can be seen again: \n\nInstead of modeling what revenue Zava/Eucalyptus traditionally brought, the important thing to look at is retail network capture through # of people. \n\nAs this is biggest source of latent revenue + revenue projection beats not priced in. \n\nNow, the billion dollar question is: \n\nWill $HIMS end up like $HOOD? \n\n$HIMS now has the one of the largest retail networks + distribution for healthcare. \n\nHowever, cross-selling seems much harder in healthcare vs. fintech or social media channels. \n\nThe answer whether it ends up a $30B company or a $5B one is up for management to figure out. \n\nSo for people on the sideline, it might be worth flipping long again in the off-chance $HIMS manages to figure out latent revenue expansion from their new global userbase. \n\nThe ~40%+ short interest and the new $NVO partnership serves as a huge bonus as well.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.2897111967734822, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.2897111967734822, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.281027243409127, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.281027243409127, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0591154997726846, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0591154997726846, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06072262667805173, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06072262667805173, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "ret_p1w": 0.12274365216984151, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12274365216984151, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.13636655889404026, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13636655889404026, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "ret_p1m": -0.12003609502383417, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12003609502383417, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09460413060422168, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09460413060422168, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.7094, 0.7044, 0.6792, 0.6358, 0.6634, 0.5781, 0.569, 0.6047, 0.5817, 0.5704, 0.5645, 0.5645, 0.5483, 0.5388, 0.491, 0.4653, 0.4653, 0.5077, 0.5663, 0.6002, 0.6002, 0.5284, 0.4301, 0.4594, 0.4531, 0.4134, 0.4093, 0.4161, 0.4161, 0.375, 0.3037, 0.3773, 0.3366, 0.3664, 0.3394, 0.2938, 0.3479, 0.2225, 0.1931, 0.1525, 0.1011, 0.0596, 0.0388, -0.1277, -0.222, -0.2468, -0.287, -0.2644, -0.2644, -0.2658, -0.2852, -0.2861, -0.2947, -0.3001, -0.3023, -0.2861, -0.296, -0.3448, -0.2563, -0.2861, -0.2577, -0.2834, -0.2897, 0.0, 0.0591, 0.1679, 0.0758, 0.1178, 0.1227, 0.1273, 0.0447, 0.0903, -0.0063, 0.0135, -0.037, -0.0596, -0.0587, -0.1255, -0.1525, -0.0632, -0.1047, -0.1363, -0.1363, -0.0826, -0.12, -0.125, -0.1088, -0.1232, -0.0456, -0.0361, 0.0961, 0.218, 0.3005, 0.3994, 0.343, 0.3091, 0.2703, 0.3791, 0.3263, 0.2595, 0.1882, 0.2261, 0.2369, 0.2306, 0.1882, 0.213, 0.1575, 0.2757, 0.315, 0.1295, 0.0894, 0.0939, 0.1304, 0.0059, 0.0126, 0.0397, 0.0835, 0.0718, 0.0718, 0.0763, 0.1372, 0.1453, 0.1801, 0.1801, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2031152993886941656", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-09T23:39:45+00:00", "symbol": "HOOD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$HOOD achieved that same effect in fintech over 2025", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish HIMS on latent revenue monetization from global user network capture; uses HOOD and META as comps for the same monetization trajectory.", "resolved_tickers": ["HOOD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Feels like people aren't articulating the bull case for $HIMS correctly:\n\nHere's my view. \n\nThe main moat of $HIMS is network capture of retail audiences.\n\nAnd the bull case is latent revenue monetization. \n\n$HOOD achieved that same effect in fintech over 2025. \n\n$META (fully grown) achieved that same effect in the social media sector over the past decade. \n\n$HIMS is now at the starting point in 2026. \n\nBut given millions of new users across the globe (Europe, Australia, Japan, Canada) from Zava + Eucalyptus: \n\n$HIMS now has that one-of-a-kind retail audience capture in the healthcare sector. \n\nHowever, the difference between ~$70B companies in Robinhood and $1.6T giants in $META is that:\n\nThey've already successfully monetized their retail audiences both through margin optimization, and new revenue streams. \n\nAnd very aggressively. $HIMS has not yet. \n\nRobinhood did so by pushing new products from banking/credit cards/prediction markets/etc. \n\nAnd they are all now independently generating $100m+ each as new revenue streams.\n\n$META did so by capturing the maximum amount of revenue per user after acquiring WhatsApp/Instagram. \n\nHowever, $HIMS has not gotten the chance to yet in the same way they did with the US (eg. Testosterone). Especially partially due to former lawsuits. \n\nNow that's cleared up, the bull case can be seen again: \n\nInstead of modeling what revenue Zava/Eucalyptus traditionally brought, the important thing to look at is retail network capture through # of people. \n\nAs this is biggest source of latent revenue + revenue projection beats not priced in. \n\nNow, the billion dollar question is: \n\nWill $HIMS end up like $HOOD? \n\n$HIMS now has the one of the largest retail networks + distribution for healthcare. \n\nHowever, cross-selling seems much harder in healthcare vs. fintech or social media channels. \n\nThe answer whether it ends up a $30B company or a $5B one is up for management to figure out. \n\nSo for people on the sideline, it might be worth flipping long again in the off-chance $HIMS manages to figure out latent revenue expansion from their new global userbase. \n\nThe ~40%+ short interest and the new $NVO partnership serves as a huge bonus as well.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.028481438937488335, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.028481438937488335, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0197974855731331, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03324998107988808, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004768542142399745, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01033395980582974, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01033395980582974, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008726832900462611, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004969359418544261, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005364600387285479, "ret_p1w": -0.05091368611487668, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05091368611487668, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03729077939067793, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03044871497387769, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02046497114099899, "ret_p1m": -0.12224319010422802, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12224319010422802, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09681122568461553, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11839661842190086, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00384657168232716, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.7096, 0.5549, 0.506, 0.4526, 0.5047, 0.4594, 0.4765, 0.5293, 0.5422, 0.5153, 0.5178, 0.5178, 0.4887, 0.4799, 0.4549, 0.4253, 0.4253, 0.4519, 0.5531, 0.5337, 0.4741, 0.4542, 0.4527, 0.481, 0.5153, 0.5081, 0.3907, 0.3704, 0.3704, 0.3331, 0.3348, 0.339, 0.3483, 0.3485, 0.3263, 0.3031, 0.2759, 0.2537, 0.1331, 0.0973, 0.016, -0.0841, 0.0437, 0.0909, 0.0788, -0.0174, -0.1037, -0.0426, -0.0426, -0.0493, -0.0522, -0.0466, -0.0408, -0.0954, -0.0751, -0.0229, 0.0013, -0.0441, -0.0072, -0.0413, 0.036, 0.0152, -0.0285, 0.0, -0.0103, -0.0083, -0.0407, -0.0751, -0.0509, -0.0252, -0.0561, -0.0654, -0.1066, -0.0865, -0.1294, -0.0858, -0.1134, -0.168, -0.1788, -0.1267, -0.1164, -0.1317, -0.1317, -0.1206, -0.1222, -0.0948, -0.1163, -0.128, -0.0968, -0.0033, 0.1004, 0.0945, 0.1437, 0.1503, 0.0892, 0.1144, 0.0528, 0.0675, 0.058, 0.0343, -0.1027, -0.0814, -0.0717, -0.0353, -0.0292, -0.0038, -0.0387, -0.0292, 0.018, -0.0136, -0.0328, 0.017, -0.0279, -0.0277, -0.0654, -0.0452, -0.0432, -0.072, -0.072, -0.0663, -0.0393, 0.0692, 0.1884, 0.1884, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2031152993886941656", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-09T23:39:45+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$META (fully grown) achieved that same effect in the social media sector over the past decade", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish HIMS on latent revenue monetization from global user network capture; uses HOOD and META as comps for the same monetization trajectory.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Feels like people aren't articulating the bull case for $HIMS correctly:\n\nHere's my view. \n\nThe main moat of $HIMS is network capture of retail audiences.\n\nAnd the bull case is latent revenue monetization. \n\n$HOOD achieved that same effect in fintech over 2025. \n\n$META (fully grown) achieved that same effect in the social media sector over the past decade. \n\n$HIMS is now at the starting point in 2026. \n\nBut given millions of new users across the globe (Europe, Australia, Japan, Canada) from Zava + Eucalyptus: \n\n$HIMS now has that one-of-a-kind retail audience capture in the healthcare sector. \n\nHowever, the difference between ~$70B companies in Robinhood and $1.6T giants in $META is that:\n\nThey've already successfully monetized their retail audiences both through margin optimization, and new revenue streams. \n\nAnd very aggressively. $HIMS has not yet. \n\nRobinhood did so by pushing new products from banking/credit cards/prediction markets/etc. \n\nAnd they are all now independently generating $100m+ each as new revenue streams.\n\n$META did so by capturing the maximum amount of revenue per user after acquiring WhatsApp/Instagram. \n\nHowever, $HIMS has not gotten the chance to yet in the same way they did with the US (eg. Testosterone). Especially partially due to former lawsuits. \n\nNow that's cleared up, the bull case can be seen again: \n\nInstead of modeling what revenue Zava/Eucalyptus traditionally brought, the important thing to look at is retail network capture through # of people. \n\nAs this is biggest source of latent revenue + revenue projection beats not priced in. \n\nNow, the billion dollar question is: \n\nWill $HIMS end up like $HOOD? \n\n$HIMS now has the one of the largest retail networks + distribution for healthcare. \n\nHowever, cross-selling seems much harder in healthcare vs. fintech or social media channels. \n\nThe answer whether it ends up a $30B company or a $5B one is up for management to figure out. \n\nSo for people on the sideline, it might be worth flipping long again in the off-chance $HIMS manages to figure out latent revenue expansion from their new global userbase. \n\nThe ~40%+ short interest and the new $NVO partnership serves as a huge bonus as well.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00390799417688481, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00390799417688481, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004775959187470424, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0030573976623057275, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0008505965145790828, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010318403014069721, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010318403014069721, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01192552991943685, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011849541845288303, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0015311388312185814, "ret_p1w": -0.029970756095342388, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.029970756095342388, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01634784937114364, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01100177021797899, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018968985877363398, "ret_p1m": -0.11098048607234512, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11098048607234512, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08554852165273263, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06518968229347, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04579080377887512, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0034, 0.0074, -0.0057, 0.0002, 0.0151, 0.0033, 0.0264, 0.0176, 0.0218, 0.0271, 0.0311, 0.0311, 0.0246, 0.0175, 0.0287, 0.0196, 0.0196, 0.0047, 0.0176, 0.0204, 0.002, -0.0021, 0.0088, -0.0084, -0.0252, -0.0492, -0.0411, -0.0419, -0.0419, -0.0668, -0.0532, 0.0004, 0.0176, 0.0386, 0.0395, 0.033, 0.1404, 0.1068, 0.0912, 0.0684, 0.0334, 0.0352, 0.0217, 0.0461, 0.036, 0.0329, 0.0037, -0.0118, -0.0118, -0.0125, -0.0064, -0.004, 0.0128, -0.0157, -0.0125, 0.0097, 0.0149, 0.0012, 0.0095, 0.0119, 0.0314, 0.0204, -0.0039, 0.0, 0.0103, 0.0115, -0.0142, -0.052, -0.03, -0.0374, -0.0482, -0.062, -0.0822, -0.0661, -0.0834, -0.0803, -0.1535, -0.1872, -0.1708, -0.1155, -0.1045, -0.1119, -0.1119, -0.1141, -0.111, -0.0532, -0.0285, -0.0262, -0.019, 0.0242, 0.0383, 0.0464, 0.0645, 0.0372, 0.034, 0.0431, 0.019, 0.0436, 0.0491, 0.0379, 0.0345, -0.054, -0.0589, -0.0563, -0.0647, -0.0525, -0.0464, -0.0575, -0.0742, -0.0678, -0.0467, -0.0439, -0.0504, -0.0551, -0.0684, -0.0646, -0.061, -0.0565, -0.0565, -0.0533, -0.0179, -0.0179, -0.0221, -0.0221, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2024323887375466880", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-19T03:23:19+00:00", "symbol": "CVX", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have been chilling in $CVX longs though from my Venezuela invasion post. 18-22% IV presents pretty good upside.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holding CVX longs with 18-22% IV seen as good upside; ongoing position from Venezuela invasion thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["CVX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Haven’t looked into $WTI, unfortunately oil is not my area of expertise. But if I do expect the sector to go up going index directional longs like $XLE are much easier.\n\nI have been chilling in $CVX longs though from my Venezuela invasion post. 18-22% IV presents pretty good upside.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $WTI for oil? Massive call flows observed for $3 strikes expiring this week actually", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "platochi", "ret_m1d": -0.004924735202564867, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004924735202564867, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.007569143595429817, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.007569143595429817, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0026444083928649498, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0026444083928649498, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004600064017557526, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004600064017557526, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.011831928606680475, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011831928606680475, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007231864589122949, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007231864589122949, "ret_p1w": -0.0033552966945457063, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0033552966945457063, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01039715729939672, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01039715729939672, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0070418606048510135, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0070418606048510135, "ret_p1m": 0.09173069325214778, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09173069325214778, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1416060685211934, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1416060685211934, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04987537526904562, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04987537526904562, "ret_p3m": 0.07726299190997077, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07726299190997077, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.002383002897118791, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.002383002897118791, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07487998901285198, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07487998901285198, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1974, -0.204, -0.1987, -0.1987, -0.19, -0.1825, -0.1947, -0.1876, -0.184, -0.1961, -0.203, -0.2042, -0.1885, -0.1922, -0.1961, -0.1972, -0.2135, -0.1987, -0.2085, -0.2081, -0.1972, -0.1934, -0.1934, -0.1934, -0.196, -0.1908, -0.1837, -0.1832, -0.1832, -0.1645, -0.1219, -0.161, -0.1682, -0.1465, -0.1312, -0.13, -0.1218, -0.1037, -0.1095, -0.1089, -0.1089, -0.1141, -0.1064, -0.1068, -0.1065, -0.1023, -0.094, -0.0893, -0.0825, -0.0519, -0.0673, -0.0458, -0.0287, -0.0394, -0.0307, -0.0214, -0.0232, -0.0041, -0.0224, -0.0153, -0.0153, -0.0229, -0.0049, 0.0, -0.0046, 0.0007, 0.003, -0.003, -0.0034, 0.0107, 0.0261, 0.0216, 0.0068, 0.0277, 0.0279, 0.0252, 0.0082, 0.0379, 0.066, 0.0652, 0.0653, 0.0714, 0.0748, 0.0902, 0.0917, 0.1106, 0.1191, 0.1102, 0.1245, 0.1427, 0.1403, 0.1197, 0.0684, 0.0768, 0.0768, 0.0762, 0.0907, 0.0439, 0.0302, 0.0204, 0.0379, 0.0121, 0.0007, 0.0182, -0.0043, -0.0083, 0.0065, 0.0083, 0.0153, 0.0023, 0.0, 0.0194, 0.0403, 0.0462, 0.0317, 0.0406, 0.0425, 0.0021, -0.0123, -0.0171, -0.0002, 0.0063, 0.0066, 0.0101, 0.0342, 0.0614, 0.0773, 0.0449, 0.0432, 0.0455, 0.0455, 0.0088, -0.0038, -0.0004, -0.0035, -0.0035, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2017290890247840117", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-30T17:36:42+00:00", "symbol": "CRCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "For me it's an amazing long, I actually lost a lot on $CRCL so I'm cost averaging down", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Actively cost-averaging into CRCL despite near-term headwinds; still holds NBIS with cost avg in 90s.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "For me it's an amazing long, I actually lost a lot on $CRCL so I'm cost averaging down. $NBIS my cost average was in the 90's so not really much pain there. \n\nOnly things that have changed is $CRCL faces near term headwinds with 2-3 rate cuts. \n\nAnd the biggest thing is CLARITY Act which bans exchanges related to stablecoins like Coinbase from giving interest on top (because it competes with banks, which is just so, so stupid. I can't believe it's actually a thing that's likely to be passed ~57% on prediction markets). \n\nThat being said, added USDC supply would offset interest income losses, and stablecoins should be great going forward over the next few years.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What about $crcl? Thesis still hold? ‘Extraordinarily long’ at $84 not feeling so good right now. And nbis at 120 also hurting. This isn’t to be nasty, truly appreciate your insights, but losing conviction and wondering about your thoughts", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "hereforgoodish2", "ret_m1d": 0.05662447566559692, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05662447566559692, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.053632973008419516, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05456604726624481, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002991502657177403, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002058428399352108, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07930548522793845, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07930548522793845, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08427684735887397, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.09034590530259834, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004971362130935519, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011040420074659885, "ret_p1w": -0.10777411789079283, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10777411789079283, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10582318019715176, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12311844634619595, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.001950937693641075, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015344328455403122, "ret_p1m": 0.5038322998704088, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5038322998704088, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5119105864415575, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5438771951200878, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00807828657114873, "bench_c_p1m": -0.040044895249679024, "ret_p3m": 0.49475984830954545, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.49475984830954545, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4636119755816519, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5182088125732941, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031147872727893544, "bench_c_p3m": -0.02344896426374865, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.7402, 0.768, 0.5644, 0.6133, 0.6283, 0.5376, 0.3499, 0.288, 0.2809, 0.198, 0.1982, 0.0906, 0.0469, 0.1158, 0.1378, 0.0967, 0.1362, 0.1362, 0.2503, 0.1879, 0.2113, 0.3498, 0.3681, 0.3393, 0.3133, 0.3903, 0.3829, 0.3854, 0.3056, 0.1804, 0.2983, 0.2389, 0.2669, 0.3473, 0.3609, 0.2941, 0.2927, 0.2927, 0.2712, 0.2593, 0.2496, 0.2404, 0.2404, 0.3056, 0.3265, 0.3272, 0.2606, 0.2794, 0.2967, 0.2967, 0.3055, 0.3265, 0.1982, 0.2296, 0.2296, 0.1372, 0.1362, 0.1161, 0.1158, 0.109, 0.0943, 0.1394, 0.0566, 0.0, -0.0793, -0.1215, -0.1389, -0.2143, -0.1078, -0.0599, -0.0654, -0.0949, -0.1142, -0.0608, -0.0608, -0.0361, -0.0122, -0.0314, -0.0142, -0.0432, -0.04, 0.3005, 0.3641, 0.3052, 0.5038, 0.5584, 0.6466, 0.654, 0.5941, 0.7494, 0.8472, 0.7646, 0.786, 0.8048, 0.9682, 1.0696, 1.0779, 1.0074, 0.9714, 0.9809, 0.5825, 0.6246, 0.5371, 0.465, 0.4064, 0.4924, 0.4194, 0.4119, 0.4119, 0.4414, 0.4722, 0.4772, 0.3311, 0.3771, 0.5436, 0.6501, 0.6506, 0.6809, 0.6567, 0.6637, 0.502, 0.6324, 0.5644, 0.5589, 0.4929, 0.4758, 0.4948, 0.4216, 0.5595, 0.8697, 0.7862, 0.9052, 0.7715, 0.778, 1.061, 0.9341, 0.9798, 0.9377, 0.7832, 0.7424, 0.7367, 0.746, 0.797, 0.7694, 0.7694, 0.6294, 0.6055, 0.6931, 0.7676, 0.7676, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2017290890247840117", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-30T17:36:42+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS my cost average was in the 90's so not really much pain there", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Actively cost-averaging into CRCL despite near-term headwinds; still holds NBIS with cost avg in 90s.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "For me it's an amazing long, I actually lost a lot on $CRCL so I'm cost averaging down. $NBIS my cost average was in the 90's so not really much pain there. \n\nOnly things that have changed is $CRCL faces near term headwinds with 2-3 rate cuts. \n\nAnd the biggest thing is CLARITY Act which bans exchanges related to stablecoins like Coinbase from giving interest on top (because it competes with banks, which is just so, so stupid. I can't believe it's actually a thing that's likely to be passed ~57% on prediction markets). \n\nThat being said, added USDC supply would offset interest income losses, and stablecoins should be great going forward over the next few years.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What about $crcl? Thesis still hold? ‘Extraordinarily long’ at $84 not feeling so good right now. And nbis at 120 also hurting. This isn’t to be nasty, truly appreciate your insights, but losing conviction and wondering about your thoughts", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "hereforgoodish2", "ret_m1d": 0.11409790987373847, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.11409790987373847, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.11110640721656106, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.11651296851969939, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002991502657177403, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0024150586459609213, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.034863260190019396, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.034863260190019396, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.029891898059083877, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.038277677624843354, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004971362130935519, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0034144174348239575, "ret_p1w": 0.010681958054183038, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.010681958054183038, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.012632895747824113, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.046657982111711016, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.001950937693641075, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03597602405752798, "ret_p1m": 0.06831787214499996, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06831787214499996, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07639615871614869, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0867222252419988, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00807828657114873, "bench_c_p1m": -0.018404353096998838, "ret_p3m": 0.6573541307093733, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6573541307093733, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.6262062579814798, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.6941803650408119, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031147872727893544, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03682623433143861, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2976, 0.3734, 0.2847, 0.3063, 0.2906, 0.1999, 0.1076, 0.0404, -0.0194, 0.0093, 0.0628, 0.116, -0.0065, -0.0227, 0.0788, 0.0433, 0.1115, 0.1115, 0.1136, 0.1756, 0.1322, 0.1612, 0.2067, 0.1508, 0.1777, 0.1317, 0.0986, 0.1067, 0.0293, -0.0475, -0.0498, -0.1143, -0.0833, 0.0501, 0.0944, 0.0568, 0.0697, 0.0697, 0.0282, 0.01, -0.0002, -0.0174, -0.0174, 0.0559, 0.0897, 0.1767, 0.1294, 0.1422, 0.1495, 0.2599, 0.2376, 0.1971, 0.2195, 0.2763, 0.2763, 0.1655, 0.1606, 0.1369, 0.1093, 0.0736, 0.1488, 0.1789, 0.1141, 0.0, 0.0349, 0.0559, -0.0329, -0.1329, 0.0107, 0.0903, 0.0775, 0.0401, 0.0533, 0.1505, 0.1505, 0.1447, 0.195, 0.2632, 0.1494, 0.181, 0.2041, 0.2457, 0.2311, 0.0704, 0.0683, 0.0189, 0.1478, 0.1228, 0.0486, 0.1145, 0.1319, 0.3146, 0.2682, 0.3259, 0.5242, 0.3655, 0.3917, 0.4265, 0.3807, 0.3399, 0.3489, 0.351, 0.2439, 0.1835, 0.083, 0.218, 0.1967, 0.2774, 0.2774, 0.321, 0.3781, 0.4673, 0.6003, 0.7017, 0.8143, 0.9009, 0.9576, 0.9408, 0.8446, 0.8683, 0.8377, 0.8328, 0.8439, 0.7274, 0.7016, 0.5907, 0.6574, 0.6226, 0.8135, 1.0709, 1.065, 1.2901, 1.1689, 1.0783, 1.1845, 1.1025, 1.433, 1.596, 1.5818, 1.346, 1.321, 1.2517, 1.5816, 1.5211, 1.5211, 1.4423, 1.4459, 1.6569, 1.7126, 1.7126, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2029865869875249547", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-06T10:25:11+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I really, really like $LITE, likely going higher as it's tethered to $GOOGL TPU program", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long LITE (tied to Google TPU), long AAOI (multi-x potential), long COHR as safest capital-parking option.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Depends on your risk profile. I really, really like $LITE, likely going higher as it's tethered to $GOOGL TPU program.  \n\n$AAOI just has more potential for multi-x return given MC size and extreme revenue ramp, just wanted to try and find the next $LITE. \n\nI do think $COHR is probably the safest, if I were to be parking capital + making it the largest position.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit would u recommend selling $LITE and placing proceeds in $AAOI instead? $CRDO is a bigger position  in my portfolio", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ram_blings", "ret_m1d": 0.16542512083472283, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.16542512083472283, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.15214390710158132, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.15214390710158132, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013281213733141506, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013281213733141506, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1472852941057532, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1472852941057532, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.13852526909271412, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.13852526909271412, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008760025013039074, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008760025013039074, "ret_p1w": 0.11471240827758433, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11471240827758433, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12971877531571463, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.12971877531571463, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.015006367038130297, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015006367038130297, "ret_p1m": 0.38292390573847856, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.38292390573847856, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.40025107865521914, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.40025107865521914, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017327172916740574, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017327172916740574, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3548, -0.3446, -0.3337, -0.4192, -0.4007, -0.4339, -0.4265, -0.3963, -0.3349, -0.3018, -0.3063, -0.291, -0.291, -0.3002, -0.3328, -0.3353, -0.34, -0.34, -0.3086, -0.3606, -0.2883, -0.2965, -0.3764, -0.3707, -0.3914, -0.353, -0.4062, -0.3853, -0.4194, -0.4194, -0.361, -0.351, -0.3652, -0.3926, -0.4047, -0.3363, -0.3106, -0.317, -0.2983, -0.2418, -0.2209, -0.1664, -0.0967, -0.0116, 0.0335, 0.0048, 0.0281, 0.0448, 0.0077, 0.0077, 0.0752, 0.0641, 0.1382, 0.1958, 0.2082, 0.2325, 0.2954, 0.2123, 0.2551, 0.4026, 0.2435, 0.2191, 0.1654, 0.0, 0.1473, 0.2034, 0.2034, 0.1032, 0.1147, 0.1189, 0.1632, 0.2549, 0.3827, 0.2649, 0.3053, 0.4361, 0.3917, 0.2334, 0.2584, 0.1725, 0.2584, 0.3693, 0.4807, 0.4807, 0.3829, 0.4608, 0.6045, 0.6011, 0.6068, 0.56, 0.5271, 0.4756, 0.5959, 0.601, 0.6029, 0.4987, 0.5644, 0.5165, 0.5788, 0.5394, 0.4171, 0.537, 0.6158, 0.701, 0.748, 0.781, 0.6909, 0.5983, 0.6184, 0.8858, 0.777, 0.8451, 0.7939, 0.7382, 0.5847, 0.5939, 0.5545, 0.7271, 0.6956, 0.6956, 0.631, 0.6158, 0.5411, 0.531, 0.531, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2029865869875249547", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-06T10:25:11+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI just has more potential for multi-x return given MC size and extreme revenue ramp", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long LITE (tied to Google TPU), long AAOI (multi-x potential), long COHR as safest capital-parking option.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Depends on your risk profile. I really, really like $LITE, likely going higher as it's tethered to $GOOGL TPU program.  \n\n$AAOI just has more potential for multi-x return given MC size and extreme revenue ramp, just wanted to try and find the next $LITE. \n\nI do think $COHR is probably the safest, if I were to be parking capital + making it the largest position.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit would u recommend selling $LITE and placing proceeds in $AAOI instead? $CRDO is a bigger position  in my portfolio", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ram_blings", "ret_m1d": 0.05817113885833036, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05817113885833036, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.044889925125188856, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.044889925125188856, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013281213733141506, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013281213733141506, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.15735510177235357, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.15735510177235357, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.1485950767593145, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.1485950767593145, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008760025013039074, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008760025013039074, "ret_p1w": 0.012868756057498043, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.012868756057498043, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02787512309562834, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02787512309562834, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.015006367038130297, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015006367038130297, "ret_p1m": 0.12418910744706468, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12418910744706468, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14151628036380526, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14151628036380526, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017327172916740574, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017327172916740574, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6822, -0.634, -0.62, -0.6646, -0.6872, -0.697, -0.716, -0.694, -0.6723, -0.591, -0.5748, -0.571, -0.571, -0.6111, -0.6155, -0.6231, -0.6353, -0.6353, -0.5857, -0.6339, -0.596, -0.6019, -0.6546, -0.6439, -0.6472, -0.6424, -0.6394, -0.6129, -0.6125, -0.6125, -0.5892, -0.5985, -0.6009, -0.6263, -0.635, -0.6088, -0.5268, -0.586, -0.5437, -0.538, -0.5175, -0.5825, -0.6011, -0.5365, -0.4987, -0.4927, -0.4936, -0.5398, -0.5348, -0.5348, -0.5406, -0.5455, -0.5085, -0.4593, -0.4354, -0.4113, -0.3919, -0.4383, -0.1187, 0.0725, -0.0025, 0.0432, 0.0582, 0.0, 0.1574, 0.2606, 0.3288, 0.111, 0.0129, -0.0158, -0.0968, -0.0309, 0.0663, -0.0841, 0.0019, 0.1917, 0.197, 0.0193, 0.0275, -0.1087, -0.115, -0.0966, 0.0872, 0.0872, 0.1242, 0.2308, 0.3884, 0.3946, 0.5756, 0.6027, 0.5316, 0.4914, 0.646, 0.6679, 0.7103, 0.5753, 0.5633, 0.441, 0.6967, 0.5252, 0.4361, 0.599, 0.7196, 0.92, 0.8098, 0.8892, 0.868, 0.6484, 0.5583, 0.9345, 0.9699, 1.3342, 1.1298, 0.9916, 0.8127, 0.7925, 0.729, 0.8499, 0.8988, 0.8988, 0.8583, 0.8815, 0.7684, 0.6574, 0.6574, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2029865869875249547", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-06T10:25:11+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$COHR is probably the safest, if I were to be parking capital + making it the largest position", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long LITE (tied to Google TPU), long AAOI (multi-x potential), long COHR as safest capital-parking option.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Depends on your risk profile. I really, really like $LITE, likely going higher as it's tethered to $GOOGL TPU program.  \n\n$AAOI just has more potential for multi-x return given MC size and extreme revenue ramp, just wanted to try and find the next $LITE. \n\nI do think $COHR is probably the safest, if I were to be parking capital + making it the largest position.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit would u recommend selling $LITE and placing proceeds in $AAOI instead? $CRDO is a bigger position  in my portfolio", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ram_blings", "ret_m1d": 0.07699810708676624, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07699810708676624, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06371689335362474, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06371689335362474, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013281213733141506, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013281213733141506, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07042256073965114, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07042256073965114, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06166253572661207, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06166253572661207, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008760025013039074, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008760025013039074, "ret_p1w": 0.0298659140067683, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0298659140067683, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0448722810448986, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0448722810448986, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.015006367038130297, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015006367038130297, "ret_p1m": 0.07424062408524623, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07424062408524623, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0915677970019868, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0915677970019868, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017327172916740574, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017327172916740574, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1824, -0.1624, -0.1579, -0.2434, -0.243, -0.2567, -0.2769, -0.2546, -0.2116, -0.1898, -0.186, -0.1881, -0.1881, -0.1867, -0.1981, -0.2075, -0.217, -0.217, -0.1756, -0.2094, -0.1765, -0.1871, -0.2654, -0.2446, -0.2144, -0.1938, -0.2189, -0.1687, -0.1895, -0.1895, -0.1793, -0.1453, -0.14, -0.1645, -0.161, -0.0921, -0.0619, -0.0843, -0.0999, -0.0563, -0.0277, -0.1049, -0.1123, -0.0341, 0.0286, -0.0312, -0.051, -0.0832, -0.0784, -0.0784, -0.0669, -0.0502, -0.0137, 0.0529, 0.0559, 0.0812, 0.1365, 0.0612, 0.0985, 0.2681, 0.1913, 0.166, 0.077, 0.0, 0.0704, 0.1057, 0.0666, 0.0235, 0.0299, 0.0494, 0.0428, 0.0912, 0.1691, 0.076, 0.082, 0.1553, 0.1541, 0.0321, 0.0329, -0.0682, 0.0106, 0.0512, 0.0952, 0.0952, 0.0742, 0.0822, 0.1954, 0.2055, 0.3045, 0.3063, 0.3296, 0.3075, 0.3915, 0.4637, 0.4742, 0.4585, 0.4868, 0.4325, 0.4258, 0.364, 0.2895, 0.2936, 0.3563, 0.3978, 0.3995, 0.4243, 0.4622, 0.3541, 0.4223, 0.6108, 0.5867, 0.7127, 0.7179, 0.6225, 0.5392, 0.5002, 0.5209, 0.6036, 0.6018, 0.6018, 0.6178, 0.6128, 0.5991, 0.5335, 0.5335, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2032586352345362837", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-13T22:35:24+00:00", "symbol": "AEHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm long since I do think they be close to hitting their $AAOI-type hyperscaler demand inflection point", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AEHR; sees hyperscaler demand inflection point approaching, supported by recent order flow.", "resolved_tickers": ["AEHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@soup19152116 I've covered $AEHR already and I'm long since I do think they be close to hitting their $AAOI-type hyperscaler demand inflection point. \n\nThere were streams of different orders past two to three months, think it's promising.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit great list, I'm also thinking of relonging $AEHR. could I get your thoughts?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soup19152116", "ret_m1d": 0.05550892791066664, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05550892791066664, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.049816599205875445, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05344345831553721, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005692328704791194, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002065469595129432, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.050742962327001706, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.050742962327001706, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04056609621551854, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03372897661990959, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010176866111483163, "bench_c_p1d": 0.017013985707092116, "ret_p1w": -0.032239915060686575, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.032239915060686575, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.014198359277639572, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0255531197500235, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.018041555783047003, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006686795310663074, "ret_p1m": 1.008971329987265, "ret_signed_p1m": 1.008971329987265, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.9701911566900057, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.8643659245000888, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.038780173297259246, "bench_c_p1m": 0.14460540548717615, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.386, -0.3975, -0.3981, -0.3886, -0.3661, -0.3616, -0.3813, -0.3813, -0.3984, -0.4292, -0.4298, -0.434, -0.434, -0.3787, -0.3415, -0.3067, -0.3221, -0.3636, -0.2621, -0.2613, -0.2484, -0.2719, -0.2562, -0.1923, -0.1923, -0.1853, -0.1814, -0.1334, -0.2139, -0.2492, -0.222, -0.2156, -0.2464, -0.2812, -0.2694, -0.2377, -0.3319, -0.3552, -0.2602, -0.2265, -0.2478, -0.051, -0.2181, -0.1915, -0.1915, -0.2013, -0.1867, -0.1514, -0.058, -0.0378, 0.0998, 0.1629, 0.1158, 0.0493, 0.2344, 0.1674, 0.196, 0.1351, -0.0017, 0.1461, 0.1763, 0.1901, 0.0555, 0.0, 0.0507, 0.0398, 0.0179, 0.0586, -0.0322, 0.0415, 0.0987, 0.0942, -0.0308, -0.0883, -0.1556, 0.0395, 0.1102, 0.2425, 0.2425, 0.4623, 0.4087, 0.7707, 0.9305, 0.9745, 1.009, 1.0852, 1.0527, 1.2666, 1.351, 1.5273, 1.6274, 1.7295, 1.6776, 1.6888, 1.4805, 1.3109, 1.2935, 1.5388, 1.6092, 1.4001, 1.5565, 1.7118, 1.5585, 1.7258, 1.9313, 1.7115, 1.8946, 1.9812, 1.7895, 1.3429, 1.2747, 1.3084, 1.5596, 1.6639, 1.6639, 2.0816, 1.9106, 1.8032, 1.5884, 1.5884, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2031014187401650192", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-09T14:28:11+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Leading photonic names do not concern itself with Crude Oil prices spiking. Photonics is the next paradigm of AI, the War in Iran doesn't change that.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish photonic names AXTI, AAOI, LITE, COHR as the next AI paradigm, insulated from oil/Iran geopolitical risk.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Leading photonic names do not concern itself with Crude Oil prices spiking.\n\n$AXTI +14.13%\n$AAOI +6.73%\n$LITE +10.22%\n$COHR +3.39%\n\nPhotonics is the next paradigm of AI, the War in Iran doesn’t change that. https://t.co/Xznwa2VDuT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.1605291032404843, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1605291032404843, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.15184514987612907, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.125511232384234, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0350178708562503, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.14885886046013996, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.14885886046013996, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.1504659873655071, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.1413532401246005, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007505620335539476, "ret_p1w": 0.2549273253700213, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2549273253700213, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.26855023209422, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2560683393797697, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00114101400974842, "ret_p1m": 0.17894184298346505, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.17894184298346505, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.20437380740307753, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.164919481120835, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014022361862630062, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5978, -0.5752, -0.6159, -0.6154, -0.6629, -0.6795, -0.6367, -0.6201, -0.6053, -0.6203, -0.6107, -0.6107, -0.6014, -0.6216, -0.5902, -0.576, -0.576, -0.5654, -0.5677, -0.4769, -0.3747, -0.3301, -0.4038, -0.4232, -0.4422, -0.4269, -0.333, -0.4271, -0.4271, -0.4448, -0.487, -0.5353, -0.5488, -0.5384, -0.5539, -0.5635, -0.5752, -0.5192, -0.457, -0.4881, -0.5137, -0.4702, -0.376, -0.2798, -0.3685, -0.305, -0.3571, -0.3714, -0.3714, -0.3981, -0.3895, -0.3825, -0.2303, -0.2627, -0.0902, 0.0625, -0.0373, -0.0171, 0.2012, 0.083, 0.0148, 0.0062, -0.1605, 0.0, 0.1489, 0.2282, 0.2119, 0.2671, 0.2549, 0.1504, 0.2645, 0.5065, 0.4066, 0.6712, 0.7749, 0.7466, 0.5174, 0.5724, 0.3675, 0.4777, 0.2225, 0.3703, 0.3703, 0.089, 0.1789, 0.3791, 0.6369, 0.6644, 0.7233, 0.7453, 0.632, 1.1209, 1.1411, 1.0425, 0.9442, 1.2547, 0.952, 0.9751, 0.8192, 0.7819, 0.8431, 1.0545, 1.4896, 1.749, 1.7892, 1.7186, 1.8117, 2.0176, 2.2627, 2.1872, 2.1623, 1.9818, 2.2101, 1.7459, 1.9274, 1.7129, 2.1385, 2.6522, 2.6522, 2.4388, 2.1839, 2.0005, 1.6753, 1.6753, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2031014187401650192", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-09T14:28:11+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Leading photonic names do not concern itself with Crude Oil prices spiking. Photonics is the next paradigm of AI, the War in Iran doesn't change that.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish photonic names AXTI, AAOI, LITE, COHR as the next AI paradigm, insulated from oil/Iran geopolitical risk.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Leading photonic names do not concern itself with Crude Oil prices spiking.\n\n$AXTI +14.13%\n$AAOI +6.73%\n$LITE +10.22%\n$COHR +3.39%\n\nPhotonics is the next paradigm of AI, the War in Iran doesn’t change that. https://t.co/Xznwa2VDuT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.13596095228800786, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.13596095228800786, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12727699892365263, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12727699892365263, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08922432536725333, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08922432536725333, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09083145227262046, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09083145227262046, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "ret_p1w": -0.1496113057389088, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1496113057389088, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.13598839901471005, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.13598839901471005, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "ret_p1m": 0.0634604634674294, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0634604634674294, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08889242788704188, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08889242788704188, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6838, -0.6717, -0.7102, -0.7297, -0.7382, -0.7547, -0.7356, -0.7169, -0.6466, -0.6326, -0.6294, -0.6294, -0.664, -0.6678, -0.6744, -0.6849, -0.6849, -0.642, -0.6837, -0.651, -0.656, -0.7016, -0.6923, -0.6952, -0.691, -0.6884, -0.6655, -0.6652, -0.6652, -0.6451, -0.653, -0.6551, -0.6771, -0.6846, -0.662, -0.5911, -0.6423, -0.6058, -0.6008, -0.5831, -0.6393, -0.6553, -0.5995, -0.5669, -0.5617, -0.5625, -0.6023, -0.5981, -0.5981, -0.6031, -0.6073, -0.5753, -0.5328, -0.5122, -0.4913, -0.4746, -0.5146, -0.2386, -0.0733, -0.1381, -0.0986, -0.0857, -0.136, 0.0, 0.0892, 0.1482, -0.04, -0.1248, -0.1496, -0.2196, -0.1626, -0.0786, -0.2086, -0.1343, 0.0297, 0.0343, -0.1193, -0.1122, -0.2299, -0.2353, -0.2194, -0.0607, -0.0607, -0.0287, 0.0635, 0.1996, 0.205, 0.3614, 0.3848, 0.3234, 0.2886, 0.4222, 0.4411, 0.4778, 0.3611, 0.3508, 0.2451, 0.466, 0.3178, 0.2408, 0.3816, 0.4858, 0.6589, 0.5637, 0.6323, 0.614, 0.4242, 0.3464, 0.6715, 0.702, 1.0168, 0.8403, 0.7208, 0.5663, 0.5488, 0.4939, 0.5984, 0.6407, 0.6407, 0.6057, 0.6257, 0.5279, 0.432, 0.432, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2031014187401650192", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-09T14:28:11+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Leading photonic names do not concern itself with Crude Oil prices spiking. Photonics is the next paradigm of AI, the War in Iran doesn't change that.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish photonic names AXTI, AAOI, LITE, COHR as the next AI paradigm, insulated from oil/Iran geopolitical risk.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Leading photonic names do not concern itself with Crude Oil prices spiking.\n\n$AXTI +14.13%\n$AAOI +6.73%\n$LITE +10.22%\n$COHR +3.39%\n\nPhotonics is the next paradigm of AI, the War in Iran doesn’t change that. https://t.co/Xznwa2VDuT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.12837721782231515, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.12837721782231515, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11969326445795991, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.11969326445795991, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04886918390997863, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04886918390997863, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05047631081534576, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05047631081534576, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "ret_p1w": -0.024738915115796623, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.024738915115796623, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.011116008391597876, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.011116008391597876, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "ret_p1m": 0.2732366618669124, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2732366618669124, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2986686262865249, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2986686262865249, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4287, -0.4192, -0.4937, -0.4776, -0.5065, -0.5001, -0.4738, -0.4203, -0.3915, -0.3953, -0.382, -0.382, -0.3901, -0.4184, -0.4207, -0.4247, -0.4247, -0.3974, -0.4427, -0.3797, -0.3868, -0.4564, -0.4515, -0.4695, -0.436, -0.4824, -0.4642, -0.4939, -0.4939, -0.4431, -0.4343, -0.4467, -0.4706, -0.4811, -0.4215, -0.3991, -0.4046, -0.3884, -0.3391, -0.3209, -0.2734, -0.2127, -0.1384, -0.0992, -0.1242, -0.1039, -0.0893, -0.1217, -0.1217, -0.0629, -0.0725, -0.0079, 0.0423, 0.0531, 0.0743, 0.1291, 0.0567, 0.094, 0.2225, 0.0839, 0.0626, 0.0158, -0.1284, 0.0, 0.0489, 0.0489, -0.0384, -0.0284, -0.0247, 0.0138, 0.0938, 0.2052, 0.1025, 0.1378, 0.2518, 0.213, 0.0751, 0.0968, 0.022, 0.0969, 0.1935, 0.2906, 0.2906, 0.2054, 0.2732, 0.3985, 0.3956, 0.4005, 0.3598, 0.331, 0.2861, 0.391, 0.3955, 0.3971, 0.3063, 0.3635, 0.3218, 0.3761, 0.3418, 0.2352, 0.3397, 0.4084, 0.4827, 0.5236, 0.5523, 0.4738, 0.3932, 0.4107, 0.6437, 0.5489, 0.6082, 0.5636, 0.5151, 0.3813, 0.3893, 0.3549, 0.5054, 0.4779, 0.4779, 0.4216, 0.4083, 0.3433, 0.3344, 0.3344, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2031014187401650192", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-03-09T14:28:11+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Leading photonic names do not concern itself with Crude Oil prices spiking. Photonics is the next paradigm of AI, the War in Iran doesn't change that.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish photonic names AXTI, AAOI, LITE, COHR as the next AI paradigm, insulated from oil/Iran geopolitical risk.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Leading photonic names do not concern itself with Crude Oil prices spiking.\n\n$AXTI +14.13%\n$AAOI +6.73%\n$LITE +10.22%\n$COHR +3.39%\n\nPhotonics is the next paradigm of AI, the War in Iran doesn’t change that. https://t.co/Xznwa2VDuT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06578949596408912, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06578949596408912, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05710554259973388, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05710554259973388, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03297402933857696, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03297402933857696, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03458115624394409, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03458115624394409, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "ret_p1w": -0.019617993275779844, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.019617993275779844, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.005995086551581097, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.005995086551581097, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "ret_p1m": 0.011017750073717858, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.011017750073717858, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03644971449333034, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03644971449333034, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2175, -0.2133, -0.2932, -0.2928, -0.3056, -0.3245, -0.3036, -0.2635, -0.2431, -0.2396, -0.2416, -0.2416, -0.2402, -0.2509, -0.2596, -0.2685, -0.2685, -0.2298, -0.2614, -0.2307, -0.2406, -0.3138, -0.2943, -0.2661, -0.2469, -0.2703, -0.2234, -0.2429, -0.2429, -0.2333, -0.2016, -0.1966, -0.2195, -0.2162, -0.1519, -0.1236, -0.1445, -0.1591, -0.1184, -0.0917, -0.1638, -0.1707, -0.0977, -0.0391, -0.0949, -0.1135, -0.1435, -0.1391, -0.1391, -0.1282, -0.1127, -0.0786, -0.0164, -0.0136, 0.0101, 0.0617, -0.0086, 0.0262, 0.1846, 0.1129, 0.0893, 0.0061, -0.0658, 0.0, 0.033, -0.0036, -0.0438, -0.0379, -0.0196, -0.0258, 0.0194, 0.0921, 0.0052, 0.0108, 0.0793, 0.0782, -0.0358, -0.035, -0.1295, -0.0559, -0.0179, 0.0231, 0.0231, 0.0036, 0.011, 0.1168, 0.1262, 0.2187, 0.2204, 0.2422, 0.2215, 0.2999, 0.3674, 0.3773, 0.3625, 0.389, 0.3383, 0.332, 0.2743, 0.2047, 0.2085, 0.2671, 0.3059, 0.3074, 0.3306, 0.366, 0.265, 0.3287, 0.5048, 0.4823, 0.6, 0.6049, 0.5157, 0.438, 0.4015, 0.4208, 0.4981, 0.4964, 0.4964, 0.5114, 0.5067, 0.4939, 0.4326, 0.4326, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2031748911174725855", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-11T15:07:43+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I would personally hold and go long here on HIMS. The risk/reward on management effectively monetizing that massive, global retail distribution network for healthcare seems worth it.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Explicitly long HIMS on untapped DTC distribution moat, global acquisitions, and short squeeze potential from NVO partnership.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$HIMS is now back up 14.22%.\n\nThe untapped latent revenue from their their global DTC retail distribution moat is extreme.\n\nAnd draws parallels to the early acquisitions from $META.\n\nAs well as the cross-selling capabilities of $HOOD. \n\n$HIMS is still down from it's $70+ highs, after acquiring three major global competitors without regulatory friction. \n\nAnd best of yet:\n\nShorts that sold 40%+ of the company short directionally, are completely trapped from the surprising $NVO partnership + lawsuit termination. \n\nI would personally hold and go long here on HIMS.\n\nThe risk/reward on management effectively monetizing that massive, global retail distribution network for healthcare seems worth it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Feels like people aren't articulating the bull case for $HIMS correctly:\n\nHere's my view. \n\nThe main moat of $HIMS is network capture of retail audiences.\n\nAnd the bull case is latent revenue monetization. \n\n$HOOD achieved that same effect in fintech over 2025. \n\n$META (fully https://t.co/LGmgQFcam0", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.09312209913304814, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09312209913304814, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09437883947545389, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09437883947545389, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0788253119911726, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0788253119911726, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0636403631218091, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0636403631218091, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "ret_p1w": -0.10548684817482279, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10548684817482279, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08345615739565737, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08345615739565737, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "ret_p1m": -0.23686241729325552, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.23686241729325552, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2449011033227243, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2449011033227243, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "bench_c_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.4378, 0.4007, 0.4243, 0.3512, 0.3435, 0.374, 0.3543, 0.3447, 0.3396, 0.3396, 0.3257, 0.3176, 0.2767, 0.2546, 0.2546, 0.291, 0.3412, 0.3702, 0.3702, 0.3087, 0.2245, 0.2496, 0.2442, 0.2102, 0.2067, 0.2125, 0.2125, 0.1774, 0.1163, 0.1793, 0.1445, 0.17, 0.1468, 0.1078, 0.1542, 0.0468, 0.0216, -0.0131, -0.0572, -0.0927, -0.1105, -0.2531, -0.3338, -0.3551, -0.3895, -0.3702, -0.3702, -0.3713, -0.3879, -0.3887, -0.3961, -0.4007, -0.4026, -0.3887, -0.3972, -0.4389, -0.3632, -0.3887, -0.3644, -0.3864, -0.3918, -0.1437, -0.0931, 0.0, -0.0788, -0.0429, -0.0386, -0.0348, -0.1055, -0.0665, -0.1491, -0.1321, -0.1754, -0.1947, -0.194, -0.2512, -0.2743, -0.1978, -0.2334, -0.2604, -0.2604, -0.2145, -0.2465, -0.2508, -0.2369, -0.2492, -0.1828, -0.1747, -0.0614, 0.0429, 0.1136, 0.1982, 0.1499, 0.1209, 0.0877, 0.1808, 0.1356, 0.0784, 0.0174, 0.0498, 0.0591, 0.0537, 0.0174, 0.0386, -0.0089, 0.0923, 0.126, -0.0328, -0.0672, -0.0634, -0.0321, -0.1387, -0.1329, -0.1097, -0.0723, -0.0823, -0.0823, -0.0784, -0.0263, -0.0193, 0.0104, 0.0104, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2036028113826783740", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-23T10:31:44+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Still holding", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still holding AXTI with 604% unrealized gains; ongoing long position.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@marv_jones6 @BonyBallf2 Yeah I’m sitting on 604% unrealized gains for $AXTI… so hard to notice this stock “down a lot” according to the commenter.\n\nStill holding https://t.co/zhGXaYkeTZ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @BonyBallf2 Still long $AXTI for now after a parabolic run?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "marv_jones6", "ret_m1d": -0.15828678424110965, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.15828678424110965, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.14789586979779912, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.141371424048522, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010390914443310528, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01691536019258766, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06207324407905013, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06207324407905013, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0654300938313166, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05381994505200072, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0033568497522664664, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00825329902704941, "ret_p1w": -0.18171946703164, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.18171946703164, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.14599968002978692, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10805330888732345, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.035719787001853076, "bench_c_p1w": -0.07366615814431654, "ret_p1m": 0.1634077960948488, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1634077960948488, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08909974298947643, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.023887842330476472, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07430805310537236, "bench_c_p1m": 0.18729563842532526, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7671, -0.7671, -0.7615, -0.7736, -0.7548, -0.7463, -0.7463, -0.7399, -0.7413, -0.687, -0.6259, -0.5992, -0.6432, -0.6549, -0.6662, -0.657, -0.6009, -0.6572, -0.6572, -0.6678, -0.693, -0.7219, -0.73, -0.7238, -0.7331, -0.7388, -0.7458, -0.7123, -0.675, -0.6937, -0.709, -0.683, -0.6266, -0.5691, -0.6221, -0.5841, -0.6153, -0.6238, -0.6238, -0.6398, -0.6347, -0.6305, -0.5394, -0.5588, -0.4556, -0.3642, -0.424, -0.4119, -0.2812, -0.352, -0.3928, -0.3979, -0.4977, -0.4016, -0.3125, -0.2651, -0.2748, -0.2418, -0.2491, -0.3116, -0.2433, -0.0985, -0.1583, 0.0, 0.0621, 0.0452, -0.092, -0.0591, -0.1817, -0.1158, -0.2685, -0.18, -0.18, -0.3484, -0.2945, -0.1747, -0.0205, -0.004, 0.0312, 0.0444, -0.0234, 0.2691, 0.2812, 0.2222, 0.1634, 0.3492, 0.1681, 0.1819, 0.0886, 0.0663, 0.1029, 0.2294, 0.4898, 0.6449, 0.669, 0.6268, 0.6825, 0.8057, 0.9524, 0.9072, 0.8923, 0.7843, 0.9209, 0.6431, 0.7517, 0.6234, 0.878, 1.1854, 1.1854, 1.0577, 0.9052, 0.7955, 0.6009, 0.6009, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2036874293653680515", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-25T18:34:09+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Hyperscalers have orders completely booked until 2028 from $LITE to $COHR", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish pluggable optical names LITE, COHR on booked hyperscaler demand through 2028; TSEM cheap at ~20x fwd P/E with 70% capacity booked.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I wouldn't say it's speculative. Hyperscalers have orders completely booked until 2028 from $LITE to $COHR.\n\nEven $TSEM has 70% of their capacity booked and it's low fwd ~20 P/E 2028. \n\nCW/CPO more speculative for photonics, not the pluggable optical transceivers cycle. But compared to memory/GPUs, makes snse. \n\nBut think everyones looking at photonics bottlenecks right low like pcb, which is funny", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "hot ball of capital went from GPUs -&gt; Memory -&gt; Photonics. GPUs have rolled over, Memory is rolling over ($MU post earnings) .... photonics next? Photonics also happens to be the most speculative of the bunch", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "degentradingLSD", "ret_m1d": 0.03193639470129672, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03193639470129672, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.037478270112897505, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.037478270112897505, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005541875411600783, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005541875411600783, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.11370742187736216, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.11370742187736216, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.09584867771922345, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.09584867771922345, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017858744158138706, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017858744158138706, "ret_p1w": -0.016109678411937667, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.016109678411937667, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.013704122746420633, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.013704122746420633, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002405555665517034, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002405555665517034, "ret_p1m": 0.089710144847863, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.089710144847863, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.011104127511172734, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.011104127511172734, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07860601733669026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07860601733669026, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4972, -0.5206, -0.5224, -0.5257, -0.5257, -0.5032, -0.5406, -0.4886, -0.4945, -0.5519, -0.5478, -0.5627, -0.5351, -0.5733, -0.5583, -0.5828, -0.5828, -0.5409, -0.5336, -0.5439, -0.5636, -0.5722, -0.5231, -0.5046, -0.5092, -0.4958, -0.4552, -0.4401, -0.401, -0.351, -0.2897, -0.2574, -0.278, -0.2613, -0.2493, -0.2759, -0.2759, -0.2274, -0.2354, -0.1821, -0.1408, -0.1318, -0.1144, -0.0692, -0.1289, -0.0981, 0.0078, -0.1065, -0.124, -0.1626, -0.2814, -0.1756, -0.1353, -0.1353, -0.2073, -0.199, -0.196, -0.1642, -0.0983, -0.0065, -0.0911, -0.062, 0.0319, 0.0, -0.1137, -0.0958, -0.1575, -0.0957, -0.0161, 0.064, 0.064, -0.0063, 0.0496, 0.1529, 0.1505, 0.1546, 0.121, 0.0973, 0.0603, 0.1468, 0.1504, 0.1518, 0.0769, 0.1241, 0.0897, 0.1344, 0.1062, 0.0183, 0.1044, 0.161, 0.2223, 0.2561, 0.2797, 0.215, 0.1485, 0.1629, 0.355, 0.2769, 0.3258, 0.289, 0.249, 0.1387, 0.1453, 0.117, 0.241, 0.2184, 0.2184, 0.172, 0.161, 0.1074, 0.1001, 0.1001, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2036874293653680515", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-25T18:34:09+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Hyperscalers have orders completely booked until 2028 from $LITE to $COHR", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish pluggable optical names LITE, COHR on booked hyperscaler demand through 2028; TSEM cheap at ~20x fwd P/E with 70% capacity booked.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I wouldn't say it's speculative. Hyperscalers have orders completely booked until 2028 from $LITE to $COHR.\n\nEven $TSEM has 70% of their capacity booked and it's low fwd ~20 P/E 2028. \n\nCW/CPO more speculative for photonics, not the pluggable optical transceivers cycle. But compared to memory/GPUs, makes snse. \n\nBut think everyones looking at photonics bottlenecks right low like pcb, which is funny", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "hot ball of capital went from GPUs -&gt; Memory -&gt; Photonics. GPUs have rolled over, Memory is rolling over ($MU post earnings) .... photonics next? Photonics also happens to be the most speculative of the bunch", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "degentradingLSD", "ret_m1d": 0.00106593889955664, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00106593889955664, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006607814311157423, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006607814311157423, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005541875411600783, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005541875411600783, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.10568304056659217, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.10568304056659217, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08782429640845346, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.08782429640845346, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017858744158138706, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017858744158138706, "ret_p1w": -0.08910456084315743, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08910456084315743, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0866990051776404, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0866990051776404, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002405555665517034, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002405555665517034, "ret_p1m": 0.24128797996277185, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.24128797996277185, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1626819626260816, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1626819626260816, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07860601733669026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07860601733669026, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2953, -0.3052, -0.3133, -0.3215, -0.3215, -0.2857, -0.315, -0.2865, -0.2956, -0.3635, -0.3455, -0.3193, -0.3015, -0.3232, -0.2797, -0.2978, -0.2978, -0.2889, -0.2594, -0.2548, -0.2761, -0.273, -0.2134, -0.1871, -0.2065, -0.22, -0.1823, -0.1576, -0.2244, -0.2308, -0.1631, -0.1087, -0.1605, -0.1777, -0.2056, -0.2015, -0.2015, -0.1914, -0.177, -0.1454, -0.0877, -0.0851, -0.0632, -0.0152, -0.0805, -0.0482, 0.0988, 0.0322, 0.0104, -0.0668, -0.1335, -0.0725, -0.0419, -0.0758, -0.1131, -0.1076, -0.0907, -0.0965, -0.0545, 0.013, -0.0677, -0.0625, 0.0011, 0.0, -0.1057, -0.105, -0.1926, -0.1244, -0.0891, -0.051, -0.051, -0.0692, -0.0623, 0.0358, 0.0446, 0.1303, 0.1319, 0.1521, 0.1329, 0.2057, 0.2683, 0.2774, 0.2637, 0.2883, 0.2413, 0.2354, 0.1819, 0.1174, 0.1209, 0.1752, 0.2112, 0.2127, 0.2341, 0.267, 0.1733, 0.2324, 0.3957, 0.3748, 0.484, 0.4885, 0.4059, 0.3337, 0.2999, 0.3178, 0.3895, 0.3879, 0.3879, 0.4018, 0.3975, 0.3856, 0.3287, 0.3287, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2036874293653680515", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-25T18:34:09+00:00", "symbol": "TSEM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSEM has 70% of their capacity booked and it's low fwd ~20 P/E 2028", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish pluggable optical names LITE, COHR on booked hyperscaler demand through 2028; TSEM cheap at ~20x fwd P/E with 70% capacity booked.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSEM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I wouldn't say it's speculative. Hyperscalers have orders completely booked until 2028 from $LITE to $COHR.\n\nEven $TSEM has 70% of their capacity booked and it's low fwd ~20 P/E 2028. \n\nCW/CPO more speculative for photonics, not the pluggable optical transceivers cycle. But compared to memory/GPUs, makes snse. \n\nBut think everyones looking at photonics bottlenecks right low like pcb, which is funny", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "hot ball of capital went from GPUs -&gt; Memory -&gt; Photonics. GPUs have rolled over, Memory is rolling over ($MU post earnings) .... photonics next? Photonics also happens to be the most speculative of the bunch", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "degentradingLSD", "ret_m1d": -0.041962477156080036, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.041962477156080036, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03642060174447925, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03642060174447925, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005541875411600783, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005541875411600783, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07449407866999369, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07449407866999369, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.056635334511854984, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.056635334511854984, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017858744158138706, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017858744158138706, "ret_p1w": -0.008848140936425941, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.008848140936425941, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.006442585270908907, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.006442585270908907, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002405555665517034, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002405555665517034, "ret_p1m": 0.06638761478551869, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06638761478551869, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01221840255117157, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01221840255117157, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07860601733669026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07860601733669026, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3557, -0.3583, -0.3607, -0.3779, -0.3779, -0.355, -0.368, -0.3521, -0.3524, -0.3784, -0.364, -0.3573, -0.3389, -0.3473, -0.343, -0.3121, -0.3121, -0.3165, -0.2931, -0.3113, -0.3185, -0.3269, -0.2973, -0.2639, -0.2863, -0.2862, -0.2747, -0.2773, -0.3574, -0.3161, -0.2633, -0.2183, -0.2764, -0.2877, -0.2923, -0.3179, -0.3179, -0.323, -0.32, -0.3332, -0.3193, -0.3248, -0.3324, -0.3326, -0.3439, -0.3384, -0.2657, -0.3349, -0.3457, -0.3613, -0.4141, -0.3883, -0.3807, -0.3672, -0.3719, -0.3392, -0.2663, -0.2696, -0.2479, -0.1201, -0.133, -0.088, -0.042, 0.0, -0.0745, -0.0891, -0.1598, -0.0703, -0.0088, 0.048, 0.048, 0.0077, 0.0112, 0.0792, 0.0799, 0.0787, 0.1098, 0.1344, 0.1425, 0.1378, 0.1998, 0.1894, 0.1482, 0.092, 0.0664, 0.0625, 0.0773, 0.0255, 0.0553, 0.1712, 0.1551, 0.1395, 0.1949, 0.149, 0.1126, 0.118, 0.2127, 0.17, 0.4346, 0.4872, 0.4516, 0.3143, 0.3314, 0.4013, 0.4783, 0.5017, 0.5017, 0.5287, 0.4718, 0.4597, 0.3523, 0.3523, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2018973802718429663", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-04T09:03:59+00:00", "symbol": "000660.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I don't quite think it's been priced in yet considering forward p/e for 2026 is projected to be ~4.5", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long SK Hynix; forward P/E ~4.5x for 2026 not yet priced in, author argues upside remains.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ChiefLiquidity The next Hynix.. is SK Hynix.\n\nI don’t quite think it’s been priced in yet considering forward p/e for 2026 is projected to be ~4.5.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Hynix was also a turnaround play not so long ago. Everyone's finding the next hynix.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ChiefLiquidity", "ret_m1d": 0.007777845970315056, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007777845970315056, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.002910346505236916, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.025982319392018782, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00486749946507814, "bench_c_m1d": 0.03376016536233384, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0644443832103293, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0644443832103293, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05195517195412758, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06402859200070365, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012489211256201727, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00041579120962564886, "ret_p1w": -0.04444448619497754, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04444448619497754, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05285330691671497, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.13042489350922315, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008408820721737431, "bench_c_p1w": 0.08598040731424561, "ret_p1m": 0.04748489918011689, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04748489918011689, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05459661789869108, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0019169993780585592, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007111718718574189, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04556789980205833, "ret_p3m": 0.6107446110151544, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6107446110151544, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5615149386941767, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2504419880983848, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.049229672320977746, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3603026229167696, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.356, -0.3271, -0.3127, -0.3149, -0.3205, -0.3782, -0.3271, -0.3671, -0.376, -0.366, -0.4215, -0.4226, -0.4237, -0.4182, -0.3956, -0.4111, -0.4022, -0.38, -0.3867, -0.3978, -0.3956, -0.3589, -0.3711, -0.3478, -0.3722, -0.3656, -0.3844, -0.4111, -0.3878, -0.3867, -0.3922, -0.3556, -0.3511, -0.3467, -0.3467, -0.3344, -0.2889, -0.2767, -0.2767, -0.2767, -0.2478, -0.2267, -0.1933, -0.1756, -0.16, -0.1733, -0.1678, -0.18, -0.1756, -0.1678, -0.16, -0.1511, -0.1744, -0.1778, -0.1611, -0.1478, -0.1822, -0.1111, -0.0656, -0.0433, 0.01, -0.0778, 0.0078, 0.0, -0.0644, -0.0678, -0.0144, -0.0267, -0.0444, -0.0133, -0.0222, -0.0222, -0.0222, -0.0222, -0.0067, 0.0544, 0.0567, 0.1167, 0.1311, 0.2234, 0.1811, 0.1811, 0.0453, -0.0549, 0.0475, 0.0286, -0.0694, 0.0441, 0.0631, 0.0352, 0.013, 0.0842, 0.0798, 0.1755, 0.1276, 0.121, 0.0386, 0.0976, 0.1076, 0.0386, 0.0386, -0.0282, -0.1017, -0.0015, -0.0761, -0.0249, -0.0137, 0.0197, 0.1499, 0.1109, 0.1432, 0.1577, 0.2278, 0.2646, 0.2857, 0.2556, 0.2979, 0.3625, 0.3614, 0.3636, 0.3603, 0.4382, 0.4471, 0.4393, 0.4315, 0.4315, 0.6107, 0.6107, 0.7822, 0.8412, 0.8768, 1.0927, 1.0427, 1.1996, 1.1929, 1.0248, 1.0482, 0.9425, 0.9425, 1.1595, 1.1606, 1.1606, 1.2842, 1.4968, 1.5485, 1.5974, 1.6514, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2032687218213749137", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-14T05:16:12+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "When corrections happen like that it usually leads to ATHs after", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author expects ATHs in photonics after this week's corrections in LITE and AAOI.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@FuckElon54528 Photonics just had major red days this week, $LITE crashed to $550 and $AAOI dipped to $83.\n\nWhen corrections happen like that it usually leads to ATHs after", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit dude, wait for photonic red days, dnot speak too early. it will come :(", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "FuckElon54528", "ret_m1d": -0.003745001528223213, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.003745001528223213, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006329339364829822, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006329339364829822, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010074340893053035, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010074340893053035, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0395620793173721, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0395620793173721, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03693152444739689, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03693152444739689, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00263055486997521, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00263055486997521, "ret_p1w": 0.1666186237707914, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1666186237707914, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.18434605342522048, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.18434605342522048, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017727429654429083, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017727429654429083, "ret_p1m": 0.36481329840381993, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.36481329840381993, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3239682532344961, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3239682532344961, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04084504516932386, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04084504516932386, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4875, -0.4605, -0.4056, -0.376, -0.38, -0.3664, -0.3664, -0.3746, -0.4037, -0.406, -0.4101, -0.4101, -0.3821, -0.4286, -0.364, -0.3712, -0.4426, -0.4376, -0.4561, -0.4217, -0.4693, -0.4506, -0.4811, -0.4811, -0.4289, -0.4199, -0.4327, -0.4572, -0.4679, -0.4068, -0.3838, -0.3895, -0.3729, -0.3224, -0.3037, -0.2549, -0.1927, -0.1166, -0.0763, -0.102, -0.0812, -0.0662, -0.0994, -0.0994, -0.0391, -0.0489, 0.0173, 0.0687, 0.0798, 0.1015, 0.1577, 0.0835, 0.1217, 0.2535, 0.1114, 0.0896, 0.0416, -0.1063, 0.0254, 0.0755, 0.0755, -0.014, -0.0037, 0.0, 0.0396, 0.1216, 0.2357, 0.1304, 0.1666, 0.2835, 0.2438, 0.1024, 0.1247, 0.0479, 0.1247, 0.2238, 0.3233, 0.3233, 0.236, 0.3055, 0.434, 0.431, 0.436, 0.3942, 0.3648, 0.3188, 0.4263, 0.4309, 0.4325, 0.3394, 0.3981, 0.3554, 0.411, 0.3758, 0.2665, 0.3737, 0.4441, 0.5203, 0.5623, 0.5917, 0.5112, 0.4285, 0.4465, 0.6854, 0.5882, 0.649, 0.6033, 0.5535, 0.4163, 0.4245, 0.3893, 0.5436, 0.5154, 0.5154, 0.4577, 0.4441, 0.3773, 0.3683, 0.3683, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2032687218213749137", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-14T05:16:12+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "When corrections happen like that it usually leads to ATHs after", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author expects ATHs in photonics after this week's corrections in LITE and AAOI.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@FuckElon54528 Photonics just had major red days this week, $LITE crashed to $550 and $AAOI dipped to $83.\n\nWhen corrections happen like that it usually leads to ATHs after", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit dude, wait for photonic red days, dnot speak too early. it will come :(", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "FuckElon54528", "ret_m1d": 0.029127223053666995, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.029127223053666995, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03920156394672003, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03920156394672003, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010074340893053035, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010074340893053035, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08227913137960163, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08227913137960163, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08490968624957684, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.08490968624957684, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00263055486997521, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00263055486997521, "ret_p1w": 0.017965370967246264, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.017965370967246264, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03569280062167535, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03569280062167535, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017727429654429083, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017727429654429083, "ret_p1m": 0.5561815654784454, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5561815654784454, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5153365203091216, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5153365203091216, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04084504516932386, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04084504516932386, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7115, -0.6891, -0.6671, -0.5844, -0.568, -0.5642, -0.5642, -0.6049, -0.6093, -0.6171, -0.6294, -0.6294, -0.579, -0.628, -0.5896, -0.5955, -0.6491, -0.6381, -0.6415, -0.6367, -0.6336, -0.6067, -0.6063, -0.6063, -0.5827, -0.592, -0.5945, -0.6203, -0.6291, -0.6025, -0.5192, -0.5794, -0.5364, -0.5306, -0.5097, -0.5758, -0.5947, -0.5291, -0.4907, -0.4845, -0.4855, -0.5324, -0.5274, -0.5274, -0.5332, -0.5382, -0.5006, -0.4506, -0.4264, -0.4018, -0.3822, -0.4293, -0.1046, 0.0897, 0.0135, 0.06, 0.0752, 0.0161, 0.1759, 0.2809, 0.3502, 0.1288, 0.0291, 0.0, -0.0823, -0.0153, 0.0834, -0.0694, 0.018, 0.2108, 0.2162, 0.0356, 0.044, -0.0944, -0.1008, -0.0821, 0.1046, 0.1046, 0.1422, 0.2506, 0.4107, 0.417, 0.6009, 0.6285, 0.5562, 0.5154, 0.6724, 0.6947, 0.7377, 0.6006, 0.5884, 0.4641, 0.7239, 0.5497, 0.4591, 0.6246, 0.7472, 0.9508, 0.8388, 0.9195, 0.8979, 0.6748, 0.5833, 0.9656, 1.0015, 1.3716, 1.164, 1.0236, 0.8418, 0.8213, 0.7568, 0.8796, 0.9293, 0.9293, 0.8882, 0.9117, 0.7967, 0.684, 0.684, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2025241985901363480", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-21T16:11:31+00:00", "symbol": "XLU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Power/grid is likely a bottleneck going into 2028 as well", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish XLU; power/grid remains a bottleneck into 2028, no urgency to enter but a real trade idea.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Trylanol I don't think this is a trade that requires much urgency tbh, $XLU moves like a dinosaur. This is just one trade idea of many!\n\nProbably could enter this like half a year later too if you decide for yourself. Power/grid is likely a bottleneck going into 2028 as well.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I’d be a fool to ignore an AleaBito trade idea. Jumping on this Monday! Or maybe I should wait for another crudely drawn chart via Reddit post 😂", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Trylanol", "ret_m1d": -0.007497825652779344, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007497825652779344, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017814487039842897, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017814487039842897, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011139718380374752, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011139718380374752, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0038712654499797328, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0038712654499797328, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "ret_p1w": 0.014781446524965602, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.014781446524965602, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.008934360812073994, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.008934360812073994, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "ret_p1m": -0.027308435051802138, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.027308435051802138, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.012882947272660594, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.012882947272660594, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "ret_p3m": -0.029249938466529124, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.029249938466529124, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12063215530431359, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12063215530431359, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0433, -0.0433, -0.0365, -0.059, -0.0657, -0.0687, -0.0706, -0.0793, -0.0916, -0.091, -0.0914, -0.0848, -0.0893, -0.081, -0.0848, -0.0908, -0.0819, -0.0936, -0.0902, -0.087, -0.0829, -0.0829, -0.0835, -0.0818, -0.0797, -0.0855, -0.0855, -0.075, -0.0853, -0.0808, -0.103, -0.1005, -0.0893, -0.0878, -0.082, -0.0752, -0.0658, -0.0705, -0.0705, -0.0797, -0.0784, -0.085, -0.0883, -0.0816, -0.0696, -0.0718, -0.0718, -0.0735, -0.087, -0.0737, -0.0771, -0.0767, -0.0713, -0.0686, -0.0531, -0.0448, -0.0306, -0.0039, -0.0039, -0.0064, -0.0229, -0.0122, -0.0075, 0.0, 0.0111, 0.0146, 0.0107, 0.0225, 0.0148, 0.0084, 0.0126, 0.0047, 0.0013, 0.0036, -0.0026, -0.0109, -0.0039, 0.006, 0.0124, 0.0096, 0.0011, -0.003, -0.0435, -0.034, -0.0273, -0.0239, -0.0221, -0.0165, -0.0094, -0.0101, -0.0053, -0.0003, -0.0003, -0.004, -0.0019, 0.0091, 0.0171, 0.013, 0.0007, 0.0025, -0.0072, -0.0001, -0.0042, -0.0131, -0.0303, -0.0321, -0.0057, -0.0038, -0.0036, -0.0023, -0.0146, 0.0107, 0.0042, 0.0003, 0.0003, -0.0139, -0.0267, -0.0353, -0.0262, -0.0252, -0.0364, -0.0314, -0.0536, -0.0521, -0.0435, -0.0398, -0.0292, -0.0217, -0.0217, -0.0221, -0.0262, -0.0372, -0.0418, -0.0418, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2034526726324449395", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-19T07:05:45+00:00", "symbol": "JBL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The new announcement $SIVE is the light source for $JBL is probably biggest news to date", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "SIVE expects massive re-rating on Jabil design-win; JBL is a key optical transceiver player for hyperscalers.", "resolved_tickers": ["JBL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@mrsgayathridas $IBKR. \n\nThe new announcement $SIVE is the light source for $JBL is probably biggest news to date. And I expect the stock to get re-rated immensely from the news.\n\nJabil powers $GOOGL, $META, $AMZN, $MSFT for optical transceivers. \n\nThey’re a huge player.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Which platform do you use to trade SIVE ?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mrsgayathridas", "ret_m1d": -0.02502728172748414, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02502728172748414, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.027497710189550828, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.027497710189550828, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002470428462066687, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002470428462066687, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0440239354373676, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0440239354373676, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02968815956486337, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02968815956486337, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01433577587250423, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01433577587250423, "ret_p1w": -0.004372209627213963, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.004372209627213963, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.015252266323884323, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.015252266323884323, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019624475951098286, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019624475951098286, "ret_p1m": 0.2125061624777158, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2125061624777158, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.13327092394404083, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.13327092394404083, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07923523853367498, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07923523853367498, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1342, -0.1143, -0.1164, -0.1164, -0.1103, -0.1146, -0.1274, -0.1408, -0.1408, -0.0942, -0.1581, -0.1545, -0.1543, -0.1642, -0.1479, -0.1312, -0.1019, -0.0906, -0.046, -0.0531, -0.0531, -0.0702, -0.0461, -0.078, -0.0839, -0.0889, -0.0871, -0.082, -0.0809, -0.1063, -0.0835, -0.0745, -0.1105, -0.0888, -0.0269, 0.0021, -0.0244, -0.0163, -0.0537, -0.0407, -0.0407, -0.0298, -0.018, -0.0108, 0.0218, -0.0152, 0.0036, 0.0462, 0.0249, -0.0012, -0.0156, -0.0417, -0.0382, -0.0494, -0.0913, -0.0673, -0.0534, -0.0371, -0.0496, -0.0553, -0.0276, -0.0112, -0.025, 0.0, -0.044, 0.0036, 0.0455, 0.0676, -0.0044, -0.0159, -0.0672, 0.0012, 0.0251, 0.0122, 0.0122, 0.0081, 0.0284, 0.0823, 0.1044, 0.1289, 0.151, 0.1533, 0.1494, 0.1688, 0.2125, 0.2449, 0.2577, 0.268, 0.276, 0.2877, 0.2845, 0.247, 0.2584, 0.2721, 0.2908, 0.2845, 0.2712, 0.4034, 0.3177, 0.3386, 0.3767, 0.3222, 0.3397, 0.3356, 0.2811, 0.277, 0.255, 0.3012, 0.3437, 0.3736, 0.3736, 0.4336, 0.4001, 0.371, 0.3744, 0.3744, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2029499671471882251", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-05T10:10:02+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This statement and $GOOGL rejecting CPO from the other analyst note is incredibly bullish for $AAOI", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AAOI: AVGO saying CPO is early + GOOGL rejecting CPO both favor pluggable optical transceivers where AAOI competes.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Think you misunderstood, $AVGO said CPO was early. That’s different than photonics/optical transceivers as a whole.\n\nHe said pluggable optical and copper will continue to dominate the market.\n\nThis statement and $GOOGL rejecting CPO from the other analyst note is incredibly bullish for $AAOI.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Gotta agree with the $AVGO statement regarding copper connections, optical seems early", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MalfiusKendu", "ret_m1d": -0.014138820583403544, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014138820583403544, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.019745628449714725, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019745628449714725, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005606807866311181, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005606807866311181, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05497328052349992, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05497328052349992, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04186614545266343, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04186614545266343, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013107135070836495, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013107135070836495, "ret_p1w": 0.049930819480256794, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.049930819480256794, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07231421407292471, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07231421407292471, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.022383394592667916, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022383394592667916, "ret_p1m": 0.027387821724116357, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.027387821724116357, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06215746839083869, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06215746839083869, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03476964666672233, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03476964666672233, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7247, -0.6996, -0.6541, -0.6409, -0.683, -0.7044, -0.7137, -0.7317, -0.7108, -0.6903, -0.6135, -0.5982, -0.5946, -0.5946, -0.6325, -0.6366, -0.6439, -0.6553, -0.6553, -0.6085, -0.654, -0.6183, -0.6237, -0.6736, -0.6634, -0.6666, -0.6621, -0.6592, -0.6342, -0.6338, -0.6338, -0.6118, -0.6205, -0.6228, -0.6468, -0.655, -0.6303, -0.5528, -0.6088, -0.5688, -0.5634, -0.544, -0.6055, -0.623, -0.562, -0.5263, -0.5206, -0.5215, -0.5651, -0.5604, -0.5604, -0.5658, -0.5705, -0.5355, -0.489, -0.4665, -0.4436, -0.4254, -0.4692, -0.1672, 0.0135, -0.0573, -0.0141, 0.0, -0.055, 0.0937, 0.1913, 0.2558, 0.0499, -0.0428, -0.0699, -0.1464, -0.0841, 0.0077, -0.1345, -0.0532, 0.1262, 0.1312, -0.0368, -0.029, -0.1577, -0.1636, -0.1462, 0.0274, 0.0274, 0.0624, 0.1631, 0.312, 0.318, 0.489, 0.5146, 0.4474, 0.4094, 0.5555, 0.5762, 0.6163, 0.4887, 0.4774, 0.3618, 0.6034, 0.4414, 0.3571, 0.5111, 0.6251, 0.8144, 0.7103, 0.7853, 0.7653, 0.5577, 0.4726, 0.8282, 0.8616, 1.2059, 1.0128, 0.8821, 0.7131, 0.694, 0.634, 0.7482, 0.7944, 0.7944, 0.7562, 0.778, 0.6711, 0.5662, 0.5662, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2031165595924963491", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-10T00:29:49+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "That global distribution network without any of them getting blocked by antitrust makes me bullish on $HIMS because I see parallels to $META's acquisition spree a decade ago + $HOOD's capacity to monetize retail audience through cross-selling", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish HIMS: global M&A scale, no antitrust block, parallels to META's acquisition strategy and HOOD's retail monetization.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Not really? Ro is US only. $HIMS is much larger in scale after their M&A spree of all the other global heavyweights.\n\nThat global distribution network without any of them getting blocked by antitrust makes me bullish on $HIMS because I see parallels to $META's acquisition spree a decade ago + $HOOD's capacity to monetize retail audience through cross-selling.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit You're underestimating Ro imo.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "RKLBMan", "ret_m1d": -0.05581591411453468, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05581591411453468, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0574256280344525, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0574256280344525, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0016097139199178212, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0016097139199178212, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10268427430420979, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10268427430420979, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10393943723272692, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10393943723272692, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012551629285171284, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012551629285171284, "ret_p1w": 0.06433746370084648, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06433746370084648, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0737736896659631, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0737736896659631, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009436225965116618, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009436225965116618, "ret_p1m": -0.17383894516709786, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17383894516709786, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.17483752633048955, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.17483752633048955, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0009985811633916875, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0009985811633916875, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.6093, 0.5854, 0.5445, 0.5705, 0.49, 0.4815, 0.5151, 0.4934, 0.4827, 0.4772, 0.4772, 0.4619, 0.4529, 0.4078, 0.3835, 0.3835, 0.4235, 0.4789, 0.5109, 0.5109, 0.4431, 0.3502, 0.3779, 0.372, 0.3345, 0.3306, 0.337, 0.337, 0.2983, 0.2309, 0.3004, 0.262, 0.2902, 0.2646, 0.2216, 0.2727, 0.1542, 0.1265, 0.0882, 0.0396, 0.0004, -0.0192, -0.1764, -0.2654, -0.2889, -0.3268, -0.3055, -0.3055, -0.3068, -0.3251, -0.3259, -0.334, -0.3392, -0.3413, -0.3259, -0.3353, -0.3813, -0.2978, -0.3259, -0.2991, -0.3234, -0.3294, -0.0558, 0.0, 0.1027, 0.0158, 0.0554, 0.0601, 0.0643, -0.0136, 0.0294, -0.0618, -0.043, -0.0908, -0.1121, -0.1112, -0.1743, -0.1998, -0.1155, -0.1547, -0.1845, -0.1845, -0.1338, -0.1692, -0.1738, -0.1585, -0.1721, -0.0988, -0.0899, 0.0349, 0.15, 0.228, 0.3213, 0.268, 0.236, 0.1994, 0.3021, 0.2522, 0.1892, 0.1219, 0.1576, 0.1679, 0.1619, 0.1219, 0.1453, 0.0929, 0.2045, 0.2416, 0.0665, 0.0285, 0.0328, 0.0673, -0.0503, -0.0439, -0.0183, 0.023, 0.0119, 0.0119, 0.0162, 0.0737, 0.0814, 0.1142, 0.1142, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2023222102225273126", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-16T02:25:13+00:00", "symbol": "AI equities", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the best hedge against AI human displacement is investing in AI equities", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AI equities as a hedge against AI-driven displacement; GDP growing rapidly, no slowdown seen.", "resolved_tickers": ["BOTZ"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "AI equities broad exposure via BOTZ ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yes, it's going viral on X as people digest the repercussions over the weekend.\n\nI wanted to respond with my own opinion that a lot of the actionable insights may be misguided. GDP is actually growing at rapid rates, I am not seeing an economic slowdown. \n\nSo, the best hedge against AI human displacement is investing in AI equities.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit this is Wednesday news...", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MiddleManWorld", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.007303045857655732, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.007303045857655732, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00568957938693071, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00568957938693071, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0016134664707250224, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0016134664707250224, "ret_p1w": 0.006259824661231761, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.006259824661231761, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.005320992393338608, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.005320992393338608, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0009388322678931527, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0009388322678931527, "ret_p1m": -0.07720394034147804, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07720394034147804, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.061127627228617976, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.061127627228617976, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016076313112860063, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016076313112860063, "ret_p3m": 0.07250909671968864, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07250909671968864, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.027913727910429564, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.027913727910429564, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1004228246301182, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1004228246301182, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1212, -0.1409, -0.1303, -0.1152, -0.1027, -0.0944, -0.0944, -0.0866, -0.0845, -0.0871, -0.0778, -0.0422, -0.0451, -0.042, -0.0422, -0.0383, -0.0409, -0.0552, -0.0614, -0.0705, -0.091, -0.0817, -0.0661, -0.0505, -0.0472, -0.0474, -0.0474, -0.0497, -0.0456, -0.0459, -0.055, -0.055, -0.0425, -0.019, -0.0107, -0.0047, -0.0159, -0.0029, 0.0026, -0.0128, -0.0089, 0.0, 0.0003, 0.0003, -0.0305, -0.0164, -0.012, -0.0149, -0.0099, -0.0021, -0.0091, -0.0099, -0.0266, -0.0383, -0.0381, -0.0451, -0.067, -0.0224, -0.0052, 0.0005, -0.0057, -0.0099, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0073, 0.0005, 0.0078, 0.0177, 0.0063, 0.0175, 0.0344, 0.0303, 0.0177, -0.0039, -0.0376, -0.0316, -0.0459, -0.0587, -0.0587, -0.0537, -0.0532, -0.0717, -0.0915, -0.0769, -0.0772, -0.091, -0.0902, -0.1236, -0.1069, -0.1179, -0.1033, -0.1317, -0.1534, -0.1656, -0.1335, -0.1158, -0.1288, -0.1288, -0.1239, -0.1291, -0.084, -0.0892, -0.0759, -0.0618, -0.0456, -0.042, -0.0425, -0.0243, -0.0219, -0.0417, -0.0253, -0.0438, -0.0256, 0.0039, -0.0177, -0.0263, 0.0029, 0.0068, 0.001, 0.0107, 0.0402, 0.0389, 0.0811, 0.0775, 0.0621, 0.0858, 0.0725, 0.0493, 0.0389, 0.0143, 0.0237, 0.0342, 0.0509, 0.0509, 0.0668, 0.0451, 0.0506, 0.0472, 0.0472, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2021615793159704628", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-11T16:02:19+00:00", "symbol": "RDDT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Don't think you'll ever see a mid cap company growing 70% y/y, 91.5% gross margin, ~27-30 forward p/e again. Reddit is a money printer at $141.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish RDDT: 70% growth, 91.5% gross margin, ~27-30x fwd P/E is too cheap; AI-disruption selloff is a mistake; revenue drops straight to bottom line.", "resolved_tickers": ["RDDT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I feel like $RDDT gets added to the “software” names that gets disrupted by AI bucket by mistake.\n\nThen gets sold off together when Reddit is fine.\n\nDon’t think you’ll ever see a mid cap company growing 70% y/y, 91.5% gross margin, ~27-30 forward p/e again. And they’re forward estimates are ~54%\n\n35% of their revenue is net income, which is absurd. Licensing revenue was 5% of total revenue (almost nonfactor) last quarter and is likely to only go up. \n\nRevenue increases just hit the bottom line since it’s so lightweight.\n\nReddit is a money printer at $141.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.07674637774909354, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07674637774909354, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07651526553416299, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06955091717667705, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00023111221493055112, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00719546057241649, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05901347087459741, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05901347087459741, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04356459664669621, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.041024753881273246, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0154488742279012, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01798871699332416, "ret_p1w": 0.058654704727792994, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.058654704727792994, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06684888427323865, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0770717401167399, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.008194179545445657, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0184170353889469, "ret_p1m": -0.05054198883957939, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05054198883957939, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.013111981434789977, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03794990005670906, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03743000740478941, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012592088782870325, "ret_p3m": 0.14516477992189092, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.14516477992189092, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07383265371427883, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.15194195312800196, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07133212620761209, "bench_c_p3m": -0.006777173206111042, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3878, 0.3465, 0.3331, 0.3481, 0.3058, 0.3173, 0.4, 0.5685, 0.4901, 0.4901, 0.5541, 0.6038, 0.5993, 0.5855, 0.5992, 0.6807, 0.7011, 0.6951, 0.7095, 0.6766, 0.6138, 0.5687, 0.6082, 0.6321, 0.6609, 0.6741, 0.6738, 0.6212, 0.6214, 0.6214, 0.6209, 0.6846, 0.6754, 0.6503, 0.6503, 0.7366, 0.7521, 0.8222, 0.8343, 0.8232, 0.7558, 0.7519, 0.8589, 0.8119, 0.6423, 0.6585, 0.6585, 0.6179, 0.5086, 0.5402, 0.5714, 0.5337, 0.4093, 0.3866, 0.3644, 0.2942, 0.2718, 0.1875, 0.0962, 0.0844, 0.0039, 0.0176, 0.0767, 0.0, -0.059, 0.0026, 0.0026, -0.0004, 0.0587, 0.0491, 0.0781, 0.0228, 0.02, 0.0745, 0.0859, 0.0468, 0.0561, 0.0459, 0.0574, 0.0363, 0.0007, -0.0031, -0.037, -0.0156, -0.0505, -0.0498, 0.0051, 0.0362, 0.0251, -0.0084, 0.004, 0.012, -0.0228, 0.0024, -0.0864, -0.1253, -0.1088, -0.0333, -0.0223, -0.0236, -0.0236, -0.0068, 0.0133, 0.041, -0.0065, 0.0032, 0.0722, 0.1095, 0.1378, 0.1663, 0.176, 0.1938, 0.1259, 0.1796, 0.0981, 0.112, 0.1502, 0.062, 0.0607, 0.057, 0.1952, 0.2138, 0.2322, 0.1958, 0.177, 0.1185, 0.1452, 0.0938, 0.1065, 0.1222, 0.1355, 0.1423, 0.1119, 0.0533, 0.0772, 0.0171, 0.0171, 0.0384, 0.107, 0.2039, 0.2636, 0.2636, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2036451073045700967", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-24T14:32:25+00:00", "symbol": "AEHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AEHR is a great long here and should hit its inflection point in the next few months", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long AEHR expecting inflection in months; avoid AMKR near-term due to capex phase, buildout not online until 2027-2028.", "resolved_tickers": ["AEHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@GoldenMeth IMO $AEHR is a great long here and should hit its inflection point in the next few months like $AAOI.\n\n$AMKR better to wait next year since they’re in capex phase and their buildout comes online late 2027 or 2028 if I remember correctly.\n\n$FORM was a fan this yr", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What are your thoughts on semi testing companies? $AEHR $AMKR $FORM", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "GoldenMeth", "ret_m1d": -0.05205402327929065, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05205402327929065, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05542217942568273, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.043868283609493686, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008185739669796965, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0040826704010922255, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0040826704010922255, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009655429348478184, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.015309494995975892, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011226824594883666, "ret_p1w": -0.053840185496109694, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.053840185496109694, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04949227856056737, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.025481629665352723, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02835855583075697, "ret_p1m": 1.4843073238588542, "ret_signed_p1m": 1.4843073238588542, "alpha_spy_p1m": 1.3954649986995173, "alpha_c_p1m": 1.2758884815221818, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2084188423366724, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4368, -0.4524, -0.4805, -0.481, -0.4848, -0.4848, -0.4345, -0.4006, -0.369, -0.383, -0.4208, -0.3284, -0.3276, -0.3159, -0.3373, -0.323, -0.2649, -0.2649, -0.2585, -0.2549, -0.2113, -0.2845, -0.3167, -0.2919, -0.286, -0.3141, -0.3458, -0.335, -0.3062, -0.3919, -0.4131, -0.3266, -0.296, -0.3154, -0.1363, -0.2883, -0.2641, -0.2641, -0.273, -0.2598, -0.2276, -0.1426, -0.1243, 0.001, 0.0584, 0.0156, -0.0449, 0.1235, 0.0625, 0.0885, 0.0332, -0.0913, 0.0431, 0.0707, 0.0832, -0.0393, -0.0898, -0.0436, -0.0536, -0.0735, -0.0365, -0.1192, -0.0521, 0.0, -0.0041, -0.1179, -0.1702, -0.2314, -0.0538, 0.0105, 0.1309, 0.1309, 0.331, 0.2822, 0.6116, 0.7571, 0.7971, 0.8285, 0.8979, 0.8683, 1.063, 1.1398, 1.3003, 1.3914, 1.4843, 1.4371, 1.4473, 1.2577, 1.1033, 1.0875, 1.3108, 1.3748, 1.1845, 1.3269, 1.4682, 1.3287, 1.481, 1.668, 1.468, 1.6346, 1.7134, 1.5389, 1.1324, 1.0704, 1.101, 1.3297, 1.4246, 1.4246, 1.8048, 1.6491, 1.5514, 1.356, 1.356, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2036451073045700967", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-24T14:32:25+00:00", "symbol": "AMKR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AMKR better to wait next year since they're in capex phase and their buildout comes online late 2027 or 2028", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long AEHR expecting inflection in months; avoid AMKR near-term due to capex phase, buildout not online until 2027-2028.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMKR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@GoldenMeth IMO $AEHR is a great long here and should hit its inflection point in the next few months like $AAOI.\n\n$AMKR better to wait next year since they’re in capex phase and their buildout comes online late 2027 or 2028 if I remember correctly.\n\n$FORM was a fan this yr", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What are your thoughts on semi testing companies? $AEHR $AMKR $FORM", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "GoldenMeth", "ret_m1d": -0.08237165793685897, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08237165793685897, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08573981408325104, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08573981408325104, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006565818292437964, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.006565818292437964, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012138577239823922, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012138577239823922, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "ret_p1w": -0.10405888811969188, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10405888811969188, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09971098118414956, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09971098118414956, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "ret_p1m": 0.43752491867962284, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.43752491867962284, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.34868259352028597, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.34868259352028597, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1906, -0.1939, -0.2039, -0.1977, -0.216, -0.216, -0.1477, -0.0442, 0.0185, 0.0469, 0.0128, 0.0384, 0.0243, 0.0316, -0.0335, -0.023, -0.0468, -0.0468, -0.0259, 0.0616, 0.0416, -0.0128, 0.0007, 0.0076, 0.012, -0.0071, -0.0402, -0.0428, -0.0817, -0.1288, -0.1209, -0.0198, 0.043, 0.0616, 0.1155, 0.0245, -0.0571, -0.0571, -0.0698, -0.0718, -0.04, -0.048, -0.0653, -0.0363, 0.0116, -0.0365, -0.0504, -0.0506, -0.1145, -0.0911, -0.1151, -0.1737, -0.1417, -0.1274, -0.1278, -0.1789, -0.1446, -0.112, -0.078, -0.0674, -0.0424, -0.0885, -0.0824, 0.0, -0.0066, -0.1019, -0.1156, -0.1793, -0.1041, -0.075, -0.0708, -0.0708, -0.0643, -0.0525, 0.043, 0.0971, 0.1532, 0.2025, 0.2201, 0.1882, 0.2515, 0.3404, 0.3816, 0.3969, 0.4375, 0.4507, 0.5539, 0.5046, 0.4198, 0.4049, 0.3878, 0.4144, 0.4119, 0.5263, 0.5364, 0.4379, 0.5243, 0.5259, 0.4614, 0.4845, 0.4343, 0.3997, 0.314, 0.304, 0.3627, 0.3112, 0.3082, 0.3082, 0.4616, 0.4363, 0.4043, 0.384, 0.384, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2016511571137327207", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-28T13:59:58+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this material could be used for $NVDA Rubin gen for thermal", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish NVDA long-term as AlSiC thermal material addresses 2000W+ Rubin gen architecture challenge in 2027.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm surprised majority of the X detectives in the comments guessed this right.\n\nI'll do a write-up on this mystery company soon. \n\nFrom my research, it was unique to have US company own a large % of the AlSiC supply chain, as this material could be used for $NVDA Rubin gen for thermal. \n\nBetter yet, Space + Defense vertical usage of AlSiC gives this company low downside risk bc of DoD/Raytheon/Northrop/NASA reliance of the material  composite.\n\nBut, who knew the same thermal material used for hypersonic missiles, f-35 fighter jets, and Mars space exploration could also be used to handle warpage for 2000W+ AI deployments?\n\nDoesn’t seem like markets have yet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "There's an interesting company on here that happens to own ~25-30% of this semi-grade material supply chain in the world.\n\nThermal is probably an issue, so might be a potential material composite chokepoint with $NVDA architectures in 2027.\n\nThere was no issue with H200s (&lt;1000W)", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01566421072290669, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01566421072290669, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01576489076200638, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01576489076200638, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00010068003909968759, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00010068003909968759, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005169082772252587, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005169082772252587, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007153465221222399, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.007153465221222399, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019843824489698125, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0019843824489698125, "ret_p1w": -0.09048667588362669, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09048667588362669, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07721416009978643, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07721416009978643, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013272515783840255, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013272515783840255, "ret_p1m": -0.034617859485341795, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.034617859485341795, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.025817420787912715, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.025817420787912715, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00880043869742908, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00880043869742908, "ret_p3m": 0.1310657603960106, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1310657603960106, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09985706044373677, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09985706044373677, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031208699952273822, "bench_c_p3m": 0.031208699952273822, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0572, 0.0801, 0.0374, 0.0192, -0.018, -0.0177, 0.0393, 0.0085, 0.0118, -0.0244, -0.0071, -0.0257, -0.0531, -0.0262, -0.0569, -0.0661, -0.0469, -0.0716, -0.0588, -0.0588, -0.0759, -0.0606, -0.0526, -0.0623, -0.0425, -0.0476, -0.0312, -0.0342, -0.0404, -0.0553, -0.0862, -0.0795, -0.0721, -0.1075, -0.0907, -0.055, -0.0409, -0.0121, -0.0152, -0.0152, -0.0052, -0.0172, -0.0208, -0.0262, -0.0262, -0.0139, -0.0178, -0.0223, -0.0126, -0.0338, -0.0348, -0.0344, -0.0298, -0.0438, -0.0233, -0.0276, -0.0276, -0.0702, -0.0428, -0.0349, -0.0201, -0.0264, -0.0157, 0.0, 0.0052, -0.002, -0.0309, -0.0584, -0.0905, -0.1025, -0.0319, -0.0077, -0.0156, -0.0077, -0.0239, -0.0455, -0.0455, -0.0342, -0.0185, -0.0189, -0.0089, 0.0002, 0.0069, 0.0211, -0.0346, -0.0748, -0.0472, -0.0599, -0.0443, -0.0427, -0.0715, -0.0463, -0.0352, -0.0286, -0.0437, -0.0588, -0.0433, -0.05, -0.058, -0.0676, -0.0982, -0.0829, -0.0852, -0.067, -0.1058, -0.1253, -0.1375, -0.0893, -0.0823, -0.0737, -0.0737, -0.0724, -0.07, -0.0492, -0.0397, -0.015, -0.0115, 0.0261, 0.0384, 0.0357, 0.0531, 0.0551, 0.0437, 0.0574, 0.0425, 0.0875, 0.1311, 0.1131, 0.0926, 0.0421, 0.0362, 0.0364, 0.0261, 0.0852, 0.1044, 0.1237, 0.1458, 0.1528, 0.1792, 0.231, 0.1765, 0.1609, 0.152, 0.1669, 0.1462, 0.1244, 0.1244, 0.1219, 0.1101, 0.1187, 0.1025, 0.1025, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2030317318581223651", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-07T16:19:04+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd expect when new contract cycles hit -> forward earnings a half a year from now will start showing in a lot of the price hikes", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish AXTI: new contract cycles + capacity expansion will drive earnings higher in ~6 months as price hikes flow through.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "7n indium nonstandard is up to all time highs. \n\nWhen people look at $AXTI earnings, they often make the mistake of judging contracts from maybe 1Y ago before a lot of the shortages/photonics demand began.\n\nI'd expect when new contract cycles hit -> forward earnings a half a year from now will start showing in a lot of the price hikes. \n\nBut earnings showed they were already fully backlogged and are expanding capacity (which is positive).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Do you think $AXTI will turn profitable before data center boom is over?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "455BAG", "ret_m1d": -0.1605291032404843, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1605291032404843, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.15184514987612907, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.125511232384234, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0350178708562503, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.14885886046013996, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.14885886046013996, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.1504659873655071, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.1413532401246005, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007505620335539476, "ret_p1w": 0.2549273253700213, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2549273253700213, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.26855023209422, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2560683393797697, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00114101400974842, "ret_p1m": 0.17894184298346505, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.17894184298346505, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.20437380740307753, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.164919481120835, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014022361862630062, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5978, -0.5752, -0.6159, -0.6154, -0.6629, -0.6795, -0.6367, -0.6201, -0.6053, -0.6203, -0.6107, -0.6107, -0.6014, -0.6216, -0.5902, -0.576, -0.576, -0.5654, -0.5677, -0.4769, -0.3747, -0.3301, -0.4038, -0.4232, -0.4422, -0.4269, -0.333, -0.4271, -0.4271, -0.4448, -0.487, -0.5353, -0.5488, -0.5384, -0.5539, -0.5635, -0.5752, -0.5192, -0.457, -0.4881, -0.5137, -0.4702, -0.376, -0.2798, -0.3685, -0.305, -0.3571, -0.3714, -0.3714, -0.3981, -0.3895, -0.3825, -0.2303, -0.2627, -0.0902, 0.0625, -0.0373, -0.0171, 0.2012, 0.083, 0.0148, 0.0062, -0.1605, 0.0, 0.1489, 0.2282, 0.2119, 0.2671, 0.2549, 0.1504, 0.2645, 0.5065, 0.4066, 0.6712, 0.7749, 0.7466, 0.5174, 0.5724, 0.3675, 0.4777, 0.2225, 0.3703, 0.3703, 0.089, 0.1789, 0.3791, 0.6369, 0.6644, 0.7233, 0.7453, 0.632, 1.1209, 1.1411, 1.0425, 0.9442, 1.2547, 0.952, 0.9751, 0.8192, 0.7819, 0.8431, 1.0545, 1.4896, 1.749, 1.7892, 1.7186, 1.8117, 2.0176, 2.2627, 2.1872, 2.1623, 1.9818, 2.2101, 1.7459, 1.9274, 1.7129, 2.1385, 2.6522, 2.6522, 2.4388, 2.1839, 2.0005, 1.6753, 1.6753, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2031973770844626988", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-12T06:01:13+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "said it was set to \"soar\" in a very realistic scenario. Not everyday do you have the walking billboard of medicine implicitly pitching $HIMS as a long.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish HIMS: Huberman endorsement + 41%+ short float creates squeeze setup; shorts look trapped.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Andrew Huberman, the Stanford neuroscientist and one biggest voices in the health, just spotlighted $HIMS.\n\nAnd said it was set to “soar” in a very realistic scenario.\n\nNot everyday do you have the walking billboard of medicine implicitly pitching $HIMS as a long.\n\nCurious what short sellers were thinking selling 41%+ of the float short?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I try to talk about $HIMS from a fundamental standpoint.\n\nBut this cannot be understated:\n\n$HIMS directional shorts look trapped.\n\nThe stock price is now up 64.15% to $26.5 (still down from highs of $70s).\n\nWhile short interest increased to record highs of 41.6%.\n\nThere may be a https://t.co/nSjKK8Bryt", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.08557042764772227, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08557042764772227, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07015134073193008, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07015134073193008, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01541908691579219, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01541908691579219, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03901007966540759, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03901007966540759, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.044670189166413965, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.044670189166413965, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005660109501006372, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005660109501006372, "ret_p1w": 0.013422805905036084, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.013422805905036084, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.022821313026920143, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.022821313026920143, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009398507121884059, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009398507121884059, "ret_p1m": -0.18498321389202643, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.18498321389202643, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.20788754959710043, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.20788754959710043, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022904335705073997, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022904335705073997, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.5206, 0.5461, 0.4669, 0.4585, 0.4916, 0.4702, 0.4597, 0.4543, 0.4543, 0.4392, 0.4304, 0.3859, 0.362, 0.362, 0.4014, 0.456, 0.4874, 0.4874, 0.4207, 0.3293, 0.3565, 0.3507, 0.3138, 0.31, 0.3163, 0.3163, 0.2781, 0.2118, 0.2802, 0.2424, 0.2701, 0.245, 0.2026, 0.2529, 0.1363, 0.1091, 0.0713, 0.0235, -0.0151, -0.0344, -0.1892, -0.2768, -0.2999, -0.3372, -0.3163, -0.3163, -0.3175, -0.3356, -0.3364, -0.3444, -0.3494, -0.3515, -0.3364, -0.3456, -0.3909, -0.3087, -0.3364, -0.31, -0.3339, -0.3398, -0.0705, -0.0155, 0.0856, 0.0, 0.039, 0.0436, 0.0478, -0.0289, 0.0134, -0.0763, -0.0579, -0.1049, -0.1258, -0.125, -0.1871, -0.2122, -0.1292, -0.1678, -0.1971, -0.1971, -0.1472, -0.182, -0.1867, -0.1716, -0.185, -0.1128, -0.104, 0.0189, 0.1321, 0.2089, 0.3008, 0.2483, 0.2169, 0.1808, 0.2819, 0.2328, 0.1707, 0.1044, 0.1397, 0.1497, 0.1439, 0.1044, 0.1275, 0.0759, 0.1858, 0.2223, 0.0499, 0.0126, 0.0168, 0.0508, -0.065, -0.0587, -0.0336, 0.0071, -0.0038, -0.0038, 0.0004, 0.057, 0.0646, 0.0969, 0.0969, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2026675978869874722", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-25T15:09:41+00:00", "symbol": "IQE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Maybe $IQE at these levels as a $LITE supplier at a $150M MC", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long IQE at ~$150M MC as a potential 10-bagger; upside from selling Taiwan segment to clear debt and potential re-rating toward peer Landmark Optoelectronics' $3.85B valuation.", "resolved_tickers": ["IQE.L"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "IQE plc LSE-listed epiwafer supplier", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Maybe $IQE at these levels as a $LITE supplier at a $150M MC.\n\nTheir closest friend over in Taiwan landmark optoelectronics was rerated to $3.85B (IQE has more capacity but debt, and legacy segments dragging it down).\n\nIf they sell their Taiwan segment (legacy) then use that to clear the debt might be re-rated strongly.\n\nThat being said this probably carries the most risk.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What’s the next 10 bagger?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "yomattyboi", "ret_m1d": -0.23845196874805785, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.23845196874805785, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.23008422970637898, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.22202621330445194, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008367739041678868, "bench_c_m1d": -0.016425755443605916, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.24843941501309552, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.24843941501309552, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.2539938914047166, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.2816428920519767, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005554476391621099, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03320347703888116, "ret_p1w": 0.6760299384671729, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.6760299384671729, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.6876004104228416, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.7395272102103205, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011570471955668737, "bench_c_p1w": -0.06349727174314768, "ret_p1m": 0.660424445779509, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.660424445779509, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.7272184636010184, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.766769496780944, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0667940178215094, "bench_c_p1m": -0.10634505100143499, "ret_p3m": 1.855805161842456, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.855805161842456, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.7771406448703466, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.503449233618917, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07866451697210941, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3523559282235391, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.676, -0.6785, -0.6879, -0.6923, -0.6829, -0.6866, -0.6866, -0.686, -0.6798, -0.6748, -0.6954, -0.6941, -0.6895, -0.6901, -0.6848, -0.6816, -0.6798, -0.6895, -0.6901, -0.6901, -0.6901, -0.6901, -0.6879, -0.6879, -0.6879, -0.6785, -0.686, -0.6829, -0.6517, -0.6161, -0.5418, -0.3483, -0.3839, -0.4382, -0.4913, -0.51, -0.4426, -0.5137, -0.5231, -0.5131, -0.4988, -0.5225, -0.5218, -0.4994, -0.5162, -0.5062, -0.4988, -0.5194, -0.5037, -0.5125, -0.5056, -0.49, -0.3758, -0.3608, -0.3571, -0.3383, -0.3446, -0.3371, -0.3471, -0.3521, -0.3458, -0.2022, -0.2385, 0.0, 0.2484, 0.186, 0.598, 0.623, 0.676, 0.339, 0.2272, 0.191, 0.417, 0.5169, 0.417, 0.4513, 0.4419, 0.3483, 0.5949, 0.4263, 0.4732, 0.4669, 0.5949, 0.8414, 0.6604, 0.5293, 0.4419, 0.5231, 0.5668, 0.4732, 0.4732, 0.4732, 0.5918, 0.7915, 0.8727, 1.3096, 2.0649, 1.9838, 2.3708, 2.6579, 2.2522, 2.6579, 2.9326, 2.9076, 2.1055, 1.9713, 2.0836, 1.5125, 1.5218, 1.6998, 1.5687, 1.5687, 2.1211, 1.7809, 1.8496, 1.9401, 2.402, 1.9432, 2.1523, 2.0961, 1.8714, 1.4407, 0.9975, 1.3439, 1.4875, 1.8558, 1.8558, 2.3708, 2.1648, 1.9744, 1.965, 1.965, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2034932278032564264", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-20T09:57:16+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if AXT they control the substrate supply, they have a lot of pricing power over $LITE to $COHR and America's AI buildout. My $AXTI bottleneck thesis is playing out real time", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long AXTI as the InP substrate bottleneck/pricing-power play for AI photonics buildout; LITE exposed as supply-constrained buyer.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$LITE Transcript from Conference Call: \n\n\"The thing that keeps me up at night most is: Substrates. \n\nLess so sort of reactors and getting the right tools into the fab, although it’s not a zero challenge.\"\n\nThey basically went out and said $AXTI is the bottleneck for photonics. \n\nEspecially if InP substrates keeps $LITE's CEO up at night. \n\nI've been mentioning it for the past few months, if AXT they control the substrate supply, they have a lot of pricing power over $LITE to $COHR and America's AI buildout. \n\nI've seen a ton of misinterpretation on X saying: \"Seven-year agreement with Sumitomo\". But they literally said there was supply tightness Today. And the agreement doesn't mean there will be enough supply for 7 years, especially when China export controls start to kick in on upstream feedstock/materials required by Japanese supply chains to make then. \n\nThis is before Photonics has even started to ramp up.\n\nMy $AXTI bottleneck thesis is playing out real time and we got new confirmation from $LITE that InP substrates is a bottleneck.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.07098079563020243, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07098079563020243, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05643651622796053, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04452130752978967, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0145442794022419, "bench_c_m1d": 0.026459488100412765, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.18805310559178756, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.18805310559178756, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.17755308634684974, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.17084669272798636, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01050001924493782, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0172064128638012, "ret_p1w": 0.11780971961483666, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11780971961483666, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14013572961411114, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14507486101067835, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.022326009999274476, "bench_c_p1w": -0.027265141395841686, "ret_p1m": 0.4520648912055265, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4520648912055265, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.35932245368969884, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2461595961192422, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09274243751582767, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2059052950862843, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7301, -0.7233, -0.7233, -0.7166, -0.731, -0.7087, -0.6986, -0.6986, -0.691, -0.6927, -0.6281, -0.5555, -0.5238, -0.5761, -0.59, -0.6034, -0.5926, -0.5258, -0.5927, -0.5927, -0.6053, -0.6353, -0.6696, -0.6792, -0.6718, -0.6829, -0.6897, -0.698, -0.6582, -0.6139, -0.6361, -0.6543, -0.6233, -0.5564, -0.488, -0.5511, -0.5059, -0.543, -0.5531, -0.5531, -0.5721, -0.566, -0.561, -0.4528, -0.4758, -0.3532, -0.2447, -0.3156, -0.3013, -0.146, -0.2301, -0.2786, -0.2847, -0.4032, -0.2891, -0.1833, -0.1268, -0.1385, -0.0992, -0.1079, -0.1822, -0.101, 0.071, 0.0, 0.1881, 0.2618, 0.2417, 0.0787, 0.1178, -0.0278, 0.0505, -0.1309, -0.0258, -0.0258, -0.2258, -0.1619, -0.0195, 0.1637, 0.1833, 0.2251, 0.2408, 0.1602, 0.5077, 0.5221, 0.4521, 0.3822, 0.6029, 0.3877, 0.4041, 0.2933, 0.2668, 0.3103, 0.4605, 0.7699, 0.9543, 0.9829, 0.9327, 0.9989, 1.1453, 1.3195, 1.2659, 1.2482, 1.1198, 1.2821, 0.9521, 1.0811, 0.9287, 1.2312, 1.5964, 1.5964, 1.4447, 1.2635, 1.1331, 0.9019, 0.9019, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2034932278032564264", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-20T09:57:16+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "they basically went out and said $AXTI is the bottleneck for photonics. Especially if InP substrates keeps $LITE's CEO up at night", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long AXTI as the InP substrate bottleneck/pricing-power play for AI photonics buildout; LITE exposed as supply-constrained buyer.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$LITE Transcript from Conference Call: \n\n\"The thing that keeps me up at night most is: Substrates. \n\nLess so sort of reactors and getting the right tools into the fab, although it’s not a zero challenge.\"\n\nThey basically went out and said $AXTI is the bottleneck for photonics. \n\nEspecially if InP substrates keeps $LITE's CEO up at night. \n\nI've been mentioning it for the past few months, if AXT they control the substrate supply, they have a lot of pricing power over $LITE to $COHR and America's AI buildout. \n\nI've seen a ton of misinterpretation on X saying: \"Seven-year agreement with Sumitomo\". But they literally said there was supply tightness Today. And the agreement doesn't mean there will be enough supply for 7 years, especially when China export controls start to kick in on upstream feedstock/materials required by Japanese supply chains to make then. \n\nThis is before Photonics has even started to ramp up.\n\nMy $AXTI bottleneck thesis is playing out real time and we got new confirmation from $LITE that InP substrates is a bottleneck.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.09312668163159277, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09312668163159277, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07858240222935087, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07858240222935087, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0145442794022419, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0145442794022419, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03199552261943017, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03199552261943017, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.021495503374492353, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.021495503374492353, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01050001924493782, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01050001924493782, "ret_p1w": -0.005124931326265902, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.005124931326265902, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.017201078673008574, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.017201078673008574, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.022326009999274476, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022326009999274476, "ret_p1m": 0.2672329812272496, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2672329812272496, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.17449054371142192, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.17449054371142192, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09274243751582767, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09274243751582767, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4515, -0.4395, -0.4395, -0.4468, -0.4725, -0.4745, -0.4782, -0.4782, -0.4534, -0.4945, -0.4374, -0.4438, -0.507, -0.5025, -0.5188, -0.4885, -0.5305, -0.514, -0.5409, -0.5409, -0.4948, -0.4869, -0.4981, -0.5198, -0.5293, -0.4752, -0.4549, -0.46, -0.4453, -0.4006, -0.384, -0.3409, -0.2859, -0.2185, -0.1829, -0.2056, -0.1872, -0.174, -0.2033, -0.2033, -0.15, -0.1587, -0.1001, -0.0546, -0.0448, -0.0256, 0.0241, -0.0416, -0.0077, 0.1089, -0.0169, -0.0362, -0.0786, -0.2094, -0.093, -0.0486, -0.0486, -0.1278, -0.1187, -0.1154, -0.0804, -0.0078, 0.0931, 0.0, 0.032, 0.1354, 0.1003, -0.0248, -0.0051, -0.073, -0.0051, 0.0825, 0.1706, 0.1706, 0.0933, 0.1549, 0.2685, 0.2658, 0.2703, 0.2334, 0.2073, 0.1666, 0.2617, 0.2658, 0.2672, 0.1849, 0.2368, 0.199, 0.2482, 0.2171, 0.1204, 0.2151, 0.2774, 0.3448, 0.382, 0.408, 0.3368, 0.2637, 0.2795, 0.4909, 0.4049, 0.4587, 0.4183, 0.3742, 0.2529, 0.2601, 0.229, 0.3655, 0.3406, 0.3406, 0.2895, 0.2774, 0.2184, 0.2104, 0.2104, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2026646245868196079", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-25T13:11:32+00:00", "symbol": "IQE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I personally would only care about photonics for AI DC usage for $IQE", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish IQE specifically on photonics for AI data centre applications.", "resolved_tickers": ["IQE.L"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "IQE plc LSE-listed epiwafer supplier", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@AtlasShrug1 Yeah they have other segments too, but I personally would only care about photonics for AI DC usage for $IQE. https://t.co/Rvt8RjzTD8", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit “IQE enters 2026 with a strong Q1 order book, reflecting improved demand visibility across core segments including consumer mobile, data centre and AI-related photonics markets. The momentum in wireless demand observed in Q4 2025 is expected to continue, supported by existing", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "AtlasShrug1", "ret_m1d": -0.23845196874805785, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.23845196874805785, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.23008422970637898, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.22202621330445194, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008367739041678868, "bench_c_m1d": -0.016425755443605916, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.24843941501309552, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.24843941501309552, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.2539938914047166, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.2816428920519767, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005554476391621099, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03320347703888116, "ret_p1w": 0.6760299384671729, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.6760299384671729, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.6876004104228416, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.7395272102103205, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011570471955668737, "bench_c_p1w": -0.06349727174314768, "ret_p1m": 0.660424445779509, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.660424445779509, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.7272184636010184, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.766769496780944, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0667940178215094, "bench_c_p1m": -0.10634505100143499, "ret_p3m": 1.855805161842456, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.855805161842456, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.7771406448703466, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.503449233618917, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07866451697210941, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3523559282235391, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.676, -0.6785, -0.6879, -0.6923, -0.6829, -0.6866, -0.6866, -0.686, -0.6798, -0.6748, -0.6954, -0.6941, -0.6895, -0.6901, -0.6848, -0.6816, -0.6798, -0.6895, -0.6901, -0.6901, -0.6901, -0.6901, -0.6879, -0.6879, -0.6879, -0.6785, -0.686, -0.6829, -0.6517, -0.6161, -0.5418, -0.3483, -0.3839, -0.4382, -0.4913, -0.51, -0.4426, -0.5137, -0.5231, -0.5131, -0.4988, -0.5225, -0.5218, -0.4994, -0.5162, -0.5062, -0.4988, -0.5194, -0.5037, -0.5125, -0.5056, -0.49, -0.3758, -0.3608, -0.3571, -0.3383, -0.3446, -0.3371, -0.3471, -0.3521, -0.3458, -0.2022, -0.2385, 0.0, 0.2484, 0.186, 0.598, 0.623, 0.676, 0.339, 0.2272, 0.191, 0.417, 0.5169, 0.417, 0.4513, 0.4419, 0.3483, 0.5949, 0.4263, 0.4732, 0.4669, 0.5949, 0.8414, 0.6604, 0.5293, 0.4419, 0.5231, 0.5668, 0.4732, 0.4732, 0.4732, 0.5918, 0.7915, 0.8727, 1.3096, 2.0649, 1.9838, 2.3708, 2.6579, 2.2522, 2.6579, 2.9326, 2.9076, 2.1055, 1.9713, 2.0836, 1.5125, 1.5218, 1.6998, 1.5687, 1.5687, 2.1211, 1.7809, 1.8496, 1.9401, 2.402, 1.9432, 2.1523, 2.0961, 1.8714, 1.4407, 0.9975, 1.3439, 1.4875, 1.8558, 1.8558, 2.3708, 2.1648, 1.9744, 1.965, 1.965, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2031651834633556349", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-11T08:41:58+00:00", "symbol": "Soitec", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "High conviction with Soitec, don't see much downside risk from here and upside from CPO is massive", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "High-conviction long Soitec: limited downside, massive CPO-driven upside ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["SOI.PA"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Soitec listed on Euronext Paris as SOI.PA", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@B38B37 High conviction with Soitec, don’t see much downside risk from here and upside from CPO is massive. \n\nIt’s just a waiting game but feels inevitable", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Already in from 38 with 5% of my portfolio, let's go boss ! 🚀", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "B38B37", "ret_m1d": -0.1389863776638095, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1389863776638095, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.14024311800621525, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1297601047707746, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009226272893034904, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.12319687697497028, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.12319687697497028, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.13838182584433378, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.1553640313917244, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03216715441675411, "ret_p1w": 0.22807019370259662, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.22807019370259662, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.25010088448176204, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.246422898921572, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018352705218975363, "ret_p1m": 0.044054623193791054, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.044054623193791054, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.036015937164322276, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0289573680996853, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07301199129347635, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4971, -0.5039, -0.5197, -0.5333, -0.5365, -0.5458, -0.5501, -0.5485, -0.5526, -0.5526, -0.5526, -0.5526, -0.5497, -0.548, -0.548, -0.5152, -0.4899, -0.4979, -0.4893, -0.4928, -0.4739, -0.4793, -0.4481, -0.4495, -0.4322, -0.4505, -0.4649, -0.4653, -0.4499, -0.4446, -0.463, -0.4591, -0.4532, -0.4643, -0.4823, -0.4864, -0.4971, -0.5222, -0.4109, -0.407, -0.3786, -0.3665, -0.3216, -0.2378, -0.2869, -0.2721, -0.2809, -0.2766, -0.2747, -0.2887, -0.2797, -0.2353, -0.2138, -0.1934, -0.1782, -0.2027, -0.1606, -0.1811, -0.1747, -0.1998, -0.1871, -0.1858, -0.139, 0.0, 0.1232, 0.1501, 0.2312, 0.1965, 0.2281, 0.0561, 0.009, 0.0105, -0.0117, 0.0632, 0.0421, 0.0483, 0.0097, 0.0066, 0.0347, -0.0253, -0.0253, -0.0253, -0.0448, 0.0569, 0.0441, 0.2425, 0.26, 0.4101, 0.4975, 0.6663, 0.9068, 0.9493, 0.9639, 1.1384, 1.078, 1.1959, 1.1355, 0.9251, 1.2047, 1.4747, 1.4747, 1.9922, 2.078, 1.8626, 1.9386, 2.3402, 2.152, 1.8207, 2.038, 1.961, 1.886, 1.7339, 1.7904, 2.0799, 2.2476, 2.4571, 2.4366, 2.2495, 2.0058, 2.7466, 2.461, 2.461, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2028140055425139186", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-01T16:07:24+00:00", "symbol": "Macronix", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Macronix (YTD: +153%) ... [are] the two best exposures for the segment", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Macronix and Winbond named as best pure-play exposures to NOR Flash price hike cycle driven by HBM/DRAM supply squeeze dynamics.", "resolved_tickers": ["2337.TW"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Macronix NOR Flash leader, TWSE 2337.TW", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Is NOR Flash the next memory supply squeeze from HBM/DRAM? \n\nRecently 10% to 80% hikes were made to: MCUs, NOR Flash, KGD package storage, and power devices recently. \n\nThe list of companies spanning: \n\n- China Resources Microelectronics\n- SMIC Semiconductor\n- Belling\n- Goke Microelectronics\n- Yingjixin\n- Maxscend\n- Omron\n- ADI\n- Infineon\n\nhave all increased prices. More specifically, China's Cmsemicon raised MCU and NOR Flash prices by 15%–50% and Puya Semiconductor raised NOR Flash prices. \n\nThis helped confirm earlier projections regarding $NVDA GB200 NVL72 systems that NOR content per rack already exceeds $600 and could start hiking rates to $900 (+50% increase). \n\nInvestors usually like to hear the sound of price hikes so for exposure: \n\n- Macronix (YTD: +153%)  \n- Winbond (YTD: +34.91%) are the two best exposures for the segment.\n\nSince they both hold 33-35% of market share each, though a smaller TAM. Infineon and others look to a drop in the bucket for pure play exposure.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.051724137931034475, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.051724137931034475, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0511558822468281, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05167487606305443, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -4.926186798004384e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09913793103448276, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09913793103448276, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.09032359255168709, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06141550544017893, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03772242559430383, "ret_p1w": -0.20431031851932924, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.20431031851932924, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.19249473759581437, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.17473277207875448, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.029577546440574753, "ret_p1m": -0.004310344827586188, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.004310344827586188, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.045609396747597564, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05226097809687469, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.056571322924460876, "ret_p3m": 0.3793103448275863, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3793103448275863, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.27691696566167834, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.09668560849018548, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.4759959533177718, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7172, -0.7164, -0.7078, -0.6789, -0.6659, -0.681, -0.6862, -0.6716, -0.6728, -0.6797, -0.6754, -0.6728, -0.6797, -0.6642, -0.6681, -0.6642, -0.6642, -0.6621, -0.6711, -0.6659, -0.6599, -0.6599, -0.6263, -0.5892, -0.5483, -0.5034, -0.4543, -0.4974, -0.4724, -0.475, -0.4819, -0.4664, -0.4224, -0.3647, -0.3379, -0.3681, -0.3672, -0.4026, -0.3431, -0.3431, -0.2776, -0.206, -0.2, -0.269, -0.2716, -0.2267, -0.2422, -0.3034, -0.2345, -0.2276, -0.1509, -0.1509, -0.1509, -0.1509, -0.1509, -0.1509, -0.1509, -0.1509, -0.1078, -0.0216, -0.069, -0.0517, -0.0517, 0.0, -0.0991, -0.1552, -0.0733, -0.1164, -0.2043, -0.2181, -0.1405, -0.1466, -0.0647, 0.0259, 0.125, 0.2371, 0.3534, 0.3793, 0.2802, 0.1767, 0.2241, 0.1034, 0.0776, 0.1034, -0.0043, 0.0948, 0.1121, 0.1121, 0.1121, 0.1767, 0.2931, 0.2241, 0.2586, 0.2716, 0.3405, 0.2241, 0.1983, 0.1293, 0.0388, 0.1422, 0.1595, 0.0862, 0.1379, 0.25, 0.375, 0.4397, 0.3276, 0.3276, 0.3319, 0.3836, 0.4828, 0.4181, 0.319, 0.375, 0.319, 0.4483, 0.4569, 0.4009, 0.3793, 0.2414, 0.2155, 0.2155, 0.2888, 0.3147, 0.3836, 0.3405, 0.3793, 0.4353, 0.4871, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2028140055425139186", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-01T16:07:24+00:00", "symbol": "Winbond", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Winbond (YTD: +34.91%) are the two best exposures for the segment", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Macronix and Winbond named as best pure-play exposures to NOR Flash price hike cycle driven by HBM/DRAM supply squeeze dynamics.", "resolved_tickers": ["2344.TW"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Winbond Electronics listed on TWSE as 2344.TW", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Is NOR Flash the next memory supply squeeze from HBM/DRAM? \n\nRecently 10% to 80% hikes were made to: MCUs, NOR Flash, KGD package storage, and power devices recently. \n\nThe list of companies spanning: \n\n- China Resources Microelectronics\n- SMIC Semiconductor\n- Belling\n- Goke Microelectronics\n- Yingjixin\n- Maxscend\n- Omron\n- ADI\n- Infineon\n\nhave all increased prices. More specifically, China's Cmsemicon raised MCU and NOR Flash prices by 15%–50% and Puya Semiconductor raised NOR Flash prices. \n\nThis helped confirm earlier projections regarding $NVDA GB200 NVL72 systems that NOR content per rack already exceeds $600 and could start hiking rates to $900 (+50% increase). \n\nInvestors usually like to hear the sound of price hikes so for exposure: \n\n- Macronix (YTD: +153%)  \n- Winbond (YTD: +34.91%) are the two best exposures for the segment.\n\nSince they both hold 33-35% of market share each, though a smaller TAM. Infineon and others look to a drop in the bucket for pure play exposure.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0160642159607014, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0160642159607014, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015495960276495024, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.016014954092721356, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -4.926186798004384e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09638554216867468, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09638554216867468, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.087571203685879, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.058663116574370844, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03772242559430383, "ret_p1w": -0.1887549995466158, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1887549995466158, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.17693941862310092, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.15917745310604103, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.029577546440574753, "ret_p1m": -0.2717088494685549, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2717088494685549, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.22178910789337114, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.21513752654409402, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.056571322924460876, "ret_p3m": 0.1626821421812905, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1626821421812905, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06028876301538255, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.31331381113648127, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.4759959533177718, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5518, -0.5357, -0.5036, -0.4546, -0.4273, -0.4578, -0.4506, -0.4008, -0.4289, -0.4329, -0.4064, -0.4016, -0.4273, -0.4129, -0.4137, -0.3823, -0.3823, -0.3855, -0.3823, -0.3277, -0.3365, -0.3365, -0.2707, -0.2329, -0.1647, -0.1446, -0.1285, -0.2145, -0.1807, -0.1984, -0.1984, -0.2032, -0.1446, -0.0643, -0.0924, -0.1526, -0.1606, -0.1727, -0.0924, -0.0723, 0.0201, 0.0442, 0.0321, -0.0683, -0.1526, -0.1285, -0.1767, -0.2145, -0.1365, -0.1687, -0.1526, -0.1526, -0.1526, -0.1526, -0.1526, -0.1526, -0.1526, -0.1526, -0.0763, -0.0201, -0.0522, -0.0161, -0.0161, 0.0, -0.0964, -0.1647, -0.1004, -0.1446, -0.1888, -0.1526, -0.0843, -0.1245, -0.1245, -0.0602, -0.008, 0.0281, -0.0201, -0.1165, -0.1365, -0.2008, -0.2112, -0.2289, -0.2539, -0.2491, -0.2717, -0.2483, -0.2588, -0.2588, -0.2588, -0.2782, -0.2281, -0.2652, -0.2451, -0.2378, -0.2451, -0.2717, -0.2766, -0.2911, -0.308, -0.2644, -0.2685, -0.2911, -0.2879, -0.2418, -0.2289, -0.2515, -0.2749, -0.2749, -0.2297, -0.2023, -0.124, -0.0795, -0.1361, -0.0513, -0.019, -0.0149, 0.0819, 0.0456, 0.0537, -0.0513, -0.0674, -0.0795, 0.0093, 0.0375, 0.1385, 0.2515, 0.1627, 0.2757, 0.3928, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013379570993352816", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-19T22:34:31+00:00", "symbol": "GLD", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "known hedges like $GLD / $SLV", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long GLD/SLV as known hedges; endorses CRML long on Tanbreez rare earth deposits tied to Greenland news.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I just wanted to point out some alpha regarding buying into things down 8% for the wrong reason (eg. US drones for defense) rather than known hedges like   $GLD / $SLV.\n\nBut yes, if we talked about beneficiaries, your mentions like $CRML, bc of Tanbreez and all its rare earth deposits are great!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit You forgot to mention $CRML and $PELI on the Greenland news. Those will moon.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "VICK7251", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03783617488689295, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03783617488689295, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.058192960610437994, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.058192960610437994, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "ret_p1w": 0.10304066743011919, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10304066743011919, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10149367630264372, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10149367630264372, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "ret_p1m": 0.0638752477303055, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0638752477303055, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07661272830000665, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07661272830000665, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "ret_p3m": 0.044601053066133156, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.044601053066133156, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.02737258195225256, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.02737258195225256, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1045, -0.1009, -0.1039, -0.1288, -0.1351, -0.1384, -0.1214, -0.1262, -0.1246, -0.14, -0.13, -0.1311, -0.1258, -0.1019, -0.0983, -0.0838, -0.0912, -0.1076, -0.1178, -0.1114, -0.11, -0.1102, -0.1116, -0.0975, -0.0978, -0.0906, -0.0906, -0.0793, -0.0749, -0.0808, -0.0817, -0.0811, -0.0827, -0.0851, -0.0804, -0.0765, -0.0666, -0.0614, -0.0605, -0.0603, -0.0522, -0.0539, -0.0529, -0.031, -0.0182, -0.0222, -0.0222, -0.0108, -0.0539, -0.0532, -0.0593, -0.0593, -0.0546, -0.0297, -0.0193, -0.0286, -0.0233, -0.0162, 0.0022, 0.0008, 0.011, 0.0048, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0378, 0.053, 0.0724, 0.0871, 0.103, 0.1301, 0.1739, 0.1771, 0.0562, 0.0139, 0.0783, 0.0776, 0.0489, 0.0811, 0.1086, 0.0976, 0.11, 0.0714, 0.0981, 0.0981, 0.0639, 0.0878, 0.0908, 0.1123, 0.1424, 0.1266, 0.1237, 0.1334, 0.1483, 0.1631, 0.1112, 0.1199, 0.1064, 0.124, 0.1216, 0.1343, 0.1304, 0.1082, 0.0939, 0.0929, 0.0902, 0.0557, 0.0122, -0.0188, -0.0409, -0.0407, -0.0119, -0.049, -0.0156, -0.0159, 0.0214, 0.0392, 0.0193, 0.0193, 0.0151, 0.025, 0.0314, 0.0395, 0.0376, 0.0334, 0.0565, 0.0455, 0.0446, 0.0585, 0.0494, 0.0197, 0.0332, 0.0231, 0.0284, 0.0204, 0.0015, -0.0092, 0.0056, 0.0045, -0.0156, -0.0072, 0.023, 0.0247, 0.0296, 0.0317, 0.0276, 0.0219, 0.0141, -0.0095, -0.0068, -0.0232, -0.0092, -0.0102, -0.0177, -0.0177, -0.0173, -0.0304, -0.0202, -0.0099, -0.0099, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013379570993352816", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-19T22:34:31+00:00", "symbol": "SLV", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "known hedges like $GLD / $SLV", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long GLD/SLV as known hedges; endorses CRML long on Tanbreez rare earth deposits tied to Greenland news.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I just wanted to point out some alpha regarding buying into things down 8% for the wrong reason (eg. US drones for defense) rather than known hedges like   $GLD / $SLV.\n\nBut yes, if we talked about beneficiaries, your mentions like $CRML, bc of Tanbreez and all its rare earth deposits are great!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit You forgot to mention $CRML and $PELI on the Greenland news. Those will moon.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "VICK7251", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05393733556709557, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05393733556709557, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07429412129064061, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07429412129064061, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "ret_p1w": 0.21377438178783792, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.21377438178783792, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.21222739066036245, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.21222739066036245, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "ret_p1m": -0.18081948288673622, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.18081948288673622, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16808200231703507, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.16808200231703507, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "ret_p3m": -0.12071092550623841, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.12071092550623841, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.137939396620119, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.137939396620119, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4584, -0.4547, -0.457, -0.4767, -0.473, -0.4664, -0.4527, -0.4568, -0.4599, -0.4725, -0.4612, -0.4625, -0.4579, -0.4348, -0.4267, -0.4036, -0.4147, -0.4327, -0.4388, -0.431, -0.4267, -0.435, -0.4409, -0.4245, -0.424, -0.4026, -0.4026, -0.3679, -0.3518, -0.3442, -0.345, -0.3611, -0.3465, -0.3494, -0.3191, -0.3079, -0.2888, -0.3076, -0.2828, -0.2875, -0.2562, -0.2678, -0.248, -0.229, -0.1997, -0.195, -0.195, -0.1222, -0.1853, -0.1486, -0.2049, -0.2049, -0.1885, -0.1474, -0.0902, -0.1242, -0.1396, -0.1066, -0.0468, -0.0299, 0.0437, 0.0284, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0539, 0.0363, 0.0754, 0.1468, 0.2138, 0.2539, 0.3034, 0.303, -0.0689, -0.1059, -0.0501, -0.0227, -0.1769, -0.1337, -0.0615, -0.0939, -0.055, -0.164, -0.1395, -0.1395, -0.1808, -0.1349, -0.1235, -0.0543, -0.0056, -0.0239, -0.0121, -0.007, 0.049, 0.0068, -0.0783, -0.0701, -0.0833, -0.0627, -0.0341, -0.0115, -0.0384, -0.056, -0.1028, -0.0963, -0.1155, -0.1521, -0.1893, -0.2407, -0.229, -0.223, -0.1951, -0.2499, -0.217, -0.216, -0.159, -0.159, -0.188, -0.188, -0.1843, -0.1861, -0.1672, -0.1559, -0.1474, -0.1572, -0.1108, -0.1133, -0.1207, -0.0912, -0.1095, -0.1547, -0.1314, -0.156, -0.151, -0.1566, -0.1829, -0.1997, -0.1772, -0.1571, -0.1861, -0.1865, -0.1344, -0.1163, -0.0989, -0.0373, -0.0305, -0.0206, -0.068, -0.1479, -0.1368, -0.1743, -0.1517, -0.1428, -0.1563, -0.1563, -0.1395, -0.1669, -0.1563, -0.1566, -0.1566, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013379570993352816", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-19T22:34:31+00:00", "symbol": "CRML", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "your mentions like $CRML, bc of Tanbreez and all its rare earth deposits are great!", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long GLD/SLV as known hedges; endorses CRML long on Tanbreez rare earth deposits tied to Greenland news.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRML"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I just wanted to point out some alpha regarding buying into things down 8% for the wrong reason (eg. US drones for defense) rather than known hedges like   $GLD / $SLV.\n\nBut yes, if we talked about beneficiaries, your mentions like $CRML, bc of Tanbreez and all its rare earth deposits are great!", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit You forgot to mention $CRML and $PELI on the Greenland news. Those will moon.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "VICK7251", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.027195442074253062, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.027195442074253062, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006838656350708017, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006838656350708017, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "ret_p1w": 0.03682717465035279, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03682717465035279, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03528018352287732, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03528018352287732, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "ret_p1m": -0.47138809488070854, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.47138809488070854, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.4586506143110074, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.4586506143110074, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "ret_p3m": -0.47478749812372, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.47478749812372, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4920159692376006, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4920159692376006, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1473, -0.2272, -0.1484, -0.2652, -0.3201, -0.3433, -0.2703, -0.2669, -0.3805, -0.3773, -0.4011, -0.4295, -0.3892, -0.4159, -0.4465, -0.4499, -0.498, -0.4844, -0.5297, -0.5312, -0.5439, -0.5904, -0.596, -0.5802, -0.5847, -0.5768, -0.5768, -0.5337, -0.5771, -0.5354, -0.5309, -0.4368, -0.4278, -0.4476, -0.4147, -0.4884, -0.4674, -0.4799, -0.5371, -0.5524, -0.5887, -0.5932, -0.5734, -0.5445, -0.5428, -0.532, -0.532, -0.5615, -0.5887, -0.6085, -0.6068, -0.6068, -0.5399, -0.4674, -0.3309, -0.221, -0.2368, -0.1516, -0.1637, -0.234, 0.0156, -0.0227, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0272, -0.1348, 0.0459, 0.1683, 0.0368, 0.0351, -0.0334, -0.2062, -0.2538, -0.2867, -0.1422, -0.2618, -0.396, -0.3754, -0.3218, -0.3768, -0.3921, -0.4431, -0.4765, -0.4765, -0.4714, -0.4731, -0.4674, -0.4867, -0.4159, -0.3921, -0.3904, -0.3836, -0.4249, -0.387, -0.4448, -0.4323, -0.4544, -0.5014, -0.4935, -0.4283, -0.4504, -0.472, -0.4873, -0.4827, -0.4805, -0.5059, -0.5235, -0.5626, -0.532, -0.5473, -0.5513, -0.579, -0.6011, -0.6221, -0.5501, -0.5292, -0.5241, -0.5241, -0.5411, -0.5592, -0.5122, -0.5031, -0.4975, -0.4895, -0.502, -0.4963, -0.4748, -0.2884, -0.3235, -0.4142, -0.328, -0.3972, -0.3479, -0.1813, -0.328, -0.3552, -0.2788, -0.2952, -0.2686, -0.2459, -0.2108, -0.272, -0.2901, -0.315, -0.3297, -0.3507, -0.3428, -0.3666, -0.4045, -0.4448, -0.3909, -0.3688, -0.3779, -0.3779, -0.3348, -0.3439, -0.3422, -0.3654, -0.3654, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2033320724291813503", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-15T23:13:32+00:00", "symbol": "000660.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if SK Hynix is producing a more steady ~$100B+ operating income Y/Y at a $400B MC from increased capacity but lower margin: Then that itself looks undervalued", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish memory cycle thesis: structural AI demand drives price hikes to 2028; SK Hynix explicitly undervalued at $400B MC on ~$100B steady operating income; MU, Samsung, SNDK also benefit.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The Memory Cycle.\n\nIs probably going to look like this chart?\n\nWith SK Hynix,  $SNDK, Samsung,  $MU and others:\n\n-> Price Hikes until 2028\n-> Demand Increase Permanent\n-> Price Decreases After 2028\n\n-> Increased Capacity * Increased Demand * lower margin = High Profit Anyway. \n\nFor example:\n\n2026 Q1: DRAM, NAND Price Hikes\n- NAND prices 100%+ Q/Q, DRAM up 70%+. \n\n2026: Q2: DRAM NAND Price Hikes\n- Samsung hikes Q2 NAND prices 100%+ Again, DRAM up. \n\nQ3 -> 2028 Price Hikes. \n\n1. Counterpoint: \"There is no scenario where memory prices correct in the second half [of 2027], given that hyperscaler purchasing intent remains unbroken\"\n2. Intel CEO: \"No Relief on Memory Shortage Until 2028\".\n\nHowever what people misunderstand:\n\n-> Memory Demand Is Structural with AI. \n-> Prices are not. \n\nWe'll likely keep seeing price hikes with the extreme memory shortage in 2026. \n\nBut prices start to fall in 2028. What people conflate is:\n\n-> Extreme demand for AI will not cause prices to go to 0.\n-> More capacity will not cause demand to suddenly go to 0.  \n\nMore Supply * Price * More Demand * lower operating margin = more profit anyway. \n \nOperating income will not be 10000%+ Q/Q like now. \n\nBut if SK Hynix is producing a more steady ~$100B+ operating income Y/Y at a $400B MC from increased capacity but lower margin: \n\nCompared to $100B -> $220B -> $90B -> $120B.\n\n Then that itself looks undervalued. \n\nI don't see a world where it ends up being $100B-> $180B (2027) -> $10B what doomposters are projecting, where they operate at a loss from both demand downturn (eg. smartphones) and margin downturn. \n\nThe main two things is to look out for is if software/memory usage gets extremely, extremely efficient or hyperscaler capex suddenly disappears (AI is no longer a thing).\n\nSame could be said around GPUs for training/inference. \n\nBut, I would mainly be looking out for hyperscaler capex projections as the #1 indicator. Not random out of context quotes taken from Samsung executives to signal operating income two years out. \n\nAI has fundamentally changed what the \"commodity\" memory is, similar to GPUs back in 2023.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06570836986729167, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06570836986729167, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.055634028974238636, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0015343361223387753, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010074340893053035, "bench_c_m1d": -0.06724270598963045, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004106757071928202, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004106757071928202, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006737311941903412, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.014099142581146307, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00263055486997521, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009992385509218105, "ret_p1w": -0.04209443647981692, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04209443647981692, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.024367006825387838, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.047428707122343705, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017727429654429083, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005334270642526784, "ret_p1m": 0.13244360549511813, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13244360549511813, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09159856032579428, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.030415161095918908, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04084504516932386, "bench_c_p1m": 0.10202844439919923, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4353, -0.4343, -0.4394, -0.4056, -0.4015, -0.3974, -0.3974, -0.3861, -0.3441, -0.3329, -0.3329, -0.3329, -0.3062, -0.2867, -0.256, -0.2396, -0.2252, -0.2375, -0.2324, -0.2437, -0.2396, -0.2324, -0.2252, -0.2171, -0.2386, -0.2416, -0.2263, -0.214, -0.2457, -0.1802, -0.1381, -0.1176, -0.0685, -0.1494, -0.0705, -0.0777, -0.1371, -0.1402, -0.091, -0.1023, -0.1187, -0.09, -0.0982, -0.0982, -0.0982, -0.0982, -0.0838, -0.0275, -0.0254, 0.0299, 0.0432, 0.1283, 0.0893, 0.0893, -0.0359, -0.1283, -0.0339, -0.0513, -0.1417, -0.037, -0.0195, -0.0452, -0.0657, 0.0, -0.0041, 0.0842, 0.04, 0.0339, -0.0421, 0.0123, 0.0216, -0.0421, -0.0421, -0.1037, -0.1715, -0.0791, -0.1478, -0.1006, -0.0903, -0.0595, 0.0606, 0.0246, 0.0544, 0.0678, 0.1324, 0.1663, 0.1858, 0.1581, 0.1971, 0.2567, 0.2556, 0.2577, 0.2546, 0.3265, 0.3347, 0.3275, 0.3203, 0.3203, 0.4856, 0.4856, 0.6437, 0.6982, 0.731, 0.9302, 0.884, 1.0287, 1.0226, 0.8676, 0.8891, 0.7916, 0.7916, 0.9918, 0.9928, 0.9928, 1.1068, 1.3029, 1.3505, 1.3957, 1.4455, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2033320724291813503", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-15T23:13:32+00:00", "symbol": "MU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Price Hikes until 2028 -> Demand Increase Permanent", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish memory cycle thesis: structural AI demand drives price hikes to 2028; SK Hynix explicitly undervalued at $400B MC on ~$100B steady operating income; MU, Samsung, SNDK also benefit.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The Memory Cycle.\n\nIs probably going to look like this chart?\n\nWith SK Hynix,  $SNDK, Samsung,  $MU and others:\n\n-> Price Hikes until 2028\n-> Demand Increase Permanent\n-> Price Decreases After 2028\n\n-> Increased Capacity * Increased Demand * lower margin = High Profit Anyway. \n\nFor example:\n\n2026 Q1: DRAM, NAND Price Hikes\n- NAND prices 100%+ Q/Q, DRAM up 70%+. \n\n2026: Q2: DRAM NAND Price Hikes\n- Samsung hikes Q2 NAND prices 100%+ Again, DRAM up. \n\nQ3 -> 2028 Price Hikes. \n\n1. Counterpoint: \"There is no scenario where memory prices correct in the second half [of 2027], given that hyperscaler purchasing intent remains unbroken\"\n2. Intel CEO: \"No Relief on Memory Shortage Until 2028\".\n\nHowever what people misunderstand:\n\n-> Memory Demand Is Structural with AI. \n-> Prices are not. \n\nWe'll likely keep seeing price hikes with the extreme memory shortage in 2026. \n\nBut prices start to fall in 2028. What people conflate is:\n\n-> Extreme demand for AI will not cause prices to go to 0.\n-> More capacity will not cause demand to suddenly go to 0.  \n\nMore Supply * Price * More Demand * lower operating margin = more profit anyway. \n \nOperating income will not be 10000%+ Q/Q like now. \n\nBut if SK Hynix is producing a more steady ~$100B+ operating income Y/Y at a $400B MC from increased capacity but lower margin: \n\nCompared to $100B -> $220B -> $90B -> $120B.\n\n Then that itself looks undervalued. \n\nI don't see a world where it ends up being $100B-> $180B (2027) -> $10B what doomposters are projecting, where they operate at a loss from both demand downturn (eg. smartphones) and margin downturn. \n\nThe main two things is to look out for is if software/memory usage gets extremely, extremely efficient or hyperscaler capex suddenly disappears (AI is no longer a thing).\n\nSame could be said around GPUs for training/inference. \n\nBut, I would mainly be looking out for hyperscaler capex projections as the #1 indicator. Not random out of context quotes taken from Samsung executives to signal operating income two years out. \n\nAI has fundamentally changed what the \"commodity\" memory is, similar to GPUs back in 2023.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03546847335497094, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03546847335497094, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.025394132461917907, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.018739120616264038, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010074340893053035, "bench_c_m1d": -0.016729352738706904, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.045020383429470456, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.045020383429470456, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.042389828559495246, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03750618929314964, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00263055486997521, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0075141941363208176, "ret_p1w": -0.08476684429074977, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08476684429074977, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06703941463632068, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07826799176001509, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017727429654429083, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006498852530734678, "ret_p1m": 0.05444914916034849, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05444914916034849, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.01360410399102463, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09299191651914529, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04084504516932386, "bench_c_p1m": 0.14744106567949378, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4897, -0.4376, -0.3983, -0.3742, -0.3749, -0.3514, -0.3514, -0.3556, -0.3337, -0.3376, -0.354, -0.354, -0.2861, -0.2935, -0.2227, -0.2314, -0.2598, -0.2189, -0.2171, -0.2347, -0.2455, -0.238, -0.1789, -0.1789, -0.1738, -0.1193, -0.1001, -0.0954, -0.1193, -0.0714, -0.0148, -0.0136, -0.0609, -0.0091, -0.0506, -0.1412, -0.1333, -0.1066, -0.132, -0.1552, -0.0712, -0.063, -0.0682, -0.0682, -0.0951, -0.0472, -0.0553, -0.0309, -0.0471, -0.0538, -0.029, -0.0594, -0.0666, -0.0659, -0.1406, -0.0929, -0.1013, -0.1618, -0.1188, -0.0876, -0.0523, -0.0825, -0.0355, 0.0, 0.045, 0.0451, 0.0056, -0.0428, -0.0848, -0.1047, -0.1352, -0.1954, -0.1914, -0.2713, -0.235, -0.167, -0.1707, -0.1707, -0.1446, -0.145, -0.079, -0.0455, -0.0476, -0.0341, 0.0544, 0.0331, 0.0354, 0.0305, 0.0154, 0.0176, 0.1039, 0.0908, 0.1248, 0.1878, 0.1419, 0.174, 0.1711, 0.2278, 0.3053, 0.4497, 0.5094, 0.4642, 0.6911, 0.801, 0.7359, 0.8198, 0.7572, 0.6409, 0.5433, 0.5822, 0.6575, 0.7257, 0.7006, 0.7006, 1.0286, 1.1023, 1.0912, 1.1988, 1.1988, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2033320724291813503", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-15T23:13:32+00:00", "symbol": "005930.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We'll likely keep seeing price hikes with the extreme memory shortage in 2026", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish memory cycle thesis: structural AI demand drives price hikes to 2028; SK Hynix explicitly undervalued at $400B MC on ~$100B steady operating income; MU, Samsung, SNDK also benefit.", "resolved_tickers": ["005930.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The Memory Cycle.\n\nIs probably going to look like this chart?\n\nWith SK Hynix,  $SNDK, Samsung,  $MU and others:\n\n-> Price Hikes until 2028\n-> Demand Increase Permanent\n-> Price Decreases After 2028\n\n-> Increased Capacity * Increased Demand * lower margin = High Profit Anyway. \n\nFor example:\n\n2026 Q1: DRAM, NAND Price Hikes\n- NAND prices 100%+ Q/Q, DRAM up 70%+. \n\n2026: Q2: DRAM NAND Price Hikes\n- Samsung hikes Q2 NAND prices 100%+ Again, DRAM up. \n\nQ3 -> 2028 Price Hikes. \n\n1. Counterpoint: \"There is no scenario where memory prices correct in the second half [of 2027], given that hyperscaler purchasing intent remains unbroken\"\n2. Intel CEO: \"No Relief on Memory Shortage Until 2028\".\n\nHowever what people misunderstand:\n\n-> Memory Demand Is Structural with AI. \n-> Prices are not. \n\nWe'll likely keep seeing price hikes with the extreme memory shortage in 2026. \n\nBut prices start to fall in 2028. What people conflate is:\n\n-> Extreme demand for AI will not cause prices to go to 0.\n-> More capacity will not cause demand to suddenly go to 0.  \n\nMore Supply * Price * More Demand * lower operating margin = more profit anyway. \n \nOperating income will not be 10000%+ Q/Q like now. \n\nBut if SK Hynix is producing a more steady ~$100B+ operating income Y/Y at a $400B MC from increased capacity but lower margin: \n\nCompared to $100B -> $220B -> $90B -> $120B.\n\n Then that itself looks undervalued. \n\nI don't see a world where it ends up being $100B-> $180B (2027) -> $10B what doomposters are projecting, where they operate at a loss from both demand downturn (eg. smartphones) and margin downturn. \n\nThe main two things is to look out for is if software/memory usage gets extremely, extremely efficient or hyperscaler capex suddenly disappears (AI is no longer a thing).\n\nSame could be said around GPUs for training/inference. \n\nBut, I would mainly be looking out for hyperscaler capex projections as the #1 indicator. Not random out of context quotes taken from Samsung executives to signal operating income two years out. \n\nAI has fundamentally changed what the \"commodity\" memory is, similar to GPUs back in 2023.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.027557002635693828, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.027557002635693828, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017482661742640793, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01328983315405008, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010074340893053035, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014267169481643749, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.027556919660915336, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.027556919660915336, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.024926364790940125, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.022080682424307607, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00263055486997521, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005476237236607728, "ret_p1w": -0.012718622983764694, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.012718622983764694, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.00500880667066439, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.000759190183013625, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017727429654429083, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011959432800751069, "ret_p1m": 0.09659467360003915, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09659467360003915, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05574962843071529, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.029265522954581735, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04084504516932386, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06732915064545741, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.431, -0.4325, -0.4394, -0.4172, -0.412, -0.4141, -0.4141, -0.383, -0.3667, -0.3646, -0.3646, -0.3646, -0.319, -0.2682, -0.2639, -0.2528, -0.2644, -0.2634, -0.2644, -0.2708, -0.2565, -0.2374, -0.2109, -0.2088, -0.2305, -0.2077, -0.1929, -0.194, -0.194, -0.1547, -0.1394, -0.1484, -0.1494, -0.203, -0.1123, -0.1039, -0.1558, -0.1595, -0.1182, -0.1214, -0.1108, -0.0535, -0.0397, -0.0397, -0.0397, -0.0397, 0.0069, 0.0074, 0.0228, 0.0599, 0.0784, 0.1553, 0.1473, 0.1473, 0.0339, -0.0874, 0.0154, -0.0026, -0.0806, -0.0042, 0.0069, -0.0042, -0.0276, 0.0, 0.0276, 0.1049, 0.0625, 0.0567, -0.0127, 0.0053, 0.0016, -0.0456, -0.0456, -0.0638, -0.1121, 0.0071, -0.0526, -0.0112, 0.0254, 0.0435, 0.1178, 0.0833, 0.0939, 0.0674, 0.0966, 0.1205, 0.155, 0.147, 0.1391, 0.163, 0.155, 0.1922, 0.1656, 0.1922, 0.1789, 0.2001, 0.1709, 0.1709, 0.2347, 0.2347, 0.4126, 0.4418, 0.4258, 0.5161, 0.4816, 0.5081, 0.5719, 0.4365, 0.4922, 0.463, 0.4657, 0.5905, 0.5533, 0.5533, 0.5878, 0.6303, 0.5905, 0.6834, 0.84, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2033320724291813503", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-03-15T23:13:32+00:00", "symbol": "SNDK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Price Hikes until 2028 -> Demand Increase Permanent", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish memory cycle thesis: structural AI demand drives price hikes to 2028; SK Hynix explicitly undervalued at $400B MC on ~$100B steady operating income; MU, Samsung, SNDK also benefit.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNDK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The Memory Cycle.\n\nIs probably going to look like this chart?\n\nWith SK Hynix,  $SNDK, Samsung,  $MU and others:\n\n-> Price Hikes until 2028\n-> Demand Increase Permanent\n-> Price Decreases After 2028\n\n-> Increased Capacity * Increased Demand * lower margin = High Profit Anyway. \n\nFor example:\n\n2026 Q1: DRAM, NAND Price Hikes\n- NAND prices 100%+ Q/Q, DRAM up 70%+. \n\n2026: Q2: DRAM NAND Price Hikes\n- Samsung hikes Q2 NAND prices 100%+ Again, DRAM up. \n\nQ3 -> 2028 Price Hikes. \n\n1. Counterpoint: \"There is no scenario where memory prices correct in the second half [of 2027], given that hyperscaler purchasing intent remains unbroken\"\n2. Intel CEO: \"No Relief on Memory Shortage Until 2028\".\n\nHowever what people misunderstand:\n\n-> Memory Demand Is Structural with AI. \n-> Prices are not. \n\nWe'll likely keep seeing price hikes with the extreme memory shortage in 2026. \n\nBut prices start to fall in 2028. What people conflate is:\n\n-> Extreme demand for AI will not cause prices to go to 0.\n-> More capacity will not cause demand to suddenly go to 0.  \n\nMore Supply * Price * More Demand * lower operating margin = more profit anyway. \n \nOperating income will not be 10000%+ Q/Q like now. \n\nBut if SK Hynix is producing a more steady ~$100B+ operating income Y/Y at a $400B MC from increased capacity but lower margin: \n\nCompared to $100B -> $220B -> $90B -> $120B.\n\n Then that itself looks undervalued. \n\nI don't see a world where it ends up being $100B-> $180B (2027) -> $10B what doomposters are projecting, where they operate at a loss from both demand downturn (eg. smartphones) and margin downturn. \n\nThe main two things is to look out for is if software/memory usage gets extremely, extremely efficient or hyperscaler capex suddenly disappears (AI is no longer a thing).\n\nSame could be said around GPUs for training/inference. \n\nBut, I would mainly be looking out for hyperscaler capex projections as the #1 indicator. Not random out of context quotes taken from Samsung executives to signal operating income two years out. \n\nAI has fundamentally changed what the \"commodity\" memory is, similar to GPUs back in 2023.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05970468779628246, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05970468779628246, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04963034690322943, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04963034690322943, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010074340893053035, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010074340893053035, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.023506641150271124, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.023506641150271124, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.020876086280295914, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.020876086280295914, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00263055486997521, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00263055486997521, "ret_p1w": -0.0016201904985949644, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0016201904985949644, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01610723915583412, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01610723915583412, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017727429654429083, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017727429654429083, "ret_p1m": 0.34226797524069963, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.34226797524069963, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.30142293007137577, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.30142293007137577, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04084504516932386, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04084504516932386, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7061, -0.6881, -0.6623, -0.6574, -0.6519, -0.6446, -0.6446, -0.6446, -0.6529, -0.6586, -0.6626, -0.6626, -0.6088, -0.6105, -0.5031, -0.4975, -0.5246, -0.4636, -0.4468, -0.446, -0.4488, -0.4184, -0.4122, -0.4122, -0.356, -0.2876, -0.2845, -0.3266, -0.3309, -0.3158, -0.2501, -0.2335, -0.181, -0.0546, -0.0115, -0.1692, -0.1811, -0.1502, -0.1709, -0.2302, -0.1482, -0.1042, -0.1095, -0.1095, -0.1607, -0.1467, -0.1173, -0.0763, -0.0528, -0.0925, -0.1013, -0.0735, -0.097, -0.1202, -0.1964, -0.1486, -0.1962, -0.2506, -0.1633, -0.1204, -0.0685, -0.1205, -0.0597, 0.0, 0.0235, 0.0711, 0.0973, 0.0086, -0.0016, -0.0016, -0.0366, -0.1428, -0.1248, -0.1864, -0.0971, -0.0155, -0.0029, -0.0029, 0.0298, 0.0102, 0.1098, 0.2103, 0.2105, 0.3537, 0.3423, 0.2673, 0.3068, 0.3089, 0.2976, 0.284, 0.3915, 0.3252, 0.4068, 0.521, 0.4245, 0.5125, 0.5584, 0.687, 0.7848, 0.9987, 1.0039, 0.9044, 1.2204, 1.1994, 1.0636, 1.0568, 0.9651, 1.0005, 0.8945, 0.9659, 0.9791, 1.1918, 1.1015, 1.1015, 1.2591, 1.2596, 1.3331, 1.4089, 1.4089, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2030445000686014588", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-08T00:46:26+00:00", "symbol": "000660.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Markets are pricing in the worst case scenarios for Helium/LNG disruption but looking at the statements suggest it's a buying opportunity", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Helium/LNG supply chain fears are overblown for SK Hynix and Samsung; selloff is a buying opportunity given secured supply and US-Korea tech deal.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The helium panic makes for a compelling headline for $EWY, KOSPI, Taiwan, and Japan.  \n\nSimilar to the LNG panic before finding out the Korean giants were fine. \n\nHowever, the underlying mechanics show the memory players in SK Hynix and Samsung in specific are highly insulated from potential Helium disruption. \n\nSK Hynix put out a statement to Reuters:  \n\n\"Long secured diverse supply chains and sufficient inventory\" of helium. \n\n\"Therefore there is almost no chance that the company will be affected.\"\n\nSamsung have not put out statements yet, but from their Q4 earnings call they stated: \n\n\"We are proud to be the first in the industry to develop and deploy a helium reuse system for semiconductor manufacturing\"\n\nThis \"enables us to recover and purify helium for redeployment, cutting annual consumption by approximately 4.7 tons and achieving a reuse rate of around 19%\"\n\nSamsung confirmed that this system is already active on production lines and likely protects their supply chain. \n\nWhen investors panic from headlines around structural exposure due to Kim Young-bae's claims about 90% reliance on Middle Eastern imports shutting down HBM production. \n\nThe Volza trade data contradicts it, but the discrepancy could be gaseous vs. liquid helium categorization, transshipment, or Kim rounding up for political effect. \n\nRegardless, it looks like the two large Korean giants have largely secured their Helium supply chain from conflicts in the Middle East. \n\nThe core point of the selloff markets are missing: \n\nUnited States will not let their AI buildout stall from Middle East Conflicts. SK Hynix and Samsung are in the center of it all. \n\nUS/Korea Technology Prosperity Deal to protect advanced technology supply chains as well. \n\nAnd especially so, when companies like SK Hynix put out definitive statements:\n\nStating there's no chance the company is affected from helium.\n\nMarkets are pricing in the worst case scenarios for Helium/LNG disruption but looking at the statements suggest it's a buying opportunity.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "If the Hormuz were closed, it looks like 80% of South Korea’s LNG imports would be unaffected.\n\nAnd looks like $EWY SK Hynix and Samsung are largely diversified since 2022. \n\nPeople are quoting majority of all LNG flowing through the Strait of Hormuz (~59%) goes to just four https://t.co/tOrBnhCZBS", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.10526311066951677, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.10526311066951677, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.113947064033872, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.15873981591527397, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.053476705245757206, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.12200955542508463, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.12200955542508463, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.12361668233045175, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.1488225836890028, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02681302826391818, "ret_p1w": 0.16507170307476637, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16507170307476637, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.17869460979896512, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1709720189290802, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005900315854313831, "ret_p1m": 0.09569377775770538, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09569377775770538, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12112574217731786, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1457348336900739, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05004105593236852, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2991, -0.3254, -0.3182, -0.3385, -0.3672, -0.3421, -0.3409, -0.3469, -0.3075, -0.3027, -0.2979, -0.2979, -0.2848, -0.2359, -0.2227, -0.2227, -0.2227, -0.1917, -0.169, -0.1332, -0.1141, -0.0974, -0.1117, -0.1057, -0.1189, -0.1141, -0.1057, -0.0974, -0.0878, -0.1129, -0.1165, -0.0986, -0.0842, -0.1212, -0.0448, 0.0041, 0.028, 0.0853, -0.009, 0.0829, 0.0746, 0.0053, 0.0017, 0.0591, 0.0459, 0.0268, 0.0602, 0.0507, 0.0507, 0.0507, 0.0507, 0.0674, 0.1331, 0.1355, 0.1999, 0.2155, 0.3146, 0.2691, 0.2691, 0.1232, 0.0156, 0.1256, 0.1053, 0.0, 0.122, 0.1423, 0.1124, 0.0885, 0.1651, 0.1603, 0.2632, 0.2117, 0.2045, 0.116, 0.1794, 0.1902, 0.116, 0.116, 0.0443, -0.0347, 0.073, -0.0072, 0.0478, 0.0598, 0.0957, 0.2356, 0.1938, 0.2285, 0.244, 0.3194, 0.3589, 0.3816, 0.3493, 0.3947, 0.4641, 0.4629, 0.4653, 0.4617, 0.5455, 0.555, 0.5467, 0.5383, 0.5383, 0.7309, 0.7309, 0.9151, 0.9785, 1.0167, 1.2488, 1.195, 1.3636, 1.3565, 1.1758, 1.201, 1.0873, 1.0873, 1.3206, 1.3218, 1.3218, 1.4545, 1.683, 1.7385, 1.7911, 1.8492, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2030445000686014588", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-08T00:46:26+00:00", "symbol": "005930.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Markets are pricing in the worst case scenarios for Helium/LNG disruption but looking at the statements suggest it's a buying opportunity", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Helium/LNG supply chain fears are overblown for SK Hynix and Samsung; selloff is a buying opportunity given secured supply and US-Korea tech deal.", "resolved_tickers": ["005930.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The helium panic makes for a compelling headline for $EWY, KOSPI, Taiwan, and Japan.  \n\nSimilar to the LNG panic before finding out the Korean giants were fine. \n\nHowever, the underlying mechanics show the memory players in SK Hynix and Samsung in specific are highly insulated from potential Helium disruption. \n\nSK Hynix put out a statement to Reuters:  \n\n\"Long secured diverse supply chains and sufficient inventory\" of helium. \n\n\"Therefore there is almost no chance that the company will be affected.\"\n\nSamsung have not put out statements yet, but from their Q4 earnings call they stated: \n\n\"We are proud to be the first in the industry to develop and deploy a helium reuse system for semiconductor manufacturing\"\n\nThis \"enables us to recover and purify helium for redeployment, cutting annual consumption by approximately 4.7 tons and achieving a reuse rate of around 19%\"\n\nSamsung confirmed that this system is already active on production lines and likely protects their supply chain. \n\nWhen investors panic from headlines around structural exposure due to Kim Young-bae's claims about 90% reliance on Middle Eastern imports shutting down HBM production. \n\nThe Volza trade data contradicts it, but the discrepancy could be gaseous vs. liquid helium categorization, transshipment, or Kim rounding up for political effect. \n\nRegardless, it looks like the two large Korean giants have largely secured their Helium supply chain from conflicts in the Middle East. \n\nThe core point of the selloff markets are missing: \n\nUnited States will not let their AI buildout stall from Middle East Conflicts. SK Hynix and Samsung are in the center of it all. \n\nUS/Korea Technology Prosperity Deal to protect advanced technology supply chains as well. \n\nAnd especially so, when companies like SK Hynix put out definitive statements:\n\nStating there's no chance the company is affected from helium.\n\nMarkets are pricing in the worst case scenarios for Helium/LNG disruption but looking at the statements suggest it's a buying opportunity.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "If the Hormuz were closed, it looks like 80% of South Korea’s LNG imports would be unaffected.\n\nAnd looks like $EWY SK Hynix and Samsung are largely diversified since 2022. \n\nPeople are quoting majority of all LNG flowing through the Strait of Hormuz (~59%) goes to just four https://t.co/tOrBnhCZBS", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.08472625011460999, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08472625011460999, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.09341020347896523, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.10239941511345074, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01767316499884075, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08299717427857112, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08299717427857112, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08460430118393825, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08299717427857112, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.08760810333736901, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08760810333736901, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10123101006156776, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09462006679973212, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007011963462363102, "ret_p1m": 0.1349090664939756, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1349090664939756, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1603410309135881, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.15035790484955236, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.015448838355576755, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3805, -0.3845, -0.3754, -0.3989, -0.4104, -0.3811, -0.3828, -0.3903, -0.3662, -0.3605, -0.3628, -0.3628, -0.3289, -0.3112, -0.3089, -0.3089, -0.3089, -0.2594, -0.204, -0.1994, -0.1873, -0.2, -0.1988, -0.2, -0.2069, -0.1914, -0.1706, -0.1418, -0.1395, -0.1631, -0.1383, -0.1222, -0.1233, -0.1233, -0.0807, -0.064, -0.0738, -0.0749, -0.1331, -0.0346, -0.0254, -0.0818, -0.0859, -0.0409, -0.0444, -0.0329, 0.0294, 0.0444, 0.0444, 0.0444, 0.0444, 0.0951, 0.0957, 0.1124, 0.1527, 0.1729, 0.2565, 0.2478, 0.2478, 0.1245, -0.0075, 0.1043, 0.0847, 0.0, 0.083, 0.0951, 0.083, 0.0576, 0.0876, 0.1176, 0.2017, 0.1556, 0.1493, 0.0738, 0.0934, 0.0893, 0.038, 0.038, 0.0182, -0.0343, 0.0953, 0.0304, 0.0754, 0.1153, 0.1349, 0.2158, 0.1782, 0.1898, 0.1609, 0.1927, 0.2187, 0.2562, 0.2475, 0.2389, 0.2649, 0.2562, 0.2966, 0.2677, 0.2966, 0.2822, 0.3053, 0.2735, 0.2735, 0.3428, 0.3428, 0.5363, 0.5681, 0.5508, 0.6489, 0.6114, 0.6403, 0.7096, 0.5623, 0.6229, 0.5912, 0.5941, 0.7298, 0.6894, 0.6894, 0.7269, 0.7731, 0.7298, 0.8309, 1.0013, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2030445000686014588", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-08T00:46:26+00:00", "symbol": "EWY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The helium panic makes for a compelling headline for $EWY, KOSPI, Taiwan, and Japan", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Helium/LNG supply chain fears are overblown for SK Hynix and Samsung; selloff is a buying opportunity given secured supply and US-Korea tech deal.", "resolved_tickers": ["EWY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The helium panic makes for a compelling headline for $EWY, KOSPI, Taiwan, and Japan.  \n\nSimilar to the LNG panic before finding out the Korean giants were fine. \n\nHowever, the underlying mechanics show the memory players in SK Hynix and Samsung in specific are highly insulated from potential Helium disruption. \n\nSK Hynix put out a statement to Reuters:  \n\n\"Long secured diverse supply chains and sufficient inventory\" of helium. \n\n\"Therefore there is almost no chance that the company will be affected.\"\n\nSamsung have not put out statements yet, but from their Q4 earnings call they stated: \n\n\"We are proud to be the first in the industry to develop and deploy a helium reuse system for semiconductor manufacturing\"\n\nThis \"enables us to recover and purify helium for redeployment, cutting annual consumption by approximately 4.7 tons and achieving a reuse rate of around 19%\"\n\nSamsung confirmed that this system is already active on production lines and likely protects their supply chain. \n\nWhen investors panic from headlines around structural exposure due to Kim Young-bae's claims about 90% reliance on Middle Eastern imports shutting down HBM production. \n\nThe Volza trade data contradicts it, but the discrepancy could be gaseous vs. liquid helium categorization, transshipment, or Kim rounding up for political effect. \n\nRegardless, it looks like the two large Korean giants have largely secured their Helium supply chain from conflicts in the Middle East. \n\nThe core point of the selloff markets are missing: \n\nUnited States will not let their AI buildout stall from Middle East Conflicts. SK Hynix and Samsung are in the center of it all. \n\nUS/Korea Technology Prosperity Deal to protect advanced technology supply chains as well. \n\nAnd especially so, when companies like SK Hynix put out definitive statements:\n\nStating there's no chance the company is affected from helium.\n\nMarkets are pricing in the worst case scenarios for Helium/LNG disruption but looking at the statements suggest it's a buying opportunity.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "If the Hormuz were closed, it looks like 80% of South Korea’s LNG imports would be unaffected.\n\nAnd looks like $EWY SK Hynix and Samsung are largely diversified since 2022. \n\nPeople are quoting majority of all LNG flowing through the Strait of Hormuz (~59%) goes to just four https://t.co/tOrBnhCZBS", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.053476705245757206, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.053476705245757206, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04479275188140197, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04479275188140197, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02681302826391818, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02681302826391818, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.025205901358551053, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.025205901358551053, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "ret_p1w": -0.005900315854313831, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.005900315854313831, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0077225908698849155, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0077225908698849155, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "ret_p1m": -0.05004105593236852, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05004105593236852, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02460909151275603, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02460909151275603, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2933, -0.3063, -0.3231, -0.3226, -0.3314, -0.3384, -0.3273, -0.3178, -0.3147, -0.3076, -0.2934, -0.2934, -0.2842, -0.2627, -0.2634, -0.2739, -0.2739, -0.2365, -0.217, -0.1963, -0.2006, -0.2039, -0.1867, -0.1864, -0.1968, -0.1811, -0.1706, -0.1618, -0.1618, -0.1712, -0.1362, -0.1337, -0.1189, -0.1238, -0.0836, -0.0622, -0.0701, -0.0857, -0.0968, -0.0715, -0.1018, -0.1022, -0.0686, -0.0586, -0.0705, -0.0246, -0.0231, 0.0006, 0.0006, -0.024, -0.0072, 0.0099, 0.0597, 0.0404, 0.0796, 0.112, 0.1234, 0.1306, 0.1019, -0.0116, 0.0036, -0.0609, -0.0535, 0.0, -0.0268, -0.0078, -0.0776, -0.0727, -0.0059, 0.004, -0.015, 0.0069, -0.0606, -0.0006, -0.0384, -0.0459, -0.1038, -0.0964, -0.1304, -0.0813, -0.0573, -0.0823, -0.0823, -0.0594, -0.05, 0.0462, 0.0403, 0.0361, 0.0548, 0.0955, 0.0824, 0.1014, 0.1377, 0.121, 0.0963, 0.1636, 0.1247, 0.1545, 0.1706, 0.153, 0.1499, 0.2007, 0.2099, 0.2218, 0.2956, 0.3592, 0.3201, 0.4206, 0.4404, 0.3332, 0.4088, 0.423, 0.3359, 0.3153, 0.2997, 0.3452, 0.3923, 0.3595, 0.3595, 0.4986, 0.481, 0.5416, 0.5373, 0.5373, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2014066532318584972", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-21T20:04:15+00:00", "symbol": "MU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "there's a lot of re-rating to do given its fwd p/e is still 11", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish MU on valuation re-rating potential; forward P/E of 11 leaves significant upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@davesetton Like the others said i personally wouldn’t want to time the market with $MU. \n\nIt’s your decision in the end but in my opinion there’s a lot of re-rating to do given its fwd p/e is still 11.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit For someone not in $MU, what entry price would you recommend?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "davesetton", "ret_m1d": -0.06196185767565987, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06196185767565987, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05055245529014518, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03325044464943039, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011409402385514689, "bench_c_m1d": -0.028711413026229482, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.021767591719483503, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.021767591719483503, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.016544361699755816, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.019553239308228054, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005223230019727687, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002214352411255449, "ret_p1w": 0.11865545411448353, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11865545411448353, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10403630343784775, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08208189037227953, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014619150676635773, "bench_c_p1w": 0.036573563742203996, "ret_p1m": 0.07257590073347964, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07257590073347964, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07391825165042243, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.052000129624203195, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0013423509169427916, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02057577110927644, "ret_p3m": 0.15290895992013187, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15290895992013187, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11606114597516592, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0014213958872131283, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.036847813944965946, "bench_c_p3m": 0.154330355807345, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4374, -0.4346, -0.4299, -0.4178, -0.4245, -0.4252, -0.3971, -0.4399, -0.3899, -0.3877, -0.3888, -0.3493, -0.3806, -0.3709, -0.3913, -0.3659, -0.3784, -0.413, -0.4196, -0.4827, -0.4673, -0.4247, -0.4232, -0.4085, -0.4085, -0.3925, -0.3823, -0.3848, -0.3985, -0.4178, -0.3906, -0.3657, -0.3516, -0.3225, -0.336, -0.3805, -0.3899, -0.4027, -0.4207, -0.3615, -0.3169, -0.2895, -0.2903, -0.2635, -0.2635, -0.2684, -0.2435, -0.248, -0.2665, -0.2665, -0.1894, -0.1978, -0.1174, -0.1274, -0.1596, -0.1131, -0.1111, -0.131, -0.1433, -0.1349, -0.0677, -0.0677, -0.062, 0.0, 0.0218, 0.0271, -0.0001, 0.0543, 0.1187, 0.12, 0.0662, 0.1251, 0.0779, -0.025, -0.016, 0.0143, -0.0144, -0.0408, 0.0546, 0.0639, 0.058, 0.058, 0.0274, 0.0818, 0.0726, 0.1004, 0.0819, 0.0743, 0.1025, 0.068, 0.0598, 0.0605, -0.0242, 0.03, 0.0204, -0.0483, 0.0005, 0.036, 0.076, 0.0417, 0.0951, 0.1354, 0.1865, 0.1866, 0.1418, 0.0868, 0.0392, 0.0165, -0.018, -0.0865, -0.082, -0.1726, -0.1314, -0.0542, -0.0584, -0.0584, -0.0288, -0.0292, 0.0457, 0.0837, 0.0814, 0.0967, 0.1972, 0.173, 0.1756, 0.17, 0.1529, 0.1554, 0.2533, 0.2385, 0.2771, 0.3487, 0.2966, 0.333, 0.3296, 0.394, 0.4821, 0.646, 0.7138, 0.6625, 0.9201, 1.0448, 0.9709, 1.0662, 0.9952, 0.8631, 0.7523, 0.7965, 0.882, 0.9594, 0.9309, 0.9309, 1.3033, 1.387, 1.3744, 1.4965, 1.4965, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2031774404972327172", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-11T16:49:01+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Extremely stupid for short sellers to directionally double down on $HIMS. Their recent acquisitions just gave $HIMS the global retail market for DTC healthcare. The cross selling opportunities are extremely latent and hard to model.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish HIMS: recent acquisitions unlock global DTC healthcare + cross-sell optionality that shorts are mispricing.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Extremely stupid for short sellers to directionally double down on $HIMS.\n\nTheir recent acquisitions just gave $HIMS the global retail market for DTC healthcare. \n\nThe cross selling opportunities are extremely latent and hard to model. So very bad risk management, given it’s not your typical hedged arbitrage trade.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Incredible lack of risk management by short sellers.\n\nThey doubled down by increasing their positions by another 5 million shares. https://t.co/fGcsOdwkw2", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PositionJournal", "ret_m1d": -0.09312209913304814, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09312209913304814, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09437883947545389, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09437883947545389, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0788253119911726, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0788253119911726, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0636403631218091, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0636403631218091, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "ret_p1w": -0.10548684817482279, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10548684817482279, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08345615739565737, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08345615739565737, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "ret_p1m": -0.23686241729325552, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.23686241729325552, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2449011033227243, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2449011033227243, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "bench_c_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.4378, 0.4007, 0.4243, 0.3512, 0.3435, 0.374, 0.3543, 0.3447, 0.3396, 0.3396, 0.3257, 0.3176, 0.2767, 0.2546, 0.2546, 0.291, 0.3412, 0.3702, 0.3702, 0.3087, 0.2245, 0.2496, 0.2442, 0.2102, 0.2067, 0.2125, 0.2125, 0.1774, 0.1163, 0.1793, 0.1445, 0.17, 0.1468, 0.1078, 0.1542, 0.0468, 0.0216, -0.0131, -0.0572, -0.0927, -0.1105, -0.2531, -0.3338, -0.3551, -0.3895, -0.3702, -0.3702, -0.3713, -0.3879, -0.3887, -0.3961, -0.4007, -0.4026, -0.3887, -0.3972, -0.4389, -0.3632, -0.3887, -0.3644, -0.3864, -0.3918, -0.1437, -0.0931, 0.0, -0.0788, -0.0429, -0.0386, -0.0348, -0.1055, -0.0665, -0.1491, -0.1321, -0.1754, -0.1947, -0.194, -0.2512, -0.2743, -0.1978, -0.2334, -0.2604, -0.2604, -0.2145, -0.2465, -0.2508, -0.2369, -0.2492, -0.1828, -0.1747, -0.0614, 0.0429, 0.1136, 0.1982, 0.1499, 0.1209, 0.0877, 0.1808, 0.1356, 0.0784, 0.0174, 0.0498, 0.0591, 0.0537, 0.0174, 0.0386, -0.0089, 0.0923, 0.126, -0.0328, -0.0672, -0.0634, -0.0321, -0.1387, -0.1329, -0.1097, -0.0723, -0.0823, -0.0823, -0.0784, -0.0263, -0.0193, 0.0104, 0.0104, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2035016557127180499", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-20T15:32:10+00:00", "symbol": "XLU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Yes, hyperscalers need power for inference, and US is modernizing the grid for that", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Remains bullish on XLU: hyperscaler power demand for inference + US grid modernization thesis intact.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Investmnt_Eagle @EquityAndy Yes, hyperscalers need power for inference, and US is modernizing the grid for that.\n\nUnfortunately Iran blowing a bunch of stuff up around the energy trade, leaves a lot of short-medium term uncertainty.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @EquityAndy Still bullish on XLU?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Investmnt_Eagle", "ret_m1d": 0.04232919853682193, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04232919853682193, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.027784919134580033, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.027784919134580033, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0145442794022419, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0145442794022419, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009923201908965895, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009923201908965895, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0005768173359719242, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0005768173359719242, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01050001924493782, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01050001924493782, "ret_p1w": 0.028191160880928212, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.028191160880928212, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05051717088020269, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05051717088020269, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.022326009999274476, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022326009999274476, "ret_p1m": 0.031799637044578555, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.031799637044578555, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.060942800471249114, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.060942800471249114, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09274243751582767, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09274243751582767, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0455, -0.0412, -0.0412, -0.0419, -0.0401, -0.0379, -0.0439, -0.0439, -0.0329, -0.0437, -0.039, -0.0623, -0.0596, -0.0479, -0.0464, -0.0403, -0.0331, -0.0233, -0.0282, -0.0282, -0.0379, -0.0365, -0.0434, -0.0468, -0.0399, -0.0273, -0.0296, -0.0296, -0.0314, -0.0455, -0.0316, -0.0352, -0.0347, -0.0291, -0.0262, -0.0101, -0.0013, 0.0134, 0.0414, 0.0414, 0.0387, 0.0215, 0.0327, 0.0376, 0.0455, 0.0571, 0.0607, 0.0567, 0.069, 0.0609, 0.0542, 0.0587, 0.0504, 0.0468, 0.0493, 0.0428, 0.034, 0.0414, 0.0517, 0.0585, 0.0555, 0.0466, 0.0423, 0.0, 0.0099, 0.0169, 0.0205, 0.0223, 0.0282, 0.0356, 0.035, 0.0399, 0.0451, 0.0451, 0.0413, 0.0435, 0.055, 0.0634, 0.0591, 0.0462, 0.048, 0.0379, 0.0453, 0.041, 0.0318, 0.0138, 0.012, 0.0395, 0.0415, 0.0417, 0.0431, 0.0302, 0.0566, 0.0498, 0.0458, 0.0458, 0.0309, 0.0176, 0.0086, 0.018, 0.0192, 0.0074, 0.0126, -0.0106, -0.009, -0.0, 0.0038, 0.0149, 0.0228, 0.0228, 0.0223, 0.018, 0.0065, 0.0018, 0.0018, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2020934660986110264", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-09T18:55:44+00:00", "symbol": "AEVA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AEVA is one of the only companies that can do it compared to companies to $OUST here", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "AEVA's FMCW Doppler lidar seen as superior input for deterministic World Models vs OUST's probabilistic ToF data; implied long AEVA, relative underweight OUST.", "resolved_tickers": ["AEVA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Apparently $OUST sits more in “Probabilistic AI”while $AEVA FMCW solves the Deterministic Physical AI that word models need\n\n“FMCW gives velocity as a direct physical measurement (Doppler shift) versus ToF requiring computational derivation across frames”. \n\nMaybe you can help articulate the nuance with $OUST and why you think it’s better exposure to 4D AI\n\n---\n\nWorld* models.\n\nApparently if the world's most advanced World Models require Doppler-level precision, $AEVA is one of the only companies that can do it compared to companies to $OUST here?\n\nIf you give Cosmos \"probabilistic\" depth data (from $OUST ) the model has to spend massive amounts of compute cycles calculating where things are moving. $AEVA just feeds in deterministic velocity data. “If a model has to infer motion from sequential depth frames, that’s additional computation versus receiving velocity as a direct input”", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.11428574153355187, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11428574153355187, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.10948704792543362, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.10948704792543362, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07571431568690712, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07571431568690712, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07307715525482628, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07307715525482628, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "ret_p1w": -0.03000000544956749, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03000000544956749, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.012419435665224299, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.012419435665224299, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "ret_p1m": 0.15714291163853233, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.15714291163853233, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.18130897425358616, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.18130897425358616, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "ret_p3m": -0.024285725184849283, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.024285725184849283, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.08139062890803272, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08139062890803272, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.195, -0.2371, -0.2864, -0.3436, -0.3186, -0.295, -0.2907, -0.2993, -0.2421, -0.2543, -0.2479, -0.2479, -0.2036, -0.2629, -0.2221, -0.0221, 0.1343, 0.05, 0.0779, 0.0829, 0.1029, 0.2229, 0.1436, 0.0264, 0.0014, -0.08, -0.0521, 0.0207, 0.0557, -0.0071, -0.0364, -0.0364, -0.0557, -0.0786, -0.0571, -0.0514, -0.0514, -0.0893, -0.065, 0.2564, 0.2136, 0.2064, 0.4193, 0.3643, 0.4214, 0.4779, 0.4157, 0.3814, 0.3814, 0.41, 0.2993, 0.3064, 0.1279, 0.0243, 0.025, 0.0286, -0.0536, -0.0879, -0.0886, -0.0657, -0.1021, -0.1893, -0.1143, 0.0, -0.0757, -0.09, -0.0836, -0.03, -0.03, -0.0786, -0.0743, -0.0807, -0.1043, -0.11, -0.0671, -0.0257, -0.0257, -0.0529, 0.0357, -0.0021, 0.0721, 0.0771, 0.0121, 0.0543, 0.1571, 0.1936, 0.0929, 0.0829, 0.1107, 0.1193, 0.0429, 0.0864, 0.0079, 0.0986, 0.1043, 0.09, 0.0143, -0.0882, -0.17, -0.06, -0.0571, -0.055, -0.055, -0.0936, -0.1036, -0.0707, -0.0679, -0.0464, -0.0286, 0.0086, 0.0664, 0.0543, 0.1236, 0.1279, 0.1807, 0.1657, 0.1064, 0.155, 0.1486, 0.115, 0.0529, 0.1421, 0.1771, 0.1236, 0.0886, 0.1836, -0.0243, -0.0307, 0.1093, 0.3636, 0.4471, 0.5164, 0.4625, 0.3893, 0.3571, 0.5079, 0.535, 0.8086, 0.8086, 1.0093, 1.0921, 0.8457, 1.0129, 1.0129, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2020934660986110264", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-09T18:55:44+00:00", "symbol": "OUST", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If you give Cosmos \"probabilistic\" depth data (from $OUST) the model has to spend massive amounts of compute cycles calculating where things are moving", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "AEVA's FMCW Doppler lidar seen as superior input for deterministic World Models vs OUST's probabilistic ToF data; implied long AEVA, relative underweight OUST.", "resolved_tickers": ["OUST"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Electronic Components'", "bench_c_industry": "Electronic Components", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Apparently $OUST sits more in “Probabilistic AI”while $AEVA FMCW solves the Deterministic Physical AI that word models need\n\n“FMCW gives velocity as a direct physical measurement (Doppler shift) versus ToF requiring computational derivation across frames”. \n\nMaybe you can help articulate the nuance with $OUST and why you think it’s better exposure to 4D AI\n\n---\n\nWorld* models.\n\nApparently if the world's most advanced World Models require Doppler-level precision, $AEVA is one of the only companies that can do it compared to companies to $OUST here?\n\nIf you give Cosmos \"probabilistic\" depth data (from $OUST ) the model has to spend massive amounts of compute cycles calculating where things are moving. $AEVA just feeds in deterministic velocity data. “If a model has to infer motion from sequential depth frames, that’s additional computation versus receiving velocity as a direct input”", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.07787271753261893, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07787271753261893, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07307402392450069, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.062386067321384076, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015486650211234854, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04748338202083868, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04748338202083868, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04484622158875784, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.041902603329343924, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005580778691494759, "ret_p1w": -0.10873689773269135, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10873689773269135, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09115632794834816, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08229800664121878, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02643889109147257, "ret_p1m": 0.06220329565580052, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06220329565580052, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08636935827085435, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08724699207439945, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025043696418598937, "ret_p3m": 0.1638177041988389, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1638177041988389, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.10671280047565546, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.021400117119044992, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1852178213178839, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1591, 0.0684, 0.047, -0.0066, -0.0038, -0.0052, -0.0636, -0.0537, 0.0147, 0.0342, 0.0627, 0.0627, 0.0902, 0.0332, 0.0461, 0.1334, 0.2341, 0.1766, 0.2113, 0.2018, 0.2213, 0.2531, 0.1519, 0.0489, 0.0684, -0.0128, 0.0161, 0.0556, 0.0883, 0.0755, 0.0617, 0.0617, 0.0432, 0.0152, 0.0204, 0.0275, 0.0275, 0.1097, 0.1776, 0.2203, 0.2203, 0.3143, 0.3234, 0.2972, 0.2873, 0.3177, 0.301, 0.2517, 0.2517, 0.1633, 0.2009, 0.2934, 0.1795, 0.1477, 0.1591, 0.1339, 0.1149, -0.0109, -0.0347, -0.0375, -0.0893, -0.1785, -0.0779, 0.0, -0.0475, -0.103, -0.1372, -0.1087, -0.1087, -0.1168, -0.1173, -0.094, -0.1159, -0.1425, -0.1144, -0.0598, -0.0679, -0.1002, -0.0385, 0.0313, 0.0627, 0.0057, -0.0375, -0.0242, 0.0622, 0.1752, 0.0712, 0.0195, 0.0114, 0.0157, -0.0152, 0.0, -0.048, 0.0057, -0.0233, -0.0399, -0.0831, -0.1614, -0.2104, -0.1277, -0.1159, -0.0745, -0.0745, -0.0831, -0.0821, -0.038, -0.0489, -0.0176, 0.0389, 0.1121, 0.1605, 0.1477, 0.1519, 0.2887, 0.311, 0.3181, 0.254, 0.34, 0.2783, 0.2407, 0.2127, 0.2802, 0.2559, 0.3367, 0.358, 0.3958, 0.1638, 0.1966, 0.2726, 0.2868, 0.6225, 0.6553, 0.6553, 0.4596, 0.4112, 0.4658, 0.6662, 0.7583, 0.7583, 1.0275, 1.1002, 1.01, 1.1866, 1.1866, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2030701527388811709", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-08T17:45:47+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$6B ATM is enormous and will serve as a structural overhang for holders. I can't see how anyone could honestly say it's a \"dip buying opportunity\" when half of the marketcap is inevitably minted then sold against retail holders.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish IREN: $6B ATM shelf is a structural overhang; dilution inevitable, not a dip-buying opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm here to protect retail interests. I have zero economic interest in $IREN. As you mentioned, it's a lot easier to go with the flow. \n\nBut the harsh reality is $6B ATM is enormous and will serve as a structural overhang for holders. \n\nI can't see how anyone could honestly say it's a \"dip buying opportunity\" when half of the marketcap is inevitably minted then sold against retail holders.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Respect for not letting the negative reactions censor your opinion. Would be soooo much easier to farm engagement by just jumping on the bandwagon.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "daniel_koss", "ret_m1d": -0.05509782135018482, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05509782135018482, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04641386798582958, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05986636349258456, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004768542142399745, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.018537621469477572, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.018537621469477572, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.016930494564110443, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.013173021082192093, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005364600387285479, "ret_p1w": 0.15705454300093913, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.15705454300093913, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.17067744972513788, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.17751951414193812, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02046497114099899, "ret_p1m": -0.07981458449903078, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07981458449903078, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0543826200794183, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07596801281670362, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00384657168232716, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1308, 0.1313, 0.0332, -0.0865, -0.0579, -0.1303, -0.0783, 0.0278, 0.0824, 0.0832, 0.0808, 0.0808, 0.0376, 0.0147, -0.0139, -0.0275, -0.0275, 0.0994, 0.242, 0.182, 0.1232, 0.1761, 0.1851, 0.2958, 0.3643, 0.3615, 0.336, 0.4887, 0.4887, 0.397, 0.3769, 0.3455, 0.4593, 0.3481, 0.5445, 0.6205, 0.5407, 0.3836, 0.3666, 0.4004, 0.1571, 0.0245, 0.077, 0.1882, 0.1053, 0.0986, 0.0306, 0.087, 0.087, 0.0548, 0.0834, 0.1146, 0.0294, 0.0906, 0.1702, 0.1336, 0.139, 0.0543, 0.0657, 0.0003, 0.1287, 0.0331, -0.0551, 0.0, -0.0185, 0.0808, 0.0651, 0.0705, 0.1571, 0.1061, 0.0868, 0.0726, 0.0631, 0.0855, 0.0587, 0.0667, -0.0358, -0.0965, -0.1859, -0.1174, -0.1223, -0.1048, -0.1048, -0.0955, -0.0798, -0.0518, -0.0458, 0.0124, 0.1089, 0.2196, 0.257, 0.2281, 0.2389, 0.2544, 0.163, 0.2459, 0.3393, 0.3038, 0.2451, 0.1442, 0.1035, 0.1717, 0.1756, 0.2739, 0.4094, 0.57, 0.4637, 0.5757, 0.4199, 0.4562, 0.4204, 0.5036, 0.363, 0.2992, 0.2291, 0.3571, 0.4949, 0.4632, 0.4632, 0.5391, 0.7467, 0.6491, 0.6359, 0.6359, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2014672331092926620", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-23T12:11:29+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Just goes to show how dominant $NVDA is that AI firms can't function without it", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NVDA: China forced to allow H200 orders proves NVDA's dominance is irreplaceable even for state-directed markets.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "There were many reports Chinese tech (bytedance, $BABA, etc) were struggling with inference capacity.\n\nChina still hasn’t likely changed their domestic self-reliance goal but reality of inference limits likely forced their hand. \n\nJust goes to show how dominant $NVDA is that AI firms can’t function without it", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$NVDA\n\nBREAKING: China has cleared tech companies to place orders for Nvidia H200 chips, as per Bloomberg. \n\n- These companies can now discuss specifics details like the amount of chips they need. \n\n- China will still encourage companies to buy domestic chips along side Nvidia. https://t.co/myN3dvtD7b", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "amitisinvesting", "ret_m1d": -0.01507967451249037, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01507967451249037, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014717025834524167, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014717025834524167, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00036264867796620415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00036264867796620415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006394126101000319, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006394126101000319, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.011472273161610147, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011472273161610147, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005078147060609828, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005078147060609828, "ret_p1w": 0.01843667609195454, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01843667609195454, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.014461215437560071, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.014461215437560071, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003975460654394469, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003975460654394469, "ret_p1m": 0.020674677144930653, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.020674677144930653, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.030598677206023273, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.030598677206023273, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00992400006109262, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00992400006109262, "ret_p3m": 0.079080129853498, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.079080129853498, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.044371259310551414, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.044371259310551414, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03470887054294658, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03470887054294658, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0711, 0.1032, 0.081, 0.0789, 0.1023, 0.0587, 0.0401, 0.0021, 0.0025, 0.0606, 0.0292, 0.0326, -0.0044, 0.0133, -0.0058, -0.0337, -0.0062, -0.0375, -0.0469, -0.0273, -0.0525, -0.0395, -0.0395, -0.0569, -0.0413, -0.0331, -0.0431, -0.0229, -0.028, -0.0113, -0.0144, -0.0207, -0.0359, -0.0674, -0.0606, -0.053, -0.0891, -0.0721, -0.0356, -0.0212, 0.0082, 0.005, 0.005, 0.0152, 0.0029, -0.0007, -0.0062, -0.0062, 0.0063, 0.0024, -0.0023, 0.0077, -0.014, -0.015, -0.0145, -0.0099, -0.0241, -0.0033, -0.0077, -0.0077, -0.0512, -0.0232, -0.0151, 0.0, -0.0064, 0.0045, 0.0205, 0.0258, 0.0184, -0.011, -0.0391, -0.0718, -0.0841, -0.012, 0.0126, 0.0046, 0.0127, -0.0039, -0.0259, -0.0259, -0.0144, 0.0017, 0.0012, 0.0115, 0.0207, 0.0276, 0.042, -0.0148, -0.0558, -0.0277, -0.0406, -0.0247, -0.0231, -0.0525, -0.0267, -0.0155, -0.0087, -0.0241, -0.0395, -0.0237, -0.0305, -0.0387, -0.0485, -0.0797, -0.0641, -0.0664, -0.0479, -0.0875, -0.1073, -0.1198, -0.0707, -0.0635, -0.0547, -0.0547, -0.0534, -0.0509, -0.0297, -0.02, 0.0052, 0.0088, 0.0472, 0.0597, 0.057, 0.0747, 0.0767, 0.0651, 0.0791, 0.0638, 0.1098, 0.1543, 0.1359, 0.115, 0.0635, 0.0575, 0.0577, 0.0471, 0.1075, 0.127, 0.1468, 0.1693, 0.1765, 0.2034, 0.2562, 0.2007, 0.1847, 0.1756, 0.1908, 0.1697, 0.1474, 0.1474, 0.1449, 0.1329, 0.1417, 0.1251, 0.1251, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2034191753868447949", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-18T08:54:42+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If they even hit 60-70% of their targets should re-rate a ton anyway in my opinion. So these base cases convinced me.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AAOI: even partial execution on targets warrants a large re-rating; author is convinced by the bull case.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The base case scenario is they become more of a US Innolight/Eoptolink (which are still valued at $50B+) if they don't manage to scale up laser capacity and buy from $COHR. \n\nIf they even hit 60-70% of their targets should re-rate a ton anyway in my opinion. \n\nSo these base cases convinced me.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit How would you rate your confidence 1-10 on if $aaoi can execute", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Shiboo9019", "ret_m1d": -0.06801247553886569, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06801247553886569, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08216358042540872, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08216358042540872, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.014151104886543031, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014151104886543031, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10029149509863067, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10029149509863067, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10275583558382251, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10275583558382251, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0024643404851918405, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0024643404851918405, "ret_p1w": 0.2351290840385698, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2351290840385698, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.239386832975081, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.239386832975081, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0042577489365112076, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0042577489365112076, "ret_p1m": 0.6983699880053034, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6983699880053034, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.63465013576395, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.63465013576395, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06371985224135335, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06371985224135335, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6619, -0.5779, -0.5613, -0.5574, -0.5574, -0.5987, -0.6033, -0.6111, -0.6237, -0.6237, -0.5725, -0.6223, -0.5832, -0.5892, -0.6436, -0.6325, -0.636, -0.631, -0.6279, -0.6006, -0.6001, -0.6001, -0.5762, -0.5857, -0.5881, -0.6144, -0.6233, -0.5964, -0.5117, -0.5728, -0.5292, -0.5233, -0.5021, -0.5693, -0.5884, -0.5218, -0.4828, -0.4765, -0.4775, -0.5251, -0.52, -0.52, -0.526, -0.531, -0.4928, -0.4421, -0.4175, -0.3925, -0.3726, -0.4204, -0.0907, 0.1067, 0.0293, 0.0764, 0.0919, 0.0318, 0.1942, 0.3008, 0.3712, 0.1464, 0.0451, 0.0155, -0.068, 0.0, 0.1003, -0.0549, 0.0338, 0.2296, 0.2351, 0.0517, 0.0602, -0.0803, -0.0868, -0.0678, 0.1218, 0.1218, 0.16, 0.27, 0.4326, 0.4391, 0.6258, 0.6538, 0.5804, 0.5389, 0.6984, 0.721, 0.7648, 0.6255, 0.6131, 0.4869, 0.7507, 0.5738, 0.4818, 0.6499, 0.7744, 0.9811, 0.8674, 0.9494, 0.9275, 0.7009, 0.6079, 0.9961, 1.0326, 1.4085, 1.1977, 1.0551, 0.8705, 0.8496, 0.7841, 0.9088, 0.9593, 0.9593, 0.9175, 0.9414, 0.8247, 0.7101, 0.7101, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2029954399536308282", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-06T16:16:58+00:00", "symbol": "XLU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$XLU is a 2 year long waiting for rate cut, grid modernization, and inference to take off", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "XLU is a multi-year long thesis on rate cuts, grid modernization, and AI inference demand; requires patience.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@bilbooo__ Yeah $XLU is a 2 year long waiting for rate cut, grid modernization, and inference to take off. \n\nIf something is a multi-year long... Might require you to wait more than 2 weeks.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I went $xlu instead 😭. This thing moves too slowly.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "bilbooo__", "ret_m1d": 0.0034232054902127995, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0034232054902127995, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009858008242928706, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009858008242928706, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013281213733141506, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013281213733141506, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0023533921351253095, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0023533921351253095, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006406632877913765, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006406632877913765, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008760025013039074, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008760025013039074, "ret_p1w": 0.004706784270250841, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.004706784270250841, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01971315130838114, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01971315130838114, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.015006367038130297, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015006367038130297, "ret_p1m": -0.00528907109676946, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.00528907109676946, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.012038101819971114, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.012038101819971114, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017327172916740574, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017327172916740574, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0922, -0.0926, -0.086, -0.0905, -0.0822, -0.086, -0.092, -0.083, -0.0947, -0.0914, -0.0881, -0.0841, -0.0841, -0.0847, -0.083, -0.0809, -0.0866, -0.0866, -0.0762, -0.0864, -0.0819, -0.1042, -0.1016, -0.0905, -0.089, -0.0832, -0.0764, -0.067, -0.0717, -0.0717, -0.0809, -0.0796, -0.0862, -0.0894, -0.0828, -0.0708, -0.073, -0.073, -0.0747, -0.0881, -0.0749, -0.0783, -0.0779, -0.0725, -0.0697, -0.0543, -0.046, -0.0319, -0.0051, -0.0051, -0.0077, -0.0242, -0.0135, -0.0088, -0.0013, 0.0098, 0.0133, 0.0094, 0.0212, 0.0135, 0.0071, 0.0113, 0.0034, 0.0, 0.0024, -0.0039, -0.0122, -0.0051, 0.0047, 0.0111, 0.0083, -0.0002, -0.0043, -0.0447, -0.0352, -0.0286, -0.0251, -0.0234, -0.0178, -0.0107, -0.0113, -0.0066, -0.0016, -0.0016, -0.0053, -0.0031, 0.0079, 0.0158, 0.0117, -0.0005, 0.0012, -0.0085, -0.0014, -0.0055, -0.0143, -0.0316, -0.0333, -0.007, -0.0051, -0.0049, -0.0036, -0.0158, 0.0094, 0.0029, -0.001, -0.001, -0.0152, -0.0279, -0.0365, -0.0275, -0.0264, -0.0376, -0.0327, -0.0548, -0.0533, -0.0447, -0.0411, -0.0305, -0.023, -0.023, -0.0234, -0.0275, -0.0385, -0.043, -0.043, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2035709150756511987", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-22T13:24:17+00:00", "symbol": "JETS", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Long $JETS and airliner ETFs for lower IV over individual names", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long JETS as a way to play an Iran war resolution; down 15% YTD, low IV ~28-30, moves inverse to oil.", "resolved_tickers": ["JETS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@orrdavid Long $JETS and airliner ETFs for lower IV over individual names.\n\nDown 15% YTD, very low IV ~28-30 2028, moves inverse to oil as you’ve mentioned.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Besides short oil, what's another way to bet on the Iranian war ending with a great result within 3 weeks?\n\nSomething obvious, not convoluted.\n\nAlso, anything with options?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "orrdavid", "ret_m1d": -0.03369434987184883, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03369434987184883, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0233034354285383, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0233034354285383, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010390914443310528, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010390914443310528, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00401124670058528, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00401124670058528, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0006543969483188139, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0006543969483188139, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0033568497522664664, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0033568497522664664, "ret_p1w": -0.05174492177039902, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05174492177039902, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.016025134768545946, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.016025134768545946, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.035719787001853076, "bench_c_p1w": -0.035719787001853076, "ret_p1m": 0.07300439921961677, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07300439921961677, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0013036538857555957, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0013036538857555957, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07430805310537236, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07430805310537236, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1448, 0.1448, 0.1396, 0.1252, 0.1268, 0.126, 0.126, 0.1348, 0.1637, 0.1693, 0.1645, 0.1633, 0.1821, 0.1733, 0.1536, 0.1392, 0.1653, 0.1637, 0.1637, 0.1344, 0.1613, 0.1584, 0.1456, 0.136, 0.1175, 0.1107, 0.14, 0.1211, 0.1604, 0.1773, 0.1957, 0.1821, 0.2499, 0.2431, 0.2387, 0.1982, 0.1765, 0.1777, 0.1777, 0.2102, 0.2154, 0.1673, 0.1821, 0.1436, 0.156, 0.1596, 0.1885, 0.1412, 0.1111, 0.1003, 0.0959, 0.0461, 0.0168, 0.0337, 0.0168, 0.0116, -0.0285, -0.0353, -0.014, 0.0056, -0.0136, -0.0096, -0.0337, 0.0, -0.004, 0.0148, 0.0032, -0.0321, -0.0517, -0.012, 0.0136, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0024, -0.0056, 0.0505, 0.0473, 0.0385, 0.0353, 0.081, 0.0838, 0.0682, 0.1199, 0.1051, 0.073, 0.0381, 0.0317, 0.0429, 0.0241, 0.014, 0.0, 0.0197, 0.0333, 0.0197, 0.0453, 0.0927, 0.1067, 0.1023, 0.0674, 0.0538, 0.0481, 0.0517, 0.0253, 0.0249, -0.0048, 0.0606, 0.083, 0.0882, 0.0882, 0.1336, 0.1665, 0.1689, 0.1761, 0.1761, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2034995872497643843", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-20T14:09:59+00:00", "symbol": "Sivers Semiconductors", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I extremely disagree with analysts posts saying \"it's priced in\" and telling retail profits at $250M. After $SIVE confirmed $JBL confirmed they were using them for their upcoming transceivers. After $SIVE are in O-Net supply chains. institutions are trying to acquire positions off retail hands", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Sivers: analyst 'priced in' calls are wrong; JBL and O-Net adoption confirms demand, and institutions are accumulating from retail.", "resolved_tickers": ["SIVE.ST"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Sivers Semiconductors on Nasdaq Stockholm as SIVE.ST", "bench_c": "FEZ", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='ST')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yeah. I extremely disagree with analysts posts saying \"it's priced in\" and telling retail profits at $250M. \n\n-> After $SIVE confirmed $JBL confirmed they were using them for their upcoming transceivers. \n\n-> After $SIVE are in O-Net supply chains. \n\nThen saying it's \"Sentiment Driven\" after one of the largest T1 optical suppliers now is a confirmed Sivers buyer. \n\nAgain, this is currently majority retail owned, so it's my opinion institutions are trying to acquire positions off retail hands.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Appreciate you\n\nI hope people don't get shook out I think you find the axti of this year", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Ud197601", "ret_m1d": 0.24362765255142071, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.24362765255142071, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.22908337314917881, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.20762764159916203, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0145442794022419, "bench_c_m1d": 0.03600001095225869, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.35032599605256864, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.35032599605256864, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.3398259768076308, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.3207473198966613, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01050001924493782, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02957867615590737, "ret_p1w": 0.17545933237826472, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.17545933237826472, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1977853423775392, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.17726212511510875, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.022326009999274476, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0018027927368440277, "ret_p1m": 2.6917602656223094, "ret_signed_p1m": 2.6917602656223094, "alpha_spy_p1m": 2.599017828106482, "alpha_c_p1m": 2.56736954073369, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09274243751582767, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12439072488861957, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5044, -0.5044, -0.5044, -0.5044, -0.5116, -0.5075, -0.5075, -0.5075, -0.4926, -0.5139, -0.5139, -0.4886, -0.5206, -0.5227, -0.5255, -0.5191, -0.5694, -0.5675, -0.5749, -0.5929, -0.5993, -0.6194, -0.5912, -0.5884, -0.5862, -0.5841, -0.5858, -0.6014, -0.604, -0.5993, -0.6111, -0.6057, -0.6145, -0.5934, -0.6102, -0.6154, -0.6185, -0.6488, -0.6405, -0.6341, -0.6344, -0.6325, -0.6183, -0.6254, -0.6332, -0.6183, -0.6261, -0.6562, -0.6415, -0.6408, -0.6484, -0.6078, -0.6002, -0.5732, -0.591, -0.5647, -0.5113, -0.5151, -0.4976, -0.1269, -0.1814, 0.0575, 0.2436, 0.0, 0.3503, 0.4772, 0.7155, 0.3444, 0.1755, 0.1855, 0.2697, 0.3219, 0.1737, 0.1737, 0.1737, 0.1434, 0.3977, 0.348, 0.5886, 0.9976, 0.8921, 1.4635, 1.703, 1.805, 2.6918, 3.0545, 2.5566, 2.3622, 2.789, 2.5068, 2.7842, 3.7279, 3.505, 3.505, 5.6331, 5.4849, 4.7214, 4.8969, 4.1595, 4.8684, 4.1144, 5.7161, 5.7161, 5.6034, 4.7024, 4.3894, 5.4019, 6.0006, 7.6426, 9.1423, 9.2964, 7.7018, 7.3225, 7.1743, 7.1743, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2022115694561972715", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-13T01:08:45+00:00", "symbol": "LPTH", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "backlogged with ~$100m. Demand is there, looks like a waiting game for companies to switch over to black diamond from foreign owned germanium supply chains", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish LPTH on ~$100M backlog and impending supply chain shift from foreign germanium to Black Diamond.", "resolved_tickers": ["LPTH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Ren_aramb Yeah $LPTH is backlogged with ~$100m. Demand is there, looks like a waiting game for companies to switch over to black diamond from foreign owned germanium supply chains https://t.co/sgVpFZFwMa", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $LPTH had a glorious day +20%, it’s been a while", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Ren_aramb", "ret_m1d": 0.08333325054910778, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08333325054910778, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08403724009250202, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08403724009250202, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0007039895433942345, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0007039895433942345, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.04166662527455389, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04166662527455389, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.030401446004990174, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.030401446004990174, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011265179269563719, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011265179269563719, "ret_p1m": -0.04513892683165899, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04513892683165899, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02648113918298589, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02648113918298589, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.018657787648673096, "bench_c_p1m": -0.018657787648673096, "ret_p3m": 0.05208328159319242, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05208328159319242, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0397205636871063, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0397205636871063, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09180384528029872, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09180384528029872, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4071, -0.4167, -0.4635, -0.4609, -0.4106, -0.4002, -0.3993, -0.3993, -0.362, -0.3776, -0.3125, -0.2752, -0.217, -0.2361, -0.2413, -0.2361, -0.2344, -0.2083, -0.2969, -0.3498, -0.3637, -0.4028, -0.3767, -0.3368, -0.2595, -0.2439, -0.2161, -0.2161, -0.217, -0.1068, -0.0833, -0.0625, -0.0625, 0.0174, 0.0148, 0.0, 0.059, 0.0964, 0.0712, 0.0408, 0.0122, 0.1484, 0.1432, 0.0911, 0.0911, 0.2153, 0.184, 0.2439, 0.0799, -0.112, -0.0234, -0.0208, -0.0026, -0.0955, -0.0885, -0.0547, -0.184, -0.2135, -0.0833, -0.0165, -0.0443, -0.1085, 0.0833, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0295, -0.0243, 0.1806, 0.0417, -0.0278, 0.0408, 0.0217, -0.033, -0.0946, 0.0425, 0.0399, 0.0243, -0.0165, -0.0391, -0.0373, -0.0391, -0.0547, -0.0477, -0.0877, -0.0451, 0.0408, 0.013, -0.0026, -0.0859, -0.0069, 0.0304, 0.0373, -0.046, -0.1762, -0.1918, -0.1293, -0.1128, -0.0469, -0.0469, -0.0026, -0.0486, 0.0052, 0.0556, 0.1137, 0.2509, 0.2405, 0.217, 0.2951, 0.2292, 0.2413, 0.2318, 0.2717, 0.2691, 0.3967, 0.2144, 0.1024, 0.0582, 0.112, 0.1892, 0.0703, 0.0503, 0.1172, 0.0443, -0.0009, 0.1128, 0.0599, 0.0521, 0.0547, 0.0, 0.0799, 0.2049, 0.1849, 0.2396, 0.4714, 0.4714, 0.4097, 0.5286, 0.5755, 0.474, 0.474, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2035553867442852076", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-22T03:07:15+00:00", "symbol": "XLU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm personally holding. Could always wait for a better energy but regardless: I do expect America to modernize the grid and have hyperscaler capex flowing down into power.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holding XLU long despite Iran war disruption to original thesis; still bullish on grid modernization and hyperscaler capex flowing into power.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "War in Iran threw a knife into the original $XLU thesis since a large part of it hinged on rate cuts (which were widely expected to be ~3 for 2026).\n\nAlongside blowing up parts of the energy trade. \n\nI don't know what happens next, but I'm personally holding. Could always wait for a better energy but regardless:\n\nI do expect America to modernize the grid and have hyperscaler capex flowing down into power.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit thoughts on the XLU leaps you posted? maybe not the best time and should exit and look for a different entry?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ofek1m", "ret_m1d": -0.009825699508842822, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.009825699508842822, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.000565214934467706, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.000565214934467706, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010390914443310528, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010390914443310528, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0069227642193312455, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0069227642193312455, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010279613971597712, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.010279613971597712, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0033568497522664664, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0033568497522664664, "ret_p1w": 0.02545778072185856, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02545778072185856, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.061177567723711634, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.061177567723711634, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.035719787001853076, "bench_c_p1w": -0.035719787001853076, "ret_p1m": 0.0037963820517381563, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0037963820517381563, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0705116710536342, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0705116710536342, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07430805310537236, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07430805310537236, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0506, -0.0506, -0.0513, -0.0495, -0.0473, -0.0533, -0.0533, -0.0424, -0.0531, -0.0484, -0.0715, -0.0688, -0.0573, -0.0557, -0.0497, -0.0426, -0.0329, -0.0378, -0.0378, -0.0473, -0.046, -0.0528, -0.0562, -0.0493, -0.0369, -0.0391, -0.0391, -0.0409, -0.0548, -0.0411, -0.0446, -0.0442, -0.0387, -0.0358, -0.0198, -0.0112, 0.0035, 0.0312, 0.0312, 0.0285, 0.0115, 0.0226, 0.0274, 0.0352, 0.0467, 0.0503, 0.0463, 0.0585, 0.0505, 0.0438, 0.0483, 0.0401, 0.0365, 0.039, 0.0325, 0.0239, 0.0312, 0.0414, 0.0481, 0.0452, 0.0363, 0.0321, -0.0098, 0.0, 0.0069, 0.0105, 0.0123, 0.0181, 0.0255, 0.0248, 0.0297, 0.0348, 0.0348, 0.031, 0.0333, 0.0447, 0.0529, 0.0487, 0.036, 0.0377, 0.0277, 0.0351, 0.0308, 0.0217, 0.0038, 0.002, 0.0293, 0.0313, 0.0315, 0.0328, 0.0201, 0.0462, 0.0395, 0.0355, 0.0355, 0.0208, 0.0076, -0.0013, 0.008, 0.0092, -0.0025, 0.0027, -0.0203, -0.0188, -0.0098, -0.006, 0.0049, 0.0127, 0.0127, 0.0123, 0.008, -0.0033, -0.008, -0.008, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2019169742444196261", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-04T22:02:35+00:00", "symbol": "SNAP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the $500M buyback is a red flag to me instead of a positive thing to me. But issuing billions in SBC to \"Talent\" and executives -> going into further debt (especially the $500M buyback) -> paying additional debt interest blows that model apart.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish SNAP: SBC issuance, debt-funded buyback, and interest costs destroy the FCF model; red flag on capital allocation.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNAP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I modeled $SNAP GCP opex cuts and memory monetization into FCF and it looked undervalued moving forward with the Perplexity deal.  \n\nBut issuing billions in SBC to \"Talent\" and executives -> going into further debt (especially the $500M buyback) -> paying additional debt interest blows that model apart.  \n\nThis is all in the hands of Evan to make that change if he lowers SBC notably. But the $500M buyback is a red flag to me instead of a positive thing to me.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit You had it at the top of your strong buy list at the end of Jan. I see you reconsidered due to the SBC stuff.\n\nWorth pointing out that they posted their first profitable quarter and with digital storage going from cap expense to rev, perhaps more to come. Time shall tell.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "coinviction", "ret_m1d": 0.03214891068121717, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03214891068121717, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02728141121613903, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.024101015564722994, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00486749946507814, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008047895116494175, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.1336717398053665, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1336717398053665, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.12118252854916478, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.12862033654969596, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012489211256201727, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00505140325567055, "ret_p1w": -0.1556683756424796, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1556683756424796, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.16407719636421703, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15515463141161756, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008408820721737431, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0005137442308620344, "ret_p1m": -0.09644665136054309, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09644665136054309, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0893349326419689, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11048772678448682, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007111718718574189, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014041075423943727, "ret_p3m": 0.043993271674226175, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.043993271674226175, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.005236400646751571, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04681447452770837, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.049229672320977746, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0028212028534821965, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3892, 0.4704, 0.4822, 0.5381, 0.4518, 0.4501, 0.3841, 0.3959, 0.3587, 0.3164, 0.3012, 0.2995, 0.2927, 0.2876, 0.2876, 0.2995, 0.2927, 0.2893, 0.2961, 0.313, 0.3384, 0.3587, 0.3401, 0.3401, 0.2927, 0.2369, 0.2284, 0.247, 0.269, 0.291, 0.2809, 0.3435, 0.3215, 0.3283, 0.3283, 0.3299, 0.3333, 0.3655, 0.3655, 0.3655, 0.3756, 0.3959, 0.4873, 0.4585, 0.4213, 0.3892, 0.3858, 0.3519, 0.3367, 0.313, 0.2741, 0.2741, 0.2437, 0.247, 0.2961, 0.2893, 0.2792, 0.2623, 0.2978, 0.225, 0.1726, 0.1269, 0.0321, 0.0, -0.1337, -0.1168, -0.1218, -0.1151, -0.1557, -0.1844, -0.1827, -0.1827, -0.1997, -0.1743, -0.154, -0.1303, -0.1658, -0.1591, -0.1421, -0.11, -0.1184, -0.11, -0.1117, -0.0914, -0.0964, -0.1269, -0.132, -0.1692, -0.1777, -0.2132, -0.2284, -0.2081, -0.2132, -0.2183, -0.2284, -0.242, -0.2369, -0.2623, -0.2403, -0.3215, -0.335, -0.3198, -0.2217, -0.1709, -0.2166, -0.2166, -0.203, -0.1878, -0.1997, -0.1624, -0.1844, -0.1286, -0.0525, 0.022, 0.0186, 0.0203, 0.0152, -0.0457, -0.0118, -0.0575, -0.044, 0.0254, 0.0068, 0.0118, 0.0271, 0.0643, 0.044, 0.0338, 0.0338, 0.0118, 0.0288, -0.0271, -0.0609, -0.0508, -0.0931, -0.0643, -0.0406, -0.0609, -0.0491, -0.0372, -0.0321, -0.0321, -0.0271, -0.0051, 0.0, -0.0338, -0.0338, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028111150613959097", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-01T14:12:33+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Not a fan of $IREN as a long unless they stop doing GPU offerings and pivot to do pure colo. investors now will be met with endless dilution to monetize their 3GW capacity", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish IREN on endless dilution risk unless it pivots to pure colo; prefers NBIS management.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Not a fan of $IREN as a long unless they stop doing GPU offerings and pivot to do pure colo. investors now will be met with endless dilution to monetize their 3GW capacity.\n\nThat being said it does carry higher potential returns but I personally trust in $NBIS management more. \n\nI’ve had a lot of debates in the past between $NBIS vs $IREN but time will tell whose right", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I’d be very curious to hear any updated opinions on $iren. \n\nPersonally owned them over $nbis as at least in the short term the secured power I think we’ll go a long way where $nbis is fully contracted out and to get power online will take time. \n\nIe more short-term catalysts for", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "otium33", "ret_m1d": -0.010630554075799936, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.010630554075799936, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01006229839159356, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.013164709111675443, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002534155035875507, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06136750309212602, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06136750309212602, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05255316460933035, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.059613139812312754, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0017543632798132647, "ret_p1w": -0.06160906679545153, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06160906679545153, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04979348587193666, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04270070499569545, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01890836179975608, "ret_p1m": -0.1717806406184621, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1717806406184621, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12186089904327835, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.13910577401756408, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03267486660089802, "ret_p3m": 0.5474753321155303, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.5474753321155303, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4450819529496224, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5429227474455651, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.004552584669965221, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0621, 0.1223, 0.0802, 0.1196, 0.1317, 0.0611, 0.0616, -0.0304, -0.1428, -0.116, -0.1839, -0.1351, -0.0355, 0.0157, 0.0164, 0.0143, 0.0143, -0.0263, -0.0478, -0.0747, -0.0875, -0.0875, 0.0317, 0.1655, 0.1092, 0.054, 0.1036, 0.1121, 0.216, 0.2803, 0.2776, 0.2537, 0.397, 0.397, 0.3109, 0.2921, 0.2626, 0.3694, 0.265, 0.4494, 0.5207, 0.4458, 0.2984, 0.2824, 0.3141, 0.0858, -0.0387, 0.0106, 0.115, 0.0372, 0.0309, -0.0329, 0.0201, 0.0201, -0.0101, 0.0167, 0.0459, -0.0341, 0.0234, 0.0981, 0.0638, 0.0689, -0.0106, 0.0, -0.0614, 0.0592, -0.0306, -0.1133, -0.0616, -0.079, 0.0143, -0.0005, 0.0046, 0.0858, 0.0379, 0.0198, 0.0065, -0.0024, 0.0186, -0.0065, 0.001, -0.0952, -0.1522, -0.236, -0.1718, -0.1764, -0.1599, -0.1599, -0.1512, -0.1365, -0.1102, -0.1046, -0.05, 0.0406, 0.1445, 0.1795, 0.1525, 0.1626, 0.1771, 0.0913, 0.1691, 0.2568, 0.2235, 0.1684, 0.0737, 0.0355, 0.0995, 0.1032, 0.1955, 0.3225, 0.4733, 0.3735, 0.4786, 0.3324, 0.3665, 0.3329, 0.411, 0.2791, 0.2191, 0.1534, 0.2735, 0.4028, 0.373, 0.373, 0.4443, 0.639, 0.5475, 0.5352, 0.5352, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028111150613959097", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-01T14:12:33+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I personally trust in $NBIS management more", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish IREN on endless dilution risk unless it pivots to pure colo; prefers NBIS management.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Not a fan of $IREN as a long unless they stop doing GPU offerings and pivot to do pure colo. investors now will be met with endless dilution to monetize their 3GW capacity.\n\nThat being said it does carry higher potential returns but I personally trust in $NBIS management more. \n\nI’ve had a lot of debates in the past between $NBIS vs $IREN but time will tell whose right", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I’d be very curious to hear any updated opinions on $iren. \n\nPersonally owned them over $nbis as at least in the short term the secured power I think we’ll go a long way where $nbis is fully contracted out and to get power online will take time. \n\nIe more short-term catalysts for", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "otium33", "ret_m1d": 0.0019778079436405527, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0019778079436405527, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0025460636278469284, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00045069612454962105, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0015271118190909316, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04625864174984662, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04625864174984662, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03744430326705095, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.047022132725646926, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0007634909758003072, "ret_p1w": 0.04318207024424714, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04318207024424714, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05499765116776201, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.045812146658927855, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0026300764146807154, "ret_p1m": 0.14009449182206213, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14009449182206213, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.19001423339724588, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.19656548692456421, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.056470995102502086, "ret_p3m": 1.4869793541932705, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.4869793541932705, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.3845859750273626, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.494001484198031, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": -0.007022130004760263, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0869, 0.1295, 0.0772, 0.1024, 0.0593, 0.0283, 0.0359, -0.0365, -0.1084, -0.1105, -0.171, -0.142, -0.017, 0.0244, -0.0108, 0.0013, 0.0013, -0.0376, -0.0546, -0.0642, -0.0803, -0.0803, -0.0116, 0.02, 0.1014, 0.0571, 0.0691, 0.076, 0.1793, 0.1584, 0.1205, 0.1415, 0.1947, 0.1947, 0.091, 0.0864, 0.0642, 0.0383, 0.0049, 0.0754, 0.1035, 0.0429, -0.0639, -0.0313, -0.0116, -0.0947, -0.1883, -0.054, 0.0205, 0.0086, -0.0264, -0.0141, 0.0769, 0.0769, 0.0715, 0.1186, 0.1824, 0.0759, 0.1055, 0.1271, 0.166, 0.1524, 0.002, 0.0, -0.0463, 0.0744, 0.051, -0.0185, 0.0432, 0.0596, 0.2306, 0.1871, 0.2411, 0.4268, 0.2782, 0.3027, 0.3352, 0.2924, 0.2543, 0.2626, 0.2646, 0.1644, 0.1078, 0.0137, 0.1401, 0.1202, 0.1957, 0.1957, 0.2366, 0.29, 0.3735, 0.498, 0.5929, 0.6983, 0.7794, 0.8324, 0.8167, 0.7266, 0.7488, 0.7201, 0.7156, 0.726, 0.617, 0.5928, 0.489, 0.5514, 0.5188, 0.6975, 0.9385, 0.933, 1.1436, 1.0302, 0.9454, 1.0448, 0.968, 1.2774, 1.43, 1.4167, 1.196, 1.1726, 1.1077, 1.4165, 1.3599, 1.3599, 1.2861, 1.2895, 1.487, 1.5392, 1.5392, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2027085049674579995", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-26T18:15:11+00:00", "symbol": "AEHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Agreed that it has potential for scale over the few years", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long AEHR: agrees it has meaningful scaling potential over the next few years tied to inference demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["AEHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Appreciate it! I kept seeing a questions pop up around $AEHR.   Especially because of jargon like \"Fox-XP\" or \"silicon carbide and gallium nitride power semiconductors\".  \n\nFelt like majority of X would have a hard time, so wanted to make it more digestible for readers. Agreed that it has potential for scale over the few years.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Also own $AEHR and love the simple breakdown. It's one of the stocks I found when I looked for businesses that would scale insanely well with inference demand going vertical.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "daniel_koss", "ret_m1d": 0.042211063753273104, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.042211063753273104, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03662556282863072, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007867252775152211, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005585500924642384, "bench_c_m1d": 0.03434381097812089, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05954771299789108, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05954771299789108, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05474576973936374, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.045858689637400696, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004801943258527341, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013689023360490382, "ret_p1w": 0.01733674509128491, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01733674509128491, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02892816003394716, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05777266477097076, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011591414942662248, "bench_c_p1w": -0.04043591967968585, "ret_p1m": -0.18291454569973864, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.18291454569973864, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10533114941542676, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09126626320508502, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07758339628431188, "bench_c_p1m": -0.09164828249465362, "ret_p3m": 1.7618090521617686, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.7618090521617686, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.6699188251724377, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.3003396694373794, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09189022698933091, "bench_c_p3m": 0.4614693827243892, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4339, -0.4357, -0.3779, -0.3593, -0.3784, -0.4003, -0.3839, -0.3508, -0.3359, -0.3849, -0.4241, -0.4497, -0.4601, -0.4606, -0.452, -0.4319, -0.4279, -0.4455, -0.4455, -0.4608, -0.4884, -0.4889, -0.4927, -0.4927, -0.4432, -0.4098, -0.3786, -0.3925, -0.4296, -0.3387, -0.3379, -0.3264, -0.3475, -0.3334, -0.2761, -0.2761, -0.2698, -0.2663, -0.2234, -0.2955, -0.3271, -0.3028, -0.297, -0.3246, -0.3558, -0.3452, -0.3168, -0.4013, -0.4221, -0.3369, -0.3068, -0.3259, -0.1495, -0.2992, -0.2754, -0.2754, -0.2842, -0.2711, -0.2394, -0.1558, -0.1377, -0.0143, 0.0422, 0.0, -0.0595, 0.1063, 0.0462, 0.0719, 0.0173, -0.1053, 0.0271, 0.0543, 0.0666, -0.054, -0.1038, -0.0583, -0.0681, -0.0877, -0.0513, -0.1327, -0.0666, -0.0153, -0.0193, -0.1314, -0.1829, -0.2432, -0.0683, -0.005, 0.1136, 0.1136, 0.3106, 0.2626, 0.5869, 0.7302, 0.7696, 0.8005, 0.8688, 0.8397, 1.0314, 1.107, 1.2651, 1.3548, 1.4462, 1.3997, 1.4098, 1.2231, 1.0711, 1.0555, 1.2754, 1.3384, 1.151, 1.2912, 1.4304, 1.293, 1.443, 1.6271, 1.4302, 1.5942, 1.6719, 1.5, 1.0997, 1.0387, 1.0688, 1.294, 1.3874, 1.3874, 1.7618, 1.6085, 1.5123, 1.3198, 1.3198, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2034634272733343835", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-19T14:13:06+00:00", "symbol": "TSEM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Better to stay long rather than get distracted by macro", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Stay long photonics names (TSEM, AAOI, COHR, LITE) on sold-out capacity and AI buildout; macro noise is a distraction.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSEM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$TSEM and the Photonics Supercycle…\n\nDoesn’t like they’re bothered with Iran or Silver and Gold crashing?\n\nAlmost every name from $AAOI, $COHR, $SIVE, to $LITE is green.\n\nThis is what happens when capacity is sold out for the next few years or it’s in the center of scaling the AI buildout.\n\nBetter to stay long rather than get distracted by macro.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.14523118287127446, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.14523118287127446, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.14770161133334114, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.14770161133334114, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002470428462066687, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002470428462066687, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.014751908244404088, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014751908244404088, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00041613237189985774, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00041613237189985774, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01433577587250423, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01433577587250423, "ret_p1w": 0.05178221790649373, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05178221790649373, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07140669385759202, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07140669385759202, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019624475951098286, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019624475951098286, "ret_p1m": 0.3634994848964359, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3634994848964359, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.28426424636276093, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.28426424636276093, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07923523853367498, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07923523853367498, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2874, -0.2709, -0.2626, -0.2626, -0.2678, -0.2708, -0.2734, -0.293, -0.293, -0.267, -0.2817, -0.2637, -0.2641, -0.2935, -0.2773, -0.2696, -0.2487, -0.2582, -0.2534, -0.2183, -0.2183, -0.2233, -0.1967, -0.2174, -0.2256, -0.235, -0.2015, -0.1635, -0.1889, -0.1888, -0.1758, -0.1787, -0.2697, -0.2228, -0.1628, -0.1117, -0.1777, -0.1905, -0.1957, -0.2248, -0.2248, -0.2306, -0.2272, -0.2422, -0.2265, -0.2327, -0.2413, -0.2415, -0.2543, -0.2481, -0.1655, -0.2442, -0.2564, -0.2742, -0.3341, -0.3048, -0.2962, -0.2808, -0.2862, -0.2491, -0.1662, -0.1699, -0.1452, 0.0, -0.0148, 0.0364, 0.0888, 0.1364, 0.0518, 0.0352, -0.0452, 0.0566, 0.1264, 0.191, 0.191, 0.1452, 0.1492, 0.2264, 0.2272, 0.2259, 0.2613, 0.2892, 0.2984, 0.2931, 0.3635, 0.3517, 0.3049, 0.241, 0.2119, 0.2075, 0.2243, 0.1654, 0.1993, 0.331, 0.3127, 0.2949, 0.358, 0.3058, 0.2645, 0.2706, 0.3781, 0.3297, 0.6304, 0.6901, 0.6497, 0.4937, 0.513, 0.5925, 0.68, 0.7066, 0.7066, 0.7373, 0.6726, 0.6588, 0.5368, 0.5368, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2034634272733343835", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-19T14:13:06+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Almost every name from $AAOI, $COHR, $SIVE, to $LITE is green", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Stay long photonics names (TSEM, AAOI, COHR, LITE) on sold-out capacity and AI buildout; macro noise is a distraction.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$TSEM and the Photonics Supercycle…\n\nDoesn’t like they’re bothered with Iran or Silver and Gold crashing?\n\nAlmost every name from $AAOI, $COHR, $SIVE, to $LITE is green.\n\nThis is what happens when capacity is sold out for the next few years or it’s in the center of scaling the AI buildout.\n\nBetter to stay long rather than get distracted by macro.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.09114993212743183, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09114993212743183, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09362036058949852, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09362036058949852, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002470428462066687, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002470428462066687, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.14109102739171264, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.14109102739171264, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.1267552515192084, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.1267552515192084, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01433577587250423, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01433577587250423, "ret_p1w": -0.044152277088355896, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.044152277088355896, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02452780113725761, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02452780113725761, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019624475951098286, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019624475951098286, "ret_p1m": 0.5641679850178811, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5641679850178811, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.48493274648420615, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.48493274648420615, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07923523853367498, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07923523853367498, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6164, -0.6013, -0.5977, -0.5977, -0.6353, -0.6394, -0.6466, -0.658, -0.658, -0.6115, -0.6567, -0.6212, -0.6266, -0.6761, -0.666, -0.6692, -0.6646, -0.6618, -0.637, -0.6366, -0.6366, -0.6148, -0.6234, -0.6257, -0.6495, -0.6577, -0.6331, -0.5562, -0.6118, -0.5721, -0.5667, -0.5475, -0.6085, -0.6259, -0.5653, -0.5299, -0.5242, -0.5251, -0.5684, -0.5638, -0.5638, -0.5692, -0.5738, -0.5391, -0.4929, -0.4706, -0.4479, -0.4297, -0.4732, -0.1736, 0.0058, -0.0646, -0.0217, -0.0077, -0.0622, 0.0854, 0.1822, 0.2462, 0.0419, -0.0501, -0.077, -0.153, -0.0911, 0.0, -0.1411, -0.0604, 0.1175, 0.1225, -0.0442, -0.0364, -0.1641, -0.17, -0.1528, 0.0195, 0.0195, 0.0543, 0.1542, 0.302, 0.3079, 0.4776, 0.503, 0.4363, 0.3986, 0.5436, 0.5642, 0.6039, 0.4773, 0.4661, 0.3514, 0.5911, 0.4303, 0.3467, 0.4995, 0.6126, 0.8005, 0.6972, 0.7717, 0.7518, 0.5458, 0.4613, 0.8142, 0.8473, 1.189, 0.9974, 0.8677, 0.7, 0.681, 0.6215, 0.7348, 0.7807, 0.7807, 0.7427, 0.7644, 0.6584, 0.5543, 0.5543, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2034634272733343835", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-19T14:13:06+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Almost every name from $AAOI, $COHR, $SIVE, to $LITE is green", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Stay long photonics names (TSEM, AAOI, COHR, LITE) on sold-out capacity and AI buildout; macro noise is a distraction.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$TSEM and the Photonics Supercycle…\n\nDoesn’t like they’re bothered with Iran or Silver and Gold crashing?\n\nAlmost every name from $AAOI, $COHR, $SIVE, to $LITE is green.\n\nThis is what happens when capacity is sold out for the next few years or it’s in the center of scaling the AI buildout.\n\nBetter to stay long rather than get distracted by macro.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06662559560605363, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06662559560605363, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06909602406812032, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06909602406812032, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002470428462066687, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002470428462066687, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07961680102433277, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07961680102433277, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06528102515182854, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06528102515182854, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01433577587250423, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01433577587250423, "ret_p1w": -0.11713906876704205, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11713906876704205, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09751459281594377, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09751459281594377, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019624475951098286, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019624475951098286, "ret_p1m": 0.25202300629089347, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.25202300629089347, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1727877677572185, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1727877677572185, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07923523853367498, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07923523853367498, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.307, -0.3037, -0.3055, -0.3055, -0.3043, -0.3141, -0.3221, -0.3302, -0.3302, -0.2948, -0.3237, -0.2956, -0.3046, -0.3717, -0.3538, -0.328, -0.3104, -0.3319, -0.2889, -0.3067, -0.3067, -0.298, -0.2689, -0.2644, -0.2853, -0.2824, -0.2234, -0.1975, -0.2167, -0.23, -0.1928, -0.1683, -0.2343, -0.2407, -0.1738, -0.1202, -0.1713, -0.1883, -0.2158, -0.2117, -0.2117, -0.2018, -0.1875, -0.1564, -0.0994, -0.0968, -0.0752, -0.0278, -0.0923, -0.0604, 0.0847, 0.019, -0.0026, -0.0787, -0.1446, -0.0844, -0.0542, -0.0877, -0.1245, -0.1191, -0.1023, -0.108, -0.0666, 0.0, -0.0796, -0.0745, -0.0118, -0.0128, -0.1171, -0.1164, -0.2029, -0.1356, -0.1008, -0.0632, -0.0632, -0.0811, -0.0743, 0.0226, 0.0312, 0.1159, 0.1174, 0.1374, 0.1184, 0.1903, 0.252, 0.2611, 0.2476, 0.2718, 0.2254, 0.2196, 0.1668, 0.1031, 0.1065, 0.1602, 0.1957, 0.1971, 0.2183, 0.2508, 0.1583, 0.2166, 0.3778, 0.3572, 0.465, 0.4695, 0.3879, 0.3167, 0.2833, 0.3009, 0.3717, 0.3701, 0.3701, 0.3839, 0.3796, 0.3679, 0.3117, 0.3117, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2034634272733343835", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-03-19T14:13:06+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Almost every name from $AAOI, $COHR, $SIVE, to $LITE is green", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Stay long photonics names (TSEM, AAOI, COHR, LITE) on sold-out capacity and AI buildout; macro noise is a distraction.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$TSEM and the Photonics Supercycle…\n\nDoesn’t like they’re bothered with Iran or Silver and Gold crashing?\n\nAlmost every name from $AAOI, $COHR, $SIVE, to $LITE is green.\n\nThis is what happens when capacity is sold out for the next few years or it’s in the center of scaling the AI buildout.\n\nBetter to stay long rather than get distracted by macro.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.09236787441648908, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09236787441648908, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09483830287855577, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09483830287855577, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002470428462066687, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002470428462066687, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08519294533419741, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08519294533419741, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07085716946169318, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07085716946169318, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01433577587250423, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01433577587250423, "ret_p1w": -0.10792226252428938, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10792226252428938, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0882977865731911, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0882977865731911, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019624475951098286, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019624475951098286, "ret_p1m": 0.1579267761520462, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1579267761520462, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07869153761837122, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07869153761837122, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07923523853367498, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07923523853367498, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4951, -0.4983, -0.4872, -0.4872, -0.4939, -0.5174, -0.5193, -0.5226, -0.5226, -0.4999, -0.5376, -0.4853, -0.4912, -0.549, -0.5449, -0.5598, -0.532, -0.5705, -0.5554, -0.5801, -0.5801, -0.5379, -0.5306, -0.5409, -0.5607, -0.5694, -0.52, -0.5014, -0.506, -0.4925, -0.4516, -0.4365, -0.3971, -0.3467, -0.2851, -0.2525, -0.2733, -0.2565, -0.2444, -0.2712, -0.2712, -0.2224, -0.2304, -0.1768, -0.1352, -0.1261, -0.1086, -0.0631, -0.1232, -0.0922, 0.0144, -0.1006, -0.1183, -0.1571, -0.2768, -0.1702, -0.1297, -0.1297, -0.2021, -0.1938, -0.1908, -0.1587, -0.0924, 0.0, -0.0852, -0.0559, 0.0387, 0.0065, -0.1079, -0.0899, -0.152, -0.0898, -0.0097, 0.0709, 0.0709, 0.0002, 0.0565, 0.1605, 0.158, 0.1621, 0.1283, 0.1045, 0.0672, 0.1542, 0.1579, 0.1593, 0.0839, 0.1314, 0.0968, 0.1418, 0.1134, 0.0249, 0.1116, 0.1686, 0.2303, 0.2643, 0.2881, 0.223, 0.156, 0.1705, 0.3639, 0.2852, 0.3345, 0.2975, 0.2572, 0.1462, 0.1528, 0.1243, 0.2491, 0.2263, 0.2263, 0.1796, 0.1686, 0.1146, 0.1073, 0.1073, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2029993746658643978", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-06T18:53:19+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I see zero compelling case to hold $IREN. The risk reward is just not there anymore.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Avoid IREN on ~50% dilution risk/reward; favors CIFR (colo/hyperscaler model) and NBIS (diversification, derisked capex) as superior longs.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I see zero compelling case to hold $IREN.\n\nEspecially given the new $6B share dilution at a $12.8B marketcap.\n\nPeople will likely see that marketcap inflate to $20-$25B.\n\nBut the value of their shares decrease over time. \n\nThe risk reward is just not there anymore.\n\nCompanies like $CIFR offer much more asymmetrical upside given their colo model for $AMZN and $GOOGL through Fluidstack.\n\nAnd companies like $NBIS offer much better diversification (robotaxis, clickhouse), derisked execution, and are well supported for capex.\n\nWith $IREN, there’s no way to justify being diluted close to half the market cap and cheering that on.\n\nEven with a new hyperscaler deal there’s risk reward is just not there.\n\nI was bullish $IREN last year but sold it. As holders went from:\n\n-> 3GW capacity, asset lite, Colo model (was a fan of this)\n\n-> Buying GPUs for $MSFT and cheering on execution risks from the pivot (not a fan)\n\nInto\n\n-> Cheering on $6B of new share dilution + getting sold on the open market against their positions. (AMC bagholder territory)\n\nIf you’re trying hard to justify why new ~50% dilution is a good thing sold against your positions and trusting in management:\n\nSorry to tell you, that you’re now in the $AMC equivalent club for datacenters. \n\nThere are much better longs out there.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.09332422795258344, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09332422795258344, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08004301421944193, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08027302938882941, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013281213733141506, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01305119856375403, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05831060885997208, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05831060885997208, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.049550583846933005, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06305651992545203, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008760025013039074, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004745911065479946, "ret_p1w": 0.13297005358766034, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.13297005358766034, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.14797642062579064, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1661913552242653, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.015006367038130297, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03322130163660497, "ret_p1m": -0.04277928234839823, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04277928234839823, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.025452109431657655, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03420505508770244, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017327172916740574, "bench_c_p1m": -0.008574227260695788, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2763, 0.1967, 0.1973, 0.0935, -0.0332, -0.003, -0.0796, -0.0245, 0.0877, 0.1455, 0.1463, 0.1439, 0.1439, 0.0981, 0.0738, 0.0436, 0.0292, 0.0292, 0.1635, 0.3144, 0.251, 0.1887, 0.2447, 0.2542, 0.3714, 0.4439, 0.4409, 0.4139, 0.5755, 0.5755, 0.4785, 0.4572, 0.424, 0.5444, 0.4267, 0.6346, 0.715, 0.6305, 0.4643, 0.4463, 0.482, 0.2245, 0.0842, 0.1398, 0.2575, 0.1698, 0.1627, 0.0907, 0.1504, 0.1504, 0.1163, 0.1466, 0.1796, 0.0894, 0.1542, 0.2384, 0.1997, 0.2054, 0.1158, 0.1278, 0.0586, 0.1946, 0.0933, 0.0, 0.0583, 0.0387, 0.1439, 0.1272, 0.133, 0.2245, 0.1706, 0.1501, 0.1351, 0.1251, 0.1488, 0.1204, 0.1289, 0.0204, -0.0439, -0.1384, -0.0659, -0.0711, -0.0526, -0.0526, -0.0428, -0.0262, 0.0035, 0.0098, 0.0714, 0.1736, 0.2907, 0.3302, 0.2997, 0.3112, 0.3275, 0.2308, 0.3185, 0.4174, 0.3798, 0.3177, 0.2109, 0.1678, 0.2401, 0.2441, 0.3482, 0.4916, 0.6616, 0.549, 0.6676, 0.5027, 0.5411, 0.5033, 0.5913, 0.4425, 0.3749, 0.3008, 0.4362, 0.582, 0.5485, 0.5485, 0.6289, 0.8485, 0.7452, 0.7313, 0.7313, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2029993746658643978", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-06T18:53:19+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Companies like $CIFR offer much more asymmetrical upside given their colo model for $AMZN and $GOOGL through Fluidstack.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Avoid IREN on ~50% dilution risk/reward; favors CIFR (colo/hyperscaler model) and NBIS (diversification, derisked capex) as superior longs.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I see zero compelling case to hold $IREN.\n\nEspecially given the new $6B share dilution at a $12.8B marketcap.\n\nPeople will likely see that marketcap inflate to $20-$25B.\n\nBut the value of their shares decrease over time. \n\nThe risk reward is just not there anymore.\n\nCompanies like $CIFR offer much more asymmetrical upside given their colo model for $AMZN and $GOOGL through Fluidstack.\n\nAnd companies like $NBIS offer much better diversification (robotaxis, clickhouse), derisked execution, and are well supported for capex.\n\nWith $IREN, there’s no way to justify being diluted close to half the market cap and cheering that on.\n\nEven with a new hyperscaler deal there’s risk reward is just not there.\n\nI was bullish $IREN last year but sold it. As holders went from:\n\n-> 3GW capacity, asset lite, Colo model (was a fan of this)\n\n-> Buying GPUs for $MSFT and cheering on execution risks from the pivot (not a fan)\n\nInto\n\n-> Cheering on $6B of new share dilution + getting sold on the open market against their positions. (AMC bagholder territory)\n\nIf you’re trying hard to justify why new ~50% dilution is a good thing sold against your positions and trusting in management:\n\nSorry to tell you, that you’re now in the $AMC equivalent club for datacenters. \n\nThere are much better longs out there.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.11233478310035871, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.11233478310035871, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.09905356936721721, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0912844333665872, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013281213733141506, "bench_c_m1d": 0.021050349733771512, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.050660832588494076, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.050660832588494076, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.041900807575455, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03266970746686404, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008760025013039074, "bench_c_p1d": 0.017991125121630036, "ret_p1w": 0.033773865052282304, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.033773865052282304, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0487802320904126, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.037342867698988425, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.015006367038130297, "bench_c_p1w": -0.003569002646706121, "ret_p1m": -0.019823752302349784, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.019823752302349784, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.00249657938560921, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.017347751152149926, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017327172916740574, "bench_c_p1m": -0.002476001150199858, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.4361, 0.3568, 0.3862, 0.2518, 0.0822, 0.1006, 0.0565, 0.1123, 0.1902, 0.1997, 0.1681, 0.1909, 0.1909, 0.1153, 0.1072, 0.0712, 0.0837, 0.0837, 0.1894, 0.3333, 0.2878, 0.1806, 0.2151, 0.221, 0.2981, 0.3399, 0.3311, 0.2863, 0.3803, 0.3803, 0.3157, 0.301, 0.2768, 0.29, 0.2107, 0.3767, 0.3928, 0.2996, 0.1718, 0.1608, 0.1938, 0.0463, -0.0675, 0.0815, 0.2305, 0.2555, 0.1953, 0.1821, 0.2056, 0.2056, 0.1483, 0.1322, 0.1601, 0.0756, 0.1175, 0.257, 0.2195, 0.21, 0.1454, 0.1571, 0.08, 0.1777, 0.1123, 0.0, 0.0507, 0.025, 0.036, 0.0066, 0.0338, 0.1116, 0.1079, 0.0771, 0.0749, 0.0286, 0.0932, 0.0925, 0.1659, 0.0536, 0.0092, -0.1178, -0.0551, -0.072, -0.0587, -0.0587, -0.0198, 0.0286, 0.1322, 0.2012, 0.2137, 0.304, 0.3546, 0.3216, 0.2731, 0.4222, 0.4163, 0.3245, 0.4273, 0.3722, 0.3363, 0.3333, 0.2673, 0.2423, 0.3025, 0.2511, 0.3135, 0.6226, 0.6087, 0.5187, 0.5088, 0.489, 0.4728, 0.5595, 0.6366, 0.4927, 0.4038, 0.3803, 0.4302, 0.58, 0.6131, 0.6131, 0.6902, 0.8473, 0.8054, 0.7364, 0.7364, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2029993746658643978", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-06T18:53:19+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "companies like $NBIS offer much better diversification (robotaxis, clickhouse), derisked execution, and are well supported for capex.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Avoid IREN on ~50% dilution risk/reward; favors CIFR (colo/hyperscaler model) and NBIS (diversification, derisked capex) as superior longs.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I see zero compelling case to hold $IREN.\n\nEspecially given the new $6B share dilution at a $12.8B marketcap.\n\nPeople will likely see that marketcap inflate to $20-$25B.\n\nBut the value of their shares decrease over time. \n\nThe risk reward is just not there anymore.\n\nCompanies like $CIFR offer much more asymmetrical upside given their colo model for $AMZN and $GOOGL through Fluidstack.\n\nAnd companies like $NBIS offer much better diversification (robotaxis, clickhouse), derisked execution, and are well supported for capex.\n\nWith $IREN, there’s no way to justify being diluted close to half the market cap and cheering that on.\n\nEven with a new hyperscaler deal there’s risk reward is just not there.\n\nI was bullish $IREN last year but sold it. As holders went from:\n\n-> 3GW capacity, asset lite, Colo model (was a fan of this)\n\n-> Buying GPUs for $MSFT and cheering on execution risks from the pivot (not a fan)\n\nInto\n\n-> Cheering on $6B of new share dilution + getting sold on the open market against their positions. (AMC bagholder territory)\n\nIf you’re trying hard to justify why new ~50% dilution is a good thing sold against your positions and trusting in management:\n\nSorry to tell you, that you’re now in the $AMC equivalent club for datacenters. \n\nThere are much better longs out there.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.07074890367490316, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07074890367490316, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05746768994176166, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06240563555236189, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013281213733141506, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00834326812254127, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06280085632329291, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06280085632329291, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.054040831310253834, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.061949535678340384, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008760025013039074, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0008513206449525246, "ret_p1w": 0.2644127911455638, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2644127911455638, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2794191581836941, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2900385525448548, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.015006367038130297, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02562576139929096, "ret_p1m": 0.25982311215406173, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.25982311215406173, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2771502850708023, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3053139993415981, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017327172916740574, "bench_c_p1m": -0.045490887187536355, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0793, 0.0477, 0.0554, -0.0184, -0.0917, -0.0938, -0.1554, -0.1258, 0.0015, 0.0437, 0.0078, 0.0201, 0.0201, -0.0195, -0.0368, -0.0466, -0.063, -0.063, 0.0069, 0.0392, 0.1221, 0.077, 0.0892, 0.0963, 0.2015, 0.1802, 0.1416, 0.1629, 0.2172, 0.2172, 0.1115, 0.1068, 0.0842, 0.0579, 0.0238, 0.0956, 0.1243, 0.0625, -0.0463, -0.0131, 0.0069, -0.0777, -0.1731, -0.0362, 0.0397, 0.0275, -0.0081, 0.0045, 0.0972, 0.0972, 0.0917, 0.1396, 0.2046, 0.0962, 0.1263, 0.1483, 0.188, 0.1741, 0.0208, 0.0188, -0.0283, 0.0946, 0.0707, 0.0, 0.0628, 0.0795, 0.2537, 0.2094, 0.2644, 0.4536, 0.3023, 0.3272, 0.3603, 0.3167, 0.2778, 0.2864, 0.2884, 0.1863, 0.1286, 0.0328, 0.1615, 0.1413, 0.2182, 0.2182, 0.2598, 0.3142, 0.3993, 0.5261, 0.6229, 0.7302, 0.8128, 0.8669, 0.8509, 0.7591, 0.7817, 0.7525, 0.7479, 0.7584, 0.6474, 0.6227, 0.517, 0.5805, 0.5474, 0.7294, 0.9749, 0.9693, 1.1839, 1.0684, 0.982, 1.0833, 1.005, 1.3203, 1.4757, 1.4621, 1.2373, 1.2135, 1.1473, 1.462, 1.4042, 1.4042, 1.3291, 1.3326, 1.5338, 1.5869, 1.5869, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2018703864409870379", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-03T15:11:21+00:00", "symbol": "MU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This has close to 0 material impact on Micron and Sk Hynix.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "CXMT/YMTC threat is overblown for MU/Hynix (minimal China exposure, shifted to HBM); real impact falls on legacy players Nanya and Winbond.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "There's a lot of disinformation around $MU, SK Hynix, and Memory after the new Nikkei Asia piece. \n\nExpected this to happen, since this is so badly written and misleading when the memory industry is so nuanced. \n\nThis has close to 0 material impact on Micron and Sk Hynix.\n\nCXMT and YMTC are blacklisted by US government and supply chains outside of China.\n\nThis is domestic only and is written as a sensational hit piece. \n\neg. \"China’s two major memory manufacturers view the global supply shortage as an opportunity...\" \n\nYMTC is fully banned (US Entity List) - DoD Section 1260H list (Chinese Military Companies)  \n\nCXMT - DoD Section 1260H list. Military-linked list. The U.S. Commerce Department is likely to slap more export controls on this firm. \n\nThe biggest impact it would have is on \"legacy fill in the void\" type companies like Nanya + Winbond, which should have been the focus. \n\nBut the article and people who want a dip-buying opportunity decided to clickbait/spread disinformation by throwing in Micron and others for views.\n\nNaunce is Micron, Sk Hynix, and Samsung have largely  hollowed out their demand from China (eg. ~10% micron, ~15-18% Sk hynix), and shifted dram capacity to hbm3e and hbm4.  \n\nOnly Samsung is slightly affected given their share with mobile/consumer devices.\n\nThere is no effect on the hyperscaler AI memory trade.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.043772585808329545, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.043772585808329545, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0352450859860689, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.017897488407311757, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008527499822260642, "bench_c_m1d": 0.025875097401017788, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0954606269314876, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0954606269314876, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.09061670525259047, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05608222230835991, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004843921678897134, "bench_c_p1d": -0.039378404623127694, "ret_p1w": -0.11012306419965179, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11012306419965179, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11387915826656214, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.127926366403029, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0037560940669103537, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017803302203377225, "ret_p1m": -0.04451182554291644, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04451182554291644, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03813060178833305, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.048082569492542415, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.006381223754583387, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0035707439496259763, "ret_p3m": 0.2932428494969479, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2932428494969479, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.24525639124654863, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.011257291476022946, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.047986458250399266, "bench_c_p3m": 0.28198555802092495, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.432, -0.433, -0.3963, -0.4254, -0.4164, -0.4353, -0.4118, -0.4234, -0.4554, -0.4616, -0.5201, -0.5058, -0.4663, -0.4649, -0.4513, -0.4513, -0.4364, -0.4269, -0.4293, -0.442, -0.4599, -0.4347, -0.4115, -0.3984, -0.3715, -0.384, -0.4253, -0.434, -0.4459, -0.4625, -0.4077, -0.3663, -0.3408, -0.3416, -0.3168, -0.3168, -0.3213, -0.2982, -0.3023, -0.3195, -0.3195, -0.248, -0.2558, -0.1812, -0.1905, -0.2203, -0.1773, -0.1754, -0.1939, -0.2052, -0.1974, -0.1352, -0.1352, -0.1298, -0.0723, -0.0521, -0.0472, -0.0724, -0.0219, 0.0378, 0.039, -0.0109, 0.0438, 0.0, -0.0955, -0.0871, -0.059, -0.0857, -0.1101, -0.0217, -0.013, -0.0185, -0.0185, -0.0469, 0.0036, -0.005, 0.0208, 0.0036, -0.0034, 0.0228, -0.0093, -0.0169, -0.0161, -0.0948, -0.0445, -0.0534, -0.1172, -0.0718, -0.0389, -0.0018, -0.0336, 0.0159, 0.0533, 0.1007, 0.1008, 0.0592, 0.0082, -0.036, -0.057, -0.089, -0.1525, -0.1483, -0.2325, -0.1942, -0.1226, -0.1265, -0.1265, -0.099, -0.0994, -0.0299, 0.0054, 0.0032, 0.0174, 0.1107, 0.0882, 0.0906, 0.0854, 0.0695, 0.0718, 0.1627, 0.149, 0.1847, 0.2511, 0.2028, 0.2366, 0.2335, 0.2932, 0.3749, 0.527, 0.5899, 0.5423, 0.7812, 0.897, 0.8284, 0.9168, 0.8509, 0.7284, 0.6256, 0.6666, 0.7459, 0.8177, 0.7912, 0.7912, 1.1368, 1.2144, 1.2027, 1.316, 1.316, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2018703864409870379", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-03T15:11:21+00:00", "symbol": "SK Hynix", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This has close to 0 material impact on Micron and Sk Hynix.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "CXMT/YMTC threat is overblown for MU/Hynix (minimal China exposure, shifted to HBM); real impact falls on legacy players Nanya and Winbond.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "SK Hynix listed on KOSPI as 000660.KS", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "There's a lot of disinformation around $MU, SK Hynix, and Memory after the new Nikkei Asia piece. \n\nExpected this to happen, since this is so badly written and misleading when the memory industry is so nuanced. \n\nThis has close to 0 material impact on Micron and Sk Hynix.\n\nCXMT and YMTC are blacklisted by US government and supply chains outside of China.\n\nThis is domestic only and is written as a sensational hit piece. \n\neg. \"China’s two major memory manufacturers view the global supply shortage as an opportunity...\" \n\nYMTC is fully banned (US Entity List) - DoD Section 1260H list (Chinese Military Companies)  \n\nCXMT - DoD Section 1260H list. Military-linked list. The U.S. Commerce Department is likely to slap more export controls on this firm. \n\nThe biggest impact it would have is on \"legacy fill in the void\" type companies like Nanya + Winbond, which should have been the focus. \n\nBut the article and people who want a dip-buying opportunity decided to clickbait/spread disinformation by throwing in Micron and others for views.\n\nNaunce is Micron, Sk Hynix, and Samsung have largely  hollowed out their demand from China (eg. ~10% micron, ~15-18% Sk hynix), and shifted dram capacity to hbm3e and hbm4.  \n\nOnly Samsung is slightly affected given their share with mobile/consumer devices.\n\nThere is no effect on the hyperscaler AI memory trade.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08489530720818073, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08489530720818073, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09342280703044137, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05762697228242397, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008527499822260642, "bench_c_m1d": -0.027268334925756754, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007717817970910423, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007717817970910423, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0028738962920132893, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02493982012883278, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004843921678897134, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0326576380997432, "ret_p1w": -0.034178631968155404, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.034178631968155404, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03793472603506576, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.035224298423569556, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0037560940669103537, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0010456664554141515, "ret_p1m": -0.06221986694607762, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06221986694607762, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05583864319149423, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14305959866288598, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.006381223754583387, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08083973171680836, "ret_p3m": 0.42047732317879416, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.42047732317879416, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3724908649283949, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.11738851689122054, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.047986458250399266, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3030888062875736, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3467, -0.361, -0.3323, -0.318, -0.3202, -0.3257, -0.383, -0.3323, -0.372, -0.3808, -0.3709, -0.426, -0.4271, -0.4282, -0.4227, -0.4002, -0.4157, -0.4068, -0.3848, -0.3914, -0.4024, -0.4002, -0.3638, -0.376, -0.3528, -0.3771, -0.3705, -0.3892, -0.4157, -0.3925, -0.3914, -0.3969, -0.3605, -0.3561, -0.3517, -0.3517, -0.3396, -0.2944, -0.2822, -0.2822, -0.2822, -0.2536, -0.2326, -0.1996, -0.1819, -0.1665, -0.1797, -0.1742, -0.1863, -0.1819, -0.1742, -0.1665, -0.1577, -0.1808, -0.1841, -0.1676, -0.1544, -0.1885, -0.118, -0.0728, -0.0507, 0.0022, -0.0849, 0.0, -0.0077, -0.0717, -0.075, -0.0221, -0.0342, -0.0518, -0.0209, -0.0298, -0.0298, -0.0298, -0.0298, -0.0143, 0.0463, 0.0485, 0.108, 0.1224, 0.2139, 0.1719, 0.1719, 0.0372, -0.0622, 0.0394, 0.0206, -0.0766, 0.0361, 0.0549, 0.0273, 0.0052, 0.0759, 0.0714, 0.1664, 0.1189, 0.1123, 0.0306, 0.0891, 0.099, 0.0306, 0.0306, -0.0357, -0.1086, -0.0092, -0.0832, -0.0324, -0.0214, 0.0118, 0.141, 0.1024, 0.1344, 0.1488, 0.2183, 0.2548, 0.2758, 0.246, 0.2879, 0.352, 0.3509, 0.3531, 0.3498, 0.4271, 0.4359, 0.4282, 0.4205, 0.4205, 0.5983, 0.5983, 0.7684, 0.827, 0.8623, 1.0766, 1.0269, 1.1826, 1.176, 1.0092, 1.0324, 0.9275, 0.9275, 1.1429, 1.144, 1.144, 1.2666, 1.4776, 1.5288, 1.5774, 1.631, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2018703864409870379", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-03T15:11:21+00:00", "symbol": "Nanya Technology", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The biggest impact it would have is on 'legacy fill in the void' type companies like Nanya + Winbond", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "CXMT/YMTC threat is overblown for MU/Hynix (minimal China exposure, shifted to HBM); real impact falls on legacy players Nanya and Winbond.", "resolved_tickers": ["2408.TW"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Nanya Technology listed on TWSE as 2408.TW", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TW')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "There's a lot of disinformation around $MU, SK Hynix, and Memory after the new Nikkei Asia piece. \n\nExpected this to happen, since this is so badly written and misleading when the memory industry is so nuanced. \n\nThis has close to 0 material impact on Micron and Sk Hynix.\n\nCXMT and YMTC are blacklisted by US government and supply chains outside of China.\n\nThis is domestic only and is written as a sensational hit piece. \n\neg. \"China’s two major memory manufacturers view the global supply shortage as an opportunity...\" \n\nYMTC is fully banned (US Entity List) - DoD Section 1260H list (Chinese Military Companies)  \n\nCXMT - DoD Section 1260H list. Military-linked list. The U.S. Commerce Department is likely to slap more export controls on this firm. \n\nThe biggest impact it would have is on \"legacy fill in the void\" type companies like Nanya + Winbond, which should have been the focus. \n\nBut the article and people who want a dip-buying opportunity decided to clickbait/spread disinformation by throwing in Micron and others for views.\n\nNaunce is Micron, Sk Hynix, and Samsung have largely  hollowed out their demand from China (eg. ~10% micron, ~15-18% Sk hynix), and shifted dram capacity to hbm3e and hbm4.  \n\nOnly Samsung is slightly affected given their share with mobile/consumer devices.\n\nThere is no effect on the hyperscaler AI memory trade.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.05945945945945952, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05945945945945952, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.050931959637198876, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.057861310288672696, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008527499822260642, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0015981491707868223, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06306306306306309, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06306306306306309, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06790698474196022, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07294248028064299, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004843921678897134, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0098794172175799, "ret_p1w": -0.023423423423423406, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.023423423423423406, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02717951749033376, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.061342943122956184, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0037560940669103537, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03791951969953278, "ret_p1m": -0.15495495495495493, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.15495495495495493, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14857373120037154, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.19548961776631857, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.006381223754583387, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04053466281136364, "ret_p3m": -0.22342342342342347, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.22342342342342347, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.27140988167382274, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5305569237469773, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.047986458250399266, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3071335003235538, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4667, -0.4703, -0.418, -0.4072, -0.4126, -0.4108, -0.4288, -0.4, -0.4216, -0.4234, -0.4396, -0.4955, -0.4847, -0.4829, -0.5081, -0.4739, -0.4739, -0.4613, -0.4613, -0.4559, -0.4559, -0.4486, -0.4108, -0.4162, -0.4378, -0.4378, -0.4162, -0.4144, -0.4306, -0.4072, -0.3874, -0.3712, -0.3514, -0.364, -0.3189, -0.3189, -0.3189, -0.3207, -0.2991, -0.3045, -0.3045, -0.2541, -0.2505, -0.1766, -0.1315, -0.1297, -0.2162, -0.1387, -0.1712, -0.1477, -0.1441, -0.0991, -0.009, -0.0198, -0.0955, -0.0396, -0.0216, 0.0306, -0.0018, 0.0703, 0.0703, 0.1766, 0.0595, 0.0, 0.0631, -0.009, -0.0486, -0.0108, -0.0234, 0.0018, 0.0018, 0.0018, 0.0018, 0.0018, 0.0018, 0.0018, 0.0018, 0.0414, 0.0739, 0.0378, 0.0288, 0.0288, 0.027, -0.0757, -0.155, -0.0721, -0.1604, -0.2432, -0.1676, -0.0847, -0.1369, -0.1423, -0.0577, -0.0216, -0.0054, -0.0631, -0.1568, -0.1964, -0.2198, -0.1838, -0.1874, -0.209, -0.2054, -0.2847, -0.2396, -0.2775, -0.2775, -0.2775, -0.2577, -0.1964, -0.2613, -0.2252, -0.1874, -0.2072, -0.2378, -0.2306, -0.2432, -0.2541, -0.2072, -0.2108, -0.2505, -0.2577, -0.1838, -0.1441, -0.1532, -0.2234, -0.2234, -0.1459, -0.0757, 0.0162, 0.0342, -0.0126, 0.0847, 0.1568, 0.1568, 0.2288, 0.1225, 0.0991, -0.0108, -0.009, 0.0559, 0.1189, 0.0667, 0.0937, 0.1243, 0.1676, 0.2505, 0.3748, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2018703864409870379", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-02-03T15:11:21+00:00", "symbol": "Winbond", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The biggest impact it would have is on 'legacy fill in the void' type companies like Nanya + Winbond", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "CXMT/YMTC threat is overblown for MU/Hynix (minimal China exposure, shifted to HBM); real impact falls on legacy players Nanya and Winbond.", "resolved_tickers": ["2344.TW"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Winbond Electronics listed on TWSE as 2344.TW", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "There's a lot of disinformation around $MU, SK Hynix, and Memory after the new Nikkei Asia piece. \n\nExpected this to happen, since this is so badly written and misleading when the memory industry is so nuanced. \n\nThis has close to 0 material impact on Micron and Sk Hynix.\n\nCXMT and YMTC are blacklisted by US government and supply chains outside of China.\n\nThis is domestic only and is written as a sensational hit piece. \n\neg. \"China’s two major memory manufacturers view the global supply shortage as an opportunity...\" \n\nYMTC is fully banned (US Entity List) - DoD Section 1260H list (Chinese Military Companies)  \n\nCXMT - DoD Section 1260H list. Military-linked list. The U.S. Commerce Department is likely to slap more export controls on this firm. \n\nThe biggest impact it would have is on \"legacy fill in the void\" type companies like Nanya + Winbond, which should have been the focus. \n\nBut the article and people who want a dip-buying opportunity decided to clickbait/spread disinformation by throwing in Micron and others for views.\n\nNaunce is Micron, Sk Hynix, and Samsung have largely  hollowed out their demand from China (eg. ~10% micron, ~15-18% Sk hynix), and shifted dram capacity to hbm3e and hbm4.  \n\nOnly Samsung is slightly affected given their share with mobile/consumer devices.\n\nThere is no effect on the hyperscaler AI memory trade.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.09952606393902341, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09952606393902341, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09099856411676277, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07365096653800562, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008527499822260642, "bench_c_m1d": 0.025875097401017788, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02843601826829234, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02843601826829234, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.033279939947189474, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06781442289142003, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004843921678897134, "bench_c_p1d": -0.039378404623127694, "ret_p1w": -0.018957369743913155, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.018957369743913155, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02271346381082351, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03676067194729038, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0037560940669103537, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017803302203377225, "ret_p1m": -0.01421800913414617, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.01421800913414617, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.007836785379562783, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.017788753083772146, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.006381223754583387, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0035707439496259763, "ret_p3m": -0.14435869243225263, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.14435869243225263, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1923451506826519, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4263442504531776, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.047986458250399266, "bench_c_p3m": 0.28198555802092495, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4408, -0.4493, -0.3943, -0.3886, -0.3858, -0.3915, -0.4284, -0.3725, -0.418, -0.437, -0.4502, -0.5052, -0.4825, -0.455, -0.4919, -0.4607, -0.4502, -0.454, -0.4635, -0.4711, -0.4521, -0.4142, -0.3564, -0.3242, -0.3602, -0.3517, -0.2929, -0.3261, -0.3308, -0.2995, -0.2938, -0.3242, -0.3071, -0.3081, -0.2711, -0.2711, -0.2749, -0.2711, -0.2066, -0.2171, -0.2171, -0.1393, -0.0948, -0.0142, 0.0095, 0.0284, -0.073, -0.0332, -0.054, -0.054, -0.0597, 0.0095, 0.1043, 0.0711, 0.0, -0.0095, -0.0237, 0.0711, 0.0948, 0.2038, 0.2322, 0.218, 0.0995, 0.0, 0.0284, -0.0284, -0.073, 0.019, -0.019, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.09, 0.1564, 0.1185, 0.1611, 0.1611, 0.1801, 0.0664, -0.0142, 0.0616, 0.0095, -0.0427, 0.0, 0.0806, 0.0332, 0.0332, 0.109, 0.1706, 0.2133, 0.1564, 0.0427, 0.019, -0.0569, -0.0692, -0.09, -0.1196, -0.1139, -0.1405, -0.1129, -0.1253, -0.1253, -0.1253, -0.1482, -0.0891, -0.1329, -0.1091, -0.1005, -0.1091, -0.1405, -0.1463, -0.1634, -0.1834, -0.132, -0.1367, -0.1634, -0.1596, -0.1053, -0.09, -0.1167, -0.1444, -0.1444, -0.091, -0.0586, 0.0338, 0.0862, 0.0195, 0.1196, 0.1577, 0.1625, 0.2768, 0.2339, 0.2434, 0.1196, 0.1005, 0.0862, 0.191, 0.2244, 0.3435, 0.4769, 0.3721, 0.5055, 0.6436, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2017266820684865889", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-30T16:01:03+00:00", "symbol": "SOL-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "just saw this as an attractive opportunity, I'll probably cost avg one more time if it drops another few percent", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Cost-averaging into SOL bounce from $100-120 range; planning heavy adds to MSTR and CRCL on further weakness.", "resolved_tickers": ["SOL-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@hedgedwolf Lost count of how many times I’ve seen stuff like $SOL bounce from $100-120 range to $165-$185.\n\nAnyway just saw this as an attractive opportunity, I’ll probably cost avg one more time if it drops another few percent.\n\nI’ll probably heavy add $CRCL and $MSTR to the list as well", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Same thoughts think we are rounding the bottom out especially with all this FUD on my timeline on BTC and Microstrategy", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "hedgedwolf", "ret_m1d": 0.0020681910846045426, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0020681910846045426, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0009233115725728602, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002991502657177403, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.10984620173115689, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.10984620173115689, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.11481756386209241, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004971362130935519, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.2547502413052116, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.2547502413052116, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.25279930361157055, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.001950937693641075, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.261824475421192, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.261824475421192, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2537461888500433, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00807828657114873, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.2925637170571581, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2925637170571581, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.32371158978505166, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031147872727893544, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3241, 0.3852, 0.3213, 0.3778, 0.4261, 0.317, 0.3059, 0.2364, 0.1816, 0.1149, 0.199, 0.1653, 0.1376, 0.0949, 0.179, 0.1834, 0.2185, 0.2001, 0.1706, 0.0796, 0.1816, 0.2346, 0.1845, 0.136, 0.1356, 0.175, 0.1628, 0.162, 0.1275, 0.0886, 0.1013, 0.0491, 0.0188, 0.0752, 0.0719, 0.0553, 0.0434, 0.022, 0.0412, 0.0491, 0.0645, 0.0607, 0.0801, 0.1259, 0.1758, 0.2022, 0.1615, 0.1783, 0.1567, 0.1855, 0.2386, 0.2504, 0.2128, 0.2343, 0.1361, 0.0711, 0.1024, 0.0931, 0.0852, 0.0577, 0.0826, 0.0661, 0.0021, 0.0, -0.1098, -0.1687, -0.2159, -0.3338, -0.2548, -0.2613, -0.2935, -0.3247, -0.3324, -0.2815, -0.2636, -0.2741, -0.305, -0.298, -0.2789, -0.3375, -0.3266, -0.2509, -0.268, -0.3017, -0.2618, -0.2585, -0.226, -0.2443, -0.2785, -0.2763, -0.2686, -0.2624, -0.2598, -0.2489, -0.1801, -0.1931, -0.2326, -0.2424, -0.2344, -0.221, -0.2261, -0.2186, -0.2634, -0.2926, -0.2975, -0.2919, -0.3082, -0.3273, -0.3152, -0.3171, -0.2702, -0.2964, -0.2903, -0.2772, -0.2616, -0.2862, -0.2764, -0.2417, -0.2427, -0.2729, -0.267, -0.2594, -0.266, -0.2653, -0.2773, -0.2839, -0.2926, -0.2926, -0.2866, -0.2835, -0.2645, -0.2404, -0.2467, -0.2165, -0.1705, -0.1966, -0.2239, -0.2148, -0.24, -0.2732, -0.2825, -0.2669, -0.2574, -0.2817, -0.2757, -0.2878, -0.2982, -0.3014, -0.3019, -0.2967, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2017266820684865889", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-30T16:01:03+00:00", "symbol": "MSTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'll probably heavy add $CRCL and $MSTR to the list as well", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Cost-averaging into SOL bounce from $100-120 range; planning heavy adds to MSTR and CRCL on further weakness.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@hedgedwolf Lost count of how many times I’ve seen stuff like $SOL bounce from $100-120 range to $165-$185.\n\nAnyway just saw this as an attractive opportunity, I’ll probably cost avg one more time if it drops another few percent.\n\nI’ll probably heavy add $CRCL and $MSTR to the list as well", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Same thoughts think we are rounding the bottom out especially with all this FUD on my timeline on BTC and Microstrategy", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "hedgedwolf", "ret_m1d": -0.04355089159084924, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04355089159084924, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04654239424802664, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04654239424802664, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002991502657177403, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002991502657177403, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06733018087641973, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06733018087641973, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07230154300735525, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07230154300735525, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004971362130935519, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004971362130935519, "ret_p1w": -0.09872428946138645, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09872428946138645, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09677335176774537, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09677335176774537, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.001950937693641075, "bench_c_p1w": -0.001950937693641075, "ret_p1m": -0.08055582310160792, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08055582310160792, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07247753653045919, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07247753653045919, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00807828657114873, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00807828657114873, "ret_p3m": 0.05664281175103025, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05664281175103025, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.02549493902313671, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.02549493902313671, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031147872727893544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.031147872727893544, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.6498, 0.7033, 0.5844, 0.616, 0.5956, 0.5453, 0.5003, 0.393, 0.3342, 0.3053, 0.3813, 0.2457, 0.1832, 0.1389, 0.1959, 0.1502, 0.1732, 0.1732, 0.1835, 0.145, 0.2112, 0.2584, 0.2425, 0.1956, 0.227, 0.2624, 0.2333, 0.2244, 0.1786, 0.0826, 0.1188, 0.0713, 0.057, 0.1009, 0.0976, 0.0546, 0.0601, 0.0601, 0.0608, 0.0379, 0.0394, 0.015, 0.015, 0.0498, 0.1003, 0.0552, 0.081, 0.1153, 0.0509, 0.0836, 0.1555, 0.1978, 0.1416, 0.1603, 0.1603, 0.0703, 0.0942, 0.0753, 0.0895, 0.0726, 0.0793, 0.0584, -0.0436, 0.0, -0.0673, -0.1099, -0.1377, -0.2854, -0.0987, -0.0753, -0.1116, -0.1579, -0.1784, -0.1057, -0.1057, -0.1405, -0.1637, -0.1353, -0.1246, -0.1737, -0.1677, -0.0939, -0.1089, -0.135, -0.0806, -0.1138, -0.0218, -0.0661, -0.1081, -0.0719, -0.0751, -0.076, -0.0826, -0.0671, -0.0146, 0.0038, -0.0611, -0.0766, -0.0938, -0.0769, -0.0899, -0.0707, -0.1121, -0.1582, -0.1888, -0.1664, -0.1799, -0.1996, -0.1996, -0.1471, -0.1736, -0.143, -0.1393, -0.1407, -0.1159, -0.0822, -0.0412, -0.0051, 0.1123, 0.1409, 0.0953, 0.198, 0.152, 0.1423, 0.1302, 0.1069, 0.0566, 0.1051, 0.1834, 0.2277, 0.2484, 0.2479, 0.2013, 0.253, 0.3088, 0.2318, 0.1892, 0.2489, 0.1851, 0.113, 0.0997, 0.1075, 0.1011, 0.068, 0.068, 0.0683, 0.03, 0.0129, 0.0627, 0.0627, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2019857047052022237", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-06T19:33:41+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Every tailwind just hit at once for Neoclouds.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "All three Neocloud names bullish: GPU depreciation fears eased, hyperscaler capex rising, and demand surging simultaneously.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Jensen Huang on CNBC: \"GPUs sold six years ago are increasing in price.\"\n\nGPU depreciation was the largest concern for $NBIS, $IREN, and $CRWV.\n\nBut now, they have:\n\n- Tailwinds from increased capex spend across hyperscalers\n- Increased demand across the board\n- GPU depreciation fears eased. \n\nEvery tailwind just hit at once for Neoclouds.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "According to 3Fourteen Research: GPU availability across major cloud services have dropped immensely in Feb.\n\nThis comes as $META, $AMZN, $GOOGL have increased infrastructure capex spend immensely.\n\nThe major victors, Neoclouds:\n\n$IREN, $NBIS, and $CRWV are the three with AI https://t.co/Oc8kq9sTSk", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.1420440876223129, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1420440876223129, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12322050086903624, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.14593145544552588, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.018823586753276667, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0038873678232129727, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07874563181711003, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07874563181711003, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07392379971409957, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06907048604494892, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004821832103010459, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009675145772161109, "ret_p1w": 0.13832757111707905, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.13832757111707905, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15117107935418728, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14852107667721504, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012843508237108225, "bench_c_p1w": -0.010193505560135985, "ret_p1m": 0.10267136032461344, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10267136032461344, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12055372786181118, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08712195514908183, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01788236753719774, "bench_c_p1m": 0.015549405175531605, "ret_p3m": 1.265853656159221, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.265853656159221, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.2003847303064876, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.248883389779151, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06546892585273345, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016970266380070154, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1872, 0.0959, 0.0294, -0.0297, -0.0014, 0.0516, 0.1042, -0.017, -0.033, 0.0674, 0.0323, 0.0998, 0.0998, 0.1019, 0.1632, 0.1202, 0.1489, 0.194, 0.1387, 0.1653, 0.1197, 0.087, 0.095, 0.0185, -0.0576, -0.0598, -0.1237, -0.093, 0.039, 0.0828, 0.0456, 0.0584, 0.0584, 0.0173, -0.0007, -0.0108, -0.0278, -0.0278, 0.0447, 0.0782, 0.1642, 0.1174, 0.1301, 0.1374, 0.2466, 0.2245, 0.1844, 0.2066, 0.2628, 0.2628, 0.1532, 0.1483, 0.1249, 0.0976, 0.0623, 0.1367, 0.1664, 0.1023, -0.0106, 0.0239, 0.0447, -0.0431, -0.142, 0.0, 0.0787, 0.0661, 0.0292, 0.0422, 0.1383, 0.1383, 0.1326, 0.1823, 0.2498, 0.1373, 0.1685, 0.1914, 0.2325, 0.2181, 0.0591, 0.057, 0.0081, 0.1357, 0.1109, 0.0375, 0.1027, 0.12, 0.3008, 0.2548, 0.3118, 0.5081, 0.3511, 0.377, 0.4114, 0.3661, 0.3258, 0.3346, 0.3367, 0.2308, 0.171, 0.0715, 0.2051, 0.1841, 0.2639, 0.2639, 0.3071, 0.3635, 0.4518, 0.5834, 0.6837, 0.7951, 0.8808, 0.9369, 0.9203, 0.8251, 0.8485, 0.8182, 0.8135, 0.8244, 0.7092, 0.6836, 0.5739, 0.6398, 0.6055, 0.7943, 1.049, 1.0432, 1.2659, 1.146, 1.0563, 1.1614, 1.0803, 1.4073, 1.5685, 1.5545, 1.3213, 1.2965, 1.2279, 1.5544, 1.4944, 1.4944, 1.4165, 1.4201, 1.6288, 1.684, 1.684, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2019857047052022237", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-06T19:33:41+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Every tailwind just hit at once for Neoclouds.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "All three Neocloud names bullish: GPU depreciation fears eased, hyperscaler capex rising, and demand surging simultaneously.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Jensen Huang on CNBC: \"GPUs sold six years ago are increasing in price.\"\n\nGPU depreciation was the largest concern for $NBIS, $IREN, and $CRWV.\n\nBut now, they have:\n\n- Tailwinds from increased capex spend across hyperscalers\n- Increased demand across the board\n- GPU depreciation fears eased. \n\nEvery tailwind just hit at once for Neoclouds.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "According to 3Fourteen Research: GPU availability across major cloud services have dropped immensely in Feb.\n\nThis comes as $META, $AMZN, $GOOGL have increased infrastructure capex spend immensely.\n\nThe major victors, Neoclouds:\n\n$IREN, $NBIS, and $CRWV are the three with AI https://t.co/Oc8kq9sTSk", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.048768845953356954, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.048768845953356954, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.029945259200080288, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.030891976084241324, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.018823586753276667, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01787686986911563, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10327514955108219, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10327514955108219, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09845331744807173, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10917267436012479, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004821832103010459, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005897524809042598, "ret_p1w": 0.009323437068532447, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.009323437068532447, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.022166945305640673, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.057425112750812524, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012843508237108225, "bench_c_p1w": -0.048101675682280076, "ret_p1m": -0.07147983618415754, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07147983618415754, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0535974686469598, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0009491911676745568, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01788236753719774, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0724290273518321, "ret_p3m": 0.45780532806395047, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.45780532806395047, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.392336402211217, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.49749428427972053, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06546892585273345, "bench_c_p3m": -0.039688956215770066, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3717, 0.3316, 0.163, 0.1085, 0.1334, 0.1678, 0.0956, 0.0392, 0.0103, 0.1592, 0.1348, 0.1583, 0.1583, 0.143, 0.1592, -0.017, 0.0509, 0.1104, 0.0689, 0.1078, 0.1198, 0.05, 0.0504, -0.0406, -0.1518, -0.1253, -0.1924, -0.1442, -0.0457, 0.005, 0.0057, 0.0036, 0.0036, -0.0366, -0.0579, -0.0844, -0.0971, -0.0971, 0.0208, 0.1532, 0.0975, 0.0429, 0.092, 0.1004, 0.2032, 0.2668, 0.2642, 0.2405, 0.3823, 0.3823, 0.2972, 0.2785, 0.2493, 0.355, 0.2517, 0.4341, 0.5047, 0.4306, 0.2847, 0.2689, 0.3003, 0.0743, -0.0488, 0.0, 0.1033, 0.0263, 0.0201, -0.043, 0.0093, 0.0093, -0.0206, 0.006, 0.0349, -0.0442, 0.0127, 0.0865, 0.0526, 0.0576, -0.021, -0.0105, -0.0712, 0.0481, -0.0408, -0.1226, -0.0715, -0.0887, 0.0036, -0.011, -0.006, 0.0743, 0.027, 0.0091, -0.0041, -0.0129, 0.0079, -0.017, -0.0096, -0.1047, -0.1611, -0.2441, -0.1805, -0.185, -0.1688, -0.1688, -0.1602, -0.1456, -0.1195, -0.114, -0.06, 0.0296, 0.1324, 0.1671, 0.1403, 0.1504, 0.1647, 0.0798, 0.1568, 0.2436, 0.2106, 0.1561, 0.0624, 0.0246, 0.088, 0.0916, 0.1829, 0.3086, 0.4578, 0.3591, 0.4631, 0.3184, 0.3521, 0.3189, 0.3961, 0.2656, 0.2063, 0.1413, 0.2601, 0.388, 0.3586, 0.3586, 0.4291, 0.6218, 0.5312, 0.519, 0.519, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2019857047052022237", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-06T19:33:41+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Every tailwind just hit at once for Neoclouds.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "All three Neocloud names bullish: GPU depreciation fears eased, hyperscaler capex rising, and demand surging simultaneously.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Jensen Huang on CNBC: \"GPUs sold six years ago are increasing in price.\"\n\nGPU depreciation was the largest concern for $NBIS, $IREN, and $CRWV.\n\nBut now, they have:\n\n- Tailwinds from increased capex spend across hyperscalers\n- Increased demand across the board\n- GPU depreciation fears eased. \n\nEvery tailwind just hit at once for Neoclouds.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "According to 3Fourteen Research: GPU availability across major cloud services have dropped immensely in Feb.\n\nThis comes as $META, $AMZN, $GOOGL have increased infrastructure capex spend immensely.\n\nThe major victors, Neoclouds:\n\n$IREN, $NBIS, and $CRWV are the three with AI https://t.co/Oc8kq9sTSk", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.17009445182268323, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.17009445182268323, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.15127086506940657, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.15127086506940657, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.018823586753276667, "bench_c_m1d": -0.018823586753276667, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07604229237740756, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07604229237740756, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0712204602743971, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0712204602743971, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004821832103010459, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004821832103010459, "ret_p1w": 0.06770432655811409, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06770432655811409, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08054783479522232, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08054783479522232, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012843508237108225, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012843508237108225, "ret_p1m": -0.17276257713576826, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17276257713576826, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15488020959857052, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.15488020959857052, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01788236753719774, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01788236753719774, "ret_p3m": 0.5339633174966492, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5339633174966492, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4684943916439157, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4684943916439157, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06546892585273345, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06546892585273345, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0173, -0.0503, -0.1291, -0.14, -0.1625, -0.1673, -0.1671, -0.2306, -0.2034, -0.1818, -0.2074, -0.1741, -0.1741, -0.1871, -0.1433, -0.1548, -0.1177, -0.0467, -0.0183, -0.0412, 0.0079, -0.0199, -0.0286, -0.1263, -0.1957, -0.2273, -0.2824, -0.2476, -0.0773, -0.0569, -0.1077, -0.1232, -0.1232, -0.1504, -0.1671, -0.1784, -0.2039, -0.2039, -0.1182, -0.1455, -0.1335, -0.142, -0.143, -0.1091, -0.0002, -0.0275, -0.0017, 0.0563, 0.1254, 0.1254, 0.0586, 0.0456, 0.0205, 0.0337, 0.0929, 0.2102, 0.1787, 0.1065, 0.036, -0.0112, 0.0012, -0.0833, -0.1701, 0.0, 0.076, 0.0574, 0.0578, 0.0639, 0.0677, 0.0677, 0.0117, 0.0611, 0.0799, -0.0078, 0.0099, 0.1039, 0.0896, 0.0854, -0.1155, -0.1323, -0.1798, -0.1162, -0.1682, -0.1885, -0.1728, -0.1671, -0.0888, -0.1122, -0.0983, -0.0455, -0.087, -0.0793, -0.1033, -0.0943, -0.0888, -0.077, -0.0263, -0.1056, -0.1683, -0.2312, -0.1387, -0.128, -0.0857, -0.0857, -0.1002, -0.0524, -0.0117, 0.0228, 0.134, 0.2259, 0.3029, 0.3195, 0.3292, 0.2991, 0.3055, 0.2803, 0.3623, 0.3054, 0.2245, 0.2458, 0.1732, 0.2695, 0.2407, 0.3231, 0.3944, 0.4218, 0.534, 0.4324, 0.269, 0.2752, 0.1979, 0.2375, 0.2698, 0.1929, 0.1536, 0.1096, 0.126, 0.196, 0.1728, 0.1728, 0.1772, 0.1592, 0.188, 0.2177, 0.2177, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2030787622436774177", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-08T23:27:54+00:00", "symbol": "S&P500", "kind": "index", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "just flipped bullish when Retail on X, Regards on WallStreetbets, Jim Cramer are now all doomposting indexes", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Contrarian flip to long equities / short oil as retail, WSB, and Cramer pile into doomposting indexes and oil $150-200 calls.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPY"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "S&P 500 proxied by SPY ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Am I the only one that just flipped bullish when:\n\n- Retail on X \n- Regards on WallStreetbets \n- Jim Cramer\n\nAre now all doomposting indexes and are:\n\nEither are long crude oil contracts or think oil is going to $150-$200? https://t.co/GoUXV3UM2q", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "ret_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "ret_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0107, 0.0131, 0.0022, 0.0007, -0.0021, -0.013, -0.0056, 0.0034, 0.0097, 0.0143, 0.0179, 0.0179, 0.0178, 0.0141, 0.0129, 0.0054, 0.0054, 0.0072, 0.0139, 0.02, 0.0167, 0.0166, 0.0233, 0.0249, 0.0229, 0.0178, 0.0206, 0.0197, 0.0197, -0.001, 0.0105, 0.0158, 0.0162, 0.0213, 0.0254, 0.0253, 0.0233, 0.0202, 0.0253, 0.0166, 0.0117, -0.001, 0.0182, 0.0231, 0.0204, 0.0202, 0.0044, 0.0051, 0.0051, 0.0068, 0.0118, 0.0092, 0.0165, 0.0061, 0.0134, 0.0219, 0.0163, 0.0114, 0.012, 0.003, 0.0101, 0.0045, -0.0087, 0.0, -0.0016, -0.0029, -0.018, -0.0236, -0.0136, -0.011, -0.0248, -0.0272, -0.0412, -0.0311, -0.0344, -0.029, -0.0463, -0.0626, -0.0657, -0.0386, -0.0313, -0.0304, -0.0304, -0.0259, -0.0254, -0.0006, 0.0052, 0.0045, 0.0143, 0.0267, 0.0348, 0.0373, 0.0498, 0.0477, 0.0409, 0.0514, 0.0473, 0.0555, 0.0573, 0.0521, 0.052, 0.0624, 0.0654, 0.0615, 0.07, 0.0849, 0.0815, 0.0905, 0.093, 0.0913, 0.0974, 0.1061, 0.0928, 0.092, 0.0847, 0.0958, 0.098, 0.1023, 0.1023, 0.1096, 0.1095, 0.1156, 0.1184, 0.1184, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2030787622436774177", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-08T23:27:54+00:00", "symbol": "crude oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "either are long crude oil contracts or think oil is going to $150-$200", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Contrarian flip to long equities / short oil as retail, WSB, and Cramer pile into doomposting indexes and oil $150-200 calls.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Crude oil proxied by USO ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Am I the only one that just flipped bullish when:\n\n- Retail on X \n- Regards on WallStreetbets \n- Jim Cramer\n\nAre now all doomposting indexes and are:\n\nEither are long crude oil contracts or think oil is going to $150-$200? https://t.co/GoUXV3UM2q", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04255721972670501, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04255721972670501, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.051241173091060244, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.051241173091060244, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014664993313950658, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014664993313950658, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016272120219317787, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016272120219317787, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "ret_p1w": 0.10255915614349442, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10255915614349442, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11618206286769317, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11618206286769317, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "ret_p1m": 0.3234927576695781, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3234927576695781, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.34892472208919056, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.34892472208919056, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3239, -0.3362, -0.3405, -0.3493, -0.3658, -0.3484, -0.356, -0.3479, -0.3316, -0.3262, -0.3271, -0.3271, -0.3436, -0.3328, -0.3315, -0.3371, -0.3371, -0.339, -0.3269, -0.3433, -0.3502, -0.3239, -0.3216, -0.3132, -0.2957, -0.304, -0.3182, -0.3132, -0.3132, -0.3112, -0.297, -0.3116, -0.2912, -0.2957, -0.2748, -0.2656, -0.2414, -0.2378, -0.278, -0.2575, -0.2535, -0.2649, -0.2621, -0.2522, -0.2521, -0.2438, -0.2679, -0.2694, -0.2694, -0.2741, -0.239, -0.2218, -0.2251, -0.2246, -0.2259, -0.2358, -0.2354, -0.2145, -0.1643, -0.1354, -0.1224, -0.0769, 0.0426, 0.0, 0.0147, 0.0357, 0.1348, 0.1491, 0.1026, 0.1391, 0.1662, 0.1249, 0.1639, 0.0597, 0.0979, 0.0868, 0.1239, 0.1905, 0.2444, 0.2197, 0.1894, 0.322, 0.322, 0.3317, 0.3235, 0.1941, 0.2169, 0.1964, 0.2314, 0.1871, 0.175, 0.2062, 0.1122, 0.1628, 0.2293, 0.2403, 0.2913, 0.2691, 0.2913, 0.3381, 0.4438, 0.4099, 0.3687, 0.4148, 0.3819, 0.2839, 0.2937, 0.2805, 0.3291, 0.3831, 0.3614, 0.3707, 0.4208, 0.4309, 0.4661, 0.3828, 0.3662, 0.3507, 0.3507, 0.3131, 0.2559, 0.2535, 0.2373, 0.2373, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2018228292382519481", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-02T07:41:36+00:00", "symbol": "SK Hynix", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "There are some individual companies where fundamentals like Sk Hynix are just too ridiculous. Balance sheet > macro.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish SK Hynix on outstanding fundamentals and balance sheet strength overriding macro concerns.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "SK Hynix listed on KOSPI as 000660.KS", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "FCF numbers are way too strong for memory. Single digit forward p/e across the board.\n\nI’d expect a very short term pullback (which is healthy) for some the names into ATHs is my guess.\n\nThere are some individual companies where fundamentals like Sk Hynix are just too ridiculous. Balance sheet > macro.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thanks for sharing your insight. I guess it is time for a mild pullback for the memory sector?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PhotonCap", "ret_m1d": 0.09518072598240268, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.09518072598240268, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.10012749592855741, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08294221317996575, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946769946154728, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01223851280243693, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09277114179054258, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09277114179054258, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10122653822124317, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06473840069161318, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00845539643070059, "bench_c_p1d": 0.028032741098929392, "ret_p1w": 0.06867469624978617, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06867469624978617, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07077413400002674, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02633613068572993, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0020994377502405737, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04233856556405624, "ret_p1m": 0.13341287061268559, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13341287061268559, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15509784916418534, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03906079913397176, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684978551499756, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09435207147871383, "ret_p3m": 0.5522566263376645, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5522566263376645, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5160008193306909, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.22289258018578972, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03625580700697362, "bench_c_p3m": 0.32936404615187476, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3029, -0.2861, -0.3017, -0.2704, -0.2548, -0.2572, -0.2632, -0.3258, -0.2704, -0.3137, -0.3234, -0.3125, -0.3727, -0.3739, -0.3751, -0.3691, -0.3446, -0.3614, -0.3518, -0.3277, -0.3349, -0.347, -0.3446, -0.3048, -0.3181, -0.2928, -0.3193, -0.312, -0.3325, -0.3614, -0.3361, -0.3349, -0.341, -0.3012, -0.2964, -0.2916, -0.2916, -0.2783, -0.2289, -0.2157, -0.2157, -0.2157, -0.1843, -0.1614, -0.1253, -0.106, -0.0892, -0.1036, -0.0976, -0.1108, -0.106, -0.0976, -0.0892, -0.0795, -0.1048, -0.1084, -0.0904, -0.0759, -0.1133, -0.0361, 0.0133, 0.0373, 0.0952, 0.0, 0.0928, 0.0843, 0.0145, 0.0108, 0.0687, 0.0554, 0.0361, 0.0699, 0.0602, 0.0602, 0.0602, 0.0602, 0.0771, 0.1434, 0.1458, 0.2108, 0.2265, 0.3265, 0.2807, 0.2807, 0.1334, 0.0248, 0.1358, 0.1153, 0.0091, 0.1322, 0.1527, 0.1225, 0.0984, 0.1757, 0.1708, 0.2746, 0.2227, 0.2155, 0.1262, 0.1901, 0.201, 0.1262, 0.1262, 0.0537, -0.0259, 0.0827, 0.0018, 0.0574, 0.0694, 0.1057, 0.2469, 0.2046, 0.2396, 0.2553, 0.3314, 0.3712, 0.3941, 0.3615, 0.4074, 0.4774, 0.4762, 0.4786, 0.475, 0.5595, 0.5692, 0.5607, 0.5523, 0.5523, 0.7466, 0.7466, 0.9325, 0.9964, 1.0351, 1.2692, 1.2149, 1.3851, 1.3779, 1.1956, 1.221, 1.1063, 1.1063, 1.3417, 1.3429, 1.3429, 1.4769, 1.7074, 1.7634, 1.8165, 1.8751, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2035917034824126916", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-23T03:10:21+00:00", "symbol": "AEVA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I like it for humanoids in specific. And I don't think anyone mapped $SIVE to possible Boston Dynamics Atlas supply chains at all yet", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AEVA as an overlooked play on humanoid robots, specifically Boston Dynamics Atlas supply chains.", "resolved_tickers": ["AEVA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@JuhongH $SIVE -&gt; $AEVA is already well known. \n\nPeople often cite $AEVA for more industrial stuff like trucking and maybe defense.\n\nBut I like it for humanoids in specific. And I don't think anyone mapped $SIVE to possible Boston Dynamics Atlas supply chains at all yet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What drove you the most for the possibility of SIVE -&gt; AEVA mapping?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "AnyoneButInv", "ret_m1d": -0.08257480158086705, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08257480158086705, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07218388713755652, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07218388713755652, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010390914443310528, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010390914443310528, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005201555468841601, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005201555468841601, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008558405221108067, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008558405221108067, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0033568497522664664, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0033568497522664664, "ret_p1w": -0.24447335506528478, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.24447335506528478, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2087535680634317, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2087535680634317, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.035719787001853076, "bench_c_p1w": -0.035719787001853076, "ret_p1m": 0.07477246837760476, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07477246837760476, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0004644152722323991, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0004644152722323991, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07430805310537236, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07430805310537236, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1229, -0.1229, -0.1404, -0.1612, -0.1417, -0.1365, -0.1365, -0.171, -0.1489, 0.1437, 0.1047, 0.0982, 0.2919, 0.2419, 0.2939, 0.3453, 0.2887, 0.2575, 0.2575, 0.2835, 0.1827, 0.1892, 0.0267, -0.0676, -0.067, -0.0637, -0.1385, -0.1697, -0.1704, -0.1495, -0.1827, -0.262, -0.1938, -0.0897, -0.1586, -0.1717, -0.1658, -0.117, -0.117, -0.1612, -0.1573, -0.1632, -0.1847, -0.1899, -0.1508, -0.1131, -0.1131, -0.1378, -0.0572, -0.0917, -0.0241, -0.0195, -0.0787, -0.0403, 0.0533, 0.0865, -0.0052, -0.0143, 0.0111, 0.0189, -0.0507, -0.0111, -0.0826, 0.0, 0.0052, -0.0078, -0.0767, -0.17, -0.2445, -0.1443, -0.1417, -0.1398, -0.1398, -0.1749, -0.184, -0.1541, -0.1515, -0.132, -0.1157, -0.0819, -0.0293, -0.0403, 0.0228, 0.0267, 0.0748, 0.0611, 0.0072, 0.0514, 0.0455, 0.015, -0.0416, 0.0397, 0.0715, 0.0228, -0.0091, 0.0774, -0.1118, -0.1177, 0.0098, 0.2412, 0.3173, 0.3804, 0.3313, 0.2646, 0.2354, 0.3726, 0.3973, 0.6463, 0.6463, 0.829, 0.9044, 0.6801, 0.8322, 0.8322, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2029160940604739625", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-04T11:44:02+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LITE $850 PT upgrade today", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "GOOGL rejecting CPO is bullish for pluggable optics ecosystem; LITE, AAOI, FN, Innolight are large winners; IQE, AXTI secondary/tertiary; Soitec is downgraded.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$GOOGL rejecting CPO is a massive structural win for the entire pluggable optics ecosystem.  \n\nMost people missed this in the Needham analyst note on the $LITE $850 PT upgrade today:\n\nLarge beneficiaries: $AAOI, $FN, Innolight, transceiver companies. \n\nSecondary beneficiaries (epiwafers): $IQE, Landmark \n\nThird Order Beneficiaries (substrate): $AXTI, Sumitomo\n\nDowngrade (CPO): Soitec\n\nQuote:  \"LITE sees an unexpected bonus that its primary transceiver module customer (Google) currently has no plans to adopt CPO in its TPU architecture from what we have seen.\"", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.020020571573449164, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.020020571573449164, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02702645128488501, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02702645128488501, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007005879711435847, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007005879711435847, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04403639983299601, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04403639983299601, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03846085298660218, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03846085298660218, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005575546846393831, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005575546846393831, "ret_p1w": -0.01292595174905442, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01292595174905442, "alpha_spy_p1w": -8.17198396788621e-05, "alpha_c_p1w": -8.17198396788621e-05, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012844231909375559, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012844231909375559, "ret_p1m": 0.21457112178190374, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21457112178190374, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2547224555011971, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2547224555011971, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04015133371929336, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04015133371929336, "ret_p3m": 0.25581674104355234, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.25581674104355234, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.14866049415051985, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.14866049415051985, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10715624689303249, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10715624689303249, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5132, -0.4968, -0.4707, -0.4624, -0.4535, -0.5236, -0.5084, -0.5356, -0.5296, -0.5048, -0.4544, -0.4273, -0.4309, -0.4184, -0.4184, -0.426, -0.4527, -0.4548, -0.4586, -0.4586, -0.4329, -0.4755, -0.4162, -0.4229, -0.4885, -0.4838, -0.5008, -0.4693, -0.5129, -0.4958, -0.5237, -0.5237, -0.4759, -0.4676, -0.4793, -0.5018, -0.5117, -0.4556, -0.4345, -0.4397, -0.4244, -0.3781, -0.3609, -0.3162, -0.2591, -0.1892, -0.1522, -0.1758, -0.1567, -0.143, -0.1734, -0.1734, -0.1181, -0.1271, -0.0663, -0.0191, -0.0089, 0.011, 0.0626, -0.0056, 0.0295, 0.1505, 0.02, 0.0, -0.044, -0.1797, -0.0589, -0.0129, -0.0129, -0.095, -0.0856, -0.0822, -0.0459, 0.0294, 0.1342, 0.0375, 0.0707, 0.178, 0.1416, 0.0118, 0.0322, -0.0382, 0.0323, 0.1232, 0.2146, 0.2146, 0.1344, 0.1982, 0.3161, 0.3134, 0.318, 0.2796, 0.2526, 0.2104, 0.3091, 0.3133, 0.3148, 0.2293, 0.2832, 0.244, 0.295, 0.2627, 0.1624, 0.2608, 0.3254, 0.3953, 0.4339, 0.4609, 0.387, 0.3111, 0.3276, 0.5468, 0.4577, 0.5135, 0.4715, 0.4258, 0.2999, 0.3074, 0.2751, 0.4167, 0.3909, 0.3909, 0.3379, 0.3254, 0.2641, 0.2558, 0.2558, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2029160940604739625", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-04T11:44:02+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Large beneficiaries: $AAOI", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "GOOGL rejecting CPO is bullish for pluggable optics ecosystem; LITE, AAOI, FN, Innolight are large winners; IQE, AXTI secondary/tertiary; Soitec is downgraded.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$GOOGL rejecting CPO is a massive structural win for the entire pluggable optics ecosystem.  \n\nMost people missed this in the Needham analyst note on the $LITE $850 PT upgrade today:\n\nLarge beneficiaries: $AAOI, $FN, Innolight, transceiver companies. \n\nSecondary beneficiaries (epiwafers): $IQE, Landmark \n\nThird Order Beneficiaries (substrate): $AXTI, Sumitomo\n\nDowngrade (CPO): Soitec\n\nQuote:  \"LITE sees an unexpected bonus that its primary transceiver module customer (Google) currently has no plans to adopt CPO in its TPU architecture from what we have seen.\"", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.043827126534018324, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.043827126534018324, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.036821246822582476, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.036821246822582476, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007005879711435847, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007005879711435847, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0143415938050937, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0143415938050937, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01991714065148753, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01991714065148753, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005575546846393831, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005575546846393831, "ret_p1w": 0.2737940357278481, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2737940357278481, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.28663826763722366, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.28663826763722366, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012844231909375559, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012844231909375559, "ret_p1m": 0.042122200543583954, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.042122200543583954, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08227353426287731, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08227353426287731, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04015133371929336, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04015133371929336, "ret_p3m": 0.5887073023429381, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5887073023429381, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4815510554499056, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4815510554499056, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10715624689303249, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10715624689303249, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7333, -0.7208, -0.6953, -0.6492, -0.6357, -0.6785, -0.7001, -0.7096, -0.7278, -0.7066, -0.6859, -0.6079, -0.5924, -0.5888, -0.5888, -0.6272, -0.6314, -0.6388, -0.6504, -0.6504, -0.6028, -0.6491, -0.6128, -0.6183, -0.6689, -0.6586, -0.6618, -0.6572, -0.6543, -0.6289, -0.6285, -0.6285, -0.6063, -0.6151, -0.6174, -0.6418, -0.6501, -0.625, -0.5464, -0.6031, -0.5626, -0.5571, -0.5375, -0.5998, -0.6176, -0.5557, -0.5195, -0.5137, -0.5146, -0.5588, -0.5541, -0.5541, -0.5596, -0.5643, -0.5288, -0.4817, -0.4588, -0.4357, -0.4171, -0.4615, -0.1553, 0.0281, -0.0438, 0.0, 0.0143, -0.0414, 0.1094, 0.2084, 0.2738, 0.065, -0.0291, -0.0566, -0.1342, -0.071, 0.0222, -0.1221, -0.0396, 0.1423, 0.1474, -0.023, -0.015, -0.1456, -0.1516, -0.134, 0.0421, 0.0421, 0.0776, 0.1798, 0.3309, 0.3369, 0.5104, 0.5364, 0.4682, 0.4296, 0.5778, 0.5988, 0.6395, 0.5101, 0.4985, 0.3813, 0.6264, 0.462, 0.3766, 0.5327, 0.6484, 0.8404, 0.7348, 0.811, 0.7906, 0.5801, 0.4937, 0.8544, 0.8883, 1.2375, 1.0416, 0.9091, 0.7376, 0.7183, 0.6574, 0.7732, 0.8202, 0.8202, 0.7814, 0.8035, 0.6951, 0.5887, 0.5887, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2029160940604739625", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-04T11:44:02+00:00", "symbol": "FN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Large beneficiaries: $AAOI, $FN", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "GOOGL rejecting CPO is bullish for pluggable optics ecosystem; LITE, AAOI, FN, Innolight are large winners; IQE, AXTI secondary/tertiary; Soitec is downgraded.", "resolved_tickers": ["FN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$GOOGL rejecting CPO is a massive structural win for the entire pluggable optics ecosystem.  \n\nMost people missed this in the Needham analyst note on the $LITE $850 PT upgrade today:\n\nLarge beneficiaries: $AAOI, $FN, Innolight, transceiver companies. \n\nSecondary beneficiaries (epiwafers): $IQE, Landmark \n\nThird Order Beneficiaries (substrate): $AXTI, Sumitomo\n\nDowngrade (CPO): Soitec\n\nQuote:  \"LITE sees an unexpected bonus that its primary transceiver module customer (Google) currently has no plans to adopt CPO in its TPU architecture from what we have seen.\"", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.019224228836754564, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019224228836754564, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012218349125318717, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012218349125318717, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007005879711435847, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007005879711435847, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03444053253112045, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03444053253112045, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02886498568472662, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02886498568472662, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005575546846393831, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005575546846393831, "ret_p1w": -0.07012250761654071, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07012250761654071, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05727827570716515, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05727827570716515, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012844231909375559, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012844231909375559, "ret_p1m": -0.010463448073409709, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.010463448073409709, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02968788564588365, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02968788564588365, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04015133371929336, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04015133371929336, "ret_p3m": 0.16012552327523477, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.16012552327523477, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05296927638220228, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05296927638220228, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10715624689303249, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10715624689303249, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1515, -0.1292, -0.116, -0.0838, -0.0633, -0.1649, -0.1664, -0.1999, -0.2436, -0.1976, -0.1568, -0.1424, -0.1365, -0.1457, -0.1457, -0.1517, -0.1628, -0.1808, -0.1926, -0.1926, -0.1498, -0.1897, -0.1502, -0.1656, -0.2145, -0.2069, -0.179, -0.1328, -0.154, -0.1176, -0.1231, -0.1231, -0.1442, -0.1339, -0.1658, -0.172, -0.1592, -0.1158, -0.1115, -0.1199, -0.132, -0.114, -0.2046, -0.2498, -0.2149, -0.1062, -0.1099, -0.1731, -0.1744, -0.1806, -0.1212, -0.1212, -0.119, -0.103, -0.0887, -0.0315, 0.0228, 0.039, 0.0924, -0.0025, -0.0323, 0.031, -0.0192, 0.0, -0.0344, -0.1321, -0.0644, -0.037, -0.0701, -0.0906, -0.1095, -0.0905, -0.1132, -0.1125, -0.041, -0.1022, -0.0309, 0.0657, 0.0854, -0.0251, -0.0211, -0.1277, -0.0751, -0.0512, -0.0105, -0.0105, -0.0169, -0.0109, 0.0821, 0.0965, 0.1743, 0.2235, 0.2089, 0.2163, 0.1929, 0.2235, 0.2414, 0.2335, 0.2238, 0.2227, 0.2772, 0.2144, 0.131, 0.1411, 0.2121, 0.253, 0.273, 0.1711, 0.2043, 0.1104, 0.1018, 0.1519, 0.1252, 0.2345, 0.3238, 0.2805, 0.2419, 0.202, 0.1744, 0.2472, 0.2483, 0.2483, 0.2073, 0.2182, 0.1846, 0.1601, 0.1601, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2029160940604739625", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-03-04T11:44:02+00:00", "symbol": "IQE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Secondary beneficiaries (epiwafers): $IQE", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "GOOGL rejecting CPO is bullish for pluggable optics ecosystem; LITE, AAOI, FN, Innolight are large winners; IQE, AXTI secondary/tertiary; Soitec is downgraded.", "resolved_tickers": ["IQE.L"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "IQE plc LSE-listed epiwafer supplier", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$GOOGL rejecting CPO is a massive structural win for the entire pluggable optics ecosystem.  \n\nMost people missed this in the Needham analyst note on the $LITE $850 PT upgrade today:\n\nLarge beneficiaries: $AAOI, $FN, Innolight, transceiver companies. \n\nSecondary beneficiaries (epiwafers): $IQE, Landmark \n\nThird Order Beneficiaries (substrate): $AXTI, Sumitomo\n\nDowngrade (CPO): Soitec\n\nQuote:  \"LITE sees an unexpected bonus that its primary transceiver module customer (Google) currently has no plans to adopt CPO in its TPU architecture from what we have seen.\"", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03165736943737052, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03165736943737052, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.024651489725934672, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.011512021349261214, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007005879711435847, "bench_c_m1d": -0.020145348088109305, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.20111730137095385, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.20111730137095385, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.19554175452456002, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.1917211601966855, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005575546846393831, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009396141174268346, "ret_p1w": -0.09497210831211156, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09497210831211156, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.082127876402736, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09980797061796354, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012844231909375559, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004835862305851979, "ret_p1m": -0.12104282882032869, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12104282882032869, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08089149510103533, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10405460863589122, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04015133371929336, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016988220184437464, "ret_p3m": 0.7690874981432654, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7690874981432654, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.6619312512502329, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.26838596089388944, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10715624689303249, "bench_c_p3m": 0.5007015372493759, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.813, -0.813, -0.8127, -0.8089, -0.806, -0.8182, -0.8175, -0.8147, -0.8151, -0.8119, -0.8101, -0.8089, -0.8147, -0.8151, -0.8151, -0.8151, -0.8151, -0.8138, -0.8138, -0.8138, -0.8082, -0.8127, -0.8108, -0.7922, -0.7709, -0.7266, -0.6112, -0.6324, -0.6648, -0.6965, -0.7076, -0.6674, -0.7099, -0.7155, -0.7095, -0.7009, -0.7151, -0.7147, -0.7013, -0.7114, -0.7054, -0.7009, -0.7132, -0.7039, -0.7091, -0.705, -0.6957, -0.6276, -0.6186, -0.6164, -0.6052, -0.6089, -0.6045, -0.6104, -0.6134, -0.6097, -0.524, -0.5456, -0.4034, -0.2551, -0.2924, -0.0466, -0.0317, 0.0, -0.2011, -0.2678, -0.2894, -0.1546, -0.095, -0.1546, -0.1341, -0.1397, -0.1955, -0.0484, -0.149, -0.121, -0.1248, -0.0484, 0.0987, -0.0093, -0.0875, -0.1397, -0.0912, -0.0652, -0.121, -0.121, -0.121, -0.0503, 0.0689, 0.1173, 0.378, 0.8287, 0.7803, 1.0112, 1.1825, 0.9404, 1.1825, 1.3464, 1.3315, 0.8529, 0.7728, 0.8399, 0.4991, 0.5047, 0.6108, 0.5326, 0.5326, 0.8622, 0.6592, 0.7002, 0.7542, 1.0298, 0.7561, 0.8808, 0.8473, 0.7132, 0.4562, 0.1918, 0.3985, 0.4842, 0.7039, 0.7039, 1.0112, 0.8883, 0.7747, 0.7691, 0.7691, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2029160940604739625", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2026-03-04T11:44:02+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Third Order Beneficiaries (substrate): $AXTI", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "GOOGL rejecting CPO is bullish for pluggable optics ecosystem; LITE, AAOI, FN, Innolight are large winners; IQE, AXTI secondary/tertiary; Soitec is downgraded.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$GOOGL rejecting CPO is a massive structural win for the entire pluggable optics ecosystem.  \n\nMost people missed this in the Needham analyst note on the $LITE $850 PT upgrade today:\n\nLarge beneficiaries: $AAOI, $FN, Innolight, transceiver companies. \n\nSecondary beneficiaries (epiwafers): $IQE, Landmark \n\nThird Order Beneficiaries (substrate): $AXTI, Sumitomo\n\nDowngrade (CPO): Soitec\n\nQuote:  \"LITE sees an unexpected bonus that its primary transceiver module customer (Google) currently has no plans to adopt CPO in its TPU architecture from what we have seen.\"", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.06721178588367072, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06721178588367072, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07421766559510656, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08735713397178002, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007005879711435847, "bench_c_m1d": -0.020145348088109305, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008433473602012964, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008433473602012964, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0028579267556191335, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0009626675722553824, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005575546846393831, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009396141174268346, "ret_p1w": 0.21032454172209247, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.21032454172209247, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.22316877363146803, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2054886794162405, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012844231909375559, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004835862305851979, "ret_p1m": 0.3503705267118977, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3503705267118977, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3905218604311911, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3673587468963352, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04015133371929336, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016988220184437464, "ret_p3m": 1.6363404254074623, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.6363404254074623, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.5291841785144298, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.1356388881580863, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10715624689303249, "bench_c_p3m": 0.5007015372493759, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7041, -0.6752, -0.6177, -0.6036, -0.5814, -0.6215, -0.621, -0.6678, -0.6841, -0.642, -0.6256, -0.611, -0.6259, -0.6164, -0.6164, -0.6072, -0.6271, -0.5962, -0.5822, -0.5822, -0.5717, -0.574, -0.4845, -0.3838, -0.3399, -0.4125, -0.4316, -0.4503, -0.4352, -0.3427, -0.4355, -0.4355, -0.4528, -0.4945, -0.542, -0.5553, -0.5451, -0.5604, -0.5699, -0.5814, -0.5262, -0.4649, -0.4955, -0.5208, -0.4779, -0.3851, -0.2903, -0.3777, -0.3151, -0.3665, -0.3805, -0.3805, -0.4068, -0.3984, -0.3915, -0.2415, -0.2734, -0.1035, 0.047, -0.0514, -0.0314, 0.1837, 0.0672, 0.0, -0.0084, -0.1728, -0.0146, 0.1321, 0.2103, 0.1942, 0.2487, 0.2366, 0.1337, 0.2461, 0.4845, 0.3861, 0.6468, 0.749, 0.7212, 0.4953, 0.5495, 0.3476, 0.4562, 0.2047, 0.3504, 0.3504, 0.0731, 0.1618, 0.3591, 0.6131, 0.6402, 0.6982, 0.7199, 0.6082, 1.09, 1.1099, 1.0128, 0.9159, 1.2218, 0.9236, 0.9463, 0.7927, 0.7559, 0.8163, 1.0245, 1.4534, 1.7089, 1.7485, 1.679, 1.7708, 1.9737, 2.2152, 2.1408, 2.1163, 1.9384, 2.1633, 1.7059, 1.8847, 1.6734, 2.0928, 2.599, 2.599, 2.3887, 2.1375, 1.9568, 1.6363, 1.6363, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2029160940604739625", "ticker_idx": 6, "ts": "2026-03-04T11:44:02+00:00", "symbol": "Soitec", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Downgrade (CPO): Soitec", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "GOOGL rejecting CPO is bullish for pluggable optics ecosystem; LITE, AAOI, FN, Innolight are large winners; IQE, AXTI secondary/tertiary; Soitec is downgraded.", "resolved_tickers": ["SOI.PA"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Soitec listed on Euronext Paris as SOI.PA", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$GOOGL rejecting CPO is a massive structural win for the entire pluggable optics ecosystem.  \n\nMost people missed this in the Needham analyst note on the $LITE $850 PT upgrade today:\n\nLarge beneficiaries: $AAOI, $FN, Innolight, transceiver companies. \n\nSecondary beneficiaries (epiwafers): $IQE, Landmark \n\nThird Order Beneficiaries (substrate): $AXTI, Sumitomo\n\nDowngrade (CPO): Soitec\n\nQuote:  \"LITE sees an unexpected bonus that its primary transceiver module customer (Google) currently has no plans to adopt CPO in its TPU architecture from what we have seen.\"", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.007794091399749736, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007794091399749736, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.000788211688313889, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012351256688359569, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007005879711435847, "bench_c_m1d": -0.020145348088109305, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.030467664404306705, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.030467664404306705, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.024892117557912874, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.021071523230038358, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005575546846393831, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009396141174268346, "ret_p1w": 0.2116201949027392, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.2116201949027392, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.22446442681211476, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.20678433259688722, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012844231909375559, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004835862305851979, "ret_p1m": 0.18091638686363853, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.18091638686363853, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2210677205829319, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.197904607048076, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04015133371929336, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016988220184437464, "ret_p3m": 3.193434161830197, "ret_signed_p3m": -3.193434161830197, "alpha_spy_p3m": -3.0862779149371646, "alpha_c_p3m": -2.692732624580821, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10715624689303249, "bench_c_p3m": 0.5007015372493759, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3595, -0.3772, -0.3829, -0.3954, -0.3862, -0.3906, -0.3989, -0.418, -0.4346, -0.4384, -0.4497, -0.4549, -0.453, -0.458, -0.458, -0.458, -0.458, -0.4544, -0.4523, -0.4523, -0.4126, -0.3819, -0.3916, -0.3812, -0.3855, -0.3625, -0.3692, -0.3314, -0.333, -0.312, -0.3342, -0.3517, -0.3521, -0.3335, -0.3271, -0.3493, -0.3446, -0.3375, -0.351, -0.3727, -0.3777, -0.3906, -0.4211, -0.2863, -0.2815, -0.247, -0.2324, -0.1781, -0.0765, -0.136, -0.1181, -0.1287, -0.1235, -0.1212, -0.1382, -0.1273, -0.0735, -0.0475, -0.0227, -0.0043, -0.034, 0.017, -0.0078, 0.0, -0.0305, -0.0151, -0.0135, 0.0432, 0.2116, 0.3609, 0.3935, 0.4917, 0.4497, 0.488, 0.2796, 0.2225, 0.2244, 0.1974, 0.2881, 0.2626, 0.2702, 0.2234, 0.2197, 0.2537, 0.1809, 0.1809, 0.1809, 0.1573, 0.2806, 0.265, 0.5054, 0.5267, 0.7085, 0.8144, 1.0189, 1.3103, 1.3618, 1.3795, 1.5909, 1.5177, 1.6606, 1.5874, 1.3325, 1.6712, 1.9983, 1.9983, 2.6254, 2.7293, 2.4684, 2.5605, 3.047, 2.8191, 2.4176, 2.6809, 2.5876, 2.4967, 2.3125, 2.381, 2.7317, 2.9348, 3.1887, 3.1639, 2.9372, 2.6419, 3.5394, 3.1934, 3.1934, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2027322480998961187", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-27T09:58:39+00:00", "symbol": "IQE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if it goes through and they're able to repurpose successfully, could be rerated like landmark", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Conditionally bullish IQE: if Taiwan sale closes and capacity repurposed for AI transceivers, stock could be significantly rerated upward.", "resolved_tickers": ["IQE.L"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "IQE plc LSE-listed epiwafer supplier", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "No, the risks around the debt are real. Their current gross debt is ~£45M. Plus, if $IQE repurposes their epiwafer capacity towards transceivers for the AI trade, it will take even more capital to refactor the hardware. \n\nHence why the Taiwan sale is critical, if it falls through, there will likely be more dilution to shareholders to cover short term costs.\n\nBut if it goes through and they're able to repurpose successfully, could be rerated like landmark.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Are the risks around their debt over inflated? I am not saying it is not a risk but worst case a large cash raise would get soaked up quickly.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Lee_Trades", "ret_m1d": 0.05263157894736836, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05263157894736836, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04780646576914327, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0387525654468488, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013879013500519566, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.34736844112998555, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.34736844112998555, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.34679986234765425, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.34731917683515445, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "bench_c_p1d": 4.926429483109729e-05, "ret_p1w": 0.03473683407432149, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03473683407432149, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05457678088682316, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09825037559736316, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "bench_c_p1w": -0.06351354152304167, "ret_p1m": 0.21578949376156453, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21578949376156453, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2920210717153393, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.32367146552291026, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "bench_c_p1m": -0.10788197176134573, "ret_p3m": 1.668421092786287, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.668421092786287, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.5714524036962816, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.2030077818742158, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.4654133109120713, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7368, -0.7405, -0.7326, -0.7358, -0.7358, -0.7353, -0.73, -0.7258, -0.7432, -0.7421, -0.7382, -0.7387, -0.7342, -0.7316, -0.73, -0.7382, -0.7387, -0.7387, -0.7387, -0.7387, -0.7368, -0.7368, -0.7368, -0.7289, -0.7353, -0.7326, -0.7063, -0.6763, -0.6137, -0.4505, -0.4805, -0.5263, -0.5711, -0.5868, -0.53, -0.59, -0.5979, -0.5895, -0.5774, -0.5974, -0.5968, -0.5779, -0.5921, -0.5837, -0.5774, -0.5947, -0.5816, -0.5889, -0.5832, -0.57, -0.4737, -0.4611, -0.4579, -0.4421, -0.4474, -0.4411, -0.4495, -0.4537, -0.4484, -0.3274, -0.3579, -0.1568, 0.0526, 0.0, 0.3474, 0.3684, 0.4132, 0.1289, 0.0347, 0.0042, 0.1947, 0.2789, 0.1947, 0.2237, 0.2158, 0.1368, 0.3447, 0.2026, 0.2421, 0.2368, 0.3447, 0.5526, 0.4, 0.2895, 0.2158, 0.2842, 0.3211, 0.2421, 0.2421, 0.2421, 0.3421, 0.5105, 0.5789, 0.9474, 1.5842, 1.5158, 1.8421, 2.0842, 1.7421, 2.0842, 2.3158, 2.2947, 1.6184, 1.5053, 1.6, 1.1184, 1.1263, 1.2763, 1.1658, 1.1658, 1.6316, 1.3447, 1.4026, 1.4789, 1.8684, 1.4816, 1.6579, 1.6105, 1.4211, 1.0579, 0.6842, 0.9763, 1.0974, 1.4079, 1.4079, 1.8421, 1.6684, 1.5079, 1.5, 1.5, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2026536274241401156", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-25T05:54:33+00:00", "symbol": "BE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$BE is a large beneficary and likely at the center of it", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish on BE as a major beneficiary of GW-scale DC power demand from 2026+; personally positioned via XLU rather than individual names.", "resolved_tickers": ["BE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Electrical Equipment & Parts'", "bench_c_industry": "Electrical Equipment & Parts", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Energy/Power/Grid sector will be a massive theme in 2026 onward as inference/training require GW scale DCs.\n\n$BE is a large beneficary and likely at the center of it. I personally ended up going with the $XLU sector as a whole rather than picking individual names (mainly because i don’t personally have enough domain knowledge in energy names)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit what do you think of $BE ? Bloom energy", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ChenPaul", "ret_m1d": -0.04903591643139393, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04903591643139393, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.040668177389715066, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05689466290094447, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008367739041678868, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007858746469550537, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03547517764305019, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03547517764305019, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.029920701251429094, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04173936174542292, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005554476391621099, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006264184102372727, "ret_p1w": -0.05716086999454417, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05716086999454417, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.045590398038875435, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05926789868673288, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011570471955668737, "bench_c_p1w": 0.002107028692188706, "ret_p1m": -0.23602448355893235, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.23602448355893235, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16923046573742295, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.15699914379402025, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0667940178215094, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0790253397649121, "ret_p3m": 0.7307889388318753, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7307889388318753, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.6521244218597659, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.7498512744653381, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07866451697210941, "bench_c_p3m": -0.019062335633462713, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3749, -0.4339, -0.3992, -0.4135, -0.3243, -0.3181, -0.3604, -0.3738, -0.4204, -0.3764, -0.4565, -0.4874, -0.4987, -0.5596, -0.5411, -0.4918, -0.4721, -0.4769, -0.4743, -0.4743, -0.484, -0.4941, -0.5007, -0.5028, -0.5028, -0.4353, -0.4057, -0.4104, -0.382, -0.3029, -0.2329, -0.2169, -0.2003, -0.2364, -0.2037, -0.1446, -0.1446, -0.1317, -0.1385, -0.1667, -0.171, -0.2011, -0.1285, -0.0537, -0.1045, -0.1339, -0.1067, -0.0336, -0.1569, -0.2184, -0.1816, -0.1121, -0.1492, -0.11, -0.2045, -0.2004, -0.2004, -0.1685, -0.1001, -0.0902, -0.1557, -0.0829, -0.049, 0.0, -0.0355, -0.1093, -0.0502, -0.1244, -0.0572, -0.0846, -0.2265, -0.1342, -0.1188, -0.089, -0.1007, -0.1159, -0.1207, -0.0842, -0.1041, -0.0462, -0.141, -0.1913, -0.1653, -0.1405, -0.236, -0.2376, -0.3162, -0.2248, -0.2421, -0.224, -0.224, -0.2276, -0.2223, -0.1602, -0.0838, -0.0462, 0.0109, 0.2532, 0.2236, 0.2019, 0.1893, 0.2489, 0.264, 0.3146, 0.3593, 0.3227, 0.3428, 0.2952, 0.6477, 0.6213, 0.6623, 0.6515, 0.6894, 0.6334, 0.4799, 0.4936, 0.6245, 0.6061, 0.658, 0.7361, 0.5789, 0.4803, 0.4953, 0.6153, 0.7616, 0.7308, 0.7308, 0.7303, 0.6811, 0.6594, 0.6307, 0.6307, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2026536274241401156", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-25T05:54:33+00:00", "symbol": "XLU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I personally ended up going with the $XLU sector as a whole", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish on BE as a major beneficiary of GW-scale DC power demand from 2026+; personally positioned via XLU rather than individual names.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Energy/Power/Grid sector will be a massive theme in 2026 onward as inference/training require GW scale DCs.\n\n$BE is a large beneficary and likely at the center of it. I personally ended up going with the $XLU sector as a whole rather than picking individual names (mainly because i don’t personally have enough domain knowledge in energy names)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit what do you think of $BE ? Bloom energy", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ChenPaul", "ret_m1d": -0.0033783106954099473, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0033783106954099473, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00498942834626892, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00498942834626892, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008367739041678868, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008367739041678868, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.003800650226057467, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.003800650226057467, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0017538261655636322, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0017538261655636322, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005554476391621099, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005554476391621099, "ret_p1w": -0.0019003251130287335, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0019003251130287335, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.009670146842640004, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.009670146842640004, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011570471955668737, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011570471955668737, "ret_p1m": -0.036171389550588406, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.036171389550588406, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.030622628270920993, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.030622628270920993, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0667940178215094, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0667940178215094, "ret_p3m": -0.03574621117154975, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03574621117154975, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11441072814365916, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11441072814365916, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07866451697210941, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07866451697210941, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0503, -0.0725, -0.0791, -0.082, -0.0839, -0.0925, -0.1047, -0.1041, -0.1045, -0.098, -0.1024, -0.0942, -0.098, -0.1038, -0.095, -0.1066, -0.1033, -0.1001, -0.0961, -0.0961, -0.0967, -0.095, -0.0929, -0.0986, -0.0986, -0.0883, -0.0984, -0.094, -0.1159, -0.1134, -0.1024, -0.1009, -0.0952, -0.0885, -0.0792, -0.0838, -0.0838, -0.0929, -0.0916, -0.0982, -0.1014, -0.0948, -0.083, -0.0851, -0.0851, -0.0868, -0.1001, -0.087, -0.0904, -0.0899, -0.0847, -0.0819, -0.0667, -0.0585, -0.0446, -0.0182, -0.0182, -0.0207, -0.037, -0.0264, -0.0217, -0.0144, -0.0034, 0.0, -0.0038, 0.0078, 0.0002, -0.0061, -0.0019, -0.0097, -0.0131, -0.0108, -0.0169, -0.0251, -0.0182, -0.0084, -0.0021, -0.0049, -0.0133, -0.0173, -0.0572, -0.0479, -0.0413, -0.0379, -0.0362, -0.0306, -0.0236, -0.0243, -0.0196, -0.0147, -0.0147, -0.0183, -0.0162, -0.0053, 0.0025, -0.0015, -0.0136, -0.0119, -0.0215, -0.0145, -0.0185, -0.0272, -0.0443, -0.046, -0.02, -0.0181, -0.0179, -0.0166, -0.0287, -0.0039, -0.0102, -0.0141, -0.0141, -0.0281, -0.0406, -0.0491, -0.0402, -0.0391, -0.0502, -0.0453, -0.0672, -0.0657, -0.0572, -0.0536, -0.0432, -0.0357, -0.0357, -0.0362, -0.0402, -0.0511, -0.0555, -0.0555, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2018581549394845711", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-03T07:05:19+00:00", "symbol": "VLN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "cash + inventory makes up majority of its MC not including other assets like IP. They're fabless semi, $80m revenue, high gross margin for robotics/industrial vertical. So current valuation has an extreme disconnect.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long VLN: cash+inventory covers most of market cap, core fabless semi business with $80M revenue and high margins effectively priced at zero — extreme valuation disconnect.", "resolved_tickers": ["VLN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yes for $VLN, cash + inventory makes up majority of its MC not including other assets like IP. They’re fabless semi, $80m revenue, high gross margin for robotics/industrial vertical. So current valuation has an extreme disconnect.\n\nI put out another post recently questioning how markets basically assign no value to the core business like $ETOR if they’re Israeli when they’re majority cash now. \n\nSo TLDR: no clue what’s going on and why companies from Israel keep dropping.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Still positive on VLN?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JohnPenisini", "ret_m1d": 0.04374995762482348, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04374995762482348, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.035222457802562834, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01787486022380569, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008527499822260642, "bench_c_m1d": 0.025875097401017788, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03750003818422498, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03750003818422498, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03265611650532785, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0018783664389027122, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004843921678897134, "bench_c_p1d": -0.039378404623127694, "ret_p1w": -0.03125004423782163, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03125004423782163, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03500613830473198, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04905334644119885, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0037560940669103537, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017803302203377225, "ret_p1m": -0.09999997764825852, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09999997764825852, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09361875389367513, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1035707215978845, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.006381223754583387, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0035707439496259763, "ret_p3m": 0.4624999245628725, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4624999245628725, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4145134663124732, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.18051436654194752, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.047986458250399266, "bench_c_p3m": 0.28198555802092495, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.025, -0.0125, 0.0, 0.125, 0.0625, 0.075, 0.0875, -0.025, -0.05, -0.0937, -0.1125, -0.0625, -0.0438, -0.0375, -0.0187, -0.0187, 0.0, -0.0187, -0.0125, 0.0437, 0.05, 0.05, 0.0625, 0.0625, 0.05, 0.0187, -0.0062, -0.0375, -0.0438, -0.075, -0.075, -0.0688, -0.0875, -0.125, -0.1375, -0.1375, -0.1, -0.1188, -0.1375, -0.1125, -0.1125, -0.025, -0.0187, -0.0062, -0.0313, -0.025, 0.55, 0.4437, 0.4625, 0.3062, 0.3062, 0.2437, 0.2437, 0.2125, 0.225, 0.3125, 0.225, 0.15, 0.15, 0.1062, 0.1, 0.0625, 0.0437, 0.0, -0.0375, -0.1063, -0.0375, -0.05, -0.0313, -0.0375, -0.0625, -0.05, -0.05, -0.0875, -0.0688, -0.0688, -0.0563, -0.075, -0.0438, -0.0375, 0.0, -0.075, -0.075, -0.1, -0.1, -0.125, -0.1562, -0.1562, -0.1375, -0.1063, -0.1562, -0.1687, -0.1687, -0.1625, -0.2188, -0.2, -0.2375, -0.2125, -0.2188, -0.2125, -0.2375, -0.2625, -0.3063, -0.2938, -0.2688, -0.2562, -0.2562, -0.2562, -0.2625, -0.1813, -0.1625, -0.1687, -0.1562, -0.1375, -0.0812, -0.0313, -0.05, -0.0812, -0.0625, 0.0062, 0.0312, 0.1187, 0.0062, -0.0563, -0.0563, 0.3563, 0.4625, 0.4062, 0.5125, 0.5625, 0.5063, 0.7437, 0.7812, 0.6875, 0.8438, 1.1062, 0.9062, 0.7625, 0.6625, 0.8125, 0.9125, 1.0125, 1.0125, 1.0375, 0.9688, 1.1875, 1.2062, 1.2062, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2025222163251540079", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-21T14:52:45+00:00", "symbol": "XLU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is a riskier option for maximum returns using OTM options in an extremely low volatility ETF in $XLU for US power/grid exposure", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefers OTM XLU calls for US power/grid exposure; VST, CEG, TLN also seen as long but XLU offers better upside via options.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is a riskier option for maximum returns using OTM options in an extremely low volatility ETF in $XLU for US power/grid exposure.\n\nYou won't get the same returns from $VST, $CEG, or $TLN, even if they double. \n\nDon't need to pick individual winners with ETFs, sector as a whole should benefit.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Why not just buy leaps in $VST or $CEG  or $TLN direct?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ParTheBuilder", "ret_m1d": -0.007497825652779344, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007497825652779344, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017814487039842897, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017814487039842897, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011139718380374752, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011139718380374752, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0038712654499797328, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0038712654499797328, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "ret_p1w": 0.014781446524965602, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.014781446524965602, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.008934360812073994, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.008934360812073994, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "ret_p1m": -0.027308435051802138, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.027308435051802138, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.012882947272660594, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.012882947272660594, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "ret_p3m": -0.029249938466529124, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.029249938466529124, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12063215530431359, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12063215530431359, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0433, -0.0433, -0.0365, -0.059, -0.0657, -0.0687, -0.0706, -0.0793, -0.0916, -0.091, -0.0914, -0.0848, -0.0893, -0.081, -0.0848, -0.0908, -0.0819, -0.0936, -0.0902, -0.087, -0.0829, -0.0829, -0.0835, -0.0818, -0.0797, -0.0855, -0.0855, -0.075, -0.0853, -0.0808, -0.103, -0.1005, -0.0893, -0.0878, -0.082, -0.0752, -0.0658, -0.0705, -0.0705, -0.0797, -0.0784, -0.085, -0.0883, -0.0816, -0.0696, -0.0718, -0.0718, -0.0735, -0.087, -0.0737, -0.0771, -0.0767, -0.0713, -0.0686, -0.0531, -0.0448, -0.0306, -0.0039, -0.0039, -0.0064, -0.0229, -0.0122, -0.0075, 0.0, 0.0111, 0.0146, 0.0107, 0.0225, 0.0148, 0.0084, 0.0126, 0.0047, 0.0013, 0.0036, -0.0026, -0.0109, -0.0039, 0.006, 0.0124, 0.0096, 0.0011, -0.003, -0.0435, -0.034, -0.0273, -0.0239, -0.0221, -0.0165, -0.0094, -0.0101, -0.0053, -0.0003, -0.0003, -0.004, -0.0019, 0.0091, 0.0171, 0.013, 0.0007, 0.0025, -0.0072, -0.0001, -0.0042, -0.0131, -0.0303, -0.0321, -0.0057, -0.0038, -0.0036, -0.0023, -0.0146, 0.0107, 0.0042, 0.0003, 0.0003, -0.0139, -0.0267, -0.0353, -0.0262, -0.0252, -0.0364, -0.0314, -0.0536, -0.0521, -0.0435, -0.0398, -0.0292, -0.0217, -0.0217, -0.0221, -0.0262, -0.0372, -0.0418, -0.0418, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2025222163251540079", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-21T14:52:45+00:00", "symbol": "VST", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "You won't get the same returns from $VST, $CEG, or $TLN, even if they double", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefers OTM XLU calls for US power/grid exposure; VST, CEG, TLN also seen as long but XLU offers better upside via options.", "resolved_tickers": ["VST"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Utilities - Independent Power Producers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is a riskier option for maximum returns using OTM options in an extremely low volatility ETF in $XLU for US power/grid exposure.\n\nYou won't get the same returns from $VST, $CEG, or $TLN, even if they double. \n\nDon't need to pick individual winners with ETFs, sector as a whole should benefit.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Why not just buy leaps in $VST or $CEG  or $TLN direct?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ParTheBuilder", "ret_m1d": 0.02145409380474894, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02145409380474894, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.011137432417685389, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011137432417685389, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.022765153032791918, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.022765153032791918, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.015496700102396899, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015496700102396899, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "ret_p1w": -0.010786599113455142, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.010786599113455142, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01663368482634675, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01663368482634675, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "ret_p1m": -0.08862734885211743, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08862734885211743, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.048435966527654695, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.048435966527654695, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "ret_p3m": -0.11034942760672961, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11034942760672961, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20173164444451408, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20173164444451408, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0522, 0.0522, 0.0644, 0.0334, 0.0269, 0.0215, 0.0478, -0.0051, -0.0114, -0.0192, -0.017, 0.0391, 0.0123, 0.0013, 0.0322, -0.048, -0.0111, -0.0298, -0.0371, -0.0365, -0.0348, -0.0348, -0.0365, -0.0355, -0.0309, -0.0386, -0.0386, -0.0153, -0.029, 0.0103, -0.0787, -0.1025, -0.0085, 0.0285, 0.0216, 0.007, 0.0738, -0.0072, -0.0072, -0.0655, -0.0464, -0.0443, -0.0458, -0.0536, -0.0211, -0.0129, -0.0311, -0.0563, -0.0807, -0.0882, -0.1507, -0.1474, -0.1082, -0.0884, -0.0489, -0.0456, -0.028, 0.022, 0.022, 0.035, 0.0165, 0.028, 0.0215, 0.0, 0.0228, 0.0451, 0.0538, 0.0363, -0.0108, -0.0364, -0.0265, -0.0024, -0.0545, -0.0249, -0.0203, -0.0515, -0.049, -0.0527, -0.0346, -0.0207, 0.0138, -0.0026, -0.1286, -0.0972, -0.0886, -0.0958, -0.0911, -0.0722, -0.1195, -0.1029, -0.0812, -0.0978, -0.0978, -0.0954, -0.0829, -0.0697, -0.0884, -0.0766, -0.0559, -0.0215, -0.0276, -0.0122, -0.0245, -0.0476, -0.0756, -0.0703, -0.064, -0.0192, -0.0059, -0.0385, -0.0822, -0.0581, -0.0734, -0.0401, -0.0429, -0.0554, -0.0813, -0.1185, -0.0926, -0.1235, -0.149, -0.1532, -0.1664, -0.1839, -0.1961, -0.1407, -0.1103, -0.0674, -0.0674, -0.018, -0.0443, -0.0435, -0.0438, -0.0438, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2025222163251540079", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-21T14:52:45+00:00", "symbol": "CEG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "You won't get the same returns from $VST, $CEG, or $TLN, even if they double", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefers OTM XLU calls for US power/grid exposure; VST, CEG, TLN also seen as long but XLU offers better upside via options.", "resolved_tickers": ["CEG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Utilities - Independent Power Producers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is a riskier option for maximum returns using OTM options in an extremely low volatility ETF in $XLU for US power/grid exposure.\n\nYou won't get the same returns from $VST, $CEG, or $TLN, even if they double. \n\nDon't need to pick individual winners with ETFs, sector as a whole should benefit.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Why not just buy leaps in $VST or $CEG  or $TLN direct?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ParTheBuilder", "ret_m1d": 0.0035397898210729473, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0035397898210729473, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.006776871565990605, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.006776871565990605, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06412530314268339, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06412530314268339, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05685685021228837, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05685685021228837, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "ret_p1w": 0.11354662355304068, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11354662355304068, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10769953784014907, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10769953784014907, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "ret_p1m": 0.004918724425591492, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.004918724425591492, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.045110106750054224, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.045110106750054224, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "ret_p3m": -0.024310063920395364, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.024310063920395364, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11569228075817983, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11569228075817983, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2222, 0.2222, 0.2402, 0.2221, 0.2378, 0.2296, 0.2547, 0.2247, 0.2174, 0.2224, 0.2324, 0.2886, 0.198, 0.2156, 0.2445, 0.1606, 0.2289, 0.2097, 0.2179, 0.2299, 0.2388, 0.2388, 0.2269, 0.2196, 0.2155, 0.2024, 0.2024, 0.2466, 0.2081, 0.2069, 0.1526, 0.0978, 0.1658, 0.1432, 0.1352, 0.1245, 0.1613, 0.0473, 0.0473, 0.0054, 0.0019, -0.022, -0.0161, -0.029, -0.0172, -0.0199, -0.0216, -0.0447, -0.078, -0.0863, -0.1475, -0.1591, -0.1102, -0.0737, -0.0771, -0.0577, -0.0602, -0.0183, -0.0183, 0.0313, 0.0009, -0.0073, 0.0035, 0.0, 0.0641, 0.1091, 0.1013, 0.1228, 0.1135, 0.1058, 0.0989, 0.1303, 0.086, 0.1008, 0.0807, 0.0248, 0.0278, 0.0285, 0.0415, 0.0487, 0.0812, 0.0786, -0.0389, -0.0124, 0.0049, 0.0338, 0.0061, 0.0275, 0.0177, -0.0482, -0.0475, -0.0702, -0.0702, -0.0622, -0.071, -0.0311, -0.0448, -0.0235, -0.0057, 0.0109, 0.0045, 0.0195, 0.0096, -0.0199, -0.0535, -0.0213, -0.0022, 0.0686, 0.0742, 0.0419, 0.0122, 0.0668, 0.0491, 0.0942, 0.0921, 0.1001, 0.0609, 0.0348, 0.0214, 0.0007, -0.0631, -0.0618, -0.0879, -0.1057, -0.1102, -0.0399, -0.0243, 0.0038, 0.0038, 0.0294, -0.0146, -0.0227, -0.0178, -0.0178, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2025222163251540079", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-02-21T14:52:45+00:00", "symbol": "TLN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "You won't get the same returns from $VST, $CEG, or $TLN, even if they double", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefers OTM XLU calls for US power/grid exposure; VST, CEG, TLN also seen as long but XLU offers better upside via options.", "resolved_tickers": ["TLN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Utilities - Independent Power Producers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is a riskier option for maximum returns using OTM options in an extremely low volatility ETF in $XLU for US power/grid exposure.\n\nYou won't get the same returns from $VST, $CEG, or $TLN, even if they double. \n\nDon't need to pick individual winners with ETFs, sector as a whole should benefit.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Why not just buy leaps in $VST or $CEG  or $TLN direct?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ParTheBuilder", "ret_m1d": 0.03917465149404964, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03917465149404964, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.028857990106986087, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.028857990106986087, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02011742597367494, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02011742597367494, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012848973043279921, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012848973043279921, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "ret_p1w": -0.03969118706195385, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03969118706195385, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.045538272774845456, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.045538272774845456, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "ret_p1m": -0.14155613267347977, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14155613267347977, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10136475034901704, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10136475034901704, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "ret_p3m": -0.020008659810886287, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.020008659810886287, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11139087664867076, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11139087664867076, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0668, 0.0668, 0.0719, 0.033, 0.0003, -0.0065, 0.0002, -0.037, -0.0393, -0.0529, -0.0254, 0.0027, -0.0312, -0.0269, 0.0243, -0.0432, 0.0105, 0.012, 0.0299, 0.0351, 0.0428, 0.0428, 0.0453, 0.0338, 0.0303, 0.019, 0.019, 0.0785, 0.0744, 0.0689, 0.0187, -0.0322, 0.0081, 0.0032, 0.0245, 0.019, 0.1393, 0.0104, 0.0104, -0.0304, 0.0176, 0.0327, -0.0038, -0.0474, -0.0226, -0.0073, -0.0153, -0.053, -0.0735, -0.0718, -0.1381, -0.1175, -0.0621, -0.0385, -0.0269, -0.0359, -0.0001, 0.0241, 0.0241, 0.0556, 0.0338, 0.0332, 0.0392, 0.0, 0.0201, 0.0641, 0.0604, 0.0085, -0.0397, -0.0719, -0.085, -0.0897, -0.1285, -0.089, -0.0986, -0.1403, -0.1533, -0.1406, -0.1366, -0.1106, -0.0795, -0.0755, -0.1764, -0.1545, -0.1416, -0.1075, -0.1215, -0.1177, -0.149, -0.1321, -0.1081, -0.1094, -0.1094, -0.1189, -0.1027, -0.1065, -0.1497, -0.1264, -0.1135, -0.06, -0.0395, -0.0148, -0.0068, -0.0587, -0.1036, -0.0775, -0.0614, -0.0096, 0.005, -0.0181, -0.0433, 0.0125, 0.0117, 0.0457, 0.0464, 0.1146, 0.0617, 0.0504, 0.0424, 0.0184, -0.0457, -0.0407, -0.0913, -0.1186, -0.1448, -0.0636, -0.02, 0.0125, 0.0125, 0.0575, 0.0325, 0.0371, 0.0515, 0.0515, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2031688585703997628", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-11T11:08:00+00:00", "symbol": "Soitec", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Late 2027 maybe 400% is my personal projection for Soitec", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Personal projection of ~400% upside in Soitec by late 2027.", "resolved_tickers": ["SOI.PA"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Soitec listed on Euronext Paris as SOI.PA", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@WaterJunkieCat Late 2027 maybe 400% is my personal projection for Soitec.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit A 3x by mid-late 2027?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "WaterJunkieCat", "ret_m1d": -0.1389863776638095, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1389863776638095, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.14024311800621525, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1297601047707746, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009226272893034904, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.12319687697497028, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.12319687697497028, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.13838182584433378, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.1553640313917244, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03216715441675411, "ret_p1w": 0.22807019370259662, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.22807019370259662, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.25010088448176204, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.246422898921572, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018352705218975363, "ret_p1m": 0.044054623193791054, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.044054623193791054, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.036015937164322276, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0289573680996853, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07301199129347635, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4971, -0.5039, -0.5197, -0.5333, -0.5365, -0.5458, -0.5501, -0.5485, -0.5526, -0.5526, -0.5526, -0.5526, -0.5497, -0.548, -0.548, -0.5152, -0.4899, -0.4979, -0.4893, -0.4928, -0.4739, -0.4793, -0.4481, -0.4495, -0.4322, -0.4505, -0.4649, -0.4653, -0.4499, -0.4446, -0.463, -0.4591, -0.4532, -0.4643, -0.4823, -0.4864, -0.4971, -0.5222, -0.4109, -0.407, -0.3786, -0.3665, -0.3216, -0.2378, -0.2869, -0.2721, -0.2809, -0.2766, -0.2747, -0.2887, -0.2797, -0.2353, -0.2138, -0.1934, -0.1782, -0.2027, -0.1606, -0.1811, -0.1747, -0.1998, -0.1871, -0.1858, -0.139, 0.0, 0.1232, 0.1501, 0.2312, 0.1965, 0.2281, 0.0561, 0.009, 0.0105, -0.0117, 0.0632, 0.0421, 0.0483, 0.0097, 0.0066, 0.0347, -0.0253, -0.0253, -0.0253, -0.0448, 0.0569, 0.0441, 0.2425, 0.26, 0.4101, 0.4975, 0.6663, 0.9068, 0.9493, 0.9639, 1.1384, 1.078, 1.1959, 1.1355, 0.9251, 1.2047, 1.4747, 1.4747, 1.9922, 2.078, 1.8626, 1.9386, 2.3402, 2.152, 1.8207, 2.038, 1.961, 1.886, 1.7339, 1.7904, 2.0799, 2.2476, 2.4571, 2.4366, 2.2495, 2.0058, 2.7466, 2.461, 2.461, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028798611069583361", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-03T11:44:16+00:00", "symbol": "EWY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I do have $EWY long calls mainly as a IV arbitrage play as MM's mispriced this at 32% IV. Stock moving up and down 7-13% a day is evidence they heavily mispriced it, and should benefit from vega expansion.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long EWY calls: MMs mispriced IV at 32% vs realized 7-13% daily moves; expects vega expansion.", "resolved_tickers": ["EWY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Zero exposure to $KORU. I've been warning people not to touch 3x leveraged instruments for this exact reason.\n\nI do have $EWY long calls mainly as a IV arbitrage play as MM's mispriced this at 32% IV. \n\nStock moving up and down 7-13% a day is evidence they heavily mispriced it, and should benefit from vega expansion.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit You 500% long $KORU aren't you ?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "onejhor", "ret_m1d": 0.11485565489539185, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.11485565489539185, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.10596293295134807, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.10596293295134807, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00889272194404378, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00889272194404378, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01533926881873171, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01533926881873171, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008283960465647056, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008283960465647056, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007055308353084655, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007055308353084655, "ret_p1w": -0.015414790256789046, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.015414790256789046, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.010784597966621456, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.010784597966621456, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00463019229016759, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00463019229016759, "ret_p1m": -0.04624448607027254, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04624448607027254, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.011995546530040646, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.011995546530040646, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03424893954023189, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03424893954023189, "ret_p3m": 0.5553121318329894, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5553121318329894, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4403445562230828, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4403445562230828, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11496757560990667, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11496757560990667, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3211, -0.3031, -0.2974, -0.2937, -0.285, -0.2982, -0.3151, -0.3147, -0.3236, -0.3307, -0.3194, -0.3098, -0.3067, -0.2995, -0.2852, -0.2852, -0.2758, -0.254, -0.2548, -0.2654, -0.2654, -0.2276, -0.2079, -0.1869, -0.1912, -0.1946, -0.1772, -0.1769, -0.1874, -0.1715, -0.1609, -0.152, -0.152, -0.1615, -0.126, -0.1235, -0.1086, -0.1135, -0.0728, -0.0512, -0.0592, -0.075, -0.0862, -0.0606, -0.0913, -0.0917, -0.0577, -0.0475, -0.0596, -0.0131, -0.0116, 0.0123, 0.0123, -0.0125, 0.0045, 0.0217, 0.0721, 0.0526, 0.0923, 0.1251, 0.1365, 0.1438, 0.1149, 0.0, 0.0153, -0.0499, -0.0424, 0.0117, -0.0154, 0.0039, -0.0668, -0.0619, 0.0057, 0.0158, -0.0035, 0.0187, -0.0496, 0.0111, -0.0271, -0.0348, -0.0933, -0.0858, -0.1202, -0.0705, -0.0462, -0.0716, -0.0716, -0.0484, -0.0389, 0.0584, 0.0525, 0.0483, 0.0672, 0.1084, 0.0951, 0.1143, 0.1511, 0.1341, 0.1092, 0.1773, 0.1379, 0.168, 0.1843, 0.1665, 0.1634, 0.2147, 0.2241, 0.2361, 0.3108, 0.3751, 0.3356, 0.4372, 0.4572, 0.3488, 0.4253, 0.4396, 0.3515, 0.3307, 0.3149, 0.361, 0.4086, 0.3755, 0.3755, 0.5162, 0.4983, 0.5597, 0.5553, 0.5553, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2019147087141802380", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-04T20:32:34+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Just put in 50% of my portfolio into it around $73K. Bitcoin and $RKLB are my highest conviction assets on a long term timeframe.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Holds 50% of portfolio in BTC at ~$73K and RKLB; both named highest-conviction long-term assets.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have pure and completely regarded conviction in Bitcoin.\n\nJust put in 50% of my portfolio into it around $73K.\n\nBitcoin and $RKLB are my highest conviction assets on a long term timeframe. \n\nI’m happy holding it through any volatility. https://t.co/IskCechnmA", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Just woke up from a nap to see everything down 15% from $MU to $SNDK.\n\nEven $CRDO is down 13%, haven’t seen it in the $90s in forever.\n\nWhat a wild selloff. https://t.co/tytlogNw5o", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03579641710574255, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03579641710574255, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03092891764066441, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00486749946507814, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.14129892381358544, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.14129892381358544, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.12880971255738372, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012489211256201727, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.08254942319720637, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08254942319720637, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0909582439189438, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008408820721737431, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.029835483188291878, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.029835483188291878, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02272376446971769, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007111718718574189, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": 0.09323789105722957, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09323789105722957, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.044008218736251825, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.049229672320977746, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.4157, 0.4516, 0.4105, 0.3923, 0.3654, 0.2928, 0.2612, 0.2729, 0.2526, 0.1864, 0.1653, 0.2089, 0.1961, 0.2396, 0.2501, 0.2451, 0.1822, 0.251, 0.2809, 0.2619, 0.2242, 0.2413, 0.2694, 0.2602, 0.2669, 0.2362, 0.1835, 0.203, 0.1797, 0.1704, 0.2066, 0.2119, 0.1971, 0.1998, 0.1947, 0.1956, 0.1934, 0.211, 0.1984, 0.2152, 0.2318, 0.2857, 0.2836, 0.2505, 0.2466, 0.2396, 0.2489, 0.3054, 0.3274, 0.3086, 0.3082, 0.2675, 0.2094, 0.224, 0.2252, 0.2257, 0.2088, 0.2203, 0.2214, 0.1581, 0.1521, 0.0776, 0.0358, 0.0, -0.1413, -0.0337, -0.0397, -0.0579, -0.0825, -0.0931, -0.057, -0.0572, -0.0757, -0.0903, -0.083, -0.0687, -0.1151, -0.1224, -0.0693, -0.0762, -0.0978, -0.0581, -0.0647, -0.0042, -0.0298, -0.0669, -0.0632, -0.0424, -0.0385, -0.0346, -0.0281, 0.0252, 0.0124, -0.0243, -0.0425, -0.0342, -0.0288, -0.0343, -0.0234, -0.0579, -0.0915, -0.0867, -0.0655, -0.0677, -0.084, -0.0834, -0.057, -0.0148, -0.026, -0.0171, -0.0006, 0.0201, 0.0159, 0.0245, 0.0292, 0.0562, 0.0391, 0.0456, 0.071, 0.0719, 0.0607, 0.0595, 0.0456, 0.0377, 0.045, 0.0707, 0.0932, 0.1083, 0.1151, 0.0957, 0.0982, 0.1193, 0.1021, 0.0857, 0.11, 0.0828, 0.0539, 0.0511, 0.0608, 0.0619, 0.0338, 0.0583, 0.0384, 0.0181, 0.0071, 0.0048, 0.0087, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2019147087141802380", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-04T20:32:34+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bitcoin and $RKLB are my highest conviction assets on a long term timeframe.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Holds 50% of portfolio in BTC at ~$73K and RKLB; both named highest-conviction long-term assets.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have pure and completely regarded conviction in Bitcoin.\n\nJust put in 50% of my portfolio into it around $73K.\n\nBitcoin and $RKLB are my highest conviction assets on a long term timeframe. \n\nI’m happy holding it through any volatility. https://t.co/IskCechnmA", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Just woke up from a nap to see everything down 15% from $MU to $SNDK.\n\nEven $CRDO is down 13%, haven’t seen it in the $90s in forever.\n\nWhat a wild selloff. https://t.co/tytlogNw5o", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.11161258329355661, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.11161258329355661, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.10674508382847847, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.11426912364658348, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00486749946507814, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0026565403530268705, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09287376362798105, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09287376362798105, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08038455237177933, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.08685219387171017, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012489211256201727, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006021569756270884, "ret_p1w": -0.047736258167605405, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.047736258167605405, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.056145078889342837, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07991058604022216, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008408820721737431, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03217432787261676, "ret_p1m": -0.042538648398140255, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.042538648398140255, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.035426929679566066, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05830110700600222, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007111718718574189, "bench_c_p1m": 0.015762458607861962, "ret_p3m": 0.09848169727990319, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09848169727990319, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.049252024958925444, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08625879323721564, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.049229672320977746, "bench_c_p3m": 0.012222904042687555, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2937, -0.2901, -0.2991, -0.3165, -0.3811, -0.3771, -0.4076, -0.4149, -0.4034, -0.46, -0.4488, -0.4194, -0.4173, -0.4265, -0.4265, -0.4236, -0.4478, -0.4269, -0.3883, -0.3247, -0.329, -0.2948, -0.2692, -0.2132, -0.131, -0.1589, -0.2421, -0.241, -0.2619, -0.1804, -0.0354, 0.0607, 0.0557, 0.0557, 0.0557, -0.0336, -0.0409, -0.0364, -0.0458, -0.0458, 0.0394, 0.0688, 0.1767, 0.15, 0.1364, 0.1606, 0.2023, 0.1842, 0.2556, 0.2414, 0.3172, 0.3172, 0.2195, 0.2012, 0.2034, 0.216, 0.1008, 0.19, 0.2115, 0.1719, 0.0952, 0.0142, 0.1116, 0.0, -0.0929, -0.0108, 0.0373, -0.0148, -0.0477, -0.0971, -0.0776, -0.0776, -0.044, 0.0179, 0.0475, -0.0308, -0.0397, -0.0429, -0.0398, -0.0063, -0.0548, -0.0293, -0.0408, -0.0164, -0.0425, -0.041, -0.0223, -0.0572, -0.0157, -0.0648, -0.0643, -0.0246, 0.075, -0.0497, -0.0161, -0.0804, -0.0699, -0.0963, -0.0031, -0.0981, -0.1666, -0.2152, -0.1216, -0.1038, -0.0736, -0.0736, -0.0744, -0.0929, -0.0551, -0.0871, -0.0692, -0.0341, -0.0122, 0.0067, 0.1343, 0.1599, 0.2236, 0.1851, 0.2316, 0.1572, 0.0899, 0.1256, 0.075, 0.0535, 0.1286, 0.078, 0.0985, 0.0773, 0.1578, 0.0748, 0.4426, 0.6051, 0.608, 0.6981, 0.813, 0.7066, 0.794, 0.7413, 0.8367, 0.7159, 0.8569, 0.8569, 0.9587, 1.0548, 1.0248, 0.9625, 0.9625, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2029735660459020333", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-06T01:47:46+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI みたいなプラガブル光トランシーバー企業との違いをみんながちゃんと理解すれば、実は彼らにとってはプラスなんだよね！", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Pluggable optical transceiver companies like AAOI are net beneficiaries once market corrects its misunderstanding of CPO; today's selloff is overdone.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "ja", "tweet_text": "そうそう！市場は『CPO＝フォトニクス』だと勘違いしちゃったんだと思う。CPOなんてそのセクターのほんの一部に過ぎないのにね。\n今日はその市場の誤解のせいで、全体が売られちゃった。でも、 $AAOI みたいなプラガブル光トランシーバー企業との違いをみんながちゃんと理解すれば、実は彼らにとってはプラスなんだよね！\nそれって、『ビットコイン＝金融セクター』だと思い込んで、ビットコインに何かあった時に銀行株まで全部投げ売りするようなものだよ。", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "🌟フォトニクス全般 勘違い売り\n\n$AVGO CEOの発言を市場が誤解\n👉フォトニクス銘柄が朝に一斉売り。 $LITE  や $COHR などが下落。\n\nしかし発言の本質は逆。\n\n話題になった CPO（Co-Packaged Optics） とは、AIサーバー用スイッチチップのすぐ横に光通信を組み込む「【次世代】光接続技術」。", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "beauty_oe", "ret_m1d": 0.05817113885833036, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05817113885833036, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.044889925125188856, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.044889925125188856, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013281213733141506, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013281213733141506, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.15735510177235357, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.15735510177235357, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.1485950767593145, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.1485950767593145, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008760025013039074, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008760025013039074, "ret_p1w": 0.012868756057498043, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.012868756057498043, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02787512309562834, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02787512309562834, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.015006367038130297, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015006367038130297, "ret_p1m": 0.12418910744706468, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12418910744706468, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14151628036380526, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14151628036380526, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017327172916740574, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017327172916740574, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6822, -0.634, -0.62, -0.6646, -0.6872, -0.697, -0.716, -0.694, -0.6723, -0.591, -0.5748, -0.571, -0.571, -0.6111, -0.6155, -0.6231, -0.6353, -0.6353, -0.5857, -0.6339, -0.596, -0.6019, -0.6546, -0.6439, -0.6472, -0.6424, -0.6394, -0.6129, -0.6125, -0.6125, -0.5892, -0.5985, -0.6009, -0.6263, -0.635, -0.6088, -0.5268, -0.586, -0.5437, -0.538, -0.5175, -0.5825, -0.6011, -0.5365, -0.4987, -0.4927, -0.4936, -0.5398, -0.5348, -0.5348, -0.5406, -0.5455, -0.5085, -0.4593, -0.4354, -0.4113, -0.3919, -0.4383, -0.1187, 0.0725, -0.0025, 0.0432, 0.0582, 0.0, 0.1574, 0.2606, 0.3288, 0.111, 0.0129, -0.0158, -0.0968, -0.0309, 0.0663, -0.0841, 0.0019, 0.1917, 0.197, 0.0193, 0.0275, -0.1087, -0.115, -0.0966, 0.0872, 0.0872, 0.1242, 0.2308, 0.3884, 0.3946, 0.5756, 0.6027, 0.5316, 0.4914, 0.646, 0.6679, 0.7103, 0.5753, 0.5633, 0.441, 0.6967, 0.5252, 0.4361, 0.599, 0.7196, 0.92, 0.8098, 0.8892, 0.868, 0.6484, 0.5583, 0.9345, 0.9699, 1.3342, 1.1298, 0.9916, 0.8127, 0.7925, 0.729, 0.8499, 0.8988, 0.8988, 0.8583, 0.8815, 0.7684, 0.6574, 0.6574, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2035193142216204520", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-21T03:13:51+00:00", "symbol": "MU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm bullish on $MU", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author is bullish on MU despite macro headwinds dragging all names lower.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@alejandrobatiz I never said it shouldn't be higher. I'm bullish on $MU, but there's broader macro dragging down every name.\n\nI'm just saying if people like myself were able to model in $MU gross margins for earnings, it shouldn't come to markets as a \"surprise beat\" that others are claiming.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Definitely. But that does not mean that Micron is not extremely cheap at the moment (sorry for the double negative). \n\nAnd if the stock price does not go up now for whatever reason, will get cheaper still.  \n\nEventually the stock price will follow those profits.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "alejandrobatiz", "ret_m1d": 0.04587608576961788, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04587608576961788, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05626700021292841, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06279144596220554, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010390914443310528, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01691536019258766, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.021812755900196712, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.021812755900196712, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.018455906147930246, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.030066054927246122, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0033568497522664664, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00825329902704941, "ret_p1w": -0.2038205167448306, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.2038205167448306, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.16810072974297752, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.13015435860051405, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.035719787001853076, "bench_c_p1w": -0.07366615814431654, "ret_p1m": 0.11183080685194713, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11183080685194713, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.037522753746574766, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07546483157337813, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07430805310537236, "bench_c_p1m": 0.18729563842532526, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2913, -0.2913, -0.296, -0.272, -0.2763, -0.2942, -0.2942, -0.2199, -0.228, -0.1507, -0.1603, -0.1912, -0.1466, -0.1446, -0.1638, -0.1756, -0.1675, -0.1029, -0.1029, -0.0973, -0.0377, -0.0167, -0.0116, -0.0377, 0.0146, 0.0765, 0.0778, 0.026, 0.0827, 0.0373, -0.0617, -0.0531, -0.0239, -0.0516, -0.0769, 0.0148, 0.0238, 0.0181, 0.0181, -0.0113, 0.0411, 0.0322, 0.0589, 0.0411, 0.0338, 0.061, 0.0277, 0.0198, 0.0206, -0.061, -0.0089, -0.0181, -0.0842, -0.0372, -0.0031, 0.0355, 0.0025, 0.0539, 0.0926, 0.1418, 0.1419, 0.0987, 0.0459, 0.0, -0.0218, -0.0551, -0.1209, -0.1166, -0.2038, -0.1641, -0.0899, -0.0939, -0.0939, -0.0654, -0.0658, 0.0063, 0.0429, 0.0406, 0.0554, 0.1521, 0.1288, 0.1313, 0.1259, 0.1095, 0.1118, 0.2061, 0.1918, 0.229, 0.2978, 0.2477, 0.2827, 0.2795, 0.3415, 0.4262, 0.5839, 0.6492, 0.5999, 0.8477, 0.9678, 0.8966, 0.9883, 0.92, 0.7929, 0.6862, 0.7288, 0.811, 0.8855, 0.8581, 0.8581, 1.2165, 1.297, 1.2849, 1.4024, 1.4024, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2026169893289345285", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-24T05:38:41+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AXTI is my favorite just because of their strategic value to the photonics supply chains", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Ranks US photonics picks: AXTI top for supply-chain value, LITE undervalued on 2-year view, COHR #3, AAOI #4 moonshot on Maia/Trainium hyperscaler ramp.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AXTI is my favorite just because of their strategic value to the photonics supply chains.\n\nOtherwise $LITE is runner up, and largely undervalued if you fast forward two years. But as of now it looks a little overextended.\n\nProb $COHR #3 and $AAOI #4 as another moonshot with hyperscaler qualifications just for Maia and Trainium ramp.\n\nThat being said don’t personally like high allocations in smaller stocks like $AXTI, highest might be in $COHR despite it being #3", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit If you had to start a new position in photonics in US - which would you pick? Multiple? What % allocation in your portfolio", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "crypticTooth", "ret_m1d": -0.18956673827741854, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.18956673827741854, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1823507345306028, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1745843956769082, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007216003746815747, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014982342600510345, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.16790191226370732, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.16790191226370732, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.159463563320126, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.1512018456093449, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008438348943581309, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01670006665436241, "ret_p1w": 0.19042178283368916, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.19042178283368916, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.20063479393612382, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2574606363932178, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.010213011102434666, "bench_c_p1w": -0.06703885355952865, "ret_p1m": 0.9198972337139186, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.9198972337139186, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.9617044133892243, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.9679457461494531, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04180717967530567, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04804851243553443, "ret_p3m": 3.0145380410551876, "ret_signed_p3m": 3.0145380410551876, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.9267713764958083, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.6395976786898934, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08776666455937954, "bench_c_p3m": 0.37494036236529427, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7021, -0.695, -0.6924, -0.6648, -0.6727, -0.6551, -0.6699, -0.6377, -0.5735, -0.5579, -0.5331, -0.5778, -0.5773, -0.6294, -0.6477, -0.6006, -0.5824, -0.5661, -0.5827, -0.5721, -0.5721, -0.5619, -0.5841, -0.5496, -0.5339, -0.5339, -0.5222, -0.5248, -0.425, -0.3127, -0.2637, -0.3446, -0.366, -0.3868, -0.37, -0.2668, -0.3703, -0.3703, -0.3897, -0.4361, -0.4892, -0.504, -0.4926, -0.5097, -0.5202, -0.5331, -0.4715, -0.4031, -0.4373, -0.4655, -0.4176, -0.3141, -0.2084, -0.3059, -0.236, -0.2933, -0.309, -0.309, -0.3384, -0.329, -0.3213, -0.1539, -0.1896, 0.0, 0.1679, 0.0582, 0.0804, 0.3204, 0.1904, 0.1155, 0.106, -0.0773, 0.0992, 0.2628, 0.3501, 0.3321, 0.3928, 0.3794, 0.2645, 0.39, 0.6559, 0.5462, 0.8369, 0.951, 0.9199, 0.6679, 0.7283, 0.5031, 0.6243, 0.3438, 0.5063, 0.5063, 0.197, 0.2959, 0.516, 0.7993, 0.8295, 0.8942, 0.9185, 0.7939, 1.3312, 1.3535, 1.2452, 1.1371, 1.4783, 1.1457, 1.171, 0.9997, 0.9587, 1.0259, 1.2583, 1.7366, 2.0217, 2.0658, 1.9883, 2.0906, 2.317, 2.5864, 2.5034, 2.4761, 2.2777, 2.5285, 2.0182, 2.2178, 1.982, 2.4498, 3.0145, 3.0145, 2.7799, 2.4997, 2.2982, 1.9407, 1.9407, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2026169893289345285", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-24T05:38:41+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LITE is runner up, and largely undervalued if you fast forward two years", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Ranks US photonics picks: AXTI top for supply-chain value, LITE undervalued on 2-year view, COHR #3, AAOI #4 moonshot on Maia/Trainium hyperscaler ramp.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AXTI is my favorite just because of their strategic value to the photonics supply chains.\n\nOtherwise $LITE is runner up, and largely undervalued if you fast forward two years. But as of now it looks a little overextended.\n\nProb $COHR #3 and $AAOI #4 as another moonshot with hyperscaler qualifications just for Maia and Trainium ramp.\n\nThat being said don’t personally like high allocations in smaller stocks like $AXTI, highest might be in $COHR despite it being #3", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit If you had to start a new position in photonics in US - which would you pick? Multiple? What % allocation in your portfolio", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "crypticTooth", "ret_m1d": -0.01967256843719778, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01967256843719778, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012456564690382033, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012456564690382033, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007216003746815747, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007216003746815747, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05102647815621286, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05102647815621286, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.042588129212631554, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.042588129212631554, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008438348943581309, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008438348943581309, "ret_p1w": 0.00894993675407596, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.00894993675407596, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.019162947856510626, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.019162947856510626, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.010213011102434666, "bench_c_p1w": -0.010213011102434666, "ret_p1m": 0.12916436987833935, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12916436987833935, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.17097154955364502, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.17097154955364502, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04180717967530567, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04180717967530567, "ret_p3m": 0.3757682269219773, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3757682269219773, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2880015623625978, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2880015623625978, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08776666455937954, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08776666455937954, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5521, -0.5276, -0.5381, -0.56, -0.5598, -0.5237, -0.5185, -0.5023, -0.4765, -0.4682, -0.4594, -0.5287, -0.5137, -0.5407, -0.5347, -0.5102, -0.4603, -0.4335, -0.4371, -0.4248, -0.4248, -0.4322, -0.4586, -0.4607, -0.4645, -0.4645, -0.439, -0.4812, -0.4226, -0.4292, -0.494, -0.4894, -0.5062, -0.475, -0.5182, -0.5013, -0.5289, -0.5289, -0.4816, -0.4734, -0.485, -0.5072, -0.517, -0.4615, -0.4406, -0.4458, -0.4307, -0.3848, -0.3678, -0.3236, -0.2671, -0.198, -0.1614, -0.1847, -0.1659, -0.1523, -0.1824, -0.1824, -0.1276, -0.1366, -0.0765, -0.0298, -0.0197, 0.0, 0.051, -0.0164, 0.0184, 0.138, 0.0089, -0.0109, -0.0544, -0.1886, -0.0691, -0.0236, -0.0236, -0.1049, -0.0956, -0.0922, -0.0562, 0.0182, 0.1218, 0.0263, 0.0591, 0.1652, 0.1292, 0.0008, 0.021, -0.0486, 0.0211, 0.111, 0.2014, 0.2014, 0.1221, 0.1852, 0.3018, 0.2991, 0.3037, 0.2658, 0.239, 0.1972, 0.2949, 0.299, 0.3005, 0.216, 0.2693, 0.2305, 0.281, 0.249, 0.1498, 0.2471, 0.311, 0.3802, 0.4183, 0.445, 0.372, 0.2968, 0.3131, 0.5301, 0.4418, 0.497, 0.4555, 0.4103, 0.2858, 0.2932, 0.2612, 0.4013, 0.3758, 0.3758, 0.3233, 0.311, 0.2504, 0.2422, 0.2422, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2026169893289345285", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-24T05:38:41+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Prob $COHR #3", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Ranks US photonics picks: AXTI top for supply-chain value, LITE undervalued on 2-year view, COHR #3, AAOI #4 moonshot on Maia/Trainium hyperscaler ramp.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AXTI is my favorite just because of their strategic value to the photonics supply chains.\n\nOtherwise $LITE is runner up, and largely undervalued if you fast forward two years. But as of now it looks a little overextended.\n\nProb $COHR #3 and $AAOI #4 as another moonshot with hyperscaler qualifications just for Maia and Trainium ramp.\n\nThat being said don’t personally like high allocations in smaller stocks like $AXTI, highest might be in $COHR despite it being #3", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit If you had to start a new position in photonics in US - which would you pick? Multiple? What % allocation in your portfolio", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "crypticTooth", "ret_m1d": -0.023424630018072157, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.023424630018072157, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01620862627125641, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01620862627125641, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007216003746815747, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007216003746815747, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05116531921409395, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05116531921409395, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04272697027051264, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04272697027051264, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008438348943581309, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008438348943581309, "ret_p1w": 0.10182059517419684, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10182059517419684, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1120336062766315, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1120336062766315, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.010213011102434666, "bench_c_p1w": -0.010213011102434666, "ret_p1m": 0.06740958916042827, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06740958916042827, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10921676883573395, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10921676883573395, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04180717967530567, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04180717967530567, "ret_p3m": 0.4814800534410857, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4814800534410857, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.39371338888170615, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.39371338888170615, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08776666455937954, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08776666455937954, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3957, -0.3555, -0.3585, -0.353, -0.3292, -0.3041, -0.2867, -0.2707, -0.2438, -0.2253, -0.2211, -0.3002, -0.2998, -0.3126, -0.3312, -0.3106, -0.2709, -0.2506, -0.2472, -0.2491, -0.2491, -0.2477, -0.2583, -0.267, -0.2758, -0.2758, -0.2375, -0.2688, -0.2384, -0.2481, -0.3206, -0.3013, -0.2734, -0.2544, -0.2776, -0.2311, -0.2504, -0.2504, -0.2409, -0.2095, -0.2046, -0.2273, -0.224, -0.1603, -0.1323, -0.153, -0.1675, -0.1272, -0.1008, -0.1721, -0.179, -0.1066, -0.0487, -0.1039, -0.1223, -0.1521, -0.1476, -0.1476, -0.1369, -0.1215, -0.0878, -0.0262, -0.0234, 0.0, 0.0512, -0.0185, 0.016, 0.1728, 0.1018, 0.0785, -0.0039, -0.0751, -0.01, 0.0227, -0.0135, -0.0533, -0.0475, -0.0294, -0.0355, 0.0092, 0.0813, -0.0048, 0.0007, 0.0685, 0.0674, -0.0454, -0.0447, -0.1382, -0.0653, -0.0277, 0.0129, 0.0129, -0.0064, 0.0009, 0.1057, 0.115, 0.2065, 0.2082, 0.2298, 0.2093, 0.287, 0.3538, 0.3635, 0.3489, 0.3751, 0.325, 0.3187, 0.2616, 0.1927, 0.1965, 0.2545, 0.2929, 0.2944, 0.3173, 0.3524, 0.2524, 0.3155, 0.4898, 0.4675, 0.584, 0.5889, 0.5006, 0.4236, 0.3875, 0.4067, 0.4832, 0.4815, 0.4815, 0.4963, 0.4917, 0.479, 0.4183, 0.4183, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2026169893289345285", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-02-24T05:38:41+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI #4 as another moonshot with hyperscaler qualifications just for Maia and Trainium ramp", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Ranks US photonics picks: AXTI top for supply-chain value, LITE undervalued on 2-year view, COHR #3, AAOI #4 moonshot on Maia/Trainium hyperscaler ramp.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AXTI is my favorite just because of their strategic value to the photonics supply chains.\n\nOtherwise $LITE is runner up, and largely undervalued if you fast forward two years. But as of now it looks a little overextended.\n\nProb $COHR #3 and $AAOI #4 as another moonshot with hyperscaler qualifications just for Maia and Trainium ramp.\n\nThat being said don’t personally like high allocations in smaller stocks like $AXTI, highest might be in $COHR despite it being #3", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit If you had to start a new position in photonics in US - which would you pick? Multiple? What % allocation in your portfolio", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "crypticTooth", "ret_m1d": -0.04105209444639879, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04105209444639879, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.033836090699583043, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.033836090699583043, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007216003746815747, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007216003746815747, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03287717183350125, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03287717183350125, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.024438822889919942, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.024438822889919942, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008438348943581309, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008438348943581309, "ret_p1w": 0.6943308257026395, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.6943308257026395, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.7045438368050742, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.7045438368050742, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.010213011102434666, "bench_c_p1w": -0.010213011102434666, "ret_p1m": 1.0332326769392095, "ret_signed_p1m": 1.0332326769392095, "alpha_spy_p1m": 1.0750398566145152, "alpha_c_p1m": 1.0750398566145152, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04180717967530567, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04180717967530567, "ret_p3m": 2.2253421719694257, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.2253421719694257, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.1375755074100464, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.1375755074100464, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08776666455937954, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08776666455937954, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5456, -0.5241, -0.5285, -0.5376, -0.5442, -0.5337, -0.5275, -0.5052, -0.4601, -0.3784, -0.3545, -0.4302, -0.4686, -0.4853, -0.5177, -0.4802, -0.4434, -0.3052, -0.2778, -0.2714, -0.2714, -0.3394, -0.3469, -0.3599, -0.3805, -0.3805, -0.2963, -0.3782, -0.3138, -0.3237, -0.4134, -0.3951, -0.4007, -0.3926, -0.3874, -0.3425, -0.3417, -0.3417, -0.3023, -0.3179, -0.322, -0.3652, -0.38, -0.3355, -0.1962, -0.2968, -0.225, -0.2152, -0.1804, -0.2909, -0.3224, -0.2127, -0.1486, -0.1383, -0.1399, -0.2182, -0.2099, -0.2099, -0.2197, -0.228, -0.1651, -0.0816, -0.0411, 0.0, 0.0329, -0.0459, 0.4969, 0.8218, 0.6943, 0.772, 0.7974, 0.6986, 0.9659, 1.1413, 1.2572, 0.8872, 0.7205, 0.6718, 0.5342, 0.6462, 0.8113, 0.5557, 0.7018, 1.0242, 1.0332, 0.7313, 0.7453, 0.514, 0.5033, 0.5346, 0.8466, 0.8466, 0.9095, 1.0906, 1.3583, 1.3689, 1.6764, 1.7224, 1.6016, 1.5333, 1.7958, 1.8331, 1.9051, 1.6758, 1.6554, 1.4477, 1.882, 1.5907, 1.4393, 1.716, 1.9209, 2.2612, 2.0741, 2.209, 2.1729, 1.7999, 1.6469, 2.2859, 2.346, 2.9648, 2.6177, 2.383, 2.0791, 2.0448, 1.9369, 2.1422, 2.2253, 2.2253, 2.1566, 2.1958, 2.0037, 1.8152, 1.8152, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2026594433207259237", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-25T09:45:39+00:00", "symbol": "CRDO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I swing trade them and think they're still great longs", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still long both CRDO and ALAB as swing trades in photonics/CPO, though CRDO has lost de-facto leadership premium.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRDO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Lot of my copper longs last year like $CRDO and $ALAB ended up becoming pure play photonics/cpo positions this year.\n\nI swing trade them and think they’re still great longs but stocks like $CRDO lose that de-facto leadership status that gives them premiums as you see with $LITE now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Do you still like $ALAB as a long?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "KevInvestingYT", "ret_m1d": -0.021302424047634272, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.021302424047634272, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012934685005955404, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004876668604028356, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008367739041678868, "bench_c_m1d": -0.016425755443605916, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07273607479451583, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07273607479451583, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06718159840289473, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03953259775563467, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005554476391621099, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03320347703888116, "ret_p1w": -0.1694475807879411, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1694475807879411, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.15787710883227235, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10595030904479341, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011570471955668737, "bench_c_p1w": -0.06349727174314768, "ret_p1m": -0.21885628416843772, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.21885628416843772, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15206226634692832, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11251123316700273, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0667940178215094, "bench_c_p1m": -0.10634505100143499, "ret_p3m": 0.7690750468309246, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7690750468309246, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.6904105298588152, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.41671911860738553, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07866451697210941, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3523559282235391, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.4385, 0.3861, 0.5263, 0.5324, 0.4654, 0.4259, 0.4494, 0.3793, 0.2796, 0.2512, 0.1656, 0.1503, 0.1367, 0.0864, 0.1224, 0.216, 0.2145, 0.1972, 0.2165, 0.2165, 0.1731, 0.172, 0.1738, 0.1655, 0.1655, 0.1601, 0.1359, 0.0769, 0.1421, 0.1468, 0.2184, 0.2641, 0.3071, 0.2704, 0.2078, 0.2228, 0.2228, 0.241, 0.1272, 0.0943, 0.0786, 0.0369, 0.0495, 0.0502, 0.0487, 0.0147, -0.0283, -0.0984, -0.2147, -0.2057, -0.0977, -0.0004, 0.0912, 0.04, -0.0136, -0.0164, -0.0164, 0.0109, 0.036, 0.0583, 0.0049, 0.0048, -0.0213, 0.0, -0.0727, -0.0906, -0.0748, -0.2119, -0.1694, -0.0706, -0.1104, -0.0606, -0.0902, -0.0612, -0.0963, -0.0467, -0.0533, -0.1571, -0.1761, -0.1326, -0.1625, -0.1487, -0.1876, -0.1584, -0.2189, -0.2286, -0.2888, -0.2397, -0.2231, -0.1783, -0.1783, -0.1701, -0.135, -0.1073, -0.1258, -0.0313, 0.0883, 0.2921, 0.3636, 0.2873, 0.3016, 0.4137, 0.4849, 0.5348, 0.5028, 0.5798, 0.462, 0.3439, 0.4237, 0.4094, 0.4934, 0.4584, 0.5679, 0.6061, 0.5251, 0.5269, 0.7027, 0.6084, 0.5338, 0.4947, 0.3945, 0.2658, 0.3688, 0.4821, 0.5664, 0.7691, 0.7691, 0.7952, 0.7919, 0.801, 0.9118, 0.9118, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2026594433207259237", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-25T09:45:39+00:00", "symbol": "ALAB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I swing trade them and think they're still great longs", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still long both CRDO and ALAB as swing trades in photonics/CPO, though CRDO has lost de-facto leadership premium.", "resolved_tickers": ["ALAB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Lot of my copper longs last year like $CRDO and $ALAB ended up becoming pure play photonics/cpo positions this year.\n\nI swing trade them and think they’re still great longs but stocks like $CRDO lose that de-facto leadership status that gives them premiums as you see with $LITE now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Do you still like $ALAB as a long?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "KevInvestingYT", "ret_m1d": 0.0019508389536244675, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0019508389536244675, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010318577995303335, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.018376594397230384, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008367739041678868, "bench_c_m1d": -0.016425755443605916, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.027155644894919728, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.027155644894919728, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02160116850329863, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006047832143961429, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005554476391621099, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03320347703888116, "ret_p1w": -0.11221223517992274, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11221223517992274, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.100641763224254, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04871496343677506, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011570471955668737, "bench_c_p1w": -0.06349727174314768, "ret_p1m": -0.11349973649862033, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11349973649862033, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04670571867711093, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.007154685497185342, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0667940178215094, "bench_c_p1m": -0.10634505100143499, "ret_p3m": 1.3946938704554346, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.3946938704554346, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.3160293534833252, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.0423379422318955, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07866451697210941, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3523559282235391, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2296, 0.289, 0.1154, 0.19, 0.1901, 0.2581, 0.3714, 0.3038, 0.2822, 0.3554, 0.1615, 0.121, 0.131, 0.0943, 0.1384, 0.2829, 0.347, 0.3174, 0.3263, 0.3263, 0.3052, 0.3274, 0.3331, 0.2982, 0.2982, 0.4012, 0.304, 0.2564, 0.2936, 0.223, 0.2689, 0.3466, 0.409, 0.3433, 0.3613, 0.4202, 0.4202, 0.4339, 0.3734, 0.3761, 0.3239, 0.2739, 0.3338, 0.3102, 0.2521, 0.1753, 0.1895, 0.237, 0.1289, 0.1145, 0.3254, 0.4645, 0.4269, 0.1214, -0.0123, 0.0091, 0.0091, -0.0348, 0.0112, 0.0349, 0.0119, 0.0007, 0.002, 0.0, -0.0272, -0.0727, -0.0593, -0.1432, -0.1122, -0.0636, -0.0698, -0.0456, -0.0911, -0.0268, -0.0644, -0.0612, -0.0052, -0.0045, -0.0141, -0.0155, -0.0945, -0.0334, -0.0499, -0.061, -0.1135, -0.1224, -0.2176, -0.1448, -0.1703, -0.0859, -0.0859, -0.0793, -0.0715, -0.021, 0.0102, 0.1631, 0.3016, 0.3313, 0.3429, 0.3329, 0.3582, 0.3718, 0.498, 0.5143, 0.5415, 0.6609, 0.5345, 0.4304, 0.5361, 0.5196, 0.5816, 0.5704, 0.6831, 0.6692, 0.5267, 0.559, 0.618, 0.5952, 0.7487, 0.7842, 0.8157, 0.6822, 0.906, 1.2433, 1.3242, 1.3947, 1.3947, 1.4871, 1.5387, 1.7247, 1.6754, 1.6754, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2032581623275991301", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-13T22:16:37+00:00", "symbol": "000660.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": "NAND/DRAM", "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Now it's more of a directional long on memory from SK Hynix", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Staying long Korean memory (SK Hynix, Samsung, EWY) on 100%+ NAND/DRAM price hikes; macro fears overblown, operational income to beat expectations.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "IV $EWY trade was successful. Volatility of the Korean Index went from 32% IV -> 46-48%. \n\nNow it's more of a directional long on memory from SK Hynix/Sasmung. \n\nNAND prices hiked up 100%+ Q1 and Samsung reportedly jacked up 100%+ again Q2. DRAM prices also hiked way past expectations.\n\nHelium/Oil/LNG fears are overblown currently so I'm staying long on Korean memory sector.  \n\nOperational income should blow away any macro fears.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What is the status of the EWY Trade?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Patrick84121851", "ret_m1d": 0.02197798725418787, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02197798725418787, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.016285658549396675, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02721360157468722, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005692328704791194, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005235614320499349, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07032961416764305, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07032961416764305, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06015274805615989, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0017606352696162286, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010176866111483163, "bench_c_p1d": 0.07209024943725928, "ret_p1w": 0.1065933686991356, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1065933686991356, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12463492448218261, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09346411188573, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.018041555783047003, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013129256813405599, "ret_p1m": 0.14285712323062794, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14285712323062794, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10407694993336869, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.005281658134078215, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.038780173297259246, "bench_c_p1m": 0.13757546509654972, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4187, -0.3956, -0.3945, -0.4, -0.3638, -0.3594, -0.355, -0.355, -0.343, -0.298, -0.2859, -0.2859, -0.2859, -0.2574, -0.2366, -0.2037, -0.1861, -0.1708, -0.1839, -0.1784, -0.1905, -0.1861, -0.1784, -0.1708, -0.162, -0.185, -0.1883, -0.1719, -0.1587, -0.1927, -0.1225, -0.0775, -0.0556, -0.0029, -0.0896, -0.0051, -0.0128, -0.0764, -0.0797, -0.0271, -0.0391, -0.0567, -0.026, -0.0347, -0.0347, -0.0347, -0.0347, -0.0194, 0.0409, 0.0431, 0.1024, 0.1166, 0.2077, 0.1659, 0.1659, 0.0319, -0.067, 0.0341, 0.0154, -0.0813, 0.0308, 0.0495, 0.022, 0.0, 0.0703, 0.0659, 0.1604, 0.1132, 0.1066, 0.0253, 0.0835, 0.0934, 0.0253, 0.0253, -0.0407, -0.1132, -0.0143, -0.0879, -0.0374, -0.0264, 0.0066, 0.1352, 0.0967, 0.1286, 0.1429, 0.2121, 0.2484, 0.2692, 0.2396, 0.2813, 0.3451, 0.344, 0.3462, 0.3429, 0.4198, 0.4286, 0.4209, 0.4132, 0.4132, 0.5901, 0.5901, 0.7593, 0.8176, 0.8527, 1.0659, 1.0165, 1.1714, 1.1648, 0.9989, 1.022, 0.9176, 0.9176, 1.1319, 1.133, 1.133, 1.2549, 1.4648, 1.5158, 1.5642, 1.6175, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2032581623275991301", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-13T22:16:37+00:00", "symbol": "005930.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": "NAND/DRAM", "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Now it's more of a directional long on memory from SK Hynix/Sasmung", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Staying long Korean memory (SK Hynix, Samsung, EWY) on 100%+ NAND/DRAM price hikes; macro fears overblown, operational income to beat expectations.", "resolved_tickers": ["005930.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "IV $EWY trade was successful. Volatility of the Korean Index went from 32% IV -> 46-48%. \n\nNow it's more of a directional long on memory from SK Hynix/Sasmung. \n\nNAND prices hiked up 100%+ Q1 and Samsung reportedly jacked up 100%+ again Q2. DRAM prices also hiked way past expectations.\n\nHelium/Oil/LNG fears are overblown currently so I'm staying long on Korean memory sector.  \n\nOperational income should blow away any macro fears.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What is the status of the EWY Trade?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Patrick84121851", "ret_m1d": 0.023978258224455873, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.023978258224455873, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01828592951966468, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01637600890927482, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005692328704791194, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007602249315181053, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.028337910510316755, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.028337910510316755, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.018161044398833592, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.013864242757827272, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010176866111483163, "bench_c_p1d": 0.014473667752489483, "ret_p1w": 0.08664849448050993, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08664849448050993, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10469005026355693, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09768656469388037, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.018041555783047003, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011038070213370443, "ret_p1m": 0.09763508445834379, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09763508445834379, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.058854911161084544, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03191111963829085, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.038780173297259246, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06572396482005294, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4425, -0.4148, -0.4165, -0.4235, -0.4007, -0.3953, -0.3975, -0.3975, -0.3655, -0.3488, -0.3466, -0.3466, -0.3466, -0.2997, -0.2474, -0.2431, -0.2316, -0.2436, -0.2425, -0.2436, -0.2501, -0.2354, -0.2158, -0.1886, -0.1864, -0.2087, -0.1853, -0.17, -0.1711, -0.1711, -0.1308, -0.115, -0.1243, -0.1253, -0.1804, -0.0872, -0.0785, -0.1319, -0.1357, -0.0932, -0.0965, -0.0856, -0.0267, -0.0125, -0.0125, -0.0125, -0.0125, 0.0354, 0.036, 0.0518, 0.0899, 0.109, 0.188, 0.1798, 0.1798, 0.0632, -0.0616, 0.0441, 0.0256, -0.0545, 0.024, 0.0354, 0.024, 0.0, 0.0283, 0.0567, 0.1362, 0.0926, 0.0866, 0.0153, 0.0338, 0.03, -0.0185, -0.0185, -0.0372, -0.0869, 0.0357, -0.0258, 0.0168, 0.0545, 0.0731, 0.1495, 0.114, 0.1249, 0.0976, 0.1277, 0.1522, 0.1877, 0.1795, 0.1714, 0.1959, 0.1877, 0.226, 0.1987, 0.226, 0.2123, 0.2342, 0.2041, 0.2041, 0.2697, 0.2697, 0.4526, 0.4826, 0.4662, 0.5591, 0.5236, 0.5509, 0.6164, 0.4772, 0.5345, 0.5045, 0.5072, 0.6355, 0.5973, 0.5973, 0.6328, 0.6765, 0.6355, 0.7311, 0.8922, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2032581623275991301", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-13T22:16:37+00:00", "symbol": "EWY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm staying long on Korean memory sector", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Staying long Korean memory (SK Hynix, Samsung, EWY) on 100%+ NAND/DRAM price hikes; macro fears overblown, operational income to beat expectations.", "resolved_tickers": ["EWY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "IV $EWY trade was successful. Volatility of the Korean Index went from 32% IV -> 46-48%. \n\nNow it's more of a directional long on memory from SK Hynix/Sasmung. \n\nNAND prices hiked up 100%+ Q1 and Samsung reportedly jacked up 100%+ again Q2. DRAM prices also hiked way past expectations.\n\nHelium/Oil/LNG fears are overblown currently so I'm staying long on Korean memory sector.  \n\nOperational income should blow away any macro fears.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What is the status of the EWY Trade?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Patrick84121851", "ret_m1d": -0.005235614320499349, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005235614320499349, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010927943025290543, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010927943025290543, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005692328704791194, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005692328704791194, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07209024943725928, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07209024943725928, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06191338332577612, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06191338332577612, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010176866111483163, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010176866111483163, "ret_p1w": 0.013129256813405599, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.013129256813405599, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0311708125964526, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0311708125964526, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.018041555783047003, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018041555783047003, "ret_p1m": 0.13757546509654972, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13757546509654972, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09879529179929047, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09879529179929047, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.038780173297259246, "bench_c_p1m": 0.038780173297259246, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2789, -0.2865, -0.2745, -0.2643, -0.261, -0.2533, -0.238, -0.238, -0.228, -0.2048, -0.2056, -0.2169, -0.2169, -0.1766, -0.1556, -0.1332, -0.1379, -0.1414, -0.1229, -0.1226, -0.1338, -0.1169, -0.1055, -0.0961, -0.0961, -0.1062, -0.0684, -0.0657, -0.0498, -0.055, -0.0117, 0.0114, 0.0028, -0.014, -0.0259, 0.0014, -0.0313, -0.0317, 0.0045, 0.0153, 0.0024, 0.052, 0.0536, 0.0791, 0.0791, 0.0526, 0.0707, 0.0891, 0.1428, 0.122, 0.1643, 0.1993, 0.2115, 0.2193, 0.1884, 0.066, 0.0823, 0.0128, 0.0208, 0.0785, 0.0495, 0.0701, -0.0052, 0.0, 0.0721, 0.0828, 0.0623, 0.0859, 0.0131, 0.0778, 0.0371, 0.0289, -0.0335, -0.0255, -0.0622, -0.0092, 0.0167, -0.0103, -0.0103, 0.0144, 0.0245, 0.1282, 0.1219, 0.1174, 0.1376, 0.1815, 0.1673, 0.1878, 0.227, 0.2089, 0.1824, 0.2549, 0.213, 0.245, 0.2624, 0.2434, 0.2401, 0.2949, 0.3049, 0.3177, 0.3973, 0.4658, 0.4237, 0.532, 0.5534, 0.4378, 0.5194, 0.5346, 0.4407, 0.4184, 0.4017, 0.4507, 0.5016, 0.4662, 0.4662, 0.6162, 0.5972, 0.6626, 0.6579, 0.6579, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2024853251284488498", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-20T14:26:49+00:00", "symbol": "EWY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$EWY calls likely benefit from vega expansion as MMs aren't pricing in IV and unrealized volatility correctly", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long EWY calls: MMs underpricing IV at ~41% vs peers; upcoming leveraged ETFs + DeFi derivatives will expand volatility, benefiting vega.", "resolved_tickers": ["EWY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$EWY looks like it's about to get more volatile.\n\nMarket makers might not be pricing in leap option IV correctly as IV may expand past 55%. \n\nTwo reasons due to unrealized (but upcoming) volatility. \n\n- 10X leveraged Samsung / Sk Hynix through Defi are here as they begin ramp-up.\n\nThis creates a great amount of unrealized volatility from liquidations and hedging on futures like $EWY if this ends up becoming large. \n\n$EWY is half Sk Hynix / Samsung, and the South Korean index is already really volatile. \n\n- 2x leveraged single-stock ETFs for Samsung and SK Hynix are coming\n\nIn January 2026, South Korean regulators officially announced they will permit domestic 2x leveraged single-stock ETFs.\n\nAgain, this just adds to unrealized volatility. \n\nBut as it stands right now regarding option IV pricing.  $EWY moves pretty extreme amounts. \n\nIf I had to give a comparison, it definitely moves in greater % ranges than $MRVL, which sits at 55-56% IV (while $EWY is 41% still).\n\nSamsung's equivalent is probably $MU (70%-ish), Sk Hynix is closer to $SNDK (91%) but likely in 70-80% range. \n\nAnd... South Korea's index is basically just Sk Hynix and Samsung.\n\nThis volatility would likely be the new norm as Samsung/SK Hynix begin their re-rating from the memory supercycle. But MMs are still probably using garchr models or volatility forecasting projections against long-term averages (where index was completely flat)\n\nAnd the amount of leveraged derivatives from 10x will just create more hedging/volatility on these individual stocks from counterparties and market makers -> that gets priced in late to $EWY. \n\nTLDR: $EWY calls likely benefit from vega expansion as MMs aren't pricing in IV and unrealized volatility correctly.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Trade idea that I published to my shower thoughts channel: \n\nKorean Index volatility arbitrage and taking advantage of Black-Scholes models. \n\n$EWY long options seem mispriced.\n\nThis is Blackrock's Korea Index, which is majority memory (Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix).\n\nThe stock https://t.co/mz3gYCiopH", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04701154454043388, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04701154454043388, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03983160430683841, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03983160430683841, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007179940233595472, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007179940233595472, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.018184393447023606, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.018184393447023606, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007973078736148942, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007973078736148942, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010211314710874664, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010211314710874664, "ret_p1w": 0.06688743944020414, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06688743944020414, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07187711662829455, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07187711662829455, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004989677188090402, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004989677188090402, "ret_p1m": -0.05687910238573979, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05687910238573979, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.010086586510926643, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.010086586510926643, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.046792515874813145, "bench_c_p1m": -0.046792515874813145, "ret_p3m": 0.2694530195365836, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2694530195365836, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.19135322652545184, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.19135322652545184, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07809979301113179, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07809979301113179, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.381, -0.3689, -0.3689, -0.3736, -0.3753, -0.3653, -0.3589, -0.3667, -0.35, -0.3446, -0.3412, -0.3331, -0.3454, -0.3612, -0.3608, -0.369, -0.3757, -0.3652, -0.3562, -0.3533, -0.3466, -0.3332, -0.3332, -0.3245, -0.3042, -0.3049, -0.3148, -0.3148, -0.2795, -0.2611, -0.2415, -0.2456, -0.2487, -0.2325, -0.2322, -0.242, -0.2272, -0.2173, -0.209, -0.209, -0.2179, -0.1848, -0.1825, -0.1685, -0.1731, -0.1352, -0.115, -0.1225, -0.1372, -0.1477, -0.1238, -0.1524, -0.1527, -0.121, -0.1116, -0.1229, -0.0795, -0.0781, -0.0558, -0.0558, -0.0789, -0.0631, -0.047, 0.0, -0.0182, 0.0188, 0.0494, 0.0601, 0.0669, 0.0399, -0.0672, -0.0529, -0.1138, -0.1068, -0.0563, -0.0816, -0.0636, -0.1295, -0.125, -0.0619, -0.0525, -0.0705, -0.0498, -0.1135, -0.0569, -0.0925, -0.0997, -0.1543, -0.1473, -0.1794, -0.133, -0.1104, -0.134, -0.134, -0.1123, -0.1035, -0.0128, -0.0183, -0.0222, -0.0046, 0.0338, 0.0214, 0.0394, 0.0737, 0.0579, 0.0346, 0.0981, 0.0614, 0.0894, 0.1047, 0.088, 0.0851, 0.1331, 0.1418, 0.153, 0.2227, 0.2826, 0.2458, 0.3406, 0.3592, 0.2581, 0.3295, 0.3428, 0.2606, 0.2412, 0.2265, 0.2695, 0.3139, 0.283, 0.283, 0.4142, 0.3976, 0.4548, 0.4507, 0.4507, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2032211057717158292", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-12T21:44:07+00:00", "symbol": "RDDT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$RDDT is one of my core longs around $137", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds RDDT as a core long position around $137 cost basis.", "resolved_tickers": ["RDDT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@RB1Patrick Yes $RDDT is one of my core longs around $137. \n\nI’m just upset it went below my cost average.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Are you long?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "RB1Patrick", "ret_m1d": 0.03682415967627595, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03682415967627595, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.021405072760483757, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.021815935241261464, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01541908691579219, "bench_c_m1d": 0.015008224435014483, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0008317626491611829, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0008317626491611829, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006491872150167555, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.007945485606845049, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005660109501006372, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007113722957683866, "ret_p1w": 0.04438559634924388, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04438559634924388, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05378410347112794, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06286393278304947, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009398507121884059, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018478336433805587, "ret_p1m": 0.05655951400785675, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05655951400785675, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03365517830278275, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06485632325375112, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022904335705073997, "bench_c_p1m": -0.008296809245894377, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.6522, 0.6938, 0.719, 0.7493, 0.7633, 0.7629, 0.7075, 0.7078, 0.7078, 0.7071, 0.7743, 0.7645, 0.7381, 0.7381, 0.829, 0.8454, 0.9192, 0.9319, 0.9202, 0.8492, 0.8451, 0.9579, 0.9084, 0.7297, 0.7468, 0.7468, 0.704, 0.5889, 0.6222, 0.655, 0.6153, 0.4843, 0.4604, 0.4371, 0.3631, 0.3395, 0.2507, 0.1546, 0.1422, 0.0573, 0.0718, 0.1341, 0.0532, -0.0089, 0.056, 0.056, 0.0528, 0.115, 0.105, 0.1355, 0.0772, 0.0743, 0.1317, 0.1437, 0.1025, 0.1124, 0.1016, 0.1137, 0.0914, 0.054, 0.05, 0.0142, 0.0368, 0.0, 0.0008, 0.0586, 0.0913, 0.0797, 0.0444, 0.0575, 0.0659, 0.0293, 0.0558, -0.0377, -0.0787, -0.0614, 0.0181, 0.0297, 0.0284, 0.0284, 0.046, 0.0672, 0.0964, 0.0464, 0.0566, 0.1293, 0.1685, 0.1983, 0.2284, 0.2386, 0.2573, 0.1858, 0.2424, 0.1566, 0.1712, 0.2114, 0.1186, 0.1172, 0.1133, 0.2588, 0.2784, 0.2978, 0.2594, 0.2397, 0.1781, 0.2061, 0.152, 0.1654, 0.1819, 0.196, 0.2031, 0.1711, 0.1094, 0.1345, 0.0712, 0.0712, 0.0937, 0.1659, 0.268, 0.3308, 0.3308, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028789983432036438", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-03T11:09:59+00:00", "symbol": "000660.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I don't see a world where SK Hynix, Samsung don't pass on costs and hike memory costs more. Memory demand is also not on a downturn like 2022", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish SK Hynix and Samsung: both will pass on higher costs via memory price hikes and demand remains resilient vs 2022 downturn.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The main thing was that markets were pricing increased costs eg. crude, LNG, but they're probably missing that it would just get passed onto hyperscalers as they battle for allocation.\n\nBut of course it's multifaceted, with possible currency devaluation, profit taking, then deleveraging. \n\nBut in the end fundamentals regarding FCF, earnings, and others are what matters most. \n\nAnd I don't see a world where SK Hynix, Samsung don't pass on costs and hike memory costs more. Memory demand is also not on a downturn like 2022 for consumer/laptop segments.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Agreed. Think Iran's ability to continuously block Hormuz is overestimated in public media. The US + GCC would not tolerate that. They already destroyed most of the Iranian navy in the Gulf of Oman. Easy to police with drones, too, once air superiority has been reached (soon)", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "psyduckcapital", "ret_m1d": 0.12992547742274274, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.12992547742274274, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.12103275547869896, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.015069822527350896, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00889272194404378, "bench_c_m1d": 0.11485565489539185, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09584662984119818, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09584662984119818, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.10290193819428284, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.1111858986599299, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007055308353084655, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01533926881873171, "ret_p1w": -0.0010649411030385636, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0010649411030385636, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.003565251187129026, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.014349849153750482, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00463019229016759, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015414790256789046, "ret_p1m": -0.04472845832583294, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04472845832583294, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01047951878560105, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0015160277444395964, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03424893954023189, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04624448607027254, "ret_p3m": 1.4849735259249948, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.4849735259249948, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.370005950315088, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.9296613940920053, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11496757560990667, "bench_c_p3m": 0.5553121318329894, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4239, -0.4217, -0.3866, -0.3983, -0.376, -0.3994, -0.393, -0.4111, -0.4366, -0.4143, -0.4132, -0.4185, -0.3835, -0.3792, -0.375, -0.375, -0.3633, -0.3197, -0.308, -0.308, -0.308, -0.2803, -0.2602, -0.2283, -0.2113, -0.1964, -0.2091, -0.2038, -0.2155, -0.2113, -0.2038, -0.1964, -0.1879, -0.2102, -0.2134, -0.1974, -0.1847, -0.2176, -0.1496, -0.106, -0.0848, -0.0337, -0.1177, -0.0359, -0.0433, -0.105, -0.1081, -0.0571, -0.0688, -0.0858, -0.0561, -0.0646, -0.0646, -0.0646, -0.0646, -0.0497, 0.0088, 0.0109, 0.0683, 0.0821, 0.1704, 0.1299, 0.1299, 0.0, -0.0958, 0.0021, -0.016, -0.1097, -0.0011, 0.017, -0.0096, -0.0309, 0.0373, 0.033, 0.1246, 0.0788, 0.0724, -0.0064, 0.0501, 0.0596, -0.0064, -0.0064, -0.0703, -0.1406, -0.0447, -0.1161, -0.0671, -0.0564, -0.0245, 0.1001, 0.0628, 0.0937, 0.1076, 0.1747, 0.2098, 0.23, 0.2013, 0.2417, 0.3035, 0.3024, 0.3046, 0.3014, 0.3759, 0.3845, 0.377, 0.3695, 0.3695, 0.541, 0.541, 0.705, 0.7614, 0.7955, 1.0021, 0.9542, 1.1044, 1.098, 0.9372, 0.9595, 0.8584, 0.8584, 1.066, 1.0671, 1.0671, 1.1853, 1.3887, 1.4381, 1.485, 1.5366, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028789983432036438", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-03T11:09:59+00:00", "symbol": "005930.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I don't see a world where SK Hynix, Samsung don't pass on costs and hike memory costs more. Memory demand is also not on a downturn like 2022", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish SK Hynix and Samsung: both will pass on higher costs via memory price hikes and demand remains resilient vs 2022 downturn.", "resolved_tickers": ["005930.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The main thing was that markets were pricing increased costs eg. crude, LNG, but they're probably missing that it would just get passed onto hyperscalers as they battle for allocation.\n\nBut of course it's multifaceted, with possible currency devaluation, profit taking, then deleveraging. \n\nBut in the end fundamentals regarding FCF, earnings, and others are what matters most. \n\nAnd I don't see a world where SK Hynix, Samsung don't pass on costs and hike memory costs more. Memory demand is also not on a downturn like 2022 for consumer/laptop segments.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Agreed. Think Iran's ability to continuously block Hormuz is overestimated in public media. The US + GCC would not tolerate that. They already destroyed most of the Iranian navy in the Gulf of Oman. Easy to police with drones, too, once air superiority has been reached (soon)", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "psyduckcapital", "ret_m1d": 0.10968733550663545, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.10968733550663545, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.10079461356259167, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.09485101865809864, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00889272194404378, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014836316848536812, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.11737572377080441, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.11737572377080441, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.12443103212388906, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.1343938159729241, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007055308353084655, "bench_c_p1d": 0.017018092202119695, "ret_p1w": -0.03690413526337277, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03690413526337277, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03227394297320518, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.053340450334133704, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00463019229016759, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016436315070760932, "ret_p1m": -0.02592240876830343, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02592240876830343, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.008326530771928464, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.008305983897664349, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03424893954023189, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01761642487063908, "ret_p3m": 0.6281708221484199, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6281708221484199, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5132032465385132, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.23720714544139399, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11496757560990667, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3909636767070259, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4639, -0.4471, -0.4415, -0.4471, -0.4491, -0.4527, -0.4445, -0.4654, -0.4756, -0.4496, -0.4512, -0.4578, -0.4364, -0.4313, -0.4333, -0.4333, -0.4032, -0.3875, -0.3854, -0.3854, -0.3854, -0.3414, -0.2922, -0.2881, -0.2773, -0.2886, -0.2875, -0.2886, -0.2947, -0.2809, -0.2624, -0.2368, -0.2348, -0.2558, -0.2337, -0.2194, -0.2204, -0.2204, -0.1825, -0.1676, -0.1763, -0.1773, -0.2291, -0.1415, -0.1333, -0.1835, -0.1871, -0.1471, -0.1502, -0.1399, -0.0846, -0.0712, -0.0712, -0.0712, -0.0712, -0.0261, -0.0256, -0.0108, 0.0251, 0.0431, 0.1174, 0.1097, 0.1097, 0.0, -0.1174, -0.0179, -0.0354, -0.1107, -0.0369, -0.0261, -0.0369, -0.0595, -0.0328, -0.0062, 0.0687, 0.0277, 0.022, -0.0451, -0.0277, -0.0313, -0.0769, -0.0769, -0.0945, -0.1412, -0.0259, -0.0837, -0.0436, -0.0082, 0.0093, 0.0812, 0.0478, 0.0581, 0.0324, 0.0606, 0.0837, 0.1171, 0.1094, 0.1017, 0.1248, 0.1171, 0.1531, 0.1274, 0.1531, 0.1402, 0.1608, 0.1325, 0.1325, 0.1942, 0.1942, 0.3662, 0.3945, 0.3791, 0.4664, 0.433, 0.4587, 0.5203, 0.3893, 0.4433, 0.415, 0.4176, 0.5383, 0.5023, 0.5023, 0.5357, 0.5768, 0.5383, 0.6282, 0.7797, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2036544815010345138", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-24T20:44:55+00:00", "symbol": "ARM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ARM probably deserves to be a re-rated a tad higher if they're 5xing their revenue from a new product line", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "ARM deserves a higher valuation multiple on 5x revenue growth from a new product line.", "resolved_tickers": ["ARM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@mi20483980476 Not exactly. I'm just saying $ARM probably deserves to be a re-rated a tad higher if they're 5xing their revenue from a new product line.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Are you saying you’re bullish ARM", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mi20483980476", "ret_m1d": 0.014300478510445691, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.014300478510445691, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010932322364053615, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.022486218180242656, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008185739669796965, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.16382631528188685, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.16382631528188685, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.1582535563345009, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.15259949068700318, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011226824594883666, "ret_p1w": 0.12092465362742755, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12092465362742755, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12527256056296987, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14928320945818452, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02835855583075697, "ret_p1m": 0.4565056131107996, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4565056131107996, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.36766328795146275, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.24808677077412722, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2084188423366724, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1735, -0.1829, -0.1812, -0.1786, -0.1901, -0.1901, -0.1499, -0.1397, -0.144, -0.1429, -0.1621, -0.1717, -0.1765, -0.2009, -0.2221, -0.2212, -0.2162, -0.2162, -0.2059, -0.1559, -0.1168, -0.14, -0.1499, -0.1488, -0.1852, -0.1966, -0.2193, -0.2077, -0.2253, -0.2227, -0.1784, -0.0834, -0.0767, -0.0668, -0.0717, -0.0946, -0.0717, -0.0717, -0.0598, -0.0572, -0.0595, -0.0695, -0.0828, -0.0505, -0.0239, -0.0422, -0.0556, -0.0785, -0.0981, -0.0804, -0.1063, -0.1525, -0.1284, -0.1068, -0.1101, -0.147, -0.1423, -0.0983, -0.0567, -0.0489, -0.0381, -0.0193, 0.0143, 0.0, 0.1638, 0.147, 0.0679, 0.0148, 0.1209, 0.149, 0.1048, 0.1048, 0.1023, 0.0659, 0.1034, 0.1099, 0.1035, 0.1676, 0.1946, 0.1806, 0.2028, 0.2354, 0.2974, 0.3003, 0.4565, 0.5161, 0.7398, 0.5996, 0.4719, 0.4944, 0.5584, 0.5648, 0.5061, 0.5474, 0.7583, 0.5805, 0.5802, 0.5757, 0.5406, 0.6391, 0.6931, 0.5498, 0.594, 0.6535, 0.9023, 1.2098, 1.2711, 1.2711, 1.3801, 1.243, 1.4842, 1.6177, 1.6177, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2027634008692314576", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-28T06:36:33+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "この銘柄を自分のコア（主力）銘柄にしたよ！当然、事業遂行リスクや株式の希薄化リスクもあるけど、それ以上にアップサイドを狙う価値があると思ったんだ", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Made AAOI a core holding; 900%+ revenue growth projected, single-digit PER if achieved, 2028 ramp not yet priced in.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "ja", "tweet_text": "$AAOI の決算は本当に凄かった！というか、それすら控えめな表現だよ！\n\n売上高は900%以上の増加予測で、もし達成できればPERは1桁台になる。しかも、2028年に向けてのさらなる成長（ランプアップ）はまだ織り込まれていないんだ。\n\nだから、この銘柄を自分のコア（主力）銘柄にしたよ！当然、事業遂行リスクや株式の希薄化リスクもあるけど、それ以上にアップサイドを狙う価値があると思ったんだ。特に米国最優先の企業だっていうのが大きいね。", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "🌟 フォトニクス銘柄\n　$AAOI まとめ 【byセレ様】\n\n① 時価総額シナリオ\n現在：約50億ドル \n→ 来年250〜300億ドルの可能性\n※会社の業績予測達成が前提\n\n② アメリカプレミアム\nテキサス拠点の米国企業\n競合：Lumentum / Coherent / Fabrinet / Broadcom / Innolight / Eoptolink", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "beauty_oe", "ret_m1d": -0.17832405032051124, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.17832405032051124, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.17775579463630486, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.17775579463630486, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06994445077477685, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06994445077477685, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.061130112291981176, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.061130112291981176, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "ret_p1w": 0.07911423706316767, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07911423706316767, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09092981798668254, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09092981798668254, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "ret_p1m": -0.17481226636328706, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17481226636328706, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12489252478810331, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12489252478810331, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "ret_p3m": 0.6488147570989427, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6488147570989427, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5464213779330347, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5464213779330347, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7498, -0.744, -0.7406, -0.7284, -0.7036, -0.6588, -0.6457, -0.6873, -0.7083, -0.7175, -0.7352, -0.7147, -0.6945, -0.6186, -0.6036, -0.6, -0.6, -0.6374, -0.6415, -0.6486, -0.6599, -0.6599, -0.6137, -0.6587, -0.6234, -0.6288, -0.678, -0.6679, -0.6711, -0.6666, -0.6637, -0.6391, -0.6387, -0.6387, -0.617, -0.6256, -0.6278, -0.6515, -0.6596, -0.6353, -0.5588, -0.614, -0.5746, -0.5692, -0.5501, -0.6108, -0.628, -0.5678, -0.5326, -0.527, -0.5279, -0.5709, -0.5663, -0.5663, -0.5717, -0.5762, -0.5417, -0.4959, -0.4736, -0.4511, -0.433, -0.4762, -0.1783, 0.0, -0.0699, -0.0273, -0.0134, -0.0676, 0.0791, 0.1754, 0.239, 0.0359, -0.0556, -0.0823, -0.1578, -0.0964, -0.0058, -0.146, -0.0658, 0.1111, 0.1161, -0.0497, -0.0419, -0.169, -0.1748, -0.1576, 0.0137, 0.0137, 0.0482, 0.1476, 0.2945, 0.3004, 0.4691, 0.4944, 0.4281, 0.3906, 0.5347, 0.5552, 0.5947, 0.4688, 0.4576, 0.3436, 0.582, 0.4221, 0.339, 0.4909, 0.6034, 0.7902, 0.6874, 0.7615, 0.7417, 0.5369, 0.4529, 0.8037, 0.8367, 1.1764, 0.9859, 0.857, 0.6902, 0.6713, 0.6121, 0.7248, 0.7705, 0.7705, 0.7327, 0.7543, 0.6488, 0.5453, 0.5453, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2027080026051731630", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-26T17:55:14+00:00", "symbol": "AEHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "One of my long positions ... $AEHR has potential as it's now scaling up real-volume after years of R&D and qualification", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long AEHR: inflection from R&D to mass production, $14M burn-in order, two revenue streams, mgmt guided $60-80M H2 2026 bookings in a large capex cycle.", "resolved_tickers": ["AEHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "A simpler overview of $AEHR - $1.1B (without the jargon). One of my long positions:\n\nWith AI, thermal is a known bottleneck.\n\nWith new gen $NVDA or $AMD type chips that gets hot,  if one chip melts down, it's a disaster. \n\nSo tech giants -> every single chip stress tested with heat to see if it fails prematurely in the field. \n\n$AEHR sells the machines that does the testing of these chips. \n\nLast year, they were like $POET (pre-qualification/test phase) \n\n-> but now they've passed.\n\nWe're seeing that inflection from R&D to mass production:\n\nToday: \n\n-> $14M order for $AEHR burn-in systems to help scale chip production (wafer level)\n\nBut that $14M machine order can only handle a finite number of wafers per week. \n\n-> As this AI customer scales up, they will physically run out of thermal testing throughput.\n\nso they buy more if they like $AEHR, and this ramps up revenue. \n\nThey also have a separate product line (Sonoma) for testing chips after they're packaged.\n\nHyperscalers have been ordering this, so two different testing stages, two revenue streams.\n\nManagement guided for a massive second half 2026 $60M to $80M in new bookings (which is big growth). \n\nYou can look at $TER ($51B) or Advantest (~$125B) to see the ceiling of how big a lot of these companies can get.\n\nThey also do testing across other data center layers too: \n\n- So they're working with NAND Flash memory suppliers \n- Silicon photonics\n\nTried to strip out as much technical jargon as possible so it's more understandable to majority, but it's a very nuanced/technical field. \n\n$AEHR has potential as it's now scaling up real-volume after years of R&D and qualification. \n\nAnd we're sitting in an enormous capex cycle (think $ASML cycles, where people order a lot of machines for the buildout).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.042211063753273104, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.042211063753273104, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03662556282863072, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007867252775152211, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005585500924642384, "bench_c_m1d": 0.03434381097812089, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05954771299789108, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05954771299789108, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05474576973936374, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.045858689637400696, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004801943258527341, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013689023360490382, "ret_p1w": 0.01733674509128491, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01733674509128491, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02892816003394716, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05777266477097076, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011591414942662248, "bench_c_p1w": -0.04043591967968585, "ret_p1m": -0.18291454569973864, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.18291454569973864, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10533114941542676, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09126626320508502, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07758339628431188, "bench_c_p1m": -0.09164828249465362, "ret_p3m": 1.7618090521617686, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.7618090521617686, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.6699188251724377, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.3003396694373794, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09189022698933091, "bench_c_p3m": 0.4614693827243892, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4339, -0.4357, -0.3779, -0.3593, -0.3784, -0.4003, -0.3839, -0.3508, -0.3359, -0.3849, -0.4241, -0.4497, -0.4601, -0.4606, -0.452, -0.4319, -0.4279, -0.4455, -0.4455, -0.4608, -0.4884, -0.4889, -0.4927, -0.4927, -0.4432, -0.4098, -0.3786, -0.3925, -0.4296, -0.3387, -0.3379, -0.3264, -0.3475, -0.3334, -0.2761, -0.2761, -0.2698, -0.2663, -0.2234, -0.2955, -0.3271, -0.3028, -0.297, -0.3246, -0.3558, -0.3452, -0.3168, -0.4013, -0.4221, -0.3369, -0.3068, -0.3259, -0.1495, -0.2992, -0.2754, -0.2754, -0.2842, -0.2711, -0.2394, -0.1558, -0.1377, -0.0143, 0.0422, 0.0, -0.0595, 0.1063, 0.0462, 0.0719, 0.0173, -0.1053, 0.0271, 0.0543, 0.0666, -0.054, -0.1038, -0.0583, -0.0681, -0.0877, -0.0513, -0.1327, -0.0666, -0.0153, -0.0193, -0.1314, -0.1829, -0.2432, -0.0683, -0.005, 0.1136, 0.1136, 0.3106, 0.2626, 0.5869, 0.7302, 0.7696, 0.8005, 0.8688, 0.8397, 1.0314, 1.107, 1.2651, 1.3548, 1.4462, 1.3997, 1.4098, 1.2231, 1.0711, 1.0555, 1.2754, 1.3384, 1.151, 1.2912, 1.4304, 1.293, 1.443, 1.6271, 1.4302, 1.5942, 1.6719, 1.5, 1.0997, 1.0387, 1.0688, 1.294, 1.3874, 1.3874, 1.7618, 1.6085, 1.5123, 1.3198, 1.3198, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2012316373482140144", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-17T00:09:45+00:00", "symbol": "SSYS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I still hold shares since the core catalyst remains: OpenAI is seeking a US-based supply chain. $SSYS remains the \"Security Moat\" for domestic hardware design since it's a risk to have \"Physical AI\" prototypes on Chinese printers (Bambu Lab) for Defense/DoD applications.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still holds SSYS shares; core long thesis intact on US-supply-chain security moat for domestic hardware/defense prototyping despite correcting scale-production assumptions.", "resolved_tickers": ["SSYS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’m issuing a correction to my earlier thread regarding the robotics supply chain bottlenecks.\n\nI removed the original $SSYS post to avoid confusion, as I worded the argument too strongly given the timeframe between OpenAI's announcement to writeup. \n\nThesis revolved around plastic <- metal, but I mistakened the demos/prototypes with production/scale humanoids and made too strong of casual assumptions. $SSYS revolves around prototyping, rather than production at scale. \n\nRegarding my post around supply chain mapping, this was speculation and I worded it too strongly again. \n\nExample: Q3 2025 Earnings Call (Nov 2025), Stratasys: \"global leader in social networks, AI, and VR\" purchased F3300 systems.   \n\nI assumed this to be $META Humanoids, given the description. But this is unnamed. \n\nThere's not many large AI/VR social network companies out there though. \n\n - For Boston Dynamics:  \n\nNylon 12CF for the Electric Atlas was a technical deduction. EG. electric humanoid jump or flip, keeping distal mass low matters. \n\n\"Aluminum is too heavy. Standard plastic (PLA/ABS) is too weak and snaps upon impact.  Main material currently on the market that is light as plastic but strong enough to replace aluminum without expensive tooling is Carbon-Fiber Reinforced Nylon (PA12-CF + Stratasys effectively corners the market on Gov certified Nylon 12CF printing with its F900 and F3300 series + Large-Format FDM Nylon 12CF. \"\n\nBoston Dynamics may have used CF-nylon ( Nylon 12CF) for prototype structures. But the production Atlas uses Hyundai Mobis as a confirmed supplier from CES.  \n\nThat being said, $SSYS still have robotics customers + the rest of their defense contractors are there + defense certification stronghold for military related applications rings true.   \n\nBut for robotics production at scale, other companies are probably more asymmetrical and I got my thesis off.     \n\nDespite the production mix-up, I still hold shares since the core catalyst remains: OpenAI is seeking a US-based supply chain.  $SSYS remains the \"Security Moat\" for domestic hardware design since it's a risk to have \"Physical AI\" prototypes on Chinese printers (Bambu Lab) for Defense/DoD applications. (Also Debbie Schultz is long.)\n\nBut just wanted to make a correction since my thesis was off after doing more research. \n\nThree things: \n\n1.  I'll refrain from posting novel information synthesis thesis type posts during market hours given how many HFT algorithms now scrap my content to trade. \n\n2. I'll do better with wording in the future given how nuanced the industry is. \n\n3. I'll spend more time on research to make sure I get stuff down correctly first try\n\nSorry again", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02591599398818689, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02591599398818689, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005559208264641846, "alpha_c_p1d": 4.193226078486045e-05, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.025957926248971752, "ret_p1w": -0.021447701529756724, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.021447701529756724, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.022994692657232196, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.024606700306549545, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0031589987767928207, "ret_p1m": -0.04647001998113953, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04647001998113953, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03373253941143839, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.004305517244372226, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "bench_c_p1m": -0.042164502736767306, "ret_p3m": -0.22877565343525175, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22877565343525175, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24600412454913234, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.27402372086975124, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.045248067434499495, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0098, 0.0527, 0.0715, 0.0643, 0.0304, -0.008, -0.0366, -0.0509, -0.0536, -0.118, -0.1197, -0.1546, -0.151, -0.1421, -0.1492, -0.1475, -0.1662, -0.2002, -0.2377, -0.2404, -0.2502, -0.2672, -0.2368, -0.2332, -0.2368, -0.2279, -0.2279, -0.2145, -0.2288, -0.2181, -0.1975, -0.1805, -0.1912, -0.1859, -0.1796, -0.1698, -0.1564, -0.1618, -0.1868, -0.1895, -0.1948, -0.1895, -0.2002, -0.1734, -0.1832, -0.1886, -0.1886, -0.2002, -0.2127, -0.2207, -0.2243, -0.2243, -0.1948, -0.1296, -0.0769, -0.0992, -0.0697, -0.0777, -0.0688, -0.1072, -0.0947, 0.0384, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0259, -0.0054, 0.0277, -0.0116, -0.0214, 0.0009, -0.0125, 0.0045, -0.0438, -0.0063, -0.0223, -0.0545, -0.0867, 0.0054, 0.0152, 0.0045, 0.008, -0.0214, -0.0197, -0.0197, -0.0465, -0.0366, -0.0384, -0.0661, -0.0947, -0.1099, -0.1197, -0.1162, -0.1394, -0.1358, -0.1564, -0.1242, -0.1868, -0.2172, -0.2324, -0.2592, -0.2583, -0.2681, -0.2967, -0.2842, -0.2788, -0.3029, -0.3056, -0.3208, -0.3021, -0.2815, -0.2779, -0.2931, -0.3172, -0.3369, -0.3021, -0.2922, -0.2878, -0.2878, -0.2824, -0.2824, -0.2592, -0.2556, -0.2538, -0.2368, -0.2449, -0.2386, -0.2288, -0.2145, -0.2118, -0.2252, -0.2189, -0.2422, -0.2297, -0.2306, -0.2341, -0.2431, -0.2073, -0.2038, -0.2189, -0.1993, -0.1734, -0.2672, -0.2386, -0.2368, -0.2324, -0.235, -0.2163, -0.235, -0.2645, -0.277, -0.2529, -0.2377, -0.1939, -0.1939, -0.1367, -0.1144, -0.1046, -0.0581, -0.0581, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2023921191652933900", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-18T00:43:09+00:00", "symbol": "RPI", "kind": "equity", "geography": "Europe", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's great to see institutional validation of Raspberry Pi's transition from educational hobbyist boards into core infrastructure for AI hardware orchestration.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish RPI on institutional validation of its AI infrastructure thesis; TAM expansion with AI agents pending execution.", "resolved_tickers": ["RPI.L"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Raspberry Pi Holdings listed on LSE as RPI.L", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Electronic Components'", "bench_c_industry": "Electronic Components", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bloomberg on the Raspberry Pi ( $RPI ) and the OpenClaw / PicoClaw / NanoClaw thesis:\n\nIn their interview with Adam Montanaro, a fund manager at Montanaro Asset Management:\n\n\"Thematically the evolution of a Raspberry Pi from hobbyist board into a core piece of AI infrastructure is correct\" \n\nHenry Ren from Bloomberg also stated:\n\n\"Another positive for Raspberry Pi has been a rash of share purchases by founder and Chief Executive Officer Eben Upton, who has bought stock on five  separate occasions since late January, filings show.\"\n\nIt's great to see institutional validation of Raspberry Pi's transition from educational hobbyist boards into core infrastructure for AI hardware orchestration. \n\nThat being said, the rest depends on the company's execution to grow into their new TAM with AI agents.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Glad my $RPI x OpenClaw 🦞thesis made it to Reuters.\n\nRaspberry Pi’s cheap educational boards had a TAM expansion overnight.\n\nAs they’ve become the cheaper 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{"unit_id": "reply:2027113047454884103", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-26T20:06:27+00:00", "symbol": "XLU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$XLU was my long of choice for energy/grid modernization, coupled with rate cuts and mass usage from inference/training", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long XLU on grid modernization, rate cuts, and AI inference/training power demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$XLU was my long of choice for energy/grid modernization, coupled with rate cuts and mass usage from inference/training.\n\nThere’s no rush to enter these trades, utilities and power typically move like dinosaurs. But if you’re doing leaps make sure IV is priced correctly at 14-16%, not inflated strikes.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Would you say $XLU still has room for entry for leaps 🤔\n\nThe theory and idea makes sense, Jensen said power is the limiter for everyone \n\nFirst you roll out power plants , then you upgrade grid to handle the increased capacity of 3-5+ GW of power  per year\n\nGrid needs upgrades", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Noobverest", "ret_m1d": 0.0038151502778234203, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0038151502778234203, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0017703506468189634, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0017703506468189634, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005585500924642384, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005585500924642384, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011657466952883055, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011657466952883055, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.016459410211410397, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.016459410211410397, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004801943258527341, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004801943258527341, "ret_p1w": -0.005934660116747259, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.005934660116747259, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.005656754825914989, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.005656754825914989, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011591414942662248, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011591414942662248, "ret_p1m": -0.026944936466406166, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.026944936466406166, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05063845981790571, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05063845981790571, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07758339628431188, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07758339628431188, "ret_p3m": -0.03249423855965827, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03249423855965827, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12438446554898919, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12438446554898919, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09189022698933091, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09189022698933091, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.069, -0.0756, -0.0785, -0.0804, -0.0891, -0.1013, -0.1006, -0.1011, -0.0945, -0.099, -0.0907, -0.0945, -0.1004, -0.0916, -0.1032, -0.0998, -0.0967, -0.0926, -0.0926, -0.0933, -0.0916, -0.0894, -0.0952, -0.0952, -0.0848, -0.095, -0.0905, -0.1125, -0.11, -0.099, -0.0975, -0.0918, -0.085, -0.0757, -0.0803, -0.0803, -0.0894, -0.0882, -0.0947, -0.0979, -0.0914, -0.0795, -0.0816, -0.0816, -0.0833, -0.0967, -0.0835, -0.0869, -0.0865, -0.0812, -0.0784, -0.0632, -0.0549, -0.0409, -0.0144, -0.0144, -0.017, -0.0333, -0.0227, -0.018, -0.0106, 0.0004, 0.0038, 0.0, 0.0117, 0.004, -0.0023, 0.0019, -0.0059, -0.0093, -0.007, -0.0131, -0.0214, -0.0144, -0.0047, 0.0017, -0.0011, -0.0095, -0.0136, -0.0536, -0.0442, -0.0376, -0.0342, -0.0325, -0.0269, -0.0199, -0.0205, -0.0158, -0.0109, -0.0109, -0.0146, -0.0124, -0.0015, 0.0064, 0.0023, -0.0099, -0.0082, -0.0178, -0.0107, -0.0148, -0.0235, -0.0406, -0.0423, -0.0163, -0.0144, -0.0141, -0.0129, -0.025, -0.0001, -0.0065, -0.0103, -0.0103, -0.0244, -0.037, -0.0455, -0.0365, -0.0355, -0.0466, -0.0417, -0.0637, -0.0622, -0.0536, -0.05, -0.0395, -0.0321, -0.0321, -0.0325, -0.0365, -0.0474, -0.0519, -0.0519, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2026125089255866749", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-24T02:40:39+00:00", "symbol": "AI stocks", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Best hedge against AGI and general AI is buying AI stocks, not sitting on cash imo", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Buy AI stocks over cash; photonics sector is at the start of its cycle with more upside ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["BOTZ"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "AI stocks sector proxied by BOTZ", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@dubiousnoob Best hedge against AGI and general AI is buying AI stocks, not sitting on cash imo. \n\nBut not late, things will make new ATHs every day. Just in the middle of the cycle right now for some things (memory) and at the start of others (like photonics)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Am i too late i went cash in all the crazyness of the last couple weeks", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "dubiousnoob", "ret_m1d": -0.01102272517251457, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01102272517251457, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0038067214256988224, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0038067214256988224, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007216003746815747, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007216003746815747, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.016662434089880662, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.016662434089880662, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008224085146299354, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008224085146299354, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008438348943581309, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008438348943581309, "ret_p1w": -0.05408861539195697, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05408861539195697, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04387560428952231, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04387560428952231, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.010213011102434666, "bench_c_p1w": -0.010213011102434666, "ret_p1m": -0.11868745072112064, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11868745072112064, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07688027104581496, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07688027104581496, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04180717967530567, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04180717967530567, "ret_p3m": 0.03281216736909198, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.03281216736909198, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.054954497190287555, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.054954497190287555, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08776666455937954, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08776666455937954, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.11, -0.1023, -0.1003, -0.1028, -0.0936, -0.0587, -0.0615, -0.0584, -0.0587, -0.0548, -0.0574, -0.0714, -0.0776, -0.0865, -0.1067, -0.0975, -0.0821, -0.0668, -0.0635, -0.0638, -0.0638, -0.0661, -0.062, -0.0623, -0.0713, -0.0713, -0.059, -0.0359, -0.0277, -0.0218, -0.0328, -0.02, -0.0146, -0.0297, -0.0259, -0.0172, -0.0169, -0.0169, -0.0472, -0.0333, -0.029, -0.0318, -0.0269, -0.0192, -0.0261, -0.0269, -0.0433, -0.0549, -0.0546, -0.0615, -0.0831, -0.0392, -0.0223, -0.0167, -0.0228, -0.0269, -0.0172, -0.0172, -0.01, -0.0167, -0.0095, 0.0003, -0.011, 0.0, 0.0167, 0.0126, 0.0003, -0.021, -0.0541, -0.0482, -0.0623, -0.0749, -0.0749, -0.07, -0.0695, -0.0877, -0.1072, -0.0928, -0.0931, -0.1066, -0.1059, -0.1387, -0.1223, -0.133, -0.1187, -0.1466, -0.1679, -0.18, -0.1484, -0.131, -0.1438, -0.1438, -0.1389, -0.1441, -0.0997, -0.1048, -0.0918, -0.0779, -0.062, -0.0584, -0.059, -0.041, -0.0387, -0.0582, -0.042, -0.0602, -0.0423, -0.0133, -0.0346, -0.0431, -0.0144, -0.0105, -0.0161, -0.0067, 0.0223, 0.021, 0.0625, 0.059, 0.0438, 0.0672, 0.0541, 0.0313, 0.021, -0.0031, 0.0062, 0.0164, 0.0328, 0.0328, 0.0484, 0.0272, 0.0326, 0.0292, 0.0292, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2026125089255866749", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-24T02:40:39+00:00", "symbol": "photonics", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "at the start of others (like photonics)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Buy AI stocks over cash; photonics sector is at the start of its cycle with more upside ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR", "LITE", "AAOI", "FN", "POET"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Photonics sector basket of optical component names", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@dubiousnoob Best hedge against AGI and general AI is buying AI stocks, not sitting on cash imo. \n\nBut not late, things will make new ATHs every day. Just in the middle of the cycle right now for some things (memory) and at the start of others (like photonics)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Am i too late i went cash in all the crazyness of the last couple weeks", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "dubiousnoob", "ret_m1d": -0.039269429863363924, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.039269429863363924, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03205342611654818, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03205342611654818, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007216003746815747, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007216003746815747, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.045479242639470695, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.045479242639470695, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.037040893695889386, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.037040893695889386, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008438348943581309, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008438348943581309, "ret_p1w": 0.18025149720673717, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.18025149720673717, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.19046450830917183, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.19046450830917183, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.010213011102434666, "bench_c_p1w": -0.010213011102434666, "ret_p1m": 0.2545643079824913, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2545643079824913, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.296371487657797, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.296371487657797, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04180717967530567, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04180717967530567, "ret_p3m": 0.9343743835248924, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.9343743835248924, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.8466077189655129, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.8466077189655129, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08776666455937954, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08776666455937954, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.387, -0.3626, -0.3806, -0.3862, -0.3372, -0.3027, -0.3052, -0.2841, -0.2401, -0.204, -0.1904, -0.2783, -0.3015, -0.315, -0.3357, -0.3051, -0.2507, -0.1837, -0.1921, -0.1948, -0.1948, -0.2177, -0.2375, -0.2464, -0.2615, -0.2615, -0.1965, -0.2265, -0.1908, -0.1957, -0.2561, -0.2426, -0.242, -0.2237, -0.209, -0.1731, -0.1837, -0.1837, -0.1705, -0.1595, -0.2146, -0.2344, -0.2509, -0.199, -0.1792, -0.2149, -0.2077, -0.1837, -0.179, -0.2293, -0.233, -0.1393, -0.0971, -0.135, -0.1359, -0.1618, -0.1562, -0.1562, -0.1466, -0.1419, -0.1081, -0.0548, -0.0393, 0.0, 0.0455, -0.0199, 0.0889, 0.2512, 0.1803, 0.1843, 0.151, 0.0596, 0.1764, 0.2426, 0.2665, 0.1644, 0.1105, 0.1113, 0.0742, 0.1078, 0.1914, 0.0824, 0.1372, 0.2446, 0.2546, 0.1047, 0.1027, -0.0004, 0.0643, 0.0895, 0.2027, 0.2027, 0.1933, 0.2408, 0.3651, 0.3667, 0.4938, 0.5137, 0.4664, 0.4502, 0.5454, 0.5703, 0.634, 0.6211, 0.7135, 0.6196, 0.8365, 0.5143, 0.4369, 0.4676, 0.5637, 0.6673, 0.6351, 0.7212, 0.7294, 0.5972, 0.6256, 0.9379, 0.9171, 1.1172, 1.2606, 1.028, 0.8619, 0.8043, 0.8308, 0.9305, 0.9344, 0.9344, 0.8646, 0.8689, 0.8087, 0.7207, 0.7207, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2021518590219079692", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-11T09:36:04+00:00", "symbol": "HOOD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Starting to feel like the bull cycle is over for $HOOD after their earnings... likely stay rangebound for awhile... short term too many headwinds", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "HOOD bull cycle seen as over post-earnings; expects rangebound action near-term on revenue deceleration and stretched valuation.", "resolved_tickers": ["HOOD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Starting to feel like the bull cycle is over for $HOOD after their earnings.\n\nI don’t think it’s going to crash, but likely stay rangebound for awhile. \n\nSeeing revenue deceleration to 27% y/y and forward 35 p/e estimates possibly balloon to 45-50+ at a $80B MC.\n\nThat growth was partially bought as well (eg. Bitstamp acquisition) rather than new feature monetization like they’ve done in the past. \n\nLong term it still has potential but short term too many headwinds.\n\nThe saving grace is crypto market recovering.\n\nOr \n\n- International stock expansion ASAP ( $IBKR is eating up a ton of inflows as investors want exposure to other countries like Japan or Korea)\n\n- Token launch on their new blockchain, so they can bump up balance sheets like BNB and Binance. \n\nWith some other ideas, etc. \n\nDon’t think relying on prediction markets is the right choice to go down. It’s definitely a bad optics for short term gain.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.09785811381252096, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09785811381252096, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09762700159759041, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08249973268364719, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00023111221493055112, "bench_c_m1d": 0.015358381128873777, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08785428199149803, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08785428199149803, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07240540776359683, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06794526133902623, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0154488742279012, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0199090206524718, "ret_p1w": -0.03539825693240617, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03539825693240617, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.027204077386960512, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.032554152668939795, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.008194179545445657, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002844104263466374, "ret_p1m": -0.02372705457429014, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.02372705457429014, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.013702952830499271, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05041020835340693, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03743000740478941, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07413726292769707, "ret_p3m": 0.036039470496348036, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.036039470496348036, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.035292655711264054, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.060630212471677325, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07133212620761209, "bench_c_p3m": -0.02459074197532929, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.5711, 0.4874, 0.4659, 0.5155, 0.3622, 0.3762, 0.4745, 0.4822, 0.6442, 0.6442, 0.6479, 0.5806, 0.6154, 0.714, 0.7581, 0.6923, 0.7498, 0.7405, 0.7399, 0.5824, 0.5326, 0.4783, 0.5314, 0.4852, 0.5026, 0.5564, 0.5694, 0.5421, 0.5447, 0.5447, 0.5151, 0.5061, 0.4807, 0.4506, 0.4506, 0.4776, 0.5806, 0.5609, 0.5002, 0.4799, 0.4784, 0.5072, 0.5421, 0.5348, 0.4153, 0.3946, 0.3946, 0.3567, 0.3585, 0.3627, 0.3722, 0.3723, 0.3497, 0.3262, 0.2984, 0.2759, 0.1531, 0.1167, 0.034, -0.0678, 0.0622, 0.1102, 0.0979, 0.0, -0.0879, -0.0257, -0.0257, -0.0324, -0.0354, -0.0298, -0.0239, -0.0794, -0.0587, -0.0056, 0.019, -0.0272, 0.0104, -0.0244, 0.0544, 0.0332, -0.0113, 0.0177, 0.0072, 0.0092, -0.0237, -0.0587, -0.0341, -0.008, -0.0394, -0.0489, -0.0908, -0.0703, -0.114, -0.0696, -0.0977, -0.1533, -0.1643, -0.1112, -0.1008, -0.1163, -0.1163, -0.105, -0.1067, -0.0787, -0.1007, -0.1126, -0.0808, 0.0144, 0.1199, 0.1139, 0.1639, 0.1706, 0.1085, 0.1342, 0.0714, 0.0864, 0.0767, 0.0526, -0.0868, -0.0652, -0.0553, -0.0182, -0.0121, 0.0139, -0.0217, -0.0121, 0.036, 0.0038, -0.0156, 0.035, -0.0106, -0.0105, -0.0489, -0.0283, -0.0263, -0.0555, -0.0555, -0.0498, -0.0223, 0.0881, 0.2094, 0.2094, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2033864202440610128", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-17T11:13:07+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Markets view this as vastly superior to straight equity ATM dilutions. As the debt only converts to equity if the company successfully drives the stock price up past that high strike.", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish NBIS: convertible note structure viewed favorably vs equity dilution; stock must rise past high strike for conversion.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just in: Following the new $27B Hyperscaler Cumulative Deal with $META.\n\n$NBIS launches a proposed $3.75B in convertible note offerings to fund the buildout. \n\nMarkets view this as vastly superior to straight equity ATM dilutions. \n\nAs the debt only converts to equity if the company successfully drives the stock price up past that high strike. \n\nMore details for Nebius are likely to come soon.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Just in: $META signs an enormous $27 Billion cumulative AI spend contract with $NBIS.\n\nNebius was my top Neocloud AI Infrastruture DC pick.\n\nGlad management is executing toward their $7-9B ARR target.\n\nNebius is up 14.79% premarket to $129.66. https://t.co/RaaDWm1if0", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.11622113005805623, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.11622113005805623, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.11884478326431258, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.1165678271972741, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002623653206256349, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0003466971392178664, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01916956668476355, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01916956668476355, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.033123212071883734, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03399143328332033, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013953645387120184, "bench_c_p1d": -0.014821866598556777, "ret_p1w": -0.012206637553462518, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.012206637553462518, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.011386625033567577, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.021470883024631404, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023593262587030095, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03367752057809392, "ret_p1m": 0.4335940999524779, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4335940999524779, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3872881171728251, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.41309909790420507, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04630598277965281, "bench_c_p1m": 0.020495002048272815, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3287, -0.231, -0.1986, -0.2261, -0.2166, -0.2166, -0.2471, -0.2604, -0.2679, -0.2805, -0.2805, -0.2268, -0.202, -0.1383, -0.173, -0.1636, -0.1582, -0.0774, -0.0937, -0.1234, -0.107, -0.0653, -0.0653, -0.1465, -0.1501, -0.1675, -0.1877, -0.2138, -0.1587, -0.1367, -0.1841, -0.2677, -0.2422, -0.2268, -0.2918, -0.365, -0.2599, -0.2016, -0.211, -0.2383, -0.2287, -0.1575, -0.1575, -0.1617, -0.1249, -0.075, -0.1583, -0.1351, -0.1182, -0.0878, -0.0984, -0.2161, -0.2177, -0.2538, -0.1595, -0.1778, -0.2321, -0.1839, -0.1711, -0.0373, -0.0713, -0.0291, 0.1162, 0.0, 0.0192, 0.0446, 0.0111, -0.0187, -0.0122, -0.0107, -0.0891, -0.1333, -0.2069, -0.1081, -0.1236, -0.0646, -0.0646, -0.0326, 0.0092, 0.0745, 0.1719, 0.2462, 0.3286, 0.3921, 0.4336, 0.4213, 0.3508, 0.3682, 0.3457, 0.3422, 0.3503, 0.265, 0.2461, 0.1649, 0.2137, 0.1883, 0.328, 0.5165, 0.5122, 0.677, 0.5883, 0.522, 0.5998, 0.5397, 0.7817, 0.9011, 0.8907, 0.718, 0.6997, 0.6489, 0.8906, 0.8462, 0.8462, 0.7885, 0.7912, 0.9457, 0.9865, 0.9865, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2022164848793333898", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-13T04:24:04+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I still like $NBIS, $400 bull case PT Q4 earnings given they hit $8B ARR, Clickhouse + Avride carries sum of parts", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long NBIS with $400 bull-case PT by Q4 on $8B ARR + Clickhouse/Avride sum-of-parts, despite near-term ATM/dilution/macro headwinds.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I covered $NBIS 2 days ago. The momentum trade is now memory/photonics since neoclouds are in the silent buildout phase (with little new news weekly) after getting hyperscaler deals last year.\n\nThat being said I still like $NBIS, $400 bull case PT Q4 earnings given they hit $8B ARR, Clickhouse + Avride carries sum of parts (Clickhouse hit $15B valuation, Eg if they raise at $40B that 28% equity is 11.2B, almost half their current valuation).\n\nThat being said there’s a lot of short term pressure from ATM overhangs + possible dilution as they raise for the 3GW pipeline from ER, macro (largely), and capex spend during the buildout.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Okay I genuinely want to know why u dont cover $NBIS anymore, u were the biggest mega bull for NBIS and no post for their earnings when u had them at a $500 PT by the end of this year", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "moderndayvenom", "ret_m1d": -0.08448116109402759, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08448116109402759, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08377717155063336, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08500479240334557, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0007039895433942345, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0005236313093179845, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.0009183141039018627, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0009183141039018627, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.012183493373465581, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.020293474127406896, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011265179269563719, "bench_c_p1w": 0.019375160023505034, "ret_p1m": 0.3248648431108967, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3248648431108967, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3435226307595698, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3183191511523946, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.018657787648673096, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006545691958502076, "ret_p3m": 1.114784203191455, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.114784203191455, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.0229803579111563, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.0925063261700654, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09180384528029872, "bench_c_p3m": 0.022277877021389614, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0762, -0.03, -0.1364, -0.1505, -0.0623, -0.0932, -0.0339, -0.0339, -0.032, 0.0218, -0.0159, 0.0093, 0.0489, 0.0003, 0.0237, -0.0163, -0.0451, -0.0381, -0.1053, -0.1721, -0.1741, -0.2302, -0.2032, -0.0872, -0.0488, -0.0814, -0.0702, -0.0702, -0.1063, -0.1221, -0.131, -0.146, -0.146, -0.0822, -0.0529, 0.0228, -0.0184, -0.0072, -0.0008, 0.0951, 0.0757, 0.0405, 0.0599, 0.1094, 0.1094, 0.0131, 0.0088, -0.0118, -0.0358, -0.0668, -0.0014, 0.0247, -0.0316, -0.1308, -0.1005, -0.0822, -0.1594, -0.2463, -0.1215, -0.0523, -0.0635, -0.0959, -0.0845, 0.0, 0.0, -0.005, 0.0387, 0.0979, -0.0009, 0.0265, 0.0466, 0.0827, 0.0701, -0.0696, -0.0714, -0.1144, -0.0023, -0.0241, -0.0886, -0.0313, -0.0161, 0.1427, 0.1023, 0.1524, 0.3249, 0.1869, 0.2097, 0.2399, 0.2001, 0.1647, 0.1724, 0.1743, 0.0812, 0.0287, -0.0587, 0.0587, 0.0402, 0.1103, 0.1103, 0.1483, 0.1978, 0.2754, 0.391, 0.4791, 0.577, 0.6523, 0.7016, 0.687, 0.6033, 0.6239, 0.5973, 0.5931, 0.6027, 0.5015, 0.479, 0.3826, 0.4406, 0.4104, 0.5763, 0.8, 0.7949, 0.9905, 0.8852, 0.8064, 0.8988, 0.8275, 1.1148, 1.2564, 1.2441, 1.0392, 1.0174, 0.9571, 1.244, 1.1913, 1.1913, 1.1228, 1.126, 1.3094, 1.3578, 1.3578, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2031206834879737894", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-10T03:13:42+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The company's sub-$8B market cap is too low when its 2027 revenue potential is $4B", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long AAOI: Rosenblatt says sub-$8B market cap too low vs $4B 2027 revenue potential; author endorses and extends bull case to photonic names broadly. Also implies prior bullish thesis on AXTI.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$ORCL likely $AAOI hyperscaler client per  \nRosenblatt analyst.\n\nWhen I first posted about $AAOI everyone had extreme doubts like on my thesis post on $AXTI.\n\nBut don’t take it from me.\n\nMy exact same sentiment I shared after earnings is now echoed by other institutional analysts:\n\n“The company’s sub-$8B market cap is too low when its 2027 revenue potential is $4B “ \n\n- Rosenblatt.\n\nLikely a long way to go for repricing photonic names given revenue ramp.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08191547258841259, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08191547258841259, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0835251865083304, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0835251865083304, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0016097139199178212, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0016097139199178212, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05411241088934782, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05411241088934782, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.055367573817864946, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.055367573817864946, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012551629285171284, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012551629285171284, "ret_p1w": -0.2835089769968907, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.2835089769968907, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2740727510317741, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2740727510317741, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009436225965116618, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009436225965116618, "ret_p1m": 0.10133620467217308, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10133620467217308, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10033762350878139, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10033762350878139, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0009985811633916875, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0009985811633916875, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6986, -0.7339, -0.7518, -0.7596, -0.7748, -0.7572, -0.7401, -0.6755, -0.6627, -0.6597, -0.6597, -0.6915, -0.695, -0.7011, -0.7107, -0.7107, -0.6713, -0.7096, -0.6796, -0.6842, -0.726, -0.7175, -0.7201, -0.7163, -0.7139, -0.6929, -0.6926, -0.6926, -0.6742, -0.6815, -0.6834, -0.7035, -0.7104, -0.6897, -0.6246, -0.6716, -0.6381, -0.6335, -0.6172, -0.6689, -0.6835, -0.6323, -0.6024, -0.5976, -0.5983, -0.6349, -0.631, -0.631, -0.6356, -0.6395, -0.6101, -0.5711, -0.5522, -0.533, -0.5176, -0.5544, -0.3009, -0.1492, -0.2087, -0.1725, -0.1606, -0.2067, -0.0819, 0.0, 0.0541, -0.1187, -0.1965, -0.2193, -0.2835, -0.2312, -0.1541, -0.2735, -0.2052, -0.0547, -0.0505, -0.1915, -0.1849, -0.293, -0.298, -0.2833, -0.1376, -0.1376, -0.1082, -0.0237, 0.1013, 0.1063, 0.2499, 0.2714, 0.215, 0.1831, 0.3057, 0.3231, 0.3567, 0.2496, 0.2401, 0.1431, 0.3459, 0.2099, 0.1392, 0.2684, 0.3641, 0.523, 0.4356, 0.4986, 0.4818, 0.3076, 0.2361, 0.5346, 0.5626, 0.8516, 0.6895, 0.5799, 0.438, 0.4219, 0.3716, 0.4674, 0.5063, 0.5063, 0.4741, 0.4925, 0.4028, 0.3147, 0.3147, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2031206834879737894", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-10T03:13:42+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "everyone had extreme doubts like on my thesis post on $AXTI", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long AAOI: Rosenblatt says sub-$8B market cap too low vs $4B 2027 revenue potential; author endorses and extends bull case to photonic names broadly. Also implies prior bullish thesis on AXTI.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$ORCL likely $AAOI hyperscaler client per  \nRosenblatt analyst.\n\nWhen I first posted about $AAOI everyone had extreme doubts like on my thesis post on $AXTI.\n\nBut don’t take it from me.\n\nMy exact same sentiment I shared after earnings is now echoed by other institutional analysts:\n\n“The company’s sub-$8B market cap is too low when its 2027 revenue potential is $4B “ \n\n- Rosenblatt.\n\nLikely a long way to go for repricing photonic names given revenue ramp.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.12957106010438835, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.12957106010438835, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.13118077402430617, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12212135443124317, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0016097139199178212, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007449705673145179, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06907452428872896, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06907452428872896, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07032968721724608, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.059762334592323274, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012551629285171284, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009312189696405682, "ret_p1w": 0.0013544328289925023, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0013544328289925023, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01079065879410912, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0024869466201993262, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009436225965116618, "bench_c_p1w": -0.001132513791206824, "ret_p1m": 0.20045149483177394, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.20045149483177394, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.19945291366838225, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.13604652233968517, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0009985811633916875, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06440497249208876, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6302, -0.6657, -0.6652, -0.7065, -0.721, -0.6837, -0.6693, -0.6564, -0.6695, -0.6612, -0.6612, -0.653, -0.6707, -0.6433, -0.6309, -0.6309, -0.6217, -0.6237, -0.5447, -0.4558, -0.4169, -0.481, -0.498, -0.5144, -0.5011, -0.4194, -0.5014, -0.5014, -0.5167, -0.5535, -0.5955, -0.6072, -0.5982, -0.6117, -0.6201, -0.6302, -0.5815, -0.5273, -0.5544, -0.5767, -0.5388, -0.4569, -0.3731, -0.4503, -0.395, -0.4404, -0.4528, -0.4528, -0.4761, -0.4686, -0.4625, -0.33, -0.3582, -0.2081, -0.0752, -0.1621, -0.1445, 0.0456, -0.0573, -0.1167, -0.1242, -0.2693, -0.1296, 0.0, 0.0691, 0.0549, 0.1029, 0.0923, 0.0014, 0.1007, 0.3113, 0.2244, 0.4546, 0.5449, 0.5203, 0.3208, 0.3686, 0.1903, 0.2862, 0.0641, 0.1928, 0.1928, -0.0521, 0.0262, 0.2005, 0.4248, 0.4488, 0.5, 0.5192, 0.4205, 0.846, 0.8637, 0.7779, 0.6923, 0.9625, 0.6991, 0.7192, 0.5835, 0.551, 0.6043, 0.7883, 1.167, 1.3928, 1.4278, 1.3664, 1.4474, 1.6266, 1.84, 1.7743, 1.7526, 1.5955, 1.7941, 1.3901, 1.5481, 1.3614, 1.7318, 2.179, 2.179, 1.9932, 1.7713, 1.6117, 1.3287, 1.3287, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028425020146672018", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-02T10:59:45+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Probably very early to $AXTI", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Photonics still early: AXTI and AAOI very early, COHR has room to go, LITE more priced in; IQE early but risky restructuring play.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Probably very early to $AXTI and $AAOI. $LITE slightly more priced in. $COHR has some way to go. \n\n$IQE is very early but I wouldn’t recommend it to people since it’s inherently risky due to restructuring. I’m just sharing why I entered the trade and celebrating along the way. \n\nThen for cpo in 2028 there’s a different set of picks for next year to frontrun.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Is it too late to buy in these photonic stocks?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "tannt8533", "ret_m1d": -0.18177889085535037, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.18177889085535037, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.181210635171144, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.18172962898737033, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -4.926186798004384e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09844562615142993, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09844562615142993, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08963128766863426, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0607232005571261, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03772242559430383, "ret_p1w": -0.16753018939247322, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.16753018939247322, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.15571460846895835, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.13795264295189846, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.029577546440574753, "ret_p1m": 0.2301381674793761, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2301381674793761, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.28005790905455985, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.286709490403837, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.056571322924460876, "ret_p3m": 1.4978410559266577, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.4978410559266577, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.3954476767607498, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.021845102608886, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.4759959533177718, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7522, -0.7388, -0.75, -0.7256, -0.677, -0.6652, -0.6464, -0.6803, -0.6798, -0.7193, -0.7332, -0.6975, -0.6837, -0.6714, -0.6839, -0.6759, -0.6759, -0.6682, -0.685, -0.6589, -0.647, -0.647, -0.6382, -0.6401, -0.5646, -0.4795, -0.4424, -0.5037, -0.5199, -0.5356, -0.5229, -0.4447, -0.5231, -0.5231, -0.5378, -0.573, -0.6131, -0.6244, -0.6157, -0.6287, -0.6367, -0.6464, -0.5997, -0.5479, -0.5738, -0.5952, -0.5589, -0.4806, -0.4005, -0.4743, -0.4214, -0.4648, -0.4767, -0.4767, -0.4989, -0.4918, -0.486, -0.3592, -0.3862, -0.2427, -0.1155, -0.1986, -0.1818, 0.0, -0.0984, -0.1552, -0.1623, -0.3012, -0.1675, -0.0436, 0.0225, 0.0089, 0.0548, 0.0447, -0.0423, 0.0527, 0.2541, 0.171, 0.3912, 0.4775, 0.454, 0.2632, 0.3089, 0.1384, 0.2301, 0.0177, 0.1408, 0.1408, -0.0935, -0.0186, 0.1481, 0.3627, 0.3856, 0.4346, 0.4529, 0.3586, 0.7655, 0.7824, 0.7003, 0.6185, 0.8769, 0.625, 0.6442, 0.5145, 0.4834, 0.5343, 0.7103, 1.0725, 1.2884, 1.3219, 1.2632, 1.3407, 1.5121, 1.7161, 1.6533, 1.6326, 1.4823, 1.6723, 1.2858, 1.437, 1.2584, 1.6127, 2.0404, 2.0404, 1.8627, 1.6505, 1.4978, 1.2271, 1.2271, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028425020146672018", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-02T10:59:45+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Probably very early to $AXTI and $AAOI", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Photonics still early: AXTI and AAOI very early, COHR has room to go, LITE more priced in; IQE early but risky restructuring play.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Probably very early to $AXTI and $AAOI. $LITE slightly more priced in. $COHR has some way to go. \n\n$IQE is very early but I wouldn’t recommend it to people since it’s inherently risky due to restructuring. I’m just sharing why I entered the trade and celebrating along the way. \n\nThen for cpo in 2028 there’s a different set of picks for next year to frontrun.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Is it too late to buy in these photonic stocks?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "tannt8533", "ret_m1d": -0.17832405032051124, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.17832405032051124, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.17775579463630486, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.17775579463630486, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06994445077477685, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06994445077477685, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.061130112291981176, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.061130112291981176, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "ret_p1w": 0.07911423706316767, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07911423706316767, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09092981798668254, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09092981798668254, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "ret_p1m": -0.17481226636328706, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17481226636328706, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12489252478810331, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12489252478810331, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "ret_p3m": 0.6488147570989427, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6488147570989427, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5464213779330347, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5464213779330347, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7498, -0.744, -0.7406, -0.7284, -0.7036, -0.6588, -0.6457, -0.6873, -0.7083, -0.7175, -0.7352, -0.7147, -0.6945, -0.6186, -0.6036, -0.6, -0.6, -0.6374, -0.6415, -0.6486, -0.6599, -0.6599, -0.6137, -0.6587, -0.6234, -0.6288, -0.678, -0.6679, -0.6711, -0.6666, -0.6637, -0.6391, -0.6387, -0.6387, -0.617, -0.6256, -0.6278, -0.6515, -0.6596, -0.6353, -0.5588, -0.614, -0.5746, -0.5692, -0.5501, -0.6108, -0.628, -0.5678, -0.5326, -0.527, -0.5279, -0.5709, -0.5663, -0.5663, -0.5717, -0.5762, -0.5417, -0.4959, -0.4736, -0.4511, -0.433, -0.4762, -0.1783, 0.0, -0.0699, -0.0273, -0.0134, -0.0676, 0.0791, 0.1754, 0.239, 0.0359, -0.0556, -0.0823, -0.1578, -0.0964, -0.0058, -0.146, -0.0658, 0.1111, 0.1161, -0.0497, -0.0419, -0.169, -0.1748, -0.1576, 0.0137, 0.0137, 0.0482, 0.1476, 0.2945, 0.3004, 0.4691, 0.4944, 0.4281, 0.3906, 0.5347, 0.5552, 0.5947, 0.4688, 0.4576, 0.3436, 0.582, 0.4221, 0.339, 0.4909, 0.6034, 0.7902, 0.6874, 0.7615, 0.7417, 0.5369, 0.4529, 0.8037, 0.8367, 1.1764, 0.9859, 0.857, 0.6902, 0.6713, 0.6121, 0.7248, 0.7705, 0.7705, 0.7327, 0.7543, 0.6488, 0.5453, 0.5453, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028425020146672018", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-02T10:59:45+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LITE slightly more priced in", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Photonics still early: AXTI and AAOI very early, COHR has room to go, LITE more priced in; IQE early but risky restructuring play.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Probably very early to $AXTI and $AAOI. $LITE slightly more priced in. $COHR has some way to go. \n\n$IQE is very early but I wouldn’t recommend it to people since it’s inherently risky due to restructuring. I’m just sharing why I entered the trade and celebrating along the way. \n\nThen for cpo in 2028 there’s a different set of picks for next year to frontrun.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Is it too late to buy in these photonic stocks?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "tannt8533", "ret_m1d": -0.10512611152948448, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10512611152948448, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1045578558452781, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1045578558452781, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.11339930714869928, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.11339930714869928, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.10458496866590361, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.10458496866590361, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "ret_p1w": -0.18201084910130072, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.18201084910130072, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.17019526817778585, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.17019526817778585, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "ret_p1m": -0.10276411137488028, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10276411137488028, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05284436979969653, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05284436979969653, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "ret_p3m": 0.09878071511929454, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09878071511929454, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.003612664046613423, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.003612664046613423, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6132, -0.5814, -0.5769, -0.5626, -0.54, -0.5327, -0.5249, -0.5859, -0.5727, -0.5964, -0.5911, -0.5696, -0.5258, -0.5022, -0.5054, -0.4945, -0.4945, -0.5011, -0.5243, -0.5261, -0.5294, -0.5294, -0.507, -0.5441, -0.4926, -0.4984, -0.5554, -0.5513, -0.5661, -0.5387, -0.5766, -0.5617, -0.586, -0.586, -0.5444, -0.5373, -0.5474, -0.5669, -0.5756, -0.5268, -0.5085, -0.513, -0.4997, -0.4594, -0.4445, -0.4056, -0.356, -0.2953, -0.2631, -0.2836, -0.267, -0.2551, -0.2815, -0.2815, -0.2334, -0.2413, -0.1885, -0.1474, -0.1386, -0.1213, -0.0764, -0.1357, -0.1051, 0.0, -0.1134, -0.1308, -0.1691, -0.287, -0.182, -0.142, -0.142, -0.2134, -0.2052, -0.2022, -0.1707, -0.1053, -0.0142, -0.0982, -0.0693, 0.0239, -0.0078, -0.1206, -0.1028, -0.164, -0.1028, -0.0237, 0.0557, 0.0557, -0.014, 0.0415, 0.144, 0.1416, 0.1456, 0.1123, 0.0888, 0.052, 0.1378, 0.1415, 0.1428, 0.0685, 0.1154, 0.0813, 0.1256, 0.0976, 0.0104, 0.0958, 0.152, 0.2128, 0.2463, 0.2698, 0.2056, 0.1396, 0.1539, 0.3445, 0.267, 0.3155, 0.279, 0.2393, 0.1299, 0.1364, 0.1083, 0.2314, 0.2089, 0.2089, 0.1629, 0.152, 0.0988, 0.0916, 0.0916, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028425020146672018", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-03-02T10:59:45+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$COHR has some way to go", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Photonics still early: AXTI and AAOI very early, COHR has room to go, LITE more priced in; IQE early but risky restructuring play.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Probably very early to $AXTI and $AAOI. $LITE slightly more priced in. $COHR has some way to go. \n\n$IQE is very early but I wouldn’t recommend it to people since it’s inherently risky due to restructuring. I’m just sharing why I entered the trade and celebrating along the way. \n\nThen for cpo in 2028 there’s a different set of picks for next year to frontrun.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Is it too late to buy in these photonic stocks?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "tannt8533", "ret_m1d": -0.13375266968823796, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.13375266968823796, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.13318441400403158, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.13318441400403158, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.060553363493234036, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.060553363493234036, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.051739025010438366, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.051739025010438366, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "ret_p1w": -0.15586630011405167, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.15586630011405167, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1440507191905368, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1440507191905368, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "ret_p1m": -0.20307114584514885, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.20307114584514885, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1531514042699651, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1531514042699651, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "ret_p3m": 0.2610819564043063, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2610819564043063, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.15868857723839835, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.15868857723839835, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4281, -0.4067, -0.3918, -0.3782, -0.3552, -0.3394, -0.3359, -0.4034, -0.403, -0.4139, -0.4298, -0.4122, -0.3783, -0.3611, -0.3581, -0.3598, -0.3598, -0.3586, -0.3676, -0.375, -0.3825, -0.3825, -0.3499, -0.3765, -0.3506, -0.3589, -0.4207, -0.4043, -0.3805, -0.3643, -0.3841, -0.3444, -0.3609, -0.3609, -0.3528, -0.326, -0.3218, -0.3411, -0.3384, -0.2841, -0.2602, -0.2778, -0.2902, -0.2558, -0.2333, -0.2941, -0.3, -0.2383, -0.1889, -0.236, -0.2516, -0.277, -0.2733, -0.2733, -0.2641, -0.251, -0.2222, -0.1697, -0.1673, -0.1474, -0.1037, -0.1632, -0.1338, 0.0, -0.0606, -0.0805, -0.1507, -0.2114, -0.1559, -0.128, -0.1589, -0.1928, -0.1878, -0.1724, -0.1777, -0.1395, -0.0781, -0.1515, -0.1467, -0.0889, -0.0899, -0.1861, -0.1854, -0.2652, -0.2031, -0.171, -0.1363, -0.1363, -0.1529, -0.1466, -0.0573, -0.0493, 0.0287, 0.0302, 0.0485, 0.0311, 0.0973, 0.1543, 0.1626, 0.1501, 0.1725, 0.1297, 0.1244, 0.0757, 0.0169, 0.0201, 0.0696, 0.1023, 0.1036, 0.1232, 0.1531, 0.0678, 0.1216, 0.2702, 0.2512, 0.3506, 0.3547, 0.2795, 0.2138, 0.1831, 0.1994, 0.2646, 0.2632, 0.2632, 0.2758, 0.2719, 0.2611, 0.2093, 0.2093, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028425020146672018", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-03-02T10:59:45+00:00", "symbol": "IQE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$IQE is very early but I wouldn't recommend it to people since it's inherently risky due to restructuring. I'm just sharing why I entered the trade", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Photonics still early: AXTI and AAOI very early, COHR has room to go, LITE more priced in; IQE early but risky restructuring play.", "resolved_tickers": ["IQE.L"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "IQE plc LSE-listed epiwafer supplier", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Probably very early to $AXTI and $AAOI. $LITE slightly more priced in. $COHR has some way to go. \n\n$IQE is very early but I wouldn’t recommend it to people since it’s inherently risky due to restructuring. I’m just sharing why I entered the trade and celebrating along the way. \n\nThen for cpo in 2028 there’s a different set of picks for next year to frontrun.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Is it too late to buy in these photonic stocks?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "tannt8533", "ret_m1d": -0.25781251105945546, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.25781251105945546, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.2572442553752491, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.2577632491914754, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -4.926186798004384e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.015624984866008385, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015624984866008385, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.024439323348804054, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05334741046031222, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03772242559430383, "ret_p1w": -0.2546875140862538, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.2546875140862538, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.24287193316273892, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.22510996764567903, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.029577546440574753, "ret_p1m": -0.04687502910383001, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04687502910383001, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.003044712471353739, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.009696293820630864, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.056571322924460876, "ret_p3m": 0.8613281568686939, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.8613281568686939, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.758934777702786, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3853322035509221, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.4759959533177718, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.8074, -0.8016, -0.8039, -0.8039, -0.8035, -0.7996, -0.7965, -0.8094, -0.8086, -0.8057, -0.8061, -0.8027, -0.8008, -0.7996, -0.8057, -0.8061, -0.8061, -0.8061, -0.8061, -0.8047, -0.8047, -0.8047, -0.7988, -0.8035, -0.8016, -0.782, -0.7598, -0.7133, -0.5922, -0.6145, -0.6484, -0.6816, -0.6934, -0.6512, -0.6957, -0.7016, -0.6953, -0.6863, -0.7012, -0.7008, -0.6867, -0.6973, -0.691, -0.6863, -0.6992, -0.6895, -0.6949, -0.6906, -0.6809, -0.6094, -0.6, -0.5977, -0.5859, -0.5898, -0.5852, -0.5914, -0.5945, -0.5906, -0.5008, -0.5234, -0.3742, -0.2188, -0.2578, 0.0, 0.0156, 0.0488, -0.1621, -0.232, -0.2547, -0.1133, -0.0508, -0.1133, -0.0918, -0.0977, -0.1562, -0.002, -0.1074, -0.0781, -0.082, -0.002, 0.1523, 0.0391, -0.043, -0.0977, -0.0469, -0.0195, -0.0781, -0.0781, -0.0781, -0.0039, 0.1211, 0.1719, 0.4453, 0.918, 0.8672, 1.1094, 1.2891, 1.0352, 1.2891, 1.4609, 1.4453, 0.9434, 0.8594, 0.9297, 0.5723, 0.5781, 0.6895, 0.6074, 0.6074, 0.9531, 0.7402, 0.7832, 0.8398, 1.1289, 0.8418, 0.9727, 0.9375, 0.7969, 0.5273, 0.25, 0.4668, 0.5566, 0.7871, 0.7871, 1.1094, 0.9805, 0.8613, 0.8555, 0.8555, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2026627698165166145", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-25T11:57:50+00:00", "symbol": "IQE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it's incredibly important to Western supply chains", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish IQE on LSE: epiwafer foundry value play, expects Taiwan ops sale to clear debt, key to Western supply chains despite dilution risk.", "resolved_tickers": ["IQE.L"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "IQE plc LSE-listed epiwafer supplier", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$IQE is on LSE.   \n\nIt's basically a bet that they sell their Taiwan operations to get out of debt. Then their epiwafer foundry hard carries valuation (which I think it will as long as they figure out finances).  \n\nRisk is future excessive dilution. \n\nBut either way it's incredibly important to Western supply chains.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit How does one buy $IQE ? OTC markets?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Lostvoyageur", "ret_m1d": -0.23845196874805785, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.23845196874805785, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.23008422970637898, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.22202621330445194, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008367739041678868, "bench_c_m1d": -0.016425755443605916, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.24843941501309552, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.24843941501309552, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.2539938914047166, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.2816428920519767, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005554476391621099, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03320347703888116, "ret_p1w": 0.6760299384671729, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.6760299384671729, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.6876004104228416, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.7395272102103205, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011570471955668737, "bench_c_p1w": -0.06349727174314768, "ret_p1m": 0.660424445779509, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.660424445779509, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.7272184636010184, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.766769496780944, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0667940178215094, "bench_c_p1m": -0.10634505100143499, "ret_p3m": 1.855805161842456, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.855805161842456, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.7771406448703466, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.503449233618917, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07866451697210941, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3523559282235391, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.676, -0.6785, -0.6879, -0.6923, -0.6829, -0.6866, -0.6866, -0.686, -0.6798, -0.6748, -0.6954, -0.6941, -0.6895, -0.6901, -0.6848, -0.6816, -0.6798, -0.6895, -0.6901, -0.6901, -0.6901, -0.6901, -0.6879, -0.6879, -0.6879, -0.6785, -0.686, -0.6829, -0.6517, -0.6161, -0.5418, -0.3483, -0.3839, -0.4382, -0.4913, -0.51, -0.4426, -0.5137, -0.5231, -0.5131, -0.4988, -0.5225, -0.5218, -0.4994, -0.5162, -0.5062, -0.4988, -0.5194, -0.5037, -0.5125, -0.5056, -0.49, -0.3758, -0.3608, -0.3571, -0.3383, -0.3446, -0.3371, -0.3471, -0.3521, -0.3458, -0.2022, -0.2385, 0.0, 0.2484, 0.186, 0.598, 0.623, 0.676, 0.339, 0.2272, 0.191, 0.417, 0.5169, 0.417, 0.4513, 0.4419, 0.3483, 0.5949, 0.4263, 0.4732, 0.4669, 0.5949, 0.8414, 0.6604, 0.5293, 0.4419, 0.5231, 0.5668, 0.4732, 0.4732, 0.4732, 0.5918, 0.7915, 0.8727, 1.3096, 2.0649, 1.9838, 2.3708, 2.6579, 2.2522, 2.6579, 2.9326, 2.9076, 2.1055, 1.9713, 2.0836, 1.5125, 1.5218, 1.6998, 1.5687, 1.5687, 2.1211, 1.7809, 1.8496, 1.9401, 2.402, 1.9432, 2.1523, 2.0961, 1.8714, 1.4407, 0.9975, 1.3439, 1.4875, 1.8558, 1.8558, 2.3708, 2.1648, 1.9744, 1.965, 1.965, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2025064210305323466", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-21T04:25:06+00:00", "symbol": "EWY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Korean index will likely keep going up and maybe double", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish on Korea (EWY may double); SK Hynix deeply undervalued vs earnings power, set to earn more than Google by 2027.", "resolved_tickers": ["EWY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Probably. For the IV arbitrage, it’s on the tail end on IV expansion but still a good opportunity with $EWY.\n\nIV 45% does not move 6% a day, especially before 10x perps and 2x leverage ETFs come out.\n\nThat being said Korean index will likely keep going up and maybe double. Sk Hynix is making more than Google in 2027 and is valued at like 1/9th the mc.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Would you add now?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "siflower", "ret_m1d": 0.018521190054074044, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.018521190054074044, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008204528667010491, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008204528667010491, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.037688441385384186, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.037688441385384186, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030419988454989166, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030419988454989166, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "ret_p1w": 0.05915283599321519, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05915283599321519, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05330575028032358, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05330575028032358, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "ret_p1m": -0.0757358422155805, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0757358422155805, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03554445989111776, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03554445989111776, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "ret_p3m": 0.33826269981975354, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.33826269981975354, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.24688048298196907, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.24688048298196907, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3572, -0.3572, -0.362, -0.3638, -0.3536, -0.347, -0.355, -0.3379, -0.3325, -0.329, -0.3207, -0.3333, -0.3494, -0.3489, -0.3574, -0.3641, -0.3534, -0.3443, -0.3413, -0.3345, -0.3209, -0.3209, -0.312, -0.2913, -0.292, -0.3021, -0.3021, -0.2662, -0.2475, -0.2275, -0.2317, -0.2348, -0.2183, -0.218, -0.228, -0.2129, -0.2028, -0.1944, -0.1944, -0.2034, -0.1697, -0.1673, -0.1531, -0.1578, -0.1192, -0.0986, -0.1062, -0.1212, -0.1319, -0.1075, -0.1367, -0.137, -0.1047, -0.0951, -0.1066, -0.0625, -0.061, -0.0383, -0.0383, -0.0619, -0.0457, -0.0294, 0.0185, 0.0, 0.0377, 0.0688, 0.0798, 0.0866, 0.0592, -0.05, -0.0354, -0.0973, -0.0902, -0.0388, -0.0646, -0.0463, -0.1134, -0.1088, -0.0445, -0.035, -0.0533, -0.0322, -0.0971, -0.0394, -0.0757, -0.083, -0.1386, -0.1315, -0.1642, -0.1169, -0.0939, -0.1179, -0.1179, -0.0959, -0.0869, 0.0055, -0.0001, -0.0041, 0.0139, 0.053, 0.0403, 0.0587, 0.0935, 0.0775, 0.0538, 0.1184, 0.081, 0.1096, 0.1251, 0.1082, 0.1052, 0.1541, 0.163, 0.1744, 0.2453, 0.3064, 0.2688, 0.3654, 0.3844, 0.2814, 0.3541, 0.3677, 0.284, 0.2642, 0.2492, 0.293, 0.3383, 0.3067, 0.3067, 0.4404, 0.4235, 0.4818, 0.4776, 0.4776, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2025064210305323466", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-21T04:25:06+00:00", "symbol": "000660.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Sk Hynix is making more than Google in 2027 and is valued at like 1/9th the mc", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish on Korea (EWY may double); SK Hynix deeply undervalued vs earnings power, set to earn more than Google by 2027.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Probably. For the IV arbitrage, it’s on the tail end on IV expansion but still a good opportunity with $EWY.\n\nIV 45% does not move 6% a day, especially before 10x perps and 2x leverage ETFs come out.\n\nThat being said Korean index will likely keep going up and maybe double. Sk Hynix is making more than Google in 2027 and is valued at like 1/9th the mc.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Would you add now?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "siflower", "ret_m1d": -0.0021030678409936776, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0021030678409936776, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01241972922805723, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02062425789506772, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "bench_c_m1d": 0.018521190054074044, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05678237073880332, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05678237073880332, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0495139178084083, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.019093929353419137, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "bench_c_p1d": 0.037688441385384186, "ret_p1w": 0.1177264266713467, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1177264266713467, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11187934095845509, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.058573590678131504, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05915283599321519, "ret_p1m": 0.03871650696868412, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03871650696868412, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07890788929314685, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11445234918426461, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0757358422155805, "ret_p3m": 1.043722158765949, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.043722158765949, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.9523399419281646, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.7054594589461956, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "bench_c_p3m": 0.33826269981975354, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4494, -0.428, -0.4427, -0.4343, -0.4132, -0.4196, -0.4301, -0.428, -0.3933, -0.4048, -0.3828, -0.4059, -0.3996, -0.4175, -0.4427, -0.4206, -0.4196, -0.4248, -0.3901, -0.3859, -0.3817, -0.3817, -0.3701, -0.327, -0.3155, -0.3155, -0.3155, -0.2881, -0.2681, -0.2366, -0.2198, -0.205, -0.2177, -0.2124, -0.224, -0.2198, -0.2124, -0.205, -0.1966, -0.2187, -0.2219, -0.2061, -0.1935, -0.2261, -0.1588, -0.1157, -0.0946, -0.0442, -0.1272, -0.0463, -0.0536, -0.1146, -0.1178, -0.0673, -0.0789, -0.0957, -0.0662, -0.0747, -0.0747, -0.0747, -0.0747, -0.0599, -0.0021, 0.0, 0.0568, 0.0705, 0.1578, 0.1177, 0.1177, -0.0108, -0.1056, -0.0087, -0.0266, -0.1193, -0.0118, 0.0061, -0.0203, -0.0413, 0.0261, 0.0219, 0.1125, 0.0672, 0.0608, -0.0171, 0.0387, 0.0482, -0.0171, -0.0171, -0.0803, -0.1499, -0.055, -0.1256, -0.0772, -0.0666, -0.035, 0.0882, 0.0514, 0.0819, 0.0956, 0.162, 0.1967, 0.2168, 0.1883, 0.2283, 0.2894, 0.2884, 0.2905, 0.2873, 0.3611, 0.3695, 0.3621, 0.3548, 0.3548, 0.5244, 0.5244, 0.6866, 0.7424, 0.7761, 0.9805, 0.9331, 1.0816, 1.0753, 0.9163, 0.9384, 0.8383, 0.8383, 1.0437, 1.0448, 1.0448, 1.1617, 1.3629, 1.4118, 1.4581, 1.5092, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2024135345542242531", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-18T14:54:07+00:00", "symbol": "INFQ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": "neutral-atom quantum computing", "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Decided to go long on $INFQ", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Initiating a small long position in INFQ as quantum computing exposure; first public pure-play in neutral-atom QC with real NASA/military use cases.", "resolved_tickers": ["INFQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Decided to go long on $INFQ. \n\nInfleqtion is a brand new Quantum Computing IPO that I've been watching.  \n\nQuantum names like:\n\n$IONQ ($11B+) or $RGTI ($5.1B) typically command large premiums (trapped-ion/superconducting qubits). \n\nBut, Infleqtion is the first public pure-play in neutral-atom quantum computing.\n\nWhile most others are speculative, Inflection already has use cases as their quantum sensing division + products like quantum optical clocks, RF receivers, and inertial sensors, are utilized by NASA and the US military.\n\nI've been erring on the side of caution on Quantum Computing names, as Quantum especially, is not valued based on traditional P/E, P/S.\n\nBut the technology + national security risks are monumental, and foreign governments are pouring money into the space. And $INFQ seems to be head of the game. \n\nAs a result, I personally decided allocate a small percentage toward Infleqtion ( $INFQ ) as exposure to quantum computing.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.05982325711480918, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05982325711480918, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0648357638577669, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0648357638577669, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005012506742957723, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005012506742957723, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0700203759551411, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0700203759551411, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06738294201472383, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06738294201472383, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0026374339404172664, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0026374339404172664, "ret_p1w": -0.11012915576872795, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11012915576872795, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.12012500810845517, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12012500810845517, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009995852339727218, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009995852339727218, "ret_p1m": -0.34602312300395355, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.34602312300395355, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.30742428843317393, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.30742428843317393, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03859883457077962, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03859883457077962, "ret_p3m": -0.2270564339854776, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2270564339854776, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3062901218690036, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3062901218690036, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07923368788352603, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07923368788352603, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.0598, 0.0, -0.07, -0.0965, -0.1509, -0.1822, -0.1101, -0.1237, -0.2087, -0.1897, -0.1971, -0.1978, -0.2379, -0.2746, -0.2073, -0.174, -0.223, -0.274, -0.3148, -0.2828, -0.2672, -0.3338, -0.346, -0.4011, -0.3487, -0.3032, -0.2298, -0.276, -0.3304, -0.3936, -0.3331, -0.3603, -0.2814, -0.2814, -0.2896, -0.3175, -0.2305, -0.1917, -0.1441, -0.1441, -0.0401, 0.0197, 0.0585, 0.1842, 0.0877, 0.0204, 0.0095, -0.051, -0.0979, -0.0959, -0.1421, -0.1801, -0.1917, -0.1564, -0.1652, -0.1774, -0.0789, -0.1768, -0.1761, -0.1271, -0.1094, -0.0965, -0.0503, -0.1543, -0.2271, -0.2774, -0.24, -0.0007, 0.1115, 0.1115, 0.0795, 0.051, 0.208, 0.1027, 0.1027, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2029492958550949893", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-05T09:43:22+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "To me: Yes, Unequivocally. Given the marketcap is a small $7.5B now, I don't think markets will wait for q2 2027 to start pricing it in.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "High-conviction long AAOI to $47.6B MC on photonics moat, US reshoring, and hyperscaler demand; also flags AXTI as under-the-radar upstream photonics play.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Feels like $AAOI ($7.5B MC) is one of the highest upside AI trades right now?\n\nWith photonics lot of institutions miss upstream bottlenecks $AXTI, so retail can spot them before they get priced in.\n\nWith AAOI, there’s a clear path to a $47B+ valuation from:\n\nEconomic moat:\n> laser fab, the design, and the assembly\n> tripling laser capacity in Texas \n> made in America (some assembly in Taiwan but reshoring that to US in 2027)\n\nProjections: \n> $378m revenue per month in q2 2027\n> guided 35-38% gross margins -> q3 40% gross margins \n\nDemand:\n> Hyperscalers buying out any capacity $AAOI / $LITE / $COHR can make\n\nIf they hit their 2027 H2 revenue target:\n\nLaser Component Weight: 20% × 18.9x ( $LITE est. multiple) = 3.78x\n\n· Assembly Component Weight: 80% × 8.5x (Innolight/Eoptolink Multiple) = 6.80x\n\n· $AAOI’s Blended SOTP Multiple = 10.58x Forward Sales\n\nYou still get a $47.6B Market Cap if they deliver projections. \n\nThis is not including any potential Made in America premiums that get assigned to companies like $MU vs. SK Hynix. \n\nAnd any margin expansion they get from optimizing the transceiver supply chain in-house. \n\nGiven the marketcap is a small $7.5B now, I don’t think markets will wait for q2 2027 to start pricing it in.\n\nIs the $AAOI upside worth the execution risk?\n\nTo me: Yes, Unequivocally.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.014138820583403544, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014138820583403544, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.019745628449714725, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019745628449714725, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005606807866311181, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005606807866311181, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05497328052349992, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05497328052349992, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04186614545266343, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04186614545266343, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013107135070836495, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013107135070836495, "ret_p1w": 0.049930819480256794, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.049930819480256794, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07231421407292471, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07231421407292471, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.022383394592667916, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022383394592667916, "ret_p1m": 0.027387821724116357, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.027387821724116357, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06215746839083869, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06215746839083869, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03476964666672233, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03476964666672233, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7247, -0.6996, -0.6541, -0.6409, -0.683, -0.7044, -0.7137, -0.7317, -0.7108, -0.6903, -0.6135, -0.5982, -0.5946, -0.5946, -0.6325, -0.6366, -0.6439, -0.6553, -0.6553, -0.6085, -0.654, -0.6183, -0.6237, -0.6736, -0.6634, -0.6666, -0.6621, -0.6592, -0.6342, -0.6338, -0.6338, -0.6118, -0.6205, -0.6228, -0.6468, -0.655, -0.6303, -0.5528, -0.6088, -0.5688, -0.5634, -0.544, -0.6055, -0.623, -0.562, -0.5263, -0.5206, -0.5215, -0.5651, -0.5604, -0.5604, -0.5658, -0.5705, -0.5355, -0.489, -0.4665, -0.4436, -0.4254, -0.4692, -0.1672, 0.0135, -0.0573, -0.0141, 0.0, -0.055, 0.0937, 0.1913, 0.2558, 0.0499, -0.0428, -0.0699, -0.1464, -0.0841, 0.0077, -0.1345, -0.0532, 0.1262, 0.1312, -0.0368, -0.029, -0.1577, -0.1636, -0.1462, 0.0274, 0.0274, 0.0624, 0.1631, 0.312, 0.318, 0.489, 0.5146, 0.4474, 0.4094, 0.5555, 0.5762, 0.6163, 0.4887, 0.4774, 0.3618, 0.6034, 0.4414, 0.3571, 0.5111, 0.6251, 0.8144, 0.7103, 0.7853, 0.7653, 0.5577, 0.4726, 0.8282, 0.8616, 1.2059, 1.0128, 0.8821, 0.7131, 0.694, 0.634, 0.7482, 0.7944, 0.7944, 0.7562, 0.778, 0.6711, 0.5662, 0.5662, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2029492958550949893", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-05T09:43:22+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "With photonics lot of institutions miss upstream bottlenecks $AXTI, so retail can spot them before they get priced in", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "High-conviction long AAOI to $47.6B MC on photonics moat, US reshoring, and hyperscaler demand; also flags AXTI as under-the-radar upstream photonics play.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Feels like $AAOI ($7.5B MC) is one of the highest upside AI trades right now?\n\nWith photonics lot of institutions miss upstream bottlenecks $AXTI, so retail can spot them before they get priced in.\n\nWith AAOI, there’s a clear path to a $47B+ valuation from:\n\nEconomic moat:\n> laser fab, the design, and the assembly\n> tripling laser capacity in Texas \n> made in America (some assembly in Taiwan but reshoring that to US in 2027)\n\nProjections: \n> $378m revenue per month in q2 2027\n> guided 35-38% gross margins -> q3 40% gross margins \n\nDemand:\n> Hyperscalers buying out any capacity $AAOI / $LITE / $COHR can make\n\nIf they hit their 2027 H2 revenue target:\n\nLaser Component Weight: 20% × 18.9x ( $LITE est. multiple) = 3.78x\n\n· Assembly Component Weight: 80% × 8.5x (Innolight/Eoptolink Multiple) = 6.80x\n\n· $AAOI’s Blended SOTP Multiple = 10.58x Forward Sales\n\nYou still get a $47.6B Market Cap if they deliver projections. \n\nThis is not including any potential Made in America premiums that get assigned to companies like $MU vs. SK Hynix. \n\nAnd any margin expansion they get from optimizing the transceiver supply chain in-house. \n\nGiven the marketcap is a small $7.5B now, I don’t think markets will wait for q2 2027 to start pricing it in.\n\nIs the $AAOI upside worth the execution risk?\n\nTo me: Yes, Unequivocally.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.00850520199854743, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00850520199854743, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0028983941322362483, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0009800640748218736, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005606807866311181, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009485266073369303, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.16572166060854054, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.16572166060854054, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.15261452553770405, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.12831174960161018, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013107135070836495, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03740991100693036, 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{"unit_id": "reply:2030245046742876233", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-07T11:31:53+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "curious where $HIMS heads", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Implied bullish lean on HIMS short squeeze potential given 40%+ short interest.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@EikonDD Yeah seems pretty likely at this point. People were talking about $ENPH doubling off 14% SI but this is 40%+\n\nWas really memorable seeing $GME go from $3-&gt;$150 that one year. Don’t think we’ll ever see a repeat of that but curious where $HIMS heads.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit It could be great short squeeze. 85% inst +19% Insiders &gt; 100% Shares outstanding. \nAdd 40% shares sold short and you have a problem... for shorts... \n\nBtw huge rehypothecation here. https://t.co/bOQFC2FFnJ", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "EikonDD", "ret_m1d": -0.2897111967734822, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.2897111967734822, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.281027243409127, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.281027243409127, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0591154997726846, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0591154997726846, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06072262667805173, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06072262667805173, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "ret_p1w": 0.12274365216984151, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12274365216984151, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.13636655889404026, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13636655889404026, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "ret_p1m": -0.12003609502383417, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12003609502383417, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09460413060422168, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09460413060422168, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.7094, 0.7044, 0.6792, 0.6358, 0.6634, 0.5781, 0.569, 0.6047, 0.5817, 0.5704, 0.5645, 0.5645, 0.5483, 0.5388, 0.491, 0.4653, 0.4653, 0.5077, 0.5663, 0.6002, 0.6002, 0.5284, 0.4301, 0.4594, 0.4531, 0.4134, 0.4093, 0.4161, 0.4161, 0.375, 0.3037, 0.3773, 0.3366, 0.3664, 0.3394, 0.2938, 0.3479, 0.2225, 0.1931, 0.1525, 0.1011, 0.0596, 0.0388, -0.1277, -0.222, -0.2468, -0.287, -0.2644, -0.2644, -0.2658, -0.2852, -0.2861, -0.2947, -0.3001, -0.3023, -0.2861, -0.296, -0.3448, -0.2563, -0.2861, -0.2577, -0.2834, -0.2897, 0.0, 0.0591, 0.1679, 0.0758, 0.1178, 0.1227, 0.1273, 0.0447, 0.0903, -0.0063, 0.0135, -0.037, -0.0596, -0.0587, -0.1255, -0.1525, -0.0632, -0.1047, -0.1363, -0.1363, -0.0826, -0.12, -0.125, -0.1088, -0.1232, -0.0456, -0.0361, 0.0961, 0.218, 0.3005, 0.3994, 0.343, 0.3091, 0.2703, 0.3791, 0.3263, 0.2595, 0.1882, 0.2261, 0.2369, 0.2306, 0.1882, 0.213, 0.1575, 0.2757, 0.315, 0.1295, 0.0894, 0.0939, 0.1304, 0.0059, 0.0126, 0.0397, 0.0835, 0.0718, 0.0718, 0.0763, 0.1372, 0.1453, 0.1801, 0.1801, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2018761274700800091", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-03T18:59:29+00:00", "symbol": "CRDO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd be personally buying at these levels", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Buying CRDO at current levels after 11% drop; sees panic selling as an opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRDO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@AndrewP64090323 Probably at a “Panic Sell Everything It’s All Over”. \n\nCrazy $CRDO is down 11% so far today, I’d be personally buying at these levels. https://t.co/y96M174lG4", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What’s the fear index on $CRDO?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "AndrewP64090323", "ret_m1d": 0.07771091290632293, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07771091290632293, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06918341308406228, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05183581550530514, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008527499822260642, "bench_c_m1d": 0.025875097401017788, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.12900908207092932, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.12900908207092932, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.12416516039203218, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.08963067744780162, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004843921678897134, "bench_c_p1d": -0.039378404623127694, "ret_p1w": 0.2103135762785937, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2103135762785937, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.20655748221168335, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.19251027407521648, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0037560940669103537, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017803302203377225, "ret_p1m": -0.0787889393174217, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0787889393174217, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07240771556283832, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08235968326704768, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.006381223754583387, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0035707439496259763, "ret_p3m": 0.6564550258457655, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6564550258457655, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.6084685675953663, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3744694678248406, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.047986458250399266, "bench_c_p3m": 0.28198555802092495, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.462, 0.4699, 0.5287, 0.424, 0.4405, 0.2843, 0.3073, 0.3079, 0.2538, 0.2746, 0.2104, 0.1993, 0.3552, 0.3851, 0.4735, 0.4735, 0.5955, 0.5374, 0.6929, 0.6997, 0.6254, 0.5815, 0.6076, 0.5299, 0.4193, 0.3877, 0.2929, 0.2759, 0.2608, 0.205, 0.2449, 0.3488, 0.347, 0.3279, 0.3493, 0.3493, 0.3011, 0.3, 0.3019, 0.2927, 0.2927, 0.2867, 0.2599, 0.1944, 0.2667, 0.272, 0.3514, 0.4021, 0.4498, 0.409, 0.3397, 0.3563, 0.3563, 0.3765, 0.2502, 0.2137, 0.1963, 0.1501, 0.164, 0.1649, 0.1631, 0.1255, 0.0777, 0.0, -0.129, -0.119, 0.0008, 0.1087, 0.2103, 0.1535, 0.0941, 0.091, 0.091, 0.1212, 0.1491, 0.1738, 0.1145, 0.1145, 0.0855, 0.1092, 0.0285, 0.0086, 0.0261, -0.1259, -0.0788, 0.0308, -0.0133, 0.042, 0.0092, 0.0413, 0.0023, 0.0573, 0.05, -0.0651, -0.0862, -0.0379, -0.0711, -0.0558, -0.0989, -0.0665, -0.1336, -0.1444, -0.2111, -0.1567, -0.1383, -0.0886, -0.0886, -0.0795, -0.0406, -0.0099, -0.0304, 0.0744, 0.2071, 0.4331, 0.5124, 0.4278, 0.4436, 0.568, 0.6469, 0.7024, 0.6669, 0.7522, 0.6216, 0.4906, 0.5791, 0.5633, 0.6565, 0.6176, 0.739, 0.7814, 0.6916, 0.6935, 0.8886, 0.7839, 0.7012, 0.6579, 0.5468, 0.4039, 0.5182, 0.6439, 0.7374, 0.9622, 0.9622, 0.9912, 0.9875, 0.9976, 1.1205, 1.1205, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028317242770014526", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-02T03:51:29+00:00", "symbol": "SLOIF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "投資は来年にしようと思っていました。でも、2028年頃に普及するCPO（共同パッケージ光技術）にとっては、大きなボトルネック（不可欠な存在）になりそうですね！", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Plans to invest in Soitec next year; sees it as an indispensable bottleneck play when CPO proliferates around 2028.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLOIF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "ja", "tweet_text": "@beauty_oe ソイテック（Soitec）はまだ少し早すぎる気がします。なので、投資は来年にしようと思っていました。でも、2028年頃に普及するCPO（共同パッケージ光技術）にとっては、大きなボトルネック（不可欠な存在）になりそうですね！", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "🌟次のCPO時代のボトルネック銘柄は？　by セレ様／調査中\n\n🔸CPO時代とは？\n\nCPO（Co-Packaged Optics）＝\nGPU/スイッチの横に光通信チップを直接載せる技術\n\n👉 AIクラスタが巨大化\n👉 電気配線では速度・電力が限界\n\n→ 800G → 1.6T → CPOへ進むと予想される\n\nそこで登場するのがSoitec\n$SLOIF", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "beauty_oe", "ret_m1d": -0.016460908733720858, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.016460908733720858, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015892653049514482, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.016411646865740814, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -4.926186798004384e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.016068973436011436, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.016068973436011436, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007254634953215766, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.021653452158292397, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03772242559430383, "ret_p1w": -0.06388395844633643, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06388395844633643, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05206837752282156, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03430641200576168, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.029577546440574753, "ret_p1m": 0.16715662939531173, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.16715662939531173, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.21707637097049548, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2237279523197726, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.056571322924460876, "ret_p3m": 3.4305310943808305, "ret_signed_p3m": 3.4305310943808305, "alpha_spy_p3m": 3.3281377152149227, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.954535141063059, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.4759959533177718, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3878, -0.3878, -0.3729, -0.3614, -0.3614, -0.3614, -0.3964, -0.3964, -0.4372, -0.4317, -0.448, -0.448, -0.448, -0.448, -0.4905, -0.4905, -0.4905, -0.4905, -0.4768, -0.4748, -0.5185, -0.5185, -0.5185, -0.5185, -0.5185, -0.4023, -0.4023, -0.3778, -0.3778, -0.3312, -0.3312, -0.3298, -0.32, -0.32, -0.3614, -0.3614, -0.3614, -0.3604, -0.3216, -0.3216, -0.3216, -0.341, -0.3778, -0.3974, -0.3982, -0.2677, -0.2847, -0.2771, -0.2771, -0.2771, -0.1082, -0.1082, -0.1082, -0.1082, -0.1082, -0.0921, -0.0921, -0.0921, -0.0921, -0.0962, -0.0962, -0.0165, -0.0165, 0.0, -0.0161, -0.0102, -0.0615, -0.0319, -0.0639, 0.011, 0.2058, 0.3041, 0.3333, 0.429, 0.3808, 0.4284, 0.2663, 0.1489, 0.1889, 0.1634, 0.2463, 0.2016, 0.2052, 0.1554, 0.1672, 0.1956, 0.1409, 0.1409, 0.1513, 0.1454, 0.2199, 0.2542, 0.454, 0.5352, 0.7155, 0.7938, 1.0098, 1.2144, 1.3271, 1.2732, 1.5279, 1.3518, 1.5475, 1.544, 1.2604, 1.6014, 1.9743, 1.969, 2.5126, 2.6251, 2.3823, 2.4203, 2.9859, 2.7415, 2.3804, 2.61, 2.4646, 2.3819, 2.2026, 2.2908, 2.6055, 2.8801, 3.0219, 3.0219, 2.7823, 2.4333, 3.4305, 3.0368, 3.0368, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2018754428757815580", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-03T18:32:17+00:00", "symbol": "PYPL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Now might be a good time to look for entry points. Especially when Fear has overridden fundamentals.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Suggests looking for entry points in fear-driven selloff across PYPL, COIN, and MSTR as fundamentals have been overridden by sentiment.", "resolved_tickers": ["PYPL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Stock markets have entered Fear territory after $PYPL dropped 20.7%+ today.\n\nCrypto markets are now in Extreme Fear after $COIN crashed 48% and $MSTR crashed 51% in the last 3 months. \n\nIt looks like retail is panicking. \n\nCash is a position, but it should have been one a week ago.\n\nNow might be a good time to look for entry points. Especially when Fear has overridden fundamentals.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.2549160391132357, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.2549160391132357, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.24638853929097504, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.24638853929097504, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008527499822260642, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008527499822260642, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.016067209082280653, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.016067209082280653, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01122328740338352, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01122328740338352, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004843921678897134, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004843921678897134, "ret_p1w": -0.0050359648858805395, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0050359648858805395, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.008792058952790893, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.008792058952790893, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0037560940669103537, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0037560940669103537, "ret_p1m": 0.1244974495357487, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1244974495357487, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1308786732903321, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1308786732903321, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.006381223754583387, "bench_c_p1m": -0.006381223754583387, "ret_p3m": 0.21325454139723887, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.21325454139723887, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1652680831468396, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1652680831468396, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.047986458250399266, "bench_c_p3m": 0.047986458250399266, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.5853, 0.5843, 0.5851, 0.6126, 0.6078, 0.5631, 0.5028, 0.4807, 0.4523, 0.4415, 0.3934, 0.4525, 0.4523, 0.4681, 0.4827, 0.4827, 0.5034, 0.5007, 0.5084, 0.4686, 0.4803, 0.4935, 0.4657, 0.4576, 0.4667, 0.4794, 0.4787, 0.4566, 0.4707, 0.4432, 0.4254, 0.4343, 0.4355, 0.4247, 0.4398, 0.4398, 0.4381, 0.4266, 0.4173, 0.4, 0.4, 0.3942, 0.4218, 0.4343, 0.4031, 0.3974, 0.3827, 0.3739, 0.3564, 0.3827, 0.3607, 0.3643, 0.3643, 0.3209, 0.3403, 0.3705, 0.3578, 0.3573, 0.3312, 0.2969, 0.2736, 0.2635, 0.2549, 0.0, -0.0161, -0.0432, -0.0307, -0.0132, -0.005, -0.0297, -0.0628, -0.0338, -0.0338, -0.0213, -0.006, 0.0007, -0.0012, 0.0564, 0.1276, 0.1348, 0.0918, 0.1082, 0.0942, 0.1122, 0.1245, 0.1459, 0.1298, 0.1103, 0.0829, 0.0961, 0.067, 0.08, 0.0925, 0.1096, 0.0725, 0.0629, 0.0586, 0.0942, 0.0634, 0.0788, 0.0872, 0.0485, 0.0745, 0.0879, 0.0735, 0.0906, 0.0906, 0.0939, 0.0793, 0.1028, 0.106, 0.0882, 0.1428, 0.1538, 0.1923, 0.1981, 0.2222, 0.2378, 0.2238, 0.232, 0.1967, 0.2142, 0.1971, 0.194, 0.2253, 0.206, 0.2133, 0.2121, 0.1182, 0.113, 0.1117, 0.0913, 0.0841, 0.093, 0.0879, 0.0834, 0.0682, 0.0676, 0.0543, 0.0674, 0.0656, 0.0639, 0.0639, 0.0622, 0.0526, 0.0694, 0.0764, 0.0764, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2018754428757815580", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-03T18:32:17+00:00", "symbol": "COIN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Now might be a good time to look for entry points. Especially when Fear has overridden fundamentals.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Suggests looking for entry points in fear-driven selloff across PYPL, COIN, and MSTR as fundamentals have been overridden by sentiment.", "resolved_tickers": ["COIN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Financial Data & Stock Exchanges'", "bench_c_industry": "Financial Data & Stock Exchanges", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Stock markets have entered Fear territory after $PYPL dropped 20.7%+ today.\n\nCrypto markets are now in Extreme Fear after $COIN crashed 48% and $MSTR crashed 51% in the last 3 months. \n\nIt looks like retail is panicking. \n\nCash is a position, but it should have been one a week ago.\n\nNow might be a good time to look for entry points. Especially when Fear has overridden fundamentals.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.045641749866954795, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.045641749866954795, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03711425004469415, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.036301170341592304, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008527499822260642, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009340579525362491, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06144945073965968, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06144945073965968, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05660552906076255, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06948236918762296, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004843921678897134, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008032918447963278, "ret_p1w": -0.0954581365117183, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0954581365117183, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09921423057862866, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09583182559151637, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0037560940669103537, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0003736890797980674, "ret_p1m": 0.1629187822389262, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1629187822389262, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.16930000599350958, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2008413832581798, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.006381223754583387, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0379226010192536, "ret_p3m": 0.06451072081512477, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06451072081512477, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0165242625647255, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08960153936683568, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.047986458250399266, "bench_c_p3m": -0.025090818551710914, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.6432, 0.7207, 0.7696, 0.6921, 0.6921, 0.576, 0.5808, 0.4692, 0.4571, 0.4321, 0.3256, 0.3381, 0.4247, 0.4144, 0.4748, 0.4748, 0.5185, 0.4463, 0.4653, 0.5414, 0.5254, 0.5013, 0.5262, 0.5438, 0.5312, 0.4974, 0.4887, 0.3939, 0.406, 0.3592, 0.3314, 0.3644, 0.3798, 0.3487, 0.3344, 0.3344, 0.3186, 0.3012, 0.2891, 0.2587, 0.2587, 0.3165, 0.4189, 0.3946, 0.3689, 0.367, 0.3402, 0.3524, 0.4065, 0.4241, 0.3318, 0.3423, 0.3423, 0.2676, 0.2631, 0.242, 0.2076, 0.1882, 0.1735, 0.1657, 0.1086, 0.0839, 0.0456, 0.0, -0.0614, -0.1867, -0.0809, -0.0691, -0.0955, -0.1473, -0.2147, -0.0854, -0.0854, -0.0759, -0.0869, -0.0764, -0.0463, -0.1081, -0.0981, 0.0238, 0.0078, -0.0212, 0.0311, 0.015, 0.1629, 0.145, 0.0977, 0.112, 0.0938, 0.1056, 0.0755, 0.0883, 0.1317, 0.1702, 0.126, 0.1294, 0.0993, 0.1167, 0.0077, 0.008, -0.035, -0.1031, -0.105, -0.0281, -0.0371, -0.0456, -0.0456, -0.0271, -0.0249, -0.0254, -0.0592, -0.0657, -0.0286, 0.0264, 0.0904, 0.1123, 0.1484, 0.1779, 0.0907, 0.1479, 0.1017, 0.1119, 0.0947, 0.0804, 0.0115, 0.0451, 0.0645, 0.1299, 0.1007, 0.1019, 0.074, 0.1197, 0.2056, 0.1557, 0.1232, 0.1801, 0.0878, 0.0544, 0.0768, 0.0647, 0.0774, 0.0297, 0.0297, 0.0019, -0.0327, 0.0144, 0.0522, 0.0522, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2018754428757815580", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-03T18:32:17+00:00", "symbol": "MSTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Now might be a good time to look for entry points. Especially when Fear has overridden fundamentals.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Suggests looking for entry points in fear-driven selloff across PYPL, COIN, and MSTR as fundamentals have been overridden by sentiment.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Stock markets have entered Fear territory after $PYPL dropped 20.7%+ today.\n\nCrypto markets are now in Extreme Fear after $COIN crashed 48% and $MSTR crashed 51% in the last 3 months. \n\nIt looks like retail is panicking. \n\nCash is a position, but it should have been one a week ago.\n\nNow might be a good time to look for entry points. Especially when Fear has overridden fundamentals.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04780137054297873, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04780137054297873, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.039273870720718085, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.039273870720718085, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008527499822260642, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008527499822260642, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03129219826533458, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03129219826533458, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.026448276586437447, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.026448276586437447, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004843921678897134, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004843921678897134, "ret_p1w": -0.0019510319492216377, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0019510319492216377, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0057071260161319914, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0057071260161319914, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0037560940669103537, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0037560940669103537, "ret_p1m": 0.09890446103758621, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09890446103758621, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1052856847921696, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1052856847921696, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.006381223754583387, "bench_c_p1m": -0.006381223754583387, "ret_p3m": 0.3295062694892794, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3295062694892794, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.28151981123888015, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.28151981123888015, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.047986458250399266, "bench_c_p3m": 0.047986458250399266, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.78, 0.8155, 0.7926, 0.7361, 0.6855, 0.5649, 0.4989, 0.4665, 0.5519, 0.3995, 0.3292, 0.2795, 0.3435, 0.2921, 0.318, 0.318, 0.3296, 0.2864, 0.3607, 0.4137, 0.3958, 0.3432, 0.3784, 0.4182, 0.3856, 0.3755, 0.3241, 0.2163, 0.2569, 0.2035, 0.1875, 0.2368, 0.2331, 0.1848, 0.191, 0.191, 0.1917, 0.1661, 0.1677, 0.1403, 0.1403, 0.1793, 0.2361, 0.1854, 0.2144, 0.253, 0.1806, 0.2174, 0.2981, 0.3457, 0.2825, 0.3035, 0.3035, 0.2024, 0.2293, 0.208, 0.224, 0.205, 0.2125, 0.189, 0.0745, 0.1234, 0.0478, 0.0, -0.0313, -0.1971, 0.0125, 0.0389, -0.002, -0.054, -0.077, 0.0047, 0.0047, -0.0344, -0.0605, -0.0286, -0.0166, -0.0717, -0.0649, 0.0179, 0.0011, -0.0282, 0.0329, -0.0044, 0.0989, 0.0492, 0.002, 0.0427, 0.039, 0.038, 0.0306, 0.0481, 0.107, 0.1277, 0.0548, 0.0374, 0.018, 0.0371, 0.0224, 0.044, -0.0025, -0.0543, -0.0887, -0.0635, -0.0786, -0.1008, -0.1008, -0.0418, -0.0716, -0.0372, -0.033, -0.0347, -0.0068, 0.0311, 0.0771, 0.1177, 0.2496, 0.2818, 0.2305, 0.3459, 0.2942, 0.2834, 0.2697, 0.2435, 0.1871, 0.2416, 0.3295, 0.3793, 0.4025, 0.4019, 0.3495, 0.4077, 0.4704, 0.3839, 0.336, 0.403, 0.3314, 0.2504, 0.2354, 0.2443, 0.2371, 0.1998, 0.1998, 0.2001, 0.1571, 0.1379, 0.1938, 0.1938, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2014077665381060688", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-21T20:48:29+00:00", "symbol": "MU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "having the former chairman of $TSM buy $8m of $MU on the open market last week is a bullish tell", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish MU; endorses parent's thesis, citing former TSMC chairman's $8M open-market purchase as a bullish signal.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@GVDInvestor Completely agree, having the former chairman of $TSM buy $8m of $MU on the open market last week is a bullish tell.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I wrote a full article on $MU. I think it can get up to a 30 PE based on the growth of HBM and its nearest competitors trade at those levels. \n\nThe low PE comes from the concern of its business cycle as cyclic. \n\nAi has flipped than on its head as HBM is just as important as the", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "GVDInvestor", "ret_m1d": -0.06196185767565987, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06196185767565987, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05055245529014518, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03325044464943039, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011409402385514689, "bench_c_m1d": -0.028711413026229482, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.021767591719483503, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.021767591719483503, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.016544361699755816, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.019553239308228054, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005223230019727687, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002214352411255449, "ret_p1w": 0.11865545411448353, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11865545411448353, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10403630343784775, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08208189037227953, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014619150676635773, "bench_c_p1w": 0.036573563742203996, "ret_p1m": 0.07257590073347964, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07257590073347964, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07391825165042243, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.052000129624203195, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0013423509169427916, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02057577110927644, "ret_p3m": 0.15290895992013187, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15290895992013187, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11606114597516592, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0014213958872131283, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.036847813944965946, "bench_c_p3m": 0.154330355807345, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4374, -0.4346, -0.4299, -0.4178, -0.4245, -0.4252, -0.3971, -0.4399, -0.3899, -0.3877, -0.3888, -0.3493, -0.3806, -0.3709, -0.3913, -0.3659, -0.3784, -0.413, -0.4196, -0.4827, -0.4673, -0.4247, -0.4232, -0.4085, -0.4085, -0.3925, -0.3823, -0.3848, -0.3985, -0.4178, -0.3906, -0.3657, -0.3516, -0.3225, -0.336, -0.3805, -0.3899, -0.4027, -0.4207, -0.3615, -0.3169, -0.2895, -0.2903, -0.2635, -0.2635, -0.2684, -0.2435, -0.248, -0.2665, -0.2665, -0.1894, -0.1978, -0.1174, -0.1274, -0.1596, -0.1131, -0.1111, -0.131, -0.1433, -0.1349, -0.0677, -0.0677, -0.062, 0.0, 0.0218, 0.0271, -0.0001, 0.0543, 0.1187, 0.12, 0.0662, 0.1251, 0.0779, -0.025, -0.016, 0.0143, -0.0144, -0.0408, 0.0546, 0.0639, 0.058, 0.058, 0.0274, 0.0818, 0.0726, 0.1004, 0.0819, 0.0743, 0.1025, 0.068, 0.0598, 0.0605, -0.0242, 0.03, 0.0204, -0.0483, 0.0005, 0.036, 0.076, 0.0417, 0.0951, 0.1354, 0.1865, 0.1866, 0.1418, 0.0868, 0.0392, 0.0165, -0.018, -0.0865, -0.082, -0.1726, -0.1314, -0.0542, -0.0584, -0.0584, -0.0288, -0.0292, 0.0457, 0.0837, 0.0814, 0.0967, 0.1972, 0.173, 0.1756, 0.17, 0.1529, 0.1554, 0.2533, 0.2385, 0.2771, 0.3487, 0.2966, 0.333, 0.3296, 0.394, 0.4821, 0.646, 0.7138, 0.6625, 0.9201, 1.0448, 0.9709, 1.0662, 0.9952, 0.8631, 0.7523, 0.7965, 0.882, 0.9594, 0.9309, 0.9309, 1.3033, 1.387, 1.3744, 1.4965, 1.4965, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2018741324409958533", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-03T17:40:12+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I buy when fear is max. I expect this to be a short term liquidity shock which I'm buying into, not quantitative tightening. Then a recovery once institutions reposition net long", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Buying BTC into max fear; expects short-term liquidity shock to resolve with institutional repositioning net long within days to weeks.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We went from Greed to Extreme Fear and “bear market/crypto winter” in just one day from the silver forced deleveraging lol. This is the 4th period within the last few years.\n\nAs someone who’s been through every crypto cycle since 2016, I buy when fear is max. \n\nI expect this to be a short term liquidity shock which I’m buying into, not quantitative tightening. \n\nThen a recovery one institutions reposition net long which could be in another day or two or weeks.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit The problem is the underlying. If you believe in the 4 year cycle then BTC is heading into hibernation for awhile which will leave all crypto stocks zombies for the next year. If you believe BTC will become bullish, then why not just bet on that instead? There’s even BITX for 2x", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "plaza404_", "ret_m1d": 0.040395021471746784, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.040395021471746784, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03186752164948614, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008527499822260642, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.03455931736640505, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03455931736640505, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.029715395687507917, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004843921678897134, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.0904305856342269, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0904305856342269, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09418667970113725, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0037560940669103537, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.03864645875765693, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03864645875765693, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.032265235003073545, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.006381223754583387, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": 0.0336550807171172, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0336550807171172, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.014331377533282064, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.047986458250399266, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3394, 0.3668, 0.4014, 0.3618, 0.3442, 0.3182, 0.2481, 0.2176, 0.2289, 0.2093, 0.1454, 0.125, 0.1671, 0.1548, 0.1968, 0.2069, 0.2021, 0.1413, 0.2078, 0.2366, 0.2183, 0.1819, 0.1984, 0.2255, 0.2167, 0.2232, 0.1935, 0.1426, 0.1614, 0.139, 0.13, 0.1649, 0.17, 0.1558, 0.1584, 0.1534, 0.1543, 0.1521, 0.1692, 0.157, 0.1732, 0.1892, 0.2413, 0.2393, 0.2072, 0.2035, 0.1967, 0.2057, 0.2603, 0.2816, 0.2633, 0.263, 0.2237, 0.1676, 0.1817, 0.1828, 0.1834, 0.167, 0.1781, 0.1792, 0.118, 0.1123, 0.0404, 0.0, -0.0346, -0.171, -0.0671, -0.0729, -0.0904, -0.1143, -0.1244, -0.0896, -0.0898, -0.1076, -0.1217, -0.1147, -0.1009, -0.1457, -0.1528, -0.1015, -0.1082, -0.1289, -0.0907, -0.097, -0.0386, -0.0634, -0.0991, -0.0956, -0.0755, -0.0718, -0.068, -0.0617, -0.0102, -0.0226, -0.058, -0.0756, -0.0676, -0.0624, -0.0676, -0.0572, -0.0905, -0.1229, -0.1182, -0.0978, -0.0999, -0.1156, -0.1151, -0.0896, -0.0488, -0.0596, -0.0511, -0.0351, -0.0152, -0.0192, -0.011, -0.0064, 0.0197, 0.0032, 0.0095, 0.034, 0.0348, 0.0241, 0.0229, 0.0095, 0.0019, 0.0089, 0.0337, 0.0555, 0.07, 0.0766, 0.0579, 0.0602, 0.0806, 0.064, 0.0482, 0.0716, 0.0454, 0.0175, 0.0148, 0.0241, 0.0252, -0.0019, 0.0218, 0.0025, -0.017, -0.0277, -0.0299, -0.0261, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2027480850397573567", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-27T20:27:58+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI's record-breaking earnings signals the start of a new paradigm for photonics, it's a great idea to get exposure", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish AAOI on optical transceiver demand surge to 2027+; sees rotation into upstream suppliers AIXA, VECO, IQE, AXTI and peers LITE, COHR as photonics paradigm shift begins.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AAOI's 10x projected rev surge in optical transceiver demand by 2027 for $4.3B ARR off a $5.5B MC... \n\nIs enormous.\n\n$LITE and $COHR might be crowded, but.\n\nWe'll likely see rotation upstream like:\n\n$ASML-type suppliers:\n\n- Aixtron (ETR: AIXA): ~75% share for inp MOCVD\n- $VECO - MOCVD and MBE (Molecular Beam Epitaxy) systems, probably second.\n- Oxford Instruments: Supplier to $AAOI and $COHR for plasma etch and deposition systems\n\nMerchant Epiwafer Fabs (Foundaries for photonics):\n\n- $IQE: largest outsourced compound semiconductor epiwafer manufacturer. 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{"unit_id": "orig:2027480850397573567", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-27T20:27:58+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LITE and $COHR might be crowded, but", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish AAOI on optical transceiver demand surge to 2027+; sees rotation into upstream suppliers AIXA, VECO, IQE, AXTI and peers LITE, COHR as photonics paradigm shift begins.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AAOI's 10x projected rev surge in optical transceiver demand by 2027 for $4.3B ARR off a $5.5B MC... \n\nIs enormous.\n\n$LITE and $COHR might be crowded, but.\n\nWe'll likely see rotation upstream like:\n\n$ASML-type suppliers:\n\n- Aixtron (ETR: AIXA): ~75% share for inp MOCVD\n- $VECO - MOCVD and MBE (Molecular Beam Epitaxy) systems, probably second.\n- Oxford Instruments: Supplier to $AAOI and $COHR for plasma etch and deposition systems\n\nMerchant Epiwafer Fabs (Foundaries for photonics):\n\n- $IQE: largest outsourced compound semiconductor epiwafer manufacturer. Basically $TSM of photonics world but lot of legacy drag.\n- LandMark Optoelectronics: Most direct, pure-play for optical transceiver unit growth\n- IntelliEPI (TPE: 2462): MBE rather than MOCVD to create high-performance InP epiwafers\n\nRaw Substrate Suppliers (base materials):\n- $AXTI/ Sumitomo : everyone knows by now\n\nTransceiver ramp projections is staggering, and this is only 2027.\n\nIt's likely exponentially increasing into 2028.\n\n$AAOI's record-breaking earnings signals the start of a new paradigm for photonics, it's a great idea to get exposure.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.034112759213943855, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.034112759213943855, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03893787239216895, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03893787239216895, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.11747589563615723, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.11747589563615723, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.11690731685382594, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.11690731685382594, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "ret_p1w": -0.20326429379218858, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.20326429379218858, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1834243469796869, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1834243469796869, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "ret_p1m": -0.06580016961419, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06580016961419, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.01043140833958478, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01043140833958478, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "ret_p3m": 0.2873407885901671, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2873407885901671, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.19037209950016165, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.19037209950016165, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.568, -0.5677, -0.5323, -0.5272, -0.5113, -0.4859, -0.4778, -0.4691, -0.5372, -0.5225, -0.5489, -0.5431, -0.519, -0.4701, -0.4438, -0.4473, -0.4351, -0.4351, -0.4425, -0.4684, -0.4704, -0.4741, -0.4741, -0.4491, -0.4906, -0.433, -0.4395, -0.5031, -0.4986, -0.5151, -0.4845, -0.5269, -0.5103, -0.5374, -0.5374, -0.4909, -0.4829, -0.4942, -0.5161, -0.5257, -0.4712, -0.4507, -0.4558, -0.441, -0.3959, -0.3792, -0.3358, -0.2803, -0.2125, -0.1766, -0.1994, -0.1809, -0.1676, -0.1971, -0.1971, -0.1434, -0.1522, -0.0931, -0.0473, -0.0374, -0.018, 0.0321, -0.0341, 0.0, 0.1175, -0.0092, -0.0287, -0.0715, -0.2033, -0.0859, -0.0412, -0.0412, -0.121, -0.1119, -0.1085, -0.0733, -0.0001, 0.1016, 0.0078, 0.04, 0.1442, 0.1088, -0.0173, 0.0026, -0.0658, 0.0026, 0.0909, 0.1797, 0.1797, 0.1018, 0.1638, 0.2784, 0.2757, 0.2802, 0.2429, 0.2167, 0.1756, 0.2715, 0.2756, 0.2771, 0.194, 0.2464, 0.2083, 0.2579, 0.2265, 0.1291, 0.2246, 0.2874, 0.3553, 0.3927, 0.419, 0.3472, 0.2735, 0.2895, 0.5025, 0.4158, 0.47, 0.4293, 0.3849, 0.2626, 0.2699, 0.2385, 0.3761, 0.351, 0.351, 0.2995, 0.2873, 0.2279, 0.2198, 0.2198, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2027480850397573567", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-27T20:27:58+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LITE and $COHR might be crowded, but", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish AAOI on optical transceiver demand surge to 2027+; sees rotation into upstream suppliers AIXA, VECO, IQE, AXTI and peers LITE, COHR as photonics paradigm shift begins.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AAOI's 10x projected rev surge in optical transceiver demand by 2027 for $4.3B ARR off a $5.5B MC... \n\nIs enormous.\n\n$LITE and $COHR might be crowded, but.\n\nWe'll likely see rotation upstream like:\n\n$ASML-type suppliers:\n\n- Aixtron (ETR: AIXA): ~75% share for inp MOCVD\n- $VECO - MOCVD and MBE (Molecular Beam Epitaxy) systems, probably second.\n- Oxford Instruments: Supplier to $AAOI and $COHR for plasma etch and deposition systems\n\nMerchant Epiwafer Fabs (Foundaries for photonics):\n\n- $IQE: largest outsourced compound semiconductor epiwafer manufacturer. Basically $TSM of photonics world but lot of legacy drag.\n- LandMark Optoelectronics: Most direct, pure-play for optical transceiver unit growth\n- IntelliEPI (TPE: 2462): MBE rather than MOCVD to create high-performance InP epiwafers\n\nRaw Substrate Suppliers (base materials):\n- $AXTI/ Sumitomo : everyone knows by now\n\nTransceiver ramp projections is staggering, and this is only 2027.\n\nIt's likely exponentially increasing into 2028.\n\n$AAOI's record-breaking earnings signals the start of a new paradigm for photonics, it's a great idea to get exposure.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0339473739418793, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0339473739418793, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03877248712010439, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03877248712010439, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.15440471215085938, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.15440471215085938, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.15383613336852808, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.15383613336852808, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "ret_p1w": -0.0896380956691274, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0896380956691274, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06979814885662572, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06979814885662572, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "ret_p1m": -0.15170123156988324, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15170123156988324, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07546965361610847, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07546965361610847, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "ret_p3m": 0.46827329173806054, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.46827329173806054, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3713046026480551, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3713046026480551, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3632, -0.3397, -0.3151, -0.2979, -0.2822, -0.2557, -0.2374, -0.2334, -0.3112, -0.3108, -0.3234, -0.3418, -0.3214, -0.2823, -0.2624, -0.259, -0.2609, -0.2609, -0.2596, -0.27, -0.2785, -0.2872, -0.2872, -0.2495, -0.2803, -0.2503, -0.26, -0.3313, -0.3123, -0.2848, -0.2661, -0.289, -0.2432, -0.2622, -0.2622, -0.2528, -0.222, -0.2171, -0.2394, -0.2362, -0.1735, -0.1459, -0.1663, -0.1806, -0.1409, -0.1149, -0.1851, -0.1919, -0.1207, -0.0636, -0.118, -0.1361, -0.1654, -0.161, -0.161, -0.1505, -0.1353, -0.1022, -0.0415, -0.0388, -0.0157, 0.0346, -0.0339, 0.0, 0.1544, 0.0845, 0.0615, -0.0195, -0.0896, -0.0255, 0.0066, -0.029, -0.0682, -0.0624, -0.0446, -0.0507, -0.0066, 0.0643, -0.0205, -0.015, 0.0518, 0.0506, -0.0604, -0.0597, -0.1517, -0.08, -0.043, -0.003, -0.003, -0.0221, -0.0148, 0.0883, 0.0975, 0.1876, 0.1892, 0.2104, 0.1903, 0.2668, 0.3325, 0.3421, 0.3277, 0.3535, 0.3041, 0.298, 0.2418, 0.1739, 0.1777, 0.2347, 0.2725, 0.2741, 0.2966, 0.3311, 0.2327, 0.2948, 0.4664, 0.4444, 0.5591, 0.5639, 0.477, 0.4013, 0.3657, 0.3845, 0.4599, 0.4582, 0.4582, 0.4728, 0.4683, 0.4558, 0.396, 0.396, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2027480850397573567", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-02-27T20:27:58+00:00", "symbol": "AIXA.DE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Aixtron (ETR: AIXA): ~75% share for inp MOCVD", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish AAOI on optical transceiver demand surge to 2027+; sees rotation into upstream suppliers AIXA, VECO, IQE, AXTI and peers LITE, COHR as photonics paradigm shift begins.", "resolved_tickers": ["AIXA.DE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AAOI's 10x projected rev surge in optical transceiver demand by 2027 for $4.3B ARR off a $5.5B MC... \n\nIs enormous.\n\n$LITE and $COHR might be crowded, but.\n\nWe'll likely see rotation upstream like:\n\n$ASML-type suppliers:\n\n- Aixtron (ETR: AIXA): ~75% share for inp MOCVD\n- $VECO - MOCVD and MBE (Molecular Beam Epitaxy) systems, probably second.\n- Oxford Instruments: Supplier to $AAOI and $COHR for plasma etch and deposition systems\n\nMerchant Epiwafer Fabs (Foundaries for photonics):\n\n- $IQE: largest outsourced compound semiconductor epiwafer manufacturer. Basically $TSM of photonics world but lot of legacy drag.\n- LandMark Optoelectronics: Most direct, pure-play for optical transceiver unit growth\n- IntelliEPI (TPE: 2462): MBE rather than MOCVD to create high-performance InP epiwafers\n\nRaw Substrate Suppliers (base materials):\n- $AXTI/ Sumitomo : everyone knows by now\n\nTransceiver ramp projections is staggering, and this is only 2027.\n\nIt's likely exponentially increasing into 2028.\n\n$AAOI's record-breaking earnings signals the start of a new paradigm for photonics, it's a great idea to get exposure.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.07318842734299535, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07318842734299535, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07801354052122045, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08706744084351492, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013879013500519566, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06521739883787725, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06521739883787725, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06464882005554595, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06516813454304615, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "bench_c_p1d": 4.926429483109729e-05, "ret_p1w": 0.04420286284179564, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04420286284179564, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06404280965429732, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10771640436483731, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "bench_c_p1w": -0.06351354152304167, "ret_p1m": 0.17934779482280971, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.17934779482280971, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2555793727765845, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.28722976658415544, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "bench_c_p1m": -0.10788197176134573, "ret_p3m": 1.0785106940543243, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.0785106940543243, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.9815420049643189, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.613097383142253, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.4654133109120713, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3793, -0.3699, -0.344, -0.3353, -0.3574, -0.3614, -0.3603, -0.3578, -0.3578, -0.3578, -0.383, -0.383, -0.383, -0.3976, -0.3837, -0.3793, -0.3793, -0.3793, -0.3793, -0.3779, -0.373, -0.373, -0.373, -0.2902, -0.2609, -0.2257, -0.2482, -0.2891, -0.2609, -0.2754, -0.2746, -0.3138, -0.2746, -0.2766, -0.3002, -0.31, -0.233, -0.2475, -0.2326, -0.2438, -0.2391, -0.2873, -0.2962, -0.2984, -0.2893, -0.2819, -0.2736, -0.2667, -0.2638, -0.2348, -0.1877, -0.1989, -0.225, -0.175, -0.1605, -0.1514, -0.1402, -0.1511, -0.1659, -0.1681, -0.1246, -0.1214, -0.0732, 0.0, 0.0652, 0.046, 0.1018, 0.054, 0.0442, 0.0362, 0.146, 0.1971, 0.1696, 0.1812, 0.2112, 0.2301, 0.2442, 0.1975, 0.1989, 0.2301, 0.2178, 0.325, 0.2848, 0.2264, 0.1793, 0.1848, 0.2174, 0.2058, 0.2058, 0.2058, 0.2301, 0.3638, 0.3221, 0.383, 0.3315, 0.275, 0.5344, 0.4822, 0.604, 0.5728, 0.6388, 0.6891, 0.683, 0.6873, 0.6004, 0.558, 0.6192, 0.7022, 0.7022, 0.7409, 0.8623, 0.8101, 0.775, 0.813, 0.7221, 0.6793, 0.8681, 1.0087, 0.8888, 0.83, 0.8169, 0.9085, 0.9019, 0.9506, 0.9622, 0.9172, 1.0785, 1.1512, 1.1163, 1.1163, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2027480850397573567", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-02-27T20:27:58+00:00", "symbol": "VECO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$VECO - MOCVD and MBE (Molecular Beam Epitaxy) systems, probably second", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish AAOI on optical transceiver demand surge to 2027+; sees rotation into upstream suppliers AIXA, VECO, IQE, AXTI and peers LITE, COHR as photonics paradigm shift begins.", "resolved_tickers": ["VECO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AAOI's 10x projected rev surge in optical transceiver demand by 2027 for $4.3B ARR off a $5.5B MC... \n\nIs enormous.\n\n$LITE and $COHR might be crowded, but.\n\nWe'll likely see rotation upstream like:\n\n$ASML-type suppliers:\n\n- Aixtron (ETR: AIXA): ~75% share for inp MOCVD\n- $VECO - MOCVD and MBE (Molecular Beam Epitaxy) systems, probably second.\n- Oxford Instruments: Supplier to $AAOI and $COHR for plasma etch and deposition systems\n\nMerchant Epiwafer Fabs (Foundaries for photonics):\n\n- $IQE: largest outsourced compound semiconductor epiwafer manufacturer. Basically $TSM of photonics world but lot of legacy drag.\n- LandMark Optoelectronics: Most direct, pure-play for optical transceiver unit growth\n- IntelliEPI (TPE: 2462): MBE rather than MOCVD to create high-performance InP epiwafers\n\nRaw Substrate Suppliers (base materials):\n- $AXTI/ Sumitomo : everyone knows by now\n\nTransceiver ramp projections is staggering, and this is only 2027.\n\nIt's likely exponentially increasing into 2028.\n\n$AAOI's record-breaking earnings signals the start of a new paradigm for photonics, it's a great idea to get exposure.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0035994964749312963, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0035994964749312963, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.001225616703293797, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01027951702558827, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013879013500519566, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06937175642283755, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06937175642283755, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06880317764050625, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06932249212800645, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "bench_c_p1d": 4.926429483109729e-05, "ret_p1w": -0.008507861041411102, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.008507861041411102, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.011332085771090572, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05500568048163057, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "bench_c_p1w": -0.06351354152304167, "ret_p1m": 0.07428018340255904, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07428018340255904, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15051176135633382, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.18216215516390477, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "bench_c_p1m": -0.10788197176134573, "ret_p3m": 0.9712042778535162, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.9712042778535162, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.8742355887635107, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5057909669414449, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.4654133109120713, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0471, 0.0291, 0.0304, 0.0488, 0.0517, 0.0556, 0.0543, 0.0563, 0.002, 0.0065, -0.0062, -0.0438, -0.0488, -0.0416, -0.0389, -0.0321, -0.0412, -0.0412, -0.0416, -0.0432, -0.0474, -0.0648, -0.0648, -0.0007, 0.0167, 0.0648, 0.0821, 0.0393, 0.0834, 0.107, 0.1178, 0.089, 0.1155, 0.0789, 0.0789, 0.0249, 0.0795, 0.0998, 0.0586, 0.0334, 0.0556, 0.0566, 0.0713, 0.0219, 0.0314, -0.0167, -0.035, -0.0524, 0.0043, -0.0016, 0.0295, 0.0668, 0.053, 0.0998, 0.0998, 0.124, -0.0406, -0.0514, -0.0406, -0.0599, -0.0393, -0.0687, 0.0036, 0.0, 0.0694, 0.0625, 0.0592, 0.0419, -0.0085, 0.0075, 0.0301, 0.0353, 0.0295, 0.0128, 0.0252, 0.0065, 0.0144, 0.0278, 0.0029, 0.034, 0.1253, 0.2094, 0.179, 0.1541, 0.0743, 0.108, 0.1345, 0.1243, 0.1243, 0.1502, 0.1495, 0.2467, 0.2749, 0.3102, 0.3125, 0.3325, 0.3959, 0.4035, 0.4061, 0.5291, 0.5651, 0.6482, 0.6417, 0.6927, 0.6276, 0.5651, 0.5654, 0.6312, 0.6443, 0.6666, 0.6211, 1.0291, 0.8887, 0.9444, 1.0029, 1.0111, 0.9719, 0.9473, 0.9188, 0.821, 0.7896, 0.8534, 0.8894, 0.9486, 0.9486, 1.0445, 0.9712, 0.9349, 0.8861, 0.8861, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2027480850397573567", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2026-02-27T20:27:58+00:00", "symbol": "IQE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$IQE: largest outsourced compound semiconductor epiwafer manufacturer", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish AAOI on optical transceiver demand surge to 2027+; sees rotation into upstream suppliers AIXA, VECO, IQE, AXTI and peers LITE, COHR as photonics paradigm shift begins.", "resolved_tickers": ["IQE.L"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "IQE plc LSE-listed epiwafer supplier", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AAOI's 10x projected rev surge in optical transceiver demand by 2027 for $4.3B ARR off a $5.5B MC... \n\nIs enormous.\n\n$LITE and $COHR might be crowded, but.\n\nWe'll likely see rotation upstream like:\n\n$ASML-type suppliers:\n\n- Aixtron (ETR: AIXA): ~75% share for inp MOCVD\n- $VECO - MOCVD and MBE (Molecular Beam Epitaxy) systems, probably second.\n- Oxford Instruments: Supplier to $AAOI and $COHR for plasma etch and deposition systems\n\nMerchant Epiwafer Fabs (Foundaries for photonics):\n\n- $IQE: largest outsourced compound semiconductor epiwafer manufacturer. Basically $TSM of photonics world but lot of legacy drag.\n- LandMark Optoelectronics: Most direct, pure-play for optical transceiver unit growth\n- IntelliEPI (TPE: 2462): MBE rather than MOCVD to create high-performance InP epiwafers\n\nRaw Substrate Suppliers (base materials):\n- $AXTI/ Sumitomo : everyone knows by now\n\nTransceiver ramp projections is staggering, and this is only 2027.\n\nIt's likely exponentially increasing into 2028.\n\n$AAOI's record-breaking earnings signals the start of a new paradigm for photonics, it's a great idea to get exposure.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.05263157894736836, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05263157894736836, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04780646576914327, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0387525654468488, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013879013500519566, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.34736844112998555, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.34736844112998555, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.34679986234765425, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.34731917683515445, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "bench_c_p1d": 4.926429483109729e-05, "ret_p1w": 0.03473683407432149, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03473683407432149, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05457678088682316, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09825037559736316, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "bench_c_p1w": -0.06351354152304167, "ret_p1m": 0.21578949376156453, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21578949376156453, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2920210717153393, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.32367146552291026, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "bench_c_p1m": -0.10788197176134573, "ret_p3m": 1.668421092786287, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.668421092786287, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.5714524036962816, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.2030077818742158, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.4654133109120713, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7368, -0.7405, -0.7326, -0.7358, -0.7358, -0.7353, -0.73, -0.7258, -0.7432, -0.7421, -0.7382, -0.7387, -0.7342, -0.7316, -0.73, -0.7382, -0.7387, -0.7387, -0.7387, -0.7387, -0.7368, -0.7368, -0.7368, -0.7289, -0.7353, -0.7326, -0.7063, -0.6763, -0.6137, -0.4505, -0.4805, -0.5263, -0.5711, -0.5868, -0.53, -0.59, -0.5979, -0.5895, -0.5774, -0.5974, -0.5968, -0.5779, -0.5921, -0.5837, -0.5774, -0.5947, -0.5816, -0.5889, -0.5832, -0.57, -0.4737, -0.4611, -0.4579, -0.4421, -0.4474, -0.4411, -0.4495, -0.4537, -0.4484, -0.3274, -0.3579, -0.1568, 0.0526, 0.0, 0.3474, 0.3684, 0.4132, 0.1289, 0.0347, 0.0042, 0.1947, 0.2789, 0.1947, 0.2237, 0.2158, 0.1368, 0.3447, 0.2026, 0.2421, 0.2368, 0.3447, 0.5526, 0.4, 0.2895, 0.2158, 0.2842, 0.3211, 0.2421, 0.2421, 0.2421, 0.3421, 0.5105, 0.5789, 0.9474, 1.5842, 1.5158, 1.8421, 2.0842, 1.7421, 2.0842, 2.3158, 2.2947, 1.6184, 1.5053, 1.6, 1.1184, 1.1263, 1.2763, 1.1658, 1.1658, 1.6316, 1.3447, 1.4026, 1.4789, 1.8684, 1.4816, 1.6579, 1.6105, 1.4211, 1.0579, 0.6842, 0.9763, 1.0974, 1.4079, 1.4079, 1.8421, 1.6684, 1.5079, 1.5, 1.5, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2027480850397573567", "ticker_idx": 6, "ts": "2026-02-27T20:27:58+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AXTI/ Sumitomo : everyone knows by now", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish AAOI on optical transceiver demand surge to 2027+; sees rotation into upstream suppliers AIXA, VECO, IQE, AXTI and peers LITE, COHR as photonics paradigm shift begins.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AAOI's 10x projected rev surge in optical transceiver demand by 2027 for $4.3B ARR off a $5.5B MC... \n\nIs enormous.\n\n$LITE and $COHR might be crowded, but.\n\nWe'll likely see rotation upstream like:\n\n$ASML-type suppliers:\n\n- Aixtron (ETR: AIXA): ~75% share for inp MOCVD\n- $VECO - MOCVD and MBE (Molecular Beam Epitaxy) systems, probably second.\n- Oxford Instruments: Supplier to $AAOI and $COHR for plasma etch and deposition systems\n\nMerchant Epiwafer Fabs (Foundaries for photonics):\n\n- $IQE: largest outsourced compound semiconductor epiwafer manufacturer. Basically $TSM of photonics world but lot of legacy drag.\n- LandMark Optoelectronics: Most direct, pure-play for optical transceiver unit growth\n- IntelliEPI (TPE: 2462): MBE rather than MOCVD to create high-performance InP epiwafers\n\nRaw Substrate Suppliers (base materials):\n- $AXTI/ Sumitomo : everyone knows by now\n\nTransceiver ramp projections is staggering, and this is only 2027.\n\nIt's likely exponentially increasing into 2028.\n\n$AAOI's record-breaking earnings signals the start of a new paradigm for photonics, it's a great idea to get exposure.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.020580542548567893, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.020580542548567893, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.025405655726792986, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03445955604908746, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013879013500519566, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.22216353113326304, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.22216353113326304, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.22159495235093174, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.22211426683843194, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "bench_c_p1d": 4.926429483109729e-05, "ret_p1w": -0.1459103528061375, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1459103528061375, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.12607040599363584, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08239681128309584, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "bench_c_p1w": -0.06351354152304167, "ret_p1m": 0.39129280789688603, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.39129280789688603, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4675243858506608, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.49917477965823176, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "bench_c_p1m": -0.10788197176134573, "ret_p3m": 2.239313765178519, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.239313765178519, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.1423450760885134, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.7739004542664476, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.4654133109120713, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6897, -0.6971, -0.6807, -0.6945, -0.6646, -0.6053, -0.5908, -0.5678, -0.6092, -0.6087, -0.657, -0.6739, -0.6303, -0.6135, -0.5984, -0.6137, -0.604, -0.604, -0.5945, -0.615, -0.5831, -0.5686, -0.5686, -0.5578, -0.5602, -0.4678, -0.3639, -0.3185, -0.3934, -0.4132, -0.4325, -0.4169, -0.3214, -0.4172, -0.4172, -0.4351, -0.4781, -0.5272, -0.5409, -0.5303, -0.5462, -0.5559, -0.5678, -0.5108, -0.4475, -0.4792, -0.5053, -0.4609, -0.3652, -0.2673, -0.3575, -0.2929, -0.3459, -0.3604, -0.3604, -0.3876, -0.3789, -0.3718, -0.2169, -0.2499, -0.0744, 0.081, -0.0206, 0.0, 0.2222, 0.1018, 0.0325, 0.0237, -0.1459, 0.0174, 0.1689, 0.2496, 0.233, 0.2892, 0.2768, 0.1704, 0.2865, 0.5327, 0.4311, 0.7003, 0.8058, 0.777, 0.5438, 0.5997, 0.3913, 0.5034, 0.2438, 0.3942, 0.3942, 0.1079, 0.1995, 0.4032, 0.6654, 0.6934, 0.7533, 0.7757, 0.6604, 1.1578, 1.1784, 1.0781, 0.9781, 1.2939, 0.986, 1.0095, 0.8509, 0.8129, 0.8752, 1.0902, 1.533, 1.7968, 1.8377, 1.766, 1.8607, 2.0702, 2.3195, 2.2427, 2.2174, 2.0338, 2.266, 1.7937, 1.9784, 1.7602, 2.1931, 2.7158, 2.7158, 2.4987, 2.2393, 2.0528, 1.7219, 1.7219, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2033487083826970753", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-16T10:14:35+00:00", "symbol": "Nebius Group", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Still is Nebius. I'm just saying it was my first Neocloud pick and my favorite Neocloud pick. I have high conviction in Weebius", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "High-conviction long on Nebius as top neocloud AI infrastructure/DC pick.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Nebius Group trades as NBIS on NASDAQ", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Viv_Kumar_ Still is Nebius. I’m just saying it was my first Neocloud pick and my favorite Neocloud pick.\n\nI have high conviction in Weebius", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit \"was\"\n\nWhats your top neocloud AI nfrastruture DC pick now boss?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Viv_Kumar_", "ret_m1d": -0.13015023766576383, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.13015023766576383, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1200758967727108, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12251992349076146, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010074340893053035, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007630314175002373, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.10412016663043411, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.10412016663043411, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.10675072150040932, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.10446698401024546, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00263055486997521, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0003468173798113483, "ret_p1w": -0.12090877042486059, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12090877042486059, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1031813407704315, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10130993845482839, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017727429654429083, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019598831970032204, "ret_p1m": 0.2471312655334701, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2471312655334701, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.20628622036414623, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.23324111665351577, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04084504516932386, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013890148879954323, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4189, -0.3986, -0.3111, -0.282, -0.3067, -0.2982, -0.2982, -0.3255, -0.3374, -0.3441, -0.3554, -0.3554, -0.3073, -0.2851, -0.228, -0.2591, -0.2507, -0.2458, -0.1734, -0.1881, -0.2146, -0.2, -0.1626, -0.1626, -0.2353, -0.2386, -0.2541, -0.2722, -0.2956, -0.2463, -0.2266, -0.2691, -0.3439, -0.3211, -0.3073, -0.3655, -0.4311, -0.3369, -0.2847, -0.2931, -0.3176, -0.309, -0.2452, -0.2452, -0.249, -0.216, -0.1713, -0.2459, -0.2252, -0.21, -0.1827, -0.1923, -0.2977, -0.2991, -0.3315, -0.247, -0.2634, -0.3121, -0.2688, -0.2574, -0.1375, -0.168, -0.1302, 0.0, -0.1041, -0.0869, -0.0642, -0.0942, -0.1209, -0.1151, -0.1137, -0.1839, -0.2236, -0.2895, -0.2009, -0.2149, -0.162, -0.162, -0.1333, -0.0959, -0.0374, 0.0499, 0.1164, 0.1903, 0.2471, 0.2843, 0.2733, 0.2102, 0.2257, 0.2056, 0.2025, 0.2097, 0.1333, 0.1164, 0.0436, 0.0873, 0.0645, 0.1898, 0.3586, 0.3548, 0.5024, 0.4229, 0.3635, 0.4332, 0.3794, 0.5962, 0.7031, 0.6938, 0.5392, 0.5228, 0.4772, 0.6937, 0.654, 0.654, 0.6023, 0.6047, 0.7431, 0.7797, 0.7797, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2030236553708966027", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-07T10:58:09+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I would personally hop on the boat on Monday to add fuel to the fire to see where this heads. Could be history in the making.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Strongly bullish HIMS into Monday: 40% short float + lawsuit dropped + NVO partnership + global expansion sets up massive short squeeze; author was previously bearish but now turning long.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Monday could make history.\n\nAs one of the largest short squeezes in history could unfold. \n\n> Institutions shorted 40% of $HIMS (extraordinarily large)\n\n> expecting 0 revenue growth\n\n> betting the FDA and $NVO would bankrupt the company\n\nAll in one day:\n\n> $HIMS lawsuit with Novo Nordisk dropped.\n\n> Hims sudden revenue acceleration begins again.\n\n> All while $HIMS expanded to Canada, Australia, and Japan via Eucalyptus in the meantime. \n\n> $HIMS expanded to UK and Europe with Zava\n\n> Now suddenly a legal global distribution network, healthy balance sheet, $NVO partnership, and 40% of the float shorted.\n\nLikely 0 people expected this. \n\nEspecially short sellers who now face billions in infinite losses, that thought HIMS would be bankrupted. \n\nI was bearish on $HIMS too, but this is a massive turnaround story. \n\nThe two likely scenarios: \n\n1. One scenario is a Volkswagen-type short squeeze on Monday if all the short sellers tries to cover at once Monday\n\nIt's very likely some short sellers want to exit before others do at $22 for risk-management and this causes immediate buying pressure.\n\n2. The other scenario is growth in $HIMS reignited with the $NVO partnership and a slower $TSLA-style squeeze over time as company fundamentals improve.\n\nGiven $HIMS was once trading at $70 and now it's back at $22, with both legal clarity + revenue acceleration.\n\nI would personally hop on the boat on Monday to add fuel to the fire to see where this heads. \n\nCould be history in the making.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.2897111967734822, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.2897111967734822, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.281027243409127, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.281027243409127, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0591154997726846, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0591154997726846, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06072262667805173, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06072262667805173, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "ret_p1w": 0.12274365216984151, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12274365216984151, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.13636655889404026, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13636655889404026, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "ret_p1m": -0.12003609502383417, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12003609502383417, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09460413060422168, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09460413060422168, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.7094, 0.7044, 0.6792, 0.6358, 0.6634, 0.5781, 0.569, 0.6047, 0.5817, 0.5704, 0.5645, 0.5645, 0.5483, 0.5388, 0.491, 0.4653, 0.4653, 0.5077, 0.5663, 0.6002, 0.6002, 0.5284, 0.4301, 0.4594, 0.4531, 0.4134, 0.4093, 0.4161, 0.4161, 0.375, 0.3037, 0.3773, 0.3366, 0.3664, 0.3394, 0.2938, 0.3479, 0.2225, 0.1931, 0.1525, 0.1011, 0.0596, 0.0388, -0.1277, -0.222, -0.2468, -0.287, -0.2644, -0.2644, -0.2658, -0.2852, -0.2861, -0.2947, -0.3001, -0.3023, -0.2861, -0.296, -0.3448, -0.2563, -0.2861, -0.2577, -0.2834, -0.2897, 0.0, 0.0591, 0.1679, 0.0758, 0.1178, 0.1227, 0.1273, 0.0447, 0.0903, -0.0063, 0.0135, -0.037, -0.0596, -0.0587, -0.1255, -0.1525, -0.0632, -0.1047, -0.1363, -0.1363, -0.0826, -0.12, -0.125, -0.1088, -0.1232, -0.0456, -0.0361, 0.0961, 0.218, 0.3005, 0.3994, 0.343, 0.3091, 0.2703, 0.3791, 0.3263, 0.2595, 0.1882, 0.2261, 0.2369, 0.2306, 0.1882, 0.213, 0.1575, 0.2757, 0.315, 0.1295, 0.0894, 0.0939, 0.1304, 0.0059, 0.0126, 0.0397, 0.0835, 0.0718, 0.0718, 0.0763, 0.1372, 0.1453, 0.1801, 0.1801, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2012199466166616492", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-16T16:25:12+00:00", "symbol": "AIRO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Mass production = higher revenue, hence long $AIRO", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AIRO: central to Pentagon Replicator drone program; mass drone proliferation drives mass demand for its interceptor bullet drones, boosting revenue.", "resolved_tickers": ["AIRO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AIRO is now up 76.07%. \n\nDon’t think it’s had more than 1 red day since the original posts.\n\nSimple thesis TLDR: central to Pentagon \"Replicator\", which aims to field thousands of low-cost, disposable drones.\n\nTheir “bullet drone” basically intercepts drones or cruise missiles. \n\nAnd destroys them.\n\nGiven warfare is moving to drones, $AIRO just benefits from the sheer, sheer amount of bullet drones needed to intercept and destroy the mass production of other drones.\n\nEveryone mass producing drones? \n\n-> You need someone to mass produce drones that destroy those drones.\n\nMass production = higher revenue, hence long $AIRO", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I’ve taken a position in $AIRO and it’s up +23% since this post 3 days ago. \n\nMarkets still don’t know about this Aerospace &amp; Defense stock, despite $ONDS hype.\n\nIt’s a drone stock ~$300m MC, with $120m+ est. for 2026 (~2.5 fwd p/s)\n\nOthers trade at 30-40+ multiples and bigger https://t.co/HxgEzUXKZE", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.012715039472630196, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.012715039472630196, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.013553616085058562, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.006004402294444211, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0008385766124283656, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006710637178185985, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.088257316026629, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.088257316026629, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08474400122273884, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07219982797503788, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0035133148038901663, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01605748805159113, "ret_p1m": -0.31189230456149486, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.31189230456149486, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.29756447499367467, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3554513489088179, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.014327829567820194, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04355904434732305, "ret_p3m": -0.3747195416428635, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3747195416428635, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.38945449276748256, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.40324554851348515, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.014734951124619089, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02852600687062168, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3448, 0.279, 0.2902, 0.3074, 0.2962, 0.258, 0.2565, 0.2229, 0.2236, 0.2177, 0.0673, 0.0617, -0.0187, 0.0075, 0.0322, 0.0194, 0.0, -0.0464, -0.2446, -0.2274, -0.2625, -0.3366, -0.4121, -0.4024, -0.4114, -0.4136, -0.3837, -0.3837, -0.353, -0.3874, -0.3807, -0.3455, -0.2827, -0.2909, -0.2737, -0.282, -0.2726, -0.2745, -0.3642, -0.4046, -0.4248, -0.4458, -0.445, -0.3994, -0.3194, -0.3119, -0.3007, -0.3007, -0.3463, -0.3792, -0.3904, -0.3882, -0.3882, -0.3089, -0.2431, -0.166, -0.1967, -0.1062, -0.0658, -0.0666, -0.0366, -0.0105, -0.0127, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0479, -0.0898, -0.0628, -0.0883, -0.1436, -0.1249, -0.1511, -0.1832, -0.2304, -0.2483, -0.2378, -0.2857, -0.3657, -0.279, -0.2446, -0.2872, -0.3111, -0.3186, -0.3119, -0.3119, -0.3156, -0.2999, -0.2364, -0.3037, -0.2782, -0.2468, -0.2595, -0.2393, -0.267, -0.1997, -0.2476, -0.2461, -0.2341, -0.2461, -0.2109, -0.1975, -0.2147, -0.2393, -0.2678, -0.2468, -0.2057, -0.2536, -0.255, -0.3134, -0.2708, -0.2895, -0.2954, -0.3224, -0.3583, -0.359, -0.4312, -0.3852, -0.3485, -0.3485, -0.3455, -0.3463, -0.3403, -0.3957, -0.4106, -0.4121, -0.3957, -0.3747, -0.353, -0.3964, -0.3575, -0.3717, -0.3493, -0.3829, -0.4069, -0.3852, -0.4046, -0.439, -0.4286, -0.445, -0.4585, -0.4652, -0.4443, -0.46, -0.451, -0.4069, -0.4144, -0.4144, -0.5052, -0.5236, -0.5505, -0.5625, -0.5527, -0.5318, -0.5093, -0.5093, -0.4764, -0.4547, -0.3351, -0.3283, -0.3283, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2032580674427957346", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-13T22:12:50+00:00", "symbol": "AVGO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "as a long itself, it's solid", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "AVGO is a solid long overall, but not the best vehicle for optical sector exposure given ASIC-driven growth dominates.", "resolved_tickers": ["AVGO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Same as going long on Sumitomo instead of $AXTI. \n\nYou're buying a big giant for lower direct exposure to the sector growth. Once might be up 15% YTD, the other might be up 300%. \n\nBuying $AVGO for optical related stuff when a large portion of their growth comes from ASICs is not a great idea. But as a long itself, it's solid.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thoughts on $AVGO? Thx 🙏", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "FL_DAYTR8R", "ret_m1d": 0.0428669162416877, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0428669162416877, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03717458753689651, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04080144664655827, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005692328704791194, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002065469595129432, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008567231996458036, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008567231996458036, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.001609634115025127, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00844675371063408, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010176866111483163, "bench_c_p1d": 0.017013985707092116, "ret_p1w": -0.036162146619834856, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.036162146619834856, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.018120590836787853, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.029475351309171782, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.018041555783047003, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006686795310663074, "ret_p1m": 0.18123477078660377, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.18123477078660377, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14245459748934453, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03662936529942762, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.038780173297259246, "bench_c_p1m": 0.14460540548717615, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0574, 0.01, 0.022, 0.0545, 0.0599, 0.0843, 0.0871, 0.0871, 0.093, 0.0845, 0.086, 0.0743, 0.0743, 0.079, 0.066, 0.0671, 0.0662, 0.032, 0.0708, 0.0933, 0.1007, 0.055, 0.0648, 0.0917, 0.0917, 0.0324, 0.0206, 0.0103, -0.0065, 0.0083, 0.033, 0.0344, 0.0266, 0.0284, 0.0278, -0.0057, -0.0438, -0.0362, 0.0334, 0.0676, 0.0567, 0.0639, 0.028, 0.0093, 0.0093, 0.0322, 0.0352, 0.0367, 0.0326, 0.0254, 0.0103, 0.0315, -0.0014, -0.0081, -0.0104, -0.0258, -0.0144, 0.0329, 0.0258, 0.0732, 0.0634, 0.0602, 0.0429, 0.0, 0.0086, -0.0026, -0.0193, -0.0072, -0.0362, 0.0032, -0.0099, -0.0083, -0.0375, -0.0647, -0.0873, -0.0373, -0.0249, -0.0216, -0.0216, -0.0219, 0.0388, 0.0907, 0.104, 0.1557, 0.1812, 0.1844, 0.234, 0.2395, 0.2646, 0.2431, 0.251, 0.3147, 0.3062, 0.315, 0.3008, 0.2437, 0.2612, 0.2984, 0.3104, 0.2955, 0.3293, 0.3234, 0.2833, 0.3375, 0.3327, 0.3043, 0.2964, 0.368, 0.3226, 0.3086, 0.2787, 0.2995, 0.2895, 0.2882, 0.2882, 0.3127, 0.3122, 0.3269, 0.3897, 0.3897, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2030674861413318825", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-08T15:59:49+00:00", "symbol": "000660.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It still looks undervalued as AI demand makes memory structural", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long SK Hynix: structurally undervalued on AI-driven memory demand, ~$300B projected 2-year operating profit vs ~$400B market cap.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Memory demand is structural due to AI. Price hikes might not be.\n\nWhen there's Morgan Stanley projections of:\n\n~$132.9B (2026) + ~$167.0B (2027) = ~300B operating profit from SK Hynix in the next two years and SK Hynix's marketcap is ~$400B. \n\nThey will be sitting on piles of cash. I'm not even citing bull-case projections where Macquarie projects $500B operating income because it looks absurd. \n\nBut in the base case event that record operating income goes back to earlier levels if dram/nand prices decrease.\n\nIt still looks undervalued as AI demand makes memory structural. \n\nAI fundamentally changes how labelled \"commodities\" work like GPUs or memory. \n\nThis is not 2022 where smartphone/consumer electronic decreases crash prices and you can just cite low/pe = short like commodity cycles before.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I think valuations were just absurdly stretched", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "4intheflames", "ret_m1d": 0.10526311066951677, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.10526311066951677, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.113947064033872, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.15873981591527397, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.053476705245757206, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.12200955542508463, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.12200955542508463, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.12361668233045175, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.1488225836890028, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02681302826391818, "ret_p1w": 0.16507170307476637, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16507170307476637, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.17869460979896512, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1709720189290802, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005900315854313831, "ret_p1m": 0.09569377775770538, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09569377775770538, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12112574217731786, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1457348336900739, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05004105593236852, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2991, -0.3254, -0.3182, -0.3385, -0.3672, -0.3421, -0.3409, -0.3469, -0.3075, -0.3027, -0.2979, -0.2979, -0.2848, -0.2359, -0.2227, -0.2227, -0.2227, -0.1917, -0.169, -0.1332, -0.1141, -0.0974, -0.1117, -0.1057, -0.1189, -0.1141, -0.1057, -0.0974, -0.0878, -0.1129, -0.1165, -0.0986, -0.0842, -0.1212, -0.0448, 0.0041, 0.028, 0.0853, -0.009, 0.0829, 0.0746, 0.0053, 0.0017, 0.0591, 0.0459, 0.0268, 0.0602, 0.0507, 0.0507, 0.0507, 0.0507, 0.0674, 0.1331, 0.1355, 0.1999, 0.2155, 0.3146, 0.2691, 0.2691, 0.1232, 0.0156, 0.1256, 0.1053, 0.0, 0.122, 0.1423, 0.1124, 0.0885, 0.1651, 0.1603, 0.2632, 0.2117, 0.2045, 0.116, 0.1794, 0.1902, 0.116, 0.116, 0.0443, -0.0347, 0.073, -0.0072, 0.0478, 0.0598, 0.0957, 0.2356, 0.1938, 0.2285, 0.244, 0.3194, 0.3589, 0.3816, 0.3493, 0.3947, 0.4641, 0.4629, 0.4653, 0.4617, 0.5455, 0.555, 0.5467, 0.5383, 0.5383, 0.7309, 0.7309, 0.9151, 0.9785, 1.0167, 1.2488, 1.195, 1.3636, 1.3565, 1.1758, 1.201, 1.0873, 1.0873, 1.3206, 1.3218, 1.3218, 1.4545, 1.683, 1.7385, 1.7911, 1.8492, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2036544513725145424", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-24T20:43:43+00:00", "symbol": "INTC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Long term bullish on $INTC. You have downside protection from the government, since America needs Intel to succeed.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long-term bullish INTC; downside protection from US government strategic need.", "resolved_tickers": ["INTC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@AleMissakian Long term bullish on $INTC. You have downside protection from the government, since America needs Intel to succeed. \n\nGreat hold if you have the patience, won't be a 100-200% a month type stock for sure. \n\nI've been guilty of swing trading it recently instead of holding.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What’s your thesis on Intel? Do you have a position in it?  Thanks, as always, for sharing.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "AleMissakian", "ret_m1d": -0.0011348853880909227, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0011348853880909227, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004503041534482999, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004503041534482999, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07081250192098487, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07081250192098487, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06523974297359891, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06523974297359891, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "ret_p1w": 0.0015887356478081482, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0015887356478081482, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.005936642583350471, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.005936642583350471, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "ret_p1m": 0.48138889261662166, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.48138889261662166, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3925465674572848, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3925465674572848, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1793, -0.1784, -0.1675, -0.1534, -0.1625, -0.1625, -0.1062, -0.1064, -0.0912, -0.0325, -0.067, 0.0338, 0.0, 0.0733, 0.1058, 0.0967, 0.0658, 0.0658, 0.1021, 0.2313, 0.2329, 0.0229, -0.0356, -0.003, 0.1071, 0.1044, 0.0547, 0.1078, 0.1178, 0.103, 0.0949, 0.1482, 0.1403, 0.0697, 0.096, 0.0549, 0.062, 0.062, 0.0481, 0.0318, 0.0127, 0.0011, -0.0098, 0.0468, 0.064, 0.0318, 0.0352, 0.0327, -0.0218, 0.0345, 0.0429, -0.0145, 0.0345, 0.0617, 0.089, 0.027, 0.0388, 0.0386, 0.0, 0.022, 0.0481, -0.0043, -0.0011, 0.0, 0.0708, 0.0009, -0.0211, -0.0651, 0.0016, 0.0901, 0.1434, 0.1434, 0.1525, 0.2009, 0.3379, 0.4008, 0.4158, 0.4793, 0.4483, 0.4739, 0.5547, 0.5547, 0.4911, 0.5039, 0.4814, 0.5157, 0.8734, 0.929, 0.9183, 1.1505, 1.1443, 1.261, 1.1739, 1.4546, 1.5649, 1.488, 1.8352, 1.9378, 1.7374, 1.7301, 1.6312, 1.4687, 1.4551, 1.5148, 1.7, 1.6895, 1.7199, 1.7199, 1.8034, 1.7637, 1.7438, 1.6028, 1.6028, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2031768855287394699", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-11T16:26:58+00:00", "symbol": "CODA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$CODA looks very fundamentally sound. High cash balance, net income positive, and extremely high margins for the sector + sensors. Iran placing mines in the Strait just gave sonar/detection stocks like these and $KRKNF the biggest tailwind of the decade.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long CODA on strong fundamentals + Iran strait-mining as decade-tailwind for sonar/detection; also bullish KRKNF on same theme; AVAV flagged as drone-warfare beneficiary.", "resolved_tickers": ["CODA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Not exactly, $CODA looks very fundamentally sound.\n\n High cash balance, net income positive, and extremely high margins for the sector + sensors. \n\nIf anything, Iran placing mines in the Strait just gave sonar/detection stocks like these and $KRKNF the biggest tailwind of the decade. \n\nWarfare in Venezulea focused more on drones like $AVAV and never really went underwater. \n\nSo this is probably one of the first times everyone sees the applications now + leads to more sector inflows, even if TAM didn't exactly increase too much.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Aren't you afraid of $CODA earnings coming soon?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "bilbooo__", "ret_m1d": 0.14637485363023428, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.14637485363023428, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.14511811328782853, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.14511811328782853, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008207926573078339, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008207926573078339, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0069770222962851625, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0069770222962851625, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "ret_p1w": -0.11901503315583817, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11901503315583817, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09698434237667275, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09698434237667275, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "ret_p1m": -0.15321475982573196, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15321475982573196, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16125344585520074, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.16125344585520074, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "bench_c_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3782, -0.3782, -0.3666, -0.3926, -0.3707, -0.3584, -0.3461, -0.3666, -0.3475, -0.3475, -0.3598, -0.394, -0.3653, -0.3639, -0.3639, -0.3495, -0.3146, -0.3112, -0.3181, -0.3126, -0.2992, -0.3119, -0.1799, -0.2035, -0.2155, -0.2264, -0.2264, -0.262, -0.2134, -0.2517, -0.2715, -0.2825, -0.3071, -0.3222, -0.2565, -0.2715, -0.2606, -0.2339, -0.223, -0.2688, -0.2155, -0.1471, -0.106, -0.2045, -0.1156, -0.0834, -0.0834, -0.0629, -0.1036, -0.0982, -0.0797, -0.054, -0.026, 0.013, -0.0253, -0.0725, -0.0424, -0.0568, -0.0328, -0.0438, -0.015, 0.0226, 0.1464, 0.0, -0.0082, -0.0383, -0.0684, -0.0588, -0.119, -0.1327, -0.1881, -0.1758, -0.1833, -0.1833, -0.21, -0.2209, -0.2551, -0.2271, -0.2052, -0.1867, -0.1867, -0.1936, -0.1997, -0.1778, -0.1532, -0.1642, -0.0971, -0.1176, -0.1101, -0.0848, -0.0923, -0.1392, -0.1778, -0.1751, -0.158, -0.1614, -0.2326, -0.2394, -0.249, -0.2264, -0.2052, -0.212, -0.2021, -0.1847, -0.186, -0.1717, -0.1724, -0.1908, -0.2018, -0.184, -0.2182, -0.2182, -0.2394, -0.2244, -0.2196, -0.1881, -0.1881, -0.1512, -0.1477, -0.1176, -0.1423, -0.1423, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2031768855287394699", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-11T16:26:58+00:00", "symbol": "KRKNF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Iran placing mines in the Strait just gave sonar/detection stocks like these and $KRKNF the biggest tailwind of the decade.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long CODA on strong fundamentals + Iran strait-mining as decade-tailwind for sonar/detection; also bullish KRKNF on same theme; AVAV flagged as drone-warfare beneficiary.", "resolved_tickers": ["KRKNF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Scientific & Technical Instruments'", "bench_c_industry": "Scientific & Technical Instruments", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Not exactly, $CODA looks very fundamentally sound.\n\n High cash balance, net income positive, and extremely high margins for the sector + sensors. \n\nIf anything, Iran placing mines in the Strait just gave sonar/detection stocks like these and $KRKNF the biggest tailwind of the decade. \n\nWarfare in Venezulea focused more on drones like $AVAV and never really went underwater. \n\nSo this is probably one of the first times everyone sees the applications now + leads to more sector inflows, even if TAM didn't exactly increase too much.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Aren't you afraid of $CODA earnings coming soon?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "bilbooo__", "ret_m1d": 0.031377901973728584, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.031377901973728584, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.030121161631322835, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03614889818110534, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004770996207376754, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.034106412360451976, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.034106412360451976, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.018921463491088475, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01566310789454317, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "bench_c_p1d": -0.018443304465908805, "ret_p1w": -0.04447472580887324, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04447472580887324, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02244403502970782, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.026885988205940348, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01758873760293289, "ret_p1m": -0.16780355141553638, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16780355141553638, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.17584223744500516, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.18073998567519267, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012936434259656293, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3915, -0.3956, -0.4134, -0.4407, -0.427, -0.4008, -0.4038, -0.3793, -0.3768, -0.3768, -0.352, -0.3697, -0.3634, -0.3632, -0.3632, -0.3256, -0.2925, -0.2992, -0.2775, -0.2156, -0.2251, -0.1746, -0.1419, -0.2202, -0.2101, -0.2143, -0.2143, -0.2497, -0.2538, -0.2074, -0.1692, -0.1528, -0.1187, -0.0959, -0.1432, -0.1965, -0.1795, -0.1869, -0.2428, -0.2497, -0.1869, -0.1855, -0.1774, -0.2019, -0.2724, -0.2633, -0.2633, -0.2415, -0.1828, -0.1869, -0.1746, -0.204, -0.1392, -0.1432, -0.1187, -0.1501, -0.0804, -0.0641, -0.0896, -0.1209, -0.1623, -0.075, 0.0314, 0.0, -0.0341, -0.0614, -0.0437, 0.0041, -0.0445, -0.0859, -0.116, -0.0804, -0.0914, -0.1106, -0.191, -0.1855, -0.257, -0.2101, -0.1869, -0.1801, -0.1801, -0.1569, -0.1651, -0.1705, -0.1678, -0.1896, -0.1187, -0.1501, -0.1569, -0.116, -0.1228, -0.1255, -0.182, -0.1419, -0.1817, -0.1937, -0.1965, -0.2265, -0.2408, -0.2142, -0.2565, -0.2265, -0.2906, -0.281, -0.2838, -0.3044, -0.307, -0.3206, -0.292, -0.2583, -0.2769, -0.295, -0.2652, -0.2183, -0.2397, -0.276, -0.276, -0.1965, -0.1883, -0.2292, -0.2548, -0.2548, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2031768855287394699", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-11T16:26:58+00:00", "symbol": "AVAV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Warfare in Venezulea focused more on drones like $AVAV", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long CODA on strong fundamentals + Iran strait-mining as decade-tailwind for sonar/detection; also bullish KRKNF on same theme; AVAV flagged as drone-warfare beneficiary.", "resolved_tickers": ["AVAV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Not exactly, $CODA looks very fundamentally sound.\n\n High cash balance, net income positive, and extremely high margins for the sector + sensors. \n\nIf anything, Iran placing mines in the Strait just gave sonar/detection stocks like these and $KRKNF the biggest tailwind of the decade. \n\nWarfare in Venezulea focused more on drones like $AVAV and never really went underwater. \n\nSo this is probably one of the first times everyone sees the applications now + leads to more sector inflows, even if TAM didn't exactly increase too much.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Aren't you afraid of $CODA earnings coming soon?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "bilbooo__", "ret_m1d": 0.06662500303919705, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06662500303919705, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0653682626967913, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06349795282249193, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0031270502167051184, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.019977900354442024, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.019977900354442024, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.035162849223805526, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04505307477887821, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "bench_c_p1d": -0.025075174424436186, "ret_p1w": 0.03908925308325162, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03908925308325162, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06111994386241704, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06451850814255566, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "bench_c_p1w": -0.025429255059304046, "ret_p1m": -0.14456265054125617, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14456265054125617, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15260133657072494, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.16334743171861132, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01878478117735516, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1505, 0.1328, 0.1296, 0.1029, 0.1105, 0.1698, 0.2294, 0.2572, 0.255, 0.255, 0.2276, 0.1994, 0.1746, 0.1644, 0.1644, 0.2333, 0.4317, 0.5262, 0.5331, 0.6606, 0.757, 0.7844, 0.7516, 0.838, 0.8224, 0.8912, 0.8912, 0.5929, 0.5387, 0.5025, 0.4815, 0.457, 0.4903, 0.4776, 0.4115, 0.3402, 0.2997, 0.3739, 0.2386, 0.1403, 0.2381, 0.3207, 0.2673, 0.1718, 0.1319, 0.174, 0.174, 0.266, 0.2779, 0.3559, 0.2739, 0.258, 0.2625, 0.2286, 0.2498, 0.2143, 0.0028, 0.099, 0.0903, 0.0618, 0.1062, 0.0942, 0.0666, 0.0, 0.02, -0.0032, 0.02, 0.0712, 0.0391, 0.0174, -0.0482, -0.007, -0.0556, -0.0419, -0.0569, -0.1122, -0.1481, -0.1188, -0.1166, -0.1125, -0.1125, -0.0889, -0.1005, -0.1001, -0.1446, -0.1348, -0.0642, -0.0636, -0.0448, -0.0276, -0.0785, -0.0505, 0.0113, 0.0114, -0.028, -0.0551, -0.0577, -0.0741, -0.1166, -0.0612, -0.1096, -0.1322, -0.1976, -0.1606, -0.1904, -0.1899, -0.1987, -0.1871, -0.225, -0.2044, -0.2394, -0.2225, -0.2287, -0.2111, -0.2149, -0.1613, -0.1613, -0.1226, -0.1273, 0.0321, -0.0024, -0.0024, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2034426807018279168", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-19T00:28:43+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "hard to see a bear market if companies like $LITE are sold out until 2028?", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish LITE and memory names through 2028 on sold-out demand visibility; holds through volatility as long as fundamentals intact.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "There’s always a bull market somewhere. I’m typically good at spotting it early (eg. 2024 was $MSTR Bitcoin halving frontrun) so doesn’t always apply to AI supply chains.\n\nBut hard to see a bear market if companies like $LITE are sold out until 2028? And memory names are sold out until 2028?\n\nThere’s short term volatility, but with that type of demand visibility, hard to see medium term drawdowns unless there’s a major macro event. And in those cases, if fundamentals don’t change and it’s just liquidity, then I’m a holder.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Congrats on amazing results. Do you hold everything even through bear markets as long as fundamental story doesn’t change?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LillyL464172", "ret_m1d": -0.09236787441648908, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09236787441648908, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09483830287855577, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09483830287855577, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002470428462066687, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002470428462066687, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08519294533419741, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08519294533419741, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07085716946169318, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07085716946169318, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01433577587250423, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01433577587250423, "ret_p1w": -0.10792226252428938, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10792226252428938, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0882977865731911, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0882977865731911, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019624475951098286, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019624475951098286, "ret_p1m": 0.1579267761520462, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1579267761520462, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07869153761837122, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07869153761837122, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07923523853367498, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07923523853367498, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4951, -0.4983, -0.4872, -0.4872, -0.4939, -0.5174, -0.5193, -0.5226, -0.5226, -0.4999, -0.5376, -0.4853, -0.4912, -0.549, -0.5449, -0.5598, -0.532, -0.5705, -0.5554, -0.5801, -0.5801, -0.5379, -0.5306, -0.5409, -0.5607, -0.5694, -0.52, -0.5014, -0.506, -0.4925, -0.4516, -0.4365, -0.3971, -0.3467, -0.2851, -0.2525, -0.2733, -0.2565, -0.2444, -0.2712, -0.2712, -0.2224, -0.2304, -0.1768, -0.1352, -0.1261, -0.1086, -0.0631, -0.1232, -0.0922, 0.0144, -0.1006, -0.1183, -0.1571, -0.2768, -0.1702, -0.1297, -0.1297, -0.2021, -0.1938, -0.1908, -0.1587, -0.0924, 0.0, -0.0852, -0.0559, 0.0387, 0.0065, -0.1079, -0.0899, -0.152, -0.0898, -0.0097, 0.0709, 0.0709, 0.0002, 0.0565, 0.1605, 0.158, 0.1621, 0.1283, 0.1045, 0.0672, 0.1542, 0.1579, 0.1593, 0.0839, 0.1314, 0.0968, 0.1418, 0.1134, 0.0249, 0.1116, 0.1686, 0.2303, 0.2643, 0.2881, 0.223, 0.156, 0.1705, 0.3639, 0.2852, 0.3345, 0.2975, 0.2572, 0.1462, 0.1528, 0.1243, 0.2491, 0.2263, 0.2263, 0.1796, 0.1686, 0.1146, 0.1073, 0.1073, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2034426807018279168", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-19T00:28:43+00:00", "symbol": "memory", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "memory names are sold out until 2028?", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish LITE and memory names through 2028 on sold-out demand visibility; holds through volatility as long as fundamentals intact.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU", "000660.KS", "005930.KS"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Memory sector basket: Micron, SK Hynix, Samsung", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "There’s always a bull market somewhere. I’m typically good at spotting it early (eg. 2024 was $MSTR Bitcoin halving frontrun) so doesn’t always apply to AI supply chains.\n\nBut hard to see a bear market if companies like $LITE are sold out until 2028? And memory names are sold out until 2028?\n\nThere’s short term volatility, but with that type of demand visibility, hard to see medium term drawdowns unless there’s a major macro event. And in those cases, if fundamentals don’t change and it’s just liquidity, then I’m a holder.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Congrats on amazing results. Do you hold everything even through bear markets as long as fundamental story doesn’t change?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LillyL464172", "ret_m1d": 0.04054964829851645, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04054964829851645, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03807921983644976, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.043714846205683854, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002470428462066687, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0031651979071674052, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01983689792100159, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01983689792100159, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0055011220484973596, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005940532564228034, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01433577587250423, "bench_c_p1d": -0.025777430485229624, "ret_p1w": -0.12687330853117748, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12687330853117748, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1072488325800792, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09122047603065339, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019624475951098286, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03565283250052409, "ret_p1m": 0.07260020181406694, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07260020181406694, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.006635036719608037, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10272641593164285, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07923523853367498, "bench_c_p1m": 0.1753266177457098, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4192, -0.4165, -0.4081, -0.4081, -0.3961, -0.3703, -0.3673, -0.3727, -0.3727, -0.3273, -0.3076, -0.2729, -0.2671, -0.2756, -0.2656, -0.2637, -0.2751, -0.2729, -0.2622, -0.232, -0.2287, -0.2407, -0.2165, -0.2005, -0.1954, -0.2135, -0.1643, -0.1272, -0.1231, -0.1233, -0.1489, -0.1089, -0.1386, -0.1713, -0.1646, -0.1443, -0.1566, -0.1307, -0.1008, -0.1009, -0.1009, -0.1098, -0.0939, -0.0774, -0.051, -0.0509, -0.0238, -0.0054, 0.0359, 0.0185, 0.0187, -0.0818, -0.1337, -0.0739, -0.1052, -0.1444, -0.0765, -0.0557, -0.0775, -0.0758, -0.0343, -0.0121, 0.0405, 0.0, -0.0198, -0.0799, -0.0634, -0.0717, -0.1269, -0.1256, -0.1775, -0.2023, -0.1128, -0.1548, -0.1266, -0.1032, -0.0878, -0.0041, -0.0154, -0.0032, -0.0027, 0.0565, 0.0678, 0.0856, 0.0726, 0.0776, 0.1049, 0.1307, 0.1387, 0.1406, 0.1929, 0.1761, 0.1911, 0.1787, 0.1975, 0.2962, 0.344, 0.4703, 0.4819, 0.5627, 0.6912, 0.644, 0.7266, 0.7238, 0.5931, 0.5852, 0.5577, 0.5834, 0.7094, 0.6897, 0.6897, 0.8458, 0.9464, 0.9455, 1.0248, 1.0899, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2015953304803803269", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-27T01:01:37+00:00", "symbol": "REMX", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$REMX is a good critical materials ETF. I'm sure it's great exposures to the sector", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Recommends REMX as a good ETF for critical materials sector exposure.", "resolved_tickers": ["REMX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@estcstfreedom $REMX is a good critical materials ETF. I haven’t looked at the portfolio weightings of the names above but I’m sure it’s great exposures to the sector", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Is there an ETF that has all of these?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "estcstfreedom", "ret_m1d": -0.0071713650636731074, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0071713650636731074, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.003202911702745892, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.003202911702745892, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0039684533609272155, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0039684533609272155, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0009220773150534489, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0009220773150534489, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0008214074114035741, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0008214074114035741, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00010066990364987483, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00010066990364987483, "ret_p1w": -0.07591439008067724, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07591439008067724, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06734495253064476, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06734495253064476, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.008569437550032477, "bench_c_p1w": -0.008569437550032477, "ret_p1m": 0.00604442510195069, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.00604442510195069, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.009408859040978323, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.009408859040978323, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0033644339390276334, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0033644339390276334, "ret_p3m": 0.009732578038130324, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.009732578038130324, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.01959897116168907, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.01959897116168907, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029331549199819396, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029331549199819396, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.28, -0.2907, -0.3339, -0.3558, -0.3583, -0.3605, -0.3439, -0.3044, -0.3128, -0.3117, -0.3013, -0.2936, -0.2748, -0.2788, -0.2587, -0.2919, -0.3062, -0.304, -0.2813, -0.2602, -0.2602, -0.2473, -0.263, -0.2638, -0.2655, -0.286, -0.2741, -0.2614, -0.2543, -0.2511, -0.2455, -0.271, -0.2894, -0.295, -0.2791, -0.2747, -0.2698, -0.2387, -0.2328, -0.2201, -0.2201, -0.2138, -0.2418, -0.2419, -0.2427, -0.2427, -0.2134, -0.1834, -0.1406, -0.1291, -0.1553, -0.1294, -0.0898, -0.0862, -0.0644, -0.0724, -0.0864, -0.0864, -0.083, -0.0489, -0.0208, 0.0087, -0.0072, 0.0, -0.0009, -0.0418, -0.1227, -0.1311, -0.0759, -0.1081, -0.1634, -0.1125, -0.0909, -0.0909, -0.0583, -0.1066, -0.081, -0.081, -0.0883, -0.0631, -0.077, -0.0882, -0.0644, -0.0299, 0.006, -0.0005, 0.0231, 0.0573, -0.0275, 0.0026, -0.0431, -0.052, -0.0298, -0.0115, -0.0071, -0.0389, -0.083, -0.0769, -0.0767, -0.1121, -0.1502, -0.1896, -0.1432, -0.1331, -0.0867, -0.1333, -0.1179, -0.1243, -0.0985, -0.093, -0.0892, -0.0892, -0.0939, -0.0873, -0.0411, -0.0452, -0.0319, 0.0143, 0.0122, -0.0017, 0.0557, 0.0412, 0.0564, 0.0306, 0.0634, 0.0065, 0.0097, 0.0342, 0.0031, 0.0351, 0.0801, 0.0913, 0.0462, 0.0637, 0.1171, 0.0917, 0.0898, 0.1221, 0.1068, 0.0886, 0.0229, -0.0107, -0.0299, -0.0561, -0.0249, -0.0196, -0.0081, -0.0081, 0.0138, 0.0043, 0.0399, 0.0207, 0.0207, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2031745824171126896", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-11T14:55:27+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Nebiusは、AIの未来にエクスポージャーを取るための長期銘柄として一番のお気に入り", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long NBIS as top long-term AI exposure pick; NVDA's $2B investment is a strong signal given the market cap.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "ja", "tweet_text": "@beauty_oe $NBIS の時価総額を考えると $NVDA による20億ドルの投資はとてつもなく大きく、彼らの今後の成長を裏付ける超強力なシグナルだ！Nebiusは、AIの未来にエクスポージャーを取るための長期銘柄として一番のお気に入り", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "🌟 $NBIS についてのセレニティの考え\n\n僕はNebiusは将来的にAmazon級のハイパースケーラーになる可能性があると確信している。\n\nなぜなら、Nebiusは5つの事業を持つ企業群で、それぞれが前年比3桁成長（トリプルディジット成長)しているからだ。\n\n内訳：\n・Nebius\nAIクラウド事業で", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "beauty_oe", "ret_m1d": -0.1389794371149411, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1389794371149411, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.14023617745734684, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1422273054172145, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0032478683022734156, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03531409200465763, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03531409200465763, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.020129143135294125, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.020527783801718047, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01478630820293958, "ret_p1w": 0.058618640573336434, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.058618640573336434, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08064933135250185, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08716559025659587, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "bench_c_p1w": -0.028546949683259437, "ret_p1m": 0.21728647250035737, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21728647250035737, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2092477864708886, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2375031427147838, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "bench_c_p1m": -0.020216670214426413, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.217, -0.2755, -0.2772, -0.3263, -0.3027, -0.2012, -0.1676, -0.1961, -0.1863, -0.1863, -0.2179, -0.2318, -0.2395, -0.2526, -0.2526, -0.1968, -0.1711, -0.105, -0.1409, -0.1312, -0.1256, -0.0417, -0.0586, -0.0894, -0.0724, -0.0292, -0.0292, -0.1134, -0.1172, -0.1352, -0.1562, -0.1834, -0.1261, -0.1033, -0.1526, -0.2393, -0.2128, -0.1968, -0.2643, -0.3404, -0.2312, -0.1707, -0.1804, -0.2088, -0.1988, -0.1249, -0.1249, -0.1292, -0.091, -0.0392, -0.1257, -0.1017, -0.0841, -0.0525, -0.0635, -0.1858, -0.1874, -0.225, -0.1269, -0.1459, -0.2024, -0.1523, -0.139, 0.0, -0.0353, 0.0085, 0.1594, 0.0387, 0.0586, 0.085, 0.0502, 0.0192, 0.026, 0.0276, -0.0538, -0.0998, -0.1762, -0.0735, -0.0897, -0.0283, -0.0283, 0.0049, 0.0483, 0.1161, 0.2173, 0.2944, 0.3801, 0.446, 0.4891, 0.4763, 0.4031, 0.4211, 0.3978, 0.3942, 0.4026, 0.314, 0.2943, 0.21, 0.2607, 0.2343, 0.3794, 0.5752, 0.5708, 0.742, 0.6498, 0.5809, 0.6617, 0.5993, 0.8507, 0.9746, 0.9638, 0.7845, 0.7655, 0.7128, 0.9637, 0.9177, 0.9177, 0.8578, 0.8605, 1.021, 1.0634, 1.0634, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2018386956456272242", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-02T18:12:04+00:00", "symbol": "VPG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "silent winner from Optimus ramp", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish VPG as a silent beneficiary of the Optimus ramp.", "resolved_tickers": ["VPG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Scientific & Technical Instruments'", "bench_c_industry": "Scientific & Technical Instruments", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@sovereignsense Yeah I’ve been talking about $VPG a lot recently. Up 22% this week, silent winner from Optimus ramp.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$VPG breakout +++. Not sure which acct introduced me to this stock but thanks! Was it @aleabitoreddit ? https://t.co/28ajMGx9UB", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "sovereignsense", "ret_m1d": -0.011058403739006017, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011058403739006017, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00611163379285129, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0015583407915968905, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946769946154728, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009500062947409127, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04304897968899679, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04304897968899679, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05150437611969738, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0649406897413457, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00845539643070059, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02189171005234891, "ret_p1w": 0.08748025984536922, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08748025984536922, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0895796975956098, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10062895866405097, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0020994377502405737, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013148698818681748, "ret_p1m": -0.06042649280164203, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06042649280164203, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03874151425014227, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.007005124948657682, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684978551499756, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05342136785298435, "ret_p3m": 0.19312794030752012, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.19312794030752012, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1568721333005465, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09373150972536548, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03625580700697362, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09939643058215464, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2873, -0.3462, -0.3491, -0.3248, -0.3363, -0.3375, -0.3671, -0.3691, -0.3993, -0.4019, -0.3957, -0.4218, -0.3853, -0.3594, -0.3353, -0.3276, -0.3276, -0.3258, -0.3195, -0.309, -0.2747, -0.263, -0.2297, -0.2518, -0.2737, -0.2429, -0.2301, -0.2512, -0.2484, -0.2383, -0.2486, -0.2457, -0.2346, -0.2352, -0.2226, -0.2206, -0.2206, -0.2162, -0.2261, -0.2312, -0.2397, -0.2397, -0.2243, -0.2231, -0.1836, -0.2095, -0.2026, -0.1771, -0.1795, -0.1803, -0.174, -0.137, -0.1388, -0.1388, -0.1367, -0.0756, -0.0563, -0.1284, -0.1519, -0.1118, -0.1238, -0.0051, -0.0111, 0.0, 0.043, 0.0644, 0.0276, 0.1055, 0.0875, 0.0583, -0.0831, -0.0782, -0.1272, -0.1272, -0.1033, -0.091, -0.0737, -0.0551, -0.0756, -0.076, -0.046, -0.0667, -0.0902, -0.028, -0.0604, -0.0723, -0.1116, -0.1418, -0.1396, -0.1205, -0.1335, -0.1763, -0.1902, -0.1872, -0.1939, -0.1884, -0.1451, -0.1975, -0.1677, -0.1554, -0.1015, -0.1603, -0.1795, -0.1967, -0.1426, -0.1317, -0.1159, -0.1159, -0.0893, -0.0772, -0.0308, -0.0278, -0.0146, 0.0261, 0.0229, 0.0032, 0.0146, 0.0509, 0.0498, 0.0746, 0.1317, 0.1412, 0.1971, 0.1568, 0.1297, 0.1112, 0.1931, 0.1892, 0.1854, 0.2628, 0.2553, 0.2328, 0.3278, 0.3152, 0.6898, 0.9668, 0.9814, 0.9218, 1.0776, 0.9342, 0.9887, 1.0545, 1.2464, 1.2464, 1.437, 1.4866, 1.4733, 1.4745, 1.4745, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2017443897946083738", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-31T03:44:42+00:00", "symbol": "MCB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$MCB is probably the biggest alpha in case algorithms mess that up on Monday though", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "MCB seen as biggest alpha opportunity if algorithms misfire on Monday following regional bank collapse news.", "resolved_tickers": ["MCB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Banks - Regional", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thanks. Was looking for different short/long opportunities after seeing the news of a regional bank collapse.\n\nLooks like Metropolitan was an isolated incident, not related to silver or others. \n\n$MCB is probably the biggest alpha in case algorithms mess that up on Monday though.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Always great commentary!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "operry19", "ret_m1d": -0.021348532567355583, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.021348532567355583, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.016401762621200855, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.016401762621200855, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946769946154728, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004946769946154728, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.003593290142370753, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.003593290142370753, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012048686573071343, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012048686573071343, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00845539643070059, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00845539643070059, "ret_p1w": 0.011414061312989388, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.011414061312989388, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.013513499063229961, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.013513499063229961, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0020994377502405737, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0020994377502405737, "ret_p1m": -0.1137180348346507, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1137180348346507, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09203305628315095, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09203305628315095, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684978551499756, "bench_c_p1m": -0.021684978551499756, "ret_p3m": -0.06626506365075469, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.06626506365075469, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1025208706577283, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.1025208706577283, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03625580700697362, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03625580700697362, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3018, -0.3078, -0.2942, -0.281, -0.2646, -0.2723, -0.2688, -0.2663, -0.2787, -0.2748, -0.2656, -0.2624, -0.2308, -0.2338, -0.206, -0.2083, -0.2083, -0.2133, -0.207, -0.2118, -0.1908, -0.1778, -0.1829, -0.1787, -0.1779, -0.1467, -0.1513, -0.1572, -0.1576, -0.1603, -0.1481, -0.1395, -0.1482, -0.1575, -0.1736, -0.174, -0.174, -0.1742, -0.1827, -0.1909, -0.1948, -0.1948, -0.1884, -0.158, -0.1613, -0.1679, -0.1419, -0.1567, -0.1536, -0.1592, -0.144, -0.1329, -0.1617, -0.1617, -0.1603, -0.0435, 0.0012, -0.0529, -0.0639, -0.0537, -0.0574, -0.0277, -0.0213, 0.0, 0.0036, 0.0104, 0.0062, 0.0187, 0.0114, -0.0027, -0.0098, -0.0211, -0.0149, -0.0149, -0.0021, 0.0004, -0.0082, -0.0054, -0.052, -0.0406, -0.0081, -0.0879, -0.1107, -0.0918, -0.1137, -0.115, -0.1372, -0.1613, -0.1632, -0.1585, -0.1634, -0.1718, -0.166, -0.1627, -0.1549, -0.1659, -0.145, -0.1509, -0.1346, -0.1321, -0.1352, -0.1318, -0.1476, -0.1325, -0.1197, -0.1218, -0.1178, -0.1178, -0.1017, -0.0934, -0.0659, -0.0482, -0.0505, -0.0454, -0.0517, -0.0572, -0.0754, -0.0592, -0.0346, -0.061, -0.0739, -0.0576, -0.0699, -0.0473, -0.0398, -0.0626, -0.0663, -0.0508, -0.0683, -0.042, -0.0385, -0.0445, -0.0405, -0.0693, -0.0686, -0.0825, -0.0624, -0.0765, -0.0654, -0.0638, -0.037, -0.0323, -0.0333, -0.0333, -0.0318, -0.049, -0.0462, -0.0512, -0.0512, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2031057996395233426", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-09T17:22:16+00:00", "symbol": "RDDT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I think the conflict in Iran is net bullish for Reddit and markets are pricing it wrong", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long RDDT: silo structure shields advertisers while war-driven engagement spikes; Iran conflict is net bullish and mispriced.", "resolved_tickers": ["RDDT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Shares only. I was looking Elon's posts about X having record engagement back to back: \n\n-> Venezuela: Record engagement\n-> Iran: Even higher record engagement.\n\nAnd was looking at other comments around $PINS / $META bear case indicators of advertisers pulling spend due to timelines. \n\nBut $RDDT is perhaps the one of the only few social media companies that has isolation + benefits from a massive spike of user engagement/traffic during war. \n\nHence why I think the conflict in Iran is net bullish for Reddit and markets are pricing it wrong.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Interesting take, never thought about Reddit as a wartime winner but it actually tracks.  \n\nSubreddits act like perfect silos so advertisers don’t freak out and pull budget the way they do on X or META when the For You page turns into nonstop geopolitics doomscrolling.  \n\nPlus", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "theincomewheel", "ret_m1d": 0.0038167850854622376, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0038167850854622376, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.012500738449817472, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00466738160004132, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0008505965145790828, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03406305420386446, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03406305420386446, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.032455927298497333, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03253191537264588, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0015311388312185814, "ret_p1w": 0.008209703187654016, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.008209703187654016, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.021832609911852763, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.027178689065017414, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018968985877363398, "ret_p1m": 0.016419406375308032, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.016419406375308032, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04185137079492052, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.062210210154183154, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04579080377887512, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.7147, 0.6818, 0.6188, 0.5735, 0.6131, 0.6372, 0.666, 0.6793, 0.679, 0.6262, 0.6265, 0.6265, 0.6259, 0.6898, 0.6805, 0.6554, 0.6554, 0.742, 0.7575, 0.8278, 0.84, 0.8288, 0.7612, 0.7573, 0.8647, 0.8175, 0.6473, 0.6636, 0.6636, 0.6229, 0.5133, 0.545, 0.5763, 0.5385, 0.4137, 0.3909, 0.3686, 0.2982, 0.2757, 0.1912, 0.0996, 0.0878, 0.007, 0.0207, 0.0801, 0.0031, -0.0561, 0.0057, 0.0057, 0.0027, 0.0619, 0.0524, 0.0814, 0.0259, 0.0232, 0.0778, 0.0892, 0.0501, 0.0594, 0.0492, 0.0607, 0.0395, 0.0038, 0.0, -0.0341, -0.0125, -0.0476, -0.0468, 0.0082, 0.0394, 0.0283, -0.0053, 0.0071, 0.0151, -0.0197, 0.0055, -0.0835, -0.1226, -0.1061, -0.0303, -0.0193, -0.0206, -0.0206, -0.0037, 0.0164, 0.0442, -0.0035, 0.0063, 0.0755, 0.1129, 0.1413, 0.1699, 0.1796, 0.1975, 0.1293, 0.1833, 0.1015, 0.1154, 0.1538, 0.0653, 0.064, 0.0603, 0.1989, 0.2176, 0.236, 0.1995, 0.1807, 0.122, 0.1487, 0.0971, 0.1099, 0.1257, 0.1391, 0.1458, 0.1154, 0.0566, 0.0805, 0.0202, 0.0202, 0.0416, 0.1104, 0.2076, 0.2675, 0.2675, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013633245783462258", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-20T15:22:31+00:00", "symbol": "DPRO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$DPRO benefits a lot from that as one of the only public CAD drone companies", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long DPRO as one of the only public Canadian drone companies positioned to benefit from $1B+ DND 2026/27 budget.", "resolved_tickers": ["DPRO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@digestive_bisc Missed out on that huge point thanks. $DPRO benefits a lot from that as one of the only public CAD drone companies.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Also just to mention here\n\n$DPRO \n\n$1B+ DND 2026/27 Budgeted for Canadian Domestic Drone Manufacturing ,\nDPRO is one of only two Canadian ‘Qualified’ Manufacturers”\n\nThis is directly from the needham growth slides the ceo presented", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "digestive_bisc", "ret_m1d": 0.018046717082493613, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.018046717082493613, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0027330784868353497, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00860298003891291, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.020779795569328963, "bench_c_m1d": 0.026649697121406524, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.042462804170978585, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.042462804170978585, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05400388337307305, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05635162873232724, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011541079202094462, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013888824561348656, "ret_p1w": -0.09554136000435731, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09554136000435731, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.121973641497795, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.139323066824514, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02643228149343768, "bench_c_p1w": 0.043781706820156696, "ret_p1m": -0.17515924437408092, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17515924437408092, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1880138175088758, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1686025386660428, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012854573134794878, "bench_c_p1m": -0.006556705708038124, "ret_p3m": -0.3694267506251021, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3694267506251021, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4203423892146543, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4589777595938931, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091563858955217, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08955100896879098, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1253, 0.0021, 0.0117, -0.0648, -0.0924, 0.0414, 0.1624, 0.0287, -0.0764, -0.0499, -0.1699, -0.1008, -0.1242, -0.1401, -0.172, -0.2314, -0.2696, -0.3174, -0.293, -0.241, -0.2251, -0.2972, -0.1985, -0.207, -0.224, -0.224, -0.224, -0.2718, -0.2622, -0.1879, -0.1221, -0.1858, -0.2017, -0.207, -0.2251, -0.2049, -0.2601, -0.327, -0.2994, -0.3546, -0.3439, -0.2006, -0.1497, -0.1476, -0.1401, -0.1401, -0.2187, -0.2537, -0.2834, -0.2665, -0.2665, -0.2197, -0.1391, -0.0966, -0.12, -0.0053, 0.0074, 0.0318, 0.0425, 0.0329, -0.0085, 0.018, 0.018, 0.0, -0.0425, 0.0255, 0.0159, -0.1454, -0.0955, -0.1093, -0.1454, -0.2261, -0.1714, -0.1285, -0.2335, -0.3121, -0.2044, -0.1826, -0.2452, -0.2728, -0.2803, -0.2686, -0.2686, -0.2463, -0.1752, -0.2059, -0.1624, -0.1582, -0.1741, -0.1338, -0.2718, -0.3047, -0.2197, -0.2707, -0.2824, -0.293, -0.2983, -0.3291, -0.3185, -0.2994, -0.2983, -0.327, -0.3195, -0.2813, -0.2951, -0.3057, -0.3992, -0.3397, -0.328, -0.4745, -0.4989, -0.5127, -0.5308, -0.4788, -0.482, -0.4268, -0.4268, -0.4533, -0.4724, -0.4469, -0.4618, -0.4204, -0.4214, -0.3864, -0.3694, -0.3376, -0.3694, -0.3769, -0.3588, -0.311, -0.3461, -0.3769, -0.397, -0.4395, -0.4618, -0.4289, -0.4363, -0.4575, -0.4575, -0.4246, -0.4459, -0.4183, -0.4119, -0.4278, -0.4363, -0.4023, -0.4331, -0.4406, -0.4406, -0.4183, -0.3376, -0.3185, -0.3185, -0.3079, -0.2919, -0.173, -0.207, -0.207, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2029740117066403885", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-06T02:05:29+00:00", "symbol": "photonics", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "오늘은 이러한 오해로 인해 전반적으로 크게 하락한 포토닉스(광반도체) 관련주들을 줍기(매수하기)에 아주 좋은 타이밍이었습니다.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Buying photonics stocks on today's dip caused by market misreading AVGO CEO's CPO/copper remarks.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR", "LITE", "AAOI", "FN", "POET"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Photonics sector basket of optical component names", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "ko", "tweet_text": "@PhotonCap 전적으로 동의합니다! 시장이 CPO와 구리선 수명 연장에 대한 $AVGO CEO 발언의 미묘한 뉘앙스를 제대로 파악하지 못한 것 같습니다.\n\n오늘은 이러한 오해로 인해 전반적으로 크게 하락한 포토닉스(광반도체) 관련주들을 줍기(매수하기)에 아주 좋은 타이밍이었습니다.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "This is true.\n\nDon’t let a single headline mask the big picture; as clusters scale and reach requirements grow, photonics becomes an inevitability, not an option.\n\nWhile the market panicked over CPO delays, they missed the massive lifecycle extension granted to traditional", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PhotonCap", "ret_m1d": 0.09408986099613492, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.09408986099613492, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08080864726299342, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08080864726299342, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013281213733141506, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013281213733141506, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1036610768473536, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1036610768473536, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09490105183431452, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09490105183431452, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008760025013039074, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008760025013039074, "ret_p1w": 0.05422009501251455, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05422009501251455, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06922646205064484, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06922646205064484, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.015006367038130297, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015006367038130297, "ret_p1m": 0.1364532432750257, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1364532432750257, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15378041619176627, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.15378041619176627, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017327172916740574, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017327172916740574, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2204, -0.1894, -0.1765, -0.266, -0.2849, -0.2998, -0.3195, -0.2888, -0.2335, -0.1765, -0.1867, -0.1896, -0.1896, -0.2072, -0.2281, -0.2368, -0.2508, -0.2508, -0.19, -0.2174, -0.1823, -0.1875, -0.2464, -0.2337, -0.2318, -0.2106, -0.2003, -0.1654, -0.1779, -0.1779, -0.1663, -0.1528, -0.208, -0.2258, -0.2406, -0.1874, -0.177, -0.2051, -0.2036, -0.1771, -0.1776, -0.2192, -0.2161, -0.1235, -0.0844, -0.1273, -0.1274, -0.1469, -0.1409, -0.1409, -0.1276, -0.1219, -0.0894, -0.0377, -0.0228, 0.0145, 0.0623, -0.0044, 0.061, 0.2063, 0.1367, 0.1339, 0.0941, 0.0, 0.1037, 0.1588, 0.171, 0.0941, 0.0542, 0.0601, 0.0354, 0.0644, 0.143, 0.0471, 0.0942, 0.185, 0.1929, 0.0565, 0.0546, -0.0381, 0.0331, 0.0618, 0.1552, 0.1552, 0.1365, 0.1725, 0.2851, 0.2866, 0.3922, 0.4082, 0.3699, 0.3571, 0.4353, 0.4597, 0.5171, 0.5172, 0.6116, 0.533, 0.7155, 0.4188, 0.3449, 0.3591, 0.4444, 0.5253, 0.5113, 0.5821, 0.5913, 0.4811, 0.5224, 0.7943, 0.7633, 0.9205, 1.0885, 0.8742, 0.7261, 0.6706, 0.7022, 0.7955, 0.7915, 0.7915, 0.7248, 0.7257, 0.677, 0.6031, 0.6031, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2030420999234285624", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-07T23:11:04+00:00", "symbol": "IQE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$IQE was extremely early (but more high risk), given their peer Landmark was priced at $3.5-$4B", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "IQE and AAOI flagged as early-stage, not yet priced in; AAOI a potential 10x on end-to-end execution and margin expansion.", "resolved_tickers": ["IQE.L"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "IQE plc LSE-listed epiwafer supplier", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Only ones probably not priced in are the more niche ones like epitaxy process on top of the InP substrates or maybe new laser/transceiver players that hit their inflection point.  \n\nI mentioned $IQE was extremely early (but more high risk), given their peer Landmark was priced at $3.5-$4B. \n\nThis depends on restructuring. \n\n$AAOI is also very early, it's more nuanced since they do end to end (laser -> design -> assembly). If they can execute across each layer and cut out $FN/Innolight type players and expand margins, could be a 10x. \n\nThis largely depends on execution though. \n\n$AXTI maybe if Shkreli joins their board and teaches them how to hike prices.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Which one is early and still hasn't 10x?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "artazc44161", "ret_m1d": 0.030398318974070415, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.030398318974070415, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03908227233842565, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06541618983032071, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0350178708562503, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1897275080559988, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1897275080559988, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.19133463496136593, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.18222188772045933, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007505620335539476, "ret_p1w": 0.21069184873365754, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.21069184873365754, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.22431475545785629, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.21183286274340596, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00114101400974842, "ret_p1m": 0.33647799276547063, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.33647799276547063, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3619099571850831, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3224556309028406, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014022361862630062, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7311, -0.7269, -0.7442, -0.7432, -0.7393, -0.7398, -0.7353, -0.7327, -0.7311, -0.7393, -0.7398, -0.7398, -0.7398, -0.7398, -0.7379, -0.7379, -0.7379, -0.7301, -0.7364, -0.7338, -0.7075, -0.6777, -0.6153, -0.4528, -0.4827, -0.5283, -0.5729, -0.5886, -0.532, -0.5917, -0.5996, -0.5912, -0.5791, -0.5991, -0.5985, -0.5797, -0.5938, -0.5854, -0.5791, -0.5964, -0.5833, -0.5907, -0.5849, -0.5718, -0.4759, -0.4633, -0.4602, -0.4444, -0.4497, -0.4434, -0.4518, -0.456, -0.4507, -0.3302, -0.3606, -0.1604, 0.0482, -0.0042, 0.3417, 0.3627, 0.4072, 0.1242, 0.0304, 0.0, 0.1897, 0.2736, 0.1897, 0.2186, 0.2107, 0.1321, 0.3391, 0.1976, 0.2369, 0.2317, 0.3391, 0.5461, 0.3941, 0.2841, 0.2107, 0.2788, 0.3155, 0.2369, 0.2369, 0.2369, 0.3365, 0.5042, 0.5723, 0.9392, 1.5734, 1.5052, 1.8302, 2.0713, 1.7306, 2.0713, 2.3019, 2.2809, 1.6074, 1.4948, 1.5891, 1.1095, 1.1174, 1.2668, 1.1567, 1.1567, 1.6205, 1.3349, 1.3926, 1.4686, 1.8564, 1.4712, 1.6468, 1.5996, 1.4109, 1.0493, 0.6771, 0.968, 1.0886, 1.3978, 1.3978, 1.8302, 1.6572, 1.4974, 1.4895, 1.4895, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2030420999234285624", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-07T23:11:04+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI is also very early, it's more nuanced since they do end to end (laser -> design -> assembly). If they can execute across each layer and cut out $FN/Innolight type players and expand margins, could be a 10x", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "IQE and AAOI flagged as early-stage, not yet priced in; AAOI a potential 10x on end-to-end execution and margin expansion.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Only ones probably not priced in are the more niche ones like epitaxy process on top of the InP substrates or maybe new laser/transceiver players that hit their inflection point.  \n\nI mentioned $IQE was extremely early (but more high risk), given their peer Landmark was priced at $3.5-$4B. \n\nThis depends on restructuring. \n\n$AAOI is also very early, it's more nuanced since they do end to end (laser -> design -> assembly). If they can execute across each layer and cut out $FN/Innolight type players and expand margins, could be a 10x. \n\nThis largely depends on execution though. \n\n$AXTI maybe if Shkreli joins their board and teaches them how to hike prices.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Which one is early and still hasn't 10x?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "artazc44161", "ret_m1d": -0.13596095228800786, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.13596095228800786, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12727699892365263, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12727699892365263, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08922432536725333, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08922432536725333, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09083145227262046, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09083145227262046, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "ret_p1w": -0.1496113057389088, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1496113057389088, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.13598839901471005, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.13598839901471005, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "ret_p1m": 0.0634604634674294, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0634604634674294, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08889242788704188, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08889242788704188, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6838, -0.6717, -0.7102, -0.7297, -0.7382, -0.7547, -0.7356, -0.7169, -0.6466, -0.6326, -0.6294, -0.6294, -0.664, -0.6678, -0.6744, -0.6849, -0.6849, -0.642, -0.6837, -0.651, -0.656, -0.7016, -0.6923, -0.6952, -0.691, -0.6884, -0.6655, -0.6652, -0.6652, -0.6451, -0.653, -0.6551, -0.6771, -0.6846, -0.662, -0.5911, -0.6423, -0.6058, -0.6008, -0.5831, -0.6393, -0.6553, -0.5995, -0.5669, -0.5617, -0.5625, -0.6023, -0.5981, -0.5981, -0.6031, -0.6073, -0.5753, -0.5328, -0.5122, -0.4913, -0.4746, -0.5146, -0.2386, -0.0733, -0.1381, -0.0986, -0.0857, -0.136, 0.0, 0.0892, 0.1482, -0.04, -0.1248, -0.1496, -0.2196, -0.1626, -0.0786, -0.2086, -0.1343, 0.0297, 0.0343, -0.1193, -0.1122, -0.2299, -0.2353, -0.2194, -0.0607, -0.0607, -0.0287, 0.0635, 0.1996, 0.205, 0.3614, 0.3848, 0.3234, 0.2886, 0.4222, 0.4411, 0.4778, 0.3611, 0.3508, 0.2451, 0.466, 0.3178, 0.2408, 0.3816, 0.4858, 0.6589, 0.5637, 0.6323, 0.614, 0.4242, 0.3464, 0.6715, 0.702, 1.0168, 0.8403, 0.7208, 0.5663, 0.5488, 0.4939, 0.5984, 0.6407, 0.6407, 0.6057, 0.6257, 0.5279, 0.432, 0.432, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2033792436892570083", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-17T06:27:57+00:00", "symbol": "2337.TW", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Macronix does look like the mini $SNDK of Taiwan at a $7.89B MC... They're the world's largest suppliers of NOR flash memory, SLC/MLC NAND. So they get free price-hike reign now off legacy nodes that Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron left behind.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Macronix as the dominant NOR/NAND legacy-node supplier with pricing power after major players' exit.", "resolved_tickers": ["2337.TW"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Woah, Macronix (TPE: 2337) is out here casually outperforming $AXTI? \n\n201.04% vs. 188% Year to Date return, feels bad. \n\nMacronix does look like the mini $SNDK of Taiwan at a $7.89B MC...\n\nThey're the world’s largest suppliers of NOR flash memory, SLC/MLC NAND.\n\nSo they get free price-hike reign now off legacy nodes that Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron left behind.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Interesting beneficiaries post $SNDK earnings that I own: \n\nPhison (TPE: 8299) and Macronix (TPE: 2337). \n\nSimilar to Nayna (1,035.96% 1Y) that filled legacy dram void from $MU, Sk Hynix, and Samsung: \n\nPhison does the same with Sandisk with flash (inventory). And Macronix with https://t.co/tbKU03azS6", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08812260536398464, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08812260536398464, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08549895215772829, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08066445323069149, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002623653206256349, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00745815213329315, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09961685823754785, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09961685823754785, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.11357050362466803, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10770492368701778, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013953645387120184, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008088065449469939, "ret_p1w": 0.04597701149425282, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04597701149425282, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06957027408128291, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05174703900067268, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023593262587030095, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005770027506419861, "ret_p1m": 0.08812260536398475, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08812260536398475, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04181662258433194, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05328032354839052, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04630598277965281, "bench_c_p1m": 0.14140292891237527, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7092, -0.7153, -0.7015, -0.705, -0.7015, -0.7015, -0.6996, -0.7077, -0.7031, -0.6977, -0.6977, -0.6678, -0.6349, -0.5985, -0.5586, -0.5149, -0.5533, -0.531, -0.5333, -0.5395, -0.5257, -0.4866, -0.4352, -0.4115, -0.4383, -0.4375, -0.469, -0.4161, -0.4161, -0.3579, -0.2943, -0.2889, -0.3502, -0.3525, -0.3126, -0.3264, -0.3808, -0.3195, -0.3134, -0.2452, -0.2452, -0.2452, -0.2452, -0.2452, -0.2452, -0.2452, -0.2452, -0.2069, -0.1303, -0.1724, -0.1571, -0.1571, -0.1111, -0.1992, -0.249, -0.1762, -0.2146, -0.2927, -0.305, -0.236, -0.2414, -0.1686, -0.0881, 0.0, 0.0996, 0.2031, 0.2261, 0.1379, 0.046, 0.0881, -0.0192, -0.0421, -0.0192, -0.1149, -0.0268, -0.0115, -0.0115, -0.0115, 0.046, 0.1494, 0.0881, 0.1188, 0.1303, 0.1916, 0.0881, 0.0651, 0.0038, -0.0766, 0.0153, 0.0307, -0.0345, 0.0115, 0.1111, 0.2222, 0.2797, 0.1801, 0.1801, 0.1839, 0.2299, 0.318, 0.2605, 0.1724, 0.2222, 0.1724, 0.2874, 0.295, 0.2452, 0.2261, 0.1034, 0.0805, 0.0805, 0.1456, 0.1686, 0.2299, 0.1916, 0.2261, 0.2759, 0.3218, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2031744017201848397", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-11T14:48:16+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm convinced Nebius is the next Amazon-level hyperscaler over time", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long NBIS: bullish on Nebius as next hyperscaler with 5 high-growth subsidiaries and Nvidia's $2B investment validating the thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just in: Nvidia has invested $2B into $NBIS.\n\nI'm convinced Nebius is the next Amazon-level hyperscaler over time. \n\nAs they're 5 companies all growing sum-of-parts triple digits Y/Y:\n\n- Nebius: $7-9B ARR from AI Cloud as the next AWS.\n\n- Clickhouse: DB powering majority of fortune 500 companies, last valuation at $15B\n\n- Avride: Robotaxi and FSD-4 level technology, now scaling up live with Uber. \n\n- Toloka: Data Labeling platform, funded by Jeff Bezos and used by $AMZN\n\n- TripleTen: Education platform, not as sexy as the rest, but still fast growing.\n\nWith sidequests from the widely used benchmarks like SWE-rebench. \n\nJensen's $NVDA investment into Nebius shares the same sentiment: \n\nNebius is at the forefront of AI and leading the wave to meet the growing demand for compute.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.1389794371149411, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1389794371149411, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.14023617745734684, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1422273054172145, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0032478683022734156, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03531409200465763, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03531409200465763, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.020129143135294125, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.020527783801718047, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01478630820293958, "ret_p1w": 0.058618640573336434, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.058618640573336434, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08064933135250185, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08716559025659587, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "bench_c_p1w": -0.028546949683259437, "ret_p1m": 0.21728647250035737, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21728647250035737, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2092477864708886, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2375031427147838, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "bench_c_p1m": -0.020216670214426413, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.217, -0.2755, -0.2772, -0.3263, -0.3027, -0.2012, -0.1676, -0.1961, -0.1863, -0.1863, -0.2179, -0.2318, -0.2395, -0.2526, -0.2526, -0.1968, -0.1711, -0.105, -0.1409, -0.1312, -0.1256, -0.0417, -0.0586, -0.0894, -0.0724, -0.0292, -0.0292, -0.1134, -0.1172, -0.1352, -0.1562, -0.1834, -0.1261, -0.1033, -0.1526, -0.2393, -0.2128, -0.1968, -0.2643, -0.3404, -0.2312, -0.1707, -0.1804, -0.2088, -0.1988, -0.1249, -0.1249, -0.1292, -0.091, -0.0392, -0.1257, -0.1017, -0.0841, -0.0525, -0.0635, -0.1858, -0.1874, -0.225, -0.1269, -0.1459, -0.2024, -0.1523, -0.139, 0.0, -0.0353, 0.0085, 0.1594, 0.0387, 0.0586, 0.085, 0.0502, 0.0192, 0.026, 0.0276, -0.0538, -0.0998, -0.1762, -0.0735, -0.0897, -0.0283, -0.0283, 0.0049, 0.0483, 0.1161, 0.2173, 0.2944, 0.3801, 0.446, 0.4891, 0.4763, 0.4031, 0.4211, 0.3978, 0.3942, 0.4026, 0.314, 0.2943, 0.21, 0.2607, 0.2343, 0.3794, 0.5752, 0.5708, 0.742, 0.6498, 0.5809, 0.6617, 0.5993, 0.8507, 0.9746, 0.9638, 0.7845, 0.7655, 0.7128, 0.9637, 0.9177, 0.9177, 0.8578, 0.8605, 1.021, 1.0634, 1.0634, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2025227339408490717", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-21T15:13:19+00:00", "symbol": "XLU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$XLU is an ETF so I don't need to pick individual winners like $BE. I'm long power/grid as a sector rather than getting the individual names right.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long XLU as a 2-year power/grid sector trade; prefers ETF over picking individual names like BE.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "few things:  \n\n1. behind the meter seems like a bandaid for the massive GW power required by AI DCs. \n2.  grid needing massive upgrades isn't a bear case? probably gives them even more pricing power\n3. soec and smr are probably later on past 2029, this is a 2year trade.  \n\n$XLU is an ETF so I don't need to pick individual winners like $BE. I'm long power/grid as a sector rather than getting the individual names right.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit How about $BE\nIsn’t the grid not ready to support this increase? Perhaps behind the meter is the most realistic and quickest way to get energy? And based on recent earnings call, they can also provide chilling. \nAnd looking more into the distant future, with SOEC, combined that", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "cpointx", "ret_m1d": -0.007497825652779344, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007497825652779344, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017814487039842897, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017814487039842897, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011139718380374752, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011139718380374752, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0038712654499797328, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0038712654499797328, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "ret_p1w": 0.014781446524965602, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.014781446524965602, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.008934360812073994, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.008934360812073994, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "ret_p1m": -0.027308435051802138, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.027308435051802138, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.012882947272660594, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.012882947272660594, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "ret_p3m": -0.029249938466529124, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.029249938466529124, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12063215530431359, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12063215530431359, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0433, -0.0433, -0.0365, -0.059, -0.0657, -0.0687, -0.0706, -0.0793, -0.0916, -0.091, -0.0914, -0.0848, -0.0893, -0.081, -0.0848, -0.0908, -0.0819, -0.0936, -0.0902, -0.087, -0.0829, -0.0829, -0.0835, -0.0818, -0.0797, -0.0855, -0.0855, -0.075, -0.0853, -0.0808, -0.103, -0.1005, -0.0893, -0.0878, -0.082, -0.0752, -0.0658, -0.0705, -0.0705, -0.0797, -0.0784, -0.085, -0.0883, -0.0816, -0.0696, -0.0718, -0.0718, -0.0735, -0.087, -0.0737, -0.0771, -0.0767, -0.0713, -0.0686, -0.0531, -0.0448, -0.0306, -0.0039, -0.0039, -0.0064, -0.0229, -0.0122, -0.0075, 0.0, 0.0111, 0.0146, 0.0107, 0.0225, 0.0148, 0.0084, 0.0126, 0.0047, 0.0013, 0.0036, -0.0026, -0.0109, -0.0039, 0.006, 0.0124, 0.0096, 0.0011, -0.003, -0.0435, -0.034, -0.0273, -0.0239, -0.0221, -0.0165, -0.0094, -0.0101, -0.0053, -0.0003, -0.0003, -0.004, -0.0019, 0.0091, 0.0171, 0.013, 0.0007, 0.0025, -0.0072, -0.0001, -0.0042, -0.0131, -0.0303, -0.0321, -0.0057, -0.0038, -0.0036, -0.0023, -0.0146, 0.0107, 0.0042, 0.0003, 0.0003, -0.0139, -0.0267, -0.0353, -0.0262, -0.0252, -0.0364, -0.0314, -0.0536, -0.0521, -0.0435, -0.0398, -0.0292, -0.0217, -0.0217, -0.0221, -0.0262, -0.0372, -0.0418, -0.0418, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2033518628650512784", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-16T12:19:56+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Citibank initiates coverage in Nebius < $NBIS > and assigns at PT of $169", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Shares Citi initiation of NBIS with $169 PT; adopts the bullish stance.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just in: Citibank initiates coverage in Nebius &lt; $NBIS &gt; and assigns at PT of $169. \n\nPer Bloomberg Terminal https://t.co/y9cYcS6SgK", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Just in: $META signs an enormous $27 Billion cumulative AI spend contract with $NBIS.\n\nNebius was my top Neocloud AI Infrastruture DC pick.\n\nGlad management is executing toward their $7-9B ARR target.\n\nNebius is up 14.79% premarket to $129.66. https://t.co/RaaDWm1if0", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.13015023766576383, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.13015023766576383, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1200758967727108, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12251992349076146, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010074340893053035, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007630314175002373, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.10412016663043411, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.10412016663043411, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.10675072150040932, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.10446698401024546, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00263055486997521, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0003468173798113483, "ret_p1w": -0.12090877042486059, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12090877042486059, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1031813407704315, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10130993845482839, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017727429654429083, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019598831970032204, "ret_p1m": 0.2471312655334701, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2471312655334701, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.20628622036414623, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.23324111665351577, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04084504516932386, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013890148879954323, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4189, -0.3986, -0.3111, -0.282, -0.3067, -0.2982, -0.2982, -0.3255, -0.3374, -0.3441, -0.3554, -0.3554, -0.3073, -0.2851, -0.228, -0.2591, -0.2507, -0.2458, -0.1734, -0.1881, -0.2146, -0.2, -0.1626, -0.1626, -0.2353, -0.2386, -0.2541, -0.2722, -0.2956, -0.2463, -0.2266, -0.2691, -0.3439, -0.3211, -0.3073, -0.3655, -0.4311, -0.3369, -0.2847, -0.2931, -0.3176, -0.309, -0.2452, -0.2452, -0.249, -0.216, -0.1713, -0.2459, -0.2252, -0.21, -0.1827, -0.1923, -0.2977, -0.2991, -0.3315, -0.247, -0.2634, -0.3121, -0.2688, -0.2574, -0.1375, -0.168, -0.1302, 0.0, -0.1041, -0.0869, -0.0642, -0.0942, -0.1209, -0.1151, -0.1137, -0.1839, -0.2236, -0.2895, -0.2009, -0.2149, -0.162, -0.162, -0.1333, -0.0959, -0.0374, 0.0499, 0.1164, 0.1903, 0.2471, 0.2843, 0.2733, 0.2102, 0.2257, 0.2056, 0.2025, 0.2097, 0.1333, 0.1164, 0.0436, 0.0873, 0.0645, 0.1898, 0.3586, 0.3548, 0.5024, 0.4229, 0.3635, 0.4332, 0.3794, 0.5962, 0.7031, 0.6938, 0.5392, 0.5228, 0.4772, 0.6937, 0.654, 0.654, 0.6023, 0.6047, 0.7431, 0.7797, 0.7797, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2032943522891051319", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-14T22:14:40+00:00", "symbol": "IQE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this is the risk I'm personally willing to take, as clear statements like these means they're heading down the right direction", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long IQE: restructuring + AI/photonics pivot on 6-inch InP wafers should re-rate it from ~$250M MC to $1B+.", "resolved_tickers": ["IQE.L"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "IQE plc LSE-listed epiwafer supplier", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$IQE is up ~70% since I’ve posted.\n\nThis is one of the largest InP Epifabs in the world.\n\nHowever, there’s tons of legacy drag affecting $IQE. \n\nAnd as a result, smaller pure play peers like Landmark sit at $4.2 Billion MC while $IQE trades at depressed valuations.\n\nWith massive reactor latent capacity, and a ~$250M MC, the only thing they needed to do:\n\nCut Drag. Restructure to clear debt. Focus capacity toward AI.\n\nAnd the CTO finally went out to reiterate my thesis focusing on photoics:\n\n“For InP, that means 6-inch wafers. IQE was the first to demonstrate 6-inch InP technology more than four years ago, having recognised this need early. \n\nIQE has shown the purity, uniformity and repeatability needed for high-speed optical devices on 6-inch wafers\n\nIQE is primed to help enable the next wave of AI hardware and data centre innovation.”\n\nAlthough this looks like a bland marketing post, this is the thesis they need to focus on to be re-rated as a billion dollar company. \n\nMore industry executives should listen to markets.\n\nThe risks are obviously present with restructuring. \n\nBut now it’s up to management to successfully execute and put focus on AI/photonics, not legacy segments.\n\nHowever, this is the risk I’m personally willing to take, as clear statements like these means they’re heading down the right direction.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.006493489872433145, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006493489872433145, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01656783076548618, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02322284261114005, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010074340893053035, "bench_c_m1d": -0.016729352738706904, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06493506386273762, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06493506386273762, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06756561873271283, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07244925799905844, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00263055486997521, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0075141941363208176, "ret_p1w": 0.01731600051622273, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01731600051622273, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03504343017065181, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.023814853046957407, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017727429654429083, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006498852530734678, "ret_p1m": 1.0692640020648905, "ret_signed_p1m": 1.0692640020648905, "alpha_spy_p1m": 1.0284189568955666, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.9218229363853967, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04084504516932386, "bench_c_p1m": 0.14744106567949378, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7851, -0.7814, -0.7792, -0.7779, -0.7846, -0.7851, -0.7851, -0.7851, -0.7851, -0.7835, -0.7835, -0.7835, -0.7771, -0.7823, -0.7801, -0.7584, -0.7338, -0.6823, -0.5481, -0.5727, -0.6104, -0.6472, -0.6602, -0.6134, -0.6628, -0.6693, -0.6623, -0.6524, -0.6688, -0.6684, -0.6528, -0.6645, -0.6576, -0.6524, -0.6667, -0.6558, -0.6619, -0.6571, -0.6463, -0.5671, -0.5567, -0.5541, -0.5411, -0.5455, -0.5403, -0.5472, -0.5506, -0.5463, -0.4468, -0.4719, -0.3065, -0.1342, -0.1775, 0.1082, 0.1255, 0.1623, -0.0714, -0.1489, -0.174, -0.0173, 0.0519, -0.0173, 0.0065, 0.0, -0.0649, 0.1061, -0.0108, 0.0216, 0.0173, 0.1061, 0.2771, 0.1515, 0.0606, 0.0, 0.0563, 0.0866, 0.0216, 0.0216, 0.0216, 0.1039, 0.2424, 0.2987, 0.6017, 1.1255, 1.0693, 1.3377, 1.5368, 1.2554, 1.5368, 1.7273, 1.71, 1.1537, 1.0606, 1.1385, 0.7424, 0.7489, 0.8723, 0.7814, 0.7814, 1.1645, 0.9286, 0.9762, 1.039, 1.3593, 1.0411, 1.1861, 1.1472, 0.9913, 0.6926, 0.3853, 0.6255, 0.7251, 0.9805, 0.9805, 1.3377, 1.1948, 1.0628, 1.0563, 1.0563, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2027830093247300016", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-28T19:35:44+00:00", "symbol": "IQE", "kind": "equity", "geography": "Europe", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$IQE is sitting on an absolute gold mine", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Upstream photonics plays IQE, AXTI, VECO, Aixtron not priced in vs crowded downstream names LITE/COHR; bottleneck hunting the photonics capex ramp.", "resolved_tickers": ["IQE.L"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "IQE plc listed on LSE as IQE.L", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Second order effects from $AAOI earnings: \n\n-> Extreme demand for MBE/MOCVD reactors.\n\nThey're needed for epiwafers. \n\nThis signals two things for \"manufacturing\": \n\n- $IQE is sitting on an absolute gold mine\n\n- capex cycle to ( $VECO $1.85B, Aixtron $AIXXF  $3.7B) type players.\n\nQuote: 3-4 hyperscalers, likely $GOOGL, $AMZN, $MSFT. demand maxed out for transceivers. \n\n->  Innolight, Eptolink, $COHR, and others will probably go through a capex cycle to meet demand too. \n\nThis largely benefits both outsourced foundries for epiwafers: \n\n-> $IQE ($175M) ~100+ reactors \n-> Landmark (~$3.68B) ~27-30 reactors. \n\nSo that's probably the reason why $LITE has been heavily using $IQE, and Landmark has been hitting record revenues. $AAOI's has been building capacity from their texas fab. \n\nTLDR: \n\n1. Aixtron, $VECO benefits from mini $ASML style capex cycle this year. When Aixtron said 2026 \"continued softness in overall market environment expected\" from feb guidance, maybe they're sandbagging or orders havent come in yet.  That being said, best exposure imo is probably not the machine sellers. \n\n2. $IQE is sitting on a gold mine of capacity to meet demand across $LITE and others hyperscalers for inp epiwafers. They just need to restructure succesfully, to be rerated more like their $3.65B friend in Taiwan. \n\n3. $AAOI earnings is just insane demand for both transceiver makers and the components/materials required to assemble them, definitely not priced in yet. \n\n4. $AXTI as always happens to be the bottleneck of everything as I mentioned last year. \n\nThe more well known the name is ( $LITE, $COHR ) the likely more crowded/priced-in.\n\nBut when you go more upstream, there's a ton of hidden gems markets haven't priced in yet that benefit from the massive photonics ramp. \n\nIt's the new gold rush for investors, but bottleneck hunting.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.25781251105945546, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.25781251105945546, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.2572442553752491, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.2577632491914754, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -4.926186798004384e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.015624984866008385, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015624984866008385, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.024439323348804054, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05334741046031222, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03772242559430383, "ret_p1w": -0.2546875140862538, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.2546875140862538, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.24287193316273892, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.22510996764567903, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.029577546440574753, "ret_p1m": -0.04687502910383001, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04687502910383001, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.003044712471353739, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.009696293820630864, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.056571322924460876, "ret_p3m": 0.8613281568686939, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.8613281568686939, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.758934777702786, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3853322035509221, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.4759959533177718, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.8074, -0.8016, -0.8039, -0.8039, -0.8035, -0.7996, -0.7965, -0.8094, -0.8086, -0.8057, -0.8061, -0.8027, -0.8008, -0.7996, -0.8057, -0.8061, -0.8061, -0.8061, -0.8061, -0.8047, -0.8047, -0.8047, -0.7988, -0.8035, -0.8016, -0.782, -0.7598, -0.7133, -0.5922, -0.6145, -0.6484, -0.6816, -0.6934, -0.6512, -0.6957, -0.7016, -0.6953, -0.6863, -0.7012, -0.7008, -0.6867, -0.6973, -0.691, -0.6863, -0.6992, -0.6895, -0.6949, -0.6906, -0.6809, -0.6094, -0.6, -0.5977, -0.5859, -0.5898, -0.5852, -0.5914, -0.5945, -0.5906, -0.5008, -0.5234, -0.3742, -0.2188, -0.2578, 0.0, 0.0156, 0.0488, -0.1621, -0.232, -0.2547, -0.1133, -0.0508, -0.1133, -0.0918, -0.0977, -0.1562, -0.002, -0.1074, -0.0781, -0.082, -0.002, 0.1523, 0.0391, -0.043, -0.0977, -0.0469, -0.0195, -0.0781, -0.0781, -0.0781, -0.0039, 0.1211, 0.1719, 0.4453, 0.918, 0.8672, 1.1094, 1.2891, 1.0352, 1.2891, 1.4609, 1.4453, 0.9434, 0.8594, 0.9297, 0.5723, 0.5781, 0.6895, 0.6074, 0.6074, 0.9531, 0.7402, 0.7832, 0.8398, 1.1289, 0.8418, 0.9727, 0.9375, 0.7969, 0.5273, 0.25, 0.4668, 0.5566, 0.7871, 0.7871, 1.1094, 0.9805, 0.8613, 0.8555, 0.8555, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2027830093247300016", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-28T19:35:44+00:00", "symbol": "VECO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Aixtron, $VECO benefits from mini $ASML style capex cycle this year", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Upstream photonics plays IQE, AXTI, VECO, Aixtron not priced in vs crowded downstream names LITE/COHR; bottleneck hunting the photonics capex ramp.", "resolved_tickers": ["VECO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Second order effects from $AAOI earnings: \n\n-> Extreme demand for MBE/MOCVD reactors.\n\nThey're needed for epiwafers. \n\nThis signals two things for \"manufacturing\": \n\n- $IQE is sitting on an absolute gold mine\n\n- capex cycle to ( $VECO $1.85B, Aixtron $AIXXF  $3.7B) type players.\n\nQuote: 3-4 hyperscalers, likely $GOOGL, $AMZN, $MSFT. demand maxed out for transceivers. \n\n->  Innolight, Eptolink, $COHR, and others will probably go through a capex cycle to meet demand too. \n\nThis largely benefits both outsourced foundries for epiwafers: \n\n-> $IQE ($175M) ~100+ reactors \n-> Landmark (~$3.68B) ~27-30 reactors. \n\nSo that's probably the reason why $LITE has been heavily using $IQE, and Landmark has been hitting record revenues. $AAOI's has been building capacity from their texas fab. \n\nTLDR: \n\n1. Aixtron, $VECO benefits from mini $ASML style capex cycle this year. When Aixtron said 2026 \"continued softness in overall market environment expected\" from feb guidance, maybe they're sandbagging or orders havent come in yet.  That being said, best exposure imo is probably not the machine sellers. \n\n2. $IQE is sitting on a gold mine of capacity to meet demand across $LITE and others hyperscalers for inp epiwafers. They just need to restructure succesfully, to be rerated more like their $3.65B friend in Taiwan. \n\n3. $AAOI earnings is just insane demand for both transceiver makers and the components/materials required to assemble them, definitely not priced in yet. \n\n4. $AXTI as always happens to be the bottleneck of everything as I mentioned last year. \n\nThe more well known the name is ( $LITE, $COHR ) the likely more crowded/priced-in.\n\nBut when you go more upstream, there's a ton of hidden gems markets haven't priced in yet that benefit from the massive photonics ramp. \n\nIt's the new gold rush for investors, but bottleneck hunting.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06487150610269843, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06487150610269843, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06430325041849205, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06482224423471838, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -4.926186798004384e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006425920517491468, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006425920517491468, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0023884179653042015, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.031296505076812364, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03772242559430383, "ret_p1w": -0.05783351811502602, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05783351811502602, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04601793719151115, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.028255971674451263, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.029577546440574753, "ret_p1m": 0.0361077201394302, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0361077201394302, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08602746171461395, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09267904306389108, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.056571322924460876, "ret_p3m": 0.8093635408794768, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.8093635408794768, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.7069701617135689, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.33336758756170504, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.4759959533177718, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0376, -0.0364, -0.0193, -0.0165, -0.0129, -0.0141, -0.0122, -0.063, -0.0588, -0.0707, -0.1059, -0.1105, -0.1037, -0.1013, -0.0949, -0.1034, -0.1034, -0.1037, -0.1053, -0.1092, -0.1255, -0.1255, -0.0655, -0.0493, -0.0043, 0.0119, -0.0282, 0.0132, 0.0352, 0.0453, 0.0184, 0.0431, 0.0089, 0.0089, -0.0416, 0.0095, 0.0285, -0.0101, -0.0337, -0.0129, -0.0119, 0.0018, -0.0444, -0.0355, -0.0805, -0.0976, -0.1138, -0.0609, -0.0664, -0.0373, -0.0024, -0.0153, 0.0285, 0.0285, 0.0511, -0.1028, -0.1129, -0.1028, -0.1209, -0.1016, -0.1291, -0.0615, -0.0649, 0.0, -0.0064, -0.0095, -0.0257, -0.0728, -0.0578, -0.0367, -0.0318, -0.0373, -0.0529, -0.0413, -0.0588, -0.0514, -0.0389, -0.0621, -0.033, 0.0523, 0.131, 0.1025, 0.0793, 0.0046, 0.0361, 0.0609, 0.0514, 0.0514, 0.0756, 0.075, 0.1659, 0.1922, 0.2252, 0.2274, 0.246, 0.3054, 0.3124, 0.3149, 0.4299, 0.4636, 0.5413, 0.5352, 0.5829, 0.522, 0.4636, 0.4639, 0.5254, 0.5376, 0.5584, 0.5159, 0.8975, 0.7662, 0.8182, 0.873, 0.8807, 0.8439, 0.821, 0.7944, 0.7029, 0.6735, 0.7332, 0.7668, 0.8222, 0.8222, 0.9119, 0.8433, 0.8094, 0.7638, 0.7638, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2027830093247300016", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-28T19:35:44+00:00", "symbol": "AIXXF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Aixtron, $VECO benefits from mini $ASML style capex cycle this year", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Upstream photonics plays IQE, AXTI, VECO, Aixtron not priced in vs crowded downstream names LITE/COHR; bottleneck hunting the photonics capex ramp.", "resolved_tickers": ["AIXXF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Second order effects from $AAOI earnings: \n\n-> Extreme demand for MBE/MOCVD reactors.\n\nThey're needed for epiwafers. \n\nThis signals two things for \"manufacturing\": \n\n- $IQE is sitting on an absolute gold mine\n\n- capex cycle to ( $VECO $1.85B, Aixtron $AIXXF  $3.7B) type players.\n\nQuote: 3-4 hyperscalers, likely $GOOGL, $AMZN, $MSFT. demand maxed out for transceivers. \n\n->  Innolight, Eptolink, $COHR, and others will probably go through a capex cycle to meet demand too. \n\nThis largely benefits both outsourced foundries for epiwafers: \n\n-> $IQE ($175M) ~100+ reactors \n-> Landmark (~$3.68B) ~27-30 reactors. \n\nSo that's probably the reason why $LITE has been heavily using $IQE, and Landmark has been hitting record revenues. $AAOI's has been building capacity from their texas fab. \n\nTLDR: \n\n1. Aixtron, $VECO benefits from mini $ASML style capex cycle this year. When Aixtron said 2026 \"continued softness in overall market environment expected\" from feb guidance, maybe they're sandbagging or orders havent come in yet.  That being said, best exposure imo is probably not the machine sellers. \n\n2. $IQE is sitting on a gold mine of capacity to meet demand across $LITE and others hyperscalers for inp epiwafers. They just need to restructure succesfully, to be rerated more like their $3.65B friend in Taiwan. \n\n3. $AAOI earnings is just insane demand for both transceiver makers and the components/materials required to assemble them, definitely not priced in yet. \n\n4. $AXTI as always happens to be the bottleneck of everything as I mentioned last year. \n\nThe more well known the name is ( $LITE, $COHR ) the likely more crowded/priced-in.\n\nBut when you go more upstream, there's a ton of hidden gems markets haven't priced in yet that benefit from the massive photonics ramp. \n\nIt's the new gold rush for investors, but bottleneck hunting.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06097910489842817, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06097910489842817, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.060410849214221796, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06092984303044813, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -4.926186798004384e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.025926922558588195, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.025926922558588195, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.017112584075792525, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011795503035715638, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03772242559430383, "ret_p1w": -0.009849300275208583, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.009849300275208583, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0019662806483062845, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01972824616536617, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.029577546440574753, "ret_p1m": 0.10081119577398856, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10081119577398856, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1507309373491723, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.15738251869844944, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.056571322924460876, "ret_p3m": 0.9901265391817511, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.9901265391817511, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.8877331600158431, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5141305858639793, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.4759959533177718, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3977, -0.3882, -0.3844, -0.3844, -0.4147, -0.4147, -0.3998, -0.4308, -0.4192, -0.4192, -0.4412, -0.4366, -0.4221, -0.4032, -0.4075, -0.4032, -0.4032, -0.4061, -0.4092, -0.383, -0.4082, -0.4082, -0.3478, -0.3081, -0.2875, -0.2946, -0.3192, -0.3016, -0.3042, -0.3279, -0.3227, -0.3281, -0.3305, -0.3305, -0.3497, -0.2869, -0.2874, -0.2685, -0.2868, -0.262, -0.2972, -0.33, -0.3355, -0.3178, -0.325, -0.3152, -0.3048, -0.3021, -0.2755, -0.2149, -0.2613, -0.2377, -0.2063, -0.2063, -0.1947, -0.1925, -0.1999, -0.2034, -0.2178, -0.167, -0.1686, -0.1268, -0.061, 0.0, -0.0259, 0.0168, -0.0287, -0.0448, -0.0098, 0.0429, 0.1153, 0.1052, 0.0718, 0.1283, 0.135, 0.1298, 0.1292, 0.1103, 0.1501, 0.0791, 0.1987, 0.1709, 0.1266, 0.075, 0.1008, 0.1269, 0.0652, 0.0652, 0.1298, 0.1089, 0.2601, 0.2373, 0.2788, 0.2468, 0.227, 0.3753, 0.425, 0.5003, 0.489, 0.56, 0.5953, 0.5587, 0.6085, 0.5171, 0.4738, 0.4647, 0.5852, 0.6402, 0.6728, 0.7729, 0.7037, 0.6547, 0.6747, 0.6367, 0.5767, 0.7586, 0.8739, 0.7791, 0.7141, 0.7214, 0.7818, 0.7722, 0.7963, 0.7963, 0.8115, 0.9059, 0.9901, 0.9901, 0.9901, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2027830093247300016", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-02-28T19:35:44+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AXTI as always happens to be the bottleneck of everything", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Upstream photonics plays IQE, AXTI, VECO, Aixtron not priced in vs crowded downstream names LITE/COHR; bottleneck hunting the photonics capex ramp.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Second order effects from $AAOI earnings: \n\n-> Extreme demand for MBE/MOCVD reactors.\n\nThey're needed for epiwafers. \n\nThis signals two things for \"manufacturing\": \n\n- $IQE is sitting on an absolute gold mine\n\n- capex cycle to ( $VECO $1.85B, Aixtron $AIXXF  $3.7B) type players.\n\nQuote: 3-4 hyperscalers, likely $GOOGL, $AMZN, $MSFT. demand maxed out for transceivers. \n\n->  Innolight, Eptolink, $COHR, and others will probably go through a capex cycle to meet demand too. \n\nThis largely benefits both outsourced foundries for epiwafers: \n\n-> $IQE ($175M) ~100+ reactors \n-> Landmark (~$3.68B) ~27-30 reactors. \n\nSo that's probably the reason why $LITE has been heavily using $IQE, and Landmark has been hitting record revenues. $AAOI's has been building capacity from their texas fab. \n\nTLDR: \n\n1. Aixtron, $VECO benefits from mini $ASML style capex cycle this year. When Aixtron said 2026 \"continued softness in overall market environment expected\" from feb guidance, maybe they're sandbagging or orders havent come in yet.  That being said, best exposure imo is probably not the machine sellers. \n\n2. $IQE is sitting on a gold mine of capacity to meet demand across $LITE and others hyperscalers for inp epiwafers. They just need to restructure succesfully, to be rerated more like their $3.65B friend in Taiwan. \n\n3. $AAOI earnings is just insane demand for both transceiver makers and the components/materials required to assemble them, definitely not priced in yet. \n\n4. $AXTI as always happens to be the bottleneck of everything as I mentioned last year. \n\nThe more well known the name is ( $LITE, $COHR ) the likely more crowded/priced-in.\n\nBut when you go more upstream, there's a ton of hidden gems markets haven't priced in yet that benefit from the massive photonics ramp. \n\nIt's the new gold rush for investors, but bottleneck hunting.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.18177889085535037, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.18177889085535037, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.181210635171144, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.18172962898737033, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -4.926186798004384e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09844562615142993, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09844562615142993, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08963128766863426, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0607232005571261, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03772242559430383, "ret_p1w": -0.16753018939247322, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.16753018939247322, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.15571460846895835, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.13795264295189846, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.029577546440574753, "ret_p1m": 0.2301381674793761, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2301381674793761, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.28005790905455985, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.286709490403837, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.056571322924460876, "ret_p3m": 1.4978410559266577, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.4978410559266577, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.3954476767607498, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.021845102608886, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.4759959533177718, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7522, -0.7388, -0.75, -0.7256, -0.677, -0.6652, -0.6464, -0.6803, -0.6798, -0.7193, -0.7332, -0.6975, -0.6837, -0.6714, -0.6839, -0.6759, -0.6759, -0.6682, -0.685, -0.6589, -0.647, -0.647, -0.6382, -0.6401, -0.5646, -0.4795, -0.4424, -0.5037, -0.5199, -0.5356, -0.5229, -0.4447, -0.5231, -0.5231, -0.5378, -0.573, -0.6131, -0.6244, -0.6157, -0.6287, -0.6367, -0.6464, -0.5997, -0.5479, -0.5738, -0.5952, -0.5589, -0.4806, -0.4005, -0.4743, -0.4214, -0.4648, -0.4767, -0.4767, -0.4989, -0.4918, -0.486, -0.3592, -0.3862, -0.2427, -0.1155, -0.1986, -0.1818, 0.0, -0.0984, -0.1552, -0.1623, -0.3012, -0.1675, -0.0436, 0.0225, 0.0089, 0.0548, 0.0447, -0.0423, 0.0527, 0.2541, 0.171, 0.3912, 0.4775, 0.454, 0.2632, 0.3089, 0.1384, 0.2301, 0.0177, 0.1408, 0.1408, -0.0935, -0.0186, 0.1481, 0.3627, 0.3856, 0.4346, 0.4529, 0.3586, 0.7655, 0.7824, 0.7003, 0.6185, 0.8769, 0.625, 0.6442, 0.5145, 0.4834, 0.5343, 0.7103, 1.0725, 1.2884, 1.3219, 1.2632, 1.3407, 1.5121, 1.7161, 1.6533, 1.6326, 1.4823, 1.6723, 1.2858, 1.437, 1.2584, 1.6127, 2.0404, 2.0404, 1.8627, 1.6505, 1.4978, 1.2271, 1.2271, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2027830093247300016", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-02-28T19:35:44+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The more well known the name is ( $LITE, $COHR ) the likely more crowded/priced-in", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Upstream photonics plays IQE, AXTI, VECO, Aixtron not priced in vs crowded downstream names LITE/COHR; bottleneck hunting the photonics capex ramp.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Second order effects from $AAOI earnings: \n\n-> Extreme demand for MBE/MOCVD reactors.\n\nThey're needed for epiwafers. \n\nThis signals two things for \"manufacturing\": \n\n- $IQE is sitting on an absolute gold mine\n\n- capex cycle to ( $VECO $1.85B, Aixtron $AIXXF  $3.7B) type players.\n\nQuote: 3-4 hyperscalers, likely $GOOGL, $AMZN, $MSFT. demand maxed out for transceivers. \n\n->  Innolight, Eptolink, $COHR, and others will probably go through a capex cycle to meet demand too. \n\nThis largely benefits both outsourced foundries for epiwafers: \n\n-> $IQE ($175M) ~100+ reactors \n-> Landmark (~$3.68B) ~27-30 reactors. \n\nSo that's probably the reason why $LITE has been heavily using $IQE, and Landmark has been hitting record revenues. $AAOI's has been building capacity from their texas fab. \n\nTLDR: \n\n1. Aixtron, $VECO benefits from mini $ASML style capex cycle this year. When Aixtron said 2026 \"continued softness in overall market environment expected\" from feb guidance, maybe they're sandbagging or orders havent come in yet.  That being said, best exposure imo is probably not the machine sellers. \n\n2. $IQE is sitting on a gold mine of capacity to meet demand across $LITE and others hyperscalers for inp epiwafers. They just need to restructure succesfully, to be rerated more like their $3.65B friend in Taiwan. \n\n3. $AAOI earnings is just insane demand for both transceiver makers and the components/materials required to assemble them, definitely not priced in yet. \n\n4. $AXTI as always happens to be the bottleneck of everything as I mentioned last year. \n\nThe more well known the name is ( $LITE, $COHR ) the likely more crowded/priced-in.\n\nBut when you go more upstream, there's a ton of hidden gems markets haven't priced in yet that benefit from the massive photonics ramp. \n\nIt's the new gold rush for investors, but bottleneck hunting.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.10512611152948448, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.10512611152948448, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.1045578558452781, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.1045578558452781, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.11339930714869928, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.11339930714869928, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10458496866590361, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10458496866590361, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "ret_p1w": -0.18201084910130072, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.18201084910130072, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.17019526817778585, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.17019526817778585, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "ret_p1m": -0.10276411137488028, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10276411137488028, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05284436979969653, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05284436979969653, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "ret_p3m": 0.09878071511929454, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.09878071511929454, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.003612664046613423, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.003612664046613423, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6132, -0.5814, -0.5769, -0.5626, -0.54, -0.5327, -0.5249, -0.5859, -0.5727, -0.5964, -0.5911, -0.5696, -0.5258, -0.5022, -0.5054, -0.4945, -0.4945, -0.5011, -0.5243, -0.5261, -0.5294, -0.5294, -0.507, -0.5441, -0.4926, -0.4984, -0.5554, -0.5513, -0.5661, -0.5387, -0.5766, -0.5617, -0.586, -0.586, -0.5444, -0.5373, -0.5474, -0.5669, -0.5756, -0.5268, -0.5085, -0.513, -0.4997, -0.4594, -0.4445, -0.4056, -0.356, -0.2953, -0.2631, -0.2836, -0.267, -0.2551, -0.2815, -0.2815, -0.2334, -0.2413, -0.1885, -0.1474, -0.1386, -0.1213, -0.0764, -0.1357, -0.1051, 0.0, -0.1134, -0.1308, -0.1691, -0.287, -0.182, -0.142, -0.142, -0.2134, -0.2052, -0.2022, -0.1707, -0.1053, -0.0142, -0.0982, -0.0693, 0.0239, -0.0078, -0.1206, -0.1028, -0.164, -0.1028, -0.0237, 0.0557, 0.0557, -0.014, 0.0415, 0.144, 0.1416, 0.1456, 0.1123, 0.0888, 0.052, 0.1378, 0.1415, 0.1428, 0.0685, 0.1154, 0.0813, 0.1256, 0.0976, 0.0104, 0.0958, 0.152, 0.2128, 0.2463, 0.2698, 0.2056, 0.1396, 0.1539, 0.3445, 0.267, 0.3155, 0.279, 0.2393, 0.1299, 0.1364, 0.1083, 0.2314, 0.2089, 0.2089, 0.1629, 0.152, 0.0988, 0.0916, 0.0916, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2027830093247300016", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2026-02-28T19:35:44+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The more well known the name is ( $LITE, $COHR ) the likely more crowded/priced-in", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Upstream photonics plays IQE, AXTI, VECO, Aixtron not priced in vs crowded downstream names LITE/COHR; bottleneck hunting the photonics capex ramp.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Second order effects from $AAOI earnings: \n\n-> Extreme demand for MBE/MOCVD reactors.\n\nThey're needed for epiwafers. \n\nThis signals two things for \"manufacturing\": \n\n- $IQE is sitting on an absolute gold mine\n\n- capex cycle to ( $VECO $1.85B, Aixtron $AIXXF  $3.7B) type players.\n\nQuote: 3-4 hyperscalers, likely $GOOGL, $AMZN, $MSFT. demand maxed out for transceivers. \n\n->  Innolight, Eptolink, $COHR, and others will probably go through a capex cycle to meet demand too. \n\nThis largely benefits both outsourced foundries for epiwafers: \n\n-> $IQE ($175M) ~100+ reactors \n-> Landmark (~$3.68B) ~27-30 reactors. \n\nSo that's probably the reason why $LITE has been heavily using $IQE, and Landmark has been hitting record revenues. $AAOI's has been building capacity from their texas fab. \n\nTLDR: \n\n1. Aixtron, $VECO benefits from mini $ASML style capex cycle this year. When Aixtron said 2026 \"continued softness in overall market environment expected\" from feb guidance, maybe they're sandbagging or orders havent come in yet.  That being said, best exposure imo is probably not the machine sellers. \n\n2. $IQE is sitting on a gold mine of capacity to meet demand across $LITE and others hyperscalers for inp epiwafers. They just need to restructure succesfully, to be rerated more like their $3.65B friend in Taiwan. \n\n3. $AAOI earnings is just insane demand for both transceiver makers and the components/materials required to assemble them, definitely not priced in yet. \n\n4. $AXTI as always happens to be the bottleneck of everything as I mentioned last year. \n\nThe more well known the name is ( $LITE, $COHR ) the likely more crowded/priced-in.\n\nBut when you go more upstream, there's a ton of hidden gems markets haven't priced in yet that benefit from the massive photonics ramp. \n\nIt's the new gold rush for investors, but bottleneck hunting.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.13375266968823796, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.13375266968823796, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.13318441400403158, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.13318441400403158, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.060553363493234036, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.060553363493234036, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.051739025010438366, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.051739025010438366, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "ret_p1w": -0.15586630011405167, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.15586630011405167, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1440507191905368, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1440507191905368, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "ret_p1m": -0.20307114584514885, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.20307114584514885, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1531514042699651, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1531514042699651, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "ret_p3m": 0.2610819564043063, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.2610819564043063, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.15868857723839835, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15868857723839835, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4281, -0.4067, -0.3918, -0.3782, -0.3552, -0.3394, -0.3359, -0.4034, -0.403, -0.4139, -0.4298, -0.4122, -0.3783, -0.3611, -0.3581, -0.3598, -0.3598, -0.3586, -0.3676, -0.375, -0.3825, -0.3825, -0.3499, -0.3765, -0.3506, -0.3589, -0.4207, -0.4043, -0.3805, -0.3643, -0.3841, -0.3444, -0.3609, -0.3609, -0.3528, -0.326, -0.3218, -0.3411, -0.3384, -0.2841, -0.2602, -0.2778, -0.2902, -0.2558, -0.2333, -0.2941, -0.3, -0.2383, -0.1889, -0.236, -0.2516, -0.277, -0.2733, -0.2733, -0.2641, -0.251, -0.2222, -0.1697, -0.1673, -0.1474, -0.1037, -0.1632, -0.1338, 0.0, -0.0606, -0.0805, -0.1507, -0.2114, -0.1559, -0.128, -0.1589, -0.1928, -0.1878, -0.1724, -0.1777, -0.1395, -0.0781, -0.1515, -0.1467, -0.0889, -0.0899, -0.1861, -0.1854, -0.2652, -0.2031, -0.171, -0.1363, -0.1363, -0.1529, -0.1466, -0.0573, -0.0493, 0.0287, 0.0302, 0.0485, 0.0311, 0.0973, 0.1543, 0.1626, 0.1501, 0.1725, 0.1297, 0.1244, 0.0757, 0.0169, 0.0201, 0.0696, 0.1023, 0.1036, 0.1232, 0.1531, 0.0678, 0.1216, 0.2702, 0.2512, 0.3506, 0.3547, 0.2795, 0.2138, 0.1831, 0.1994, 0.2646, 0.2632, 0.2632, 0.2758, 0.2719, 0.2611, 0.2093, 0.2093, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2029646649170219307", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-05T19:54:04+00:00", "symbol": "LASR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LASR is the only publicly tradeable US pure play exposure to energy directed weapons. I share the same sentiment with Baird analysts that it is a One of One company.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long LASR as the sole US pure-play on directed-energy weapons; endorses Baird's 'One of One' Stay Long thesis, citing Iron Beam momentum and Golden Dome TAM expansion.", "resolved_tickers": ["LASR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$LASR: “A One of One Company; Stay Long”. \n\nThis is exceptionally strong wording coming from Baird. \n\nAnalyst reports typically never illicit this strong of wording with Outperform ratings.\n\nHowever the excitement is real: \n\nEspecially after live videos of an operational the Iron Beam this week ( $LASR known supplier ), lasering down incoming missiles.\n\nAnd with the imminent TAM expansion with America’s Golden Dome Project.\n\n$LASR is the only publicly tradeable US pure play exposure to energy directed weapons. \n\nI share the same sentiment with Baird  analysts that it is a One of One company.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0712914829263338, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0712914829263338, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06568467506002262, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06568467506002262, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005606807866311181, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005606807866311181, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06265987687967278, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06265987687967278, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04955274180883629, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04955274180883629, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013107135070836495, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013107135070836495, "ret_p1w": 0.00335676278553132, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.00335676278553132, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.025740157378199235, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.025740157378199235, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.022383394592667916, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022383394592667916, "ret_p1m": -0.0390025957136243, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0390025957136243, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.004232949046901968, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.004232949046901968, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03476964666672233, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03476964666672233, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4094, -0.3942, -0.3958, -0.3889, -0.4226, -0.4166, -0.4337, -0.446, -0.4254, -0.3972, -0.3887, -0.3694, -0.3715, -0.3715, -0.3734, -0.3764, -0.3838, -0.4004, -0.4004, -0.3867, -0.3911, -0.3974, -0.3998, -0.3601, -0.3603, -0.3355, -0.3171, -0.3099, -0.2994, -0.2976, -0.2976, -0.2767, -0.2657, -0.2327, -0.2978, -0.3034, -0.2819, -0.265, -0.247, -0.2709, -0.2315, -0.2011, -0.2989, -0.2633, -0.1829, -0.1274, -0.1541, -0.1234, -0.1619, -0.1643, -0.1643, -0.1865, -0.1312, -0.11, -0.1047, -0.1256, -0.0786, -0.0313, 0.0062, -0.1018, 0.082, 0.0082, 0.0713, 0.0, -0.0627, -0.0249, 0.0197, 0.0628, 0.0034, 0.0006, 0.0949, 0.1371, 0.0956, 0.133, 0.0512, 0.1181, 0.1439, 0.1469, 0.0208, 0.0281, -0.1368, -0.0886, -0.0681, -0.039, -0.039, -0.0697, -0.0774, -0.0358, 0.0026, 0.0449, 0.1167, 0.0689, 0.0617, 0.1106, 0.1258, 0.1403, 0.1544, 0.1506, 0.1861, 0.2115, 0.1196, 0.0515, 0.0385, 0.1165, 0.1346, 0.1095, 0.0702, 0.1395, 0.058, 0.1814, 0.3579, 0.3397, 0.2855, 0.3, 0.2086, 0.1322, 0.1108, 0.1397, 0.2217, 0.2555, 0.2555, 0.3039, 0.301, 0.2652, 0.1848, 0.1848, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2018190781098717355", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-02T05:12:33+00:00", "symbol": "CRCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I remain bearish-neutral short term, very bullish long term at $14.9B MC", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "CRCL: bearish-neutral near-term on QT/Warsh headwinds, very bullish long-term at $14.9B market cap.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Rare earth sector from $MP to $USAR sell-off was an algorithmic mistake due to Reuters publishing false information -> retracting it later.\n\nHowever, like Bitcoin's initial liquidation from Binance errors, the damage has been done.\n\nI see Warsh is unfortunately net bearish $CRCL. So it's extremely nuanced since these two things contradict each other: shrinking the balance sheet (Quantitative Tightening) is \"tightening,\" while cutting rates is \"easing.\n\nBut if the Fed cuts (bullish for crypto/AI growth) and long-term Treasury yields stay elevated because of a smaller Fed balance sheet, Circle can continue to earn high interest on its reserves while the broader crypto market rallies. (this is goldilocks scenario). \n\nOtherwise QT and rate cuts just hurts Circle a lot. But despite this, USDC volume/supply remains ATHs above $70B+ and I remain bearish-neutral short term, very bullish long term at $14.9B MC. \n\nGoing back to rare earths, it's essentially neutral. Like Samsung/TSM in foreign countries, even though there might be some headwinds. Ultimately US policy with AI growth cannot function without them + or rare earths so they're a necessity in the supply chain. \n\nFundamentally after a major crash like that (even if it's fake) recovery takes longer but presents good dip opportunities. But they're still up a ton YTD, which is why there might be further volatility ahead (eg. $USAR 58% YTD).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What’s your take on nuclear and rare earths? Pre rev like oklo smr uuuu? And how does warsh affect your crcl thesis?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "hereforgoodish2", "ret_m1d": 0.08613658923293599, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08613658923293599, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09108335917909072, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09705644946349401, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946769946154728, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01091986023055802, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04587157211929438, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04587157211929438, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03741617568859379, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.036617431629119124, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00845539643070059, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009254140490175256, "ret_p1w": 0.021066901986260822, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.021066901986260822, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.023166339736501396, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.022732621726643587, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0020994377502405737, "bench_c_p1w": -0.001665719740382765, "ret_p1m": 0.692660486243629, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.692660486243629, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.7143454647951287, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.7448536768051749, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684978551499756, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05219319056154592, "ret_p3m": 0.5440026556410726, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.5440026556410726, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.507746848634099, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.5742086578810512, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03625580700697362, "bench_c_p3m": -0.030206002239978602, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.9203, 0.6991, 0.7523, 0.7686, 0.6701, 0.4662, 0.3989, 0.3913, 0.3012, 0.3014, 0.1845, 0.1371, 0.2119, 0.2358, 0.1911, 0.2341, 0.2341, 0.358, 0.2902, 0.3157, 0.466, 0.4859, 0.4546, 0.4264, 0.51, 0.502, 0.5048, 0.4181, 0.282, 0.4101, 0.3456, 0.376, 0.4633, 0.4781, 0.4055, 0.404, 0.404, 0.3807, 0.3678, 0.3573, 0.3473, 0.3473, 0.4181, 0.4407, 0.4416, 0.3692, 0.3896, 0.4084, 0.4084, 0.4179, 0.4407, 0.3014, 0.3355, 0.3355, 0.2351, 0.2341, 0.2122, 0.2119, 0.2046, 0.1886, 0.2375, 0.1476, 0.0861, 0.0, -0.0459, -0.0647, -0.1466, -0.0309, 0.0211, 0.0151, -0.017, -0.0379, 0.02, 0.02, 0.0469, 0.0729, 0.052, 0.0707, 0.0392, 0.0426, 0.4125, 0.4817, 0.4176, 0.6334, 0.6927, 0.7885, 0.7965, 0.7314, 0.9001, 1.0063, 0.9166, 0.9399, 0.9602, 1.1378, 1.2479, 1.2569, 1.1803, 1.1412, 1.1515, 0.7188, 0.7645, 0.6696, 0.5912, 0.5275, 0.621, 0.5416, 0.5335, 0.5335, 0.5656, 0.599, 0.6045, 0.4458, 0.4958, 0.6765, 0.7922, 0.7927, 0.8257, 0.7994, 0.807, 0.6313, 0.773, 0.6991, 0.6932, 0.6215, 0.603, 0.6235, 0.544, 0.6938, 1.0308, 0.94, 1.0693, 0.9241, 0.9312, 1.2385, 1.1007, 1.1504, 1.1047, 0.9368, 0.8925, 0.8863, 0.8964, 0.9517, 0.9218, 0.9218, 0.7698, 0.7438, 0.8389, 0.9198, 0.9198, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2018190781098717355", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-02T05:12:33+00:00", "symbol": "CRCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "very bullish long term at $14.9B MC", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "CRCL: bearish-neutral near-term on QT/Warsh headwinds, very bullish long-term at $14.9B market cap.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Rare earth sector from $MP to $USAR sell-off was an algorithmic mistake due to Reuters publishing false information -> retracting it later.\n\nHowever, like Bitcoin's initial liquidation from Binance errors, the damage has been done.\n\nI see Warsh is unfortunately net bearish $CRCL. So it's extremely nuanced since these two things contradict each other: shrinking the balance sheet (Quantitative Tightening) is \"tightening,\" while cutting rates is \"easing.\n\nBut if the Fed cuts (bullish for crypto/AI growth) and long-term Treasury yields stay elevated because of a smaller Fed balance sheet, Circle can continue to earn high interest on its reserves while the broader crypto market rallies. (this is goldilocks scenario). \n\nOtherwise QT and rate cuts just hurts Circle a lot. But despite this, USDC volume/supply remains ATHs above $70B+ and I remain bearish-neutral short term, very bullish long term at $14.9B MC. \n\nGoing back to rare earths, it's essentially neutral. Like Samsung/TSM in foreign countries, even though there might be some headwinds. Ultimately US policy with AI growth cannot function without them + or rare earths so they're a necessity in the supply chain. \n\nFundamentally after a major crash like that (even if it's fake) recovery takes longer but presents good dip opportunities. But they're still up a ton YTD, which is why there might be further volatility ahead (eg. $USAR 58% YTD).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What’s your take on nuclear and rare earths? Pre rev like oklo smr uuuu? And how does warsh affect your crcl thesis?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "hereforgoodish2", "ret_m1d": 0.08613658923293599, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08613658923293599, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.09108335917909072, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.09705644946349401, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946769946154728, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01091986023055802, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04587157211929438, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04587157211929438, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03741617568859379, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.036617431629119124, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00845539643070059, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009254140490175256, "ret_p1w": 0.021066901986260822, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.021066901986260822, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.023166339736501396, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.022732621726643587, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0020994377502405737, "bench_c_p1w": -0.001665719740382765, "ret_p1m": 0.692660486243629, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.692660486243629, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.7143454647951287, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.7448536768051749, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684978551499756, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05219319056154592, "ret_p3m": 0.5440026556410726, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5440026556410726, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.507746848634099, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5742086578810512, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03625580700697362, "bench_c_p3m": -0.030206002239978602, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.9203, 0.6991, 0.7523, 0.7686, 0.6701, 0.4662, 0.3989, 0.3913, 0.3012, 0.3014, 0.1845, 0.1371, 0.2119, 0.2358, 0.1911, 0.2341, 0.2341, 0.358, 0.2902, 0.3157, 0.466, 0.4859, 0.4546, 0.4264, 0.51, 0.502, 0.5048, 0.4181, 0.282, 0.4101, 0.3456, 0.376, 0.4633, 0.4781, 0.4055, 0.404, 0.404, 0.3807, 0.3678, 0.3573, 0.3473, 0.3473, 0.4181, 0.4407, 0.4416, 0.3692, 0.3896, 0.4084, 0.4084, 0.4179, 0.4407, 0.3014, 0.3355, 0.3355, 0.2351, 0.2341, 0.2122, 0.2119, 0.2046, 0.1886, 0.2375, 0.1476, 0.0861, 0.0, -0.0459, -0.0647, -0.1466, -0.0309, 0.0211, 0.0151, -0.017, -0.0379, 0.02, 0.02, 0.0469, 0.0729, 0.052, 0.0707, 0.0392, 0.0426, 0.4125, 0.4817, 0.4176, 0.6334, 0.6927, 0.7885, 0.7965, 0.7314, 0.9001, 1.0063, 0.9166, 0.9399, 0.9602, 1.1378, 1.2479, 1.2569, 1.1803, 1.1412, 1.1515, 0.7188, 0.7645, 0.6696, 0.5912, 0.5275, 0.621, 0.5416, 0.5335, 0.5335, 0.5656, 0.599, 0.6045, 0.4458, 0.4958, 0.6765, 0.7922, 0.7927, 0.8257, 0.7994, 0.807, 0.6313, 0.773, 0.6991, 0.6932, 0.6215, 0.603, 0.6235, 0.544, 0.6938, 1.0308, 0.94, 1.0693, 0.9241, 0.9312, 1.2385, 1.1007, 1.1504, 1.1047, 0.9368, 0.8925, 0.8863, 0.8964, 0.9517, 0.9218, 0.9218, 0.7698, 0.7438, 0.8389, 0.9198, 0.9198, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2031084748924399652", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-09T19:08:34+00:00", "symbol": "RDDT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Reddit is of the strongest buys for me right now", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strong buy on RDDT at $135; insanely undervalued vs growth/profitability, wartime engagement boost, NOL carryforwards add upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["RDDT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Agreed, there’s actually some net operating loss carry forwards but even if you model that out a few years from now.\n\n$RDDT is insanely undervalued relative to growth and profitability. \n\nAnd I think wartime actually boosted 2026 q1 engagement metrics/revenue numbers past expectations.\n\nPeople just look at the chart and think the drop is ugly, but Reddit is of the strongest buys for me right now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Seeing a ton more chatter about $RDDT now…\n\nI did a deep-dive on them 2 months ago and quite frankly, the only thing that held me back was valuation.\n\nAt $230, the risk-reward wasn’t there.\n\nAt $135…what are people thinking? \n\nTrading at 11 p/s, 30x fwd P/E with 70% growth. https://t.co/vBHxmj50Ux", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "amitisinvesting", "ret_m1d": 0.0038167850854622376, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0038167850854622376, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.012500738449817472, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00466738160004132, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0008505965145790828, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03406305420386446, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03406305420386446, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.032455927298497333, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03253191537264588, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0015311388312185814, "ret_p1w": 0.008209703187654016, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.008209703187654016, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.021832609911852763, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.027178689065017414, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018968985877363398, "ret_p1m": 0.016419406375308032, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.016419406375308032, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04185137079492052, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.062210210154183154, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04579080377887512, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.7147, 0.6818, 0.6188, 0.5735, 0.6131, 0.6372, 0.666, 0.6793, 0.679, 0.6262, 0.6265, 0.6265, 0.6259, 0.6898, 0.6805, 0.6554, 0.6554, 0.742, 0.7575, 0.8278, 0.84, 0.8288, 0.7612, 0.7573, 0.8647, 0.8175, 0.6473, 0.6636, 0.6636, 0.6229, 0.5133, 0.545, 0.5763, 0.5385, 0.4137, 0.3909, 0.3686, 0.2982, 0.2757, 0.1912, 0.0996, 0.0878, 0.007, 0.0207, 0.0801, 0.0031, -0.0561, 0.0057, 0.0057, 0.0027, 0.0619, 0.0524, 0.0814, 0.0259, 0.0232, 0.0778, 0.0892, 0.0501, 0.0594, 0.0492, 0.0607, 0.0395, 0.0038, 0.0, -0.0341, -0.0125, -0.0476, -0.0468, 0.0082, 0.0394, 0.0283, -0.0053, 0.0071, 0.0151, -0.0197, 0.0055, -0.0835, -0.1226, -0.1061, -0.0303, -0.0193, -0.0206, -0.0206, -0.0037, 0.0164, 0.0442, -0.0035, 0.0063, 0.0755, 0.1129, 0.1413, 0.1699, 0.1796, 0.1975, 0.1293, 0.1833, 0.1015, 0.1154, 0.1538, 0.0653, 0.064, 0.0603, 0.1989, 0.2176, 0.236, 0.1995, 0.1807, 0.122, 0.1487, 0.0971, 0.1099, 0.1257, 0.1391, 0.1458, 0.1154, 0.0566, 0.0805, 0.0202, 0.0202, 0.0416, 0.1104, 0.2076, 0.2675, 0.2675, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2036532579638399109", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-24T19:56:18+00:00", "symbol": "ARM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Main beneficiary is $TSM, but this is a large tailwind for $ARM moving forward as they pivot from licensing", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "ARM's new AGI CPU is a large tailwind as it pivots from licensing; TSM is the main beneficiary as the 3nm fab.", "resolved_tickers": ["ARM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$ARM announces new AI chip called \"AGI CPU\"\n\nAccording to Arm, the company \"Expects it to add billions in annual revenue\".\n\n- 136 Neoverse V3 cores, built on $TSM 3nm process\n\n- Custom-built for \"agentic AI\" workloads with OpenAI and $META as lead customers. \n\n$AMD and $INTC have recently received a tailwind from enterprise CPU shortage. \n\nYou might be wondering: \n\nDoes ARM Solve the Shortage? Architecturally, yes. Physically, no. \n\nMain beneficiary is $TSM, but this is a large tailwind for $ARM moving forward as they pivot from licensing.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.014300478510445691, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.014300478510445691, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010932322364053615, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.022486218180242656, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008185739669796965, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.16382631528188685, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.16382631528188685, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.1582535563345009, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.15259949068700318, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011226824594883666, "ret_p1w": 0.12092465362742755, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12092465362742755, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12527256056296987, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14928320945818452, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02835855583075697, "ret_p1m": 0.4565056131107996, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4565056131107996, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.36766328795146275, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.24808677077412722, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2084188423366724, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1735, -0.1829, -0.1812, -0.1786, -0.1901, -0.1901, -0.1499, -0.1397, -0.144, -0.1429, -0.1621, -0.1717, -0.1765, -0.2009, -0.2221, -0.2212, -0.2162, -0.2162, -0.2059, -0.1559, -0.1168, -0.14, -0.1499, -0.1488, -0.1852, -0.1966, -0.2193, -0.2077, -0.2253, -0.2227, -0.1784, -0.0834, -0.0767, -0.0668, -0.0717, -0.0946, -0.0717, -0.0717, -0.0598, -0.0572, -0.0595, -0.0695, -0.0828, -0.0505, -0.0239, -0.0422, -0.0556, -0.0785, -0.0981, -0.0804, -0.1063, -0.1525, -0.1284, -0.1068, -0.1101, -0.147, -0.1423, -0.0983, -0.0567, -0.0489, -0.0381, -0.0193, 0.0143, 0.0, 0.1638, 0.147, 0.0679, 0.0148, 0.1209, 0.149, 0.1048, 0.1048, 0.1023, 0.0659, 0.1034, 0.1099, 0.1035, 0.1676, 0.1946, 0.1806, 0.2028, 0.2354, 0.2974, 0.3003, 0.4565, 0.5161, 0.7398, 0.5996, 0.4719, 0.4944, 0.5584, 0.5648, 0.5061, 0.5474, 0.7583, 0.5805, 0.5802, 0.5757, 0.5406, 0.6391, 0.6931, 0.5498, 0.594, 0.6535, 0.9023, 1.2098, 1.2711, 1.2711, 1.3801, 1.243, 1.4842, 1.6177, 1.6177, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2036532579638399109", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-24T19:56:18+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Main beneficiary is $TSM", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "ARM's new AGI CPU is a large tailwind as it pivots from licensing; TSM is the main beneficiary as the 3nm fab.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$ARM announces new AI chip called \"AGI CPU\"\n\nAccording to Arm, the company \"Expects it to add billions in annual revenue\".\n\n- 136 Neoverse V3 cores, built on $TSM 3nm process\n\n- Custom-built for \"agentic AI\" workloads with OpenAI and $META as lead customers. \n\n$AMD and $INTC have recently received a tailwind from enterprise CPU shortage. \n\nYou might be wondering: \n\nDoes ARM Solve the Shortage? Architecturally, yes. Physically, no. \n\nMain beneficiary is $TSM, but this is a large tailwind for $ARM moving forward as they pivot from licensing.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.013983941130280453, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013983941130280453, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01735209727667253, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01735209727667253, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013109978150036339, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013109978150036339, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00753721920265038, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00753721920265038, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "ret_p1w": -0.015440605369173355, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.015440605369173355, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.011092698433631032, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.011092698433631032, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "ret_p1m": 0.128739992545976, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.128739992545976, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.039897667386639135, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.039897667386639135, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1319, -0.1202, -0.1258, -0.1297, -0.1172, -0.1172, -0.0715, -0.0638, -0.0488, -0.0742, -0.0761, -0.0598, -0.0362, -0.0378, -0.0497, -0.0075, -0.0053, -0.0053, -0.0496, -0.0526, -0.0489, -0.0272, -0.0334, -0.0171, -0.0056, -0.0136, -0.0397, -0.0083, -0.0246, -0.0537, -0.0392, 0.0135, 0.0325, 0.0514, 0.0868, 0.0694, 0.0643, 0.0643, 0.0581, 0.0524, 0.047, 0.0765, 0.075, 0.1207, 0.1264, 0.0947, 0.0882, 0.0723, 0.0259, 0.0384, 0.028, -0.0155, 0.013, 0.0083, 0.03, -0.0218, -0.0172, -0.0116, 0.008, -0.0107, -0.013, -0.0408, -0.014, 0.0, 0.0131, -0.0499, -0.0481, -0.0779, -0.0154, -0.0051, -0.0123, -0.0123, -0.0043, 0.006, 0.066, 0.0648, 0.0797, 0.0767, 0.1067, 0.0928, 0.0586, 0.0794, 0.067, 0.0723, 0.1287, 0.1148, 0.1725, 0.1798, 0.143, 0.1474, 0.1539, 0.1585, 0.17, 0.149, 0.2221, 0.2066, 0.1994, 0.1786, 0.1574, 0.1647, 0.217, 0.178, 0.1535, 0.1438, 0.1701, 0.1862, 0.1785, 0.1785, 0.2012, 0.2316, 0.2378, 0.2191, 0.2191, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013941132481515912", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-21T11:45:57+00:00", "symbol": "VPG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "테슬라 옵티머스 수혜주 중 서구 로봇 공급망 쪽에서는 정말 알짜배기 니치 종목이거든요. 여기가 진짜 기회라고 생각해요", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long VPG as a high-quality niche play in Western robot supply chain; sees real opportunity while market focuses on AI.", "resolved_tickers": ["VPG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Scientific & Technical Instruments'", "bench_c_industry": "Scientific & Technical Instruments", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "ko", "tweet_text": "@leavego8102 $VPG 를 이제라도 알게 되셔서 다행이네요! 테슬라 옵티머스 수혜주 중 서구 로봇 공급망 쪽에서는 정말 알짜배기 니치 종목이거든요. 다들 AI에만 몰두하느라 우주나 로봇, 드론 공급망 쪽은 아직 많이들 안 보는데, 그래서 저는 여기가 진짜 기회라고 생각해요", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit 고맙습니다. 덕분에 또 매력적인 회사를 알게되었습니다", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "leavego8102", "ret_m1d": -0.06601153731969323, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06601153731969323, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05460213493417854, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.052312969759923944, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011409402385514689, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013698567559769281, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02093568710714666, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02093568710714666, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.015712457087418974, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.013495254549206859, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005223230019727687, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007440432557939802, "ret_p1w": -0.05212566481141945, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05212566481141945, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06674481548805522, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08981428105690381, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014619150676635773, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03768861624548436, "ret_p1m": 0.0021362630033621155, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0021362630033621155, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.003478613920304907, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.027169227953641628, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0013423509169427916, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025032964950279513, "ret_p3m": 0.13565473804374406, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.13565473804374406, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09880692409877811, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05956700092025935, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.036847813944965946, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07608773712348471, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2205, -0.2318, -0.2081, -0.1854, -0.1812, -0.1997, -0.188, -0.2376, -0.229, -0.2927, -0.2959, -0.2696, -0.282, -0.2833, -0.3153, -0.3175, -0.3501, -0.3529, -0.3463, -0.3745, -0.335, -0.307, -0.2809, -0.2726, -0.2726, -0.2707, -0.2638, -0.2525, -0.2153, -0.2027, -0.1666, -0.1906, -0.2143, -0.1809, -0.1671, -0.1899, -0.1869, -0.176, -0.1871, -0.1839, -0.172, -0.1726, -0.1589, -0.1568, -0.1568, -0.1521, -0.1628, -0.1683, -0.1775, -0.1775, -0.1609, -0.1596, -0.1169, -0.1448, -0.1374, -0.1098, -0.1124, -0.1132, -0.1064, -0.0664, -0.0684, -0.0684, -0.066, 0.0, 0.0209, -0.057, -0.0825, -0.0391, -0.0521, 0.0763, 0.0699, 0.0818, 0.1284, 0.1515, 0.1117, 0.1959, 0.1765, 0.1448, -0.0081, -0.0028, -0.0558, -0.0558, -0.0299, -0.0167, 0.0021, 0.0222, 0.0, -0.0004, 0.032, 0.0096, -0.0158, 0.0515, 0.0164, 0.0036, -0.0389, -0.0716, -0.0692, -0.0485, -0.0626, -0.109, -0.1239, -0.1207, -0.128, -0.122, -0.0752, -0.1318, -0.0996, -0.0863, -0.028, -0.0916, -0.1124, -0.131, -0.0724, -0.0607, -0.0436, -0.0436, -0.0147, -0.0017, 0.0485, 0.0517, 0.066, 0.11, 0.1066, 0.0852, 0.0976, 0.1369, 0.1357, 0.1626, 0.2243, 0.2346, 0.295, 0.2514, 0.2222, 0.2021, 0.2907, 0.2865, 0.2824, 0.3662, 0.358, 0.3337, 0.4364, 0.4228, 0.828, 1.1278, 1.1436, 1.079, 1.2476, 1.0925, 1.1515, 1.2226, 1.4302, 1.4302, 1.6364, 1.69, 1.6757, 1.677, 1.677, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2015365264158929043", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-25T10:04:57+00:00", "symbol": "MU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Yeah this is incredible for $MU and all these price hikes break traditional modeling. I did some calculations again and forward p/e might compress to ~8.2-8.5 of 77.2% gross margins", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish MU: NAND price hikes drive margins to 77.2%, forward P/E compresses to 8.2-8.5x, stock can't keep up with improving fundamentals.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@sarfatti_IR Yeah this is incredible for $MU and all these price hikes break traditional modeling.\n\nI did some calculations again and forward p/e might compress to ~8.2-8.5 of 77.2% gross margins \n\nThe valuation can’t keep up with the stock price", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit \"Reports indicate that Samsung Electronics has now initiated a new round of negotiations with clients regarding NAND prices for the second quarter, with the market generally expecting the upward price trend to continue into the second quarter.\"\n\nWill probably see further pricing https://t.co/tPoTwsu8co", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "sarfatti_IR", "ret_m1d": 0.02714026854416307, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02714026854416307, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03219275831867574, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.023955902187538847, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0050524897745126696, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003184366356624224, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05435759085969649, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05435759085969649, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.050373326130011886, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03322025441476706, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003984264729684606, "bench_c_p1d": 0.021137336444929433, "ret_p1w": 0.12518954482328515, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12518954482328515, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1213207519432069, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10224687963987589, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0038687928800782423, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02294266518340926, "ret_p1m": 0.07432730762902162, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07432730762902162, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08209369508999798, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02332686641656423, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007766387460976354, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05100044121245739, "ret_p3m": 0.2385884502360145, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2385884502360145, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.21310256731015742, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.030399299103990085, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025485882925857073, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2081891511320244, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4178, -0.4245, -0.4251, -0.397, -0.4399, -0.3898, -0.3877, -0.3888, -0.3493, -0.3806, -0.3708, -0.3913, -0.3659, -0.3784, -0.413, -0.4196, -0.4827, -0.4673, -0.4247, -0.4232, -0.4084, -0.4084, -0.3925, -0.3822, -0.3847, -0.3984, -0.4177, -0.3906, -0.3656, -0.3515, -0.3225, -0.336, -0.3805, -0.3898, -0.4027, -0.4206, -0.3615, -0.3168, -0.2894, -0.2902, -0.2635, -0.2635, -0.2684, -0.2434, -0.2479, -0.2665, -0.2665, -0.1893, -0.1977, -0.1174, -0.1273, -0.1595, -0.1131, -0.1111, -0.131, -0.1433, -0.1348, -0.0677, -0.0677, -0.0619, 0.0001, 0.0218, 0.0271, 0.0, 0.0544, 0.1187, 0.12, 0.0663, 0.1252, 0.078, -0.0249, -0.0159, 0.0144, -0.0144, -0.0407, 0.0546, 0.0639, 0.058, 0.058, 0.0275, 0.0819, 0.0726, 0.1004, 0.0819, 0.0743, 0.1026, 0.068, 0.0598, 0.0606, -0.0242, 0.03, 0.0205, -0.0483, 0.0006, 0.036, 0.0761, 0.0418, 0.0952, 0.1355, 0.1866, 0.1867, 0.1418, 0.0869, 0.0392, 0.0166, -0.018, -0.0864, -0.0819, -0.1726, -0.1314, -0.0542, -0.0583, -0.0583, -0.0287, -0.0292, 0.0458, 0.0838, 0.0814, 0.0968, 0.1973, 0.173, 0.1756, 0.1701, 0.153, 0.1554, 0.2534, 0.2386, 0.2772, 0.3487, 0.2966, 0.3331, 0.3297, 0.3941, 0.4822, 0.6461, 0.7139, 0.6626, 0.9202, 1.0449, 0.971, 1.0663, 0.9953, 0.8632, 0.7524, 0.7966, 0.8821, 0.9595, 0.931, 0.931, 1.3035, 1.3871, 1.3745, 1.4966, 1.4966, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2029228477917086178", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-04T16:12:25+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "over the next year I think $AAOI will outperform just due to its small MC size + leapfrogging the other optical companies", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "AAOI outperforms over next year on small-cap size and leapfrogging optical peers; COHR, AXTI, LITE more defensible long-term.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SkiIIls No over the next year I think $AAOI will outperform just due to its small MC size + leapfrogging the other optical companies. \n\n$COHR, $AXTI, $LITE are much more defensible long term.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit So would you say as of right now $aaoi is a much better long term pick than $Cohr and $lite?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SkiIIls", "ret_m1d": -0.043827126534018324, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.043827126534018324, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.036821246822582476, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.036821246822582476, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007005879711435847, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007005879711435847, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0143415938050937, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0143415938050937, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01991714065148753, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01991714065148753, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005575546846393831, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005575546846393831, "ret_p1w": 0.2737940357278481, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2737940357278481, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.28663826763722366, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.28663826763722366, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012844231909375559, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012844231909375559, "ret_p1m": 0.042122200543583954, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.042122200543583954, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08227353426287731, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08227353426287731, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04015133371929336, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04015133371929336, "ret_p3m": 0.5887073023429381, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5887073023429381, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4815510554499056, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4815510554499056, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10715624689303249, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10715624689303249, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7333, -0.7208, -0.6953, -0.6492, -0.6357, -0.6785, -0.7001, -0.7096, -0.7278, -0.7066, -0.6859, -0.6079, -0.5924, -0.5888, -0.5888, -0.6272, -0.6314, -0.6388, -0.6504, -0.6504, -0.6028, -0.6491, -0.6128, -0.6183, -0.6689, -0.6586, -0.6618, -0.6572, -0.6543, -0.6289, -0.6285, -0.6285, -0.6063, -0.6151, -0.6174, -0.6418, -0.6501, -0.625, -0.5464, -0.6031, -0.5626, -0.5571, -0.5375, -0.5998, -0.6176, -0.5557, -0.5195, -0.5137, -0.5146, -0.5588, -0.5541, -0.5541, -0.5596, -0.5643, -0.5288, -0.4817, -0.4588, -0.4357, -0.4171, -0.4615, -0.1553, 0.0281, -0.0438, 0.0, 0.0143, -0.0414, 0.1094, 0.2084, 0.2738, 0.065, -0.0291, -0.0566, -0.1342, -0.071, 0.0222, -0.1221, -0.0396, 0.1423, 0.1474, -0.023, -0.015, -0.1456, -0.1516, -0.134, 0.0421, 0.0421, 0.0776, 0.1798, 0.3309, 0.3369, 0.5104, 0.5364, 0.4682, 0.4296, 0.5778, 0.5988, 0.6395, 0.5101, 0.4985, 0.3813, 0.6264, 0.462, 0.3766, 0.5327, 0.6484, 0.8404, 0.7348, 0.811, 0.7906, 0.5801, 0.4937, 0.8544, 0.8883, 1.2375, 1.0416, 0.9091, 0.7376, 0.7183, 0.6574, 0.7732, 0.8202, 0.8202, 0.7814, 0.8035, 0.6951, 0.5887, 0.5887, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2029228477917086178", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-04T16:12:25+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$COHR, $AXTI, $LITE are much more defensible long term", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "AAOI outperforms over next year on small-cap size and leapfrogging optical peers; COHR, AXTI, LITE more defensible long-term.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SkiIIls No over the next year I think $AAOI will outperform just due to its small MC size + leapfrogging the other optical companies. \n\n$COHR, $AXTI, $LITE are much more defensible long term.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit So would you say as of right now $aaoi is a much better long term pick than $Cohr and $lite?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SkiIIls", "ret_m1d": 0.02164742968832223, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02164742968832223, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.028653309399758076, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.028653309399758076, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007005879711435847, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007005879711435847, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07636611858043851, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07636611858043851, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07079057173404468, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07079057173404468, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005575546846393831, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005575546846393831, "ret_p1w": -0.08531609888379776, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08531609888379776, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0724718669744222, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0724718669744222, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012844231909375559, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012844231909375559, "ret_p1m": -0.06075814079700559, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06075814079700559, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02060680707771223, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02060680707771223, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04015133371929336, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04015133371929336, "ret_p3m": 0.31510594660900226, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.31510594660900226, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.20794969971596977, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.20794969971596977, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10715624689303249, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10715624689303249, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3386, -0.3238, -0.2988, -0.2816, -0.2778, -0.3512, -0.3508, -0.3626, -0.3799, -0.3607, -0.3239, -0.3052, -0.3019, -0.3038, -0.3038, -0.3025, -0.3123, -0.3203, -0.3285, -0.3285, -0.293, -0.322, -0.2938, -0.3028, -0.37, -0.3522, -0.3263, -0.3086, -0.3302, -0.2871, -0.305, -0.305, -0.2962, -0.267, -0.2625, -0.2835, -0.2805, -0.2214, -0.1954, -0.2147, -0.228, -0.1907, -0.1662, -0.2323, -0.2387, -0.1717, -0.1179, -0.1691, -0.1862, -0.2138, -0.2097, -0.2097, -0.1997, -0.1854, -0.1542, -0.0971, -0.0945, -0.0728, -0.0253, -0.0899, -0.058, 0.0875, 0.0216, 0.0, -0.0764, -0.1424, -0.082, -0.0517, -0.0853, -0.1222, -0.1168, -0.1, -0.1057, -0.0642, 0.0026, -0.0772, -0.0721, -0.0092, -0.0103, -0.1149, -0.1142, -0.2009, -0.1333, -0.0985, -0.0608, -0.0608, -0.0787, -0.0719, 0.0252, 0.0339, 0.1188, 0.1203, 0.1403, 0.1213, 0.1933, 0.2553, 0.2643, 0.2508, 0.2751, 0.2286, 0.2228, 0.1698, 0.1059, 0.1094, 0.1632, 0.1988, 0.2002, 0.2215, 0.254, 0.1613, 0.2197, 0.3814, 0.3607, 0.4688, 0.4733, 0.3914, 0.3201, 0.2866, 0.3043, 0.3752, 0.3737, 0.3737, 0.3874, 0.3832, 0.3714, 0.3151, 0.3151, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2029228477917086178", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-04T16:12:25+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$COHR, $AXTI, $LITE are much more defensible long term", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "AAOI outperforms over next year on small-cap size and leapfrogging optical peers; COHR, AXTI, LITE more defensible long-term.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SkiIIls No over the next year I think $AAOI will outperform just due to its small MC size + leapfrogging the other optical companies. \n\n$COHR, $AXTI, $LITE are much more defensible long term.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit So would you say as of right now $aaoi is a much better long term pick than $Cohr and $lite?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SkiIIls", "ret_m1d": 0.06721178588367072, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06721178588367072, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07421766559510656, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08735713397178002, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007005879711435847, "bench_c_m1d": -0.020145348088109305, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008433473602012964, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008433473602012964, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0028579267556191335, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0009626675722553824, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005575546846393831, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009396141174268346, "ret_p1w": 0.21032454172209247, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.21032454172209247, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.22316877363146803, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2054886794162405, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012844231909375559, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004835862305851979, "ret_p1m": 0.3503705267118977, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3503705267118977, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3905218604311911, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3673587468963352, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04015133371929336, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016988220184437464, "ret_p3m": 1.6363404254074623, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.6363404254074623, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.5291841785144298, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.1356388881580863, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10715624689303249, "bench_c_p3m": 0.5007015372493759, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7041, -0.6752, -0.6177, -0.6036, -0.5814, -0.6215, -0.621, -0.6678, -0.6841, -0.642, -0.6256, -0.611, -0.6259, -0.6164, -0.6164, -0.6072, -0.6271, -0.5962, -0.5822, -0.5822, -0.5717, -0.574, -0.4845, -0.3838, -0.3399, -0.4125, -0.4316, -0.4503, -0.4352, -0.3427, -0.4355, -0.4355, -0.4528, -0.4945, -0.542, -0.5553, -0.5451, -0.5604, -0.5699, -0.5814, -0.5262, -0.4649, -0.4955, -0.5208, -0.4779, -0.3851, -0.2903, -0.3777, -0.3151, -0.3665, -0.3805, -0.3805, -0.4068, -0.3984, -0.3915, -0.2415, -0.2734, -0.1035, 0.047, -0.0514, -0.0314, 0.1837, 0.0672, 0.0, -0.0084, -0.1728, -0.0146, 0.1321, 0.2103, 0.1942, 0.2487, 0.2366, 0.1337, 0.2461, 0.4845, 0.3861, 0.6468, 0.749, 0.7212, 0.4953, 0.5495, 0.3476, 0.4562, 0.2047, 0.3504, 0.3504, 0.0731, 0.1618, 0.3591, 0.6131, 0.6402, 0.6982, 0.7199, 0.6082, 1.09, 1.1099, 1.0128, 0.9159, 1.2218, 0.9236, 0.9463, 0.7927, 0.7559, 0.8163, 1.0245, 1.4534, 1.7089, 1.7485, 1.679, 1.7708, 1.9737, 2.2152, 2.1408, 2.1163, 1.9384, 2.1633, 1.7059, 1.8847, 1.6734, 2.0928, 2.599, 2.599, 2.3887, 2.1375, 1.9568, 1.6363, 1.6363, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2029228477917086178", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-03-04T16:12:25+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$COHR, $AXTI, $LITE are much more defensible long term", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "AAOI outperforms over next year on small-cap size and leapfrogging optical peers; COHR, AXTI, LITE more defensible long-term.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SkiIIls No over the next year I think $AAOI will outperform just due to its small MC size + leapfrogging the other optical companies. \n\n$COHR, $AXTI, $LITE are much more defensible long term.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit So would you say as of right now $aaoi is a much better long term pick than $Cohr and $lite?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SkiIIls", "ret_m1d": 0.020020571573449164, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.020020571573449164, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02702645128488501, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02702645128488501, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007005879711435847, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007005879711435847, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04403639983299601, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04403639983299601, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03846085298660218, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03846085298660218, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005575546846393831, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005575546846393831, "ret_p1w": -0.01292595174905442, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01292595174905442, "alpha_spy_p1w": -8.17198396788621e-05, "alpha_c_p1w": -8.17198396788621e-05, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012844231909375559, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012844231909375559, "ret_p1m": 0.21457112178190374, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21457112178190374, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2547224555011971, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2547224555011971, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04015133371929336, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04015133371929336, "ret_p3m": 0.25581674104355234, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.25581674104355234, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.14866049415051985, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.14866049415051985, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10715624689303249, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10715624689303249, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5132, -0.4968, -0.4707, -0.4624, -0.4535, -0.5236, -0.5084, -0.5356, -0.5296, -0.5048, -0.4544, -0.4273, -0.4309, -0.4184, -0.4184, -0.426, -0.4527, -0.4548, -0.4586, -0.4586, -0.4329, -0.4755, -0.4162, -0.4229, -0.4885, -0.4838, -0.5008, -0.4693, -0.5129, -0.4958, -0.5237, -0.5237, -0.4759, -0.4676, -0.4793, -0.5018, -0.5117, -0.4556, -0.4345, -0.4397, -0.4244, -0.3781, -0.3609, -0.3162, -0.2591, -0.1892, -0.1522, -0.1758, -0.1567, -0.143, -0.1734, -0.1734, -0.1181, -0.1271, -0.0663, -0.0191, -0.0089, 0.011, 0.0626, -0.0056, 0.0295, 0.1505, 0.02, 0.0, -0.044, -0.1797, -0.0589, -0.0129, -0.0129, -0.095, -0.0856, -0.0822, -0.0459, 0.0294, 0.1342, 0.0375, 0.0707, 0.178, 0.1416, 0.0118, 0.0322, -0.0382, 0.0323, 0.1232, 0.2146, 0.2146, 0.1344, 0.1982, 0.3161, 0.3134, 0.318, 0.2796, 0.2526, 0.2104, 0.3091, 0.3133, 0.3148, 0.2293, 0.2832, 0.244, 0.295, 0.2627, 0.1624, 0.2608, 0.3254, 0.3953, 0.4339, 0.4609, 0.387, 0.3111, 0.3276, 0.5468, 0.4577, 0.5135, 0.4715, 0.4258, 0.2999, 0.3074, 0.2751, 0.4167, 0.3909, 0.3909, 0.3379, 0.3254, 0.2641, 0.2558, 0.2558, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2025188397149835640", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-21T12:38:34+00:00", "symbol": "XLU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$XLU long calls for US power/grid exposure, just putting it out there", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long XLU calls for US power/grid exposure as a play on Musk's AI chip surplus / power bottleneck thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@r0ck3t23 For people wondering the best trade for what Elon just said: \n\n$XLU long calls for US power/grid exposure, just putting it out there.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Elon Musk just identified the next crisis in AI. It’s not a shortage. It’s an unusable surplus.\n\nMusk: “By the end of this year, chip production will outpace the ability to turn chips on.”\n\nFor three years the world was starved for silicon. Every lab, every government, every https://t.co/KptxIQKZjG", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "r0ck3t23", "ret_m1d": -0.007497825652779344, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007497825652779344, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017814487039842897, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017814487039842897, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011139718380374752, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011139718380374752, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0038712654499797328, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0038712654499797328, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "ret_p1w": 0.014781446524965602, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.014781446524965602, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.008934360812073994, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.008934360812073994, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "ret_p1m": -0.027308435051802138, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.027308435051802138, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.012882947272660594, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.012882947272660594, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "ret_p3m": -0.029249938466529124, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.029249938466529124, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12063215530431359, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12063215530431359, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0433, -0.0433, -0.0365, -0.059, -0.0657, -0.0687, -0.0706, -0.0793, -0.0916, -0.091, -0.0914, -0.0848, -0.0893, -0.081, -0.0848, -0.0908, -0.0819, -0.0936, -0.0902, -0.087, -0.0829, -0.0829, -0.0835, -0.0818, -0.0797, -0.0855, -0.0855, -0.075, -0.0853, -0.0808, -0.103, -0.1005, -0.0893, -0.0878, -0.082, -0.0752, -0.0658, -0.0705, -0.0705, -0.0797, -0.0784, -0.085, -0.0883, -0.0816, -0.0696, -0.0718, -0.0718, -0.0735, -0.087, -0.0737, -0.0771, -0.0767, -0.0713, -0.0686, -0.0531, -0.0448, -0.0306, -0.0039, -0.0039, -0.0064, -0.0229, -0.0122, -0.0075, 0.0, 0.0111, 0.0146, 0.0107, 0.0225, 0.0148, 0.0084, 0.0126, 0.0047, 0.0013, 0.0036, -0.0026, -0.0109, -0.0039, 0.006, 0.0124, 0.0096, 0.0011, -0.003, -0.0435, -0.034, -0.0273, -0.0239, -0.0221, -0.0165, -0.0094, -0.0101, -0.0053, -0.0003, -0.0003, -0.004, -0.0019, 0.0091, 0.0171, 0.013, 0.0007, 0.0025, -0.0072, -0.0001, -0.0042, -0.0131, -0.0303, -0.0321, -0.0057, -0.0038, -0.0036, -0.0023, -0.0146, 0.0107, 0.0042, 0.0003, 0.0003, -0.0139, -0.0267, -0.0353, -0.0262, -0.0252, -0.0364, -0.0314, -0.0536, -0.0521, -0.0435, -0.0398, -0.0292, -0.0217, -0.0217, -0.0221, -0.0262, -0.0372, -0.0418, -0.0418, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2029843162517360658", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-06T08:54:57+00:00", "symbol": "POET", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "seems like good upside for the wait", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "POET has low downside risk given $400M cash vs $1B MC and MRVL partnership; good upside for patient holders, though better entry may be latter half of 2026.", "resolved_tickers": ["POET"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I just found $POET to be low downside risk given they're sitting on like $400m cash with a $1B MC. Then $MRVL probably won't swap them out for 2028-2029 commercialization ramp. \n\nThat being said, will sit on close to $0 revenue for awhile, so I personally found maybe waiting latter half of 2026 is probably better. \n\nFor others who have the patience now, seems like good upside for the wait.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $POET, do you think we should wait?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "james_kittiphan", "ret_m1d": 0.05732478417994069, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05732478417994069, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.044043570446799185, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01846098178398692, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013281213733141506, "bench_c_m1d": 0.03886380239595377, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0652865977252286, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0652865977252286, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05652657271218953, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.028997976621620625, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008760025013039074, "bench_c_p1d": 0.036288621103607976, "ret_p1w": 0.08757956935076128, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08757956935076128, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10258593638889157, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06979002484502406, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.015006367038130297, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01778954450573722, "ret_p1m": -0.031847178251670494, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.031847178251670494, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01452000533492992, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07236644860761543, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017327172916740574, "bench_c_p1m": 0.040519270355944936, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0987, 0.1385, 0.1497, 0.035, -0.0541, -0.0334, -0.0494, -0.0239, 0.0796, 0.2118, 0.1385, 0.1178, 0.1178, 0.0844, 0.0414, 0.0382, 0.008, 0.008, 0.1401, 0.1831, 0.1704, 0.1863, 0.1592, 0.1768, 0.1481, 0.1369, 0.2882, 0.3232, 0.3217, 0.3217, 0.3121, 0.3328, 0.1051, 0.1003, 0.0287, 0.0812, -0.0096, -0.0525, -0.0764, -0.0701, -0.0382, -0.1067, -0.1752, -0.0653, -0.0111, -0.0701, -0.0717, -0.1003, -0.1115, -0.1115, -0.121, -0.1115, -0.1131, -0.0939, -0.121, -0.0271, 0.0127, -0.0064, -0.0446, 0.1003, 0.121, 0.0892, 0.0573, 0.0, 0.0653, 0.1146, 0.1847, 0.1847, 0.0876, 0.1003, 0.0462, -0.0159, -0.008, -0.0557, -0.035, -0.086, -0.0287, -0.1258, -0.1736, -0.1911, -0.0541, -0.1083, -0.0271, -0.0271, -0.0318, -0.051, -0.0096, -0.0318, 0.121, 0.1624, 0.0685, 0.1099, 0.1688, 0.1561, 0.3678, 0.6322, 1.0334, 0.8662, 1.4045, 0.2659, 0.2787, 0.051, 0.1338, 0.164, 0.1322, 0.4666, 0.5478, 0.5255, 0.7436, 1.2134, 1.1863, 1.2882, 2.2755, 1.543, 1.2627, 1.0812, 1.3535, 1.3599, 1.3232, 1.3232, 1.1258, 1.1146, 1.1115, 0.957, 0.957, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2024635752412578297", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-20T00:02:33+00:00", "symbol": "crypto", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it's a liquidity drain. Not a catalyst for crypto", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Clarity Act is a liquidity drain, not a bullish catalyst for crypto; bearish view on sector.", "resolved_tickers": ["BITQ"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Crypto sector ETF BITQ avoids quoteType mismatch", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@2dogs1chic If you look at the actual clarity act clauses it’s a liquidity drain. Not a catalyst for crypto\n\nhttps://t.co/O8lLPuTwal", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "The Clarity Act passing will finally give guidance to institutions that legally cannot buy Bitcoin today.\n\nThat means:\n\n• $40T in U.S. pensions\n• $30T in corporate &amp; institutional treasuries\n• $7T in insurance capital\n• $11T in sovereign wealth funds\n• $10T in 401(k) &amp;", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "2dogs1chic", "ret_m1d": 0.015797848763824174, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.015797848763824174, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.022977788997419646, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.022977788997419646, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007179940233595472, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007179940233595472, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.012638218747278662, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012638218747278662, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0024269040364039984, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0024269040364039984, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.010211314710874664, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010211314710874664, "ret_p1w": 0.03528173166768256, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03528173166768256, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04027140885577296, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04027140885577296, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004989677188090402, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004989677188090402, "ret_p1m": 0.10637180000580537, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10637180000580537, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15316431588061852, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.15316431588061852, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.046792515874813145, "bench_c_p1m": -0.046792515874813145, "ret_p3m": 0.3622960058471938, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3622960058471938, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.284196212836062, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.284196212836062, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07809979301113179, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07809979301113179, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1406, 0.1885, 0.1885, 0.2364, 0.208, 0.1622, 0.2085, 0.2475, 0.2127, 0.2349, 0.2617, 0.2401, 0.2364, 0.1717, 0.0627, 0.0764, 0.0337, 0.0516, 0.1274, 0.1464, 0.1248, 0.1274, 0.1274, 0.0911, 0.0843, 0.0637, 0.0495, 0.0495, 0.1185, 0.1996, 0.189, 0.1664, 0.1796, 0.1869, 0.2159, 0.2417, 0.258, 0.2259, 0.2765, 0.2765, 0.2112, 0.2075, 0.1854, 0.2154, 0.1822, 0.2391, 0.2396, 0.1748, 0.1153, 0.0853, 0.0695, 0.0005, -0.1185, 0.0105, 0.0653, 0.0442, 0.0169, -0.0216, 0.0253, 0.0253, 0.0074, 0.0084, 0.0158, 0.0, -0.0126, 0.0326, 0.079, 0.0811, 0.0353, 0.0769, 0.0379, 0.1164, 0.0858, 0.0195, 0.059, 0.0753, 0.0816, 0.0606, 0.0769, 0.1306, 0.1411, 0.1032, 0.099, 0.0732, 0.1064, 0.0753, 0.0932, 0.0374, -0.0158, -0.0621, -0.0068, -0.0126, -0.0005, -0.0005, 0.0263, 0.0337, 0.0943, 0.1064, 0.1195, 0.1717, 0.2238, 0.2364, 0.2449, 0.2928, 0.3049, 0.2496, 0.3107, 0.2965, 0.2917, 0.2686, 0.2296, 0.1922, 0.2522, 0.2775, 0.3212, 0.3807, 0.4845, 0.4197, 0.4423, 0.4639, 0.4355, 0.4265, 0.4766, 0.3897, 0.3375, 0.3254, 0.3623, 0.4181, 0.4123, 0.4123, 0.4481, 0.4908, 0.5013, 0.5066, 0.5066, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2019962908864925941", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-07T02:34:21+00:00", "symbol": "MRVL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I do like $MRVL. They're especially tethered to $MSFT ASIC ramp and seem to be touching upon a lot of hot areas like photonics", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish MRVL on MSFT ASIC ramp and photonics exposure; waiting for H2 entry personally but clearly a forward long lean.", "resolved_tickers": ["MRVL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Absolutely. I do like $MRVL. They're especially tethered to $MSFT ASIC ramp and seem to be touching upon a lot of hot areas like photonics like you mentioned after Celestial. \n\nThere were reports last year that Maia 200 was pushed back by about 6 months. I don't have $MRVL right now, since I'm personally waiting for H2 (thats just me), since financial ramp starts later this year into 2027.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What are your thoughts on $MRVL? They seem like they’d benefit massively from the photonics AND custom ASICs.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "AustinAver70395", "ret_m1d": -0.025136677159747545, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.025136677159747545, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0203379835516293, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0203379835516293, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0041287018188738145, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0041287018188738145, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0014915413867929717, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0014915413867929717, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "ret_p1w": -0.04541590539227436, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04541590539227436, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.027835335607931166, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.027835335607931166, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "ret_p1m": 0.13296909572791238, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13296909572791238, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1571351583429662, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1571351583429662, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "ret_p3m": 0.9440205057682902, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.9440205057682902, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.8869156020451068, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.8869156020451068, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.084, 0.062, 0.049, 0.0126, -0.0453, -0.0132, -0.0695, -0.0602, 0.0168, 0.0124, 0.0644, 0.0644, 0.0848, 0.1055, 0.1272, 0.2159, 0.1915, 0.2002, 0.1164, 0.0788, 0.1221, 0.0852, 0.0245, 0.0225, 0.0202, -0.0086, 0.025, 0.0204, 0.029, 0.064, 0.0495, 0.0495, 0.0477, 0.0407, 0.0528, 0.0312, 0.0312, 0.0847, 0.0949, 0.0706, 0.0271, 0.0126, 0.0106, 0.0066, 0.0085, -0.0138, -0.0239, -0.023, -0.023, -0.031, 0.0024, 0.0091, -0.0257, -0.007, 0.007, 0.0154, -0.0123, -0.0417, -0.0448, -0.0827, -0.1047, -0.0988, -0.0251, 0.0, -0.0041, -0.0123, -0.05, -0.0454, -0.0454, -0.0406, -0.0396, -0.0333, -0.0349, -0.0554, -0.0481, -0.0174, -0.0372, -0.008, -0.0181, -0.0588, -0.0517, -0.081, 0.0877, 0.1251, 0.133, 0.0982, 0.0646, 0.0669, 0.1121, 0.1025, 0.064, 0.0872, 0.0675, 0.0948, 0.1216, 0.1955, 0.1862, 0.1522, 0.0663, 0.2028, 0.2958, 0.3007, 0.3007, 0.3298, 0.3282, 0.3898, 0.4563, 0.5611, 0.5952, 0.626, 0.6353, 0.6204, 0.6971, 0.7962, 0.8383, 0.9113, 1.0114, 0.9963, 0.9222, 0.8616, 0.9022, 1.0065, 1.004, 0.9884, 1.0502, 1.0915, 0.944, 1.067, 1.0756, 0.9986, 1.162, 1.2182, 1.1491, 1.0524, 1.1416, 1.2695, 1.3168, 1.3853, 1.3853, 1.5302, 1.4141, 1.4886, 1.4906, 1.4906, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2036748610717765877", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-25T10:14:44+00:00", "symbol": "ARM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ARM のAI CPUの収益拡大予想、マジでヤバいね", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish ARM on AI CPU revenue expansion potential; excited as he was about SK Hynix and Samsung.", "resolved_tickers": ["ARM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "ja", "tweet_text": "@beauty_oe SKハイニックスやサムスン以来、大型株でこんなにワクワクしたのは久しぶり! $ARM のAI CPUの収益拡大予想、マジでヤバいね。", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "🌟セレ様PF更新\n私は $ARM （Arm Holdings） を139ドルでロングしました。\n\n市場が「トレーニング中心 → 推論」へシフトしていく中で、時価総額1430億ドルでも十分に魅力的なロングだと考えています。\n\nその後は、ARMのAI向けCPUが推論市場を侵食し、 $NVDA のシェアを食っていく展開。", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "beauty_oe", "ret_m1d": -0.1407652612170115, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1407652612170115, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1352233858054107, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12966307887589212, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005541875411600783, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011102182341119371, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.014452181617177096, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014452181617177096, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0034065625409616107, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.031109427265425316, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017858744158138706, "bench_c_p1d": -0.04556160888260241, "ret_p1w": -0.012733175697074106, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.012733175697074106, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.010327620031557072, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0049350815007556115, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002405555665517034, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017668257197829718, "ret_p1m": 0.30266754357502723, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.30266754357502723, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.22406152623833697, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09508391525959037, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07860601733669026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.20758362831543686, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.298, -0.2964, -0.2942, -0.3041, -0.3041, -0.2696, -0.2608, -0.2645, -0.2635, -0.2801, -0.2883, -0.2924, -0.3134, -0.3316, -0.3308, -0.3265, -0.3265, -0.3177, -0.2747, -0.2411, -0.261, -0.2696, -0.2686, -0.2999, -0.3097, -0.3292, -0.3192, -0.3344, -0.3321, -0.2941, -0.2125, -0.2067, -0.1981, -0.2024, -0.2221, -0.2024, -0.2024, -0.1921, -0.1899, -0.1919, -0.2005, -0.2119, -0.1842, -0.1613, -0.1771, -0.1886, -0.2082, -0.2251, -0.2098, -0.2321, -0.2718, -0.2511, -0.2325, -0.2354, -0.2671, -0.2631, -0.2252, -0.1895, -0.1828, -0.1735, -0.1574, -0.1285, -0.1408, 0.0, -0.0145, -0.0824, -0.128, -0.0369, -0.0127, -0.0507, -0.0507, -0.0528, -0.0841, -0.052, -0.0463, -0.0518, 0.0032, 0.0264, 0.0145, 0.0335, 0.0615, 0.1148, 0.1173, 0.2515, 0.3027, 0.4949, 0.3744, 0.2647, 0.2841, 0.339, 0.3445, 0.2941, 0.3296, 0.5108, 0.3581, 0.3578, 0.3539, 0.3237, 0.4084, 0.4548, 0.3316, 0.3696, 0.4207, 0.6345, 0.8987, 0.9514, 0.9514, 1.0451, 0.9272, 1.1345, 1.2493, 1.2493, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2014505817509355841", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-23T01:09:49+00:00", "symbol": "NBCLF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The $4.23 Billion monopoly that every tech company in the world is fighting over… Disclosure: I own positions.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long Nitto Boseki (NBCLF) as an 80-90% market-share monopoly on T-glass used in AI semiconductors, sold out through 2026, with Apple/Nvidia/TSM fighting over supply.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBCLF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Textile Manufacturing", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Nitto Boseki - $NBCLF | 3110:\n\nThe story of an extreme bottleneck for AI:\n\n> Spin Yarn/Glass in 1923\n> Be good at it\n> Create \"T-Glass\" for tennis rackets\n> Wait 100Y, everyone needs it\n> $TSM for CoWoS\n> $APPL for M-Series Ultra/Max\n> $NVDA for Blackwell + Vera Rubin\n> $TSLA for chips inside FSD cars\n> $AMD for MI300/MI400 AI accelerators\n> $ANET for 800G to 1.6T and 3.2T\n> Have Apple to Nvidia to TSM fighting over supply\n> Sold out through 2026\n> Apple, Nvidia, and Qualcomm sends teams live on site to literally beg this Yarn Maker for glass supply\n> Now is 80-90% market share of the high-end T-glass used in semiconductors\n\nThe $4.23 Billion monopoly that every tech company in the world is fighting over:\n\nA random Japanese Yarn Spinner. \n\nDisclosure: I own positions.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.027522959196696117, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.027522959196696117, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02788560787466232, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02788560787466232, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00036264867796620415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00036264867796620415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.1075229154405839, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.1075229154405839, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.11260106250119373, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.11260106250119373, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005078147060609828, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005078147060609828, "ret_p1w": -0.10233942053780642, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10233942053780642, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1063148811922009, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1063148811922009, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003975460654394469, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003975460654394469, "ret_p1m": 0.28385319240948137, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.28385319240948137, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.293777192470574, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.293777192470574, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00992400006109262, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00992400006109262, "ret_p3m": 5.5763639691752775, "ret_signed_p3m": 5.5763639691752775, "alpha_spy_p3m": 5.541655098632331, "alpha_c_p3m": 5.541655098632331, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03470887054294658, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03470887054294658, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, -0.3945, -0.3417, -0.3417, -0.3417, -0.3417, -0.3417, -0.3417, -0.3417, -0.3417, -0.1376, -0.1376, -0.1147, -0.1023, 0.0275, 0.0, -0.1075, -0.0717, -0.0413, -0.1009, -0.1023, -0.1468, -0.1414, -0.0918, -0.1634, -0.1634, 0.0583, 0.1468, 0.2196, 0.2266, 0.2516, 0.2516, 0.3005, 0.2752, 0.2477, 0.2477, 0.2839, 0.6694, 0.6697, 0.4388, 0.4404, 0.4723, 0.311, 0.344, 0.3418, 0.3096, 0.211, 0.211, 0.211, 0.2092, 0.2959, 0.2752, 0.2182, 0.3061, 0.1688, 0.183, 0.183, 0.183, 0.2914, 0.1864, 0.201, 3.594, 3.7029, 3.7029, 3.77, 3.77, 3.952, 4.1617, 4.9038, 5.3087, 5.8249, 6.095, 6.2558, 5.6502, 5.423, 5.6681, 5.1726, 5.3099, 5.5764, 5.3398, 5.5745, 5.8822, 5.4617, 5.6073, 6.1116, 5.844, 5.9014, 5.9587, 6.2214, 6.2214, 6.7234, 6.2684, 6.2684, 5.2751, 5.1971, 5.1971, 4.4821, 4.2496, 4.1617, 4.3529, 5.2245, 5.2245, 5.2705, 4.788, 4.6767, 4.544, 4.544, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013578670863192486", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-20T11:45:40+00:00", "symbol": "LPTH", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LPTH is actually one of the big benefiaries of conflicts between US and EU for supply chain disruption as US imports significant amount of germanium from Germany and Belgium. And Lightpath offers the bottleneck alternative with black diamond manufactured 100% in US", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long LPTH as domestic germanium-optics beneficiary of US-EU supply-chain disruption; current dip seen as indiscriminate selloff.", "resolved_tickers": ["LPTH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$LPTH is actually one of the big benefiaries of conflicts between US and EU for supply chain disruption as US imports significant amount of germanium from Germany and Belgium.\n\nAnd Lightpath offers the bottleneck alternative with black diamond manufactured 100% in US (precursors mainly US too)\n\nThis is probably just a wide indiscriminate selloff.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $LPTH has dropped a bit pre-open too", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JioJio1086", "ret_m1d": -0.10214287894112728, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10214287894112728, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12292267451045624, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12292267451045624, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.020779795569328963, "bench_c_m1d": 0.020779795569328963, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02571426119123188, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02571426119123188, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03725534039332634, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03725534039332634, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011541079202094462, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011541079202094462, "ret_p1w": -0.1964285714285714, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1964285714285714, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.22286085292200908, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.22286085292200908, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02643228149343768, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02643228149343768, "ret_p1m": -0.19714287349155968, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.19714287349155968, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.20999744662635456, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.20999744662635456, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012854573134794878, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012854573134794878, "ret_p3m": 0.011428560529436416, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.011428560529436416, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.039487078060115754, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.039487078060115754, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091563858955217, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05091563858955217, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.43, -0.3964, -0.3971, -0.3971, -0.4143, -0.4086, -0.38, -0.4171, -0.4621, -0.4407, -0.4557, -0.4493, -0.4443, -0.4257, -0.4736, -0.5243, -0.5214, -0.5143, -0.5121, -0.52, -0.5586, -0.5564, -0.515, -0.5064, -0.5057, -0.5057, -0.475, -0.4879, -0.4343, -0.4036, -0.3557, -0.3714, -0.3757, -0.3714, -0.37, -0.3486, -0.4214, -0.465, -0.4764, -0.5086, -0.4871, -0.4543, -0.3907, -0.3779, -0.355, -0.355, -0.3557, -0.265, -0.2457, -0.2286, -0.2286, -0.1629, -0.165, -0.1771, -0.1286, -0.0979, -0.1186, -0.1436, -0.1671, -0.055, -0.0593, -0.1021, -0.1021, 0.0, -0.0257, 0.0236, -0.1114, -0.2693, -0.1964, -0.1943, -0.1793, -0.2557, -0.25, -0.2221, -0.3286, -0.3529, -0.2457, -0.1907, -0.2136, -0.2664, -0.1086, -0.1771, -0.1771, -0.2014, -0.1971, -0.0286, -0.1429, -0.2, -0.1436, -0.1593, -0.2043, -0.255, -0.1421, -0.1443, -0.1571, -0.1907, -0.2093, -0.2079, -0.2093, -0.2221, -0.2164, -0.2493, -0.2143, -0.1436, -0.1664, -0.1793, -0.2479, -0.1829, -0.1521, -0.1464, -0.215, -0.3221, -0.335, -0.2836, -0.27, -0.2157, -0.2157, -0.1793, -0.2171, -0.1729, -0.1314, -0.0836, 0.0293, 0.0207, 0.0014, 0.0657, 0.0114, 0.0214, 0.0136, 0.0464, 0.0443, 0.1493, -0.0007, -0.0929, -0.1293, -0.085, -0.0214, -0.1193, -0.1357, -0.0807, -0.1407, -0.1779, -0.0843, -0.1279, -0.1343, -0.1321, -0.1771, -0.1114, -0.0086, -0.025, 0.02, 0.2107, 0.2107, 0.16, 0.2579, 0.2964, 0.2129, 0.2129, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2014051512142668047", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-21T19:04:34+00:00", "symbol": "MU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IMO Micron deserves at least a 20 fwd P/E at today given growth/profit margins, ~$750B so $672/share. In 2027, wouldn't be surprised if Micron was trading at $1.5T.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long MU: 133% rev / 319% EPS growth, HBM re-rating underway; target $672/share near-term, $1.5T market cap by 2027.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$MU forward P/E is still ~11.6\n\nIt's projecting: \n\n- 133% Y/Y Revenue Increase\n- 319% Y/Y EPS Increase\n\nThis is called the memory supercycle for a reason.\n\nEven after a 40%+ this month, it's still hasn't even been fully re-rated yet.\n\nAt current prices, it would still be valued like a slow growth commodity at $387.\n\nThis is why every single dip gets bought by institutions during the re-rating process, since HBM is now extremely valuable \n\nIMO Micron deserves at least a 20 fwd P/E at today given growth/profit margins, ~$750B so $672/share.\n\nIn 2027, wouldn't be surprised if Micron was trading at $1.5T.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Never bet against the White House.\n\n$INTC is probably one of the most asymmetrical longs in the semi space right now. https://t.co/ow1BO48XO4", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06196185767565987, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06196185767565987, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05055245529014518, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03325044464943039, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011409402385514689, "bench_c_m1d": -0.028711413026229482, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.021767591719483503, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.021767591719483503, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.016544361699755816, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.019553239308228054, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005223230019727687, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002214352411255449, "ret_p1w": 0.11865545411448353, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11865545411448353, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10403630343784775, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08208189037227953, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014619150676635773, "bench_c_p1w": 0.036573563742203996, "ret_p1m": 0.07257590073347964, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07257590073347964, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07391825165042243, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.052000129624203195, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0013423509169427916, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02057577110927644, "ret_p3m": 0.15290895992013187, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15290895992013187, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11606114597516592, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0014213958872131283, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.036847813944965946, "bench_c_p3m": 0.154330355807345, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4374, -0.4346, -0.4299, -0.4178, -0.4245, -0.4252, -0.3971, -0.4399, -0.3899, -0.3877, -0.3888, -0.3493, -0.3806, -0.3709, -0.3913, -0.3659, -0.3784, -0.413, -0.4196, -0.4827, -0.4673, -0.4247, -0.4232, -0.4085, -0.4085, -0.3925, -0.3823, -0.3848, -0.3985, -0.4178, -0.3906, -0.3657, -0.3516, -0.3225, -0.336, -0.3805, -0.3899, -0.4027, -0.4207, -0.3615, -0.3169, -0.2895, -0.2903, -0.2635, -0.2635, -0.2684, -0.2435, -0.248, -0.2665, -0.2665, -0.1894, -0.1978, -0.1174, -0.1274, -0.1596, -0.1131, -0.1111, -0.131, -0.1433, -0.1349, -0.0677, -0.0677, -0.062, 0.0, 0.0218, 0.0271, -0.0001, 0.0543, 0.1187, 0.12, 0.0662, 0.1251, 0.0779, -0.025, -0.016, 0.0143, -0.0144, -0.0408, 0.0546, 0.0639, 0.058, 0.058, 0.0274, 0.0818, 0.0726, 0.1004, 0.0819, 0.0743, 0.1025, 0.068, 0.0598, 0.0605, -0.0242, 0.03, 0.0204, -0.0483, 0.0005, 0.036, 0.076, 0.0417, 0.0951, 0.1354, 0.1865, 0.1866, 0.1418, 0.0868, 0.0392, 0.0165, -0.018, -0.0865, -0.082, -0.1726, -0.1314, -0.0542, -0.0584, -0.0584, -0.0288, -0.0292, 0.0457, 0.0837, 0.0814, 0.0967, 0.1972, 0.173, 0.1756, 0.17, 0.1529, 0.1554, 0.2533, 0.2385, 0.2771, 0.3487, 0.2966, 0.333, 0.3296, 0.394, 0.4821, 0.646, 0.7138, 0.6625, 0.9201, 1.0448, 0.9709, 1.0662, 0.9952, 0.8631, 0.7523, 0.7965, 0.882, 0.9594, 0.9309, 0.9309, 1.3033, 1.387, 1.3744, 1.4965, 1.4965, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2034063746986021028", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-18T00:26:03+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Finding companies that weren't priced into current pluggable cycles (EMl-transceiver companies like $LITE and $COHR)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on LITE, COHR (underpriced pluggable cycle), SOI (substrate revenue upside), SIVE and POET (CPO/silicon photonics supply chain), AAOI (800G/1.6T pluggable cycle).", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Three things:\n\n1/ Generally, the lower the marketcap, the higher the upside (but more risk)\n\n2/ Finding companies that weren’t priced into current pluggable cycles (EMl-transceiver companies like $LITE and $COHR)\n\n3/ Pure play to the upcoming cpo/silicon photonics paradigm shift.\n\nIn terms of chasing “highest upside”:\n\nIf you look at $MRVL Celestial to $TSM COUPE they’re both already massive companies. And it’s just a fraction of their revenue. So that’s likely excluded unless traders use options.\n\nStuff like SOI substrates for $SOI will make a more material difference toward revenue (higher upside).\n\nThen others like upstream laser supplier $SIVE to ->$POET -> $MRVL Celestial -> hyperscaler supply chains, I’ve identified as a high potential beneficiary.  \n\nBut there’s still a massive upside for companies like $AAOI in the 800g/1.6T pluggable cycle.\n\nI’m sure there’s a lot of mispriced or unknown opportunites out there… as\n\nThe TAM for cpo scale up is like a vertical like up, but things like $SIVE are used for light sources in scale up and laser arrays for scale up.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Or all the photonics opportunities, which would you say has the highest upside?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "wayne_rbee", "ret_m1d": -0.0731296645004198, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0731296645004198, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08728076938696283, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08728076938696283, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.014151104886543031, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014151104886543031, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10176796503000207, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10176796503000207, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10423230551519391, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10423230551519391, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0024643404851918405, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0024643404851918405, "ret_p1w": 0.1089596119027656, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1089596119027656, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1132173608392768, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1132173608392768, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0042577489365112076, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0042577489365112076, "ret_p1m": 0.2716998527530443, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2716998527530443, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.20798000051169097, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.20798000051169097, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06371985224135335, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06371985224135335, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.47, -0.4437, -0.4472, -0.4351, -0.4351, -0.4424, -0.4683, -0.4704, -0.4741, -0.4741, -0.4491, -0.4905, -0.4329, -0.4394, -0.5031, -0.4986, -0.515, -0.4844, -0.5268, -0.5102, -0.5373, -0.5373, -0.4908, -0.4828, -0.4942, -0.516, -0.5256, -0.4711, -0.4506, -0.4557, -0.4409, -0.3958, -0.3791, -0.3357, -0.2802, -0.2124, -0.1765, -0.1993, -0.1808, -0.1674, -0.197, -0.197, -0.1432, -0.152, -0.093, -0.0471, -0.0372, -0.0179, 0.0322, -0.034, 0.0001, 0.1176, -0.0091, -0.0286, -0.0713, -0.2032, -0.0858, -0.0411, -0.0411, -0.1209, -0.1117, -0.1084, -0.0731, 0.0, 0.1018, 0.0079, 0.0402, 0.1444, 0.109, -0.0171, 0.0027, -0.0657, 0.0028, 0.0911, 0.1799, 0.1799, 0.102, 0.164, 0.2785, 0.2759, 0.2804, 0.2431, 0.2169, 0.1758, 0.2717, 0.2758, 0.2773, 0.1942, 0.2466, 0.2084, 0.258, 0.2267, 0.1292, 0.2248, 0.2875, 0.3555, 0.3929, 0.4192, 0.3474, 0.2736, 0.2897, 0.5027, 0.416, 0.4703, 0.4295, 0.3851, 0.2628, 0.2701, 0.2387, 0.3763, 0.3512, 0.3512, 0.2997, 0.2875, 0.228, 0.22, 0.22, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2034063746986021028", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-18T00:26:03+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Finding companies that weren't priced into current pluggable cycles (EMl-transceiver companies like $LITE and $COHR)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on LITE, COHR (underpriced pluggable cycle), SOI (substrate revenue upside), SIVE and POET (CPO/silicon photonics supply chain), AAOI (800G/1.6T pluggable cycle).", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Three things:\n\n1/ Generally, the lower the marketcap, the higher the upside (but more risk)\n\n2/ Finding companies that weren’t priced into current pluggable cycles (EMl-transceiver companies like $LITE and $COHR)\n\n3/ Pure play to the upcoming cpo/silicon photonics paradigm shift.\n\nIn terms of chasing “highest upside”:\n\nIf you look at $MRVL Celestial to $TSM COUPE they’re both already massive companies. And it’s just a fraction of their revenue. So that’s likely excluded unless traders use options.\n\nStuff like SOI substrates for $SOI will make a more material difference toward revenue (higher upside).\n\nThen others like upstream laser supplier $SIVE to ->$POET -> $MRVL Celestial -> hyperscaler supply chains, I’ve identified as a high potential beneficiary.  \n\nBut there’s still a massive upside for companies like $AAOI in the 800g/1.6T pluggable cycle.\n\nI’m sure there’s a lot of mispriced or unknown opportunites out there… as\n\nThe TAM for cpo scale up is like a vertical like up, but things like $SIVE are used for light sources in scale up and laser arrays for scale up.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Or all the photonics opportunities, which would you say has the highest upside?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "wayne_rbee", "ret_m1d": -0.04436059555374261, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04436059555374261, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05851170044028564, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05851170044028564, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.014151104886543031, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014151104886543031, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07138142560199578, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07138142560199578, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07384576608718763, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07384576608718763, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0024643404851918405, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0024643404851918405, "ret_p1w": 0.05765723565382497, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05765723565382497, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.061914984590336175, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.061914984590336175, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0042577489365112076, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0042577489365112076, "ret_p1m": 0.2752226231354835, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2752226231354835, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.21150277089413017, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.21150277089413017, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06371985224135335, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06371985224135335, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2775, -0.2575, -0.254, -0.256, -0.256, -0.2546, -0.2651, -0.2737, -0.2824, -0.2824, -0.2445, -0.2755, -0.2453, -0.255, -0.3268, -0.3077, -0.28, -0.2612, -0.2842, -0.2381, -0.2573, -0.2573, -0.2479, -0.2167, -0.2119, -0.2343, -0.2311, -0.168, -0.1402, -0.1608, -0.1751, -0.1352, -0.109, -0.1797, -0.1865, -0.1148, -0.0573, -0.1121, -0.1303, -0.1598, -0.1554, -0.1554, -0.1448, -0.1295, -0.0961, -0.0351, -0.0323, -0.0091, 0.0416, -0.0275, 0.0067, 0.1621, 0.0918, 0.0686, -0.013, -0.0836, -0.019, 0.0133, -0.0225, -0.062, -0.0562, -0.0383, -0.0444, 0.0, 0.0714, -0.0139, -0.0084, 0.0588, 0.0577, -0.0541, -0.0534, -0.146, -0.0739, -0.0366, 0.0037, 0.0037, -0.0155, -0.0082, 0.0956, 0.1048, 0.1955, 0.1972, 0.2185, 0.1982, 0.2752, 0.3414, 0.3511, 0.3366, 0.3626, 0.3129, 0.3067, 0.2501, 0.1818, 0.1855, 0.243, 0.2811, 0.2826, 0.3053, 0.34, 0.241, 0.3034, 0.4762, 0.4541, 0.5696, 0.5744, 0.4869, 0.4106, 0.3749, 0.3938, 0.4696, 0.4679, 0.4679, 0.4826, 0.4781, 0.4655, 0.4053, 0.4053, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2034063746986021028", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-03-18T00:26:03+00:00", "symbol": "POET Technologies", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "upstream laser supplier $SIVE to ->$POET -> $MRVL Celestial -> hyperscaler supply chains, I've identified as a high potential beneficiary", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on LITE, COHR (underpriced pluggable cycle), SOI (substrate revenue upside), SIVE and POET (CPO/silicon photonics supply chain), AAOI (800G/1.6T pluggable cycle).", "resolved_tickers": ["POET"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "POET Technologies trades as POET on NASDAQ", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Three things:\n\n1/ Generally, the lower the marketcap, the higher the upside (but more risk)\n\n2/ Finding companies that weren’t priced into current pluggable cycles (EMl-transceiver companies like $LITE and $COHR)\n\n3/ Pure play to the upcoming cpo/silicon photonics paradigm shift.\n\nIn terms of chasing “highest upside”:\n\nIf you look at $MRVL Celestial to $TSM COUPE they’re both already massive companies. And it’s just a fraction of their revenue. So that’s likely excluded unless traders use options.\n\nStuff like SOI substrates for $SOI will make a more material difference toward revenue (higher upside).\n\nThen others like upstream laser supplier $SIVE to ->$POET -> $MRVL Celestial -> hyperscaler supply chains, I’ve identified as a high potential beneficiary.  \n\nBut there’s still a massive upside for companies like $AAOI in the 800g/1.6T pluggable cycle.\n\nI’m sure there’s a lot of mispriced or unknown opportunites out there… as\n\nThe TAM for cpo scale up is like a vertical like up, but things like $SIVE are used for light sources in scale up and laser arrays for scale up.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Or all the photonics opportunities, which would you say has the highest upside?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "wayne_rbee", "ret_m1d": 0.06310685342326261, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06310685342326261, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04895574853671958, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.054952837761443885, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.014151104886543031, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008154015661818725, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008090645974711208, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008090645974711208, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010554986459903049, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004915397778598729, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0024643404851918405, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003175248196112479, "ret_p1w": -0.012944971833043106, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.012944971833043106, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.008687222896531899, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.026534972095838216, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0042577489365112076, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01359000026279511, "ret_p1m": 0.18770232305348, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.18770232305348, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12398247081212665, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.032420050388188626, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06371985224135335, "bench_c_p1m": 0.15528227266529138, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0971, 0.2314, 0.157, 0.1359, 0.1359, 0.1019, 0.0583, 0.055, 0.0243, 0.0243, 0.1586, 0.2023, 0.1893, 0.2055, 0.178, 0.1958, 0.1667, 0.1553, 0.3091, 0.3447, 0.343, 0.343, 0.3333, 0.3544, 0.123, 0.1181, 0.0453, 0.0987, 0.0065, -0.0372, -0.0615, -0.055, -0.0227, -0.0922, -0.1618, -0.0502, 0.0049, -0.055, -0.0566, -0.0858, -0.0971, -0.0971, -0.1068, -0.0971, -0.0987, -0.0793, -0.1068, -0.0113, 0.0291, 0.0097, -0.0291, 0.1181, 0.1392, 0.1068, 0.0744, 0.0162, 0.0825, 0.1327, 0.2039, 0.2039, 0.1052, 0.1181, 0.0631, 0.0, 0.0081, -0.0405, -0.0194, -0.0712, -0.0129, -0.1117, -0.1602, -0.178, -0.0388, -0.0939, -0.0113, -0.0113, -0.0162, -0.0356, 0.0065, -0.0162, 0.1392, 0.1812, 0.0858, 0.1278, 0.1877, 0.1748, 0.39, 0.6586, 1.0663, 0.8964, 1.4434, 0.2864, 0.2994, 0.068, 0.1521, 0.1828, 0.1505, 0.4903, 0.5728, 0.5502, 0.7718, 1.2492, 1.2217, 1.3252, 2.3285, 1.5841, 1.2994, 1.1149, 1.3916, 1.3981, 1.3608, 1.3608, 1.1602, 1.1489, 1.1456, 0.9887, 0.9887, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2034063746986021028", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2026-03-18T00:26:03+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "there's still a massive upside for companies like $AAOI in the 800g/1.6T pluggable cycle", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on LITE, COHR (underpriced pluggable cycle), SOI (substrate revenue upside), SIVE and POET (CPO/silicon photonics supply chain), AAOI (800G/1.6T pluggable cycle).", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Three things:\n\n1/ Generally, the lower the marketcap, the higher the upside (but more risk)\n\n2/ Finding companies that weren’t priced into current pluggable cycles (EMl-transceiver companies like $LITE and $COHR)\n\n3/ Pure play to the upcoming cpo/silicon photonics paradigm shift.\n\nIn terms of chasing “highest upside”:\n\nIf you look at $MRVL Celestial to $TSM COUPE they’re both already massive companies. And it’s just a fraction of their revenue. So that’s likely excluded unless traders use options.\n\nStuff like SOI substrates for $SOI will make a more material difference toward revenue (higher upside).\n\nThen others like upstream laser supplier $SIVE to ->$POET -> $MRVL Celestial -> hyperscaler supply chains, I’ve identified as a high potential beneficiary.  \n\nBut there’s still a massive upside for companies like $AAOI in the 800g/1.6T pluggable cycle.\n\nI’m sure there’s a lot of mispriced or unknown opportunites out there… as\n\nThe TAM for cpo scale up is like a vertical like up, but things like $SIVE are used for light sources in scale up and laser arrays for scale up.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Or all the photonics opportunities, which would you say has the highest upside?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "wayne_rbee", "ret_m1d": -0.06801247553886569, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06801247553886569, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08216358042540872, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08216358042540872, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.014151104886543031, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014151104886543031, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10029149509863067, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10029149509863067, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10275583558382251, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10275583558382251, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0024643404851918405, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0024643404851918405, "ret_p1w": 0.2351290840385698, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2351290840385698, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.239386832975081, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.239386832975081, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0042577489365112076, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0042577489365112076, "ret_p1m": 0.6983699880053034, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6983699880053034, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.63465013576395, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.63465013576395, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06371985224135335, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06371985224135335, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6619, -0.5779, -0.5613, -0.5574, -0.5574, -0.5987, -0.6033, -0.6111, -0.6237, -0.6237, -0.5725, -0.6223, -0.5832, -0.5892, -0.6436, -0.6325, -0.636, -0.631, -0.6279, -0.6006, -0.6001, -0.6001, -0.5762, -0.5857, -0.5881, -0.6144, -0.6233, -0.5964, -0.5117, -0.5728, -0.5292, -0.5233, -0.5021, -0.5693, -0.5884, -0.5218, -0.4828, -0.4765, -0.4775, -0.5251, -0.52, -0.52, -0.526, -0.531, -0.4928, -0.4421, -0.4175, -0.3925, -0.3726, -0.4204, -0.0907, 0.1067, 0.0293, 0.0764, 0.0919, 0.0318, 0.1942, 0.3008, 0.3712, 0.1464, 0.0451, 0.0155, -0.068, 0.0, 0.1003, -0.0549, 0.0338, 0.2296, 0.2351, 0.0517, 0.0602, -0.0803, -0.0868, -0.0678, 0.1218, 0.1218, 0.16, 0.27, 0.4326, 0.4391, 0.6258, 0.6538, 0.5804, 0.5389, 0.6984, 0.721, 0.7648, 0.6255, 0.6131, 0.4869, 0.7507, 0.5738, 0.4818, 0.6499, 0.7744, 0.9811, 0.8674, 0.9494, 0.9275, 0.7009, 0.6079, 0.9961, 1.0326, 1.4085, 1.1977, 1.0551, 0.8705, 0.8496, 0.7841, 0.9088, 0.9593, 0.9593, 0.9175, 0.9414, 0.8247, 0.7101, 0.7101, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2030761150292615564", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-08T21:42:42+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If a company files for $6 Billion in ATM dilution, you should expect them to use it and position accordingly... ATM dilution wiping out all value has happened multiple times. The company will likely end up fine don't conflate that with the performance of your shares.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish IREN: $6B ATM dilution expected to obliterate retail shareholder value, citing management track record with BKKT and ASST wiping out 98-99% of equity.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The primary argument for Iren’s $6B dilution was:\n\n“Trust in $IREN management with managing dilution.”\n\nIf you look at the actual history of IREN management with: \n\n$BKKT and $ASST.\n\nBoth companies have completely obliterated shareholder value from\nATM dilution. \n\nDropping all original retail share value down by 98-99%.\n\nCompanies like Bakkt have been doing okay. \n\nBut both stock based compensation to executives + dilution wiped out all equity value from retail.\n\nIf a company files for $6 Billion in ATM dilution, you should expect them to use it and position accordingly.\n\nMaybe $IREN turns out differently.\n\nBut saying “Trust in Management” then looking at the track record of management of hype retail stocks -> ATM dilution wiping out all value has happened multiple times.\n\nThe company will likely end up fine don’t conflate that with the performance of your shares.\n\nI care the most about retail shareholders over corporate executives, which is why I’m sharing the red flag about $IREN $6B ATM.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$IREN $6 Billion ATM is massive. \n\nFor the people who hold $IREN, the truth you might not want to hear is: \n\n-&gt; Wait until existing holders get diluted to oblivion\n-&gt; Use them to \"buy the dip\" of $6 Billion in new shares for you. \n-&gt; Go long after. \n\nIf you're long now:\n\nThat https://t.co/RNOw5xG7za", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05509782135018482, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05509782135018482, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04641386798582958, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05986636349258456, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004768542142399745, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.018537621469477572, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.018537621469477572, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.016930494564110443, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.013173021082192093, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005364600387285479, "ret_p1w": 0.15705454300093913, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.15705454300093913, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.17067744972513788, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.17751951414193812, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02046497114099899, "ret_p1m": -0.07981458449903078, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07981458449903078, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0543826200794183, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07596801281670362, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00384657168232716, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1308, 0.1313, 0.0332, -0.0865, -0.0579, -0.1303, -0.0783, 0.0278, 0.0824, 0.0832, 0.0808, 0.0808, 0.0376, 0.0147, -0.0139, -0.0275, -0.0275, 0.0994, 0.242, 0.182, 0.1232, 0.1761, 0.1851, 0.2958, 0.3643, 0.3615, 0.336, 0.4887, 0.4887, 0.397, 0.3769, 0.3455, 0.4593, 0.3481, 0.5445, 0.6205, 0.5407, 0.3836, 0.3666, 0.4004, 0.1571, 0.0245, 0.077, 0.1882, 0.1053, 0.0986, 0.0306, 0.087, 0.087, 0.0548, 0.0834, 0.1146, 0.0294, 0.0906, 0.1702, 0.1336, 0.139, 0.0543, 0.0657, 0.0003, 0.1287, 0.0331, -0.0551, 0.0, -0.0185, 0.0808, 0.0651, 0.0705, 0.1571, 0.1061, 0.0868, 0.0726, 0.0631, 0.0855, 0.0587, 0.0667, -0.0358, -0.0965, -0.1859, -0.1174, -0.1223, -0.1048, -0.1048, -0.0955, -0.0798, -0.0518, -0.0458, 0.0124, 0.1089, 0.2196, 0.257, 0.2281, 0.2389, 0.2544, 0.163, 0.2459, 0.3393, 0.3038, 0.2451, 0.1442, 0.1035, 0.1717, 0.1756, 0.2739, 0.4094, 0.57, 0.4637, 0.5757, 0.4199, 0.4562, 0.4204, 0.5036, 0.363, 0.2992, 0.2291, 0.3571, 0.4949, 0.4632, 0.4632, 0.5391, 0.7467, 0.6491, 0.6359, 0.6359, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2034748215728513221", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-19T21:45:53+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the photonics buildout relies on AXT, which now makes them a critical chokepoint at the top of the supply chain", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AXTI long-term: China export controls harm competitors like Sumitomo, giving AXT control over InP supply chain as a critical photonics chokepoint.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "No? Export controls are good for them since it harms their competitors like Sumitomo as upstream materials the need come from China.\n\nSince they require them to make InP substrates.\n\nIt’s a double edged sword short but gives $AXTI more control over the InP supply chain in the long run.\n\nAs you’re seeing now, the photonics buildout relies on AXT, which now makes them a critical chokepoint at the top of the supply chain", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What do you think about China’s export controls? Most of the thesis relies on China lifting them no? So they can meet/exceed revenue or no? Because if its unclear, Id think most would bypass them and go straight to Sumitomo no?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "blancmischief", "ret_m1d": -0.16061287324061124, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.16061287324061124, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.16308330170267793, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.15744767533344384, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002470428462066687, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0031651979071674052, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06627644110876418, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06627644110876418, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05194066523625995, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04049901062353456, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01433577587250423, "bench_c_p1d": -0.025777430485229624, "ret_p1w": 0.007230128556413806, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.007230128556413806, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.026854604507512092, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.042882961056937896, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019624475951098286, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03565283250052409, "ret_p1m": 0.4212428531886607, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4212428531886607, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.34200761465498575, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.24591623544295094, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07923523853367498, "bench_c_p1m": 0.1753266177457098, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.738, -0.748, -0.7416, -0.7416, -0.7354, -0.7488, -0.728, -0.7185, -0.7185, -0.7115, -0.713, -0.6528, -0.585, -0.5553, -0.6042, -0.6171, -0.6297, -0.6196, -0.5572, -0.6197, -0.6197, -0.6314, -0.6595, -0.6915, -0.7005, -0.6936, -0.7039, -0.7103, -0.718, -0.6808, -0.6395, -0.6602, -0.6772, -0.6483, -0.5858, -0.5219, -0.5808, -0.5386, -0.5732, -0.5827, -0.5827, -0.6004, -0.5948, -0.5901, -0.4891, -0.5106, -0.3961, -0.2947, -0.361, -0.3476, -0.2026, -0.2811, -0.3264, -0.3321, -0.4428, -0.3362, -0.2374, -0.1847, -0.1956, -0.1589, -0.167, -0.2364, -0.1606, 0.0, -0.0663, 0.1093, 0.1782, 0.1594, 0.0072, 0.0437, -0.0923, -0.0191, -0.1885, -0.0904, -0.0904, -0.2772, -0.2174, -0.0845, 0.0866, 0.1048, 0.1439, 0.1585, 0.0833, 0.4078, 0.4212, 0.3558, 0.2906, 0.4966, 0.2957, 0.3111, 0.2076, 0.1828, 0.2234, 0.3637, 0.6526, 0.8248, 0.8514, 0.8046, 0.8664, 1.0031, 1.1658, 1.1157, 1.0992, 0.9793, 1.1308, 0.8227, 0.9432, 0.8008, 1.0833, 1.4243, 1.4243, 1.2827, 1.1134, 0.9917, 0.7759, 0.7759, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2019554444837564632", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-05T23:31:15+00:00", "symbol": "VPG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I still have positions", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author holds a live long position in VPG, viewing its foil-tech moat as securing high-end Optimus sensor supply.", "resolved_tickers": ["VPG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Scientific & Technical Instruments'", "bench_c_industry": "Scientific & Technical Instruments", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So that’s just the direct quote from the article, haven’t gone further into analysis. It did mention “hundreds of Chinese suppliers” so other threats may be Keli Sensing, Hanwei Electronics, Donhua, etc.\n\nRegarding $VPG, agreed I’d assume they’re required high-end Optimus versions given their moat in their foil tech. And I still have positions. \n\nThat being said it’s always good to publish risk disclosure so people can do their own research, since the chance they get designed out is nonzero. Elon is targeting $20K Optimus for mass production after all", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $VPG manufactures high-precision sensors for robotic joint force measurement. Everwin produces the metal structural components and connectors needed for mass assembly. Do not be concerned by the tweet saying \"sensors\" alongside Everwin. Totally different parts of the BOM.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ThematicTrader", "ret_m1d": 0.0357417482250002, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0357417482250002, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.023094583861267948, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.017383090883666297, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012647164363732255, "bench_c_m1d": 0.018358657341333906, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07571096382385711, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07571096382385711, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05652625198290573, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03515950909674026, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.019184711840951385, "bench_c_p1d": 0.040551454727116854, "ret_p1w": -0.10299770399796981, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10299770399796981, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10838422837515604, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12939309645156938, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00538652437718623, "bench_c_p1w": 0.026395392453599564, "ret_p1m": -0.1648732067661176, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1648732067661176, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15714019932718826, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.17711231166034036, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007733007438929351, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012239104894222752, "ret_p3m": 0.22886240656960632, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.22886240656960632, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.15783938601728686, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.006154042494139977, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07102302055231946, "bench_c_p3m": 0.22270836407546635, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.343, -0.3542, -0.3553, -0.3841, -0.386, -0.4154, -0.4179, -0.412, -0.4374, -0.4018, -0.3766, -0.3532, -0.3457, -0.3457, -0.344, -0.3378, -0.3276, -0.2942, -0.2829, -0.2504, -0.2719, -0.2932, -0.2633, -0.2508, -0.2713, -0.2686, -0.2588, -0.2688, -0.2659, -0.2552, -0.2558, -0.2435, -0.2415, -0.2415, -0.2373, -0.2469, -0.2519, -0.2602, -0.2602, -0.2452, -0.244, -0.2056, -0.2308, -0.2241, -0.1993, -0.2016, -0.2023, -0.1962, -0.1603, -0.162, -0.162, -0.1599, -0.1005, -0.0817, -0.1518, -0.1747, -0.1357, -0.1474, -0.0319, -0.0377, -0.0269, 0.015, 0.0357, 0.0, 0.0757, 0.0582, 0.0298, -0.1078, -0.103, -0.1507, -0.1507, -0.1274, -0.1155, -0.0986, -0.0805, -0.1005, -0.1009, -0.0717, -0.0919, -0.1147, -0.0542, -0.0857, -0.0972, -0.1355, -0.1649, -0.1628, -0.1441, -0.1568, -0.1985, -0.212, -0.2091, -0.2156, -0.2102, -0.1681, -0.2191, -0.19, -0.1781, -0.1257, -0.1829, -0.2016, -0.2183, -0.1656, -0.1551, -0.1397, -0.1397, -0.1138, -0.102, -0.0569, -0.054, -0.0411, -0.0015, -0.0046, -0.0238, -0.0127, 0.0227, 0.0215, 0.0457, 0.1013, 0.1105, 0.1649, 0.1257, 0.0993, 0.0813, 0.161, 0.1572, 0.1535, 0.2289, 0.2216, 0.1997, 0.2921, 0.2798, 0.6443, 0.9139, 0.9281, 0.8701, 1.0217, 0.8822, 0.9352, 0.9992, 1.186, 1.186, 1.3714, 1.4197, 1.4068, 1.408, 1.408, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2035899183430021444", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-23T01:59:25+00:00", "symbol": "SMCI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SMCI at $18.5", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Sees good buying opportunities in SMCI, ON Semiconductor, AAOI, and AEHR at current levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMCI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DegnFarmer Oh I am. There's a ton of good opportunities ON, $SMCI at $18.5, $AAOI at $86, $AEHR, etc.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit You not interested in this $SMCI dip?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DegnFarmer", "ret_m1d": -0.04865612793200713, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04865612793200713, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0382652134886966, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03530816903881806, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010390914443310528, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013347958893189071, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03012046435719573, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03012046435719573, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0334773141094622, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.035962034781327645, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0033568497522664664, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005841570424131914, "ret_p1w": -0.024096406839762774, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.024096406839762774, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.011623380162090302, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04490685828490637, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.035719787001853076, "bench_c_p1w": -0.06900326512466914, "ret_p1m": 0.31742355911432907, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.31742355911432907, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2431155060089567, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.18788718899035906, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07430805310537236, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12953637012397, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.4157, 0.4157, 0.4198, 0.3939, 0.374, 0.3563, 0.3563, 0.4347, 0.3934, 0.4152, 0.3906, 0.3855, 0.3976, 0.3957, 0.3253, 0.31, 0.3633, 0.5125, 0.5125, 0.4555, 0.494, 0.5037, 0.469, 0.4272, 0.4458, 0.4462, 0.3957, 0.3489, 0.3767, 0.3749, 0.5644, 0.4296, 0.5931, 0.5538, 0.5445, 0.4847, 0.4101, 0.4152, 0.4152, 0.3953, 0.3767, 0.4903, 0.5023, 0.4231, 0.4425, 0.557, 0.4958, 0.5009, 0.475, 0.4217, 0.513, 0.494, 0.4509, 0.4819, 0.4731, 0.4731, 0.4319, 0.4249, 0.4764, 0.4601, 0.4064, 0.4268, -0.0487, 0.0, 0.0301, 0.1145, 0.0292, 0.0181, -0.0241, 0.0551, 0.0431, 0.076, 0.076, 0.0218, 0.0505, 0.0829, 0.076, 0.1705, 0.2034, 0.2604, 0.2646, 0.316, 0.3234, 0.335, 0.3174, 0.3522, 0.2396, 0.3475, 0.2905, 0.2627, 0.2196, 0.2697, 0.2553, 0.2938, 0.2896, 0.6061, 0.5579, 0.639, 0.5533, 0.5195, 0.4829, 0.5306, 0.4384, 0.4296, 0.4161, 0.5505, 0.5505, 0.6487, 0.6487, 0.7192, 0.7697, 0.9138, 1.1358, 1.1358, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2035899183430021444", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-23T01:59:25+00:00", "symbol": "ON", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "There's a ton of good opportunities ON", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Sees good buying opportunities in SMCI, ON Semiconductor, AAOI, and AEHR at current levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["ON"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "ON Semiconductor trades as ON on NASDAQ", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DegnFarmer Oh I am. There's a ton of good opportunities ON, $SMCI at $18.5, $AAOI at $86, $AEHR, etc.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit You not interested in this $SMCI dip?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DegnFarmer", "ret_m1d": -0.010519303298308746, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010519303298308746, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00012838885499821817, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006396056894278912, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010390914443310528, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01691536019258766, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04090834509781138, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04090834509781138, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04426519485007785, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03265504607076197, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0033568497522664664, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00825329902704941, "ret_p1w": -0.07062948046994721, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07062948046994721, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03490969346809414, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.003036677674369326, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.035719787001853076, "bench_c_p1w": -0.07366615814431654, "ret_p1m": 0.4511605367812235, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4511605367812235, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3768524836758511, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2638648983558982, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07430805310537236, "bench_c_p1m": 0.18729563842532526, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0803, -0.0803, -0.0828, -0.098, -0.0943, -0.0958, -0.0958, -0.0533, -0.02, 0.0312, 0.0334, 0.0167, 0.0379, -0.019, -0.008, 0.0115, 0.0065, 0.0073, 0.0073, 0.0028, 0.0541, 0.0531, 0.0349, 0.0207, 0.0458, 0.0842, 0.0386, 0.0, 0.0274, -0.0077, 0.0362, 0.0536, 0.0887, 0.087, 0.1251, 0.1885, 0.1793, 0.2057, 0.2057, 0.2015, 0.1798, 0.1369, 0.1539, 0.16, 0.1693, 0.1635, 0.1381, 0.11, 0.11, 0.0589, 0.0441, 0.016, -0.0504, -0.011, -0.005, -0.0109, -0.0367, -0.0224, -0.0002, 0.0182, 0.0095, -0.01, -0.0105, 0.0, 0.0409, 0.0536, 0.0164, -0.0257, -0.0706, 0.0339, 0.0386, 0.0384, 0.0384, 0.0601, 0.0651, 0.1418, 0.1436, 0.1463, 0.1858, 0.203, 0.2094, 0.3346, 0.386, 0.4286, 0.4512, 0.4859, 0.6327, 0.643, 0.637, 0.5579, 0.6507, 0.6833, 0.7203, 0.7038, 0.7143, 0.7661, 0.6799, 0.7232, 0.7906, 0.7384, 0.932, 0.9765, 0.8886, 0.8272, 0.7702, 0.8402, 0.8302, 0.9402, 0.9402, 1.1206, 1.0853, 1.0666, 1.014, 1.014, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2035899183430021444", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-23T01:59:25+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI at $86", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Sees good buying opportunities in SMCI, ON Semiconductor, AAOI, and AEHR at current levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DegnFarmer Oh I am. There's a ton of good opportunities ON, $SMCI at $18.5, $AAOI at $86, $AEHR, etc.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit You not interested in this $SMCI dip?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DegnFarmer", "ret_m1d": -0.08583960983009542, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08583960983009542, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07544869538678489, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07544869538678489, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010390914443310528, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010390914443310528, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.18943190251648123, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.18943190251648123, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.1927887522687477, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.1927887522687477, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0033568497522664664, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0033568497522664664, "ret_p1w": -0.1103801113098043, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1103801113098043, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07466032430795122, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07466032430795122, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.035719787001853076, "bench_c_p1w": -0.035719787001853076, "ret_p1m": 0.5723684624611249, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5723684624611249, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4980604093557526, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4980604093557526, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07430805310537236, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07430805310537236, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5718, -0.5718, -0.6118, -0.6162, -0.6239, -0.636, -0.636, -0.5865, -0.6346, -0.5968, -0.6026, -0.6553, -0.6445, -0.6479, -0.6431, -0.64, -0.6136, -0.6132, -0.6132, -0.59, -0.5992, -0.6016, -0.627, -0.6357, -0.6095, -0.5277, -0.5868, -0.5446, -0.5388, -0.5184, -0.5833, -0.6018, -0.5374, -0.4997, -0.4936, -0.4946, -0.5406, -0.5357, -0.5357, -0.5415, -0.5464, -0.5094, -0.4603, -0.4365, -0.4124, -0.3931, -0.4393, -0.1204, 0.0705, -0.0044, 0.0412, 0.0562, -0.0019, 0.1552, 0.2582, 0.3263, 0.1089, 0.011, -0.0176, -0.0985, -0.0327, 0.0643, -0.0858, 0.0, 0.1894, 0.1948, 0.0173, 0.0256, -0.1104, -0.1166, -0.0983, 0.0851, 0.0851, 0.1221, 0.2285, 0.3858, 0.392, 0.5727, 0.5997, 0.5287, 0.4886, 0.6429, 0.6648, 0.7071, 0.5724, 0.5604, 0.4383, 0.6935, 0.5223, 0.4334, 0.596, 0.7164, 0.9164, 0.8064, 0.8857, 0.8645, 0.6453, 0.5553, 0.9309, 0.9662, 1.3298, 1.1258, 0.9879, 0.8093, 0.7892, 0.7258, 0.8464, 0.8953, 0.8953, 0.8548, 0.8779, 0.765, 0.6542, 0.6542, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2035899183430021444", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-03-23T01:59:25+00:00", "symbol": "AEHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AEHR", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Sees good buying opportunities in SMCI, ON Semiconductor, AAOI, and AEHR at current levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["AEHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DegnFarmer Oh I am. There's a ton of good opportunities ON, $SMCI at $18.5, $AAOI at $86, $AEHR, etc.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit You not interested in this $SMCI dip?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DegnFarmer", "ret_m1d": -0.07079410390557217, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07079410390557217, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06040318946226164, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05387874371298451, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010390914443310528, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01691536019258766, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.054912436528677055, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.054912436528677055, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05826928628094352, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.046659137501627646, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0033568497522664664, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00825329902704941, "ret_p1w": -0.18923285054910077, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.18923285054910077, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1535130635472477, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11556669240478423, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.035719787001853076, "bench_c_p1w": -0.07366615814431654, "ret_p1m": 1.52274555508207, "ret_signed_p1m": 1.52274555508207, "alpha_spy_p1m": 1.4484375019766977, "alpha_c_p1m": 1.3354499166567448, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07430805310537236, "bench_c_p1m": 0.18729563842532526, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4059, -0.4059, -0.4223, -0.452, -0.4525, -0.4565, -0.4565, -0.4035, -0.3677, -0.3343, -0.3491, -0.389, -0.2915, -0.2907, -0.2783, -0.3009, -0.2859, -0.2245, -0.2245, -0.2178, -0.214, -0.168, -0.2452, -0.2791, -0.253, -0.2468, -0.2764, -0.3098, -0.2985, -0.2681, -0.3585, -0.3809, -0.2896, -0.2573, -0.2778, -0.0888, -0.2493, -0.2237, -0.2237, -0.2331, -0.2191, -0.1852, -0.0956, -0.0762, 0.056, 0.1166, 0.0713, 0.0075, 0.1852, 0.1209, 0.1483, 0.0899, -0.0415, 0.1004, 0.1295, 0.1427, 0.0135, -0.0398, 0.0089, -0.0016, -0.0226, 0.0164, -0.0708, 0.0, 0.0549, 0.0506, -0.0694, -0.1246, -0.1892, -0.0019, 0.0659, 0.193, 0.193, 0.404, 0.3526, 0.7001, 0.8536, 0.8958, 0.9289, 1.0022, 0.9709, 1.1763, 1.2573, 1.4266, 1.5227, 1.6207, 1.5709, 1.5817, 1.3817, 1.2188, 1.2022, 1.4377, 1.5052, 1.3044, 1.4546, 1.6038, 1.4565, 1.6172, 1.8145, 1.6035, 1.7793, 1.8624, 1.6783, 1.2495, 1.1841, 1.2164, 1.4576, 1.5577, 1.5577, 1.9588, 1.7946, 1.6915, 1.4853, 1.4853, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2027184821173416261", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-27T00:51:39+00:00", "symbol": "005930.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Wouldn't be surprised if Samsung were trading at $2.5T in the future (from $1T now). It does have that same feeling as $TSM 2 years ago, where it looks like a no-brainer long.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish Samsung ($2.5T target vs $1T now), SK Hynix (cheap vs cumulative operating income projections), and KOSPI/EWY as both stocks dominate the index in price discovery mode.", "resolved_tickers": ["005930.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$KOSPI and $EWY, South Korea’s index is something people shouldn’t try to TA or compare to stuff like Silver.\n\nSK index is in price discovery mode as it’s carried by two stocks: \n\nWhose operating profit projections from Morgan Stanley and Macquarie are:\n\nSamsung\n2026: ~$182.0B - ~$210.8B USD\n2027: ~$235.1B -  ~$333.7B USD\n\nSK Hynix:\n2026: ~$132.9B - ~$190.5B USD\n2027: ~$167.0B - ~$312.8B USD\n\nIf SK Hynix is valued at $500B and their projected operating income for FY 2026 and 2027 is $510B. \n\nIt just looks silly. (From Macquarie's bull case projections on the right)\n\nI’d probably go off Morgan Stanley projections instead (which is a lot more grounded) but the point still stands that these companies are just so profitable. \n\nWouldn’t be surprised if Samsung were trading at $2.5T in the future (from $1T now).\n\nIt does have that same feeling as $TSM 2 years ago, where it looks like a no-brainer long.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.006928427511213364, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006928427511213364, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.002103314332988271, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009286633526067067, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01621506103728043, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0005685787823312971, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005621260796333072, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005621260796333072, "ret_p1w": -0.13071594184870883, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.13071594184870883, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11087599503620715, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12012214160776147, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01059380024094736, "ret_p1m": -0.18399581120935415, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.18399581120935415, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10776423325557938, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10399102837576302, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "bench_c_p1m": -0.08000478283359114, "ret_p3m": 0.4209488710081013, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4209488710081013, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.32398018191809586, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09016682266492815, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.33078204834317315, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5247, -0.5197, -0.5169, -0.5017, -0.4967, -0.5017, -0.5036, -0.5068, -0.4994, -0.5183, -0.5275, -0.504, -0.5054, -0.5114, -0.4921, -0.4875, -0.4893, -0.4893, -0.4622, -0.448, -0.4462, -0.4462, -0.4462, -0.4065, -0.3621, -0.3584, -0.3487, -0.3589, -0.358, -0.3589, -0.3644, -0.352, -0.3353, -0.3122, -0.3104, -0.3293, -0.3095, -0.2965, -0.2975, -0.2975, -0.2633, -0.2499, -0.2577, -0.2587, -0.3053, -0.2263, -0.2189, -0.2642, -0.2674, -0.2314, -0.2342, -0.2249, -0.1751, -0.163, -0.163, -0.163, -0.163, -0.1224, -0.1219, -0.1085, -0.0762, -0.06, 0.0069, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0988, -0.2046, -0.115, -0.1307, -0.1986, -0.1321, -0.1224, -0.1321, -0.1524, -0.1284, -0.1044, -0.037, -0.0739, -0.079, -0.1395, -0.1238, -0.127, -0.1681, -0.1681, -0.184, -0.2261, -0.1222, -0.1743, -0.1382, -0.1062, -0.0905, -0.0257, -0.0558, -0.0465, -0.0697, -0.0442, -0.0234, 0.0067, -0.0002, -0.0072, 0.0136, 0.0067, 0.0391, 0.016, 0.0391, 0.0275, 0.046, 0.0206, 0.0206, 0.0761, 0.0761, 0.2312, 0.2566, 0.2428, 0.3214, 0.2914, 0.3145, 0.37, 0.252, 0.3006, 0.2752, 0.2775, 0.3862, 0.3538, 0.3538, 0.3839, 0.4209, 0.3862, 0.4672, 0.6038, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2027184821173416261", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-27T00:51:39+00:00", "symbol": "000660.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If SK Hynix is valued at $500B and their projected operating income for FY 2026 and 2027 is $510B. It just looks silly.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish Samsung ($2.5T target vs $1T now), SK Hynix (cheap vs cumulative operating income projections), and KOSPI/EWY as both stocks dominate the index in price discovery mode.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$KOSPI and $EWY, South Korea’s index is something people shouldn’t try to TA or compare to stuff like Silver.\n\nSK index is in price discovery mode as it’s carried by two stocks: \n\nWhose operating profit projections from Morgan Stanley and Macquarie are:\n\nSamsung\n2026: ~$182.0B - ~$210.8B USD\n2027: ~$235.1B -  ~$333.7B USD\n\nSK Hynix:\n2026: ~$132.9B - ~$190.5B USD\n2027: ~$167.0B - ~$312.8B USD\n\nIf SK Hynix is valued at $500B and their projected operating income for FY 2026 and 2027 is $510B. \n\nIt just looks silly. (From Macquarie's bull case projections on the right)\n\nI’d probably go off Morgan Stanley projections instead (which is a lot more grounded) but the point still stands that these companies are just so profitable. \n\nWouldn’t be surprised if Samsung were trading at $2.5T in the future (from $1T now).\n\nIt does have that same feeling as $TSM 2 years ago, where it looks like a no-brainer long.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03581524762445554, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03581524762445554, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.030990134446230444, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04215726708699774, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006342019462542203, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0005685787823312971, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.025302252458220487, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "bench_c_p1d": -0.025302252458220487, "ret_p1w": -0.12912349508005638, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12912349508005638, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10928354826755471, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03365639892190975, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "bench_c_p1w": -0.16277989400196613, "ret_p1m": -0.17719132121640035, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17719132121640035, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10095974326262558, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05363378243087069, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "bench_c_p1m": -0.23082510364727105, "ret_p3m": 1.114043335001457, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.114043335001457, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.0170746459114515, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.8040743868448501, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3099689481566068, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.475, -0.4807, -0.4901, -0.4882, -0.4572, -0.4675, -0.4478, -0.4685, -0.4628, -0.4788, -0.5014, -0.4816, -0.4807, -0.4854, -0.4544, -0.4506, -0.4468, -0.4468, -0.4365, -0.3979, -0.3876, -0.3876, -0.3876, -0.3631, -0.3452, -0.317, -0.3019, -0.2888, -0.3001, -0.2954, -0.3057, -0.3019, -0.2954, -0.2888, -0.2813, -0.301, -0.3038, -0.2897, -0.2784, -0.3076, -0.2474, -0.2088, -0.19, -0.1448, -0.2192, -0.1467, -0.1533, -0.2079, -0.2107, -0.1655, -0.1759, -0.1909, -0.1646, -0.1721, -0.1721, -0.1721, -0.1721, -0.159, -0.1072, -0.1053, -0.0545, -0.0423, 0.0358, 0.0, 0.0, -0.115, -0.1998, -0.1131, -0.1291, -0.2121, -0.1159, -0.0999, -0.1235, -0.1423, -0.082, -0.0858, -0.0047, -0.0452, -0.0509, -0.1206, -0.0707, -0.0622, -0.1206, -0.1206, -0.1772, -0.2394, -0.1546, -0.2177, -0.1744, -0.1649, -0.1367, -0.0264, -0.0594, -0.032, -0.0198, 0.0396, 0.0707, 0.0886, 0.0631, 0.099, 0.1536, 0.1527, 0.1546, 0.1517, 0.2177, 0.2253, 0.2187, 0.2121, 0.2121, 0.3638, 0.3638, 0.509, 0.5589, 0.5891, 0.7719, 0.7295, 0.8624, 0.8567, 0.7144, 0.7342, 0.6447, 0.6447, 0.8285, 0.8294, 0.8294, 0.934, 1.114, 1.1578, 1.1992, 1.245, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2027184821173416261", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-27T00:51:39+00:00", "symbol": "EWY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$KOSPI and $EWY, South Korea's index is something people shouldn't try to TA or compare to stuff like Silver. SK index is in price discovery mode", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish Samsung ($2.5T target vs $1T now), SK Hynix (cheap vs cumulative operating income projections), and KOSPI/EWY as both stocks dominate the index in price discovery mode.", "resolved_tickers": ["EWY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$KOSPI and $EWY, South Korea’s index is something people shouldn’t try to TA or compare to stuff like Silver.\n\nSK index is in price discovery mode as it’s carried by two stocks: \n\nWhose operating profit projections from Morgan Stanley and Macquarie are:\n\nSamsung\n2026: ~$182.0B - ~$210.8B USD\n2027: ~$235.1B -  ~$333.7B USD\n\nSK Hynix:\n2026: ~$132.9B - ~$190.5B USD\n2027: ~$167.0B - ~$312.8B USD\n\nIf SK Hynix is valued at $500B and their projected operating income for FY 2026 and 2027 is $510B. \n\nIt just looks silly. (From Macquarie's bull case projections on the right)\n\nI’d probably go off Morgan Stanley projections instead (which is a lot more grounded) but the point still stands that these companies are just so profitable. \n\nWouldn’t be surprised if Samsung were trading at $2.5T in the future (from $1T now).\n\nIt does have that same feeling as $TSM 2 years ago, where it looks like a no-brainer long.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.006342019462542203, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006342019462542203, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011167132640767297, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.011167132640767297, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.025302252458220487, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.025302252458220487, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.025870831240551784, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.025870831240551784, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "ret_p1w": -0.16277989400196613, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.16277989400196613, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.14293994718946446, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.14293994718946446, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "ret_p1m": -0.23082510364727105, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.23082510364727105, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15459352569349627, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.15459352569349627, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "ret_p3m": 0.3099689481566068, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3099689481566068, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.21300025906660136, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.21300025906660136, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4051, -0.3991, -0.4064, -0.3907, -0.3857, -0.3825, -0.3749, -0.3864, -0.4012, -0.4009, -0.4086, -0.4148, -0.405, -0.3966, -0.3939, -0.3876, -0.375, -0.375, -0.3668, -0.3478, -0.3485, -0.3577, -0.3577, -0.3247, -0.3075, -0.2891, -0.2929, -0.2958, -0.2806, -0.2804, -0.2896, -0.2757, -0.2664, -0.2586, -0.2586, -0.2669, -0.2359, -0.2337, -0.2207, -0.2249, -0.1894, -0.1705, -0.1775, -0.1913, -0.2011, -0.1787, -0.2055, -0.2059, -0.1761, -0.1673, -0.1778, -0.1372, -0.1359, -0.115, -0.115, -0.1367, -0.1218, -0.1068, -0.0627, -0.0797, -0.0451, -0.0164, -0.0063, 0.0, -0.0253, -0.1257, -0.1123, -0.1693, -0.1628, -0.1155, -0.1392, -0.1223, -0.1841, -0.1798, -0.1207, -0.1119, -0.1288, -0.1093, -0.1691, -0.116, -0.1494, -0.1561, -0.2073, -0.2008, -0.2308, -0.1874, -0.1661, -0.1883, -0.1883, -0.168, -0.1597, -0.0747, -0.0798, -0.0835, -0.067, -0.031, -0.0426, -0.0258, 0.0063, -0.0085, -0.0303, 0.0293, -0.0052, 0.0211, 0.0354, 0.0198, 0.0171, 0.062, 0.0702, 0.0807, 0.146, 0.2022, 0.1677, 0.2565, 0.274, 0.1792, 0.2462, 0.2586, 0.1816, 0.1634, 0.1496, 0.1899, 0.2316, 0.2026, 0.2026, 0.3256, 0.31, 0.3636, 0.3598, 0.3598, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2020260581408985407", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-07T22:17:11+00:00", "symbol": "RDDT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$RDDT feels like a strong buy again after drop to $139 post earnings", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long RDDT at $139 post-earnings dip; long OSS as moonshot on edge AI/defense with potential $200M contract re-rating.", "resolved_tickers": ["RDDT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$RDDT feels like a strong buy again after drop to $139 post earnings. Earnings felt great, looked option related selloff.\n\n$OSS is a moonshot type small cap pick for edge AI + defense spend. I made a post that showed they were already validated in Venezuela combat. If they can secure that $200m contract, could easily be re-rated.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Why Reddit and oss?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "iwantlambo", "ret_m1d": -0.013475402766239375, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013475402766239375, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.008676709158121132, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0038929684430077938, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009582434323231581, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0581345415199126, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0581345415199126, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06077170195199344, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05214546276960719, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00598907875030541, "ret_p1w": -0.014745389556094612, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.014745389556094612, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0028351802282485794, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.004932871729719568, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01967826128581418, "ret_p1m": -0.053689856888841314, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.053689856888841314, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.029523794273787485, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.057967779636738825, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "bench_c_p1m": 0.004277922747897511, "ret_p3m": 0.15669529133854376, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15669529133854376, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.09959038761536032, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.14921259362000439, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "bench_c_p3m": 0.007482697718539377, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.4309, 0.3364, 0.3638, 0.3232, 0.3101, 0.3248, 0.2832, 0.2945, 0.3758, 0.5414, 0.4644, 0.4644, 0.5272, 0.5761, 0.5716, 0.5581, 0.5715, 0.6517, 0.6717, 0.6658, 0.6799, 0.6477, 0.5859, 0.5416, 0.5804, 0.6039, 0.6321, 0.6452, 0.6449, 0.5932, 0.5934, 0.5934, 0.5928, 0.6555, 0.6464, 0.6218, 0.6218, 0.7066, 0.7218, 0.7907, 0.8026, 0.7917, 0.7254, 0.7216, 0.8268, 0.7806, 0.6139, 0.6298, 0.6298, 0.59, 0.4825, 0.5136, 0.5442, 0.5072, 0.3849, 0.3626, 0.3408, 0.2718, 0.2498, 0.167, 0.0773, 0.0657, -0.0135, 0.0, 0.0581, -0.0173, -0.0753, -0.0147, -0.0147, -0.0177, 0.0404, 0.031, 0.0595, 0.0051, 0.0024, 0.0559, 0.0671, 0.0287, 0.0379, 0.0279, 0.0392, 0.0183, -0.0166, -0.0203, -0.0537, -0.0326, -0.067, -0.0662, -0.0123, 0.0183, 0.0074, -0.0255, -0.0133, -0.0055, -0.0397, -0.0149, -0.1022, -0.1404, -0.1242, -0.05, -0.0392, -0.0405, -0.0405, -0.024, -0.0042, 0.023, -0.0237, -0.0142, 0.0537, 0.0903, 0.1181, 0.1461, 0.1556, 0.1731, 0.1064, 0.1592, 0.0792, 0.0928, 0.1303, 0.0437, 0.0424, 0.0387, 0.1745, 0.1928, 0.2109, 0.1751, 0.1567, 0.0992, 0.1254, 0.0749, 0.0873, 0.1028, 0.1159, 0.1225, 0.0927, 0.0351, 0.0586, -0.0005, -0.0005, 0.0205, 0.0878, 0.1831, 0.2417, 0.2417, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2020260581408985407", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-07T22:17:11+00:00", "symbol": "OSS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$OSS is a moonshot type small cap pick for edge AI + defense spend. If they can secure that $200m contract, could easily be re-rated", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long RDDT at $139 post-earnings dip; long OSS as moonshot on edge AI/defense with potential $200M contract re-rating.", "resolved_tickers": ["OSS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$RDDT feels like a strong buy again after drop to $139 post earnings. Earnings felt great, looked option related selloff.\n\n$OSS is a moonshot type small cap pick for edge AI + defense spend. I made a post that showed they were already validated in Venezuela combat. If they can secure that $200m contract, could easily be re-rated.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Why Reddit and oss?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "iwantlambo", "ret_m1d": -0.04248703249944308, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04248703249944308, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.037688338891324835, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.037688338891324835, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.013471416156014437, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.013471416156014437, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010834255723933595, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010834255723933595, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "ret_p1w": -0.09844557998125858, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09844557998125858, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08086501019691539, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08086501019691539, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "ret_p1m": -0.022797857207376593, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.022797857207376593, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0013682054076772365, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0013682054076772365, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "ret_p3m": 0.5647669407648646, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5647669407648646, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5076620370416811, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5076620370416811, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4259, -0.4653, -0.4705, -0.5098, -0.5067, -0.5316, -0.5503, -0.5378, -0.5192, -0.5223, -0.3834, -0.3834, -0.3689, -0.3865, -0.371, -0.3606, -0.3202, -0.2767, -0.2363, -0.2155, -0.199, -0.1876, -0.2155, -0.2902, -0.2767, -0.2974, -0.257, -0.2383, -0.2477, -0.2321, -0.2508, -0.2508, -0.2549, -0.2622, -0.2591, -0.256, -0.256, -0.2953, -0.285, -0.3326, -0.1845, -0.0891, -0.1637, 0.0829, 0.171, 0.2114, 0.1244, 0.1047, 0.1047, 0.1171, 0.2093, 0.1751, 0.0984, 0.0487, 0.0891, 0.0736, 0.1005, 0.0249, -0.0104, -0.0114, -0.0715, -0.1658, -0.0425, 0.0, -0.0135, -0.0207, -0.114, -0.0984, -0.0984, -0.142, -0.1347, 0.0922, 0.0073, -0.0601, -0.0466, -0.0622, -0.0539, -0.1446, -0.1062, -0.1409, -0.1306, -0.1212, -0.1285, -0.0777, -0.0228, 0.0269, 0.0518, 0.0446, 0.058, 0.1078, 0.1648, 0.0642, -0.086, -0.0456, -0.0632, -0.0591, -0.115, -0.2057, -0.2528, -0.2155, -0.2477, -0.2083, -0.2083, -0.2, -0.2104, -0.1741, -0.1886, -0.1917, -0.0819, -0.0922, 0.0187, 0.0114, 0.028, 0.0487, 0.029, 0.0777, 0.0135, 0.0062, 0.0311, -0.0394, -0.0891, -0.0166, 0.0394, 0.0114, 0.0124, 0.5886, 0.5648, 0.6249, 0.6497, 0.6114, 0.6435, 0.7865, 0.7067, 0.657, 0.5969, 0.6259, 0.7109, 0.8477, 0.8477, 0.8073, 0.8197, 0.856, 0.8839, 0.8839, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2020265389788385559", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-07T22:36:18+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$RKLB again I felt was near term overvalued but I'd add heavy concentration if it dropped further", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "RKLB near-term overvalued at current levels; would only add on further price decline.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DanielM16458500 Oh I forgot to include $FLY as a moonshot pick for their medium lift launch with $NOC. I have a lot of weird niche picks in my personal porffolio that I didn’t include. \n\n$RKLB again I felt was near term overvalued but I’d add heavy concentration if it dropped further.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Where’s FLY and RKLB?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DanielM16458500", "ret_m1d": -0.046413460087520786, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.046413460087520786, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04161476647940254, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.043419725048928326, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00299373503859246, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05023731200643833, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05023731200643833, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.047600151574357485, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0514462932820281, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001208981275589771, "ret_p1w": -0.1107594185403149, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1107594185403149, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09317884875597171, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.11346526733520079, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00270584879488589, "ret_p1m": -0.09111282128665565, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09111282128665565, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06694675867160182, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0699269308134528, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02118589047320285, "ret_p3m": 0.03612876615864402, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03612876615864402, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.02097613756453942, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.03158689377399981, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "bench_c_p3m": 0.004541872384644208, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3411, -0.4033, -0.3995, -0.4289, -0.4359, -0.4248, -0.4794, -0.4686, -0.4403, -0.4383, -0.4471, -0.4471, -0.4444, -0.4677, -0.4475, -0.4103, -0.349, -0.3532, -0.3201, -0.2955, -0.2416, -0.1623, -0.1892, -0.2694, -0.2683, -0.2885, -0.2099, -0.0701, 0.0225, 0.0177, 0.0177, 0.0177, -0.0684, -0.0754, -0.0711, -0.0802, -0.0802, 0.002, 0.0303, 0.1344, 0.1086, 0.0955, 0.1188, 0.159, 0.1416, 0.2104, 0.1967, 0.2698, 0.2698, 0.1756, 0.158, 0.1601, 0.1722, 0.0612, 0.1472, 0.1679, 0.1297, 0.0558, -0.0223, 0.0716, -0.036, -0.1255, -0.0464, 0.0, -0.0502, -0.082, -0.1296, -0.1108, -0.1108, -0.0785, -0.0187, 0.0098, -0.0657, -0.0742, -0.0774, -0.0744, -0.0421, -0.0889, -0.0642, -0.0753, -0.0518, -0.077, -0.0756, -0.0575, -0.0911, -0.0512, -0.0985, -0.098, -0.0597, 0.0363, -0.0839, -0.0516, -0.1135, -0.1034, -0.1288, -0.039, -0.1305, -0.1966, -0.2434, -0.1532, -0.1361, -0.1069, -0.1069, -0.1077, -0.1255, -0.0891, -0.12, -0.1027, -0.0688, -0.0477, -0.0295, 0.0935, 0.1181, 0.1796, 0.1424, 0.1872, 0.1155, 0.0506, 0.085, 0.0363, 0.0156, 0.0879, 0.0392, 0.0589, 0.0385, 0.1162, 0.0361, 0.3907, 0.5473, 0.5501, 0.637, 0.7478, 0.6452, 0.7294, 0.6787, 0.7706, 0.6541, 0.7901, 0.7901, 0.8882, 0.9809, 0.9519, 0.8919, 0.8919, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2023600495353622546", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-17T03:28:49+00:00", "symbol": "ALAB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ALAB (Leo) ... Especially Astera. If it becomes a new architectural paradigm, companies like Astera maybe would sell millions of net-new CXL controllers to manage the external memory pools. Recent drop across the board presents a good opportunity for these three.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on ALAB, AVGO, MRVL as the top US CXL plays on DeepSeek-driven memory architecture shift; recent dip is a buying opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["ALAB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you're bullish on DeepSeek LLMs with Engram (v4), going long on CXL seems like a idea. \n \n- $ALAB (Leo)\n- $AVGO\n- $MRVL are your big three in the US.\n\nEspecially Astera.\n\nIf it becomes a new architectural paradigm, companies like Astera maybe would sell millions of net-new CXL controllers to manage the external memory pools. \n\nThat being said, lot of reports are usually sensational around DeepSeek (internal benchmarks perform different than IRL), and might just be relegated to offline batch processing\n\nRecent drop across the board presents a good opportunity for these three.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.045517056930122646, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.045517056930122646, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.047127924320324754, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.045001753133784295, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0016108673902021087, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0005153037963383511, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04761904174461162, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04761904174461162, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04258128320299459, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.035251301304953575, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005037758541617032, "bench_c_p1d": 0.012367740439658048, "ret_p1w": 0.03807899880436438, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03807899880436438, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03148898897854835, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.009490758964109336, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0065900098258160344, "bench_c_p1w": 0.028588239840255047, "ret_p1m": 0.02142447929645508, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.02142447929645508, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05279296908833475, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05538682624800739, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03136848979187967, "bench_c_p1m": -0.033962346951552314, "ret_p3m": 0.8811544028063638, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.8811544028063638, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.7957202631550149, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5159363381619106, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08543413965134894, "bench_c_p3m": 0.36521806464445317, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1261, 0.1464, 0.1945, 0.1705, 0.2468, 0.2468, 0.2739, 0.3355, 0.1556, 0.2329, 0.233, 0.3035, 0.4208, 0.3508, 0.3284, 0.4043, 0.2034, 0.1615, 0.1718, 0.1338, 0.1794, 0.3291, 0.3956, 0.3649, 0.3742, 0.3742, 0.3523, 0.3753, 0.3812, 0.345, 0.345, 0.4517, 0.351, 0.3017, 0.3402, 0.2671, 0.3147, 0.3952, 0.4598, 0.3917, 0.4104, 0.4714, 0.4714, 0.4856, 0.423, 0.4257, 0.3717, 0.3198, 0.3819, 0.3574, 0.2973, 0.2177, 0.2324, 0.2816, 0.1696, 0.1547, 0.3732, 0.5173, 0.4784, 0.1619, 0.0234, 0.0455, 0.0455, 0.0, 0.0476, 0.0722, 0.0484, 0.0368, 0.0381, 0.0361, 0.0079, -0.0393, -0.0254, -0.1123, -0.0802, -0.0298, -0.0363, -0.0112, -0.0583, 0.0082, -0.0306, -0.0273, 0.0306, 0.0314, 0.0214, 0.02, -0.0618, 0.0015, -0.0156, -0.0272, -0.0815, -0.0907, -0.1893, -0.1139, -0.1404, -0.053, -0.053, -0.0461, -0.038, 0.0143, 0.0466, 0.205, 0.3485, 0.3793, 0.3913, 0.381, 0.4071, 0.4213, 0.552, 0.5689, 0.5971, 0.7208, 0.5898, 0.482, 0.5915, 0.5744, 0.6386, 0.6271, 0.7438, 0.7294, 0.5818, 0.6152, 0.6764, 0.6527, 0.8117, 0.8485, 0.8812, 0.7429, 0.9748, 1.3242, 1.408, 1.481, 1.481, 1.5768, 1.6302, 1.8229, 1.7718, 1.7718, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2023600495353622546", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-17T03:28:49+00:00", "symbol": "AVGO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AVGO ... your big three in the US. Recent drop across the board presents a good opportunity for these three.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on ALAB, AVGO, MRVL as the top US CXL plays on DeepSeek-driven memory architecture shift; recent dip is a buying opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["AVGO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you're bullish on DeepSeek LLMs with Engram (v4), going long on CXL seems like a idea. \n \n- $ALAB (Leo)\n- $AVGO\n- $MRVL are your big three in the US.\n\nEspecially Astera.\n\nIf it becomes a new architectural paradigm, companies like Astera maybe would sell millions of net-new CXL controllers to manage the external memory pools. \n\nThat being said, lot of reports are usually sensational around DeepSeek (internal benchmarks perform different than IRL), and might just be relegated to offline batch processing\n\nRecent drop across the board presents a good opportunity for these three.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.022162781002994292, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.022162781002994292, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.020551913612792183, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.022678084799332643, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0016108673902021087, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0005153037963383511, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.002916903204850607, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.002916903204850607, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.002120855336766425, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009450837234807441, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005037758541617032, "bench_c_p1d": 0.012367740439658048, "ret_p1w": -0.021200565282193717, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.021200565282193717, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.027790575108009752, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.049788805122448765, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0065900098258160344, "bench_c_p1w": 0.028588239840255047, "ret_p1m": -0.04994895557336998, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04994895557336998, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.018580465781490307, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.015986608621817666, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03136848979187967, "bench_c_p1m": -0.033962346951552314, "ret_p3m": 0.2812952087579563, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2812952087579563, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1958610691066074, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08392285588649684, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08543413965134894, "bench_c_p3m": 0.36521806464445317, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.041, 0.0211, 0.1344, 0.1556, 0.1933, 0.1933, 0.2094, 0.1588, 0.1452, 0.1424, 0.1436, 0.1713, 0.2039, 0.2194, 0.2395, 0.2197, 0.0803, 0.0199, 0.0244, -0.0215, -0.0099, 0.0216, 0.0268, 0.0505, 0.0532, 0.0532, 0.0589, 0.0507, 0.0521, 0.0408, 0.0408, 0.0453, 0.0327, 0.0338, 0.033, -0.0002, 0.0374, 0.0592, 0.0664, 0.0221, 0.0315, 0.0576, 0.0576, 0.0002, -0.0112, -0.0212, -0.0376, -0.0231, 0.0008, 0.0021, -0.0054, -0.0037, -0.0043, -0.0367, -0.0736, -0.0662, 0.0011, 0.0343, 0.0238, 0.0307, -0.0041, -0.0222, -0.0222, 0.0, 0.0029, 0.0044, 0.0003, -0.0066, -0.0212, -0.0007, -0.0326, -0.0391, -0.0413, -0.0562, -0.0451, 0.0007, -0.0062, 0.0397, 0.0302, 0.0272, 0.0103, -0.0312, -0.0229, -0.0338, -0.0499, -0.0382, -0.0662, -0.0281, -0.0408, -0.0393, -0.0676, -0.0939, -0.1158, -0.0673, -0.0553, -0.0521, -0.0521, -0.0525, 0.0064, 0.0566, 0.0695, 0.1197, 0.1444, 0.1475, 0.1955, 0.2008, 0.2251, 0.2043, 0.2119, 0.2736, 0.2655, 0.274, 0.2602, 0.2049, 0.2218, 0.2579, 0.2695, 0.2551, 0.2878, 0.282, 0.2432, 0.2958, 0.2911, 0.2635, 0.256, 0.3253, 0.2813, 0.2678, 0.2387, 0.2589, 0.2493, 0.248, 0.248, 0.2717, 0.2713, 0.2855, 0.3463, 0.3463, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2023600495353622546", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-17T03:28:49+00:00", "symbol": "MRVL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$MRVL are your big three in the US. Recent drop across the board presents a good opportunity for these three.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on ALAB, AVGO, MRVL as the top US CXL plays on DeepSeek-driven memory architecture shift; recent dip is a buying opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["MRVL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you're bullish on DeepSeek LLMs with Engram (v4), going long on CXL seems like a idea. \n \n- $ALAB (Leo)\n- $AVGO\n- $MRVL are your big three in the US.\n\nEspecially Astera.\n\nIf it becomes a new architectural paradigm, companies like Astera maybe would sell millions of net-new CXL controllers to manage the external memory pools. \n\nThat being said, lot of reports are usually sensational around DeepSeek (internal benchmarks perform different than IRL), and might just be relegated to offline batch processing\n\nRecent drop across the board presents a good opportunity for these three.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.005062691663596075, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005062691663596075, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0034518242733939664, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0034518242733939664, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0016108673902021087, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0016108673902021087, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0010123837555640058, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0010123837555640058, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0040253747860530265, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0040253747860530265, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005037758541617032, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005037758541617032, "ret_p1w": -0.00784720589232657, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.00784720589232657, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.014437215718142604, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.014437215718142604, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0065900098258160344, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0065900098258160344, "ret_p1m": 0.10897351301124214, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10897351301124214, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1403420028031218, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1403420028031218, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03136848979187967, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03136848979187967, "ret_p3m": 1.2399510840592503, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.2399510840592503, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.1545169444079013, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.1545169444079013, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08543413965134894, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08543413965134894, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0302, -0.0204, 0.0597, 0.0552, 0.1094, 0.1094, 0.1307, 0.1522, 0.1748, 0.2673, 0.2419, 0.251, 0.1636, 0.1244, 0.1695, 0.1311, 0.0678, 0.0657, 0.0633, 0.0333, 0.0683, 0.0635, 0.0725, 0.1089, 0.0939, 0.0939, 0.092, 0.0847, 0.0973, 0.0748, 0.0748, 0.1306, 0.1412, 0.1159, 0.0705, 0.0554, 0.0533, 0.0491, 0.0511, 0.0278, 0.0173, 0.0184, 0.0184, 0.01, 0.0448, 0.0518, 0.0154, 0.0349, 0.0496, 0.0583, 0.0295, -0.0011, -0.0044, -0.0439, -0.0668, -0.0608, 0.0161, 0.0423, 0.038, 0.0295, -0.0099, -0.0051, -0.0051, 0.0, 0.001, 0.0076, 0.0059, -0.0154, -0.0078, 0.0242, 0.0035, 0.0339, 0.0234, -0.019, -0.0116, -0.0421, 0.1337, 0.1726, 0.1809, 0.1447, 0.1096, 0.112, 0.1591, 0.1491, 0.109, 0.1331, 0.1126, 0.1411, 0.169, 0.246, 0.2363, 0.2009, 0.1114, 0.2536, 0.3506, 0.3557, 0.3557, 0.386, 0.3844, 0.4486, 0.5179, 0.6271, 0.6626, 0.6947, 0.7044, 0.6889, 0.7689, 0.8721, 0.916, 0.9921, 1.0965, 1.0807, 1.0034, 0.9403, 0.9826, 1.0913, 1.0888, 1.0724, 1.1369, 1.1799, 1.0262, 1.1543, 1.1633, 1.0831, 1.2534, 1.312, 1.24, 1.1392, 1.2321, 1.3654, 1.4147, 1.4861, 1.4861, 1.6372, 1.5161, 1.5938, 1.5959, 1.5959, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2034923208307351570", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-20T09:21:14+00:00", "symbol": "IQE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I really like $IQE just given latent capacity if they refactor toward InP epiwafers", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish IQE on latent InP epiwafer capacity; waiting for restructuring/debt clearance via Taiwan asset sales as catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["IQE.L"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "IQE plc LSE-listed epiwafer supplier", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@BobbaPaddop I really like $IQE just given latent capacity if they refactor toward InP epiwafers... \n\nThere's not really much going on, just waiting for any restructuring announcements, since that's debt is the main overhang (and Taiwan asset sales would clear it)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit and yet IQE is still THE most undervalued at £248mc", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BobbaPaddop", "ret_m1d": -0.03177966050326364, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03177966050326364, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04632393990550554, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.058239148603676405, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0145442794022419, "bench_c_m1d": 0.026459488100412765, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004237304231073047, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004237304231073047, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.014737323476010866, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02144371709487425, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01050001924493782, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0172064128638012, "ret_p1w": 0.03813557643994514, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03813557643994514, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06046158643921962, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06540071783578683, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.022326009999274476, "bench_c_p1w": -0.027265141395841686, "ret_p1m": 1.48305074266578, "ret_signed_p1m": 1.48305074266578, "alpha_spy_p1m": 1.3903083051499523, "alpha_c_p1m": 1.2771454475794957, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09274243751582767, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2059052950862843, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7892, -0.7896, -0.7896, -0.7896, -0.7896, -0.7881, -0.7881, -0.7881, -0.7818, -0.7869, -0.7847, -0.7636, -0.7394, -0.689, -0.5576, -0.5818, -0.6186, -0.6547, -0.6674, -0.6216, -0.6699, -0.6763, -0.6695, -0.6597, -0.6758, -0.6754, -0.6602, -0.6716, -0.6648, -0.6597, -0.6737, -0.6631, -0.6691, -0.6644, -0.6538, -0.5763, -0.5661, -0.5636, -0.5508, -0.5551, -0.55, -0.5568, -0.5602, -0.5559, -0.4585, -0.4831, -0.3212, -0.1525, -0.1949, 0.0847, 0.1017, 0.1377, -0.0911, -0.1669, -0.1915, -0.0381, 0.0297, -0.0381, -0.0148, -0.0212, -0.0847, 0.0826, -0.0318, 0.0, -0.0042, 0.0826, 0.25, 0.1271, 0.0381, -0.0212, 0.0339, 0.0636, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0805, 0.2161, 0.2712, 0.5678, 1.0805, 1.0254, 1.2881, 1.4831, 1.2076, 1.4831, 1.6695, 1.6525, 1.1081, 1.0169, 1.0932, 0.7055, 0.7119, 0.8326, 0.7436, 0.7436, 1.1186, 0.8877, 0.9343, 0.9958, 1.3093, 0.9979, 1.1398, 1.1017, 0.9492, 0.6568, 0.3559, 0.5911, 0.6886, 0.9386, 0.9386, 1.2881, 1.1483, 1.0191, 1.0127, 1.0127, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2018566256371134849", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-03T06:04:33+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Hyperscalers can vertically integrate away $LITE but not the raw precursors or materials", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish indium (InP supply crunch + photonics ramp not started); bearish Lumentum as hyperscalers can vertically integrate it away but not raw materials.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Fair points and two misunderstandings:\n\n- US requires InP for AI buildout. This is non-negotiable. And we saw that \"trade\", $NVDA GPUs for unblocking critical materials/feedstock/substrates bans recently. US and China unfortunately are dependent on one another despite being the biggest geopolitical adversaries. \n\n- We're already seeing 7n indium reach ATHs on SMM (depsite recent dip today), and photonics ramp hasn't even started the curve yet. You say SiPh substitution, but you can't substitute away InP. Custom chips might use hybrid w/silicon + InP laser but you still need it. \n\n- It scales up exponentially, $NVDA secured EML capacity, $MSFT maia is expected to take up double digits of inp supply chain. Highly doubt there's enough inventory for everyone to keep it accessible. \n\n- Sure, or they can price hike to make up for yield\n\n- This is not something you can vertically integrate. The entire supply chain is a physics/materials problem because majority is only accessible in China. \n\nHyperscalers can vertically integrate away $LITE but not the raw precursors or materials.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Fair points on the supply chokepoint - here's what keeps me cautious though:\n\n- geopolitical trap: US company, China manufcaturing. Export permits are already delaying revenue. One policy shift kills the chokepoint instantly.\n\n- SiPh substitution risk - if InP demand grows slower", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ApogeeSignal", "ret_m1d": -0.026844386375398988, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.026844386375398988, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03537188619765963, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03537188619765963, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008527499822260642, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008527499822260642, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06996093315191598, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06996093315191598, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07480485483081312, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07480485483081312, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004843921678897134, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004843921678897134, "ret_p1w": 0.28965754311966796, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.28965754311966796, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2859014490527576, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2859014490527576, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0037560940669103537, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0037560940669103537, "ret_p1m": 0.5646977206224126, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.5646977206224126, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.571078944376996, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.571078944376996, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.006381223754583387, "bench_c_p1m": -0.006381223754583387, "ret_p3m": 1.1832451835217426, "ret_signed_p3m": -1.1832451835217426, "alpha_spy_p3m": -1.1352587252713433, "alpha_c_p3m": -1.1352587252713433, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.047986458250399266, "bench_c_p3m": 0.047986458250399266, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4491, -0.4481, -0.4027, -0.4197, -0.4167, -0.4786, -0.4664, -0.4436, -0.4313, -0.3819, -0.4639, -0.4126, -0.312, -0.3306, -0.2915, -0.2915, -0.2527, -0.2693, -0.304, -0.3037, -0.2465, -0.2383, -0.2127, -0.1718, -0.1588, -0.1448, -0.2545, -0.2308, -0.2734, -0.264, -0.2252, -0.1463, -0.1039, -0.1096, -0.09, -0.09, -0.1019, -0.1436, -0.1469, -0.1529, -0.1529, -0.1126, -0.1794, -0.0866, -0.097, -0.1996, -0.1923, -0.2189, -0.1695, -0.2378, -0.2111, -0.2548, -0.2548, -0.1799, -0.167, -0.1853, -0.2204, -0.2359, -0.1481, -0.1151, -0.1233, -0.0994, -0.0268, 0.0, 0.07, 0.1593, 0.2687, 0.3265, 0.2897, 0.3195, 0.341, 0.2934, 0.2934, 0.38, 0.3658, 0.4609, 0.5348, 0.5507, 0.5819, 0.6626, 0.556, 0.6109, 0.8002, 0.596, 0.5647, 0.4958, 0.2835, 0.4725, 0.5445, 0.5445, 0.416, 0.4307, 0.4361, 0.4929, 0.6107, 0.7746, 0.6234, 0.6754, 0.8432, 0.7862, 0.5831, 0.6151, 0.5049, 0.6152, 0.7574, 0.9004, 0.9004, 0.7749, 0.8749, 1.0593, 1.055, 1.0623, 1.0023, 0.96, 0.8938, 1.0483, 1.0549, 1.0573, 0.9235, 1.0078, 0.9464, 1.0263, 0.9758, 0.8188, 0.9727, 1.0738, 1.1832, 1.2436, 1.2858, 1.1703, 1.0514, 1.0772, 1.4203, 1.2808, 1.3681, 1.3025, 1.231, 1.034, 1.0457, 0.9951, 1.2167, 1.1763, 1.1763, 1.0933, 1.0738, 0.978, 0.965, 0.965, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2015271472001106176", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-25T03:52:15+00:00", "symbol": "MU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Micron fundamentally keeps getting cheaper every day and stock price can't keep up", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish MU: price hike drives forward P/E down to ~8.9, stock undervalues improving fundamentals.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TechEquityEng With this insane price hike, some napkin math calculations might bring $MU back to forward p/e ~8.9 from previous expectations. \n\nMicron fundamentally keeps getting cheaper every day and stock price can’t keep up.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Let the party begin $MU. I grabbed as much shares as I could spare few weeks ago 🙏", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TechEquityEng", "ret_m1d": 0.02714026854416307, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02714026854416307, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03219275831867574, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.023955902187538847, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0050524897745126696, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003184366356624224, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05435759085969649, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05435759085969649, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.050373326130011886, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03322025441476706, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003984264729684606, "bench_c_p1d": 0.021137336444929433, "ret_p1w": 0.12518954482328515, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12518954482328515, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1213207519432069, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10224687963987589, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0038687928800782423, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02294266518340926, "ret_p1m": 0.07432730762902162, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07432730762902162, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08209369508999798, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02332686641656423, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007766387460976354, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05100044121245739, "ret_p3m": 0.2385884502360145, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2385884502360145, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.21310256731015742, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.030399299103990085, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025485882925857073, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2081891511320244, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4178, -0.4245, -0.4251, -0.397, -0.4399, -0.3898, -0.3877, -0.3888, -0.3493, -0.3806, -0.3708, -0.3913, -0.3659, -0.3784, -0.413, -0.4196, -0.4827, -0.4673, -0.4247, -0.4232, -0.4084, -0.4084, -0.3925, -0.3822, -0.3847, -0.3984, -0.4177, -0.3906, -0.3656, -0.3515, -0.3225, -0.336, -0.3805, -0.3898, -0.4027, -0.4206, -0.3615, -0.3168, -0.2894, -0.2902, -0.2635, -0.2635, -0.2684, -0.2434, -0.2479, -0.2665, -0.2665, -0.1893, -0.1977, -0.1174, -0.1273, -0.1595, -0.1131, -0.1111, -0.131, -0.1433, -0.1348, -0.0677, -0.0677, -0.0619, 0.0001, 0.0218, 0.0271, 0.0, 0.0544, 0.1187, 0.12, 0.0663, 0.1252, 0.078, -0.0249, -0.0159, 0.0144, -0.0144, -0.0407, 0.0546, 0.0639, 0.058, 0.058, 0.0275, 0.0819, 0.0726, 0.1004, 0.0819, 0.0743, 0.1026, 0.068, 0.0598, 0.0606, -0.0242, 0.03, 0.0205, -0.0483, 0.0006, 0.036, 0.0761, 0.0418, 0.0952, 0.1355, 0.1866, 0.1867, 0.1418, 0.0869, 0.0392, 0.0166, -0.018, -0.0864, -0.0819, -0.1726, -0.1314, -0.0542, -0.0583, -0.0583, -0.0287, -0.0292, 0.0458, 0.0838, 0.0814, 0.0968, 0.1973, 0.173, 0.1756, 0.1701, 0.153, 0.1554, 0.2534, 0.2386, 0.2772, 0.3487, 0.2966, 0.3331, 0.3297, 0.3941, 0.4822, 0.6461, 0.7139, 0.6626, 0.9202, 1.0449, 0.971, 1.0663, 0.9953, 0.8632, 0.7524, 0.7966, 0.8821, 0.9595, 0.931, 0.931, 1.3035, 1.3871, 1.3745, 1.4966, 1.4966, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2013691795130228801", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-20T19:15:11+00:00", "symbol": "AVAV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I've added to my $AVAV positions on the 16% dip. Markets made a mistake... So I personally ended up buying the dip today.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Added to AVAV on 16% dip; argues SCAR contract was misread as cancelled, crown jewel Switchblade intact.", "resolved_tickers": ["AVAV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’ve added to my $AVAV positions on the 16% dip.\n\nMarkets made a mistake with regarding the Scar program news.\n\n- Markets thought SCAR program was canceled hence 15%+ selloff.\n\n- It’s not. In the 8-K regulatory filings they said they would “continue providing capabilities and products for the SCAR program.”\n\n- This was contract re-negotiation. Not cancelled. \n\nAlso this was a small $175m fw revenue contract. $AVAV crown jewel is Switchblade via Replicator\n\nSo I personally ended up buying the dip today.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I've initiated positions in $VPG ($573m).\n\nThis is my actual/main robotics sector exposure going forward, tethered to $TSLA Optimus. \n\nMarkets have completely overlooked this robotics sector play:\n\nFor every Tesla Optimus deployed, $VPG likely takes an exceptionally high BOM for https://t.co/c21atQhoMe", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.18728268596731934, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.18728268596731934, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.16650289039799038, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.16667489185942852, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.020779795569328963, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02060779410789082, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03402946377088012, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03402946377088012, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04557054297297458, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05133513764435327, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011541079202094462, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01730567387347315, "ret_p1w": -0.06443230795849408, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06443230795849408, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09086458945193177, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07378837767000435, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02643228149343768, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009356069711510262, "ret_p1m": -0.19773949136203817, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.19773949136203817, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.21059406449683304, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2681240578378169, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012854573134794878, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07038456647577873, "ret_p3m": -0.4214996231532573, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4214996231532573, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.47241526174280946, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.48550947879848394, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091563858955217, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06400985564522665, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1009, 0.144, 0.1488, 0.1482, 0.1504, 0.1056, 0.1179, 0.1118, 0.1033, 0.0599, -0.008, -0.0037, 0.009, -0.0085, -0.0229, -0.107, -0.1199, -0.1427, -0.1509, -0.1525, -0.172, -0.1763, -0.1629, -0.1584, -0.1562, -0.1562, -0.1554, -0.2209, -0.1993, -0.1786, -0.1313, -0.1587, -0.1463, -0.1495, -0.2588, -0.2452, -0.2777, -0.2888, -0.2909, -0.3076, -0.3028, -0.2656, -0.2282, -0.2108, -0.2121, -0.2121, -0.2294, -0.247, -0.2626, -0.269, -0.269, -0.2258, -0.1012, -0.0419, -0.0375, 0.0425, 0.1031, 0.1203, 0.0996, 0.1539, 0.1441, 0.1873, 0.1873, 0.0, -0.034, -0.0567, -0.0699, -0.0853, -0.0644, -0.0724, -0.1138, -0.1587, -0.184, -0.1374, -0.2224, -0.2841, -0.2227, -0.1709, -0.2044, -0.2643, -0.2894, -0.263, -0.263, -0.2052, -0.1977, -0.1488, -0.2002, -0.2102, -0.2074, -0.2287, -0.2154, -0.2377, -0.3704, -0.31, -0.3155, -0.3334, -0.3055, -0.3131, -0.3304, -0.3722, -0.3597, -0.3742, -0.3597, -0.3275, -0.3477, -0.3613, -0.4025, -0.3766, -0.4071, -0.3985, -0.4079, -0.4426, -0.4652, -0.4468, -0.4454, -0.4428, -0.4428, -0.428, -0.4353, -0.435, -0.463, -0.4569, -0.4125, -0.4121, -0.4003, -0.3896, -0.4215, -0.4039, -0.3651, -0.365, -0.3898, -0.4068, -0.4084, -0.4187, -0.4454, -0.4106, -0.441, -0.4552, -0.4962, -0.473, -0.4917, -0.4914, -0.497, -0.4897, -0.5135, -0.5005, -0.5225, -0.5119, -0.5158, -0.5048, -0.5071, -0.4735, -0.4735, -0.4492, -0.4521, -0.3521, -0.3737, -0.3737, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2026685584190898595", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-25T15:47:51+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AXTI is basically a duopoly in two different bottlenecks (upstream feedstock processing and InP substrates)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AXTI as a duopoly in InP/feedstock bottlenecks; bullish IQE on potential pure-play pivot re-rating.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yep, that’s a good analysis! $AXTI is basically a duopoly in two different bottlenecks (upstream feedstock processing and InP substrates).\n\n$IQE is really critical but most people don’t really do the mapping to $LITE to other hyperscalers.\n\nIt’s probably the largest western epiwafer fab, and landmark is $3.85B MC. vs IQE $150m mainly due to balance sheet and pure play exposure. \n\nIf they just pivot to pure play the cut the drag could be rerated quite a bit", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Good map. Most  stop at $LITE $AAOI the real leverage is upstream. $IQEPF is critical, but not a true monopoly like $AXTI. \n\nIt’s who controls Western-qualified InP capacity under export pressure.\n\nIf geopolitics tightens, hyperscalers won’t want full reliance on Asian epi lines.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "yianisz", "ret_m1d": -0.14376371037724256, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.14376371037724256, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1353959713355637, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12733795493363664, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008367739041678868, "bench_c_m1d": -0.016425755443605916, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09397125150371877, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09397125150371877, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08841677511209767, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06076777446483761, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005554476391621099, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03320347703888116, "ret_p1w": -0.044910912808518444, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.044910912808518444, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.033340440852849706, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.018586358934629232, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011570471955668737, "bench_c_p1w": -0.06349727174314768, "ret_p1m": 0.4281180517018559, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4281180517018559, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4949120695233653, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5344631027032909, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0667940178215094, "bench_c_p1m": -0.10634505100143499, "ret_p3m": 2.437393156822507, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.437393156822507, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.3587286398503977, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.085037228598968, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07866451697210941, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3523559282235391, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7388, -0.7366, -0.713, -0.7198, -0.7047, -0.7174, -0.6898, -0.6349, -0.6214, -0.6002, -0.6385, -0.638, -0.6827, -0.6983, -0.658, -0.6424, -0.6285, -0.6427, -0.6336, -0.6336, -0.6248, -0.6439, -0.6144, -0.6009, -0.6009, -0.5909, -0.5931, -0.5077, -0.4115, -0.3695, -0.4389, -0.4572, -0.475, -0.4606, -0.3722, -0.4608, -0.4608, -0.4774, -0.5172, -0.5626, -0.5753, -0.5655, -0.5802, -0.5892, -0.6002, -0.5475, -0.4889, -0.5182, -0.5423, -0.5013, -0.4127, -0.3222, -0.4057, -0.3459, -0.3949, -0.4083, -0.4083, -0.4335, -0.4254, -0.4188, -0.2756, -0.3061, -0.1438, 0.0, -0.094, -0.0749, 0.1306, 0.0193, -0.0449, -0.053, -0.2099, -0.0588, 0.0813, 0.156, 0.1406, 0.1926, 0.1811, 0.0827, 0.1901, 0.4179, 0.3239, 0.5729, 0.6705, 0.6439, 0.4281, 0.4799, 0.287, 0.3908, 0.1506, 0.2897, 0.2897, 0.0249, 0.1096, 0.298, 0.5406, 0.5665, 0.6219, 0.6427, 0.536, 0.9961, 1.0151, 0.9224, 0.8299, 1.122, 0.8372, 0.8589, 0.7122, 0.6771, 0.7347, 0.9336, 1.3432, 1.5873, 1.6251, 1.5587, 1.6463, 1.8401, 2.0708, 1.9998, 1.9763, 1.8064, 2.0212, 1.5843, 1.7552, 1.5533, 1.9539, 2.4374, 2.4374, 2.2365, 1.9966, 1.824, 1.5179, 1.5179, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2026685584190898595", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-25T15:47:51+00:00", "symbol": "IQEPF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If they just pivot to pure play the cut the drag could be rerated quite a bit", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AXTI as a duopoly in InP/feedstock bottlenecks; bullish IQE on potential pure-play pivot re-rating.", "resolved_tickers": ["IQEPF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yep, that’s a good analysis! $AXTI is basically a duopoly in two different bottlenecks (upstream feedstock processing and InP substrates).\n\n$IQE is really critical but most people don’t really do the mapping to $LITE to other hyperscalers.\n\nIt’s probably the largest western epiwafer fab, and landmark is $3.85B MC. vs IQE $150m mainly due to balance sheet and pure play exposure. \n\nIf they just pivot to pure play the cut the drag could be rerated quite a bit", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Good map. Most  stop at $LITE $AAOI the real leverage is upstream. $IQEPF is critical, but not a true monopoly like $AXTI. \n\nIt’s who controls Western-qualified InP capacity under export pressure.\n\nIf geopolitics tightens, hyperscalers won’t want full reliance on Asian epi lines.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "yianisz", "ret_m1d": -0.365461813021305, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.365461813021305, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.3570940739796261, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.34903605757769907, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008367739041678868, "bench_c_m1d": -0.016425755443605916, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.220883504815379, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.220883504815379, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.2264379812070001, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.25408698185426015, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005554476391621099, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03320347703888116, "ret_p1w": 0.48192767407174597, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.48192767407174597, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.4934981460274147, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.5454249458148936, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011570471955668737, "bench_c_p1w": -0.06349727174314768, "ret_p1m": 0.40562247746229274, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.40562247746229274, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.47241649528380214, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5119675284637277, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0667940178215094, "bench_c_p1m": -0.10634505100143499, "ret_p3m": 1.5502007856682187, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.5502007856682187, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.4715362686961093, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.1978448574446796, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07866451697210941, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3523559282235391, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.755, -0.755, -0.755, -0.755, -0.755, -0.755, -0.755, -0.755, -0.755, -0.755, -0.755, -0.755, -0.755, -0.7309, -0.7309, -0.7309, -0.7309, -0.7309, -0.7309, -0.7309, -0.7309, -0.751, -0.751, -0.751, -0.751, -0.751, -0.751, -0.751, -0.6988, -0.6426, -0.5863, -0.4779, -0.4257, -0.4378, -0.4819, -0.4819, -0.4819, -0.502, -0.502, -0.502, -0.502, -0.5462, -0.506, -0.506, -0.5422, -0.5422, -0.5422, -0.5422, -0.5422, -0.5703, -0.5703, -0.5703, -0.4378, -0.4056, -0.4418, -0.4458, -0.4458, -0.4378, -0.4498, -0.4498, -0.3574, -0.3253, -0.3655, 0.0, 0.2209, 0.0281, 0.6466, 0.49, 0.4819, 0.1847, 0.0361, 0.1044, 0.241, 0.3735, 0.1606, 0.2329, 0.2651, 0.1165, 0.3655, 0.2289, 0.1767, 0.3213, 0.3936, 0.5984, 0.4056, 0.2851, 0.2048, 0.3092, 0.3695, 0.261, 0.261, 0.245, 0.2892, 0.498, 0.6627, 1.0402, 1.5863, 1.6707, 1.992, 2.257, 1.9719, 2.2329, 2.3333, 2.3735, 1.6827, 1.6145, 2.1004, 1.2088, 1.1807, 1.4859, 1.2972, 1.4297, 1.6747, 1.5301, 1.3414, 1.6908, 2.1084, 1.6104, 1.7952, 1.7108, 1.49, 1.1124, 0.8072, 1.3253, 1.257, 1.5502, 1.5502, 2.0843, 1.8434, 1.5703, 1.5502, 1.5502, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2025418145654342118", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-22T03:51:31+00:00", "symbol": "XLU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Given the massive AI spend coupled with rate cut tailwinds, I expect 2026 to be the anomaly", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish XLU into 2026: AI-driven rate base expansion + rate cut tailwinds boost EPS and P/E multiples for regulated utilities.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Two things:\n\n1. Mixing up profit margin with TAM\n2. Statement you made conflates ROE with stock market returns. \n\nYou're correct in saying earnings = allowed roe × rate base and roe is capped for regulated utilities. Don't need allowed roe to go up, just rate base to explode (it is now since hyperscalers are paying for grid upgrades)\n\nThe main thing is that one specific metric ROE, does not equate to multifaceted stock performance. \n\nStock % returns are driven by EPS, P/E expansion from rate cuts, future expected growth (especially looking at DC growth from AI inference + capex cycle). \n\nGiven the massive AI spend coupled with rate cut tailwinds, I expect 2026 to be the anomaly.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Question for you (and there is a real chance I'm missing something)\n\nXLU is comprised of ~85% regulated generation, transmission, and distribution monopolies (e.g., NextEra, Southern Co., Duke, AEP). \n\nOnly a ~10–15% minority fraction is allocated to Independent Power Producers", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MarcusMilione", "ret_m1d": -0.007497825652779344, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007497825652779344, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017814487039842897, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017814487039842897, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011139718380374752, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011139718380374752, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0038712654499797328, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0038712654499797328, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "ret_p1w": 0.014781446524965602, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.014781446524965602, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.008934360812073994, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.008934360812073994, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "ret_p1m": -0.027308435051802138, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.027308435051802138, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.012882947272660594, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.012882947272660594, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "ret_p3m": -0.029249938466529124, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.029249938466529124, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12063215530431359, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12063215530431359, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0433, -0.0433, -0.0365, -0.059, -0.0657, -0.0687, -0.0706, -0.0793, -0.0916, -0.091, -0.0914, -0.0848, -0.0893, -0.081, -0.0848, -0.0908, -0.0819, -0.0936, -0.0902, -0.087, -0.0829, -0.0829, -0.0835, -0.0818, -0.0797, -0.0855, -0.0855, -0.075, -0.0853, -0.0808, -0.103, -0.1005, -0.0893, -0.0878, -0.082, -0.0752, -0.0658, -0.0705, -0.0705, -0.0797, -0.0784, -0.085, -0.0883, -0.0816, -0.0696, -0.0718, -0.0718, -0.0735, -0.087, -0.0737, -0.0771, -0.0767, -0.0713, -0.0686, -0.0531, -0.0448, -0.0306, -0.0039, -0.0039, -0.0064, -0.0229, -0.0122, -0.0075, 0.0, 0.0111, 0.0146, 0.0107, 0.0225, 0.0148, 0.0084, 0.0126, 0.0047, 0.0013, 0.0036, -0.0026, -0.0109, -0.0039, 0.006, 0.0124, 0.0096, 0.0011, -0.003, -0.0435, -0.034, -0.0273, -0.0239, -0.0221, -0.0165, -0.0094, -0.0101, -0.0053, -0.0003, -0.0003, -0.004, -0.0019, 0.0091, 0.0171, 0.013, 0.0007, 0.0025, -0.0072, -0.0001, -0.0042, -0.0131, -0.0303, -0.0321, -0.0057, -0.0038, -0.0036, -0.0023, -0.0146, 0.0107, 0.0042, 0.0003, 0.0003, -0.0139, -0.0267, -0.0353, -0.0262, -0.0252, -0.0364, -0.0314, -0.0536, -0.0521, -0.0435, -0.0398, -0.0292, -0.0217, -0.0217, -0.0221, -0.0262, -0.0372, -0.0418, -0.0418, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2032551687089746239", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-13T20:17:39+00:00", "symbol": "KRKNF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Ocean defense names such as $KRKNF, $OPTT, and $CODA that are popular on X for sonar and mine neutralization applications. May finally see more investor attention and possible defense contracts.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on underwater defense names KRKNF, OPTT, and CODA as Iran mine threat drives investor attention and potential defense contracts.", "resolved_tickers": ["KRKNF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Scientific & Technical Instruments'", "bench_c_industry": "Scientific & Technical Instruments", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "WSJ: Iran’s Sea Mines Are One of Its Most Powerful Weapons\n\n“Mines have been among the most destructive weapons that the U.S. Navy has faced”\n\nMore attention is now being poured into the Underwater defense sector.\n\nOcean defense names such as $KRKNF, $OPTT, and $CODA that are popular on X for sonar and mine neutralization applications.\n\nMay finally see more investor attention and possible defense contracts.\n\nEspecially as US media cycles focus on the mines beneath the Strait.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.029069739235228154, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.029069739235228154, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02337741053043696, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0214674899200471, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005692328704791194, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007602249315181053, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.018895365156760935, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.018895365156760935, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008718499045277772, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004421697404271452, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010176866111483163, "bench_c_p1d": 0.014473667752489483, "ret_p1w": -0.05813954777818142, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05813954777818142, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04009799199513442, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04710147756481098, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.018041555783047003, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011038070213370443, "ret_p1m": -0.061046521701704215, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.061046521701704215, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09982669499896346, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12677048652175715, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.038780173297259246, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06572396482005294, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.375, -0.4041, -0.3895, -0.3616, -0.3648, -0.3387, -0.336, -0.336, -0.3096, -0.3285, -0.3218, -0.3215, -0.3215, -0.2815, -0.2462, -0.2533, -0.2302, -0.1642, -0.1744, -0.1206, -0.0858, -0.1692, -0.1584, -0.1629, -0.1629, -0.2006, -0.2049, -0.1555, -0.1148, -0.0974, -0.061, -0.0368, -0.0872, -0.1439, -0.1259, -0.1337, -0.1933, -0.2006, -0.1337, -0.1323, -0.1235, -0.1497, -0.2249, -0.2151, -0.2151, -0.1919, -0.1294, -0.1337, -0.1206, -0.1519, -0.0828, -0.0872, -0.061, -0.0945, -0.0202, -0.0029, -0.0301, -0.0634, -0.1076, -0.0145, 0.0988, 0.0654, 0.0291, 0.0, 0.0189, 0.0698, 0.018, -0.0262, -0.0581, -0.0202, -0.032, -0.0525, -0.1381, -0.1323, -0.2084, -0.1584, -0.1337, -0.1265, -0.1265, -0.1017, -0.1105, -0.1163, -0.1134, -0.1366, -0.061, -0.0945, -0.1017, -0.0581, -0.0654, -0.0683, -0.1285, -0.0858, -0.1282, -0.141, -0.1439, -0.1759, -0.1911, -0.1628, -0.2078, -0.1759, -0.2442, -0.234, -0.2369, -0.2589, -0.2616, -0.2762, -0.2456, -0.2097, -0.2297, -0.2488, -0.2172, -0.1672, -0.19, -0.2286, -0.2286, -0.1439, -0.1352, -0.1788, -0.2061, -0.2061, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2032551687089746239", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-13T20:17:39+00:00", "symbol": "CODA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Ocean defense names such as $KRKNF, $OPTT, and $CODA that are popular on X for sonar and mine neutralization applications. May finally see more investor attention and possible defense contracts.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on underwater defense names KRKNF, OPTT, and CODA as Iran mine threat drives investor attention and potential defense contracts.", "resolved_tickers": ["CODA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "WSJ: Iran’s Sea Mines Are One of Its Most Powerful Weapons\n\n“Mines have been among the most destructive weapons that the U.S. Navy has faced”\n\nMore attention is now being poured into the Underwater defense sector.\n\nOcean defense names such as $KRKNF, $OPTT, and $CODA that are popular on X for sonar and mine neutralization applications.\n\nMay finally see more investor attention and possible defense contracts.\n\nEspecially as US media cycles focus on the mines beneath the Strait.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03129442156839546, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03129442156839546, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.025602092863604264, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.025602092863604264, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005692328704791194, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005692328704791194, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03129448939729207, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03129448939729207, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04147135550877523, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04147135550877523, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010176866111483163, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010176866111483163, "ret_p1w": -0.1557610575176157, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1557610575176157, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1377195017345687, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1377195017345687, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.018041555783047003, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018041555783047003, "ret_p1m": -0.06116647117248153, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06116647117248153, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09994664446974078, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09994664446974078, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.038780173297259246, "bench_c_p1m": 0.038780173297259246, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3414, -0.3684, -0.3457, -0.3329, -0.3201, -0.3414, -0.3215, -0.3215, -0.3343, -0.3698, -0.34, -0.3385, -0.3385, -0.3236, -0.2873, -0.2838, -0.2909, -0.2852, -0.2713, -0.2845, -0.1472, -0.1718, -0.1842, -0.1956, -0.1956, -0.2326, -0.1821, -0.2219, -0.2425, -0.2539, -0.2795, -0.2952, -0.2269, -0.2425, -0.2312, -0.2034, -0.192, -0.2397, -0.1842, -0.1131, -0.0704, -0.1728, -0.0804, -0.0469, -0.0469, -0.0256, -0.0679, -0.0622, -0.043, -0.0164, 0.0128, 0.0533, 0.0135, -0.0356, -0.0043, -0.0192, 0.0057, -0.0057, 0.0242, 0.0633, 0.192, 0.0398, 0.0313, 0.0, -0.0313, -0.0213, -0.0839, -0.0982, -0.1558, -0.143, -0.1508, -0.1508, -0.1785, -0.1899, -0.2255, -0.1963, -0.1735, -0.1543, -0.1543, -0.1615, -0.1679, -0.1451, -0.1195, -0.1309, -0.0612, -0.0825, -0.0747, -0.0484, -0.0562, -0.1049, -0.1451, -0.1422, -0.1245, -0.128, -0.202, -0.2091, -0.2191, -0.1956, -0.1735, -0.1807, -0.1703, -0.1522, -0.1536, -0.1387, -0.1394, -0.1586, -0.17, -0.1515, -0.1871, -0.1871, -0.2091, -0.1935, -0.1885, -0.1558, -0.1558, -0.1174, -0.1138, -0.0825, -0.1081, -0.1081, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2014826579625738691", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-23T22:24:24+00:00", "symbol": "LASR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if you want to invest in Directed Energy Weapons, $LASR is the purest play", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "LASR named the purest play on directed energy weapons following US DoD confirmation; bullish on defence laser exposure.", "resolved_tickers": ["LASR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$LASR (NLight), a $2.2B US company does these directed energy weapons. \n\nThey build the \"Death Ray\" - Lasers that shoot down ballistic and hypersonic missiles.\n\nThis can be adapted to Orbital death rays beaming from Space down to Earth.   \n\nIsrael's Iron Beam system (Laser Air Defense) uses NLight too. \n\nSo if you want to invest in Directed Energy Weapons, $LASR is the purest play.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "BREAKING:\n\nUS Department of War confirms the existence of directed energy weapons. https://t.co/Pe1oZ2lpdx", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0926473859902226, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0926473859902226, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0930100346681888, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0930100346681888, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00036264867796620415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00036264867796620415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007967185788520403, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007967185788520403, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013045332849130231, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013045332849130231, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005078147060609828, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005078147060609828, "ret_p1w": 0.038242665456522884, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.038242665456522884, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.034267204802128415, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.034267204802128415, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003975460654394469, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003975460654394469, "ret_p1m": 0.24516276765185374, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.24516276765185374, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.25508676771294636, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.25508676771294636, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00992400006109262, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00992400006109262, "ret_p3m": 0.6385158856566864, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6385158856566864, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.6038070151137398, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.6038070151137398, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03470887054294658, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03470887054294658, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2581, -0.2618, -0.2814, -0.2486, -0.2627, -0.3041, -0.283, -0.3219, -0.2224, -0.1698, -0.2083, -0.2429, -0.3091, -0.3057, -0.3289, -0.349, -0.326, -0.3477, -0.3096, -0.265, -0.2431, -0.2099, -0.2099, -0.198, -0.2477, -0.2342, -0.2233, -0.1728, -0.1705, -0.1589, -0.1373, -0.1395, -0.1298, -0.1778, -0.1691, -0.1935, -0.211, -0.1817, -0.1416, -0.1295, -0.102, -0.1049, -0.1049, -0.1077, -0.112, -0.1225, -0.1461, -0.1461, -0.1266, -0.1329, -0.1418, -0.1452, -0.0888, -0.089, -0.0537, -0.0275, -0.0173, -0.0023, 0.0002, 0.0002, 0.03, 0.0458, 0.0926, 0.0, -0.008, 0.0226, 0.0467, 0.0724, 0.0382, 0.0945, 0.1377, -0.0016, 0.0492, 0.1637, 0.2427, 0.2046, 0.2483, 0.1935, 0.1901, 0.1901, 0.1584, 0.2372, 0.2675, 0.275, 0.2452, 0.3121, 0.3795, 0.433, 0.2791, 0.5409, 0.4357, 0.5256, 0.4241, 0.3349, 0.3886, 0.4521, 0.5135, 0.4289, 0.425, 0.5593, 0.6194, 0.5602, 0.6135, 0.4969, 0.5923, 0.629, 0.6333, 0.4537, 0.4641, 0.2292, 0.298, 0.3271, 0.3685, 0.3685, 0.3248, 0.3139, 0.3731, 0.4277, 0.488, 0.5903, 0.5222, 0.512, 0.5816, 0.6032, 0.6239, 0.644, 0.6385, 0.6891, 0.7252, 0.5944, 0.4974, 0.4789, 0.59, 0.6158, 0.58, 0.524, 0.6228, 0.5067, 0.6824, 0.9338, 0.9078, 0.8306, 0.8514, 0.7211, 0.6123, 0.5818, 0.623, 0.7398, 0.788, 0.788, 0.8568, 0.8527, 0.8017, 0.6872, 0.6872, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2028109409948508531", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-01T14:05:38+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "That doesn't make Coreweave a good long", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish CRWV (NVDA deal a casino trap) and CRCL at $200; bullish NBIS as an algorithmically oversold neocloud with better FCF profile.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This aged well, $CRWV down ~28% in the past month.\n\nI feel like the best bears would actually be long investors or swing traders.\n\nIf you see red flags, with Coreweave or $CRCL at $200, can always play the other direction instead of avoiding it. \n\nThat being said, $NBIS and others have been being brought down algorithmically with the sector\n\nI’ve noticed this again and again, not all Neoclouds are built the same. \n\n- One Neocloud might have billions in yearly debt interest hurting FCF\n\n- The other Neocloud might not…", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Thinking about buying $CRWV on the $NVDA deal?\n\nHere's the way to think about it:\n\nA casino gives you more money, so you could take on more debt with collateral to gamble.\n\nThen all the extra money goes back to the Casino (aka. $NVDA). \n\nThat doesn't make Coreweave a good long. https://t.co/aVGmvnYlnw", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.019346501573287656, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019346501573287656, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01991475725749403, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01991475725749403, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05470857278031549, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05470857278031549, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04589423429751982, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04589423429751982, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "ret_p1w": -0.046636761656942194, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.046636761656942194, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.034821180733427326, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.034821180733427326, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "ret_p1m": -0.0074311570579961295, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0074311570579961295, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04248858451718762, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04248858451718762, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "ret_p3m": 0.3691223117504401, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3691223117504401, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2667289325845321, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2667289325845321, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0168, 0.0987, 0.1313, 0.1049, 0.1616, 0.1295, 0.1195, 0.0069, -0.073, -0.1095, -0.173, -0.1329, 0.0634, 0.0869, 0.0283, 0.0105, 0.0105, -0.0209, -0.0401, -0.0532, -0.0825, -0.0825, 0.0163, -0.0152, -0.0014, -0.0111, -0.0123, 0.0268, 0.1522, 0.1208, 0.1505, 0.2173, 0.297, 0.297, 0.22, 0.205, 0.176, 0.1913, 0.2596, 0.3947, 0.3584, 0.2752, 0.194, 0.1395, 0.1539, 0.0565, -0.0436, 0.1525, 0.2401, 0.2186, 0.2191, 0.2261, 0.2305, 0.2305, 0.1659, 0.2229, 0.2446, 0.1435, 0.1639, 0.2723, 0.2557, 0.2509, 0.0193, 0.0, -0.0547, 0.0186, -0.0414, -0.0648, -0.0466, -0.0401, 0.0501, 0.0232, 0.0392, 0.1001, 0.0521, 0.0611, 0.0334, 0.0438, 0.0501, 0.0637, 0.1221, 0.0307, -0.0415, -0.114, -0.0074, 0.005, 0.0537, 0.0537, 0.037, 0.0921, 0.139, 0.1787, 0.3069, 0.4128, 0.5016, 0.5207, 0.5318, 0.4971, 0.5045, 0.4755, 0.57, 0.5044, 0.4111, 0.4357, 0.3521, 0.463, 0.4299, 0.5248, 0.607, 0.6386, 0.7678, 0.6507, 0.4625, 0.4696, 0.3805, 0.4261, 0.4634, 0.3748, 0.3295, 0.2788, 0.2976, 0.3783, 0.3516, 0.3516, 0.3567, 0.3359, 0.3691, 0.4033, 0.4033, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2028109409948508531", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-01T14:05:38+00:00", "symbol": "CRCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$CRCL at $200, can always play the other direction instead of avoiding it", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish CRWV (NVDA deal a casino trap) and CRCL at $200; bullish NBIS as an algorithmically oversold neocloud with better FCF profile.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This aged well, $CRWV down ~28% in the past month.\n\nI feel like the best bears would actually be long investors or swing traders.\n\nIf you see red flags, with Coreweave or $CRCL at $200, can always play the other direction instead of avoiding it. \n\nThat being said, $NBIS and others have been being brought down algorithmically with the sector\n\nI’ve noticed this again and again, not all Neoclouds are built the same. \n\n- One Neocloud might have billions in yearly debt interest hurting FCF\n\n- The other Neocloud might not…", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Thinking about buying $CRWV on the $NVDA deal?\n\nHere's the way to think about it:\n\nA casino gives you more money, so you could take on more debt with collateral to gamble.\n\nThen all the extra money goes back to the Casino (aka. $NVDA). \n\nThat doesn't make Coreweave a good long. https://t.co/aVGmvnYlnw", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.1320989913549928, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.1320989913549928, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.13153073567078644, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.13463314639086832, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002534155035875507, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03630120538720649, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03630120538720649, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04511554387000216, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03805556866701976, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0017543632798132647, "ret_p1w": 0.16330348500015313, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.16330348500015313, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.175119065923668, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1822118467999092, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01890836179975608, "ret_p1m": -0.007593049013662312, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.007593049013662312, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04232669256152144, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02508181758723571, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03267486660089802, "ret_p3m": 0.1258581084973871, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.1258581084973871, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.02346472933147914, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12130552382742188, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.004552584669965221, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1025, -0.0903, -0.1094, -0.1267, -0.0755, -0.0804, -0.0787, -0.1318, -0.2151, -0.1367, -0.1762, -0.1576, -0.1041, -0.0951, -0.1395, -0.1404, -0.1404, -0.1547, -0.1626, -0.169, -0.1752, -0.1752, -0.1318, -0.118, -0.1174, -0.1617, -0.1493, -0.1377, -0.1377, -0.1319, -0.118, -0.2032, -0.1823, -0.1823, -0.2438, -0.2444, -0.2579, -0.2581, -0.2625, -0.2723, -0.2424, -0.2974, -0.335, -0.3878, -0.4159, -0.4274, -0.4775, -0.4067, -0.3749, -0.3785, -0.3982, -0.411, -0.3755, -0.3755, -0.3591, -0.3431, -0.3559, -0.3445, -0.3637, -0.3617, -0.1352, -0.0929, -0.1321, 0.0, 0.0363, 0.095, 0.0999, 0.06, 0.1633, 0.2283, 0.1734, 0.1876, 0.2001, 0.3088, 0.3762, 0.3817, 0.3348, 0.3109, 0.3172, 0.0523, 0.0803, 0.0222, -0.0258, -0.0648, -0.0076, -0.0562, -0.0612, -0.0612, -0.0415, -0.021, -0.0177, -0.1148, -0.0843, 0.0264, 0.0973, 0.0976, 0.1177, 0.1016, 0.1063, -0.0012, 0.0855, 0.0403, 0.0366, -0.0073, -0.0186, -0.006, -0.0547, 0.037, 0.2433, 0.1877, 0.2669, 0.178, 0.1823, 0.3705, 0.2861, 0.3165, 0.2885, 0.1858, 0.1586, 0.1549, 0.161, 0.1949, 0.1766, 0.1766, 0.0835, 0.0676, 0.1259, 0.1754, 0.1754, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2028109409948508531", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-01T14:05:38+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS and others have been being brought down algorithmically with the sector", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish CRWV (NVDA deal a casino trap) and CRCL at $200; bullish NBIS as an algorithmically oversold neocloud with better FCF profile.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This aged well, $CRWV down ~28% in the past month.\n\nI feel like the best bears would actually be long investors or swing traders.\n\nIf you see red flags, with Coreweave or $CRCL at $200, can always play the other direction instead of avoiding it. \n\nThat being said, $NBIS and others have been being brought down algorithmically with the sector\n\nI’ve noticed this again and again, not all Neoclouds are built the same. \n\n- One Neocloud might have billions in yearly debt interest hurting FCF\n\n- The other Neocloud might not…", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Thinking about buying $CRWV on the $NVDA deal?\n\nHere's the way to think about it:\n\nA casino gives you more money, so you could take on more debt with collateral to gamble.\n\nThen all the extra money goes back to the Casino (aka. $NVDA). \n\nThat doesn't make Coreweave a good long. https://t.co/aVGmvnYlnw", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0019778079436405527, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0019778079436405527, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0025460636278469284, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00045069612454962105, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0015271118190909316, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04625864174984662, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04625864174984662, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03744430326705095, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.047022132725646926, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0007634909758003072, "ret_p1w": 0.04318207024424714, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04318207024424714, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05499765116776201, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.045812146658927855, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0026300764146807154, "ret_p1m": 0.14009449182206213, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14009449182206213, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.19001423339724588, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.19656548692456421, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.056470995102502086, "ret_p3m": 1.4869793541932705, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.4869793541932705, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.3845859750273626, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.494001484198031, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": -0.007022130004760263, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0869, 0.1295, 0.0772, 0.1024, 0.0593, 0.0283, 0.0359, -0.0365, -0.1084, -0.1105, -0.171, -0.142, -0.017, 0.0244, -0.0108, 0.0013, 0.0013, -0.0376, -0.0546, -0.0642, -0.0803, -0.0803, -0.0116, 0.02, 0.1014, 0.0571, 0.0691, 0.076, 0.1793, 0.1584, 0.1205, 0.1415, 0.1947, 0.1947, 0.091, 0.0864, 0.0642, 0.0383, 0.0049, 0.0754, 0.1035, 0.0429, -0.0639, -0.0313, -0.0116, -0.0947, -0.1883, -0.054, 0.0205, 0.0086, -0.0264, -0.0141, 0.0769, 0.0769, 0.0715, 0.1186, 0.1824, 0.0759, 0.1055, 0.1271, 0.166, 0.1524, 0.002, 0.0, -0.0463, 0.0744, 0.051, -0.0185, 0.0432, 0.0596, 0.2306, 0.1871, 0.2411, 0.4268, 0.2782, 0.3027, 0.3352, 0.2924, 0.2543, 0.2626, 0.2646, 0.1644, 0.1078, 0.0137, 0.1401, 0.1202, 0.1957, 0.1957, 0.2366, 0.29, 0.3735, 0.498, 0.5929, 0.6983, 0.7794, 0.8324, 0.8167, 0.7266, 0.7488, 0.7201, 0.7156, 0.726, 0.617, 0.5928, 0.489, 0.5514, 0.5188, 0.6975, 0.9385, 0.933, 1.1436, 1.0302, 0.9454, 1.0448, 0.968, 1.2774, 1.43, 1.4167, 1.196, 1.1726, 1.1077, 1.4165, 1.3599, 1.3599, 1.2861, 1.2895, 1.487, 1.5392, 1.5392, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2015235113379049741", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-25T01:27:46+00:00", "symbol": "MU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Memory supercycle for a reason with $MU, Samsung, and SK Hynix. This is going to be fun when markets open.", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bullish on MU, Samsung, and SK Hynix into open on DRAM +70% and NAND +100% price hikes signaling memory supercycle.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@jukan05 Wow. I've seen DRAM estimates be ~55% – 60% and NAND ~33–38%.\n\nSo the jump to 100% is just... unbelievable. \n\nMemory supercycle for a reason with $MU, Samsung, and SK Hynix. This is going to be fun when markets open.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Just in: Samsung has raised DRAM prices by 70% in Q1 and is now hiking NAND flash prices by 100% (According to reports from South Korea’s local press)", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jukan05", "ret_m1d": 0.02714026854416307, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02714026854416307, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03219275831867574, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.023955902187538847, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0050524897745126696, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003184366356624224, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05435759085969649, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05435759085969649, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.050373326130011886, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03322025441476706, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003984264729684606, "bench_c_p1d": 0.021137336444929433, "ret_p1w": 0.12518954482328515, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12518954482328515, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1213207519432069, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10224687963987589, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0038687928800782423, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02294266518340926, "ret_p1m": 0.07432730762902162, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07432730762902162, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08209369508999798, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02332686641656423, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007766387460976354, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05100044121245739, "ret_p3m": 0.2385884502360145, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2385884502360145, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.21310256731015742, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.030399299103990085, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025485882925857073, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2081891511320244, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4178, -0.4245, -0.4251, -0.397, -0.4399, -0.3898, -0.3877, -0.3888, -0.3493, -0.3806, -0.3708, -0.3913, -0.3659, -0.3784, -0.413, -0.4196, -0.4827, -0.4673, -0.4247, -0.4232, -0.4084, -0.4084, -0.3925, -0.3822, -0.3847, -0.3984, -0.4177, -0.3906, -0.3656, -0.3515, -0.3225, -0.336, -0.3805, -0.3898, -0.4027, -0.4206, -0.3615, -0.3168, -0.2894, -0.2902, -0.2635, -0.2635, -0.2684, -0.2434, -0.2479, -0.2665, -0.2665, -0.1893, -0.1977, -0.1174, -0.1273, -0.1595, -0.1131, -0.1111, -0.131, -0.1433, -0.1348, -0.0677, -0.0677, -0.0619, 0.0001, 0.0218, 0.0271, 0.0, 0.0544, 0.1187, 0.12, 0.0663, 0.1252, 0.078, -0.0249, -0.0159, 0.0144, -0.0144, -0.0407, 0.0546, 0.0639, 0.058, 0.058, 0.0275, 0.0819, 0.0726, 0.1004, 0.0819, 0.0743, 0.1026, 0.068, 0.0598, 0.0606, -0.0242, 0.03, 0.0205, -0.0483, 0.0006, 0.036, 0.0761, 0.0418, 0.0952, 0.1355, 0.1866, 0.1867, 0.1418, 0.0869, 0.0392, 0.0166, -0.018, -0.0864, -0.0819, -0.1726, -0.1314, -0.0542, -0.0583, -0.0583, -0.0287, -0.0292, 0.0458, 0.0838, 0.0814, 0.0968, 0.1973, 0.173, 0.1756, 0.1701, 0.153, 0.1554, 0.2534, 0.2386, 0.2772, 0.3487, 0.2966, 0.3331, 0.3297, 0.3941, 0.4822, 0.6461, 0.7139, 0.6626, 0.9202, 1.0449, 0.971, 1.0663, 0.9953, 0.8632, 0.7524, 0.7966, 0.8821, 0.9595, 0.931, 0.931, 1.3035, 1.3871, 1.3745, 1.4966, 1.4966, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2015235113379049741", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-25T01:27:46+00:00", "symbol": "005930.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Memory supercycle for a reason with $MU, Samsung, and SK Hynix. This is going to be fun when markets open.", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bullish on MU, Samsung, and SK Hynix into open on DRAM +70% and NAND +100% price hikes signaling memory supercycle.", "resolved_tickers": ["005930.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@jukan05 Wow. I've seen DRAM estimates be ~55% – 60% and NAND ~33–38%.\n\nSo the jump to 100% is just... unbelievable. \n\nMemory supercycle for a reason with $MU, Samsung, and SK Hynix. This is going to be fun when markets open.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Just in: Samsung has raised DRAM prices by 70% in Q1 and is now hiking NAND flash prices by 100% (According to reports from South Korea’s local press)", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jukan05", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0050524897745126696, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006777205222007088, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0050524897745126696, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006777205222007088, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.048652228216711224, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.048652228216711224, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04466796348702662, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03516653004304571, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003984264729684606, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013485698173665517, "ret_p1w": -0.011176829852671766, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.011176829852671766, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.015045622732750008, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.005563340661362881, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0038687928800782423, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005613489191308885, "ret_p1m": 0.31492441086551537, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.31492441086551537, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3226907983264917, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3543549001418518, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007766387460976354, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03943048927633641, "ret_p3m": 0.4790577142361261, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4790577142361261, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.453571831310269, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.41091867364976475, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025485882925857073, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06813904058636133, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3424, -0.3189, -0.2966, -0.2731, -0.3137, -0.3418, -0.351, -0.3595, -0.3418, -0.3228, -0.3254, -0.3274, -0.364, -0.3418, -0.3601, -0.3686, -0.3418, -0.3797, -0.3673, -0.3503, -0.3274, -0.3228, -0.3424, -0.3405, -0.3235, -0.3163, -0.3123, -0.2908, -0.2836, -0.2908, -0.2934, -0.298, -0.2875, -0.3143, -0.3274, -0.294, -0.296, -0.3045, -0.277, -0.2705, -0.2731, -0.2731, -0.2345, -0.2143, -0.2117, -0.2117, -0.2117, -0.1552, -0.092, -0.0868, -0.073, -0.0874, -0.0861, -0.0874, -0.0953, -0.0776, -0.0539, -0.021, -0.0184, -0.0454, -0.0171, 0.0013, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0487, 0.0677, 0.0565, 0.0552, -0.0112, 0.1012, 0.1118, 0.0473, 0.0427, 0.094, 0.0901, 0.1032, 0.1742, 0.1913, 0.1913, 0.1913, 0.1913, 0.2492, 0.2498, 0.2689, 0.3149, 0.3379, 0.4333, 0.4234, 0.4234, 0.2827, 0.1321, 0.2597, 0.2373, 0.1407, 0.2354, 0.2492, 0.2354, 0.2064, 0.2406, 0.2748, 0.3708, 0.3182, 0.311, 0.2249, 0.2472, 0.2426, 0.1841, 0.1841, 0.1615, 0.1016, 0.2495, 0.1753, 0.2267, 0.2722, 0.2946, 0.3868, 0.344, 0.3572, 0.3242, 0.3605, 0.3901, 0.4329, 0.4231, 0.4132, 0.4428, 0.4329, 0.4791, 0.4461, 0.4791, 0.4626, 0.4889, 0.4527, 0.4527, 0.5318, 0.5318, 0.7525, 0.7887, 0.7689, 0.8809, 0.8381, 0.8711, 0.9501, 0.7821, 0.8513, 0.8151, 0.8184, 0.9732, 0.9271, 0.9271, 0.9699, 1.0226, 0.9732, 1.0885, 1.2828, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2015235113379049741", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-25T01:27:46+00:00", "symbol": "000660.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Memory supercycle for a reason with $MU, Samsung, and SK Hynix. This is going to be fun when markets open.", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Bullish on MU, Samsung, and SK Hynix into open on DRAM +70% and NAND +100% price hikes signaling memory supercycle.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@jukan05 Wow. I've seen DRAM estimates be ~55% – 60% and NAND ~33–38%.\n\nSo the jump to 100% is just... unbelievable. \n\nMemory supercycle for a reason with $MU, Samsung, and SK Hynix. This is going to be fun when markets open.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Just in: Samsung has raised DRAM prices by 70% in Q1 and is now hiking NAND flash prices by 100% (According to reports from South Korea’s local press)", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jukan05", "ret_m1d": 0.04211959400443055, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04211959400443055, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04717208377894322, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03657917866544569, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0050524897745126696, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005540415338984861, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08695651803959126, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08695651803959126, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08297225330990665, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.041099057526357674, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003984264729684606, "bench_c_p1d": 0.04585746051323358, "ret_p1w": 0.1277174044839562, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1277174044839562, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12384861160387794, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09694685709440631, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0038687928800782423, "bench_c_p1w": 0.030770547389549874, "ret_p1m": 0.36548918534981745, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.36548918534981745, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3732555728107938, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.13338891746910675, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007766387460976354, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2321002678807107, "ret_p3m": 0.6674735127329907, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6674735127329907, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.6419876298071336, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3838901788631546, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025485882925857073, "bench_c_p3m": 0.28358333386983614, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2424, -0.2288, -0.241, -0.1582, -0.2044, -0.2139, -0.1949, -0.2125, -0.1772, -0.1596, -0.1623, -0.1691, -0.2397, -0.1772, -0.2261, -0.237, -0.2247, -0.2926, -0.294, -0.2953, -0.2886, -0.2609, -0.2799, -0.269, -0.2418, -0.25, -0.2636, -0.2609, -0.216, -0.231, -0.2024, -0.2323, -0.2242, -0.2473, -0.2799, -0.2514, -0.25, -0.2568, -0.212, -0.2065, -0.2011, -0.2011, -0.1861, -0.1304, -0.1155, -0.1155, -0.1155, -0.0802, -0.0543, -0.0136, 0.0082, 0.0272, 0.0109, 0.0177, 0.0027, 0.0082, 0.0177, 0.0272, 0.038, 0.0095, 0.0054, 0.0258, 0.0421, 0.0, 0.087, 0.1427, 0.1698, 0.2351, 0.1277, 0.2323, 0.2228, 0.144, 0.1399, 0.2052, 0.1902, 0.1685, 0.2065, 0.1957, 0.1957, 0.1957, 0.1957, 0.2147, 0.2894, 0.2921, 0.3655, 0.3832, 0.496, 0.4442, 0.4442, 0.2782, 0.1557, 0.2809, 0.2578, 0.138, 0.2768, 0.2999, 0.2659, 0.2387, 0.3258, 0.3204, 0.4374, 0.3789, 0.3707, 0.27, 0.3421, 0.3544, 0.27, 0.27, 0.1883, 0.0985, 0.221, 0.1298, 0.1924, 0.206, 0.2469, 0.4061, 0.3585, 0.398, 0.4157, 0.5014, 0.5463, 0.5722, 0.5354, 0.5872, 0.6661, 0.6648, 0.6675, 0.6634, 0.7587, 0.7696, 0.76, 0.7505, 0.7505, 0.9697, 0.9697, 1.1793, 1.2514, 1.295, 1.5591, 1.4978, 1.6897, 1.6816, 1.476, 1.5046, 1.3753, 1.3753, 1.6407, 1.6421, 1.6421, 1.7932, 2.0532, 2.1163, 2.1762, 2.2422, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2027842426736677249", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-28T20:24:44+00:00", "symbol": "AMZN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "hyperscalers like $AMZN won't pull back orders this time as 800g/1.6T it's genuinely a bottleneck with no end to capacity relief in sight", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AMZN: hyperscaler orders won't slow given 800G/1.6T networking is a genuine bottleneck with no capacity relief.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMZN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yep lot of people have PTSD from management in the past. I just felt the risk-reward was extremely asymmetrical if they deliver even 65%% of their guidance. \n\nAlso I do feel like hyperscalers like $AMZN won't pull back orders this time as 800g/1.6T it's genuinely a bottleneck with no end to capacity relief in sight.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit But have to acknowledge management has bad record in the past… they over promised and under delivered. But even they only achieve 70% it’s still very attractive", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "yuntungshieh", "ret_m1d": 0.007725901507112054, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007725901507112054, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00829415719131843, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004750253448765784, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": 0.012476154955877838, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0016315386481426941, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0016315386481426941, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010445877130938364, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.010815403452496541, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009183864804353847, "ret_p1w": 0.024473372611224065, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.024473372611224065, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03628895353473893, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03166452328077296, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007191150669548896, "ret_p1m": -0.0005758199411629583, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0005758199411629583, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04934392163402079, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05332363337057011, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05389945331173307, "ret_p3m": 0.3148423667283271, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3148423667283271, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.21244898756241914, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.25518897287837317, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05965339384995394, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1151, 0.0994, 0.1014, 0.0888, 0.0937, 0.1122, 0.105, 0.0854, 0.0679, 0.068, 0.0618, 0.0882, 0.091, 0.0962, 0.114, 0.1151, 0.1151, 0.1158, 0.1136, 0.1158, 0.1076, 0.1076, 0.0869, 0.1184, 0.1561, 0.1592, 0.1819, 0.1871, 0.1827, 0.1642, 0.1356, 0.143, 0.1475, 0.1475, 0.1085, 0.11, 0.1245, 0.1477, 0.1441, 0.1741, 0.1661, 0.16, 0.1483, 0.1659, 0.1451, 0.118, 0.0686, 0.0093, 0.0016, -0.0069, -0.0207, -0.0422, -0.0461, -0.0461, -0.0347, -0.0173, -0.0169, 0.0083, -0.015, 0.0008, 0.0108, -0.0023, 0.0077, 0.0, 0.0016, 0.0405, 0.0506, 0.0231, 0.0245, 0.0285, 0.0204, 0.0055, -0.0035, 0.0161, 0.0327, 0.0071, 0.0018, -0.0145, 0.0084, -0.0055, 0.0159, -0.0041, -0.0434, -0.0357, -0.0006, 0.0105, 0.0066, 0.0066, 0.0211, 0.0258, 0.0617, 0.1212, 0.1439, 0.1512, 0.195, 0.1925, 0.1982, 0.2024, 0.1914, 0.1992, 0.2254, 0.2241, 0.2668, 0.253, 0.2462, 0.2622, 0.2719, 0.2873, 0.3055, 0.3127, 0.3196, 0.3013, 0.3085, 0.2908, 0.2756, 0.2963, 0.2823, 0.2675, 0.271, 0.2445, 0.2717, 0.2883, 0.278, 0.278, 0.273, 0.3045, 0.3148, 0.2987, 0.2987, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2024563428220940628", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-19T19:15:10+00:00", "symbol": "CEG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$CEG, $VVST and others are independent so they have more pricing power... power capacity prices are skyrocking", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on independent power producers CEG and VVST (and XLU) on pricing power + AI-driven demand exceeding supply funding historic grid expansion.", "resolved_tickers": ["CEG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Utilities - Independent Power Producers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@adenois few things, $CEG, $VVST and others are independent so they have more pricing power. they're also a large % of $XLU concentration +  power capacity prices are skyrocking.\n\nAnd with AI, yes demand &gt; supply and mag7 is largely funding this new historic grid expansion.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Makes sense due to the low IV. Any thoughts on regulatory overhang that limits pricing power? Or is your thesis, demand&gt;supply will eventually end up adding to the bottomline of these companies?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "adenois", "ret_m1d": 0.008194432478701108, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.008194432478701108, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005550024085836158, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005550024085836158, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0026444083928649498, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0026444083928649498, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010903068664850801, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010903068664850801, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.003671204075727852, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.003671204075727852, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007231864589122949, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007231864589122949, "ret_p1w": 0.10937393587231425, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10937393587231425, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10233207526746324, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10233207526746324, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0070418606048510135, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0070418606048510135, "ret_p1m": -0.031859425433749644, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.031859425433749644, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.018015949835295975, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.018015949835295975, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04987537526904562, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04987537526904562, "ret_p3m": -0.10366567294739637, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.10366567294739637, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17854566196024835, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17854566196024835, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07487998901285198, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07487998901285198, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2141, 0.2055, 0.2312, 0.2312, 0.2493, 0.2311, 0.2469, 0.2386, 0.2639, 0.2337, 0.2263, 0.2314, 0.2414, 0.2981, 0.2068, 0.2245, 0.2536, 0.1691, 0.2379, 0.2185, 0.2268, 0.2389, 0.2479, 0.2479, 0.2359, 0.2286, 0.2244, 0.2112, 0.2112, 0.2557, 0.217, 0.2157, 0.161, 0.1059, 0.1744, 0.1515, 0.1436, 0.1328, 0.1699, 0.055, 0.055, 0.0128, 0.0093, -0.0148, -0.0089, -0.0219, -0.0099, -0.0127, -0.0144, -0.0376, -0.0712, -0.0796, -0.1413, -0.1529, -0.1037, -0.0669, -0.0704, -0.0508, -0.0533, -0.0111, -0.0111, 0.0389, 0.0082, 0.0, 0.0109, 0.0073, 0.0719, 0.1172, 0.1094, 0.131, 0.1217, 0.1139, 0.1069, 0.1386, 0.0939, 0.1089, 0.0886, 0.0323, 0.0353, 0.0361, 0.0491, 0.0564, 0.0891, 0.0865, -0.0319, -0.0052, 0.0123, 0.0414, 0.0135, 0.0351, 0.0252, -0.0413, -0.0405, -0.0633, -0.0633, -0.0553, -0.0642, -0.024, -0.0378, -0.0164, 0.0015, 0.0183, 0.0119, 0.027, 0.017, -0.0127, -0.0466, -0.0141, 0.0052, 0.0764, 0.0821, 0.0496, 0.0197, 0.0746, 0.0568, 0.1022, 0.1001, 0.1082, 0.0687, 0.0424, 0.0289, 0.008, -0.0562, -0.055, -0.0812, -0.0991, -0.1037, -0.0329, -0.0172, 0.0112, 0.0112, 0.037, -0.0074, -0.0155, -0.0105, -0.0105, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2024563428220940628", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-19T19:15:10+00:00", "symbol": "XLU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "they're also a large % of $XLU concentration + power capacity prices are skyrocking", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on independent power producers CEG and VVST (and XLU) on pricing power + AI-driven demand exceeding supply funding historic grid expansion.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@adenois few things, $CEG, $VVST and others are independent so they have more pricing power. they're also a large % of $XLU concentration +  power capacity prices are skyrocking.\n\nAnd with AI, yes demand &gt; supply and mag7 is largely funding this new historic grid expansion.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Makes sense due to the low IV. Any thoughts on regulatory overhang that limits pricing power? Or is your thesis, demand&gt;supply will eventually end up adding to the bottomline of these companies?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "adenois", "ret_m1d": -0.010843636267906964, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010843636267906964, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.013488044660771914, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.013488044660771914, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0026444083928649498, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0026444083928649498, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004771259940194339, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004771259940194339, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0024606046489286104, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0024606046489286104, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007231864589122949, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007231864589122949, "ret_p1w": 0.023205408272127803, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.023205408272127803, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01616354766727679, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01616354766727679, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0070418606048510135, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0070418606048510135, "ret_p1m": -0.031663331261166494, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.031663331261166494, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.018212044007879125, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.018212044007879125, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04987537526904562, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04987537526904562, "ret_p3m": -0.0316634145699376, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0316634145699376, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.10654340358278958, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10654340358278958, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07487998901285198, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07487998901285198, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0405, -0.0441, -0.0314, -0.0314, -0.0245, -0.0474, -0.0541, -0.0572, -0.0591, -0.0679, -0.0804, -0.0798, -0.0802, -0.0735, -0.078, -0.0696, -0.0735, -0.0795, -0.0705, -0.0823, -0.0789, -0.0757, -0.0716, -0.0716, -0.0722, -0.0705, -0.0683, -0.0742, -0.0742, -0.0635, -0.074, -0.0694, -0.092, -0.0894, -0.0781, -0.0766, -0.0707, -0.0638, -0.0542, -0.059, -0.059, -0.0683, -0.067, -0.0737, -0.077, -0.0703, -0.0581, -0.0603, -0.0603, -0.062, -0.0757, -0.0622, -0.0657, -0.0653, -0.0599, -0.057, -0.0414, -0.033, -0.0187, 0.0085, 0.0085, 0.0059, -0.0108, 0.0, 0.0048, 0.0124, 0.0236, 0.0271, 0.0232, 0.0351, 0.0273, 0.0208, 0.0252, 0.0171, 0.0137, 0.016, 0.0098, 0.0013, 0.0085, 0.0184, 0.0249, 0.0221, 0.0134, 0.0093, -0.0317, -0.0221, -0.0153, -0.0118, -0.01, -0.0044, 0.0028, 0.0022, 0.007, 0.012, 0.012, 0.0083, 0.0105, 0.0216, 0.0297, 0.0256, 0.0131, 0.0149, 0.005, 0.0122, 0.0081, -0.0009, -0.0183, -0.0201, 0.0066, 0.0085, 0.0087, 0.01, -0.0024, 0.0232, 0.0166, 0.0127, 0.0127, -0.0017, -0.0146, -0.0234, -0.0142, -0.0131, -0.0245, -0.0194, -0.0419, -0.0404, -0.0317, -0.028, -0.0172, -0.0096, -0.0096, -0.01, -0.0142, -0.0253, -0.0299, -0.0299, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2018724759262085467", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-03T16:34:23+00:00", "symbol": "CRCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I really, really like $CRCL at $54. Valuation has been completely reset back to $12B MC.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strongly bullish CRCL at $54/$12B MC; USDC supply $70B+ and stablecoin growth thesis intact despite price reset from $150-200.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I really, really like $CRCL at $54. \n\nValuation has been completely reset back to $12B MC. \n\nEveryone was rushing to buy it back at $150-200 but at $54, it's a ghost town. USDC supply still $70B+ and I expect stablecoins to continue growing in usage. https://t.co/R2Habycf7d", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.048076936792653235, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.048076936792653235, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03954943697039259, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.038736357267290744, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008527499822260642, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009340579525362491, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01976496818674245, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01976496818674245, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.014921046507845315, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.027797886634705726, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004843921678897134, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008032918447963278, "ret_p1w": 0.06392450431520658, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06392450431520658, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06016841024829622, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06355081523540851, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0037560940669103537, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0003736890797980674, "ret_p1m": 0.874465757284316, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.874465757284316, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.8808469810388994, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.9123883583035696, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.006381223754583387, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0379226010192536, "ret_p3m": 0.7752848507679693, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7752848507679693, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.72729839251757, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.8003756693196802, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.047986458250399266, "bench_c_p3m": -0.025090818551710914, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.7808, 0.8365, 0.8536, 0.7504, 0.5367, 0.4662, 0.4582, 0.3638, 0.364, 0.2415, 0.1918, 0.2701, 0.2952, 0.2484, 0.2934, 0.2934, 0.4233, 0.3522, 0.3789, 0.5365, 0.5573, 0.5246, 0.495, 0.5826, 0.5743, 0.5771, 0.4863, 0.3437, 0.4779, 0.4103, 0.4421, 0.5337, 0.5491, 0.4731, 0.4715, 0.4715, 0.4471, 0.4336, 0.4225, 0.412, 0.412, 0.4863, 0.51, 0.5109, 0.435, 0.4564, 0.4761, 0.4761, 0.4861, 0.51, 0.364, 0.3998, 0.3998, 0.2945, 0.2934, 0.2705, 0.2701, 0.2625, 0.2457, 0.297, 0.2028, 0.1384, 0.0481, 0.0, -0.0198, -0.1056, 0.0157, 0.0702, 0.0639, 0.0303, 0.0084, 0.0691, 0.0691, 0.0972, 0.1245, 0.1026, 0.1222, 0.0892, 0.0928, 0.4804, 0.5529, 0.4858, 0.7119, 0.774, 0.8745, 0.8828, 0.8146, 0.9915, 1.1027, 1.0087, 1.0331, 1.0545, 1.2406, 1.3559, 1.3654, 1.2851, 1.2441, 1.255, 0.8015, 0.8494, 0.7498, 0.6677, 0.601, 0.6989, 0.6157, 0.6072, 0.6072, 0.6408, 0.6759, 0.6816, 0.5153, 0.5677, 0.7571, 0.8784, 0.8789, 0.9135, 0.8859, 0.8939, 0.7098, 0.8583, 0.7808, 0.7746, 0.6994, 0.68, 0.7016, 0.6182, 0.7753, 1.1284, 1.0333, 1.1688, 1.0166, 1.024, 1.3462, 1.2017, 1.2537, 1.2058, 1.0299, 0.9834, 0.977, 0.9875, 1.0456, 1.0142, 1.0142, 0.8549, 0.8276, 0.9274, 1.0121, 1.0121, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2036448156280561850", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-24T14:20:50+00:00", "symbol": "Magnificent 7", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "risk/reward feels on hyperscaler spend vs. ROI vs. macro climates, feels compelling. And we should see capital rotations back into the American tech sector soon", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Selloff in Mag7 has gone too far; risk/reward compelling on hyperscaler spend, expects rotation back into US tech.", "resolved_tickers": ["MAGS"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Magnificent 7 ETF MAGS", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Feel like Mag7 selloff from $META at $593 to $MSFT at $373…\n\nHas gone a bit too far? \n\nAt this point, risk/reward feels on hyperscaler spend vs. ROI vs. macro climates, feels compelling.\n\nAnd we should see capital rotations back into the American tech sector soon. https://t.co/KBCi7gMfGT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01316015176640839, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01316015176640839, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009791995620016314, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009791995620016314, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0075201239792945795, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0075201239792945795, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.001947365031908621, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.001947365031908621, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "ret_p1w": -0.009741919521034093, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.009741919521034093, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.00539401258549177, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.00539401258549177, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "ret_p1m": 0.13553246192718826, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13553246192718826, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04669013676785139, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04669013676785139, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1482, 0.1452, 0.1363, 0.135, 0.1273, 0.1273, 0.1169, 0.1261, 0.122, 0.1263, 0.126, 0.1343, 0.1329, 0.1278, 0.1106, 0.1125, 0.1092, 0.1092, 0.0757, 0.0877, 0.1097, 0.1215, 0.1266, 0.1374, 0.1372, 0.1345, 0.1306, 0.1307, 0.1123, 0.0954, 0.0737, 0.0786, 0.0911, 0.0867, 0.08, 0.055, 0.0451, 0.0451, 0.0472, 0.0543, 0.0526, 0.0699, 0.0528, 0.0649, 0.0814, 0.0643, 0.0485, 0.053, 0.0475, 0.0636, 0.0624, 0.0424, 0.0549, 0.0585, 0.0622, 0.0417, 0.0244, 0.0405, 0.0448, 0.0289, 0.0178, -0.0024, 0.0132, 0.0, 0.0075, -0.0253, -0.0523, -0.0533, -0.0097, 0.0029, -0.0041, -0.0041, -0.0022, -0.0038, 0.0224, 0.0378, 0.0449, 0.0555, 0.0872, 0.1154, 0.1162, 0.1357, 0.1239, 0.1162, 0.1355, 0.1166, 0.1378, 0.1465, 0.1427, 0.1379, 0.1321, 0.1429, 0.1446, 0.147, 0.1701, 0.1774, 0.1899, 0.1868, 0.1813, 0.2054, 0.2124, 0.1936, 0.1871, 0.1713, 0.1877, 0.1878, 0.1854, 0.1854, 0.1901, 0.202, 0.2112, 0.2085, 0.2085, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2036448156280561850", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-24T14:20:50+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Mag7 selloff from $META at $593", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Selloff in Mag7 has gone too far; risk/reward compelling on hyperscaler spend, expects rotation back into US tech.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Feel like Mag7 selloff from $META at $593 to $MSFT at $373…\n\nHas gone a bit too far? \n\nAt this point, risk/reward feels on hyperscaler spend vs. ROI vs. macro climates, feels compelling.\n\nAnd we should see capital rotations back into the American tech sector soon. https://t.co/KBCi7gMfGT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01878839467302207, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01878839467302207, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.015420238526629992, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004570794834054315, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014217599838967754, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0033225929215809913, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0033225929215809913, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.002250166025804967, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0005330203880611339, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0027895725335198573, "ret_p1w": -0.0350637162291324, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0350637162291324, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03071580929359008, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0326341594061379, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0024295568229945053, "ret_p1m": 0.13796125978328466, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13796125978328466, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.049118934623947785, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07722158402672474, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06073967575655992, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1249, 0.1177, 0.11, 0.1222, 0.1123, 0.1123, 0.096, 0.1101, 0.1132, 0.0931, 0.0887, 0.1005, 0.0818, 0.0635, 0.0372, 0.0461, 0.0452, 0.0452, 0.018, 0.0329, 0.0913, 0.1101, 0.133, 0.134, 0.1269, 0.2441, 0.2074, 0.1904, 0.1656, 0.1273, 0.1294, 0.1146, 0.1412, 0.1302, 0.1268, 0.095, 0.0781, 0.0781, 0.0773, 0.0839, 0.0865, 0.1049, 0.0738, 0.0773, 0.1015, 0.1071, 0.0923, 0.1013, 0.1039, 0.1252, 0.1131, 0.0867, 0.0909, 0.1022, 0.1035, 0.0754, 0.0342, 0.0582, 0.0502, 0.0384, 0.0232, 0.0012, 0.0188, 0.0, 0.0033, -0.0765, -0.1133, -0.0954, -0.0351, -0.0231, -0.0311, -0.0311, -0.0336, -0.0301, 0.0329, 0.0598, 0.0623, 0.0702, 0.1173, 0.1327, 0.1416, 0.1613, 0.1315, 0.128, 0.138, 0.1117, 0.1385, 0.1445, 0.1323, 0.1285, 0.032, 0.0267, 0.0295, 0.0203, 0.0337, 0.0403, 0.0282, 0.01, 0.017, 0.04, 0.043, 0.0359, 0.0308, 0.0163, 0.0205, 0.0244, 0.0292, 0.0292, 0.0328, 0.0714, 0.0715, 0.0668, 0.0668, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2036448156280561850", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-24T14:20:50+00:00", "symbol": "MSFT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$MSFT at $373", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Selloff in Mag7 has gone too far; risk/reward compelling on hyperscaler spend, expects rotation back into US tech.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSFT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Feel like Mag7 selloff from $META at $593 to $MSFT at $373…\n\nHas gone a bit too far? \n\nAt this point, risk/reward feels on hyperscaler spend vs. ROI vs. macro climates, feels compelling.\n\nAnd we should see capital rotations back into the American tech sector soon. https://t.co/KBCi7gMfGT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.027525965643455663, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.027525965643455663, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.024157809497063587, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.024157809497063587, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004560720873527657, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004560720873527657, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010133479820913616, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010133479820913616, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "ret_p1w": -0.006894824692778578, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.006894824692778578, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0025469177572362556, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0025469177572362556, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "ret_p1m": 0.16145307993478908, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.16145307993478908, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0726107547754522, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0726107547754522, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3063, 0.3055, 0.3038, 0.3049, 0.2945, 0.2945, 0.2659, 0.2657, 0.2808, 0.2941, 0.2798, 0.2829, 0.2773, 0.2599, 0.2296, 0.2224, 0.2309, 0.2309, 0.2166, 0.1888, 0.2076, 0.2472, 0.2588, 0.2864, 0.2892, 0.1604, 0.1518, 0.1332, 0.1007, 0.1087, 0.0537, 0.0737, 0.1071, 0.1062, 0.0824, 0.0756, 0.0742, 0.0742, 0.0623, 0.0696, 0.069, 0.0657, 0.0315, 0.0436, 0.0747, 0.0777, 0.0537, 0.0692, 0.0837, 0.0871, 0.1018, 0.0972, 0.0984, 0.0886, 0.0862, 0.0781, 0.0612, 0.073, 0.0716, 0.0511, 0.0437, 0.0245, 0.0275, 0.0, -0.0046, -0.0182, -0.0428, -0.037, -0.0069, -0.009, 0.0019, 0.0019, 0.0004, -0.0012, 0.0043, 0.0009, -0.005, 0.0312, 0.0546, 0.1032, 0.1275, 0.1343, 0.1216, 0.138, 0.1615, 0.1154, 0.1392, 0.1397, 0.1516, 0.1388, 0.094, 0.1119, 0.1097, 0.1037, 0.1106, 0.1289, 0.1137, 0.1071, 0.094, 0.0871, 0.0984, 0.1319, 0.1363, 0.1199, 0.1296, 0.1268, 0.1254, 0.1254, 0.1186, 0.1095, 0.148, 0.2105, 0.2105, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2029964452515430670", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-06T16:56:55+00:00", "symbol": "AEHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I went long on $AEHR for this segment", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds a long position in AEHR as a play on thermal/test equipment for high-performance semiconductors and photonics.", "resolved_tickers": ["AEHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@thephillydegen I went long on $AEHR for this segment", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Seriously check out some of the testing. It’s gonna be needed. The thermal and test equipment is needed to validate high-performance semiconductors and photonics components. That’s what $INTT is doing.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "thephillydegen", "ret_m1d": 0.13704018490515435, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.13704018490515435, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.12375897117201284, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.09817638250920058, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013281213733141506, "bench_c_m1d": 0.03886380239595377, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.14799214735850708, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.14799214735850708, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.139232122345468, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.1117035262548991, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008760025013039074, "bench_c_p1d": 0.036288621103607976, "ret_p1w": 0.0016848513778544572, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0016848513778544572, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.016691218415984754, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.016104693127882763, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.015006367038130297, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01778954450573722, "ret_p1m": 0.464757061314107, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.464757061314107, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.48208423423084756, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.42423779095816205, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017327172916740574, "bench_c_p1m": 0.040519270355944936, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3114, -0.2744, -0.2578, -0.3126, -0.3564, -0.385, -0.3965, -0.3971, -0.3875, -0.3651, -0.3606, -0.3802, -0.3802, -0.3974, -0.4283, -0.4288, -0.433, -0.433, -0.3777, -0.3404, -0.3055, -0.321, -0.3625, -0.2609, -0.26, -0.2471, -0.2707, -0.255, -0.191, -0.191, -0.1839, -0.18, -0.132, -0.2126, -0.248, -0.2207, -0.2143, -0.2452, -0.28, -0.2682, -0.2365, -0.3308, -0.3541, -0.2589, -0.2252, -0.2466, -0.0494, -0.2168, -0.1901, -0.1901, -0.1999, -0.1853, -0.15, -0.0564, -0.0362, 0.1017, 0.1648, 0.1177, 0.0511, 0.2365, 0.1693, 0.198, 0.137, 0.0, 0.148, 0.1783, 0.1921, 0.0573, 0.0017, 0.0525, 0.0416, 0.0197, 0.0604, -0.0306, 0.0432, 0.1005, 0.096, -0.0292, -0.0868, -0.1542, 0.0413, 0.112, 0.2446, 0.2446, 0.4648, 0.4111, 0.7737, 0.9337, 0.9778, 1.0124, 1.0887, 1.0562, 1.2704, 1.355, 1.5316, 1.6318, 1.7341, 1.6821, 1.6933, 1.4847, 1.3148, 1.2974, 1.5431, 1.6136, 1.4041, 1.5608, 1.7164, 1.5628, 1.7304, 1.9363, 1.7161, 1.8995, 1.9862, 1.7942, 1.3468, 1.2786, 1.3123, 1.5639, 1.6684, 1.6684, 2.0868, 1.9155, 1.8079, 1.5928, 1.5928, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2034107901330219089", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-18T03:21:30+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I bought $AAOI $28-32. And I'm a heavier buyer at $88-$90. I don't see how this company should be worth anywhere close to $6.4B if they get even close to these capacity targets.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AAOI; actively buying and believes current market cap of $6.4B vastly undervalues the company's capacity potential.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@k_a_y_b_e_e_ I bought $AAOI $28-32. And I’m a heavier buyer at $88-$90.\n\nI don’t see how this company should be worth anywhere close to $6.4B if they get even close to these capacity targets.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I DCA'd the hell out of it at 86. Bought deep in the money leaps. At 37.  Thought it's better than common stock", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "k_a_y_b_e_e_", "ret_m1d": -0.06801247553886569, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06801247553886569, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08216358042540872, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08216358042540872, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.014151104886543031, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014151104886543031, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10029149509863067, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10029149509863067, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10275583558382251, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10275583558382251, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0024643404851918405, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0024643404851918405, "ret_p1w": 0.2351290840385698, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2351290840385698, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.239386832975081, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.239386832975081, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0042577489365112076, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0042577489365112076, "ret_p1m": 0.6983699880053034, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6983699880053034, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.63465013576395, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.63465013576395, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06371985224135335, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06371985224135335, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6619, -0.5779, -0.5613, -0.5574, -0.5574, -0.5987, -0.6033, -0.6111, -0.6237, -0.6237, -0.5725, -0.6223, -0.5832, -0.5892, -0.6436, -0.6325, -0.636, -0.631, -0.6279, -0.6006, -0.6001, -0.6001, -0.5762, -0.5857, -0.5881, -0.6144, -0.6233, -0.5964, -0.5117, -0.5728, -0.5292, -0.5233, -0.5021, -0.5693, -0.5884, -0.5218, -0.4828, -0.4765, -0.4775, -0.5251, -0.52, -0.52, -0.526, -0.531, -0.4928, -0.4421, -0.4175, -0.3925, -0.3726, -0.4204, -0.0907, 0.1067, 0.0293, 0.0764, 0.0919, 0.0318, 0.1942, 0.3008, 0.3712, 0.1464, 0.0451, 0.0155, -0.068, 0.0, 0.1003, -0.0549, 0.0338, 0.2296, 0.2351, 0.0517, 0.0602, -0.0803, -0.0868, -0.0678, 0.1218, 0.1218, 0.16, 0.27, 0.4326, 0.4391, 0.6258, 0.6538, 0.5804, 0.5389, 0.6984, 0.721, 0.7648, 0.6255, 0.6131, 0.4869, 0.7507, 0.5738, 0.4818, 0.6499, 0.7744, 0.9811, 0.8674, 0.9494, 0.9275, 0.7009, 0.6079, 0.9961, 1.0326, 1.4085, 1.1977, 1.0551, 0.8705, 0.8496, 0.7841, 0.9088, 0.9593, 0.9593, 0.9175, 0.9414, 0.8247, 0.7101, 0.7101, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2022283819374854167", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-13T12:16:49+00:00", "symbol": "EWY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$EWY long options seem mispriced. Long calls should benefit from both Samsung + Sk Hynix carrying the index.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long EWY calls: index IV (~32%) mispriced vs Samsung/SK Hynix volatility; vega expansion expected as memory supercycle reprices forward vol upward.", "resolved_tickers": ["EWY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Trade idea that I published to my shower thoughts channel: \n\nKorean Index volatility arbitrage and taking advantage of Black-Scholes models. \n\n$EWY long options seem mispriced.\n\nThis is Blackrock's Korea Index, which is majority memory (Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix).\n\nThe stock swings 2-5+% a day, and is up 136.25% 1Y, despite priced like a normal index IV.\n\nSamsung is volatile. SK Hynix is volatile (eg. 65% - 80% est). \n\nBut the combination of the two through the index is priced way less than both low beta $GOOGL (37.33%) and $AMZN (39.12%) at ~32% IV. \n\nI've been watching $EWY for a bit and it does look volatile. \n\nAs for pricing my guess is MMs priced in IV based on historical averages (5-10 years), where the Korean index was completely flat. And were expecting calls 2 years out to revert to the mean. \n\nBut this volatility should be the new norm as markets price in the new memory supercycle (eg. $TSM went from 30% IV to 46.2% IV). \n\nLong calls should benefit from both Samsung + Sk Hynix carrying the index. \n\nAnd the main benefit is vega expansion that you won't get from $KORU. \n\nYou also can't get this option MM pinning like individual US stocks since this is Korea's national index and long term. \n\nTLDR: Individual components SK Hynix + Samsung are highly volatile.\n\nThey're basically half of the index, but options in index are priced with low volatility, perhaps due to historical 5-10 year data.  \n\nLong calls benefit from vega expansion that weren't priced in correctly as MM forward vol estimates are anchored too heavily on historical realized vol, which was low for $EWY over the past 5-10 years", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "These numbers are staggering:\n\nSamsung and SK Hynix are projected to become the most profitable companies in the world by 2027.\n\nTheir projections exceed $APPL and $GOOGL, both ~$4T companies in operating profit.\n\nFor reference, Samsung is valued at ~$820B and SK Hynix is valued https://t.co/uW629DkHr3", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.023662000000455596, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.023662000000455596, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.022958010457061362, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.022958010457061362, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0007039895433942345, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0007039895433942345, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.05904309614119052, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05904309614119052, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0477779168716268, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0477779168716268, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011265179269563719, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011265179269563719, "ret_p1m": -0.006493954685827474, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.006493954685827474, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.012163832962845622, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.012163832962845622, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.018657787648673096, "bench_c_p1m": -0.018657787648673096, "ret_p3m": 0.40800181506352384, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.40800181506352384, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3161979697832251, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3161979697832251, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09180384528029872, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09180384528029872, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3314, -0.3389, -0.3537, -0.3487, -0.3408, -0.3445, -0.3316, -0.3316, -0.3366, -0.3384, -0.3279, -0.3211, -0.3293, -0.3116, -0.306, -0.3023, -0.2937, -0.3068, -0.3235, -0.323, -0.3318, -0.3388, -0.3277, -0.3182, -0.3151, -0.3081, -0.2939, -0.2939, -0.2846, -0.2631, -0.2639, -0.2743, -0.2743, -0.237, -0.2175, -0.1968, -0.2011, -0.2044, -0.1872, -0.1869, -0.1973, -0.1816, -0.1711, -0.1623, -0.1623, -0.1717, -0.1367, -0.1342, -0.1194, -0.1243, -0.0841, -0.0628, -0.0707, -0.0863, -0.0973, -0.072, -0.1023, -0.1027, -0.0691, -0.0591, -0.0711, -0.0252, -0.0237, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0246, -0.0078, 0.0093, 0.059, 0.0398, 0.079, 0.1114, 0.1227, 0.1299, 0.1013, -0.0122, 0.003, -0.0614, -0.054, -0.0006, -0.0274, -0.0084, -0.0782, -0.0733, -0.0065, 0.0034, -0.0156, 0.0063, -0.0611, -0.0012, -0.039, -0.0465, -0.1044, -0.097, -0.1309, -0.0818, -0.0578, -0.0829, -0.0829, -0.0599, -0.0506, 0.0455, 0.0397, 0.0355, 0.0542, 0.0949, 0.0817, 0.1008, 0.137, 0.1203, 0.0957, 0.1629, 0.1241, 0.1538, 0.1699, 0.1523, 0.1492, 0.2, 0.2092, 0.2211, 0.2948, 0.3584, 0.3193, 0.4197, 0.4395, 0.3324, 0.408, 0.4221, 0.3351, 0.3145, 0.2989, 0.3444, 0.3915, 0.3587, 0.3587, 0.4977, 0.4801, 0.5407, 0.5364, 0.5364, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2025863154362884493", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-23T09:19:49+00:00", "symbol": "^KS11", "kind": "index", "geography": "Korea", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "KOSPI, $EWY, Samsung, and SK Hynix are getting sent to the moon", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on KOSPI, EWY, Samsung, and SK Hynix following South Korea's political development.", "resolved_tickers": ["EWY"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "^KS11 is KOSPI; EWY is the tradable proxy", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "TIL: South Korea’s President was a day trader?\n\nNow I understand why KOSPI, $EWY, Samsung, and SK Hynix are getting sent to the moon. https://t.co/9YqBHkxdjI", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.018521190054074044, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.018521190054074044, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008204528667010491, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008204528667010491, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.037688441385384186, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.037688441385384186, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030419988454989166, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030419988454989166, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "ret_p1w": 0.05915283599321519, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05915283599321519, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05330575028032358, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05330575028032358, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "ret_p1m": -0.0757358422155805, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0757358422155805, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03554445989111776, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03554445989111776, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "ret_p3m": 0.33826269981975354, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.33826269981975354, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.24688048298196907, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.24688048298196907, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3572, -0.3572, -0.362, -0.3638, -0.3536, -0.347, -0.355, -0.3379, -0.3325, -0.329, -0.3207, -0.3333, -0.3494, -0.3489, -0.3574, -0.3641, -0.3534, -0.3443, -0.3413, -0.3345, -0.3209, -0.3209, -0.312, -0.2913, -0.292, -0.3021, -0.3021, -0.2662, -0.2475, -0.2275, -0.2317, -0.2348, -0.2183, -0.218, -0.228, -0.2129, -0.2028, -0.1944, -0.1944, -0.2034, -0.1697, -0.1673, -0.1531, -0.1578, -0.1192, -0.0986, -0.1062, -0.1212, -0.1319, -0.1075, -0.1367, -0.137, -0.1047, -0.0951, -0.1066, -0.0625, -0.061, -0.0383, -0.0383, -0.0619, -0.0457, -0.0294, 0.0185, 0.0, 0.0377, 0.0688, 0.0798, 0.0866, 0.0592, -0.05, -0.0354, -0.0973, -0.0902, -0.0388, -0.0646, -0.0463, -0.1134, -0.1088, -0.0445, -0.035, -0.0533, -0.0322, -0.0971, -0.0394, -0.0757, -0.083, -0.1386, -0.1315, -0.1642, -0.1169, -0.0939, -0.1179, -0.1179, -0.0959, -0.0869, 0.0055, -0.0001, -0.0041, 0.0139, 0.053, 0.0403, 0.0587, 0.0935, 0.0775, 0.0538, 0.1184, 0.081, 0.1096, 0.1251, 0.1082, 0.1052, 0.1541, 0.163, 0.1744, 0.2453, 0.3064, 0.2688, 0.3654, 0.3844, 0.2814, 0.3541, 0.3677, 0.284, 0.2642, 0.2492, 0.293, 0.3383, 0.3067, 0.3067, 0.4404, 0.4235, 0.4818, 0.4776, 0.4776, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2025863154362884493", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-23T09:19:49+00:00", "symbol": "EWY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "KOSPI, $EWY, Samsung, and SK Hynix are getting sent to the moon", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on KOSPI, EWY, Samsung, and SK Hynix following South Korea's political development.", "resolved_tickers": ["EWY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "TIL: South Korea’s President was a day trader?\n\nNow I understand why KOSPI, $EWY, Samsung, and SK Hynix are getting sent to the moon. https://t.co/9YqBHkxdjI", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.018521190054074044, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.018521190054074044, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008204528667010491, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008204528667010491, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.037688441385384186, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.037688441385384186, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030419988454989166, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030419988454989166, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "ret_p1w": 0.05915283599321519, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05915283599321519, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05330575028032358, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05330575028032358, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "ret_p1m": -0.0757358422155805, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0757358422155805, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03554445989111776, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03554445989111776, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "ret_p3m": 0.33826269981975354, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.33826269981975354, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.24688048298196907, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.24688048298196907, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3572, -0.3572, -0.362, -0.3638, -0.3536, -0.347, -0.355, -0.3379, -0.3325, -0.329, -0.3207, -0.3333, -0.3494, -0.3489, -0.3574, -0.3641, -0.3534, -0.3443, -0.3413, -0.3345, -0.3209, -0.3209, -0.312, -0.2913, -0.292, -0.3021, -0.3021, -0.2662, -0.2475, -0.2275, -0.2317, -0.2348, -0.2183, -0.218, -0.228, -0.2129, -0.2028, -0.1944, -0.1944, -0.2034, -0.1697, -0.1673, -0.1531, -0.1578, -0.1192, -0.0986, -0.1062, -0.1212, -0.1319, -0.1075, -0.1367, -0.137, -0.1047, -0.0951, -0.1066, -0.0625, -0.061, -0.0383, -0.0383, -0.0619, -0.0457, -0.0294, 0.0185, 0.0, 0.0377, 0.0688, 0.0798, 0.0866, 0.0592, -0.05, -0.0354, -0.0973, -0.0902, -0.0388, -0.0646, -0.0463, -0.1134, -0.1088, -0.0445, -0.035, -0.0533, -0.0322, -0.0971, -0.0394, -0.0757, -0.083, -0.1386, -0.1315, -0.1642, -0.1169, -0.0939, -0.1179, -0.1179, -0.0959, -0.0869, 0.0055, -0.0001, -0.0041, 0.0139, 0.053, 0.0403, 0.0587, 0.0935, 0.0775, 0.0538, 0.1184, 0.081, 0.1096, 0.1251, 0.1082, 0.1052, 0.1541, 0.163, 0.1744, 0.2453, 0.3064, 0.2688, 0.3654, 0.3844, 0.2814, 0.3541, 0.3677, 0.284, 0.2642, 0.2492, 0.293, 0.3383, 0.3067, 0.3067, 0.4404, 0.4235, 0.4818, 0.4776, 0.4776, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2025863154362884493", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-23T09:19:49+00:00", "symbol": "005930.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Samsung, and SK Hynix are getting sent to the moon", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on KOSPI, EWY, Samsung, and SK Hynix following South Korea's political development.", "resolved_tickers": ["005930.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "TIL: South Korea’s President was a day trader?\n\nNow I understand why KOSPI, $EWY, Samsung, and SK Hynix are getting sent to the moon. https://t.co/9YqBHkxdjI", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.015025855706159885, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.015025855706159885, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.025342517093223438, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.032063117250343054, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01703726154418317, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03626946073682302, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03626946073682302, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.029001007806428003, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.023274982215576, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "bench_c_p1d": 0.012994478521247022, "ret_p1w": 0.12176170889254245, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12176170889254245, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11591462317965084, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.11439822988666881, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007363479005873641, "ret_p1m": -0.01709838473024672, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.01709838473024672, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.023092997594216014, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0012109257509007598, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01588745897934596, "ret_p3m": 0.5550254955061809, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5550254955061809, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4636432786683964, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.264077910400387, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2909475851057939, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4699, -0.4663, -0.4818, -0.4802, -0.4668, -0.4612, -0.4581, -0.4411, -0.4354, -0.4411, -0.4431, -0.4467, -0.4385, -0.4596, -0.4699, -0.4436, -0.4452, -0.4519, -0.4302, -0.4251, -0.4271, -0.4271, -0.3967, -0.3808, -0.3788, -0.3788, -0.3788, -0.3342, -0.2845, -0.2803, -0.2694, -0.2808, -0.2798, -0.2808, -0.287, -0.2731, -0.2544, -0.2285, -0.2264, -0.2477, -0.2254, -0.2109, -0.2119, -0.2119, -0.1736, -0.1585, -0.1674, -0.1684, -0.2207, -0.1321, -0.1238, -0.1746, -0.1782, -0.1378, -0.1409, -0.1306, -0.0746, -0.0611, -0.0611, -0.0611, -0.0611, -0.0155, -0.015, 0.0, 0.0363, 0.0544, 0.1295, 0.1218, 0.1218, 0.0109, -0.1078, -0.0073, -0.0249, -0.101, -0.0264, -0.0155, -0.0264, -0.0492, -0.0223, 0.0047, 0.0803, 0.0389, 0.0332, -0.0347, -0.0171, -0.0207, -0.0668, -0.0668, -0.0846, -0.1319, -0.0153, -0.0737, -0.0332, 0.0026, 0.0202, 0.0929, 0.0592, 0.0696, 0.0436, 0.0722, 0.0955, 0.1293, 0.1215, 0.1137, 0.1371, 0.1293, 0.1656, 0.1397, 0.1656, 0.1526, 0.1734, 0.1449, 0.1449, 0.2072, 0.2072, 0.3811, 0.4096, 0.3941, 0.4823, 0.4486, 0.4745, 0.5369, 0.4045, 0.459, 0.4304, 0.433, 0.555, 0.5187, 0.5187, 0.5524, 0.594, 0.555, 0.6459, 0.7991, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2025863154362884493", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-02-23T09:19:49+00:00", "symbol": "000660.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "SK Hynix are getting sent to the moon", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on KOSPI, EWY, Samsung, and SK Hynix following South Korea's political development.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "TIL: South Korea’s President was a day trader?\n\nNow I understand why KOSPI, $EWY, Samsung, and SK Hynix are getting sent to the moon. https://t.co/9YqBHkxdjI", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0021030678409936776, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0021030678409936776, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01241972922805723, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02062425789506772, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "bench_c_m1d": 0.018521190054074044, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05678237073880332, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05678237073880332, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0495139178084083, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.019093929353419137, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "bench_c_p1d": 0.037688441385384186, "ret_p1w": 0.1177264266713467, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1177264266713467, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11187934095845509, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.058573590678131504, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05915283599321519, "ret_p1m": 0.03871650696868412, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03871650696868412, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07890788929314685, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11445234918426461, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0757358422155805, "ret_p3m": 1.043722158765949, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.043722158765949, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.9523399419281646, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.7054594589461956, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "bench_c_p3m": 0.33826269981975354, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4494, -0.428, -0.4427, -0.4343, -0.4132, -0.4196, -0.4301, -0.428, -0.3933, -0.4048, -0.3828, -0.4059, -0.3996, -0.4175, -0.4427, -0.4206, -0.4196, -0.4248, -0.3901, -0.3859, -0.3817, -0.3817, -0.3701, -0.327, -0.3155, -0.3155, -0.3155, -0.2881, -0.2681, -0.2366, -0.2198, -0.205, -0.2177, -0.2124, -0.224, -0.2198, -0.2124, -0.205, -0.1966, -0.2187, -0.2219, -0.2061, -0.1935, -0.2261, -0.1588, -0.1157, -0.0946, -0.0442, -0.1272, -0.0463, -0.0536, -0.1146, -0.1178, -0.0673, -0.0789, -0.0957, -0.0662, -0.0747, -0.0747, -0.0747, -0.0747, -0.0599, -0.0021, 0.0, 0.0568, 0.0705, 0.1578, 0.1177, 0.1177, -0.0108, -0.1056, -0.0087, -0.0266, -0.1193, -0.0118, 0.0061, -0.0203, -0.0413, 0.0261, 0.0219, 0.1125, 0.0672, 0.0608, -0.0171, 0.0387, 0.0482, -0.0171, -0.0171, -0.0803, -0.1499, -0.055, -0.1256, -0.0772, -0.0666, -0.035, 0.0882, 0.0514, 0.0819, 0.0956, 0.162, 0.1967, 0.2168, 0.1883, 0.2283, 0.2894, 0.2884, 0.2905, 0.2873, 0.3611, 0.3695, 0.3621, 0.3548, 0.3548, 0.5244, 0.5244, 0.6866, 0.7424, 0.7761, 0.9805, 0.9331, 1.0816, 1.0753, 0.9163, 0.9384, 0.8383, 0.8383, 1.0437, 1.0448, 1.0448, 1.1617, 1.3629, 1.4118, 1.4581, 1.5092, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2032260350457102748", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-13T00:59:59+00:00", "symbol": "MU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The explosive increase in operating margins from memory makers across the board are poised to outweigh any macro", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish all memory names (MU, SNDK, SK Hynix, Samsung) on no H2-2027 price correction, hyperscaler demand outstripping supply, and surging operating margins.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Memory Price Market Research from Counterpoint:\n\n\"There is no scenario where memory prices correct in the second half [of 2027], given that hyperscaler purchasing intent remains unbroken\"\n\nIn regards to $SNDK, $MU, $EWY (Sk Hynix, Samsung), and other memory names.\n\nThey commented: DRAM output from Samsung, SK Hynix, Micron, CXMT, and Nanya is forecast to grow 26% this year, with NAND up 24%. \n\nBut hyperscaler demand will likely far outstrip supply for the foreseeable future. \n\nThis mirrors $INTC CEO's comments about \"No Relief on Memory Shortage Until 2028\". \n\nWith NAND prices Q1 increasing 100% + Samsung hiking NAND prices Q2. \n\nAnd DRAM prices going through constant price hikes. \n\nThe explosive increase in operating margins from memory makers across the board are poised to outweigh any macro.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04876452303822332, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04876452303822332, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05445685174301451, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05082999263335275, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005692328704791194, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002065469595129432, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.036772746535659984, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.036772746535659984, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02659588042417682, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.019758760828567867, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010176866111483163, "bench_c_p1d": 0.017013985707092116, "ret_p1w": -0.007579903801271937, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.007579903801271937, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.010461651981775066, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0008931084906088627, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.018041555783047003, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006686795310663074, "ret_p1m": 0.0014295473458301178, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0014295473458301178, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03735062595142913, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14317585814134604, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.038780173297259246, "bench_c_p1m": 0.14460540548717615, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4546, -0.471, -0.417, -0.3762, -0.3512, -0.3519, -0.3275, -0.3275, -0.332, -0.3092, -0.3133, -0.3302, -0.3302, -0.2598, -0.2675, -0.1941, -0.2032, -0.2326, -0.1902, -0.1883, -0.2065, -0.2177, -0.21, -0.1487, -0.1487, -0.1435, -0.0869, -0.067, -0.0621, -0.0869, -0.0373, 0.0215, 0.0227, -0.0264, 0.0274, -0.0157, -0.1097, -0.1015, -0.0738, -0.1, -0.1241, -0.0371, -0.0285, -0.034, -0.034, -0.0618, -0.0122, -0.0206, 0.0048, -0.0121, -0.0191, 0.0067, -0.0248, -0.0323, -0.0316, -0.109, -0.0595, -0.0682, -0.131, -0.0864, -0.054, -0.0175, -0.0488, 0.0, 0.0368, 0.0834, 0.0835, 0.0426, -0.0076, -0.0511, -0.0718, -0.1033, -0.1658, -0.1617, -0.2445, -0.2069, -0.1364, -0.1402, -0.1402, -0.1131, -0.1136, -0.0451, -0.0104, -0.0126, 0.0014, 0.0932, 0.0711, 0.0734, 0.0684, 0.0528, 0.055, 0.1445, 0.1309, 0.1661, 0.2315, 0.1839, 0.2172, 0.2141, 0.2729, 0.3533, 0.503, 0.5649, 0.5181, 0.7533, 0.8672, 0.7997, 0.8867, 0.8218, 0.7013, 0.6, 0.6404, 0.7185, 0.7892, 0.7631, 0.7631, 1.1032, 1.1796, 1.1681, 1.2796, 1.2796, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2032260350457102748", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-13T00:59:59+00:00", "symbol": "SNDK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The explosive increase in operating margins from memory makers across the board are poised to outweigh any macro", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish all memory names (MU, SNDK, SK Hynix, Samsung) on no H2-2027 price correction, hyperscaler demand outstripping supply, and surging operating margins.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNDK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Memory Price Market Research from Counterpoint:\n\n\"There is no scenario where memory prices correct in the second half [of 2027], given that hyperscaler purchasing intent remains unbroken\"\n\nIn regards to $SNDK, $MU, $EWY (Sk Hynix, Samsung), and other memory names.\n\nThey commented: DRAM output from Samsung, SK Hynix, Micron, CXMT, and Nanya is forecast to grow 26% this year, with NAND up 24%. \n\nBut hyperscaler demand will likely far outstrip supply for the foreseeable future. \n\nThis mirrors $INTC CEO's comments about \"No Relief on Memory Shortage Until 2028\". \n\nWith NAND prices Q1 increasing 100% + Samsung hiking NAND prices Q2. \n\nAnd DRAM prices going through constant price hikes. \n\nThe explosive increase in operating margins from memory makers across the board are poised to outweigh any macro.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06468968306404932, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06468968306404932, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07038201176884051, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07038201176884051, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005692328704791194, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005692328704791194, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0634956773913462, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0634956773913462, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05331881127986304, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05331881127986304, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010176866111483163, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010176866111483163, "ret_p1w": 0.07268526829657107, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07268526829657107, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09072682407961807, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09072682407961807, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.018041555783047003, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018041555783047003, "ret_p1m": 0.4396481470172182, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4396481470172182, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.40086797371995897, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.40086797371995897, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.038780173297259246, "bench_c_p1m": 0.038780173297259246, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6836, -0.6874, -0.6683, -0.6409, -0.6357, -0.6298, -0.622, -0.622, -0.6221, -0.6308, -0.6369, -0.6412, -0.6412, -0.584, -0.5857, -0.4716, -0.4656, -0.4944, -0.4296, -0.4116, -0.4108, -0.4138, -0.3815, -0.3748, -0.3748, -0.3151, -0.2423, -0.2391, -0.2838, -0.2884, -0.2723, -0.2025, -0.1849, -0.129, 0.0055, 0.0512, -0.1165, -0.1291, -0.0962, -0.1182, -0.1813, -0.0941, -0.0474, -0.053, -0.053, -0.1074, -0.0925, -0.0613, -0.0176, 0.0074, -0.0349, -0.0442, -0.0147, -0.0397, -0.0643, -0.1454, -0.0946, -0.1451, -0.203, -0.1102, -0.0646, -0.0094, -0.0647, 0.0, 0.0635, 0.0885, 0.1392, 0.167, 0.0727, 0.0618, 0.0618, 0.0245, -0.0883, -0.0692, -0.1347, -0.0397, 0.047, 0.0604, 0.0604, 0.0952, 0.0743, 0.1803, 0.2871, 0.2874, 0.4396, 0.4275, 0.3478, 0.3897, 0.392, 0.38, 0.3656, 0.4798, 0.4093, 0.4962, 0.6175, 0.515, 0.6085, 0.6573, 0.7941, 0.8982, 1.1256, 1.1311, 1.0253, 1.3614, 1.339, 1.1946, 1.1874, 1.0899, 1.1275, 1.0148, 1.0908, 1.1048, 1.331, 1.235, 1.235, 1.4025, 1.4031, 1.4812, 1.5619, 1.5619, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2032260350457102748", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-03-13T00:59:59+00:00", "symbol": "Samsung Electronics", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The explosive increase in operating margins from memory makers across the board are poised to outweigh any macro", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish all memory names (MU, SNDK, SK Hynix, Samsung) on no H2-2027 price correction, hyperscaler demand outstripping supply, and surging operating margins.", "resolved_tickers": ["005930.KS"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Samsung Electronics listed on KOSPI as 005930.KS", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Memory Price Market Research from Counterpoint:\n\n\"There is no scenario where memory prices correct in the second half [of 2027], given that hyperscaler purchasing intent remains unbroken\"\n\nIn regards to $SNDK, $MU, $EWY (Sk Hynix, Samsung), and other memory names.\n\nThey commented: DRAM output from Samsung, SK Hynix, Micron, CXMT, and Nanya is forecast to grow 26% this year, with NAND up 24%. \n\nBut hyperscaler demand will likely far outstrip supply for the foreseeable future. \n\nThis mirrors $INTC CEO's comments about \"No Relief on Memory Shortage Until 2028\". \n\nWith NAND prices Q1 increasing 100% + Samsung hiking NAND prices Q2. \n\nAnd DRAM prices going through constant price hikes. \n\nThe explosive increase in operating margins from memory makers across the board are poised to outweigh any macro.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.023978258224455873, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.023978258224455873, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01828592951966468, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01637600890927482, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005692328704791194, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007602249315181053, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.028337910510316755, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.028337910510316755, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.018161044398833592, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.013864242757827272, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010176866111483163, "bench_c_p1d": 0.014473667752489483, "ret_p1w": 0.08664849448050993, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08664849448050993, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10469005026355693, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09768656469388037, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.018041555783047003, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011038070213370443, "ret_p1m": 0.09763508445834379, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09763508445834379, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.058854911161084544, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03191111963829085, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.038780173297259246, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06572396482005294, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4425, -0.4148, -0.4165, -0.4235, -0.4007, -0.3953, -0.3975, -0.3975, -0.3655, -0.3488, -0.3466, -0.3466, -0.3466, -0.2997, -0.2474, -0.2431, -0.2316, -0.2436, -0.2425, -0.2436, -0.2501, -0.2354, -0.2158, -0.1886, -0.1864, -0.2087, -0.1853, -0.17, -0.1711, -0.1711, -0.1308, -0.115, -0.1243, -0.1253, -0.1804, -0.0872, -0.0785, -0.1319, -0.1357, -0.0932, -0.0965, -0.0856, -0.0267, -0.0125, -0.0125, -0.0125, -0.0125, 0.0354, 0.036, 0.0518, 0.0899, 0.109, 0.188, 0.1798, 0.1798, 0.0632, -0.0616, 0.0441, 0.0256, -0.0545, 0.024, 0.0354, 0.024, 0.0, 0.0283, 0.0567, 0.1362, 0.0926, 0.0866, 0.0153, 0.0338, 0.03, -0.0185, -0.0185, -0.0372, -0.0869, 0.0357, -0.0258, 0.0168, 0.0545, 0.0731, 0.1495, 0.114, 0.1249, 0.0976, 0.1277, 0.1522, 0.1877, 0.1795, 0.1714, 0.1959, 0.1877, 0.226, 0.1987, 0.226, 0.2123, 0.2342, 0.2041, 0.2041, 0.2697, 0.2697, 0.4526, 0.4826, 0.4662, 0.5591, 0.5236, 0.5509, 0.6164, 0.4772, 0.5345, 0.5045, 0.5072, 0.6355, 0.5973, 0.5973, 0.6328, 0.6765, 0.6355, 0.7311, 0.8922, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2032260350457102748", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-03-13T00:59:59+00:00", "symbol": "SK Hynix", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The explosive increase in operating margins from memory makers across the board are poised to outweigh any macro", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish all memory names (MU, SNDK, SK Hynix, Samsung) on no H2-2027 price correction, hyperscaler demand outstripping supply, and surging operating margins.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "SK Hynix listed on KOSPI as 000660.KS", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Memory Price Market Research from Counterpoint:\n\n\"There is no scenario where memory prices correct in the second half [of 2027], given that hyperscaler purchasing intent remains unbroken\"\n\nIn regards to $SNDK, $MU, $EWY (Sk Hynix, Samsung), and other memory names.\n\nThey commented: DRAM output from Samsung, SK Hynix, Micron, CXMT, and Nanya is forecast to grow 26% this year, with NAND up 24%. \n\nBut hyperscaler demand will likely far outstrip supply for the foreseeable future. \n\nThis mirrors $INTC CEO's comments about \"No Relief on Memory Shortage Until 2028\". \n\nWith NAND prices Q1 increasing 100% + Samsung hiking NAND prices Q2. \n\nAnd DRAM prices going through constant price hikes. \n\nThe explosive increase in operating margins from memory makers across the board are poised to outweigh any macro.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02197798725418787, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02197798725418787, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.016285658549396675, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02721360157468722, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005692328704791194, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005235614320499349, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07032961416764305, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07032961416764305, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06015274805615989, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0017606352696162286, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010176866111483163, "bench_c_p1d": 0.07209024943725928, "ret_p1w": 0.1065933686991356, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1065933686991356, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12463492448218261, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09346411188573, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.018041555783047003, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013129256813405599, "ret_p1m": 0.14285712323062794, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14285712323062794, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10407694993336869, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.005281658134078215, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.038780173297259246, "bench_c_p1m": 0.13757546509654972, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4187, -0.3956, -0.3945, -0.4, -0.3638, -0.3594, -0.355, -0.355, -0.343, -0.298, -0.2859, -0.2859, -0.2859, -0.2574, -0.2366, -0.2037, -0.1861, -0.1708, -0.1839, -0.1784, -0.1905, -0.1861, -0.1784, -0.1708, -0.162, -0.185, -0.1883, -0.1719, -0.1587, -0.1927, -0.1225, -0.0775, -0.0556, -0.0029, -0.0896, -0.0051, -0.0128, -0.0764, -0.0797, -0.0271, -0.0391, -0.0567, -0.026, -0.0347, -0.0347, -0.0347, -0.0347, -0.0194, 0.0409, 0.0431, 0.1024, 0.1166, 0.2077, 0.1659, 0.1659, 0.0319, -0.067, 0.0341, 0.0154, -0.0813, 0.0308, 0.0495, 0.022, 0.0, 0.0703, 0.0659, 0.1604, 0.1132, 0.1066, 0.0253, 0.0835, 0.0934, 0.0253, 0.0253, -0.0407, -0.1132, -0.0143, -0.0879, -0.0374, -0.0264, 0.0066, 0.1352, 0.0967, 0.1286, 0.1429, 0.2121, 0.2484, 0.2692, 0.2396, 0.2813, 0.3451, 0.344, 0.3462, 0.3429, 0.4198, 0.4286, 0.4209, 0.4132, 0.4132, 0.5901, 0.5901, 0.7593, 0.8176, 0.8527, 1.0659, 1.0165, 1.1714, 1.1648, 0.9989, 1.022, 0.9176, 0.9176, 1.1319, 1.133, 1.133, 1.2549, 1.4648, 1.5158, 1.5642, 1.6175, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2027486356549865530", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-27T20:49:50+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI is probably going a lot than this. They have 3 hyperscaler clients looking to buy all the 800G/1.6T transcievers they can produce with $4B+ ARR revenue foretasted off 900%+ y/y growth.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AAOI even at elevated price: 3 hyperscaler clients absorbing all 800G/1.6T output, $4B+ ARR on 900%+ growth.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@xoRachelPitzel $AAOI is probably going a lot than this. \n\nThey have 3 hyperscaler clients looking to buy all the 800G/1.6T transcievers they can produce with $4B+ ARR revenue foretasted off 900%+ y/y growth. \n\n\"they would like to buy all the transceiver we can make for 800G and 1.6\"", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Confirming you think even at the elevated price it’s still a buy? This one is newer to me, thx", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "xoRachelPitzel", "ret_m1d": -0.3625786953944201, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.3625786953944201, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.3674038085726452, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.3674038085726452, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.21702478987010654, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.21702478987010654, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.21645621108777524, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.21645621108777524, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "ret_p1w": 0.1347500655559073, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1347500655559073, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15459001236840897, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15459001236840897, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "ret_p1m": 0.011397353035883961, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.011397353035883961, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08762893098965874, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08762893098965874, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "ret_p3m": 1.1349874707828982, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.1349874707828982, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.0380187816928927, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.0380187816928927, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6911, -0.6955, -0.6885, -0.6843, -0.6695, -0.6393, -0.5847, -0.5688, -0.6194, -0.645, -0.6562, -0.6778, -0.6527, -0.6282, -0.5359, -0.5175, -0.5132, -0.5132, -0.5587, -0.5637, -0.5724, -0.5861, -0.5861, -0.5299, -0.5846, -0.5416, -0.5482, -0.6081, -0.5959, -0.5997, -0.5942, -0.5908, -0.5607, -0.5603, -0.5603, -0.5339, -0.5443, -0.5471, -0.5759, -0.5858, -0.5561, -0.463, -0.5302, -0.4823, -0.4757, -0.4525, -0.5263, -0.5473, -0.4741, -0.4312, -0.4243, -0.4254, -0.4777, -0.4722, -0.4722, -0.4787, -0.4843, -0.4422, -0.3864, -0.3594, -0.3319, -0.31, -0.3626, 0.0, 0.217, 0.1319, 0.1838, 0.2008, 0.1348, 0.3133, 0.4305, 0.5079, 0.2607, 0.1494, 0.1168, 0.0249, 0.0997, 0.21, 0.0393, 0.1369, 0.3522, 0.3583, 0.1566, 0.166, 0.0114, 0.0043, 0.0252, 0.2336, 0.2336, 0.2757, 0.3967, 0.5754, 0.5826, 0.788, 0.8187, 0.738, 0.6924, 0.8677, 0.8927, 0.9408, 0.7876, 0.774, 0.6352, 0.9253, 0.7307, 0.6296, 0.8144, 0.9513, 1.1787, 1.0537, 1.1438, 1.1197, 0.8705, 0.7683, 1.1952, 1.2353, 1.6487, 1.4168, 1.26, 1.057, 1.0341, 0.962, 1.0991, 1.1547, 1.1547, 1.1087, 1.135, 1.0066, 0.8807, 0.8807, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2028893030330318868", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-03T17:59:28+00:00", "symbol": "AEHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Feels more likely for it to happen than not given the weekly news of orders this year", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish AEHR approaching inflection from speculative small-cap to mass-order ramp; hyperscaler volume production transition could trigger massive rerating.", "resolved_tickers": ["AEHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Feels like $AEHR ($1.2B) is close to hitting its inflection point from a speculative small cap to mass order ramp.\n\nJust last week they received another $14M order. \n\nAnd today another follow-up order from their silicon photonics customer. \n\nOnce their customers/hyperscalers transition to “high-volume manufacturing\" and \"volume production”, would likely trigger a massive rerating cycle for $AEHR. \n\nFeels more likely for it to happen than not given the weekly news of orders this year.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.05739672009319441, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05739672009319441, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04850399814915063, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.018195530542870264, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00889272194404378, "bench_c_m1d": 0.039201189550324145, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02449568858584672, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02449568858584672, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.017440380232762065, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.003936161671521443, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007055308353084655, "bench_c_p1d": 0.020559526914325277, "ret_p1w": 0.007684911131477401, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.007684911131477401, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01231510342164499, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.008348406141615472, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00463019229016759, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016033317273092873, "ret_p1m": -0.04899137717169322, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04899137717169322, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.014742437631461325, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.051318395193967525, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03424893954023189, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0023270180222743075, "ret_p3m": 1.2173391734969048, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.2173391734969048, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.1023715978869981, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.685783922602081, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11496757560990667, "bench_c_p3m": 0.5315552508948238, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3876, -0.4059, -0.4268, -0.4111, -0.3794, -0.3653, -0.4121, -0.4496, -0.4741, -0.4839, -0.4844, -0.4762, -0.457, -0.4532, -0.47, -0.47, -0.4846, -0.511, -0.5115, -0.5151, -0.5151, -0.4678, -0.4359, -0.4061, -0.4193, -0.4549, -0.3679, -0.3672, -0.3561, -0.3763, -0.3629, -0.3081, -0.3081, -0.3021, -0.2988, -0.2577, -0.3266, -0.3569, -0.3336, -0.328, -0.3545, -0.3842, -0.3742, -0.347, -0.4277, -0.4476, -0.3662, -0.3374, -0.3557, -0.1871, -0.3302, -0.3074, -0.3074, -0.3158, -0.3033, -0.2731, -0.1931, -0.1758, -0.0579, -0.0038, -0.0442, -0.1011, 0.0574, 0.0, 0.0245, -0.0276, -0.1448, -0.0183, 0.0077, 0.0195, -0.0958, -0.1434, -0.0999, -0.1093, -0.128, -0.0932, -0.171, -0.1078, -0.0588, -0.0627, -0.1698, -0.219, -0.2767, -0.1095, -0.049, 0.0644, 0.0644, 0.2526, 0.2068, 0.5168, 0.6537, 0.6914, 0.7209, 0.7863, 0.7584, 0.9416, 1.0139, 1.165, 1.2507, 1.3381, 1.2937, 1.3033, 1.1249, 0.9796, 0.9647, 1.1748, 1.2351, 1.056, 1.19, 1.323, 1.1916, 1.335, 1.511, 1.3228, 1.4796, 1.5538, 1.3895, 1.007, 0.9486, 0.9774, 1.1926, 1.2819, 1.2819, 1.6398, 1.4933, 1.4013, 1.2173, 1.2173, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2032181937784389759", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-12T19:48:24+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Nothings changed with $AAOI and it looks like a buying opportunity", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Buying opportunity in AAOI after drop; endorses Rosenblatt's sub-$8B-too-low thesis on $4B 2027 revenue potential; GOOGL/AVGO signaling pluggable transceiver life extensions adds optionality.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Nothings changed with $AAOI and it looks like a buying opportunity. \n\nI’d side with Rosenblatt analysts here where “The company’s sub-$8B market cap is too low when its 2027 revenue potential is $4B”. \n\nAnalysts can be bearish on execution, and scaling capacity was always the focal question. \n\nDon’t think anything’s new around here and this will always be debated until they actually deliver. Hyperscaler demand is not a question.\n\n$GOOGL and $AVGO also signaled pluggable transceiver life extensions, but since $AAOI covers the supply chain from laser to design to assembly, they can have optionality that most people miss", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thoughts on $AAOI after today’s drop? Still holding 💪", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Sher_Lockknows", "ret_m1d": 0.1960636520967436, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.1960636520967436, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.1806445651809514, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.1806445651809514, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01541908691579219, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01541908691579219, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08833227862470594, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08833227862470594, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08267216912369957, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.08267216912369957, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005660109501006372, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005660109501006372, "ret_p1w": -0.040210981959596936, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.040210981959596936, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.030812474837712878, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.030812474837712878, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009398507121884059, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009398507121884059, "ret_p1m": 0.41821266259612355, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.41821266259612355, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.39530832689104956, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.39530832689104956, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022904335705073997, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022904335705073997, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7184, -0.7273, -0.7444, -0.7246, -0.7051, -0.6318, -0.6173, -0.6139, -0.6139, -0.65, -0.6539, -0.6608, -0.6717, -0.6717, -0.6271, -0.6705, -0.6364, -0.6416, -0.6891, -0.6794, -0.6825, -0.6781, -0.6754, -0.6516, -0.6512, -0.6512, -0.6303, -0.6386, -0.6407, -0.6636, -0.6714, -0.6479, -0.5741, -0.6274, -0.5893, -0.5841, -0.5657, -0.6243, -0.6409, -0.5828, -0.5488, -0.5434, -0.5442, -0.5857, -0.5813, -0.5813, -0.5865, -0.5909, -0.5576, -0.5133, -0.4919, -0.4701, -0.4527, -0.4944, -0.2068, -0.0347, -0.1022, -0.061, -0.0476, -0.0999, 0.0417, 0.1347, 0.1961, 0.0, -0.0883, -0.1141, -0.187, -0.1277, -0.0402, -0.1756, -0.0982, 0.0726, 0.0774, -0.0826, -0.0751, -0.1978, -0.2034, -0.1868, -0.0215, -0.0215, 0.0119, 0.1078, 0.2496, 0.2553, 0.4182, 0.4426, 0.3786, 0.3424, 0.4815, 0.5013, 0.5394, 0.4179, 0.4071, 0.297, 0.5272, 0.3728, 0.2926, 0.4392, 0.5478, 0.7281, 0.629, 0.7004, 0.6813, 0.4837, 0.4026, 0.7412, 0.773, 1.101, 0.917, 0.7926, 0.6316, 0.6134, 0.5563, 0.665, 0.7091, 0.7091, 0.6727, 0.6935, 0.5917, 0.4918, 0.4918, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2032181937784389759", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-12T19:48:24+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$GOOGL and $AVGO also signaled pluggable transceiver life extensions", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Buying opportunity in AAOI after drop; endorses Rosenblatt's sub-$8B-too-low thesis on $4B 2027 revenue potential; GOOGL/AVGO signaling pluggable transceiver life extensions adds optionality.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Nothings changed with $AAOI and it looks like a buying opportunity. \n\nI’d side with Rosenblatt analysts here where “The company’s sub-$8B market cap is too low when its 2027 revenue potential is $4B”. \n\nAnalysts can be bearish on execution, and scaling capacity was always the focal question. \n\nDon’t think anything’s new around here and this will always be debated until they actually deliver. Hyperscaler demand is not a question.\n\n$GOOGL and $AVGO also signaled pluggable transceiver life extensions, but since $AAOI covers the supply chain from laser to design to assembly, they can have optionality that most people miss", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thoughts on $AAOI after today’s drop? Still holding 💪", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Sher_Lockknows", "ret_m1d": 0.016965984586285066, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016965984586285066, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.001546897670492875, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0019577601512705822, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01541908691579219, "bench_c_m1d": 0.015008224435014483, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004183788716005665, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004183788716005665, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0014763207850007065, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0029299342416782004, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005660109501006372, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007113722957683866, "ret_p1w": 0.011793830452351939, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.011793830452351939, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.021192337574235998, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.030272166886157525, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009398507121884059, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018478336433805587, "ret_p1m": 0.045099663949725866, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.045099663949725866, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02219532824465187, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05339647319562024, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022904335705073997, "bench_c_p1m": -0.008296809245894377, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0147, 0.0092, -0.0232, -0.0043, 0.0112, 0.0198, 0.0349, 0.034, 0.034, 0.0321, 0.0322, 0.0332, 0.0304, 0.0304, 0.0375, 0.0421, 0.0348, 0.06, 0.0714, 0.0817, 0.0925, 0.106, 0.1056, 0.0955, 0.0864, 0.0864, 0.06, 0.081, 0.0881, 0.0796, 0.0971, 0.1013, 0.1062, 0.1135, 0.1127, 0.1314, 0.1183, 0.0964, 0.0905, 0.0629, 0.0677, 0.0488, 0.0237, 0.0172, 0.0064, 0.0064, -0.0057, -0.0014, -0.003, 0.0369, 0.0254, 0.0235, 0.0301, 0.0119, 0.0263, 0.0091, -0.0006, -0.0021, -0.0095, -0.0173, 0.0093, 0.0115, 0.017, 0.0, -0.0042, 0.0066, 0.0243, 0.0136, 0.0118, -0.0084, -0.0049, -0.0432, -0.0416, -0.0746, -0.0962, -0.099, -0.0527, -0.0203, -0.0256, -0.0256, -0.0117, 0.0063, 0.0454, 0.0492, 0.0451, 0.0585, 0.0967, 0.1106, 0.107, 0.1256, 0.1116, 0.0947, 0.1178, 0.1164, 0.1346, 0.1541, 0.1523, 0.1528, 0.2677, 0.2706, 0.2626, 0.2796, 0.3113, 0.3111, 0.3204, 0.2803, 0.2761, 0.3264, 0.3213, 0.3071, 0.3077, 0.2771, 0.2812, 0.2771, 0.2616, 0.2616, 0.2811, 0.2809, 0.2852, 0.253, 0.253, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2015167262727299369", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-24T20:58:10+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "When I do these supply chain mapping in space, robotics, AI, I like to invest in ones that just pop up multiple places.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish COHR as a multi-sector bottleneck play appearing across space, robotics, and AI supply chains.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@platochi $COHR is like the Western Unimicron (in the sense they show up everywhere on future bottlenecks like SiC to InP, not comparing downstream/upstream). \n\nWhen I do these supply chain mapping in space, robotics, AI, I like to invest in ones that just pop up multiple places.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I've had $COHR on my watchlist for a while now, guess it's time to do a deeper dive", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "platochi", "ret_m1d": -0.004146400122403637, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004146400122403637, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0009060896521090323, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0009060896521090323, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0050524897745126696, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0050524897745126696, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08211977115827995, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08211977115827995, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07813550642859535, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07813550642859535, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003984264729684606, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003984264729684606, "ret_p1w": 0.12479777821655036, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12479777821655036, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12092898533647212, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.12092898533647212, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0038687928800782423, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0038687928800782423, "ret_p1m": 0.2887338576536109, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2887338576536109, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2965002451145873, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2965002451145873, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007766387460976354, "bench_c_p1m": -0.007766387460976354, "ret_p3m": 0.707524282238533, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.707524282238533, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.682038399312676, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.682038399312676, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025485882925857073, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025485882925857073, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3019, -0.3289, -0.3327, -0.3325, -0.3492, -0.3192, -0.1945, -0.2187, -0.157, -0.201, -0.2078, -0.2922, -0.2955, -0.2968, -0.3014, -0.2772, -0.3143, -0.2945, -0.2324, -0.2473, -0.2213, -0.2213, -0.1694, -0.1732, -0.1662, -0.1355, -0.1032, -0.0808, -0.0602, -0.0254, -0.0016, 0.0037, -0.0982, -0.0976, -0.1141, -0.1381, -0.1115, -0.0603, -0.0343, -0.0298, -0.0323, -0.0323, -0.0305, -0.0442, -0.0554, -0.0667, -0.0667, -0.0173, -0.0576, -0.0185, -0.031, -0.1244, -0.0996, -0.0636, -0.0391, -0.069, -0.0091, -0.034, -0.034, -0.0217, 0.0187, 0.0251, -0.0041, 0.0, 0.0821, 0.1182, 0.0915, 0.0729, 0.1248, 0.1589, 0.0669, 0.0581, 0.1513, 0.226, 0.1548, 0.1311, 0.0927, 0.0985, 0.0985, 0.1123, 0.1321, 0.1756, 0.255, 0.2585, 0.2887, 0.3547, 0.2649, 0.3093, 0.5115, 0.42, 0.3899, 0.2837, 0.1919, 0.2759, 0.318, 0.2713, 0.22, 0.2275, 0.2509, 0.2429, 0.3006, 0.3935, 0.2825, 0.2897, 0.3771, 0.3756, 0.2302, 0.2312, 0.1107, 0.2045, 0.253, 0.3054, 0.3054, 0.2804, 0.2899, 0.4249, 0.4369, 0.5549, 0.5571, 0.5849, 0.5585, 0.6586, 0.7446, 0.7572, 0.7384, 0.7722, 0.7075, 0.6995, 0.6259, 0.5371, 0.5419, 0.6167, 0.6662, 0.6681, 0.6977, 0.7429, 0.614, 0.6953, 0.92, 0.8912, 1.0414, 1.0476, 0.9339, 0.8347, 0.7882, 0.8128, 0.9114, 0.9092, 0.9092, 0.9283, 0.9224, 0.9061, 0.8278, 0.8278, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2029849475020185618", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-06T09:20:02+00:00", "symbol": "SHMD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm personally avoiding it", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Avoiding SHMD despite glass-substrate thesis: dilution from warrants/notes/resale of 95M shares will outpace minor revenues until at least 2028.", "resolved_tickers": ["SHMD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Specialty Industrial Machinery'", "bench_c_industry": "Specialty Industrial Machinery", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I think a lot of people on X got $SHMD right in terms of their critical role for glass substrates/etc. \n\nBut it doesn't mean it's a great stock due to financials and I'm personally avoiding it (could be wrong though). \n\nThere's 46.6 million new shares tied to warrants, convertible notes, and an earlier €10M loan. It also permits the resale of up to 95 million shares. \n\nI don't think their minor revenues now will outpace dilution. Maybe later in 2028", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit could i get your thoughts on $shmd  as well?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soup19152116", "ret_m1d": 0.21608048308637784, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.21608048308637784, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.20279926935323633, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.2036054932588245, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013281213733141506, "bench_c_m1d": 0.012474989827553351, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06867677364459435, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06867677364459435, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05991674863155527, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06279228671813564, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008760025013039074, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00588448692645871, "ret_p1w": 0.05695145134619439, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05695145134619439, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07195781838432469, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08808008374706022, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.015006367038130297, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03112863240086583, "ret_p1m": -0.134003306869802, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.134003306869802, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11667613395306142, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10536108246837361, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017327172916740574, "bench_c_p1m": -0.028642224401428384, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1893, -0.201, -0.1323, -0.139, -0.1558, -0.2094, -0.2747, -0.2781, -0.1508, -0.1709, -0.1675, -0.1591, -0.1591, -0.0184, 0.0318, 0.0436, 0.0377, 0.0377, 0.2563, 0.2831, 0.2228, 0.2563, 0.3903, 0.4355, 0.2797, 0.33, 0.2379, 0.2931, 0.3869, 0.3869, 0.5394, 0.4221, 0.4556, 0.3727, 0.3668, 0.4506, 0.5109, 0.4841, 0.5109, 0.6533, 0.6114, 0.5712, 0.5226, 0.7454, 0.66, 0.6382, 0.6147, 0.4556, 0.2647, 0.2647, 0.3518, 0.2186, 0.3049, 0.3132, 0.1625, 0.2295, 0.1759, 0.129, 0.0821, 0.1474, 0.0737, 0.4037, 0.2161, 0.0, 0.0687, 0.0402, 0.1508, 0.1558, 0.057, 0.0921, 0.1625, 0.1374, 0.0921, 0.0251, 0.0804, 0.0988, 0.2429, 0.1055, -0.0034, -0.0821, -0.1122, -0.1441, -0.1039, -0.1039, -0.134, -0.0854, -0.0871, -0.0017, -0.0921, -0.0201, -0.0503, -0.0268, -0.072, 0.1558, 0.0821, 0.0369, 0.0871, 0.0452, 0.1675, 0.0226, -0.0034, -0.005, -0.0084, 0.067, -0.1106, -0.1139, -0.062, -0.0503, 0.005, 0.0034, -0.0017, 0.0335, 0.1122, 0.1508, 0.2529, 0.2194, 0.1692, 0.2479, 0.2546, 0.2546, 0.2563, 0.1491, 0.1575, 0.1173, 0.1173, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2018390358384869519", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-02T18:25:35+00:00", "symbol": "VPG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My robotics moonshot pick. Watch and learn", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish VPG as a robotics moonshot on Optimus robot production revenue ($850M–$8.5B at 1M–10M units).", "resolved_tickers": ["VPG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Scientific & Technical Instruments'", "bench_c_industry": "Scientific & Technical Instruments", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The $VPG hard carry, +23% 5D. \n\nFor people that don’t know, Elon Musk converted Tesla factories for Optimus production on $TSLA ER.\n\nThis company makes est. $850 midpoint/robot.\n\n1M Optimus = ~$850M revenue \n10M Optimus = ~$8.5B revenue\n\nMy robotics moonshot pick. Watch and learn https://t.co/a8J8aUtlSL", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$SNDK - Even after a 16% increase, the forward 2027 p/e is still single digits.\n\nThat’s how profitable the memory supercycle is with $MU, SK Hynix, Samsung, and others\n\nThe AI demand + price hikes looks like the new structural norm. https://t.co/6RG14zqEpr", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.011058403739006017, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011058403739006017, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00611163379285129, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0015583407915968905, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946769946154728, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009500062947409127, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04304897968899679, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04304897968899679, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05150437611969738, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0649406897413457, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00845539643070059, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02189171005234891, "ret_p1w": 0.08748025984536922, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08748025984536922, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0895796975956098, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10062895866405097, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0020994377502405737, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013148698818681748, "ret_p1m": -0.06042649280164203, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06042649280164203, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03874151425014227, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.007005124948657682, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684978551499756, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05342136785298435, "ret_p3m": 0.19312794030752012, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.19312794030752012, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1568721333005465, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.09373150972536548, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03625580700697362, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09939643058215464, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2873, -0.3462, -0.3491, -0.3248, -0.3363, -0.3375, -0.3671, -0.3691, -0.3993, -0.4019, -0.3957, -0.4218, -0.3853, -0.3594, -0.3353, -0.3276, -0.3276, -0.3258, -0.3195, -0.309, -0.2747, -0.263, -0.2297, -0.2518, -0.2737, -0.2429, -0.2301, -0.2512, -0.2484, -0.2383, -0.2486, -0.2457, -0.2346, -0.2352, -0.2226, -0.2206, -0.2206, -0.2162, -0.2261, -0.2312, -0.2397, -0.2397, -0.2243, -0.2231, -0.1836, -0.2095, -0.2026, -0.1771, -0.1795, -0.1803, -0.174, -0.137, -0.1388, -0.1388, -0.1367, -0.0756, -0.0563, -0.1284, -0.1519, -0.1118, -0.1238, -0.0051, -0.0111, 0.0, 0.043, 0.0644, 0.0276, 0.1055, 0.0875, 0.0583, -0.0831, -0.0782, -0.1272, -0.1272, -0.1033, -0.091, -0.0737, -0.0551, -0.0756, -0.076, -0.046, -0.0667, -0.0902, -0.028, -0.0604, -0.0723, -0.1116, -0.1418, -0.1396, -0.1205, -0.1335, -0.1763, -0.1902, -0.1872, -0.1939, -0.1884, -0.1451, -0.1975, -0.1677, -0.1554, -0.1015, -0.1603, -0.1795, -0.1967, -0.1426, -0.1317, -0.1159, -0.1159, -0.0893, -0.0772, -0.0308, -0.0278, -0.0146, 0.0261, 0.0229, 0.0032, 0.0146, 0.0509, 0.0498, 0.0746, 0.1317, 0.1412, 0.1971, 0.1568, 0.1297, 0.1112, 0.1931, 0.1892, 0.1854, 0.2628, 0.2553, 0.2328, 0.3278, 0.3152, 0.6898, 0.9668, 0.9814, 0.9218, 1.0776, 0.9342, 0.9887, 1.0545, 1.2464, 1.2464, 1.437, 1.4866, 1.4733, 1.4745, 1.4745, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2032697006586786139", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-14T05:55:06+00:00", "symbol": "SLOIF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "A 1X book CPO/Silicon Photonics Substrate virtual monopoly (now ~1.4). Gets re-rated 40%+.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long Soitec on CPO/Silicon Photonics substrate monopoly at depressed valuations; expects 40%+ re-rating driven by NVDA GTC catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLOIF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Don't think any \"Analyst\" from Citi or Kepler should be surprised why $SOI:\n\nA 1X book CPO/Silicon Photonics Substrate virtual monopoly (now ~1.4).\n\nGets re-rated 40%+. \n\nEspecially after a digestable analysis gets distributed for people to build their own conviction on. \n\nTimes have changed:\n\nInstitutions want dumb, popular \"influencers\" to publish longs on Paypal and other overbought stocks. \n\nOr encourage folks on WSB to buy 0DTE call options on $TSLA.\n\nI'm doing supply-chain research on an undervalued billion dollar European bottlenecks/chokepoints. Then gave that research away for free.\n\nNot paywalled for $2000+ behind institutional research notes. \n\nFree. \n\nI'm educating retail on my own thought process regarding supply chain bottlenecks, photonics, and fundamentals.\n\nThen putting that into a simple enough thesis, so they can form their own opinions. \n\nAnd for the first time, retail is able to front-run institutions on fundamental bottlenecks.\n\nJust look at $AXTI: I posted at ~$500m valuation for every retail investor. \n\nAnd now, institutions are piling in, sending it to $2.6 billion+ as the fundamental InP substrate provider to the photonics industry. \n\nThis is the quiet part said out loud: \n\nWhen a free and popular X account successfully educates retail on highly strategic, fundamentally undervalued tech companies like Soitec:\n\nIt completely disrupts the institutions' ability to paywall research and frontrun retail investors. There’s no reason to downplay the trend. \n\nI believe stocks are a positive sum game, so there's no reason to gatekeep information.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Changed my mind about Soitec ( $SLOIF ) and took a sizable position ~43 for CPO exposure.\n\n$NVDA GTC next week biggest catalyst pushing photonics and this architecture. \n\n~1.5B euros MC. Trading at 1x book value and ~2x P/S (very depressed valuations)\n\nGenuine monopoly over https://t.co/3vPQQfyHrE", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06692261897911334, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06692261897911334, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0568482780860603, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05019326624040643, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010074340893053035, "bench_c_m1d": -0.016729352738706904, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03373558895014217, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03373558895014217, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03636614382011738, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04124978308646299, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00263055486997521, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0075141941363208176, "ret_p1w": -0.16799232456943414, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.16799232456943414, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.15026489491500505, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.16149347203869946, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017727429654429083, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006498852530734678, "ret_p1m": 0.2004937344171287, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2004937344171287, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15964868924780484, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05305266873763492, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04084504516932386, "bench_c_p1m": 0.14744106567949378, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6137, -0.6137, -0.6137, -0.6137, -0.6434, -0.6434, -0.6434, -0.6434, -0.6338, -0.6325, -0.6631, -0.6631, -0.6631, -0.6631, -0.6631, -0.5817, -0.5817, -0.5646, -0.5646, -0.532, -0.532, -0.531, -0.5241, -0.5241, -0.5531, -0.5531, -0.5531, -0.5524, -0.5252, -0.5252, -0.5252, -0.5388, -0.5646, -0.5783, -0.5789, -0.4875, -0.4995, -0.4941, -0.4941, -0.4941, -0.3759, -0.3759, -0.3759, -0.3759, -0.3759, -0.3646, -0.3646, -0.3646, -0.3646, -0.3675, -0.3675, -0.3117, -0.3117, -0.3002, -0.3114, -0.3073, -0.3433, -0.3225, -0.3449, -0.2925, -0.1562, -0.0874, -0.0669, 0.0, -0.0337, -0.0004, -0.1138, -0.196, -0.168, -0.1858, -0.1278, -0.1591, -0.1566, -0.1914, -0.1832, -0.1633, -0.2016, -0.2016, -0.1943, -0.1984, -0.1463, -0.1223, 0.0176, 0.0743, 0.2005, 0.2553, 0.4065, 0.5496, 0.6285, 0.5908, 0.7691, 0.6458, 0.7828, 0.7803, 0.5819, 0.8205, 1.0815, 1.0778, 1.4582, 1.5369, 1.367, 1.3936, 1.7894, 1.6183, 1.3656, 1.5263, 1.4246, 1.3667, 1.2412, 1.3029, 1.5232, 1.7153, 1.8146, 1.8146, 1.6469, 1.4026, 2.1005, 1.825, 1.825, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2017378760220413962", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-30T23:25:52+00:00", "symbol": "VLN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "To me strong yes... $VLN is basically ~$110m ish cash/inventory and $170m MC. And $80M revenue and high gross margins.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strongly bullish VLN on cash/inventory vs market cap mismatch; bullish ETOR on cheap valuation and 77% AUM growth despite underperformance.", "resolved_tickers": ["VLN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "To me strong yes. I really don't understand what markets have against Israeli stocks like $ETOR, $NBIS, and $VLN because those are my worst performers. \n\nI lost off so much from Etoro but they're half cash and basically 4 forward earnings to EV. Growing AUM 77% Y/Y. \n\nThen $VLN is basically ~$110m ish cash/inventory and $170m MC. And $80M revenue and high gross margins. \n\nSo personally not quite sure what's going on.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @Swiftrooney_ Is $VLN still a good long?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": 0.03529408299799286, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03529408299799286, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03230258034081546, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00044552835472733143, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002991502657177403, "bench_c_m1d": 0.03484855464326553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01764711162210597, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01764711162210597, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02261847375304149, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0288254437024682, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004971362130935519, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01117833208036223, "ret_p1w": -0.09411769490753352, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09411769490753352, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09216675721389245, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08963150644541118, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.001950937693641075, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0044861884621223425, "ret_p1m": -0.1294117779055265, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1294117779055265, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12133349133437776, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13667401767009946, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00807828657114873, "bench_c_p1m": 0.007262239764572964, "ret_p3m": -0.11176473640653006, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11176473640653006, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1429126091344236, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.35000396000471345, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031147872727893544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2382392235981834, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0647, -0.0235, -0.0824, -0.0706, -0.0588, 0.0588, 0.0, 0.0118, 0.0235, -0.0824, -0.1059, -0.1471, -0.1647, -0.1176, -0.1, -0.0941, -0.0765, -0.0765, -0.0588, -0.0765, -0.0706, -0.0176, -0.0118, -0.0118, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0118, -0.0412, -0.0647, -0.0941, -0.1, -0.1294, -0.1294, -0.1235, -0.1412, -0.1765, -0.1882, -0.1882, -0.1529, -0.1706, -0.1882, -0.1647, -0.1647, -0.0824, -0.0765, -0.0647, -0.0882, -0.0824, 0.4588, 0.3588, 0.3765, 0.2294, 0.2294, 0.1706, 0.1706, 0.1412, 0.1529, 0.2353, 0.1529, 0.0824, 0.0824, 0.0412, 0.0353, 0.0, -0.0176, -0.0588, -0.0941, -0.1588, -0.0941, -0.1059, -0.0882, -0.0941, -0.1176, -0.1059, -0.1059, -0.1412, -0.1235, -0.1235, -0.1118, -0.1294, -0.1, -0.0941, -0.0588, -0.1294, -0.1294, -0.1529, -0.1529, -0.1765, -0.2059, -0.2059, -0.1882, -0.1588, -0.2059, -0.2176, -0.2176, -0.2118, -0.2647, -0.2471, -0.2824, -0.2588, -0.2647, -0.2588, -0.2824, -0.3059, -0.3471, -0.3353, -0.3118, -0.3, -0.3, -0.3, -0.3059, -0.2294, -0.2118, -0.2176, -0.2059, -0.1882, -0.1353, -0.0882, -0.1059, -0.1353, -0.1176, -0.0529, -0.0294, 0.0529, -0.0529, -0.1118, -0.1118, 0.2765, 0.3765, 0.3235, 0.4235, 0.4706, 0.4176, 0.6412, 0.6765, 0.5882, 0.7353, 0.9824, 0.7941, 0.6588, 0.5647, 0.7059, 0.8, 0.8941, 0.8941, 0.9176, 0.8529, 1.0588, 1.0765, 1.0765, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2017378760220413962", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-30T23:25:52+00:00", "symbol": "ETOR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I lost off so much from Etoro but they're half cash and basically 4 forward earnings to EV. Growing AUM 77% Y/Y.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strongly bullish VLN on cash/inventory vs market cap mismatch; bullish ETOR on cheap valuation and 77% AUM growth despite underperformance.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETOR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "To me strong yes. I really don't understand what markets have against Israeli stocks like $ETOR, $NBIS, and $VLN because those are my worst performers. \n\nI lost off so much from Etoro but they're half cash and basically 4 forward earnings to EV. Growing AUM 77% Y/Y. \n\nThen $VLN is basically ~$110m ish cash/inventory and $170m MC. And $80M revenue and high gross margins. \n\nSo personally not quite sure what's going on.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @Swiftrooney_ Is $VLN still a good long?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": 0.027891146444348536, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.027891146444348536, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.024899643787171133, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.024899643787171133, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002991502657177403, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002991502657177403, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03231288666385057, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03231288666385057, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03728424879478609, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03728424879478609, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004971362130935519, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004971362130935519, "ret_p1w": -0.0812924973013287, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0812924973013287, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07934155960768763, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07934155960768763, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.001950937693641075, "bench_c_p1w": -0.001950937693641075, "ret_p1m": 0.04319729504224945, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04319729504224945, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05127558161339818, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05127558161339818, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00807828657114873, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00807828657114873, "ret_p3m": 0.2159864103354423, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2159864103354423, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.18483853760754876, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.18483853760754876, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031147872727893544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.031147872727893544, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1714, 0.1636, 0.1384, 0.1864, 0.2833, 0.4027, 0.4058, 0.3354, 0.3776, 0.3102, 0.3337, 0.3031, 0.2449, 0.2514, 0.3231, 0.3575, 0.4279, 0.4279, 0.4276, 0.4245, 0.4194, 0.4524, 0.4942, 0.4629, 0.4051, 0.432, 0.3864, 0.3357, 0.2908, 0.2432, 0.2252, 0.1823, 0.2099, 0.2316, 0.2405, 0.232, 0.2228, 0.2228, 0.2197, 0.2133, 0.2088, 0.1949, 0.1949, 0.2136, 0.2344, 0.1922, 0.132, 0.1065, 0.0755, 0.0871, 0.0612, 0.0653, 0.0636, 0.0656, 0.0656, 0.048, 0.0395, 0.0578, 0.0704, 0.0643, 0.0704, 0.068, 0.0279, 0.0, -0.0323, -0.0799, -0.0973, -0.1578, -0.0813, -0.0408, -0.0381, -0.0837, -0.0905, -0.066, -0.066, 0.1248, 0.083, 0.0544, 0.0605, 0.0388, 0.0456, 0.1034, 0.098, 0.0432, 0.0432, 0.0711, 0.1102, 0.1122, 0.0823, 0.0741, 0.0551, 0.051, 0.0197, 0.0241, 0.0391, 0.0592, 0.0218, -0.0007, 0.001, 0.0187, -0.0017, 0.0102, 0.0221, -0.0119, -0.017, 0.0214, 0.0207, 0.0163, 0.0163, 0.0265, 0.0075, 0.0558, 0.0905, 0.0854, 0.133, 0.181, 0.2561, 0.2925, 0.281, 0.3245, 0.2707, 0.2806, 0.2582, 0.2456, 0.2378, 0.2449, 0.216, 0.2102, 0.2554, 0.3031, 0.3235, 0.3133, 0.3007, 0.3054, 0.318, 0.2793, 0.4044, 0.4143, 0.3806, 0.385, 0.3541, 0.3466, 0.3473, 0.3895, 0.3895, 0.3378, 0.3129, 0.3585, 0.4279, 0.4279, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013647870235234509", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-20T16:20:38+00:00", "symbol": "DPRO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$DPRO is incredibly risky given low revenue. So position sizing is important if you decide yourself you want to take positions.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Cautious long on DPRO as a speculative drone-revenue bet; emphasizes position sizing given high risk and low revenue.", "resolved_tickers": ["DPRO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Aldo_Aurelius $DPRO is incredibly risky given low revenue. So position sizing is important if you decide yourself you want to take positions. \n\nIt’s definitely not for everyone as a speculative bet on drone revenue recognition from capacity", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I got into a very small position here too. https://t.co/GP5z3ZXo5k", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Aldo_Aurelius", "ret_m1d": 0.018046717082493613, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.018046717082493613, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0027330784868353497, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00860298003891291, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.020779795569328963, "bench_c_m1d": 0.026649697121406524, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.042462804170978585, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.042462804170978585, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05400388337307305, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05635162873232724, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011541079202094462, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013888824561348656, "ret_p1w": -0.09554136000435731, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09554136000435731, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.121973641497795, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.139323066824514, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02643228149343768, "bench_c_p1w": 0.043781706820156696, "ret_p1m": -0.17515924437408092, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17515924437408092, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1880138175088758, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1686025386660428, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012854573134794878, "bench_c_p1m": -0.006556705708038124, "ret_p3m": -0.3694267506251021, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3694267506251021, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4203423892146543, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4589777595938931, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091563858955217, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08955100896879098, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1253, 0.0021, 0.0117, -0.0648, -0.0924, 0.0414, 0.1624, 0.0287, -0.0764, -0.0499, -0.1699, -0.1008, -0.1242, -0.1401, -0.172, -0.2314, -0.2696, -0.3174, -0.293, -0.241, -0.2251, -0.2972, -0.1985, -0.207, -0.224, -0.224, -0.224, -0.2718, -0.2622, -0.1879, -0.1221, -0.1858, -0.2017, -0.207, -0.2251, -0.2049, -0.2601, -0.327, -0.2994, -0.3546, -0.3439, -0.2006, -0.1497, -0.1476, -0.1401, -0.1401, -0.2187, -0.2537, -0.2834, -0.2665, -0.2665, -0.2197, -0.1391, -0.0966, -0.12, -0.0053, 0.0074, 0.0318, 0.0425, 0.0329, -0.0085, 0.018, 0.018, 0.0, -0.0425, 0.0255, 0.0159, -0.1454, -0.0955, -0.1093, -0.1454, -0.2261, -0.1714, -0.1285, -0.2335, -0.3121, -0.2044, -0.1826, -0.2452, -0.2728, -0.2803, -0.2686, -0.2686, -0.2463, -0.1752, -0.2059, -0.1624, -0.1582, -0.1741, -0.1338, -0.2718, -0.3047, -0.2197, -0.2707, -0.2824, -0.293, -0.2983, -0.3291, -0.3185, -0.2994, -0.2983, -0.327, -0.3195, -0.2813, -0.2951, -0.3057, -0.3992, -0.3397, -0.328, -0.4745, -0.4989, -0.5127, -0.5308, -0.4788, -0.482, -0.4268, -0.4268, -0.4533, -0.4724, -0.4469, -0.4618, -0.4204, -0.4214, -0.3864, -0.3694, -0.3376, -0.3694, -0.3769, -0.3588, -0.311, -0.3461, -0.3769, -0.397, -0.4395, -0.4618, -0.4289, -0.4363, -0.4575, -0.4575, -0.4246, -0.4459, -0.4183, -0.4119, -0.4278, -0.4363, -0.4023, -0.4331, -0.4406, -0.4406, -0.4183, -0.3376, -0.3185, -0.3185, -0.3079, -0.2919, -0.173, -0.207, -0.207, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2016921538780680402", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-29T17:09:02+00:00", "symbol": "CPSH", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I've initiated positions in $CPSH as a US AlSiC pure play chokepoint. They represent ~25% of the near-term semi-grade AlSiC market.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long CPSH as a US AlSiC pure-play chokepoint for AI thermal management as GPU TDPs scale to 2000W+ in 2027-2028, backed by DoD contracts and healthy balance sheet.", "resolved_tickers": ["CPSH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I've initiated positions in $CPSH as a US AlSiC pure play chokepoint.\n\nThey represent ~25% of the near-term semi-grade AlSiC market. \n\nTheir customers:\n\n- U.S. Navy (War)\n- U.S. Army (War)\n- U.S. Dept. of Energy (Energy / Nuclear)\n- U.S. Space Force / NASA (Space)\n- Lockheed Martin ( $LMT ) \n- Raytheon ( $RTX ) \n- Northrop Grumman\n- General Dynamics\n\n- The U.S. Navy uses $CPSH for ballistic protection systems of the newest carriers (like the USS Gerald R. Ford and USS Abraham Lincoln). As well as other fleets like the Danish Navy through Lockheed.\n\n- US Army uses $CPSH for 40mm Tungsten Warheads and UH-60 Black Hawk Helicopters. \n\n- The US Dpt of Energy uses $CPSH for impact limiters when transferring nuclear fuel (SNF) and high-level radioactive waste via rail. \n\n- U.S. Space Force / NASA uses $CPSH for GPS satellites and it sits in many electronic systems in the International Space Station. (Also not including Mars Rover missions)\n\n- Lockheed, Raytheon, Northrop, and General Dynamics uses $CPSH for missile heat-shielding components. AlSiC housings for radar systems, and thermal management materials. \n\nAlSiC or (aluminum silicon carbide) is a well known material composite that handles extreme thermal conditions for many applications above from space to defense. \n\nBut as architectures from $NVDA Rubin to scale up to 2300-2500W in 2027-2028, that same material may be used AI due to heat warpage.\n\nMy thoughts were that the tiny TAM material used to handle extreme changes in heat from hypersonic missiles to rocket nose cones may likely be used for AI deployments. \n\nThis is similar to how InP (niche TAM for Telecom) became a bottleneck as photonics scaled up. Or how Toto's fine ceramics for toilets were critical to memory.\n\nAlSiC (esp. post-processing) may become a potential chokepoint as AI ramps up to Rubin generation chips.  \n\nMajority of the world's AlSiC production still originates in East Asia (Denka,Sumitomo, BYD, JFC).\n\nBut CPS is currently the primary \"US/Western hedge\" and CPSH states they represent roughly 25% of the near-term available AlSiC market (CPS Technologies AGM Presentation). \n\nAnd that percentage of the supply chain is only worth ~$100 MC right now. \n\nTheir balance sheet:\n\n$12.7M – $13.8M (pro-forma) cash. Almost 0 debt. Inventory ~5.4M, Liabilities: ~$5.06M (eg. $3.53M for aluminum and silicon carbide)\n\nY/Y revenue is 8.8M, up +107.29%. \nY/Y Net income is up 207.96K (+119.94%). \n\nHealthy balance sheet and US Government strategic interest + Defense Contractors gives $CPSH low downside risk at $100M or even at $200M as the leading Western AlSiC supply chain. \n\nThere were new contracts eg. $15.5M order from the leading Semi likely ~Infineon last October, that more visibility into revenue upside. And they are expanding production (funded by their Oct 25th raise), which hints to higher demand. \n\n\"We believe we are the world leader in the design and manufacture of AlSiC... Many of our products are designed specifically for a single customer application, making us the sole-source provider for those components.\" (10-K filings)\n\nTLDR: The AI upside depends entirely on a material pivot by big tech. Similar to the Toto toilet maker for memory type but the AI fit seems strong. \n\nBut the benefit is that its existing list of US DoD contractors gives the company lower downside risk.\n\nThis is just my own personal thesis I wanted to share. \n\nBut personally I've taken positions in $CPSH as an AlSiC play (and long US supply chains) as it may play an important role with thermal warpage with AI in 2027-2028 as we expand to 2000W+.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Thermal is a likely issue for 2027-2028 GPUs:  \n\nAs thermal targets escalate toward the 2000-3000W+ range, copper and aluminum becomes insufficient.\n\nBut, AlSiC, a metal matrix composite, may become important.\n\nHere's why: \n\nRubin VR200 GPU pointed toward 1800W TDP, AMD Instinct https://t.co/etJFaoUnS5", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.035714329947789336, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.035714329947789336, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03372600189552988, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03372600189552988, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.001988328052259458, "bench_c_m1d": 0.001988328052259458, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.13311683687276565, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.13311683687276565, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.13013425661236244, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.13013425661236244, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0029825802604032114, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0029825802604032114, "ret_p1w": -0.28571425253915794, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.28571425253915794, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.26205572363207963, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.26205572363207963, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023658528907078313, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023658528907078313, "ret_p1m": -0.2727272516158278, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2727272516158278, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2611284949469528, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2611284949469528, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.011598756668874999, "bench_c_p1m": -0.011598756668874999, "ret_p3m": -0.22077917051387563, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22077917051387563, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24901046594028908, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.24901046594028908, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.02823129542641345, "bench_c_p3m": 0.02823129542641345, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4334, -0.4286, -0.4253, -0.4675, -0.461, -0.4432, -0.4481, -0.4643, -0.4481, -0.4399, -0.4529, -0.4756, -0.487, -0.4984, -0.4854, -0.461, -0.4643, -0.4545, -0.4545, -0.4416, -0.4886, -0.4708, -0.474, -0.4513, -0.4659, -0.4513, -0.4205, -0.4383, -0.4123, -0.4481, -0.4643, -0.4724, -0.5065, -0.4854, -0.4756, -0.4838, -0.4805, -0.4838, -0.4838, -0.4789, -0.4919, -0.4919, -0.4984, -0.4984, -0.4805, -0.4805, -0.4821, -0.487, -0.4123, -0.3896, -0.2727, -0.2338, -0.2646, -0.2192, -0.1185, -0.1185, -0.1299, -0.0406, -0.0828, -0.1006, -0.1575, -0.0909, 0.0357, 0.0, -0.1331, -0.1023, -0.1623, -0.2289, -0.2857, -0.1721, -0.1899, -0.1899, -0.2159, -0.2419, -0.237, -0.237, -0.2727, -0.2403, -0.2321, -0.2646, -0.2938, -0.3003, -0.2744, -0.2744, -0.2727, -0.2338, -0.3555, -0.3166, -0.3539, -0.3815, -0.3799, -0.3669, -0.3474, -0.3912, -0.3864, -0.3896, -0.3653, -0.3782, -0.3685, -0.3929, -0.3864, -0.3669, -0.3506, -0.3831, -0.4156, -0.4367, -0.3929, -0.362, -0.3474, -0.3474, -0.2403, -0.2289, -0.2614, -0.2273, -0.2338, -0.2013, -0.1867, -0.1542, -0.1883, -0.1526, -0.1607, -0.1607, -0.1526, -0.1753, -0.1429, -0.1558, -0.2208, -0.2516, -0.1997, -0.1932, -0.1981, -0.4075, -0.4123, -0.3912, -0.3555, -0.2987, -0.3068, -0.2208, -0.2029, -0.2549, -0.1315, -0.3019, -0.2614, -0.2419, -0.026, -0.026, 0.8052, 0.8815, 0.8019, 0.4643, 0.4643, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2021549948593123787", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-11T11:40:40+00:00", "symbol": "VPG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Markets are taking this the wrong way since the most bullish segment going forward for $VPG is humanoids, and it looks to be ramping up.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish VPG: market misreading results; humanoid/robotics segment beating projections and ramping rapidly is the key forward driver.", "resolved_tickers": ["VPG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Scientific & Technical Instruments'", "bench_c_industry": "Scientific & Technical Instruments", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$VPG reported earnings. TLDR:\n\nRevenue: $80.6 Million vs. Consensus: ~$78.1 Million (BEAT)\n\nAdjusted EPS: $0.07 vs. Consensus: ~$0.20 - $0.21 (MISS)\n\nGross Margin: Fell to 36.8% (down from 38.2% a year ago) - mainly one off like FX.\n\nWhat to look out for:\n\nHumanoid section - Their goal for the full year 2025 was to book $30 million in orders from \"Strategic Growth Initiatives\" (Robots, Advanced Sensors).\n\nActual: $37.8 million - They crushed this projection by nearly $8 million. \n\nThere’s a lot of noise from other products, main thing markets should be looking out for is humanoid growth, which looks to be ramping up. \n\nOf course that $37.8M number is multifaceted. \n\nNothing too amazing but tldr:\n\nLegacy Business (Steel, weighing, etc.): Is growing on average\n\nNew Business (humanoids): Is growing rapidly\n\nMarkets are taking this the wrong way since the most bullish segment going forward for $VPG is humanoids, and it looks to be ramping up.\n\nThat aside, not exactly a blowout but positive for strong robotics segment beat, will wait for conference call for humanoids related questions.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.15421063537262025, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.15421063537262025, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.1539795231576897, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.15714832098159404, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00023111221493055112, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0029376856089737835, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005384449673848657, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005384449673848657, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.020833323901749856, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03168363368093907, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0154488742279012, "bench_c_p1d": -0.026299184007090415, "ret_p1w": -0.008615152342230648, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.008615152342230648, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0004209727967849908, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.005793516475098404, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.008194179545445657, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014408668817329051, "ret_p1m": -0.1016584361335221, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1016584361335221, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06422842872873269, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06577669713392098, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03743000740478941, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03588173899960112, "ret_p3m": 0.43441736024922806, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.43441736024922806, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.36308523404161597, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.18869333257550513, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07133212620761209, "bench_c_p3m": 0.24572402767372292, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3119, -0.3448, -0.3476, -0.3409, -0.3694, -0.3295, -0.3013, -0.275, -0.2666, -0.2666, -0.2647, -0.2578, -0.2464, -0.2089, -0.1962, -0.1598, -0.1839, -0.2078, -0.1742, -0.1602, -0.1833, -0.1803, -0.1693, -0.1805, -0.1773, -0.1652, -0.1658, -0.1521, -0.1499, -0.1499, -0.1452, -0.1559, -0.1615, -0.1708, -0.1708, -0.154, -0.1527, -0.1096, -0.1378, -0.1303, -0.1025, -0.1051, -0.106, -0.0991, -0.0588, -0.0607, -0.0607, -0.0584, 0.0082, 0.0293, -0.0493, -0.075, -0.0312, -0.0444, 0.0851, 0.0786, 0.0907, 0.1376, 0.1609, 0.1208, 0.2057, 0.1861, 0.1542, 0.0, 0.0054, -0.048, -0.048, -0.022, -0.0086, 0.0103, 0.0306, 0.0082, 0.0078, 0.0405, 0.0179, -0.0078, 0.0601, 0.0248, 0.0118, -0.031, -0.064, -0.0616, -0.0407, -0.0549, -0.1017, -0.1167, -0.1135, -0.1208, -0.1148, -0.0676, -0.1247, -0.0922, -0.0788, -0.02, -0.0842, -0.1051, -0.1238, -0.0648, -0.053, -0.0358, -0.0358, -0.0067, 0.0065, 0.0571, 0.0603, 0.0747, 0.1191, 0.1157, 0.0941, 0.1066, 0.1462, 0.1449, 0.1721, 0.2343, 0.2447, 0.3056, 0.2617, 0.2322, 0.2119, 0.3013, 0.297, 0.2929, 0.3773, 0.3692, 0.3446, 0.4482, 0.4344, 0.843, 1.1452, 1.1611, 1.0961, 1.266, 1.1096, 1.1691, 1.2408, 1.4501, 1.4501, 1.658, 1.712, 1.6976, 1.6989, 1.6989, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2026771308860813478", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-25T21:28:30+00:00", "symbol": "IQE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "トランシーバーやハイパースケーラーのサプライチェーンにおける重要性が、財務状況の悪さを上回るかどうかの「一か八かの賭け」といったところですね", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "IQE is a speculative long: supply-chain importance to transceivers/hyperscalers may outweigh weak balance sheet; also flagged as high-volatility like AXTI.", "resolved_tickers": ["IQE.L"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "IQE plc LSE-listed epiwafer supplier", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "ja", "tweet_text": "$IQE は時価総額1億5,000万ドルの注目銘柄で,  $LITE （ルメンタム）や  GOOGL（グーグル）との繋がりを見つけました！ただ、バランスシートはかなりボロボロで実質有利子負債（ネットデット）の状態です。とはいえ、トランシーバーやハイパースケーラーのサプライチェーンにおける重要性が、財務状況の悪さを上回るかどうかの「一か八かの賭け」といったところですね。\n\nそれはそうと、この銘柄も $AXTI と同じくらいボラティリティ（価格変動）が激しくなりそうです！", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "🌟フォトニクス銘柄\nサプライチェーンマップ\n\n■ 光トランシーバー\n　（BOMの中で最も高価）\n\nLumentum / Cloud Light 系列：\n\nVital / $AXTI\n→ $AXTI / Sumitomo / JX\n→ $IQE（エピウェハ）\n→ $LITE / Cloud Light\n→ $FN（契約製造）\n→ $GOOGL TPU\n\n■ マーチャント光学サプライチェーン\n\nVital https://t.co/SJYIJtkO5v", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "beauty_oe", "ret_m1d": -0.23845196874805785, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.23845196874805785, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.23008422970637898, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.22202621330445194, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008367739041678868, "bench_c_m1d": -0.016425755443605916, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.24843941501309552, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.24843941501309552, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.2539938914047166, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.2816428920519767, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005554476391621099, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03320347703888116, "ret_p1w": 0.6760299384671729, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.6760299384671729, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.6876004104228416, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.7395272102103205, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011570471955668737, "bench_c_p1w": -0.06349727174314768, "ret_p1m": 0.660424445779509, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.660424445779509, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.7272184636010184, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.766769496780944, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0667940178215094, "bench_c_p1m": -0.10634505100143499, "ret_p3m": 1.855805161842456, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.855805161842456, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.7771406448703466, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.503449233618917, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07866451697210941, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3523559282235391, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.676, -0.6785, -0.6879, -0.6923, -0.6829, -0.6866, -0.6866, -0.686, -0.6798, -0.6748, -0.6954, -0.6941, -0.6895, -0.6901, -0.6848, -0.6816, -0.6798, -0.6895, -0.6901, -0.6901, -0.6901, -0.6901, -0.6879, -0.6879, -0.6879, -0.6785, -0.686, -0.6829, -0.6517, -0.6161, -0.5418, -0.3483, -0.3839, -0.4382, -0.4913, -0.51, -0.4426, -0.5137, -0.5231, -0.5131, -0.4988, -0.5225, -0.5218, -0.4994, -0.5162, -0.5062, -0.4988, -0.5194, -0.5037, -0.5125, -0.5056, -0.49, -0.3758, -0.3608, -0.3571, -0.3383, -0.3446, -0.3371, -0.3471, -0.3521, -0.3458, -0.2022, -0.2385, 0.0, 0.2484, 0.186, 0.598, 0.623, 0.676, 0.339, 0.2272, 0.191, 0.417, 0.5169, 0.417, 0.4513, 0.4419, 0.3483, 0.5949, 0.4263, 0.4732, 0.4669, 0.5949, 0.8414, 0.6604, 0.5293, 0.4419, 0.5231, 0.5668, 0.4732, 0.4732, 0.4732, 0.5918, 0.7915, 0.8727, 1.3096, 2.0649, 1.9838, 2.3708, 2.6579, 2.2522, 2.6579, 2.9326, 2.9076, 2.1055, 1.9713, 2.0836, 1.5125, 1.5218, 1.6998, 1.5687, 1.5687, 2.1211, 1.7809, 1.8496, 1.9401, 2.402, 1.9432, 2.1523, 2.0961, 1.8714, 1.4407, 0.9975, 1.3439, 1.4875, 1.8558, 1.8558, 2.3708, 2.1648, 1.9744, 1.965, 1.965, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2027052811318693995", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-26T16:07:05+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Nvidia beating by a wide margin is just realized confirmation that the AI trade is likely to accelerate", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "AI trade set to accelerate long-term; NVDA beat confirms trend, TSM and SNDK among beneficiaries of hyperscaler capex and ASIC buildout.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NVDA blows away expectations, with $78B in revenue projected vs. $72B.\n\nThe stock dropped 4.82% on the earnings. \n\nControversial opinion but Nvidia earnings is a partially lagging indicator to me. \n\nThe #1 thing to look out for is hyperscaler capex projections and $TSM projections. \n\nMarkets like $SNDK in memory, semis from $TSM, power/grid and others are likely to rise/fall based on those two in specific as they represent the entire AI sector as a whole. \n\nEspecially as hyperscalers from $GOOGL to $AMZN rush out to build their on ASICs (apart from Nvidia)\n\nNvidia beating by a wide margin is just realized confirmation that the AI trade is likely to accelerate. \n\nShort term liquidity and MM positioning affect weekly prices, but long term, things look to accelerate even further.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0577099682700033, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0577099682700033, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.052124467345360914, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.052124467345360914, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005585500924642384, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005585500924642384, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.041646311846979644, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.041646311846979644, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0368443685884523, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0368443685884523, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004801943258527341, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004801943258527341, "ret_p1w": -0.008383338305975596, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.008383338305975596, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.003208076636686652, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.003208076636686652, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011591414942662248, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011591414942662248, "ret_p1m": -0.09389867116969342, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09389867116969342, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.016315274885381537, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.016315274885381537, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07758339628431188, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07758339628431188, "ret_p3m": 0.16215930694985548, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.16215930694985548, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07026907996052456, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07026907996052456, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09189022698933091, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09189022698933091, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0269, -0.0186, -0.0287, -0.0082, -0.0134, 0.0036, 0.0004, -0.006, -0.0214, -0.0534, -0.0465, -0.0388, -0.0755, -0.0581, -0.0211, -0.0065, 0.0234, 0.0201, 0.0201, 0.0305, 0.018, 0.0143, 0.0087, 0.0087, 0.0214, 0.0175, 0.0127, 0.0228, 0.0008, -0.0002, 0.0003, 0.005, -0.0095, 0.0117, 0.0072, 0.0072, -0.0369, -0.0085, -0.0003, 0.015, 0.0085, 0.0196, 0.0359, 0.0412, 0.0337, 0.0039, -0.0246, -0.0579, -0.0704, 0.0028, 0.0279, 0.0197, 0.0279, 0.0111, -0.0112, -0.0112, 0.0004, 0.0167, 0.0163, 0.0267, 0.036, 0.0431, 0.0577, 0.0, -0.0416, -0.013, -0.0262, -0.01, -0.0084, -0.0382, -0.0121, -0.0006, 0.0062, -0.0094, -0.025, -0.009, -0.016, -0.0242, -0.0342, -0.0659, -0.05, -0.0524, -0.0335, -0.0738, -0.0939, -0.1066, -0.0567, -0.0494, -0.0405, -0.0405, -0.0392, -0.0367, -0.0151, -0.0052, 0.0203, 0.024, 0.0629, 0.0757, 0.0729, 0.0909, 0.0929, 0.0811, 0.0953, 0.0798, 0.1265, 0.1716, 0.153, 0.1318, 0.0795, 0.0734, 0.0736, 0.0629, 0.1241, 0.144, 0.164, 0.1869, 0.1942, 0.2215, 0.2751, 0.2187, 0.2025, 0.1933, 0.2087, 0.1873, 0.1647, 0.1647, 0.1622, 0.1499, 0.1589, 0.142, 0.142, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2027052811318693995", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-26T16:07:05+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The #1 thing to look out for is hyperscaler capex projections and $TSM projections", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "AI trade set to accelerate long-term; NVDA beat confirms trend, TSM and SNDK among beneficiaries of hyperscaler capex and ASIC buildout.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NVDA blows away expectations, with $78B in revenue projected vs. $72B.\n\nThe stock dropped 4.82% on the earnings. \n\nControversial opinion but Nvidia earnings is a partially lagging indicator to me. \n\nThe #1 thing to look out for is hyperscaler capex projections and $TSM projections. \n\nMarkets like $SNDK in memory, semis from $TSM, power/grid and others are likely to rise/fall based on those two in specific as they represent the entire AI sector as a whole. \n\nEspecially as hyperscalers from $GOOGL to $AMZN rush out to build their on ASICs (apart from Nvidia)\n\nNvidia beating by a wide margin is just realized confirmation that the AI trade is likely to accelerate. \n\nShort term liquidity and MM positioning affect weekly prices, but long term, things look to accelerate even further.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.028980112755891962, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.028980112755891962, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02339461183124958, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02339461183124958, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005585500924642384, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005585500924642384, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005918157441115679, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005918157441115679, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0011162141825883376, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0011162141825883376, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004801943258527341, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004801943258527341, "ret_p1w": -0.06090606577838531, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06090606577838531, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04931465083572306, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04931465083572306, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011591414942662248, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011591414942662248, "ret_p1m": -0.1304353193504938, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1304353193504938, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.052851923066181916, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.052851923066181916, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07758339628431188, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07758339628431188, "ret_p3m": 0.0973218039123449, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0973218039123449, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.005431576923013992, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.005431576923013992, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09189022698933091, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09189022698933091, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2386, -0.2269, -0.218, -0.2247, -0.22, -0.201, -0.197, -0.1791, -0.191, -0.225, -0.2364, -0.2387, -0.265, -0.2445, -0.2332, -0.2217, -0.2119, -0.207, -0.207, -0.1963, -0.2014, -0.205, -0.1935, -0.1935, -0.1518, -0.1448, -0.131, -0.1543, -0.156, -0.1411, -0.1195, -0.121, -0.1319, -0.0933, -0.0913, -0.0913, -0.1318, -0.1345, -0.1312, -0.1113, -0.117, -0.1021, -0.0916, -0.0989, -0.1227, -0.0941, -0.109, -0.1355, -0.1223, -0.0742, -0.0568, -0.0395, -0.0072, -0.0231, -0.0277, -0.0277, -0.0335, -0.0386, -0.0436, -0.0166, -0.018, 0.0237, 0.029, 0.0, -0.0059, -0.0204, -0.0628, -0.0514, -0.0609, -0.1006, -0.0746, -0.0789, -0.059, -0.1064, -0.1022, -0.0971, -0.0792, -0.0963, -0.0984, -0.1238, -0.0993, -0.0865, -0.0745, -0.1321, -0.1304, -0.1577, -0.1006, -0.0912, -0.0977, -0.0977, -0.0905, -0.081, -0.0262, -0.0273, -0.0137, -0.0165, 0.011, -0.0017, -0.033, -0.014, -0.0253, -0.0204, 0.0311, 0.0184, 0.0711, 0.0778, 0.0441, 0.0481, 0.054, 0.0583, 0.0688, 0.0497, 0.1164, 0.1022, 0.0956, 0.0766, 0.0573, 0.064, 0.1117, 0.0761, 0.0538, 0.0449, 0.0688, 0.0836, 0.0766, 0.0766, 0.0973, 0.125, 0.1307, 0.1136, 0.1136, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2027052811318693995", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-26T16:07:05+00:00", "symbol": "SNDK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Markets like $SNDK in memory, semis from $TSM, power/grid and others are likely to rise/fall based on those two", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "AI trade set to accelerate long-term; NVDA beat confirms trend, TSM and SNDK among beneficiaries of hyperscaler capex and ASIC buildout.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNDK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NVDA blows away expectations, with $78B in revenue projected vs. $72B.\n\nThe stock dropped 4.82% on the earnings. \n\nControversial opinion but Nvidia earnings is a partially lagging indicator to me. \n\nThe #1 thing to look out for is hyperscaler capex projections and $TSM projections. \n\nMarkets like $SNDK in memory, semis from $TSM, power/grid and others are likely to rise/fall based on those two in specific as they represent the entire AI sector as a whole. \n\nEspecially as hyperscalers from $GOOGL to $AMZN rush out to build their on ASICs (apart from Nvidia)\n\nNvidia beating by a wide margin is just realized confirmation that the AI trade is likely to accelerate. \n\nShort term liquidity and MM positioning affect weekly prices, but long term, things look to accelerate even further.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.029943271667760563, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.029943271667760563, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.035528772592402946, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.035528772592402946, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005585500924642384, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005585500924642384, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02537204853975339, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02537204853975339, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.020570105281226048, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.020570105281226048, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004801943258527341, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004801943258527341, "ret_p1w": -0.13239759829150255, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.13239759829150255, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1208061833488403, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1208061833488403, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011591414942662248, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011591414942662248, "ret_p1m": -0.055330581336668905, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.055330581336668905, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.022252814947642974, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.022252814947642974, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07758339628431188, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07758339628431188, "ret_p3m": 1.4383340839062497, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.4383340839062497, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.3464438569169188, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.3464438569169188, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09189022698933091, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09189022698933091, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6776, -0.685, -0.7018, -0.6728, -0.6495, -0.6541, -0.6634, -0.6428, -0.6294, -0.6837, -0.6903, -0.6789, -0.6827, -0.6634, -0.6355, -0.6302, -0.6243, -0.6164, -0.6164, -0.6164, -0.6253, -0.6315, -0.6359, -0.6359, -0.5778, -0.5796, -0.4637, -0.4576, -0.4868, -0.4211, -0.4029, -0.402, -0.4051, -0.3722, -0.3655, -0.3655, -0.3049, -0.231, -0.2277, -0.2732, -0.2778, -0.2615, -0.1906, -0.1727, -0.116, 0.0205, 0.0669, -0.1033, -0.1161, -0.0828, -0.1051, -0.1691, -0.0806, -0.0331, -0.0389, -0.0389, -0.094, -0.079, -0.0473, -0.003, 0.0224, -0.0205, -0.0299, 0.0, -0.0254, -0.0503, -0.1327, -0.0811, -0.1324, -0.1911, -0.0969, -0.0506, 0.0054, -0.0507, 0.0149, 0.0794, 0.1047, 0.1561, 0.1844, 0.0887, 0.0776, 0.0776, 0.0398, -0.0748, -0.0553, -0.1218, -0.0254, 0.0626, 0.0762, 0.0762, 0.1116, 0.0904, 0.1979, 0.3063, 0.3066, 0.4611, 0.4488, 0.3679, 0.4104, 0.4128, 0.4006, 0.3859, 0.5019, 0.4303, 0.5185, 0.6417, 0.5376, 0.6325, 0.682, 0.8208, 0.9265, 1.1573, 1.1629, 1.0555, 1.3966, 1.3739, 1.2274, 1.22, 1.1211, 1.1592, 1.0448, 1.1219, 1.1362, 1.3658, 1.2683, 1.2683, 1.4383, 1.4389, 1.5182, 1.6001, 1.6001, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2030086798563758481", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-07T01:03:04+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Might be a good long again depending on how the news unfolds. But $22 looks like a pretty attractive entry point given they were trading in the $50s-$60s before all the drama began", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Sees HIMS at $22 as attractive entry; bear thesis flipped, still down 44%+ with squeeze potential.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yeah even after this $HIMS is still down way over 44%+. Markets were pricing in a lawsuit + revenue loss but this news just flipped everything on its head. \n\nMight be a good long again depending on how the news unfolds. But $22 looks like a pretty attractive entry point given they were trading in the $50s-$60s before all the drama began", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit 100%. The market priced $HIMS like the GLP-1 revenue was going to absolute zero. Now they have the $NVO branded supply and the bear thesis is entirely dead.\n\nShort interest hovering right around 40% of the float (by Fintel). That is massive kindling for a squeeze given the stock", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "k2__investment", "ret_m1d": -0.2897111967734822, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.2897111967734822, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.281027243409127, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.281027243409127, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0591154997726846, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0591154997726846, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06072262667805173, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06072262667805173, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "ret_p1w": 0.12274365216984151, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12274365216984151, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.13636655889404026, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13636655889404026, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "ret_p1m": -0.12003609502383417, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12003609502383417, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09460413060422168, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09460413060422168, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.7094, 0.7044, 0.6792, 0.6358, 0.6634, 0.5781, 0.569, 0.6047, 0.5817, 0.5704, 0.5645, 0.5645, 0.5483, 0.5388, 0.491, 0.4653, 0.4653, 0.5077, 0.5663, 0.6002, 0.6002, 0.5284, 0.4301, 0.4594, 0.4531, 0.4134, 0.4093, 0.4161, 0.4161, 0.375, 0.3037, 0.3773, 0.3366, 0.3664, 0.3394, 0.2938, 0.3479, 0.2225, 0.1931, 0.1525, 0.1011, 0.0596, 0.0388, -0.1277, -0.222, -0.2468, -0.287, -0.2644, -0.2644, -0.2658, -0.2852, -0.2861, -0.2947, -0.3001, -0.3023, -0.2861, -0.296, -0.3448, -0.2563, -0.2861, -0.2577, -0.2834, -0.2897, 0.0, 0.0591, 0.1679, 0.0758, 0.1178, 0.1227, 0.1273, 0.0447, 0.0903, -0.0063, 0.0135, -0.037, -0.0596, -0.0587, -0.1255, -0.1525, -0.0632, -0.1047, -0.1363, -0.1363, -0.0826, -0.12, -0.125, -0.1088, -0.1232, -0.0456, -0.0361, 0.0961, 0.218, 0.3005, 0.3994, 0.343, 0.3091, 0.2703, 0.3791, 0.3263, 0.2595, 0.1882, 0.2261, 0.2369, 0.2306, 0.1882, 0.213, 0.1575, 0.2757, 0.315, 0.1295, 0.0894, 0.0939, 0.1304, 0.0059, 0.0126, 0.0397, 0.0835, 0.0718, 0.0718, 0.0763, 0.1372, 0.1453, 0.1801, 0.1801, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2014500318827168215", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-23T00:47:58+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "incredibly defensible that $AXTI owns both supply chains for upstream materials as well as substrate productions... $AXTI capacity expansion should be fully absorbed", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish AXTI as defensible owner of both InP supply chains; capacity expansion fully absorbed by AI networking demand; secondary leans on COHR scaling and MRVL/Inphi exposure.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If the moonshot (which is massive price hikes on InP like HBM) fails, then $AXTI increases revenue from  capacity expansion from Northland's $100m raise and it becomes re-rated anyway. \n\nThere's two separate bottlenecks, one is all the precursors and feedstock (which $AXTI / Vital owns, ~80% or so comes from China it's a physics problem). \n\nThen there's substrates, which as you know $AXTI, Sumitomo are leading. $JX, Vital ?, and $COHR are probably scaling. \n\nSo its incredibly defensible that $AXTI owns both supply chains for upstream materials as well as substrate productions. \n\nInP will still be needed with companies like $POET, it just reduces usage by a considerable amount (and it's used for many other applications like lidar/drones, etc).\n\nSo aside from $POET, $ALMU maybe BTO as a material, don't think there's public companies with direct exposure yet. HyperLight for TFLN. Then $MRVL Inphi, and OpenLight (private). I'm sure $COHR, and all the others are working on a workaround too (none of them prob until 2028). \n\nBut even with I say workarounds they still use inp in some manner, just less, and the amount of inp/module for rubin and networking is just massive so $AXTI capacity expansion should be fully absorbed.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I can recall that I really enjoyed your post on the InP shortage. https://t.co/m8QB2dqHQA (thanks to @jukan05)\n\nTo address that issue, it seems like they would need technologies like interposers or solutions like Aeluma. \n\nIf the 'moonshot' fails (the bust scenario), do you see", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PhotonCap", "ret_m1d": 0.029885084434708498, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.029885084434708498, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.030247733112674702, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.023061592192171743, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00036264867796620415, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006823492242536755, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02298848432756806, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02298848432756806, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01791033726695823, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02616274268267904, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005078147060609828, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0031742583551109815, "ret_p1w": 0.06551731735574395, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06551731735574395, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.061541856701349484, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05709422468151115, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003975460654394469, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008423092674232802, "ret_p1m": 0.6339080993369113, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6339080993369113, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6438320993980039, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.6019402704434333, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00992400006109262, "bench_c_p1m": 0.031967828893477934, "ret_p3m": 3.9965519739907798, "ret_signed_p3m": 3.9965519739907798, "alpha_spy_p3m": 3.9618431034478334, "alpha_c_p3m": 3.8047451531834797, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03470887054294658, "bench_c_p3m": 0.19180682080729983, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6207, -0.5937, -0.5793, -0.5431, -0.5138, -0.5092, -0.477, -0.4902, -0.4563, -0.4, -0.3931, -0.369, -0.4, -0.4, -0.4109, -0.431, -0.419, -0.4569, -0.4868, -0.4632, -0.4695, -0.3994, -0.3994, -0.3851, -0.3799, -0.3241, -0.3402, -0.3046, -0.3345, -0.2695, -0.1402, -0.1086, -0.0586, -0.1489, -0.1477, -0.2529, -0.2897, -0.1948, -0.158, -0.1253, -0.1586, -0.1374, -0.1374, -0.1167, -0.1615, -0.092, -0.0603, -0.0603, -0.0368, -0.042, 0.1592, 0.3856, 0.4845, 0.3213, 0.2782, 0.2362, 0.2701, 0.4782, 0.2695, 0.2695, 0.2305, 0.1368, 0.0299, 0.0, 0.023, -0.0115, -0.0328, -0.0586, 0.0655, 0.2034, 0.1345, 0.0776, 0.1741, 0.3828, 0.596, 0.3994, 0.5402, 0.4247, 0.3931, 0.3931, 0.3339, 0.3529, 0.3684, 0.7057, 0.6339, 1.0161, 1.3546, 1.1333, 1.1782, 1.6621, 1.4, 1.2489, 1.2299, 0.8603, 1.2161, 1.546, 1.7218, 1.6856, 1.808, 1.781, 1.5494, 1.8023, 2.3385, 2.1172, 2.7034, 2.9333, 2.8707, 2.3626, 2.4845, 2.0305, 2.2747, 1.7092, 2.0368, 2.0368, 1.4132, 1.6126, 2.0563, 2.6276, 2.6885, 2.819, 2.8678, 2.6167, 3.7, 3.7448, 3.5264, 3.3086, 3.9966, 3.3259, 3.377, 3.0316, 2.9489, 3.0845, 3.5529, 4.5172, 5.092, 5.181, 5.0247, 5.231, 5.6874, 6.2305, 6.0632, 6.008, 5.608, 6.1138, 5.0851, 5.4874, 5.0121, 5.9552, 7.0937, 7.0937, 6.6207, 6.0557, 5.6494, 4.9287, 4.9287, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2014500318827168215", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-23T00:47:58+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$COHR are probably scaling", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish AXTI as defensible owner of both InP supply chains; capacity expansion fully absorbed by AI networking demand; secondary leans on COHR scaling and MRVL/Inphi exposure.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If the moonshot (which is massive price hikes on InP like HBM) fails, then $AXTI increases revenue from  capacity expansion from Northland's $100m raise and it becomes re-rated anyway. \n\nThere's two separate bottlenecks, one is all the precursors and feedstock (which $AXTI / Vital owns, ~80% or so comes from China it's a physics problem). \n\nThen there's substrates, which as you know $AXTI, Sumitomo are leading. $JX, Vital ?, and $COHR are probably scaling. \n\nSo its incredibly defensible that $AXTI owns both supply chains for upstream materials as well as substrate productions. \n\nInP will still be needed with companies like $POET, it just reduces usage by a considerable amount (and it's used for many other applications like lidar/drones, etc).\n\nSo aside from $POET, $ALMU maybe BTO as a material, don't think there's public companies with direct exposure yet. HyperLight for TFLN. Then $MRVL Inphi, and OpenLight (private). I'm sure $COHR, and all the others are working on a workaround too (none of them prob until 2028). \n\nBut even with I say workarounds they still use inp in some manner, just less, and the amount of inp/module for rubin and networking is just massive so $AXTI capacity expansion should be fully absorbed.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I can recall that I really enjoyed your post on the InP shortage. https://t.co/m8QB2dqHQA (thanks to @jukan05)\n\nTo address that issue, it seems like they would need technologies like interposers or solutions like Aeluma. \n\nIf the 'moonshot' fails (the bust scenario), do you see", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PhotonCap", "ret_m1d": 0.029349033754666243, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.029349033754666243, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.029711682432632447, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.029711682432632447, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00036264867796620415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00036264867796620415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004163664340735673, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004163664340735673, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0009144827198741545, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0009144827198741545, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005078147060609828, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005078147060609828, "ret_p1w": 0.07738392426855589, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07738392426855589, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07340846361416142, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07340846361416142, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003975460654394469, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003975460654394469, "ret_p1m": 0.2637859058811498, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2637859058811498, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2737099059422424, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2737099059422424, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00992400006109262, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00992400006109262, "ret_p3m": 0.779577520442934, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.779577520442934, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.7448686498999875, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.7448686498999875, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03470887054294658, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03470887054294658, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3184, -0.299, -0.3261, -0.3299, -0.3297, -0.3465, -0.3164, -0.1911, -0.2154, -0.1534, -0.1977, -0.2045, -0.2893, -0.2925, -0.2938, -0.2985, -0.2742, -0.3114, -0.2916, -0.2292, -0.2442, -0.218, -0.218, -0.1659, -0.1698, -0.1627, -0.1319, -0.0995, -0.0769, -0.0563, -0.0214, 0.0026, 0.0079, -0.0944, -0.0939, -0.1104, -0.1346, -0.1078, -0.0564, -0.0303, -0.0257, -0.0283, -0.0283, -0.0265, -0.0402, -0.0514, -0.0628, -0.0628, -0.0133, -0.0537, -0.0144, -0.027, -0.1208, -0.0959, -0.0597, -0.0351, -0.0651, -0.005, -0.03, -0.03, -0.0177, 0.023, 0.0293, 0.0, 0.0042, 0.0866, 0.1229, 0.0961, 0.0774, 0.1295, 0.1637, 0.0714, 0.0625, 0.1561, 0.2311, 0.1596, 0.1358, 0.0973, 0.103, 0.103, 0.1169, 0.1368, 0.1805, 0.2602, 0.2638, 0.2941, 0.3603, 0.2701, 0.3148, 0.5178, 0.4259, 0.3957, 0.2891, 0.1969, 0.2812, 0.3234, 0.2766, 0.2251, 0.2327, 0.2561, 0.2481, 0.306, 0.3993, 0.2879, 0.2951, 0.3828, 0.3813, 0.2354, 0.2363, 0.1153, 0.2096, 0.2583, 0.3109, 0.3109, 0.2858, 0.2953, 0.4308, 0.4429, 0.5614, 0.5636, 0.5914, 0.5649, 0.6655, 0.7519, 0.7645, 0.7457, 0.7796, 0.7146, 0.7066, 0.6326, 0.5435, 0.5483, 0.6234, 0.6731, 0.6751, 0.7047, 0.7501, 0.6207, 0.7023, 0.9279, 0.8991, 1.0499, 1.0562, 0.942, 0.8423, 0.7956, 0.8204, 0.9194, 0.9172, 0.9172, 0.9364, 0.9304, 0.914, 0.8354, 0.8354, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2014500318827168215", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-23T00:47:58+00:00", "symbol": "MRVL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$MRVL Inphi, and OpenLight (private)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish AXTI as defensible owner of both InP supply chains; capacity expansion fully absorbed by AI networking demand; secondary leans on COHR scaling and MRVL/Inphi exposure.", "resolved_tickers": ["MRVL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If the moonshot (which is massive price hikes on InP like HBM) fails, then $AXTI increases revenue from  capacity expansion from Northland's $100m raise and it becomes re-rated anyway. \n\nThere's two separate bottlenecks, one is all the precursors and feedstock (which $AXTI / Vital owns, ~80% or so comes from China it's a physics problem). \n\nThen there's substrates, which as you know $AXTI, Sumitomo are leading. $JX, Vital ?, and $COHR are probably scaling. \n\nSo its incredibly defensible that $AXTI owns both supply chains for upstream materials as well as substrate productions. \n\nInP will still be needed with companies like $POET, it just reduces usage by a considerable amount (and it's used for many other applications like lidar/drones, etc).\n\nSo aside from $POET, $ALMU maybe BTO as a material, don't think there's public companies with direct exposure yet. HyperLight for TFLN. Then $MRVL Inphi, and OpenLight (private). I'm sure $COHR, and all the others are working on a workaround too (none of them prob until 2028). \n\nBut even with I say workarounds they still use inp in some manner, just less, and the amount of inp/module for rubin and networking is just massive so $AXTI capacity expansion should be fully absorbed.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I can recall that I really enjoyed your post on the InP shortage. https://t.co/m8QB2dqHQA (thanks to @jukan05)\n\nTo address that issue, it seems like they would need technologies like interposers or solutions like Aeluma. \n\nIf the 'moonshot' fails (the bust scenario), do you see", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PhotonCap", "ret_m1d": 0.035772016296619746, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.035772016296619746, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03613466497458595, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03613466497458595, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00036264867796620415, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00036264867796620415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0191947288492067, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0191947288492067, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014116581788596871, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014116581788596871, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005078147060609828, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005078147060609828, "ret_p1w": -0.016328111516647037, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.016328111516647037, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.020303572171041506, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.020303572171041506, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003975460654394469, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003975460654394469, "ret_p1m": -0.030412593098464114, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.030412593098464114, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.020488593037371494, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.020488593037371494, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00992400006109262, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00992400006109262, "ret_p3m": 0.9618440198632892, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.9618440198632892, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.9271351493203426, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.9271351493203426, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03470887054294658, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03470887054294658, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1018, 0.1228, 0.1032, 0.1676, 0.1256, 0.091, 0.1571, 0.1624, 0.1324, 0.1612, 0.1126, 0.1126, 0.0901, 0.0768, 0.0394, -0.02, 0.0129, -0.0449, -0.0353, 0.0436, 0.0391, 0.0926, 0.0926, 0.1135, 0.1347, 0.157, 0.248, 0.223, 0.2319, 0.1459, 0.1073, 0.1517, 0.1139, 0.0516, 0.0495, 0.0471, 0.0176, 0.0521, 0.0474, 0.0562, 0.0921, 0.0773, 0.0773, 0.0754, 0.0682, 0.0806, 0.0584, 0.0584, 0.1134, 0.1238, 0.0989, 0.0542, 0.0394, 0.0373, 0.0332, 0.0351, 0.0122, 0.0019, 0.0029, 0.0029, -0.0054, 0.0289, 0.0358, 0.0, 0.0192, 0.0337, 0.0423, 0.0138, -0.0163, -0.0196, -0.0585, -0.081, -0.075, 0.0006, 0.0264, 0.0222, 0.0138, -0.0249, -0.0202, -0.0202, -0.0152, -0.0142, -0.0077, -0.0093, -0.0304, -0.0229, 0.0086, -0.0117, 0.0182, 0.0079, -0.0339, -0.0267, -0.0567, 0.1164, 0.1548, 0.1629, 0.1273, 0.0927, 0.0951, 0.1415, 0.1316, 0.0921, 0.1159, 0.0957, 0.1238, 0.1512, 0.2271, 0.2175, 0.1826, 0.0945, 0.2346, 0.3301, 0.335, 0.335, 0.365, 0.3633, 0.4265, 0.4948, 0.6023, 0.6374, 0.6689, 0.6785, 0.6632, 0.742, 0.8436, 0.8869, 0.9618, 1.0646, 1.049, 0.9729, 0.9108, 0.9525, 1.0595, 1.057, 1.0409, 1.1044, 1.1468, 0.9954, 1.1216, 1.1304, 1.0514, 1.2191, 1.2768, 1.2059, 1.1066, 1.1982, 1.3295, 1.378, 1.4483, 1.4483, 1.5971, 1.4779, 1.5543, 1.5564, 1.5564, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2034559475533910175", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-19T09:15:53+00:00", "symbol": "V", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Card networks and % fee payment processors like $PYPL are likely going to be cooked", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bearish V, MA, PYPL on AI-agent micropayment disruption via USDC; bullish CRCL and COIN as the disruptors.", "resolved_tickers": ["V"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Credit Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Credit Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’m surprised markets aren’t pricing in long term disruption of card networks + interchange like $V and $MA.\n\nBy $CRCL and $COIN.\n\nFrom Global Markets Head at Circle:\n\n\"Over the past nine months, AI agents completed 140 million payments with a total transaction volume of 43 million US dollars. \n\nAmong these, 98.6% were settled in USDC, with an average transaction amount of only 0.31 US dollars.\"\n\nCard networks and % fee payment processors like $PYPL are likely going to be cooked?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00230221092039562, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00230221092039562, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004772639382462307, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0018939696435396058, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002470428462066687, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00040824127685601397, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006372888785448394, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006372888785448394, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.020708664657952625, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004535803039596331, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01433577587250423, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0018370857458520629, "ret_p1w": 0.019418852702478118, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.019418852702478118, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.039043328653576403, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.013047518127619506, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019624475951098286, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006371334574858611, "ret_p1m": 0.05775587340298971, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05775587340298971, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02147936513068527, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.017963804468345, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07923523853367498, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07571967787133471, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1724, 0.1766, 0.1825, 0.1825, 0.182, 0.1807, 0.1774, 0.1678, 0.1678, 0.1537, 0.178, 0.1906, 0.185, 0.1728, 0.1646, 0.1428, 0.0917, 0.096, 0.0913, 0.0931, 0.0931, 0.0849, 0.0831, 0.0867, 0.0861, 0.0938, 0.083, 0.0887, 0.1048, 0.0716, 0.1116, 0.0952, 0.0986, 0.0959, 0.1041, 0.0841, 0.095, 0.0985, 0.0816, 0.0479, 0.0479, 0.066, 0.0687, 0.0641, 0.0709, 0.0227, 0.0251, 0.0443, 0.0567, 0.0682, 0.0694, 0.0705, 0.0693, 0.067, 0.0589, 0.0543, 0.0491, 0.0309, 0.0227, 0.0248, 0.0347, 0.0292, -0.0023, 0.0, 0.0064, 0.0158, 0.0135, 0.0174, 0.0194, -0.014, -0.0006, 0.0084, -0.004, 0.0036, 0.0036, 0.0121, 0.0095, 0.0309, 0.0286, 0.0155, 0.0323, 0.0389, 0.0541, 0.0513, 0.0578, 0.0475, 0.0341, 0.0386, 0.0306, 0.0324, 0.0332, 0.032, 0.1173, 0.1005, 0.0945, 0.0906, 0.0745, 0.0637, 0.072, 0.0637, 0.0806, 0.0914, 0.0709, 0.0783, 0.0891, 0.1122, 0.103, 0.1059, 0.1071, 0.0996, 0.0996, 0.0916, 0.0954, 0.0865, 0.0912, 0.0912, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2034559475533910175", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-19T09:15:53+00:00", "symbol": "MA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Card networks and % fee payment processors like $PYPL are likely going to be cooked", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bearish V, MA, PYPL on AI-agent micropayment disruption via USDC; bullish CRCL and COIN as the disruptors.", "resolved_tickers": ["MA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Credit Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Credit Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’m surprised markets aren’t pricing in long term disruption of card networks + interchange like $V and $MA.\n\nBy $CRCL and $COIN.\n\nFrom Global Markets Head at Circle:\n\n\"Over the past nine months, AI agents completed 140 million payments with a total transaction volume of 43 million US dollars. \n\nAmong these, 98.6% were settled in USDC, with an average transaction amount of only 0.31 US dollars.\"\n\nCard networks and % fee payment processors like $PYPL are likely going to be cooked?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0054363647307085206, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0054363647307085206, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007906793192775208, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005028123453852507, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002470428462066687, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00040824127685601397, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010546825181296793, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010546825181296793, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.024882601053801023, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00870973943544473, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01433577587250423, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0018370857458520629, "ret_p1w": 0.01956664316163992, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01956664316163992, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.039191119112738204, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.013195308586781307, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019624475951098286, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006371334574858611, "ret_p1m": 0.06323209034295707, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06323209034295707, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.01600314819071791, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.012487587528377642, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07923523853367498, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07571967787133471, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1704, 0.1717, 0.178, 0.178, 0.1783, 0.1749, 0.1739, 0.1606, 0.1606, 0.1449, 0.1559, 0.1798, 0.179, 0.1793, 0.1718, 0.153, 0.1096, 0.1134, 0.1049, 0.0984, 0.0984, 0.0827, 0.0742, 0.0849, 0.0684, 0.0737, 0.0596, 0.0616, 0.1071, 0.097, 0.1308, 0.1213, 0.127, 0.1237, 0.1173, 0.09, 0.1003, 0.0943, 0.074, 0.0554, 0.0554, 0.0627, 0.075, 0.0593, 0.0718, 0.01, 0.014, 0.0372, 0.0481, 0.0531, 0.0608, 0.0676, 0.0647, 0.0682, 0.0635, 0.0541, 0.048, 0.0262, 0.0126, 0.0139, 0.0353, 0.0314, -0.0054, 0.0, 0.0105, 0.0188, 0.0159, 0.0237, 0.0196, -0.014, 0.0058, 0.0173, 0.001, 0.0047, 0.0047, 0.0211, 0.0145, 0.0325, 0.0271, 0.0171, 0.0373, 0.0466, 0.0605, 0.0576, 0.0632, 0.0537, 0.0429, 0.0405, 0.0246, 0.0283, 0.0329, 0.0353, 0.0712, 0.0257, 0.0105, 0.0295, 0.0138, 0.0032, 0.0217, 0.0106, 0.0153, 0.0194, 0.0007, -0.0007, 0.008, 0.0316, 0.0192, 0.0158, 0.019, 0.0168, 0.0168, 0.0055, 0.0097, 0.007, 0.0075, 0.0075, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2034559475533910175", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-19T09:15:53+00:00", "symbol": "PYPL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Card networks and % fee payment processors like $PYPL are likely going to be cooked", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bearish V, MA, PYPL on AI-agent micropayment disruption via USDC; bullish CRCL and COIN as the disruptors.", "resolved_tickers": ["PYPL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’m surprised markets aren’t pricing in long term disruption of card networks + interchange like $V and $MA.\n\nBy $CRCL and $COIN.\n\nFrom Global Markets Head at Circle:\n\n\"Over the past nine months, AI agents completed 140 million payments with a total transaction volume of 43 million US dollars. \n\nAmong these, 98.6% were settled in USDC, with an average transaction amount of only 0.31 US dollars.\"\n\nCard networks and % fee payment processors like $PYPL are likely going to be cooked?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.009051856490376542, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.009051856490376542, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.006581428028309855, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.006581428028309855, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002470428462066687, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002470428462066687, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004073326788179288, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004073326788179288, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010262449084324943, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010262449084324943, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01433577587250423, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01433577587250423, "ret_p1w": 0.022855898791995122, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.022855898791995122, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04248037474309341, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04248037474309341, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019624475951098286, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019624475951098286, "ret_p1m": 0.14980771559881467, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14980771559881467, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0705724770651397, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0705724770651397, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07923523853367498, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07923523853367498, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3505, 0.3404, 0.3546, 0.3546, 0.353, 0.3422, 0.3334, 0.3171, 0.3171, 0.3117, 0.3377, 0.3494, 0.3201, 0.3146, 0.3009, 0.2925, 0.2761, 0.3009, 0.2801, 0.2835, 0.2835, 0.2427, 0.2609, 0.2894, 0.2774, 0.277, 0.2524, 0.2201, 0.1982, 0.1888, 0.1806, -0.0592, -0.0743, -0.0998, -0.0881, -0.0716, -0.0639, -0.0872, -0.1183, -0.091, -0.091, -0.0793, -0.0648, -0.0585, -0.0603, -0.0062, 0.0608, 0.0676, 0.0272, 0.0426, 0.0295, 0.0464, 0.0579, 0.0781, 0.0629, 0.0446, 0.0188, 0.0312, 0.0038, 0.0161, 0.0278, 0.0439, 0.0091, 0.0, -0.0041, 0.0294, 0.0005, 0.0149, 0.0229, -0.0136, 0.0109, 0.0235, 0.01, 0.026, 0.026, 0.0292, 0.0154, 0.0376, 0.0405, 0.0238, 0.0751, 0.0855, 0.1217, 0.1272, 0.1498, 0.1645, 0.1514, 0.1591, 0.1258, 0.1423, 0.1263, 0.1233, 0.1527, 0.1346, 0.1414, 0.1403, 0.052, 0.0471, 0.0459, 0.0267, 0.0199, 0.0283, 0.0235, 0.0192, 0.005, 0.0044, -0.0081, 0.0042, 0.0025, 0.0009, 0.0009, -0.0007, -0.0097, 0.0061, 0.0127, 0.0127, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2034559475533910175", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-03-19T09:15:53+00:00", "symbol": "CRCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm surprised markets aren't pricing in long term disruption of card networks + interchange like $V and $MA. By $CRCL and $COIN.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bearish V, MA, PYPL on AI-agent micropayment disruption via USDC; bullish CRCL and COIN as the disruptors.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’m surprised markets aren’t pricing in long term disruption of card networks + interchange like $V and $MA.\n\nBy $CRCL and $COIN.\n\nFrom Global Markets Head at Circle:\n\n\"Over the past nine months, AI agents completed 140 million payments with a total transaction volume of 43 million US dollars. \n\nAmong these, 98.6% were settled in USDC, with an average transaction amount of only 0.31 US dollars.\"\n\nCard networks and % fee payment processors like $PYPL are likely going to be cooked?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.035143726661621244, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.035143726661621244, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03267329819955456, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03555196793847726, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002470428462066687, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00040824127685601397, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.017922566967510378, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.017922566967510378, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0035867910950061477, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01975965271336244, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01433577587250423, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0018370857458520629, "ret_p1w": -0.23423988747044522, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.23423988747044522, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.21461541151934693, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.24061122204530383, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019624475951098286, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006371334574858611, "ret_p1m": -0.1747058197541448, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1747058197541448, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.25394105828781977, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2504254976254795, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07923523853367498, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07571967787133471, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3221, -0.3553, -0.356, -0.356, -0.3667, -0.3726, -0.3775, -0.3821, -0.3821, -0.3496, -0.3392, -0.3388, -0.372, -0.3627, -0.354, -0.354, -0.3496, -0.3392, -0.4031, -0.3874, -0.3874, -0.4335, -0.434, -0.444, -0.4442, -0.4475, -0.4548, -0.4324, -0.4736, -0.5018, -0.5413, -0.5624, -0.571, -0.6086, -0.5555, -0.5317, -0.5344, -0.5491, -0.5587, -0.5321, -0.5321, -0.5198, -0.5079, -0.5175, -0.5089, -0.5233, -0.5218, -0.3521, -0.3204, -0.3498, -0.2508, -0.2236, -0.1797, -0.176, -0.2059, -0.1285, -0.0798, -0.1209, -0.1103, -0.1009, -0.0195, 0.031, 0.0351, 0.0, -0.0179, -0.0132, -0.2116, -0.1907, -0.2342, -0.2702, -0.2994, -0.2565, -0.2929, -0.2967, -0.2967, -0.2819, -0.2666, -0.2641, -0.3369, -0.314, -0.231, -0.178, -0.1777, -0.1626, -0.1747, -0.1712, -0.2518, -0.1868, -0.2207, -0.2234, -0.2563, -0.2648, -0.2554, -0.2918, -0.2231, -0.0686, -0.1102, -0.0509, -0.1175, -0.1142, 0.0267, -0.0365, -0.0137, -0.0347, -0.1117, -0.132, -0.1348, -0.1302, -0.1048, -0.1185, -0.1185, -0.1883, -0.2002, -0.1565, -0.1195, -0.1195, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2034559475533910175", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-03-19T09:15:53+00:00", "symbol": "COIN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm surprised markets aren't pricing in long term disruption of card networks + interchange like $V and $MA. By $CRCL and $COIN.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bearish V, MA, PYPL on AI-agent micropayment disruption via USDC; bullish CRCL and COIN as the disruptors.", "resolved_tickers": ["COIN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Financial Data & Stock Exchanges'", "bench_c_industry": "Financial Data & Stock Exchanges", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’m surprised markets aren’t pricing in long term disruption of card networks + interchange like $V and $MA.\n\nBy $CRCL and $COIN.\n\nFrom Global Markets Head at Circle:\n\n\"Over the past nine months, AI agents completed 140 million payments with a total transaction volume of 43 million US dollars. \n\nAmong these, 98.6% were settled in USDC, with an average transaction amount of only 0.31 US dollars.\"\n\nCard networks and % fee payment processors like $PYPL are likely going to be cooked?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00305559294656077, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00305559294656077, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.005526021408627457, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.002647351669704756, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002470428462066687, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00040824127685601397, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02666208449297669, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02666208449297669, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01232630862047246, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.028499170238828753, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01433577587250423, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0018370857458520629, "ret_p1w": -0.1455324934519785, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1455324934519785, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1259080175008802, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1519038280268371, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019624475951098286, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006371334574858611, "ret_p1m": 0.016854753867337147, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.016854753867337147, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06238048466633783, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.058864924003997565, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07923523853367498, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07571967787133471, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2217, 0.1941, 0.1815, 0.1815, 0.1675, 0.1521, 0.1414, 0.1145, 0.1145, 0.1657, 0.2563, 0.2348, 0.212, 0.2103, 0.1866, 0.1975, 0.2453, 0.261, 0.1792, 0.1885, 0.1885, 0.1223, 0.1184, 0.0997, 0.0692, 0.0521, 0.039, 0.0321, -0.0184, -0.0403, -0.0742, -0.1146, -0.169, -0.2799, -0.1862, -0.1757, -0.1991, -0.245, -0.3047, -0.1902, -0.1902, -0.1818, -0.1915, -0.1822, -0.1555, -0.2103, -0.2015, -0.0935, -0.1077, -0.1334, -0.0871, -0.1013, 0.0297, 0.0138, -0.028, -0.0154, -0.0315, -0.0211, -0.0477, -0.0364, 0.002, 0.0361, -0.0031, 0.0, -0.0267, -0.0113, -0.1078, -0.1075, -0.1455, -0.2059, -0.2076, -0.1395, -0.1475, -0.155, -0.155, -0.1386, -0.1367, -0.1371, -0.167, -0.1728, -0.1399, -0.0912, -0.0345, -0.0152, 0.0169, 0.043, -0.0343, 0.0164, -0.0245, -0.0155, -0.0307, -0.0434, -0.1044, -0.0746, -0.0575, 0.0004, -0.0254, -0.0244, -0.049, -0.0086, 0.0675, 0.0233, -0.0055, 0.0448, -0.0369, -0.0664, -0.0466, -0.0573, -0.0461, -0.0883, -0.0883, -0.1129, -0.1436, -0.1018, -0.0684, -0.0684, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2029524132568994011", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-05T11:47:14+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "not if you're an existing shareholder. Doesn't look like their economics cover enough of their capex", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish IREN on endless ATM dilution and capex not covered by economics; prefers NBIS management/economics.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "3 days later $IREN is having another $6B ATM, selling almost half their marketcap on the open market.\n\nMonetizing 3-4GW capacity sounds good, but not if you’re an existing shareholder. \n\nDoesn’t look like their economics cover enough of their capex in the way $NBIS does.\n\nMy bull case, alongside everyone else’s last year: was for $IREN to do colo and fund GPU related expansion with FCF.\n\nThis materially changed and added execution uncertainty + endless dilution on top.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@otium33 Not a fan of $IREN as a long unless they stop doing GPU offerings and pivot to do pure colo. investors now will be met with endless dilution to monetize their 3GW capacity.\n\nThat being said it does carry higher potential returns but I personally trust in $NBIS management more.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.09258567358474501, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09258567358474501, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08697886571843383, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08731531757656397, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005606807866311181, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005270356008181043, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08535823643764606, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08535823643764606, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07225110136680957, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0724751772376202, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013107135070836495, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01288305920002586, "ret_p1w": 0.03102801076348327, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03102801076348327, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05341140535615119, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0778755531962596, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.022383394592667916, "bench_c_p1w": -0.046847542432776335, "ret_p1m": -0.13345793251679328, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13345793251679328, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09868828585007094, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10524401041525522, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03476964666672233, "bench_c_p1m": -0.028213922101538058, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1549, 0.1674, 0.0946, 0.0951, 0.0001, -0.1158, -0.0881, -0.1581, -0.1078, -0.0051, 0.0477, 0.0485, 0.0462, 0.0462, 0.0044, -0.0178, -0.0455, -0.0587, -0.0587, 0.0642, 0.2022, 0.1442, 0.0872, 0.1384, 0.1472, 0.2543, 0.3206, 0.3179, 0.2932, 0.441, 0.441, 0.3523, 0.3328, 0.3024, 0.4126, 0.3049, 0.4951, 0.5686, 0.4913, 0.3393, 0.3229, 0.3555, 0.12, -0.0083, 0.0425, 0.1502, 0.0699, 0.0634, -0.0024, 0.0522, 0.0522, 0.0211, 0.0487, 0.0789, -0.0036, 0.0557, 0.1327, 0.0973, 0.1026, 0.0206, 0.0315, -0.0318, 0.0926, 0.0, -0.0854, -0.032, -0.05, 0.0462, 0.031, 0.0363, 0.12, 0.0707, 0.052, 0.0383, 0.029, 0.0507, 0.0248, 0.0325, -0.0667, -0.1255, -0.212, -0.1457, -0.1504, -0.1335, -0.1335, -0.1245, -0.1093, -0.0821, -0.0764, -0.0201, 0.0734, 0.1806, 0.2167, 0.1888, 0.1993, 0.2142, 0.1257, 0.206, 0.2964, 0.2621, 0.2052, 0.1075, 0.0682, 0.1342, 0.1379, 0.2331, 0.3642, 0.5198, 0.4168, 0.5252, 0.3745, 0.4096, 0.375, 0.4555, 0.3194, 0.2576, 0.1898, 0.3136, 0.447, 0.4163, 0.4163, 0.4898, 0.6907, 0.5963, 0.5836, 0.5836, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2029524132568994011", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-05T11:47:14+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I personally trust in $NBIS management more", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish IREN on endless ATM dilution and capex not covered by economics; prefers NBIS management/economics.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "3 days later $IREN is having another $6B ATM, selling almost half their marketcap on the open market.\n\nMonetizing 3-4GW capacity sounds good, but not if you’re an existing shareholder. \n\nDoesn’t look like their economics cover enough of their capex in the way $NBIS does.\n\nMy bull case, alongside everyone else’s last year: was for $IREN to do colo and fund GPU related expansion with FCF.\n\nThis materially changed and added execution uncertainty + endless dilution on top.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@otium33 Not a fan of $IREN as a long unless they stop doing GPU offerings and pivot to do pure colo. investors now will be met with endless dilution to monetize their 3GW capacity.\n\nThat being said it does carry higher potential returns but I personally trust in $NBIS management more.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.022268658854560197, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.022268658854560197, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.016661850988249016, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01931359375705255, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005606807866311181, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0029550650975076476, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06607422471513802, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06607422471513802, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.052967089644301524, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.057799990745117324, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013107135070836495, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008274233970020695, "ret_p1w": 0.12953475370615886, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12953475370615886, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15191814829882677, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1562993887712254, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.022383394592667916, "bench_c_p1w": -0.026764635065066544, "ret_p1m": 0.13768947160321843, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13768947160321843, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.17245911826994076, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.19158643664040864, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03476964666672233, "bench_c_p1m": -0.053896965037190214, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0489, 0.0079, -0.0215, -0.0143, -0.0832, -0.1517, -0.1537, -0.2112, -0.1836, -0.0647, -0.0253, -0.0588, -0.0473, -0.0473, -0.0843, -0.1005, -0.1096, -0.1249, -0.1249, -0.0596, -0.0295, 0.048, 0.0059, 0.0173, 0.0238, 0.1221, 0.1022, 0.0662, 0.0861, 0.1367, 0.1367, 0.0381, 0.0337, 0.0125, -0.012, -0.0438, 0.0232, 0.05, -0.0077, -0.1094, -0.0783, -0.0596, -0.1386, -0.2277, -0.0998, -0.029, -0.0404, -0.0736, -0.0619, 0.0247, 0.0247, 0.0196, 0.0643, 0.125, 0.0237, 0.0519, 0.0725, 0.1095, 0.0965, -0.0466, -0.0485, -0.0925, 0.0223, 0.0, -0.0661, -0.0074, 0.0082, 0.1709, 0.1295, 0.1809, 0.3576, 0.2162, 0.2395, 0.2705, 0.2297, 0.1934, 0.2014, 0.2032, 0.1079, 0.0541, -0.0354, 0.0848, 0.0659, 0.1377, 0.1377, 0.1766, 0.2274, 0.3068, 0.4253, 0.5156, 0.6159, 0.693, 0.7435, 0.7286, 0.6429, 0.664, 0.6367, 0.6324, 0.6422, 0.5385, 0.5155, 0.4167, 0.4761, 0.4452, 0.6152, 0.8444, 0.8392, 1.0396, 0.9317, 0.851, 0.9456, 0.8726, 1.167, 1.3121, 1.2994, 1.0895, 1.0672, 1.0054, 1.2993, 1.2454, 1.2454, 1.1752, 1.1785, 1.3663, 1.416, 1.416, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2032178441064534389", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-12T19:34:31+00:00", "symbol": "SLOIF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This has a long way to go given their substrate-level monopoly over the silicon photonics and CPO architectures.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long Soitec on substrate-level monopoly in silicon photonics and CPO; still significant upside despite 45%+ run.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLOIF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Soitec ( $SOI / $SLOIF ) is now up 45.58%.\n\nThis has a long way to go given their substrate-level monopoly over the silicon photonics and CPO architectures. https://t.co/P1hDh8UL9q", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Changed my mind about Soitec ( $SLOIF ) and took a sizable position ~43 for CPO exposure.\n\n$NVDA GTC next week biggest catalyst pushing photonics and this architecture. \n\n~1.5B euros MC. Trading at 1x book value and ~2x P/S (very depressed valuations)\n\nGenuine monopoly over https://t.co/3vPQQfyHrE", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0754320667507219, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0754320667507219, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09085115366651408, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1086683374182763, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01541908691579219, "bench_c_m1d": 0.03323627066755441, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02238914794054514, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02238914794054514, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02804925744155151, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.024450360164496865, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005660109501006372, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002061212223951725, "ret_p1w": -0.02900075457058604, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02900075457058604, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01960224744870198, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.046494914927943554, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009398507121884059, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017494160357357513, "ret_p1m": 0.11495106755344198, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11495106755344198, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09204673184836798, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.010651177536367573, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022904335705073997, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12560224508980955, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5684, -0.5642, -0.5767, -0.5767, -0.5767, -0.5767, -0.6093, -0.6093, -0.6093, -0.6093, -0.5988, -0.5973, -0.6308, -0.6308, -0.6308, -0.6308, -0.6308, -0.5417, -0.5417, -0.5229, -0.5229, -0.4872, -0.4872, -0.4861, -0.4786, -0.4786, -0.5103, -0.5103, -0.5103, -0.5095, -0.4798, -0.4798, -0.4798, -0.4947, -0.5229, -0.5379, -0.5385, -0.4385, -0.4515, -0.4457, -0.4457, -0.4457, -0.3162, -0.3162, -0.3162, -0.3162, -0.3162, -0.3038, -0.3038, -0.3038, -0.3038, -0.307, -0.307, -0.2458, -0.2458, -0.2332, -0.2455, -0.241, -0.2804, -0.2577, -0.2822, -0.2248, -0.0754, 0.0, 0.0224, 0.0957, 0.0588, 0.0953, -0.029, -0.119, -0.0884, -0.1079, -0.0443, -0.0786, -0.0759, -0.114, -0.105, -0.0832, -0.1252, -0.1252, -0.1172, -0.1217, -0.0646, -0.0383, 0.115, 0.1772, 0.3154, 0.3755, 0.5411, 0.698, 0.7844, 0.7431, 0.9384, 0.8033, 0.9534, 0.9507, 0.7333, 0.9947, 1.2807, 1.2766, 1.6935, 1.7797, 1.5935, 1.6227, 2.0563, 1.869, 1.592, 1.7681, 1.6566, 1.5932, 1.4557, 1.5234, 1.7647, 1.9752, 2.084, 2.084, 1.9002, 1.6326, 2.3973, 2.0954, 2.0954, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2027834543341015477", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-28T19:53:25+00:00", "symbol": "IQE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "they're sitting on a gold mine of capacity as a known $LITE supplier and large contributor to the hyperscaler photonics supply chain. If they do manage to restructure by selling off their Taiwan business wouldn't be surprised if it got re-rated like 1000%", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AAOI as a heavy buyer on asymmetric upside; long IQE on photonics capacity/restructuring potential for a massive re-rating.", "resolved_tickers": ["IQE.L"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "IQE plc LSE-listed epiwafer supplier", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$IQE is inherently dangerous because of debt. I'm just saying they're sitting on a gold mine of capacity as a known $LITE supplier and large contributor to the hyperscaler photonics supply chain.   \n\nIf they do manage to restructure by selling off their Taiwan business wouldn't be surprised if it got re-rated  like 1000%. Depends on your risk appetite. \n\n$AAOI is pure asymmetrical upside at these levels, and I'm a heavy buyer.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Do you suggest to have small shares in each or have a majority of $AAOI and $IQE as i expect to do. And maximalise risk but also growth", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Mellokhai", "ret_m1d": -0.25781251105945546, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.25781251105945546, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.2572442553752491, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.2577632491914754, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -4.926186798004384e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.015624984866008385, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015624984866008385, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.024439323348804054, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05334741046031222, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03772242559430383, "ret_p1w": -0.2546875140862538, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.2546875140862538, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.24287193316273892, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.22510996764567903, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.029577546440574753, "ret_p1m": -0.04687502910383001, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04687502910383001, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.003044712471353739, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.009696293820630864, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.056571322924460876, "ret_p3m": 0.8613281568686939, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.8613281568686939, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.758934777702786, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3853322035509221, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.4759959533177718, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.8074, -0.8016, -0.8039, -0.8039, -0.8035, -0.7996, -0.7965, -0.8094, -0.8086, -0.8057, -0.8061, -0.8027, -0.8008, -0.7996, -0.8057, -0.8061, -0.8061, -0.8061, -0.8061, -0.8047, -0.8047, -0.8047, -0.7988, -0.8035, -0.8016, -0.782, -0.7598, -0.7133, -0.5922, -0.6145, -0.6484, -0.6816, -0.6934, -0.6512, -0.6957, -0.7016, -0.6953, -0.6863, -0.7012, -0.7008, -0.6867, -0.6973, -0.691, -0.6863, -0.6992, -0.6895, -0.6949, -0.6906, -0.6809, -0.6094, -0.6, -0.5977, -0.5859, -0.5898, -0.5852, -0.5914, -0.5945, -0.5906, -0.5008, -0.5234, -0.3742, -0.2188, -0.2578, 0.0, 0.0156, 0.0488, -0.1621, -0.232, -0.2547, -0.1133, -0.0508, -0.1133, -0.0918, -0.0977, -0.1562, -0.002, -0.1074, -0.0781, -0.082, -0.002, 0.1523, 0.0391, -0.043, -0.0977, -0.0469, -0.0195, -0.0781, -0.0781, -0.0781, -0.0039, 0.1211, 0.1719, 0.4453, 0.918, 0.8672, 1.1094, 1.2891, 1.0352, 1.2891, 1.4609, 1.4453, 0.9434, 0.8594, 0.9297, 0.5723, 0.5781, 0.6895, 0.6074, 0.6074, 0.9531, 0.7402, 0.7832, 0.8398, 1.1289, 0.8418, 0.9727, 0.9375, 0.7969, 0.5273, 0.25, 0.4668, 0.5566, 0.7871, 0.7871, 1.1094, 0.9805, 0.8613, 0.8555, 0.8555, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2027834543341015477", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-28T19:53:25+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI is pure asymmetrical upside at these levels, and I'm a heavy buyer", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AAOI as a heavy buyer on asymmetric upside; long IQE on photonics capacity/restructuring potential for a massive re-rating.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$IQE is inherently dangerous because of debt. I'm just saying they're sitting on a gold mine of capacity as a known $LITE supplier and large contributor to the hyperscaler photonics supply chain.   \n\nIf they do manage to restructure by selling off their Taiwan business wouldn't be surprised if it got re-rated  like 1000%. Depends on your risk appetite. \n\n$AAOI is pure asymmetrical upside at these levels, and I'm a heavy buyer.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Do you suggest to have small shares in each or have a majority of $AAOI and $IQE as i expect to do. And maximalise risk but also growth", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Mellokhai", "ret_m1d": -0.17832405032051124, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.17832405032051124, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.17775579463630486, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.17775579463630486, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06994445077477685, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06994445077477685, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.061130112291981176, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.061130112291981176, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "ret_p1w": 0.07911423706316767, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07911423706316767, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09092981798668254, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09092981798668254, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "ret_p1m": -0.17481226636328706, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17481226636328706, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12489252478810331, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12489252478810331, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "ret_p3m": 0.6488147570989427, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6488147570989427, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5464213779330347, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5464213779330347, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7498, -0.744, -0.7406, -0.7284, -0.7036, -0.6588, -0.6457, -0.6873, -0.7083, -0.7175, -0.7352, -0.7147, -0.6945, -0.6186, -0.6036, -0.6, -0.6, -0.6374, -0.6415, -0.6486, -0.6599, -0.6599, -0.6137, -0.6587, -0.6234, -0.6288, -0.678, -0.6679, -0.6711, -0.6666, -0.6637, -0.6391, -0.6387, -0.6387, -0.617, -0.6256, -0.6278, -0.6515, -0.6596, -0.6353, -0.5588, -0.614, -0.5746, -0.5692, -0.5501, -0.6108, -0.628, -0.5678, -0.5326, -0.527, -0.5279, -0.5709, -0.5663, -0.5663, -0.5717, -0.5762, -0.5417, -0.4959, -0.4736, -0.4511, -0.433, -0.4762, -0.1783, 0.0, -0.0699, -0.0273, -0.0134, -0.0676, 0.0791, 0.1754, 0.239, 0.0359, -0.0556, -0.0823, -0.1578, -0.0964, -0.0058, -0.146, -0.0658, 0.1111, 0.1161, -0.0497, -0.0419, -0.169, -0.1748, -0.1576, 0.0137, 0.0137, 0.0482, 0.1476, 0.2945, 0.3004, 0.4691, 0.4944, 0.4281, 0.3906, 0.5347, 0.5552, 0.5947, 0.4688, 0.4576, 0.3436, 0.582, 0.4221, 0.339, 0.4909, 0.6034, 0.7902, 0.6874, 0.7615, 0.7417, 0.5369, 0.4529, 0.8037, 0.8367, 1.1764, 0.9859, 0.857, 0.6902, 0.6713, 0.6121, 0.7248, 0.7705, 0.7705, 0.7327, 0.7543, 0.6488, 0.5453, 0.5453, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2027406294425178336", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-27T15:31:42+00:00", "symbol": "CRCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I am long Circle for the long run because I do think USDC is a money printer", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long CRCL for the long run; found it highly attractive at $54, views USDC as a durable money printer.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$CRCL is not put in the software bucket. You can't vibe code US based stablecoins because it's highly regulated. \n\nThe selloff was mainly do to broader digital asset sentiment, clarity act interest rate (proxies to exchanges like $COIN where ppl keep USDC deposits), and potential rate cuts.\n\nI just found circulating supply was the same above ~$70B despite the stock selling off 50%+ and found $CRCL at $54 to be highly attractive. \n\nThat being said I am long Circle for the long run because I do think USDC is a money printer.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Bullish long therme $CRCL ??", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "AAsticot280", "ret_m1d": 0.04518212527275267, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04518212527275267, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04035701209452758, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02437719386157733, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "bench_c_m1d": 0.020804931411175343, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.15220513634524946, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.15220513634524946, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.15163655756291816, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.15473288567243793, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0025277493271884666, "ret_p1w": 0.22135667162370032, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.22135667162370032, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.241196618436202, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.23807843609337842, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "bench_c_p1w": -0.016721764469678102, "ret_p1m": 0.07754076020367484, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07754076020367484, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15377233815744962, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.132400040499278, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05485928029560316, "ret_p3m": 0.23010542169776338, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.23010542169776338, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.13313673260775793, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2251605610024352, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.004944860695328179, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0719, 0.0342, 0.0482, 0.0261, 0.0062, 0.0652, 0.0596, 0.0615, 0.0004, -0.0956, -0.0053, -0.0508, -0.0294, 0.0322, 0.0427, -0.0085, -0.0096, -0.0096, -0.026, -0.0351, -0.0425, -0.0496, -0.0496, 0.0004, 0.0163, 0.0169, -0.0342, -0.0198, -0.0065, -0.0065, 0.0002, 0.0163, -0.082, -0.0579, -0.0579, -0.1287, -0.1294, -0.1449, -0.1451, -0.1503, -0.1616, -0.127, -0.1904, -0.2338, -0.2946, -0.3269, -0.3402, -0.398, -0.3164, -0.2797, -0.2839, -0.3066, -0.3213, -0.2804, -0.2804, -0.2615, -0.2432, -0.2579, -0.2447, -0.2669, -0.2645, -0.0036, 0.0452, 0.0, 0.1522, 0.194, 0.2616, 0.2673, 0.2214, 0.3404, 0.4153, 0.352, 0.3684, 0.3828, 0.508, 0.5857, 0.592, 0.538, 0.5104, 0.5177, 0.2125, 0.2447, 0.1777, 0.1225, 0.0775, 0.1435, 0.0875, 0.0817, 0.0817, 0.1044, 0.128, 0.1318, 0.0199, 0.0551, 0.1826, 0.2643, 0.2646, 0.2879, 0.2693, 0.2747, 0.1508, 0.2507, 0.1986, 0.1944, 0.1438, 0.1308, 0.1453, 0.0892, 0.1949, 0.4325, 0.3685, 0.4597, 0.3573, 0.3623, 0.5791, 0.4819, 0.5169, 0.4847, 0.3663, 0.335, 0.3307, 0.3377, 0.3768, 0.3557, 0.3557, 0.2484, 0.2301, 0.2972, 0.3543, 0.3543, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2031167116741837246", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-10T00:35:52+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "세계 최대 규모의 헬스케어 리테일 고객 네트워크(retail capture)를 구축해 냈습니다. 이 모든 것을 FTC나 규제 당국의 제재 없이 해냈죠", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish HIMS on global healthcare retail network built via acquisitions (Zava, Livewell, Eucalyptus) with no regulatory hurdles; monetization potential ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "ko", "tweet_text": "정말 훌륭한 분석입니다! 제가 나서서 $HIMS 를 옹호하게 될 줄은 개인적으로 꿈에도 몰랐지만, 그들은 실제로 다음 기업들을 인수하는 데 성공했습니다:\n\nZava (유럽/영국)\n\nLivewell (캐나다)\n\nEucalyptus (호주/일본)\n\n그리고 세계 최대 규모의 헬스케어 리테일 고객 네트워크(retail capture)를 구축해 냈습니다. 이 모든 것을 FTC나 규제 당국의 제재 없이 해냈죠. 이런 잠재력을 보면 과거 $META 가 WhatsApp과 기타 플랫폼들을 인수했던 때가 확실히 떠오릅니다. 여기에 $HOOD 가 새로운 기능들을 교차 판매(cross-selling)했던 전략이 결합된 모습입니다.\n\n결국, 이 거대한 유통 네트워크를 어떻게 수익화할지 그 방법을 찾아내는 것은 전적으로 경영진의 실행력에 달려 있습니다.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$HIMS 불케이스와 잠재 수익화 가능성ㅣ260310\n\n1. $HIMS 의 핵심 해자는 단순히 특정 의약품 판매 역량이 아니라, 소비자 헬스케어 영역에서의 리테일 네트워크 장악력임. 미국 내 약 2.5억 명 규모의 기존 사용자 기반에 더해, 2025년 ZAVA 인수(유럽: 영국·독일·프랑스·아일랜드, 활성 고객 130만 https://t.co/CW9OdZQm5x", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "babybluecream", "ret_m1d": -0.05581591411453468, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05581591411453468, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0574256280344525, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0574256280344525, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0016097139199178212, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0016097139199178212, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10268427430420979, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10268427430420979, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10393943723272692, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10393943723272692, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012551629285171284, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012551629285171284, "ret_p1w": 0.06433746370084648, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06433746370084648, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0737736896659631, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0737736896659631, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009436225965116618, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009436225965116618, "ret_p1m": -0.17383894516709786, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17383894516709786, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.17483752633048955, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.17483752633048955, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0009985811633916875, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0009985811633916875, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.6093, 0.5854, 0.5445, 0.5705, 0.49, 0.4815, 0.5151, 0.4934, 0.4827, 0.4772, 0.4772, 0.4619, 0.4529, 0.4078, 0.3835, 0.3835, 0.4235, 0.4789, 0.5109, 0.5109, 0.4431, 0.3502, 0.3779, 0.372, 0.3345, 0.3306, 0.337, 0.337, 0.2983, 0.2309, 0.3004, 0.262, 0.2902, 0.2646, 0.2216, 0.2727, 0.1542, 0.1265, 0.0882, 0.0396, 0.0004, -0.0192, -0.1764, -0.2654, -0.2889, -0.3268, -0.3055, -0.3055, -0.3068, -0.3251, -0.3259, -0.334, -0.3392, -0.3413, -0.3259, -0.3353, -0.3813, -0.2978, -0.3259, -0.2991, -0.3234, -0.3294, -0.0558, 0.0, 0.1027, 0.0158, 0.0554, 0.0601, 0.0643, -0.0136, 0.0294, -0.0618, -0.043, -0.0908, -0.1121, -0.1112, -0.1743, -0.1998, -0.1155, -0.1547, -0.1845, -0.1845, -0.1338, -0.1692, -0.1738, -0.1585, -0.1721, -0.0988, -0.0899, 0.0349, 0.15, 0.228, 0.3213, 0.268, 0.236, 0.1994, 0.3021, 0.2522, 0.1892, 0.1219, 0.1576, 0.1679, 0.1619, 0.1219, 0.1453, 0.0929, 0.2045, 0.2416, 0.0665, 0.0285, 0.0328, 0.0673, -0.0503, -0.0439, -0.0183, 0.023, 0.0119, 0.0119, 0.0162, 0.0737, 0.0814, 0.1142, 0.1142, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2027849069125898457", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-28T20:51:08+00:00", "symbol": "MRVL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I see it being an amazing long for 2027, just need to time it properly", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish MRVL as a long into 2027, contingent on MSFT Maia ramp timing.", "resolved_tickers": ["MRVL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Stefan_Tee8 $MRVL is heavily dependent on $MSFT maia ramp and i'd probably use the latter as a large indicator. \n\nBut I see it being an amazing long for 2027, just need to time it properly.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Your take on $mrvl and upcoming earnings? Stock seems lagging compared to peers", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Stefan_Tee8", "ret_m1d": 0.010264718457037247, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.010264718457037247, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010832974141243623, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.010832974141243623, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0414295840748089, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0414295840748089, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03261524559201323, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03261524559201323, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "ret_p1w": 0.145807599399576, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.145807599399576, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15762318032309086, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15762318032309086, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "ret_p1m": 0.22495673867117705, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.22495673867117705, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2748764802463608, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2748764802463608, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "ret_p3m": 1.5344118134886608, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.5344118134886608, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.4320184343227529, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.4320184343227529, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2383, 0.2134, 0.2223, 0.137, 0.0986, 0.1428, 0.1052, 0.0434, 0.0413, 0.039, 0.0097, 0.0439, 0.0392, 0.048, 0.0836, 0.0689, 0.0689, 0.067, 0.0598, 0.0722, 0.0502, 0.0502, 0.1047, 0.1151, 0.0904, 0.046, 0.0313, 0.0292, 0.0251, 0.0271, 0.0043, -0.0059, -0.0049, -0.0049, -0.0131, 0.0209, 0.0277, -0.0078, 0.0113, 0.0256, 0.0341, 0.0059, -0.024, -0.0272, -0.0658, -0.0882, -0.0822, -0.0072, 0.0184, 0.0142, 0.0059, -0.0325, -0.0278, -0.0278, -0.0229, -0.0219, -0.0155, -0.0171, -0.038, -0.0305, 0.0007, -0.0194, 0.0103, 0.0, -0.0414, -0.0343, -0.0641, 0.1077, 0.1458, 0.1538, 0.1185, 0.0842, 0.0866, 0.1326, 0.1228, 0.0836, 0.1072, 0.0872, 0.115, 0.1422, 0.2175, 0.208, 0.1734, 0.086, 0.225, 0.3197, 0.3246, 0.3246, 0.3543, 0.3527, 0.4154, 0.4832, 0.5898, 0.6246, 0.6559, 0.6654, 0.6502, 0.7284, 0.8293, 0.8722, 0.9466, 1.0485, 1.033, 0.9576, 0.896, 0.9373, 1.0434, 1.041, 1.025, 1.088, 1.1301, 0.9798, 1.1051, 1.1138, 1.0354, 1.2018, 1.2591, 1.1887, 1.0902, 1.181, 1.3113, 1.3595, 1.4292, 1.4292, 1.5769, 1.4586, 1.5344, 1.5365, 1.5365, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2027377980989997156", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-27T13:39:12+00:00", "symbol": "RDDT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$RDDT have been sold off 40%+ along with other software names and haven't recovered yet. So maybe it's a good idea to take a look at those", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Buying RDDT as an AI-disruption-fear overreaction; sold off 40%+ with no real fundamental impact.", "resolved_tickers": ["RDDT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@NabQ321 I’ve been a net buyer in the “AI disrupted X company but in reality it has no effect” bucket. \n\nThings like $RDDT have been sold off 40%+ along with other software names and haven’t recovered yet. \n\nSo maybe it’s a good idea to take a look at those.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit New follower here, I've gone through your last few post and it seems like most of the stocks have already run, what would you buy at these levels? Thanks", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "NabQ321", "ret_m1d": 0.037308843923546275, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.037308843923546275, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03248373074532118, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04857530554387912, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011266461620332846, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00891573330721318, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00891573330721318, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008347154524881883, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.010440516611698314, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0015247833044851333, "ret_p1w": -0.04402989010657821, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04402989010657821, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.024189943294076532, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.039031974867491326, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004997915239086881, "ret_p1m": -0.14868665158891914, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14868665158891914, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07245507363514436, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06613271281715749, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "bench_c_p1m": -0.08255393877176165, "ret_p3m": 0.05747208712108365, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05747208712108365, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.039496601968921796, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06949244704333646, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "bench_c_p3m": -0.01202035992225281, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.5277, 0.5146, 0.5277, 0.6056, 0.6251, 0.6193, 0.633, 0.6017, 0.5416, 0.4985, 0.5362, 0.5592, 0.5866, 0.5993, 0.599, 0.5487, 0.5489, 0.5489, 0.5484, 0.6093, 0.6004, 0.5765, 0.5765, 0.6589, 0.6738, 0.7407, 0.7523, 0.7417, 0.6773, 0.6735, 0.7758, 0.7309, 0.5688, 0.5843, 0.5843, 0.5456, 0.4411, 0.4714, 0.5011, 0.4651, 0.3463, 0.3246, 0.3034, 0.2363, 0.2149, 0.1344, 0.0472, 0.0359, -0.041, -0.0279, 0.0286, -0.0447, -0.1011, -0.0422, -0.0422, -0.0451, 0.0113, 0.0022, 0.0299, -0.023, -0.0256, 0.0265, 0.0373, 0.0, 0.0089, -0.0008, 0.0102, -0.0101, -0.044, -0.0477, -0.0801, -0.0596, -0.093, -0.0922, -0.0398, -0.0102, -0.0207, -0.0527, -0.0409, -0.0333, -0.0665, -0.0424, -0.1272, -0.1644, -0.1487, -0.0765, -0.066, -0.0673, -0.0673, -0.0512, -0.032, -0.0056, -0.051, -0.0417, 0.0243, 0.0599, 0.0869, 0.1141, 0.1234, 0.1404, 0.0755, 0.1269, 0.049, 0.0623, 0.0988, 0.0145, 0.0133, 0.0097, 0.1418, 0.1595, 0.1771, 0.1423, 0.1244, 0.0685, 0.094, 0.0449, 0.057, 0.072, 0.0848, 0.0912, 0.0622, 0.0062, 0.029, -0.0284, -0.0284, -0.008, 0.0575, 0.1501, 0.2071, 0.2071, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2028007393582621071", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-01T07:20:15+00:00", "symbol": "PLTR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The US government managed to wipe out leadership in a single day each because of $PLTR and Anthropic Claude black box AI LLMs", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish PLTR on US government reliance for AI-enabled geopolitical operations; AI is not a bubble.", "resolved_tickers": ["PLTR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Not sure how anyone can think Ai is bubble?\n\nThe US government managed to wipe out:\n\n- Venezulea\n- Iran\n\nleadership in a single day each because of $PLTR and Anthropic Claude black box AI LLMs.\n\nBetter yet, the US government looks completely reliant on Anthropic.\n\nThis seems like a once in a lifetime chance to escape the permanent underclass by profiting off the AI buildout and geopolitical arms race.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.054970006393828985, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.054970006393828985, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05440175070962261, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05440175070962261, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014121396139800568, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014121396139800568, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.022935734622596238, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.022935734622596238, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "ret_p1w": 0.07756419817359106, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07756419817359106, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08937977909710593, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08937977909710593, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "ret_p1m": 0.007646212195027813, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.007646212195027813, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.057565953770211564, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.057565953770211564, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "ret_p3m": -0.012605923084224147, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.012605923084224147, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11499930225013211, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11499930225013211, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2129, 0.2256, 0.252, 0.2502, 0.2526, 0.2944, 0.2919, 0.2645, 0.2623, 0.2933, 0.2213, 0.2791, 0.3321, 0.3362, 0.3373, 0.3375, 0.3375, 0.2999, 0.2687, 0.2457, 0.2244, 0.2244, 0.1563, 0.1989, 0.2379, 0.2515, 0.2183, 0.2226, 0.2359, 0.2328, 0.2289, 0.2197, 0.1777, 0.1777, 0.1609, 0.1389, 0.1428, 0.1683, 0.1536, 0.1414, 0.0839, 0.0461, 0.0098, 0.0178, 0.0876, -0.0388, -0.1044, -0.0639, -0.0156, -0.039, -0.0654, -0.1105, -0.0948, -0.0948, -0.0837, -0.0674, -0.0708, -0.0684, -0.1004, -0.1125, -0.0756, -0.0636, -0.055, 0.0, 0.0141, 0.0552, 0.0517, 0.0826, 0.0776, 0.0411, 0.0443, 0.0574, 0.0398, 0.052, 0.0683, 0.0524, 0.0724, 0.038, 0.1079, 0.0662, 0.0674, 0.0165, -0.0145, -0.0525, 0.0076, 0.0091, 0.0227, 0.0227, 0.019, 0.0338, -0.0304, -0.1011, -0.1179, -0.0882, -0.0652, -0.0208, -0.0166, 0.0084, 0.005, 0.0055, 0.0513, -0.0248, -0.0143, -0.0143, -0.0275, -0.0496, -0.0417, -0.0076, 0.0059, -0.0638, -0.0784, -0.0559, -0.0508, -0.057, -0.0632, -0.1042, -0.0788, -0.077, -0.0691, -0.0683, -0.0552, -0.0534, -0.0571, -0.0571, -0.059, -0.0872, -0.0126, 0.0783, 0.0783, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2034466447674798548", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-19T03:06:14+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AXTI のようなフォトニクス（光技術）銘柄が、短期的なサイクルで終わるとは思っていません。今後数年間で、AIをスケールさせるための新しいアーキテクチャになるはずです！これらの企業はすべてまだ本当に初期段階にあると思うので、私自身はホールド（継続保有）するつもりです。", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Holding AXTI long-term; photonics will be a multi-year AI scaling architecture, not a short cycle.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "ja", "tweet_text": "🙇$AXTI のようなフォトニクス（光技術）銘柄が、短期的なサイクルで終わるとは思っていません。今後数年間で、AIをスケールさせるための新しいアーキテクチャになるはずです！\n\nこれらの企業はすべてまだ本当に初期段階にあると思うので、私自身はホールド（継続保有）するつもりです。他の方が利確（利益確定）するのはご自由にどうぞ！", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit エグいリターン🔥👏\n$AXTI や $AAOI のような小型株も部分利確もせずにガチホなんですね❗️", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "pumpkinpuripuri", "ret_m1d": -0.16061287324061124, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.16061287324061124, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.16308330170267793, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.15744767533344384, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002470428462066687, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0031651979071674052, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06627644110876418, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06627644110876418, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05194066523625995, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04049901062353456, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01433577587250423, "bench_c_p1d": -0.025777430485229624, "ret_p1w": 0.007230128556413806, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.007230128556413806, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.026854604507512092, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.042882961056937896, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019624475951098286, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03565283250052409, "ret_p1m": 0.4212428531886607, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4212428531886607, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.34200761465498575, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.24591623544295094, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07923523853367498, "bench_c_p1m": 0.1753266177457098, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.738, -0.748, -0.7416, -0.7416, -0.7354, -0.7488, -0.728, -0.7185, -0.7185, -0.7115, -0.713, -0.6528, -0.585, -0.5553, -0.6042, -0.6171, -0.6297, -0.6196, -0.5572, -0.6197, -0.6197, -0.6314, -0.6595, -0.6915, -0.7005, -0.6936, -0.7039, -0.7103, -0.718, -0.6808, -0.6395, -0.6602, -0.6772, -0.6483, -0.5858, -0.5219, -0.5808, -0.5386, -0.5732, -0.5827, -0.5827, -0.6004, -0.5948, -0.5901, -0.4891, -0.5106, -0.3961, -0.2947, -0.361, -0.3476, -0.2026, -0.2811, -0.3264, -0.3321, -0.4428, -0.3362, -0.2374, -0.1847, -0.1956, -0.1589, -0.167, -0.2364, -0.1606, 0.0, -0.0663, 0.1093, 0.1782, 0.1594, 0.0072, 0.0437, -0.0923, -0.0191, -0.1885, -0.0904, -0.0904, -0.2772, -0.2174, -0.0845, 0.0866, 0.1048, 0.1439, 0.1585, 0.0833, 0.4078, 0.4212, 0.3558, 0.2906, 0.4966, 0.2957, 0.3111, 0.2076, 0.1828, 0.2234, 0.3637, 0.6526, 0.8248, 0.8514, 0.8046, 0.8664, 1.0031, 1.1658, 1.1157, 1.0992, 0.9793, 1.1308, 0.8227, 0.9432, 0.8008, 1.0833, 1.4243, 1.4243, 1.2827, 1.1134, 0.9917, 0.7759, 0.7759, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2031859498546299159", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-11T22:27:09+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm personally along for the ride and looking forward to seeing what $HIMS can deliver", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long HIMS on improving fundamentals, NVO partnership, META-like acquisitions, and HOOD-like cross-selling; shorts look trapped with record 41.6% short interest.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I try to talk about $HIMS from a fundamental standpoint.\n\nBut this cannot be understated:\n\n$HIMS directional shorts look trapped.\n\nThe stock price is now up 64.15% to $26.5 (still down from highs of $70s).\n\nWhile short interest increased to record highs of 41.6%.\n\nThere may be a violent feedback loop as short positions go more underwater.\n\nHowever; this is contingent on the underlying stock going up from buying pressure and increasing fundamentals.\n\nIn order for their positions get liquidated.\n\nOtherwise, if prices stagnates, they can leave their short sales in for extended periods of time (low borrow rate) and slowly buy to cover.\n\nThat being said, I'm personally along for the ride and looking forward to seeing what $HIMS can deliver:\n\nBoth from their recent $META-like global acquisitions spree + $HOOD-like cross selling latent revenue opportunities.\n\nWith $HIMS rapidly improving fundamentals, from the surprise $NVO partnership:\n\nI personally see a real opportunity for $HIMS to make history.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.09312209913304814, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09312209913304814, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09437883947545389, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09437883947545389, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0788253119911726, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0788253119911726, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0636403631218091, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0636403631218091, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "ret_p1w": -0.10548684817482279, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10548684817482279, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08345615739565737, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08345615739565737, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "ret_p1m": -0.23686241729325552, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.23686241729325552, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2449011033227243, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2449011033227243, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "bench_c_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.4378, 0.4007, 0.4243, 0.3512, 0.3435, 0.374, 0.3543, 0.3447, 0.3396, 0.3396, 0.3257, 0.3176, 0.2767, 0.2546, 0.2546, 0.291, 0.3412, 0.3702, 0.3702, 0.3087, 0.2245, 0.2496, 0.2442, 0.2102, 0.2067, 0.2125, 0.2125, 0.1774, 0.1163, 0.1793, 0.1445, 0.17, 0.1468, 0.1078, 0.1542, 0.0468, 0.0216, -0.0131, -0.0572, -0.0927, -0.1105, -0.2531, -0.3338, -0.3551, -0.3895, -0.3702, -0.3702, -0.3713, -0.3879, -0.3887, -0.3961, -0.4007, -0.4026, -0.3887, -0.3972, -0.4389, -0.3632, -0.3887, -0.3644, -0.3864, -0.3918, -0.1437, -0.0931, 0.0, -0.0788, -0.0429, -0.0386, -0.0348, -0.1055, -0.0665, -0.1491, -0.1321, -0.1754, -0.1947, -0.194, -0.2512, -0.2743, -0.1978, -0.2334, -0.2604, -0.2604, -0.2145, -0.2465, -0.2508, -0.2369, -0.2492, -0.1828, -0.1747, -0.0614, 0.0429, 0.1136, 0.1982, 0.1499, 0.1209, 0.0877, 0.1808, 0.1356, 0.0784, 0.0174, 0.0498, 0.0591, 0.0537, 0.0174, 0.0386, -0.0089, 0.0923, 0.126, -0.0328, -0.0672, -0.0634, -0.0321, -0.1387, -0.1329, -0.1097, -0.0723, -0.0823, -0.0823, -0.0784, -0.0263, -0.0193, 0.0104, 0.0104, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028790889964011644", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-03T11:13:35+00:00", "symbol": "000660.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I do expect it to get bought back in due time", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Expects the selloff in SK Hynix and Samsung to be bought back; current dip not a structural crash.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yep, there's quite a bit selloff, but I do expect it to get bought back in due time. \n\nHowever I see the main reason for an actual crash would be: \n\n> Structural memory demand decreasing\n> Hyperscalers projecting less capex. \n\nNot increased opex costs that end up getting passed onto hyperscalers.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Looks like SK Hynix is down 17% at the moment and Samsung almost 12%.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Etto_R_Flo", "ret_m1d": 0.12992547742274274, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.12992547742274274, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.12103275547869896, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.015069822527350896, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00889272194404378, "bench_c_m1d": 0.11485565489539185, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09584662984119818, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09584662984119818, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.10290193819428284, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.1111858986599299, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007055308353084655, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01533926881873171, "ret_p1w": -0.0010649411030385636, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0010649411030385636, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.003565251187129026, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.014349849153750482, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00463019229016759, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015414790256789046, "ret_p1m": -0.04472845832583294, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04472845832583294, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01047951878560105, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0015160277444395964, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03424893954023189, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04624448607027254, "ret_p3m": 1.4849735259249948, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.4849735259249948, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.370005950315088, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.9296613940920053, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11496757560990667, "bench_c_p3m": 0.5553121318329894, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4239, -0.4217, -0.3866, -0.3983, -0.376, -0.3994, -0.393, -0.4111, -0.4366, -0.4143, -0.4132, -0.4185, -0.3835, -0.3792, -0.375, -0.375, -0.3633, -0.3197, -0.308, -0.308, -0.308, -0.2803, -0.2602, -0.2283, -0.2113, -0.1964, -0.2091, -0.2038, -0.2155, -0.2113, -0.2038, -0.1964, -0.1879, -0.2102, -0.2134, -0.1974, -0.1847, -0.2176, -0.1496, -0.106, -0.0848, -0.0337, -0.1177, -0.0359, -0.0433, -0.105, -0.1081, -0.0571, -0.0688, -0.0858, -0.0561, -0.0646, -0.0646, -0.0646, -0.0646, -0.0497, 0.0088, 0.0109, 0.0683, 0.0821, 0.1704, 0.1299, 0.1299, 0.0, -0.0958, 0.0021, -0.016, -0.1097, -0.0011, 0.017, -0.0096, -0.0309, 0.0373, 0.033, 0.1246, 0.0788, 0.0724, -0.0064, 0.0501, 0.0596, -0.0064, -0.0064, -0.0703, -0.1406, -0.0447, -0.1161, -0.0671, -0.0564, -0.0245, 0.1001, 0.0628, 0.0937, 0.1076, 0.1747, 0.2098, 0.23, 0.2013, 0.2417, 0.3035, 0.3024, 0.3046, 0.3014, 0.3759, 0.3845, 0.377, 0.3695, 0.3695, 0.541, 0.541, 0.705, 0.7614, 0.7955, 1.0021, 0.9542, 1.1044, 1.098, 0.9372, 0.9595, 0.8584, 0.8584, 1.066, 1.0671, 1.0671, 1.1853, 1.3887, 1.4381, 1.485, 1.5366, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028790889964011644", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-03T11:13:35+00:00", "symbol": "005930.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I do expect it to get bought back in due time", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Expects the selloff in SK Hynix and Samsung to be bought back; current dip not a structural crash.", "resolved_tickers": ["005930.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yep, there's quite a bit selloff, but I do expect it to get bought back in due time. \n\nHowever I see the main reason for an actual crash would be: \n\n> Structural memory demand decreasing\n> Hyperscalers projecting less capex. \n\nNot increased opex costs that end up getting passed onto hyperscalers.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Looks like SK Hynix is down 17% at the moment and Samsung almost 12%.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Etto_R_Flo", "ret_m1d": 0.10968733550663545, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.10968733550663545, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.10079461356259167, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.09485101865809864, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00889272194404378, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014836316848536812, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.11737572377080441, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.11737572377080441, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.12443103212388906, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.1343938159729241, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007055308353084655, "bench_c_p1d": 0.017018092202119695, "ret_p1w": -0.03690413526337277, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03690413526337277, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03227394297320518, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.053340450334133704, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00463019229016759, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016436315070760932, "ret_p1m": -0.02592240876830343, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02592240876830343, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.008326530771928464, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.008305983897664349, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03424893954023189, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01761642487063908, "ret_p3m": 0.6281708221484199, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6281708221484199, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5132032465385132, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.23720714544139399, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11496757560990667, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3909636767070259, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4639, -0.4471, -0.4415, -0.4471, -0.4491, -0.4527, -0.4445, -0.4654, -0.4756, -0.4496, -0.4512, -0.4578, -0.4364, -0.4313, -0.4333, -0.4333, -0.4032, -0.3875, -0.3854, -0.3854, -0.3854, -0.3414, -0.2922, -0.2881, -0.2773, -0.2886, -0.2875, -0.2886, -0.2947, -0.2809, -0.2624, -0.2368, -0.2348, -0.2558, -0.2337, -0.2194, -0.2204, -0.2204, -0.1825, -0.1676, -0.1763, -0.1773, -0.2291, -0.1415, -0.1333, -0.1835, -0.1871, -0.1471, -0.1502, -0.1399, -0.0846, -0.0712, -0.0712, -0.0712, -0.0712, -0.0261, -0.0256, -0.0108, 0.0251, 0.0431, 0.1174, 0.1097, 0.1097, 0.0, -0.1174, -0.0179, -0.0354, -0.1107, -0.0369, -0.0261, -0.0369, -0.0595, -0.0328, -0.0062, 0.0687, 0.0277, 0.022, -0.0451, -0.0277, -0.0313, -0.0769, -0.0769, -0.0945, -0.1412, -0.0259, -0.0837, -0.0436, -0.0082, 0.0093, 0.0812, 0.0478, 0.0581, 0.0324, 0.0606, 0.0837, 0.1171, 0.1094, 0.1017, 0.1248, 0.1171, 0.1531, 0.1274, 0.1531, 0.1402, 0.1608, 0.1325, 0.1325, 0.1942, 0.1942, 0.3662, 0.3945, 0.3791, 0.4664, 0.433, 0.4587, 0.5203, 0.3893, 0.4433, 0.415, 0.4176, 0.5383, 0.5023, 0.5023, 0.5357, 0.5768, 0.5383, 0.6282, 0.7797, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2033695716938551350", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-17T00:03:37+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I did my thesis on $LITE last year and still love the stock for Google TPU ramp/OCS", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long SIVE as CW DFB laser play on CPO/SiPh cycle; still bullish LITE on Google TPU ramp; POET and MRVL cited as upstream beneficiaries.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SIVE is now up +73.78% today ($231M MC). \n\nAs markets price in information synthesis of the next potential $LITE of photonics. \n\nIf I had to explain the difference: \n\nOne laser source in Lumentum primarily benefits from current optical bottlenecks.\n\nThe other in $SIVE is for the upcoming CPO/Silicon Photonic bottleneck. \n\nLumentum is largely benefiting right now from $NVDA and hyperscalers securing capacity of EML lasers for current pluggable optical transceivers cycles. \n\nAs seen with the current EML bottleneck, hyperscalers are buying out any 800G/1.6T transceiver + upstream capacity from:\n\n- $AAOI (in-house)\n- $COHR, $LITE (EML lasers + design) -> $FN (assembly)\n- $COHR, $LITE (EML lasers) -> Innolight / Eoptolink\n\nWhat's next? \n\nSilicon Photonics and Co-Packaged Optics. \n\nThe architectural shift to CPO requires massive arrays of high-power CW DFB lasers. \n\nAnd this would likely trigger a complete, sudden paradigm shift in volume demand.\n\n$SIVE benefits from InP CW DFB lasers for SiPh and CPO:\n\nThe up and coming companies like:\n\n$AYAR, $POET source $SIVE lasers, but primarily do advanced packaging. \n\nThen they feed up to larger companies like $MRVL Celestial (that buy $POET's interposers). \n\nHowever, if you go upstream, the light source is $SIVE. \n\nCW DFB lasers are light engine ( $SIVE ); the silicon photonics package ( $POET and others) is how it gets transmitted.\n\nCPO scale is not there yet. But we know it's coming. \n\nAnd as seen with current optical transceiver cycles:\n\n- Light sources from $LITE and $COHR demand much higher valuations than companies like $FN that focus on advanced packaging. \n\nMarkets have been focusing on $POET, but missed where they get the actual $LITE type light source for Starlight.\n\nThe risks are present including facing multi-source competition with $LITE, $COHR, $AVGO, and others. So again, make sure to do your own research. \n\nBut my argument against that:\n\nSivers been early enough to tailor custom lasers to fit $POET, Ayar, and other specifications before they got popular (sort like the $POET to $MRVL Celestial analogy). \n\nThere's volume risks as well:\n\nBut the potential Win Semi qualification offsets that.\n\nDilution risk to scale capacity, is always present with every early-stage company as well. \n\nI did my thesis on $LITE last year and still love the stock for Google TPU ramp/OCS. \n\nBut this year, I'm focusing on: \n\n$SIVE, as my personal CW DFB laser exposure for the new photonics architectural shift. \n\nI’m sharing my own thoughts on capturing the rotation from the current EML cycle to the upcoming CW DFB/Silicon Photonics cycle.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I’m long $SIVE at $140M. \n\nI believe this is the next $LITE that markets and institutions missed.\n\n$SIVE makes InP CW DFB lasers. \n\nClosest comparison is $LITE in the current EML laser bottleneck.\n\nBut instead of supplying to Innolight/Eoptolink for current optical transceivers https://t.co/VQBOVa86Uj", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03805648561493369, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03805648561493369, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03543283240867734, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03543283240867734, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002623653206256349, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002623653206256349, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07889956307750778, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07889956307750778, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09285320846462797, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09285320846462797, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013953645387120184, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013953645387120184, "ret_p1w": 0.23466653311271868, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.23466653311271868, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2582597956997488, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2582597956997488, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023593262587030095, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023593262587030095, "ret_p1m": 0.2685664339902565, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2685664339902565, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.22226045121060367, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.22226045121060367, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04630598277965281, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04630598277965281, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.481, -0.4282, -0.3998, -0.4036, -0.3905, -0.3905, -0.3984, -0.4264, -0.4286, -0.4326, -0.4326, -0.4056, -0.4503, -0.3882, -0.3952, -0.4639, -0.459, -0.4768, -0.4437, -0.4895, -0.4715, -0.5008, -0.5008, -0.4507, -0.442, -0.4543, -0.4778, -0.4882, -0.4294, -0.4073, -0.4128, -0.3968, -0.3481, -0.3302, -0.2833, -0.2234, -0.1502, -0.1115, -0.1361, -0.1162, -0.1018, -0.1337, -0.1337, -0.0757, -0.0851, -0.0214, 0.028, 0.0387, 0.0596, 0.1137, 0.0422, 0.0791, 0.2058, 0.0691, 0.0481, 0.0019, -0.1403, -0.0137, 0.0345, 0.0345, -0.0515, -0.0417, -0.0381, 0.0, 0.0789, 0.1887, 0.0874, 0.1222, 0.2347, 0.1965, 0.0604, 0.0819, 0.0081, 0.0819, 0.1772, 0.273, 0.273, 0.1889, 0.2559, 0.3794, 0.3765, 0.3814, 0.3412, 0.3129, 0.2686, 0.372, 0.3764, 0.378, 0.2884, 0.3449, 0.3038, 0.3573, 0.3235, 0.2183, 0.3214, 0.3891, 0.4624, 0.5028, 0.5311, 0.4537, 0.3741, 0.3914, 0.6212, 0.5278, 0.5863, 0.5423, 0.4944, 0.3624, 0.3703, 0.3364, 0.4849, 0.4578, 0.4578, 0.4022, 0.3891, 0.3249, 0.3162, 0.3162, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2033695716938551350", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-17T00:03:37+00:00", "symbol": "POET Technologies", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Markets have been focusing on $POET, but missed where they get the actual $LITE type light source for Starlight", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long SIVE as CW DFB laser play on CPO/SiPh cycle; still bullish LITE on Google TPU ramp; POET and MRVL cited as upstream beneficiaries.", "resolved_tickers": ["POET"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "POET Technologies trades as POET on NASDAQ", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SIVE is now up +73.78% today ($231M MC). \n\nAs markets price in information synthesis of the next potential $LITE of photonics. \n\nIf I had to explain the difference: \n\nOne laser source in Lumentum primarily benefits from current optical bottlenecks.\n\nThe other in $SIVE is for the upcoming CPO/Silicon Photonic bottleneck. \n\nLumentum is largely benefiting right now from $NVDA and hyperscalers securing capacity of EML lasers for current pluggable optical transceivers cycles. \n\nAs seen with the current EML bottleneck, hyperscalers are buying out any 800G/1.6T transceiver + upstream capacity from:\n\n- $AAOI (in-house)\n- $COHR, $LITE (EML lasers + design) -> $FN (assembly)\n- $COHR, $LITE (EML lasers) -> Innolight / Eoptolink\n\nWhat's next? \n\nSilicon Photonics and Co-Packaged Optics. \n\nThe architectural shift to CPO requires massive arrays of high-power CW DFB lasers. \n\nAnd this would likely trigger a complete, sudden paradigm shift in volume demand.\n\n$SIVE benefits from InP CW DFB lasers for SiPh and CPO:\n\nThe up and coming companies like:\n\n$AYAR, $POET source $SIVE lasers, but primarily do advanced packaging. \n\nThen they feed up to larger companies like $MRVL Celestial (that buy $POET's interposers). \n\nHowever, if you go upstream, the light source is $SIVE. \n\nCW DFB lasers are light engine ( $SIVE ); the silicon photonics package ( $POET and others) is how it gets transmitted.\n\nCPO scale is not there yet. But we know it's coming. \n\nAnd as seen with current optical transceiver cycles:\n\n- Light sources from $LITE and $COHR demand much higher valuations than companies like $FN that focus on advanced packaging. \n\nMarkets have been focusing on $POET, but missed where they get the actual $LITE type light source for Starlight.\n\nThe risks are present including facing multi-source competition with $LITE, $COHR, $AVGO, and others. So again, make sure to do your own research. \n\nBut my argument against that:\n\nSivers been early enough to tailor custom lasers to fit $POET, Ayar, and other specifications before they got popular (sort like the $POET to $MRVL Celestial analogy). \n\nThere's volume risks as well:\n\nBut the potential Win Semi qualification offsets that.\n\nDilution risk to scale capacity, is always present with every early-stage company as well. \n\nI did my thesis on $LITE last year and still love the stock for Google TPU ramp/OCS. \n\nBut this year, I'm focusing on: \n\n$SIVE, as my personal CW DFB laser exposure for the new photonics architectural shift. \n\nI’m sharing my own thoughts on capturing the rotation from the current EML cycle to the upcoming CW DFB/Silicon Photonics cycle.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I’m long $SIVE at $140M. \n\nI believe this is the next $LITE that markets and institutions missed.\n\n$SIVE makes InP CW DFB lasers. \n\nClosest comparison is $LITE in the current EML laser bottleneck.\n\nBut instead of supplying to Innolight/Eoptolink for current optical transceivers https://t.co/VQBOVa86Uj", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.051750329812359164, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.051750329812359164, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05437398301861551, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.059208481945652314, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002623653206256349, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00745815213329315, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.059360781298752, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.059360781298752, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04540713591163181, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05127271584928206, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013953645387120184, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008088065449469939, "ret_p1w": -0.12633186892799242, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12633186892799242, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10273860634096232, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12056184142157256, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023593262587030095, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005770027506419861, "ret_p1m": 0.06088274095571666, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06088274095571666, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.014576758176063853, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0805201879566586, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04630598277965281, "bench_c_p1m": 0.14140292891237527, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.067, 0.032, 0.1583, 0.0883, 0.0685, 0.0685, 0.0365, -0.0046, -0.0076, -0.0365, -0.0365, 0.0898, 0.1309, 0.1187, 0.1339, 0.1081, 0.1248, 0.0974, 0.0868, 0.2314, 0.2648, 0.2633, 0.2633, 0.2542, 0.274, 0.0563, 0.0518, -0.0167, 0.0335, -0.0533, -0.0944, -0.1172, -0.1111, -0.0807, -0.1461, -0.2116, -0.1065, -0.0548, -0.1111, -0.1126, -0.14, -0.1507, -0.1507, -0.1598, -0.1507, -0.1522, -0.1339, -0.1598, -0.07, -0.032, -0.0502, -0.0868, 0.0518, 0.0715, 0.0411, 0.0107, -0.0441, 0.0183, 0.0654, 0.1324, 0.1324, 0.0396, 0.0518, 0.0, -0.0594, -0.0518, -0.0974, -0.0776, -0.1263, -0.0715, -0.1644, -0.21, -0.2268, -0.0959, -0.1476, -0.07, -0.07, -0.0746, -0.0928, -0.0533, -0.0746, 0.0715, 0.1111, 0.0213, 0.0609, 0.1172, 0.105, 0.3075, 0.5601, 0.9437, 0.7839, 1.2983, 0.21, 0.2222, 0.0046, 0.0837, 0.1126, 0.0822, 0.4018, 0.4795, 0.4581, 0.6667, 1.1157, 1.0898, 1.1872, 2.1309, 1.4307, 1.1629, 0.9893, 1.2496, 1.2557, 1.2207, 1.2207, 1.032, 1.0213, 1.0183, 0.8706, 0.8706, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2033695716938551350", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-03-17T00:03:37+00:00", "symbol": "MRVL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Then they feed up to larger companies like $MRVL Celestial (that buy $POET's interposers)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long SIVE as CW DFB laser play on CPO/SiPh cycle; still bullish LITE on Google TPU ramp; POET and MRVL cited as upstream beneficiaries.", "resolved_tickers": ["MRVL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SIVE is now up +73.78% today ($231M MC). \n\nAs markets price in information synthesis of the next potential $LITE of photonics. \n\nIf I had to explain the difference: \n\nOne laser source in Lumentum primarily benefits from current optical bottlenecks.\n\nThe other in $SIVE is for the upcoming CPO/Silicon Photonic bottleneck. \n\nLumentum is largely benefiting right now from $NVDA and hyperscalers securing capacity of EML lasers for current pluggable optical transceivers cycles. \n\nAs seen with the current EML bottleneck, hyperscalers are buying out any 800G/1.6T transceiver + upstream capacity from:\n\n- $AAOI (in-house)\n- $COHR, $LITE (EML lasers + design) -> $FN (assembly)\n- $COHR, $LITE (EML lasers) -> Innolight / Eoptolink\n\nWhat's next? \n\nSilicon Photonics and Co-Packaged Optics. \n\nThe architectural shift to CPO requires massive arrays of high-power CW DFB lasers. \n\nAnd this would likely trigger a complete, sudden paradigm shift in volume demand.\n\n$SIVE benefits from InP CW DFB lasers for SiPh and CPO:\n\nThe up and coming companies like:\n\n$AYAR, $POET source $SIVE lasers, but primarily do advanced packaging. \n\nThen they feed up to larger companies like $MRVL Celestial (that buy $POET's interposers). \n\nHowever, if you go upstream, the light source is $SIVE. \n\nCW DFB lasers are light engine ( $SIVE ); the silicon photonics package ( $POET and others) is how it gets transmitted.\n\nCPO scale is not there yet. But we know it's coming. \n\nAnd as seen with current optical transceiver cycles:\n\n- Light sources from $LITE and $COHR demand much higher valuations than companies like $FN that focus on advanced packaging. \n\nMarkets have been focusing on $POET, but missed where they get the actual $LITE type light source for Starlight.\n\nThe risks are present including facing multi-source competition with $LITE, $COHR, $AVGO, and others. So again, make sure to do your own research. \n\nBut my argument against that:\n\nSivers been early enough to tailor custom lasers to fit $POET, Ayar, and other specifications before they got popular (sort like the $POET to $MRVL Celestial analogy). \n\nThere's volume risks as well:\n\nBut the potential Win Semi qualification offsets that.\n\nDilution risk to scale capacity, is always present with every early-stage company as well. \n\nI did my thesis on $LITE last year and still love the stock for Google TPU ramp/OCS. \n\nBut this year, I'm focusing on: \n\n$SIVE, as my personal CW DFB laser exposure for the new photonics architectural shift. \n\nI’m sharing my own thoughts on capturing the rotation from the current EML cycle to the upcoming CW DFB/Silicon Photonics cycle.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I’m long $SIVE at $140M. \n\nI believe this is the next $LITE that markets and institutions missed.\n\n$SIVE makes InP CW DFB lasers. \n\nClosest comparison is $LITE in the current EML laser bottleneck.\n\nBut instead of supplying to Innolight/Eoptolink for current optical transceivers https://t.co/VQBOVa86Uj", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.008701392702062716, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.008701392702062716, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.011325045908319065, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011325045908319065, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002623653206256349, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002623653206256349, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03491570969843549, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03491570969843549, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02096206431131531, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02096206431131531, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013953645387120184, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013953645387120184, "ret_p1w": 0.017292646513940246, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.017292646513940246, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04088590910097034, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04088590910097034, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023593262587030095, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023593262587030095, "ret_p1m": 0.4832843215272009, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4832843215272009, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4369783387475481, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4369783387475481, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04630598277965281, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04630598277965281, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0703, -0.0745, -0.0666, -0.0349, -0.048, -0.048, -0.0497, -0.0561, -0.0451, -0.0647, -0.0647, -0.0161, -0.0069, -0.0289, -0.0684, -0.0815, -0.0834, -0.087, -0.0853, -0.1055, -0.1147, -0.1138, -0.1138, -0.121, -0.0908, -0.0847, -0.1163, -0.0994, -0.0866, -0.079, -0.1041, -0.1307, -0.1336, -0.168, -0.1879, -0.1826, -0.1158, -0.093, -0.0967, -0.1041, -0.1383, -0.1342, -0.1342, -0.1297, -0.1289, -0.1231, -0.1246, -0.1432, -0.1366, -0.1087, -0.1267, -0.1002, -0.1094, -0.1463, -0.1399, -0.1664, -0.0134, 0.0205, 0.0276, -0.0039, -0.0344, -0.0323, 0.0087, 0.0, -0.0349, -0.0139, -0.0317, -0.0069, 0.0173, 0.0844, 0.0759, 0.045, -0.0328, 0.091, 0.1753, 0.1798, 0.1798, 0.2062, 0.2048, 0.2606, 0.321, 0.416, 0.4469, 0.4748, 0.4833, 0.4697, 0.5394, 0.6292, 0.6674, 0.7337, 0.8245, 0.8107, 0.7435, 0.6886, 0.7254, 0.8199, 0.8177, 0.8035, 0.8596, 0.8971, 0.7633, 0.8748, 0.8826, 0.8128, 0.961, 1.012, 0.9493, 0.8616, 0.9425, 1.0585, 1.1014, 1.1635, 1.1635, 1.295, 1.1897, 1.2572, 1.2591, 1.2591, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2034922654717923578", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-20T09:19:02+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd be a buyer at $AAOI here at a ~$7B MC", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Buyer of AAOI at ~$7B MC; holding AXTI existing positions but not adding near-term on timing, bullish long run.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'd be a buyer at $AAOI here at a ~$7B MC. \n\n$AXTI $3.2B is a tad more elevated now, given there wasn't any major spike of 7N indium nonstandard on SMM. I'm holding existing positions, but probably not adding here just for timing-purposes. \n\nIn the long run, doesn't really matter much.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Are you a buyer of $AAOI and $AXTI at current levels given your projected time horizon of the supercycle?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JVStewartBuilds", "ret_m1d": 0.16426773021506014, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.16426773021506014, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.14972345081281824, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.14972345081281824, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0145442794022419, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0145442794022419, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09389994442238025, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09389994442238025, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08339992517744244, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08339992517744244, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01050001924493782, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01050001924493782, "ret_p1w": 0.12188711511713879, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12188711511713879, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14421312511641327, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14421312511641327, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.022326009999274476, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022326009999274476, "ret_p1m": 0.8673749087396656, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.8673749087396656, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.7746324712238379, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.7746324712238379, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09274243751582767, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09274243751582767, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5358, -0.5316, -0.5316, -0.5754, -0.5802, -0.5885, -0.6018, -0.6018, -0.5476, -0.6003, -0.5589, -0.5653, -0.6229, -0.6111, -0.6148, -0.6095, -0.6062, -0.5773, -0.5769, -0.5769, -0.5515, -0.5616, -0.5642, -0.592, -0.6014, -0.5729, -0.4833, -0.548, -0.5018, -0.4955, -0.4732, -0.5442, -0.5644, -0.4939, -0.4527, -0.4461, -0.4471, -0.4975, -0.4921, -0.4921, -0.4984, -0.5038, -0.4633, -0.4096, -0.3836, -0.3572, -0.3361, -0.3867, -0.0378, 0.171, 0.0891, 0.139, 0.1554, 0.0918, 0.2637, 0.3764, 0.4509, 0.213, 0.1059, 0.0746, -0.0138, 0.0581, 0.1643, 0.0, 0.0939, 0.3011, 0.3069, 0.1129, 0.1219, -0.0268, -0.0337, -0.0136, 0.187, 0.187, 0.2274, 0.3438, 0.5159, 0.5227, 0.7204, 0.7499, 0.6723, 0.6284, 0.7971, 0.8211, 0.8674, 0.72, 0.7069, 0.5733, 0.8525, 0.6653, 0.568, 0.7458, 0.8775, 1.0963, 0.976, 1.0627, 1.0395, 0.7997, 0.7014, 1.1122, 1.1508, 1.5485, 1.3255, 1.1745, 0.9792, 0.9572, 0.8878, 1.0198, 1.0732, 1.0732, 1.029, 1.0543, 0.9308, 0.8096, 0.8096, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2034922654717923578", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-20T09:19:02+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm holding existing positions, but probably not adding here just for timing-purposes. In the long run, doesn't really matter much", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Buyer of AAOI at ~$7B MC; holding AXTI existing positions but not adding near-term on timing, bullish long run.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'd be a buyer at $AAOI here at a ~$7B MC. \n\n$AXTI $3.2B is a tad more elevated now, given there wasn't any major spike of 7N indium nonstandard on SMM. I'm holding existing positions, but probably not adding here just for timing-purposes. \n\nIn the long run, doesn't really matter much.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Are you a buyer of $AAOI and $AXTI at current levels given your projected time horizon of the supercycle?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JVStewartBuilds", "ret_m1d": 0.07098079563020243, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07098079563020243, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05643651622796053, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04452130752978967, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0145442794022419, "bench_c_m1d": 0.026459488100412765, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.18805310559178756, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.18805310559178756, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.17755308634684974, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.17084669272798636, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01050001924493782, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0172064128638012, "ret_p1w": 0.11780971961483666, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11780971961483666, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14013572961411114, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14507486101067835, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.022326009999274476, "bench_c_p1w": -0.027265141395841686, "ret_p1m": 0.4520648912055265, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4520648912055265, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.35932245368969884, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2461595961192422, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09274243751582767, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2059052950862843, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7301, -0.7233, -0.7233, -0.7166, -0.731, -0.7087, -0.6986, -0.6986, -0.691, -0.6927, -0.6281, -0.5555, -0.5238, -0.5761, -0.59, -0.6034, -0.5926, -0.5258, -0.5927, -0.5927, -0.6053, -0.6353, -0.6696, -0.6792, -0.6718, -0.6829, -0.6897, -0.698, -0.6582, -0.6139, -0.6361, -0.6543, -0.6233, -0.5564, -0.488, -0.5511, -0.5059, -0.543, -0.5531, -0.5531, -0.5721, -0.566, -0.561, -0.4528, -0.4758, -0.3532, -0.2447, -0.3156, -0.3013, -0.146, -0.2301, -0.2786, -0.2847, -0.4032, -0.2891, -0.1833, -0.1268, -0.1385, -0.0992, -0.1079, -0.1822, -0.101, 0.071, 0.0, 0.1881, 0.2618, 0.2417, 0.0787, 0.1178, -0.0278, 0.0505, -0.1309, -0.0258, -0.0258, -0.2258, -0.1619, -0.0195, 0.1637, 0.1833, 0.2251, 0.2408, 0.1602, 0.5077, 0.5221, 0.4521, 0.3822, 0.6029, 0.3877, 0.4041, 0.2933, 0.2668, 0.3103, 0.4605, 0.7699, 0.9543, 0.9829, 0.9327, 0.9989, 1.1453, 1.3195, 1.2659, 1.2482, 1.1198, 1.2821, 0.9521, 1.0811, 0.9287, 1.2312, 1.5964, 1.5964, 1.4447, 1.2635, 1.1331, 0.9019, 0.9019, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2014370292441964667", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-22T16:11:17+00:00", "symbol": "RMBS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$RMBS is a sleeper pick. Samsung went out and said 'availability of Rambus HBM4 IP solutions will be critical'. They're just profiting off Samsung, Sk Hynix, and $MU off during memory cycle with 81%+ gross profit margins... it should just print.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long RMBS as a sleeper play profiting from HBM4 IP licensing across Samsung/Hynix/MU with 81%+ gross margins.", "resolved_tickers": ["RMBS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yeah, $RMBS is a sleeper pick. Samsung went out and said \"availability of Rambus HBM4 IP solutions will be critical\".\n\nThey're just profiting off Samsung, Sk Hynix, and $MU off during memory cycle with 81%+ gross profit margins. \n\nThey don't quite get the same pricing power like the big three do but it should just print.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $RMBS all the way.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "patienceisking", "ret_m1d": 0.009297136277304219, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.009297136277304219, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.014493225925595654, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.014493225925595654, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005196089648291435, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005196089648291435, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07581950259672754, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07581950259672754, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07618228283646811, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07618228283646811, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0003627802397405677, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0003627802397405677, "ret_p1w": -0.025406734425214683, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.025406734425214683, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03275090236865941, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03275090236865941, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007344167943444724, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007344167943444724, "ret_p1m": -0.1773663368504046, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1773663368504046, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1780195011752852, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1780195011752852, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0006531643248806063, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0006531643248806063, "ret_p3m": 0.045523767395976966, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.045523767395976966, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0208164255198382, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0208164255198382, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024707341876138766, "bench_c_p3m": 0.024707341876138766, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0894, -0.1687, -0.1075, -0.1364, -0.1758, -0.1524, -0.196, -0.1295, -0.1465, -0.1371, -0.1136, -0.159, -0.1808, -0.2597, -0.2366, -0.2696, -0.2971, -0.2769, -0.3005, -0.2935, -0.2566, -0.259, -0.2396, -0.2396, -0.234, -0.2451, -0.2289, -0.2143, -0.2081, -0.1857, -0.1659, -0.1608, -0.1437, -0.1504, -0.2448, -0.235, -0.2411, -0.2738, -0.2667, -0.2274, -0.2365, -0.2451, -0.2428, -0.2428, -0.2457, -0.2501, -0.2411, -0.2635, -0.2635, -0.2043, -0.2186, -0.2226, -0.2654, -0.2679, -0.2516, -0.2554, -0.2348, -0.1936, -0.1739, -0.1345, -0.1345, -0.1176, 0.0093, 0.0, -0.0758, -0.0848, -0.0726, -0.0026, -0.0254, -0.0877, -0.0886, -0.2109, -0.1917, -0.2138, -0.1416, -0.111, -0.1425, -0.2035, -0.2322, -0.1829, -0.1829, -0.1829, -0.1637, -0.1654, -0.1774, -0.2364, -0.21, -0.1898, -0.1811, -0.2013, -0.2075, -0.298, -0.2623, -0.2634, -0.2937, -0.2905, -0.2818, -0.2584, -0.2804, -0.2465, -0.2564, -0.2506, -0.2521, -0.2416, -0.265, -0.2518, -0.2571, -0.2311, -0.2671, -0.2808, -0.361, -0.3105, -0.2791, -0.2544, -0.2544, -0.2609, -0.2637, -0.1871, -0.1538, -0.1149, -0.0931, -0.0244, -0.0381, -0.038, 0.0173, 0.0168, 0.0455, 0.0543, 0.11, 0.2695, 0.1326, -0.1082, -0.1011, -0.0774, -0.1029, -0.1064, -0.0543, 0.0422, 0.0147, 0.0359, 0.0781, 0.0442, 0.0808, 0.0456, 0.0183, -0.0081, -0.022, 0.0704, 0.1367, 0.1459, 0.1459, 0.2602, 0.1915, 0.1863, 0.1658, 0.1658, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2030291736736543102", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-07T14:37:25+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Insider selling on photonic names from $LITE to $AAOI while companies generate record revenue/profit is materially different", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Public photonic/fintech names (LITE, AAOI, HOOD, COIN) are fundamentally sound vs overvalued private peers; insider selling at record revenue is not a red flag.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Insider selling on photonic names from $LITE to $AAOI while companies generate record revenue/profit is materially different.\n\nPrivate companies hike valuations by 2x (eg. $91B -> $159B to retail) while public companies from $HOOD to $COIN are crashing. \n\nIf these companies traded publicly, most would all likely tank from their inflated valuations, while public companies are fundamentally sound.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What are your thoughts on the AAOI insider selling?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "smith_johnss", "ret_m1d": -0.12837721782231515, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.12837721782231515, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11969326445795991, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.11969326445795991, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04886918390997863, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04886918390997863, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05047631081534576, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05047631081534576, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "ret_p1w": -0.024738915115796623, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.024738915115796623, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.011116008391597876, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.011116008391597876, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "ret_p1m": 0.2732366618669124, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2732366618669124, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2986686262865249, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2986686262865249, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4287, -0.4192, -0.4937, -0.4776, -0.5065, -0.5001, -0.4738, -0.4203, -0.3915, -0.3953, -0.382, -0.382, -0.3901, -0.4184, -0.4207, -0.4247, -0.4247, -0.3974, -0.4427, -0.3797, -0.3868, -0.4564, -0.4515, -0.4695, -0.436, -0.4824, -0.4642, -0.4939, -0.4939, -0.4431, -0.4343, -0.4467, -0.4706, -0.4811, -0.4215, -0.3991, -0.4046, -0.3884, -0.3391, -0.3209, -0.2734, -0.2127, -0.1384, -0.0992, -0.1242, -0.1039, -0.0893, -0.1217, -0.1217, -0.0629, -0.0725, -0.0079, 0.0423, 0.0531, 0.0743, 0.1291, 0.0567, 0.094, 0.2225, 0.0839, 0.0626, 0.0158, -0.1284, 0.0, 0.0489, 0.0489, -0.0384, -0.0284, -0.0247, 0.0138, 0.0938, 0.2052, 0.1025, 0.1378, 0.2518, 0.213, 0.0751, 0.0968, 0.022, 0.0969, 0.1935, 0.2906, 0.2906, 0.2054, 0.2732, 0.3985, 0.3956, 0.4005, 0.3598, 0.331, 0.2861, 0.391, 0.3955, 0.3971, 0.3063, 0.3635, 0.3218, 0.3761, 0.3418, 0.2352, 0.3397, 0.4084, 0.4827, 0.5236, 0.5523, 0.4738, 0.3932, 0.4107, 0.6437, 0.5489, 0.6082, 0.5636, 0.5151, 0.3813, 0.3893, 0.3549, 0.5054, 0.4779, 0.4779, 0.4216, 0.4083, 0.3433, 0.3344, 0.3344, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2030291736736543102", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-07T14:37:25+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Insider selling on photonic names from $LITE to $AAOI while companies generate record revenue/profit is materially different", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Public photonic/fintech names (LITE, AAOI, HOOD, COIN) are fundamentally sound vs overvalued private peers; insider selling at record revenue is not a red flag.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Insider selling on photonic names from $LITE to $AAOI while companies generate record revenue/profit is materially different.\n\nPrivate companies hike valuations by 2x (eg. $91B -> $159B to retail) while public companies from $HOOD to $COIN are crashing. \n\nIf these companies traded publicly, most would all likely tank from their inflated valuations, while public companies are fundamentally sound.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What are your thoughts on the AAOI insider selling?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "smith_johnss", "ret_m1d": -0.13596095228800786, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.13596095228800786, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12727699892365263, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12727699892365263, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08922432536725333, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08922432536725333, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09083145227262046, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09083145227262046, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "ret_p1w": -0.1496113057389088, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1496113057389088, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.13598839901471005, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.13598839901471005, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "ret_p1m": 0.0634604634674294, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0634604634674294, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08889242788704188, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08889242788704188, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6838, -0.6717, -0.7102, -0.7297, -0.7382, -0.7547, -0.7356, -0.7169, -0.6466, -0.6326, -0.6294, -0.6294, -0.664, -0.6678, -0.6744, -0.6849, -0.6849, -0.642, -0.6837, -0.651, -0.656, -0.7016, -0.6923, -0.6952, -0.691, -0.6884, -0.6655, -0.6652, -0.6652, -0.6451, -0.653, -0.6551, -0.6771, -0.6846, -0.662, -0.5911, -0.6423, -0.6058, -0.6008, -0.5831, -0.6393, -0.6553, -0.5995, -0.5669, -0.5617, -0.5625, -0.6023, -0.5981, -0.5981, -0.6031, -0.6073, -0.5753, -0.5328, -0.5122, -0.4913, -0.4746, -0.5146, -0.2386, -0.0733, -0.1381, -0.0986, -0.0857, -0.136, 0.0, 0.0892, 0.1482, -0.04, -0.1248, -0.1496, -0.2196, -0.1626, -0.0786, -0.2086, -0.1343, 0.0297, 0.0343, -0.1193, -0.1122, -0.2299, -0.2353, -0.2194, -0.0607, -0.0607, -0.0287, 0.0635, 0.1996, 0.205, 0.3614, 0.3848, 0.3234, 0.2886, 0.4222, 0.4411, 0.4778, 0.3611, 0.3508, 0.2451, 0.466, 0.3178, 0.2408, 0.3816, 0.4858, 0.6589, 0.5637, 0.6323, 0.614, 0.4242, 0.3464, 0.6715, 0.702, 1.0168, 0.8403, 0.7208, 0.5663, 0.5488, 0.4939, 0.5984, 0.6407, 0.6407, 0.6057, 0.6257, 0.5279, 0.432, 0.432, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2030291736736543102", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-07T14:37:25+00:00", "symbol": "HOOD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "public companies from $HOOD to $COIN are crashing", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Public photonic/fintech names (LITE, AAOI, HOOD, COIN) are fundamentally sound vs overvalued private peers; insider selling at record revenue is not a red flag.", "resolved_tickers": ["HOOD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Insider selling on photonic names from $LITE to $AAOI while companies generate record revenue/profit is materially different.\n\nPrivate companies hike valuations by 2x (eg. $91B -> $159B to retail) while public companies from $HOOD to $COIN are crashing. \n\nIf these companies traded publicly, most would all likely tank from their inflated valuations, while public companies are fundamentally sound.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What are your thoughts on the AAOI insider selling?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "smith_johnss", "ret_m1d": -0.028481438937488335, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.028481438937488335, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0197974855731331, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03324998107988808, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004768542142399745, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01033395980582974, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01033395980582974, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008726832900462611, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004969359418544261, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005364600387285479, "ret_p1w": -0.05091368611487668, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05091368611487668, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03729077939067793, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03044871497387769, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02046497114099899, "ret_p1m": -0.12224319010422802, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12224319010422802, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09681122568461553, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11839661842190086, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00384657168232716, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.7096, 0.5549, 0.506, 0.4526, 0.5047, 0.4594, 0.4765, 0.5293, 0.5422, 0.5153, 0.5178, 0.5178, 0.4887, 0.4799, 0.4549, 0.4253, 0.4253, 0.4519, 0.5531, 0.5337, 0.4741, 0.4542, 0.4527, 0.481, 0.5153, 0.5081, 0.3907, 0.3704, 0.3704, 0.3331, 0.3348, 0.339, 0.3483, 0.3485, 0.3263, 0.3031, 0.2759, 0.2537, 0.1331, 0.0973, 0.016, -0.0841, 0.0437, 0.0909, 0.0788, -0.0174, -0.1037, -0.0426, -0.0426, -0.0493, -0.0522, -0.0466, -0.0408, -0.0954, -0.0751, -0.0229, 0.0013, -0.0441, -0.0072, -0.0413, 0.036, 0.0152, -0.0285, 0.0, -0.0103, -0.0083, -0.0407, -0.0751, -0.0509, -0.0252, -0.0561, -0.0654, -0.1066, -0.0865, -0.1294, -0.0858, -0.1134, -0.168, -0.1788, -0.1267, -0.1164, -0.1317, -0.1317, -0.1206, -0.1222, -0.0948, -0.1163, -0.128, -0.0968, -0.0033, 0.1004, 0.0945, 0.1437, 0.1503, 0.0892, 0.1144, 0.0528, 0.0675, 0.058, 0.0343, -0.1027, -0.0814, -0.0717, -0.0353, -0.0292, -0.0038, -0.0387, -0.0292, 0.018, -0.0136, -0.0328, 0.017, -0.0279, -0.0277, -0.0654, -0.0452, -0.0432, -0.072, -0.072, -0.0663, -0.0393, 0.0692, 0.1884, 0.1884, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2030291736736543102", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-03-07T14:37:25+00:00", "symbol": "COIN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "public companies from $HOOD to $COIN are crashing", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Public photonic/fintech names (LITE, AAOI, HOOD, COIN) are fundamentally sound vs overvalued private peers; insider selling at record revenue is not a red flag.", "resolved_tickers": ["COIN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Financial Data & Stock Exchanges'", "bench_c_industry": "Financial Data & Stock Exchanges", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Insider selling on photonic names from $LITE to $AAOI while companies generate record revenue/profit is materially different.\n\nPrivate companies hike valuations by 2x (eg. $91B -> $159B to retail) while public companies from $HOOD to $COIN are crashing. \n\nIf these companies traded publicly, most would all likely tank from their inflated valuations, while public companies are fundamentally sound.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What are your thoughts on the AAOI insider selling?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "smith_johnss", "ret_m1d": -0.012863467399736206, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.012863467399736206, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004179514035380971, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01763200954213595, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004768542142399745, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.016367131105453847, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.016367131105453847, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.014760004200086718, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011002530718168368, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005364600387285479, "ret_p1w": 0.01766862283753312, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01766862283753312, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03129152956173187, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03813359397853211, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02046497114099899, "ret_p1m": -0.1231793454995812, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1231793454995812, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09774738107996872, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11933277381725405, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00384657168232716, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3769, 0.3465, 0.3387, 0.2534, 0.2644, 0.2222, 0.1973, 0.2269, 0.2408, 0.2128, 0.1999, 0.1999, 0.1857, 0.1701, 0.1592, 0.1319, 0.1319, 0.1839, 0.2759, 0.2541, 0.2309, 0.2292, 0.2052, 0.2162, 0.2648, 0.2806, 0.1977, 0.207, 0.207, 0.1398, 0.1358, 0.1169, 0.0859, 0.0685, 0.0553, 0.0483, -0.0031, -0.0253, -0.0597, -0.1008, -0.156, -0.2686, -0.1735, -0.1629, -0.1866, -0.2332, -0.2938, -0.1775, -0.1775, -0.169, -0.1789, -0.1694, -0.1423, -0.198, -0.189, -0.0793, -0.0937, -0.1198, -0.0728, -0.0872, 0.0457, 0.0296, -0.0129, 0.0, -0.0164, -0.0058, -0.0328, -0.0213, 0.0177, 0.0523, 0.0125, 0.0156, -0.0115, 0.0042, -0.0938, -0.0935, -0.1322, -0.1935, -0.1952, -0.126, -0.1341, -0.1418, -0.1418, -0.1251, -0.1232, -0.1236, -0.154, -0.1599, -0.1264, -0.077, -0.0195, 0.0002, 0.0327, 0.0593, -0.0192, 0.0323, -0.0093, -0.0001, -0.0156, -0.0285, -0.0904, -0.0602, -0.0427, 0.016, -0.0102, -0.0092, -0.0342, 0.0069, 0.0841, 0.0393, 0.0101, 0.0612, -0.0218, -0.0518, -0.0317, -0.0425, -0.0312, -0.0741, -0.0741, -0.099, -0.1302, -0.0878, -0.0539, -0.0539, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028746246706319787", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-03T08:16:12+00:00", "symbol": "photonics", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Photonics is the new architectural paradigm for AI. Go long for next few years.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long photonics sector for next few years as AI architectural paradigm; COHR and LITE direct beneficiaries of NVDA's $4B investment; CPO ramp in 2028.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR", "LITE", "AAOI", "FN", "POET"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Photonics sector basket of optical component names", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Photonics is the new architectural paradigm for AI. Go long for next few years. \n\n$NVDA basically just invested $4B the other day to help $COHR and $LITE scale up and things like cpo are expected to ramp in 2028.\n\nThis is why all the photonics stocks are going up 10% a day because institutions are frontrunning and repositioning.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit what is your take on all the photonics stocks and your exit position fundamental reason, or all these are a strong  hold to 2027", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "tanzhengjie3", "ret_m1d": 0.06006869061303368, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06006869061303368, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0511759686689899, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0511759686689899, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00889272194404378, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00889272194404378, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0007576794678397558, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0007576794678397558, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00781298782092441, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00781298782092441, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007055308353084655, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007055308353084655, "ret_p1w": 0.0271765853534355, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0271765853534355, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03180677764360309, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03180677764360309, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00463019229016759, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00463019229016759, "ret_p1m": -0.06958236720724802, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06958236720724802, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.035333427667016123, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.035333427667016123, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03424893954023189, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03424893954023189, "ret_p3m": 0.421707930874788, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.421707930874788, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3067403552648813, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3067403552648813, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11496757560990667, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11496757560990667, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3726, -0.3744, -0.356, -0.3189, -0.2906, -0.2791, -0.3574, -0.3751, -0.3878, -0.4056, -0.3786, -0.3304, -0.2786, -0.2873, -0.29, -0.29, -0.3065, -0.3244, -0.3322, -0.3448, -0.3448, -0.2905, -0.3147, -0.2842, -0.2887, -0.3401, -0.3289, -0.3272, -0.3092, -0.2987, -0.2679, -0.2782, -0.2782, -0.2685, -0.2572, -0.3062, -0.322, -0.3352, -0.2892, -0.2788, -0.3049, -0.3028, -0.2804, -0.2809, -0.3196, -0.3185, -0.2369, -0.2027, -0.2395, -0.2398, -0.2582, -0.2522, -0.2522, -0.2418, -0.2368, -0.2087, -0.1634, -0.1498, -0.1168, -0.0755, -0.1336, -0.0692, 0.0601, 0.0, -0.0008, -0.034, -0.1154, -0.0229, 0.0272, 0.04, -0.0311, -0.0691, -0.0648, -0.0893, -0.0641, 0.005, -0.0807, -0.0377, 0.0443, 0.0522, -0.0692, -0.0711, -0.1541, -0.0931, -0.0696, 0.0154, 0.0154, 0.0014, 0.0344, 0.1345, 0.1359, 0.2328, 0.2485, 0.2131, 0.2019, 0.2721, 0.2934, 0.3454, 0.3445, 0.427, 0.3556, 0.5229, 0.2559, 0.1911, 0.2052, 0.2818, 0.3564, 0.3405, 0.4048, 0.4137, 0.3135, 0.3473, 0.5914, 0.5667, 0.7123, 0.8583, 0.6661, 0.5337, 0.484, 0.5114, 0.5933, 0.5914, 0.5914, 0.532, 0.5336, 0.4892, 0.4217, 0.4217, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028746246706319787", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-03T08:16:12+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NVDA basically just invested $4B the other day to help $COHR and $LITE scale up", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long photonics sector for next few years as AI architectural paradigm; COHR and LITE direct beneficiaries of NVDA's $4B investment; CPO ramp in 2028.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Photonics is the new architectural paradigm for AI. Go long for next few years. \n\n$NVDA basically just invested $4B the other day to help $COHR and $LITE scale up and things like cpo are expected to ramp in 2028.\n\nThis is why all the photonics stocks are going up 10% a day because institutions are frontrunning and repositioning.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit what is your take on all the photonics stocks and your exit position fundamental reason, or all these are a strong  hold to 2027", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "tanzhengjie3", "ret_m1d": 0.01349626302576179, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01349626302576179, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00460354108171801, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00460354108171801, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00889272194404378, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00889272194404378, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.016606495502460517, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.016606495502460517, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.009551187149375862, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.009551187149375862, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007055308353084655, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007055308353084655, "ret_p1w": 0.02621501030839757, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02621501030839757, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.030845202598565158, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.030845202598565158, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00463019229016759, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00463019229016759, "ret_p1m": -0.023829408265939933, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.023829408265939933, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.01041953127429196, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01041953127429196, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03424893954023189, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03424893954023189, "ret_p3m": 0.17273774192274383, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.17273774192274383, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.05777016631283716, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.05777016631283716, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11496757560990667, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11496757560990667, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0185, 0.0131, 0.0305, 0.0273, 0.0207, 0.0049, -0.0279, -0.0209, -0.0129, -0.0506, -0.0328, 0.0052, 0.0202, 0.0509, 0.0475, 0.0475, 0.0582, 0.0454, 0.0416, 0.0358, 0.0358, 0.0489, 0.0448, 0.0399, 0.0503, 0.0277, 0.0267, 0.0272, 0.032, 0.0172, 0.0389, 0.0343, 0.0343, -0.011, 0.0182, 0.0266, 0.0423, 0.0357, 0.047, 0.0637, 0.0692, 0.0615, 0.0309, 0.0016, -0.0325, -0.0454, 0.0298, 0.0555, 0.0472, 0.0555, 0.0383, 0.0153, 0.0153, 0.0273, 0.044, 0.0436, 0.0543, 0.0639, 0.0711, 0.0861, 0.0269, -0.0159, 0.0135, 0.0, 0.0166, 0.0183, -0.0124, 0.0144, 0.0262, 0.0333, 0.0172, 0.0012, 0.0177, 0.0105, 0.002, -0.0082, -0.0408, -0.0244, -0.0269, -0.0076, -0.0489, -0.0695, -0.0826, -0.0313, -0.0238, -0.0147, -0.0147, -0.0133, -0.0108, 0.0113, 0.0215, 0.0477, 0.0515, 0.0915, 0.1046, 0.1017, 0.1202, 0.1223, 0.1102, 0.1247, 0.1089, 0.1568, 0.2031, 0.184, 0.1622, 0.1085, 0.1023, 0.1024, 0.0914, 0.1544, 0.1747, 0.1953, 0.2188, 0.2263, 0.2543, 0.3094, 0.2515, 0.2348, 0.2253, 0.2412, 0.2192, 0.196, 0.196, 0.1934, 0.1808, 0.19, 0.1727, 0.1727, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028746246706319787", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-03T08:16:12+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NVDA basically just invested $4B the other day to help $COHR and $LITE scale up and things like cpo are expected to ramp in 2028", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long photonics sector for next few years as AI architectural paradigm; COHR and LITE direct beneficiaries of NVDA's $4B investment; CPO ramp in 2028.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Photonics is the new architectural paradigm for AI. Go long for next few years. \n\n$NVDA basically just invested $4B the other day to help $COHR and $LITE scale up and things like cpo are expected to ramp in 2028.\n\nThis is why all the photonics stocks are going up 10% a day because institutions are frontrunning and repositioning.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit what is your take on all the photonics stocks and your exit position fundamental reason, or all these are a strong  hold to 2027", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "tanzhengjie3", "ret_m1d": 0.06445641629884946, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06445641629884946, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05556369435480568, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05556369435480568, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00889272194404378, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00889272194404378, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.021188747760982785, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.021188747760982785, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02824405611406744, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02824405611406744, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007055308353084655, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007055308353084655, "ret_p1w": -0.07182786612128222, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07182786612128222, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06719767383111463, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06719767383111463, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00463019229016759, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00463019229016759, "ret_p1m": -0.11755277516409679, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11755277516409679, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0833038356238649, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0833038356238649, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03424893954023189, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03424893954023189, "ret_p3m": 0.28724049842733557, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.28724049842733557, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1722729228174289, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.1722729228174289, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11496757560990667, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11496757560990667, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3684, -0.3526, -0.3381, -0.3137, -0.2969, -0.2931, -0.3649, -0.3645, -0.3761, -0.393, -0.3743, -0.3382, -0.3199, -0.3167, -0.3185, -0.3185, -0.3173, -0.3269, -0.3347, -0.3427, -0.3427, -0.308, -0.3363, -0.3087, -0.3176, -0.3834, -0.3659, -0.3406, -0.3233, -0.3444, -0.3022, -0.3197, -0.3197, -0.3111, -0.2826, -0.2781, -0.2987, -0.2958, -0.2379, -0.2125, -0.2313, -0.2444, -0.2079, -0.1839, -0.2486, -0.2549, -0.1892, -0.1366, -0.1867, -0.2034, -0.2304, -0.2264, -0.2264, -0.2167, -0.2027, -0.1721, -0.1162, -0.1137, -0.0924, -0.046, -0.1092, -0.0779, 0.0645, 0.0, -0.0212, -0.0959, -0.1606, -0.1015, -0.0718, -0.1047, -0.1408, -0.1355, -0.1191, -0.1247, -0.084, -0.0187, -0.0968, -0.0917, -0.0302, -0.0312, -0.1336, -0.1329, -0.2178, -0.1517, -0.1176, -0.0807, -0.0807, -0.0983, -0.0916, 0.0035, 0.012, 0.095, 0.0966, 0.1161, 0.0975, 0.168, 0.2287, 0.2375, 0.2243, 0.2481, 0.2025, 0.1969, 0.145, 0.0825, 0.0859, 0.1385, 0.1734, 0.1748, 0.1956, 0.2274, 0.1367, 0.1939, 0.3521, 0.3319, 0.4377, 0.442, 0.362, 0.2921, 0.2593, 0.2767, 0.3461, 0.3446, 0.3446, 0.358, 0.3539, 0.3424, 0.2872, 0.2872, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028746246706319787", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-03-03T08:16:12+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NVDA basically just invested $4B the other day to help $COHR and $LITE scale up and things like cpo are expected to ramp in 2028", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long photonics sector for next few years as AI architectural paradigm; COHR and LITE direct beneficiaries of NVDA's $4B investment; CPO ramp in 2028.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Photonics is the new architectural paradigm for AI. Go long for next few years. \n\n$NVDA basically just invested $4B the other day to help $COHR and $LITE scale up and things like cpo are expected to ramp in 2028.\n\nThis is why all the photonics stocks are going up 10% a day because institutions are frontrunning and repositioning.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit what is your take on all the photonics stocks and your exit position fundamental reason, or all these are a strong  hold to 2027", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "tanzhengjie3", "ret_m1d": 0.12790347228808052, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.12790347228808052, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.11901075034403674, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.11901075034403674, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00889272194404378, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00889272194404378, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01962761549266223, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01962761549266223, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.026682923845746886, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.026682923845746886, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007055308353084655, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007055308353084655, "ret_p1w": -0.03229986163090948, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03229986163090948, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.027669669340741887, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.027669669340741887, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00463019229016759, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00463019229016759, "ret_p1m": 0.1011189500437748, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1011189500437748, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1353678895840067, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1353678895840067, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03424893954023189, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03424893954023189, "ret_p3m": 0.23116805292110132, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.23116805292110132, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11620047731119465, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.11620047731119465, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11496757560990667, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11496757560990667, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5279, -0.5228, -0.5067, -0.4811, -0.4729, -0.4642, -0.5329, -0.518, -0.5447, -0.5388, -0.5145, -0.4651, -0.4386, -0.4421, -0.4299, -0.4299, -0.4373, -0.4634, -0.4655, -0.4692, -0.4692, -0.444, -0.4858, -0.4277, -0.4342, -0.4985, -0.4939, -0.5106, -0.4797, -0.5225, -0.5057, -0.5331, -0.5331, -0.4862, -0.4781, -0.4895, -0.5116, -0.5213, -0.4662, -0.4456, -0.4507, -0.4357, -0.3903, -0.3734, -0.3296, -0.2736, -0.2051, -0.1689, -0.192, -0.1733, -0.1598, -0.1896, -0.1896, -0.1354, -0.1442, -0.0847, -0.0384, -0.0284, -0.0089, 0.0417, -0.0251, 0.0093, 0.1279, 0.0, -0.0196, -0.0628, -0.1958, -0.0774, -0.0323, -0.0323, -0.1128, -0.1036, -0.1002, -0.0646, 0.0092, 0.1119, 0.0172, 0.0497, 0.1549, 0.1191, -0.0081, 0.012, -0.0571, 0.012, 0.1011, 0.1907, 0.1907, 0.1121, 0.1747, 0.2903, 0.2876, 0.2921, 0.2545, 0.228, 0.1866, 0.2834, 0.2875, 0.289, 0.2052, 0.258, 0.2195, 0.2696, 0.238, 0.1396, 0.236, 0.2994, 0.3679, 0.4057, 0.4322, 0.3598, 0.2853, 0.3015, 0.5165, 0.429, 0.4838, 0.4426, 0.3978, 0.2744, 0.2818, 0.25, 0.3889, 0.3636, 0.3636, 0.3116, 0.2994, 0.2393, 0.2312, 0.2312, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2026679668414493065", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-25T15:24:21+00:00", "symbol": "VLN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Looks deeply discounted. Total assets $134m, MC is $154m, $76m guidance off 60% margins, -$29.7m liabilities.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "VLN looks deeply discounted on asset/liability fundamentals vs market cap; implied long.", "resolved_tickers": ["VLN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@JohnPenisini Yep I went through it. Looks deeply discounted.\n\nTotal assets $134m, MC is $154m, $76m guidance off 60% margins, -$29.7m liabilities.\n\nIdk why markets dislike Israeli companies like $ETOR or $VLN", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Any thoughts on $VLN earnings today?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JohnPenisini", "ret_m1d": -0.0064935004616650804, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0064935004616650804, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0018742385800137873, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009932254981940836, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008367739041678868, "bench_c_m1d": -0.016425755443605916, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03896108017862199, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03896108017862199, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04451555657024309, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07216455721750314, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005554476391621099, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03320347703888116, "ret_p1w": -0.0649350046166508, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0649350046166508, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05336453266098207, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.001437732873503128, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011570471955668737, "bench_c_p1w": -0.06349727174314768, "ret_p1m": -0.20779216959054547, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.20779216959054547, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14099815176903607, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10144711858911049, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0667940178215094, "bench_c_p1m": -0.10634505100143499, "ret_p3m": 1.0909091612805741, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.0909091612805741, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.0122446443084647, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.738553233057035, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07866451697210941, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3523559282235391, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.039, 0.0195, 0.026, 0.0844, 0.0909, 0.0909, 0.1039, 0.1039, 0.0909, 0.0584, 0.0325, 0.0, -0.0065, -0.039, -0.039, -0.0325, -0.0519, -0.0909, -0.1039, -0.1039, -0.0649, -0.0844, -0.1039, -0.0779, -0.0779, 0.013, 0.0195, 0.0325, 0.0065, 0.013, 0.6104, 0.5, 0.5195, 0.3571, 0.3571, 0.2922, 0.2922, 0.2597, 0.2727, 0.3636, 0.2727, 0.1948, 0.1948, 0.1494, 0.1429, 0.1039, 0.0844, 0.039, 0.0, -0.0714, 0.0, -0.013, 0.0065, 0.0, -0.026, -0.013, -0.013, -0.0519, -0.0325, -0.0325, -0.0195, -0.039, -0.0065, 0.0, 0.039, -0.039, -0.039, -0.0649, -0.0649, -0.0909, -0.1234, -0.1234, -0.1039, -0.0714, -0.1234, -0.1364, -0.1364, -0.1299, -0.1883, -0.1688, -0.2078, -0.1818, -0.1883, -0.1818, -0.2078, -0.2338, -0.2792, -0.2662, -0.2403, -0.2273, -0.2273, -0.2273, -0.2338, -0.1494, -0.1299, -0.1364, -0.1234, -0.1039, -0.0455, 0.0065, -0.013, -0.0455, -0.026, 0.0455, 0.0714, 0.1623, 0.0455, -0.0195, -0.0195, 0.4091, 0.5195, 0.461, 0.5714, 0.6234, 0.5649, 0.8117, 0.8506, 0.7532, 0.9156, 1.1883, 0.9805, 0.8312, 0.7273, 0.8831, 0.987, 1.0909, 1.0909, 1.1169, 1.0455, 1.2727, 1.2922, 1.2922, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2018195638807347685", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-02T05:31:51+00:00", "symbol": "Silver", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My best guess is likely down due to mechanics of margin hikes", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "intraday", "summary": "Short-term silver likely down on CME margin hike mechanics; then expects a wide recovery once forced liquidations complete.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Silver proxied by SLV ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My best guess is likely down due to mechanics of margin hikes. But I hope I'm wrong.   \n\nWe've seen CME increase margins eg. silver 11% -> 15%-16.5%+ values (taking effect today) and my guess is institutions use this opportunity to wipe out more leverage.  \n\nOn Friday, markets saw manufactured selloffs on Silver likely due to bullion banks and funds being underwater on shorts. \n\nThere's a huge bifurcation in prices between Paper Silver being traded and the physical demand (used for AI + industrial).  \n\nBut once that sell-off is done and institutions use paper liquidations to net-reposition long, we'll likely see a wide recovery since a lot of what happened regarding broader selloff from the new Fed chair is optics rather than policy change.   \n\nJust don't know timeframe.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit so up or down for the next 24 hours", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "lucawut", "ret_m1d": 0.041413582259699266, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.041413582259699266, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.046360352205853994, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.046360352205853994, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946769946154728, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004946769946154728, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06239641759706527, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06239641759706527, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07085181402776586, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07085181402776586, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00845539643070059, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00845539643070059, "ret_p1w": 0.04969627764760198, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04969627764760198, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05179571539784256, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05179571539784256, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0020994377502405737, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0020994377502405737, "ret_p1m": 0.030922111930923535, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.030922111930923535, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05260709048242329, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05260709048242329, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684978551499756, "bench_c_p1m": -0.021684978551499756, "ret_p3m": -0.07979015163579095, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.07979015163579095, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11604595864276457, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.11604595864276457, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03625580700697362, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03625580700697362, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3974, -0.3988, -0.3937, -0.3679, -0.3588, -0.333, -0.3454, -0.3655, -0.3723, -0.3636, -0.3588, -0.368, -0.3747, -0.3563, -0.3557, -0.3319, -0.3319, -0.2931, -0.275, -0.2666, -0.2674, -0.2855, -0.2691, -0.2724, -0.2384, -0.226, -0.2046, -0.2256, -0.1978, -0.2031, -0.1681, -0.1811, -0.1589, -0.1376, -0.1049, -0.0997, -0.0997, -0.0182, -0.0888, -0.0478, -0.1107, -0.1107, -0.0924, -0.0464, 0.0175, -0.0204, -0.0377, -0.0008, 0.0661, 0.085, 0.1673, 0.1502, 0.1184, 0.1184, 0.1788, 0.159, 0.2028, 0.2826, 0.3575, 0.4024, 0.4578, 0.4573, 0.0414, 0.0, 0.0624, 0.093, -0.0794, -0.0311, 0.0497, 0.0134, 0.0569, -0.065, -0.0375, -0.0375, -0.0838, -0.0324, -0.0197, 0.0577, 0.1122, 0.0917, 0.1049, 0.1106, 0.1732, 0.126, 0.0309, 0.04, 0.0253, 0.0483, 0.0803, 0.1056, 0.0755, 0.0558, 0.0035, 0.0108, -0.0108, -0.0516, -0.0933, -0.1507, -0.1376, -0.131, -0.0998, -0.1611, -0.1242, -0.1231, -0.0594, -0.0594, -0.0918, -0.0918, -0.0877, -0.0897, -0.0686, -0.0559, -0.0464, -0.0574, -0.0055, -0.0083, -0.0166, 0.0164, -0.004, -0.0545, -0.0286, -0.056, -0.0504, -0.0567, -0.0861, -0.1049, -0.0798, -0.0573, -0.0897, -0.0901, -0.0319, -0.0116, 0.0079, 0.0768, 0.0843, 0.0954, 0.0424, -0.0469, -0.0345, -0.0765, -0.0512, -0.0413, -0.0563, -0.0563, -0.0375, -0.0682, -0.0563, -0.0567, -0.0567, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2018195638807347685", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-02T05:31:51+00:00", "symbol": "Silver", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "once that sell-off is done and institutions use paper liquidations to net-reposition long, we'll likely see a wide recovery", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "intraday", "summary": "Short-term silver likely down on CME margin hike mechanics; then expects a wide recovery once forced liquidations complete.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLV"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Silver proxied by SLV ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My best guess is likely down due to mechanics of margin hikes. But I hope I'm wrong.   \n\nWe've seen CME increase margins eg. silver 11% -> 15%-16.5%+ values (taking effect today) and my guess is institutions use this opportunity to wipe out more leverage.  \n\nOn Friday, markets saw manufactured selloffs on Silver likely due to bullion banks and funds being underwater on shorts. \n\nThere's a huge bifurcation in prices between Paper Silver being traded and the physical demand (used for AI + industrial).  \n\nBut once that sell-off is done and institutions use paper liquidations to net-reposition long, we'll likely see a wide recovery since a lot of what happened regarding broader selloff from the new Fed chair is optics rather than policy change.   \n\nJust don't know timeframe.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit so up or down for the next 24 hours", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "lucawut", "ret_m1d": 0.041413582259699266, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.041413582259699266, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.046360352205853994, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.046360352205853994, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946769946154728, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004946769946154728, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06239641759706527, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06239641759706527, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07085181402776586, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07085181402776586, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00845539643070059, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00845539643070059, "ret_p1w": 0.04969627764760198, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04969627764760198, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05179571539784256, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05179571539784256, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0020994377502405737, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0020994377502405737, "ret_p1m": 0.030922111930923535, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.030922111930923535, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05260709048242329, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05260709048242329, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684978551499756, "bench_c_p1m": -0.021684978551499756, "ret_p3m": -0.07979015163579095, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07979015163579095, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11604595864276457, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11604595864276457, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03625580700697362, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03625580700697362, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3974, -0.3988, -0.3937, -0.3679, -0.3588, -0.333, -0.3454, -0.3655, -0.3723, -0.3636, -0.3588, -0.368, -0.3747, -0.3563, -0.3557, -0.3319, -0.3319, -0.2931, -0.275, -0.2666, -0.2674, -0.2855, -0.2691, -0.2724, -0.2384, -0.226, -0.2046, -0.2256, -0.1978, -0.2031, -0.1681, -0.1811, -0.1589, -0.1376, -0.1049, -0.0997, -0.0997, -0.0182, -0.0888, -0.0478, -0.1107, -0.1107, -0.0924, -0.0464, 0.0175, -0.0204, -0.0377, -0.0008, 0.0661, 0.085, 0.1673, 0.1502, 0.1184, 0.1184, 0.1788, 0.159, 0.2028, 0.2826, 0.3575, 0.4024, 0.4578, 0.4573, 0.0414, 0.0, 0.0624, 0.093, -0.0794, -0.0311, 0.0497, 0.0134, 0.0569, -0.065, -0.0375, -0.0375, -0.0838, -0.0324, -0.0197, 0.0577, 0.1122, 0.0917, 0.1049, 0.1106, 0.1732, 0.126, 0.0309, 0.04, 0.0253, 0.0483, 0.0803, 0.1056, 0.0755, 0.0558, 0.0035, 0.0108, -0.0108, -0.0516, -0.0933, -0.1507, -0.1376, -0.131, -0.0998, -0.1611, -0.1242, -0.1231, -0.0594, -0.0594, -0.0918, -0.0918, -0.0877, -0.0897, -0.0686, -0.0559, -0.0464, -0.0574, -0.0055, -0.0083, -0.0166, 0.0164, -0.004, -0.0545, -0.0286, -0.056, -0.0504, -0.0567, -0.0861, -0.1049, -0.0798, -0.0573, -0.0897, -0.0901, -0.0319, -0.0116, 0.0079, 0.0768, 0.0843, 0.0954, 0.0424, -0.0469, -0.0345, -0.0765, -0.0512, -0.0413, -0.0563, -0.0563, -0.0375, -0.0682, -0.0563, -0.0567, -0.0567, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2034160719676244366", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-18T06:51:23+00:00", "symbol": "MU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm very bullish on $MU", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish MU (high conviction); US investor access a tailwind for SK Hynix and Samsung (low conviction); notes SK Hynix valuation discount to MU as anomaly.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@daniel_koss Yeah should be a tailwind for SK Hynix and Samsung and opens the doors for a lot of US investors.\n\nI’m very bullish on $MU but it’s a bit strange SK Hynix trades at a lower valuation, even accounting for made in America premiums.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Now imagine US investors can soon buy SKH in a simple way 🥰", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "daniel_koss", "ret_m1d": -8.668561804270336e-05, "ret_signed_m1d": -8.668561804270336e-05, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014237790504585734, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.008240701279861429, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.014151104886543031, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008154015661818725, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03781436926195425, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03781436926195425, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03535002877676241, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04098961745806673, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0024643404851918405, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003175248196112479, "ret_p1w": -0.17248176626542222, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.17248176626542222, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.168224017328911, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.18607176652821733, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0042577489365112076, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01359000026279511, "ret_p1m": -0.009329977698455227, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.009329977698455227, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07304982993980857, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1646122503637466, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06371985224135335, "bench_c_p1m": 0.15528227266529138, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4243, -0.4012, -0.4019, -0.3794, -0.3794, -0.3835, -0.3625, -0.3662, -0.3819, -0.3819, -0.3169, -0.324, -0.2562, -0.2646, -0.2918, -0.2526, -0.2509, -0.2677, -0.278, -0.2709, -0.2144, -0.2144, -0.2095, -0.1573, -0.1389, -0.1345, -0.1573, -0.1115, -0.0573, -0.0562, -0.1015, -0.0518, -0.0916, -0.1783, -0.1707, -0.1452, -0.1694, -0.1916, -0.1113, -0.1034, -0.1084, -0.1084, -0.1342, -0.0883, -0.0961, -0.0727, -0.0883, -0.0947, -0.0709, -0.1, -0.1069, -0.1063, -0.1777, -0.132, -0.1401, -0.198, -0.1568, -0.127, -0.0932, -0.1221, -0.0771, -0.0432, -0.0001, 0.0, -0.0378, -0.0841, -0.1243, -0.1434, -0.1725, -0.2302, -0.2263, -0.3028, -0.268, -0.203, -0.2065, -0.2065, -0.1815, -0.1819, -0.1187, -0.0867, -0.0887, -0.0758, 0.0089, -0.0115, -0.0093, -0.014, -0.0284, -0.0263, 0.0562, 0.0437, 0.0762, 0.1366, 0.0926, 0.1233, 0.1205, 0.1748, 0.249, 0.3871, 0.4443, 0.401, 0.6181, 0.7232, 0.6609, 0.7412, 0.6814, 0.5701, 0.4767, 0.5139, 0.586, 0.6512, 0.6272, 0.6272, 0.9411, 1.0116, 1.001, 1.1038, 1.1038, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2034160719676244366", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-18T06:51:23+00:00", "symbol": "SK Hynix", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "should be a tailwind for SK Hynix and Samsung and opens the doors for a lot of US investors", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish MU (high conviction); US investor access a tailwind for SK Hynix and Samsung (low conviction); notes SK Hynix valuation discount to MU as anomaly.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "SK Hynix listed on KOSPI as 000660.KS", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@daniel_koss Yeah should be a tailwind for SK Hynix and Samsung and opens the doors for a lot of US investors.\n\nI’m very bullish on $MU but it’s a bit strange SK Hynix trades at a lower valuation, even accounting for made in America premiums.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Now imagine US investors can soon buy SKH in a simple way 🥰", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "daniel_koss", "ret_m1d": -0.08143945223799243, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08143945223799243, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09559055712453546, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.10077511874205913, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.014151104886543031, "bench_c_m1d": 0.019335666504066706, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04071975571674624, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04071975571674624, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0382554152315544, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06301276703425951, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0024643404851918405, "bench_c_p1d": 0.022293011317513267, "ret_p1w": -0.05776521833431436, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05776521833431436, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.053507469397803153, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.026372991569371895, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0042577489365112076, "bench_c_p1w": -0.031392226764942466, "ret_p1m": 0.09374992600562493, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09374992600562493, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03003007376427158, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.024463569298259547, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06371985224135335, "bench_c_p1m": 0.11821349530388447, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.483, -0.4518, -0.448, -0.4442, -0.4442, -0.4338, -0.3951, -0.3847, -0.3847, -0.3847, -0.3601, -0.3421, -0.3138, -0.2986, -0.2854, -0.2968, -0.292, -0.3024, -0.2986, -0.292, -0.2854, -0.2778, -0.2977, -0.3005, -0.2864, -0.275, -0.3043, -0.2438, -0.2051, -0.1862, -0.1408, -0.2155, -0.1427, -0.1493, -0.2041, -0.207, -0.1616, -0.172, -0.1871, -0.1606, -0.1682, -0.1682, -0.1682, -0.1682, -0.155, -0.103, -0.1011, -0.05, -0.0378, 0.0407, 0.0047, 0.0047, -0.1108, -0.196, -0.1089, -0.125, -0.2083, -0.1117, -0.0956, -0.1193, -0.1383, -0.0777, -0.0814, 0.0, -0.0407, -0.0464, -0.1165, -0.0663, -0.0578, -0.1165, -0.1165, -0.1733, -0.2358, -0.1506, -0.214, -0.1705, -0.161, -0.1326, -0.0218, -0.0549, -0.0275, -0.0152, 0.0445, 0.0758, 0.0937, 0.0682, 0.1042, 0.1591, 0.1581, 0.16, 0.1572, 0.2235, 0.2311, 0.2244, 0.2178, 0.2178, 0.3703, 0.3703, 0.5161, 0.5663, 0.5966, 0.7803, 0.7377, 0.8712, 0.8655, 0.7225, 0.7424, 0.6525, 0.6525, 0.8371, 0.8381, 0.8381, 0.9432, 1.1241, 1.168, 1.2096, 1.2556, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2034160719676244366", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-18T06:51:23+00:00", "symbol": "Samsung", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "should be a tailwind for SK Hynix and Samsung and opens the doors for a lot of US investors", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish MU (high conviction); US investor access a tailwind for SK Hynix and Samsung (low conviction); notes SK Hynix valuation discount to MU as anomaly.", "resolved_tickers": ["005930.KS"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Samsung Electronics KOSPI 005930.KS", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@daniel_koss Yeah should be a tailwind for SK Hynix and Samsung and opens the doors for a lot of US investors.\n\nI’m very bullish on $MU but it’s a bit strange SK Hynix trades at a lower valuation, even accounting for made in America premiums.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Now imagine US investors can soon buy SKH in a simple way 🥰", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "daniel_koss", "ret_m1d": -0.07002398614584371, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07002398614584371, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08417509103238674, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0814765483988994, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.014151104886543031, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011452562253055687, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.038369272501345475, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.038369272501345475, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.035904932016153634, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.041775982866956274, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0024643404851918405, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003406710365610799, "ret_p1w": -0.09352516743029682, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09352516743029682, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08926741849378561, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08605948508436101, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0042577489365112076, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007465682345935809, "ret_p1m": 0.04532466154422532, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04532466154422532, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.018395190697128028, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.057959027186786916, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06371985224135335, "bench_c_p1m": 0.10328368873101224, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4926, -0.4726, -0.4678, -0.4697, -0.4697, -0.4416, -0.4269, -0.4249, -0.4249, -0.4249, -0.3837, -0.3376, -0.3338, -0.3237, -0.3343, -0.3333, -0.3343, -0.34, -0.3271, -0.3098, -0.2859, -0.2839, -0.3036, -0.283, -0.2695, -0.2705, -0.2705, -0.235, -0.2211, -0.2293, -0.2302, -0.2787, -0.1966, -0.189, -0.236, -0.2393, -0.2019, -0.2048, -0.1952, -0.1434, -0.1309, -0.1309, -0.1309, -0.1309, -0.0887, -0.0882, -0.0743, -0.0408, -0.024, 0.0456, 0.0384, 0.0384, -0.0643, -0.1741, -0.0811, -0.0974, -0.1679, -0.0988, -0.0887, -0.0988, -0.1199, -0.095, -0.07, 0.0, -0.0384, -0.0436, -0.1065, -0.0902, -0.0935, -0.1362, -0.1362, -0.1527, -0.1964, -0.0885, -0.1426, -0.1051, -0.0719, -0.0556, 0.0117, -0.0196, -0.0099, -0.034, -0.0075, 0.0141, 0.0453, 0.0381, 0.0309, 0.0525, 0.0453, 0.079, 0.0549, 0.079, 0.067, 0.0862, 0.0597, 0.0597, 0.1174, 0.1174, 0.2784, 0.3049, 0.2904, 0.3721, 0.3409, 0.3649, 0.4226, 0.3, 0.3505, 0.3241, 0.3265, 0.4394, 0.4058, 0.4058, 0.437, 0.4755, 0.4394, 0.5235, 0.6653, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2016651304027009278", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-28T23:15:13+00:00", "symbol": "VPG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is probably one of the biggest news for robotic supply chains of Optimus like $VPG", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish VPG as a key Optimus robotic supply chain beneficiary given dedicated factory conversion for production ramp.", "resolved_tickers": ["VPG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Scientific & Technical Instruments'", "bench_c_industry": "Scientific & Technical Instruments", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "FYI: Markets often miss statements in earnings calls like $TSLA and their second order effects (price them in much later)\n\nThis is probably one of the biggest news for robotic supply chains of Optimus like $VPG.\n\nEspecially that Optimus will ramping up now and that Elon has dedicated factories from Model S and X.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$TSLA\n\nELON: WE WILL BE STOPPING MODEL S &amp; X PRODUCTION AND CONVERT THOSE FACTORIES FOR OPTIMUS PRODUCTION\n\nwoah", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.013748042033717711, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.013748042033717711, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.013647361994618024, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02165525381709721, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00010068003909968759, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007907211783379497, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.13545193330873895, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.13545193330873895, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.13743631575770876, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.15126645925278037, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019843824489698125, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015814525944041424, "ret_p1w": 0.21478482811379518, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.21478482811379518, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.22805734389763543, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2892336902517276, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013272515783840255, "bench_c_p1w": -0.07444886213793245, "ret_p1m": 0.06513408742887417, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06513408742887417, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07393452612630325, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12021685331905696, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00880043869742908, "bench_c_p1m": -0.055082765890182794, "ret_p3m": 0.32026151095889377, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.32026151095889377, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.28905281100661995, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2429334925080504, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031208699952273822, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07732801845084336, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1557, -0.1433, -0.1956, -0.1866, -0.2538, -0.2572, -0.2294, -0.2425, -0.2439, -0.2777, -0.2799, -0.3144, -0.3173, -0.3103, -0.3401, -0.2984, -0.2689, -0.2414, -0.2326, -0.2326, -0.2306, -0.2233, -0.2114, -0.1722, -0.1589, -0.1208, -0.146, -0.1711, -0.1359, -0.1213, -0.1454, -0.1422, -0.1307, -0.1424, -0.1391, -0.1264, -0.1271, -0.1127, -0.1104, -0.1104, -0.1055, -0.1167, -0.1226, -0.1323, -0.1323, -0.1147, -0.1134, -0.0683, -0.0978, -0.0899, -0.0609, -0.0636, -0.0645, -0.0572, -0.0151, -0.0171, -0.0171, -0.0146, 0.055, 0.0771, -0.0052, -0.032, 0.0137, 0.0, 0.1355, 0.1287, 0.1413, 0.1904, 0.2148, 0.1729, 0.2617, 0.2412, 0.2078, 0.0464, 0.0521, -0.0038, -0.0038, 0.0234, 0.0374, 0.0572, 0.0784, 0.055, 0.0545, 0.0888, 0.0651, 0.0383, 0.1093, 0.0723, 0.0588, 0.014, -0.0205, -0.018, 0.0038, -0.011, -0.06, -0.0757, -0.0723, -0.08, -0.0737, -0.0243, -0.0841, -0.05, -0.0361, 0.0255, -0.0417, -0.0636, -0.0832, -0.0214, -0.009, 0.009, 0.009, 0.0394, 0.0532, 0.1062, 0.1095, 0.1246, 0.1711, 0.1675, 0.1449, 0.158, 0.1995, 0.1981, 0.2265, 0.2916, 0.3025, 0.3662, 0.3203, 0.2894, 0.2682, 0.3617, 0.3572, 0.3529, 0.4413, 0.4327, 0.407, 0.5154, 0.501, 0.9286, 1.2448, 1.2614, 1.1934, 1.3712, 1.2076, 1.2698, 1.3448, 1.5639, 1.5639, 1.7814, 1.838, 1.8229, 1.8242, 1.8242, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2012438404311740553", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-17T08:14:39+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "just validates how critical of a role both InP and AXT plays in the AI buildout", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AXTI: Craig-Hallum Buy/$26 PT + Trump InP exec order validate AXT's critical role in AI buildout.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It's a neutral development. \n\nCraig-Hallum's $AXTI $26 PT \"Buy\" analyst report and Trump's executive order for InP supply control is just reaffirming the thesis. \n\nMajority of people thought AXT was just a pump/dump $600m penny stock a month ago at $14 since I was one of the only people to mention it. \n\nFollow-up news like this just validates how critical of a role both InP and AXT plays in the AI buildout.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Bullish AXTI?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "itsakek", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0307831734032884, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0307831734032884, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010426387679743354, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005807525574556993, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.024975647828731407, "ret_p1w": -0.19420556296486768, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.19420556296486768, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.19575255409234316, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.19028436796304604, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "bench_c_p1w": -0.003921195001821642, "ret_p1m": 0.050701626262938504, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.050701626262938504, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06343910683263965, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03291897720402215, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "bench_c_p1m": 0.017782649058916356, "ret_p3m": 2.702127578741378, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.702127578741378, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.6848991076274973, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.5662351459785233, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1358924327628548, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7764, -0.7655, -0.7257, -0.7198, -0.7012, -0.6799, -0.6686, -0.6401, -0.617, -0.6134, -0.588, -0.5985, -0.5718, -0.5274, -0.522, -0.5029, -0.5274, -0.5274, -0.536, -0.5518, -0.5423, -0.5722, -0.5957, -0.5772, -0.5822, -0.5269, -0.5269, -0.5156, -0.5115, -0.4676, -0.4803, -0.4522, -0.4758, -0.4246, -0.3228, -0.2979, -0.2585, -0.3296, -0.3287, -0.4115, -0.4405, -0.3658, -0.3368, -0.311, -0.3373, -0.3205, -0.3205, -0.3042, -0.3395, -0.2847, -0.2598, -0.2598, -0.2413, -0.2454, -0.0869, 0.0914, 0.1693, 0.0407, 0.0068, -0.0263, 0.0005, 0.1643, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0308, -0.1046, -0.1888, -0.2123, -0.1942, -0.2214, -0.2381, -0.2585, -0.1607, -0.0521, -0.1064, -0.1512, -0.0751, 0.0892, 0.2571, 0.1023, 0.2132, 0.1222, 0.0973, 0.0973, 0.0507, 0.0656, 0.0779, 0.3436, 0.287, 0.588, 0.8547, 0.6804, 0.7157, 1.0969, 0.8904, 0.7714, 0.7565, 0.4654, 0.7456, 1.0054, 1.144, 1.1154, 1.2119, 1.1906, 1.0081, 1.2073, 1.6297, 1.4554, 1.9172, 2.0982, 2.0489, 1.6487, 1.7447, 1.3871, 1.5794, 1.134, 1.392, 1.392, 0.9009, 1.0579, 1.4074, 1.8574, 1.9054, 2.0081, 2.0466, 1.8488, 2.7021, 2.7374, 2.5654, 2.3938, 2.9357, 2.4074, 2.4477, 2.1756, 2.1105, 2.2173, 2.5862, 3.3459, 3.7986, 3.8687, 3.7456, 3.9081, 4.2675, 4.6953, 4.5636, 4.5201, 4.2051, 4.6034, 3.7931, 4.11, 3.7356, 4.4785, 5.3753, 5.3753, 5.0027, 4.5577, 4.2377, 3.67, 3.67, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2031632009618161879", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-11T07:23:11+00:00", "symbol": "SYY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "They hold massive, multi-million dollar DLA contracts with the US Gov, so when they need to order millions in king crab or lobster delivered, they're the large beneficiary", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long SYY, USFD, PFGC as the largest beneficiaries of Pentagon food overspending; Q4 crab/lobster spend should show up in earnings.", "resolved_tickers": ["SYY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The Pentagon purchased $2M worth of Alaskan king crab.\n\nAs well as $6.9M worth of lobster tails with taxpayer funds in September\n\nIf your first thought like me was:\n\nHow do I profit off of government overspending on king crab and lobsters?\n\nHere’s how:\n\n$SYY - They hold massive, multi-million dollar DLA contracts with the US Gov, so when they need to order millions in king crab or lobster delivered, they’re the large beneficiary.\n\n$USFD - The second-largest U.S. broadline distributor. USFD also bids on institutional and government contracts, absorbing the overflow of massive government food budgets for expensive crab and lobsters.\n\n$PFGC - Another massive distributor that competes for institutional government and supply contracts for crab and lobster.\n\nTo profit from the Pentagon's taste in seafood and steak, you have to invest in the chokepoints that transport the food.\n\nThe three above are the largest beneficiaries and the spend in q4 from lobster and crab should show up in their earnings.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0031929405506176955, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0031929405506176955, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004449680893023444, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004449680893023444, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00413916871914588, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00413916871914588, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.019324117588509382, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.019324117588509382, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "ret_p1w": -0.02424313109619025, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02424313109619025, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.002212440317024833, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.002212440317024833, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "ret_p1m": -0.10648853081282172, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10648853081282172, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1145272168422905, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1145272168422905, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "bench_c_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1273, -0.1145, -0.1181, -0.1108, -0.1187, -0.1255, -0.1245, -0.1314, -0.1284, -0.1284, -0.1286, -0.1259, -0.1289, -0.1349, -0.1349, -0.1412, -0.1392, -0.1365, -0.1471, -0.1217, -0.1216, -0.121, -0.1005, -0.0881, -0.0636, -0.0681, -0.0681, -0.0951, -0.0902, -0.0913, -0.0987, -0.1056, -0.0076, -0.0124, -0.0053, -0.0084, -0.0201, 0.0007, 0.0011, 0.0007, 0.0233, 0.0226, 0.0362, 0.0412, 0.0633, 0.071, 0.071, 0.0608, 0.0558, 0.0604, 0.0659, 0.0576, 0.0628, 0.054, 0.0539, 0.0781, 0.07, 0.0408, 0.0363, 0.0144, 0.0079, 0.0017, -0.0032, 0.0, 0.0041, 0.011, -0.0005, -0.0032, -0.0242, -0.0342, -0.0382, -0.035, -0.0263, -0.0208, -0.0227, -0.0326, -0.1805, -0.1565, -0.1465, -0.1521, -0.1521, -0.1273, -0.1273, -0.1046, -0.1065, -0.1323, -0.1259, -0.1178, -0.1172, -0.1177, -0.0912, -0.0914, -0.1089, -0.1001, -0.0967, -0.0878, -0.1021, -0.1258, -0.1186, -0.1098, -0.1177, -0.1363, -0.1321, -0.1263, -0.1316, -0.1369, -0.1353, -0.1304, -0.1279, -0.1296, -0.1353, -0.124, -0.1041, -0.1009, -0.0825, -0.091, -0.091, -0.1026, -0.1037, -0.0954, -0.0967, -0.0967, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2031632009618161879", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-11T07:23:11+00:00", "symbol": "USFD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "USFD also bids on institutional and government contracts, absorbing the overflow of massive government food budgets for expensive crab and lobsters", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long SYY, USFD, PFGC as the largest beneficiaries of Pentagon food overspending; Q4 crab/lobster spend should show up in earnings.", "resolved_tickers": ["USFD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Food Distribution", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The Pentagon purchased $2M worth of Alaskan king crab.\n\nAs well as $6.9M worth of lobster tails with taxpayer funds in September\n\nIf your first thought like me was:\n\nHow do I profit off of government overspending on king crab and lobsters?\n\nHere’s how:\n\n$SYY - They hold massive, multi-million dollar DLA contracts with the US Gov, so when they need to order millions in king crab or lobster delivered, they’re the large beneficiary.\n\n$USFD - The second-largest U.S. broadline distributor. USFD also bids on institutional and government contracts, absorbing the overflow of massive government food budgets for expensive crab and lobsters.\n\n$PFGC - Another massive distributor that competes for institutional government and supply contracts for crab and lobster.\n\nTo profit from the Pentagon's taste in seafood and steak, you have to invest in the chokepoints that transport the food.\n\nThe three above are the largest beneficiaries and the spend in q4 from lobster and crab should show up in their earnings.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.005364548756460419, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005364548756460419, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.006621289098866168, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.006621289098866168, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013904141924451885, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013904141924451885, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.029089090793815386, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.029089090793815386, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "ret_p1w": -0.026056463201659552, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.026056463201659552, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.004025772422494134, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.004025772422494134, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "ret_p1m": 0.007992154436191612, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.007992154436191612, "alpha_spy_p1m": -4.653159327716594e-05, "alpha_c_p1m": -4.653159327716594e-05, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "bench_c_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1614, -0.1658, -0.1627, -0.1558, -0.1601, -0.1526, -0.1533, -0.1589, -0.1639, -0.1639, -0.1639, -0.1626, -0.1688, -0.1754, -0.1754, -0.1828, -0.1672, -0.1584, -0.1754, -0.1792, -0.1724, -0.1536, -0.1321, -0.0973, -0.0674, -0.0616, -0.0616, -0.0865, -0.0822, -0.1035, -0.1102, -0.1213, -0.084, -0.0827, -0.0775, -0.0845, -0.0764, -0.0378, -0.0385, -0.0378, -0.0111, -0.0134, -0.0073, -0.0154, 0.1165, 0.094, 0.094, 0.0632, 0.0575, 0.0552, 0.0588, 0.0524, 0.057, 0.0497, 0.044, 0.0577, 0.0446, 0.0182, 0.0197, 0.0089, -0.0124, -0.0067, -0.0054, 0.0, 0.0139, 0.036, 0.0044, 0.009, -0.0261, -0.022, -0.0212, -0.022, -0.0023, 0.0125, 0.0083, -0.0053, -0.0042, 0.0095, -0.0056, -0.0157, -0.0157, -0.0047, -0.0217, 0.0037, 0.008, 0.0009, 0.0005, 0.0124, -0.0124, -0.0169, 0.0257, 0.0211, 0.0039, 0.0101, 0.0163, 0.0204, -0.0037, -0.0105, -0.0007, 0.0235, 0.0186, -0.0031, 0.0065, 0.0078, -0.0488, -0.076, -0.0846, -0.0807, -0.0677, -0.0808, -0.0981, -0.1017, -0.1105, -0.1119, -0.1106, -0.119, -0.119, -0.1099, -0.098, -0.1116, -0.1039, -0.1039, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2031632009618161879", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-11T07:23:11+00:00", "symbol": "PFGC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Another massive distributor that competes for institutional government and supply contracts for crab and lobster", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long SYY, USFD, PFGC as the largest beneficiaries of Pentagon food overspending; Q4 crab/lobster spend should show up in earnings.", "resolved_tickers": ["PFGC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The Pentagon purchased $2M worth of Alaskan king crab.\n\nAs well as $6.9M worth of lobster tails with taxpayer funds in September\n\nIf your first thought like me was:\n\nHow do I profit off of government overspending on king crab and lobsters?\n\nHere’s how:\n\n$SYY - They hold massive, multi-million dollar DLA contracts with the US Gov, so when they need to order millions in king crab or lobster delivered, they’re the large beneficiary.\n\n$USFD - The second-largest U.S. broadline distributor. USFD also bids on institutional and government contracts, absorbing the overflow of massive government food budgets for expensive crab and lobsters.\n\n$PFGC - Another massive distributor that competes for institutional government and supply contracts for crab and lobster.\n\nTo profit from the Pentagon's taste in seafood and steak, you have to invest in the chokepoints that transport the food.\n\nThe three above are the largest beneficiaries and the spend in q4 from lobster and crab should show up in their earnings.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.012417365607752862, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.012417365607752862, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01367410595015861, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01367410595015861, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006379557602885555, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006379557602885555, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008805391266477947, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008805391266477947, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "ret_p1w": -0.0361129894398331, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0361129894398331, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01408229866066768, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01408229866066768, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "ret_p1m": 0.011733866411716143, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.011733866411716143, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.003695180382247365, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.003695180382247365, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "bench_c_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0612, 0.0777, 0.0746, 0.0802, 0.0437, 0.0442, 0.0498, 0.031, 0.0442, 0.0442, 0.0453, 0.041, 0.0278, 0.0244, 0.0244, 0.0031, 0.0032, -0.0035, -0.022, 0.0073, 0.0357, 0.0483, 0.05, 0.0731, 0.1032, 0.112, 0.112, 0.0862, 0.0914, 0.0734, 0.0696, 0.0679, 0.1099, 0.1094, 0.1183, 0.0874, 0.0794, 0.1061, 0.0237, 0.0267, 0.0754, 0.0459, 0.0254, 0.0284, 0.1164, 0.1164, 0.1164, 0.1221, 0.1237, 0.1144, 0.1148, 0.0913, 0.1086, 0.0737, 0.0939, 0.1057, 0.0917, 0.0486, 0.0346, 0.0257, -0.0036, 0.0022, -0.0124, 0.0, -0.0064, 0.0046, -0.0131, -0.0108, -0.0361, -0.0466, -0.0769, -0.0524, -0.0453, -0.0242, -0.0306, -0.0543, -0.04, -0.0242, -0.0403, -0.0429, -0.0429, -0.0206, -0.0411, -0.0003, 0.0117, 0.0139, 0.0054, 0.0206, 0.0123, 0.014, 0.0652, 0.0439, 0.0338, 0.0464, 0.0278, 0.0285, 0.0101, 0.0014, 0.0042, 0.0317, 0.0104, -0.0096, -0.0075, 0.0581, 0.0562, 0.0608, 0.0717, 0.0826, 0.0917, 0.1026, 0.0933, 0.0952, 0.0696, 0.078, 0.0843, 0.0666, 0.0666, 0.0698, 0.1005, 0.1074, 0.1186, 0.1186, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2025220219602706881", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-21T14:45:01+00:00", "symbol": "XLU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If I had to turn $100k -> $1M in 1 year. It would be: $XLU OTM 2 year leaps", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long XLU OTM 2-year LEAPS on AI power demand supercycle + rate cuts; VST and CEG as key ETF holdings riding same thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If I had to turn $100k -> $1M in 1 year. \n\nIt would be: $XLU OTM 2 year leaps \n\n2026 is the first time in modern history markets have: \n\n-  falling interest rates\n- AI inference + buildout\n\nThere's a potential ~40%  for XLU (1000%+ OTM), from mapping. \n\nHere's my macro thesis:\n\n1. Rate Cuts\n\nWhen the Fed cuts rates without a recession, utility debt becomes cheaper, and institutional rotates low-yielding cash to for utility dividends. \n\nThis causes immediate valuation multiple expansion:\n\n1995: The S&P Utilities sector returned +31.3% in 1995 and another +12.1% in 1996 - ~47% cumulative return\n\n2019 Mid-Cycle Cut: Result: XLU generated a +25.9% total return in that single year\n\nStandard soft-landing rate-cut cycle naturally maps to a 25% to 30% baseline return. And we're entering a new rate cut cycle in 2026. \n\n2. The Infrastructure Supercycle Capex\n\nInfra CapEx gives the sector compounding earnings growth. Following the early 2000s, utilities entered a massive CapEx cycle to modernize aging grid infrastructure.\n\nBecause they were constantly spending and expanding their guaranteed rate base, XLU returned +23.5% in 2004, +16.3% in 2005, +20.8% in 2006, and +18.4% in 2007. \n\nHowever this time:\n\nThe $800B+ AI buildout of 2026 makes the 2004 grid modernization look like pennies. \n\nSo you have Valuation Multiple Expansion (+15% to +20%), from rate cuts from #1.  EPS growth (+18% to +20%) from #2 from capex spend historically. Just from a history lesson. \n\nBut 2026 is the most unique moment in history from AI usage.\n\nJust from my own model projections as all former estimates are likely wrong from extreme AI ramp (eg. DOE/LBNL projections): \n\nHyperscaler CapEx Inflows (Spend) - (Amazon, Microsoft, Meta, Google, Oracle) into DCs est:\n\n2024: $220 Billion\n2025: $350 Billion\n2026: $550 Billion\n2027: $800 Billion\n2028: $1.2 Trillion (Growth: +445% over 4 years)\n\nU.S. Data Center Power Usage:\n\n2024: 190 TWh\n2025: 280 TWh\n2026: 430 TWh\n2027: 650 TWh\n2028: 980 TWh (Growth: +415% over 4 years)\n\n% of Total U.S. Electricity Consumed by AI:\n\n2024: 4.5% of the U.S. grid\n2025: 6.6%\n2026: 8.2-10.2%\n2027: 13.4-15.4%\n2028: 21.3-23.3%\n\nLawrence Berkeley National Laboratory and the Department of Energy seem off by AI usage (they're projecting ~12% by 2028)\n\nPhysical Grid Capacity Demand:\n2024: 18 GW\n2025: 35 GW\n2026: 65 GW\n2027: 105 GW\n2028: 160 GW\n\nBasically you can just see 2026 into 2028 being the inflection point whereas 2024-2025 where slower years on the ramp up. \n\nThen there's the \"Desperation Premium\" for independent companies.  Because grid capacity is sold out, tech giants are paying massive premiums to utilities to cut the line. eg. PJM Interconnection (Virginia \"Data Center Alley\"), capacity prices spiked from $28.92 per MW-day in 2024 to an unfathomable $329.17 per MW-day for 2026/2027.\n\n$VST or Constellation are a large weighting in the ETF as independent power producers. \n\nAcross the board, you can see the extreme ramp from 2026 (now) into 2028 compared to previous years, alongside extreme capex going into building the infrastructure. \n\n2026 is the first time in modern market history that every single thing is firing at the same time for the boring grid/power sector with AI as the biggest tailwind. \n\nAnd as Elon quotes it: \"Billions of dollars of the most advanced hardware. Sitting dark. Not because the chips won't work. Because there's not enough electricity to run on them\". \n\nAgain 2026 is an absolute historical anomaly due to AI and MMs have priced in historical IV (extremely flat ~14%-16%) for OTM calls. \n\nWe're seeing an explosion in AI inference (beyond previous measurements) as well as training (per OpenAI report today). \n\nSo the most boring sector on earth (power/grid), might just be the start of a major rally due to hyperscaler/gov spend into grid improvements -> extreme power consumption from AI inference/training -> rate cuts and others. \n\nThis is just my personal thesis, options come with risk and magnifies downside too. These are also my own projections, no certainty if they will exceed or be lower than them. \n\nBut basically:\n\n2026 is an absolute historical anomaly.\n\nNew bottleneck in the US is power. \n\nThere's extreme demand from AI, extreme capex, rate cuts:  \n\n$XLU looks like the best trade for exposure. \n\nTime will tell if this is right or not.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Trade Idea: Long OTM $XLU leaps (2 years, Dec 2027/Jan 2028).\n\nThis feels like once-a-generation long due to AI. \n\nXLU has concentration in $VST / $CEG power companies. \n\nTwo reasons:\n\n1. Paradigm shift due to AI DC electricity usage.\n\n2. Low option IV (~14%) based on historical https://t.co/hgYbuNIRKS", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.007497825652779344, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007497825652779344, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017814487039842897, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017814487039842897, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011139718380374752, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011139718380374752, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0038712654499797328, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0038712654499797328, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "ret_p1w": 0.014781446524965602, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.014781446524965602, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.008934360812073994, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.008934360812073994, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "ret_p1m": -0.027308435051802138, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.027308435051802138, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.012882947272660594, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.012882947272660594, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "ret_p3m": -0.029249938466529124, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.029249938466529124, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12063215530431359, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12063215530431359, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0433, -0.0433, -0.0365, -0.059, -0.0657, -0.0687, -0.0706, -0.0793, -0.0916, -0.091, -0.0914, -0.0848, -0.0893, -0.081, -0.0848, -0.0908, -0.0819, -0.0936, -0.0902, -0.087, -0.0829, -0.0829, -0.0835, -0.0818, -0.0797, -0.0855, -0.0855, -0.075, -0.0853, -0.0808, -0.103, -0.1005, -0.0893, -0.0878, -0.082, -0.0752, -0.0658, -0.0705, -0.0705, -0.0797, -0.0784, -0.085, -0.0883, -0.0816, -0.0696, -0.0718, -0.0718, -0.0735, -0.087, -0.0737, -0.0771, -0.0767, -0.0713, -0.0686, -0.0531, -0.0448, -0.0306, -0.0039, -0.0039, -0.0064, -0.0229, -0.0122, -0.0075, 0.0, 0.0111, 0.0146, 0.0107, 0.0225, 0.0148, 0.0084, 0.0126, 0.0047, 0.0013, 0.0036, -0.0026, -0.0109, -0.0039, 0.006, 0.0124, 0.0096, 0.0011, -0.003, -0.0435, -0.034, -0.0273, -0.0239, -0.0221, -0.0165, -0.0094, -0.0101, -0.0053, -0.0003, -0.0003, -0.004, -0.0019, 0.0091, 0.0171, 0.013, 0.0007, 0.0025, -0.0072, -0.0001, -0.0042, -0.0131, -0.0303, -0.0321, -0.0057, -0.0038, -0.0036, -0.0023, -0.0146, 0.0107, 0.0042, 0.0003, 0.0003, -0.0139, -0.0267, -0.0353, -0.0262, -0.0252, -0.0364, -0.0314, -0.0536, -0.0521, -0.0435, -0.0398, -0.0292, -0.0217, -0.0217, -0.0221, -0.0262, -0.0372, -0.0418, -0.0418, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2025220219602706881", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-21T14:45:01+00:00", "symbol": "VST", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$VST or Constellation are a large weighting in the ETF as independent power producers.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long XLU OTM 2-year LEAPS on AI power demand supercycle + rate cuts; VST and CEG as key ETF holdings riding same thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["VST"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Utilities - Independent Power Producers", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If I had to turn $100k -> $1M in 1 year. \n\nIt would be: $XLU OTM 2 year leaps \n\n2026 is the first time in modern history markets have: \n\n-  falling interest rates\n- AI inference + buildout\n\nThere's a potential ~40%  for XLU (1000%+ OTM), from mapping. \n\nHere's my macro thesis:\n\n1. Rate Cuts\n\nWhen the Fed cuts rates without a recession, utility debt becomes cheaper, and institutional rotates low-yielding cash to for utility dividends. \n\nThis causes immediate valuation multiple expansion:\n\n1995: The S&P Utilities sector returned +31.3% in 1995 and another +12.1% in 1996 - ~47% cumulative return\n\n2019 Mid-Cycle Cut: Result: XLU generated a +25.9% total return in that single year\n\nStandard soft-landing rate-cut cycle naturally maps to a 25% to 30% baseline return. And we're entering a new rate cut cycle in 2026. \n\n2. The Infrastructure Supercycle Capex\n\nInfra CapEx gives the sector compounding earnings growth. Following the early 2000s, utilities entered a massive CapEx cycle to modernize aging grid infrastructure.\n\nBecause they were constantly spending and expanding their guaranteed rate base, XLU returned +23.5% in 2004, +16.3% in 2005, +20.8% in 2006, and +18.4% in 2007. \n\nHowever this time:\n\nThe $800B+ AI buildout of 2026 makes the 2004 grid modernization look like pennies. \n\nSo you have Valuation Multiple Expansion (+15% to +20%), from rate cuts from #1.  EPS growth (+18% to +20%) from #2 from capex spend historically. Just from a history lesson. \n\nBut 2026 is the most unique moment in history from AI usage.\n\nJust from my own model projections as all former estimates are likely wrong from extreme AI ramp (eg. DOE/LBNL projections): \n\nHyperscaler CapEx Inflows (Spend) - (Amazon, Microsoft, Meta, Google, Oracle) into DCs est:\n\n2024: $220 Billion\n2025: $350 Billion\n2026: $550 Billion\n2027: $800 Billion\n2028: $1.2 Trillion (Growth: +445% over 4 years)\n\nU.S. Data Center Power Usage:\n\n2024: 190 TWh\n2025: 280 TWh\n2026: 430 TWh\n2027: 650 TWh\n2028: 980 TWh (Growth: +415% over 4 years)\n\n% of Total U.S. Electricity Consumed by AI:\n\n2024: 4.5% of the U.S. grid\n2025: 6.6%\n2026: 8.2-10.2%\n2027: 13.4-15.4%\n2028: 21.3-23.3%\n\nLawrence Berkeley National Laboratory and the Department of Energy seem off by AI usage (they're projecting ~12% by 2028)\n\nPhysical Grid Capacity Demand:\n2024: 18 GW\n2025: 35 GW\n2026: 65 GW\n2027: 105 GW\n2028: 160 GW\n\nBasically you can just see 2026 into 2028 being the inflection point whereas 2024-2025 where slower years on the ramp up. \n\nThen there's the \"Desperation Premium\" for independent companies.  Because grid capacity is sold out, tech giants are paying massive premiums to utilities to cut the line. eg. PJM Interconnection (Virginia \"Data Center Alley\"), capacity prices spiked from $28.92 per MW-day in 2024 to an unfathomable $329.17 per MW-day for 2026/2027.\n\n$VST or Constellation are a large weighting in the ETF as independent power producers. \n\nAcross the board, you can see the extreme ramp from 2026 (now) into 2028 compared to previous years, alongside extreme capex going into building the infrastructure. \n\n2026 is the first time in modern market history that every single thing is firing at the same time for the boring grid/power sector with AI as the biggest tailwind. \n\nAnd as Elon quotes it: \"Billions of dollars of the most advanced hardware. Sitting dark. Not because the chips won't work. Because there's not enough electricity to run on them\". \n\nAgain 2026 is an absolute historical anomaly due to AI and MMs have priced in historical IV (extremely flat ~14%-16%) for OTM calls. \n\nWe're seeing an explosion in AI inference (beyond previous measurements) as well as training (per OpenAI report today). \n\nSo the most boring sector on earth (power/grid), might just be the start of a major rally due to hyperscaler/gov spend into grid improvements -> extreme power consumption from AI inference/training -> rate cuts and others. \n\nThis is just my personal thesis, options come with risk and magnifies downside too. These are also my own projections, no certainty if they will exceed or be lower than them. \n\nBut basically:\n\n2026 is an absolute historical anomaly.\n\nNew bottleneck in the US is power. \n\nThere's extreme demand from AI, extreme capex, rate cuts:  \n\n$XLU looks like the best trade for exposure. \n\nTime will tell if this is right or not.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Trade Idea: Long OTM $XLU leaps (2 years, Dec 2027/Jan 2028).\n\nThis feels like once-a-generation long due to AI. \n\nXLU has concentration in $VST / $CEG power companies. \n\nTwo reasons:\n\n1. Paradigm shift due to AI DC electricity usage.\n\n2. Low option IV (~14%) based on historical https://t.co/hgYbuNIRKS", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02145409380474894, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02145409380474894, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.011137432417685389, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011137432417685389, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.022765153032791918, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.022765153032791918, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.015496700102396899, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015496700102396899, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "ret_p1w": -0.010786599113455142, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.010786599113455142, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01663368482634675, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01663368482634675, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "ret_p1m": -0.08862734885211743, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08862734885211743, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.048435966527654695, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.048435966527654695, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "ret_p3m": -0.11034942760672961, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.11034942760672961, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.20173164444451408, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.20173164444451408, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0522, 0.0522, 0.0644, 0.0334, 0.0269, 0.0215, 0.0478, -0.0051, -0.0114, -0.0192, -0.017, 0.0391, 0.0123, 0.0013, 0.0322, -0.048, -0.0111, -0.0298, -0.0371, -0.0365, -0.0348, -0.0348, -0.0365, -0.0355, -0.0309, -0.0386, -0.0386, -0.0153, -0.029, 0.0103, -0.0787, -0.1025, -0.0085, 0.0285, 0.0216, 0.007, 0.0738, -0.0072, -0.0072, -0.0655, -0.0464, -0.0443, -0.0458, -0.0536, -0.0211, -0.0129, -0.0311, -0.0563, -0.0807, -0.0882, -0.1507, -0.1474, -0.1082, -0.0884, -0.0489, -0.0456, -0.028, 0.022, 0.022, 0.035, 0.0165, 0.028, 0.0215, 0.0, 0.0228, 0.0451, 0.0538, 0.0363, -0.0108, -0.0364, -0.0265, -0.0024, -0.0545, -0.0249, -0.0203, -0.0515, -0.049, -0.0527, -0.0346, -0.0207, 0.0138, -0.0026, -0.1286, -0.0972, -0.0886, -0.0958, -0.0911, -0.0722, -0.1195, -0.1029, -0.0812, -0.0978, -0.0978, -0.0954, -0.0829, -0.0697, -0.0884, -0.0766, -0.0559, -0.0215, -0.0276, -0.0122, -0.0245, -0.0476, -0.0756, -0.0703, -0.064, -0.0192, -0.0059, -0.0385, -0.0822, -0.0581, -0.0734, -0.0401, -0.0429, -0.0554, -0.0813, -0.1185, -0.0926, -0.1235, -0.149, -0.1532, -0.1664, -0.1839, -0.1961, -0.1407, -0.1103, -0.0674, -0.0674, -0.018, -0.0443, -0.0435, -0.0438, -0.0438, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2025220219602706881", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-21T14:45:01+00:00", "symbol": "CEG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "XLU has concentration in $VST / $CEG power companies.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long XLU OTM 2-year LEAPS on AI power demand supercycle + rate cuts; VST and CEG as key ETF holdings riding same thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["CEG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Utilities - Independent Power Producers", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If I had to turn $100k -> $1M in 1 year. \n\nIt would be: $XLU OTM 2 year leaps \n\n2026 is the first time in modern history markets have: \n\n-  falling interest rates\n- AI inference + buildout\n\nThere's a potential ~40%  for XLU (1000%+ OTM), from mapping. \n\nHere's my macro thesis:\n\n1. Rate Cuts\n\nWhen the Fed cuts rates without a recession, utility debt becomes cheaper, and institutional rotates low-yielding cash to for utility dividends. \n\nThis causes immediate valuation multiple expansion:\n\n1995: The S&P Utilities sector returned +31.3% in 1995 and another +12.1% in 1996 - ~47% cumulative return\n\n2019 Mid-Cycle Cut: Result: XLU generated a +25.9% total return in that single year\n\nStandard soft-landing rate-cut cycle naturally maps to a 25% to 30% baseline return. And we're entering a new rate cut cycle in 2026. \n\n2. The Infrastructure Supercycle Capex\n\nInfra CapEx gives the sector compounding earnings growth. Following the early 2000s, utilities entered a massive CapEx cycle to modernize aging grid infrastructure.\n\nBecause they were constantly spending and expanding their guaranteed rate base, XLU returned +23.5% in 2004, +16.3% in 2005, +20.8% in 2006, and +18.4% in 2007. \n\nHowever this time:\n\nThe $800B+ AI buildout of 2026 makes the 2004 grid modernization look like pennies. \n\nSo you have Valuation Multiple Expansion (+15% to +20%), from rate cuts from #1.  EPS growth (+18% to +20%) from #2 from capex spend historically. Just from a history lesson. \n\nBut 2026 is the most unique moment in history from AI usage.\n\nJust from my own model projections as all former estimates are likely wrong from extreme AI ramp (eg. DOE/LBNL projections): \n\nHyperscaler CapEx Inflows (Spend) - (Amazon, Microsoft, Meta, Google, Oracle) into DCs est:\n\n2024: $220 Billion\n2025: $350 Billion\n2026: $550 Billion\n2027: $800 Billion\n2028: $1.2 Trillion (Growth: +445% over 4 years)\n\nU.S. Data Center Power Usage:\n\n2024: 190 TWh\n2025: 280 TWh\n2026: 430 TWh\n2027: 650 TWh\n2028: 980 TWh (Growth: +415% over 4 years)\n\n% of Total U.S. Electricity Consumed by AI:\n\n2024: 4.5% of the U.S. grid\n2025: 6.6%\n2026: 8.2-10.2%\n2027: 13.4-15.4%\n2028: 21.3-23.3%\n\nLawrence Berkeley National Laboratory and the Department of Energy seem off by AI usage (they're projecting ~12% by 2028)\n\nPhysical Grid Capacity Demand:\n2024: 18 GW\n2025: 35 GW\n2026: 65 GW\n2027: 105 GW\n2028: 160 GW\n\nBasically you can just see 2026 into 2028 being the inflection point whereas 2024-2025 where slower years on the ramp up. \n\nThen there's the \"Desperation Premium\" for independent companies.  Because grid capacity is sold out, tech giants are paying massive premiums to utilities to cut the line. eg. PJM Interconnection (Virginia \"Data Center Alley\"), capacity prices spiked from $28.92 per MW-day in 2024 to an unfathomable $329.17 per MW-day for 2026/2027.\n\n$VST or Constellation are a large weighting in the ETF as independent power producers. \n\nAcross the board, you can see the extreme ramp from 2026 (now) into 2028 compared to previous years, alongside extreme capex going into building the infrastructure. \n\n2026 is the first time in modern market history that every single thing is firing at the same time for the boring grid/power sector with AI as the biggest tailwind. \n\nAnd as Elon quotes it: \"Billions of dollars of the most advanced hardware. Sitting dark. Not because the chips won't work. Because there's not enough electricity to run on them\". \n\nAgain 2026 is an absolute historical anomaly due to AI and MMs have priced in historical IV (extremely flat ~14%-16%) for OTM calls. \n\nWe're seeing an explosion in AI inference (beyond previous measurements) as well as training (per OpenAI report today). \n\nSo the most boring sector on earth (power/grid), might just be the start of a major rally due to hyperscaler/gov spend into grid improvements -> extreme power consumption from AI inference/training -> rate cuts and others. \n\nThis is just my personal thesis, options come with risk and magnifies downside too. These are also my own projections, no certainty if they will exceed or be lower than them. \n\nBut basically:\n\n2026 is an absolute historical anomaly.\n\nNew bottleneck in the US is power. \n\nThere's extreme demand from AI, extreme capex, rate cuts:  \n\n$XLU looks like the best trade for exposure. \n\nTime will tell if this is right or not.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Trade Idea: Long OTM $XLU leaps (2 years, Dec 2027/Jan 2028).\n\nThis feels like once-a-generation long due to AI. \n\nXLU has concentration in $VST / $CEG power companies. \n\nTwo reasons:\n\n1. Paradigm shift due to AI DC electricity usage.\n\n2. Low option IV (~14%) based on historical https://t.co/hgYbuNIRKS", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0035397898210729473, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0035397898210729473, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.006776871565990605, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.006776871565990605, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06412530314268339, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06412530314268339, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05685685021228837, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05685685021228837, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "ret_p1w": 0.11354662355304068, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11354662355304068, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10769953784014907, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10769953784014907, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "ret_p1m": 0.004918724425591492, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.004918724425591492, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.045110106750054224, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.045110106750054224, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "ret_p3m": -0.024310063920395364, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.024310063920395364, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.11569228075817983, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.11569228075817983, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2222, 0.2222, 0.2402, 0.2221, 0.2378, 0.2296, 0.2547, 0.2247, 0.2174, 0.2224, 0.2324, 0.2886, 0.198, 0.2156, 0.2445, 0.1606, 0.2289, 0.2097, 0.2179, 0.2299, 0.2388, 0.2388, 0.2269, 0.2196, 0.2155, 0.2024, 0.2024, 0.2466, 0.2081, 0.2069, 0.1526, 0.0978, 0.1658, 0.1432, 0.1352, 0.1245, 0.1613, 0.0473, 0.0473, 0.0054, 0.0019, -0.022, -0.0161, -0.029, -0.0172, -0.0199, -0.0216, -0.0447, -0.078, -0.0863, -0.1475, -0.1591, -0.1102, -0.0737, -0.0771, -0.0577, -0.0602, -0.0183, -0.0183, 0.0313, 0.0009, -0.0073, 0.0035, 0.0, 0.0641, 0.1091, 0.1013, 0.1228, 0.1135, 0.1058, 0.0989, 0.1303, 0.086, 0.1008, 0.0807, 0.0248, 0.0278, 0.0285, 0.0415, 0.0487, 0.0812, 0.0786, -0.0389, -0.0124, 0.0049, 0.0338, 0.0061, 0.0275, 0.0177, -0.0482, -0.0475, -0.0702, -0.0702, -0.0622, -0.071, -0.0311, -0.0448, -0.0235, -0.0057, 0.0109, 0.0045, 0.0195, 0.0096, -0.0199, -0.0535, -0.0213, -0.0022, 0.0686, 0.0742, 0.0419, 0.0122, 0.0668, 0.0491, 0.0942, 0.0921, 0.1001, 0.0609, 0.0348, 0.0214, 0.0007, -0.0631, -0.0618, -0.0879, -0.1057, -0.1102, -0.0399, -0.0243, 0.0038, 0.0038, 0.0294, -0.0146, -0.0227, -0.0178, -0.0178, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2025473355777016175", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-22T07:30:54+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AXTI has a major chokehold on both substrate production as well as upstream feedstock. This is how you find alpha and stock triple digit returns in a month or two.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long AXTI on InP substrate/feedstock monopoly into photonics/ASIC buildout; triple-digit returns expected in 1-2 months. Also flags LITE as photonic supply-chain beneficiary.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AXTI is the perfect example of how you find alpha.\n\nOver the past few weeks I’ve shown:\n\n- 7n indium nonstandard on SMM reaching ATHs\n\n- photonic supply chains from litecounting and other analyst projections skyrocketing \n\n- trade conflicts with Japan and China affecting Sumitomo and upstream competitor feedstock\n\n- hyperscaler capex going into asics and semi supply chains like $LITE\n\n- estimated photonic BOM on Google TPUs\n\n- Us administration prioritizing InP supply chains after seizing assets \n\nAnd found that $AXTI has a major chokehold on both substrate production as well as upstream feedstock.\n\nThis is how you find alpha and stock triple digit returns in a month or two.\n\nNot after waiting for earnings and seeing updated $35+ analyst price targets.\n\nThis is the period where I sit back and let markets price in the research I’ve done.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Did you listen anon? - $AXTI https://t.co/Pcuu4M3muO", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04396763934513337, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04396763934513337, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.033650977958069817, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.038760330027515444, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005207309317617925, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.23390789498754416, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.23390789498754416, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.22663944205714914, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.2186976675485106, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015210227439033552, "ret_p1w": 0.6292648328389747, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.6292648328389747, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.6234177471260831, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.6449836619361045, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01571882909712974, "ret_p1m": 1.4073162752990371, "ret_signed_p1m": 1.4073162752990371, "alpha_spy_p1m": 1.4475076576235, "alpha_c_p1m": 1.4516148810164855, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04429860571744837, "ret_p3m": 3.2567708527612744, "ret_signed_p3m": 3.2567708527612744, "alpha_spy_p3m": 3.16538863592349, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.881359115290496, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "bench_c_p3m": 0.37541173747077816, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6324, -0.6324, -0.6236, -0.6205, -0.5864, -0.5962, -0.5744, -0.5927, -0.5529, -0.4738, -0.4544, -0.4238, -0.4791, -0.4784, -0.5427, -0.5652, -0.5072, -0.4847, -0.4647, -0.4851, -0.472, -0.472, -0.4594, -0.4868, -0.4442, -0.4249, -0.4249, -0.4105, -0.4136, -0.2905, -0.152, -0.0915, -0.1913, -0.2177, -0.2434, -0.2227, -0.0953, -0.223, -0.223, -0.2469, -0.3043, -0.3697, -0.388, -0.3739, -0.395, -0.408, -0.4238, -0.3479, -0.2635, -0.3057, -0.3405, -0.2814, -0.1537, -0.0232, -0.1435, -0.0573, -0.128, -0.1474, -0.1474, -0.1836, -0.172, -0.1625, 0.044, 0.0, 0.2339, 0.4411, 0.3057, 0.3331, 0.6293, 0.4689, 0.3764, 0.3648, 0.1386, 0.3563, 0.5582, 0.6658, 0.6437, 0.7186, 0.7021, 0.5603, 0.7151, 1.0433, 0.9078, 1.2666, 1.4073, 1.369, 1.058, 1.1326, 0.8547, 1.0042, 0.6581, 0.8586, 0.8586, 0.477, 0.599, 0.8706, 1.2202, 1.2575, 1.3373, 1.3672, 1.2135, 1.8765, 1.904, 1.7703, 1.637, 2.058, 1.6476, 1.6789, 1.4675, 1.4168, 1.4998, 1.7865, 2.3767, 2.7285, 2.783, 2.6873, 2.8136, 3.0929, 3.4253, 3.3229, 3.2891, 3.0443, 3.3539, 2.7242, 2.9705, 2.6796, 3.2568, 3.9536, 3.9536, 3.6641, 3.3183, 3.0696, 2.6286, 2.6286, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2025473355777016175", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-22T07:30:54+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "hyperscaler capex going into asics and semi supply chains like $LITE", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long AXTI on InP substrate/feedstock monopoly into photonics/ASIC buildout; triple-digit returns expected in 1-2 months. Also flags LITE as photonic supply-chain beneficiary.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AXTI is the perfect example of how you find alpha.\n\nOver the past few weeks I’ve shown:\n\n- 7n indium nonstandard on SMM reaching ATHs\n\n- photonic supply chains from litecounting and other analyst projections skyrocketing \n\n- trade conflicts with Japan and China affecting Sumitomo and upstream competitor feedstock\n\n- hyperscaler capex going into asics and semi supply chains like $LITE\n\n- estimated photonic BOM on Google TPUs\n\n- Us administration prioritizing InP supply chains after seizing assets \n\nAnd found that $AXTI has a major chokehold on both substrate production as well as upstream feedstock.\n\nThis is how you find alpha and stock triple digit returns in a month or two.\n\nNot after waiting for earnings and seeing updated $35+ analyst price targets.\n\nThis is the period where I sit back and let markets price in the research I’ve done.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Did you listen anon? - $AXTI https://t.co/Pcuu4M3muO", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.010315179611056768, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010315179611056768, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02063184099812032, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02063184099812032, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.020067344648141194, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.020067344648141194, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012798891717746175, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012798891717746175, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "ret_p1w": 0.16083473785448033, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16083473785448033, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15498765214158872, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15498765214158872, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "ret_p1m": 0.18860879677706732, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.18860879677706732, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.22880017910153005, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.22880017910153005, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "ret_p3m": 0.429460714536414, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.429460714536414, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3380784976986295, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3380784976986295, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5431, -0.5431, -0.5181, -0.5288, -0.5512, -0.551, -0.5141, -0.5088, -0.4923, -0.466, -0.4576, -0.4485, -0.5193, -0.504, -0.5314, -0.5254, -0.5003, -0.4495, -0.4222, -0.4258, -0.4132, -0.4132, -0.4208, -0.4478, -0.4499, -0.4537, -0.4537, -0.4278, -0.4708, -0.411, -0.4177, -0.4839, -0.4792, -0.4963, -0.4645, -0.5085, -0.4912, -0.5194, -0.5194, -0.4712, -0.4628, -0.4746, -0.4973, -0.5073, -0.4507, -0.4294, -0.4347, -0.4193, -0.3725, -0.3551, -0.31, -0.2524, -0.1819, -0.1446, -0.1684, -0.1491, -0.1353, -0.166, -0.166, -0.1101, -0.1193, -0.0579, -0.0103, 0.0, 0.0201, 0.0721, 0.0034, 0.0388, 0.1608, 0.0292, 0.009, -0.0354, -0.1724, -0.0504, -0.004, -0.004, -0.0869, -0.0774, -0.0739, -0.0373, 0.0387, 0.1444, 0.0469, 0.0804, 0.1886, 0.1518, 0.0209, 0.0415, -0.0296, 0.0415, 0.1333, 0.2255, 0.2255, 0.1446, 0.209, 0.328, 0.3252, 0.3299, 0.2912, 0.2639, 0.2212, 0.3209, 0.3251, 0.3266, 0.2404, 0.2947, 0.2552, 0.3067, 0.2741, 0.1729, 0.2721, 0.3373, 0.4079, 0.4468, 0.474, 0.3995, 0.3229, 0.3395, 0.5608, 0.4708, 0.5271, 0.4848, 0.4386, 0.3116, 0.3192, 0.2865, 0.4295, 0.4034, 0.4034, 0.3499, 0.3373, 0.2755, 0.2671, 0.2671, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2022290517934129402", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-13T12:43:26+00:00", "symbol": "EWY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "DCA $EWY shares seem like a great idea to get exposure to Samsung/Sk Hynix and the memory supercycle", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long EWY via DCA for Samsung/SK Hynix exposure into the memory supercycle.", "resolved_tickers": ["EWY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TalentActivity Yeah DCA $EWY shares seem like a great idea to get exposure to Samsung/Sk Hynix and the memory supercycle.\n\nThis post was just discussing 2028 leaps and vega expansion from underpriced volatility, options are not the best way to go for everyone.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Ugh wish I had loaded $KORU a month ago and months ago before that when tariff talks were giving Korea a tough time . At this point it's probably Safe to DCA into $EWY for the foreseeable future.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TalentActivity", "ret_m1d": -0.023662000000455596, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.023662000000455596, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.022958010457061362, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.022958010457061362, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0007039895433942345, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0007039895433942345, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.05904309614119052, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05904309614119052, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0477779168716268, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0477779168716268, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011265179269563719, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011265179269563719, "ret_p1m": -0.006493954685827474, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.006493954685827474, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.012163832962845622, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.012163832962845622, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.018657787648673096, "bench_c_p1m": -0.018657787648673096, "ret_p3m": 0.40800181506352384, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.40800181506352384, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3161979697832251, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3161979697832251, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09180384528029872, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09180384528029872, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3314, -0.3389, -0.3537, -0.3487, -0.3408, -0.3445, -0.3316, -0.3316, -0.3366, -0.3384, -0.3279, -0.3211, -0.3293, -0.3116, -0.306, -0.3023, -0.2937, -0.3068, -0.3235, -0.323, -0.3318, -0.3388, -0.3277, -0.3182, -0.3151, -0.3081, -0.2939, -0.2939, -0.2846, -0.2631, -0.2639, -0.2743, -0.2743, -0.237, -0.2175, -0.1968, -0.2011, -0.2044, -0.1872, -0.1869, -0.1973, -0.1816, -0.1711, -0.1623, -0.1623, -0.1717, -0.1367, -0.1342, -0.1194, -0.1243, -0.0841, -0.0628, -0.0707, -0.0863, -0.0973, -0.072, -0.1023, -0.1027, -0.0691, -0.0591, -0.0711, -0.0252, -0.0237, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0246, -0.0078, 0.0093, 0.059, 0.0398, 0.079, 0.1114, 0.1227, 0.1299, 0.1013, -0.0122, 0.003, -0.0614, -0.054, -0.0006, -0.0274, -0.0084, -0.0782, -0.0733, -0.0065, 0.0034, -0.0156, 0.0063, -0.0611, -0.0012, -0.039, -0.0465, -0.1044, -0.097, -0.1309, -0.0818, -0.0578, -0.0829, -0.0829, -0.0599, -0.0506, 0.0455, 0.0397, 0.0355, 0.0542, 0.0949, 0.0817, 0.1008, 0.137, 0.1203, 0.0957, 0.1629, 0.1241, 0.1538, 0.1699, 0.1523, 0.1492, 0.2, 0.2092, 0.2211, 0.2948, 0.3584, 0.3193, 0.4197, 0.4395, 0.3324, 0.408, 0.4221, 0.3351, 0.3145, 0.2989, 0.3444, 0.3915, 0.3587, 0.3587, 0.4977, 0.4801, 0.5407, 0.5364, 0.5364, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2025236312367010135", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-21T15:48:58+00:00", "symbol": "power grid", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "probably now is the time for power/grid to take off", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "US power/grid sector poised to take off now as rate cuts lower debt costs and inference AI runs 24/7 at massive scale.", "resolved_tickers": ["GRID"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "US power grid sector proxied by GRID ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Great question! Answer to that is macro/chips. \n\n2023, 2024 when AI first started taking off, fed was jacking rates up to 5%+. Utilities are often kinda like bond proxies since they carry a lot of debt for infra buildout. \n\nBest play then was $NVDA since silicon/chips were in  shortage. Market didnt really care about grid power back in 2023 because servers weren' connected. \n\nBut now there's millions of chips hoarded by mag7 that are finally getting turned on. So while $TSM is still a bottleneck, US power grid is likely one of the biggest ones. \n\nAlso we've shifted from training (which was like 10-15% of AI power expectancy) into inference, which just runs 24/7 used by billions of people. \n\nSo after rate cuts last year, more this year, and just unprecedented inference expansion, probably now is the time for power/grid to take off.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit The AI hype started years ago, why is the market sleeping on this? Wasn'it obvious since a long time?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "KhaLiloViC_Ss", "ret_m1d": 0.009821384960846391, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.009821384960846391, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0004952764262171616, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0004952764262171616, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.015564878271387084, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015564878271387084, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008296425340992064, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008296425340992064, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "ret_p1w": 0.014129026866486205, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.014129026866486205, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.008281941153594596, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.008281941153594596, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "ret_p1m": -0.05019823851706906, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05019823851706906, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.010006856192606328, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.010006856192606328, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "ret_p3m": 0.09754546928550378, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09754546928550378, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.006163252447719314, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.006163252447719314, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1315, -0.1315, -0.125, -0.135, -0.1305, -0.1258, -0.1183, -0.12, -0.1168, -0.121, -0.1095, -0.1083, -0.1241, -0.1169, -0.1195, -0.1396, -0.1311, -0.1227, -0.1169, -0.1118, -0.1111, -0.1111, -0.1107, -0.114, -0.1142, -0.1211, -0.1211, -0.105, -0.0968, -0.0959, -0.1005, -0.1112, -0.1037, -0.0989, -0.1008, -0.1018, -0.0956, -0.0854, -0.0854, -0.0984, -0.0877, -0.0851, -0.0814, -0.0755, -0.0567, -0.0549, -0.0414, -0.0531, -0.0454, -0.0362, -0.0402, -0.0479, -0.0187, 0.0001, -0.0018, 0.0163, 0.0052, 0.0074, 0.0074, 0.0059, 0.0036, 0.0033, 0.0098, 0.0, 0.0156, 0.0259, 0.0252, 0.0215, 0.0141, -0.0279, -0.0184, -0.0345, -0.0473, -0.037, -0.0297, -0.0288, -0.0439, -0.0509, -0.0372, -0.0324, -0.0431, -0.0446, -0.076, -0.0526, -0.0502, -0.0343, -0.0715, -0.0834, -0.0944, -0.0599, -0.0413, -0.0466, -0.0466, -0.0419, -0.042, 0.004, 0.0145, 0.0223, 0.0321, 0.0416, 0.0343, 0.0343, 0.0535, 0.0518, 0.0385, 0.0574, 0.0624, 0.0758, 0.0774, 0.0656, 0.0591, 0.0976, 0.0985, 0.091, 0.112, 0.1363, 0.1084, 0.1334, 0.1482, 0.1214, 0.1336, 0.134, 0.1021, 0.0874, 0.0632, 0.0832, 0.0975, 0.1063, 0.1063, 0.1323, 0.1161, 0.1142, 0.1096, 0.1096, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2012467339858436323", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-17T10:09:38+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI is one of the rare US vertical integration players... benefits a lot from Made in America tailwinds", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AAOI as rare US vertical integration play benefiting from Made-in-America tailwinds and hyperscaler ramps.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@yianisz Agreed, $AAOI is one of the rare US vertical integration players. \n\nObviously with this, main challenge is getting it to scale, but it benefits a lot from Made in America tailwinds -&gt; $MSFT, $AMZN hyperscaler ramps.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Good framing on InP as a national-security bottleneck, but this is where $AAOI gets misunderstood.\n\nAAOI isn’t a direct shortage beneficiary like $AXTI or epitaxy players it’s a resilience winner. Vertical integration (own laser fabs, multi-geo footprint, rising U.S. production)", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "yianisz", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.059935133669913654, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.059935133669913654, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0802919193934587, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0802919193934587, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "ret_p1w": -0.05804539613220194, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05804539613220194, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.059592387259677415, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.059592387259677415, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "ret_p1m": 0.18547512856579962, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.18547512856579962, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.19821260913550076, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.19821260913550076, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "ret_p3m": 3.2473003087391783, "ret_signed_p3m": 3.2473003087391783, "alpha_spy_p3m": 3.2300718376252977, "alpha_c_p3m": 3.2300718376252977, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1907, -0.1523, -0.0818, 0.0049, -0.0046, -0.0421, -0.0532, -0.04, -0.108, -0.2036, -0.1493, -0.2144, -0.2287, -0.3137, -0.3588, -0.3537, -0.4355, -0.4205, -0.416, -0.436, -0.4366, -0.4738, -0.4444, -0.3934, -0.3863, -0.3097, -0.3097, -0.277, -0.2837, -0.2975, -0.3075, -0.2916, -0.2821, -0.2484, -0.1798, -0.0556, -0.0194, -0.1344, -0.1928, -0.2181, -0.2673, -0.2103, -0.1544, 0.0555, 0.0972, 0.1069, 0.1069, 0.0035, -0.0078, -0.0275, -0.0589, -0.0589, 0.0691, -0.0553, 0.0424, 0.0274, -0.1088, -0.081, -0.0896, -0.0772, -0.0694, -0.0011, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0599, 0.0362, 0.03, -0.0356, -0.058, 0.0094, 0.2211, 0.0683, 0.1774, 0.1922, 0.2451, 0.0772, 0.0294, 0.196, 0.2935, 0.3091, 0.3067, 0.1876, 0.2003, 0.2003, 0.1855, 0.1728, 0.2684, 0.3952, 0.4568, 0.5192, 0.5691, 0.4495, 1.274, 1.7675, 1.574, 1.692, 1.7306, 1.5805, 1.9865, 2.253, 2.429, 1.8669, 1.6137, 1.5397, 1.3307, 1.5008, 1.7516, 1.3634, 1.5853, 2.0751, 2.0888, 1.6301, 1.6515, 1.2999, 1.2837, 1.3313, 1.8053, 1.8053, 1.9009, 2.176, 2.5826, 2.5988, 3.0659, 3.1358, 2.9522, 2.8485, 3.2473, 3.304, 3.4133, 3.0651, 3.034, 2.7184, 3.3782, 2.9357, 2.7057, 3.1261, 3.4374, 3.9544, 3.6701, 3.875, 3.8202, 3.2535, 3.0211, 3.9919, 4.0832, 5.0232, 4.496, 4.1393, 3.6776, 3.6255, 3.4617, 3.7735, 3.8998, 3.8998, 3.7954, 3.855, 3.5632, 3.2767, 3.2767, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2018496117374370053", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-03T01:25:50+00:00", "symbol": "ETOR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ETOR in specific (70%+ AUM growth) producing considerable FCF", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on Israeli-listed ETOR, VLN, NBIS: all trade near or below sum-of-parts / cash value while still growing; geopolitical discount seen as mispricing.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETOR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "What do markets have against stocks from Israel? \n\nI’ve lost an incredible amount on some of these.\n\nBoth $ETOR and $VLN are close to cash-assets | marketcap. \n\nAnd with $NBIS their portfolio company Clickhouse is almost worth more than their main company at this point.\n\nGeopolitical risks factored into premiums, none of the valuations make sense.\n\nThe market is assigning close to 0 value to their actual business even through they’re all growing with $ETOR in specific (70%+ AUM growth) producing considerable FCF.\n\nIm genuinely surprised, l wonder if it’s a potential trade arbitraging sum of parts to balance sheets.\n\nOr would the selloff continue?\n\nThere’s a huge disconnect.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.05175606526305554, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05175606526305554, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0432285654407949, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0432285654407949, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008527499822260642, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008527499822260642, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01885391260323832, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01885391260323832, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.014009990924341187, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.014009990924341187, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004843921678897134, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004843921678897134, "ret_p1w": 0.04547140422465401, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04547140422465401, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04171531015774366, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04171531015774366, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0037560940669103537, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0037560940669103537, "ret_p1m": 0.2066543552773623, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2066543552773623, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2130355790319457, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2130355790319457, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.006381223754583387, "bench_c_p1m": -0.006381223754583387, "ret_p3m": 0.3645101992033557, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3645101992033557, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.31652374095295643, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.31652374095295643, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.047986458250399266, "bench_c_p3m": 0.047986458250399266, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2373, 0.2895, 0.3948, 0.5246, 0.5279, 0.4514, 0.4972, 0.424, 0.4495, 0.4163, 0.353, 0.3601, 0.4381, 0.4754, 0.5519, 0.5519, 0.5516, 0.5482, 0.5427, 0.5786, 0.624, 0.59, 0.5272, 0.5564, 0.5068, 0.4518, 0.403, 0.3512, 0.3316, 0.285, 0.315, 0.3386, 0.3482, 0.339, 0.329, 0.329, 0.3257, 0.3187, 0.3139, 0.2987, 0.2987, 0.319, 0.3416, 0.2957, 0.2303, 0.2026, 0.1689, 0.1815, 0.1534, 0.1579, 0.156, 0.1582, 0.1582, 0.139, 0.1298, 0.1497, 0.1634, 0.1567, 0.1634, 0.1608, 0.1172, 0.0869, 0.0518, 0.0, -0.0189, -0.0847, -0.0015, 0.0425, 0.0455, -0.0041, -0.0115, 0.0152, 0.0152, 0.2226, 0.1771, 0.146, 0.1527, 0.129, 0.1364, 0.1993, 0.1933, 0.1338, 0.1338, 0.1641, 0.2067, 0.2089, 0.1763, 0.1675, 0.1468, 0.1423, 0.1083, 0.1131, 0.1294, 0.1512, 0.1105, 0.0861, 0.088, 0.1072, 0.085, 0.098, 0.1109, 0.0739, 0.0684, 0.1102, 0.1094, 0.1046, 0.1046, 0.1157, 0.095, 0.1475, 0.1852, 0.1797, 0.2314, 0.2835, 0.3652, 0.4048, 0.3922, 0.4396, 0.3811, 0.3919, 0.3675, 0.3538, 0.3453, 0.353, 0.3216, 0.3153, 0.3645, 0.4163, 0.4384, 0.4274, 0.4137, 0.4189, 0.4325, 0.3904, 0.5264, 0.5372, 0.5006, 0.5054, 0.4717, 0.4636, 0.4643, 0.5102, 0.5102, 0.454, 0.427, 0.4765, 0.5519, 0.5519, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2018496117374370053", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-03T01:25:50+00:00", "symbol": "VLN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$VLN are close to cash-assets | marketcap", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on Israeli-listed ETOR, VLN, NBIS: all trade near or below sum-of-parts / cash value while still growing; geopolitical discount seen as mispricing.", "resolved_tickers": ["VLN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "What do markets have against stocks from Israel? \n\nI’ve lost an incredible amount on some of these.\n\nBoth $ETOR and $VLN are close to cash-assets | marketcap. \n\nAnd with $NBIS their portfolio company Clickhouse is almost worth more than their main company at this point.\n\nGeopolitical risks factored into premiums, none of the valuations make sense.\n\nThe market is assigning close to 0 value to their actual business even through they’re all growing with $ETOR in specific (70%+ AUM growth) producing considerable FCF.\n\nIm genuinely surprised, l wonder if it’s a potential trade arbitraging sum of parts to balance sheets.\n\nOr would the selloff continue?\n\nThere’s a huge disconnect.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04374995762482348, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04374995762482348, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.035222457802562834, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01787486022380569, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008527499822260642, "bench_c_m1d": 0.025875097401017788, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03750003818422498, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03750003818422498, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03265611650532785, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0018783664389027122, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004843921678897134, "bench_c_p1d": -0.039378404623127694, "ret_p1w": -0.03125004423782163, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03125004423782163, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03500613830473198, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04905334644119885, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0037560940669103537, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017803302203377225, "ret_p1m": -0.09999997764825852, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09999997764825852, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09361875389367513, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1035707215978845, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.006381223754583387, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0035707439496259763, "ret_p3m": 0.4624999245628725, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4624999245628725, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4145134663124732, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.18051436654194752, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.047986458250399266, "bench_c_p3m": 0.28198555802092495, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.025, -0.0125, 0.0, 0.125, 0.0625, 0.075, 0.0875, -0.025, -0.05, -0.0937, -0.1125, -0.0625, -0.0438, -0.0375, -0.0187, -0.0187, 0.0, -0.0187, -0.0125, 0.0437, 0.05, 0.05, 0.0625, 0.0625, 0.05, 0.0187, -0.0062, -0.0375, -0.0438, -0.075, -0.075, -0.0688, -0.0875, -0.125, -0.1375, -0.1375, -0.1, -0.1188, -0.1375, -0.1125, -0.1125, -0.025, -0.0187, -0.0062, -0.0313, -0.025, 0.55, 0.4437, 0.4625, 0.3062, 0.3062, 0.2437, 0.2437, 0.2125, 0.225, 0.3125, 0.225, 0.15, 0.15, 0.1062, 0.1, 0.0625, 0.0437, 0.0, -0.0375, -0.1063, -0.0375, -0.05, -0.0313, -0.0375, -0.0625, -0.05, -0.05, -0.0875, -0.0688, -0.0688, -0.0563, -0.075, -0.0438, -0.0375, 0.0, -0.075, -0.075, -0.1, -0.1, -0.125, -0.1562, -0.1562, -0.1375, -0.1063, -0.1562, -0.1687, -0.1687, -0.1625, -0.2188, -0.2, -0.2375, -0.2125, -0.2188, -0.2125, -0.2375, -0.2625, -0.3063, -0.2938, -0.2688, -0.2562, -0.2562, -0.2562, -0.2625, -0.1813, -0.1625, -0.1687, -0.1562, -0.1375, -0.0812, -0.0313, -0.05, -0.0812, -0.0625, 0.0062, 0.0312, 0.1187, 0.0062, -0.0563, -0.0563, 0.3563, 0.4625, 0.4062, 0.5125, 0.5625, 0.5063, 0.7437, 0.7812, 0.6875, 0.8438, 1.1062, 0.9062, 0.7625, 0.6625, 0.8125, 0.9125, 1.0125, 1.0125, 1.0375, 0.9688, 1.1875, 1.2062, 1.2062, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2018496117374370053", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-03T01:25:50+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS their portfolio company Clickhouse is almost worth more than their main company at this point", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on Israeli-listed ETOR, VLN, NBIS: all trade near or below sum-of-parts / cash value while still growing; geopolitical discount seen as mispricing.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "What do markets have against stocks from Israel? \n\nI’ve lost an incredible amount on some of these.\n\nBoth $ETOR and $VLN are close to cash-assets | marketcap. \n\nAnd with $NBIS their portfolio company Clickhouse is almost worth more than their main company at this point.\n\nGeopolitical risks factored into premiums, none of the valuations make sense.\n\nThe market is assigning close to 0 value to their actual business even through they’re all growing with $ETOR in specific (70%+ AUM growth) producing considerable FCF.\n\nIm genuinely surprised, l wonder if it’s a potential trade arbitraging sum of parts to balance sheets.\n\nOr would the selloff continue?\n\nThere’s a huge disconnect.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.019899870448720325, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019899870448720325, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.028427370270980967, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03629190319950304, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008527499822260642, "bench_c_m1d": 0.016392032750782715, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08404666831666285, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08404666831666285, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07920274663776572, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07606302472643034, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004843921678897134, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007983643590232514, "ret_p1w": 0.020455853582117545, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.020455853582117545, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01669975951520719, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02181479238644768, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0037560940669103537, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0013589388043301343, "ret_p1m": 0.08704838350978616, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08704838350978616, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09342960726436955, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07813041667465348, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.006381223754583387, "bench_c_p1m": 0.008917966835132685, "ret_p3m": 0.7175098469659607, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7175098469659607, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.6695233887155614, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.7230095025346163, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.047986458250399266, "bench_c_p3m": -0.005499655568655615, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2167, 0.2371, 0.2223, 0.1364, 0.049, -0.0147, -0.0713, -0.0441, 0.0066, 0.0569, -0.059, -0.0744, 0.0217, -0.0119, 0.0527, 0.0527, 0.0547, 0.1134, 0.0723, 0.0997, 0.1429, 0.0899, 0.1154, 0.0718, 0.0405, 0.0481, -0.0251, -0.0979, -0.1001, -0.1612, -0.1319, -0.0054, 0.0365, 0.0009, 0.0131, 0.0131, -0.0262, -0.0435, -0.0531, -0.0694, -0.0694, 0.0, 0.032, 0.1144, 0.0696, 0.0817, 0.0887, 0.1932, 0.1721, 0.1337, 0.1549, 0.2088, 0.2088, 0.1038, 0.0992, 0.0767, 0.0506, 0.0168, 0.088, 0.1165, 0.0551, -0.0529, -0.0199, 0.0, -0.084, -0.1788, -0.0428, 0.0326, 0.0205, -0.0149, -0.0024, 0.0896, 0.0896, 0.0842, 0.1317, 0.1963, 0.0886, 0.1185, 0.1404, 0.1798, 0.166, 0.0138, 0.0118, -0.035, 0.087, 0.0634, -0.0069, 0.0555, 0.072, 0.2451, 0.2011, 0.2557, 0.4436, 0.2933, 0.3181, 0.351, 0.3076, 0.269, 0.2775, 0.2795, 0.1781, 0.1208, 0.0257, 0.1535, 0.1334, 0.2098, 0.2098, 0.2511, 0.3052, 0.3897, 0.5156, 0.6117, 0.7183, 0.8003, 0.854, 0.8381, 0.747, 0.7694, 0.7404, 0.7359, 0.7463, 0.636, 0.6116, 0.5065, 0.5696, 0.5367, 0.7175, 0.9613, 0.9558, 1.1689, 1.0541, 0.9683, 1.0689, 0.9912, 1.3043, 1.4586, 1.4451, 1.2219, 1.1982, 1.1325, 1.445, 1.3877, 1.3877, 1.3131, 1.3165, 1.5163, 1.5691, 1.5691, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2016487104000446545", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-28T12:22:44+00:00", "symbol": "Nanya Technology", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Nanyna (TPE: 2408) is one of my longs alongside $MU, SK Hynix, and Samsung for memory.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long Nanya, MU, SK Hynix, and Samsung for memory; Nanya highlighted as last legacy DRAM supplier with pricing power.", "resolved_tickers": ["2408.TW"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Nanya Technology listed on TWSE as 2408.TW", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TW')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Nanyna (TPE: 2408) is one of my longs alongside $MU, SK Hynix, and Samsung for memory.\n\nBut for a different reason.  \n\nYou might be thinking if this parabolic trend (+972% 1Y). is going to stop? Probably not. \n\nAnd it just keeps going up 7% a day.\n\nHere's a simple TLDR why: \n\nThe forward P/E is only ~13.62 (likely lower now with price hikes).\n\nWith +357.7% Revenue Growth/+804.27% Net Income Growth Y/Y, their profits are astronomical. \n\nSimilar to Micron and their 57.56%+ last month, and more than doubling since I first mentioned it: \n\nThe stock price literally can't keep up. \n\nWhile the giants (Samsung, SK Hynix, and $MU) are fighting over the high-end AI market, Nanya specialized in the legacy and specialty DRAM products from PCs, computer electronics, and  industrial. (They are doing advanced chips though with 1b Nodes though).\n\nAnd the memory companies left a massive void Nanya filled: \n\nMicron - Total Exit from Consumer Lines\nSK Hynix - Focusing almost entirely on HBM4 and server-grade DRAM.\nSamsung - Reallocating 30–40% of legacy lines to advanced AI memory.\nNanya - Last man standing\n\nDemand stayed steady but legacy DRAM supply suddenly fell off a cliff. And it's still widely used from:\n\n- Consumer PCs and Laptops: Millions of computers built between 2015 and 2023 use DDR4\n- Smartphones: Most mid-range and budget smartphones use LPDDR4\n- Home Electronics: Smart TVs, gaming consoles (like the older Nintendo Switch or PS4) use these.\n\nBasically, they still need to make these, but Nayna has all the cards. \n\nBuyers are paying a \"scarcity premium\" for older memory because they can't find it anywhere else and seeing a supply shock in a boring market. \n\nNanya essentially became the guy selling water in a desert. And they can keep jacking up the price of water.\n\nI'm long on the cat sounding company selling water in the desert.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "TLDR of my top foreign stocks:  \n\n1. Nitto Boseki - T-Glass (Japan) \n\n2. Unimicron - Substrates/Glass Core (Taiwan) \n\n3. Samsung/SK Hynix - HBM (Korea) \n\n4. Kioxia - NAND w/ $SNDK (Japan)\n\n 5. Nanya Technologies - Memory (Taiwan) \n\nUS supply chains like $INTC (foundry), $MU https://t.co/Cx0jaufNNd", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06734006734006737, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06734006734006737, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06744074737916705, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06916612786766685, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00010068003909968759, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0018260605275994823, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0019843824489698125, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01910381463283317, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019843824489698125, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01910381463283317, "ret_p1w": -0.006734006734006703, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.006734006734006703, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.006538509049833552, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.035968631435298715, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013272515783840255, "bench_c_p1w": -0.04270263816930542, "ret_p1m": -0.03872053872053871, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03872053872053871, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02992010002310963, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10825273114202849, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00880043869742908, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06953219242148978, "ret_p3m": -0.23737373737373735, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.23737373737373735, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.26858243732601117, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4643718477617166, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031208699952273822, "bench_c_p3m": 0.22699811038797924, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5539, -0.5387, -0.5572, -0.5354, -0.5017, -0.5051, -0.4562, -0.4461, -0.4512, -0.4495, -0.4663, -0.4394, -0.4596, -0.4613, -0.4764, -0.5286, -0.5185, -0.5168, -0.5404, -0.5084, -0.5084, -0.4966, -0.4966, -0.4916, -0.4916, -0.4848, -0.4495, -0.4545, -0.4747, -0.4747, -0.4545, -0.4529, -0.468, -0.4461, -0.4276, -0.4125, -0.3939, -0.4057, -0.3636, -0.3636, -0.3636, -0.3653, -0.3451, -0.3502, -0.3502, -0.303, -0.2997, -0.2306, -0.1886, -0.1869, -0.2677, -0.1953, -0.2256, -0.2037, -0.2003, -0.1582, -0.0741, -0.0842, -0.1549, -0.1027, -0.0859, -0.037, -0.0673, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0993, -0.0101, -0.0657, -0.0067, -0.0741, -0.1111, -0.0758, -0.0875, -0.064, -0.064, -0.064, -0.064, -0.064, -0.064, -0.064, -0.064, -0.0269, 0.0034, -0.0303, -0.0387, -0.0387, -0.0404, -0.1364, -0.2104, -0.133, -0.2155, -0.2929, -0.2222, -0.1448, -0.1936, -0.1987, -0.1195, -0.0859, -0.0707, -0.1246, -0.2121, -0.2492, -0.271, -0.2374, -0.2407, -0.2609, -0.2576, -0.3316, -0.2896, -0.3249, -0.3249, -0.3249, -0.3064, -0.2492, -0.3098, -0.2761, -0.2407, -0.2593, -0.2879, -0.2811, -0.2929, -0.303, -0.2593, -0.2626, -0.2997, -0.3064, -0.2374, -0.2003, -0.2088, -0.2744, -0.2744, -0.202, -0.1364, -0.0505, -0.0337, -0.0774, 0.0135, 0.0808, 0.0808, 0.1481, 0.0488, 0.0269, -0.0758, -0.0741, -0.0135, 0.0455, -0.0034, 0.0219, 0.0505, 0.0909, 0.1684, 0.2845, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2016487104000446545", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-28T12:22:44+00:00", "symbol": "MU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Nanyna (TPE: 2408) is one of my longs alongside $MU, SK Hynix, and Samsung for memory.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long Nanya, MU, SK Hynix, and Samsung for memory; Nanya highlighted as last legacy DRAM supplier with pricing power.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Nanyna (TPE: 2408) is one of my longs alongside $MU, SK Hynix, and Samsung for memory.\n\nBut for a different reason.  \n\nYou might be thinking if this parabolic trend (+972% 1Y). is going to stop? Probably not. \n\nAnd it just keeps going up 7% a day.\n\nHere's a simple TLDR why: \n\nThe forward P/E is only ~13.62 (likely lower now with price hikes).\n\nWith +357.7% Revenue Growth/+804.27% Net Income Growth Y/Y, their profits are astronomical. \n\nSimilar to Micron and their 57.56%+ last month, and more than doubling since I first mentioned it: \n\nThe stock price literally can't keep up. \n\nWhile the giants (Samsung, SK Hynix, and $MU) are fighting over the high-end AI market, Nanya specialized in the legacy and specialty DRAM products from PCs, computer electronics, and  industrial. (They are doing advanced chips though with 1b Nodes though).\n\nAnd the memory companies left a massive void Nanya filled: \n\nMicron - Total Exit from Consumer Lines\nSK Hynix - Focusing almost entirely on HBM4 and server-grade DRAM.\nSamsung - Reallocating 30–40% of legacy lines to advanced AI memory.\nNanya - Last man standing\n\nDemand stayed steady but legacy DRAM supply suddenly fell off a cliff. And it's still widely used from:\n\n- Consumer PCs and Laptops: Millions of computers built between 2015 and 2023 use DDR4\n- Smartphones: Most mid-range and budget smartphones use LPDDR4\n- Home Electronics: Smart TVs, gaming consoles (like the older Nintendo Switch or PS4) use these.\n\nBasically, they still need to make these, but Nayna has all the cards. \n\nBuyers are paying a \"scarcity premium\" for older memory because they can't find it anywhere else and seeing a supply shock in a boring market. \n\nNanya essentially became the guy selling water in a desert. And they can keep jacking up the price of water.\n\nI'm long on the cat sounding company selling water in the desert.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "TLDR of my top foreign stocks:  \n\n1. Nitto Boseki - T-Glass (Japan) \n\n2. Unimicron - Substrates/Glass Core (Taiwan) \n\n3. Samsung/SK Hynix - HBM (Korea) \n\n4. Kioxia - NAND w/ $SNDK (Japan)\n\n 5. Nanya Technologies - Memory (Taiwan) \n\nUS supply chains like $INTC (foundry), $MU https://t.co/Cx0jaufNNd", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05752624661698813, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05752624661698813, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05762692665608782, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03501225393071761, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00010068003909968759, "bench_c_m1d": -0.022513992686270523, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0011716832666235355, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0011716832666235355, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.003156065715593348, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0009644666035946159, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019843824489698125, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0021361498702181514, "ret_p1w": -0.12837713766440217, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12837713766440217, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11510462188056192, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04530579027338666, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013272515783840255, "bench_c_p1w": -0.08307134739101552, "ret_p1m": -0.045304197873561436, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.045304197873561436, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.036503759176132355, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03421523389342995, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00880043869742908, "bench_c_p1m": -0.011088963980131483, "ret_p3m": 0.2056155787512135, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2056155787512135, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.17440687879893968, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.009515361969254288, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031208699952273822, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2151309407204678, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4861, -0.461, -0.4993, -0.4546, -0.4527, -0.4536, -0.4183, -0.4463, -0.4376, -0.4559, -0.4332, -0.4444, -0.4753, -0.4812, -0.5376, -0.5238, -0.4858, -0.4844, -0.4712, -0.4712, -0.4569, -0.4478, -0.45, -0.4623, -0.4795, -0.4552, -0.433, -0.4203, -0.3944, -0.4065, -0.4462, -0.4546, -0.4661, -0.4821, -0.4292, -0.3893, -0.3648, -0.3656, -0.3417, -0.3417, -0.346, -0.3237, -0.3277, -0.3443, -0.3443, -0.2754, -0.2829, -0.211, -0.2199, -0.2487, -0.2072, -0.2054, -0.2232, -0.2342, -0.2266, -0.1666, -0.1666, -0.1615, -0.1061, -0.0866, -0.0819, -0.1061, -0.0575, 0.0, 0.0012, -0.0469, 0.0058, -0.0364, -0.1284, -0.1204, -0.0933, -0.119, -0.1425, -0.0573, -0.049, -0.0543, -0.0543, -0.0816, -0.0329, -0.0412, -0.0163, -0.0329, -0.0397, -0.0144, -0.0453, -0.0526, -0.0519, -0.1277, -0.0793, -0.0878, -0.1493, -0.1056, -0.0739, -0.0381, -0.0688, -0.021, 0.015, 0.0607, 0.0608, 0.0207, -0.0284, -0.0711, -0.0913, -0.1222, -0.1834, -0.1793, -0.2604, -0.2235, -0.1546, -0.1583, -0.1583, -0.1318, -0.1322, -0.0652, -0.0312, -0.0333, -0.0196, 0.0702, 0.0486, 0.0509, 0.0459, 0.0306, 0.0328, 0.1204, 0.1072, 0.1416, 0.2056, 0.159, 0.1916, 0.1886, 0.2462, 0.3249, 0.4714, 0.532, 0.4862, 0.7164, 0.8279, 0.7619, 0.847, 0.7835, 0.6655, 0.5664, 0.6059, 0.6824, 0.7516, 0.7261, 0.7261, 1.059, 1.1338, 1.1226, 1.2317, 1.2317, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2016487104000446545", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-28T12:22:44+00:00", "symbol": "SK Hynix", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Nanyna (TPE: 2408) is one of my longs alongside $MU, SK Hynix, and Samsung for memory.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long Nanya, MU, SK Hynix, and Samsung for memory; Nanya highlighted as last legacy DRAM supplier with pricing power.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "SK Hynix listed on KOSPI as 000660.KS", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Nanyna (TPE: 2408) is one of my longs alongside $MU, SK Hynix, and Samsung for memory.\n\nBut for a different reason.  \n\nYou might be thinking if this parabolic trend (+972% 1Y). is going to stop? Probably not. \n\nAnd it just keeps going up 7% a day.\n\nHere's a simple TLDR why: \n\nThe forward P/E is only ~13.62 (likely lower now with price hikes).\n\nWith +357.7% Revenue Growth/+804.27% Net Income Growth Y/Y, their profits are astronomical. \n\nSimilar to Micron and their 57.56%+ last month, and more than doubling since I first mentioned it: \n\nThe stock price literally can't keep up. \n\nWhile the giants (Samsung, SK Hynix, and $MU) are fighting over the high-end AI market, Nanya specialized in the legacy and specialty DRAM products from PCs, computer electronics, and  industrial. (They are doing advanced chips though with 1b Nodes though).\n\nAnd the memory companies left a massive void Nanya filled: \n\nMicron - Total Exit from Consumer Lines\nSK Hynix - Focusing almost entirely on HBM4 and server-grade DRAM.\nSamsung - Reallocating 30–40% of legacy lines to advanced AI memory.\nNanya - Last man standing\n\nDemand stayed steady but legacy DRAM supply suddenly fell off a cliff. And it's still widely used from:\n\n- Consumer PCs and Laptops: Millions of computers built between 2015 and 2023 use DDR4\n- Smartphones: Most mid-range and budget smartphones use LPDDR4\n- Home Electronics: Smart TVs, gaming consoles (like the older Nintendo Switch or PS4) use these.\n\nBasically, they still need to make these, but Nayna has all the cards. \n\nBuyers are paying a \"scarcity premium\" for older memory because they can't find it anywhere else and seeing a supply shock in a boring market. \n\nNanya essentially became the guy selling water in a desert. And they can keep jacking up the price of water.\n\nI'm long on the cat sounding company selling water in the desert.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "TLDR of my top foreign stocks:  \n\n1. Nitto Boseki - T-Glass (Japan) \n\n2. Unimicron - Substrates/Glass Core (Taiwan) \n\n3. Samsung/SK Hynix - HBM (Korea) \n\n4. Kioxia - NAND w/ $SNDK (Japan)\n\n 5. Nanya Technologies - Memory (Taiwan) \n\nUS supply chains like $INTC (foundry), $MU https://t.co/Cx0jaufNNd", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04875146790855889, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04875146790855889, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.048852147947658575, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02597350784196273, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00010068003909968759, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02277796006659616, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.023781272874985993, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.023781272874985993, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.025765655323955805, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03222343263290639, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019843824489698125, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008442159757920398, "ret_p1w": 0.07015459860287132, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07015459860287132, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08342711438671158, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.11236545815541299, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013272515783840255, "bench_c_p1w": -0.04221085955254167, "ret_p1m": 0.3091890144962719, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3091890144962719, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.317989453193701, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11127561383760165, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00880043869742908, "bench_c_p1m": 0.19791340065867025, "ret_p3m": 0.5391012117831822, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5391012117831822, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5078925118309083, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2908533719056803, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031208699952273822, "bench_c_p3m": 0.24824783987750187, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3358, -0.2633, -0.3037, -0.312, -0.2954, -0.3108, -0.2799, -0.2645, -0.2669, -0.2728, -0.3346, -0.2799, -0.3227, -0.3322, -0.3215, -0.3809, -0.3821, -0.3833, -0.3774, -0.3532, -0.3698, -0.3603, -0.3365, -0.3436, -0.3555, -0.3532, -0.3139, -0.327, -0.302, -0.3282, -0.321, -0.3413, -0.3698, -0.3448, -0.3436, -0.3496, -0.3103, -0.3056, -0.3008, -0.3008, -0.2878, -0.239, -0.2259, -0.2259, -0.2259, -0.195, -0.1724, -0.1367, -0.1177, -0.1011, -0.1153, -0.1094, -0.1225, -0.1177, -0.1094, -0.1011, -0.0916, -0.1165, -0.1201, -0.1023, -0.088, -0.1249, -0.0488, 0.0, 0.0238, 0.0809, -0.0131, 0.0785, 0.0702, 0.0012, -0.0024, 0.0547, 0.0416, 0.0226, 0.0559, 0.0464, 0.0464, 0.0464, 0.0464, 0.063, 0.1284, 0.1308, 0.195, 0.2105, 0.3092, 0.2639, 0.2639, 0.1186, 0.0114, 0.121, 0.1007, -0.0041, 0.1174, 0.1376, 0.1079, 0.084, 0.1603, 0.1555, 0.258, 0.2067, 0.1996, 0.1114, 0.1746, 0.1853, 0.1114, 0.1114, 0.04, -0.0387, 0.0686, -0.0113, 0.0435, 0.0555, 0.0912, 0.2306, 0.1889, 0.2234, 0.2389, 0.314, 0.3533, 0.3759, 0.3437, 0.389, 0.4581, 0.4569, 0.4593, 0.4557, 0.5391, 0.5486, 0.5403, 0.532, 0.532, 0.7237, 0.7237, 0.9072, 0.9703, 1.0085, 1.2396, 1.186, 1.3539, 1.3468, 1.1669, 1.1919, 1.0787, 1.0787, 1.311, 1.3122, 1.3122, 1.4445, 1.672, 1.7272, 1.7797, 1.8374, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2016487104000446545", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-01-28T12:22:44+00:00", "symbol": "Samsung Electronics", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Nanyna (TPE: 2408) is one of my longs alongside $MU, SK Hynix, and Samsung for memory.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long Nanya, MU, SK Hynix, and Samsung for memory; Nanya highlighted as last legacy DRAM supplier with pricing power.", "resolved_tickers": ["005930.KS"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Samsung Electronics listed on KOSPI as 005930.KS", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Nanyna (TPE: 2408) is one of my longs alongside $MU, SK Hynix, and Samsung for memory.\n\nBut for a different reason.  \n\nYou might be thinking if this parabolic trend (+972% 1Y). is going to stop? Probably not. \n\nAnd it just keeps going up 7% a day.\n\nHere's a simple TLDR why: \n\nThe forward P/E is only ~13.62 (likely lower now with price hikes).\n\nWith +357.7% Revenue Growth/+804.27% Net Income Growth Y/Y, their profits are astronomical. \n\nSimilar to Micron and their 57.56%+ last month, and more than doubling since I first mentioned it: \n\nThe stock price literally can't keep up. \n\nWhile the giants (Samsung, SK Hynix, and $MU) are fighting over the high-end AI market, Nanya specialized in the legacy and specialty DRAM products from PCs, computer electronics, and  industrial. (They are doing advanced chips though with 1b Nodes though).\n\nAnd the memory companies left a massive void Nanya filled: \n\nMicron - Total Exit from Consumer Lines\nSK Hynix - Focusing almost entirely on HBM4 and server-grade DRAM.\nSamsung - Reallocating 30–40% of legacy lines to advanced AI memory.\nNanya - Last man standing\n\nDemand stayed steady but legacy DRAM supply suddenly fell off a cliff. And it's still widely used from:\n\n- Consumer PCs and Laptops: Millions of computers built between 2015 and 2023 use DDR4\n- Smartphones: Most mid-range and budget smartphones use LPDDR4\n- Home Electronics: Smart TVs, gaming consoles (like the older Nintendo Switch or PS4) use these.\n\nBasically, they still need to make these, but Nayna has all the cards. \n\nBuyers are paying a \"scarcity premium\" for older memory because they can't find it anywhere else and seeing a supply shock in a boring market. \n\nNanya essentially became the guy selling water in a desert. And they can keep jacking up the price of water.\n\nI'm long on the cat sounding company selling water in the desert.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "TLDR of my top foreign stocks:  \n\n1. Nitto Boseki - T-Glass (Japan) \n\n2. Unimicron - Substrates/Glass Core (Taiwan) \n\n3. Samsung/SK Hynix - HBM (Korea) \n\n4. Kioxia - NAND w/ $SNDK (Japan)\n\n 5. Nanya Technologies - Memory (Taiwan) \n\nUS supply chains like $INTC (foundry), $MU https://t.co/Cx0jaufNNd", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.017857177290069193, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.017857177290069193, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01795785732916888, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009949965506689695, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00010068003909968759, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007907211783379497, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010468050348761415, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010468050348761415, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008483667899791603, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005346475595280009, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019843824489698125, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015814525944041424, "ret_p1w": 0.041256127476973825, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.041256127476973825, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05452864326081408, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.11570498961490627, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013272515783840255, "bench_c_p1w": -0.07444886213793245, "ret_p1m": 0.34236452062121847, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.34236452062121847, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.35116495931864755, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.39744728651140127, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00880043869742908, "bench_c_p1m": -0.055082765890182794, "ret_p3m": 0.38525039982136744, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.38525039982136744, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3540416998690936, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3079223813705241, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031208699952273822, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07732801845084336, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3413, -0.3192, -0.3572, -0.3835, -0.3921, -0.4001, -0.3835, -0.3658, -0.3682, -0.3701, -0.4044, -0.3835, -0.4007, -0.4087, -0.3835, -0.4191, -0.4074, -0.3915, -0.3701, -0.3658, -0.3842, -0.3823, -0.3664, -0.3596, -0.356, -0.3357, -0.329, -0.3357, -0.3382, -0.3425, -0.3327, -0.3578, -0.3701, -0.3388, -0.3406, -0.3486, -0.3229, -0.3167, -0.3192, -0.3192, -0.283, -0.2642, -0.2617, -0.2617, -0.2617, -0.2087, -0.1496, -0.1447, -0.1318, -0.1453, -0.1441, -0.1453, -0.1527, -0.1361, -0.1139, -0.0831, -0.0807, -0.1059, -0.0794, -0.0622, -0.0634, -0.0634, -0.0179, 0.0, -0.0105, -0.0117, -0.0739, 0.0314, 0.0413, -0.0191, -0.0234, 0.0246, 0.0209, 0.0333, 0.0998, 0.1158, 0.1158, 0.1158, 0.1158, 0.17, 0.1706, 0.1884, 0.2315, 0.2531, 0.3424, 0.3331, 0.3331, 0.2014, 0.0603, 0.1798, 0.1589, 0.0683, 0.157, 0.17, 0.157, 0.1299, 0.1619, 0.194, 0.2839, 0.2346, 0.2278, 0.1472, 0.1681, 0.1638, 0.109, 0.109, 0.0878, 0.0317, 0.1702, 0.1008, 0.1489, 0.1915, 0.2125, 0.2989, 0.2588, 0.2711, 0.2402, 0.2742, 0.302, 0.3421, 0.3328, 0.3235, 0.3513, 0.3421, 0.3853, 0.3544, 0.3853, 0.3698, 0.3945, 0.3606, 0.3606, 0.4346, 0.4346, 0.6413, 0.6753, 0.6567, 0.7616, 0.7215, 0.7524, 0.8264, 0.6691, 0.7339, 0.6999, 0.703, 0.848, 0.8048, 0.8048, 0.8449, 0.8943, 0.848, 0.956, 1.138, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2018792971907588226", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-03T21:05:26+00:00", "symbol": "SNDK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Retail on X really need to stop shorting $SNDK", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long memory stocks (SNDK, MU, SK Hynix, Samsung) on Intel CEO's structural supply crunch thesis with no relief until 2028.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNDK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Retail on X really need to stop shorting $SNDK.\n\nIntel CEO Lip-Bu Tan just said at Cisco's AI Summit:\n\n\"The reality is that memory is the biggest constraint for AI right now... structural supply crunch with no relief until at least 2028\".\n\nIntel CEO talking about $MU, SK Hynix, Samsung bottleneck that there's no relief until ***2 years later*** is probably your biggest long signal.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04352204728361919, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04352204728361919, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.052049547105879834, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.052049547105879834, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008527499822260642, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008527499822260642, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.15953763485021288, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.15953763485021288, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.15469371317131575, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.15469371317131575, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004843921678897134, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004843921678897134, "ret_p1w": -0.22123332943696827, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.22123332943696827, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.22498942350387863, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.22498942350387863, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0037560940669103537, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0037560940669103537, "ret_p1m": -0.13867523235148438, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.13867523235148438, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.132294008596901, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.132294008596901, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.006381223754583387, "bench_c_p1m": -0.006381223754583387, "ret_p3m": 0.7066612749398082, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7066612749398082, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.658674816689409, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.658674816689409, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.047986458250399266, "bench_c_p3m": 0.047986458250399266, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7014, -0.6557, -0.6147, -0.6095, -0.593, -0.6498, -0.6346, -0.6177, -0.6478, -0.6464, -0.7182, -0.7121, -0.6737, -0.683, -0.6908, -0.6908, -0.679, -0.6978, -0.7047, -0.7205, -0.6933, -0.6715, -0.6758, -0.6845, -0.6652, -0.6526, -0.7036, -0.7098, -0.6991, -0.7026, -0.6845, -0.6584, -0.6534, -0.6479, -0.6404, -0.6404, -0.6405, -0.6488, -0.6546, -0.6587, -0.6587, -0.6043, -0.6059, -0.4973, -0.4917, -0.519, -0.4574, -0.4403, -0.4395, -0.4424, -0.4116, -0.4053, -0.4053, -0.3485, -0.2792, -0.2762, -0.3187, -0.3231, -0.3078, -0.2414, -0.2246, -0.1715, -0.0435, 0.0, -0.1595, -0.1715, -0.1403, -0.1612, -0.2212, -0.1383, -0.0938, -0.0991, -0.0991, -0.1509, -0.1367, -0.107, -0.0655, -0.0417, -0.0819, -0.0908, -0.0627, -0.0865, -0.1099, -0.1871, -0.1387, -0.1868, -0.2418, -0.1535, -0.1102, -0.0576, -0.1103, -0.0487, 0.0117, 0.0355, 0.0837, 0.1101, 0.0204, 0.01, 0.01, -0.0254, -0.1328, -0.1146, -0.1769, -0.0865, -0.004, 0.0087, 0.0087, 0.0419, 0.022, 0.1228, 0.2244, 0.2247, 0.3695, 0.3579, 0.2821, 0.322, 0.3242, 0.3127, 0.299, 0.4077, 0.3406, 0.4233, 0.5387, 0.4412, 0.5301, 0.5766, 0.7067, 0.8057, 1.022, 1.0273, 0.9266, 1.2463, 1.2251, 1.0877, 1.0808, 0.9881, 1.0239, 0.9166, 0.9889, 1.0022, 1.2174, 1.1261, 1.1261, 1.2854, 1.286, 1.3603, 1.437, 1.437, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2018792971907588226", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-03T21:05:26+00:00", "symbol": "MU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Intel CEO talking about $MU, SK Hynix, Samsung bottleneck that there's no relief until ***2 years later*** is probably your biggest long signal", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long memory stocks (SNDK, MU, SK Hynix, Samsung) on Intel CEO's structural supply crunch thesis with no relief until 2028.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Retail on X really need to stop shorting $SNDK.\n\nIntel CEO Lip-Bu Tan just said at Cisco's AI Summit:\n\n\"The reality is that memory is the biggest constraint for AI right now... structural supply crunch with no relief until at least 2028\".\n\nIntel CEO talking about $MU, SK Hynix, Samsung bottleneck that there's no relief until ***2 years later*** is probably your biggest long signal.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.043772585808329545, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.043772585808329545, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0352450859860689, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.017897488407311757, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008527499822260642, "bench_c_m1d": 0.025875097401017788, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0954606269314876, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0954606269314876, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.09061670525259047, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05608222230835991, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004843921678897134, "bench_c_p1d": -0.039378404623127694, "ret_p1w": -0.11012306419965179, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11012306419965179, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11387915826656214, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.127926366403029, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0037560940669103537, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017803302203377225, "ret_p1m": -0.04451182554291644, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04451182554291644, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03813060178833305, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.048082569492542415, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.006381223754583387, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0035707439496259763, "ret_p3m": 0.2932428494969479, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2932428494969479, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.24525639124654863, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.011257291476022946, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.047986458250399266, "bench_c_p3m": 0.28198555802092495, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.432, -0.433, -0.3963, -0.4254, -0.4164, -0.4353, -0.4118, -0.4234, -0.4554, -0.4616, -0.5201, -0.5058, -0.4663, -0.4649, -0.4513, -0.4513, -0.4364, -0.4269, -0.4293, -0.442, -0.4599, -0.4347, -0.4115, -0.3984, -0.3715, -0.384, -0.4253, -0.434, -0.4459, -0.4625, -0.4077, -0.3663, -0.3408, -0.3416, -0.3168, -0.3168, -0.3213, -0.2982, -0.3023, -0.3195, -0.3195, -0.248, -0.2558, -0.1812, -0.1905, -0.2203, -0.1773, -0.1754, -0.1939, -0.2052, -0.1974, -0.1352, -0.1352, -0.1298, -0.0723, -0.0521, -0.0472, -0.0724, -0.0219, 0.0378, 0.039, -0.0109, 0.0438, 0.0, -0.0955, -0.0871, -0.059, -0.0857, -0.1101, -0.0217, -0.013, -0.0185, -0.0185, -0.0469, 0.0036, -0.005, 0.0208, 0.0036, -0.0034, 0.0228, -0.0093, -0.0169, -0.0161, -0.0948, -0.0445, -0.0534, -0.1172, -0.0718, -0.0389, -0.0018, -0.0336, 0.0159, 0.0533, 0.1007, 0.1008, 0.0592, 0.0082, -0.036, -0.057, -0.089, -0.1525, -0.1483, -0.2325, -0.1942, -0.1226, -0.1265, -0.1265, -0.099, -0.0994, -0.0299, 0.0054, 0.0032, 0.0174, 0.1107, 0.0882, 0.0906, 0.0854, 0.0695, 0.0718, 0.1627, 0.149, 0.1847, 0.2511, 0.2028, 0.2366, 0.2335, 0.2932, 0.3749, 0.527, 0.5899, 0.5423, 0.7812, 0.897, 0.8284, 0.9168, 0.8509, 0.7284, 0.6256, 0.6666, 0.7459, 0.8177, 0.7912, 0.7912, 1.1368, 1.2144, 1.2027, 1.316, 1.316, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2018792971907588226", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-03T21:05:26+00:00", "symbol": "SK Hynix", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Intel CEO talking about $MU, SK Hynix, Samsung bottleneck that there's no relief until ***2 years later*** is probably your biggest long signal", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long memory stocks (SNDK, MU, SK Hynix, Samsung) on Intel CEO's structural supply crunch thesis with no relief until 2028.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "SK Hynix listed on KOSPI as 000660.KS", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Retail on X really need to stop shorting $SNDK.\n\nIntel CEO Lip-Bu Tan just said at Cisco's AI Summit:\n\n\"The reality is that memory is the biggest constraint for AI right now... structural supply crunch with no relief until at least 2028\".\n\nIntel CEO talking about $MU, SK Hynix, Samsung bottleneck that there's no relief until ***2 years later*** is probably your biggest long signal.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08489530720818073, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08489530720818073, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09342280703044137, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05762697228242397, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008527499822260642, "bench_c_m1d": -0.027268334925756754, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007717817970910423, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007717817970910423, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0028738962920132893, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02493982012883278, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004843921678897134, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0326576380997432, "ret_p1w": -0.034178631968155404, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.034178631968155404, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03793472603506576, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.035224298423569556, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0037560940669103537, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0010456664554141515, "ret_p1m": -0.06221986694607762, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06221986694607762, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05583864319149423, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14305959866288598, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.006381223754583387, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08083973171680836, "ret_p3m": 0.42047732317879416, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.42047732317879416, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3724908649283949, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.11738851689122054, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.047986458250399266, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3030888062875736, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3467, -0.361, -0.3323, -0.318, -0.3202, -0.3257, -0.383, -0.3323, -0.372, -0.3808, -0.3709, -0.426, -0.4271, -0.4282, -0.4227, -0.4002, -0.4157, -0.4068, -0.3848, -0.3914, -0.4024, -0.4002, -0.3638, -0.376, -0.3528, -0.3771, -0.3705, -0.3892, -0.4157, -0.3925, -0.3914, -0.3969, -0.3605, -0.3561, -0.3517, -0.3517, -0.3396, -0.2944, -0.2822, -0.2822, -0.2822, -0.2536, -0.2326, -0.1996, -0.1819, -0.1665, -0.1797, -0.1742, -0.1863, -0.1819, -0.1742, -0.1665, -0.1577, -0.1808, -0.1841, -0.1676, -0.1544, -0.1885, -0.118, -0.0728, -0.0507, 0.0022, -0.0849, 0.0, -0.0077, -0.0717, -0.075, -0.0221, -0.0342, -0.0518, -0.0209, -0.0298, -0.0298, -0.0298, -0.0298, -0.0143, 0.0463, 0.0485, 0.108, 0.1224, 0.2139, 0.1719, 0.1719, 0.0372, -0.0622, 0.0394, 0.0206, -0.0766, 0.0361, 0.0549, 0.0273, 0.0052, 0.0759, 0.0714, 0.1664, 0.1189, 0.1123, 0.0306, 0.0891, 0.099, 0.0306, 0.0306, -0.0357, -0.1086, -0.0092, -0.0832, -0.0324, -0.0214, 0.0118, 0.141, 0.1024, 0.1344, 0.1488, 0.2183, 0.2548, 0.2758, 0.246, 0.2879, 0.352, 0.3509, 0.3531, 0.3498, 0.4271, 0.4359, 0.4282, 0.4205, 0.4205, 0.5983, 0.5983, 0.7684, 0.827, 0.8623, 1.0766, 1.0269, 1.1826, 1.176, 1.0092, 1.0324, 0.9275, 0.9275, 1.1429, 1.144, 1.144, 1.2666, 1.4776, 1.5288, 1.5774, 1.631, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2018792971907588226", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-02-03T21:05:26+00:00", "symbol": "Samsung", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Intel CEO talking about $MU, SK Hynix, Samsung bottleneck that there's no relief until ***2 years later*** is probably your biggest long signal", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long memory stocks (SNDK, MU, SK Hynix, Samsung) on Intel CEO's structural supply crunch thesis with no relief until 2028.", "resolved_tickers": ["005930.KS"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Samsung Electronics KOSPI 005930.KS", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Retail on X really need to stop shorting $SNDK.\n\nIntel CEO Lip-Bu Tan just said at Cisco's AI Summit:\n\n\"The reality is that memory is the biggest constraint for AI right now... structural supply crunch with no relief until at least 2028\".\n\nIntel CEO talking about $MU, SK Hynix, Samsung bottleneck that there's no relief until ***2 years later*** is probably your biggest long signal.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.10208951194617766, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10208951194617766, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1106170117684383, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12447119532146178, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008527499822260642, "bench_c_m1d": 0.022381683375284123, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00955228696738053, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00955228696738053, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014396208646277664, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03742398560322102, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004843921678897134, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02787169863584049, "ret_p1w": -0.010149228953051037, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.010149228953051037, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01390532301996139, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.013457259928367438, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0037560940669103537, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0033080309753164006, "ret_p1m": 0.028059731963139933, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.028059731963139933, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03444095571772332, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04382556844636454, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.006381223754583387, "bench_c_p1m": -0.015765836483224605, "ret_p3m": 0.31914270306660475, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.31914270306660475, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2711562448162055, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.17843848086464575, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.047986458250399266, "bench_c_p3m": 0.140704222201959, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4106, -0.4183, -0.4023, -0.3851, -0.3875, -0.3892, -0.4225, -0.4023, -0.4189, -0.4267, -0.4023, -0.4368, -0.4255, -0.41, -0.3892, -0.3851, -0.4029, -0.4011, -0.3857, -0.3791, -0.3756, -0.356, -0.3494, -0.356, -0.3583, -0.3625, -0.353, -0.3774, -0.3892, -0.3589, -0.3607, -0.3684, -0.3435, -0.3375, -0.3399, -0.3399, -0.3049, -0.2866, -0.2842, -0.2842, -0.2842, -0.2328, -0.1755, -0.1707, -0.1582, -0.1713, -0.1701, -0.1713, -0.1785, -0.1624, -0.1409, -0.111, -0.1087, -0.1331, -0.1075, -0.0907, -0.0919, -0.0919, -0.0478, -0.0304, -0.0406, -0.0418, -0.1021, 0.0, 0.0096, -0.049, -0.0531, -0.0066, -0.0101, 0.0018, 0.0663, 0.0818, 0.0818, 0.0818, 0.0818, 0.1343, 0.1349, 0.1522, 0.194, 0.2149, 0.3015, 0.2925, 0.2925, 0.1648, 0.0281, 0.1439, 0.1236, 0.0358, 0.1218, 0.1343, 0.1218, 0.0955, 0.1266, 0.1576, 0.2448, 0.197, 0.1904, 0.1122, 0.1325, 0.1284, 0.0752, 0.0752, 0.0547, 0.0003, 0.1346, 0.0673, 0.1139, 0.1552, 0.1756, 0.2593, 0.2204, 0.2324, 0.2025, 0.2354, 0.2623, 0.3012, 0.2922, 0.2832, 0.3102, 0.3012, 0.3431, 0.3132, 0.3431, 0.3281, 0.352, 0.3191, 0.3191, 0.3909, 0.3909, 0.5913, 0.6243, 0.6063, 0.708, 0.6691, 0.699, 0.7708, 0.6183, 0.6811, 0.6482, 0.6512, 0.7918, 0.7499, 0.7499, 0.7888, 0.8366, 0.7918, 0.8965, 1.0729, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2036247612001804424", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-24T01:03:57+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "as of now, I mentioned it looks overvalued by conventional metrics", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "TSLA currently overvalued by conventional metrics; author doesn't own it and sees it as expensive despite long-term optionality.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Not sure. I personally don't own $TSLA, but I can see why others do would given how visionary Elon is. \n\nIf he actually delivers on mass production Optimus bodies + XAi brain and manages to replace human labor. \n\n$1.3T will look like pennies. But as of now, I mentioned it looks overvalued by conventional metrics.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I was going to ask you when/if you would be foolish on Tesla? It’s now right down to 380", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "halldj00", "ret_m1d": -0.00569144109528974, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00569144109528974, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009059597241681816, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009059597241681816, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.007623458833617036, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007623458833617036, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0020506998862310777, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0020506998862310777, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "ret_p1w": -0.02944938729406532, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02944938729406532, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.025101480358523, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.025101480358523, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "ret_p1m": 0.01169624050493634, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.01169624050493634, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07714608465440054, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07714608465440054, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2673, 0.2406, 0.2, 0.1864, 0.1741, 0.1741, 0.1437, 0.1792, 0.1304, 0.1263, 0.1378, 0.1618, 0.1721, 0.1675, 0.1466, 0.145, 0.1422, 0.1422, 0.0946, 0.1264, 0.1732, 0.1724, 0.1362, 0.125, 0.1264, 0.0875, 0.1237, 0.1012, 0.1016, 0.06, 0.037, 0.0733, 0.0895, 0.1101, 0.1181, 0.0889, 0.0898, 0.0898, 0.0721, 0.0739, 0.0749, 0.0752, 0.0439, 0.0688, 0.0897, 0.0667, 0.0509, 0.053, 0.0245, 0.0598, 0.0588, 0.0358, 0.0409, 0.0423, 0.0647, 0.0313, 0.0213, 0.0327, 0.0424, 0.0255, -0.0071, -0.0393, -0.0057, 0.0, 0.0076, -0.0285, -0.0553, -0.0724, -0.0294, -0.0046, -0.0586, -0.0586, -0.0789, -0.095, -0.1039, -0.0977, -0.089, -0.0799, -0.0492, 0.0233, 0.0153, 0.0459, 0.0247, 0.0089, 0.0117, -0.0243, -0.0176, -0.0114, -0.0183, -0.0267, -0.0037, 0.0203, 0.0248, 0.0166, 0.041, 0.0751, 0.1183, 0.1618, 0.1316, 0.1625, 0.1574, 0.1024, 0.0704, 0.055, 0.0894, 0.0909, 0.1122, 0.1122, 0.132, 0.1497, 0.1542, 0.1377, 0.1377, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2029997360030626185", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-06T19:07:40+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "There's better long opportunities out there", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish IREN: $6B ATM dilution via open-market share sales disadvantages retail holders; better opportunities elsewhere.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The reality is that $IREN will need to sell tjose shares into the open market against retail holders since they couldn’t find other financing methods. \n\nIf you‘ve gotten to the point of “just trusting in $IREN management to not sell” after they went out of their way to file a $6 Billion ATM to sell into the open market.\n\nThere’s better long opportunities out there.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $6B share issuance is an *option* they have, not immediate dilution!\nTrust in management doing what's best for shareholders is FAR more important (and complex) than ATM, no ATM, or whatever.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "btc4me2", "ret_m1d": 0.09332422795258344, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09332422795258344, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08004301421944193, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08027302938882941, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013281213733141506, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01305119856375403, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05831060885997208, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05831060885997208, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.049550583846933005, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06305651992545203, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008760025013039074, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004745911065479946, "ret_p1w": 0.13297005358766034, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.13297005358766034, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.14797642062579064, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1661913552242653, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.015006367038130297, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03322130163660497, "ret_p1m": -0.04277928234839823, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04277928234839823, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.025452109431657655, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03420505508770244, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017327172916740574, "bench_c_p1m": -0.008574227260695788, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2763, 0.1967, 0.1973, 0.0935, -0.0332, -0.003, -0.0796, -0.0245, 0.0877, 0.1455, 0.1463, 0.1439, 0.1439, 0.0981, 0.0738, 0.0436, 0.0292, 0.0292, 0.1635, 0.3144, 0.251, 0.1887, 0.2447, 0.2542, 0.3714, 0.4439, 0.4409, 0.4139, 0.5755, 0.5755, 0.4785, 0.4572, 0.424, 0.5444, 0.4267, 0.6346, 0.715, 0.6305, 0.4643, 0.4463, 0.482, 0.2245, 0.0842, 0.1398, 0.2575, 0.1698, 0.1627, 0.0907, 0.1504, 0.1504, 0.1163, 0.1466, 0.1796, 0.0894, 0.1542, 0.2384, 0.1997, 0.2054, 0.1158, 0.1278, 0.0586, 0.1946, 0.0933, 0.0, 0.0583, 0.0387, 0.1439, 0.1272, 0.133, 0.2245, 0.1706, 0.1501, 0.1351, 0.1251, 0.1488, 0.1204, 0.1289, 0.0204, -0.0439, -0.1384, -0.0659, -0.0711, -0.0526, -0.0526, -0.0428, -0.0262, 0.0035, 0.0098, 0.0714, 0.1736, 0.2907, 0.3302, 0.2997, 0.3112, 0.3275, 0.2308, 0.3185, 0.4174, 0.3798, 0.3177, 0.2109, 0.1678, 0.2401, 0.2441, 0.3482, 0.4916, 0.6616, 0.549, 0.6676, 0.5027, 0.5411, 0.5033, 0.5913, 0.4425, 0.3749, 0.3008, 0.4362, 0.582, 0.5485, 0.5485, 0.6289, 0.8485, 0.7452, 0.7313, 0.7313, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2037045916730097728", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-26T05:56:07+00:00", "symbol": "MTSI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If people developed their own conviction around names like $SIVE, $MTSI, $LITE if they saw how severe the EML/CW bottleneck is going to be", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish SIVE, MTSI, LITE: all still undervalued given severity of incoming EML/CW bottleneck despite large prior gains.", "resolved_tickers": ["MTSI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Berlinergy Exactly. Lot of things come just a lack of understanding.\n\nIf people developed their own conviction around names like $SIVE, $MTSI, $LITE if they saw how severe the EML/CW bottleneck is going to be.\n\nThen when you see a 125%+ increase, you would still think it's undervalued.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Jumped on the $SIVE Train only a good week ago and am +50%\nPeople I know would Call it luck \nThey are afraid as it has Risen much already and fear a hard pullback \nMe: conviction through building knowledge, every single day here on X \nThx", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Berlinergy", "ret_m1d": 0.07238509096775858, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07238509096775858, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05420161272375523, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05420161272375523, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.018183478244003348, "bench_c_m1d": 0.018183478244003348, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.013391674217040461, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.013391674217040461, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0036602093062875207, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0036602093062875207, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017051883523327982, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017051883523327982, "ret_p1w": 0.04288841598143467, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04288841598143467, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.026239592116139798, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.026239592116139798, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01664882386529487, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01664882386529487, "ret_p1m": 0.2588184448509301, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2588184448509301, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15208919355316786, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.15208919355316786, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.10672925129776223, "bench_c_p1m": 0.10672925129776223, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2398, -0.2347, -0.2504, -0.2504, -0.2343, -0.2527, -0.2483, -0.2533, -0.2663, -0.2347, -0.1354, -0.0656, -0.059, -0.0419, -0.0342, -0.0342, -0.0298, -0.0098, -0.0184, -0.0404, -0.0421, -0.0407, -0.0098, -0.0034, -0.0413, 0.0003, -0.0078, -0.0589, -0.0031, 0.0323, 0.0315, 0.0089, 0.0369, 0.0459, 0.0685, 0.0685, 0.0748, 0.0799, 0.0615, 0.066, 0.0745, 0.0866, 0.1088, 0.0814, 0.0859, 0.1315, 0.0547, 0.046, 0.0021, -0.0919, -0.0428, -0.0346, -0.026, -0.055, -0.0468, -0.0157, -0.0316, -0.0421, -0.0173, -0.0418, 0.0033, 0.0382, 0.0724, 0.0, -0.0134, -0.0832, -0.0281, 0.0038, 0.0429, 0.0429, 0.0199, 0.0372, 0.081, 0.0841, 0.1296, 0.1537, 0.155, 0.1429, 0.1441, 0.2121, 0.2301, 0.2504, 0.2123, 0.2446, 0.2588, 0.2229, 0.1624, 0.18, 0.2324, 0.2437, 0.2767, 0.3285, 0.3558, 0.5075, 0.575, 0.6012, 0.5876, 0.6698, 0.6786, 0.6438, 0.5591, 0.571, 0.6442, 0.665, 0.6892, 0.6892, 0.7929, 0.7534, 0.7116, 0.5958, 0.5958, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2037045916730097728", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-26T05:56:07+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If people developed their own conviction around names like $SIVE, $MTSI, $LITE if they saw how severe the EML/CW bottleneck is going to be", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish SIVE, MTSI, LITE: all still undervalued given severity of incoming EML/CW bottleneck despite large prior gains.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Berlinergy Exactly. Lot of things come just a lack of understanding.\n\nIf people developed their own conviction around names like $SIVE, $MTSI, $LITE if they saw how severe the EML/CW bottleneck is going to be.\n\nThen when you see a 125%+ increase, you would still think it's undervalued.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Jumped on the $SIVE Train only a good week ago and am +50%\nPeople I know would Call it luck \nThey are afraid as it has Risen much already and fear a hard pullback \nMe: conviction through building knowledge, every single day here on X \nThx", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Berlinergy", "ret_m1d": 0.12829558171210165, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.12829558171210165, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.1101121034680983, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.1101121034680983, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.018183478244003348, "bench_c_m1d": 0.018183478244003348, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02022356696087546, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02022356696087546, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03727545048420344, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03727545048420344, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017051883523327982, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017051883523327982, "ret_p1w": 0.20046460443803915, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.20046460443803915, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.18381578057274428, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.18381578057274428, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01664882386529487, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01664882386529487, "ret_p1m": 0.2799652007447919, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2799652007447919, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1732359494470297, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1732359494470297, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.10672925129776223, "bench_c_p1m": 0.10672925129776223, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.459, -0.4611, -0.4649, -0.4649, -0.4394, -0.4816, -0.423, -0.4296, -0.4944, -0.4898, -0.5066, -0.4754, -0.5186, -0.5016, -0.5293, -0.5293, -0.482, -0.4738, -0.4854, -0.5076, -0.5173, -0.4619, -0.4411, -0.4462, -0.4311, -0.3853, -0.3683, -0.3241, -0.2677, -0.1986, -0.1621, -0.1854, -0.1665, -0.1529, -0.183, -0.183, -0.1283, -0.1373, -0.0772, -0.0305, -0.0204, -0.0008, 0.0502, -0.0171, 0.0176, 0.1371, 0.0082, -0.0116, -0.0551, -0.1893, -0.0698, -0.0244, -0.0244, -0.1056, -0.0963, -0.0929, -0.057, 0.0174, 0.121, 0.0255, 0.0583, 0.1643, 0.1283, 0.0, 0.0202, -0.0494, 0.0203, 0.1101, 0.2005, 0.2005, 0.1212, 0.1843, 0.3008, 0.2981, 0.3027, 0.2648, 0.2381, 0.1963, 0.2939, 0.298, 0.2995, 0.215, 0.2683, 0.2295, 0.28, 0.2481, 0.1489, 0.2461, 0.31, 0.3791, 0.4172, 0.4439, 0.3709, 0.2958, 0.3121, 0.5289, 0.4407, 0.4959, 0.4544, 0.4093, 0.2848, 0.2922, 0.2603, 0.4003, 0.3747, 0.3747, 0.3223, 0.31, 0.2494, 0.2412, 0.2412, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2018103859647037824", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-01T23:27:09+00:00", "symbol": "Samsung Electronics", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The memory supercyle from $MU, Samsung, and SK Hynix is here clearly here", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Memory supercycle is here; bullish Samsung, SK Hynix, and MU on Morgan Stanley 2027 profit forecasts.", "resolved_tickers": ["005930.KS"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Samsung Electronics listed on KOSPI as 005930.KS", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The Memory Supercycle is here. \n\nNew reports from Morgan Stanley est. \n\n- Samsung's net profit ~$163.0B USD  \n- SK Hynix's ~$120.9B USD.\n\nThat would make Samsung the most profitable company in the world, even more than $NVDA and $GOOGL.\n\nHere are the top 10 rankings:\n\n1. Samsung Electronics ~$163.0B (2027)\n2. Alphabet $GOOGL $152.44B\n3. Apple $APPL $133.05B\n4 Microsoft $MSFT $127.65B\n5. Sk Hynix $120.9B (2027\n6. NVIDIA $NVDA $116.51B\n7. Amazon $AMZN $95.22B\n8 Meta$META $85.09B\n9. Berkshire Hathaway $BRK $81.5B\n10. JPMorgan Chase $JPM $72.81B\n\nThis is forward 2027 net income compared to TTM net income sourced by from companiesmarketcap. Credit to @jukan05 for the Morgan Stanley report. Excluding National companies like Saudi Aramco in these figures. \n\nThe memory supercyle from $MU, Samsung, and SK Hynix is here clearly here.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.06715427207003155, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06715427207003155, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07210104201618628, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07665433501744068, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946769946154728, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009500062947409127, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.11369675853486427, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.11369675853486427, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.12215215496556486, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.13558846858721318, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00845539643070059, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02189171005234891, "ret_p1w": 0.10638298979836791, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10638298979836791, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10848242754860848, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.11953168861704966, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0020994377502405737, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013148698818681748, "ret_p1m": 0.2972074549762964, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2972074549762964, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.31889243352779617, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.35062882282928076, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684978551499756, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05342136785298435, "ret_p3m": 0.4691249524501968, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4691249524501968, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4328691454432232, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.36972852186804217, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03625580700697362, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09939643058215464, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3344, -0.3436, -0.3522, -0.3344, -0.3152, -0.3178, -0.3198, -0.3568, -0.3344, -0.3529, -0.3615, -0.3344, -0.3727, -0.3602, -0.343, -0.3198, -0.3152, -0.335, -0.333, -0.3158, -0.3085, -0.3046, -0.2827, -0.2755, -0.2827, -0.2854, -0.29, -0.2794, -0.3066, -0.3198, -0.2861, -0.288, -0.2966, -0.2688, -0.2622, -0.2649, -0.2649, -0.2258, -0.2055, -0.2028, -0.2028, -0.2028, -0.1456, -0.0818, -0.0765, -0.0625, -0.0771, -0.0758, -0.0771, -0.0851, -0.0672, -0.0432, -0.01, -0.0073, -0.0346, -0.006, 0.0126, 0.0113, 0.0113, 0.0605, 0.0798, 0.0685, 0.0672, 0.0, 0.1137, 0.1243, 0.0592, 0.0545, 0.1064, 0.1024, 0.1157, 0.1875, 0.2048, 0.2048, 0.2048, 0.2048, 0.2633, 0.264, 0.2832, 0.3298, 0.3531, 0.4495, 0.4395, 0.4395, 0.2972, 0.1449, 0.2739, 0.2513, 0.1536, 0.2493, 0.2633, 0.2493, 0.2201, 0.2547, 0.2892, 0.3863, 0.3331, 0.3258, 0.2387, 0.2613, 0.2566, 0.1975, 0.1975, 0.1746, 0.114, 0.2636, 0.1886, 0.2406, 0.2866, 0.3092, 0.4025, 0.3592, 0.3725, 0.3392, 0.3758, 0.4058, 0.4491, 0.4391, 0.4291, 0.4591, 0.4491, 0.4958, 0.4625, 0.4958, 0.4791, 0.5058, 0.4691, 0.4691, 0.5491, 0.5491, 0.7723, 0.8089, 0.7889, 0.9022, 0.8589, 0.8922, 0.9722, 0.8023, 0.8722, 0.8356, 0.8389, 0.9955, 0.9488, 0.9488, 0.9921, 1.0454, 0.9955, 1.1121, 1.3086, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2018103859647037824", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-01T23:27:09+00:00", "symbol": "000660.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The memory supercyle from $MU, Samsung, and SK Hynix is here clearly here", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Memory supercycle is here; bullish Samsung, SK Hynix, and MU on Morgan Stanley 2027 profit forecasts.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The Memory Supercycle is here. \n\nNew reports from Morgan Stanley est. \n\n- Samsung's net profit ~$163.0B USD  \n- SK Hynix's ~$120.9B USD.\n\nThat would make Samsung the most profitable company in the world, even more than $NVDA and $GOOGL.\n\nHere are the top 10 rankings:\n\n1. Samsung Electronics ~$163.0B (2027)\n2. Alphabet $GOOGL $152.44B\n3. Apple $APPL $133.05B\n4 Microsoft $MSFT $127.65B\n5. Sk Hynix $120.9B (2027\n6. NVIDIA $NVDA $116.51B\n7. Amazon $AMZN $95.22B\n8 Meta$META $85.09B\n9. Berkshire Hathaway $BRK $81.5B\n10. JPMorgan Chase $JPM $72.81B\n\nThis is forward 2027 net income compared to TTM net income sourced by from companiesmarketcap. Credit to @jukan05 for the Morgan Stanley report. Excluding National companies like Saudi Aramco in these figures. \n\nThe memory supercyle from $MU, Samsung, and SK Hynix is here clearly here.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.09518072598240268, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.09518072598240268, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.10012749592855741, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08294221317996575, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946769946154728, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01223851280243693, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09277114179054258, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09277114179054258, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10122653822124317, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06473840069161318, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00845539643070059, "bench_c_p1d": 0.028032741098929392, "ret_p1w": 0.06867469624978617, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06867469624978617, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07077413400002674, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02633613068572993, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0020994377502405737, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04233856556405624, "ret_p1m": 0.13341287061268559, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13341287061268559, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15509784916418534, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03906079913397176, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684978551499756, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09435207147871383, "ret_p3m": 0.5522566263376645, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5522566263376645, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5160008193306909, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.22289258018578972, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03625580700697362, "bench_c_p3m": 0.32936404615187476, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3029, -0.2861, -0.3017, -0.2704, -0.2548, -0.2572, -0.2632, -0.3258, -0.2704, -0.3137, -0.3234, -0.3125, -0.3727, -0.3739, -0.3751, -0.3691, -0.3446, -0.3614, -0.3518, -0.3277, -0.3349, -0.347, -0.3446, -0.3048, -0.3181, -0.2928, -0.3193, -0.312, -0.3325, -0.3614, -0.3361, -0.3349, -0.341, -0.3012, -0.2964, -0.2916, -0.2916, -0.2783, -0.2289, -0.2157, -0.2157, -0.2157, -0.1843, -0.1614, -0.1253, -0.106, -0.0892, -0.1036, -0.0976, -0.1108, -0.106, -0.0976, -0.0892, -0.0795, -0.1048, -0.1084, -0.0904, -0.0759, -0.1133, -0.0361, 0.0133, 0.0373, 0.0952, 0.0, 0.0928, 0.0843, 0.0145, 0.0108, 0.0687, 0.0554, 0.0361, 0.0699, 0.0602, 0.0602, 0.0602, 0.0602, 0.0771, 0.1434, 0.1458, 0.2108, 0.2265, 0.3265, 0.2807, 0.2807, 0.1334, 0.0248, 0.1358, 0.1153, 0.0091, 0.1322, 0.1527, 0.1225, 0.0984, 0.1757, 0.1708, 0.2746, 0.2227, 0.2155, 0.1262, 0.1901, 0.201, 0.1262, 0.1262, 0.0537, -0.0259, 0.0827, 0.0018, 0.0574, 0.0694, 0.1057, 0.2469, 0.2046, 0.2396, 0.2553, 0.3314, 0.3712, 0.3941, 0.3615, 0.4074, 0.4774, 0.4762, 0.4786, 0.475, 0.5595, 0.5692, 0.5607, 0.5523, 0.5523, 0.7466, 0.7466, 0.9325, 0.9964, 1.0351, 1.2692, 1.2149, 1.3851, 1.3779, 1.1956, 1.221, 1.1063, 1.1063, 1.3417, 1.3429, 1.3429, 1.4769, 1.7074, 1.7634, 1.8165, 1.8751, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2018103859647037824", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-01T23:27:09+00:00", "symbol": "MU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The memory supercyle from $MU, Samsung, and SK Hynix is here clearly here", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Memory supercycle is here; bullish Samsung, SK Hynix, and MU on Morgan Stanley 2027 profit forecasts.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The Memory Supercycle is here. \n\nNew reports from Morgan Stanley est. \n\n- Samsung's net profit ~$163.0B USD  \n- SK Hynix's ~$120.9B USD.\n\nThat would make Samsung the most profitable company in the world, even more than $NVDA and $GOOGL.\n\nHere are the top 10 rankings:\n\n1. Samsung Electronics ~$163.0B (2027)\n2. Alphabet $GOOGL $152.44B\n3. Apple $APPL $133.05B\n4 Microsoft $MSFT $127.65B\n5. Sk Hynix $120.9B (2027\n6. NVIDIA $NVDA $116.51B\n7. Amazon $AMZN $95.22B\n8 Meta$META $85.09B\n9. Berkshire Hathaway $BRK $81.5B\n10. JPMorgan Chase $JPM $72.81B\n\nThis is forward 2027 net income compared to TTM net income sourced by from companiesmarketcap. Credit to @jukan05 for the Morgan Stanley report. Excluding National companies like Saudi Aramco in these figures. \n\nThe memory supercyle from $MU, Samsung, and SK Hynix is here clearly here.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05235266083794998, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05235266083794998, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.047405890891795255, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.041297902517165586, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946769946154728, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011054758320784397, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04193689928580624, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04193689928580624, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03348150285510565, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016714435589620935, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00845539643070059, "bench_c_p1d": -0.025222463696185304, "ret_p1w": -0.12402922326843191, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12402922326843191, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.12192978551819134, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12079367330086299, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0020994377502405737, "bench_c_p1w": -0.003235549967568918, "ret_p1m": -0.13275465511876516, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.13275465511876516, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11106967656726541, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09130552010513115, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684978551499756, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04144913501363401, "ret_p3m": 0.1817661968369726, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1817661968369726, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.14551038982999898, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.060285914113651806, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03625580700697362, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2420521109506244, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4577, -0.4558, -0.4568, -0.4217, -0.4495, -0.4408, -0.459, -0.4364, -0.4476, -0.4783, -0.4842, -0.5402, -0.5265, -0.4887, -0.4873, -0.4743, -0.4743, -0.4601, -0.451, -0.4532, -0.4654, -0.4825, -0.4584, -0.4362, -0.4237, -0.3979, -0.4099, -0.4494, -0.4577, -0.4691, -0.4851, -0.4325, -0.3928, -0.3685, -0.3692, -0.3454, -0.3454, -0.3498, -0.3276, -0.3316, -0.3481, -0.3481, -0.2795, -0.287, -0.2156, -0.2244, -0.253, -0.2118, -0.21, -0.2277, -0.2386, -0.2311, -0.1714, -0.1714, -0.1663, -0.1112, -0.0919, -0.0871, -0.1113, -0.063, -0.0058, -0.0046, -0.0524, 0.0, -0.0419, -0.1334, -0.1254, -0.0985, -0.124, -0.1474, -0.0627, -0.0544, -0.0597, -0.0597, -0.0868, -0.0385, -0.0467, -0.022, -0.0384, -0.0452, -0.0201, -0.0508, -0.0581, -0.0574, -0.1328, -0.0846, -0.0931, -0.1542, -0.1107, -0.0792, -0.0437, -0.0741, -0.0267, 0.0091, 0.0546, 0.0547, 0.0148, -0.034, -0.0764, -0.0966, -0.1272, -0.1881, -0.1841, -0.2647, -0.228, -0.1594, -0.1631, -0.1631, -0.1368, -0.1372, -0.0706, -0.0368, -0.0389, -0.0253, 0.0641, 0.0425, 0.0448, 0.0399, 0.0247, 0.0269, 0.1139, 0.1008, 0.1351, 0.1987, 0.1524, 0.1847, 0.1818, 0.239, 0.3173, 0.4629, 0.5232, 0.4776, 0.7065, 0.8174, 0.7517, 0.8364, 0.7733, 0.6559, 0.5574, 0.5967, 0.6727, 0.7415, 0.7161, 0.7161, 1.0472, 1.1215, 1.1103, 1.2188, 1.2188, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2025165226778427734", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-21T11:06:30+00:00", "symbol": "XLU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I think $XLU is a once a generation long", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Strongly bullish XLU; calls it a once-in-a-generation long with more quantitative reasoning forthcoming.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@jCarterinvests Thanks! Considering my sub was $1 for extra shower thoughts space, that tenfold $10 profit doesn’t sound like much lol!\n\nI’ll publish a more quantitative reasoning why I think $XLU is a once a generation long later today. \n\nBefore was more of a high level directional reasoning", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Subbed to you right when you gave the XLU callout basically. Already up 45% on that. Paid for the sub tenfold lol. Appreciate that and the knowledge you provide behind the callouts! Already have learned a lot", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jCarterinvests", "ret_m1d": -0.007497825652779344, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007497825652779344, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017814487039842897, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017814487039842897, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011139718380374752, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011139718380374752, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0038712654499797328, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0038712654499797328, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "ret_p1w": 0.014781446524965602, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.014781446524965602, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.008934360812073994, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.008934360812073994, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "ret_p1m": -0.027308435051802138, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.027308435051802138, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.012882947272660594, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.012882947272660594, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "ret_p3m": -0.029249938466529124, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.029249938466529124, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12063215530431359, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12063215530431359, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0433, -0.0433, -0.0365, -0.059, -0.0657, -0.0687, -0.0706, -0.0793, -0.0916, -0.091, -0.0914, -0.0848, -0.0893, -0.081, -0.0848, -0.0908, -0.0819, -0.0936, -0.0902, -0.087, -0.0829, -0.0829, -0.0835, -0.0818, -0.0797, -0.0855, -0.0855, -0.075, -0.0853, -0.0808, -0.103, -0.1005, -0.0893, -0.0878, -0.082, -0.0752, -0.0658, -0.0705, -0.0705, -0.0797, -0.0784, -0.085, -0.0883, -0.0816, -0.0696, -0.0718, -0.0718, -0.0735, -0.087, -0.0737, -0.0771, -0.0767, -0.0713, -0.0686, -0.0531, -0.0448, -0.0306, -0.0039, -0.0039, -0.0064, -0.0229, -0.0122, -0.0075, 0.0, 0.0111, 0.0146, 0.0107, 0.0225, 0.0148, 0.0084, 0.0126, 0.0047, 0.0013, 0.0036, -0.0026, -0.0109, -0.0039, 0.006, 0.0124, 0.0096, 0.0011, -0.003, -0.0435, -0.034, -0.0273, -0.0239, -0.0221, -0.0165, -0.0094, -0.0101, -0.0053, -0.0003, -0.0003, -0.004, -0.0019, 0.0091, 0.0171, 0.013, 0.0007, 0.0025, -0.0072, -0.0001, -0.0042, -0.0131, -0.0303, -0.0321, -0.0057, -0.0038, -0.0036, -0.0023, -0.0146, 0.0107, 0.0042, 0.0003, 0.0003, -0.0139, -0.0267, -0.0353, -0.0262, -0.0252, -0.0364, -0.0314, -0.0536, -0.0521, -0.0435, -0.0398, -0.0292, -0.0217, -0.0217, -0.0221, -0.0262, -0.0372, -0.0418, -0.0418, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2032539983580643801", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-13T19:31:09+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if it drops one more time to the $80s, strong yes imo", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Conditional short-term long on AAOI: strong buy if it dips again to $80s, capped near $100 by ATM dilution.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Short term, $AAOI is diluting $250m at $100 so probably won’t go too high above that number for awhile. \n\nCause they’re selling it but the open market at that price. They tapped into their last ATM ASAP. \n\nMid-Long term doesn’t really matter.\n\nIf I put on my day trading glasses, if it drops one more time to the $80s, strong yes imo.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Do you think $AAOI is a good opportunity to buy rn?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "sarcasmcrickter", "ret_m1d": 0.09689086994486606, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.09689086994486606, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.09119854124007487, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.09119854124007487, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005692328704791194, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005692328704791194, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02830283992220084, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02830283992220084, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.038479706033684, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.038479706033684, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010176866111483163, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010176866111483163, "ret_p1w": -0.0957545385481059, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0957545385481059, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07771298276505889, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07771298276505889, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.018041555783047003, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018041555783047003, "ret_p1m": 0.5823779186513127, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5823779186513127, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5435977453540535, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5435977453540535, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.038780173297259246, "bench_c_p1m": 0.038780173297259246, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7009, -0.7197, -0.6979, -0.6765, -0.5962, -0.5802, -0.5765, -0.5765, -0.6161, -0.6204, -0.6279, -0.6399, -0.6399, -0.591, -0.6386, -0.6012, -0.6069, -0.659, -0.6484, -0.6517, -0.6469, -0.6439, -0.6178, -0.6174, -0.6174, -0.5945, -0.6036, -0.6059, -0.631, -0.6396, -0.6138, -0.5328, -0.5913, -0.5495, -0.5438, -0.5236, -0.5879, -0.6061, -0.5424, -0.5051, -0.4991, -0.5001, -0.5456, -0.5407, -0.5407, -0.5464, -0.5513, -0.5147, -0.4662, -0.4426, -0.4188, -0.3996, -0.4454, -0.1299, 0.0589, -0.0152, 0.03, 0.0447, -0.0127, 0.1427, 0.2446, 0.312, 0.0969, 0.0, -0.0283, -0.1083, -0.0432, 0.0528, -0.0958, -0.0108, 0.1765, 0.1818, 0.0063, 0.0145, -0.12, -0.1262, -0.108, 0.0733, 0.0733, 0.1099, 0.2152, 0.3707, 0.3769, 0.5556, 0.5824, 0.5121, 0.4725, 0.625, 0.6467, 0.6886, 0.5553, 0.5434, 0.4227, 0.6751, 0.5058, 0.4178, 0.5787, 0.6978, 0.8956, 0.7868, 0.8652, 0.8442, 0.6274, 0.5385, 0.9099, 0.9448, 1.3045, 1.1028, 0.9663, 0.7897, 0.7698, 0.7071, 0.8264, 0.8747, 0.8747, 0.8347, 0.8576, 0.7459, 0.6363, 0.6363, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2037033147268030753", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-26T05:05:23+00:00", "symbol": "IQE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SIVE and $IQE are both possible 10x's for me personally", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Both SIVE and IQE seen as potential 10x opportunities.", "resolved_tickers": ["IQE.L"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "IQE plc LSE-listed epiwafer supplier", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@_Livesofourdays Yeah $SIVE and $IQE are both possible 10x’s for me personally.\n\nExcited to see where they head", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit You are the best, my $SIVE and $IQE are up 20% in a day 😅😅", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "_Livesofourdays", "ret_m1d": 0.10902254048652171, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.10902254048652171, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.09083906224251836, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06128597696746452, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.018183478244003348, "bench_c_m1d": 0.047736563519057196, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07894738162983794, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07894738162983794, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06189549810650996, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06164353644220222, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017051883523327982, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017303845187635725, "ret_p1w": -0.11278195326981577, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11278195326981577, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.12943077713511064, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1429258748555695, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01664882386529487, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03014392158575374, "ret_p1m": 0.7894736011838754, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.7894736011838754, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6827443498861132, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4596762917855206, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.10672925129776223, "bench_c_p1m": 0.32979730939835483, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.8133, -0.812, -0.812, -0.812, -0.8064, -0.8109, -0.809, -0.7902, -0.7688, -0.7241, -0.6075, -0.6289, -0.6617, -0.6936, -0.7049, -0.6643, -0.7071, -0.7128, -0.7068, -0.6981, -0.7124, -0.712, -0.6985, -0.7086, -0.7026, -0.6981, -0.7105, -0.7011, -0.7064, -0.7023, -0.6929, -0.6241, -0.615, -0.6128, -0.6015, -0.6053, -0.6008, -0.6068, -0.6098, -0.606, -0.5195, -0.5414, -0.3977, -0.2481, -0.2857, -0.0376, -0.0226, 0.0094, -0.1936, -0.2609, -0.2827, -0.1466, -0.0865, -0.1466, -0.1259, -0.1316, -0.188, -0.0395, -0.141, -0.1128, -0.1165, -0.0395, 0.109, 0.0, -0.0789, -0.1316, -0.0827, -0.0564, -0.1128, -0.1128, -0.1128, -0.0414, 0.0789, 0.1278, 0.391, 0.8459, 0.797, 1.0301, 1.203, 0.9586, 1.203, 1.3684, 1.3534, 0.8703, 0.7895, 0.8571, 0.5132, 0.5188, 0.6259, 0.547, 0.547, 0.8797, 0.6748, 0.7162, 0.7707, 1.0489, 0.7726, 0.8985, 0.8647, 0.7293, 0.4699, 0.203, 0.4117, 0.4981, 0.7199, 0.7199, 1.0301, 0.906, 0.7914, 0.7857, 0.7857, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2025650532183130188", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-22T19:14:56+00:00", "symbol": "XLU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$XLU is more of a structural delta (directional long) play from power/grid investments and expansion", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long XLU as a structural directional play on power/grid investment expansion.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Yannis_ko $XLU is more of a structural delta (directional long) play from power/grid investments and expansion.\n\n$EWY was a call on volatility expansion from mispricing.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Hope Same happens with XLU !", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Yannis_ko", "ret_m1d": -0.007497825652779344, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007497825652779344, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017814487039842897, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017814487039842897, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011139718380374752, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011139718380374752, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0038712654499797328, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0038712654499797328, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "ret_p1w": 0.014781446524965602, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.014781446524965602, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.008934360812073994, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.008934360812073994, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "ret_p1m": -0.027308435051802138, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.027308435051802138, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.012882947272660594, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.012882947272660594, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "ret_p3m": -0.029249938466529124, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.029249938466529124, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12063215530431359, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12063215530431359, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0433, -0.0433, -0.0365, -0.059, -0.0657, -0.0687, -0.0706, -0.0793, -0.0916, -0.091, -0.0914, -0.0848, -0.0893, -0.081, -0.0848, -0.0908, -0.0819, -0.0936, -0.0902, -0.087, -0.0829, -0.0829, -0.0835, -0.0818, -0.0797, -0.0855, -0.0855, -0.075, -0.0853, -0.0808, -0.103, -0.1005, -0.0893, -0.0878, -0.082, -0.0752, -0.0658, -0.0705, -0.0705, -0.0797, -0.0784, -0.085, -0.0883, -0.0816, -0.0696, -0.0718, -0.0718, -0.0735, -0.087, -0.0737, -0.0771, -0.0767, -0.0713, -0.0686, -0.0531, -0.0448, -0.0306, -0.0039, -0.0039, -0.0064, -0.0229, -0.0122, -0.0075, 0.0, 0.0111, 0.0146, 0.0107, 0.0225, 0.0148, 0.0084, 0.0126, 0.0047, 0.0013, 0.0036, -0.0026, -0.0109, -0.0039, 0.006, 0.0124, 0.0096, 0.0011, -0.003, -0.0435, -0.034, -0.0273, -0.0239, -0.0221, -0.0165, -0.0094, -0.0101, -0.0053, -0.0003, -0.0003, -0.004, -0.0019, 0.0091, 0.0171, 0.013, 0.0007, 0.0025, -0.0072, -0.0001, -0.0042, -0.0131, -0.0303, -0.0321, -0.0057, -0.0038, -0.0036, -0.0023, -0.0146, 0.0107, 0.0042, 0.0003, 0.0003, -0.0139, -0.0267, -0.0353, -0.0262, -0.0252, -0.0364, -0.0314, -0.0536, -0.0521, -0.0435, -0.0398, -0.0292, -0.0217, -0.0217, -0.0221, -0.0262, -0.0372, -0.0418, -0.0418, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2034056688693875036", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-17T23:58:00+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NVDA is spearheading the next leap into CPO & Silicon Photonics", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish on Silicon Photonics supercycle led by NVDA; names Soitec and Sivers as key supply-chain chokepoints about to be priced in.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The Photonics Supercycle is here.\n\n$NVDA is spearheading the next leap into CPO & Silicon Photonics.\n\nAnd we’re only near the inflection point with chokepoints in the supply chains like Soitec ( $SOI ) or Sivers ( $SIVE ).\n\n“NVIDIA’s update on the Spectrum-X switch with co-packaged optics is an important moment, confirming that silicon photonics is central to next-generation AI infrastructure.”\n\nDespite a long-standing reliance on copper-based interconnects for scale-up systems, the company is now placing photonics at the core of its future platforms, including Vera Rubin Ultra.\n\nThis transition is expected to support increasingly complex configurations, such as NVL576 and future architectures like Kyber NVL1152.”\n\n“Nvidia is already in production with Spectrum-X Photonics, which is co-packaged optics (CPO) Ethernet switch. \n\nThe company also announced the Quantum-X Photonics InfiniBand switch, which delivers up to 800 Tb per second of scale-out throughput using its proprietary scale-out interconnect”\n\nAlthough copper is important, it can no longer alone can no longer handle AI-scale demands. \n\nNVLink8 CPO is probably the biggest signal with $NVDA also bringing silicon photonics into its scale-up NVLink interconnect, not just scale-out networking. \n\nCPO for scale-out is shipping now/2026, CPO for NVLink scale-up arrives soon.\n\nThe paradigm has shifted, and the bottleneck of AI infrastructure is now officially being solved by light.\n\nIt’s only a matter of time before markets find these chokepoints in the supply chains. \n\nThen price them in.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The upcoming CPO / Silicon Photonics Bottleneck Cheat Sheet:\n\n$SIVE, Sumitomo, $LITE, $COHR, $AVGO, $MTSI, $AAOI - Light Source (CW DFB Lasers)\n$TSEM, $GFS, $UMC, $TSM, $INTC - SiPh foundry\n$NOK, $CIEN, $CSCO, $COHR - DCO  \n$HIMX, FOCI (3363.TWO) - Micro-lens + Fiber Arrays\n$POET https://t.co/PAAld6I3oW", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.00709068651050182, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00709068651050182, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009714339716758169, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009714339716758169, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002623653206256349, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002623653206256349, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00840982158463277, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00840982158463277, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005543823802487413, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005543823802487413, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013953645387120184, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013953645387120184, "ret_p1w": -0.036992227771550756, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.036992227771550756, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.013398965184520661, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.013398965184520661, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023593262587030095, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023593262587030095, "ret_p1m": 0.09311275283562037, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09311275283562037, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04680677005596756, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04680677005596756, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04630598277965281, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04630598277965281, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0429, -0.0052, 0.0096, 0.04, 0.0367, 0.0367, 0.0472, 0.0345, 0.0308, 0.0251, 0.0251, 0.038, 0.034, 0.0291, 0.0394, 0.017, 0.0161, 0.0165, 0.0213, 0.0066, 0.0281, 0.0236, 0.0236, -0.0213, 0.0076, 0.0159, 0.0315, 0.0249, 0.0362, 0.0527, 0.0581, 0.0505, 0.0202, -0.0088, -0.0426, -0.0553, 0.0191, 0.0445, 0.0363, 0.0446, 0.0275, 0.0048, 0.0048, 0.0167, 0.0332, 0.0328, 0.0433, 0.0528, 0.06, 0.0749, 0.0162, -0.0261, 0.003, -0.0104, 0.006, 0.0077, -0.0226, 0.0039, 0.0156, 0.0225, 0.0067, -0.0092, 0.0071, 0.0, -0.0084, -0.0185, -0.0507, -0.0346, -0.037, -0.0179, -0.0588, -0.0792, -0.0921, -0.0414, -0.034, -0.025, -0.025, -0.0236, -0.0211, 0.0008, 0.0109, 0.0368, 0.0406, 0.0801, 0.0931, 0.0903, 0.1086, 0.1106, 0.0987, 0.1131, 0.0973, 0.1448, 0.1906, 0.1717, 0.1502, 0.097, 0.0908, 0.091, 0.0801, 0.1424, 0.1625, 0.1829, 0.2062, 0.2135, 0.2413, 0.2958, 0.2385, 0.222, 0.2126, 0.2283, 0.2066, 0.1836, 0.1836, 0.181, 0.1686, 0.1777, 0.1606, 0.1606, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2030733860607250833", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-08T19:54:16+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Your upside is capped if you're the liquidity for the new $6B ATM, so it's better to buy back after existing holders get wiped.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish IREN near-term: $6B ATM will dilute/wipe current holders; advises waiting to buy back after dilution rather than holding now.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "There are other financing methods than ATMs if they wanted to raise $6B. They wouldn’t have filed it if they didn’t need to go that route.\n\nAn ATM wipes out current shareholder value but in return it’s better for the company (eg. No interest from debt financing) \n\nYour upside is capped if you’re the liquidity for the new $6B ATM, so it’s better to buy back after existing holders get wiped.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Always like hearing your takes.  I sold off my $IREN on Wednesday, specifically due to wanting to think over the $6B ATM and possible dilution.  But I'm thinking this time you might be wrong on IREN for two main reasons:\n1) The $6B ATM might be a hyperscaler required condition", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MB_Hogan", "ret_m1d": -0.05509782135018482, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05509782135018482, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04641386798582958, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05986636349258456, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004768542142399745, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.018537621469477572, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.018537621469477572, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.016930494564110443, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.013173021082192093, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005364600387285479, "ret_p1w": 0.15705454300093913, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.15705454300093913, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.17067744972513788, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.17751951414193812, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02046497114099899, "ret_p1m": -0.07981458449903078, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07981458449903078, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0543826200794183, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07596801281670362, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00384657168232716, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1308, 0.1313, 0.0332, -0.0865, -0.0579, -0.1303, -0.0783, 0.0278, 0.0824, 0.0832, 0.0808, 0.0808, 0.0376, 0.0147, -0.0139, -0.0275, -0.0275, 0.0994, 0.242, 0.182, 0.1232, 0.1761, 0.1851, 0.2958, 0.3643, 0.3615, 0.336, 0.4887, 0.4887, 0.397, 0.3769, 0.3455, 0.4593, 0.3481, 0.5445, 0.6205, 0.5407, 0.3836, 0.3666, 0.4004, 0.1571, 0.0245, 0.077, 0.1882, 0.1053, 0.0986, 0.0306, 0.087, 0.087, 0.0548, 0.0834, 0.1146, 0.0294, 0.0906, 0.1702, 0.1336, 0.139, 0.0543, 0.0657, 0.0003, 0.1287, 0.0331, -0.0551, 0.0, -0.0185, 0.0808, 0.0651, 0.0705, 0.1571, 0.1061, 0.0868, 0.0726, 0.0631, 0.0855, 0.0587, 0.0667, -0.0358, -0.0965, -0.1859, -0.1174, -0.1223, -0.1048, -0.1048, -0.0955, -0.0798, -0.0518, -0.0458, 0.0124, 0.1089, 0.2196, 0.257, 0.2281, 0.2389, 0.2544, 0.163, 0.2459, 0.3393, 0.3038, 0.2451, 0.1442, 0.1035, 0.1717, 0.1756, 0.2739, 0.4094, 0.57, 0.4637, 0.5757, 0.4199, 0.4562, 0.4204, 0.5036, 0.363, 0.2992, 0.2291, 0.3571, 0.4949, 0.4632, 0.4632, 0.5391, 0.7467, 0.6491, 0.6359, 0.6359, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2015127456446087428", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-24T18:19:59+00:00", "symbol": "RCAT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "drone sector stocks like $RCAT, $PDYN too that should be thematically bullish", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Thematically bullish on drone stocks RCAT and PDYN; OSS interesting on defense/war sector tailwinds.", "resolved_tickers": ["RCAT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "No problem! There's a lot of drone sector stocks like $RCAT, $PDYN too that should be thematically bullish.\n\nThere's just too many stocks to look at and I try not to comment if I didn't do enough research into them yet. \n\n$OSS should be interesting going forward with War sector tailwinds", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thanks for this as always ! \nBullish on defense sector but not mentionning $RCAT, bearish on it ? \nThat's one of my highest conviction with $OSS.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "B38B37", "ret_m1d": 0.12701750638192166, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.12701750638192166, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.13206999615643433, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.12799082555856212, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0050524897745126696, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0009733191766404525, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0996491281609786, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0996491281609786, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09566486343129399, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09551233548596882, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003984264729684606, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0041367926750097705, "ret_p1w": -0.04350876389888292, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04350876389888292, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04737755677896116, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06267168334257178, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0038687928800782423, "bench_c_p1w": 0.019162919443688864, "ret_p1m": -0.09614034284625139, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09614034284625139, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08837395538527504, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.17279202062100685, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007766387460976354, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07665167777475546, "ret_p3m": -0.12000000267698052, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.12000000267698052, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.1454858856028376, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.18192436341498275, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025485882925857073, "bench_c_p3m": 0.061924360738002227, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2014, -0.2589, -0.2105, -0.28, -0.3347, -0.3404, -0.3951, -0.3488, -0.3572, -0.3916, -0.3993, -0.4568, -0.4975, -0.5249, -0.5025, -0.5361, -0.5691, -0.5537, -0.4926, -0.4891, -0.4856, -0.4856, -0.4793, -0.5109, -0.5116, -0.4702, -0.4161, -0.4372, -0.4196, -0.3958, -0.4119, -0.3832, -0.4358, -0.4751, -0.4828, -0.5165, -0.4954, -0.4351, -0.353, -0.3558, -0.3621, -0.3621, -0.4175, -0.4519, -0.4533, -0.4435, -0.4435, -0.3572, -0.2351, -0.2407, -0.2667, -0.1698, -0.1789, -0.1621, -0.0835, -0.0414, -0.0154, -0.0407, -0.0407, 0.0112, 0.0954, 0.2182, 0.127, 0.0, 0.0996, 0.1495, 0.0477, -0.0526, -0.0435, 0.0, -0.1137, -0.2063, -0.1137, -0.0379, -0.1144, -0.1575, -0.2105, -0.2021, -0.2021, -0.2, -0.1523, -0.0996, -0.1249, -0.1028, -0.0961, -0.1284, -0.0884, -0.1825, -0.0407, 0.0316, 0.0337, 0.0582, 0.0779, -0.0109, 0.0295, 0.134, 0.134, 0.113, 0.0905, 0.1909, 0.193, 0.0621, -0.0702, 0.0632, 0.1284, 0.1137, -0.0175, -0.1102, -0.1867, -0.0814, -0.1474, -0.0919, -0.0919, -0.0835, -0.1523, -0.0849, -0.1628, -0.1319, -0.0947, -0.113, -0.0856, -0.0379, -0.1074, -0.1161, -0.1179, -0.0491, -0.12, -0.1719, -0.1796, -0.2042, -0.2232, -0.1775, -0.2119, -0.2281, -0.2681, -0.2547, -0.273, -0.2723, -0.2105, -0.226, -0.3404, -0.3165, -0.334, -0.3733, -0.4, -0.3726, -0.3663, -0.3396, -0.3396, -0.3144, -0.2512, -0.007, 0.0175, 0.0175, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2015127456446087428", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-24T18:19:59+00:00", "symbol": "PDYN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "drone sector stocks like $RCAT, $PDYN too that should be thematically bullish", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Thematically bullish on drone stocks RCAT and PDYN; OSS interesting on defense/war sector tailwinds.", "resolved_tickers": ["PDYN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "No problem! There's a lot of drone sector stocks like $RCAT, $PDYN too that should be thematically bullish.\n\nThere's just too many stocks to look at and I try not to comment if I didn't do enough research into them yet. \n\n$OSS should be interesting going forward with War sector tailwinds", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thanks for this as always ! \nBullish on defense sector but not mentionning $RCAT, bearish on it ? \nThat's one of my highest conviction with $OSS.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "B38B37", "ret_m1d": 0.0747967530103737, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0747967530103737, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07984924278488637, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07984924278488637, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0050524897745126696, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0050524897745126696, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06016258208480174, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06016258208480174, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.056178317355117136, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.056178317355117136, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003984264729684606, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003984264729684606, "ret_p1w": 0.10894310014704423, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10894310014704423, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10507430726696598, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10507430726696598, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0038687928800782423, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0038687928800782423, "ret_p1m": 0.1772357168858889, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1772357168858889, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.18500210434686526, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.18500210434686526, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007766387460976354, "bench_c_p1m": -0.007766387460976354, "ret_p3m": 0.04878044052774633, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04878044052774633, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.023294557601889254, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.023294557601889254, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025485882925857073, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025485882925857073, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3041, 0.3008, 0.361, 0.2602, 0.1528, 0.2163, 0.0992, 0.1317, 0.1268, 0.1073, 0.1008, 0.0098, -0.0341, -0.087, -0.0846, -0.1301, -0.148, -0.161, -0.1382, -0.1317, -0.1057, -0.1057, -0.0732, -0.1301, -0.1398, -0.0537, -0.0325, -0.0748, -0.1106, -0.1366, -0.1626, -0.1496, -0.213, -0.2683, -0.2699, -0.3252, -0.3041, -0.2813, -0.2211, -0.2374, -0.213, -0.213, -0.2683, -0.3008, -0.3057, -0.3073, -0.3073, -0.2325, -0.0846, -0.0537, -0.0618, 0.0569, 0.0309, 0.0195, 0.1593, 0.0992, 0.1423, 0.0976, 0.0976, 0.0959, 0.0748, 0.1415, 0.0748, 0.0, 0.0602, 0.2081, 0.1382, 0.0602, 0.1089, 0.2846, 0.0911, -0.0098, 0.1642, 0.1902, 0.0797, 0.0699, 0.0179, 0.0927, 0.0927, 0.0374, 0.1073, 0.1675, 0.1171, 0.0911, 0.1772, 0.1789, 0.1447, 0.1431, 0.2146, 0.174, 0.2081, 0.6195, 0.387, 0.2715, 0.2276, 0.2081, 0.148, 0.1268, 0.0829, 0.1008, 0.0244, 0.0829, 0.0309, 0.0715, 0.0553, 0.0423, 0.0146, -0.0602, -0.1252, -0.013, 0.0081, 0.0537, 0.0537, 0.0683, 0.0341, 0.0488, 0.0455, 0.0537, 0.0602, 0.0276, 0.0634, 0.078, 0.0683, 0.0911, 0.078, 0.1106, 0.0488, 0.026, 0.0146, 0.0016, -0.0553, -0.0098, 0.0309, 0.0602, -0.0016, 0.0504, 0.0, -0.0065, 0.0715, 0.0911, 0.0813, 0.0829, 0.0488, 0.0049, -0.0341, -0.0293, 0.0098, 0.0407, 0.0407, 0.148, 0.2228, 0.4309, 0.3707, 0.3707, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2015127456446087428", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-24T18:19:59+00:00", "symbol": "OSS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$OSS should be interesting going forward with War sector tailwinds", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Thematically bullish on drone stocks RCAT and PDYN; OSS interesting on defense/war sector tailwinds.", "resolved_tickers": ["OSS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "No problem! There's a lot of drone sector stocks like $RCAT, $PDYN too that should be thematically bullish.\n\nThere's just too many stocks to look at and I try not to comment if I didn't do enough research into them yet. \n\n$OSS should be interesting going forward with War sector tailwinds", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thanks for this as always ! \nBullish on defense sector but not mentionning $RCAT, bearish on it ? \nThat's one of my highest conviction with $OSS.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "B38B37", "ret_m1d": 0.04743087957892067, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04743087957892067, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05248336935343334, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05248336935343334, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0050524897745126696, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0050524897745126696, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.038537583768085915, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.038537583768085915, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03455331903840131, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03455331903840131, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.003984264729684606, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003984264729684606, "ret_p1w": -0.0563240811531619, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0563240811531619, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06019287403324014, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06019287403324014, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0038687928800782423, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0038687928800782423, "ret_p1m": -0.09090909947605397, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09090909947605397, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08314271201507761, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08314271201507761, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007766387460976354, "bench_c_p1m": -0.007766387460976354, "ret_p3m": -0.033596853402445226, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.033596853402445226, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0590827363283023, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0590827363283023, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.025485882925857073, "bench_c_p3m": 0.025485882925857073, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4951, -0.5099, -0.5059, -0.4931, -0.5336, -0.4308, -0.4723, -0.4872, -0.4634, -0.4457, -0.4526, -0.4901, -0.4951, -0.5326, -0.5296, -0.5534, -0.5711, -0.5593, -0.5415, -0.5445, -0.4121, -0.4121, -0.3982, -0.415, -0.4002, -0.3903, -0.3518, -0.3103, -0.2717, -0.252, -0.2362, -0.2253, -0.252, -0.3231, -0.3103, -0.33, -0.2915, -0.2737, -0.2826, -0.2678, -0.2856, -0.2856, -0.2895, -0.2964, -0.2935, -0.2905, -0.2905, -0.3281, -0.3182, -0.3636, -0.2223, -0.1314, -0.2026, 0.0326, 0.1166, 0.1551, 0.0721, 0.0534, 0.0534, 0.0652, 0.1532, 0.1206, 0.0474, 0.0, 0.0385, 0.0237, 0.0494, -0.0227, -0.0563, -0.0573, -0.1146, -0.2045, -0.087, -0.0464, -0.0593, -0.0662, -0.1551, -0.1403, -0.1403, -0.1818, -0.1749, 0.0415, -0.0395, -0.1038, -0.0909, -0.1057, -0.0978, -0.1843, -0.1477, -0.1808, -0.1709, -0.1621, -0.169, -0.1206, -0.0682, -0.0208, 0.003, -0.004, 0.0089, 0.0563, 0.1107, 0.0148, -0.1285, -0.0899, -0.1067, -0.1028, -0.1561, -0.2426, -0.2875, -0.252, -0.2826, -0.2451, -0.2451, -0.2372, -0.247, -0.2125, -0.2263, -0.2292, -0.1245, -0.1344, -0.0287, -0.0356, -0.0198, 0.0, -0.0188, 0.0277, -0.0336, -0.0405, -0.0168, -0.084, -0.1314, -0.0623, -0.0089, -0.0356, -0.0346, 0.5148, 0.4921, 0.5494, 0.5731, 0.5366, 0.5672, 0.7036, 0.6275, 0.58, 0.5227, 0.5504, 0.6314, 0.7619, 0.7619, 0.7233, 0.7352, 0.7698, 0.7964, 0.7964, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2024569714664722703", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-19T19:40:09+00:00", "symbol": "XLU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I think this year is its time to shine, esp. with different index weightings toward independent companies like $VST. I'd expect $XLU IV 14% -> 26-28% if things go as planned.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish XLU: expects IV to expand 14%→26-28% this year; VST named as a key independent-company weighting beneficiary.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Appreciate it! Thing to note is the IV is one of the lowest out of all the index’s since this hasn’t moved since the 2000’s. \n\nBut I think this year is its time to shine, esp. with different index weightings toward independent companies like $VST.\n\nI’d expect $XLU IV 14% -> 26-28% if things go as planned.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Great stuff Serenity!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SonofMaurkelind", "ret_m1d": -0.010843636267906964, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010843636267906964, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.013488044660771914, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.013488044660771914, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0026444083928649498, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0026444083928649498, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004771259940194339, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004771259940194339, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0024606046489286104, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0024606046489286104, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007231864589122949, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007231864589122949, "ret_p1w": 0.023205408272127803, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.023205408272127803, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01616354766727679, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01616354766727679, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0070418606048510135, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0070418606048510135, "ret_p1m": -0.031663331261166494, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.031663331261166494, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.018212044007879125, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.018212044007879125, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04987537526904562, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04987537526904562, "ret_p3m": -0.0316634145699376, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0316634145699376, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.10654340358278958, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10654340358278958, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07487998901285198, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07487998901285198, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0405, -0.0441, -0.0314, -0.0314, -0.0245, -0.0474, -0.0541, -0.0572, -0.0591, -0.0679, -0.0804, -0.0798, -0.0802, -0.0735, -0.078, -0.0696, -0.0735, -0.0795, -0.0705, -0.0823, -0.0789, -0.0757, -0.0716, -0.0716, -0.0722, -0.0705, -0.0683, -0.0742, -0.0742, -0.0635, -0.074, -0.0694, -0.092, -0.0894, -0.0781, -0.0766, -0.0707, -0.0638, -0.0542, -0.059, -0.059, -0.0683, -0.067, -0.0737, -0.077, -0.0703, -0.0581, -0.0603, -0.0603, -0.062, -0.0757, -0.0622, -0.0657, -0.0653, -0.0599, -0.057, -0.0414, -0.033, -0.0187, 0.0085, 0.0085, 0.0059, -0.0108, 0.0, 0.0048, 0.0124, 0.0236, 0.0271, 0.0232, 0.0351, 0.0273, 0.0208, 0.0252, 0.0171, 0.0137, 0.016, 0.0098, 0.0013, 0.0085, 0.0184, 0.0249, 0.0221, 0.0134, 0.0093, -0.0317, -0.0221, -0.0153, -0.0118, -0.01, -0.0044, 0.0028, 0.0022, 0.007, 0.012, 0.012, 0.0083, 0.0105, 0.0216, 0.0297, 0.0256, 0.0131, 0.0149, 0.005, 0.0122, 0.0081, -0.0009, -0.0183, -0.0201, 0.0066, 0.0085, 0.0087, 0.01, -0.0024, 0.0232, 0.0166, 0.0127, 0.0127, -0.0017, -0.0146, -0.0234, -0.0142, -0.0131, -0.0245, -0.0194, -0.0419, -0.0404, -0.0317, -0.028, -0.0172, -0.0096, -0.0096, -0.01, -0.0142, -0.0253, -0.0299, -0.0299, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2024569714664722703", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-19T19:40:09+00:00", "symbol": "VST", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "different index weightings toward independent companies like $VST", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish XLU: expects IV to expand 14%→26-28% this year; VST named as a key independent-company weighting beneficiary.", "resolved_tickers": ["VST"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Utilities - Independent Power Producers", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Appreciate it! Thing to note is the IV is one of the lowest out of all the index’s since this hasn’t moved since the 2000’s. \n\nBut I think this year is its time to shine, esp. with different index weightings toward independent companies like $VST.\n\nI’d expect $XLU IV 14% -> 26-28% if things go as planned.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Great stuff Serenity!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SonofMaurkelind", "ret_m1d": -0.01118838998154048, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01118838998154048, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01383279837440543, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01383279837440543, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0026444083928649498, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0026444083928649498, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00637686499739587, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00637686499739587, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01360872958651882, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01360872958651882, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007231864589122949, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007231864589122949, "ret_p1w": 0.02504349150896945, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02504349150896945, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.018001630904118437, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.018001630904118437, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0070418606048510135, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0070418606048510135, "ret_p1m": -0.15235252746785521, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15235252746785521, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1024771521988096, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1024771521988096, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04987537526904562, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04987537526904562, "ret_p3m": -0.21800716768412587, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21800716768412587, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.29288715669697785, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.29288715669697785, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07487998901285198, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07487998901285198, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0139, -0.011, 0.0235, 0.0235, 0.0354, 0.0052, -0.0011, -0.0063, 0.0193, -0.0322, -0.0383, -0.0459, -0.0438, 0.0108, -0.0153, -0.026, 0.0041, -0.0739, -0.038, -0.0562, -0.0634, -0.0628, -0.0611, -0.0611, -0.0628, -0.0618, -0.0573, -0.0648, -0.0648, -0.0421, -0.0555, -0.0172, -0.1038, -0.127, -0.0355, 0.0005, -0.0063, -0.0205, 0.0445, -0.0342, -0.0342, -0.091, -0.0723, -0.0704, -0.0718, -0.0794, -0.0478, -0.0398, -0.0575, -0.082, -0.1057, -0.113, -0.1738, -0.1706, -0.1325, -0.1132, -0.0748, -0.0716, -0.0545, -0.0059, -0.0059, 0.0068, -0.0112, 0.0, -0.0064, -0.0272, -0.0051, 0.0166, 0.025, 0.0081, -0.0377, -0.0626, -0.053, -0.0296, -0.0803, -0.0515, -0.047, -0.0773, -0.0749, -0.0786, -0.0609, -0.0474, -0.0138, -0.0297, -0.1524, -0.1218, -0.1135, -0.1205, -0.1159, -0.0974, -0.1435, -0.1273, -0.1063, -0.1224, -0.1224, -0.12, -0.1079, -0.0951, -0.1133, -0.1018, -0.0816, -0.0482, -0.0541, -0.0391, -0.0511, -0.0735, -0.1007, -0.0956, -0.0895, -0.0459, -0.033, -0.0647, -0.1072, -0.0837, -0.0986, -0.0663, -0.069, -0.0811, -0.1063, -0.1425, -0.1173, -0.1474, -0.1721, -0.1763, -0.1892, -0.2062, -0.218, -0.1641, -0.1346, -0.0929, -0.0929, -0.0447, -0.0703, -0.0696, -0.0699, -0.0699, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013531212254470206", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-20T08:37:05+00:00", "symbol": "OSS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$OSS down -6.1% ... the TACO trade presents great opportunities", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Buying dip across oversold names (OSS, SKYT, LITE) on thesis that Trump de-escalation leads to trade deal and markets at ATH.", "resolved_tickers": ["OSS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "These types of selloffs are both risk-management and stems from irrational fear, eg. $OSS down -6.1% $SKYT down -6.3%, so the TACO trade presents great opportunities. \n\nEsp. when healthy companies like $LITE drop another 3.78% overnight after a 6% drop on friday. \n\nI'm going dip hunting -> Trump de-escalates (markets start to recovery) -> Trade deal made, markets ATH. \n\nOf course this might be one day or 4-5 days, who knows.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit This is the cleanest buy the dip opportunity ever", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "itachidata28", "ret_m1d": -0.01113171507714017, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01113171507714017, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03191151064646913, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03191151064646913, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.020779795569328963, "bench_c_m1d": 0.020779795569328963, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08256033073921532, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08256033073921532, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07101925153712085, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07101925153712085, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011541079202094462, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011541079202094462, "ret_p1w": -0.025046336806813452, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.025046336806813452, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05147861830025113, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05147861830025113, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02643228149343768, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02643228149343768, "ret_p1m": -0.22541738512935072, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.22541738512935072, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2382719582641456, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2382719582641456, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012854573134794878, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012854573134794878, "ret_p3m": -0.0797773356196747, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0797773356196747, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.13069297420922688, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.13069297420922688, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091563858955217, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05091563858955217, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5232, -0.5158, -0.5111, -0.5306, -0.526, -0.5399, -0.5362, -0.5241, -0.5622, -0.4657, -0.5046, -0.5186, -0.4963, -0.4796, -0.4861, -0.5213, -0.526, -0.5612, -0.5584, -0.5807, -0.5974, -0.5863, -0.5696, -0.5724, -0.4481, -0.4481, -0.4351, -0.4508, -0.4369, -0.4276, -0.3915, -0.3525, -0.3163, -0.2978, -0.2829, -0.2727, -0.2978, -0.3646, -0.3525, -0.3711, -0.3349, -0.3182, -0.3265, -0.3126, -0.3293, -0.3293, -0.333, -0.3395, -0.3367, -0.334, -0.334, -0.3692, -0.3599, -0.4026, -0.2699, -0.1846, -0.2514, -0.0306, 0.0482, 0.0844, 0.0065, -0.0111, -0.0111, 0.0, 0.0826, 0.0519, -0.0167, -0.0612, -0.025, -0.039, -0.0148, -0.0826, -0.1141, -0.115, -0.1688, -0.2532, -0.1429, -0.1048, -0.1169, -0.1234, -0.2069, -0.1929, -0.1929, -0.2319, -0.2254, -0.0223, -0.0983, -0.1586, -0.1466, -0.1605, -0.1531, -0.2342, -0.1999, -0.231, -0.2217, -0.2134, -0.2199, -0.1744, -0.1252, -0.0807, -0.0584, -0.0649, -0.0529, -0.0083, 0.0427, -0.0473, -0.1818, -0.1456, -0.1614, -0.1577, -0.2078, -0.289, -0.3312, -0.2978, -0.3265, -0.2913, -0.2913, -0.2839, -0.2931, -0.2607, -0.2737, -0.2764, -0.1781, -0.1874, -0.0881, -0.0946, -0.0798, -0.0612, -0.0788, -0.0353, -0.0928, -0.0993, -0.077, -0.1401, -0.1846, -0.1197, -0.0696, -0.0946, -0.0937, 0.4221, 0.4007, 0.4545, 0.4768, 0.4425, 0.4712, 0.5993, 0.5278, 0.4833, 0.4295, 0.4555, 0.5315, 0.654, 0.654, 0.6178, 0.6289, 0.6614, 0.6865, 0.6865, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013531212254470206", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-20T08:37:05+00:00", "symbol": "SKYT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SKYT down -6.3%, so the TACO trade presents great opportunities", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Buying dip across oversold names (OSS, SKYT, LITE) on thesis that Trump de-escalation leads to trade deal and markets at ATH.", "resolved_tickers": ["SKYT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "These types of selloffs are both risk-management and stems from irrational fear, eg. $OSS down -6.1% $SKYT down -6.3%, so the TACO trade presents great opportunities. \n\nEsp. when healthy companies like $LITE drop another 3.78% overnight after a 6% drop on friday. \n\nI'm going dip hunting -> Trump de-escalates (markets start to recovery) -> Trade deal made, markets ATH. \n\nOf course this might be one day or 4-5 days, who knows.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit This is the cleanest buy the dip opportunity ever", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "itachidata28", "ret_m1d": -0.0483036332415232, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0483036332415232, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06908342881085217, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06908342881085217, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.020779795569328963, "bench_c_m1d": 0.020779795569328963, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.025589402555649787, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.025589402555649787, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03713048175774425, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03713048175774425, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011541079202094462, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011541079202094462, "ret_p1w": -0.03565261378064366, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03565261378064366, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06208489527408134, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06208489527408134, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02643228149343768, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02643228149343768, "ret_p1m": -0.17366300230505116, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17366300230505116, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.18651757543984604, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.18651757543984604, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012854573134794878, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012854573134794878, "ret_p3m": -0.05434155997651957, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05434155997651957, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.10525719856607174, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10525719856607174, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091563858955217, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05091563858955217, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5112, -0.5026, -0.5135, -0.527, -0.515, -0.523, -0.4973, -0.538, -0.5871, -0.5771, -0.462, -0.4825, -0.3203, -0.3649, -0.385, -0.4931, -0.5046, -0.5224, -0.5483, -0.571, -0.6101, -0.5986, -0.575, -0.5742, -0.5811, -0.5811, -0.5575, -0.561, -0.5147, -0.4738, -0.4687, -0.483, -0.4546, -0.4454, -0.4431, -0.4186, -0.4951, -0.5288, -0.5308, -0.5733, -0.5489, -0.5236, -0.481, -0.4957, -0.4859, -0.4859, -0.4773, -0.4698, -0.4606, -0.4779, -0.4779, -0.3551, -0.2766, -0.1869, -0.1932, -0.2148, -0.1495, -0.1314, -0.1584, -0.1248, -0.0791, -0.0483, -0.0483, 0.0, -0.0256, -0.0489, -0.0995, -0.0699, -0.0357, -0.0328, -0.0523, -0.0897, -0.0995, -0.0877, -0.1426, -0.182, -0.1274, -0.1279, -0.1374, -0.1547, -0.1832, -0.1596, -0.1596, -0.1728, -0.1737, -0.1711, -0.1909, -0.2018, -0.1915, -0.1719, -0.1136, -0.153, -0.138, -0.1417, -0.1573, -0.1599, -0.1685, -0.1714, -0.1714, -0.1906, -0.2133, -0.2108, -0.199, -0.2041, -0.2133, -0.2039, -0.2082, -0.1593, -0.1604, -0.1711, -0.1987, -0.2237, -0.2473, -0.2119, -0.2194, -0.1843, -0.1843, -0.1794, -0.1929, -0.1725, -0.1826, -0.1725, -0.1633, -0.0975, -0.073, -0.0647, -0.0543, -0.0391, -0.0345, -0.0141, -0.0391, -0.0345, -0.0851, -0.1041, -0.1228, -0.0828, -0.0802, -0.0745, -0.0388, -0.017, -0.0495, -0.0305, 0.0089, 0.0233, 0.0035, 0.0299, -0.0017, -0.0141, -0.0152, 0.0101, 0.0638, 0.0699, 0.0699, 0.0745, 0.0891, 0.1205, 0.1208, 0.1208, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013531212254470206", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-20T08:37:05+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "healthy companies like $LITE drop another 3.78% overnight after a 6% drop on friday", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Buying dip across oversold names (OSS, SKYT, LITE) on thesis that Trump de-escalation leads to trade deal and markets at ATH.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "These types of selloffs are both risk-management and stems from irrational fear, eg. $OSS down -6.1% $SKYT down -6.3%, so the TACO trade presents great opportunities. \n\nEsp. when healthy companies like $LITE drop another 3.78% overnight after a 6% drop on friday. \n\nI'm going dip hunting -> Trump de-escalates (markets start to recovery) -> Trade deal made, markets ATH. \n\nOf course this might be one day or 4-5 days, who knows.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit This is the cleanest buy the dip opportunity ever", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "itachidata28", "ret_m1d": -0.09130394809368825, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09130394809368825, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11208374366301721, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.11208374366301721, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.020779795569328963, "bench_c_m1d": 0.020779795569328963, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.015721817336684207, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015721817336684207, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004180738134589745, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004180738134589745, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011541079202094462, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011541079202094462, "ret_p1w": 0.03875800131792695, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03875800131792695, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.012325719824489267, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.012325719824489267, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02643228149343768, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02643228149343768, "ret_p1m": 0.665386968943191, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.665386968943191, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6525323958083962, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.6525323958083962, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012854573134794878, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012854573134794878, "ret_p3m": 1.5055910124390586, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.5055910124390586, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.4546753738495064, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.4546753738495064, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091563858955217, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05091563858955217, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5278, -0.4975, -0.4569, -0.444, -0.3995, -0.4391, -0.4351, -0.4407, -0.4721, -0.3477, -0.3283, -0.3271, -0.2717, -0.2925, -0.2887, -0.3642, -0.3494, -0.3216, -0.3066, -0.2464, -0.3464, -0.2837, -0.1611, -0.1837, -0.1361, -0.1361, -0.0888, -0.109, -0.1514, -0.1509, -0.0812, -0.0712, -0.04, 0.0098, 0.0257, 0.0428, -0.091, -0.062, -0.114, -0.1025, -0.0552, 0.0409, 0.0926, 0.0857, 0.1095, 0.1095, 0.0951, 0.0442, 0.0402, 0.033, 0.033, 0.0821, 0.0006, 0.1138, 0.101, -0.024, -0.0152, -0.0475, 0.0126, -0.0706, -0.038, -0.0913, -0.0913, 0.0, 0.0157, -0.0066, -0.0494, -0.0683, 0.0388, 0.0789, 0.069, 0.0981, 0.1866, 0.2193, 0.3047, 0.4136, 0.5469, 0.6174, 0.5725, 0.6089, 0.6351, 0.5771, 0.5771, 0.6827, 0.6654, 0.7814, 0.8714, 0.8909, 0.9288, 1.0273, 0.8973, 0.9643, 1.195, 0.9461, 0.9079, 0.8239, 0.565, 0.7955, 0.8832, 0.8832, 0.7266, 0.7445, 0.7511, 0.8204, 0.964, 1.1639, 0.9795, 1.0428, 1.2475, 1.178, 0.9303, 0.9694, 0.835, 0.9695, 1.1429, 1.3173, 1.3173, 1.1643, 1.2861, 1.5111, 1.5058, 1.5146, 1.4414, 1.3899, 1.3093, 1.4976, 1.5056, 1.5085, 1.3454, 1.4482, 1.3734, 1.4708, 1.4092, 1.2178, 1.4054, 1.5287, 1.6621, 1.7357, 1.7872, 1.6463, 1.5014, 1.5329, 1.9512, 1.7811, 1.8876, 1.8075, 1.7203, 1.4801, 1.4944, 1.4327, 1.703, 1.6536, 1.6536, 1.5525, 1.5287, 1.4118, 1.396, 1.396, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013531212254470206", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-01-20T08:37:05+00:00", "symbol": "S&P500", "kind": "index", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Trump de-escalates (markets start to recovery) -> Trade deal made, markets ATH", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Buying dip across oversold names (OSS, SKYT, LITE) on thesis that Trump de-escalation leads to trade deal and markets at ATH.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPY"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "S&P 500 proxied by SPY ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "These types of selloffs are both risk-management and stems from irrational fear, eg. $OSS down -6.1% $SKYT down -6.3%, so the TACO trade presents great opportunities. \n\nEsp. when healthy companies like $LITE drop another 3.78% overnight after a 6% drop on friday. \n\nI'm going dip hunting -> Trump de-escalates (markets start to recovery) -> Trade deal made, markets ATH. \n\nOf course this might be one day or 4-5 days, who knows.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit This is the cleanest buy the dip opportunity ever", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "itachidata28", "ret_m1d": 0.020779795569328963, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.020779795569328963, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.020779795569328963, "bench_c_m1d": 0.020779795569328963, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011541079202094462, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011541079202094462, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011541079202094462, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011541079202094462, "ret_p1w": 0.02643228149343768, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02643228149343768, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02643228149343768, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02643228149343768, "ret_p1m": 0.012854573134794878, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.012854573134794878, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012854573134794878, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012854573134794878, "ret_p3m": 0.05091563858955217, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.05091563858955217, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091563858955217, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05091563858955217, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0115, -0.0034, 0.0083, 0.011, 0.0115, 0.0004, 0.0036, 0.0055, -0.0064, -0.0029, -0.0136, -0.0127, 0.0027, 0.005, 0.0056, -0.0111, -0.0113, -0.0205, -0.0287, -0.0249, -0.0398, -0.0302, -0.016, -0.0067, 0.0001, 0.0001, 0.0056, 0.001, 0.0029, 0.0063, 0.0071, 0.009, 0.006, 0.0051, 0.0118, 0.0141, 0.0032, 0.0017, -0.001, -0.012, -0.0046, 0.0044, 0.0107, 0.0153, 0.0189, 0.0189, 0.0188, 0.0152, 0.0139, 0.0064, 0.0064, 0.0082, 0.015, 0.021, 0.0177, 0.0176, 0.0243, 0.0259, 0.0239, 0.0189, 0.0216, 0.0208, 0.0208, 0.0, 0.0115, 0.0168, 0.0172, 0.0224, 0.0264, 0.0263, 0.0243, 0.0212, 0.0263, 0.0176, 0.0127, 0.0001, 0.0192, 0.0242, 0.0215, 0.0212, 0.0054, 0.0062, 0.0062, 0.0078, 0.0129, 0.0102, 0.0175, 0.0071, 0.0144, 0.023, 0.0173, 0.0124, 0.013, 0.0041, 0.0111, 0.0055, -0.0077, 0.001, -0.0006, -0.0018, -0.017, -0.0226, -0.0126, -0.01, -0.0238, -0.0262, -0.0402, -0.0301, -0.0334, -0.028, -0.0453, -0.0616, -0.0648, -0.0376, -0.0303, -0.0295, -0.0295, -0.0249, -0.0244, 0.0004, 0.0062, 0.0055, 0.0153, 0.0277, 0.0358, 0.0384, 0.0509, 0.0488, 0.0419, 0.0525, 0.0484, 0.0565, 0.0584, 0.0532, 0.053, 0.0635, 0.0665, 0.0626, 0.0711, 0.086, 0.0826, 0.0916, 0.0941, 0.0924, 0.0985, 0.1072, 0.0939, 0.0931, 0.0858, 0.097, 0.0991, 0.1035, 0.1035, 0.1108, 0.1106, 0.1167, 0.1195, 0.1195, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2027723157017358404", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-28T12:30:48+00:00", "symbol": "S&P500", "kind": "index", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "generally markets as a whole go up (short term down)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "War historically bullish for US markets; long US equities broadly, defense sector, and oil as geopolitical risk premium rises.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPY"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "S&P 500 proxied by SPY ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "You all do realize War is bullish for markets right anon?\n\nGeneral rule of thumb is:\n\nAs long as it’s not in your territory, War is bullish. \n\nThere’s the retail on X “panic sell everything from $NVDA to $HOOD it’s over” following US/Israel forcing a regime change in Iran.\n\nBut institutions have largely frontran it as seen with the rise of big defense + oil sectors (and selloff of anything high beta) leading up to the actual event. \n\nU.S. stocks generated positive performance one year after an act of aggression in roughly 73% of armed conflicts since WWII. \n\nAnd it’s likely the US already prepared for any Oil volatility by taking over Venezuela earlier for oil reserves.\n\nAnnualized returns during the Korean War (+18.7%), WWII (+16.9%), and the Gulf War (+11.7%) all beat peacetime averages. \n\nAfter Russia invaded Ukraine on February 24, 2022, the S&P 500 index fell more than 7%. \n\nShortly after, markets rebounded and the S&P was trading at a level higher than before the invasion, even as the price of oil remained elevated above $100 a barrel.\n\nThere’s different implications on different sectors with Iran and Oil impacts, but generally markets as a whole go up (short term down).\n\nTLDR: It’s obviously multifaceted and more sectors are impacted than others depending on the conflict. \n\nBut rule of thumb is War is bullish, as long as long as it’s not on your own territory.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "ret_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "ret_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "ret_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0066, -0.0058, -0.0039, -0.0069, -0.0078, -0.0012, 0.0011, -0.0097, -0.0112, -0.0139, -0.0247, -0.0173, -0.0084, -0.0023, 0.0023, 0.0058, 0.0058, 0.0057, 0.0021, 0.0009, -0.0065, -0.0065, -0.0047, 0.002, 0.0079, 0.0047, 0.0046, 0.0112, 0.0128, 0.0108, 0.0058, 0.0085, 0.0077, 0.0077, -0.0128, -0.0014, 0.0038, 0.0042, 0.0093, 0.0133, 0.0132, 0.0112, 0.0081, 0.0132, 0.0046, -0.0003, -0.0128, 0.0062, 0.011, 0.0084, 0.0081, -0.0074, -0.0067, -0.0067, -0.0051, -0.0001, -0.0028, 0.0044, -0.0058, 0.0014, 0.0099, 0.0043, -0.0006, 0.0, -0.0088, -0.0018, -0.0074, -0.0204, -0.0118, -0.0134, -0.0146, -0.0296, -0.0351, -0.0253, -0.0227, -0.0364, -0.0387, -0.0525, -0.0426, -0.0458, -0.0405, -0.0576, -0.0737, -0.0768, -0.0499, -0.0428, -0.0419, -0.0419, -0.0374, -0.0369, -0.0124, -0.0067, -0.0074, 0.0023, 0.0145, 0.0225, 0.0251, 0.0374, 0.0354, 0.0286, 0.039, 0.035, 0.043, 0.0448, 0.0397, 0.0395, 0.0499, 0.0528, 0.0489, 0.0574, 0.0721, 0.0688, 0.0776, 0.08, 0.0784, 0.0844, 0.093, 0.0799, 0.0791, 0.0719, 0.0829, 0.085, 0.0893, 0.0893, 0.0965, 0.0963, 0.1024, 0.1051, 0.1051, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2027723157017358404", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-28T12:30:48+00:00", "symbol": "defense", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "rise of big defense + oil sectors", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "War historically bullish for US markets; long US equities broadly, defense sector, and oil as geopolitical risk premium rises.", "resolved_tickers": ["ITA"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "US defense sector proxied by ITA ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "You all do realize War is bullish for markets right anon?\n\nGeneral rule of thumb is:\n\nAs long as it’s not in your territory, War is bullish. \n\nThere’s the retail on X “panic sell everything from $NVDA to $HOOD it’s over” following US/Israel forcing a regime change in Iran.\n\nBut institutions have largely frontran it as seen with the rise of big defense + oil sectors (and selloff of anything high beta) leading up to the actual event. \n\nU.S. stocks generated positive performance one year after an act of aggression in roughly 73% of armed conflicts since WWII. \n\nAnd it’s likely the US already prepared for any Oil volatility by taking over Venezuela earlier for oil reserves.\n\nAnnualized returns during the Korean War (+18.7%), WWII (+16.9%), and the Gulf War (+11.7%) all beat peacetime averages. \n\nAfter Russia invaded Ukraine on February 24, 2022, the S&P 500 index fell more than 7%. \n\nShortly after, markets rebounded and the S&P was trading at a level higher than before the invasion, even as the price of oil remained elevated above $100 a barrel.\n\nThere’s different implications on different sectors with Iran and Oil impacts, but generally markets as a whole go up (short term down).\n\nTLDR: It’s obviously multifaceted and more sectors are impacted than others depending on the conflict. \n\nBut rule of thumb is War is bullish, as long as long as it’s not on your own territory.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.027376465288462715, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.027376465288462715, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02680820960425634, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02680820960425634, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02234817969675762, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02234817969675762, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01353384121396195, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01353384121396195, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "ret_p1w": -0.034280402981861524, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.034280402981861524, "alpha_spy_p1w": 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{"unit_id": "orig:2027723157017358404", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-28T12:30:48+00:00", "symbol": "oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "rise of big defense + oil sectors", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "War historically bullish for US markets; long US equities broadly, defense sector, and oil as geopolitical risk premium rises.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Oil proxied by USO ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "You all do realize War is bullish for markets right anon?\n\nGeneral rule of thumb is:\n\nAs long as it’s not in your territory, War is bullish. \n\nThere’s the retail on X “panic sell everything from $NVDA to $HOOD it’s over” following US/Israel forcing a regime change in Iran.\n\nBut institutions have largely frontran it as seen with the rise of big defense + oil sectors (and selloff of anything high beta) leading up to the actual event. \n\nU.S. stocks generated positive performance one year after an act of aggression in roughly 73% of armed conflicts since WWII. \n\nAnd it’s likely the US already prepared for any Oil volatility by taking over Venezuela earlier for oil reserves.\n\nAnnualized returns during the Korean War (+18.7%), WWII (+16.9%), and the Gulf War (+11.7%) all beat peacetime averages. \n\nAfter Russia invaded Ukraine on February 24, 2022, the S&P 500 index fell more than 7%. \n\nShortly after, markets rebounded and the S&P was trading at a level higher than before the invasion, even as the price of oil remained elevated above $100 a barrel.\n\nThere’s different implications on different sectors with Iran and Oil impacts, but generally markets as a whole go up (short term down).\n\nTLDR: It’s obviously multifaceted and more sectors are impacted than others depending on the conflict. \n\nBut rule of thumb is War is bullish, as long as long as it’s not on your own territory.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.060098696483985914, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.060098696483985914, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05953044079977954, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05953044079977954, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0345222436352004, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0345222436352004, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04333658211799607, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04333658211799607, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "ret_p1w": 0.19658216435040154, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.19658216435040154, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2083977452739164, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2083977452739164, 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{"unit_id": "reply:2012551993550659716", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-17T15:46:01+00:00", "symbol": "INTC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "support is expected to continue in any administration since Intel is now a national security issue", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bipartisan CHIPS Act support and national-security status mean Intel will continue to receive government backing regardless of administration.", "resolved_tickers": ["INTC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@traderofstox I think the issue regarding $INTC is bipartisan ensuring American domestic capability like CHIPS act.\n\nOther ways like taking a 10% stake, not so much. Either way support is expected to continue in any administration since Intel is now a national security issue.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Think there is any WH Administration risk? Dems going to keep the party going? 🤔", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "traderofstox", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.034071599659536655, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.034071599659536655, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0544283853830817, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0544283853830817, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "ret_p1w": -0.09518734014379204, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09518734014379204, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09673433127126752, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09673433127126752, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "ret_p1m": -0.016609855078868252, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.016609855078868252, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.003872374509167109, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.003872374509167109, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "ret_p3m": 0.4586882737535989, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4586882737535989, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4414598026397183, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4414598026397183, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2138, -0.1874, -0.1848, -0.158, -0.1156, -0.1197, -0.1448, -0.1484, -0.1589, -0.2115, -0.1827, -0.207, -0.188, -0.1812, -0.1934, -0.1931, -0.2353, -0.2436, -0.2609, -0.269, -0.2523, -0.2841, -0.2653, -0.2379, -0.237, -0.2161, -0.2161, -0.1363, -0.148, -0.0743, -0.0681, -0.1376, -0.1182, -0.1418, -0.1376, -0.1316, -0.1586, -0.1948, -0.2012, -0.2055, -0.2323, -0.2274, -0.2159, -0.2255, -0.2259, -0.23, -0.23, -0.2291, -0.2189, -0.2057, -0.2142, -0.2142, -0.1614, -0.1616, -0.1474, -0.0922, -0.1246, -0.03, -0.0618, 0.007, 0.0375, 0.029, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0341, 0.1552, 0.1567, -0.0402, -0.0952, -0.0645, 0.0388, 0.0362, -0.0104, 0.0394, 0.0488, 0.0349, 0.0273, 0.0773, 0.0698, 0.0036, 0.0283, -0.0102, -0.0036, -0.0036, -0.0166, -0.0319, -0.0498, -0.0607, -0.0709, -0.0179, -0.0017, -0.0319, -0.0287, -0.0311, -0.0822, -0.0294, -0.0215, -0.0754, -0.0294, -0.0038, 0.0217, -0.0364, -0.0253, -0.0256, -0.0618, -0.0411, -0.0166, -0.0658, -0.0628, -0.0618, 0.0047, -0.0609, -0.0816, -0.1229, -0.0603, 0.0228, 0.0728, 0.0728, 0.0813, 0.1267, 0.2553, 0.3143, 0.3284, 0.388, 0.3588, 0.3829, 0.4587, 0.4587, 0.3991, 0.411, 0.3899, 0.4221, 0.7577, 0.8098, 0.7998, 1.0177, 1.0119, 1.1214, 1.0396, 1.303, 1.4065, 1.3343, 1.6601, 1.7564, 1.5684, 1.5615, 1.4687, 1.3162, 1.3034, 1.3595, 1.5332, 1.5234, 1.552, 1.552, 1.6303, 1.5931, 1.5743, 1.4421, 1.4421, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2027452273367076902", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-27T18:34:24+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Si $AAOI atteint ses objectifs, l'action est extrêmement sous-évaluée", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AAOI: stock is deeply undervalued if it hits its targets; execution risk is main concern but $250M ATM dilution is manageable.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "fr", "tweet_text": "D'accord ! Si $AAOI atteint ses objectifs, l'action est extrêmement sous-évaluée. Cela dit, il faudra surveiller comment les marchés intègrent le risque d'exécution, qui reste le principal frein. La dilution liée à l'ATM de 250 millions de dollars n'est pas grand-chose en comparaison.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$AAOI est entrain d’exploser c’est une boîte de photonique qui suscite un engouement massif actuellement\n\nAprès avoir pas mal parlé avec Serenity et des acteurs clés du secteur, le narratif semble inarretable \n\nJe dropperai mon article sur la photonique et la chaîne de value", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Frenchie_", "ret_m1d": -0.3625786953944201, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.3625786953944201, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.3674038085726452, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.3674038085726452, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.21702478987010654, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.21702478987010654, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.21645621108777524, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.21645621108777524, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "ret_p1w": 0.1347500655559073, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1347500655559073, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15459001236840897, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15459001236840897, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "ret_p1m": 0.011397353035883961, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.011397353035883961, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08762893098965874, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08762893098965874, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "ret_p3m": 1.1349874707828982, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.1349874707828982, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.0380187816928927, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.0380187816928927, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6911, -0.6955, -0.6885, -0.6843, -0.6695, -0.6393, -0.5847, -0.5688, -0.6194, -0.645, -0.6562, -0.6778, -0.6527, -0.6282, -0.5359, -0.5175, -0.5132, -0.5132, -0.5587, -0.5637, -0.5724, -0.5861, -0.5861, -0.5299, -0.5846, -0.5416, -0.5482, -0.6081, -0.5959, -0.5997, -0.5942, -0.5908, -0.5607, -0.5603, -0.5603, -0.5339, -0.5443, -0.5471, -0.5759, -0.5858, -0.5561, -0.463, -0.5302, -0.4823, -0.4757, -0.4525, -0.5263, -0.5473, -0.4741, -0.4312, -0.4243, -0.4254, -0.4777, -0.4722, -0.4722, -0.4787, -0.4843, -0.4422, -0.3864, -0.3594, -0.3319, -0.31, -0.3626, 0.0, 0.217, 0.1319, 0.1838, 0.2008, 0.1348, 0.3133, 0.4305, 0.5079, 0.2607, 0.1494, 0.1168, 0.0249, 0.0997, 0.21, 0.0393, 0.1369, 0.3522, 0.3583, 0.1566, 0.166, 0.0114, 0.0043, 0.0252, 0.2336, 0.2336, 0.2757, 0.3967, 0.5754, 0.5826, 0.788, 0.8187, 0.738, 0.6924, 0.8677, 0.8927, 0.9408, 0.7876, 0.774, 0.6352, 0.9253, 0.7307, 0.6296, 0.8144, 0.9513, 1.1787, 1.0537, 1.1438, 1.1197, 0.8705, 0.7683, 1.1952, 1.2353, 1.6487, 1.4168, 1.26, 1.057, 1.0341, 0.962, 1.0991, 1.1547, 1.1547, 1.1087, 1.135, 1.0066, 0.8807, 0.8807, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2032028848712532384", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-12T09:40:05+00:00", "symbol": "TSEM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSEM is more pure play to photonics ramp than $TSM, and at 1/100th the valuation. Arguably leads to faster re-rating potential", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long TSEM as the purer photonics play at 1/100th TSM's valuation, with faster re-rating potential.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSEM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@zephyr_z9 True, but $TSEM is more pure play to photonics ramp than $TSM, and at 1/100th the valuation.\n\nArguably leads to faster re-rating potential", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "While I love Tower (will go long again soon), but the TSMC of photonics is still TSMC\n\nCOUPE is extremely strong and unmatched for now", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "zephyr_z9", "ret_m1d": 0.007592386695865372, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007592386695865372, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.007826700219926819, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.007826700219926819, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01541908691579219, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01541908691579219, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05204992509947859, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05204992509947859, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05771003460048496, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05771003460048496, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005660109501006372, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005660109501006372, "ret_p1w": 0.4010460650274903, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.4010460650274903, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.41044457214937435, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.41044457214937435, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009398507121884059, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009398507121884059, "ret_p1m": 0.7174792877129355, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.7174792877129355, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6945749520078615, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.6945749520078615, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022904335705073997, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022904335705073997, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0024, -0.031, -0.0502, -0.0156, 0.0052, -0.0016, 0.0215, 0.0332, 0.0332, 0.0259, 0.0217, 0.018, -0.0094, -0.0094, 0.027, 0.0063, 0.0316, 0.031, -0.0102, 0.0126, 0.0233, 0.0526, 0.0393, 0.0461, 0.0952, 0.0952, 0.0882, 0.1255, 0.0965, 0.085, 0.0718, 0.1188, 0.172, 0.1364, 0.1366, 0.1548, 0.1507, 0.0231, 0.0889, 0.1729, 0.2446, 0.1521, 0.1341, 0.1269, 0.086, 0.086, 0.0779, 0.0828, 0.0618, 0.0838, 0.075, 0.063, 0.0627, 0.0447, 0.0534, 0.1691, 0.059, 0.0418, 0.0169, -0.0671, -0.026, -0.014, 0.0076, 0.0, 0.052, 0.1681, 0.163, 0.1976, 0.401, 0.3804, 0.4521, 0.5254, 0.5922, 0.4736, 0.4503, 0.3378, 0.4803, 0.5781, 0.6686, 0.6686, 0.6044, 0.6101, 0.7182, 0.7194, 0.7175, 0.7671, 0.8062, 0.819, 0.8116, 0.9103, 0.8938, 0.8282, 0.7387, 0.6979, 0.6917, 0.7153, 0.6328, 0.6803, 0.8648, 0.8391, 0.8142, 0.9026, 0.8295, 0.7716, 0.7802, 0.9308, 0.8629, 1.2842, 1.3679, 1.3113, 1.0927, 1.1198, 1.2311, 1.3537, 1.391, 1.391, 1.434, 1.3434, 1.3241, 1.1531, 1.1531, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2034916899021365725", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-20T08:56:10+00:00", "symbol": "silicon photonics", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I expect the Photonic Supercycle to last over the next several years, and many of these names to be large beneficaries going forward", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish on silicon photonics/CPO sector as a multi-year supercycle driven by AI scaling demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR", "LITE", "XFAB.PA", "SOI.PA", "POET"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Silicon photonics basket including foundries and component makers", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The Serenity Silicon Photonics / CPO ETF.\n\nYTD Returns of Each Index Stock: \n\n$IQE: +282.5%\n$AXTI: +246.6%\nLandmark: 167.54%\n$AAOI: +157.37%\n$SIVE: +113.08%\n$SOI: +103.54%\n$LITE: +100.27%\n$LWLG: +92.35%\n$VIAV: +88.71%\n$AIXA: +73.92%\n$AEHR: +70.4%\n$CIEN: +67.67%\n$FORM: +60.67%\n$FOCI: +60.44%\n$CAMT: +49.13%\n$GLW: +46.77%\n$SMHN: +45.94%\nFujikura: +43.89%\n$COHR: +41.81%\n$KEYS: +40.48%\n$TSEM: +36.42%\n$ASX: +29.89%\n$MTSI: +28.34%\n$NOK: +27.5%\nShin-Etsu: +27.33%\n$ONTO: +26.28%\n$BESI: +24.71%\n$UMC: +18.11%\n$INTC: +17.27%\n$OXINF: 15.03%\n$FN: +12.79%\nEoptolink: +11.82%\n$TSM: +6.00%\n$HIMX: +5.39%\n$SMTC: +4.11%\nSumitomo: +3.67%\n$CSCO: +3.25%\nInnolight: +.33%\n$MRVL: +.16%\n$APH: -6.48%\n$MXL: -7.62%\n$AVGO: -7.99%\n$POET: -12.99%\n$TEL: -14.93%\n\nThis is retrospectively, but as you've known I've been in a lot of the winners for awhile (eg. Top 6/7 like $AXTI or $LITE aside from Landmark). \n\nHowever, if you were curious if you invested in the photonics trend as a whole at the start of the year.\n\nThe equal weighted return? \n\n50.033%\n\nI expect the Photonic Supercycle to last over the next several years, and many of these names to be large beneficaries going forward. \n\nEspecially as CPO is used to scale AI deployments. \n\nPhotonics is the new architectural paradigm for AI.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.055219206642608556, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.055219206642608556, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04067492724036666, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.028759718542195792, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0145442794022419, "bench_c_m1d": 0.026459488100412765, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.016608060182105387, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.016608060182105387, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006108040937167568, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0005983526816958143, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01050001924493782, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0172064128638012, "ret_p1w": -0.020203348171290235, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.020203348171290235, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0021226618279842416, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.007061793224551451, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.022326009999274476, "bench_c_p1w": -0.027265141395841686, "ret_p1m": 0.48095043107334695, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.48095043107334695, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3882079935575193, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.27504513598706265, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09274243751582767, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2059052950862843, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1844, -0.1874, -0.1874, -0.1956, -0.21, -0.2125, -0.2197, -0.2197, -0.1678, -0.1605, -0.1463, -0.1427, -0.1827, -0.1661, -0.1703, -0.1535, -0.1449, -0.1174, -0.1333, -0.1432, -0.1379, -0.1155, -0.1578, -0.1751, -0.1949, -0.157, -0.1664, -0.1952, -0.199, -0.1841, -0.1894, -0.2014, -0.2, -0.1544, -0.1194, -0.129, -0.1104, -0.1327, -0.1394, -0.1399, -0.1328, -0.1183, -0.1066, -0.0756, -0.0707, -0.0365, -0.003, -0.0261, -0.0312, 0.0634, 0.0176, 0.0059, -0.0331, -0.0832, -0.0296, 0.017, 0.0469, 0.0475, 0.0333, 0.0587, 0.0461, 0.064, 0.0552, 0.0, 0.0166, 0.039, 0.067, -0.0083, -0.0202, -0.0645, -0.0043, 0.02, 0.044, 0.044, 0.0236, 0.0276, 0.1167, 0.1069, 0.2084, 0.2101, 0.234, 0.2478, 0.3368, 0.4164, 0.481, 0.5246, 0.6631, 0.6053, 0.7566, 0.4875, 0.4127, 0.4457, 0.5147, 0.5424, 0.6481, 0.7497, 0.7296, 0.7026, 0.8504, 1.0151, 0.9126, 1.0312, 1.225, 1.0396, 0.8823, 0.8398, 0.9698, 1.0448, 1.09, 1.0936, 1.0479, 1.1265, 1.2301, 1.1006, 1.1006, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2036746039588434165", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-25T10:04:31+00:00", "symbol": "ARM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I went long on $ARM at $139. Genuinely a compelling long at $143B MC as markets shift more from training -> inference. Then $ARM AI CPUs cannibalize the market for inference and $NVDA market share.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long ARM at $139 on inference shift + AI CPU upside to $25B revenue; implies NVDA share loss as ARM CPUs cannibalize inference market.", "resolved_tickers": ["ARM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "FYI: I went long on $ARM at $139. \n\nGenuinely a compelling long at $143B MC as markets shift more from training -> inference. \n\nThen $ARM AI CPUs cannibalize the market for inference and $NVDA market share. \n\nEspecially as LLMs get more lightweight. \n\nThe projections to $25B/revenue (5x revenue) are already insane to justify risk-reward.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$ARM expects $15B in annual revenue from the the AGI CPU:\n\n\"The company projects that the new chip business will generate over $15 billion in annual revenue\" within the next 5 years. \n\n5 times current revenues (~$25B revenue)... \n\nArm probably deserves to be up more than 5% on https://t.co/nv8Y0JDp3S", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.1407652612170115, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1407652612170115, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1352233858054107, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12966307887589212, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005541875411600783, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011102182341119371, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.014452181617177096, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014452181617177096, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0034065625409616107, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.031109427265425316, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017858744158138706, "bench_c_p1d": -0.04556160888260241, "ret_p1w": -0.012733175697074106, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.012733175697074106, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.010327620031557072, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0049350815007556115, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002405555665517034, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017668257197829718, "ret_p1m": 0.30266754357502723, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.30266754357502723, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.22406152623833697, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09508391525959037, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07860601733669026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.20758362831543686, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.298, -0.2964, -0.2942, -0.3041, -0.3041, -0.2696, -0.2608, -0.2645, -0.2635, -0.2801, -0.2883, -0.2924, -0.3134, -0.3316, -0.3308, -0.3265, -0.3265, -0.3177, -0.2747, -0.2411, -0.261, -0.2696, -0.2686, -0.2999, -0.3097, -0.3292, -0.3192, -0.3344, -0.3321, -0.2941, -0.2125, -0.2067, -0.1981, -0.2024, -0.2221, -0.2024, -0.2024, -0.1921, -0.1899, -0.1919, -0.2005, -0.2119, -0.1842, -0.1613, -0.1771, -0.1886, -0.2082, -0.2251, -0.2098, -0.2321, -0.2718, -0.2511, -0.2325, -0.2354, -0.2671, -0.2631, -0.2252, -0.1895, -0.1828, -0.1735, -0.1574, -0.1285, -0.1408, 0.0, -0.0145, -0.0824, -0.128, -0.0369, -0.0127, -0.0507, -0.0507, -0.0528, -0.0841, -0.052, -0.0463, -0.0518, 0.0032, 0.0264, 0.0145, 0.0335, 0.0615, 0.1148, 0.1173, 0.2515, 0.3027, 0.4949, 0.3744, 0.2647, 0.2841, 0.339, 0.3445, 0.2941, 0.3296, 0.5108, 0.3581, 0.3578, 0.3539, 0.3237, 0.4084, 0.4548, 0.3316, 0.3696, 0.4207, 0.6345, 0.8987, 0.9514, 0.9514, 1.0451, 0.9272, 1.1345, 1.2493, 1.2493, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2036746039588434165", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-25T10:04:31+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ARM AI CPUs cannibalize the market for inference and $NVDA market share", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long ARM at $139 on inference shift + AI CPU upside to $25B revenue; implies NVDA share loss as ARM CPUs cannibalize inference market.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "FYI: I went long on $ARM at $139. \n\nGenuinely a compelling long at $143B MC as markets shift more from training -> inference. \n\nThen $ARM AI CPUs cannibalize the market for inference and $NVDA market share. \n\nEspecially as LLMs get more lightweight. \n\nThe projections to $25B/revenue (5x revenue) are already insane to justify risk-reward.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$ARM expects $15B in annual revenue from the the AGI CPU:\n\n\"The company projects that the new chip business will generate over $15 billion in annual revenue\" within the next 5 years. \n\n5 times current revenues (~$25B revenue)... \n\nArm probably deserves to be up more than 5% on https://t.co/nv8Y0JDp3S", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.019476135382731963, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.019476135382731963, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01393425997113118, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01393425997113118, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005541875411600783, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005541875411600783, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04163861365338872, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04163861365338872, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.023779869495250017, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.023779869495250017, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017858744158138706, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017858744158138706, "ret_p1w": -0.01639798967922379, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01639798967922379, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.013992434013706756, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.013992434013706756, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002405555665517034, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002405555665517034, "ret_p1m": 0.11730472113853052, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11730472113853052, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03869870380184026, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03869870380184026, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07860601733669026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07860601733669026, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0663, 0.0533, 0.0495, 0.0437, 0.0437, 0.0569, 0.0528, 0.0479, 0.0583, 0.0355, 0.0345, 0.035, 0.0398, 0.0249, 0.0468, 0.0422, 0.0422, -0.0035, 0.0259, 0.0344, 0.0503, 0.0435, 0.055, 0.0718, 0.0773, 0.0696, 0.0387, 0.0092, -0.0252, -0.0381, 0.0376, 0.0635, 0.0551, 0.0636, 0.0462, 0.0231, 0.0231, 0.0351, 0.052, 0.0515, 0.0623, 0.072, 0.0792, 0.0944, 0.0347, -0.0084, 0.0212, 0.0076, 0.0243, 0.026, -0.0049, 0.0222, 0.034, 0.0411, 0.025, 0.0088, 0.0254, 0.0182, 0.0096, -0.0007, -0.0335, -0.017, -0.0195, 0.0, -0.0416, -0.0625, -0.0756, -0.024, -0.0164, -0.0072, -0.0072, -0.0058, -0.0032, 0.019, 0.0293, 0.0557, 0.0595, 0.0998, 0.113, 0.1101, 0.1287, 0.1308, 0.1186, 0.1333, 0.1173, 0.1656, 0.2123, 0.193, 0.1711, 0.1169, 0.1106, 0.1108, 0.0997, 0.1631, 0.1837, 0.2044, 0.2281, 0.2356, 0.2639, 0.3193, 0.261, 0.2442, 0.2347, 0.2507, 0.2285, 0.2051, 0.2051, 0.2025, 0.1898, 0.1991, 0.1817, 0.1817, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2034899143521382479", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-20T07:45:37+00:00", "symbol": "SMCI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if $SMCI drops further than here, fundamentals probably outweigh regulatory overhang", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Soft bullish lean on SMCI: fundamentals outweigh regulatory overhang if it drops further from here.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMCI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is just my personal view that if $SMCI drops further than here, fundamentals probably outweigh regulatory overhang.\n\nLarge part of it was already kinda known from 2024, and priced in over time. Today was just confirmation of it, along with the scale. \n\nThat being said, there's clearly better opportunities out there.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thank you again Serenity, was debating if it was a decent op for buying", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jorge_r006", "ret_m1d": 0.4997564484036199, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.4997564484036199, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.485212169001378, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.4765471021944616, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0145442794022419, "bench_c_m1d": 0.023209346209158266, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05114462746918247, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05114462746918247, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04064460822424465, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03761609021686452, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01050001924493782, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013528537252317951, "ret_p1w": 0.07014118745966158, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07014118745966158, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09246719745893606, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10863970050628702, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.022326009999274476, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03849851304662544, "ret_p1m": 0.4033121530620749, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4033121530620749, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.31056971554624724, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.25945693777143997, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09274243751582767, "bench_c_p1m": 0.14385521529063494, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.4983, 0.4881, 0.4881, 0.4924, 0.4652, 0.4442, 0.4257, 0.4257, 0.508, 0.4647, 0.4876, 0.4618, 0.4564, 0.4691, 0.4671, 0.3931, 0.377, 0.433, 0.5899, 0.5899, 0.53, 0.5704, 0.5806, 0.5441, 0.5002, 0.5197, 0.5202, 0.4671, 0.4179, 0.4472, 0.4452, 0.6444, 0.5027, 0.6746, 0.6332, 0.6235, 0.5606, 0.4822, 0.4876, 0.4876, 0.4666, 0.4472, 0.5665, 0.5792, 0.4959, 0.5163, 0.6366, 0.5723, 0.5777, 0.5504, 0.4944, 0.5904, 0.5704, 0.5251, 0.5577, 0.5485, 0.5485, 0.5051, 0.4978, 0.5519, 0.5348, 0.4783, 0.4998, 0.0, 0.0511, 0.0828, 0.1715, 0.0818, 0.0701, 0.0258, 0.1091, 0.0964, 0.131, 0.131, 0.074, 0.1042, 0.1383, 0.131, 0.2304, 0.265, 0.3249, 0.3293, 0.3833, 0.3911, 0.4033, 0.3848, 0.4213, 0.303, 0.4165, 0.3566, 0.3273, 0.282, 0.3346, 0.3195, 0.36, 0.3556, 0.6883, 0.6376, 0.7228, 0.6327, 0.5972, 0.5587, 0.6089, 0.5119, 0.5027, 0.4886, 0.6298, 0.6298, 0.7331, 0.7331, 0.8071, 0.8602, 1.0117, 1.245, 1.245, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2026512506374795595", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-25T04:20:06+00:00", "symbol": "AVAV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AVAV and Oil like $CVX are hedges for war. If US and Iran end up fighting those two sectors would likely go up", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holding AVAV and CVX as geopolitical hedges; both likely to rise if US-Iran conflict materializes.", "resolved_tickers": ["AVAV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AVAV and Oil like $CVX are hedges for war. If US and Iran end up fighting (can be anytime as seen with the sudden invasion of Venezulea) those two sectors would likely go up.\n\nIf they don’t, then other sectors would likely outperform and defense might underperform.\n\nThis is a geopolitical hedge so yes IMO.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Is Avav still a hold for you?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "k_a_y_b_e_e_", "ret_m1d": 0.027544858340540657, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.027544858340540657, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.035912597382219524, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01968611187099012, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008367739041678868, "bench_c_m1d": 0.007858746469550537, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01724000421377414, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01724000421377414, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02279448060539524, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.010975820111401413, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005554476391621099, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006264184102372727, "ret_p1w": -0.11260875070802523, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11260875070802523, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10103827875235649, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11471577940021394, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011570471955668737, "bench_c_p1w": 0.002107028692188706, "ret_p1m": -0.23238773322983042, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.23238773322983042, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16559371540832102, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1533623934649183, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0667940178215094, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0790253397649121, "ret_p3m": -0.317334084733929, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.317334084733929, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3959986017060384, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.2982717491004663, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07866451697210941, "bench_c_p3m": -0.019062335633462713, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.095, 0.0101, 0.0381, 0.0649, 0.1263, 0.0908, 0.1068, 0.1027, -0.0391, -0.0214, -0.0636, -0.078, -0.0806, -0.1023, -0.0961, -0.0478, 0.0007, 0.0232, 0.0215, 0.0215, -0.0009, -0.0238, -0.044, -0.0522, -0.0522, 0.0038, 0.1653, 0.2422, 0.2479, 0.3516, 0.4301, 0.4524, 0.4257, 0.496, 0.4833, 0.5393, 0.5393, 0.2965, 0.2524, 0.2229, 0.2058, 0.1859, 0.213, 0.2026, 0.1489, 0.0908, 0.0579, 0.1183, 0.0081, -0.0719, 0.0078, 0.075, 0.0315, -0.0462, -0.0788, -0.0445, -0.0445, 0.0304, 0.0401, 0.1036, 0.0369, 0.0239, 0.0275, 0.0, 0.0172, -0.0116, -0.1838, -0.1055, -0.1126, -0.1358, -0.0996, -0.1094, -0.1318, -0.1861, -0.1698, -0.1887, -0.1698, -0.1282, -0.1543, -0.1719, -0.2253, -0.1918, -0.2313, -0.2202, -0.2324, -0.2774, -0.3066, -0.2828, -0.281, -0.2776, -0.2776, -0.2584, -0.2679, -0.2675, -0.3037, -0.2958, -0.2383, -0.2378, -0.2226, -0.2086, -0.25, -0.2272, -0.1769, -0.1768, -0.2089, -0.2309, -0.2331, -0.2464, -0.281, -0.2359, -0.2753, -0.2937, -0.3469, -0.3168, -0.341, -0.3406, -0.3478, -0.3384, -0.3692, -0.3524, -0.3809, -0.3671, -0.3722, -0.3579, -0.361, -0.3173, -0.3173, -0.2859, -0.2897, -0.16, -0.188, -0.188, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2026512506374795595", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-25T04:20:06+00:00", "symbol": "CVX", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AVAV and Oil like $CVX are hedges for war. If US and Iran end up fighting those two sectors would likely go up", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holding AVAV and CVX as geopolitical hedges; both likely to rise if US-Iran conflict materializes.", "resolved_tickers": ["CVX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AVAV and Oil like $CVX are hedges for war. If US and Iran end up fighting (can be anytime as seen with the sudden invasion of Venezulea) those two sectors would likely go up.\n\nIf they don’t, then other sectors would likely outperform and defense might underperform.\n\nThis is a geopolitical hedge so yes IMO.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Is Avav still a hold for you?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "k_a_y_b_e_e_", "ret_m1d": 0.006079676240982268, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006079676240982268, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.014447415282661136, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.014447415282661136, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008367739041678868, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008367739041678868, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00032565813285212464, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00032565813285212464, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005228818258768975, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005228818258768975, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005554476391621099, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005554476391621099, "ret_p1w": 0.00982524629568049, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.00982524629568049, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.021395718251349227, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.021395718251349227, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011570471955668737, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011570471955668737, "ret_p1m": 0.1279448614640606, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1279448614640606, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.19473887928557, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.19473887928557, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0667940178215094, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0667940178215094, "ret_p3m": 0.04865563207184276, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.04865563207184276, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.030008884900266652, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.030008884900266652, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07866451697210941, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07866451697210941, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1876, -0.18, -0.1923, -0.1851, -0.1815, -0.1936, -0.2006, -0.2018, -0.1861, -0.1898, -0.1937, -0.1947, -0.2111, -0.1962, -0.2061, -0.2057, -0.1947, -0.1909, -0.191, -0.191, -0.1935, -0.1883, -0.1812, -0.1807, -0.1807, -0.1619, -0.1192, -0.1585, -0.1657, -0.1439, -0.1285, -0.1273, -0.1191, -0.101, -0.1068, -0.1062, -0.1062, -0.1114, -0.1037, -0.1041, -0.1038, -0.0996, -0.0912, -0.0865, -0.0797, -0.049, -0.0645, -0.0429, -0.0258, -0.0365, -0.0277, -0.0184, -0.0202, -0.0011, -0.0195, -0.0123, -0.0123, -0.0199, -0.0019, 0.003, -0.0016, 0.0037, 0.0061, 0.0, -0.0003, 0.0138, 0.0292, 0.0247, 0.0098, 0.0308, 0.031, 0.0283, 0.0112, 0.0411, 0.0692, 0.0684, 0.0685, 0.0746, 0.0781, 0.0935, 0.095, 0.1139, 0.1225, 0.1136, 0.1279, 0.1462, 0.1438, 0.1231, 0.0716, 0.0801, 0.0801, 0.0795, 0.094, 0.0471, 0.0333, 0.0235, 0.041, 0.0152, 0.0037, 0.0213, -0.0012, -0.0053, 0.0096, 0.0114, 0.0183, 0.0054, 0.003, 0.0225, 0.0434, 0.0493, 0.0348, 0.0438, 0.0457, 0.0051, -0.0093, -0.0141, 0.0028, 0.0094, 0.0097, 0.0131, 0.0373, 0.0646, 0.0805, 0.0481, 0.0464, 0.0487, 0.0487, 0.0118, -0.0008, 0.0026, -0.0005, -0.0005, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2019860692027994276", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-06T19:48:10+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The GPUs $NBIS, $CRWV, and $IREN are sitting on have actually gone up in price like an investment... H100s went up 29%+ and A100% went up 23%+ last month. This is an incredible, incredible tailwind.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "GPU appreciation (H100 +29%, A100 +23%) is an incredible tailwind for NBIS, CRWV, and IREN whose GPU holdings have risen in value like investments.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@jng500 It's funny how it wasn't even GPU depreciation arguments anymore.\n\nThe GPUs $NBIS, $CRWV, and $IREN are sitting on have actually gone up in price like an investment... \n\nH100s went up 29%+ and A100% went up 23%+ last month. \n\nThis is an incredible, incredible tailwind. https://t.co/2udzG1dYVW", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit So much for Michael Bury’s theory!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jng500", "ret_m1d": -0.1420440876223129, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1420440876223129, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12322050086903624, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.14593145544552588, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.018823586753276667, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0038873678232129727, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07874563181711003, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07874563181711003, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07392379971409957, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06907048604494892, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004821832103010459, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009675145772161109, "ret_p1w": 0.13832757111707905, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.13832757111707905, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15117107935418728, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14852107667721504, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012843508237108225, "bench_c_p1w": -0.010193505560135985, "ret_p1m": 0.10267136032461344, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10267136032461344, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12055372786181118, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08712195514908183, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01788236753719774, "bench_c_p1m": 0.015549405175531605, "ret_p3m": 1.265853656159221, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.265853656159221, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.2003847303064876, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.248883389779151, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06546892585273345, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016970266380070154, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1872, 0.0959, 0.0294, -0.0297, -0.0014, 0.0516, 0.1042, -0.017, -0.033, 0.0674, 0.0323, 0.0998, 0.0998, 0.1019, 0.1632, 0.1202, 0.1489, 0.194, 0.1387, 0.1653, 0.1197, 0.087, 0.095, 0.0185, -0.0576, -0.0598, -0.1237, -0.093, 0.039, 0.0828, 0.0456, 0.0584, 0.0584, 0.0173, -0.0007, -0.0108, -0.0278, -0.0278, 0.0447, 0.0782, 0.1642, 0.1174, 0.1301, 0.1374, 0.2466, 0.2245, 0.1844, 0.2066, 0.2628, 0.2628, 0.1532, 0.1483, 0.1249, 0.0976, 0.0623, 0.1367, 0.1664, 0.1023, -0.0106, 0.0239, 0.0447, -0.0431, -0.142, 0.0, 0.0787, 0.0661, 0.0292, 0.0422, 0.1383, 0.1383, 0.1326, 0.1823, 0.2498, 0.1373, 0.1685, 0.1914, 0.2325, 0.2181, 0.0591, 0.057, 0.0081, 0.1357, 0.1109, 0.0375, 0.1027, 0.12, 0.3008, 0.2548, 0.3118, 0.5081, 0.3511, 0.377, 0.4114, 0.3661, 0.3258, 0.3346, 0.3367, 0.2308, 0.171, 0.0715, 0.2051, 0.1841, 0.2639, 0.2639, 0.3071, 0.3635, 0.4518, 0.5834, 0.6837, 0.7951, 0.8808, 0.9369, 0.9203, 0.8251, 0.8485, 0.8182, 0.8135, 0.8244, 0.7092, 0.6836, 0.5739, 0.6398, 0.6055, 0.7943, 1.049, 1.0432, 1.2659, 1.146, 1.0563, 1.1614, 1.0803, 1.4073, 1.5685, 1.5545, 1.3213, 1.2965, 1.2279, 1.5544, 1.4944, 1.4944, 1.4165, 1.4201, 1.6288, 1.684, 1.684, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2019860692027994276", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-06T19:48:10+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The GPUs $NBIS, $CRWV, and $IREN are sitting on have actually gone up in price like an investment... This is an incredible, incredible tailwind.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "GPU appreciation (H100 +29%, A100 +23%) is an incredible tailwind for NBIS, CRWV, and IREN whose GPU holdings have risen in value like investments.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@jng500 It's funny how it wasn't even GPU depreciation arguments anymore.\n\nThe GPUs $NBIS, $CRWV, and $IREN are sitting on have actually gone up in price like an investment... \n\nH100s went up 29%+ and A100% went up 23%+ last month. \n\nThis is an incredible, incredible tailwind. https://t.co/2udzG1dYVW", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit So much for Michael Bury’s theory!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jng500", "ret_m1d": -0.17009445182268323, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.17009445182268323, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.15127086506940657, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.15127086506940657, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.018823586753276667, "bench_c_m1d": -0.018823586753276667, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07604229237740756, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07604229237740756, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0712204602743971, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0712204602743971, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004821832103010459, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004821832103010459, "ret_p1w": 0.06770432655811409, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06770432655811409, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08054783479522232, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08054783479522232, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012843508237108225, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012843508237108225, "ret_p1m": -0.17276257713576826, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17276257713576826, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15488020959857052, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.15488020959857052, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01788236753719774, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01788236753719774, "ret_p3m": 0.5339633174966492, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5339633174966492, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4684943916439157, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4684943916439157, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06546892585273345, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06546892585273345, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0173, -0.0503, -0.1291, -0.14, -0.1625, -0.1673, -0.1671, -0.2306, -0.2034, -0.1818, -0.2074, -0.1741, -0.1741, -0.1871, -0.1433, -0.1548, -0.1177, -0.0467, -0.0183, -0.0412, 0.0079, -0.0199, -0.0286, -0.1263, -0.1957, -0.2273, -0.2824, -0.2476, -0.0773, -0.0569, -0.1077, -0.1232, -0.1232, -0.1504, -0.1671, -0.1784, -0.2039, -0.2039, -0.1182, -0.1455, -0.1335, -0.142, -0.143, -0.1091, -0.0002, -0.0275, -0.0017, 0.0563, 0.1254, 0.1254, 0.0586, 0.0456, 0.0205, 0.0337, 0.0929, 0.2102, 0.1787, 0.1065, 0.036, -0.0112, 0.0012, -0.0833, -0.1701, 0.0, 0.076, 0.0574, 0.0578, 0.0639, 0.0677, 0.0677, 0.0117, 0.0611, 0.0799, -0.0078, 0.0099, 0.1039, 0.0896, 0.0854, -0.1155, -0.1323, -0.1798, -0.1162, -0.1682, -0.1885, -0.1728, -0.1671, -0.0888, -0.1122, -0.0983, -0.0455, -0.087, -0.0793, -0.1033, -0.0943, -0.0888, -0.077, -0.0263, -0.1056, -0.1683, -0.2312, -0.1387, -0.128, -0.0857, -0.0857, -0.1002, -0.0524, -0.0117, 0.0228, 0.134, 0.2259, 0.3029, 0.3195, 0.3292, 0.2991, 0.3055, 0.2803, 0.3623, 0.3054, 0.2245, 0.2458, 0.1732, 0.2695, 0.2407, 0.3231, 0.3944, 0.4218, 0.534, 0.4324, 0.269, 0.2752, 0.1979, 0.2375, 0.2698, 0.1929, 0.1536, 0.1096, 0.126, 0.196, 0.1728, 0.1728, 0.1772, 0.1592, 0.188, 0.2177, 0.2177, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2019860692027994276", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-06T19:48:10+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The GPUs $NBIS, $CRWV, and $IREN are sitting on have actually gone up in price like an investment... This is an incredible, incredible tailwind.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "GPU appreciation (H100 +29%, A100 +23%) is an incredible tailwind for NBIS, CRWV, and IREN whose GPU holdings have risen in value like investments.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@jng500 It's funny how it wasn't even GPU depreciation arguments anymore.\n\nThe GPUs $NBIS, $CRWV, and $IREN are sitting on have actually gone up in price like an investment... \n\nH100s went up 29%+ and A100% went up 23%+ last month. \n\nThis is an incredible, incredible tailwind. https://t.co/2udzG1dYVW", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit So much for Michael Bury’s theory!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jng500", "ret_m1d": -0.048768845953356954, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.048768845953356954, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.029945259200080288, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.030891976084241324, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.018823586753276667, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01787686986911563, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10327514955108219, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10327514955108219, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09845331744807173, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10917267436012479, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004821832103010459, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005897524809042598, "ret_p1w": 0.009323437068532447, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.009323437068532447, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.022166945305640673, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.057425112750812524, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012843508237108225, "bench_c_p1w": -0.048101675682280076, "ret_p1m": -0.07147983618415754, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07147983618415754, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0535974686469598, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0009491911676745568, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01788236753719774, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0724290273518321, "ret_p3m": 0.45780532806395047, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.45780532806395047, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.392336402211217, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.49749428427972053, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06546892585273345, "bench_c_p3m": -0.039688956215770066, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3717, 0.3316, 0.163, 0.1085, 0.1334, 0.1678, 0.0956, 0.0392, 0.0103, 0.1592, 0.1348, 0.1583, 0.1583, 0.143, 0.1592, -0.017, 0.0509, 0.1104, 0.0689, 0.1078, 0.1198, 0.05, 0.0504, -0.0406, -0.1518, -0.1253, -0.1924, -0.1442, -0.0457, 0.005, 0.0057, 0.0036, 0.0036, -0.0366, -0.0579, -0.0844, -0.0971, -0.0971, 0.0208, 0.1532, 0.0975, 0.0429, 0.092, 0.1004, 0.2032, 0.2668, 0.2642, 0.2405, 0.3823, 0.3823, 0.2972, 0.2785, 0.2493, 0.355, 0.2517, 0.4341, 0.5047, 0.4306, 0.2847, 0.2689, 0.3003, 0.0743, -0.0488, 0.0, 0.1033, 0.0263, 0.0201, -0.043, 0.0093, 0.0093, -0.0206, 0.006, 0.0349, -0.0442, 0.0127, 0.0865, 0.0526, 0.0576, -0.021, -0.0105, -0.0712, 0.0481, -0.0408, -0.1226, -0.0715, -0.0887, 0.0036, -0.011, -0.006, 0.0743, 0.027, 0.0091, -0.0041, -0.0129, 0.0079, -0.017, -0.0096, -0.1047, -0.1611, -0.2441, -0.1805, -0.185, -0.1688, -0.1688, -0.1602, -0.1456, -0.1195, -0.114, -0.06, 0.0296, 0.1324, 0.1671, 0.1403, 0.1504, 0.1647, 0.0798, 0.1568, 0.2436, 0.2106, 0.1561, 0.0624, 0.0246, 0.088, 0.0916, 0.1829, 0.3086, 0.4578, 0.3591, 0.4631, 0.3184, 0.3521, 0.3189, 0.3961, 0.2656, 0.2063, 0.1413, 0.2601, 0.388, 0.3586, 0.3586, 0.4291, 0.6218, 0.5312, 0.519, 0.519, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2025228955335479385", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-21T15:19:44+00:00", "symbol": "XLU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I just think AI inference/training ramp alongside hyperscaler capex + rate cuts might just be that unique moment in history with $XLU", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Cautiously bullish XLU on AI power demand, hyperscaler capex, and rate-cut tailwinds as a unique inflection moment.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Ren_aramb Yeah power/grid is extremely boring. Only up 200% since the 1990s so IV is priced extremely low.\n\nI just think AI inference/training ramp alongside hyperscaler capex + rate cuts might just be that unique moment in history with $XLU\n\nI don't know if I'm right or not, we'll see. https://t.co/qhBgCX5bFo", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Would have never thought utilities stocks could be this sexy. The IV is looking mighty juicy.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Ren_aramb", "ret_m1d": -0.007497825652779344, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007497825652779344, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017814487039842897, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017814487039842897, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011139718380374752, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011139718380374752, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0038712654499797328, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0038712654499797328, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "ret_p1w": 0.014781446524965602, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.014781446524965602, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.008934360812073994, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.008934360812073994, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "ret_p1m": -0.027308435051802138, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.027308435051802138, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.012882947272660594, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.012882947272660594, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "ret_p3m": -0.029249938466529124, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.029249938466529124, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12063215530431359, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12063215530431359, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0433, -0.0433, -0.0365, -0.059, -0.0657, -0.0687, -0.0706, -0.0793, -0.0916, -0.091, -0.0914, -0.0848, -0.0893, -0.081, -0.0848, -0.0908, -0.0819, -0.0936, -0.0902, -0.087, -0.0829, -0.0829, -0.0835, -0.0818, -0.0797, -0.0855, -0.0855, -0.075, -0.0853, -0.0808, -0.103, -0.1005, -0.0893, -0.0878, -0.082, -0.0752, -0.0658, -0.0705, -0.0705, -0.0797, -0.0784, -0.085, -0.0883, -0.0816, -0.0696, -0.0718, -0.0718, -0.0735, -0.087, -0.0737, -0.0771, -0.0767, -0.0713, -0.0686, -0.0531, -0.0448, -0.0306, -0.0039, -0.0039, -0.0064, -0.0229, -0.0122, -0.0075, 0.0, 0.0111, 0.0146, 0.0107, 0.0225, 0.0148, 0.0084, 0.0126, 0.0047, 0.0013, 0.0036, -0.0026, -0.0109, -0.0039, 0.006, 0.0124, 0.0096, 0.0011, -0.003, -0.0435, -0.034, -0.0273, -0.0239, -0.0221, -0.0165, -0.0094, -0.0101, -0.0053, -0.0003, -0.0003, -0.004, -0.0019, 0.0091, 0.0171, 0.013, 0.0007, 0.0025, -0.0072, -0.0001, -0.0042, -0.0131, -0.0303, -0.0321, -0.0057, -0.0038, -0.0036, -0.0023, -0.0146, 0.0107, 0.0042, 0.0003, 0.0003, -0.0139, -0.0267, -0.0353, -0.0262, -0.0252, -0.0364, -0.0314, -0.0536, -0.0521, -0.0435, -0.0398, -0.0292, -0.0217, -0.0217, -0.0221, -0.0262, -0.0372, -0.0418, -0.0418, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2020088575203721520", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-07T10:53:42+00:00", "symbol": "000660.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm probably most bullish on memory/photonics like Sk Hynix", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Most bullish on SK Hynix, Samsung, SNDK, MU, LITE (memory/photonics) and TSM; also likes AXTI upstream for InP precursors.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Here's my TLDR + mapped into investment framework from Semivision bottleneck summary:\n\nHBM:\nHBM4 (16Hi) - Samsung, Sk Hynix, $MU\nHBF - $SNDK, Kioxia\nBase Die - $TSM, Samsung (internal)\n\nCPO/photonics;\nGlass Substrate: $GLW, $INTC, Ibiden\nOptical: $LITE, $AVGO, $COHR, $MRVL\n\nPower Delivery:\nVolatage: $MPWR, $VICR\nThermal: $VRT, $NVT, $MOD\nGrid: $ETN, $SBGSY\nSiC/GaN: $ON, $IFNNY\nRack: $APH\n\nN2 Volume:\n$TSM , $AMD (First mover dc), $QLCM, Mediatek, $NVDA\n\nAdvanced Packaging:\nYield: $CAMT, $ONTO, $KLAC\nOSATs: $AMKR\n$BESIY, Disco\n\nSemivision's summary:\n1. \"advanced packaging capacity and yield control\"\n2. \"HBM ecosystem coordination\"\n3. \"power delivery innovation (SiC, GaN PMICs, rack-level power architectures)\"\n4. \"CPO/photonics integration capability\"\n5.  \"data center infrastructure as a “hidden limiter” to semiconductor revenue realization\"\n\nAs you probably know, I'm probably most bullish on memory/photonics like Sk Hynix/Samsung, $SNDK, $MU, $LITE above. And $TSM. \n\nI probably go a bit more upstream like $AXTI for InP precursors, but midstream players are the chokepoint + control most of the pricing. \n\nBut just added commentary of related companies to topics to make things simpler for the regular retail investor.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0541149739061525, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0541149739061525, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.049316280298034254, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04348424058728906, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010630733318863439, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.012401320239387337, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.012401320239387337, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009764159807306494, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00029210351926689526, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "bench_c_p1d": -0.012693423758654232, "ret_p1w": -0.007891768498898388, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.007891768498898388, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.009688801285444804, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07072396189196994, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06283219339307156, "ret_p1m": 0.05944854559878321, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05944854559878321, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08361460821383704, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.025731767359159496, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03371677823962371, "ret_p3m": 0.8681534186625728, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.8681534186625728, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.8110485149393893, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.46593211187351935, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "bench_c_p3m": 0.40222130678905343, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3049, -0.3105, -0.3691, -0.3173, -0.3578, -0.3669, -0.3567, -0.413, -0.4142, -0.4153, -0.4097, -0.3867, -0.4025, -0.3935, -0.3709, -0.3777, -0.389, -0.3867, -0.3495, -0.3619, -0.3382, -0.363, -0.3563, -0.3754, -0.4025, -0.3788, -0.3777, -0.3833, -0.3461, -0.3416, -0.3371, -0.3371, -0.3247, -0.2785, -0.2661, -0.2661, -0.2661, -0.2368, -0.2153, -0.1815, -0.1635, -0.1477, -0.1612, -0.1556, -0.168, -0.1635, -0.1556, -0.1477, -0.1387, -0.1623, -0.1657, -0.1488, -0.1353, -0.1702, -0.0981, -0.0519, -0.0293, 0.0248, -0.0643, 0.0225, 0.0147, -0.0507, -0.0541, 0.0, -0.0124, -0.0304, 0.0011, -0.0079, -0.0079, -0.0079, -0.0079, 0.0079, 0.0699, 0.0722, 0.133, 0.1477, 0.2413, 0.1984, 0.1984, 0.0606, -0.0411, 0.0628, 0.0436, -0.0558, 0.0594, 0.0786, 0.0504, 0.0278, 0.1001, 0.0956, 0.1927, 0.1442, 0.1374, 0.0538, 0.1137, 0.1238, 0.0538, 0.0538, -0.014, -0.0885, 0.0131, -0.0625, -0.0106, 0.0007, 0.0346, 0.1667, 0.1272, 0.16, 0.1747, 0.2458, 0.2831, 0.3045, 0.274, 0.317, 0.3825, 0.3813, 0.3836, 0.3802, 0.4593, 0.4683, 0.4604, 0.4525, 0.4525, 0.6344, 0.6344, 0.8083, 0.8682, 0.9043, 1.1234, 1.0726, 1.2318, 1.2251, 1.0545, 1.0782, 0.9709, 0.9709, 1.1912, 1.1923, 1.1923, 1.3177, 1.5334, 1.5858, 1.6355, 1.6903, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2020088575203721520", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-07T10:53:42+00:00", "symbol": "005930.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "most bullish on memory/photonics like Sk Hynix/Samsung", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Most bullish on SK Hynix, Samsung, SNDK, MU, LITE (memory/photonics) and TSM; also likes AXTI upstream for InP precursors.", "resolved_tickers": ["005930.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Here's my TLDR + mapped into investment framework from Semivision bottleneck summary:\n\nHBM:\nHBM4 (16Hi) - Samsung, Sk Hynix, $MU\nHBF - $SNDK, Kioxia\nBase Die - $TSM, Samsung (internal)\n\nCPO/photonics;\nGlass Substrate: $GLW, $INTC, Ibiden\nOptical: $LITE, $AVGO, $COHR, $MRVL\n\nPower Delivery:\nVolatage: $MPWR, $VICR\nThermal: $VRT, $NVT, $MOD\nGrid: $ETN, $SBGSY\nSiC/GaN: $ON, $IFNNY\nRack: $APH\n\nN2 Volume:\n$TSM , $AMD (First mover dc), $QLCM, Mediatek, $NVDA\n\nAdvanced Packaging:\nYield: $CAMT, $ONTO, $KLAC\nOSATs: $AMKR\n$BESIY, Disco\n\nSemivision's summary:\n1. \"advanced packaging capacity and yield control\"\n2. \"HBM ecosystem coordination\"\n3. \"power delivery innovation (SiC, GaN PMICs, rack-level power architectures)\"\n4. \"CPO/photonics integration capability\"\n5.  \"data center infrastructure as a “hidden limiter” to semiconductor revenue realization\"\n\nAs you probably know, I'm probably most bullish on memory/photonics like Sk Hynix/Samsung, $SNDK, $MU, $LITE above. And $TSM. \n\nI probably go a bit more upstream like $AXTI for InP precursors, but midstream players are the chokepoint + control most of the pricing. \n\nBut just added commentary of related companies to topics to make things simpler for the regular retail investor.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04687501029159635, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04687501029159635, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04207631668347811, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0313883600803615, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015486650211234854, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00360579897461355, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00360579897461355, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0009686385425327071, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.001974979716881209, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005580778691494759, "ret_p1w": 0.0889422572521763, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0889422572521763, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1065228270365195, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.11538114834364888, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02643889109147257, "ret_p1m": 0.12920674586734182, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12920674586734182, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15337280848239565, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.15425044228594076, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025043696418598937, "ret_p3m": 0.6349876825470429, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6349876825470429, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5778827788238594, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.44976986122915896, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1852178213178839, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3834, -0.3852, -0.4187, -0.3984, -0.4151, -0.4229, -0.3984, -0.433, -0.4217, -0.4061, -0.3852, -0.381, -0.399, -0.3972, -0.3816, -0.375, -0.3714, -0.3517, -0.3451, -0.3517, -0.3541, -0.3583, -0.3487, -0.3732, -0.3852, -0.3547, -0.3565, -0.3643, -0.3391, -0.3332, -0.3356, -0.3356, -0.3003, -0.2819, -0.2794, -0.2794, -0.2794, -0.2278, -0.1701, -0.1653, -0.1526, -0.1659, -0.1647, -0.1659, -0.1731, -0.1569, -0.1352, -0.1052, -0.1028, -0.1274, -0.1016, -0.0847, -0.0859, -0.0859, -0.0415, -0.024, -0.0343, -0.0355, -0.0962, 0.0066, 0.0162, -0.0427, -0.0469, 0.0, -0.0036, 0.0084, 0.0733, 0.0889, 0.0889, 0.0889, 0.0889, 0.1418, 0.1424, 0.1599, 0.2019, 0.223, 0.3101, 0.3011, 0.3011, 0.1725, 0.0349, 0.1514, 0.131, 0.0427, 0.1292, 0.1418, 0.1292, 0.1028, 0.134, 0.1653, 0.253, 0.2049, 0.1983, 0.1196, 0.14, 0.1358, 0.0823, 0.0823, 0.0617, 0.0069, 0.1421, 0.0743, 0.1213, 0.1629, 0.1833, 0.2676, 0.2285, 0.2405, 0.2104, 0.2436, 0.2707, 0.3098, 0.3008, 0.2917, 0.3188, 0.3098, 0.352, 0.3218, 0.352, 0.3369, 0.361, 0.3279, 0.3279, 0.4001, 0.4001, 0.6019, 0.635, 0.6169, 0.7193, 0.6802, 0.7103, 0.7825, 0.629, 0.6922, 0.6591, 0.6621, 0.8036, 0.7615, 0.7615, 0.8006, 0.8488, 0.8036, 0.909, 1.0866, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2020088575203721520", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-07T10:53:42+00:00", "symbol": "SNDK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "most bullish on memory/photonics like Sk Hynix/Samsung, $SNDK", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Most bullish on SK Hynix, Samsung, SNDK, MU, LITE (memory/photonics) and TSM; also likes AXTI upstream for InP precursors.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNDK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Here's my TLDR + mapped into investment framework from Semivision bottleneck summary:\n\nHBM:\nHBM4 (16Hi) - Samsung, Sk Hynix, $MU\nHBF - $SNDK, Kioxia\nBase Die - $TSM, Samsung (internal)\n\nCPO/photonics;\nGlass Substrate: $GLW, $INTC, Ibiden\nOptical: $LITE, $AVGO, $COHR, $MRVL\n\nPower Delivery:\nVolatage: $MPWR, $VICR\nThermal: $VRT, $NVT, $MOD\nGrid: $ETN, $SBGSY\nSiC/GaN: $ON, $IFNNY\nRack: $APH\n\nN2 Volume:\n$TSM , $AMD (First mover dc), $QLCM, Mediatek, $NVDA\n\nAdvanced Packaging:\nYield: $CAMT, $ONTO, $KLAC\nOSATs: $AMKR\n$BESIY, Disco\n\nSemivision's summary:\n1. \"advanced packaging capacity and yield control\"\n2. \"HBM ecosystem coordination\"\n3. \"power delivery innovation (SiC, GaN PMICs, rack-level power architectures)\"\n4. \"CPO/photonics integration capability\"\n5.  \"data center infrastructure as a “hidden limiter” to semiconductor revenue realization\"\n\nAs you probably know, I'm probably most bullish on memory/photonics like Sk Hynix/Samsung, $SNDK, $MU, $LITE above. And $TSM. \n\nI probably go a bit more upstream like $AXTI for InP precursors, but midstream players are the chokepoint + control most of the pricing. \n\nBut just added commentary of related companies to topics to make things simpler for the regular retail investor.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.024939984888725508, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.024939984888725508, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02973867849684375, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02973867849684375, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07158040455614767, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07158040455614767, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06894324412406683, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06894324412406683, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "ret_p1w": 0.07398006742951191, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07398006742951191, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0915606372138551, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0915606372138551, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "ret_p1m": 0.060833028366804376, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.060833028366804376, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0849990909818582, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0849990909818582, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "ret_p3m": 1.2968116298645822, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.2968116298645822, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.2397067261413988, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.2397067261413988, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5147, -0.5825, -0.5643, -0.5443, -0.5802, -0.5784, -0.6641, -0.6567, -0.611, -0.622, -0.6314, -0.6314, -0.6173, -0.6397, -0.648, -0.6668, -0.6344, -0.6084, -0.6135, -0.6238, -0.6009, -0.5859, -0.6466, -0.654, -0.6412, -0.6455, -0.6238, -0.5927, -0.5868, -0.5802, -0.5713, -0.5713, -0.5714, -0.5813, -0.5882, -0.5931, -0.5931, -0.5282, -0.5302, -0.4007, -0.394, -0.4266, -0.3531, -0.3328, -0.3318, -0.3353, -0.2985, -0.291, -0.291, -0.2233, -0.1407, -0.1371, -0.1878, -0.193, -0.1748, -0.0956, -0.0756, -0.0123, 0.1403, 0.1922, 0.002, -0.0123, 0.0249, 0.0, -0.0716, 0.0273, 0.0804, 0.074, 0.074, 0.0123, 0.0291, 0.0646, 0.1141, 0.1424, 0.0945, 0.084, 0.1174, 0.0891, 0.0612, -0.0308, 0.0268, -0.0305, -0.0961, 0.0091, 0.0608, 0.1235, 0.0607, 0.1341, 0.2061, 0.2344, 0.2919, 0.3234, 0.2165, 0.2041, 0.2041, 0.1619, 0.0339, 0.0556, -0.0187, 0.089, 0.1874, 0.2026, 0.2026, 0.2421, 0.2184, 0.3385, 0.4597, 0.46, 0.6327, 0.6189, 0.5285, 0.5761, 0.5787, 0.565, 0.5487, 0.6782, 0.5983, 0.6968, 0.8344, 0.7181, 0.8242, 0.8795, 1.0346, 1.1527, 1.4106, 1.4168, 1.2968, 1.678, 1.6527, 1.4889, 1.4807, 1.3701, 1.4128, 1.2849, 1.3711, 1.387, 1.6435, 1.5346, 1.5346, 1.7246, 1.7253, 1.8139, 1.9053, 1.9053, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2020088575203721520", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-02-07T10:53:42+00:00", "symbol": "MU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "most bullish on memory/photonics like Sk Hynix/Samsung, $SNDK, $MU", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Most bullish on SK Hynix, Samsung, SNDK, MU, LITE (memory/photonics) and TSM; also likes AXTI upstream for InP precursors.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Here's my TLDR + mapped into investment framework from Semivision bottleneck summary:\n\nHBM:\nHBM4 (16Hi) - Samsung, Sk Hynix, $MU\nHBF - $SNDK, Kioxia\nBase Die - $TSM, Samsung (internal)\n\nCPO/photonics;\nGlass Substrate: $GLW, $INTC, Ibiden\nOptical: $LITE, $AVGO, $COHR, $MRVL\n\nPower Delivery:\nVolatage: $MPWR, $VICR\nThermal: $VRT, $NVT, $MOD\nGrid: $ETN, $SBGSY\nSiC/GaN: $ON, $IFNNY\nRack: $APH\n\nN2 Volume:\n$TSM , $AMD (First mover dc), $QLCM, Mediatek, $NVDA\n\nAdvanced Packaging:\nYield: $CAMT, $ONTO, $KLAC\nOSATs: $AMKR\n$BESIY, Disco\n\nSemivision's summary:\n1. \"advanced packaging capacity and yield control\"\n2. \"HBM ecosystem coordination\"\n3. \"power delivery innovation (SiC, GaN PMICs, rack-level power architectures)\"\n4. \"CPO/photonics integration capability\"\n5.  \"data center infrastructure as a “hidden limiter” to semiconductor revenue realization\"\n\nAs you probably know, I'm probably most bullish on memory/photonics like Sk Hynix/Samsung, $SNDK, $MU, $LITE above. And $TSM. \n\nI probably go a bit more upstream like $AXTI for InP precursors, but midstream players are the chokepoint + control most of the pricing. \n\nBut just added commentary of related companies to topics to make things simpler for the regular retail investor.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.029178622415872324, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.029178622415872324, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03397731602399057, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04147420848508743, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012295586069215103, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02672751304786447, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02672751304786447, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.024090352615783628, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.022079820537778017, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004647692510086454, "ret_p1w": 0.07342899206456432, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07342899206456432, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09100956184890752, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0707977186346398, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00263127342992453, "ret_p1m": 0.0511342381423634, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0511342381423634, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07530030075741723, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07405322858649266, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02291899044412926, "ret_p3m": 0.6868361280257833, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6868361280257833, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.6297312243025999, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3586669808662146, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3281691471595687, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3617, -0.3824, -0.3566, -0.3694, -0.4044, -0.4111, -0.4751, -0.4595, -0.4163, -0.4148, -0.3998, -0.3998, -0.3836, -0.3732, -0.3758, -0.3897, -0.4092, -0.3817, -0.3564, -0.3421, -0.3126, -0.3263, -0.3715, -0.381, -0.394, -0.4122, -0.3522, -0.3069, -0.2791, -0.2799, -0.2528, -0.2528, -0.2577, -0.2324, -0.2369, -0.2558, -0.2558, -0.1775, -0.186, -0.1045, -0.1146, -0.1473, -0.1002, -0.0981, -0.1183, -0.1308, -0.1222, -0.0541, -0.0541, -0.0482, 0.0146, 0.0367, 0.0421, 0.0146, 0.0697, 0.135, 0.1363, 0.0818, 0.1416, 0.0937, -0.0107, -0.0016, 0.0292, 0.0, -0.0267, 0.07, 0.0795, 0.0734, 0.0734, 0.0425, 0.0977, 0.0883, 0.1165, 0.0977, 0.09, 0.1186, 0.0836, 0.0753, 0.0761, -0.01, 0.045, 0.0353, -0.0344, 0.0152, 0.0511, 0.0918, 0.057, 0.1112, 0.152, 0.2039, 0.204, 0.1585, 0.1027, 0.0544, 0.0314, -0.0037, -0.0731, -0.0685, -0.1605, -0.1187, -0.0404, -0.0446, -0.0446, -0.0146, -0.015, 0.061, 0.0996, 0.0972, 0.1127, 0.2147, 0.1901, 0.1928, 0.1871, 0.1698, 0.1723, 0.2717, 0.2566, 0.2958, 0.3684, 0.3155, 0.3525, 0.3491, 0.4144, 0.5038, 0.6701, 0.7389, 0.6868, 0.9482, 1.0747, 0.9997, 1.0964, 1.0243, 0.8904, 0.7779, 0.8228, 0.9095, 0.9881, 0.9591, 0.9591, 1.337, 1.4219, 1.4091, 1.533, 1.533, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2020088575203721520", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-02-07T10:53:42+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "most bullish on memory/photonics like Sk Hynix/Samsung, $SNDK, $MU, $LITE above", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Most bullish on SK Hynix, Samsung, SNDK, MU, LITE (memory/photonics) and TSM; also likes AXTI upstream for InP precursors.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Here's my TLDR + mapped into investment framework from Semivision bottleneck summary:\n\nHBM:\nHBM4 (16Hi) - Samsung, Sk Hynix, $MU\nHBF - $SNDK, Kioxia\nBase Die - $TSM, Samsung (internal)\n\nCPO/photonics;\nGlass Substrate: $GLW, $INTC, Ibiden\nOptical: $LITE, $AVGO, $COHR, $MRVL\n\nPower Delivery:\nVolatage: $MPWR, $VICR\nThermal: $VRT, $NVT, $MOD\nGrid: $ETN, $SBGSY\nSiC/GaN: $ON, $IFNNY\nRack: $APH\n\nN2 Volume:\n$TSM , $AMD (First mover dc), $QLCM, Mediatek, $NVDA\n\nAdvanced Packaging:\nYield: $CAMT, $ONTO, $KLAC\nOSATs: $AMKR\n$BESIY, Disco\n\nSemivision's summary:\n1. \"advanced packaging capacity and yield control\"\n2. \"HBM ecosystem coordination\"\n3. \"power delivery innovation (SiC, GaN PMICs, rack-level power architectures)\"\n4. \"CPO/photonics integration capability\"\n5.  \"data center infrastructure as a “hidden limiter” to semiconductor revenue realization\"\n\nAs you probably know, I'm probably most bullish on memory/photonics like Sk Hynix/Samsung, $SNDK, $MU, $LITE above. And $TSM. \n\nI probably go a bit more upstream like $AXTI for InP precursors, but midstream players are the chokepoint + control most of the pricing. \n\nBut just added commentary of related companies to topics to make things simpler for the regular retail investor.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04359357725962254, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04359357725962254, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0387948836515043, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0387948836515043, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.027757114881029277, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.027757114881029277, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.025119954448948434, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.025119954448948434, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "ret_p1w": -0.024967570943650097, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.024967570943650097, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.007387001159306905, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.007387001159306905, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "ret_p1m": 0.16434197621707036, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.16434197621707036, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1885080388321242, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1885080388321242, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "ret_p3m": 0.5465303289140702, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5465303289140702, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4894254251908867, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4894254251908867, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5602, -0.6069, -0.5978, -0.5806, -0.5713, -0.5341, -0.5959, -0.5572, -0.4813, -0.4953, -0.4659, -0.4659, -0.4366, -0.4491, -0.4753, -0.475, -0.432, -0.4258, -0.4065, -0.3757, -0.3658, -0.3553, -0.438, -0.4201, -0.4522, -0.4451, -0.4159, -0.3564, -0.3245, -0.3288, -0.314, -0.314, -0.3229, -0.3544, -0.3569, -0.3614, -0.3614, -0.331, -0.3814, -0.3114, -0.3193, -0.3966, -0.3911, -0.4111, -0.3739, -0.4254, -0.4052, -0.4382, -0.4382, -0.3817, -0.372, -0.3858, -0.4123, -0.424, -0.3578, -0.3329, -0.3391, -0.3211, -0.2664, -0.2461, -0.1934, -0.126, -0.0436, 0.0, -0.0278, -0.0053, 0.0109, -0.025, -0.025, 0.0403, 0.0296, 0.1013, 0.157, 0.1691, 0.1925, 0.2534, 0.173, 0.2144, 0.3571, 0.2032, 0.1796, 0.1276, -0.0324, 0.1101, 0.1643, 0.1643, 0.0675, 0.0786, 0.0826, 0.1255, 0.2143, 0.3378, 0.2239, 0.263, 0.3896, 0.3466, 0.1935, 0.2176, 0.1345, 0.2176, 0.3249, 0.4327, 0.4327, 0.3381, 0.4134, 0.5525, 0.5492, 0.5547, 0.5095, 0.4776, 0.4277, 0.5442, 0.5491, 0.5509, 0.4501, 0.5136, 0.4674, 0.5276, 0.4895, 0.3712, 0.4872, 0.5634, 0.6459, 0.6914, 0.7232, 0.6361, 0.5465, 0.566, 0.8246, 0.7194, 0.7853, 0.7358, 0.6819, 0.5334, 0.5422, 0.5041, 0.6711, 0.6406, 0.6406, 0.5781, 0.5634, 0.4912, 0.4813, 0.4813, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2020088575203721520", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2026-02-07T10:53:42+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "And $TSM", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Most bullish on SK Hynix, Samsung, SNDK, MU, LITE (memory/photonics) and TSM; also likes AXTI upstream for InP precursors.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Here's my TLDR + mapped into investment framework from Semivision bottleneck summary:\n\nHBM:\nHBM4 (16Hi) - Samsung, Sk Hynix, $MU\nHBF - $SNDK, Kioxia\nBase Die - $TSM, Samsung (internal)\n\nCPO/photonics;\nGlass Substrate: $GLW, $INTC, Ibiden\nOptical: $LITE, $AVGO, $COHR, $MRVL\n\nPower Delivery:\nVolatage: $MPWR, $VICR\nThermal: $VRT, $NVT, $MOD\nGrid: $ETN, $SBGSY\nSiC/GaN: $ON, $IFNNY\nRack: $APH\n\nN2 Volume:\n$TSM , $AMD (First mover dc), $QLCM, Mediatek, $NVDA\n\nAdvanced Packaging:\nYield: $CAMT, $ONTO, $KLAC\nOSATs: $AMKR\n$BESIY, Disco\n\nSemivision's summary:\n1. \"advanced packaging capacity and yield control\"\n2. \"HBM ecosystem coordination\"\n3. \"power delivery innovation (SiC, GaN PMICs, rack-level power architectures)\"\n4. \"CPO/photonics integration capability\"\n5.  \"data center infrastructure as a “hidden limiter” to semiconductor revenue realization\"\n\nAs you probably know, I'm probably most bullish on memory/photonics like Sk Hynix/Samsung, $SNDK, $MU, $LITE above. And $TSM. \n\nI probably go a bit more upstream like $AXTI for InP precursors, but midstream players are the chokepoint + control most of the pricing. \n\nBut just added commentary of related companies to topics to make things simpler for the regular retail investor.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.018457549418768093, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.018457549418768093, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01365885581064985, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01365885581064985, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.018288692040738352, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.018288692040738352, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.020925852472819195, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.020925852472819195, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "ret_p1w": 0.030809453705480827, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.030809453705480827, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04839002348982402, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04839002348982402, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "ret_p1m": -0.023409608475624344, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.023409608475624344, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0007564541394294855, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0007564541394294855, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "ret_p3m": 0.16855737848619223, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.16855737848619223, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11145247476300879, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.11145247476300879, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1845, -0.2081, -0.2008, -0.2087, -0.2202, -0.2076, -0.2213, -0.2282, -0.2013, -0.2012, -0.1864, -0.1864, -0.182, -0.1927, -0.1804, -0.1709, -0.178, -0.173, -0.1529, -0.1486, -0.1297, -0.1423, -0.1783, -0.1904, -0.1928, -0.2207, -0.199, -0.187, -0.1748, -0.1645, -0.1593, -0.1593, -0.1479, -0.1533, -0.1571, -0.145, -0.145, -0.1007, -0.0933, -0.0787, -0.1033, -0.1052, -0.0894, -0.0665, -0.0681, -0.0796, -0.0387, -0.0366, -0.0366, -0.0795, -0.0824, -0.0789, -0.0578, -0.0639, -0.048, -0.0369, -0.0446, -0.0699, -0.0395, -0.0553, -0.0835, -0.0694, -0.0185, 0.0, 0.0183, 0.0526, 0.0357, 0.0308, 0.0308, 0.0247, 0.0193, 0.014, 0.0426, 0.0412, 0.0854, 0.0909, 0.0602, 0.0539, 0.0385, -0.0064, 0.0057, -0.0044, -0.0465, -0.0189, -0.0234, -0.0024, -0.0526, -0.0481, -0.0427, -0.0238, -0.0419, -0.0441, -0.071, -0.045, -0.0315, -0.0188, -0.0799, -0.0781, -0.107, -0.0464, -0.0365, -0.0434, -0.0434, -0.0357, -0.0257, 0.0324, 0.0313, 0.0457, 0.0428, 0.0719, 0.0584, 0.0252, 0.0454, 0.0334, 0.0386, 0.0932, 0.0797, 0.1356, 0.1427, 0.107, 0.1112, 0.1175, 0.1221, 0.1332, 0.1129, 0.1837, 0.1686, 0.1616, 0.1414, 0.121, 0.1281, 0.1786, 0.1409, 0.1172, 0.1078, 0.1332, 0.1488, 0.1414, 0.1414, 0.1634, 0.1928, 0.1988, 0.1807, 0.1807, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2020088575203721520", "ticker_idx": 6, "ts": "2026-02-07T10:53:42+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I probably go a bit more upstream like $AXTI for InP precursors", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Most bullish on SK Hynix, Samsung, SNDK, MU, LITE (memory/photonics) and TSM; also likes AXTI upstream for InP precursors.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Here's my TLDR + mapped into investment framework from Semivision bottleneck summary:\n\nHBM:\nHBM4 (16Hi) - Samsung, Sk Hynix, $MU\nHBF - $SNDK, Kioxia\nBase Die - $TSM, Samsung (internal)\n\nCPO/photonics;\nGlass Substrate: $GLW, $INTC, Ibiden\nOptical: $LITE, $AVGO, $COHR, $MRVL\n\nPower Delivery:\nVolatage: $MPWR, $VICR\nThermal: $VRT, $NVT, $MOD\nGrid: $ETN, $SBGSY\nSiC/GaN: $ON, $IFNNY\nRack: $APH\n\nN2 Volume:\n$TSM , $AMD (First mover dc), $QLCM, Mediatek, $NVDA\n\nAdvanced Packaging:\nYield: $CAMT, $ONTO, $KLAC\nOSATs: $AMKR\n$BESIY, Disco\n\nSemivision's summary:\n1. \"advanced packaging capacity and yield control\"\n2. \"HBM ecosystem coordination\"\n3. \"power delivery innovation (SiC, GaN PMICs, rack-level power architectures)\"\n4. \"CPO/photonics integration capability\"\n5.  \"data center infrastructure as a “hidden limiter” to semiconductor revenue realization\"\n\nAs you probably know, I'm probably most bullish on memory/photonics like Sk Hynix/Samsung, $SNDK, $MU, $LITE above. And $TSM. \n\nI probably go a bit more upstream like $AXTI for InP precursors, but midstream players are the chokepoint + control most of the pricing. \n\nBut just added commentary of related companies to topics to make things simpler for the regular retail investor.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.1335974407873689, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1335974407873689, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12879874717925066, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1213018547181538, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012295586069215103, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.123154483972571, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.123154483972571, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.12051732354049016, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.11850679146248455, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004647692510086454, "ret_p1w": -0.1271156149966366, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1271156149966366, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1095350452122934, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12974688842656112, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00263127342992453, "ret_p1m": 0.5952466152976088, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5952466152976088, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6194126779126626, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.6181656057417381, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02291899044412926, "ret_p3m": 2.904213049396414, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.904213049396414, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.8471081456732303, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.5760439022368455, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3281691471595687, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6046, -0.6241, -0.6241, -0.6309, -0.6435, -0.6359, -0.6597, -0.6784, -0.6637, -0.6676, -0.6237, -0.6237, -0.6147, -0.6115, -0.5765, -0.5866, -0.5643, -0.583, -0.5423, -0.4613, -0.4415, -0.4102, -0.4667, -0.466, -0.5319, -0.5549, -0.4955, -0.4725, -0.4519, -0.4728, -0.4595, -0.4595, -0.4465, -0.4746, -0.431, -0.4112, -0.4112, -0.3965, -0.3997, -0.2737, -0.1318, -0.0699, -0.1721, -0.1991, -0.2254, -0.2042, -0.0738, -0.2045, -0.2045, -0.229, -0.2877, -0.3547, -0.3734, -0.359, -0.3806, -0.394, -0.4102, -0.3324, -0.2459, -0.2892, -0.3248, -0.2643, -0.1336, 0.0, -0.1232, -0.0349, -0.1073, -0.1271, -0.1271, -0.1642, -0.1523, -0.1426, 0.0688, 0.0238, 0.2632, 0.4753, 0.3367, 0.3648, 0.668, 0.5038, 0.4091, 0.3972, 0.1656, 0.3885, 0.5952, 0.7054, 0.6828, 0.7595, 0.7425, 0.5974, 0.7559, 1.0918, 0.9532, 1.3205, 1.4645, 1.4253, 1.1069, 1.1833, 0.8988, 1.0519, 0.6975, 0.9028, 0.9028, 0.5121, 0.637, 0.915, 1.273, 1.3111, 1.3929, 1.4235, 1.2661, 1.9449, 1.973, 1.8362, 1.6997, 2.1307, 1.7105, 1.7425, 1.5261, 1.4743, 1.5592, 1.8527, 2.457, 2.8171, 2.8729, 2.7749, 2.9042, 3.1901, 3.5304, 3.4256, 3.3911, 3.1404, 3.4573, 2.8127, 3.0648, 2.767, 3.3579, 4.0713, 4.0713, 3.7749, 3.421, 3.1664, 2.7148, 2.7148, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2036536675413926123", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-24T20:12:35+00:00", "symbol": "ARM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm actually personally pretty bearish on both $ARM and $QLCM", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish ARM and QCOM; bullish MediaTek as the better long on ASIC growth with Google.", "resolved_tickers": ["ARM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm actually personally pretty bearish on both $ARM and $QLCM.\n\nProbably not the best person to ask on $ARM since I did help out RISC-V quite a bit so I'm a little biased.  \n\nAs for Qualcomm... Mediatek is probably better long, especially with their high growth ASIC arm working with $GOOGL.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I'm interested to hear your opinion on ARM and QCOM.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "455BAG", "ret_m1d": 0.014300478510445691, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014300478510445691, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010932322364053615, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.022486218180242656, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008185739669796965, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.16382631528188685, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.16382631528188685, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.1582535563345009, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.15259949068700318, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011226824594883666, "ret_p1w": 0.12092465362742755, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12092465362742755, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.12527256056296987, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.14928320945818452, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02835855583075697, "ret_p1m": 0.4565056131107996, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.4565056131107996, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.36766328795146275, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.24808677077412722, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2084188423366724, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1735, -0.1829, -0.1812, -0.1786, -0.1901, -0.1901, -0.1499, -0.1397, -0.144, -0.1429, -0.1621, -0.1717, -0.1765, -0.2009, -0.2221, -0.2212, -0.2162, -0.2162, -0.2059, -0.1559, -0.1168, -0.14, -0.1499, -0.1488, -0.1852, -0.1966, -0.2193, -0.2077, -0.2253, -0.2227, -0.1784, -0.0834, -0.0767, -0.0668, -0.0717, -0.0946, -0.0717, -0.0717, -0.0598, -0.0572, -0.0595, -0.0695, -0.0828, -0.0505, -0.0239, -0.0422, -0.0556, -0.0785, -0.0981, -0.0804, -0.1063, -0.1525, -0.1284, -0.1068, -0.1101, -0.147, -0.1423, -0.0983, -0.0567, -0.0489, -0.0381, -0.0193, 0.0143, 0.0, 0.1638, 0.147, 0.0679, 0.0148, 0.1209, 0.149, 0.1048, 0.1048, 0.1023, 0.0659, 0.1034, 0.1099, 0.1035, 0.1676, 0.1946, 0.1806, 0.2028, 0.2354, 0.2974, 0.3003, 0.4565, 0.5161, 0.7398, 0.5996, 0.4719, 0.4944, 0.5584, 0.5648, 0.5061, 0.5474, 0.7583, 0.5805, 0.5802, 0.5757, 0.5406, 0.6391, 0.6931, 0.5498, 0.594, 0.6535, 0.9023, 1.2098, 1.2711, 1.2711, 1.3801, 1.243, 1.4842, 1.6177, 1.6177, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2036536675413926123", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-24T20:12:35+00:00", "symbol": "QCOM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm actually personally pretty bearish on both $ARM and $QLCM", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish ARM and QCOM; bullish MediaTek as the better long on ASIC growth with Google.", "resolved_tickers": ["QCOM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm actually personally pretty bearish on both $ARM and $QLCM.\n\nProbably not the best person to ask on $ARM since I did help out RISC-V quite a bit so I'm a little biased.  \n\nAs for Qualcomm... Mediatek is probably better long, especially with their high growth ASIC arm working with $GOOGL.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I'm interested to hear your opinion on ARM and QCOM.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "455BAG", "ret_m1d": -0.0024869205718767162, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0024869205718767162, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005855076718268792, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005855076718268792, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01305671841515399, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01305671841515399, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007483959467768031, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007483959467768031, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "ret_p1w": 0.0008549048878288001, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0008549048878288001, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.005202811823371123, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.005202811823371123, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "ret_p1m": 0.05751153540514653, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05751153540514653, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03133078975419035, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03133078975419035, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3496, 0.3499, 0.3393, 0.341, 0.3209, 0.3209, 0.3358, 0.3615, 0.4089, 0.3915, 0.4044, 0.3729, 0.3071, 0.2764, 0.2706, 0.2463, 0.2311, 0.2311, 0.1898, 0.2075, 0.2186, 0.2033, 0.1932, 0.1818, 0.1792, 0.1755, 0.1706, 0.1786, 0.1366, 0.1498, 0.0525, 0.0606, 0.0729, 0.0818, 0.0891, 0.0693, 0.0865, 0.0865, 0.1014, 0.1061, 0.0909, 0.1034, 0.0843, 0.118, 0.1261, 0.1243, 0.0993, 0.0891, 0.0667, 0.0773, 0.0647, 0.0546, 0.0734, 0.0507, 0.0424, 0.0193, 0.0089, 0.0056, 0.0227, 0.014, 0.0203, 0.0096, -0.0025, 0.0, 0.0131, 0.0145, -0.0121, -0.0124, 0.0009, -0.0108, -0.0145, -0.0145, -0.0228, -0.0358, -0.009, -0.0072, -0.0047, 0.02, 0.0324, 0.034, 0.0451, 0.0585, 0.0688, 0.0535, 0.0575, 0.041, 0.1568, 0.1678, 0.1658, 0.2124, 0.3957, 0.3757, 0.3086, 0.4498, 0.4966, 0.5742, 0.7027, 0.846, 0.6345, 0.6567, 0.555, 0.5659, 0.5827, 0.5202, 0.5739, 0.6586, 0.8509, 0.8509, 0.9338, 0.8139, 0.8908, 0.9509, 0.9509, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2036536675413926123", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-24T20:12:35+00:00", "symbol": "MediaTek", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Mediatek is probably better long, especially with their high growth ASIC arm working with $GOOGL", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish ARM and QCOM; bullish MediaTek as the better long on ASIC growth with Google.", "resolved_tickers": ["2454.TW"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "MediaTek Inc listed on TWSE as 2454.TW", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TW')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm actually personally pretty bearish on both $ARM and $QLCM.\n\nProbably not the best person to ask on $ARM since I did help out RISC-V quite a bit so I'm a little biased.  \n\nAs for Qualcomm... Mediatek is probably better long, especially with their high growth ASIC arm working with $GOOGL.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I'm interested to hear your opinion on ARM and QCOM.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "455BAG", "ret_m1d": 0.0030864197530864335, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0030864197530864335, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0002817363933056427, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01698717144314843, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "bench_c_m1d": 0.020073591196234863, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0055727589473859585, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0233248738437406, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0233248738437406, "ret_p1w": -0.08024691358024694, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08024691358024694, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07589900664470461, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0827914472332224, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "bench_c_p1w": 0.002544533652975467, "ret_p1m": 0.41666666666666674, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.41666666666666674, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.32782434150732986, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.19826116703136565, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2184054996353011, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1643, -0.1613, -0.1401, -0.1401, -0.1341, -0.1341, -0.1098, -0.0765, -0.0833, -0.0802, -0.108, -0.1235, -0.108, -0.0833, -0.0741, -0.0802, -0.071, -0.0833, -0.0833, -0.0957, -0.0833, 0.0062, 0.0926, 0.0957, 0.0988, 0.0988, 0.0864, 0.0525, 0.108, 0.1111, 0.0926, 0.0556, 0.1296, 0.1389, 0.1451, 0.1451, 0.1451, 0.1451, 0.1451, 0.1451, 0.1451, 0.1451, 0.108, 0.1265, 0.1543, 0.2006, 0.2006, 0.1728, 0.1204, 0.0617, 0.0957, 0.0895, 0.0278, 0.0525, 0.0895, 0.1019, 0.0617, 0.0556, 0.0679, 0.0679, 0.037, 0.0494, 0.0031, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0185, -0.0216, -0.0679, -0.0802, -0.0957, -0.0957, -0.0957, -0.0957, -0.0926, -0.0247, -0.0278, -0.0278, 0.0, 0.0617, 0.1049, 0.1698, 0.1883, 0.1728, 0.2901, 0.4167, 0.3673, 0.5031, 0.5031, 0.6142, 0.5895, 0.6111, 0.6111, 0.7716, 0.9475, 1.1173, 1.1111, 1.2407, 1.3951, 1.284, 1.1574, 1.1019, 1.0123, 1.0988, 0.9475, 0.9938, 1.1914, 1.3827, 1.6204, 1.6327, 1.8642, 1.7222, 1.6605, 1.7531, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2028423645098610839", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-02T10:54:17+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My core photonics segment picks from $AXTI, $LITE, $COHR, and $AAOI have been just vertical green line up every day recently", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds AXTI, LITE, COHR, AAOI as core photonics picks, all trending up despite macro headwinds.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Apparently $IQE does not concern itself with the War in Iran either?\n\nMy core photonics segment picks from $AXTI, $LITE, $COHR, and $AAOI have been just vertical green line up every day recently, despite any macro. https://t.co/I4O1zxyY8W", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$AAOI does not concern itself with a war in Iran.\n\nThe photonics stock with surprise ~900% revenue growth blowout projections to:\n\n$4.53B ARR by mid-2027, off ~40% margins.\n\nCoupled with double digit directional SI stuck. \n\nMight not need to be. https://t.co/qKReNvBMYh", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.18177889085535037, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.18177889085535037, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.181210635171144, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.18172962898737033, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -4.926186798004384e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09844562615142993, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09844562615142993, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08963128766863426, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0607232005571261, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03772242559430383, "ret_p1w": -0.16753018939247322, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.16753018939247322, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.15571460846895835, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.13795264295189846, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.029577546440574753, "ret_p1m": 0.2301381674793761, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2301381674793761, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.28005790905455985, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.286709490403837, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.056571322924460876, "ret_p3m": 1.4978410559266577, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.4978410559266577, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.3954476767607498, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.021845102608886, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.4759959533177718, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7522, -0.7388, -0.75, -0.7256, -0.677, -0.6652, -0.6464, -0.6803, -0.6798, -0.7193, -0.7332, -0.6975, -0.6837, -0.6714, -0.6839, -0.6759, -0.6759, -0.6682, -0.685, -0.6589, -0.647, -0.647, -0.6382, -0.6401, -0.5646, -0.4795, -0.4424, -0.5037, -0.5199, -0.5356, -0.5229, -0.4447, -0.5231, -0.5231, -0.5378, -0.573, -0.6131, -0.6244, -0.6157, -0.6287, -0.6367, -0.6464, -0.5997, -0.5479, -0.5738, -0.5952, -0.5589, -0.4806, -0.4005, -0.4743, -0.4214, -0.4648, -0.4767, -0.4767, -0.4989, -0.4918, -0.486, -0.3592, -0.3862, -0.2427, -0.1155, -0.1986, -0.1818, 0.0, -0.0984, -0.1552, -0.1623, -0.3012, -0.1675, -0.0436, 0.0225, 0.0089, 0.0548, 0.0447, -0.0423, 0.0527, 0.2541, 0.171, 0.3912, 0.4775, 0.454, 0.2632, 0.3089, 0.1384, 0.2301, 0.0177, 0.1408, 0.1408, -0.0935, -0.0186, 0.1481, 0.3627, 0.3856, 0.4346, 0.4529, 0.3586, 0.7655, 0.7824, 0.7003, 0.6185, 0.8769, 0.625, 0.6442, 0.5145, 0.4834, 0.5343, 0.7103, 1.0725, 1.2884, 1.3219, 1.2632, 1.3407, 1.5121, 1.7161, 1.6533, 1.6326, 1.4823, 1.6723, 1.2858, 1.437, 1.2584, 1.6127, 2.0404, 2.0404, 1.8627, 1.6505, 1.4978, 1.2271, 1.2271, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2028423645098610839", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-02T10:54:17+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My core photonics segment picks from $AXTI, $LITE, $COHR, and $AAOI have been just vertical green line up every day recently", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds AXTI, LITE, COHR, AAOI as core photonics picks, all trending up despite macro headwinds.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Apparently $IQE does not concern itself with the War in Iran either?\n\nMy core photonics segment picks from $AXTI, $LITE, $COHR, and $AAOI have been just vertical green line up every day recently, despite any macro. https://t.co/I4O1zxyY8W", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$AAOI does not concern itself with a war in Iran.\n\nThe photonics stock with surprise ~900% revenue growth blowout projections to:\n\n$4.53B ARR by mid-2027, off ~40% margins.\n\nCoupled with double digit directional SI stuck. \n\nMight not need to be. https://t.co/qKReNvBMYh", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.10512611152948448, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10512611152948448, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1045578558452781, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1045578558452781, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.11339930714869928, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.11339930714869928, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.10458496866590361, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.10458496866590361, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "ret_p1w": -0.18201084910130072, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.18201084910130072, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.17019526817778585, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.17019526817778585, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "ret_p1m": -0.10276411137488028, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10276411137488028, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05284436979969653, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05284436979969653, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "ret_p3m": 0.09878071511929454, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09878071511929454, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.003612664046613423, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.003612664046613423, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6132, -0.5814, -0.5769, -0.5626, -0.54, -0.5327, -0.5249, -0.5859, -0.5727, -0.5964, -0.5911, -0.5696, -0.5258, -0.5022, -0.5054, -0.4945, -0.4945, -0.5011, -0.5243, -0.5261, -0.5294, -0.5294, -0.507, -0.5441, -0.4926, -0.4984, -0.5554, -0.5513, -0.5661, -0.5387, -0.5766, -0.5617, -0.586, -0.586, -0.5444, -0.5373, -0.5474, -0.5669, -0.5756, -0.5268, -0.5085, -0.513, -0.4997, -0.4594, -0.4445, -0.4056, -0.356, -0.2953, -0.2631, -0.2836, -0.267, -0.2551, -0.2815, -0.2815, -0.2334, -0.2413, -0.1885, -0.1474, -0.1386, -0.1213, -0.0764, -0.1357, -0.1051, 0.0, -0.1134, -0.1308, -0.1691, -0.287, -0.182, -0.142, -0.142, -0.2134, -0.2052, -0.2022, -0.1707, -0.1053, -0.0142, -0.0982, -0.0693, 0.0239, -0.0078, -0.1206, -0.1028, -0.164, -0.1028, -0.0237, 0.0557, 0.0557, -0.014, 0.0415, 0.144, 0.1416, 0.1456, 0.1123, 0.0888, 0.052, 0.1378, 0.1415, 0.1428, 0.0685, 0.1154, 0.0813, 0.1256, 0.0976, 0.0104, 0.0958, 0.152, 0.2128, 0.2463, 0.2698, 0.2056, 0.1396, 0.1539, 0.3445, 0.267, 0.3155, 0.279, 0.2393, 0.1299, 0.1364, 0.1083, 0.2314, 0.2089, 0.2089, 0.1629, 0.152, 0.0988, 0.0916, 0.0916, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2028423645098610839", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-02T10:54:17+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My core photonics segment picks from $AXTI, $LITE, $COHR, and $AAOI have been just vertical green line up every day recently", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds AXTI, LITE, COHR, AAOI as core photonics picks, all trending up despite macro headwinds.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Apparently $IQE does not concern itself with the War in Iran either?\n\nMy core photonics segment picks from $AXTI, $LITE, $COHR, and $AAOI have been just vertical green line up every day recently, despite any macro. https://t.co/I4O1zxyY8W", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$AAOI does not concern itself with a war in Iran.\n\nThe photonics stock with surprise ~900% revenue growth blowout projections to:\n\n$4.53B ARR by mid-2027, off ~40% margins.\n\nCoupled with double digit directional SI stuck. \n\nMight not need to be. https://t.co/qKReNvBMYh", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.13375266968823796, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.13375266968823796, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.13318441400403158, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.13318441400403158, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.060553363493234036, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.060553363493234036, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.051739025010438366, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.051739025010438366, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "ret_p1w": -0.15586630011405167, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.15586630011405167, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1440507191905368, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1440507191905368, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "ret_p1m": -0.20307114584514885, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.20307114584514885, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1531514042699651, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1531514042699651, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "ret_p3m": 0.2610819564043063, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2610819564043063, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.15868857723839835, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.15868857723839835, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4281, -0.4067, -0.3918, -0.3782, -0.3552, -0.3394, -0.3359, -0.4034, -0.403, -0.4139, -0.4298, -0.4122, -0.3783, -0.3611, -0.3581, -0.3598, -0.3598, -0.3586, -0.3676, -0.375, -0.3825, -0.3825, -0.3499, -0.3765, -0.3506, -0.3589, -0.4207, -0.4043, -0.3805, -0.3643, -0.3841, -0.3444, -0.3609, -0.3609, -0.3528, -0.326, -0.3218, -0.3411, -0.3384, -0.2841, -0.2602, -0.2778, -0.2902, -0.2558, -0.2333, -0.2941, -0.3, -0.2383, -0.1889, -0.236, -0.2516, -0.277, -0.2733, -0.2733, -0.2641, -0.251, -0.2222, -0.1697, -0.1673, -0.1474, -0.1037, -0.1632, -0.1338, 0.0, -0.0606, -0.0805, -0.1507, -0.2114, -0.1559, -0.128, -0.1589, -0.1928, -0.1878, -0.1724, -0.1777, -0.1395, -0.0781, -0.1515, -0.1467, -0.0889, -0.0899, -0.1861, -0.1854, -0.2652, -0.2031, -0.171, -0.1363, -0.1363, -0.1529, -0.1466, -0.0573, -0.0493, 0.0287, 0.0302, 0.0485, 0.0311, 0.0973, 0.1543, 0.1626, 0.1501, 0.1725, 0.1297, 0.1244, 0.0757, 0.0169, 0.0201, 0.0696, 0.1023, 0.1036, 0.1232, 0.1531, 0.0678, 0.1216, 0.2702, 0.2512, 0.3506, 0.3547, 0.2795, 0.2138, 0.1831, 0.1994, 0.2646, 0.2632, 0.2632, 0.2758, 0.2719, 0.2611, 0.2093, 0.2093, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2028423645098610839", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-03-02T10:54:17+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My core photonics segment picks from $AXTI, $LITE, $COHR, and $AAOI have been just vertical green line up every day recently", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds AXTI, LITE, COHR, AAOI as core photonics picks, all trending up despite macro headwinds.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Apparently $IQE does not concern itself with the War in Iran either?\n\nMy core photonics segment picks from $AXTI, $LITE, $COHR, and $AAOI have been just vertical green line up every day recently, despite any macro. https://t.co/I4O1zxyY8W", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$AAOI does not concern itself with a war in Iran.\n\nThe photonics stock with surprise ~900% revenue growth blowout projections to:\n\n$4.53B ARR by mid-2027, off ~40% margins.\n\nCoupled with double digit directional SI stuck. \n\nMight not need to be. https://t.co/qKReNvBMYh", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.17832405032051124, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.17832405032051124, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.17775579463630486, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.17775579463630486, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06994445077477685, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06994445077477685, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.061130112291981176, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.061130112291981176, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "ret_p1w": 0.07911423706316767, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07911423706316767, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09092981798668254, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09092981798668254, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "ret_p1m": -0.17481226636328706, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17481226636328706, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12489252478810331, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12489252478810331, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "ret_p3m": 0.6488147570989427, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6488147570989427, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5464213779330347, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5464213779330347, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7498, -0.744, -0.7406, -0.7284, -0.7036, -0.6588, -0.6457, -0.6873, -0.7083, -0.7175, -0.7352, -0.7147, -0.6945, -0.6186, -0.6036, -0.6, -0.6, -0.6374, -0.6415, -0.6486, -0.6599, -0.6599, -0.6137, -0.6587, -0.6234, -0.6288, -0.678, -0.6679, -0.6711, -0.6666, -0.6637, -0.6391, -0.6387, -0.6387, -0.617, -0.6256, -0.6278, -0.6515, -0.6596, -0.6353, -0.5588, -0.614, -0.5746, -0.5692, -0.5501, -0.6108, -0.628, -0.5678, -0.5326, -0.527, -0.5279, -0.5709, -0.5663, -0.5663, -0.5717, -0.5762, -0.5417, -0.4959, -0.4736, -0.4511, -0.433, -0.4762, -0.1783, 0.0, -0.0699, -0.0273, -0.0134, -0.0676, 0.0791, 0.1754, 0.239, 0.0359, -0.0556, -0.0823, -0.1578, -0.0964, -0.0058, -0.146, -0.0658, 0.1111, 0.1161, -0.0497, -0.0419, -0.169, -0.1748, -0.1576, 0.0137, 0.0137, 0.0482, 0.1476, 0.2945, 0.3004, 0.4691, 0.4944, 0.4281, 0.3906, 0.5347, 0.5552, 0.5947, 0.4688, 0.4576, 0.3436, 0.582, 0.4221, 0.339, 0.4909, 0.6034, 0.7902, 0.6874, 0.7615, 0.7417, 0.5369, 0.4529, 0.8037, 0.8367, 1.1764, 0.9859, 0.857, 0.6902, 0.6713, 0.6121, 0.7248, 0.7705, 0.7705, 0.7327, 0.7543, 0.6488, 0.5453, 0.5453, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2024556607762550943", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-19T18:48:04+00:00", "symbol": "XLU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Trade Idea: Long OTM $XLU leaps (2 years, Dec 2027/Jan 2028). This feels like once-a-generation long due to AI.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long OTM XLU leaps (Dec 2027/Jan 2028) on AI power demand paradigm shift, grid upgrade spending, and rate cuts; implied longs in VST/CEG via XLU concentration.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Trade Idea: Long OTM $XLU leaps (2 years, Dec 2027/Jan 2028).\n\nThis feels like once-a-generation long due to AI. \n\nXLU has concentration in $VST / $CEG power companies. \n\nTwo reasons:\n\n1. Paradigm shift due to AI DC electricity usage.\n\n2. Low option IV (~14%) based on historical averages (flat since 2000s).\n\nAI power usage is astronomical. \n\nThis cannot be understated.\n\nNever before in history have DCs use up this much GWs in power, especially when they require outputs of nuclear reactors for training LLMs.\n\nThis forces $META, $AMZN, $GOOGL, and others to sign multi-year agreements to consume as much power as possible. And yet they still don't have enough.\n\n-> So, trillions would likely be poured into grid upgrades. \n\nUsually interest rates hurt the sector but we're going into more rate cuts, so it makes the sector a much better long. \n\nOpenAI's letter to congress pleaded the US to invest in energy as well to compete vs. China.\n\nSo, this feels like a once-a-decade type long due to:\n\n- paradigm shift eating up any available power from AI\n- trillions in grid upgrades to compete vs. China\n- rate cuts. \n\nAnd low IV pricing from historical averages.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.010843636267906964, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010843636267906964, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.013488044660771914, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.013488044660771914, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0026444083928649498, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0026444083928649498, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004771259940194339, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004771259940194339, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0024606046489286104, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0024606046489286104, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007231864589122949, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007231864589122949, "ret_p1w": 0.023205408272127803, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.023205408272127803, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01616354766727679, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01616354766727679, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0070418606048510135, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0070418606048510135, "ret_p1m": -0.031663331261166494, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.031663331261166494, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.018212044007879125, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.018212044007879125, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04987537526904562, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04987537526904562, "ret_p3m": -0.0316634145699376, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0316634145699376, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.10654340358278958, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10654340358278958, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07487998901285198, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07487998901285198, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0405, -0.0441, -0.0314, -0.0314, -0.0245, -0.0474, -0.0541, -0.0572, -0.0591, -0.0679, -0.0804, -0.0798, -0.0802, -0.0735, -0.078, -0.0696, -0.0735, -0.0795, -0.0705, -0.0823, -0.0789, -0.0757, -0.0716, -0.0716, -0.0722, -0.0705, -0.0683, -0.0742, -0.0742, -0.0635, -0.074, -0.0694, -0.092, -0.0894, -0.0781, -0.0766, -0.0707, -0.0638, -0.0542, -0.059, -0.059, -0.0683, -0.067, -0.0737, -0.077, -0.0703, -0.0581, -0.0603, -0.0603, -0.062, -0.0757, -0.0622, -0.0657, -0.0653, -0.0599, -0.057, -0.0414, -0.033, -0.0187, 0.0085, 0.0085, 0.0059, -0.0108, 0.0, 0.0048, 0.0124, 0.0236, 0.0271, 0.0232, 0.0351, 0.0273, 0.0208, 0.0252, 0.0171, 0.0137, 0.016, 0.0098, 0.0013, 0.0085, 0.0184, 0.0249, 0.0221, 0.0134, 0.0093, -0.0317, -0.0221, -0.0153, -0.0118, -0.01, -0.0044, 0.0028, 0.0022, 0.007, 0.012, 0.012, 0.0083, 0.0105, 0.0216, 0.0297, 0.0256, 0.0131, 0.0149, 0.005, 0.0122, 0.0081, -0.0009, -0.0183, -0.0201, 0.0066, 0.0085, 0.0087, 0.01, -0.0024, 0.0232, 0.0166, 0.0127, 0.0127, -0.0017, -0.0146, -0.0234, -0.0142, -0.0131, -0.0245, -0.0194, -0.0419, -0.0404, -0.0317, -0.028, -0.0172, -0.0096, -0.0096, -0.01, -0.0142, -0.0253, -0.0299, -0.0299, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2024556607762550943", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-19T18:48:04+00:00", "symbol": "VST", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "XLU has concentration in $VST / $CEG power companies.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long OTM XLU leaps (Dec 2027/Jan 2028) on AI power demand paradigm shift, grid upgrade spending, and rate cuts; implied longs in VST/CEG via XLU concentration.", "resolved_tickers": ["VST"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Utilities - Independent Power Producers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Trade Idea: Long OTM $XLU leaps (2 years, Dec 2027/Jan 2028).\n\nThis feels like once-a-generation long due to AI. \n\nXLU has concentration in $VST / $CEG power companies. \n\nTwo reasons:\n\n1. Paradigm shift due to AI DC electricity usage.\n\n2. Low option IV (~14%) based on historical averages (flat since 2000s).\n\nAI power usage is astronomical. \n\nThis cannot be understated.\n\nNever before in history have DCs use up this much GWs in power, especially when they require outputs of nuclear reactors for training LLMs.\n\nThis forces $META, $AMZN, $GOOGL, and others to sign multi-year agreements to consume as much power as possible. And yet they still don't have enough.\n\n-> So, trillions would likely be poured into grid upgrades. \n\nUsually interest rates hurt the sector but we're going into more rate cuts, so it makes the sector a much better long. \n\nOpenAI's letter to congress pleaded the US to invest in energy as well to compete vs. China.\n\nSo, this feels like a once-a-decade type long due to:\n\n- paradigm shift eating up any available power from AI\n- trillions in grid upgrades to compete vs. China\n- rate cuts. \n\nAnd low IV pricing from historical averages.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01118838998154048, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01118838998154048, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01383279837440543, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01383279837440543, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0026444083928649498, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0026444083928649498, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00637686499739587, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00637686499739587, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01360872958651882, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01360872958651882, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007231864589122949, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007231864589122949, "ret_p1w": 0.02504349150896945, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02504349150896945, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.018001630904118437, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.018001630904118437, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0070418606048510135, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0070418606048510135, "ret_p1m": -0.15235252746785521, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15235252746785521, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1024771521988096, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1024771521988096, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04987537526904562, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04987537526904562, "ret_p3m": -0.21800716768412587, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.21800716768412587, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.29288715669697785, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.29288715669697785, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07487998901285198, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07487998901285198, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0139, -0.011, 0.0235, 0.0235, 0.0354, 0.0052, -0.0011, -0.0063, 0.0193, -0.0322, -0.0383, -0.0459, -0.0438, 0.0108, -0.0153, -0.026, 0.0041, -0.0739, -0.038, -0.0562, -0.0634, -0.0628, -0.0611, -0.0611, -0.0628, -0.0618, -0.0573, -0.0648, -0.0648, -0.0421, -0.0555, -0.0172, -0.1038, -0.127, -0.0355, 0.0005, -0.0063, -0.0205, 0.0445, -0.0342, -0.0342, -0.091, -0.0723, -0.0704, -0.0718, -0.0794, -0.0478, -0.0398, -0.0575, -0.082, -0.1057, -0.113, -0.1738, -0.1706, -0.1325, -0.1132, -0.0748, -0.0716, -0.0545, -0.0059, -0.0059, 0.0068, -0.0112, 0.0, -0.0064, -0.0272, -0.0051, 0.0166, 0.025, 0.0081, -0.0377, -0.0626, -0.053, -0.0296, -0.0803, -0.0515, -0.047, -0.0773, -0.0749, -0.0786, -0.0609, -0.0474, -0.0138, -0.0297, -0.1524, -0.1218, -0.1135, -0.1205, -0.1159, -0.0974, -0.1435, -0.1273, -0.1063, -0.1224, -0.1224, -0.12, -0.1079, -0.0951, -0.1133, -0.1018, -0.0816, -0.0482, -0.0541, -0.0391, -0.0511, -0.0735, -0.1007, -0.0956, -0.0895, -0.0459, -0.033, -0.0647, -0.1072, -0.0837, -0.0986, -0.0663, -0.069, -0.0811, -0.1063, -0.1425, -0.1173, -0.1474, -0.1721, -0.1763, -0.1892, -0.2062, -0.218, -0.1641, -0.1346, -0.0929, -0.0929, -0.0447, -0.0703, -0.0696, -0.0699, -0.0699, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2024556607762550943", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-19T18:48:04+00:00", "symbol": "CEG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "XLU has concentration in $VST / $CEG power companies.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long OTM XLU leaps (Dec 2027/Jan 2028) on AI power demand paradigm shift, grid upgrade spending, and rate cuts; implied longs in VST/CEG via XLU concentration.", "resolved_tickers": ["CEG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Utilities - Independent Power Producers", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Trade Idea: Long OTM $XLU leaps (2 years, Dec 2027/Jan 2028).\n\nThis feels like once-a-generation long due to AI. \n\nXLU has concentration in $VST / $CEG power companies. \n\nTwo reasons:\n\n1. Paradigm shift due to AI DC electricity usage.\n\n2. Low option IV (~14%) based on historical averages (flat since 2000s).\n\nAI power usage is astronomical. \n\nThis cannot be understated.\n\nNever before in history have DCs use up this much GWs in power, especially when they require outputs of nuclear reactors for training LLMs.\n\nThis forces $META, $AMZN, $GOOGL, and others to sign multi-year agreements to consume as much power as possible. And yet they still don't have enough.\n\n-> So, trillions would likely be poured into grid upgrades. \n\nUsually interest rates hurt the sector but we're going into more rate cuts, so it makes the sector a much better long. \n\nOpenAI's letter to congress pleaded the US to invest in energy as well to compete vs. China.\n\nSo, this feels like a once-a-decade type long due to:\n\n- paradigm shift eating up any available power from AI\n- trillions in grid upgrades to compete vs. China\n- rate cuts. \n\nAnd low IV pricing from historical averages.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.008194432478701108, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.008194432478701108, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005550024085836158, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005550024085836158, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0026444083928649498, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0026444083928649498, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010903068664850801, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010903068664850801, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.003671204075727852, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.003671204075727852, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007231864589122949, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007231864589122949, "ret_p1w": 0.10937393587231425, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10937393587231425, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10233207526746324, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10233207526746324, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0070418606048510135, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0070418606048510135, "ret_p1m": -0.031859425433749644, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.031859425433749644, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.018015949835295975, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.018015949835295975, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04987537526904562, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04987537526904562, "ret_p3m": -0.10366567294739637, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.10366567294739637, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.17854566196024835, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.17854566196024835, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07487998901285198, "bench_c_p3m": 0.07487998901285198, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2141, 0.2055, 0.2312, 0.2312, 0.2493, 0.2311, 0.2469, 0.2386, 0.2639, 0.2337, 0.2263, 0.2314, 0.2414, 0.2981, 0.2068, 0.2245, 0.2536, 0.1691, 0.2379, 0.2185, 0.2268, 0.2389, 0.2479, 0.2479, 0.2359, 0.2286, 0.2244, 0.2112, 0.2112, 0.2557, 0.217, 0.2157, 0.161, 0.1059, 0.1744, 0.1515, 0.1436, 0.1328, 0.1699, 0.055, 0.055, 0.0128, 0.0093, -0.0148, -0.0089, -0.0219, -0.0099, -0.0127, -0.0144, -0.0376, -0.0712, -0.0796, -0.1413, -0.1529, -0.1037, -0.0669, -0.0704, -0.0508, -0.0533, -0.0111, -0.0111, 0.0389, 0.0082, 0.0, 0.0109, 0.0073, 0.0719, 0.1172, 0.1094, 0.131, 0.1217, 0.1139, 0.1069, 0.1386, 0.0939, 0.1089, 0.0886, 0.0323, 0.0353, 0.0361, 0.0491, 0.0564, 0.0891, 0.0865, -0.0319, -0.0052, 0.0123, 0.0414, 0.0135, 0.0351, 0.0252, -0.0413, -0.0405, -0.0633, -0.0633, -0.0553, -0.0642, -0.024, -0.0378, -0.0164, 0.0015, 0.0183, 0.0119, 0.027, 0.017, -0.0127, -0.0466, -0.0141, 0.0052, 0.0764, 0.0821, 0.0496, 0.0197, 0.0746, 0.0568, 0.1022, 0.1001, 0.1082, 0.0687, 0.0424, 0.0289, 0.008, -0.0562, -0.055, -0.0812, -0.0991, -0.1037, -0.0329, -0.0172, 0.0112, 0.0112, 0.037, -0.0074, -0.0155, -0.0105, -0.0105, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2025822025881944285", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-23T06:36:23+00:00", "symbol": "EWY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I do see KOSPI, SK Hynix/Samsung being strongly rerated over the next two years", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish KOSPI, SK Hynix, and Samsung on strong re-rating expected over the next two years; EWY volatility expansion noted.", "resolved_tickers": ["EWY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Michael_Tran_90 Make that decision yourself! I posted an update on $EWY volatility expansion recently and I do see KOSPI, SK Hynix/Samsung being strongly rerated over the next two years.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Is it too late to join in with you? I know about it a bit too late", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Michael_Tran_90", "ret_m1d": 0.018521190054074044, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.018521190054074044, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008204528667010491, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008204528667010491, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.037688441385384186, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.037688441385384186, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030419988454989166, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030419988454989166, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "ret_p1w": 0.05915283599321519, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05915283599321519, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05330575028032358, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05330575028032358, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "ret_p1m": -0.0757358422155805, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0757358422155805, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03554445989111776, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03554445989111776, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "ret_p3m": 0.33826269981975354, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.33826269981975354, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.24688048298196907, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.24688048298196907, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3572, -0.3572, -0.362, -0.3638, -0.3536, -0.347, -0.355, -0.3379, -0.3325, -0.329, -0.3207, -0.3333, -0.3494, -0.3489, -0.3574, -0.3641, -0.3534, -0.3443, -0.3413, -0.3345, -0.3209, -0.3209, -0.312, -0.2913, -0.292, -0.3021, -0.3021, -0.2662, -0.2475, -0.2275, -0.2317, -0.2348, -0.2183, -0.218, -0.228, -0.2129, -0.2028, -0.1944, -0.1944, -0.2034, -0.1697, -0.1673, -0.1531, -0.1578, -0.1192, -0.0986, -0.1062, -0.1212, -0.1319, -0.1075, -0.1367, -0.137, -0.1047, -0.0951, -0.1066, -0.0625, -0.061, -0.0383, -0.0383, -0.0619, -0.0457, -0.0294, 0.0185, 0.0, 0.0377, 0.0688, 0.0798, 0.0866, 0.0592, -0.05, -0.0354, -0.0973, -0.0902, -0.0388, -0.0646, -0.0463, -0.1134, -0.1088, -0.0445, -0.035, -0.0533, -0.0322, -0.0971, -0.0394, -0.0757, -0.083, -0.1386, -0.1315, -0.1642, -0.1169, -0.0939, -0.1179, -0.1179, -0.0959, -0.0869, 0.0055, -0.0001, -0.0041, 0.0139, 0.053, 0.0403, 0.0587, 0.0935, 0.0775, 0.0538, 0.1184, 0.081, 0.1096, 0.1251, 0.1082, 0.1052, 0.1541, 0.163, 0.1744, 0.2453, 0.3064, 0.2688, 0.3654, 0.3844, 0.2814, 0.3541, 0.3677, 0.284, 0.2642, 0.2492, 0.293, 0.3383, 0.3067, 0.3067, 0.4404, 0.4235, 0.4818, 0.4776, 0.4776, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2025822025881944285", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-23T06:36:23+00:00", "symbol": "KOSPI", "kind": "index", "geography": "Korea", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I do see KOSPI, SK Hynix/Samsung being strongly rerated over the next two years", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish KOSPI, SK Hynix, and Samsung on strong re-rating expected over the next two years; EWY volatility expansion noted.", "resolved_tickers": ["EWY"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "KOSPI proxied by EWY ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Michael_Tran_90 Make that decision yourself! I posted an update on $EWY volatility expansion recently and I do see KOSPI, SK Hynix/Samsung being strongly rerated over the next two years.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Is it too late to join in with you? I know about it a bit too late", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Michael_Tran_90", "ret_m1d": 0.018521190054074044, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.018521190054074044, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008204528667010491, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008204528667010491, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.037688441385384186, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.037688441385384186, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030419988454989166, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030419988454989166, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "ret_p1w": 0.05915283599321519, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05915283599321519, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05330575028032358, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05330575028032358, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "ret_p1m": -0.0757358422155805, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0757358422155805, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03554445989111776, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03554445989111776, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "ret_p3m": 0.33826269981975354, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.33826269981975354, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.24688048298196907, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.24688048298196907, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3572, -0.3572, -0.362, -0.3638, -0.3536, -0.347, -0.355, -0.3379, -0.3325, -0.329, -0.3207, -0.3333, -0.3494, -0.3489, -0.3574, -0.3641, -0.3534, -0.3443, -0.3413, -0.3345, -0.3209, -0.3209, -0.312, -0.2913, -0.292, -0.3021, -0.3021, -0.2662, -0.2475, -0.2275, -0.2317, -0.2348, -0.2183, -0.218, -0.228, -0.2129, -0.2028, -0.1944, -0.1944, -0.2034, -0.1697, -0.1673, -0.1531, -0.1578, -0.1192, -0.0986, -0.1062, -0.1212, -0.1319, -0.1075, -0.1367, -0.137, -0.1047, -0.0951, -0.1066, -0.0625, -0.061, -0.0383, -0.0383, -0.0619, -0.0457, -0.0294, 0.0185, 0.0, 0.0377, 0.0688, 0.0798, 0.0866, 0.0592, -0.05, -0.0354, -0.0973, -0.0902, -0.0388, -0.0646, -0.0463, -0.1134, -0.1088, -0.0445, -0.035, -0.0533, -0.0322, -0.0971, -0.0394, -0.0757, -0.083, -0.1386, -0.1315, -0.1642, -0.1169, -0.0939, -0.1179, -0.1179, -0.0959, -0.0869, 0.0055, -0.0001, -0.0041, 0.0139, 0.053, 0.0403, 0.0587, 0.0935, 0.0775, 0.0538, 0.1184, 0.081, 0.1096, 0.1251, 0.1082, 0.1052, 0.1541, 0.163, 0.1744, 0.2453, 0.3064, 0.2688, 0.3654, 0.3844, 0.2814, 0.3541, 0.3677, 0.284, 0.2642, 0.2492, 0.293, 0.3383, 0.3067, 0.3067, 0.4404, 0.4235, 0.4818, 0.4776, 0.4776, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2025822025881944285", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-23T06:36:23+00:00", "symbol": "000660.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "SK Hynix/Samsung being strongly rerated over the next two years", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish KOSPI, SK Hynix, and Samsung on strong re-rating expected over the next two years; EWY volatility expansion noted.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Michael_Tran_90 Make that decision yourself! I posted an update on $EWY volatility expansion recently and I do see KOSPI, SK Hynix/Samsung being strongly rerated over the next two years.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Is it too late to join in with you? I know about it a bit too late", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Michael_Tran_90", "ret_m1d": -0.0021030678409936776, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0021030678409936776, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01241972922805723, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02062425789506772, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "bench_c_m1d": 0.018521190054074044, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05678237073880332, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05678237073880332, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0495139178084083, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.019093929353419137, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "bench_c_p1d": 0.037688441385384186, "ret_p1w": 0.1177264266713467, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1177264266713467, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11187934095845509, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.058573590678131504, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05915283599321519, "ret_p1m": 0.03871650696868412, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03871650696868412, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07890788929314685, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11445234918426461, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0757358422155805, "ret_p3m": 1.043722158765949, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.043722158765949, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.9523399419281646, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.7054594589461956, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "bench_c_p3m": 0.33826269981975354, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4494, -0.428, -0.4427, -0.4343, -0.4132, -0.4196, -0.4301, -0.428, -0.3933, -0.4048, -0.3828, -0.4059, -0.3996, -0.4175, -0.4427, -0.4206, -0.4196, -0.4248, -0.3901, -0.3859, -0.3817, -0.3817, -0.3701, -0.327, -0.3155, -0.3155, -0.3155, -0.2881, -0.2681, -0.2366, -0.2198, -0.205, -0.2177, -0.2124, -0.224, -0.2198, -0.2124, -0.205, -0.1966, -0.2187, -0.2219, -0.2061, -0.1935, -0.2261, -0.1588, -0.1157, -0.0946, -0.0442, -0.1272, -0.0463, -0.0536, -0.1146, -0.1178, -0.0673, -0.0789, -0.0957, -0.0662, -0.0747, -0.0747, -0.0747, -0.0747, -0.0599, -0.0021, 0.0, 0.0568, 0.0705, 0.1578, 0.1177, 0.1177, -0.0108, -0.1056, -0.0087, -0.0266, -0.1193, -0.0118, 0.0061, -0.0203, -0.0413, 0.0261, 0.0219, 0.1125, 0.0672, 0.0608, -0.0171, 0.0387, 0.0482, -0.0171, -0.0171, -0.0803, -0.1499, -0.055, -0.1256, -0.0772, -0.0666, -0.035, 0.0882, 0.0514, 0.0819, 0.0956, 0.162, 0.1967, 0.2168, 0.1883, 0.2283, 0.2894, 0.2884, 0.2905, 0.2873, 0.3611, 0.3695, 0.3621, 0.3548, 0.3548, 0.5244, 0.5244, 0.6866, 0.7424, 0.7761, 0.9805, 0.9331, 1.0816, 1.0753, 0.9163, 0.9384, 0.8383, 0.8383, 1.0437, 1.0448, 1.0448, 1.1617, 1.3629, 1.4118, 1.4581, 1.5092, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2025822025881944285", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-02-23T06:36:23+00:00", "symbol": "005930.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "SK Hynix/Samsung being strongly rerated over the next two years", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish KOSPI, SK Hynix, and Samsung on strong re-rating expected over the next two years; EWY volatility expansion noted.", "resolved_tickers": ["005930.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Michael_Tran_90 Make that decision yourself! I posted an update on $EWY volatility expansion recently and I do see KOSPI, SK Hynix/Samsung being strongly rerated over the next two years.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Is it too late to join in with you? I know about it a bit too late", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Michael_Tran_90", "ret_m1d": -0.015025855706159885, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.015025855706159885, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.025342517093223438, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.032063117250343054, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01703726154418317, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03626946073682302, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03626946073682302, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.029001007806428003, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.023274982215576, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "bench_c_p1d": 0.012994478521247022, "ret_p1w": 0.12176170889254245, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12176170889254245, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11591462317965084, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.11439822988666881, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007363479005873641, "ret_p1m": -0.01709838473024672, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.01709838473024672, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.023092997594216014, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0012109257509007598, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01588745897934596, "ret_p3m": 0.5550254955061809, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5550254955061809, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4636432786683964, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.264077910400387, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2909475851057939, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4699, -0.4663, -0.4818, -0.4802, -0.4668, -0.4612, -0.4581, -0.4411, -0.4354, -0.4411, -0.4431, -0.4467, -0.4385, -0.4596, -0.4699, -0.4436, -0.4452, -0.4519, -0.4302, -0.4251, -0.4271, -0.4271, -0.3967, -0.3808, -0.3788, -0.3788, -0.3788, -0.3342, -0.2845, -0.2803, -0.2694, -0.2808, -0.2798, -0.2808, -0.287, -0.2731, -0.2544, -0.2285, -0.2264, -0.2477, -0.2254, -0.2109, -0.2119, -0.2119, -0.1736, -0.1585, -0.1674, -0.1684, -0.2207, -0.1321, -0.1238, -0.1746, -0.1782, -0.1378, -0.1409, -0.1306, -0.0746, -0.0611, -0.0611, -0.0611, -0.0611, -0.0155, -0.015, 0.0, 0.0363, 0.0544, 0.1295, 0.1218, 0.1218, 0.0109, -0.1078, -0.0073, -0.0249, -0.101, -0.0264, -0.0155, -0.0264, -0.0492, -0.0223, 0.0047, 0.0803, 0.0389, 0.0332, -0.0347, -0.0171, -0.0207, -0.0668, -0.0668, -0.0846, -0.1319, -0.0153, -0.0737, -0.0332, 0.0026, 0.0202, 0.0929, 0.0592, 0.0696, 0.0436, 0.0722, 0.0955, 0.1293, 0.1215, 0.1137, 0.1371, 0.1293, 0.1656, 0.1397, 0.1656, 0.1526, 0.1734, 0.1449, 0.1449, 0.2072, 0.2072, 0.3811, 0.4096, 0.3941, 0.4823, 0.4486, 0.4745, 0.5369, 0.4045, 0.459, 0.4304, 0.433, 0.555, 0.5187, 0.5187, 0.5524, 0.594, 0.555, 0.6459, 0.7991, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2034746298226942000", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-19T21:38:15+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AXTI is probably going to be a major $SNDK like bottleneck, and I'm personally holding", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Holding AXTI as a potential photonics bottleneck play by 2028, analogous to SNDK.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@gahhhbor Better question to ask is.. is photonics going to be a major thing in 2028?\n\nIf it is, $AXTI is probably going to be a major $SNDK like bottleneck, and I’m personally holding. https://t.co/AfCc9iLm81", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit You sell any or still in? Moves like this I never know how to position when we hitting ATHs almost every other day.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "gahhhbor", "ret_m1d": -0.16061287324061124, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.16061287324061124, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.16308330170267793, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.15744767533344384, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002470428462066687, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0031651979071674052, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06627644110876418, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06627644110876418, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05194066523625995, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04049901062353456, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01433577587250423, "bench_c_p1d": -0.025777430485229624, "ret_p1w": 0.007230128556413806, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.007230128556413806, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.026854604507512092, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.042882961056937896, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019624475951098286, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03565283250052409, "ret_p1m": 0.4212428531886607, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4212428531886607, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.34200761465498575, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.24591623544295094, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07923523853367498, "bench_c_p1m": 0.1753266177457098, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.738, -0.748, -0.7416, -0.7416, -0.7354, -0.7488, -0.728, -0.7185, -0.7185, -0.7115, -0.713, -0.6528, -0.585, -0.5553, -0.6042, -0.6171, -0.6297, -0.6196, -0.5572, -0.6197, -0.6197, -0.6314, -0.6595, -0.6915, -0.7005, -0.6936, -0.7039, -0.7103, -0.718, -0.6808, -0.6395, -0.6602, -0.6772, -0.6483, -0.5858, -0.5219, -0.5808, -0.5386, -0.5732, -0.5827, -0.5827, -0.6004, -0.5948, -0.5901, -0.4891, -0.5106, -0.3961, -0.2947, -0.361, -0.3476, -0.2026, -0.2811, -0.3264, -0.3321, -0.4428, -0.3362, -0.2374, -0.1847, -0.1956, -0.1589, -0.167, -0.2364, -0.1606, 0.0, -0.0663, 0.1093, 0.1782, 0.1594, 0.0072, 0.0437, -0.0923, -0.0191, -0.1885, -0.0904, -0.0904, -0.2772, -0.2174, -0.0845, 0.0866, 0.1048, 0.1439, 0.1585, 0.0833, 0.4078, 0.4212, 0.3558, 0.2906, 0.4966, 0.2957, 0.3111, 0.2076, 0.1828, 0.2234, 0.3637, 0.6526, 0.8248, 0.8514, 0.8046, 0.8664, 1.0031, 1.1658, 1.1157, 1.0992, 0.9793, 1.1308, 0.8227, 0.9432, 0.8008, 1.0833, 1.4243, 1.4243, 1.2827, 1.1134, 0.9917, 0.7759, 0.7759, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2036517374229434380", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-24T18:55:53+00:00", "symbol": "000660.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I ended up preferring SK Hynix over $MU at these levels", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Prefers SK Hynix over MU at current levels; bullish on memory sector broadly with structural demand past 2028.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@HeLiuLeo I ended up preferring SK Hynix over $MU at these levels, but memory as a whole is a good long.\n\nLot of LNG/helium/crude fears don’t really impact opex much. And demand looks structural past 2028", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What do you think of Micron at current level?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "HeLiuLeo", "ret_m1d": -0.0537525227659138, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0537525227659138, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05712067891230588, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09305347467732161, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "bench_c_m1d": 0.03930095191140781, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009127794061912775, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009127794061912775, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0035550351145268166, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.016972470848168886, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00784467678625611, "ret_p1w": -0.18154157623466705, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.18154157623466705, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.17719366929912472, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1369590685549037, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "bench_c_p1w": -0.04458250767976335, "ret_p1m": 0.2403651168343186, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2403651168343186, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15152279167498173, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.030268005752704497, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2100971110816141, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4047, -0.3936, -0.3521, -0.341, -0.341, -0.341, -0.3147, -0.2954, -0.265, -0.2489, -0.2347, -0.2468, -0.2418, -0.2529, -0.2489, -0.2418, -0.2347, -0.2266, -0.2478, -0.2509, -0.2357, -0.2235, -0.2549, -0.1901, -0.1486, -0.1284, -0.0798, -0.1598, -0.0818, -0.0889, -0.1476, -0.1507, -0.1021, -0.1132, -0.1294, -0.1011, -0.1091, -0.1091, -0.1091, -0.1091, -0.095, -0.0393, -0.0373, 0.0174, 0.0306, 0.1146, 0.0761, 0.0761, -0.0477, -0.1389, -0.0456, -0.0629, -0.1521, -0.0487, -0.0314, -0.0568, -0.0771, -0.0122, -0.0162, 0.071, 0.0274, 0.0213, -0.0538, 0.0, 0.0091, -0.0538, -0.0538, -0.1146, -0.1815, -0.0903, -0.1582, -0.1116, -0.1014, -0.071, 0.0477, 0.0122, 0.0416, 0.0548, 0.1187, 0.1521, 0.1714, 0.144, 0.1826, 0.2414, 0.2404, 0.2424, 0.2394, 0.3103, 0.3185, 0.3114, 0.3043, 0.3043, 0.4675, 0.4675, 0.6237, 0.6775, 0.7099, 0.9067, 0.8611, 1.0041, 0.998, 0.8448, 0.8661, 0.7698, 0.7698, 0.9675, 0.9686, 0.9686, 1.0811, 1.2748, 1.3219, 1.3665, 1.4157, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2036517374229434380", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-24T18:55:53+00:00", "symbol": "MU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "memory as a whole is a good long", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Prefers SK Hynix over MU at current levels; bullish on memory sector broadly with structural demand past 2028.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@HeLiuLeo I ended up preferring SK Hynix over $MU at these levels, but memory as a whole is a good long.\n\nLot of LNG/helium/crude fears don’t really impact opex much. And demand looks structural past 2028", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What do you think of Micron at current level?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "HeLiuLeo", "ret_m1d": 0.02229916207941396, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02229916207941396, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.018931005933021883, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.030484901749210924, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008185739669796965, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.033979723332987266, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.033979723332987266, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.039552482280373225, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04520654792787093, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011226824594883666, "ret_p1w": -0.14549614307983194, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.14549614307983194, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.14114823614428962, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11713758724907497, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02835855583075697, "ret_p1m": 0.23299062892093847, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.23299062892093847, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1441483037616016, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.024571786584266064, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2084188423366724, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2755, -0.2803, -0.2558, -0.2602, -0.2784, -0.2784, -0.2025, -0.2108, -0.1317, -0.1415, -0.1732, -0.1275, -0.1256, -0.1451, -0.1572, -0.1489, -0.0829, -0.0829, -0.0772, -0.0162, 0.0052, 0.0104, -0.0163, 0.0372, 0.1005, 0.1018, 0.0489, 0.1069, 0.0605, -0.0408, -0.032, -0.0021, -0.0304, -0.0563, 0.0374, 0.0466, 0.0408, 0.0408, 0.0107, 0.0643, 0.0552, 0.0825, 0.0643, 0.0568, 0.0846, 0.0506, 0.0426, 0.0433, -0.0401, 0.0132, 0.0038, -0.0638, -0.0157, 0.0192, 0.0586, 0.0248, 0.0774, 0.117, 0.1673, 0.1674, 0.1232, 0.0692, 0.0223, 0.0, -0.034, -0.1013, -0.0969, -0.1861, -0.1455, -0.0696, -0.0737, -0.0737, -0.0445, -0.045, 0.0287, 0.0661, 0.0638, 0.0789, 0.1778, 0.1539, 0.1565, 0.151, 0.1342, 0.1366, 0.233, 0.2184, 0.2564, 0.3268, 0.2755, 0.3113, 0.3081, 0.3714, 0.458, 0.6193, 0.686, 0.6355, 0.8889, 1.0116, 0.9389, 1.0326, 0.9628, 0.8329, 0.7238, 0.7673, 0.8514, 0.9276, 0.8995, 0.8995, 1.266, 1.3482, 1.3359, 1.456, 1.456, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2036517374229434380", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-24T18:55:53+00:00", "symbol": "memory", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "memory as a whole is a good long. Lot of LNG/helium/crude fears don't really impact opex much. And demand looks structural past 2028", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Prefers SK Hynix over MU at current levels; bullish on memory sector broadly with structural demand past 2028.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU", "000660.KS", "005930.KS"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Memory sector basket: Micron, SK Hynix, Samsung", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@HeLiuLeo I ended up preferring SK Hynix over $MU at these levels, but memory as a whole is a good long.\n\nLot of LNG/helium/crude fears don’t really impact opex much. And demand looks structural past 2028", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What do you think of Micron at current level?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "HeLiuLeo", "ret_m1d": -0.01645881156512415, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01645881156512415, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.019826967711516225, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.008273071895327184, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008185739669796965, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.009514003444502928, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.009514003444502928, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.015086762391888886, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.020740828039386594, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011226824594883666, "ret_p1w": -0.14794058425200105, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.14794058425200105, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.14359267731645872, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11958202842124407, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02835855583075697, "ret_p1m": 0.20742534572717672, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.20742534572717672, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11858302056783984, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0009934966094956865, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2084188423366724, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3658, -0.3534, -0.326, -0.323, -0.3291, -0.3291, -0.2799, -0.2594, -0.2215, -0.2157, -0.2254, -0.2139, -0.2119, -0.2242, -0.2222, -0.2107, -0.1775, -0.1741, -0.1865, -0.1597, -0.1426, -0.1371, -0.1565, -0.104, -0.064, -0.0598, -0.0616, -0.0867, -0.0461, -0.0794, -0.1133, -0.1056, -0.0851, -0.0985, -0.0691, -0.0376, -0.0377, -0.0377, -0.0477, -0.0299, -0.0127, 0.0151, 0.0148, 0.0428, 0.0626, 0.1048, 0.0866, 0.0869, -0.0198, -0.0726, -0.0106, -0.0449, -0.0844, -0.013, 0.0096, -0.0138, -0.0108, 0.0332, 0.0577, 0.1125, 0.0692, 0.0472, -0.0165, 0.0, -0.0095, -0.0686, -0.0671, -0.1231, -0.1479, -0.0527, -0.0965, -0.0672, -0.042, -0.026, 0.0628, 0.052, 0.0645, 0.0651, 0.1291, 0.1402, 0.1589, 0.1453, 0.1499, 0.1783, 0.2074, 0.2156, 0.2184, 0.2743, 0.2556, 0.2722, 0.259, 0.2801, 0.3846, 0.4383, 0.5716, 0.5824, 0.6724, 0.8088, 0.7579, 0.8456, 0.8414, 0.7022, 0.6914, 0.6641, 0.6931, 0.8257, 0.8044, 0.8044, 0.9755, 1.0816, 1.0799, 1.1657, 1.234, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2021798909375656426", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-12T04:09:57+00:00", "symbol": "LPTH", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "long term from Andruil, $NOC, $ONDS and others should be incremental revenue", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long LPTH long-term as a germanium/defense beneficiary from US supply-chain shift away from China, driven by Anduril, NOC, ONDS demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["LPTH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$LPTH is germanium bottleneck mainly for defense. It seems more of a long term beneficiary from transition from China supply chains to US black diamond. \n\nAnd it’s algorithmically tied to defense sector (which is down recently, from $ONDS to $AVAV due to a lack of catalysts). If US invades Iran the trade is probably going to be hot again.\n\nNot likely going to see that massive short term spike that semi supply chain bottlenecks do from the $GOOGL and $AMZN capex spend. Or bottleneck + price hikes that $AXTI might see from photonics usage.\n\nBut long term from Andruil, $NOC, $ONDS and others should be incremental revenue", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit When will $LPTH pop off bro?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TLEROY5", "ret_m1d": -0.17708326646914607, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.17708326646914607, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.19277455341555638, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.19277455341555638, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01569128694641031, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01569128694641031, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07692300638503313, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07692300638503313, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07762749187884854, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07762749187884854, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0007044854938154099, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0007044854938154099, "ret_p1w": 0.0897436602816335, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0897436602816335, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08503199805520789, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08503199805520789, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.004711662226425606, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004711662226425606, "ret_p1m": -0.15785251487288776, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15785251487288776, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1299927277888504, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1299927277888504, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.027859787084037357, "bench_c_p1m": -0.027859787084037357, "ret_p3m": -0.021634576441737052, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.021634576441737052, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.10812881155483212, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10812881155483212, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08649423511309506, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08649423511309506, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4551, -0.4527, -0.4615, -0.5048, -0.5024, -0.4559, -0.4463, -0.4455, -0.4455, -0.4111, -0.4255, -0.3654, -0.3309, -0.2772, -0.2949, -0.2997, -0.2949, -0.2933, -0.2692, -0.351, -0.3998, -0.4127, -0.4487, -0.4247, -0.3878, -0.3165, -0.3021, -0.2764, -0.2764, -0.2772, -0.1755, -0.1538, -0.1346, -0.1346, -0.0609, -0.0633, -0.0769, -0.0224, 0.012, -0.0112, -0.0393, -0.0657, 0.0601, 0.0553, 0.0072, 0.0072, 0.1218, 0.0929, 0.1482, -0.0032, -0.1803, -0.0986, -0.0962, -0.0793, -0.1651, -0.1587, -0.1274, -0.2468, -0.274, -0.1538, -0.0921, -0.1178, -0.1771, 0.0, -0.0769, -0.0769, -0.1042, -0.0994, 0.0897, -0.0385, -0.1026, -0.0393, -0.0569, -0.1074, -0.1643, -0.0377, -0.0401, -0.0545, -0.0921, -0.113, -0.1114, -0.113, -0.1274, -0.121, -0.1579, -0.1186, -0.0393, -0.0649, -0.0793, -0.1562, -0.0833, -0.0489, -0.0425, -0.1194, -0.2396, -0.254, -0.1963, -0.1811, -0.1202, -0.1202, -0.0793, -0.1218, -0.0721, -0.0256, 0.028, 0.1546, 0.145, 0.1234, 0.1955, 0.1346, 0.1458, 0.137, 0.1739, 0.1715, 0.2893, 0.121, 0.0176, -0.0232, 0.0264, 0.0978, -0.012, -0.0304, 0.0313, -0.0361, -0.0777, 0.0272, -0.0216, -0.0288, -0.0264, -0.0769, -0.0032, 0.1122, 0.0938, 0.1442, 0.3582, 0.3582, 0.3013, 0.4111, 0.4543, 0.3606, 0.3606, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2018747881818382450", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-03T18:06:16+00:00", "symbol": "COIN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm a buyer here", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Buying COIN at current levels near the April tariff bottom of $171, citing prior September 2024 support at $150.", "resolved_tickers": ["COIN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Financial Data & Stock Exchanges'", "bench_c_industry": "Financial Data & Stock Exchanges", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@dexapiko We’re close to the April Tariff bottom at $171 now for $COIN. \n\nOnly other time it hit that was September 2024 for $150.\n\nI’m a buyer here https://t.co/IMqRE8nii2", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I believe we can see same story like $COIN ,-80-90% from ATH and a lift off", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "dexapiko", "ret_m1d": 0.045641749866954795, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.045641749866954795, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03711425004469415, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.036301170341592304, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008527499822260642, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009340579525362491, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06144945073965968, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06144945073965968, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05660552906076255, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06948236918762296, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004843921678897134, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008032918447963278, "ret_p1w": -0.0954581365117183, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0954581365117183, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09921423057862866, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09583182559151637, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0037560940669103537, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0003736890797980674, "ret_p1m": 0.1629187822389262, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1629187822389262, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.16930000599350958, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2008413832581798, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.006381223754583387, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0379226010192536, "ret_p3m": 0.06451072081512477, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06451072081512477, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0165242625647255, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08960153936683568, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.047986458250399266, "bench_c_p3m": -0.025090818551710914, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.6432, 0.7207, 0.7696, 0.6921, 0.6921, 0.576, 0.5808, 0.4692, 0.4571, 0.4321, 0.3256, 0.3381, 0.4247, 0.4144, 0.4748, 0.4748, 0.5185, 0.4463, 0.4653, 0.5414, 0.5254, 0.5013, 0.5262, 0.5438, 0.5312, 0.4974, 0.4887, 0.3939, 0.406, 0.3592, 0.3314, 0.3644, 0.3798, 0.3487, 0.3344, 0.3344, 0.3186, 0.3012, 0.2891, 0.2587, 0.2587, 0.3165, 0.4189, 0.3946, 0.3689, 0.367, 0.3402, 0.3524, 0.4065, 0.4241, 0.3318, 0.3423, 0.3423, 0.2676, 0.2631, 0.242, 0.2076, 0.1882, 0.1735, 0.1657, 0.1086, 0.0839, 0.0456, 0.0, -0.0614, -0.1867, -0.0809, -0.0691, -0.0955, -0.1473, -0.2147, -0.0854, -0.0854, -0.0759, -0.0869, -0.0764, -0.0463, -0.1081, -0.0981, 0.0238, 0.0078, -0.0212, 0.0311, 0.015, 0.1629, 0.145, 0.0977, 0.112, 0.0938, 0.1056, 0.0755, 0.0883, 0.1317, 0.1702, 0.126, 0.1294, 0.0993, 0.1167, 0.0077, 0.008, -0.035, -0.1031, -0.105, -0.0281, -0.0371, -0.0456, -0.0456, -0.0271, -0.0249, -0.0254, -0.0592, -0.0657, -0.0286, 0.0264, 0.0904, 0.1123, 0.1484, 0.1779, 0.0907, 0.1479, 0.1017, 0.1119, 0.0947, 0.0804, 0.0115, 0.0451, 0.0645, 0.1299, 0.1007, 0.1019, 0.074, 0.1197, 0.2056, 0.1557, 0.1232, 0.1801, 0.0878, 0.0544, 0.0768, 0.0647, 0.0774, 0.0297, 0.0297, 0.0019, -0.0327, 0.0144, 0.0522, 0.0522, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2014068207087395197", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-21T20:10:54+00:00", "symbol": "MU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Now it's starting to feel the same with $MU in round 2.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish MU; draws analogy to NVDA's rise, believes same trajectory is starting now.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Thomas_james_1 Just reminds me of $NVDA during the rise to $4T+ valuation where everyone kinda knew it would go up. \n\nNow it’s starting to feel the same with $MU in round 2.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Absolutely! I’ve been trying to tell people how undervalued $MU is for months based on current PE &amp; forward PE\n\nWell written", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Thomas_james_1", "ret_m1d": -0.06196185767565987, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06196185767565987, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05055245529014518, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03325044464943039, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011409402385514689, "bench_c_m1d": -0.028711413026229482, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.021767591719483503, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.021767591719483503, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.016544361699755816, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.019553239308228054, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005223230019727687, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002214352411255449, "ret_p1w": 0.11865545411448353, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11865545411448353, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10403630343784775, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08208189037227953, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014619150676635773, "bench_c_p1w": 0.036573563742203996, "ret_p1m": 0.07257590073347964, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07257590073347964, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07391825165042243, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.052000129624203195, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0013423509169427916, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02057577110927644, "ret_p3m": 0.15290895992013187, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.15290895992013187, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.11606114597516592, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.0014213958872131283, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.036847813944965946, "bench_c_p3m": 0.154330355807345, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4374, -0.4346, -0.4299, -0.4178, -0.4245, -0.4252, -0.3971, -0.4399, -0.3899, -0.3877, -0.3888, -0.3493, -0.3806, -0.3709, -0.3913, -0.3659, -0.3784, -0.413, -0.4196, -0.4827, -0.4673, -0.4247, -0.4232, -0.4085, -0.4085, -0.3925, -0.3823, -0.3848, -0.3985, -0.4178, -0.3906, -0.3657, -0.3516, -0.3225, -0.336, -0.3805, -0.3899, -0.4027, -0.4207, -0.3615, -0.3169, -0.2895, -0.2903, -0.2635, -0.2635, -0.2684, -0.2435, -0.248, -0.2665, -0.2665, -0.1894, -0.1978, -0.1174, -0.1274, -0.1596, -0.1131, -0.1111, -0.131, -0.1433, -0.1349, -0.0677, -0.0677, -0.062, 0.0, 0.0218, 0.0271, -0.0001, 0.0543, 0.1187, 0.12, 0.0662, 0.1251, 0.0779, -0.025, -0.016, 0.0143, -0.0144, -0.0408, 0.0546, 0.0639, 0.058, 0.058, 0.0274, 0.0818, 0.0726, 0.1004, 0.0819, 0.0743, 0.1025, 0.068, 0.0598, 0.0605, -0.0242, 0.03, 0.0204, -0.0483, 0.0005, 0.036, 0.076, 0.0417, 0.0951, 0.1354, 0.1865, 0.1866, 0.1418, 0.0868, 0.0392, 0.0165, -0.018, -0.0865, -0.082, -0.1726, -0.1314, -0.0542, -0.0584, -0.0584, -0.0288, -0.0292, 0.0457, 0.0837, 0.0814, 0.0967, 0.1972, 0.173, 0.1756, 0.17, 0.1529, 0.1554, 0.2533, 0.2385, 0.2771, 0.3487, 0.2966, 0.333, 0.3296, 0.394, 0.4821, 0.646, 0.7138, 0.6625, 0.9201, 1.0448, 0.9709, 1.0662, 0.9952, 0.8631, 0.7523, 0.7965, 0.882, 0.9594, 0.9309, 0.9309, 1.3033, 1.387, 1.3744, 1.4965, 1.4965, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2032482154782077283", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-13T15:41:22+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "There sits $AXTI as the Pokémon champion", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AXTI as the apex supplier of InP substrates at the top of the photonics supply chain for TPUs and optical components.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DhruTech InP substrates and raw materials needed to build them.\n\nBasically if you go to the very very top of the entire photonics supply chains that $GOOGL TPUs or $LITE uses.\n\nThere sits $AXTI as the Pokémon champion", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $AXTI does what exactly? Also any exit target", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DhruTech", "ret_m1d": -0.04359396319090447, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04359396319090447, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.049286291895695666, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.045659432786033904, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.005692328704791194, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002065469595129432, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.009619345371099874, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.009619345371099874, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.019796211482583037, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02663333107819199, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010176866111483163, "bench_c_p1d": 0.017013985707092116, "ret_p1w": 0.1101105403378857, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1101105403378857, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1281520961209327, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.11679733564854877, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.018041555783047003, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006686795310663074, "ret_p1m": 0.36000810720751364, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.36000810720751364, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3212279339102544, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.21540270172033749, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.038780173297259246, "bench_c_p1m": 0.14460540548717615, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7339, -0.747, -0.7133, -0.7002, -0.6885, -0.7004, -0.6928, -0.6928, -0.6854, -0.7014, -0.6766, -0.6654, -0.6654, -0.657, -0.6588, -0.5872, -0.5065, -0.4713, -0.5295, -0.5448, -0.5598, -0.5477, -0.4736, -0.5479, -0.5479, -0.5618, -0.5952, -0.6332, -0.6439, -0.6357, -0.648, -0.6555, -0.6648, -0.6205, -0.5714, -0.596, -0.6163, -0.5819, -0.5076, -0.4316, -0.5016, -0.4515, -0.4926, -0.5039, -0.5039, -0.525, -0.5182, -0.5127, -0.3926, -0.4181, -0.282, -0.1615, -0.2403, -0.2243, -0.052, -0.1453, -0.1991, -0.2059, -0.3375, -0.2108, -0.0933, -0.0307, -0.0436, 0.0, -0.0096, -0.0921, -0.002, 0.1889, 0.1101, 0.3189, 0.4007, 0.3784, 0.1975, 0.2409, 0.0792, 0.1662, -0.0352, 0.0815, 0.0815, -0.1406, -0.0696, 0.0884, 0.2919, 0.3135, 0.36, 0.3774, 0.288, 0.6738, 0.6897, 0.612, 0.5344, 0.7794, 0.5405, 0.5587, 0.4357, 0.4063, 0.4546, 0.6214, 0.9648, 1.1695, 1.2012, 1.1455, 1.219, 1.3815, 1.5749, 1.5153, 1.4957, 1.3533, 1.5334, 1.167, 1.3103, 1.141, 1.4769, 1.8823, 1.8823, 1.7139, 1.5127, 1.368, 1.1113, 1.1113, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013391730410955200", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-19T23:22:50+00:00", "symbol": "AVAV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AVAV definitely. It's the gold standard and is already part of replicator.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Most bullish on AVAV (gold standard), AIRO (best risk/reward), DPRO (speculative early-stage upside), with KTOS also succeeding in replicator program.", "resolved_tickers": ["AVAV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AVAV definitely. It’s the gold standard and is already part of replicator. (So already successful alongside $KTOS)\n\n$AIRO is for counter UAV replicator, highest potential for lowest downside risk.\n\nI’ll do a write up on $DPRO later but it reminds me of early stage $RKLB, very speculative upside.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @bennybigbull Out of those 4 stocks which of those has in your opinion the highest chance of succeeding?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PlugUnder", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.15774060228523734, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.15774060228523734, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.1373838165616923, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.1375489143255112, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.020191687959726146, "ret_p1w": -0.2295728129275343, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.2295728129275343, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.23111980405500976, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.21447394803784103, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015098864889693253, "ret_p1m": -0.33057577752788814, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.33057577752788814, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.317838296958187, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3795872203125894, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "bench_c_p1m": 0.049011442784701265, "ret_p3m": -0.4858473425019164, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4858473425019164, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.503075813615797, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.509266223967649, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.023418881465732566, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0959, -0.0727, -0.0365, -0.0324, -0.0329, -0.0311, -0.0688, -0.0584, -0.0636, -0.0707, -0.1073, -0.1645, -0.1609, -0.1502, -0.1649, -0.177, -0.2478, -0.2587, -0.278, -0.2849, -0.2862, -0.3026, -0.3063, -0.2949, -0.2912, -0.2893, -0.2893, -0.2887, -0.3438, -0.3256, -0.3082, -0.2683, -0.2914, -0.281, -0.2837, -0.3757, -0.3643, -0.3916, -0.401, -0.4027, -0.4168, -0.4128, -0.3814, -0.3499, -0.3353, -0.3364, -0.3364, -0.3509, -0.3658, -0.3789, -0.3843, -0.3843, -0.3479, -0.243, -0.193, -0.1893, -0.1219, -0.0709, -0.0565, -0.0738, -0.0282, -0.0364, 0.0, 0.0, -0.1577, -0.1864, -0.2055, -0.2166, -0.2296, -0.212, -0.2187, -0.2536, -0.2914, -0.3128, -0.2735, -0.3451, -0.397, -0.3453, -0.3017, -0.3299, -0.3804, -0.4015, -0.3792, -0.3792, -0.3306, -0.3243, -0.283, -0.3264, -0.3348, -0.3325, -0.3504, -0.3392, -0.3579, -0.4697, -0.4189, -0.4235, -0.4386, -0.4151, -0.4214, -0.436, -0.4712, -0.4607, -0.4729, -0.4607, -0.4336, -0.4506, -0.462, -0.4967, -0.475, -0.5006, -0.4934, -0.5013, -0.5305, -0.5495, -0.5341, -0.5329, -0.5307, -0.5307, -0.5183, -0.5244, -0.5242, -0.5477, -0.5425, -0.5052, -0.5049, -0.4949, -0.4858, -0.5128, -0.498, -0.4653, -0.4652, -0.4861, -0.5004, -0.5018, -0.5104, -0.5329, -0.5036, -0.5292, -0.5412, -0.5757, -0.5562, -0.5719, -0.5716, -0.5763, -0.5702, -0.5902, -0.5793, -0.5978, -0.5889, -0.5921, -0.5829, -0.5849, -0.5565, -0.5565, -0.5361, -0.5386, -0.4543, -0.4725, -0.4725, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013391730410955200", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-19T23:22:50+00:00", "symbol": "KTOS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "already successful alongside $KTOS", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Most bullish on AVAV (gold standard), AIRO (best risk/reward), DPRO (speculative early-stage upside), with KTOS also succeeding in replicator program.", "resolved_tickers": ["KTOS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AVAV definitely. It’s the gold standard and is already part of replicator. (So already successful alongside $KTOS)\n\n$AIRO is for counter UAV replicator, highest potential for lowest downside risk.\n\nI’ll do a write up on $DPRO later but it reminds me of early stage $RKLB, very speculative upside.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @bennybigbull Out of those 4 stocks which of those has in your opinion the highest chance of succeeding?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PlugUnder", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0156059403753952, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0156059403753952, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004750845348149846, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004750845348149846, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "ret_p1w": -0.14840882301649172, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.14840882301649172, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1499558141439672, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1499558141439672, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "ret_p1m": -0.29643512575077047, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.29643512575077047, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2836976451810693, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2836976451810693, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "ret_p3m": -0.4307680311563178, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.4307680311563178, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4479965022701984, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.4479965022701984, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3551, -0.3167, -0.3025, -0.3063, -0.3132, -0.3022, -0.3245, -0.3069, -0.3031, -0.3098, -0.4078, -0.4461, -0.4042, -0.3943, -0.4141, -0.4132, -0.4516, -0.4458, -0.4627, -0.4618, -0.4594, -0.4851, -0.4711, -0.4331, -0.4259, -0.4204, -0.4204, -0.4178, -0.4399, -0.4572, -0.4432, -0.4058, -0.4148, -0.4107, -0.4107, -0.4116, -0.3973, -0.4189, -0.4319, -0.4406, -0.4663, -0.4538, -0.4233, -0.3763, -0.3704, -0.3882, -0.3882, -0.4056, -0.4074, -0.4188, -0.4193, -0.4193, -0.3934, -0.312, -0.2967, -0.3005, -0.2041, -0.1302, -0.0984, -0.0841, -0.0705, -0.0471, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0156, -0.0775, -0.1291, -0.1555, -0.1484, -0.0968, -0.1381, -0.1726, -0.212, -0.2644, -0.2092, -0.3013, -0.3478, -0.2778, -0.2441, -0.2849, -0.3285, -0.3341, -0.3187, -0.3187, -0.2964, -0.2563, -0.1916, -0.265, -0.2785, -0.3063, -0.325, -0.2951, -0.3407, -0.306, -0.3195, -0.3182, -0.3456, -0.3345, -0.2926, -0.3195, -0.3198, -0.3156, -0.3304, -0.3151, -0.2709, -0.2882, -0.2902, -0.3527, -0.3598, -0.4072, -0.3882, -0.4197, -0.4497, -0.5006, -0.4606, -0.4821, -0.4851, -0.4851, -0.4332, -0.4495, -0.4304, -0.4773, -0.4619, -0.4373, -0.4365, -0.4289, -0.4308, -0.4569, -0.4658, -0.4756, -0.4751, -0.4988, -0.5314, -0.5168, -0.5283, -0.5444, -0.5177, -0.5253, -0.5262, -0.5463, -0.5294, -0.564, -0.5571, -0.564, -0.5614, -0.5985, -0.5804, -0.6015, -0.5852, -0.591, -0.573, -0.5818, -0.5702, -0.5702, -0.5655, -0.5617, -0.5013, -0.5094, -0.5094, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013391730410955200", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-19T23:22:50+00:00", "symbol": "AIRO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AIRO is for counter UAV replicator, highest potential for lowest downside risk.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Most bullish on AVAV (gold standard), AIRO (best risk/reward), DPRO (speculative early-stage upside), with KTOS also succeeding in replicator program.", "resolved_tickers": ["AIRO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AVAV definitely. It’s the gold standard and is already part of replicator. (So already successful alongside $KTOS)\n\n$AIRO is for counter UAV replicator, highest potential for lowest downside risk.\n\nI’ll do a write up on $DPRO later but it reminds me of early stage $RKLB, very speculative upside.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @bennybigbull Out of those 4 stocks which of those has in your opinion the highest chance of succeeding?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PlugUnder", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04786838809280902, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04786838809280902, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.027511602369263977, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.027676700133082877, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.020191687959726146, "ret_p1w": -0.14360509294900847, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.14360509294900847, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.14515208407648394, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12850622805931522, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015098864889693253, "ret_p1m": -0.31563203464098943, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.31563203464098943, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3028945540712883, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3646434774256907, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "bench_c_p1m": 0.049011442784701265, "ret_p3m": -0.35302919277709754, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.35302919277709754, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.37025766389097814, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3764480742428301, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.023418881465732566, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.279, 0.2902, 0.3074, 0.2962, 0.258, 0.2565, 0.2229, 0.2236, 0.2177, 0.0673, 0.0617, -0.0187, 0.0075, 0.0322, 0.0194, 0.0, -0.0464, -0.2446, -0.2274, -0.2625, -0.3366, -0.4121, -0.4024, -0.4114, -0.4136, -0.3837, -0.3837, -0.353, -0.3874, -0.3807, -0.3455, -0.2827, -0.2909, -0.2737, -0.282, -0.2726, -0.2745, -0.3642, -0.4046, -0.4248, -0.4458, -0.445, -0.3994, -0.3194, -0.3119, -0.3007, -0.3007, -0.3463, -0.3792, -0.3904, -0.3882, -0.3882, -0.3089, -0.2431, -0.166, -0.1967, -0.1062, -0.0658, -0.0666, -0.0366, -0.0105, -0.0127, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0479, -0.0898, -0.0628, -0.0883, -0.1436, -0.1249, -0.1511, -0.1832, -0.2304, -0.2483, -0.2378, -0.2857, -0.3657, -0.279, -0.2446, -0.2872, -0.3111, -0.3186, -0.3119, -0.3119, -0.3156, -0.2999, -0.2364, -0.3037, -0.2782, -0.2468, -0.2595, -0.2393, -0.267, -0.1997, -0.2476, -0.2461, -0.2341, -0.2461, -0.2109, -0.1975, -0.2147, -0.2393, -0.2678, -0.2468, -0.2057, -0.2536, -0.255, -0.3134, -0.2708, -0.2895, -0.2954, -0.3224, -0.3583, -0.359, -0.4312, -0.3852, -0.3485, -0.3485, -0.3455, -0.3463, -0.3403, -0.3957, -0.4106, -0.4121, -0.3957, -0.3747, -0.353, -0.3964, -0.3575, -0.3717, -0.3493, -0.3829, -0.4069, -0.3852, -0.4046, -0.439, -0.4286, -0.445, -0.4585, -0.4652, -0.4443, -0.46, -0.451, -0.4069, -0.4144, -0.4144, -0.5052, -0.5236, -0.5505, -0.5625, -0.5527, -0.5318, -0.5093, -0.5093, -0.4764, -0.4547, -0.3351, -0.3283, -0.3283, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013391730410955200", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-01-19T23:22:50+00:00", "symbol": "DPRO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it reminds me of early stage $RKLB, very speculative upside", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Most bullish on AVAV (gold standard), AIRO (best risk/reward), DPRO (speculative early-stage upside), with KTOS also succeeding in replicator program.", "resolved_tickers": ["DPRO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AVAV definitely. It’s the gold standard and is already part of replicator. (So already successful alongside $KTOS)\n\n$AIRO is for counter UAV replicator, highest potential for lowest downside risk.\n\nI’ll do a write up on $DPRO later but it reminds me of early stage $RKLB, very speculative upside.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @bennybigbull Out of those 4 stocks which of those has in your opinion the highest chance of succeeding?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PlugUnder", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0177268064222158, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0177268064222158, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.002629979301329244, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00823111982675595, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.025957926248971752, "ret_p1w": -0.1605839350729784, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1605839350729784, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.16213092620045388, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.16374293384977123, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0031589987767928207, "ret_p1m": -0.2596454857493812, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2596454857493812, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.24690800517968003, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.21748098301261387, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "bench_c_p1m": -0.042164502736767306, "ret_p3m": -0.3493222448558271, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.3493222448558271, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3665507159697077, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3945703122903266, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.045248067434499495, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1272, -0.1408, -0.0156, -0.0063, -0.0813, -0.1084, 0.0229, 0.1418, 0.0104, -0.0928, -0.0667, -0.1846, -0.1168, -0.1397, -0.1554, -0.1867, -0.245, -0.2826, -0.3295, -0.3055, -0.2544, -0.2388, -0.3097, -0.2127, -0.2211, -0.2377, -0.2377, -0.2377, -0.2847, -0.2753, -0.2023, -0.1376, -0.2002, -0.2158, -0.2211, -0.2388, -0.219, -0.2732, -0.3389, -0.3118, -0.366, -0.3556, -0.2148, -0.1648, -0.1627, -0.1554, -0.1554, -0.2325, -0.2669, -0.2961, -0.2795, -0.2795, -0.2336, -0.1543, -0.1126, -0.1356, -0.0229, -0.0104, 0.0136, 0.024, 0.0146, -0.0261, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0177, -0.0594, 0.0073, -0.0021, -0.1606, -0.1116, -0.1251, -0.1606, -0.2398, -0.1861, -0.1439, -0.2471, -0.3243, -0.2185, -0.1971, -0.2586, -0.2857, -0.293, -0.2815, -0.2815, -0.2596, -0.1898, -0.22, -0.1773, -0.1731, -0.1887, -0.1491, -0.2847, -0.317, -0.2336, -0.2836, -0.2951, -0.3055, -0.3107, -0.341, -0.3306, -0.3118, -0.3107, -0.3389, -0.3316, -0.2941, -0.3076, -0.318, -0.4098, -0.3514, -0.3399, -0.4838, -0.5078, -0.5214, -0.5391, -0.488, -0.4911, -0.4369, -0.4369, -0.463, -0.4818, -0.4567, -0.4713, -0.4307, -0.4317, -0.3973, -0.3806, -0.3493, -0.3806, -0.3879, -0.3702, -0.3233, -0.3577, -0.3879, -0.4077, -0.4494, -0.4713, -0.439, -0.4463, -0.4672, -0.4672, -0.4348, -0.4557, -0.4286, -0.4223, -0.438, -0.4463, -0.4129, -0.4432, -0.4505, -0.4505, -0.4286, -0.3493, -0.3306, -0.3306, -0.3201, -0.3045, -0.1877, -0.2211, -0.2211, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2021028247476289890", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-10T01:07:37+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My thesis with $AXTI is -> price hikes like memory companies (eg. $SNDK, $MU, SK Hynix) and get re-rated as the central chokepoint for photonics buildout", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long AXTI as vertically integrated bottleneck for InP substrates/feedstock; thesis: indium price hikes drive re-rating like memory oligopoly amid parabolic photonics capex buildout.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AXTI - 7N high purity Indium hit over $1K+ USD and has increased parabolically over the last three months. \n\nThis is a derivative reflection of price hikes. \n\nThere's two nuances: \n\n1. This is local SMM pricing (China controls 70%+ of the supply chain). \n\nHyperscalers from $GOOGL to META are probably paying large premiums for this (to pass to $LITE or others).\n\n2. This is feedstock to InP substrates. \n\nInP substrates = $AXTI and Sumitomo.\nFeedstock = $AXTI and Vital.\n\nIncreases in precursor prices hurts the bottom line of Sumitomo -> $LITE / $COHR -> downstream.\n\nBut AXT benefits both times as a bottleneck of two different layers, since they are vertically integrated at the feedstock/refinery level. \n\nAs seen with $GOOGL's earnings, the buildout for photonics is about to grow parabolically with their $180B+ capex spend. And now.\n\nMy thesis with $AXTI is -> price hikes like memory companies (eg. $SNDK, $MU, SK Hynix) and get re-rated as the central chokepoint for photonics buildout. \n\nInstead of the big three, you have 2 (AXT/Sumitomo). Possibly 1 in due time, as Japan faces issues with upstream materials from export controls. \n\nThere's less visibility over price hikes compared to memory products. \n\nBut we can see this potentially reflected in derviatve  like 7N indium on SMM.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.14045174631276613, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.14045174631276613, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.13780761287661036, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.1357823518932093, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002644133436155771, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004669394419556827, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10061596785252047, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10061596785252047, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10084702666693679, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07586058497891623, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00023105881441631837, "bench_c_p1d": 0.024755382873604237, "ret_p1w": -0.046817300991280786, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.046817300991280786, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03342367129959534, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0536114504468862, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01339362969168545, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006794149455605414, "ret_p1m": 0.9449691937743201, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.9449691937743201, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.9677830904454904, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.9541845581787433, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.022813896671170286, "bench_c_p1m": -0.009215364404423165, "ret_p3m": 3.778644714063379, "ret_signed_p3m": 3.778644714063379, "alpha_spy_p3m": 3.709994071895844, "alpha_c_p3m": 3.378951156502204, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06865064216753503, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3996935575611753, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5713, -0.5713, -0.5791, -0.5934, -0.5848, -0.6119, -0.6333, -0.6164, -0.6209, -0.5708, -0.5708, -0.5606, -0.5569, -0.517, -0.5285, -0.5031, -0.5244, -0.478, -0.3856, -0.363, -0.3273, -0.3918, -0.391, -0.4661, -0.4924, -0.4246, -0.3984, -0.3749, -0.3988, -0.3836, -0.3836, -0.3688, -0.4008, -0.3511, -0.3285, -0.3285, -0.3117, -0.3154, -0.1717, -0.0099, 0.0608, -0.0559, -0.0867, -0.1166, -0.0924, 0.0563, -0.0928, -0.0928, -0.1207, -0.1877, -0.2641, -0.2854, -0.269, -0.2936, -0.3088, -0.3273, -0.2386, -0.14, -0.1893, -0.23, -0.161, -0.0119, 0.1405, 0.0, 0.1006, 0.0181, -0.0045, -0.0045, -0.0468, -0.0333, -0.0222, 0.2189, 0.1676, 0.4407, 0.6825, 0.5244, 0.5565, 0.9023, 0.715, 0.607, 0.5934, 0.3294, 0.5836, 0.8193, 0.945, 0.9191, 1.0066, 0.9873, 0.8218, 1.0025, 1.3856, 1.2275, 1.6464, 1.8107, 1.7659, 1.4029, 1.4899, 1.1655, 1.34, 0.9359, 1.17, 1.17, 0.7244, 0.8669, 1.184, 1.5922, 1.6357, 1.729, 1.7639, 1.5844, 2.3585, 2.3906, 2.2345, 2.0789, 2.5704, 2.0912, 2.1277, 1.8809, 1.8218, 1.9187, 2.2534, 2.9425, 3.3532, 3.4168, 3.3051, 3.4526, 3.7786, 4.1667, 4.0472, 4.0078, 3.722, 4.0834, 3.3483, 3.6357, 3.2961, 3.97, 4.7836, 4.7836, 4.4456, 4.0419, 3.7515, 3.2366, 3.2366, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2021028247476289890", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-10T01:07:37+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "As seen with $GOOGL's earnings, the buildout for photonics is about to grow parabolically with their $180B+ capex spend", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long AXTI as vertically integrated bottleneck for InP substrates/feedstock; thesis: indium price hikes drive re-rating like memory oligopoly amid parabolic photonics capex buildout.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AXTI - 7N high purity Indium hit over $1K+ USD and has increased parabolically over the last three months. \n\nThis is a derivative reflection of price hikes. \n\nThere's two nuances: \n\n1. This is local SMM pricing (China controls 70%+ of the supply chain). \n\nHyperscalers from $GOOGL to META are probably paying large premiums for this (to pass to $LITE or others).\n\n2. This is feedstock to InP substrates. \n\nInP substrates = $AXTI and Sumitomo.\nFeedstock = $AXTI and Vital.\n\nIncreases in precursor prices hurts the bottom line of Sumitomo -> $LITE / $COHR -> downstream.\n\nBut AXT benefits both times as a bottleneck of two different layers, since they are vertically integrated at the feedstock/refinery level. \n\nAs seen with $GOOGL's earnings, the buildout for photonics is about to grow parabolically with their $180B+ capex spend. And now.\n\nMy thesis with $AXTI is -> price hikes like memory companies (eg. $SNDK, $MU, SK Hynix) and get re-rated as the central chokepoint for photonics buildout. \n\nInstead of the big three, you have 2 (AXT/Sumitomo). Possibly 1 in due time, as Japan faces issues with upstream materials from export controls. \n\nThere's less visibility over price hikes compared to memory products. \n\nBut we can see this potentially reflected in derviatve  like 7N indium on SMM.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.018017549081494, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.018017549081494, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.015373415645338229, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.023970972311242567, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002644133436155771, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005953423229748567, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.023918591893986596, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.023918591893986596, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.023687533079570278, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016774536093410397, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00023105881441631837, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007144055800576199, "ret_p1w": -0.0519806343724073, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0519806343724073, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03858700468072185, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.024935224475452267, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.01339362969168545, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02704540989695503, "ret_p1m": -0.030330376533100223, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.030330376533100223, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.007516479861929937, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.025397560600820768, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.022813896671170286, "bench_c_p1m": -0.004932815932279455, "ret_p3m": 0.25896844146575626, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.25896844146575626, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.19031779929822124, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2612377450950928, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06865064216753503, "bench_c_p3m": -0.0022693036293365276, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1262, -0.1329, -0.1059, -0.1082, -0.0815, -0.092, -0.06, -0.0007, 0.0146, 0.0036, 0.0036, 0.0044, -0.0122, -0.0093, 0.0026, -0.0037, 0.0078, -0.0153, -0.0047, 0.0051, -0.0193, -0.0292, -0.0325, -0.0377, -0.0686, -0.0506, -0.0358, -0.0276, -0.0133, -0.0141, -0.0141, -0.0159, -0.0158, -0.0148, -0.0175, -0.0175, -0.0108, -0.0064, -0.0133, 0.0107, 0.0215, 0.0314, 0.0417, 0.0546, 0.0542, 0.0446, 0.0358, 0.0358, 0.0107, 0.0308, 0.0375, 0.0293, 0.0461, 0.0501, 0.0547, 0.0617, 0.061, 0.0788, 0.0663, 0.0454, 0.0398, 0.0134, 0.018, 0.0, -0.0239, -0.0301, -0.0404, -0.0404, -0.052, -0.0479, -0.0494, -0.0113, -0.0223, -0.0241, -0.0178, -0.0352, -0.0214, -0.0379, -0.0471, -0.0485, -0.0556, -0.063, -0.0377, -0.0355, -0.0303, -0.0465, -0.0505, -0.0402, -0.0234, -0.0335, -0.0353, -0.0545, -0.0512, -0.0877, -0.0861, -0.1176, -0.1383, -0.1409, -0.0967, -0.0659, -0.0709, -0.0709, -0.0577, -0.0405, -0.0033, 0.0004, -0.0035, 0.0093, 0.0457, 0.0589, 0.0555, 0.0733, 0.0599, 0.0438, 0.0659, 0.0645, 0.0818, 0.1005, 0.0987, 0.0992, 0.2087, 0.2115, 0.2038, 0.2201, 0.2503, 0.2501, 0.259, 0.2208, 0.2167, 0.2647, 0.2598, 0.2463, 0.2468, 0.2177, 0.2216, 0.2177, 0.203, 0.203, 0.2215, 0.2214, 0.2255, 0.1947, 0.1947, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2014444695821472218", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-22T21:06:56+00:00", "symbol": "POET", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I personally ended up buying at this level to take advantage of the drop", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bought POET after 17% offering drop; views $7.25 institutional price as support, though sees company 5-8 months early.", "resolved_tickers": ["POET"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$POET has crashed 17% after a direct offering of $150m in shares at $7.25.\n\nThey’re now sitting on a ~$420-$450m war chest with a ~$1.02B MC factoring in 20.6M new shares.\n\nIMO this is a decent opportunity as the institutional offering price was $7.25.\n\nPoet’s optical interposers are a genuine bottleneck fix to InP and they have a hyperscaler backdoor. Especially because they supply Starlight to $MRVL Celestial photonic fabric.\n\nIMO company is 5-8 months a bit early so I’m not personally long. \n\nBut I personally ended up buying at this level to take advantage of the drop.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.20605184676487642, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.20605184676487642, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.21124793641316786, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.20826130665330034, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005196089648291435, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0022094598884239147, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004322796766714321, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004322796766714321, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0046855770064548885, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.002454450978407796, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0003627802397405677, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006777247745122117, "ret_p1w": -0.1426513313822403, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1426513313822403, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.149995499325685, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.17914401154254211, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007344167943444724, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03649268016030183, "ret_p1m": -0.18011527229016155, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.18011527229016155, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.18076843661504216, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.21042655582392755, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0006531643248806063, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030311283533765998, "ret_p3m": 0.4769452327793251, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4769452327793251, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.45223789090318633, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.323427544448325, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024707341876138766, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1535176883310001, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0677, 0.0187, -0.0447, -0.0807, -0.072, -0.049, -0.1427, -0.1297, -0.2334, -0.2233, -0.2392, -0.2378, -0.2723, -0.3228, -0.366, -0.3991, -0.3818, -0.3876, -0.3948, -0.3847, -0.3329, -0.3271, -0.3026, -0.3026, -0.2867, -0.3357, -0.3256, -0.134, -0.0821, -0.1282, -0.1023, -0.0058, 0.0303, 0.0403, -0.0634, -0.1441, -0.1254, -0.1398, -0.1167, -0.0231, 0.0965, 0.0303, 0.0115, 0.0115, -0.0187, -0.0576, -0.0605, -0.0879, -0.0879, 0.0317, 0.0706, 0.0591, 0.0735, 0.049, 0.0648, 0.0389, 0.0288, 0.1657, 0.1974, 0.196, 0.196, 0.1873, 0.2061, 0.0, -0.0043, -0.0692, -0.0216, -0.1037, -0.1427, -0.1643, -0.1585, -0.1297, -0.1916, -0.2536, -0.1542, -0.1052, -0.1585, -0.1599, -0.1859, -0.196, -0.196, -0.2046, -0.196, -0.1974, -0.1801, -0.2046, -0.1196, -0.0836, -0.1009, -0.1354, -0.0043, 0.0144, -0.0144, -0.0432, -0.0951, -0.036, 0.0086, 0.072, 0.072, -0.0159, -0.0043, -0.0533, -0.1095, -0.1023, -0.1455, -0.1268, -0.1729, -0.121, -0.2089, -0.2522, -0.268, -0.1441, -0.1931, -0.1196, -0.1196, -0.1239, -0.1412, -0.1037, -0.1239, 0.0144, 0.0519, -0.0331, 0.0043, 0.0576, 0.0461, 0.2378, 0.4769, 0.8401, 0.6888, 1.1758, 0.1455, 0.1571, -0.049, 0.0259, 0.0533, 0.0245, 0.3271, 0.4006, 0.3804, 0.5778, 1.0029, 0.9784, 1.0706, 1.964, 1.3012, 1.0476, 0.8833, 1.1297, 1.1354, 1.1023, 1.1023, 0.9236, 0.9135, 0.9107, 0.7709, 0.7709, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2033486637553127865", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-16T10:12:49+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Nebius was my top Neocloud AI Infrastructure DC pick. Glad management is executing toward their $7-9B ARR target.", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NBIS as top Neocloud AI infrastructure pick; endorses $7-9B ARR target as management executes on $27B META contract.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just in: $META signs an enormous $27 Billion cumulative AI spend contract with $NBIS.\n\nNebius was my top Neocloud AI Infrastruture DC pick.\n\nGlad management is executing toward their $7-9B ARR target.\n\nNebius is up 14.79% premarket to $129.66. https://t.co/RaaDWm1if0", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.13015023766576383, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.13015023766576383, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1200758967727108, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12251992349076146, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010074340893053035, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007630314175002373, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.10412016663043411, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.10412016663043411, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.10675072150040932, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.10446698401024546, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00263055486997521, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0003468173798113483, "ret_p1w": -0.12090877042486059, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12090877042486059, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1031813407704315, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10130993845482839, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017727429654429083, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019598831970032204, "ret_p1m": 0.2471312655334701, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2471312655334701, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.20628622036414623, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.23324111665351577, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04084504516932386, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013890148879954323, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4189, -0.3986, -0.3111, -0.282, -0.3067, -0.2982, -0.2982, -0.3255, -0.3374, -0.3441, -0.3554, -0.3554, -0.3073, -0.2851, -0.228, -0.2591, -0.2507, -0.2458, -0.1734, -0.1881, -0.2146, -0.2, -0.1626, -0.1626, -0.2353, -0.2386, -0.2541, -0.2722, -0.2956, -0.2463, -0.2266, -0.2691, -0.3439, -0.3211, -0.3073, -0.3655, -0.4311, -0.3369, -0.2847, -0.2931, -0.3176, -0.309, -0.2452, -0.2452, -0.249, -0.216, -0.1713, -0.2459, -0.2252, -0.21, -0.1827, -0.1923, -0.2977, -0.2991, -0.3315, -0.247, -0.2634, -0.3121, -0.2688, -0.2574, -0.1375, -0.168, -0.1302, 0.0, -0.1041, -0.0869, -0.0642, -0.0942, -0.1209, -0.1151, -0.1137, -0.1839, -0.2236, -0.2895, -0.2009, -0.2149, -0.162, -0.162, -0.1333, -0.0959, -0.0374, 0.0499, 0.1164, 0.1903, 0.2471, 0.2843, 0.2733, 0.2102, 0.2257, 0.2056, 0.2025, 0.2097, 0.1333, 0.1164, 0.0436, 0.0873, 0.0645, 0.1898, 0.3586, 0.3548, 0.5024, 0.4229, 0.3635, 0.4332, 0.3794, 0.5962, 0.7031, 0.6938, 0.5392, 0.5228, 0.4772, 0.6937, 0.654, 0.654, 0.6023, 0.6047, 0.7431, 0.7797, 0.7797, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2024338612356354447", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-19T04:21:50+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The reason I personally like $AXTI the most is because they sit in two different bottlenecks since they own the entire supply chain and benefit from price hikes", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AXTI: owns entire InP supply chain, sits in two bottlenecks, benefits from feedstock price hikes vs peers.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I think the nuance is that there’s two different bottlenecks. One is feedstock/refinery processing. The other is InP substrates. \n\nSumitomo/ $COHR sits in one of them but are affected by feedstock pricing like 7n indium nonstandard. \n\nThe reason I personally like $AXTI the most is because they sit in two different bottlenecks since they own the entire supply chain and benefit from price hikes. Most of the worlds upstream feedstock come from Vital or are derived from AXT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "When discussing photonics, the conversation inevitably shifts to InP (Indium Phosphide) substrates. \n\nWhile AXT Inc. $AXTI and Sumitomo Electric are the dominant names in this space, one shouldn't overlook Coherent $COHR. \n\nConsidering the growing emphasis on reshoring and the", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PhotonCap", "ret_m1d": -0.011339712577534633, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011339712577534633, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.013984120970399583, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01706856561509007, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0026444083928649498, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005728853037555437, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.24653511007548734, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.24653511007548734, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.2393032454863644, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.2347603991331877, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007231864589122949, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011774710942299649, "ret_p1w": 0.5590088099321837, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.5590088099321837, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.5519669493273327, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.5545963342990035, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0070418606048510135, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004412475633180257, "ret_p1m": 1.2780345609016592, "ret_signed_p1m": 1.2780345609016592, "alpha_spy_p1m": 1.327909936170705, "alpha_c_p1m": 1.3401018968719136, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04987537526904562, "bench_c_p1m": -0.06206733597025438, "ret_p3m": 3.740865173679678, "ret_signed_p3m": 3.740865173679678, "alpha_spy_p3m": 3.665985184666826, "alpha_c_p3m": 3.4147803229115237, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07487998901285198, "bench_c_p3m": 0.32608485076815463, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6077, -0.6123, -0.5611, -0.5611, -0.5506, -0.5468, -0.5061, -0.5178, -0.4918, -0.5136, -0.4662, -0.3717, -0.3486, -0.3121, -0.378, -0.3772, -0.454, -0.4809, -0.4116, -0.3847, -0.3608, -0.3851, -0.3696, -0.3696, -0.3545, -0.3872, -0.3364, -0.3133, -0.3133, -0.2961, -0.2999, -0.1529, 0.0126, 0.0848, -0.0344, -0.0659, -0.0966, -0.0718, 0.0802, -0.0722, -0.0722, -0.1008, -0.1693, -0.2474, -0.2692, -0.2524, -0.2776, -0.2932, -0.3121, -0.2213, -0.1205, -0.1709, -0.2125, -0.142, 0.0105, 0.1663, 0.0227, 0.1256, 0.0412, 0.0181, 0.0181, -0.0252, -0.0113, 0.0, 0.2465, 0.194, 0.4733, 0.7207, 0.559, 0.5918, 0.9454, 0.7539, 0.6434, 0.6296, 0.3595, 0.6195, 0.8606, 0.9891, 0.9626, 1.0521, 1.0323, 0.8631, 1.0479, 1.4397, 1.278, 1.7064, 1.8744, 1.8286, 1.4574, 1.5464, 1.2146, 1.3931, 0.9798, 1.2192, 1.2192, 0.7635, 0.9093, 1.2335, 1.651, 1.6955, 1.7908, 1.8265, 1.643, 2.4347, 2.4675, 2.3079, 2.1487, 2.6514, 2.1613, 2.1987, 1.9462, 1.8858, 1.9849, 2.3272, 3.0319, 3.4519, 3.517, 3.4028, 3.5535, 3.887, 4.2839, 4.1617, 4.1214, 3.8291, 4.1987, 3.4469, 3.7409, 3.3935, 4.0827, 4.9147, 4.9147, 4.5691, 4.1562, 3.8593, 3.3326, 3.3326, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2031751619117744443", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-11T15:18:28+00:00", "symbol": "SLOIF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SOI is likely a name that people can hold for many years as the substrate monopoly for CPO", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long Soitec for years as CPO substrate monopoly; NVDA GTC catalyst also points institutions to AXTI as a missed photonics play.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLOIF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Turns out markets like hidden photonics monopolies?\n\nSoitec is up 16% intraday. \n\nIf you look at the CPO photonics architectural ramp led by $NVDA:\n\nIt’s parabolic. \n\n$SOI is likely a name that people can hold for many years as the substrate monopoly for CPO.\n\nAnd best of yet, there’s the upcoming $NVDA GTC announcement next week.\n\nWhich would likely signal to institutions to start looking into players they missed like $AXTI, and now $SOI.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Changed my mind about Soitec ( $SLOIF ) and took a sizable position ~43 for CPO exposure.\n\n$NVDA GTC next week biggest catalyst pushing photonics and this architecture. \n\n~1.5B euros MC. Trading at 1x book value and ~2x P/S (very depressed valuations)\n\nGenuine monopoly over https://t.co/3vPQQfyHrE", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.16154719362766368, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.16154719362766368, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.16280393397006943, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.15232092073462877, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009226272893034904, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08158628916063027, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08158628916063027, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09677123802999377, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.11375344357738437, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03216715441675411, "ret_p1w": 0.1846253995729623, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1846253995729623, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.20665609035212773, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.20297810479193767, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018352705218975363, "ret_p1m": 0.040143040300761657, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.040143040300761657, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03210435427129288, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.032868950992714696, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07301199129347635, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4994, -0.5332, -0.5287, -0.5422, -0.5422, -0.5422, -0.5422, -0.5774, -0.5774, -0.5774, -0.5774, -0.5661, -0.5644, -0.6007, -0.6007, -0.6007, -0.6007, -0.6007, -0.5043, -0.5043, -0.484, -0.484, -0.4453, -0.4453, -0.4442, -0.436, -0.436, -0.4703, -0.4703, -0.4703, -0.4695, -0.4373, -0.4373, -0.4373, -0.4534, -0.484, -0.5002, -0.5009, -0.3927, -0.4068, -0.4005, -0.4005, -0.4005, -0.2604, -0.2604, -0.2604, -0.2604, -0.2604, -0.247, -0.247, -0.247, -0.247, -0.2504, -0.2504, -0.1843, -0.1843, -0.1706, -0.184, -0.1791, -0.2217, -0.1971, -0.2236, -0.1615, 0.0, 0.0816, 0.1058, 0.1851, 0.1451, 0.1846, 0.0502, -0.0471, -0.014, -0.0351, 0.0336, -0.0034, -0.0005, -0.0418, -0.032, -0.0085, -0.0538, -0.0538, -0.0452, -0.0501, 0.0117, 0.0401, 0.2059, 0.2732, 0.4227, 0.4877, 0.6668, 0.8365, 0.93, 0.8853, 1.0965, 0.9504, 1.1128, 1.1099, 0.8747, 1.1575, 1.4668, 1.4624, 1.9132, 2.0065, 1.8051, 1.8367, 2.3057, 2.103, 1.8035, 1.994, 1.8734, 1.8048, 1.6561, 1.7292, 1.9902, 2.2179, 2.3356, 2.3356, 2.1368, 1.8474, 2.6745, 2.348, 2.348, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2031751619117744443", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-11T15:18:28+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "signal to institutions to start looking into players they missed like $AXTI", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long Soitec for years as CPO substrate monopoly; NVDA GTC catalyst also points institutions to AXTI as a missed photonics play.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Turns out markets like hidden photonics monopolies?\n\nSoitec is up 16% intraday. \n\nIf you look at the CPO photonics architectural ramp led by $NVDA:\n\nIt’s parabolic. \n\n$SOI is likely a name that people can hold for many years as the substrate monopoly for CPO.\n\nAnd best of yet, there’s the upcoming $NVDA GTC announcement next week.\n\nWhich would likely signal to institutions to start looking into players they missed like $AXTI, and now $SOI.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Changed my mind about Soitec ( $SLOIF ) and took a sizable position ~43 for CPO exposure.\n\n$NVDA GTC next week biggest catalyst pushing photonics and this architecture. \n\n~1.5B euros MC. Trading at 1x book value and ~2x P/S (very depressed valuations)\n\nGenuine monopoly over https://t.co/3vPQQfyHrE", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0646115146506604, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0646115146506604, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06586825499306614, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05538524175762549, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009226272893034904, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.013302387246539316, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.013302387246539316, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.001882561622824186, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01886476717021479, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03216715441675411, "ret_p1w": 0.0295607621017564, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0295607621017564, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05159145288092182, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04791346732073176, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018352705218975363, "ret_p1m": 0.33277023054109733, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.33277023054109733, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.32473154451162856, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.259758239247621, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07301199129347635, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6873, -0.6869, -0.7255, -0.739, -0.7042, -0.6907, -0.6786, -0.6909, -0.6831, -0.6831, -0.6755, -0.6919, -0.6664, -0.6548, -0.6548, -0.6461, -0.648, -0.5741, -0.4909, -0.4546, -0.5146, -0.5304, -0.5458, -0.5334, -0.4569, -0.5336, -0.5336, -0.5479, -0.5823, -0.6216, -0.6326, -0.6242, -0.6368, -0.6446, -0.6541, -0.6085, -0.5579, -0.5832, -0.6041, -0.5686, -0.492, -0.4136, -0.4859, -0.4341, -0.4766, -0.4882, -0.4882, -0.5099, -0.503, -0.4973, -0.3733, -0.3997, -0.2593, -0.1349, -0.2162, -0.1997, -0.022, -0.1182, -0.1738, -0.1807, -0.3165, -0.1858, -0.0646, 0.0, -0.0133, 0.0317, 0.0217, -0.0633, 0.0296, 0.2266, 0.1453, 0.3606, 0.4451, 0.4221, 0.2354, 0.2802, 0.1134, 0.2031, -0.0046, 0.1157, 0.1157, -0.1134, -0.0401, 0.1229, 0.3328, 0.3552, 0.4031, 0.421, 0.3288, 0.7268, 0.7432, 0.663, 0.583, 0.8357, 0.5893, 0.6081, 0.4812, 0.4508, 0.5006, 0.6727, 1.027, 1.2382, 1.2709, 1.2135, 1.2893, 1.4569, 1.6565, 1.595, 1.5747, 1.4278, 1.6136, 1.2356, 1.3834, 1.2088, 1.5553, 1.9736, 1.9736, 1.7998, 1.5923, 1.443, 1.1782, 1.1782, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2012458647192994053", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-17T09:35:05+00:00", "symbol": "AIRO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I actually believe in my thesis so I cost average up on stuff like $AIRO", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Still holding AIRO, LPTH, OSS, SSYS, AXTI, VLN as 1-year thesis positions; cost averaging up on AIRO and LPTH.", "resolved_tickers": ["AIRO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@truncateit I actually believe in my thesis so I cost average up on stuff like $AIRO and $LPTH. \n\nBut if you're curious yes I still have $OSS, $AIRO, $LPTH, $SSYS, $AXTI, $VLN, and others I do DD on since they're meant to be 1 year holds, not 12 hour ones. https://t.co/uNvk2q5uYe", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit saying this after you sold", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "truncateit", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04786838809280902, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04786838809280902, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.027511602369263977, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.027676700133082877, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.020191687959726146, "ret_p1w": -0.14360509294900847, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.14360509294900847, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.14515208407648394, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12850622805931522, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015098864889693253, "ret_p1m": -0.31563203464098943, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.31563203464098943, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3028945540712883, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3646434774256907, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "bench_c_p1m": 0.049011442784701265, "ret_p3m": -0.35302919277709754, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.35302919277709754, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.37025766389097814, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3764480742428301, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.023418881465732566, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.279, 0.2902, 0.3074, 0.2962, 0.258, 0.2565, 0.2229, 0.2236, 0.2177, 0.0673, 0.0617, -0.0187, 0.0075, 0.0322, 0.0194, 0.0, -0.0464, -0.2446, -0.2274, -0.2625, -0.3366, -0.4121, -0.4024, -0.4114, -0.4136, -0.3837, -0.3837, -0.353, -0.3874, -0.3807, -0.3455, -0.2827, -0.2909, -0.2737, -0.282, -0.2726, -0.2745, -0.3642, -0.4046, -0.4248, -0.4458, -0.445, -0.3994, -0.3194, -0.3119, -0.3007, -0.3007, -0.3463, -0.3792, -0.3904, -0.3882, -0.3882, -0.3089, -0.2431, -0.166, -0.1967, -0.1062, -0.0658, -0.0666, -0.0366, -0.0105, -0.0127, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0479, -0.0898, -0.0628, -0.0883, -0.1436, -0.1249, -0.1511, -0.1832, -0.2304, -0.2483, -0.2378, -0.2857, -0.3657, -0.279, -0.2446, -0.2872, -0.3111, -0.3186, -0.3119, -0.3119, -0.3156, -0.2999, -0.2364, -0.3037, -0.2782, -0.2468, -0.2595, -0.2393, -0.267, -0.1997, -0.2476, -0.2461, -0.2341, -0.2461, -0.2109, -0.1975, -0.2147, -0.2393, -0.2678, -0.2468, -0.2057, -0.2536, -0.255, -0.3134, -0.2708, -0.2895, -0.2954, -0.3224, -0.3583, -0.359, -0.4312, -0.3852, -0.3485, -0.3485, -0.3455, -0.3463, -0.3403, -0.3957, -0.4106, -0.4121, -0.3957, -0.3747, -0.353, -0.3964, -0.3575, -0.3717, -0.3493, -0.3829, -0.4069, -0.3852, -0.4046, -0.439, -0.4286, -0.445, -0.4585, -0.4652, -0.4443, -0.46, -0.451, -0.4069, -0.4144, -0.4144, -0.5052, -0.5236, -0.5505, -0.5625, -0.5527, -0.5318, -0.5093, -0.5093, -0.4764, -0.4547, -0.3351, -0.3283, -0.3283, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2012458647192994053", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-17T09:35:05+00:00", "symbol": "LPTH", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I actually believe in my thesis so I cost average up on stuff like $AIRO and $LPTH", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Still holding AIRO, LPTH, OSS, SSYS, AXTI, VLN as 1-year thesis positions; cost averaging up on AIRO and LPTH.", "resolved_tickers": ["LPTH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@truncateit I actually believe in my thesis so I cost average up on stuff like $AIRO and $LPTH. \n\nBut if you're curious yes I still have $OSS, $AIRO, $LPTH, $SSYS, $AXTI, $VLN, and others I do DD on since they're meant to be 1 year holds, not 12 hour ones. https://t.co/uNvk2q5uYe", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit saying this after you sold", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "truncateit", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.11376295464546371, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.11376295464546371, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.13411974036900876, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.13411974036900876, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "ret_p1w": -0.18615753455836603, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.18615753455836603, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1877045256858415, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1877045256858415, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "ret_p1m": -0.11058070194073111, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11058070194073111, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09784322137102996, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09784322137102996, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "ret_p3m": 0.18695309773454927, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.18695309773454927, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.16972462662066867, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.16972462662066867, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4153, -0.3652, -0.3278, -0.3286, -0.3286, -0.3477, -0.3413, -0.3095, -0.3508, -0.401, -0.3771, -0.3938, -0.3866, -0.3811, -0.3604, -0.4137, -0.4702, -0.467, -0.459, -0.4566, -0.4654, -0.5084, -0.506, -0.4598, -0.4503, -0.4495, -0.4495, -0.4153, -0.4296, -0.3699, -0.3357, -0.2824, -0.2999, -0.3047, -0.2999, -0.2983, -0.2745, -0.3556, -0.4041, -0.4169, -0.4527, -0.4288, -0.3922, -0.3214, -0.3071, -0.2816, -0.2816, -0.2824, -0.1814, -0.1599, -0.1408, -0.1408, -0.0676, -0.07, -0.0835, -0.0294, 0.0048, -0.0183, -0.0461, -0.0724, 0.0525, 0.0477, 0.0, 0.0, 0.1138, 0.0851, 0.14, -0.0103, -0.1862, -0.105, -0.1026, -0.0859, -0.171, -0.1647, -0.1337, -0.2522, -0.2792, -0.1599, -0.0986, -0.1241, -0.183, -0.0072, -0.0835, -0.0835, -0.1106, -0.1058, 0.0819, -0.0453, -0.109, -0.0461, -0.0636, -0.1138, -0.1702, -0.0446, -0.0469, -0.0613, -0.0986, -0.1193, -0.1177, -0.1193, -0.1337, -0.1273, -0.1639, -0.1249, -0.0461, -0.0716, -0.0859, -0.1623, -0.0899, -0.0557, -0.0493, -0.1257, -0.245, -0.2593, -0.2021, -0.187, -0.1265, -0.1265, -0.0859, -0.1281, -0.0788, -0.0326, 0.0207, 0.1464, 0.1368, 0.1154, 0.187, 0.1265, 0.1376, 0.1289, 0.1655, 0.1631, 0.28, 0.113, 0.0103, -0.0302, 0.0191, 0.0899, -0.0191, -0.0374, 0.0239, -0.043, -0.0843, 0.0199, -0.0286, -0.0358, -0.0334, -0.0835, -0.0103, 0.1042, 0.0859, 0.136, 0.3484, 0.3484, 0.292, 0.401, 0.4439, 0.3508, 0.3508, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2012458647192994053", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-17T09:35:05+00:00", "symbol": "OSS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "yes I still have $OSS", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Still holding AIRO, LPTH, OSS, SSYS, AXTI, VLN as 1-year thesis positions; cost averaging up on AIRO and LPTH.", "resolved_tickers": ["OSS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@truncateit I actually believe in my thesis so I cost average up on stuff like $AIRO and $LPTH. \n\nBut if you're curious yes I still have $OSS, $AIRO, $LPTH, $SSYS, $AXTI, $VLN, and others I do DD on since they're meant to be 1 year holds, not 12 hour ones. https://t.co/uNvk2q5uYe", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit saying this after you sold", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "truncateit", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01125702507286741, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01125702507286741, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.031613810796412456, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.031613810796412456, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "ret_p1w": -0.05065665755934523, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05065665755934523, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0522036486868207, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0522036486868207, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "ret_p1m": -0.22326455426907932, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.22326455426907932, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.21052707369937818, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.21052707369937818, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "ret_p3m": -0.0844277327779478, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.0844277327779478, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.10165620389182839, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.10165620389182839, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5319, -0.5178, -0.5103, -0.5056, -0.5253, -0.5206, -0.5347, -0.531, -0.5188, -0.5572, -0.4597, -0.4991, -0.5131, -0.4906, -0.4737, -0.4803, -0.5159, -0.5206, -0.5563, -0.5535, -0.576, -0.5929, -0.5816, -0.5647, -0.5675, -0.4418, -0.4418, -0.4287, -0.4447, -0.4306, -0.4212, -0.3846, -0.3452, -0.3086, -0.2899, -0.2749, -0.2645, -0.2899, -0.3574, -0.3452, -0.364, -0.3274, -0.3105, -0.3189, -0.3049, -0.3218, -0.3218, -0.3255, -0.3321, -0.3293, -0.3265, -0.3265, -0.3621, -0.3527, -0.3959, -0.2617, -0.1754, -0.243, -0.0197, 0.06, 0.0966, 0.0178, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0113, 0.0947, 0.0638, -0.0056, -0.0507, -0.0141, -0.0281, -0.0038, -0.0722, -0.1041, -0.1051, -0.1595, -0.2448, -0.1332, -0.0947, -0.1069, -0.1135, -0.1979, -0.1839, -0.1839, -0.2233, -0.2167, -0.0113, -0.0882, -0.1492, -0.137, -0.151, -0.1435, -0.2256, -0.1909, -0.2223, -0.2129, -0.2045, -0.2111, -0.1651, -0.1154, -0.0704, -0.0478, -0.0544, -0.0422, 0.0028, 0.0544, -0.0366, -0.1726, -0.136, -0.152, -0.1482, -0.1989, -0.281, -0.3236, -0.2899, -0.3189, -0.2833, -0.2833, -0.2758, -0.2852, -0.2523, -0.2655, -0.2683, -0.1689, -0.1782, -0.0779, -0.0844, -0.0694, -0.0507, -0.0685, -0.0244, -0.0826, -0.0891, -0.0666, -0.1304, -0.1754, -0.1098, -0.0591, -0.0844, -0.0835, 0.4381, 0.4165, 0.4709, 0.4934, 0.4587, 0.4878, 0.6173, 0.545, 0.5, 0.4456, 0.4719, 0.5488, 0.6726, 0.6726, 0.636, 0.6473, 0.6801, 0.7054, 0.7054, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2012458647192994053", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-01-17T09:35:05+00:00", "symbol": "SSYS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "yes I still have $OSS, $AIRO, $LPTH, $SSYS", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Still holding AIRO, LPTH, OSS, SSYS, AXTI, VLN as 1-year thesis positions; cost averaging up on AIRO and LPTH.", "resolved_tickers": ["SSYS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@truncateit I actually believe in my thesis so I cost average up on stuff like $AIRO and $LPTH. \n\nBut if you're curious yes I still have $OSS, $AIRO, $LPTH, $SSYS, $AXTI, $VLN, and others I do DD on since they're meant to be 1 year holds, not 12 hour ones. https://t.co/uNvk2q5uYe", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit saying this after you sold", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "truncateit", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02591599398818689, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02591599398818689, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.005559208264641846, "alpha_c_p1d": 4.193226078486045e-05, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.025957926248971752, "ret_p1w": -0.021447701529756724, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.021447701529756724, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.022994692657232196, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.024606700306549545, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0031589987767928207, "ret_p1m": -0.04647001998113953, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04647001998113953, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03373253941143839, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.004305517244372226, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "bench_c_p1m": -0.042164502736767306, "ret_p3m": -0.22877565343525175, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22877565343525175, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24600412454913234, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.27402372086975124, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.045248067434499495, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0098, 0.0527, 0.0715, 0.0643, 0.0304, -0.008, -0.0366, -0.0509, -0.0536, -0.118, -0.1197, -0.1546, -0.151, -0.1421, -0.1492, -0.1475, -0.1662, -0.2002, -0.2377, -0.2404, -0.2502, -0.2672, -0.2368, -0.2332, -0.2368, -0.2279, -0.2279, -0.2145, -0.2288, -0.2181, -0.1975, -0.1805, -0.1912, -0.1859, -0.1796, -0.1698, -0.1564, -0.1618, -0.1868, -0.1895, -0.1948, -0.1895, -0.2002, -0.1734, -0.1832, -0.1886, -0.1886, -0.2002, -0.2127, -0.2207, -0.2243, -0.2243, -0.1948, -0.1296, -0.0769, -0.0992, -0.0697, -0.0777, -0.0688, -0.1072, -0.0947, 0.0384, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0259, -0.0054, 0.0277, -0.0116, -0.0214, 0.0009, -0.0125, 0.0045, -0.0438, -0.0063, -0.0223, -0.0545, -0.0867, 0.0054, 0.0152, 0.0045, 0.008, -0.0214, -0.0197, -0.0197, -0.0465, -0.0366, -0.0384, -0.0661, -0.0947, -0.1099, -0.1197, -0.1162, -0.1394, -0.1358, -0.1564, -0.1242, -0.1868, -0.2172, -0.2324, -0.2592, -0.2583, -0.2681, -0.2967, -0.2842, -0.2788, -0.3029, -0.3056, -0.3208, -0.3021, -0.2815, -0.2779, -0.2931, -0.3172, -0.3369, -0.3021, -0.2922, -0.2878, -0.2878, -0.2824, -0.2824, -0.2592, -0.2556, -0.2538, -0.2368, -0.2449, -0.2386, -0.2288, -0.2145, -0.2118, -0.2252, -0.2189, -0.2422, -0.2297, -0.2306, -0.2341, -0.2431, -0.2073, -0.2038, -0.2189, -0.1993, -0.1734, -0.2672, -0.2386, -0.2368, -0.2324, -0.235, -0.2163, -0.235, -0.2645, -0.277, -0.2529, -0.2377, -0.1939, -0.1939, -0.1367, -0.1144, -0.1046, -0.0581, -0.0581, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2012458647192994053", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-01-17T09:35:05+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "yes I still have $OSS, $AIRO, $LPTH, $SSYS, $AXTI", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Still holding AIRO, LPTH, OSS, SSYS, AXTI, VLN as 1-year thesis positions; cost averaging up on AIRO and LPTH.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@truncateit I actually believe in my thesis so I cost average up on stuff like $AIRO and $LPTH. \n\nBut if you're curious yes I still have $OSS, $AIRO, $LPTH, $SSYS, $AXTI, $VLN, and others I do DD on since they're meant to be 1 year holds, not 12 hour ones. https://t.co/uNvk2q5uYe", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit saying this after you sold", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "truncateit", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0307831734032884, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0307831734032884, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010426387679743354, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005807525574556993, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.024975647828731407, "ret_p1w": -0.19420556296486768, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.19420556296486768, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.19575255409234316, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.19028436796304604, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "bench_c_p1w": -0.003921195001821642, "ret_p1m": 0.050701626262938504, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.050701626262938504, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06343910683263965, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03291897720402215, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "bench_c_p1m": 0.017782649058916356, "ret_p3m": 2.702127578741378, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.702127578741378, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.6848991076274973, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.5662351459785233, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1358924327628548, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7764, -0.7655, -0.7257, -0.7198, -0.7012, -0.6799, -0.6686, -0.6401, -0.617, -0.6134, -0.588, -0.5985, -0.5718, -0.5274, -0.522, -0.5029, -0.5274, -0.5274, -0.536, -0.5518, -0.5423, -0.5722, -0.5957, -0.5772, -0.5822, -0.5269, -0.5269, -0.5156, -0.5115, -0.4676, -0.4803, -0.4522, -0.4758, -0.4246, -0.3228, -0.2979, -0.2585, -0.3296, -0.3287, -0.4115, -0.4405, -0.3658, -0.3368, -0.311, -0.3373, -0.3205, -0.3205, -0.3042, -0.3395, -0.2847, -0.2598, -0.2598, -0.2413, -0.2454, -0.0869, 0.0914, 0.1693, 0.0407, 0.0068, -0.0263, 0.0005, 0.1643, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0308, -0.1046, -0.1888, -0.2123, -0.1942, -0.2214, -0.2381, -0.2585, -0.1607, -0.0521, -0.1064, -0.1512, -0.0751, 0.0892, 0.2571, 0.1023, 0.2132, 0.1222, 0.0973, 0.0973, 0.0507, 0.0656, 0.0779, 0.3436, 0.287, 0.588, 0.8547, 0.6804, 0.7157, 1.0969, 0.8904, 0.7714, 0.7565, 0.4654, 0.7456, 1.0054, 1.144, 1.1154, 1.2119, 1.1906, 1.0081, 1.2073, 1.6297, 1.4554, 1.9172, 2.0982, 2.0489, 1.6487, 1.7447, 1.3871, 1.5794, 1.134, 1.392, 1.392, 0.9009, 1.0579, 1.4074, 1.8574, 1.9054, 2.0081, 2.0466, 1.8488, 2.7021, 2.7374, 2.5654, 2.3938, 2.9357, 2.4074, 2.4477, 2.1756, 2.1105, 2.2173, 2.5862, 3.3459, 3.7986, 3.8687, 3.7456, 3.9081, 4.2675, 4.6953, 4.5636, 4.5201, 4.2051, 4.6034, 3.7931, 4.11, 3.7356, 4.4785, 5.3753, 5.3753, 5.0027, 4.5577, 4.2377, 3.67, 3.67, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2012458647192994053", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2026-01-17T09:35:05+00:00", "symbol": "VLN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "yes I still have $OSS, $AIRO, $LPTH, $SSYS, $AXTI, $VLN", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Still holding AIRO, LPTH, OSS, SSYS, AXTI, VLN as 1-year thesis positions; cost averaging up on AIRO and LPTH.", "resolved_tickers": ["VLN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@truncateit I actually believe in my thesis so I cost average up on stuff like $AIRO and $LPTH. \n\nBut if you're curious yes I still have $OSS, $AIRO, $LPTH, $SSYS, $AXTI, $VLN, and others I do DD on since they're meant to be 1 year holds, not 12 hour ones. https://t.co/uNvk2q5uYe", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit saying this after you sold", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "truncateit", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02512560405862696, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02512560405862696, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004768818335081915, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00014995622989555368, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.024975647828731407, "ret_p1w": -0.07537687208004629, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07537687208004629, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07692386320752176, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07145567707822464, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "bench_c_p1w": -0.003921195001821642, "ret_p1m": -0.2663316426381076, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2663316426381076, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.25359416206840646, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.28411429169702396, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "bench_c_p1m": 0.017782649058916356, "ret_p3m": -0.22110555533257892, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.22110555533257892, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.2383340264464595, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3569979880954337, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1358924327628548, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1307, -0.1156, -0.1055, -0.1206, -0.1156, -0.1407, -0.1457, -0.0804, -0.1357, -0.201, -0.1658, -0.2161, -0.206, -0.196, -0.0955, -0.1457, -0.1357, -0.1256, -0.2161, -0.2362, -0.2714, -0.2864, -0.2462, -0.2312, -0.2261, -0.2111, -0.2111, -0.196, -0.2111, -0.206, -0.1608, -0.1558, -0.1558, -0.1457, -0.1457, -0.1558, -0.1809, -0.201, -0.2261, -0.2312, -0.2563, -0.2563, -0.2513, -0.2663, -0.2965, -0.3065, -0.3065, -0.2764, -0.2915, -0.3065, -0.2864, -0.2864, -0.2161, -0.2111, -0.201, -0.2211, -0.2161, 0.2462, 0.1608, 0.1759, 0.0503, 0.0503, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0251, -0.0151, 0.0553, -0.0151, -0.0754, -0.0754, -0.1106, -0.1156, -0.1457, -0.1608, -0.196, -0.2261, -0.2814, -0.2261, -0.2362, -0.2211, -0.2261, -0.2462, -0.2362, -0.2362, -0.2663, -0.2513, -0.2513, -0.2412, -0.2563, -0.2312, -0.2261, -0.196, -0.2563, -0.2563, -0.2764, -0.2764, -0.2965, -0.3216, -0.3216, -0.3065, -0.2814, -0.3216, -0.3317, -0.3317, -0.3266, -0.3719, -0.3568, -0.3869, -0.3668, -0.3719, -0.3668, -0.3869, -0.407, -0.4422, -0.4322, -0.4121, -0.402, -0.402, -0.402, -0.407, -0.3417, -0.3266, -0.3317, -0.3216, -0.3065, -0.2613, -0.2211, -0.2362, -0.2613, -0.2462, -0.191, -0.1709, -0.1005, -0.191, -0.2412, -0.2412, 0.0905, 0.1759, 0.1307, 0.2161, 0.2563, 0.2111, 0.402, 0.4322, 0.3568, 0.4824, 0.6935, 0.5327, 0.4171, 0.3367, 0.4573, 0.5377, 0.6181, 0.6181, 0.6382, 0.5829, 0.7588, 0.7739, 0.7739, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2017285527310094713", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-30T17:15:23+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "pure upside I'd maintain AXT", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "AXT preferred for pure upside as a photonics price-squeeze play; LPTH also long but lower conviction as a longer-term Made-in-America supply chain pivot.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So $AXTI is the next closest thing to NAND/HBM type price squeeze play (for photonics) that I've found.\n\n$LPTH is a germanium bottleneck fix w/black diamond that is more of an long term supply chain pivot to Made in America over time. \n\nDifferent risk levels and upside but pure upside I'd maintain AXT.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit So are bullish on AXT more than LPTH??", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "theodore_invest", "ret_m1d": -0.11650494326306804, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11650494326306804, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11949644592024544, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.15135349790633357, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002991502657177403, "bench_c_m1d": 0.03484855464326553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.12944981121981836, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.12944981121981836, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.12447844908888284, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.11827147913945613, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004971362130935519, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01117833208036223, "ret_p1w": 0.29773453494233726, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.29773453494233726, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.29968547263597833, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.3022207234044596, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.001950937693641075, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0044861884621223425, "ret_p1m": 1.4983817371891814, "ret_signed_p1m": 1.4983817371891814, "alpha_spy_p1m": 1.5064600237603303, "alpha_c_p1m": 1.4911194974246085, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00807828657114873, "bench_c_p1m": 0.007262239764572964, "ret_p3m": 2.833333127578367, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.833333127578367, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.8021852548504738, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.5950939039801835, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031147872727893544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2382392235981834, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5394, -0.5092, -0.5216, -0.4898, -0.4369, -0.4304, -0.4078, -0.4369, -0.4369, -0.4471, -0.466, -0.4547, -0.4903, -0.5183, -0.4962, -0.5022, -0.4364, -0.4364, -0.4229, -0.418, -0.3657, -0.3808, -0.3474, -0.3754, -0.3145, -0.1931, -0.1634, -0.1165, -0.2012, -0.2001, -0.2988, -0.3333, -0.2443, -0.2098, -0.1791, -0.2104, -0.1904, -0.1904, -0.171, -0.2131, -0.1478, -0.1181, -0.1181, -0.096, -0.1009, 0.0879, 0.3004, 0.3932, 0.24, 0.1996, 0.1602, 0.192, 0.3873, 0.1915, 0.1915, 0.1548, 0.0669, -0.0334, -0.0615, -0.0399, -0.0723, -0.0922, -0.1165, 0.0, 0.1294, 0.0647, 0.0113, 0.1019, 0.2977, 0.4978, 0.3134, 0.4455, 0.3371, 0.3074, 0.3074, 0.2519, 0.2697, 0.2843, 0.6009, 0.5334, 0.8921, 1.2098, 1.0022, 1.0442, 1.4984, 1.2524, 1.1106, 1.0928, 0.746, 1.0798, 1.3894, 1.5545, 1.5205, 1.6354, 1.61, 1.3927, 1.63, 2.1332, 1.9256, 2.4757, 2.6915, 2.6327, 2.1559, 2.2702, 1.8441, 2.0734, 1.5426, 1.8501, 1.8501, 1.2648, 1.452, 1.8684, 2.4045, 2.4617, 2.5841, 2.63, 2.3943, 3.411, 3.4531, 3.2481, 3.0437, 3.6893, 3.0599, 3.1079, 2.7837, 2.706, 2.8333, 3.2729, 4.178, 4.7174, 4.801, 4.6543, 4.8479, 5.2762, 5.7859, 5.6289, 5.5771, 5.2017, 5.6764, 4.7109, 5.0885, 4.6424, 5.5275, 6.596, 6.596, 6.1521, 5.6219, 5.2406, 4.5642, 4.5642, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2017285527310094713", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-30T17:15:23+00:00", "symbol": "LPTH", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LPTH is a germanium bottleneck fix w/black diamond that is more of an long term supply chain pivot to Made in America over time", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "AXT preferred for pure upside as a photonics price-squeeze play; LPTH also long but lower conviction as a longer-term Made-in-America supply chain pivot.", "resolved_tickers": ["LPTH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So $AXTI is the next closest thing to NAND/HBM type price squeeze play (for photonics) that I've found.\n\n$LPTH is a germanium bottleneck fix w/black diamond that is more of an long term supply chain pivot to Made in America over time. \n\nDifferent risk levels and upside but pure upside I'd maintain AXT.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit So are bullish on AXT more than LPTH??", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "theodore_invest", "ret_m1d": 0.10268711007579778, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.10268711007579778, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.09969560741862038, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.09969560741862038, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002991502657177403, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002991502657177403, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0076775358080907186, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0076775358080907186, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.002706173677155199, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.002706173677155199, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004971362130935519, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004971362130935519, "ret_p1w": 0.01343573342588189, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01343573342588189, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.015386671119522966, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.015386671119522966, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.001950937693641075, "bench_c_p1w": -0.001950937693641075, "ret_p1m": 0.15259118435183372, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.15259118435183372, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.16066947092298245, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.16066947092298245, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00807828657114873, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00807828657114873, "ret_p3m": 0.1698655941583147, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1698655941583147, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.13871772143042116, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.13871772143042116, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031147872727893544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.031147872727893544, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2774, -0.2486, -0.2687, -0.2601, -0.2534, -0.2284, -0.2927, -0.3608, -0.357, -0.3474, -0.3445, -0.3551, -0.4069, -0.404, -0.3484, -0.3369, -0.3359, -0.3359, -0.2946, -0.3119, -0.2399, -0.1987, -0.1344, -0.1555, -0.1612, -0.1555, -0.1536, -0.1248, -0.2226, -0.2812, -0.2965, -0.3397, -0.3109, -0.2668, -0.1814, -0.1641, -0.1334, -0.1334, -0.1344, -0.0125, 0.0134, 0.0365, 0.0365, 0.1248, 0.1219, 0.1056, 0.1708, 0.2121, 0.1843, 0.1507, 0.119, 0.2697, 0.2639, 0.2063, 0.2063, 0.3436, 0.309, 0.3752, 0.1939, -0.0182, 0.0797, 0.0825, 0.1027, 0.0, 0.0077, 0.0451, -0.0979, -0.1305, 0.0134, 0.0873, 0.0566, -0.0144, 0.1977, 0.1056, 0.1056, 0.0729, 0.0787, 0.3052, 0.1516, 0.0749, 0.1507, 0.1296, 0.0691, 0.001, 0.1526, 0.1497, 0.1324, 0.0873, 0.0624, 0.0643, 0.0624, 0.0451, 0.0528, 0.0086, 0.0557, 0.1507, 0.12, 0.1027, 0.0106, 0.0979, 0.1392, 0.1468, 0.0547, -0.0893, -0.1065, -0.0374, -0.0192, 0.0537, 0.0537, 0.1027, 0.0518, 0.1113, 0.167, 0.2313, 0.3829, 0.3714, 0.3455, 0.4319, 0.3589, 0.3724, 0.3618, 0.406, 0.4031, 0.5441, 0.3426, 0.2188, 0.1699, 0.2294, 0.3148, 0.1833, 0.1612, 0.2351, 0.1545, 0.1046, 0.2303, 0.1718, 0.1631, 0.166, 0.1056, 0.1939, 0.3321, 0.31, 0.3704, 0.6267, 0.6267, 0.5585, 0.69, 0.7418, 0.6296, 0.6296, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2029953087683842075", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-06T16:11:45+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm still buying it in the 90's because it's cheaper than ever given projections. If you're projecting $4.35B in revenue off a $7.5B MC and you own the entire supply chain... it has a long way to go", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still buying AAOI in the 90s; cheaper than ever on $4.35B revenue vs $7.5B MC, peers at $40B-$50B doing less revenue — long way to go.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is the perfect example I like to cite of the \"Chart\" spotters that don't look at fundamentals for $AAOI. \n\nI was buying it in the 20's, but I'm still buying it in the 90's because it's cheaper than ever given projections. \n\nIf you're projecting $4.35B in revenue off a $7.5B MC and you own the entire supply chain from laser fab -> transceiver design -> assembly in America...\n\nWhereas all your other peers are worth $40B-$50B+ doing less revenue than that, then it has a long way to go.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit you mean the one that went from $1.9 or let's even say $10 to $111 in a year? lol sounds late", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "traderb89", "ret_m1d": 0.05817113885833036, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05817113885833036, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.044889925125188856, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.044889925125188856, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.013281213733141506, "bench_c_m1d": 0.013281213733141506, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.15735510177235357, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.15735510177235357, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.1485950767593145, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.1485950767593145, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008760025013039074, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008760025013039074, "ret_p1w": 0.012868756057498043, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.012868756057498043, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02787512309562834, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02787512309562834, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.015006367038130297, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015006367038130297, "ret_p1m": 0.12418910744706468, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12418910744706468, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14151628036380526, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14151628036380526, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.017327172916740574, "bench_c_p1m": -0.017327172916740574, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6822, -0.634, -0.62, -0.6646, -0.6872, -0.697, -0.716, -0.694, -0.6723, -0.591, -0.5748, -0.571, -0.571, -0.6111, -0.6155, -0.6231, -0.6353, -0.6353, -0.5857, -0.6339, -0.596, -0.6019, -0.6546, -0.6439, -0.6472, -0.6424, -0.6394, -0.6129, -0.6125, -0.6125, -0.5892, -0.5985, -0.6009, -0.6263, -0.635, -0.6088, -0.5268, -0.586, -0.5437, -0.538, -0.5175, -0.5825, -0.6011, -0.5365, -0.4987, -0.4927, -0.4936, -0.5398, -0.5348, -0.5348, -0.5406, -0.5455, -0.5085, -0.4593, -0.4354, -0.4113, -0.3919, -0.4383, -0.1187, 0.0725, -0.0025, 0.0432, 0.0582, 0.0, 0.1574, 0.2606, 0.3288, 0.111, 0.0129, -0.0158, -0.0968, -0.0309, 0.0663, -0.0841, 0.0019, 0.1917, 0.197, 0.0193, 0.0275, -0.1087, -0.115, -0.0966, 0.0872, 0.0872, 0.1242, 0.2308, 0.3884, 0.3946, 0.5756, 0.6027, 0.5316, 0.4914, 0.646, 0.6679, 0.7103, 0.5753, 0.5633, 0.441, 0.6967, 0.5252, 0.4361, 0.599, 0.7196, 0.92, 0.8098, 0.8892, 0.868, 0.6484, 0.5583, 0.9345, 0.9699, 1.3342, 1.1298, 0.9916, 0.8127, 0.7925, 0.729, 0.8499, 0.8988, 0.8988, 0.8583, 0.8815, 0.7684, 0.6574, 0.6574, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2030363282515927329", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-07T19:21:43+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if your name is not $GOOGL or $TSM where you can just sit back 4 years and know it will likely do well", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "GOOGL and TSM singled out as names you can hold 4 years with confidence they'll do well.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Agreed, if your name is not $GOOGL or $TSM where you can just sit back 4 years and know it will likely do well.\n\nIt’s important to monitor if there’s any material changes. \n\nEspecially for extremely high beta hypergrowth names where things from macro, pivots, or excessive dilution can break your thesis or cap upside", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Well said. \n\nPeople on X get mad at you when you change your mind, when that is in fact exactly what you should do all the time if the available data changes. \n\nThe reality right now is that we're confronted with a ton of news that impacts fundamentals every week. \n\nI would also", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "daniel_koss", "ret_m1d": -0.02627623768727827, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02627623768727827, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017592284322923035, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.025425641172699187, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0008505965145790828, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.002219686727622072, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.002219686727622072, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.003826813632989201, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0037508255588406536, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0015311388312185814, "ret_p1w": -0.0026112672386072733, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0026112672386072733, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.011011639485591473, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.016357718638756125, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018968985877363398, "ret_p1m": -0.0029377005467982054, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0029377005467982054, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02249426387281428, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04285310323207692, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04579080377887512, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0445, 0.0191, 0.0089, 0.0054, -0.0, -0.0321, -0.0134, 0.0019, 0.0105, 0.0254, 0.0245, 0.0245, 0.0226, 0.0228, 0.0237, 0.021, 0.021, 0.028, 0.0325, 0.0253, 0.0502, 0.0615, 0.0717, 0.0825, 0.0959, 0.0955, 0.0855, 0.0764, 0.0764, 0.0503, 0.0711, 0.0782, 0.0697, 0.087, 0.0912, 0.096, 0.1033, 0.1025, 0.1211, 0.1081, 0.0863, 0.0805, 0.0531, 0.0579, 0.0392, 0.0143, 0.0079, -0.0028, -0.0028, -0.0149, -0.0106, -0.0122, 0.0274, 0.016, 0.0141, 0.0206, 0.0026, 0.0169, -0.0002, -0.0098, -0.0112, -0.0186, -0.0263, 0.0, 0.0022, 0.0076, -0.0092, -0.0133, -0.0026, 0.0149, 0.0043, 0.0025, -0.0175, -0.014, -0.052, -0.0504, -0.083, -0.1045, -0.1073, -0.0614, -0.0293, -0.0346, -0.0346, -0.0208, -0.0029, 0.0358, 0.0396, 0.0355, 0.0488, 0.0867, 0.1004, 0.0968, 0.1153, 0.1014, 0.0846, 0.1076, 0.1062, 0.1242, 0.1436, 0.1417, 0.1423, 0.256, 0.2589, 0.251, 0.2679, 0.2993, 0.2991, 0.3083, 0.2686, 0.2644, 0.3142, 0.3091, 0.2951, 0.2957, 0.2654, 0.2695, 0.2654, 0.2501, 0.2501, 0.2694, 0.2692, 0.2734, 0.2415, 0.2415, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2030363282515927329", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-07T19:21:43+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if your name is not $GOOGL or $TSM where you can just sit back 4 years and know it will likely do well", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "GOOGL and TSM singled out as names you can hold 4 years with confidence they'll do well.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Agreed, if your name is not $GOOGL or $TSM where you can just sit back 4 years and know it will likely do well.\n\nIt’s important to monitor if there’s any material changes. \n\nEspecially for extremely high beta hypergrowth names where things from macro, pivots, or excessive dilution can break your thesis or cap upside", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Well said. \n\nPeople on X get mad at you when you change your mind, when that is in fact exactly what you should do all the time if the available data changes. \n\nThe reality right now is that we're confronted with a ton of news that impacts fundamentals every week. \n\nI would also", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "daniel_koss", "ret_m1d": -0.02813307874534321, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02813307874534321, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.019449125380987975, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019449125380987975, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004617215793161655, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004617215793161655, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0030100888877945264, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0030100888877945264, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "ret_p1w": -0.024290211351563173, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.024290211351563173, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.010667304627364427, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.010667304627364427, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "ret_p1m": -0.0069026976778149285, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0069026976778149285, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.018529266741797557, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.018529266741797557, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.113, -0.1258, -0.1625, -0.1748, -0.1773, -0.2057, -0.1836, -0.1714, -0.1589, -0.1484, -0.1431, -0.1431, -0.1315, -0.137, -0.1409, -0.1285, -0.1285, -0.0834, -0.0759, -0.061, -0.0861, -0.088, -0.0719, -0.0486, -0.0502, -0.0619, -0.0202, -0.0181, -0.0181, -0.0618, -0.0648, -0.0612, -0.0397, -0.0459, -0.0297, -0.0184, -0.0262, -0.052, -0.021, -0.0371, -0.0658, -0.0515, 0.0004, 0.0192, 0.0379, 0.0728, 0.0556, 0.0506, 0.0506, 0.0445, 0.0389, 0.0335, 0.0626, 0.0612, 0.1063, 0.1119, 0.0806, 0.0742, 0.0585, 0.0127, 0.0251, 0.0148, -0.0281, 0.0, -0.0046, 0.0168, -0.0344, -0.0298, -0.0243, -0.005, -0.0234, -0.0257, -0.0531, -0.0267, -0.0129, 0.0001, -0.0621, -0.0603, -0.0898, -0.0281, -0.0179, -0.025, -0.025, -0.0171, -0.0069, 0.0523, 0.0511, 0.0658, 0.0628, 0.0925, 0.0787, 0.0449, 0.0655, 0.0533, 0.0586, 0.1142, 0.1005, 0.1574, 0.1647, 0.1283, 0.1326, 0.139, 0.1436, 0.155, 0.1343, 0.2064, 0.191, 0.1839, 0.1634, 0.1425, 0.1498, 0.2013, 0.1629, 0.1387, 0.1291, 0.155, 0.1709, 0.1633, 0.1633, 0.1858, 0.2157, 0.2218, 0.2034, 0.2034, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
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{"unit_id": "orig:2026196965634326730", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-24T07:26:16+00:00", "symbol": "EWY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "likely $EWY are all time highs today", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish SK Hynix, Samsung, EWY, and semis broadly as AI drives generational wealth to compute owners.", "resolved_tickers": ["EWY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It’s just an endless sea of green. \n\nSK Hynix, Samsung (and likely $EWY) are all time highs today.\n\nAI is bringing generational wealth to the future owners of compute (Power, Bottlenecks, and Semis). https://t.co/igFzY9whEB", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.036319611824014775, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.036319611824014775, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.029103608077199028, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.029103608077199028, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007216003746815747, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007216003746815747, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.030024187106634903, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.030024187106634903, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.021585838163053594, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.021585838163053594, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008438348943581309, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008438348943581309, "ret_p1w": -0.08446908651738494, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08446908651738494, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07425607541495027, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07425607541495027, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.010213011102434666, "bench_c_p1w": -0.010213011102434666, "ret_p1m": -0.11629197394045898, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11629197394045898, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07448479426515331, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07448479426515331, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04180717967530567, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04180717967530567, "ret_p3m": 0.259287408759991, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.259287408759991, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.17152074420061147, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.17152074420061147, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08776666455937954, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08776666455937954, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3806, -0.3852, -0.3869, -0.377, -0.3708, -0.3784, -0.362, -0.3568, -0.3534, -0.3454, -0.3575, -0.373, -0.3726, -0.3807, -0.3872, -0.3769, -0.3681, -0.3653, -0.3587, -0.3456, -0.3456, -0.337, -0.3171, -0.3177, -0.3274, -0.3274, -0.2928, -0.2748, -0.2556, -0.2596, -0.2626, -0.2467, -0.2464, -0.256, -0.2415, -0.2318, -0.2237, -0.2237, -0.2323, -0.1999, -0.1976, -0.1839, -0.1884, -0.1512, -0.1314, -0.1387, -0.1532, -0.1634, -0.14, -0.168, -0.1684, -0.1373, -0.128, -0.1391, -0.0965, -0.0951, -0.0732, -0.0732, -0.096, -0.0804, -0.0646, -0.0185, -0.0363, 0.0, 0.03, 0.0405, 0.0472, 0.0207, -0.0845, -0.0704, -0.1301, -0.1233, -0.0737, -0.0986, -0.0809, -0.1456, -0.1411, -0.0792, -0.07, -0.0877, -0.0673, -0.1299, -0.0743, -0.1093, -0.1163, -0.1699, -0.1631, -0.1945, -0.149, -0.1268, -0.15, -0.15, -0.1287, -0.1201, -0.031, -0.0364, -0.0403, -0.023, 0.0147, 0.0026, 0.0202, 0.0538, 0.0383, 0.0155, 0.0778, 0.0418, 0.0693, 0.0843, 0.0679, 0.0651, 0.1121, 0.1207, 0.1317, 0.2001, 0.2589, 0.2228, 0.3158, 0.3341, 0.2349, 0.3049, 0.318, 0.2374, 0.2183, 0.2039, 0.246, 0.2897, 0.2593, 0.2593, 0.3881, 0.3718, 0.4279, 0.4239, 0.4239, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2026196965634326730", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-02-24T07:26:16+00:00", "symbol": "semiconductors", "kind": "sector", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "AI is bringing generational wealth to the future owners of compute (Power, Bottlenecks, and Semis)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish SK Hynix, Samsung, EWY, and semis broadly as AI drives generational wealth to compute owners.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMH"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Global semiconductors proxied by SMH", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It’s just an endless sea of green. \n\nSK Hynix, Samsung (and likely $EWY) are all time highs today.\n\nAI is bringing generational wealth to the future owners of compute (Power, Bottlenecks, and Semis). https://t.co/igFzY9whEB", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.014982342600510345, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014982342600510345, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.007766338853694599, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.007766338853694599, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007216003746815747, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007216003746815747, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01670006665436241, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01670006665436241, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008261717710781102, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008261717710781102, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008438348943581309, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008438348943581309, "ret_p1w": -0.06703885355952865, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06703885355952865, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05682584245709399, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05682584245709399, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.010213011102434666, "bench_c_p1w": -0.010213011102434666, "ret_p1m": -0.04804851243553443, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04804851243553443, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.006241332760228757, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.006241332760228757, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04180717967530567, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04180717967530567, "ret_p3m": 0.37494036236529427, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.37494036236529427, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.28717369780591473, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.28717369780591473, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08776666455937954, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08776666455937954, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.173, -0.1622, -0.1605, -0.1452, -0.1334, -0.14, -0.1333, -0.1235, -0.1224, -0.1103, -0.1179, -0.1578, -0.1607, -0.163, -0.1932, -0.1741, -0.1528, -0.1419, -0.1336, -0.1312, -0.1312, -0.1272, -0.1311, -0.1332, -0.1408, -0.1408, -0.1094, -0.0992, -0.0752, -0.0814, -0.0959, -0.0714, -0.068, -0.0659, -0.0735, -0.0543, -0.0448, -0.0448, -0.0686, -0.0411, -0.039, -0.0455, -0.0485, -0.0284, -0.006, -0.0039, -0.0375, -0.0267, -0.0512, -0.0886, -0.0909, -0.0418, -0.0298, -0.0344, -0.0104, -0.0311, -0.0273, -0.0273, -0.0278, -0.0158, -0.0214, -0.0099, -0.015, 0.0, 0.0167, -0.0171, -0.0305, -0.0305, -0.067, -0.0479, -0.0568, -0.0921, -0.0591, -0.0521, -0.0433, -0.074, -0.0759, -0.0602, -0.0532, -0.0608, -0.0578, -0.0821, -0.0663, -0.0586, -0.048, -0.0914, -0.1071, -0.1351, -0.0853, -0.0649, -0.064, -0.064, -0.0553, -0.0459, 0.009, 0.0266, 0.0423, 0.0577, 0.0783, 0.0807, 0.085, 0.1074, 0.1069, 0.1086, 0.1376, 0.1496, 0.2082, 0.2078, 0.1719, 0.1919, 0.2089, 0.2163, 0.2091, 0.247, 0.3116, 0.2885, 0.3516, 0.3749, 0.339, 0.3657, 0.3798, 0.3273, 0.303, 0.2977, 0.3471, 0.3548, 0.3749, 0.3749, 0.4365, 0.4207, 0.431, 0.4289, 0.4289, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2016133921411568064", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-27T12:59:19+00:00", "symbol": "MU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$MU looks like a great long! ... $MU is tariff-exempt + gets CHIPS Act subsidies, and doesn't have constant geopolitical threats from Trump every day", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long MU on tariff exemption + CHIPS Act subsidies vs geopolitical risk; also holds Samsung and SK Hynix as favorites despite tariff headwinds.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$MU looks like a great long! This being said Samsung Electronics and Sk Hynix are still two of my favorite positions. \n\nIt looks like the US is essentially using strong tariff threats to force Samsung and SK Hynix to move their next generation of fabs to US soil (as seen with $37B Samsung plant in Texas and SK Hynix’s $3.9B Indiana).\n\nBut recent news does look like a TACO situation with tariff headwinds. \n\nWhereas $MU is tariff-exempt + gets CHIPS Act subsidies, and doesn't have constant geopolitical threats from Trump every day.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Although buying all time high is a bit uncomfortable, $MU has been climbing non stop. Buying at any pullback!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TweetRipples", "ret_m1d": -0.05155517571166213, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05155517571166213, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04758672235073491, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03085537785830117, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0039684533609272155, "bench_c_m1d": -0.020699797853360957, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06103750519364337, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06103750519364337, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.061138175097293246, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03800495790619718, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00010066990364987483, "bench_c_p1d": 0.023032547287446192, "ret_p1w": 0.02242597155829551, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02242597155829551, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.030995409108327987, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04592506873255886, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.008569437550032477, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02349909717426335, "ret_p1m": 0.04572936464931909, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04572936464931909, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.049093798588346726, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0007040390636565697, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0033644339390276334, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04643340371297566, "ret_p3m": 0.2113121292028881, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2113121292028881, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.18198058000306871, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.032248343335862684, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029331549199819396, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2435604725387508, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4542, -0.4548, -0.4281, -0.4687, -0.4213, -0.4193, -0.4203, -0.3828, -0.4125, -0.4033, -0.4226, -0.3986, -0.4105, -0.4432, -0.4495, -0.5093, -0.4947, -0.4544, -0.4529, -0.4389, -0.4389, -0.4238, -0.4141, -0.4165, -0.4294, -0.4477, -0.422, -0.3984, -0.385, -0.3574, -0.3702, -0.4124, -0.4213, -0.4335, -0.4505, -0.3944, -0.3521, -0.3261, -0.3268, -0.3015, -0.3015, -0.3061, -0.2824, -0.2867, -0.3043, -0.3043, -0.2311, -0.2391, -0.1629, -0.1723, -0.2029, -0.1588, -0.1569, -0.1758, -0.1874, -0.1794, -0.1158, -0.1158, -0.1103, -0.0515, -0.0309, -0.0258, -0.0516, 0.0, 0.061, 0.0623, 0.0113, 0.0672, 0.0224, -0.0752, -0.0667, -0.0379, -0.0652, -0.0902, 0.0002, 0.0091, 0.0035, 0.0035, -0.0255, 0.0261, 0.0173, 0.0437, 0.0262, 0.0189, 0.0457, 0.013, 0.0052, 0.0059, -0.0745, -0.0231, -0.0322, -0.0974, -0.051, -0.0174, 0.0206, -0.0119, 0.0387, 0.0769, 0.1254, 0.1255, 0.083, 0.0309, -0.0144, -0.0359, -0.0686, -0.1335, -0.1292, -0.2153, -0.1761, -0.103, -0.1069, -0.1069, -0.0788, -0.0792, -0.0081, 0.0279, 0.0257, 0.0402, 0.1356, 0.1126, 0.115, 0.1097, 0.0935, 0.0959, 0.1888, 0.1747, 0.2113, 0.2792, 0.2298, 0.2643, 0.2612, 0.3222, 0.4057, 0.5612, 0.6256, 0.5769, 0.8212, 0.9395, 0.8694, 0.9597, 0.8924, 0.7672, 0.662, 0.704, 0.785, 0.8585, 0.8314, 0.8314, 1.1847, 1.264, 1.2521, 1.3679, 1.3679, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2016133921411568064", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-27T12:59:19+00:00", "symbol": "Samsung Electronics", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Samsung Electronics and Sk Hynix are still two of my favorite positions", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long MU on tariff exemption + CHIPS Act subsidies vs geopolitical risk; also holds Samsung and SK Hynix as favorites despite tariff headwinds.", "resolved_tickers": ["005930.KS"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Samsung Electronics listed on KOSPI as 005930.KS", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$MU looks like a great long! This being said Samsung Electronics and Sk Hynix are still two of my favorite positions. \n\nIt looks like the US is essentially using strong tariff threats to force Samsung and SK Hynix to move their next generation of fabs to US soil (as seen with $37B Samsung plant in Texas and SK Hynix’s $3.9B Indiana).\n\nBut recent news does look like a TACO situation with tariff headwinds. \n\nWhereas $MU is tariff-exempt + gets CHIPS Act subsidies, and doesn't have constant geopolitical threats from Trump every day.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Although buying all time high is a bit uncomfortable, $MU has been climbing non stop. Buying at any pullback!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TweetRipples", "ret_m1d": -0.046395007713326386, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.046395007713326386, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04242655435239917, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03308875366557107, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0039684533609272155, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013306254047755317, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01818185387823501, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01818185387823501, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.018282523781884885, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.010211619765765123, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00010066990364987483, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007970234112469887, "ret_p1w": 0.05015669611457452, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05015669611457452, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.058726133664606994, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0904809045500864, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.008569437550032477, "bench_c_p1w": -0.04032420843551188, "ret_p1m": 0.27586202496045176, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.27586202496045176, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2792264588994794, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.30990465368062015, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0033644339390276334, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03404262872016839, "ret_p3m": 0.379023973401172, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.379023973401172, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3496924242013526, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2954764452717231, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029331549199819396, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08354752812944888, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3505, -0.3293, -0.3068, -0.3455, -0.3723, -0.3811, -0.3892, -0.3723, -0.3542, -0.3567, -0.3586, -0.3935, -0.3723, -0.3898, -0.3979, -0.3723, -0.4085, -0.3967, -0.3804, -0.3586, -0.3542, -0.373, -0.3711, -0.3549, -0.348, -0.3443, -0.3237, -0.3168, -0.3237, -0.3262, -0.3305, -0.3205, -0.3461, -0.3586, -0.3268, -0.3287, -0.3368, -0.3106, -0.3043, -0.3068, -0.3068, -0.27, -0.2508, -0.2483, -0.2483, -0.2483, -0.1944, -0.1342, -0.1292, -0.116, -0.1298, -0.1285, -0.1298, -0.1373, -0.1204, -0.0978, -0.0665, -0.0639, -0.0897, -0.0627, -0.0451, -0.0464, -0.0464, 0.0, 0.0182, 0.0075, 0.0063, -0.0571, 0.0502, 0.0602, -0.0013, -0.0056, 0.0433, 0.0395, 0.052, 0.1197, 0.1361, 0.1361, 0.1361, 0.1361, 0.1912, 0.1918, 0.21, 0.2539, 0.2759, 0.3668, 0.3574, 0.3574, 0.2232, 0.0796, 0.2013, 0.1799, 0.0878, 0.1781, 0.1912, 0.1781, 0.1505, 0.1831, 0.2157, 0.3072, 0.2571, 0.2502, 0.168, 0.1893, 0.185, 0.1292, 0.1292, 0.1076, 0.0504, 0.1915, 0.1208, 0.1698, 0.2132, 0.2345, 0.3225, 0.2816, 0.2942, 0.2628, 0.2974, 0.3256, 0.3665, 0.357, 0.3476, 0.3759, 0.3665, 0.4104, 0.379, 0.4104, 0.3947, 0.4199, 0.3853, 0.3853, 0.4607, 0.4607, 0.6712, 0.7057, 0.6869, 0.7937, 0.7528, 0.7842, 0.8596, 0.6994, 0.7654, 0.7308, 0.734, 0.8816, 0.8377, 0.8377, 0.8785, 0.9287, 0.8816, 0.9916, 1.1769, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2016133921411568064", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-27T12:59:19+00:00", "symbol": "SK Hynix", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Samsung Electronics and Sk Hynix are still two of my favorite positions", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long MU on tariff exemption + CHIPS Act subsidies vs geopolitical risk; also holds Samsung and SK Hynix as favorites despite tariff headwinds.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "SK Hynix listed on KOSPI as 000660.KS", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$MU looks like a great long! This being said Samsung Electronics and Sk Hynix are still two of my favorite positions. \n\nIt looks like the US is essentially using strong tariff threats to force Samsung and SK Hynix to move their next generation of fabs to US soil (as seen with $37B Samsung plant in Texas and SK Hynix’s $3.9B Indiana).\n\nBut recent news does look like a TACO situation with tariff headwinds. \n\nWhereas $MU is tariff-exempt + gets CHIPS Act subsidies, and doesn't have constant geopolitical threats from Trump every day.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Although buying all time high is a bit uncomfortable, $MU has been climbing non stop. Buying at any pullback!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TweetRipples", "ret_m1d": -0.07999999686871007, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07999999686871007, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07603154350778285, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.036153237396602034, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0039684533609272155, "bench_c_m1d": -0.04384675947210803, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05124997964661504, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05124997964661504, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.051350649550264915, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.027941090636960153, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00010066990364987483, "bench_c_p1d": 0.023308889009654887, "ret_p1w": 0.13375007671660444, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.13375007671660444, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14231951426663692, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.12054712001836276, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.008569437550032477, "bench_c_p1w": 0.013202956698241675, "ret_p1m": 0.2725000407067697, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2725000407067697, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.27586447464579733, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05905258273777059, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0033644339390276334, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2134474579689991, "ret_p3m": 0.5303187152191966, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5303187152191966, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5009871660193772, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2705794228912588, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029331549199819396, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2597392923279378, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2905, -0.3018, -0.2256, -0.268, -0.2768, -0.2593, -0.2755, -0.243, -0.2268, -0.2293, -0.2355, -0.3005, -0.243, -0.288, -0.298, -0.2868, -0.3492, -0.3505, -0.3517, -0.3455, -0.32, -0.3375, -0.3275, -0.3025, -0.31, -0.3225, -0.32, -0.2788, -0.2925, -0.2662, -0.2937, -0.2862, -0.3075, -0.3375, -0.3112, -0.31, -0.3162, -0.275, -0.27, -0.265, -0.265, -0.2512, -0.2, -0.1862, -0.1862, -0.1862, -0.1538, -0.13, -0.0925, -0.0725, -0.055, -0.07, -0.0638, -0.0775, -0.0725, -0.0638, -0.055, -0.045, -0.0712, -0.075, -0.0563, -0.0412, -0.08, 0.0, 0.0512, 0.0763, 0.1363, 0.0375, 0.1338, 0.125, 0.0525, 0.0488, 0.1088, 0.095, 0.075, 0.11, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1175, 0.1862, 0.1888, 0.2563, 0.2725, 0.3763, 0.3287, 0.3287, 0.1759, 0.0632, 0.1784, 0.1571, 0.0469, 0.1747, 0.196, 0.1646, 0.1396, 0.2197, 0.2147, 0.3224, 0.2686, 0.2611, 0.1684, 0.2348, 0.246, 0.1684, 0.1684, 0.0933, 0.0106, 0.1233, 0.0394, 0.097, 0.1095, 0.1471, 0.2936, 0.2498, 0.2861, 0.3024, 0.3813, 0.4226, 0.4464, 0.4126, 0.4602, 0.5328, 0.5316, 0.5341, 0.5303, 0.618, 0.628, 0.6192, 0.6105, 0.6105, 0.8121, 0.8121, 1.0049, 1.0713, 1.1114, 1.3543, 1.298, 1.4746, 1.467, 1.2779, 1.3042, 1.1853, 1.1853, 1.4295, 1.4307, 1.4307, 1.5697, 1.8089, 1.867, 1.9221, 1.9829, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2030706151667696055", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-08T18:04:09+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Waiting for existing retail/dip buyers to serve as liquidity for the $6 billion dilution cycle finishes before going long is a highly rational", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish IREN for now due to $6B dilution cycle; plans to go long only after dilution runs its course.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yes this is the perfect summary. \n\nPeople conflate $IREN doing well (which I think it will too as a DC with $MSFT partnership), with their share prices doing well. \n\nWaiting for existing retail/dip buyers to serve as liquidity for the $6 billion dilution cycle finishes before going long is a highly rational.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Correct framing. A lot of people confuse “the company wins” with “my shares win\"\n\nWith a $6B ATM, $IREN basically told you the cap table is part of the financing plan. Great for building assets, brutal for per share upside if they keep feeding stock into strength.​\nThis can still", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Rationalmind__", "ret_m1d": -0.05509782135018482, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05509782135018482, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04641386798582958, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05986636349258456, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004768542142399745, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.018537621469477572, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.018537621469477572, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016930494564110443, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013173021082192093, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005364600387285479, "ret_p1w": 0.15705454300093913, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.15705454300093913, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.17067744972513788, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.17751951414193812, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02046497114099899, "ret_p1m": -0.07981458449903078, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07981458449903078, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0543826200794183, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07596801281670362, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00384657168232716, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1308, 0.1313, 0.0332, -0.0865, -0.0579, -0.1303, -0.0783, 0.0278, 0.0824, 0.0832, 0.0808, 0.0808, 0.0376, 0.0147, -0.0139, -0.0275, -0.0275, 0.0994, 0.242, 0.182, 0.1232, 0.1761, 0.1851, 0.2958, 0.3643, 0.3615, 0.336, 0.4887, 0.4887, 0.397, 0.3769, 0.3455, 0.4593, 0.3481, 0.5445, 0.6205, 0.5407, 0.3836, 0.3666, 0.4004, 0.1571, 0.0245, 0.077, 0.1882, 0.1053, 0.0986, 0.0306, 0.087, 0.087, 0.0548, 0.0834, 0.1146, 0.0294, 0.0906, 0.1702, 0.1336, 0.139, 0.0543, 0.0657, 0.0003, 0.1287, 0.0331, -0.0551, 0.0, -0.0185, 0.0808, 0.0651, 0.0705, 0.1571, 0.1061, 0.0868, 0.0726, 0.0631, 0.0855, 0.0587, 0.0667, -0.0358, -0.0965, -0.1859, -0.1174, -0.1223, -0.1048, -0.1048, -0.0955, -0.0798, -0.0518, -0.0458, 0.0124, 0.1089, 0.2196, 0.257, 0.2281, 0.2389, 0.2544, 0.163, 0.2459, 0.3393, 0.3038, 0.2451, 0.1442, 0.1035, 0.1717, 0.1756, 0.2739, 0.4094, 0.57, 0.4637, 0.5757, 0.4199, 0.4562, 0.4204, 0.5036, 0.363, 0.2992, 0.2291, 0.3571, 0.4949, 0.4632, 0.4632, 0.5391, 0.7467, 0.6491, 0.6359, 0.6359, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028457705095184603", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-02T13:09:38+00:00", "symbol": "LASR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Ended up pulling the trigger now, better late than never for $LASR", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Disclosed new long position in LASR; bought in now despite missing earlier 50%+ run.", "resolved_tickers": ["LASR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@theodore_invest It was up 50%+ or so since i posted last Jan... But I should have taken positions then because I thought laser weapons were super cool. \n\nEnded up pulling the trigger now, better late than never for $LASR.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Your influence getting stronger. Right after posting your purchase it went up 3% LOL", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "theodore_invest", "ret_m1d": -0.16989220564221263, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.16989220564221263, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.16932394995800626, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.16932394995800626, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06825236489806885, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06825236489806885, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05943802641527318, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05943802641527318, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "ret_p1w": -0.0988329472612628, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0988329472612628, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08701736633774793, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08701736633774793, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "ret_p1m": -0.15763039738222395, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15763039738222395, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1077106558070402, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1077106558070402, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "ret_p3m": 0.1693012065466042, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1693012065466042, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06690782738069623, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06690782738069623, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4959, -0.4631, -0.4617, -0.4541, -0.4401, -0.4416, -0.4352, -0.4664, -0.4608, -0.4766, -0.488, -0.4689, -0.4429, -0.4351, -0.4172, -0.4191, -0.4191, -0.4209, -0.4237, -0.4305, -0.4459, -0.4459, -0.4332, -0.4373, -0.443, -0.4453, -0.4086, -0.4088, -0.3859, -0.3689, -0.3622, -0.3525, -0.3509, -0.3509, -0.3315, -0.3213, -0.2909, -0.351, -0.3562, -0.3363, -0.3207, -0.304, -0.3262, -0.2897, -0.2616, -0.352, -0.3191, -0.2448, -0.1935, -0.2182, -0.1898, -0.2254, -0.2277, -0.2277, -0.2482, -0.1971, -0.1774, -0.1726, -0.1919, -0.1485, -0.1047, -0.07, -0.1699, 0.0, -0.0683, -0.0099, -0.0758, -0.1337, -0.0988, -0.0576, -0.0177, -0.0727, -0.0752, 0.012, 0.051, 0.0126, 0.0471, -0.0285, 0.0334, 0.0572, 0.06, -0.0566, -0.0498, -0.2022, -0.1576, -0.1387, -0.1118, -0.1118, -0.1402, -0.1473, -0.1089, -0.0734, -0.0343, 0.0321, -0.0121, -0.0188, 0.0264, 0.0405, 0.0539, 0.0669, 0.0634, 0.0962, 0.1197, 0.0347, -0.0282, -0.0402, 0.0319, 0.0486, 0.0254, -0.0109, 0.0532, -0.0222, 0.0919, 0.255, 0.2381, 0.1881, 0.2015, 0.117, 0.0464, 0.0266, 0.0533, 0.1291, 0.1604, 0.1604, 0.2051, 0.2024, 0.1693, 0.095, 0.095, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2012504457721074090", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-17T12:37:07+00:00", "symbol": "005930.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Samsung you have high upside with memory + foundry capturing overflow from TSM. I'm sure they'll all strong outperform 2026.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long Samsung, TSM, and INTC; all three foundry plays expected to strongly outperform by 2026 on memory/foundry overflow, growth, and US gov backstop.", "resolved_tickers": ["005930.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have Samsung, $TSM, and $INTC exposure.  \n\nThey're like Fire, Water, and Grass starter Pokemon, can't go wrong with any. \n\n- Samsung you have high upside with memory + foundry capturing overflow from TSM. \n- $TSM, has insane profitability/growth + everyone uses them and they're maxed out.  \n- $INTC is basically US gov capping downside risk + large upside to $TSM once they finish buildout. \n\nI'm sure they'll all strong outperform 2026.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit More bullish on Intel than on Samsung ? Just want to keep one foundry play and struggling to decide, both seems attractive to me (well many others are but you gotta do what you gotta do!)", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "B38B37", "ret_m1d": -0.0026791567436211805, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0026791567436211805, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0026791567436211805, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0026791567436211805, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02746148771171364, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02746148771171364, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0071047019881685936, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.001503561462741887, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.025957926248971752, "ret_p1w": 0.018754202077025495, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.018754202077025495, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.017207210949550023, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.015595203300232674, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0031589987767928207, "ret_p1m": 0.21366377280264204, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21366377280264204, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.22640125337234318, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.25582827553940934, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "bench_c_p1m": -0.042164502736767306, "ret_p3m": 0.45981374999829594, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.45981374999829594, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.44258527888441535, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.41456568256379644, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.045248067434499495, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3428, -0.3568, -0.3414, -0.3201, -0.3368, -0.3301, -0.3061, -0.2835, -0.2595, -0.3008, -0.3294, -0.3388, -0.3474, -0.3294, -0.3101, -0.3128, -0.3148, -0.3521, -0.3294, -0.3481, -0.3568, -0.3294, -0.3681, -0.3554, -0.3381, -0.3148, -0.3101, -0.3301, -0.3281, -0.3108, -0.3035, -0.2995, -0.2775, -0.2701, -0.2775, -0.2801, -0.2848, -0.2741, -0.3015, -0.3148, -0.2808, -0.2828, -0.2915, -0.2635, -0.2568, -0.2595, -0.2595, -0.2201, -0.1996, -0.1969, -0.1969, -0.1969, -0.1393, -0.075, -0.0697, -0.0556, -0.0703, -0.069, -0.0703, -0.0784, -0.0603, -0.0362, -0.0027, 0.0, -0.0275, 0.0013, 0.0201, 0.0188, 0.0188, 0.0683, 0.0877, 0.0764, 0.075, 0.0074, 0.1219, 0.1326, 0.067, 0.0623, 0.1145, 0.1105, 0.1239, 0.1962, 0.2137, 0.2137, 0.2137, 0.2137, 0.2726, 0.2733, 0.2927, 0.3396, 0.363, 0.4601, 0.4501, 0.4501, 0.3068, 0.1534, 0.2833, 0.2605, 0.1621, 0.2585, 0.2726, 0.2585, 0.2291, 0.2639, 0.2987, 0.3965, 0.3429, 0.3356, 0.2478, 0.2706, 0.2659, 0.2063, 0.2063, 0.1833, 0.1222, 0.2729, 0.1974, 0.2497, 0.296, 0.3189, 0.4128, 0.3692, 0.3826, 0.3491, 0.386, 0.4162, 0.4598, 0.4497, 0.4397, 0.4699, 0.4598, 0.5068, 0.4732, 0.5068, 0.49, 0.5169, 0.4799, 0.4799, 0.5605, 0.5605, 0.7853, 0.8223, 0.8021, 0.9162, 0.8726, 0.9061, 0.9867, 0.8155, 0.886, 0.8491, 0.8525, 1.0102, 0.9632, 0.9632, 1.0068, 1.0605, 1.0102, 1.1276, 1.3256, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2012504457721074090", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-17T12:37:07+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSM, has insane profitability/growth + everyone uses them and they're maxed out. I'm sure they'll all strong outperform 2026.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long Samsung, TSM, and INTC; all three foundry plays expected to strongly outperform by 2026 on memory/foundry overflow, growth, and US gov backstop.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have Samsung, $TSM, and $INTC exposure.  \n\nThey're like Fire, Water, and Grass starter Pokemon, can't go wrong with any. \n\n- Samsung you have high upside with memory + foundry capturing overflow from TSM. \n- $TSM, has insane profitability/growth + everyone uses them and they're maxed out.  \n- $INTC is basically US gov capping downside risk + large upside to $TSM once they finish buildout. \n\nI'm sure they'll all strong outperform 2026.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit More bullish on Intel than on Samsung ? Just want to keep one foundry play and struggling to decide, both seems attractive to me (well many others are but you gotta do what you gotta do!)", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "B38B37", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04450933601066909, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04450933601066909, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02415255028712404, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02415255028712404, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "ret_p1w": -0.02830025856620666, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02830025856620666, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.029847249693682132, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.029847249693682132, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "ret_p1m": 0.06366829733764123, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06366829733764123, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07640577790734238, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07640577790734238, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "ret_p3m": 0.06417597339062442, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.06417597339062442, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.046947502276743824, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.046947502276743824, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1586, -0.1532, -0.1409, -0.1313, -0.1217, -0.1114, -0.1168, -0.1249, -0.112, -0.1435, -0.1447, -0.1575, -0.1655, -0.14, -0.1519, -0.1535, -0.178, -0.1704, -0.1786, -0.1905, -0.1775, -0.1917, -0.1988, -0.1709, -0.1708, -0.1554, -0.1554, -0.1509, -0.1621, -0.1492, -0.1394, -0.1468, -0.1416, -0.1207, -0.1163, -0.0967, -0.1097, -0.1471, -0.1596, -0.1622, -0.1911, -0.1686, -0.1561, -0.1435, -0.1327, -0.1273, -0.1273, -0.1155, -0.1211, -0.1251, -0.1125, -0.1125, -0.0666, -0.0588, -0.0437, -0.0693, -0.0712, -0.0548, -0.031, -0.0327, -0.0447, -0.0022, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0445, -0.0475, -0.0439, -0.022, -0.0283, -0.0119, -0.0003, -0.0083, -0.0346, -0.003, -0.0194, -0.0487, -0.0341, 0.0188, 0.038, 0.057, 0.0926, 0.0751, 0.07, 0.07, 0.0637, 0.058, 0.0525, 0.0822, 0.0807, 0.1266, 0.1324, 0.1005, 0.094, 0.078, 0.0313, 0.0439, 0.0335, -0.0103, 0.0184, 0.0137, 0.0355, -0.0166, -0.0119, -0.0063, 0.0133, -0.0055, -0.0078, -0.0357, -0.0088, 0.0053, 0.0185, -0.0449, -0.043, -0.073, -0.0102, 0.0002, -0.007, -0.007, 0.0009, 0.0114, 0.0716, 0.0704, 0.0854, 0.0824, 0.1126, 0.0986, 0.0642, 0.0851, 0.0726, 0.078, 0.1347, 0.1207, 0.1787, 0.1861, 0.1491, 0.1534, 0.16, 0.1647, 0.1762, 0.1551, 0.2286, 0.213, 0.2057, 0.1848, 0.1635, 0.1709, 0.2234, 0.1843, 0.1597, 0.1499, 0.1763, 0.1925, 0.1848, 0.1848, 0.2076, 0.2381, 0.2443, 0.2256, 0.2256, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2012504457721074090", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-01-17T12:37:07+00:00", "symbol": "INTC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$INTC is basically US gov capping downside risk + large upside to $TSM once they finish buildout. I'm sure they'll all strong outperform 2026.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long Samsung, TSM, and INTC; all three foundry plays expected to strongly outperform by 2026 on memory/foundry overflow, growth, and US gov backstop.", "resolved_tickers": ["INTC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have Samsung, $TSM, and $INTC exposure.  \n\nThey're like Fire, Water, and Grass starter Pokemon, can't go wrong with any. \n\n- Samsung you have high upside with memory + foundry capturing overflow from TSM. \n- $TSM, has insane profitability/growth + everyone uses them and they're maxed out.  \n- $INTC is basically US gov capping downside risk + large upside to $TSM once they finish buildout. \n\nI'm sure they'll all strong outperform 2026.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit More bullish on Intel than on Samsung ? Just want to keep one foundry play and struggling to decide, both seems attractive to me (well many others are but you gotta do what you gotta do!)", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "B38B37", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.034071599659536655, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.034071599659536655, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0544283853830817, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0544283853830817, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "ret_p1w": -0.09518734014379204, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09518734014379204, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09673433127126752, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09673433127126752, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "ret_p1m": -0.016609855078868252, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.016609855078868252, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.003872374509167109, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.003872374509167109, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "ret_p3m": 0.4586882737535989, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4586882737535989, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4414598026397183, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4414598026397183, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2138, -0.1874, -0.1848, -0.158, -0.1156, -0.1197, -0.1448, -0.1484, -0.1589, -0.2115, -0.1827, -0.207, -0.188, -0.1812, -0.1934, -0.1931, -0.2353, -0.2436, -0.2609, -0.269, -0.2523, -0.2841, -0.2653, -0.2379, -0.237, -0.2161, -0.2161, -0.1363, -0.148, -0.0743, -0.0681, -0.1376, -0.1182, -0.1418, -0.1376, -0.1316, -0.1586, -0.1948, -0.2012, -0.2055, -0.2323, -0.2274, -0.2159, -0.2255, -0.2259, -0.23, -0.23, -0.2291, -0.2189, -0.2057, -0.2142, -0.2142, -0.1614, -0.1616, -0.1474, -0.0922, -0.1246, -0.03, -0.0618, 0.007, 0.0375, 0.029, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0341, 0.1552, 0.1567, -0.0402, -0.0952, -0.0645, 0.0388, 0.0362, -0.0104, 0.0394, 0.0488, 0.0349, 0.0273, 0.0773, 0.0698, 0.0036, 0.0283, -0.0102, -0.0036, -0.0036, -0.0166, -0.0319, -0.0498, -0.0607, -0.0709, -0.0179, -0.0017, -0.0319, -0.0287, -0.0311, -0.0822, -0.0294, -0.0215, -0.0754, -0.0294, -0.0038, 0.0217, -0.0364, -0.0253, -0.0256, -0.0618, -0.0411, -0.0166, -0.0658, -0.0628, -0.0618, 0.0047, -0.0609, -0.0816, -0.1229, -0.0603, 0.0228, 0.0728, 0.0728, 0.0813, 0.1267, 0.2553, 0.3143, 0.3284, 0.388, 0.3588, 0.3829, 0.4587, 0.4587, 0.3991, 0.411, 0.3899, 0.4221, 0.7577, 0.8098, 0.7998, 1.0177, 1.0119, 1.1214, 1.0396, 1.303, 1.4065, 1.3343, 1.6601, 1.7564, 1.5684, 1.5615, 1.4687, 1.3162, 1.3034, 1.3595, 1.5332, 1.5234, 1.552, 1.552, 1.6303, 1.5931, 1.5743, 1.4421, 1.4421, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2027494724060553627", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-27T21:23:05+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI will most definitely be profitable at scale", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "AAOI will be profitable at scale; bullish forward stance on profitability ramp.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@siflower earnings was a result of their capex cycle from buildout. theyre profitable on the products they sell. $AAOI will most definitely be profitable at scale.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit If demand is so high, why they're unprofitable? Higher cost with US production yes, but they couldn't sell at least at cost when sold out?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "siflower", "ret_m1d": -0.3625786953944201, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.3625786953944201, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.3674038085726452, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.3674038085726452, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.21702478987010654, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.21702478987010654, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.21645621108777524, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.21645621108777524, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "ret_p1w": 0.1347500655559073, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1347500655559073, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15459001236840897, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15459001236840897, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "ret_p1m": 0.011397353035883961, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.011397353035883961, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08762893098965874, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08762893098965874, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "ret_p3m": 1.1349874707828982, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.1349874707828982, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.0380187816928927, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.0380187816928927, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6911, -0.6955, -0.6885, -0.6843, -0.6695, -0.6393, -0.5847, -0.5688, -0.6194, -0.645, -0.6562, -0.6778, -0.6527, -0.6282, -0.5359, -0.5175, -0.5132, -0.5132, -0.5587, -0.5637, -0.5724, -0.5861, -0.5861, -0.5299, -0.5846, -0.5416, -0.5482, -0.6081, -0.5959, -0.5997, -0.5942, -0.5908, -0.5607, -0.5603, -0.5603, -0.5339, -0.5443, -0.5471, -0.5759, -0.5858, -0.5561, -0.463, -0.5302, -0.4823, -0.4757, -0.4525, -0.5263, -0.5473, -0.4741, -0.4312, -0.4243, -0.4254, -0.4777, -0.4722, -0.4722, -0.4787, -0.4843, -0.4422, -0.3864, -0.3594, -0.3319, -0.31, -0.3626, 0.0, 0.217, 0.1319, 0.1838, 0.2008, 0.1348, 0.3133, 0.4305, 0.5079, 0.2607, 0.1494, 0.1168, 0.0249, 0.0997, 0.21, 0.0393, 0.1369, 0.3522, 0.3583, 0.1566, 0.166, 0.0114, 0.0043, 0.0252, 0.2336, 0.2336, 0.2757, 0.3967, 0.5754, 0.5826, 0.788, 0.8187, 0.738, 0.6924, 0.8677, 0.8927, 0.9408, 0.7876, 0.774, 0.6352, 0.9253, 0.7307, 0.6296, 0.8144, 0.9513, 1.1787, 1.0537, 1.1438, 1.1197, 0.8705, 0.7683, 1.1952, 1.2353, 1.6487, 1.4168, 1.26, 1.057, 1.0341, 0.962, 1.0991, 1.1547, 1.1547, 1.1087, 1.135, 1.0066, 0.8807, 0.8807, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2025527758420578402", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-22T11:07:04+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "2027-2028 is where the real fun should begin with $AXTI + possible memory-style price hikes", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish AXTI into 2027-2028 on photonics ramp and China export controls driving memory-style price hikes.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@crypticTooth I’ve shared this graph before but basically 2027-2028 is where the real fun should begin with $AXTI + possible memory-style price hikes. \n\nThis is just early DD before the photonics ramp + China export controls should start kicking into gear. https://t.co/DDPxvwQnRh", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What’s your price prediction on AXTI 2026?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "crypticTooth", "ret_m1d": 0.04396763934513337, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04396763934513337, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.033650977958069817, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.038760330027515444, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005207309317617925, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.23390789498754416, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.23390789498754416, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.22663944205714914, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.2186976675485106, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015210227439033552, "ret_p1w": 0.6292648328389747, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.6292648328389747, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.6234177471260831, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.6449836619361045, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01571882909712974, "ret_p1m": 1.4073162752990371, "ret_signed_p1m": 1.4073162752990371, "alpha_spy_p1m": 1.4475076576235, "alpha_c_p1m": 1.4516148810164855, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04429860571744837, "ret_p3m": 3.2567708527612744, "ret_signed_p3m": 3.2567708527612744, "alpha_spy_p3m": 3.16538863592349, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.881359115290496, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "bench_c_p3m": 0.37541173747077816, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6324, -0.6324, -0.6236, -0.6205, -0.5864, -0.5962, -0.5744, -0.5927, -0.5529, -0.4738, -0.4544, -0.4238, -0.4791, -0.4784, -0.5427, -0.5652, -0.5072, -0.4847, -0.4647, -0.4851, -0.472, -0.472, -0.4594, -0.4868, -0.4442, -0.4249, -0.4249, -0.4105, -0.4136, -0.2905, -0.152, -0.0915, -0.1913, -0.2177, -0.2434, -0.2227, -0.0953, -0.223, -0.223, -0.2469, -0.3043, -0.3697, -0.388, -0.3739, -0.395, -0.408, -0.4238, -0.3479, -0.2635, -0.3057, -0.3405, -0.2814, -0.1537, -0.0232, -0.1435, -0.0573, -0.128, -0.1474, -0.1474, -0.1836, -0.172, -0.1625, 0.044, 0.0, 0.2339, 0.4411, 0.3057, 0.3331, 0.6293, 0.4689, 0.3764, 0.3648, 0.1386, 0.3563, 0.5582, 0.6658, 0.6437, 0.7186, 0.7021, 0.5603, 0.7151, 1.0433, 0.9078, 1.2666, 1.4073, 1.369, 1.058, 1.1326, 0.8547, 1.0042, 0.6581, 0.8586, 0.8586, 0.477, 0.599, 0.8706, 1.2202, 1.2575, 1.3373, 1.3672, 1.2135, 1.8765, 1.904, 1.7703, 1.637, 2.058, 1.6476, 1.6789, 1.4675, 1.4168, 1.4998, 1.7865, 2.3767, 2.7285, 2.783, 2.6873, 2.8136, 3.0929, 3.4253, 3.3229, 3.2891, 3.0443, 3.3539, 2.7242, 2.9705, 2.6796, 3.2568, 3.9536, 3.9536, 3.6641, 3.3183, 3.0696, 2.6286, 2.6286, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2018521784719733182", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-03T03:07:50+00:00", "symbol": "000660.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Wow that's an incredible amount and a lot of upside! I can see that happening if they hit Morgan Stanley's projected EPS in 2027 and memory supercycle continues", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish SK Hynix to $1.4T market cap if MS EPS targets hit and memory supercycle continues through 2027.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Alisvolatprop12 Wow that’s an incredible amount and a lot of upside! \n\nI can see that happening if they hit Morgan Stanley’s projected EPS in 2027 and memory supercycle continues", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit SK Group Chairman Chey Tae-won mentioned that SK Hynix's market capitalization could reach 2,000 trillion won.\n\nThat is $1.4T in US dollars.\n\nhttps://t.co/jRjvAbBpkn.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Alisvolatprop12", "ret_m1d": -0.08489530720818073, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08489530720818073, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09342280703044137, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05762697228242397, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008527499822260642, "bench_c_m1d": -0.027268334925756754, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007717817970910423, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007717817970910423, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0028738962920132893, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02493982012883278, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004843921678897134, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0326576380997432, "ret_p1w": -0.034178631968155404, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.034178631968155404, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03793472603506576, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.035224298423569556, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0037560940669103537, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0010456664554141515, "ret_p1m": -0.06221986694607762, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06221986694607762, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05583864319149423, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.14305959866288598, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.006381223754583387, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08083973171680836, "ret_p3m": 0.42047732317879416, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.42047732317879416, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.3724908649283949, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.11738851689122054, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.047986458250399266, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3030888062875736, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3467, -0.361, -0.3323, -0.318, -0.3202, -0.3257, -0.383, -0.3323, -0.372, -0.3808, -0.3709, -0.426, -0.4271, -0.4282, -0.4227, -0.4002, -0.4157, -0.4068, -0.3848, -0.3914, -0.4024, -0.4002, -0.3638, -0.376, -0.3528, -0.3771, -0.3705, -0.3892, -0.4157, -0.3925, -0.3914, -0.3969, -0.3605, -0.3561, -0.3517, -0.3517, -0.3396, -0.2944, -0.2822, -0.2822, -0.2822, -0.2536, -0.2326, -0.1996, -0.1819, -0.1665, -0.1797, -0.1742, -0.1863, -0.1819, -0.1742, -0.1665, -0.1577, -0.1808, -0.1841, -0.1676, -0.1544, -0.1885, -0.118, -0.0728, -0.0507, 0.0022, -0.0849, 0.0, -0.0077, -0.0717, -0.075, -0.0221, -0.0342, -0.0518, -0.0209, -0.0298, -0.0298, -0.0298, -0.0298, -0.0143, 0.0463, 0.0485, 0.108, 0.1224, 0.2139, 0.1719, 0.1719, 0.0372, -0.0622, 0.0394, 0.0206, -0.0766, 0.0361, 0.0549, 0.0273, 0.0052, 0.0759, 0.0714, 0.1664, 0.1189, 0.1123, 0.0306, 0.0891, 0.099, 0.0306, 0.0306, -0.0357, -0.1086, -0.0092, -0.0832, -0.0324, -0.0214, 0.0118, 0.141, 0.1024, 0.1344, 0.1488, 0.2183, 0.2548, 0.2758, 0.246, 0.2879, 0.352, 0.3509, 0.3531, 0.3498, 0.4271, 0.4359, 0.4282, 0.4205, 0.4205, 0.5983, 0.5983, 0.7684, 0.827, 0.8623, 1.0766, 1.0269, 1.1826, 1.176, 1.0092, 1.0324, 0.9275, 0.9275, 1.1429, 1.144, 1.144, 1.2666, 1.4776, 1.5288, 1.5774, 1.631, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2028786845861990895", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-03T10:57:31+00:00", "symbol": "005930.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This looks like a clear buying opportunity. The drop on Samsung/Sk Hynix looks like a clear buying opportunity as their operational income will likely blow past any short term volatility.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Clear buying opportunity in Samsung, SK Hynix, and EWY after KOSPI crash; 2026 AI demand cycle fundamentally differs from 2022 downturn — energy cost hikes will be passed to price-insensitive hyperscalers.", "resolved_tickers": ["005930.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thoughts on the $EWY / KOSPI crash and whether it's a buying opportunity for Samsung/Sk Hynix:\n\nThis looks like a clear buying opportunity.\n\nEspecially as investors misunderstand that 2026 is not 2022 (Ukraine-Russia) conflicts. \n\nAI has fundamentally changed the demand for memory, compared to the 2022 downturn in consumer electronics, where Samsung/Sk Hynix also footed opex costs. \n\nThe main catalyst for one of the largest single-day drops in Korean history was Iran drone striking QatarEnergy's Ras Laffan complex. \n\nQatar is roughly ~20% of the global LNG supply.\n\nResults: \n\n-> Dutch TTF (Euro Natural Gas): +46%\n-> Asian Spot LNG: + 39%\n-> U.S. Natural Gas: +4.16% (fine)\n\nThe LNG spike was the catalyst for the drop as South Korea is materially exposed as it relies on imported LNG. \n\nFearing this inflationary energy shock, investors aggressively dumped South Korean tech equities, combined with deleveraging of 10x Samsung/Sk Hynix. \n\nSending\n-> Samsung Electronics down by 9.79%.\n-> SK Hynix shares sank by 11.12%.\n\nand the $EWY (KR futures) down 14.49% today.\n\nEveryone is fearing the 2022 incident with Russia-Ukraine war increasing LNG prices, causing industrial electricity tariffs in South Korea climbed by roughly 70% after KEPCO stopped abosring losses. \n\nIn 2022 alone, Samsung's domestic facilities consumed approximately 28,000 GWh of electricity.\n\nThe tariff hikes added an estimated KRW 2 trillion (over $1.4 billion USD) to Samsung's annual operating expenses and over KRW 1 trillion for SK Hynix.\n\nThis unprecedented spike in operational expenses (OPEX) hit at the exact worst possible time. \n\nIn late 2022, the semiconductor industry entered a brutal cyclical downturn. Post-pandemic demand for PCs and smartphones plummeted, leading to a massive oversupply of DRAM and NAND flash.\n\nHowever, 2026 is completely different:\n\nCompared to 2022 that faced increasing energy costs during a downturn:\n\nAI demand for memory is completely unprecedented. On the 27th, there were reports of DRAM hikes again from Samsung/Sk Hynix.  \n\nDemand for NAND prices from $SNDK have been so high for capacity allocation that they've been taking 3 year pre-orders in advance.\n\nThere is no end to demand in sight, and no relief way until 2028. \n\nComparing this to 2022, where consumer segments for laptops and smartphones were already facing a downturn, memory makers could not pass on the costs (and tanked opex bill). That caused a major correction last time. \n\nBecause the global AI chip shortage is so acute in 2026, they will seamlessly pass their inflated utility bills down the supply chain. \n\nBecause supply is severely constrained, Samsung and SK Hynix dictate the market terms. Big Tech hyperscalers (Microsoft, Meta, Google, Amazon) are locked in an AI arms race. They are highly price-insensitive right now and prioritize securing volume over haggling.\n\nAs a result, this looks like a clear buying opportunity, especially as projections range from:\n\nMorgan Stanley | Macquarie on Samsung \n2026: ~$182.0B USD vs.  ~$210.8B USD  \n2027: ~$235.1B USD vs.  ~$333.7B USD  \n\nMorgan Stanley | Macquarie on SK Hynix: \n2026: ~$132.9B USD vs. ~$190.5B USD\n2027: ~$167.0B USD vs. ~$312.8B USD \n\nThe selloff looks like an immediate de-risking from fears over 2022 Ukraine-Russia-conflicts, combined with extreme leverage from 10x instruments.\n\nBut unlike 2022, where laptops and consumer demand were already facing a downturn and LNG spikes caused Samsung/SK Hynix to foot the bill:\n\nThis time it's passed onto hyperscaler costs because demand is too high. \n\nPeople always compare KOSPI to silver, but the difference is one has whopping operational income, where in a bull-case scenario, 2 years of income alone would exceed their market cap of companies like SK Hynix. \n\nThe drop on Samsung/Sk Hynix looks like a clear buying opportunity as their operational income will likely blow past any short term volatility.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.10968733550663545, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.10968733550663545, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.10079461356259167, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.09485101865809864, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00889272194404378, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014836316848536812, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.11737572377080441, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.11737572377080441, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.12443103212388906, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.1343938159729241, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007055308353084655, "bench_c_p1d": 0.017018092202119695, "ret_p1w": -0.03690413526337277, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03690413526337277, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03227394297320518, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.053340450334133704, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00463019229016759, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016436315070760932, "ret_p1m": -0.02592240876830343, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02592240876830343, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.008326530771928464, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.008305983897664349, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03424893954023189, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01761642487063908, "ret_p3m": 0.6281708221484199, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6281708221484199, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5132032465385132, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.23720714544139399, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11496757560990667, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3909636767070259, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4639, -0.4471, -0.4415, -0.4471, -0.4491, -0.4527, -0.4445, -0.4654, -0.4756, -0.4496, -0.4512, -0.4578, -0.4364, -0.4313, -0.4333, -0.4333, -0.4032, -0.3875, -0.3854, -0.3854, -0.3854, -0.3414, -0.2922, -0.2881, -0.2773, -0.2886, -0.2875, -0.2886, -0.2947, -0.2809, -0.2624, -0.2368, -0.2348, -0.2558, -0.2337, -0.2194, -0.2204, -0.2204, -0.1825, -0.1676, -0.1763, -0.1773, -0.2291, -0.1415, -0.1333, -0.1835, -0.1871, -0.1471, -0.1502, -0.1399, -0.0846, -0.0712, -0.0712, -0.0712, -0.0712, -0.0261, -0.0256, -0.0108, 0.0251, 0.0431, 0.1174, 0.1097, 0.1097, 0.0, -0.1174, -0.0179, -0.0354, -0.1107, -0.0369, -0.0261, -0.0369, -0.0595, -0.0328, -0.0062, 0.0687, 0.0277, 0.022, -0.0451, -0.0277, -0.0313, -0.0769, -0.0769, -0.0945, -0.1412, -0.0259, -0.0837, -0.0436, -0.0082, 0.0093, 0.0812, 0.0478, 0.0581, 0.0324, 0.0606, 0.0837, 0.1171, 0.1094, 0.1017, 0.1248, 0.1171, 0.1531, 0.1274, 0.1531, 0.1402, 0.1608, 0.1325, 0.1325, 0.1942, 0.1942, 0.3662, 0.3945, 0.3791, 0.4664, 0.433, 0.4587, 0.5203, 0.3893, 0.4433, 0.415, 0.4176, 0.5383, 0.5023, 0.5023, 0.5357, 0.5768, 0.5383, 0.6282, 0.7797, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2028786845861990895", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-03T10:57:31+00:00", "symbol": "000660.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This looks like a clear buying opportunity. The drop on Samsung/Sk Hynix looks like a clear buying opportunity as their operational income will likely blow past any short term volatility.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Clear buying opportunity in Samsung, SK Hynix, and EWY after KOSPI crash; 2026 AI demand cycle fundamentally differs from 2022 downturn — energy cost hikes will be passed to price-insensitive hyperscalers.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thoughts on the $EWY / KOSPI crash and whether it's a buying opportunity for Samsung/Sk Hynix:\n\nThis looks like a clear buying opportunity.\n\nEspecially as investors misunderstand that 2026 is not 2022 (Ukraine-Russia) conflicts. \n\nAI has fundamentally changed the demand for memory, compared to the 2022 downturn in consumer electronics, where Samsung/Sk Hynix also footed opex costs. \n\nThe main catalyst for one of the largest single-day drops in Korean history was Iran drone striking QatarEnergy's Ras Laffan complex. \n\nQatar is roughly ~20% of the global LNG supply.\n\nResults: \n\n-> Dutch TTF (Euro Natural Gas): +46%\n-> Asian Spot LNG: + 39%\n-> U.S. Natural Gas: +4.16% (fine)\n\nThe LNG spike was the catalyst for the drop as South Korea is materially exposed as it relies on imported LNG. \n\nFearing this inflationary energy shock, investors aggressively dumped South Korean tech equities, combined with deleveraging of 10x Samsung/Sk Hynix. \n\nSending\n-> Samsung Electronics down by 9.79%.\n-> SK Hynix shares sank by 11.12%.\n\nand the $EWY (KR futures) down 14.49% today.\n\nEveryone is fearing the 2022 incident with Russia-Ukraine war increasing LNG prices, causing industrial electricity tariffs in South Korea climbed by roughly 70% after KEPCO stopped abosring losses. \n\nIn 2022 alone, Samsung's domestic facilities consumed approximately 28,000 GWh of electricity.\n\nThe tariff hikes added an estimated KRW 2 trillion (over $1.4 billion USD) to Samsung's annual operating expenses and over KRW 1 trillion for SK Hynix.\n\nThis unprecedented spike in operational expenses (OPEX) hit at the exact worst possible time. \n\nIn late 2022, the semiconductor industry entered a brutal cyclical downturn. Post-pandemic demand for PCs and smartphones plummeted, leading to a massive oversupply of DRAM and NAND flash.\n\nHowever, 2026 is completely different:\n\nCompared to 2022 that faced increasing energy costs during a downturn:\n\nAI demand for memory is completely unprecedented. On the 27th, there were reports of DRAM hikes again from Samsung/Sk Hynix.  \n\nDemand for NAND prices from $SNDK have been so high for capacity allocation that they've been taking 3 year pre-orders in advance.\n\nThere is no end to demand in sight, and no relief way until 2028. \n\nComparing this to 2022, where consumer segments for laptops and smartphones were already facing a downturn, memory makers could not pass on the costs (and tanked opex bill). That caused a major correction last time. \n\nBecause the global AI chip shortage is so acute in 2026, they will seamlessly pass their inflated utility bills down the supply chain. \n\nBecause supply is severely constrained, Samsung and SK Hynix dictate the market terms. Big Tech hyperscalers (Microsoft, Meta, Google, Amazon) are locked in an AI arms race. They are highly price-insensitive right now and prioritize securing volume over haggling.\n\nAs a result, this looks like a clear buying opportunity, especially as projections range from:\n\nMorgan Stanley | Macquarie on Samsung \n2026: ~$182.0B USD vs.  ~$210.8B USD  \n2027: ~$235.1B USD vs.  ~$333.7B USD  \n\nMorgan Stanley | Macquarie on SK Hynix: \n2026: ~$132.9B USD vs. ~$190.5B USD\n2027: ~$167.0B USD vs. ~$312.8B USD \n\nThe selloff looks like an immediate de-risking from fears over 2022 Ukraine-Russia-conflicts, combined with extreme leverage from 10x instruments.\n\nBut unlike 2022, where laptops and consumer demand were already facing a downturn and LNG spikes caused Samsung/SK Hynix to foot the bill:\n\nThis time it's passed onto hyperscaler costs because demand is too high. \n\nPeople always compare KOSPI to silver, but the difference is one has whopping operational income, where in a bull-case scenario, 2 years of income alone would exceed their market cap of companies like SK Hynix. \n\nThe drop on Samsung/Sk Hynix looks like a clear buying opportunity as their operational income will likely blow past any short term volatility.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.12992547742274274, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.12992547742274274, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.12103275547869896, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.015069822527350896, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00889272194404378, "bench_c_m1d": 0.11485565489539185, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09584662984119818, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09584662984119818, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.10290193819428284, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.1111858986599299, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007055308353084655, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01533926881873171, "ret_p1w": -0.0010649411030385636, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0010649411030385636, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.003565251187129026, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.014349849153750482, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00463019229016759, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015414790256789046, "ret_p1m": -0.04472845832583294, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04472845832583294, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01047951878560105, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0015160277444395964, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03424893954023189, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04624448607027254, "ret_p3m": 1.4849735259249948, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.4849735259249948, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.370005950315088, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.9296613940920053, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11496757560990667, "bench_c_p3m": 0.5553121318329894, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4239, -0.4217, -0.3866, -0.3983, -0.376, -0.3994, -0.393, -0.4111, -0.4366, -0.4143, -0.4132, -0.4185, -0.3835, -0.3792, -0.375, -0.375, -0.3633, -0.3197, -0.308, -0.308, -0.308, -0.2803, -0.2602, -0.2283, -0.2113, -0.1964, -0.2091, -0.2038, -0.2155, -0.2113, -0.2038, -0.1964, -0.1879, -0.2102, -0.2134, -0.1974, -0.1847, -0.2176, -0.1496, -0.106, -0.0848, -0.0337, -0.1177, -0.0359, -0.0433, -0.105, -0.1081, -0.0571, -0.0688, -0.0858, -0.0561, -0.0646, -0.0646, -0.0646, -0.0646, -0.0497, 0.0088, 0.0109, 0.0683, 0.0821, 0.1704, 0.1299, 0.1299, 0.0, -0.0958, 0.0021, -0.016, -0.1097, -0.0011, 0.017, -0.0096, -0.0309, 0.0373, 0.033, 0.1246, 0.0788, 0.0724, -0.0064, 0.0501, 0.0596, -0.0064, -0.0064, -0.0703, -0.1406, -0.0447, -0.1161, -0.0671, -0.0564, -0.0245, 0.1001, 0.0628, 0.0937, 0.1076, 0.1747, 0.2098, 0.23, 0.2013, 0.2417, 0.3035, 0.3024, 0.3046, 0.3014, 0.3759, 0.3845, 0.377, 0.3695, 0.3695, 0.541, 0.541, 0.705, 0.7614, 0.7955, 1.0021, 0.9542, 1.1044, 1.098, 0.9372, 0.9595, 0.8584, 0.8584, 1.066, 1.0671, 1.0671, 1.1853, 1.3887, 1.4381, 1.485, 1.5366, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2028786845861990895", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-03T10:57:31+00:00", "symbol": "EWY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this looks like a clear buying opportunity", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Clear buying opportunity in Samsung, SK Hynix, and EWY after KOSPI crash; 2026 AI demand cycle fundamentally differs from 2022 downturn — energy cost hikes will be passed to price-insensitive hyperscalers.", "resolved_tickers": ["EWY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thoughts on the $EWY / KOSPI crash and whether it's a buying opportunity for Samsung/Sk Hynix:\n\nThis looks like a clear buying opportunity.\n\nEspecially as investors misunderstand that 2026 is not 2022 (Ukraine-Russia) conflicts. \n\nAI has fundamentally changed the demand for memory, compared to the 2022 downturn in consumer electronics, where Samsung/Sk Hynix also footed opex costs. \n\nThe main catalyst for one of the largest single-day drops in Korean history was Iran drone striking QatarEnergy's Ras Laffan complex. \n\nQatar is roughly ~20% of the global LNG supply.\n\nResults: \n\n-> Dutch TTF (Euro Natural Gas): +46%\n-> Asian Spot LNG: + 39%\n-> U.S. Natural Gas: +4.16% (fine)\n\nThe LNG spike was the catalyst for the drop as South Korea is materially exposed as it relies on imported LNG. \n\nFearing this inflationary energy shock, investors aggressively dumped South Korean tech equities, combined with deleveraging of 10x Samsung/Sk Hynix. \n\nSending\n-> Samsung Electronics down by 9.79%.\n-> SK Hynix shares sank by 11.12%.\n\nand the $EWY (KR futures) down 14.49% today.\n\nEveryone is fearing the 2022 incident with Russia-Ukraine war increasing LNG prices, causing industrial electricity tariffs in South Korea climbed by roughly 70% after KEPCO stopped abosring losses. \n\nIn 2022 alone, Samsung's domestic facilities consumed approximately 28,000 GWh of electricity.\n\nThe tariff hikes added an estimated KRW 2 trillion (over $1.4 billion USD) to Samsung's annual operating expenses and over KRW 1 trillion for SK Hynix.\n\nThis unprecedented spike in operational expenses (OPEX) hit at the exact worst possible time. \n\nIn late 2022, the semiconductor industry entered a brutal cyclical downturn. Post-pandemic demand for PCs and smartphones plummeted, leading to a massive oversupply of DRAM and NAND flash.\n\nHowever, 2026 is completely different:\n\nCompared to 2022 that faced increasing energy costs during a downturn:\n\nAI demand for memory is completely unprecedented. On the 27th, there were reports of DRAM hikes again from Samsung/Sk Hynix.  \n\nDemand for NAND prices from $SNDK have been so high for capacity allocation that they've been taking 3 year pre-orders in advance.\n\nThere is no end to demand in sight, and no relief way until 2028. \n\nComparing this to 2022, where consumer segments for laptops and smartphones were already facing a downturn, memory makers could not pass on the costs (and tanked opex bill). That caused a major correction last time. \n\nBecause the global AI chip shortage is so acute in 2026, they will seamlessly pass their inflated utility bills down the supply chain. \n\nBecause supply is severely constrained, Samsung and SK Hynix dictate the market terms. Big Tech hyperscalers (Microsoft, Meta, Google, Amazon) are locked in an AI arms race. They are highly price-insensitive right now and prioritize securing volume over haggling.\n\nAs a result, this looks like a clear buying opportunity, especially as projections range from:\n\nMorgan Stanley | Macquarie on Samsung \n2026: ~$182.0B USD vs.  ~$210.8B USD  \n2027: ~$235.1B USD vs.  ~$333.7B USD  \n\nMorgan Stanley | Macquarie on SK Hynix: \n2026: ~$132.9B USD vs. ~$190.5B USD\n2027: ~$167.0B USD vs. ~$312.8B USD \n\nThe selloff looks like an immediate de-risking from fears over 2022 Ukraine-Russia-conflicts, combined with extreme leverage from 10x instruments.\n\nBut unlike 2022, where laptops and consumer demand were already facing a downturn and LNG spikes caused Samsung/SK Hynix to foot the bill:\n\nThis time it's passed onto hyperscaler costs because demand is too high. \n\nPeople always compare KOSPI to silver, but the difference is one has whopping operational income, where in a bull-case scenario, 2 years of income alone would exceed their market cap of companies like SK Hynix. \n\nThe drop on Samsung/Sk Hynix looks like a clear buying opportunity as their operational income will likely blow past any short term volatility.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.11485565489539185, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.11485565489539185, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.10596293295134807, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.10596293295134807, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00889272194404378, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00889272194404378, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01533926881873171, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01533926881873171, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008283960465647056, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008283960465647056, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007055308353084655, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007055308353084655, "ret_p1w": -0.015414790256789046, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.015414790256789046, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.010784597966621456, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.010784597966621456, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00463019229016759, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00463019229016759, "ret_p1m": -0.04624448607027254, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04624448607027254, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.011995546530040646, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.011995546530040646, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03424893954023189, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03424893954023189, "ret_p3m": 0.5553121318329894, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5553121318329894, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4403445562230828, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4403445562230828, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11496757560990667, "bench_c_p3m": 0.11496757560990667, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3211, -0.3031, -0.2974, -0.2937, -0.285, -0.2982, -0.3151, -0.3147, -0.3236, -0.3307, -0.3194, -0.3098, -0.3067, -0.2995, -0.2852, -0.2852, -0.2758, -0.254, -0.2548, -0.2654, -0.2654, -0.2276, -0.2079, -0.1869, -0.1912, -0.1946, -0.1772, -0.1769, -0.1874, -0.1715, -0.1609, -0.152, -0.152, -0.1615, -0.126, -0.1235, -0.1086, -0.1135, -0.0728, -0.0512, -0.0592, -0.075, -0.0862, -0.0606, -0.0913, -0.0917, -0.0577, -0.0475, -0.0596, -0.0131, -0.0116, 0.0123, 0.0123, -0.0125, 0.0045, 0.0217, 0.0721, 0.0526, 0.0923, 0.1251, 0.1365, 0.1438, 0.1149, 0.0, 0.0153, -0.0499, -0.0424, 0.0117, -0.0154, 0.0039, -0.0668, -0.0619, 0.0057, 0.0158, -0.0035, 0.0187, -0.0496, 0.0111, -0.0271, -0.0348, -0.0933, -0.0858, -0.1202, -0.0705, -0.0462, -0.0716, -0.0716, -0.0484, -0.0389, 0.0584, 0.0525, 0.0483, 0.0672, 0.1084, 0.0951, 0.1143, 0.1511, 0.1341, 0.1092, 0.1773, 0.1379, 0.168, 0.1843, 0.1665, 0.1634, 0.2147, 0.2241, 0.2361, 0.3108, 0.3751, 0.3356, 0.4372, 0.4572, 0.3488, 0.4253, 0.4396, 0.3515, 0.3307, 0.3149, 0.361, 0.4086, 0.3755, 0.3755, 0.5162, 0.4983, 0.5597, 0.5553, 0.5553, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028458236316381685", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-02T13:11:45+00:00", "symbol": "LASR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My guess is a ton of contracts will likely flow into $LASR now both from expanding Iron Beam (because it worked) and toward other applications like hypersonic missiles", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long LASR on catalyst: Iron Beam validation expected to drive major contract inflows for laser weapons and hypersonic missile defense applications.", "resolved_tickers": ["LASR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We'll need to see, it's more of a catalyst trade right now. \n\n$LASR just got the biggest validation in their lifetime for the first usage of their Laser Weapons shooting down a bunch of stuff. \n\nMy guess is a ton of contracts will likely flow into $LASR now both from expanding Iron Beam (because it worked) and toward other applications like hypersonic missiles.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Are you looking at $LASR as short term trade or more med, longer term? thanks", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TradeACH", "ret_m1d": -0.16989220564221263, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.16989220564221263, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.16932394995800626, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.16932394995800626, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06825236489806885, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06825236489806885, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05943802641527318, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05943802641527318, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "ret_p1w": -0.0988329472612628, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0988329472612628, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08701736633774793, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08701736633774793, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "ret_p1m": -0.15763039738222395, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15763039738222395, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1077106558070402, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1077106558070402, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "ret_p3m": 0.1693012065466042, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1693012065466042, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06690782738069623, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06690782738069623, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4959, -0.4631, -0.4617, -0.4541, -0.4401, -0.4416, -0.4352, -0.4664, -0.4608, -0.4766, -0.488, -0.4689, -0.4429, -0.4351, -0.4172, -0.4191, -0.4191, -0.4209, -0.4237, -0.4305, -0.4459, -0.4459, -0.4332, -0.4373, -0.443, -0.4453, -0.4086, -0.4088, -0.3859, -0.3689, -0.3622, -0.3525, -0.3509, -0.3509, -0.3315, -0.3213, -0.2909, -0.351, -0.3562, -0.3363, -0.3207, -0.304, -0.3262, -0.2897, -0.2616, -0.352, -0.3191, -0.2448, -0.1935, -0.2182, -0.1898, -0.2254, -0.2277, -0.2277, -0.2482, -0.1971, -0.1774, -0.1726, -0.1919, -0.1485, -0.1047, -0.07, -0.1699, 0.0, -0.0683, -0.0099, -0.0758, -0.1337, -0.0988, -0.0576, -0.0177, -0.0727, -0.0752, 0.012, 0.051, 0.0126, 0.0471, -0.0285, 0.0334, 0.0572, 0.06, -0.0566, -0.0498, -0.2022, -0.1576, -0.1387, -0.1118, -0.1118, -0.1402, -0.1473, -0.1089, -0.0734, -0.0343, 0.0321, -0.0121, -0.0188, 0.0264, 0.0405, 0.0539, 0.0669, 0.0634, 0.0962, 0.1197, 0.0347, -0.0282, -0.0402, 0.0319, 0.0486, 0.0254, -0.0109, 0.0532, -0.0222, 0.0919, 0.255, 0.2381, 0.1881, 0.2015, 0.117, 0.0464, 0.0266, 0.0533, 0.1291, 0.1604, 0.1604, 0.2051, 0.2024, 0.1693, 0.095, 0.095, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2033848250101616646", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-17T10:09:44+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If the photonics sector is completely sold out for the next two years with no end in sight... There's probably something the markets haven't priced in yet.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish on photonics/EML laser sector as next AI bottleneck; LITE, AAOI, COHR sold out through 2027 with markets not yet pricing in the shortage + upcoming CPO ramp.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Photonics is the next bottleneck after memory.\n\nIf you're not convinced yet?\n\n$LITE CEO went out and said: \n\n\"We're sold out really until the end of 2027. We see no end in sight.\"\n\nThis is eerily similar to $INTC CEO saying \"No Relief\" on Memory Shortage Until 2028.\n\nBut instead... Photonics has only started to ramp up as the new architectural paradigm of AI.  \n\nThe current EML laser + optical transceiver bottleneck cannot be understated. \n\nHyperscalers are buying any EML capacity or optical transceiver, $AAOI, $LITE, $COHR, and downstream providers can make.\n\nThe CEO also reiterated: \"We are completely sold out.\" The company [ $LITE ] is \"way, way under-shipping\" what customers want. \n\n\"Lumentum says it is under shipping demand by roughly 25% to 30%, and that all capacity is fully allocated under long-term agreements through calendar 2027\"\n\nIf the photonics sector is completely sold out for the next two years with no end in sight. Before there's been any price hiking. \n\nAnd before growth engines like CPO have even started to ramp up. \n\nThere's probably something the markets haven't priced in yet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03805648561493369, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03805648561493369, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03543283240867734, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03543283240867734, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002623653206256349, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002623653206256349, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07889956307750778, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07889956307750778, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09285320846462797, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09285320846462797, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013953645387120184, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013953645387120184, "ret_p1w": 0.23466653311271868, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.23466653311271868, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2582597956997488, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2582597956997488, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023593262587030095, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023593262587030095, "ret_p1m": 0.2685664339902565, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2685664339902565, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.22226045121060367, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.22226045121060367, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04630598277965281, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04630598277965281, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.481, -0.4282, -0.3998, -0.4036, -0.3905, -0.3905, -0.3984, -0.4264, -0.4286, -0.4326, -0.4326, -0.4056, -0.4503, -0.3882, -0.3952, -0.4639, -0.459, -0.4768, -0.4437, -0.4895, -0.4715, -0.5008, -0.5008, -0.4507, -0.442, -0.4543, -0.4778, -0.4882, -0.4294, -0.4073, -0.4128, -0.3968, -0.3481, -0.3302, -0.2833, -0.2234, -0.1502, -0.1115, -0.1361, -0.1162, -0.1018, -0.1337, -0.1337, -0.0757, -0.0851, -0.0214, 0.028, 0.0387, 0.0596, 0.1137, 0.0422, 0.0791, 0.2058, 0.0691, 0.0481, 0.0019, -0.1403, -0.0137, 0.0345, 0.0345, -0.0515, -0.0417, -0.0381, 0.0, 0.0789, 0.1887, 0.0874, 0.1222, 0.2347, 0.1965, 0.0604, 0.0819, 0.0081, 0.0819, 0.1772, 0.273, 0.273, 0.1889, 0.2559, 0.3794, 0.3765, 0.3814, 0.3412, 0.3129, 0.2686, 0.372, 0.3764, 0.378, 0.2884, 0.3449, 0.3038, 0.3573, 0.3235, 0.2183, 0.3214, 0.3891, 0.4624, 0.5028, 0.5311, 0.4537, 0.3741, 0.3914, 0.6212, 0.5278, 0.5863, 0.5423, 0.4944, 0.3624, 0.3703, 0.3364, 0.4849, 0.4578, 0.4578, 0.4022, 0.3891, 0.3249, 0.3162, 0.3162, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2033848250101616646", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-17T10:09:44+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Hyperscalers are buying any EML capacity or optical transceiver, $AAOI, $LITE, $COHR, and downstream providers can make.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish on photonics/EML laser sector as next AI bottleneck; LITE, AAOI, COHR sold out through 2027 with markets not yet pricing in the shortage + upcoming CPO ramp.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Photonics is the next bottleneck after memory.\n\nIf you're not convinced yet?\n\n$LITE CEO went out and said: \n\n\"We're sold out really until the end of 2027. We see no end in sight.\"\n\nThis is eerily similar to $INTC CEO saying \"No Relief\" on Memory Shortage Until 2028.\n\nBut instead... Photonics has only started to ramp up as the new architectural paradigm of AI.  \n\nThe current EML laser + optical transceiver bottleneck cannot be understated. \n\nHyperscalers are buying any EML capacity or optical transceiver, $AAOI, $LITE, $COHR, and downstream providers can make.\n\nThe CEO also reiterated: \"We are completely sold out.\" The company [ $LITE ] is \"way, way under-shipping\" what customers want. \n\n\"Lumentum says it is under shipping demand by roughly 25% to 30%, and that all capacity is fully allocated under long-term agreements through calendar 2027\"\n\nIf the photonics sector is completely sold out for the next two years with no end in sight. Before there's been any price hiking. \n\nAnd before growth engines like CPO have even started to ramp up. \n\nThere's probably something the markets haven't priced in yet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.08965594462648663, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08965594462648663, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.09227959783274298, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.09227959783274298, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002623653206256349, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002623653206256349, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07297573599838669, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07297573599838669, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08692938138550688, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08692938138550688, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013953645387120184, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013953645387120184, "ret_p1w": 0.3193559493810496, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.3193559493810496, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.3429492119680797, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.3429492119680797, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023593262587030095, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023593262587030095, "ret_p1m": 0.6512220552331742, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6512220552331742, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6049160724535214, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.6049160724535214, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04630598277965281, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04630598277965281, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6612, -0.6372, -0.5471, -0.5292, -0.5251, -0.5251, -0.5694, -0.5743, -0.5828, -0.5962, -0.5962, -0.5413, -0.5947, -0.5528, -0.5592, -0.6176, -0.6057, -0.6094, -0.6041, -0.6007, -0.5714, -0.5709, -0.5709, -0.5452, -0.5554, -0.5581, -0.5862, -0.5959, -0.5669, -0.4761, -0.5416, -0.4948, -0.4885, -0.4658, -0.5378, -0.5583, -0.4869, -0.445, -0.4383, -0.4394, -0.4904, -0.485, -0.485, -0.4914, -0.4968, -0.4558, -0.4014, -0.375, -0.3482, -0.3268, -0.3781, -0.0243, 0.1874, 0.1044, 0.155, 0.1716, 0.1071, 0.2814, 0.3957, 0.4712, 0.23, 0.1214, 0.0897, 0.0, 0.073, 0.1806, 0.014, 0.1092, 0.3194, 0.3253, 0.1285, 0.1376, -0.0132, -0.0202, 0.0002, 0.2036, 0.2036, 0.2446, 0.3627, 0.5371, 0.5441, 0.7445, 0.7745, 0.6957, 0.6512, 0.8223, 0.8466, 0.8935, 0.7441, 0.7308, 0.5954, 0.8785, 0.6886, 0.5899, 0.7703, 0.9039, 1.1257, 1.0037, 1.0916, 1.0681, 0.825, 0.7252, 1.1418, 1.1809, 1.5843, 1.358, 1.205, 1.0069, 0.9846, 0.9143, 1.0481, 1.1023, 1.1023, 1.0575, 1.0831, 0.9578, 0.8349, 0.8349, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2033848250101616646", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-17T10:09:44+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Hyperscalers are buying any EML capacity or optical transceiver, $AAOI, $LITE, $COHR, and downstream providers can make.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish on photonics/EML laser sector as next AI bottleneck; LITE, AAOI, COHR sold out through 2027 with markets not yet pricing in the shortage + upcoming CPO ramp.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Photonics is the next bottleneck after memory.\n\nIf you're not convinced yet?\n\n$LITE CEO went out and said: \n\n\"We're sold out really until the end of 2027. We see no end in sight.\"\n\nThis is eerily similar to $INTC CEO saying \"No Relief\" on Memory Shortage Until 2028.\n\nBut instead... Photonics has only started to ramp up as the new architectural paradigm of AI.  \n\nThe current EML laser + optical transceiver bottleneck cannot be understated. \n\nHyperscalers are buying any EML capacity or optical transceiver, $AAOI, $LITE, $COHR, and downstream providers can make.\n\nThe CEO also reiterated: \"We are completely sold out.\" The company [ $LITE ] is \"way, way under-shipping\" what customers want. \n\n\"Lumentum says it is under shipping demand by roughly 25% to 30%, and that all capacity is fully allocated under long-term agreements through calendar 2027\"\n\nIf the photonics sector is completely sold out for the next two years with no end in sight. Before there's been any price hiking. \n\nAnd before growth engines like CPO have even started to ramp up. \n\nThere's probably something the markets haven't priced in yet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.006387274393560904, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006387274393560904, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009010927599817253, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009010927599817253, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002623653206256349, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002623653206256349, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.046419805783801005, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.046419805783801005, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06037345117092119, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06037345117092119, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013953645387120184, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013953645387120184, "ret_p1w": 0.10793321070431983, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10793321070431983, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.13152647329134992, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13152647329134992, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023593262587030095, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023593262587030095, "ret_p1m": 0.2538649649330311, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2538649649330311, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2075589821533783, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2075589821533783, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04630598277965281, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04630598277965281, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2852, -0.244, -0.223, -0.2194, -0.2214, -0.2214, -0.22, -0.231, -0.24, -0.2491, -0.2491, -0.2094, -0.2418, -0.2103, -0.2204, -0.2956, -0.2756, -0.2466, -0.2269, -0.251, -0.2028, -0.2228, -0.2228, -0.2129, -0.1804, -0.1753, -0.1988, -0.1954, -0.1294, -0.1003, -0.1218, -0.1368, -0.095, -0.0676, -0.1416, -0.1487, -0.0737, -0.0136, -0.0709, -0.09, -0.1208, -0.1162, -0.1162, -0.1051, -0.0891, -0.0542, 0.0097, 0.0126, 0.0369, 0.0899, 0.0177, 0.0534, 0.2161, 0.1424, 0.1182, 0.0328, -0.041, 0.0265, 0.0604, 0.0228, -0.0184, -0.0124, 0.0064, 0.0, 0.0464, 0.1211, 0.0319, 0.0376, 0.1079, 0.1068, -0.0102, -0.0094, -0.1064, -0.0309, 0.0081, 0.0503, 0.0503, 0.0302, 0.0378, 0.1464, 0.1561, 0.251, 0.2528, 0.2751, 0.2539, 0.3344, 0.4037, 0.4138, 0.3987, 0.4258, 0.3738, 0.3673, 0.3081, 0.2367, 0.2406, 0.3007, 0.3405, 0.3421, 0.3659, 0.4022, 0.2986, 0.364, 0.5447, 0.5216, 0.6424, 0.6474, 0.5559, 0.4761, 0.4387, 0.4585, 0.5378, 0.5361, 0.5361, 0.5515, 0.5467, 0.5336, 0.4706, 0.4706, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2033848250101616646", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-03-17T10:09:44+00:00", "symbol": "photonics", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Photonics is the next bottleneck after memory... There's probably something the markets haven't priced in yet.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish on photonics/EML laser sector as next AI bottleneck; LITE, AAOI, COHR sold out through 2027 with markets not yet pricing in the shortage + upcoming CPO ramp.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR", "LITE", "AAOI", "FN"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "US photonics sector basket", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Photonics is the next bottleneck after memory.\n\nIf you're not convinced yet?\n\n$LITE CEO went out and said: \n\n\"We're sold out really until the end of 2027. We see no end in sight.\"\n\nThis is eerily similar to $INTC CEO saying \"No Relief\" on Memory Shortage Until 2028.\n\nBut instead... Photonics has only started to ramp up as the new architectural paradigm of AI.  \n\nThe current EML laser + optical transceiver bottleneck cannot be understated. \n\nHyperscalers are buying any EML capacity or optical transceiver, $AAOI, $LITE, $COHR, and downstream providers can make.\n\nThe CEO also reiterated: \"We are completely sold out.\" The company [ $LITE ] is \"way, way under-shipping\" what customers want. \n\n\"Lumentum says it is under shipping demand by roughly 25% to 30%, and that all capacity is fully allocated under long-term agreements through calendar 2027\"\n\nIf the photonics sector is completely sold out for the next two years with no end in sight. Before there's been any price hiking. \n\nAnd before growth engines like CPO have even started to ramp up. \n\nThere's probably something the markets haven't priced in yet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.020896436657039275, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.020896436657039275, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.023520089863295623, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.023520089863295623, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002623653206256349, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002623653206256349, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04977876985073737, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04977876985073737, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06373241523785755, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06373241523785755, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013953645387120184, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013953645387120184, "ret_p1w": 0.2159318987542997, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2159318987542997, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.23952516134132978, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.23952516134132978, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023593262587030095, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023593262587030095, "ret_p1m": 0.38630465420101834, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.38630465420101834, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.33999867142136553, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.33999867142136553, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04630598277965281, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04630598277965281, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3806, -0.3396, -0.3007, -0.2946, -0.2934, -0.2934, -0.3078, -0.3219, -0.3319, -0.3418, -0.3418, -0.2994, -0.3433, -0.2982, -0.3085, -0.3728, -0.3615, -0.3517, -0.3242, -0.3468, -0.3126, -0.3264, -0.3264, -0.3109, -0.3003, -0.3117, -0.3323, -0.3328, -0.2821, -0.2454, -0.2709, -0.2624, -0.2331, -0.2416, -0.2792, -0.2613, -0.1757, -0.1416, -0.1782, -0.1786, -0.1972, -0.186, -0.186, -0.1697, -0.1649, -0.126, -0.0679, -0.0426, -0.02, 0.0272, -0.0483, 0.0498, 0.193, 0.1055, 0.1123, 0.0738, -0.0239, 0.0873, 0.1442, 0.1443, 0.0464, 0.0179, 0.0209, 0.0, 0.0498, 0.143, 0.0364, 0.0905, 0.2159, 0.2131, 0.0695, 0.0785, -0.032, 0.0185, 0.0639, 0.1607, 0.1607, 0.1431, 0.1929, 0.3208, 0.3283, 0.4253, 0.437, 0.4117, 0.3863, 0.4685, 0.5016, 0.5213, 0.4556, 0.4704, 0.413, 0.5109, 0.4224, 0.3301, 0.4048, 0.4901, 0.5854, 0.571, 0.5773, 0.5705, 0.4375, 0.4308, 0.6517, 0.6248, 0.8013, 0.7602, 0.6748, 0.5615, 0.5373, 0.5084, 0.6193, 0.6259, 0.6259, 0.5931, 0.5982, 0.538, 0.4825, 0.4825, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028530994148766102", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-02T18:00:51+00:00", "symbol": "Zhongji Innolight", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Innolight and Eoptolink i think they're top tier longs for photonics segment", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Innolight and Eoptolink are top-tier longs in photonics/transceiver boom; author prefers AXTI (monopoly) and AAOI as Western alternatives with market premium.", "resolved_tickers": ["300308.SZ"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Zhongji Innolight listed on Shenzhen as 300308.SZ", "bench_c": "MCHI", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='SZ')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thanks! I love interacting with the Chinese community.\n\nAs for Innolight and Eoptolink i think they’re top tier longs for photonics segment. Especially with the transceiver boom now. But if they’re not monopolies like $AXTI, I personally just prefer to invest in Western supply chain alternatives like $AAOI instead.\n\nThe market usually assigns a premium to “Made in America” stocks, even if they don’t have as much revenue/profitability.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I’m a big fan of yours from China. I’m currently trading Zhongji Innolight and Eoptolink, and I believe both stocks are still undervalued. I’d really appreciate it if you could share your views on these two companies.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "edwangzh", "ret_m1d": -0.0641102764568855, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0641102764568855, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06354202077267912, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07351043143100378, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00940015497411828, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011882729254702573, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011882729254702573, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0030683907719069037, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015633880587034077, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02751660984173665, "ret_p1w": -0.07814854627118895, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07814854627118895, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06633296534767408, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06379202299850328, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014356523272685662, "ret_p1m": -0.0020505855365766656, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0020505855365766656, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.047869156038607086, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.037771634309564095, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03982221984614076, "ret_p3m": 1.1020850386293386, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.1020850386293386, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.9996916594634306, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.162245639279552, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": -0.060160600650213225, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0821, -0.0615, -0.0588, -0.001, 0.0621, 0.0796, 0.0284, 0.02, 0.0005, -0.0329, 0.034, 0.0011, 0.002, 0.0822, 0.0884, 0.1119, 0.1213, 0.0989, 0.0831, 0.1076, 0.0691, 0.0691, 0.0691, 0.0928, 0.0608, 0.0859, 0.0436, 0.0221, 0.0375, 0.0266, 0.0393, 0.0954, 0.0814, 0.0612, 0.0253, 0.0198, 0.0884, 0.0253, 0.0337, 0.0789, 0.1006, 0.0758, 0.1374, 0.0358, 0.0335, -0.0185, -0.0151, -0.0536, -0.008, -0.0261, -0.0678, -0.0756, -0.0694, -0.0694, -0.0694, -0.0694, -0.0694, -0.0694, -0.0694, -0.0291, -0.0079, 0.0029, -0.0641, 0.0, -0.0119, -0.0553, -0.0238, -0.044, -0.0781, -0.0413, -0.0279, -0.0627, -0.0501, -0.0156, -0.0483, 0.0165, 0.0081, 0.0726, 0.0509, 0.0572, 0.1013, 0.0764, 0.0481, 0.0324, -0.0021, 0.0548, 0.02, 0.063, 0.063, 0.0858, 0.206, 0.2146, 0.2875, 0.2934, 0.3548, 0.367, 0.4189, 0.4915, 0.4897, 0.5158, 0.5539, 0.5721, 0.5545, 0.502, 0.4459, 0.4827, 0.5046, 0.5046, 0.5046, 0.5046, 0.502, 0.5397, 0.5546, 0.6496, 0.7862, 0.841, 0.8915, 0.8422, 0.8336, 0.8073, 0.8196, 0.743, 0.8213, 0.9179, 0.9354, 0.9501, 1.1021, 1.0375, 1.027, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028530994148766102", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-02T18:00:51+00:00", "symbol": "Eoptolink", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Innolight and Eoptolink i think they're top tier longs for photonics segment", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Innolight and Eoptolink are top-tier longs in photonics/transceiver boom; author prefers AXTI (monopoly) and AAOI as Western alternatives with market premium.", "resolved_tickers": ["300502.SZ"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Eoptolink Technology listed on Shenzhen as 300502.SZ", "bench_c": "MCHI", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='SZ')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thanks! I love interacting with the Chinese community.\n\nAs for Innolight and Eoptolink i think they’re top tier longs for photonics segment. Especially with the transceiver boom now. But if they’re not monopolies like $AXTI, I personally just prefer to invest in Western supply chain alternatives like $AAOI instead.\n\nThe market usually assigns a premium to “Made in America” stocks, even if they don’t have as much revenue/profitability.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I’m a big fan of yours from China. I’m currently trading Zhongji Innolight and Eoptolink, and I believe both stocks are still undervalued. I’d really appreciate it if you could share your views on these two companies.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "edwangzh", "ret_m1d": -0.055485602751804475, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.055485602751804475, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0549173470675981, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06488575772592275, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00940015497411828, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.003149638338664662, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.003149638338664662, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011963976821460331, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030666248180401312, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02751660984173665, "ret_p1w": 0.007874015748031482, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.007874015748031482, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01968959667154635, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.022230539020717144, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014356523272685662, "ret_p1m": 0.16230970167425363, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.16230970167425363, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.21222944324943738, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2021319215203944, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03982221984614076, "ret_p3m": 0.8854068946337763, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.8854068946337763, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.7830135154678683, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.9455674952839895, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": -0.060160600650213225, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0207, -0.0177, -0.0092, 0.0617, 0.1001, 0.1345, 0.0932, 0.1234, 0.1202, 0.0688, 0.1709, 0.1168, 0.1399, 0.2152, 0.2021, 0.1903, 0.1758, 0.1688, 0.1667, 0.1706, 0.1309, 0.1309, 0.1309, 0.1198, 0.0959, 0.1031, 0.077, 0.0452, 0.0272, 0.0058, 0.0078, 0.0499, 0.0425, 0.0582, 0.0041, 0.0362, 0.0753, 0.0053, 0.02, 0.0479, 0.0316, 0.0315, 0.101, 0.1522, 0.1262, 0.0478, 0.0052, -0.0445, 0.024, 0.0318, -0.0245, -0.04, -0.0391, -0.0391, -0.0391, -0.0391, -0.0391, -0.0391, -0.0391, -0.0235, 0.0026, 0.0129, -0.0555, 0.0, 0.0031, -0.0305, 0.0531, 0.0551, 0.0079, 0.0429, 0.0321, -0.0059, 0.0342, 0.0846, 0.0219, 0.131, 0.1559, 0.2521, 0.2085, 0.2283, 0.2499, 0.1995, 0.1743, 0.2031, 0.1623, 0.2089, 0.1745, 0.195, 0.195, 0.2039, 0.3163, 0.2861, 0.3714, 0.3457, 0.3648, 0.3044, 0.4108, 0.5459, 0.5302, 0.5184, 0.6344, 0.5965, 0.4102, 0.4121, 0.4054, 0.4094, 0.38, 0.38, 0.38, 0.38, 0.3713, 0.479, 0.448, 0.4795, 0.5552, 0.6509, 0.6218, 0.6012, 0.5746, 0.5026, 0.5432, 0.4856, 0.5926, 0.7297, 0.8373, 0.8241, 0.8854, 0.8542, 0.8198, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028530994148766102", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-02T18:00:51+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if they're not monopolies like $AXTI", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Innolight and Eoptolink are top-tier longs in photonics/transceiver boom; author prefers AXTI (monopoly) and AAOI as Western alternatives with market premium.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thanks! I love interacting with the Chinese community.\n\nAs for Innolight and Eoptolink i think they’re top tier longs for photonics segment. Especially with the transceiver boom now. But if they’re not monopolies like $AXTI, I personally just prefer to invest in Western supply chain alternatives like $AAOI instead.\n\nThe market usually assigns a premium to “Made in America” stocks, even if they don’t have as much revenue/profitability.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I’m a big fan of yours from China. I’m currently trading Zhongji Innolight and Eoptolink, and I believe both stocks are still undervalued. I’d really appreciate it if you could share your views on these two companies.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "edwangzh", "ret_m1d": -0.18177889085535037, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.18177889085535037, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.181210635171144, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.18172962898737033, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -4.926186798004384e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09844562615142993, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09844562615142993, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08963128766863426, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0607232005571261, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03772242559430383, "ret_p1w": -0.16753018939247322, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.16753018939247322, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.15571460846895835, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.13795264295189846, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.029577546440574753, "ret_p1m": 0.2301381674793761, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2301381674793761, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.28005790905455985, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.286709490403837, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.056571322924460876, "ret_p3m": 1.4978410559266577, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.4978410559266577, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.3954476767607498, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.021845102608886, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.4759959533177718, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7522, -0.7388, -0.75, -0.7256, -0.677, -0.6652, -0.6464, -0.6803, -0.6798, -0.7193, -0.7332, -0.6975, -0.6837, -0.6714, -0.6839, -0.6759, -0.6759, -0.6682, -0.685, -0.6589, -0.647, -0.647, -0.6382, -0.6401, -0.5646, -0.4795, -0.4424, -0.5037, -0.5199, -0.5356, -0.5229, -0.4447, -0.5231, -0.5231, -0.5378, -0.573, -0.6131, -0.6244, -0.6157, -0.6287, -0.6367, -0.6464, -0.5997, -0.5479, -0.5738, -0.5952, -0.5589, -0.4806, -0.4005, -0.4743, -0.4214, -0.4648, -0.4767, -0.4767, -0.4989, -0.4918, -0.486, -0.3592, -0.3862, -0.2427, -0.1155, -0.1986, -0.1818, 0.0, -0.0984, -0.1552, -0.1623, -0.3012, -0.1675, -0.0436, 0.0225, 0.0089, 0.0548, 0.0447, -0.0423, 0.0527, 0.2541, 0.171, 0.3912, 0.4775, 0.454, 0.2632, 0.3089, 0.1384, 0.2301, 0.0177, 0.1408, 0.1408, -0.0935, -0.0186, 0.1481, 0.3627, 0.3856, 0.4346, 0.4529, 0.3586, 0.7655, 0.7824, 0.7003, 0.6185, 0.8769, 0.625, 0.6442, 0.5145, 0.4834, 0.5343, 0.7103, 1.0725, 1.2884, 1.3219, 1.2632, 1.3407, 1.5121, 1.7161, 1.6533, 1.6326, 1.4823, 1.6723, 1.2858, 1.437, 1.2584, 1.6127, 2.0404, 2.0404, 1.8627, 1.6505, 1.4978, 1.2271, 1.2271, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028530994148766102", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-03-02T18:00:51+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I personally just prefer to invest in Western supply chain alternatives like $AAOI instead", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Innolight and Eoptolink are top-tier longs in photonics/transceiver boom; author prefers AXTI (monopoly) and AAOI as Western alternatives with market premium.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thanks! I love interacting with the Chinese community.\n\nAs for Innolight and Eoptolink i think they’re top tier longs for photonics segment. Especially with the transceiver boom now. But if they’re not monopolies like $AXTI, I personally just prefer to invest in Western supply chain alternatives like $AAOI instead.\n\nThe market usually assigns a premium to “Made in America” stocks, even if they don’t have as much revenue/profitability.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I’m a big fan of yours from China. I’m currently trading Zhongji Innolight and Eoptolink, and I believe both stocks are still undervalued. I’d really appreciate it if you could share your views on these two companies.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "edwangzh", "ret_m1d": -0.17832405032051124, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.17832405032051124, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.17775579463630486, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.17775579463630486, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06994445077477685, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06994445077477685, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.061130112291981176, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.061130112291981176, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "ret_p1w": 0.07911423706316767, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07911423706316767, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09092981798668254, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09092981798668254, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "ret_p1m": -0.17481226636328706, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17481226636328706, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12489252478810331, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12489252478810331, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "ret_p3m": 0.6488147570989427, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6488147570989427, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5464213779330347, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5464213779330347, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7498, -0.744, -0.7406, -0.7284, -0.7036, -0.6588, -0.6457, -0.6873, -0.7083, -0.7175, -0.7352, -0.7147, -0.6945, -0.6186, -0.6036, -0.6, -0.6, -0.6374, -0.6415, -0.6486, -0.6599, -0.6599, -0.6137, -0.6587, -0.6234, -0.6288, -0.678, -0.6679, -0.6711, -0.6666, -0.6637, -0.6391, -0.6387, -0.6387, -0.617, -0.6256, -0.6278, -0.6515, -0.6596, -0.6353, -0.5588, -0.614, -0.5746, -0.5692, -0.5501, -0.6108, -0.628, -0.5678, -0.5326, -0.527, -0.5279, -0.5709, -0.5663, -0.5663, -0.5717, -0.5762, -0.5417, -0.4959, -0.4736, -0.4511, -0.433, -0.4762, -0.1783, 0.0, -0.0699, -0.0273, -0.0134, -0.0676, 0.0791, 0.1754, 0.239, 0.0359, -0.0556, -0.0823, -0.1578, -0.0964, -0.0058, -0.146, -0.0658, 0.1111, 0.1161, -0.0497, -0.0419, -0.169, -0.1748, -0.1576, 0.0137, 0.0137, 0.0482, 0.1476, 0.2945, 0.3004, 0.4691, 0.4944, 0.4281, 0.3906, 0.5347, 0.5552, 0.5947, 0.4688, 0.4576, 0.3436, 0.582, 0.4221, 0.339, 0.4909, 0.6034, 0.7902, 0.6874, 0.7615, 0.7417, 0.5369, 0.4529, 0.8037, 0.8367, 1.1764, 0.9859, 0.857, 0.6902, 0.6713, 0.6121, 0.7248, 0.7705, 0.7705, 0.7327, 0.7543, 0.6488, 0.5453, 0.5453, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2031177724015063487", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-10T01:18:01+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$HIMS main valuation I see is derived from their unique global retail DTC distribution network that they now have with their 3 recent acquisitions. This unlocks a lot of latent revenue stream + monetization", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish HIMS: global DTC distribution network from 3 acquisitions unlocks latent revenue streams, similar to HOOD's scaling of financial retail.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yes there's a lot of bear/bull case discussion around individual products $HIMS sells.\n\nI think analysts/markets are approaching it wrong:\n\n$HIMS main valuation I see is derived from their unique global retail DTC distribution network that they now have with their 3 recent acquisitions.  \n \nThis unlocks a lot of latent revenue stream + monetization, like what $HOOD did for the financial industry to scale.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "THE $HIMS BULL CASE 🔥", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "himshouse", "ret_m1d": -0.05581591411453468, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05581591411453468, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0574256280344525, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0574256280344525, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0016097139199178212, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0016097139199178212, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10268427430420979, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10268427430420979, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10393943723272692, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10393943723272692, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012551629285171284, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012551629285171284, "ret_p1w": 0.06433746370084648, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06433746370084648, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0737736896659631, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0737736896659631, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009436225965116618, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009436225965116618, "ret_p1m": -0.17383894516709786, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17383894516709786, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.17483752633048955, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.17483752633048955, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0009985811633916875, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0009985811633916875, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.6093, 0.5854, 0.5445, 0.5705, 0.49, 0.4815, 0.5151, 0.4934, 0.4827, 0.4772, 0.4772, 0.4619, 0.4529, 0.4078, 0.3835, 0.3835, 0.4235, 0.4789, 0.5109, 0.5109, 0.4431, 0.3502, 0.3779, 0.372, 0.3345, 0.3306, 0.337, 0.337, 0.2983, 0.2309, 0.3004, 0.262, 0.2902, 0.2646, 0.2216, 0.2727, 0.1542, 0.1265, 0.0882, 0.0396, 0.0004, -0.0192, -0.1764, -0.2654, -0.2889, -0.3268, -0.3055, -0.3055, -0.3068, -0.3251, -0.3259, -0.334, -0.3392, -0.3413, -0.3259, -0.3353, -0.3813, -0.2978, -0.3259, -0.2991, -0.3234, -0.3294, -0.0558, 0.0, 0.1027, 0.0158, 0.0554, 0.0601, 0.0643, -0.0136, 0.0294, -0.0618, -0.043, -0.0908, -0.1121, -0.1112, -0.1743, -0.1998, -0.1155, -0.1547, -0.1845, -0.1845, -0.1338, -0.1692, -0.1738, -0.1585, -0.1721, -0.0988, -0.0899, 0.0349, 0.15, 0.228, 0.3213, 0.268, 0.236, 0.1994, 0.3021, 0.2522, 0.1892, 0.1219, 0.1576, 0.1679, 0.1619, 0.1219, 0.1453, 0.0929, 0.2045, 0.2416, 0.0665, 0.0285, 0.0328, 0.0673, -0.0503, -0.0439, -0.0183, 0.023, 0.0119, 0.0119, 0.0162, 0.0737, 0.0814, 0.1142, 0.1142, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2033885603423785170", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-17T12:38:10+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Ride the current pluggable bottleneck like $AAOI", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Play current pluggable bottleneck via AAOI; front-run CPO cycle rotation into SOI, SIVE, AEHR ahead of institutional capital.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The upcoming CPO / Silicon Photonics Bottleneck Cheat Sheet:\n\n$SIVE, Sumitomo, $LITE, $COHR, $AVGO, $MTSI, $AAOI - Light Source (CW DFB Lasers)\n$TSEM, $GFS, $UMC, $TSM, $INTC - SiPh foundry\n$NOK, $CIEN, $CSCO, $COHR - DCO  \n$HIMX, FOCI (3363.TWO) - Micro-lens + Fiber Arrays\n$POET - Optical Interposers\n$SOI, $AXTI, Shin-Etsu  - Substrates\n$FN, $ASX, Innolight, Eoptolink -  Optical Packaging and Assembly\n$MTSI, $SMTC, $MRVL, $MXL - Analog/Mixed-Signal ICs\n$LWLG - Speculative Modulator Materials. \n$GLW, $APH, $TEL, $FIT, Fujikura - Connectors and Fibers\n$FORM, $KEYS, $VIAV, $AEHR- Test & Measurement\n$BESI, $SMHN, $ONTO, $CAMT - Advanced Packaging & Hybrid Bonding\n\nMany are private companies from Lightmatter, Ayar, Ranovus and others. \n\nNow... Everyone is asking... How do you profit? \n\nIf you look at the forecast for CPO TAM, it's a straight line up, and next year is inflection point for CPO mass deployment. \n\nThe alpha is capturing the rotation:\n\nFrom the current EML bottlenecks ( $LITE, $COHR type) to SiPh / CW DFB architectural winners for CPO.\n\nHighest upside potential are the ones that aren't included in current cycles.\n\nBut that are in the next. \n\nCompanies like $SOI, $SIVE, or $AEHR are perfect examples. \n \nRide the current pluggable bottleneck like $AAOI. \n\nBut the alpha is frontrunning institutions with the next CPO bottleneck. \n\nThe capital rotation is inevitable.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.08965594462648663, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08965594462648663, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.09227959783274298, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.09227959783274298, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002623653206256349, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002623653206256349, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07297573599838669, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07297573599838669, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08692938138550688, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08692938138550688, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013953645387120184, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013953645387120184, "ret_p1w": 0.3193559493810496, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.3193559493810496, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.3429492119680797, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.3429492119680797, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023593262587030095, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023593262587030095, "ret_p1m": 0.6512220552331742, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6512220552331742, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6049160724535214, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.6049160724535214, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04630598277965281, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04630598277965281, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6612, -0.6372, -0.5471, -0.5292, -0.5251, -0.5251, -0.5694, -0.5743, -0.5828, -0.5962, -0.5962, -0.5413, -0.5947, -0.5528, -0.5592, -0.6176, -0.6057, -0.6094, -0.6041, -0.6007, -0.5714, -0.5709, -0.5709, -0.5452, -0.5554, -0.5581, -0.5862, -0.5959, -0.5669, -0.4761, -0.5416, -0.4948, -0.4885, -0.4658, -0.5378, -0.5583, -0.4869, -0.445, -0.4383, -0.4394, -0.4904, -0.485, -0.485, -0.4914, -0.4968, -0.4558, -0.4014, -0.375, -0.3482, -0.3268, -0.3781, -0.0243, 0.1874, 0.1044, 0.155, 0.1716, 0.1071, 0.2814, 0.3957, 0.4712, 0.23, 0.1214, 0.0897, 0.0, 0.073, 0.1806, 0.014, 0.1092, 0.3194, 0.3253, 0.1285, 0.1376, -0.0132, -0.0202, 0.0002, 0.2036, 0.2036, 0.2446, 0.3627, 0.5371, 0.5441, 0.7445, 0.7745, 0.6957, 0.6512, 0.8223, 0.8466, 0.8935, 0.7441, 0.7308, 0.5954, 0.8785, 0.6886, 0.5899, 0.7703, 0.9039, 1.1257, 1.0037, 1.0916, 1.0681, 0.825, 0.7252, 1.1418, 1.1809, 1.5843, 1.358, 1.205, 1.0069, 0.9846, 0.9143, 1.0481, 1.1023, 1.1023, 1.0575, 1.0831, 0.9578, 0.8349, 0.8349, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2033885603423785170", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-03-17T12:38:10+00:00", "symbol": "AEHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Companies like $SOI, $SIVE, or $AEHR are perfect examples", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Play current pluggable bottleneck via AAOI; front-run CPO cycle rotation into SOI, SIVE, AEHR ahead of institutional capital.", "resolved_tickers": ["AEHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The upcoming CPO / Silicon Photonics Bottleneck Cheat Sheet:\n\n$SIVE, Sumitomo, $LITE, $COHR, $AVGO, $MTSI, $AAOI - Light Source (CW DFB Lasers)\n$TSEM, $GFS, $UMC, $TSM, $INTC - SiPh foundry\n$NOK, $CIEN, $CSCO, $COHR - DCO  \n$HIMX, FOCI (3363.TWO) - Micro-lens + Fiber Arrays\n$POET - Optical Interposers\n$SOI, $AXTI, Shin-Etsu  - Substrates\n$FN, $ASX, Innolight, Eoptolink -  Optical Packaging and Assembly\n$MTSI, $SMTC, $MRVL, $MXL - Analog/Mixed-Signal ICs\n$LWLG - Speculative Modulator Materials. \n$GLW, $APH, $TEL, $FIT, Fujikura - Connectors and Fibers\n$FORM, $KEYS, $VIAV, $AEHR- Test & Measurement\n$BESI, $SMHN, $ONTO, $CAMT - Advanced Packaging & Hybrid Bonding\n\nMany are private companies from Lightmatter, Ayar, Ranovus and others. \n\nNow... Everyone is asking... How do you profit? \n\nIf you look at the forecast for CPO TAM, it's a straight line up, and next year is inflection point for CPO mass deployment. \n\nThe alpha is capturing the rotation:\n\nFrom the current EML bottlenecks ( $LITE, $COHR type) to SiPh / CW DFB architectural winners for CPO.\n\nHighest upside potential are the ones that aren't included in current cycles.\n\nBut that are in the next. \n\nCompanies like $SOI, $SIVE, or $AEHR are perfect examples. \n \nRide the current pluggable bottleneck like $AAOI. \n\nBut the alpha is frontrunning institutions with the next CPO bottleneck. \n\nThe capital rotation is inevitable.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.010514947102830519, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.010514947102830519, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.013138600309086867, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01797309923612367, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002623653206256349, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00745815213329315, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.021029894205661037, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.021029894205661037, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007076248818540853, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012941828756191098, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.013953645387120184, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008088065449469939, "ret_p1w": 0.056618993407433926, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.056618993407433926, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08021225599446402, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06238902091385379, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.023593262587030095, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005770027506419861, "ret_p1m": 0.9741170374623016, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.9741170374623016, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.9278110546826488, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.8327141085499263, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04630598277965281, "bench_c_p1m": 0.14140292891237527, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4211, -0.412, -0.3904, -0.3861, -0.405, -0.405, -0.4214, -0.4511, -0.4516, -0.4556, -0.4556, -0.4025, -0.3667, -0.3332, -0.3481, -0.388, -0.2904, -0.2896, -0.2772, -0.2998, -0.2847, -0.2232, -0.2232, -0.2165, -0.2127, -0.1666, -0.244, -0.278, -0.2518, -0.2456, -0.2753, -0.3087, -0.2974, -0.2669, -0.3575, -0.3799, -0.2885, -0.2561, -0.2766, -0.0874, -0.248, -0.2224, -0.2224, -0.2319, -0.2178, -0.1839, -0.0941, -0.0747, 0.0577, 0.1184, 0.0731, 0.0092, 0.1871, 0.1227, 0.1502, 0.0917, -0.0399, 0.1022, 0.1313, 0.1445, 0.0151, -0.0383, 0.0105, 0.0, -0.021, 0.0181, -0.0693, 0.0016, 0.0566, 0.0523, -0.0679, -0.1232, -0.1879, -0.0003, 0.0677, 0.1949, 0.1949, 0.4063, 0.3548, 0.7029, 0.8566, 0.8989, 0.9321, 1.0054, 0.9741, 1.1798, 1.261, 1.4306, 1.5268, 1.625, 1.5751, 1.5859, 1.3855, 1.2224, 1.2057, 1.4416, 1.5093, 1.3082, 1.4586, 1.608, 1.4605, 1.6215, 1.8191, 1.6077, 1.7838, 1.8671, 1.6827, 1.2532, 1.1877, 1.22, 1.4616, 1.5619, 1.5619, 1.9636, 1.7991, 1.6959, 1.4894, 1.4894, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2032203377938219108", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-12T21:13:36+00:00", "symbol": "RDDT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "when everyone capitulates it randomly goes to $200+", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Expects RDDT to consolidate around $120-150 then rally to $200+ on capitulation.", "resolved_tickers": ["RDDT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@jpainefrommaine Yeah basically. I would not be surprised if $RDDT just sat around $120-$150 for another month, then when everyone capitulates it randomly goes to $200+", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit “The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent” 🤣 I’m riding it down too.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jpainefrommaine", "ret_m1d": 0.03682415967627595, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03682415967627595, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.021405072760483757, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.021815935241261464, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01541908691579219, "bench_c_m1d": 0.015008224435014483, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0008317626491611829, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0008317626491611829, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006491872150167555, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.007945485606845049, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005660109501006372, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007113722957683866, "ret_p1w": 0.04438559634924388, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04438559634924388, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05378410347112794, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06286393278304947, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009398507121884059, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018478336433805587, "ret_p1m": 0.05655951400785675, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05655951400785675, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03365517830278275, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06485632325375112, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022904335705073997, "bench_c_p1m": -0.008296809245894377, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.6522, 0.6938, 0.719, 0.7493, 0.7633, 0.7629, 0.7075, 0.7078, 0.7078, 0.7071, 0.7743, 0.7645, 0.7381, 0.7381, 0.829, 0.8454, 0.9192, 0.9319, 0.9202, 0.8492, 0.8451, 0.9579, 0.9084, 0.7297, 0.7468, 0.7468, 0.704, 0.5889, 0.6222, 0.655, 0.6153, 0.4843, 0.4604, 0.4371, 0.3631, 0.3395, 0.2507, 0.1546, 0.1422, 0.0573, 0.0718, 0.1341, 0.0532, -0.0089, 0.056, 0.056, 0.0528, 0.115, 0.105, 0.1355, 0.0772, 0.0743, 0.1317, 0.1437, 0.1025, 0.1124, 0.1016, 0.1137, 0.0914, 0.054, 0.05, 0.0142, 0.0368, 0.0, 0.0008, 0.0586, 0.0913, 0.0797, 0.0444, 0.0575, 0.0659, 0.0293, 0.0558, -0.0377, -0.0787, -0.0614, 0.0181, 0.0297, 0.0284, 0.0284, 0.046, 0.0672, 0.0964, 0.0464, 0.0566, 0.1293, 0.1685, 0.1983, 0.2284, 0.2386, 0.2573, 0.1858, 0.2424, 0.1566, 0.1712, 0.2114, 0.1186, 0.1172, 0.1133, 0.2588, 0.2784, 0.2978, 0.2594, 0.2397, 0.1781, 0.2061, 0.152, 0.1654, 0.1819, 0.196, 0.2031, 0.1711, 0.1094, 0.1345, 0.0712, 0.0712, 0.0937, 0.1659, 0.268, 0.3308, 0.3308, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2018369023738802437", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-02T17:00:49+00:00", "symbol": "SNDK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Even after a 16% increase, the forward 2027 p/e is still single digits. That's how profitable the memory supercycle is", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish memory sector: AI demand + price hikes seen as new structural norm driving supercycle profitability across SNDK, MU, Hynix, and Samsung.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNDK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SNDK - Even after a 16% increase, the forward 2027 p/e is still single digits.\n\nThat’s how profitable the memory supercycle is with $MU, SK Hynix, Samsung, and others\n\nThe AI demand + price hikes looks like the new structural norm. https://t.co/6RG14zqEpr", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Memory Company Overview (February 2nd).\n\nForward P/E Estimates for 2026/2027: \n\nMicron ( $MU ) +31.5% YTD:\n~10.4x (2026)\n\nSandisk ( $SNDK ) | +109.36% YTD:\n~14.6x (2026)\n~6.3x (2027)\n\nSamsung Electronics | + 17.04% YTD:\n~5.1x (2026)\n~4.3x (2027)\n\nSK Hynix | +22.6% YTD:\n~4.3x https://t.co/AkOMpfj8Zr", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.13377125780280041, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.13377125780280041, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1288244878566457, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1288244878566457, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946769946154728, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004946769946154728, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04550240511035031, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04550240511035031, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0539578015410509, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0539578015410509, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00845539643070059, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00845539643070059, "ret_p1w": -0.12302322022384571, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12302322022384571, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.12092378247360513, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12092378247360513, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0020994377502405737, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0020994377502405737, "ret_p1m": -0.1500661694355927, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1500661694355927, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12838119088409294, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12838119088409294, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684978551499756, "bench_c_p1m": -0.021684978551499756, "ret_p3m": 0.6482923844961672, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6482923844961672, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.6120365774891936, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.6120365774891936, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03625580700697362, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03625580700697362, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6746, -0.6878, -0.64, -0.5972, -0.5918, -0.5744, -0.6339, -0.6179, -0.6003, -0.6318, -0.6303, -0.7054, -0.699, -0.6588, -0.6685, -0.6767, -0.6767, -0.6644, -0.6841, -0.6913, -0.7078, -0.6793, -0.6566, -0.6611, -0.6701, -0.65, -0.6368, -0.6901, -0.6965, -0.6854, -0.6891, -0.6701, -0.6428, -0.6376, -0.6319, -0.6241, -0.6241, -0.6241, -0.6328, -0.6389, -0.6432, -0.6432, -0.5863, -0.588, -0.4744, -0.4685, -0.4971, -0.4327, -0.4148, -0.414, -0.417, -0.3848, -0.3782, -0.3782, -0.3189, -0.2465, -0.2432, -0.2877, -0.2923, -0.2763, -0.2069, -0.1893, -0.1338, 0.0, 0.0455, -0.1213, -0.1338, -0.1012, -0.123, -0.1858, -0.0991, -0.0525, -0.0581, -0.0581, -0.1122, -0.0975, -0.0664, -0.023, 0.0019, -0.0402, -0.0494, -0.0201, -0.0449, -0.0694, -0.1501, -0.0995, -0.1498, -0.2073, -0.115, -0.0697, -0.0147, -0.0698, -0.0054, 0.0577, 0.0826, 0.133, 0.1606, 0.0668, 0.056, 0.056, 0.019, -0.0933, -0.0743, -0.1394, -0.0449, 0.0413, 0.0546, 0.0546, 0.0893, 0.0685, 0.1739, 0.2801, 0.2804, 0.4318, 0.4197, 0.3404, 0.3822, 0.3844, 0.3725, 0.3581, 0.4718, 0.4016, 0.488, 0.6087, 0.5067, 0.5997, 0.6483, 0.7843, 0.8878, 1.114, 1.1195, 1.0143, 1.3485, 1.3263, 1.1827, 1.1755, 1.0785, 1.1159, 1.0038, 1.0794, 1.0933, 1.3183, 1.2228, 1.2228, 1.3894, 1.39, 1.4677, 1.5479, 1.5479, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2018369023738802437", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-02T17:00:49+00:00", "symbol": "MU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "That's how profitable the memory supercycle is with $MU, SK Hynix, Samsung, and others", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish memory sector: AI demand + price hikes seen as new structural norm driving supercycle profitability across SNDK, MU, Hynix, and Samsung.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SNDK - Even after a 16% increase, the forward 2027 p/e is still single digits.\n\nThat’s how profitable the memory supercycle is with $MU, SK Hynix, Samsung, and others\n\nThe AI demand + price hikes looks like the new structural norm. https://t.co/6RG14zqEpr", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Memory Company Overview (February 2nd).\n\nForward P/E Estimates for 2026/2027: \n\nMicron ( $MU ) +31.5% YTD:\n~10.4x (2026)\n\nSandisk ( $SNDK ) | +109.36% YTD:\n~14.6x (2026)\n~6.3x (2027)\n\nSamsung Electronics | + 17.04% YTD:\n~5.1x (2026)\n~4.3x (2027)\n\nSK Hynix | +22.6% YTD:\n~4.3x https://t.co/AkOMpfj8Zr", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05235266083794998, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05235266083794998, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.047405890891795255, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.041297902517165586, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946769946154728, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011054758320784397, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04193689928580624, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04193689928580624, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03348150285510565, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016714435589620935, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00845539643070059, "bench_c_p1d": -0.025222463696185304, "ret_p1w": -0.12402922326843191, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12402922326843191, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.12192978551819134, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12079367330086299, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0020994377502405737, "bench_c_p1w": -0.003235549967568918, "ret_p1m": -0.13275465511876516, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.13275465511876516, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11106967656726541, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09130552010513115, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684978551499756, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04144913501363401, "ret_p3m": 0.1817661968369726, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1817661968369726, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.14551038982999898, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.060285914113651806, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03625580700697362, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2420521109506244, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4577, -0.4558, -0.4568, -0.4217, -0.4495, -0.4408, -0.459, -0.4364, -0.4476, -0.4783, -0.4842, -0.5402, -0.5265, -0.4887, -0.4873, -0.4743, -0.4743, -0.4601, -0.451, -0.4532, -0.4654, -0.4825, -0.4584, -0.4362, -0.4237, -0.3979, -0.4099, -0.4494, -0.4577, -0.4691, -0.4851, -0.4325, -0.3928, -0.3685, -0.3692, -0.3454, -0.3454, -0.3498, -0.3276, -0.3316, -0.3481, -0.3481, -0.2795, -0.287, -0.2156, -0.2244, -0.253, -0.2118, -0.21, -0.2277, -0.2386, -0.2311, -0.1714, -0.1714, -0.1663, -0.1112, -0.0919, -0.0871, -0.1113, -0.063, -0.0058, -0.0046, -0.0524, 0.0, -0.0419, -0.1334, -0.1254, -0.0985, -0.124, -0.1474, -0.0627, -0.0544, -0.0597, -0.0597, -0.0868, -0.0385, -0.0467, -0.022, -0.0384, -0.0452, -0.0201, -0.0508, -0.0581, -0.0574, -0.1328, -0.0846, -0.0931, -0.1542, -0.1107, -0.0792, -0.0437, -0.0741, -0.0267, 0.0091, 0.0546, 0.0547, 0.0148, -0.034, -0.0764, -0.0966, -0.1272, -0.1881, -0.1841, -0.2647, -0.228, -0.1594, -0.1631, -0.1631, -0.1368, -0.1372, -0.0706, -0.0368, -0.0389, -0.0253, 0.0641, 0.0425, 0.0448, 0.0399, 0.0247, 0.0269, 0.1139, 0.1008, 0.1351, 0.1987, 0.1524, 0.1847, 0.1818, 0.239, 0.3173, 0.4629, 0.5232, 0.4776, 0.7065, 0.8174, 0.7517, 0.8364, 0.7733, 0.6559, 0.5574, 0.5967, 0.6727, 0.7415, 0.7161, 0.7161, 1.0472, 1.1215, 1.1103, 1.2188, 1.2188, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2018369023738802437", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-02T17:00:49+00:00", "symbol": "SK Hynix", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "That's how profitable the memory supercycle is with $MU, SK Hynix, Samsung, and others", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish memory sector: AI demand + price hikes seen as new structural norm driving supercycle profitability across SNDK, MU, Hynix, and Samsung.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "SK Hynix listed on KOSPI as 000660.KS", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SNDK - Even after a 16% increase, the forward 2027 p/e is still single digits.\n\nThat’s how profitable the memory supercycle is with $MU, SK Hynix, Samsung, and others\n\nThe AI demand + price hikes looks like the new structural norm. https://t.co/6RG14zqEpr", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Memory Company Overview (February 2nd).\n\nForward P/E Estimates for 2026/2027: \n\nMicron ( $MU ) +31.5% YTD:\n~10.4x (2026)\n\nSandisk ( $SNDK ) | +109.36% YTD:\n~14.6x (2026)\n~6.3x (2027)\n\nSamsung Electronics | + 17.04% YTD:\n~5.1x (2026)\n~4.3x (2027)\n\nSK Hynix | +22.6% YTD:\n~4.3x https://t.co/AkOMpfj8Zr", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.09518072598240268, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.09518072598240268, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.10012749592855741, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08294221317996575, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946769946154728, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01223851280243693, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09277114179054258, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09277114179054258, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10122653822124317, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06473840069161318, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00845539643070059, "bench_c_p1d": 0.028032741098929392, "ret_p1w": 0.06867469624978617, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06867469624978617, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07077413400002674, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02633613068572993, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0020994377502405737, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04233856556405624, "ret_p1m": 0.13341287061268559, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13341287061268559, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15509784916418534, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03906079913397176, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684978551499756, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09435207147871383, "ret_p3m": 0.5522566263376645, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5522566263376645, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5160008193306909, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.22289258018578972, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03625580700697362, "bench_c_p3m": 0.32936404615187476, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3029, -0.2861, -0.3017, -0.2704, -0.2548, -0.2572, -0.2632, -0.3258, -0.2704, -0.3137, -0.3234, -0.3125, -0.3727, -0.3739, -0.3751, -0.3691, -0.3446, -0.3614, -0.3518, -0.3277, -0.3349, -0.347, -0.3446, -0.3048, -0.3181, -0.2928, -0.3193, -0.312, -0.3325, -0.3614, -0.3361, -0.3349, -0.341, -0.3012, -0.2964, -0.2916, -0.2916, -0.2783, -0.2289, -0.2157, -0.2157, -0.2157, -0.1843, -0.1614, -0.1253, -0.106, -0.0892, -0.1036, -0.0976, -0.1108, -0.106, -0.0976, -0.0892, -0.0795, -0.1048, -0.1084, -0.0904, -0.0759, -0.1133, -0.0361, 0.0133, 0.0373, 0.0952, 0.0, 0.0928, 0.0843, 0.0145, 0.0108, 0.0687, 0.0554, 0.0361, 0.0699, 0.0602, 0.0602, 0.0602, 0.0602, 0.0771, 0.1434, 0.1458, 0.2108, 0.2265, 0.3265, 0.2807, 0.2807, 0.1334, 0.0248, 0.1358, 0.1153, 0.0091, 0.1322, 0.1527, 0.1225, 0.0984, 0.1757, 0.1708, 0.2746, 0.2227, 0.2155, 0.1262, 0.1901, 0.201, 0.1262, 0.1262, 0.0537, -0.0259, 0.0827, 0.0018, 0.0574, 0.0694, 0.1057, 0.2469, 0.2046, 0.2396, 0.2553, 0.3314, 0.3712, 0.3941, 0.3615, 0.4074, 0.4774, 0.4762, 0.4786, 0.475, 0.5595, 0.5692, 0.5607, 0.5523, 0.5523, 0.7466, 0.7466, 0.9325, 0.9964, 1.0351, 1.2692, 1.2149, 1.3851, 1.3779, 1.1956, 1.221, 1.1063, 1.1063, 1.3417, 1.3429, 1.3429, 1.4769, 1.7074, 1.7634, 1.8165, 1.8751, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2018369023738802437", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-02-02T17:00:49+00:00", "symbol": "Samsung Electronics", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "That's how profitable the memory supercycle is with $MU, SK Hynix, Samsung, and others", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish memory sector: AI demand + price hikes seen as new structural norm driving supercycle profitability across SNDK, MU, Hynix, and Samsung.", "resolved_tickers": ["005930.KS"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Samsung Electronics listed on KOSPI as 005930.KS", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SNDK - Even after a 16% increase, the forward 2027 p/e is still single digits.\n\nThat’s how profitable the memory supercycle is with $MU, SK Hynix, Samsung, and others\n\nThe AI demand + price hikes looks like the new structural norm. https://t.co/6RG14zqEpr", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Memory Company Overview (February 2nd).\n\nForward P/E Estimates for 2026/2027: \n\nMicron ( $MU ) +31.5% YTD:\n~10.4x (2026)\n\nSandisk ( $SNDK ) | +109.36% YTD:\n~14.6x (2026)\n~6.3x (2027)\n\nSamsung Electronics | + 17.04% YTD:\n~5.1x (2026)\n~4.3x (2027)\n\nSK Hynix | +22.6% YTD:\n~4.3x https://t.co/AkOMpfj8Zr", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.06715427207003155, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06715427207003155, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07210104201618628, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07665433501744068, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946769946154728, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009500062947409127, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.11369675853486427, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.11369675853486427, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.12215215496556486, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.13558846858721318, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00845539643070059, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02189171005234891, "ret_p1w": 0.10638298979836791, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10638298979836791, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10848242754860848, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.11953168861704966, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0020994377502405737, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013148698818681748, "ret_p1m": 0.2972074549762964, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2972074549762964, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.31889243352779617, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.35062882282928076, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684978551499756, "bench_c_p1m": -0.05342136785298435, "ret_p3m": 0.4691249524501968, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4691249524501968, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4328691454432232, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.36972852186804217, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03625580700697362, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09939643058215464, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3344, -0.3436, -0.3522, -0.3344, -0.3152, -0.3178, -0.3198, -0.3568, -0.3344, -0.3529, -0.3615, -0.3344, -0.3727, -0.3602, -0.343, -0.3198, -0.3152, -0.335, -0.333, -0.3158, -0.3085, -0.3046, -0.2827, -0.2755, -0.2827, -0.2854, -0.29, -0.2794, -0.3066, -0.3198, -0.2861, -0.288, -0.2966, -0.2688, -0.2622, -0.2649, -0.2649, -0.2258, -0.2055, -0.2028, -0.2028, -0.2028, -0.1456, -0.0818, -0.0765, -0.0625, -0.0771, -0.0758, -0.0771, -0.0851, -0.0672, -0.0432, -0.01, -0.0073, -0.0346, -0.006, 0.0126, 0.0113, 0.0113, 0.0605, 0.0798, 0.0685, 0.0672, 0.0, 0.1137, 0.1243, 0.0592, 0.0545, 0.1064, 0.1024, 0.1157, 0.1875, 0.2048, 0.2048, 0.2048, 0.2048, 0.2633, 0.264, 0.2832, 0.3298, 0.3531, 0.4495, 0.4395, 0.4395, 0.2972, 0.1449, 0.2739, 0.2513, 0.1536, 0.2493, 0.2633, 0.2493, 0.2201, 0.2547, 0.2892, 0.3863, 0.3331, 0.3258, 0.2387, 0.2613, 0.2566, 0.1975, 0.1975, 0.1746, 0.114, 0.2636, 0.1886, 0.2406, 0.2866, 0.3092, 0.4025, 0.3592, 0.3725, 0.3392, 0.3758, 0.4058, 0.4491, 0.4391, 0.4291, 0.4591, 0.4491, 0.4958, 0.4625, 0.4958, 0.4791, 0.5058, 0.4691, 0.4691, 0.5491, 0.5491, 0.7723, 0.8089, 0.7889, 0.9022, 0.8589, 0.8922, 0.9722, 0.8023, 0.8722, 0.8356, 0.8389, 0.9955, 0.9488, 0.9488, 0.9921, 1.0454, 0.9955, 1.1121, 1.3086, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2019853553997869150", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-06T19:19:48+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The major victors, Neoclouds: $IREN, $NBIS, and $CRWV are the three with AI cloud offerings", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Neoclouds IREN, NBIS, and CRWV named as the key beneficiaries of GPU supply tightness driven by hyperscaler capex and new AI model demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "According to 3Fourteen Research: GPU availability across major cloud services have dropped immensely in Feb.\n\nThis comes as $META, $AMZN, $GOOGL have increased infrastructure capex spend immensely.\n\nThe major victors, Neoclouds:\n\n$IREN, $NBIS, and $CRWV are the three with AI cloud offerings. \n\nThere's likely been a new wave of demand shock with new AI models coming out from Opus 4.6 and others.  \n\nAnd the demand increase is across the board with newer gens like B200, and older models. \n\nThis is the cumulative effect of capacity constraints, now visualized.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.048768845953356954, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.048768845953356954, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.029945259200080288, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.030891976084241324, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.018823586753276667, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01787686986911563, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10327514955108219, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10327514955108219, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09845331744807173, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10917267436012479, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004821832103010459, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005897524809042598, "ret_p1w": 0.009323437068532447, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.009323437068532447, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.022166945305640673, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.057425112750812524, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012843508237108225, "bench_c_p1w": -0.048101675682280076, "ret_p1m": -0.07147983618415754, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07147983618415754, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0535974686469598, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0009491911676745568, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01788236753719774, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0724290273518321, "ret_p3m": 0.45780532806395047, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.45780532806395047, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.392336402211217, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.49749428427972053, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06546892585273345, "bench_c_p3m": -0.039688956215770066, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3717, 0.3316, 0.163, 0.1085, 0.1334, 0.1678, 0.0956, 0.0392, 0.0103, 0.1592, 0.1348, 0.1583, 0.1583, 0.143, 0.1592, -0.017, 0.0509, 0.1104, 0.0689, 0.1078, 0.1198, 0.05, 0.0504, -0.0406, -0.1518, -0.1253, -0.1924, -0.1442, -0.0457, 0.005, 0.0057, 0.0036, 0.0036, -0.0366, -0.0579, -0.0844, -0.0971, -0.0971, 0.0208, 0.1532, 0.0975, 0.0429, 0.092, 0.1004, 0.2032, 0.2668, 0.2642, 0.2405, 0.3823, 0.3823, 0.2972, 0.2785, 0.2493, 0.355, 0.2517, 0.4341, 0.5047, 0.4306, 0.2847, 0.2689, 0.3003, 0.0743, -0.0488, 0.0, 0.1033, 0.0263, 0.0201, -0.043, 0.0093, 0.0093, -0.0206, 0.006, 0.0349, -0.0442, 0.0127, 0.0865, 0.0526, 0.0576, -0.021, -0.0105, -0.0712, 0.0481, -0.0408, -0.1226, -0.0715, -0.0887, 0.0036, -0.011, -0.006, 0.0743, 0.027, 0.0091, -0.0041, -0.0129, 0.0079, -0.017, -0.0096, -0.1047, -0.1611, -0.2441, -0.1805, -0.185, -0.1688, -0.1688, -0.1602, -0.1456, -0.1195, -0.114, -0.06, 0.0296, 0.1324, 0.1671, 0.1403, 0.1504, 0.1647, 0.0798, 0.1568, 0.2436, 0.2106, 0.1561, 0.0624, 0.0246, 0.088, 0.0916, 0.1829, 0.3086, 0.4578, 0.3591, 0.4631, 0.3184, 0.3521, 0.3189, 0.3961, 0.2656, 0.2063, 0.1413, 0.2601, 0.388, 0.3586, 0.3586, 0.4291, 0.6218, 0.5312, 0.519, 0.519, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2019853553997869150", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-06T19:19:48+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The major victors, Neoclouds: $IREN, $NBIS, and $CRWV are the three with AI cloud offerings", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Neoclouds IREN, NBIS, and CRWV named as the key beneficiaries of GPU supply tightness driven by hyperscaler capex and new AI model demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "According to 3Fourteen Research: GPU availability across major cloud services have dropped immensely in Feb.\n\nThis comes as $META, $AMZN, $GOOGL have increased infrastructure capex spend immensely.\n\nThe major victors, Neoclouds:\n\n$IREN, $NBIS, and $CRWV are the three with AI cloud offerings. \n\nThere's likely been a new wave of demand shock with new AI models coming out from Opus 4.6 and others.  \n\nAnd the demand increase is across the board with newer gens like B200, and older models. \n\nThis is the cumulative effect of capacity constraints, now visualized.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.1420440876223129, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1420440876223129, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12322050086903624, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.14593145544552588, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.018823586753276667, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0038873678232129727, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07874563181711003, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07874563181711003, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07392379971409957, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06907048604494892, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004821832103010459, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009675145772161109, "ret_p1w": 0.13832757111707905, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.13832757111707905, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15117107935418728, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14852107667721504, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012843508237108225, "bench_c_p1w": -0.010193505560135985, "ret_p1m": 0.10267136032461344, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10267136032461344, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12055372786181118, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08712195514908183, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01788236753719774, "bench_c_p1m": 0.015549405175531605, "ret_p3m": 1.265853656159221, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.265853656159221, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.2003847303064876, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.248883389779151, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06546892585273345, "bench_c_p3m": 0.016970266380070154, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1872, 0.0959, 0.0294, -0.0297, -0.0014, 0.0516, 0.1042, -0.017, -0.033, 0.0674, 0.0323, 0.0998, 0.0998, 0.1019, 0.1632, 0.1202, 0.1489, 0.194, 0.1387, 0.1653, 0.1197, 0.087, 0.095, 0.0185, -0.0576, -0.0598, -0.1237, -0.093, 0.039, 0.0828, 0.0456, 0.0584, 0.0584, 0.0173, -0.0007, -0.0108, -0.0278, -0.0278, 0.0447, 0.0782, 0.1642, 0.1174, 0.1301, 0.1374, 0.2466, 0.2245, 0.1844, 0.2066, 0.2628, 0.2628, 0.1532, 0.1483, 0.1249, 0.0976, 0.0623, 0.1367, 0.1664, 0.1023, -0.0106, 0.0239, 0.0447, -0.0431, -0.142, 0.0, 0.0787, 0.0661, 0.0292, 0.0422, 0.1383, 0.1383, 0.1326, 0.1823, 0.2498, 0.1373, 0.1685, 0.1914, 0.2325, 0.2181, 0.0591, 0.057, 0.0081, 0.1357, 0.1109, 0.0375, 0.1027, 0.12, 0.3008, 0.2548, 0.3118, 0.5081, 0.3511, 0.377, 0.4114, 0.3661, 0.3258, 0.3346, 0.3367, 0.2308, 0.171, 0.0715, 0.2051, 0.1841, 0.2639, 0.2639, 0.3071, 0.3635, 0.4518, 0.5834, 0.6837, 0.7951, 0.8808, 0.9369, 0.9203, 0.8251, 0.8485, 0.8182, 0.8135, 0.8244, 0.7092, 0.6836, 0.5739, 0.6398, 0.6055, 0.7943, 1.049, 1.0432, 1.2659, 1.146, 1.0563, 1.1614, 1.0803, 1.4073, 1.5685, 1.5545, 1.3213, 1.2965, 1.2279, 1.5544, 1.4944, 1.4944, 1.4165, 1.4201, 1.6288, 1.684, 1.684, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2019853553997869150", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-06T19:19:48+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The major victors, Neoclouds: $IREN, $NBIS, and $CRWV are the three with AI cloud offerings", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Neoclouds IREN, NBIS, and CRWV named as the key beneficiaries of GPU supply tightness driven by hyperscaler capex and new AI model demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "According to 3Fourteen Research: GPU availability across major cloud services have dropped immensely in Feb.\n\nThis comes as $META, $AMZN, $GOOGL have increased infrastructure capex spend immensely.\n\nThe major victors, Neoclouds:\n\n$IREN, $NBIS, and $CRWV are the three with AI cloud offerings. \n\nThere's likely been a new wave of demand shock with new AI models coming out from Opus 4.6 and others.  \n\nAnd the demand increase is across the board with newer gens like B200, and older models. \n\nThis is the cumulative effect of capacity constraints, now visualized.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.17009445182268323, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.17009445182268323, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.15127086506940657, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.15127086506940657, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.018823586753276667, "bench_c_m1d": -0.018823586753276667, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07604229237740756, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07604229237740756, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0712204602743971, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0712204602743971, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004821832103010459, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004821832103010459, "ret_p1w": 0.06770432655811409, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06770432655811409, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08054783479522232, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08054783479522232, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012843508237108225, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012843508237108225, "ret_p1m": -0.17276257713576826, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17276257713576826, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15488020959857052, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.15488020959857052, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.01788236753719774, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01788236753719774, "ret_p3m": 0.5339633174966492, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5339633174966492, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4684943916439157, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4684943916439157, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.06546892585273345, "bench_c_p3m": 0.06546892585273345, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0173, -0.0503, -0.1291, -0.14, -0.1625, -0.1673, -0.1671, -0.2306, -0.2034, -0.1818, -0.2074, -0.1741, -0.1741, -0.1871, -0.1433, -0.1548, -0.1177, -0.0467, -0.0183, -0.0412, 0.0079, -0.0199, -0.0286, -0.1263, -0.1957, -0.2273, -0.2824, -0.2476, -0.0773, -0.0569, -0.1077, -0.1232, -0.1232, -0.1504, -0.1671, -0.1784, -0.2039, -0.2039, -0.1182, -0.1455, -0.1335, -0.142, -0.143, -0.1091, -0.0002, -0.0275, -0.0017, 0.0563, 0.1254, 0.1254, 0.0586, 0.0456, 0.0205, 0.0337, 0.0929, 0.2102, 0.1787, 0.1065, 0.036, -0.0112, 0.0012, -0.0833, -0.1701, 0.0, 0.076, 0.0574, 0.0578, 0.0639, 0.0677, 0.0677, 0.0117, 0.0611, 0.0799, -0.0078, 0.0099, 0.1039, 0.0896, 0.0854, -0.1155, -0.1323, -0.1798, -0.1162, -0.1682, -0.1885, -0.1728, -0.1671, -0.0888, -0.1122, -0.0983, -0.0455, -0.087, -0.0793, -0.1033, -0.0943, -0.0888, -0.077, -0.0263, -0.1056, -0.1683, -0.2312, -0.1387, -0.128, -0.0857, -0.0857, -0.1002, -0.0524, -0.0117, 0.0228, 0.134, 0.2259, 0.3029, 0.3195, 0.3292, 0.2991, 0.3055, 0.2803, 0.3623, 0.3054, 0.2245, 0.2458, 0.1732, 0.2695, 0.2407, 0.3231, 0.3944, 0.4218, 0.534, 0.4324, 0.269, 0.2752, 0.1979, 0.2375, 0.2698, 0.1929, 0.1536, 0.1096, 0.126, 0.196, 0.1728, 0.1728, 0.1772, 0.1592, 0.188, 0.2177, 0.2177, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2018233596918554931", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-02T08:02:41+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I personally ended up buying $NBIS on the drop to $80", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bought NBIS on pullback to $80, added SOL at $100 and ETH at $2200 as swing trades; finds these names attractive in the dip.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I personally ended up buying $NBIS on the drop to $80 ON. They’re part of the AI buildout theme, but a tad more risky give profitability so far, so still a fan. Short term there’s the ATM though which does impact the price a bit. \n\nI ended up adding $SOL at $100 and $ETH at $2200 too ON for swing trades as well.\n\nThat being said likely more volatility ahead given drop, so margin on high beta is dangerous. \n\nBut some of these names look attractive in the pullback.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Really enjoy your takes, where do so see $NBIS in all this?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "HyperAICapital", "ret_m1d": -0.03368876017843925, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03368876017843925, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02874199023228452, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.037114875802182645, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946769946154728, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0034261156237433976, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.020303915741579637, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.020303915741579637, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.028759312172280227, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03643158323855811, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00845539643070059, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01612766749697847, "ret_p1w": 0.05353894504586121, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05353894504586121, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05563838279610178, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07685308337384844, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0020994377502405737, "bench_c_p1w": -0.023314138327987233, "ret_p1m": -0.01542650356009545, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.01542650356009545, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.006258474991404306, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0011372177295448926, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684978551499756, "bench_c_p1m": -0.014289285830550558, "ret_p3m": 0.5679445325040233, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5679445325040233, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5316887254970497, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5912435769663942, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03625580700697362, "bench_c_p3m": -0.023299044462370855, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3271, 0.2414, 0.2623, 0.2472, 0.1595, 0.0703, 0.0053, -0.0524, -0.0247, 0.027, 0.0784, -0.0399, -0.0556, 0.0424, 0.0082, 0.0741, 0.0741, 0.0761, 0.136, 0.094, 0.1221, 0.1661, 0.1121, 0.138, 0.0936, 0.0616, 0.0694, -0.0053, -0.0796, -0.0818, -0.1442, -0.1142, 0.0147, 0.0575, 0.0212, 0.0337, 0.0337, -0.0065, -0.024, -0.0339, -0.0505, -0.0505, 0.0203, 0.053, 0.137, 0.0913, 0.1037, 0.1108, 0.2174, 0.1959, 0.1568, 0.1784, 0.2333, 0.2333, 0.1262, 0.1215, 0.0986, 0.0719, 0.0374, 0.1101, 0.1392, 0.0766, -0.0337, 0.0, 0.0203, -0.0654, -0.1621, -0.0234, 0.0535, 0.0412, 0.0051, 0.0178, 0.1117, 0.1117, 0.1062, 0.1547, 0.2206, 0.1107, 0.1412, 0.1636, 0.2037, 0.1897, 0.0344, 0.0323, -0.0154, 0.1091, 0.085, 0.0133, 0.0769, 0.0938, 0.2704, 0.2255, 0.2812, 0.4729, 0.3195, 0.3448, 0.3784, 0.3342, 0.2948, 0.3034, 0.3055, 0.202, 0.1436, 0.0465, 0.177, 0.1564, 0.2343, 0.2343, 0.2765, 0.3317, 0.4179, 0.5464, 0.6444, 0.7532, 0.8369, 0.8917, 0.8755, 0.7824, 0.8054, 0.7757, 0.7711, 0.7818, 0.6692, 0.6443, 0.5371, 0.6015, 0.5679, 0.7524, 1.0011, 0.9955, 1.2129, 1.0958, 1.0083, 1.1109, 1.0316, 1.3511, 1.5085, 1.4948, 1.267, 1.2429, 1.1758, 1.4947, 1.4361, 1.4361, 1.36, 1.3635, 1.5674, 1.6213, 1.6213, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2018233596918554931", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-02T08:02:41+00:00", "symbol": "SOL-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I ended up adding $SOL at $100", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bought NBIS on pullback to $80, added SOL at $100 and ETH at $2200 as swing trades; finds these names attractive in the dip.", "resolved_tickers": ["SOL-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I personally ended up buying $NBIS on the drop to $80 ON. They’re part of the AI buildout theme, but a tad more risky give profitability so far, so still a fan. Short term there’s the ATM though which does impact the price a bit. \n\nI ended up adding $SOL at $100 and $ETH at $2200 too ON for swing trades as well.\n\nThat being said likely more volatility ahead given drop, so margin on high beta is dangerous. \n\nBut some of these names look attractive in the pullback.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Really enjoy your takes, where do so see $NBIS in all this?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "HyperAICapital", "ret_m1d": 0.12340137394772, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.12340137394772, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.12834814389387472, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946769946154728, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.0661163319748288, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0661163319748288, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05766093554412821, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00845539643070059, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.17008878028382324, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.17008878028382324, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.16798934253358266, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0020994377502405737, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.16704516234758993, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16704516234758993, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14536018379609017, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684978551499756, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.20529490347903712, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.20529490347903712, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.24155071048601073, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03625580700697362, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.5561, 0.4843, 0.5479, 0.602, 0.4795, 0.467, 0.389, 0.3274, 0.2525, 0.3469, 0.3091, 0.278, 0.23, 0.3245, 0.3295, 0.3689, 0.3482, 0.3151, 0.2129, 0.3274, 0.387, 0.3306, 0.2762, 0.2757, 0.32, 0.3063, 0.3054, 0.2666, 0.2229, 0.2372, 0.1785, 0.1445, 0.2079, 0.2042, 0.1856, 0.1722, 0.1481, 0.1697, 0.1786, 0.1958, 0.1916, 0.2134, 0.2648, 0.3208, 0.3506, 0.3048, 0.3237, 0.2995, 0.3318, 0.3914, 0.4047, 0.3624, 0.3866, 0.2763, 0.2033, 0.2384, 0.228, 0.2191, 0.1883, 0.2162, 0.1976, 0.1257, 0.1234, 0.0, -0.0661, -0.1191, -0.2516, -0.1628, -0.1701, -0.2063, -0.2414, -0.25, -0.1929, -0.1727, -0.1845, -0.2192, -0.2113, -0.1899, -0.2557, -0.2435, -0.1585, -0.1777, -0.2156, -0.1707, -0.167, -0.1305, -0.151, -0.1894, -0.187, -0.1784, -0.1714, -0.1685, -0.1562, -0.0789, -0.0935, -0.1379, -0.1489, -0.1399, -0.1249, -0.1306, -0.1222, -0.1726, -0.2053, -0.2108, -0.2045, -0.2228, -0.2443, -0.2307, -0.2328, -0.1802, -0.2095, -0.2027, -0.188, -0.1705, -0.1981, -0.1872, -0.1481, -0.1493, -0.1832, -0.1765, -0.168, -0.1755, -0.1746, -0.1881, -0.1956, -0.2053, -0.2053, -0.1986, -0.1951, -0.1738, -0.1467, -0.1538, -0.1199, -0.0682, -0.0975, -0.1281, -0.118, -0.1462, -0.1835, -0.194, -0.1764, -0.1657, -0.193, -0.1863, -0.1999, -0.2116, -0.2152, -0.2157, -0.2099, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2018233596918554931", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-02T08:02:41+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ETH at $2200 too ON for swing trades", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bought NBIS on pullback to $80, added SOL at $100 and ETH at $2200 as swing trades; finds these names attractive in the dip.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I personally ended up buying $NBIS on the drop to $80 ON. They’re part of the AI buildout theme, but a tad more risky give profitability so far, so still a fan. Short term there’s the ATM though which does impact the price a bit. \n\nI ended up adding $SOL at $100 and $ETH at $2200 too ON for swing trades as well.\n\nThat being said likely more volatility ahead given drop, so margin on high beta is dangerous. \n\nBut some of these names look attractive in the pullback.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Really enjoy your takes, where do so see $NBIS in all this?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "HyperAICapital", "ret_m1d": 0.1527150524057055, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.1527150524057055, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.15766182235186021, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946769946154728, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.04982085366444211, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04982085366444211, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04136545723374152, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00845539643070059, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.1027100797345687, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1027100797345687, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10061064198432812, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0020994377502405737, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.15423752289120995, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15423752289120995, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1325525443397102, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684978551499756, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.03758193842531388, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03758193842531388, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0738377454322875, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03625580700697362, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.461, 0.4129, 0.4653, 0.5221, 0.4568, 0.4559, 0.379, 0.3239, 0.2901, 0.3321, 0.2895, 0.2079, 0.1797, 0.2595, 0.2617, 0.2915, 0.2859, 0.2934, 0.1944, 0.2788, 0.3614, 0.337, 0.2901, 0.3331, 0.4166, 0.4185, 0.3808, 0.3156, 0.2644, 0.2644, 0.2078, 0.2059, 0.2703, 0.2823, 0.264, 0.2565, 0.2385, 0.248, 0.2517, 0.2675, 0.2656, 0.2798, 0.3327, 0.3761, 0.4059, 0.3508, 0.3242, 0.3151, 0.3191, 0.4171, 0.431, 0.4149, 0.4057, 0.3593, 0.2522, 0.2707, 0.2582, 0.2597, 0.2483, 0.2891, 0.2825, 0.2021, 0.1527, 0.0, -0.0498, -0.0857, -0.2229, -0.1198, -0.1027, -0.1386, -0.1722, -0.1695, -0.1262, -0.1478, -0.1502, -0.1665, -0.169, -0.1601, -0.2085, -0.2096, -0.1236, -0.1355, -0.1764, -0.1353, -0.1542, -0.0929, -0.1163, -0.156, -0.1499, -0.1311, -0.1249, -0.1157, -0.1074, 0.0029, -0.0112, -0.06, -0.0883, -0.0844, -0.082, -0.0805, -0.0752, -0.1215, -0.1506, -0.1369, -0.1022, -0.0877, -0.1226, -0.1241, -0.1009, -0.0437, -0.0657, -0.0662, -0.0423, 0.0112, -0.009, 0.0064, 0.0018, 0.0327, -0.0124, -0.007, 0.0135, -0.0055, -0.0122, -0.0176, -0.0234, -0.0388, -0.0376, -0.021, 0.0009, 0.0072, 0.0027, -0.0227, -0.0159, -0.0021, -0.0297, -0.037, -0.0271, -0.0516, -0.0921, -0.1, -0.0927, -0.0908, -0.1193, -0.0994, -0.1167, -0.1374, -0.1437, -0.1418, -0.1431, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2027435474793730240", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-27T17:27:39+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is the definition of extreme scale up", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish AAOI: $378M/month transceiver revenue projection by mid-2027 at $5.5B MC is extraordinary scale, surpassing LITE guidance by 40%.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Holy $AAOI …\n\nJust putting it out there they’re projecting $378 million in monthly revenue for transceivers. \n\nAt a $5.5B MC.\n\nThis is the definition of extreme scale up. \n\nAlthough margins are different, $AAOI projections would actually surpass $LITE next quarter guidance by 40%:\n\n\"Given the recent surge in customer inquiries and apparent rising demand, we believe that by mid-2027, 100G and 400G revenue will be approximately $90 million. 800G revenue will be approximately $217 million and 1.6 terabit revenue will be approximately $71 million monthly. Altogether, this represents $378 million in monthly revenue for transceiver products.\"\n\nAbsolutely unholy projections unseen since $SNDK earnings.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.3625786953944201, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.3625786953944201, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.3674038085726452, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.3674038085726452, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.21702478987010654, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.21702478987010654, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.21645621108777524, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.21645621108777524, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "ret_p1w": 0.1347500655559073, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1347500655559073, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15459001236840897, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15459001236840897, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "ret_p1m": 0.011397353035883961, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.011397353035883961, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08762893098965874, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08762893098965874, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "ret_p3m": 1.1349874707828982, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.1349874707828982, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.0380187816928927, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.0380187816928927, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6911, -0.6955, -0.6885, -0.6843, -0.6695, -0.6393, -0.5847, -0.5688, -0.6194, -0.645, -0.6562, -0.6778, -0.6527, -0.6282, -0.5359, -0.5175, -0.5132, -0.5132, -0.5587, -0.5637, -0.5724, -0.5861, -0.5861, -0.5299, -0.5846, -0.5416, -0.5482, -0.6081, -0.5959, -0.5997, -0.5942, -0.5908, -0.5607, -0.5603, -0.5603, -0.5339, -0.5443, -0.5471, -0.5759, -0.5858, -0.5561, -0.463, -0.5302, -0.4823, -0.4757, -0.4525, -0.5263, -0.5473, -0.4741, -0.4312, -0.4243, -0.4254, -0.4777, -0.4722, -0.4722, -0.4787, -0.4843, -0.4422, -0.3864, -0.3594, -0.3319, -0.31, -0.3626, 0.0, 0.217, 0.1319, 0.1838, 0.2008, 0.1348, 0.3133, 0.4305, 0.5079, 0.2607, 0.1494, 0.1168, 0.0249, 0.0997, 0.21, 0.0393, 0.1369, 0.3522, 0.3583, 0.1566, 0.166, 0.0114, 0.0043, 0.0252, 0.2336, 0.2336, 0.2757, 0.3967, 0.5754, 0.5826, 0.788, 0.8187, 0.738, 0.6924, 0.8677, 0.8927, 0.9408, 0.7876, 0.774, 0.6352, 0.9253, 0.7307, 0.6296, 0.8144, 0.9513, 1.1787, 1.0537, 1.1438, 1.1197, 0.8705, 0.7683, 1.1952, 1.2353, 1.6487, 1.4168, 1.26, 1.057, 1.0341, 0.962, 1.0991, 1.1547, 1.1547, 1.1087, 1.135, 1.0066, 0.8807, 0.8807, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2016495396365984105", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-28T12:55:41+00:00", "symbol": "MU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$MU, the leading memory supercycle company, has a forward P/E is 8.4-8.7 ish, off 133% revenue growth Y/Y, and EPS growth 319% Y/Y. I don't think people should be timing the market here, just look at fundamentals.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish MU: forward P/E 8.4–8.7 vs 133% revenue and 319% EPS growth makes it a buy on fundamentals, not timing.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I like to give this example:\n\n$WMT, the sock reseller has a forward P/E is ~40 and it's growing ~5.8% Y/Y in line with inflation.\n\n$MU, the leading memory supercycle company, has a forward P/E is 8.4-8.7 ish, off 133% revenue growth Y/Y, and EPS growth 319% Y/Y.\n\nI don't think people should be timing the market here, just look at fundamentals.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I want to enter MU, but waiting for a better price, which doesn't seem to be coming soon. Do I overthink it and should just buy? \nMemory shortage and demand should be going at least into mid/late 2027.\nWhat is your PT for the next 12 months?\nThanks for your insight and help.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "RancicYaro4064", "ret_m1d": -0.05752624661698813, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05752624661698813, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05762692665608782, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03501225393071761, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00010068003909968759, "bench_c_m1d": -0.022513992686270523, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0011716832666235355, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0011716832666235355, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.003156065715593348, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0009644666035946159, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0019843824489698125, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0021361498702181514, "ret_p1w": -0.12837713766440217, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12837713766440217, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11510462188056192, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04530579027338666, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013272515783840255, "bench_c_p1w": -0.08307134739101552, "ret_p1m": -0.045304197873561436, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.045304197873561436, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.036503759176132355, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03421523389342995, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00880043869742908, "bench_c_p1m": -0.011088963980131483, "ret_p3m": 0.2056155787512135, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2056155787512135, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.17440687879893968, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.009515361969254288, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031208699952273822, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2151309407204678, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4861, -0.461, -0.4993, -0.4546, -0.4527, -0.4536, -0.4183, -0.4463, -0.4376, -0.4559, -0.4332, -0.4444, -0.4753, -0.4812, -0.5376, -0.5238, -0.4858, -0.4844, -0.4712, -0.4712, -0.4569, -0.4478, -0.45, -0.4623, -0.4795, -0.4552, -0.433, -0.4203, -0.3944, -0.4065, -0.4462, -0.4546, -0.4661, -0.4821, -0.4292, -0.3893, -0.3648, -0.3656, -0.3417, -0.3417, -0.346, -0.3237, -0.3277, -0.3443, -0.3443, -0.2754, -0.2829, -0.211, -0.2199, -0.2487, -0.2072, -0.2054, -0.2232, -0.2342, -0.2266, -0.1666, -0.1666, -0.1615, -0.1061, -0.0866, -0.0819, -0.1061, -0.0575, 0.0, 0.0012, -0.0469, 0.0058, -0.0364, -0.1284, -0.1204, -0.0933, -0.119, -0.1425, -0.0573, -0.049, -0.0543, -0.0543, -0.0816, -0.0329, -0.0412, -0.0163, -0.0329, -0.0397, -0.0144, -0.0453, -0.0526, -0.0519, -0.1277, -0.0793, -0.0878, -0.1493, -0.1056, -0.0739, -0.0381, -0.0688, -0.021, 0.015, 0.0607, 0.0608, 0.0207, -0.0284, -0.0711, -0.0913, -0.1222, -0.1834, -0.1793, -0.2604, -0.2235, -0.1546, -0.1583, -0.1583, -0.1318, -0.1322, -0.0652, -0.0312, -0.0333, -0.0196, 0.0702, 0.0486, 0.0509, 0.0459, 0.0306, 0.0328, 0.1204, 0.1072, 0.1416, 0.2056, 0.159, 0.1916, 0.1886, 0.2462, 0.3249, 0.4714, 0.532, 0.4862, 0.7164, 0.8279, 0.7619, 0.847, 0.7835, 0.6655, 0.5664, 0.6059, 0.6824, 0.7516, 0.7261, 0.7261, 1.059, 1.1338, 1.1226, 1.2317, 1.2317, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2020266292608143731", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-07T22:39:53+00:00", "symbol": "CRDO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have $CRDO on there since I felt the selloff to $95 was a huge overreaction", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long CRDO (selloff overreaction); bullish fan of photonic supply chain names LITE, COHR, AAOI, AXTI.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRDO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Frenchie_ I have $CRDO on there since I felt the selloff to $95 was a huge overreaction.\n\nBut I am a fan of photonic supply chains like $LITE, $COHR, $AAOI, $AXTI type companies", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Are you short copper ? Guessing you like photonic more", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Frenchie_", "ret_m1d": -0.09731789790002177, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09731789790002177, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09251920429190352, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08502231183080666, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012295586069215103, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09164571123067122, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09164571123067122, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09428287166275207, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09629340374075768, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004647692510086454, "ret_p1w": -0.015963059413699465, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.015963059413699465, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0016175103706437266, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.018594332843623995, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00263127342992453, "ret_p1m": -0.08978203956132436, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08978203956132436, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06561597694627053, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0668630491171951, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02291899044412926, "ret_p3m": 0.5257271509501102, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5257271509501102, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4686222472269268, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.19755800379054156, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3281691471595687, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2992, 0.1583, 0.1792, 0.1796, 0.1309, 0.1497, 0.0917, 0.0817, 0.2223, 0.2493, 0.329, 0.329, 0.4391, 0.3867, 0.5269, 0.533, 0.466, 0.4265, 0.45, 0.3799, 0.2801, 0.2517, 0.1661, 0.1508, 0.1372, 0.0869, 0.1228, 0.2165, 0.215, 0.1977, 0.217, 0.217, 0.1736, 0.1725, 0.1743, 0.166, 0.166, 0.1605, 0.1364, 0.0773, 0.1425, 0.1473, 0.2189, 0.2646, 0.3077, 0.2709, 0.2083, 0.2233, 0.2233, 0.2416, 0.1276, 0.0947, 0.079, 0.0374, 0.0499, 0.0506, 0.0491, 0.0152, -0.028, -0.098, -0.2144, -0.2054, -0.0973, 0.0, 0.0916, 0.0404, -0.0132, -0.016, -0.016, 0.0113, 0.0365, 0.0587, 0.0053, 0.0052, -0.0209, 0.0004, -0.0724, -0.0903, -0.0745, -0.2116, -0.1691, -0.0703, -0.11, -0.0602, -0.0898, -0.0608, -0.0959, -0.0463, -0.0529, -0.1568, -0.1758, -0.1322, -0.1621, -0.1484, -0.1873, -0.158, -0.2185, -0.2283, -0.2885, -0.2394, -0.2228, -0.1779, -0.1779, -0.1698, -0.1347, -0.107, -0.1254, -0.031, 0.0887, 0.2926, 0.3642, 0.2878, 0.3021, 0.4142, 0.4855, 0.5355, 0.5034, 0.5804, 0.4626, 0.3445, 0.4243, 0.41, 0.494, 0.459, 0.5685, 0.6068, 0.5257, 0.5275, 0.7034, 0.609, 0.5344, 0.4953, 0.3951, 0.2663, 0.3693, 0.4827, 0.5671, 0.7698, 0.7698, 0.796, 0.7926, 0.8017, 0.9126, 0.9126, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2020266292608143731", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-07T22:39:53+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I am a fan of photonic supply chains like $LITE", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long CRDO (selloff overreaction); bullish fan of photonic supply chain names LITE, COHR, AAOI, AXTI.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Frenchie_ I have $CRDO on there since I felt the selloff to $95 was a huge overreaction.\n\nBut I am a fan of photonic supply chains like $LITE, $COHR, $AAOI, $AXTI type companies", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Are you short copper ? Guessing you like photonic more", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Frenchie_", "ret_m1d": -0.04359357725962254, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04359357725962254, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0387948836515043, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0387948836515043, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.027757114881029277, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.027757114881029277, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.025119954448948434, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.025119954448948434, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "ret_p1w": -0.024967570943650097, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.024967570943650097, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.007387001159306905, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.007387001159306905, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "ret_p1m": 0.16434197621707036, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.16434197621707036, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1885080388321242, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1885080388321242, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "ret_p3m": 0.5465303289140702, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5465303289140702, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4894254251908867, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4894254251908867, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5602, -0.6069, -0.5978, -0.5806, -0.5713, -0.5341, -0.5959, -0.5572, -0.4813, -0.4953, -0.4659, -0.4659, -0.4366, -0.4491, -0.4753, -0.475, -0.432, -0.4258, -0.4065, -0.3757, -0.3658, -0.3553, -0.438, -0.4201, -0.4522, -0.4451, -0.4159, -0.3564, -0.3245, -0.3288, -0.314, -0.314, -0.3229, -0.3544, -0.3569, -0.3614, -0.3614, -0.331, -0.3814, -0.3114, -0.3193, -0.3966, -0.3911, -0.4111, -0.3739, -0.4254, -0.4052, -0.4382, -0.4382, -0.3817, -0.372, -0.3858, -0.4123, -0.424, -0.3578, -0.3329, -0.3391, -0.3211, -0.2664, -0.2461, -0.1934, -0.126, -0.0436, 0.0, -0.0278, -0.0053, 0.0109, -0.025, -0.025, 0.0403, 0.0296, 0.1013, 0.157, 0.1691, 0.1925, 0.2534, 0.173, 0.2144, 0.3571, 0.2032, 0.1796, 0.1276, -0.0324, 0.1101, 0.1643, 0.1643, 0.0675, 0.0786, 0.0826, 0.1255, 0.2143, 0.3378, 0.2239, 0.263, 0.3896, 0.3466, 0.1935, 0.2176, 0.1345, 0.2176, 0.3249, 0.4327, 0.4327, 0.3381, 0.4134, 0.5525, 0.5492, 0.5547, 0.5095, 0.4776, 0.4277, 0.5442, 0.5491, 0.5509, 0.4501, 0.5136, 0.4674, 0.5276, 0.4895, 0.3712, 0.4872, 0.5634, 0.6459, 0.6914, 0.7232, 0.6361, 0.5465, 0.566, 0.8246, 0.7194, 0.7853, 0.7358, 0.6819, 0.5334, 0.5422, 0.5041, 0.6711, 0.6406, 0.6406, 0.5781, 0.5634, 0.4912, 0.4813, 0.4813, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2020266292608143731", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-07T22:39:53+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I am a fan of photonic supply chains like $LITE, $COHR", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long CRDO (selloff overreaction); bullish fan of photonic supply chain names LITE, COHR, AAOI, AXTI.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Frenchie_ I have $CRDO on there since I felt the selloff to $95 was a huge overreaction.\n\nBut I am a fan of photonic supply chains like $LITE, $COHR, $AAOI, $AXTI type companies", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Are you short copper ? Guessing you like photonic more", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Frenchie_", "ret_m1d": -0.06095856483056272, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06095856483056272, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05615987122244448, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05615987122244448, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0581127246000106, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0581127246000106, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05547556416792976, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05547556416792976, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "ret_p1w": -0.10405844381627305, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10405844381627305, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08647787403192986, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08647787403192986, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "ret_p1m": 0.07498147088655727, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07498147088655727, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0991475335016111, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0991475335016111, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "ret_p3m": 0.3164645450913064, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3164645450913064, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.25935964136812295, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.25935964136812295, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3538, -0.4227, -0.4253, -0.4264, -0.4302, -0.4105, -0.4407, -0.4246, -0.3739, -0.3861, -0.3648, -0.3648, -0.3225, -0.3257, -0.3199, -0.2949, -0.2685, -0.2502, -0.2334, -0.2051, -0.1856, -0.1813, -0.2645, -0.264, -0.2774, -0.297, -0.2753, -0.2336, -0.2123, -0.2087, -0.2107, -0.2107, -0.2093, -0.2204, -0.2295, -0.2388, -0.2388, -0.1985, -0.2314, -0.1994, -0.2097, -0.2859, -0.2656, -0.2362, -0.2162, -0.2407, -0.1918, -0.2121, -0.2121, -0.2021, -0.1691, -0.1639, -0.1877, -0.1844, -0.1174, -0.0879, -0.1097, -0.1249, -0.0826, -0.0548, -0.1298, -0.137, -0.061, 0.0, -0.0581, -0.0774, -0.1087, -0.1041, -0.1041, -0.0928, -0.0766, -0.0412, 0.0236, 0.0265, 0.0511, 0.1049, 0.0317, 0.0679, 0.2328, 0.1582, 0.1336, 0.0471, -0.0278, 0.0407, 0.075, 0.0369, -0.0049, 0.0012, 0.0203, 0.0138, 0.0608, 0.1366, 0.0461, 0.0519, 0.1232, 0.122, 0.0034, 0.0042, -0.0941, -0.0175, 0.022, 0.0648, 0.0648, 0.0444, 0.0521, 0.1622, 0.172, 0.2683, 0.27, 0.2927, 0.2711, 0.3528, 0.423, 0.4333, 0.4179, 0.4455, 0.3927, 0.3862, 0.3261, 0.2537, 0.2577, 0.3186, 0.359, 0.3606, 0.3847, 0.4216, 0.3165, 0.3827, 0.566, 0.5426, 0.6651, 0.6701, 0.5774, 0.4965, 0.4585, 0.4786, 0.559, 0.5572, 0.5572, 0.5728, 0.568, 0.5547, 0.4908, 0.4908, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2020266292608143731", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-02-07T22:39:53+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I am a fan of photonic supply chains like $LITE, $COHR, $AAOI", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long CRDO (selloff overreaction); bullish fan of photonic supply chain names LITE, COHR, AAOI, AXTI.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Frenchie_ I have $CRDO on there since I felt the selloff to $95 was a huge overreaction.\n\nBut I am a fan of photonic supply chains like $LITE, $COHR, $AAOI, $AXTI type companies", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Are you short copper ? Guessing you like photonic more", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Frenchie_", "ret_m1d": -0.07534962683884372, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07534962683884372, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07055093323072548, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07055093323072548, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012106070400791591, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012106070400791591, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014743230832872434, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014743230832872434, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "ret_p1w": -0.07201003493899627, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07201003493899627, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05442946515465308, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05442946515465308, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "ret_p1m": 1.514923778908713, "ret_signed_p1m": 1.514923778908713, "alpha_spy_p1m": 1.5390898415237668, "alpha_c_p1m": 1.5390898415237668, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "ret_p3m": 2.288457598696235, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.288457598696235, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.2313526949730518, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.2313526949730518, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5003, -0.5636, -0.552, -0.5485, -0.564, -0.5644, -0.5932, -0.5704, -0.531, -0.5256, -0.4663, -0.4663, -0.441, -0.4463, -0.4569, -0.4646, -0.4523, -0.445, -0.4189, -0.3659, -0.2699, -0.2419, -0.3308, -0.3759, -0.3955, -0.4335, -0.3895, -0.3463, -0.184, -0.1517, -0.1442, -0.1442, -0.2242, -0.2329, -0.2482, -0.2724, -0.2724, -0.1735, -0.2697, -0.1941, -0.2057, -0.311, -0.2895, -0.2962, -0.2866, -0.2805, -0.2277, -0.2269, -0.2269, -0.1805, -0.1989, -0.2037, -0.2544, -0.2718, -0.2196, -0.0559, -0.1741, -0.0898, -0.0783, -0.0374, -0.1672, -0.2041, -0.0753, 0.0, 0.0121, 0.0102, -0.0818, -0.072, -0.072, -0.0835, -0.0933, -0.0194, 0.0787, 0.1263, 0.1745, 0.2131, 0.1206, 0.7581, 1.1396, 0.99, 1.0812, 1.111, 0.995, 1.3089, 1.5149, 1.651, 1.2164, 1.0207, 0.9635, 0.8019, 0.9334, 1.1273, 0.8272, 0.9987, 1.3774, 1.388, 1.0334, 1.0499, 0.7781, 0.7656, 0.8023, 1.1689, 1.1689, 1.2427, 1.4554, 1.7698, 1.7823, 2.1434, 2.1975, 2.0555, 1.9754, 2.2837, 2.3275, 2.412, 2.1428, 2.1188, 1.8748, 2.3849, 2.0428, 1.865, 2.1899, 2.4306, 2.8303, 2.6105, 2.7689, 2.7266, 2.2885, 2.1087, 2.8593, 2.9299, 3.6566, 3.249, 2.9733, 2.6164, 2.5761, 2.4494, 2.6905, 2.7881, 2.7881, 2.7074, 2.7535, 2.5279, 2.3064, 2.3064, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2020266292608143731", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-02-07T22:39:53+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "photonic supply chains like $LITE, $COHR, $AAOI, $AXTI type companies", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long CRDO (selloff overreaction); bullish fan of photonic supply chain names LITE, COHR, AAOI, AXTI.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Frenchie_ I have $CRDO on there since I felt the selloff to $95 was a huge overreaction.\n\nBut I am a fan of photonic supply chains like $LITE, $COHR, $AAOI, $AXTI type companies", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Are you short copper ? Guessing you like photonic more", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Frenchie_", "ret_m1d": -0.1335974407873689, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1335974407873689, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12879874717925066, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1213018547181538, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012295586069215103, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.123154483972571, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.123154483972571, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.12051732354049016, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.11850679146248455, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004647692510086454, "ret_p1w": -0.1271156149966366, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1271156149966366, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1095350452122934, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12974688842656112, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00263127342992453, "ret_p1m": 0.5952466152976088, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5952466152976088, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6194126779126626, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.6181656057417381, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02291899044412926, "ret_p3m": 2.904213049396414, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.904213049396414, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.8471081456732303, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.5760439022368455, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3281691471595687, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6046, -0.6241, -0.6241, -0.6309, -0.6435, -0.6359, -0.6597, -0.6784, -0.6637, -0.6676, -0.6237, -0.6237, -0.6147, -0.6115, -0.5765, -0.5866, -0.5643, -0.583, -0.5423, -0.4613, -0.4415, -0.4102, -0.4667, -0.466, -0.5319, -0.5549, -0.4955, -0.4725, -0.4519, -0.4728, -0.4595, -0.4595, -0.4465, -0.4746, -0.431, -0.4112, -0.4112, -0.3965, -0.3997, -0.2737, -0.1318, -0.0699, -0.1721, -0.1991, -0.2254, -0.2042, -0.0738, -0.2045, -0.2045, -0.229, -0.2877, -0.3547, -0.3734, -0.359, -0.3806, -0.394, -0.4102, -0.3324, -0.2459, -0.2892, -0.3248, -0.2643, -0.1336, 0.0, -0.1232, -0.0349, -0.1073, -0.1271, -0.1271, -0.1642, -0.1523, -0.1426, 0.0688, 0.0238, 0.2632, 0.4753, 0.3367, 0.3648, 0.668, 0.5038, 0.4091, 0.3972, 0.1656, 0.3885, 0.5952, 0.7054, 0.6828, 0.7595, 0.7425, 0.5974, 0.7559, 1.0918, 0.9532, 1.3205, 1.4645, 1.4253, 1.1069, 1.1833, 0.8988, 1.0519, 0.6975, 0.9028, 0.9028, 0.5121, 0.637, 0.915, 1.273, 1.3111, 1.3929, 1.4235, 1.2661, 1.9449, 1.973, 1.8362, 1.6997, 2.1307, 1.7105, 1.7425, 1.5261, 1.4743, 1.5592, 1.8527, 2.457, 2.8171, 2.8729, 2.7749, 2.9042, 3.1901, 3.5304, 3.4256, 3.3911, 3.1404, 3.4573, 2.8127, 3.0648, 2.767, 3.3579, 4.0713, 4.0713, 3.7749, 3.421, 3.1664, 2.7148, 2.7148, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2017923637706477942", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-01T11:31:01+00:00", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "really great medium term once the silver/gold selloff gets bought back", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Short-term liquidity drain across BTC/ETH/SPY from gold/silver crash, but medium-term bullish once selloff is absorbed, aided by AI-bull Fed Chair pushing rate cuts.", "resolved_tickers": ["BTC-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I see it as a short term liquidity drain across the board (Bitcoin, Ethereum, SPY, mid-cap, etc) from Silver/Gold crash. \n\nThe new Fed Chair is probably one of the biggest AI bulls you will ever see and is arguing for rate cuts to funnel AI growth + productivity. So really great medium term once the silver/gold selloff gets bought back.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I need extremely bullish for AI after that Friday :(", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": 0.06913173159843944, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06913173159843944, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07407850154459417, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946769946154728, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.03882661934945053, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03882661934945053, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03037122291874994, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00845539643070059, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.10888446790272044, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10888446790272044, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10678503015247987, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0020994377502405737, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.13210420960266522, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.13210420960266522, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11041923105116547, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684978551499756, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.030302233026037517, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.030302233026037517, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.06655804003301113, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03625580700697362, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3203, 0.2874, 0.3137, 0.347, 0.3089, 0.292, 0.267, 0.1996, 0.1704, 0.1812, 0.1624, 0.1009, 0.0814, 0.1218, 0.11, 0.1503, 0.1601, 0.1554, 0.097, 0.1609, 0.1886, 0.171, 0.136, 0.1519, 0.178, 0.1694, 0.1757, 0.1472, 0.0982, 0.1163, 0.0947, 0.0861, 0.1196, 0.1246, 0.1109, 0.1134, 0.1086, 0.1095, 0.1074, 0.1238, 0.1121, 0.1276, 0.143, 0.1931, 0.1911, 0.1604, 0.1568, 0.1503, 0.1589, 0.2114, 0.2318, 0.2143, 0.214, 0.1762, 0.1223, 0.1358, 0.1369, 0.1374, 0.1217, 0.1323, 0.1334, 0.0746, 0.0691, 0.0, -0.0388, -0.072, -0.2032, -0.1034, -0.1089, -0.1257, -0.1486, -0.1584, -0.1249, -0.1251, -0.1423, -0.1558, -0.1491, -0.1358, -0.1788, -0.1857, -0.1363, -0.1428, -0.1628, -0.126, -0.1321, -0.076, -0.0997, -0.1341, -0.1307, -0.1113, -0.1078, -0.1041, -0.0981, -0.0486, -0.0606, -0.0946, -0.1115, -0.1038, -0.0988, -0.1038, -0.0938, -0.1258, -0.157, -0.1525, -0.1329, -0.1348, -0.15, -0.1494, -0.1249, -0.0858, -0.0961, -0.088, -0.0726, -0.0534, -0.0573, -0.0494, -0.0449, -0.0198, -0.0358, -0.0297, -0.0062, -0.0053, -0.0157, -0.0168, -0.0297, -0.037, -0.0303, -0.0065, 0.0145, 0.0284, 0.0348, 0.0168, 0.019, 0.0386, 0.0227, 0.0075, 0.03, 0.0048, -0.022, -0.0246, -0.0156, -0.0146, -0.0407, -0.0179, -0.0364, -0.0552, -0.0655, -0.0676, -0.0639, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2017923637706477942", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-01T11:31:01+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "really great medium term once the silver/gold selloff gets bought back", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Short-term liquidity drain across BTC/ETH/SPY from gold/silver crash, but medium-term bullish once selloff is absorbed, aided by AI-bull Fed Chair pushing rate cuts.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I see it as a short term liquidity drain across the board (Bitcoin, Ethereum, SPY, mid-cap, etc) from Silver/Gold crash. \n\nThe new Fed Chair is probably one of the biggest AI bulls you will ever see and is arguing for rate cuts to funnel AI growth + productivity. So really great medium term once the silver/gold selloff gets bought back.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I need extremely bullish for AI after that Friday :(", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": 0.1527150524057055, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.1527150524057055, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.15766182235186021, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946769946154728, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.04982085366444211, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04982085366444211, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04136545723374152, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00845539643070059, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": -0.1027100797345687, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1027100797345687, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10061064198432812, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0020994377502405737, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": -0.15423752289120995, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15423752289120995, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1325525443397102, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684978551499756, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": -0.03758193842531388, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.03758193842531388, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.0738377454322875, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03625580700697362, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.461, 0.4129, 0.4653, 0.5221, 0.4568, 0.4559, 0.379, 0.3239, 0.2901, 0.3321, 0.2895, 0.2079, 0.1797, 0.2595, 0.2617, 0.2915, 0.2859, 0.2934, 0.1944, 0.2788, 0.3614, 0.337, 0.2901, 0.3331, 0.4166, 0.4185, 0.3808, 0.3156, 0.2644, 0.2644, 0.2078, 0.2059, 0.2703, 0.2823, 0.264, 0.2565, 0.2385, 0.248, 0.2517, 0.2675, 0.2656, 0.2798, 0.3327, 0.3761, 0.4059, 0.3508, 0.3242, 0.3151, 0.3191, 0.4171, 0.431, 0.4149, 0.4057, 0.3593, 0.2522, 0.2707, 0.2582, 0.2597, 0.2483, 0.2891, 0.2825, 0.2021, 0.1527, 0.0, -0.0498, -0.0857, -0.2229, -0.1198, -0.1027, -0.1386, -0.1722, -0.1695, -0.1262, -0.1478, -0.1502, -0.1665, -0.169, -0.1601, -0.2085, -0.2096, -0.1236, -0.1355, -0.1764, -0.1353, -0.1542, -0.0929, -0.1163, -0.156, -0.1499, -0.1311, -0.1249, -0.1157, -0.1074, 0.0029, -0.0112, -0.06, -0.0883, -0.0844, -0.082, -0.0805, -0.0752, -0.1215, -0.1506, -0.1369, -0.1022, -0.0877, -0.1226, -0.1241, -0.1009, -0.0437, -0.0657, -0.0662, -0.0423, 0.0112, -0.009, 0.0064, 0.0018, 0.0327, -0.0124, -0.007, 0.0135, -0.0055, -0.0122, -0.0176, -0.0234, -0.0388, -0.0376, -0.021, 0.0009, 0.0072, 0.0027, -0.0227, -0.0159, -0.0021, -0.0297, -0.037, -0.0271, -0.0516, -0.0921, -0.1, -0.0927, -0.0908, -0.1193, -0.0994, -0.1167, -0.1374, -0.1437, -0.1418, -0.1431, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2017923637706477942", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-01T11:31:01+00:00", "symbol": "SPY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "really great medium term once the silver/gold selloff gets bought back", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Short-term liquidity drain across BTC/ETH/SPY from gold/silver crash, but medium-term bullish once selloff is absorbed, aided by AI-bull Fed Chair pushing rate cuts.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I see it as a short term liquidity drain across the board (Bitcoin, Ethereum, SPY, mid-cap, etc) from Silver/Gold crash. \n\nThe new Fed Chair is probably one of the biggest AI bulls you will ever see and is arguing for rate cuts to funnel AI growth + productivity. So really great medium term once the silver/gold selloff gets bought back.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I need extremely bullish for AI after that Friday :(", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": -0.004946769946154728, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004946769946154728, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004946769946154728, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004946769946154728, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00845539643070059, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00845539643070059, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00845539643070059, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00845539643070059, "ret_p1w": -0.0020994377502405737, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0020994377502405737, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0020994377502405737, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0020994377502405737, "ret_p1m": -0.021684978551499756, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.021684978551499756, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.021684978551499756, "bench_c_p1m": -0.021684978551499756, "ret_p3m": 0.03625580700697362, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.03625580700697362, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.03625580700697362, "bench_c_p3m": 0.03625580700697362, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0285, -0.0389, -0.038, -0.023, -0.0207, -0.0202, -0.0365, -0.0366, -0.0456, -0.0536, -0.0499, -0.0644, -0.0551, -0.0412, -0.0322, -0.0255, -0.0255, -0.0202, -0.0247, -0.0228, -0.0195, -0.0187, -0.0169, -0.0198, -0.0207, -0.0142, -0.0119, -0.0225, -0.024, -0.0267, -0.0374, -0.0301, -0.0213, -0.0152, -0.0107, -0.0072, -0.0072, -0.0073, -0.0109, -0.0121, -0.0194, -0.0194, -0.0176, -0.0111, -0.0052, -0.0084, -0.0085, -0.0019, -0.0004, -0.0024, -0.0073, -0.0046, -0.0054, -0.0054, -0.0256, -0.0144, -0.0092, -0.0089, -0.0039, 0.0001, 0.0, -0.002, -0.0049, 0.0, -0.0085, -0.0133, -0.0256, -0.0069, -0.0021, -0.0047, -0.005, -0.0203, -0.0196, -0.0196, -0.0181, -0.0131, -0.0157, -0.0086, -0.0187, -0.0116, -0.0032, -0.0088, -0.0135, -0.013, -0.0217, -0.0148, -0.0203, -0.0331, -0.0246, -0.0262, -0.0274, -0.0422, -0.0476, -0.0379, -0.0354, -0.0489, -0.0512, -0.0648, -0.055, -0.0582, -0.0529, -0.0698, -0.0857, -0.0887, -0.0623, -0.0552, -0.0543, -0.0543, -0.0499, -0.0495, -0.0252, -0.0196, -0.0203, -0.0107, 0.0014, 0.0093, 0.0117, 0.024, 0.0219, 0.0152, 0.0255, 0.0215, 0.0294, 0.0312, 0.0262, 0.026, 0.0363, 0.0391, 0.0353, 0.0436, 0.0581, 0.0549, 0.0636, 0.066, 0.0644, 0.0704, 0.0788, 0.0658, 0.0651, 0.058, 0.0688, 0.0709, 0.0752, 0.0752, 0.0823, 0.0821, 0.0881, 0.0908, 0.0908, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2031754906970050592", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-11T15:31:32+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "that MC is likely go up lots higher up until their possible ipo", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NBIS: ~25% stake in Clickhouse at $15B valuation likely to appreciate further ahead of potential IPO.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@offermemoneyXYZ Clickhouse was actually an internal project run by Nebius, but it spun off as an independent company.\n\n$NBIS owns ~25% of Clickhouse at $15B valuation, and that MC is likely go up lots higher up until their possible ipo.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit never know clickhouse is under $nbis", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "offermemoneyXYZ", "ret_m1d": -0.1389794371149411, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1389794371149411, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.14023617745734684, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1422273054172145, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0012567403424057488, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0032478683022734156, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03531409200465763, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03531409200465763, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.020129143135294125, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.020527783801718047, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.015184948869363502, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01478630820293958, "ret_p1w": 0.058618640573336434, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.058618640573336434, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08064933135250185, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08716559025659587, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.02203069077916542, "bench_c_p1w": -0.028546949683259437, "ret_p1m": 0.21728647250035737, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21728647250035737, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2092477864708886, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2375031427147838, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.008038686029468778, "bench_c_p1m": -0.020216670214426413, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.217, -0.2755, -0.2772, -0.3263, -0.3027, -0.2012, -0.1676, -0.1961, -0.1863, -0.1863, -0.2179, -0.2318, -0.2395, -0.2526, -0.2526, -0.1968, -0.1711, -0.105, -0.1409, -0.1312, -0.1256, -0.0417, -0.0586, -0.0894, -0.0724, -0.0292, -0.0292, -0.1134, -0.1172, -0.1352, -0.1562, -0.1834, -0.1261, -0.1033, -0.1526, -0.2393, -0.2128, -0.1968, -0.2643, -0.3404, -0.2312, -0.1707, -0.1804, -0.2088, -0.1988, -0.1249, -0.1249, -0.1292, -0.091, -0.0392, -0.1257, -0.1017, -0.0841, -0.0525, -0.0635, -0.1858, -0.1874, -0.225, -0.1269, -0.1459, -0.2024, -0.1523, -0.139, 0.0, -0.0353, 0.0085, 0.1594, 0.0387, 0.0586, 0.085, 0.0502, 0.0192, 0.026, 0.0276, -0.0538, -0.0998, -0.1762, -0.0735, -0.0897, -0.0283, -0.0283, 0.0049, 0.0483, 0.1161, 0.2173, 0.2944, 0.3801, 0.446, 0.4891, 0.4763, 0.4031, 0.4211, 0.3978, 0.3942, 0.4026, 0.314, 0.2943, 0.21, 0.2607, 0.2343, 0.3794, 0.5752, 0.5708, 0.742, 0.6498, 0.5809, 0.6617, 0.5993, 0.8507, 0.9746, 0.9638, 0.7845, 0.7655, 0.7128, 0.9637, 0.9177, 0.9177, 0.8578, 0.8605, 1.021, 1.0634, 1.0634, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2036220365660447157", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-23T23:15:40+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "get used to a lot of these orders, since $AAOI hit their inflection point", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AAOI; inflection point reached with accelerating large hyperscaler orders expected to keep coming.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@JungleStocks Because it’s after a $200M hyperscaler order 5 days ago… \n\nI’m just saying get used to a lot of these orders, since $AAOI hit their inflection point", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What's so special about a 53M$ order for a 7B market cap?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JungleStocks", "ret_m1d": -0.08583960983009542, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08583960983009542, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07544869538678489, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07544869538678489, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010390914443310528, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010390914443310528, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.18943190251648123, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.18943190251648123, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.1927887522687477, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.1927887522687477, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0033568497522664664, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0033568497522664664, "ret_p1w": -0.1103801113098043, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1103801113098043, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07466032430795122, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07466032430795122, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.035719787001853076, "bench_c_p1w": -0.035719787001853076, "ret_p1m": 0.5723684624611249, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5723684624611249, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4980604093557526, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4980604093557526, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07430805310537236, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07430805310537236, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5718, -0.5718, -0.6118, -0.6162, -0.6239, -0.636, -0.636, -0.5865, -0.6346, -0.5968, -0.6026, -0.6553, -0.6445, -0.6479, -0.6431, -0.64, -0.6136, -0.6132, -0.6132, -0.59, -0.5992, -0.6016, -0.627, -0.6357, -0.6095, -0.5277, -0.5868, -0.5446, -0.5388, -0.5184, -0.5833, -0.6018, -0.5374, -0.4997, -0.4936, -0.4946, -0.5406, -0.5357, -0.5357, -0.5415, -0.5464, -0.5094, -0.4603, -0.4365, -0.4124, -0.3931, -0.4393, -0.1204, 0.0705, -0.0044, 0.0412, 0.0562, -0.0019, 0.1552, 0.2582, 0.3263, 0.1089, 0.011, -0.0176, -0.0985, -0.0327, 0.0643, -0.0858, 0.0, 0.1894, 0.1948, 0.0173, 0.0256, -0.1104, -0.1166, -0.0983, 0.0851, 0.0851, 0.1221, 0.2285, 0.3858, 0.392, 0.5727, 0.5997, 0.5287, 0.4886, 0.6429, 0.6648, 0.7071, 0.5724, 0.5604, 0.4383, 0.6935, 0.5223, 0.4334, 0.596, 0.7164, 0.9164, 0.8064, 0.8857, 0.8645, 0.6453, 0.5553, 0.9309, 0.9662, 1.3298, 1.1258, 0.9879, 0.8093, 0.7892, 0.7258, 0.8464, 0.8953, 0.8953, 0.8548, 0.8779, 0.765, 0.6542, 0.6542, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2016126247869546583", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-27T12:28:49+00:00", "symbol": "MU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "'Made in America' is the greatest moat $MU and $INTC have... $MU forward P/E would likely be ~8.2-8.5 with gross margins sitting at 75-77%... We're seeing the USA 'Made in America' moat live in action together with 'The Memory Supercycle' of endless price hikes improving bottom lines", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long MU on 'Made in America' moat + memory supercycle driving 75-77% GMs; INTC also benefits from same domestic moat thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"Made in America\" is the greatest moat $MU and $INTC have. \n\nHere's the recent developments with Micron:\n\nFrom NAND + DRAM hike est. on the 25th:\n\n$MU forward P/E would likely be ~8.2-8.5 with gross margins sitting at 75-77%.\n\nThis is followed by new comments from Trump and Lutnick:\n\n- “Everyone who wants to build memory has two choices: They can pay a 100 per cent tariff, or they can build in America\" - Lutnick (Micron Technology memory chip plant, Jan 17) \n\n- \"Trump raises US tariffs on South Korea imports to 25%\" - (Jan 27th)\n\nIt's a fascinating dynamic as Micron still gets tax benefits through overseas expansion as America's champion. Whereas similar expansions by Samsung or SK Hynix are viewed through the lens of tariff risk.\n\nThis is coupled with new news today that Micron was ramping up NAND production in Singapore with $24B.    \n\nSo everyone was wondering, why $MU was valued higher than other memory makers?   \n\nWe're seeing the the USA \"Made in America\" moat live in action together with \"The Memory Supercycle\" of endless price hikes improving bottom lines. \n\nThe White House is doing everything it can to make its domestic leaders succeed.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Holy crap. This just happened:\n\n\"Samsung increases NAND prices by 100%\" - ETNews\n\nEstimates were 33-38% Q/Q growth - Trendforce\n\nThis is an absolute shock. \n\nIt's called the \"Memory Supercycle\" for a reason with $MU, Samsung, and SK Hynix + $SNDK.\n\nIn simpler terms:\n\nThat extra https://t.co/dOsxDCdOzo", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05155517571166213, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05155517571166213, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04758672235073491, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03085537785830117, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0039684533609272155, "bench_c_m1d": -0.020699797853360957, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06103750519364337, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06103750519364337, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.061138175097293246, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03800495790619718, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00010066990364987483, "bench_c_p1d": 0.023032547287446192, "ret_p1w": 0.02242597155829551, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02242597155829551, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.030995409108327987, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04592506873255886, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.008569437550032477, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02349909717426335, "ret_p1m": 0.04572936464931909, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04572936464931909, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.049093798588346726, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0007040390636565697, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0033644339390276334, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04643340371297566, "ret_p3m": 0.2113121292028881, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2113121292028881, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.18198058000306871, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.032248343335862684, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029331549199819396, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2435604725387508, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4542, -0.4548, -0.4281, -0.4687, -0.4213, -0.4193, -0.4203, -0.3828, -0.4125, -0.4033, -0.4226, -0.3986, -0.4105, -0.4432, -0.4495, -0.5093, -0.4947, -0.4544, -0.4529, -0.4389, -0.4389, -0.4238, -0.4141, -0.4165, -0.4294, -0.4477, -0.422, -0.3984, -0.385, -0.3574, -0.3702, -0.4124, -0.4213, -0.4335, -0.4505, -0.3944, -0.3521, -0.3261, -0.3268, -0.3015, -0.3015, -0.3061, -0.2824, -0.2867, -0.3043, -0.3043, -0.2311, -0.2391, -0.1629, -0.1723, -0.2029, -0.1588, -0.1569, -0.1758, -0.1874, -0.1794, -0.1158, -0.1158, -0.1103, -0.0515, -0.0309, -0.0258, -0.0516, 0.0, 0.061, 0.0623, 0.0113, 0.0672, 0.0224, -0.0752, -0.0667, -0.0379, -0.0652, -0.0902, 0.0002, 0.0091, 0.0035, 0.0035, -0.0255, 0.0261, 0.0173, 0.0437, 0.0262, 0.0189, 0.0457, 0.013, 0.0052, 0.0059, -0.0745, -0.0231, -0.0322, -0.0974, -0.051, -0.0174, 0.0206, -0.0119, 0.0387, 0.0769, 0.1254, 0.1255, 0.083, 0.0309, -0.0144, -0.0359, -0.0686, -0.1335, -0.1292, -0.2153, -0.1761, -0.103, -0.1069, -0.1069, -0.0788, -0.0792, -0.0081, 0.0279, 0.0257, 0.0402, 0.1356, 0.1126, 0.115, 0.1097, 0.0935, 0.0959, 0.1888, 0.1747, 0.2113, 0.2792, 0.2298, 0.2643, 0.2612, 0.3222, 0.4057, 0.5612, 0.6256, 0.5769, 0.8212, 0.9395, 0.8694, 0.9597, 0.8924, 0.7672, 0.662, 0.704, 0.785, 0.8585, 0.8314, 0.8314, 1.1847, 1.264, 1.2521, 1.3679, 1.3679, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2016126247869546583", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-27T12:28:49+00:00", "symbol": "INTC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "'Made in America' is the greatest moat $MU and $INTC have", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long MU on 'Made in America' moat + memory supercycle driving 75-77% GMs; INTC also benefits from same domestic moat thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["INTC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "\"Made in America\" is the greatest moat $MU and $INTC have. \n\nHere's the recent developments with Micron:\n\nFrom NAND + DRAM hike est. on the 25th:\n\n$MU forward P/E would likely be ~8.2-8.5 with gross margins sitting at 75-77%.\n\nThis is followed by new comments from Trump and Lutnick:\n\n- “Everyone who wants to build memory has two choices: They can pay a 100 per cent tariff, or they can build in America\" - Lutnick (Micron Technology memory chip plant, Jan 17) \n\n- \"Trump raises US tariffs on South Korea imports to 25%\" - (Jan 27th)\n\nIt's a fascinating dynamic as Micron still gets tax benefits through overseas expansion as America's champion. Whereas similar expansions by Samsung or SK Hynix are viewed through the lens of tariff risk.\n\nThis is coupled with new news today that Micron was ramping up NAND production in Singapore with $24B.    \n\nSo everyone was wondering, why $MU was valued higher than other memory makers?   \n\nWe're seeing the the USA \"Made in America\" moat live in action together with \"The Memory Supercycle\" of endless price hikes improving bottom lines. \n\nThe White House is doing everything it can to make its domestic leaders succeed.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Holy crap. This just happened:\n\n\"Samsung increases NAND prices by 100%\" - ETNews\n\nEstimates were 33-38% Q/Q growth - Trendforce\n\nThis is an absolute shock. \n\nIt's called the \"Memory Supercycle\" for a reason with $MU, Samsung, and SK Hynix + $SNDK.\n\nIn simpler terms:\n\nThat extra https://t.co/dOsxDCdOzo", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03277939031881416, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03277939031881416, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.028810936957886946, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.028810936957886946, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0039684533609272155, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0039684533609272155, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.11040287822510386, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.11040287822510386, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.11050354812875374, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.11050354812875374, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00010066990364987483, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00010066990364987483, "ret_p1w": 0.12110174500038462, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12110174500038462, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1296711825504171, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1296711825504171, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.008569437550032477, "bench_c_p1w": -0.008569437550032477, "ret_p1m": 0.06715230463114485, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06715230463114485, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07051673857017249, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07051673857017249, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0033644339390276334, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0033644339390276334, "ret_p3m": 0.8788982549996154, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.8788982549996154, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.849566705799796, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.849566705799796, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029331549199819396, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029331549199819396, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0858, -0.0897, -0.1008, -0.1571, -0.1263, -0.1523, -0.132, -0.1247, -0.1377, -0.1375, -0.1826, -0.1914, -0.2099, -0.2185, -0.2008, -0.2347, -0.2147, -0.1853, -0.1844, -0.1621, -0.1621, -0.0767, -0.0892, -0.0105, -0.0039, -0.0781, -0.0574, -0.0826, -0.0781, -0.0717, -0.1006, -0.1393, -0.1461, -0.1507, -0.1794, -0.1741, -0.1618, -0.1721, -0.1725, -0.1769, -0.1769, -0.176, -0.165, -0.1509, -0.16, -0.16, -0.1036, -0.1038, -0.0885, -0.0296, -0.0642, 0.0369, 0.003, 0.0765, 0.109, 0.0999, 0.069, 0.069, 0.1054, 0.2349, 0.2365, 0.026, -0.0328, 0.0, 0.1104, 0.1077, 0.0578, 0.1111, 0.1211, 0.1063, 0.0981, 0.1516, 0.1436, 0.0728, 0.0992, 0.058, 0.0651, 0.0651, 0.0512, 0.0348, 0.0157, 0.0041, -0.0068, 0.0499, 0.0672, 0.0348, 0.0382, 0.0357, -0.0189, 0.0376, 0.046, -0.0116, 0.0376, 0.0649, 0.0922, 0.03, 0.0419, 0.0417, 0.003, 0.025, 0.0512, -0.0014, 0.0018, 0.003, 0.074, 0.0039, -0.0182, -0.0624, 0.0046, 0.0933, 0.1468, 0.1468, 0.1559, 0.2044, 0.3419, 0.405, 0.42, 0.4837, 0.4525, 0.4783, 0.5593, 0.5593, 0.4956, 0.5083, 0.4858, 0.5201, 0.8789, 0.9347, 0.924, 1.1568, 1.1507, 1.2677, 1.1803, 1.4619, 1.5725, 1.4953, 1.8436, 1.9465, 1.7455, 1.7382, 1.639, 1.476, 1.4623, 1.5222, 1.7079, 1.6975, 1.728, 1.728, 1.8117, 1.7719, 1.7519, 1.6105, 1.6105, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2014278521741553793", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-22T10:06:37+00:00", "symbol": "MU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$MU looks like the next Nvidia. AI has broken that cycle. Don't overthink things with Micron.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish MU as the next Nvidia re-rating story; AI breaks the memory cycle, White House backing, still undervalued at 11.6x forward PE.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$MU looks like the next Nvidia. \n\nWhen Nvidia was $400B (now $4.5T+), markets thought GPUs were a short-term cycle.\n\nSame with memory today. \n\nAI has broken that cycle.\n\nWith the same \"Made in America\" and White House backing like $INTC:\n\nDon't overthink things with Micron. https://t.co/LBhbVjoKGz", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$MU forward P/E is still ~11.6\n\nIt's projecting: \n\n- 133% Y/Y Revenue Increase\n- 319% Y/Y EPS Increase\n\nThis is called the memory supercycle for a reason.\n\nEven after a 40%+ this month, it's still hasn't even been fully re-rated yet.\n\nAt current prices, it would still be valued https://t.co/BfU292MV2u", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02130385803571222, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02130385803571222, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.016107768387420784, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019094398147288305, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005196089648291435, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0022094598884239147, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0052065551513811315, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0052065551513811315, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004843774911640564, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011983802896503248, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0003627802397405677, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006777247745122117, "ret_p1w": 0.09610656382871707, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09610656382871707, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08876239588527235, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.059613883668415246, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007344167943444724, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03649268016030183, "ret_p1m": 0.07694055564130498, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07694055564130498, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07628739131642437, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04662927210753898, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0006531643248806063, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030311283533765998, "ret_p3m": 0.1307631524991879, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1307631524991879, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10605581062304914, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.022754535831812195, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024707341876138766, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1535176883310001, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4466, -0.4421, -0.4302, -0.4368, -0.4374, -0.4099, -0.4518, -0.4029, -0.4008, -0.4018, -0.3632, -0.3938, -0.3843, -0.4043, -0.3794, -0.3917, -0.4255, -0.432, -0.4937, -0.4786, -0.437, -0.4355, -0.4211, -0.4211, -0.4054, -0.3954, -0.3979, -0.4113, -0.4302, -0.4036, -0.3792, -0.3654, -0.337, -0.3502, -0.3937, -0.4029, -0.4154, -0.433, -0.3751, -0.3314, -0.3046, -0.3054, -0.2792, -0.2792, -0.284, -0.2596, -0.264, -0.2821, -0.2821, -0.2067, -0.2149, -0.1362, -0.146, -0.1775, -0.132, -0.1301, -0.1495, -0.1616, -0.1533, -0.0876, -0.0876, -0.0819, -0.0213, 0.0, 0.0052, -0.0214, 0.0318, 0.0948, 0.0961, 0.0435, 0.1012, 0.055, -0.0457, -0.0369, -0.0073, -0.0354, -0.0612, 0.0321, 0.0412, 0.0354, 0.0354, 0.0055, 0.0588, 0.0497, 0.0769, 0.0588, 0.0514, 0.079, 0.0452, 0.0372, 0.038, -0.045, 0.008, -0.0013, -0.0686, -0.0208, 0.0139, 0.0531, 0.0195, 0.0718, 0.1112, 0.1613, 0.1614, 0.1174, 0.0637, 0.017, -0.0052, -0.039, -0.1059, -0.1015, -0.1903, -0.1499, -0.0744, -0.0784, -0.0784, -0.0495, -0.0499, 0.0234, 0.0606, 0.0583, 0.0733, 0.1717, 0.148, 0.1505, 0.1451, 0.1283, 0.1308, 0.2266, 0.2121, 0.2499, 0.3199, 0.2689, 0.3046, 0.3013, 0.3643, 0.4505, 0.6109, 0.6773, 0.6271, 0.8792, 1.0013, 0.9289, 1.0222, 0.9527, 0.8234, 0.7149, 0.7582, 0.8419, 0.9177, 0.8897, 0.8897, 1.2543, 1.3361, 1.3238, 1.4433, 1.4433, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2026186542633635851", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-24T06:44:51+00:00", "symbol": "5210.T", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Even after the increase, it's still trading at $295M vs. $360M book value. Looks like markets is waking up to the structural dividend announcement last week, unlocking value to shareholders. On top of that you get a high growth, high margin 91% Y/Y AI segment for free.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still bullish Yamamura Glass post-20% surge: trades below book at $295M vs $360M, dividend unlock + 91% Y/Y photonics segment.", "resolved_tickers": ["5210.T"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWJ", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='T')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is Japan’s largest Bottlemaker by the way.\n\nUp 20.3% after my post today. \n\n> Seeing parallels like Toto the toilet maker with Memory vs. Yamamura the bottle maker with Photonics. \n\nEven after the increase, it’s still trading at $295M vs. $360M book value. \n\nLooks like markets is waking up to the structural dividend announcement last week, unlocking value to shareholders.\n\nOn top of that you get a high growth, high margin 91% Y/Y AI segment for free.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Took a closer look: Yamamura glass (TYO: 5210) is a banger. \n\nYou’re basically buying the business for free?\n\nAnd their photonics division is growing 91% Y/Y for optical communication caps.\n\nYou are paying $240M for a company that does $500M sales with $360M+ in actual book value https://t.co/mlHtUaL2xH", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.17412933588050095, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.17412933588050095, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1669133321336852, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.17588310138337904, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007216003746815747, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0017537655028780907, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.12562188737098456, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.12562188737098456, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.13406023631456587, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.13888505781874383, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008438348943581309, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013263170447759265, "ret_p1w": -0.200248745605485, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.200248745605485, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.19003573450305034, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.15201898166845995, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.010213011102434666, "bench_c_p1w": -0.04822976393702505, "ret_p1m": -0.24129351452015724, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.24129351452015724, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19948633484485156, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.17026421364881061, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04180717967530567, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07102930087134662, "ret_p3m": -0.34560771480110475, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.34560771480110475, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.4333743793604843, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3497729810450536, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08776666455937954, "bench_c_p3m": 0.004165266243948862, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2948, -0.2955, -0.3015, -0.3114, -0.3005, -0.301, -0.301, -0.3047, -0.3114, -0.3055, -0.3077, -0.2886, -0.2816, -0.2913, -0.2913, -0.2898, -0.2719, -0.2789, -0.2706, -0.2692, -0.2609, -0.2537, -0.2438, -0.2463, -0.2463, -0.2463, -0.2463, -0.2363, -0.2488, -0.2376, -0.2338, -0.2289, -0.2289, -0.2152, -0.2139, -0.2065, -0.209, -0.2226, -0.2276, -0.2264, -0.2276, -0.2139, -0.2289, -0.2201, -0.2301, -0.2376, -0.2326, -0.2313, -0.2139, -0.2152, -0.2114, -0.1978, -0.1841, -0.1828, -0.1828, -0.1617, -0.1965, -0.1455, -0.1741, -0.1617, -0.1617, -0.1741, -0.1741, 0.0, -0.1256, -0.1157, -0.1318, -0.1517, -0.2002, -0.245, -0.1928, -0.1915, -0.2338, -0.2226, -0.2226, -0.2425, -0.2326, -0.2239, -0.2239, -0.2114, -0.2525, -0.2525, -0.2779, -0.2609, -0.2413, -0.2525, -0.2525, -0.2772, -0.2834, -0.2691, -0.28, -0.2892, -0.2897, -0.2826, -0.266, -0.2806, -0.2933, -0.2915, -0.2959, -0.2925, -0.2887, -0.3015, -0.2987, -0.304, -0.176, -0.1785, -0.1989, -0.2193, -0.1938, -0.1938, -0.2002, -0.2104, -0.2104, -0.2104, -0.2104, -0.1887, -0.2142, -0.2104, -0.2219, -0.2364, -0.2433, -0.2573, -0.3418, -0.341, -0.354, -0.3448, -0.3456, -0.3469, -0.3431, -0.3395, -0.3538, -0.3482, -0.3535, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2014285507270963425", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-22T10:34:23+00:00", "symbol": "MU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "There's a long way to go for Micron, looking at prices alone is a not the brightest way to invest since fundamentals are more important", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish MU: 11.6x forward P/E with 133% revenue and 319% EPS growth leaves a long way to go.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$WMT trades at 40.43 forward P/E. \n\nYes, Walmart the bath towel reseller that's growing revenue 4.9% Y/Y in line with inflation.\n\n$MU trades at 11.6 forward P/E growing revenue 133% Y/Y, and EPS 319% Y/Y. \n\nThere's a long way to go for Micron, looking at prices alone is a not the brightest way to invest since fundamentals are more important.\n\nStocks make ATHs every day.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Buying at ATH’s though is not the brightest idea", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MrAlexBags", "ret_m1d": -0.02130385803571222, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02130385803571222, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.016107768387420784, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019094398147288305, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005196089648291435, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0022094598884239147, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0052065551513811315, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0052065551513811315, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004843774911640564, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011983802896503248, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0003627802397405677, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006777247745122117, "ret_p1w": 0.09610656382871707, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09610656382871707, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08876239588527235, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.059613883668415246, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.007344167943444724, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03649268016030183, "ret_p1m": 0.07694055564130498, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07694055564130498, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07628739131642437, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04662927210753898, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0006531643248806063, "bench_c_p1m": 0.030311283533765998, "ret_p3m": 0.1307631524991879, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1307631524991879, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.10605581062304914, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.022754535831812195, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.024707341876138766, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1535176883310001, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4466, -0.4421, -0.4302, -0.4368, -0.4374, -0.4099, -0.4518, -0.4029, -0.4008, -0.4018, -0.3632, -0.3938, -0.3843, -0.4043, -0.3794, -0.3917, -0.4255, -0.432, -0.4937, -0.4786, -0.437, -0.4355, -0.4211, -0.4211, -0.4054, -0.3954, -0.3979, -0.4113, -0.4302, -0.4036, -0.3792, -0.3654, -0.337, -0.3502, -0.3937, -0.4029, -0.4154, -0.433, -0.3751, -0.3314, -0.3046, -0.3054, -0.2792, -0.2792, -0.284, -0.2596, -0.264, -0.2821, -0.2821, -0.2067, -0.2149, -0.1362, -0.146, -0.1775, -0.132, -0.1301, -0.1495, -0.1616, -0.1533, -0.0876, -0.0876, -0.0819, -0.0213, 0.0, 0.0052, -0.0214, 0.0318, 0.0948, 0.0961, 0.0435, 0.1012, 0.055, -0.0457, -0.0369, -0.0073, -0.0354, -0.0612, 0.0321, 0.0412, 0.0354, 0.0354, 0.0055, 0.0588, 0.0497, 0.0769, 0.0588, 0.0514, 0.079, 0.0452, 0.0372, 0.038, -0.045, 0.008, -0.0013, -0.0686, -0.0208, 0.0139, 0.0531, 0.0195, 0.0718, 0.1112, 0.1613, 0.1614, 0.1174, 0.0637, 0.017, -0.0052, -0.039, -0.1059, -0.1015, -0.1903, -0.1499, -0.0744, -0.0784, -0.0784, -0.0495, -0.0499, 0.0234, 0.0606, 0.0583, 0.0733, 0.1717, 0.148, 0.1505, 0.1451, 0.1283, 0.1308, 0.2266, 0.2121, 0.2499, 0.3199, 0.2689, 0.3046, 0.3013, 0.3643, 0.4505, 0.6109, 0.6773, 0.6271, 0.8792, 1.0013, 0.9289, 1.0222, 0.9527, 0.8234, 0.7149, 0.7582, 0.8419, 0.9177, 0.8897, 0.8897, 1.2543, 1.3361, 1.3238, 1.4433, 1.4433, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2032194165690548623", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-12T20:37:00+00:00", "symbol": "RDDT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Looks completely mispriced. Now down 40% over the past few months. If you strip out carry-forward losses, their net profit is ~28% of revenue, which is absolutely enormous. And they're growing forward revenues 50%+ Y/Y after 70%+ Y/Y growth.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long RDDT: mispriced at $24B MC, ~28% effective net margin, 50%+ revenue growth; META-like monetization ceiling still untapped.", "resolved_tickers": ["RDDT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$RDDT is getting ridiculous.\n\nLooks completely mispriced. Now down 40% over the past few months. \n\nIf you strip out carry-forward losses, their net profit is ~28% of revenue, which is absolutely enormous.\n\nAnd they’re growing forward revenues 50%+ Y/Y after 70%+ Y/Y growth.\n\nIf you ever look at $META, you know how much revenue can be optimized/user. There’s an incredibly high ceiling for monetization with Reddit. \n\nIt’s already derisked since IPO since Reddit is now one of the fastest growing and highest margin companies in the market.\n\nOne day if it pulls a $CRCL post earnings, \nwe’ll look back and wonder how this was valued at $24 billion MC.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03682415967627595, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03682415967627595, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.021405072760483757, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.021815935241261464, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01541908691579219, "bench_c_m1d": 0.015008224435014483, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0008317626491611829, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0008317626491611829, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006491872150167555, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.007945485606845049, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005660109501006372, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007113722957683866, "ret_p1w": 0.04438559634924388, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04438559634924388, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05378410347112794, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06286393278304947, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009398507121884059, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018478336433805587, "ret_p1m": 0.05655951400785675, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05655951400785675, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03365517830278275, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06485632325375112, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022904335705073997, "bench_c_p1m": -0.008296809245894377, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.6522, 0.6938, 0.719, 0.7493, 0.7633, 0.7629, 0.7075, 0.7078, 0.7078, 0.7071, 0.7743, 0.7645, 0.7381, 0.7381, 0.829, 0.8454, 0.9192, 0.9319, 0.9202, 0.8492, 0.8451, 0.9579, 0.9084, 0.7297, 0.7468, 0.7468, 0.704, 0.5889, 0.6222, 0.655, 0.6153, 0.4843, 0.4604, 0.4371, 0.3631, 0.3395, 0.2507, 0.1546, 0.1422, 0.0573, 0.0718, 0.1341, 0.0532, -0.0089, 0.056, 0.056, 0.0528, 0.115, 0.105, 0.1355, 0.0772, 0.0743, 0.1317, 0.1437, 0.1025, 0.1124, 0.1016, 0.1137, 0.0914, 0.054, 0.05, 0.0142, 0.0368, 0.0, 0.0008, 0.0586, 0.0913, 0.0797, 0.0444, 0.0575, 0.0659, 0.0293, 0.0558, -0.0377, -0.0787, -0.0614, 0.0181, 0.0297, 0.0284, 0.0284, 0.046, 0.0672, 0.0964, 0.0464, 0.0566, 0.1293, 0.1685, 0.1983, 0.2284, 0.2386, 0.2573, 0.1858, 0.2424, 0.1566, 0.1712, 0.2114, 0.1186, 0.1172, 0.1133, 0.2588, 0.2784, 0.2978, 0.2594, 0.2397, 0.1781, 0.2061, 0.152, 0.1654, 0.1819, 0.196, 0.2031, 0.1711, 0.1094, 0.1345, 0.0712, 0.0712, 0.0937, 0.1659, 0.268, 0.3308, 0.3308, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2036543096817852663", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-24T20:38:06+00:00", "symbol": "ARM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Arm probably deserves to be up more than 5% on this news if they're multiplying their revenue with a new product overnight?", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Author argues ARM deserves more than a 5% move on AGI CPU news given $15B revenue projection; implied bullish.", "resolved_tickers": ["ARM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$ARM expects $15B in annual revenue from the the AGI CPU:\n\n\"The company projects that the new chip business will generate over $15 billion in annual revenue\" within the next 5 years. \n\n5 times current revenues (~$25B revenue)... \n\nArm probably deserves to be up more than 5% on this news if they're multiplying their revenue with a new product overnight?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$ARM announces new AI chip called \"AGI CPU\"\n\nAccording to Arm, the company \"Expects it to add billions in annual revenue\".\n\n- 136 Neoverse V3 cores, built on $TSM 3nm process\n\n- Custom-built for \"agentic AI\" workloads with OpenAI and $META as lead customers. \n\n$AMD and $INTC have https://t.co/C1HbUg0Noj", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.014300478510445691, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.014300478510445691, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010932322364053615, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.022486218180242656, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008185739669796965, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.16382631528188685, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.16382631528188685, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.1582535563345009, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.15259949068700318, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011226824594883666, "ret_p1w": 0.12092465362742755, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12092465362742755, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12527256056296987, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14928320945818452, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02835855583075697, "ret_p1m": 0.4565056131107996, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4565056131107996, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.36766328795146275, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.24808677077412722, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2084188423366724, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1735, -0.1829, -0.1812, -0.1786, -0.1901, -0.1901, -0.1499, -0.1397, -0.144, -0.1429, -0.1621, -0.1717, -0.1765, -0.2009, -0.2221, -0.2212, -0.2162, -0.2162, -0.2059, -0.1559, -0.1168, -0.14, -0.1499, -0.1488, -0.1852, -0.1966, -0.2193, -0.2077, -0.2253, -0.2227, -0.1784, -0.0834, -0.0767, -0.0668, -0.0717, -0.0946, -0.0717, -0.0717, -0.0598, -0.0572, -0.0595, -0.0695, -0.0828, -0.0505, -0.0239, -0.0422, -0.0556, -0.0785, -0.0981, -0.0804, -0.1063, -0.1525, -0.1284, -0.1068, -0.1101, -0.147, -0.1423, -0.0983, -0.0567, -0.0489, -0.0381, -0.0193, 0.0143, 0.0, 0.1638, 0.147, 0.0679, 0.0148, 0.1209, 0.149, 0.1048, 0.1048, 0.1023, 0.0659, 0.1034, 0.1099, 0.1035, 0.1676, 0.1946, 0.1806, 0.2028, 0.2354, 0.2974, 0.3003, 0.4565, 0.5161, 0.7398, 0.5996, 0.4719, 0.4944, 0.5584, 0.5648, 0.5061, 0.5474, 0.7583, 0.5805, 0.5802, 0.5757, 0.5406, 0.6391, 0.6931, 0.5498, 0.594, 0.6535, 0.9023, 1.2098, 1.2711, 1.2711, 1.3801, 1.243, 1.4842, 1.6177, 1.6177, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2018576691296457118", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-03T06:46:01+00:00", "symbol": "AEHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm actually long $AEHR right now in the event any of the big three memory companies use them for HBM DRAM die burn in or hyperscalers expands Sonoma usage", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long AEHR as speculative play on HBM burn-in/silicon photonics; MRVL a buy but waiting until H2 2026 given MSFT Maia roadmap delays.", "resolved_tickers": ["AEHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm actually long $AEHR right now in the event any of the big three memory companies use them for HBM DRAM die burn in or hyperscalers expands Sonoma usage. Then there's silicon photonics, which is another area of interest.\n\nSo it's more of a speculative moonshot pick to see if it can compete with Advantest and $TER.\n\nAs for $MRVL, I like it but I find it more of a wait until H2 2026 long. There were reports $MSFT Maia faced roadmap longer delays by like half a year and a large part of marvell's expected revenue growth is tethered to this specific hyperscaler ASIC program.\n\nSo I'll revisit it later on in the year.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I’m also curious to hear your specific take on Marvell and Aehr Test Systems", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Sanchecks", "ret_m1d": -0.04155943530415962, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04155943530415962, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05008693512642026, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06743453270517741, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008527499822260642, "bench_c_m1d": 0.025875097401017788, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.123574863712963, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.123574863712963, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.11873094203406587, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.08419645908983531, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004843921678897134, "bench_c_p1d": -0.039378404623127694, "ret_p1w": -0.013240184011788947, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.013240184011788947, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0169962780786993, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03104348621516617, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0037560940669103537, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017803302203377225, "ret_p1m": 0.5689591397387836, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5689591397387836, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.575340363493367, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5653883957891577, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.006381223754583387, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0035707439496259763, "ret_p3m": 2.4229495353722674, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.4229495353722674, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.374963077121868, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.1409639773513423, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.047986458250399266, "bench_c_p3m": 0.28198555802092495, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1287, -0.0997, -0.0956, -0.1482, -0.146, -0.2372, -0.2519, -0.2619, -0.274, -0.2696, -0.2865, -0.2545, -0.2324, -0.2093, -0.1581, -0.1581, -0.1552, -0.1714, -0.174, -0.0894, -0.0622, -0.0901, -0.1221, -0.0982, -0.0497, -0.028, -0.0997, -0.157, -0.1946, -0.2096, -0.2104, -0.1979, -0.1684, -0.1626, -0.1883, -0.1883, -0.2107, -0.2512, -0.2519, -0.2574, -0.2574, -0.185, -0.1361, -0.0905, -0.1107, -0.1651, -0.032, -0.0309, -0.014, -0.0449, -0.0243, 0.0596, 0.0596, 0.0688, 0.0739, 0.1368, 0.0313, -0.0151, 0.0206, 0.0291, -0.0114, -0.057, -0.0416, 0.0, -0.1236, -0.1541, -0.0294, 0.0147, -0.0132, 0.2449, 0.0257, 0.0607, 0.0607, 0.0478, 0.0669, 0.1133, 0.2357, 0.2622, 0.4428, 0.5256, 0.4638, 0.3766, 0.6193, 0.5314, 0.569, 0.4892, 0.3097, 0.5035, 0.5432, 0.5612, 0.3847, 0.3119, 0.3784, 0.3641, 0.3354, 0.3887, 0.2696, 0.3663, 0.4413, 0.4355, 0.2714, 0.196, 0.1078, 0.3637, 0.4564, 0.63, 0.63, 0.9184, 0.8481, 1.3229, 1.5325, 1.5903, 1.6355, 1.7356, 1.6929, 1.9735, 2.0842, 2.3156, 2.4469, 2.5807, 2.5127, 2.5274, 2.2541, 2.0316, 2.0088, 2.3306, 2.4229, 2.1486, 2.3538, 2.5576, 2.3564, 2.5759, 2.8455, 2.5572, 2.7974, 2.911, 2.6594, 2.0736, 1.9842, 2.0283, 2.3579, 2.4947, 2.4947, 3.0427, 2.8183, 2.6775, 2.3957, 2.3957, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2018576691296457118", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-03T06:46:01+00:00", "symbol": "MRVL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I like it but I find it more of a wait until H2 2026 long", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long AEHR as speculative play on HBM burn-in/silicon photonics; MRVL a buy but waiting until H2 2026 given MSFT Maia roadmap delays.", "resolved_tickers": ["MRVL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm actually long $AEHR right now in the event any of the big three memory companies use them for HBM DRAM die burn in or hyperscalers expands Sonoma usage. Then there's silicon photonics, which is another area of interest.\n\nSo it's more of a speculative moonshot pick to see if it can compete with Advantest and $TER.\n\nAs for $MRVL, I like it but I find it more of a wait until H2 2026 long. There were reports $MSFT Maia faced roadmap longer delays by like half a year and a large part of marvell's expected revenue growth is tethered to this specific hyperscaler ASIC program.\n\nSo I'll revisit it later on in the year.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I’m also curious to hear your specific take on Marvell and Aehr Test Systems", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Sanchecks", "ret_m1d": 0.041302718966070406, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.041302718966070406, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.032775219143809764, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.032775219143809764, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008527499822260642, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008527499822260642, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02396075271126108, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02396075271126108, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.019116831032363946, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.019116831032363946, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004843921678897134, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004843921678897134, "ret_p1w": 0.08565003321973785, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08565003321973785, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0818939391528275, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0818939391528275, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0037560940669103537, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0037560940669103537, "ret_p1m": 0.03375691235799505, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03375691235799505, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04013813611257844, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04013813611257844, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.006381223754583387, "bench_c_p1m": -0.006381223754583387, "ret_p3m": 1.1847043695954769, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.1847043695954769, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.1367179113450776, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.1367179113450776, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.047986458250399266, "bench_c_p3m": 0.047986458250399266, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2346, 0.2027, 0.2333, 0.1817, 0.1817, 0.1578, 0.1436, 0.1039, 0.0408, 0.0757, 0.0144, 0.0245, 0.1084, 0.1037, 0.1604, 0.1604, 0.1826, 0.2051, 0.2288, 0.3255, 0.2989, 0.3084, 0.217, 0.176, 0.2232, 0.183, 0.1169, 0.1146, 0.1121, 0.0808, 0.1174, 0.1124, 0.1218, 0.1599, 0.1441, 0.1441, 0.1421, 0.1345, 0.1477, 0.1242, 0.1242, 0.1825, 0.1936, 0.1672, 0.1197, 0.1039, 0.1017, 0.0973, 0.0994, 0.0751, 0.0641, 0.0651, 0.0651, 0.0564, 0.0928, 0.1001, 0.0621, 0.0825, 0.0978, 0.107, 0.0768, 0.0447, 0.0413, 0.0, -0.024, -0.0176, 0.0627, 0.0902, 0.0857, 0.0768, 0.0356, 0.0406, 0.0406, 0.0459, 0.047, 0.0539, 0.0522, 0.0298, 0.0377, 0.0712, 0.0496, 0.0814, 0.0704, 0.0261, 0.0338, 0.0019, 0.1857, 0.2265, 0.2351, 0.1972, 0.1606, 0.1631, 0.2123, 0.2019, 0.1599, 0.1852, 0.1638, 0.1935, 0.2227, 0.3033, 0.2931, 0.256, 0.1624, 0.3112, 0.4126, 0.4179, 0.4179, 0.4497, 0.448, 0.5151, 0.5876, 0.7018, 0.739, 0.7725, 0.7827, 0.7664, 0.8501, 0.9581, 1.004, 1.0836, 1.1928, 1.1762, 1.0954, 1.0295, 1.0737, 1.1874, 1.1847, 1.1676, 1.235, 1.2801, 1.1193, 1.2533, 1.2627, 1.1787, 1.3569, 1.4182, 1.3428, 1.2374, 1.3346, 1.4741, 1.5256, 1.6003, 1.6003, 1.7583, 1.6317, 1.7129, 1.7152, 1.7152, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2028470130628514077", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-02T13:59:00+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "AAOI is on a mega-rally right now and is likely to keep going higher given their $4.5B projections", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long photonics complex (AAOI, LITE, COHR, IQE, AXTI) — InP/photonics is the next memory, NVDA investing in the space, only getting started.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I literally dropped a photonics goldmine last year. \n\nDid you listen anon?\n\nEverything either went up 2-3X in the past two months from $AXTI to $AAOI.\n\n$LITE ended up increasing 100%+. \n\nEven $COHR and $IQE is close to doubling. \n\nAAOI is on a mega-rally right now and is likely to keep going higher given their $4.5B projections.\n\nAnd now $NVDA investing these same photonics companies today from $LITE ( $IQE supplier and $AXTI suppliers to $LITE) to $COHR. \n\nPhotonics is the next memory, with companies like $AAOI looking like the next $SNDK.\n\nBest of all, it's only just getting started for a lot of the upstream suppliers.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$AAOI is up 24% and $LITE is 5% since my thesis today.\n\nFrom BOM analysis, LITE ($27B) is levered toward TPU Ironwood due to OCS but benefits from NVDA + all ASICs.\n\nAAOI ($2.5B), is levered toward MSFT MAIA ramp and Amazon Trainium.\n\nInP like HBM, will be a bottleneck for 2026 https://t.co/TcZ6FUXRkx", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.17832405032051124, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.17832405032051124, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.17775579463630486, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.17775579463630486, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06994445077477685, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06994445077477685, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.061130112291981176, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.061130112291981176, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "ret_p1w": 0.07911423706316767, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07911423706316767, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09092981798668254, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09092981798668254, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "ret_p1m": -0.17481226636328706, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17481226636328706, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12489252478810331, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12489252478810331, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "ret_p3m": 0.6488147570989427, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6488147570989427, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5464213779330347, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5464213779330347, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7498, -0.744, -0.7406, -0.7284, -0.7036, -0.6588, -0.6457, -0.6873, -0.7083, -0.7175, -0.7352, -0.7147, -0.6945, -0.6186, -0.6036, -0.6, -0.6, -0.6374, -0.6415, -0.6486, -0.6599, -0.6599, -0.6137, -0.6587, -0.6234, -0.6288, -0.678, -0.6679, -0.6711, -0.6666, -0.6637, -0.6391, -0.6387, -0.6387, -0.617, -0.6256, -0.6278, -0.6515, -0.6596, -0.6353, -0.5588, -0.614, -0.5746, -0.5692, -0.5501, -0.6108, -0.628, -0.5678, -0.5326, -0.527, -0.5279, -0.5709, -0.5663, -0.5663, -0.5717, -0.5762, -0.5417, -0.4959, -0.4736, -0.4511, -0.433, -0.4762, -0.1783, 0.0, -0.0699, -0.0273, -0.0134, -0.0676, 0.0791, 0.1754, 0.239, 0.0359, -0.0556, -0.0823, -0.1578, -0.0964, -0.0058, -0.146, -0.0658, 0.1111, 0.1161, -0.0497, -0.0419, -0.169, -0.1748, -0.1576, 0.0137, 0.0137, 0.0482, 0.1476, 0.2945, 0.3004, 0.4691, 0.4944, 0.4281, 0.3906, 0.5347, 0.5552, 0.5947, 0.4688, 0.4576, 0.3436, 0.582, 0.4221, 0.339, 0.4909, 0.6034, 0.7902, 0.6874, 0.7615, 0.7417, 0.5369, 0.4529, 0.8037, 0.8367, 1.1764, 0.9859, 0.857, 0.6902, 0.6713, 0.6121, 0.7248, 0.7705, 0.7705, 0.7327, 0.7543, 0.6488, 0.5453, 0.5453, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2028470130628514077", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-02T13:59:00+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it's only just getting started for a lot of the upstream suppliers", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long photonics complex (AAOI, LITE, COHR, IQE, AXTI) — InP/photonics is the next memory, NVDA investing in the space, only getting started.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I literally dropped a photonics goldmine last year. \n\nDid you listen anon?\n\nEverything either went up 2-3X in the past two months from $AXTI to $AAOI.\n\n$LITE ended up increasing 100%+. \n\nEven $COHR and $IQE is close to doubling. \n\nAAOI is on a mega-rally right now and is likely to keep going higher given their $4.5B projections.\n\nAnd now $NVDA investing these same photonics companies today from $LITE ( $IQE supplier and $AXTI suppliers to $LITE) to $COHR. \n\nPhotonics is the next memory, with companies like $AAOI looking like the next $SNDK.\n\nBest of all, it's only just getting started for a lot of the upstream suppliers.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$AAOI is up 24% and $LITE is 5% since my thesis today.\n\nFrom BOM analysis, LITE ($27B) is levered toward TPU Ironwood due to OCS but benefits from NVDA + all ASICs.\n\nAAOI ($2.5B), is levered toward MSFT MAIA ramp and Amazon Trainium.\n\nInP like HBM, will be a bottleneck for 2026 https://t.co/TcZ6FUXRkx", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.10512611152948448, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10512611152948448, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1045578558452781, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1045578558452781, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.11339930714869928, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.11339930714869928, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.10458496866590361, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.10458496866590361, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "ret_p1w": -0.18201084910130072, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.18201084910130072, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.17019526817778585, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.17019526817778585, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "ret_p1m": -0.10276411137488028, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10276411137488028, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05284436979969653, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05284436979969653, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "ret_p3m": 0.09878071511929454, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09878071511929454, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.003612664046613423, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.003612664046613423, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6132, -0.5814, -0.5769, -0.5626, -0.54, -0.5327, -0.5249, -0.5859, -0.5727, -0.5964, -0.5911, -0.5696, -0.5258, -0.5022, -0.5054, -0.4945, -0.4945, -0.5011, -0.5243, -0.5261, -0.5294, -0.5294, -0.507, -0.5441, -0.4926, -0.4984, -0.5554, -0.5513, -0.5661, -0.5387, -0.5766, -0.5617, -0.586, -0.586, -0.5444, -0.5373, -0.5474, -0.5669, -0.5756, -0.5268, -0.5085, -0.513, -0.4997, -0.4594, -0.4445, -0.4056, -0.356, -0.2953, -0.2631, -0.2836, -0.267, -0.2551, -0.2815, -0.2815, -0.2334, -0.2413, -0.1885, -0.1474, -0.1386, -0.1213, -0.0764, -0.1357, -0.1051, 0.0, -0.1134, -0.1308, -0.1691, -0.287, -0.182, -0.142, -0.142, -0.2134, -0.2052, -0.2022, -0.1707, -0.1053, -0.0142, -0.0982, -0.0693, 0.0239, -0.0078, -0.1206, -0.1028, -0.164, -0.1028, -0.0237, 0.0557, 0.0557, -0.014, 0.0415, 0.144, 0.1416, 0.1456, 0.1123, 0.0888, 0.052, 0.1378, 0.1415, 0.1428, 0.0685, 0.1154, 0.0813, 0.1256, 0.0976, 0.0104, 0.0958, 0.152, 0.2128, 0.2463, 0.2698, 0.2056, 0.1396, 0.1539, 0.3445, 0.267, 0.3155, 0.279, 0.2393, 0.1299, 0.1364, 0.1083, 0.2314, 0.2089, 0.2089, 0.1629, 0.152, 0.0988, 0.0916, 0.0916, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2028470130628514077", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-02T13:59:00+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it's only just getting started for a lot of the upstream suppliers", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long photonics complex (AAOI, LITE, COHR, IQE, AXTI) — InP/photonics is the next memory, NVDA investing in the space, only getting started.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I literally dropped a photonics goldmine last year. \n\nDid you listen anon?\n\nEverything either went up 2-3X in the past two months from $AXTI to $AAOI.\n\n$LITE ended up increasing 100%+. \n\nEven $COHR and $IQE is close to doubling. \n\nAAOI is on a mega-rally right now and is likely to keep going higher given their $4.5B projections.\n\nAnd now $NVDA investing these same photonics companies today from $LITE ( $IQE supplier and $AXTI suppliers to $LITE) to $COHR. \n\nPhotonics is the next memory, with companies like $AAOI looking like the next $SNDK.\n\nBest of all, it's only just getting started for a lot of the upstream suppliers.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$AAOI is up 24% and $LITE is 5% since my thesis today.\n\nFrom BOM analysis, LITE ($27B) is levered toward TPU Ironwood due to OCS but benefits from NVDA + all ASICs.\n\nAAOI ($2.5B), is levered toward MSFT MAIA ramp and Amazon Trainium.\n\nInP like HBM, will be a bottleneck for 2026 https://t.co/TcZ6FUXRkx", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.13375266968823796, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.13375266968823796, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.13318441400403158, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.13318441400403158, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.060553363493234036, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.060553363493234036, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.051739025010438366, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.051739025010438366, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "ret_p1w": -0.15586630011405167, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.15586630011405167, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1440507191905368, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1440507191905368, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "ret_p1m": -0.20307114584514885, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.20307114584514885, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1531514042699651, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1531514042699651, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "ret_p3m": 0.2610819564043063, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2610819564043063, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.15868857723839835, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.15868857723839835, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4281, -0.4067, -0.3918, -0.3782, -0.3552, -0.3394, -0.3359, -0.4034, -0.403, -0.4139, -0.4298, -0.4122, -0.3783, -0.3611, -0.3581, -0.3598, -0.3598, -0.3586, -0.3676, -0.375, -0.3825, -0.3825, -0.3499, -0.3765, -0.3506, -0.3589, -0.4207, -0.4043, -0.3805, -0.3643, -0.3841, -0.3444, -0.3609, -0.3609, -0.3528, -0.326, -0.3218, -0.3411, -0.3384, -0.2841, -0.2602, -0.2778, -0.2902, -0.2558, -0.2333, -0.2941, -0.3, -0.2383, -0.1889, -0.236, -0.2516, -0.277, -0.2733, -0.2733, -0.2641, -0.251, -0.2222, -0.1697, -0.1673, -0.1474, -0.1037, -0.1632, -0.1338, 0.0, -0.0606, -0.0805, -0.1507, -0.2114, -0.1559, -0.128, -0.1589, -0.1928, -0.1878, -0.1724, -0.1777, -0.1395, -0.0781, -0.1515, -0.1467, -0.0889, -0.0899, -0.1861, -0.1854, -0.2652, -0.2031, -0.171, -0.1363, -0.1363, -0.1529, -0.1466, -0.0573, -0.0493, 0.0287, 0.0302, 0.0485, 0.0311, 0.0973, 0.1543, 0.1626, 0.1501, 0.1725, 0.1297, 0.1244, 0.0757, 0.0169, 0.0201, 0.0696, 0.1023, 0.1036, 0.1232, 0.1531, 0.0678, 0.1216, 0.2702, 0.2512, 0.3506, 0.3547, 0.2795, 0.2138, 0.1831, 0.1994, 0.2646, 0.2632, 0.2632, 0.2758, 0.2719, 0.2611, 0.2093, 0.2093, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2028470130628514077", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-03-02T13:59:00+00:00", "symbol": "IQE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it's only just getting started for a lot of the upstream suppliers", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long photonics complex (AAOI, LITE, COHR, IQE, AXTI) — InP/photonics is the next memory, NVDA investing in the space, only getting started.", "resolved_tickers": ["IQE.L"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "IQE plc LSE-listed epiwafer supplier", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I literally dropped a photonics goldmine last year. \n\nDid you listen anon?\n\nEverything either went up 2-3X in the past two months from $AXTI to $AAOI.\n\n$LITE ended up increasing 100%+. \n\nEven $COHR and $IQE is close to doubling. \n\nAAOI is on a mega-rally right now and is likely to keep going higher given their $4.5B projections.\n\nAnd now $NVDA investing these same photonics companies today from $LITE ( $IQE supplier and $AXTI suppliers to $LITE) to $COHR. \n\nPhotonics is the next memory, with companies like $AAOI looking like the next $SNDK.\n\nBest of all, it's only just getting started for a lot of the upstream suppliers.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$AAOI is up 24% and $LITE is 5% since my thesis today.\n\nFrom BOM analysis, LITE ($27B) is levered toward TPU Ironwood due to OCS but benefits from NVDA + all ASICs.\n\nAAOI ($2.5B), is levered toward MSFT MAIA ramp and Amazon Trainium.\n\nInP like HBM, will be a bottleneck for 2026 https://t.co/TcZ6FUXRkx", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.25781251105945546, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.25781251105945546, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.2572442553752491, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.2577632491914754, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -4.926186798004384e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.015624984866008385, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015624984866008385, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.024439323348804054, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05334741046031222, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03772242559430383, "ret_p1w": -0.2546875140862538, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.2546875140862538, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.24287193316273892, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.22510996764567903, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.029577546440574753, "ret_p1m": -0.04687502910383001, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04687502910383001, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.003044712471353739, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.009696293820630864, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.056571322924460876, "ret_p3m": 0.8613281568686939, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.8613281568686939, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.758934777702786, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3853322035509221, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.4759959533177718, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.8074, -0.8016, -0.8039, -0.8039, -0.8035, -0.7996, -0.7965, -0.8094, -0.8086, -0.8057, -0.8061, -0.8027, -0.8008, -0.7996, -0.8057, -0.8061, -0.8061, -0.8061, -0.8061, -0.8047, -0.8047, -0.8047, -0.7988, -0.8035, -0.8016, -0.782, -0.7598, -0.7133, -0.5922, -0.6145, -0.6484, -0.6816, -0.6934, -0.6512, -0.6957, -0.7016, -0.6953, -0.6863, -0.7012, -0.7008, -0.6867, -0.6973, -0.691, -0.6863, -0.6992, -0.6895, -0.6949, -0.6906, -0.6809, -0.6094, -0.6, -0.5977, -0.5859, -0.5898, -0.5852, -0.5914, -0.5945, -0.5906, -0.5008, -0.5234, -0.3742, -0.2188, -0.2578, 0.0, 0.0156, 0.0488, -0.1621, -0.232, -0.2547, -0.1133, -0.0508, -0.1133, -0.0918, -0.0977, -0.1562, -0.002, -0.1074, -0.0781, -0.082, -0.002, 0.1523, 0.0391, -0.043, -0.0977, -0.0469, -0.0195, -0.0781, -0.0781, -0.0781, -0.0039, 0.1211, 0.1719, 0.4453, 0.918, 0.8672, 1.1094, 1.2891, 1.0352, 1.2891, 1.4609, 1.4453, 0.9434, 0.8594, 0.9297, 0.5723, 0.5781, 0.6895, 0.6074, 0.6074, 0.9531, 0.7402, 0.7832, 0.8398, 1.1289, 0.8418, 0.9727, 0.9375, 0.7969, 0.5273, 0.25, 0.4668, 0.5566, 0.7871, 0.7871, 1.1094, 0.9805, 0.8613, 0.8555, 0.8555, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2028470130628514077", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-03-02T13:59:00+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it's only just getting started for a lot of the upstream suppliers", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long photonics complex (AAOI, LITE, COHR, IQE, AXTI) — InP/photonics is the next memory, NVDA investing in the space, only getting started.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I literally dropped a photonics goldmine last year. \n\nDid you listen anon?\n\nEverything either went up 2-3X in the past two months from $AXTI to $AAOI.\n\n$LITE ended up increasing 100%+. \n\nEven $COHR and $IQE is close to doubling. \n\nAAOI is on a mega-rally right now and is likely to keep going higher given their $4.5B projections.\n\nAnd now $NVDA investing these same photonics companies today from $LITE ( $IQE supplier and $AXTI suppliers to $LITE) to $COHR. \n\nPhotonics is the next memory, with companies like $AAOI looking like the next $SNDK.\n\nBest of all, it's only just getting started for a lot of the upstream suppliers.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$AAOI is up 24% and $LITE is 5% since my thesis today.\n\nFrom BOM analysis, LITE ($27B) is levered toward TPU Ironwood due to OCS but benefits from NVDA + all ASICs.\n\nAAOI ($2.5B), is levered toward MSFT MAIA ramp and Amazon Trainium.\n\nInP like HBM, will be a bottleneck for 2026 https://t.co/TcZ6FUXRkx", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.18177889085535037, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.18177889085535037, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.181210635171144, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.18172962898737033, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -4.926186798004384e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09844562615142993, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09844562615142993, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08963128766863426, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0607232005571261, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03772242559430383, "ret_p1w": -0.16753018939247322, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.16753018939247322, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.15571460846895835, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.13795264295189846, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.029577546440574753, "ret_p1m": 0.2301381674793761, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2301381674793761, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.28005790905455985, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.286709490403837, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.056571322924460876, "ret_p3m": 1.4978410559266577, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.4978410559266577, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.3954476767607498, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.021845102608886, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.4759959533177718, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7522, -0.7388, -0.75, -0.7256, -0.677, -0.6652, -0.6464, -0.6803, -0.6798, -0.7193, -0.7332, -0.6975, -0.6837, -0.6714, -0.6839, -0.6759, -0.6759, -0.6682, -0.685, -0.6589, -0.647, -0.647, -0.6382, -0.6401, -0.5646, -0.4795, -0.4424, -0.5037, -0.5199, -0.5356, -0.5229, -0.4447, -0.5231, -0.5231, -0.5378, -0.573, -0.6131, -0.6244, -0.6157, -0.6287, -0.6367, -0.6464, -0.5997, -0.5479, -0.5738, -0.5952, -0.5589, -0.4806, -0.4005, -0.4743, -0.4214, -0.4648, -0.4767, -0.4767, -0.4989, -0.4918, -0.486, -0.3592, -0.3862, -0.2427, -0.1155, -0.1986, -0.1818, 0.0, -0.0984, -0.1552, -0.1623, -0.3012, -0.1675, -0.0436, 0.0225, 0.0089, 0.0548, 0.0447, -0.0423, 0.0527, 0.2541, 0.171, 0.3912, 0.4775, 0.454, 0.2632, 0.3089, 0.1384, 0.2301, 0.0177, 0.1408, 0.1408, -0.0935, -0.0186, 0.1481, 0.3627, 0.3856, 0.4346, 0.4529, 0.3586, 0.7655, 0.7824, 0.7003, 0.6185, 0.8769, 0.625, 0.6442, 0.5145, 0.4834, 0.5343, 0.7103, 1.0725, 1.2884, 1.3219, 1.2632, 1.3407, 1.5121, 1.7161, 1.6533, 1.6326, 1.4823, 1.6723, 1.2858, 1.437, 1.2584, 1.6127, 2.0404, 2.0404, 1.8627, 1.6505, 1.4978, 1.2271, 1.2271, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2031272426961776663", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-10T07:34:20+00:00", "symbol": "SNDK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Memory companies like $SNDK, $MU, Samsung, SK Hynix stand to benefit the most from inelastic supply and recent NAND price hikes", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish SNDK, MU, Samsung, SK Hynix on NAND price surge driven by tightening supply and inelastic demand from hyperscalers.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNDK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "NAND prices have now spiraled out of control.\n\nMemory companies like $SNDK, $MU, Samsung, SK Hynix stand to benefit the most from inelastic supply and recent NAND price hikes. \n\nAccording to Phison's CEO per Digitimes: \n\n\"NAND flash prices have surged amid tightening supply, with some manufacturers raising quotations by as much as 50% overnight\"\n\nThis follows reports this week that Samsung has just doubled NAND prices for Q2. \n\nAvailable inventory is becoming non-existent, with hyperscalers and companies willing to pay anything to secure allocation.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.048732462094771445, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.048732462094771445, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.050342176014689266, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.050342176014689266, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0016097139199178212, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0016097139199178212, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.059041149739829546, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.059041149739829546, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.060296312668346674, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.060296312668346674, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012551629285171284, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012551629285171284, "ret_p1w": 0.16364776594311548, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16364776594311548, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1730839919082321, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1730839919082321, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009436225965116618, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009436225965116618, "ret_p1m": 0.26177512309300277, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.26177512309300277, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2607765419296111, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2607765419296111, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0009985811633916875, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0009985811633916875, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6096, -0.6669, -0.6738, -0.6618, -0.6658, -0.6454, -0.6161, -0.6105, -0.6043, -0.5959, -0.5959, -0.596, -0.6053, -0.6119, -0.6164, -0.6164, -0.5553, -0.5571, -0.4351, -0.4287, -0.4595, -0.3902, -0.371, -0.3701, -0.3734, -0.3388, -0.3317, -0.3317, -0.2679, -0.19, -0.1865, -0.2344, -0.2393, -0.2221, -0.1475, -0.1286, -0.0689, 0.0749, 0.1238, -0.0555, -0.069, -0.0338, -0.0573, -0.1248, -0.0316, 0.0184, 0.0124, 0.0124, -0.0457, -0.0299, 0.0036, 0.0502, 0.0769, 0.0317, 0.0218, 0.0533, 0.0266, 0.0003, -0.0864, -0.032, -0.0861, -0.1479, -0.0487, 0.0, 0.059, -0.0001, 0.069, 0.1369, 0.1636, 0.2178, 0.2475, 0.1467, 0.1351, 0.1351, 0.0953, -0.0254, -0.0049, -0.075, 0.0266, 0.1193, 0.1336, 0.1336, 0.1709, 0.1485, 0.2618, 0.376, 0.3763, 0.539, 0.5261, 0.4408, 0.4857, 0.4881, 0.4753, 0.4599, 0.582, 0.5066, 0.5995, 0.7292, 0.6196, 0.7195, 0.7717, 0.9179, 1.0292, 1.2723, 1.2782, 1.1651, 1.5244, 1.5005, 1.3462, 1.3384, 1.2342, 1.2744, 1.1539, 1.2351, 1.2501, 1.4919, 1.3893, 1.3893, 1.5684, 1.569, 1.6526, 1.7387, 1.7387, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2031272426961776663", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-10T07:34:20+00:00", "symbol": "MU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Memory companies like $SNDK, $MU, Samsung, SK Hynix stand to benefit the most from inelastic supply and recent NAND price hikes", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish SNDK, MU, Samsung, SK Hynix on NAND price surge driven by tightening supply and inelastic demand from hyperscalers.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "NAND prices have now spiraled out of control.\n\nMemory companies like $SNDK, $MU, Samsung, SK Hynix stand to benefit the most from inelastic supply and recent NAND price hikes. \n\nAccording to Phison's CEO per Digitimes: \n\n\"NAND flash prices have surged amid tightening supply, with some manufacturers raising quotations by as much as 50% overnight\"\n\nThis follows reports this week that Samsung has just doubled NAND prices for Q2. \n\nAvailable inventory is becoming non-existent, with hyperscalers and companies willing to pay anything to secure allocation.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.034208953175586476, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.034208953175586476, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0358186670955043, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.026759247502441297, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0016097139199178212, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007449705673145179, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.038649573399176074, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.038649573399176074, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0399047363276932, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.029337383702770392, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012551629285171284, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009312189696405682, "ret_p1w": 0.1453201905152708, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1453201905152708, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1547564164803874, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1464527043064776, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009436225965116618, "bench_c_p1w": -0.001132513791206824, "ret_p1m": 0.009404129688952878, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.009404129688952878, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.00840554852556119, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.055000842803135885, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0009985811633916875, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06440497249208876, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3591, -0.402, -0.4111, -0.4234, -0.4408, -0.3837, -0.3406, -0.3141, -0.3149, -0.2891, -0.2891, -0.2938, -0.2698, -0.2741, -0.292, -0.292, -0.2175, -0.2256, -0.148, -0.1577, -0.1888, -0.1439, -0.142, -0.1612, -0.1731, -0.1649, -0.1001, -0.1001, -0.0945, -0.0347, -0.0137, -0.0086, -0.0348, 0.0177, 0.0798, 0.0811, 0.0292, 0.0861, 0.0405, -0.0588, -0.0502, -0.0209, -0.0486, -0.0741, 0.0179, 0.0269, 0.0212, 0.0212, -0.0083, 0.0443, 0.0353, 0.0622, 0.0443, 0.037, 0.0642, 0.0309, 0.023, 0.0237, -0.0581, -0.0058, -0.015, -0.0814, -0.0342, 0.0, 0.0386, 0.0056, 0.0571, 0.096, 0.1453, 0.1454, 0.1021, 0.0491, 0.0031, -0.0188, -0.0521, -0.1182, -0.1138, -0.2014, -0.1616, -0.0871, -0.0911, -0.0911, -0.0625, -0.0629, 0.0094, 0.0461, 0.0438, 0.0586, 0.1557, 0.1323, 0.1347, 0.1294, 0.1129, 0.1153, 0.2098, 0.1955, 0.2327, 0.3018, 0.2515, 0.2867, 0.2835, 0.3456, 0.4306, 0.5888, 0.6543, 0.6048, 0.8534, 0.9738, 0.9025, 0.9944, 0.9259, 0.7984, 0.6914, 0.7341, 0.8166, 0.8913, 0.8638, 0.8638, 1.2234, 1.3041, 1.292, 1.4098, 1.4098, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2031272426961776663", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-10T07:34:20+00:00", "symbol": "Samsung", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Memory companies like $SNDK, $MU, Samsung, SK Hynix stand to benefit the most from inelastic supply and recent NAND price hikes", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish SNDK, MU, Samsung, SK Hynix on NAND price surge driven by tightening supply and inelastic demand from hyperscalers.", "resolved_tickers": ["005930.KS"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Samsung Electronics KOSPI 005930.KS", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "NAND prices have now spiraled out of control.\n\nMemory companies like $SNDK, $MU, Samsung, SK Hynix stand to benefit the most from inelastic supply and recent NAND price hikes. \n\nAccording to Phison's CEO per Digitimes: \n\n\"NAND flash prices have surged amid tightening supply, with some manufacturers raising quotations by as much as 50% overnight\"\n\nThis follows reports this week that Samsung has just doubled NAND prices for Q2. \n\nAvailable inventory is becoming non-existent, with hyperscalers and companies willing to pay anything to secure allocation.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.07663655663170033, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07663655663170033, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07824627055161815, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07663655663170033, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0016097139199178212, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011176124580766222, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011176124580766222, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01243128750928335, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006382256848620704, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012551629285171284, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004793867732145518, "ret_p1w": 0.03193180832448883, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03193180832448883, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04136803428960545, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.033505933725658466, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009436225965116618, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0015741254011696348, "ret_p1m": 0.12259547540360138, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12259547540360138, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1215968942402097, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10752552028694495, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0009985811633916875, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01506995511665643, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4317, -0.4232, -0.445, -0.4555, -0.4285, -0.4301, -0.437, -0.4148, -0.4095, -0.4116, -0.4116, -0.3803, -0.364, -0.3619, -0.3619, -0.3619, -0.3161, -0.265, -0.2608, -0.2496, -0.2613, -0.2602, -0.2613, -0.2677, -0.2533, -0.2342, -0.2076, -0.2054, -0.2272, -0.2044, -0.1895, -0.1905, -0.1905, -0.1511, -0.1357, -0.1448, -0.1458, -0.1996, -0.1086, -0.1001, -0.1522, -0.1559, -0.1144, -0.1176, -0.107, -0.0495, -0.0357, -0.0357, -0.0357, -0.0357, 0.0112, 0.0117, 0.0271, 0.0644, 0.083, 0.1602, 0.1522, 0.1522, 0.0383, -0.0836, 0.0197, 0.0016, -0.0766, 0.0, 0.0112, 0.0, -0.0234, 0.0043, 0.0319, 0.1096, 0.0671, 0.0612, -0.0085, 0.0096, 0.0059, -0.0415, -0.0415, -0.0598, -0.1083, 0.0114, -0.0486, -0.007, 0.0298, 0.0479, 0.1226, 0.0879, 0.0986, 0.0719, 0.1013, 0.1253, 0.1599, 0.1519, 0.1439, 0.1679, 0.1599, 0.1973, 0.1706, 0.1973, 0.1839, 0.2053, 0.1759, 0.1759, 0.2399, 0.2399, 0.4186, 0.4479, 0.4319, 0.5226, 0.4879, 0.5146, 0.5786, 0.4426, 0.4986, 0.4692, 0.4719, 0.5972, 0.5599, 0.5599, 0.5946, 0.6372, 0.5972, 0.6906, 0.8479, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2031272426961776663", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-03-10T07:34:20+00:00", "symbol": "SK Hynix", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Memory companies like $SNDK, $MU, Samsung, SK Hynix stand to benefit the most from inelastic supply and recent NAND price hikes", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish SNDK, MU, Samsung, SK Hynix on NAND price surge driven by tightening supply and inelastic demand from hyperscalers.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "SK Hynix listed on KOSPI as 000660.KS", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "NAND prices have now spiraled out of control.\n\nMemory companies like $SNDK, $MU, Samsung, SK Hynix stand to benefit the most from inelastic supply and recent NAND price hikes. \n\nAccording to Phison's CEO per Digitimes: \n\n\"NAND flash prices have surged amid tightening supply, with some manufacturers raising quotations by as much as 50% overnight\"\n\nThis follows reports this week that Samsung has just doubled NAND prices for Q2. \n\nAvailable inventory is becoming non-existent, with hyperscalers and companies willing to pay anything to secure allocation.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.1087419931810295, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1087419931810295, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11035170710094733, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1362937679608397, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0016097139199178212, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02755177477981019, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.018123632209036122, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.018123632209036122, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01937879513755325, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.001446613316935963, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012551629285171284, "bench_c_p1d": 0.019570245525972085, "ret_p1w": 0.034115111594815506, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.034115111594815506, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.043551337559932124, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0024191060131202313, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009436225965116618, "bench_c_p1w": 0.031696005581695275, "ret_p1m": 0.1012793250150894, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1012793250150894, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10028074385169772, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.026298480474509445, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0009985811633916875, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07498084454057996, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3988, -0.3924, -0.4105, -0.436, -0.4137, -0.4126, -0.4179, -0.3828, -0.3785, -0.3743, -0.3743, -0.3626, -0.319, -0.3072, -0.3072, -0.3072, -0.2796, -0.2594, -0.2274, -0.2104, -0.1955, -0.2083, -0.203, -0.2147, -0.2104, -0.203, -0.1955, -0.187, -0.2093, -0.2125, -0.1966, -0.1838, -0.2168, -0.1487, -0.1051, -0.0838, -0.0327, -0.1168, -0.0348, -0.0423, -0.104, -0.1072, -0.0561, -0.0678, -0.0848, -0.055, -0.0636, -0.0636, -0.0636, -0.0636, -0.0487, 0.0099, 0.012, 0.0695, 0.0833, 0.1716, 0.1311, 0.1311, 0.0011, -0.0949, 0.0032, -0.0149, -0.1087, 0.0, 0.0181, -0.0085, -0.0299, 0.0384, 0.0341, 0.1258, 0.08, 0.0736, -0.0053, 0.0512, 0.0608, -0.0053, -0.0053, -0.0693, -0.1397, -0.0437, -0.1151, -0.0661, -0.0554, -0.0235, 0.1013, 0.064, 0.0949, 0.1087, 0.1759, 0.2111, 0.2313, 0.2026, 0.2431, 0.3049, 0.3038, 0.306, 0.3028, 0.3774, 0.3859, 0.3785, 0.371, 0.371, 0.5426, 0.5426, 0.7068, 0.7633, 0.7974, 1.0043, 0.9563, 1.1066, 1.1002, 0.9392, 0.9616, 0.8603, 0.8603, 1.0682, 1.0693, 1.0693, 1.1876, 1.3913, 1.4407, 1.4876, 1.5393, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2033504948768690385", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-16T11:25:35+00:00", "symbol": "Soitec", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My personal new ones were Soitec ( $SOI ) for silicon photonics substrates", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "New personal picks: Soitec for silicon photonics substrates, SIVE as next LITE for CPO/photonics, TSEM as TSM-equivalent for photonics.", "resolved_tickers": ["SOI.PA"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Soitec listed on Euronext Paris as SOI.PA", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MattReno264555 My personal new ones were Soitec ( $SOI ) for silicon photonics substrates and $SIVE as the next $LITE for CPO/Silicon photonics. \n\nAs well as $TSEM as the $TSM for photonics \n\nThis past week.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Ok, congrats.  We need a new one please.   Im new", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MattReno264555", "ret_m1d": -0.06586446892752107, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06586446892752107, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.055790128034468034, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.049135116188814165, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010074340893053035, "bench_c_m1d": -0.016729352738706904, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.028182374661133047, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.028182374661133047, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.030812929531108257, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.035696568797453865, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00263055486997521, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0075141941363208176, "ret_p1w": -0.179227354689236, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.179227354689236, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.16149992503480692, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.17272850215850133, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017727429654429083, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006498852530734678, "ret_p1m": 0.1453450999470618, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1453450999470618, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10450005477773794, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0020959657324319814, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04084504516932386, "bench_c_p1m": 0.14744106567949378, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.621, -0.6235, -0.6311, -0.6346, -0.6333, -0.6366, -0.6366, -0.6366, -0.6366, -0.6343, -0.6328, -0.6328, -0.6062, -0.5857, -0.5921, -0.5852, -0.588, -0.5727, -0.5771, -0.5518, -0.5529, -0.5388, -0.5537, -0.5654, -0.5657, -0.5532, -0.5489, -0.5638, -0.5606, -0.5559, -0.5649, -0.5795, -0.5828, -0.5915, -0.6119, -0.5215, -0.5184, -0.4953, -0.4854, -0.449, -0.3809, -0.4208, -0.4088, -0.4159, -0.4124, -0.4109, -0.4223, -0.415, -0.3789, -0.3615, -0.3448, -0.3325, -0.3524, -0.3182, -0.3349, -0.3296, -0.3501, -0.3398, -0.3387, -0.3007, -0.1878, -0.0877, -0.0659, 0.0, -0.0282, -0.0025, -0.1422, -0.1805, -0.1792, -0.1973, -0.1365, -0.1536, -0.1485, -0.1799, -0.1824, -0.1596, -0.2084, -0.2084, -0.2084, -0.2242, -0.1415, -0.152, 0.0092, 0.0234, 0.1453, 0.2163, 0.3534, 0.5488, 0.5833, 0.5952, 0.7369, 0.6878, 0.7836, 0.7345, 0.5636, 0.7907, 1.01, 1.01, 1.4303, 1.5, 1.325, 1.3868, 1.713, 1.5602, 1.291, 1.4675, 1.405, 1.344, 1.2206, 1.2665, 1.5016, 1.6377, 1.8079, 1.7913, 1.6393, 1.4414, 2.0431, 1.8111, 1.8111, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2033504948768690385", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-16T11:25:35+00:00", "symbol": "TSEM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSEM as the $TSM for photonics", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "New personal picks: Soitec for silicon photonics substrates, SIVE as next LITE for CPO/photonics, TSEM as TSM-equivalent for photonics.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSEM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MattReno264555 My personal new ones were Soitec ( $SOI ) for silicon photonics substrates and $SIVE as the next $LITE for CPO/Silicon photonics. \n\nAs well as $TSEM as the $TSM for photonics \n\nThis past week.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Ok, congrats.  We need a new one please.   Im new", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MattReno264555", "ret_m1d": -0.0993717196138304, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0993717196138304, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08929737872077737, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08929737872077737, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010074340893053035, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010074340893053035, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004405290712602095, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004405290712602095, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007035845582577305, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007035845582577305, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00263055486997521, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00263055486997521, "ret_p1w": 0.24308516910070455, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.24308516910070455, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.26081259875513363, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.26081259875513363, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017727429654429083, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017727429654429083, "ret_p1m": 0.5462554973845066, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5462554973845066, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5054104522151828, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5054104522151828, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04084504516932386, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04084504516932386, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1869, -0.1573, -0.1395, -0.1453, -0.1255, -0.1155, -0.1155, -0.1218, -0.1254, -0.1285, -0.152, -0.152, -0.1208, -0.1385, -0.1169, -0.1174, -0.1527, -0.1332, -0.124, -0.0989, -0.1103, -0.1045, -0.0624, -0.0624, -0.0684, -0.0365, -0.0613, -0.0711, -0.0825, -0.0422, 0.0033, -0.0272, -0.027, -0.0114, -0.0149, -0.1241, -0.0678, 0.0041, 0.0654, -0.0137, -0.0291, -0.0353, -0.0703, -0.0703, -0.0772, -0.0731, -0.0911, -0.0722, -0.0797, -0.09, -0.0903, -0.1057, -0.0982, 0.0009, -0.0934, -0.1081, -0.1295, -0.2013, -0.1662, -0.1559, -0.1374, -0.1439, -0.0994, 0.0, -0.0044, 0.0252, 0.1994, 0.1817, 0.2431, 0.3058, 0.363, 0.2615, 0.2416, 0.1452, 0.2673, 0.351, 0.4285, 0.4285, 0.3735, 0.3783, 0.4709, 0.4719, 0.4703, 0.5127, 0.5463, 0.5572, 0.5509, 0.6354, 0.6212, 0.5651, 0.4884, 0.4535, 0.4483, 0.4684, 0.3978, 0.4384, 0.5964, 0.5744, 0.5531, 0.6287, 0.5662, 0.5166, 0.5239, 0.6529, 0.5948, 0.9554, 1.0271, 0.9786, 0.7915, 0.8147, 0.91, 1.0149, 1.0469, 1.0469, 1.0837, 1.0061, 0.9896, 0.8432, 0.8432, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2017278999727378786", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-30T16:49:27+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The $AXTI bottleneck is playing out real time… it's just a waiting game for the upstream suppliers like AXT to increase prices… The supply shock feels inevitable.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long AXTI: Indium/InP substrate supply shock playing out in real time as hyperscalers absorb supply; price increases inevitable.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "7N Indium prices have just hit ATHs on SMM with zero signs of slowing down.  \n\nThe $AXTI bottleneck is playing out real time.\n\nWestern hyperscalers appear to be soaking up every bit of the InP substrates + precursors supply for the AI buildout.  \n\nLike $SNDK and $MU, it's just a waiting game for the upstream suppliers like AXT to increase prices (like NAND). \n\nThe supply shock feels inevitable.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.11650494326306804, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11650494326306804, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11949644592024544, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.15135349790633357, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002991502657177403, "bench_c_m1d": 0.03484855464326553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.12944981121981836, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.12944981121981836, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.12447844908888284, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.11827147913945613, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004971362130935519, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01117833208036223, "ret_p1w": 0.29773453494233726, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.29773453494233726, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.29968547263597833, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.3022207234044596, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.001950937693641075, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0044861884621223425, "ret_p1m": 1.4983817371891814, "ret_signed_p1m": 1.4983817371891814, "alpha_spy_p1m": 1.5064600237603303, "alpha_c_p1m": 1.4911194974246085, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00807828657114873, "bench_c_p1m": 0.007262239764572964, "ret_p3m": 2.833333127578367, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.833333127578367, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.8021852548504738, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.5950939039801835, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031147872727893544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2382392235981834, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5394, -0.5092, -0.5216, -0.4898, -0.4369, -0.4304, -0.4078, -0.4369, -0.4369, -0.4471, -0.466, -0.4547, -0.4903, -0.5183, -0.4962, -0.5022, -0.4364, -0.4364, -0.4229, -0.418, -0.3657, -0.3808, -0.3474, -0.3754, -0.3145, -0.1931, -0.1634, -0.1165, -0.2012, -0.2001, -0.2988, -0.3333, -0.2443, -0.2098, -0.1791, -0.2104, -0.1904, -0.1904, -0.171, -0.2131, -0.1478, -0.1181, -0.1181, -0.096, -0.1009, 0.0879, 0.3004, 0.3932, 0.24, 0.1996, 0.1602, 0.192, 0.3873, 0.1915, 0.1915, 0.1548, 0.0669, -0.0334, -0.0615, -0.0399, -0.0723, -0.0922, -0.1165, 0.0, 0.1294, 0.0647, 0.0113, 0.1019, 0.2977, 0.4978, 0.3134, 0.4455, 0.3371, 0.3074, 0.3074, 0.2519, 0.2697, 0.2843, 0.6009, 0.5334, 0.8921, 1.2098, 1.0022, 1.0442, 1.4984, 1.2524, 1.1106, 1.0928, 0.746, 1.0798, 1.3894, 1.5545, 1.5205, 1.6354, 1.61, 1.3927, 1.63, 2.1332, 1.9256, 2.4757, 2.6915, 2.6327, 2.1559, 2.2702, 1.8441, 2.0734, 1.5426, 1.8501, 1.8501, 1.2648, 1.452, 1.8684, 2.4045, 2.4617, 2.5841, 2.63, 2.3943, 3.411, 3.4531, 3.2481, 3.0437, 3.6893, 3.0599, 3.1079, 2.7837, 2.706, 2.8333, 3.2729, 4.178, 4.7174, 4.801, 4.6543, 4.8479, 5.2762, 5.7859, 5.6289, 5.5771, 5.2017, 5.6764, 4.7109, 5.0885, 4.6424, 5.5275, 6.596, 6.596, 6.1521, 5.6219, 5.2406, 4.5642, 4.5642, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028536305030988011", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-02T18:21:58+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI and $AXTI are top two favorite photonic plays", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Top sector picks starting March 2026: photonics (AAOI, AXTI), memory (Samsung, SK Hynix), power (XLU on rate cuts/grid), defense (LASR on Iran conflict catalyst).", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Photonics, Memory, Power, and Defense are probably the top 3 momentum sectors right now. \n\nThere’s others like advanced packaging or thermal but you won’t get to the severe bottleneck or returns as top 4 imo.\n\n$AAOI and $AXTI are top two favorite photonic plays.\n\nSamsung and SK Hynix are top two memory plays.\n\nPower I’ve already said $XLU from rate cuts + grid modernization + hyperscaler inference.\n\nThen defense probably $LASR and others for a bit since the Iran conflict is one of the biggest catalysts. (And hanging around until there’s peacetime)\n\nI usually rotate around 30 or so stocks, so one others like $RDDT I’ve been swing trading and others I’ve mentioned in the past like $RPI I just hold on the side with less concentration in case my thesis turns out right. \n\nLarge part of it is riding the momentum.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Whats would be your pick , if you start new from march 2026.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "0xfinance", "ret_m1d": -0.17832405032051124, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.17832405032051124, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.17775579463630486, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.17775579463630486, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06994445077477685, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06994445077477685, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.061130112291981176, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.061130112291981176, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "ret_p1w": 0.07911423706316767, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07911423706316767, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09092981798668254, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09092981798668254, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "ret_p1m": -0.17481226636328706, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17481226636328706, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12489252478810331, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12489252478810331, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "ret_p3m": 0.6488147570989427, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6488147570989427, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5464213779330347, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5464213779330347, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7498, -0.744, -0.7406, -0.7284, -0.7036, -0.6588, -0.6457, -0.6873, -0.7083, -0.7175, -0.7352, -0.7147, -0.6945, -0.6186, -0.6036, -0.6, -0.6, -0.6374, -0.6415, -0.6486, -0.6599, -0.6599, -0.6137, -0.6587, -0.6234, -0.6288, -0.678, -0.6679, -0.6711, -0.6666, -0.6637, -0.6391, -0.6387, -0.6387, -0.617, -0.6256, -0.6278, -0.6515, -0.6596, -0.6353, -0.5588, -0.614, -0.5746, -0.5692, -0.5501, -0.6108, -0.628, -0.5678, -0.5326, -0.527, -0.5279, -0.5709, -0.5663, -0.5663, -0.5717, -0.5762, -0.5417, -0.4959, -0.4736, -0.4511, -0.433, -0.4762, -0.1783, 0.0, -0.0699, -0.0273, -0.0134, -0.0676, 0.0791, 0.1754, 0.239, 0.0359, -0.0556, -0.0823, -0.1578, -0.0964, -0.0058, -0.146, -0.0658, 0.1111, 0.1161, -0.0497, -0.0419, -0.169, -0.1748, -0.1576, 0.0137, 0.0137, 0.0482, 0.1476, 0.2945, 0.3004, 0.4691, 0.4944, 0.4281, 0.3906, 0.5347, 0.5552, 0.5947, 0.4688, 0.4576, 0.3436, 0.582, 0.4221, 0.339, 0.4909, 0.6034, 0.7902, 0.6874, 0.7615, 0.7417, 0.5369, 0.4529, 0.8037, 0.8367, 1.1764, 0.9859, 0.857, 0.6902, 0.6713, 0.6121, 0.7248, 0.7705, 0.7705, 0.7327, 0.7543, 0.6488, 0.5453, 0.5453, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028536305030988011", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-02T18:21:58+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI and $AXTI are top two favorite photonic plays", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Top sector picks starting March 2026: photonics (AAOI, AXTI), memory (Samsung, SK Hynix), power (XLU on rate cuts/grid), defense (LASR on Iran conflict catalyst).", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Photonics, Memory, Power, and Defense are probably the top 3 momentum sectors right now. \n\nThere’s others like advanced packaging or thermal but you won’t get to the severe bottleneck or returns as top 4 imo.\n\n$AAOI and $AXTI are top two favorite photonic plays.\n\nSamsung and SK Hynix are top two memory plays.\n\nPower I’ve already said $XLU from rate cuts + grid modernization + hyperscaler inference.\n\nThen defense probably $LASR and others for a bit since the Iran conflict is one of the biggest catalysts. (And hanging around until there’s peacetime)\n\nI usually rotate around 30 or so stocks, so one others like $RDDT I’ve been swing trading and others I’ve mentioned in the past like $RPI I just hold on the side with less concentration in case my thesis turns out right. \n\nLarge part of it is riding the momentum.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Whats would be your pick , if you start new from march 2026.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "0xfinance", "ret_m1d": -0.18177889085535037, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.18177889085535037, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.181210635171144, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.18172962898737033, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -4.926186798004384e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09844562615142993, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09844562615142993, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08963128766863426, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0607232005571261, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03772242559430383, "ret_p1w": -0.16753018939247322, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.16753018939247322, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.15571460846895835, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.13795264295189846, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.029577546440574753, "ret_p1m": 0.2301381674793761, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2301381674793761, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.28005790905455985, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.286709490403837, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.056571322924460876, "ret_p3m": 1.4978410559266577, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.4978410559266577, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.3954476767607498, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.021845102608886, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.4759959533177718, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7522, -0.7388, -0.75, -0.7256, -0.677, -0.6652, -0.6464, -0.6803, -0.6798, -0.7193, -0.7332, -0.6975, -0.6837, -0.6714, -0.6839, -0.6759, -0.6759, -0.6682, -0.685, -0.6589, -0.647, -0.647, -0.6382, -0.6401, -0.5646, -0.4795, -0.4424, -0.5037, -0.5199, -0.5356, -0.5229, -0.4447, -0.5231, -0.5231, -0.5378, -0.573, -0.6131, -0.6244, -0.6157, -0.6287, -0.6367, -0.6464, -0.5997, -0.5479, -0.5738, -0.5952, -0.5589, -0.4806, -0.4005, -0.4743, -0.4214, -0.4648, -0.4767, -0.4767, -0.4989, -0.4918, -0.486, -0.3592, -0.3862, -0.2427, -0.1155, -0.1986, -0.1818, 0.0, -0.0984, -0.1552, -0.1623, -0.3012, -0.1675, -0.0436, 0.0225, 0.0089, 0.0548, 0.0447, -0.0423, 0.0527, 0.2541, 0.171, 0.3912, 0.4775, 0.454, 0.2632, 0.3089, 0.1384, 0.2301, 0.0177, 0.1408, 0.1408, -0.0935, -0.0186, 0.1481, 0.3627, 0.3856, 0.4346, 0.4529, 0.3586, 0.7655, 0.7824, 0.7003, 0.6185, 0.8769, 0.625, 0.6442, 0.5145, 0.4834, 0.5343, 0.7103, 1.0725, 1.2884, 1.3219, 1.2632, 1.3407, 1.5121, 1.7161, 1.6533, 1.6326, 1.4823, 1.6723, 1.2858, 1.437, 1.2584, 1.6127, 2.0404, 2.0404, 1.8627, 1.6505, 1.4978, 1.2271, 1.2271, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028536305030988011", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-02T18:21:58+00:00", "symbol": "005930.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Samsung and SK Hynix are top two memory plays", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Top sector picks starting March 2026: photonics (AAOI, AXTI), memory (Samsung, SK Hynix), power (XLU on rate cuts/grid), defense (LASR on Iran conflict catalyst).", "resolved_tickers": ["005930.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Photonics, Memory, Power, and Defense are probably the top 3 momentum sectors right now. \n\nThere’s others like advanced packaging or thermal but you won’t get to the severe bottleneck or returns as top 4 imo.\n\n$AAOI and $AXTI are top two favorite photonic plays.\n\nSamsung and SK Hynix are top two memory plays.\n\nPower I’ve already said $XLU from rate cuts + grid modernization + hyperscaler inference.\n\nThen defense probably $LASR and others for a bit since the Iran conflict is one of the biggest catalysts. (And hanging around until there’s peacetime)\n\nI usually rotate around 30 or so stocks, so one others like $RDDT I’ve been swing trading and others I’ve mentioned in the past like $RPI I just hold on the side with less concentration in case my thesis turns out right. \n\nLarge part of it is riding the momentum.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Whats would be your pick , if you start new from march 2026.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "0xfinance", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0005682556842063757, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0055898388543234034, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0055898388543234034, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09884526208146449, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09884526208146449, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.09003092359866882, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.084225843558279, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01461941852318549, "ret_p1w": -0.1986143434258696, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1986143434258696, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.18679876250235472, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2001909506044468, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0015766071785772162, "ret_p1m": -0.2261151425649689, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2261151425649689, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.17619540098978514, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.17971438894673752, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04640075361823137, "ret_p3m": 0.3862351363743528, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3862351363743528, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.28384175720844484, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04552758791859035, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.34070754845576245, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5197, -0.5169, -0.5017, -0.4967, -0.5017, -0.5036, -0.5068, -0.4994, -0.5183, -0.5275, -0.504, -0.5054, -0.5114, -0.4921, -0.4875, -0.4893, -0.4893, -0.4622, -0.448, -0.4462, -0.4462, -0.4462, -0.4065, -0.3621, -0.3584, -0.3487, -0.3589, -0.358, -0.3589, -0.3644, -0.352, -0.3353, -0.3122, -0.3104, -0.3293, -0.3095, -0.2965, -0.2975, -0.2975, -0.2633, -0.2499, -0.2577, -0.2587, -0.3053, -0.2263, -0.2189, -0.2642, -0.2674, -0.2314, -0.2342, -0.2249, -0.1751, -0.163, -0.163, -0.163, -0.163, -0.1224, -0.1219, -0.1085, -0.0762, -0.06, 0.0069, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0988, -0.2046, -0.115, -0.1307, -0.1986, -0.1321, -0.1224, -0.1321, -0.1524, -0.1284, -0.1044, -0.037, -0.0739, -0.079, -0.1395, -0.1238, -0.127, -0.1681, -0.1681, -0.184, -0.2261, -0.1222, -0.1743, -0.1382, -0.1062, -0.0905, -0.0257, -0.0558, -0.0465, -0.0697, -0.0442, -0.0234, 0.0067, -0.0002, -0.0072, 0.0136, 0.0067, 0.0391, 0.016, 0.0391, 0.0275, 0.046, 0.0206, 0.0206, 0.0761, 0.0761, 0.2312, 0.2566, 0.2428, 0.3214, 0.2914, 0.3145, 0.37, 0.252, 0.3006, 0.2752, 0.2775, 0.3862, 0.3538, 0.3538, 0.3839, 0.4209, 0.3862, 0.4672, 0.6038, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028536305030988011", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-03-02T18:21:58+00:00", "symbol": "000660.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Samsung and SK Hynix are top two memory plays", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Top sector picks starting March 2026: photonics (AAOI, AXTI), memory (Samsung, SK Hynix), power (XLU on rate cuts/grid), defense (LASR on Iran conflict catalyst).", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Photonics, Memory, Power, and Defense are probably the top 3 momentum sectors right now. \n\nThere’s others like advanced packaging or thermal but you won’t get to the severe bottleneck or returns as top 4 imo.\n\n$AAOI and $AXTI are top two favorite photonic plays.\n\nSamsung and SK Hynix are top two memory plays.\n\nPower I’ve already said $XLU from rate cuts + grid modernization + hyperscaler inference.\n\nThen defense probably $LASR and others for a bit since the Iran conflict is one of the biggest catalysts. (And hanging around until there’s peacetime)\n\nI usually rotate around 30 or so stocks, so one others like $RDDT I’ve been swing trading and others I’ve mentioned in the past like $RPI I just hold on the side with less concentration in case my thesis turns out right. \n\nLarge part of it is riding the momentum.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Whats would be your pick , if you start new from march 2026.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "0xfinance", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0005682556842063757, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.025959075541144516, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": 0.025959075541144516, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.11498588182920777, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.11498588182920777, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.1061715433464121, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01196298878376778, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.10302289304543999, "ret_p1w": -0.21206408092964646, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.21206408092964646, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2002485000061316, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11954683463960392, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.09251724629004254, "ret_p1m": -0.23939681952013425, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.23939681952013425, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1894770779449505, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07313687464993268, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.16625994487020157, "ret_p3m": 1.157759408647605, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.157759408647605, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.055366029481697, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.7587488823165744, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3990105263310306, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4807, -0.4901, -0.4882, -0.4572, -0.4675, -0.4478, -0.4685, -0.4628, -0.4788, -0.5014, -0.4816, -0.4807, -0.4854, -0.4544, -0.4506, -0.4468, -0.4468, -0.4365, -0.3979, -0.3876, -0.3876, -0.3876, -0.3631, -0.3452, -0.317, -0.3019, -0.2888, -0.3001, -0.2954, -0.3057, -0.3019, -0.2954, -0.2888, -0.2813, -0.301, -0.3038, -0.2897, -0.2784, -0.3076, -0.2474, -0.2088, -0.19, -0.1448, -0.2192, -0.1467, -0.1533, -0.2079, -0.2107, -0.1655, -0.1759, -0.1909, -0.1646, -0.1721, -0.1721, -0.1721, -0.1721, -0.159, -0.1072, -0.1053, -0.0545, -0.0423, 0.0358, 0.0, 0.0, -0.115, -0.1998, -0.1131, -0.1291, -0.2121, -0.1159, -0.0999, -0.1235, -0.1423, -0.082, -0.0858, -0.0047, -0.0452, -0.0509, -0.1206, -0.0707, -0.0622, -0.1206, -0.1206, -0.1772, -0.2394, -0.1546, -0.2177, -0.1744, -0.1649, -0.1367, -0.0264, -0.0594, -0.032, -0.0198, 0.0396, 0.0707, 0.0886, 0.0631, 0.099, 0.1536, 0.1527, 0.1546, 0.1517, 0.2177, 0.2253, 0.2187, 0.2121, 0.2121, 0.3638, 0.3638, 0.509, 0.5589, 0.5891, 0.7719, 0.7295, 0.8624, 0.8567, 0.7144, 0.7342, 0.6447, 0.6447, 0.8285, 0.8294, 0.8294, 0.934, 1.114, 1.1578, 1.1992, 1.245, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028536305030988011", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-03-02T18:21:58+00:00", "symbol": "XLU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$XLU from rate cuts + grid modernization + hyperscaler inference", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Top sector picks starting March 2026: photonics (AAOI, AXTI), memory (Samsung, SK Hynix), power (XLU on rate cuts/grid), defense (LASR on Iran conflict catalyst).", "resolved_tickers": ["XLU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Photonics, Memory, Power, and Defense are probably the top 3 momentum sectors right now. \n\nThere’s others like advanced packaging or thermal but you won’t get to the severe bottleneck or returns as top 4 imo.\n\n$AAOI and $AXTI are top two favorite photonic plays.\n\nSamsung and SK Hynix are top two memory plays.\n\nPower I’ve already said $XLU from rate cuts + grid modernization + hyperscaler inference.\n\nThen defense probably $LASR and others for a bit since the Iran conflict is one of the biggest catalysts. (And hanging around until there’s peacetime)\n\nI usually rotate around 30 or so stocks, so one others like $RDDT I’ve been swing trading and others I’ve mentioned in the past like $RPI I just hold on the side with less concentration in case my thesis turns out right. \n\nLarge part of it is riding the momentum.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Whats would be your pick , if you start new from march 2026.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "0xfinance", "ret_m1d": 0.007599777027146537, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007599777027146537, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008168032711352913, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008168032711352913, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006333106976205594, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006333106976205594, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.002481231506590076, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.002481231506590076, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "ret_p1w": -0.010977374613045265, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.010977374613045265, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0008382063104696025, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0008382063104696025, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "ret_p1m": -0.024470411090385613, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.024470411090385613, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02544933048479814, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02544933048479814, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "ret_p3m": -0.05125545491214156, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.05125545491214156, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.15364883407804952, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.15364883407804952, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0822, -0.0841, -0.0927, -0.1049, -0.1042, -0.1047, -0.0982, -0.1026, -0.0944, -0.0982, -0.104, -0.0952, -0.1068, -0.1034, -0.1003, -0.0963, -0.0963, -0.0969, -0.0952, -0.0931, -0.0988, -0.0988, -0.0885, -0.0986, -0.0942, -0.1161, -0.1136, -0.1026, -0.1011, -0.0954, -0.0887, -0.0794, -0.084, -0.084, -0.0931, -0.0918, -0.0984, -0.1015, -0.095, -0.0832, -0.0853, -0.0853, -0.087, -0.1003, -0.0872, -0.0906, -0.0901, -0.0849, -0.0821, -0.0669, -0.0587, -0.0448, -0.0184, -0.0184, -0.0209, -0.0372, -0.0266, -0.022, -0.0146, -0.0036, -0.0002, -0.004, 0.0076, 0.0, -0.0063, -0.0021, -0.0099, -0.0133, -0.011, -0.0171, -0.0253, -0.0184, -0.0087, -0.0023, -0.0051, -0.0135, -0.0175, -0.0574, -0.0481, -0.0415, -0.0381, -0.0364, -0.0308, -0.0238, -0.0245, -0.0198, -0.0149, -0.0149, -0.0185, -0.0164, -0.0056, 0.0023, -0.0017, -0.0138, -0.0121, -0.0217, -0.0147, -0.0187, -0.0274, -0.0445, -0.0462, -0.0202, -0.0183, -0.0181, -0.0168, -0.0289, -0.0041, -0.0104, -0.0143, -0.0143, -0.0283, -0.0408, -0.0493, -0.0404, -0.0394, -0.0504, -0.0455, -0.0674, -0.0659, -0.0574, -0.0538, -0.0434, -0.0359, -0.0359, -0.0364, -0.0404, -0.0513, -0.0557, -0.0557, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2028536305030988011", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2026-03-02T18:21:58+00:00", "symbol": "LASR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "defense probably $LASR and others for a bit since the Iran conflict is one of the biggest catalysts", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Top sector picks starting March 2026: photonics (AAOI, AXTI), memory (Samsung, SK Hynix), power (XLU on rate cuts/grid), defense (LASR on Iran conflict catalyst).", "resolved_tickers": ["LASR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Photonics, Memory, Power, and Defense are probably the top 3 momentum sectors right now. \n\nThere’s others like advanced packaging or thermal but you won’t get to the severe bottleneck or returns as top 4 imo.\n\n$AAOI and $AXTI are top two favorite photonic plays.\n\nSamsung and SK Hynix are top two memory plays.\n\nPower I’ve already said $XLU from rate cuts + grid modernization + hyperscaler inference.\n\nThen defense probably $LASR and others for a bit since the Iran conflict is one of the biggest catalysts. (And hanging around until there’s peacetime)\n\nI usually rotate around 30 or so stocks, so one others like $RDDT I’ve been swing trading and others I’ve mentioned in the past like $RPI I just hold on the side with less concentration in case my thesis turns out right. \n\nLarge part of it is riding the momentum.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Whats would be your pick , if you start new from march 2026.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "0xfinance", "ret_m1d": -0.16989220564221263, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.16989220564221263, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.16932394995800626, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.16932394995800626, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06825236489806885, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06825236489806885, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05943802641527318, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05943802641527318, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "ret_p1w": -0.0988329472612628, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0988329472612628, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08701736633774793, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08701736633774793, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "ret_p1m": -0.15763039738222395, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15763039738222395, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1077106558070402, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1077106558070402, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "ret_p3m": 0.1693012065466042, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1693012065466042, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.06690782738069623, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.06690782738069623, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4959, -0.4631, -0.4617, -0.4541, -0.4401, -0.4416, -0.4352, -0.4664, -0.4608, -0.4766, -0.488, -0.4689, -0.4429, -0.4351, -0.4172, -0.4191, -0.4191, -0.4209, -0.4237, -0.4305, -0.4459, -0.4459, -0.4332, -0.4373, -0.443, -0.4453, -0.4086, -0.4088, -0.3859, -0.3689, -0.3622, -0.3525, -0.3509, -0.3509, -0.3315, -0.3213, -0.2909, -0.351, -0.3562, -0.3363, -0.3207, -0.304, -0.3262, -0.2897, -0.2616, -0.352, -0.3191, -0.2448, -0.1935, -0.2182, -0.1898, -0.2254, -0.2277, -0.2277, -0.2482, -0.1971, -0.1774, -0.1726, -0.1919, -0.1485, -0.1047, -0.07, -0.1699, 0.0, -0.0683, -0.0099, -0.0758, -0.1337, -0.0988, -0.0576, -0.0177, -0.0727, -0.0752, 0.012, 0.051, 0.0126, 0.0471, -0.0285, 0.0334, 0.0572, 0.06, -0.0566, -0.0498, -0.2022, -0.1576, -0.1387, -0.1118, -0.1118, -0.1402, -0.1473, -0.1089, -0.0734, -0.0343, 0.0321, -0.0121, -0.0188, 0.0264, 0.0405, 0.0539, 0.0669, 0.0634, 0.0962, 0.1197, 0.0347, -0.0282, -0.0402, 0.0319, 0.0486, 0.0254, -0.0109, 0.0532, -0.0222, 0.0919, 0.255, 0.2381, 0.1881, 0.2015, 0.117, 0.0464, 0.0266, 0.0533, 0.1291, 0.1604, 0.1604, 0.2051, 0.2024, 0.1693, 0.095, 0.095, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2030084628128915552", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-07T00:54:27+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "even at $22 with the regulatory issues cleared up, looks good again. And now there's 40% of the float shorted to add fuel to the fire", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish HIMS at $22: regulatory issues clearing + 40% short float creates upside catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@demarscrypto Lot of people bought $HIMS, 50-$70, so even at $22 with the regulatory issues cleared up, looks good again. \n\nAnd now there’s 40% of the float shorted to add fuel to the fire", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Another 37% and I’ll be break even 😂", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "demarscrypto", "ret_m1d": -0.2897111967734822, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.2897111967734822, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.281027243409127, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.281027243409127, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0591154997726846, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0591154997726846, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06072262667805173, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06072262667805173, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "ret_p1w": 0.12274365216984151, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12274365216984151, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.13636655889404026, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13636655889404026, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "ret_p1m": -0.12003609502383417, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12003609502383417, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09460413060422168, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09460413060422168, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.7094, 0.7044, 0.6792, 0.6358, 0.6634, 0.5781, 0.569, 0.6047, 0.5817, 0.5704, 0.5645, 0.5645, 0.5483, 0.5388, 0.491, 0.4653, 0.4653, 0.5077, 0.5663, 0.6002, 0.6002, 0.5284, 0.4301, 0.4594, 0.4531, 0.4134, 0.4093, 0.4161, 0.4161, 0.375, 0.3037, 0.3773, 0.3366, 0.3664, 0.3394, 0.2938, 0.3479, 0.2225, 0.1931, 0.1525, 0.1011, 0.0596, 0.0388, -0.1277, -0.222, -0.2468, -0.287, -0.2644, -0.2644, -0.2658, -0.2852, -0.2861, -0.2947, -0.3001, -0.3023, -0.2861, -0.296, -0.3448, -0.2563, -0.2861, -0.2577, -0.2834, -0.2897, 0.0, 0.0591, 0.1679, 0.0758, 0.1178, 0.1227, 0.1273, 0.0447, 0.0903, -0.0063, 0.0135, -0.037, -0.0596, -0.0587, -0.1255, -0.1525, -0.0632, -0.1047, -0.1363, -0.1363, -0.0826, -0.12, -0.125, -0.1088, -0.1232, -0.0456, -0.0361, 0.0961, 0.218, 0.3005, 0.3994, 0.343, 0.3091, 0.2703, 0.3791, 0.3263, 0.2595, 0.1882, 0.2261, 0.2369, 0.2306, 0.1882, 0.213, 0.1575, 0.2757, 0.315, 0.1295, 0.0894, 0.0939, 0.1304, 0.0059, 0.0126, 0.0397, 0.0835, 0.0718, 0.0718, 0.0763, 0.1372, 0.1453, 0.1801, 0.1801, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2029164086987243934", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-04T11:56:33+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Very confident about $AAOI long term as long as management executives and hits their projections", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long AAOI long-term on management execution; high conviction provided projections are met.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Mellokhai Very confident about $AAOI long term as long as management executives and hits their projections.  \n\n$IQE more of a moonshot with a ton of risks with debt/restructuring, who knows. Glad it's doubled since I mentioned it though.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit we are going to make millions with $AAOI and $IQE", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Mellokhai", "ret_m1d": -0.043827126534018324, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.043827126534018324, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.036821246822582476, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.036821246822582476, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007005879711435847, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007005879711435847, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0143415938050937, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0143415938050937, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01991714065148753, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01991714065148753, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005575546846393831, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005575546846393831, "ret_p1w": 0.2737940357278481, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2737940357278481, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.28663826763722366, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.28663826763722366, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012844231909375559, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012844231909375559, "ret_p1m": 0.042122200543583954, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.042122200543583954, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08227353426287731, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08227353426287731, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04015133371929336, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04015133371929336, "ret_p3m": 0.5887073023429381, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5887073023429381, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4815510554499056, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4815510554499056, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10715624689303249, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10715624689303249, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7333, -0.7208, -0.6953, -0.6492, -0.6357, -0.6785, -0.7001, -0.7096, -0.7278, -0.7066, -0.6859, -0.6079, -0.5924, -0.5888, -0.5888, -0.6272, -0.6314, -0.6388, -0.6504, -0.6504, -0.6028, -0.6491, -0.6128, -0.6183, -0.6689, -0.6586, -0.6618, -0.6572, -0.6543, -0.6289, -0.6285, -0.6285, -0.6063, -0.6151, -0.6174, -0.6418, -0.6501, -0.625, -0.5464, -0.6031, -0.5626, -0.5571, -0.5375, -0.5998, -0.6176, -0.5557, -0.5195, -0.5137, -0.5146, -0.5588, -0.5541, -0.5541, -0.5596, -0.5643, -0.5288, -0.4817, -0.4588, -0.4357, -0.4171, -0.4615, -0.1553, 0.0281, -0.0438, 0.0, 0.0143, -0.0414, 0.1094, 0.2084, 0.2738, 0.065, -0.0291, -0.0566, -0.1342, -0.071, 0.0222, -0.1221, -0.0396, 0.1423, 0.1474, -0.023, -0.015, -0.1456, -0.1516, -0.134, 0.0421, 0.0421, 0.0776, 0.1798, 0.3309, 0.3369, 0.5104, 0.5364, 0.4682, 0.4296, 0.5778, 0.5988, 0.6395, 0.5101, 0.4985, 0.3813, 0.6264, 0.462, 0.3766, 0.5327, 0.6484, 0.8404, 0.7348, 0.811, 0.7906, 0.5801, 0.4937, 0.8544, 0.8883, 1.2375, 1.0416, 0.9091, 0.7376, 0.7183, 0.6574, 0.7732, 0.8202, 0.8202, 0.7814, 0.8035, 0.6951, 0.5887, 0.5887, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2034338587098194001", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-18T18:38:10+00:00", "symbol": "POET Technologies", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's more derisked in my view from captive models like $SIVE (light source) $POET -> $MRVL Celestial -> $MSFT Maia in 2028 kind of guaranteeing revenue in the future from hyperscaler supply chains", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish on POET as upstream laser supplier with derisked captive revenue from hyperscaler chains; secondary long on MRVL via Celestial co-design thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["POET"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "POET Technologies trades as POET on NASDAQ", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "All good questions! My thoughts:\n\n- With $NVDA GTC, CPO is hitting their inflection point today. So I think the timing is right. Before, it was too early.\n- Largely undiscovered, as I mentioned in supply chain mapping, most institutions don't go upstream to pinpoint major players (as seen with $AXTI). \n- Stockholm market so very niche, not as many people pay attention to it. \n- They refinanced, so it's in a healthy spot. Debt is $12M convertible loan (10.85%) and a $5M term loan (12%), which is pennies to hyperscaler supply chains.\n\nAs for scale: Win semi qualification is very critical.\n\nIt's more derisked in my view from captive models like $SIVE (light source) $POET -> $MRVL Celestial -> $MSFT Maia in 2028 kind of guaranteeing revenue in the future from hyperscaler supply chains. \n\nThen there's a lot of potential with Ayar, and others.\n\nIt's the upstream laser supplier so wins either way across the board, but it does need to compete with $LITE, $MTSI, $OCHR and others.  \n\nMy argument was that it was early enough to tailor and co-design cw dfb lasers toward companies like $POET specifications so it's more designed in.\n\nSame argument with $POET and Marvell Celestial.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit thanks for sharing bro!\n\nYou noted that suppliers usually trade at a premium to packagers. Why is the market currently getting this wrong? Is it just undiscovered, or is there a known drag on the stock (e.g., high cash burn, debt, or the CPO transition taking longer than", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "_stockResearch", "ret_m1d": 0.06310685342326261, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06310685342326261, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04895574853671958, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.054952837761443885, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.014151104886543031, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008154015661818725, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008090645974711208, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008090645974711208, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010554986459903049, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004915397778598729, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0024643404851918405, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003175248196112479, "ret_p1w": -0.012944971833043106, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.012944971833043106, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.008687222896531899, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.026534972095838216, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0042577489365112076, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01359000026279511, "ret_p1m": 0.18770232305348, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.18770232305348, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12398247081212665, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.032420050388188626, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06371985224135335, "bench_c_p1m": 0.15528227266529138, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0971, 0.2314, 0.157, 0.1359, 0.1359, 0.1019, 0.0583, 0.055, 0.0243, 0.0243, 0.1586, 0.2023, 0.1893, 0.2055, 0.178, 0.1958, 0.1667, 0.1553, 0.3091, 0.3447, 0.343, 0.343, 0.3333, 0.3544, 0.123, 0.1181, 0.0453, 0.0987, 0.0065, -0.0372, -0.0615, -0.055, -0.0227, -0.0922, -0.1618, -0.0502, 0.0049, -0.055, -0.0566, -0.0858, -0.0971, -0.0971, -0.1068, -0.0971, -0.0987, -0.0793, -0.1068, -0.0113, 0.0291, 0.0097, -0.0291, 0.1181, 0.1392, 0.1068, 0.0744, 0.0162, 0.0825, 0.1327, 0.2039, 0.2039, 0.1052, 0.1181, 0.0631, 0.0, 0.0081, -0.0405, -0.0194, -0.0712, -0.0129, -0.1117, -0.1602, -0.178, -0.0388, -0.0939, -0.0113, -0.0113, -0.0162, -0.0356, 0.0065, -0.0162, 0.1392, 0.1812, 0.0858, 0.1278, 0.1877, 0.1748, 0.39, 0.6586, 1.0663, 0.8964, 1.4434, 0.2864, 0.2994, 0.068, 0.1521, 0.1828, 0.1505, 0.4903, 0.5728, 0.5502, 0.7718, 1.2492, 1.2217, 1.3252, 2.3285, 1.5841, 1.2994, 1.1149, 1.3916, 1.3981, 1.3608, 1.3608, 1.1602, 1.1489, 1.1456, 0.9887, 0.9887, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2034338587098194001", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-18T18:38:10+00:00", "symbol": "MRVL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Same argument with $POET and Marvell Celestial", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish on POET as upstream laser supplier with derisked captive revenue from hyperscaler chains; secondary long on MRVL via Celestial co-design thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["MRVL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "All good questions! My thoughts:\n\n- With $NVDA GTC, CPO is hitting their inflection point today. So I think the timing is right. Before, it was too early.\n- Largely undiscovered, as I mentioned in supply chain mapping, most institutions don't go upstream to pinpoint major players (as seen with $AXTI). \n- Stockholm market so very niche, not as many people pay attention to it. \n- They refinanced, so it's in a healthy spot. Debt is $12M convertible loan (10.85%) and a $5M term loan (12%), which is pennies to hyperscaler supply chains.\n\nAs for scale: Win semi qualification is very critical.\n\nIt's more derisked in my view from captive models like $SIVE (light source) $POET -> $MRVL Celestial -> $MSFT Maia in 2028 kind of guaranteeing revenue in the future from hyperscaler supply chains. \n\nThen there's a lot of potential with Ayar, and others.\n\nIt's the upstream laser supplier so wins either way across the board, but it does need to compete with $LITE, $MTSI, $OCHR and others.  \n\nMy argument was that it was early enough to tailor and co-design cw dfb lasers toward companies like $POET specifications so it's more designed in.\n\nSame argument with $POET and Marvell Celestial.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit thanks for sharing bro!\n\nYou noted that suppliers usually trade at a premium to packagers. Why is the market currently getting this wrong? Is it just undiscovered, or is there a known drag on the stock (e.g., high cash burn, debt, or the CPO transition taking longer than", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "_stockResearch", "ret_m1d": 0.03617892245197063, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03617892245197063, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0220278175654276, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0220278175654276, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.014151104886543031, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014151104886543031, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.021798652348424152, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.021798652348424152, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.024262992833615993, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.024262992833615993, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0024643404851918405, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0024643404851918405, "ret_p1w": 0.12360186615602009, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12360186615602009, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1278596150925313, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1278596150925313, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0042577489365112076, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0042577489365112076, "ret_p1m": 0.5229029070416262, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5229029070416262, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4591830548002729, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4591830548002729, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06371985224135335, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06371985224135335, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.041, -0.0329, -0.0, -0.0136, -0.0136, -0.0153, -0.0219, -0.0105, -0.0308, -0.0308, 0.0195, 0.029, 0.0062, -0.0347, -0.0483, -0.0502, -0.054, -0.0522, -0.0732, -0.0826, -0.0817, -0.0817, -0.0892, -0.0579, -0.0516, -0.0843, -0.0668, -0.0535, -0.0457, -0.0717, -0.0993, -0.1023, -0.1379, -0.1585, -0.153, -0.0838, -0.0601, -0.064, -0.0717, -0.1072, -0.1028, -0.1028, -0.0983, -0.0974, -0.0914, -0.0929, -0.1122, -0.1053, -0.0765, -0.0951, -0.0677, -0.0772, -0.1154, -0.1088, -0.1363, 0.0223, 0.0574, 0.0648, 0.0322, 0.0006, 0.0027, 0.0452, 0.0362, 0.0, 0.0218, 0.0033, 0.029, 0.0541, 0.1236, 0.1148, 0.0829, 0.0022, 0.1304, 0.2179, 0.2224, 0.2224, 0.2498, 0.2483, 0.3062, 0.3688, 0.4672, 0.4993, 0.5282, 0.5369, 0.5229, 0.5951, 0.6881, 0.7278, 0.7964, 0.8905, 0.8762, 0.8065, 0.7497, 0.7878, 0.8858, 0.8835, 0.8688, 0.9269, 0.9657, 0.8271, 0.9427, 0.9508, 0.8784, 1.0319, 1.0848, 1.0198, 0.9289, 1.0128, 1.133, 1.1774, 1.2418, 1.2418, 1.378, 1.2689, 1.3389, 1.3408, 1.3408, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2029224142097269200", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-04T15:55:11+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Don't think either of them are priced in yet. Why should I choose between individual Huskeys when I can have both carrying my sled?", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long both AAOI and AXTI on photonics AI paradigm shift; neither priced in yet, both supply hyperscalers.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Photonics is the new paradigm shift for AI over the next few years. \n\nBoth $AAOI and $AXTI supply to all the hyperscalers and are the forefront of it (while being really small in marketcap).\n\nDon't think either of them are priced in yet. Why should I choose between individual Huskeys when I can have both carrying my sled?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Highest conviction for 5X in 12 months, $AAOI or AXTI?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "halldj00", "ret_m1d": -0.043827126534018324, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.043827126534018324, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.036821246822582476, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.036821246822582476, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007005879711435847, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007005879711435847, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0143415938050937, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0143415938050937, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01991714065148753, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01991714065148753, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005575546846393831, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005575546846393831, "ret_p1w": 0.2737940357278481, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2737940357278481, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.28663826763722366, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.28663826763722366, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012844231909375559, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012844231909375559, "ret_p1m": 0.042122200543583954, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.042122200543583954, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08227353426287731, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08227353426287731, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04015133371929336, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04015133371929336, "ret_p3m": 0.5887073023429381, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5887073023429381, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4815510554499056, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4815510554499056, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10715624689303249, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10715624689303249, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7333, -0.7208, -0.6953, -0.6492, -0.6357, -0.6785, -0.7001, -0.7096, -0.7278, -0.7066, -0.6859, -0.6079, -0.5924, -0.5888, -0.5888, -0.6272, -0.6314, -0.6388, -0.6504, -0.6504, -0.6028, -0.6491, -0.6128, -0.6183, -0.6689, -0.6586, -0.6618, -0.6572, -0.6543, -0.6289, -0.6285, -0.6285, -0.6063, -0.6151, -0.6174, -0.6418, -0.6501, -0.625, -0.5464, -0.6031, -0.5626, -0.5571, -0.5375, -0.5998, -0.6176, -0.5557, -0.5195, -0.5137, -0.5146, -0.5588, -0.5541, -0.5541, -0.5596, -0.5643, -0.5288, -0.4817, -0.4588, -0.4357, -0.4171, -0.4615, -0.1553, 0.0281, -0.0438, 0.0, 0.0143, -0.0414, 0.1094, 0.2084, 0.2738, 0.065, -0.0291, -0.0566, -0.1342, -0.071, 0.0222, -0.1221, -0.0396, 0.1423, 0.1474, -0.023, -0.015, -0.1456, -0.1516, -0.134, 0.0421, 0.0421, 0.0776, 0.1798, 0.3309, 0.3369, 0.5104, 0.5364, 0.4682, 0.4296, 0.5778, 0.5988, 0.6395, 0.5101, 0.4985, 0.3813, 0.6264, 0.462, 0.3766, 0.5327, 0.6484, 0.8404, 0.7348, 0.811, 0.7906, 0.5801, 0.4937, 0.8544, 0.8883, 1.2375, 1.0416, 0.9091, 0.7376, 0.7183, 0.6574, 0.7732, 0.8202, 0.8202, 0.7814, 0.8035, 0.6951, 0.5887, 0.5887, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2029224142097269200", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-04T15:55:11+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Don't think either of them are priced in yet. Why should I choose between individual Huskeys when I can have both carrying my sled?", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long both AAOI and AXTI on photonics AI paradigm shift; neither priced in yet, both supply hyperscalers.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Photonics is the new paradigm shift for AI over the next few years. \n\nBoth $AAOI and $AXTI supply to all the hyperscalers and are the forefront of it (while being really small in marketcap).\n\nDon't think either of them are priced in yet. Why should I choose between individual Huskeys when I can have both carrying my sled?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Highest conviction for 5X in 12 months, $AAOI or AXTI?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "halldj00", "ret_m1d": 0.06721178588367072, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06721178588367072, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07421766559510656, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08735713397178002, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007005879711435847, "bench_c_m1d": -0.020145348088109305, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008433473602012964, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008433473602012964, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0028579267556191335, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0009626675722553824, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005575546846393831, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009396141174268346, "ret_p1w": 0.21032454172209247, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.21032454172209247, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.22316877363146803, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2054886794162405, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012844231909375559, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004835862305851979, "ret_p1m": 0.3503705267118977, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3503705267118977, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3905218604311911, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3673587468963352, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04015133371929336, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016988220184437464, "ret_p3m": 1.6363404254074623, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.6363404254074623, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.5291841785144298, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.1356388881580863, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10715624689303249, "bench_c_p3m": 0.5007015372493759, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7041, -0.6752, -0.6177, -0.6036, -0.5814, -0.6215, -0.621, -0.6678, -0.6841, -0.642, -0.6256, -0.611, -0.6259, -0.6164, -0.6164, -0.6072, -0.6271, -0.5962, -0.5822, -0.5822, -0.5717, -0.574, -0.4845, -0.3838, -0.3399, -0.4125, -0.4316, -0.4503, -0.4352, -0.3427, -0.4355, -0.4355, -0.4528, -0.4945, -0.542, -0.5553, -0.5451, -0.5604, -0.5699, -0.5814, -0.5262, -0.4649, -0.4955, -0.5208, -0.4779, -0.3851, -0.2903, -0.3777, -0.3151, -0.3665, -0.3805, -0.3805, -0.4068, -0.3984, -0.3915, -0.2415, -0.2734, -0.1035, 0.047, -0.0514, -0.0314, 0.1837, 0.0672, 0.0, -0.0084, -0.1728, -0.0146, 0.1321, 0.2103, 0.1942, 0.2487, 0.2366, 0.1337, 0.2461, 0.4845, 0.3861, 0.6468, 0.749, 0.7212, 0.4953, 0.5495, 0.3476, 0.4562, 0.2047, 0.3504, 0.3504, 0.0731, 0.1618, 0.3591, 0.6131, 0.6402, 0.6982, 0.7199, 0.6082, 1.09, 1.1099, 1.0128, 0.9159, 1.2218, 0.9236, 0.9463, 0.7927, 0.7559, 0.8163, 1.0245, 1.4534, 1.7089, 1.7485, 1.679, 1.7708, 1.9737, 2.2152, 2.1408, 2.1163, 1.9384, 2.1633, 1.7059, 1.8847, 1.6734, 2.0928, 2.599, 2.599, 2.3887, 2.1375, 1.9568, 1.6363, 1.6363, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2028511702288085093", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-02T16:44:12+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Companies like $AXTI and possibly $IQE likely have a long way to go", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AXTI and IQE as upstream bottleneck suppliers to Lumentum after NVDA's $2B deal; market hasn't yet priced them vs LITE.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Everyone is rushing to buy $LITE at a $54B MC after the $NVDA $2B deal.\n\nWait until they find out who the upstream bottlenecks and suppliers to Lumentum are.\n\nCompanies like $AXTI and possibly $IQE likely have a long way to go. https://t.co/Hep3S6174M", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$NVDA has just invested $2 billion to support Lumentum's R&amp;D and a new U.S. fabrication facility.\n\nThis is a massive tailwind for photonics stocks from: $LITE, $COHR, $AAOI, $AXTI, $IQE and others.\n\n$IQE's 28% rise today makes more sense as they're a known $LITE supplier. And https://t.co/RqlcFrvCAv", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.18177889085535037, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.18177889085535037, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.181210635171144, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.18172962898737033, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -4.926186798004384e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09844562615142993, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09844562615142993, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08963128766863426, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0607232005571261, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03772242559430383, "ret_p1w": -0.16753018939247322, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.16753018939247322, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.15571460846895835, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.13795264295189846, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.029577546440574753, "ret_p1m": 0.2301381674793761, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2301381674793761, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.28005790905455985, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.286709490403837, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.056571322924460876, "ret_p3m": 1.4978410559266577, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.4978410559266577, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.3954476767607498, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.021845102608886, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.4759959533177718, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7522, -0.7388, -0.75, -0.7256, -0.677, -0.6652, -0.6464, -0.6803, -0.6798, -0.7193, -0.7332, -0.6975, -0.6837, -0.6714, -0.6839, -0.6759, -0.6759, -0.6682, -0.685, -0.6589, -0.647, -0.647, -0.6382, -0.6401, -0.5646, -0.4795, -0.4424, -0.5037, -0.5199, -0.5356, -0.5229, -0.4447, -0.5231, -0.5231, -0.5378, -0.573, -0.6131, -0.6244, -0.6157, -0.6287, -0.6367, -0.6464, -0.5997, -0.5479, -0.5738, -0.5952, -0.5589, -0.4806, -0.4005, -0.4743, -0.4214, -0.4648, -0.4767, -0.4767, -0.4989, -0.4918, -0.486, -0.3592, -0.3862, -0.2427, -0.1155, -0.1986, -0.1818, 0.0, -0.0984, -0.1552, -0.1623, -0.3012, -0.1675, -0.0436, 0.0225, 0.0089, 0.0548, 0.0447, -0.0423, 0.0527, 0.2541, 0.171, 0.3912, 0.4775, 0.454, 0.2632, 0.3089, 0.1384, 0.2301, 0.0177, 0.1408, 0.1408, -0.0935, -0.0186, 0.1481, 0.3627, 0.3856, 0.4346, 0.4529, 0.3586, 0.7655, 0.7824, 0.7003, 0.6185, 0.8769, 0.625, 0.6442, 0.5145, 0.4834, 0.5343, 0.7103, 1.0725, 1.2884, 1.3219, 1.2632, 1.3407, 1.5121, 1.7161, 1.6533, 1.6326, 1.4823, 1.6723, 1.2858, 1.437, 1.2584, 1.6127, 2.0404, 2.0404, 1.8627, 1.6505, 1.4978, 1.2271, 1.2271, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2028511702288085093", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-02T16:44:12+00:00", "symbol": "IQE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "possibly $IQE likely have a long way to go", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AXTI and IQE as upstream bottleneck suppliers to Lumentum after NVDA's $2B deal; market hasn't yet priced them vs LITE.", "resolved_tickers": ["IQE.L"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "IQE plc LSE-listed epiwafer supplier", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Everyone is rushing to buy $LITE at a $54B MC after the $NVDA $2B deal.\n\nWait until they find out who the upstream bottlenecks and suppliers to Lumentum are.\n\nCompanies like $AXTI and possibly $IQE likely have a long way to go. https://t.co/Hep3S6174M", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$NVDA has just invested $2 billion to support Lumentum's R&amp;D and a new U.S. fabrication facility.\n\nThis is a massive tailwind for photonics stocks from: $LITE, $COHR, $AAOI, $AXTI, $IQE and others.\n\n$IQE's 28% rise today makes more sense as they're a known $LITE supplier. And https://t.co/RqlcFrvCAv", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.25781251105945546, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.25781251105945546, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.2572442553752491, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.2577632491914754, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -4.926186798004384e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.015624984866008385, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015624984866008385, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.024439323348804054, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05334741046031222, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03772242559430383, "ret_p1w": -0.2546875140862538, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.2546875140862538, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.24287193316273892, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.22510996764567903, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.029577546440574753, "ret_p1m": -0.04687502910383001, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04687502910383001, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.003044712471353739, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.009696293820630864, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.056571322924460876, "ret_p3m": 0.8613281568686939, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.8613281568686939, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.758934777702786, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3853322035509221, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.4759959533177718, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.8074, -0.8016, -0.8039, -0.8039, -0.8035, -0.7996, -0.7965, -0.8094, -0.8086, -0.8057, -0.8061, -0.8027, -0.8008, -0.7996, -0.8057, -0.8061, -0.8061, -0.8061, -0.8061, -0.8047, -0.8047, -0.8047, -0.7988, -0.8035, -0.8016, -0.782, -0.7598, -0.7133, -0.5922, -0.6145, -0.6484, -0.6816, -0.6934, -0.6512, -0.6957, -0.7016, -0.6953, -0.6863, -0.7012, -0.7008, -0.6867, -0.6973, -0.691, -0.6863, -0.6992, -0.6895, -0.6949, -0.6906, -0.6809, -0.6094, -0.6, -0.5977, -0.5859, -0.5898, -0.5852, -0.5914, -0.5945, -0.5906, -0.5008, -0.5234, -0.3742, -0.2188, -0.2578, 0.0, 0.0156, 0.0488, -0.1621, -0.232, -0.2547, -0.1133, -0.0508, -0.1133, -0.0918, -0.0977, -0.1562, -0.002, -0.1074, -0.0781, -0.082, -0.002, 0.1523, 0.0391, -0.043, -0.0977, -0.0469, -0.0195, -0.0781, -0.0781, -0.0781, -0.0039, 0.1211, 0.1719, 0.4453, 0.918, 0.8672, 1.1094, 1.2891, 1.0352, 1.2891, 1.4609, 1.4453, 0.9434, 0.8594, 0.9297, 0.5723, 0.5781, 0.6895, 0.6074, 0.6074, 0.9531, 0.7402, 0.7832, 0.8398, 1.1289, 0.8418, 0.9727, 0.9375, 0.7969, 0.5273, 0.25, 0.4668, 0.5566, 0.7871, 0.7871, 1.1094, 0.9805, 0.8613, 0.8555, 0.8555, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2029223044208832707", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-04T15:50:49+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If 3 hyperscalers say they will buy any transceivers you can possibly ever make. It's not really a demand problem with $AAOI, just how much they can capacity they can buildout. $250m is pennies considering it's used for that reason", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AAOI: hyperscaler demand is unconstrained, ATM dilution is justified capex not a red flag.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@pablocuellar_3 If 3 hyperscalers say they will buy any transceivers you can possibly ever make. It's not really a demand problem with $AAOI, just how much they can capacity they can buildout. \n\n$250m is pennies considering it's used for that reason (and not just hoarding like $GME or $POET).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thoughts on their ATM dilution?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "pablocuellar_3", "ret_m1d": -0.043827126534018324, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.043827126534018324, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.036821246822582476, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.036821246822582476, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007005879711435847, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007005879711435847, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0143415938050937, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0143415938050937, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01991714065148753, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01991714065148753, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005575546846393831, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005575546846393831, "ret_p1w": 0.2737940357278481, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2737940357278481, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.28663826763722366, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.28663826763722366, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012844231909375559, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012844231909375559, "ret_p1m": 0.042122200543583954, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.042122200543583954, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08227353426287731, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08227353426287731, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04015133371929336, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04015133371929336, "ret_p3m": 0.5887073023429381, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5887073023429381, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4815510554499056, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4815510554499056, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10715624689303249, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10715624689303249, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7333, -0.7208, -0.6953, -0.6492, -0.6357, -0.6785, -0.7001, -0.7096, -0.7278, -0.7066, -0.6859, -0.6079, -0.5924, -0.5888, -0.5888, -0.6272, -0.6314, -0.6388, -0.6504, -0.6504, -0.6028, -0.6491, -0.6128, -0.6183, -0.6689, -0.6586, -0.6618, -0.6572, -0.6543, -0.6289, -0.6285, -0.6285, -0.6063, -0.6151, -0.6174, -0.6418, -0.6501, -0.625, -0.5464, -0.6031, -0.5626, -0.5571, -0.5375, -0.5998, -0.6176, -0.5557, -0.5195, -0.5137, -0.5146, -0.5588, -0.5541, -0.5541, -0.5596, -0.5643, -0.5288, -0.4817, -0.4588, -0.4357, -0.4171, -0.4615, -0.1553, 0.0281, -0.0438, 0.0, 0.0143, -0.0414, 0.1094, 0.2084, 0.2738, 0.065, -0.0291, -0.0566, -0.1342, -0.071, 0.0222, -0.1221, -0.0396, 0.1423, 0.1474, -0.023, -0.015, -0.1456, -0.1516, -0.134, 0.0421, 0.0421, 0.0776, 0.1798, 0.3309, 0.3369, 0.5104, 0.5364, 0.4682, 0.4296, 0.5778, 0.5988, 0.6395, 0.5101, 0.4985, 0.3813, 0.6264, 0.462, 0.3766, 0.5327, 0.6484, 0.8404, 0.7348, 0.811, 0.7906, 0.5801, 0.4937, 0.8544, 0.8883, 1.2375, 1.0416, 0.9091, 0.7376, 0.7183, 0.6574, 0.7732, 0.8202, 0.8202, 0.7814, 0.8035, 0.6951, 0.5887, 0.5887, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013670172934971446", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-20T17:49:16+00:00", "symbol": "VPG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "an est. 3-8% ~BOM value for each Tesla Optimus is incredible for $VPG given how small they are", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long VPG as a robotics play: 3-8% BOM content per Tesla Optimus unit is highly valuable given the company's small size.", "resolved_tickers": ["VPG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Scientific & Technical Instruments'", "bench_c_industry": "Scientific & Technical Instruments", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I messed up on my $SSYS thesis regarding prototyping/ramp-up, so I wanted a robotics play directly tethered to the amount of robots produced with high % revenue for each robot.\n\nThis is speculation but an est. 3-8% ~BOM value for each Tesla Optimus is incredible for $VPG given how small they are.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit nice, been looking for robotics play. Agree market is not pricing how big robotics will be in 2026/2027", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ak_dfranco", "ret_m1d": -0.002516024869173017, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.002516024869173017, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02329582043850198, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02916572199057954, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.020779795569328963, "bench_c_m1d": 0.026649697121406524, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07067703719835805, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07067703719835805, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05913595799626359, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.056788212637009394, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011541079202094462, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013888824561348656, "ret_p1w": 0.02881972292664403, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02881972292664403, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.00238744143320635, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.014961983893512665, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02643228149343768, "bench_c_p1w": 0.043781706820156696, "ret_p1m": 0.05283617324099876, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05283617324099876, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.039981600106203885, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05939287894903689, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012854573134794878, "bench_c_p1m": -0.006556705708038124, "ret_p3m": 0.21729185120656802, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.21729185120656802, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.16637621261701585, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12774084223777704, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091563858955217, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08955100896879098, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.15, -0.1654, -0.1775, -0.1521, -0.1279, -0.1233, -0.1432, -0.1306, -0.1837, -0.1745, -0.2427, -0.2461, -0.218, -0.2312, -0.2326, -0.2669, -0.2692, -0.3042, -0.3072, -0.3001, -0.3303, -0.288, -0.258, -0.2301, -0.2212, -0.2212, -0.2191, -0.2118, -0.1997, -0.1599, -0.1464, -0.1077, -0.1333, -0.1587, -0.1231, -0.1082, -0.1327, -0.1295, -0.1178, -0.1297, -0.1263, -0.1134, -0.1141, -0.0995, -0.0972, -0.0972, -0.0922, -0.1036, -0.1096, -0.1194, -0.1194, -0.1016, -0.1002, -0.0544, -0.0844, -0.0764, -0.0469, -0.0496, -0.0505, -0.0432, -0.0005, -0.0025, -0.0025, 0.0, 0.0707, 0.0931, 0.0096, -0.0176, 0.0288, 0.0149, 0.1523, 0.1455, 0.1583, 0.2081, 0.2328, 0.1903, 0.2804, 0.2596, 0.2258, 0.062, 0.0677, 0.011, 0.011, 0.0387, 0.0528, 0.073, 0.0945, 0.0707, 0.0702, 0.105, 0.081, 0.0538, 0.1258, 0.0883, 0.0746, 0.029, -0.0059, -0.0034, 0.0188, 0.0037, -0.046, -0.062, -0.0586, -0.0663, -0.0599, -0.0098, -0.0704, -0.0359, -0.0217, 0.0407, -0.0274, -0.0496, -0.0695, -0.0069, 0.0057, 0.024, 0.024, 0.0549, 0.0688, 0.1226, 0.126, 0.1414, 0.1885, 0.1848, 0.1619, 0.1752, 0.2173, 0.2159, 0.2447, 0.3108, 0.3218, 0.3866, 0.3399, 0.3086, 0.2871, 0.382, 0.3774, 0.3731, 0.4627, 0.454, 0.428, 0.538, 0.5233, 0.9572, 1.2781, 1.2951, 1.226, 1.4065, 1.2404, 1.3035, 1.3797, 1.602, 1.602, 1.8227, 1.8801, 1.8648, 1.8662, 1.8662, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013136961981358354", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-19T06:30:28+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Companies like $NBIS or $CIFR are high conviction for 2026.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "High conviction long on NBIS and CIFR into 2026, expecting 2-3x re-rating as data center plays.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Companies like $NBIS or $CIFR are high conviction for 2026. \n\nBut it’s not the same as a small $50m niche company, suddenly being in over-demand from $NVDA or $MSFT stockpiling inventory.\n\nYou might get a 2-3x 1Y re-rating with DCs but it’s a different story than 2000%+ information discovery of a new bottleneck. \n\nSame with known bottlenecks like $UUUU or $MP\n\nThat being said I also misspelled indium phosphide and missiles in my article so you can tell I hand wrote it (also embarrassing)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Nice write up! Do you feel that data center stocks (like $NBIS $CIFR $IREN) and REE/CM stocks (like $UEC $UUUU $NB) have already had their run, or is there room for more upside this year?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "platochi", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08682058447489482, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08682058447489482, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06646379875134978, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07205983582642772, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.014760748648467104, "ret_p1w": -0.15883384290689118, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.15883384290689118, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.16038083403436665, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.18140915636504173, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02257531345815056, "ret_p1m": -0.10309947914806472, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10309947914806472, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09036199857836358, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09641373649891594, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "bench_c_p1m": -0.006685742649148785, "ret_p3m": 0.5206473947684935, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5206473947684935, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5034189236546129, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4855756890421832, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.035071705726310354, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.093, -0.0236, 0.0785, 0.1536, 0.1205, 0.1506, 0.1421, 0.2032, 0.108, 0.0166, 0.0761, 0.0065, 0.0235, 0.0112, -0.0599, -0.1322, -0.1849, -0.2317, -0.2092, -0.1673, -0.1256, -0.2216, -0.2342, -0.1548, -0.1826, -0.1291, -0.1291, -0.1275, -0.0789, -0.1129, -0.0902, -0.0545, -0.0983, -0.0773, -0.1133, -0.1392, -0.1329, -0.1935, -0.2537, -0.2555, -0.3061, -0.2818, -0.1772, -0.1426, -0.172, -0.1619, -0.1619, -0.1944, -0.2087, -0.2167, -0.2302, -0.2302, -0.1727, -0.1462, -0.0781, -0.1151, -0.1051, -0.0993, -0.0129, -0.0304, -0.0621, -0.0446, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0868, -0.0907, -0.1093, -0.1309, -0.1588, -0.0999, -0.0763, -0.1271, -0.2165, -0.1892, -0.1727, -0.2423, -0.3206, -0.2081, -0.1458, -0.1558, -0.185, -0.1747, -0.0986, -0.0986, -0.1031, -0.0637, -0.0103, -0.0994, -0.0747, -0.0566, -0.024, -0.0354, -0.1613, -0.163, -0.2017, -0.1007, -0.1203, -0.1784, -0.1268, -0.1131, 0.03, -0.0063, 0.0388, 0.1942, 0.0699, 0.0904, 0.1176, 0.0818, 0.0498, 0.0568, 0.0585, -0.0254, -0.0727, -0.1515, -0.0457, -0.0624, 0.0008, 0.0008, 0.035, 0.0797, 0.1496, 0.2538, 0.3333, 0.4215, 0.4894, 0.5338, 0.5206, 0.4452, 0.4638, 0.4398, 0.436, 0.4447, 0.3534, 0.3332, 0.2463, 0.2985, 0.2713, 0.4209, 0.6226, 0.618, 0.7943, 0.6993, 0.6283, 0.7116, 0.6473, 0.9063, 1.0339, 1.0228, 0.8381, 0.8185, 0.7642, 1.0227, 0.9753, 0.9753, 0.9135, 0.9164, 1.0817, 1.1254, 1.1254, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013136961981358354", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-01-19T06:30:28+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Companies like $NBIS or $CIFR are high conviction for 2026.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "High conviction long on NBIS and CIFR into 2026, expecting 2-3x re-rating as data center plays.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Companies like $NBIS or $CIFR are high conviction for 2026. \n\nBut it’s not the same as a small $50m niche company, suddenly being in over-demand from $NVDA or $MSFT stockpiling inventory.\n\nYou might get a 2-3x 1Y re-rating with DCs but it’s a different story than 2000%+ information discovery of a new bottleneck. \n\nSame with known bottlenecks like $UUUU or $MP\n\nThat being said I also misspelled indium phosphide and missiles in my article so you can tell I hand wrote it (also embarrassing)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Nice write up! Do you feel that data center stocks (like $NBIS $CIFR $IREN) and REE/CM stocks (like $UEC $UUUU $NB) have already had their run, or is there room for more upside this year?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "platochi", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.046808467897799355, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.046808467897799355, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02645168217425431, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.020850541648827603, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.020356785723545046, "bench_c_p1d": -0.025957926248971752, "ret_p1w": -0.12287231700460222, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12287231700460222, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.12441930813207769, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12603131578139504, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0015469911274754722, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0031589987767928207, "ret_p1m": -0.16808505436045273, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.16808505436045273, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1553475737907516, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12592055162368543, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.012737480569701143, "bench_c_p1m": -0.042164502736767306, "ret_p3m": -0.07765952892139227, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.07765952892139227, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.09488800003527287, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12290759635589177, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.017228471113880595, "bench_c_p3m": 0.045248067434499495, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1431, -0.0822, 0.0989, 0.0926, 0.0617, 0.042, 0.0144, -0.008, 0.2106, 0.1973, 0.3144, 0.1548, 0.1005, 0.0452, -0.0069, -0.0755, -0.2059, -0.2362, -0.2367, -0.2245, -0.2223, -0.2255, -0.2473, -0.1112, -0.0681, 0.0186, 0.0186, 0.0824, 0.0473, -0.0617, -0.009, 0.0548, 0.0255, 0.0362, 0.0404, -0.017, 0.0043, -0.0931, -0.216, -0.2027, -0.2346, -0.1941, -0.1378, -0.1309, -0.1537, -0.1372, -0.1372, -0.192, -0.1979, -0.2239, -0.2149, -0.2149, -0.1383, -0.034, -0.067, -0.1447, -0.1197, -0.1154, -0.0596, -0.0293, -0.0356, -0.0681, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0468, -0.0574, -0.075, -0.0654, -0.1229, -0.0027, 0.009, -0.0585, -0.1511, -0.159, -0.1351, -0.242, -0.3245, -0.2165, -0.1085, -0.0904, -0.134, -0.1436, -0.1266, -0.1266, -0.1681, -0.1798, -0.1596, -0.2207, -0.1904, -0.0894, -0.1165, -0.1234, -0.1702, -0.1617, -0.2176, -0.1468, -0.1941, -0.2755, -0.2388, -0.2574, -0.2495, -0.2707, -0.2511, -0.1947, -0.1973, -0.2197, -0.2213, -0.2548, -0.208, -0.2085, -0.1553, -0.2367, -0.2689, -0.3609, -0.3154, -0.3277, -0.3181, -0.3181, -0.2899, -0.2548, -0.1798, -0.1298, -0.1207, -0.0553, -0.0186, -0.0426, -0.0777, 0.0303, 0.0261, -0.0404, 0.034, -0.0059, -0.0319, -0.034, -0.0819, -0.1, -0.0564, -0.0936, -0.0484, 0.1755, 0.1654, 0.1003, 0.0931, 0.0787, 0.067, 0.1298, 0.1856, 0.0814, 0.017, 0.0, 0.0362, 0.1447, 0.1686, 0.1686, 0.2245, 0.3383, 0.308, 0.258, 0.258, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2029230566449791284", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-04T16:20:42+00:00", "symbol": "Soitec", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Soitec is a much better long term defensible play", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long Soitec as the better CPO play long-term; cautiously long the implied subject (laser/CPO name) through 2026 on hyperscaler supply shortage, more cautious in 2027.", "resolved_tickers": ["SOI.PA"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Soitec listed on Euronext Paris as SOI.PA", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@itsmaimir For CPO, Soitec is a much better long term defensible play.\n\nThis is raw momentum + execution type play based on hyperscalers lacking supply over the next year. I’d be a little more cautious in 2027.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Will they have bright future along with CPO except selling lasers? This one thing and not being sure how market prices it keeps me worried and I missed it earlier.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "itsmaimir", "ret_m1d": -0.007794091399749736, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007794091399749736, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.000788211688313889, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.012351256688359569, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007005879711435847, "bench_c_m1d": -0.020145348088109305, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.030467664404306705, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.030467664404306705, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.024892117557912874, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.021071523230038358, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005575546846393831, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009396141174268346, "ret_p1w": 0.2116201949027392, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2116201949027392, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.22446442681211476, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.20678433259688722, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012844231909375559, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004835862305851979, "ret_p1m": 0.18091638686363853, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.18091638686363853, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2210677205829319, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.197904607048076, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04015133371929336, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016988220184437464, "ret_p3m": 3.193434161830197, "ret_signed_p3m": 3.193434161830197, "alpha_spy_p3m": 3.0862779149371646, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.692732624580821, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10715624689303249, "bench_c_p3m": 0.5007015372493759, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3595, -0.3772, -0.3829, -0.3954, -0.3862, -0.3906, -0.3989, -0.418, -0.4346, -0.4384, -0.4497, -0.4549, -0.453, -0.458, -0.458, -0.458, -0.458, -0.4544, -0.4523, -0.4523, -0.4126, -0.3819, -0.3916, -0.3812, -0.3855, -0.3625, -0.3692, -0.3314, -0.333, -0.312, -0.3342, -0.3517, -0.3521, -0.3335, -0.3271, -0.3493, -0.3446, -0.3375, -0.351, -0.3727, -0.3777, -0.3906, -0.4211, -0.2863, -0.2815, -0.247, -0.2324, -0.1781, -0.0765, -0.136, -0.1181, -0.1287, -0.1235, -0.1212, -0.1382, -0.1273, -0.0735, -0.0475, -0.0227, -0.0043, -0.034, 0.017, -0.0078, 0.0, -0.0305, -0.0151, -0.0135, 0.0432, 0.2116, 0.3609, 0.3935, 0.4917, 0.4497, 0.488, 0.2796, 0.2225, 0.2244, 0.1974, 0.2881, 0.2626, 0.2702, 0.2234, 0.2197, 0.2537, 0.1809, 0.1809, 0.1809, 0.1573, 0.2806, 0.265, 0.5054, 0.5267, 0.7085, 0.8144, 1.0189, 1.3103, 1.3618, 1.3795, 1.5909, 1.5177, 1.6606, 1.5874, 1.3325, 1.6712, 1.9983, 1.9983, 2.6254, 2.7293, 2.4684, 2.5605, 3.047, 2.8191, 2.4176, 2.6809, 2.5876, 2.4967, 2.3125, 2.381, 2.7317, 2.9348, 3.1887, 3.1639, 2.9372, 2.6419, 3.5394, 3.1934, 3.1934, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2029230566449791284", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-04T16:20:42+00:00", "symbol": "Lumentum", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "raw momentum + execution type play based on hyperscalers lacking supply over the next year. I'd be a little more cautious in 2027", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long Soitec as the better CPO play long-term; cautiously long the implied subject (laser/CPO name) through 2026 on hyperscaler supply shortage, more cautious in 2027.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Lumentum Holdings trades as LITE on NASDAQ", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@itsmaimir For CPO, Soitec is a much better long term defensible play.\n\nThis is raw momentum + execution type play based on hyperscalers lacking supply over the next year. I’d be a little more cautious in 2027.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Will they have bright future along with CPO except selling lasers? This one thing and not being sure how market prices it keeps me worried and I missed it earlier.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "itsmaimir", "ret_m1d": 0.020020571573449164, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.020020571573449164, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02702645128488501, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02702645128488501, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007005879711435847, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007005879711435847, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04403639983299601, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04403639983299601, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03846085298660218, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03846085298660218, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005575546846393831, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005575546846393831, "ret_p1w": -0.01292595174905442, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01292595174905442, "alpha_spy_p1w": -8.17198396788621e-05, "alpha_c_p1w": -8.17198396788621e-05, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012844231909375559, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012844231909375559, "ret_p1m": 0.21457112178190374, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21457112178190374, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2547224555011971, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2547224555011971, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04015133371929336, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04015133371929336, "ret_p3m": 0.25581674104355234, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.25581674104355234, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.14866049415051985, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.14866049415051985, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10715624689303249, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10715624689303249, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5132, -0.4968, -0.4707, -0.4624, -0.4535, -0.5236, -0.5084, -0.5356, -0.5296, -0.5048, -0.4544, -0.4273, -0.4309, -0.4184, -0.4184, -0.426, -0.4527, -0.4548, -0.4586, -0.4586, -0.4329, -0.4755, -0.4162, -0.4229, -0.4885, -0.4838, -0.5008, -0.4693, -0.5129, -0.4958, -0.5237, -0.5237, -0.4759, -0.4676, -0.4793, -0.5018, -0.5117, -0.4556, -0.4345, -0.4397, -0.4244, -0.3781, -0.3609, -0.3162, -0.2591, -0.1892, -0.1522, -0.1758, -0.1567, -0.143, -0.1734, -0.1734, -0.1181, -0.1271, -0.0663, -0.0191, -0.0089, 0.011, 0.0626, -0.0056, 0.0295, 0.1505, 0.02, 0.0, -0.044, -0.1797, -0.0589, -0.0129, -0.0129, -0.095, -0.0856, -0.0822, -0.0459, 0.0294, 0.1342, 0.0375, 0.0707, 0.178, 0.1416, 0.0118, 0.0322, -0.0382, 0.0323, 0.1232, 0.2146, 0.2146, 0.1344, 0.1982, 0.3161, 0.3134, 0.318, 0.2796, 0.2526, 0.2104, 0.3091, 0.3133, 0.3148, 0.2293, 0.2832, 0.244, 0.295, 0.2627, 0.1624, 0.2608, 0.3254, 0.3953, 0.4339, 0.4609, 0.387, 0.3111, 0.3276, 0.5468, 0.4577, 0.5135, 0.4715, 0.4258, 0.2999, 0.3074, 0.2751, 0.4167, 0.3909, 0.3909, 0.3379, 0.3254, 0.2641, 0.2558, 0.2558, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2034740497953243439", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-19T21:15:13+00:00", "symbol": "TSEM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": true, "quote": "I'm sorry everyone… I thought $TSEM was a steady compounder over time like $TSM but it's going up 17% a day?", "tweet_type": "sarcasm", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Sarcastically apologetic about TSEM surging 17% in a day; author is bullish, position confirmed held.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSEM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’m sorry everyone…\n\nI thought $TSEM was a steady compounder over time like $TSM\n\nbut it’s going up 17% a day? https://t.co/QXWW7cgIXP", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I'm long $TSEM, the $TSM of photonics. \n\nMy top two picks for CPO are $SOI and Tower Semi. \n\nGiven the $NVDA GTC catalyst on new photonic related architecture next week:\n\nI expect Tower Semi to get a huge catalyst. \n\nNvidia laready directly collaborated with Tower to scale 1.6T https://t.co/Au3HYKNm7V", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.14523118287127446, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.14523118287127446, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.14770161133334114, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.14770161133334114, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002470428462066687, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002470428462066687, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.014751908244404088, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014751908244404088, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00041613237189985774, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00041613237189985774, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.01433577587250423, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01433577587250423, "ret_p1w": 0.05178221790649373, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05178221790649373, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07140669385759202, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07140669385759202, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019624475951098286, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019624475951098286, "ret_p1m": 0.3634994848964359, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3634994848964359, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.28426424636276093, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.28426424636276093, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07923523853367498, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07923523853367498, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2874, -0.2709, -0.2626, -0.2626, -0.2678, -0.2708, -0.2734, -0.293, -0.293, -0.267, -0.2817, -0.2637, -0.2641, -0.2935, -0.2773, -0.2696, -0.2487, -0.2582, -0.2534, -0.2183, -0.2183, -0.2233, -0.1967, -0.2174, -0.2256, -0.235, -0.2015, -0.1635, -0.1889, -0.1888, -0.1758, -0.1787, -0.2697, -0.2228, -0.1628, -0.1117, -0.1777, -0.1905, -0.1957, -0.2248, -0.2248, -0.2306, -0.2272, -0.2422, -0.2265, -0.2327, -0.2413, -0.2415, -0.2543, -0.2481, -0.1655, -0.2442, -0.2564, -0.2742, -0.3341, -0.3048, -0.2962, -0.2808, -0.2862, -0.2491, -0.1662, -0.1699, -0.1452, 0.0, -0.0148, 0.0364, 0.0888, 0.1364, 0.0518, 0.0352, -0.0452, 0.0566, 0.1264, 0.191, 0.191, 0.1452, 0.1492, 0.2264, 0.2272, 0.2259, 0.2613, 0.2892, 0.2984, 0.2931, 0.3635, 0.3517, 0.3049, 0.241, 0.2119, 0.2075, 0.2243, 0.1654, 0.1993, 0.331, 0.3127, 0.2949, 0.358, 0.3058, 0.2645, 0.2706, 0.3781, 0.3297, 0.6304, 0.6901, 0.6497, 0.4937, 0.513, 0.5925, 0.68, 0.7066, 0.7066, 0.7373, 0.6726, 0.6588, 0.5368, 0.5368, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2031277516166472022", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-10T07:54:33+00:00", "symbol": "memory", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Operating income for these companies will likely be wild when it shows up on earnings. Memory demand is now structural", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish memory sector: NAND prices up 100%+ QoQ, structural demand means wild operating income when it hits earnings.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU", "000660.KS", "005930.KS"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Memory sector basket: Micron, SK Hynix, Samsung", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The consensus is \"They can't keep hiking rates like this, it's unsustainable!\"  \n\nThen I see NAND prices getting hiked 100%+ quarter after quarter... Operating income for these companies will likely be wild when it shows up on earnings. \n\nMemory demand is now structural, but who knows about prices yet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit We are in for a treat. Everyone calling the memory cycle dead clearly never heard of inelastic supply meeting hyperscaler desperation.\n\nPeople have a hard time adjusting to changes in paradigms. That is why I rather have strong beliefs loosely held", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Ren_aramb", "ret_m1d": -0.07319583432943877, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07319583432943877, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07480554824935659, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06574612865629359, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0016097139199178212, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007449705673145179, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02264977672965947, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02264977672965947, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0239049396581766, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01333758703325379, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012551629285171284, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009312189696405682, "ret_p1w": 0.0704557034781917, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0704557034781917, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07989192944330832, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07158821726939853, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009436225965116618, "bench_c_p1w": -0.001132513791206824, "ret_p1m": 0.07775964336921455, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07775964336921455, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07676106220582286, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.013354670877125788, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0009985811633916875, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06440497249208876, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3965, -0.4059, -0.4222, -0.4383, -0.4277, -0.4088, -0.3985, -0.3706, -0.3676, -0.3583, -0.3583, -0.3456, -0.3176, -0.3144, -0.3204, -0.3204, -0.2711, -0.25, -0.2121, -0.2059, -0.2152, -0.2042, -0.2021, -0.2145, -0.2123, -0.2007, -0.1677, -0.1642, -0.177, -0.1505, -0.1333, -0.1276, -0.1474, -0.094, -0.0537, -0.0492, -0.0498, -0.0768, -0.0343, -0.067, -0.1021, -0.0947, -0.0731, -0.0865, -0.058, -0.0259, -0.026, -0.026, -0.0358, -0.0183, -0.0007, 0.0279, 0.0278, 0.0569, 0.0768, 0.1209, 0.1021, 0.1024, -0.0062, -0.0614, 0.0026, -0.0316, -0.0732, 0.0, 0.0226, -0.001, 0.0013, 0.0462, 0.0705, 0.127, 0.083, 0.0613, -0.0036, 0.014, 0.0048, -0.055, -0.0536, -0.1102, -0.1365, -0.0398, -0.0849, -0.0547, -0.0294, -0.0128, 0.0778, 0.066, 0.0791, 0.0798, 0.1443, 0.1562, 0.1753, 0.1613, 0.1666, 0.196, 0.2245, 0.2329, 0.2354, 0.2922, 0.2738, 0.2901, 0.2768, 0.2975, 0.4044, 0.4571, 0.5932, 0.6053, 0.6942, 0.8335, 0.7822, 0.8719, 0.8682, 0.7267, 0.7172, 0.6879, 0.7163, 0.8523, 0.831, 0.831, 1.0019, 1.1109, 1.11, 1.196, 1.2657, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2023592796184281088", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-17T02:58:13+00:00", "symbol": "ALAB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Astera probably a good long on the drop", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish CXL names ALAB/AVGO/MRVL on DeepSeek v4; ALAB a good long on any drop; NVDA memory fears overblown, dip volatility is noise.", "resolved_tickers": ["ALAB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Sure, my opinion is probably bullish for CXL like $ALAB, $AVGO, $MRVL. Astera probably a good long on the drop.   \n\nMemory fears are overblown. I'd assume media will try to take advantage of $NVDA PTSD for short term volatility + sensational news.   \n\nIf engram drops inference costs by 10-40x (not memory reduction), it just expands TAM. We'll just get more hbm4 added gpus to run more concurrent model instances. it's irreplaceable (especially for training), even if inference get more efficient.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Do you have an opinion on the imminent release of deepseek v4 which will reportedly have a 10-40x reduced memory usage, and how that could affect the memory names?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Ngen704", "ret_m1d": 0.045517056930122646, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.045517056930122646, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.047127924320324754, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.045001753133784295, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0016108673902021087, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0005153037963383511, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04761904174461162, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04761904174461162, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04258128320299459, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.035251301304953575, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005037758541617032, "bench_c_p1d": 0.012367740439658048, "ret_p1w": 0.03807899880436438, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03807899880436438, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03148898897854835, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.009490758964109336, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0065900098258160344, "bench_c_p1w": 0.028588239840255047, "ret_p1m": 0.02142447929645508, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.02142447929645508, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05279296908833475, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05538682624800739, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03136848979187967, "bench_c_p1m": -0.033962346951552314, "ret_p3m": 0.8811544028063638, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.8811544028063638, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.7957202631550149, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5159363381619106, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08543413965134894, "bench_c_p3m": 0.36521806464445317, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1261, 0.1464, 0.1945, 0.1705, 0.2468, 0.2468, 0.2739, 0.3355, 0.1556, 0.2329, 0.233, 0.3035, 0.4208, 0.3508, 0.3284, 0.4043, 0.2034, 0.1615, 0.1718, 0.1338, 0.1794, 0.3291, 0.3956, 0.3649, 0.3742, 0.3742, 0.3523, 0.3753, 0.3812, 0.345, 0.345, 0.4517, 0.351, 0.3017, 0.3402, 0.2671, 0.3147, 0.3952, 0.4598, 0.3917, 0.4104, 0.4714, 0.4714, 0.4856, 0.423, 0.4257, 0.3717, 0.3198, 0.3819, 0.3574, 0.2973, 0.2177, 0.2324, 0.2816, 0.1696, 0.1547, 0.3732, 0.5173, 0.4784, 0.1619, 0.0234, 0.0455, 0.0455, 0.0, 0.0476, 0.0722, 0.0484, 0.0368, 0.0381, 0.0361, 0.0079, -0.0393, -0.0254, -0.1123, -0.0802, -0.0298, -0.0363, -0.0112, -0.0583, 0.0082, -0.0306, -0.0273, 0.0306, 0.0314, 0.0214, 0.02, -0.0618, 0.0015, -0.0156, -0.0272, -0.0815, -0.0907, -0.1893, -0.1139, -0.1404, -0.053, -0.053, -0.0461, -0.038, 0.0143, 0.0466, 0.205, 0.3485, 0.3793, 0.3913, 0.381, 0.4071, 0.4213, 0.552, 0.5689, 0.5971, 0.7208, 0.5898, 0.482, 0.5915, 0.5744, 0.6386, 0.6271, 0.7438, 0.7294, 0.5818, 0.6152, 0.6764, 0.6527, 0.8117, 0.8485, 0.8812, 0.7429, 0.9748, 1.3242, 1.408, 1.481, 1.481, 1.5768, 1.6302, 1.8229, 1.7718, 1.7718, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2023592796184281088", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-17T02:58:13+00:00", "symbol": "AVGO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "probably bullish for CXL like $ALAB, $AVGO, $MRVL", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish CXL names ALAB/AVGO/MRVL on DeepSeek v4; ALAB a good long on any drop; NVDA memory fears overblown, dip volatility is noise.", "resolved_tickers": ["AVGO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Sure, my opinion is probably bullish for CXL like $ALAB, $AVGO, $MRVL. Astera probably a good long on the drop.   \n\nMemory fears are overblown. I'd assume media will try to take advantage of $NVDA PTSD for short term volatility + sensational news.   \n\nIf engram drops inference costs by 10-40x (not memory reduction), it just expands TAM. We'll just get more hbm4 added gpus to run more concurrent model instances. it's irreplaceable (especially for training), even if inference get more efficient.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Do you have an opinion on the imminent release of deepseek v4 which will reportedly have a 10-40x reduced memory usage, and how that could affect the memory names?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Ngen704", "ret_m1d": -0.022162781002994292, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.022162781002994292, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.020551913612792183, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.022678084799332643, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0016108673902021087, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0005153037963383511, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.002916903204850607, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.002916903204850607, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.002120855336766425, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009450837234807441, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005037758541617032, "bench_c_p1d": 0.012367740439658048, "ret_p1w": -0.021200565282193717, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.021200565282193717, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.027790575108009752, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.049788805122448765, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0065900098258160344, "bench_c_p1w": 0.028588239840255047, "ret_p1m": -0.04994895557336998, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04994895557336998, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.018580465781490307, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.015986608621817666, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03136848979187967, "bench_c_p1m": -0.033962346951552314, "ret_p3m": 0.2812952087579563, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2812952087579563, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.1958610691066074, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.08392285588649684, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08543413965134894, "bench_c_p3m": 0.36521806464445317, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.041, 0.0211, 0.1344, 0.1556, 0.1933, 0.1933, 0.2094, 0.1588, 0.1452, 0.1424, 0.1436, 0.1713, 0.2039, 0.2194, 0.2395, 0.2197, 0.0803, 0.0199, 0.0244, -0.0215, -0.0099, 0.0216, 0.0268, 0.0505, 0.0532, 0.0532, 0.0589, 0.0507, 0.0521, 0.0408, 0.0408, 0.0453, 0.0327, 0.0338, 0.033, -0.0002, 0.0374, 0.0592, 0.0664, 0.0221, 0.0315, 0.0576, 0.0576, 0.0002, -0.0112, -0.0212, -0.0376, -0.0231, 0.0008, 0.0021, -0.0054, -0.0037, -0.0043, -0.0367, -0.0736, -0.0662, 0.0011, 0.0343, 0.0238, 0.0307, -0.0041, -0.0222, -0.0222, 0.0, 0.0029, 0.0044, 0.0003, -0.0066, -0.0212, -0.0007, -0.0326, -0.0391, -0.0413, -0.0562, -0.0451, 0.0007, -0.0062, 0.0397, 0.0302, 0.0272, 0.0103, -0.0312, -0.0229, -0.0338, -0.0499, -0.0382, -0.0662, -0.0281, -0.0408, -0.0393, -0.0676, -0.0939, -0.1158, -0.0673, -0.0553, -0.0521, -0.0521, -0.0525, 0.0064, 0.0566, 0.0695, 0.1197, 0.1444, 0.1475, 0.1955, 0.2008, 0.2251, 0.2043, 0.2119, 0.2736, 0.2655, 0.274, 0.2602, 0.2049, 0.2218, 0.2579, 0.2695, 0.2551, 0.2878, 0.282, 0.2432, 0.2958, 0.2911, 0.2635, 0.256, 0.3253, 0.2813, 0.2678, 0.2387, 0.2589, 0.2493, 0.248, 0.248, 0.2717, 0.2713, 0.2855, 0.3463, 0.3463, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2023592796184281088", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-17T02:58:13+00:00", "symbol": "MRVL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "probably bullish for CXL like $ALAB, $AVGO, $MRVL", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish CXL names ALAB/AVGO/MRVL on DeepSeek v4; ALAB a good long on any drop; NVDA memory fears overblown, dip volatility is noise.", "resolved_tickers": ["MRVL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Sure, my opinion is probably bullish for CXL like $ALAB, $AVGO, $MRVL. Astera probably a good long on the drop.   \n\nMemory fears are overblown. I'd assume media will try to take advantage of $NVDA PTSD for short term volatility + sensational news.   \n\nIf engram drops inference costs by 10-40x (not memory reduction), it just expands TAM. We'll just get more hbm4 added gpus to run more concurrent model instances. it's irreplaceable (especially for training), even if inference get more efficient.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Do you have an opinion on the imminent release of deepseek v4 which will reportedly have a 10-40x reduced memory usage, and how that could affect the memory names?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Ngen704", "ret_m1d": -0.005062691663596075, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005062691663596075, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0034518242733939664, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0034518242733939664, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0016108673902021087, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0016108673902021087, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0010123837555640058, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0010123837555640058, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0040253747860530265, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0040253747860530265, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005037758541617032, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005037758541617032, "ret_p1w": -0.00784720589232657, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.00784720589232657, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.014437215718142604, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.014437215718142604, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0065900098258160344, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0065900098258160344, "ret_p1m": 0.10897351301124214, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10897351301124214, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1403420028031218, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1403420028031218, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03136848979187967, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03136848979187967, "ret_p3m": 1.2399510840592503, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.2399510840592503, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.1545169444079013, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.1545169444079013, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08543413965134894, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08543413965134894, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0302, -0.0204, 0.0597, 0.0552, 0.1094, 0.1094, 0.1307, 0.1522, 0.1748, 0.2673, 0.2419, 0.251, 0.1636, 0.1244, 0.1695, 0.1311, 0.0678, 0.0657, 0.0633, 0.0333, 0.0683, 0.0635, 0.0725, 0.1089, 0.0939, 0.0939, 0.092, 0.0847, 0.0973, 0.0748, 0.0748, 0.1306, 0.1412, 0.1159, 0.0705, 0.0554, 0.0533, 0.0491, 0.0511, 0.0278, 0.0173, 0.0184, 0.0184, 0.01, 0.0448, 0.0518, 0.0154, 0.0349, 0.0496, 0.0583, 0.0295, -0.0011, -0.0044, -0.0439, -0.0668, -0.0608, 0.0161, 0.0423, 0.038, 0.0295, -0.0099, -0.0051, -0.0051, 0.0, 0.001, 0.0076, 0.0059, -0.0154, -0.0078, 0.0242, 0.0035, 0.0339, 0.0234, -0.019, -0.0116, -0.0421, 0.1337, 0.1726, 0.1809, 0.1447, 0.1096, 0.112, 0.1591, 0.1491, 0.109, 0.1331, 0.1126, 0.1411, 0.169, 0.246, 0.2363, 0.2009, 0.1114, 0.2536, 0.3506, 0.3557, 0.3557, 0.386, 0.3844, 0.4486, 0.5179, 0.6271, 0.6626, 0.6947, 0.7044, 0.6889, 0.7689, 0.8721, 0.916, 0.9921, 1.0965, 1.0807, 1.0034, 0.9403, 0.9826, 1.0913, 1.0888, 1.0724, 1.1369, 1.1799, 1.0262, 1.1543, 1.1633, 1.0831, 1.2534, 1.312, 1.24, 1.1392, 1.2321, 1.3654, 1.4147, 1.4861, 1.4861, 1.6372, 1.5161, 1.5938, 1.5959, 1.5959, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2023592796184281088", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-02-17T02:58:13+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Memory fears are overblown. I'd assume media will try to take advantage of $NVDA PTSD for short term volatility + sensational news", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish CXL names ALAB/AVGO/MRVL on DeepSeek v4; ALAB a good long on any drop; NVDA memory fears overblown, dip volatility is noise.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Sure, my opinion is probably bullish for CXL like $ALAB, $AVGO, $MRVL. Astera probably a good long on the drop.   \n\nMemory fears are overblown. I'd assume media will try to take advantage of $NVDA PTSD for short term volatility + sensational news.   \n\nIf engram drops inference costs by 10-40x (not memory reduction), it just expands TAM. We'll just get more hbm4 added gpus to run more concurrent model instances. it's irreplaceable (especially for training), even if inference get more efficient.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Do you have an opinion on the imminent release of deepseek v4 which will reportedly have a 10-40x reduced memory usage, and how that could affect the memory names?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Ngen704", "ret_m1d": -0.011677561048771157, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011677561048771157, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010066693658569048, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010066693658569048, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0016108673902021087, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0016108673902021087, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.016272852504360502, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.016272852504360502, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01123509396274347, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01123509396274347, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005037758541617032, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005037758541617032, "ret_p1w": 0.04260152465800959, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04260152465800959, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03601151483219356, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03601151483219356, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0065900098258160344, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0065900098258160344, "ret_p1m": -0.02465396717809243, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02465396717809243, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.006714522613787244, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.006714522613787244, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03136848979187967, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03136848979187967, "ret_p3m": 0.21820943843924767, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.21820943843924767, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.13277529878789873, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.13277529878789873, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08543413965134894, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08543413965134894, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0235, -0.033, -0.0131, -0.0387, -0.0255, -0.0255, -0.0431, -0.0274, -0.019, -0.0291, -0.0086, -0.0138, 0.0031, 0.0, -0.0064, -0.0218, -0.0538, -0.0469, -0.0392, -0.0759, -0.0586, -0.0215, -0.0069, 0.0229, 0.0197, 0.0197, 0.0301, 0.0176, 0.0139, 0.0083, 0.0083, 0.021, 0.017, 0.0123, 0.0224, 0.0004, -0.0006, -0.0002, 0.0045, -0.0099, 0.0112, 0.0068, 0.0068, -0.0373, -0.0089, -0.0007, 0.0146, 0.0081, 0.0192, 0.0354, 0.0408, 0.0333, 0.0035, -0.025, -0.0583, -0.0708, 0.0024, 0.0274, 0.0193, 0.0275, 0.0107, -0.0117, -0.0117, 0.0, 0.0163, 0.0158, 0.0262, 0.0356, 0.0426, 0.0573, -0.0004, -0.0421, -0.0135, -0.0266, -0.0104, -0.0088, -0.0387, -0.0125, -0.0011, 0.0058, -0.0098, -0.0255, -0.0094, -0.0164, -0.0247, -0.0346, -0.0663, -0.0504, -0.0528, -0.034, -0.0742, -0.0943, -0.107, -0.0571, -0.0498, -0.0409, -0.0409, -0.0396, -0.0371, -0.0156, -0.0057, 0.0198, 0.0235, 0.0624, 0.0752, 0.0724, 0.0904, 0.0925, 0.0807, 0.0948, 0.0794, 0.126, 0.1711, 0.1525, 0.1313, 0.079, 0.0729, 0.0731, 0.0624, 0.1236, 0.1435, 0.1635, 0.1864, 0.1937, 0.221, 0.2745, 0.2182, 0.202, 0.1927, 0.2082, 0.1868, 0.1642, 0.1642, 0.1617, 0.1494, 0.1584, 0.1415, 0.1415, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2030702563902083150", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-08T17:49:54+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "going long after is likely the smarter alternative if you want to long $IREN and benefit from equity appreciation", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Not currently long IREN; advises waiting for ATM dilution to play out before going long for equity appreciation.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you read my disclosure, I have zero economic interest or positions in $IREN. \n\nI'm just stating the harsh reality that retail \"dip buyers\" will be inevitably be diluted and serve as liquidity for the $6 Billion ATM. \n\nLetting others take the dilution hit first and going long after is likely the smarter alternative if you want to long $IREN and benefit from equity appreciation. \n\nEspecially since ATMs are one of the more retail-destructive methods to finance.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Someone is short Iren. Interesting.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BonyBallf2", "ret_m1d": -0.05509782135018482, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05509782135018482, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04641386798582958, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05986636349258456, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004768542142399745, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.018537621469477572, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.018537621469477572, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016930494564110443, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013173021082192093, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005364600387285479, "ret_p1w": 0.15705454300093913, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.15705454300093913, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.17067744972513788, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.17751951414193812, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02046497114099899, "ret_p1m": -0.07981458449903078, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07981458449903078, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0543826200794183, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07596801281670362, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00384657168232716, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1308, 0.1313, 0.0332, -0.0865, -0.0579, -0.1303, -0.0783, 0.0278, 0.0824, 0.0832, 0.0808, 0.0808, 0.0376, 0.0147, -0.0139, -0.0275, -0.0275, 0.0994, 0.242, 0.182, 0.1232, 0.1761, 0.1851, 0.2958, 0.3643, 0.3615, 0.336, 0.4887, 0.4887, 0.397, 0.3769, 0.3455, 0.4593, 0.3481, 0.5445, 0.6205, 0.5407, 0.3836, 0.3666, 0.4004, 0.1571, 0.0245, 0.077, 0.1882, 0.1053, 0.0986, 0.0306, 0.087, 0.087, 0.0548, 0.0834, 0.1146, 0.0294, 0.0906, 0.1702, 0.1336, 0.139, 0.0543, 0.0657, 0.0003, 0.1287, 0.0331, -0.0551, 0.0, -0.0185, 0.0808, 0.0651, 0.0705, 0.1571, 0.1061, 0.0868, 0.0726, 0.0631, 0.0855, 0.0587, 0.0667, -0.0358, -0.0965, -0.1859, -0.1174, -0.1223, -0.1048, -0.1048, -0.0955, -0.0798, -0.0518, -0.0458, 0.0124, 0.1089, 0.2196, 0.257, 0.2281, 0.2389, 0.2544, 0.163, 0.2459, 0.3393, 0.3038, 0.2451, 0.1442, 0.1035, 0.1717, 0.1756, 0.2739, 0.4094, 0.57, 0.4637, 0.5757, 0.4199, 0.4562, 0.4204, 0.5036, 0.363, 0.2992, 0.2291, 0.3571, 0.4949, 0.4632, 0.4632, 0.5391, 0.7467, 0.6491, 0.6359, 0.6359, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2019173646477193643", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-04T22:18:06+00:00", "symbol": "IBIT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd expect when Midterms come around later in the year, we'll see a broader recovery", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Expects a broader market recovery by Midterms later this year, implying recovery in beaten-down high-beta names.", "resolved_tickers": ["IBIT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@soulbiri1 Yeah today was extremely rough for high-beta. $CRDO, $IREN, $CIFR, and others just got nuked. \n\n$AMD down -17%, even $MSFT down -22%+ past two months. \n\nI'd expect when Midterms come around later in the year, we'll see a broader recovery.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit My portfolio got nuked today, still hodling these IBIT 2027 leaps though, hopefully will be enough time for recovery", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": 0.04161653969056256, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04161653969056256, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03674904022548442, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03674904022548442, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00486749946507814, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00486749946507814, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.131585308175602, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.131585308175602, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.11909609691940026, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.11909609691940026, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012489211256201727, "bench_c_p1d": -0.012489211256201727, "ret_p1w": -0.07890302630204882, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07890302630204882, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08731184702378625, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08731184702378625, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008408820721737431, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008408820721737431, "ret_p1m": -0.028385862733665168, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.028385862733665168, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02127414401509098, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02127414401509098, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007111718718574189, "bench_c_p1m": -0.007111718718574189, "ret_p3m": 0.09213379502457753, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.09213379502457753, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.04290412270359978, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.04290412270359978, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.049229672320977746, "bench_c_p3m": 0.049229672320977746, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.4164, 0.4479, 0.4037, 0.3854, 0.3373, 0.2864, 0.2533, 0.2668, 0.2204, 0.1778, 0.154, 0.2165, 0.1922, 0.2276, 0.2276, 0.2401, 0.1667, 0.243, 0.2687, 0.2632, 0.2194, 0.2394, 0.2713, 0.2627, 0.2533, 0.2317, 0.1706, 0.1958, 0.1718, 0.1537, 0.2006, 0.205, 0.1944, 0.1898, 0.1898, 0.1934, 0.1879, 0.1987, 0.1944, 0.1944, 0.2254, 0.286, 0.2617, 0.2398, 0.2394, 0.2307, 0.2478, 0.2887, 0.3337, 0.299, 0.3048, 0.3048, 0.2211, 0.2295, 0.2189, 0.2196, 0.1944, 0.2179, 0.2151, 0.1451, 0.1424, 0.0637, 0.0416, 0.0, -0.1316, -0.0455, -0.0351, -0.0625, -0.0789, -0.1087, -0.0625, -0.0625, -0.0765, -0.0969, -0.0842, -0.0758, -0.1208, -0.1212, -0.0563, -0.0796, -0.1054, -0.0571, -0.069, -0.0031, -0.0284, -0.0714, -0.0587, -0.0447, -0.0361, -0.039, -0.0289, 0.0089, 0.0168, -0.0315, -0.0421, -0.0433, -0.0366, -0.0551, -0.0337, -0.0662, -0.1003, -0.0936, -0.0758, -0.0705, -0.0866, -0.0866, -0.0493, -0.0594, -0.0277, -0.0159, -0.0002, 0.0005, 0.0135, 0.0238, 0.0279, 0.057, 0.0404, 0.0226, 0.0765, 0.0597, 0.0589, 0.0479, 0.0409, 0.0284, 0.0421, 0.0698, 0.0921, 0.1133, 0.1111, 0.0921, 0.0933, 0.1179, 0.1018, 0.0854, 0.1107, 0.0782, 0.0471, 0.0464, 0.0582, 0.0585, 0.0334, 0.0334, 0.0342, 0.0212, -0.0002, 0.0014, 0.0014, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2019173646477193643", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-04T22:18:06+00:00", "symbol": "CRDO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd expect when Midterms come around later in the year, we'll see a broader recovery", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Expects a broader market recovery by Midterms later this year, implying recovery in beaten-down high-beta names.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRDO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@soulbiri1 Yeah today was extremely rough for high-beta. $CRDO, $IREN, $CIFR, and others just got nuked. \n\n$AMD down -17%, even $MSFT down -22%+ past two months. \n\nI'd expect when Midterms come around later in the year, we'll see a broader recovery.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit My portfolio got nuked today, still hodling these IBIT 2027 leaps though, hopefully will be enough time for recovery", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": 0.14811759734265695, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.14811759734265695, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.1432500978775788, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.10712496839006858, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00486749946507814, "bench_c_m1d": 0.04099262895258837, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011449207274799145, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011449207274799145, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02393841853100087, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.013935940212271514, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012489211256201727, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002486732937472369, "ret_p1w": 0.3243939962683249, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.3243939962683249, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.31598517554658745, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.23863929570878795, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008408820721737431, "bench_c_p1w": 0.08575470055953693, "ret_p1m": 0.1834966629759125, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1834966629759125, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.19060838169448668, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1486031561616219, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007111718718574189, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0348935068142906, "ret_p3m": 0.8572460363739953, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.8572460363739953, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.8080163640530176, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.5306400389930974, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.049229672320977746, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3266059973808979, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.6876, 0.7551, 0.6349, 0.6538, 0.4745, 0.501, 0.5016, 0.4395, 0.4634, 0.3897, 0.3769, 0.556, 0.5903, 0.6917, 0.6917, 0.8319, 0.7651, 0.9437, 0.9514, 0.8661, 0.8158, 0.8457, 0.7565, 0.6295, 0.5933, 0.4844, 0.4649, 0.4476, 0.3835, 0.4293, 0.5485, 0.5466, 0.5246, 0.5491, 0.5491, 0.4939, 0.4925, 0.4948, 0.4842, 0.4842, 0.4773, 0.4465, 0.3713, 0.4544, 0.4604, 0.5515, 0.6098, 0.6646, 0.6177, 0.5381, 0.5572, 0.5572, 0.5804, 0.4354, 0.3935, 0.3735, 0.3205, 0.3365, 0.3374, 0.3354, 0.2922, 0.2373, 0.1481, 0.0, 0.0114, 0.149, 0.2729, 0.3896, 0.3244, 0.2561, 0.2526, 0.2526, 0.2873, 0.3193, 0.3477, 0.2796, 0.2795, 0.2463, 0.2734, 0.1808, 0.158, 0.1781, 0.0036, 0.0577, 0.1835, 0.1329, 0.1963, 0.1586, 0.1956, 0.1508, 0.2139, 0.2056, 0.0733, 0.0492, 0.1046, 0.0665, 0.0841, 0.0346, 0.0718, -0.0053, -0.0176, -0.0943, -0.0318, -0.0106, 0.0464, 0.0464, 0.0568, 0.1015, 0.1368, 0.1133, 0.2335, 0.3859, 0.6454, 0.7365, 0.6393, 0.6575, 0.8002, 0.8909, 0.9545, 0.9138, 1.0118, 0.8618, 0.7114, 0.813, 0.7948, 0.9018, 0.8572, 0.9966, 1.0453, 0.9421, 0.9444, 1.1683, 1.0482, 0.9532, 0.9035, 0.7759, 0.6119, 0.7431, 0.8874, 0.9947, 1.2528, 1.2528, 1.2861, 1.2819, 1.2935, 1.4346, 1.4346, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2019173646477193643", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-04T22:18:06+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd expect when Midterms come around later in the year, we'll see a broader recovery", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Expects a broader market recovery by Midterms later this year, implying recovery in beaten-down high-beta names.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@soulbiri1 Yeah today was extremely rough for high-beta. $CRDO, $IREN, $CIFR, and others just got nuked. \n\n$AMD down -17%, even $MSFT down -22%+ past two months. \n\nI'd expect when Midterms come around later in the year, we'll see a broader recovery.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit My portfolio got nuked today, still hodling these IBIT 2027 leaps though, hopefully will be enough time for recovery", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": 0.2102803972344378, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.2102803972344378, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.20541289776935967, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.21824930211934113, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00486749946507814, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007968904884903316, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.1145971933368255, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.1145971933368255, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.10210798208062377, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.1021806069068304, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012489211256201727, "bench_c_p1d": -0.012416586429995102, "ret_p1w": -0.050511805232111295, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.050511805232111295, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.058920625953848726, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.027902473144666984, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008408820721737431, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02260933208744431, "ret_p1m": -0.10714282985863977, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10714282985863977, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10003111114006558, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05654981275845816, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007111718718574189, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0505930171001816, "ret_p3m": 0.10102361046422259, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.10102361046422259, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.051793938143244844, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.14021667233113744, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.049229672320977746, "bench_c_p3m": -0.03919306186691485, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3881, 0.3389, 0.2768, 0.2394, 0.0826, 0.0318, 0.055, 0.087, 0.0198, -0.0327, -0.0596, 0.079, 0.0563, 0.0781, 0.0781, 0.0639, 0.079, -0.085, -0.0218, 0.0336, -0.0051, 0.0312, 0.0423, -0.0227, -0.0223, -0.107, -0.2105, -0.1858, -0.2483, -0.2034, -0.1117, -0.0645, -0.0639, -0.0659, -0.0659, -0.1032, -0.1231, -0.1478, -0.1595, -0.1595, -0.0498, 0.0734, 0.0216, -0.0293, 0.0165, 0.0243, 0.1199, 0.1791, 0.1767, 0.1547, 0.2866, 0.2866, 0.2074, 0.19, 0.1629, 0.2612, 0.1651, 0.3349, 0.4005, 0.3316, 0.1958, 0.1811, 0.2103, 0.0, -0.1146, -0.0692, 0.0269, -0.0447, -0.0505, -0.1093, -0.0605, -0.0605, -0.0883, -0.0636, -0.0367, -0.1104, -0.0574, 0.0113, -0.0202, -0.0156, -0.0888, -0.079, -0.1355, -0.0245, -0.1071, -0.1834, -0.1357, -0.1518, -0.0659, -0.0794, -0.0748, 0.0, -0.0441, -0.0607, -0.073, -0.0812, -0.0619, -0.085, -0.0781, -0.1667, -0.2192, -0.2964, -0.2372, -0.2414, -0.2263, -0.2263, -0.2183, -0.2047, -0.1805, -0.1753, -0.1251, -0.0416, 0.0541, 0.0863, 0.0614, 0.0708, 0.0841, 0.0051, 0.0768, 0.1575, 0.1268, 0.0761, -0.0111, -0.0463, 0.0127, 0.016, 0.101, 0.2181, 0.3569, 0.265, 0.3618, 0.2272, 0.2586, 0.2276, 0.2995, 0.178, 0.1228, 0.0623, 0.1729, 0.2919, 0.2646, 0.2646, 0.3302, 0.5096, 0.4252, 0.4139, 0.4139, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2019173646477193643", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-02-04T22:18:06+00:00", "symbol": "CIFR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd expect when Midterms come around later in the year, we'll see a broader recovery", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Expects a broader market recovery by Midterms later this year, implying recovery in beaten-down high-beta names.", "resolved_tickers": ["CIFR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Information Technology Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Information Technology Services", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@soulbiri1 Yeah today was extremely rough for high-beta. $CRDO, $IREN, $CIFR, and others just got nuked. \n\n$AMD down -17%, even $MSFT down -22%+ past two months. \n\nI'd expect when Midterms come around later in the year, we'll see a broader recovery.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit My portfolio got nuked today, still hodling these IBIT 2027 leaps though, hopefully will be enough time for recovery", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": 0.1410526476408307, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.1410526476408307, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.13618514817575256, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.11238184503511617, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00486749946507814, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02867080260571453, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.10877194320946404, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.10877194320946404, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.09628273195326231, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.09074425010842668, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012489211256201727, "bench_c_p1d": -0.018027693101037356, "ret_p1w": 0.14245618853652697, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.14245618853652697, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.13404736781478954, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10734167002772588, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008408820721737431, "bench_c_p1w": 0.035114518508801096, "ret_p1m": 0.06315786796703682, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06315786796703682, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07026958668561101, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04824324568183447, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007111718718574189, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01491462228520235, "ret_p3m": 0.2554385536595394, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2554385536595394, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.20620888133856163, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.08072453330401164, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.049229672320977746, "bench_c_p3m": 0.17471402035552774, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.4519, 0.3789, 0.3102, 0.2196, 0.0477, 0.0077, 0.007, 0.0232, 0.026, 0.0218, -0.007, 0.1726, 0.2295, 0.3439, 0.3439, 0.4281, 0.3818, 0.2379, 0.3074, 0.3916, 0.353, 0.367, 0.3726, 0.2968, 0.3249, 0.1965, 0.0344, 0.0519, 0.0098, 0.0632, 0.1375, 0.1467, 0.1165, 0.1382, 0.1382, 0.066, 0.0582, 0.0239, 0.0358, 0.0358, 0.1368, 0.2744, 0.2309, 0.1284, 0.1614, 0.167, 0.2407, 0.2807, 0.2723, 0.2295, 0.3193, 0.3193, 0.2575, 0.2435, 0.2204, 0.233, 0.1572, 0.3158, 0.3312, 0.2421, 0.12, 0.1095, 0.1411, 0.0, -0.1088, 0.0337, 0.1761, 0.2, 0.1425, 0.1298, 0.1523, 0.1523, 0.0975, 0.0821, 0.1088, 0.0281, 0.0681, 0.2014, 0.1656, 0.1565, 0.0947, 0.106, 0.0323, 0.1256, 0.0632, -0.0442, 0.0042, -0.0204, -0.0098, -0.0379, -0.0119, 0.0625, 0.0589, 0.0295, 0.0274, -0.0168, 0.0449, 0.0442, 0.1144, 0.007, -0.0354, -0.1568, -0.0968, -0.113, -0.1004, -0.1004, -0.0632, -0.0168, 0.0821, 0.1481, 0.16, 0.2463, 0.2947, 0.2632, 0.2168, 0.3593, 0.3537, 0.266, 0.3642, 0.3116, 0.2772, 0.2744, 0.2112, 0.1874, 0.2449, 0.1958, 0.2554, 0.5509, 0.5375, 0.4516, 0.4421, 0.4232, 0.4077, 0.4905, 0.5642, 0.4267, 0.3418, 0.3193, 0.367, 0.5102, 0.5418, 0.5418, 0.6154, 0.7656, 0.7256, 0.6596, 0.6596, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2019173646477193643", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-02-04T22:18:06+00:00", "symbol": "AMD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd expect when Midterms come around later in the year, we'll see a broader recovery", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Expects a broader market recovery by Midterms later this year, implying recovery in beaten-down high-beta names.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@soulbiri1 Yeah today was extremely rough for high-beta. $CRDO, $IREN, $CIFR, and others just got nuked. \n\n$AMD down -17%, even $MSFT down -22%+ past two months. \n\nI'd expect when Midterms come around later in the year, we'll see a broader recovery.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit My portfolio got nuked today, still hodling these IBIT 2027 leaps though, hopefully will be enough time for recovery", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": 0.20940105728414138, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.20940105728414138, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.20453355781906324, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.20453355781906324, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00486749946507814, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00486749946507814, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.038413518895165866, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.038413518895165866, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02592430763896414, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02592430763896414, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012489211256201727, "bench_c_p1d": -0.012489211256201727, "ret_p1w": 0.06688645400045679, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06688645400045679, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.058477633278719354, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.058477633278719354, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008408820721737431, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008408820721737431, "ret_p1m": -0.003696515730752581, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.003696515730752581, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0034152029878216084, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0034152029878216084, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007111718718574189, "bench_c_p1m": -0.007111718718574189, "ret_p3m": 0.7060792466141632, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7060792466141632, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.6568495742931855, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.6568495742931855, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.049229672320977746, "bench_c_p3m": 0.049229672320977746, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1666, 0.2187, 0.1865, 0.2932, 0.2386, 0.2329, 0.2015, 0.1504, 0.1167, 0.0291, 0.0179, 0.0742, 0.0297, 0.0702, 0.0702, 0.0866, 0.0978, 0.0752, 0.087, 0.0789, 0.0888, 0.1045, 0.107, 0.106, 0.1061, 0.0529, 0.0369, 0.0449, -0.0104, 0.0043, 0.0661, 0.0737, 0.0735, 0.0742, 0.0742, 0.0739, 0.077, 0.0757, 0.0698, 0.0698, 0.1163, 0.1044, 0.0707, 0.0491, 0.0224, 0.0149, 0.0375, 0.1038, 0.1169, 0.1385, 0.158, 0.158, 0.1585, 0.2478, 0.2674, 0.2972, 0.2554, 0.259, 0.2625, 0.2597, 0.1825, 0.2302, 0.2094, 0.0, -0.0384, 0.0412, 0.079, 0.0668, 0.0669, 0.0287, 0.0356, 0.0356, 0.0144, -0.0003, 0.0159, -0.0002, -0.0179, 0.0682, 0.0533, 0.0174, 0.0001, -0.0078, -0.0462, 0.0094, -0.0037, -0.0388, 0.0124, 0.0152, 0.0232, -0.0122, -0.034, -0.018, -0.0194, -0.0036, 0.0254, 0.0057, 0.0124, 0.0259, 0.1003, 0.0179, 0.009, -0.0207, 0.0162, 0.0501, 0.0865, 0.0865, 0.0999, 0.1066, 0.158, 0.1821, 0.224, 0.233, 0.2741, 0.2894, 0.39, 0.3906, 0.3734, 0.4211, 0.5159, 0.5252, 0.7374, 0.6716, 0.6145, 0.684, 0.7708, 0.801, 0.7061, 0.7746, 1.105, 1.0404, 1.2738, 1.2918, 1.2393, 1.2254, 1.2464, 1.1185, 1.103, 1.0683, 1.2358, 1.2458, 1.3353, 1.3353, 1.5171, 1.4753, 1.588, 1.5781, 1.5781, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2019173646477193643", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2026-02-04T22:18:06+00:00", "symbol": "MSFT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd expect when Midterms come around later in the year, we'll see a broader recovery", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Expects a broader market recovery by Midterms later this year, implying recovery in beaten-down high-beta names.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSFT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@soulbiri1 Yeah today was extremely rough for high-beta. $CRDO, $IREN, $CIFR, and others just got nuked. \n\n$AMD down -17%, even $MSFT down -22%+ past two months. \n\nI'd expect when Midterms come around later in the year, we'll see a broader recovery.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit My portfolio got nuked today, still hodling these IBIT 2027 leaps though, hopefully will be enough time for recovery", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "soulbiri1", "ret_m1d": -0.007194860629872402, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007194860629872402, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012062360094950542, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012062360094950542, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00486749946507814, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00486749946507814, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04954253276678533, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04954253276678533, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0370533215105836, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0370533215105836, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012489211256201727, "bench_c_p1d": -0.012489211256201727, "ret_p1w": -0.023709062888219612, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.023709062888219612, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03211788360995704, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03211788360995704, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008408820721737431, "bench_c_p1w": 0.008408820721737431, "ret_p1m": -0.006211364915024498, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.006211364915024498, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0009003538035496916, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0009003538035496916, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007111718718574189, "bench_c_p1m": -0.007111718718574189, "ret_p3m": 0.0009030487405052856, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.0009030487405052856, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.04832662358047246, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.04832662358047246, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.049229672320977746, "bench_c_p3m": 0.049229672320977746, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1973, 0.2194, 0.2258, 0.2318, 0.2128, 0.2295, 0.223, 0.19, 0.1739, 0.1551, 0.1399, 0.1444, 0.1516, 0.1722, 0.1722, 0.1879, 0.1752, 0.183, 0.1534, 0.1609, 0.1665, 0.1855, 0.1879, 0.1554, 0.1673, 0.1553, 0.1464, 0.1502, 0.1495, 0.1685, 0.1732, 0.1708, 0.1754, 0.1783, 0.1783, 0.1775, 0.176, 0.1769, 0.1676, 0.1676, 0.1418, 0.1416, 0.1553, 0.1673, 0.1543, 0.1572, 0.1521, 0.1364, 0.1091, 0.1025, 0.1103, 0.1103, 0.0974, 0.0722, 0.0892, 0.125, 0.1354, 0.1603, 0.1628, 0.0466, 0.0389, 0.0222, -0.0072, 0.0, -0.0495, -0.0315, -0.0014, -0.0022, -0.0237, -0.0298, -0.0311, -0.0311, -0.0418, -0.0352, -0.0358, -0.0388, -0.0696, -0.0587, -0.0306, -0.0279, -0.0496, -0.0356, -0.0225, -0.0195, -0.0062, -0.0104, -0.0093, -0.0181, -0.0202, -0.0276, -0.0428, -0.0322, -0.0335, -0.0519, -0.0586, -0.0759, -0.0732, -0.098, -0.1021, -0.1144, -0.1367, -0.1314, -0.1042, -0.1062, -0.0963, -0.0963, -0.0977, -0.0991, -0.0942, -0.0972, -0.1025, -0.0699, -0.0487, -0.0049, 0.017, 0.0231, 0.0117, 0.0264, 0.0476, 0.0061, 0.0275, 0.028, 0.0387, 0.0271, -0.0132, 0.0029, 0.0009, -0.0045, 0.0017, 0.0182, 0.0045, -0.0014, -0.0133, -0.0194, -0.0092, 0.021, 0.0249, 0.0101, 0.0189, 0.0163, 0.0151, 0.0151, 0.0089, 0.0008, 0.0355, 0.0919, 0.0919, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2031160025834729760", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-10T00:07:41+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "there's a lot of latent revenue monetization potential", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish HIMS: global M&A built a monopoly moat in retail healthcare distribution with significant untapped revenue monetization potential.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Absolutely, I see the $HIMS parallel to $META acquiring all the social media companies a decade ago.  \n\nThis wouldn't work today since FTC would block companies like $RDDT acquiring all their competitors like $SNAP. \n\nBut $HIMS pulled off a global M&A spree, building a monopoly moat over retail healthcare distribution from Zava in Europe, Livewell in Canada, and Eucalyptus for Australia/Japan.  \n\nSo, now that $HIMS somehow managed to build capture the global retail base for healthcare... With regulatory issues cleared up, there's a lot of latent revenue monetization potential.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit The distribution is definitely the interesting piece. If they can meaningfully increase revenue per user over time, the model could look very different a few years out.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "RWarren52274", "ret_m1d": -0.05581591411453468, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05581591411453468, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0574256280344525, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0574256280344525, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0016097139199178212, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0016097139199178212, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10268427430420979, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10268427430420979, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10393943723272692, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10393943723272692, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012551629285171284, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012551629285171284, "ret_p1w": 0.06433746370084648, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06433746370084648, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0737736896659631, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0737736896659631, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009436225965116618, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009436225965116618, "ret_p1m": -0.17383894516709786, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.17383894516709786, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.17483752633048955, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.17483752633048955, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0009985811633916875, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0009985811633916875, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.6093, 0.5854, 0.5445, 0.5705, 0.49, 0.4815, 0.5151, 0.4934, 0.4827, 0.4772, 0.4772, 0.4619, 0.4529, 0.4078, 0.3835, 0.3835, 0.4235, 0.4789, 0.5109, 0.5109, 0.4431, 0.3502, 0.3779, 0.372, 0.3345, 0.3306, 0.337, 0.337, 0.2983, 0.2309, 0.3004, 0.262, 0.2902, 0.2646, 0.2216, 0.2727, 0.1542, 0.1265, 0.0882, 0.0396, 0.0004, -0.0192, -0.1764, -0.2654, -0.2889, -0.3268, -0.3055, -0.3055, -0.3068, -0.3251, -0.3259, -0.334, -0.3392, -0.3413, -0.3259, -0.3353, -0.3813, -0.2978, -0.3259, -0.2991, -0.3234, -0.3294, -0.0558, 0.0, 0.1027, 0.0158, 0.0554, 0.0601, 0.0643, -0.0136, 0.0294, -0.0618, -0.043, -0.0908, -0.1121, -0.1112, -0.1743, -0.1998, -0.1155, -0.1547, -0.1845, -0.1845, -0.1338, -0.1692, -0.1738, -0.1585, -0.1721, -0.0988, -0.0899, 0.0349, 0.15, 0.228, 0.3213, 0.268, 0.236, 0.1994, 0.3021, 0.2522, 0.1892, 0.1219, 0.1576, 0.1679, 0.1619, 0.1219, 0.1453, 0.0929, 0.2045, 0.2416, 0.0665, 0.0285, 0.0328, 0.0673, -0.0503, -0.0439, -0.0183, 0.023, 0.0119, 0.0119, 0.0162, 0.0737, 0.0814, 0.1142, 0.1142, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2030989247059263843", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-09T12:49:05+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$HIMS is a very solid company with a valuable distribution network", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish HIMS on solid fundamentals and valuable distribution network; dismisses it as a meme stock.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@moninvestor It is, fundamentally $HIMS is a very solid company with a valuable distribution network. \n\nOtherwise wouldn’t be mentioning it if it were a meme stock with no fundamentals. \n\nThat being said, I hope those directional hedge fund shorting HIMS get what they deserve. https://t.co/JraGQ0XNFJ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit This is a huge win.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "moninvestor", "ret_m1d": -0.2897111967734822, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.2897111967734822, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.281027243409127, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.281027243409127, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0591154997726846, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0591154997726846, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06072262667805173, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06072262667805173, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "ret_p1w": 0.12274365216984151, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12274365216984151, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.13636655889404026, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13636655889404026, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "ret_p1m": -0.12003609502383417, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12003609502383417, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09460413060422168, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09460413060422168, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.7094, 0.7044, 0.6792, 0.6358, 0.6634, 0.5781, 0.569, 0.6047, 0.5817, 0.5704, 0.5645, 0.5645, 0.5483, 0.5388, 0.491, 0.4653, 0.4653, 0.5077, 0.5663, 0.6002, 0.6002, 0.5284, 0.4301, 0.4594, 0.4531, 0.4134, 0.4093, 0.4161, 0.4161, 0.375, 0.3037, 0.3773, 0.3366, 0.3664, 0.3394, 0.2938, 0.3479, 0.2225, 0.1931, 0.1525, 0.1011, 0.0596, 0.0388, -0.1277, -0.222, -0.2468, -0.287, -0.2644, -0.2644, -0.2658, -0.2852, -0.2861, -0.2947, -0.3001, -0.3023, -0.2861, -0.296, -0.3448, -0.2563, -0.2861, -0.2577, -0.2834, -0.2897, 0.0, 0.0591, 0.1679, 0.0758, 0.1178, 0.1227, 0.1273, 0.0447, 0.0903, -0.0063, 0.0135, -0.037, -0.0596, -0.0587, -0.1255, -0.1525, -0.0632, -0.1047, -0.1363, -0.1363, -0.0826, -0.12, -0.125, -0.1088, -0.1232, -0.0456, -0.0361, 0.0961, 0.218, 0.3005, 0.3994, 0.343, 0.3091, 0.2703, 0.3791, 0.3263, 0.2595, 0.1882, 0.2261, 0.2369, 0.2306, 0.1882, 0.213, 0.1575, 0.2757, 0.315, 0.1295, 0.0894, 0.0939, 0.1304, 0.0059, 0.0126, 0.0397, 0.0835, 0.0718, 0.0718, 0.0763, 0.1372, 0.1453, 0.1801, 0.1801, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2025619207015301349", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-22T17:10:27+00:00", "symbol": "XLU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "So, we might see boring utilities and power producers in $XLU be strongly re-rated because of: 1. AI inference + training extreme ramp and demand for GW-scale DCs. 2. Hyperscaler extreme capex pouring into the sector. 3. Rate Cut tailwinds.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long XLU on AI power/grid bottleneck thesis: AI buildout + hyperscaler capex + rate cuts drive utility re-rating; 40% upside mapped.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The biggest United States AI bottleneck:\n\nPower and Grid Capacity.\n\nThis has been echoed by the CEOs of every major US AI company recently. \n\nHere's the list from $MSFT to $AMZN:\n\nJensen Huang ( $NVDA ): \"At the lowest level: energy. China has twice the amount of energy we have as a nation, and our economy is larger than theirs. It makes no sense to me... There are no new industries you can grow without energy.\" (CSIS event)\n\nElon Musk ( $TSLA / xAI): \"Billions of dollars of the most advanced AI hardware ever built. Sitting dark. Not because the chips don’t work. Because there isn’t enough electricity to run them.\" (Recent Podcast)\n\nSam Altman (OpenAI): \"Meeting global AI demand will eventually require hundreds of gigawatts of power. Whoever controls power controls the AI value chain.\" (Recent Interview)\n\nAndy Jassy ( $AMZN ): \"[Our] single biggest constraint is power. I don't believe that we will have fully resolved the amount of capacity we need for the demand that we have in a couple of quarters.\" (Amazon Earnings Call)\n\nSatya Nadella ( $MSFT ): \"The biggest issue we are now having is not a compute glut, but it's power. It's sort of the ability to get the builds done fast enough close to power. So, if you can't do that, you may actually have a bunch of chips sitting in inventory that I can't plug in.\" (BG2 Pod)\n\nYou have every single CEO of American AI labs telling you what the major bottlenecks are for US Artificial Intelligence:\n\nGenerating the Energy, and expanding the Grid.\n\nSo, we might see boring utilities and power producers  in $XLU be strongly re-rated because of:\n\n1. AI inference + training extreme ramp and demand for GW-scale DCs.\n2. Hyperscaler extreme capex pouring into the sector.\n3. Rate Cut tailwinds.\n\nAnd most of all. That fact that:\n\nThe United States as a country has to rebuild its grid to win a geopolitical arms race.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "If I had to turn $100k -&gt; $1M in 1 year. \n\nIt would be: $XLU OTM 2 year leaps \n\n2026 is the first time in modern history markets have: \n\n-  falling interest rates\n- AI inference + buildout\n\nThere's a potential ~40%  for XLU (1000%+ OTM), from mapping. \n\nHere's my macro thesis: https://t.co/R3Lcbwam38", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.007497825652779344, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007497825652779344, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017814487039842897, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017814487039842897, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011139718380374752, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011139718380374752, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0038712654499797328, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0038712654499797328, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "ret_p1w": 0.014781446524965602, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.014781446524965602, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.008934360812073994, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.008934360812073994, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "ret_p1m": -0.027308435051802138, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.027308435051802138, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.012882947272660594, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.012882947272660594, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "ret_p3m": -0.029249938466529124, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.029249938466529124, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.12063215530431359, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.12063215530431359, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0433, -0.0433, -0.0365, -0.059, -0.0657, -0.0687, -0.0706, -0.0793, -0.0916, -0.091, -0.0914, -0.0848, -0.0893, -0.081, -0.0848, -0.0908, -0.0819, -0.0936, -0.0902, -0.087, -0.0829, -0.0829, -0.0835, -0.0818, -0.0797, -0.0855, -0.0855, -0.075, -0.0853, -0.0808, -0.103, -0.1005, -0.0893, -0.0878, -0.082, -0.0752, -0.0658, -0.0705, -0.0705, -0.0797, -0.0784, -0.085, -0.0883, -0.0816, -0.0696, -0.0718, -0.0718, -0.0735, -0.087, -0.0737, -0.0771, -0.0767, -0.0713, -0.0686, -0.0531, -0.0448, -0.0306, -0.0039, -0.0039, -0.0064, -0.0229, -0.0122, -0.0075, 0.0, 0.0111, 0.0146, 0.0107, 0.0225, 0.0148, 0.0084, 0.0126, 0.0047, 0.0013, 0.0036, -0.0026, -0.0109, -0.0039, 0.006, 0.0124, 0.0096, 0.0011, -0.003, -0.0435, -0.034, -0.0273, -0.0239, -0.0221, -0.0165, -0.0094, -0.0101, -0.0053, -0.0003, -0.0003, -0.004, -0.0019, 0.0091, 0.0171, 0.013, 0.0007, 0.0025, -0.0072, -0.0001, -0.0042, -0.0131, -0.0303, -0.0321, -0.0057, -0.0038, -0.0036, -0.0023, -0.0146, 0.0107, 0.0042, 0.0003, 0.0003, -0.0139, -0.0267, -0.0353, -0.0262, -0.0252, -0.0364, -0.0314, -0.0536, -0.0521, -0.0435, -0.0398, -0.0292, -0.0217, -0.0217, -0.0221, -0.0262, -0.0372, -0.0418, -0.0418, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2028203665430057068", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-01T20:20:10+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "For $AXTI the supply squeeze is happening now.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long AXTI now on InP supply squeeze; long Soitec (SLOIF) into 2028 CPO inflection as photonics-SOI monopoly, both critical bottlenecks for 800g/1.6T and CPO.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Soitec ( $SLOIF ) is the monopoly silicon photonics mirror to $AXTI.\n\nBasically it’s directly tethered to CPO and its inflection point late 2027-2028\n\nFor 800g/1.6T and CPO, hard to really do it without $AXTI and Soitec:\n\nAXT for InP\n\nSoitec for photonics-soi substrates. Functional monopoly\n\n(Shin Etsy operates under their license) -> (Intel, Global Foundaties, Tower)\n\nBut expect them to get rerated extremely hard early 2028 when CPO hits the inflection point. \n\nHowever similar to $IQE, there’s tons of legacy drag affecting their stock price. \n\nFor $AXTI the supply squeeze is happening now.\n\nFor Soitec might be 6 months or a year too early but don’t know when markets start frontrunning it.\n\nBut just putting it out there as a future bottleneck.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.18177889085535037, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.18177889085535037, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.181210635171144, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.18172962898737033, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -4.926186798004384e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09844562615142993, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09844562615142993, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08963128766863426, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0607232005571261, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03772242559430383, "ret_p1w": -0.16753018939247322, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.16753018939247322, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.15571460846895835, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.13795264295189846, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.029577546440574753, "ret_p1m": 0.2301381674793761, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2301381674793761, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.28005790905455985, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.286709490403837, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.056571322924460876, "ret_p3m": 1.4978410559266577, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.4978410559266577, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.3954476767607498, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.021845102608886, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.4759959533177718, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7522, -0.7388, -0.75, -0.7256, -0.677, -0.6652, -0.6464, -0.6803, -0.6798, -0.7193, -0.7332, -0.6975, -0.6837, -0.6714, -0.6839, -0.6759, -0.6759, -0.6682, -0.685, -0.6589, -0.647, -0.647, -0.6382, -0.6401, -0.5646, -0.4795, -0.4424, -0.5037, -0.5199, -0.5356, -0.5229, -0.4447, -0.5231, -0.5231, -0.5378, -0.573, -0.6131, -0.6244, -0.6157, -0.6287, -0.6367, -0.6464, -0.5997, -0.5479, -0.5738, -0.5952, -0.5589, -0.4806, -0.4005, -0.4743, -0.4214, -0.4648, -0.4767, -0.4767, -0.4989, -0.4918, -0.486, -0.3592, -0.3862, -0.2427, -0.1155, -0.1986, -0.1818, 0.0, -0.0984, -0.1552, -0.1623, -0.3012, -0.1675, -0.0436, 0.0225, 0.0089, 0.0548, 0.0447, -0.0423, 0.0527, 0.2541, 0.171, 0.3912, 0.4775, 0.454, 0.2632, 0.3089, 0.1384, 0.2301, 0.0177, 0.1408, 0.1408, -0.0935, -0.0186, 0.1481, 0.3627, 0.3856, 0.4346, 0.4529, 0.3586, 0.7655, 0.7824, 0.7003, 0.6185, 0.8769, 0.625, 0.6442, 0.5145, 0.4834, 0.5343, 0.7103, 1.0725, 1.2884, 1.3219, 1.2632, 1.3407, 1.5121, 1.7161, 1.6533, 1.6326, 1.4823, 1.6723, 1.2858, 1.437, 1.2584, 1.6127, 2.0404, 2.0404, 1.8627, 1.6505, 1.4978, 1.2271, 1.2271, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2028203665430057068", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-01T20:20:10+00:00", "symbol": "SLOIF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "expect them to get rerated extremely hard early 2028 when CPO hits the inflection point", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long AXTI now on InP supply squeeze; long Soitec (SLOIF) into 2028 CPO inflection as photonics-SOI monopoly, both critical bottlenecks for 800g/1.6T and CPO.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLOIF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Soitec ( $SLOIF ) is the monopoly silicon photonics mirror to $AXTI.\n\nBasically it’s directly tethered to CPO and its inflection point late 2027-2028\n\nFor 800g/1.6T and CPO, hard to really do it without $AXTI and Soitec:\n\nAXT for InP\n\nSoitec for photonics-soi substrates. Functional monopoly\n\n(Shin Etsy operates under their license) -> (Intel, Global Foundaties, Tower)\n\nBut expect them to get rerated extremely hard early 2028 when CPO hits the inflection point. \n\nHowever similar to $IQE, there’s tons of legacy drag affecting their stock price. \n\nFor $AXTI the supply squeeze is happening now.\n\nFor Soitec might be 6 months or a year too early but don’t know when markets start frontrunning it.\n\nBut just putting it out there as a future bottleneck.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.016460908733720858, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.016460908733720858, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015892653049514482, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.016411646865740814, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0005682556842063757, "bench_c_m1d": -4.926186798004384e-05, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.016068973436011436, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.016068973436011436, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007254634953215766, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.021653452158292397, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00881433848279567, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03772242559430383, "ret_p1w": -0.06388395844633643, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06388395844633643, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05206837752282156, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03430641200576168, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011815580923514868, "bench_c_p1w": -0.029577546440574753, "ret_p1m": 0.16715662939531173, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.16715662939531173, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.21707637097049548, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2237279523197726, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04991974157518375, "bench_c_p1m": -0.056571322924460876, "ret_p3m": 3.4305310943808305, "ret_signed_p3m": 3.4305310943808305, "alpha_spy_p3m": 3.3281377152149227, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.954535141063059, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10239337916590796, "bench_c_p3m": 0.4759959533177718, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3878, -0.3878, -0.3729, -0.3614, -0.3614, -0.3614, -0.3964, -0.3964, -0.4372, -0.4317, -0.448, -0.448, -0.448, -0.448, -0.4905, -0.4905, -0.4905, -0.4905, -0.4768, -0.4748, -0.5185, -0.5185, -0.5185, -0.5185, -0.5185, -0.4023, -0.4023, -0.3778, -0.3778, -0.3312, -0.3312, -0.3298, -0.32, -0.32, -0.3614, -0.3614, -0.3614, -0.3604, -0.3216, -0.3216, -0.3216, -0.341, -0.3778, -0.3974, -0.3982, -0.2677, -0.2847, -0.2771, -0.2771, -0.2771, -0.1082, -0.1082, -0.1082, -0.1082, -0.1082, -0.0921, -0.0921, -0.0921, -0.0921, -0.0962, -0.0962, -0.0165, -0.0165, 0.0, -0.0161, -0.0102, -0.0615, -0.0319, -0.0639, 0.011, 0.2058, 0.3041, 0.3333, 0.429, 0.3808, 0.4284, 0.2663, 0.1489, 0.1889, 0.1634, 0.2463, 0.2016, 0.2052, 0.1554, 0.1672, 0.1956, 0.1409, 0.1409, 0.1513, 0.1454, 0.2199, 0.2542, 0.454, 0.5352, 0.7155, 0.7938, 1.0098, 1.2144, 1.3271, 1.2732, 1.5279, 1.3518, 1.5475, 1.544, 1.2604, 1.6014, 1.9743, 1.969, 2.5126, 2.6251, 2.3823, 2.4203, 2.9859, 2.7415, 2.3804, 2.61, 2.4646, 2.3819, 2.2026, 2.2908, 2.6055, 2.8801, 3.0219, 3.0219, 2.7823, 2.4333, 3.4305, 3.0368, 3.0368, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2022586015635157403", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-14T08:17:38+00:00", "symbol": "005930.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Samsung Electronics, a $820B company in Korea is projected to catch up to $NVDA in 2027 in operating income", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish Korean semis (Samsung, SK Hynix) and US hyperscalers on AI-driven operating income ramp through 2027.", "resolved_tickers": ["005930.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Global ranking of the most profitable companies in the world (Mag 7 vs. World)\n\nProjections for 2025->2026->2027 (Operating Income).\n\n#1: $NVDA (USA, 4.4T MC) 🇺🇸\n~$135.0B -> $186.5B -> $240.1 Billion\n\n#2: Samsung Electronics (Korea, $820B MC) 🇰🇷\n~$30.2B -> ~$170B -> ~$226.7 Billion\n\n#3 $MSFT (USA, $2.9T MC)\n~$128.5B -> 153.0B -> $181.5 Billion\n\n#4 $GOOGL (USA, $3.7T MC)\n~$129.0B -> $142.0B -> $173.0B\n\n#4 Sk Hynix (Korea, $410B MC)\n~$32.7B -> ~$124B -> ~$161.0 Billion\n\n#5 $APPL (USA, $3.76T MC)\n$133.1B -> $146.0B -> $160.5B\n\n#6 $AMZN (USA, $2.13T MC)\n$80.0B -> $105.0B -> $136.5B\n\n#7 $Meta (USA, $1.62T MC)\n$83.3 -> $97.0B -> $121.5B\n\n#8 $TSLA (USA, $1.31T MC)\n$4.4B -> $8.0B -> $24.0B\n\nSamsung Electronics, a $820B company in Korea is projected to catch up to $NVDA in 2027 in operating income. \n\nMeanwhile Sk Hynix is projected to overtake both $APPL and $AMZN in operating income in 2027. \n\nThe main takeaway is that the growth of both US hyperscalers and South Korean equities is astounding due to Artificial Intelligence ramp.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0016134664707250224, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0005731897395971908, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0016134664707250224, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0005731897395971908, "ret_p1w": 0.06512140574582959, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06512140574582959, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06418257347793643, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07257331024427438, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0009388322678931527, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007451904498444795, "ret_p1m": 0.07008829116018656, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07008829116018656, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08616460427304662, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07023158859508583, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016076313112860063, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00014329743489926994, "ret_p3m": 0.6369352880008945, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6369352880008945, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5365124633707763, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.3491509071804626, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1004228246301182, "bench_c_p3m": 0.2877843808204319, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.47, -0.4475, -0.4794, -0.4689, -0.4546, -0.4354, -0.4316, -0.448, -0.4464, -0.4321, -0.4261, -0.4228, -0.4047, -0.3986, -0.4047, -0.4069, -0.4107, -0.4019, -0.4244, -0.4354, -0.4074, -0.4091, -0.4162, -0.3931, -0.3876, -0.3898, -0.3898, -0.3574, -0.3405, -0.3383, -0.3383, -0.3383, -0.2908, -0.2379, -0.2334, -0.2219, -0.234, -0.2329, -0.234, -0.2406, -0.2257, -0.2058, -0.1783, -0.176, -0.1987, -0.1749, -0.1595, -0.1606, -0.1606, -0.1198, -0.1038, -0.1131, -0.1142, -0.17, -0.0756, -0.0668, -0.1209, -0.1247, -0.0817, -0.085, -0.074, -0.0143, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0486, 0.0491, 0.0651, 0.1038, 0.1231, 0.2031, 0.1948, 0.1948, 0.0767, -0.0497, 0.0574, 0.0386, -0.0425, 0.037, 0.0486, 0.037, 0.0127, 0.0414, 0.0701, 0.1507, 0.1065, 0.1004, 0.0281, 0.0469, 0.043, -0.0061, -0.0061, -0.025, -0.0754, 0.0488, -0.0134, 0.0297, 0.0679, 0.0867, 0.1641, 0.1282, 0.1392, 0.1116, 0.142, 0.1669, 0.2028, 0.1945, 0.1862, 0.2111, 0.2028, 0.2415, 0.2139, 0.2415, 0.2277, 0.2498, 0.2194, 0.2194, 0.2858, 0.2858, 0.471, 0.5014, 0.4849, 0.5789, 0.5429, 0.5706, 0.6369, 0.4959, 0.554, 0.5236, 0.5263, 0.6563, 0.6176, 0.6176, 0.6535, 0.6978, 0.6563, 0.7531, 0.9162, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2022586015635157403", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-14T08:17:38+00:00", "symbol": "000660.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Sk Hynix is projected to overtake both $APPL and $AMZN in operating income in 2027", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish Korean semis (Samsung, SK Hynix) and US hyperscalers on AI-driven operating income ramp through 2027.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Global ranking of the most profitable companies in the world (Mag 7 vs. World)\n\nProjections for 2025->2026->2027 (Operating Income).\n\n#1: $NVDA (USA, 4.4T MC) 🇺🇸\n~$135.0B -> $186.5B -> $240.1 Billion\n\n#2: Samsung Electronics (Korea, $820B MC) 🇰🇷\n~$30.2B -> ~$170B -> ~$226.7 Billion\n\n#3 $MSFT (USA, $2.9T MC)\n~$128.5B -> 153.0B -> $181.5 Billion\n\n#4 $GOOGL (USA, $3.7T MC)\n~$129.0B -> $142.0B -> $173.0B\n\n#4 Sk Hynix (Korea, $410B MC)\n~$32.7B -> ~$124B -> ~$161.0 Billion\n\n#5 $APPL (USA, $3.76T MC)\n$133.1B -> $146.0B -> $160.5B\n\n#6 $AMZN (USA, $2.13T MC)\n$80.0B -> $105.0B -> $136.5B\n\n#7 $Meta (USA, $1.62T MC)\n$83.3 -> $97.0B -> $121.5B\n\n#8 $TSLA (USA, $1.31T MC)\n$4.4B -> $8.0B -> $24.0B\n\nSamsung Electronics, a $820B company in Korea is projected to catch up to $NVDA in 2027 in operating income. \n\nMeanwhile Sk Hynix is projected to overtake both $APPL and $AMZN in operating income in 2027. \n\nThe main takeaway is that the growth of both US hyperscalers and South Korean equities is astounding due to Artificial Intelligence ramp.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0016134664707250224, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02455780036533617, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0016134664707250224, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02455780036533617, "ret_p1w": 0.08068181276352204, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08068181276352204, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07974298049562889, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.040896772959917005, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0009388322678931527, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03978503980360504, "ret_p1m": 0.10430668366008233, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10430668366008233, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1203829967729424, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10087314293539174, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016076313112860063, "bench_c_p1m": 0.003433540724690598, "ret_p3m": 1.2427672006203938, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.2427672006203938, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.1423443759902756, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.8206577542033788, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1004228246301182, "bench_c_p3m": 0.422109446417015, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3618, -0.3516, -0.4084, -0.4095, -0.4106, -0.405, -0.3818, -0.3977, -0.3886, -0.3659, -0.3727, -0.3841, -0.3818, -0.3443, -0.3568, -0.333, -0.358, -0.3511, -0.3705, -0.3977, -0.3739, -0.3727, -0.3784, -0.3409, -0.3364, -0.3318, -0.3318, -0.3193, -0.2727, -0.2602, -0.2602, -0.2602, -0.2307, -0.2091, -0.175, -0.1568, -0.1409, -0.1545, -0.1489, -0.1614, -0.1568, -0.1489, -0.1409, -0.1318, -0.1557, -0.1591, -0.142, -0.1284, -0.1636, -0.0909, -0.0443, -0.0216, 0.033, -0.0568, 0.0307, 0.0227, -0.0432, -0.0466, 0.008, -0.0045, -0.0227, 0.0091, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0159, 0.0784, 0.0807, 0.142, 0.1568, 0.2512, 0.2079, 0.2079, 0.069, -0.0334, 0.0713, 0.0519, -0.0482, 0.0679, 0.0872, 0.0588, 0.036, 0.1089, 0.1043, 0.2022, 0.1533, 0.1464, 0.0622, 0.1225, 0.1328, 0.0622, 0.0622, -0.0061, -0.0813, 0.0212, -0.0551, -0.0027, 0.0087, 0.0428, 0.176, 0.1362, 0.1692, 0.184, 0.2557, 0.2933, 0.3149, 0.2842, 0.3274, 0.3935, 0.3923, 0.3946, 0.3912, 0.4709, 0.48, 0.472, 0.4641, 0.4641, 0.6474, 0.6474, 0.8227, 0.883, 0.9194, 1.1403, 1.0891, 1.2496, 1.2428, 1.0709, 1.0948, 0.9866, 0.9866, 1.2086, 1.2098, 1.2098, 1.3361, 1.5536, 1.6064, 1.6565, 1.7117, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2022586015635157403", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-14T08:17:38+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the growth of both US hyperscalers and South Korean equities is astounding due to Artificial Intelligence ramp", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish Korean semis (Samsung, SK Hynix) and US hyperscalers on AI-driven operating income ramp through 2027.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Global ranking of the most profitable companies in the world (Mag 7 vs. World)\n\nProjections for 2025->2026->2027 (Operating Income).\n\n#1: $NVDA (USA, 4.4T MC) 🇺🇸\n~$135.0B -> $186.5B -> $240.1 Billion\n\n#2: Samsung Electronics (Korea, $820B MC) 🇰🇷\n~$30.2B -> ~$170B -> ~$226.7 Billion\n\n#3 $MSFT (USA, $2.9T MC)\n~$128.5B -> 153.0B -> $181.5 Billion\n\n#4 $GOOGL (USA, $3.7T MC)\n~$129.0B -> $142.0B -> $173.0B\n\n#4 Sk Hynix (Korea, $410B MC)\n~$32.7B -> ~$124B -> ~$161.0 Billion\n\n#5 $APPL (USA, $3.76T MC)\n$133.1B -> $146.0B -> $160.5B\n\n#6 $AMZN (USA, $2.13T MC)\n$80.0B -> $105.0B -> $136.5B\n\n#7 $Meta (USA, $1.62T MC)\n$83.3 -> $97.0B -> $121.5B\n\n#8 $TSLA (USA, $1.31T MC)\n$4.4B -> $8.0B -> $24.0B\n\nSamsung Electronics, a $820B company in Korea is projected to catch up to $NVDA in 2027 in operating income. \n\nMeanwhile Sk Hynix is projected to overtake both $APPL and $AMZN in operating income in 2027. \n\nThe main takeaway is that the growth of both US hyperscalers and South Korean equities is astounding due to Artificial Intelligence ramp.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011815537711723945, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011815537711723945, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010202071240998922, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.010202071240998922, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0016134664707250224, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0016134664707250224, "ret_p1w": 0.04780922985899494, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04780922985899494, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04687039759110179, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04687039759110179, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0009388322678931527, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0009388322678931527, "ret_p1m": -0.004759937989921137, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.004759937989921137, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.011316375122938926, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.011316375122938926, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016076313112860063, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016076313112860063, "ret_p3m": 0.2896053819085629, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.2896053819085629, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.18918255727844469, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.18918255727844469, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1004228246301182, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1004228246301182, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0202, -0.0119, -0.0216, -0.0015, -0.0274, -0.014, -0.014, -0.0318, -0.0159, -0.0074, -0.0177, 0.0031, -0.0022, 0.015, 0.0118, 0.0053, -0.0103, -0.0426, -0.0357, -0.0278, -0.0649, -0.0474, -0.01, 0.0048, 0.035, 0.0317, 0.0317, 0.0422, 0.0296, 0.0259, 0.0202, 0.0202, 0.033, 0.029, 0.0242, 0.0345, 0.0122, 0.0112, 0.0117, 0.0164, 0.0018, 0.0232, 0.0187, 0.0187, -0.0259, 0.0028, 0.0111, 0.0266, 0.02, 0.0312, 0.0476, 0.0531, 0.0455, 0.0153, -0.0135, -0.0472, -0.0598, 0.0142, 0.0395, 0.0313, 0.0396, 0.0226, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0118, 0.0283, 0.0278, 0.0383, 0.0478, 0.0549, 0.0697, 0.0114, -0.0307, -0.0018, -0.0151, 0.0013, 0.0029, -0.0273, -0.0009, 0.0107, 0.0177, 0.0019, -0.014, 0.0023, -0.0048, -0.0131, -0.0232, -0.0553, -0.0392, -0.0416, -0.0225, -0.0632, -0.0836, -0.0964, -0.046, -0.0386, -0.0296, -0.0296, -0.0282, -0.0257, -0.0039, 0.0061, 0.0319, 0.0356, 0.075, 0.0879, 0.0851, 0.1033, 0.1054, 0.0934, 0.1078, 0.0921, 0.1393, 0.185, 0.1661, 0.1447, 0.0917, 0.0856, 0.0858, 0.0749, 0.1369, 0.157, 0.1772, 0.2004, 0.2078, 0.2354, 0.2896, 0.2326, 0.2162, 0.2068, 0.2225, 0.2008, 0.178, 0.178, 0.1754, 0.163, 0.172, 0.155, 0.155, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2026126285668565392", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-24T02:45:24+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "profits aren't exactly high, but they're expected to balloon in a few years as Google TPU programs and others scale up", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish LITE on expected profit balloon from Google TPU and photonics scale-up from 2028 onward.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Good question for photonics you can see major scale up 2028 onward. It’s 2026 now and things are just getting priced in anticipation ( $LITE profits aren’t exactly high, but they’re expected to balloon in a few years as Google TPU programs and others scale up).\n\nFor memory you see it hitting the balance sheet now as net income increases like 300% Y/Y. This is expected to last well into 2028.\n\nMemory demand is structural and they’ll maintain a lot of pricing power into late 2028 though imo.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @dubiousnoob Favorite photonics play ? \n\nHow do you determine if we are “mid cycle” and “at the start” ?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "otium33", "ret_m1d": -0.01967256843719778, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01967256843719778, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012456564690382033, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012456564690382033, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007216003746815747, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007216003746815747, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05102647815621286, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05102647815621286, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.042588129212631554, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.042588129212631554, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008438348943581309, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008438348943581309, "ret_p1w": 0.00894993675407596, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.00894993675407596, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.019162947856510626, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.019162947856510626, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.010213011102434666, "bench_c_p1w": -0.010213011102434666, "ret_p1m": 0.12916436987833935, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12916436987833935, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.17097154955364502, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.17097154955364502, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04180717967530567, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04180717967530567, "ret_p3m": 0.3757682269219773, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3757682269219773, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.2880015623625978, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.2880015623625978, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.08776666455937954, "bench_c_p3m": 0.08776666455937954, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5521, -0.5276, -0.5381, -0.56, -0.5598, -0.5237, -0.5185, -0.5023, -0.4765, -0.4682, -0.4594, -0.5287, -0.5137, -0.5407, -0.5347, -0.5102, -0.4603, -0.4335, -0.4371, -0.4248, -0.4248, -0.4322, -0.4586, -0.4607, -0.4645, -0.4645, -0.439, -0.4812, -0.4226, -0.4292, -0.494, -0.4894, -0.5062, -0.475, -0.5182, -0.5013, -0.5289, -0.5289, -0.4816, -0.4734, -0.485, -0.5072, -0.517, -0.4615, -0.4406, -0.4458, -0.4307, -0.3848, -0.3678, -0.3236, -0.2671, -0.198, -0.1614, -0.1847, -0.1659, -0.1523, -0.1824, -0.1824, -0.1276, -0.1366, -0.0765, -0.0298, -0.0197, 0.0, 0.051, -0.0164, 0.0184, 0.138, 0.0089, -0.0109, -0.0544, -0.1886, -0.0691, -0.0236, -0.0236, -0.1049, -0.0956, -0.0922, -0.0562, 0.0182, 0.1218, 0.0263, 0.0591, 0.1652, 0.1292, 0.0008, 0.021, -0.0486, 0.0211, 0.111, 0.2014, 0.2014, 0.1221, 0.1852, 0.3018, 0.2991, 0.3037, 0.2658, 0.239, 0.1972, 0.2949, 0.299, 0.3005, 0.216, 0.2693, 0.2305, 0.281, 0.249, 0.1498, 0.2471, 0.311, 0.3802, 0.4183, 0.445, 0.372, 0.2968, 0.3131, 0.5301, 0.4418, 0.497, 0.4555, 0.4103, 0.2858, 0.2932, 0.2612, 0.4013, 0.3758, 0.3758, 0.3233, 0.311, 0.2504, 0.2422, 0.2422, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2033487693318127792", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-16T10:17:01+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS is the next hyperscaler", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NBIS: dismisses acquisition thesis, calls it the next hyperscaler in its own right.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@inversorBetico No. I think $NBIS is the next hyperscaler", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Do you think $NBIS will be acquired by a hyperscaler?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "inversorBetico", "ret_m1d": -0.13015023766576383, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.13015023766576383, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1200758967727108, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12251992349076146, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010074340893053035, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007630314175002373, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.10412016663043411, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.10412016663043411, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.10675072150040932, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.10446698401024546, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00263055486997521, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0003468173798113483, "ret_p1w": -0.12090877042486059, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12090877042486059, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1031813407704315, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10130993845482839, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017727429654429083, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019598831970032204, "ret_p1m": 0.2471312655334701, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2471312655334701, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.20628622036414623, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.23324111665351577, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04084504516932386, "bench_c_p1m": 0.013890148879954323, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4189, -0.3986, -0.3111, -0.282, -0.3067, -0.2982, -0.2982, -0.3255, -0.3374, -0.3441, -0.3554, -0.3554, -0.3073, -0.2851, -0.228, -0.2591, -0.2507, -0.2458, -0.1734, -0.1881, -0.2146, -0.2, -0.1626, -0.1626, -0.2353, -0.2386, -0.2541, -0.2722, -0.2956, -0.2463, -0.2266, -0.2691, -0.3439, -0.3211, -0.3073, -0.3655, -0.4311, -0.3369, -0.2847, -0.2931, -0.3176, -0.309, -0.2452, -0.2452, -0.249, -0.216, -0.1713, -0.2459, -0.2252, -0.21, -0.1827, -0.1923, -0.2977, -0.2991, -0.3315, -0.247, -0.2634, -0.3121, -0.2688, -0.2574, -0.1375, -0.168, -0.1302, 0.0, -0.1041, -0.0869, -0.0642, -0.0942, -0.1209, -0.1151, -0.1137, -0.1839, -0.2236, -0.2895, -0.2009, -0.2149, -0.162, -0.162, -0.1333, -0.0959, -0.0374, 0.0499, 0.1164, 0.1903, 0.2471, 0.2843, 0.2733, 0.2102, 0.2257, 0.2056, 0.2025, 0.2097, 0.1333, 0.1164, 0.0436, 0.0873, 0.0645, 0.1898, 0.3586, 0.3548, 0.5024, 0.4229, 0.3635, 0.4332, 0.3794, 0.5962, 0.7031, 0.6938, 0.5392, 0.5228, 0.4772, 0.6937, 0.654, 0.654, 0.6023, 0.6047, 0.7431, 0.7797, 0.7797, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2033476573471359403", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-16T09:32:49+00:00", "symbol": "POET Technologies", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I hold a long position", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Discloses held long position in context of silicon photonics/CPO capital rotation; also mentions POET as WSB-discussed play.", "resolved_tickers": ["POET"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "POET Technologies trades as POET on NASDAQ", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I can't control how the market prices in free public information synthesis posted publicly. \n\nThe WSB crowd has been on $POET (and talked about $SIVE) for a little bit, but nobody was synthesizing Sivers Photonics in a readable way. I also think they missed the timing. \n\nWith capital rotating into silicon photonics/CPO, I felt it was the right time personally. \n\nI hold a long position, but I am not recommending others take this trade. I just wanted to share my research and ideas", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit It's rocketing right after your post", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "marollakki", "ret_m1d": -0.011577413237717438, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011577413237717438, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0015030723446644023, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005151939500989466, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010074340893053035, "bench_c_m1d": -0.016729352738706904, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.049204006260299304, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.049204006260299304, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.051834561130274515, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05671820039662012, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00263055486997521, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0075141941363208176, "ret_p1w": -0.12301011916098736, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12301011916098736, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10528268950655828, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11651126663025269, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017727429654429083, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006498852530734678, "ret_p1m": -0.02894353309429365, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02894353309429365, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0697885782636175, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.17638459877378743, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04084504516932386, "bench_c_p1m": 0.14744106567949378, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.136, -0.1129, -0.0188, 0.1013, 0.0347, 0.0159, 0.0159, -0.0145, -0.0535, -0.0564, -0.0839, -0.0839, 0.0362, 0.0753, 0.0637, 0.0781, 0.0535, 0.0695, 0.0434, 0.0333, 0.1708, 0.2026, 0.2012, 0.2012, 0.1925, 0.2113, 0.0043, 0.0, -0.0651, -0.0174, -0.0999, -0.1389, -0.1606, -0.1548, -0.1259, -0.1881, -0.2504, -0.1505, -0.1013, -0.1548, -0.1563, -0.1823, -0.1925, -0.1925, -0.2012, -0.1925, -0.1939, -0.1766, -0.2012, -0.1158, -0.0796, -0.097, -0.1317, 0.0, 0.0188, -0.0101, -0.0391, -0.0912, -0.0318, 0.013, 0.0767, 0.0767, -0.0116, 0.0, -0.0492, -0.1056, -0.0984, -0.1418, -0.123, -0.1693, -0.1172, -0.2055, -0.2489, -0.2648, -0.1404, -0.1896, -0.1158, -0.1158, -0.1201, -0.1375, -0.0999, -0.1201, 0.0188, 0.0564, -0.0289, 0.0087, 0.0622, 0.0507, 0.2431, 0.4834, 0.848, 0.6961, 1.1852, 0.1505, 0.1621, -0.0449, 0.0304, 0.0579, 0.0289, 0.3329, 0.4067, 0.3864, 0.5847, 1.0116, 0.987, 1.0796, 1.9768, 1.3111, 1.0564, 0.8915, 1.1389, 1.1447, 1.1114, 1.1114, 0.932, 0.9219, 0.919, 0.7786, 0.7786, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2033476573471359403", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-16T09:32:49+00:00", "symbol": "POET", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The WSB crowd has been on $POET", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Discloses held long position in context of silicon photonics/CPO capital rotation; also mentions POET as WSB-discussed play.", "resolved_tickers": ["POET"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I can't control how the market prices in free public information synthesis posted publicly. \n\nThe WSB crowd has been on $POET (and talked about $SIVE) for a little bit, but nobody was synthesizing Sivers Photonics in a readable way. I also think they missed the timing. \n\nWith capital rotating into silicon photonics/CPO, I felt it was the right time personally. \n\nI hold a long position, but I am not recommending others take this trade. I just wanted to share my research and ideas", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit It's rocketing right after your post", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "marollakki", "ret_m1d": -0.011577413237717438, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011577413237717438, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0015030723446644023, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005151939500989466, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010074340893053035, "bench_c_m1d": -0.016729352738706904, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.049204006260299304, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.049204006260299304, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.051834561130274515, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05671820039662012, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00263055486997521, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0075141941363208176, "ret_p1w": -0.12301011916098736, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12301011916098736, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.10528268950655828, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11651126663025269, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017727429654429083, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006498852530734678, "ret_p1m": -0.02894353309429365, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02894353309429365, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0697885782636175, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.17638459877378743, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04084504516932386, "bench_c_p1m": 0.14744106567949378, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.136, -0.1129, -0.0188, 0.1013, 0.0347, 0.0159, 0.0159, -0.0145, -0.0535, -0.0564, -0.0839, -0.0839, 0.0362, 0.0753, 0.0637, 0.0781, 0.0535, 0.0695, 0.0434, 0.0333, 0.1708, 0.2026, 0.2012, 0.2012, 0.1925, 0.2113, 0.0043, 0.0, -0.0651, -0.0174, -0.0999, -0.1389, -0.1606, -0.1548, -0.1259, -0.1881, -0.2504, -0.1505, -0.1013, -0.1548, -0.1563, -0.1823, -0.1925, -0.1925, -0.2012, -0.1925, -0.1939, -0.1766, -0.2012, -0.1158, -0.0796, -0.097, -0.1317, 0.0, 0.0188, -0.0101, -0.0391, -0.0912, -0.0318, 0.013, 0.0767, 0.0767, -0.0116, 0.0, -0.0492, -0.1056, -0.0984, -0.1418, -0.123, -0.1693, -0.1172, -0.2055, -0.2489, -0.2648, -0.1404, -0.1896, -0.1158, -0.1158, -0.1201, -0.1375, -0.0999, -0.1201, 0.0188, 0.0564, -0.0289, 0.0087, 0.0622, 0.0507, 0.2431, 0.4834, 0.848, 0.6961, 1.1852, 0.1505, 0.1621, -0.0449, 0.0304, 0.0579, 0.0289, 0.3329, 0.4067, 0.3864, 0.5847, 1.0116, 0.987, 1.0796, 1.9768, 1.3111, 1.0564, 0.8915, 1.1389, 1.1447, 1.1114, 1.1114, 0.932, 0.9219, 0.919, 0.7786, 0.7786, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2026522651431415903", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-25T05:00:25+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I think AXT is a great bottleneck play for the AI buildout with photonics", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AXTI as a bottleneck play on AI buildout via photonics.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SL2056 Yeah $AXTI moves 20% a day which is why I say it’s really important to build conviction yourself before you enter a trade + size positions correctly.\n\nIf you can stomach the volatility, I think AXT is a great bottleneck play for the AI buildout with photonics", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I don’t know how u got into my feed but I followed u initially into AXTI.  This stock moves all over but I stayed and thank goodness! I thank u for your insight. U are a gift that kept giving! Now I am true believer 🙏", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SL2056", "ret_m1d": -0.14376371037724256, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.14376371037724256, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1353959713355637, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12733795493363664, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008367739041678868, "bench_c_m1d": -0.016425755443605916, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09397125150371877, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09397125150371877, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08841677511209767, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06076777446483761, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005554476391621099, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03320347703888116, "ret_p1w": -0.044910912808518444, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.044910912808518444, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.033340440852849706, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.018586358934629232, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.011570471955668737, "bench_c_p1w": -0.06349727174314768, "ret_p1m": 0.4281180517018559, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4281180517018559, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4949120695233653, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5344631027032909, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0667940178215094, "bench_c_p1m": -0.10634505100143499, "ret_p3m": 2.437393156822507, "ret_signed_p3m": 2.437393156822507, "alpha_spy_p3m": 2.3587286398503977, "alpha_c_p3m": 2.085037228598968, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.07866451697210941, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3523559282235391, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7388, -0.7366, -0.713, -0.7198, -0.7047, -0.7174, -0.6898, -0.6349, -0.6214, -0.6002, -0.6385, -0.638, -0.6827, -0.6983, -0.658, -0.6424, -0.6285, -0.6427, -0.6336, -0.6336, -0.6248, -0.6439, -0.6144, -0.6009, -0.6009, -0.5909, -0.5931, -0.5077, -0.4115, -0.3695, -0.4389, -0.4572, -0.475, -0.4606, -0.3722, -0.4608, -0.4608, -0.4774, -0.5172, -0.5626, -0.5753, -0.5655, -0.5802, -0.5892, -0.6002, -0.5475, -0.4889, -0.5182, -0.5423, -0.5013, -0.4127, -0.3222, -0.4057, -0.3459, -0.3949, -0.4083, -0.4083, -0.4335, -0.4254, -0.4188, -0.2756, -0.3061, -0.1438, 0.0, -0.094, -0.0749, 0.1306, 0.0193, -0.0449, -0.053, -0.2099, -0.0588, 0.0813, 0.156, 0.1406, 0.1926, 0.1811, 0.0827, 0.1901, 0.4179, 0.3239, 0.5729, 0.6705, 0.6439, 0.4281, 0.4799, 0.287, 0.3908, 0.1506, 0.2897, 0.2897, 0.0249, 0.1096, 0.298, 0.5406, 0.5665, 0.6219, 0.6427, 0.536, 0.9961, 1.0151, 0.9224, 0.8299, 1.122, 0.8372, 0.8589, 0.7122, 0.6771, 0.7347, 0.9336, 1.3432, 1.5873, 1.6251, 1.5587, 1.6463, 1.8401, 2.0708, 1.9998, 1.9763, 1.8064, 2.0212, 1.5843, 1.7552, 1.5533, 1.9539, 2.4374, 2.4374, 2.2365, 1.9966, 1.824, 1.5179, 1.5179, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2029221467377058088", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-04T15:44:33+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "management projections recently sealed the deal, so I ended up buying more around these levels. Having 3 hyperscalers, likely $GOOGL, $AMZN, $MSFT, buying up any supply you can make is incredibly bullish", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Added to AAOI around current levels; bullish on 3-hyperscaler demand + $378M/month revenue projection by H2 2027.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I was actually in $AAOI since $28-ish last year, so it's 3x'd since then.\n\nBut didn't really have high conviction in it, just thought it had potential given Made in America supply chains + hyperscaler qualification at the time. \n\nBut management projections recently sealed the deal, so I ended up buying more around these levels. \n\nHaving 3 hyperscalers, likely $GOOGL, $AMZN, $MSFT, buying up any supply you can make is incredibly bullish.\n\nEspecially when they're projecting $378M a month revenue round H2 2027.\n\nMarkets are forward looking so I think it started to get priced in now. Only uncertainty is execution, but that's the risk you're taking with majority of companies.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Yes but hard to enter now after that run", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "hombre242051283", "ret_m1d": -0.043827126534018324, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.043827126534018324, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.036821246822582476, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.036821246822582476, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007005879711435847, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007005879711435847, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0143415938050937, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0143415938050937, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01991714065148753, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01991714065148753, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005575546846393831, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005575546846393831, "ret_p1w": 0.2737940357278481, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2737940357278481, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.28663826763722366, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.28663826763722366, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012844231909375559, "bench_c_p1w": -0.012844231909375559, "ret_p1m": 0.042122200543583954, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.042122200543583954, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08227353426287731, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08227353426287731, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04015133371929336, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04015133371929336, "ret_p3m": 0.5887073023429381, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5887073023429381, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4815510554499056, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4815510554499056, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10715624689303249, "bench_c_p3m": 0.10715624689303249, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7333, -0.7208, -0.6953, -0.6492, -0.6357, -0.6785, -0.7001, -0.7096, -0.7278, -0.7066, -0.6859, -0.6079, -0.5924, -0.5888, -0.5888, -0.6272, -0.6314, -0.6388, -0.6504, -0.6504, -0.6028, -0.6491, -0.6128, -0.6183, -0.6689, -0.6586, -0.6618, -0.6572, -0.6543, -0.6289, -0.6285, -0.6285, -0.6063, -0.6151, -0.6174, -0.6418, -0.6501, -0.625, -0.5464, -0.6031, -0.5626, -0.5571, -0.5375, -0.5998, -0.6176, -0.5557, -0.5195, -0.5137, -0.5146, -0.5588, -0.5541, -0.5541, -0.5596, -0.5643, -0.5288, -0.4817, -0.4588, -0.4357, -0.4171, -0.4615, -0.1553, 0.0281, -0.0438, 0.0, 0.0143, -0.0414, 0.1094, 0.2084, 0.2738, 0.065, -0.0291, -0.0566, -0.1342, -0.071, 0.0222, -0.1221, -0.0396, 0.1423, 0.1474, -0.023, -0.015, -0.1456, -0.1516, -0.134, 0.0421, 0.0421, 0.0776, 0.1798, 0.3309, 0.3369, 0.5104, 0.5364, 0.4682, 0.4296, 0.5778, 0.5988, 0.6395, 0.5101, 0.4985, 0.3813, 0.6264, 0.462, 0.3766, 0.5327, 0.6484, 0.8404, 0.7348, 0.811, 0.7906, 0.5801, 0.4937, 0.8544, 0.8883, 1.2375, 1.0416, 0.9091, 0.7376, 0.7183, 0.6574, 0.7732, 0.8202, 0.8202, 0.7814, 0.8035, 0.6951, 0.5887, 0.5887, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2029337803369349293", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-04T23:26:50+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI is extraordinarily exciting. There is a chance this re-rates to $35B+ or higher next year from $7B if they can execute.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "High-conviction long AAOI as vertically integrated photonics play; potential re-rate to $35B+ from $7B on full supply-chain ownership vs peers LITE and FN.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AAOI is extraordinarily exciting. \n\nThere is a chance this re-rates to $35B+ or higher next year from $7B if they can execute. \n\nI'll give a TLDR of the landscape and a simple explanation why:\n\nAssembly:\n\n-> Lasers from $LITE / $COHR -> assembles from blueprints ->  then sell the transceiver.  \n\n$FN (Asia) -> ~$20B MC.\n ~$4B projected revenue, 12.4% gross margins. \n\nDesign + Assembly: \n\n- Buys lasers from $LITE / $COHR, design the 800G and 1.6T -> then sells the transceiver. \n\nInnolight (China): ~$84B MC \n~ 46.2% gross margins, ~$11B projected revenue\n\nEoptolink (China): ~$50B MC:  \n~$5.3B projected revenue\n\nLasers: \n\n- Creates the Lasers to sell to Innolight + Eoptolink or creates the lasers + design to give to $FN to assemble for them/. \n\n$LITE, $55B MC: \nFY 2026 est. ~$2.91B (~40% margin)\n\n(they also do more than lasers, eg. $LITE with Cloudlite does design -> $FN to assemble based on blueprints too, but not the entire process end-to-end). \n( $COHR and $AVGO do this too)\n_ _ _ _ _ _ \n\nEntire supply chain (laser chips, design, and assembly)\n\n$AAOI $7.5B MC:\nMidpoint 2027 est. ~4.5B ARR (40% margin)\n\n- $AAOI makes the laser (like $LITE), designs it from ground up (like Innolight), then assembles it like ( $FN ): \n\nAnd it's primarily made in the USA. \n\n-> $AAOI does the $LITE / $COHR lasers in-house \n-> $AAOI does Innolight/Eoptolink transceiver design.\n->  $AAOI does $FN's assembly.\n\nThis is possible margin expansion/optimization across the board. \n\nBest of all they're projected to leapfrogging $LITE's FY2026 projected ~$2.91B revenue...\n\nBy doing: ~4.5B ARR mid-year 2027\n\nWhen you look at $AAOI's $7.5B Marketcap.\n\nAnd you look at each part of the photonics supply chain from $LITE at $55B to Eoptolink at $55B. \n\nAnyone can see the raw, unadulterated upside if they execute.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "High conviction long: $AAOI.   \n\nI genuinely think this could easily be a 3x by next year.  \n\nNvidia funded $COHR, who does Malaysia manufacturing for 800G/1.6T.  \n\n$LITE uses FN in Thailand for volume production, and has it's own manufacturing in Thailand. \n\nI will keep https://t.co/k1lXJiSBQi", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.043827126534018324, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.043827126534018324, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.036821246822582476, 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{"unit_id": "quote:2029337803369349293", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-04T23:26:50+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LITE at $55B", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "High-conviction long AAOI as vertically integrated photonics play; potential re-rate to $35B+ from $7B on full supply-chain ownership vs peers LITE and FN.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AAOI is extraordinarily exciting. \n\nThere is a chance this re-rates to $35B+ or higher next year from $7B if they can execute. \n\nI'll give a TLDR of the landscape and a simple explanation why:\n\nAssembly:\n\n-> Lasers from $LITE / $COHR -> assembles from blueprints ->  then sell the transceiver.  \n\n$FN (Asia) -> ~$20B MC.\n ~$4B projected revenue, 12.4% gross margins. \n\nDesign + Assembly: \n\n- Buys lasers from $LITE / $COHR, design the 800G and 1.6T -> then sells the transceiver. \n\nInnolight (China): ~$84B MC \n~ 46.2% gross margins, ~$11B projected revenue\n\nEoptolink (China): ~$50B MC:  \n~$5.3B projected revenue\n\nLasers: \n\n- Creates the Lasers to sell to Innolight + Eoptolink or creates the lasers + design to give to $FN to assemble for them/. \n\n$LITE, $55B MC: \nFY 2026 est. ~$2.91B (~40% margin)\n\n(they also do more than lasers, eg. $LITE with Cloudlite does design -> $FN to assemble based on blueprints too, but not the entire process end-to-end). \n( $COHR and $AVGO do this too)\n_ _ _ _ _ _ \n\nEntire supply chain (laser chips, design, and assembly)\n\n$AAOI $7.5B MC:\nMidpoint 2027 est. ~4.5B ARR (40% margin)\n\n- $AAOI makes the laser (like $LITE), designs it from ground up (like Innolight), then assembles it like ( $FN ): \n\nAnd it's primarily made in the USA. \n\n-> $AAOI does the $LITE / $COHR lasers in-house \n-> $AAOI does Innolight/Eoptolink transceiver design.\n->  $AAOI does $FN's assembly.\n\nThis is possible margin expansion/optimization across the board. \n\nBest of all they're projected to leapfrogging $LITE's FY2026 projected ~$2.91B revenue...\n\nBy doing: ~4.5B ARR mid-year 2027\n\nWhen you look at $AAOI's $7.5B Marketcap.\n\nAnd you look at each part of the photonics supply chain from $LITE at $55B to Eoptolink at $55B. \n\nAnyone can see the raw, unadulterated upside if they execute.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "High conviction long: $AAOI.   \n\nI genuinely think this could easily be a 3x by next year.  \n\nNvidia funded $COHR, who does Malaysia manufacturing for 800G/1.6T.  \n\n$LITE uses FN in Thailand for volume production, and 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{"unit_id": "quote:2029337803369349293", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-04T23:26:50+00:00", "symbol": "FN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$FN (Asia) -> ~$20B MC", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "High-conviction long AAOI as vertically integrated photonics play; potential re-rate to $35B+ from $7B on full supply-chain ownership vs peers LITE and FN.", "resolved_tickers": ["FN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AAOI is extraordinarily exciting. \n\nThere is a chance this re-rates to $35B+ or higher next year from $7B if they can execute. \n\nI'll give a TLDR of the landscape and a simple explanation why:\n\nAssembly:\n\n-> Lasers from $LITE / $COHR -> assembles from blueprints ->  then sell the transceiver.  \n\n$FN (Asia) -> ~$20B MC.\n ~$4B projected revenue, 12.4% gross margins. \n\nDesign + Assembly: \n\n- Buys lasers from $LITE / $COHR, design the 800G and 1.6T -> then sells the transceiver. \n\nInnolight (China): ~$84B MC \n~ 46.2% gross margins, ~$11B projected revenue\n\nEoptolink (China): ~$50B MC:  \n~$5.3B projected revenue\n\nLasers: \n\n- Creates the Lasers to sell to Innolight + Eoptolink or creates the lasers + design to give to $FN to assemble for them/. \n\n$LITE, $55B MC: \nFY 2026 est. ~$2.91B (~40% margin)\n\n(they also do more than lasers, eg. $LITE with Cloudlite does design -> $FN to assemble based on blueprints too, but not the entire process end-to-end). \n( $COHR and $AVGO do this too)\n_ _ _ _ _ _ \n\nEntire supply chain (laser chips, design, and assembly)\n\n$AAOI $7.5B MC:\nMidpoint 2027 est. ~4.5B ARR (40% margin)\n\n- $AAOI makes the laser (like $LITE), designs it from ground up (like Innolight), then assembles it like ( $FN ): \n\nAnd it's primarily made in the USA. \n\n-> $AAOI does the $LITE / $COHR lasers in-house \n-> $AAOI does Innolight/Eoptolink transceiver design.\n->  $AAOI does $FN's assembly.\n\nThis is possible margin expansion/optimization across the board. \n\nBest of all they're projected to leapfrogging $LITE's FY2026 projected ~$2.91B revenue...\n\nBy doing: ~4.5B ARR mid-year 2027\n\nWhen you look at $AAOI's $7.5B Marketcap.\n\nAnd you look at each part of the photonics supply chain from $LITE at $55B to Eoptolink at $55B. \n\nAnyone can see the raw, unadulterated upside if they execute.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "High conviction long: $AAOI.   \n\nI genuinely think this could easily be a 3x by next year.  \n\nNvidia funded $COHR, who does Malaysia manufacturing for 800G/1.6T.  \n\n$LITE uses FN in Thailand for volume production, and has it's own 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{"unit_id": "quote:2031896692283621696", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-12T00:54:56+00:00", "symbol": "SLOIF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I plan to hold my positions over the next year or two, as I expect it to be the largest beneficiary of the upcoming architectural ramp spearheaded by $NVDA", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long Soitec (SLOIF/SOI) as quasi-monopoly on SOI substrates for CPO; holds 1-2 years on photonics ramp driven by NVDA architecture.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLOIF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thank you MarketScreener for actual coverage of $SOI this time.\n\nThe article writes:\n\n“In the post dedicated to Soitec, the author puts forward several arguments. \n\nHe believes that the group could benefit from the development of CPO (co-packaged optics), a photonic architecture designed to accompany the rise of artificial intelligence and data centers. \n\nAccording to him, Soitec would have a quasi-monopolistic position on certain SOI substrates used in this technology, an advantage that could become strategic if photonics is adopted on a large scale. \n\nThe investor also mentions a valuation level that he considers low and believes that the market could begin to position itself ahead of a promising cycle for photonics by 2027”\n\nThis was exactly the thesis, no extra fluff. \n\nLast time media from FT and Bloomberg covered my thesis on $RPI, they labeled it a “meme-stock” out of nowhere. With many outlets straight up adding words never stated, which triggered negative sentiment.\n\nThat being said: \n\n$SOI is a virtual monopoly over the substrate layer for CPO. \n\nI plan to hold my positions over the next year or two, as I expect it to be the largest beneficiary of the upcoming architectural ramp spearheaded by $NVDA.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Changed my mind about Soitec ( $SLOIF ) and took a sizable position ~43 for CPO exposure.\n\n$NVDA GTC next week biggest catalyst pushing photonics and this architecture. \n\n~1.5B euros MC. Trading at 1x book value and ~2x P/S (very depressed valuations)\n\nGenuine monopoly over https://t.co/3vPQQfyHrE", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0754320667507219, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0754320667507219, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09085115366651408, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1086683374182763, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01541908691579219, "bench_c_m1d": 0.03323627066755441, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02238914794054514, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02238914794054514, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02804925744155151, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.024450360164496865, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005660109501006372, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002061212223951725, "ret_p1w": -0.02900075457058604, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02900075457058604, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01960224744870198, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.046494914927943554, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009398507121884059, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017494160357357513, "ret_p1m": 0.11495106755344198, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11495106755344198, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09204673184836798, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.010651177536367573, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022904335705073997, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12560224508980955, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5684, -0.5642, -0.5767, -0.5767, -0.5767, -0.5767, -0.6093, -0.6093, -0.6093, -0.6093, -0.5988, -0.5973, -0.6308, -0.6308, -0.6308, -0.6308, -0.6308, -0.5417, -0.5417, -0.5229, -0.5229, -0.4872, -0.4872, -0.4861, -0.4786, -0.4786, -0.5103, -0.5103, -0.5103, -0.5095, -0.4798, -0.4798, -0.4798, -0.4947, -0.5229, -0.5379, -0.5385, -0.4385, -0.4515, -0.4457, -0.4457, -0.4457, -0.3162, -0.3162, -0.3162, -0.3162, -0.3162, -0.3038, -0.3038, -0.3038, -0.3038, -0.307, -0.307, -0.2458, -0.2458, -0.2332, -0.2455, -0.241, -0.2804, -0.2577, -0.2822, -0.2248, -0.0754, 0.0, 0.0224, 0.0957, 0.0588, 0.0953, -0.029, -0.119, -0.0884, -0.1079, -0.0443, -0.0786, -0.0759, -0.114, -0.105, -0.0832, -0.1252, -0.1252, -0.1172, -0.1217, -0.0646, -0.0383, 0.115, 0.1772, 0.3154, 0.3755, 0.5411, 0.698, 0.7844, 0.7431, 0.9384, 0.8033, 0.9534, 0.9507, 0.7333, 0.9947, 1.2807, 1.2766, 1.6935, 1.7797, 1.5935, 1.6227, 2.0563, 1.869, 1.592, 1.7681, 1.6566, 1.5932, 1.4557, 1.5234, 1.7647, 1.9752, 2.084, 2.084, 1.9002, 1.6326, 2.3973, 2.0954, 2.0954, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2031896692283621696", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-12T00:54:56+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "upcoming architectural ramp spearheaded by $NVDA", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long Soitec (SLOIF/SOI) as quasi-monopoly on SOI substrates for CPO; holds 1-2 years on photonics ramp driven by NVDA architecture.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Thank you MarketScreener for actual coverage of $SOI this time.\n\nThe article writes:\n\n“In the post dedicated to Soitec, the author puts forward several arguments. \n\nHe believes that the group could benefit from the development of CPO (co-packaged optics), a photonic architecture designed to accompany the rise of artificial intelligence and data centers. \n\nAccording to him, Soitec would have a quasi-monopolistic position on certain SOI substrates used in this technology, an advantage that could become strategic if photonics is adopted on a large scale. \n\nThe investor also mentions a valuation level that he considers low and believes that the market could begin to position itself ahead of a promising cycle for photonics by 2027”\n\nThis was exactly the thesis, no extra fluff. \n\nLast time media from FT and Bloomberg covered my thesis on $RPI, they labeled it a “meme-stock” out of nowhere. With many outlets straight up adding words never stated, which triggered negative sentiment.\n\nThat being said: \n\n$SOI is a virtual monopoly over the substrate layer for CPO. \n\nI plan to hold my positions over the next year or two, as I expect it to be the largest beneficiary of the upcoming architectural ramp spearheaded by $NVDA.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Changed my mind about Soitec ( $SLOIF ) and took a sizable position ~43 for CPO exposure.\n\n$NVDA GTC next week biggest catalyst pushing photonics and this architecture. \n\n~1.5B euros MC. Trading at 1x book value and ~2x P/S (very depressed valuations)\n\nGenuine monopoly over https://t.co/3vPQQfyHrE", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.015780274103308622, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.015780274103308622, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00036118718751643186, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00036118718751643186, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.01541908691579219, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01541908691579219, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.015780274103308733, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.015780274103308733, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010120164602302362, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010120164602302362, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005660109501006372, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005660109501006372, "ret_p1w": -0.025008200536848713, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.025008200536848713, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.015609693414964654, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.015609693414964654, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009398507121884059, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009398507121884059, "ret_p1m": 0.029977096819158167, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.029977096819158167, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0070727611140841695, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0070727611140841695, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.022904335705073997, "bench_c_p1m": 0.022904335705073997, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0375, -0.0296, -0.0667, -0.0492, -0.0118, 0.0029, 0.0331, 0.0298, 0.0298, 0.0403, 0.0277, 0.024, 0.0183, 0.0183, 0.0311, 0.0271, 0.0223, 0.0325, 0.0103, 0.0093, 0.0098, 0.0145, -0.0001, 0.0213, 0.0168, 0.0168, -0.0277, 0.0009, 0.0092, 0.0247, 0.0181, 0.0293, 0.0457, 0.0511, 0.0436, 0.0134, -0.0153, -0.0489, -0.0615, 0.0123, 0.0376, 0.0294, 0.0377, 0.0207, -0.0019, -0.0019, 0.0099, 0.0264, 0.0259, 0.0364, 0.0459, 0.053, 0.0678, 0.0095, -0.0325, -0.0037, -0.0169, -0.0006, 0.001, -0.0291, -0.0027, 0.0088, 0.0158, 0.0, -0.0158, 0.0004, -0.0066, -0.015, -0.025, -0.057, -0.041, -0.0434, -0.0244, -0.065, -0.0853, -0.0981, -0.0477, -0.0404, -0.0314, -0.0314, -0.03, -0.0275, -0.0058, 0.0042, 0.03, 0.0337, 0.073, 0.0859, 0.0831, 0.1012, 0.1033, 0.0914, 0.1057, 0.0901, 0.1372, 0.1828, 0.164, 0.1426, 0.0897, 0.0836, 0.0838, 0.0729, 0.1348, 0.1549, 0.1751, 0.1982, 0.2055, 0.2331, 0.2872, 0.2303, 0.2139, 0.2046, 0.2202, 0.1986, 0.1758, 0.1758, 0.1732, 0.1609, 0.1699, 0.1529, 0.1529, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2035562926418075859", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-22T03:43:15+00:00", "symbol": "SMCI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "business itself looks undervalued at ~$12B MC. So might be worth taking the risk here", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "SMCI looks undervalued at ~$12B MC despite poor optics; worth taking the risk.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMCI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@afgmantu Hear me out... $SMCI optics are trash. \n\nBut business itself looks undervalued at ~$12B MC. So might be worth taking the risk here.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thoughts on SMCI?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "afgmantu", "ret_m1d": -0.04865612793200713, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04865612793200713, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0382652134886966, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03530816903881806, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010390914443310528, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013347958893189071, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03012046435719573, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03012046435719573, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0334773141094622, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.035962034781327645, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0033568497522664664, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005841570424131914, "ret_p1w": -0.024096406839762774, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.024096406839762774, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.011623380162090302, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04490685828490637, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.035719787001853076, "bench_c_p1w": -0.06900326512466914, "ret_p1m": 0.31742355911432907, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.31742355911432907, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2431155060089567, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.18788718899035906, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07430805310537236, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12953637012397, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.4157, 0.4157, 0.4198, 0.3939, 0.374, 0.3563, 0.3563, 0.4347, 0.3934, 0.4152, 0.3906, 0.3855, 0.3976, 0.3957, 0.3253, 0.31, 0.3633, 0.5125, 0.5125, 0.4555, 0.494, 0.5037, 0.469, 0.4272, 0.4458, 0.4462, 0.3957, 0.3489, 0.3767, 0.3749, 0.5644, 0.4296, 0.5931, 0.5538, 0.5445, 0.4847, 0.4101, 0.4152, 0.4152, 0.3953, 0.3767, 0.4903, 0.5023, 0.4231, 0.4425, 0.557, 0.4958, 0.5009, 0.475, 0.4217, 0.513, 0.494, 0.4509, 0.4819, 0.4731, 0.4731, 0.4319, 0.4249, 0.4764, 0.4601, 0.4064, 0.4268, -0.0487, 0.0, 0.0301, 0.1145, 0.0292, 0.0181, -0.0241, 0.0551, 0.0431, 0.076, 0.076, 0.0218, 0.0505, 0.0829, 0.076, 0.1705, 0.2034, 0.2604, 0.2646, 0.316, 0.3234, 0.335, 0.3174, 0.3522, 0.2396, 0.3475, 0.2905, 0.2627, 0.2196, 0.2697, 0.2553, 0.2938, 0.2896, 0.6061, 0.5579, 0.639, 0.5533, 0.5195, 0.4829, 0.5306, 0.4384, 0.4296, 0.4161, 0.5505, 0.5505, 0.6487, 0.6487, 0.7192, 0.7697, 0.9138, 1.1358, 1.1358, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2030700123433619875", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-08T17:40:12+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "That inevitable $6B in new shares + selling pressure structurally caps upside in your equity and serves as a overhang in any rally... the your share prices tanking in value", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish IREN for current holders: $6B ATM creates massive dilution and structural selling pressure that caps share price even as market cap may rise.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$IREN $6 Billion ATM is massive. \n\nFor the people who hold $IREN, the truth you might not want to hear is: \n\n-> Wait until existing holders get diluted to oblivion\n-> Use them to \"buy the dip\" of $6 Billion in new shares for you. \n-> Go long after. \n\nIf you're long now:\n\nThat inevitable $6B in new shares + selling pressure structurally caps upside in your equity and serves as a overhang in any rally.\n\nCompanies don’t file a $6B ATM not to use it.\n\nThey will, and as much as they can on any rally. \n\nThe reality is that there are other financing methods, but ATMs are the most destructive ones to retail shareholders.\n\n$IREN itself is a solid company unlike movie theater stocks, but like excessive dilution referenced:\n\nYou will likely see the marketcap of $IREN go up back toward $20B, but the your share prices tanking in value. \n\nTLDR: The harsh reality is $IREN might fundamentally succeed and build a massive DC footprint.\n\nBut it's at the cost of heavily diluting retail shareholders. Retail investors should care more about the value of their own stock increasing over the company's value. \n\nDisclosure: I have zero economic interest or positions in the company, but I do care about prioritizing retail interest.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05509782135018482, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05509782135018482, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04641386798582958, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05986636349258456, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004768542142399745, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.018537621469477572, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.018537621469477572, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.016930494564110443, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.013173021082192093, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005364600387285479, "ret_p1w": 0.15705454300093913, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.15705454300093913, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.17067744972513788, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.17751951414193812, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02046497114099899, "ret_p1m": -0.07981458449903078, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07981458449903078, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0543826200794183, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07596801281670362, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00384657168232716, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1308, 0.1313, 0.0332, -0.0865, -0.0579, -0.1303, -0.0783, 0.0278, 0.0824, 0.0832, 0.0808, 0.0808, 0.0376, 0.0147, -0.0139, -0.0275, -0.0275, 0.0994, 0.242, 0.182, 0.1232, 0.1761, 0.1851, 0.2958, 0.3643, 0.3615, 0.336, 0.4887, 0.4887, 0.397, 0.3769, 0.3455, 0.4593, 0.3481, 0.5445, 0.6205, 0.5407, 0.3836, 0.3666, 0.4004, 0.1571, 0.0245, 0.077, 0.1882, 0.1053, 0.0986, 0.0306, 0.087, 0.087, 0.0548, 0.0834, 0.1146, 0.0294, 0.0906, 0.1702, 0.1336, 0.139, 0.0543, 0.0657, 0.0003, 0.1287, 0.0331, -0.0551, 0.0, -0.0185, 0.0808, 0.0651, 0.0705, 0.1571, 0.1061, 0.0868, 0.0726, 0.0631, 0.0855, 0.0587, 0.0667, -0.0358, -0.0965, -0.1859, -0.1174, -0.1223, -0.1048, -0.1048, -0.0955, -0.0798, -0.0518, -0.0458, 0.0124, 0.1089, 0.2196, 0.257, 0.2281, 0.2389, 0.2544, 0.163, 0.2459, 0.3393, 0.3038, 0.2451, 0.1442, 0.1035, 0.1717, 0.1756, 0.2739, 0.4094, 0.57, 0.4637, 0.5757, 0.4199, 0.4562, 0.4204, 0.5036, 0.363, 0.2992, 0.2291, 0.3571, 0.4949, 0.4632, 0.4632, 0.5391, 0.7467, 0.6491, 0.6359, 0.6359, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2034341704388796588", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-18T18:50:33+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "similar to what $LITE is in current EML cycles", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on SIVE as upstream laser bottleneck for next architectural shift; LITE cited as the comparable beneficiary in current EML cycles.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I mean $LITE went from $17 to $709? Every companies gotta start somewhere. \n\nJust the trajectory, definitely not $50B MC by next year. \n\nHowever, they're positioned well as the upstream laser bottleneck for the next architectural shift, similar to what $LITE is in current EML cycles.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit SIVE can be next LITE? So you mean tens of billions in Mcap?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "tweet_tj", "ret_m1d": -0.0731296645004198, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0731296645004198, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08728076938696283, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08728076938696283, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.014151104886543031, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014151104886543031, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10176796503000207, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10176796503000207, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10423230551519391, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10423230551519391, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0024643404851918405, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0024643404851918405, "ret_p1w": 0.1089596119027656, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1089596119027656, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1132173608392768, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1132173608392768, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0042577489365112076, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0042577489365112076, "ret_p1m": 0.2716998527530443, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2716998527530443, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.20798000051169097, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.20798000051169097, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06371985224135335, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06371985224135335, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.47, -0.4437, -0.4472, -0.4351, -0.4351, -0.4424, -0.4683, -0.4704, -0.4741, -0.4741, -0.4491, -0.4905, -0.4329, -0.4394, -0.5031, -0.4986, -0.515, -0.4844, -0.5268, -0.5102, -0.5373, -0.5373, -0.4908, -0.4828, -0.4942, -0.516, -0.5256, -0.4711, -0.4506, -0.4557, -0.4409, -0.3958, -0.3791, -0.3357, -0.2802, -0.2124, -0.1765, -0.1993, -0.1808, -0.1674, -0.197, -0.197, -0.1432, -0.152, -0.093, -0.0471, -0.0372, -0.0179, 0.0322, -0.034, 0.0001, 0.1176, -0.0091, -0.0286, -0.0713, -0.2032, -0.0858, -0.0411, -0.0411, -0.1209, -0.1117, -0.1084, -0.0731, 0.0, 0.1018, 0.0079, 0.0402, 0.1444, 0.109, -0.0171, 0.0027, -0.0657, 0.0028, 0.0911, 0.1799, 0.1799, 0.102, 0.164, 0.2785, 0.2759, 0.2804, 0.2431, 0.2169, 0.1758, 0.2717, 0.2758, 0.2773, 0.1942, 0.2466, 0.2084, 0.258, 0.2267, 0.1292, 0.2248, 0.2875, 0.3555, 0.3929, 0.4192, 0.3474, 0.2736, 0.2897, 0.5027, 0.416, 0.4703, 0.4295, 0.3851, 0.2628, 0.2701, 0.2387, 0.3763, 0.3512, 0.3512, 0.2997, 0.2875, 0.228, 0.22, 0.22, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2017294279987892450", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-30T17:50:10+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "when you map the photonics buildout and projected growth with $LITE and others, people can just see how staggering it is", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish LITE on staggering photonics buildout growth trajectory.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@PhotonCap Absolutely, when you map the photonics buildout and projected growth with $LITE and others, people can just see how staggering it is.\n\nBut they miss upstream precursors that make it all happen, which is why I’m expecting it to be a major bottleneck.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Photonics, by definition, requires light. \n\nTo generate that light, III–V compound semiconductors are necessary, and InP substrates are essential for their fabrication/growth.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PhotonCap", "ret_m1d": -0.02654143015945798, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02654143015945798, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.029532932816635382, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.029532932816635382, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.002991502657177403, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002991502657177403, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08059416441656908, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08059416441656908, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07562280228563356, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07562280228563356, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004971362130935519, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004971362130935519, "ret_p1w": 0.40871272813708415, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.40871272813708415, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.4106636658307252, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.4106636658307252, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.001950937693641075, "bench_c_p1w": -0.001950937693641075, "ret_p1m": 0.9989026319931607, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.9989026319931607, "alpha_spy_p1m": 1.0069809185643095, "alpha_c_p1m": 1.0069809185643095, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.00807828657114873, "bench_c_p1m": -0.00807828657114873, "ret_p3m": 1.190485951781385, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.190485951781385, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.1593380790534915, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.1593380790534915, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.031147872727893544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.031147872727893544, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5193, -0.406, -0.3883, -0.3872, -0.3367, -0.3557, -0.3523, -0.421, -0.4075, -0.3822, -0.3685, -0.3137, -0.4048, -0.3477, -0.236, -0.2567, -0.2133, -0.2133, -0.1702, -0.1886, -0.2272, -0.2268, -0.1633, -0.1542, -0.1258, -0.0804, -0.0659, -0.0504, -0.1722, -0.1459, -0.1932, -0.1827, -0.1396, -0.0521, -0.005, -0.0113, 0.0104, 0.0104, -0.0027, -0.0491, -0.0527, -0.0593, -0.0593, -0.0146, -0.0888, 0.0142, 0.0027, -0.1112, -0.1032, -0.1326, -0.0779, -0.1537, -0.124, -0.1725, -0.1725, -0.0893, -0.075, -0.0953, -0.1344, -0.1516, -0.0541, -0.0175, -0.0265, 0.0, 0.0806, 0.1104, 0.1881, 0.2873, 0.4087, 0.4729, 0.432, 0.4652, 0.489, 0.4361, 0.4361, 0.5323, 0.5166, 0.6222, 0.7042, 0.722, 0.7565, 0.8461, 0.7277, 0.7888, 0.9989, 0.7722, 0.7374, 0.6609, 0.4252, 0.6351, 0.715, 0.715, 0.5723, 0.5887, 0.5946, 0.6577, 0.7885, 0.9705, 0.8026, 0.8603, 1.0467, 0.9834, 0.7579, 0.7934, 0.6711, 0.7935, 0.9514, 1.1102, 1.1102, 0.9709, 1.0818, 1.2867, 1.2819, 1.29, 1.2233, 1.1764, 1.1029, 1.2744, 1.2817, 1.2844, 1.1359, 1.2295, 1.1613, 1.25, 1.194, 1.0196, 1.1905, 1.3028, 1.4243, 1.4913, 1.5382, 1.4099, 1.2779, 1.3066, 1.6876, 1.5326, 1.6296, 1.5567, 1.4773, 1.2585, 1.2716, 1.2154, 1.4615, 1.4165, 1.4165, 1.3244, 1.3028, 1.1964, 1.1819, 1.1819, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2036657811179155561", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-25T04:13:56+00:00", "symbol": "MTSI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If you aren't long... -> CW Lasers: $SIVE | $MTSI", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author calls to be long laser suppliers (SIVE, MTSI, COHR, LITE) and their foundries (TSEM, Win Semi) citing Broadcom's acknowledgment of laser supply constraints in semiconductors.", "resolved_tickers": ["MTSI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Every industry leader... \n\nEspecially $AVGO (Physical Layer Products division) in this statement today. \n\nCites Lasers as a bottleneck for semiconductors.\n\nIf you aren't long...\n-> CW Lasers: $SIVE | $MTSI\n-> EML Lasers: $COHR | $LITE \n-> or their foundries in $TSEM/Win Semi \n\nMaybe it's time to wake up? \n\nBroadcom Ramachandran: \"Even though there are multiple suppliers in the industry today... there is definitely a supply constraint in the laser space,”", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03187233828183311, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03187233828183311, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02633046287023233, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02633046287023233, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005541875411600783, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005541875411600783, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06749915825707309, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06749915825707309, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04964041409893438, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04964041409893438, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017858744158138706, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017858744158138706, "ret_p1w": -0.06398952458944829, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06398952458944829, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.061583968923931254, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.061583968923931254, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002405555665517034, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002405555665517034, "ret_p1m": 0.1606268433267175, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1606268433267175, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08202082599002725, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08202082599002725, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07860601733669026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07860601733669026, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2858, -0.2911, -0.2864, -0.301, -0.301, -0.286, -0.3031, -0.299, -0.3037, -0.3158, -0.2864, -0.1938, -0.1286, -0.1226, -0.1066, -0.0994, -0.0994, -0.0952, -0.0767, -0.0847, -0.1052, -0.1067, -0.1055, -0.0767, -0.0706, -0.106, -0.0673, -0.0748, -0.1225, -0.0704, -0.0374, -0.0381, -0.0592, -0.0331, -0.0247, -0.0036, -0.0036, 0.0022, 0.007, -0.0101, -0.0059, 0.002, 0.0133, 0.034, 0.0084, 0.0126, 0.0551, -0.0164, -0.0246, -0.0655, -0.1532, -0.1074, -0.0998, -0.0918, -0.1188, -0.1112, -0.0821, -0.0969, -0.1067, -0.0837, -0.1064, -0.0644, -0.0319, 0.0, -0.0675, -0.08, -0.1451, -0.0937, -0.064, -0.0275, -0.0275, -0.049, -0.0329, 0.008, 0.0109, 0.0533, 0.0759, 0.077, 0.0658, 0.0668, 0.1303, 0.1471, 0.166, 0.1304, 0.1606, 0.1738, 0.1404, 0.0839, 0.1004, 0.1492, 0.1597, 0.1905, 0.2389, 0.2643, 0.4058, 0.4687, 0.4931, 0.4804, 0.5571, 0.5653, 0.5328, 0.4538, 0.465, 0.5333, 0.5526, 0.5752, 0.5752, 0.6719, 0.6351, 0.596, 0.4881, 0.4881, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2036657811179155561", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-25T04:13:56+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If you aren't long... -> EML Lasers: $COHR", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author calls to be long laser suppliers (SIVE, MTSI, COHR, LITE) and their foundries (TSEM, Win Semi) citing Broadcom's acknowledgment of laser supply constraints in semiconductors.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Every industry leader... \n\nEspecially $AVGO (Physical Layer Products division) in this statement today. \n\nCites Lasers as a bottleneck for semiconductors.\n\nIf you aren't long...\n-> CW Lasers: $SIVE | $MTSI\n-> EML Lasers: $COHR | $LITE \n-> or their foundries in $TSEM/Win Semi \n\nMaybe it's time to wake up? \n\nBroadcom Ramachandran: \"Even though there are multiple suppliers in the industry today... there is definitely a supply constraint in the laser space,”", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.00106593889955664, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00106593889955664, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006607814311157423, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006607814311157423, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005541875411600783, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005541875411600783, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.10568304056659217, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.10568304056659217, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08782429640845346, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.08782429640845346, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017858744158138706, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017858744158138706, "ret_p1w": -0.08910456084315743, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08910456084315743, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0866990051776404, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0866990051776404, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002405555665517034, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002405555665517034, "ret_p1m": 0.24128797996277185, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.24128797996277185, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1626819626260816, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1626819626260816, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07860601733669026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07860601733669026, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2953, -0.3052, -0.3133, -0.3215, -0.3215, -0.2857, -0.315, -0.2865, -0.2956, -0.3635, -0.3455, -0.3193, -0.3015, -0.3232, -0.2797, -0.2978, -0.2978, -0.2889, -0.2594, -0.2548, -0.2761, -0.273, -0.2134, -0.1871, -0.2065, -0.22, -0.1823, -0.1576, -0.2244, -0.2308, -0.1631, -0.1087, -0.1605, -0.1777, -0.2056, -0.2015, -0.2015, -0.1914, -0.177, -0.1454, -0.0877, -0.0851, -0.0632, -0.0152, -0.0805, -0.0482, 0.0988, 0.0322, 0.0104, -0.0668, -0.1335, -0.0725, -0.0419, -0.0758, -0.1131, -0.1076, -0.0907, -0.0965, -0.0545, 0.013, -0.0677, -0.0625, 0.0011, 0.0, -0.1057, -0.105, -0.1926, -0.1244, -0.0891, -0.051, -0.051, -0.0692, -0.0623, 0.0358, 0.0446, 0.1303, 0.1319, 0.1521, 0.1329, 0.2057, 0.2683, 0.2774, 0.2637, 0.2883, 0.2413, 0.2354, 0.1819, 0.1174, 0.1209, 0.1752, 0.2112, 0.2127, 0.2341, 0.267, 0.1733, 0.2324, 0.3957, 0.3748, 0.484, 0.4885, 0.4059, 0.3337, 0.2999, 0.3178, 0.3895, 0.3879, 0.3879, 0.4018, 0.3975, 0.3856, 0.3287, 0.3287, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2036657811179155561", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-03-25T04:13:56+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If you aren't long... -> EML Lasers: $COHR | $LITE", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author calls to be long laser suppliers (SIVE, MTSI, COHR, LITE) and their foundries (TSEM, Win Semi) citing Broadcom's acknowledgment of laser supply constraints in semiconductors.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Every industry leader... \n\nEspecially $AVGO (Physical Layer Products division) in this statement today. \n\nCites Lasers as a bottleneck for semiconductors.\n\nIf you aren't long...\n-> CW Lasers: $SIVE | $MTSI\n-> EML Lasers: $COHR | $LITE \n-> or their foundries in $TSEM/Win Semi \n\nMaybe it's time to wake up? \n\nBroadcom Ramachandran: \"Even though there are multiple suppliers in the industry today... there is definitely a supply constraint in the laser space,”", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03193639470129672, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03193639470129672, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.037478270112897505, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.037478270112897505, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005541875411600783, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005541875411600783, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.11370742187736216, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.11370742187736216, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.09584867771922345, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.09584867771922345, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017858744158138706, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017858744158138706, "ret_p1w": -0.016109678411937667, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.016109678411937667, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.013704122746420633, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.013704122746420633, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002405555665517034, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002405555665517034, "ret_p1m": 0.089710144847863, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.089710144847863, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.011104127511172734, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.011104127511172734, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07860601733669026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07860601733669026, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4972, -0.5206, -0.5224, -0.5257, -0.5257, -0.5032, -0.5406, -0.4886, -0.4945, -0.5519, -0.5478, -0.5627, -0.5351, -0.5733, -0.5583, -0.5828, -0.5828, -0.5409, -0.5336, -0.5439, -0.5636, -0.5722, -0.5231, -0.5046, -0.5092, -0.4958, -0.4552, -0.4401, -0.401, -0.351, -0.2897, -0.2574, -0.278, -0.2613, -0.2493, -0.2759, -0.2759, -0.2274, -0.2354, -0.1821, -0.1408, -0.1318, -0.1144, -0.0692, -0.1289, -0.0981, 0.0078, -0.1065, -0.124, -0.1626, -0.2814, -0.1756, -0.1353, -0.1353, -0.2073, -0.199, -0.196, -0.1642, -0.0983, -0.0065, -0.0911, -0.062, 0.0319, 0.0, -0.1137, -0.0958, -0.1575, -0.0957, -0.0161, 0.064, 0.064, -0.0063, 0.0496, 0.1529, 0.1505, 0.1546, 0.121, 0.0973, 0.0603, 0.1468, 0.1504, 0.1518, 0.0769, 0.1241, 0.0897, 0.1344, 0.1062, 0.0183, 0.1044, 0.161, 0.2223, 0.2561, 0.2797, 0.215, 0.1485, 0.1629, 0.355, 0.2769, 0.3258, 0.289, 0.249, 0.1387, 0.1453, 0.117, 0.241, 0.2184, 0.2184, 0.172, 0.161, 0.1074, 0.1001, 0.1001, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2036657811179155561", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-03-25T04:13:56+00:00", "symbol": "TSEM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If you aren't long... -> or their foundries in $TSEM/Win Semi", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author calls to be long laser suppliers (SIVE, MTSI, COHR, LITE) and their foundries (TSEM, Win Semi) citing Broadcom's acknowledgment of laser supply constraints in semiconductors.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSEM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Every industry leader... \n\nEspecially $AVGO (Physical Layer Products division) in this statement today. \n\nCites Lasers as a bottleneck for semiconductors.\n\nIf you aren't long...\n-> CW Lasers: $SIVE | $MTSI\n-> EML Lasers: $COHR | $LITE \n-> or their foundries in $TSEM/Win Semi \n\nMaybe it's time to wake up? \n\nBroadcom Ramachandran: \"Even though there are multiple suppliers in the industry today... there is definitely a supply constraint in the laser space,”", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.041962477156080036, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.041962477156080036, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03642060174447925, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03642060174447925, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005541875411600783, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005541875411600783, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07449407866999369, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07449407866999369, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.056635334511854984, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.056635334511854984, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017858744158138706, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017858744158138706, "ret_p1w": -0.008848140936425941, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.008848140936425941, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.006442585270908907, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.006442585270908907, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002405555665517034, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002405555665517034, "ret_p1m": 0.06638761478551869, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06638761478551869, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01221840255117157, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01221840255117157, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07860601733669026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07860601733669026, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3557, -0.3583, -0.3607, -0.3779, -0.3779, -0.355, -0.368, -0.3521, -0.3524, -0.3784, -0.364, -0.3573, -0.3389, -0.3473, -0.343, -0.3121, -0.3121, -0.3165, -0.2931, -0.3113, -0.3185, -0.3269, -0.2973, -0.2639, -0.2863, -0.2862, -0.2747, -0.2773, -0.3574, -0.3161, -0.2633, -0.2183, -0.2764, -0.2877, -0.2923, -0.3179, -0.3179, -0.323, -0.32, -0.3332, -0.3193, -0.3248, -0.3324, -0.3326, -0.3439, -0.3384, -0.2657, -0.3349, -0.3457, -0.3613, -0.4141, -0.3883, -0.3807, -0.3672, -0.3719, -0.3392, -0.2663, -0.2696, -0.2479, -0.1201, -0.133, -0.088, -0.042, 0.0, -0.0745, -0.0891, -0.1598, -0.0703, -0.0088, 0.048, 0.048, 0.0077, 0.0112, 0.0792, 0.0799, 0.0787, 0.1098, 0.1344, 0.1425, 0.1378, 0.1998, 0.1894, 0.1482, 0.092, 0.0664, 0.0625, 0.0773, 0.0255, 0.0553, 0.1712, 0.1551, 0.1395, 0.1949, 0.149, 0.1126, 0.118, 0.2127, 0.17, 0.4346, 0.4872, 0.4516, 0.3143, 0.3314, 0.4013, 0.4783, 0.5017, 0.5017, 0.5287, 0.4718, 0.4597, 0.3523, 0.3523, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2036657811179155561", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2026-03-25T04:13:56+00:00", "symbol": "Win Semi", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If you aren't long... -> or their foundries in $TSEM/Win Semi", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author calls to be long laser suppliers (SIVE, MTSI, COHR, LITE) and their foundries (TSEM, Win Semi) citing Broadcom's acknowledgment of laser supply constraints in semiconductors.", "resolved_tickers": ["3105.TWO"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Win Semi Taiwan foundry; retrying .TWO OTC market suffix", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TWO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Every industry leader... \n\nEspecially $AVGO (Physical Layer Products division) in this statement today. \n\nCites Lasers as a bottleneck for semiconductors.\n\nIf you aren't long...\n-> CW Lasers: $SIVE | $MTSI\n-> EML Lasers: $COHR | $LITE \n-> or their foundries in $TSEM/Win Semi \n\nMaybe it's time to wake up? \n\nBroadcom Ramachandran: \"Even though there are multiple suppliers in the industry today... there is definitely a supply constraint in the laser space,”", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08998548621190128, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08998548621190128, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0844436108003005, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06719226145999102, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005541875411600783, "bench_c_m1d": -0.022793224751910257, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04063860667634245, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04063860667634245, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.058497350834481154, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0722728232095009, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017858744158138706, "bench_c_p1d": -0.031634216533158455, "ret_p1w": 0.09288824383164007, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09288824383164007, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0952937994971571, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10214364063498804, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002405555665517034, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00925539680334797, "ret_p1m": 0.625544267053701, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.625544267053701, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5469382497170108, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4618476435693304, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07860601733669026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.16369662348437064, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4499, -0.4688, -0.463, -0.4688, -0.4688, -0.4804, -0.4688, -0.4659, -0.4601, -0.4267, -0.3716, -0.3237, -0.3904, -0.3745, -0.3556, -0.3657, -0.3817, -0.3411, -0.3556, -0.3193, -0.3309, -0.3208, -0.3004, -0.2511, -0.2888, -0.3193, -0.357, -0.3135, -0.27, -0.3033, -0.3628, -0.3135, -0.2583, -0.2859, -0.2859, -0.2859, -0.2859, -0.2859, -0.2859, -0.2859, -0.2859, -0.2148, -0.1364, -0.0653, -0.0189, -0.0189, -0.0377, -0.0537, -0.148, -0.1292, -0.1335, -0.2192, -0.2104, -0.1321, -0.1103, -0.0914, -0.119, -0.148, -0.0639, 0.029, -0.0015, -0.0856, -0.09, 0.0, 0.0406, 0.1103, 0.1335, 0.0203, 0.0929, 0.0914, 0.0914, 0.0914, 0.1814, 0.2772, 0.2656, 0.3469, 0.3295, 0.3266, 0.2961, 0.4238, 0.5646, 0.7184, 0.791, 0.7417, 0.6255, 0.5878, 0.4296, 0.4499, 0.4572, 0.5559, 0.5559, 0.521, 0.611, 0.4514, 0.4514, 0.4296, 0.5269, 0.4862, 0.4383, 0.4035, 0.3309, 0.3077, 0.3251, 0.2961, 0.402, 0.5414, 0.5762, 0.6313, 0.6255, 0.5327, 0.5298, 0.5733, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2036424304703758840", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-24T12:46:03+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS that's in its silent buildout phase for extreme q4 revenue ramp", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Maintains long SOI (silicon photonics/CPO monopoly thesis unchanged) and long NBIS (Q4 revenue ramp buildout); macro weakness not a reason to exit.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Not a fan of these types of posts, but I’ll do one today again:\n\nWhen a stock like $SOI drops 6% and reverses a lot of its gains this week:\n\nNothing about SOI substrates thesis for silicon photonics / CPO level monopoly has changed.\n\nUnfortunately, the broader index (Paris Stock Index) crashed 9% this month and keeps going down.\n\nAnd broader macro from the War in Iran drives down a lot of names.\n\nNot every name I mention like $AXTI can go in a straight line up but they tend to be strong outperformers.\n\nI’ll post if my thesis materially changed.\n\nBut if a stock price drops because of macro or just a slight correction after rising 400% like $AAOI.\n\nOr if $SIVE dropped 16% on Friday before rising 35% on Monday…\n\nShort term stock prices does not chance a thesis.\n\nAnd it shouldn’t to your conviction either. \n\nEspecially with names, if I don’t mention them for a bit like, $IQE that’s just in a waiting period for restructuring or asset sales. Or $NBIS that’s in its silent buildout phase for extreme q4 revenue ramp. \n\nPerformance like these are sometimes byproducts of macro. \n\nBut if they can go down 10% in one week, they can go up 10% the next.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.006613890105384046, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006613890105384046, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.009982046251776122, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0208314899443518, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003368156146392076, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014217599838967754, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0015663795147942139, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0015663795147942139, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0040063794325917446, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0012231930187256435, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055727589473859585, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0027895725335198573, "ret_p1w": -0.0970324703727734, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0970324703727734, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09268456343723108, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0946029135497789, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.004347906935542323, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0024295568229945053, "ret_p1m": 0.3588024925033948, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3588024925033948, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2699601673440579, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2980628167468349, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08884232515933688, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06073967575655992, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2069, -0.2378, -0.2512, -0.2588, -0.2716, -0.2716, -0.2172, -0.1922, -0.1277, -0.1627, -0.1533, -0.1478, -0.066, -0.0825, -0.1125, -0.0959, -0.0538, -0.0538, -0.1359, -0.1396, -0.1572, -0.1776, -0.2041, -0.1483, -0.126, -0.174, -0.2586, -0.2328, -0.2172, -0.283, -0.3571, -0.2507, -0.1917, -0.2012, -0.2289, -0.2191, -0.1471, -0.1471, -0.1513, -0.1141, -0.0635, -0.1479, -0.1244, -0.1073, -0.0765, -0.0873, -0.2064, -0.208, -0.2446, -0.1491, -0.1676, -0.2226, -0.1738, -0.1608, -0.0254, -0.0598, -0.0171, 0.13, 0.0124, 0.0318, 0.0575, 0.0236, -0.0066, 0.0, 0.0016, -0.0778, -0.1226, -0.1971, -0.097, -0.1128, -0.053, -0.053, -0.0206, 0.0217, 0.0878, 0.1864, 0.2616, 0.3451, 0.4093, 0.4513, 0.4389, 0.3675, 0.3851, 0.3624, 0.3588, 0.367, 0.2807, 0.2615, 0.1793, 0.2287, 0.2029, 0.3444, 0.5353, 0.5309, 0.6978, 0.608, 0.5408, 0.6195, 0.5587, 0.8038, 0.9245, 0.914, 0.7393, 0.7207, 0.6693, 0.9139, 0.869, 0.869, 0.8106, 0.8133, 0.9697, 1.0111, 1.0111, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2034998355311620146", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-20T14:19:51+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "in current cycles that's EML like $LITE", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "AIXA seen as photonics-ASML capturing capex cycle; LITE and AXTI as key photonics beneficiaries (EML, substrates) in the current cycle.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AIXA is like the $ASML for photonics and captures a large capex cycle this year. \n\nEven so, I personally don't have positions, since I'm not a fan of equipment sellers in semi supply chains.  \n\nThat benefit materially, but most of the largest beneficiaries are the likely bottleneck price-hikers of the world as seen with $SNDK.   \n\nAnd in current cycles that's EML like $LITE or substrates like $AXTI. Even though there haven't been much price hikes yet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What's your opinion about https://t.co/teaTGWL7YC?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Durrutius", "ret_m1d": 0.09312668163159277, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.09312668163159277, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07858240222935087, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07858240222935087, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0145442794022419, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0145442794022419, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03199552261943017, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03199552261943017, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.021495503374492353, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.021495503374492353, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01050001924493782, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01050001924493782, "ret_p1w": -0.005124931326265902, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.005124931326265902, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.017201078673008574, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.017201078673008574, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.022326009999274476, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022326009999274476, "ret_p1m": 0.2672329812272496, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2672329812272496, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.17449054371142192, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.17449054371142192, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09274243751582767, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09274243751582767, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4515, -0.4395, -0.4395, -0.4468, -0.4725, -0.4745, -0.4782, -0.4782, -0.4534, -0.4945, -0.4374, -0.4438, -0.507, -0.5025, -0.5188, -0.4885, -0.5305, -0.514, -0.5409, -0.5409, -0.4948, -0.4869, -0.4981, -0.5198, -0.5293, -0.4752, -0.4549, -0.46, -0.4453, -0.4006, -0.384, -0.3409, -0.2859, -0.2185, -0.1829, -0.2056, -0.1872, -0.174, -0.2033, -0.2033, -0.15, -0.1587, -0.1001, -0.0546, -0.0448, -0.0256, 0.0241, -0.0416, -0.0077, 0.1089, -0.0169, -0.0362, -0.0786, -0.2094, -0.093, -0.0486, -0.0486, -0.1278, -0.1187, -0.1154, -0.0804, -0.0078, 0.0931, 0.0, 0.032, 0.1354, 0.1003, -0.0248, -0.0051, -0.073, -0.0051, 0.0825, 0.1706, 0.1706, 0.0933, 0.1549, 0.2685, 0.2658, 0.2703, 0.2334, 0.2073, 0.1666, 0.2617, 0.2658, 0.2672, 0.1849, 0.2368, 0.199, 0.2482, 0.2171, 0.1204, 0.2151, 0.2774, 0.3448, 0.382, 0.408, 0.3368, 0.2637, 0.2795, 0.4909, 0.4049, 0.4587, 0.4183, 0.3742, 0.2529, 0.2601, 0.229, 0.3655, 0.3406, 0.3406, 0.2895, 0.2774, 0.2184, 0.2104, 0.2104, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2034998355311620146", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-20T14:19:51+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "substrates like $AXTI", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "AIXA seen as photonics-ASML capturing capex cycle; LITE and AXTI as key photonics beneficiaries (EML, substrates) in the current cycle.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AIXA is like the $ASML for photonics and captures a large capex cycle this year. \n\nEven so, I personally don't have positions, since I'm not a fan of equipment sellers in semi supply chains.  \n\nThat benefit materially, but most of the largest beneficiaries are the likely bottleneck price-hikers of the world as seen with $SNDK.   \n\nAnd in current cycles that's EML like $LITE or substrates like $AXTI. Even though there haven't been much price hikes yet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What's your opinion about https://t.co/teaTGWL7YC?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Durrutius", "ret_m1d": 0.07098079563020243, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07098079563020243, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05643651622796053, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04452130752978967, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0145442794022419, "bench_c_m1d": 0.026459488100412765, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.18805310559178756, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.18805310559178756, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.17755308634684974, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.17084669272798636, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01050001924493782, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0172064128638012, "ret_p1w": 0.11780971961483666, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11780971961483666, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14013572961411114, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14507486101067835, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.022326009999274476, "bench_c_p1w": -0.027265141395841686, "ret_p1m": 0.4520648912055265, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4520648912055265, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.35932245368969884, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2461595961192422, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09274243751582767, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2059052950862843, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7301, -0.7233, -0.7233, -0.7166, -0.731, -0.7087, -0.6986, -0.6986, -0.691, -0.6927, -0.6281, -0.5555, -0.5238, -0.5761, -0.59, -0.6034, -0.5926, -0.5258, -0.5927, -0.5927, -0.6053, -0.6353, -0.6696, -0.6792, -0.6718, -0.6829, -0.6897, -0.698, -0.6582, -0.6139, -0.6361, -0.6543, -0.6233, -0.5564, -0.488, -0.5511, -0.5059, -0.543, -0.5531, -0.5531, -0.5721, -0.566, -0.561, -0.4528, -0.4758, -0.3532, -0.2447, -0.3156, -0.3013, -0.146, -0.2301, -0.2786, -0.2847, -0.4032, -0.2891, -0.1833, -0.1268, -0.1385, -0.0992, -0.1079, -0.1822, -0.101, 0.071, 0.0, 0.1881, 0.2618, 0.2417, 0.0787, 0.1178, -0.0278, 0.0505, -0.1309, -0.0258, -0.0258, -0.2258, -0.1619, -0.0195, 0.1637, 0.1833, 0.2251, 0.2408, 0.1602, 0.5077, 0.5221, 0.4521, 0.3822, 0.6029, 0.3877, 0.4041, 0.2933, 0.2668, 0.3103, 0.4605, 0.7699, 0.9543, 0.9829, 0.9327, 0.9989, 1.1453, 1.3195, 1.2659, 1.2482, 1.1198, 1.2821, 0.9521, 1.0811, 0.9287, 1.2312, 1.5964, 1.5964, 1.4447, 1.2635, 1.1331, 0.9019, 0.9019, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2028912096713511401", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-03T19:15:13+00:00", "symbol": "CRCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Everyone on X was rushing to buy this at $200 but chickened out at $50.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish CRCL at $54 on fundamentals: USDC supply $70B+, stablecoin growth, Clarity Act; valuation reset is an opportunity others are ignoring.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$CRCL is a good lesson why fundamentals matter more than stock price/charts. \n\nThings to watch are USDC supply, interest rates, and Clarity Act.\n\nNot whether or not sentiment is bad or if the XYZ TA says it’s going to $30.\n\nEveryone on X was rushing to buy this at $200 but chickened out at $50.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I really, really like $CRCL at $54. \n\nValuation has been completely reset back to $12B MC. \n\nEveryone was rushing to buy it back at $150-200 but at $54, it's a ghost town. USDC supply still $70B+ and I expect stablecoins to continue growing in usage. https://t.co/R2Habycf7d", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.035029589079405565, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.035029589079405565, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.043922311023449345, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03678703555878837, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00889272194404378, "bench_c_m1d": 0.001757446479382807, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05660945041785537, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05660945041785537, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04955414206477071, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.050946492443453284, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007055308353084655, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005662957974402083, "ret_p1w": 0.18528555247791445, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.18528555247791445, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.18991574476808204, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2077421125444806, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00463019229016759, "bench_c_p1w": -0.022456560066566156, "ret_p1m": -0.08923014789447314, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08923014789447314, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05498120835424125, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05962924443280826, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03424893954023189, "bench_c_p1m": -0.029600903461664885, "ret_p3m": 0.13419655841778466, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.13419655841778466, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.019228982807877992, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.12179387705401767, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11496757560990667, "bench_c_p3m": 0.012402681363766987, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1222, -0.1406, -0.1573, -0.1079, -0.1126, -0.111, -0.1622, -0.2426, -0.1669, -0.2051, -0.1871, -0.1355, -0.1268, -0.1696, -0.1705, -0.1705, -0.1843, -0.1919, -0.1981, -0.2041, -0.2041, -0.1622, -0.1489, -0.1483, -0.1911, -0.1791, -0.1679, -0.1679, -0.1623, -0.1489, -0.2312, -0.211, -0.211, -0.2703, -0.2709, -0.2839, -0.2841, -0.2884, -0.2978, -0.2689, -0.322, -0.3583, -0.4092, -0.4363, -0.4475, -0.4958, -0.4275, -0.3968, -0.4003, -0.4193, -0.4316, -0.3974, -0.3974, -0.3815, -0.3662, -0.3785, -0.3675, -0.386, -0.384, -0.1655, -0.1247, -0.1625, -0.035, 0.0, 0.0566, 0.0613, 0.0229, 0.1226, 0.1853, 0.1323, 0.146, 0.1581, 0.263, 0.328, 0.3333, 0.2881, 0.265, 0.2711, 0.0155, 0.0425, -0.0137, -0.0599, -0.0976, -0.0424, -0.0892, -0.094, -0.094, -0.0751, -0.0553, -0.0521, -0.1458, -0.1163, -0.0095, 0.0588, 0.0591, 0.0786, 0.063, 0.0675, -0.0362, 0.0475, 0.0038, 0.0003, -0.0421, -0.053, -0.0409, -0.0878, 0.0007, 0.1997, 0.1461, 0.2225, 0.1367, 0.1409, 0.3225, 0.2411, 0.2704, 0.2434, 0.1442, 0.118, 0.1144, 0.1203, 0.1531, 0.1354, 0.1354, 0.0456, 0.0302, 0.0864, 0.1342, 0.1342, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2027280159234207745", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-27T07:10:29+00:00", "symbol": "Photonics", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm sure if you just hold things for the next three years given photonic ramp, it would strongly outperform majority of portfolios", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long photonics stocks over 3-year horizon; photonic ramp drives strong outperformance despite trimming near-term for profits.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR", "LITE", "AAOI", "FN"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Photonics basket; removed merged/delisted IIVI (now COHR)", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yeah it makes sense to trim a bit and take some profits after the insane rally last two months! Not completely sell all positions though.\n\nFor me I do more of active management for my own portfolio. \n\nI’m sure if you just hold things for the next three years given photonic ramp, it would strongly outperform majority of portfolios.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit U stated u might trim Photonics? Did I hear that right vs MU Sandisk EWK etc", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SL2056", "ret_m1d": -0.09995760250247751, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09995760250247751, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1047827156807026, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1047827156807026, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1386019106529131, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1386019106529131, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.1380333318705818, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.1380333318705818, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "ret_p1w": -0.06531104044367522, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06531104044367522, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04547109363117355, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04547109363117355, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "ret_p1m": -0.07615350663915602, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07615350663915602, "alpha_spy_p1m": 7.80713146187606e-05, "alpha_c_p1m": 7.80713146187606e-05, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "ret_p3m": 0.5373783253302586, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5373783253302586, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4404096362402532, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4404096362402532, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4532, -0.4458, -0.4178, -0.4081, -0.3908, -0.3668, -0.3383, -0.3258, -0.4012, -0.4042, -0.4254, -0.4452, -0.416, -0.3773, -0.339, -0.3328, -0.3316, -0.3316, -0.346, -0.3592, -0.3687, -0.3783, -0.3783, -0.3375, -0.3795, -0.3367, -0.3463, -0.4077, -0.3968, -0.3878, -0.3621, -0.3831, -0.3506, -0.3634, -0.3634, -0.3483, -0.3385, -0.3491, -0.3689, -0.3697, -0.3218, -0.2854, -0.3107, -0.3017, -0.2742, -0.2811, -0.318, -0.302, -0.2209, -0.1879, -0.2218, -0.2223, -0.241, -0.2305, -0.2305, -0.2155, -0.2112, -0.1739, -0.1186, -0.0946, -0.073, -0.0286, -0.1, 0.0, 0.1386, 0.0552, 0.0625, 0.0269, -0.0653, 0.0422, 0.0978, 0.0996, 0.0028, -0.0262, -0.0241, -0.0457, 0.0025, 0.0917, -0.0114, 0.0409, 0.1624, 0.1599, 0.0216, 0.0301, -0.0762, -0.0293, 0.0134, 0.1083, 0.1083, 0.0929, 0.142, 0.2651, 0.2722, 0.3673, 0.3788, 0.3536, 0.3288, 0.4097, 0.4413, 0.4607, 0.396, 0.4096, 0.3528, 0.4503, 0.3635, 0.2754, 0.349, 0.4315, 0.5253, 0.509, 0.5174, 0.5107, 0.381, 0.3728, 0.5886, 0.5646, 0.7384, 0.6945, 0.6113, 0.5011, 0.478, 0.4497, 0.556, 0.5635, 0.5635, 0.5322, 0.5374, 0.4786, 0.4238, 0.4238, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2032619748199170451", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-14T00:48:06+00:00", "symbol": "EWY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "People panic sell $EWY or $TSM based on something random like Helium that have little material effect", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Weekend Iran scare = overblown panic; EWY/TSM dips are buying opportunities, oil spike reverses by Monday open, stocks recover and finish next week green.", "resolved_tickers": ["EWY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Weekend Macro playbook prediction:  \n\n1. US gonna do something bad to Iran\n\n2. Bunch of videos on X of stuff going up in flames\n\n3. Retail doomposters and Jim Cramer will say \"$200 oil\" parroting Iran state media over the weekend.\n\n4. People panic sell $EWY or $TSM based on something random like Helium that have little material effect\n\n5. Crude Oil futures spike and stocks drop\n\n6. People glad they sold their shares after seeing impression farming doomposters claim Monday will be the worst day ever of the stock market.\n\n7. People capitulate the rest of their unrelated to Iran stocks overnight\n\n8. US Treasury/Gov pulls black magic and crude oil prices go down by market open\n\n9. Stocks go back up, and people chase to recover their lost positions. \n\n10. Next Week Green", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06724270598963045, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06724270598963045, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05716836509657741, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05716836509657741, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010074340893053035, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010074340893053035, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009992385509218105, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009992385509218105, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0073618306392428945, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0073618306392428945, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00263055486997521, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00263055486997521, "ret_p1w": 0.005334270642526784, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.005334270642526784, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.023061700296955867, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.023061700296955867, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017727429654429083, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017727429654429083, "ret_p1m": 0.10202844439919923, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10202844439919923, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06118339922987537, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06118339922987537, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04084504516932386, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04084504516932386, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3345, -0.3233, -0.3137, -0.3107, -0.3035, -0.2893, -0.2893, -0.2799, -0.2583, -0.2591, -0.2696, -0.2696, -0.232, -0.2124, -0.1915, -0.1959, -0.1992, -0.1819, -0.1816, -0.192, -0.1763, -0.1657, -0.1569, -0.1569, -0.1663, -0.131, -0.1286, -0.1137, -0.1186, -0.0781, -0.0566, -0.0646, -0.0803, -0.0914, -0.066, -0.0965, -0.0968, -0.063, -0.053, -0.065, -0.0188, -0.0173, 0.0065, 0.0065, -0.0182, -0.0013, 0.0159, 0.066, 0.0466, 0.086, 0.1186, 0.1301, 0.1373, 0.1085, -0.0057, 0.0095, -0.0553, -0.0479, 0.0059, -0.021, -0.0019, -0.0721, -0.0672, 0.0, 0.01, -0.0092, 0.0129, -0.055, 0.0053, -0.0327, -0.0403, -0.0985, -0.0911, -0.1252, -0.0758, -0.0517, -0.0769, -0.0769, -0.0538, -0.0444, 0.0524, 0.0465, 0.0423, 0.0611, 0.102, 0.0888, 0.108, 0.1445, 0.1276, 0.1029, 0.1705, 0.1314, 0.1613, 0.1775, 0.1598, 0.1567, 0.2078, 0.2171, 0.2291, 0.3033, 0.3672, 0.3279, 0.429, 0.4489, 0.3411, 0.4172, 0.4314, 0.3438, 0.3231, 0.3074, 0.3532, 0.4006, 0.3676, 0.3676, 0.5075, 0.4898, 0.5508, 0.5464, 0.5464, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2032619748199170451", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-14T00:48:06+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "People panic sell $EWY or $TSM based on something random like Helium that have little material effect", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Weekend Iran scare = overblown panic; EWY/TSM dips are buying opportunities, oil spike reverses by Monday open, stocks recover and finish next week green.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Weekend Macro playbook prediction:  \n\n1. US gonna do something bad to Iran\n\n2. Bunch of videos on X of stuff going up in flames\n\n3. Retail doomposters and Jim Cramer will say \"$200 oil\" parroting Iran state media over the weekend.\n\n4. People panic sell $EWY or $TSM based on something random like Helium that have little material effect\n\n5. Crude Oil futures spike and stocks drop\n\n6. People glad they sold their shares after seeing impression farming doomposters claim Monday will be the worst day ever of the stock market.\n\n7. People capitulate the rest of their unrelated to Iran stocks overnight\n\n8. US Treasury/Gov pulls black magic and crude oil prices go down by market open\n\n9. Stocks go back up, and people chase to recover their lost positions. \n\n10. Next Week Green", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.005643350908594913, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005643350908594913, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004430989984458122, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004430989984458122, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010074340893053035, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010074340893053035, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.019765715350204216, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.019765715350204216, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.017135160480229006, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.017135160480229006, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00263055486997521, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00263055486997521, "ret_p1w": -0.0024287304209976712, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0024287304209976712, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.015298699233431412, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.015298699233431412, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017727429654429083, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017727429654429083, "ret_p1m": 0.11971443505639967, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11971443505639967, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07886938988707581, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07886938988707581, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04084504516932386, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04084504516932386, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.186, -0.1633, -0.1507, -0.138, -0.1272, -0.1218, -0.1218, -0.1099, -0.1155, -0.1195, -0.1068, -0.1068, -0.0606, -0.0528, -0.0376, -0.0633, -0.0653, -0.0488, -0.0249, -0.0265, -0.0386, 0.0041, 0.0064, 0.0064, -0.0384, -0.0415, -0.0378, -0.0158, -0.0221, -0.0056, 0.0061, -0.002, -0.0284, 0.0033, -0.0132, -0.0426, -0.0279, 0.0253, 0.0446, 0.0637, 0.0995, 0.0819, 0.0768, 0.0768, 0.0705, 0.0648, 0.0593, 0.0891, 0.0876, 0.1338, 0.1396, 0.1075, 0.101, 0.0849, 0.0379, 0.0506, 0.0401, -0.0039, 0.0249, 0.0202, 0.0421, -0.0103, -0.0056, 0.0, 0.0198, 0.0009, -0.0014, -0.0296, -0.0024, 0.0117, 0.025, -0.0388, -0.0369, -0.0671, -0.0039, 0.0065, -0.0007, -0.0007, 0.0073, 0.0178, 0.0785, 0.0773, 0.0923, 0.0893, 0.1197, 0.1056, 0.071, 0.092, 0.0795, 0.0849, 0.142, 0.1279, 0.1862, 0.1937, 0.1564, 0.1608, 0.1674, 0.1721, 0.1837, 0.1625, 0.2365, 0.2207, 0.2134, 0.1924, 0.171, 0.1784, 0.2312, 0.1918, 0.1671, 0.1572, 0.1838, 0.2001, 0.1923, 0.1923, 0.2153, 0.246, 0.2523, 0.2334, 0.2334, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2032619748199170451", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-14T00:48:06+00:00", "symbol": "Crude Oil", "kind": "commodity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "US Treasury/Gov pulls black magic and crude oil prices go down by market open", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Weekend Iran scare = overblown panic; EWY/TSM dips are buying opportunities, oil spike reverses by Monday open, stocks recover and finish next week green.", "resolved_tickers": ["USO"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Crude oil proxied by USO ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Weekend Macro playbook prediction:  \n\n1. US gonna do something bad to Iran\n\n2. Bunch of videos on X of stuff going up in flames\n\n3. Retail doomposters and Jim Cramer will say \"$200 oil\" parroting Iran state media over the weekend.\n\n4. People panic sell $EWY or $TSM based on something random like Helium that have little material effect\n\n5. Crude Oil futures spike and stocks drop\n\n6. People glad they sold their shares after seeing impression farming doomposters claim Monday will be the worst day ever of the stock market.\n\n7. People capitulate the rest of their unrelated to Iran stocks overnight\n\n8. US Treasury/Gov pulls black magic and crude oil prices go down by market open\n\n9. Stocks go back up, and people chase to recover their lost positions. \n\n10. Next Week Green", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0422498536201521, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0422498536201521, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.052324194513205136, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.052324194513205136, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010074340893053035, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010074340893053035, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.033121773441933344, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.033121773441933344, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.030491218571958134, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.030491218571958134, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00263055486997521, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00263055486997521, "ret_p1w": -0.03885943899973021, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03885943899973021, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.021132009345301128, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.021132009345301128, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017727429654429083, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017727429654429083, "ret_p1m": 0.0766756479911539, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0766756479911539, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03583060282183004, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03583060282183004, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04084504516932386, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04084504516932386, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.409, -0.4159, -0.4086, -0.3938, -0.3889, -0.3897, -0.3897, -0.4047, -0.3949, -0.3937, -0.3988, -0.3988, -0.4005, -0.3896, -0.4044, -0.4107, -0.3868, -0.3847, -0.3771, -0.3612, -0.3688, -0.3816, -0.3771, -0.3771, -0.3753, -0.3624, -0.3756, -0.3571, -0.3612, -0.3423, -0.3339, -0.312, -0.3087, -0.3451, -0.3265, -0.323, -0.3333, -0.3307, -0.3217, -0.3217, -0.3142, -0.336, -0.3374, -0.3374, -0.3416, -0.3097, -0.2942, -0.2971, -0.2967, -0.2979, -0.3069, -0.3065, -0.2876, -0.242, -0.2159, -0.204, -0.1627, -0.0544, -0.093, -0.0797, -0.0607, 0.0292, 0.0422, 0.0, 0.0331, 0.0577, 0.0203, 0.0556, -0.0389, -0.0043, -0.0143, 0.0194, 0.0797, 0.1287, 0.1062, 0.0788, 0.199, 0.199, 0.2079, 0.2004, 0.083, 0.1037, 0.0851, 0.1168, 0.0767, 0.0657, 0.094, 0.0088, 0.0547, 0.1149, 0.1249, 0.1712, 0.151, 0.1712, 0.2136, 0.3095, 0.2787, 0.2414, 0.2832, 0.2533, 0.1645, 0.1733, 0.1613, 0.2054, 0.2545, 0.2348, 0.2432, 0.2886, 0.2978, 0.3297, 0.2542, 0.2392, 0.2251, 0.2251, 0.191, 0.1391, 0.1369, 0.1222, 0.1222, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2032619748199170451", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-03-14T00:48:06+00:00", "symbol": "S&P500", "kind": "index", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Stocks go back up, and people chase to recover their lost positions. Next Week Green", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Weekend Iran scare = overblown panic; EWY/TSM dips are buying opportunities, oil spike reverses by Monday open, stocks recover and finish next week green.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPY"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "S&P 500 proxied by SPY ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Weekend Macro playbook prediction:  \n\n1. US gonna do something bad to Iran\n\n2. Bunch of videos on X of stuff going up in flames\n\n3. Retail doomposters and Jim Cramer will say \"$200 oil\" parroting Iran state media over the weekend.\n\n4. People panic sell $EWY or $TSM based on something random like Helium that have little material effect\n\n5. Crude Oil futures spike and stocks drop\n\n6. People glad they sold their shares after seeing impression farming doomposters claim Monday will be the worst day ever of the stock market.\n\n7. People capitulate the rest of their unrelated to Iran stocks overnight\n\n8. US Treasury/Gov pulls black magic and crude oil prices go down by market open\n\n9. Stocks go back up, and people chase to recover their lost positions. \n\n10. Next Week Green", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.010074340893053035, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010074340893053035, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010074340893053035, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010074340893053035, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00263055486997521, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00263055486997521, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00263055486997521, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00263055486997521, "ret_p1w": -0.017727429654429083, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.017727429654429083, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017727429654429083, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017727429654429083, "ret_p1m": 0.04084504516932386, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04084504516932386, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04084504516932386, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04084504516932386, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0006, 0.0081, 0.0173, 0.0236, 0.0283, 0.0319, 0.0319, 0.0318, 0.0281, 0.0269, 0.0193, 0.0193, 0.0211, 0.0279, 0.034, 0.0307, 0.0306, 0.0374, 0.0391, 0.037, 0.0319, 0.0347, 0.0338, 0.0338, 0.0128, 0.0245, 0.0298, 0.0302, 0.0354, 0.0395, 0.0394, 0.0374, 0.0343, 0.0394, 0.0306, 0.0256, 0.0128, 0.0323, 0.0372, 0.0345, 0.0343, 0.0183, 0.019, 0.019, 0.0207, 0.0258, 0.0231, 0.0305, 0.02, 0.0274, 0.0361, 0.0303, 0.0254, 0.0259, 0.0169, 0.0241, 0.0184, 0.005, 0.0138, 0.0122, 0.0109, -0.0044, -0.0101, 0.0, 0.0026, -0.0114, -0.0138, -0.0279, -0.0177, -0.021, -0.0156, -0.0331, -0.0496, -0.0528, -0.0253, -0.0179, -0.0171, -0.0171, -0.0124, -0.012, 0.0132, 0.019, 0.0184, 0.0283, 0.0408, 0.0491, 0.0516, 0.0643, 0.0622, 0.0553, 0.0659, 0.0618, 0.07, 0.0719, 0.0667, 0.0665, 0.0771, 0.0801, 0.0761, 0.0848, 0.0999, 0.0965, 0.1055, 0.1081, 0.1064, 0.1126, 0.1213, 0.1079, 0.1071, 0.0997, 0.111, 0.1132, 0.1176, 0.1176, 0.125, 0.1248, 0.131, 0.1338, 0.1338, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2013642124500312097", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-20T15:57:48+00:00", "symbol": "FIG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Yeah $1B FY 2025 revenue, 91% gross margins (unholy) 40% y/y growth, $1.6B cash no debt. Seems oversold, AI like Opus doesn't replace figma.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish FIG: strong fundamentals + AI tools like Opus won't displace Figma, stock appears oversold.", "resolved_tickers": ["FIG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ShortsHoward @charlieliner Yeah $1B FY 2025 revenue, 91% gross margins (unholy) 40% y/y growth, $1.6B cash no debt.\n\nSeems oversold, AI like Opus doesn’t replace figma.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @charlieliner What’s thesis with FIG? Oversold?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ShortsHoward", "ret_m1d": 0.06520170933065184, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06520170933065184, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04442191376132287, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04442191376132287, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.020779795569328963, "bench_c_m1d": 0.020779795569328963, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02485592681442894, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02485592681442894, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0363970060165234, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0363970060165234, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.011541079202094462, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011541079202094462, "ret_p1w": 0.02521609689550841, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02521609689550841, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0012161845979292707, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0012161845979292707, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02643228149343768, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02643228149343768, "ret_p1m": -0.12860229342181162, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12860229342181162, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1414568665566065, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1414568665566065, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.012854573134794878, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012854573134794878, "ret_p3m": -0.31844380690568763, "ret_signed_p3m": -0.31844380690568763, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.3693594454952398, "alpha_c_p3m": -0.3693594454952398, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05091563858955217, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05091563858955217, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.9218, 0.9222, 0.9143, 0.8692, 0.8303, 0.7594, 0.7954, 0.7352, 0.6502, 0.5854, 0.6563, 0.594, 0.6001, 0.6023, 0.585, 0.4611, 0.388, 0.3465, 0.3242, 0.2875, 0.2093, 0.236, 0.2777, 0.2788, 0.3015, 0.3015, 0.2957, 0.2857, 0.3033, 0.3462, 0.3945, 0.3678, 0.3563, 0.3858, 0.4143, 0.3937, 0.2994, 0.2637, 0.2947, 0.3458, 0.3325, 0.4222, 0.4139, 0.3829, 0.3999, 0.3999, 0.3883, 0.3628, 0.3555, 0.3462, 0.3462, 0.3548, 0.3354, 0.3505, 0.3422, 0.3426, 0.3447, 0.3112, 0.2089, 0.1657, 0.1383, 0.0652, 0.0652, 0.0, -0.0249, 0.0238, 0.0421, 0.0508, 0.0252, 0.0829, -0.0249, -0.0663, -0.1354, -0.2295, -0.1891, -0.2003, -0.2079, -0.2028, -0.1318, -0.187, -0.2068, -0.1884, -0.1884, -0.1679, -0.1286, -0.0684, -0.0602, -0.1084, -0.0119, 0.1254, 0.0886, 0.0587, 0.0551, 0.1073, 0.0677, 0.0915, 0.0486, 0.098, 0.0213, 0.0029, -0.0573, -0.0623, -0.0216, -0.0112, -0.0901, -0.1275, -0.1452, -0.1643, -0.2122, -0.2403, -0.2021, -0.2727, -0.2738, -0.2385, -0.2644, -0.2338, -0.2338, -0.2284, -0.2367, -0.2741, -0.3127, -0.3458, -0.3091, -0.3365, -0.2673, -0.268, -0.3184, -0.3152, -0.3256, -0.3094, -0.3761, -0.3707, -0.3764, -0.3811, -0.3927, -0.3624, -0.3249, -0.281, -0.3004, -0.3051, -0.2594, -0.2558, -0.2777, -0.3037, -0.3177, -0.2709, -0.1744, -0.1225, -0.1617, -0.1866, -0.2223, -0.1819, -0.1819, -0.2089, -0.2313, -0.1549, -0.0814, -0.0814, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2034342979507568672", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-18T18:55:37+00:00", "symbol": "XLU", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm personally just sitting on my positions", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Still holding XLU long; boring multi-year trade, nothing changed in the thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["XLU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Darkhawk720 @_stockResearch Nothing's changed with $XLU, it's boring multi-year trade. So I'm personally just sitting on my positions.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @_stockResearch Hi do you think the thesis for $XLU is still in play?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Darkhawk720", "ret_m1d": 0.008559845635066399, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.008559845635066399, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.005591259251476632, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005591259251476632, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.014151104886543031, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014151104886543031, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004065865024066251, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004065865024066251, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0016015245388744104, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0016015245388744104, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0024643404851918405, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0024643404851918405, "ret_p1w": -0.024901316808904728, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.024901316808904728, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02064356787239352, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02064356787239352, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0042577489365112076, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0042577489365112076, "ret_p1m": -0.0011972933033203015, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0011972933033203015, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06491714554467365, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06491714554467365, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06371985224135335, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06371985224135335, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0945, -0.0912, -0.088, -0.0839, -0.0839, -0.0845, -0.0828, -0.0807, -0.0865, -0.0865, -0.076, -0.0862, -0.0817, -0.104, -0.1014, -0.0903, -0.0888, -0.083, -0.0762, -0.0668, -0.0715, -0.0715, -0.0807, -0.0794, -0.086, -0.0892, -0.0826, -0.0706, -0.0728, -0.0728, -0.0745, -0.088, -0.0747, -0.0781, -0.0777, -0.0723, -0.0695, -0.0541, -0.0458, -0.0317, -0.0049, -0.0049, -0.0075, -0.024, -0.0133, -0.0086, -0.0011, 0.0101, 0.0135, 0.0096, 0.0214, 0.0137, 0.0073, 0.0116, 0.0036, 0.0002, 0.0026, -0.0036, -0.012, -0.0049, 0.0049, 0.0113, 0.0086, 0.0, -0.0041, -0.0445, -0.035, -0.0283, -0.0249, -0.0232, -0.0176, -0.0105, -0.0111, -0.0064, -0.0014, -0.0014, -0.0051, -0.0029, 0.0081, 0.016, 0.0119, -0.0003, 0.0014, -0.0083, -0.0012, -0.0053, -0.0141, -0.0314, -0.0331, -0.0068, -0.0049, -0.0046, -0.0034, -0.0156, 0.0096, 0.0031, -0.0008, -0.0008, -0.015, -0.0277, -0.0363, -0.0273, -0.0262, -0.0374, -0.0324, -0.0546, -0.0531, -0.0445, -0.0408, -0.0303, -0.0227, -0.0227, -0.0232, -0.0273, -0.0383, -0.0428, -0.0428, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2029098758848561618", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-04T07:36:57+00:00", "symbol": "000660.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm personally cost averaging into SK Hynix and rotating my other names back into memory", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Cost-averaging into SK Hynix and memory broadly; views current volatility as a buying opportunity with mid-term recovery ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’m personally cost averaging into SK Hynix and rotating my other names back into memory. \n\nUS/Australia/Malaysia will fill the LNG gap as memory is critical to America’s AI buildout. Especially so it doesn’t lose to China. \n\nI just see this as a buying opportunity like when everyone panic sold $NVDA the other year. Don’t know how many days this volatility lasts + hard to time the bottom, but mid term I see it recovering.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I started to load today , bought some $KORU, will see the price action of $ewy tomorrow in US session to determine if to load more.\n5000 level looks like a solid support for KOSPI.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "labubu_trader", "ret_m1d": 0.10600704814534301, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.10600704814534301, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.11301292785677886, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.1211145784948564, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007005879711435847, "bench_c_m1d": -0.015107530349513398, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10836278650531161, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10836278650531161, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.11393833335170545, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.1725884140041556, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005575546846393831, "bench_c_p1d": -0.06422562749884397, "ret_p1w": 0.12485273414010845, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12485273414010845, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.137696966049484, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13616470160982708, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012844231909375559, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011311967469718631, "ret_p1m": -0.02237925672055452, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02237925672055452, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.01777207699873884, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0632052695018066, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04015133371929336, "bench_c_p1m": -0.08558452622236112, "ret_p3m": 1.805533816791662, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.805533816791662, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.6983775698986294, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.2737186101933058, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10715624689303249, "bench_c_p3m": 0.5318152065983561, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3604, -0.3216, -0.3346, -0.3099, -0.3357, -0.3287, -0.3487, -0.3769, -0.3522, -0.351, -0.3569, -0.3181, -0.3134, -0.3087, -0.3087, -0.2958, -0.2476, -0.2346, -0.2346, -0.2346, -0.2041, -0.1817, -0.1465, -0.1276, -0.1112, -0.1253, -0.1194, -0.1323, -0.1276, -0.1194, -0.1112, -0.1018, -0.1265, -0.13, -0.1124, -0.0982, -0.1347, -0.0595, -0.0112, 0.0123, 0.0687, -0.0242, 0.0663, 0.0581, -0.0101, -0.0136, 0.0428, 0.0299, 0.0111, 0.044, 0.0346, 0.0346, 0.0346, 0.0346, 0.0511, 0.1157, 0.1181, 0.1816, 0.1968, 0.2945, 0.2497, 0.2497, 0.106, 0.0, 0.1084, 0.0883, -0.0153, 0.1048, 0.1249, 0.0954, 0.0718, 0.1472, 0.1425, 0.2438, 0.1932, 0.1861, 0.0989, 0.1614, 0.172, 0.0989, 0.0989, 0.0283, -0.0495, 0.0565, -0.0224, 0.0318, 0.0436, 0.0789, 0.2167, 0.1755, 0.2097, 0.225, 0.2992, 0.338, 0.3604, 0.3286, 0.3734, 0.4417, 0.4405, 0.4429, 0.4393, 0.5218, 0.5312, 0.523, 0.5147, 0.5147, 0.7044, 0.7044, 0.8857, 0.9482, 0.9859, 1.2144, 1.1614, 1.3274, 1.3204, 1.1425, 1.1673, 1.0554, 1.0554, 1.285, 1.2862, 1.2862, 1.417, 1.6419, 1.6966, 1.7484, 1.8055, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2029098758848561618", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-04T07:36:57+00:00", "symbol": "memory", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "rotating my other names back into memory. memory is critical to America's AI buildout", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Cost-averaging into SK Hynix and memory broadly; views current volatility as a buying opportunity with mid-term recovery ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU", "SNDK"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "US memory sector: Micron and SanDisk", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’m personally cost averaging into SK Hynix and rotating my other names back into memory. \n\nUS/Australia/Malaysia will fill the LNG gap as memory is critical to America’s AI buildout. Especially so it doesn’t lose to China. \n\nI just see this as a buying opportunity like when everyone panic sold $NVDA the other year. Don’t know how many days this volatility lasts + hard to time the bottom, but mid term I see it recovering.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I started to load today , bought some $KORU, will see the price action of $ewy tomorrow in US session to determine if to load more.\n5000 level looks like a solid support for KOSPI.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "labubu_trader", "ret_m1d": -0.05439750415613931, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05439750415613931, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04739162444470346, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.034252156068030004, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007005879711435847, "bench_c_m1d": -0.020145348088109305, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03257644462129872, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03257644462129872, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.027000897774904886, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02318030344703037, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.005575546846393831, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009396141174268346, "ret_p1w": 0.06940570873153828, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06940570873153828, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08224994064091384, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0645698464256863, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.012844231909375559, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004835862305851979, "ret_p1m": 0.0426881542266791, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0426881542266791, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08283948794597246, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05967637441111656, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04015133371929336, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016988220184437464, "ret_p3m": 1.6266266912056155, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.6266266912056155, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.519470444312583, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.1259251539562396, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.10715624689303249, "bench_c_p3m": 0.5007015372493759, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5135, -0.5039, -0.502, -0.4768, -0.476, -0.5272, -0.5353, -0.5353, -0.5461, -0.5069, -0.4701, -0.4539, -0.4511, -0.4338, -0.4338, -0.4361, -0.4289, -0.4344, -0.4458, -0.4458, -0.3768, -0.3818, -0.2797, -0.2813, -0.3128, -0.2545, -0.2436, -0.2528, -0.2604, -0.2385, -0.2022, -0.2022, -0.1664, -0.0961, -0.0838, -0.1059, -0.1216, -0.0864, -0.0166, -0.0062, -0.0014, 0.1014, 0.1038, -0.0388, -0.0414, -0.0085, -0.0346, -0.0823, 0.0122, 0.0425, 0.0365, 0.0365, -0.0083, 0.0263, 0.0391, 0.0767, 0.0815, 0.0544, 0.063, 0.0626, 0.0448, 0.0316, -0.0544, 0.0, -0.0326, -0.0979, -0.0229, 0.0195, 0.0694, 0.0222, 0.0839, 0.1385, 0.1771, 0.2051, 0.1987, 0.12, 0.0908, 0.0798, 0.0425, -0.0531, -0.0403, -0.1205, -0.0481, 0.0373, 0.0427, 0.0427, 0.0763, 0.0645, 0.1594, 0.2369, 0.2359, 0.3274, 0.3695, 0.3137, 0.3381, 0.3367, 0.3217, 0.315, 0.4256, 0.3795, 0.4462, 0.5479, 0.466, 0.5353, 0.5607, 0.6675, 0.7677, 0.9728, 1.0088, 0.9255, 1.2361, 1.2843, 1.1687, 1.2109, 1.1226, 1.0793, 0.9632, 1.0267, 1.0759, 1.2384, 1.1715, 1.1715, 1.4449, 1.4858, 1.5228, 1.6266, 1.6266, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2030303709675360520", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-07T15:25:00+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Substrates/EML lasers in photonics from $AXTI and $LITE... are those bottlenecks. And they end up individually more profitable", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AXTI, LITE, SNDK as critical materials bottlenecks more profitable than crowded shovel-sellers; implicitly bearish on NVDA as overowned.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Markets have got it wrong when they say:\n\n\"When Everyone Digs for Gold, Sell Shovels\"\n\nYou know why? \n\nThe real alpha comes from:\n\nBottlenecking the Shovel Sellers. \n\nSubstrates/EML lasers in photonics from $AXTI and $LITE. \n\nto \n\n$SNDK to Sk Hynix for NAND/DRAM are those bottlenecks. \n\nAnd they end up individually more profitable, than the investors who crowd around shovel sellers like $NVDA. \n\nThe saying should go:\n\n\"When Everyone Digs for Gold, Profit off the Materials at jacked up prices that the Shovel Sellers need to Sell the Shovels\".", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.1605291032404843, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1605291032404843, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.15184514987612907, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.125511232384234, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0350178708562503, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.14885886046013996, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.14885886046013996, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.1504659873655071, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.1413532401246005, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007505620335539476, "ret_p1w": 0.2549273253700213, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2549273253700213, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.26855023209422, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2560683393797697, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00114101400974842, "ret_p1m": 0.17894184298346505, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.17894184298346505, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.20437380740307753, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.164919481120835, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": 0.014022361862630062, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5978, -0.5752, -0.6159, -0.6154, -0.6629, -0.6795, -0.6367, -0.6201, -0.6053, -0.6203, -0.6107, -0.6107, -0.6014, -0.6216, -0.5902, -0.576, -0.576, -0.5654, -0.5677, -0.4769, -0.3747, -0.3301, -0.4038, -0.4232, -0.4422, -0.4269, -0.333, -0.4271, -0.4271, -0.4448, -0.487, -0.5353, -0.5488, -0.5384, -0.5539, -0.5635, -0.5752, -0.5192, -0.457, -0.4881, -0.5137, -0.4702, -0.376, -0.2798, -0.3685, -0.305, -0.3571, -0.3714, -0.3714, -0.3981, -0.3895, -0.3825, -0.2303, -0.2627, -0.0902, 0.0625, -0.0373, -0.0171, 0.2012, 0.083, 0.0148, 0.0062, -0.1605, 0.0, 0.1489, 0.2282, 0.2119, 0.2671, 0.2549, 0.1504, 0.2645, 0.5065, 0.4066, 0.6712, 0.7749, 0.7466, 0.5174, 0.5724, 0.3675, 0.4777, 0.2225, 0.3703, 0.3703, 0.089, 0.1789, 0.3791, 0.6369, 0.6644, 0.7233, 0.7453, 0.632, 1.1209, 1.1411, 1.0425, 0.9442, 1.2547, 0.952, 0.9751, 0.8192, 0.7819, 0.8431, 1.0545, 1.4896, 1.749, 1.7892, 1.7186, 1.8117, 2.0176, 2.2627, 2.1872, 2.1623, 1.9818, 2.2101, 1.7459, 1.9274, 1.7129, 2.1385, 2.6522, 2.6522, 2.4388, 2.1839, 2.0005, 1.6753, 1.6753, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2030303709675360520", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-07T15:25:00+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Substrates/EML lasers in photonics from $AXTI and $LITE... are those bottlenecks. And they end up individually more profitable", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AXTI, LITE, SNDK as critical materials bottlenecks more profitable than crowded shovel-sellers; implicitly bearish on NVDA as overowned.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Markets have got it wrong when they say:\n\n\"When Everyone Digs for Gold, Sell Shovels\"\n\nYou know why? \n\nThe real alpha comes from:\n\nBottlenecking the Shovel Sellers. \n\nSubstrates/EML lasers in photonics from $AXTI and $LITE. \n\nto \n\n$SNDK to Sk Hynix for NAND/DRAM are those bottlenecks. \n\nAnd they end up individually more profitable, than the investors who crowd around shovel sellers like $NVDA. \n\nThe saying should go:\n\n\"When Everyone Digs for Gold, Profit off the Materials at jacked up prices that the Shovel Sellers need to Sell the Shovels\".", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.12837721782231515, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.12837721782231515, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11969326445795991, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.11969326445795991, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04886918390997863, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04886918390997863, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05047631081534576, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05047631081534576, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "ret_p1w": -0.024738915115796623, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.024738915115796623, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.011116008391597876, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.011116008391597876, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "ret_p1m": 0.2732366618669124, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2732366618669124, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2986686262865249, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2986686262865249, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4287, -0.4192, -0.4937, -0.4776, -0.5065, -0.5001, -0.4738, -0.4203, -0.3915, -0.3953, -0.382, -0.382, -0.3901, -0.4184, -0.4207, -0.4247, -0.4247, -0.3974, -0.4427, -0.3797, -0.3868, -0.4564, -0.4515, -0.4695, -0.436, -0.4824, -0.4642, -0.4939, -0.4939, -0.4431, -0.4343, -0.4467, -0.4706, -0.4811, -0.4215, -0.3991, -0.4046, -0.3884, -0.3391, -0.3209, -0.2734, -0.2127, -0.1384, -0.0992, -0.1242, -0.1039, -0.0893, -0.1217, -0.1217, -0.0629, -0.0725, -0.0079, 0.0423, 0.0531, 0.0743, 0.1291, 0.0567, 0.094, 0.2225, 0.0839, 0.0626, 0.0158, -0.1284, 0.0, 0.0489, 0.0489, -0.0384, -0.0284, -0.0247, 0.0138, 0.0938, 0.2052, 0.1025, 0.1378, 0.2518, 0.213, 0.0751, 0.0968, 0.022, 0.0969, 0.1935, 0.2906, 0.2906, 0.2054, 0.2732, 0.3985, 0.3956, 0.4005, 0.3598, 0.331, 0.2861, 0.391, 0.3955, 0.3971, 0.3063, 0.3635, 0.3218, 0.3761, 0.3418, 0.2352, 0.3397, 0.4084, 0.4827, 0.5236, 0.5523, 0.4738, 0.3932, 0.4107, 0.6437, 0.5489, 0.6082, 0.5636, 0.5151, 0.3813, 0.3893, 0.3549, 0.5054, 0.4779, 0.4779, 0.4216, 0.4083, 0.3433, 0.3344, 0.3344, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2030303709675360520", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-07T15:25:00+00:00", "symbol": "SNDK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SNDK to Sk Hynix for NAND/DRAM are those bottlenecks. And they end up individually more profitable", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AXTI, LITE, SNDK as critical materials bottlenecks more profitable than crowded shovel-sellers; implicitly bearish on NVDA as overowned.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNDK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Markets have got it wrong when they say:\n\n\"When Everyone Digs for Gold, Sell Shovels\"\n\nYou know why? \n\nThe real alpha comes from:\n\nBottlenecking the Shovel Sellers. \n\nSubstrates/EML lasers in photonics from $AXTI and $LITE. \n\nto \n\n$SNDK to Sk Hynix for NAND/DRAM are those bottlenecks. \n\nAnd they end up individually more profitable, than the investors who crowd around shovel sellers like $NVDA. \n\nThe saying should go:\n\n\"When Everyone Digs for Gold, Profit off the Materials at jacked up prices that the Shovel Sellers need to Sell the Shovels\".", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.10429223144032729, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10429223144032729, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09560827807597205, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09560827807597205, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05122897623741518, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05122897623741518, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05283610314278231, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05283610314278231, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "ret_p1w": 0.19516591345081236, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.19516591345081236, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2087888201750111, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2087888201750111, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "ret_p1m": 0.20734464249132678, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.20734464249132678, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.23277660691093927, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.23277660691093927, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6045, -0.5896, -0.6498, -0.6571, -0.6445, -0.6487, -0.6272, -0.5964, -0.5906, -0.584, -0.5752, -0.5752, -0.5753, -0.5851, -0.592, -0.5968, -0.5968, -0.5325, -0.5345, -0.4061, -0.3995, -0.4318, -0.3589, -0.3388, -0.3379, -0.3413, -0.3049, -0.2974, -0.2974, -0.2303, -0.1485, -0.1449, -0.1952, -0.2003, -0.1823, -0.1038, -0.084, -0.0212, 0.13, 0.1814, -0.0071, -0.0213, 0.0157, -0.0091, -0.08, 0.018, 0.0706, 0.0643, 0.0643, 0.0032, 0.0198, 0.055, 0.104, 0.1321, 0.0846, 0.0741, 0.1073, 0.0792, 0.0516, -0.0396, 0.0175, -0.0393, -0.1043, 0.0, 0.0512, 0.1133, 0.0511, 0.1238, 0.1952, 0.2233, 0.2802, 0.3115, 0.2055, 0.1932, 0.1932, 0.1514, 0.0245, 0.046, -0.0276, 0.0792, 0.1767, 0.1917, 0.1917, 0.2308, 0.2073, 0.3264, 0.4465, 0.4468, 0.6179, 0.6042, 0.5147, 0.5618, 0.5644, 0.5508, 0.5346, 0.663, 0.5838, 0.6814, 0.8178, 0.7026, 0.8076, 0.8625, 1.0162, 1.1332, 1.3887, 1.395, 1.276, 1.6537, 1.6286, 1.4664, 1.4582, 1.3486, 1.3909, 1.2642, 1.3496, 1.3654, 1.6196, 1.5117, 1.5117, 1.7, 1.7006, 1.7884, 1.879, 1.879, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2030303709675360520", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-03-07T15:25:00+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "more profitable, than the investors who crowd around shovel sellers like $NVDA", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AXTI, LITE, SNDK as critical materials bottlenecks more profitable than crowded shovel-sellers; implicitly bearish on NVDA as overowned.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Markets have got it wrong when they say:\n\n\"When Everyone Digs for Gold, Sell Shovels\"\n\nYou know why? \n\nThe real alpha comes from:\n\nBottlenecking the Shovel Sellers. \n\nSubstrates/EML lasers in photonics from $AXTI and $LITE. \n\nto \n\n$SNDK to Sk Hynix for NAND/DRAM are those bottlenecks. \n\nAnd they end up individually more profitable, than the investors who crowd around shovel sellers like $NVDA. \n\nThe saying should go:\n\n\"When Everyone Digs for Gold, Profit off the Materials at jacked up prices that the Shovel Sellers need to Sell the Shovels\".", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02644395731752247, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02644395731752247, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.017760003953167236, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.017760003953167236, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011606999188437328, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011606999188437328, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013214126093804457, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013214126093804457, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "ret_p1w": 0.003175069438979161, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.003175069438979161, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.016797976163177908, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.016797976163177908, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "ret_p1m": -0.024858177056990338, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.024858177056990338, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0005737873626221468, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0005737873626221468, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0062, -0.0094, -0.0418, -0.0348, -0.027, -0.0641, -0.0466, -0.0091, 0.0057, 0.0359, 0.0326, 0.0326, 0.0431, 0.0305, 0.0268, 0.0211, 0.0211, 0.0339, 0.0299, 0.0251, 0.0354, 0.0131, 0.0121, 0.0125, 0.0173, 0.0027, 0.0241, 0.0196, 0.0196, -0.0251, 0.0037, 0.012, 0.0275, 0.0209, 0.0321, 0.0486, 0.054, 0.0464, 0.0162, -0.0126, -0.0463, -0.059, 0.0151, 0.0405, 0.0322, 0.0405, 0.0235, 0.0009, 0.0009, 0.0127, 0.0292, 0.0287, 0.0393, 0.0487, 0.0558, 0.0707, 0.0123, -0.0299, -0.0009, -0.0142, 0.0021, 0.0038, -0.0264, 0.0, 0.0116, 0.0186, 0.0027, -0.0131, 0.0032, -0.0039, -0.0123, -0.0223, -0.0544, -0.0383, -0.0407, -0.0217, -0.0624, -0.0828, -0.0957, -0.0451, -0.0377, -0.0287, -0.0287, -0.0274, -0.0249, -0.0031, 0.007, 0.0328, 0.0365, 0.0759, 0.0889, 0.086, 0.1042, 0.1063, 0.0944, 0.1087, 0.0931, 0.1403, 0.186, 0.1672, 0.1457, 0.0927, 0.0866, 0.0867, 0.0759, 0.1379, 0.158, 0.1783, 0.2015, 0.2088, 0.2365, 0.2907, 0.2337, 0.2173, 0.2079, 0.2236, 0.2019, 0.179, 0.179, 0.1764, 0.164, 0.1731, 0.156, 0.156, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2028737716544802841", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-03T07:42:18+00:00", "symbol": "005930.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Operating income of the Korean tech giants are strong and seems like an opportunity to buy off all the leveraged degens", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Intraday drop in Samsung and SK Hynix seen as a buying opportunity; pricing power intact with DRAM/NAND hikes offsetting energy costs.", "resolved_tickers": ["005930.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "And… there goes all the 10x leverage Samsung and Sk Hynix.\n\nI said earlier that $EWY and KOSPI would be extremely volatile with the new leveraged instruments.\n\nAnd the best way to profit was off the mispriced volatility. Especially because it’s basically two stocks.\n\nIV will probably be hiked quite a bit up l after the 10% intraday drop.\n\nThis seemed mainly macro and liquidity positioning as the drop followed reports of dram/nand price hikes. \n\nThe main headwind was energy costs but unlike previous years where this compressed margins, Samsung, SK Hynix have complete pricing power and can pass through costs this time around.\n\nOperating income of the Korean tech giants are strong and seems like an opportunity to buy off all the leveraged degens.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.10968733550663545, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.10968733550663545, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.10079461356259167, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.09485101865809864, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00889272194404378, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014836316848536812, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.11737572377080441, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.11737572377080441, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.12443103212388906, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.1343938159729241, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007055308353084655, "bench_c_p1d": 0.017018092202119695, "ret_p1w": -0.03690413526337277, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03690413526337277, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03227394297320518, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.053340450334133704, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00463019229016759, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016436315070760932, "ret_p1m": -0.02592240876830343, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.02592240876830343, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.008326530771928464, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.008305983897664349, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03424893954023189, "bench_c_p1m": -0.01761642487063908, "ret_p3m": 0.6281708221484199, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.6281708221484199, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.5132032465385132, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.23720714544139399, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11496757560990667, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3909636767070259, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4639, -0.4471, -0.4415, -0.4471, -0.4491, -0.4527, -0.4445, -0.4654, -0.4756, -0.4496, -0.4512, -0.4578, -0.4364, -0.4313, -0.4333, -0.4333, -0.4032, -0.3875, -0.3854, -0.3854, -0.3854, -0.3414, -0.2922, -0.2881, -0.2773, -0.2886, -0.2875, -0.2886, -0.2947, -0.2809, -0.2624, -0.2368, -0.2348, -0.2558, -0.2337, -0.2194, -0.2204, -0.2204, -0.1825, -0.1676, -0.1763, -0.1773, -0.2291, -0.1415, -0.1333, -0.1835, -0.1871, -0.1471, -0.1502, -0.1399, -0.0846, -0.0712, -0.0712, -0.0712, -0.0712, -0.0261, -0.0256, -0.0108, 0.0251, 0.0431, 0.1174, 0.1097, 0.1097, 0.0, -0.1174, -0.0179, -0.0354, -0.1107, -0.0369, -0.0261, -0.0369, -0.0595, -0.0328, -0.0062, 0.0687, 0.0277, 0.022, -0.0451, -0.0277, -0.0313, -0.0769, -0.0769, -0.0945, -0.1412, -0.0259, -0.0837, -0.0436, -0.0082, 0.0093, 0.0812, 0.0478, 0.0581, 0.0324, 0.0606, 0.0837, 0.1171, 0.1094, 0.1017, 0.1248, 0.1171, 0.1531, 0.1274, 0.1531, 0.1402, 0.1608, 0.1325, 0.1325, 0.1942, 0.1942, 0.3662, 0.3945, 0.3791, 0.4664, 0.433, 0.4587, 0.5203, 0.3893, 0.4433, 0.415, 0.4176, 0.5383, 0.5023, 0.5023, 0.5357, 0.5768, 0.5383, 0.6282, 0.7797, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2028737716544802841", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-03T07:42:18+00:00", "symbol": "000660.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Operating income of the Korean tech giants are strong and seems like an opportunity to buy off all the leveraged degens", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Intraday drop in Samsung and SK Hynix seen as a buying opportunity; pricing power intact with DRAM/NAND hikes offsetting energy costs.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "And… there goes all the 10x leverage Samsung and Sk Hynix.\n\nI said earlier that $EWY and KOSPI would be extremely volatile with the new leveraged instruments.\n\nAnd the best way to profit was off the mispriced volatility. Especially because it’s basically two stocks.\n\nIV will probably be hiked quite a bit up l after the 10% intraday drop.\n\nThis seemed mainly macro and liquidity positioning as the drop followed reports of dram/nand price hikes. \n\nThe main headwind was energy costs but unlike previous years where this compressed margins, Samsung, SK Hynix have complete pricing power and can pass through costs this time around.\n\nOperating income of the Korean tech giants are strong and seems like an opportunity to buy off all the leveraged degens.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.12992547742274274, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.12992547742274274, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.12103275547869896, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.015069822527350896, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00889272194404378, "bench_c_m1d": 0.11485565489539185, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09584662984119818, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09584662984119818, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.10290193819428284, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.1111858986599299, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007055308353084655, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01533926881873171, "ret_p1w": -0.0010649411030385636, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0010649411030385636, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.003565251187129026, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.014349849153750482, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.00463019229016759, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015414790256789046, "ret_p1m": -0.04472845832583294, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04472845832583294, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01047951878560105, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0015160277444395964, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.03424893954023189, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04624448607027254, "ret_p3m": 1.4849735259249948, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.4849735259249948, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.370005950315088, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.9296613940920053, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.11496757560990667, "bench_c_p3m": 0.5553121318329894, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4239, -0.4217, -0.3866, -0.3983, -0.376, -0.3994, -0.393, -0.4111, -0.4366, -0.4143, -0.4132, -0.4185, -0.3835, -0.3792, -0.375, -0.375, -0.3633, -0.3197, -0.308, -0.308, -0.308, -0.2803, -0.2602, -0.2283, -0.2113, -0.1964, -0.2091, -0.2038, -0.2155, -0.2113, -0.2038, -0.1964, -0.1879, -0.2102, -0.2134, -0.1974, -0.1847, -0.2176, -0.1496, -0.106, -0.0848, -0.0337, -0.1177, -0.0359, -0.0433, -0.105, -0.1081, -0.0571, -0.0688, -0.0858, -0.0561, -0.0646, -0.0646, -0.0646, -0.0646, -0.0497, 0.0088, 0.0109, 0.0683, 0.0821, 0.1704, 0.1299, 0.1299, 0.0, -0.0958, 0.0021, -0.016, -0.1097, -0.0011, 0.017, -0.0096, -0.0309, 0.0373, 0.033, 0.1246, 0.0788, 0.0724, -0.0064, 0.0501, 0.0596, -0.0064, -0.0064, -0.0703, -0.1406, -0.0447, -0.1161, -0.0671, -0.0564, -0.0245, 0.1001, 0.0628, 0.0937, 0.1076, 0.1747, 0.2098, 0.23, 0.2013, 0.2417, 0.3035, 0.3024, 0.3046, 0.3014, 0.3759, 0.3845, 0.377, 0.3695, 0.3695, 0.541, 0.541, 0.705, 0.7614, 0.7955, 1.0021, 0.9542, 1.1044, 1.098, 0.9372, 0.9595, 0.8584, 0.8584, 1.066, 1.0671, 1.0671, 1.1853, 1.3887, 1.4381, 1.485, 1.5366, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2036099544753361205", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-23T15:15:35+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "once that's done I think it'll blow past $130", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AAOI; ATM overhang temporary, expects price to blow past $130 on capacity-to-revenue undervaluation.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Taylor_GPT $AAOI $250m ATM at $100. \n\nStructural overhang, but once that’s done I think it’ll blow past $130.\n\nUndervalued relative to capacity -&gt; revenue", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Why is $AAOI underperforming?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Taylor_GPT", "ret_m1d": -0.08583960983009542, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08583960983009542, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07544869538678489, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07544869538678489, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010390914443310528, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010390914443310528, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.18943190251648123, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.18943190251648123, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.1927887522687477, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.1927887522687477, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0033568497522664664, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0033568497522664664, "ret_p1w": -0.1103801113098043, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1103801113098043, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07466032430795122, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07466032430795122, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.035719787001853076, "bench_c_p1w": -0.035719787001853076, "ret_p1m": 0.5723684624611249, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5723684624611249, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4980604093557526, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4980604093557526, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07430805310537236, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07430805310537236, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5718, -0.5718, -0.6118, -0.6162, -0.6239, -0.636, -0.636, -0.5865, -0.6346, -0.5968, -0.6026, -0.6553, -0.6445, -0.6479, -0.6431, -0.64, -0.6136, -0.6132, -0.6132, -0.59, -0.5992, -0.6016, -0.627, -0.6357, -0.6095, -0.5277, -0.5868, -0.5446, -0.5388, -0.5184, -0.5833, -0.6018, -0.5374, -0.4997, -0.4936, -0.4946, -0.5406, -0.5357, -0.5357, -0.5415, -0.5464, -0.5094, -0.4603, -0.4365, -0.4124, -0.3931, -0.4393, -0.1204, 0.0705, -0.0044, 0.0412, 0.0562, -0.0019, 0.1552, 0.2582, 0.3263, 0.1089, 0.011, -0.0176, -0.0985, -0.0327, 0.0643, -0.0858, 0.0, 0.1894, 0.1948, 0.0173, 0.0256, -0.1104, -0.1166, -0.0983, 0.0851, 0.0851, 0.1221, 0.2285, 0.3858, 0.392, 0.5727, 0.5997, 0.5287, 0.4886, 0.6429, 0.6648, 0.7071, 0.5724, 0.5604, 0.4383, 0.6935, 0.5223, 0.4334, 0.596, 0.7164, 0.9164, 0.8064, 0.8857, 0.8645, 0.6453, 0.5553, 0.9309, 0.9662, 1.3298, 1.1258, 0.9879, 0.8093, 0.7892, 0.7258, 0.8464, 0.8953, 0.8953, 0.8548, 0.8779, 0.765, 0.6542, 0.6542, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2023333225423425645", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-16T09:46:47+00:00", "symbol": "SNDK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SNDK, $MU, and the memory trade appear to have no shortage in sight. The memory demand for AI looks structural and exponentially growing.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish memory trade (SNDK, MU): Phison CEO dismisses YMTC/CXMT flood fears; AI demand structural and exponentially growing.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNDK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Interesting comment from Phison's CEO interview was this.\n\nWhen addressing the rumor that Chinese memory makers (YMTC and CXMT) will flood the market:\n\nPua says: \n\n\"The people saying that are talking in their sleep/dreaming\". \n\n$SNDK, $MU, and the memory trade appear to have no shortage in sight. \n\nThe memory demand for AI looks structural and exponentially growing.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "TLDR of Phison CEO interview on Memory and Investment Framework:\n\n\"Toll Collectors\": \n- Micron ( $MU ) \n- SK Hynix (000660.KS)\n- Samsung Electronics,\n- Western Digital ( $WDC )\n- $SNDK.\n\nT2: \n- $MRVL\n- $SIMO\n- Phison Electronics\n\nCompanies that design the logic/software", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05740866133057143, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05740866133057143, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05902212780129645, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05902212780129645, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0016134664707250224, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0016134664707250224, "ret_p1w": 0.06372892114301809, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06372892114301809, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06279008887512494, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06279008887512494, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0009388322678931527, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0009388322678931527, "ret_p1m": 0.14940306709064743, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14940306709064743, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1654793802035075, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1654793802035075, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016076313112860063, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016076313112860063, "ret_p3m": 1.2068436799204019, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.2068436799204019, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.1064208552902837, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.1064208552902837, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1004228246301182, "bench_c_p3m": 0.1004228246301182, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6074, -0.6872, -0.6804, -0.6378, -0.6481, -0.6568, -0.6568, -0.6436, -0.6646, -0.6723, -0.6898, -0.6596, -0.6354, -0.6401, -0.6497, -0.6284, -0.6144, -0.6709, -0.6778, -0.6659, -0.6699, -0.6497, -0.6208, -0.6153, -0.6091, -0.6009, -0.6009, -0.6009, -0.6102, -0.6166, -0.6211, -0.6211, -0.5607, -0.5626, -0.442, -0.4357, -0.4661, -0.3976, -0.3787, -0.3779, -0.381, -0.3468, -0.3399, -0.3399, -0.2768, -0.1999, -0.1965, -0.2438, -0.2486, -0.2316, -0.1579, -0.1393, -0.0803, 0.0617, 0.11, -0.067, -0.0804, -0.0457, -0.0689, -0.1355, -0.0434, 0.006, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0574, -0.0418, -0.0087, 0.0374, 0.0637, 0.0191, 0.0093, 0.0404, 0.014, -0.0119, -0.0976, -0.0439, -0.0973, -0.1584, -0.0604, -0.0122, 0.0461, -0.0124, 0.056, 0.123, 0.1494, 0.2029, 0.2323, 0.1327, 0.1212, 0.1212, 0.0819, -0.0373, -0.0171, -0.0863, 0.014, 0.1056, 0.1197, 0.1197, 0.1565, 0.1344, 0.2463, 0.3591, 0.3594, 0.5202, 0.5074, 0.4232, 0.4675, 0.4699, 0.4572, 0.442, 0.5626, 0.4882, 0.5799, 0.7081, 0.5998, 0.6985, 0.75, 0.8945, 1.0044, 1.2445, 1.2504, 1.1386, 1.4935, 1.4699, 1.3174, 1.3098, 1.2068, 1.2466, 1.1275, 1.2078, 1.2225, 1.4614, 1.36, 1.36, 1.5369, 1.5376, 1.6201, 1.7052, 1.7052, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2023333225423425645", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-16T09:46:47+00:00", "symbol": "MU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SNDK, $MU, and the memory trade appear to have no shortage in sight. The memory demand for AI looks structural and exponentially growing.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish memory trade (SNDK, MU): Phison CEO dismisses YMTC/CXMT flood fears; AI demand structural and exponentially growing.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Interesting comment from Phison's CEO interview was this.\n\nWhen addressing the rumor that Chinese memory makers (YMTC and CXMT) will flood the market:\n\nPua says: \n\n\"The people saying that are talking in their sleep/dreaming\". \n\n$SNDK, $MU, and the memory trade appear to have no shortage in sight. \n\nThe memory demand for AI looks structural and exponentially growing.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "TLDR of Phison CEO interview on Memory and Investment Framework:\n\n\"Toll Collectors\": \n- Micron ( $MU ) \n- SK Hynix (000660.KS)\n- Samsung Electronics,\n- Western Digital ( $WDC )\n- $SNDK.\n\nT2: \n- $MRVL\n- $SIMO\n- Phison Electronics\n\nCompanies that design the logic/software", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.028858812376002296, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.028858812376002296, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03047227884672732, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.028343773980904152, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0016134664707250224, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0005150383950981441, "ret_p1w": 0.02261575181900466, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02261575181900466, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.021676919551111506, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.009959998736839282, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0009388322678931527, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012655753082165377, "ret_p1m": 0.1215322809297894, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1215322809297894, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.13760859404264947, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14811914521271874, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.016076313112860063, "bench_c_p1m": -0.026586864282929334, "ret_p3m": 0.8858669239271291, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.8858669239271291, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.7854440992970109, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.4673934001266442, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.1004228246301182, "bench_c_p3m": 0.41847352380048486, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4514, -0.511, -0.4965, -0.4563, -0.4548, -0.4409, -0.4409, -0.4258, -0.4161, -0.4185, -0.4314, -0.4496, -0.424, -0.4004, -0.3871, -0.3597, -0.3724, -0.4145, -0.4233, -0.4354, -0.4524, -0.3965, -0.3543, -0.3284, -0.3292, -0.3039, -0.3039, -0.3085, -0.2849, -0.2891, -0.3067, -0.3067, -0.2338, -0.2417, -0.1657, -0.1752, -0.2056, -0.1617, -0.1598, -0.1786, -0.1902, -0.1823, -0.1188, -0.1188, -0.1133, -0.0548, -0.0342, -0.0292, -0.0548, -0.0034, 0.0574, 0.0586, 0.0078, 0.0635, 0.0189, -0.0784, -0.0699, -0.0412, -0.0684, -0.0933, -0.0032, 0.0056, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0289, 0.0226, 0.0138, 0.0401, 0.0226, 0.0154, 0.0421, 0.0095, 0.0017, 0.0025, -0.0777, -0.0265, -0.0355, -0.1005, -0.0543, -0.0208, 0.0171, -0.0153, 0.0352, 0.0732, 0.1215, 0.1216, 0.0792, 0.0273, -0.0178, -0.0392, -0.0718, -0.1365, -0.1322, -0.218, -0.179, -0.106, -0.11, -0.11, -0.082, -0.0824, -0.0116, 0.0244, 0.0221, 0.0366, 0.1317, 0.1087, 0.1112, 0.1059, 0.0898, 0.0921, 0.1847, 0.1707, 0.2071, 0.2748, 0.2255, 0.26, 0.2568, 0.3177, 0.4009, 0.5558, 0.62, 0.5714, 0.8149, 0.9328, 0.863, 0.953, 0.8859, 0.7611, 0.6563, 0.6981, 0.7789, 0.8521, 0.8251, 0.8251, 1.1772, 1.2562, 1.2443, 1.3597, 1.3597, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2031464140028654077", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-10T20:16:08+00:00", "symbol": "CODA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Defense companies like $CODA, $KRKNF, $OPTT, $MIND, $EXA, $ESLT and many others stand to benefit", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Aquatic defense/mine-clearance contractors named as key beneficiaries of Iran mining Strait of Hormuz; calls it the biggest catalyst of the decade.", "resolved_tickers": ["CODA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just in: Trump is angered after Iran mined the Strait of Hormuz.\n\n> Iran Places Underwater Mines\n> Trump Angry bc Oil\n> Urgent need to clear them \n> Mine Detection + Clearance Companies = Profit?\n\nIf you want to profit off the situation:\n\nDefense companies like $CODA, $KRKNF, $OPTT, $MIND, $EXA, $ESLT and many others stand to benefit.\n\nIt's the biggest catalyst of the decade for aquatic defense contractors, given the new news.\n\nJust need to figure out who stands to benefit the most.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.10799525029227619, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10799525029227619, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.10960496421219401, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.10960496421219401, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0016097139199178212, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0016097139199178212, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.12768498294140695, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.12768498294140695, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.12642982001288983, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.12642982001288983, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012551629285171284, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012551629285171284, "ret_p1w": -0.178997610920686, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.178997610920686, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.16956138495556938, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.16956138495556938, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009436225965116618, "bench_c_p1w": -0.009436225965116618, "ret_p1m": -0.28281621159825, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.28281621159825, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2838147927616417, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2838147927616417, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0009985811633916875, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0009985811633916875, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.463, -0.4576, -0.4576, -0.4475, -0.4702, -0.4511, -0.4403, -0.4296, -0.4475, -0.4308, -0.4308, -0.4415, -0.4714, -0.4463, -0.4451, -0.4451, -0.4326, -0.4021, -0.3992, -0.4051, -0.4004, -0.3887, -0.3998, -0.2846, -0.3052, -0.3156, -0.3252, -0.3252, -0.3562, -0.3138, -0.3473, -0.3646, -0.3741, -0.3956, -0.4087, -0.3514, -0.3646, -0.355, -0.3317, -0.3222, -0.3622, -0.3156, -0.256, -0.2202, -0.3061, -0.2285, -0.2005, -0.2005, -0.1826, -0.2181, -0.2133, -0.1972, -0.1748, -0.1504, -0.1163, -0.1498, -0.1909, -0.1647, -0.1772, -0.1563, -0.1659, -0.1408, -0.108, 0.0, -0.1277, -0.1348, -0.1611, -0.1874, -0.179, -0.2315, -0.2434, -0.2918, -0.281, -0.2876, -0.2876, -0.3109, -0.3204, -0.3502, -0.3258, -0.3067, -0.2906, -0.2906, -0.2965, -0.3019, -0.2828, -0.2613, -0.2709, -0.2124, -0.2303, -0.2237, -0.2017, -0.2082, -0.2491, -0.2828, -0.2804, -0.2655, -0.2685, -0.3305, -0.3365, -0.3449, -0.3252, -0.3067, -0.3126, -0.304, -0.2888, -0.29, -0.2774, -0.278, -0.2942, -0.3037, -0.2882, -0.318, -0.318, -0.3365, -0.3234, -0.3192, -0.2918, -0.2918, -0.2595, -0.2566, -0.2303, -0.2518, -0.2518, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2031464140028654077", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-10T20:16:08+00:00", "symbol": "KRKNF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Defense companies like $CODA, $KRKNF, $OPTT, $MIND, $EXA, $ESLT and many others stand to benefit", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Aquatic defense/mine-clearance contractors named as key beneficiaries of Iran mining Strait of Hormuz; calls it the biggest catalyst of the decade.", "resolved_tickers": ["KRKNF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Scientific & Technical Instruments'", "bench_c_industry": "Scientific & Technical Instruments", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just in: Trump is angered after Iran mined the Strait of Hormuz.\n\n> Iran Places Underwater Mines\n> Trump Angry bc Oil\n> Urgent need to clear them \n> Mine Detection + Clearance Companies = Profit?\n\nIf you want to profit off the situation:\n\nDefense companies like $CODA, $KRKNF, $OPTT, $MIND, $EXA, $ESLT and many others stand to benefit.\n\nIt's the biggest catalyst of the decade for aquatic defense contractors, given the new news.\n\nJust need to figure out who stands to benefit the most.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.10317456863424435, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10317456863424435, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.10478428255416217, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.10317456863424435, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0016097139199178212, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03042328317649745, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03042328317649745, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.029168120247980323, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03521715090864297, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012551629285171284, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004793867732145518, "ret_p1w": -0.026455001425780944, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.026455001425780944, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.017018775460664326, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02488087602461131, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009436225965116618, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0015741254011696348, "ret_p1m": -0.19576719977187507, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.19576719977187507, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.19676578093526675, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2108371548885315, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0009985811633916875, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01506995511665643, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4041, -0.4101, -0.414, -0.4312, -0.4577, -0.4444, -0.419, -0.422, -0.3981, -0.3958, -0.3958, -0.3717, -0.3889, -0.3828, -0.3825, -0.3825, -0.3462, -0.314, -0.3205, -0.2995, -0.2394, -0.2487, -0.1997, -0.168, -0.2439, -0.2341, -0.2382, -0.2382, -0.2725, -0.2765, -0.2315, -0.1944, -0.1786, -0.1455, -0.1234, -0.1693, -0.2209, -0.2045, -0.2116, -0.2659, -0.2725, -0.2116, -0.2103, -0.2024, -0.2262, -0.2946, -0.2857, -0.2857, -0.2646, -0.2077, -0.2116, -0.1997, -0.2282, -0.1653, -0.1693, -0.1455, -0.1759, -0.1083, -0.0926, -0.1173, -0.1476, -0.1878, -0.1032, 0.0, -0.0304, -0.0635, -0.0899, -0.0728, -0.0265, -0.0735, -0.1138, -0.1429, -0.1083, -0.119, -0.1377, -0.2156, -0.2103, -0.2796, -0.2341, -0.2116, -0.205, -0.205, -0.1825, -0.1905, -0.1958, -0.1931, -0.2143, -0.1455, -0.1759, -0.1825, -0.1429, -0.1495, -0.1521, -0.2069, -0.168, -0.2066, -0.2183, -0.2209, -0.25, -0.2639, -0.2381, -0.2791, -0.25, -0.3122, -0.3029, -0.3056, -0.3255, -0.328, -0.3413, -0.3135, -0.2808, -0.2989, -0.3164, -0.2876, -0.2421, -0.2628, -0.298, -0.298, -0.2209, -0.213, -0.2526, -0.2775, -0.2775, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2031464140028654077", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-03-10T20:16:08+00:00", "symbol": "MIND", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Defense companies like $CODA, $KRKNF, $OPTT, $MIND, $EXA, $ESLT and many others stand to benefit", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Aquatic defense/mine-clearance contractors named as key beneficiaries of Iran mining Strait of Hormuz; calls it the biggest catalyst of the decade.", "resolved_tickers": ["MIND"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Scientific & Technical Instruments'", "bench_c_industry": "Scientific & Technical Instruments", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just in: Trump is angered after Iran mined the Strait of Hormuz.\n\n> Iran Places Underwater Mines\n> Trump Angry bc Oil\n> Urgent need to clear them \n> Mine Detection + Clearance Companies = Profit?\n\nIf you want to profit off the situation:\n\nDefense companies like $CODA, $KRKNF, $OPTT, $MIND, $EXA, $ESLT and many others stand to benefit.\n\nIt's the biggest catalyst of the decade for aquatic defense contractors, given the new news.\n\nJust need to figure out who stands to benefit the most.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08640558185118286, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08640558185118286, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08801529577110068, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08640558185118286, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0016097139199178212, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04838710386260059, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04838710386260059, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04713194093408346, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05318097159474611, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012551629285171284, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004793867732145518, "ret_p1w": 0.02649764218316708, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02649764218316708, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0359338681482837, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.028071767584336715, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009436225965116618, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0015741254011696348, "ret_p1m": -0.042626713427470264, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.042626713427470264, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.04362529459086195, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.057696668544126695, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0009985811633916875, "bench_c_p1m": 0.01506995511665643, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0046, -0.023, -0.068, -0.0853, -0.1394, -0.1106, -0.091, -0.0035, 0.053, 0.038, 0.038, 0.0634, 0.0449, 0.0046, 0.0127, 0.0127, 0.0369, 0.053, -0.038, -0.0726, 0.0012, 0.1578, 0.2258, 0.2431, 0.2938, 0.2673, 0.2281, 0.2281, 0.2131, 0.2097, 0.0979, 0.1141, 0.0138, 0.0472, 0.0426, 0.076, 0.0081, 0.0012, 0.0265, -0.0035, -0.106, -0.0588, -0.038, -0.0046, -0.0219, -0.0334, -0.0207, -0.0207, 0.0046, -0.0173, -0.0461, -0.0829, -0.1071, -0.121, -0.0899, -0.0714, -0.1233, -0.0818, -0.0991, -0.0714, -0.1025, -0.1025, -0.0864, 0.0, -0.0484, -0.0576, -0.0829, -0.0104, 0.0265, -0.0265, -0.0369, -0.0484, -0.0242, 0.023, -0.0058, 0.0323, 0.0196, -0.1221, -0.038, -0.0507, 0.0138, 0.0138, 0.0265, -0.0576, -0.0426, -0.068, -0.0726, -0.0438, 0.0081, 0.0035, -0.2823, -0.2719, -0.2995, -0.3226, -0.2742, -0.2834, -0.2604, -0.2408, -0.2753, -0.28, -0.2846, -0.2512, -0.2661, -0.2581, -0.2373, -0.2385, -0.2097, -0.1728, -0.1912, -0.2154, -0.2074, -0.2385, -0.227, -0.227, -0.1959, -0.2005, -0.1924, -0.1924, -0.1532, -0.1889, -0.2039, -0.2224, -0.2224, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2031464140028654077", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2026-03-10T20:16:08+00:00", "symbol": "ESLT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Defense companies like $CODA, $KRKNF, $OPTT, $MIND, $EXA, $ESLT and many others stand to benefit", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Aquatic defense/mine-clearance contractors named as key beneficiaries of Iran mining Strait of Hormuz; calls it the biggest catalyst of the decade.", "resolved_tickers": ["ESLT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just in: Trump is angered after Iran mined the Strait of Hormuz.\n\n> Iran Places Underwater Mines\n> Trump Angry bc Oil\n> Urgent need to clear them \n> Mine Detection + Clearance Companies = Profit?\n\nIf you want to profit off the situation:\n\nDefense companies like $CODA, $KRKNF, $OPTT, $MIND, $EXA, $ESLT and many others stand to benefit.\n\nIt's the biggest catalyst of the decade for aquatic defense contractors, given the new news.\n\nJust need to figure out who stands to benefit the most.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02902682943785817, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02902682943785817, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02741711551794035, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.023615717596753516, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0016097139199178212, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005411111841104654, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004617350560444988, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004617350560444988, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005872513488962117, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.007734652816454912, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0012551629285171284, "bench_c_p1d": -0.003117302256009924, "ret_p1w": 0.15643242080466724, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.15643242080466724, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.16586864676978386, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.17713592654346622, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.009436225965116618, "bench_c_p1w": -0.020703505738798977, "ret_p1m": 0.049480111808945626, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.049480111808945626, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04848153064555394, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0441930188640729, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0009985811633916875, "bench_c_p1m": 0.005287092944872729, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4187, -0.4134, -0.4156, -0.4044, -0.3863, -0.3839, -0.369, -0.3467, -0.3386, -0.3363, -0.3363, -0.3489, -0.3411, -0.3399, -0.3414, -0.3414, -0.3251, -0.2838, -0.2703, -0.2499, -0.2309, -0.2209, -0.1825, -0.2025, -0.1785, -0.1786, -0.1668, -0.1668, -0.1893, -0.187, -0.1918, -0.1803, -0.1915, -0.1679, -0.1668, -0.1771, -0.199, -0.2047, -0.1791, -0.2247, -0.2313, -0.2418, -0.2352, -0.2257, -0.2419, -0.2278, -0.2288, -0.2288, -0.2087, -0.1915, -0.1674, -0.1737, -0.15, -0.1318, -0.1386, -0.1275, -0.1232, -0.0545, -0.0616, 0.009, 0.0125, 0.0673, 0.029, 0.0, 0.0046, -0.0129, -0.0069, -0.003, 0.1564, 0.0872, 0.09, 0.0497, 0.0295, 0.0202, 0.0397, 0.0149, -0.0083, -0.0688, -0.032, 0.0221, 0.0135, 0.0135, 0.0531, 0.0422, 0.0495, 0.0585, 0.0549, 0.0672, 0.0509, 0.0261, -0.0073, -0.0041, 0.0066, -0.0122, -0.0174, -0.0272, -0.0619, -0.0645, -0.0481, -0.0647, -0.042, -0.0513, -0.021, -0.0284, -0.0526, -0.0927, -0.1072, -0.0927, -0.0844, -0.1104, -0.1104, -0.144, -0.1319, -0.12, -0.1225, -0.1283, -0.1237, -0.1237, -0.0271, -0.0541, 0.0188, 0.0054, 0.0054, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2018501667076084190", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-03T01:47:54+00:00", "symbol": "ETOR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ETOR, $VLN I've identified clear disconnects with the market with both of them trading near cash balance", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish ETOR and VLN trading near cash (undervalued); bullish NBIS on sum-of-parts mispricing despite ATM dilution.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETOR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have 0 clue. Lot of people see me making tons off thesis posts like $OSS or $AXTI but I do lose money too when I'm wrong.   \n\nAnd I do put my money where my mouth is. \n\nI've had discussions with other analysts and they're all puzzled. $ETOR, $VLN I've identified clear disconnects with the market with both of them trading near cash balance but clearly market doesn't agree with me.   \n\n$NBIS makes slightly more sense if they're going through their ATM now, but their operating business is not being priced in with Sum of Parts correctly. \n\nWith Nebius, if the MC is still the same at $21B with $7B ARR EOY, then idk.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Even stranger with Israeli stock market ripping over past year and a half and at all-time highs", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Young_Bison", "ret_m1d": 0.05175606526305554, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05175606526305554, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0432285654407949, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0432285654407949, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008527499822260642, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008527499822260642, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01885391260323832, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01885391260323832, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.014009990924341187, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.014009990924341187, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004843921678897134, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004843921678897134, "ret_p1w": 0.04547140422465401, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04547140422465401, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04171531015774366, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04171531015774366, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0037560940669103537, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0037560940669103537, "ret_p1m": 0.2066543552773623, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2066543552773623, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2130355790319457, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2130355790319457, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.006381223754583387, "bench_c_p1m": -0.006381223754583387, "ret_p3m": 0.3645101992033557, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.3645101992033557, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.31652374095295643, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.31652374095295643, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.047986458250399266, "bench_c_p3m": 0.047986458250399266, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2373, 0.2895, 0.3948, 0.5246, 0.5279, 0.4514, 0.4972, 0.424, 0.4495, 0.4163, 0.353, 0.3601, 0.4381, 0.4754, 0.5519, 0.5519, 0.5516, 0.5482, 0.5427, 0.5786, 0.624, 0.59, 0.5272, 0.5564, 0.5068, 0.4518, 0.403, 0.3512, 0.3316, 0.285, 0.315, 0.3386, 0.3482, 0.339, 0.329, 0.329, 0.3257, 0.3187, 0.3139, 0.2987, 0.2987, 0.319, 0.3416, 0.2957, 0.2303, 0.2026, 0.1689, 0.1815, 0.1534, 0.1579, 0.156, 0.1582, 0.1582, 0.139, 0.1298, 0.1497, 0.1634, 0.1567, 0.1634, 0.1608, 0.1172, 0.0869, 0.0518, 0.0, -0.0189, -0.0847, -0.0015, 0.0425, 0.0455, -0.0041, -0.0115, 0.0152, 0.0152, 0.2226, 0.1771, 0.146, 0.1527, 0.129, 0.1364, 0.1993, 0.1933, 0.1338, 0.1338, 0.1641, 0.2067, 0.2089, 0.1763, 0.1675, 0.1468, 0.1423, 0.1083, 0.1131, 0.1294, 0.1512, 0.1105, 0.0861, 0.088, 0.1072, 0.085, 0.098, 0.1109, 0.0739, 0.0684, 0.1102, 0.1094, 0.1046, 0.1046, 0.1157, 0.095, 0.1475, 0.1852, 0.1797, 0.2314, 0.2835, 0.3652, 0.4048, 0.3922, 0.4396, 0.3811, 0.3919, 0.3675, 0.3538, 0.3453, 0.353, 0.3216, 0.3153, 0.3645, 0.4163, 0.4384, 0.4274, 0.4137, 0.4189, 0.4325, 0.3904, 0.5264, 0.5372, 0.5006, 0.5054, 0.4717, 0.4636, 0.4643, 0.5102, 0.5102, 0.454, 0.427, 0.4765, 0.5519, 0.5519, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2018501667076084190", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-03T01:47:54+00:00", "symbol": "VLN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ETOR, $VLN I've identified clear disconnects with the market with both of them trading near cash balance", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish ETOR and VLN trading near cash (undervalued); bullish NBIS on sum-of-parts mispricing despite ATM dilution.", "resolved_tickers": ["VLN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have 0 clue. Lot of people see me making tons off thesis posts like $OSS or $AXTI but I do lose money too when I'm wrong.   \n\nAnd I do put my money where my mouth is. \n\nI've had discussions with other analysts and they're all puzzled. $ETOR, $VLN I've identified clear disconnects with the market with both of them trading near cash balance but clearly market doesn't agree with me.   \n\n$NBIS makes slightly more sense if they're going through their ATM now, but their operating business is not being priced in with Sum of Parts correctly. \n\nWith Nebius, if the MC is still the same at $21B with $7B ARR EOY, then idk.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Even stranger with Israeli stock market ripping over past year and a half and at all-time highs", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Young_Bison", "ret_m1d": 0.04374995762482348, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04374995762482348, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.035222457802562834, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01787486022380569, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008527499822260642, "bench_c_m1d": 0.025875097401017788, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03750003818422498, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03750003818422498, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03265611650532785, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0018783664389027122, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004843921678897134, "bench_c_p1d": -0.039378404623127694, "ret_p1w": -0.03125004423782163, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03125004423782163, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03500613830473198, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04905334644119885, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0037560940669103537, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017803302203377225, "ret_p1m": -0.09999997764825852, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09999997764825852, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09361875389367513, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1035707215978845, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.006381223754583387, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0035707439496259763, "ret_p3m": 0.4624999245628725, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.4624999245628725, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4145134663124732, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.18051436654194752, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.047986458250399266, "bench_c_p3m": 0.28198555802092495, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.025, -0.0125, 0.0, 0.125, 0.0625, 0.075, 0.0875, -0.025, -0.05, -0.0937, -0.1125, -0.0625, -0.0438, -0.0375, -0.0187, -0.0187, 0.0, -0.0187, -0.0125, 0.0437, 0.05, 0.05, 0.0625, 0.0625, 0.05, 0.0187, -0.0062, -0.0375, -0.0438, -0.075, -0.075, -0.0688, -0.0875, -0.125, -0.1375, -0.1375, -0.1, -0.1188, -0.1375, -0.1125, -0.1125, -0.025, -0.0187, -0.0062, -0.0313, -0.025, 0.55, 0.4437, 0.4625, 0.3062, 0.3062, 0.2437, 0.2437, 0.2125, 0.225, 0.3125, 0.225, 0.15, 0.15, 0.1062, 0.1, 0.0625, 0.0437, 0.0, -0.0375, -0.1063, -0.0375, -0.05, -0.0313, -0.0375, -0.0625, -0.05, -0.05, -0.0875, -0.0688, -0.0688, -0.0563, -0.075, -0.0438, -0.0375, 0.0, -0.075, -0.075, -0.1, -0.1, -0.125, -0.1562, -0.1562, -0.1375, -0.1063, -0.1562, -0.1687, -0.1687, -0.1625, -0.2188, -0.2, -0.2375, -0.2125, -0.2188, -0.2125, -0.2375, -0.2625, -0.3063, -0.2938, -0.2688, -0.2562, -0.2562, -0.2562, -0.2625, -0.1813, -0.1625, -0.1687, -0.1562, -0.1375, -0.0812, -0.0313, -0.05, -0.0812, -0.0625, 0.0062, 0.0312, 0.1187, 0.0062, -0.0563, -0.0563, 0.3563, 0.4625, 0.4062, 0.5125, 0.5625, 0.5063, 0.7437, 0.7812, 0.6875, 0.8438, 1.1062, 0.9062, 0.7625, 0.6625, 0.8125, 0.9125, 1.0125, 1.0125, 1.0375, 0.9688, 1.1875, 1.2062, 1.2062, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2018501667076084190", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-03T01:47:54+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "their operating business is not being priced in with Sum of Parts correctly", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish ETOR and VLN trading near cash (undervalued); bullish NBIS on sum-of-parts mispricing despite ATM dilution.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I have 0 clue. Lot of people see me making tons off thesis posts like $OSS or $AXTI but I do lose money too when I'm wrong.   \n\nAnd I do put my money where my mouth is. \n\nI've had discussions with other analysts and they're all puzzled. $ETOR, $VLN I've identified clear disconnects with the market with both of them trading near cash balance but clearly market doesn't agree with me.   \n\n$NBIS makes slightly more sense if they're going through their ATM now, but their operating business is not being priced in with Sum of Parts correctly. \n\nWith Nebius, if the MC is still the same at $21B with $7B ARR EOY, then idk.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Even stranger with Israeli stock market ripping over past year and a half and at all-time highs", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Young_Bison", "ret_m1d": -0.019899870448720325, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019899870448720325, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.028427370270980967, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03629190319950304, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.008527499822260642, "bench_c_m1d": 0.016392032750782715, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08404666831666285, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08404666831666285, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07920274663776572, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07606302472643034, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004843921678897134, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007983643590232514, "ret_p1w": 0.020455853582117545, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.020455853582117545, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01669975951520719, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02181479238644768, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0037560940669103537, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0013589388043301343, "ret_p1m": 0.08704838350978616, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08704838350978616, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09342960726436955, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07813041667465348, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.006381223754583387, "bench_c_p1m": 0.008917966835132685, "ret_p3m": 0.7175098469659607, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.7175098469659607, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.6695233887155614, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.7230095025346163, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.047986458250399266, "bench_c_p3m": -0.005499655568655615, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2167, 0.2371, 0.2223, 0.1364, 0.049, -0.0147, -0.0713, -0.0441, 0.0066, 0.0569, -0.059, -0.0744, 0.0217, -0.0119, 0.0527, 0.0527, 0.0547, 0.1134, 0.0723, 0.0997, 0.1429, 0.0899, 0.1154, 0.0718, 0.0405, 0.0481, -0.0251, -0.0979, -0.1001, -0.1612, -0.1319, -0.0054, 0.0365, 0.0009, 0.0131, 0.0131, -0.0262, -0.0435, -0.0531, -0.0694, -0.0694, 0.0, 0.032, 0.1144, 0.0696, 0.0817, 0.0887, 0.1932, 0.1721, 0.1337, 0.1549, 0.2088, 0.2088, 0.1038, 0.0992, 0.0767, 0.0506, 0.0168, 0.088, 0.1165, 0.0551, -0.0529, -0.0199, 0.0, -0.084, -0.1788, -0.0428, 0.0326, 0.0205, -0.0149, -0.0024, 0.0896, 0.0896, 0.0842, 0.1317, 0.1963, 0.0886, 0.1185, 0.1404, 0.1798, 0.166, 0.0138, 0.0118, -0.035, 0.087, 0.0634, -0.0069, 0.0555, 0.072, 0.2451, 0.2011, 0.2557, 0.4436, 0.2933, 0.3181, 0.351, 0.3076, 0.269, 0.2775, 0.2795, 0.1781, 0.1208, 0.0257, 0.1535, 0.1334, 0.2098, 0.2098, 0.2511, 0.3052, 0.3897, 0.5156, 0.6117, 0.7183, 0.8003, 0.854, 0.8381, 0.747, 0.7694, 0.7404, 0.7359, 0.7463, 0.636, 0.6116, 0.5065, 0.5696, 0.5367, 0.7175, 0.9613, 0.9558, 1.1689, 1.0541, 0.9683, 1.0689, 0.9912, 1.3043, 1.4586, 1.4451, 1.2219, 1.1982, 1.1325, 1.445, 1.3877, 1.3877, 1.3131, 1.3165, 1.5163, 1.5691, 1.5691, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2031055797086728366", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-09T17:13:31+00:00", "symbol": "RDDT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Reddit ( $RDDT ) is an asymmetric long that's actually extremely bullish during wartime", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Asymmetric long RDDT: wartime traffic surge + subreddit isolation = advertiser flight to safety + earnings beat vs sandbagged Q1 guidance; PINS/META relative underperformers.", "resolved_tickers": ["RDDT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Reddit ( $RDDT ) in fact looks: \n\nExceptionally Bullish during War. \n\nMy thesis is that they will likely blow away next quarter earnings expectations. \n\nHere's what the market missed:\n\n1. Extreme User Engagement during Wartime.\n\nThe major two Western outlets during live events: X and $RDDT. \n\nCompanies like $PINS likely do not benefit from increased engagement from War and $META may benefit from a tiny uptick. \n\nBut everyone flocks to Reddit and X. \n\n-> During a global crisis, millions of frantic, high-intent search queries lead people to Reddit from Google. \n\n-> As well as direct traffic from discussion on what's going on, leading to longer-engagement + ad views + traffic in general. \n\nElon Musk / X confirmed record usage of the X platform during the initial conflict with Iran. \n\nAnd confirmed record engagement during the conlifct with Venezuela. \n\nThis is likely the same with Reddit. \n\nA lot of this data is not public this month (eg. Similarweb estimates), but it's high confidence, both Reddit also achieved record engagement during this time. \n\nThe Venezuela conflict may have led to a short burst in activity, but the Iran conflict is extended and one of the largest ones of the decade. \n\n2. Flight to Safety from Advertisers\n\nThe typical view is $META and X have peak engagement, but advertisers pull ads during war.\n\nEspecially as $META and X might show massive timelines of different events from Iran conflict + Finance in one feed: \n\nHowever: \n\n$RDDT is one of the most unique social media platforms as they're isolated with subreddits. \n\nThings from /r/leagueoflegends or /r/wallstreetbets are isolated from /r/iran and /r/worldnews. \n\n3. Reddit Sandbagging earnings\n\nQ1 2026 revenue guidance of $595–$605 million was issued in early February, before the massive traffic anomaly and likely advertiser budget reallocation triggered by the late-February Iran conflict.\n\nMy expectation is a larger then normal revenue beat when it comes time to announce earnings. \n\n_\n\nReddit ( $RDDT ) is an asymmetric long that's actually extremely bullish during wartime, against common assumption that social media is net bearish. \n\nThere's been no public earnings history to show this yet (since Reddit was not public during Ukraine conflict).\n\nBut my alpha/thesis is for the first time ever:\n\nWe'll see Reddit show up as one of the only bullish social media platforms during war.  \n\nWe'll find out of this is true or not during their earnings.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0038167850854622376, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0038167850854622376, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.012500738449817472, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00466738160004132, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0008505965145790828, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03406305420386446, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03406305420386446, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.032455927298497333, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03253191537264588, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0015311388312185814, "ret_p1w": 0.008209703187654016, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.008209703187654016, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.021832609911852763, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.027178689065017414, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018968985877363398, "ret_p1m": 0.016419406375308032, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.016419406375308032, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04185137079492052, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.062210210154183154, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04579080377887512, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.7147, 0.6818, 0.6188, 0.5735, 0.6131, 0.6372, 0.666, 0.6793, 0.679, 0.6262, 0.6265, 0.6265, 0.6259, 0.6898, 0.6805, 0.6554, 0.6554, 0.742, 0.7575, 0.8278, 0.84, 0.8288, 0.7612, 0.7573, 0.8647, 0.8175, 0.6473, 0.6636, 0.6636, 0.6229, 0.5133, 0.545, 0.5763, 0.5385, 0.4137, 0.3909, 0.3686, 0.2982, 0.2757, 0.1912, 0.0996, 0.0878, 0.007, 0.0207, 0.0801, 0.0031, -0.0561, 0.0057, 0.0057, 0.0027, 0.0619, 0.0524, 0.0814, 0.0259, 0.0232, 0.0778, 0.0892, 0.0501, 0.0594, 0.0492, 0.0607, 0.0395, 0.0038, 0.0, -0.0341, -0.0125, -0.0476, -0.0468, 0.0082, 0.0394, 0.0283, -0.0053, 0.0071, 0.0151, -0.0197, 0.0055, -0.0835, -0.1226, -0.1061, -0.0303, -0.0193, -0.0206, -0.0206, -0.0037, 0.0164, 0.0442, -0.0035, 0.0063, 0.0755, 0.1129, 0.1413, 0.1699, 0.1796, 0.1975, 0.1293, 0.1833, 0.1015, 0.1154, 0.1538, 0.0653, 0.064, 0.0603, 0.1989, 0.2176, 0.236, 0.1995, 0.1807, 0.122, 0.1487, 0.0971, 0.1099, 0.1257, 0.1391, 0.1458, 0.1154, 0.0566, 0.0805, 0.0202, 0.0202, 0.0416, 0.1104, 0.2076, 0.2675, 0.2675, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2031055797086728366", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-09T17:13:31+00:00", "symbol": "PINS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Companies like $PINS likely do not benefit from increased engagement from War", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Asymmetric long RDDT: wartime traffic surge + subreddit isolation = advertiser flight to safety + earnings beat vs sandbagged Q1 guidance; PINS/META relative underperformers.", "resolved_tickers": ["PINS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Reddit ( $RDDT ) in fact looks: \n\nExceptionally Bullish during War. \n\nMy thesis is that they will likely blow away next quarter earnings expectations. \n\nHere's what the market missed:\n\n1. Extreme User Engagement during Wartime.\n\nThe major two Western outlets during live events: X and $RDDT. \n\nCompanies like $PINS likely do not benefit from increased engagement from War and $META may benefit from a tiny uptick. \n\nBut everyone flocks to Reddit and X. \n\n-> During a global crisis, millions of frantic, high-intent search queries lead people to Reddit from Google. \n\n-> As well as direct traffic from discussion on what's going on, leading to longer-engagement + ad views + traffic in general. \n\nElon Musk / X confirmed record usage of the X platform during the initial conflict with Iran. \n\nAnd confirmed record engagement during the conlifct with Venezuela. \n\nThis is likely the same with Reddit. \n\nA lot of this data is not public this month (eg. Similarweb estimates), but it's high confidence, both Reddit also achieved record engagement during this time. \n\nThe Venezuela conflict may have led to a short burst in activity, but the Iran conflict is extended and one of the largest ones of the decade. \n\n2. Flight to Safety from Advertisers\n\nThe typical view is $META and X have peak engagement, but advertisers pull ads during war.\n\nEspecially as $META and X might show massive timelines of different events from Iran conflict + Finance in one feed: \n\nHowever: \n\n$RDDT is one of the most unique social media platforms as they're isolated with subreddits. \n\nThings from /r/leagueoflegends or /r/wallstreetbets are isolated from /r/iran and /r/worldnews. \n\n3. Reddit Sandbagging earnings\n\nQ1 2026 revenue guidance of $595–$605 million was issued in early February, before the massive traffic anomaly and likely advertiser budget reallocation triggered by the late-February Iran conflict.\n\nMy expectation is a larger then normal revenue beat when it comes time to announce earnings. \n\n_\n\nReddit ( $RDDT ) is an asymmetric long that's actually extremely bullish during wartime, against common assumption that social media is net bearish. \n\nThere's been no public earnings history to show this yet (since Reddit was not public during Ukraine conflict).\n\nBut my alpha/thesis is for the first time ever:\n\nWe'll see Reddit show up as one of the only bullish social media platforms during war.  \n\nWe'll find out of this is true or not during their earnings.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.018320642103833773, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.018320642103833773, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.027004595468189008, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.027004595468189008, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0142493020220128, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0142493020220128, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01264217511664567, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01264217511664567, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "ret_p1w": -0.07022896628787922, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07022896628787922, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05660605956368048, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05660605956368048, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "ret_p1m": -0.0737912917933824, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0737912917933824, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04835932737376991, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04835932737376991, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.4142, 0.3679, 0.3226, 0.3109, 0.312, 0.317, 0.3354, 0.3272, 0.343, 0.3242, 0.3298, 0.3298, 0.3303, 0.317, 0.3247, 0.3176, 0.3176, 0.3517, 0.3486, 0.3776, 0.399, 0.3639, 0.3812, 0.3649, 0.4031, 0.3776, 0.3634, 0.3186, 0.3186, 0.2921, 0.2718, 0.3053, 0.3186, 0.3181, 0.1913, 0.1481, 0.1374, 0.1262, 0.1196, 0.057, 0.0112, -0.0168, -0.0025, 0.0249, 0.0346, -0.0285, -0.0565, -0.2153, -0.2153, -0.2107, -0.1664, -0.1466, -0.0957, -0.1506, -0.1374, -0.1059, -0.0936, -0.1282, -0.1104, -0.028, -0.0137, 0.0051, 0.0183, 0.0, -0.0142, -0.0137, -0.0794, -0.0748, -0.0702, -0.0555, -0.0448, -0.0504, -0.0494, -0.0372, -0.0641, -0.0494, -0.086, -0.0962, -0.0835, -0.0667, -0.0692, -0.0748, -0.0748, -0.0712, -0.0738, -0.0789, -0.087, -0.1033, -0.083, -0.0483, 0.0316, 0.0239, 0.0239, 0.0504, 0.0494, 0.0494, 0.0071, 0.0137, 0.0346, 0.0117, 0.0041, 0.0005, 0.029, 0.0611, 0.1338, 0.0768, 0.0967, 0.0824, 0.0565, 0.0463, -0.0153, -0.0316, -0.0092, 0.0142, -0.0412, -0.0427, -0.0407, -0.0183, -0.0183, -0.0163, 0.0193, 0.0509, 0.0204, 0.0204, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2031055797086728366", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-09T17:13:31+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$META may benefit from a tiny uptick", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Asymmetric long RDDT: wartime traffic surge + subreddit isolation = advertiser flight to safety + earnings beat vs sandbagged Q1 guidance; PINS/META relative underperformers.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Reddit ( $RDDT ) in fact looks: \n\nExceptionally Bullish during War. \n\nMy thesis is that they will likely blow away next quarter earnings expectations. \n\nHere's what the market missed:\n\n1. Extreme User Engagement during Wartime.\n\nThe major two Western outlets during live events: X and $RDDT. \n\nCompanies like $PINS likely do not benefit from increased engagement from War and $META may benefit from a tiny uptick. \n\nBut everyone flocks to Reddit and X. \n\n-> During a global crisis, millions of frantic, high-intent search queries lead people to Reddit from Google. \n\n-> As well as direct traffic from discussion on what's going on, leading to longer-engagement + ad views + traffic in general. \n\nElon Musk / X confirmed record usage of the X platform during the initial conflict with Iran. \n\nAnd confirmed record engagement during the conlifct with Venezuela. \n\nThis is likely the same with Reddit. \n\nA lot of this data is not public this month (eg. Similarweb estimates), but it's high confidence, both Reddit also achieved record engagement during this time. \n\nThe Venezuela conflict may have led to a short burst in activity, but the Iran conflict is extended and one of the largest ones of the decade. \n\n2. Flight to Safety from Advertisers\n\nThe typical view is $META and X have peak engagement, but advertisers pull ads during war.\n\nEspecially as $META and X might show massive timelines of different events from Iran conflict + Finance in one feed: \n\nHowever: \n\n$RDDT is one of the most unique social media platforms as they're isolated with subreddits. \n\nThings from /r/leagueoflegends or /r/wallstreetbets are isolated from /r/iran and /r/worldnews. \n\n3. Reddit Sandbagging earnings\n\nQ1 2026 revenue guidance of $595–$605 million was issued in early February, before the massive traffic anomaly and likely advertiser budget reallocation triggered by the late-February Iran conflict.\n\nMy expectation is a larger then normal revenue beat when it comes time to announce earnings. \n\n_\n\nReddit ( $RDDT ) is an asymmetric long that's actually extremely bullish during wartime, against common assumption that social media is net bearish. \n\nThere's been no public earnings history to show this yet (since Reddit was not public during Ukraine conflict).\n\nBut my alpha/thesis is for the first time ever:\n\nWe'll see Reddit show up as one of the only bullish social media platforms during war.  \n\nWe'll find out of this is true or not during their earnings.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00390799417688481, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00390799417688481, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004775959187470424, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0030573976623057275, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008683953364355235, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0008505965145790828, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010318403014069721, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010318403014069721, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01192552991943685, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011849541845288303, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0016071269053671289, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0015311388312185814, "ret_p1w": -0.029970756095342388, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.029970756095342388, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01634784937114364, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01100177021797899, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.013622906724198747, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018968985877363398, "ret_p1m": -0.11098048607234512, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11098048607234512, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08554852165273263, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06518968229347, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.025431964419612485, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04579080377887512, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0034, 0.0074, -0.0057, 0.0002, 0.0151, 0.0033, 0.0264, 0.0176, 0.0218, 0.0271, 0.0311, 0.0311, 0.0246, 0.0175, 0.0287, 0.0196, 0.0196, 0.0047, 0.0176, 0.0204, 0.002, -0.0021, 0.0088, -0.0084, -0.0252, -0.0492, -0.0411, -0.0419, -0.0419, -0.0668, -0.0532, 0.0004, 0.0176, 0.0386, 0.0395, 0.033, 0.1404, 0.1068, 0.0912, 0.0684, 0.0334, 0.0352, 0.0217, 0.0461, 0.036, 0.0329, 0.0037, -0.0118, -0.0118, -0.0125, -0.0064, -0.004, 0.0128, -0.0157, -0.0125, 0.0097, 0.0149, 0.0012, 0.0095, 0.0119, 0.0314, 0.0204, -0.0039, 0.0, 0.0103, 0.0115, -0.0142, -0.052, -0.03, -0.0374, -0.0482, -0.062, -0.0822, -0.0661, -0.0834, -0.0803, -0.1535, -0.1872, -0.1708, -0.1155, -0.1045, -0.1119, -0.1119, -0.1141, -0.111, -0.0532, -0.0285, -0.0262, -0.019, 0.0242, 0.0383, 0.0464, 0.0645, 0.0372, 0.034, 0.0431, 0.019, 0.0436, 0.0491, 0.0379, 0.0345, -0.054, -0.0589, -0.0563, -0.0647, -0.0525, -0.0464, -0.0575, -0.0742, -0.0678, -0.0467, -0.0439, -0.0504, -0.0551, -0.0684, -0.0646, -0.061, -0.0565, -0.0565, -0.0533, -0.0179, -0.0179, -0.0221, -0.0221, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2036778272101695958", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-25T12:12:36+00:00", "symbol": "TTD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TTD and $RDDT are good recovery longs", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Both TTD and RDDT are good recovery longs at current prices.", "resolved_tickers": ["TTD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Advertising Agencies", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@HAkbarnataj $TTD and $RDDT are good recovery longs. \n\nHowever feels like markets just don’t care about software companies growing 20-50% Y/Y anymore?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @aleabitoreddit Any thoughts on $TTD at current prices?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "HAkbarnataj", "ret_m1d": 0.016841185744074894, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016841185744074894, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.022383061155675676, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.022383061155675676, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005541875411600783, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005541875411600783, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010468800611046158, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010468800611046158, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007389943547092548, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.007389943547092548, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017858744158138706, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017858744158138706, "ret_p1w": 0.0004551765677915931, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0004551765677915931, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.002860732233308627, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.002860732233308627, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002405555665517034, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002405555665517034, "ret_p1m": 0.029585869194078684, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.029585869194078684, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.049020148142611575, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.049020148142611575, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07860601733669026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07860601733669026, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.7437, 0.7474, 0.7351, 0.7278, 0.7278, 0.7151, 0.8257, 0.8088, 0.7592, 0.6978, 0.6973, 0.6796, 0.6905, 0.69, 0.6491, 0.6149, 0.6149, 0.5544, 0.6081, 0.6759, 0.6636, 0.5389, 0.4652, 0.4506, 0.4224, 0.3805, 0.3541, 0.2371, 0.2412, 0.1944, 0.2308, 0.2308, 0.2804, 0.2394, 0.1898, 0.1748, 0.1748, 0.1497, 0.1607, 0.1488, 0.1425, 0.1001, 0.1352, 0.1452, 0.0901, 0.0842, 0.107, 0.1379, 0.1457, 0.3559, 0.3327, 0.3, 0.259, 0.2417, 0.2073, 0.2444, 0.2326, 0.1411, 0.0719, 0.0701, 0.0974, 0.0901, 0.0168, 0.0, -0.0105, -0.0314, 0.0018, 0.0328, 0.0005, 0.0036, 0.0036, 0.0109, -0.0578, -0.0783, -0.0619, -0.0856, -0.0341, -0.0432, 0.0187, 0.036, 0.0228, 0.0947, 0.056, 0.0724, 0.0296, 0.091, 0.0533, 0.0574, 0.1092, 0.0737, 0.1033, 0.097, 0.1202, 0.0929, 0.0692, 0.0505, -0.0205, -0.0378, -0.0674, -0.071, -0.0373, 0.0137, -0.0369, -0.0432, -0.0314, 0.0187, 0.0187, 0.0096, 0.0146, -0.0373, -0.0187, -0.0187, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2036778272101695958", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-25T12:12:36+00:00", "symbol": "RDDT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TTD and $RDDT are good recovery longs", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Both TTD and RDDT are good recovery longs at current prices.", "resolved_tickers": ["RDDT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@HAkbarnataj $TTD and $RDDT are good recovery longs. \n\nHowever feels like markets just don’t care about software companies growing 20-50% Y/Y anymore?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @aleabitoreddit Any thoughts on $TTD at current prices?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "HAkbarnataj", "ret_m1d": -0.02513793341603654, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02513793341603654, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.019596058004435757, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.022356120950164815, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005541875411600783, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0027818124658717247, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08859129351863748, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08859129351863748, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07073254936049878, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0649911066450296, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017858744158138706, "bench_c_p1d": -0.023600186873607876, "ret_p1w": -0.024708243832883503, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.024708243832883503, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02230268816736647, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.022913515070724033, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.002405555665517034, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0017947287621594699, "ret_p1m": 0.09546660004948215, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09546660004948215, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.016860582712791894, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04207466880494892, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07860601733669026, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05339193124453323, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.6169, 0.6805, 0.6713, 0.6463, 0.6463, 0.7324, 0.7478, 0.8177, 0.8298, 0.8187, 0.7515, 0.7476, 0.8544, 0.8075, 0.6383, 0.6544, 0.6544, 0.614, 0.5049, 0.5365, 0.5676, 0.53, 0.4059, 0.3832, 0.3611, 0.2911, 0.2687, 0.1846, 0.0935, 0.0818, 0.0014, 0.0151, 0.0741, -0.0024, -0.0613, 0.0001, 0.0001, -0.0029, 0.0561, 0.0466, 0.0755, 0.0203, 0.0175, 0.0719, 0.0832, 0.0443, 0.0536, 0.0434, 0.0549, 0.0337, -0.0017, -0.0055, -0.0394, -0.018, -0.0529, -0.0521, 0.0026, 0.0337, 0.0226, -0.0108, 0.0016, 0.0095, -0.0251, 0.0, -0.0886, -0.1274, -0.111, -0.0357, -0.0247, -0.026, -0.026, -0.0092, 0.0108, 0.0385, -0.009, 0.0007, 0.0696, 0.1068, 0.135, 0.1634, 0.1731, 0.1909, 0.1231, 0.1768, 0.0955, 0.1093, 0.1474, 0.0594, 0.0582, 0.0544, 0.1923, 0.2108, 0.2292, 0.1929, 0.1742, 0.1158, 0.1424, 0.0911, 0.1038, 0.1195, 0.1328, 0.1395, 0.1092, 0.0508, 0.0746, 0.0146, 0.0146, 0.0359, 0.1043, 0.201, 0.2605, 0.2605, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2020335451991851297", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-08T03:14:42+00:00", "symbol": "IBIT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm just not sure if $IBIT recovery or $SNDK would go up faster so I bet on multiple horses", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author holds or suggests long positions in IBIT, SNDK, RKLB, POET, and GOOGL as preferred multi-horse portfolio picks.", "resolved_tickers": ["IBIT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Nuanced. So typically concentration builds wealth and diversification preserves it rings true. \n\nI generally agree unless all your diversified picks are high beta and correlated. I'm just not sure if $IBIT recovery or $SNDK would go up faster so I bet on multiple horses with $RKLB rockets attached to them. \n\nBut usually, yes, the smaller the portfolio is, the more concentration your portfolio should be. If you have $10k, maybe just pick 2-3 of your favorites like $SNDK or $POET (but obviously a tad more risky). \n\nSafe compounding $GOOGL or diversifying with those amounts won't change your life (you would get more working a job). But generally the more your portfolio goes up the less risk you need to take.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit For the average portfolio would this not be way too many names? Seems like over diversification no?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jayjay12246", "ret_m1d": -0.010720526019259324, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010720526019259324, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.005921832411141081, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005921832411141081, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.028421824290728814, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.028421824290728814, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02578466385864797, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02578466385864797, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "ret_p1w": -0.028421824290728814, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.028421824290728814, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.010841254506385622, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.010841254506385622, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "ret_p1m": -0.009972613308205092, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.009972613308205092, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.014193449306848738, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.014193449306848738, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "ret_p3m": 0.1318873307162729, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.1318873307162729, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.07478242699308946, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.07478242699308946, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.4358, 0.3859, 0.3332, 0.2989, 0.3129, 0.2648, 0.2206, 0.196, 0.2608, 0.2356, 0.2723, 0.2723, 0.2852, 0.2092, 0.2882, 0.3149, 0.3091, 0.2638, 0.2845, 0.3176, 0.3087, 0.2989, 0.2765, 0.2132, 0.2393, 0.2144, 0.1957, 0.2443, 0.2488, 0.2378, 0.2331, 0.2331, 0.2368, 0.2311, 0.2423, 0.2378, 0.2378, 0.27, 0.3328, 0.3077, 0.285, 0.2845, 0.2755, 0.2932, 0.3356, 0.3822, 0.3463, 0.3523, 0.3523, 0.2655, 0.2742, 0.2633, 0.264, 0.2378, 0.2623, 0.2593, 0.1867, 0.184, 0.1025, 0.0795, 0.0364, -0.1, -0.0107, 0.0, -0.0284, -0.0454, -0.0763, -0.0284, -0.0284, -0.0429, -0.0641, -0.0509, -0.0421, -0.0888, -0.0893, -0.0219, -0.0461, -0.0728, -0.0228, -0.0352, 0.0332, 0.007, -0.0376, -0.0244, -0.01, -0.001, -0.004, 0.0065, 0.0456, 0.0539, 0.0037, -0.0072, -0.0085, -0.0015, -0.0207, 0.0015, -0.0322, -0.0676, -0.0606, -0.0421, -0.0366, -0.0534, -0.0534, -0.0147, -0.0252, 0.0077, 0.0199, 0.0362, 0.0369, 0.0504, 0.0611, 0.0653, 0.0955, 0.0783, 0.0598, 0.1157, 0.0982, 0.0975, 0.086, 0.0788, 0.0658, 0.08, 0.1087, 0.1319, 0.1538, 0.1516, 0.1319, 0.1331, 0.1586, 0.1419, 0.1249, 0.1511, 0.1174, 0.0853, 0.0845, 0.0967, 0.097, 0.0711, 0.0711, 0.0718, 0.0583, 0.0362, 0.0379, 0.0379, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2020335451991851297", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-02-08T03:14:42+00:00", "symbol": "SNDK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm just not sure if $IBIT recovery or $SNDK would go up faster so I bet on multiple horses with $RKLB rockets attached to them", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author holds or suggests long positions in IBIT, SNDK, RKLB, POET, and GOOGL as preferred multi-horse portfolio picks.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNDK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Nuanced. So typically concentration builds wealth and diversification preserves it rings true. \n\nI generally agree unless all your diversified picks are high beta and correlated. I'm just not sure if $IBIT recovery or $SNDK would go up faster so I bet on multiple horses with $RKLB rockets attached to them. \n\nBut usually, yes, the smaller the portfolio is, the more concentration your portfolio should be. If you have $10k, maybe just pick 2-3 of your favorites like $SNDK or $POET (but obviously a tad more risky). \n\nSafe compounding $GOOGL or diversifying with those amounts won't change your life (you would get more working a job). But generally the more your portfolio goes up the less risk you need to take.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit For the average portfolio would this not be way too many names? Seems like over diversification no?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jayjay12246", "ret_m1d": 0.024939984888725508, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.024939984888725508, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02973867849684375, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02973867849684375, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07158040455614767, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07158040455614767, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06894324412406683, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06894324412406683, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "ret_p1w": 0.07398006742951191, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07398006742951191, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0915606372138551, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0915606372138551, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "bench_c_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "ret_p1m": 0.060833028366804376, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.060833028366804376, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0849990909818582, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0849990909818582, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "ret_p3m": 1.2968116298645822, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.2968116298645822, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.2397067261413988, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.2397067261413988, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "bench_c_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5147, -0.5825, -0.5643, -0.5443, -0.5802, -0.5784, -0.6641, -0.6567, -0.611, -0.622, -0.6314, -0.6314, -0.6173, -0.6397, -0.648, -0.6668, -0.6344, -0.6084, -0.6135, -0.6238, -0.6009, -0.5859, -0.6466, -0.654, -0.6412, -0.6455, -0.6238, -0.5927, -0.5868, -0.5802, -0.5713, -0.5713, -0.5714, -0.5813, -0.5882, -0.5931, -0.5931, -0.5282, -0.5302, -0.4007, -0.394, -0.4266, -0.3531, -0.3328, -0.3318, -0.3353, -0.2985, -0.291, -0.291, -0.2233, -0.1407, -0.1371, -0.1878, -0.193, -0.1748, -0.0956, -0.0756, -0.0123, 0.1403, 0.1922, 0.002, -0.0123, 0.0249, 0.0, -0.0716, 0.0273, 0.0804, 0.074, 0.074, 0.0123, 0.0291, 0.0646, 0.1141, 0.1424, 0.0945, 0.084, 0.1174, 0.0891, 0.0612, -0.0308, 0.0268, -0.0305, -0.0961, 0.0091, 0.0608, 0.1235, 0.0607, 0.1341, 0.2061, 0.2344, 0.2919, 0.3234, 0.2165, 0.2041, 0.2041, 0.1619, 0.0339, 0.0556, -0.0187, 0.089, 0.1874, 0.2026, 0.2026, 0.2421, 0.2184, 0.3385, 0.4597, 0.46, 0.6327, 0.6189, 0.5285, 0.5761, 0.5787, 0.565, 0.5487, 0.6782, 0.5983, 0.6968, 0.8344, 0.7181, 0.8242, 0.8795, 1.0346, 1.1527, 1.4106, 1.4168, 1.2968, 1.678, 1.6527, 1.4889, 1.4807, 1.3701, 1.4128, 1.2849, 1.3711, 1.387, 1.6435, 1.5346, 1.5346, 1.7246, 1.7253, 1.8139, 1.9053, 1.9053, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2020335451991851297", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-02-08T03:14:42+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "bet on multiple horses with $RKLB rockets attached to them", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author holds or suggests long positions in IBIT, SNDK, RKLB, POET, and GOOGL as preferred multi-horse portfolio picks.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Nuanced. So typically concentration builds wealth and diversification preserves it rings true. \n\nI generally agree unless all your diversified picks are high beta and correlated. I'm just not sure if $IBIT recovery or $SNDK would go up faster so I bet on multiple horses with $RKLB rockets attached to them. \n\nBut usually, yes, the smaller the portfolio is, the more concentration your portfolio should be. If you have $10k, maybe just pick 2-3 of your favorites like $SNDK or $POET (but obviously a tad more risky). \n\nSafe compounding $GOOGL or diversifying with those amounts won't change your life (you would get more working a job). But generally the more your portfolio goes up the less risk you need to take.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit For the average portfolio would this not be way too many names? Seems like over diversification no?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jayjay12246", "ret_m1d": -0.046413460087520786, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.046413460087520786, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04161476647940254, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.043419725048928326, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00299373503859246, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05023731200643833, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05023731200643833, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.047600151574357485, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0514462932820281, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "bench_c_p1d": 0.001208981275589771, "ret_p1w": -0.1107594185403149, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1107594185403149, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09317884875597171, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11346526733520079, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00270584879488589, "ret_p1m": -0.09111282128665565, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09111282128665565, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06694675867160182, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0699269308134528, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02118589047320285, "ret_p3m": 0.03612876615864402, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.03612876615864402, "alpha_spy_p3m": -0.02097613756453942, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.03158689377399981, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "bench_c_p3m": 0.004541872384644208, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3411, -0.4033, -0.3995, -0.4289, -0.4359, -0.4248, -0.4794, -0.4686, -0.4403, -0.4383, -0.4471, -0.4471, -0.4444, -0.4677, -0.4475, -0.4103, -0.349, -0.3532, -0.3201, -0.2955, -0.2416, -0.1623, -0.1892, -0.2694, -0.2683, -0.2885, -0.2099, -0.0701, 0.0225, 0.0177, 0.0177, 0.0177, -0.0684, -0.0754, -0.0711, -0.0802, -0.0802, 0.002, 0.0303, 0.1344, 0.1086, 0.0955, 0.1188, 0.159, 0.1416, 0.2104, 0.1967, 0.2698, 0.2698, 0.1756, 0.158, 0.1601, 0.1722, 0.0612, 0.1472, 0.1679, 0.1297, 0.0558, -0.0223, 0.0716, -0.036, -0.1255, -0.0464, 0.0, -0.0502, -0.082, -0.1296, -0.1108, -0.1108, -0.0785, -0.0187, 0.0098, -0.0657, -0.0742, -0.0774, -0.0744, -0.0421, -0.0889, -0.0642, -0.0753, -0.0518, -0.077, -0.0756, -0.0575, -0.0911, -0.0512, -0.0985, -0.098, -0.0597, 0.0363, -0.0839, -0.0516, -0.1135, -0.1034, -0.1288, -0.039, -0.1305, -0.1966, -0.2434, -0.1532, -0.1361, -0.1069, -0.1069, -0.1077, -0.1255, -0.0891, -0.12, -0.1027, -0.0688, -0.0477, -0.0295, 0.0935, 0.1181, 0.1796, 0.1424, 0.1872, 0.1155, 0.0506, 0.085, 0.0363, 0.0156, 0.0879, 0.0392, 0.0589, 0.0385, 0.1162, 0.0361, 0.3907, 0.5473, 0.5501, 0.637, 0.7478, 0.6452, 0.7294, 0.6787, 0.7706, 0.6541, 0.7901, 0.7901, 0.8882, 0.9809, 0.9519, 0.8919, 0.8919, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2020335451991851297", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-02-08T03:14:42+00:00", "symbol": "POET", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "maybe just pick 2-3 of your favorites like $SNDK or $POET", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author holds or suggests long positions in IBIT, SNDK, RKLB, POET, and GOOGL as preferred multi-horse portfolio picks.", "resolved_tickers": ["POET"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Nuanced. So typically concentration builds wealth and diversification preserves it rings true. \n\nI generally agree unless all your diversified picks are high beta and correlated. I'm just not sure if $IBIT recovery or $SNDK would go up faster so I bet on multiple horses with $RKLB rockets attached to them. \n\nBut usually, yes, the smaller the portfolio is, the more concentration your portfolio should be. If you have $10k, maybe just pick 2-3 of your favorites like $SNDK or $POET (but obviously a tad more risky). \n\nSafe compounding $GOOGL or diversifying with those amounts won't change your life (you would get more working a job). But generally the more your portfolio goes up the less risk you need to take.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit For the average portfolio would this not be way too many names? Seems like over diversification no?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jayjay12246", "ret_m1d": -0.0547504268114859, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0547504268114859, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.049951733203367654, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.042454840742270794, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012295586069215103, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05958130165639863, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05958130165639863, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05694414122431779, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05493360914631218, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004647692510086454, "ret_p1w": -0.1014492931676223, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1014492931676223, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08386872338327911, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10408056659754683, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00263127342992453, "ret_p1m": 0.12721416376814698, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12721416376814698, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1513802263832008, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.15013315421227624, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02291899044412926, "ret_p3m": 0.5426730861284617, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.5426730861284617, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.4855681824052782, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.21450393896889297, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3281691471595687, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1868, -0.2432, -0.2915, -0.3285, -0.3092, -0.3156, -0.3237, -0.3124, -0.2544, -0.248, -0.2206, -0.2206, -0.2029, -0.2576, -0.2464, -0.0322, 0.0258, -0.0258, 0.0032, 0.1111, 0.1514, 0.1626, 0.0467, -0.0435, -0.0225, -0.0386, -0.0129, 0.0918, 0.2254, 0.1514, 0.1304, 0.1304, 0.0966, 0.0531, 0.0499, 0.0193, 0.0193, 0.153, 0.1965, 0.1836, 0.1997, 0.1723, 0.19, 0.161, 0.1498, 0.3027, 0.3382, 0.3366, 0.3366, 0.3269, 0.3478, 0.1176, 0.1127, 0.0403, 0.0934, 0.0016, -0.0419, -0.066, -0.0596, -0.0274, -0.0966, -0.1659, -0.0548, 0.0, -0.0596, -0.0612, -0.0902, -0.1014, -0.1014, -0.1111, -0.1014, -0.1031, -0.0837, -0.1111, -0.0161, 0.0242, 0.0048, -0.0338, 0.1127, 0.1337, 0.1014, 0.0692, 0.0113, 0.0773, 0.1272, 0.1981, 0.1981, 0.0998, 0.1127, 0.058, -0.0048, 0.0032, -0.0451, -0.0242, -0.0757, -0.0177, -0.1159, -0.1643, -0.182, -0.0435, -0.0982, -0.0161, -0.0161, -0.0209, -0.0403, 0.0016, -0.0209, 0.1337, 0.1755, 0.0805, 0.1224, 0.182, 0.1691, 0.3833, 0.6506, 1.0564, 0.8873, 1.4316, 0.2802, 0.2931, 0.0628, 0.1465, 0.1771, 0.1449, 0.4831, 0.5652, 0.5427, 0.7633, 1.2383, 1.2109, 1.314, 2.3124, 1.5717, 1.2882, 1.1047, 1.38, 1.3865, 1.3494, 1.3494, 1.1498, 1.1385, 1.1353, 0.9791, 0.9791, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2020335451991851297", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-02-08T03:14:42+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Safe compounding $GOOGL", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author holds or suggests long positions in IBIT, SNDK, RKLB, POET, and GOOGL as preferred multi-horse portfolio picks.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Nuanced. So typically concentration builds wealth and diversification preserves it rings true. \n\nI generally agree unless all your diversified picks are high beta and correlated. I'm just not sure if $IBIT recovery or $SNDK would go up faster so I bet on multiple horses with $RKLB rockets attached to them. \n\nBut usually, yes, the smaller the portfolio is, the more concentration your portfolio should be. If you have $10k, maybe just pick 2-3 of your favorites like $SNDK or $POET (but obviously a tad more risky). \n\nSafe compounding $GOOGL or diversifying with those amounts won't change your life (you would get more working a job). But generally the more your portfolio goes up the less risk you need to take.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit For the average portfolio would this not be way too many names? Seems like over diversification no?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jayjay12246", "ret_m1d": -0.00450176189061946, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00450176189061946, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0002969317174987829, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005080672432612121, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004798693608118243, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009582434323231581, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.017698662560139744, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.017698662560139744, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.015061502128058901, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.023687741310445154, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.002637160432080843, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00598907875030541, "ret_p1w": -0.05735075907908993, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05735075907908993, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03977018929474674, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03767249779327575, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.017580569784343192, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01967826128581418, "ret_p1m": -0.05261424793325553, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.05261424793325553, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.028448185318201702, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05689217068115304, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.02416606261505383, "bench_c_p1m": 0.004277922747897511, "ret_p3m": 0.22801601003103444, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.22801601003103444, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.170911106307851, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.22053331231249507, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.05710490372318344, "bench_c_p3m": 0.007482697718539377, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1165, -0.1416, -0.1483, -0.1218, -0.124, -0.0977, -0.1081, -0.0766, -0.0183, -0.0034, -0.0141, -0.0141, -0.0134, -0.0297, -0.0269, -0.0151, -0.0213, -0.0101, -0.0327, -0.0223, -0.0127, -0.0367, -0.0463, -0.0496, -0.0547, -0.0851, -0.0674, -0.0529, -0.0448, -0.0307, -0.0315, -0.0315, -0.0333, -0.0332, -0.0323, -0.0349, -0.0349, -0.0283, -0.024, -0.0308, -0.0072, 0.0035, 0.0131, 0.0232, 0.0359, 0.0355, 0.0261, 0.0175, 0.0175, -0.0072, 0.0125, 0.0192, 0.0111, 0.0276, 0.0315, 0.036, 0.043, 0.0422, 0.0597, 0.0475, 0.0269, 0.0214, -0.0045, 0.0, -0.0177, -0.0412, -0.0472, -0.0574, -0.0574, -0.0688, -0.0647, -0.0662, -0.0288, -0.0396, -0.0414, -0.0352, -0.0522, -0.0387, -0.0549, -0.0639, -0.0653, -0.0723, -0.0796, -0.0547, -0.0526, -0.0475, -0.0634, -0.0673, -0.0572, -0.0406, -0.0506, -0.0523, -0.0713, -0.068, -0.1038, -0.1023, -0.1332, -0.1535, -0.1561, -0.1127, -0.0824, -0.0874, -0.0874, -0.0744, -0.0575, -0.0209, -0.0173, -0.0211, -0.0086, 0.0272, 0.0402, 0.0368, 0.0543, 0.0411, 0.0253, 0.047, 0.0457, 0.0627, 0.081, 0.0793, 0.0798, 0.1873, 0.1901, 0.1825, 0.1985, 0.2282, 0.228, 0.2367, 0.1992, 0.1952, 0.2423, 0.2375, 0.2243, 0.2248, 0.1961, 0.2, 0.1961, 0.1817, 0.1817, 0.1999, 0.1998, 0.2038, 0.1736, 0.1736, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2025918790782120232", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-23T13:00:54+00:00", "symbol": "EWY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "2028 OTM leaps are mispriced at low 40's IV as a call on volatile memory names. And will likely benefit from Vega expansion at current levels.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long EWY 2028 OTM leap calls: IV mispriced at low 40s vs realized ~65-70%; SK Hynix/Samsung pass-through structures will keep vol elevated, driving Vega expansion.", "resolved_tickers": ["EWY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Feels like a lot of people misunderstood the DD in this post: \n\nMain point: $EWY IV will likely stay elevated. \n\nCurrently realized is probably in the high 60’s, low 70’s. \n\nLong term likely settles ~55% because:\n\nPass through concentration in SK Hynix and Samsung is enormous despite any re-weighting. \n\nAs SK Hynix increases, other top weightings like SK Square (90% of its MC comes from SK Hynix equity since it’s a 20% shareholder) will increase.\n\nSame with Samsung.\n\nIt looks like 50% max for them both, but pass through structures balloons that value a lot. \n\nDespite new weights, $EWY will increasingly become a call option on SK Hynix / Samsung as their MCs go up from pass-through structure. \n\n2028 OTM leaps are mispriced at low 40’s IV as a call on volatile memory names.\n\nAnd will likely benefit from Vega expansion at current levels.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "2028 IV for $EWY will likely go much higher (~44% right now).\n\nRealized should be priced around ~65-68%+. \n\nSo, 2028 OTM leap call value may double again from volatility Vega Expansion alone. \n\nMost people don’t this but top holdings include: \n\n1. SK Square (#5 concentration). https://t.co/hgaJE15Faz", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.018521190054074044, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.018521190054074044, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.008204528667010491, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008204528667010491, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010316661387063553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.037688441385384186, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.037688441385384186, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030419988454989166, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030419988454989166, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00726845293039502, "ret_p1w": 0.05915283599321519, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05915283599321519, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05330575028032358, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05330575028032358, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005847085712891609, "ret_p1m": -0.0757358422155805, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0757358422155805, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03554445989111776, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03554445989111776, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "bench_c_p1m": -0.04019138232446273, "ret_p3m": 0.33826269981975354, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.33826269981975354, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.24688048298196907, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.24688048298196907, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09138221683778447, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3572, -0.3572, -0.362, -0.3638, -0.3536, -0.347, -0.355, -0.3379, -0.3325, -0.329, -0.3207, -0.3333, -0.3494, -0.3489, -0.3574, -0.3641, -0.3534, -0.3443, -0.3413, -0.3345, -0.3209, -0.3209, -0.312, -0.2913, -0.292, -0.3021, -0.3021, -0.2662, -0.2475, -0.2275, -0.2317, -0.2348, -0.2183, -0.218, -0.228, -0.2129, -0.2028, -0.1944, -0.1944, -0.2034, -0.1697, -0.1673, -0.1531, -0.1578, -0.1192, -0.0986, -0.1062, -0.1212, -0.1319, -0.1075, -0.1367, -0.137, -0.1047, -0.0951, -0.1066, -0.0625, -0.061, -0.0383, -0.0383, -0.0619, -0.0457, -0.0294, 0.0185, 0.0, 0.0377, 0.0688, 0.0798, 0.0866, 0.0592, -0.05, -0.0354, -0.0973, -0.0902, -0.0388, -0.0646, -0.0463, -0.1134, -0.1088, -0.0445, -0.035, -0.0533, -0.0322, -0.0971, -0.0394, -0.0757, -0.083, -0.1386, -0.1315, -0.1642, -0.1169, -0.0939, -0.1179, -0.1179, -0.0959, -0.0869, 0.0055, -0.0001, -0.0041, 0.0139, 0.053, 0.0403, 0.0587, 0.0935, 0.0775, 0.0538, 0.1184, 0.081, 0.1096, 0.1251, 0.1082, 0.1052, 0.1541, 0.163, 0.1744, 0.2453, 0.3064, 0.2688, 0.3654, 0.3844, 0.2814, 0.3541, 0.3677, 0.284, 0.2642, 0.2492, 0.293, 0.3383, 0.3067, 0.3067, 0.4404, 0.4235, 0.4818, 0.4776, 0.4776, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2034095067586326982", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-18T02:30:30+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI looks very undervalued at $6.49B", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "AAOI undervalued; models absurd revenue ramp through 2027; hyperscalers buying all optical capacity from AAOI, LITE, COHR years out.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AAOI looks very undervalued at $6.49B. \n\nIf we model ASP and their newest capacity projections today:\n\nRevenue from Capacity: \nQ2 2026: ~$312.1M\nQ4 2026: ~$1.41B \nQ2-2027: ~$1.53B\nQ4-2027: ~$1.97B\n\nThis is absurd ramp (off ~34-40% est. gross margins). \n\nASP modeled off (LightCounting, Dell'Oro Group & Yole, pricing for ELSFP modules is the most speculative). And some sell-side models (from firms like Raymond James, B. Riley, Northland Capital, and Goldman Sachs).\n\nExact contract pricing for massive volume orders is not known, so this is speculative. \n\nBut the Q2 volume * ASP estimates actually align with their $378M/month target Q2-2027. \n\nAgain, you might be wondering? This is capacity, doesn't translate into revenue right? \n\nHyperscalers from $AMZN to $MSFT are buying any capacity any of these companies from $LITE to $COHR can make, years out. \n\nThis includes $AAOI from their former earnings call.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06801247553886569, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06801247553886569, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08216358042540872, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08216358042540872, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.014151104886543031, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014151104886543031, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10029149509863067, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10029149509863067, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10275583558382251, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10275583558382251, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0024643404851918405, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0024643404851918405, "ret_p1w": 0.2351290840385698, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2351290840385698, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.239386832975081, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.239386832975081, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0042577489365112076, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0042577489365112076, "ret_p1m": 0.6983699880053034, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6983699880053034, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.63465013576395, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.63465013576395, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06371985224135335, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06371985224135335, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6619, -0.5779, -0.5613, -0.5574, -0.5574, -0.5987, -0.6033, -0.6111, -0.6237, -0.6237, -0.5725, -0.6223, -0.5832, -0.5892, -0.6436, -0.6325, -0.636, -0.631, -0.6279, -0.6006, -0.6001, -0.6001, -0.5762, -0.5857, -0.5881, -0.6144, -0.6233, -0.5964, -0.5117, -0.5728, -0.5292, -0.5233, -0.5021, -0.5693, -0.5884, -0.5218, -0.4828, -0.4765, -0.4775, -0.5251, -0.52, -0.52, -0.526, -0.531, -0.4928, -0.4421, -0.4175, -0.3925, -0.3726, -0.4204, -0.0907, 0.1067, 0.0293, 0.0764, 0.0919, 0.0318, 0.1942, 0.3008, 0.3712, 0.1464, 0.0451, 0.0155, -0.068, 0.0, 0.1003, -0.0549, 0.0338, 0.2296, 0.2351, 0.0517, 0.0602, -0.0803, -0.0868, -0.0678, 0.1218, 0.1218, 0.16, 0.27, 0.4326, 0.4391, 0.6258, 0.6538, 0.5804, 0.5389, 0.6984, 0.721, 0.7648, 0.6255, 0.6131, 0.4869, 0.7507, 0.5738, 0.4818, 0.6499, 0.7744, 0.9811, 0.8674, 0.9494, 0.9275, 0.7009, 0.6079, 0.9961, 1.0326, 1.4085, 1.1977, 1.0551, 0.8705, 0.8496, 0.7841, 0.9088, 0.9593, 0.9593, 0.9175, 0.9414, 0.8247, 0.7101, 0.7101, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2034095067586326982", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-18T02:30:30+00:00", "symbol": "AMZN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Hyperscalers from $AMZN to $MSFT are buying any capacity any of these companies from $LITE to $COHR can make, years out", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "AAOI undervalued; models absurd revenue ramp through 2027; hyperscalers buying all optical capacity from AAOI, LITE, COHR years out.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMZN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AAOI looks very undervalued at $6.49B. \n\nIf we model ASP and their newest capacity projections today:\n\nRevenue from Capacity: \nQ2 2026: ~$312.1M\nQ4 2026: ~$1.41B \nQ2-2027: ~$1.53B\nQ4-2027: ~$1.97B\n\nThis is absurd ramp (off ~34-40% est. gross margins). \n\nASP modeled off (LightCounting, Dell'Oro Group & Yole, pricing for ELSFP modules is the most speculative). And some sell-side models (from firms like Raymond James, B. Riley, Northland Capital, and Goldman Sachs).\n\nExact contract pricing for massive volume orders is not known, so this is speculative. \n\nBut the Q2 volume * ASP estimates actually align with their $378M/month target Q2-2027. \n\nAgain, you might be wondering? This is capacity, doesn't translate into revenue right? \n\nHyperscalers from $AMZN to $MSFT are buying any capacity any of these companies from $LITE to $COHR can make, years out. \n\nThis includes $AAOI from their former earnings call.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.025396683447190815, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.025396683447190815, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.011245578560647784, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0017917326383452004, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.014151104886543031, "bench_c_m1d": 0.023604950808845615, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005288991452693126, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.005288991452693126, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0028246509675012854, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.002579325483588746, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0024643404851918405, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007868316936281872, "ret_p1w": 0.008767387618474176, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.008767387618474176, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.013025136554985384, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.005308561115263677, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0042577489365112076, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0034588265032104992, "ret_p1m": 0.18978416523436015, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.18978416523436015, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1260643129930068, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12379612742130486, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06371985224135335, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06598803781305529, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0833, 0.0884, 0.1061, 0.1073, 0.1073, 0.1079, 0.1058, 0.108, 0.0998, 0.0998, 0.0792, 0.1105, 0.148, 0.151, 0.1735, 0.1787, 0.1744, 0.156, 0.1276, 0.1349, 0.1394, 0.1394, 0.1007, 0.1022, 0.1166, 0.1396, 0.136, 0.1659, 0.1579, 0.1518, 0.1402, 0.1577, 0.137, 0.1102, 0.0611, 0.0021, -0.0055, -0.0139, -0.0276, -0.0489, -0.0528, -0.0528, -0.0415, -0.0242, -0.0239, 0.0011, -0.0219, -0.0062, 0.0037, -0.0093, 0.0006, -0.0071, -0.0054, 0.0331, 0.0432, 0.0159, 0.0172, 0.0213, 0.0132, -0.0016, -0.0105, 0.0089, 0.0254, 0.0, -0.0053, -0.0214, 0.0013, -0.0125, 0.0088, -0.0111, -0.0502, -0.0425, -0.0076, 0.0033, -0.0005, -0.0005, 0.0139, 0.0186, 0.0542, 0.1133, 0.1358, 0.143, 0.1865, 0.1841, 0.1898, 0.1939, 0.183, 0.1908, 0.2168, 0.2154, 0.2579, 0.2442, 0.2374, 0.2533, 0.263, 0.2782, 0.2963, 0.3034, 0.3103, 0.2921, 0.2993, 0.2817, 0.2666, 0.2871, 0.2733, 0.2586, 0.262, 0.2357, 0.2627, 0.2792, 0.269, 0.269, 0.2641, 0.2953, 0.3056, 0.2896, 0.2896, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2034095067586326982", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-18T02:30:30+00:00", "symbol": "MSFT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Hyperscalers from $AMZN to $MSFT are buying any capacity any of these companies from $LITE to $COHR can make, years out", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "AAOI undervalued; models absurd revenue ramp through 2027; hyperscalers buying all optical capacity from AAOI, LITE, COHR years out.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSFT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AAOI looks very undervalued at $6.49B. \n\nIf we model ASP and their newest capacity projections today:\n\nRevenue from Capacity: \nQ2 2026: ~$312.1M\nQ4 2026: ~$1.41B \nQ2-2027: ~$1.53B\nQ4-2027: ~$1.97B\n\nThis is absurd ramp (off ~34-40% est. gross margins). \n\nASP modeled off (LightCounting, Dell'Oro Group & Yole, pricing for ELSFP modules is the most speculative). And some sell-side models (from firms like Raymond James, B. Riley, Northland Capital, and Goldman Sachs).\n\nExact contract pricing for massive volume orders is not known, so this is speculative. \n\nBut the Q2 volume * ASP estimates actually align with their $378M/month target Q2-2027. \n\nAgain, you might be wondering? This is capacity, doesn't translate into revenue right? \n\nHyperscalers from $AMZN to $MSFT are buying any capacity any of these companies from $LITE to $COHR can make, years out. \n\nThis includes $AAOI from their former earnings call.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.019449153498294347, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.019449153498294347, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005298048611751316, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005298048611751316, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.014151104886543031, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014151104886543031, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007070176962847952, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007070176962847952, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004605836477656111, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004605836477656111, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0024643404851918405, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0024643404851918405, "ret_p1w": -0.05296200462919709, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05296200462919709, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04870425569268588, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04870425569268588, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0042577489365112076, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0042577489365112076, "ret_p1m": 0.07266649696118677, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07266649696118677, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.008946644719833419, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.008946644719833419, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06371985224135335, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06371985224135335, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2374, 0.2349, 0.2398, 0.2428, 0.2428, 0.242, 0.2404, 0.2414, 0.2316, 0.2316, 0.2044, 0.2041, 0.2186, 0.2312, 0.2175, 0.2205, 0.2152, 0.1986, 0.1698, 0.1629, 0.1711, 0.1711, 0.1575, 0.131, 0.1489, 0.1866, 0.1976, 0.2238, 0.2265, 0.1039, 0.0958, 0.0781, 0.0472, 0.0548, 0.0025, 0.0215, 0.0533, 0.0524, 0.0298, 0.0233, 0.022, 0.022, 0.0106, 0.0176, 0.017, 0.0139, -0.0187, -0.0071, 0.0225, 0.0253, 0.0024, 0.0173, 0.031, 0.0342, 0.0482, 0.0438, 0.045, 0.0357, 0.0334, 0.0257, 0.0096, 0.0208, 0.0194, 0.0, -0.0071, -0.0253, -0.0224, -0.0486, -0.053, -0.0659, -0.0894, -0.0838, -0.0552, -0.0572, -0.0468, -0.0468, -0.0483, -0.0498, -0.0446, -0.0478, -0.0534, -0.0189, 0.0034, 0.0496, 0.0727, 0.0791, 0.0671, 0.0826, 0.105, 0.0612, 0.0838, 0.0843, 0.0956, 0.0834, 0.0408, 0.0578, 0.0557, 0.05, 0.0566, 0.074, 0.0595, 0.0533, 0.0408, 0.0343, 0.045, 0.0769, 0.081, 0.0654, 0.0747, 0.072, 0.0707, 0.0707, 0.0642, 0.0556, 0.0922, 0.1517, 0.1517, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2034095067586326982", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-03-18T02:30:30+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "any of these companies from $LITE to $COHR can make, years out", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "AAOI undervalued; models absurd revenue ramp through 2027; hyperscalers buying all optical capacity from AAOI, LITE, COHR years out.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AAOI looks very undervalued at $6.49B. \n\nIf we model ASP and their newest capacity projections today:\n\nRevenue from Capacity: \nQ2 2026: ~$312.1M\nQ4 2026: ~$1.41B \nQ2-2027: ~$1.53B\nQ4-2027: ~$1.97B\n\nThis is absurd ramp (off ~34-40% est. gross margins). \n\nASP modeled off (LightCounting, Dell'Oro Group & Yole, pricing for ELSFP modules is the most speculative). And some sell-side models (from firms like Raymond James, B. Riley, Northland Capital, and Goldman Sachs).\n\nExact contract pricing for massive volume orders is not known, so this is speculative. \n\nBut the Q2 volume * ASP estimates actually align with their $378M/month target Q2-2027. \n\nAgain, you might be wondering? This is capacity, doesn't translate into revenue right? \n\nHyperscalers from $AMZN to $MSFT are buying any capacity any of these companies from $LITE to $COHR can make, years out. \n\nThis includes $AAOI from their former earnings call.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0731296645004198, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0731296645004198, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08728076938696283, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08728076938696283, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.014151104886543031, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014151104886543031, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10176796503000207, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10176796503000207, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10423230551519391, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10423230551519391, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0024643404851918405, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0024643404851918405, "ret_p1w": 0.1089596119027656, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1089596119027656, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1132173608392768, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1132173608392768, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0042577489365112076, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0042577489365112076, "ret_p1m": 0.2716998527530443, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2716998527530443, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.20798000051169097, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.20798000051169097, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06371985224135335, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06371985224135335, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.47, -0.4437, -0.4472, -0.4351, -0.4351, -0.4424, -0.4683, -0.4704, -0.4741, -0.4741, -0.4491, -0.4905, -0.4329, -0.4394, -0.5031, -0.4986, -0.515, -0.4844, -0.5268, -0.5102, -0.5373, -0.5373, -0.4908, -0.4828, -0.4942, -0.516, -0.5256, -0.4711, -0.4506, -0.4557, -0.4409, -0.3958, -0.3791, -0.3357, -0.2802, -0.2124, -0.1765, -0.1993, -0.1808, -0.1674, -0.197, -0.197, -0.1432, -0.152, -0.093, -0.0471, -0.0372, -0.0179, 0.0322, -0.034, 0.0001, 0.1176, -0.0091, -0.0286, -0.0713, -0.2032, -0.0858, -0.0411, -0.0411, -0.1209, -0.1117, -0.1084, -0.0731, 0.0, 0.1018, 0.0079, 0.0402, 0.1444, 0.109, -0.0171, 0.0027, -0.0657, 0.0028, 0.0911, 0.1799, 0.1799, 0.102, 0.164, 0.2785, 0.2759, 0.2804, 0.2431, 0.2169, 0.1758, 0.2717, 0.2758, 0.2773, 0.1942, 0.2466, 0.2084, 0.258, 0.2267, 0.1292, 0.2248, 0.2875, 0.3555, 0.3929, 0.4192, 0.3474, 0.2736, 0.2897, 0.5027, 0.416, 0.4703, 0.4295, 0.3851, 0.2628, 0.2701, 0.2387, 0.3763, 0.3512, 0.3512, 0.2997, 0.2875, 0.228, 0.22, 0.22, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2034095067586326982", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-03-18T02:30:30+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "any of these companies from $LITE to $COHR can make, years out", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "AAOI undervalued; models absurd revenue ramp through 2027; hyperscalers buying all optical capacity from AAOI, LITE, COHR years out.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AAOI looks very undervalued at $6.49B. \n\nIf we model ASP and their newest capacity projections today:\n\nRevenue from Capacity: \nQ2 2026: ~$312.1M\nQ4 2026: ~$1.41B \nQ2-2027: ~$1.53B\nQ4-2027: ~$1.97B\n\nThis is absurd ramp (off ~34-40% est. gross margins). \n\nASP modeled off (LightCounting, Dell'Oro Group & Yole, pricing for ELSFP modules is the most speculative). And some sell-side models (from firms like Raymond James, B. Riley, Northland Capital, and Goldman Sachs).\n\nExact contract pricing for massive volume orders is not known, so this is speculative. \n\nBut the Q2 volume * ASP estimates actually align with their $378M/month target Q2-2027. \n\nAgain, you might be wondering? This is capacity, doesn't translate into revenue right? \n\nHyperscalers from $AMZN to $MSFT are buying any capacity any of these companies from $LITE to $COHR can make, years out. \n\nThis includes $AAOI from their former earnings call.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04436059555374261, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04436059555374261, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05851170044028564, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05851170044028564, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.014151104886543031, "bench_c_m1d": 0.014151104886543031, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07138142560199578, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07138142560199578, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07384576608718763, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07384576608718763, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0024643404851918405, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0024643404851918405, "ret_p1w": 0.05765723565382497, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05765723565382497, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.061914984590336175, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.061914984590336175, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0042577489365112076, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0042577489365112076, "ret_p1m": 0.2752226231354835, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2752226231354835, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.21150277089413017, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.21150277089413017, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06371985224135335, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06371985224135335, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2775, -0.2575, -0.254, -0.256, -0.256, -0.2546, -0.2651, -0.2737, -0.2824, -0.2824, -0.2445, -0.2755, -0.2453, -0.255, -0.3268, -0.3077, -0.28, -0.2612, -0.2842, -0.2381, -0.2573, -0.2573, -0.2479, -0.2167, -0.2119, -0.2343, -0.2311, -0.168, -0.1402, -0.1608, -0.1751, -0.1352, -0.109, -0.1797, -0.1865, -0.1148, -0.0573, -0.1121, -0.1303, -0.1598, -0.1554, -0.1554, -0.1448, -0.1295, -0.0961, -0.0351, -0.0323, -0.0091, 0.0416, -0.0275, 0.0067, 0.1621, 0.0918, 0.0686, -0.013, -0.0836, -0.019, 0.0133, -0.0225, -0.062, -0.0562, -0.0383, -0.0444, 0.0, 0.0714, -0.0139, -0.0084, 0.0588, 0.0577, -0.0541, -0.0534, -0.146, -0.0739, -0.0366, 0.0037, 0.0037, -0.0155, -0.0082, 0.0956, 0.1048, 0.1955, 0.1972, 0.2185, 0.1982, 0.2752, 0.3414, 0.3511, 0.3366, 0.3626, 0.3129, 0.3067, 0.2501, 0.1818, 0.1855, 0.243, 0.2811, 0.2826, 0.3053, 0.34, 0.241, 0.3034, 0.4762, 0.4541, 0.5696, 0.5744, 0.4869, 0.4106, 0.3749, 0.3938, 0.4696, 0.4679, 0.4679, 0.4826, 0.4781, 0.4655, 0.4053, 0.4053, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2019189066546442296", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-04T23:19:22+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "AXT is a hidden beneficiary on photonics ramp", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AXTI as a hidden beneficiary of the photonics ramp.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MrThomG_ I would be more bullish on $AXTI if Martin Shkreli joined the board to show em how it's done when you have a monopoly. \n\nBut yeah AXT is a hidden beneficiary on photonics ramp.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $AXTI in that supply chain too tho", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MrThomG_", "ret_m1d": 0.052799987792968794, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.052799987792968794, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.047932488327890654, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011807358840380422, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00486749946507814, "bench_c_m1d": 0.04099262895258837, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08960001627604175, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08960001627604175, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10208922753224348, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09208674921351412, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012489211256201727, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002486732937472369, "ret_p1w": 0.42933329264322917, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.42933329264322917, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.42092447192149174, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.34357859208369224, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008408820721737431, "bench_c_p1w": 0.08575470055953693, "ret_p1m": 1.069333292643229, "ret_signed_p1m": 1.069333292643229, "alpha_spy_p1m": 1.0764450113618032, "alpha_c_p1m": 1.0344397858289385, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.007111718718574189, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0348935068142906, "ret_p3m": 4.653333333333333, "ret_signed_p3m": 4.653333333333333, "alpha_spy_p3m": 4.604103661012355, "alpha_c_p3m": 4.326727335952436, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.049229672320977746, "bench_c_p3m": 0.3266059973808979, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4955, -0.4432, -0.4368, -0.4144, -0.4432, -0.4432, -0.4533, -0.472, -0.4608, -0.496, -0.5237, -0.5019, -0.5077, -0.4427, -0.4427, -0.4293, -0.4245, -0.3728, -0.3877, -0.3547, -0.3824, -0.3221, -0.2021, -0.1728, -0.1264, -0.2101, -0.2091, -0.3067, -0.3408, -0.2528, -0.2187, -0.1883, -0.2192, -0.1995, -0.1995, -0.1803, -0.2219, -0.1573, -0.128, -0.128, -0.1061, -0.1109, 0.0757, 0.2859, 0.3776, 0.2261, 0.1861, 0.1472, 0.1787, 0.3717, 0.1781, 0.1781, 0.1419, 0.0549, -0.0443, -0.072, -0.0507, -0.0827, -0.1024, -0.1264, -0.0112, 0.1168, 0.0528, 0.0, 0.0896, 0.2832, 0.4811, 0.2987, 0.4293, 0.3221, 0.2928, 0.2928, 0.2379, 0.2555, 0.2699, 0.5829, 0.5163, 0.8709, 1.1851, 0.9797, 1.0213, 1.4704, 1.2272, 1.0869, 1.0693, 0.7264, 1.0565, 1.3627, 1.5259, 1.4923, 1.6059, 1.5808, 1.3659, 1.6005, 2.0981, 1.8928, 2.4368, 2.6501, 2.592, 2.1205, 2.2336, 1.8123, 2.0389, 1.5141, 1.8181, 1.8181, 1.2395, 1.4245, 1.8363, 2.3664, 2.4229, 2.544, 2.5893, 2.3563, 3.3616, 3.4032, 3.2005, 2.9984, 3.6368, 3.0144, 3.0619, 2.7413, 2.6645, 2.7904, 3.2251, 4.12, 4.6533, 4.736, 4.5909, 4.7824, 5.2059, 5.7099, 5.5547, 5.5035, 5.1323, 5.6016, 4.6469, 5.0203, 4.5792, 5.4544, 6.5109, 6.5109, 6.072, 5.5477, 5.1707, 4.5019, 4.5019, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2027482896471364043", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-02-27T20:36:05+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The most direct play is $AAOI, they just dropped a $SNDK-style earnings projecting 10x revenue growth", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Names AAOI as the most direct play on transceiver demand surge, citing 10x revenue growth projection.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@PhotonCap Yes! The most direct play is $AAOI, they just dropped a $SNDK-style earnings projecting 10x revenue growth.  \n\nBut of course there's going to be other beneficiaries not priced in too upstream as you mentioned.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "Since $AAOI's explosive revenue projections signal a paradigm shift in transceiver demand, investors who missed the initial rally should look upstream at the broader value chain.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PhotonCap", "ret_m1d": -0.3625786953944201, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.3625786953944201, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.3674038085726452, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.3674038085726452, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004825113178225093, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.21702478987010654, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.21702478987010654, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.21645621108777524, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.21645621108777524, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0005685787823312971, "ret_p1w": 0.1347500655559073, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1347500655559073, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15459001236840897, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15459001236840897, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019839946812501674, "ret_p1m": 0.011397353035883961, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.011397353035883961, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08762893098965874, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08762893098965874, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "bench_c_p1m": -0.07623157795377478, "ret_p3m": 1.1349874707828982, "ret_signed_p3m": 1.1349874707828982, "alpha_spy_p3m": 1.0380187816928927, "alpha_c_p3m": 1.0380187816928927, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "bench_c_p3m": 0.09696868909000544, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6911, -0.6955, -0.6885, -0.6843, -0.6695, -0.6393, -0.5847, -0.5688, -0.6194, -0.645, -0.6562, -0.6778, -0.6527, -0.6282, -0.5359, -0.5175, -0.5132, -0.5132, -0.5587, -0.5637, -0.5724, -0.5861, -0.5861, -0.5299, -0.5846, -0.5416, -0.5482, -0.6081, -0.5959, -0.5997, -0.5942, -0.5908, -0.5607, -0.5603, -0.5603, -0.5339, -0.5443, -0.5471, -0.5759, -0.5858, -0.5561, -0.463, -0.5302, -0.4823, -0.4757, -0.4525, -0.5263, -0.5473, -0.4741, -0.4312, -0.4243, -0.4254, -0.4777, -0.4722, -0.4722, -0.4787, -0.4843, -0.4422, -0.3864, -0.3594, -0.3319, -0.31, -0.3626, 0.0, 0.217, 0.1319, 0.1838, 0.2008, 0.1348, 0.3133, 0.4305, 0.5079, 0.2607, 0.1494, 0.1168, 0.0249, 0.0997, 0.21, 0.0393, 0.1369, 0.3522, 0.3583, 0.1566, 0.166, 0.0114, 0.0043, 0.0252, 0.2336, 0.2336, 0.2757, 0.3967, 0.5754, 0.5826, 0.788, 0.8187, 0.738, 0.6924, 0.8677, 0.8927, 0.9408, 0.7876, 0.774, 0.6352, 0.9253, 0.7307, 0.6296, 0.8144, 0.9513, 1.1787, 1.0537, 1.1438, 1.1197, 0.8705, 0.7683, 1.1952, 1.2353, 1.6487, 1.4168, 1.26, 1.057, 1.0341, 0.962, 1.0991, 1.1547, 1.1547, 1.1087, 1.135, 1.0066, 0.8807, 0.8807, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2016249140855156962", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-01-27T20:37:09+00:00", "symbol": "MTRN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "might be a hidden beneficiary of material transitions", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish MTRN as a potential hidden beneficiary of thermal/material chokepoint as NVDA Rubin deployments push to 2000W in 2027.", "resolved_tickers": ["MTRN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "There's an interesting company on here that happens to own ~25-30% of this semi-grade material supply chain in the world.\n\nThermal is probably an issue, so might be a potential material composite chokepoint with $NVDA architectures in 2027.\n\nThere was no issue with H200s (<1000W) but as you get higher to 2000w with Rubin deployments, might be a hidden beneficiary of material transitions.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Personal TLDR research. \n \nWestern supply chain bottlenecks like $LPTH and $AXTI:  \n\n$MTRN - Beryllium (Spor Mountain) \n$HALEU - Uranium | SMRs \n$ESE - Space fuel tanks (through Vacco) \n$GHM - Vacuum Ejectors &amp; Surface Condensers | U.S. Navy \n$FEIM - Atomic Clocks  \n$OPXS - Light", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.009284056580622257, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.009284056580622257, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.013252509941549473, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.013252509941549473, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0039684533609272155, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0039684533609272155, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00430774686144364, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00430774686144364, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004408416765093515, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004408416765093515, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00010066990364987483, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00010066990364987483, "ret_p1w": 0.07702014383295608, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07702014383295608, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08558958138298856, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08558958138298856, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.008569437550032477, "bench_c_p1w": -0.008569437550032477, "ret_p1m": 0.2008157374929369, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2008157374929369, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.20418017143196454, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.20418017143196454, "bench_spy_p1m": -0.0033644339390276334, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0033644339390276334, "ret_p3m": 0.38190818963393847, "ret_signed_p3m": 0.38190818963393847, "alpha_spy_p3m": 0.35257664043411907, "alpha_c_p3m": 0.35257664043411907, "bench_spy_p3m": 0.029331549199819396, "bench_c_p3m": 0.029331549199819396, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1431, -0.1496, -0.1508, -0.1728, -0.1397, -0.1458, -0.1386, -0.1234, -0.1119, -0.1119, -0.1285, -0.1355, -0.1613, -0.1545, -0.1496, -0.1564, -0.1275, -0.125, -0.1032, -0.1029, -0.1029, -0.0925, -0.0952, -0.0931, -0.0662, -0.0835, -0.0697, -0.0847, -0.0752, -0.0534, -0.0299, -0.0506, -0.0642, -0.0657, -0.0775, -0.0723, -0.0593, -0.0458, -0.0449, -0.0497, -0.0497, -0.0426, -0.0584, -0.0597, -0.0766, -0.0766, -0.0454, -0.0367, 0.0, -0.0192, 0.0117, 0.0247, 0.0363, 0.038, 0.0931, 0.1081, 0.0837, 0.0837, 0.0812, 0.1075, 0.105, 0.0035, 0.0093, 0.0, 0.0043, 0.0541, 0.027, 0.0421, 0.077, 0.1262, 0.0831, 0.1243, 0.116, 0.1185, 0.1669, 0.1809, 0.186, 0.186, 0.1387, 0.1372, 0.1214, 0.1079, 0.0868, 0.1528, 0.2008, 0.1988, 0.2122, 0.2384, 0.1988, 0.1903, 0.1181, 0.0719, 0.0796, 0.0971, 0.0658, 0.0289, 0.011, 0.0711, 0.074, 0.0511, 0.0067, -0.0183, 0.0257, 0.0515, 0.1011, 0.0458, 0.0511, 0.0216, 0.0753, 0.0996, 0.1086, 0.1086, 0.1066, 0.1215, 0.205, 0.2115, 0.2143, 0.2439, 0.2295, 0.2111, 0.2381, 0.3526, 0.3452, 0.3259, 0.333, 0.3623, 0.3819, 0.3496, 0.3179, 0.2827, 0.3664, 0.3992, 0.408, 0.4639, 0.4635, 0.4203, 0.4821, 0.5093, 0.5139, 0.5689, 0.5692, 0.5241, 0.5038, 0.4422, 0.5318, 0.562, 0.5986, 0.5986, 0.6573, 0.6506, 0.6531, 0.6368, 0.6368, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2058837497036312604", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-25T09:08:05+00:00", "symbol": "POET", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Not even including small guys like $POET", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author disagrees with parent's overvalued call: SIVE still undervalued vs $5-15B+ private comps; also bullish POET as an overlooked play.", "resolved_tickers": ["POET"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Nah, I think $SIVE is still extremely undervalued relatively speaking.\n\nAyar, Lightmatter, Lightelligence, celestial, and others all probably command $5-$15B+ valuations. \n\nNot even including small guys like $POET or pluggables like $JBL.\n\nSivers lasers likely power them all, and they’re primary/sole source for a lot.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Interesting company but insanely overvalued if you’re entering now.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "yvesai0", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08498970240916826, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08498970240916826, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.09162831100015845, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.12979121371553048, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0066386085909901915, "bench_c_p1d": 0.04480151130636223, "ret_p1w": -0.1576422321234111, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1576422321234111, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.172180032680458, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.19687388305383402, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014537800557046898, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03923165093042291, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5641, -0.5723, -0.5888, -0.5264, -0.5175, -0.5312, -0.5449, -0.5696, -0.5415, -0.5202, -0.4901, -0.4901, -0.5319, -0.5264, -0.5497, -0.5764, -0.573, -0.5936, -0.5846, -0.6066, -0.5819, -0.6237, -0.6443, -0.6518, -0.5929, -0.6162, -0.5812, -0.5812, -0.5833, -0.5915, -0.5737, -0.5833, -0.5175, -0.4997, -0.5401, -0.5223, -0.4969, -0.5024, -0.4112, -0.2975, -0.1247, -0.1967, 0.035, -0.4551, -0.4496, -0.5476, -0.512, -0.499, -0.5127, -0.3687, -0.3338, -0.3434, -0.2495, -0.0473, -0.0589, -0.0151, 0.4099, 0.0946, -0.026, -0.1042, 0.013, 0.0158, 0.0, 0.0, -0.085, -0.0898, -0.0912, -0.1576, -0.1576, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2060068635159478351", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-28T18:40:11+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm actually even more bullish on $AAOI at $13B MC given all the recent laser bottlenecks… Probably my favorite US-based photonics long stock now that I own.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long AAOI at $13B MC on laser bottlenecks, potential NVDA/AMD supply agreements, and $471M H1 2027 revenue ramp; author's top US photonics holding.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’m actually even more bullish on $AAOI at $13B MC given all the recent laser bottlenecks…\n\nThan I was back at $2B or $6B.\n\nI also think markets missed the analyst note around potential long term supply agreements with $NVDA or $AMD. \n\nIf they’re projecting $471M in H1 2027… that’s absurd ramp. \n\nBut of course the $600M ATM is a short term overhang.\n\nJust a matter of waiting time? Given it’s more about keeping up with demand… \n\nSo more of a matter of how much they can make. \n\nProbably my favorite US-based photonics long stock now that I own.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit You’re delusional if you think it’s undervalued at 6b mcap", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.06395691211300636, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06395691211300636, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06944320120288694, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06944320120288694, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0054862890898805805, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0054862890898805805, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06277363828040261, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06277363828040261, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06526503099659331, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06526503099659331, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002491392716190699, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002491392716190699, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3935, -0.4359, -0.4101, -0.4016, -0.4345, -0.3455, -0.2871, -0.2486, -0.3717, -0.4272, -0.4434, -0.4892, -0.452, -0.397, -0.4821, -0.4334, -0.3261, -0.3231, -0.4236, -0.4189, -0.496, -0.4995, -0.4891, -0.3852, -0.3852, -0.3643, -0.304, -0.2149, -0.2113, -0.109, -0.0937, -0.1339, -0.1566, -0.0692, -0.0568, -0.0328, -0.1092, -0.116, -0.1851, -0.0405, -0.1375, -0.1879, -0.0958, -0.0276, 0.0857, 0.0234, 0.0683, 0.0563, -0.0679, -0.1188, 0.094, 0.114, 0.32, 0.2044, 0.1263, 0.0251, 0.0137, -0.0222, 0.0461, 0.0738, 0.0738, 0.0509, 0.064, 0.0, -0.0628, -0.0628, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2041519692985344500", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-07T14:13:19+00:00", "symbol": "SNDK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "they're all likely backlogged on orders into 2028. Signaling near-guaranteed fundamental revenue and likely margin expansion into the next year", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long HPS.A, SNDK, and LITE on multi-year order backlogs into 2028, near-guaranteed revenue, and likely margin expansion despite macro volatility.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNDK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The nice thing about multi-year bottlenecks from:\n\n$HPS.A to $SNDK to $LITE \n\nIs that you can sleep a easier despite market volatility like today.  \n\nKnowing demand will be extreme even 1 year...\n\nEven if Trump wants to nuke Bikini Bottom and other companies might be more impacted:\n\n-> One has a huge market share over Transformers\n-> One has huge market share over NAND\n-> One has huge market share over EML/OCS.\n\nAnd the one thing in common is that they're all likely backlogged on orders into 2028. \n\nSignaling near-guaranteed fundamental revenue and likely margin expansion into the next year. \n\nIt's H1 2026 now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.019456974292846985, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.019456974292846985, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.019896854818666654, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.019896854818666654, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0004398805258196692, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0004398805258196692, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09862132502105703, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09862132502105703, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07315177038272935, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07315177038272935, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.025469554638327674, "bench_c_p1d": 0.025469554638327674, "ret_p1w": 0.32872824731638084, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.32872824731638084, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2752710511820706, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2752710511820706, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.053457196134310214, "bench_c_p1w": 0.053457196134310214, "ret_p1m": 0.9836522294362053, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.9836522294362053, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.8704729422444968, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.8704729422444968, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.11317928719170856, "bench_c_p1m": 0.11317928719170856, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5293, -0.469, -0.4523, -0.4516, -0.4544, -0.4243, -0.4181, -0.4181, -0.3625, -0.2948, -0.2917, -0.3334, -0.3376, -0.3227, -0.2577, -0.2413, -0.1893, -0.0641, -0.0215, -0.1776, -0.1894, -0.1588, -0.1792, -0.238, -0.1568, -0.1133, -0.1185, -0.1185, -0.1691, -0.1553, -0.1262, -0.0856, -0.0623, -0.1017, -0.1103, -0.0829, -0.1061, -0.129, -0.2045, -0.1572, -0.2043, -0.2581, -0.1717, -0.1293, -0.0779, -0.1294, -0.0692, -0.0101, 0.0132, 0.0603, 0.0862, -0.0015, -0.0117, -0.0117, -0.0463, -0.1514, -0.1336, -0.1946, -0.1062, -0.0254, -0.013, -0.013, 0.0195, 0.0, 0.0986, 0.198, 0.1983, 0.34, 0.3287, 0.2545, 0.2936, 0.2957, 0.2845, 0.2711, 0.3774, 0.3118, 0.3927, 0.5056, 0.4102, 0.4972, 0.5426, 0.6699, 0.7668, 0.9785, 0.9837, 0.8851, 1.198, 1.1772, 1.0428, 1.0361, 0.9453, 0.9803, 0.8754, 0.9461, 0.9591, 1.1697, 1.0803, 1.0803, 1.2363, 1.2368, 1.3096, 1.3846, 1.3846, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2041519692985344500", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-04-07T14:13:19+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "they're all likely backlogged on orders into 2028. Signaling near-guaranteed fundamental revenue and likely margin expansion into the next year", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long HPS.A, SNDK, and LITE on multi-year order backlogs into 2028, near-guaranteed revenue, and likely margin expansion despite macro volatility.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The nice thing about multi-year bottlenecks from:\n\n$HPS.A to $SNDK to $LITE \n\nIs that you can sleep a easier despite market volatility like today.  \n\nKnowing demand will be extreme even 1 year...\n\nEven if Trump wants to nuke Bikini Bottom and other companies might be more impacted:\n\n-> One has a huge market share over Transformers\n-> One has huge market share over NAND\n-> One has huge market share over EML/OCS.\n\nAnd the one thing in common is that they're all likely backlogged on orders into 2028. \n\nSignaling near-guaranteed fundamental revenue and likely margin expansion into the next year. \n\nIt's H1 2026 now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05328834900781487, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05328834900781487, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0528484684819952, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0528484684819952, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0004398805258196692, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0004398805258196692, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09840026911584432, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09840026911584432, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07293071447751664, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07293071447751664, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.025469554638327674, "bench_c_p1d": 0.025469554638327674, "ret_p1w": 0.045406041100023, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.045406041100023, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.008051155034287216, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.008051155034287216, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.053457196134310214, "bench_c_p1w": 0.053457196134310214, "ret_p1m": 0.15756056303631638, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.15756056303631638, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.044381275844607826, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.044381275844607826, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.11317928719170856, "bench_c_p1m": 0.11317928719170856, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5731, -0.5692, -0.5834, -0.5571, -0.5935, -0.5792, -0.6025, -0.6025, -0.5626, -0.5557, -0.5654, -0.5842, -0.5925, -0.5456, -0.528, -0.5324, -0.5197, -0.4809, -0.4666, -0.4293, -0.3816, -0.3233, -0.2925, -0.3121, -0.2962, -0.2848, -0.3102, -0.3102, -0.264, -0.2715, -0.2208, -0.1814, -0.1729, -0.1563, -0.1132, -0.1701, -0.1408, -0.0398, -0.1487, -0.1654, -0.2022, -0.3154, -0.2146, -0.1762, -0.1762, -0.2448, -0.2369, -0.234, -0.2037, -0.1409, -0.0535, -0.1341, -0.1064, -0.0169, -0.0473, -0.1556, -0.1385, -0.1973, -0.1385, -0.0626, 0.0136, 0.0136, -0.0533, 0.0, 0.0984, 0.0961, 0.1, 0.0679, 0.0454, 0.0101, 0.0925, 0.096, 0.0973, 0.026, 0.0709, 0.0382, 0.0808, 0.0539, -0.0299, 0.0522, 0.1061, 0.1645, 0.1967, 0.2192, 0.1576, 0.0942, 0.1079, 0.2909, 0.2165, 0.2631, 0.2281, 0.1899, 0.0849, 0.0911, 0.0641, 0.1823, 0.1608, 0.1608, 0.1165, 0.1061, 0.055, 0.0481, 0.0481, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2041881815397626193", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-08T14:12:15+00:00", "symbol": "AEHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$10B MC on $AEHR seems possible in 1 1/2 years", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "AEHR could reach $10B market cap within 18 months, implying significant upside from current levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["AEHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Yolo365247isme @raghavrmehta $10B MC on $AEHR seems possible in 1 1/2 years.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @raghavrmehta What about aehr?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Yolo365247isme", "ret_m1d": -0.20440151802725315, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.20440151802725315, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1795645499055516, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.14997037549352787, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.024836968121701553, "bench_c_m1d": -0.054431142533725274, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0902470040644403, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0902470040644403, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08447791289335194, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07277328824058005, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00576909117108837, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01747371582386026, "ret_p1w": 0.1592780461937131, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1592780461937131, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12387917290768313, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08815351763695456, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.035398873286029975, "bench_c_p1w": 0.07112452855675855, "ret_p1m": 0.4449018739186985, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4449018739186985, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3626989382794983, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.167828293956217, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08220293563920023, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2770735799624815, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5833, -0.5828, -0.5755, -0.5888, -0.58, -0.5439, -0.5439, -0.5399, -0.5377, -0.5106, -0.556, -0.576, -0.5606, -0.557, -0.5744, -0.594, -0.5874, -0.5695, -0.6227, -0.6358, -0.5822, -0.5632, -0.5752, -0.4641, -0.5584, -0.5434, -0.5434, -0.5489, -0.5407, -0.5207, -0.468, -0.4566, -0.3789, -0.3433, -0.3699, -0.4074, -0.3029, -0.3407, -0.3246, -0.3589, -0.4362, -0.3528, -0.3357, -0.3279, -0.4039, -0.4352, -0.4066, -0.4128, -0.4251, -0.4022, -0.4535, -0.4118, -0.3795, -0.382, -0.4527, -0.4851, -0.5231, -0.4129, -0.373, -0.2983, -0.2983, -0.1742, -0.2044, 0.0, 0.0902, 0.1151, 0.1346, 0.1776, 0.1593, 0.2801, 0.3277, 0.4273, 0.4839, 0.5415, 0.5122, 0.5185, 0.4009, 0.3051, 0.2953, 0.4338, 0.4736, 0.3554, 0.4438, 0.5315, 0.4449, 0.5394, 0.6555, 0.5313, 0.6347, 0.6837, 0.5754, 0.3231, 0.2847, 0.3037, 0.4455, 0.5044, 0.5044, 0.7403, 0.6438, 0.5831, 0.4618, 0.4618, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2045984061190181110", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-19T21:53:07+00:00", "symbol": "photonics supply chain", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm long the entire supply chain from substrates to foundries to osats", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long the full photonics supply chain — substrates, foundries, OSATs — on scalability demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR", "LITE", "AAOI", "FN", "POET"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Photonics supply chain basket from substrates to OSATs", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@dontbuytops Photonics is the solution to scalability.\n\nIf we’re talking about mass production of photonics like EML/DFB stuff, there’s bottlenecks for sure.\n\nWhich is why I’m long the entire supply chain from substrates to foundries to osats .", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Don't you think photonics could have a scalability problem soon?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "dontbuytops", "ret_m1d": -0.04047809759439878, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04047809759439878, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04248177182965949, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04248177182965949, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006441346503367895, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.006441346503367895, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01298829565830415, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01298829565830415, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "ret_p1w": -0.0637696913636749, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0637696913636749, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07287062328835621, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07287062328835621, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "ret_p1m": 0.10996441110484248, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10996441110484248, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07467542419960208, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07467542419960208, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4217, -0.4615, -0.4729, -0.4833, -0.4477, -0.4434, -0.4618, -0.4621, -0.4446, -0.4457, -0.4742, -0.4731, -0.4108, -0.3849, -0.4147, -0.415, -0.4279, -0.4233, -0.4233, -0.4151, -0.4108, -0.3902, -0.3562, -0.3467, -0.321, -0.289, -0.3331, -0.2957, -0.2006, -0.2447, -0.2473, -0.2746, -0.3366, -0.2698, -0.2343, -0.2267, -0.2738, -0.3003, -0.2955, -0.312, -0.2952, -0.2446, -0.3064, -0.276, -0.2194, -0.2129, -0.302, -0.3042, -0.3642, -0.3151, -0.2977, -0.2379, -0.2379, -0.2503, -0.2289, -0.1561, -0.1554, -0.0852, -0.0736, -0.099, -0.1059, -0.0565, -0.0405, 0.0, 0.0064, 0.0742, 0.0219, 0.1462, -0.0638, -0.1111, -0.1082, -0.0523, -0.0015, -0.0098, 0.0395, 0.0481, -0.0222, 0.0096, 0.1892, 0.1683, 0.269, 0.3982, 0.248, 0.1495, 0.11, 0.1358, 0.1954, 0.1917, 0.1917, 0.1456, 0.1459, 0.1156, 0.0659, 0.0659, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2054532386239693206", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-13T12:01:06+00:00", "symbol": "TSEM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSEM reported extra prepayment ($290M) to secure capacity", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish SOI on downstream foundry capacity squeeze driving upstream substrate demand; TSEM's $290M prepayment signals tight supply benefiting both names.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSEM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just in case you were wondering $TSEM reported extra prepayment ($290M) to secure capacity.\n\nDownstream foundry capacity squeeze directly translates to an immense demand for raw substrates upstream with $SOI (more revenue). \n\nMy optical picks are very interconnected. https://t.co/4vIAvS1jOl", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit Is $SOI already facing substrate supply tightness? \nIf CPO scale-up accelerates, will Tower sign a longer-term strategic supply agreement with them, or stick to the spot market for flexibility?", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.184436936177944, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.184436936177944, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1788732163083534, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1788732163083534, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005563719869590589, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005563719869590589, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03663631063350037, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03663631063350037, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.028742054364777614, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.028742054364777614, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007894256268722755, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007894256268722755, "ret_p1w": -0.023229967435667853, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.023229967435667853, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.021801995884590752, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.021801995884590752, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0014279715510771007, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0014279715510771007, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5245, -0.5245, -0.5281, -0.526, -0.5352, -0.5255, -0.5294, -0.5346, -0.5348, -0.5426, -0.5388, -0.4882, -0.5364, -0.5439, -0.5548, -0.5916, -0.5736, -0.5683, -0.5589, -0.5622, -0.5394, -0.4886, -0.4909, -0.4757, -0.3866, -0.3957, -0.3643, -0.3322, -0.303, -0.3549, -0.3651, -0.4143, -0.3519, -0.3091, -0.2695, -0.2695, -0.2976, -0.2951, -0.2478, -0.2473, -0.2481, -0.2264, -0.2093, -0.2036, -0.2069, -0.1637, -0.1709, -0.1996, -0.2388, -0.2567, -0.2594, -0.2491, -0.2852, -0.2644, -0.1836, -0.1949, -0.2057, -0.1671, -0.1991, -0.2244, -0.2207, -0.1547, -0.1844, 0.0, 0.0366, 0.0119, -0.0838, -0.072, -0.0232, 0.0304, 0.0468, 0.0468, 0.0656, 0.0259, 0.0175, -0.0574, -0.0574, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2052454501265875027", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-07T18:24:20+00:00", "symbol": "FLNC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "One large $MSFT contract as seen with $NBIS would likely cause a massive rerating for a small energy company like $FLNC. But they had 2, not just 1", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long FLNC: two hyperscaler agreements should drive massive rerating for the small energy company.", "resolved_tickers": ["FLNC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@AorakiTrading Yeah, I wouldn’t have taken positions if they didn’t get 2 hyperscaler agreements.\n\nOne large $MSFT contract as seen with $NBIS would likely cause a massive rerating for a small energy company like $FLNC.\n\nBut they had 2, not just 1", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit People have been watching this for a while but everyone I know has actively avoided it due to how bad the margins are and no path to improve them.\n\nThat backlog is impressive relative to market cap though, similar to what $RKLB had at $4.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "AorakiTrading", "ret_m1d": -0.28518708959199934, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.28518708959199934, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.28826262466326924, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.28826262466326924, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003075535071269897, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003075535071269897, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.2735899168116449, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.2735899168116449, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.2653338438104027, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.2653338438104027, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008256073001242203, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008256073001242203, "ret_p1w": 0.10384824944702475, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10384824944702475, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08117135090856298, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08117135090856298, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022676898538461776, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022676898538461776, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0227, 0.0011, -0.0764, -0.0807, -0.0269, -0.0269, -0.0627, -0.0812, -0.127, -0.1276, -0.1529, -0.1307, -0.1392, -0.146, -0.1808, -0.203, -0.2135, -0.1671, -0.1692, -0.2209, -0.1724, -0.1102, -0.098, -0.1344, -0.1365, -0.1154, -0.1302, -0.1571, -0.155, -0.2024, -0.1903, -0.1487, -0.1381, -0.2114, -0.2541, -0.3147, -0.2746, -0.3137, -0.2989, -0.2989, -0.3042, -0.3015, -0.3084, -0.2852, -0.2736, -0.2804, -0.2198, -0.1982, -0.2103, -0.2865, -0.3342, -0.3268, -0.2884, -0.2873, -0.2947, -0.2957, -0.349, -0.3764, -0.3579, -0.3574, -0.35, -0.331, -0.2852, 0.0, 0.2736, 0.33, 0.1218, 0.165, 0.1038, 0.0949, 0.03, -0.0559, -0.0016, 0.0643, 0.1328, 0.1328, 0.1244, 0.1186, 0.126, -0.0047, -0.0047, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2043729657745596698", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-13T16:34:55+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "you're not buying into a $6B ATM printed and sold into rallies with $IREN", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish IREN on $6B ATM dilution; bullish NBIS for long-term share price appreciation.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@mwallacegreen3 Glad to hear it… yeah it’s like a weight lifted off your shoulders that you’re not buying into a $6B ATM printed and sold into rallies with $IREN.\n\nWith other stocks like $NBIS you can actually benefit from long term share price appreciation.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Based on your dilution warning   I dumped IREN and added to NBIS… And boy-oh-boy am I glad I acted when I did. You saved my arse 🙌", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mwallacegreen3", "ret_m1d": -0.08706756504692159, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08706756504692159, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07738974279133759, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0698395473876644, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009677822255584001, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01722801765925719, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09983745687319523, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09983745687319523, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08765257612082511, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.09751459717053934, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01218488075237012, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0023228597026558884, "ret_p1w": 0.13118183343191148, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.13118183343191148, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09821288441268172, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.112405193409298, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.032968949019229754, "bench_c_p1w": 0.018776640022613478, "ret_p1m": 0.3132110929661305, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3132110929661305, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.23730376321383484, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3147596414871082, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07590732975229564, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0015485485209777439, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2278, 0.2048, 0.3425, 0.3425, 0.2598, 0.2417, 0.2134, 0.316, 0.2157, 0.3928, 0.4613, 0.3894, 0.2477, 0.2324, 0.2628, 0.0434, -0.0762, -0.0288, 0.0715, -0.0033, -0.0093, -0.0706, -0.0197, -0.0197, -0.0488, -0.023, 0.0051, -0.0717, -0.0165, 0.0553, 0.0223, 0.0272, -0.0492, -0.039, -0.098, 0.0179, -0.0684, -0.1479, -0.0982, -0.1149, -0.0253, -0.0395, -0.0346, 0.0434, -0.0026, -0.02, -0.0327, -0.0413, -0.0211, -0.0453, -0.0381, -0.1305, -0.1853, -0.2658, -0.2041, -0.2085, -0.1927, -0.1927, -0.1844, -0.1702, -0.1449, -0.1395, -0.0871, 0.0, 0.0998, 0.1335, 0.1075, 0.1173, 0.1312, 0.0488, 0.1235, 0.2078, 0.1758, 0.1228, 0.0318, -0.0049, 0.0567, 0.0601, 0.1488, 0.271, 0.4158, 0.3199, 0.4209, 0.2805, 0.3132, 0.2809, 0.3559, 0.2292, 0.1716, 0.1084, 0.2238, 0.348, 0.3195, 0.3195, 0.388, 0.5751, 0.4871, 0.4753, 0.4753, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2043729657745596698", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-13T16:34:55+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "With other stocks like $NBIS you can actually benefit from long term share price appreciation", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish IREN on $6B ATM dilution; bullish NBIS for long-term share price appreciation.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@mwallacegreen3 Glad to hear it… yeah it’s like a weight lifted off your shoulders that you’re not buying into a $6B ATM printed and sold into rallies with $IREN.\n\nWith other stocks like $NBIS you can actually benefit from long term share price appreciation.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Based on your dilution warning   I dumped IREN and added to NBIS… And boy-oh-boy am I glad I acted when I did. You saved my arse 🙌", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mwallacegreen3", "ret_m1d": -0.06204707873558979, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06204707873558979, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05236925648000579, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0544699776304306, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009677822255584001, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00757710110515919, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04774847955089245, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04774847955089245, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03556359879852233, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03259434378713877, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01218488075237012, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015154135763753684, "ret_p1w": 0.029761944721639733, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.029761944721639733, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0032070042975900215, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.004465544527804566, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.032968949019229754, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0342274892494443, "ret_p1m": 0.15883801397221742, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.15883801397221742, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08293068421992178, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14978035051383443, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07590732975229564, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009057663458382992, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3402, -0.3279, -0.2965, -0.2965, -0.3576, -0.3603, -0.3734, -0.3886, -0.4083, -0.3668, -0.3502, -0.3859, -0.4488, -0.4296, -0.418, -0.4669, -0.5221, -0.4429, -0.3991, -0.4061, -0.4267, -0.4194, -0.3659, -0.3659, -0.369, -0.3414, -0.3038, -0.3665, -0.3491, -0.3363, -0.3134, -0.3214, -0.41, -0.4112, -0.4384, -0.3674, -0.3811, -0.422, -0.3857, -0.3761, -0.2754, -0.301, -0.2692, -0.1599, -0.2473, -0.2329, -0.2138, -0.239, -0.2615, -0.2565, -0.2554, -0.3144, -0.3477, -0.4031, -0.3287, -0.3404, -0.2959, -0.2959, -0.2719, -0.2404, -0.1913, -0.1179, -0.062, 0.0, 0.0477, 0.079, 0.0697, 0.0167, 0.0298, 0.0129, 0.0102, 0.0163, -0.0479, -0.0621, -0.1233, -0.0865, -0.1057, -0.0005, 0.1414, 0.1382, 0.2622, 0.1955, 0.1455, 0.2041, 0.1588, 0.341, 0.4308, 0.423, 0.2931, 0.2793, 0.2411, 0.4229, 0.3896, 0.3896, 0.3461, 0.3481, 0.4644, 0.4951, 0.4951, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2038943956697059637", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-31T11:38:15+00:00", "symbol": "MRVL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Just look at $MRVL Celestial ( $SIVE is the light source at ~$290m ) as an example. Marvell bought it for $5.5B. ($3.25B + 2.25B milestones). 2028 expectations: $500m revenue 2029 expectations: $1B revenue. This is massive TAM expansion and revenue acceleration.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "SIVE is author's #1 pick on CPO/ELS/CW laser supercycle ramp 2027+; also bullish MRVL on massive TAM expansion via Celestial acquisition.", "resolved_tickers": ["MRVL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just look at $MRVL Celestial ( $SIVE is the light source at ~$290m ) as an example.\n\nMarvell bought it for $5.5B. ($3.25B + 2.25B milestones).\n\n2026/2027 expectations: 0 revenue, -$50m loss\n\n2028 expectations: $500m revenue\n2029 expectations: $1B revenue.\n\nThis is massive TAM expansion and revenue acceleration.\n\nThis is just one of Sivers customer on top of O-Net, Ayar, other undisclosed CPO players, with Jabil bridging volume ramp and Win with yields.\n\nRandom retail users with no understanding of photonics… are doing the equivalent of modeling Celestial at $50m because of no CPO revenue in 2025 2026. \n\nAnd because it’s operating at a net loss instead of looking at the massive ramp 2027 onward.\n\n$SIVE is my #1 pick for frontrunning the next architectural supercycles at the very beginning for ELS TAM expansion + CPO + CW laser chokepoints. \n\nIf you want a later stage pick, you can look at $LITE that already ran 3800%.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Pls stop tagging me in stuff where random retail investors or journalists tries doing an analysis on $AXTI or $SIVE.\n\nFor $AXTI:\n\nMajority of folks have 0 clue what they’re talking about. \n\nSamsung Foundry or $LITE InP fab are completely different parts of the supply chain and", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.11347802813553998, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11347802813553998, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08523117972738214, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08523117972738214, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.028246848408157832, "bench_c_m1d": -0.028246848408157832, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0773346652090221, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0773346652090221, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06980020142613208, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06980020142613208, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007534463782890022, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007534463782890022, "ret_p1w": 0.10429073689295154, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10429073689295154, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09063642763784907, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09063642763784907, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01365430925510247, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01365430925510247, "ret_p1m": 0.581508156556942, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.581508156556942, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4873420469750309, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4873420469750309, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09416610958191107, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09416610958191107, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1427, -0.0982, -0.0897, -0.1099, -0.1461, -0.1581, -0.1598, -0.1631, -0.1615, -0.1801, -0.1885, -0.1877, -0.1877, -0.1943, -0.1666, -0.161, -0.19, -0.1745, -0.1627, -0.1558, -0.1788, -0.2032, -0.2059, -0.2374, -0.2556, -0.2508, -0.1895, -0.1686, -0.172, -0.1788, -0.2102, -0.2064, -0.2064, -0.2023, -0.2015, -0.1963, -0.1976, -0.2146, -0.2086, -0.183, -0.1995, -0.1753, -0.1836, -0.2175, -0.2116, -0.2359, -0.0957, -0.0646, -0.0581, -0.0869, -0.1149, -0.113, -0.0754, -0.0834, -0.1154, -0.0961, -0.1125, -0.0898, -0.0675, -0.0061, -0.0138, -0.0421, -0.1135, 0.0, 0.0773, 0.0814, 0.0814, 0.1056, 0.1043, 0.1555, 0.2108, 0.2979, 0.3263, 0.3518, 0.3596, 0.3472, 0.411, 0.4933, 0.5284, 0.5891, 0.6723, 0.6597, 0.5981, 0.5478, 0.5815, 0.6682, 0.6662, 0.6531, 0.7045, 0.7389, 0.6163, 0.7185, 0.7256, 0.6616, 0.7975, 0.8442, 0.7868, 0.7064, 0.7805, 0.8869, 0.9262, 0.9831, 0.9831, 1.1036, 1.0071, 1.069, 1.0707, 1.0707, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2060605076398575816", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-30T06:11:49+00:00", "symbol": "Sivers Semiconductors", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd expect a lot of revenue projection hikes next quarter. It's more about looking Jabil or Ayar, then seeing that scale flow back to Sivers once those ramps.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long Sivers Semi as sole-source laser provider for Jabil's 1.6T LRO; expects significant revenue projection hikes next quarter as customer ramps scale back.", "resolved_tickers": ["SIVE.ST"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Sivers Semiconductors on Nasdaq Stockholm as SIVE.ST", "bench_c": "FEZ", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='ST')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "You already have $JBL as one example, confirming excessive demand with $SIVE expected sole source laser provider for their 1.6T LRO.\n\nDon’t really have concerns there. It’s more about looking Jabil or Ayar, then seeing that scale flow back to Sivers once those ramps. \n\nAnd I’d expect a lot of revenue projection hikes next quarter.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Revenue pipeline obviously very different to backlog though. Any concerns about them not confirming any order backlog or any details on any specific large orders at all Serenity?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "halldj00", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": null, "ret_signed_p1d": null, "alpha_spy_p1d": null, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": null, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.952, -0.9511, -0.9478, -0.95, -0.9467, -0.9402, -0.9407, -0.9385, -0.8932, -0.8999, -0.8706, -0.8479, -0.8777, -0.8348, -0.8193, -0.7901, -0.8355, -0.8562, -0.855, -0.8447, -0.8383, -0.8564, -0.8564, -0.8564, -0.8601, -0.829, -0.8351, -0.8057, -0.7556, -0.7685, -0.6986, -0.6693, -0.6569, -0.5484, -0.504, -0.5649, -0.5887, -0.5365, -0.571, -0.5371, -0.4216, -0.4489, -0.4489, -0.1885, -0.2067, -0.3001, -0.2786, -0.3688, -0.2821, -0.3743, -0.1784, -0.1784, -0.1922, -0.3024, -0.3407, -0.2168, -0.1436, 0.0573, 0.2408, 0.2596, 0.0645, 0.0181, 0.0, 0.0, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2057826212257685733", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-22T14:09:36+00:00", "symbol": "INTC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the list of US stocks I've liked from $INTC to $NBIS hasn't changed", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author holds ongoing longs in US stocks including INTC and NBIS; list unchanged, letting winners run.", "resolved_tickers": ["INTC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "People keep asking:\n\nHey why do have new longs with Taiwan/EU stocks recently like $LPK or Foci?\n\nAnd not much with new US ones?\n\nIt's partly because the list of US stocks I've liked from $INTC to $NBIS hasn't changed. \n\nYou can always just let the ones you like grow. https://t.co/ostZWjOAAm", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Here's a bunch of random 30 US-available random stocks I like today and why:  \n\n1. $INTC - America's hope for foundry, national security\n2. $MRVL - scales rev from future maia asics and add ons like cpo, they do everything lost count\n3. $TSM - backbone of semis/ai\n4. $COHR - They", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.011181545217278543, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011181545217278543, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.007265387436114823, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.007265387436114823, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0039161577811637205, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0039161577811637205, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.04305737809075161, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04305737809075161, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.057595178647798506, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.057595178647798506, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014537800557046898, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014537800557046898, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6152, -0.6088, -0.6207, -0.6194, -0.6203, -0.6404, -0.6197, -0.6166, -0.6377, -0.6197, -0.6096, -0.5996, -0.6224, -0.6181, -0.6182, -0.6323, -0.6242, -0.6147, -0.6339, -0.6328, -0.6323, -0.6063, -0.632, -0.6401, -0.6563, -0.6318, -0.5992, -0.5796, -0.5796, -0.5763, -0.5585, -0.5081, -0.485, -0.4795, -0.4561, -0.4675, -0.4581, -0.4284, -0.4284, -0.4518, -0.4471, -0.4554, -0.4428, -0.3112, -0.2908, -0.2947, -0.2094, -0.2116, -0.1687, -0.2008, -0.0975, -0.057, -0.0853, 0.0424, 0.0801, 0.0064, 0.0038, -0.0326, -0.0924, -0.0974, -0.0754, -0.0073, -0.0112, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0307, 0.0161, 0.0088, -0.0431, -0.0431, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2057826212257685733", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-22T14:09:36+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the list of US stocks I've liked from $INTC to $NBIS hasn't changed", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author holds ongoing longs in US stocks including INTC and NBIS; list unchanged, letting winners run.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "People keep asking:\n\nHey why do have new longs with Taiwan/EU stocks recently like $LPK or Foci?\n\nAnd not much with new US ones?\n\nIt's partly because the list of US stocks I've liked from $INTC to $NBIS hasn't changed. \n\nYou can always just let the ones you like grow. https://t.co/ostZWjOAAm", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Here's a bunch of random 30 US-available random stocks I like today and why:  \n\n1. $INTC - America's hope for foundry, national security\n2. $MRVL - scales rev from future maia asics and add ons like cpo, they do everything lost count\n3. $TSM - backbone of semis/ai\n4. $COHR - They", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.024025647439920306, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.024025647439920306, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.027941805221084026, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.018482607471764778, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0039161577811637205, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005543039968155528, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.07598822806152139, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07598822806152139, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06145042750447449, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07399616709878631, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014537800557046898, "bench_c_p1w": 0.001992060962735076, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5224, -0.5059, -0.5117, -0.5754, -0.5762, -0.5958, -0.5447, -0.5546, -0.5841, -0.5579, -0.551, -0.4785, -0.497, -0.4741, -0.3954, -0.4584, -0.448, -0.4342, -0.4523, -0.4685, -0.465, -0.4641, -0.5066, -0.5306, -0.5704, -0.5169, -0.5253, -0.4933, -0.4933, -0.476, -0.4534, -0.418, -0.3652, -0.325, -0.2803, -0.246, -0.2235, -0.2302, -0.2683, -0.2589, -0.2711, -0.273, -0.2686, -0.3148, -0.325, -0.369, -0.3426, -0.3564, -0.2807, -0.1786, -0.1809, -0.0916, -0.1397, -0.1756, -0.1335, -0.166, -0.0349, 0.0297, 0.0241, -0.0694, -0.0793, -0.1069, 0.024, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0312, -0.0298, 0.0539, 0.076, 0.076, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2060053746412060945", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-28T17:41:01+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "still long term bullish on $AAOI", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Still long-term bullish on AAOI despite $600M ATM offering.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MatteoDeDycker $600m ATM, still long term bullish on $AAOI", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What’s going on with AAOI?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MatteoDeDycker", "ret_m1d": 0.06395691211300636, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06395691211300636, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06944320120288694, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06944320120288694, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0054862890898805805, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0054862890898805805, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06277363828040261, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06277363828040261, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06526503099659331, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06526503099659331, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002491392716190699, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002491392716190699, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3935, -0.4359, -0.4101, -0.4016, -0.4345, -0.3455, -0.2871, -0.2486, -0.3717, -0.4272, -0.4434, -0.4892, -0.452, -0.397, -0.4821, -0.4334, -0.3261, -0.3231, -0.4236, -0.4189, -0.496, -0.4995, -0.4891, -0.3852, -0.3852, -0.3643, -0.304, -0.2149, -0.2113, -0.109, -0.0937, -0.1339, -0.1566, -0.0692, -0.0568, -0.0328, -0.1092, -0.116, -0.1851, -0.0405, -0.1375, -0.1879, -0.0958, -0.0276, 0.0857, 0.0234, 0.0683, 0.0563, -0.0679, -0.1188, 0.094, 0.114, 0.32, 0.2044, 0.1263, 0.0251, 0.0137, -0.0222, 0.0461, 0.0738, 0.0738, 0.0509, 0.064, 0.0, -0.0628, -0.0628, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2050032080265040243", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-01T01:58:30+00:00", "symbol": "322310", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Auros (322310) is probably the highest upside long for that", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Names Auros (322310) as highest-upside long for hybrid bonding / HBM5 theme.", "resolved_tickers": ["322310.KQ"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Auros 322310 likely KOSDAQ-listed; retry with .KQ suffix", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KQ')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@gsaikrishna95 Towa is still a chokepoint when there’s hybrid bonding.\n\nAuros (322310) is probably the highest upside long for that.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Do you think as the hybrid bonding comes in with Hbm5 , we should slowly rotate Towa into names like $BESI ?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Coopvtik", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0027614670118818463, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007654354896074467, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0027614670118818463, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007654354896074467, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.30000000000000004, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.30000000000000004, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.303663379669742, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.2901852077907987, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0036633796697419507, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00981479220920134, "ret_p1w": 0.02753623188405796, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02753623188405796, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.003988087669502871, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.14653782335200494, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02354814421455509, "bench_c_p1w": 0.1740740552360629, "ret_p1m": -0.2884057971014493, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2884057971014493, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3381247381142103, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.5589613639598117, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.049718941012760975, "bench_c_p1m": 0.27055556685836235, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2072, -0.2159, -0.2551, -0.2551, -0.2072, -0.2377, -0.2681, -0.2609, -0.287, -0.287, -0.287, -0.287, -0.2362, -0.2696, -0.2957, -0.2652, -0.287, -0.1551, -0.1739, -0.1739, -0.213, -0.3174, -0.1812, -0.1522, -0.2377, -0.1942, -0.2145, -0.1261, -0.0435, -0.0725, -0.1014, -0.0232, -0.0435, -0.042, -0.1188, 0.0188, -0.0101, -0.0652, -0.0942, -0.1478, -0.1377, -0.0623, -0.1623, -0.1449, -0.1058, -0.1261, -0.0275, -0.0478, -0.0754, -0.0551, 0.0377, 0.0333, 0.0101, 0.0333, 0.0319, 0.0159, 0.0029, -0.0261, -0.0333, -0.0043, -0.0058, 0.0478, 0.0, 0.0, 0.3, 0.3, 0.2478, 0.1449, 0.0275, -0.0014, -0.0681, -0.1246, -0.1304, -0.1928, -0.1928, -0.2377, -0.2522, -0.1638, -0.158, -0.158, -0.1406, -0.1623, -0.213, -0.2435, -0.2884, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2047590663450243208", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-24T08:17:11+00:00", "symbol": "Shunsin", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "still like them all", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still bullish on Shunsin, Fittech, Win Semi despite recent correction; nothing fundamentally changed.", "resolved_tickers": ["6451.TW"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Shunsin Technology listed on TWSE as 6451.TW", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TW')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@miraclemaster07 A lot of Taiwanese stocks like shunsin, fittech, win semi and others corrected recently. It's just normal volatility, nothing's fundamentally changed, still like them all.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Agreed. Just thought to ask you about fittech. Do you have any comment on the recent price action and do you still like it?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "miraclemaster07", "ret_m1d": 0.11069651741293529, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.11069651741293529, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.11838622553350742, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.15440180330434894, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007689708120572125, "bench_c_m1d": -0.04370528589141365, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05597014925373134, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05597014925373134, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05769295574243338, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04756967366588949, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0017228064887020444, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008400475587841849, "ret_p1w": 0.07213930348258701, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07213930348258701, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0627407238404456, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05079743765254108, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009398579642141414, "bench_c_p1w": 0.021341865830045936, "ret_p1m": 0.4328358208955223, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4328358208955223, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.388434313627924, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.33350558631999516, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.044401507267598284, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09933023457552714, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6306, -0.6032, -0.5784, -0.5995, -0.5709, -0.5286, -0.4826, -0.5075, -0.556, -0.5697, -0.5585, -0.5871, -0.5871, -0.5871, -0.5871, -0.5871, -0.5871, -0.5871, -0.5871, -0.546, -0.5012, -0.4751, -0.4801, -0.4801, -0.4913, -0.4838, -0.5348, -0.5149, -0.5274, -0.5746, -0.5709, -0.5286, -0.5124, -0.4639, -0.4104, -0.352, -0.306, -0.3234, -0.3172, -0.3022, -0.2786, -0.2065, -0.1741, -0.092, -0.1828, -0.2637, -0.2413, -0.2649, -0.2649, -0.2649, -0.1915, -0.1107, -0.0224, 0.0746, 0.1816, 0.1841, 0.1343, 0.2289, 0.2562, 0.2612, 0.1791, 0.2338, 0.1107, 0.0, -0.056, 0.0075, -0.0112, 0.0721, 0.0721, 0.1791, 0.296, 0.1878, 0.2189, 0.097, 0.1331, 0.1356, 0.1891, 0.306, 0.4353, 0.2935, 0.204, 0.2077, 0.2413, 0.3035, 0.4328, 0.5721, 0.4975, 0.4154, 0.4179, 0.5249, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2047590663450243208", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-04-24T08:17:11+00:00", "symbol": "Win Semi", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "still like them all", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still bullish on Shunsin, Fittech, Win Semi despite recent correction; nothing fundamentally changed.", "resolved_tickers": ["3105.TWO"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Win Semi Taiwan foundry; retrying .TWO OTC market suffix", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TWO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@miraclemaster07 A lot of Taiwanese stocks like shunsin, fittech, win semi and others corrected recently. It's just normal volatility, nothing's fundamentally changed, still like them all.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Agreed. Just thought to ask you about fittech. Do you have any comment on the recent price action and do you still like it?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "miraclemaster07", "ret_m1d": 0.02376599634369292, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02376599634369292, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.031455704464265044, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06747128223510657, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007689708120572125, "bench_c_m1d": -0.04370528589141365, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09963436928702007, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09963436928702007, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.10135717577572212, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.09123389369917823, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0017228064887020444, "bench_c_p1d": -0.008400475587841849, "ret_p1w": -0.020109689213894, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.020109689213894, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.029508268856035413, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.041451555043939936, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009398579642141414, "bench_c_p1w": 0.021341865830045936, "ret_p1m": -0.007312614259597838, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.007312614259597838, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05171412152719612, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10664284883512498, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.044401507267598284, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09933023457552714, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5594, -0.5283, -0.5521, -0.5713, -0.5951, -0.5676, -0.5402, -0.5612, -0.5987, -0.5676, -0.5329, -0.5503, -0.5503, -0.5503, -0.5503, -0.5503, -0.5503, -0.5503, -0.5503, -0.5055, -0.4561, -0.4113, -0.3821, -0.3821, -0.394, -0.404, -0.4634, -0.4516, -0.4543, -0.5082, -0.5027, -0.4534, -0.4397, -0.4278, -0.4452, -0.4634, -0.4104, -0.3519, -0.3711, -0.4241, -0.4269, -0.3702, -0.3446, -0.3007, -0.2861, -0.3574, -0.3117, -0.3126, -0.3126, -0.3126, -0.2559, -0.1956, -0.2029, -0.1517, -0.1627, -0.1645, -0.1837, -0.1033, -0.0146, 0.0823, 0.128, 0.0969, 0.0238, 0.0, -0.0996, -0.0868, -0.0823, -0.0201, -0.0201, -0.042, 0.0146, -0.0859, -0.0859, -0.0996, -0.0384, -0.064, -0.0941, -0.1161, -0.1618, -0.1764, -0.1654, -0.1837, -0.117, -0.0293, -0.0073, 0.0274, 0.0238, -0.0347, -0.0366, -0.0091, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2056157639760126294", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-17T23:39:17+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "went long on the quasi-monopoly in $AXTI", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds long position in AXTI as a quasi-monopoly on InP substrates, now on White House shortage list amid US-China trade talks.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I literally called out a national vulnerability in the AI supply chain.\n\nThen went long on the quasi-monopoly in $AXTI. \n\nWhile everyone was doubting me.\n\nGuess what anon: it’s on the White House shortage list and one of the major talking points of US-China trade talks 6M later. https://t.co/mVX0vJ5EuD", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Warning: The entire AI industry will likely be bottlenecked by two companies:\n\n1. $AXTI ($700M) \n2. $SMTOY ($31.7B)\n\nWhich both control 60–70%+ of the world's InP substrates.\n\nFuture $NVDA, $GOOGL TPU v7 pods, $META, $MSFT, $AMZN hyperscaler clusters require InP-based lasers and https://t.co/8mqrgONJbb", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.16905933122605044, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.16905933122605044, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.16835540043486663, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.15042000536640243, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0007039307911838044, "bench_c_m1d": 0.018639325859648004, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06611258199455627, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06611258199455627, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07277344137679942, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0701406164167947, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006660859382243145, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0040280344222384246, "ret_p1w": 0.3300907204784469, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.3300907204784469, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.3206275241021659, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.27486874218875235, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009463196376281013, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05522197828969455, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7777, -0.7751, -0.7197, -0.7315, -0.6687, -0.6131, -0.6494, -0.642, -0.5625, -0.6056, -0.6304, -0.6335, -0.6943, -0.6358, -0.5816, -0.5527, -0.5587, -0.5385, -0.543, -0.581, -0.5395, -0.4514, -0.4877, -0.3914, -0.3536, -0.3639, -0.4474, -0.4274, -0.502, -0.4618, -0.5548, -0.5009, -0.5009, -0.6034, -0.5706, -0.4977, -0.4039, -0.3938, -0.3724, -0.3644, -0.4056, -0.2276, -0.2202, -0.2561, -0.2919, -0.1789, -0.2891, -0.2807, -0.3375, -0.3511, -0.3288, -0.2518, -0.0933, 0.0011, 0.0158, -0.0099, 0.024, 0.099, 0.1882, 0.1607, 0.1517, 0.0859, 0.1691, 0.0, 0.0661, -0.012, 0.143, 0.3301, 0.3301, 0.2524, 0.1595, 0.0927, -0.0257, -0.0257, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2042476441196241094", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-10T05:35:05+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The trio from $COHR, $LITE, $AAOI in America are expected to perform well from a surge in demand", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "All three US photonics plays expected to benefit from AI-driven demand surge in the photonics supercycle.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We're now in the photonics supercycle. \n\nThe trio from $COHR, $LITE, $AAOI in America are expected to perform well from a surge in demand. \n\nNew Report: \n\n\" Lumentum is experiencing a surge in demand from the artificial intelligence sector, with its order pipeline now fully booked through 2028 \"", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.07586987503175813, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07586987503175813, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07653209378977821, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07653209378977821, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0006622187580200833, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0006622187580200833, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0013983501651422259, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0013983501651422259, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008374047619209568, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008374047619209568, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009772397784351794, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009772397784351794, "ret_p1w": 0.12201622443470539, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12201622443470539, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07686273242098984, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07686273242098984, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.045153492013715546, "bench_c_p1w": 0.045153492013715546, "ret_p1m": 0.23476423558180892, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.23476423558180892, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1466943508421874, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1466943508421874, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08806988473962152, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08806988473962152, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.382, -0.4013, -0.3627, -0.3787, -0.3787, -0.3709, -0.3448, -0.3407, -0.3595, -0.3569, -0.3041, -0.2808, -0.298, -0.31, -0.2766, -0.2547, -0.3138, -0.3195, -0.2596, -0.2115, -0.2573, -0.2726, -0.2972, -0.2936, -0.2936, -0.2847, -0.2719, -0.244, -0.1929, -0.1906, -0.1712, -0.1288, -0.1865, -0.158, -0.0279, -0.0868, -0.1061, -0.1744, -0.2334, -0.1794, -0.1524, -0.1824, -0.2154, -0.2105, -0.1955, -0.2007, -0.1635, -0.1038, -0.1752, -0.1706, -0.1144, -0.1153, -0.2088, -0.2082, -0.2857, -0.2253, -0.1941, -0.1605, -0.1605, -0.1765, -0.1704, -0.0836, -0.0759, 0.0, 0.0014, 0.0193, 0.0023, 0.0667, 0.122, 0.1301, 0.118, 0.1397, 0.0981, 0.093, 0.0456, -0.0115, -0.0084, 0.0397, 0.0715, 0.0728, 0.0918, 0.1209, 0.038, 0.0903, 0.2348, 0.2163, 0.3129, 0.3169, 0.2437, 0.1799, 0.15, 0.1659, 0.2293, 0.2279, 0.2279, 0.2402, 0.2364, 0.2259, 0.1755, 0.1755, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
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{"unit_id": "reply:2037906838981890067", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-28T14:57:07+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "neoclouds like $NBIS or $IREN hit that sweet spot where they have a short time period to grow a defensible moat and become the next AWS", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on neoclouds NBIS and IREN as the way to play near-term hyperscaler power demand, with potential to become the next AWS.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@futureproof_inv Hyperscalers need power today... not in 5 years time. \n\nThat's why neoclouds like $NBIS or $IREN hit that sweet spot where they have a short time period to grow a defensible moat and become the next AWS.\n\nShort term power/land is not a defensible moat.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Dont you think that SpaceX will dominate, with infinite compute in space? \n\nThey say they will be vertically integrated chip (terafab) -&gt; satellite-&gt; launch.\n\nInfinite electricity, space, customers", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "futureproof_inv", "ret_m1d": 0.09278124171246072, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.09278124171246072, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08942656308748598, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.10130289951856597, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008521657806105254, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.12464773177675825, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.12464773177675825, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09557980607784344, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09778591674830661, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02686181502845164, "ret_p1w": 0.2198135520238942, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2198135520238942, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.17715326241763218, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.18461530189437614, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03519825012951805, "ret_p1m": 0.46878377811809324, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.46878377811809324, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3426384936363238, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.39662741482068253, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07215636329741071, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0927, -0.0927, -0.025, 0.0062, 0.0865, 0.0428, 0.0546, 0.0615, 0.1633, 0.1427, 0.1054, 0.126, 0.1785, 0.1785, 0.0762, 0.0716, 0.0498, 0.0243, -0.0087, 0.0608, 0.0886, 0.0287, -0.0766, -0.0444, -0.025, -0.107, -0.1993, -0.0668, 0.0067, -0.0051, -0.0396, -0.0274, 0.0623, 0.0623, 0.057, 0.1034, 0.1664, 0.0613, 0.0905, 0.1119, 0.1502, 0.1368, -0.0116, -0.0135, -0.0592, 0.0598, 0.0367, -0.0318, 0.029, 0.0452, 0.2139, 0.171, 0.2243, 0.4074, 0.2609, 0.2851, 0.3171, 0.2749, 0.2373, 0.2455, 0.2475, 0.1486, 0.0928, 0.0, 0.1246, 0.105, 0.1795, 0.1795, 0.2198, 0.2725, 0.3549, 0.4777, 0.5713, 0.6753, 0.7553, 0.8076, 0.7921, 0.7032, 0.7251, 0.6968, 0.6924, 0.7026, 0.5951, 0.5712, 0.4688, 0.5303, 0.4983, 0.6745, 0.9122, 0.9068, 1.1146, 1.0027, 0.919, 1.0171, 0.9414, 1.2466, 1.397, 1.3839, 1.1663, 1.1432, 1.0791, 1.3838, 1.3279, 1.3279, 1.2551, 1.2585, 1.4533, 1.5048, 1.5048, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2037906838981890067", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-28T14:57:07+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "neoclouds like $NBIS or $IREN hit that sweet spot where they have a short time period to grow a defensible moat and become the next AWS", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on neoclouds NBIS and IREN as the way to play near-term hyperscaler power demand, with potential to become the next AWS.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@futureproof_inv Hyperscalers need power today... not in 5 years time. \n\nThat's why neoclouds like $NBIS or $IREN hit that sweet spot where they have a short time period to grow a defensible moat and become the next AWS.\n\nShort term power/land is not a defensible moat.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Dont you think that SpaceX will dominate, with infinite compute in space? \n\nThey say they will be vertically integrated chip (terafab) -&gt; satellite-&gt; launch.\n\nInfinite electricity, space, customers", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "futureproof_inv", "ret_m1d": 0.10974064583353815, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.10974064583353815, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.10638596720856341, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.1211136654803332, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011373019646795046, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08412390479012921, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08412390479012921, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0550559790912144, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06323891081192379, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "bench_c_p1d": 0.020884993978205424, "ret_p1w": 0.11100569689190842, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11100569689190842, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06834540728564642, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07957475316610729, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03143094372580113, "ret_p1m": 0.40543951445974713, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.40543951445974713, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2792942299779777, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.33327247931247106, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07216703514727607, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1945, 0.1945, 0.3504, 0.5256, 0.4519, 0.3797, 0.4447, 0.4557, 0.5917, 0.6758, 0.6724, 0.641, 0.8286, 0.8286, 0.716, 0.6913, 0.6528, 0.7925, 0.6559, 0.8972, 0.9905, 0.8925, 0.6996, 0.6787, 0.7201, 0.4213, 0.2584, 0.3229, 0.4595, 0.3577, 0.3495, 0.266, 0.3352, 0.3352, 0.2957, 0.3308, 0.3691, 0.2644, 0.3397, 0.4374, 0.3925, 0.3991, 0.2951, 0.309, 0.2287, 0.3865, 0.269, 0.1607, 0.2283, 0.2056, 0.3276, 0.3083, 0.315, 0.4213, 0.3586, 0.3349, 0.3175, 0.3058, 0.3333, 0.3004, 0.3102, 0.1844, 0.1097, 0.0, 0.0841, 0.0781, 0.0996, 0.0996, 0.111, 0.1303, 0.1648, 0.172, 0.2435, 0.3621, 0.4981, 0.544, 0.5085, 0.5218, 0.5408, 0.4285, 0.5304, 0.6452, 0.6015, 0.5294, 0.4054, 0.3555, 0.4393, 0.444, 0.5648, 0.7312, 0.9285, 0.7979, 0.9355, 0.7441, 0.7887, 0.7448, 0.8469, 0.6743, 0.5958, 0.5098, 0.667, 0.8362, 0.7973, 0.7973, 0.8906, 1.1455, 1.0256, 1.0095, 1.0095, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2049976850190061970", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-30T22:19:02+00:00", "symbol": "SLNH", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Absolutely disgusting behavior leading people to buy a $200m MC stock in $SLNH with $1 BILLION DILUTION and a $500,000,000 ACTIVE ATM. Literally makes 0 sense if you care about equity appreciation.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish SLNH: $200M market cap facing $1B dilution and $500M active ATM makes equity appreciation impossible; warns retail against buying.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLNH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I get angry when people are actively trying to screw over retail investors for their own personal gain.\n\nAbsolutely disgusting behavior leading people to buy a $200m MC stock in $SLNH with $1 BILLION DILUTION and a $500,000,000 ACTIVE ATM. \n\nLiterally makes 0 sense if you care about equity appreciation.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I sincerely enjoy reading both your bullish theses of obscure, foreign stocks nobody has ever heard about as well as stocks that a lot have heard about but are fundamentally flawed. \nThank you for being a true signal through the noise", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MemeCuisine4", "ret_m1d": -0.22891566438103195, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.22891566438103195, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.21906405677902674, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.21906405677902674, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009851607602005208, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009851607602005208, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.048192726093168936, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.048192726093168936, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05096183992153991, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05096183992153991, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027691138283709726, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0027691138283709726, "ret_p1w": -0.0843373424758721, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0843373424758721, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10231530761671637, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10231530761671637, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017977965140844265, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017977965140844265, "ret_p1m": 0.024096434859411042, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.024096434859411042, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02852929738881138, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02852929738881138, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05262573224822242, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05262573224822242, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3554, -0.3193, -0.4036, -0.5422, -0.3855, -0.3675, -0.4096, -0.4398, -0.4518, -0.4699, -0.4699, -0.488, -0.4819, -0.4458, -0.4578, -0.4699, -0.4458, -0.3976, -0.4337, -0.4759, -0.4337, -0.4759, -0.4277, -0.4819, -0.5361, -0.5482, -0.5241, -0.494, -0.5301, -0.5301, -0.5241, -0.5181, -0.5482, -0.5482, -0.5723, -0.5542, -0.5723, -0.5241, -0.5723, -0.6265, -0.6325, -0.5723, -0.5964, -0.5723, -0.5723, -0.5723, -0.5723, -0.5602, -0.5663, -0.5723, -0.4398, -0.3675, -0.3675, -0.3193, -0.3193, -0.1566, -0.2108, -0.1145, -0.1928, -0.2771, -0.3193, -0.3494, -0.2289, 0.0, -0.0482, -0.1928, -0.0663, -0.0241, -0.0843, 0.1024, 0.0422, 0.0723, 0.3012, 0.3012, 0.3373, 0.1747, 0.1024, 0.0, 0.0542, 0.0301, 0.0301, 0.1627, 0.1205, 0.1024, 0.0241, 0.0241, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2038779437442085238", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-31T00:44:31+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NVDA puts", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds NVDA puts; bearish directional bet via options.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@miraclemaster07 $NVDA puts", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What stocks/tickers did you buy from your doomsday ETF ?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "miraclemaster07", "ret_m1d": -0.05292428928075277, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05292428928075277, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.024677440872594936, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.024677440872594936, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.028246848408157832, "bench_c_m1d": -0.028246848408157832, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0077408609562046315, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0077408609562046315, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00020639717331460972, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00020639717331460972, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007534463782890022, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007534463782890022, "ret_p1w": 0.021215667067209898, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.021215667067209898, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.007561357812107428, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.007561357812107428, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01365430925510247, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01365430925510247, "ret_p1m": 0.19982802364202468, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.19982802364202468, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1056619140601136, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1056619140601136, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09416610958191107, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09416610958191107, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0693, 0.0828, 0.0786, 0.0736, 0.0843, 0.061, 0.0599, 0.0604, 0.0654, 0.0501, 0.0725, 0.0678, 0.0678, 0.021, 0.0511, 0.0598, 0.076, 0.0692, 0.0809, 0.0981, 0.1038, 0.0959, 0.0642, 0.034, -0.0013, -0.0145, 0.0631, 0.0896, 0.081, 0.0897, 0.0718, 0.0482, 0.0482, 0.0606, 0.0778, 0.0773, 0.0884, 0.0983, 0.1057, 0.1213, 0.0601, 0.0159, 0.0463, 0.0323, 0.0495, 0.0512, 0.0196, 0.0472, 0.0594, 0.0667, 0.0501, 0.0335, 0.0506, 0.0432, 0.0344, 0.0239, -0.0097, 0.0071, 0.0046, 0.0245, -0.0181, -0.0394, -0.0529, 0.0, 0.0077, 0.0171, 0.0171, 0.0186, 0.0212, 0.044, 0.0545, 0.0816, 0.0855, 0.1268, 0.1403, 0.1373, 0.1564, 0.1586, 0.1461, 0.1611, 0.1447, 0.1942, 0.242, 0.2223, 0.1998, 0.1443, 0.1379, 0.1381, 0.1267, 0.1917, 0.2127, 0.2339, 0.2583, 0.2659, 0.2949, 0.3517, 0.292, 0.2748, 0.265, 0.2814, 0.2587, 0.2347, 0.2347, 0.232, 0.219, 0.2285, 0.2107, 0.2107, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2056549908438749581", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-19T01:38:01+00:00", "symbol": "BOT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "So just because a $146m private fund went public doesn't mean there should be a multi-billion dollar retail wealth transfer? ... that move just seems predatory when there's already a valuation NAV disconnect", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish BOT: trading at 4x NAV with $2B ATM facility; the premium is a retail wealth transfer with no fundamental backing.", "resolved_tickers": ["BOT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Asset Management'", "bench_c_industry": "Asset Management", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$BOT is still trading at 4x NAV.\n\nWith a $2,000,000,000 effective ATM.\n\nEven after the 21% drop.\n\nSo now it’s ~$600M MC, off $146M in private assets.\n\nThen off those assets, they own ~$37M of Figure. \n\nWhich you’re essentially buying at $160B valuations while the leading humanoid maker in Unitree is IPOing at $6B.\n\nSo just because a $146m private fund went public doesn’t mean there should be a multi-billion dollar retail wealth transfer?\n\nMaybe the fund had good intentions? \n\nBut idk after the $2B equity financing facility, that move just seems predatory when there’s already a valuation NAV disconnect.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$BOT is the biggest red flag.\n\nNAV is $7.34/share. The stock is now trading at $37.92.\n\nYou are basically buying Figure at $200B+ while it’s valued at $39B.\n\nBuying the company is just trading pyramid float dynamics off other retail.\n\nNot the appreciation or underlying https://t.co/szR6rrxD68", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.17141683943889752, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.17141683943889752, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.16471131550464402, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.15889231451802455, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006705523934253499, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01252452492087297, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.16646017509476874, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.16646017509476874, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.1562111465264584, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.1555012437833594, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010249028568310337, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010958931311409348, "ret_p1w": 0.06897976618945911, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06897976618945911, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.046001222535092534, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05430266203299183, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02297854365436658, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01467710415646728, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.6109, 0.0492, -0.1322, 0.1194, 0.4874, 0.1714, 0.0, 0.1665, 0.2924, 0.007, 0.007, 0.069, 0.1846, 0.197, 0.0277, 0.0277, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2049227875812045146", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-28T20:42:53+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "these same institutions are the one buying afterward on $IQE to $AXTI", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish SIVE (still rising) and AXTI as supercycle names being accumulated by institutions after retail frontrunning.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is true.\n\nA few of bank analysts got passive aggressive when I called out $SOI back at $40 and it rose 125% since then.\n\nSame with $SIVE and it’s risen a few hundred percent (and keeps going up)\n\nBut these same institutions are the one buying afterward on $IQE to $AXTI.\n\nUsually institutions have silent accumulation periods blocks over months to not raise the price + accumulate the float off retail.\n\nThen tell retail investors after it’s risen a lot and they own 5% of the company.\n\nBut if markets price that in a lot faster, institutions are forced to buy a lot higher.\n\nWhich is basically frontrunning institutions on supercycle names.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "This is funny, when retail investors are front running institutions they call it a bubble.\nWhat are they trying to do? Cause Chaos in market to buy Semi stocks cheaper as a lot of has been discovered.\n@aleabitoreddit \n\n$SIVE $LPKF \n\n$AXTI $AAOI", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02095768389744701, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02095768389744701, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.016067941935620667, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009680980975727227, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004889741961826344, "bench_c_m1d": 0.030638664873174237, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03434726592631976, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03434726592631976, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03450180702031458, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.017307720186638065, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00015454109399481997, "bench_c_p1d": 0.017039545739681694, "ret_p1w": 0.5652744067065831, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.5652744067065831, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.5483007003900633, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.501187740038674, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016973706316519843, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06408666666790919, "ret_p1m": 0.786785013519385, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.786785013519385, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.7323090206035763, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5744725395080348, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.054475992915808735, "bench_c_p1m": 0.21231247401135023, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7616, -0.7302, -0.6952, -0.7127, -0.7271, -0.7027, -0.6498, -0.5958, -0.6456, -0.61, -0.6392, -0.6472, -0.6472, -0.6622, -0.6574, -0.6535, -0.568, -0.5862, -0.4894, -0.4037, -0.4598, -0.4484, -0.3259, -0.3922, -0.4305, -0.4353, -0.5289, -0.4388, -0.3553, -0.3107, -0.3199, -0.2889, -0.2957, -0.3544, -0.2904, -0.1546, -0.2106, -0.0621, -0.0039, -0.0198, -0.1485, -0.1176, -0.2326, -0.1707, -0.3139, -0.231, -0.231, -0.3889, -0.3384, -0.226, -0.0814, -0.0659, -0.0329, -0.0205, -0.0841, 0.1902, 0.2016, 0.1463, 0.0911, 0.2653, 0.0955, 0.1084, 0.021, 0.0, 0.0343, 0.153, 0.3972, 0.5427, 0.5653, 0.5257, 0.5779, 0.6935, 0.831, 0.7887, 0.7747, 0.6734, 0.8015, 0.541, 0.6428, 0.5225, 0.7613, 1.0496, 1.0496, 0.9299, 0.7868, 0.6839, 0.5014, 0.5014, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2051796147031949708", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-05T22:48:16+00:00", "symbol": "AMSC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "They're all critical to American infrastructure, not exactly parabolic growth names… but great compounders", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long US infrastructure compounders (AMSC, PLPC, ATKR, HPS.A) on Defense Production Act tailwind and strong HPS.A earnings with 94.6% backlog growth.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMSC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Specialty Industrial Machinery'", "bench_c_industry": "Specialty Industrial Machinery", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just putting it out there:\n\nA lot of these names from $PLPC to $AMSC are doing decently well from two weeks ago.\n\n$HPS.A (my transformers thesis) earnings also came out today and it’s very solid:\n\n$264M CAD vs $236.3M CAD (strong beat) and backlog increased 94.6% Y/Y which is the leading indicator of a demand for these names.\n\nThey’re all critical to American infrastructure, not exactly parabolic growth names… but great compounders.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Yes. The President invoked the \"Defense Production Act\" 2 days ago.\n\nTo expand on domestic infra.\n \nImplicit beneficiaries were:\n\nTransmission &amp; Advanced Conductors:\n$AMSC - HTS Wires (advanced conductors), power electronics\n$PLPC - advanced conductors \n$ATKR - transmission https://t.co/KxzINqBVjP", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08562078218840752, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08562078218840752, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07766243960694019, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07732655387104803, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007958342581467326, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008294228317359487, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0374477628821277, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0374477628821277, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.023548323437110108, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011579243884709989, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.013899439445017592, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02586851899741771, "ret_p1w": -0.009089256776150023, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.009089256776150023, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.028998858936604144, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.020341518247057877, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01990960216045412, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011252261470907854, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5283, -0.4879, -0.4766, -0.4205, -0.3772, -0.4192, -0.3772, -0.3772, -0.3336, -0.3678, -0.3859, -0.3812, -0.409, -0.3872, -0.3696, -0.3703, -0.4077, -0.3999, -0.4348, -0.4208, -0.4394, -0.4965, -0.4721, -0.4605, -0.4426, -0.4681, -0.4361, -0.4383, -0.4334, -0.4521, -0.4425, -0.4775, -0.4401, -0.4145, -0.3899, -0.4127, -0.387, -0.4145, -0.3847, -0.4065, -0.4167, -0.4167, -0.407, -0.4266, -0.3997, -0.3428, -0.3145, -0.3127, -0.2829, -0.3139, -0.3098, -0.2779, -0.2596, -0.2378, -0.1247, -0.1611, -0.1005, -0.0976, -0.1365, -0.1329, -0.0267, -0.0454, -0.0856, 0.0, 0.0374, -0.0325, 0.0033, 0.0674, -0.0091, 0.0131, -0.0056, 0.0009, -0.0883, -0.144, -0.1053, -0.1016, -0.0576, -0.0576, -0.0344, -0.0424, -0.0669, -0.074, -0.074, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2051796147031949708", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-05T22:48:16+00:00", "symbol": "PLPC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "They're all critical to American infrastructure, not exactly parabolic growth names… but great compounders", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long US infrastructure compounders (AMSC, PLPC, ATKR, HPS.A) on Defense Production Act tailwind and strong HPS.A earnings with 94.6% backlog growth.", "resolved_tickers": ["PLPC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just putting it out there:\n\nA lot of these names from $PLPC to $AMSC are doing decently well from two weeks ago.\n\n$HPS.A (my transformers thesis) earnings also came out today and it’s very solid:\n\n$264M CAD vs $236.3M CAD (strong beat) and backlog increased 94.6% Y/Y which is the leading indicator of a demand for these names.\n\nThey’re all critical to American infrastructure, not exactly parabolic growth names… but great compounders.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Yes. The President invoked the \"Defense Production Act\" 2 days ago.\n\nTo expand on domestic infra.\n \nImplicit beneficiaries were:\n\nTransmission &amp; Advanced Conductors:\n$AMSC - HTS Wires (advanced conductors), power electronics\n$PLPC - advanced conductors \n$ATKR - transmission https://t.co/KxzINqBVjP", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.1363408057692228, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1363408057692228, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12838246318775548, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12838246318775548, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007958342581467326, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007958342581467326, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.020715977806047725, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.020715977806047725, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006816538361030133, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006816538361030133, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.013899439445017592, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013899439445017592, "ret_p1w": -0.04020524530334679, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04020524530334679, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06011484746380091, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06011484746380091, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01990960216045412, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01990960216045412, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2627, -0.2188, -0.2362, -0.2433, -0.2223, -0.2436, -0.2227, -0.2227, -0.2388, -0.2978, -0.2751, -0.2683, -0.2896, -0.2776, -0.2715, -0.2748, -0.2933, -0.279, -0.3002, -0.2879, -0.3062, -0.3433, -0.3223, -0.2614, -0.2555, -0.2733, -0.271, -0.3039, -0.2936, -0.2863, -0.2682, -0.267, -0.2356, -0.23, -0.2295, -0.2403, -0.2314, -0.2651, -0.2457, -0.1875, -0.1558, -0.1558, -0.1856, -0.211, -0.1547, -0.1112, -0.1302, -0.1312, -0.1054, -0.1268, -0.1677, -0.1117, -0.105, -0.1035, -0.0826, -0.0833, -0.0209, -0.0145, -0.006, -0.0596, -0.0736, -0.0695, -0.1363, 0.0, 0.0207, -0.0373, -0.0346, -0.0047, -0.0402, -0.0322, -0.0128, -0.0313, -0.0648, -0.0818, -0.0598, -0.0489, -0.0023, -0.0023, 0.0508, 0.0596, 0.0511, 0.0311, 0.0311, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2051796147031949708", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-05-05T22:48:16+00:00", "symbol": "ATKR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "They're all critical to American infrastructure, not exactly parabolic growth names… but great compounders", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long US infrastructure compounders (AMSC, PLPC, ATKR, HPS.A) on Defense Production Act tailwind and strong HPS.A earnings with 94.6% backlog growth.", "resolved_tickers": ["ATKR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Electrical Equipment & Parts'", "bench_c_industry": "Electrical Equipment & Parts", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just putting it out there:\n\nA lot of these names from $PLPC to $AMSC are doing decently well from two weeks ago.\n\n$HPS.A (my transformers thesis) earnings also came out today and it’s very solid:\n\n$264M CAD vs $236.3M CAD (strong beat) and backlog increased 94.6% Y/Y which is the leading indicator of a demand for these names.\n\nThey’re all critical to American infrastructure, not exactly parabolic growth names… but great compounders.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Yes. The President invoked the \"Defense Production Act\" 2 days ago.\n\nTo expand on domestic infra.\n \nImplicit beneficiaries were:\n\nTransmission &amp; Advanced Conductors:\n$AMSC - HTS Wires (advanced conductors), power electronics\n$PLPC - advanced conductors \n$ATKR - transmission https://t.co/KxzINqBVjP", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03560676929589912, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03560676929589912, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.027648426714431795, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.027312540978539634, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007958342581467326, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008294228317359487, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.002094450928924796, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.002094450928924796, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.015993890373942388, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.027962969926342507, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.013899439445017592, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02586851899741771, "ret_p1w": -0.030632272782219916, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.030632272782219916, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05054187494267404, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04188453425312777, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01990960216045412, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011252261470907854, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1429, -0.1179, -0.1334, -0.1278, -0.1234, -0.1434, -0.1317, -0.1317, -0.1297, -0.1309, -0.1267, -0.1206, -0.1471, -0.1339, -0.1488, -0.1448, -0.1529, -0.1437, -0.1829, -0.1742, -0.1769, -0.1961, -0.1937, -0.1991, -0.217, -0.2571, -0.2652, -0.2648, -0.2651, -0.2761, -0.2566, -0.2653, -0.2392, -0.2102, -0.2029, -0.2077, -0.2259, -0.2388, -0.2288, -0.2114, -0.1948, -0.1948, -0.1783, -0.1652, -0.1372, -0.1118, -0.1121, -0.1007, -0.0982, -0.114, -0.1231, -0.0952, -0.0961, -0.0908, -0.0664, -0.0566, -0.0127, 0.0107, 0.02, -0.0136, 0.023, -0.0242, -0.0356, 0.0, -0.0021, -0.0317, -0.0275, -0.023, -0.0306, -0.0123, 0.0, -0.0278, -0.0246, -0.0567, -0.0088, 0.0017, 0.1144, 0.1144, 0.1231, 0.0814, 0.079, 0.0889, 0.0889, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2037779565066764425", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-28T06:31:23+00:00", "symbol": "FAZ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$FAZ / 3x short financial - Private Market liquidity play on Middle Eastern capital abandoning private markets if all their oil fields get blown apart.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Doomsday ETF: short financials/Nasdaq/LCID/NVDA, long oil/gas and volatility on Middle East escalation scenario.", "resolved_tickers": ["FAZ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The Serenity Doomsday ETF:\n\n25% | $FAZ\n25% | $GUSH\n20%| $LCID Short\n10% | $SQQQ\n10% $UVIX\n10% | $NVDA Puts\n\nRationale:\n$FAZ / 3x short financial - Private Market liquidity play on Middle Eastern capital abandoning private markets if all their oil fields get blown apart.\n\n$GUSH / 2x Long US OIl and Gas - Global crude prices that will likely skyrocket, and American producers reap record windfall in profits.\n\n$SQQQ / 3x short Nasdaq - Google, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft forced selling if liquidity gets pulled. \n\n$LCID Short / 60% owned by Saudi Arabia Public Investment Fund. If the Saudis suffer from liquidity shock, there goes Lucid.\n\n$UVIX/ 2x long volatility - If there's black swan events, volatility goes up. \n\n$NVDA Puts - Last bastion for the $SPY as largest weighting. If capex gets pulled, index sells off will Nvidia go down the hardest. \n\nI only see this scenario if US sends ground troops to Iran and Iran blows everything around it up. \n\nLet's pray for Taco Tuesday.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03515909842695275, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03515909842695275, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03180441980197801, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03180441980197801, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06106586197544561, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06106586197544561, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09013378767436042, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09013378767436042, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "ret_p1w": -0.08771283490309578, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08771283490309578, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.13037312450935779, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13037312450935779, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "bench_c_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "ret_p1m": -0.18985939974850108, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.18985939974850108, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3160046842302705, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3160046842302705, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2941, -0.2941, -0.299, -0.3462, -0.3551, -0.3271, -0.3372, -0.331, -0.3135, -0.2746, -0.2711, -0.2792, -0.2807, -0.2807, -0.2331, -0.2421, -0.2561, -0.2254, -0.2395, -0.2223, -0.2213, -0.245, -0.2412, -0.2647, -0.2447, -0.2625, -0.2349, -0.2761, -0.2621, -0.2447, -0.2118, -0.1635, -0.1616, -0.1616, -0.1872, -0.2042, -0.1846, -0.1989, -0.1199, -0.1302, -0.1758, -0.2063, -0.1572, -0.1508, -0.1457, -0.1602, -0.1462, -0.1122, -0.0972, -0.0841, -0.0615, -0.0149, -0.0171, -0.0404, -0.0551, -0.0207, -0.0213, -0.027, -0.0505, -0.0526, -0.0544, -0.0368, 0.0352, 0.0, -0.0611, -0.0642, -0.0692, -0.0692, -0.0877, -0.087, -0.1586, -0.1662, -0.1386, -0.1819, -0.1884, -0.2054, -0.1993, -0.2178, -0.2263, -0.2098, -0.2061, -0.1865, -0.1691, -0.1869, -0.1899, -0.1919, -0.2004, -0.1917, -0.1773, -0.1736, -0.1838, -0.1723, -0.1558, -0.153, -0.1708, -0.1447, -0.1584, -0.1479, -0.1782, -0.1495, -0.1752, -0.1795, -0.1863, -0.1863, -0.1849, -0.1643, -0.1547, -0.1684, -0.1684, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2037779565066764425", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-28T06:31:23+00:00", "symbol": "GUSH", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$GUSH / 2x Long US OIl and Gas - Global crude prices that will likely skyrocket, and American producers reap record windfall in profits.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Doomsday ETF: short financials/Nasdaq/LCID/NVDA, long oil/gas and volatility on Middle East escalation scenario.", "resolved_tickers": ["GUSH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The Serenity Doomsday ETF:\n\n25% | $FAZ\n25% | $GUSH\n20%| $LCID Short\n10% | $SQQQ\n10% $UVIX\n10% | $NVDA Puts\n\nRationale:\n$FAZ / 3x short financial - Private Market liquidity play on Middle Eastern capital abandoning private markets if all their oil fields get blown apart.\n\n$GUSH / 2x Long US OIl and Gas - Global crude prices that will likely skyrocket, and American producers reap record windfall in profits.\n\n$SQQQ / 3x short Nasdaq - Google, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft forced selling if liquidity gets pulled. \n\n$LCID Short / 60% owned by Saudi Arabia Public Investment Fund. If the Saudis suffer from liquidity shock, there goes Lucid.\n\n$UVIX/ 2x long volatility - If there's black swan events, volatility goes up. \n\n$NVDA Puts - Last bastion for the $SPY as largest weighting. If capex gets pulled, index sells off will Nvidia go down the hardest. \n\nI only see this scenario if US sends ground troops to Iran and Iran blows everything around it up. \n\nLet's pray for Taco Tuesday.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.029111453141958066, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.029111453141958066, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.025756774516983327, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.025756774516983327, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03932212918953715, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03932212918953715, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06839005488845196, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06839005488845196, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "ret_p1w": -0.07082334147268032, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07082334147268032, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11348363107894233, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11348363107894233, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "bench_c_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "ret_p1m": -0.1564196641143637, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1564196641143637, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2825649485961331, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2825649485961331, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5259, -0.5259, -0.5055, -0.517, -0.5315, -0.5439, -0.5112, -0.5194, -0.5177, -0.5019, -0.4852, -0.498, -0.4982, -0.4982, -0.5029, -0.4655, -0.4657, -0.4614, -0.464, -0.4596, -0.4462, -0.4308, -0.42, -0.4573, -0.4261, -0.3923, -0.4127, -0.3735, -0.3715, -0.3787, -0.3492, -0.3886, -0.3607, -0.3607, -0.3832, -0.3596, -0.3315, -0.3267, -0.3479, -0.3473, -0.3592, -0.3456, -0.3118, -0.259, -0.2657, -0.249, -0.2196, -0.2176, -0.2397, -0.2663, -0.2144, -0.1942, -0.1832, -0.189, -0.1624, -0.131, -0.1135, -0.0933, -0.1085, -0.0547, -0.0402, 0.0, 0.0291, 0.0, -0.0393, -0.1132, -0.0841, -0.0841, -0.0708, -0.0576, -0.1482, -0.1871, -0.1812, -0.1788, -0.2303, -0.222, -0.1894, -0.2687, -0.2553, -0.2186, -0.1892, -0.176, -0.1923, -0.1773, -0.1564, -0.0982, -0.0915, -0.1084, -0.0641, -0.0695, -0.1847, -0.2166, -0.2246, -0.1929, -0.181, -0.1955, -0.1866, -0.141, -0.1193, -0.0986, -0.1373, -0.1768, -0.164, -0.164, -0.2227, -0.247, -0.2329, -0.242, -0.242, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2037779565066764425", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-28T06:31:23+00:00", "symbol": "SQQQ", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SQQQ / 3x short Nasdaq - Google, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft forced selling if liquidity gets pulled.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Doomsday ETF: short financials/Nasdaq/LCID/NVDA, long oil/gas and volatility on Middle East escalation scenario.", "resolved_tickers": ["SQQQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The Serenity Doomsday ETF:\n\n25% | $FAZ\n25% | $GUSH\n20%| $LCID Short\n10% | $SQQQ\n10% $UVIX\n10% | $NVDA Puts\n\nRationale:\n$FAZ / 3x short financial - Private Market liquidity play on Middle Eastern capital abandoning private markets if all their oil fields get blown apart.\n\n$GUSH / 2x Long US OIl and Gas - Global crude prices that will likely skyrocket, and American producers reap record windfall in profits.\n\n$SQQQ / 3x short Nasdaq - Google, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft forced selling if liquidity gets pulled. \n\n$LCID Short / 60% owned by Saudi Arabia Public Investment Fund. If the Saudis suffer from liquidity shock, there goes Lucid.\n\n$UVIX/ 2x long volatility - If there's black swan events, volatility goes up. \n\n$NVDA Puts - Last bastion for the $SPY as largest weighting. If capex gets pulled, index sells off will Nvidia go down the hardest. \n\nI only see this scenario if US sends ground troops to Iran and Iran blows everything around it up. \n\nLet's pray for Taco Tuesday.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.022366361451062744, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.022366361451062744, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.025721040076037482, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.025721040076037482, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09986580729183103, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09986580729183103, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.12893373299074584, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.12893373299074584, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "ret_p1w": -0.15097293979467352, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.15097293979467352, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.19363322940093552, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.19363322940093552, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "bench_c_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "ret_p1m": -0.39554909031711905, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.39554909031711905, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5216943747988885, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5216943747988885, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2401, -0.2401, -0.2349, -0.2528, -0.2722, -0.2743, -0.2613, -0.2826, -0.2844, -0.2806, -0.2574, -0.265, -0.2614, -0.2614, -0.2149, -0.246, -0.2626, -0.2689, -0.2782, -0.2975, -0.3035, -0.2914, -0.265, -0.28, -0.2461, -0.207, -0.1727, -0.2236, -0.2411, -0.2304, -0.2359, -0.1891, -0.1932, -0.1932, -0.1907, -0.208, -0.199, -0.2194, -0.1907, -0.2162, -0.2497, -0.2227, -0.2141, -0.2169, -0.1917, -0.2277, -0.2206, -0.1851, -0.2168, -0.2169, -0.2163, -0.1755, -0.1598, -0.1879, -0.1996, -0.1657, -0.1579, -0.1098, -0.1405, -0.1221, -0.1393, -0.0774, -0.0224, 0.0, -0.0999, -0.1339, -0.1357, -0.1357, -0.151, -0.1511, -0.2261, -0.2411, -0.2438, -0.2667, -0.3064, -0.3353, -0.3446, -0.3694, -0.3636, -0.356, -0.3879, -0.3775, -0.4129, -0.4134, -0.3955, -0.4064, -0.4224, -0.4384, -0.4351, -0.4566, -0.4902, -0.4886, -0.5239, -0.5278, -0.5157, -0.5304, -0.5407, -0.5193, -0.5131, -0.5038, -0.5282, -0.5308, -0.5359, -0.5359, -0.5607, -0.5589, -0.5698, -0.5741, -0.5741, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2037779565066764425", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-03-28T06:31:23+00:00", "symbol": "LCID", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LCID Short / 60% owned by Saudi Arabia Public Investment Fund. If the Saudis suffer from liquidity shock, there goes Lucid.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Doomsday ETF: short financials/Nasdaq/LCID/NVDA, long oil/gas and volatility on Middle East escalation scenario.", "resolved_tickers": ["LCID"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The Serenity Doomsday ETF:\n\n25% | $FAZ\n25% | $GUSH\n20%| $LCID Short\n10% | $SQQQ\n10% $UVIX\n10% | $NVDA Puts\n\nRationale:\n$FAZ / 3x short financial - Private Market liquidity play on Middle Eastern capital abandoning private markets if all their oil fields get blown apart.\n\n$GUSH / 2x Long US OIl and Gas - Global crude prices that will likely skyrocket, and American producers reap record windfall in profits.\n\n$SQQQ / 3x short Nasdaq - Google, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft forced selling if liquidity gets pulled. \n\n$LCID Short / 60% owned by Saudi Arabia Public Investment Fund. If the Saudis suffer from liquidity shock, there goes Lucid.\n\n$UVIX/ 2x long volatility - If there's black swan events, volatility goes up. \n\n$NVDA Puts - Last bastion for the $SPY as largest weighting. If capex gets pulled, index sells off will Nvidia go down the hardest. \n\nI only see this scenario if US sends ground troops to Iran and Iran blows everything around it up. \n\nLet's pray for Taco Tuesday.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02732240551067444, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02732240551067444, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.023967726885699703, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.023967726885699703, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.041530068883429694, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.041530068883429694, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012462143184514884, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012462143184514884, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "ret_p1w": 0.019672165320231416, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.019672165320231416, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.022988124286030587, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.022988124286030587, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "bench_c_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "ret_p1m": -0.35846993111657033, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.35846993111657033, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.48461521559833975, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.48461521559833975, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1552, 0.1552, 0.2186, 0.2776, 0.2678, 0.2022, 0.2284, 0.2383, 0.2306, 0.1956, 0.1847, 0.0984, 0.106, 0.106, 0.0634, 0.2536, 0.2536, 0.2087, 0.1628, 0.2022, 0.1923, 0.2383, 0.2098, 0.1246, 0.1475, 0.1344, 0.0415, 0.1869, 0.212, 0.1934, 0.0984, 0.0842, 0.1235, 0.1235, 0.0842, 0.071, 0.0656, 0.0437, 0.0317, 0.0842, 0.1235, 0.1574, 0.0929, 0.0962, 0.1049, 0.1224, 0.0754, 0.0678, 0.1366, 0.1191, 0.1672, 0.0754, 0.082, 0.0809, 0.1279, 0.0874, 0.1257, 0.0995, 0.1268, 0.1322, 0.1672, 0.0831, 0.0273, 0.0, 0.0415, 0.0448, 0.0885, 0.0885, 0.0197, -0.035, -0.0361, -0.0415, -0.0623, 0.0098, -0.0383, -0.1027, -0.1585, -0.2022, -0.2623, -0.223, -0.2448, -0.3148, -0.3169, -0.3519, -0.3585, -0.3705, -0.3038, -0.2852, -0.2689, -0.3169, -0.3235, -0.3388, -0.3071, -0.341, -0.3432, -0.3016, -0.3148, -0.3399, -0.3738, -0.3869, -0.3792, -0.3617, -0.3617, -0.3617, -0.3475, -0.3158, -0.294, -0.2842, -0.2842, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2037779565066764425", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-03-28T06:31:23+00:00", "symbol": "UVIX", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$UVIX/ 2x long volatility - If there's black swan events, volatility goes up.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Doomsday ETF: short financials/Nasdaq/LCID/NVDA, long oil/gas and volatility on Middle East escalation scenario.", "resolved_tickers": ["UVIX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The Serenity Doomsday ETF:\n\n25% | $FAZ\n25% | $GUSH\n20%| $LCID Short\n10% | $SQQQ\n10% $UVIX\n10% | $NVDA Puts\n\nRationale:\n$FAZ / 3x short financial - Private Market liquidity play on Middle Eastern capital abandoning private markets if all their oil fields get blown apart.\n\n$GUSH / 2x Long US OIl and Gas - Global crude prices that will likely skyrocket, and American producers reap record windfall in profits.\n\n$SQQQ / 3x short Nasdaq - Google, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft forced selling if liquidity gets pulled. \n\n$LCID Short / 60% owned by Saudi Arabia Public Investment Fund. If the Saudis suffer from liquidity shock, there goes Lucid.\n\n$UVIX/ 2x long volatility - If there's black swan events, volatility goes up. \n\n$NVDA Puts - Last bastion for the $SPY as largest weighting. If capex gets pulled, index sells off will Nvidia go down the hardest. \n\nI only see this scenario if US sends ground troops to Iran and Iran blows everything around it up. \n\nLet's pray for Taco Tuesday.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01590272057689357, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01590272057689357, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.012548041951918831, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.012548041951918831, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.18989708256830484, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.18989708256830484, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.21896500826721965, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.21896500826721965, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "ret_p1w": -0.2647333543456907, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.2647333543456907, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.3073936439519527, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.3073936439519527, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "bench_c_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "ret_p1m": -0.49859678728610235, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.49859678728610235, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.6247420717678718, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.6247420717678718, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4659, -0.4659, -0.4883, -0.4757, -0.4874, -0.4705, -0.4836, -0.5005, -0.4977, -0.4752, -0.4481, -0.479, -0.4743, -0.4743, -0.3583, -0.4761, -0.4977, -0.4827, -0.4864, -0.4696, -0.4715, -0.4602, -0.449, -0.5014, -0.4612, -0.4434, -0.3779, -0.4518, -0.4911, -0.4696, -0.4743, -0.4097, -0.3901, -0.3901, -0.4303, -0.4303, -0.4013, -0.4284, -0.3873, -0.4247, -0.4696, -0.4574, -0.4125, -0.3966, -0.3461, -0.3891, -0.3124, -0.1225, -0.2928, -0.2208, -0.2965, -0.1955, -0.1712, -0.2937, -0.3143, -0.1993, -0.2432, -0.1422, -0.2301, -0.1946, -0.2264, -0.1179, 0.0159, 0.0, -0.1899, -0.2254, -0.2245, -0.2245, -0.2647, -0.2152, -0.3686, -0.4153, -0.4013, -0.449, -0.464, -0.4574, -0.4584, -0.4724, -0.4584, -0.4415, -0.4537, -0.4546, -0.4443, -0.4771, -0.4986, -0.4743, -0.5051, -0.4986, -0.4874, -0.4883, -0.5098, -0.5154, -0.5117, -0.4977, -0.5182, -0.5033, -0.5239, -0.5173, -0.5379, -0.5295, -0.5482, -0.5753, -0.5688, -0.5688, -0.5987, -0.6146, -0.6296, -0.6417, -0.6417, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2037779565066764425", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2026-03-28T06:31:23+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NVDA Puts - Last bastion for the $SPY as largest weighting. If capex gets pulled, index sells off will Nvidia go down the hardest.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Doomsday ETF: short financials/Nasdaq/LCID/NVDA, long oil/gas and volatility on Middle East escalation scenario.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The Serenity Doomsday ETF:\n\n25% | $FAZ\n25% | $GUSH\n20%| $LCID Short\n10% | $SQQQ\n10% $UVIX\n10% | $NVDA Puts\n\nRationale:\n$FAZ / 3x short financial - Private Market liquidity play on Middle Eastern capital abandoning private markets if all their oil fields get blown apart.\n\n$GUSH / 2x Long US OIl and Gas - Global crude prices that will likely skyrocket, and American producers reap record windfall in profits.\n\n$SQQQ / 3x short Nasdaq - Google, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft forced selling if liquidity gets pulled. \n\n$LCID Short / 60% owned by Saudi Arabia Public Investment Fund. If the Saudis suffer from liquidity shock, there goes Lucid.\n\n$UVIX/ 2x long volatility - If there's black swan events, volatility goes up. \n\n$NVDA Puts - Last bastion for the $SPY as largest weighting. If capex gets pulled, index sells off will Nvidia go down the hardest. \n\nI only see this scenario if US sends ground troops to Iran and Iran blows everything around it up. \n\nLet's pray for Taco Tuesday.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.014227802443346205, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014227802443346205, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010873123818371466, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010873123818371466, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05588179348466227, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05588179348466227, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02681386778574746, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02681386778574746, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "ret_p1w": 0.07549798001419172, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07549798001419172, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03283769040792972, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03283769040792972, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "bench_c_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "ret_p1m": 0.29060967810209015, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.29060967810209015, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16446439362032073, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.16446439362032073, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1291, 0.1291, 0.1433, 0.1389, 0.1336, 0.1449, 0.1202, 0.1191, 0.1196, 0.1249, 0.1087, 0.1324, 0.1274, 0.1274, 0.078, 0.1098, 0.119, 0.1362, 0.1289, 0.1413, 0.1595, 0.1655, 0.1571, 0.1237, 0.0918, 0.0546, 0.0406, 0.1225, 0.1505, 0.1414, 0.1506, 0.1317, 0.1067, 0.1067, 0.1198, 0.138, 0.1376, 0.1492, 0.1597, 0.1675, 0.1839, 0.1193, 0.0727, 0.1047, 0.09, 0.1081, 0.1099, 0.0765, 0.1058, 0.1186, 0.1263, 0.1088, 0.0913, 0.1093, 0.1015, 0.0922, 0.0811, 0.0456, 0.0634, 0.0607, 0.0818, 0.0368, 0.0142, 0.0, 0.0559, 0.0641, 0.074, 0.074, 0.0755, 0.0783, 0.1024, 0.1135, 0.142, 0.1462, 0.1897, 0.204, 0.2009, 0.221, 0.2233, 0.2101, 0.226, 0.2087, 0.2609, 0.3114, 0.2906, 0.2669, 0.2083, 0.2015, 0.2017, 0.1897, 0.2583, 0.2805, 0.3029, 0.3286, 0.3367, 0.3673, 0.4273, 0.3642, 0.346, 0.3357, 0.353, 0.329, 0.3037, 0.3037, 0.3008, 0.2872, 0.2971, 0.2783, 0.2783, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2049609993071259684", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-29T22:01:16+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Shunsin is literally a free piggy back ride to $NVDA CPO ecosystem", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Shunsin as undiscovered backdoor into NVDA's optical/CPO supply chain via Foxconn's exclusive rack-scale assembler role; market hasn't priced the connection yet.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just an FYI: I don't need to post something every day about the names I own. \n\nHowever, I did miss this with Shunsin (6451):\n\nFoxconn picked by $NVDA as exclusive rack-scale supplier for Groq accelerator.\n\nThis is highly positive for Shunsin (Foxconn's optical packing arm). \n\nSo ShunSin's CPO and optical packaging basically backdoored Nvidia's next-gen supply chain with this news. \n\nMarkets just haven't realized this connection yet (and it's on disposition, so frozen for most).\n\nThe article explicitly notes that Foxconn is integrating these systems \"including ... networking.\"\n\nBc Foxconn is the exclusive assembler, they'll vertically integrate and likely use ShunSin's optical packaging solutions into the design, bypassing ShunSin's need for  networking contract directly from Nvidia.\n\nThis is what I meant by Shunsin is literally a free piggy back ride to $NVDA CPO ecosystem. Foxconn is massive. \n\nAnd you're getting the leading player in Nvidia's optical supply chain for a lower valuation than $LWLG lol.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit You gone quite on shunsin", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.018733563531399433, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.018733563531399433, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.018578998550763393, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.018578998550763393, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00015456498063604052, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00015456498063604052, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04626041900014932, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04626041900014932, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0562100464273535, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0562100464273535, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009949627427204177, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009949627427204177, "ret_p1w": -0.006786132229129382, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.006786132229129382, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03805457634732723, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03805457634732723, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03126844411819785, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03126844411819785, "ret_p1m": 0.0238948626045401, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0238948626045401, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0365620887753384, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0365620887753384, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0604569513798785, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0604569513798785, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0866, -0.113, -0.1382, -0.1676, -0.1786, -0.114, -0.0919, -0.099, -0.0918, -0.1067, -0.1264, -0.1264, -0.1161, -0.1017, -0.1021, -0.0929, -0.0846, -0.0784, -0.0655, -0.1165, -0.1533, -0.128, -0.1396, -0.1253, -0.1239, -0.1502, -0.1272, -0.117, -0.111, -0.1248, -0.1386, -0.1244, -0.1306, -0.1379, -0.1467, -0.1747, -0.1606, -0.1627, -0.1461, -0.1816, -0.1994, -0.2107, -0.1665, -0.1601, -0.1523, -0.1523, -0.1511, -0.1489, -0.1298, -0.1211, -0.0985, -0.0953, -0.0609, -0.0496, -0.0521, -0.0362, -0.0344, -0.0448, -0.0323, -0.0459, -0.0047, 0.0352, 0.0187, 0.0, -0.0463, -0.0516, -0.0515, -0.0609, -0.0068, 0.0108, 0.0284, 0.0487, 0.0551, 0.0792, 0.1266, 0.0768, 0.0625, 0.0543, 0.068, 0.049, 0.0291, 0.0291, 0.0268, 0.016, 0.0239, 0.009, 0.009, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2039729176144711989", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-02T15:38:26+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "mid-long term, I have conviction $AAOI can execute, should be worth much higher than the current MC", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long AAOI mid-to-long term; author has conviction it can execute and is worth materially more than current market cap.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "And... $AAOI +25.43% from $81 -> $101.26 off no material news.\n\nMaybe the Edgewater comment about \"optical demand growing exponentially\" helped a bit too. \n\nBut few lessons to learn: \n\n- don't live on borrowed conviction. \n- Jane Street adds unnecessary volatility.\n- If you can't sleep at night, you're sizing portfolio concentration wrong. \n\nIt's unfortunate when retail liquidates their positions at the bottom for no fundamental reason. Then on the way back up, they no longer have positions.\n\nCould always keep ping ponging between $80 and $120, who knows. \n\nBut mid-long term, I have conviction $AAOI can execute, should be worth much higher than the current MC.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "And... this is why I don't like Jane Street owning the same stocks I do like $AAOI. \n\nThey trade volatility, especially with retail favorite names and trigger stop losses/panic.\n\nIf you know what you own though: \n\n$6.69B for a US company that makes the entire transceiver supply https://t.co/juZjrIT7OF", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.16899244123875934, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.16899244123875934, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.16809277693536728, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.16809277693536728, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0008996643033920559, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0008996643033920559, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.28284090418491115, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.28284090418491115, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.24612414004297833, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.24612414004297833, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03671676414193281, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03671676414193281, "ret_p1m": 0.7660474260357724, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.7660474260357724, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6672108286932952, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.6672108286932952, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09883659734247718, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09883659734247718, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6633, -0.6284, -0.6338, -0.6823, -0.6724, -0.6755, -0.6711, -0.6683, -0.6439, -0.6435, -0.6435, -0.6222, -0.6306, -0.6329, -0.6562, -0.6642, -0.6402, -0.5647, -0.6192, -0.5803, -0.575, -0.5562, -0.616, -0.633, -0.5737, -0.5389, -0.5333, -0.5342, -0.5767, -0.5721, -0.5721, -0.5774, -0.5819, -0.5479, -0.5026, -0.4807, -0.4585, -0.4407, -0.4833, -0.1894, -0.0135, -0.0825, -0.0404, -0.0267, -0.0802, 0.0646, 0.1596, 0.2223, 0.0219, -0.0683, -0.0947, -0.1692, -0.1086, -0.0192, -0.1575, -0.0784, 0.0961, 0.101, -0.0625, -0.0549, -0.1802, -0.1859, -0.169, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0341, 0.1321, 0.2771, 0.2828, 0.4493, 0.4743, 0.4088, 0.3719, 0.514, 0.5342, 0.5732, 0.449, 0.438, 0.3255, 0.5607, 0.4029, 0.321, 0.4708, 0.5818, 0.766, 0.6647, 0.7378, 0.7182, 0.5162, 0.4334, 0.7794, 0.812, 1.1471, 0.9591, 0.832, 0.6674, 0.6488, 0.5904, 0.7016, 0.7466, 0.7466, 0.7094, 0.7306, 0.6266, 0.5245, 0.5245, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2054327689721581789", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-12T22:27:43+00:00", "symbol": "Shunsin", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Highly bullish implications today for Shunsin (6451). Was just very early but this looks to be the start of a massive growth curve.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Strongly bullish Shunsin (6451): Foxconn CPO volume revision + NVDA shipments confirm start of massive growth curve at its Vietnam facility.", "resolved_tickers": ["6451.TW"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Shunsin Technology listed on TWSE as 6451.TW", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TW')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Highly bullish implications today for Shunsin (6451). \n\nWhich is Foxconn’s SiPH and CPO packaging/test arm.\n\n-> UDN reported upward revision in volume and Foxconn began shipping cpo switch racks to $NVDA\n\n->  CPO products are being produced in Foxconn's Vietnam plant…\n\nGuess which company has been aggressively expanding its Bac Giang, Vietnam facility for CPO for the past few years?\n\nAs I said before Shunsin is basically a free hard-carry by Foxconn. \n\nWas just very early but this looks to be the start of a massive growth curve.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0021905805038334725, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0021905805038334725, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.003707819020590919, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.038236277462514345, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0015172385167574465, "bench_c_m1d": 0.03604569695868087, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04709748083242049, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04709748083242049, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04150263279564026, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03547325126745382, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005594848036780231, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01162422956496667, "ret_p1w": 0.06024096385542177, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06024096385542177, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06626932042317524, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10225861292295058, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.006028356567753468, "bench_c_p1w": -0.042017649067528806, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6364, -0.6364, -0.6364, -0.6364, -0.6364, -0.6364, -0.6364, -0.6002, -0.5608, -0.5378, -0.5422, -0.5422, -0.552, -0.5455, -0.5904, -0.5728, -0.5838, -0.6254, -0.6221, -0.5849, -0.5706, -0.5279, -0.4808, -0.4294, -0.3888, -0.4042, -0.3987, -0.3855, -0.3647, -0.3012, -0.2727, -0.2004, -0.2804, -0.3516, -0.3319, -0.3527, -0.3527, -0.3527, -0.2881, -0.2169, -0.1391, -0.0537, 0.0405, 0.0427, -0.0011, 0.0821, 0.1062, 0.1106, 0.0383, 0.0865, -0.0219, -0.1194, -0.1687, -0.1128, -0.1292, -0.0559, -0.0559, 0.0383, 0.1413, 0.046, 0.0734, -0.034, -0.0022, 0.0, 0.0471, 0.1501, 0.264, 0.1391, 0.0602, 0.0635, 0.0931, 0.1479, 0.2618, 0.3844, 0.3187, 0.2464, 0.2486, 0.3428, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2048801270337831047", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-27T16:27:42+00:00", "symbol": "MRVL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm honestly expecting $MRVL to buy directly from Sivers now", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "SIVE thesis intact and undervalued; expects MRVL to source directly from Sivers, potentially boosting SIVE valuation via T1 direct relationships.", "resolved_tickers": ["MRVL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Nope, $SIVE thesis is fully in-tact and I still think it's undervalued.  \n\nLot of it was based on $JBL 1.6T bridging the gap into CPO ramp.\n\nBut having $AMD CPO go with $GFS de-risked the company quite a massive amount. Then there's $AAPL SiPH markets don't know about yet.\n\nI'm honestly expecting $MRVL to buy directly from Sivers now like what $JBL did.  But just multi-source + vertically integrate the packaging IP side of thing after buying lasers.\n\nThat actually might increase the valuations more long term (direct to T1 like Jabil, Marvell) than one-hop through a packaging partner.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thanks for consistently sharing … must be tough having a lot of people ping you lol \n\nYou think this causes any delays / issues to you $sive thesis long term given the delay to the celestial roadmap? \n\nLooking to position on $sive on market open tomorrow", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03855628965213809, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03855628965213809, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04027613318324519, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04027613318324519, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0017198435311071014, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0017198435311071014, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03147721872823628, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03147721872823628, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.026611270000090115, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.026611270000090115, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004865948728146163, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004865948728146163, "ret_p1w": 0.03444786497037988, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03444786497037988, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.030476743526059558, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.030476743526059558, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003971121444320325, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003971121444320325, "ret_p1m": 0.3163515938880359, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3163515938880359, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2668248452943911, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2668248452943911, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04952674859364481, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04952674859364481, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4717, -0.4861, -0.5014, -0.5031, -0.5228, -0.5342, -0.5312, -0.4928, -0.4797, -0.4819, -0.4861, -0.5058, -0.5034, -0.5034, -0.5009, -0.5003, -0.4971, -0.4979, -0.5086, -0.5048, -0.4888, -0.4991, -0.4839, -0.4892, -0.5103, -0.5067, -0.5219, -0.4341, -0.4147, -0.4106, -0.4286, -0.4461, -0.4449, -0.4214, -0.4264, -0.4465, -0.4344, -0.4446, -0.4304, -0.4165, -0.378, -0.3829, -0.4006, -0.4453, -0.3742, -0.3259, -0.3233, -0.3233, -0.3082, -0.309, -0.277, -0.2423, -0.1879, -0.1701, -0.1541, -0.1492, -0.157, -0.1171, -0.0655, -0.0436, -0.0056, 0.0465, 0.0386, 0.0, -0.0315, -0.0104, 0.0439, 0.0426, 0.0344, 0.0666, 0.0881, 0.0114, 0.0753, 0.0798, 0.0398, 0.1248, 0.154, 0.1181, 0.0678, 0.1142, 0.1807, 0.2053, 0.2409, 0.2409, 0.3164, 0.2559, 0.2947, 0.2957, 0.2957, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2045200211493204347", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-17T17:58:23+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I think it at least recovers to $40 over time", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Expects HIMS to recover to at least $40 over time.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@realstockfox I think it at least recovers to $40 over time? We’ll see", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Yes $HIMS is one of my top positions. Been patiently waiting for it to catch some momentum", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "realstockfox", "ret_m1d": -0.06349756915627947, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06349756915627947, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05155620361007185, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05155620361007185, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011941365546207616, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011941365546207616, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0759889159350311, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0759889159350311, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0779885834879368, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0779885834879368, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.001999667552905704, "bench_c_p1d": -0.001999667552905704, "ret_p1w": 0.06037473246159153, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06037473246159153, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05502369222363224, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05502369222363224, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0053510402379592925, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0053510402379592925, "ret_p1m": -0.22657872478984087, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.22657872478984087, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2667257509783866, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2667257509783866, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04014702618854571, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04014702618854571, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0573, 0.0024, 0.059, 0.0278, 0.0507, 0.0298, -0.0052, 0.0364, -0.06, -0.0826, -0.1138, -0.1534, -0.1853, -0.2012, -0.3293, -0.4018, -0.4209, -0.4518, -0.4344, -0.4344, -0.4355, -0.4504, -0.4511, -0.4577, -0.4618, -0.4636, -0.4511, -0.4587, -0.4962, -0.4282, -0.4511, -0.4292, -0.449, -0.4539, -0.2311, -0.1856, -0.102, -0.1728, -0.1405, -0.1367, -0.1332, -0.1967, -0.1617, -0.2359, -0.2207, -0.2595, -0.2769, -0.2762, -0.3276, -0.3484, -0.2797, -0.3116, -0.3359, -0.3359, -0.2946, -0.3234, -0.3272, -0.3147, -0.3258, -0.2661, -0.2588, -0.1572, -0.0635, 0.0, 0.076, 0.0326, 0.0066, -0.0232, 0.0604, 0.0198, -0.0316, -0.0864, -0.0573, -0.0489, -0.0538, -0.0864, -0.0673, -0.11, -0.0191, 0.0111, -0.1315, -0.1624, -0.1589, -0.1308, -0.2266, -0.2214, -0.2006, -0.1669, -0.1759, -0.1759, -0.1724, -0.1256, -0.1194, -0.0926, -0.0926, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2040654858475504075", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-05T04:56:46+00:00", "symbol": "EOS.AX", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$EOS.ASX (operating stations at Mt. Stromlo equipped with \"adaptive optics.\")", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Optical ground infrastructure bottleneck creates longs across station operators and photonics hardware makers; RF names as fallback if optical mesh fails.", "resolved_tickers": ["EOS.AX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='AX')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The Space Bottleneck: Optical ground infrastructure.\n\n- \"The industry has built roughly 10 percent of the optical ground infrastructure\"\n\nNow, who are the beneficiaries?\n\n- $EOS.ASX (operating stations at Mt. Stromlo equipped with \"adaptive optics.\") \n- $SKPJF (TYO: 9412) |  $NTTYY | Space Compass is JV with NTT and satellite operator SKY Perfect JSAT\n- $SGBAF - Works with Cailabs to for terrestrial optical terminals\n- $SAFRY - Manufacturer of the optical ground stations\n\nThen if it fails fallback would be names like:\n$VSAT, $GILT\n\nAnalysis states that if the optical mesh fails due to clouds or lack of stations, the architecture \"falls back to Ka-band RF links\". \n \n-> Near term capital flows to Relay Providers (Kepler, Space Compass, General Atomics). \n\n-> Long term structural winners will be the photonics hardware manufacturers (Cailabs, Safran).\n\n-> Then companies like SpaceX wins by default. Many are private. \n\n\"This infrastructure deficit is no longer just an engineering problem but a direct threat to a major White House [Golden Dome] policy objective\"\n\nOrbital laser communications market are hard-capped until physical ground infra scales, hence the current bottleneck. \n\nBut not quite sure if capex is to the scale of hyperscaler AI buildouts yet to benefit these companies enough.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004704559847623746, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004704559847623746, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004704559847623746, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004704559847623746, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04888884226481127, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04888884226481127, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.048448768158962485, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.048448768158962485, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004400741058487867, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0004400741058487867, "ret_p1w": 0.0033333036634657365, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0033333036634657365, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.037900185799996766, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.037900185799996766, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0412334894634625, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0412334894634625, "ret_p1m": 0.11222224765353728, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11222224765353728, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.01382025111947982, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01382025111947982, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09840199653405746, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09840199653405746, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.05, 0.1, 0.0889, 0.11, 0.2244, 0.1022, 0.0889, 0.0956, 0.1644, 0.1922, 0.1211, 0.2, 0.15, 0.15, 0.1311, 0.0989, 0.0056, -0.0356, -0.0967, -0.0911, -0.16, -0.2033, -0.3333, -0.3333, -0.2544, -0.26, -0.3178, -0.3489, -0.3, -0.2044, -0.1789, -0.18, -0.1867, -0.1389, -0.1856, -0.0778, -0.0511, -0.0022, 0.0233, 0.0467, 0.0867, 0.0533, 0.1011, 0.1, 0.1956, 0.19, 0.1022, 0.3044, 0.1911, -0.0111, 0.0778, 0.0722, 0.1, -0.0067, -0.0733, 0.0033, 0.05, -0.06, -0.1056, -0.11, 0.0033, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0489, 0.1, 0.0467, 0.0311, 0.0033, 0.08, 0.1422, 0.1889, 0.1456, 0.1111, 0.1678, 0.1889, 0.1478, 0.1122, 0.1378, 0.0778, 0.0589, 0.0067, 0.0333, 0.0989, 0.1122, 0.1078, 0.06, -0.0067, -0.0478, -0.0444, -0.0222, -0.0589, -0.02, -0.02, -0.02, -0.1211, -0.1089, -0.0133, -0.0222, -0.0122, 0.0211, 0.0644, 0.2367, 0.2822, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2040654858475504075", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-04-05T04:56:46+00:00", "symbol": "NTTYY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NTTYY | Space Compass is JV with NTT and satellite operator SKY Perfect JSAT", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Optical ground infrastructure bottleneck creates longs across station operators and photonics hardware makers; RF names as fallback if optical mesh fails.", "resolved_tickers": ["NTTYY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Telecom Services'", "bench_c_industry": "Telecom Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The Space Bottleneck: Optical ground infrastructure.\n\n- \"The industry has built roughly 10 percent of the optical ground infrastructure\"\n\nNow, who are the beneficiaries?\n\n- $EOS.ASX (operating stations at Mt. Stromlo equipped with \"adaptive optics.\") \n- $SKPJF (TYO: 9412) |  $NTTYY | Space Compass is JV with NTT and satellite operator SKY Perfect JSAT\n- $SGBAF - Works with Cailabs to for terrestrial optical terminals\n- $SAFRY - Manufacturer of the optical ground stations\n\nThen if it fails fallback would be names like:\n$VSAT, $GILT\n\nAnalysis states that if the optical mesh fails due to clouds or lack of stations, the architecture \"falls back to Ka-band RF links\". \n \n-> Near term capital flows to Relay Providers (Kepler, Space Compass, General Atomics). \n\n-> Long term structural winners will be the photonics hardware manufacturers (Cailabs, Safran).\n\n-> Then companies like SpaceX wins by default. 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{"unit_id": "orig:2040654858475504075", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-04-05T04:56:46+00:00", "symbol": "SGBAF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SGBAF - Works with Cailabs to for terrestrial optical terminals", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Optical ground infrastructure bottleneck creates longs across station operators and photonics hardware makers; RF names as fallback if optical mesh fails.", "resolved_tickers": ["SGBAF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Broadcasting", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The Space Bottleneck: Optical ground infrastructure.\n\n- \"The industry has built roughly 10 percent of the optical ground infrastructure\"\n\nNow, who are the beneficiaries?\n\n- $EOS.ASX (operating stations at Mt. Stromlo equipped with \"adaptive optics.\") \n- $SKPJF (TYO: 9412) |  $NTTYY | Space Compass is JV with NTT and satellite operator SKY Perfect JSAT\n- $SGBAF - Works with Cailabs to for terrestrial optical terminals\n- $SAFRY - Manufacturer of the optical ground stations\n\nThen if it fails fallback would be names like:\n$VSAT, $GILT\n\nAnalysis states that if the optical mesh fails due to clouds or lack of stations, the architecture \"falls back to Ka-band RF links\". \n \n-> Near term capital flows to Relay Providers (Kepler, Space Compass, General Atomics). \n\n-> Long term structural winners will be the photonics hardware manufacturers (Cailabs, Safran).\n\n-> Then companies like SpaceX wins by default. Many are private. \n\n\"This infrastructure deficit is no longer just an engineering problem but a direct threat to a major White House [Golden Dome] policy objective\"\n\nOrbital laser communications market are hard-capped until physical ground infra scales, hence the current bottleneck. \n\nBut not quite sure if capex is to the scale of hyperscaler AI buildouts yet to benefit these companies enough.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004704559847623746, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004704559847623746, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004704559847623746, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004704559847623746, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0004400741058487867, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0004400741058487867, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004400741058487867, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0004400741058487867, "ret_p1w": 0.04281773886973794, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04281773886973794, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0015842494062754398, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0015842494062754398, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0412334894634625, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0412334894634625, "ret_p1m": 0.20856357411854276, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.20856357411854276, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1101615775844853, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1101615775844853, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09840199653405746, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09840199653405746, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0718, -0.0718, -0.0359, 0.0442, 0.0442, 0.047, 0.0318, 0.0318, 0.0318, 0.1133, 0.1133, 0.1133, 0.0414, 0.0414, 0.0387, 0.1809, 0.1809, 0.0497, 0.1381, 0.1229, 0.1229, 0.1229, 0.1229, 0.1229, 0.1326, 0.1326, 0.0649, 0.0649, 0.0649, 0.0649, 0.0649, 0.0663, 0.0663, 0.0773, 0.0773, 0.0773, 0.0773, 0.0773, 0.0773, 0.0773, -0.0083, 0.011, 0.011, 0.011, 0.011, 0.011, 0.011, 0.011, -0.0746, -0.0746, -0.0746, -0.0746, -0.0746, -0.0746, -0.0746, -0.0746, -0.0746, -0.0746, -0.0746, 0.0083, 0.0083, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0152, 0.0152, 0.0428, 0.0428, 0.058, 0.011, 0.011, 0.011, 0.0387, 0.0594, 0.0594, 0.0594, 0.0649, 0.0622, 0.0622, 0.0622, 0.145, 0.145, 0.2017, 0.2086, 0.2445, 0.2445, 0.1961, 0.1506, 0.2735, 0.2735, 0.2569, 0.2569, 0.2569, 0.2431, 0.3398, 0.4227, 0.4268, 0.4268, 0.5, 0.5138, 0.5539, 0.5166, 0.5166, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2040654858475504075", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-04-05T04:56:46+00:00", "symbol": "SAFRY", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SAFRY - Manufacturer of the optical ground stations -> Long term structural winners will be the photonics hardware manufacturers", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Optical ground infrastructure bottleneck creates longs across station operators and photonics hardware makers; RF names as fallback if optical mesh fails.", "resolved_tickers": ["SAFRY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The Space Bottleneck: Optical ground infrastructure.\n\n- \"The industry has built roughly 10 percent of the optical ground infrastructure\"\n\nNow, who are the beneficiaries?\n\n- $EOS.ASX (operating stations at Mt. Stromlo equipped with \"adaptive optics.\") \n- $SKPJF (TYO: 9412) |  $NTTYY | Space Compass is JV with NTT and satellite operator SKY Perfect JSAT\n- $SGBAF - Works with Cailabs to for terrestrial optical terminals\n- $SAFRY - Manufacturer of the optical ground stations\n\nThen if it fails fallback would be names like:\n$VSAT, $GILT\n\nAnalysis states that if the optical mesh fails due to clouds or lack of stations, the architecture \"falls back to Ka-band RF links\". \n \n-> Near term capital flows to Relay Providers (Kepler, Space Compass, General Atomics). \n\n-> Long term structural winners will be the photonics hardware manufacturers (Cailabs, Safran).\n\n-> Then companies like SpaceX wins by default. Many are private. \n\n\"This infrastructure deficit is no longer just an engineering problem but a direct threat to a major White House [Golden Dome] policy objective\"\n\nOrbital laser communications market are hard-capped until physical ground infra scales, hence the current bottleneck. \n\nBut not quite sure if capex is to the scale of hyperscaler AI buildouts yet to benefit these companies enough.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.003841557166507914, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.003841557166507914, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.000863002681115832, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0012613912253032211, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004704559847623746, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005102948391811135, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0028812605139559855, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0028812605139559855, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.003321334619804772, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.000876510925042262, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004400741058487867, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0020047495889137235, "ret_p1w": 0.09999989809701737, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09999989809701737, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05876640863355487, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.050671211582955955, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0412334894634625, "bench_c_p1w": 0.049328686514061415, "ret_p1m": -0.04489808358471714, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04489808358471714, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1433000801187746, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09228282948615962, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09840199653405746, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04738474590144248, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1346, 0.1228, 0.1125, 0.1214, 0.1531, 0.1229, 0.1079, 0.1198, 0.1198, 0.1072, 0.1162, 0.0771, 0.097, 0.1006, 0.1152, 0.0867, 0.0804, 0.0675, 0.0732, 0.0798, 0.0684, 0.0667, 0.0918, 0.1245, 0.0982, 0.0875, 0.0974, 0.191, 0.191, 0.1938, 0.2092, 0.2114, 0.2262, 0.2146, 0.2092, 0.2209, 0.2304, 0.2077, 0.1749, 0.136, 0.1487, 0.1065, 0.1038, 0.1035, 0.109, 0.1112, 0.0665, 0.0379, 0.0589, 0.0544, 0.0421, 0.0229, -0.0312, 0.0047, -0.0244, -0.0058, -0.0312, -0.0441, -0.0552, -0.0152, 0.0064, -0.0038, -0.0038, 0.0, -0.0029, 0.0932, 0.112, 0.1037, 0.1, 0.1244, 0.0938, 0.0526, 0.1089, 0.0723, -0.0032, -0.0317, -0.0309, -0.046, -0.0396, -0.0502, -0.0667, -0.0408, -0.0336, -0.0719, -0.0449, 0.0484, 0.0246, 0.0168, 0.0044, -0.0071, -0.0061, -0.0168, -0.0592, -0.0425, -0.0492, -0.0072, -0.0168, -0.016, -0.016, 0.0425, 0.0546, 0.0741, 0.0801, 0.0801, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2040654858475504075", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2026-04-05T04:56:46+00:00", "symbol": "VSAT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "fallback would be names like: $VSAT, $GILT", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Optical ground infrastructure bottleneck creates longs across station operators and photonics hardware makers; RF names as fallback if optical mesh fails.", "resolved_tickers": ["VSAT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The Space Bottleneck: Optical ground infrastructure.\n\n- \"The industry has built roughly 10 percent of the optical ground infrastructure\"\n\nNow, who are the beneficiaries?\n\n- $EOS.ASX (operating stations at Mt. Stromlo equipped with \"adaptive optics.\") \n- $SKPJF (TYO: 9412) |  $NTTYY | Space Compass is JV with NTT and satellite operator SKY Perfect JSAT\n- $SGBAF - Works with Cailabs to for terrestrial optical terminals\n- $SAFRY - Manufacturer of the optical ground stations\n\nThen if it fails fallback would be names like:\n$VSAT, $GILT\n\nAnalysis states that if the optical mesh fails due to clouds or lack of stations, the architecture \"falls back to Ka-band RF links\". \n \n-> Near term capital flows to Relay Providers (Kepler, Space Compass, General Atomics). \n\n-> Long term structural winners will be the photonics hardware manufacturers (Cailabs, Safran).\n\n-> Then companies like SpaceX wins by default. Many are private. \n\n\"This infrastructure deficit is no longer just an engineering problem but a direct threat to a major White House [Golden Dome] policy objective\"\n\nOrbital laser communications market are hard-capped until physical ground infra scales, hence the current bottleneck. \n\nBut not quite sure if capex is to the scale of hyperscaler AI buildouts yet to benefit these companies enough.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.030518237987620545, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.030518237987620545, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03522279783524429, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03522279783524429, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004704559847623746, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004704559847623746, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03416511796786903, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03416511796786903, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03372504386202024, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03372504386202024, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004400741058487867, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0004400741058487867, "ret_p1w": 0.08541268509153288, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08541268509153288, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04417919562807038, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04417919562807038, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0412334894634625, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0412334894634625, "ret_p1m": 0.25854129779665724, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.25854129779665724, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1601393012625998, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1601393012625998, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09840199653405746, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09840199653405746, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.276, -0.2568, -0.2167, -0.2242, -0.2012, -0.1777, -0.1534, -0.1182, -0.1182, -0.1954, -0.1816, -0.1511, -0.1693, -0.1795, -0.1355, -0.0868, -0.1127, -0.133, -0.1603, -0.1549, -0.2384, -0.2814, -0.1996, -0.1117, -0.1363, -0.1299, -0.105, -0.0624, -0.0624, -0.1129, -0.1177, -0.1202, -0.1075, -0.1319, -0.0802, -0.0852, -0.1157, -0.1213, -0.0933, -0.1205, -0.0818, -0.1261, -0.1595, -0.1175, -0.1111, -0.1096, -0.1073, -0.1144, -0.0877, -0.0369, -0.0674, 0.0004, -0.1096, -0.0564, -0.0768, -0.0411, -0.082, -0.106, -0.1608, -0.1209, -0.1319, 0.0305, 0.0305, 0.0, 0.0342, 0.0812, 0.0631, 0.0797, 0.0854, 0.0937, 0.1501, 0.1752, 0.2063, 0.2299, 0.2002, 0.2107, 0.2012, 0.1898, 0.1259, 0.1144, 0.1378, 0.2651, 0.2499, 0.225, 0.2585, 0.2917, 0.2731, 0.3438, 0.4025, 0.3626, 0.3547, 0.4261, 0.334, 0.3727, 0.3618, 0.4447, 0.3582, 0.4311, 0.4311, 0.5624, 0.6424, 0.6639, 0.5474, 0.5474, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2040654858475504075", "ticker_idx": 6, "ts": "2026-04-05T04:56:46+00:00", "symbol": "GILT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "fallback would be names like: $VSAT, $GILT", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Optical ground infrastructure bottleneck creates longs across station operators and photonics hardware makers; RF names as fallback if optical mesh fails.", "resolved_tickers": ["GILT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The Space Bottleneck: Optical ground infrastructure.\n\n- \"The industry has built roughly 10 percent of the optical ground infrastructure\"\n\nNow, who are the beneficiaries?\n\n- $EOS.ASX (operating stations at Mt. Stromlo equipped with \"adaptive optics.\") \n- $SKPJF (TYO: 9412) |  $NTTYY | Space Compass is JV with NTT and satellite operator SKY Perfect JSAT\n- $SGBAF - Works with Cailabs to for terrestrial optical terminals\n- $SAFRY - Manufacturer of the optical ground stations\n\nThen if it fails fallback would be names like:\n$VSAT, $GILT\n\nAnalysis states that if the optical mesh fails due to clouds or lack of stations, the architecture \"falls back to Ka-band RF links\". \n \n-> Near term capital flows to Relay Providers (Kepler, Space Compass, General Atomics). \n\n-> Long term structural winners will be the photonics hardware manufacturers (Cailabs, Safran).\n\n-> Then companies like SpaceX wins by default. Many are private. \n\n\"This infrastructure deficit is no longer just an engineering problem but a direct threat to a major White House [Golden Dome] policy objective\"\n\nOrbital laser communications market are hard-capped until physical ground infra scales, hence the current bottleneck. \n\nBut not quite sure if capex is to the scale of hyperscaler AI buildouts yet to benefit these companies enough.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.053850624234216715, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.053850624234216715, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04914606438659297, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04914606438659297, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004704559847623746, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004704559847623746, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06716848967370082, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06716848967370082, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06672841556785203, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06672841556785203, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004400741058487867, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0004400741058487867, "ret_p1w": 0.05848293005851035, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05848293005851035, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01724944059504785, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01724944059504785, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0412334894634625, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0412334894634625, "ret_p1m": 0.16213081429316434, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.16213081429316434, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06372881775910688, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06372881775910688, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09840199653405746, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09840199653405746, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1552, -0.1309, -0.128, -0.0116, -0.011, -0.0301, 0.0232, 0.0342, 0.0342, 0.0232, 0.0255, 0.0672, 0.0799, 0.0666, 0.1129, 0.1563, 0.1563, 0.117, 0.0805, 0.1384, 0.0828, 0.1245, 0.0689, 0.1158, -0.1291, -0.2067, -0.2328, -0.2027, -0.2027, -0.1772, -0.1569, -0.1349, -0.1436, -0.1685, -0.1013, -0.0816, -0.0776, -0.0793, 0.0029, -0.0214, 0.0197, -0.0318, -0.0654, 0.0168, -0.0133, -0.0168, -0.0237, -0.0475, -0.051, -0.0272, -0.0156, 0.0272, -0.0591, -0.0347, -0.0266, 0.0069, -0.0405, -0.1089, -0.1737, -0.1303, -0.0984, -0.0539, -0.0539, 0.0, 0.0672, 0.084, 0.0284, 0.0255, 0.0585, 0.0845, 0.066, 0.0799, 0.11, 0.0631, 0.0376, 0.0208, 0.0214, 0.0087, 0.0058, -0.0452, 0.0156, 0.0689, 0.0701, 0.062, 0.1621, 0.15, 0.0909, 0.1228, 0.2073, 0.1529, -0.0938, -0.0689, -0.1204, -0.1094, -0.1314, -0.0967, -0.1106, -0.0892, -0.0892, 0.0318, 0.0093, 0.0324, -0.0058, -0.0058, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2044464395380736079", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-15T17:14:30+00:00", "symbol": "BIRD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd rather go long on $BIRD here than $BIRD", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefers long BIRD over IREN; implied bearish on IREN relative to BIRD.", "resolved_tickers": ["BIRD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@daniel_koss I'd rather go long on $BIRD here than $IREN.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I wouldn't be so quick to jump to conclusions. They have around the same amount of top tier ai factories as IREN (0). \n\nIt's a joke, don't kill me guys 😂", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "daniel_koss", "ret_m1d": -0.8534431993477968, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.8534431993477968, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.8456139847727822, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.8456139847727822, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00782921457501462, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00782921457501462, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.3578575636028929, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.3578575636028929, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.3603148752254972, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.3603148752254972, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002457311622604319, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002457311622604319, "ret_p1w": -0.5038257552241876, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.5038257552241876, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.5199271631904989, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.5199271631904989, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01610140796631132, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01610140796631132, "ret_p1m": -0.7345497180907249, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.7345497180907249, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.8034555961667355, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.8034555961667355, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06890587807601056, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06890587807601056, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.761, -0.761, -0.7646, -0.7593, -0.7469, -0.7563, -0.7634, -0.7693, -0.7663, -0.7657, -0.7699, -0.7734, -0.7905, -0.7911, -0.7937, -0.7934, -0.804, -0.8034, -0.814, -0.8205, -0.8234, -0.8234, -0.8199, -0.8205, -0.817, -0.8146, -0.8287, -0.8399, -0.834, -0.8246, -0.8328, -0.8323, -0.8376, -0.8358, -0.8464, -0.854, -0.817, -0.7863, -0.8105, -0.8199, -0.8181, -0.817, -0.8081, -0.8158, -0.8122, -0.8158, -0.8111, -0.8034, -0.7899, -0.7958, -0.8128, -0.8246, -0.8228, -0.8458, -0.8434, -0.8434, -0.8476, -0.8517, -0.8523, -0.8499, -0.8593, -0.8511, -0.8534, 0.0, -0.3579, -0.3643, -0.3514, -0.4997, -0.5038, -0.5285, -0.5868, -0.6057, -0.5903, -0.6033, -0.6174, -0.6198, -0.6551, -0.6692, -0.6421, -0.6339, -0.6704, -0.6857, -0.6975, -0.7275, -0.7345, -0.7404, -0.7634, -0.764, -0.7652, -0.7552, -0.774, -0.774, -0.7746, -0.7675, -0.7487, -0.7575, -0.7575, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2044464395380736079", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-15T17:14:30+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd rather go long on $BIRD here than $IREN", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefers long BIRD over IREN; implied bearish on IREN relative to BIRD.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@daniel_koss I'd rather go long on $BIRD here than $IREN.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I wouldn't be so quick to jump to conclusions. They have around the same amount of top tier ai factories as IREN (0). \n\nIt's a joke, don't kill me guys 😂", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "daniel_koss", "ret_m1d": -0.029700958050050463, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.029700958050050463, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.021871743475035843, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02222540881990709, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00782921457501462, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007475549230143375, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.022941395716631008, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.022941395716631008, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.025398707339235327, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.020257872723299264, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002457311622604319, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002683522993331744, "ret_p1w": -0.008807871934939149, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.008807871934939149, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02490927990125047, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.009574613681753164, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01610140796631132, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0007667417468140147, "ret_p1m": 0.19623109158008334, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.19623109158008334, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12732521350407278, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2130989712868876, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06890587807601056, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016867879706804256, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1844, 0.1844, 0.1114, 0.0955, 0.0705, 0.161, 0.0725, 0.2288, 0.2892, 0.2257, 0.1008, 0.0873, 0.1141, -0.0795, -0.185, -0.1432, -0.0547, -0.1206, -0.126, -0.18, -0.1352, -0.1352, -0.1608, -0.1381, -0.1133, -0.1811, -0.1323, -0.069, -0.0981, -0.0938, -0.1612, -0.1522, -0.2042, -0.102, -0.1781, -0.2483, -0.2044, -0.2192, -0.1401, -0.1526, -0.1483, -0.0795, -0.12, -0.1354, -0.1467, -0.1542, -0.1364, -0.1577, -0.1514, -0.2329, -0.2812, -0.3523, -0.2978, -0.3017, -0.2878, -0.2878, -0.2804, -0.2679, -0.2456, -0.2409, -0.1946, -0.1178, -0.0297, 0.0, -0.0229, -0.0143, -0.002, -0.0748, -0.0088, 0.0655, 0.0373, -0.0094, -0.0897, -0.1221, -0.0678, -0.0647, 0.0135, 0.1213, 0.2491, 0.1645, 0.2536, 0.1297, 0.1585, 0.1301, 0.1962, 0.0844, 0.0336, -0.0221, 0.0797, 0.1893, 0.1641, 0.1641, 0.2245, 0.3896, 0.312, 0.3015, 0.3015, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2055822766600016238", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-05-17T01:28:37+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's likely going to keep rising as it hits that $400m+/month revenue target H2 2026", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long SIVE, LPK, AAOI, IQE as photonics/advanced-packaging supply-chain chokepoints set to be materially higher in 3-4 years on AI-driven optical supercycle.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "When I see comments like this (and there are a lot) from retail investors:\n\nI immediately think they lack the technical depth. \n\nI'll walk through each one from $SIVE to $LPK: \n\n1. Photonics TAM goes from $14B -> $154B In just two years time, and it's likely going to keep scaling past 2030 as it's the next generation architecture of choice.\n\nIt's not going away in 1 year. It's not going away in 3 years, which is why $LITE premiums keep going higher since they're backlogged into 2028.\n\n$SIVE supplies CW lasers and is highly tethered to CPO and now pluggable transcivers for 1.6T and 3.2...\n\nFor expected companies like $JBL, Ayar, Lightmatter, Lightelligence, $POET, $MRVL Celestial, and $AMD. \n\nThis isn't a \"trade\", it's the core chokepoint and IP holder for the next generation of photonics. \n\nAnd it's a comfortable hold for the next few years as they scale to become the next $LITE.\n\nThe risk I personally see (since they're already qualified with so many players), it's mainly how much TAM they can capture of the overall optical supercycle. (And potential risks with Win Semi volume ramp, but Win is massive so I can sleep tightly there). \n\nAs just supplying lasers isn't enough to justify valuation.\n\nIt's TAM expansion downward into making the entire ELS or entire pluggable transceiver that makes these laser companies so valuable.  \n\nThen afterward, they can vertically integrating upward for gross margin expansion upward like $COHR into doing the laser fabs or even substrate level.  \n\nAnd that in my view is a very asymmetric risk/reward ratio as we've already seen this done with $LITE as they went from $2B to $80B. \n\n 2. $LPK - Is the purest exposure, without the messy financials of SKC Absolics, as the next advanced packaging shift for glass substrates.\n\nAlmost every single major semi company from $INTC to Samsung are adopting glass substrates. \n\n$LPK is basically $ASML of this chokepoint, since they supply to ~80% of the global players currently. \n\nYes, there's \"trade cycles\" for equipment suppliers like $ASML, where if there's more foundry capex, ASML scales up. But if there's downturns, these tend to perform poorly, and don't capture all the volume ramp that happens after. \n\nHowever, if the MC is $650m and they're making $100-200M, revenue per costumer volume ramped, the amount they make from the glass substrate cycle will likely exceed current valuations.\n\nAnd they'll have baseline fundamentals (as more companies adopt the packaging shift), that keeps their valuation up. \n\nIt's just a waiting game for volume ramp at this point. \n\n3. $AAOI - This is literally $INTC but for America + Photonics. It's like saying Intel is not a long term investment.\n\nGuess where all your optical transcivers are made?\n\nChina. Thailand. Malaysia. If you look at Innolight, Eoptolink, $FN, and others.  \n\nAOI is building the largest Made in America supply chains for both CW laser fab, as well as 800g, 1.6T assembly. \n\nYes, there are pluggable cycle ups and downs to this as well. There's going to be a wave for 1.6T next year, then CPO cannibalizes pluggables down the road.\n\nBut since they make the entire supply chain in house, they have extreme optionality for other segments. And like $NVDA older gen-GPUs, there's going to be sovereign DC requirements for older gen pluggables from names like $AAOI.  \n\nIt's likely going to keep rising as it hits that $400m+/month revenue target H2 2026. \n\nThere's just a lot of different short term volatility along the way like the $600m dilution. \n\n4. $IQE - ??? It's one of the most important players in the Western word for epiwafers.\n\n$MTSI went out of their way to pay off IQE's debt because they can't have them going under. $IQE is also supplying to $LITE. \n\nThe world is currently bottlenecked both on the epiwafer level from Landmark comments and InP substrate levels. \n\nTheir financials were track but the raw book value, and value they hold to the entire Western supply chain... completely justifies their valuation. And other optical companies will not let their core upstream supply chain go under.\n\nAs these tens of millions worth of materials would screw up tens of billions worth of downstream products. \n\nAgain photonics is the next generation architecture required to scale AI. It's not Quantum where it's just \"In development\".\n\nIt's literally here and the architecture of choice by $NVDA. \n\nI would not be surprised if all of these are a lot higher in 3-4 years time. \n\nPeople who think it's one and done in 3 months time  \"only because I mentioned it\" don't know what they're talking about.\n\nInstitutions would have bought up the name eventually (like Point 72 on $IQE) and retail would only find out after their valuations are 600% higher.\n\nShould really do the research before adding comments like these:\n\nThese are all forward growth companies that require in-depth supply chain knowledge.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "This is my current portfolio\n\nAs I said, I wouldn't sell any positions\n\nAnd I’ve kept my word, the money for the new position in $PENG does not come from my existing investments\n\nAt the moment, I don’t see better opportunities in the market than what is already in my portfolio https://t.co/r0hgEczvaT", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.09869564034206957, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.09869564034206957, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.09799170955088576, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.09799170955088576, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0007039307911838044, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0007039307911838044, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011139286257481062, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011139286257481062, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0044784268752379175, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0044784268752379175, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006660859382243145, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006660859382243145, "ret_p1w": 0.04750093066638894, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04750093066638894, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03803773429010793, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03803773429010793, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009463196376281013, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009463196376281013, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7493, -0.7288, -0.7017, -0.6886, -0.6752, -0.6646, -0.6901, -0.5139, -0.4083, -0.4497, -0.4245, -0.4163, -0.4483, -0.3615, -0.3046, -0.2669, -0.3871, -0.4412, -0.4571, -0.5017, -0.4654, -0.4118, -0.4947, -0.4473, -0.3426, -0.3397, -0.4377, -0.4332, -0.5083, -0.5118, -0.5016, -0.4003, -0.4003, -0.3798, -0.321, -0.2341, -0.2306, -0.1308, -0.1158, -0.1551, -0.1772, -0.092, -0.0799, -0.0565, -0.131, -0.1376, -0.2051, -0.064, -0.1586, -0.2078, -0.1179, -0.0514, 0.0592, -0.0016, 0.0422, 0.0305, -0.0907, -0.1404, 0.0672, 0.0867, 0.2877, 0.1749, 0.0987, 0.0, -0.0111, -0.0462, 0.0205, 0.0475, 0.0475, 0.0252, 0.0379, -0.0245, -0.0857, -0.0857, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2055822766600016238", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-05-17T01:28:37+00:00", "symbol": "IQE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I would not be surprised if all of these are a lot higher in 3-4 years time", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long SIVE, LPK, AAOI, IQE as photonics/advanced-packaging supply-chain chokepoints set to be materially higher in 3-4 years on AI-driven optical supercycle.", "resolved_tickers": ["IQE.L"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "IQE plc LSE-listed epiwafer supplier", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "When I see comments like this (and there are a lot) from retail investors:\n\nI immediately think they lack the technical depth. \n\nI'll walk through each one from $SIVE to $LPK: \n\n1. Photonics TAM goes from $14B -> $154B In just two years time, and it's likely going to keep scaling past 2030 as it's the next generation architecture of choice.\n\nIt's not going away in 1 year. It's not going away in 3 years, which is why $LITE premiums keep going higher since they're backlogged into 2028.\n\n$SIVE supplies CW lasers and is highly tethered to CPO and now pluggable transcivers for 1.6T and 3.2...\n\nFor expected companies like $JBL, Ayar, Lightmatter, Lightelligence, $POET, $MRVL Celestial, and $AMD. \n\nThis isn't a \"trade\", it's the core chokepoint and IP holder for the next generation of photonics. \n\nAnd it's a comfortable hold for the next few years as they scale to become the next $LITE.\n\nThe risk I personally see (since they're already qualified with so many players), it's mainly how much TAM they can capture of the overall optical supercycle. (And potential risks with Win Semi volume ramp, but Win is massive so I can sleep tightly there). \n\nAs just supplying lasers isn't enough to justify valuation.\n\nIt's TAM expansion downward into making the entire ELS or entire pluggable transceiver that makes these laser companies so valuable.  \n\nThen afterward, they can vertically integrating upward for gross margin expansion upward like $COHR into doing the laser fabs or even substrate level.  \n\nAnd that in my view is a very asymmetric risk/reward ratio as we've already seen this done with $LITE as they went from $2B to $80B. \n\n 2. $LPK - Is the purest exposure, without the messy financials of SKC Absolics, as the next advanced packaging shift for glass substrates.\n\nAlmost every single major semi company from $INTC to Samsung are adopting glass substrates. \n\n$LPK is basically $ASML of this chokepoint, since they supply to ~80% of the global players currently. \n\nYes, there's \"trade cycles\" for equipment suppliers like $ASML, where if there's more foundry capex, ASML scales up. But if there's downturns, these tend to perform poorly, and don't capture all the volume ramp that happens after. \n\nHowever, if the MC is $650m and they're making $100-200M, revenue per costumer volume ramped, the amount they make from the glass substrate cycle will likely exceed current valuations.\n\nAnd they'll have baseline fundamentals (as more companies adopt the packaging shift), that keeps their valuation up. \n\nIt's just a waiting game for volume ramp at this point. \n\n3. $AAOI - This is literally $INTC but for America + Photonics. It's like saying Intel is not a long term investment.\n\nGuess where all your optical transcivers are made?\n\nChina. Thailand. Malaysia. If you look at Innolight, Eoptolink, $FN, and others.  \n\nAOI is building the largest Made in America supply chains for both CW laser fab, as well as 800g, 1.6T assembly. \n\nYes, there are pluggable cycle ups and downs to this as well. There's going to be a wave for 1.6T next year, then CPO cannibalizes pluggables down the road.\n\nBut since they make the entire supply chain in house, they have extreme optionality for other segments. And like $NVDA older gen-GPUs, there's going to be sovereign DC requirements for older gen pluggables from names like $AAOI.  \n\nIt's likely going to keep rising as it hits that $400m+/month revenue target H2 2026. \n\nThere's just a lot of different short term volatility along the way like the $600m dilution. \n\n4. $IQE - ??? It's one of the most important players in the Western word for epiwafers.\n\n$MTSI went out of their way to pay off IQE's debt because they can't have them going under. $IQE is also supplying to $LITE. \n\nThe world is currently bottlenecked both on the epiwafer level from Landmark comments and InP substrate levels. \n\nTheir financials were track but the raw book value, and value they hold to the entire Western supply chain... completely justifies their valuation. And other optical companies will not let their core upstream supply chain go under.\n\nAs these tens of millions worth of materials would screw up tens of billions worth of downstream products. \n\nAgain photonics is the next generation architecture required to scale AI. It's not Quantum where it's just \"In development\".\n\nIt's literally here and the architecture of choice by $NVDA. \n\nI would not be surprised if all of these are a lot higher in 3-4 years time. \n\nPeople who think it's one and done in 3 months time  \"only because I mentioned it\" don't know what they're talking about.\n\nInstitutions would have bought up the name eventually (like Point 72 on $IQE) and retail would only find out after their valuations are 600% higher.\n\nShould really do the research before adding comments like these:\n\nThese are all forward growth companies that require in-depth supply chain knowledge.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "This is my current portfolio\n\nAs I said, I wouldn't sell any positions\n\nAnd I’ve kept my word, the money for the new position in $PENG does not come from my existing investments\n\nAt the moment, I don’t see better opportunities in the market than what is already in my portfolio https://t.co/r0hgEczvaT", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.17647063414710296, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.17647063414710296, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.17576670335591915, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.15783130828745495, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0007039307911838044, "bench_c_m1d": 0.018639325859648004, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.18158564581071102, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.18158564581071102, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.17492478642846787, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.1775576113884726, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006660859382243145, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0040280344222384246, "ret_p1w": 0.17007677200499915, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.17007677200499915, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.16061357562871814, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1148547937153046, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009463196376281013, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05522197828969455, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7325, -0.7345, -0.732, -0.6731, -0.688, -0.5903, -0.4885, -0.5141, -0.3453, -0.335, -0.3133, -0.4514, -0.4972, -0.512, -0.4194, -0.3785, -0.4194, -0.4054, -0.4092, -0.4476, -0.3465, -0.4156, -0.3964, -0.399, -0.3465, -0.2455, -0.3197, -0.3734, -0.4092, -0.376, -0.3581, -0.3964, -0.3964, -0.3964, -0.3478, -0.266, -0.2327, -0.0537, 0.2558, 0.2225, 0.3811, 0.4987, 0.3325, 0.4987, 0.6113, 0.601, 0.2724, 0.2174, 0.2634, 0.0294, 0.0332, 0.1061, 0.0524, 0.0524, 0.2788, 0.1394, 0.1675, 0.2046, 0.3939, 0.2059, 0.2916, 0.2685, 0.1765, 0.0, -0.1816, -0.0396, 0.0192, 0.1701, 0.1701, 0.3811, 0.2967, 0.2187, 0.2148, 0.2148, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2041062144884797685", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-06T07:55:11+00:00", "symbol": "TSEM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is a $22B+ stock BTW (close to $NBIS size).", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author is long TSEM and sees it as a $22B+ stock, implying significant further upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSEM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I still find it funny $TSEM was flat the entire year to date.\n\nI go long and now it’s close to doubling in 3 weeks.\n\nThis is a $22B+ stock BTW (close to $NBIS size). \n\nMaybe institutions started copy trading? https://t.co/kUqw9b6Ksk", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I'm long $TSEM, the $TSM of photonics. \n\nMy top two picks for CPO are $SOI and Tower Semi. \n\nGiven the $NVDA GTC catalyst on new photonic related architecture next week:\n\nI expect Tower Semi to get a huge catalyst. \n\nNvidia laready directly collaborated with Tower to scale 1.6T https://t.co/Au3HYKNm7V", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.040012621655526104, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.040012621655526104, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04471718150314985, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04471718150314985, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004704559847623746, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004704559847623746, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0035227833237538864, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0035227833237538864, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0030827092179050997, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0030827092179050997, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004400741058487867, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0004400741058487867, "ret_p1w": 0.10137230417901, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10137230417901, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.060138814715547495, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.060138814715547495, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0412334894634625, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0412334894634625, "ret_p1m": 0.18581416417394592, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.18581416417394592, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08741216763988846, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08741216763988846, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09840199653405746, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09840199653405746, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3574, -0.3831, -0.3689, -0.3622, -0.3439, -0.3522, -0.348, -0.3174, -0.3174, -0.3217, -0.2985, -0.3166, -0.3237, -0.332, -0.3027, -0.2695, -0.2917, -0.2916, -0.2802, -0.2828, -0.3623, -0.3213, -0.2689, -0.2243, -0.2819, -0.2931, -0.2976, -0.3231, -0.3231, -0.3281, -0.3251, -0.3382, -0.3245, -0.33, -0.3375, -0.3377, -0.3489, -0.3434, -0.2713, -0.34, -0.3506, -0.3662, -0.4185, -0.3929, -0.3855, -0.372, -0.3767, -0.3443, -0.2719, -0.2751, -0.2536, -0.1268, -0.1396, -0.095, -0.0493, -0.0076, -0.0816, -0.0961, -0.1662, -0.0773, -0.0164, 0.04, 0.04, 0.0, 0.0035, 0.0709, 0.0717, 0.0705, 0.1014, 0.1258, 0.1338, 0.1291, 0.1907, 0.1803, 0.1395, 0.0837, 0.0583, 0.0544, 0.0691, 0.0177, 0.0473, 0.1623, 0.1463, 0.1308, 0.1858, 0.1403, 0.1042, 0.1095, 0.2034, 0.1611, 0.4237, 0.4758, 0.4406, 0.3043, 0.3212, 0.3906, 0.467, 0.4902, 0.4902, 0.5171, 0.4606, 0.4486, 0.342, 0.342, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2048126025314513147", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-25T19:44:31+00:00", "symbol": "Shunsin", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I expect it to outperform over the next year", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Still long Shunsin despite being down; expects it to outperform over the next year as Foxconn's CPO optical/testing arm.", "resolved_tickers": ["6451.TW"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Shunsin Technology listed on TWSE as 6451.TW", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TW')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@GeorgeMakro91 Yep! I get definitely get things wrong on short term timeframes too. \n\nI mentioned Shunsin April 12th, so 13 days ago as Foxconn's CPO optical/testing arm. I'm down too on that (sadge), but I expect it to outperform over the next year.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Its okay some of us have Shunsin stock in our portfolio to remind us that you are human :p (30% down..sob)", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "GeorgeMakro91", "ret_m1d": 0.059288537549407216, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.059288537549407216, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06100838108051432, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.050816896144756596, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0017198435311071014, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00847164140465062, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06719367588932812, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06719367588932812, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07205962461747428, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06845298455873983, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004865948728146163, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012593086694117073, "ret_p1w": 0.24901185770750978, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.24901185770750978, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.24504073626318945, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.21398031516094806, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003971121444320325, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03503154254656171, "ret_p1m": 0.6653491436100132, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6653491436100132, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6158223950163684, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.49603029788720376, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04952674859364481, "bench_c_p1m": 0.16931884572280942, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5797, -0.5534, -0.5758, -0.5455, -0.5007, -0.4519, -0.4783, -0.5296, -0.5441, -0.5323, -0.5626, -0.5626, -0.5626, -0.5626, -0.5626, -0.5626, -0.5626, -0.5626, -0.5191, -0.4717, -0.444, -0.4493, -0.4493, -0.4611, -0.4532, -0.5072, -0.4862, -0.4993, -0.5494, -0.5455, -0.5007, -0.4835, -0.4321, -0.3755, -0.3136, -0.2648, -0.2833, -0.2767, -0.2609, -0.2358, -0.1594, -0.1252, -0.0382, -0.1344, -0.22, -0.1963, -0.2213, -0.2213, -0.2213, -0.1436, -0.058, 0.0356, 0.1383, 0.2516, 0.2543, 0.2016, 0.3017, 0.3307, 0.336, 0.249, 0.307, 0.1765, 0.0593, 0.0, 0.0672, 0.0474, 0.1357, 0.1357, 0.249, 0.3729, 0.2582, 0.2912, 0.1621, 0.2003, 0.2029, 0.2596, 0.3834, 0.5204, 0.3702, 0.2754, 0.2793, 0.3149, 0.3808, 0.5178, 0.6653, 0.5863, 0.4993, 0.502, 0.6153, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2045939615765574031", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-19T18:56:30+00:00", "symbol": "MRVL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I liked $MRVL back at $80 and even here, mainly because of $MSFT Maia", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still bullish MRVL on MSFT Maia custom AI inference and GOOGL revenue visibility past 2028.", "resolved_tickers": ["MRVL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@StocksAREnuts I liked $MRVL back at $80 and even here, mainly because of $MSFT Maia.\n\nBut having $GOOGL as a likely customer for revenue visibility past 2028 helps a lot too. They're really milking that Celestial acquisition.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Like already mentioned in several posts $MRVL is a must-have for custom AI inference and photonics. They sit at the very core position in this AI revolution. S&amp;P 500 inclusion shouldn‘t be too far away.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "StocksAREnuts", "ret_m1d": -0.05512712458310287, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05512712458310287, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05713079881836358, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05713079881836358, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.023471329184643563, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.023471329184643563, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030018278339579818, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030018278339579818, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "ret_p1w": 0.07014347018972966, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07014347018972966, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06104253826504835, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06104253826504835, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "ret_p1m": 0.19230254761095278, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.19230254761095278, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15701356070571237, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.15701356070571237, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4419, -0.4382, -0.4576, -0.4472, -0.4393, -0.4347, -0.4501, -0.4664, -0.4682, -0.4893, -0.5015, -0.4983, -0.4573, -0.4433, -0.4456, -0.4501, -0.4711, -0.4685, -0.4685, -0.4658, -0.4653, -0.4618, -0.4627, -0.4741, -0.47, -0.4529, -0.4639, -0.4477, -0.4533, -0.476, -0.4721, -0.4884, -0.3944, -0.3736, -0.3692, -0.3886, -0.4073, -0.406, -0.3809, -0.3862, -0.4076, -0.3947, -0.4057, -0.3905, -0.3756, -0.3344, -0.3396, -0.3585, -0.4063, -0.3304, -0.2786, -0.2759, -0.2759, -0.2596, -0.2605, -0.2262, -0.1892, -0.1309, -0.1119, -0.0948, -0.0896, -0.0979, -0.0551, 0.0, 0.0235, 0.0641, 0.1199, 0.1114, 0.0701, 0.0365, 0.0591, 0.1171, 0.1157, 0.107, 0.1414, 0.1644, 0.0823, 0.1508, 0.1556, 0.1127, 0.2037, 0.235, 0.1965, 0.1427, 0.1923, 0.2635, 0.2898, 0.328, 0.328, 0.4087, 0.344, 0.3855, 0.3866, 0.3866, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2045344287429415403", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-18T03:30:53+00:00", "symbol": "HOOD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Long Robinhood?", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Soft bullish lean on Robinhood after gold card product reveal.", "resolved_tickers": ["HOOD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Woah, the $HOOD gold card is sexy. \n\nLong Robinhood? https://t.co/Sth8jBHnG9", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00575186542977002, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00575186542977002, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.007755539665030731, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0019517370071883144, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0038001284225817056, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.053081360062529725, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.053081360062529725, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04653441090759347, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04681113729305664, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006270222769473088, "ret_p1w": -0.08025203456786445, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08025203456786445, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08935296649254576, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0646715732685581, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015580461299306347, "ret_p1m": -0.18751024461957388, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.18751024461957388, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2227992315248143, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.15843932379603132, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "bench_c_p1m": -0.029070920823542568, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1604, 0.1641, 0.1722, 0.1723, 0.153, 0.1328, 0.1092, 0.0899, -0.015, -0.0461, -0.1167, -0.2037, -0.0926, -0.0517, -0.0622, -0.1458, -0.2208, -0.1677, -0.1677, -0.1735, -0.176, -0.1712, -0.1661, -0.2136, -0.1959, -0.1506, -0.1296, -0.169, -0.1369, -0.1666, -0.0993, -0.1174, -0.1554, -0.1306, -0.1396, -0.1379, -0.166, -0.1959, -0.1749, -0.1526, -0.1794, -0.1875, -0.2233, -0.2058, -0.2432, -0.2053, -0.2293, -0.2767, -0.2861, -0.2408, -0.2319, -0.2451, -0.2451, -0.2355, -0.2369, -0.213, -0.2318, -0.242, -0.2148, -0.1335, -0.0433, -0.0485, -0.0058, 0.0, -0.0531, -0.0312, -0.0847, -0.0719, -0.0803, -0.1008, -0.2199, -0.2014, -0.193, -0.1613, -0.1561, -0.1339, -0.1643, -0.1561, -0.115, -0.1425, -0.1591, -0.1159, -0.1549, -0.1548, -0.1875, -0.17, -0.1682, -0.1932, -0.1932, -0.1883, -0.1648, -0.0705, 0.0331, 0.0331, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2048807344017224052", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-27T16:51:50+00:00", "symbol": "MRVL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$MRVL benefits long term by vertically integrating the packaging process", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "MRVL benefits long-term via vertical integration; SIVE, MTSI, LITE benefit as direct laser suppliers to MRVL.", "resolved_tickers": ["MRVL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@O_bhaina $MRVL benefits long term by vertically integrating the packaging process.\n\nThey will likely just make a deal and buy lasers directly from $SIVE, $MTSI, and maybe $LITE is my guess.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Who will get the order instead? Who will benefit?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "O_bhaina", "ret_m1d": 0.03855628965213809, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03855628965213809, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04027613318324519, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04027613318324519, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0017198435311071014, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0017198435311071014, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03147721872823628, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03147721872823628, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.026611270000090115, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.026611270000090115, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004865948728146163, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004865948728146163, "ret_p1w": 0.03444786497037988, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03444786497037988, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.030476743526059558, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.030476743526059558, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003971121444320325, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003971121444320325, "ret_p1m": 0.3163515938880359, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3163515938880359, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2668248452943911, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2668248452943911, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04952674859364481, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04952674859364481, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4717, -0.4861, -0.5014, -0.5031, -0.5228, -0.5342, -0.5312, -0.4928, -0.4797, -0.4819, -0.4861, -0.5058, -0.5034, -0.5034, -0.5009, -0.5003, -0.4971, -0.4979, -0.5086, -0.5048, -0.4888, -0.4991, -0.4839, -0.4892, -0.5103, -0.5067, -0.5219, -0.4341, -0.4147, -0.4106, -0.4286, -0.4461, -0.4449, -0.4214, -0.4264, -0.4465, -0.4344, -0.4446, -0.4304, -0.4165, -0.378, -0.3829, -0.4006, -0.4453, -0.3742, -0.3259, -0.3233, -0.3233, -0.3082, -0.309, -0.277, -0.2423, -0.1879, -0.1701, -0.1541, -0.1492, -0.157, -0.1171, -0.0655, -0.0436, -0.0056, 0.0465, 0.0386, 0.0, -0.0315, -0.0104, 0.0439, 0.0426, 0.0344, 0.0666, 0.0881, 0.0114, 0.0753, 0.0798, 0.0398, 0.1248, 0.154, 0.1181, 0.0678, 0.1142, 0.1807, 0.2053, 0.2409, 0.2409, 0.3164, 0.2559, 0.2947, 0.2957, 0.2957, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2048807344017224052", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-04-27T16:51:50+00:00", "symbol": "MTSI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "make a deal and buy lasers directly from $SIVE, $MTSI", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "MRVL benefits long-term via vertical integration; SIVE, MTSI, LITE benefit as direct laser suppliers to MRVL.", "resolved_tickers": ["MTSI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@O_bhaina $MRVL benefits long term by vertically integrating the packaging process.\n\nThey will likely just make a deal and buy lasers directly from $SIVE, $MTSI, and maybe $LITE is my guess.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Who will get the order instead? Who will benefit?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "O_bhaina", "ret_m1d": 0.029344446519430134, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.029344446519430134, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.031064290050537235, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.031064290050537235, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0017198435311071014, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0017198435311071014, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04949190154957739, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04949190154957739, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.044625952821431225, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.044625952821431225, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004865948728146163, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004865948728146163, "ret_p1w": 0.04394502817065993, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04394502817065993, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0399739067263396, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0399739067263396, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003971121444320325, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003971121444320325, "ret_p1m": 0.4660749681380498, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4660749681380498, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.416548219544405, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.416548219544405, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04952674859364481, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04952674859364481, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1903, -0.185, -0.2161, -0.1821, -0.1887, -0.2305, -0.1848, -0.1559, -0.1565, -0.175, -0.1521, -0.1448, -0.1263, -0.1263, -0.1211, -0.1169, -0.132, -0.1283, -0.1213, -0.1115, -0.0933, -0.1157, -0.1121, -0.0748, -0.1375, -0.1447, -0.1806, -0.2574, -0.2173, -0.2106, -0.2036, -0.2272, -0.2206, -0.1951, -0.2081, -0.2167, -0.1965, -0.2164, -0.1796, -0.1511, -0.1231, -0.1823, -0.1932, -0.2503, -0.2053, -0.1792, -0.1472, -0.1472, -0.166, -0.1519, -0.1161, -0.1135, -0.0763, -0.0566, -0.0555, -0.0654, -0.0645, -0.0088, 0.0059, 0.0224, -0.0087, 0.0177, 0.0293, 0.0, -0.0495, -0.0351, 0.0078, 0.017, 0.0439, 0.0864, 0.1087, 0.2327, 0.2879, 0.3093, 0.2982, 0.3654, 0.3726, 0.3441, 0.2749, 0.2846, 0.3445, 0.3615, 0.3813, 0.3813, 0.4661, 0.4338, 0.3995, 0.3049, 0.3049, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2048807344017224052", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-04-27T16:51:50+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "maybe $LITE is my guess", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "MRVL benefits long-term via vertical integration; SIVE, MTSI, LITE benefit as direct laser suppliers to MRVL.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@O_bhaina $MRVL benefits long term by vertically integrating the packaging process.\n\nThey will likely just make a deal and buy lasers directly from $SIVE, $MTSI, and maybe $LITE is my guess.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Who will get the order instead? Who will benefit?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "O_bhaina", "ret_m1d": 0.025544414386456715, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.025544414386456715, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.027264257917563817, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.027264257917563817, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0017198435311071014, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0017198435311071014, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07945979683204762, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07945979683204762, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07459384810390146, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07459384810390146, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004865948728146163, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004865948728146163, "ret_p1w": 0.13551554182084669, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.13551554182084669, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.13154442037652636, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13154442037652636, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003971121444320325, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003971121444320325, "ret_p1m": 0.05947562502143233, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05947562502143233, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.009948876427787523, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.009948876427787523, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04952674859364481, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04952674859364481, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5522, -0.5563, -0.5442, -0.5075, -0.4939, -0.4585, -0.4132, -0.3579, -0.3286, -0.3473, -0.3322, -0.3213, -0.3454, -0.3454, -0.3016, -0.3087, -0.2606, -0.2232, -0.2151, -0.1994, -0.1585, -0.2125, -0.1847, -0.0889, -0.1922, -0.2081, -0.243, -0.3504, -0.2547, -0.2183, -0.2183, -0.2833, -0.2759, -0.2732, -0.2444, -0.1848, -0.1018, -0.1784, -0.1521, -0.0671, -0.096, -0.1988, -0.1826, -0.2383, -0.1825, -0.1105, -0.0382, -0.0382, -0.1017, -0.0511, 0.0423, 0.0401, 0.0438, 0.0134, -0.008, -0.0415, 0.0367, 0.04, 0.0412, -0.0265, 0.0162, -0.0149, 0.0255, 0.0, -0.0795, -0.0016, 0.0496, 0.105, 0.1355, 0.1569, 0.0984, 0.0383, 0.0513, 0.225, 0.1543, 0.1986, 0.1653, 0.1291, 0.0294, 0.0354, 0.0098, 0.1219, 0.1015, 0.1015, 0.0595, 0.0496, 0.0011, -0.0055, -0.0055, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
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{"unit_id": "reply:2051804731946021161", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-05T23:22:23+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LITE literally went out and said there's an incredible supply demand imbalance for CPO. And that scale up CPO is their largest single growth driver that's still at its infancy... This is incredibly bullish for CPO names.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long LITE and CPO names broadly on supply-demand imbalance; CPO scale-up cited as largest early-stage growth driver.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Early? It's at the very beginning, and everyone gets to frontrun the next major supercycle. \n\n$LITE literally went out and said there's an incredible supply demand imbalance for CPO. And that scale up CPO is their largest single growth driver that's still at its infancy...\n\nThis is incredibly bullish for CPO names.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Still early", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "tw_crypto_", "ret_m1d": -0.018480539060419687, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.018480539060419687, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010522196478952361, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010522196478952361, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007958342581467326, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007958342581467326, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05055498751723775, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05055498751723775, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06445442696225534, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06445442696225534, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.013899439445017592, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013899439445017592, "ret_p1w": -0.0022019812246442116, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0022019812246442116, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.022111583385098332, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.022111583385098332, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01990960216045412, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01990960216045412, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4928, -0.445, -0.4197, -0.4358, -0.4227, -0.4133, -0.4342, -0.4342, -0.3963, -0.4025, -0.3609, -0.3286, -0.3216, -0.308, -0.2727, -0.3193, -0.2953, -0.2125, -0.3018, -0.3155, -0.3456, -0.4385, -0.3558, -0.3243, -0.3243, -0.3805, -0.3741, -0.3717, -0.3469, -0.2954, -0.2236, -0.2898, -0.2671, -0.1936, -0.2186, -0.3074, -0.2934, -0.3416, -0.2934, -0.2312, -0.1686, -0.1686, -0.2235, -0.1798, -0.0991, -0.101, -0.0978, -0.1241, -0.1425, -0.1715, -0.1039, -0.101, -0.1, -0.1585, -0.1216, -0.1485, -0.1135, -0.1356, -0.2043, -0.137, -0.0927, -0.0449, -0.0185, 0.0, -0.0506, -0.1025, -0.0913, 0.0589, -0.0022, 0.036, 0.0073, -0.024, -0.1102, -0.105, -0.1272, -0.0302, -0.0479, -0.0479, -0.0842, -0.0928, -0.1347, -0.1404, -0.1404, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2042797823574634991", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-11T02:52:09+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NVDA is driving CPO, extremely, extremely hard", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Frontrun CPO/SiPH names ahead of H2 2026 ramp; names SIVE, Win Semi, TSEM, SOI as plays on CPO mass production starting this year.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NVDA is driving CPO, extremely, extremely hard.\n\nAs seen with investments in $MRVL, $LITE, and $COHR. \n\nBut, what's interesting is: CPO timelines are also happening way earlier than expected. \n\nNew report: \n\n\" $ASE Reportedly to Break Ground on Six New Plants in 2026, CPO Mass Production Expected to Begin This Year \"\n\n\"He also revealed for the first time that mass production of CPO is expected to begin this year\"\n\nProbably a good time to frontrun CPO related names like $SIVE (lasers), Win Semi (foundry), $TSEM (foundry), $SOI (substrates), and others around now, before ramp really picks up.  \n\nThe demand curve goes up exponentially all the way past 2029+, and I'm sure they'll break many projections. \n\nBut basically, I was talking about frontrunning CPO/SiPH names before OFC/GTC. \n\nTurned out I was right on timing again?  \n\nCPO Ramp now looks like it's beginning H2 2026, get ready.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0035919533281425498, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0035919533281425498, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006085868927441451, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006085868927441451, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009677822255584001, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009677822255584001, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03803284053190947, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03803284053190947, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.025847959779539353, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.025847959779539353, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01218488075237012, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01218488075237012, "ret_p1w": 0.06734985032184437, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06734985032184437, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03438090130261462, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03438090130261462, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.032968949019229754, "bench_c_p1w": 0.032968949019229754, "ret_p1m": 0.16623528406608723, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.16623528406608723, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09032795431379159, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09032795431379159, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07590732975229564, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07590732975229564, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0326, -0.012, -0.0163, -0.0163, -0.0594, -0.0317, -0.0237, -0.0087, -0.0151, -0.0042, 0.0116, 0.0168, 0.0096, -0.0196, -0.0474, -0.0799, -0.0921, -0.0207, 0.0038, -0.0041, 0.0039, -0.0126, -0.0344, -0.0344, -0.023, -0.0071, -0.0075, 0.0026, 0.0118, 0.0186, 0.033, -0.0234, -0.0641, -0.0361, -0.049, -0.0332, -0.0316, -0.0607, -0.0352, -0.024, -0.0173, -0.0326, -0.0479, -0.0322, -0.039, -0.0471, -0.0568, -0.0877, -0.0722, -0.0745, -0.0562, -0.0955, -0.1151, -0.1275, -0.0788, -0.0716, -0.063, -0.063, -0.0616, -0.0592, -0.0382, -0.0285, -0.0036, 0.0, 0.038, 0.0505, 0.0478, 0.0653, 0.0673, 0.0558, 0.0697, 0.0546, 0.1002, 0.1442, 0.126, 0.1053, 0.0542, 0.0483, 0.0484, 0.038, 0.0978, 0.1172, 0.1368, 0.1592, 0.1662, 0.1929, 0.2453, 0.1902, 0.1744, 0.1653, 0.1804, 0.1595, 0.1374, 0.1374, 0.135, 0.123, 0.1317, 0.1153, 0.1153, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2042797823574634991", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-11T02:52:09+00:00", "symbol": "MRVL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "As seen with investments in $MRVL", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Frontrun CPO/SiPH names ahead of H2 2026 ramp; names SIVE, Win Semi, TSEM, SOI as plays on CPO mass production starting this year.", "resolved_tickers": ["MRVL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NVDA is driving CPO, extremely, extremely hard.\n\nAs seen with investments in $MRVL, $LITE, and $COHR. \n\nBut, what's interesting is: CPO timelines are also happening way earlier than expected. \n\nNew report: \n\n\" $ASE Reportedly to Break Ground on Six New Plants in 2026, CPO Mass Production Expected to Begin This Year \"\n\n\"He also revealed for the first time that mass production of CPO is expected to begin this year\"\n\nProbably a good time to frontrun CPO related names like $SIVE (lasers), Win Semi (foundry), $TSEM (foundry), $SOI (substrates), and others around now, before ramp really picks up.  \n\nThe demand curve goes up exponentially all the way past 2029+, and I'm sure they'll break many projections. \n\nBut basically, I was talking about frontrunning CPO/SiPH names before OFC/GTC. \n\nTurned out I was right on timing again?  \n\nCPO Ramp now looks like it's beginning H2 2026, get ready.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.021401351814790637, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.021401351814790637, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011723529559206636, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.011723529559206636, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009677822255584001, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009677822255584001, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.019268840217007144, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.019268840217007144, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007083959464637024, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.007083959464637024, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01218488075237012, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01218488075237012, "ret_p1w": 0.12597100458263388, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12597100458263388, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09300205556340413, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09300205556340413, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.032968949019229754, "bench_c_p1w": 0.032968949019229754, "ret_p1m": 0.25285602571657906, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.25285602571657906, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.17694869596428342, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.17694869596428342, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07590732975229564, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07590732975229564, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3818, -0.3881, -0.3875, -0.3875, -0.3925, -0.3716, -0.3674, -0.3893, -0.3775, -0.3687, -0.3635, -0.3808, -0.3992, -0.4012, -0.425, -0.4387, -0.4351, -0.3889, -0.3731, -0.3757, -0.3808, -0.4045, -0.4016, -0.4016, -0.3985, -0.3979, -0.394, -0.395, -0.4078, -0.4033, -0.384, -0.3964, -0.3781, -0.3845, -0.41, -0.4056, -0.4239, -0.3182, -0.2947, -0.2898, -0.3115, -0.3326, -0.3312, -0.3029, -0.3089, -0.333, -0.3185, -0.3308, -0.3137, -0.2969, -0.2506, -0.2564, -0.2777, -0.3316, -0.246, -0.1877, -0.1846, -0.1846, -0.1664, -0.1674, -0.1288, -0.0871, -0.0214, 0.0, 0.0193, 0.0251, 0.0158, 0.0639, 0.126, 0.1524, 0.1982, 0.2609, 0.2514, 0.205, 0.167, 0.1925, 0.2578, 0.2563, 0.2465, 0.2852, 0.3111, 0.2187, 0.2957, 0.3011, 0.2529, 0.3553, 0.3906, 0.3472, 0.2866, 0.3425, 0.4227, 0.4523, 0.4953, 0.4953, 0.5861, 0.5133, 0.56, 0.5613, 0.5613, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2042797823574634991", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-04-11T02:52:09+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LITE", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Frontrun CPO/SiPH names ahead of H2 2026 ramp; names SIVE, Win Semi, TSEM, SOI as plays on CPO mass production starting this year.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NVDA is driving CPO, extremely, extremely hard.\n\nAs seen with investments in $MRVL, $LITE, and $COHR. \n\nBut, what's interesting is: CPO timelines are also happening way earlier than expected. \n\nNew report: \n\n\" $ASE Reportedly to Break Ground on Six New Plants in 2026, CPO Mass Production Expected to Begin This Year \"\n\n\"He also revealed for the first time that mass production of CPO is expected to begin this year\"\n\nProbably a good time to frontrun CPO related names like $SIVE (lasers), Win Semi (foundry), $TSEM (foundry), $SOI (substrates), and others around now, before ramp really picks up.  \n\nThe demand curve goes up exponentially all the way past 2029+, and I'm sure they'll break many projections. \n\nBut basically, I was talking about frontrunning CPO/SiPH names before OFC/GTC. \n\nTurned out I was right on timing again?  \n\nCPO Ramp now looks like it's beginning H2 2026, get ready.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02998231747375346, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02998231747375346, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03966013972933746, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03966013972933746, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009677822255584001, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009677822255584001, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.021109317021794305, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.021109317021794305, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.033294197774164425, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.033294197774164425, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01218488075237012, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01218488075237012, "ret_p1w": 0.0274684828358851, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0274684828358851, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.005500466183344654, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.005500466183344654, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.032968949019229754, "bench_c_p1w": 0.032968949019229754, "ret_p1m": 0.13911017638178058, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13911017638178058, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06320284662948494, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06320284662948494, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07590732975229564, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07590732975229564, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6193, -0.606, -0.6278, -0.6278, -0.5904, -0.584, -0.5931, -0.6107, -0.6184, -0.5745, -0.5581, -0.5622, -0.5502, -0.514, -0.5006, -0.4656, -0.421, -0.3664, -0.3375, -0.3559, -0.341, -0.3303, -0.354, -0.354, -0.3108, -0.3179, -0.2704, -0.2335, -0.2255, -0.21, -0.1696, -0.2229, -0.1954, -0.1009, -0.2029, -0.2185, -0.2529, -0.359, -0.2646, -0.2286, -0.2286, -0.2928, -0.2855, -0.2828, -0.2544, -0.1956, -0.1137, -0.1892, -0.1633, -0.0794, -0.1079, -0.2093, -0.1934, -0.2484, -0.1933, -0.1223, -0.0509, -0.0509, -0.1135, -0.0636, 0.0285, 0.0263, 0.03, 0.0, -0.0211, -0.0541, 0.023, 0.0263, 0.0275, -0.0393, 0.0028, -0.0279, 0.012, -0.0132, -0.0916, -0.0148, 0.0357, 0.0904, 0.1205, 0.1416, 0.0839, 0.0246, 0.0374, 0.2088, 0.1391, 0.1827, 0.1499, 0.1142, 0.0158, 0.0217, -0.0036, 0.1071, 0.0869, 0.0869, 0.0455, 0.0357, -0.0121, -0.0186, -0.0186, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2042797823574634991", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-04-11T02:52:09+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$COHR", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Frontrun CPO/SiPH names ahead of H2 2026 ramp; names SIVE, Win Semi, TSEM, SOI as plays on CPO mass production starting this year.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NVDA is driving CPO, extremely, extremely hard.\n\nAs seen with investments in $MRVL, $LITE, and $COHR. \n\nBut, what's interesting is: CPO timelines are also happening way earlier than expected. \n\nNew report: \n\n\" $ASE Reportedly to Break Ground on Six New Plants in 2026, CPO Mass Production Expected to Begin This Year \"\n\n\"He also revealed for the first time that mass production of CPO is expected to begin this year\"\n\nProbably a good time to frontrun CPO related names like $SIVE (lasers), Win Semi (foundry), $TSEM (foundry), $SOI (substrates), and others around now, before ramp really picks up.  \n\nThe demand curve goes up exponentially all the way past 2029+, and I'm sure they'll break many projections. \n\nBut basically, I was talking about frontrunning CPO/SiPH names before OFC/GTC. \n\nTurned out I was right on timing again?  \n\nCPO Ramp now looks like it's beginning H2 2026, get ready.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0013963975124501316, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0013963975124501316, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00828142474313387, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00828142474313387, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009677822255584001, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009677822255584001, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.017828795124005925, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.017828795124005925, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005643914371635805, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005643914371635805, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01218488075237012, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01218488075237012, "ret_p1w": 0.12853576472337158, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12853576472337158, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09556681570414183, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09556681570414183, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.032968949019229754, "bench_c_p1w": 0.032968949019229754, "ret_p1m": 0.214594286563762, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.214594286563762, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.13868695681146637, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.13868695681146637, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07590732975229564, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07590732975229564, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4021, -0.3636, -0.3796, -0.3796, -0.3717, -0.3458, -0.3417, -0.3604, -0.3578, -0.305, -0.2818, -0.299, -0.3109, -0.2776, -0.2557, -0.3148, -0.3205, -0.2606, -0.2126, -0.2584, -0.2736, -0.2982, -0.2945, -0.2945, -0.2857, -0.2729, -0.245, -0.194, -0.1917, -0.1723, -0.13, -0.1877, -0.1591, -0.0293, -0.0881, -0.1074, -0.1756, -0.2345, -0.1806, -0.1536, -0.1835, -0.2165, -0.2116, -0.1967, -0.2018, -0.1647, -0.1051, -0.1763, -0.1717, -0.1156, -0.1166, -0.2099, -0.2093, -0.2867, -0.2264, -0.1953, -0.1616, -0.1616, -0.1777, -0.1716, -0.0849, -0.0772, -0.0014, 0.0, 0.0178, 0.0009, 0.0652, 0.1204, 0.1285, 0.1165, 0.1381, 0.0966, 0.0914, 0.0442, -0.0129, -0.0097, 0.0383, 0.07, 0.0713, 0.0903, 0.1193, 0.0366, 0.0888, 0.233, 0.2146, 0.311, 0.315, 0.242, 0.1783, 0.1484, 0.1642, 0.2276, 0.2262, 0.2262, 0.2384, 0.2346, 0.2241, 0.1739, 0.1739, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2042797823574634991", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2026-04-11T02:52:09+00:00", "symbol": "Win Semi", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Win Semi (foundry)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Frontrun CPO/SiPH names ahead of H2 2026 ramp; names SIVE, Win Semi, TSEM, SOI as plays on CPO mass production starting this year.", "resolved_tickers": ["3105.TWO"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Win Semi Taiwan foundry; retrying .TWO OTC market suffix", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TWO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NVDA is driving CPO, extremely, extremely hard.\n\nAs seen with investments in $MRVL, $LITE, and $COHR. \n\nBut, what's interesting is: CPO timelines are also happening way earlier than expected. \n\nNew report: \n\n\" $ASE Reportedly to Break Ground on Six New Plants in 2026, CPO Mass Production Expected to Begin This Year \"\n\n\"He also revealed for the first time that mass production of CPO is expected to begin this year\"\n\nProbably a good time to frontrun CPO related names like $SIVE (lasers), Win Semi (foundry), $TSEM (foundry), $SOI (substrates), and others around now, before ramp really picks up.  \n\nThe demand curve goes up exponentially all the way past 2029+, and I'm sure they'll break many projections. \n\nBut basically, I was talking about frontrunning CPO/SiPH names before OFC/GTC. \n\nTurned out I was right on timing again?  \n\nCPO Ramp now looks like it's beginning H2 2026, get ready.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.013100436681222627, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.013100436681222627, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.022778258936806628, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.029967286397460047, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009677822255584001, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01686684971623742, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0021834061135370675, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0021834061135370675, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.014368286865907187, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.027100309959869007, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01218488075237012, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02491690384633194, "ret_p1w": 0.2925764192139737, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2925764192139737, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.25960747019474395, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.22447018287140352, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.032968949019229754, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06810623634257018, "ret_p1m": 0.11790393013100431, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11790393013100431, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04199660037870867, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0802815296628383, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07590732975229564, "bench_c_p1m": 0.1981854597938426, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5295, -0.5153, -0.5229, -0.5349, -0.5044, -0.5153, -0.488, -0.4967, -0.4891, -0.4738, -0.4367, -0.4651, -0.488, -0.5164, -0.4836, -0.4509, -0.476, -0.5207, -0.4836, -0.4421, -0.4629, -0.4629, -0.4629, -0.4629, -0.4629, -0.4629, -0.4629, -0.4629, -0.4094, -0.3504, -0.2969, -0.262, -0.262, -0.2762, -0.2882, -0.3592, -0.345, -0.3483, -0.4127, -0.4061, -0.3472, -0.3308, -0.3166, -0.3373, -0.3592, -0.2959, -0.226, -0.2489, -0.3122, -0.3155, -0.2478, -0.2172, -0.1648, -0.1474, -0.2325, -0.1779, -0.179, -0.179, -0.179, -0.1114, -0.0393, -0.048, 0.0131, 0.0, -0.0022, -0.0251, 0.071, 0.1769, 0.2926, 0.3472, 0.31, 0.2227, 0.1943, 0.0753, 0.0906, 0.0961, 0.1703, 0.1703, 0.1441, 0.2118, 0.0917, 0.0917, 0.0753, 0.1485, 0.1179, 0.0819, 0.0557, 0.0011, -0.0164, -0.0033, -0.0251, 0.0546, 0.1594, 0.1856, 0.2271, 0.2227, 0.1528, 0.1507, 0.1834, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2042797823574634991", "ticker_idx": 6, "ts": "2026-04-11T02:52:09+00:00", "symbol": "TSEM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSEM (foundry)", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Frontrun CPO/SiPH names ahead of H2 2026 ramp; names SIVE, Win Semi, TSEM, SOI as plays on CPO mass production starting this year.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSEM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NVDA is driving CPO, extremely, extremely hard.\n\nAs seen with investments in $MRVL, $LITE, and $COHR. \n\nBut, what's interesting is: CPO timelines are also happening way earlier than expected. \n\nNew report: \n\n\" $ASE Reportedly to Break Ground on Six New Plants in 2026, CPO Mass Production Expected to Begin This Year \"\n\n\"He also revealed for the first time that mass production of CPO is expected to begin this year\"\n\nProbably a good time to frontrun CPO related names like $SIVE (lasers), Win Semi (foundry), $TSEM (foundry), $SOI (substrates), and others around now, before ramp really picks up.  \n\nThe demand curve goes up exponentially all the way past 2029+, and I'm sure they'll break many projections. \n\nBut basically, I was talking about frontrunning CPO/SiPH names before OFC/GTC. \n\nTurned out I was right on timing again?  \n\nCPO Ramp now looks like it's beginning H2 2026, get ready.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.028070868613864985, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.028070868613864985, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.018393046358280984, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.018393046358280984, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009677822255584001, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009677822255584001, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0221511403189405, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0221511403189405, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.009966259566570379, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.009966259566570379, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01218488075237012, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01218488075237012, "ret_p1w": 0.07170479870592761, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07170479870592761, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.038735849686697854, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.038735849686697854, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.032968949019229754, "bench_c_p1w": 0.032968949019229754, "ret_p1m": 0.054232112207715844, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.054232112207715844, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.021675217544579795, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.021675217544579795, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07590732975229564, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07590732975229564, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4118, -0.408, -0.3802, -0.3802, -0.3842, -0.3631, -0.3795, -0.386, -0.3935, -0.3669, -0.3368, -0.3569, -0.3568, -0.3465, -0.3488, -0.421, -0.3838, -0.3362, -0.2957, -0.348, -0.3582, -0.3623, -0.3854, -0.3854, -0.39, -0.3873, -0.3992, -0.3867, -0.3917, -0.3984, -0.3986, -0.4088, -0.4039, -0.3384, -0.4007, -0.4104, -0.4245, -0.472, -0.4488, -0.442, -0.4298, -0.4341, -0.4046, -0.339, -0.3419, -0.3223, -0.2071, -0.2188, -0.1783, -0.1368, -0.099, -0.1661, -0.1793, -0.2429, -0.1623, -0.1069, -0.0557, -0.0557, -0.092, -0.0888, -0.0276, -0.027, -0.0281, 0.0, 0.0222, 0.0294, 0.0252, 0.0811, 0.0717, 0.0346, -0.0161, -0.0391, -0.0426, -0.0293, -0.076, -0.0491, 0.0553, 0.0408, 0.0267, 0.0767, 0.0353, 0.0025, 0.0074, 0.0927, 0.0542, 0.2926, 0.34, 0.308, 0.1843, 0.1996, 0.2626, 0.332, 0.3531, 0.3531, 0.3774, 0.3262, 0.3152, 0.2185, 0.2185, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2038454646902272155", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-30T03:13:55+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm still long on markets (now 85% long, now 15% cash/hedges). Even during wartime, I expect many names from $AAOI to $LITE to outperform.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "85% long overall but warns drawn-out Middle East war would be very bearish via supply chain/funding disruptions; AAOI and LITE seen as outperformers; NVDA and AAPL vulnerable.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm still long on markets (now 85% long, now 15% cash/hedges).\n\nEven during wartime, I expect many names from $AAOI to $LITE to outperform. \n\nHowever... \n\nThe World is largely interconnected now.\n\nThe current administration might not realize the severity/fragility of upstream supply chains. \n\nThey might look at $AAPL \"Made in America\".\n\nor  $TSLA \"Made in America\" but if you look at the source for Tesla Humanoids:\n\n-> It's in China. Actuator materials stem from Russia feedstock. Materials come from partners in Canada. \n\n-> For Starlink, massive amount of supply chains stem from Win Semi Taiwan to companies in Korea. \n\nFor where the funding from OpenAI, private equities, megacap, and others come from:\n\n-> Large part of it comes from UAE, Middle East, and others (that might need to pull out liquidity) as their oil fields get blown up. \n\nExtended disruptions (US ground invasion) for spanning multiple months, is very bearish. \n\nI was initially expecting the \"Shock and Awe\" and US to claim victory and for short term War shock to be bought back. \n\nBut I would not encourage US to head toward a drawn out War. \n\nThis especially is not good for Asian partners (SK, Japan) or our allies in Europe either.\n\nThe main beneficiaries of War are:\n#1: Israel\n#2: Russia\n\nThe rest of the World, including the US, are getting dragged down from War. \n\nIt looks like \"Oil/Energy prices going up is good for US\": \n\nBut it takes down a lot of supply chains that the hyperscalers from $NVDA to even $AAPL relies on.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@BillAckman This is vastly underestimating second, third, fourth order effects of supply chains and the energy crisis.\n\nIf Iran blows up a lot of oil fields in UAE and the Middle East and causes disruptions.\n\nLot of institutions over there largely funding US private equities, megacap, and", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.1528347959846763, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.1528347959846763, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.14948011735970157, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.14948011735970157, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007043151617800558, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007043151617800558, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03611107731671537, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03611107731671537, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "ret_p1w": 0.26129820247565294, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.26129820247565294, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.21863791286939094, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.21863791286939094, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "bench_c_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "ret_p1m": 0.6112218637538305, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6112218637538305, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.48507657927206105, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.48507657927206105, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5908, -0.5908, -0.5352, -0.5893, -0.5468, -0.5533, -0.6125, -0.6004, -0.6042, -0.5988, -0.5954, -0.5657, -0.5652, -0.5652, -0.5391, -0.5495, -0.5522, -0.5807, -0.5904, -0.5611, -0.4691, -0.5355, -0.4881, -0.4816, -0.4586, -0.5316, -0.5524, -0.48, -0.4376, -0.4308, -0.4319, -0.4836, -0.4781, -0.4781, -0.4846, -0.4901, -0.4485, -0.3934, -0.3666, -0.3395, -0.3178, -0.3698, -0.0113, 0.2033, 0.1191, 0.1704, 0.1872, 0.122, 0.2985, 0.4144, 0.4909, 0.2465, 0.1364, 0.1042, 0.0134, 0.0873, 0.1964, 0.0276, 0.1241, 0.337, 0.343, 0.1436, 0.1528, 0.0, -0.007, 0.0136, 0.2197, 0.2197, 0.2613, 0.3809, 0.5577, 0.5647, 0.7678, 0.7982, 0.7184, 0.6733, 0.8467, 0.8713, 0.9189, 0.7675, 0.754, 0.6167, 0.9036, 0.7112, 0.6112, 0.794, 0.9293, 1.1541, 1.0305, 1.1196, 1.0958, 0.8494, 0.7483, 1.1704, 1.2101, 1.6189, 1.3896, 1.2345, 1.0338, 1.0112, 0.9399, 1.0755, 1.1304, 1.1304, 1.085, 1.1109, 0.984, 0.8595, 0.8595, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2038454646902272155", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-30T03:13:55+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I expect many names from $AAOI to $LITE to outperform", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "85% long overall but warns drawn-out Middle East war would be very bearish via supply chain/funding disruptions; AAOI and LITE seen as outperformers; NVDA and AAPL vulnerable.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm still long on markets (now 85% long, now 15% cash/hedges).\n\nEven during wartime, I expect many names from $AAOI to $LITE to outperform. \n\nHowever... \n\nThe World is largely interconnected now.\n\nThe current administration might not realize the severity/fragility of upstream supply chains. \n\nThey might look at $AAPL \"Made in America\".\n\nor  $TSLA \"Made in America\" but if you look at the source for Tesla Humanoids:\n\n-> It's in China. Actuator materials stem from Russia feedstock. Materials come from partners in Canada. \n\n-> For Starlink, massive amount of supply chains stem from Win Semi Taiwan to companies in Korea. \n\nFor where the funding from OpenAI, private equities, megacap, and others come from:\n\n-> Large part of it comes from UAE, Middle East, and others (that might need to pull out liquidity) as their oil fields get blown up. \n\nExtended disruptions (US ground invasion) for spanning multiple months, is very bearish. \n\nI was initially expecting the \"Shock and Awe\" and US to claim victory and for short term War shock to be bought back. \n\nBut I would not encourage US to head toward a drawn out War. \n\nThis especially is not good for Asian partners (SK, Japan) or our allies in Europe either.\n\nThe main beneficiaries of War are:\n#1: Israel\n#2: Russia\n\nThe rest of the World, including the US, are getting dragged down from War. \n\nIt looks like \"Oil/Energy prices going up is good for US\": \n\nBut it takes down a lot of supply chains that the hyperscalers from $NVDA to even $AAPL relies on.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@BillAckman This is vastly underestimating second, third, fourth order effects of supply chains and the energy crisis.\n\nIf Iran blows up a lot of oil fields in UAE and the Middle East and causes disruptions.\n\nLot of institutions over there largely funding US private equities, megacap, and", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.07321431917121424, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07321431917121424, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0698596405462395, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0698596405462395, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07326018013103752, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07326018013103752, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04419225443212271, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04419225443212271, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "ret_p1w": 0.17943165780192327, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.17943165780192327, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.13677136819566127, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13677136819566127, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "bench_c_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "ret_p1m": 0.20858599195624872, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.20858599195624872, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08244070747447929, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08244070747447929, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4371, -0.4371, -0.4103, -0.4547, -0.3931, -0.4, -0.4681, -0.4633, -0.4809, -0.4482, -0.4935, -0.4758, -0.5048, -0.5048, -0.455, -0.4465, -0.4586, -0.482, -0.4923, -0.4339, -0.412, -0.4175, -0.4016, -0.3533, -0.3355, -0.289, -0.2296, -0.157, -0.1186, -0.143, -0.1232, -0.1089, -0.1406, -0.1406, -0.083, -0.0924, -0.0292, 0.0198, 0.0305, 0.0511, 0.1048, 0.0339, 0.0704, 0.1962, 0.0605, 0.0397, -0.0061, -0.1471, -0.0215, 0.0263, 0.0263, -0.0591, -0.0493, -0.0457, -0.008, 0.0703, 0.1792, 0.0787, 0.1133, 0.2248, 0.1869, 0.0519, 0.0732, 0.0, 0.0733, 0.1678, 0.2628, 0.2628, 0.1794, 0.2458, 0.3684, 0.3655, 0.3704, 0.3305, 0.3024, 0.2584, 0.3611, 0.3654, 0.367, 0.2782, 0.3342, 0.2934, 0.3464, 0.3129, 0.2086, 0.3108, 0.378, 0.4507, 0.4908, 0.5189, 0.4421, 0.3632, 0.3803, 0.6083, 0.5156, 0.5736, 0.53, 0.4825, 0.3515, 0.3594, 0.3257, 0.473, 0.4461, 0.4461, 0.391, 0.378, 0.3143, 0.3057, 0.3057, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2038454646902272155", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-30T03:13:55+00:00", "symbol": "AAPL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Extended disruptions (US ground invasion) for spanning multiple months, is very bearish... it takes down a lot of supply chains that the hyperscalers from $NVDA to even $AAPL relies on", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "85% long overall but warns drawn-out Middle East war would be very bearish via supply chain/funding disruptions; AAOI and LITE seen as outperformers; NVDA and AAPL vulnerable.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAPL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm still long on markets (now 85% long, now 15% cash/hedges).\n\nEven during wartime, I expect many names from $AAOI to $LITE to outperform. \n\nHowever... \n\nThe World is largely interconnected now.\n\nThe current administration might not realize the severity/fragility of upstream supply chains. \n\nThey might look at $AAPL \"Made in America\".\n\nor  $TSLA \"Made in America\" but if you look at the source for Tesla Humanoids:\n\n-> It's in China. Actuator materials stem from Russia feedstock. Materials come from partners in Canada. \n\n-> For Starlink, massive amount of supply chains stem from Win Semi Taiwan to companies in Korea. \n\nFor where the funding from OpenAI, private equities, megacap, and others come from:\n\n-> Large part of it comes from UAE, Middle East, and others (that might need to pull out liquidity) as their oil fields get blown up. \n\nExtended disruptions (US ground invasion) for spanning multiple months, is very bearish. \n\nI was initially expecting the \"Shock and Awe\" and US to claim victory and for short term War shock to be bought back. \n\nBut I would not encourage US to head toward a drawn out War. \n\nThis especially is not good for Asian partners (SK, Japan) or our allies in Europe either.\n\nThe main beneficiaries of War are:\n#1: Israel\n#2: Russia\n\nThe rest of the World, including the US, are getting dragged down from War. \n\nIt looks like \"Oil/Energy prices going up is good for US\": \n\nBut it takes down a lot of supply chains that the hyperscalers from $NVDA to even $AAPL relies on.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@BillAckman This is vastly underestimating second, third, fourth order effects of supply chains and the energy crisis.\n\nIf Iran blows up a lot of oil fields in UAE and the Middle East and causes disruptions.\n\nLot of institutions over there largely funding US private equities, megacap, and", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.00879859174972708, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00879859174972708, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.005443913124752342, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005443913124752342, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.029031290418426448, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.029031290418426448, "alpha_spy_p1d": 3.663528048836184e-05, "alpha_c_p1d": 3.663528048836184e-05, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "ret_p1w": 0.04958835827945851, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04958835827945851, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.006928068673196508, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.006928068673196508, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "bench_c_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "ret_p1m": 0.097636117710719, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.097636117710719, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02850916677105042, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02850916677105042, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1013, 0.1013, 0.0978, 0.0826, 0.0628, 0.0546, 0.0493, 0.0507, 0.0542, 0.0575, 0.0531, 0.046, 0.0351, 0.0351, -0.0007, 0.0032, 0.006, 0.0048, 0.0346, 0.0462, 0.0388, 0.0463, 0.0511, 0.0938, 0.0916, 0.12, 0.1177, 0.1266, 0.1135, 0.1097, 0.1171, 0.0612, 0.0371, 0.0371, 0.0699, 0.0718, 0.0566, 0.0728, 0.0793, 0.1034, 0.1119, 0.1067, 0.0712, 0.0733, 0.0694, 0.0644, 0.0554, 0.0439, 0.0537, 0.0576, 0.0575, 0.037, 0.0142, 0.0251, 0.0308, 0.0134, 0.0094, 0.0055, 0.0197, 0.0203, 0.0243, 0.0254, 0.0088, 0.0, 0.029, 0.0365, 0.0377, 0.0377, 0.0496, 0.0279, 0.0498, 0.0562, 0.0562, 0.051, 0.0495, 0.0803, 0.068, 0.0957, 0.1071, 0.0792, 0.1076, 0.1087, 0.0991, 0.0851, 0.0976, 0.0954, 0.1002, 0.1359, 0.1225, 0.1523, 0.1658, 0.1655, 0.1893, 0.1878, 0.1964, 0.2129, 0.2103, 0.2185, 0.2088, 0.2133, 0.2266, 0.2378, 0.2533, 0.2533, 0.2513, 0.2616, 0.2683, 0.2665, 0.2665, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2038454646902272155", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-03-30T03:13:55+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it takes down a lot of supply chains that the hyperscalers from $NVDA to even $AAPL relies on", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "85% long overall but warns drawn-out Middle East war would be very bearish via supply chain/funding disruptions; AAOI and LITE seen as outperformers; NVDA and AAPL vulnerable.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm still long on markets (now 85% long, now 15% cash/hedges).\n\nEven during wartime, I expect many names from $AAOI to $LITE to outperform. \n\nHowever... \n\nThe World is largely interconnected now.\n\nThe current administration might not realize the severity/fragility of upstream supply chains. \n\nThey might look at $AAPL \"Made in America\".\n\nor  $TSLA \"Made in America\" but if you look at the source for Tesla Humanoids:\n\n-> It's in China. Actuator materials stem from Russia feedstock. Materials come from partners in Canada. \n\n-> For Starlink, massive amount of supply chains stem from Win Semi Taiwan to companies in Korea. \n\nFor where the funding from OpenAI, private equities, megacap, and others come from:\n\n-> Large part of it comes from UAE, Middle East, and others (that might need to pull out liquidity) as their oil fields get blown up. \n\nExtended disruptions (US ground invasion) for spanning multiple months, is very bearish. \n\nI was initially expecting the \"Shock and Awe\" and US to claim victory and for short term War shock to be bought back. \n\nBut I would not encourage US to head toward a drawn out War. \n\nThis especially is not good for Asian partners (SK, Japan) or our allies in Europe either.\n\nThe main beneficiaries of War are:\n#1: Israel\n#2: Russia\n\nThe rest of the World, including the US, are getting dragged down from War. \n\nIt looks like \"Oil/Energy prices going up is good for US\": \n\nBut it takes down a lot of supply chains that the hyperscalers from $NVDA to even $AAPL relies on.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@BillAckman This is vastly underestimating second, third, fourth order effects of supply chains and the energy crisis.\n\nIf Iran blows up a lot of oil fields in UAE and the Middle East and causes disruptions.\n\nLot of institutions over there largely funding US private equities, megacap, and", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.014227802443346205, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014227802443346205, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010873123818371466, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010873123818371466, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05588179348466227, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05588179348466227, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02681386778574746, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02681386778574746, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "ret_p1w": 0.07549798001419172, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07549798001419172, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03283769040792972, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03283769040792972, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "bench_c_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "ret_p1m": 0.29060967810209015, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.29060967810209015, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16446439362032073, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.16446439362032073, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1291, 0.1291, 0.1433, 0.1389, 0.1336, 0.1449, 0.1202, 0.1191, 0.1196, 0.1249, 0.1087, 0.1324, 0.1274, 0.1274, 0.078, 0.1098, 0.119, 0.1362, 0.1289, 0.1413, 0.1595, 0.1655, 0.1571, 0.1237, 0.0918, 0.0546, 0.0406, 0.1225, 0.1505, 0.1414, 0.1506, 0.1317, 0.1067, 0.1067, 0.1198, 0.138, 0.1376, 0.1492, 0.1597, 0.1675, 0.1839, 0.1193, 0.0727, 0.1047, 0.09, 0.1081, 0.1099, 0.0765, 0.1058, 0.1186, 0.1263, 0.1088, 0.0913, 0.1093, 0.1015, 0.0922, 0.0811, 0.0456, 0.0634, 0.0607, 0.0818, 0.0368, 0.0142, 0.0, 0.0559, 0.0641, 0.074, 0.074, 0.0755, 0.0783, 0.1024, 0.1135, 0.142, 0.1462, 0.1897, 0.204, 0.2009, 0.221, 0.2233, 0.2101, 0.226, 0.2087, 0.2609, 0.3114, 0.2906, 0.2669, 0.2083, 0.2015, 0.2017, 0.1897, 0.2583, 0.2805, 0.3029, 0.3286, 0.3367, 0.3673, 0.4273, 0.3642, 0.346, 0.3357, 0.353, 0.329, 0.3037, 0.3037, 0.3008, 0.2872, 0.2971, 0.2783, 0.2783, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2046173276473614388", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-20T10:24:59+00:00", "symbol": "GLW", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I do have positions in the glass core names upstream, but recent news confirms the importance", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long GLW; holds positions in glass core substrate names with 2027 as the commercialization inflection point for advanced packaging.", "resolved_tickers": ["GLW"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Electronic Components'", "bench_c_industry": "Electronic Components", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Digitimes: $GLW leads glass core substrate vs. KCC and LX Glass\n\n\"Glass core substrates ... are key to next-generation advanced semiconductor packaging\".\n\nOn top of its structural importance, the commercialization timeline for glass core packaging seems to be accelerating as well. We're close to H2 and 2027 is probably the inflection point.\n\nI do have positions in the glass core names upstream, but recent news confirms the importance.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.006046707013777297, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.006046707013777297, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.008050381249038008, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0046880666256101655, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0013586403881671316, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0004232214396218126, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0004232214396218126, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006970170594558067, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0004179074738488442, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0008411289134706568, "ret_p1w": 0.015902684203435324, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.015902684203435324, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.006801752278754014, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.022981955163530188, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03888463936696551, "ret_p1m": 0.06318779259340301, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06318779259340301, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02789880568816261, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05767147390269489, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "bench_c_p1m": 0.1208592664960979, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4356, -0.431, -0.4369, -0.4269, -0.3377, -0.3706, -0.3784, -0.3768, -0.3339, -0.3193, -0.338, -0.3193, -0.2627, -0.207, -0.2269, -0.1979, -0.2063, -0.1945, -0.1945, -0.2123, -0.2033, -0.2155, -0.158, -0.1234, -0.0851, -0.0317, -0.0929, -0.0907, -0.0455, -0.1077, -0.1242, -0.1853, -0.2545, -0.2197, -0.1763, -0.2033, -0.2153, -0.2193, -0.2015, -0.2146, -0.2148, -0.1953, -0.2467, -0.2081, -0.1413, -0.1151, -0.1818, -0.1728, -0.2227, -0.1778, -0.1391, -0.1056, -0.1056, -0.1142, -0.1019, -0.0017, 0.0267, 0.0354, 0.0592, 0.045, 0.0175, 0.0042, -0.006, 0.0, 0.0004, 0.0204, 0.0249, 0.0636, 0.0159, -0.0746, -0.0815, -0.0069, -0.0431, -0.0328, -0.0198, 0.0979, 0.1029, 0.1304, 0.254, 0.1987, 0.2487, 0.2594, 0.1598, 0.0796, 0.0632, 0.0926, 0.1603, 0.1734, 0.1734, 0.1862, 0.1543, 0.1064, 0.0971, 0.0971, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2039359732457357453", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-01T15:10:24+00:00", "symbol": "MSFT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "AI capex spend rally is likely to last another 1 year min", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "AI capex spend rally expected to last at least 1 more year, benefiting all major OpenAI counterparties named.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSFT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "OpenAI is the tech equivalent of Iran.\n\nThey would have caused so much contagion - like Iran sending drones to all their neighbors - with funding they didn’t have…. \n\nFrom $MSFT compute backlog, $ORCL Stargate, $AMD deals, $NVDA deals, $CRWV deals, $AMZN deals. SoftBank deals.\n\nDeals with private companies like Cerebras and many others.\n\nSo much so, that if they went down, so would a huge part of what gave these companies their valuations.\n\nOpenAI raised a whopping $122B, my guess is partly weaponizing this contagion like what Iran is doing to the Strait.\n\nSo now the AI capex spend rally is likely to last another 1 year min.\n\nThey’re the first to start the AI rally; and if they go under, at this point they’ll be the one to pop the bubble.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0021658710456375907, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0021658710456375907, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009643991203037605, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009643991203037605, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0074781201574000145, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0074781201574000145, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011072868751592857, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011072868751592857, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010172394323501699, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.010172394323501699, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009004744280911581, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0009004744280911581, "ret_p1w": 0.013428268003647714, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.013428268003647714, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01827007129310476, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01827007129310476, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.031698339296752476, "bench_c_p1w": 0.031698339296752476, "ret_p1m": 0.1039878920538746, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1039878920538746, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.007198953870368285, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.007198953870368285, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09678893818350631, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09678893818350631, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2775, 0.2772, 0.2925, 0.3059, 0.2914, 0.2946, 0.2889, 0.2713, 0.2409, 0.2335, 0.2421, 0.2421, 0.2277, 0.1996, 0.2186, 0.2586, 0.2703, 0.2981, 0.301, 0.1709, 0.1623, 0.1436, 0.1107, 0.1188, 0.0634, 0.0835, 0.1172, 0.1163, 0.0923, 0.0854, 0.084, 0.084, 0.072, 0.0794, 0.0788, 0.0754, 0.0409, 0.0531, 0.0845, 0.0876, 0.0633, 0.079, 0.0936, 0.097, 0.1118, 0.1072, 0.1084, 0.0985, 0.0961, 0.088, 0.0709, 0.0828, 0.0813, 0.0607, 0.0532, 0.0338, 0.0369, 0.0091, 0.0045, -0.0092, -0.0341, -0.0282, 0.0022, 0.0, 0.0111, 0.0111, 0.0095, 0.0079, 0.0134, 0.01, 0.0041, 0.0406, 0.0643, 0.1133, 0.1378, 0.1446, 0.1318, 0.1483, 0.172, 0.1256, 0.1496, 0.1501, 0.1621, 0.1491, 0.104, 0.122, 0.1198, 0.1137, 0.1207, 0.1392, 0.1239, 0.1172, 0.104, 0.097, 0.1085, 0.1423, 0.1467, 0.1301, 0.1399, 0.1371, 0.1357, 0.1357, 0.1288, 0.1196, 0.1585, 0.2216, 0.2216, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2039359732457357453", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-01T15:10:24+00:00", "symbol": "ORCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "AI capex spend rally is likely to last another 1 year min", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "AI capex spend rally expected to last at least 1 more year, benefiting all major OpenAI counterparties named.", "resolved_tickers": ["ORCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "OpenAI is the tech equivalent of Iran.\n\nThey would have caused so much contagion - like Iran sending drones to all their neighbors - with funding they didn’t have…. \n\nFrom $MSFT compute backlog, $ORCL Stargate, $AMD deals, $NVDA deals, $CRWV deals, $AMZN deals. SoftBank deals.\n\nDeals with private companies like Cerebras and many others.\n\nSo much so, that if they went down, so would a huge part of what gave these companies their valuations.\n\nOpenAI raised a whopping $122B, my guess is partly weaponizing this contagion like what Iran is doing to the Strait.\n\nSo now the AI capex spend rally is likely to last another 1 year min.\n\nThey’re the first to start the AI rally; and if they go under, at this point they’ll be the one to pop the bubble.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.012944998490721948, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.012944998490721948, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.020423118648121963, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.020423118648121963, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0074781201574000145, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0074781201574000145, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.007918570045738038, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.007918570045738038, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00701809561764688, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00701809561764688, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009004744280911581, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0009004744280911581, "ret_p1w": -0.010810395346510293, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.010810395346510293, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04250873464326277, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04250873464326277, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.031698339296752476, "bench_c_p1w": 0.031698339296752476, "ret_p1m": 0.11515301486072205, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11515301486072205, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.018364076677215735, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.018364076677215735, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09678893818350631, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09678893818350631, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.344, 0.3226, 0.3306, 0.3243, 0.3024, 0.3669, 0.4094, 0.3929, 0.3331, 0.3072, 0.3158, 0.3158, 0.2389, 0.1973, 0.2269, 0.2199, 0.2562, 0.2043, 0.1898, 0.1637, 0.1332, 0.1021, 0.065, 0.0099, -0.0602, -0.0166, 0.0782, 0.1009, 0.0821, 0.0775, 0.1027, 0.1027, 0.0602, 0.0753, 0.0779, 0.0196, -0.027, 0.0063, 0.0183, 0.035, 0.0012, 0.0277, 0.026, 0.0492, 0.0658, 0.0532, 0.0436, 0.0287, 0.1232, 0.0959, 0.068, 0.074, 0.0651, 0.0528, 0.0709, 0.0306, 0.0627, 0.0128, 0.0054, -0.0167, -0.0384, -0.0443, 0.0129, 0.0, 0.0079, 0.0079, 0.0021, -0.0142, -0.0108, -0.0474, -0.0458, 0.0753, 0.1263, 0.1733, 0.2323, 0.2096, 0.227, 0.2518, 0.2956, 0.218, 0.1973, 0.1951, 0.1467, 0.132, 0.1152, 0.1873, 0.2457, 0.2807, 0.3407, 0.3446, 0.354, 0.3394, 0.2909, 0.3112, 0.3516, 0.3332, 0.2894, 0.2538, 0.3001, 0.3112, 0.3272, 0.3272, 0.334, 0.3195, 0.4075, 0.5601, 0.5601, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
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{"unit_id": "orig:2039359732457357453", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-04-01T15:10:24+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "AI capex spend rally is likely to last another 1 year min", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "AI capex spend rally expected to last at least 1 more year, benefiting all major OpenAI counterparties named.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "OpenAI is the tech equivalent of Iran.\n\nThey would have caused so much contagion - like Iran sending drones to all their neighbors - with funding they didn’t have…. \n\nFrom $MSFT compute backlog, $ORCL Stargate, $AMD deals, $NVDA deals, $CRWV deals, $AMZN deals. SoftBank deals.\n\nDeals with private companies like Cerebras and many others.\n\nSo much so, that if they went down, so would a huge part of what gave these companies their valuations.\n\nOpenAI raised a whopping $122B, my guess is partly weaponizing this contagion like what Iran is doing to the Strait.\n\nSo now the AI capex spend rally is likely to last another 1 year min.\n\nThey’re the first to start the AI rally; and if they go under, at this point they’ll be the one to pop the bubble.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.012366154901992776, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.012366154901992776, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004888034744592762, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004888034744592762, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0074781201574000145, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0074781201574000145, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04844461121991728, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04844461121991728, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04754413679182612, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04754413679182612, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009004744280911581, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0009004744280911581, "ret_p1w": 0.13335031564138666, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.13335031564138666, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10165197634463419, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10165197634463419, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.031698339296752476, "bench_c_p1w": 0.031698339296752476, "ret_p1m": 0.42274343448019347, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.42274343448019347, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.32595449629668716, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.32595449629668716, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09678893818350631, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09678893818350631, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0112, -0.0201, -0.0064, -0.0161, -0.0172, 0.0217, 0.1465, 0.1152, 0.1448, 0.2112, 0.2905, 0.2905, 0.2139, 0.199, 0.1702, 0.1854, 0.2533, 0.3878, 0.3516, 0.2689, 0.188, 0.1339, 0.1481, 0.0512, -0.0483, 0.1467, 0.2339, 0.2125, 0.213, 0.22, 0.2244, 0.2244, 0.1601, 0.2169, 0.2384, 0.1378, 0.1581, 0.2659, 0.2495, 0.2446, 0.0143, -0.005, -0.0594, 0.0135, -0.0461, -0.0695, -0.0514, -0.0449, 0.0449, 0.0181, 0.034, 0.0946, 0.0469, 0.0558, 0.0283, 0.0386, 0.0449, 0.0584, 0.1165, 0.0256, -0.0463, -0.1184, -0.0124, 0.0, 0.0484, 0.0484, 0.0319, 0.0867, 0.1334, 0.1729, 0.3004, 0.4058, 0.4941, 0.5131, 0.5242, 0.4897, 0.4971, 0.4681, 0.5622, 0.4969, 0.4041, 0.4286, 0.3454, 0.4558, 0.4227, 0.5172, 0.5991, 0.6304, 0.7591, 0.6425, 0.4553, 0.4623, 0.3737, 0.419, 0.4561, 0.3679, 0.3229, 0.2724, 0.2912, 0.3715, 0.3448, 0.3448, 0.3499, 0.3293, 0.3623, 0.3964, 0.3964, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2039359732457357453", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2026-04-01T15:10:24+00:00", "symbol": "AMZN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "AI capex spend rally is likely to last another 1 year min", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "AI capex spend rally expected to last at least 1 more year, benefiting all major OpenAI counterparties named.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMZN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "OpenAI is the tech equivalent of Iran.\n\nThey would have caused so much contagion - like Iran sending drones to all their neighbors - with funding they didn’t have…. \n\nFrom $MSFT compute backlog, $ORCL Stargate, $AMD deals, $NVDA deals, $CRWV deals, $AMZN deals. SoftBank deals.\n\nDeals with private companies like Cerebras and many others.\n\nSo much so, that if they went down, so would a huge part of what gave these companies their valuations.\n\nOpenAI raised a whopping $122B, my guess is partly weaponizing this contagion like what Iran is doing to the Strait.\n\nSo now the AI capex spend rally is likely to last another 1 year min.\n\nThey’re the first to start the AI rally; and if they go under, at this point they’ll be the one to pop the bubble.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.010922747645710329, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.010922747645710329, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0034446274883103145, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.003454626771089875, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0074781201574000145, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007468120874620454, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0037992260242744047, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0037992260242744047, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.004699700452365563, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011228109859324098, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009004744280911581, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015027335883598503, "ret_p1w": 0.05071943916180355, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05071943916180355, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.019021099865051072, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.041429852506823295, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.031698339296752476, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009289586654980253, "ret_p1m": 0.258773749057603, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.258773749057603, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.16198481087409666, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1809049404535361, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09678893818350631, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07786880860406686, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0757, 0.1068, 0.1442, 0.1472, 0.1696, 0.1748, 0.1705, 0.1521, 0.1239, 0.1311, 0.1356, 0.1356, 0.097, 0.0985, 0.1129, 0.1358, 0.1323, 0.162, 0.1541, 0.148, 0.1364, 0.1538, 0.1332, 0.1065, 0.0576, -0.0012, -0.0088, -0.0171, -0.0308, -0.0521, -0.0559, -0.0559, -0.0447, -0.0274, -0.0271, -0.0022, -0.0252, -0.0095, 0.0003, -0.0126, -0.0027, -0.0104, -0.0087, 0.0297, 0.0397, 0.0125, 0.0139, 0.0179, 0.0099, -0.0049, -0.0138, 0.0056, 0.022, -0.0033, -0.0086, -0.0247, -0.002, -0.0158, 0.0054, -0.0144, -0.0533, -0.0457, -0.0109, 0.0, -0.0038, -0.0038, 0.0105, 0.0152, 0.0507, 0.1096, 0.1321, 0.1392, 0.1826, 0.1801, 0.1858, 0.1899, 0.1791, 0.1868, 0.2127, 0.2114, 0.2537, 0.2401, 0.2333, 0.2492, 0.2588, 0.274, 0.292, 0.2991, 0.3059, 0.2878, 0.295, 0.2774, 0.2624, 0.2829, 0.269, 0.2544, 0.2578, 0.2316, 0.2585, 0.2749, 0.2648, 0.2648, 0.2599, 0.291, 0.3012, 0.2853, 0.2853, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2047087338996854925", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-22T22:57:09+00:00", "symbol": "INTC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm a fan of $INTC now", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish INTC; author is a fan, citing US semiconductor sovereignty and subsidized capex path to profitability.", "resolved_tickers": ["INTC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Adnan_M01 I’m a fan of $INTC now and that was the very first company I worked at.\n\nAmerica needs to secure sovereignty over its advanced semiconductor supply chains.\n\nPart of that is subsidizing the capex until profitability.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What are your thoughts on $INTC? I am holding it since 20s and added a bit on its way. Thinking to add more around here.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Adnan_M01", "ret_m1d": 0.015167849610564277, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.015167849610564277, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.025193024541362186, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.025193024541362186, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010025174930797909, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010025174930797909, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.023134705284083568, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.023134705284083568, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02701542923390876, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02701542923390876, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0038807239498251933, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0038807239498251933, "ret_p1w": 0.45166240038508154, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.45166240038508154, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.45114216711255084, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.45114216711255084, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0005202332725307013, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0005202332725307013, "ret_p1m": 0.8155355614314741, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.8155355614314741, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.771230858520974, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.771230858520974, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04430470291050015, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04430470291050015, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3095, -0.349, -0.3269, -0.2526, -0.2545, -0.288, -0.2522, -0.2454, -0.2554, -0.2609, -0.2249, -0.2303, -0.2779, -0.2602, -0.2879, -0.2831, -0.2831, -0.2925, -0.3035, -0.3164, -0.3242, -0.3315, -0.2934, -0.2818, -0.3035, -0.3012, -0.3029, -0.3397, -0.3017, -0.296, -0.3348, -0.3017, -0.2833, -0.2649, -0.3067, -0.2988, -0.2989, -0.325, -0.3101, -0.2925, -0.3279, -0.3257, -0.325, -0.2772, -0.3243, -0.3392, -0.3689, -0.3239, -0.2641, -0.2281, -0.2281, -0.222, -0.1894, -0.0968, -0.0544, -0.0443, -0.0014, -0.0224, -0.0051, 0.0495, 0.0495, 0.0066, 0.0152, 0.0, 0.0231, 0.2646, 0.3021, 0.2949, 0.4517, 0.4475, 0.5263, 0.4674, 0.657, 0.7314, 0.6795, 0.9139, 0.9831, 0.8479, 0.843, 0.7762, 0.6665, 0.6573, 0.6976, 0.8226, 0.8155, 0.8361, 0.8361, 0.8924, 0.8656, 0.8522, 0.757, 0.757, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2046374163338912200", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-20T23:43:14+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "How are there people still long on an F-tier Neocloud like $IREN. Amid a $6,000,000,000 dilution?", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish IREN on massive $6B dilution; bullish NBIS as a derisked play alongside ORCL and MSFT.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "How are there people still long on an F-tier Neocloud like $IREN.\n\nAmid a $6,000,000,000 dilution? \n\nWhen $NBIS is up there with $ORCL and $MSFT looking derisked? https://t.co/vIdzdk4Hqi", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01231531760642468, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01231531760642468, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.014318991841685391, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.008515189183842975, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0038001284225817056, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07286541385079581, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07286541385079581, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06631846469585956, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06659519108132272, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006270222769473088, "ret_p1w": -0.007389174904178453, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.007389174904178453, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.016490106828859763, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.008191286395127895, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "bench_c_p1w": -0.015580461299306347, "ret_p1m": -0.020114932628940263, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.020114932628940263, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05540391953418067, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.008955988194602305, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "bench_c_p1m": -0.029070920823542568, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0977, 0.0727, 0.1634, 0.0747, 0.2313, 0.2919, 0.2282, 0.103, 0.0895, 0.1164, -0.0776, -0.1833, -0.1414, -0.0528, -0.1188, -0.1242, -0.1784, -0.1334, -0.1334, -0.1591, -0.1363, -0.1115, -0.1794, -0.1305, -0.0671, -0.0963, -0.092, -0.1595, -0.1505, -0.2026, -0.1002, -0.1764, -0.2467, -0.2028, -0.2176, -0.1383, -0.1509, -0.1466, -0.0776, -0.1182, -0.1336, -0.1449, -0.1525, -0.1346, -0.156, -0.1496, -0.2313, -0.2798, -0.351, -0.2964, -0.3003, -0.2863, -0.2863, -0.2789, -0.2664, -0.244, -0.2393, -0.1929, -0.116, -0.0277, 0.0021, -0.0209, -0.0123, 0.0, -0.0729, -0.0068, 0.0677, 0.0394, -0.0074, -0.0878, -0.1203, -0.0659, -0.0628, 0.0156, 0.1236, 0.2516, 0.1669, 0.2562, 0.132, 0.1609, 0.1324, 0.1987, 0.0866, 0.0357, -0.0201, 0.0819, 0.1917, 0.1665, 0.1665, 0.227, 0.3924, 0.3147, 0.3042, 0.3042, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2046374163338912200", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-20T23:43:14+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS is up there with $ORCL and $MSFT looking derisked", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish IREN on massive $6B dilution; bullish NBIS as a derisked play alongside ORCL and MSFT.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "How are there people still long on an F-tier Neocloud like $IREN.\n\nAmid a $6,000,000,000 dilution? \n\nWhen $NBIS is up there with $ORCL and $MSFT looking derisked? https://t.co/vIdzdk4Hqi", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0126916576148699, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0126916576148699, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01469533185013061, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015639013186415918, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0029473555715460176, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01639859606872396, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01639859606872396, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009851646913787704, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.003009153223329175, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013389442845394783, "ret_p1w": -0.08921837535508126, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08921837535508126, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09831930727976257, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06446046005902861, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "bench_c_p1w": -0.024757915296052646, "ret_p1m": 0.24233470204808683, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.24233470204808683, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.20704571514284642, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2667557675291724, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02442106548108558, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3788, -0.3915, -0.4063, -0.4254, -0.3851, -0.369, -0.4037, -0.4648, -0.4461, -0.4348, -0.4823, -0.5359, -0.459, -0.4164, -0.4233, -0.4433, -0.4362, -0.3842, -0.3842, -0.3873, -0.3604, -0.3239, -0.3848, -0.3679, -0.3555, -0.3332, -0.341, -0.4271, -0.4282, -0.4546, -0.3856, -0.399, -0.4387, -0.4035, -0.3941, -0.2963, -0.3212, -0.2903, -0.1842, -0.2691, -0.2551, -0.2365, -0.261, -0.2828, -0.278, -0.2769, -0.3342, -0.3665, -0.4203, -0.3481, -0.3594, -0.3163, -0.3163, -0.2929, -0.2624, -0.2146, -0.1434, -0.0892, -0.0289, 0.0175, 0.0478, 0.0388, -0.0127, 0.0, -0.0164, -0.019, -0.0131, -0.0754, -0.0892, -0.1486, -0.1129, -0.1315, -0.0293, 0.1084, 0.1053, 0.2257, 0.1609, 0.1124, 0.1693, 0.1253, 0.3023, 0.3895, 0.3819, 0.2557, 0.2423, 0.2052, 0.3818, 0.3494, 0.3494, 0.3072, 0.3092, 0.4221, 0.4519, 0.4519, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2053928672202268993", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-11T20:02:10+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's an endless dilution machine just because they secured power. I call $IREN holders 0 IQ because they just buy in it to get diluted without understanding nuances of financing.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short IREN as a dilution machine with no real NVDA funding; long NBIS as the superior neocloud with actual Nvidia equity backing.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "As I said before $IREN is basically dogsht compared to $NBIS.\n\n$NVDA didn’t give $IREN funding yet. \n\nSo IREN needs to figure out how to buy enough GPUs to monetize 5GW capacity through their 6B ATM and other means.\n\nIt’s an endless dilution machine just because they secured power.\n\nI call $IREN holders 0 IQ because they just buy in it to get diluted without understanding nuances of financing. \n\nNvidia actually gave $NBIS funds.\n\nWhile Nvidia got a free no-risk purchase agreement for allowing $IREN to use their logo.\n\n$IREN is basically a marketing company at this point, while the other Neoclouds actually allow equity appreciation.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I still am bearish on $IREN.\n\nAlgorithms/retail probably read $NVDA + $IREN partnership and bought it up. \n\nHowever, if you look at the realtity, it's just looks like brand agreement giving $NVDA risk-free convertible notes. \n\nSo $IREN can continue selling their $6,000,000,000 https://t.co/bERp6GLRac", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.10970079908740549, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10970079908740549, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11197320907458341, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1085284393192687, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0022724099871779257, "bench_c_m1d": 0.001172359768136788, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.025566632971904424, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.025566632971904424, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.027081572963356337, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.017751050254167344, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0015149399914519135, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00781558271773708, "ret_p1w": -0.0850408397396959, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0850408397396959, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0841616791964277, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09598264063754358, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0008791605432681981, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010941800897847687, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2263, -0.2742, -0.2345, -0.2345, -0.2571, -0.237, -0.215, -0.2751, -0.2319, -0.1759, -0.2016, -0.1978, -0.2575, -0.2495, -0.2956, -0.2051, -0.2724, -0.3345, -0.2957, -0.3088, -0.2388, -0.2499, -0.2461, -0.1851, -0.221, -0.2346, -0.2446, -0.2513, -0.2355, -0.2544, -0.2488, -0.3209, -0.3637, -0.4267, -0.3784, -0.3819, -0.3695, -0.3695, -0.363, -0.3519, -0.3322, -0.328, -0.287, -0.219, -0.1411, -0.1148, -0.1351, -0.1275, -0.1166, -0.181, -0.1226, -0.0568, -0.0818, -0.1231, -0.1942, -0.2228, -0.1748, -0.1721, -0.1028, -0.0074, 0.1057, 0.0308, 0.1097, 0.0, 0.0256, 0.0004, 0.0589, -0.0401, -0.085, -0.1344, -0.0442, 0.0528, 0.0305, 0.0305, 0.084, 0.2301, 0.1614, 0.1521, 0.1521, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2053928672202268993", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-11T20:02:10+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$IREN is basically dogsht compared to $NBIS. Nvidia actually gave $NBIS funds.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short IREN as a dilution machine with no real NVDA funding; long NBIS as the superior neocloud with actual Nvidia equity backing.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "As I said before $IREN is basically dogsht compared to $NBIS.\n\n$NVDA didn’t give $IREN funding yet. \n\nSo IREN needs to figure out how to buy enough GPUs to monetize 5GW capacity through their 6B ATM and other means.\n\nIt’s an endless dilution machine just because they secured power.\n\nI call $IREN holders 0 IQ because they just buy in it to get diluted without understanding nuances of financing. \n\nNvidia actually gave $NBIS funds.\n\nWhile Nvidia got a free no-risk purchase agreement for allowing $IREN to use their logo.\n\n$IREN is basically a marketing company at this point, while the other Neoclouds actually allow equity appreciation.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I still am bearish on $IREN.\n\nAlgorithms/retail probably read $NVDA + $IREN partnership and bought it up. \n\nHowever, if you look at the realtity, it's just looks like brand agreement giving $NVDA risk-free convertible notes. \n\nSo $IREN can continue selling their $6,000,000,000 https://t.co/bERp6GLRac", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.048629783745003596, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.048629783745003596, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04635737375782567, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.060396530490167244, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0022724099871779257, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011766746745163648, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03756047965563181, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03756047965563181, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03604553966417989, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03998303351322863, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0015149399914519135, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002422553857596821, "ret_p1w": 0.07393871066926305, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07393871066926305, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07481787121253125, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06182587537163675, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0008791605432681981, "bench_c_p1w": 0.012112835297626301, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5239, -0.5178, -0.4733, -0.4733, -0.476, -0.453, -0.4218, -0.4738, -0.4594, -0.4488, -0.4298, -0.4364, -0.51, -0.511, -0.5336, -0.4746, -0.486, -0.52, -0.4898, -0.4818, -0.3982, -0.4195, -0.3931, -0.3023, -0.3749, -0.3629, -0.347, -0.368, -0.3866, -0.3825, -0.3816, -0.4306, -0.4582, -0.5042, -0.4425, -0.4522, -0.4153, -0.4153, -0.3953, -0.3692, -0.3283, -0.2674, -0.221, -0.1695, -0.1298, -0.1039, -0.1116, -0.1556, -0.1448, -0.1588, -0.161, -0.1559, -0.2092, -0.2211, -0.2718, -0.2413, -0.2572, -0.1699, -0.052, -0.0547, 0.0483, -0.0071, -0.0486, 0.0, -0.0376, 0.1138, 0.1883, 0.1818, 0.0739, 0.0625, 0.0307, 0.1818, 0.1541, 0.1541, 0.118, 0.1197, 0.2162, 0.2418, 0.2418, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2053811303622627649", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-11T12:15:47+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "captures overflow from $LITE getting stalled out by capacity allocations from $NVDA and volume ramps over 2027", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long SIVE to $3B near-term / $10B+ next year as laser chokepoint supplier for CPO/1.6T optical; LITE stalled by capacity constraints.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I didn’t say it should be valued at $10B+ today.\n\nI said I expected $SIVE to be around ~$3B if they were listed on US markets. And could be $10B+ next year\n\nSince they likely are the laser supplier to $JBL, $MRVL, $AMD, Ayar, onet(els), Lightmatter, $POET and many others for CPO or 1.6T optical transceivers.\n\nAnd high confidence work with $AAPL on SiPH for their consumer devices.\n\nCPO overall tam goes from 0 to $91B in the next two years from GS report.\n\nSivers supplies to major players, and captures overflow from $LITE getting stalled out by capacity allocations from $NVDA and volume ramps over 2027.\n\nThen they just need to pull a $LITE $COHR then vertically integrate IP downstream by doing the full ELS by buying packaging IP or more optical engine IP.\n\nBut that starts off by owning the laser chokepoint which they do now", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I genuinely don’t understand how $Sive can be valued at 10+ Billion $ like you claim. \n\nCan you elaborate a bit on your thesis??", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Dim_Gamvros", "ret_m1d": -0.14176374561792848, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.14176374561792848, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.13949133563075056, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.13949133563075056, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0022724099871779257, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0022724099871779257, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.057658863605092536, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.057658863605092536, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05614392361364062, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05614392361364062, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0015149399914519135, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0015149399914519135, "ret_p1w": -0.15963497023790552, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.15963497023790552, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15875580969463732, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15875580969463732, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0008791605432681981, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0008791605432681981, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4548, -0.446, -0.4656, -0.4656, -0.4298, -0.4357, -0.3964, -0.3659, -0.3593, -0.3464, -0.3131, -0.3571, -0.3344, -0.2562, -0.3406, -0.3535, -0.382, -0.4697, -0.3916, -0.3619, -0.3619, -0.415, -0.4089, -0.4067, -0.3832, -0.3345, -0.2668, -0.3293, -0.3078, -0.2384, -0.262, -0.3459, -0.3327, -0.3782, -0.3327, -0.2739, -0.2148, -0.2148, -0.2667, -0.2254, -0.1492, -0.1509, -0.1479, -0.1727, -0.1902, -0.2175, -0.1537, -0.151, -0.15, -0.2053, -0.1704, -0.1958, -0.1628, -0.1837, -0.2485, -0.185, -0.1432, -0.098, -0.073, -0.0556, -0.1033, -0.1524, -0.1418, 0.0, -0.0577, -0.0216, -0.0487, -0.0782, -0.1596, -0.1548, -0.1757, -0.0841, -0.1008, -0.1008, -0.1351, -0.1432, -0.1828, -0.1881, -0.1881, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2039894556871913726", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-03T02:35:36+00:00", "symbol": "DRAM", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": "DRAM", "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$DRAM is a genuinely great ETF", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses DRAM ETF as a solid way to get memory exposure, especially for those without access to foreign stocks.", "resolved_tickers": ["DRAM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you want exposure to memory, $DRAM is a genuinely great ETF.\n\nI normally don't praise ETFs, but this is solid.\n\n1. $MU - 24.63%\n2. Samsung - 24.11%\n3. SK Hynix - 23.08%\n4. $SNDK  - 4.9%\n5. Kioxia - 4.86%\n6. $WDC - 4.77%\n7. Nanya - 3.89%\n8. Winbond - 2.4%\n\nDisclosure: Friends over at @roundhill did reach out about the launch, but I'm not getting paid to say this (just in case you think this random post is sponsored, it's not). \n\nJust a genuinely great ETF for memory exposure if you don't have access to foreign stocks. \n\nAnd I’d encourage more institutions to make ETFs like this.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05043226249954058, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05043226249954058, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04570546515090257, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04570546515090257, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004726797348638012, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004726797348638012, "ret_p1w": 0.16822766706735193, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16822766706735193, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.13219698187903517, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13219698187903517, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03603068518831676, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03603068518831676, "ret_p1m": 0.5298991668060877, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5298991668060877, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.43508802511468336, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.43508802511468336, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09481114169140437, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09481114169140437, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0504, 0.0605, 0.1697, 0.1664, 0.1682, 0.2086, 0.2813, 0.2417, 0.2622, 0.2821, 0.2633, 0.2583, 0.3437, 0.3098, 0.3401, 0.3894, 0.3447, 0.3772, 0.4168, 0.4557, 0.5299, 0.6675, 0.7536, 0.6769, 0.902, 0.9841, 0.848, 0.9647, 0.9377, 0.8408, 0.7767, 0.7929, 0.8555, 0.9575, 0.9027, 0.9027, 1.1798, 1.1877, 1.254, 1.2767, 1.2767, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2042634402480689355", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-10T16:02:46+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "People aren't bullish enough after the new $LITE backlog report. The demand visibility lasts past 2029 for optical companies…", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long AAOI and LITE on 800G/1.6T capacity leadership and LITE backlog signaling demand visibility past 2029; market not bullish enough.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yeah… I’m cooking super hard.\n\n$AAOI +10.65%\n\nPeople aren’t bullish enough after the new $LITE backlog report.\n\nThe demand visibility lasts past 2029 for optical companies… https://t.co/XCh0QUFPUl", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I'm not sure people understand yet: \n\n$LITE backlog order fill into 2028 signals extreme demand. And a lack of capacity. \n\nThen by second order effect of hyperscaler demand spillover:\n\nGuess who is projected to have the largest 800G/1.6T capacity in America?\n\n$AAOI. \n\nThey fab https://t.co/kUbRFDeYF9", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.11487385358979718, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11487385358979718, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11553607234781726, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.11553607234781726, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0006622187580200833, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0006622187580200833, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01719785015221298, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01719785015221298, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007425452367861185, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.007425452367861185, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009772397784351794, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009772397784351794, "ret_p1w": 0.05856568199185341, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05856568199185341, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.013412189978137867, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.013412189978137867, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.045153492013715546, "bench_c_p1w": 0.045153492013715546, "ret_p1m": 0.22775555380384582, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.22775555380384582, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1396856690642243, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1396856690642243, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08806988473962152, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08806988473962152, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.773, -0.7711, -0.7543, -0.7541, -0.7541, -0.7393, -0.7452, -0.7467, -0.7628, -0.7683, -0.7517, -0.6997, -0.7373, -0.7104, -0.7068, -0.6938, -0.7351, -0.7468, -0.7058, -0.6819, -0.678, -0.6786, -0.7079, -0.7048, -0.7048, -0.7084, -0.7116, -0.688, -0.6568, -0.6417, -0.6264, -0.6141, -0.6435, -0.4407, -0.3193, -0.3669, -0.3379, -0.3284, -0.3653, -0.2655, -0.1999, -0.1566, -0.2949, -0.3572, -0.3754, -0.4268, -0.3849, -0.3232, -0.4187, -0.3641, -0.2437, -0.2403, -0.3531, -0.3479, -0.4343, -0.4383, -0.4266, -0.31, -0.31, -0.2865, -0.2189, -0.1189, -0.1149, 0.0, 0.0172, -0.028, -0.0535, 0.0446, 0.0586, 0.0855, -0.0002, -0.0078, -0.0855, 0.0768, -0.032, -0.0886, 0.0148, 0.0914, 0.2185, 0.1486, 0.199, 0.1855, 0.0461, -0.011, 0.2278, 0.2502, 0.4814, 0.3517, 0.264, 0.1505, 0.1376, 0.0973, 0.174, 0.2051, 0.2051, 0.1794, 0.1941, 0.1223, 0.0519, 0.0519, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2042634402480689355", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-10T16:02:46+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LITE backlog order fill into 2028 signals extreme demand. And a lack of capacity.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long AAOI and LITE on 800G/1.6T capacity leadership and LITE backlog signaling demand visibility past 2029; market not bullish enough.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yeah… I’m cooking super hard.\n\n$AAOI +10.65%\n\nPeople aren’t bullish enough after the new $LITE backlog report.\n\nThe demand visibility lasts past 2029 for optical companies… https://t.co/XCh0QUFPUl", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I'm not sure people understand yet: \n\n$LITE backlog order fill into 2028 signals extreme demand. And a lack of capacity. \n\nThen by second order effect of hyperscaler demand spillover:\n\nGuess who is projected to have the largest 800G/1.6T capacity in America?\n\n$AAOI. \n\nThey fab https://t.co/kUbRFDeYF9", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.003532801686483067, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.003532801686483067, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00419502044450315, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00419502044450315, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0006622187580200833, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0006622187580200833, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.029109545829186012, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.029109545829186012, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.038881943613537806, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.038881943613537806, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009772397784351794, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009772397784351794, "ret_p1w": -0.00359966623502872, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.00359966623502872, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.048753158248744266, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.048753158248744266, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.045153492013715546, "bench_c_p1w": 0.045153492013715546, "ret_p1m": 0.1736208404622075, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1736208404622075, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08555095572258598, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08555095572258598, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08806988473962152, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08806988473962152, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5973, -0.6304, -0.6174, -0.6386, -0.6386, -0.6023, -0.5961, -0.6049, -0.622, -0.6295, -0.5869, -0.5709, -0.5749, -0.5633, -0.5281, -0.5151, -0.4812, -0.4378, -0.3848, -0.3568, -0.3746, -0.3602, -0.3498, -0.3729, -0.3729, -0.3309, -0.3377, -0.2916, -0.2558, -0.248, -0.233, -0.1938, -0.2455, -0.2189, -0.1271, -0.2261, -0.2413, -0.2747, -0.3776, -0.286, -0.2511, -0.2511, -0.3134, -0.3063, -0.3036, -0.2761, -0.219, -0.1395, -0.2128, -0.1876, -0.1062, -0.1339, -0.2324, -0.2168, -0.2703, -0.2168, -0.1478, -0.0785, -0.0785, -0.1393, -0.0909, -0.0014, -0.0035, 0.0, -0.0291, -0.0496, -0.0817, -0.0068, -0.0036, -0.0024, -0.0673, -0.0264, -0.0562, -0.0175, -0.0419, -0.1181, -0.0434, 0.0056, 0.0587, 0.0879, 0.1084, 0.0524, -0.0053, 0.0072, 0.1736, 0.106, 0.1483, 0.1165, 0.0818, -0.0137, -0.008, -0.0326, 0.0749, 0.0553, 0.0553, 0.0151, 0.0056, -0.0409, -0.0472, -0.0472, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2049969772251709921", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-30T21:50:54+00:00", "symbol": "SLNH", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "They're all absolutely terrible longs", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish on SLNH, BKKT, ASST, IREN — all dilutive ATM vehicles that will destroy retail investors; 'absolutely terrible longs.'", "resolved_tickers": ["SLNH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SLNH is a shtco like $BKKT, $ASST, and $IREN.\n\nThat is actively diluting everyone with a $500M ATM.\n\nNot sure why anyone even listens to a guy who has consistently crashed retail portfolios over and over.\n\nI’m going to watch them raise $500M off retail bagholders that get diluted to $0.\n\nThen say “we have $500m on our balance sheets, MC should be higher” and award themselves SBC off the ATM. \n\nThey’re all absolutely terrible longs.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.22891566438103195, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.22891566438103195, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.21906405677902674, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.21906405677902674, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009851607602005208, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009851607602005208, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.048192726093168936, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.048192726093168936, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05096183992153991, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05096183992153991, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027691138283709726, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0027691138283709726, "ret_p1w": -0.0843373424758721, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0843373424758721, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10231530761671637, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10231530761671637, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017977965140844265, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017977965140844265, "ret_p1m": 0.024096434859411042, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.024096434859411042, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.02852929738881138, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.02852929738881138, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05262573224822242, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05262573224822242, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3554, -0.3193, -0.4036, -0.5422, -0.3855, -0.3675, -0.4096, -0.4398, -0.4518, -0.4699, -0.4699, -0.488, -0.4819, -0.4458, -0.4578, -0.4699, -0.4458, -0.3976, -0.4337, -0.4759, -0.4337, -0.4759, -0.4277, -0.4819, -0.5361, -0.5482, -0.5241, -0.494, -0.5301, -0.5301, -0.5241, -0.5181, -0.5482, -0.5482, -0.5723, -0.5542, -0.5723, -0.5241, -0.5723, -0.6265, -0.6325, -0.5723, -0.5964, -0.5723, -0.5723, -0.5723, -0.5723, -0.5602, -0.5663, -0.5723, -0.4398, -0.3675, -0.3675, -0.3193, -0.3193, -0.1566, -0.2108, -0.1145, -0.1928, -0.2771, -0.3193, -0.3494, -0.2289, 0.0, -0.0482, -0.1928, -0.0663, -0.0241, -0.0843, 0.1024, 0.0422, 0.0723, 0.3012, 0.3012, 0.3373, 0.1747, 0.1024, 0.0, 0.0542, 0.0301, 0.0301, 0.1627, 0.1205, 0.1024, 0.0241, 0.0241, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2049969772251709921", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-30T21:50:54+00:00", "symbol": "BKKT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "They're all absolutely terrible longs", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish on SLNH, BKKT, ASST, IREN — all dilutive ATM vehicles that will destroy retail investors; 'absolutely terrible longs.'", "resolved_tickers": ["BKKT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SLNH is a shtco like $BKKT, $ASST, and $IREN.\n\nThat is actively diluting everyone with a $500M ATM.\n\nNot sure why anyone even listens to a guy who has consistently crashed retail portfolios over and over.\n\nI’m going to watch them raise $500M off retail bagholders that get diluted to $0.\n\nThen say “we have $500m on our balance sheets, MC should be higher” and award themselves SBC off the ATM. \n\nThey’re all absolutely terrible longs.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08816702576967439, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08816702576967439, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07831541816766918, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07831541816766918, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009851607602005208, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009851607602005208, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.005800486241145708, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005800486241145708, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00856960006951668, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00856960006951668, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027691138283709726, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0027691138283709726, "ret_p1w": -0.008120614356560196, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.008120614356560196, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02609857949740446, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02609857949740446, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017977965140844265, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017977965140844265, "ret_p1m": 0.26102088513590127, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.26102088513590127, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.20839515288767885, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.20839515288767885, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05262573224822242, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05262573224822242, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.4223, 0.413, 0.3469, 0.1485, 0.3817, 0.3225, 0.232, 0.2065, 0.1671, 0.2494, 0.2494, 0.1903, 0.2019, 0.2065, 0.2111, 0.1775, 0.1717, 0.2622, 0.2065, 0.109, 0.1555, 0.1125, 0.1833, 0.1543, 0.0777, 0.0696, 0.0719, 0.0777, 0.0684, 0.0963, 0.1183, 0.1172, 0.036, 0.0441, -0.0081, 0.0278, -0.0406, -0.0278, -0.0754, -0.1508, -0.1937, -0.1462, -0.1601, -0.145, -0.145, -0.1148, -0.1148, -0.0777, -0.0267, -0.0568, 0.0116, 0.0418, 0.0719, 0.109, 0.0661, 0.0406, 0.0058, 0.0592, 0.007, 0.0244, 0.0441, -0.0046, -0.0882, 0.0, -0.0058, 0.0394, 0.0545, 0.0603, -0.0081, 0.1427, 0.1508, 0.029, -0.0696, 0.007, -0.0394, 0.0116, 0.123, 0.181, 0.4292, 0.3782, 0.3782, 0.3701, 0.3329, 0.2761, 0.261, 0.261, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2049969772251709921", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-04-30T21:50:54+00:00", "symbol": "ASST", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "They're all absolutely terrible longs", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish on SLNH, BKKT, ASST, IREN — all dilutive ATM vehicles that will destroy retail investors; 'absolutely terrible longs.'", "resolved_tickers": ["ASST"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Asset Management'", "bench_c_industry": "Asset Management", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SLNH is a shtco like $BKKT, $ASST, and $IREN.\n\nThat is actively diluting everyone with a $500M ATM.\n\nNot sure why anyone even listens to a guy who has consistently crashed retail portfolios over and over.\n\nI’m going to watch them raise $500M off retail bagholders that get diluted to $0.\n\nThen say “we have $500m on our balance sheets, MC should be higher” and award themselves SBC off the ATM. \n\nThey’re all absolutely terrible longs.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06184894729813073, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06184894729813073, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05199733969612552, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05782050120438287, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009851607602005208, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004028446093747862, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06184894729813073, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06184894729813073, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05907983346975976, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06587739339187859, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027691138283709726, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004028446093747862, "ret_p1w": 0.0065104416474550675, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0065104416474550675, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.011467523493389198, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.017636507620422015, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017977965140844265, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011126065972966948, "ret_p1m": 0.15039065568028853, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.15039065568028853, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09776492343206611, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.16094118753893738, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05262573224822242, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010550531858648848, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0586, -0.112, -0.2292, -0.3581, -0.2243, -0.3395, -0.4023, -0.4733, -0.4987, -0.4577, -0.4577, -0.4674, -0.4759, -0.4714, -0.4694, -0.5208, -0.5335, -0.444, -0.4668, -0.4831, -0.4316, -0.4577, -0.3737, -0.3978, -0.4336, -0.446, -0.4154, -0.3991, -0.4251, -0.3796, -0.293, -0.2773, -0.3467, -0.332, -0.3477, -0.3203, -0.3535, -0.2936, -0.3223, -0.3584, -0.39, -0.3477, -0.3385, -0.3652, -0.3652, -0.3411, -0.3968, -0.3327, -0.3724, -0.3079, -0.2461, -0.1908, -0.1191, -0.0898, 0.0163, 0.0169, -0.0033, 0.0846, 0.0547, 0.0286, 0.0215, -0.0052, -0.0618, 0.0, 0.0618, 0.0648, 0.0749, 0.0599, 0.0065, 0.0365, 0.1686, 0.1113, 0.0898, 0.153, 0.0931, 0.028, 0.0521, 0.1055, 0.2064, 0.1855, 0.1855, 0.1784, 0.1602, 0.1589, 0.1504, 0.1504, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2049969772251709921", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-04-30T21:50:54+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "They're all absolutely terrible longs", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish on SLNH, BKKT, ASST, IREN — all dilutive ATM vehicles that will destroy retail investors; 'absolutely terrible longs.'", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SLNH is a shtco like $BKKT, $ASST, and $IREN.\n\nThat is actively diluting everyone with a $500M ATM.\n\nNot sure why anyone even listens to a guy who has consistently crashed retail portfolios over and over.\n\nI’m going to watch them raise $500M off retail bagholders that get diluted to $0.\n\nThen say “we have $500m on our balance sheets, MC should be higher” and award themselves SBC off the ATM. \n\nThey’re all absolutely terrible longs.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05822891252289464, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05822891252289464, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04837730492088943, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.054200466429146776, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009851607602005208, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004028446093747862, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0032960125557273123, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0032960125557273123, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0005268987273563397, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007324458649475174, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027691138283709726, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004028446093747862, "ret_p1w": 0.24917601781633847, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.24917601781633847, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2311980526754942, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2603020837893054, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017977965140844265, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011126065972966948, "ret_p1m": 0.39617673607918347, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.39617673607918347, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.34355100383096104, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.4067272679378323, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05262573224822242, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010550531858648848, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1663, 0.1951, -0.0125, -0.1257, -0.0809, 0.0141, -0.0567, -0.0624, -0.1204, -0.0723, -0.0723, -0.0998, -0.0754, -0.0488, -0.1215, -0.0692, -0.0013, -0.0325, -0.0279, -0.1002, -0.0905, -0.1463, -0.0367, -0.1183, -0.1936, -0.1466, -0.1624, -0.0776, -0.091, -0.0864, -0.0125, -0.056, -0.0725, -0.0846, -0.0927, -0.0736, -0.0965, -0.0897, -0.1771, -0.229, -0.3052, -0.2468, -0.2509, -0.236, -0.236, -0.2281, -0.2147, -0.1907, -0.1857, -0.136, -0.0536, 0.0409, 0.0727, 0.0481, 0.0574, 0.0705, -0.0075, 0.0633, 0.143, 0.1127, 0.0626, -0.0235, -0.0582, 0.0, 0.0033, 0.0872, 0.2028, 0.3399, 0.2492, 0.3448, 0.2118, 0.2428, 0.2123, 0.2832, 0.1633, 0.1088, 0.049, 0.1582, 0.2758, 0.2487, 0.2487, 0.3136, 0.4907, 0.4074, 0.3962, 0.3962, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2051801908344771022", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-05T23:11:10+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LITE CEO basically confirmed GS TAM expansion + CPO Supercycle", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long LITE, SIVE, TSEM, SOI and others for high-beta exposure to CPO supercycle; CEO confirms massive supply-demand imbalance and $91B TAM by 2028.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$LITE CEO basically confirmed GS TAM expansion + CPO Supercycle.\n\nFrom ~close to nothing -> $91B. From H2 2026 to 2028:\n\n“ I think what we’ve said is that we will have a massive supply demand imbalance on CPO” \n\nDemand > Supply.\n\n“Largest single growth driver, scale-up CPO”\n\nMassive revenue driver is CPO.\n\n“is very much in its infancy”.\n\nWe’re at the beginnings.\n\nThis is exactly why I have positions in $SIVE, MSScorps, Shunsin, $TSEM, $SOI and others for high beta exposure to the start of the CPO supercycle.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Just reiterating my disbelief:\n\nI have never seen a sector more bullish than CPO. \n\nGS reported Optical TAM 9X from $15b in 2026 -&gt; US$154b in 2028\n\nCPO making up $91B of that.\n \nStarting from ~$164M (Modor for 2026 / sampling) to $91 Billion (GS 2028) \n\n55,000%+ CPO growth curve", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.018480539060419687, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.018480539060419687, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010522196478952361, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010522196478952361, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007958342581467326, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007958342581467326, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05055498751723775, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05055498751723775, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06445442696225534, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06445442696225534, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.013899439445017592, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013899439445017592, "ret_p1w": -0.0022019812246442116, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0022019812246442116, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.022111583385098332, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.022111583385098332, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01990960216045412, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01990960216045412, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4928, -0.445, -0.4197, -0.4358, -0.4227, -0.4133, -0.4342, -0.4342, -0.3963, -0.4025, -0.3609, -0.3286, -0.3216, -0.308, -0.2727, -0.3193, -0.2953, -0.2125, -0.3018, -0.3155, -0.3456, -0.4385, -0.3558, -0.3243, -0.3243, -0.3805, -0.3741, -0.3717, -0.3469, -0.2954, -0.2236, -0.2898, -0.2671, -0.1936, -0.2186, -0.3074, -0.2934, -0.3416, -0.2934, -0.2312, -0.1686, -0.1686, -0.2235, -0.1798, -0.0991, -0.101, -0.0978, -0.1241, -0.1425, -0.1715, -0.1039, -0.101, -0.1, -0.1585, -0.1216, -0.1485, -0.1135, -0.1356, -0.2043, -0.137, -0.0927, -0.0449, -0.0185, 0.0, -0.0506, -0.1025, -0.0913, 0.0589, -0.0022, 0.036, 0.0073, -0.024, -0.1102, -0.105, -0.1272, -0.0302, -0.0479, -0.0479, -0.0842, -0.0928, -0.1347, -0.1404, -0.1404, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2051801908344771022", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-05-05T23:11:10+00:00", "symbol": "TSEM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have positions in $SIVE, MSScorps, Shunsin, $TSEM, $SOI and others for high beta exposure to the start of the CPO supercycle", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long LITE, SIVE, TSEM, SOI and others for high-beta exposure to CPO supercycle; CEO confirms massive supply-demand imbalance and $91B TAM by 2028.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSEM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$LITE CEO basically confirmed GS TAM expansion + CPO Supercycle.\n\nFrom ~close to nothing -> $91B. From H2 2026 to 2028:\n\n“ I think what we’ve said is that we will have a massive supply demand imbalance on CPO” \n\nDemand > Supply.\n\n“Largest single growth driver, scale-up CPO”\n\nMassive revenue driver is CPO.\n\n“is very much in its infancy”.\n\nWe’re at the beginnings.\n\nThis is exactly why I have positions in $SIVE, MSScorps, Shunsin, $TSEM, $SOI and others for high beta exposure to the start of the CPO supercycle.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Just reiterating my disbelief:\n\nI have never seen a sector more bullish than CPO. \n\nGS reported Optical TAM 9X from $15b in 2026 -&gt; US$154b in 2028\n\nCPO making up $91B of that.\n \nStarting from ~$164M (Modor for 2026 / sampling) to $91 Billion (GS 2028) \n\n55,000%+ CPO growth curve", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04642398473539233, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04642398473539233, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.038465642153925006, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.038465642153925006, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007958342581467326, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007958342581467326, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.038398455677659205, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.038398455677659205, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.052297895122676796, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.052297895122676796, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.013899439445017592, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013899439445017592, "ret_p1w": -0.020839786164507546, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.020839786164507546, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.040749388324961666, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.040749388324961666, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01990960216045412, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01990960216045412, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4277, -0.3835, -0.3459, -0.3944, -0.4039, -0.4077, -0.4292, -0.4292, -0.4334, -0.4309, -0.4419, -0.4304, -0.435, -0.4413, -0.4414, -0.4509, -0.4463, -0.3855, -0.4434, -0.4524, -0.4655, -0.5096, -0.4881, -0.4818, -0.4704, -0.4744, -0.447, -0.386, -0.3887, -0.3705, -0.2636, -0.2745, -0.2368, -0.1982, -0.1631, -0.2255, -0.2377, -0.2969, -0.2219, -0.1705, -0.123, -0.123, -0.1567, -0.1537, -0.0969, -0.0963, -0.0973, -0.0712, -0.0506, -0.0439, -0.0478, 0.0041, -0.0046, -0.0391, -0.0862, -0.1076, -0.1108, -0.0984, -0.1418, -0.1168, -0.0199, -0.0333, -0.0464, 0.0, -0.0384, -0.0689, -0.0643, 0.0149, -0.0208, 0.2006, 0.2446, 0.2148, 0.0999, 0.1142, 0.1727, 0.2371, 0.2567, 0.2567, 0.2793, 0.2317, 0.2216, 0.1317, 0.1317, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2059539081080795331", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-27T07:35:55+00:00", "symbol": "XFAB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I like the idea of supporting and securing Western supply chains for AI", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish XFAB on power semi revenue growth + silicon photonics in EU ecosystem + Western AI supply chain thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["XFAB.PA"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "X-FAB Silicon Foundries listed on Euronext Paris as XFAB.PA", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yep, there’s a lot of interesting things going on with $XFAB in terms of European’s photonics ecosystem and existing gov funding.\n\nBasically power semi exposure, for primary revenue growth, and silicon photonics in EU ecosystem as extra.  \n\nRegardless I like the idea of supporting and securing Western supply chains for AI.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Very interesting!!!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TheRomanTrader", "ret_m1d": -0.2512500286102295, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.2512500286102295, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.2514232621989698, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.262400347079478, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00017323358874032913, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011150318469248521, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05333336194356286, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05333336194356286, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05884991644622517, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06060459131357765, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055165545026623075, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007271229370014787, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6098, -0.6085, -0.6213, -0.6168, -0.6212, -0.621, -0.6152, -0.5935, -0.6033, -0.6033, -0.607, -0.6027, -0.6027, -0.6002, -0.6212, -0.6208, -0.6125, -0.6063, -0.5905, -0.596, -0.6095, -0.6107, -0.6038, -0.594, -0.6075, -0.6075, -0.6075, -0.6112, -0.58, -0.5873, -0.5675, -0.5742, -0.5458, -0.5458, -0.53, -0.4912, -0.4742, -0.4662, -0.46, -0.4463, -0.4363, -0.4329, -0.4379, -0.4262, -0.4758, -0.4758, -0.4717, -0.4642, -0.4404, -0.4454, -0.4337, -0.3858, -0.4037, -0.3662, -0.3529, -0.3317, -0.385, -0.4029, -0.37, -0.3742, -0.3425, -0.3279, -0.2513, 0.0, -0.0533, -0.1033, -0.1033, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2053274412187898179", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-10T00:42:22+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Which is why I thought it was worth it to go long anyway", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AXTI despite Chinese policy risk, reasoning that optical buildout depends on it.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@deron0903 Of course I did. But if $AXTI goes down, the optical buildout with $LITE and others goes down too.\n\nWhich is why I thought it was worth it to go long anyway.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit When you initially bought AXTI, did you consider the policy risks from the Chinese government? If so, why did you still decide to buy it? Thank you!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "deron0903", "ret_m1d": -0.07511324323681845, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07511324323681845, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07284083324964052, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05816052755838419, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0022724099871779257, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01695271567843426, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02313008575776787, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02313008575776787, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.021615145766315957, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.003001679476900998, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0015149399914519135, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02613176523466887, "ret_p1w": -0.1584134861451988, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1584134861451988, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1575343256019306, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10609784952291867, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0008791605432681981, "bench_c_p1w": -0.052315636622280115, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.787, -0.803, -0.8073, -0.8073, -0.8155, -0.8129, -0.8107, -0.7641, -0.774, -0.7212, -0.6744, -0.705, -0.6988, -0.6318, -0.6681, -0.689, -0.6916, -0.7427, -0.6935, -0.6479, -0.6236, -0.6286, -0.6116, -0.6154, -0.6474, -0.6124, -0.5383, -0.5689, -0.4878, -0.456, -0.4647, -0.5349, -0.5181, -0.5809, -0.5471, -0.6253, -0.58, -0.58, -0.6662, -0.6387, -0.5773, -0.4983, -0.4899, -0.4718, -0.4651, -0.4998, -0.35, -0.3438, -0.374, -0.4041, -0.309, -0.4017, -0.3946, -0.4424, -0.4539, -0.4351, -0.3703, -0.2369, -0.1575, -0.1451, -0.1668, -0.1382, -0.0751, 0.0, -0.0231, -0.0308, -0.0861, -0.0161, -0.1584, -0.1028, -0.1685, -0.0381, 0.1194, 0.1194, 0.054, -0.0242, -0.0804, -0.18, -0.18, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2046005919637733430", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-19T23:19:58+00:00", "symbol": "TTD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TTD at $22 is compelling, probably 40-50% upside back to low 30's", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long TTD (40-50% upside to low $30s), HIMS (mean reversion to $40), and RDDT (recovering to $200+).", "resolved_tickers": ["TTD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Advertising Agencies", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Stuff like $TTD at $22 is compelling, probably 40-50% upside back to low 30's.. Same with $HIMS at $28, I can see mean reversion to $40. \n\nAnd $RDDT at $163, went long around $140, posted some thesis on the way down to $125, but glad it's recovered a bit. \n\nCould probably chop a bit but I do see it recovering to $200+ in better macro.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What would be some good ones to barbell with?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TD_btc24", "ret_m1d": -0.06569646460825274, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06569646460825274, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06770013884351345, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06770013884351345, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.035342973018114066, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.035342973018114066, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02879602386317781, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02879602386317781, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "ret_p1w": -0.03783783269355867, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03783783269355867, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04693876461823998, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04693876461823998, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "ret_p1m": -0.12016629859991879, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12016629859991879, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1554552855051592, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1554552855051592, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.469, 0.531, 0.5198, 0.4058, 0.3385, 0.3252, 0.2994, 0.2611, 0.237, 0.1301, 0.1339, 0.0911, 0.1243, 0.1243, 0.1696, 0.1322, 0.0869, 0.0732, 0.0732, 0.0503, 0.0603, 0.0495, 0.0437, 0.005, 0.037, 0.0462, -0.0042, -0.0096, 0.0112, 0.0395, 0.0466, 0.2387, 0.2175, 0.1875, 0.1501, 0.1343, 0.1029, 0.1368, 0.126, 0.0424, -0.0208, -0.0225, 0.0025, -0.0042, -0.0711, -0.0865, -0.096, -0.1152, -0.0848, -0.0565, -0.0861, -0.0832, -0.0832, -0.0765, -0.1393, -0.158, -0.143, -0.1647, -0.1177, -0.126, -0.0694, -0.0536, -0.0657, 0.0, -0.0353, -0.0204, -0.0595, -0.0033, -0.0378, -0.0341, 0.0133, -0.0191, 0.0079, 0.0021, 0.0233, -0.0017, -0.0233, -0.0403, -0.1052, -0.121, -0.148, -0.1514, -0.1206, -0.074, -0.1202, -0.126, -0.1152, -0.0694, -0.0694, -0.0778, -0.0732, -0.1206, -0.1035, -0.1035, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2046005919637733430", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-19T23:19:58+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$HIMS at $28, I can see mean reversion to $40", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long TTD (40-50% upside to low $30s), HIMS (mean reversion to $40), and RDDT (recovering to $200+).", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Stuff like $TTD at $22 is compelling, probably 40-50% upside back to low 30's.. Same with $HIMS at $28, I can see mean reversion to $40. \n\nAnd $RDDT at $163, went long around $140, posted some thesis on the way down to $125, but glad it's recovered a bit. \n\nCould probably chop a bit but I do see it recovering to $200+ in better macro.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What would be some good ones to barbell with?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TD_btc24", "ret_m1d": -0.07062239657831126, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07062239657831126, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07262607081357197, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07262607081357197, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04030957725810613, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04030957725810613, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03376262810316988, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03376262810316988, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "ret_p1w": -0.052241239189820265, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.052241239189820265, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.061342171114501576, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.061342171114501576, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "ret_p1m": -0.27636245184037, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.27636245184037, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3116514387456104, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3116514387456104, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0684, -0.0158, -0.0448, -0.0235, -0.0429, -0.0755, -0.0368, -0.1264, -0.1474, -0.1764, -0.2132, -0.2428, -0.2577, -0.3767, -0.4441, -0.4618, -0.4905, -0.4744, -0.4744, -0.4753, -0.4892, -0.4898, -0.496, -0.4998, -0.5015, -0.4898, -0.4969, -0.5318, -0.4686, -0.4898, -0.4695, -0.4879, -0.4924, -0.2854, -0.2431, -0.1654, -0.2312, -0.2012, -0.1977, -0.1945, -0.2535, -0.2209, -0.2899, -0.2757, -0.3118, -0.328, -0.3273, -0.375, -0.3944, -0.3305, -0.3602, -0.3828, -0.3828, -0.3444, -0.3712, -0.3747, -0.3631, -0.3734, -0.318, -0.3112, -0.2167, -0.1296, -0.0706, 0.0, -0.0403, -0.0645, -0.0922, -0.0145, -0.0522, -0.1, -0.1509, -0.1238, -0.1161, -0.1206, -0.1509, -0.1332, -0.1728, -0.0884, -0.0603, -0.1928, -0.2215, -0.2183, -0.1922, -0.2812, -0.2764, -0.257, -0.2257, -0.2341, -0.2341, -0.2309, -0.1874, -0.1816, -0.1567, -0.1567, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2046005919637733430", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-04-19T23:19:58+00:00", "symbol": "RDDT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$RDDT at $163, went long around $140... I do see it recovering to $200+ in better macro", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long TTD (40-50% upside to low $30s), HIMS (mean reversion to $40), and RDDT (recovering to $200+).", "resolved_tickers": ["RDDT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Stuff like $TTD at $22 is compelling, probably 40-50% upside back to low 30's.. Same with $HIMS at $28, I can see mean reversion to $40. \n\nAnd $RDDT at $163, went long around $140, posted some thesis on the way down to $125, but glad it's recovered a bit. \n\nCould probably chop a bit but I do see it recovering to $200+ in better macro.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What would be some good ones to barbell with?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TD_btc24", "ret_m1d": -0.014914576291468196, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.014914576291468196, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.016918250526728906, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017861931863014213, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0029473555715460176, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05689193844434859, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05689193844434859, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.050344989289412334, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.043502495598953805, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013389442845394783, "ret_p1w": -0.03650464343270998, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03650464343270998, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04560557535739129, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.011746728136657336, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "bench_c_p1w": -0.024757915296052646, "ret_p1m": -0.06855902080932519, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06855902080932519, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1038480077145656, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.04413795532823961, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02442106548108558, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2637, 0.2902, 0.3163, 0.2848, 0.1805, 0.1615, 0.143, 0.0841, 0.0654, -0.0052, -0.0817, -0.0916, -0.1591, -0.1476, -0.098, -0.1623, -0.2118, -0.1602, -0.1602, -0.1627, -0.1132, -0.1212, -0.0969, -0.1433, -0.1455, -0.0999, -0.0904, -0.1231, -0.1153, -0.1238, -0.1142, -0.1319, -0.1617, -0.1649, -0.1933, -0.1754, -0.2047, -0.204, -0.158, -0.132, -0.1413, -0.1694, -0.1589, -0.1523, -0.1814, -0.1603, -0.2347, -0.2673, -0.2535, -0.1902, -0.181, -0.1821, -0.1821, -0.168, -0.1512, -0.128, -0.1678, -0.1597, -0.1018, -0.0706, -0.0469, -0.023, -0.0149, 0.0, -0.0569, -0.0118, -0.0801, -0.0685, -0.0365, -0.1104, -0.1114, -0.1146, 0.0012, 0.0168, 0.0322, 0.0017, -0.014, -0.063, -0.0407, -0.0838, -0.0731, -0.06, -0.0488, -0.0431, -0.0686, -0.1176, -0.0977, -0.148, -0.148, -0.1301, -0.0727, 0.0085, 0.0585, 0.0585, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2037469662477463745", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-27T09:59:56+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SIVE and $AAOI were the hypergrowth rocket ships following $AXTI for me. Lot of debate around them but I have conviction in them both", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long SOI on strong moat; also holds conviction in SIVE and AAOI as hypergrowth photonics plays.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Blinklebloop Agreed $SOI has arguably one of the strongest positions out of everything.\n\n$SIVE and $AAOI were the hypergrowth rocket ships following $AXTI for me. Lot of debate around them but I have conviction in them both", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "While everyone is debating the $SIVE\n\n$SOI has a moat, and is undervalued on real metrics and real numbers.\n\nMy biggest Photonics position.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Blinklebloop", "ret_m1d": -0.008043996771121553, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.008043996771121553, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02539169115854223, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02539169115854223, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.017347694387420676, "bench_c_m1d": 0.017347694387420676, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.1325730247881136, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.1325730247881136, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.129229562404929, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.129229562404929, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0033434623831846144, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0033434623831846144, "ret_p1w": 0.058038943394491005, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.058038943394491005, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02375360643345048, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02375360643345048, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.034285336961040525, "bench_c_p1w": 0.034285336961040525, "ret_p1m": 0.4843702284724407, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4843702284724407, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3565020195104214, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3565020195104214, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12786820896201934, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12786820896201934, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6332, -0.645, -0.645, -0.5968, -0.6437, -0.6069, -0.6125, -0.6639, -0.6534, -0.6567, -0.652, -0.649, -0.6233, -0.6228, -0.6228, -0.6002, -0.6092, -0.6115, -0.6363, -0.6447, -0.6193, -0.5395, -0.5971, -0.556, -0.5504, -0.5304, -0.5937, -0.6118, -0.5489, -0.5122, -0.5063, -0.5072, -0.5521, -0.5473, -0.5473, -0.5529, -0.5577, -0.5216, -0.4738, -0.4506, -0.427, -0.4082, -0.4533, -0.1423, 0.0438, -0.0292, 0.0153, 0.0298, -0.0268, 0.1264, 0.2269, 0.2932, 0.0813, -0.0143, -0.0422, -0.121, -0.0568, 0.0378, -0.1086, -0.0249, 0.1598, 0.165, -0.008, 0.0, -0.1326, -0.1387, -0.1208, 0.058, 0.058, 0.0941, 0.1978, 0.3512, 0.3573, 0.5334, 0.5598, 0.4906, 0.4515, 0.6019, 0.6233, 0.6645, 0.5331, 0.5214, 0.4024, 0.6513, 0.4844, 0.3976, 0.5562, 0.6736, 0.8685, 0.7613, 0.8386, 0.8179, 0.6042, 0.5165, 0.8827, 0.9171, 1.2717, 1.0728, 0.9383, 0.7642, 0.7445, 0.6827, 0.8003, 0.848, 0.848, 0.8086, 0.8311, 0.721, 0.613, 0.613, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2041038963859931593", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-06T06:23:04+00:00", "symbol": "TSEM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "When I looked at $TSEM back at ~$115 last month (round to $200 now)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long photonics pure-plays TSEM, AEHR, SIVE, SOI, Win Semi, LITE, AAOI into H2 2026 CPO/SiPH supercycle re-rating on $110B+ TAM.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSEM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Please stop trying to model 2025-2026 revenue for future CPO/SiPH ramp… \n\nWhen I looked at $TSEM back at ~$115 last month (round to $200 now).\n\nThe forward p/e compressed to rates like ~16-18 (down to 10-12 in growth scenarios)\n\nSame applies to $AEHR / $SIVE / $SOI /Win Semi and other names. \n\nThis is H1 2026. Volume ramp hits H2 2026.\n\nWe’re at the very beginning of a massive supercycle and these are my more pure play exposure picks for the next architectural changes in photonics:\n\nFor testing, cw lasers, substrates, and foundries in next paradigm shift in the photonics supercycle. \n\nCompanies like $LITE or $AAOI that I’ve longed last year cover multiple cycles.\n\nHowever, the most returns comes from anticipating what benefits the most Mc wise relative to future revenue/TAM growth (not priced into current earnings).\n\nNot looking back at 2 year historical returns to calculate fair value. \n\nAnd when we’re looking at massive new photonics TAM ($110B+ bull case from lightcounting), largely driven from architecture that use CW lasers as an example or struggle with yields.\n\nA lot of these companies are likely going to re-rate hard. \n\nEspecially when you look at the start of the next architectural changes, happening around H2 2026.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.040012621655526104, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.040012621655526104, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04471718150314985, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04471718150314985, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004704559847623746, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004704559847623746, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0035227833237538864, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0035227833237538864, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0030827092179050997, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0030827092179050997, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004400741058487867, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0004400741058487867, "ret_p1w": 0.10137230417901, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10137230417901, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.060138814715547495, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.060138814715547495, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0412334894634625, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0412334894634625, "ret_p1m": 0.18581416417394592, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.18581416417394592, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08741216763988846, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08741216763988846, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09840199653405746, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09840199653405746, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3574, -0.3831, -0.3689, -0.3622, -0.3439, -0.3522, -0.348, -0.3174, -0.3174, -0.3217, -0.2985, -0.3166, -0.3237, -0.332, -0.3027, -0.2695, -0.2917, -0.2916, -0.2802, -0.2828, -0.3623, -0.3213, -0.2689, -0.2243, -0.2819, -0.2931, -0.2976, -0.3231, -0.3231, -0.3281, -0.3251, -0.3382, -0.3245, -0.33, -0.3375, -0.3377, -0.3489, -0.3434, -0.2713, -0.34, -0.3506, -0.3662, -0.4185, -0.3929, -0.3855, -0.372, -0.3767, -0.3443, -0.2719, -0.2751, -0.2536, -0.1268, -0.1396, -0.095, -0.0493, -0.0076, -0.0816, -0.0961, -0.1662, -0.0773, -0.0164, 0.04, 0.04, 0.0, 0.0035, 0.0709, 0.0717, 0.0705, 0.1014, 0.1258, 0.1338, 0.1291, 0.1907, 0.1803, 0.1395, 0.0837, 0.0583, 0.0544, 0.0691, 0.0177, 0.0473, 0.1623, 0.1463, 0.1308, 0.1858, 0.1403, 0.1042, 0.1095, 0.2034, 0.1611, 0.4237, 0.4758, 0.4406, 0.3043, 0.3212, 0.3906, 0.467, 0.4902, 0.4902, 0.5171, 0.4606, 0.4486, 0.342, 0.342, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2041038963859931593", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-06T06:23:04+00:00", "symbol": "AEHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Same applies to $AEHR / $SIVE / $SOI /Win Semi and other names", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long photonics pure-plays TSEM, AEHR, SIVE, SOI, Win Semi, LITE, AAOI into H2 2026 CPO/SiPH supercycle re-rating on $110B+ TAM.", "resolved_tickers": ["AEHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Please stop trying to model 2025-2026 revenue for future CPO/SiPH ramp… \n\nWhen I looked at $TSEM back at ~$115 last month (round to $200 now).\n\nThe forward p/e compressed to rates like ~16-18 (down to 10-12 in growth scenarios)\n\nSame applies to $AEHR / $SIVE / $SOI /Win Semi and other names. \n\nThis is H1 2026. Volume ramp hits H2 2026.\n\nWe’re at the very beginning of a massive supercycle and these are my more pure play exposure picks for the next architectural changes in photonics:\n\nFor testing, cw lasers, substrates, and foundries in next paradigm shift in the photonics supercycle. \n\nCompanies like $LITE or $AAOI that I’ve longed last year cover multiple cycles.\n\nHowever, the most returns comes from anticipating what benefits the most Mc wise relative to future revenue/TAM growth (not priced into current earnings).\n\nNot looking back at 2 year historical returns to calculate fair value. \n\nAnd when we’re looking at massive new photonics TAM ($110B+ bull case from lightcounting), largely driven from architecture that use CW lasers as an example or struggle with yields.\n\nA lot of these companies are likely going to re-rate hard. \n\nEspecially when you look at the start of the next architectural changes, happening around H2 2026.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.15030675183134357, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.15030675183134357, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.14560219198371982, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1410638517844628, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004704559847623746, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009242900046880775, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03661809534124971, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03661809534124971, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0370581694470985, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.046517541781468164, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004400741058487867, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009899446440218451, "ret_p1w": 0.3738497674797203, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.3738497674797203, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.3326162780162578, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2542478076898922, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0412334894634625, "bench_c_p1w": 0.11960195978982813, "ret_p1m": 0.748274591797772, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.748274591797772, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6498725952637145, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4282837136232345, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09840199653405746, "bench_c_p1m": 0.31999087817453753, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5364, -0.5648, -0.4954, -0.4948, -0.486, -0.5021, -0.4914, -0.4477, -0.4477, -0.4429, -0.4402, -0.4074, -0.4624, -0.4866, -0.468, -0.4636, -0.4847, -0.5084, -0.5004, -0.4787, -0.5431, -0.559, -0.4941, -0.4711, -0.4856, -0.351, -0.4653, -0.4471, -0.4471, -0.4538, -0.4438, -0.4197, -0.3558, -0.342, -0.2479, -0.2048, -0.237, -0.2824, -0.1559, -0.2017, -0.1821, -0.2237, -0.3173, -0.2163, -0.1956, -0.1862, -0.2782, -0.3161, -0.2814, -0.2889, -0.3039, -0.2761, -0.3382, -0.2878, -0.2487, -0.2517, -0.3372, -0.3765, -0.4225, -0.2891, -0.2408, -0.1503, -0.1503, 0.0, -0.0366, 0.2109, 0.3202, 0.3503, 0.3738, 0.426, 0.4038, 0.55, 0.6077, 0.7283, 0.7968, 0.8666, 0.8311, 0.8388, 0.6963, 0.5803, 0.5684, 0.7362, 0.7843, 0.6413, 0.7483, 0.8545, 0.7496, 0.8641, 1.0046, 0.8543, 0.9795, 1.0387, 0.9076, 0.6022, 0.5556, 0.5786, 0.7504, 0.8217, 0.8217, 1.1074, 0.9904, 0.917, 0.7701, 0.7701, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2041038963859931593", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-04-06T06:23:04+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Companies like $LITE or $AAOI that I've longed last year cover multiple cycles", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long photonics pure-plays TSEM, AEHR, SIVE, SOI, Win Semi, LITE, AAOI into H2 2026 CPO/SiPH supercycle re-rating on $110B+ TAM.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Please stop trying to model 2025-2026 revenue for future CPO/SiPH ramp… \n\nWhen I looked at $TSEM back at ~$115 last month (round to $200 now).\n\nThe forward p/e compressed to rates like ~16-18 (down to 10-12 in growth scenarios)\n\nSame applies to $AEHR / $SIVE / $SOI /Win Semi and other names. \n\nThis is H1 2026. Volume ramp hits H2 2026.\n\nWe’re at the very beginning of a massive supercycle and these are my more pure play exposure picks for the next architectural changes in photonics:\n\nFor testing, cw lasers, substrates, and foundries in next paradigm shift in the photonics supercycle. \n\nCompanies like $LITE or $AAOI that I’ve longed last year cover multiple cycles.\n\nHowever, the most returns comes from anticipating what benefits the most Mc wise relative to future revenue/TAM growth (not priced into current earnings).\n\nNot looking back at 2 year historical returns to calculate fair value. \n\nAnd when we’re looking at massive new photonics TAM ($110B+ bull case from lightcounting), largely driven from architecture that use CW lasers as an example or struggle with yields.\n\nA lot of these companies are likely going to re-rate hard. \n\nEspecially when you look at the start of the next architectural changes, happening around H2 2026.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.07069971191103863, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07069971191103863, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07540427175866238, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07540427175866238, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004704559847623746, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004704559847623746, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05628783479316746, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05628783479316746, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05584776068731867, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05584776068731867, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004400741058487867, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0004400741058487867, "ret_p1w": 0.12806230852421496, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12806230852421496, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08682881906075246, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08682881906075246, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0412334894634625, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0412334894634625, "ret_p1m": 0.28782301733749915, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.28782301733749915, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1894210208034417, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1894210208034417, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09840199653405746, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09840199653405746, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4913, -0.549, -0.545, -0.5599, -0.5321, -0.5706, -0.5555, -0.5801, -0.5801, -0.538, -0.5307, -0.541, -0.5608, -0.5695, -0.52, -0.5015, -0.5061, -0.4926, -0.4517, -0.4366, -0.3972, -0.3468, -0.2852, -0.2527, -0.2734, -0.2566, -0.2445, -0.2713, -0.2713, -0.2225, -0.2305, -0.1769, -0.1353, -0.1263, -0.1088, -0.0633, -0.1234, -0.0924, 0.0142, -0.1008, -0.1185, -0.1573, -0.2769, -0.1704, -0.1298, -0.1298, -0.2022, -0.1939, -0.1909, -0.1589, -0.0925, -0.0002, -0.0854, -0.0561, 0.0385, 0.0063, -0.1081, -0.0901, -0.1521, -0.09, -0.0099, 0.0707, 0.0707, 0.0, 0.0563, 0.1602, 0.1578, 0.1619, 0.1281, 0.1042, 0.067, 0.154, 0.1577, 0.159, 0.0837, 0.1312, 0.0966, 0.1416, 0.1132, 0.0247, 0.1114, 0.1684, 0.23, 0.264, 0.2878, 0.2227, 0.1558, 0.1703, 0.3636, 0.285, 0.3342, 0.2972, 0.2569, 0.1459, 0.1525, 0.124, 0.2489, 0.2261, 0.2261, 0.1794, 0.1684, 0.1144, 0.1071, 0.1071, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2041038963859931593", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2026-04-06T06:23:04+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Companies like $LITE or $AAOI that I've longed last year cover multiple cycles", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long photonics pure-plays TSEM, AEHR, SIVE, SOI, Win Semi, LITE, AAOI into H2 2026 CPO/SiPH supercycle re-rating on $110B+ TAM.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Please stop trying to model 2025-2026 revenue for future CPO/SiPH ramp… \n\nWhen I looked at $TSEM back at ~$115 last month (round to $200 now).\n\nThe forward p/e compressed to rates like ~16-18 (down to 10-12 in growth scenarios)\n\nSame applies to $AEHR / $SIVE / $SOI /Win Semi and other names. \n\nThis is H1 2026. Volume ramp hits H2 2026.\n\nWe’re at the very beginning of a massive supercycle and these are my more pure play exposure picks for the next architectural changes in photonics:\n\nFor testing, cw lasers, substrates, and foundries in next paradigm shift in the photonics supercycle. \n\nCompanies like $LITE or $AAOI that I’ve longed last year cover multiple cycles.\n\nHowever, the most returns comes from anticipating what benefits the most Mc wise relative to future revenue/TAM growth (not priced into current earnings).\n\nNot looking back at 2 year historical returns to calculate fair value. \n\nAnd when we’re looking at massive new photonics TAM ($110B+ bull case from lightcounting), largely driven from architecture that use CW lasers as an example or struggle with yields.\n\nA lot of these companies are likely going to re-rate hard. \n\nEspecially when you look at the start of the next architectural changes, happening around H2 2026.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03294549452465778, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03294549452465778, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.028240934677034035, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.028240934677034035, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004704559847623746, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004704559847623746, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0948348323017143, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0948348323017143, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09439475819586551, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09439475819586551, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004400741058487867, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0004400741058487867, "ret_p1w": 0.42568642896469, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.42568642896469, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.3844529395012275, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.3844529395012275, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0412334894634625, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0412334894634625, "ret_p1m": 0.6805026752229495, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6805026752229495, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.582100678688892, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.582100678688892, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09840199653405746, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09840199653405746, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6458, -0.6928, -0.6832, -0.6862, -0.6819, -0.6792, -0.6557, -0.6553, -0.6553, -0.6346, -0.6428, -0.645, -0.6676, -0.6753, -0.652, -0.5791, -0.6317, -0.5941, -0.589, -0.5708, -0.6287, -0.6451, -0.5877, -0.5541, -0.5487, -0.5496, -0.5906, -0.5862, -0.5862, -0.5913, -0.5957, -0.5628, -0.519, -0.4978, -0.4763, -0.4591, -0.5003, -0.2161, -0.046, -0.1127, -0.072, -0.0587, -0.1105, 0.0295, 0.1214, 0.182, -0.0117, -0.099, -0.1245, -0.1966, -0.1379, -0.0515, -0.1853, -0.1088, 0.06, 0.0648, -0.0933, -0.086, -0.2072, -0.2128, -0.1964, -0.0329, -0.0329, 0.0, 0.0948, 0.235, 0.2406, 0.4016, 0.4257, 0.3624, 0.3267, 0.4641, 0.4837, 0.5214, 0.4013, 0.3906, 0.2818, 0.5093, 0.3567, 0.2774, 0.4223, 0.5296, 0.7079, 0.6099, 0.6805, 0.6616, 0.4663, 0.3861, 0.7208, 0.7523, 1.0763, 0.8946, 0.7716, 0.6125, 0.5945, 0.538, 0.6455, 0.6891, 0.6891, 0.653, 0.6736, 0.573, 0.4743, 0.4743, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2042495595991220355", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-10T06:51:12+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI probably highest ROI vs $LITE / $COHR on transceiver side", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Favors AAOI over LITE/COHR on transceivers and Win Semiconductor over TSEM on foundry side for highest ROI over 6 months.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@kishwarAI Lower the marketcap, higher the growth usually if they have similar customer profiles. \n\n$AAOI probably highest ROI vs $LITE / $COHR on transceiver side. \n\nThen Win probably outperforms $TSEM on the foundry side.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @aleabitoreddit will foundries like Win/Tower price grow faster than LITE/COHR in terms of price/MC? How do you think about this? I want to think through which investment will have a higher ROI in the next 6 months.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "kishwarAI", "ret_m1d": -0.11487385358979718, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11487385358979718, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11553607234781726, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.11553607234781726, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0006622187580200833, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0006622187580200833, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01719785015221298, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01719785015221298, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007425452367861185, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.007425452367861185, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009772397784351794, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009772397784351794, "ret_p1w": 0.05856568199185341, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05856568199185341, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.013412189978137867, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.013412189978137867, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.045153492013715546, "bench_c_p1w": 0.045153492013715546, "ret_p1m": 0.22775555380384582, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.22775555380384582, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1396856690642243, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1396856690642243, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08806988473962152, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08806988473962152, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.773, -0.7711, -0.7543, -0.7541, -0.7541, -0.7393, -0.7452, -0.7467, -0.7628, -0.7683, -0.7517, -0.6997, -0.7373, -0.7104, -0.7068, -0.6938, -0.7351, -0.7468, -0.7058, -0.6819, -0.678, -0.6786, -0.7079, -0.7048, -0.7048, -0.7084, -0.7116, -0.688, -0.6568, -0.6417, -0.6264, -0.6141, -0.6435, -0.4407, -0.3193, -0.3669, -0.3379, -0.3284, -0.3653, -0.2655, -0.1999, -0.1566, -0.2949, -0.3572, -0.3754, -0.4268, -0.3849, -0.3232, -0.4187, -0.3641, -0.2437, -0.2403, -0.3531, -0.3479, -0.4343, -0.4383, -0.4266, -0.31, -0.31, -0.2865, -0.2189, -0.1189, -0.1149, 0.0, 0.0172, -0.028, -0.0535, 0.0446, 0.0586, 0.0855, -0.0002, -0.0078, -0.0855, 0.0768, -0.032, -0.0886, 0.0148, 0.0914, 0.2185, 0.1486, 0.199, 0.1855, 0.0461, -0.011, 0.2278, 0.2502, 0.4814, 0.3517, 0.264, 0.1505, 0.1376, 0.0973, 0.174, 0.2051, 0.2051, 0.1794, 0.1941, 0.1223, 0.0519, 0.0519, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2042495595991220355", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-10T06:51:12+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI probably highest ROI vs $LITE / $COHR on transceiver side", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Favors AAOI over LITE/COHR on transceivers and Win Semiconductor over TSEM on foundry side for highest ROI over 6 months.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@kishwarAI Lower the marketcap, higher the growth usually if they have similar customer profiles. \n\n$AAOI probably highest ROI vs $LITE / $COHR on transceiver side. \n\nThen Win probably outperforms $TSEM on the foundry side.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @aleabitoreddit will foundries like Win/Tower price grow faster than LITE/COHR in terms of price/MC? How do you think about this? I want to think through which investment will have a higher ROI in the next 6 months.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "kishwarAI", "ret_m1d": -0.003532801686483067, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.003532801686483067, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00419502044450315, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00419502044450315, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0006622187580200833, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0006622187580200833, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.029109545829186012, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.029109545829186012, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.038881943613537806, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.038881943613537806, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009772397784351794, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009772397784351794, "ret_p1w": -0.00359966623502872, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.00359966623502872, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.048753158248744266, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.048753158248744266, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.045153492013715546, "bench_c_p1w": 0.045153492013715546, "ret_p1m": 0.1736208404622075, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1736208404622075, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08555095572258598, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08555095572258598, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08806988473962152, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08806988473962152, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5973, -0.6304, -0.6174, -0.6386, -0.6386, -0.6023, -0.5961, -0.6049, -0.622, -0.6295, -0.5869, -0.5709, -0.5749, -0.5633, -0.5281, -0.5151, -0.4812, -0.4378, -0.3848, -0.3568, -0.3746, -0.3602, -0.3498, -0.3729, -0.3729, -0.3309, -0.3377, -0.2916, -0.2558, -0.248, -0.233, -0.1938, -0.2455, -0.2189, -0.1271, -0.2261, -0.2413, -0.2747, -0.3776, -0.286, -0.2511, -0.2511, -0.3134, -0.3063, -0.3036, -0.2761, -0.219, -0.1395, -0.2128, -0.1876, -0.1062, -0.1339, -0.2324, -0.2168, -0.2703, -0.2168, -0.1478, -0.0785, -0.0785, -0.1393, -0.0909, -0.0014, -0.0035, 0.0, -0.0291, -0.0496, -0.0817, -0.0068, -0.0036, -0.0024, -0.0673, -0.0264, -0.0562, -0.0175, -0.0419, -0.1181, -0.0434, 0.0056, 0.0587, 0.0879, 0.1084, 0.0524, -0.0053, 0.0072, 0.1736, 0.106, 0.1483, 0.1165, 0.0818, -0.0137, -0.008, -0.0326, 0.0749, 0.0553, 0.0553, 0.0151, 0.0056, -0.0409, -0.0472, -0.0472, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2042495595991220355", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-04-10T06:51:12+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI probably highest ROI vs $LITE / $COHR on transceiver side", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Favors AAOI over LITE/COHR on transceivers and Win Semiconductor over TSEM on foundry side for highest ROI over 6 months.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@kishwarAI Lower the marketcap, higher the growth usually if they have similar customer profiles. \n\n$AAOI probably highest ROI vs $LITE / $COHR on transceiver side. \n\nThen Win probably outperforms $TSEM on the foundry side.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @aleabitoreddit will foundries like Win/Tower price grow faster than LITE/COHR in terms of price/MC? How do you think about this? I want to think through which investment will have a higher ROI in the next 6 months.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "kishwarAI", "ret_m1d": -0.07586987503175813, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07586987503175813, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07653209378977821, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07653209378977821, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0006622187580200833, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0006622187580200833, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0013983501651422259, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0013983501651422259, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008374047619209568, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008374047619209568, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009772397784351794, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009772397784351794, "ret_p1w": 0.12201622443470539, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12201622443470539, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07686273242098984, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07686273242098984, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.045153492013715546, "bench_c_p1w": 0.045153492013715546, "ret_p1m": 0.23476423558180892, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.23476423558180892, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1466943508421874, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1466943508421874, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08806988473962152, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08806988473962152, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.382, -0.4013, -0.3627, -0.3787, -0.3787, -0.3709, -0.3448, -0.3407, -0.3595, -0.3569, -0.3041, -0.2808, -0.298, -0.31, -0.2766, -0.2547, -0.3138, -0.3195, -0.2596, -0.2115, -0.2573, -0.2726, -0.2972, -0.2936, -0.2936, -0.2847, -0.2719, -0.244, -0.1929, -0.1906, -0.1712, -0.1288, -0.1865, -0.158, -0.0279, -0.0868, -0.1061, -0.1744, -0.2334, -0.1794, -0.1524, -0.1824, -0.2154, -0.2105, -0.1955, -0.2007, -0.1635, -0.1038, -0.1752, -0.1706, -0.1144, -0.1153, -0.2088, -0.2082, -0.2857, -0.2253, -0.1941, -0.1605, -0.1605, -0.1765, -0.1704, -0.0836, -0.0759, 0.0, 0.0014, 0.0193, 0.0023, 0.0667, 0.122, 0.1301, 0.118, 0.1397, 0.0981, 0.093, 0.0456, -0.0115, -0.0084, 0.0397, 0.0715, 0.0728, 0.0918, 0.1209, 0.038, 0.0903, 0.2348, 0.2163, 0.3129, 0.3169, 0.2437, 0.1799, 0.15, 0.1659, 0.2293, 0.2279, 0.2279, 0.2402, 0.2364, 0.2259, 0.1755, 0.1755, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2042495595991220355", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-04-10T06:51:12+00:00", "symbol": "WIN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Win probably outperforms $TSEM on the foundry side", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Favors AAOI over LITE/COHR on transceivers and Win Semiconductor over TSEM on foundry side for highest ROI over 6 months.", "resolved_tickers": ["3105.TWO"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Win Semiconductors foundry Taiwan; retrying .TWO suffix", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TWO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@kishwarAI Lower the marketcap, higher the growth usually if they have similar customer profiles. \n\n$AAOI probably highest ROI vs $LITE / $COHR on transceiver side. \n\nThen Win probably outperforms $TSEM on the foundry side.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @aleabitoreddit will foundries like Win/Tower price grow faster than LITE/COHR in terms of price/MC? How do you think about this? I want to think through which investment will have a higher ROI in the next 6 months.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "kishwarAI", "ret_m1d": -0.06034482758620685, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06034482758620685, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.061007046344226934, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05345635913703439, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0006622187580200833, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006888468449172458, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.012931034482758674, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.012931034482758674, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.022703432267110468, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.030087255602318175, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009772397784351794, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0171562211195595, "ret_p1w": 0.16163793103448265, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16163793103448265, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1164844390207671, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08001590633959887, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.045153492013715546, "bench_c_p1w": 0.08162202469488378, "ret_p1m": 0.13362068965517238, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13362068965517238, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04555080491555086, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12905150222399486, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08806988473962152, "bench_c_p1m": 0.26267219187916724, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5474, -0.5356, -0.5216, -0.5291, -0.5409, -0.5108, -0.5216, -0.4946, -0.5032, -0.4957, -0.4806, -0.444, -0.472, -0.4946, -0.5226, -0.4903, -0.458, -0.4828, -0.5269, -0.4903, -0.4494, -0.4698, -0.4698, -0.4698, -0.4698, -0.4698, -0.4698, -0.4698, -0.4698, -0.417, -0.3588, -0.306, -0.2716, -0.2716, -0.2856, -0.2974, -0.3675, -0.3534, -0.3567, -0.4203, -0.4138, -0.3556, -0.3394, -0.3254, -0.3459, -0.3675, -0.305, -0.236, -0.2586, -0.3211, -0.3244, -0.2575, -0.2274, -0.1756, -0.1584, -0.2425, -0.1886, -0.1897, -0.1897, -0.1897, -0.1228, -0.0517, -0.0603, 0.0, -0.0129, -0.0151, -0.0377, 0.0571, 0.1616, 0.2759, 0.3297, 0.2931, 0.2069, 0.1789, 0.0614, 0.0765, 0.0819, 0.1552, 0.1552, 0.1293, 0.1961, 0.0776, 0.0776, 0.0614, 0.1336, 0.1034, 0.0679, 0.042, -0.0119, -0.0291, -0.0162, -0.0377, 0.0409, 0.1444, 0.1703, 0.2112, 0.2069, 0.1379, 0.1358, 0.1681, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2042495595991220355", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-04-10T06:51:12+00:00", "symbol": "TSEM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Win probably outperforms $TSEM on the foundry side", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Favors AAOI over LITE/COHR on transceivers and Win Semiconductor over TSEM on foundry side for highest ROI over 6 months.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSEM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@kishwarAI Lower the marketcap, higher the growth usually if they have similar customer profiles. \n\n$AAOI probably highest ROI vs $LITE / $COHR on transceiver side. \n\nThen Win probably outperforms $TSEM on the foundry side.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @aleabitoreddit will foundries like Win/Tower price grow faster than LITE/COHR in terms of price/MC? How do you think about this? I want to think through which investment will have a higher ROI in the next 6 months.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "kishwarAI", "ret_m1d": 0.001129775482417994, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.001129775482417994, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00046755672439791063, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00046755672439791063, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0006622187580200833, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0006622187580200833, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.028881600218969794, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.028881600218969794, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.019109202434618, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.019109202434618, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009772397784351794, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009772397784351794, "ret_p1w": 0.11228449836214782, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11228449836214782, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06713100634843228, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06713100634843228, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.045153492013715546, "bench_c_p1w": 0.045153492013715546, "ret_p1m": 0.1242202907796559, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.1242202907796559, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.03615040604003439, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03615040604003439, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08806988473962152, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08806988473962152, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3871, -0.3949, -0.3909, -0.3623, -0.3623, -0.3664, -0.3447, -0.3616, -0.3682, -0.376, -0.3486, -0.3176, -0.3383, -0.3382, -0.3276, -0.33, -0.4043, -0.366, -0.3171, -0.2754, -0.3292, -0.3397, -0.3439, -0.3677, -0.3677, -0.3724, -0.3696, -0.3818, -0.369, -0.3741, -0.3811, -0.3813, -0.3917, -0.3867, -0.3193, -0.3834, -0.3934, -0.4079, -0.4568, -0.4329, -0.4259, -0.4133, -0.4178, -0.3874, -0.3199, -0.3229, -0.3027, -0.1842, -0.1963, -0.1545, -0.1118, -0.0729, -0.142, -0.1556, -0.2211, -0.1381, -0.0811, -0.0284, -0.0284, -0.0658, -0.0625, 0.0004, 0.0011, 0.0, 0.0289, 0.0517, 0.0591, 0.0548, 0.1123, 0.1027, 0.0645, 0.0123, -0.0114, -0.015, -0.0013, -0.0493, -0.0217, 0.0858, 0.0708, 0.0563, 0.1078, 0.0652, 0.0315, 0.0365, 0.1242, 0.0847, 0.33, 0.3787, 0.3457, 0.2185, 0.2342, 0.2991, 0.3705, 0.3922, 0.3922, 0.4172, 0.3645, 0.3532, 0.2536, 0.2536, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2057148026494570542", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-20T17:14:44+00:00", "symbol": "RDDT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I do have $RDDT! They're one of the few extremely profitable growth companies out there.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds RDDT; bullish on its rare combination of profitability and growth, despite price not yet reflecting fundamentals.", "resolved_tickers": ["RDDT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@XtineFang I do have $RDDT! They’re one of the few extremely profitable growth companies out there.\n\nJust sadly hasn’t really reflected in market price so far.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit do u own any RDDT Serenity?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "XtineFang", "ret_m1d": 0.055616164082732844, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.055616164082732844, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06576121572691496, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0577694802178379, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010145051644182113, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0021533161351050545, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02262808095561275, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02262808095561275, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02064498388562952, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02262808095561275, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0019830970699832307, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.05091331214935302, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05091331214935302, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03848832466516239, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.049535158280168856, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01242498748419063, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0013781538691841622, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0235, -0.029, -0.0316, 0.0201, 0.0309, -0.0062, 0.0027, -0.007, 0.0039, -0.0162, -0.05, -0.0536, -0.0858, -0.0654, -0.0986, -0.0979, -0.0458, -0.0163, -0.0268, -0.0586, -0.0468, -0.0393, -0.0722, -0.0483, -0.1326, -0.1696, -0.154, -0.0823, -0.0718, -0.0731, -0.0731, -0.0571, -0.038, -0.0117, -0.0568, -0.0476, 0.0179, 0.0533, 0.0802, 0.1072, 0.1164, 0.1333, 0.0688, 0.1199, 0.0425, 0.0557, 0.0919, 0.0082, 0.007, 0.0035, 0.1347, 0.1523, 0.1698, 0.1352, 0.1174, 0.0619, 0.0872, 0.0384, 0.0504, 0.0654, 0.078, 0.0844, 0.0556, 0.0, 0.0226, -0.0344, -0.0344, -0.0142, 0.0509, 0.1429, 0.1996, 0.1996, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2049916817519587600", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-30T18:20:29+00:00", "symbol": "SIVEF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If you're curious why $SIVEF is up even more today. $SIVE, as a CHIPS act recipient: Now likely powers the Golden Dome.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish SIVEF/SIVE as CHIPS Act recipient powering Golden Dome via YSS/York Space defense chain; also implicitly long YSS as national defense prime contractor.", "resolved_tickers": ["SIVEF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you’re curious why $SIVEF is up even more today. \n\n$SIVE, as a CHIPS act recipient:\n\nNow likely powers the Golden Dome.\n\nAs the upstream semi supplier since Sivers’ lead customer ALLSPACE got acquired by $YSS.\n\nYork happens to be a national defense prime contractor with links to the Space Force, Space Development Agency, DoD, and Golden Dome.\n\nSo Sivers, a mini Swedish company, basically got a backdoor to powering the US space buildout.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$SIVE +200% something in only 2.5 weeks\n\nall credit to @aleabitoreddit, made me more than I made in crypto past 5 months https://t.co/EP4ANATQis", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.14107889646431193, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.14107889646431193, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.13122728886230672, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12698824555012467, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009851607602005208, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014090650914187264, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0207468674421436, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0207468674421436, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01797775361377263, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014629078335639756, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027691138283709726, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006117789106503846, "ret_p1w": 0.05394185534957363, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05394185534957363, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.035963890208729365, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01193273867635991, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017977965140844265, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06587459402593354, "ret_p1m": 0.5207468179777099, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5207468179777099, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4681210857294875, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3387725694125425, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05262573224822242, "bench_c_p1m": 0.18197424856516742, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, -0.7168, -0.6929, -0.7465, -0.7842, -0.7967, -0.7656, -0.7656, -0.7672, -0.7672, -0.778, -0.7832, -0.7386, -0.7448, -0.7075, -0.5851, -0.6307, -0.5062, -0.4004, -0.4627, -0.2365, -0.2925, -0.2988, -0.3533, -0.2656, -0.2749, -0.2863, -0.1411, 0.0, 0.0207, 0.2158, 0.2158, 0.1432, 0.0539, -0.0031, 0.1598, 0.0, 0.2162, 0.3237, 0.2344, 0.0419, 0.0643, 0.2033, 0.3071, 0.5394, 0.5394, 0.9502, 0.749, 0.5996, 0.5207, 0.5207, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2049916817519587600", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-30T18:20:29+00:00", "symbol": "YSS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "As the upstream semi supplier since Sivers' lead customer ALLSPACE got acquired by $YSS. York happens to be a national defense prime contractor with links to the Space Force, Space Development Agency, DoD, and Golden Dome.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish SIVEF/SIVE as CHIPS Act recipient powering Golden Dome via YSS/York Space defense chain; also implicitly long YSS as national defense prime contractor.", "resolved_tickers": ["YSS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you’re curious why $SIVEF is up even more today. \n\n$SIVE, as a CHIPS act recipient:\n\nNow likely powers the Golden Dome.\n\nAs the upstream semi supplier since Sivers’ lead customer ALLSPACE got acquired by $YSS.\n\nYork happens to be a national defense prime contractor with links to the Space Force, Space Development Agency, DoD, and Golden Dome.\n\nSo Sivers, a mini Swedish company, basically got a backdoor to powering the US space buildout.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$SIVE +200% something in only 2.5 weeks\n\nall credit to @aleabitoreddit, made me more than I made in crypto past 5 months https://t.co/EP4ANATQis", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.11821471937068995, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11821471937068995, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.10836311176868474, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0915793137887072, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009851607602005208, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02663540558198274, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03588662664455611, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03588662664455611, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03865574047292708, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02660724126137115, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027691138283709726, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009279385383184957, "ret_p1w": 0.006634536239911837, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.006634536239911837, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.011343428900932429, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.009956805829620996, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017977965140844265, "bench_c_p1w": -0.003322269589709159, "ret_p1m": -0.015681557905804833, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.015681557905804833, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06830729015402726, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.007375927632955026, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05262573224822242, "bench_c_p1m": -0.008305630272849807, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1188, -0.2002, -0.2491, -0.3025, -0.2328, -0.2096, -0.1728, -0.174, -0.2627, -0.2174, -0.2174, -0.1556, -0.1568, -0.1384, -0.2186, -0.1797, -0.1571, -0.2021, -0.2108, -0.228, -0.2159, -0.2684, -0.301, -0.3127, -0.3546, -0.3471, -0.3378, -0.3613, -0.3975, -0.4026, -0.4023, -0.4367, -0.4511, -0.4668, -0.3646, -0.3004, -0.3549, -0.3218, -0.361, -0.3468, -0.3655, -0.3314, -0.2883, -0.1547, -0.1547, -0.1526, -0.1689, -0.1571, 0.0859, 0.0048, 0.0214, 0.0392, 0.1966, 0.1553, 0.0772, 0.1601, 0.247, 0.3103, 0.0769, -0.0633, -0.0175, -0.0371, -0.1182, 0.0, -0.0359, -0.0332, -0.0136, 0.1119, 0.0066, 0.0492, 0.082, -0.0359, -0.1484, -0.1273, -0.2756, -0.218, -0.2256, -0.2204, -0.142, -0.1245, -0.1245, 0.0006, 0.0588, -0.0353, -0.0157, -0.0157, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2040470811900043317", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-04T16:45:26+00:00", "symbol": "CRCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm more bullish on stablecoin issuers like $CRCL than i am on individual networks like $ETH", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefers stablecoin issuer Circle over ETH; relatively bearish on individual L1 networks vs stablecoin infrastructure plays.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@rockwell0790 USDC and others are blockchain agnostic so they can settle on Solana or their own EVM compatible network that pays fees in stablecoins.\n\nI’m more bullish on stablecoin issuers like $CRCL than i am on individual networks like $ETH.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit You are bullish eth right?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "rockwell0790", "ret_m1d": -0.020510031018476593, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.020510031018476593, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015805471170852847, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.013493144865238449, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004704559847623746, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007016886153238144, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02137820063030471, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02137820063030471, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.020938126524455924, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02137820063030471, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004400741058487867, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.07086270939955464, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07086270939955464, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.029629219936092133, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.035177089087194524, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0412334894634625, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03568562031236011, "ret_p1m": 0.2391752637067266, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2391752637067266, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14077326717266914, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.20489300532951615, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09840199653405746, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03428225837721044, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1254, -0.1124, -0.1004, -0.1004, -0.0943, -0.0798, -0.1687, -0.1469, -0.1469, -0.2111, -0.2117, -0.2257, -0.2259, -0.2306, -0.2408, -0.2095, -0.267, -0.3062, -0.3613, -0.3906, -0.4026, -0.4549, -0.381, -0.3478, -0.3516, -0.3721, -0.3855, -0.3485, -0.3485, -0.3313, -0.3147, -0.3281, -0.3161, -0.3362, -0.334, -0.0978, -0.0536, -0.0945, 0.0433, 0.0812, 0.1424, 0.1475, 0.1059, 0.2137, 0.2815, 0.2242, 0.2391, 0.2521, 0.3655, 0.4358, 0.4416, 0.3926, 0.3677, 0.3743, 0.0979, 0.1271, 0.0664, 0.0164, -0.0243, 0.0354, -0.0153, -0.0205, -0.0205, 0.0, 0.0214, 0.0249, -0.0765, -0.0446, 0.0709, 0.1448, 0.1451, 0.1661, 0.1493, 0.1542, 0.042, 0.1325, 0.0853, 0.0815, 0.0357, 0.0239, 0.037, -0.0138, 0.0819, 0.2971, 0.2392, 0.3218, 0.229, 0.2335, 0.4298, 0.3418, 0.3735, 0.3443, 0.2371, 0.2088, 0.2049, 0.2113, 0.2467, 0.2276, 0.2276, 0.1304, 0.1138, 0.1746, 0.2263, 0.2263, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2040470811900043317", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-04T16:45:26+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "more bullish on stablecoin issuers like $CRCL than i am on individual networks like $ETH", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefers stablecoin issuer Circle over ETH; relatively bearish on individual L1 networks vs stablecoin infrastructure plays.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@rockwell0790 USDC and others are blockchain agnostic so they can settle on Solana or their own EVM compatible network that pays fees in stablecoins.\n\nI’m more bullish on stablecoin issuers like $CRCL than i am on individual networks like $ETH.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit You are bullish eth right?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "rockwell0790", "ret_m1d": -0.025798090228972614, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.025798090228972614, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02109353038134887, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004704559847623746, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.06359598447469827, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06359598447469827, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06315591036884949, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004400741058487867, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": 0.12475480376134929, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.12475480376134929, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08352131429788678, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0412334894634625, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": 0.12023236292668771, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12023236292668771, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.02183036639263025, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09840199653405746, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.5025, 0.4728, 0.4627, 0.4671, 0.5761, 0.5916, 0.5738, 0.5635, 0.5119, 0.3928, 0.4133, 0.3994, 0.4011, 0.3884, 0.4338, 0.4264, 0.3371, 0.2821, 0.1122, 0.0568, 0.017, -0.1357, -0.0211, -0.002, -0.0419, -0.0793, -0.0763, -0.0281, -0.0521, -0.0548, -0.073, -0.0757, -0.0658, -0.1197, -0.1209, -0.0252, -0.0384, -0.084, -0.0382, -0.0593, 0.0089, -0.0172, -0.0612, -0.0545, -0.0335, -0.0267, -0.0164, -0.0072, 0.1155, 0.0998, 0.0455, 0.0141, 0.0184, 0.0211, 0.0227, 0.0286, -0.0229, -0.0553, -0.04, -0.0014, 0.0147, -0.0242, -0.0258, 0.0, 0.0636, 0.0392, 0.0386, 0.0652, 0.1248, 0.1023, 0.1194, 0.1143, 0.1486, 0.0984, 0.1045, 0.1273, 0.1062, 0.0986, 0.0927, 0.0862, 0.0691, 0.0704, 0.0889, 0.1132, 0.1202, 0.1153, 0.087, 0.0945, 0.1099, 0.0792, 0.0711, 0.0822, 0.0548, 0.0098, 0.001, 0.0091, 0.0112, -0.0205, 0.0017, -0.0175, -0.0406, -0.0475, -0.0454, -0.0469, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2041637976002945431", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-07T22:03:19+00:00", "symbol": "AEHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "シリコンフォトニクス分野などの顧客がテスト段階から大量発注（量産）の段階へと移行すれば、それは同社に数年間にわたる収益拡大をもたらすはずです", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish AEHR: hyperscaler customers moving from test to mass production will drive multi-year revenue growth; current financials less important than customer profile and scale-up metrics.", "resolved_tickers": ["AEHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "ja", "tweet_text": "もし、シリコンフォトニクス分野などの顧客がテスト段階から大量発注（量産）の段階へと移行すれば、それは同社に数年間にわたる収益拡大をもたらすはずです。\n\n$AEHR はまだ初期段階にあり、現在多くのハイパースケーラーが同社のテストを行っているところですので、あなたの要約は的を射ています。現在の財務状況は、顧客プロファイル（顧客層）や量産拡大の指標ほど重要ではないと私は考えています。", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "$AEHR 決算について：\nセレ様「今回は重要でない。問題は量産体制できるか否か」\n\n・現在の受注残（バックログ）：四半期末時点で3,870万ドル（実質ベースでは5,090万ドル）\n・FY26後半（H2）ガイダンス：後半の売上は2,500万〜3,000万ドルを見込むと再確認\n\n決算に対する考え方：", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "beauty_oe", "ret_m1d": 0.038009947212181316, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.038009947212181316, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.038449827738000986, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.047812355239151505, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0004398805258196692, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009802408026970189, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.25691541984899713, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.25691541984899713, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.23144586521066945, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.19935097903230425, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.025469554638327674, "bench_c_p1d": 0.057564440816692874, "ret_p1w": 0.4801989503167754, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.4801989503167754, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.4267417541824652, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.34991636242305835, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.053457196134310214, "bench_c_p1w": 0.13028258789371705, "ret_p1m": 0.9249751911827582, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.9249751911827582, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.8117959039910496, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5502314598589402, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.11317928719170856, "bench_c_p1m": 0.374743731323818, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5483, -0.4762, -0.4756, -0.4665, -0.4832, -0.472, -0.4267, -0.4267, -0.4217, -0.4189, -0.3849, -0.442, -0.4671, -0.4478, -0.4432, -0.4651, -0.4898, -0.4814, -0.4589, -0.5258, -0.5423, -0.4748, -0.4509, -0.4661, -0.3264, -0.445, -0.4261, -0.4261, -0.433, -0.4227, -0.3976, -0.3313, -0.317, -0.2193, -0.1745, -0.208, -0.2551, -0.1238, -0.1713, -0.151, -0.1942, -0.2913, -0.1865, -0.165, -0.1552, -0.2507, -0.2901, -0.2541, -0.2619, -0.2774, -0.2486, -0.313, -0.2607, -0.2201, -0.2233, -0.312, -0.3528, -0.4006, -0.2621, -0.2119, -0.118, -0.118, 0.038, 0.0, 0.2569, 0.3703, 0.4016, 0.4261, 0.4802, 0.4571, 0.609, 0.6689, 0.794, 0.8651, 0.9375, 0.9007, 0.9087, 0.7608, 0.6404, 0.6281, 0.8022, 0.8521, 0.7037, 0.8147, 0.925, 0.8161, 0.9349, 1.0808, 0.9248, 1.0547, 1.1162, 0.9801, 0.6631, 0.6147, 0.6386, 0.8169, 0.8909, 0.8909, 1.1875, 1.0661, 0.9899, 0.8374, 0.8374, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2048822871527682152", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-27T17:53:32+00:00", "symbol": "IQE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IQE was a structural chokepoint in photonics the supply chain back at $100M MC", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish IQE as photonics epiwafer chokepoint; MTSI's $45M strategic investment validates prior thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["IQE.L"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "IQE plc LSE-listed epiwafer supplier", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just now, $MTSI looking to invest $45 Million into $IQE and sit on the board.\n\nWhat did I say anon??? Landmark was overcapacity... \n\n+ IQE was a structural chokepoint in photonics the supply chain back at $100M MC. \n\nThis deal is also to secure long term epiwafer supply. https://t.co/lS2TGFI6v6", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03643730761455255, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03643730761455255, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03471746408344545, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03679284167276231, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0017198435311071014, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00035553405820976103, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.18522269723181173, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.18522269723181173, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.18035674850366556, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.1554948537912162, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004865948728146163, "bench_c_p1d": -0.029727843440595536, "ret_p1w": -0.16700404342453545, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.16700404342453545, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.17097516486885578, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.16805093389400438, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003971121444320325, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0010468904694689307, "ret_p1m": 0.09311737514241414, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09311737514241414, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04359062654876933, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09627148242743533, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04952674859364481, "bench_c_p1m": 0.18938885756984947, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.8377, -0.8431, -0.8399, -0.8374, -0.8441, -0.8391, -0.8419, -0.8397, -0.8346, -0.7976, -0.7927, -0.7915, -0.7854, -0.7874, -0.785, -0.7883, -0.7899, -0.7879, -0.7413, -0.753, -0.6757, -0.5951, -0.6154, -0.4818, -0.4737, -0.4565, -0.5658, -0.602, -0.6138, -0.5405, -0.5081, -0.5405, -0.5294, -0.5324, -0.5628, -0.4828, -0.5374, -0.5223, -0.5243, -0.4828, -0.4028, -0.4615, -0.504, -0.5324, -0.5061, -0.4919, -0.5223, -0.5223, -0.5223, -0.4838, -0.419, -0.3927, -0.251, -0.0061, -0.0324, 0.0931, 0.1862, 0.0547, 0.1862, 0.2753, 0.2672, 0.0071, -0.0364, 0.0, -0.1852, -0.1822, -0.1245, -0.167, -0.167, 0.0121, -0.0982, -0.0759, -0.0466, 0.1032, -0.0455, 0.0223, 0.004, -0.0688, -0.2085, -0.3522, -0.2399, -0.1933, -0.0739, -0.0739, 0.0931, 0.0263, -0.0354, -0.0385, -0.0385, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2048822871527682152", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-27T17:53:32+00:00", "symbol": "MTSI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$MTSI looking to invest $45 Million into $IQE and sit on the board", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish IQE as photonics epiwafer chokepoint; MTSI's $45M strategic investment validates prior thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["MTSI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just now, $MTSI looking to invest $45 Million into $IQE and sit on the board.\n\nWhat did I say anon??? Landmark was overcapacity... \n\n+ IQE was a structural chokepoint in photonics the supply chain back at $100M MC. \n\nThis deal is also to secure long term epiwafer supply. https://t.co/lS2TGFI6v6", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.029344446519430134, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.029344446519430134, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.031064290050537235, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.031064290050537235, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0017198435311071014, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0017198435311071014, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04949190154957739, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04949190154957739, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.044625952821431225, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.044625952821431225, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004865948728146163, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004865948728146163, "ret_p1w": 0.04394502817065993, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04394502817065993, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0399739067263396, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0399739067263396, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003971121444320325, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003971121444320325, "ret_p1m": 0.4660749681380498, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4660749681380498, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.416548219544405, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.416548219544405, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04952674859364481, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04952674859364481, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1903, -0.185, -0.2161, -0.1821, -0.1887, -0.2305, -0.1848, -0.1559, -0.1565, -0.175, -0.1521, -0.1448, -0.1263, -0.1263, -0.1211, -0.1169, -0.132, -0.1283, -0.1213, -0.1115, -0.0933, -0.1157, -0.1121, -0.0748, -0.1375, -0.1447, -0.1806, -0.2574, -0.2173, -0.2106, -0.2036, -0.2272, -0.2206, -0.1951, -0.2081, -0.2167, -0.1965, -0.2164, -0.1796, -0.1511, -0.1231, -0.1823, -0.1932, -0.2503, -0.2053, -0.1792, -0.1472, -0.1472, -0.166, -0.1519, -0.1161, -0.1135, -0.0763, -0.0566, -0.0555, -0.0654, -0.0645, -0.0088, 0.0059, 0.0224, -0.0087, 0.0177, 0.0293, 0.0, -0.0495, -0.0351, 0.0078, 0.017, 0.0439, 0.0864, 0.1087, 0.2327, 0.2879, 0.3093, 0.2982, 0.3654, 0.3726, 0.3441, 0.2749, 0.2846, 0.3445, 0.3615, 0.3813, 0.3813, 0.4661, 0.4338, 0.3995, 0.3049, 0.3049, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2059974528768659756", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-28T12:26:14+00:00", "symbol": "XFAB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I genuinely think $XFAB is very compelling at $1.5B MC, despite recent volatility", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish XFAB at $1.5B MC as sole US high-volume SiC foundry with dual US/EU government critical-infrastructure status, CHIPS Act inclusion, and 2027-28 production ramp.", "resolved_tickers": ["XFAB.PA"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "X-FAB Silicon Foundries listed on Euronext Paris as XFAB.PA", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I genuinely think $XFAB is very compelling at $1.5B MC, despite recent volatility. \n\nPer NIST filings stated they were the only high volume SiC foundry in America.\n\nMaking them extremely “critical infrastructure”… Verbatim from the US Gov.\n\nAnd they’re the first comprehensive pure play foundry for SiC/GaN. \n\nSo it’s very compelling exposure as  $NVDA pushes 800 VDC and as other power semi players from $NVTS and $WOLF are all re-rating hard.\n\nFor long term photonics exposure:\n\nThey were literally listed in CHIPS Act 2 blueprints… with $NOK / $NVDA evaluations right now. \n\nAnd production ramp up in 2027/volume production H1 2028 expected.\n\nSo you have a company at $1.5B MC:\n\nCritical both on the power semis front to the US government.\n\nAnd critical to both photonics front to the EU government.  \n\nComing off of a legacy drag cycle with auto and others (similar to Soitec).\n\nI think I’d follow EU/US government signals for what’s critical infrastructure given expected dual continent subsidies…\n\nOver random media analysts trying to cause unnecessary volatility saying it’s a memestock with no fundamentals.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.05633806009374043, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05633806009374043, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06182434918362101, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06355680034760669, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0054862890898805805, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007218740253866263, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05281685263456315, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05281685263456315, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05530824535075385, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05131638685522599, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002491392716190699, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0015004657793371567, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5864, -0.6, -0.5952, -0.5998, -0.5996, -0.5935, -0.5706, -0.581, -0.581, -0.5849, -0.5803, -0.5803, -0.5776, -0.5998, -0.5995, -0.5907, -0.5842, -0.5674, -0.5732, -0.5875, -0.5887, -0.5815, -0.5711, -0.5854, -0.5854, -0.5854, -0.5893, -0.5563, -0.5641, -0.5431, -0.5502, -0.5202, -0.5202, -0.5035, -0.4626, -0.4445, -0.4362, -0.4296, -0.4151, -0.4045, -0.401, -0.4062, -0.3939, -0.4463, -0.4463, -0.4419, -0.434, -0.4089, -0.4142, -0.4018, -0.3512, -0.3702, -0.3305, -0.3165, -0.294, -0.3504, -0.3693, -0.3345, -0.3389, -0.3055, -0.2901, -0.2091, 0.0563, 0.0, -0.0528, -0.0528, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2059974528768659756", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-28T12:26:14+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "as $NVDA pushes 800 VDC", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish XFAB at $1.5B MC as sole US high-volume SiC foundry with dual US/EU government critical-infrastructure status, CHIPS Act inclusion, and 2027-28 production ramp.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I genuinely think $XFAB is very compelling at $1.5B MC, despite recent volatility. \n\nPer NIST filings stated they were the only high volume SiC foundry in America.\n\nMaking them extremely “critical infrastructure”… Verbatim from the US Gov.\n\nAnd they’re the first comprehensive pure play foundry for SiC/GaN. \n\nSo it’s very compelling exposure as  $NVDA pushes 800 VDC and as other power semi players from $NVTS and $WOLF are all re-rating hard.\n\nFor long term photonics exposure:\n\nThey were literally listed in CHIPS Act 2 blueprints… with $NOK / $NVDA evaluations right now. \n\nAnd production ramp up in 2027/volume production H1 2028 expected.\n\nSo you have a company at $1.5B MC:\n\nCritical both on the power semis front to the US government.\n\nAnd critical to both photonics front to the EU government.  \n\nComing off of a legacy drag cycle with auto and others (similar to Soitec).\n\nI think I’d follow EU/US government signals for what’s critical infrastructure given expected dual continent subsidies…\n\nOver random media analysts trying to cause unnecessary volatility saying it’s a memestock with no fundamentals.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.007701255059436973, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007701255059436973, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.002214965969556393, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.002214965969556393, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0054862890898805805, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0054862890898805805, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.014515755474219683, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014515755474219683, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01700714819041038, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01700714819041038, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002491392716190699, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002491392716190699, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1483, -0.1597, -0.1457, -0.1443, -0.1701, -0.1475, -0.1376, -0.1317, -0.1452, -0.1587, -0.1448, -0.1509, -0.158, -0.1666, -0.1939, -0.1802, -0.1823, -0.166, -0.2007, -0.2181, -0.2291, -0.186, -0.1797, -0.172, -0.172, -0.1709, -0.1687, -0.1502, -0.1416, -0.1196, -0.1164, -0.0828, -0.0718, -0.0742, -0.0587, -0.0569, -0.0671, -0.0548, -0.0682, -0.0279, 0.011, -0.005, -0.0233, -0.0685, -0.0737, -0.0736, -0.0828, -0.03, -0.0128, 0.0044, 0.0242, 0.0305, 0.054, 0.1003, 0.0517, 0.0377, 0.0297, 0.043, 0.0246, 0.005, 0.005, 0.0028, -0.0077, 0.0, -0.0145, -0.0145, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2059974528768659756", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-05-28T12:26:14+00:00", "symbol": "NVTS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "other power semi players from $NVTS and $WOLF are all re-rating hard", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish XFAB at $1.5B MC as sole US high-volume SiC foundry with dual US/EU government critical-infrastructure status, CHIPS Act inclusion, and 2027-28 production ramp.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVTS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I genuinely think $XFAB is very compelling at $1.5B MC, despite recent volatility. \n\nPer NIST filings stated they were the only high volume SiC foundry in America.\n\nMaking them extremely “critical infrastructure”… Verbatim from the US Gov.\n\nAnd they’re the first comprehensive pure play foundry for SiC/GaN. \n\nSo it’s very compelling exposure as  $NVDA pushes 800 VDC and as other power semi players from $NVTS and $WOLF are all re-rating hard.\n\nFor long term photonics exposure:\n\nThey were literally listed in CHIPS Act 2 blueprints… with $NOK / $NVDA evaluations right now. \n\nAnd production ramp up in 2027/volume production H1 2028 expected.\n\nSo you have a company at $1.5B MC:\n\nCritical both on the power semis front to the US government.\n\nAnd critical to both photonics front to the EU government.  \n\nComing off of a legacy drag cycle with auto and others (similar to Soitec).\n\nI think I’d follow EU/US government signals for what’s critical infrastructure given expected dual continent subsidies…\n\nOver random media analysts trying to cause unnecessary volatility saying it’s a memestock with no fundamentals.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01297786492158437, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01297786492158437, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01846415401146495, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01846415401146495, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0054862890898805805, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0054862890898805805, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06699403129001724, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06699403129001724, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06948542400620794, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06948542400620794, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002491392716190699, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002491392716190699, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.665, -0.6878, -0.6766, -0.6857, -0.7124, -0.7061, -0.6955, -0.6198, -0.6499, -0.6457, -0.6321, -0.6556, -0.6822, -0.6784, -0.6931, -0.678, -0.6745, -0.6675, -0.6836, -0.7096, -0.7254, -0.6924, -0.7005, -0.6913, -0.6913, -0.6901, -0.6994, -0.665, -0.6696, -0.6654, -0.6556, -0.6538, -0.6401, -0.5661, -0.5679, -0.537, -0.4623, -0.3522, -0.3508, -0.3939, -0.3581, -0.4697, -0.457, -0.4213, -0.3879, -0.4416, -0.3844, -0.4149, -0.4462, -0.3616, -0.2055, -0.3248, -0.2575, -0.2171, -0.2522, -0.3101, -0.3185, -0.1936, -0.1449, 0.026, 0.026, 0.115, 0.013, 0.0, -0.067, -0.067, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2059974528768659756", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-05-28T12:26:14+00:00", "symbol": "WOLF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "other power semi players from $NVTS and $WOLF are all re-rating hard", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish XFAB at $1.5B MC as sole US high-volume SiC foundry with dual US/EU government critical-infrastructure status, CHIPS Act inclusion, and 2027-28 production ramp.", "resolved_tickers": ["WOLF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I genuinely think $XFAB is very compelling at $1.5B MC, despite recent volatility. \n\nPer NIST filings stated they were the only high volume SiC foundry in America.\n\nMaking them extremely “critical infrastructure”… Verbatim from the US Gov.\n\nAnd they’re the first comprehensive pure play foundry for SiC/GaN. \n\nSo it’s very compelling exposure as  $NVDA pushes 800 VDC and as other power semi players from $NVTS and $WOLF are all re-rating hard.\n\nFor long term photonics exposure:\n\nThey were literally listed in CHIPS Act 2 blueprints… with $NOK / $NVDA evaluations right now. \n\nAnd production ramp up in 2027/volume production H1 2028 expected.\n\nSo you have a company at $1.5B MC:\n\nCritical both on the power semis front to the US government.\n\nAnd critical to both photonics front to the EU government.  \n\nComing off of a legacy drag cycle with auto and others (similar to Soitec).\n\nI think I’d follow EU/US government signals for what’s critical infrastructure given expected dual continent subsidies…\n\nOver random media analysts trying to cause unnecessary volatility saying it’s a memestock with no fundamentals.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0275173658147313, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0275173658147313, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.022031076724850718, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.020298625560865036, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0054862890898805805, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007218740253866263, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08870106074968154, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08870106074968154, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.09119245346587224, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.08720059497034438, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002491392716190699, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0015004657793371567, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6739, -0.6795, -0.6835, -0.7088, -0.7453, -0.727, -0.7451, -0.7202, -0.7391, -0.7433, -0.7181, -0.725, -0.742, -0.7377, -0.7491, -0.7448, -0.7437, -0.7156, -0.7414, -0.7626, -0.7725, -0.7491, -0.7471, -0.7314, -0.7314, -0.7225, -0.709, -0.6839, -0.6244, -0.643, -0.6287, -0.6464, -0.6326, -0.592, -0.6071, -0.5952, -0.6203, -0.5734, -0.5765, -0.5199, -0.5439, -0.6026, -0.606, -0.546, -0.4349, -0.4475, -0.4369, -0.3377, -0.3058, -0.2836, -0.2266, -0.1742, -0.0377, 0.0755, -0.0449, -0.0876, -0.0956, -0.0988, 0.0684, 0.0744, 0.0744, 0.1299, -0.0275, 0.0, -0.0887, -0.0887, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2059974528768659756", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-05-28T12:26:14+00:00", "symbol": "NOK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "listed in CHIPS Act 2 blueprints… with $NOK / $NVDA evaluations right now", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish XFAB at $1.5B MC as sole US high-volume SiC foundry with dual US/EU government critical-infrastructure status, CHIPS Act inclusion, and 2027-28 production ramp.", "resolved_tickers": ["NOK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I genuinely think $XFAB is very compelling at $1.5B MC, despite recent volatility. \n\nPer NIST filings stated they were the only high volume SiC foundry in America.\n\nMaking them extremely “critical infrastructure”… Verbatim from the US Gov.\n\nAnd they’re the first comprehensive pure play foundry for SiC/GaN. \n\nSo it’s very compelling exposure as  $NVDA pushes 800 VDC and as other power semi players from $NVTS and $WOLF are all re-rating hard.\n\nFor long term photonics exposure:\n\nThey were literally listed in CHIPS Act 2 blueprints… with $NOK / $NVDA evaluations right now. \n\nAnd production ramp up in 2027/volume production H1 2028 expected.\n\nSo you have a company at $1.5B MC:\n\nCritical both on the power semis front to the US government.\n\nAnd critical to both photonics front to the EU government.  \n\nComing off of a legacy drag cycle with auto and others (similar to Soitec).\n\nI think I’d follow EU/US government signals for what’s critical infrastructure given expected dual continent subsidies…\n\nOver random media analysts trying to cause unnecessary volatility saying it’s a memestock with no fundamentals.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.026178048376628515, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.026178048376628515, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.031664337466509096, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.031664337466509096, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0054862890898805805, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0054862890898805805, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.028795784559725424, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.028795784559725424, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03128717727591612, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03128717727591612, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002491392716190699, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002491392716190699, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4594, -0.4719, -0.4666, -0.4863, -0.4935, -0.4836, -0.4895, -0.483, -0.4673, -0.4607, -0.4339, -0.4404, -0.4529, -0.4568, -0.4777, -0.4725, -0.4601, -0.4496, -0.4581, -0.4777, -0.4791, -0.4738, -0.4588, -0.4228, -0.4228, -0.4182, -0.4208, -0.3822, -0.375, -0.3809, -0.3213, -0.3226, -0.3462, -0.3266, -0.3253, -0.3063, -0.3194, -0.3547, -0.324, -0.3154, -0.2958, -0.2605, -0.1846, -0.1551, -0.1296, -0.1401, -0.1217, -0.1368, -0.1918, -0.161, -0.089, -0.1381, -0.0373, -0.0537, -0.087, -0.1008, -0.1054, -0.1086, -0.072, 0.0124, 0.0124, 0.0772, 0.0262, 0.0, -0.0288, -0.0288, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2049579846171598920", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-29T20:01:29+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if they deliver becoming largest laser fab + 1.6T capacity America, could easily be a $30B+ company in a year", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Conditional long AAOI: if execution delivers on largest laser fab + 1.6T capacity, could reach $30B+ market cap within a year.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@bartlett_d26245 $AAOI depends on the earnings. Back at $60 I said it should be valued at $11-$13B, and finally hit that projection.\n\nDepends on execution now, but if they deliver becoming largest laser fab + 1.6T capacity America, could easily be a $30B+ company in a year.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Still a good time to enter  $AAOI or too high?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "bartlett_d26245", "ret_m1d": -0.10187795025632829, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10187795025632829, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.10203251523696433, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.10203251523696433, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00015456498063604052, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00015456498063604052, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07544329412521145, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07544329412521145, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06549366669800727, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06549366669800727, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009949627427204177, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009949627427204177, "ret_p1w": 0.16822607568570946, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16822607568570946, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.13695763156751162, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13695763156751162, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03126844411819785, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03126844411819785, "ret_p1m": 0.10593471339026372, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10593471339026372, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.045477762010385225, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.045477762010385225, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0604569513798785, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0604569513798785, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7147, -0.7111, -0.6982, -0.7389, -0.7505, -0.7101, -0.6865, -0.6827, -0.6833, -0.7122, -0.7091, -0.7091, -0.7127, -0.7158, -0.6926, -0.6618, -0.6469, -0.6318, -0.6197, -0.6487, -0.4489, -0.3293, -0.3762, -0.3476, -0.3382, -0.3746, -0.2762, -0.2116, -0.1689, -0.3052, -0.3666, -0.3845, -0.4351, -0.3939, -0.3331, -0.4272, -0.3734, -0.2547, -0.2514, -0.3626, -0.3574, -0.4426, -0.4465, -0.435, -0.3201, -0.3201, -0.2969, -0.2303, -0.1317, -0.1278, -0.0146, 0.0024, -0.0421, -0.0673, 0.0294, 0.0431, 0.0696, -0.0148, -0.0223, -0.0988, 0.0611, -0.0461, -0.1019, 0.0, 0.0754, 0.2007, 0.1318, 0.1815, 0.1682, 0.0309, -0.0255, 0.2098, 0.232, 0.4598, 0.332, 0.2456, 0.1337, 0.121, 0.0813, 0.1569, 0.1875, 0.1875, 0.1622, 0.1767, 0.1059, 0.0365, 0.0365, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2052184498620834237", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-07T00:31:26+00:00", "symbol": "011790.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "doesn't feel too bad going long on the SKC ecosystem? … I do have very small exposure to both", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long both SKC and HB Technologies on glass core substrate theme; small exposure, sees copper-foil drag bottoming and markets pricing in glass as next major trade.", "resolved_tickers": ["011790.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Specialty Chemicals'", "bench_c_industry": "Specialty Chemicals", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "For Glass Core Substrates, doesn't feel too bad going long on the SKC ecosystem? \n\nSKC (011790) - Is one of the Glass Core Substrate leaders with CHIPS ACT funding at ~$5.5B MC\n\nHB technologies (078150) - automated optical inspection / yields piggy backing off of SKC Absolics at ~$250M.\n\nSKC's copper foil / EV legacy drag seems to be bottoming. Their financials seem like a dumpster fire, but it's kinda priced into MC + better than US companies with $6B+ in dilution. \n\nHB seems lower risk, low p/e and yields for glass is going to be pretty important. \n\nI do have very small exposure to both. \n\nWas going to wait a bit longer but seems markets are pricing in Glass as the next possible memory/photonics trade.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.07409534750143598, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07409534750143598, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07717088257270588, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09374511971058064, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003075535071269897, "bench_c_m1d": 0.019649772209144656, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08156232050545664, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08156232050545664, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08981839350669885, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.08525879173247264, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008256073001242203, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003696471227015996, "ret_p1w": -0.16025272831705917, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.16025272831705917, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.18292962685552094, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.16550558113906666, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022676898538461776, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005252852822007492, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3452, -0.3584, -0.3699, -0.3699, -0.3785, -0.3785, -0.3785, -0.3785, -0.3521, -0.3624, -0.3665, -0.3515, -0.3469, -0.3544, -0.3498, -0.3498, -0.3946, -0.4945, -0.4302, -0.4049, -0.444, -0.4268, -0.4107, -0.4222, -0.4291, -0.4394, -0.4314, -0.4325, -0.4308, -0.4291, -0.4618, -0.4262, -0.4136, -0.4365, -0.4331, -0.4846, -0.5099, -0.4707, -0.4975, -0.4905, -0.4836, -0.4756, -0.448, -0.4555, -0.448, -0.4486, -0.444, -0.4268, -0.2993, -0.3469, -0.3745, -0.3665, -0.34, -0.359, -0.3331, -0.2837, -0.2855, -0.2935, -0.3222, -0.3222, -0.2878, -0.2878, -0.0741, 0.0, -0.0816, -0.1022, -0.1671, -0.1723, -0.1603, -0.2332, -0.216, -0.2659, -0.2941, -0.2154, -0.1838, -0.1838, -0.1246, -0.17, -0.2119, -0.1999, -0.0523, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2052184498620834237", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-07T00:31:26+00:00", "symbol": "078150.KQ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "HB seems lower risk, low p/e and yields for glass is going to be pretty important. I do have very small exposure to both", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long both SKC and HB Technologies on glass core substrate theme; small exposure, sees copper-foil drag bottoming and markets pricing in glass as next major trade.", "resolved_tickers": ["078150.KQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "For Glass Core Substrates, doesn't feel too bad going long on the SKC ecosystem? \n\nSKC (011790) - Is one of the Glass Core Substrate leaders with CHIPS ACT funding at ~$5.5B MC\n\nHB technologies (078150) - automated optical inspection / yields piggy backing off of SKC Absolics at ~$250M.\n\nSKC's copper foil / EV legacy drag seems to be bottoming. Their financials seem like a dumpster fire, but it's kinda priced into MC + better than US companies with $6B+ in dilution. \n\nHB seems lower risk, low p/e and yields for glass is going to be pretty important. \n\nI do have very small exposure to both. \n\nWas going to wait a bit longer but seems markets are pricing in Glass as the next possible memory/photonics trade.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.11258278145695366, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11258278145695366, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11565831652822356, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1304684222944813, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003075535071269897, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01788564083752764, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0662251655629138, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0662251655629138, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0579690925616716, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01727126140336943, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008256073001242203, "bench_c_p1d": 0.04895390415954437, "ret_p1w": -0.10816777041942605, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10816777041942605, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.13084466895788782, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.17896957193412855, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022676898538461776, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0708018015147025, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.511, -0.5188, -0.5254, -0.5232, -0.5276, -0.5276, -0.5276, -0.5276, -0.5221, -0.532, -0.5298, -0.5166, -0.5298, -0.5188, -0.5342, -0.5342, -0.5574, -0.6214, -0.5698, -0.543, -0.5766, -0.5475, -0.5386, -0.5408, -0.5309, -0.5364, -0.5254, -0.5077, -0.5143, -0.5155, -0.5155, -0.5077, -0.4713, -0.5044, -0.5044, -0.5364, -0.5574, -0.5155, -0.5419, -0.5287, -0.521, -0.5353, -0.4901, -0.5077, -0.4768, -0.4603, -0.4592, -0.4592, -0.4161, -0.426, -0.4106, -0.4139, -0.4172, -0.426, -0.3918, -0.3389, -0.3742, -0.3598, -0.3709, -0.3709, -0.3168, -0.3168, -0.1126, 0.0, 0.0662, 0.096, 0.0011, -0.0464, -0.1082, -0.1556, -0.1887, -0.1832, -0.2208, -0.1589, -0.096, -0.096, -0.0375, -0.1876, -0.2461, -0.2892, -0.2848, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2041653466045804743", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-07T23:04:53+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I expect the others to catch up H2", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Expects SOI CPO/siph ramp to play out; transceiver cycle laggards (AAOI, LITE peers) to catch up to re-rated names in H2.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Niatama195432 $SOI takes a bit of time for CPO/siph ramp. It's only up ~11% or so since my original thesis, but depends on entry point.\n\nLot of the current transceiver cycle players like $AAOI and $LITE have re-rated currently, but I expect the others to catch up H2.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit About Soitec (soi)?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Niatama195432", "ret_m1d": -0.08662021841444267, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08662021841444267, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.086180337888623, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.086180337888623, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0004398805258196692, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0004398805258196692, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1280176609718593, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1280176609718593, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10254810633353162, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10254810633353162, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.025469554638327674, "bench_c_p1d": 0.025469554638327674, "ret_p1w": 0.24438966464776968, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.24438966464776968, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.19093246851345946, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.19093246851345946, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.053457196134310214, "bench_c_p1w": 0.053457196134310214, "ret_p1m": 0.5176810116665402, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5176810116665402, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4045017244748317, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4045017244748317, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.11317928719170856, "bench_c_p1m": 0.11317928719170856, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7194, -0.7106, -0.7134, -0.7095, -0.707, -0.6855, -0.6851, -0.6851, -0.6663, -0.6738, -0.6757, -0.6964, -0.7034, -0.6822, -0.6155, -0.6636, -0.6293, -0.6246, -0.608, -0.6608, -0.6759, -0.6234, -0.5927, -0.5878, -0.5886, -0.6261, -0.6221, -0.6221, -0.6267, -0.6307, -0.6006, -0.5607, -0.5413, -0.5217, -0.506, -0.5436, -0.284, -0.1286, -0.1896, -0.1524, -0.1403, -0.1875, -0.0597, 0.0242, 0.0796, -0.0973, -0.1771, -0.2004, -0.2662, -0.2126, -0.1336, -0.2559, -0.186, -0.0318, -0.0275, -0.1719, -0.1652, -0.2758, -0.2809, -0.266, -0.1167, -0.1167, -0.0866, 0.0, 0.128, 0.1331, 0.2802, 0.3022, 0.2444, 0.2117, 0.3373, 0.3552, 0.3896, 0.2799, 0.2701, 0.1708, 0.3785, 0.2392, 0.1668, 0.2991, 0.3971, 0.5599, 0.4704, 0.5349, 0.5177, 0.3393, 0.2661, 0.5717, 0.6005, 0.8965, 0.7304, 0.6182, 0.4728, 0.4564, 0.4048, 0.503, 0.5428, 0.5428, 0.5099, 0.5286, 0.4368, 0.3466, 0.3466, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2041653466045804743", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-04-07T23:04:53+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I expect the others to catch up H2", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Expects SOI CPO/siph ramp to play out; transceiver cycle laggards (AAOI, LITE peers) to catch up to re-rated names in H2.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Niatama195432 $SOI takes a bit of time for CPO/siph ramp. It's only up ~11% or so since my original thesis, but depends on entry point.\n\nLot of the current transceiver cycle players like $AAOI and $LITE have re-rated currently, but I expect the others to catch up H2.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit About Soitec (soi)?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Niatama195432", "ret_m1d": -0.05328834900781487, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05328834900781487, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0528484684819952, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0528484684819952, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0004398805258196692, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0004398805258196692, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09840026911584432, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09840026911584432, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07293071447751664, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07293071447751664, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.025469554638327674, "bench_c_p1d": 0.025469554638327674, "ret_p1w": 0.045406041100023, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.045406041100023, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.008051155034287216, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.008051155034287216, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.053457196134310214, "bench_c_p1w": 0.053457196134310214, "ret_p1m": 0.15756056303631638, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.15756056303631638, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.044381275844607826, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.044381275844607826, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.11317928719170856, "bench_c_p1m": 0.11317928719170856, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5731, -0.5692, -0.5834, -0.5571, -0.5935, -0.5792, -0.6025, -0.6025, -0.5626, -0.5557, -0.5654, -0.5842, -0.5925, -0.5456, -0.528, -0.5324, -0.5197, -0.4809, -0.4666, -0.4293, -0.3816, -0.3233, -0.2925, -0.3121, -0.2962, -0.2848, -0.3102, -0.3102, -0.264, -0.2715, -0.2208, -0.1814, -0.1729, -0.1563, -0.1132, -0.1701, -0.1408, -0.0398, -0.1487, -0.1654, -0.2022, -0.3154, -0.2146, -0.1762, -0.1762, -0.2448, -0.2369, -0.234, -0.2037, -0.1409, -0.0535, -0.1341, -0.1064, -0.0169, -0.0473, -0.1556, -0.1385, -0.1973, -0.1385, -0.0626, 0.0136, 0.0136, -0.0533, 0.0, 0.0984, 0.0961, 0.1, 0.0679, 0.0454, 0.0101, 0.0925, 0.096, 0.0973, 0.026, 0.0709, 0.0382, 0.0808, 0.0539, -0.0299, 0.0522, 0.1061, 0.1645, 0.1967, 0.2192, 0.1576, 0.0942, 0.1079, 0.2909, 0.2165, 0.2631, 0.2281, 0.1899, 0.0849, 0.0911, 0.0641, 0.1823, 0.1608, 0.1608, 0.1165, 0.1061, 0.055, 0.0481, 0.0481, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2051033642416361642", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-03T20:18:21+00:00", "symbol": "MSSCorps", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "another confirmation why I'm so incredibly bullish on CPO names like... MSSCorps (yields)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Strongly bullish on CPO ecosystem names (SIVE, MSSCorps, Shunsin) on Goldman's projected 9x optical networking TAM expansion and 142% CPO CAGR 2026-2030.", "resolved_tickers": ["6830.TW"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "MSSCorps is MSSCorp 6830.TW per tweet context", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Goldman Sachs Projections on Optical Networking.\n\nAggregate TAM would increase 9x:\n\nFrom $15B to $154B. CPO contributes $91B.\n\nWhat the actual?\n\nYep... And another confirmation why I'm so incredibly bullish on CPO names like $SIVE (laser), MSSCorps (yields), or Shunsin (packaging). \n\nThis is frontrunning the next supercycle. I don't think people realize how wild these projections are yet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Just in case you’re wondering why I’m so bullish on CPO.\n\nLike $SIVE (Lasers), Shunsin (Packaging), MSSCorps (Yields), Win Semi / $TSEM (Foundry).\n\n“The CPO market is projected to grow sharply by a 142% CAGR from 2026 to 2030 (excl. ELS)”\n\n“The scale-up CPO segment is projected https://t.co/vbxcqARa25", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08108108108108103, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08108108108108103, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08475793044603519, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08705988636178585, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00367684936495416, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005978805280704824, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.054054054054053946, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.054054054054053946, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.046031868169061685, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.022680124757113118, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008022185884992261, "bench_c_p1d": 0.03137392929694083, "ret_p1w": -0.18486486486486486, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.18486486486486486, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2145162314722654, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.32204197538698287, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02965136660740053, "bench_c_p1w": 0.137177110522118, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7766, -0.7544, -0.7787, -0.7566, -0.7604, -0.7641, -0.7641, -0.7641, -0.7641, -0.7641, -0.7641, -0.7641, -0.7641, -0.7555, -0.7453, -0.7199, -0.6924, -0.6924, -0.6616, -0.6648, -0.6449, -0.6098, -0.5709, -0.5828, -0.593, -0.5758, -0.5812, -0.6227, -0.6168, -0.599, -0.585, -0.5477, -0.5142, -0.5078, -0.5569, -0.5348, -0.4883, -0.531, -0.5121, -0.4954, -0.4452, -0.3901, -0.3901, -0.3901, -0.3502, -0.2854, -0.2995, -0.2432, -0.1676, -0.1351, -0.1427, -0.1297, -0.0432, -0.0638, -0.053, -0.0378, -0.1319, -0.2184, -0.2962, -0.2259, -0.1643, -0.0811, -0.0811, 0.0, 0.0541, -0.0508, -0.0551, -0.1492, -0.1849, -0.1568, -0.1935, -0.2141, -0.2054, -0.2032, -0.2303, -0.2605, -0.2508, -0.2259, -0.1492, -0.1589, -0.2216, -0.2584, -0.267, -0.2659, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2051033642416361642", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-05-03T20:18:21+00:00", "symbol": "Shunsin", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "another confirmation why I'm so incredibly bullish on CPO names like... Shunsin (packaging)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Strongly bullish on CPO ecosystem names (SIVE, MSSCorps, Shunsin) on Goldman's projected 9x optical networking TAM expansion and 142% CPO CAGR 2026-2030.", "resolved_tickers": ["6451.TW"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Shunsin Technology listed on TWSE as 6451.TW", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TW')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Goldman Sachs Projections on Optical Networking.\n\nAggregate TAM would increase 9x:\n\nFrom $15B to $154B. CPO contributes $91B.\n\nWhat the actual?\n\nYep... And another confirmation why I'm so incredibly bullish on CPO names like $SIVE (laser), MSSCorps (yields), or Shunsin (packaging). \n\nThis is frontrunning the next supercycle. I don't think people realize how wild these projections are yet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Just in case you’re wondering why I’m so bullish on CPO.\n\nLike $SIVE (Lasers), Shunsin (Packaging), MSSCorps (Yields), Win Semi / $TSEM (Foundry).\n\n“The CPO market is projected to grow sharply by a 142% CAGR from 2026 to 2030 (excl. ELS)”\n\n“The scale-up CPO segment is projected https://t.co/vbxcqARa25", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.09071729957805907, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09071729957805907, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09439414894301323, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08585055448809453, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00367684936495416, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0048667450899645415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09915611814345993, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09915611814345993, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09113393225846766, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07305288968019097, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008022185884992261, "bench_c_p1d": 0.026103228463268957, "ret_p1w": -0.039029535864978926, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.039029535864978926, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06868090247237946, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1135787847396833, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02965136660740053, "bench_c_p1w": 0.07454924887470438, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5612, -0.5823, -0.6234, -0.635, -0.6255, -0.6498, -0.6498, -0.6498, -0.6498, -0.6498, -0.6498, -0.6498, -0.6498, -0.615, -0.577, -0.5549, -0.5591, -0.5591, -0.5686, -0.5622, -0.6055, -0.5886, -0.5992, -0.6392, -0.6361, -0.6002, -0.5865, -0.5454, -0.5, -0.4504, -0.4114, -0.4262, -0.4209, -0.4082, -0.3882, -0.327, -0.2996, -0.23, -0.307, -0.3755, -0.3565, -0.3766, -0.3766, -0.3766, -0.3143, -0.2458, -0.1709, -0.0886, 0.0021, 0.0042, -0.038, 0.0422, 0.0654, 0.0696, 0.0, 0.0464, -0.058, -0.1519, -0.1994, -0.1456, -0.1614, -0.0907, -0.0907, 0.0, 0.0992, 0.0074, 0.0338, -0.0696, -0.039, -0.0369, 0.0084, 0.1076, 0.2173, 0.097, 0.0211, 0.0243, 0.0527, 0.1055, 0.2152, 0.3333, 0.27, 0.2004, 0.2025, 0.2932, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2040469708739375399", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-04T16:41:03+00:00", "symbol": "CRCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Just in case you're wondering why I'm bullish on $CRCL and Stablecoins", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish CRCL and stablecoins; stablecoins eliminate FX/fee friction vs App Store/Stripe, banks lobbying to control them confirms momentum.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRCL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just in case you’re wondering why I’m bullish on $CRCL and Stablecoins.\n\n8605 subscribers at $1.00:\n\n-> $1595.\n\nNot even including int. like Canada paying 46% more (2 CAD vs $1 USD subscription) and the FX/rounding disappearing into the void.\n\nI’m not here for subscription revenue so I don’t plan on changing anything. \n\nBut just found this pretty amusing even if you factored in pro rata or holds/delays.\n\nYou would reduce 30% App Store fees, Stripe card TX fees, and other black box fee mechanisms like foreign currency rounding.\n\nStablecoins are definitely the future, and you can already see banks trying to control it with Clarity Act lobbying.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.020510031018476593, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.020510031018476593, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015805471170852847, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.013493144865238449, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004704559847623746, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007016886153238144, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02137820063030471, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02137820063030471, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.020938126524455924, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02137820063030471, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004400741058487867, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.07086270939955464, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07086270939955464, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.029629219936092133, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.035177089087194524, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0412334894634625, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03568562031236011, "ret_p1m": 0.2391752637067266, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2391752637067266, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14077326717266914, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.20489300532951615, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09840199653405746, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03428225837721044, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1254, -0.1124, -0.1004, -0.1004, -0.0943, -0.0798, -0.1687, -0.1469, -0.1469, -0.2111, -0.2117, -0.2257, -0.2259, -0.2306, -0.2408, -0.2095, -0.267, -0.3062, -0.3613, -0.3906, -0.4026, -0.4549, -0.381, -0.3478, -0.3516, -0.3721, -0.3855, -0.3485, -0.3485, -0.3313, -0.3147, -0.3281, -0.3161, -0.3362, -0.334, -0.0978, -0.0536, -0.0945, 0.0433, 0.0812, 0.1424, 0.1475, 0.1059, 0.2137, 0.2815, 0.2242, 0.2391, 0.2521, 0.3655, 0.4358, 0.4416, 0.3926, 0.3677, 0.3743, 0.0979, 0.1271, 0.0664, 0.0164, -0.0243, 0.0354, -0.0153, -0.0205, -0.0205, 0.0, 0.0214, 0.0249, -0.0765, -0.0446, 0.0709, 0.1448, 0.1451, 0.1661, 0.1493, 0.1542, 0.042, 0.1325, 0.0853, 0.0815, 0.0357, 0.0239, 0.037, -0.0138, 0.0819, 0.2971, 0.2392, 0.3218, 0.229, 0.2335, 0.4298, 0.3418, 0.3735, 0.3443, 0.2371, 0.2088, 0.2049, 0.2113, 0.2467, 0.2276, 0.2276, 0.1304, 0.1138, 0.1746, 0.2263, 0.2263, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2037450320322957789", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-27T08:43:05+00:00", "symbol": "WIN Semi", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I went long on Win Semi", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds a long position in Win Semi.", "resolved_tickers": ["3105.TWO"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Win Semiconductors Taiwan; retrying .TWO OTC suffix", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TWO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ram_blings I went long on Win Semi because there's too many puns I can make with updates along the way up.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit lets Win this! good pick.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ram_blings", "ret_m1d": -0.06274509803921569, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06274509803921569, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08009279242663636, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07152334856596676, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.017347694387420676, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008778250526751075, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.020915032679738488, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.020915032679738488, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.024258495062923102, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.028542012037773623, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0033434623831846144, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007626979358035135, "ret_p1w": -0.016993464052287632, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.016993464052287632, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05127880101332816, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03541336358669589, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.034285336961040525, "bench_c_p1w": 0.018419899534408257, "ret_p1m": 0.2875816993464053, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2875816993464053, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15971349038438598, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03056628476307366, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12786820896201934, "bench_c_p1m": 0.25701541458333166, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5163, -0.5216, -0.5216, -0.532, -0.5216, -0.519, -0.5137, -0.4837, -0.434, -0.3908, -0.451, -0.4366, -0.4196, -0.4288, -0.4431, -0.4065, -0.4196, -0.3869, -0.3974, -0.3882, -0.3699, -0.3255, -0.3595, -0.3869, -0.4209, -0.3817, -0.3425, -0.3725, -0.4261, -0.3817, -0.332, -0.3569, -0.3569, -0.3569, -0.3569, -0.3569, -0.3569, -0.3569, -0.3569, -0.2928, -0.2222, -0.1582, -0.1163, -0.1163, -0.1333, -0.1477, -0.2327, -0.2157, -0.2196, -0.2967, -0.2889, -0.2183, -0.1987, -0.1817, -0.2065, -0.2327, -0.1569, -0.0732, -0.1007, -0.1765, -0.1804, -0.0993, -0.0627, 0.0, 0.0209, -0.081, -0.0157, -0.017, -0.017, -0.017, 0.0641, 0.1503, 0.1399, 0.2131, 0.1974, 0.1948, 0.1673, 0.2824, 0.4092, 0.5477, 0.6131, 0.5686, 0.4641, 0.4301, 0.2876, 0.3059, 0.3124, 0.4013, 0.4013, 0.3699, 0.451, 0.3072, 0.3072, 0.2876, 0.3752, 0.3386, 0.2954, 0.2641, 0.1987, 0.1778, 0.1935, 0.1673, 0.2627, 0.3882, 0.4196, 0.4693, 0.4641, 0.3804, 0.3778, 0.417, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2052799637669769363", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-08T17:15:47+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Anything they make is likely to be bought out by hyperscalers. Current financials don't really mater if you look at $1.41B quarterly revenue ramp by mid 2027 projections ($471 x 3) vs current MC. And the overarching 9x TAM curve from GS projections.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long AAOI: hyperscaler buyout candidate with $1.41B quarterly revenue ramp by mid-2027 and 9x TAM growth per GS, still undervalued at $11.5B MC.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’ve said this before when $AAOI was $6.49B.\n\nNow it’s $11.5B and this is the same story:\n\nBasically this is the Optical version of $INTC, where they’re scaling capacity from laser fab to assembly Made in America. \n\nAnything they make is likely to be bought out by hyperscalers. \n\nCurrent financials don’t really mater if you look at $1.41B quarterly revenue ramp by mid 2027 projections ($471 x 3) vs current MC. \n\nAnd the overarching 9x TAM curve from GS projections.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$AAOI looks very undervalued at $6.49B. \n\nIf we model ASP and their newest capacity projections today:\n\nRevenue from Capacity: \nQ2 2026: ~$312.1M\nQ4 2026: ~$1.41B \nQ2-2027: ~$1.53B\nQ4-2027: ~$1.97B\n\nThis is absurd ramp (off ~34-40% est. gross margins). \n\nASP modeled off https://t.co/351g7Csz9J", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.05780851664574649, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05780851664574649, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06599698505404139, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06599698505404139, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008188468408294902, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008188468408294902, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.2414394445120609, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.2414394445120609, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.23916185891662933, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.23916185891662933, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002277585595431564, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002277585595431564, "ret_p1w": 0.27809854632733844, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.27809854632733844, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2759972098624526, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2759972098624526, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0021013364648858612, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0021013364648858612, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6744, -0.675, -0.7046, -0.7015, -0.7015, -0.7052, -0.7083, -0.6846, -0.653, -0.6377, -0.6222, -0.6098, -0.6395, -0.4345, -0.3117, -0.3599, -0.3305, -0.3209, -0.3583, -0.2573, -0.191, -0.1472, -0.287, -0.35, -0.3684, -0.4204, -0.3781, -0.3157, -0.4122, -0.3571, -0.2353, -0.2318, -0.3459, -0.3406, -0.428, -0.4321, -0.4202, -0.3023, -0.3023, -0.2786, -0.2102, -0.109, -0.105, 0.0111, 0.0285, -0.0171, -0.0429, 0.0563, 0.0704, 0.0976, 0.0109, 0.0032, -0.0753, 0.0888, -0.0212, -0.0784, 0.0261, 0.1035, 0.2321, 0.1614, 0.2124, 0.1987, 0.0578, 0.0, 0.2414, 0.2641, 0.4979, 0.3668, 0.2781, 0.1633, 0.1503, 0.1096, 0.1871, 0.2185, 0.2185, 0.1926, 0.2074, 0.1348, 0.0636, 0.0636, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2042687596166615445", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-10T19:34:08+00:00", "symbol": "Win Semiconductors Corp", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's nuanced but actually bullish.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish on Win Semi (3105) private placement despite 9.4% dilution — likely another Tier-1 customer (possibly NVDA) taking a strategic stake, as happened with Broadcom previously.", "resolved_tickers": ["3105.TWO"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Win Semiconductors Corp Taiwan; retrying .TWO suffix", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TWO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So private placement is ~9.4% dilution via 40M new shares via Win Semi (3105).\n\nAny other stock I'd be cautious... but last time Win did this, $AVGO took a stake in Win Semi.\n\nAnd Broadcom became their lead customer. \n\nMaybe T1 semi like $NVDA, given their recent funding of $MRVL, $LITE, $COHR.\n\nThere's also a 3 year holding period. \n\nI said before Win Semi is foundational to photonics, humanoids, and space (eg. SpaceX) and it's likely another T1 customer using them long term. \n\nIt's nuanced but actually bullish.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit 3105  Win Semiconductors Corp just announced a private placement today.\n\nWhat’s your take on this?\nHow do you think it impacts the stock price", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06034482758620685, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06034482758620685, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.061007046344226934, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05345635913703439, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0006622187580200833, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006888468449172458, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.012931034482758674, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.012931034482758674, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.022703432267110468, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.030087255602318175, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009772397784351794, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0171562211195595, "ret_p1w": 0.16163793103448265, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16163793103448265, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1164844390207671, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08001590633959887, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.045153492013715546, "bench_c_p1w": 0.08162202469488378, "ret_p1m": 0.13362068965517238, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13362068965517238, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04555080491555086, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12905150222399486, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08806988473962152, "bench_c_p1m": 0.26267219187916724, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5474, -0.5356, -0.5216, -0.5291, -0.5409, -0.5108, -0.5216, -0.4946, -0.5032, -0.4957, -0.4806, -0.444, -0.472, -0.4946, -0.5226, -0.4903, -0.458, -0.4828, -0.5269, -0.4903, -0.4494, -0.4698, -0.4698, -0.4698, -0.4698, -0.4698, -0.4698, -0.4698, -0.4698, -0.417, -0.3588, -0.306, -0.2716, -0.2716, -0.2856, -0.2974, -0.3675, -0.3534, -0.3567, -0.4203, -0.4138, -0.3556, -0.3394, -0.3254, -0.3459, -0.3675, -0.305, -0.236, -0.2586, -0.3211, -0.3244, -0.2575, -0.2274, -0.1756, -0.1584, -0.2425, -0.1886, -0.1897, -0.1897, -0.1897, -0.1228, -0.0517, -0.0603, 0.0, -0.0129, -0.0151, -0.0377, 0.0571, 0.1616, 0.2759, 0.3297, 0.2931, 0.2069, 0.1789, 0.0614, 0.0765, 0.0819, 0.1552, 0.1552, 0.1293, 0.1961, 0.0776, 0.0776, 0.0614, 0.1336, 0.1034, 0.0679, 0.042, -0.0119, -0.0291, -0.0162, -0.0377, 0.0409, 0.1444, 0.1703, 0.2112, 0.2069, 0.1379, 0.1358, 0.1681, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2038558561366913034", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-30T10:06:50+00:00", "symbol": "MP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Yes $MP is paramount to national security. Again China has weaponized Rare Earths against us.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish MP Materials as critical to US national security amid China weaponizing rare earths supply.", "resolved_tickers": ["MP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Other Industrial Metals & Mining'", "bench_c_industry": "Other Industrial Metals & Mining", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yes $MP is paramount to national security. Again China has weaponized Rare Earths against us.\n\nIt’s incredibly stupid for FT and other news outlets to go and get rile up the US population…\n\nAt the US government spending to secure our supply chains??? So we don’t rely on Russia and China?\n\nAre they all stupid?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Agreed - if anything $MP is even more compelling now", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "HelixCapital_", "ret_m1d": 0.1362140614978733, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.1362140614978733, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.13285938287289856, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.13988080227229338, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0036667407744200853, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.058565434525311266, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.058565434525311266, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.029497508826396457, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04063915492906145, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "bench_c_p1d": 0.017926279596249817, "ret_p1w": 0.12239521819875843, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12239521819875843, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07973492859249642, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09937625171672915, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02301896648202928, "ret_p1m": 0.3533669786451423, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3533669786451423, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2272216941633729, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3063105238455748, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04705645479956755, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1081, 0.1081, 0.2057, 0.2858, 0.3121, 0.3709, 0.3393, 0.3599, 0.4332, 0.3999, 0.5201, 0.463, 0.5131, 0.5131, 0.4999, 0.4181, 0.4997, 0.5262, 0.3915, 0.4637, 0.4698, 0.3635, 0.2891, 0.2966, 0.4172, 0.3281, 0.2404, 0.3437, 0.3775, 0.3674, 0.3288, 0.2569, 0.2729, 0.2729, 0.2492, 0.2709, 0.2845, 0.2139, 0.2218, 0.2819, 0.2867, 0.3161, 0.2913, 0.3979, 0.3468, 0.3514, 0.2827, 0.2773, 0.3227, 0.3507, 0.3654, 0.3167, 0.2549, 0.302, 0.3007, 0.2621, 0.1647, 0.1099, 0.1687, 0.1689, 0.1788, 0.134, 0.1362, 0.0, 0.0586, 0.0619, 0.0908, 0.0908, 0.1224, 0.0855, 0.1941, 0.1823, 0.2117, 0.2459, 0.2582, 0.3055, 0.3665, 0.3378, 0.4527, 0.4424, 0.5177, 0.3889, 0.3321, 0.424, 0.3534, 0.3446, 0.4486, 0.4615, 0.4521, 0.4929, 0.5936, 0.5163, 0.4791, 0.4786, 0.4387, 0.3979, 0.3229, 0.3439, 0.243, 0.2049, 0.2393, 0.3542, 0.4139, 0.4139, 0.4694, 0.4304, 0.4659, 0.4192, 0.4192, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2039026415426023719", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-31T17:05:55+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "So they do both. They don't get replaced in the transition.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "AAOI won't be displaced by CPO transition — owns full supply chain for both pluggable and CPO (ELSFP) markets.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AAOI does laser -> design -> assembly -> then sells the transceiver. So they have the whole supply chain. \n\nPluggables won't go away so they'll fill that gap. \n\nThen on the side, they build ELSFPs (external light sources), so laser -> design -> packaging on the CPO side.\n\nSo they do both. They don't get replaced in the transition.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What I don't yet understand about $AAOI is where they stand on the laser market. I understand they mostly focus on transceivers but they also sell stand-alone lasers. Where does that leave AOI regarding the framework you just explained?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "alejandrobatiz", "ret_m1d": 0.007093109463191416, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007093109463191416, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03533995787134925, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03533995787134925, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.028246848408157832, "bench_c_m1d": -0.028246848408157832, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.020806268027252717, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.020806268027252717, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.013271804244362695, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.013271804244362695, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007534463782890022, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007534463782890022, "ret_p1w": 0.3907081745191381, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.3907081745191381, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.3770538652640356, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.3770538652640356, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01365430925510247, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01365430925510247, "ret_p1m": 0.806714841558601, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.806714841558601, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.7125487319766899, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.7125487319766899, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09416610958191107, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09416610958191107, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5879, -0.5319, -0.5864, -0.5436, -0.5501, -0.6098, -0.5976, -0.6014, -0.5959, -0.5925, -0.5626, -0.5621, -0.5621, -0.5359, -0.5463, -0.549, -0.5777, -0.5875, -0.558, -0.4653, -0.5322, -0.4845, -0.478, -0.4548, -0.5283, -0.5492, -0.4763, -0.4336, -0.4268, -0.4278, -0.48, -0.4744, -0.4744, -0.4809, -0.4865, -0.4446, -0.3891, -0.3621, -0.3348, -0.3129, -0.3653, -0.0043, 0.2118, 0.1271, 0.1787, 0.1956, 0.1299, 0.3077, 0.4244, 0.5015, 0.2553, 0.1445, 0.1121, 0.0206, 0.095, 0.2049, 0.0349, 0.132, 0.3465, 0.3525, 0.1517, 0.161, 0.0071, 0.0, 0.0208, 0.2284, 0.2284, 0.2702, 0.3907, 0.5687, 0.5758, 0.7804, 0.811, 0.7306, 0.6852, 0.8598, 0.8846, 0.9325, 0.78, 0.7664, 0.6282, 0.9171, 0.7234, 0.6227, 0.8067, 0.943, 1.1694, 1.0449, 1.1346, 1.1107, 0.8625, 0.7607, 1.1858, 1.2258, 1.6374, 1.4065, 1.2504, 1.0482, 1.0254, 0.9537, 1.0902, 1.1455, 1.1455, 1.0998, 1.1259, 0.9981, 0.8727, 0.8727, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2048823678339891301", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-27T17:56:44+00:00", "symbol": "IQE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is incredibly positive having $MTSI take $IQE out of debt and be a strategic investor", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish IQE: MTSI stake removes debt burden and brings a strategic investor.", "resolved_tickers": ["IQE.L"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "IQE plc LSE-listed epiwafer supplier", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@LNMDad This is incredibly positive having $MTSI take $IQE out of debt and be a strategic investor.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Serenity, what do you think of this dillution of $IQE and $MTSI taking a stake at a large discount?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LNMDad", "ret_m1d": -0.03643730761455255, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03643730761455255, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03471746408344545, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03679284167276231, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0017198435311071014, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00035553405820976103, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.18522269723181173, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.18522269723181173, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.18035674850366556, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.1554948537912162, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004865948728146163, "bench_c_p1d": -0.029727843440595536, "ret_p1w": -0.16700404342453545, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.16700404342453545, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.17097516486885578, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.16805093389400438, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003971121444320325, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0010468904694689307, "ret_p1m": 0.09311737514241414, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09311737514241414, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04359062654876933, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09627148242743533, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04952674859364481, "bench_c_p1m": 0.18938885756984947, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.8377, -0.8431, -0.8399, -0.8374, -0.8441, -0.8391, -0.8419, -0.8397, -0.8346, -0.7976, -0.7927, -0.7915, -0.7854, -0.7874, -0.785, -0.7883, -0.7899, -0.7879, -0.7413, -0.753, -0.6757, -0.5951, -0.6154, -0.4818, -0.4737, -0.4565, -0.5658, -0.602, -0.6138, -0.5405, -0.5081, -0.5405, -0.5294, -0.5324, -0.5628, -0.4828, -0.5374, -0.5223, -0.5243, -0.4828, -0.4028, -0.4615, -0.504, -0.5324, -0.5061, -0.4919, -0.5223, -0.5223, -0.5223, -0.4838, -0.419, -0.3927, -0.251, -0.0061, -0.0324, 0.0931, 0.1862, 0.0547, 0.1862, 0.2753, 0.2672, 0.0071, -0.0364, 0.0, -0.1852, -0.1822, -0.1245, -0.167, -0.167, 0.0121, -0.0982, -0.0759, -0.0466, 0.1032, -0.0455, 0.0223, 0.004, -0.0688, -0.2085, -0.3522, -0.2399, -0.1933, -0.0739, -0.0739, 0.0931, 0.0263, -0.0354, -0.0385, -0.0385, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2039712371799953845", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-02T14:31:40+00:00", "symbol": "MRVL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$MRVL", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on laser chokepoint plays; Sivers (SIVE) most compelling at ~$290m MC in JBL/MRVL CPO roadmap; also picks MRVL, LITE, SOI.", "resolved_tickers": ["MRVL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "100% lasers. I personally wouldn't go downstream into assembly and others. \n\nBut with the laser chokepoint it's really hard to pick a winner between stuff like Luxnet, Furukawa, Sumitomo, $SIVE, $MTSI, $LITE, $SMTC (after heico cw acqusition) and others... \n\nBut I found Sivers to be really compelling since they're in $JBL 1.6T +  $MRVL CPO roadmap at ~$290m MC.\n\n---\n\n@FranGGlez Oh one from each category:\n\n1. $MRVL\n2. $SIVE\n3. Win\n4. $SOI\n5. $LITE", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0037345092658275236, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0037345092658275236, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0028348449624354677, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0028348449624354677, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0008996643033920559, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0008996643033920559, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.119690013567465, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.119690013567465, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08297324942553219, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08297324942553219, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03671676414193281, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03671676414193281, "ret_p1m": 0.5407764398452748, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5407764398452748, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4419398425027976, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4419398425027976, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09883659734247718, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09883659734247718, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1582, -0.1769, -0.2104, -0.2215, -0.223, -0.2261, -0.2246, -0.2418, -0.2496, -0.2488, -0.2488, -0.255, -0.2293, -0.2242, -0.251, -0.2366, -0.2257, -0.2193, -0.2406, -0.2632, -0.2656, -0.2947, -0.3116, -0.3072, -0.2505, -0.2312, -0.2343, -0.2406, -0.2696, -0.2661, -0.2661, -0.2623, -0.2616, -0.2567, -0.258, -0.2737, -0.2681, -0.2445, -0.2597, -0.2373, -0.2451, -0.2764, -0.2709, -0.2934, -0.1638, -0.135, -0.1289, -0.1556, -0.1815, -0.1797, -0.145, -0.1524, -0.182, -0.1641, -0.1793, -0.1582, -0.1377, -0.0809, -0.088, -0.1142, -0.1802, -0.0752, -0.0037, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0224, 0.0212, 0.0685, 0.1197, 0.2002, 0.2265, 0.2501, 0.2573, 0.2458, 0.3048, 0.381, 0.4134, 0.4695, 0.5465, 0.5348, 0.4778, 0.4313, 0.4625, 0.5426, 0.5408, 0.5287, 0.5763, 0.608, 0.4946, 0.5892, 0.5958, 0.5366, 0.6622, 0.7055, 0.6523, 0.578, 0.6465, 0.7449, 0.7812, 0.8339, 0.8339, 0.9453, 0.856, 0.9133, 0.9149, 0.9149, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "thread:2039712371799953845", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-04-02T14:31:40+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LITE", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on laser chokepoint plays; Sivers (SIVE) most compelling at ~$290m MC in JBL/MRVL CPO roadmap; also picks MRVL, LITE, SOI.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "self_thread", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "100% lasers. I personally wouldn't go downstream into assembly and others. \n\nBut with the laser chokepoint it's really hard to pick a winner between stuff like Luxnet, Furukawa, Sumitomo, $SIVE, $MTSI, $LITE, $SMTC (after heico cw acqusition) and others... \n\nBut I found Sivers to be really compelling since they're in $JBL 1.6T +  $MRVL CPO roadmap at ~$290m MC.\n\n---\n\n@FranGGlez Oh one from each category:\n\n1. $MRVL\n2. $SIVE\n3. Win\n4. $SOI\n5. $LITE", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.07525878011473908, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07525878011473908, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07435911581134702, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07435911581134702, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0008996643033920559, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0008996643033920559, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.08132981763119407, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08132981763119407, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.044613053489261256, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.044613053489261256, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03671676414193281, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03671676414193281, "ret_p1m": 0.14881238760926108, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14881238760926108, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04997579026678389, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04997579026678389, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09883659734247718, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09883659734247718, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5682, -0.5194, -0.5249, -0.5788, -0.575, -0.589, -0.563, -0.599, -0.5849, -0.6079, -0.6079, -0.5685, -0.5617, -0.5713, -0.5898, -0.5979, -0.5517, -0.5344, -0.5387, -0.5261, -0.4879, -0.4738, -0.437, -0.39, -0.3324, -0.302, -0.3214, -0.3057, -0.2944, -0.3194, -0.3194, -0.2739, -0.2813, -0.2313, -0.1924, -0.184, -0.1676, -0.1252, -0.1813, -0.1523, -0.0528, -0.1602, -0.1767, -0.2129, -0.3246, -0.2252, -0.1873, -0.1873, -0.2549, -0.2472, -0.2443, -0.2144, -0.1525, -0.0662, -0.1458, -0.1184, -0.0301, -0.0601, -0.167, -0.1501, -0.2081, -0.1501, -0.0753, 0.0, 0.0, -0.066, -0.0135, 0.0836, 0.0813, 0.0852, 0.0536, 0.0313, -0.0035, 0.0778, 0.0813, 0.0825, 0.0121, 0.0565, 0.0242, 0.0662, 0.0397, -0.0429, 0.038, 0.0912, 0.1488, 0.1806, 0.2028, 0.142, 0.0795, 0.093, 0.2736, 0.2001, 0.2461, 0.2116, 0.1739, 0.0703, 0.0764, 0.0498, 0.1664, 0.1451, 0.1451, 0.1015, 0.0912, 0.0408, 0.034, 0.034, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2050804757238091816", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-03T05:08:50+00:00", "symbol": "SLNH", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SLNH is utter garbage for equity appreciation. I'm just in disbelief people think they're going to have it appreciate in value when they're getting actively diluted $1 BILLION off a $219m MC.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short SLNH: no equity appreciation case given $1B dilution against $219M market cap; called utter garbage.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLNH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SingularityRes $SLNH is utter garbage for equity appreciation. \n\nI'm just in disbelief people think they're going to have it appreciate in value when they're getting actively diluted $1 BILLION off a $219m MC.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I talked with the $SLNH management last year. They couldnt pivot the existing crypto mining to data centers. In the mega AI tsunami the best they did was colocation of crypto machines for other companies (not even GPUs). Also, the massive failure in the 900MW Western Sahara", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SingularityRes", "ret_m1d": 0.179104480267527, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.179104480267527, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.17542763090257285, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.17542763090257285, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00367684936495416, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00367684936495416, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.15671635351247049, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.15671635351247049, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.14869416762747822, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.14869416762747822, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008022185884992261, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008022185884992261, "ret_p1w": 0.29104475819419284, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.29104475819419284, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2613933915867923, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2613933915867923, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02965136660740053, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02965136660740053, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2612, -0.4328, -0.2388, -0.2164, -0.2687, -0.306, -0.3209, -0.3433, -0.3433, -0.3657, -0.3582, -0.3134, -0.3284, -0.3433, -0.3134, -0.2537, -0.2985, -0.3507, -0.2985, -0.3507, -0.291, -0.3582, -0.4254, -0.4403, -0.4104, -0.3731, -0.4179, -0.4179, -0.4104, -0.403, -0.4403, -0.4403, -0.4701, -0.4478, -0.4701, -0.4104, -0.4701, -0.5373, -0.5448, -0.4701, -0.5, -0.4701, -0.4701, -0.4701, -0.4701, -0.4552, -0.4627, -0.4701, -0.306, -0.2164, -0.2164, -0.1567, -0.1567, 0.0448, -0.0224, 0.097, 0.0, -0.1045, -0.1567, -0.194, -0.0448, 0.2388, 0.1791, 0.0, 0.1567, 0.209, 0.1343, 0.3657, 0.291, 0.3284, 0.6119, 0.6119, 0.6567, 0.4552, 0.3657, 0.2388, 0.306, 0.2761, 0.2761, 0.4403, 0.3881, 0.3657, 0.2687, 0.2687, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2045982775237582973", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-19T21:48:00+00:00", "symbol": "IQE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's at the beginning of discovery stage to institutions. But no, it's still early", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still early for IQE; institutional discovery just starting with Point72 buying last week, more upside ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["IQE.L"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "IQE plc LSE-listed epiwafer supplier", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@marv_jones6 Point72 literally just started buying $IQE last week.\n\nIt’s at the beginning of discovery stage to institutions. \n\nThe only reason it feels “late” is because I pointed it out extremely early and it’s already up few hundred %.\n\nBut no, it’s still early", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I’m trying to understand if he classifying IQE as undiscovered still. If so, fine.  But we’re talking almost 1000% in 6 months", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "marv_jones6", "ret_m1d": -0.11092150459475736, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11092150459475736, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11292517883001807, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.11135260255732948, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0004310979625721245, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07508535222611035, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07508535222611035, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0816323013810466, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07357657513342208, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0015087770926882627, "ret_p1w": -0.1569965390409538, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1569965390409538, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1660974709656351, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.24816823291456758, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "bench_c_p1w": 0.09117169387361379, "ret_p1m": -0.45392490045657896, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.45392490045657896, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.48921388736181937, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.6263536270514752, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "bench_c_p1m": 0.17242872659489628, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.8696, -0.8669, -0.863, -0.8695, -0.8693, -0.8631, -0.8677, -0.865, -0.863, -0.8686, -0.8643, -0.8667, -0.8648, -0.8606, -0.8294, -0.8253, -0.8242, -0.8191, -0.8208, -0.8188, -0.8215, -0.8229, -0.8212, -0.7819, -0.7918, -0.7266, -0.6587, -0.6758, -0.5631, -0.5563, -0.5418, -0.634, -0.6645, -0.6744, -0.6126, -0.5853, -0.6126, -0.6032, -0.6058, -0.6314, -0.564, -0.6101, -0.5973, -0.599, -0.564, -0.4966, -0.5461, -0.5819, -0.6058, -0.5836, -0.5717, -0.5973, -0.5973, -0.5973, -0.5648, -0.5102, -0.4881, -0.3686, -0.1621, -0.1843, -0.0785, 0.0, -0.1109, 0.0, 0.0751, 0.0683, -0.151, -0.1877, -0.157, -0.3131, -0.3106, -0.2619, -0.2978, -0.2978, -0.1468, -0.2398, -0.221, -0.1962, -0.07, -0.1954, -0.1382, -0.1536, -0.215, -0.3328, -0.4539, -0.3592, -0.32, -0.2193, -0.2193, -0.0785, -0.1348, -0.1869, -0.1894, -0.1894, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2039408533658280260", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-01T18:24:19+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "confident in 1 year time, with $379m/month ramp laser fab -> design -> assembly supply chain. That $6B is very undervalued for $AAOI", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long AAOI on 1-year view; $6B market cap seen as very undervalued given $379M/month ramp of laser fab supply chain.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SarAEsQMd So I'm confident in 1 year time, with $379m/month ramp laser fab -&gt; design -&gt; assembly supply chain. That $6B is very undervalued for $AAOI.\n\nBut we'll likely experience extreme volatility in the meantime from war. \n\nIf you want to play it safe you can sell CSPs few weeks out.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit You are a bull on $aaoi \n\nWould you buy the dip here or do you think we have more pain to come? https://t.co/b8OwN5RVXO", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SarAEsQMd", "ret_m1d": -0.02038219070447278, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02038219070447278, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012904070547072766, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012904070547072766, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0074781201574000145, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0074781201574000145, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.20335848868892548, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.20335848868892548, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.20245801426083432, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.20245801426083432, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009004744280911581, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0009004744280911581, "ret_p1w": 0.5367689553348642, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.5367689553348642, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.5050706160381118, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.5050706160381118, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.031698339296752476, "bench_c_p1w": 0.031698339296752476, "ret_p1m": 0.903416369597388, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.903416369597388, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.8066274314138817, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.8066274314138817, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09678893818350631, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09678893818350631, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5414, -0.5948, -0.5529, -0.5593, -0.6177, -0.6058, -0.6095, -0.6042, -0.6008, -0.5715, -0.571, -0.571, -0.5453, -0.5555, -0.5582, -0.5863, -0.5959, -0.567, -0.4762, -0.5417, -0.495, -0.4886, -0.4659, -0.5379, -0.5584, -0.487, -0.4452, -0.4384, -0.4395, -0.4906, -0.4851, -0.4851, -0.4915, -0.4969, -0.4559, -0.4015, -0.3751, -0.3483, -0.3269, -0.3782, -0.0246, 0.1871, 0.1041, 0.1547, 0.1713, 0.1069, 0.2811, 0.3954, 0.4709, 0.2298, 0.1211, 0.0894, -0.0002, 0.0727, 0.1803, 0.0138, 0.109, 0.3191, 0.325, 0.1282, 0.1373, -0.0134, -0.0204, 0.0, 0.2034, 0.2034, 0.2444, 0.3624, 0.5368, 0.5437, 0.7441, 0.7741, 0.6953, 0.6508, 0.8219, 0.8462, 0.8931, 0.7437, 0.7304, 0.595, 0.8781, 0.6882, 0.5896, 0.7699, 0.9034, 1.1252, 1.0032, 1.0911, 1.0676, 0.8246, 0.7248, 1.1413, 1.1804, 1.5837, 1.3575, 1.2045, 1.0065, 0.9841, 0.9138, 1.0476, 1.1018, 1.1018, 1.057, 1.0826, 0.9574, 0.8345, 0.8345, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2050833230736269767", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-03T07:01:59+00:00", "symbol": "GFS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$GFS became likely primary route to go down", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish SIVE as Tier 1 CPO laser supplier amid COHR/LITE capacity constraints; AMD/hyperscalers scrambling upstream; SIVE at center of chokepoint early next year. GFS also named as a primary beneficiary route.", "resolved_tickers": ["GFS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It's pretty insane to see $SIVE become a Tier 1 laser supplier for CPO. \n\nThis is my prediction/guess with est. mapping: \n\n$NVDA ate up all the capacity with $COHR, $LITE after their new $2B+ spending spree. \n\nSame playbook with EML early 2025, causing the bottleneck seen today. \n\nNow, $AMD / hyperscalers are scambling for upstream laser suppliers.\n\nHence why $SIVE + Win / $GFS became likely primary route to go down. \n\nYou can see this with:\n\n-> $MVL CPO through Celestial (Nvidia signed a deal, but they don't have lasers)\n-> $AMD CPO\n-> Ayar\n-> $POET\n-> Lightmatter\n-> and other programs (eg. Jabil 1.6T) \n\nAs a result, Sivers/Win emerged as the Tier 1 bleeding edge + critical independent laser supplier. \n\nAnd there's hints for this when: \n1. $GFS listed $SIVE / $LITE as the two only public laser suppliers in their ecosystem.\n2. Ayar removed $LITE / $MTSI off their website and elevated $SIVE to their primary laser supplier. \n\nSo everyone else ended up going with Sivers since $COHR / $LITE are fully allocated. \n\nMy guess is that a lot of the secondary suppliers also capture overflow as architectures standardize. \n\nBut scramble for this chokepoint will be insane early next year given $NVDA bottleneck.\n\nAnd a small $1.2B Swedish company in $SIVE will be in the center of it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04191876513491699, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04191876513491699, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04559561449987115, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.047897570415621815, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00367684936495416, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005978805280704824, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09284134192660276, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09284134192660276, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0848191560416105, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06146741262966193, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008022185884992261, "bench_c_p1d": 0.03137392929694083, "ret_p1w": 0.10686343710360924, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10686343710360924, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0772120704962087, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03031367341850877, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02965136660740053, "bench_c_p1w": 0.137177110522118, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3934, -0.3953, -0.3666, -0.3576, -0.3815, -0.2806, -0.2812, -0.2769, -0.2769, -0.2883, -0.3129, -0.3293, -0.3182, -0.3187, -0.2971, -0.2788, -0.3075, -0.2982, -0.2639, -0.303, -0.2979, -0.2866, -0.308, -0.3007, -0.3117, -0.3492, -0.3861, -0.3821, -0.3539, -0.3616, -0.3731, -0.36, -0.3641, -0.3511, -0.3199, -0.3101, -0.3421, -0.3662, -0.3892, -0.3435, -0.347, -0.3542, -0.3542, -0.3563, -0.3516, -0.2945, -0.2812, -0.2778, -0.2763, -0.2855, -0.2869, -0.2562, -0.1919, -0.1327, -0.1255, -0.1086, -0.0917, -0.088, -0.1092, -0.1219, -0.0739, -0.0465, -0.0419, 0.0, 0.0928, 0.0672, 0.0469, 0.094, 0.1069, 0.0649, 0.1069, 0.0899, 0.0484, 0.0013, -0.0158, 0.0449, 0.2007, 0.2641, 0.2641, 0.3278, 0.1972, 0.1901, 0.1804, 0.1804, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2048090023925555240", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-25T17:21:28+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I was long $RKLB in the 10's, because of their reusable rocket success rate", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still long SIVE (lasers designed into Apple/Marvell/JBL); past longs in RKLB and HOOD now closed at higher prices as context.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I was long $RKLB in the 10's, because of their reusable rocket success rate. Despite banks/analysts claiming it would crash.\n\nI was long $HOOD in the 10's because of their massive consumer base and TAM expansion into other segments. \n\nI'm long $SIVE because their lasers look designed into $AAPL, $MRVL, $JBL, and other sector leaders despite being so small. \n\nMedia was against all of them while they were small. But just need to look past that noise.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit But how do you know? The big boy has all the resources and advantages. How you tell these small players can outpace the big whale? What can be the indicator?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "yuntungshieh", "ret_m1d": -0.03171710513201709, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03171710513201709, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.029997261600909986, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.031485273427151905, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0017198435311071014, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0002318317048651819, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.044962991086059945, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.044962991086059945, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04009704235791378, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.036093946810273114, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004865948728146163, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00886904427578683, "ret_p1w": -0.024061287336308523, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.024061287336308523, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.028032408780628848, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.015192243060521693, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003971121444320325, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00886904427578683, "ret_p1m": 0.74018708658468, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.74018708658468, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6906603379910352, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.7298108266465873, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04952674859364481, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010376259938092769, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0763, 0.0412, -0.027, -0.0989, -0.0124, -0.1116, -0.1941, -0.1212, -0.0784, -0.1247, -0.154, -0.1978, -0.1805, -0.1805, -0.1507, -0.0956, -0.0694, -0.1389, -0.1468, -0.1497, -0.1469, -0.1171, -0.1603, -0.1376, -0.1478, -0.1261, -0.1493, -0.148, -0.1314, -0.1624, -0.1255, -0.1692, -0.1687, -0.1334, -0.045, -0.1557, -0.1259, -0.183, -0.1737, -0.1971, -0.1144, -0.1987, -0.2596, -0.3027, -0.2196, -0.2038, -0.1769, -0.1769, -0.1777, -0.1941, -0.1605, -0.189, -0.173, -0.1418, -0.1224, -0.1056, 0.0078, 0.0305, 0.0871, 0.0529, 0.0942, 0.0281, -0.0317, 0.0, -0.045, -0.064, 0.0027, -0.0423, -0.0241, -0.0429, 0.0287, -0.0451, 0.2817, 0.4261, 0.4286, 0.5087, 0.6108, 0.5162, 0.5939, 0.5471, 0.6318, 0.5245, 0.6498, 0.6498, 0.7402, 0.8256, 0.7989, 0.7436, 0.7436, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2048090023925555240", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-25T17:21:28+00:00", "symbol": "HOOD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I was long $HOOD in the 10's because of their massive consumer base and TAM expansion into other segments", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still long SIVE (lasers designed into Apple/Marvell/JBL); past longs in RKLB and HOOD now closed at higher prices as context.", "resolved_tickers": ["HOOD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I was long $RKLB in the 10's, because of their reusable rocket success rate. Despite banks/analysts claiming it would crash.\n\nI was long $HOOD in the 10's because of their massive consumer base and TAM expansion into other segments. \n\nI'm long $SIVE because their lasers look designed into $AAPL, $MRVL, $JBL, and other sector leaders despite being so small. \n\nMedia was against all of them while they were small. But just need to look past that noise.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit But how do you know? The big boy has all the resources and advantages. How you tell these small players can outpace the big whale? What can be the indicator?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "yuntungshieh", "ret_m1d": 0.009053033518262366, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.009053033518262366, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010772877049369467, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.016580599509541383, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0017198435311071014, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007527565991279017, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.022394250408097616, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.022394250408097616, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.017528301679951452, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02316624615737206, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004865948728146163, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0007719957492744456, "ret_p1w": -0.08814763746860765, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08814763746860765, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09211875891292798, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08370834898877955, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003971121444320325, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004439288479828107, "ret_p1m": -0.11745087514929353, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11745087514929353, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.16697762374293834, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11822287089856798, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04952674859364481, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0007719957492744456, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2317, 0.206, 0.185, 0.071, 0.0372, -0.0397, -0.1342, -0.0135, 0.0311, 0.0197, -0.0712, -0.1528, -0.0951, -0.0951, -0.1014, -0.1041, -0.0989, -0.0934, -0.145, -0.1258, -0.0765, -0.0536, -0.0965, -0.0616, -0.0939, -0.0207, -0.0404, -0.0817, -0.0548, -0.0646, -0.0627, -0.0933, -0.1258, -0.1029, -0.0786, -0.1078, -0.1166, -0.1556, -0.1365, -0.1771, -0.1359, -0.162, -0.2136, -0.2238, -0.1745, -0.1649, -0.1793, -0.1793, -0.1688, -0.1703, -0.1444, -0.1647, -0.1758, -0.1463, -0.0579, 0.0401, 0.0345, 0.081, 0.0873, 0.0295, 0.0534, -0.0049, 0.0091, 0.0, -0.0224, -0.1519, -0.1317, -0.1226, -0.0881, -0.0824, -0.0584, -0.0914, -0.0824, -0.0378, -0.0677, -0.0858, -0.0387, -0.0811, -0.081, -0.1166, -0.0976, -0.0957, -0.1228, -0.1228, -0.1175, -0.092, 0.0106, 0.1233, 0.1233, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2038556249592119671", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-30T09:57:39+00:00", "symbol": "USAR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$USAR to $MP are incredibly important", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long US rare earth equities USAR and MP as #1 national security priority; backs Trump admin funding of domestic supply chain sovereignty.", "resolved_tickers": ["USAR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Other Industrial Metals & Mining'", "bench_c_industry": "Other Industrial Metals & Mining", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is the most egregious headline I’ve read from FT.\n\n“US BETS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS ON UNPROVEN GROUPS IN RARE EARTHS DEALS”\n\nNo sht. \n\nMaybe they’re “unproven” since we have nothing??\n\n$USAR to $MP are incredibly important. \n\nSince US rare earths supply is the #1 national security priority right now. \n\nThe United States owns almost none of the upstream capacity/refineries for AI, Robotics, to Space, as we rely on other countries from Canada to China. \n\nThis is probably the best domestic policy move from the Trump administration to fund these unprofitable efforts.\n\nIn order to secure US supply chain sovereignty instead of relying on Russia and China?\n\nIt’s almost like FT is trying to make the US public mad…\n\nAt genuinely great efforts to secure American’s independence by how they word these articles.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0836261821741846, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0836261821741846, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08027150354920987, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08729292294860469, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0036667407744200853, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06359808262532685, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06359808262532685, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03453015692641204, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04567180302907703, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "bench_c_p1d": 0.017926279596249817, "ret_p1w": 0.0737877880894049, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0737877880894049, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03112749848314289, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.050768821607375614, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02301896648202928, "ret_p1m": 0.6001406317814422, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6001406317814422, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.47399534729967274, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5530841769818746, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04705645479956755, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1637, -0.1637, -0.0056, 0.1103, 0.2312, 0.208, 0.1757, 0.2143, 0.2467, 0.1715, 0.2846, 0.1799, 0.2431, 0.2431, 0.3493, 0.3584, 0.5959, 0.7407, 0.8777, 0.8517, 0.7695, 0.5509, 0.5755, 0.5538, 0.825, 0.6535, 0.4476, 0.5348, 0.6472, 0.5376, 0.5299, 0.3408, 0.363, 0.363, 0.3366, 0.279, 0.2923, 0.2108, 0.3204, 0.4329, 0.4111, 0.4146, 0.3282, 0.4666, 0.3647, 0.3289, 0.3422, 0.2263, 0.3148, 0.4371, 0.4821, 0.3879, 0.3675, 0.3696, 0.383, 0.293, 0.2516, 0.1413, 0.2221, 0.1665, 0.1694, 0.1244, 0.0836, 0.0, 0.0636, 0.0401, 0.1188, 0.1188, 0.0738, 0.0288, 0.1792, 0.175, 0.1349, 0.1799, 0.194, 0.2895, 0.2952, 0.402, 0.5868, 0.6058, 0.7857, 0.6226, 0.5362, 0.6521, 0.6001, 0.5481, 0.825, 0.8503, 0.7976, 0.9269, 1.0098, 0.8538, 0.8946, 0.8482, 0.7955, 0.7864, 0.7449, 0.714, 0.4951, 0.403, 0.5861, 0.707, 0.7779, 0.7779, 0.9487, 0.8763, 0.981, 0.9684, 0.9684, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2038556249592119671", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-30T09:57:39+00:00", "symbol": "MP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$USAR to $MP are incredibly important", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long US rare earth equities USAR and MP as #1 national security priority; backs Trump admin funding of domestic supply chain sovereignty.", "resolved_tickers": ["MP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Other Industrial Metals & Mining'", "bench_c_industry": "Other Industrial Metals & Mining", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is the most egregious headline I’ve read from FT.\n\n“US BETS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS ON UNPROVEN GROUPS IN RARE EARTHS DEALS”\n\nNo sht. \n\nMaybe they’re “unproven” since we have nothing??\n\n$USAR to $MP are incredibly important. \n\nSince US rare earths supply is the #1 national security priority right now. \n\nThe United States owns almost none of the upstream capacity/refineries for AI, Robotics, to Space, as we rely on other countries from Canada to China. \n\nThis is probably the best domestic policy move from the Trump administration to fund these unprofitable efforts.\n\nIn order to secure US supply chain sovereignty instead of relying on Russia and China?\n\nIt’s almost like FT is trying to make the US public mad…\n\nAt genuinely great efforts to secure American’s independence by how they word these articles.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.1362140614978733, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.1362140614978733, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.13285938287289856, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.13988080227229338, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0036667407744200853, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.058565434525311266, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.058565434525311266, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.029497508826396457, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04063915492906145, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "bench_c_p1d": 0.017926279596249817, "ret_p1w": 0.12239521819875843, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12239521819875843, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07973492859249642, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09937625171672915, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02301896648202928, "ret_p1m": 0.3533669786451423, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3533669786451423, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2272216941633729, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3063105238455748, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04705645479956755, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1081, 0.1081, 0.2057, 0.2858, 0.3121, 0.3709, 0.3393, 0.3599, 0.4332, 0.3999, 0.5201, 0.463, 0.5131, 0.5131, 0.4999, 0.4181, 0.4997, 0.5262, 0.3915, 0.4637, 0.4698, 0.3635, 0.2891, 0.2966, 0.4172, 0.3281, 0.2404, 0.3437, 0.3775, 0.3674, 0.3288, 0.2569, 0.2729, 0.2729, 0.2492, 0.2709, 0.2845, 0.2139, 0.2218, 0.2819, 0.2867, 0.3161, 0.2913, 0.3979, 0.3468, 0.3514, 0.2827, 0.2773, 0.3227, 0.3507, 0.3654, 0.3167, 0.2549, 0.302, 0.3007, 0.2621, 0.1647, 0.1099, 0.1687, 0.1689, 0.1788, 0.134, 0.1362, 0.0, 0.0586, 0.0619, 0.0908, 0.0908, 0.1224, 0.0855, 0.1941, 0.1823, 0.2117, 0.2459, 0.2582, 0.3055, 0.3665, 0.3378, 0.4527, 0.4424, 0.5177, 0.3889, 0.3321, 0.424, 0.3534, 0.3446, 0.4486, 0.4615, 0.4521, 0.4929, 0.5936, 0.5163, 0.4791, 0.4786, 0.4387, 0.3979, 0.3229, 0.3439, 0.243, 0.2049, 0.2393, 0.3542, 0.4139, 0.4139, 0.4694, 0.4304, 0.4659, 0.4192, 0.4192, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2051848666588303758", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-06T02:16:58+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "as photonics ramps up, $AXTI will just keep growing as a critical bottleneck", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AXTI: InP substrate scarcity from photonics ramp makes it a critical bottleneck that will keep growing.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I think this is just $LITE corporate wording for:\n\n“We don’t have enough InP substrates”. \n\nRemember I sad last year that as photonics ramps up, $AXTI will just keep growing as a critical bottleneck? https://t.co/DfeQa3haIK", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.025946782153898118, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.025946782153898118, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03965567566371775, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07518646282066632, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.01370889350981963, "bench_c_m1d": -0.049239680666768204, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03424588643694104, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03424588643694104, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.037311991594267346, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05181725213850563, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0030661051573263043, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01757136570156459, "ret_p1w": 0.16321663943043951, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16321663943043951, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15166085638632376, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.12192587290722745, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011555783044115753, "bench_c_p1w": 0.041290766523212064, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7705, -0.7351, -0.7677, -0.7443, -0.7635, -0.7688, -0.7688, -0.7786, -0.7754, -0.7729, -0.7169, -0.7288, -0.6654, -0.6092, -0.6459, -0.6385, -0.5581, -0.6016, -0.6267, -0.6299, -0.6912, -0.6322, -0.5774, -0.5482, -0.5542, -0.5339, -0.5384, -0.5768, -0.5349, -0.4459, -0.4826, -0.3853, -0.3471, -0.3575, -0.4419, -0.4216, -0.497, -0.4565, -0.5503, -0.4959, -0.4959, -0.5994, -0.5663, -0.4927, -0.3979, -0.3878, -0.3661, -0.358, -0.3997, -0.2199, -0.2124, -0.2487, -0.2848, -0.1707, -0.282, -0.2735, -0.3308, -0.3446, -0.322, -0.2443, -0.0842, 0.0112, 0.0259, 0.0, 0.0342, 0.11, 0.2001, 0.1724, 0.1632, 0.0968, 0.1808, 0.01, 0.0768, -0.0021, 0.1544, 0.3434, 0.3434, 0.2649, 0.1711, 0.1037, -0.0159, -0.0159, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2042345236354265271", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-09T20:53:43+00:00", "symbol": "POWL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$POWL was another good switchgear long that I came across often", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long HPS.A, Hammond, and POWL on multi-year transformer/switchgear bottleneck driving DC delays; structural long thesis on backlog + extreme demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["POWL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Unfortunately, not all my names go up triple digits in a week.\n\n$HPS.A is only up ~17% so far.\n\nHammond was my pick for the transformers/switchgear DC bottleneck since it had a lower MC but high dry transformer market share.\n\n$POWL was another good switchgear long that I came across often; I ended up passing but just throwing that out there. \n\nTransformers/Switchgear are probably under-appreciated as a bottleneck but many types are sold out for the next 2-5 years. \n\nBecause of this, they’re causing widespread DC delays and should be a good structural long from backlog visibility + extreme demand.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The current bottleneck: Transformers/Switchgear. 

Trade Idea: Long Hammond  (~2.2B CAD / ~$1.5B USD) at 184 CAD.\n\nThey dominate the market for:\n\n-Transformers (dry, multi year bottleneck ~23% of market), \n\n-serve to switchgear (2-3Y bottleneck) \n\n-and manufacture liquid too https://t.co/1r8ZJMfGUu", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.055196889656613624, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.055196889656613624, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04946088999055609, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04946088999055609, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005735999666057534, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005735999666057534, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0005632504384585069, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0005632504384585069, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0012250309530080772, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0012250309530080772, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0006617805145495703, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0006617805145495703, "ret_p1w": 0.008665142092273426, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.008665142092273426, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.023324387197035223, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.023324387197035223, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03198952928930865, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03198952928930865, "ret_p1m": 0.34045324565046586, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.34045324565046586, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2555743289524921, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2555743289524921, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08487891669797376, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08487891669797376, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.442, -0.4239, -0.4208, -0.4146, -0.3938, -0.3938, -0.3818, -0.3911, -0.3838, -0.3967, -0.3888, -0.3616, -0.3599, -0.3404, -0.3597, -0.3643, -0.3458, -0.2388, -0.2222, -0.1567, -0.1889, -0.1768, -0.1449, -0.1442, -0.1555, -0.1555, -0.1893, -0.2158, -0.2254, -0.2103, -0.2141, -0.1925, -0.2071, -0.2333, -0.2438, -0.231, -0.2618, -0.2593, -0.2736, -0.3015, -0.2489, -0.2352, -0.256, -0.2583, -0.274, -0.2608, -0.246, -0.2747, -0.2412, -0.2548, -0.2164, -0.1906, -0.1558, -0.2427, -0.223, -0.2742, -0.2186, -0.1998, -0.2089, -0.2089, -0.191, -0.1261, -0.0552, 0.0, 0.0006, -0.0079, 0.0156, -0.0047, 0.0087, 0.0442, 0.047, 0.044, 0.0518, 0.0926, 0.0951, 0.1287, 0.1072, 0.0983, 0.2013, 0.1929, 0.1696, 0.2768, 0.3877, 0.3255, 0.3405, 0.3953, 0.3346, 0.3034, 0.2867, 0.2679, 0.1559, 0.1333, 0.1747, 0.1734, 0.2102, 0.2102, 0.2654, 0.2826, 0.2521, 0.2327, 0.2327, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2042345236354265271", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-04-09T20:53:43+00:00", "symbol": "Hammond", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "they're causing widespread DC delays and should be a good structural long from backlog visibility + extreme demand", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long HPS.A, Hammond, and POWL on multi-year transformer/switchgear bottleneck driving DC delays; structural long thesis on backlog + extreme demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["HMM-A.TO"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Hammond Power Solutions trades on TSX; ~2.2B CAD", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Unfortunately, not all my names go up triple digits in a week.\n\n$HPS.A is only up ~17% so far.\n\nHammond was my pick for the transformers/switchgear DC bottleneck since it had a lower MC but high dry transformer market share.\n\n$POWL was another good switchgear long that I came across often; I ended up passing but just throwing that out there. \n\nTransformers/Switchgear are probably under-appreciated as a bottleneck but many types are sold out for the next 2-5 years. \n\nBecause of this, they’re causing widespread DC delays and should be a good structural long from backlog visibility + extreme demand.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The current bottleneck: Transformers/Switchgear. 

Trade Idea: Long Hammond  (~2.2B CAD / ~$1.5B USD) at 184 CAD.\n\nThey dominate the market for:\n\n-Transformers (dry, multi year bottleneck ~23% of market), \n\n-serve to switchgear (2-3Y bottleneck) \n\n-and manufacture liquid too https://t.co/1r8ZJMfGUu", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.002790672834529495, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.002790672834529495, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00852667250058703, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00852667250058703, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005735999666057534, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005735999666057534, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.013953452886537043, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.013953452886537043, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013291672371987473, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.013291672371987473, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0006617805145495703, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0006617805145495703, "ret_p1w": -0.03813952068949855, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03813952068949855, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0701290499788072, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0701290499788072, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03198952928930865, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03198952928930865, "ret_p1m": 0.4874418391737827, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4874418391737827, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.40256292247580894, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.40256292247580894, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08487891669797376, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08487891669797376, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0075, -0.0075, -0.0075, -0.013, -0.0075, -0.0056, -0.0028, -0.0167, -0.026, -0.0316, -0.0631, -0.0678, -0.0705, -0.0492, -0.0594, -0.0724, -0.077, -0.0724, -0.0678, -0.0399, -0.026, -0.0529, -0.0251, -0.0446, -0.0075, -0.0075, 0.0213, 0.0269, 0.0129, 0.025, 0.0352, 0.0398, 0.0343, 0.0602, 0.0482, 0.0343, 0.0213, 0.0092, 0.0157, 0.0204, 0.0204, 0.0333, 0.0027, -0.0158, -0.0362, -0.0093, -0.013, -0.0121, -0.0177, -0.0456, -0.0335, -0.0391, -0.0419, -0.0558, -0.0437, -0.0549, -0.0521, -0.0512, -0.0251, -0.0251, -0.0102, 0.0084, 0.0028, 0.0, -0.014, -0.0093, -0.0065, -0.0372, -0.0381, -0.0484, -0.0502, -0.0465, -0.0595, -0.0474, -0.0586, 0.0167, 0.0186, 0.2093, 0.2065, 0.2279, 0.3219, 0.44, 0.507, 0.5181, 0.4874, 0.4558, 0.4409, 0.547, 0.5963, 0.5926, 0.5926, 0.5656, 0.5767, 0.6512, 0.6279, 0.6605, 0.7181, 0.6967, 0.6902, 0.7163, 0.7163, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2055970949762302055", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-17T11:17:27+00:00", "symbol": "BOT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$BOT is the biggest red flag. NAV is $7.34/share. The stock is now trading at $37.92. You are basically buying Figure at $200B+ while it's valued at $39B. Retail just looks like exit liquidity.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short BOT: trading at massive premium to NAV ($37.92 vs $7.34), implies $200B+ valuation vs $39B actual, $2B dilution risk, retail is exit liquidity.", "resolved_tickers": ["BOT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Asset Management'", "bench_c_industry": "Asset Management", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$BOT is the biggest red flag.\n\nNAV is $7.34/share. The stock is now trading at $37.92.\n\nYou are basically buying Figure at $200B+ while it’s valued at $39B.\n\nBuying the company is just trading pyramid float dynamics off other retail.\n\nNot the appreciation or underlying fundamentals. \n\nTo make matters worse: \n\nThere’s $2B dilution as valuation arbitrage as you all get diluted to oblivion. \n\nI got a lot of fund managers dming influencers like myself about it but in reality:\n\nRetail just looks like exit liquidity.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.2697460347863796, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.2697460347863796, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.2690421039951958, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.28211563632452685, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0007039307911838044, "bench_c_m1d": -0.012369601538147257, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.1463329138421856, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1463329138421856, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.13967205445994246, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.13396331230403835, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006660859382243145, "bench_c_p1d": -0.012369601538147257, "ret_p1w": -0.14033855302994025, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.14033855302994025, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14980174940622126, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1442039751743972, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009463196376281013, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0038654221444569536, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.3752, -0.1044, -0.2592, -0.0444, 0.2697, 0.0, -0.1463, -0.0042, 0.1033, -0.1403, -0.1403, -0.0874, 0.0113, 0.0219, -0.1227, -0.1227, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2041056589088702781", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-06T07:33:06+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's probably extremely bullish for the Neocloud segment like $NBIS (and even $CRWV) more than markets think", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Extremely bullish on Neocloud players NBIS and CRWV as hyperscaler buildout delays spill demand to secured-capacity providers.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’ve been thinking about this report more from last month…\n\nIt’s probably extremely bullish for the Neocloud segment like $NBIS (and even $CRWV) more than markets think.\n\nBecause of the hyperscaler buildout delay spillover.\n\nAnd partly why $META might have signed a $27B deal. \n\nCompanies that already have secured capacity/component orders for their buildout are likely to be major winners as other competition stalls.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03305492438635538, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03305492438635538, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02835036453873163, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03251801326572801, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004704559847623746, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005369111206273702, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.043184650531498336, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.043184650531498336, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04274457642564955, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.042647807676747806, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004400741058487867, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00053684285475053, "ret_p1w": 0.37337832149660866, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.37337832149660866, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.33214483203314615, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.34599824365029885, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0412334894634625, "bench_c_p1w": 0.027380077846309803, "ret_p1m": 0.5631775078888712, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5631775078888712, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.46477551135481376, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5285497784399209, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09840199653405746, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03462772944895032, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1451, -0.1354, -0.1298, -0.0463, -0.0632, -0.0938, -0.0769, -0.0339, -0.0339, -0.1177, -0.1215, -0.1394, -0.1603, -0.1873, -0.1304, -0.1076, -0.1567, -0.243, -0.2166, -0.2007, -0.2679, -0.3436, -0.2349, -0.1747, -0.1844, -0.2126, -0.2027, -0.1291, -0.1291, -0.1335, -0.0954, -0.0438, -0.1299, -0.106, -0.0885, -0.057, -0.0681, -0.1897, -0.1913, -0.2287, -0.1312, -0.1501, -0.2062, -0.1564, -0.1431, -0.0048, -0.04, 0.0036, 0.1538, 0.0337, 0.0535, 0.0798, 0.0451, 0.0143, 0.0211, 0.0227, -0.0584, -0.1041, -0.1802, -0.078, -0.0941, -0.0331, -0.0331, 0.0, 0.0432, 0.1107, 0.2114, 0.2882, 0.3734, 0.439, 0.4819, 0.4692, 0.3963, 0.4143, 0.3911, 0.3874, 0.3958, 0.3076, 0.2881, 0.2041, 0.2546, 0.2283, 0.3728, 0.5676, 0.5632, 0.7335, 0.6418, 0.5732, 0.6536, 0.5915, 0.8417, 0.9651, 0.9543, 0.7759, 0.757, 0.7045, 0.9542, 0.9084, 0.9084, 0.8488, 0.8515, 1.0112, 1.0534, 1.0534, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2041056589088702781", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-06T07:33:06+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "and even $CRWV", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Extremely bullish on Neocloud players NBIS and CRWV as hyperscaler buildout delays spill demand to secured-capacity providers.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I’ve been thinking about this report more from last month…\n\nIt’s probably extremely bullish for the Neocloud segment like $NBIS (and even $CRWV) more than markets think.\n\nBecause of the hyperscaler buildout delay spillover.\n\nAnd partly why $META might have signed a $27B deal. \n\nCompanies that already have secured capacity/component orders for their buildout are likely to be major winners as other competition stalls.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.016061222920080498, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016061222920080498, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.020765782767704244, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.020765782767704244, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004704559847623746, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004704559847623746, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.053125714018554815, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.053125714018554815, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05268563991270603, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05268563991270603, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004400741058487867, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0004400741058487867, "ret_p1w": 0.3623671030019131, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.3623671030019131, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.3211336135384506, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.3211336135384506, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0412334894634625, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0412334894634625, "ret_p1m": 0.5800592479871747, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5800592479871747, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4816572514531172, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4816572514531172, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09840199653405746, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09840199653405746, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0465, -0.0476, -0.0099, 0.1111, 0.0808, 0.1095, 0.1738, 0.2507, 0.2507, 0.1764, 0.162, 0.134, 0.1488, 0.2146, 0.3449, 0.3099, 0.2297, 0.1513, 0.0988, 0.1127, 0.0188, -0.0777, 0.1113, 0.1958, 0.1751, 0.1756, 0.1824, 0.1866, 0.1866, 0.1243, 0.1793, 0.2001, 0.1027, 0.1223, 0.2268, 0.2109, 0.2062, -0.017, -0.0357, -0.0885, -0.0178, -0.0756, -0.0982, -0.0807, -0.0744, 0.0126, -0.0133, 0.0021, 0.0608, 0.0146, 0.0232, -0.0035, 0.0065, 0.0126, 0.0257, 0.082, -0.0061, -0.0757, -0.1457, -0.0429, -0.0309, 0.0161, 0.0161, 0.0, 0.0531, 0.0983, 0.1366, 0.2602, 0.3624, 0.448, 0.4664, 0.4771, 0.4437, 0.4508, 0.4228, 0.514, 0.4507, 0.3608, 0.3845, 0.3038, 0.4108, 0.3788, 0.4703, 0.5497, 0.5801, 0.7047, 0.5918, 0.4103, 0.4171, 0.3312, 0.3752, 0.4111, 0.3257, 0.2821, 0.2331, 0.2513, 0.3291, 0.3033, 0.3033, 0.3083, 0.2882, 0.3202, 0.3532, 0.3532, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2039756817019060539", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-02T17:28:16+00:00", "symbol": "AEHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Yes I'm long on $AEHR. But it's highly compelling long from here", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds long position in AEHR; describes it as highly compelling from current levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["AEHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@jaimecarralon Yes I’m long on $AEHR. \n\nAlso used inevitable to poke some fun at others using that format with $LITE, don’t really mean that.\n\nBut it’s highly compelling long from here", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Do you hold a position?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jaimecarralon", "ret_m1d": -0.10649822322210745, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10649822322210745, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.10559855891871539, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.10560607880688166, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0008996643033920559, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0008921444152257818, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.5537003854806699, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.5537003854806699, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.5169836213387371, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.45686619521471306, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03671676414193281, "bench_c_p1w": 0.09683419026595685, "ret_p1m": 1.0999548812202073, "ret_signed_p1m": 1.0999548812202073, "alpha_spy_p1m": 1.0011182838777302, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.8004544789812353, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09883659734247718, "bench_c_p1m": 0.299500402238972, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.47, -0.442, -0.4544, -0.4878, -0.4061, -0.4055, -0.3951, -0.414, -0.4014, -0.35, -0.35, -0.3443, -0.3412, -0.3026, -0.3673, -0.3958, -0.3739, -0.3687, -0.3935, -0.4215, -0.412, -0.3865, -0.4623, -0.481, -0.4046, -0.3775, -0.3946, -0.2362, -0.3707, -0.3493, -0.3493, -0.3572, -0.3454, -0.317, -0.2419, -0.2256, -0.1148, -0.0641, -0.102, -0.1555, -0.0065, -0.0605, -0.0375, -0.0864, -0.1965, -0.0776, -0.0532, -0.0422, -0.1505, -0.1952, -0.1543, -0.1631, -0.1807, -0.148, -0.2211, -0.1618, -0.1157, -0.1194, -0.22, -0.2662, -0.3204, -0.1634, -0.1065, 0.0, 0.0, 0.1769, 0.1338, 0.4251, 0.5537, 0.5891, 0.6169, 0.6782, 0.6521, 0.8242, 0.8921, 1.0341, 1.1146, 1.1968, 1.155, 1.164, 0.9964, 0.8599, 0.8459, 1.0433, 1.1, 0.9316, 1.0575, 1.1825, 1.0591, 1.1938, 1.3592, 1.1823, 1.3296, 1.3994, 1.245, 0.8856, 0.8308, 0.8579, 1.06, 1.144, 1.144, 1.4801, 1.3425, 1.2561, 1.0833, 1.0833, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2050762148545216899", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-03T02:19:32+00:00", "symbol": "Shunsin", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Shunsin (Packaging)... one of the best and earliest opportunities of the next optical supercycle", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish CPO supercycle; named beneficiaries Sivers (lasers), Shunsin (packaging), MSSCorps (yields), Win Semi/TSEM (foundry), with NVDA and AVGO as architectural drivers.", "resolved_tickers": ["6451.TW"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Shunsin Technology listed on TWSE as 6451.TW", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TW')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just in case you’re wondering why I’m so bullish on CPO.\n\nLike $SIVE (Lasers), Shunsin (Packaging), MSSCorps (Yields), Win Semi / $TSEM (Foundry).\n\n“The CPO market is projected to grow sharply by a 142% CAGR from 2026 to 2030 (excl. ELS)”\n\n“The scale-up CPO segment is projected to surpass scale-out applications before 2030 and become the dominant market.\n\nYou have almost parabolic growth over the next few years. \n\nWith many players like Sivers having no material exposure to previous 800g pluggable optics but are the bleeding edge leaders of CPO as the laser supplier.\n\nThis is one of the best and earliest opportunities of the next optical supercycle for an architecture driven by $NVDA and $AVGO.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.09071729957805907, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09071729957805907, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09439414894301323, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08585055448809453, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00367684936495416, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0048667450899645415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09915611814345993, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09915611814345993, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09113393225846766, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07305288968019097, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008022185884992261, "bench_c_p1d": 0.026103228463268957, "ret_p1w": -0.039029535864978926, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.039029535864978926, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06868090247237946, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1135787847396833, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02965136660740053, "bench_c_p1w": 0.07454924887470438, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5612, -0.5823, -0.6234, -0.635, -0.6255, -0.6498, -0.6498, -0.6498, -0.6498, -0.6498, -0.6498, -0.6498, -0.6498, -0.615, -0.577, -0.5549, -0.5591, -0.5591, -0.5686, -0.5622, -0.6055, -0.5886, -0.5992, -0.6392, -0.6361, -0.6002, -0.5865, -0.5454, -0.5, -0.4504, -0.4114, -0.4262, -0.4209, -0.4082, -0.3882, -0.327, -0.2996, -0.23, -0.307, -0.3755, -0.3565, -0.3766, -0.3766, -0.3766, -0.3143, -0.2458, -0.1709, -0.0886, 0.0021, 0.0042, -0.038, 0.0422, 0.0654, 0.0696, 0.0, 0.0464, -0.058, -0.1519, -0.1994, -0.1456, -0.1614, -0.0907, -0.0907, 0.0, 0.0992, 0.0074, 0.0338, -0.0696, -0.039, -0.0369, 0.0084, 0.1076, 0.2173, 0.097, 0.0211, 0.0243, 0.0527, 0.1055, 0.2152, 0.3333, 0.27, 0.2004, 0.2025, 0.2932, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2050762148545216899", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-05-03T02:19:32+00:00", "symbol": "MSSCorps", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "MSSCorps (Yields)... one of the best and earliest opportunities of the next optical supercycle", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish CPO supercycle; named beneficiaries Sivers (lasers), Shunsin (packaging), MSSCorps (yields), Win Semi/TSEM (foundry), with NVDA and AVGO as architectural drivers.", "resolved_tickers": ["6830.TW"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "MSSCorps is MSSCorp 6830.TW per tweet context", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just in case you’re wondering why I’m so bullish on CPO.\n\nLike $SIVE (Lasers), Shunsin (Packaging), MSSCorps (Yields), Win Semi / $TSEM (Foundry).\n\n“The CPO market is projected to grow sharply by a 142% CAGR from 2026 to 2030 (excl. ELS)”\n\n“The scale-up CPO segment is projected to surpass scale-out applications before 2030 and become the dominant market.\n\nYou have almost parabolic growth over the next few years. \n\nWith many players like Sivers having no material exposure to previous 800g pluggable optics but are the bleeding edge leaders of CPO as the laser supplier.\n\nThis is one of the best and earliest opportunities of the next optical supercycle for an architecture driven by $NVDA and $AVGO.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08108108108108103, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08108108108108103, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08475793044603519, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08705988636178585, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00367684936495416, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005978805280704824, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.054054054054053946, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.054054054054053946, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.046031868169061685, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.022680124757113118, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008022185884992261, "bench_c_p1d": 0.03137392929694083, "ret_p1w": -0.18486486486486486, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.18486486486486486, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2145162314722654, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.32204197538698287, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02965136660740053, "bench_c_p1w": 0.137177110522118, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7766, -0.7544, -0.7787, -0.7566, -0.7604, -0.7641, -0.7641, -0.7641, -0.7641, -0.7641, -0.7641, -0.7641, -0.7641, -0.7555, -0.7453, -0.7199, -0.6924, -0.6924, -0.6616, -0.6648, -0.6449, -0.6098, -0.5709, -0.5828, -0.593, -0.5758, -0.5812, -0.6227, -0.6168, -0.599, -0.585, -0.5477, -0.5142, -0.5078, -0.5569, -0.5348, -0.4883, -0.531, -0.5121, -0.4954, -0.4452, -0.3901, -0.3901, -0.3901, -0.3502, -0.2854, -0.2995, -0.2432, -0.1676, -0.1351, -0.1427, -0.1297, -0.0432, -0.0638, -0.053, -0.0378, -0.1319, -0.2184, -0.2962, -0.2259, -0.1643, -0.0811, -0.0811, 0.0, 0.0541, -0.0508, -0.0551, -0.1492, -0.1849, -0.1568, -0.1935, -0.2141, -0.2054, -0.2032, -0.2303, -0.2605, -0.2508, -0.2259, -0.1492, -0.1589, -0.2216, -0.2584, -0.267, -0.2659, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2050762148545216899", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-05-03T02:19:32+00:00", "symbol": "Win Semi", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Win Semi / $TSEM (Foundry)... one of the best and earliest opportunities of the next optical supercycle", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish CPO supercycle; named beneficiaries Sivers (lasers), Shunsin (packaging), MSSCorps (yields), Win Semi/TSEM (foundry), with NVDA and AVGO as architectural drivers.", "resolved_tickers": ["3105.TWO"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Win Semi Taiwan foundry; retrying .TWO OTC market suffix", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TWO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just in case you’re wondering why I’m so bullish on CPO.\n\nLike $SIVE (Lasers), Shunsin (Packaging), MSSCorps (Yields), Win Semi / $TSEM (Foundry).\n\n“The CPO market is projected to grow sharply by a 142% CAGR from 2026 to 2030 (excl. ELS)”\n\n“The scale-up CPO segment is projected to surpass scale-out applications before 2030 and become the dominant market.\n\nYou have almost parabolic growth over the next few years. \n\nWith many players like Sivers having no material exposure to previous 800g pluggable optics but are the bleeding edge leaders of CPO as the laser supplier.\n\nThis is one of the best and earliest opportunities of the next optical supercycle for an architecture driven by $NVDA and $AVGO.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.022900763358778553, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.022900763358778553, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.019223913993824393, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.027767508448743095, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00367684936495416, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0048667450899645415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.059160305343511466, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.059160305343511466, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.051138119458519204, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03305707688024251, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008022185884992261, "bench_c_p1d": 0.026103228463268957, "ret_p1w": 0.003816793893129722, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.003816793893129722, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02583457271427081, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07073245498157466, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02965136660740053, "bench_c_p1w": 0.07454924887470438, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.52, -0.542, -0.5811, -0.5487, -0.5124, -0.5305, -0.5305, -0.5305, -0.5305, -0.5305, -0.5305, -0.5305, -0.5305, -0.4838, -0.4323, -0.3855, -0.355, -0.355, -0.3674, -0.3779, -0.4399, -0.4275, -0.4303, -0.4866, -0.4809, -0.4294, -0.4151, -0.4027, -0.4208, -0.4399, -0.3845, -0.3235, -0.3435, -0.3989, -0.4017, -0.3426, -0.3158, -0.27, -0.2548, -0.3292, -0.2815, -0.2824, -0.2824, -0.2824, -0.2233, -0.1603, -0.1679, -0.1145, -0.126, -0.1279, -0.1479, -0.0639, 0.0286, 0.1298, 0.1775, 0.145, 0.0687, 0.0439, -0.0601, -0.0468, -0.042, 0.0229, 0.0229, 0.0, 0.0592, -0.0458, -0.0458, -0.0601, 0.0038, -0.0229, -0.0544, -0.0773, -0.125, -0.1403, -0.1288, -0.1479, -0.0782, 0.0134, 0.0363, 0.0725, 0.0687, 0.0076, 0.0057, 0.0344, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2050762148545216899", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-05-03T02:19:32+00:00", "symbol": "TSEM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Win Semi / $TSEM (Foundry)... one of the best and earliest opportunities of the next optical supercycle", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish CPO supercycle; named beneficiaries Sivers (lasers), Shunsin (packaging), MSSCorps (yields), Win Semi/TSEM (foundry), with NVDA and AVGO as architectural drivers.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSEM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just in case you’re wondering why I’m so bullish on CPO.\n\nLike $SIVE (Lasers), Shunsin (Packaging), MSSCorps (Yields), Win Semi / $TSEM (Foundry).\n\n“The CPO market is projected to grow sharply by a 142% CAGR from 2026 to 2030 (excl. ELS)”\n\n“The scale-up CPO segment is projected to surpass scale-out applications before 2030 and become the dominant market.\n\nYou have almost parabolic growth over the next few years. \n\nWith many players like Sivers having no material exposure to previous 800g pluggable optics but are the bleeding edge leaders of CPO as the laser supplier.\n\nThis is one of the best and earliest opportunities of the next optical supercycle for an architecture driven by $NVDA and $AVGO.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.013717088169493019, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.013717088169493019, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010040238804538859, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.010040238804538859, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00367684936495416, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00367684936495416, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.048684094390220256, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.048684094390220256, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.040661908505227995, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.040661908505227995, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008022185884992261, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008022185884992261, "ret_p1w": 0.06426117121317954, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06426117121317954, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.034609804605779004, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.034609804605779004, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02965136660740053, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02965136660740053, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4361, -0.3998, -0.3535, -0.314, -0.365, -0.3749, -0.3789, -0.4014, -0.4014, -0.4058, -0.4032, -0.4148, -0.4026, -0.4075, -0.4141, -0.4143, -0.4242, -0.4194, -0.3556, -0.4163, -0.4257, -0.4395, -0.4858, -0.4631, -0.4565, -0.4446, -0.4488, -0.4201, -0.3561, -0.359, -0.3399, -0.2278, -0.2391, -0.1996, -0.1592, -0.1224, -0.1878, -0.2006, -0.2626, -0.184, -0.1301, -0.0803, -0.0803, -0.1156, -0.1125, -0.0529, -0.0523, -0.0533, -0.026, -0.0044, 0.0027, -0.0014, 0.053, 0.0438, 0.0077, -0.0417, -0.0641, -0.0675, -0.0545, -0.1, -0.0738, 0.0279, 0.0137, 0.0, 0.0487, 0.0084, -0.0235, -0.0188, 0.0643, 0.0268, 0.259, 0.3052, 0.274, 0.1535, 0.1684, 0.2298, 0.2974, 0.3179, 0.3179, 0.3416, 0.2917, 0.281, 0.1868, 0.1868, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2050762148545216899", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2026-05-03T02:19:32+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "an architecture driven by $NVDA and $AVGO", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish CPO supercycle; named beneficiaries Sivers (lasers), Shunsin (packaging), MSSCorps (yields), Win Semi/TSEM (foundry), with NVDA and AVGO as architectural drivers.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just in case you’re wondering why I’m so bullish on CPO.\n\nLike $SIVE (Lasers), Shunsin (Packaging), MSSCorps (Yields), Win Semi / $TSEM (Foundry).\n\n“The CPO market is projected to grow sharply by a 142% CAGR from 2026 to 2030 (excl. ELS)”\n\n“The scale-up CPO segment is projected to surpass scale-out applications before 2030 and become the dominant market.\n\nYou have almost parabolic growth over the next few years. \n\nWith many players like Sivers having no material exposure to previous 800g pluggable optics but are the bleeding edge leaders of CPO as the laser supplier.\n\nThis is one of the best and earliest opportunities of the next optical supercycle for an architecture driven by $NVDA and $AVGO.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00015114258334658626, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00015114258334658626, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0038279919483007463, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0038279919483007463, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00367684936495416, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00367684936495416, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.009975794891980305, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.009975794891980305, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.017997980776972566, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.017997980776972566, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008022185884992261, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008022185884992261, "ret_p1w": 0.10560261570460616, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10560261570460616, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07595124909720563, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07595124909720563, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02965136660740053, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02965136660740053, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1224, -0.1341, -0.0659, -0.0426, -0.0501, -0.0425, -0.0582, -0.079, -0.079, -0.0681, -0.053, -0.0534, -0.0437, -0.035, -0.0284, -0.0148, -0.0685, -0.1073, -0.0807, -0.0929, -0.0778, -0.0763, -0.1041, -0.0798, -0.0691, -0.0627, -0.0773, -0.0918, -0.0769, -0.0834, -0.0911, -0.1004, -0.1299, -0.1151, -0.1173, -0.0998, -0.1372, -0.156, -0.1678, -0.1213, -0.1145, -0.1063, -0.1063, -0.105, -0.1027, -0.0826, -0.0734, -0.0496, -0.0462, -0.0099, 0.002, -0.0007, 0.0161, 0.018, 0.0071, 0.0203, 0.0058, 0.0493, 0.0913, 0.074, 0.0543, 0.0055, -0.0002, 0.0, -0.01, 0.0471, 0.0656, 0.0842, 0.1056, 0.1124, 0.1378, 0.1877, 0.1352, 0.1201, 0.1115, 0.1259, 0.106, 0.0849, 0.0849, 0.0825, 0.0711, 0.0795, 0.0638, 0.0638, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2050762148545216899", "ticker_idx": 6, "ts": "2026-05-03T02:19:32+00:00", "symbol": "AVGO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "an architecture driven by $NVDA and $AVGO", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish CPO supercycle; named beneficiaries Sivers (lasers), Shunsin (packaging), MSSCorps (yields), Win Semi/TSEM (foundry), with NVDA and AVGO as architectural drivers.", "resolved_tickers": ["AVGO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just in case you’re wondering why I’m so bullish on CPO.\n\nLike $SIVE (Lasers), Shunsin (Packaging), MSSCorps (Yields), Win Semi / $TSEM (Foundry).\n\n“The CPO market is projected to grow sharply by a 142% CAGR from 2026 to 2030 (excl. ELS)”\n\n“The scale-up CPO segment is projected to surpass scale-out applications before 2030 and become the dominant market.\n\nYou have almost parabolic growth over the next few years. \n\nWith many players like Sivers having no material exposure to previous 800g pluggable optics but are the bleeding edge leaders of CPO as the laser supplier.\n\nThis is one of the best and earliest opportunities of the next optical supercycle for an architecture driven by $NVDA and $AVGO.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.011476587705394614, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011476587705394614, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007799738340440454, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00549778242468979, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00367684936495416, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005978805280704824, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.026074394601590667, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.026074394601590667, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.018052208716598406, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005299534695350161, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008022185884992261, "bench_c_p1d": 0.03137392929694083, "ret_p1w": 0.028643439797794157, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.028643439797794157, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0010079268096063743, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10853367072432385, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02965136660740053, "bench_c_p1w": 0.137177110522118, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2619, -0.256, -0.2023, -0.1759, -0.1843, -0.1788, -0.2065, -0.2209, -0.2209, -0.2033, -0.2009, -0.1998, -0.203, -0.2085, -0.2201, -0.2038, -0.2292, -0.2344, -0.2361, -0.2481, -0.2392, -0.2027, -0.2082, -0.1716, -0.1792, -0.1816, -0.195, -0.2281, -0.2215, -0.2302, -0.2431, -0.2337, -0.256, -0.2257, -0.2358, -0.2345, -0.2571, -0.2781, -0.2955, -0.2569, -0.2473, -0.2448, -0.2448, -0.2451, -0.1982, -0.1582, -0.1479, -0.1079, -0.0882, -0.0858, -0.0475, -0.0433, -0.0239, -0.0405, -0.0344, 0.0148, 0.0083, 0.015, 0.0041, -0.04, -0.0265, 0.0022, 0.0115, 0.0, 0.0261, 0.0215, -0.0095, 0.0324, 0.0286, 0.0067, 0.0007, 0.0559, 0.0209, 0.0101, -0.013, 0.003, -0.0046, -0.0057, -0.0057, 0.0132, 0.0129, 0.0242, 0.0727, 0.0727, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2038934006734135572", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-31T10:58:43+00:00", "symbol": "MRVL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If you look at $MRVL Celestial point its starting volume ramp 2027 and exponentially increasing 2028, 2029", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long SIVE as a $10B+ opportunity on CPO scale-up from 2027; long MRVL on Celestial volume ramp exponentially increasing 2027–2029.", "resolved_tickers": ["MRVL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Pls stop tagging me in stuff where random retail investors or journalists tries doing an analysis on $AXTI or $SIVE.\n\nFor $AXTI:\n\nMajority of folks have 0 clue what they’re talking about. \n\nSamsung Foundry or $LITE InP fab are completely different parts of the supply chain and this is like conflating NAND and DRAM as memory.\n\nEven talking about Sumitomo displacing AXT means they don’t understand the upstream extraction/processing/crucible bottlenecks that InP substrate level players like $COHR or Sumitomo don’t do.\n\nFor $SIVE:\n\nThis is mass inflection point of CPO scale up 2027 onwards. \n\nI have idiots out there with no understanding of photonics looking at gross margin, burn rate, and former revenue numbers for previous years or even the current year.\n\nFor the biggest architectural inflection 2027 onwards. \n\nIf you look at $MRVL Celestial point its starting volume ramp 2027 and exponentially increasing 2028, 2029.\n\nThat’s why I said $SIVE can be a $10B+ company one day since it’s looking at forward growth and this is the earliest out on.\n\nWhat I do is find 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{"unit_id": "reply:2042193982801973360", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-09T10:52:42+00:00", "symbol": "RDDT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Reddit is one of the biggest social media sites for censorship + echo chambers, albeit very profitable as a long", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Acknowledges Reddit's censorship flaws but calls it very profitable as a long.", "resolved_tickers": ["RDDT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Got banned from the subreddit after posting about $AXTI so a little salty. \n\nMods didn’t like it when a stock goes from $15 to $70 and retail actually makes money. But they encourage everyone to lose their life savings on 0dte $PLTR options.\n\nReddit is one of the biggest social media sites for censorship + echo chambers, albeit very profitable as a long.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thought for sure we’d see $RDDT on this list", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "KRock1287", "ret_m1d": 0.04783924615983115, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04783924615983115, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.053575245825888684, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05186479177973269, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005735999666057534, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004025545619901538, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009755678545247948, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009755678545247948, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010417459059797518, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012556061009804886, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0006617805145495703, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0028003824645569386, "ret_p1w": 0.17394125752353773, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.17394125752353773, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14195172823422908, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13403572394562135, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03198952928930865, "bench_c_p1w": 0.039905533577916374, "ret_p1m": 0.12588522585829853, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12588522585829853, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04100630916032477, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1025194616439189, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08487891669797376, "bench_c_p1m": 0.023365764214379636, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.7634, 0.8712, 0.8238, 0.6531, 0.6694, 0.6694, 0.6286, 0.5185, 0.5504, 0.5817, 0.5438, 0.4186, 0.3957, 0.3734, 0.3027, 0.2802, 0.1953, 0.1034, 0.0916, 0.0105, 0.0243, 0.0838, 0.0066, -0.0528, 0.0092, 0.0092, 0.0061, 0.0656, 0.056, 0.0852, 0.0295, 0.0267, 0.0816, 0.093, 0.0537, 0.0631, 0.0528, 0.0644, 0.0431, 0.0073, 0.0035, -0.0307, -0.0091, -0.0443, -0.0435, 0.0117, 0.043, 0.0319, -0.0019, 0.0106, 0.0186, -0.0163, 0.009, -0.0804, -0.1195, -0.103, -0.027, -0.0159, -0.0172, -0.0172, -0.0003, 0.0199, 0.0478, 0.0, 0.0098, 0.0793, 0.1168, 0.1453, 0.1739, 0.1837, 0.2016, 0.1333, 0.1874, 0.1054, 0.1193, 0.1578, 0.069, 0.0677, 0.064, 0.2031, 0.2218, 0.2403, 0.2036, 0.1848, 0.1259, 0.1527, 0.101, 0.1137, 0.1296, 0.143, 0.1498, 0.1192, 0.0603, 0.0843, 0.0238, 0.0238, 0.0452, 0.1143, 0.2118, 0.2719, 0.2719, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2052494142765441301", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-07T21:01:51+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I still am bearish on $IREN. So $IREN can continue selling their $6,000,000,000 ATM into retail investors. There's a \"5 GW deployment\" but I'd rather not be the one buying into the dilution to fund it.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish IREN: NVDA partnership is a risk-free option/brand deal, not real funding; $6B ATM dilutes retail while 5GW buildout requires ongoing share issuance.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I still am bearish on $IREN.\n\nAlgorithms/retail probably read $NVDA + $IREN partnership and bought it up. \n\nHowever, if you look at the realtity, it's just looks like brand agreement giving $NVDA risk-free convertible notes. \n\nSo $IREN can continue selling their $6,000,000,000 ATM into retail investors.  \n\nIt's the equivalent of a startup using AWS and saying they have an Amazon partnership so give them $6B.  \n\nThis wasn't Nvidia directly funding $IREN yet, just a risk free option to. \n\nThere's a \"5 GW deployment\" but I'd rather not be the one buying into the dilution to fund it.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit $IREN announcement 🤯", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.07264733824039182, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07264733824039182, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06957180316912193, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06702171418957992, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003075535071269897, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005625624050811906, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07651719271019042, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07651719271019042, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06826111970894821, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.08253072448869114, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008256073001242203, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006013531778500725, "ret_p1w": 0.02726478616289496, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02726478616289496, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0045878876244331845, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03230840062227758, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022676898538461776, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005043614459382617, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1882, -0.2449, -0.2494, -0.2959, -0.2573, -0.2573, -0.2793, -0.2598, -0.2385, -0.2967, -0.2549, -0.2005, -0.2255, -0.2218, -0.2797, -0.2719, -0.3166, -0.2288, -0.2942, -0.3544, -0.3168, -0.3295, -0.2616, -0.2723, -0.2686, -0.2095, -0.2443, -0.2575, -0.2672, -0.2737, -0.2584, -0.2767, -0.2712, -0.3412, -0.3828, -0.4438, -0.397, -0.4004, -0.3884, -0.3884, -0.3821, -0.3713, -0.3522, -0.3481, -0.3084, -0.2424, -0.1668, -0.1412, -0.1609, -0.1536, -0.143, -0.2055, -0.1488, -0.085, -0.1092, -0.1493, -0.2183, -0.2461, -0.1995, -0.1968, -0.1296, -0.0371, 0.0726, 0.0, 0.0765, -0.0299, -0.0051, -0.0296, 0.0273, -0.0688, -0.1124, -0.1602, -0.0728, 0.0213, -0.0004, -0.0004, 0.0515, 0.1933, 0.1266, 0.1177, 0.1177, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2039390756734177389", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-01T17:13:41+00:00", "symbol": "AEHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Lot of hyperscalers / optical transceiver customers for the next supercycle are qualifying Aehr right now, and the new siph customer 3 days ago is extremely positive news. And I think we'll get insight how that translates to volume orders soon enough.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish AEHR on hyperscaler/optical transceiver qualifications plus new silicon photonics customer, expecting volume order visibility soon.", "resolved_tickers": ["AEHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Nice return on $AEHR, pays dividends to be extremely early with that 132% return. \n\nLot of hyperscalers / optical transceiver customers for the next supercycle are qualifying Aehr right now, and the new siph customer 3 days ago is extremely positive news. \n\nAnd I think we'll get insight how that translates to volume orders soon enough.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Couldn’t agree more.. that’s exactly why $AEHR is a top 3 position in my growth portfolio. https://t.co/ZFoh53AkZE", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "StockSavvyShay", "ret_m1d": -0.06363628131736532, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06363628131736532, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0561581611599653, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04177234454279233, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0074781201574000145, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02186393677457299, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.11919195461049537, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.11919195461049537, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.11829148018240421, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.11829901356290096, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009004744280911581, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0008929410475944088, "ret_p1w": 0.594949552553333, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.594949552553333, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.5632512132565806, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.5159893971571436, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.031698339296752476, "bench_c_p1w": 0.07896015539618939, "ret_p1m": 1.2868687133353154, "ret_signed_p1m": 1.2868687133353154, "alpha_spy_p1m": 1.190079775151809, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.9941167179207766, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09678893818350631, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2927519954145388, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4404, -0.4068, -0.3755, -0.3894, -0.4268, -0.3354, -0.3346, -0.323, -0.3442, -0.3301, -0.2725, -0.2725, -0.2662, -0.2626, -0.2194, -0.2919, -0.3237, -0.2992, -0.2934, -0.3212, -0.3525, -0.3419, -0.3134, -0.3982, -0.4192, -0.3336, -0.3033, -0.3225, -0.1452, -0.2957, -0.2717, -0.2717, -0.2806, -0.2674, -0.2356, -0.1515, -0.1333, -0.0093, 0.0475, 0.0051, -0.0548, 0.1119, 0.0515, 0.0773, 0.0225, -0.1008, 0.0323, 0.0596, 0.072, -0.0492, -0.0992, -0.0535, -0.0634, -0.0831, -0.0465, -0.1283, -0.0619, -0.0104, -0.0144, -0.127, -0.1788, -0.2394, -0.0636, 0.0, 0.1192, 0.1192, 0.3172, 0.2689, 0.5949, 0.7389, 0.7785, 0.8096, 0.8783, 0.849, 1.0417, 1.1177, 1.2765, 1.3667, 1.4586, 1.4119, 1.422, 1.2343, 1.0816, 1.0659, 1.2869, 1.3503, 1.1619, 1.3028, 1.4427, 1.3045, 1.4553, 1.6404, 1.4424, 1.6073, 1.6854, 1.5126, 1.1104, 1.049, 1.0793, 1.3056, 1.3995, 1.3995, 1.7758, 1.6217, 1.525, 1.3316, 1.3316, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2054737349075218567", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-14T01:35:33+00:00", "symbol": "FOCI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's a pretty high conviction position for me medium term at this level.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "High-conviction long FOCI (3363) medium term; leading CPO supplier to NVDA/TSM, $3B MC vs $91B+ 2028 TAM, severely undervalued vs development-stage peers.", "resolved_tickers": ["3363.TWO"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "FOCI fiber optics Taiwan; retrying TWO (OTC market) suffix", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TWO')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Honestly I’m expecting FOCI (3363) to blow away projections over next two years.\n\nIt’s a pretty high conviction position for me medium term at this level. \n\nSince they’re expected to be the leading supplier to $NVDA and $TSM and get frequently cited as a bottleneck for that $91B+ 2028 CPO TAM (GS).\n\nInsane how it’s $3B MC as a critical CPO bottleneck required for scale, while LightWave Logic literally has around the same valuation at $2.7B in development stage.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit This is actually very interesting, their forecast EPS for 2028 is 47 TWD, which give them a PE OF 18, this is insane! Good find!", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05432372505543237, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05432372505543237, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04649129995763723, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.047830190024183206, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007832425097795137, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006493535031249165, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06762749445676275, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06762749445676275, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05559814256403817, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.023639178265195238, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012029351892724582, "bench_c_p1d": -0.04398831619156751, "ret_p1w": -0.09312638580931265, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09312638580931265, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08584192862508788, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.08254823226176022, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0072844571842247685, "bench_c_p1w": -0.010578153547552427, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4945, -0.4945, -0.4945, -0.4945, -0.4945, -0.4446, -0.3891, -0.3404, -0.3326, -0.3326, -0.3038, -0.3115, -0.3803, -0.3204, -0.3437, -0.4091, -0.3681, -0.3271, -0.3514, -0.3082, -0.3016, -0.3237, -0.2982, -0.2594, -0.1863, -0.2672, -0.2627, -0.2483, -0.2916, -0.2882, -0.3226, -0.3902, -0.3293, -0.3348, -0.3348, -0.3348, -0.2683, -0.2018, -0.1541, -0.1308, -0.1718, -0.1707, -0.0887, -0.0798, -0.0033, 0.0953, 0.0976, 0.0599, 0.01, -0.0898, -0.1807, -0.1741, -0.1641, -0.1475, -0.1475, -0.071, -0.0333, -0.0965, -0.0965, -0.102, -0.0543, 0.02, -0.0543, 0.0, -0.0676, -0.1086, -0.1408, -0.1386, -0.0931, -0.0554, -0.0621, -0.0188, -0.061, -0.0965, -0.1164, -0.0987, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2038620865433366775", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-30T14:14:24+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "even if $SPY, $MSFT, $AMZN crashes another 20% I expect $AAOI to outperform the market", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AAOI; expects it to outperform the market even if SPY/MSFT/AMZN fall another 20%.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Ungrate11057544 Let's just say even if $SPY, $MSFT, $AMZN crashes another 20% I expect $AAOI to outperform the market.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Is there not a huge risk of the AI bubble being popped right now ? UAE is funding a lot of AI + oil fields are on fire + helium supply constrained + etc+etc= funding being cut", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Ungrate11057544", "ret_m1d": 0.1528347959846763, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.1528347959846763, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.14948011735970157, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.14948011735970157, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007043151617800558, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007043151617800558, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03611107731671537, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03611107731671537, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "ret_p1w": 0.26129820247565294, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.26129820247565294, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.21863791286939094, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.21863791286939094, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "bench_c_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "ret_p1m": 0.6112218637538305, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6112218637538305, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.48507657927206105, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.48507657927206105, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5908, -0.5908, -0.5352, -0.5893, -0.5468, -0.5533, -0.6125, -0.6004, -0.6042, -0.5988, -0.5954, -0.5657, -0.5652, -0.5652, -0.5391, -0.5495, -0.5522, -0.5807, -0.5904, -0.5611, -0.4691, -0.5355, -0.4881, -0.4816, -0.4586, -0.5316, -0.5524, -0.48, -0.4376, -0.4308, -0.4319, -0.4836, -0.4781, -0.4781, -0.4846, -0.4901, -0.4485, -0.3934, -0.3666, -0.3395, -0.3178, -0.3698, -0.0113, 0.2033, 0.1191, 0.1704, 0.1872, 0.122, 0.2985, 0.4144, 0.4909, 0.2465, 0.1364, 0.1042, 0.0134, 0.0873, 0.1964, 0.0276, 0.1241, 0.337, 0.343, 0.1436, 0.1528, 0.0, -0.007, 0.0136, 0.2197, 0.2197, 0.2613, 0.3809, 0.5577, 0.5647, 0.7678, 0.7982, 0.7184, 0.6733, 0.8467, 0.8713, 0.9189, 0.7675, 0.754, 0.6167, 0.9036, 0.7112, 0.6112, 0.794, 0.9293, 1.1541, 1.0305, 1.1196, 1.0958, 0.8494, 0.7483, 1.1704, 1.2101, 1.6189, 1.3896, 1.2345, 1.0338, 1.0112, 0.9399, 1.0755, 1.1304, 1.1304, 1.085, 1.1109, 0.984, 0.8595, 0.8595, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2046043070538633618", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-20T01:47:36+00:00", "symbol": "Win Semi", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Would make photonics a massive growth vector for Win", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long SIVE supply chain and Win Semi (3105) as compelling plays on photonics supercycle driven by NVDA/GOOGL/AMZN/MSFT CPO ramp.", "resolved_tickers": ["3105.TWO"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Win Semi Taiwan foundry; retrying .TWO OTC market suffix", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TWO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm telling you all...\n\nLot of stuff in the $SIVE supply chains make very compelling longs.\n\nWin Semi (3105) just goes up 10% a day then halts trading after hitting its max.\n\nObviously they do things for $AVGO or SpaceX, but photonics ramp spearheaded by $NVDA and followed by $GOOGL, $AMZN, $MSFT\n\nWould make photonics a massive growth vector for Win.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Frontrunning 1.6T/CPO within the broader photonics supercycle is the most compelling investment to me. \n\nI have high conviction in that statement.\n\nWhich is why I'm long the entire supply chain (+1 extra bottlenecK)\n\n1. $SIVE - Their laser revenue scales aggressively with $JBL,", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08952702702702697, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08952702702702697, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09153070126228768, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08510071845665823, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004426308570368742, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.042229729729729826, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.042229729729729826, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04877667888466608, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04294748976349305, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0007177600337632262, "ret_p1w": -0.16807432432432434, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.16807432432432434, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.17717525624900565, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2130558089631278, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04498148463880347, "ret_p1m": -0.2288851351351351, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2288851351351351, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2641741220403755, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3035352818816486, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07465014674651349, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.625, -0.6039, -0.6106, -0.6047, -0.5929, -0.5642, -0.5861, -0.6039, -0.6258, -0.6005, -0.5752, -0.5946, -0.6292, -0.6005, -0.5684, -0.5845, -0.5845, -0.5845, -0.5845, -0.5845, -0.5845, -0.5845, -0.5845, -0.5431, -0.4975, -0.4561, -0.4291, -0.4291, -0.44, -0.4493, -0.5042, -0.4932, -0.4958, -0.5456, -0.5405, -0.4949, -0.4823, -0.4713, -0.4873, -0.5042, -0.4552, -0.4012, -0.4189, -0.4679, -0.4704, -0.4181, -0.3944, -0.3539, -0.3404, -0.4062, -0.364, -0.3649, -0.3649, -0.3649, -0.3125, -0.2568, -0.2635, -0.2162, -0.2264, -0.228, -0.2458, -0.1715, -0.0895, 0.0, 0.0422, 0.0135, -0.0541, -0.076, -0.1681, -0.1562, -0.152, -0.0946, -0.0946, -0.1149, -0.0625, -0.1554, -0.1554, -0.1681, -0.1115, -0.1351, -0.163, -0.1833, -0.2255, -0.239, -0.2289, -0.2458, -0.1841, -0.103, -0.0828, -0.0507, -0.0541, -0.1081, -0.1098, -0.0845, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2060536520952754374", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-30T01:39:24+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI at $12B… $AAOI due to absurd H1 2027 revenue projections from capacity ramp, doing everything from laser fab to assembly in America. $471M/month… that's in 2027, the TAM increases exponentially in 2028.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Top 4 picks: AAOI, SIVE, Foci, Shunsin on photonics/AI capacity ramp; runner-up XFAB on EU CHIPS Act silicon photonics.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "- $AAOI at $12B\n- $SIVE at $2B\n- Foci at $2.8B\n- Shunsin at $2B \n\nUsually the best risk/reward to me currently. Lot of my answers before like $AXTI already 10x’d, so different lineup this time. \n\n$AAOI due to absurd H1 2027 revenue projections from capacity ramp, doing everything from laser fab to assembly in America. \n\n$471M/month… that’s in 2027, the TAM increases exponentially in 2028.\n\n$SIVE is also ramping absurdly high, 77% revenue pipeline growth of the entire company’s history to ~$799M\n\nPrimarily from photonics… in a single quarter. And they’re projecting 60% gross margins off that.\n\nFoci - $NVDA / $TSM primarily FAU supplier and bottleneck for COUPE. Genuinely not sure how this is $2.8B.\n\nBOM share for their passive components + FAU are massive in 2028. Just a bit early H1 2026.\n\nShunsin - Legit you see Foxconn get CPO/photonics related orders over and over for $NVDA and others.\n\nJust nobody knows the packaging/testing gets done by Shunsin.\n\nA lot of contracts are also under Shunsin’s subsidiary too.. so markets/algorithms don’t know what’s coming imo.\n\nRunner up is $XFAB, they’ll probably be central to EU CHIPS act 2 for silicon photonics at ~$1.5B MC.\n\nAnd of course SiC/GaN foundries should go brr with 800vdc push by Nvidia. \n\nEspecially if they’re the only high volume one in United States per Dpt. Of Commerce. \n\nAnd it’s such a low price/book ratio so you’re kinda getting the company upside for free, while US Gov/EU Gov subsidize their capex.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit What are your top 4 stocks to buy right now, at current market capitalizations and offering the best risk/reward, if you could only choose 4?", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": null, "ret_signed_p1d": null, "alpha_spy_p1d": null, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": null, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3706, -0.3615, -0.3966, -0.3017, -0.2394, -0.1982, -0.3297, -0.3889, -0.4062, -0.455, -0.4153, -0.3566, -0.4474, -0.3955, -0.281, -0.2778, -0.385, -0.38, -0.4622, -0.466, -0.4549, -0.344, -0.344, -0.3217, -0.2574, -0.1623, -0.1585, -0.0493, -0.033, -0.0759, -0.1001, -0.0069, 0.0064, 0.0319, -0.0495, -0.0568, -0.1305, 0.0237, -0.0797, -0.1335, -0.0352, 0.0376, 0.1584, 0.092, 0.1399, 0.1271, -0.0054, -0.0598, 0.1672, 0.1886, 0.4084, 0.2851, 0.2017, 0.0937, 0.0816, 0.0432, 0.1162, 0.1457, 0.1457, 0.1213, 0.1352, 0.067, 0.0, 0.0, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2060536520952754374", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-05-30T01:39:24+00:00", "symbol": "Foci", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Foci at $2.8B… Genuinely not sure how this is $2.8B. BOM share for their passive components + FAU are massive in 2028.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Top 4 picks: AAOI, SIVE, Foci, Shunsin on photonics/AI capacity ramp; runner-up XFAB on EU CHIPS Act silicon photonics.", "resolved_tickers": ["3363.TWO"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Foci Taiwan CPO; retrying .TWO for Taipei OTC listing", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TWO')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "- $AAOI at $12B\n- $SIVE at $2B\n- Foci at $2.8B\n- Shunsin at $2B \n\nUsually the best risk/reward to me currently. Lot of my answers before like $AXTI already 10x’d, so different lineup this time. \n\n$AAOI due to absurd H1 2027 revenue projections from capacity ramp, doing everything from laser fab to assembly in America. \n\n$471M/month… that’s in 2027, the TAM increases exponentially in 2028.\n\n$SIVE is also ramping absurdly high, 77% revenue pipeline growth of the entire company’s history to ~$799M\n\nPrimarily from photonics… in a single quarter. And they’re projecting 60% gross margins off that.\n\nFoci - $NVDA / $TSM primarily FAU supplier and bottleneck for COUPE. Genuinely not sure how this is $2.8B.\n\nBOM share for their passive components + FAU are massive in 2028. Just a bit early H1 2026.\n\nShunsin - Legit you see Foxconn get CPO/photonics related orders over and over for $NVDA and others.\n\nJust nobody knows the packaging/testing gets done by Shunsin.\n\nA lot of contracts are also under Shunsin’s subsidiary too.. so markets/algorithms don’t know what’s coming imo.\n\nRunner up is $XFAB, they’ll probably be central to EU CHIPS act 2 for silicon photonics at ~$1.5B MC.\n\nAnd of course SiC/GaN foundries should go brr with 800vdc push by Nvidia. \n\nEspecially if they’re the only high volume one in United States per Dpt. Of Commerce. \n\nAnd it’s such a low price/book ratio so you’re kinda getting the company upside for free, while US Gov/EU Gov subsidize their capex.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit What are your top 4 stocks to buy right now, at current market capitalizations and offering the best risk/reward, if you could only choose 4?", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.019680196801967975, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019680196801967975, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.019680196801967975, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019680196801967975, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": null, "ret_signed_p1d": null, "alpha_spy_p1d": null, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": null, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3124, -0.246, -0.2718, -0.3444, -0.2989, -0.2534, -0.2804, -0.2325, -0.2251, -0.2497, -0.2214, -0.1784, -0.0972, -0.187, -0.182, -0.1661, -0.214, -0.2103, -0.2485, -0.3235, -0.2558, -0.262, -0.262, -0.262, -0.1882, -0.1144, -0.0615, -0.0357, -0.0812, -0.08, 0.0111, 0.0209, 0.1058, 0.2153, 0.2177, 0.1759, 0.1205, 0.0098, -0.091, -0.0836, -0.0726, -0.0541, -0.0541, 0.0308, 0.0726, 0.0025, 0.0025, -0.0037, 0.0492, 0.1316, 0.0492, 0.1095, 0.0344, -0.0111, -0.0467, -0.0443, 0.0062, 0.048, 0.0406, 0.0886, 0.0418, 0.0025, -0.0197, 0.0, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2060536520952754374", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-05-30T01:39:24+00:00", "symbol": "Shunsin", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Shunsin at $2B… markets/algorithms don't know what's coming imo.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Top 4 picks: AAOI, SIVE, Foci, Shunsin on photonics/AI capacity ramp; runner-up XFAB on EU CHIPS Act silicon photonics.", "resolved_tickers": ["6451.TW"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Shunsin Technology listed on TWSE as 6451.TW", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TW')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "- $AAOI at $12B\n- $SIVE at $2B\n- Foci at $2.8B\n- Shunsin at $2B \n\nUsually the best risk/reward to me currently. Lot of my answers before like $AXTI already 10x’d, so different lineup this time. \n\n$AAOI due to absurd H1 2027 revenue projections from capacity ramp, doing everything from laser fab to assembly in America. \n\n$471M/month… that’s in 2027, the TAM increases exponentially in 2028.\n\n$SIVE is also ramping absurdly high, 77% revenue pipeline growth of the entire company’s history to ~$799M\n\nPrimarily from photonics… in a single quarter. And they’re projecting 60% gross margins off that.\n\nFoci - $NVDA / $TSM primarily FAU supplier and bottleneck for COUPE. Genuinely not sure how this is $2.8B.\n\nBOM share for their passive components + FAU are massive in 2028. Just a bit early H1 2026.\n\nShunsin - Legit you see Foxconn get CPO/photonics related orders over and over for $NVDA and others.\n\nJust nobody knows the packaging/testing gets done by Shunsin.\n\nA lot of contracts are also under Shunsin’s subsidiary too.. so markets/algorithms don’t know what’s coming imo.\n\nRunner up is $XFAB, they’ll probably be central to EU CHIPS act 2 for silicon photonics at ~$1.5B MC.\n\nAnd of course SiC/GaN foundries should go brr with 800vdc push by Nvidia. \n\nEspecially if they’re the only high volume one in United States per Dpt. Of Commerce. \n\nAnd it’s such a low price/book ratio so you’re kinda getting the company upside for free, while US Gov/EU Gov subsidize their capex.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit What are your top 4 stocks to buy right now, at current market capitalizations and offering the best risk/reward, if you could only choose 4?", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.07014681892332786, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07014681892332786, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07014681892332786, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07014681892332786, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": null, "ret_signed_p1d": null, "alpha_spy_p1d": null, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": null, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6949, -0.6819, -0.69, -0.721, -0.7186, -0.6909, -0.6803, -0.6485, -0.6134, -0.575, -0.5449, -0.5563, -0.5522, -0.5424, -0.5269, -0.4796, -0.4584, -0.4046, -0.4641, -0.5171, -0.5024, -0.5179, -0.5179, -0.5179, -0.4698, -0.4168, -0.3589, -0.2953, -0.2251, -0.2235, -0.2561, -0.1941, -0.1762, -0.1729, -0.2268, -0.1909, -0.2716, -0.3442, -0.3809, -0.3393, -0.3515, -0.2969, -0.2969, -0.2268, -0.1501, -0.221, -0.2007, -0.2806, -0.2569, -0.2553, -0.2202, -0.1436, -0.0587, -0.1517, -0.2104, -0.208, -0.186, -0.1452, -0.0604, 0.031, -0.0179, -0.0718, -0.0701, 0.0, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2060536520952754374", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-05-30T01:39:24+00:00", "symbol": "XFAB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Runner up is $XFAB, they'll probably be central to EU CHIPS act 2 for silicon photonics at ~$1.5B MC.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Top 4 picks: AAOI, SIVE, Foci, Shunsin on photonics/AI capacity ramp; runner-up XFAB on EU CHIPS Act silicon photonics.", "resolved_tickers": ["XFAB.PA"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "X-FAB Silicon Foundries listed on Euronext Paris as XFAB.PA", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "- $AAOI at $12B\n- $SIVE at $2B\n- Foci at $2.8B\n- Shunsin at $2B \n\nUsually the best risk/reward to me currently. Lot of my answers before like $AXTI already 10x’d, so different lineup this time. \n\n$AAOI due to absurd H1 2027 revenue projections from capacity ramp, doing everything from laser fab to assembly in America. \n\n$471M/month… that’s in 2027, the TAM increases exponentially in 2028.\n\n$SIVE is also ramping absurdly high, 77% revenue pipeline growth of the entire company’s history to ~$799M\n\nPrimarily from photonics… in a single quarter. And they’re projecting 60% gross margins off that.\n\nFoci - $NVDA / $TSM primarily FAU supplier and bottleneck for COUPE. Genuinely not sure how this is $2.8B.\n\nBOM share for their passive components + FAU are massive in 2028. Just a bit early H1 2026.\n\nShunsin - Legit you see Foxconn get CPO/photonics related orders over and over for $NVDA and others.\n\nJust nobody knows the packaging/testing gets done by Shunsin.\n\nA lot of contracts are also under Shunsin’s subsidiary too.. so markets/algorithms don’t know what’s coming imo.\n\nRunner up is $XFAB, they’ll probably be central to EU CHIPS act 2 for silicon photonics at ~$1.5B MC.\n\nAnd of course SiC/GaN foundries should go brr with 800vdc push by Nvidia. \n\nEspecially if they’re the only high volume one in United States per Dpt. Of Commerce. \n\nAnd it’s such a low price/book ratio so you’re kinda getting the company upside for free, while US Gov/EU Gov subsidize their capex.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit What are your top 4 stocks to buy right now, at current market capitalizations and offering the best risk/reward, if you could only choose 4?", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": null, "ret_signed_p1d": null, "alpha_spy_p1d": null, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": null, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5727, -0.5775, -0.5773, -0.5708, -0.5467, -0.5576, -0.5576, -0.5617, -0.5569, -0.5569, -0.5541, -0.5775, -0.5771, -0.5678, -0.561, -0.5433, -0.5494, -0.5645, -0.5658, -0.5582, -0.5472, -0.5623, -0.5623, -0.5623, -0.5664, -0.5316, -0.5398, -0.5177, -0.5251, -0.4935, -0.4935, -0.4758, -0.4326, -0.4136, -0.4047, -0.3978, -0.3824, -0.3713, -0.3676, -0.3731, -0.3601, -0.4154, -0.4154, -0.4108, -0.4024, -0.3759, -0.3815, -0.3685, -0.3151, -0.335, -0.2932, -0.2783, -0.2546, -0.3141, -0.3341, -0.2974, -0.302, -0.2667, -0.2505, -0.165, 0.1152, 0.0558, 0.0, 0.0, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2052435712126161008", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-07T17:09:40+00:00", "symbol": "FLNC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "jumped on the boat as a short term catalyst trade... I'm going to go ahead and guess they'll likely rerated once they announce their hyperscaler orders maybe anytime in the next 3 months", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long FLNC at $3B valuation as a short-term catalyst trade on imminent hyperscaler order announcements; GOOGL/MSFT mentioned only as deal partners.", "resolved_tickers": ["FLNC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Agreed high-level directionally, $FLNC compelling at $3B valuation post-earnings after taking a closer look. \n\nVery rare to see a US energy player that small get 2 direct Hyperscaler deals...\n\nThe $5.6B+ backlog derisks the company growth, not including new hyperscalers backlog like $GOOGL or $MSFT.\n\nThe hyperscaler deals were framework agreements, which are likely to convert \"soon\" Q3 this year, and aren't included in numbers.\n\nOnce that's released it's major positive catalyst, similar to qualification -> volume ramp in semi players.\n\nCiti Analyst: \"The possibility of a hyperscaler order will likely overshadow everything else in the quarter. We expect a positive reaction to the announcement\"\n\nI'm going to go ahead and guess they'll likely rerated once they announce their hyperscaler orders maybe anytime in the next 3 months so I jumped on the boat as a short term catalyst trade. (not just 1 but 2)\n\nAlso, if they hit ~$288M net income off gross-margin expansion ($6B revenue, 13.0% gross margins) from their software segment expansion, ~11.6x fwd p/e for 2027.\n\nThe current stock price is -50% Feb's prices despite hyperscalers + backlog de-risking the company looks like a great entry point to me (NFA).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Just listened to the earnings call from $FLNC and decided to add to my position at $16.67. \n\nThe earnings were spectacular in my opinion. Yes, they missed revenues due to a delayed shipment of $80 million, but the backlog keeps rising and Fluence management is confident they can https://t.co/bKItxbRMtI", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.28518708959199934, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.28518708959199934, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.28826262466326924, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.28826262466326924, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003075535071269897, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003075535071269897, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.2735899168116449, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.2735899168116449, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.2653338438104027, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.2653338438104027, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008256073001242203, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008256073001242203, "ret_p1w": 0.10384824944702475, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10384824944702475, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08117135090856298, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08117135090856298, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022676898538461776, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022676898538461776, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0227, 0.0011, -0.0764, -0.0807, -0.0269, -0.0269, -0.0627, -0.0812, -0.127, -0.1276, -0.1529, -0.1307, -0.1392, -0.146, -0.1808, -0.203, -0.2135, -0.1671, -0.1692, -0.2209, -0.1724, -0.1102, -0.098, -0.1344, -0.1365, -0.1154, -0.1302, -0.1571, -0.155, -0.2024, -0.1903, -0.1487, -0.1381, -0.2114, -0.2541, -0.3147, -0.2746, -0.3137, -0.2989, -0.2989, -0.3042, -0.3015, -0.3084, -0.2852, -0.2736, -0.2804, -0.2198, -0.1982, -0.2103, -0.2865, -0.3342, -0.3268, -0.2884, -0.2873, -0.2947, -0.2957, -0.349, -0.3764, -0.3579, -0.3574, -0.35, -0.331, -0.2852, 0.0, 0.2736, 0.33, 0.1218, 0.165, 0.1038, 0.0949, 0.03, -0.0559, -0.0016, 0.0643, 0.1328, 0.1328, 0.1244, 0.1186, 0.126, -0.0047, -0.0047, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2052435712126161008", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-07T17:09:40+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The $5.6B+ backlog derisks the company growth, not including new hyperscalers backlog like $GOOGL or $MSFT", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long FLNC at $3B valuation as a short-term catalyst trade on imminent hyperscaler order announcements; GOOGL/MSFT mentioned only as deal partners.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Agreed high-level directionally, $FLNC compelling at $3B valuation post-earnings after taking a closer look. \n\nVery rare to see a US energy player that small get 2 direct Hyperscaler deals...\n\nThe $5.6B+ backlog derisks the company growth, not including new hyperscalers backlog like $GOOGL or $MSFT.\n\nThe hyperscaler deals were framework agreements, which are likely to convert \"soon\" Q3 this year, and aren't included in numbers.\n\nOnce that's released it's major positive catalyst, similar to qualification -> volume ramp in semi players.\n\nCiti Analyst: \"The possibility of a hyperscaler order will likely overshadow everything else in the quarter. We expect a positive reaction to the announcement\"\n\nI'm going to go ahead and guess they'll likely rerated once they announce their hyperscaler orders maybe anytime in the next 3 months so I jumped on the boat as a short term catalyst trade. (not just 1 but 2)\n\nAlso, if they hit ~$288M net income off gross-margin expansion ($6B revenue, 13.0% gross margins) from their software segment expansion, ~11.6x fwd p/e for 2027.\n\nThe current stock price is -50% Feb's prices despite hyperscalers + backlog de-risking the company looks like a great entry point to me (NFA).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Just listened to the earnings call from $FLNC and decided to add to my position at $16.67. \n\nThe earnings were spectacular in my opinion. Yes, they missed revenues due to a delayed shipment of $80 million, but the backlog keeps rising and Fluence management is confident they can https://t.co/bKItxbRMtI", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.00012567730790769005, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.00012567730790769005, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.002949857763362207, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00038124708128317586, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003075535071269897, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0002555697733754858, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00706047294540979, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00706047294540979, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0011956000558324131, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.010808937950582576, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008256073001242203, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0037484650051727852, "ret_p1w": 0.00773893104203438, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.00773893104203438, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.014937967496427396, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.010039123999813215, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022676898538461776, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002300192957778835, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1857, -0.2001, -0.2192, -0.2241, -0.2324, -0.2324, -0.2417, -0.2384, -0.2396, -0.2091, -0.2179, -0.2194, -0.2144, -0.2282, -0.2172, -0.2304, -0.2378, -0.2389, -0.2445, -0.2505, -0.2302, -0.2285, -0.2244, -0.2373, -0.2405, -0.2322, -0.2188, -0.2269, -0.2283, -0.2437, -0.241, -0.2702, -0.269, -0.2942, -0.3107, -0.3128, -0.2775, -0.2528, -0.2568, -0.2568, -0.2462, -0.2325, -0.2027, -0.1998, -0.2029, -0.1927, -0.1635, -0.1529, -0.1557, -0.1415, -0.1522, -0.1651, -0.1474, -0.1485, -0.1347, -0.1197, -0.1211, -0.1207, -0.0331, -0.0309, -0.037, -0.024, 0.0001, 0.0, 0.0071, -0.0235, -0.0267, 0.0116, 0.0077, -0.003, -0.0026, -0.026, -0.0228, -0.026, -0.0377, -0.0377, -0.0229, -0.023, -0.0197, -0.0443, -0.0443, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2052435712126161008", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-05-07T17:09:40+00:00", "symbol": "MSFT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "not including new hyperscalers backlog like $GOOGL or $MSFT", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long FLNC at $3B valuation as a short-term catalyst trade on imminent hyperscaler order announcements; GOOGL/MSFT mentioned only as deal partners.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSFT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Agreed high-level directionally, $FLNC compelling at $3B valuation post-earnings after taking a closer look. \n\nVery rare to see a US energy player that small get 2 direct Hyperscaler deals...\n\nThe $5.6B+ backlog derisks the company growth, not including new hyperscalers backlog like $GOOGL or $MSFT.\n\nThe hyperscaler deals were framework agreements, which are likely to convert \"soon\" Q3 this year, and aren't included in numbers.\n\nOnce that's released it's major positive catalyst, similar to qualification -> volume ramp in semi players.\n\nCiti Analyst: \"The possibility of a hyperscaler order will likely overshadow everything else in the quarter. We expect a positive reaction to the announcement\"\n\nI'm going to go ahead and guess they'll likely rerated once they announce their hyperscaler orders maybe anytime in the next 3 months so I jumped on the boat as a short term catalyst trade. (not just 1 but 2)\n\nAlso, if they hit ~$288M net income off gross-margin expansion ($6B revenue, 13.0% gross margins) from their software segment expansion, ~11.6x fwd p/e for 2027.\n\nThe current stock price is -50% Feb's prices despite hyperscalers + backlog de-risking the company looks like a great entry point to me (NFA).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Just listened to the earnings call from $FLNC and decided to add to my position at $16.67. \n\nThe earnings were spectacular in my opinion. Yes, they missed revenues due to a delayed shipment of $80 million, but the backlog keeps rising and Fluence management is confident they can https://t.co/bKItxbRMtI", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.016184628092193343, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.016184628092193343, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01926016316346324, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01926016316346324, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003075535071269897, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003075535071269897, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.013427757958591746, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.013427757958591746, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02168383095983395, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02168383095983395, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008256073001242203, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008256073001242203, "ret_p1w": -0.026950587923689207, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.026950587923689207, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04962748646215098, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04962748646215098, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022676898538461776, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022676898538461776, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0193, -0.0201, -0.0412, -0.0472, -0.0484, -0.0484, -0.059, -0.0525, -0.053, -0.0559, -0.0863, -0.0755, -0.0479, -0.0453, -0.0666, -0.0528, -0.04, -0.037, -0.024, -0.0281, -0.027, -0.0357, -0.0378, -0.0449, -0.0599, -0.0495, -0.0508, -0.0689, -0.0755, -0.0924, -0.0898, -0.1141, -0.1182, -0.1302, -0.1521, -0.1469, -0.1203, -0.1222, -0.1124, -0.1124, -0.1138, -0.1152, -0.1104, -0.1134, -0.1186, -0.0865, -0.0657, -0.0227, -0.0012, 0.0048, -0.0064, 0.0081, 0.0289, -0.0119, 0.0091, 0.0096, 0.0202, 0.0088, -0.0309, -0.015, -0.017, -0.0223, -0.0162, 0.0, -0.0134, -0.0193, -0.0309, -0.037, -0.027, 0.0027, 0.0066, -0.008, 0.0007, -0.0018, -0.0031, -0.0031, -0.0091, -0.0171, 0.017, 0.0724, 0.0724, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2047219106311733735", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-23T07:40:45+00:00", "symbol": "LWLG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LWLG has one developer agreement trial with $TSEM and is valued at $2.2B", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish LWLG (overvalued at $2.2B for a single trial agreement); bullish SIVE as most undervalued opportunity on hyperscaler optical laser ramp.", "resolved_tickers": ["LWLG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SidkMena $LWLG has one developer agreement trial with $TSEM and is valued at $2.2B\n\n$SIVE is shipping lasers that likely ends up in every hyperscaler optical program next year and is valued at $820m\n\nOne of the most undervalued opportunities I see today.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Its all priced in now. 30X multiple is overvalued imo.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SidkMena", "ret_m1d": 0.11470583986658656, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11470583986658656, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11080999722692497, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.11080999722692497, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003895842639661584, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003895842639661584, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0683823734624982, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0683823734624982, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07613167142252242, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07613167142252242, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007749297960024215, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007749297960024215, "ret_p1w": 0.008823520749498215, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.008823520749498215, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.005588167812257794, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.005588167812257794, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014411688561756009, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014411688561756009, "ret_p1m": -0.05514705727669611, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05514705727669611, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10764194301400942, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10764194301400942, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05249488573731331, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05249488573731331, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7485, -0.736, -0.7353, -0.7397, -0.7574, -0.7581, -0.7294, -0.7603, -0.7787, -0.7581, -0.7537, -0.7375, -0.739, -0.7551, -0.7434, -0.7434, -0.7456, -0.7463, -0.7471, -0.7456, -0.7404, -0.7051, -0.6765, -0.6706, -0.6757, -0.6287, -0.614, -0.5882, -0.6772, -0.6912, -0.6831, -0.6794, -0.6309, -0.4794, -0.4404, -0.4397, -0.4588, -0.5096, -0.4824, -0.5022, -0.4559, -0.4596, -0.3684, -0.4235, -0.4676, -0.5154, -0.4831, -0.4971, -0.4368, -0.4368, -0.4213, -0.3963, -0.3831, -0.3794, -0.2206, -0.1625, -0.1015, -0.111, -0.0904, -0.0779, 0.0426, -0.0507, 0.1147, 0.0, -0.0684, -0.0846, -0.15, -0.1353, 0.0088, 0.1963, 0.161, 0.2294, 0.1331, 0.0904, 0.2081, 0.2397, 0.1713, 0.3397, 0.0978, 0.0037, -0.1478, -0.1478, -0.1404, -0.0316, -0.0551, -0.0551, -0.1199, -0.1471, -0.1574, -0.2015, -0.2015, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2049032343974007088", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-28T07:45:54+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NVDA bought out allocation from $LITE / $COHR", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "High-conviction long SIVE as last pure-play merchant laser supplier winning hyperscaler CPO allocations from NVDA, AMD, MRVL; also implies MRVL strength on CPO laser demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm happy Japanese communities started positions in $SIVE after doing research!\n\nA stronger international shareholder base is always positive.\n\nAs for some thoughts, my read on the market looks like:\n\n1. $NVDA bought out allocation from $LITE / $COHR\n2. $AMD CPO went with $GFS + $SIVE / Win for remaining laser supply maybe $LITE if there’s still allocation.\n3. And… $MRVL CPO will need lasers regardless.\n\n$SIVE looks like one of the last remaining pure play merchant laser suppliers. \n\nSo Marvell will go with $SIVE (fits Celestial specs already) directly with multi-source down the road (maybe $MTSI). After they vertically integrate away interposer packaging process IP that feeds into Celestial. \n\nJust some interesting things to back that up: \n\n-> Ayar removed $MTSI and $LITE from their website and went with $SIVE as primary. Ayar’s connected to AlChip/GUC and others. \n\n-> If look at the $GFS slide there's only two public players with $SIVE and $LITE after $AMD went with Globalfoundries for their CPO program. \n\n-> $SIVE likely has agreements with Win since last year for laser capacity scaling. \n\n$NVDA likely hasn't fully allocated that laser supply, so the remaining companies like $JBL, $AMD, and others go to Sivers for overflow. \n\nSince $LITE signaled they were already fully allocated for 2028.\n\nI could be wrong, but just based on public information that’s what it looks like.\n\nAs for why I think it's a good long: \n\n-> Sivers also basically had no exposure to 800G or previous generations.\n-> European markets price in previous 12 months revenue... hence previous depressed valuations\n-> they get all the hyperscaler overflow created by market panic from $NVDA\n\nBut they also happen to be in the bleeding edge of CPO and even for gen-2 1.6T ( $JBL LRO) scaling next year in 2027.\n\nThen for H2 2027 or 2028, they scale in adjacent areas like Silicon Photonics for likely $AAPL consumer devices. \n\nOr FMCW 4D AI companies like $AEVA.\n\nMany many years of development, finally coming to fruition next year.\n\nI personally think markets are missing something big here, that the public uncovers over time with mapping hyperscaler relationships, website digging, or presentation slides. \n\nHyperscalers suppliers don't randomly choose a $1B Swedish laser company for no reason. \n\nThe direct contract with $JBL was the biggest signal of that. \n\nAnd it’s my high conviction long moving forward.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "インタラクティブブローカーズで、\n\n$SIVE\n\n遂に買えたァァ‼️😭\n10日くらいかかった😂😂✨\n\nさすがに調整あるだろうから、半額買って調整待つーっ‼️", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.016137366754021, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.016137366754021, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.011247624792194655, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011247624792194655, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004889741961826344, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004889741961826344, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01838907070702589, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01838907070702589, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01823452961303107, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01823452961303107, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00015454109399481997, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00015454109399481997, "ret_p1w": -0.07820048933778057, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07820048933778057, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09517419565430041, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09517419565430041, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016973706316519843, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016973706316519843, "ret_p1m": -0.0026738850228724687, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0026738850228724687, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.057149877938681204, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.057149877938681204, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.054475992915808735, "bench_c_p1m": 0.054475992915808735, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.097, -0.1034, -0.1293, -0.1541, -0.1829, -0.1937, -0.1303, -0.1086, -0.1156, -0.1085, -0.1231, -0.1425, -0.1425, -0.1323, -0.1182, -0.1186, -0.1096, -0.1015, -0.0954, -0.0827, -0.1327, -0.1688, -0.144, -0.1554, -0.1414, -0.14, -0.1659, -0.1432, -0.1333, -0.1273, -0.1409, -0.1544, -0.1405, -0.1465, -0.1537, -0.1624, -0.1898, -0.1761, -0.1781, -0.1618, -0.1967, -0.2141, -0.2252, -0.1819, -0.1755, -0.1678, -0.1678, -0.1667, -0.1645, -0.1458, -0.1373, -0.1151, -0.1119, -0.0782, -0.0671, -0.0695, -0.0539, -0.0521, -0.0623, -0.0501, -0.0635, -0.023, 0.0161, 0.0, -0.0184, -0.0638, -0.0691, -0.0689, -0.0782, -0.0251, -0.0078, 0.0095, 0.0294, 0.0357, 0.0594, 0.1059, 0.057, 0.0429, 0.0349, 0.0483, 0.0297, 0.0101, 0.0101, 0.0079, -0.0027, 0.0051, -0.0095, -0.0095, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2049032343974007088", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-04-28T07:45:54+00:00", "symbol": "MRVL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$MRVL CPO will need lasers regardless", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "High-conviction long SIVE as last pure-play merchant laser supplier winning hyperscaler CPO allocations from NVDA, AMD, MRVL; also implies MRVL strength on CPO laser demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["MRVL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm happy Japanese communities started positions in $SIVE after doing research!\n\nA stronger international shareholder base is always positive.\n\nAs for some thoughts, my read on the market looks like:\n\n1. $NVDA bought out allocation from $LITE / $COHR\n2. $AMD CPO went with $GFS + $SIVE / Win for remaining laser supply maybe $LITE if there’s still allocation.\n3. And… $MRVL CPO will need lasers regardless.\n\n$SIVE looks like one of the last remaining pure play merchant laser suppliers. \n\nSo Marvell will go with $SIVE (fits Celestial specs already) directly with multi-source down the road (maybe $MTSI). After they vertically integrate away interposer packaging process IP that feeds into Celestial. \n\nJust some interesting things to back that up: \n\n-> Ayar removed $MTSI and $LITE from their website and went with $SIVE as primary. Ayar’s connected to AlChip/GUC and others. \n\n-> If look at the $GFS slide there's only two public players with $SIVE and $LITE after $AMD went with Globalfoundries for their CPO program. \n\n-> $SIVE likely has agreements with Win since last year for laser capacity scaling. \n\n$NVDA likely hasn't fully allocated that laser supply, so the remaining companies like $JBL, $AMD, and others go to Sivers for overflow. \n\nSince $LITE signaled they were already fully allocated for 2028.\n\nI could be wrong, but just based on public information that’s what it looks like.\n\nAs for why I think it's a good long: \n\n-> Sivers also basically had no exposure to 800G or previous generations.\n-> European markets price in previous 12 months revenue... hence previous depressed valuations\n-> they get all the hyperscaler overflow created by market panic from $NVDA\n\nBut they also happen to be in the bleeding edge of CPO and even for gen-2 1.6T ( $JBL LRO) scaling next year in 2027.\n\nThen for H2 2027 or 2028, they scale in adjacent areas like Silicon Photonics for likely $AAPL consumer devices. \n\nOr FMCW 4D AI companies like $AEVA.\n\nMany many years of development, finally coming to fruition next year.\n\nI personally think markets are missing something big here, that the public uncovers over time with mapping hyperscaler relationships, website digging, or presentation slides. \n\nHyperscalers suppliers don't randomly choose a $1B Swedish laser company for no reason. \n\nThe direct contract with $JBL was the biggest signal of that. \n\nAnd it’s my high conviction long moving forward.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "インタラクティブブローカーズで、\n\n$SIVE\n\n遂に買えたァァ‼️😭\n10日くらいかかった😂😂✨\n\nさすがに調整あるだろうから、半額買って調整待つーっ‼️", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03250023575790717, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03250023575790717, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.027610493796080826, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.027610493796080826, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004889741961826344, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004889741961826344, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.021797374468499164, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.021797374468499164, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.021951915562493984, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.021951915562493984, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00015454109399481997, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00015454109399481997, "ret_p1w": 0.10128567973112346, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10128567973112346, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08431197341460361, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08431197341460361, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016973706316519843, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016973706316519843, "ret_p1m": 0.29674347378795285, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.29674347378795285, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.24226748087214411, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.24226748087214411, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.054475992915808735, "bench_c_p1m": 0.054475992915808735, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4694, -0.4852, -0.4869, -0.5073, -0.5191, -0.5159, -0.4763, -0.4628, -0.4651, -0.4694, -0.4897, -0.4872, -0.4872, -0.4846, -0.4841, -0.4807, -0.4816, -0.4926, -0.4887, -0.4722, -0.4828, -0.4671, -0.4726, -0.4944, -0.4906, -0.5063, -0.4157, -0.3957, -0.3914, -0.4101, -0.4281, -0.4269, -0.4026, -0.4078, -0.4285, -0.416, -0.4266, -0.4119, -0.3975, -0.3578, -0.3628, -0.3811, -0.4272, -0.3539, -0.3039, -0.3013, -0.3013, -0.2857, -0.2865, -0.2535, -0.2177, -0.1615, -0.1431, -0.1266, -0.1216, -0.1296, -0.0884, -0.0352, -0.0125, 0.0267, 0.0805, 0.0723, 0.0325, 0.0, 0.0218, 0.0778, 0.0765, 0.0681, 0.1013, 0.1235, 0.0442, 0.1103, 0.1149, 0.0735, 0.1613, 0.1915, 0.1544, 0.1025, 0.1504, 0.2191, 0.2445, 0.2813, 0.2813, 0.3591, 0.2967, 0.3367, 0.3379, 0.3379, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2041922561257468329", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-08T16:54:10+00:00", "symbol": "JBL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Maybe $JBL is interesting here too. Ended up buying Jabil and more $COHR today", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bought Jabil and added to COHR today; both flagged as interesting positions.", "resolved_tickers": ["JBL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SidkMena Maybe $JBL is interesting here too. Ended up buying Jabil and more $COHR today", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Appreciate it mate. Could you please suggest the gems for 2026. I just entered the market.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SidkMena", "ret_m1d": -0.04976676645178846, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04976676645178846, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.024929798330086905, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.024929798330086905, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.024836968121701553, "bench_c_m1d": -0.024836968121701553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.020477671661592423, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.020477671661592423, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014708580490504053, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014708580490504053, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00576909117108837, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00576909117108837, "ret_p1w": 0.06202545371047563, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06202545371047563, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.026626580424445656, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.026626580424445656, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.035398873286029975, "bench_c_p1w": 0.035398873286029975, "ret_p1m": 0.21752451397275196, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21752451397275196, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.13532157833355174, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.13532157833355174, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08220293563920023, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08220293563920023, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2127, -0.1972, -0.1702, -0.1598, -0.1185, -0.1251, -0.1251, -0.1409, -0.1187, -0.1481, -0.1535, -0.1581, -0.1565, -0.1518, -0.1508, -0.1742, -0.1532, -0.1448, -0.1782, -0.1581, -0.1009, -0.0741, -0.0985, -0.091, -0.1257, -0.1137, -0.1137, -0.1036, -0.0926, -0.086, -0.0559, -0.0901, -0.0727, -0.0333, -0.053, -0.0771, -0.0904, -0.1146, -0.1113, -0.1216, -0.1604, -0.1382, -0.1253, -0.1103, -0.1219, -0.1271, -0.1015, -0.0863, -0.0992, -0.076, -0.1167, -0.0727, -0.034, -0.0136, -0.0801, -0.0907, -0.1381, -0.0749, -0.0529, -0.0647, -0.0647, -0.0685, -0.0498, 0.0, 0.0205, 0.043, 0.0635, 0.0656, 0.062, 0.08, 0.1203, 0.1502, 0.1621, 0.1716, 0.179, 0.1898, 0.1869, 0.1522, 0.1627, 0.1753, 0.1927, 0.1869, 0.1745, 0.2967, 0.2175, 0.2369, 0.272, 0.2217, 0.2378, 0.234, 0.1837, 0.1799, 0.1596, 0.2023, 0.2415, 0.2692, 0.2692, 0.3246, 0.2937, 0.2667, 0.2699, 0.2699, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2041922561257468329", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-08T16:54:10+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Ended up buying Jabil and more $COHR today", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bought Jabil and added to COHR today; both flagged as interesting positions.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SidkMena Maybe $JBL is interesting here too. Ended up buying Jabil and more $COHR today", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Appreciate it mate. Could you please suggest the gems for 2026. I just entered the market.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SidkMena", "ret_m1d": -0.09471592899700498, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09471592899700498, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06987896087530343, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06987896087530343, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.024836968121701553, "bench_c_m1d": -0.024836968121701553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008446022962638411, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008446022962638411, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0026769317915500412, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0026769317915500412, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00576909117108837, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00576909117108837, "ret_p1w": 0.0937222856072244, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0937222856072244, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05832341232119442, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05832341232119442, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.035398873286029975, "bench_c_p1w": 0.035398873286029975, "ret_p1m": 0.13272292402987107, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13272292402987107, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.050519988390670845, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.050519988390670845, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08220293563920023, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08220293563920023, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3681, -0.3428, -0.3256, -0.3466, -0.3046, -0.322, -0.322, -0.3135, -0.2851, -0.2806, -0.3011, -0.2982, -0.2406, -0.2152, -0.234, -0.247, -0.2106, -0.1867, -0.2512, -0.2575, -0.192, -0.1396, -0.1896, -0.2062, -0.2331, -0.2291, -0.2291, -0.2194, -0.2055, -0.175, -0.1193, -0.1168, -0.0956, -0.0493, -0.1123, -0.0811, 0.0608, -0.0035, -0.0246, -0.0991, -0.1635, -0.1046, -0.0751, -0.1078, -0.1438, -0.1385, -0.1221, -0.1277, -0.0872, -0.0221, -0.0999, -0.0949, -0.0336, -0.0346, -0.1366, -0.136, -0.2205, -0.1547, -0.1206, -0.0839, -0.0839, -0.1014, -0.0947, 0.0, 0.0084, 0.0912, 0.0928, 0.1122, 0.0937, 0.164, 0.2244, 0.2332, 0.22, 0.2437, 0.1983, 0.1927, 0.141, 0.0787, 0.0821, 0.1346, 0.1693, 0.1707, 0.1914, 0.2231, 0.1327, 0.1898, 0.3474, 0.3273, 0.4327, 0.437, 0.3572, 0.2876, 0.2549, 0.2722, 0.3414, 0.3399, 0.3399, 0.3533, 0.3492, 0.3377, 0.2828, 0.2828, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2050093551313469467", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-01T06:02:46+00:00", "symbol": "MSSCORP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CPO monopoly over inspection at ~$1.2B. 100% monopoly over CPO yields... can easily see this worth ~$5B-$9B from $1.2B", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long three CPO/HBM small-caps: SIVE (CPO laser, $10B+ target), MSSCORP 6830 (CPO inspection monopoly, $5-9B target), Auros 322310 (HBM hybrid bonding metrology, 3x to $630M).", "resolved_tickers": ["6830.TW"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "MSSCorp (6830) Taiwan-listed CPO inspection monopoly", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "As for 3x brrrs these levels: \n\n1. $SIVE\n2. MSSCORP (6830)\n3. Auros (322310)\n\nAre my best guesses. Here's my thought process: \n\n1. $SIVE: I genuinely do see them being $10B+ next year, they're the literal bleeding edge for CPO lasers alongside $LITE and $COHR.\n\nAt a $1.3B MC... For likely mapping: \n\nPhotonics: $AMD CPO, $MRVL Celestial CPO, $JBL 1.6T, Lightmatter, Ayar, ALChip, GUC, O-Net (ELS), $POET.\n\nFor Space + Defense: Golden Dome via $YSS, $RTX / $ERIC / Bae Systems.\n\nSilicon Photonics: $AAPL (Apple Watches). \n\nThis is just a stupid amount of customers and it's still increasing. \n\nThey can always TAM expansion downstream through IP acquisitions or vertically integrate to speedrun $LITE's $60B MC one day once they get more funding. \n\n2. MSSCORP (6830): CPO monopoly over inspection at ~$1.2B. \n\n100% monopoly over CPO yields, $TSM, $AMAT, $NVDA, $LCRX, $INTC, and others are all likely customers. \n\n\"The company’s goal is to seize a 90 percent share of the CPO inspection market\"\n\nThis basically means 100%, they just don't want antitrust.  If they defend their monopoly and CPO ramps, can easily see this worth ~$5B-$9B from $1.2B\n\n3. Auros (322310): Samsung / SK Hynix supplier at ~$210M for Hybrid Bonding Metrology.\n\nBasically pure play on two products: \n-> HBM4 / HBM4e / HBM5 cycles, that $KLA had a monoply over for IR metrology. \n--->  Getting qualified now likely in Samsung factories, H2 volume ramp est. Sk Hynix likely qualifying too when they upgrade to hybrid bonding.  \n-> Thin-film thickness measurement.  \n---> Getting qualified now, with \"major domestic chipmaker\" (either Samsung/Sk hynix), targets mass supply this year. \n\nThey've been developing for the past decade, only to volume ramp two products from years of qualification H2 this year.\n\nSeems extremely likely to 3x to $630M if they switch to volume ramp, feels like an undiscovered gem in the Korean market? \n\nOf course, not sure how they play out and this is all speculative but high confidence supply chain mapping.\n\nBut off the top of my head these three that I own are the most likely ones at this level.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit Stay with us and Give us some more x3 brrrrrr", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0027614670118818463, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006080589343258502, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0027614670118818463, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006080589343258502, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08823529411764697, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08823529411764697, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09189867378738892, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09417856573462369, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0036633796697419507, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00594327161697672, "ret_p1w": -0.07411764705882351, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07411764705882351, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0976657912733786, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.18537254072378329, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02354814421455509, "bench_c_p1w": 0.11125489366495978, "ret_p1m": -0.2011764705882353, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2011764705882353, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.25089541160099627, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.37596361913357135, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.049718941012760975, "bench_c_p1m": 0.17478714854533606, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7786, -0.7568, -0.7328, -0.7592, -0.7351, -0.7392, -0.7433, -0.7433, -0.7433, -0.7433, -0.7433, -0.7433, -0.7433, -0.7433, -0.7339, -0.7228, -0.6952, -0.6652, -0.6652, -0.6317, -0.6353, -0.6135, -0.5753, -0.5331, -0.546, -0.5571, -0.5383, -0.5442, -0.5894, -0.583, -0.5636, -0.5483, -0.5078, -0.4714, -0.4643, -0.5178, -0.4937, -0.4432, -0.4896, -0.469, -0.4508, -0.3962, -0.3363, -0.3363, -0.3363, -0.2928, -0.2224, -0.2376, -0.1765, -0.0941, -0.0588, -0.0671, -0.0529, 0.0412, 0.0188, 0.0306, 0.0471, -0.0553, -0.1494, -0.2341, -0.1576, -0.0906, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0882, 0.1471, 0.0329, 0.0282, -0.0741, -0.1129, -0.0824, -0.1224, -0.1447, -0.1353, -0.1329, -0.1624, -0.1953, -0.1847, -0.1576, -0.0741, -0.0847, -0.1529, -0.1929, -0.2024, -0.2012, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2050093551313469467", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-05-01T06:02:46+00:00", "symbol": "Auros", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Seems extremely likely to 3x to $630M if they switch to volume ramp, feels like an undiscovered gem in the Korean market", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long three CPO/HBM small-caps: SIVE (CPO laser, $10B+ target), MSSCORP 6830 (CPO inspection monopoly, $5-9B target), Auros 322310 (HBM hybrid bonding metrology, 3x to $630M).", "resolved_tickers": ["322310.KQ"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Auros Korean equity 322310; retrying KOSDAQ .KQ suffix", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KQ')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "As for 3x brrrs these levels: \n\n1. $SIVE\n2. MSSCORP (6830)\n3. Auros (322310)\n\nAre my best guesses. Here's my thought process: \n\n1. $SIVE: I genuinely do see them being $10B+ next year, they're the literal bleeding edge for CPO lasers alongside $LITE and $COHR.\n\nAt a $1.3B MC... For likely mapping: \n\nPhotonics: $AMD CPO, $MRVL Celestial CPO, $JBL 1.6T, Lightmatter, Ayar, ALChip, GUC, O-Net (ELS), $POET.\n\nFor Space + Defense: Golden Dome via $YSS, $RTX / $ERIC / Bae Systems.\n\nSilicon Photonics: $AAPL (Apple Watches). \n\nThis is just a stupid amount of customers and it's still increasing. \n\nThey can always TAM expansion downstream through IP acquisitions or vertically integrate to speedrun $LITE's $60B MC one day once they get more funding. \n\n2. MSSCORP (6830): CPO monopoly over inspection at ~$1.2B. \n\n100% monopoly over CPO yields, $TSM, $AMAT, $NVDA, $LCRX, $INTC, and others are all likely customers. \n\n\"The company’s goal is to seize a 90 percent share of the CPO inspection market\"\n\nThis basically means 100%, they just don't want antitrust.  If they defend their monopoly and CPO ramps, can easily see this worth ~$5B-$9B from $1.2B\n\n3. Auros (322310): Samsung / SK Hynix supplier at ~$210M for Hybrid Bonding Metrology.\n\nBasically pure play on two products: \n-> HBM4 / HBM4e / HBM5 cycles, that $KLA had a monoply over for IR metrology. \n--->  Getting qualified now likely in Samsung factories, H2 volume ramp est. Sk Hynix likely qualifying too when they upgrade to hybrid bonding.  \n-> Thin-film thickness measurement.  \n---> Getting qualified now, with \"major domestic chipmaker\" (either Samsung/Sk hynix), targets mass supply this year. \n\nThey've been developing for the past decade, only to volume ramp two products from years of qualification H2 this year.\n\nSeems extremely likely to 3x to $630M if they switch to volume ramp, feels like an undiscovered gem in the Korean market? \n\nOf course, not sure how they play out and this is all speculative but high confidence supply chain mapping.\n\nBut off the top of my head these three that I own are the most likely ones at this level.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit Stay with us and Give us some more x3 brrrrrr", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0027614670118818463, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007654354896074467, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0027614670118818463, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007654354896074467, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.30000000000000004, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.30000000000000004, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.303663379669742, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.2901852077907987, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0036633796697419507, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00981479220920134, "ret_p1w": 0.02753623188405796, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02753623188405796, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.003988087669502871, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.14653782335200494, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02354814421455509, "bench_c_p1w": 0.1740740552360629, "ret_p1m": -0.2884057971014493, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.2884057971014493, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3381247381142103, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.5589613639598117, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.049718941012760975, "bench_c_p1m": 0.27055556685836235, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2072, -0.2159, -0.2551, -0.2551, -0.2072, -0.2377, -0.2681, -0.2609, -0.287, -0.287, -0.287, -0.287, -0.2362, -0.2696, -0.2957, -0.2652, -0.287, -0.1551, -0.1739, -0.1739, -0.213, -0.3174, -0.1812, -0.1522, -0.2377, -0.1942, -0.2145, -0.1261, -0.0435, -0.0725, -0.1014, -0.0232, -0.0435, -0.042, -0.1188, 0.0188, -0.0101, -0.0652, -0.0942, -0.1478, -0.1377, -0.0623, -0.1623, -0.1449, -0.1058, -0.1261, -0.0275, -0.0478, -0.0754, -0.0551, 0.0377, 0.0333, 0.0101, 0.0333, 0.0319, 0.0159, 0.0029, -0.0261, -0.0333, -0.0043, -0.0058, 0.0478, 0.0, 0.0, 0.3, 0.3, 0.2478, 0.1449, 0.0275, -0.0014, -0.0681, -0.1246, -0.1304, -0.1928, -0.1928, -0.2377, -0.2522, -0.1638, -0.158, -0.158, -0.1406, -0.1623, -0.213, -0.2435, -0.2884, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2042663323427311858", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-10T17:57:41+00:00", "symbol": "SNDK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "shorts are just fuel to the rally… Since people who took the other end of the trade, show a lack of understanding of forward growth, bottlenecks, and extreme TAM expansion", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish SNDK and AAOI; short sellers misunderstand forward growth, bottlenecks, and TAM expansion — shorts become rally fuel.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNDK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SNDK is a perfect example why you don’t trust firms named after tangerines.\n\nForward earnings compresses extremely hard with Sandisk and $AAOI. \n\nMy opinion is that shorts are just fuel to the rally… \n\nSince people who took the other end of the trade, show a lack of understanding of forward growth, bottlenecks, and extreme TAM expansion.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00023481949639569955, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00023481949639569955, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0008970382544157829, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0008970382544157829, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0006622187580200833, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0006622187580200833, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.11825959843501432, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.11825959843501432, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10848720065066253, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10848720065066253, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009772397784351794, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009772397784351794, "ret_p1w": 0.08126603322011561, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08126603322011561, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03611254120640006, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03611254120640006, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.045153492013715546, "bench_c_p1w": 0.045153492013715546, "ret_p1m": 0.8168754747266291, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.8168754747266291, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.7288055899870076, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.7288055899870076, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08806988473962152, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08806988473962152, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5424, -0.5447, -0.5195, -0.5144, -0.5144, -0.468, -0.4115, -0.4089, -0.4437, -0.4473, -0.4348, -0.3805, -0.3668, -0.3235, -0.219, -0.1835, -0.3137, -0.3235, -0.298, -0.3151, -0.3641, -0.2964, -0.26, -0.2644, -0.2644, -0.3066, -0.2951, -0.2708, -0.2369, -0.2175, -0.2504, -0.2576, -0.2347, -0.2541, -0.2732, -0.3362, -0.2967, -0.336, -0.3809, -0.3088, -0.2734, -0.2305, -0.2735, -0.2232, -0.1739, -0.1545, -0.1151, -0.0935, -0.1668, -0.1753, -0.1753, -0.2042, -0.2919, -0.277, -0.3279, -0.2541, -0.1867, -0.1763, -0.1763, -0.1493, -0.1655, -0.0832, -0.0002, 0.0, 0.1183, 0.1088, 0.0469, 0.0795, 0.0813, 0.0719, 0.0607, 0.1495, 0.0947, 0.1622, 0.2564, 0.1768, 0.2494, 0.2873, 0.3936, 0.4744, 0.6511, 0.6554, 0.5731, 0.8342, 0.8169, 0.7047, 0.6991, 0.6233, 0.6526, 0.565, 0.624, 0.6349, 0.8106, 0.736, 0.736, 0.8662, 0.8666, 0.9273, 0.99, 0.99, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2042663323427311858", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-10T17:57:41+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Forward earnings compresses extremely hard with Sandisk and $AAOI", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish SNDK and AAOI; short sellers misunderstand forward growth, bottlenecks, and TAM expansion — shorts become rally fuel.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SNDK is a perfect example why you don’t trust firms named after tangerines.\n\nForward earnings compresses extremely hard with Sandisk and $AAOI. \n\nMy opinion is that shorts are just fuel to the rally… \n\nSince people who took the other end of the trade, show a lack of understanding of forward growth, bottlenecks, and extreme TAM expansion.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.11487385358979718, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11487385358979718, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11553607234781726, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.11553607234781726, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0006622187580200833, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0006622187580200833, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01719785015221298, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01719785015221298, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007425452367861185, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.007425452367861185, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009772397784351794, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009772397784351794, "ret_p1w": 0.05856568199185341, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05856568199185341, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.013412189978137867, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.013412189978137867, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.045153492013715546, "bench_c_p1w": 0.045153492013715546, "ret_p1m": 0.22775555380384582, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.22775555380384582, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1396856690642243, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1396856690642243, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08806988473962152, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08806988473962152, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.773, -0.7711, -0.7543, -0.7541, -0.7541, -0.7393, -0.7452, -0.7467, -0.7628, -0.7683, -0.7517, -0.6997, -0.7373, -0.7104, -0.7068, -0.6938, -0.7351, -0.7468, -0.7058, -0.6819, -0.678, -0.6786, -0.7079, -0.7048, -0.7048, -0.7084, -0.7116, -0.688, -0.6568, -0.6417, -0.6264, -0.6141, -0.6435, -0.4407, -0.3193, -0.3669, -0.3379, -0.3284, -0.3653, -0.2655, -0.1999, -0.1566, -0.2949, -0.3572, -0.3754, -0.4268, -0.3849, -0.3232, -0.4187, -0.3641, -0.2437, -0.2403, -0.3531, -0.3479, -0.4343, -0.4383, -0.4266, -0.31, -0.31, -0.2865, -0.2189, -0.1189, -0.1149, 0.0, 0.0172, -0.028, -0.0535, 0.0446, 0.0586, 0.0855, -0.0002, -0.0078, -0.0855, 0.0768, -0.032, -0.0886, 0.0148, 0.0914, 0.2185, 0.1486, 0.199, 0.1855, 0.0461, -0.011, 0.2278, 0.2502, 0.4814, 0.3517, 0.264, 0.1505, 0.1376, 0.0973, 0.174, 0.2051, 0.2051, 0.1794, 0.1941, 0.1223, 0.0519, 0.0519, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2037704679161995774", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-28T01:33:48+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I would not go long until the ATM is finished and existing holders get diluted", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish IREN until $6B ATM overhang clears; bearish VCX trading at 2000% NAV premium to SpaceX.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "With $IREN, you have $6B in newly minted selling pressure. This ATM is structural overhang in any rally.\n \nIf the marketcap is $11 Billion and they're selling up to $6,000,000,000 worth of new shares against you in the open market. \n\nI would not go long until the ATM is finished and existing holders get diluted. \n\nSame with $VCX, if you're trading at 2000% NAV of SpaceX (valued at $34 Trillion), eventually the math will work against you.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What are your thoughts about $IREN? Overvalued or worth buying?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "HAkbarnataj", "ret_m1d": 0.10974064583353815, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10974064583353815, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.10638596720856341, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1211136654803332, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011373019646795046, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08412390479012921, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08412390479012921, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0550559790912144, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06323891081192379, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "bench_c_p1d": 0.020884993978205424, "ret_p1w": 0.11100569689190842, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11100569689190842, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06834540728564642, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07957475316610729, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03143094372580113, "ret_p1m": 0.40543951445974713, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.40543951445974713, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2792942299779777, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.33327247931247106, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07216703514727607, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1945, 0.1945, 0.3504, 0.5256, 0.4519, 0.3797, 0.4447, 0.4557, 0.5917, 0.6758, 0.6724, 0.641, 0.8286, 0.8286, 0.716, 0.6913, 0.6528, 0.7925, 0.6559, 0.8972, 0.9905, 0.8925, 0.6996, 0.6787, 0.7201, 0.4213, 0.2584, 0.3229, 0.4595, 0.3577, 0.3495, 0.266, 0.3352, 0.3352, 0.2957, 0.3308, 0.3691, 0.2644, 0.3397, 0.4374, 0.3925, 0.3991, 0.2951, 0.309, 0.2287, 0.3865, 0.269, 0.1607, 0.2283, 0.2056, 0.3276, 0.3083, 0.315, 0.4213, 0.3586, 0.3349, 0.3175, 0.3058, 0.3333, 0.3004, 0.3102, 0.1844, 0.1097, 0.0, 0.0841, 0.0781, 0.0996, 0.0996, 0.111, 0.1303, 0.1648, 0.172, 0.2435, 0.3621, 0.4981, 0.544, 0.5085, 0.5218, 0.5408, 0.4285, 0.5304, 0.6452, 0.6015, 0.5294, 0.4054, 0.3555, 0.4393, 0.444, 0.5648, 0.7312, 0.9285, 0.7979, 0.9355, 0.7441, 0.7887, 0.7448, 0.8469, 0.6743, 0.5958, 0.5098, 0.667, 0.8362, 0.7973, 0.7973, 0.8906, 1.1455, 1.0256, 1.0095, 1.0095, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2037704679161995774", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-28T01:33:48+00:00", "symbol": "VCX", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if you're trading at 2000% NAV of SpaceX (valued at $34 Trillion), eventually the math will work against you", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish IREN until $6B ATM overhang clears; bearish VCX trading at 2000% NAV premium to SpaceX.", "resolved_tickers": ["VCX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "With $IREN, you have $6B in newly minted selling pressure. This ATM is structural overhang in any rally.\n \nIf the marketcap is $11 Billion and they're selling up to $6,000,000,000 worth of new shares against you in the open market. \n\nI would not go long until the ATM is finished and existing holders get diluted. \n\nSame with $VCX, if you're trading at 2000% NAV of SpaceX (valued at $34 Trillion), eventually the math will work against you.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What are your thoughts about $IREN? Overvalued or worth buying?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "HAkbarnataj", "ret_m1d": 0.5585585585585586, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.5585585585585586, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.5552038799335839, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.5552038799335839, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.17972970223641616, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.17972970223641616, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.15066177653750135, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.15066177653750135, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "ret_p1w": 0.06306306306306309, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06306306306306309, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.020402773456801082, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.020402773456801082, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "bench_c_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "ret_p1m": -0.29144142769478465, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.29144142769478465, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4175867121765541, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4175867121765541, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, -0.3139, 0.0604, 0.728, 1.8377, 2.4234, 1.3604, 0.5586, 0.0, 0.1797, 0.036, 0.018, 0.018, 0.0631, 0.0244, 0.0787, 0.036, 0.0179, 0.0275, -0.135, -0.1758, -0.3074, -0.239, -0.1719, -0.1982, -0.163, -0.1915, -0.2299, -0.2342, -0.2914, -0.2341, -0.146, -0.1482, 0.036, 0.2414, 0.4323, 0.2986, 0.7206, 1.4865, 1.4775, 1.2163, 0.9729, 0.7747, 1.1084, 1.0794, 1.2162, 1.6082, 1.3764, 1.3764, 1.2709, 1.0631, 0.9783, 0.9009, 0.9009, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2038672101717274941", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-30T17:38:00+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$IREN simply cannot monetize the rest of their capacity without using that. It's not 'optionality'. Financial structure nuance matters when you're choosing winners for equity appreciation.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish IREN on massive dilution treadmill with no real optionality; bullish NBIS on superior funding structure (NVDA-backed convertibles) showing up in YTD returns.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Do you guys think there’s only $5,650,000,000 dilution to go with $IREN?\n\nVery surprising that people haven’t switched to $NBIS or other names if you’re long Neoclouds.\n\nOne already has confirmed funding with $NVDA + convertibles from institutions.\n\nThe other is likely actively selling new shares on the open market to get funding off retail shareholders.\n\nThe sad reality is:\n\n$IREN simply cannot monetize the rest of their capacity without using that. It’s not “optionality”.\n\nFinancial structure nuance matters when you’re choosing winners for equity appreciation.\n\nNebius is clearly has the better financing structure and this is already showing up in YTD returns.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$IREN filed to dilute $6,000,000,000 at a $11.7B MC.\n\nThat is not noise.\n\nThis is Iren's way to monetize their 4.5GW capacity by selling all those new shares onto the open market. \n\nIf you want some history on how this turns out:\n\nLook at $BKKT that crashed 99% with Mike and https://t.co/mc7R3VP28x", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.10974064583353815, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10974064583353815, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.10638596720856341, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1211136654803332, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011373019646795046, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08412390479012921, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08412390479012921, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0550559790912144, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06323891081192379, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "bench_c_p1d": 0.020884993978205424, "ret_p1w": 0.11100569689190842, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11100569689190842, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06834540728564642, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07957475316610729, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03143094372580113, "ret_p1m": 0.40543951445974713, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.40543951445974713, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2792942299779777, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.33327247931247106, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07216703514727607, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1945, 0.1945, 0.3504, 0.5256, 0.4519, 0.3797, 0.4447, 0.4557, 0.5917, 0.6758, 0.6724, 0.641, 0.8286, 0.8286, 0.716, 0.6913, 0.6528, 0.7925, 0.6559, 0.8972, 0.9905, 0.8925, 0.6996, 0.6787, 0.7201, 0.4213, 0.2584, 0.3229, 0.4595, 0.3577, 0.3495, 0.266, 0.3352, 0.3352, 0.2957, 0.3308, 0.3691, 0.2644, 0.3397, 0.4374, 0.3925, 0.3991, 0.2951, 0.309, 0.2287, 0.3865, 0.269, 0.1607, 0.2283, 0.2056, 0.3276, 0.3083, 0.315, 0.4213, 0.3586, 0.3349, 0.3175, 0.3058, 0.3333, 0.3004, 0.3102, 0.1844, 0.1097, 0.0, 0.0841, 0.0781, 0.0996, 0.0996, 0.111, 0.1303, 0.1648, 0.172, 0.2435, 0.3621, 0.4981, 0.544, 0.5085, 0.5218, 0.5408, 0.4285, 0.5304, 0.6452, 0.6015, 0.5294, 0.4054, 0.3555, 0.4393, 0.444, 0.5648, 0.7312, 0.9285, 0.7979, 0.9355, 0.7441, 0.7887, 0.7448, 0.8469, 0.6743, 0.5958, 0.5098, 0.667, 0.8362, 0.7973, 0.7973, 0.8906, 1.1455, 1.0256, 1.0095, 1.0095, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2038672101717274941", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-30T17:38:00+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "One already has confirmed funding with $NVDA + convertibles from institutions. Nebius is clearly has the better financing structure and this is already showing up in YTD returns.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish IREN on massive dilution treadmill with no real optionality; bullish NBIS on superior funding structure (NVDA-backed convertibles) showing up in YTD returns.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Do you guys think there’s only $5,650,000,000 dilution to go with $IREN?\n\nVery surprising that people haven’t switched to $NBIS or other names if you’re long Neoclouds.\n\nOne already has confirmed funding with $NVDA + convertibles from institutions.\n\nThe other is likely actively selling new shares on the open market to get funding off retail shareholders.\n\nThe sad reality is:\n\n$IREN simply cannot monetize the rest of their capacity without using that. It’s not “optionality”.\n\nFinancial structure nuance matters when you’re choosing winners for equity appreciation.\n\nNebius is clearly has the better financing structure and this is already showing up in YTD returns.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$IREN filed to dilute $6,000,000,000 at a $11.7B MC.\n\nThat is not noise.\n\nThis is Iren's way to monetize their 4.5GW capacity by selling all those new shares onto the open market. \n\nIf you want some history on how this turns out:\n\nLook at $BKKT that crashed 99% with Mike and https://t.co/mc7R3VP28x", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.09278124171246072, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.09278124171246072, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08942656308748598, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.10130289951856597, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008521657806105254, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.12464773177675825, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.12464773177675825, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09557980607784344, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09778591674830661, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02686181502845164, "ret_p1w": 0.2198135520238942, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2198135520238942, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.17715326241763218, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.18461530189437614, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03519825012951805, "ret_p1m": 0.46878377811809324, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.46878377811809324, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3426384936363238, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.39662741482068253, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07215636329741071, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0927, -0.0927, -0.025, 0.0062, 0.0865, 0.0428, 0.0546, 0.0615, 0.1633, 0.1427, 0.1054, 0.126, 0.1785, 0.1785, 0.0762, 0.0716, 0.0498, 0.0243, -0.0087, 0.0608, 0.0886, 0.0287, -0.0766, -0.0444, -0.025, -0.107, -0.1993, -0.0668, 0.0067, -0.0051, -0.0396, -0.0274, 0.0623, 0.0623, 0.057, 0.1034, 0.1664, 0.0613, 0.0905, 0.1119, 0.1502, 0.1368, -0.0116, -0.0135, -0.0592, 0.0598, 0.0367, -0.0318, 0.029, 0.0452, 0.2139, 0.171, 0.2243, 0.4074, 0.2609, 0.2851, 0.3171, 0.2749, 0.2373, 0.2455, 0.2475, 0.1486, 0.0928, 0.0, 0.1246, 0.105, 0.1795, 0.1795, 0.2198, 0.2725, 0.3549, 0.4777, 0.5713, 0.6753, 0.7553, 0.8076, 0.7921, 0.7032, 0.7251, 0.6968, 0.6924, 0.7026, 0.5951, 0.5712, 0.4688, 0.5303, 0.4983, 0.6745, 0.9122, 0.9068, 1.1146, 1.0027, 0.919, 1.0171, 0.9414, 1.2466, 1.397, 1.3839, 1.1663, 1.1432, 1.0791, 1.3838, 1.3279, 1.3279, 1.2551, 1.2585, 1.4533, 1.5048, 1.5048, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2055145487284805982", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-15T04:37:21+00:00", "symbol": "FOCI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Pretty high conviction in FOCI, markets underpricing future CPO bottlenecks right now", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "High conviction long FOCI; markets underpricing future CPO bottlenecks.", "resolved_tickers": ["3363.TWO"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "FOCI fiber optics Taiwan; retrying TWO (OTC market) suffix", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TWO')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@RayT168 Pretty high conviction in FOCI, markets underpricing future CPO bottlenecks right now just like $AXTI last year", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit My first foray into Taiwan exchange 🫰\n\n3633 FOCI https://t.co/E42MS2WeC9", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "RayT168", "ret_m1d": 0.07253269916765759, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07253269916765759, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06035688006233286, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.026520378464282235, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012175819105324726, "bench_c_m1d": 0.04601232070337535, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04399524375743158, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04399524375743158, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04329180813624112, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04925382573982384, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0007034356211904624, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005258581982392263, "ret_p1w": 0.013079667063020217, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.013079667063020217, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.004326563057351018, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04783178816209532, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008753104005669199, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06091145522511554, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4578, -0.4578, -0.4578, -0.4578, -0.4043, -0.3448, -0.2925, -0.2842, -0.2842, -0.2533, -0.2616, -0.3353, -0.2711, -0.2961, -0.3662, -0.3222, -0.2782, -0.3044, -0.258, -0.2509, -0.2747, -0.2473, -0.2057, -0.1272, -0.214, -0.2093, -0.1938, -0.2402, -0.2366, -0.2735, -0.346, -0.2806, -0.2866, -0.2866, -0.2866, -0.2152, -0.1439, -0.0927, -0.0678, -0.1118, -0.1106, -0.0226, -0.0131, 0.069, 0.1748, 0.1772, 0.1367, 0.0832, -0.0238, -0.1213, -0.1141, -0.1034, -0.0856, -0.0856, -0.0036, 0.0369, -0.0309, -0.0309, -0.0369, 0.0143, 0.0939, 0.0143, 0.0725, 0.0, -0.044, -0.0785, -0.0761, -0.0273, 0.0131, 0.0059, 0.0523, 0.0071, -0.0309, -0.0523, -0.0333, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2049039268245623026", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-28T08:13:25+00:00", "symbol": "IQE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "long term bullish especially with $MTSI as an investor and clearing debt", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long-term bullish IQE on debt clearance and MTSI as locked-up strategic investor; short-term bearish on arbitrage risk from convertible-note holders.", "resolved_tickers": ["IQE.L"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "IQE plc LSE-listed epiwafer supplier", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Mellokhai Nuanced, long term bullish especially with $MTSI as an investor and clearing debt. Macom is not a day trader so that 45M is locked up. \n\nShort term bearish if the other half of the offering was sold to investors that arbitrage convertible notes.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Any comment about $IQE equity offer ? I think it’s bullish !", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Mellokhai", "ret_m1d": 0.2273292304566188, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.2273292304566188, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.22243948849479245, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.19669056558344455, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004889741961826344, "bench_c_m1d": 0.030638664873174237, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.003726745984569124, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.003726745984569124, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.003881287078563944, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01331279975511257, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00015454109399481997, "bench_c_p1d": 0.017039545739681694, "ret_p1w": 0.2422360248447204, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2422360248447204, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.22526231852820056, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1781493581768112, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016973706316519843, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06408666666790919, "ret_p1m": 0.25962734814756416, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.25962734814756416, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.20515135523175543, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.047314874136213936, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.054475992915808735, "bench_c_p1m": 0.21231247401135023, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.8075, -0.8035, -0.8005, -0.8087, -0.8025, -0.806, -0.8032, -0.797, -0.7516, -0.7456, -0.7441, -0.7366, -0.7391, -0.7361, -0.7401, -0.7421, -0.7396, -0.6825, -0.6969, -0.602, -0.5031, -0.528, -0.364, -0.354, -0.3329, -0.4671, -0.5116, -0.526, -0.436, -0.3963, -0.436, -0.4224, -0.4261, -0.4634, -0.3652, -0.4323, -0.4137, -0.4161, -0.3652, -0.2671, -0.3391, -0.3913, -0.4261, -0.3938, -0.3764, -0.4137, -0.4137, -0.4137, -0.3665, -0.287, -0.2547, -0.0807, 0.2199, 0.1876, 0.3416, 0.4559, 0.2944, 0.4559, 0.5652, 0.5553, 0.236, 0.1826, 0.2273, 0.0, 0.0037, 0.0745, 0.0224, 0.0224, 0.2422, 0.1068, 0.1342, 0.1702, 0.354, 0.1714, 0.2547, 0.2323, 0.1429, -0.0286, -0.205, -0.0671, -0.0099, 0.1366, 0.1366, 0.3416, 0.2596, 0.1839, 0.1801, 0.1801, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2049039268245623026", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-28T08:13:25+00:00", "symbol": "MTSI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$MTSI as an investor and clearing debt. Macom is not a day trader so that 45M is locked up", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long-term bullish IQE on debt clearance and MTSI as locked-up strategic investor; short-term bearish on arbitrage risk from convertible-note holders.", "resolved_tickers": ["MTSI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Mellokhai Nuanced, long term bullish especially with $MTSI as an investor and clearing debt. Macom is not a day trader so that 45M is locked up. \n\nShort term bearish if the other half of the offering was sold to investors that arbitrage convertible notes.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Any comment about $IQE equity offer ? I think it’s bullish !", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Mellokhai", "ret_m1d": 0.05206888992346537, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05206888992346537, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04717914796163902, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04717914796163902, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004889741961826344, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004889741961826344, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.015135046696113763, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015135046696113763, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.015289587790108583, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015289587790108583, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00015454109399481997, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00015454109399481997, "ret_p1w": 0.14291639646910181, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.14291639646910181, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12594269015258197, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.12594269015258197, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016973706316519843, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016973706316519843, "ret_p1m": 0.5084523389879116, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5084523389879116, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4539763460721029, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4539763460721029, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.054475992915808735, "bench_c_p1m": 0.054475992915808735, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1426, -0.1753, -0.1395, -0.1465, -0.1904, -0.1424, -0.112, -0.1126, -0.132, -0.1079, -0.1002, -0.0808, -0.0808, -0.0754, -0.071, -0.0868, -0.0829, -0.0756, -0.0652, -0.0461, -0.0697, -0.0658, -0.0266, -0.0926, -0.1002, -0.1379, -0.2187, -0.1765, -0.1695, -0.1621, -0.187, -0.18, -0.1532, -0.1669, -0.1759, -0.1546, -0.1756, -0.1369, -0.1068, -0.0774, -0.1397, -0.1512, -0.2113, -0.1639, -0.1365, -0.1028, -0.1028, -0.1226, -0.1078, -0.0701, -0.0674, -0.0282, -0.0075, -0.0064, -0.0168, -0.0158, 0.0428, 0.0582, 0.0757, 0.0429, 0.0707, 0.0829, 0.0521, 0.0, 0.0151, 0.0602, 0.0699, 0.0983, 0.1429, 0.1664, 0.2969, 0.3549, 0.3775, 0.3658, 0.4365, 0.4441, 0.4141, 0.3413, 0.3515, 0.4145, 0.4324, 0.4532, 0.4532, 0.5424, 0.5085, 0.4724, 0.3728, 0.3728, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2044497960223051813", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-15T19:27:53+00:00", "symbol": "MRVL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$MRVL ended up getting $2B from $NVDA and gave projections on their Celestial CPO ramp", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish on SIVE, MRVL, POET, ASE on CPO ramp catalysts and hyperscaler client wins; forward earnings growth from lasers to accelerate.", "resolved_tickers": ["MRVL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "No, they didn't have the same fundamentals. This is what majority of retail investors don't understand and it's so frustrating. \n\n$SIVE literally landed $JBL as a hyperscaler client, and O-Net which serves Asian hyperscalers.\n\nThen $MRVL ended up getting $2B from $NVDA and gave projections on their Celestial CPO ramp (which trickles down to $SIVE).\n\n$POET also gave projections and volume ramp delivery H2, which was earlier than expected. \n\nASE literally went out and projected CPO volume ramp H2 2026, way earlier than expected. \n\nSo if we map forward earnings growth from lasers, it should accelerate a lot.\n\nMarkets price in future growth, not backward 2025 fundamentals.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Yeah sure, everything you’re saying here might be true but all these stocks had the same fundamentals before but it only showed in the stock price after you and all the other X accounts posted these. I live in Sweden and have been investing in Sivers before you started posting.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "filiusveritatis", "ret_m1d": -0.005720685271505488, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005720685271505488, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0021085293035091324, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0021085293035091324, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00782921457501462, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00782921457501462, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.009138268429068064, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.009138268429068064, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.011595580051672383, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011595580051672383, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002457311622604319, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002457311622604319, "ret_p1w": 0.1687964352931013, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1687964352931013, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15269502732678997, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15269502732678997, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01610140796631132, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01610140796631132, "ret_p1m": 0.3564635479335678, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3564635479335678, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.28755766985755726, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.28755766985755726, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06890587807601056, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06890587807601056, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4025, -0.4025, -0.4074, -0.387, -0.3829, -0.4042, -0.3928, -0.3842, -0.3791, -0.396, -0.414, -0.4159, -0.4391, -0.4525, -0.4489, -0.4039, -0.3885, -0.391, -0.396, -0.4191, -0.4163, -0.4163, -0.4133, -0.4127, -0.4088, -0.4098, -0.4224, -0.4179, -0.3991, -0.4112, -0.3934, -0.3996, -0.4244, -0.4201, -0.438, -0.3349, -0.312, -0.3072, -0.3284, -0.349, -0.3476, -0.32, -0.3258, -0.3494, -0.3352, -0.3472, -0.3305, -0.3142, -0.2689, -0.2747, -0.2954, -0.3479, -0.2645, -0.2076, -0.2046, -0.2046, -0.1868, -0.1878, -0.1501, -0.1094, -0.0454, -0.0245, -0.0057, 0.0, -0.0091, 0.0378, 0.0984, 0.1241, 0.1688, 0.23, 0.2207, 0.1754, 0.1384, 0.1632, 0.227, 0.2255, 0.2159, 0.2537, 0.279, 0.1888, 0.264, 0.2692, 0.2221, 0.3221, 0.3565, 0.3142, 0.2551, 0.3096, 0.3878, 0.4167, 0.4586, 0.4586, 0.5473, 0.4762, 0.5218, 0.523, 0.523, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2044497960223051813", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-04-15T19:27:53+00:00", "symbol": "POET Technologies", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$POET also gave projections and volume ramp delivery H2, which was earlier than expected", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish on SIVE, MRVL, POET, ASE on CPO ramp catalysts and hyperscaler client wins; forward earnings growth from lasers to accelerate.", "resolved_tickers": ["POET"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "POET Technologies trades as POET on NASDAQ", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "No, they didn't have the same fundamentals. This is what majority of retail investors don't understand and it's so frustrating. \n\n$SIVE literally landed $JBL as a hyperscaler client, and O-Net which serves Asian hyperscalers.\n\nThen $MRVL ended up getting $2B from $NVDA and gave projections on their Celestial CPO ramp (which trickles down to $SIVE).\n\n$POET also gave projections and volume ramp delivery H2, which was earlier than expected. \n\nASE literally went out and projected CPO volume ramp H2 2026, way earlier than expected. \n\nSo if we map forward earnings growth from lasers, it should accelerate a lot.\n\nMarkets price in future growth, not backward 2025 fundamentals.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Yeah sure, everything you’re saying here might be true but all these stocks had the same fundamentals before but it only showed in the stock price after you and all the other X accounts posted these. I live in Sweden and have been investing in Sivers before you started posting.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "filiusveritatis", "ret_m1d": -0.03730269151665622, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03730269151665622, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.029473476941641596, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03509518599789241, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00782921457501462, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002207505518763808, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05308470208520144, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05308470208520144, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05062739046259712, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04911121909851546, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002457311622604319, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003973482986685983, "ret_p1w": 0.8321378539686501, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.8321378539686501, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.8160364460023388, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.7795330270983065, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01610140796631132, "bench_c_p1w": 0.052604826870343624, "ret_p1m": 1.9512195572474496, "ret_signed_p1m": 1.9512195572474496, "alpha_spy_p1m": 1.882313679171439, "alpha_c_p1m": 1.6745307562419998, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06890587807601056, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2766888010054498, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1908, 0.1908, 0.1822, 0.2009, -0.0043, -0.0086, -0.0732, -0.0258, -0.1076, -0.1463, -0.1679, -0.1621, -0.1334, -0.1951, -0.2568, -0.1578, -0.109, -0.1621, -0.1636, -0.1894, -0.1994, -0.1994, -0.208, -0.1994, -0.2009, -0.1836, -0.208, -0.1234, -0.0875, -0.1047, -0.1392, -0.0086, 0.01, -0.0187, -0.0473, -0.099, -0.0402, 0.0043, 0.0674, 0.0674, -0.0201, -0.0086, -0.0574, -0.1133, -0.1062, -0.1492, -0.1306, -0.1765, -0.1248, -0.2123, -0.2554, -0.2712, -0.1478, -0.1966, -0.1234, -0.1234, -0.1277, -0.1449, -0.1076, -0.1277, 0.01, 0.0473, -0.0373, 0.0, 0.0531, 0.0416, 0.2324, 0.4706, 0.8321, 0.6815, 1.1664, 0.1406, 0.1521, -0.0531, 0.0215, 0.0488, 0.0201, 0.3214, 0.3945, 0.3745, 0.571, 0.9943, 0.9699, 1.0617, 1.9512, 1.2912, 1.0387, 0.8752, 1.1205, 1.1263, 1.0933, 1.0933, 0.9154, 0.9053, 0.9024, 0.7633, 0.7633, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2044497960223051813", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-04-15T19:27:53+00:00", "symbol": "ASE Technology", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "ASE literally went out and projected CPO volume ramp H2 2026, way earlier than expected", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish on SIVE, MRVL, POET, ASE on CPO ramp catalysts and hyperscaler client wins; forward earnings growth from lasers to accelerate.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASX"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "ASE Technology Holding Co US ADR ticker ASX", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "No, they didn't have the same fundamentals. This is what majority of retail investors don't understand and it's so frustrating. \n\n$SIVE literally landed $JBL as a hyperscaler client, and O-Net which serves Asian hyperscalers.\n\nThen $MRVL ended up getting $2B from $NVDA and gave projections on their Celestial CPO ramp (which trickles down to $SIVE).\n\n$POET also gave projections and volume ramp delivery H2, which was earlier than expected. \n\nASE literally went out and projected CPO volume ramp H2 2026, way earlier than expected. \n\nSo if we map forward earnings growth from lasers, it should accelerate a lot.\n\nMarkets price in future growth, not backward 2025 fundamentals.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Yeah sure, everything you’re saying here might be true but all these stocks had the same fundamentals before but it only showed in the stock price after you and all the other X accounts posted these. I live in Sweden and have been investing in Sivers before you started posting.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "filiusveritatis", "ret_m1d": -0.013220665040575508, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013220665040575508, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0053914504655608875, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0110131595218117, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00782921457501462, "bench_c_m1d": -0.002207505518763808, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.013587985510594258, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.013587985510594258, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01113067388798994, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.009614502523908275, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002457311622604319, "bench_c_p1d": 0.003973482986685983, "ret_p1w": 0.0998898739048506, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0998898739048506, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08378846593853928, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04728504703450698, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01610140796631132, "bench_c_p1w": 0.052604826870343624, "ret_p1m": 0.294528115776274, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.294528115776274, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.22562223770026346, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.017839314770824233, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06890587807601056, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2766888010054498, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2872, -0.2872, -0.3059, -0.303, -0.3, -0.2879, -0.2718, -0.2629, -0.256, -0.2736, -0.303, -0.2872, -0.2879, -0.3026, -0.256, -0.2328, -0.1866, -0.1741, -0.1282, -0.1385, -0.1407, -0.1407, -0.1381, -0.1429, -0.1487, -0.1201, -0.1377, -0.0885, -0.0779, -0.1102, -0.108, -0.1113, -0.1807, -0.1884, -0.1899, -0.2244, -0.2046, -0.2027, -0.1957, -0.2292, -0.2104, -0.2097, -0.1983, -0.2046, -0.1957, -0.2174, -0.2038, -0.2093, -0.1774, -0.213, -0.2104, -0.2328, -0.2038, -0.1744, -0.1818, -0.1818, -0.1719, -0.1851, -0.1135, -0.0999, -0.0878, -0.025, -0.0132, 0.0, 0.0136, 0.0499, 0.0753, 0.087, 0.0999, 0.0947, 0.1752, 0.1329, 0.1047, 0.1234, 0.1535, 0.1601, 0.1855, 0.2281, 0.2545, 0.2244, 0.2571, 0.2964, 0.2589, 0.3026, 0.2945, 0.2416, 0.1623, 0.1344, 0.1638, 0.1987, 0.2784, 0.2784, 0.4304, 0.4348, 0.491, 0.4084, 0.4084, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2040031534099685404", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-03T11:39:54+00:00", "symbol": "AEHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Long term I think it will go much higher. This or next $AEHR earnings will likely hit like a truck once they all switch to volume orders.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long AEHR long-term; hyperscaler/AI customer qualifications (AMD, GOOGL, INTC) expected to convert to volume orders, hitting earnings hard.", "resolved_tickers": ["AEHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I haven't seen a company get so many hyperscalers/AI companies qualifying it before... think it's $AMD, $GOOGL, $INTC, and more optical companies, so line up is kinda insane. \n\nThis or next $AEHR earnings will likely hit like a truck once they all switch to volume orders.  \n\nAs for timing, can't help you there. Long term I think it will go much higher, short term not sure.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Do you think aehr would be a good buy here ? I just started following you and wanted to buy it but I know you’ve been in it longer", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "RiversSmith3", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1768953115201275, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1768953115201275, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.17216851417148948, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.16756618327333705, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004726797348638012, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009329128246790441, "ret_p1w": 0.5891245665644882, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.5891245665644882, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.5530938813761714, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.4755438245000929, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03603068518831676, "bench_c_p1w": 0.11358074206439528, "ret_p1m": 0.931633601079408, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.931633601079408, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.8368224593880036, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.6398564826973125, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09481114169140437, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2917771183820954, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.442, -0.4544, -0.4878, -0.4061, -0.4055, -0.3951, -0.414, -0.4014, -0.35, -0.35, -0.3443, -0.3412, -0.3026, -0.3673, -0.3958, -0.3739, -0.3687, -0.3935, -0.4215, -0.412, -0.3865, -0.4623, -0.481, -0.4046, -0.3775, -0.3946, -0.2362, -0.3707, -0.3493, -0.3493, -0.3572, -0.3454, -0.317, -0.2419, -0.2256, -0.1148, -0.0641, -0.102, -0.1555, -0.0065, -0.0605, -0.0375, -0.0864, -0.1965, -0.0776, -0.0532, -0.0422, -0.1505, -0.1952, -0.1543, -0.1631, -0.1807, -0.148, -0.2211, -0.1618, -0.1157, -0.1194, -0.22, -0.2662, -0.3204, -0.1634, -0.1065, 0.0, 0.0, 0.1769, 0.1338, 0.4251, 0.5537, 0.5891, 0.6169, 0.6782, 0.6521, 0.8242, 0.8921, 1.0341, 1.1146, 1.1968, 1.155, 1.164, 0.9964, 0.8599, 0.8459, 1.0433, 1.1, 0.9316, 1.0575, 1.1825, 1.0591, 1.1938, 1.3592, 1.1823, 1.3296, 1.3994, 1.245, 0.8856, 0.8308, 0.8579, 1.06, 1.144, 1.144, 1.4801, 1.3425, 1.2561, 1.0833, 1.0833, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2049952745038487813", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-30T20:43:15+00:00", "symbol": "RDDT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "69% Y/Y, 91.5% gross margins... with GAAP net income close to 31% of their revenue... Next quarter projections shows it's still growing at a rapid pace", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish RDDT: high-growth money printer with 69% Y/Y revenue, 91.5% gross margins, near-31% GAAP net income, and continued rapid growth next quarter.", "resolved_tickers": ["RDDT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "They grew 69% Y/Y, 91.5% gross margins... with GAAP net income close to 31% of their revenue.\n\nLot of software companies mask profitability with SBC like Snapchat. \n\nBut $RDDT figures are high revenue growth with an immense portion of that adding to their cash balance sheets. \n\nNext quarter projections shows it's still growing at a rapid pace.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit do you mind explaining why is $RDDT high growth money printer?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "WhitePine009", "ret_m1d": 0.003531918002791068, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.003531918002791068, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.013383525604796276, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.014003132476520297, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009851607602005208, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010471214473729229, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.13074781334384933, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.13074781334384933, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.12797869951547836, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.1289454008417268, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027691138283709726, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0018024125021225412, "ret_p1w": 0.1135638233097882, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1135638233097882, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09558585816894394, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10609669515567277, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017977965140844265, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007467128154115432, "ret_p1m": 0.19540857914376453, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.19540857914376453, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1427828468955421, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.20244659888275163, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05262573224822242, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0070380197389871, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2032, 0.1235, 0.0371, 0.0259, -0.0503, -0.0373, 0.0187, -0.0539, -0.1098, -0.0515, -0.0515, -0.0543, 0.0016, -0.0075, 0.02, -0.0324, -0.035, 0.0166, 0.0273, -0.0096, -0.0008, -0.0105, 0.0004, -0.0196, -0.0532, -0.0568, -0.089, -0.0687, -0.1017, -0.101, -0.0491, -0.0197, -0.0302, -0.0619, -0.0501, -0.0426, -0.0755, -0.0516, -0.1356, -0.1725, -0.1569, -0.0854, -0.0751, -0.0763, -0.0763, -0.0604, -0.0414, -0.0151, -0.0601, -0.0509, 0.0144, 0.0497, 0.0764, 0.1034, 0.1125, 0.1294, 0.0651, 0.116, 0.0389, 0.052, 0.0882, 0.0048, 0.0035, 0.0, 0.1307, 0.1483, 0.1657, 0.1313, 0.1136, 0.0582, 0.0834, 0.0348, 0.0468, 0.0617, 0.0743, 0.0807, 0.052, -0.0035, 0.0191, -0.0378, -0.0378, -0.0176, 0.0473, 0.139, 0.1954, 0.1954, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2042508854051901711", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-10T07:43:53+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I believe in $40B MC $AAOI one day… their whole name of the game is execution", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long AAOI to $40B market cap; hyperscaler demand supports execution-driven upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Yolo365247isme Yeah I believe in $40B MC $AAOI one day… their whole name of the game is execution.\n\nSince hyperscalers are just buying anything they can make. We’ll see how it turns out over the next year, risk/reward was worth it for me personally.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $AAOI can still do multiples from here imo", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Yolo365247isme", "ret_m1d": -0.11487385358979718, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11487385358979718, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11553607234781726, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.11553607234781726, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0006622187580200833, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0006622187580200833, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01719785015221298, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01719785015221298, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007425452367861185, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.007425452367861185, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009772397784351794, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009772397784351794, "ret_p1w": 0.05856568199185341, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05856568199185341, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.013412189978137867, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.013412189978137867, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.045153492013715546, "bench_c_p1w": 0.045153492013715546, "ret_p1m": 0.22775555380384582, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.22775555380384582, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1396856690642243, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1396856690642243, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08806988473962152, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08806988473962152, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.773, -0.7711, -0.7543, -0.7541, -0.7541, -0.7393, -0.7452, -0.7467, -0.7628, -0.7683, -0.7517, -0.6997, -0.7373, -0.7104, -0.7068, -0.6938, -0.7351, -0.7468, -0.7058, -0.6819, -0.678, -0.6786, -0.7079, -0.7048, -0.7048, -0.7084, -0.7116, -0.688, -0.6568, -0.6417, -0.6264, -0.6141, -0.6435, -0.4407, -0.3193, -0.3669, -0.3379, -0.3284, -0.3653, -0.2655, -0.1999, -0.1566, -0.2949, -0.3572, -0.3754, -0.4268, -0.3849, -0.3232, -0.4187, -0.3641, -0.2437, -0.2403, -0.3531, -0.3479, -0.4343, -0.4383, -0.4266, -0.31, -0.31, -0.2865, -0.2189, -0.1189, -0.1149, 0.0, 0.0172, -0.028, -0.0535, 0.0446, 0.0586, 0.0855, -0.0002, -0.0078, -0.0855, 0.0768, -0.032, -0.0886, 0.0148, 0.0914, 0.2185, 0.1486, 0.199, 0.1855, 0.0461, -0.011, 0.2278, 0.2502, 0.4814, 0.3517, 0.264, 0.1505, 0.1376, 0.0973, 0.174, 0.2051, 0.2051, 0.1794, 0.1941, 0.1223, 0.0519, 0.0519, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2041791434525962584", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-08T08:13:07+00:00", "symbol": "IQE", "kind": "equity", "geography": "Europe", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$IQE: up 10.78%", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Iran ceasefire expected to lift record short pressure on European equities; European photonics names IQE, SOI, SIVE already bouncing.", "resolved_tickers": ["IQE.L"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "IQE plc listed on LSE as IQE.L", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "European photonics sector finally coming back to life.\n\nToday:\n$IQE: up 10.78%\n$SOI: up 9.96%\n$SIVE: up 12.7%\n\nThis is amid the FT report: \n\n“Hedge funds make record bets against European stocks” due to Europe’s hypersensitivity to the Iran War.\n\nNow that there’s a ceasefire in Iran, it’s likely we’ll see a lot of the pressure will get taken off of European equities.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.1114982814589901, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1114982814589901, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08666131333728855, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.057067138925264826, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.024836968121701553, "bench_c_m1d": -0.054431142533725274, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.045296139460011764, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.045296139460011764, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.039527048288923394, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.027822423636151505, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00576909117108837, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01747371582386026, "ret_p1w": 0.881533051028021, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.881533051028021, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.8461341777419911, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.8104085224712625, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.035398873286029975, "bench_c_p1w": 0.07112452855675855, "ret_p1m": 0.5905923453781621, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5905923453781621, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5083894097389619, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3135187654156806, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08220293563920023, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2770735799624815, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7443, -0.6362, -0.6561, -0.6864, -0.716, -0.7265, -0.6889, -0.7286, -0.7338, -0.7282, -0.7202, -0.7334, -0.7331, -0.7206, -0.73, -0.7244, -0.7202, -0.7317, -0.723, -0.7279, -0.724, -0.7153, -0.6516, -0.6432, -0.6411, -0.6307, -0.6341, -0.63, -0.6355, -0.6383, -0.6348, -0.5547, -0.5749, -0.4418, -0.3031, -0.338, -0.108, -0.0941, -0.0645, -0.2526, -0.315, -0.3352, -0.2091, -0.1533, -0.2091, -0.1899, -0.1951, -0.2474, -0.1098, -0.2038, -0.1777, -0.1812, -0.1098, 0.0279, -0.0732, -0.1463, -0.1951, -0.1498, -0.1254, -0.1777, -0.1777, -0.1777, -0.1115, 0.0, 0.0453, 0.2892, 0.7108, 0.6655, 0.8815, 1.0418, 0.8153, 1.0418, 1.1951, 1.1812, 0.7334, 0.6585, 0.7213, 0.4024, 0.4077, 0.507, 0.4338, 0.4338, 0.7422, 0.5523, 0.5906, 0.6411, 0.899, 0.6429, 0.7596, 0.7282, 0.6028, 0.3624, 0.115, 0.3084, 0.3885, 0.5941, 0.5941, 0.8815, 0.7666, 0.6603, 0.6551, 0.6551, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2041791434525962584", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-04-08T08:13:07+00:00", "symbol": "SOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": "Europe", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SOI: up 9.96%", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Iran ceasefire expected to lift record short pressure on European equities; European photonics names IQE, SOI, SIVE already bouncing.", "resolved_tickers": ["SOI.PA"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Soitec listed on Euronext Paris as SOI.PA", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "European photonics sector finally coming back to life.\n\nToday:\n$IQE: up 10.78%\n$SOI: up 9.96%\n$SIVE: up 12.7%\n\nThis is amid the FT report: \n\n“Hedge funds make record bets against European stocks” due to Europe’s hypersensitivity to the Iran War.\n\nNow that there’s a ceasefire in Iran, it’s likely we’ll see a lot of the pressure will get taken off of European equities.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.09627445782332333, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09627445782332333, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07143748970162178, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04184331528959806, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.024836968121701553, "bench_c_m1d": -0.054431142533725274, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.012172626937531295, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.012172626937531295, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.017941718108619664, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.029646342761391553, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00576909117108837, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01747371582386026, "ret_p1w": 0.41682032396361524, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.41682032396361524, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.38142145067758526, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.3456957954068567, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.035398873286029975, "bench_c_p1w": 0.07112452855675855, "ret_p1m": 1.7803392955741635, "ret_signed_p1m": 1.7803392955741635, "alpha_spy_p1m": 1.6981363599349633, "alpha_c_p1m": 1.503265715611682, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08220293563920023, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2770735799624815, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5022, -0.5074, -0.4779, -0.4792, -0.4627, -0.4801, -0.4937, -0.4941, -0.4795, -0.4745, -0.4919, -0.4882, -0.4827, -0.4932, -0.5101, -0.514, -0.5242, -0.548, -0.4426, -0.439, -0.412, -0.4006, -0.3582, -0.2789, -0.3253, -0.3113, -0.3196, -0.3156, -0.3137, -0.327, -0.3185, -0.2765, -0.2562, -0.2368, -0.2224, -0.2457, -0.2058, -0.2252, -0.2191, -0.2429, -0.2309, -0.2296, -0.1854, -0.0539, 0.0627, 0.0882, 0.1649, 0.1321, 0.1619, -0.0007, -0.0454, -0.0439, -0.0649, 0.0059, -0.014, -0.0081, -0.0446, -0.0476, -0.021, -0.0778, -0.0778, -0.0778, -0.0963, 0.0, -0.0122, 0.1756, 0.1922, 0.3342, 0.4168, 0.5765, 0.8041, 0.8443, 0.8582, 1.0232, 0.9661, 1.0776, 1.0205, 0.8215, 1.0859, 1.3414, 1.3414, 1.8311, 1.9122, 1.7084, 1.7803, 2.1603, 1.9823, 1.6688, 1.8744, 1.8015, 1.7305, 1.5867, 1.6402, 1.9141, 2.0727, 2.2709, 2.2516, 2.0745, 1.844, 2.5448, 2.2746, 2.2746, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2041791434525962584", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-04-08T08:13:07+00:00", "symbol": "SIVE", "kind": "equity", "geography": "Europe", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SIVE: up 12.7%", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Iran ceasefire expected to lift record short pressure on European equities; European photonics names IQE, SOI, SIVE already bouncing.", "resolved_tickers": ["SIVE.ST"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Sivers Semiconductors listed on Nasdaq Stockholm as SIVE.ST", "bench_c": "FEZ", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='ST')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "European photonics sector finally coming back to life.\n\nToday:\n$IQE: up 10.78%\n$SOI: up 9.96%\n$SIVE: up 12.7%\n\nThis is amid the FT report: \n\n“Hedge funds make record bets against European stocks” due to Europe’s hypersensitivity to the Iran War.\n\nNow that there’s a ceasefire in Iran, it’s likely we’ll see a lot of the pressure will get taken off of European equities.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.18193380076586763, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.18193380076586763, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.15709683264416607, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.13870706606559136, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.024836968121701553, "bench_c_m1d": -0.04322673470027627, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03562341625554455, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03562341625554455, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04139250742663292, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03668886067069976, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00576909117108837, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0010654444151552145, "ret_p1w": 0.7625106661475789, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.7625106661475789, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.7271117928615489, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.747746567734191, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.035398873286029975, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014764098413387883, "ret_p1m": 3.2188296725532126, "ret_signed_p1m": 3.2188296725532126, "alpha_spy_p1m": 3.136626736914012, "alpha_c_p1m": 3.2061964629701354, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08220293563920023, "bench_c_p1m": 0.012633209583077454, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6585, -0.6606, -0.656, -0.6919, -0.6906, -0.6958, -0.7087, -0.7133, -0.7277, -0.7075, -0.7055, -0.704, -0.7025, -0.7036, -0.7148, -0.7167, -0.7133, -0.7218, -0.7179, -0.7242, -0.7091, -0.7211, -0.7249, -0.7271, -0.7488, -0.7428, -0.7383, -0.7384, -0.7371, -0.7269, -0.732, -0.7376, -0.7269, -0.7325, -0.754, -0.7435, -0.743, -0.7484, -0.7194, -0.714, -0.6947, -0.7074, -0.6885, -0.6504, -0.6531, -0.6405, -0.3753, -0.4143, -0.2434, -0.1103, -0.2846, -0.0339, 0.0568, 0.2273, -0.0382, -0.159, -0.1518, -0.0916, -0.0543, -0.1603, -0.1603, -0.1603, -0.1819, 0.0, -0.0356, 0.1366, 0.4292, 0.3537, 0.7625, 0.9338, 1.0068, 1.6412, 1.9008, 1.5445, 1.4054, 1.7108, 1.5089, 1.7074, 2.3825, 2.2231, 2.2231, 3.7455, 3.6395, 3.0933, 3.2188, 2.6913, 3.1985, 2.659, 3.8049, 3.8049, 3.7243, 3.0797, 2.8558, 3.5802, 4.0085, 5.1832, 6.2561, 6.3664, 5.2256, 4.9542, 4.8482, 4.8482, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2049608537039679890", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-29T21:55:29+00:00", "symbol": "FORM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Hard to go wrong with $FORM or $ONTO. The whole ecosystem is just accelerating so fast right now.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses FORM and ONTO as solid picks in an accelerating ecosystem.", "resolved_tickers": ["FORM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@labubu_trader Hard to go wrong with $FORM or $ONTO. The whole ecosystem is just accelerating so fast right now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I like $FORM and $ONTO more than the others.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "labubu_trader", "ret_m1d": -0.009960939391093993, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.009960939391093993, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010115504371730033, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006793124707061726, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00015456498063604052, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01675406409815572, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.002951331071254115, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.002951331071254115, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006998296355950062, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011340703918831796, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009949627427204177, "bench_c_p1d": 0.014292034990085911, "ret_p1w": 0.10027297616980868, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10027297616980868, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06900453205161083, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0001714462292072838, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03126844411819785, "bench_c_p1w": 0.10044442239901596, "ret_p1m": -0.03917949978912627, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03917949978912627, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.09963645116900477, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.23984812786091292, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0604569513798785, "bench_c_p1m": 0.20066862807178665, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4799, -0.4741, -0.4489, -0.4719, -0.3812, -0.3338, -0.2999, -0.3116, -0.2912, -0.3088, -0.2863, -0.2863, -0.2962, -0.3014, -0.3191, -0.3023, -0.2908, -0.2579, -0.2191, -0.2788, -0.2704, -0.2644, -0.3154, -0.3168, -0.3605, -0.3728, -0.343, -0.3283, -0.3225, -0.3477, -0.3365, -0.3334, -0.3012, -0.2903, -0.2983, -0.3196, -0.2828, -0.2214, -0.2026, -0.2596, -0.2774, -0.3255, -0.2844, -0.2554, -0.2388, -0.2388, -0.2292, -0.2244, -0.1308, -0.1067, -0.0865, -0.0539, -0.0535, -0.0436, -0.0579, 0.0124, 0.0627, 0.048, 0.0786, 0.0947, 0.1442, 0.062, -0.01, 0.0, 0.003, 0.0136, -0.0086, 0.0699, 0.1003, 0.0675, 0.091, 0.1171, -0.0259, -0.0459, -0.0556, -0.0683, -0.1336, -0.1352, -0.0754, -0.0556, -0.0483, -0.0483, 0.007, -0.0184, -0.0392, -0.0807, -0.0807, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2049608537039679890", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-29T21:55:29+00:00", "symbol": "ONTO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Hard to go wrong with $FORM or $ONTO. The whole ecosystem is just accelerating so fast right now.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Endorses FORM and ONTO as solid picks in an accelerating ecosystem.", "resolved_tickers": ["ONTO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@labubu_trader Hard to go wrong with $FORM or $ONTO. The whole ecosystem is just accelerating so fast right now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I like $FORM and $ONTO more than the others.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "labubu_trader", "ret_m1d": -0.0068579226087345235, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0068579226087345235, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.007012487589370564, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009896141489421195, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00015456498063604052, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01675406409815572, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03770134824073157, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03770134824073157, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.027751720813527392, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.023409313250645658, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009949627427204177, "bench_c_p1d": 0.014292034990085911, "ret_p1w": 0.03414922831869016, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03414922831869016, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0028807842004923145, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0662951940803258, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03126844411819785, "bench_c_p1w": 0.10044442239901596, "ret_p1m": -0.08978687173139976, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08978687173139976, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15024382311127826, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2904554998031864, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0604569513798785, "bench_c_p1m": 0.20066862807178665, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2894, -0.2881, -0.2968, -0.3367, -0.3358, -0.2667, -0.2471, -0.2343, -0.2178, -0.2449, -0.236, -0.236, -0.2253, -0.2263, -0.2075, -0.2389, -0.2501, -0.2116, -0.2079, -0.2337, -0.2407, -0.2331, -0.2702, -0.2648, -0.3076, -0.3679, -0.3259, -0.3184, -0.3221, -0.3508, -0.3334, -0.3155, -0.3085, -0.29, -0.2633, -0.296, -0.2622, -0.2282, -0.2226, -0.2799, -0.2817, -0.3344, -0.2788, -0.2554, -0.242, -0.242, -0.2222, -0.2294, -0.1542, -0.1315, -0.0957, -0.1116, -0.08, -0.0895, -0.0605, 0.0226, 0.0378, 0.0203, 0.0457, 0.028, 0.0827, 0.049, -0.0069, 0.0, 0.0377, 0.0302, 0.0535, 0.0727, 0.0341, -0.0358, 0.0012, 0.0112, -0.0225, -0.0259, -0.0248, -0.0442, -0.1048, -0.1275, -0.0746, -0.0805, -0.0777, -0.0777, -0.0358, -0.0614, -0.0898, -0.0918, -0.0918, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2037907569742856353", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-28T15:00:01+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the best thing to do for equity appreciation is go long after they get the funding, not while they're actively diluting", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long IREN but only after dilutive funding round completes; current dilution via $6B ATM makes timing unfavorable for near-term entry.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I really find it hard to disagree with my assessment. \n\nI said $IREN was accretive long term. But short term holders are the one funding the buildout by getting diluted. \n\nSo the best thing to do for equity appreciation is go long after they get the funding, not while they're actively diluting. \n\n$IREN would not file a $6B ATM just for \"optionality\" if they didn't need to use it. Especially to monetize their 4.5GW capacity.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Here before the storm", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LandoInvests", "ret_m1d": 0.10974064583353815, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.10974064583353815, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.10638596720856341, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.1211136654803332, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011373019646795046, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08412390479012921, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08412390479012921, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0550559790912144, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06323891081192379, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "bench_c_p1d": 0.020884993978205424, "ret_p1w": 0.11100569689190842, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11100569689190842, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06834540728564642, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07957475316610729, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03143094372580113, "ret_p1m": 0.40543951445974713, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.40543951445974713, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2792942299779777, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.33327247931247106, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07216703514727607, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1945, 0.1945, 0.3504, 0.5256, 0.4519, 0.3797, 0.4447, 0.4557, 0.5917, 0.6758, 0.6724, 0.641, 0.8286, 0.8286, 0.716, 0.6913, 0.6528, 0.7925, 0.6559, 0.8972, 0.9905, 0.8925, 0.6996, 0.6787, 0.7201, 0.4213, 0.2584, 0.3229, 0.4595, 0.3577, 0.3495, 0.266, 0.3352, 0.3352, 0.2957, 0.3308, 0.3691, 0.2644, 0.3397, 0.4374, 0.3925, 0.3991, 0.2951, 0.309, 0.2287, 0.3865, 0.269, 0.1607, 0.2283, 0.2056, 0.3276, 0.3083, 0.315, 0.4213, 0.3586, 0.3349, 0.3175, 0.3058, 0.3333, 0.3004, 0.3102, 0.1844, 0.1097, 0.0, 0.0841, 0.0781, 0.0996, 0.0996, 0.111, 0.1303, 0.1648, 0.172, 0.2435, 0.3621, 0.4981, 0.544, 0.5085, 0.5218, 0.5408, 0.4285, 0.5304, 0.6452, 0.6015, 0.5294, 0.4054, 0.3555, 0.4393, 0.444, 0.5648, 0.7312, 0.9285, 0.7979, 0.9355, 0.7441, 0.7887, 0.7448, 0.8469, 0.6743, 0.5958, 0.5098, 0.667, 0.8362, 0.7973, 0.7973, 0.8906, 1.1455, 1.0256, 1.0095, 1.0095, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2048623230416761019", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-27T04:40:14+00:00", "symbol": "MU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "increased capex spend with Sk Hynix, $MU, Samsung around now", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish on HBM supply-chain names (MU, Hynix, Samsung, Japanese structural monopolies) as market focuses on CPUs but HBM4 capex cycle accelerates.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Markets are looking at CPUs right now and kinda forgot about memory. \n\nBut... there's increased capex spend with Sk Hynix, $MU, Samsung around now, with Samsung starting HMB4 production recently. \n\n$TSM also signaled record capex across the board. \n\nBut just like $LPK in glass core substrates... \n \nThere's a decent amount of structural monopolies over in the HBM camp markets that I'm thinking about in places like Japan. \n\nThat markets may have forgotten? They would largely benefit from current HBM4 capex cycles. \n\nOver in Korea, things like Hanmi Semi (KRX: 042700) have been taking off, up 27.6%+ today, so I'd guess the other companies around the world might play catchup soon.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05307304496618781, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05307304496618781, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05135320143508071, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05342857902439757, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0017198435311071014, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00035553405820976103, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0386418886457458, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0386418886457458, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03377593991759964, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008914045205150267, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004865948728146163, "bench_c_p1d": -0.029727843440595536, "ret_p1w": 0.09892102884311416, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09892102884311416, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09494990739879383, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09787413837364523, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003971121444320325, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0010468904694689307, "ret_p1m": 0.707869469750678, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.707869469750678, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6583427211570332, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5184806121808285, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04952674859364481, "bench_c_p1m": 0.18938885756984947, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1705, -0.1696, -0.2094, -0.1657, -0.2007, -0.277, -0.2704, -0.2479, -0.2692, -0.2888, -0.2181, -0.2112, -0.2156, -0.2156, -0.2382, -0.1979, -0.2047, -0.1841, -0.1978, -0.2035, -0.1825, -0.2081, -0.2142, -0.2136, -0.2765, -0.2363, -0.2434, -0.2944, -0.2581, -0.2319, -0.2022, -0.2276, -0.188, -0.1581, -0.1202, -0.1201, -0.1534, -0.1941, -0.2295, -0.2463, -0.2719, -0.3226, -0.3193, -0.3865, -0.356, -0.2987, -0.3018, -0.3018, -0.2799, -0.2802, -0.2246, -0.1965, -0.1982, -0.1868, -0.1123, -0.1303, -0.1284, -0.1325, -0.1452, -0.1433, -0.0707, -0.0817, -0.0531, 0.0, -0.0386, -0.0116, -0.0141, 0.0336, 0.0989, 0.2205, 0.2708, 0.2327, 0.4237, 0.5162, 0.4614, 0.532, 0.4794, 0.3815, 0.2993, 0.332, 0.3954, 0.4528, 0.4317, 0.4317, 0.7079, 0.7699, 0.7606, 0.8511, 0.8511, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2048623230416761019", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-04-27T04:40:14+00:00", "symbol": "SK Hynix", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "increased capex spend with Sk Hynix, $MU, Samsung around now", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish on HBM supply-chain names (MU, Hynix, Samsung, Japanese structural monopolies) as market focuses on CPUs but HBM4 capex cycle accelerates.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "SK Hynix listed on KOSPI as 000660.KS", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Markets are looking at CPUs right now and kinda forgot about memory. \n\nBut... there's increased capex spend with Sk Hynix, $MU, Samsung around now, with Samsung starting HMB4 production recently. \n\n$TSM also signaled record capex across the board. \n\nBut just like $LPK in glass core substrates... \n \nThere's a decent amount of structural monopolies over in the HBM camp markets that I'm thinking about in places like Japan. \n\nThat markets may have forgotten? They would largely benefit from current HBM4 capex cycles. \n\nOver in Korea, things like Hanmi Semi (KRX: 042700) have been taking off, up 27.6%+ today, so I'd guess the other companies around the world might play catchup soon.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.054179530014305755, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.054179530014305755, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05245968648319865, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.040397940897980766, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0017198435311071014, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013781589116324988, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006191921404816947, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.006191921404816947, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01105787013296311, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02124966832426567, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004865948728146163, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015057746919448722, "ret_p1w": 0.11996906990642398, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11996906990642398, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11599794846210365, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07619952484577674, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003971121444320325, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04376954506064723, "ret_p1m": 0.5882352428889039, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5882352428889039, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5387084942952591, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.30800810471366735, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04952674859364481, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2802271381752366, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3503, -0.3348, -0.2977, -0.3588, -0.2993, -0.3047, -0.3495, -0.3518, -0.3147, -0.3232, -0.3356, -0.314, -0.3201, -0.3201, -0.3201, -0.3201, -0.3093, -0.2668, -0.2653, -0.2236, -0.2135, -0.1494, -0.1788, -0.1788, -0.2732, -0.3429, -0.2717, -0.2848, -0.3529, -0.274, -0.2608, -0.2802, -0.2957, -0.2461, -0.2492, -0.1827, -0.2159, -0.2206, -0.2779, -0.2368, -0.2299, -0.2779, -0.2779, -0.3243, -0.3754, -0.3057, -0.3576, -0.322, -0.3142, -0.291, -0.2005, -0.2276, -0.2051, -0.195, -0.1463, -0.1207, -0.106, -0.1269, -0.0975, -0.0526, -0.0534, -0.0519, -0.0542, 0.0, 0.0062, 0.0008, -0.0046, -0.0046, 0.12, 0.12, 0.2392, 0.2802, 0.305, 0.4551, 0.4203, 0.5294, 0.5248, 0.4079, 0.4241, 0.3506, 0.3506, 0.5015, 0.5023, 0.5023, 0.5882, 0.7361, 0.772, 0.806, 0.8436, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2048623230416761019", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-04-27T04:40:14+00:00", "symbol": "Samsung", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "increased capex spend with Sk Hynix, $MU, Samsung around now", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish on HBM supply-chain names (MU, Hynix, Samsung, Japanese structural monopolies) as market focuses on CPUs but HBM4 capex cycle accelerates.", "resolved_tickers": ["005930.KS"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Samsung Electronics KOSPI 005930.KS", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Markets are looking at CPUs right now and kinda forgot about memory. \n\nBut... there's increased capex spend with Sk Hynix, $MU, Samsung around now, with Samsung starting HMB4 production recently. \n\n$TSM also signaled record capex across the board. \n\nBut just like $LPK in glass core substrates... \n \nThere's a decent amount of structural monopolies over in the HBM camp markets that I'm thinking about in places like Japan. \n\nThat markets may have forgotten? They would largely benefit from current HBM4 capex cycles. \n\nOver in Korea, things like Hanmi Semi (KRX: 042700) have been taking off, up 27.6%+ today, so I'd guess the other companies around the world might play catchup soon.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.022271714922049046, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.022271714922049046, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.020551871390941945, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02009194231477185, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0017198435311071014, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0021797726072771972, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011135857461024523, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011135857461024523, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00626990873287836, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0058038018566148875, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004865948728146163, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01693965931763941, "ret_p1w": 0.03563474387527843, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03563474387527843, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.031663622430958105, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02641760705002638, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003971121444320325, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009217136825252048, "ret_p1m": 0.33184855233853017, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.33184855233853017, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.28232180374488536, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.17883123313383842, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04952674859364481, "bench_c_p1m": 0.15301731920469175, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2781, -0.2857, -0.2866, -0.3315, -0.2554, -0.2483, -0.2919, -0.295, -0.2603, -0.263, -0.2541, -0.2061, -0.1945, -0.1945, -0.1945, -0.1945, -0.1554, -0.155, -0.1421, -0.111, -0.0954, -0.031, -0.0376, -0.0376, -0.1328, -0.2345, -0.1483, -0.1634, -0.2288, -0.1648, -0.1554, -0.1648, -0.1843, -0.1612, -0.1381, -0.0732, -0.1087, -0.1136, -0.1719, -0.1568, -0.1599, -0.1994, -0.1994, -0.2147, -0.2552, -0.1552, -0.2053, -0.1706, -0.1399, -0.1247, -0.0624, -0.0913, -0.0824, -0.1047, -0.0802, -0.0601, -0.0312, -0.0379, -0.0445, -0.0245, -0.0312, 0.0, -0.0223, 0.0, -0.0111, 0.0067, -0.0178, -0.0178, 0.0356, 0.0356, 0.1849, 0.2094, 0.196, 0.2717, 0.2428, 0.265, 0.3185, 0.2049, 0.2517, 0.2272, 0.2294, 0.3341, 0.3029, 0.3029, 0.3318, 0.3675, 0.3341, 0.412, 0.5434, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2048623230416761019", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-04-27T04:40:14+00:00", "symbol": "Japan HBM structural monopolies", "kind": "sector", "geography": "Japan", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "structural monopolies over in the HBM camp markets that I'm thinking about in places like Japan. That markets may have forgotten? They would largely benefit from current HBM4 capex cycles", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish on HBM supply-chain names (MU, Hynix, Samsung, Japanese structural monopolies) as market focuses on CPUs but HBM4 capex cycle accelerates.", "resolved_tickers": ["6857.T", "6723.T", "5801.T", "4063.T"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Japan HBM basket: Advantest, Renesas, Furukawa, Shin-Etsu", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Markets are looking at CPUs right now and kinda forgot about memory. \n\nBut... there's increased capex spend with Sk Hynix, $MU, Samsung around now, with Samsung starting HMB4 production recently. \n\n$TSM also signaled record capex across the board. \n\nBut just like $LPK in glass core substrates... \n \nThere's a decent amount of structural monopolies over in the HBM camp markets that I'm thinking about in places like Japan. \n\nThat markets may have forgotten? They would largely benefit from current HBM4 capex cycles. \n\nOver in Korea, things like Hanmi Semi (KRX: 042700) have been taking off, up 27.6%+ today, so I'd guess the other companies around the world might play catchup soon.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.019564788382295, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019564788382295, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0178449448511879, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019920322440504762, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0017198435311071014, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00035553405820976103, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.024382986087933656, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.024382986087933656, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.019517037359787492, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00534485735266188, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004865948728146163, "bench_c_p1d": -0.029727843440595536, "ret_p1w": -0.0255756962758468, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0255756962758468, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.029546817720167123, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02662258674531573, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003971121444320325, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0010468904694689307, "ret_p1m": 0.17957689082620099, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.17957689082620099, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.13005014223255618, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.009811966743648481, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04952674859364481, "bench_c_p1m": 0.18938885756984947, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3329, -0.3215, -0.33, -0.3519, -0.3202, -0.3169, -0.3179, -0.3024, -0.2449, -0.2224, -0.2224, -0.2125, -0.2283, -0.2285, -0.2323, -0.2237, -0.2159, -0.2244, -0.2244, -0.1936, -0.1617, -0.1681, -0.1659, -0.1643, -0.1895, -0.2229, -0.1998, -0.2005, -0.2663, -0.2277, -0.1982, -0.2011, -0.2038, -0.2073, -0.2254, -0.1871, -0.2109, -0.2109, -0.2599, -0.2526, -0.2139, -0.2147, -0.2377, -0.2491, -0.2725, -0.2109, -0.2285, -0.2051, -0.1893, -0.1881, -0.1063, -0.0996, -0.0846, -0.0945, -0.0512, -0.0628, -0.0347, -0.0429, -0.0507, -0.0359, -0.0337, -0.0253, -0.0196, 0.0, -0.0244, -0.0244, -0.0095, -0.0256, -0.0256, -0.0256, -0.0256, 0.0748, 0.052, 0.0357, 0.0943, 0.1184, 0.1401, 0.0762, 0.0776, 0.0293, 0.0281, 0.0509, 0.1044, 0.1581, 0.1796, 0.1689, 0.1229, 0.1523, 0.1479, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2045686553943605405", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-19T02:10:56+00:00", "symbol": "Sivers Semiconductors", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I thought $2B+ today was reasonable personally", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Sivers Semiconductors; personal model sees $2B+ MC as reasonable today on JBL LRO ramp alone, with additional Marvell/Ayar upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["SIVE.ST"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Sivers Semiconductors on Nasdaq Stockholm as SIVE.ST", "bench_c": "FEZ", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='ST')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I did some modeling of $JBL LRO scale up.\n\nAnd from personal est. it brings in:\n\n~$120M 2027\n~$280M 2028.\n~$480M 2029 \n\nFor ARR to Sivers, which is extremely significant given Sivers MC, from that customer alone. Not including Marvell, Ayar, and other unidentified buyers.\n\nI thought $2B+ today was reasonable personally, we’ll see what happens.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Absolute gold mine brother! 1.5B mc looking like a conservative estimate for the year. What do you think?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Expelliamus9", "ret_m1d": -0.24020551345042196, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.24020551345042196, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.24220918768568267, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.24391691484197087, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0037114013915489075, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09826594198034, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09826594198034, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10481289113527625, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.12097970037454275, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "bench_c_p1d": -0.022713758394202754, "ret_p1w": -0.0500963229453677, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0500963229453677, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05919725487004901, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02411651320452468, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02597980974084302, "ret_p1m": 0.4598587018464899, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4598587018464899, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4245697149412495, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.49133142642149885, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03147272457500894, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.8969, -0.8893, -0.8885, -0.8879, -0.8873, -0.8878, -0.892, -0.8927, -0.8915, -0.8947, -0.8932, -0.8956, -0.8899, -0.8944, -0.8958, -0.8967, -0.9049, -0.9026, -0.9009, -0.901, -0.9004, -0.8966, -0.8985, -0.9006, -0.8966, -0.8987, -0.9069, -0.9029, -0.9027, -0.9048, -0.8938, -0.8917, -0.8844, -0.8892, -0.8821, -0.8676, -0.8687, -0.8639, -0.7635, -0.7783, -0.7136, -0.6631, -0.7291, -0.6342, -0.5999, -0.5353, -0.6358, -0.6816, -0.6789, -0.6561, -0.6419, -0.6821, -0.6821, -0.6821, -0.6903, -0.6214, -0.6349, -0.5697, -0.4589, -0.4875, -0.3327, -0.2678, -0.2402, 0.0, 0.0983, -0.0366, -0.0893, 0.0263, -0.0501, 0.025, 0.2807, 0.2203, 0.2203, 0.7967, 0.7566, 0.5498, 0.5973, 0.3976, 0.5896, 0.3854, 0.8192, 0.8192, 0.7887, 0.5446, 0.4599, 0.7341, 0.8963, 1.341, 1.7473, 1.789, 1.3571, 1.2543, 1.2142, 1.2142, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2047230186739900428", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-23T08:24:46+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "stuff like $AXTI, I'm up over 1000%+ but I'm still holding. For multi-year supercycles (photonics), don't need to sell.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Still holding SIVE long-term (next LITE thesis) and AXTI (multi-year photonics supercycle); no plans to sell either.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "There's stuff I trade, and stuff I invest in.\n\nI haven't sold a single $SIVE share since I bought it last month. I expect this to be the next $LITE if they play their cards right, and this is a long term investment.\n\nAs for stuff like $AXTI, I'm up over 1000%+ but I'm still holding. For multi-year supercycles (photonics), don't need to sell.\n\nI do take short-term capital gains tax if I see an end of a cycle nearing or there's material changes, like took all of mine on $HOOD, $MSTR, and crypto names earlier. Or drone names after Greeland peace deal. There's also short term recovery trades like on $META or $MSFT that I take short-term on too.\n\nOtherwise, for long term investments, can just hold, let it compound, and use margin withdrawal to not trigger capital gains.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Serenity,do you have any general rules you follow for holding for capital gains tax versus selling? (not talking about SIVE)But let’s say something has shot up and you expect it to trade sideways,do you have any rules of percentage or dollar figures relative to time to 12 months?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "halldj00", "ret_m1d": 0.15504193329089033, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.15504193329089033, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.15114609065122875, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.1654601536243182, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003895842639661584, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010418220333427874, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011824193685877615, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011824193685877615, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0040748957258534, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03920827705483654, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007749297960024215, "bench_c_p1d": 0.05103247074071415, "ret_p1w": 0.05247780993491746, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05247780993491746, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.038066121373161454, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0008642480335718794, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014411688561756009, "bench_c_p1w": 0.051613561901345584, "ret_p1m": 0.8709978492343593, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.8709978492343593, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.818502963497046, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.6749409850150649, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05249488573731331, "bench_c_p1m": 0.19605686421929436, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7635, -0.7715, -0.7764, -0.7824, -0.7537, -0.7218, -0.7377, -0.7509, -0.7286, -0.6804, -0.6311, -0.6765, -0.6439, -0.6707, -0.678, -0.678, -0.6916, -0.6873, -0.6837, -0.6057, -0.6223, -0.5339, -0.4557, -0.5068, -0.4965, -0.3846, -0.4452, -0.4801, -0.4845, -0.5699, -0.4877, -0.4115, -0.3708, -0.3792, -0.3509, -0.3571, -0.4107, -0.3522, -0.2282, -0.2794, -0.1439, -0.0907, -0.1052, -0.2227, -0.1945, -0.2995, -0.243, -0.3737, -0.298, -0.298, -0.4421, -0.396, -0.2935, -0.1614, -0.1473, -0.1172, -0.1059, -0.1639, 0.0865, 0.0969, 0.0464, -0.004, 0.155, 0.0, 0.0118, -0.068, -0.0872, -0.0558, 0.0525, 0.2754, 0.4083, 0.4289, 0.3927, 0.4404, 0.5459, 0.6714, 0.6328, 0.62, 0.5276, 0.6445, 0.4067, 0.4997, 0.3898, 0.6078, 0.871, 0.871, 0.7617, 0.6311, 0.5371, 0.3705, 0.3705, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2060539775954866386", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-30T01:52:20+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI - $70B MC", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "1-year market-cap targets for AAOI $70B, SIVE $30B, Foci $15B, Shunsin $10B — all implying significant upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Batemanzm75 I’m gonna go ahead and make a random prediction in a year:\n\n$AAOI - $70B MC\n$SIVE - $30B MC\nFoci - $15B MC\nShunsin - $10B MC", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit How much upside do you see for AAOI, Foci, and Shunsin in an years time?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Batemanzm75", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": null, "ret_signed_p1d": null, "alpha_spy_p1d": null, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": null, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3706, -0.3615, -0.3966, -0.3017, -0.2394, -0.1982, -0.3297, -0.3889, -0.4062, -0.455, -0.4153, -0.3566, -0.4474, -0.3955, -0.281, -0.2778, -0.385, -0.38, -0.4622, -0.466, -0.4549, -0.344, -0.344, -0.3217, -0.2574, -0.1623, -0.1585, -0.0493, -0.033, -0.0759, -0.1001, -0.0069, 0.0064, 0.0319, -0.0495, -0.0568, -0.1305, 0.0237, -0.0797, -0.1335, -0.0352, 0.0376, 0.1584, 0.092, 0.1399, 0.1271, -0.0054, -0.0598, 0.1672, 0.1886, 0.4084, 0.2851, 0.2017, 0.0937, 0.0816, 0.0432, 0.1162, 0.1457, 0.1457, 0.1213, 0.1352, 0.067, 0.0, 0.0, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2060539775954866386", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-05-30T01:52:20+00:00", "symbol": "Foci", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Foci - $15B MC", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "1-year market-cap targets for AAOI $70B, SIVE $30B, Foci $15B, Shunsin $10B — all implying significant upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["3363.TWO"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Foci Taiwan CPO; retrying .TWO for Taipei OTC listing", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TWO')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Batemanzm75 I’m gonna go ahead and make a random prediction in a year:\n\n$AAOI - $70B MC\n$SIVE - $30B MC\nFoci - $15B MC\nShunsin - $10B MC", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit How much upside do you see for AAOI, Foci, and Shunsin in an years time?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Batemanzm75", "ret_m1d": -0.019680196801967975, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.019680196801967975, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.019680196801967975, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019680196801967975, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": null, "ret_signed_p1d": null, "alpha_spy_p1d": null, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": null, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3124, -0.246, -0.2718, -0.3444, -0.2989, -0.2534, -0.2804, -0.2325, -0.2251, -0.2497, -0.2214, -0.1784, -0.0972, -0.187, -0.182, -0.1661, -0.214, -0.2103, -0.2485, -0.3235, -0.2558, -0.262, -0.262, -0.262, -0.1882, -0.1144, -0.0615, -0.0357, -0.0812, -0.08, 0.0111, 0.0209, 0.1058, 0.2153, 0.2177, 0.1759, 0.1205, 0.0098, -0.091, -0.0836, -0.0726, -0.0541, -0.0541, 0.0308, 0.0726, 0.0025, 0.0025, -0.0037, 0.0492, 0.1316, 0.0492, 0.1095, 0.0344, -0.0111, -0.0467, -0.0443, 0.0062, 0.048, 0.0406, 0.0886, 0.0418, 0.0025, -0.0197, 0.0, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2060539775954866386", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-05-30T01:52:20+00:00", "symbol": "Shunsin", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Shunsin - $10B MC", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "1-year market-cap targets for AAOI $70B, SIVE $30B, Foci $15B, Shunsin $10B — all implying significant upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["6451.TW"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Shunsin Technology listed on TWSE as 6451.TW", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TW')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Batemanzm75 I’m gonna go ahead and make a random prediction in a year:\n\n$AAOI - $70B MC\n$SIVE - $30B MC\nFoci - $15B MC\nShunsin - $10B MC", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit How much upside do you see for AAOI, Foci, and Shunsin in an years time?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Batemanzm75", "ret_m1d": -0.07014681892332786, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07014681892332786, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07014681892332786, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07014681892332786, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": null, "ret_signed_p1d": null, "alpha_spy_p1d": null, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": null, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6949, -0.6819, -0.69, -0.721, -0.7186, -0.6909, -0.6803, -0.6485, -0.6134, -0.575, -0.5449, -0.5563, -0.5522, -0.5424, -0.5269, -0.4796, -0.4584, -0.4046, -0.4641, -0.5171, -0.5024, -0.5179, -0.5179, -0.5179, -0.4698, -0.4168, -0.3589, -0.2953, -0.2251, -0.2235, -0.2561, -0.1941, -0.1762, -0.1729, -0.2268, -0.1909, -0.2716, -0.3442, -0.3809, -0.3393, -0.3515, -0.2969, -0.2969, -0.2268, -0.1501, -0.221, -0.2007, -0.2806, -0.2569, -0.2553, -0.2202, -0.1436, -0.0587, -0.1517, -0.2104, -0.208, -0.186, -0.1452, -0.0604, 0.031, -0.0179, -0.0718, -0.0701, 0.0, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2041622646190961053", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-07T21:02:25+00:00", "symbol": "AEHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if mass orders happen 2027, $AEHR will re-rate today. And we'll get more indication about it in their earnings call now as they signaled \"significant forecasts from our lead hyperscaler\"", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long AEHR: upcoming earnings call with hyperscaler signal will trigger re-rating ahead of 2027 mass orders.", "resolved_tickers": ["AEHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Again, if mass orders happen 2027, $AEHR will re-rate today. And we'll get more indication about it in their earnings call now as they signaled \"significant forecasts from our lead hyperscaler\". \n\n$AAOI got re-rated 2-3x after earnings because the CEO signaled $378m/month H2 2027. \n\nI would not look at current near-term qualification orders in financials to indicate where it's heading next year.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Short it wow this sucks", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "4intheflames", "ret_m1d": 0.038009947212181316, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.038009947212181316, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.038449827738000986, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.047812355239151505, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0004398805258196692, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009802408026970189, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.25691541984899713, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.25691541984899713, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.23144586521066945, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.19935097903230425, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.025469554638327674, "bench_c_p1d": 0.057564440816692874, "ret_p1w": 0.4801989503167754, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.4801989503167754, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.4267417541824652, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.34991636242305835, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.053457196134310214, "bench_c_p1w": 0.13028258789371705, "ret_p1m": 0.9249751911827582, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.9249751911827582, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.8117959039910496, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5502314598589402, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.11317928719170856, "bench_c_p1m": 0.374743731323818, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5483, -0.4762, -0.4756, -0.4665, -0.4832, -0.472, -0.4267, -0.4267, -0.4217, -0.4189, -0.3849, -0.442, -0.4671, -0.4478, -0.4432, -0.4651, -0.4898, -0.4814, -0.4589, -0.5258, -0.5423, -0.4748, -0.4509, -0.4661, -0.3264, -0.445, -0.4261, -0.4261, -0.433, -0.4227, -0.3976, -0.3313, -0.317, -0.2193, -0.1745, -0.208, -0.2551, -0.1238, -0.1713, -0.151, -0.1942, -0.2913, -0.1865, -0.165, -0.1552, -0.2507, -0.2901, -0.2541, -0.2619, -0.2774, -0.2486, -0.313, -0.2607, -0.2201, -0.2233, -0.312, -0.3528, -0.4006, -0.2621, -0.2119, -0.118, -0.118, 0.038, 0.0, 0.2569, 0.3703, 0.4016, 0.4261, 0.4802, 0.4571, 0.609, 0.6689, 0.794, 0.8651, 0.9375, 0.9007, 0.9087, 0.7608, 0.6404, 0.6281, 0.8022, 0.8521, 0.7037, 0.8147, 0.925, 0.8161, 0.9349, 1.0808, 0.9248, 1.0547, 1.1162, 0.9801, 0.6631, 0.6147, 0.6386, 0.8169, 0.8909, 0.8909, 1.1875, 1.0661, 0.9899, 0.8374, 0.8374, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2041053450847604786", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-06T07:20:38+00:00", "symbol": "AEHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I personally like $SIVE, $AEHR if I had to pick two more smaller purer play companies around now", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Recommends SIVE, AEHR as purer plays, AAOI on next dip, and WIN/SOI/MRVL as safer picks at an early inflection point.", "resolved_tickers": ["AEHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Not really late too the party, it’s extremely early and at the beginning of the next inflection point.\n\nI personally like $SIVE, $AEHR if I had to pick two more smaller purer play companies around now, maybe throw in $AAOI on the next drop.\n\nFor safer, Win, $SOI, $MRVL seem solid? \n\nQuite a lot of names…", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit For those who are late to the party and with limited capital to invest (less than 10k) , which 2-3 stocks should we go for?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ir53894", "ret_m1d": -0.15030675183134357, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.15030675183134357, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.14560219198371982, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1410638517844628, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004704559847623746, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009242900046880775, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03661809534124971, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03661809534124971, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0370581694470985, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.046517541781468164, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004400741058487867, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009899446440218451, "ret_p1w": 0.3738497674797203, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.3738497674797203, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.3326162780162578, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2542478076898922, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0412334894634625, "bench_c_p1w": 0.11960195978982813, "ret_p1m": 0.748274591797772, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.748274591797772, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6498725952637145, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4282837136232345, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09840199653405746, "bench_c_p1m": 0.31999087817453753, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5364, -0.5648, -0.4954, -0.4948, -0.486, -0.5021, -0.4914, -0.4477, -0.4477, -0.4429, -0.4402, -0.4074, -0.4624, -0.4866, -0.468, -0.4636, -0.4847, -0.5084, -0.5004, -0.4787, -0.5431, -0.559, -0.4941, -0.4711, -0.4856, -0.351, -0.4653, -0.4471, -0.4471, -0.4538, -0.4438, -0.4197, -0.3558, -0.342, -0.2479, -0.2048, -0.237, -0.2824, -0.1559, -0.2017, -0.1821, -0.2237, -0.3173, -0.2163, -0.1956, -0.1862, -0.2782, -0.3161, -0.2814, -0.2889, -0.3039, -0.2761, -0.3382, -0.2878, -0.2487, -0.2517, -0.3372, -0.3765, -0.4225, -0.2891, -0.2408, -0.1503, -0.1503, 0.0, -0.0366, 0.2109, 0.3202, 0.3503, 0.3738, 0.426, 0.4038, 0.55, 0.6077, 0.7283, 0.7968, 0.8666, 0.8311, 0.8388, 0.6963, 0.5803, 0.5684, 0.7362, 0.7843, 0.6413, 0.7483, 0.8545, 0.7496, 0.8641, 1.0046, 0.8543, 0.9795, 1.0387, 0.9076, 0.6022, 0.5556, 0.5786, 0.7504, 0.8217, 0.8217, 1.1074, 0.9904, 0.917, 0.7701, 0.7701, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2041053450847604786", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-04-06T07:20:38+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "maybe throw in $AAOI on the next drop", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Recommends SIVE, AEHR as purer plays, AAOI on next dip, and WIN/SOI/MRVL as safer picks at an early inflection point.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Not really late too the party, it’s extremely early and at the beginning of the next inflection point.\n\nI personally like $SIVE, $AEHR if I had to pick two more smaller purer play companies around now, maybe throw in $AAOI on the next drop.\n\nFor safer, Win, $SOI, $MRVL seem solid? \n\nQuite a lot of names…", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit For those who are late to the party and with limited capital to invest (less than 10k) , which 2-3 stocks should we go for?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ir53894", "ret_m1d": -0.03294549452465778, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03294549452465778, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.028240934677034035, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.028240934677034035, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004704559847623746, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004704559847623746, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0948348323017143, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0948348323017143, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09439475819586551, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09439475819586551, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004400741058487867, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0004400741058487867, "ret_p1w": 0.42568642896469, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.42568642896469, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.3844529395012275, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.3844529395012275, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0412334894634625, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0412334894634625, "ret_p1m": 0.6805026752229495, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6805026752229495, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.582100678688892, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.582100678688892, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09840199653405746, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09840199653405746, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6458, -0.6928, -0.6832, -0.6862, -0.6819, -0.6792, -0.6557, -0.6553, -0.6553, -0.6346, -0.6428, -0.645, -0.6676, -0.6753, -0.652, -0.5791, -0.6317, -0.5941, -0.589, -0.5708, -0.6287, -0.6451, -0.5877, -0.5541, -0.5487, -0.5496, -0.5906, -0.5862, -0.5862, -0.5913, -0.5957, -0.5628, -0.519, -0.4978, -0.4763, -0.4591, -0.5003, -0.2161, -0.046, -0.1127, -0.072, -0.0587, -0.1105, 0.0295, 0.1214, 0.182, -0.0117, -0.099, -0.1245, -0.1966, -0.1379, -0.0515, -0.1853, -0.1088, 0.06, 0.0648, -0.0933, -0.086, -0.2072, -0.2128, -0.1964, -0.0329, -0.0329, 0.0, 0.0948, 0.235, 0.2406, 0.4016, 0.4257, 0.3624, 0.3267, 0.4641, 0.4837, 0.5214, 0.4013, 0.3906, 0.2818, 0.5093, 0.3567, 0.2774, 0.4223, 0.5296, 0.7079, 0.6099, 0.6805, 0.6616, 0.4663, 0.3861, 0.7208, 0.7523, 1.0763, 0.8946, 0.7716, 0.6125, 0.5945, 0.538, 0.6455, 0.6891, 0.6891, 0.653, 0.6736, 0.573, 0.4743, 0.4743, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2041053450847604786", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-04-06T07:20:38+00:00", "symbol": "WIN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "For safer, Win, $SOI, $MRVL seem solid", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Recommends SIVE, AEHR as purer plays, AAOI on next dip, and WIN/SOI/MRVL as safer picks at an early inflection point.", "resolved_tickers": ["3105.TWO"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Win Semiconductors foundry Taiwan; retrying .TWO suffix", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TWO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Not really late too the party, it’s extremely early and at the beginning of the next inflection point.\n\nI personally like $SIVE, $AEHR if I had to pick two more smaller purer play companies around now, maybe throw in $AAOI on the next drop.\n\nFor safer, Win, $SOI, $MRVL seem solid? \n\nQuite a lot of names…", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit For those who are late to the party and with limited capital to invest (less than 10k) , which 2-3 stocks should we go for?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ir53894", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004704559847623746, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0072942104893096715, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004704559847623746, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0072942104893096715, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08244680851063824, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08244680851063824, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08200673440478945, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07501240294898204, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004400741058487867, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007434405561656199, "ret_p1w": 0.21808510638297873, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.21808510638297873, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.17685161691951623, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.12031541734956175, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0412334894634625, "bench_c_p1w": 0.09776968903341698, "ret_p1m": 0.47606382978723394, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.47606382978723394, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3776618332531765, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.17475936279766202, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09840199653405746, "bench_c_p1m": 0.3013044669895719, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5053, -0.4747, -0.4242, -0.3803, -0.4415, -0.4269, -0.4096, -0.4189, -0.4335, -0.3963, -0.4096, -0.3763, -0.387, -0.3777, -0.359, -0.3138, -0.3484, -0.3763, -0.4109, -0.371, -0.3311, -0.3617, -0.4162, -0.371, -0.3205, -0.3457, -0.3457, -0.3457, -0.3457, -0.3457, -0.3457, -0.3457, -0.3457, -0.2806, -0.2088, -0.1436, -0.1011, -0.1011, -0.1184, -0.133, -0.2194, -0.2021, -0.2061, -0.2846, -0.2766, -0.2048, -0.1848, -0.1676, -0.1928, -0.2194, -0.1423, -0.0572, -0.0851, -0.1622, -0.1662, -0.0838, -0.0465, 0.0173, 0.0386, -0.0652, 0.0013, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0824, 0.1702, 0.1596, 0.234, 0.2181, 0.2154, 0.1875, 0.3045, 0.4335, 0.5745, 0.641, 0.5957, 0.4894, 0.4548, 0.3098, 0.3285, 0.3351, 0.4255, 0.4255, 0.3936, 0.4761, 0.3298, 0.3298, 0.3098, 0.3989, 0.3617, 0.3178, 0.2859, 0.2194, 0.1981, 0.2141, 0.1875, 0.2846, 0.4122, 0.4441, 0.4947, 0.4894, 0.4043, 0.4016, 0.4415, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2041053450847604786", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2026-04-06T07:20:38+00:00", "symbol": "MRVL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "For safer, Win, $SOI, $MRVL seem solid", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Recommends SIVE, AEHR as purer plays, AAOI on next dip, and WIN/SOI/MRVL as safer picks at an early inflection point.", "resolved_tickers": ["MRVL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Not really late too the party, it’s extremely early and at the beginning of the next inflection point.\n\nI personally like $SIVE, $AEHR if I had to pick two more smaller purer play companies around now, maybe throw in $AAOI on the next drop.\n\nFor safer, Win, $SOI, $MRVL seem solid? \n\nQuite a lot of names…", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit For those who are late to the party and with limited capital to invest (less than 10k) , which 2-3 stocks should we go for?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ir53894", "ret_m1d": -0.021915846595207733, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.021915846595207733, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.017211286747583987, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.017211286747583987, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004704559847623746, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004704559847623746, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.001187187354363628, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.001187187354363628, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0016272614602124147, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0016272614602124147, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004400741058487867, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0004400741058487867, "ret_p1w": 0.19957740256622625, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.19957740256622625, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15834391310276374, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15834391310276374, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0412334894634625, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0412334894634625, "ret_p1m": 0.5417264430927262, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5417264430927262, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.44332444655866876, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.44332444655866876, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09840199653405746, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09840199653405746, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2277, -0.2385, -0.2401, -0.2431, -0.2416, -0.2584, -0.266, -0.2653, -0.2653, -0.2713, -0.2462, -0.2412, -0.2674, -0.2533, -0.2427, -0.2364, -0.2572, -0.2793, -0.2817, -0.3102, -0.3267, -0.3223, -0.2669, -0.248, -0.2511, -0.2572, -0.2856, -0.2822, -0.2822, -0.2785, -0.2778, -0.273, -0.2742, -0.2897, -0.2842, -0.2611, -0.276, -0.254, -0.2616, -0.2922, -0.2869, -0.3089, -0.1821, -0.154, -0.148, -0.1741, -0.1994, -0.1977, -0.1637, -0.1709, -0.1999, -0.1824, -0.1972, -0.1767, -0.1566, -0.101, -0.108, -0.1336, -0.1982, -0.0955, -0.0256, -0.0219, -0.0219, 0.0, -0.0012, 0.0451, 0.0952, 0.1739, 0.1996, 0.2227, 0.2297, 0.2185, 0.2762, 0.3507, 0.3824, 0.4373, 0.5126, 0.5012, 0.4454, 0.3999, 0.4304, 0.5088, 0.507, 0.4952, 0.5417, 0.5728, 0.4619, 0.5543, 0.5608, 0.5029, 0.6258, 0.6681, 0.6161, 0.5434, 0.6104, 0.7066, 0.7422, 0.7937, 0.7937, 0.9027, 0.8154, 0.8714, 0.8729, 0.8729, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2052278391928500502", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-07T06:44:32+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "ideal time to frontrun CPO names before anything hits the balance sheet", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long CPO-adjacent names (COHR, LITE, SIVE) ahead of CPO scale-out revenue starting H2 2026 and scale-up H2 2027; advises frontrunning before market prices it in.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$COHR earnings note:\n\nCoherent's CEO basically reaffirmed GS research note about CPO being a massive revenue driver:\n\nTranscript: “One of the most important long-term growth opportunities for Coherent”\n\nIn terms of timeline implications on $SIVE, $LITE, and other CPO adjacent names, just confirms timelines:\n\n\"Initial scale-out CPO revenue is expected to begin in the second half of calendar 2026, with scale-up CPO revenue following in the second half of calendar 2027\"\n\n\"Coherent is working with multiple other customers and expects CPO solutions to be widely adopted.\" - This also reaffirmed adoption level. \n\nScale-up CPO is the biggest value driver across the board that happens start of H2 next year. We're still in H1 2026 entering H2 2026.\n\nSo this is the ideal time to frontrun CPO names before anything hits the balance sheet. \n\nThis is known as \"alpha\"... pricing in things market fully don't know yet by looking at financials.\n\nMarkets are typically forward looking 8-12 months... So if massive volume ramp happens July 2027 (might get pushed forward again)...\n\nAnd it's May 2026, a lot of that gets priced in between July 2026 and July 2027... between volume agreements H2 2026, and pre-production ramp H1 2027.\n\n2 months before markets price in the largest volume drivers is what I call \"frontrunning\" the next CPO Supercycle.\n\nWe know it's coming. Just a matter of waiting.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Just for the visual learners about CPO:\n\nThis is what the CPO market growth looks like from GS + $LITE transcript confirmations. \n\nThere's certain names that are very high-beta correlated to CPO.\n\nMaybe... not the best idea to copy firms named after Orange Peels on $AAOI to $SNDK https://t.co/0NbPPifMU2", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.07982709606014526, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07982709606014526, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07675156098887537, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07675156098887537, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003075535071269897, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003075535071269897, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.050346211351556036, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.050346211351556036, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04209013835031383, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04209013835031383, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008256073001242203, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008256073001242203, "ret_p1w": 0.2686487651371259, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2686487651371259, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2459718665986641, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2459718665986641, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022676898538461776, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022676898538461776, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2404, -0.2845, -0.2992, -0.323, -0.3194, -0.3194, -0.3109, -0.2986, -0.2717, -0.2225, -0.2202, -0.2015, -0.1607, -0.2163, -0.1888, -0.0635, -0.1202, -0.1389, -0.2046, -0.2615, -0.2095, -0.1834, -0.2124, -0.2441, -0.2394, -0.225, -0.2299, -0.1942, -0.1367, -0.2054, -0.2009, -0.1468, -0.1477, -0.2378, -0.2372, -0.3119, -0.2537, -0.2237, -0.1912, -0.1912, -0.2067, -0.2008, -0.1172, -0.1097, -0.0366, -0.0353, -0.0181, -0.0344, 0.0276, 0.0809, 0.0887, 0.0771, 0.098, 0.0579, 0.0529, 0.0073, -0.0477, -0.0447, 0.0016, 0.0323, 0.0335, 0.0518, 0.0798, 0.0, 0.0503, 0.1895, 0.1717, 0.2648, 0.2686, 0.1982, 0.1367, 0.1079, 0.1232, 0.1842, 0.1829, 0.1829, 0.1947, 0.1911, 0.181, 0.1325, 0.1325, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2052278391928500502", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-07T06:44:32+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "In terms of timeline implications on $SIVE, $LITE, and other CPO adjacent names, just confirms timelines", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long CPO-adjacent names (COHR, LITE, SIVE) ahead of CPO scale-out revenue starting H2 2026 and scale-up H2 2027; advises frontrunning before market prices it in.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$COHR earnings note:\n\nCoherent's CEO basically reaffirmed GS research note about CPO being a massive revenue driver:\n\nTranscript: “One of the most important long-term growth opportunities for Coherent”\n\nIn terms of timeline implications on $SIVE, $LITE, and other CPO adjacent names, just confirms timelines:\n\n\"Initial scale-out CPO revenue is expected to begin in the second half of calendar 2026, with scale-up CPO revenue following in the second half of calendar 2027\"\n\n\"Coherent is working with multiple other customers and expects CPO solutions to be widely adopted.\" - This also reaffirmed adoption level. \n\nScale-up CPO is the biggest value driver across the board that happens start of H2 next year. We're still in H1 2026 entering H2 2026.\n\nSo this is the ideal time to frontrun CPO names before anything hits the balance sheet. \n\nThis is known as \"alpha\"... pricing in things market fully don't know yet by looking at financials.\n\nMarkets are typically forward looking 8-12 months... So if massive volume ramp happens July 2027 (might get pushed forward again)...\n\nAnd it's May 2026, a lot of that gets priced in between July 2026 and July 2027... between volume agreements H2 2026, and pre-production ramp H1 2027.\n\n2 months before markets price in the largest volume drivers is what I call \"frontrunning\" the next CPO Supercycle.\n\nWe know it's coming. Just a matter of waiting.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Just for the visual learners about CPO:\n\nThis is what the CPO market growth looks like from GS + $LITE transcript confirmations. \n\nThere's certain names that are very high-beta correlated to CPO.\n\nMaybe... not the best idea to copy firms named after Orange Peels on $AAOI to $SNDK https://t.co/0NbPPifMU2", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.05792199154938871, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05792199154938871, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05484645647811881, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05484645647811881, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003075535071269897, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003075535071269897, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012570268758319791, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012570268758319791, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004314195757077588, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004314195757077588, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008256073001242203, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008256073001242203, "ret_p1w": 0.12237556115683845, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12237556115683845, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09969866261837668, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09969866261837668, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022676898538461776, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022676898538461776, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3534, -0.3713, -0.3568, -0.3463, -0.3695, -0.3695, -0.3273, -0.3342, -0.2879, -0.2519, -0.2441, -0.2289, -0.1896, -0.2415, -0.2147, -0.1225, -0.222, -0.2373, -0.2709, -0.3744, -0.2822, -0.2471, -0.2471, -0.3098, -0.3026, -0.3, -0.2723, -0.2148, -0.1349, -0.2086, -0.1833, -0.1015, -0.1293, -0.2283, -0.2127, -0.2664, -0.2127, -0.1433, -0.0736, -0.0736, -0.1348, -0.0861, 0.0039, 0.0017, 0.0053, -0.024, -0.0446, -0.0768, -0.0015, 0.0017, 0.0028, -0.0624, -0.0213, -0.0512, -0.0123, -0.0369, -0.1134, -0.0384, 0.0109, 0.0643, 0.0937, 0.1143, 0.0579, 0.0, 0.0126, 0.1798, 0.1118, 0.1544, 0.1224, 0.0875, -0.0085, -0.0028, -0.0275, 0.0806, 0.0609, 0.0609, 0.0204, 0.0109, -0.0358, -0.0421, -0.0421, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2059787211537821717", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-28T00:01:54+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Nebius is now up ~3x since I went long last year", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still long NBIS (up 3x since entry, retains bullish stance); dismisses IREN as a dumpster fire implying bearish view.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Look who joined team $NBIS. \n\n5.6% is a pretty massive stake, maybe he realized by now it’s miles better than the dumpster fire that is $IREN.\n\nThat being said: Nebius is now up ~3x since I went long last year. \n\nWeebius has plot armor. https://t.co/JYZvf3GJND", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.07939383896550345, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07939383896550345, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07390754987562287, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07587968760568986, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0054862890898805805, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0035141513598135887, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02098612740502559, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02098612740502559, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01849473468883489, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02938585092366286, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002491392716190699, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00839972351863727, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5979, -0.6165, -0.568, -0.5774, -0.6053, -0.5805, -0.574, -0.5052, -0.5227, -0.501, -0.4263, -0.486, -0.4762, -0.4631, -0.4803, -0.4957, -0.4923, -0.4915, -0.5318, -0.5546, -0.5924, -0.5416, -0.5496, -0.5192, -0.5192, -0.5028, -0.4813, -0.4477, -0.3977, -0.3595, -0.3171, -0.2845, -0.2632, -0.2695, -0.3057, -0.2968, -0.3083, -0.3102, -0.306, -0.3498, -0.3595, -0.4013, -0.3762, -0.3893, -0.3174, -0.2206, -0.2228, -0.1381, -0.1837, -0.2178, -0.1778, -0.2087, -0.0843, -0.0229, -0.0283, -0.117, -0.1264, -0.1525, -0.0283, -0.0511, -0.0511, -0.0808, -0.0794, 0.0, 0.021, 0.021, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2059787211537821717", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-28T00:01:54+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "miles better than the dumpster fire that is $IREN", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still long NBIS (up 3x since entry, retains bullish stance); dismisses IREN as a dumpster fire implying bearish view.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Look who joined team $NBIS. \n\n5.6% is a pretty massive stake, maybe he realized by now it’s miles better than the dumpster fire that is $IREN.\n\nThat being said: Nebius is now up ~3x since I went long last year. \n\nWeebius has plot armor. https://t.co/JYZvf3GJND", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.059172413825963055, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.059172413825963055, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06465870291584364, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0562467709579626, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0054862890898805805, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0029256428680004554, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007962562247160965, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.007962562247160965, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010453954963351664, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014009009887558377, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002491392716190699, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006046447640397412, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3538, -0.3934, -0.3155, -0.3735, -0.427, -0.3936, -0.4048, -0.3446, -0.3541, -0.3508, -0.2984, -0.3293, -0.341, -0.3496, -0.3553, -0.3418, -0.358, -0.3532, -0.4153, -0.4521, -0.5063, -0.4648, -0.4678, -0.4571, -0.4571, -0.4515, -0.442, -0.425, -0.4214, -0.3861, -0.3276, -0.2604, -0.2378, -0.2553, -0.2487, -0.2393, -0.2948, -0.2445, -0.1878, -0.2094, -0.245, -0.3062, -0.3308, -0.2895, -0.2871, -0.2275, -0.1454, -0.0479, -0.1124, -0.0445, -0.139, -0.1169, -0.1386, -0.0882, -0.1735, -0.2122, -0.2546, -0.177, -0.0935, -0.1127, -0.1127, -0.0667, 0.0592, 0.0, -0.008, -0.008, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2056993753882345818", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-20T07:01:42+00:00", "symbol": "JBL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SIVE mass production for 1.6T optical transceivers with $JBL", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish SIVE on uncapped 1.6T demand, faster-than-expected mass production timeline, dramatic moat in laser architecture, and material revenue vs current market cap; secondarily bullish JBL as co-manufacturer.", "resolved_tickers": ["JBL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SIVE mass production for 1.6T optical transceivers with $JBL:\n\nIs now earlier than expected per JP Morgan Fireside chat. \n\nHere's what they announced: \n\n> \"Relatively dramatic moat\" implied with $SIVE laser architectures\n\n> Extreme demand for their 1.6T, which was previously unknown in terms of volume. \n\n> Faster than expected timelines, pulling revenue realization window forward. \n\nThe statement:\n\n1. Jabil’s 1.6T LRO: \"Goes into different qualifications across the next 1 to 4 months\" \n\n“The quals can take anywhere between 2 to 6 months\"\n\nGiven its May H1 2026, mass production and revenue realization could begin in anywhere between 3 months to 10 months. \n\nSo late 2026 with 6.5 month midpoint. \n\nLot of former estimates were H2 2027. \n\n3. Architecturally it's \"which is about 11 kilowatts dramatically lower than current 1.6T power profiles\" \n\nHyperscalers would like to hear this, and this is the competitive differentiation + relatively dramatic moat proven with $SIVE as the critical photonics chokepoint.\n\n4. \"At this point, it's not about share. It's really about keeping up with the organic growth of the entire market.\"\n\nAgain this shows that the enormous demand has outstripped supply.\n\nThe implications are that it’s more of a matter of how much Sivers + Jabil can build together, as anything they make would be bought. \n\nThis type of statement is just incredibly material for Sivers revenue relative to their current marketcap.\n\nThe market was previously uncertain about the exact volume demand and commercial timeline from Sivers X Jabil. \n\nJabil just publicly confirmed that the demand for their 1.6T LRO with $SIVE lasers is essentially uncapped.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03554972977154924, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03554972977154924, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02540467812736713, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02540467812736713, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010145051644182113, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010145051644182113, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0326235259010379, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0326235259010379, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030640428831054667, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030640428831054667, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0019830970699832307, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0019830970699832307, "ret_p1w": 0.07599597696703109, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07599597696703109, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06357098948284046, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06357098948284046, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01242498748419063, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01242498748419063, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2148, -0.2432, -0.2287, -0.196, -0.2124, -0.2324, -0.2435, -0.2636, -0.2608, -0.2694, -0.3016, -0.2832, -0.2725, -0.26, -0.2696, -0.274, -0.2527, -0.2401, -0.2507, -0.2315, -0.2653, -0.2287, -0.1965, -0.1796, -0.2349, -0.2437, -0.2831, -0.2306, -0.2122, -0.2221, -0.2221, -0.2252, -0.2097, -0.1683, -0.1512, -0.1325, -0.1155, -0.1137, -0.1167, -0.1018, -0.0682, -0.0433, -0.0335, -0.0256, -0.0194, -0.0104, -0.0128, -0.0417, -0.0329, -0.0224, -0.008, -0.0128, -0.0231, 0.0785, 0.0127, 0.0287, 0.058, 0.0161, 0.0296, 0.0264, -0.0154, -0.0186, -0.0355, 0.0, 0.0326, 0.0556, 0.0556, 0.1017, 0.076, 0.0536, 0.0562, 0.0562, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2043906518026989817", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-14T04:17:42+00:00", "symbol": "Nippon Chemical Industrial", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "they're trading at .54 book value and a forward P/E of 11.4 so it's probably undervalued anyway. Just reverting to Book Value of 1 is immediate 80-85% upside.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long Nippon Chemical (4092) on 80-85% upside to book value + critical InP substrate chokepoint; also holds small AXTI position as structural bottleneck play.", "resolved_tickers": ["4092.T"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Nippon Chemical Industrial listed on TSE as 4092.T", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Specialty Chemicals'", "bench_c_industry": "Specialty Chemicals", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "A Guide by Serenity: \n\nHow to Cripple the Western Hyperscaler buildout with just $170m.\n\nJust take over Nippon Chemical (4092) with $169m!\n\nFor InP substrates, you need: Indium and High Purity Phosphorus.\n\nThought $AXTI was a bottleneck? NCI is the bottleneck of the bottleneck.\n\nNCI is actually the leader of the high purity red phosphorus chokepoint holding 26-27% of the market share (Rasa has less share, then the rest is China). \n\nAnd they export to $AXTI, Sumitomo, JX that need it to make InP substrates. \n
So… if you have $160m to spend to acquire NCI (plus Rasa as smaller capacity), you can remove the leading Western world’s production of 6N/7N red phosphorus needed to make InP substrates!\n\nAnd without InP substrates: no photonics. \n\nFun fact: China’s tech companies would get pretty disrupted with it too by NCI.  \n\nFor $AXTI, the mapping/reliance is actually pretty interesting: \n\n- AXT's Tongmei outlined its structural reliance on importing high-purity precursor materials from Japan on their STAR Market listing\n
- WITS data showing ~$460/kg high-purity phosphorus flowing from Japan into China\n\nSo they secretly do depend on NCI.\n
China does have capacity like Wylton Chemical, Qin Xi New Materials, Jinding Electronics, and Chuxiong Chuanzhi, Guizhou Wylton Jinglin Electronic Materials as well.\n\nHowever, they’re all smaller players so can’t make up for high purity red phosphorus capacity provided by NCI for InP substrate production at scale. \n\n$LITE CEO already said inp substrates keeps him up at night. \n\nSo now with NCI, you can give the guy permanent insomnia? \n\nFor just $169M. \n\nSo here's what the supply chain looks like:\n\n-> DGC phosphate rock mine and ships it to NCI\n-> NCI refines Yellow Phosphorus into High Purity Red Phosphorus \n->  Sumitomo / JX / AXT melt the Red Phosphorus with Indium to grow InP Substrates\n-> $COHR / $LITE fab InP substrates into Lasers\n-> Innolight/Fabrinet package them into 800G/1.6T transceivers\n-> $NVDA / $GOOGL use them for ASIC/GPU clusters. \n
And basically, the entire West depends on NCI to make InP substrates for photonics. \n\nI hold some very small positions, just for fun. However, Japan is not well known for price hiking. \n\nSo you’d probably run into regulatory problems eg. FEFTA if you bought the company and hiked prices 15000% (like government seizing back the company once they realize)… \n\nMaybe 30-50% hikes is possible to compress fwd p/e? But very likely wont end up like $AXTI. 
\nRegardless, this company is a massive, massive national security risk priced at ~$160m. \n\nAs for fundamentals, they’re trading at .54 book value and a forward P/E of 11.4 so it’s probably undervalued anyway. \n\nTLDR:\n\n->  Is it the next $AXTI? No. \n\n-> Is it an unknown structural bottleneck + critical vulnerability of the Western hyperscaler buildout with photonics? Yes.\n\n-> Is there still room for re-rating? \n\nJust reverting to Book Value of 1 is immediate 80-85% upside. Maybe more if you give it multiples past 11 fwd p/e. \n\nRegardless, it’s fun to find a major point of failure in the hyperscaler supply chains for $169m.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.14334763948497853, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.14334763948497853, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.13130944272460698, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.14680851837336062, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.012038196760371545, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0034608788883820907, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.028612303290414864, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.028612303290414864, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02072130842337594, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04072530605429181, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007890994867038925, "bench_c_p1d": -0.012113002763876946, "ret_p1w": -0.06008583690987124, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06008583690987124, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07393831914471793, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.055471380622335364, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.013852482234846697, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004614456287535873, "ret_p1m": 0.12303290414878387, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12303290414878387, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.05413048489934069, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12207149185554189, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06890241924944318, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0009614122932419811, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0664, -0.0566, -0.065, -0.0958, -0.1084, -0.0916, -0.0944, -0.1197, -0.093, -0.093, -0.0972, -0.0846, -0.0888, -0.058, -0.051, -0.0678, -0.0608, -0.051, -0.0608, -0.0608, -0.0944, -0.1084, -0.1028, -0.1, -0.0608, -0.051, -0.0454, -0.0454, -0.0019, -0.0103, -0.0117, 0.0079, 0.0121, -0.0229, -0.0944, -0.0468, -0.0566, -0.1112, -0.072, -0.0622, -0.0958, -0.1351, -0.1253, -0.1379, -0.107, -0.162, -0.162, -0.201, -0.1847, -0.1682, -0.1656, -0.1639, -0.1845, -0.1931, -0.1565, -0.1745, -0.1631, -0.1557, -0.1622, -0.1259, -0.1471, -0.1451, -0.1433, 0.0, 0.0286, 0.0787, 0.0415, -0.0601, -0.0601, -0.083, -0.0501, -0.0701, -0.0773, -0.0658, -0.0658, -0.0386, -0.0215, -0.0215, -0.0215, -0.0215, 0.0372, 0.0787, 0.1202, 0.1173, 0.123, 0.0758, 0.0687, 0.0458, 0.0272, -0.0143, 0.0443, 0.1173, 0.3176, 0.4621, 0.2718, 0.3491, 0.3934, 0.5908, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2043906518026989817", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-14T04:17:42+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Thought $AXTI was a bottleneck? NCI is the bottleneck of the bottleneck.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long Nippon Chemical (4092) on 80-85% upside to book value + critical InP substrate chokepoint; also holds small AXTI position as structural bottleneck play.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "A Guide by Serenity: \n\nHow to Cripple the Western Hyperscaler buildout with just $170m.\n\nJust take over Nippon Chemical (4092) with $169m!\n\nFor InP substrates, you need: Indium and High Purity Phosphorus.\n\nThought $AXTI was a bottleneck? NCI is the bottleneck of the bottleneck.\n\nNCI is actually the leader of the high purity red phosphorus chokepoint holding 26-27% of the market share (Rasa has less share, then the rest is China). \n\nAnd they export to $AXTI, Sumitomo, JX that need it to make InP substrates. \n
So… if you have $160m to spend to acquire NCI (plus Rasa as smaller capacity), you can remove the leading Western world’s production of 6N/7N red phosphorus needed to make InP substrates!\n\nAnd without InP substrates: no photonics. \n\nFun fact: China’s tech companies would get pretty disrupted with it too by NCI.  \n\nFor $AXTI, the mapping/reliance is actually pretty interesting: \n\n- AXT's Tongmei outlined its structural reliance on importing high-purity precursor materials from Japan on their STAR Market listing\n
- WITS data showing ~$460/kg high-purity phosphorus flowing from Japan into China\n\nSo they secretly do depend on NCI.\n
China does have capacity like Wylton Chemical, Qin Xi New Materials, Jinding Electronics, and Chuxiong Chuanzhi, Guizhou Wylton Jinglin Electronic Materials as well.\n\nHowever, they’re all smaller players so can’t make up for high purity red phosphorus capacity provided by NCI for InP substrate production at scale. \n\n$LITE CEO already said inp substrates keeps him up at night. \n\nSo now with NCI, you can give the guy permanent insomnia? \n\nFor just $169M. \n\nSo here's what the supply chain looks like:\n\n-> DGC phosphate rock mine and ships it to NCI\n-> NCI refines Yellow Phosphorus into High Purity Red Phosphorus \n->  Sumitomo / JX / AXT melt the Red Phosphorus with Indium to grow InP Substrates\n-> $COHR / $LITE fab InP substrates into Lasers\n-> Innolight/Fabrinet package them into 800G/1.6T transceivers\n-> $NVDA / $GOOGL use them for ASIC/GPU clusters. \n
And basically, the entire West depends on NCI to make InP substrates for photonics. \n\nI hold some very small positions, just for fun. However, Japan is not well known for price hiking. \n\nSo you’d probably run into regulatory problems eg. FEFTA if you bought the company and hiked prices 15000% (like government seizing back the company once they realize)… \n\nMaybe 30-50% hikes is possible to compress fwd p/e? But very likely wont end up like $AXTI. 
\nRegardless, this company is a massive, massive national security risk priced at ~$160m. \n\nAs for fundamentals, they’re trading at .54 book value and a forward P/E of 11.4 so it’s probably undervalued anyway. \n\nTLDR:\n\n->  Is it the next $AXTI? No. \n\n-> Is it an unknown structural bottleneck + critical vulnerability of the Western hyperscaler buildout with photonics? Yes.\n\n-> Is there still room for re-rating? \n\nJust reverting to Book Value of 1 is immediate 80-85% upside. Maybe more if you give it multiples past 11 fwd p/e. \n\nRegardless, it’s fun to find a major point of failure in the hyperscaler supply chains for $169m.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01263010497728978, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01263010497728978, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0005919082169182355, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0065291951601202936, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.012038196760371545, "bench_c_m1d": -0.019159300137410074, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06493317308204627, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06493317308204627, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0728241679490852, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0671455624625773, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007890994867038925, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0022123893805310324, "ret_p1w": 0.1139672781745138, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1139672781745138, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1001147959396671, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0859584205149797, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.013852482234846697, "bench_c_p1w": 0.028008857659534092, "ret_p1m": 0.8118870269237126, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.8118870269237126, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.7429846076742694, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5453825535328802, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06890241924944318, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2665044733908324, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6178, -0.6718, -0.6718, -0.6819, -0.7061, -0.7337, -0.7415, -0.7355, -0.7444, -0.7499, -0.7566, -0.7245, -0.6889, -0.7067, -0.7214, -0.6964, -0.6425, -0.5874, -0.6382, -0.6018, -0.6316, -0.6398, -0.6398, -0.6551, -0.6502, -0.6462, -0.559, -0.5776, -0.4788, -0.3912, -0.4484, -0.4368, -0.3117, -0.3795, -0.4186, -0.4235, -0.519, -0.427, -0.3418, -0.2963, -0.3056, -0.274, -0.281, -0.3409, -0.2755, -0.1368, -0.1941, -0.0425, 0.0169, 0.0007, -0.1306, -0.0991, -0.2165, -0.1533, -0.2996, -0.2149, -0.2149, -0.3761, -0.3245, -0.2098, -0.0621, -0.0464, -0.0126, 0.0, -0.0649, 0.2152, 0.2267, 0.1703, 0.114, 0.2918, 0.1184, 0.1316, 0.0423, 0.021, 0.056, 0.1771, 0.4264, 0.575, 0.5981, 0.5577, 0.611, 0.729, 0.8694, 0.8262, 0.8119, 0.7085, 0.8392, 0.5733, 0.6773, 0.5544, 0.7982, 1.0926, 1.0926, 0.9703, 0.8242, 0.7192, 0.5328, 0.5328, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2047054864040308895", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-22T20:48:06+00:00", "symbol": "ARM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bullish on $ARM, given the new bottleneck shifting back to CPUs", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish ARM on CPU bottleneck thesis: orchestration/RAG workloads and growing localized inference demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["ARM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bruh it’s only been one day with $ARM.\n\nHow does a $200B+ company go up 12% https://t.co/4BNSjjk88c", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Bullish on $ARM, given the new bottleneck shifting back to CPUs. MS shows stuff like Orchestration/RAG requiring CPUs. \n\nBut I'm predicting parts of localized inference to be handled by CPUs more and more... as models like Gemma get  lightweight in the future. \n\nNot every robot https://t.co/YTHPm63Pxi", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.10723915676660556, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10723915676660556, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09721398183580765, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08171646890538009, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010025174930797909, "bench_c_m1d": -0.025522687861225468, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04090142436059341, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04090142436059341, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0447821483104186, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030373522020942234, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0038807239498251933, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010527902339651174, "ret_p1w": 0.026046675110219963, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.026046675110219963, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.025526441837689262, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.021664250462100743, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0005202332725307013, "bench_c_p1w": 0.047710925572320706, "ret_p1m": 0.5171694555336377, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5171694555336377, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.47286475262313754, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3262208556666957, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04430470291050015, "bench_c_p1m": 0.19094859986694201, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4095, -0.4163, -0.4156, -0.4406, -0.4484, -0.464, -0.456, -0.4681, -0.4663, -0.4359, -0.3707, -0.3661, -0.3593, -0.3627, -0.3784, -0.3627, -0.3627, -0.3545, -0.3527, -0.3543, -0.3611, -0.3703, -0.3481, -0.3298, -0.3424, -0.3516, -0.3673, -0.3808, -0.3686, -0.3864, -0.4181, -0.4016, -0.3867, -0.389, -0.4144, -0.4112, -0.3809, -0.3523, -0.347, -0.3396, -0.3267, -0.3036, -0.3134, -0.2009, -0.2125, -0.2668, -0.3033, -0.2304, -0.2111, -0.2414, -0.2414, -0.2432, -0.2681, -0.2425, -0.238, -0.2424, -0.1984, -0.1798, -0.1894, -0.1742, -0.1518, -0.1092, -0.1072, 0.0, 0.0409, 0.1945, 0.0982, 0.0106, 0.026, 0.0699, 0.0743, 0.034, 0.0624, 0.2072, 0.0852, 0.085, 0.0818, 0.0577, 0.1253, 0.1624, 0.064, 0.0944, 0.1352, 0.306, 0.5172, 0.5593, 0.5593, 0.6341, 0.54, 0.7056, 0.7973, 0.7973, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2044291179475538384", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-15T05:46:12+00:00", "symbol": "JBL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$JBL is ****** massive and Sivers lasers now will likely go into Jabil's hyperscalers clients", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long SIVE with $2B+ valuation target on Jabil supply-chain win; secondary bullish lean on JBL as the hyperscaler conduit.", "resolved_tickers": ["JBL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is finally supply chain mapping validation with $SIVE.\n\n$JBL is ****** massive and Sivers lasers now will likely go into Jabil's hyperscalers clients like $AMZN, $GOOGL. \n\nThis is such a structural change and I would personally value Sivers over $2B+ after official confirmation.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thank you for this awesome pick and your epic level research Serenity.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "wealthquake", "ret_m1d": 0.003344729001377944, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.003344729001377944, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.011173943576392564, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.011173943576392564, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00782921457501462, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00782921457501462, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01688800367875154, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01688800367875154, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01443069205614722, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01443069205614722, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002457311622604319, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002457311622604319, "ret_p1w": 0.10313156321112404, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10313156321112404, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08703015524481272, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08703015524481272, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01610140796631132, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01610140796631132, "ret_p1m": 0.16196085701135887, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.16196085701135887, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09305497893534831, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09305497893534831, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06890587807601056, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06890587807601056, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1762, -0.1762, -0.1911, -0.1701, -0.1978, -0.2029, -0.2073, -0.2058, -0.2014, -0.2004, -0.2224, -0.2027, -0.1948, -0.2261, -0.2072, -0.1534, -0.1281, -0.1512, -0.1441, -0.1767, -0.1654, -0.1654, -0.1559, -0.1456, -0.1394, -0.111, -0.1432, -0.1269, -0.0898, -0.1083, -0.131, -0.1435, -0.1663, -0.1632, -0.1729, -0.2094, -0.1885, -0.1764, -0.1623, -0.1732, -0.1781, -0.154, -0.1397, -0.1518, -0.13, -0.1683, -0.1269, -0.0904, -0.0712, -0.1338, -0.1438, -0.1885, -0.1289, -0.1082, -0.1194, -0.1194, -0.1229, -0.1053, -0.0584, -0.0391, -0.0179, 0.0014, 0.0033, 0.0, 0.0169, 0.0549, 0.0831, 0.0942, 0.1031, 0.1101, 0.1203, 0.1176, 0.0849, 0.0948, 0.1067, 0.123, 0.1176, 0.106, 0.221, 0.1464, 0.1646, 0.1977, 0.1504, 0.1655, 0.162, 0.1146, 0.111, 0.0918, 0.1321, 0.169, 0.1951, 0.1951, 0.2472, 0.2181, 0.1928, 0.1957, 0.1957, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2041553933664145620", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-07T16:29:22+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's probably extremely bullish for the Neocloud segment like $NBIS (and even $CRWV) more than markets think.", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on Neocloud names NBIS and CRWV on hyperscaler buildout delay spillover; Jensen Huang endorsement of NBIS cited.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Jensen Huang from $NVDA: \n\n“ $NBIS will take care of you. “ https://t.co/lIRrnAC3fc", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I’ve been thinking about this report more from last month…\n\nIt’s probably extremely bullish for the Neocloud segment like $NBIS (and even $CRWV) more than markets think.\n\nBecause of the hyperscaler buildout delay spillover.\n\nAnd partly why $META might have signed a $27B deal. https://t.co/z6kY5Kbru5", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.041396938221336055, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.041396938221336055, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.040957057695516386, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.040860383412200885, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0004398805258196692, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0005365548091351702, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06473593164686453, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06473593164686453, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03926637700853686, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04693949210831527, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.025469554638327674, "bench_c_p1d": 0.017796439538549258, "ret_p1w": 0.37938671496276966, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.37938671496276966, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.32592951882845944, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.33699717930988293, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.053457196134310214, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04238953565288672, "ret_p1m": 0.6617546320464589, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6617546320464589, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5485753448547503, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.6123001624132163, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.11317928719170856, "bench_c_p1m": 0.049454469633242626, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1712, -0.1658, -0.0858, -0.102, -0.1313, -0.1151, -0.0739, -0.0739, -0.1543, -0.1578, -0.175, -0.1951, -0.221, -0.1664, -0.1445, -0.1916, -0.2744, -0.2491, -0.2338, -0.2982, -0.3708, -0.2666, -0.2089, -0.2181, -0.2452, -0.2357, -0.1652, -0.1652, -0.1693, -0.1329, -0.0834, -0.1659, -0.143, -0.1262, -0.0961, -0.1066, -0.2233, -0.2248, -0.2606, -0.1671, -0.1853, -0.2391, -0.1913, -0.1786, -0.046, -0.0797, -0.0379, 0.106, -0.0091, 0.0099, 0.0351, 0.0019, -0.0277, -0.0212, -0.0197, -0.0974, -0.1412, -0.2141, -0.1162, -0.1316, -0.0731, -0.0731, -0.0414, 0.0, 0.0647, 0.1612, 0.2348, 0.3165, 0.3794, 0.4205, 0.4083, 0.3385, 0.3557, 0.3335, 0.33, 0.338, 0.2535, 0.2348, 0.1543, 0.2026, 0.1774, 0.3159, 0.5027, 0.4985, 0.6618, 0.5739, 0.5081, 0.5852, 0.5256, 0.7655, 0.8837, 0.8734, 0.7024, 0.6842, 0.6339, 0.8733, 0.8294, 0.8294, 0.7722, 0.7749, 0.9279, 0.9684, 0.9684, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2041553933664145620", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-07T16:29:22+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's probably extremely bullish for the Neocloud segment like $NBIS (and even $CRWV) more than markets think.", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on Neocloud names NBIS and CRWV on hyperscaler buildout delay spillover; Jensen Huang endorsement of NBIS cited.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Jensen Huang from $NVDA: \n\n“ $NBIS will take care of you. “ https://t.co/lIRrnAC3fc", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I’ve been thinking about this report more from last month…\n\nIt’s probably extremely bullish for the Neocloud segment like $NBIS (and even $CRWV) more than markets think.\n\nBecause of the hyperscaler buildout delay spillover.\n\nAnd partly why $META might have signed a $27B deal. https://t.co/z6kY5Kbru5", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.050445747655173956, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.050445747655173956, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05000586712935429, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05000586712935429, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0004398805258196692, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0004398805258196692, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.042937632025270345, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.042937632025270345, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01746807738694267, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01746807738694267, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.025469554638327674, "bench_c_p1d": 0.025469554638327674, "ret_p1w": 0.3749413407488711, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.3749413407488711, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.3214841446145609, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.3214841446145609, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.053457196134310214, "bench_c_p1w": 0.053457196134310214, "ret_p1m": 0.6187235943865055, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6187235943865055, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5055443071947969, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5055443071947969, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.11317928719170856, "bench_c_p1m": 0.11317928719170856, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0956, -0.0598, 0.055, 0.0263, 0.0535, 0.1146, 0.1876, 0.1876, 0.1171, 0.1034, 0.0768, 0.0908, 0.1533, 0.2771, 0.2438, 0.1676, 0.0933, 0.0434, 0.0565, -0.0326, -0.1242, 0.0553, 0.1355, 0.1158, 0.1163, 0.1227, 0.1267, 0.1267, 0.0676, 0.1198, 0.1396, 0.047, 0.0657, 0.1649, 0.1498, 0.1454, -0.0666, -0.0844, -0.1344, -0.0673, -0.1222, -0.1437, -0.1271, -0.1211, -0.0385, -0.0631, -0.0485, 0.0073, -0.0366, -0.0284, -0.0537, -0.0442, -0.0385, -0.026, 0.0275, -0.0562, -0.1224, -0.1888, -0.0912, -0.0798, -0.0352, -0.0352, -0.0504, 0.0, 0.0429, 0.0793, 0.1966, 0.2936, 0.3749, 0.3924, 0.4026, 0.3708, 0.3776, 0.351, 0.4376, 0.3775, 0.2921, 0.3146, 0.238, 0.3396, 0.3092, 0.3962, 0.4715, 0.5004, 0.6187, 0.5115, 0.3392, 0.3456, 0.2641, 0.3058, 0.3399, 0.2588, 0.2174, 0.1709, 0.1882, 0.2621, 0.2376, 0.2376, 0.2423, 0.2233, 0.2536, 0.285, 0.285, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2054395891965194742", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-13T02:58:44+00:00", "symbol": "8147.T", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I modeled around 2 FWD p/e for 2028, which is why I think risk-reward is very compelling for a potential 10x rerating to ~$2B+ MC in 2028", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long Nextronics (8147) on CPO supplier thesis: 2x fwd P/E by 2028 implies 10x re-rating to $2B+ MC; NVDA named as key customer driving upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["8147.T"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Industrial Distribution'", "bench_c_industry": "Industrial Distribution", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So here's the napkin math I did on Nextronics (8147) when I went long.\n\nThey're the $NVDA CPO supplier for CPO connectors and cage thermal modules.\n\nAnd I modeled around 2 FWD p/e for 2028, which is why I think risk-reward is very compelling for a potential 10x rerating to ~$2B+ MC in 2028.\n\nJust for their CPO exposure:\n\n-> CPO connector runs roughly $15 to $25\n-> ELS thermal cages, maybe ~$50 from est.\n\n18 units per switch: 18x50 = ~$900\nCPO Connectors: 72 Optical Engines per switch 72 x $15 = $1,080\n(If $NVDA scales their Spectrum-X switch, it goes to $1,920 for CPO connectors).\n\nTotal Nextronics Content: ~$1,980 (rounded to $2k for calculations) in conservative case.\n\nImplied BOM % of rack: 0.08%. Maybe ~1.5% of switch.\n\nThis looks microscopic to institutions so it probably is ignored.\n\nIs it material to Nextronics, a ~$200m company?\n\nYes, absolute massive.\n\nFor calculations: Applying 50% haircut to Nextronics' share of the Nvidia connector market/cage market because of multi-source.\n\nAnd I’m using GS projections, and assuming $AVGO, $MRVL, ASIC CPO ecosystem is 30% size of $NVDA.\n\nNet Income Margin: 22.4% (at 38% GM)- 24.0% (at 40% GM).\n\nBut going off other projections from just, a rack shipments:\n\n2026: CPO revenue ~10.1M, net income (22.4%)\n\n~2.26M + $12.5M base = $14.7M (540k units for connectors, cage, 40K units, already divided by 50%)\n\n2027: CPO revenue: ~$172M, net income (22.4%): ~$38.53M = $51.03M (~8M units for connectors, ~1.03M units for cage)\n\n2028 scale up expansion: CPO revenue: $450m, net income: $100.93M, ~$11.3M base (~40M units for connectors, 2.98M unit for cages, eg. Nvidia ELS volume is 19.9M)\n\nSo implied fwd p/e 15.4x for 2026, 4.45x for 2027, 2x for 2028.\n\nOf course at scale, blended margins might go down, there might be other players bringing market share down to like 25%, etc. and projections might be more or less than GS.\n\nBut regardless seems highly asymmetrical even if I'm off by a whole 50%.\n\n2028 is usually the massive re-rating for CPO players, 2026 is still really early.\n\nHope my math is right, but 20x fwd p/e multiple would be $2.26B MC.\n\nEven if we drop:\n\n->  market share to just 15%.\n-> compress their net income margin down to 14%.\n-> connector ASP to $10.\n\nAt a 20x multiple, the stock would still achieve a ~4.5x return to a $1B+ market cap. \n\nWe'll see if this is right or not. (NFA, just speculative financial modeling)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit It'd be great if you included your revenue models and projections whenever you share positions you enter.\n\nI know in the past you've said it's to simplify for retail, but easier to build conviction when we can see your reasoning and actual numbers (and allow us to double check).", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.019624573378839605, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.019624573378839605, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.025188293248430194, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.015419925257317724, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005563719869590589, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004204648121521881, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010238907849829282, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010238907849829282, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.002344651581106527, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005112773679351257, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007894256268722755, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005126134170478025, "ret_p1w": 0.011945392491467643, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.011945392491467643, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.013373364042544744, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.028590937192109922, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0014279715510771007, "bench_c_p1w": -0.01664554470064228, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1886, 0.2715, 0.2681, 0.2564, 0.2665, 0.2522, 0.2522, 0.2531, 0.2564, 0.2229, 0.2154, 0.1919, 0.1819, 0.1484, 0.1668, 0.1559, 0.1366, 0.145, 0.1626, 0.1442, 0.119, 0.1257, 0.1283, 0.1341, 0.1308, 0.1308, 0.1132, 0.0931, 0.0922, 0.0931, 0.0973, 0.0614, 0.0427, 0.0461, 0.0657, 0.052, 0.0495, 0.0503, 0.0717, 0.0776, 0.0666, 0.0495, 0.0375, 0.0375, 0.0469, 0.0469, 0.0324, 0.0256, 0.029, 0.0119, 0.0119, 0.0068, 0.0009, 0.0009, -0.0094, -0.0051, -0.0051, -0.0051, -0.0051, -0.006, 0.0307, 0.0367, 0.0196, 0.0, 0.0102, 0.1869, 0.1126, 0.0725, 0.0119, 0.0247, 0.035, 0.035, 0.0358, 0.0367, 0.0282, 0.0503, 0.0452, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2054395891965194742", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-13T02:58:44+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "They're the $NVDA CPO supplier for CPO connectors and cage thermal modules", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long Nextronics (8147) on CPO supplier thesis: 2x fwd P/E by 2028 implies 10x re-rating to $2B+ MC; NVDA named as key customer driving upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "So here's the napkin math I did on Nextronics (8147) when I went long.\n\nThey're the $NVDA CPO supplier for CPO connectors and cage thermal modules.\n\nAnd I modeled around 2 FWD p/e for 2028, which is why I think risk-reward is very compelling for a potential 10x rerating to ~$2B+ MC in 2028.\n\nJust for their CPO exposure:\n\n-> CPO connector runs roughly $15 to $25\n-> ELS thermal cages, maybe ~$50 from est.\n\n18 units per switch: 18x50 = ~$900\nCPO Connectors: 72 Optical Engines per switch 72 x $15 = $1,080\n(If $NVDA scales their Spectrum-X switch, it goes to $1,920 for CPO connectors).\n\nTotal Nextronics Content: ~$1,980 (rounded to $2k for calculations) in conservative case.\n\nImplied BOM % of rack: 0.08%. Maybe ~1.5% of switch.\n\nThis looks microscopic to institutions so it probably is ignored.\n\nIs it material to Nextronics, a ~$200m company?\n\nYes, absolute massive.\n\nFor calculations: Applying 50% haircut to Nextronics' share of the Nvidia connector market/cage market because of multi-source.\n\nAnd I’m using GS projections, and assuming $AVGO, $MRVL, ASIC CPO ecosystem is 30% size of $NVDA.\n\nNet Income Margin: 22.4% (at 38% GM)- 24.0% (at 40% GM).\n\nBut going off other projections from just, a rack shipments:\n\n2026: CPO revenue ~10.1M, net income (22.4%)\n\n~2.26M + $12.5M base = $14.7M (540k units for connectors, cage, 40K units, already divided by 50%)\n\n2027: CPO revenue: ~$172M, net income (22.4%): ~$38.53M = $51.03M (~8M units for connectors, ~1.03M units for cage)\n\n2028 scale up expansion: CPO revenue: $450m, net income: $100.93M, ~$11.3M base (~40M units for connectors, 2.98M unit for cages, eg. Nvidia ELS volume is 19.9M)\n\nSo implied fwd p/e 15.4x for 2026, 4.45x for 2027, 2x for 2028.\n\nOf course at scale, blended margins might go down, there might be other players bringing market share down to like 25%, etc. and projections might be more or less than GS.\n\nBut regardless seems highly asymmetrical even if I'm off by a whole 50%.\n\n2028 is usually the massive re-rating for CPO players, 2026 is still really early.\n\nHope my math is right, but 20x fwd p/e multiple would be $2.26B MC.\n\nEven if we drop:\n\n->  market share to just 15%.\n-> compress their net income margin down to 14%.\n-> connector ASP to $10.\n\nAt a 20x multiple, the stock would still achieve a ~4.5x return to a $1B+ market cap. \n\nWe'll see if this is right or not. (NFA, just speculative financial modeling)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit It'd be great if you included your revenue models and projections whenever you share positions you enter.\n\nI know in the past you've said it's to simplify for retail, but easier to build conviction when we can see your reasoning and actual numbers (and allow us to double check).", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02236196701417803, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02236196701417803, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01679824714458744, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01679824714458744, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005563719869590589, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005563719869590589, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04388258239276421, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04388258239276421, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03598832612404146, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03598832612404146, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007894256268722755, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007894256268722755, "ret_p1w": -0.01045034136835854, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01045034136835854, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.00902236981728144, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.00902236981728144, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0014279715510771007, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0014279715510771007, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1905, -0.1905, -0.181, -0.1676, -0.168, -0.1595, -0.1518, -0.1461, -0.1341, -0.1813, -0.2154, -0.192, -0.2028, -0.1895, -0.1882, -0.2126, -0.1912, -0.1819, -0.1762, -0.189, -0.2018, -0.1887, -0.1944, -0.2012, -0.2093, -0.2353, -0.2222, -0.2242, -0.2088, -0.2417, -0.2582, -0.2686, -0.2277, -0.2218, -0.2145, -0.2145, -0.2134, -0.2114, -0.1937, -0.1856, -0.1647, -0.1617, -0.1298, -0.1194, -0.1217, -0.1069, -0.1053, -0.1149, -0.1033, -0.116, -0.0778, -0.0408, -0.0561, -0.0734, -0.1163, -0.1212, -0.1211, -0.1299, -0.0797, -0.0635, -0.0471, -0.0283, -0.0224, 0.0, 0.0439, -0.0023, -0.0155, -0.0231, -0.0105, -0.028, -0.0465, -0.0465, -0.0486, -0.0586, -0.0513, -0.065, -0.065, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2042988968149684305", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-11T15:31:41+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "As I said before, the marketcap for $IREN will keep going up, but people's share values will decrease. That's how ATMs work. Excessive ATMs are not accretive to current shareholders. It's better to let all existing bagholders get wiped out first, then go long after the ATM is finished.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish IREN near-term: ATM dilution wipes current shareholders before any long entry; implied bullish NBIS as the better-performing alternative.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "There's a reason $IREN is down -7.9% YTD.\n\nWhile $NBIS is up 61.1% YTD.\n\nThe amount of delusion buying into a $6,000,000,000 ATM is unreal. \n\nEven after this, IREN AMC bagholders still can't admit they're wrong? \n\nMarkets are the biggest arbiter of truth, and massive performance difference between Nebius and Iren is telling. \n\nAs I said before, the marketcap for $IREN will keep going up, but people's share values will decrease. \n\nThat's how ATMs work. Excessive ATMs are not accretive to current shareholders. \n\nIt's better to let all existing bagholders get wiped out first, then go long after the ATM is finished.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit Too bad you fked up being an iren bear", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08706756504692159, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08706756504692159, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07738974279133759, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0698395473876644, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009677822255584001, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01722801765925719, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09983745687319523, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09983745687319523, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08765257612082511, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.09751459717053934, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01218488075237012, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0023228597026558884, "ret_p1w": 0.13118183343191148, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.13118183343191148, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09821288441268172, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.112405193409298, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.032968949019229754, "bench_c_p1w": 0.018776640022613478, "ret_p1m": 0.3132110929661305, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3132110929661305, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.23730376321383484, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3147596414871082, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07590732975229564, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0015485485209777439, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2278, 0.2048, 0.3425, 0.3425, 0.2598, 0.2417, 0.2134, 0.316, 0.2157, 0.3928, 0.4613, 0.3894, 0.2477, 0.2324, 0.2628, 0.0434, -0.0762, -0.0288, 0.0715, -0.0033, -0.0093, -0.0706, -0.0197, -0.0197, -0.0488, -0.023, 0.0051, -0.0717, -0.0165, 0.0553, 0.0223, 0.0272, -0.0492, -0.039, -0.098, 0.0179, -0.0684, -0.1479, -0.0982, -0.1149, -0.0253, -0.0395, -0.0346, 0.0434, -0.0026, -0.02, -0.0327, -0.0413, -0.0211, -0.0453, -0.0381, -0.1305, -0.1853, -0.2658, -0.2041, -0.2085, -0.1927, -0.1927, -0.1844, -0.1702, -0.1449, -0.1395, -0.0871, 0.0, 0.0998, 0.1335, 0.1075, 0.1173, 0.1312, 0.0488, 0.1235, 0.2078, 0.1758, 0.1228, 0.0318, -0.0049, 0.0567, 0.0601, 0.1488, 0.271, 0.4158, 0.3199, 0.4209, 0.2805, 0.3132, 0.2809, 0.3559, 0.2292, 0.1716, 0.1084, 0.2238, 0.348, 0.3195, 0.3195, 0.388, 0.5751, 0.4871, 0.4753, 0.4753, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2042988968149684305", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-11T15:31:41+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS is up 61.1% YTD", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish IREN near-term: ATM dilution wipes current shareholders before any long entry; implied bullish NBIS as the better-performing alternative.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "There's a reason $IREN is down -7.9% YTD.\n\nWhile $NBIS is up 61.1% YTD.\n\nThe amount of delusion buying into a $6,000,000,000 ATM is unreal. \n\nEven after this, IREN AMC bagholders still can't admit they're wrong? \n\nMarkets are the biggest arbiter of truth, and massive performance difference between Nebius and Iren is telling. \n\nAs I said before, the marketcap for $IREN will keep going up, but people's share values will decrease. \n\nThat's how ATMs work. Excessive ATMs are not accretive to current shareholders. \n\nIt's better to let all existing bagholders get wiped out first, then go long after the ATM is finished.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit Too bad you fked up being an iren bear", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06204707873558979, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06204707873558979, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05236925648000579, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0544699776304306, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009677822255584001, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00757710110515919, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04774847955089245, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04774847955089245, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03556359879852233, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03259434378713877, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01218488075237012, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015154135763753684, "ret_p1w": 0.029761944721639733, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.029761944721639733, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0032070042975900215, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.004465544527804566, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.032968949019229754, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0342274892494443, "ret_p1m": 0.15883801397221742, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.15883801397221742, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08293068421992178, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14978035051383443, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07590732975229564, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009057663458382992, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3402, -0.3279, -0.2965, -0.2965, -0.3576, -0.3603, -0.3734, -0.3886, -0.4083, -0.3668, -0.3502, -0.3859, -0.4488, -0.4296, -0.418, -0.4669, -0.5221, -0.4429, -0.3991, -0.4061, -0.4267, -0.4194, -0.3659, -0.3659, -0.369, -0.3414, -0.3038, -0.3665, -0.3491, -0.3363, -0.3134, -0.3214, -0.41, -0.4112, -0.4384, -0.3674, -0.3811, -0.422, -0.3857, -0.3761, -0.2754, -0.301, -0.2692, -0.1599, -0.2473, -0.2329, -0.2138, -0.239, -0.2615, -0.2565, -0.2554, -0.3144, -0.3477, -0.4031, -0.3287, -0.3404, -0.2959, -0.2959, -0.2719, -0.2404, -0.1913, -0.1179, -0.062, 0.0, 0.0477, 0.079, 0.0697, 0.0167, 0.0298, 0.0129, 0.0102, 0.0163, -0.0479, -0.0621, -0.1233, -0.0865, -0.1057, -0.0005, 0.1414, 0.1382, 0.2622, 0.1955, 0.1455, 0.2041, 0.1588, 0.341, 0.4308, 0.423, 0.2931, 0.2793, 0.2411, 0.4229, 0.3896, 0.3896, 0.3461, 0.3481, 0.4644, 0.4951, 0.4951, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2042993763249983954", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-11T15:50:44+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Current holders are just exit liquidity for $IREN $6,000,000,000 ATM. And the community tries their best to encourage others to baghold with them.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish IREN: calls current holders exit liquidity in a $6B ATM, warns community is encouraging bagholder behavior.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@NieMehrKrieg Sometimes it's best to just tax harvest and long an asset that might actually appreciate in value. \n\nCurrent holders are just exit liquidity for $IREN $6,000,000,000 ATM. And the community tries their best to encourage others to baghold with them.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit You’re right but for many of us the question is where do we go from here? I am down 20% Should I be holding? What do you think?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "NieMehrKrieg", "ret_m1d": -0.08706756504692159, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08706756504692159, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07738974279133759, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0698395473876644, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009677822255584001, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01722801765925719, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09983745687319523, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09983745687319523, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08765257612082511, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.09751459717053934, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01218488075237012, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0023228597026558884, "ret_p1w": 0.13118183343191148, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.13118183343191148, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09821288441268172, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.112405193409298, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.032968949019229754, "bench_c_p1w": 0.018776640022613478, "ret_p1m": 0.3132110929661305, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3132110929661305, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.23730376321383484, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3147596414871082, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07590732975229564, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0015485485209777439, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2278, 0.2048, 0.3425, 0.3425, 0.2598, 0.2417, 0.2134, 0.316, 0.2157, 0.3928, 0.4613, 0.3894, 0.2477, 0.2324, 0.2628, 0.0434, -0.0762, -0.0288, 0.0715, -0.0033, -0.0093, -0.0706, -0.0197, -0.0197, -0.0488, -0.023, 0.0051, -0.0717, -0.0165, 0.0553, 0.0223, 0.0272, -0.0492, -0.039, -0.098, 0.0179, -0.0684, -0.1479, -0.0982, -0.1149, -0.0253, -0.0395, -0.0346, 0.0434, -0.0026, -0.02, -0.0327, -0.0413, -0.0211, -0.0453, -0.0381, -0.1305, -0.1853, -0.2658, -0.2041, -0.2085, -0.1927, -0.1927, -0.1844, -0.1702, -0.1449, -0.1395, -0.0871, 0.0, 0.0998, 0.1335, 0.1075, 0.1173, 0.1312, 0.0488, 0.1235, 0.2078, 0.1758, 0.1228, 0.0318, -0.0049, 0.0567, 0.0601, 0.1488, 0.271, 0.4158, 0.3199, 0.4209, 0.2805, 0.3132, 0.2809, 0.3559, 0.2292, 0.1716, 0.1084, 0.2238, 0.348, 0.3195, 0.3195, 0.388, 0.5751, 0.4871, 0.4753, 0.4753, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2043321302614999521", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-12T13:32:16+00:00", "symbol": "IQE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I thought 10x to $1B+ was possible, we'll see", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long IQE with 10x to $1B+ market cap target, contingent on photonics pivot and balance sheet clean-up.", "resolved_tickers": ["IQE.L"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "IQE plc LSE-listed epiwafer supplier", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "In my original thesis, I cited landmark was a benchmark at $3.8B with less inp reactor capacity than $IQE.\n\nBut $IQE had debt but a lot of assets, just needed to refactor all those toward photonics + finish asset sales to clear up balance sheet for re-rating.\n\nI thought 10x to $1B+ was possible, we'll see.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What's the approximate price target, boss?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "0xMonney", "ret_m1d": -0.24643582179536283, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.24643582179536283, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.23675799953977883, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.23186463149347392, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009677822255584001, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014571190301888914, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02647656369573481, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02647656369573481, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03866144444810493, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04601011296636981, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01218488075237012, "bench_c_p1d": 0.019533549270634998, "ret_p1w": 0.19348269440389343, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.19348269440389343, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.16051374538466368, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1469721262451118, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.032968949019229754, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04651056815878163, "ret_p1m": -0.039714806697396576, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.039714806697396576, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11562213644969221, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.30567322379506023, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07590732975229564, "bench_c_p1m": 0.26595841709766366, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.8167, -0.834, -0.8401, -0.8181, -0.8413, -0.8444, -0.8411, -0.8365, -0.8442, -0.844, -0.8367, -0.8422, -0.8389, -0.8365, -0.8432, -0.8381, -0.8409, -0.8387, -0.8336, -0.7963, -0.7914, -0.7902, -0.7841, -0.7862, -0.7837, -0.787, -0.7886, -0.7866, -0.7397, -0.7515, -0.6737, -0.5927, -0.613, -0.4786, -0.4705, -0.4532, -0.5631, -0.5996, -0.6114, -0.5377, -0.5051, -0.5377, -0.5265, -0.5295, -0.5601, -0.4796, -0.5346, -0.5193, -0.5214, -0.4796, -0.3992, -0.4582, -0.501, -0.5295, -0.5031, -0.4888, -0.5193, -0.5193, -0.5193, -0.4807, -0.4155, -0.389, -0.2464, 0.0, -0.0265, 0.0998, 0.1935, 0.0611, 0.1935, 0.2831, 0.2749, 0.0132, -0.0305, 0.0061, -0.1802, -0.1772, -0.1191, -0.1619, -0.1619, 0.0183, -0.0927, -0.0703, -0.0407, 0.11, -0.0397, 0.0285, 0.0102, -0.0631, -0.2037, -0.3483, -0.2352, -0.1884, -0.0682, -0.0682, 0.0998, 0.0326, -0.0295, -0.0326, -0.0326, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2044548741903094171", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-15T22:49:40+00:00", "symbol": "IONQ", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the machine sellers benefit from the entire R&D capex cycle today and you don't need to pick between $IONQ, $RGTI, $QBTS, $GOOGL or others winning", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish quantum sector; top pick ALRIB as machine/equipment supplier benefiting from R&D capex; IONQ/RGTI/QBTS also benefit regardless of which platform wins.", "resolved_tickers": ["IONQ"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$ALRIB is my favorite for that sector, especially now that markets found out $MSFT Quantum buys from them.\n\nIt's still a bit early, but the machine sellers benefit from the entire R&D capex cycle today and you don't need to pick between $IONQ, $RGTI, $QBTS, $GOOGL or others winning.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What do you think of the recent quantum sector ramp? And which is your favourite?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ShitcoinMaxi_", "ret_m1d": -0.17317922955992593, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.17317922955992593, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1653500149849113, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.15747729634347174, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00782921457501462, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01570193321645419, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03306359087111632, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03306359087111632, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030606279248512003, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02161980387324891, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002457311622604319, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011443786997867411, "ret_p1w": 0.09502891584627893, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09502891584627893, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0789275078799676, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04319928758306313, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01610140796631132, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0518296282632158, "ret_p1m": 0.32878615539197975, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.32878615539197975, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2598802773159692, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.13450806919535618, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06890587807601056, "bench_c_p1m": 0.19427808619662357, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1746, 0.1746, 0.1713, 0.1175, 0.1406, 0.0925, 0.0028, 0.0518, 0.059, -0.0002, -0.0756, -0.1084, -0.1105, -0.1829, -0.2964, -0.191, -0.1797, -0.1864, -0.2229, -0.2763, -0.2113, -0.2113, -0.2328, -0.2291, -0.2271, -0.2624, -0.2883, -0.2689, -0.2234, -0.0548, -0.1128, -0.1135, -0.1434, -0.1415, -0.1672, -0.1739, -0.1706, -0.188, -0.2076, -0.2363, -0.2375, -0.2303, -0.2298, -0.2513, -0.2624, -0.2786, -0.2345, -0.2439, -0.261, -0.3101, -0.3639, -0.3852, -0.3334, -0.3575, -0.3225, -0.3225, -0.3239, -0.3413, -0.3297, -0.3508, -0.3343, -0.3119, -0.1732, 0.0, 0.0331, 0.0657, 0.1172, 0.0701, 0.095, 0.0088, -0.0129, 0.0136, -0.0039, -0.0264, 0.0432, 0.0682, 0.0578, 0.1098, 0.2155, 0.1024, 0.1385, 0.3154, 0.2918, 0.2777, 0.3288, 0.2012, 0.1401, 0.12, 0.2132, 0.3616, 0.4714, 0.4714, 0.471, 0.5121, 0.6217, 0.6664, 0.6664, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2044548741903094171", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-04-15T22:49:40+00:00", "symbol": "RGTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the machine sellers benefit from the entire R&D capex cycle today and you don't need to pick between $IONQ, $RGTI, $QBTS, $GOOGL or others winning", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish quantum sector; top pick ALRIB as machine/equipment supplier benefiting from R&D capex; IONQ/RGTI/QBTS also benefit regardless of which platform wins.", "resolved_tickers": ["RGTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$ALRIB is my favorite for that sector, especially now that markets found out $MSFT Quantum buys from them.\n\nIt's still a bit early, but the machine sellers benefit from the entire R&D capex cycle today and you don't need to pick between $IONQ, $RGTI, $QBTS, $GOOGL or others winning.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What do you think of the recent quantum sector ramp? And which is your favourite?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ShitcoinMaxi_", "ret_m1d": -0.11721610149529738, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11721610149529738, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.10938688692028276, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.10151416827884319, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00782921457501462, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01570193321645419, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.017791739493912884, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.017791739493912884, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.015334427871308565, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0063479524960454725, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002457311622604319, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011443786997867411, "ret_p1w": -0.0381999699774751, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0381999699774751, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05430137794378642, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0900295982406909, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01610140796631132, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0518296282632158, "ret_p1m": 0.008372571549026597, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.008372571549026597, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.060533306526983965, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.18590551464759697, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06890587807601056, "bench_c_p1m": 0.19427808619662357, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3407, 0.3407, 0.3077, 0.2386, 0.3061, 0.2271, 0.1387, 0.1675, 0.1518, 0.0387, -0.0492, -0.0733, -0.0471, -0.1005, -0.2164, -0.0733, -0.0795, -0.112, -0.1402, -0.2156, -0.158, -0.158, -0.1842, -0.1533, -0.1313, -0.1669, -0.1617, -0.1376, -0.0774, -0.0246, -0.0884, -0.0743, -0.1125, -0.0706, -0.112, -0.1099, -0.079, -0.1109, -0.1136, -0.1591, -0.1538, -0.1554, -0.1512, -0.18, -0.1936, -0.2214, -0.169, -0.1837, -0.2077, -0.2459, -0.303, -0.325, -0.2653, -0.2936, -0.2575, -0.2575, -0.2569, -0.2758, -0.2397, -0.2512, -0.2318, -0.2083, -0.1172, 0.0, 0.0178, 0.0366, 0.0277, -0.045, -0.0382, -0.1177, -0.1308, -0.1151, -0.1423, -0.1586, -0.0869, -0.0842, -0.0738, -0.044, 0.0513, -0.0403, -0.0089, 0.0733, -0.0021, -0.0364, 0.0084, -0.0659, -0.1303, -0.1648, -0.1167, 0.1533, 0.3825, 0.3825, 0.3116, 0.2883, 0.4144, 0.3365, 0.3365, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2044548741903094171", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-04-15T22:49:40+00:00", "symbol": "QBTS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the machine sellers benefit from the entire R&D capex cycle today and you don't need to pick between $IONQ, $RGTI, $QBTS, $GOOGL or others winning", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish quantum sector; top pick ALRIB as machine/equipment supplier benefiting from R&D capex; IONQ/RGTI/QBTS also benefit regardless of which platform wins.", "resolved_tickers": ["QBTS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$ALRIB is my favorite for that sector, especially now that markets found out $MSFT Quantum buys from them.\n\nIt's still a bit early, but the machine sellers benefit from the entire R&D capex cycle today and you don't need to pick between $IONQ, $RGTI, $QBTS, $GOOGL or others winning.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What do you think of the recent quantum sector ramp? And which is your favourite?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ShitcoinMaxi_", "ret_m1d": -0.18452668193828792, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.18452668193828792, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1766974673632733, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.16882474872183373, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00782921457501462, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01570193321645419, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03411826093428183, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03411826093428183, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03166094931167751, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02267447393641442, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002457311622604319, "bench_c_p1d": 0.011443786997867411, "ret_p1w": 0.0206631579149974, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0206631579149974, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.004561749948686078, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0311664703482184, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01610140796631132, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0518296282632158, "ret_p1m": 0.06343102973090065, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06343102973090065, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.005474848345109917, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.13084705646572292, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06890587807601056, "bench_c_p1m": 0.19427808619662357, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3854, 0.3854, 0.2994, 0.2513, 0.3181, 0.2316, 0.1413, 0.1864, 0.1999, 0.1158, 0.0197, 0.0077, 0.0284, -0.0336, -0.173, -0.0043, 0.0192, -0.0178, -0.0562, -0.0956, -0.0548, -0.0548, -0.1139, -0.0836, -0.0687, -0.1321, -0.1326, -0.1033, -0.0557, -0.0322, -0.0975, -0.0899, -0.1235, -0.0913, -0.0951, -0.1067, -0.0851, -0.0985, -0.0913, -0.1432, -0.1567, -0.161, -0.1605, -0.2076, -0.2263, -0.2441, -0.2162, -0.2345, -0.222, -0.296, -0.3321, -0.3763, -0.3066, -0.3417, -0.3119, -0.3119, -0.3205, -0.3397, -0.2999, -0.3335, -0.3152, -0.296, -0.1845, 0.0, 0.0341, 0.0423, 0.0408, -0.0216, 0.0207, -0.0721, -0.1115, -0.0966, -0.1297, -0.1221, -0.0255, -0.0154, 0.0053, 0.0351, 0.1451, 0.0567, 0.0846, 0.1547, 0.074, 0.0303, 0.0634, -0.0221, -0.0841, -0.1259, -0.0726, 0.2369, 0.4128, 0.4128, 0.3369, 0.3205, 0.4171, 0.4483, 0.4483, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2041640861952569681", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-07T22:14:47+00:00", "symbol": "AEHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bullish on $AEHR", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on photonics names AEHR, LITE, AAOI, and SIVE; favors laser exposure.", "resolved_tickers": ["AEHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@peedgdev Bullish on $AEHR, but not my #1 pick. \n\nI'm actually a fan of $LITE and $AAOI in the photonics space the most. Then highest upside is $SIVE. \n\nI like laser exposure the most.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Is AEHR your most bullish pick?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "peedgdev", "ret_m1d": 0.038009947212181316, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.038009947212181316, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.038449827738000986, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.047812355239151505, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0004398805258196692, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009802408026970189, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.25691541984899713, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.25691541984899713, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.23144586521066945, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.19935097903230425, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.025469554638327674, "bench_c_p1d": 0.057564440816692874, "ret_p1w": 0.4801989503167754, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.4801989503167754, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.4267417541824652, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.34991636242305835, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.053457196134310214, "bench_c_p1w": 0.13028258789371705, "ret_p1m": 0.9249751911827582, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.9249751911827582, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.8117959039910496, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5502314598589402, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.11317928719170856, "bench_c_p1m": 0.374743731323818, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5483, -0.4762, -0.4756, -0.4665, -0.4832, -0.472, -0.4267, -0.4267, -0.4217, -0.4189, -0.3849, -0.442, -0.4671, -0.4478, -0.4432, -0.4651, -0.4898, -0.4814, -0.4589, -0.5258, -0.5423, -0.4748, -0.4509, -0.4661, -0.3264, -0.445, -0.4261, -0.4261, -0.433, -0.4227, -0.3976, -0.3313, -0.317, -0.2193, -0.1745, -0.208, -0.2551, -0.1238, -0.1713, -0.151, -0.1942, -0.2913, -0.1865, -0.165, -0.1552, -0.2507, -0.2901, -0.2541, -0.2619, -0.2774, -0.2486, -0.313, -0.2607, -0.2201, -0.2233, -0.312, -0.3528, -0.4006, -0.2621, -0.2119, -0.118, -0.118, 0.038, 0.0, 0.2569, 0.3703, 0.4016, 0.4261, 0.4802, 0.4571, 0.609, 0.6689, 0.794, 0.8651, 0.9375, 0.9007, 0.9087, 0.7608, 0.6404, 0.6281, 0.8022, 0.8521, 0.7037, 0.8147, 0.925, 0.8161, 0.9349, 1.0808, 0.9248, 1.0547, 1.1162, 0.9801, 0.6631, 0.6147, 0.6386, 0.8169, 0.8909, 0.8909, 1.1875, 1.0661, 0.9899, 0.8374, 0.8374, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2041640861952569681", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-07T22:14:47+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm actually a fan of $LITE and $AAOI in the photonics space the most", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on photonics names AEHR, LITE, AAOI, and SIVE; favors laser exposure.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@peedgdev Bullish on $AEHR, but not my #1 pick. \n\nI'm actually a fan of $LITE and $AAOI in the photonics space the most. Then highest upside is $SIVE. \n\nI like laser exposure the most.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Is AEHR your most bullish pick?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "peedgdev", "ret_m1d": -0.05328834900781487, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05328834900781487, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0528484684819952, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0528484684819952, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0004398805258196692, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0004398805258196692, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09840026911584432, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09840026911584432, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07293071447751664, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07293071447751664, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.025469554638327674, "bench_c_p1d": 0.025469554638327674, "ret_p1w": 0.045406041100023, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.045406041100023, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.008051155034287216, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.008051155034287216, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.053457196134310214, "bench_c_p1w": 0.053457196134310214, "ret_p1m": 0.15756056303631638, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.15756056303631638, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.044381275844607826, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.044381275844607826, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.11317928719170856, "bench_c_p1m": 0.11317928719170856, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5731, -0.5692, -0.5834, -0.5571, -0.5935, -0.5792, -0.6025, -0.6025, -0.5626, -0.5557, -0.5654, -0.5842, -0.5925, -0.5456, -0.528, -0.5324, -0.5197, -0.4809, -0.4666, -0.4293, -0.3816, -0.3233, -0.2925, -0.3121, -0.2962, -0.2848, -0.3102, -0.3102, -0.264, -0.2715, -0.2208, -0.1814, -0.1729, -0.1563, -0.1132, -0.1701, -0.1408, -0.0398, -0.1487, -0.1654, -0.2022, -0.3154, -0.2146, -0.1762, -0.1762, -0.2448, -0.2369, -0.234, -0.2037, -0.1409, -0.0535, -0.1341, -0.1064, -0.0169, -0.0473, -0.1556, -0.1385, -0.1973, -0.1385, -0.0626, 0.0136, 0.0136, -0.0533, 0.0, 0.0984, 0.0961, 0.1, 0.0679, 0.0454, 0.0101, 0.0925, 0.096, 0.0973, 0.026, 0.0709, 0.0382, 0.0808, 0.0539, -0.0299, 0.0522, 0.1061, 0.1645, 0.1967, 0.2192, 0.1576, 0.0942, 0.1079, 0.2909, 0.2165, 0.2631, 0.2281, 0.1899, 0.0849, 0.0911, 0.0641, 0.1823, 0.1608, 0.1608, 0.1165, 0.1061, 0.055, 0.0481, 0.0481, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2041640861952569681", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-04-07T22:14:47+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm actually a fan of $LITE and $AAOI in the photonics space the most", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on photonics names AEHR, LITE, AAOI, and SIVE; favors laser exposure.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@peedgdev Bullish on $AEHR, but not my #1 pick. \n\nI'm actually a fan of $LITE and $AAOI in the photonics space the most. Then highest upside is $SIVE. \n\nI like laser exposure the most.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Is AEHR your most bullish pick?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "peedgdev", "ret_m1d": -0.08662021841444267, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08662021841444267, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.086180337888623, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.086180337888623, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0004398805258196692, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0004398805258196692, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1280176609718593, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1280176609718593, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10254810633353162, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10254810633353162, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.025469554638327674, "bench_c_p1d": 0.025469554638327674, "ret_p1w": 0.24438966464776968, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.24438966464776968, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.19093246851345946, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.19093246851345946, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.053457196134310214, "bench_c_p1w": 0.053457196134310214, "ret_p1m": 0.5176810116665402, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5176810116665402, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4045017244748317, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4045017244748317, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.11317928719170856, "bench_c_p1m": 0.11317928719170856, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7194, -0.7106, -0.7134, -0.7095, -0.707, -0.6855, -0.6851, -0.6851, -0.6663, -0.6738, -0.6757, -0.6964, -0.7034, -0.6822, -0.6155, -0.6636, -0.6293, -0.6246, -0.608, -0.6608, -0.6759, -0.6234, -0.5927, -0.5878, -0.5886, -0.6261, -0.6221, -0.6221, -0.6267, -0.6307, -0.6006, -0.5607, -0.5413, -0.5217, -0.506, -0.5436, -0.284, -0.1286, -0.1896, -0.1524, -0.1403, -0.1875, -0.0597, 0.0242, 0.0796, -0.0973, -0.1771, -0.2004, -0.2662, -0.2126, -0.1336, -0.2559, -0.186, -0.0318, -0.0275, -0.1719, -0.1652, -0.2758, -0.2809, -0.266, -0.1167, -0.1167, -0.0866, 0.0, 0.128, 0.1331, 0.2802, 0.3022, 0.2444, 0.2117, 0.3373, 0.3552, 0.3896, 0.2799, 0.2701, 0.1708, 0.3785, 0.2392, 0.1668, 0.2991, 0.3971, 0.5599, 0.4704, 0.5349, 0.5177, 0.3393, 0.2661, 0.5717, 0.6005, 0.8965, 0.7304, 0.6182, 0.4728, 0.4564, 0.4048, 0.503, 0.5428, 0.5428, 0.5099, 0.5286, 0.4368, 0.3466, 0.3466, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2059079948980363774", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-26T01:11:30+00:00", "symbol": "6451.TW", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Glad to see Shunsin (6451) start picking up steam from my TW longs", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long 5 Taiwan CPO photonics stocks: Win Semi, Shunsin, Foci, MSSCorp, Nextronics; expects Nextronics to 3x and others to gain attention post-Computex/NVDA event.", "resolved_tickers": ["6451.TW"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TW')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Win Semi (3105) is almost never mentioned in photonics analyst reports. \n\nBut they’ll probably show up as an important bottleneck for scaling lasers next year.\n\nGlad to see Shunsin (6451) start picking up steam from my TW longs.\n\nFoci (3363), MSSCorp (6830) should start getting some attention too imo after Computex / $NVDA conference next month.\n\nNextronics (8147), I personally kinda expect to 3x down the road.. once disposition is over.\n\n5 of my favorite CPO exposure longs over in Taiwan, especially at current prices.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08860759493670889, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08860759493670889, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08201276682825542, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03671800140402137, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0065948281084534655, "bench_c_m1d": -0.05188959353268752, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04746835443037978, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04746835443037978, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04729515084631786, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05559447383526006, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0001732035840619206, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008126119404880283, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6693, -0.6693, -0.6764, -0.6717, -0.7041, -0.6915, -0.6994, -0.7294, -0.7271, -0.7002, -0.6899, -0.659, -0.625, -0.5878, -0.5585, -0.5696, -0.5657, -0.5562, -0.5411, -0.4953, -0.4747, -0.4225, -0.4802, -0.5316, -0.5174, -0.5324, -0.5324, -0.5324, -0.4858, -0.4343, -0.3782, -0.3165, -0.2484, -0.2468, -0.2785, -0.2184, -0.2009, -0.1978, -0.25, -0.2152, -0.2935, -0.3639, -0.3995, -0.3592, -0.371, -0.318, -0.318, -0.25, -0.1756, -0.2445, -0.2247, -0.3022, -0.2793, -0.2777, -0.2437, -0.1693, -0.087, -0.1772, -0.2342, -0.2318, -0.2104, -0.1709, -0.0886, 0.0, -0.0475, -0.0997, -0.0981, -0.0301, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2059079948980363774", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-05-26T01:11:30+00:00", "symbol": "6830.TW", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Foci (3363), MSSCorp (6830) should start getting some attention too imo after Computex / $NVDA conference next month", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long 5 Taiwan CPO photonics stocks: Win Semi, Shunsin, Foci, MSSCorp, Nextronics; expects Nextronics to 3x and others to gain attention post-Computex/NVDA event.", "resolved_tickers": ["6830.TW"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Win Semi (3105) is almost never mentioned in photonics analyst reports. \n\nBut they’ll probably show up as an important bottleneck for scaling lasers next year.\n\nGlad to see Shunsin (6451) start picking up steam from my TW longs.\n\nFoci (3363), MSSCorp (6830) should start getting some attention too imo after Computex / $NVDA conference next month.\n\nNextronics (8147), I personally kinda expect to 3x down the road.. once disposition is over.\n\n5 of my favorite CPO exposure longs over in Taiwan, especially at current prices.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.011568123393316254, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011568123393316254, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01816295150176972, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05444852777782461, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0065948281084534655, "bench_c_m1d": -0.04288040438450835, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07455012853470433, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07455012853470433, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07437692495064241, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06352276864015505, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0001732035840619206, "bench_c_p1d": -0.011027359894549282, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6342, -0.6342, -0.5977, -0.6015, -0.5778, -0.536, -0.4898, -0.504, -0.5162, -0.4956, -0.502, -0.5514, -0.5444, -0.5232, -0.5065, -0.4623, -0.4225, -0.4148, -0.4732, -0.4469, -0.3917, -0.4424, -0.4199, -0.4, -0.3403, -0.2749, -0.2749, -0.2749, -0.2274, -0.1504, -0.1671, -0.1003, -0.0103, 0.0283, 0.0193, 0.0347, 0.1375, 0.1131, 0.126, 0.144, 0.0321, -0.0707, -0.1632, -0.0797, -0.0064, 0.0925, 0.0925, 0.1889, 0.2532, 0.1285, 0.1234, 0.0116, -0.0308, 0.0026, -0.0411, -0.0656, -0.0553, -0.0527, -0.0848, -0.1208, -0.1093, -0.0797, 0.0116, 0.0, -0.0746, -0.1183, -0.1285, -0.1272, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2054706428431286655", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-13T23:32:41+00:00", "symbol": "AMZN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I actually think $AMZN for robotics is extremely underrated", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "AMZN underrated robotics play on opex/automation upside; TSLA among general-purpose humanoid winners over 5–10 years.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMZN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Dog_Ziller I actually think $AMZN for robotics is extremely underrated.\n\nSince since there’s immediate practical upside to lower opex + headcount for automation.\n\nBut for general purpose $TSLA, Unitree, Figure, Boston Dynamics, Agibot, Agility, and others should do well.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What are the robotics/humanoids that will pop off in the next 5-10years?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Dog_Ziller", "ret_m1d": -0.01595527146443254, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01595527146443254, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010391551594841952, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012333301276137187, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005563719869590589, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0036219701882953537, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010772604336833247, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010772604336833247, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.018666860605556, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010351419606007162, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007894256268722755, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0004211847308260852, "ret_p1w": -0.018953818623031693, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.018953818623031693, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.017525847071954592, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.012383748110255666, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0014279715510771007, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006570070512776027, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2641, -0.2641, -0.2554, -0.2419, -0.2416, -0.2222, -0.2401, -0.2279, -0.2202, -0.2303, -0.2226, -0.2286, -0.2273, -0.1973, -0.1895, -0.2107, -0.2097, -0.2066, -0.2128, -0.2243, -0.2312, -0.2162, -0.2033, -0.2231, -0.2272, -0.2397, -0.2221, -0.2328, -0.2163, -0.2317, -0.2621, -0.2561, -0.229, -0.2205, -0.2234, -0.2234, -0.2123, -0.2086, -0.1809, -0.135, -0.1175, -0.1119, -0.0781, -0.0801, -0.0756, -0.0724, -0.0809, -0.0749, -0.0547, -0.0557, -0.0227, -0.0334, -0.0386, -0.0262, -0.0188, -0.0069, 0.0071, 0.0127, 0.018, 0.0039, 0.0094, -0.0042, -0.016, 0.0, -0.0108, -0.0222, -0.0195, -0.0399, -0.019, -0.0062, -0.0141, -0.0141, -0.0179, 0.0064, 0.0143, 0.0019, 0.0019, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2054706428431286655", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-13T23:32:41+00:00", "symbol": "TSLA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "for general purpose $TSLA, Unitree, Figure, Boston Dynamics, Agibot, Agility, and others should do well", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "AMZN underrated robotics play on opex/automation upside; TSLA among general-purpose humanoid winners over 5–10 years.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSLA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Dog_Ziller I actually think $AMZN for robotics is extremely underrated.\n\nSince since there’s immediate practical upside to lower opex + headcount for automation.\n\nBut for general purpose $TSLA, Unitree, Figure, Boston Dynamics, Agibot, Agility, and others should do well.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What are the robotics/humanoids that will pop off in the next 5-10years?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Dog_Ziller", "ret_m1d": -0.026545639944931643, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.026545639944931643, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.020981920075341054, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.020981920075341054, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005563719869590589, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005563719869590589, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.004424284747029383, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.004424284747029383, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.012318541015752138, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012318541015752138, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007894256268722755, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007894256268722755, "ret_p1w": -0.06290560769678744, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06290560769678744, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.061477636145710335, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.061477636145710335, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0014279715510771007, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0014279715510771007, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0625, -0.0625, -0.0778, -0.0762, -0.0754, -0.0751, -0.1021, -0.0806, -0.0626, -0.0824, -0.096, -0.0942, -0.1187, -0.0883, -0.0892, -0.109, -0.1046, -0.1034, -0.0841, -0.1129, -0.1214, -0.1116, -0.1033, -0.1179, -0.1459, -0.1736, -0.1447, -0.1398, -0.1332, -0.1643, -0.1874, -0.2021, -0.1651, -0.1438, -0.1902, -0.1902, -0.2076, -0.2215, -0.2291, -0.2238, -0.2163, -0.2085, -0.1821, -0.1197, -0.1266, -0.1003, -0.1185, -0.1322, -0.1297, -0.1607, -0.1549, -0.1496, -0.1555, -0.1628, -0.1429, -0.1223, -0.1185, -0.1255, -0.1045, -0.0752, -0.038, -0.0006, -0.0265, 0.0, -0.0044, -0.0517, -0.0792, -0.0924, -0.0629, -0.0616, -0.0433, -0.0433, -0.0262, -0.011, -0.0071, -0.0213, -0.0213, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2049972466559353310", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-30T22:01:37+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$IREN is a horrendous long. I can't imagine anyone that cares about portfolio appreciation to buy into a $6B ATM while executives award themselves record high SBC", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish IREN: $6B dilution machine with record SBC and a power moat that no longer exists.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$IREN is a horrendous long. I can’t imagine anyone that cares about portfolio appreciation to buy into a $6B ATM while executives award themselves record high SBC.\n\nPeople are just buying in to get diluted because of a promise of secured power (which is no longer a moat, it was last year)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit wait so u don't like $IREN", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "CookerFlips", "ret_m1d": -0.05822891252289464, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05822891252289464, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04837730492088943, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.054200466429146776, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009851607602005208, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004028446093747862, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0032960125557273123, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0032960125557273123, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0005268987273563397, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007324458649475174, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027691138283709726, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004028446093747862, "ret_p1w": 0.24917601781633847, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.24917601781633847, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2311980526754942, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2603020837893054, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017977965140844265, "bench_c_p1w": -0.011126065972966948, "ret_p1m": 0.39617673607918347, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.39617673607918347, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.34355100383096104, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.4067272679378323, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05262573224822242, "bench_c_p1m": -0.010550531858648848, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1663, 0.1951, -0.0125, -0.1257, -0.0809, 0.0141, -0.0567, -0.0624, -0.1204, -0.0723, -0.0723, -0.0998, -0.0754, -0.0488, -0.1215, -0.0692, -0.0013, -0.0325, -0.0279, -0.1002, -0.0905, -0.1463, -0.0367, -0.1183, -0.1936, -0.1466, -0.1624, -0.0776, -0.091, -0.0864, -0.0125, -0.056, -0.0725, -0.0846, -0.0927, -0.0736, -0.0965, -0.0897, -0.1771, -0.229, -0.3052, -0.2468, -0.2509, -0.236, -0.236, -0.2281, -0.2147, -0.1907, -0.1857, -0.136, -0.0536, 0.0409, 0.0727, 0.0481, 0.0574, 0.0705, -0.0075, 0.0633, 0.143, 0.1127, 0.0626, -0.0235, -0.0582, 0.0, 0.0033, 0.0872, 0.2028, 0.3399, 0.2492, 0.3448, 0.2118, 0.2428, 0.2123, 0.2832, 0.1633, 0.1088, 0.049, 0.1582, 0.2758, 0.2487, 0.2487, 0.3136, 0.4907, 0.4074, 0.3962, 0.3962, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2037896456179438049", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-28T14:15:52+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Nebius is the clear winner... they're doing as much as they can right... $NVDA funding $2B to fund capex... ~$46B+ in backlog from $META and $MSFT", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long NBIS as clear Neocloud winner on superior financing + $46B backlog; short CRWV on crippling $1.5B+ annual debt interest; cautious on IREN due to dilution risk via ATM.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My thoughts on $NBIS, $IREN, $CRWV and the current Neocloud market. \n\nOne of them ends up as the next AWS in 5 years:\n\nMy guess it’s Nebius. \n\nIt's not winner takes all (DigitalOcean is there with Amazon), but there's clearly superior structures and likely winners.\n\nThe downside:\n\n-> Low chance of rate cuts from Iran conflict. \n\n->Broader market doesn't appear to want to fund the CapEx cycle. But want to reap the benefits\n\nWith $IREN:\n\nWe get it, 4.5GW = X revenue. But who is funding the GPUs? \n\nWhoever is buying into the $6,000,000,000 ATM right now. \n\nThe winners will be whoever enters after holders get fully diluted. \n\nThe reality is, they don't have enough funding to monetize their capacity through GPUs without colo models. \n\nAnd they didn't find other financing methods, so they went through ATMs because of a cult community that will buy into anything they sell.\n\nHowever, I agree it will be accretive long term. Just not as much for the retail buying in now. \n\nWith $CRWV:\n\nThey did everything right... $NVDA backing. Hyperscaler clients... \n\nBut they financed completely wrong. Now, $1.5B+ yearly debt interest is eating Coreweave alive and cuts into FCF. \n\nAlmost like credit card debt, Coreweave gets a job to pay off that debt, but eventually, the debt interest is too high that working doesn't really cover that and expansion too. \n\nIf any company goes down, $CRWV is the first to go the massive debt load and interest. \n\nWith $NBIS:\n\nThey're doing as much as they can right... $NVDA funding $2B to fund capex. \n\nConvertible note offerings (convertible note short hedging is annoying for short term price appreciation).\n\nBut this is the best way to do financing structures with much lower interest than Coreweave.\n\nThey now have ~$46B+ in backlog from $META and $MSFT, two of the most profitable hyperscalers out there, without direct OpenAI linked contagion like Coreweave. \n\nAnd unlike others; there’s appreciation from their other companies (Clickhouse equity appreciation: avride robotaxi scale up; toloka triple digit growth)\n\nFrom my take: Nebius is the clear winner.\n\nHowever, current macro environments does not favor short term holders across the board with indexes dropping 7%.\n\nEspecially so if they're buying into active ATMs.\n\nLong term, the benefits when they scale up eg. $NBIS Q4 2026 (yes, even $IREN), will be immense.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.09278124171246072, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.09278124171246072, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08942656308748598, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.10130289951856597, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008521657806105254, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.12464773177675825, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.12464773177675825, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09557980607784344, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09778591674830661, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02686181502845164, "ret_p1w": 0.2198135520238942, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2198135520238942, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.17715326241763218, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.18461530189437614, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03519825012951805, "ret_p1m": 0.46878377811809324, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.46878377811809324, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3426384936363238, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.39662741482068253, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07215636329741071, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0927, -0.0927, -0.025, 0.0062, 0.0865, 0.0428, 0.0546, 0.0615, 0.1633, 0.1427, 0.1054, 0.126, 0.1785, 0.1785, 0.0762, 0.0716, 0.0498, 0.0243, -0.0087, 0.0608, 0.0886, 0.0287, -0.0766, -0.0444, -0.025, -0.107, -0.1993, -0.0668, 0.0067, -0.0051, -0.0396, -0.0274, 0.0623, 0.0623, 0.057, 0.1034, 0.1664, 0.0613, 0.0905, 0.1119, 0.1502, 0.1368, -0.0116, -0.0135, -0.0592, 0.0598, 0.0367, -0.0318, 0.029, 0.0452, 0.2139, 0.171, 0.2243, 0.4074, 0.2609, 0.2851, 0.3171, 0.2749, 0.2373, 0.2455, 0.2475, 0.1486, 0.0928, 0.0, 0.1246, 0.105, 0.1795, 0.1795, 0.2198, 0.2725, 0.3549, 0.4777, 0.5713, 0.6753, 0.7553, 0.8076, 0.7921, 0.7032, 0.7251, 0.6968, 0.6924, 0.7026, 0.5951, 0.5712, 0.4688, 0.5303, 0.4983, 0.6745, 0.9122, 0.9068, 1.1146, 1.0027, 0.919, 1.0171, 0.9414, 1.2466, 1.397, 1.3839, 1.1663, 1.1432, 1.0791, 1.3838, 1.3279, 1.3279, 1.2551, 1.2585, 1.4533, 1.5048, 1.5048, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2037896456179438049", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-28T14:15:52+00:00", "symbol": "CRWV", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If any company goes down, $CRWV is the first to go the massive debt load and interest", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long NBIS as clear Neocloud winner on superior financing + $46B backlog; short CRWV on crippling $1.5B+ annual debt interest; cautious on IREN due to dilution risk via ATM.", "resolved_tickers": ["CRWV"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My thoughts on $NBIS, $IREN, $CRWV and the current Neocloud market. \n\nOne of them ends up as the next AWS in 5 years:\n\nMy guess it’s Nebius. \n\nIt's not winner takes all (DigitalOcean is there with Amazon), but there's clearly superior structures and likely winners.\n\nThe downside:\n\n-> Low chance of rate cuts from Iran conflict. \n\n->Broader market doesn't appear to want to fund the CapEx cycle. But want to reap the benefits\n\nWith $IREN:\n\nWe get it, 4.5GW = X revenue. But who is funding the GPUs? \n\nWhoever is buying into the $6,000,000,000 ATM right now. \n\nThe winners will be whoever enters after holders get fully diluted. \n\nThe reality is, they don't have enough funding to monetize their capacity through GPUs without colo models. \n\nAnd they didn't find other financing methods, so they went through ATMs because of a cult community that will buy into anything they sell.\n\nHowever, I agree it will be accretive long term. Just not as much for the retail buying in now. \n\nWith $CRWV:\n\nThey did everything right... $NVDA backing. Hyperscaler clients... \n\nBut they financed completely wrong. Now, $1.5B+ yearly debt interest is eating Coreweave alive and cuts into FCF. \n\nAlmost like credit card debt, Coreweave gets a job to pay off that debt, but eventually, the debt interest is too high that working doesn't really cover that and expansion too. \n\nIf any company goes down, $CRWV is the first to go the massive debt load and interest. \n\nWith $NBIS:\n\nThey're doing as much as they can right... $NVDA funding $2B to fund capex. \n\nConvertible note offerings (convertible note short hedging is annoying for short term price appreciation).\n\nBut this is the best way to do financing structures with much lower interest than Coreweave.\n\nThey now have ~$46B+ in backlog from $META and $MSFT, two of the most profitable hyperscalers out there, without direct OpenAI linked contagion like Coreweave. \n\nAnd unlike others; there’s appreciation from their other companies (Clickhouse equity appreciation: avride robotaxi scale up; toloka triple digit growth)\n\nFrom my take: Nebius is the clear winner.\n\nHowever, current macro environments does not favor short term holders across the board with indexes dropping 7%.\n\nEspecially so if they're buying into active ATMs.\n\nLong term, the benefits when they scale up eg. $NBIS Q4 2026 (yes, even $IREN), will be immense.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.08185098926710266, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08185098926710266, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07849631064212792, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07849631064212792, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.120318141883345, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.120318141883345, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.09125021618443019, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.09125021618443019, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "ret_p1w": 0.1704989248787654, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1704989248787654, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1278386352725034, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1278386352725034, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "bench_c_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "ret_p1m": 0.5261026240151709, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.5261026240151709, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.3999573395334015, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.3999573395334015, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0356, 0.0356, 0.1471, 0.1115, 0.1271, 0.1161, 0.1148, 0.1589, 0.3005, 0.2651, 0.2986, 0.374, 0.4639, 0.4639, 0.377, 0.3601, 0.3274, 0.3446, 0.4217, 0.5743, 0.5332, 0.4393, 0.3477, 0.2862, 0.3024, 0.1925, 0.0795, 0.3008, 0.3997, 0.3754, 0.376, 0.3839, 0.3889, 0.3889, 0.316, 0.3803, 0.4048, 0.2907, 0.3137, 0.436, 0.4174, 0.4119, 0.1505, 0.1287, 0.067, 0.1497, 0.082, 0.0555, 0.0761, 0.0834, 0.1852, 0.1549, 0.173, 0.2416, 0.1876, 0.1977, 0.1664, 0.1782, 0.1852, 0.2006, 0.2665, 0.1634, 0.0819, 0.0, 0.1203, 0.1343, 0.1893, 0.1893, 0.1705, 0.2327, 0.2856, 0.3304, 0.4751, 0.5946, 0.6949, 0.7164, 0.729, 0.6898, 0.6982, 0.6654, 0.7721, 0.698, 0.5928, 0.6205, 0.5261, 0.6513, 0.6139, 0.721, 0.8139, 0.8495, 0.9954, 0.8632, 0.6508, 0.6587, 0.5582, 0.6097, 0.6517, 0.5517, 0.5007, 0.4434, 0.4646, 0.5557, 0.5255, 0.5255, 0.5313, 0.5079, 0.5453, 0.5839, 0.5839, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2037896456179438049", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-28T14:15:52+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The winners will be whoever enters after holders get fully diluted... they don't have enough funding to monetize their capacity through GPUs without colo models", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long NBIS as clear Neocloud winner on superior financing + $46B backlog; short CRWV on crippling $1.5B+ annual debt interest; cautious on IREN due to dilution risk via ATM.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My thoughts on $NBIS, $IREN, $CRWV and the current Neocloud market. \n\nOne of them ends up as the next AWS in 5 years:\n\nMy guess it’s Nebius. \n\nIt's not winner takes all (DigitalOcean is there with Amazon), but there's clearly superior structures and likely winners.\n\nThe downside:\n\n-> Low chance of rate cuts from Iran conflict. \n\n->Broader market doesn't appear to want to fund the CapEx cycle. But want to reap the benefits\n\nWith $IREN:\n\nWe get it, 4.5GW = X revenue. But who is funding the GPUs? \n\nWhoever is buying into the $6,000,000,000 ATM right now. \n\nThe winners will be whoever enters after holders get fully diluted. \n\nThe reality is, they don't have enough funding to monetize their capacity through GPUs without colo models. \n\nAnd they didn't find other financing methods, so they went through ATMs because of a cult community that will buy into anything they sell.\n\nHowever, I agree it will be accretive long term. Just not as much for the retail buying in now. \n\nWith $CRWV:\n\nThey did everything right... $NVDA backing. Hyperscaler clients... \n\nBut they financed completely wrong. Now, $1.5B+ yearly debt interest is eating Coreweave alive and cuts into FCF. \n\nAlmost like credit card debt, Coreweave gets a job to pay off that debt, but eventually, the debt interest is too high that working doesn't really cover that and expansion too. \n\nIf any company goes down, $CRWV is the first to go the massive debt load and interest. \n\nWith $NBIS:\n\nThey're doing as much as they can right... $NVDA funding $2B to fund capex. \n\nConvertible note offerings (convertible note short hedging is annoying for short term price appreciation).\n\nBut this is the best way to do financing structures with much lower interest than Coreweave.\n\nThey now have ~$46B+ in backlog from $META and $MSFT, two of the most profitable hyperscalers out there, without direct OpenAI linked contagion like Coreweave. \n\nAnd unlike others; there’s appreciation from their other companies (Clickhouse equity appreciation: avride robotaxi scale up; toloka triple digit growth)\n\nFrom my take: Nebius is the clear winner.\n\nHowever, current macro environments does not favor short term holders across the board with indexes dropping 7%.\n\nEspecially so if they're buying into active ATMs.\n\nLong term, the benefits when they scale up eg. $NBIS Q4 2026 (yes, even $IREN), will be immense.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.10974064583353815, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10974064583353815, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.10638596720856341, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1211136654803332, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011373019646795046, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08412390479012921, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08412390479012921, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0550559790912144, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06323891081192379, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "bench_c_p1d": 0.020884993978205424, "ret_p1w": 0.11100569689190842, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11100569689190842, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06834540728564642, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07957475316610729, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03143094372580113, "ret_p1m": 0.40543951445974713, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.40543951445974713, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2792942299779777, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.33327247931247106, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07216703514727607, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1945, 0.1945, 0.3504, 0.5256, 0.4519, 0.3797, 0.4447, 0.4557, 0.5917, 0.6758, 0.6724, 0.641, 0.8286, 0.8286, 0.716, 0.6913, 0.6528, 0.7925, 0.6559, 0.8972, 0.9905, 0.8925, 0.6996, 0.6787, 0.7201, 0.4213, 0.2584, 0.3229, 0.4595, 0.3577, 0.3495, 0.266, 0.3352, 0.3352, 0.2957, 0.3308, 0.3691, 0.2644, 0.3397, 0.4374, 0.3925, 0.3991, 0.2951, 0.309, 0.2287, 0.3865, 0.269, 0.1607, 0.2283, 0.2056, 0.3276, 0.3083, 0.315, 0.4213, 0.3586, 0.3349, 0.3175, 0.3058, 0.3333, 0.3004, 0.3102, 0.1844, 0.1097, 0.0, 0.0841, 0.0781, 0.0996, 0.0996, 0.111, 0.1303, 0.1648, 0.172, 0.2435, 0.3621, 0.4981, 0.544, 0.5085, 0.5218, 0.5408, 0.4285, 0.5304, 0.6452, 0.6015, 0.5294, 0.4054, 0.3555, 0.4393, 0.444, 0.5648, 0.7312, 0.9285, 0.7979, 0.9355, 0.7441, 0.7887, 0.7448, 0.8469, 0.6743, 0.5958, 0.5098, 0.667, 0.8362, 0.7973, 0.7973, 0.8906, 1.1455, 1.0256, 1.0095, 1.0095, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2047688270231027947", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-24T14:45:02+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I see names like AAOI continuing to grow as optical transceiver + Made in America supply chains grow", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AAOI on continued growth from optical transceiver demand and Made in America supply chain tailwinds.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Who thought it was a good idea to give Tangerine Peel inspired companies the funds…\n\nTo short the fastest growing names in photonics and memory?\n\n$SNDK and $AAOI have been on a hyperbolic run. \n\nAnd I see names like AAOI continuing to grow as optical transceiver + Made in America supply chains grow.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.1507060659638484, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1507060659638484, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.14301635784327626, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.14301635784327626, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007689708120572125, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007689708120572125, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.10106677914970241, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.10106677914970241, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.10278958563840446, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.10278958563840446, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0017228064887020444, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0017228064887020444, "ret_p1w": 0.1315902853723847, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1315902853723847, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1221917057302433, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1221917057302433, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009398579642141414, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009398579642141414, "ret_p1m": 0.11913428835395057, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11913428835395057, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07473278108635228, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07473278108635228, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.044401507267598284, "bench_c_p1m": 0.044401507267598284, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7694, -0.7211, -0.756, -0.7311, -0.7277, -0.7156, -0.754, -0.7649, -0.7268, -0.7046, -0.701, -0.7015, -0.7287, -0.7258, -0.7258, -0.7292, -0.7321, -0.7103, -0.6813, -0.6673, -0.653, -0.6416, -0.6689, -0.4806, -0.3679, -0.4121, -0.3852, -0.3763, -0.4106, -0.3179, -0.257, -0.2168, -0.3452, -0.403, -0.4199, -0.4677, -0.4288, -0.3715, -0.4602, -0.4095, -0.2977, -0.2945, -0.3993, -0.3944, -0.4747, -0.4784, -0.4675, -0.3593, -0.3593, -0.3374, -0.2746, -0.1817, -0.178, -0.0713, -0.0554, -0.0973, -0.121, -0.0299, -0.017, 0.008, -0.0715, -0.0786, -0.1507, 0.0, -0.1011, -0.1536, -0.0576, 0.0135, 0.1316, 0.0667, 0.1135, 0.1009, -0.0285, -0.0816, 0.1402, 0.161, 0.3757, 0.2553, 0.1738, 0.0684, 0.0565, 0.0191, 0.0903, 0.1191, 0.1191, 0.0953, 0.1089, 0.0422, -0.0232, -0.0232, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2044682729128874210", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-16T07:42:05+00:00", "symbol": "IQE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Probably expect them all to compound another triple digits from here, even after all their rallies", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Expects IQE, AXTI, SIVE and related photonic supply chain names to compound another triple-digits as institutional capital pours in; SIVE especially highlighted on upcoming Nasdaq listing.", "resolved_tickers": ["IQE.L"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "IQE plc LSE-listed epiwafer supplier", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My $IQE call… might actually outperform my legendary $AXTI thesis soon?\n\nIt’s only been 2 months:\n\nNow it's up over +316% after institutions started publicly buying… and keeps going up.\n\nFun time for critical chokepoints like $ALRIB, $SIVE, and $SOI recently in Europe.\n\nProbably expect them all to compound another triple digits from here, even after all their rallies.\n\nRetail is just extremely early for the first time. \n\nSo, expect a lot of institutional capital to pour into these critical supply chains companies soon, especially $SIVE after Nasdaq listing.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@ravietweet Not exactly! I'm just a tad more familiar with photonic supply chains than I am with energy so I like picking potential winners.\n\nJust wanted to introduce $IQE into the equation like i did with $AXTI, so I could do a \"Did you Listen Anon?\" post 3 months later if it turns out https://t.co/yGoVCwTr9p", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0784982695204769, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0784982695204769, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07604698147647337, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07454051261352612, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002451288044003519, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003957756906950771, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.11092150459475736, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.11092150459475736, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.12300718972498137, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.1315020149737538, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.012085685130224011, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02058051037899644, "ret_p1w": -0.15102386867858753, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.15102386867858753, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.16070097628395652, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.21050060358751732, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009677107605368995, "bench_c_p1w": 0.059476734908929796, "ret_p1m": -0.21501704440633218, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.21501704440633218, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.26847600059777865, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.4382801090234809, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05345895619144647, "bench_c_p1m": 0.22326306461714873, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.8476, -0.8671, -0.8696, -0.8669, -0.863, -0.8695, -0.8693, -0.8631, -0.8677, -0.865, -0.863, -0.8686, -0.8643, -0.8667, -0.8648, -0.8606, -0.8294, -0.8253, -0.8242, -0.8191, -0.8208, -0.8188, -0.8215, -0.8229, -0.8212, -0.7819, -0.7918, -0.7266, -0.6587, -0.6758, -0.5631, -0.5563, -0.5418, -0.634, -0.6645, -0.6744, -0.6126, -0.5853, -0.6126, -0.6032, -0.6058, -0.6314, -0.564, -0.6101, -0.5973, -0.599, -0.564, -0.4966, -0.5461, -0.5819, -0.6058, -0.5836, -0.5717, -0.5973, -0.5973, -0.5973, -0.5648, -0.5102, -0.4881, -0.3686, -0.1621, -0.1843, -0.0785, 0.0, -0.1109, 0.0, 0.0751, 0.0683, -0.151, -0.1877, -0.157, -0.3131, -0.3106, -0.2619, -0.2978, -0.2978, -0.1468, -0.2398, -0.221, -0.1962, -0.07, -0.1954, -0.1382, -0.1536, -0.215, -0.3328, -0.4539, -0.3592, -0.32, -0.2193, -0.2193, -0.0785, -0.1348, -0.1869, -0.1894, -0.1894, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2044682729128874210", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-16T07:42:05+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My $IQE call… might actually outperform my legendary $AXTI thesis soon? It's only been 2 months: Now it's up over +316% after institutions started publicly buying… and keeps going up", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Expects IQE, AXTI, SIVE and related photonic supply chain names to compound another triple-digits as institutional capital pours in; SIVE especially highlighted on upcoming Nasdaq listing.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "My $IQE call… might actually outperform my legendary $AXTI thesis soon?\n\nIt’s only been 2 months:\n\nNow it's up over +316% after institutions started publicly buying… and keeps going up.\n\nFun time for critical chokepoints like $ALRIB, $SIVE, and $SOI recently in Europe.\n\nProbably expect them all to compound another triple digits from here, even after all their rallies.\n\nRetail is just extremely early for the first time. \n\nSo, expect a lot of institutional capital to pour into these critical supply chains companies soon, especially $SIVE after Nasdaq listing.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@ravietweet Not exactly! I'm just a tad more familiar with photonic supply chains than I am with energy so I like picking potential winners.\n\nJust wanted to introduce $IQE into the equation like i did with $AXTI, so I could do a \"Did you Listen Anon?\" post 3 months later if it turns out https://t.co/yGoVCwTr9p", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.23049643868291536, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.23049643868291536, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.22804515063891184, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.2265386817759646, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002451288044003519, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003957756906950771, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009537769515036265, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009537769515036265, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.002547915615187746, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.011042740863960177, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.012085685130224011, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02058051037899644, "ret_p1w": -0.07960384242361374, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07960384242361374, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08928095002898273, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.13908057733254353, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009677107605368995, "bench_c_p1w": 0.059476734908929796, "ret_p1m": 0.5135730083996108, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5135730083996108, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.46011405220816437, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2903099437824621, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05345895619144647, "bench_c_p1m": 0.22326306461714873, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7299, -0.7382, -0.7581, -0.7809, -0.7872, -0.7823, -0.7897, -0.7942, -0.7997, -0.7733, -0.7439, -0.7586, -0.7707, -0.7502, -0.7058, -0.6604, -0.7022, -0.6723, -0.6969, -0.7036, -0.7036, -0.7162, -0.7122, -0.7089, -0.6371, -0.6524, -0.571, -0.499, -0.5461, -0.5366, -0.4336, -0.4894, -0.5215, -0.5256, -0.6042, -0.5285, -0.4583, -0.4209, -0.4286, -0.4025, -0.4083, -0.4576, -0.4038, -0.2897, -0.3368, -0.212, -0.1631, -0.1764, -0.2845, -0.2586, -0.3552, -0.3033, -0.4236, -0.3539, -0.3539, -0.4865, -0.4441, -0.3497, -0.2282, -0.2152, -0.1875, -0.1771, -0.2305, 0.0, 0.0095, -0.0369, -0.0833, 0.0631, -0.0796, -0.0687, -0.1422, -0.1598, -0.131, -0.0313, 0.1739, 0.2962, 0.3151, 0.2819, 0.3258, 0.4228, 0.5384, 0.5028, 0.4911, 0.406, 0.5136, 0.2947, 0.3803, 0.2792, 0.4798, 0.7221, 0.7221, 0.6214, 0.5012, 0.4148, 0.2614, 0.2614, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2038281177124245842", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-29T15:44:36+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Combining $HIMS to $TEM has immense potential", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on HIMS and TEM as a combined personalized AI medicine platform; entire human population as TAM with inelastic demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Personalized AI medicine will likely be huge. \n\nNobody wants to die early. \n\nCombining $HIMS to $TEM has immense potential. \n\nHere's just one example with Gitlab's CEO: \n\n> In 2023, Sijbrandij was diagnosed with osteosarcoma\n> In July 2024, he announced the cancer had returned, despite multiple treatments\n> By late 2024, he had reached the absolute end of standard of care medical options.\n> Rather than accepting death, Sijbrandij decided to treat his cancer the same way he built GitLab as an engineering problem\n> He began feeding ChatGPT massive amounts of his personal medical data from scans, blood test results, and tissue sample data. \n> ChatGPT and AI made novel targeted treatments after identifying mutations, then how to attack them\n> From there, he applied for unapproved, experimental drug and received it\n> The approach worked. Sijbrandij managed to stall and turn around a terminal prognosis with AI.\n\nWe've seen this success story with Gitlab's CEO ( $TEM was explicitly listed the partner he used for the bulk RNA sequencing of his tumor ). \n\nAs well as someone curing their own dog with AI recently. \n\nThe potential if you can combine $HIMS (DTC distribution network) and $TEM (Personalized sequencing and AI treatment) into a scalable product is massive (though extremely challenging). \n\nThe entire human population is the TAM.\n\nAnd similar to the $AXTI InP situation with hyperscalers:\n\nPeople will pay anything to not die (bottleneck). This is just a hint into where the future of healthcare is heading.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03194879937079831, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03194879937079831, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02859412074582357, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02859412074582357, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10543128167424975, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.10543128167424975, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07636335597533495, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07636335597533495, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "ret_p1w": 0.08253456764582312, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08253456764582312, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03987427803956112, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03987427803956112, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "bench_c_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "ret_p1m": 0.48615542209532303, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.48615542209532303, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3600101376135536, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3600101376135536, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.729, 0.729, 0.779, 0.8482, 0.8882, 0.8882, 0.8035, 0.6874, 0.722, 0.7146, 0.6677, 0.6629, 0.6709, 0.6709, 0.6225, 0.5383, 0.6251, 0.5772, 0.6124, 0.5804, 0.5266, 0.5905, 0.4425, 0.4079, 0.36, 0.2993, 0.2503, 0.2258, 0.0293, -0.082, -0.1113, -0.1587, -0.1321, -0.1321, -0.1337, -0.1565, -0.1576, -0.1677, -0.1741, -0.1768, -0.1576, -0.1693, -0.2268, -0.1225, -0.1576, -0.1241, -0.1544, -0.1619, 0.18, 0.2497, 0.3781, 0.2694, 0.319, 0.3248, 0.3301, 0.2327, 0.2865, 0.1725, 0.196, 0.1363, 0.1097, 0.1108, 0.0319, 0.0, 0.1054, 0.0564, 0.0192, 0.0192, 0.0825, 0.0383, 0.0325, 0.0517, 0.0346, 0.1262, 0.1374, 0.2934, 0.4372, 0.5346, 0.6512, 0.5847, 0.5447, 0.4989, 0.6273, 0.565, 0.4862, 0.402, 0.4468, 0.4595, 0.4521, 0.402, 0.4313, 0.3658, 0.5053, 0.5517, 0.3328, 0.2854, 0.2907, 0.3339, 0.1869, 0.1949, 0.2268, 0.2785, 0.2646, 0.2646, 0.27, 0.3419, 0.3514, 0.3924, 0.3924, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2038281177124245842", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-29T15:44:36+00:00", "symbol": "TEM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Combining $HIMS to $TEM has immense potential. The potential if you can combine $HIMS (DTC distribution network) and $TEM (Personalized sequencing and AI treatment) into a scalable product is massive", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on HIMS and TEM as a combined personalized AI medicine platform; entire human population as TAM with inelastic demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["TEM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Health Information Services", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Personalized AI medicine will likely be huge. \n\nNobody wants to die early. \n\nCombining $HIMS to $TEM has immense potential. \n\nHere's just one example with Gitlab's CEO: \n\n> In 2023, Sijbrandij was diagnosed with osteosarcoma\n> In July 2024, he announced the cancer had returned, despite multiple treatments\n> By late 2024, he had reached the absolute end of standard of care medical options.\n> Rather than accepting death, Sijbrandij decided to treat his cancer the same way he built GitLab as an engineering problem\n> He began feeding ChatGPT massive amounts of his personal medical data from scans, blood test results, and tissue sample data. \n> ChatGPT and AI made novel targeted treatments after identifying mutations, then how to attack them\n> From there, he applied for unapproved, experimental drug and received it\n> The approach worked. Sijbrandij managed to stall and turn around a terminal prognosis with AI.\n\nWe've seen this success story with Gitlab's CEO ( $TEM was explicitly listed the partner he used for the bulk RNA sequencing of his tumor ). \n\nAs well as someone curing their own dog with AI recently. \n\nThe potential if you can combine $HIMS (DTC distribution network) and $TEM (Personalized sequencing and AI treatment) into a scalable product is massive (though extremely challenging). \n\nThe entire human population is the TAM.\n\nAnd similar to the $AXTI InP situation with hyperscalers:\n\nPeople will pay anything to not die (bottleneck). This is just a hint into where the future of healthcare is heading.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.005900401376027986, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005900401376027986, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0025457227510532476, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0025457227510532476, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06726462970650782, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06726462970650782, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03819670400759301, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03819670400759301, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "ret_p1w": 0.11635592233791159, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11635592233791159, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07369563273164959, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07369563273164959, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "bench_c_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "ret_p1m": 0.20604200524694205, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.20604200524694205, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07989672076517262, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07989672076517262, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3937, 0.3937, 0.4718, 0.527, 0.6413, 0.6467, 0.6134, 0.5641, 0.6346, 0.5848, 0.6351, 0.6266, 0.6599, 0.6599, 0.5761, 0.5417, 0.6134, 0.5417, 0.5962, 0.5768, 0.524, 0.4989, 0.4118, 0.3819, 0.321, 0.2639, 0.2377, 0.296, 0.3481, 0.3189, 0.2653, 0.1985, 0.2261, 0.2261, 0.2405, 0.3255, 0.4152, 0.3776, 0.3521, 0.3677, 0.2676, 0.3078, 0.2568, 0.2582, 0.2131, 0.2105, 0.2521, 0.2334, 0.2348, 0.2013, 0.2433, 0.169, 0.1796, 0.2008, 0.1999, 0.1492, 0.1503, 0.1083, 0.1598, 0.1525, 0.1036, 0.0746, 0.0059, 0.0, 0.0673, 0.11, 0.1185, 0.1185, 0.1164, 0.1049, 0.1211, 0.0422, 0.0135, 0.0852, 0.169, 0.3314, 0.2844, 0.3186, 0.3401, 0.3016, 0.3101, 0.2141, 0.2301, 0.2433, 0.206, 0.1806, 0.3094, 0.2981, 0.3172, 0.2761, 0.2627, 0.1676, 0.1768, 0.1437, 0.1081, 0.0833, 0.0734, 0.0368, 0.0295, 0.0746, 0.0828, 0.0972, 0.0899, 0.0899, 0.1013, 0.1133, 0.2105, 0.1912, 0.1912, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2050242891117900233", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-01T15:56:11+00:00", "symbol": "RDDT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Personally think it heads back to $200+ over time (repricing doesn't happen in a day) since it's a growing money printer", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long RDDT to $200+ on blowout earnings + 50% revenue growth; still cheap despite post-quarter bounce.", "resolved_tickers": ["RDDT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Finally vindicated on my $RDDT long 6 weeks later.\n\nFunny thing is…\n\nIt’s still down 28% YTD after that absolute blowout of quarter earnings and projections.\n\nPersonally think it heads back to $200+ over time (repricing doesn’t happen in a day) since it’s a growing money printer.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$RDDT is getting ridiculous.\n\nLooks completely mispriced. Now down 40% over the past few months. \n\nIf you strip out carry-forward losses, their net profit is ~28% of revenue, which is absolutely enormous.\n\nAnd they’re growing forward revenues 50%+ Y/Y after 70%+ Y/Y growth.\n\nIf https://t.co/nRrjjUPxte", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.11562950801311, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11562950801311, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11286804100122816, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1138303383568694, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0027614670118818463, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0017991696562406068, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.015557494372588243, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015557494372588243, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.019220874042330194, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02086937528500943, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0036633796697419507, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005311880912421185, "ret_p1w": -0.06415180772385476, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06415180772385476, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08769995193840985, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06603667080132447, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02354814421455509, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0018848630774697117, "ret_p1m": 0.057184073262720236, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.057184073262720236, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.007465132249959261, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06600860006639353, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.049718941012760975, "bench_c_p1m": -0.008824526803673294, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0064, -0.0828, -0.0927, -0.1601, -0.1486, -0.0991, -0.1633, -0.2127, -0.1612, -0.1612, -0.1637, -0.1142, -0.1222, -0.098, -0.1443, -0.1466, -0.101, -0.0915, -0.1242, -0.1164, -0.1249, -0.1153, -0.133, -0.1627, -0.1659, -0.1943, -0.1764, -0.2056, -0.2049, -0.1591, -0.133, -0.1423, -0.1704, -0.16, -0.1533, -0.1824, -0.1613, -0.2356, -0.2681, -0.2544, -0.1912, -0.182, -0.1831, -0.1831, -0.169, -0.1522, -0.129, -0.1688, -0.1607, -0.1029, -0.0717, -0.0481, -0.0242, -0.0161, -0.0012, -0.058, -0.013, -0.0812, -0.0696, -0.0377, -0.1114, -0.1125, -0.1156, 0.0, 0.0156, 0.0309, 0.0005, -0.0152, -0.0642, -0.0419, -0.0849, -0.0742, -0.0611, -0.0499, -0.0443, -0.0697, -0.1187, -0.0988, -0.149, -0.149, -0.1312, -0.0738, 0.0073, 0.0572, 0.0572, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2037387801285841118", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-27T04:34:39+00:00", "symbol": "3105.TWO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I am long Win Semi (3105.TWO) at $4.1B MC. IMO their strategic positioning exceeds far beyond $4B MC.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long Win Semi at $4.1B MC; semi-monopoly foundry chokepoint in optical transceivers, LEO/Starlink, and humanoids with parabolic demand ahead; 2027 fwd multiple seen as sandbagged.", "resolved_tickers": ["3105.TWO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TWO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I am long Win Semi (3105.TWO) at $4.1B MC.\n\nI believe markets are sleeping on of the most important foundries in the world (aside from $TSM).\n\nIMO their strategic positioning exceeds far beyond $4B MC. \n\nThey sit in almost every major chokepoints:\n\n-> In the SpaceX Starlink LEO supply chain.\n-> As $AVGO, $LITE, $MTSI, $SIVE InP foundries for optical transceivers\n-> then as the body/eyes of humanoids as the GaAs foundry for TOF lasers possibly mapping to Boston Dynamic Atlas\n-> With legacy from MediaTek / Qualcomm / $AAPL from their previous business. \n\nBut Win appears to be bottom of the legacy drag (like with $SOI), with optical as one of their largest growth vectors. \n\nThen... Win has the largest TAM expansion/revenue acceleration out of almost any foundry: \n\nWith: LEO, humanoids / CW laser, 800g, 1.6t, 3.2t optical transceiver massive ramp up over the next few years. \n\nEspecially with Broadcom as their anchor client ( $AVGO owns ~5% of Win). \n\n$NVDA doesn't care who makes the lasers, whether it's $LITE or $COHR. \n\nThey just care if there's enough.\n\nThere's not enough. \n\n-> Demand for CW lasers will likely go parabolic. (they make the lasers that companies like $SIVE designs)\n\n-> Demand for LEO satellites (SpaceX Starlink) will likely go parabolic.\n\n-> Demand for humanoids will likely go parabolic.\n\nAs, Win Semi sits as a semi-monopoly chokepoint in the three most frontier and fastest growing industries for photonics/AI, robotics/humanoids, and space. \n\nEspecially with Optical TAM explosion:\n\nWin fwd earnings for 2027 roughly in ~35x range, I do think this is sandbagging it and forward multiples will end up dirt cheap. \n\nWin will largely benefit from TAM expansion and accelerated revenue growth.\n\nOf course: Win will win. So I am long Win.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06274509803921569, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06274509803921569, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08009279242663636, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07152334856596676, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.017347694387420676, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008778250526751075, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.020915032679738488, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.020915032679738488, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.024258495062923102, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.028542012037773623, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0033434623831846144, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007626979358035135, "ret_p1w": -0.016993464052287632, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.016993464052287632, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05127880101332816, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03541336358669589, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.034285336961040525, "bench_c_p1w": 0.018419899534408257, "ret_p1m": 0.2875816993464053, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2875816993464053, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15971349038438598, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03056628476307366, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12786820896201934, "bench_c_p1m": 0.25701541458333166, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5163, -0.5216, -0.5216, -0.532, -0.5216, -0.519, -0.5137, -0.4837, -0.434, -0.3908, -0.451, -0.4366, -0.4196, -0.4288, -0.4431, -0.4065, -0.4196, -0.3869, -0.3974, -0.3882, -0.3699, -0.3255, -0.3595, -0.3869, -0.4209, -0.3817, -0.3425, -0.3725, -0.4261, -0.3817, -0.332, -0.3569, -0.3569, -0.3569, -0.3569, -0.3569, -0.3569, -0.3569, -0.3569, -0.2928, -0.2222, -0.1582, -0.1163, -0.1163, -0.1333, -0.1477, -0.2327, -0.2157, -0.2196, -0.2967, -0.2889, -0.2183, -0.1987, -0.1817, -0.2065, -0.2327, -0.1569, -0.0732, -0.1007, -0.1765, -0.1804, -0.0993, -0.0627, 0.0, 0.0209, -0.081, -0.0157, -0.017, -0.017, -0.017, 0.0641, 0.1503, 0.1399, 0.2131, 0.1974, 0.1948, 0.1673, 0.2824, 0.4092, 0.5477, 0.6131, 0.5686, 0.4641, 0.4301, 0.2876, 0.3059, 0.3124, 0.4013, 0.4013, 0.3699, 0.451, 0.3072, 0.3072, 0.2876, 0.3752, 0.3386, 0.2954, 0.2641, 0.1987, 0.1778, 0.1935, 0.1673, 0.2627, 0.3882, 0.4196, 0.4693, 0.4641, 0.3804, 0.3778, 0.417, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2046906948088435024", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-22T11:00:20+00:00", "symbol": "IQE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bro everyone was doubting me on names like $IQE. Yet how come… all these institutions from UBS or Point72 buy in after my thesis posts?", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish IQE, AXTI, and Sivers Semiconductors; confident institutional follow-in buying as laser chips power hyperscaler connectivity.", "resolved_tickers": ["IQE.L"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "IQE plc LSE-listed epiwafer supplier", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bro everyone was doubting me on names like $IQE.\n\nYet how come… all these institutions from UBS or Point72 buy in after my thesis posts?\n\nNot sure if Swedish media bearposting $SIVE realized who found $AXTI?  \n\nI’m very confident institutions will likely follow-in soon given Sivers lasers power $MRVl, $JBL, Ayar, and others… \n\nwith links to $GOOGL, $MSFT, $AMZN and other hyperscalers.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit Another institutional buyer joined the IQE party! @aleabitoreddit https://t.co/TYu5W4yzFo", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.006389800888641606, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.006389800888641606, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.016414975819439515, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.031912488749867074, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010025174930797909, "bench_c_m1d": -0.025522687861225468, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.20527154612365206, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.20527154612365206, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.20139082217382687, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.21579944846330323, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0038807239498251933, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010527902339651174, "ret_p1w": -0.3546325477534906, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.3546325477534906, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.3551527810260213, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.40234347332581133, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0005202332725307013, "bench_c_p1w": 0.047710925572320706, "ret_p1m": -0.3634185392097873, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.3634185392097873, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.40772324212028743, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.5543671390767293, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04430470291050015, "bench_c_p1m": 0.19094859986694201, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.8717, -0.8778, -0.8776, -0.8719, -0.8762, -0.8736, -0.8717, -0.877, -0.873, -0.8752, -0.8735, -0.8695, -0.8403, -0.8364, -0.8355, -0.8307, -0.8323, -0.8304, -0.8329, -0.8342, -0.8326, -0.7958, -0.8051, -0.7441, -0.6805, -0.6965, -0.5911, -0.5847, -0.5711, -0.6573, -0.6859, -0.6952, -0.6374, -0.6118, -0.6374, -0.6286, -0.631, -0.655, -0.5919, -0.635, -0.623, -0.6246, -0.5919, -0.5288, -0.5751, -0.6086, -0.631, -0.6102, -0.599, -0.623, -0.623, -0.623, -0.5927, -0.5415, -0.5208, -0.4089, -0.2157, -0.2364, -0.1374, -0.0639, -0.1677, -0.0639, 0.0064, 0.0, -0.2053, -0.2396, -0.2109, -0.357, -0.3546, -0.3091, -0.3427, -0.3427, -0.2013, -0.2883, -0.2708, -0.2476, -0.1294, -0.2468, -0.1933, -0.2077, -0.2652, -0.3754, -0.4888, -0.4002, -0.3634, -0.2692, -0.2692, -0.1374, -0.1901, -0.2388, -0.2412, -0.2412, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2046906948088435024", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-22T11:00:20+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Not sure if Swedish media bearposting $SIVE realized who found $AXTI?", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish IQE, AXTI, and Sivers Semiconductors; confident institutional follow-in buying as laser chips power hyperscaler connectivity.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bro everyone was doubting me on names like $IQE.\n\nYet how come… all these institutions from UBS or Point72 buy in after my thesis posts?\n\nNot sure if Swedish media bearposting $SIVE realized who found $AXTI?  \n\nI’m very confident institutions will likely follow-in soon given Sivers lasers power $MRVl, $JBL, Ayar, and others… \n\nwith links to $GOOGL, $MSFT, $AMZN and other hyperscalers.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit Another institutional buyer joined the IQE party! @aleabitoreddit https://t.co/TYu5W4yzFo", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.13768116959474874, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.13768116959474874, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12765599466395083, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.11215848173352327, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010025174930797909, "bench_c_m1d": -0.025522687861225468, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.13423056671990452, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.13423056671990452, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.13034984277007933, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.1447584690595557, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0038807239498251933, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010527902339651174, "ret_p1w": -0.18253970900538818, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.18253970900538818, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.18305994227791889, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2302506345777089, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0005202332725307013, "bench_c_p1w": 0.047710925572320706, "ret_p1m": 0.39199440124962703, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.39199440124962703, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3476896983391269, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.20104580138268502, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04430470291050015, "bench_c_p1m": 0.19094859986694201, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7999, -0.7953, -0.8022, -0.8064, -0.8116, -0.7867, -0.7591, -0.7729, -0.7843, -0.765, -0.7233, -0.6806, -0.7199, -0.6917, -0.7149, -0.7212, -0.7212, -0.733, -0.7292, -0.7261, -0.6586, -0.673, -0.5965, -0.5288, -0.573, -0.5641, -0.4672, -0.5197, -0.5499, -0.5537, -0.6277, -0.5565, -0.4905, -0.4553, -0.4625, -0.438, -0.4434, -0.4898, -0.4392, -0.3318, -0.3761, -0.2588, -0.2128, -0.2253, -0.327, -0.3026, -0.3935, -0.3446, -0.4578, -0.3922, -0.3922, -0.517, -0.4771, -0.3883, -0.274, -0.2618, -0.2357, -0.2259, -0.2762, -0.0594, -0.0504, -0.0941, -0.1377, 0.0, -0.1342, -0.124, -0.1931, -0.2097, -0.1825, -0.0888, 0.1042, 0.2192, 0.2371, 0.2058, 0.2471, 0.3384, 0.4471, 0.4136, 0.4026, 0.3225, 0.4237, 0.2179, 0.2984, 0.2032, 0.392, 0.6199, 0.6199, 0.5252, 0.4121, 0.3308, 0.1866, 0.1866, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2046906948088435024", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-04-22T11:00:20+00:00", "symbol": "Sivers Semiconductors", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm very confident institutions will likely follow-in soon given Sivers lasers power $MRVl, $JBL, Ayar, and others", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish IQE, AXTI, and Sivers Semiconductors; confident institutional follow-in buying as laser chips power hyperscaler connectivity.", "resolved_tickers": ["SIVE.ST"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Sivers Semiconductors on Nasdaq Stockholm as SIVE.ST", "bench_c": "FEZ", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='ST')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bro everyone was doubting me on names like $IQE.\n\nYet how come… all these institutions from UBS or Point72 buy in after my thesis posts?\n\nNot sure if Swedish media bearposting $SIVE realized who found $AXTI?  \n\nI’m very confident institutions will likely follow-in soon given Sivers lasers power $MRVl, $JBL, Ayar, and others… \n\nwith links to $GOOGL, $MSFT, $AMZN and other hyperscalers.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit Another institutional buyer joined the IQE party! @aleabitoreddit https://t.co/TYu5W4yzFo", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.14000002543131518, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.14000002543131518, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.1500252003621131, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.14166821782256223, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010025174930797909, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0016681923912470475, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.054666646321614554, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.054666646321614554, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05078592237178936, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.044050866040764025, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0038807239498251933, "bench_c_p1d": -0.010615780280850529, "ret_p1w": 0.32933336893717446, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.32933336893717446, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.32881313566464376, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.35086818461452673, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0005202332725307013, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02153481567735227, "ret_p1m": 0.9683333079020182, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.9683333079020182, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.9240286049915181, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.944827160419834, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04430470291050015, "bench_c_p1m": 0.02350614748218427, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.8843, -0.8837, -0.8831, -0.8835, -0.8879, -0.8887, -0.8873, -0.8907, -0.8891, -0.8916, -0.8857, -0.8904, -0.8919, -0.8927, -0.9013, -0.8989, -0.8971, -0.8972, -0.8967, -0.8927, -0.8947, -0.8969, -0.8927, -0.8949, -0.9033, -0.8992, -0.899, -0.9011, -0.8897, -0.8876, -0.88, -0.885, -0.8776, -0.8626, -0.8637, -0.8587, -0.7545, -0.7698, -0.7027, -0.6503, -0.7188, -0.6203, -0.5847, -0.5177, -0.622, -0.6695, -0.6667, -0.643, -0.6283, -0.67, -0.67, -0.67, -0.6785, -0.607, -0.621, -0.5533, -0.4383, -0.468, -0.3073, -0.24, -0.2113, 0.038, 0.14, 0.0, -0.0547, 0.0653, -0.014, 0.064, 0.3293, 0.2667, 0.2667, 0.865, 0.8233, 0.6087, 0.658, 0.4507, 0.65, 0.438, 0.8883, 0.8883, 0.8567, 0.6033, 0.5153, 0.8, 0.9683, 1.43, 1.8517, 1.895, 1.4467, 1.34, 1.2983, 1.2983, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2041907945500504466", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-08T15:56:05+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$6,000,000,000 ATM dilution being a structural overhang… There's going to be half the market cap minted out of thin air, then sold into the open market", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short IREN on $6B ATM structural dilution overhang eroding shareholder equity on every rally; contrasts with NBIS outperformance.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "When is it time for the $IREN bagholders to admit I was right about the:\n\n$6,000,000,000 ATM dilution being a structural overhang?\n\n-> $NBIS is up 48% YTD \n-> $IREN is down 13% YTD.\n\nWhile IREN’s marketcap goes up (ATMs benefit the company), shareholder equity goes down.\n\nThis is the warning about excessive dilution that people don’t understand or want to hear. \n\nLikely in every rally to raise funds to monetize their GW capacity though GPUs:\n\nThere’s going to be half the market cap minted out of thin air, then sold into the open market.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.029595441172875936, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.029595441172875936, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004758473051174383, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0038141975175108866, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.024836968121701553, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02578124365536505, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0062448963019707815, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0062448963019707815, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00047580513088241183, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0037058129781804006, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00576909117108837, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002539083323790381, "ret_p1w": 0.32554974932582503, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.32554974932582503, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.29015087603979506, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.3066044877720795, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.035398873286029975, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01894526155374554, "ret_p1m": 0.5435784862271102, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.5435784862271102, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.46137555058791, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.5367425786312956, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08220293563920023, "bench_c_p1m": 0.00683590759581465, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2498, 0.3665, 0.4388, 0.4358, 0.4089, 0.5699, 0.5699, 0.4733, 0.4521, 0.419, 0.539, 0.4217, 0.6288, 0.7089, 0.6248, 0.4591, 0.4412, 0.4768, 0.2202, 0.0804, 0.1358, 0.2531, 0.1656, 0.1586, 0.0869, 0.1463, 0.1463, 0.1124, 0.1425, 0.1754, 0.0855, 0.1501, 0.234, 0.1955, 0.2012, 0.1119, 0.1238, 0.0548, 0.1903, 0.0895, -0.0035, 0.0546, 0.035, 0.1398, 0.1233, 0.129, 0.2202, 0.1664, 0.1461, 0.1311, 0.1211, 0.1447, 0.1165, 0.1249, 0.0168, -0.0472, -0.1415, -0.0692, -0.0744, -0.0559, -0.0559, -0.0462, -0.0296, 0.0, 0.0062, 0.0676, 0.1694, 0.2862, 0.3255, 0.2951, 0.3065, 0.3228, 0.2264, 0.3139, 0.4124, 0.375, 0.3131, 0.2066, 0.1637, 0.2357, 0.2398, 0.3435, 0.4863, 0.6557, 0.5436, 0.6617, 0.4974, 0.5357, 0.498, 0.5857, 0.4374, 0.3701, 0.2962, 0.4312, 0.5764, 0.543, 0.543, 0.6231, 0.842, 0.7391, 0.7252, 0.7252, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2041907945500504466", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-08T15:56:05+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS is up 48% YTD", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short IREN on $6B ATM structural dilution overhang eroding shareholder equity on every rally; contrasts with NBIS outperformance.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "When is it time for the $IREN bagholders to admit I was right about the:\n\n$6,000,000,000 ATM dilution being a structural overhang?\n\n-> $NBIS is up 48% YTD \n-> $IREN is down 13% YTD.\n\nWhile IREN’s marketcap goes up (ATMs benefit the company), shareholder equity goes down.\n\nThis is the warning about excessive dilution that people don’t understand or want to hear. \n\nLikely in every rally to raise funds to monetize their GW capacity though GPUs:\n\nThere’s going to be half the market cap minted out of thin air, then sold into the open market.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0607999877929688, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0607999877929688, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03596301967126725, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04331472369967149, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.024836968121701553, "bench_c_m1d": -0.017485264093297315, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0906400146484374, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0906400146484374, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08487092347734904, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08659819851329664, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00576909117108837, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004041816135140763, "ret_p1w": 0.33416003417968754, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.33416003417968754, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.29876116089365756, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.3029676685886933, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.035398873286029975, "bench_c_p1w": 0.031192365590994253, "ret_p1m": 0.47816003417968744, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.47816003417968744, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3959570985404872, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4467919665985749, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08220293563920023, "bench_c_p1m": 0.031368067581112546, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2166, -0.1414, -0.1566, -0.1842, -0.1689, -0.1302, -0.1302, -0.2057, -0.209, -0.2252, -0.244, -0.2683, -0.217, -0.1966, -0.2407, -0.3185, -0.2947, -0.2804, -0.3409, -0.409, -0.3112, -0.257, -0.2657, -0.2911, -0.2822, -0.2159, -0.2159, -0.2198, -0.1856, -0.1391, -0.2166, -0.1951, -0.1794, -0.151, -0.161, -0.2705, -0.2719, -0.3056, -0.2178, -0.2348, -0.2854, -0.2405, -0.2286, -0.104, -0.1357, -0.0964, 0.0388, -0.0694, -0.0515, -0.0278, -0.059, -0.0868, -0.0807, -0.0793, -0.1522, -0.1934, -0.2619, -0.1699, -0.1844, -0.1294, -0.1294, -0.0997, -0.0608, 0.0, 0.0906, 0.1598, 0.2365, 0.2955, 0.3342, 0.3227, 0.2571, 0.2733, 0.2524, 0.2491, 0.2566, 0.1773, 0.1597, 0.0841, 0.1295, 0.1058, 0.2359, 0.4114, 0.4074, 0.5607, 0.4782, 0.4164, 0.4888, 0.4329, 0.6582, 0.7692, 0.7595, 0.5989, 0.5818, 0.5346, 0.7594, 0.7182, 0.7182, 0.6645, 0.667, 0.8107, 0.8487, 0.8487, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2039755414318039256", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-02T17:22:42+00:00", "symbol": "AEHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$420 looks inevitable on $AEHR. Maybe 2 years?", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long AEHR to $420 (~2yr) on growing hyperscaler/AI qualification pipeline; cites AAOI as precedent.", "resolved_tickers": ["AEHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$420 looks inevitable on $AEHR. \n\nMaybe 2 years?\n\nDon’t think I’ve seen so many hyperscalers or AI companies qualifying a small $1.1B company before?\n\nLast time was $AAOI back at $25 and now it’s $104 a few months later. https://t.co/PaYZoCmMNl", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.10649822322210745, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10649822322210745, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.10559855891871539, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.10560607880688166, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0008996643033920559, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0008921444152257818, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.5537003854806699, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.5537003854806699, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.5169836213387371, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.45686619521471306, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03671676414193281, "bench_c_p1w": 0.09683419026595685, "ret_p1m": 1.0999548812202073, "ret_signed_p1m": 1.0999548812202073, "alpha_spy_p1m": 1.0011182838777302, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.8004544789812353, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09883659734247718, "bench_c_p1m": 0.299500402238972, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.47, -0.442, -0.4544, -0.4878, -0.4061, -0.4055, -0.3951, -0.414, -0.4014, -0.35, -0.35, -0.3443, -0.3412, -0.3026, -0.3673, -0.3958, -0.3739, -0.3687, -0.3935, -0.4215, -0.412, -0.3865, -0.4623, -0.481, -0.4046, -0.3775, -0.3946, -0.2362, -0.3707, -0.3493, -0.3493, -0.3572, -0.3454, -0.317, -0.2419, -0.2256, -0.1148, -0.0641, -0.102, -0.1555, -0.0065, -0.0605, -0.0375, -0.0864, -0.1965, -0.0776, -0.0532, -0.0422, -0.1505, -0.1952, -0.1543, -0.1631, -0.1807, -0.148, -0.2211, -0.1618, -0.1157, -0.1194, -0.22, -0.2662, -0.3204, -0.1634, -0.1065, 0.0, 0.0, 0.1769, 0.1338, 0.4251, 0.5537, 0.5891, 0.6169, 0.6782, 0.6521, 0.8242, 0.8921, 1.0341, 1.1146, 1.1968, 1.155, 1.164, 0.9964, 0.8599, 0.8459, 1.0433, 1.1, 0.9316, 1.0575, 1.1825, 1.0591, 1.1938, 1.3592, 1.1823, 1.3296, 1.3994, 1.245, 0.8856, 0.8308, 0.8579, 1.06, 1.144, 1.144, 1.4801, 1.3425, 1.2561, 1.0833, 1.0833, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2053643213723013507", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-11T01:07:51+00:00", "symbol": "Nextronics", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I ended up taking positions on following GS... it looks very material relative to MC as Nvidia's CPO program scales up", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long Nextronics (8147), ~$210M MC CPO/cage thermal supplier to NVDA; material upside as CPO program scales, flagged by Goldman Sachs.", "resolved_tickers": ["3038.TW"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Nextronics Engineering Corp listed on TWSE as 3038.TW", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Electronic Components'", "bench_c_industry": "Electronic Components", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just putting it out there with the Goldman Sachs $NVDA supplier note.\n\nThere’s a very interesting ~$210m MC company Nextronics (8147) that I ended up taking positions on following GS.\n\nThat supplies CPO connectors and Cage Thermal Modules to Nvidia CPO supply chains.\n\nThey’re also in $AMZN supply chains and Humanoids. And massage chairs too. \n\nJust thought I’d share an interesting idea (NFA/DYOR), I’ll do a BOM analysis later, but it looks very material relative to MC as Nvidia’s CPO program scales up.\n\nOf course risks are multi-sourcing/getting designed out, but there’s probably a reason why GS flagged this micro supplier multiple times among $4-10B+ companies.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Today I learned there’s a $NVDA CPO supplier that builds massage chairs and US Humanoids on the side. \n\nThe Toto toilet HBM meme keeps showing up everywhere.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01555557250976558, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01555557250976558, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.017827982496943506, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.028822946838354846, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0022724099871779257, "bench_c_m1d": -0.013267374328589265, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0022221883138020537, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0022221883138020537, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0007072483223501402, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012844192735242288, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0015149399914519135, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015066381049044342, "ret_p1w": -0.004444461398654509, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.004444461398654509, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.003565300855386311, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.015344183619541485, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0008791605432681981, "bench_c_p1w": -0.019788645018195994, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0405, -0.0405, -0.0405, -0.0405, -0.0405, -0.0405, -0.0405, -0.0405, -0.0405, -0.0405, -0.0237, -0.0194, -0.0194, -0.0279, -0.0553, -0.1017, -0.0574, -0.0426, -0.0785, -0.0658, -0.0405, -0.0384, -0.0258, -0.0321, -0.0215, -0.0089, -0.0222, -0.0378, -0.0622, -0.0689, -0.0711, -0.0711, -0.0778, -0.0978, -0.1089, -0.1, -0.0889, -0.0889, -0.0889, -0.1022, -0.0778, -0.0911, -0.0844, -0.0844, 0.0067, 0.02, 0.0356, 0.04, 0.0467, 0.0311, 0.0511, 0.0244, 0.0111, 0.0089, 0.02, 0.02, 0.0178, 0.0178, 0.0244, 0.0333, 0.0311, 0.0356, 0.0156, 0.0, -0.0022, 0.0044, 0.0244, 0.0, -0.0044, -0.02, -0.0133, 0.0022, 0.0289, 0.0444, 0.0422, 0.0333, 0.0356, 0.0311, 0.0667, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2051621598441165168", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-05T11:14:41+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Directionally long term it's still a hold in my view", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long-term hold on LITE; fully booked through 2028 with NVDA as anchor, TAM expanding from $15B to $154B, but short-term direction is a coin flip.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$LITE basically does everything, CW/EML lasers, optical engines, etc. \n\nI used CPO growth curves mainly for pure play names like $SIVE or MSSCorps that didn't have previous exposure. \n\nFor Lumentum you want to look at overall TAM which was $15B -> $154B since they're kinda targeting most things, including CPO. \n\nThey're basically fully booked through 2028, especially with $NVDA that's the biggest indicator. I don't see how they don't beat earning projections. \n\nBut the \"beat\" is pretty much expected, so dunno which way it goes short term and a lot of it is option flow/coin flip. \n\nDirectionally long term it's still a hold in my view, anyone's guess what happens short term.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Hey @aleabitoreddit, curious about your take on something.\n\nThere's a Korean finfluencer community that's been heavily influenced by your CPO thesis .\nBut right after LITE's earnings beat, several of these channels are calling for a sell-on, saying \"go to cash and buy the dip\"", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "wjdabrlrr", "ret_m1d": -0.018480539060419687, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.018480539060419687, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010522196478952361, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010522196478952361, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007958342581467326, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007958342581467326, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05055498751723775, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05055498751723775, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06445442696225534, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06445442696225534, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.013899439445017592, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013899439445017592, "ret_p1w": -0.0022019812246442116, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0022019812246442116, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.022111583385098332, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.022111583385098332, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01990960216045412, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01990960216045412, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4928, -0.445, -0.4197, -0.4358, -0.4227, -0.4133, -0.4342, -0.4342, -0.3963, -0.4025, -0.3609, -0.3286, -0.3216, -0.308, -0.2727, -0.3193, -0.2953, -0.2125, -0.3018, -0.3155, -0.3456, -0.4385, -0.3558, -0.3243, -0.3243, -0.3805, -0.3741, -0.3717, -0.3469, -0.2954, -0.2236, -0.2898, -0.2671, -0.1936, -0.2186, -0.3074, -0.2934, -0.3416, -0.2934, -0.2312, -0.1686, -0.1686, -0.2235, -0.1798, -0.0991, -0.101, -0.0978, -0.1241, -0.1425, -0.1715, -0.1039, -0.101, -0.1, -0.1585, -0.1216, -0.1485, -0.1135, -0.1356, -0.2043, -0.137, -0.0927, -0.0449, -0.0185, 0.0, -0.0506, -0.1025, -0.0913, 0.0589, -0.0022, 0.036, 0.0073, -0.024, -0.1102, -0.105, -0.1272, -0.0302, -0.0479, -0.0479, -0.0842, -0.0928, -0.1347, -0.1404, -0.1404, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2044825683416039566", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-16T17:10:08+00:00", "symbol": "Sandvik", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Americans just understand hyperscaler demand and photonics better than random retail and media in Europe. If Swedish retail want to transfer their frontier laser company over to American institutions and miss out on the upside, it's their choice.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on the Swedish frontier laser/photonics company (SIVE/SIVEF context); American institutions buying the upside Europeans are missing.", "resolved_tickers": ["SAND.ST"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Sandvik AB listed on Nasdaq Stockholm as SAND.ST", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Specialty Industrial Machinery'", "bench_c_industry": "Specialty Industrial Machinery", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@princebtc28 It’s not fomo. Americans just understand hyperscaler demand and photonics better than random retail and media in Europe.\n\nIf Swedish retail want to transfer their frontier laser company over to American institutions and miss out on the upside, it’s their choice.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit you seeing the dispersion between sive and sivef today? 10% difference... americans fomoing", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "princebtc28", "ret_m1d": -0.008054318563480156, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.008054318563480156, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.005603030519476637, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.013044577681598724, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002451288044003519, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004990259118118567, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01761893402768755, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01761893402768755, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0055332488974635385, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0010506640560099534, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.012085685130224011, "bench_c_p1d": 0.018669598083697503, "ret_p1w": 0.007299365191507201, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.007299365191507201, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.002377742413861794, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.014658043679266264, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009677107605368995, "bench_c_p1w": 0.021957408870773465, "ret_p1m": -0.09561330344108132, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09561330344108132, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1490722596325278, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10189518011534449, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05345895619144647, "bench_c_p1m": 0.006281876674263165, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1933, -0.1913, -0.1754, -0.1676, -0.1616, -0.1467, -0.1306, -0.1281, -0.1087, -0.1148, -0.1105, -0.0793, -0.0667, -0.0768, -0.0642, -0.0443, -0.04, -0.0262, -0.0405, -0.0516, -0.0508, -0.0614, -0.044, -0.0498, -0.0446, -0.0357, -0.0156, 0.0008, 0.0018, 0.0053, -0.0128, -0.0468, -0.0435, -0.0571, -0.078, -0.0989, -0.0423, -0.0458, -0.043, -0.1034, -0.1034, -0.1128, -0.0977, -0.15, -0.1591, -0.1392, -0.1326, -0.111, -0.1256, -0.1324, -0.1299, -0.1004, -0.0642, -0.0778, -0.0778, -0.0778, -0.0685, -0.0101, -0.0068, 0.0131, -0.0003, 0.0058, -0.0081, 0.0, 0.0176, 0.0038, -0.0118, -0.0126, 0.0073, -0.0035, -0.0169, -0.0332, -0.0276, -0.0204, -0.0204, -0.046, -0.0238, 0.0333, -0.0174, -0.0565, -0.0588, -0.0795, -0.0787, -0.0787, -0.0956, -0.0752, -0.078, -0.0529, -0.0376, -0.0222, -0.0036, -0.0087, -0.0097, -0.0381, -0.0373, -0.0373, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2047238732382876064", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-23T08:58:44+00:00", "symbol": "IBKR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "You're welcome $IBKR?", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Implicitly endorses going long IBKR into earnings, citing new account growth as a catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["IBKR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "You’re welcome $IBKR?\n\nBut it legitimately is the better brokerage right now, I’m surprised $HOOD doesn’t have international stocks. https://t.co/yMEZOXtI9w", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "How crazy is it to legit long $IBKR into earnings tmrw due to the thousands of brand new @aleabitoreddit 'serenity' accounts started in the last 2 months?", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02911724690439077, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02911724690439077, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.025221404264729186, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.025221404264729186, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003895842639661584, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003895842639661584, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009486181900241863, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009486181900241863, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0017368839402176484, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0017368839402176484, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007749297960024215, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007749297960024215, "ret_p1w": 0.04743080898217955, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04743080898217955, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03301912042042354, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03301912042042354, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014411688561756009, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014411688561756009, "ret_p1m": 0.07180496493644939, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07180496493644939, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.019310079199136077, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.019310079199136077, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05249488573731331, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05249488573731331, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0083, -0.0066, -0.007, -0.0042, -0.0145, -0.0094, -0.0138, -0.0334, -0.0854, -0.0183, 0.0321, 0.016, 0.0048, -0.0385, -0.0162, -0.0162, -0.0354, -0.0142, -0.0262, -0.0208, -0.0585, -0.0535, -0.0307, -0.0187, -0.0621, -0.0557, -0.0856, -0.0889, -0.1034, -0.1212, -0.1108, -0.0975, -0.0989, -0.1183, -0.1279, -0.1004, -0.0958, -0.0982, -0.1082, -0.1374, -0.1062, -0.1289, -0.0951, -0.1278, -0.1542, -0.1609, -0.1163, -0.1053, -0.1075, -0.1075, -0.0959, -0.1026, -0.0473, -0.0523, -0.0618, -0.0178, 0.0158, 0.0499, 0.0458, 0.0765, 0.0705, 0.049, 0.0291, 0.0, 0.0095, 0.0223, 0.0209, 0.0152, 0.0474, 0.0601, 0.0767, 0.1055, 0.1468, 0.1029, 0.1123, 0.1187, 0.1145, 0.1215, 0.1631, 0.1462, 0.1347, 0.0995, 0.104, 0.1045, 0.0718, 0.0718, 0.0921, 0.0665, 0.095, 0.1458, 0.1458, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2041089649276583949", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-06T09:44:28+00:00", "symbol": "AEHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "pivoted concentration in memory more toward siph/cpo names like $AEHR $SIVE and $SOI", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Pivoted into SiPh/CPO names AEHR, SIVE, SOI; still long memory and expects SK Hynix/Samsung earnings to trigger a rally.", "resolved_tickers": ["AEHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@B38B37 I personally pivoted concentration in memory more toward siph/cpo names like $AEHR $SIVE and $SOI.\n\nI still have a good amount of memory exposure but less than earlier this year. However I do expect the upcoming sk Hynix and Samsung earnings to trigger another rally", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thanks a ton as usual boss. Would you still keep exposure to $MU / SK HYNIX or go more heavily into $SIVE $AEHR $SOI instead ?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "B38B37", "ret_m1d": -0.15030675183134357, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.15030675183134357, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.14560219198371982, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1410638517844628, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004704559847623746, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009242900046880775, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03661809534124971, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03661809534124971, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0370581694470985, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.046517541781468164, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004400741058487867, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009899446440218451, "ret_p1w": 0.3738497674797203, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.3738497674797203, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.3326162780162578, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2542478076898922, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0412334894634625, "bench_c_p1w": 0.11960195978982813, "ret_p1m": 0.748274591797772, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.748274591797772, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6498725952637145, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4282837136232345, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09840199653405746, "bench_c_p1m": 0.31999087817453753, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5364, -0.5648, -0.4954, -0.4948, -0.486, -0.5021, -0.4914, -0.4477, -0.4477, -0.4429, -0.4402, -0.4074, -0.4624, -0.4866, -0.468, -0.4636, -0.4847, -0.5084, -0.5004, -0.4787, -0.5431, -0.559, -0.4941, -0.4711, -0.4856, -0.351, -0.4653, -0.4471, -0.4471, -0.4538, -0.4438, -0.4197, -0.3558, -0.342, -0.2479, -0.2048, -0.237, -0.2824, -0.1559, -0.2017, -0.1821, -0.2237, -0.3173, -0.2163, -0.1956, -0.1862, -0.2782, -0.3161, -0.2814, -0.2889, -0.3039, -0.2761, -0.3382, -0.2878, -0.2487, -0.2517, -0.3372, -0.3765, -0.4225, -0.2891, -0.2408, -0.1503, -0.1503, 0.0, -0.0366, 0.2109, 0.3202, 0.3503, 0.3738, 0.426, 0.4038, 0.55, 0.6077, 0.7283, 0.7968, 0.8666, 0.8311, 0.8388, 0.6963, 0.5803, 0.5684, 0.7362, 0.7843, 0.6413, 0.7483, 0.8545, 0.7496, 0.8641, 1.0046, 0.8543, 0.9795, 1.0387, 0.9076, 0.6022, 0.5556, 0.5786, 0.7504, 0.8217, 0.8217, 1.1074, 0.9904, 0.917, 0.7701, 0.7701, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2041089649276583949", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-04-06T09:44:28+00:00", "symbol": "SK Hynix", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I do expect the upcoming sk Hynix and Samsung earnings to trigger another rally", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Pivoted into SiPh/CPO names AEHR, SIVE, SOI; still long memory and expects SK Hynix/Samsung earnings to trigger a rally.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "SK Hynix listed on KOSPI as 000660.KS", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@B38B37 I personally pivoted concentration in memory more toward siph/cpo names like $AEHR $SIVE and $SOI.\n\nI still have a good amount of memory exposure but less than earlier this year. However I do expect the upcoming sk Hynix and Samsung earnings to trigger another rally", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thanks a ton as usual boss. Would you still keep exposure to $MU / SK HYNIX or go more heavily into $SIVE $AEHR $SOI instead ?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "B38B37", "ret_m1d": -0.011286664037370775, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011286664037370775, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.006582104189747029, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.013090020378309974, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004704559847623746, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02437668441568075, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.033860062665668655, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.033860062665668655, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03341998855981987, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.023934701574925832, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004400741058487867, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009925361090742824, "ret_p1w": 0.17381489427902386, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.17381489427902386, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.13258140481556135, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05240793072710148, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0412334894634625, "bench_c_p1w": 0.12140696355192238, "ret_p1m": 0.6331828896337777, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6331828896337777, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5347808930997202, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2557809692121049, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09840199653405746, "bench_c_p1m": 0.37740192042167275, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1641, -0.1483, -0.1618, -0.1562, -0.1686, -0.1641, -0.1562, -0.1483, -0.1393, -0.1629, -0.1663, -0.1494, -0.1359, -0.1708, -0.0987, -0.0525, -0.03, 0.0241, -0.0649, 0.0218, 0.0139, -0.0514, -0.0548, -0.0007, -0.0131, -0.0311, 0.0004, -0.0086, -0.0086, -0.0086, -0.0086, 0.0072, 0.0691, 0.0714, 0.1322, 0.1469, 0.2404, 0.1975, 0.1975, 0.0598, -0.0418, 0.0621, 0.0429, -0.0564, 0.0587, 0.0779, 0.0497, 0.0271, 0.0993, 0.0948, 0.1919, 0.1433, 0.1366, 0.053, 0.1129, 0.123, 0.053, 0.053, -0.0147, -0.0892, 0.0124, -0.0632, -0.0113, 0.0, 0.0339, 0.1659, 0.1264, 0.1591, 0.1738, 0.2449, 0.2822, 0.3036, 0.2731, 0.316, 0.3815, 0.3804, 0.3826, 0.3792, 0.4582, 0.4673, 0.4594, 0.4515, 0.4515, 0.6332, 0.6332, 0.807, 0.8668, 0.9029, 1.1219, 1.0711, 1.2302, 1.2235, 1.053, 1.0767, 0.9695, 0.9695, 1.1896, 1.1907, 1.1907, 1.316, 1.5316, 1.584, 1.6336, 1.6884, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2041089649276583949", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-04-06T09:44:28+00:00", "symbol": "Samsung", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I do expect the upcoming sk Hynix and Samsung earnings to trigger another rally", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Pivoted into SiPh/CPO names AEHR, SIVE, SOI; still long memory and expects SK Hynix/Samsung earnings to trigger a rally.", "resolved_tickers": ["005930.KS"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Samsung Electronics KOSPI 005930.KS", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@B38B37 I personally pivoted concentration in memory more toward siph/cpo names like $AEHR $SIVE and $SOI.\n\nI still have a good amount of memory exposure but less than earlier this year. However I do expect the upcoming sk Hynix and Samsung earnings to trigger another rally", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thanks a ton as usual boss. Would you still keep exposure to $MU / SK HYNIX or go more heavily into $SIVE $AEHR $SOI instead ?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "B38B37", "ret_m1d": -0.03573278094251686, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03573278094251686, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.031028221094893116, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.029957131774632884, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004704559847623746, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005775649167883978, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.017607457276022753, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.017607457276022753, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.017167383170173967, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012855345108415683, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004400741058487867, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00475211216760707, "ret_p1w": 0.04091144484722942, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04091144484722942, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0003220446162330859, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02364479078560211, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0412334894634625, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06455623563283153, "ret_p1m": 0.20403935784567584, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.20403935784567584, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10563736131161838, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0068833381697475104, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09840199653405746, "bench_c_p1m": 0.21092269601542335, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2713, -0.2827, -0.2817, -0.2827, -0.2889, -0.2749, -0.2563, -0.2305, -0.2284, -0.2496, -0.2274, -0.2129, -0.214, -0.214, -0.1757, -0.1607, -0.1695, -0.1705, -0.2227, -0.1344, -0.1261, -0.1767, -0.1804, -0.1401, -0.1432, -0.1328, -0.077, -0.0636, -0.0636, -0.0636, -0.0636, -0.0181, -0.0176, -0.0026, 0.0336, 0.0517, 0.1266, 0.1189, 0.1189, 0.0083, -0.1101, -0.0098, -0.0274, -0.1034, -0.0289, -0.0181, -0.0289, -0.0517, -0.0248, 0.0021, 0.0775, 0.0362, 0.0305, -0.0372, -0.0196, -0.0233, -0.0692, -0.0692, -0.087, -0.1341, -0.0179, -0.0761, -0.0357, 0.0, 0.0176, 0.0901, 0.0564, 0.0668, 0.0409, 0.0694, 0.0927, 0.1264, 0.1186, 0.1108, 0.1341, 0.1264, 0.1626, 0.1367, 0.1626, 0.1497, 0.1704, 0.1419, 0.1419, 0.204, 0.204, 0.3775, 0.406, 0.3905, 0.4785, 0.4448, 0.4707, 0.5329, 0.4008, 0.4552, 0.4267, 0.4293, 0.551, 0.5148, 0.5148, 0.5484, 0.5898, 0.551, 0.6416, 0.7944, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2041874183668502748", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-08T13:41:56+00:00", "symbol": "AEHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "i decided have a higher concentration on $AEHR after the new silicon photonics t1 customer", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AEHR with higher concentration on new silicon photonics T1 customer; bullish AAOI in a supercycle where shorts face infinite losses.", "resolved_tickers": ["AEHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "yeah i decided have a higher concentration on $AEHR after the new silicon photonics t1 customer like $LITE, $AVGO, or $COHR.\n\na ton of of retail investors misunderstood qualification cycles -> volume ramp so they went short. \n\nits crazy to see retail try and short $AAOI and $AEHR just to face infinite losses in a supercycle.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Wow what a beast !! 🚀🚀 Another great call !!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "AsianbeBlazin", "ret_m1d": -0.20440151802725315, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.20440151802725315, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1795645499055516, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.14997037549352787, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.024836968121701553, "bench_c_m1d": -0.054431142533725274, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0902470040644403, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0902470040644403, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08447791289335194, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07277328824058005, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00576909117108837, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01747371582386026, "ret_p1w": 0.1592780461937131, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1592780461937131, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12387917290768313, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08815351763695456, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.035398873286029975, "bench_c_p1w": 0.07112452855675855, "ret_p1m": 0.4449018739186985, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4449018739186985, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3626989382794983, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.167828293956217, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08220293563920023, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2770735799624815, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5833, -0.5828, -0.5755, -0.5888, -0.58, -0.5439, -0.5439, -0.5399, -0.5377, -0.5106, -0.556, -0.576, -0.5606, -0.557, -0.5744, -0.594, -0.5874, -0.5695, -0.6227, -0.6358, -0.5822, -0.5632, -0.5752, -0.4641, -0.5584, -0.5434, -0.5434, -0.5489, -0.5407, -0.5207, -0.468, -0.4566, -0.3789, -0.3433, -0.3699, -0.4074, -0.3029, -0.3407, -0.3246, -0.3589, -0.4362, -0.3528, -0.3357, -0.3279, -0.4039, -0.4352, -0.4066, -0.4128, -0.4251, -0.4022, -0.4535, -0.4118, -0.3795, -0.382, -0.4527, -0.4851, -0.5231, -0.4129, -0.373, -0.2983, -0.2983, -0.1742, -0.2044, 0.0, 0.0902, 0.1151, 0.1346, 0.1776, 0.1593, 0.2801, 0.3277, 0.4273, 0.4839, 0.5415, 0.5122, 0.5185, 0.4009, 0.3051, 0.2953, 0.4338, 0.4736, 0.3554, 0.4438, 0.5315, 0.4449, 0.5394, 0.6555, 0.5313, 0.6347, 0.6837, 0.5754, 0.3231, 0.2847, 0.3037, 0.4455, 0.5044, 0.5044, 0.7403, 0.6438, 0.5831, 0.4618, 0.4618, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2041874183668502748", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-08T13:41:56+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "its crazy to see retail try and short $AAOI and $AEHR just to face infinite losses in a supercycle", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AEHR with higher concentration on new silicon photonics T1 customer; bullish AAOI in a supercycle where shorts face infinite losses.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "yeah i decided have a higher concentration on $AEHR after the new silicon photonics t1 customer like $LITE, $AVGO, or $COHR.\n\na ton of of retail investors misunderstood qualification cycles -> volume ramp so they went short. \n\nits crazy to see retail try and short $AAOI and $AEHR just to face infinite losses in a supercycle.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Wow what a beast !! 🚀🚀 Another great call !!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "AsianbeBlazin", "ret_m1d": -0.11348905730923031, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11348905730923031, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08865208918752876, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08865208918752876, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.024836968121701553, "bench_c_m1d": -0.024836968121701553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004521523114651149, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004521523114651149, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0012475680564372205, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0012475680564372205, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00576909117108837, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00576909117108837, "ret_p1w": 0.0742276287116832, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0742276287116832, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03882875542565323, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03882875542565323, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.035398873286029975, "bench_c_p1w": 0.035398873286029975, "ret_p1m": 0.18726455670687048, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.18726455670687048, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10506162106767025, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10506162106767025, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08220293563920023, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08220293563920023, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7435, -0.7459, -0.7424, -0.7402, -0.7212, -0.7209, -0.7209, -0.7041, -0.7108, -0.7125, -0.7308, -0.7371, -0.7182, -0.6592, -0.7018, -0.6714, -0.6672, -0.6524, -0.6993, -0.7127, -0.6662, -0.639, -0.6346, -0.6353, -0.6685, -0.665, -0.665, -0.6691, -0.6726, -0.646, -0.6106, -0.5934, -0.576, -0.562, -0.5954, -0.3653, -0.2275, -0.2815, -0.2486, -0.2378, -0.2797, -0.1664, -0.092, -0.0429, -0.1998, -0.2705, -0.2911, -0.3494, -0.302, -0.232, -0.3403, -0.2784, -0.1417, -0.1378, -0.2659, -0.2599, -0.358, -0.3625, -0.3493, -0.217, -0.217, -0.1903, -0.1135, 0.0, 0.0045, 0.1349, 0.1544, 0.1032, 0.0742, 0.1855, 0.2014, 0.2319, 0.1347, 0.126, 0.0379, 0.2221, 0.0986, 0.0344, 0.1517, 0.2386, 0.3829, 0.3035, 0.3607, 0.3454, 0.1873, 0.1224, 0.3934, 0.4188, 0.6812, 0.5341, 0.4345, 0.3057, 0.2911, 0.2454, 0.3324, 0.3677, 0.3677, 0.3385, 0.3552, 0.2737, 0.1937, 0.1937, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2037945444861640719", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-28T17:30:31+00:00", "symbol": "RDDT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If they $RDDT knows people's info for account verification. The sad reality is that their targeted ad revenue goes up like $META", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Account verification would boost RDDT's targeted ad revenue, implying long-term upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["RDDT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@SidG1293 If they $RDDT knows people’s info for account verification. The sad reality is that their targeted ad revenue goes up like $META.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Off topic here, but what are your thoughts on $RDDT's announcement on crackdown on bots as well as potentially introducing account verification?\n\nCouldn't this in the long run take away their 'moat' of anonymity", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SidG1293", "ret_m1d": -0.01844840865380981, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01844840865380981, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02180308727878455, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009926750847704557, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008521657806105254, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08474983385030832, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08474983385030832, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05568190815139351, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05788801882185668, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02686181502845164, "ret_p1w": 0.11447675339476726, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11447675339476726, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07181646378850526, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07927850326524921, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03519825012951805, "ret_p1m": 0.19173443928927458, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.19173443928927458, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06558915480750516, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11957807599186387, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07215636329741071, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.8518, 0.8518, 0.9487, 0.9661, 1.0447, 1.0583, 1.0458, 0.9702, 0.9658, 1.086, 1.0332, 0.8428, 0.861, 0.861, 0.8155, 0.6928, 0.7283, 0.7633, 0.721, 0.5814, 0.5559, 0.5311, 0.4523, 0.4271, 0.3326, 0.2301, 0.2169, 0.1265, 0.1419, 0.2082, 0.1221, 0.0559, 0.125, 0.125, 0.1216, 0.1879, 0.1772, 0.2098, 0.1477, 0.1446, 0.2058, 0.2185, 0.1747, 0.1851, 0.1737, 0.1866, 0.1628, 0.1229, 0.1187, 0.0806, 0.1046, 0.0654, 0.0663, 0.1278, 0.1627, 0.1503, 0.1127, 0.1266, 0.1356, 0.0966, 0.1249, 0.0252, -0.0184, 0.0, 0.0847, 0.0971, 0.0956, 0.0956, 0.1145, 0.137, 0.1681, 0.1148, 0.1257, 0.2032, 0.245, 0.2767, 0.3087, 0.3196, 0.3396, 0.2634, 0.3237, 0.2323, 0.2478, 0.2907, 0.1917, 0.1903, 0.1861, 0.3412, 0.362, 0.3827, 0.3418, 0.3208, 0.2551, 0.285, 0.2273, 0.2416, 0.2592, 0.2742, 0.2818, 0.2477, 0.182, 0.2087, 0.1413, 0.1413, 0.1652, 0.2422, 0.3509, 0.4179, 0.4179, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2048785899610427809", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-27T15:26:37+00:00", "symbol": "POET", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this is why I don't like companies with single customer concentration risk", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish POET after Marvell cancelled purchase orders; single-customer concentration risk, Marvell was basically the entire bull case.", "resolved_tickers": ["POET"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$MRVL cancelled $POET purchase orders after the CFO went out and violated NDA when getting angry.\n\nOuch to Poet, down -46%, this is why I don’t like companies with single customer concentration risk.\n\nOn the bright side for $POET holders they do have $420m cash buffering downside risk and a few other customers (though Marvell was basically the entire Poet bull case story)\n\nIt does look like Marvell delayed their own timelines as well by doing this.\n\nThat being said, the packaging side is easier to design out for Marvell and they still need to source lasers.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.8993711627353491, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.8993711627353491, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.9010910062664562, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.8990156286771394, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0017198435311071014, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00035553405820976103, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010062883726465133, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010062883726465133, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.014928832454611296, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03979072716706067, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004865948728146163, "bench_c_p1d": -0.029727843440595536, "ret_p1w": -0.10566033910740158, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10566033910740158, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1096314605517219, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10670722957687051, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003971121444320325, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0010468904694689307, "ret_p1m": 0.6792453712906117, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.6792453712906117, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.6297186226969669, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.4898565137207622, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04952674859364481, "bench_c_p1m": 0.18938885756984947, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2176, -0.2516, -0.2704, -0.2654, -0.2403, -0.2943, -0.3484, -0.2616, -0.2189, -0.2654, -0.2667, -0.2893, -0.2981, -0.2981, -0.3057, -0.2981, -0.2994, -0.2843, -0.3057, -0.2314, -0.2, -0.2151, -0.2453, -0.1308, -0.1145, -0.1396, -0.1648, -0.2101, -0.1585, -0.1195, -0.0642, -0.0642, -0.1409, -0.1308, -0.1736, -0.2226, -0.2164, -0.2541, -0.2377, -0.278, -0.2327, -0.3094, -0.3472, -0.361, -0.2528, -0.2956, -0.2314, -0.2314, -0.2352, -0.2503, -0.2176, -0.2352, -0.1145, -0.0818, -0.156, -0.1233, -0.0767, -0.0868, 0.0805, 0.2893, 0.6063, 0.4742, 0.8994, 0.0, 0.0101, -0.1698, -0.1044, -0.0805, -0.1057, 0.1585, 0.2226, 0.205, 0.3774, 0.7484, 0.727, 0.8075, 1.5874, 1.0088, 0.7874, 0.644, 0.8591, 0.8642, 0.8352, 0.8352, 0.6792, 0.6704, 0.6679, 0.5459, 0.5459, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2044279346945503600", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-15T04:59:11+00:00", "symbol": "6961.T", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Was one my positions wanted to share my thoughts about since it seemed p cool at sub <$1B MC", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long Enplas at ~$985M market cap: dominant MLA supplier for photonics (1.6T/3.2T) + oligopoly IC test socket supplier for AI chip testing, strong balance sheet with net cash.", "resolved_tickers": ["6961.T"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWJ", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='T')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Enplas (6961) at ~$985M seems kinda interesting. \n
They hold two chokepoints:\n\n1. Dominant supplier for MLAs (micro lens arrays). Eg. SiPH switches, 1.6T, 3.2T for photonics. 
\n2. Oligopoly supplier for IC Test sockets (AI Chip Testing) \n\nCash on hand: ~$155M, no debt.  Equity-to-Asset Ratio: ~89% (50%+ usually is solid), so low downside risk imo. \n
And their speculated customers: \n\n1, Photonics (MLAs): Highly probable: Innolight, Eoptolink, Furukawa, Intel (SiPh). And prob $COHR, $LITE.\n\n2. GPU/ASICs (Test Sockets): prob $TSM, ASE, types use these to likely test $NVDA GPUs, $GOOGL TPUs (Google Ironwood is highly probable).\n\n\"expanding mass production orders for major GPU manufacturers, and for ASIC-related projects for hyperscalers.\"
\nThen at OFC:\n\nOFC: “We will be showcasing our new products for 800Gbps and 1.6Tbps transceivers and CPO (Co-Packaged Optics) that support today’s rapid technological advancements in AI.” \n\nBasically you have a company that supplies T1 semis, foundries, hyperscalers, that benefits from 1.6T from MLA photonics segment + CPO TAM expansion later from OFC products.  \n\nWas one my positions wanted to share my thoughts about since it seemed p cool at sub <$1B MC.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05282112845138054, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05282112845138054, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04499191387636592, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.056638395415005705, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00782921457501462, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0038172669636251655, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.021608643457383003, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.021608643457383003, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.019151331834778684, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.017791376493757838, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002457311622604319, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0038172669636251655, "ret_p1w": 0.01680672268907557, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01680672268907557, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0007053147227642498, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03151422873019072, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01610140796631132, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014707506041115148, "ret_p1m": -0.07863145258103243, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07863145258103243, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.147537330657043, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11220053166505617, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06890587807601056, "bench_c_p1m": 0.033569079084023734, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4366, -0.4504, -0.4665, -0.4683, -0.4288, -0.4282, -0.4462, -0.4426, -0.4605, -0.4456, -0.4581, -0.3684, -0.3212, -0.2763, -0.2614, -0.2087, -0.1758, -0.2045, -0.2045, -0.1782, -0.1938, -0.2129, -0.2003, -0.1549, -0.1716, -0.1393, -0.1393, -0.1208, -0.1322, -0.1471, -0.1477, -0.1393, -0.1459, -0.1824, -0.0861, -0.0688, -0.1728, -0.0718, -0.049, -0.0963, -0.052, -0.0532, -0.1519, -0.1029, -0.125, -0.125, -0.171, -0.1507, -0.1041, -0.1836, -0.247, -0.2815, -0.3001, -0.2497, -0.2785, -0.2467, -0.2269, -0.2389, -0.1453, -0.1477, -0.0852, -0.1086, -0.0528, 0.0, 0.0216, -0.0036, 0.0336, 0.0558, 0.0168, -0.0036, 0.012, -0.0012, -0.0054, -0.0054, 0.027, -0.2131, -0.2131, -0.2131, -0.2131, -0.2029, -0.1747, -0.1471, -0.1285, -0.0606, -0.0786, -0.1669, -0.1627, -0.2125, -0.2329, -0.2209, -0.1867, -0.1717, -0.2413, -0.2605, -0.2527, -0.2755, -0.2623, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2047375576894452068", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-23T18:02:30+00:00", "symbol": "AAPL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Imagine Apple mass producing consumer hardware with 50M+/units a year", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish SIVE as Apple's InP laser array supplier for 50M+/yr consumer hardware; tailwind also for AAPL and GOOGL as adopters.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAPL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The secret is that $AAPL 🍎 is using $SIVE InP laser arrays for mass production of consumer hardware (high confidence).\n\nLaunch date around late H2 2027 from estimates and the graph provided.\n\nImagine Apple mass producing consumer hardware with 50M+/units a year…\n\nOff a $850m MC laser supplier lol.  \n\nThen with whatever Apple does, you’ll get $GOOGL, Samsung, and the others following along next.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@SiversSemicond @aleabitoreddit a bit cryptic, thoughts?", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0009507896268192706, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0009507896268192706, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004846632266480855, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004846632266480855, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003895842639661584, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003895842639661584, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008667702544387201, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008667702544387201, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016417000504411416, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016417000504411416, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007749297960024215, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007749297960024215, "ret_p1w": -0.007606987292754219, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.007606987292754219, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.022018675854510228, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.022018675854510228, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014411688561756009, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014411688561756009, "ret_p1m": 0.13047043363759858, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13047043363759858, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07797554790028527, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07797554790028527, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05249488573731331, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05249488573731331, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0668, -0.0563, -0.063, -0.0563, -0.0519, -0.0134, -0.0154, 0.0102, 0.0081, 0.0162, 0.0044, 0.0009, 0.0076, -0.0428, -0.0646, -0.0646, -0.0349, -0.0332, -0.047, -0.0324, -0.0265, -0.0047, 0.0029, -0.0018, -0.0338, -0.0319, -0.0354, -0.0399, -0.0481, -0.0584, -0.0496, -0.0461, -0.0462, -0.0646, -0.0853, -0.0754, -0.0702, -0.0859, -0.0895, -0.093, -0.0802, -0.0797, -0.0761, -0.0751, -0.0901, -0.098, -0.0718, -0.0651, -0.064, -0.064, -0.0533, -0.0729, -0.0531, -0.0473, -0.0474, -0.052, -0.0534, -0.0256, -0.0367, -0.0117, -0.0014, -0.0266, -0.001, 0.0, -0.0087, -0.0213, -0.0099, -0.0119, -0.0076, 0.0245, 0.0124, 0.0393, 0.0515, 0.0512, 0.0727, 0.0714, 0.0791, 0.094, 0.0916, 0.099, 0.0903, 0.0944, 0.1064, 0.1165, 0.1305, 0.1305, 0.1287, 0.1379, 0.144, 0.1423, 0.1423, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2047375576894452068", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-04-23T18:02:30+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "you'll get $GOOGL, Samsung, and the others following along next", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish SIVE as Apple's InP laser array supplier for 50M+/yr consumer hardware; tailwind also for AAPL and GOOGL as adopters.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The secret is that $AAPL 🍎 is using $SIVE InP laser arrays for mass production of consumer hardware (high confidence).\n\nLaunch date around late H2 2027 from estimates and the graph provided.\n\nImagine Apple mass producing consumer hardware with 50M+/units a year…\n\nOff a $850m MC laser supplier lol.  \n\nThen with whatever Apple does, you’ll get $GOOGL, Samsung, and the others following along next.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@SiversSemicond @aleabitoreddit a bit cryptic, thoughts?", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0012688266316354113, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0012688266316354113, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.002627016008026173, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0029052756455363316, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003895842639661584, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004174102277171743, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.016258901147509164, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.016258901147509164, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008509603187484949, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03201832259516124, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007749297960024215, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015759421447652078, "ret_p1w": 0.13547160187696283, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.13547160187696283, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12105991331520682, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.142967958108272, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014411688561756009, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007496356231309176, "ret_p1m": 0.13007165943792698, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13007165943792698, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07757677370061367, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14651258554075108, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05249488573731331, "bench_c_p1m": -0.016440926102824105, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0173, -0.0135, -0.0092, -0.0026, -0.0033, 0.0135, 0.0017, -0.018, -0.0232, -0.048, -0.0437, -0.0606, -0.0831, -0.0888, -0.0985, -0.0985, -0.1094, -0.1056, -0.107, -0.0712, -0.0815, -0.0832, -0.0773, -0.0936, -0.0807, -0.0962, -0.1048, -0.1062, -0.1128, -0.1197, -0.096, -0.094, -0.0891, -0.1043, -0.108, -0.0984, -0.0825, -0.0921, -0.0937, -0.1118, -0.1087, -0.143, -0.1415, -0.1711, -0.1905, -0.193, -0.1515, -0.1225, -0.1272, -0.1272, -0.1148, -0.0986, -0.0636, -0.0602, -0.0639, -0.0519, -0.0176, -0.0052, -0.0085, 0.0082, -0.0043, -0.0195, 0.0013, 0.0, 0.0163, 0.0338, 0.0321, 0.0326, 0.1355, 0.1381, 0.1309, 0.1462, 0.1745, 0.1744, 0.1827, 0.1468, 0.143, 0.1881, 0.1835, 0.1708, 0.1713, 0.1439, 0.1476, 0.1439, 0.1301, 0.1301, 0.1475, 0.1474, 0.1512, 0.1223, 0.1223, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2058872312875950552", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-25T11:26:26+00:00", "symbol": "Foci", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Foci/Shunsin I kinda expect to 3-4x", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "SIVE seen as highest upside (next LITE, potential 20x+); Foci/Shunsin expected to 3-4x on structural re-rating from FAU/component/packaging demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["3363.TWO"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Foci Taiwan CPO; retrying .TWO for Taipei OTC listing", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TWO')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SIVE is highest possible upside, since I see them being the next $LITE (which started at ~$2.6B as well in 2024, but now is $80B). \n\nAs laser chokepoints are known to downstream TAM expand, then vertically integrate assembly/fabs after. \n\nFoci/Shunsin I kinda expect to 3-4x. \n\nThey're more structural re-rating from FAU/component revenue growth... or just more demand on packaging/test. But hard to see them going up 20x.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit At these levels where do you see more upside SIVE or plays like Foci and Shunsin", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Ecom_Venture2", "ret_m1d": 0.007092198581560183, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007092198581560183, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007092198581560183, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007092198581560183, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.046099290780141855, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.046099290780141855, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.039460682189151663, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00863019344314564, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0066386085909901915, "bench_c_p1d": 0.054729484223287495, "ret_p1w": -0.03900709219858156, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03900709219858156, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05354489275562846, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10034540969170302, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014537800557046898, "bench_c_p1w": 0.061338317493121464, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2967, -0.2884, -0.2884, -0.2577, -0.266, -0.3392, -0.2754, -0.3002, -0.37, -0.3262, -0.2825, -0.3085, -0.2624, -0.2553, -0.279, -0.2518, -0.2104, -0.1324, -0.2187, -0.2139, -0.1986, -0.2447, -0.2411, -0.2778, -0.3499, -0.2849, -0.2908, -0.2908, -0.2908, -0.2199, -0.1489, -0.0981, -0.0733, -0.117, -0.1158, -0.0284, -0.0189, 0.0626, 0.1678, 0.1702, 0.13, 0.0768, -0.0296, -0.1265, -0.1194, -0.1087, -0.091, -0.091, -0.0095, 0.0307, -0.0366, -0.0366, -0.0426, 0.0083, 0.0875, 0.0083, 0.0662, -0.0059, -0.0496, -0.0839, -0.0816, -0.0331, 0.0071, 0.0, 0.0461, 0.0012, -0.0366, -0.0579, -0.039, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2058872312875950552", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-05-25T11:26:26+00:00", "symbol": "Shunsin", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Foci/Shunsin I kinda expect to 3-4x", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "SIVE seen as highest upside (next LITE, potential 20x+); Foci/Shunsin expected to 3-4x on structural re-rating from FAU/component/packaging demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["6451.TW"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Shunsin Technology listed on TWSE as 6451.TW", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TW')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SIVE is highest possible upside, since I see them being the next $LITE (which started at ~$2.6B as well in 2024, but now is $80B). \n\nAs laser chokepoints are known to downstream TAM expand, then vertically integrate assembly/fabs after. \n\nFoci/Shunsin I kinda expect to 3-4x. \n\nThey're more structural re-rating from FAU/component revenue growth... or just more demand on packaging/test. But hard to see them going up 20x.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit At these levels where do you see more upside SIVE or plays like Foci and Shunsin", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Ecom_Venture2", "ret_m1d": -0.09027777777777779, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09027777777777779, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09027777777777779, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09027777777777779, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09722222222222232, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09722222222222232, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09058361363123213, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.042492737998934826, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0066386085909901915, "bench_c_p1d": 0.054729484223287495, "ret_p1w": 0.06423611111111116, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06423611111111116, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04969831055406426, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.002897793617989697, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014537800557046898, "bench_c_p1w": 0.061338317493121464, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6337, -0.6372, -0.6372, -0.645, -0.6398, -0.6753, -0.6615, -0.6701, -0.7031, -0.7005, -0.671, -0.6597, -0.6259, -0.5885, -0.5477, -0.5156, -0.5278, -0.5234, -0.513, -0.4965, -0.4462, -0.4236, -0.3663, -0.4297, -0.4861, -0.4705, -0.487, -0.487, -0.487, -0.4358, -0.3793, -0.3177, -0.25, -0.1753, -0.1736, -0.2083, -0.1424, -0.1233, -0.1198, -0.1771, -0.1389, -0.2248, -0.3021, -0.3411, -0.2969, -0.3099, -0.2517, -0.2517, -0.1771, -0.0955, -0.171, -0.1493, -0.2344, -0.2092, -0.2075, -0.1701, -0.0885, 0.0017, -0.0972, -0.1597, -0.1571, -0.1337, -0.0903, 0.0, 0.0972, 0.0451, -0.0122, -0.0104, 0.0642, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2038097083572629976", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-29T03:33:05+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I think it's with the shot of investing in $LITE at the start", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish LITE: competent management, photonics supercycle tailwind, hedge fund attention helping escape small-cap obscurity.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "We’ve just seen $LITE pull off this exact same playbook and go up 3600%+... \n\nYou don’t need to reinvent the wheel. \n\nI actually think management is competent and they’ve gone down the right path with the resources they had (eg. Nondilutive grants, Win semi fabless, etc.)\n\nThen they attempted photonics spinoff in 2024-Feb 2025, but didn’t work because that was before photonics had a super cycle.\n\nBut I think the recent attention may have helped them escape the valley of doom in small cap Sweden, lot of hedge funds are researching them now.\n\nSo I think it’s with the shot of investing in $LITE at the start.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit It sounds to me you need a very competent management team to pull this off… I’m long SIVE but I’m not sure if they have experienced enough leadership to execute all of these? Or perhaps once institution gets in to guide them?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "yuntungshieh", "ret_m1d": 0.07321431917121424, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07321431917121424, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0698596405462395, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0698596405462395, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07326018013103752, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07326018013103752, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04419225443212271, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04419225443212271, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "ret_p1w": 0.17943165780192327, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.17943165780192327, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.13677136819566127, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13677136819566127, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "bench_c_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "ret_p1m": 0.20858599195624872, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.20858599195624872, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08244070747447929, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08244070747447929, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4371, -0.4371, -0.4103, -0.4547, -0.3931, -0.4, -0.4681, -0.4633, -0.4809, -0.4482, -0.4935, -0.4758, -0.5048, -0.5048, -0.455, -0.4465, -0.4586, -0.482, -0.4923, -0.4339, -0.412, -0.4175, -0.4016, -0.3533, -0.3355, -0.289, -0.2296, -0.157, -0.1186, -0.143, -0.1232, -0.1089, -0.1406, -0.1406, -0.083, -0.0924, -0.0292, 0.0198, 0.0305, 0.0511, 0.1048, 0.0339, 0.0704, 0.1962, 0.0605, 0.0397, -0.0061, -0.1471, -0.0215, 0.0263, 0.0263, -0.0591, -0.0493, -0.0457, -0.008, 0.0703, 0.1792, 0.0787, 0.1133, 0.2248, 0.1869, 0.0519, 0.0732, 0.0, 0.0733, 0.1678, 0.2628, 0.2628, 0.1794, 0.2458, 0.3684, 0.3655, 0.3704, 0.3305, 0.3024, 0.2584, 0.3611, 0.3654, 0.367, 0.2782, 0.3342, 0.2934, 0.3464, 0.3129, 0.2086, 0.3108, 0.378, 0.4507, 0.4908, 0.5189, 0.4421, 0.3632, 0.3803, 0.6083, 0.5156, 0.5736, 0.53, 0.4825, 0.3515, 0.3594, 0.3257, 0.473, 0.4461, 0.4461, 0.391, 0.378, 0.3143, 0.3057, 0.3057, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2060262294643507492", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-29T07:29:43+00:00", "symbol": "CPO", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd expect that number to just keep on compounding exponentially as we approach H2 2027, which is the true inflection of scale up CPO", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish on co-packaged optics (CPO) space: 77% growth is just the start, compounding exponentially into H2 2027 inflection.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR", "LITE", "AAOI", "FN", "POET"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Co-packaged optics sector basket", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@RyanU_1F42B This is 77% growth, from literally the start of the CPO supercycle H1 2026. \n\nI’d expect that number to just keep on compounding exponentially as we approach H2 2027, which is the true inflection of scale up CPO.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Very true, I did like hearing about the ratio of photonics to wireless and their invitation to continue with their US Gov contracts as well…seems like they are well diversified for the buildout..and yea 77% is just the start 🤯", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "RyanU_1F42B", "ret_m1d": 0.04328598549728095, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04328598549728095, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.045771186601542266, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.045771186601542266, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0024852011042613142, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0024852011042613142, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2782, -0.2791, -0.3051, -0.3664, -0.3007, -0.2665, -0.262, -0.3105, -0.3332, -0.329, -0.3433, -0.3232, -0.2715, -0.3326, -0.3018, -0.2408, -0.2368, -0.3239, -0.3237, -0.3847, -0.3409, -0.3203, -0.2625, -0.2625, -0.2751, -0.252, -0.1792, -0.1773, -0.1128, -0.1027, -0.1247, -0.1336, -0.0863, -0.0696, -0.0381, -0.0445, 0.0057, -0.0396, 0.0629, -0.0982, -0.1477, -0.1334, -0.0797, -0.0288, -0.0356, -0.0018, 0.0028, -0.0684, -0.0469, 0.1147, 0.0942, 0.1927, 0.2784, 0.1597, 0.0719, 0.0401, 0.0531, 0.1142, 0.1122, 0.1122, 0.0737, 0.0746, 0.0433, 0.0, 0.0, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2051365534655271076", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-04T18:17:10+00:00", "symbol": "SIVEF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Extremely bullish on $SIVEF, especially long term.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Extremely bullish on SIVEF long term, citing Goldman Sachs CPO demand growth trajectory.", "resolved_tickers": ["SIVEF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TR7016 Extremely bullish on $SIVEF, especially long term. \n\nIf you look at Goldman Sach’s report on CPO it’s just a massive vertical line up over the next few years.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Are u still bullish for sivef longterm or has it already run ?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TR7016", "ret_m1d": -0.16040956242380067, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.16040956242380067, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.16408641178875483, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1663883677045055, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00367684936495416, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005978805280704824, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008022185884992261, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03137392929694083, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008022185884992261, "bench_c_p1d": 0.03137392929694083, "ret_p1w": -0.04607508101959501, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04607508101959501, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07572644762699554, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.18325219154171302, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02965136660740053, "bench_c_p1w": 0.137177110522118, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, -0.7671, -0.7474, -0.7915, -0.8225, -0.8328, -0.8072, -0.8072, -0.8085, -0.8085, -0.8174, -0.8217, -0.785, -0.7901, -0.7594, -0.6587, -0.6962, -0.5939, -0.5068, -0.558, -0.372, -0.4181, -0.4232, -0.4681, -0.3959, -0.4036, -0.413, -0.2935, -0.1775, -0.1604, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0597, -0.1331, -0.18, -0.0461, -0.1775, 0.0003, 0.0887, 0.0154, -0.143, -0.1246, -0.0102, 0.0751, 0.2662, 0.2662, 0.6041, 0.4386, 0.3157, 0.2509, 0.2509, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2057388984310132855", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-21T09:12:12+00:00", "symbol": "AMD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "bullish on Taiwan supply chains all around from $AMD news", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on AMD and its named Taiwan supply-chain partners (ASX, SPIL, Sanmina, Wiwynn, Wistron, Inventec) on AMD's $10B+ Taiwan ecosystem investment.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just as I say this:\n\n$AMD invests $10B+ into Taiwan ecosystem (for securing capacity/scaling infra)\n\nAMD is collaborating with $ASX and SPIL.\n\nAs well as ODM partners like “ $SANM, Wiwynn (6669), Wistron (3231) and Inventec (2356).\n\nPTI, Unimicron, AIC, Nan Ya PCB, and Kinsus were also name dropped as direct beneficiaries.\n\nAnd of course second order beneficiaries  like Foci or MSScorps also benefit. \n\nBut bullish on Taiwan supply chains all around from $AMD news.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Just in case you want to frontrun the next major catalyst: \n\n$NVDA June 1 Computex/GTC Taipei keynote should be heavily bullish Taiwan optical ecosystem?\n\nJust like when I went long on $TSEM and others in Nvidia’s US event.\n\nShunsin, Foci, Nextronics, MSScorps, and a lot of my https://t.co/Ko8kpvJsCz", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.004470761765158038, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.004470761765158038, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0024915895857249293, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0024915895857249293, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0019791721794331085, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0019791721794331085, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.039858567970152414, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.039858567970152414, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.035927013601756874, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.035927013601756874, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00393155436839554, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00393155436839554, "ret_p1w": 0.15236110917845402, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.15236110917845402, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1363658413097768, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1363658413097768, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01599526786867722, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01599526786867722, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5627, -0.5244, -0.531, -0.547, -0.5547, -0.5582, -0.5753, -0.5505, -0.5564, -0.572, -0.5492, -0.548, -0.5444, -0.5602, -0.5699, -0.5628, -0.5634, -0.5564, -0.5434, -0.5522, -0.5492, -0.5432, -0.5101, -0.5468, -0.5507, -0.564, -0.5475, -0.5324, -0.5162, -0.5162, -0.5103, -0.5073, -0.4844, -0.4737, -0.455, -0.451, -0.4327, -0.4259, -0.3811, -0.3808, -0.3884, -0.3672, -0.325, -0.3209, -0.2264, -0.2557, -0.2811, -0.2502, -0.2115, -0.1981, -0.2403, -0.2098, -0.0627, -0.0915, 0.0125, 0.0205, -0.0029, -0.0091, 0.0002, -0.0567, -0.0636, -0.079, -0.0045, 0.0, 0.0399, 0.0399, 0.1208, 0.1022, 0.1524, 0.1479, 0.1479, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2057388984310132855", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-21T09:12:12+00:00", "symbol": "ASX", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "AMD is collaborating with $ASX and SPIL", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on AMD and its named Taiwan supply-chain partners (ASX, SPIL, Sanmina, Wiwynn, Wistron, Inventec) on AMD's $10B+ Taiwan ecosystem investment.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASX"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Context: AMD collaborating with ASX (ASE Technology ADR)", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just as I say this:\n\n$AMD invests $10B+ into Taiwan ecosystem (for securing capacity/scaling infra)\n\nAMD is collaborating with $ASX and SPIL.\n\nAs well as ODM partners like “ $SANM, Wiwynn (6669), Wistron (3231) and Inventec (2356).\n\nPTI, Unimicron, AIC, Nan Ya PCB, and Kinsus were also name dropped as direct beneficiaries.\n\nAnd of course second order beneficiaries  like Foci or MSScorps also benefit. \n\nBut bullish on Taiwan supply chains all around from $AMD news.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Just in case you want to frontrun the next major catalyst: \n\n$NVDA June 1 Computex/GTC Taipei keynote should be heavily bullish Taiwan optical ecosystem?\n\nJust like when I went long on $TSEM and others in Nvidia’s US event.\n\nShunsin, Foci, Nextronics, MSScorps, and a lot of my https://t.co/Ko8kpvJsCz", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.029105357639562568, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.029105357639562568, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02712618546012946, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02343508978263087, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0019791721794331085, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005670267856931699, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06648290515381494, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06648290515381494, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0625513507854194, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.051620606131422164, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00393155436839554, "bench_c_p1d": 0.014862299022392778, "ret_p1w": 0.24387252553065664, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.24387252553065664, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.22787725766197942, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1876106182046109, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01599526786867722, "bench_c_p1w": 0.056261907326045746, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2806, -0.2396, -0.2307, -0.2577, -0.2558, -0.2586, -0.3165, -0.3229, -0.3241, -0.3529, -0.3364, -0.3349, -0.329, -0.3569, -0.3413, -0.3407, -0.3312, -0.3364, -0.329, -0.3471, -0.3358, -0.3404, -0.3137, -0.3434, -0.3413, -0.36, -0.3358, -0.3113, -0.3174, -0.3174, -0.3091, -0.3202, -0.2604, -0.2491, -0.239, -0.1866, -0.1768, -0.1657, -0.1544, -0.1241, -0.1029, -0.0931, -0.0824, -0.0867, -0.0196, -0.0548, -0.0784, -0.0628, -0.0377, -0.0322, -0.011, 0.0245, 0.0466, 0.0214, 0.0487, 0.0815, 0.0502, 0.0867, 0.08, 0.0358, -0.0303, -0.0536, -0.0291, 0.0, 0.0665, 0.0665, 0.1933, 0.197, 0.2439, 0.1749, 0.1749, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2057388984310132855", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-05-21T09:12:12+00:00", "symbol": "SANM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "ODM partners like $SANM, Wiwynn (6669), Wistron (3231) and Inventec (2356)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on AMD and its named Taiwan supply-chain partners (ASX, SPIL, Sanmina, Wiwynn, Wistron, Inventec) on AMD's $10B+ Taiwan ecosystem investment.", "resolved_tickers": ["SANM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Electronic Components'", "bench_c_industry": "Electronic Components", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just as I say this:\n\n$AMD invests $10B+ into Taiwan ecosystem (for securing capacity/scaling infra)\n\nAMD is collaborating with $ASX and SPIL.\n\nAs well as ODM partners like “ $SANM, Wiwynn (6669), Wistron (3231) and Inventec (2356).\n\nPTI, Unimicron, AIC, Nan Ya PCB, and Kinsus were also name dropped as direct beneficiaries.\n\nAnd of course second order beneficiaries  like Foci or MSScorps also benefit. \n\nBut bullish on Taiwan supply chains all around from $AMD news.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Just in case you want to frontrun the next major catalyst: \n\n$NVDA June 1 Computex/GTC Taipei keynote should be heavily bullish Taiwan optical ecosystem?\n\nJust like when I went long on $TSEM and others in Nvidia’s US event.\n\nShunsin, Foci, Nextronics, MSScorps, and a lot of my https://t.co/Ko8kpvJsCz", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.013568902228573654, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013568902228573654, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011589730049140545, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.005394172867024927, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0019791721794331085, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008174729361548727, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.051544639868554176, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.051544639868554176, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.047613085500158636, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04152228138612868, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00393155436839554, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010022358482425497, "ret_p1w": 0.12318659455875336, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12318659455875336, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10719132669007614, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07699398695481885, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01599526786867722, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04619260760393451, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.369, -0.3251, -0.3117, -0.3112, -0.3375, -0.3928, -0.4113, -0.4045, -0.4441, -0.4752, -0.4657, -0.47, -0.4586, -0.4609, -0.4658, -0.4722, -0.4662, -0.4665, -0.4443, -0.4758, -0.4394, -0.4248, -0.4088, -0.4412, -0.4415, -0.4708, -0.4468, -0.4445, -0.4444, -0.4444, -0.4483, -0.4375, -0.4033, -0.3948, -0.3695, -0.345, -0.3409, -0.3416, -0.279, -0.2572, -0.2513, -0.2573, -0.2482, -0.2319, -0.1801, -0.1975, -0.0806, -0.1096, -0.0706, -0.0473, -0.076, -0.0532, 0.0179, 0.0116, 0.0597, 0.0473, 0.0063, 0.0182, 0.0328, 0.0042, -0.0393, -0.0412, -0.0136, 0.0, 0.0515, 0.0515, 0.1093, 0.1172, 0.1232, 0.1083, 0.1083, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2057388984310132855", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-05-21T09:12:12+00:00", "symbol": "Wiwynn", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "ODM partners like $SANM, Wiwynn (6669), Wistron (3231) and Inventec (2356)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on AMD and its named Taiwan supply-chain partners (ASX, SPIL, Sanmina, Wiwynn, Wistron, Inventec) on AMD's $10B+ Taiwan ecosystem investment.", "resolved_tickers": ["6669.TW"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Wiwynn Corp listed on TWSE as 6669.TW", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TW')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just as I say this:\n\n$AMD invests $10B+ into Taiwan ecosystem (for securing capacity/scaling infra)\n\nAMD is collaborating with $ASX and SPIL.\n\nAs well as ODM partners like “ $SANM, Wiwynn (6669), Wistron (3231) and Inventec (2356).\n\nPTI, Unimicron, AIC, Nan Ya PCB, and Kinsus were also name dropped as direct beneficiaries.\n\nAnd of course second order beneficiaries  like Foci or MSScorps also benefit. \n\nBut bullish on Taiwan supply chains all around from $AMD news.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Just in case you want to frontrun the next major catalyst: \n\n$NVDA June 1 Computex/GTC Taipei keynote should be heavily bullish Taiwan optical ecosystem?\n\nJust like when I went long on $TSEM and others in Nvidia’s US event.\n\nShunsin, Foci, Nextronics, MSScorps, and a lot of my https://t.co/Ko8kpvJsCz", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08138447146866234, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08138447146866234, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07940529928922924, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05439174341946462, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0019791721794331085, "bench_c_m1d": -0.026992728049197723, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.033676333021515514, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.033676333021515514, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.029744778653119974, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.008589055721172745, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00393155436839554, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02508727730034277, "ret_p1w": -0.07390084190832558, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07390084190832558, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0898961097770028, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.15720765905127676, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01599526786867722, "bench_c_p1w": 0.08330681714295118, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2853, -0.2825, -0.2404, -0.2516, -0.2516, -0.2236, -0.2245, -0.2685, -0.2105, -0.2114, -0.2647, -0.2591, -0.2161, -0.2357, -0.2385, -0.2507, -0.2582, -0.2844, -0.2956, -0.2881, -0.3181, -0.3031, -0.2965, -0.3517, -0.3648, -0.3695, -0.3826, -0.3601, -0.362, -0.362, -0.362, -0.3648, -0.3321, -0.3302, -0.3209, -0.3181, -0.2975, -0.304, -0.3078, -0.2881, -0.2554, -0.2105, -0.1862, -0.2049, -0.1328, -0.0851, -0.102, -0.0935, -0.1254, -0.1254, -0.0907, -0.1104, -0.0702, -0.087, -0.0271, -0.0009, 0.0833, 0.044, 0.0168, -0.043, -0.0477, -0.0851, -0.0814, 0.0, 0.0337, 0.0496, -0.0122, -0.0505, -0.0739, 0.0187, 0.043, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2057388984310132855", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2026-05-21T09:12:12+00:00", "symbol": "Wistron", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "ODM partners like $SANM, Wiwynn (6669), Wistron (3231) and Inventec (2356)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on AMD and its named Taiwan supply-chain partners (ASX, SPIL, Sanmina, Wiwynn, Wistron, Inventec) on AMD's $10B+ Taiwan ecosystem investment.", "resolved_tickers": ["3231.TW"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Wistron Corp listed on TWSE as 3231.TW", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Computer Hardware'", "bench_c_industry": "Computer Hardware", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just as I say this:\n\n$AMD invests $10B+ into Taiwan ecosystem (for securing capacity/scaling infra)\n\nAMD is collaborating with $ASX and SPIL.\n\nAs well as ODM partners like “ $SANM, Wiwynn (6669), Wistron (3231) and Inventec (2356).\n\nPTI, Unimicron, AIC, Nan Ya PCB, and Kinsus were also name dropped as direct beneficiaries.\n\nAnd of course second order beneficiaries  like Foci or MSScorps also benefit. \n\nBut bullish on Taiwan supply chains all around from $AMD news.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Just in case you want to frontrun the next major catalyst: \n\n$NVDA June 1 Computex/GTC Taipei keynote should be heavily bullish Taiwan optical ecosystem?\n\nJust like when I went long on $TSEM and others in Nvidia’s US event.\n\nShunsin, Foci, Nextronics, MSScorps, and a lot of my https://t.co/Ko8kpvJsCz", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0535714285714286, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0535714285714286, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.051592256391995495, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.045396699209879876, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0019791721794331085, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008174729361548727, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03214285714285725, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03214285714285725, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02821130277446171, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.022120498660431753, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00393155436839554, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010022358482425497, "ret_p1w": 0.03214285714285725, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03214285714285725, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01614758927418003, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01404975046107726, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01599526786867722, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04619260760393451, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.075, -0.0643, -0.0143, -0.0286, -0.0286, -0.0357, -0.0607, -0.1071, -0.0821, -0.0679, -0.0893, -0.0786, -0.05, -0.0536, -0.0429, -0.0357, -0.0429, -0.0679, -0.0893, -0.0714, -0.1036, -0.0786, -0.0857, -0.0929, -0.0929, -0.1036, -0.125, -0.0929, -0.1071, -0.1071, -0.1071, -0.1179, -0.0643, -0.0536, -0.0357, -0.0393, -0.025, -0.05, -0.0429, -0.025, 0.0036, 0.0321, 0.0286, -0.0036, 0.0107, 0.0179, 0.0036, 0.0036, -0.0214, -0.0214, 0.0036, 0.0143, 0.0464, 0.0429, 0.0464, -0.0071, 0.0107, 0.0036, -0.0143, -0.0321, -0.0321, -0.0536, -0.0536, 0.0, 0.0321, 0.0643, 0.0429, 0.0357, 0.0321, 0.1321, 0.2429, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2057388984310132855", "ticker_idx": 6, "ts": "2026-05-21T09:12:12+00:00", "symbol": "Inventec", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "ODM partners like $SANM, Wiwynn (6669), Wistron (3231) and Inventec (2356)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on AMD and its named Taiwan supply-chain partners (ASX, SPIL, Sanmina, Wiwynn, Wistron, Inventec) on AMD's $10B+ Taiwan ecosystem investment.", "resolved_tickers": ["2356.TW"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Inventec Corp listed on TWSE as 2356.TW", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TW')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just as I say this:\n\n$AMD invests $10B+ into Taiwan ecosystem (for securing capacity/scaling infra)\n\nAMD is collaborating with $ASX and SPIL.\n\nAs well as ODM partners like “ $SANM, Wiwynn (6669), Wistron (3231) and Inventec (2356).\n\nPTI, Unimicron, AIC, Nan Ya PCB, and Kinsus were also name dropped as direct beneficiaries.\n\nAnd of course second order beneficiaries  like Foci or MSScorps also benefit. \n\nBut bullish on Taiwan supply chains all around from $AMD news.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Just in case you want to frontrun the next major catalyst: \n\n$NVDA June 1 Computex/GTC Taipei keynote should be heavily bullish Taiwan optical ecosystem?\n\nJust like when I went long on $TSEM and others in Nvidia’s US event.\n\nShunsin, Foci, Nextronics, MSScorps, and a lot of my https://t.co/Ko8kpvJsCz", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04990752355628514, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04990752355628514, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04792835137685203, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.022914795507087415, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0019791721794331085, "bench_c_m1d": -0.026992728049197723, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09981518813650281, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09981518813650281, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09588363376810727, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07472791083616004, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00393155436839554, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02508727730034277, "ret_p1w": 0.18114608739676163, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.18114608739676163, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1651508195280844, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09783927025381045, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01599526786867722, "bench_c_p1w": 0.08330681714295118, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.171, -0.1691, -0.1423, -0.1451, -0.1451, -0.1728, -0.2079, -0.256, -0.2255, -0.2274, -0.2597, -0.244, -0.2052, -0.2061, -0.2116, -0.2033, -0.1867, -0.1802, -0.1969, -0.2089, -0.2246, -0.219, -0.207, -0.2061, -0.2033, -0.2348, -0.2597, -0.2403, -0.2449, -0.2449, -0.2449, -0.2449, -0.2116, -0.1904, -0.1811, -0.1765, -0.1756, -0.1784, -0.1682, -0.1543, -0.1386, -0.1248, -0.1174, -0.1442, -0.1109, -0.1368, -0.1433, -0.1442, -0.1516, -0.1516, -0.1405, -0.1322, -0.0906, -0.0767, -0.0841, -0.0721, -0.0998, -0.024, -0.0166, -0.0351, -0.0407, -0.0444, -0.0499, 0.0, 0.0998, 0.2089, 0.1571, 0.146, 0.1811, 0.2976, 0.4104, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2039196578158911590", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-01T04:22:05+00:00", "symbol": "TSEM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "저는 요즘 $SOI나 $TSEM 등을 포함한 CPO(공동 패키지 광학)/실리콘 포토닉스 분야에 확실하게 집중하고 있습니다", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Currently focused on CPO/silicon photonics plays including SOI and TSEM.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSEM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "ko", "tweet_text": "정말 재미있게 읽었습니다. 공유해 주셔서 감사합니다!\n\n최근 이슈들에 대한 내용은 대부분 정확하네요! 저는 요즘 $SOI나 $TSEM 등을 포함한 CPO(공동 패키지 광학)/실리콘 포토닉스 분야에 확실하게 집중하고 있습니다.\n\n몇 가지 사소한 정정을 하자면, 5억~10억 달러($500m - $1B) 규모의 수치는 $SIVE 가 아니라 셀레스티얼(Celestial)에 해당하는 내용인 것 같습니다. 그래도 흥미롭게 잘 읽었습니다.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "https://t.co/3DmhdtUI9Y", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "SingularityRes", "ret_m1d": -0.06195547732348439, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06195547732348439, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05447735716608437, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05447735716608437, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0074781201574000145, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0074781201574000145, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05735818307283469, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05735818307283469, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05645770864474353, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05645770864474353, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009004744280911581, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0009004744280911581, "ret_p1w": 0.08879021062299453, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08879021062299453, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05709187132624205, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05709187132624205, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.031698339296752476, "bench_c_p1w": 0.031698339296752476, "ret_p1m": 0.18164320520203403, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.18164320520203403, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08485426701852772, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08485426701852772, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09678893818350631, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09678893818350631, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3492, -0.3623, -0.3463, -0.3467, -0.3728, -0.3584, -0.3516, -0.333, -0.3414, -0.3371, -0.306, -0.306, -0.3104, -0.2868, -0.3052, -0.3124, -0.3208, -0.2911, -0.2573, -0.2799, -0.2798, -0.2682, -0.2709, -0.3517, -0.31, -0.2567, -0.2114, -0.27, -0.2813, -0.2859, -0.3118, -0.3118, -0.3169, -0.3139, -0.3272, -0.3133, -0.3188, -0.3264, -0.3266, -0.338, -0.3325, -0.2592, -0.329, -0.3398, -0.3556, -0.4088, -0.3828, -0.3752, -0.3615, -0.3663, -0.3334, -0.2598, -0.2631, -0.2411, -0.1122, -0.1253, -0.0799, -0.0334, 0.0089, -0.0662, -0.081, -0.1523, -0.062, 0.0, 0.0574, 0.0574, 0.0167, 0.0203, 0.0888, 0.0895, 0.0883, 0.1197, 0.1445, 0.1527, 0.148, 0.2105, 0.2, 0.1585, 0.1017, 0.0759, 0.072, 0.0869, 0.0346, 0.0647, 0.1816, 0.1654, 0.1496, 0.2056, 0.1593, 0.1226, 0.128, 0.2235, 0.1805, 0.4474, 0.5005, 0.4646, 0.3261, 0.3432, 0.4138, 0.4915, 0.5151, 0.5151, 0.5424, 0.485, 0.4727, 0.3644, 0.3644, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2051432439432740931", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-04T22:43:01+00:00", "symbol": "GFS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Today GFS announced its SCALE™ solution, and went up 4.3%. This is bullish for $SIVE.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish SIVE as the likely CPO laser light source in GFS's SCALE ecosystem, powering hyperscaler buildouts via AMD and others; also bullish GFS on SCALE announcement.", "resolved_tickers": ["GFS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yes, markets might have missed this with $SIVE + $GFS SCALE. \n\nThe inclusion of $SIVE as 1 of 2 public laser suppliers in $GFS ecosystem image presentation is a highly bullish indicator for Sivers. \n\nWhenever semis like $AMD (using $GFS for CPO), builds their optical solutions with GlobalFoundries. \n\nSivers is the likely light source for their buildout and powers companies like $AMD -> Hyperscalers. \n\nThe hyperscaler buildout with CPO flows down to this tiny $1.7B MC laser light source in $SIVE.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit Today GFS announced its SCALE™ solution, and went up 4.3%. This is bullish for $SIVE.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04191876513491699, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04191876513491699, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04559561449987115, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.047897570415621815, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00367684936495416, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005978805280704824, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09284134192660276, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09284134192660276, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0848191560416105, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06146741262966193, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008022185884992261, "bench_c_p1d": 0.03137392929694083, "ret_p1w": 0.10686343710360924, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10686343710360924, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0772120704962087, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03031367341850877, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02965136660740053, "bench_c_p1w": 0.137177110522118, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3934, -0.3953, -0.3666, -0.3576, -0.3815, -0.2806, -0.2812, -0.2769, -0.2769, -0.2883, -0.3129, -0.3293, -0.3182, -0.3187, -0.2971, -0.2788, -0.3075, -0.2982, -0.2639, -0.303, -0.2979, -0.2866, -0.308, -0.3007, -0.3117, -0.3492, -0.3861, -0.3821, -0.3539, -0.3616, -0.3731, -0.36, -0.3641, -0.3511, -0.3199, -0.3101, -0.3421, -0.3662, -0.3892, -0.3435, -0.347, -0.3542, -0.3542, -0.3563, -0.3516, -0.2945, -0.2812, -0.2778, -0.2763, -0.2855, -0.2869, -0.2562, -0.1919, -0.1327, -0.1255, -0.1086, -0.0917, -0.088, -0.1092, -0.1219, -0.0739, -0.0465, -0.0419, 0.0, 0.0928, 0.0672, 0.0469, 0.094, 0.1069, 0.0649, 0.1069, 0.0899, 0.0484, 0.0013, -0.0158, 0.0449, 0.2007, 0.2641, 0.2641, 0.3278, 0.1972, 0.1901, 0.1804, 0.1804, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2051474492648767626", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-05T01:30:08+00:00", "symbol": "Shunsin", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I added some more positions today", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Added to Shunsin position after exit from Taiwan disposition measures.", "resolved_tickers": ["6451.TW"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Shunsin Technology listed on TWSE as 6451.TW", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TW')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Rumbourbon23 Yes, Shunsin is now out of disposition. I added some more positions today.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Good news is that they should soon be available to buy soon! They were in Taiwanese “stock jail” (disposition measures) from 4/20 to 5/4 because it got too hot. Buy/sell only every 20 mins with limited liquidity.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MultiBaggerss", "ret_m1d": -0.09021113243761991, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09021113243761991, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08225278985615259, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06477194879684511, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007958342581467326, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0254391836407748, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08349328214971208, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08349328214971208, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.09739272159472967, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.10591434398350219, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.013899439445017592, "bench_c_p1d": 0.022421061833790112, "ret_p1w": -0.1238003838771593, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1238003838771593, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.14370998603761342, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1345797310388015, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01990960216045412, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010779347161642194, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.62, -0.6574, -0.6679, -0.6593, -0.6814, -0.6814, -0.6814, -0.6814, -0.6814, -0.6814, -0.6814, -0.6814, -0.6497, -0.6152, -0.595, -0.5988, -0.5988, -0.6075, -0.6017, -0.6411, -0.6257, -0.6353, -0.6718, -0.6689, -0.6363, -0.6238, -0.5864, -0.5451, -0.5, -0.4645, -0.4779, -0.4731, -0.4616, -0.4434, -0.3877, -0.3628, -0.2994, -0.3695, -0.4319, -0.4146, -0.4328, -0.4328, -0.4328, -0.3762, -0.3138, -0.2457, -0.1708, -0.0883, -0.0864, -0.1248, -0.0518, -0.0307, -0.0269, -0.0902, -0.048, -0.143, -0.2284, -0.2716, -0.2226, -0.237, -0.1727, -0.1727, -0.0902, 0.0, -0.0835, -0.0595, -0.1536, -0.1257, -0.1238, -0.0825, 0.0077, 0.1075, -0.0019, -0.071, -0.0681, -0.0422, 0.0058, 0.1056, 0.2131, 0.1555, 0.0921, 0.094, 0.1766, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2039729862202786033", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-02T15:41:10+00:00", "symbol": "AEHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AEHR looks like a 10x in 3 years", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "10x upside target for AEHR over 3 years.", "resolved_tickers": ["AEHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Ud197601 $AEHR looks like a 10x in 3 years.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit How do you get feel AEHR potential mcap targets", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Ud197601", "ret_m1d": -0.10649822322210745, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10649822322210745, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.10559855891871539, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.10560607880688166, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0008996643033920559, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0008921444152257818, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.5537003854806699, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.5537003854806699, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.5169836213387371, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.45686619521471306, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03671676414193281, "bench_c_p1w": 0.09683419026595685, "ret_p1m": 1.0999548812202073, "ret_signed_p1m": 1.0999548812202073, "alpha_spy_p1m": 1.0011182838777302, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.8004544789812353, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09883659734247718, "bench_c_p1m": 0.299500402238972, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.47, -0.442, -0.4544, -0.4878, -0.4061, -0.4055, -0.3951, -0.414, -0.4014, -0.35, -0.35, -0.3443, -0.3412, -0.3026, -0.3673, -0.3958, -0.3739, -0.3687, -0.3935, -0.4215, -0.412, -0.3865, -0.4623, -0.481, -0.4046, -0.3775, -0.3946, -0.2362, -0.3707, -0.3493, -0.3493, -0.3572, -0.3454, -0.317, -0.2419, -0.2256, -0.1148, -0.0641, -0.102, -0.1555, -0.0065, -0.0605, -0.0375, -0.0864, -0.1965, -0.0776, -0.0532, -0.0422, -0.1505, -0.1952, -0.1543, -0.1631, -0.1807, -0.148, -0.2211, -0.1618, -0.1157, -0.1194, -0.22, -0.2662, -0.3204, -0.1634, -0.1065, 0.0, 0.0, 0.1769, 0.1338, 0.4251, 0.5537, 0.5891, 0.6169, 0.6782, 0.6521, 0.8242, 0.8921, 1.0341, 1.1146, 1.1968, 1.155, 1.164, 0.9964, 0.8599, 0.8459, 1.0433, 1.1, 0.9316, 1.0575, 1.1825, 1.0591, 1.1938, 1.3592, 1.1823, 1.3296, 1.3994, 1.245, 0.8856, 0.8308, 0.8579, 1.06, 1.144, 1.144, 1.4801, 1.3425, 1.2561, 1.0833, 1.0833, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2059057639238365336", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-25T23:42:51+00:00", "symbol": "Sivers Semiconductors", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SIVE is likely sole source laser supplier for this specific optical transceiver... Sivers being on the precipice of mass production for 2027", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish SIVE as sole-source laser supplier to JBL 1.6T LRO, Ayar, AEVA, POET; volume ramp imminent into 2027.", "resolved_tickers": ["SIVE.ST"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Sivers Semiconductors on Nasdaq Stockholm as SIVE.ST", "bench_c": "FEZ", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='ST')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$JBL literally announced in their fireside chat… \n\nMass production of their 1.6T LRO with excessive demand in 3-10 months.\n\n$SIVE is likely sole source laser supplier for this specific optical transceiver. \n\nAyar raised $500M for volume ramp recently, and $SIVE is the primary / sole source laser supplier.\n\n2025 annual report, $SIVE signaled start of volume ramp with both (likely) $AEVA and $POET. \n\nThis is how you do supply chain mapping on qualification cycles. \n\nAnything they make, Sivers makes revenue off lasers. \n\nIf you ask AI they will keep confidently citing 2024 revenue numbers without knowing volume hints.\n\nWhich is why I keep seeing these false claims like this over and over, despite Sivers being on the precipice of mass production for 2027.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit Why haven’t there been contract announcements or an update of expansion etc?\nHow are you certain that revenue is due imminently?", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.14786675715517683, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.14786675715517683, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.14786675715517683, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.14786675715517683, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01519573788415629, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01519573788415629, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0085571292931661, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0011757226628255069, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0066386085909901915, "bench_c_p1d": 0.016371460546981798, "ret_p1w": -0.19403863835601043, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.19403863835601043, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.20857643891305733, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.20475453647390385, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014537800557046898, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010715898117893419, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.9631, -0.9661, -0.9647, -0.9646, -0.9653, -0.9613, -0.9606, -0.9579, -0.9597, -0.9571, -0.9518, -0.9522, -0.9505, -0.9139, -0.9193, -0.8957, -0.8774, -0.9014, -0.8669, -0.8544, -0.8309, -0.8674, -0.8841, -0.8831, -0.8748, -0.8697, -0.8843, -0.8843, -0.8843, -0.8873, -0.8622, -0.8671, -0.8434, -0.803, -0.8134, -0.7571, -0.7335, -0.7234, -0.636, -0.6002, -0.6493, -0.6685, -0.6264, -0.6542, -0.6269, -0.5338, -0.5558, -0.5558, -0.346, -0.3606, -0.4359, -0.4186, -0.4913, -0.4214, -0.4957, -0.3378, -0.3378, -0.3489, -0.4378, -0.4686, -0.3688, -0.3098, -0.1479, 0.0, 0.0152, -0.142, -0.1794, -0.194, -0.194, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2052784100784922983", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-08T16:14:03+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "bottlenecks with multi-year visibility like $HPS.A or $LITE tend to perform better", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long HPS.A and LITE on multi-year bottleneck visibility; bearish SNDK as a meme stock.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Nobody can convince me $SNDK isn’t a meme stock at this point.\n\nBut as I’ve said, bottlenecks with multi-year visibility like $HPS.A or $LITE tend to perform better. https://t.co/WkjoG1jIYu", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The nice thing about multi-year bottlenecks from:\n\n$HPS.A to $SNDK to $LITE \n\nIs that you can sleep a easier despite market volatility like today.  \n\nKnowing demand will be extreme even 1 year...\n\nEven if Trump wants to nuke Bikini Bottom and other companies might be more https://t.co/pw1VCxNY2p", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.012414218692925139, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.012414218692925139, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004225750284630236, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004225750284630236, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008188468408294902, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008188468408294902, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.16518032755444256, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.16518032755444256, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.162902741959011, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.162902741959011, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002277585595431564, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002277585595431564, "ret_p1w": 0.07402082907461494, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07402082907461494, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07191949260972907, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07191949260972907, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0021013364648858612, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0021013364648858612, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3791, -0.3648, -0.3544, -0.3774, -0.3774, -0.3357, -0.3425, -0.2967, -0.2612, -0.2535, -0.2385, -0.1996, -0.2509, -0.2245, -0.1334, -0.2317, -0.2467, -0.2799, -0.3821, -0.2911, -0.2565, -0.2565, -0.3183, -0.3112, -0.3087, -0.2813, -0.2246, -0.1457, -0.2185, -0.1935, -0.1126, -0.1401, -0.2379, -0.2225, -0.2755, -0.2224, -0.154, -0.0851, -0.0851, -0.1455, -0.0974, -0.0086, -0.0107, -0.0072, -0.0361, -0.0564, -0.0883, -0.0139, -0.0108, -0.0096, -0.074, -0.0334, -0.063, -0.0245, -0.0488, -0.1244, -0.0503, -0.0016, 0.051, 0.0801, 0.1004, 0.0448, -0.0124, 0.0, 0.1652, 0.098, 0.14, 0.1084, 0.074, -0.0208, -0.0152, -0.0395, 0.0672, 0.0477, 0.0477, 0.0078, -0.0016, -0.0478, -0.054, -0.054, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2052784100784922983", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-05-08T16:14:03+00:00", "symbol": "SNDK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Nobody can convince me $SNDK isn't a meme stock at this point", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long HPS.A and LITE on multi-year bottleneck visibility; bearish SNDK as a meme stock.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNDK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Nobody can convince me $SNDK isn’t a meme stock at this point.\n\nBut as I’ve said, bottlenecks with multi-year visibility like $HPS.A or $LITE tend to perform better. https://t.co/WkjoG1jIYu", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The nice thing about multi-year bottlenecks from:\n\n$HPS.A to $SNDK to $LITE \n\nIs that you can sleep a easier despite market volatility like today.  \n\nKnowing demand will be extreme even 1 year...\n\nEven if Trump wants to nuke Bikini Bottom and other companies might be more https://t.co/pw1VCxNY2p", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.14233778162747768, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.14233778162747768, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.13414931321918278, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.13414931321918278, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008188468408294902, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008188468408294902, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00946010954715748, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00946010954715748, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011737695142589044, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011737695142589044, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002277585595431564, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002277585595431564, "ret_p1w": -0.09903733108914514, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09903733108914514, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.101138667554031, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.101138667554031, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0021013364648858612, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0021013364648858612, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6533, -0.6164, -0.5966, -0.599, -0.599, -0.622, -0.6157, -0.6025, -0.584, -0.5734, -0.5913, -0.5952, -0.5827, -0.5933, -0.6037, -0.6381, -0.6166, -0.638, -0.6625, -0.6232, -0.6039, -0.5805, -0.6039, -0.5765, -0.5496, -0.539, -0.5176, -0.5058, -0.5457, -0.5504, -0.5504, -0.5661, -0.6139, -0.6058, -0.6336, -0.5933, -0.5566, -0.5509, -0.5509, -0.5362, -0.545, -0.5002, -0.4549, -0.4548, -0.3903, -0.3955, -0.4292, -0.4115, -0.4105, -0.4156, -0.4217, -0.3733, -0.4032, -0.3664, -0.315, -0.3584, -0.3188, -0.2982, -0.2402, -0.1962, -0.0999, -0.0975, -0.1423, 0.0, -0.0095, -0.0706, -0.0737, -0.115, -0.099, -0.1468, -0.1146, -0.1087, -0.0129, -0.0535, -0.0535, 0.0174, 0.0177, 0.0508, 0.0849, 0.0849, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2055200705334395161", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-15T08:16:46+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I do believe $NBIS is positioned to be the next hyperscaler", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long NBIS as a future hyperscaler (multi-year compounder); avoid IREN as a low-quality name unworthy of the same conviction.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Not sure if people realized this but unless a thesis completely breaks, companies like $NBIS can keep growing.\n\nJust look at $AMZN or $GOOGL over the past 15 years. \n\nIf people \"trim\" it often triggers taxes. And a lot of corrections are typically less than those taxes paid. \n\nBy the time a \"50% crash happens\", it's probably already compounded hundreds of even thousands of percent. \n\nIf people need to pay expenses, once you hit 7-8-9 figures, you can always borrow against those assets and keep letting them appreciate. \n\nNFA, just personal opinion. You all do you, but it's highly, highly, dependent on the companies you pick.\n\nCan't do this with something trash like $IREN. But I do believe $NBIS is positioned to be the next hyperscaler.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit $NBIS You gave me NBIS at 80 i made my biggest position on it like 100k i know you said its for you an 2-5 year play i dont know if i should trim now or hold . Thank you for this❤️ what is your way for NBIS ?", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0055014614969848274, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0055014614969848274, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.006674357608339898, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0033717187498243373, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012175819105324726, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008873180246809165, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09129763393725598, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09129763393725598, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.09059419831606552, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.09905092056442877, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0007034356211904624, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007753286627172784, "ret_p1w": -0.023506402253144598, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.023506402253144598, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0322595062588138, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.018165234637689265, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008753104005669199, "bench_c_p1w": -0.005341167615455333, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5566, -0.5371, -0.5107, -0.5548, -0.5426, -0.5336, -0.5175, -0.5231, -0.5854, -0.5862, -0.6053, -0.5554, -0.5651, -0.5938, -0.5683, -0.5616, -0.4908, -0.5088, -0.4865, -0.4096, -0.4711, -0.4609, -0.4475, -0.4652, -0.481, -0.4775, -0.4767, -0.5182, -0.5416, -0.5805, -0.5282, -0.5365, -0.5052, -0.5052, -0.4883, -0.4662, -0.4317, -0.3801, -0.3409, -0.2973, -0.2637, -0.2417, -0.2482, -0.2855, -0.2763, -0.2882, -0.2901, -0.2858, -0.3309, -0.3409, -0.3839, -0.3581, -0.3715, -0.2976, -0.1979, -0.2001, -0.113, -0.1599, -0.195, -0.1539, -0.1856, -0.0576, 0.0055, 0.0, -0.0913, -0.101, -0.1279, -0.0, -0.0235, -0.0235, -0.054, -0.0526, 0.0291, 0.0507, 0.0507, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2055200705334395161", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-15T08:16:46+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Can't do this with something trash like $IREN", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long NBIS as a future hyperscaler (multi-year compounder); avoid IREN as a low-quality name unworthy of the same conviction.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Not sure if people realized this but unless a thesis completely breaks, companies like $NBIS can keep growing.\n\nJust look at $AMZN or $GOOGL over the past 15 years. \n\nIf people \"trim\" it often triggers taxes. And a lot of corrections are typically less than those taxes paid. \n\nBy the time a \"50% crash happens\", it's probably already compounded hundreds of even thousands of percent. \n\nIf people need to pay expenses, once you hit 7-8-9 figures, you can always borrow against those assets and keep letting them appreciate. \n\nNFA, just personal opinion. You all do you, but it's highly, highly, dependent on the companies you pick.\n\nCan't do this with something trash like $IREN. But I do believe $NBIS is positioned to be the next hyperscaler.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit $NBIS You gave me NBIS at 80 i made my biggest position on it like 100k i know you said its for you an 2-5 year play i dont know if i should trim now or hold . Thank you for this❤️ what is your way for NBIS ?", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.10313568267482487, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10313568267482487, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09095986356950014, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09941743517815471, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012175819105324726, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0037182474966701573, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04684547802358896, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04684547802358896, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0461420424023985, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05937000294446193, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0007034356211904624, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01252452492087297, "ret_p1w": 0.07347947308754077, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.07347947308754077, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06472636908187157, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05704111344623275, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008753104005669199, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01643835964130802, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2261, -0.2051, -0.1823, -0.2448, -0.1998, -0.1415, -0.1683, -0.1643, -0.2265, -0.2182, -0.2662, -0.1719, -0.2421, -0.3068, -0.2663, -0.2799, -0.207, -0.2185, -0.2146, -0.1511, -0.1885, -0.2027, -0.2131, -0.2201, -0.2036, -0.2233, -0.2174, -0.2926, -0.3372, -0.4027, -0.3525, -0.3561, -0.3432, -0.3432, -0.3364, -0.3249, -0.3043, -0.3, -0.2573, -0.1864, -0.1052, -0.0778, -0.099, -0.091, -0.0797, -0.1468, -0.0859, -0.0174, -0.0434, -0.0865, -0.1606, -0.1904, -0.1403, -0.1375, -0.0654, 0.034, 0.1519, 0.0739, 0.156, 0.0417, 0.0684, 0.0421, 0.1031, 0.0, -0.0468, -0.0982, -0.0043, 0.0967, 0.0735, 0.0735, 0.1292, 0.2815, 0.2099, 0.2002, 0.2002, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2052657692662182154", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-08T07:51:45+00:00", "symbol": "MSSCorp", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I think the time wait is compelling enough to frontrun one of the largest supercycles at the very start", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long MSSCorp to frontrun CPO supercycle ramping 2027; long Auros on SK Hynix/Samsung qualification ahead of H2 volume ramp.", "resolved_tickers": ["6830.TW"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "MSSCorp (6830) TWSE-listed CPO yields inspection company", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "MSSCorp is a CPO names... CPO really starts to ramp up in 2027.   \n\nYou don't really have any volume H1 2026, so there's probably going to be volatility up until then. But I think the time wait is compelling enough to frontrun one of the largest supercycles at the very start.\n\nAs for Auros, they supply to Sk Hynix/Samsung and are qualifying their products. My thesis was mainly about waiting for volume ramp sometime to hit H2.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thought on MSScorps and Auros? Still going for 3X in these short period?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Wee_Kh", "ret_m1d": 0.11054637865311312, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.11054637865311312, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.11873484706140802, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.1572156402530953, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008188468408294902, "bench_c_m1d": -0.04666926159998219, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.041931385006353294, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.041931385006353294, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04420897060178486, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05917645139208061, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002277585595431564, "bench_c_p1d": 0.017245066385727315, "ret_p1w": -0.06607369758576875, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06607369758576875, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06817503405065461, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04806975864505958, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0021013364648858612, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018003938940709174, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7183, -0.7228, -0.7228, -0.7228, -0.7228, -0.7228, -0.7228, -0.7228, -0.7228, -0.7126, -0.7006, -0.6708, -0.6384, -0.6384, -0.6023, -0.6061, -0.5826, -0.5414, -0.4957, -0.5096, -0.5217, -0.5014, -0.5077, -0.5566, -0.5496, -0.5287, -0.5122, -0.4684, -0.4291, -0.4215, -0.4792, -0.4532, -0.3986, -0.4487, -0.4265, -0.4069, -0.3479, -0.2832, -0.2832, -0.2832, -0.2362, -0.1601, -0.1766, -0.1105, -0.0216, 0.0165, 0.0076, 0.0229, 0.1245, 0.1004, 0.1131, 0.1309, 0.0203, -0.0813, -0.1728, -0.0902, -0.0178, 0.0801, 0.0801, 0.1753, 0.2389, 0.1156, 0.1105, 0.0, -0.0419, -0.0089, -0.0521, -0.0762, -0.0661, -0.0635, -0.0953, -0.1309, -0.1194, -0.0902, 0.0, -0.0114, -0.0851, -0.1283, -0.1385, -0.1372, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2052657692662182154", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-08T07:51:45+00:00", "symbol": "Auros", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My thesis was mainly about waiting for volume ramp sometime to hit H2", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long MSSCorp to frontrun CPO supercycle ramping 2027; long Auros on SK Hynix/Samsung qualification ahead of H2 volume ramp.", "resolved_tickers": ["322310.KQ"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Auros Korean equity 322310; retrying KOSDAQ .KQ suffix", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KQ')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "MSSCorp is a CPO names... CPO really starts to ramp up in 2027.   \n\nYou don't really have any volume H1 2026, so there's probably going to be volatility up until then. But I think the time wait is compelling enough to frontrun one of the largest supercycles at the very start.\n\nAs for Auros, they supply to Sk Hynix/Samsung and are qualifying their products. My thesis was mainly about waiting for volume ramp sometime to hit H2.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thought on MSScorps and Auros? Still going for 3X in these short period?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Wee_Kh", "ret_m1d": 0.11424541607898453, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.11424541607898453, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.12243388448727943, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.1849604379719777, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008188468408294902, "bench_c_m1d": -0.07071502189299317, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.028208744710860323, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.028208744710860323, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.030486330306291887, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04214149548789936, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002277585595431564, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013932750777039038, "ret_p1w": -0.2143864598025388, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.2143864598025388, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.21648779626742465, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.15476502699580486, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0021013364648858612, "bench_c_p1w": -0.05962143280673393, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2581, -0.2877, -0.2807, -0.3061, -0.3061, -0.3061, -0.3061, -0.2567, -0.2891, -0.3145, -0.2849, -0.3061, -0.1777, -0.1961, -0.1961, -0.2341, -0.3357, -0.2031, -0.1749, -0.2581, -0.2158, -0.2355, -0.1495, -0.0691, -0.0973, -0.1255, -0.0494, -0.0691, -0.0677, -0.1425, -0.0085, -0.0367, -0.0903, -0.1185, -0.1707, -0.1608, -0.0874, -0.1848, -0.1678, -0.1298, -0.1495, -0.0536, -0.0733, -0.1001, -0.0804, 0.0099, 0.0056, -0.0169, 0.0056, 0.0042, -0.0113, -0.024, -0.0522, -0.0592, -0.031, -0.0324, 0.0197, -0.0268, -0.0268, 0.2652, 0.2652, 0.2144, 0.1142, 0.0, -0.0282, -0.0931, -0.1481, -0.1537, -0.2144, -0.2144, -0.2581, -0.2722, -0.1862, -0.1805, -0.1805, -0.1636, -0.1848, -0.2341, -0.2638, -0.3075, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2047413257812717859", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-23T20:32:14+00:00", "symbol": "INTC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Semi earnings, Made in America, CPU bottlenecks, and Intel Foundry go brrr", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish INTC on semi earnings tailwinds, Made-in-America theme, CPU bottlenecks, and Intel Foundry ramp.", "resolved_tickers": ["INTC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Holy **** $INTC.\n\nSemi earnings, Made in America, CPU bottlenecks, and Intel Foundry go brrr. https://t.co/st3D8wfsFi", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.022611592749812948, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.022611592749812948, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.026507435389474532, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.026507435389474532, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003895842639661584, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003895842639661584, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.2359988383395475, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.2359988383395475, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.22824954037952327, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.22824954037952327, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007749297960024215, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007749297960024215, "ret_p1w": 0.41479492488736414, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.41479492488736414, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.4003832363256081, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.4003832363256081, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014411688561756009, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014411688561756009, "ret_p1m": 0.7945492442123765, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.7945492442123765, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.7420543584750632, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.7420543584750632, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05249488573731331, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05249488573731331, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3637, -0.3422, -0.2695, -0.2713, -0.3041, -0.2691, -0.2625, -0.2722, -0.2776, -0.2424, -0.2477, -0.2942, -0.2769, -0.304, -0.2993, -0.2993, -0.3085, -0.3193, -0.3318, -0.3395, -0.3467, -0.3094, -0.298, -0.3193, -0.317, -0.3187, -0.3546, -0.3175, -0.3119, -0.3498, -0.3175, -0.2995, -0.2815, -0.3224, -0.3146, -0.3148, -0.3402, -0.3257, -0.3085, -0.3431, -0.341, -0.3402, -0.2935, -0.3396, -0.3541, -0.3832, -0.3392, -0.2808, -0.2456, -0.2456, -0.2396, -0.2077, -0.1173, -0.0758, -0.0659, -0.024, -0.0445, -0.0276, 0.0258, 0.0258, -0.0162, -0.0078, -0.0226, 0.0, 0.236, 0.2727, 0.2656, 0.4188, 0.4148, 0.4918, 0.4343, 0.6195, 0.6923, 0.6415, 0.8706, 0.9383, 0.8061, 0.8013, 0.736, 0.6288, 0.6198, 0.6592, 0.7814, 0.7745, 0.7945, 0.7945, 0.8497, 0.8235, 0.8103, 0.7173, 0.7173, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2037389461634593159", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-27T04:41:15+00:00", "symbol": "Win Semi", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I expect Win Semi to be a slower compound growth company like $TSEM that benefits from both TAM expansion and revenue acceleration from optical", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Expects Win Semi to compound steadily via TAM expansion and optical revenue acceleration.", "resolved_tickers": ["3105.TWO"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Win Semi Taiwan foundry; retrying .TWO OTC market suffix", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TWO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Ren_aramb There’s probably no rush. I expect Win Semi to be a slower compound growth company like $TSEM that benefits from both TAM expansion and revenue acceleration from optical.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit First! (Jk…jk…) https://t.co/2DWx0LzfOS", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Ren_aramb", "ret_m1d": -0.06274509803921569, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06274509803921569, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08009279242663636, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07152334856596676, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.017347694387420676, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008778250526751075, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.020915032679738488, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.020915032679738488, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.024258495062923102, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.028542012037773623, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0033434623831846144, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007626979358035135, "ret_p1w": -0.016993464052287632, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.016993464052287632, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05127880101332816, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03541336358669589, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.034285336961040525, "bench_c_p1w": 0.018419899534408257, "ret_p1m": 0.2875816993464053, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2875816993464053, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15971349038438598, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03056628476307366, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12786820896201934, "bench_c_p1m": 0.25701541458333166, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5163, -0.5216, -0.5216, -0.532, -0.5216, -0.519, -0.5137, -0.4837, -0.434, -0.3908, -0.451, -0.4366, -0.4196, -0.4288, -0.4431, -0.4065, -0.4196, -0.3869, -0.3974, -0.3882, -0.3699, -0.3255, -0.3595, -0.3869, -0.4209, -0.3817, -0.3425, -0.3725, -0.4261, -0.3817, -0.332, -0.3569, -0.3569, -0.3569, -0.3569, -0.3569, -0.3569, -0.3569, -0.3569, -0.2928, -0.2222, -0.1582, -0.1163, -0.1163, -0.1333, -0.1477, -0.2327, -0.2157, -0.2196, -0.2967, -0.2889, -0.2183, -0.1987, -0.1817, -0.2065, -0.2327, -0.1569, -0.0732, -0.1007, -0.1765, -0.1804, -0.0993, -0.0627, 0.0, 0.0209, -0.081, -0.0157, -0.017, -0.017, -0.017, 0.0641, 0.1503, 0.1399, 0.2131, 0.1974, 0.1948, 0.1673, 0.2824, 0.4092, 0.5477, 0.6131, 0.5686, 0.4641, 0.4301, 0.2876, 0.3059, 0.3124, 0.4013, 0.4013, 0.3699, 0.451, 0.3072, 0.3072, 0.2876, 0.3752, 0.3386, 0.2954, 0.2641, 0.1987, 0.1778, 0.1935, 0.1673, 0.2627, 0.3882, 0.4196, 0.4693, 0.4641, 0.3804, 0.3778, 0.417, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2041168871168545115", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-06T14:59:16+00:00", "symbol": "Hammond", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Trade Idea: Long Hammond (~2.2B CAD / ~$1.5B USD) at 184 CAD. I personally found it pretty compelling, so I went long.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long Hammond Power Solutions at 184 CAD; dominant transformer/switchgear supplier to AI data centers, 122% Y/Y backlog growth, cheap fwd P/E with margin expansion and capacity coming online Q2 2026.", "resolved_tickers": ["HMM-A.TO"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Hammond Power Solutions trades on TSX; ~2.2B CAD", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The current bottleneck: Transformers/Switchgear. 

Trade Idea: Long Hammond  (~2.2B CAD / ~$1.5B USD) at 184 CAD.\n\nThey dominate the market for:\n\n-Transformers (dry, multi year bottleneck ~23% of market), \n\n-serve to switchgear (2-3Y bottleneck) \n\n-and manufacture liquid too (5Y, larger bottleneck)\n
I personally anticipate components price hikes like NAND, as $AMZN, $MSFT and others compete for allocation. 

You might have seen: “Half of US data center builds have been delayed or canceled, growth limited by shortages of power infrastructure”…\n\nThen you go further:

“To address shortages… Canada, Mexico… became the biggest suppliers of high-power transformers for AI data centers to AI data centers”

Guess who is in Canada (Guelph).. Mexico (Monterrey 3 and 4)… and the US?

Hammond

Then here’s the reason the articles cite why hyperscaler DB buildouts are falling apart: 
\n“Major reason behind these setbacks is the availability of key electrical components — such as transformers, switchgear”. \n\nInstitutions are probably looking at Powell, Eaton, and others… but little do they know?\n\nCompanies like these actually buy Hammond’s transformers to put inside their own switchgear (“strong sales into data centres, switchgear manufacturers\")

Their market share over the transformers market is actually pretty large (eg. ~23% dry). \n
The most compelling signal:

-> 122% Y/Y 2025 backlog increase. And we can infer this to be 1B+ CAD. \n\nEg. company achieved 898m CAD in sales in 2025, capacity ceiling. Management said close of Q3 2025 orders were valued at 53% of the entire closing third-quarter backlog. \n\nGiven that Q4 2025 revenue was 254 million and the backlog is \"more than doubled,\" we can infer a total backlog value exceeding 1 billion CAD.\n\nAlso:\n
“Gross margin compression last year was due to the buildout of their Mexico facility, but both gross margins are expected to increase and the facility expansions are expectied to turn into accelerated revenue Q2 2026)” which is now.

Downside is if raw material costs (copper, electrical steel) spike again, but given this bottleneck, they can price hike. 

Personal FWD P/E estimates would be ~18-21 for 2026, <15 for 2027 from volume ramp. \n\nBut I think it’s possible to hit single digit fwd P/E if they do price hikes mixed with hyperscaler emergency orders. But that might get a little mixed with the new acquisition. \n\nRegardless still looks cheap. 
\nJust a TLDR: \n
$AMZN, $MSFT, $META, $GOOGL, $ORCL datacenter are being bottlenecked because of a lack of transformers/switchgear.

Seems like markets missed this little player with large market share, despite backlog visibility and increasing revenue from capacity expansion coming online.\n\nI personally found it pretty compelling, so I went long. \n\nJust sharing my personal thoughts, of course DYOR before making any decisions yourself.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.015037668789816938, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.015037668789816938, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010333108942193192, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010333108942193192, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004704559847623746, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004704559847623746, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.018796973948468798, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.018796973948468798, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01835689984262001, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01835689984262001, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004400741058487867, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0004400741058487867, "ret_p1w": 0.0009397814741420873, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0009397814741420873, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.040293707989320415, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.040293707989320415, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0412334894634625, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0412334894634625, "ret_p1m": 0.45488712807711207, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.45488712807711207, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3564851315430546, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3564851315430546, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09840199653405746, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09840199653405746, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0318, 0.0028, 0.0075, 0.0028, 0.0028, 0.0028, -0.0028, 0.0028, 0.0047, 0.0075, -0.0066, -0.016, -0.0216, -0.0534, -0.0581, -0.0609, -0.0394, -0.0497, -0.0628, -0.0675, -0.0628, -0.0581, -0.03, -0.016, -0.0431, -0.015, -0.0347, 0.0028, 0.0028, 0.0318, 0.0375, 0.0234, 0.0356, 0.0459, 0.0506, 0.045, 0.0712, 0.059, 0.045, 0.0318, 0.0197, 0.0262, 0.0309, 0.0309, 0.044, 0.0131, -0.0056, -0.0263, 0.0009, -0.0028, -0.0019, -0.0075, -0.0357, -0.0235, -0.0291, -0.032, -0.0461, -0.0338, -0.0451, -0.0423, -0.0414, -0.015, -0.015, 0.0, 0.0188, 0.0132, 0.0103, -0.0038, 0.0009, 0.0038, -0.0273, -0.0282, -0.0385, -0.0404, -0.0367, -0.0498, -0.0376, -0.0489, 0.0273, 0.0291, 0.2218, 0.219, 0.2406, 0.3355, 0.4549, 0.5226, 0.5338, 0.5028, 0.4709, 0.4558, 0.563, 0.6128, 0.609, 0.609, 0.5818, 0.593, 0.6682, 0.6447, 0.6776, 0.7359, 0.7143, 0.7077, 0.734, 0.734, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2048680795586568237", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-27T08:28:58+00:00", "symbol": "AAPL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if Apple is really that customer", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "SIVE identified as likely Apple silicon photonics supplier with 50M unit RFQ matching Apple Watch scale; author sees undiscovered alpha ahead of H2 2027–H1 2028 ramp.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAPL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It's pretty clear by now that $SIVE is the likely holy grail silicon photonics supplier for $AAPL...\n\nMarkets just don't know about it (this is called Alpha). \n\nIf you're curious how to map Apple to Sivers:\n\n> \"US Fortune 100\" customer.\n> RFQ (request for quote) for 50 MILLION units a year.\n> Apple sold roughly 53.9 million Apple Watches in 2022 and averages between 38m-50m units annually\n> $SIVE / Carnegie research released 135 Wavelength arechitectures, which matches Apple application specifications. \n\nliterally... what other US Fortune 100 company in world can casually produce 50 million units of consumer wearables a year? Even Samsung does 10-15M units. \n\nThat coincidentally matches with the laser architecture and applications. \n\n$SIVE on their X did tease volume ramp from development timelines, which I guessed was Apple (H2 2027 ramp or H1 2028), but could be Ayar or Jabil.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit We might be so early if Apple is really that customer 🫠🫠", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.012891948518954255, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.012891948518954255, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.014611792050061356, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.014611792050061356, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0017198435311071014, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0017198435311071014, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011584102768505522, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011584102768505522, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.016450051496651685, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.016450051496651685, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004865948728146163, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004865948728146163, "ret_p1w": 0.034453140587596964, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.034453140587596964, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03048201914327664, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03048201914327664, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003971121444320325, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003971121444320325, "ret_p1m": 0.1532232953147208, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1532232953147208, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10369654672107598, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10369654672107598, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04952674859364481, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04952674859364481, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0426, -0.0358, -0.0313, 0.008, 0.006, 0.0322, 0.0301, 0.0383, 0.0262, 0.0227, 0.0295, -0.022, -0.0442, -0.0442, -0.0139, -0.0122, -0.0263, -0.0113, -0.0053, 0.0169, 0.0247, 0.02, -0.0128, -0.0108, -0.0144, -0.019, -0.0274, -0.0379, -0.0289, -0.0253, -0.0254, -0.0443, -0.0654, -0.0553, -0.05, -0.066, -0.0697, -0.0733, -0.0602, -0.0597, -0.056, -0.055, -0.0703, -0.0784, -0.0516, -0.0448, -0.0437, -0.0437, -0.0327, -0.0527, -0.0325, -0.0266, -0.0266, -0.0314, -0.0328, -0.0044, -0.0157, 0.0098, 0.0203, -0.0054, 0.0208, 0.0217, 0.0129, 0.0, 0.0116, 0.0096, 0.014, 0.0468, 0.0345, 0.0619, 0.0744, 0.0741, 0.0961, 0.0947, 0.1026, 0.1178, 0.1154, 0.1229, 0.114, 0.1182, 0.1305, 0.1407, 0.1551, 0.1551, 0.1532, 0.1626, 0.1689, 0.1672, 0.1672, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2043328386341454108", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-12T14:00:25+00:00", "symbol": "INTU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "companies like $INTU are going to get slightly disrupted by Claude and others doing taxes + filing for you. And it's not a great contrarian buy-the-dip opportunity", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish INTU on AI tax-filing disruption; bullish RDDT and SNAP on AI-driven opex cuts boosting profitability.", "resolved_tickers": ["INTU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Application", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It's nuanced, I do think companies like $INTU are going to get slightly disrupted by Claude and others doing taxes + filing for you. And it's not a great contrarian buy-the-dip opportunity. \n\nOn the flip side certain software names like $RDDT / $SNAP are likely going to end up more profitable with AI due to opex cuts (only if Evan's wife stopped using Snapchat like a piggy back). \n\nDisruption is real, but there's a few winners.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Everyone on X is talking about how oversold SaaS stocks are right now. Any thoughts? What would be your best long plays for 2026?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "pocimont", "ret_m1d": -0.05007579005452756, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05007579005452756, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04039796779894356, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04039796779894356, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009677822255584001, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009677822255584001, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007145990231136934, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.007145990231136934, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.019330870983507054, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.019330870983507054, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01218488075237012, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01218488075237012, "ret_p1w": 0.09579359001999865, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09579359001999865, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0628246410007689, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0628246410007689, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.032968949019229754, "bench_c_p1w": 0.032968949019229754, "ret_p1m": 0.04953439712006058, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04953439712006058, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.026372932632235058, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.026372932632235058, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07590732975229564, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07590732975229564, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.5289, 0.4965, 0.4714, 0.4714, 0.4274, 0.4165, 0.4779, 0.5219, 0.5159, 0.4717, 0.4537, 0.3573, 0.3463, 0.3145, 0.1714, 0.2025, 0.1736, 0.1975, 0.1806, 0.1371, 0.0785, 0.0739, 0.0778, 0.0778, 0.0232, 0.0512, 0.0296, 0.0269, -0.0298, -0.032, 0.0287, 0.0643, 0.1038, 0.1308, 0.1694, 0.1877, 0.2596, 0.2984, 0.2782, 0.225, 0.1885, 0.1742, 0.1872, 0.2205, 0.2393, 0.2056, 0.2284, 0.2293, 0.2333, 0.1669, 0.1519, 0.1672, 0.1237, 0.1577, 0.1668, 0.1492, 0.14, 0.14, 0.1262, 0.107, 0.0511, -0.021, -0.0501, 0.0, -0.0071, 0.0549, 0.0478, 0.0644, 0.0958, 0.0958, 0.1062, 0.0375, 0.0718, 0.0554, 0.0837, 0.0694, 0.0516, 0.0801, 0.1016, 0.0782, 0.0517, 0.1011, 0.0727, 0.0646, 0.0495, 0.0061, 0.024, 0.0638, 0.0913, 0.0819, 0.0392, -0.1688, -0.134, -0.134, -0.1762, -0.167, -0.1528, -0.1026, -0.1026, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2043328386341454108", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-12T14:00:25+00:00", "symbol": "RDDT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "certain software names like $RDDT / $SNAP are likely going to end up more profitable with AI due to opex cuts", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish INTU on AI tax-filing disruption; bullish RDDT and SNAP on AI-driven opex cuts boosting profitability.", "resolved_tickers": ["RDDT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It's nuanced, I do think companies like $INTU are going to get slightly disrupted by Claude and others doing taxes + filing for you. And it's not a great contrarian buy-the-dip opportunity. \n\nOn the flip side certain software names like $RDDT / $SNAP are likely going to end up more profitable with AI due to opex cuts (only if Evan's wife stopped using Snapchat like a piggy back). \n\nDisruption is real, but there's a few winners.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Everyone on X is talking about how oversold SaaS stocks are right now. Any thoughts? What would be your best long plays for 2026?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "pocimont", "ret_m1d": -0.06441252080906423, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06441252080906423, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05473469855348023, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.056835419703905043, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009677822255584001, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00757710110515919, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03475049863084689, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03475049863084689, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.022565617878476774, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01959636286709321, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01218488075237012, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015154135763753684, "ret_p1w": 0.11335783049146264, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11335783049146264, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08038888147223289, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07913034124201834, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.032968949019229754, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0342274892494443, "ret_p1m": 0.020087043035811325, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.020087043035811325, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05582028671648431, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.011029379577428333, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07590732975229564, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009057663458382992, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.6899, 0.5316, 0.5468, 0.5468, 0.5089, 0.407, 0.4365, 0.4656, 0.4304, 0.3144, 0.2932, 0.2725, 0.207, 0.1861, 0.1075, 0.0224, 0.0114, -0.0637, -0.051, 0.0042, -0.0674, -0.1224, -0.0649, -0.0649, -0.0678, -0.0127, -0.0216, 0.0055, -0.0461, -0.0487, 0.0021, 0.0127, -0.0237, -0.015, -0.0245, -0.0138, -0.0335, -0.0667, -0.0702, -0.1019, -0.0819, -0.1145, -0.1138, -0.0626, -0.0336, -0.0439, -0.0752, -0.0636, -0.0562, -0.0886, -0.0651, -0.1479, -0.1842, -0.1689, -0.0984, -0.0882, -0.0894, -0.0894, -0.0737, -0.055, -0.0291, -0.0735, -0.0644, 0.0, 0.0348, 0.0611, 0.0877, 0.0968, 0.1134, 0.05, 0.1002, 0.0242, 0.0371, 0.0727, -0.0095, -0.0107, -0.0142, 0.1147, 0.132, 0.1492, 0.1152, 0.0978, 0.0432, 0.068, 0.0201, 0.0319, 0.0466, 0.0591, 0.0653, 0.037, -0.0176, 0.0046, -0.0514, -0.0514, -0.0315, 0.0324, 0.1228, 0.1784, 0.1784, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2043328386341454108", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-04-12T14:00:25+00:00", "symbol": "SNAP", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "certain software names like $RDDT / $SNAP are likely going to end up more profitable with AI due to opex cuts", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish INTU on AI tax-filing disruption; bullish RDDT and SNAP on AI-driven opex cuts boosting profitability.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNAP"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It's nuanced, I do think companies like $INTU are going to get slightly disrupted by Claude and others doing taxes + filing for you. And it's not a great contrarian buy-the-dip opportunity. \n\nOn the flip side certain software names like $RDDT / $SNAP are likely going to end up more profitable with AI due to opex cuts (only if Evan's wife stopped using Snapchat like a piggy back). \n\nDisruption is real, but there's a few winners.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Everyone on X is talking about how oversold SaaS stocks are right now. Any thoughts? What would be your best long plays for 2026?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "pocimont", "ret_m1d": -0.06407765390196762, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06407765390196762, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05439983164638362, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.056500552796808434, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009677822255584001, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00757710110515919, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08737860212273074, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08737860212273074, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07519372137036062, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07222446635897706, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01218488075237012, "bench_c_p1d": 0.015154135763753684, "ret_p1w": 0.16504852211501264, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16504852211501264, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1320795730957829, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13082103286556834, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.032968949019229754, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0342274892494443, "ret_p1m": 0.07766991999228168, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07766991999228168, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0017625902399860394, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06861225653389869, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07590732975229564, "bench_c_p1m": 0.009057663458382992, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.534, 0.5068, 0.4621, 0.4621, 0.4272, 0.4311, 0.4874, 0.4796, 0.468, 0.4485, 0.4893, 0.4058, 0.3456, 0.2932, 0.1845, 0.1476, -0.0058, 0.0136, 0.0078, 0.0155, -0.0311, -0.0641, -0.0621, -0.0621, -0.0816, -0.0524, -0.0291, -0.0019, -0.0427, -0.035, -0.0155, 0.0214, 0.0117, 0.0214, 0.0194, 0.0427, 0.0369, 0.0019, -0.0039, -0.0466, -0.0563, -0.0971, -0.1146, -0.0913, -0.0971, -0.1029, -0.1146, -0.1301, -0.1243, -0.1534, -0.1282, -0.2214, -0.2369, -0.2194, -0.1068, -0.0485, -0.101, -0.101, -0.0854, -0.068, -0.0816, -0.0388, -0.0641, 0.0, 0.0874, 0.1728, 0.1689, 0.1709, 0.165, 0.0951, 0.134, 0.0816, 0.0971, 0.1767, 0.1553, 0.1612, 0.1786, 0.2214, 0.1981, 0.1864, 0.1864, 0.1612, 0.1806, 0.1165, 0.0777, 0.0893, 0.0408, 0.0738, 0.101, 0.0777, 0.0913, 0.1049, 0.1107, 0.1107, 0.1165, 0.1417, 0.1476, 0.1087, 0.1087, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2048305656202215684", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-26T07:38:18+00:00", "symbol": "Win Semi", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Win Semi, my other long", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds long positions in both SIVE and Win Semiconductor; Win's foundry ties to AVGO/SpaceX/hyperscalers de-risk SIVE's volume ramp.", "resolved_tickers": ["3105.TWO"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Win Semi Taiwan foundry; retrying .TWO OTC market suffix", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TWO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Sopcaja No, because $SIVE volume ramp is de-risked by Win Semi, my other long.\n\nWin is the foundry for $AVGO and existing SpaceX/Hyperscaler supply chains, so it's heavily dependable.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit While the thesis is compelling,  do you not fear execution risk at this scale ?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Sopcaja", "ret_m1d": 0.1106598984771574, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.1106598984771574, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.1123797420082645, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.10218825707250678, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0017198435311071014, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00847164140465062, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014213197969543234, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014213197969543234, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.019079146697689398, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.015472506638954941, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004865948728146163, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012593086694117073, "ret_p1w": 0.06395939086294411, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06395939086294411, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.059988269418623785, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0289278483163824, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003971121444320325, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03503154254656171, "ret_p1m": 0.14111675126903545, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14111675126903545, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09159000267539064, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.028202094453773974, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04952674859364481, "bench_c_p1m": 0.16931884572280942, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4761, -0.5025, -0.5239, -0.5503, -0.5198, -0.4893, -0.5127, -0.5543, -0.5198, -0.4812, -0.5005, -0.5005, -0.5005, -0.5005, -0.5005, -0.5005, -0.5005, -0.5005, -0.4508, -0.3959, -0.3462, -0.3137, -0.3137, -0.3269, -0.3381, -0.4041, -0.3909, -0.3939, -0.4538, -0.4477, -0.3929, -0.3777, -0.3645, -0.3838, -0.4041, -0.3452, -0.2802, -0.3015, -0.3604, -0.3635, -0.3005, -0.2721, -0.2234, -0.2071, -0.2863, -0.2355, -0.2365, -0.2365, -0.2365, -0.1736, -0.1066, -0.1147, -0.0579, -0.0701, -0.0721, -0.0934, -0.0041, 0.0944, 0.202, 0.2528, 0.2183, 0.1371, 0.1107, 0.0, 0.0142, 0.0193, 0.0883, 0.0883, 0.064, 0.1269, 0.0152, 0.0152, 0.0, 0.068, 0.0396, 0.0061, -0.0183, -0.069, -0.0853, -0.0731, -0.0934, -0.0193, 0.0782, 0.1025, 0.1411, 0.1371, 0.0721, 0.0701, 0.1005, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2052760996784349455", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-08T14:42:14+00:00", "symbol": "RDDT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I still think $RDDT is one of the few non-AI names that is extremely compelling", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long RDDT: compelling non-AI name with fast growth and true profitability; puzzled by underperformance.", "resolved_tickers": ["RDDT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I still think $RDDT is one of the few non-AI names that is extremely compelling.\n\nJust by how fast they’re growing + true profitability post-earnings.\n\nHonestly still not sure why they’re underperforming the market… https://t.co/C9T3qbc8vZ", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.05231061448552654, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05231061448552654, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06049908289382144, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0485480456226417, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008188468408294902, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003762568862884841, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.023812524919178957, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.023812524919178957, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.021534939323747393, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0354424255687279, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002277585595431564, "bench_c_p1d": -0.011629900649548941, "ret_p1w": 0.015211778374613738, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.015211778374613738, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.013110441909727877, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.022565982174827193, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0021013364648858612, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007354203800213455, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0374, -0.106, -0.1587, -0.1037, -0.1037, -0.1064, -0.0535, -0.0621, -0.0361, -0.0856, -0.0881, -0.0393, -0.0292, -0.0641, -0.0558, -0.0649, -0.0546, -0.0736, -0.1053, -0.1087, -0.1391, -0.1199, -0.1512, -0.1504, -0.1014, -0.0736, -0.0835, -0.1135, -0.1024, -0.0953, -0.1263, -0.1038, -0.1832, -0.218, -0.2033, -0.1358, -0.1259, -0.1271, -0.1271, -0.1121, -0.0941, -0.0693, -0.1118, -0.1031, -0.0414, -0.0081, 0.0172, 0.0427, 0.0513, 0.0673, 0.0065, 0.0546, -0.0182, -0.0058, 0.0283, -0.0505, -0.0517, -0.055, 0.0685, 0.0852, 0.1016, 0.0691, 0.0523, 0.0, 0.0238, -0.0221, -0.0108, 0.0033, 0.0152, 0.0212, -0.0059, -0.0583, -0.037, -0.0907, -0.0907, -0.0716, -0.0103, 0.0763, 0.1297, 0.1297, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2037399379888537793", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-27T05:20:39+00:00", "symbol": "Win Semiconductors", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I think Win can pull a $TSEM and get re-rated rlly hard over next two years", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish Win Semiconductors on a hard re-rating over the next two years, analogous to TSEM's re-rating.", "resolved_tickers": ["3105.TWO"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Win Semiconductors Taiwan foundry; retrying .TWO suffix", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TWO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@norriswalker Claude is right, Win does slap. \n\nI think Win can pull a $TSEM and get re-rated rlly hard over next two years", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit 0.16 peg ratio\nDid some Claude research on it - actually slaps as the worlds largest GaAs pure play foundry for non silicon conductors.\n\nI'm in.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "norriswalker", "ret_m1d": -0.06274509803921569, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06274509803921569, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08009279242663636, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07152334856596676, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.017347694387420676, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008778250526751075, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.020915032679738488, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.020915032679738488, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.024258495062923102, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.028542012037773623, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0033434623831846144, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007626979358035135, "ret_p1w": -0.016993464052287632, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.016993464052287632, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05127880101332816, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03541336358669589, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.034285336961040525, "bench_c_p1w": 0.018419899534408257, "ret_p1m": 0.2875816993464053, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2875816993464053, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15971349038438598, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03056628476307366, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12786820896201934, "bench_c_p1m": 0.25701541458333166, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5163, -0.5216, -0.5216, -0.532, -0.5216, -0.519, -0.5137, -0.4837, -0.434, -0.3908, -0.451, -0.4366, -0.4196, -0.4288, -0.4431, -0.4065, -0.4196, -0.3869, -0.3974, -0.3882, -0.3699, -0.3255, -0.3595, -0.3869, -0.4209, -0.3817, -0.3425, -0.3725, -0.4261, -0.3817, -0.332, -0.3569, -0.3569, -0.3569, -0.3569, -0.3569, -0.3569, -0.3569, -0.3569, -0.2928, -0.2222, -0.1582, -0.1163, -0.1163, -0.1333, -0.1477, -0.2327, -0.2157, -0.2196, -0.2967, -0.2889, -0.2183, -0.1987, -0.1817, -0.2065, -0.2327, -0.1569, -0.0732, -0.1007, -0.1765, -0.1804, -0.0993, -0.0627, 0.0, 0.0209, -0.081, -0.0157, -0.017, -0.017, -0.017, 0.0641, 0.1503, 0.1399, 0.2131, 0.1974, 0.1948, 0.1673, 0.2824, 0.4092, 0.5477, 0.6131, 0.5686, 0.4641, 0.4301, 0.2876, 0.3059, 0.3124, 0.4013, 0.4013, 0.3699, 0.451, 0.3072, 0.3072, 0.2876, 0.3752, 0.3386, 0.2954, 0.2641, 0.1987, 0.1778, 0.1935, 0.1673, 0.2627, 0.3882, 0.4196, 0.4693, 0.4641, 0.3804, 0.3778, 0.417, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2042161215968051652", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-09T08:42:30+00:00", "symbol": "Riber", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "since this company looks like an $AIXA for Quantum and trades at a profitable ~27x est. forward P/E, as a duopoly for MBE with $VECO, it looks interesting", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Riber (MBE duopolist) as a quantum computing capex play on apparent Microsoft Quantum adoption; VECO named as duopoly partner.", "resolved_tickers": ["ALRIB.PA"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Riber SA listed on Euronext Paris as ALRIB.PA", "bench_c": "FEZ", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='PA')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$MSFT looks like a secret buyer of Riber \n< $ALRIB > for Microsoft Quantum.\n\nThe broader market and algorithms likely don’t know this connection yet.\n\nMBEs are important for quantum computing, quantum dot lasers, VCSELs, and silicon photonics.\n\nBut the long-term implications are sizable if Microsoft Quantum: \n\n-> Are starting to buy from this European equipment manufacturer\n\nQuantum is still very early and risks to early stage industries are material.\n\nBut since this company looks like an $AIXA for Quantum and trades at a profitable  ~27x est. forward P/E, as a duopoly for MBE with $VECO, it looks interesting. \n\nFrom open LinkedIn intelligence, having a US hyperscaler use Riber MBE equipment to fab frontier quantum chips.\n\nAt the very least helps validate the company’s importance as a technology. \n\nAnd makes it appear well positioned to capture quantum computing and quantum dot capex cycles in the near future.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.11428572105536328, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11428572105536328, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.10854972138930574, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.11322141060383462, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005735999666057534, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0010643104515286606, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.11801239587031787, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.11801239587031787, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.11867417638486744, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.11542754248705767, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0006617805145495703, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0025848533832601994, "ret_p1w": 0.945341549859336, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.945341549859336, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.9133520205700274, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.9375872217118337, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03198952928930865, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007754328147502321, "ret_p1m": 0.622360262133669, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.622360262133669, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5374813454356953, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.6024422865391488, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08487891669797376, "bench_c_p1m": 0.019917975594520243, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5267, -0.5317, -0.5304, -0.5267, -0.5081, -0.4807, -0.4646, -0.395, -0.2733, -0.3292, -0.2658, -0.272, -0.2696, -0.3006, -0.2758, -0.3193, -0.3205, -0.3068, -0.3217, -0.3752, -0.3503, -0.3416, -0.3702, -0.3814, -0.3826, -0.3491, -0.3342, -0.323, -0.3193, -0.2696, -0.2832, -0.2783, -0.2273, -0.236, -0.2646, -0.2236, -0.2547, -0.236, -0.2696, -0.2807, -0.3093, -0.2634, -0.272, -0.282, -0.3019, -0.2509, -0.2683, -0.2696, -0.2919, -0.2944, -0.2907, -0.2919, -0.2609, -0.2894, -0.3143, -0.3317, -0.323, -0.3155, -0.3168, -0.3168, -0.3168, -0.3081, -0.1143, 0.0, 0.118, 0.4012, 0.4634, 0.595, 0.9453, 0.6149, 0.7565, 0.6149, 0.6149, 0.5876, 0.7193, 0.6696, 0.5031, 0.4559, 0.5826, 0.5826, 0.7317, 0.6795, 0.682, 0.6472, 0.6224, 0.6298, 0.4907, 0.5727, 0.6522, 0.6075, 0.5429, 0.4857, 0.5801, 0.6373, 0.9081, 1.0224, 0.9354, 0.9925, 0.9727, 0.9503, 0.9503, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2042161215968051652", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-09T08:42:30+00:00", "symbol": "VECO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "as a duopoly for MBE with $VECO, it looks interesting", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Riber (MBE duopolist) as a quantum computing capex play on apparent Microsoft Quantum adoption; VECO named as duopoly partner.", "resolved_tickers": ["VECO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$MSFT looks like a secret buyer of Riber \n< $ALRIB > for Microsoft Quantum.\n\nThe broader market and algorithms likely don’t know this connection yet.\n\nMBEs are important for quantum computing, quantum dot lasers, VCSELs, and silicon photonics.\n\nBut the long-term implications are sizable if Microsoft Quantum: \n\n-> Are starting to buy from this European equipment manufacturer\n\nQuantum is still very early and risks to early stage industries are material.\n\nBut since this company looks like an $AIXA for Quantum and trades at a profitable  ~27x est. forward P/E, as a duopoly for MBE with $VECO, it looks interesting. \n\nFrom open LinkedIn intelligence, having a US hyperscaler use Riber MBE equipment to fab frontier quantum chips.\n\nAt the very least helps validate the company’s importance as a technology. \n\nAnd makes it appear well positioned to capture quantum computing and quantum dot capex cycles in the near future.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.022073938156079498, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.022073938156079498, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.016337938490021964, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004900309440067363, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005735999666057534, "bench_c_m1d": -0.017173628716012135, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02772078686945134, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02772078686945134, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.028382567384000912, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012452707202480262, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0006617805145495703, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01526807966697108, "ret_p1w": 0.1008727001418761, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1008727001418761, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06888317085256745, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.043960264053192644, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03198952928930865, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05691243608868346, "ret_p1m": 0.5251539929482931, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5251539929482931, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.44027507625031936, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.20856831926730912, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08487891669797376, "bench_c_p1m": 0.316585673680984, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1317, -0.1232, -0.1458, -0.125, -0.1537, -0.1537, -0.1961, -0.1532, -0.1373, -0.1697, -0.1894, -0.172, -0.1712, -0.1597, -0.1984, -0.191, -0.2287, -0.2431, -0.2567, -0.2123, -0.2169, -0.1925, -0.1632, -0.174, -0.1373, -0.1373, -0.1183, -0.2474, -0.2559, -0.2474, -0.2626, -0.2464, -0.2695, -0.2128, -0.2156, -0.1612, -0.1666, -0.1691, -0.1828, -0.2223, -0.2097, -0.192, -0.1879, -0.1925, -0.2056, -0.1958, -0.2105, -0.2043, -0.1938, -0.2133, -0.1889, -0.1173, -0.0513, -0.0752, -0.0947, -0.1573, -0.1309, -0.1101, -0.1181, -0.1181, -0.0978, -0.0983, -0.0221, 0.0, 0.0277, 0.0295, 0.0452, 0.095, 0.1009, 0.1029, 0.1994, 0.2277, 0.2929, 0.2877, 0.3278, 0.2767, 0.2277, 0.2279, 0.2795, 0.2898, 0.3072, 0.2716, 0.5916, 0.4815, 0.5252, 0.5711, 0.5775, 0.5467, 0.5275, 0.5051, 0.4284, 0.4037, 0.4538, 0.482, 0.5285, 0.5285, 0.6037, 0.5462, 0.5177, 0.4795, 0.4795, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2054868760629272850", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-14T10:17:44+00:00", "symbol": "AEVA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AEVA start of volume production Q4 with $SIVE = bullish for both", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Extremely bullish SIVE on CW laser bottleneck position, Win Semi capacity lock-in, hyperscaler pluggable TAM expansion, and H2 volume production ramp; AEVA and NOK flagged as beneficiaries.", "resolved_tickers": ["AEVA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SIVE 2025 annual report analysis. \n\nTLDR: Extremely Bullish. \n\nSivers main growth vector is CPO, but they've TAM expansioned to pluggable transcivers + multiple new qualifications/development. \n\n1. \"We are currently seeing great interest...  testing our DFB lasers across multiple manufacturers in pluggable transceivers\"\n\nFor pluggable angle, we've seen this with $JBL 1.6T LRO already, but annual report hinted they're developing/qualifying with more hyperscaler suppliers.\n\n\"Our serviceable markets have now been expanded to include pluggable optical interconnects as well as scale-up and scale-out architectures for co-packaged\" (TAM expansion)\n\n2. \"Discussions with hyperscalers and pluggable transceiver suppliers indicate a shortage of CW lasers in the coming years\" \n\n$LITE already signaled CW laser bottlenecks, and they had to buy externally from competitors. So we kinda guessed CW Laser was a bottleneck. \n\nAnd this confirmed it, so was wondering about Win semi. \n\n\"The partnership announced with high-volume supplier Win Semiconductor in March 2025 now gives us a strong position to meet growing demand\"\n\n$SIVE likely has capacity locked in with Win from this nuance, which is exactly what I wanted to know. \n\nThis positions Sivers in the CW laser as both a bottleneck and CPO laser architectural leader. \n\nVOLUME PRODUCTION H2 INDICATIONS (BULLISH): \n\n3. \"The collaboration positions both companies to address the rapidly growing market for optical AI connectivity, with prototypes to be demonstrated to customers during the first half of 2026 and with the goal of scaling up production by the end of 2026\"\n\nH1 is more preproduction, H2 production signaled starting with names like $POET. \n\n4. \"We are pleased that our largest LIDAR customer will increase production starting in the fourth quarter of 2026\" \n\n$AEVA start of volume production Q4 with $SIVE = bullish for both. \n\nRevenue floor from LIDAR as their CPO scales. \n\n5. Sivers announced a partnership with LIGHTIUM AG to integrate their CW lasers directly onto TFLN wafers. 3.2T+ cycle. (future proofing)\n \nFYI no decent investor cares about last year's 2025 financials from development contracts aside from Swedish Media/Locals. \n\nEspecially when you're forward looking for the 2027-2028 CPO supercycle. \n\nBut the hint from you can take away from financials + geography that is $NOK is now the high confidence customer of $SIVE. \n\nTLDR:\n\n-> Win Semi implied capacity lock in during CW laser bottleneck \n-> Hints of new group of hyperscaler suppliers testing/qualification for pluggable transcivers, which is massive TAM expansion. \n-> New customers for CW lasers \n-> Volume production scaling starting H2 for both photonics and lidar.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04569002987610593, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04569002987610593, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.037857604778310794, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.037857604778310794, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007832425097795137, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007832425097795137, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03556284394941023, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03556284394941023, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.023533492056685645, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.023533492056685645, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012029351892724582, "bench_c_p1d": -0.012029351892724582, "ret_p1w": 0.01224683158210027, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01224683158210027, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01953128876632504, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.01953128876632504, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0072844571842247685, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0072844571842247685, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3603, -0.3924, -0.3895, -0.3938, -0.4093, -0.4131, -0.3848, -0.3575, -0.3575, -0.3754, -0.317, -0.342, -0.293, -0.2897, -0.3325, -0.3048, -0.2369, -0.2129, -0.2793, -0.2859, -0.2675, -0.2619, -0.3123, -0.2836, -0.3354, -0.2756, -0.2718, -0.2812, -0.3311, -0.3987, -0.4527, -0.3801, -0.3782, -0.3768, -0.3768, -0.4023, -0.4089, -0.3872, -0.3853, -0.3712, -0.3594, -0.3349, -0.2967, -0.3048, -0.2591, -0.2562, -0.2214, -0.2313, -0.2704, -0.2383, -0.2426, -0.2647, -0.3057, -0.2468, -0.2237, -0.2591, -0.2821, -0.2195, -0.3566, -0.3608, -0.2685, -0.1008, -0.0457, 0.0, -0.0356, -0.0838, -0.105, -0.0057, 0.0122, 0.1927, 0.1927, 0.325, 0.3797, 0.2171, 0.3274, 0.3274, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2054868760629272850", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-05-14T10:17:44+00:00", "symbol": "NOK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NOK is now the high confidence customer of $SIVE", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Extremely bullish SIVE on CW laser bottleneck position, Win Semi capacity lock-in, hyperscaler pluggable TAM expansion, and H2 volume production ramp; AEVA and NOK flagged as beneficiaries.", "resolved_tickers": ["NOK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SIVE 2025 annual report analysis. \n\nTLDR: Extremely Bullish. \n\nSivers main growth vector is CPO, but they've TAM expansioned to pluggable transcivers + multiple new qualifications/development. \n\n1. \"We are currently seeing great interest...  testing our DFB lasers across multiple manufacturers in pluggable transceivers\"\n\nFor pluggable angle, we've seen this with $JBL 1.6T LRO already, but annual report hinted they're developing/qualifying with more hyperscaler suppliers.\n\n\"Our serviceable markets have now been expanded to include pluggable optical interconnects as well as scale-up and scale-out architectures for co-packaged\" (TAM expansion)\n\n2. \"Discussions with hyperscalers and pluggable transceiver suppliers indicate a shortage of CW lasers in the coming years\" \n\n$LITE already signaled CW laser bottlenecks, and they had to buy externally from competitors. So we kinda guessed CW Laser was a bottleneck. \n\nAnd this confirmed it, so was wondering about Win semi. \n\n\"The partnership announced with high-volume supplier Win Semiconductor in March 2025 now gives us a strong position to meet growing demand\"\n\n$SIVE likely has capacity locked in with Win from this nuance, which is exactly what I wanted to know. \n\nThis positions Sivers in the CW laser as both a bottleneck and CPO laser architectural leader. \n\nVOLUME PRODUCTION H2 INDICATIONS (BULLISH): \n\n3. \"The collaboration positions both companies to address the rapidly growing market for optical AI connectivity, with prototypes to be demonstrated to customers during the first half of 2026 and with the goal of scaling up production by the end of 2026\"\n\nH1 is more preproduction, H2 production signaled starting with names like $POET. \n\n4. \"We are pleased that our largest LIDAR customer will increase production starting in the fourth quarter of 2026\" \n\n$AEVA start of volume production Q4 with $SIVE = bullish for both. \n\nRevenue floor from LIDAR as their CPO scales. \n\n5. Sivers announced a partnership with LIGHTIUM AG to integrate their CW lasers directly onto TFLN wafers. 3.2T+ cycle. (future proofing)\n \nFYI no decent investor cares about last year's 2025 financials from development contracts aside from Swedish Media/Locals. \n\nEspecially when you're forward looking for the 2027-2028 CPO supercycle. \n\nBut the hint from you can take away from financials + geography that is $NOK is now the high confidence customer of $SIVE. \n\nTLDR:\n\n-> Win Semi implied capacity lock in during CW laser bottleneck \n-> Hints of new group of hyperscaler suppliers testing/qualification for pluggable transcivers, which is massive TAM expansion. \n-> New customers for CW lasers \n-> Volume production scaling starting H2 for both photonics and lidar.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.01728907326006035, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01728907326006035, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.025121498357855487, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.025121498357855487, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007832425097795137, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007832425097795137, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03526972527914263, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03526972527914263, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.023240373386418045, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.023240373386418045, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012029351892724582, "bench_c_p1d": -0.012029351892724582, "ret_p1w": -0.01936374358454518, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01936374358454518, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01207928640032041, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01207928640032041, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0072844571842247685, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0072844571842247685, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5138, -0.4952, -0.4862, -0.4744, -0.4627, -0.4765, -0.482, -0.4765, -0.4813, -0.4661, -0.4288, -0.4419, -0.4364, -0.4571, -0.4647, -0.4544, -0.4606, -0.4537, -0.4371, -0.4302, -0.4018, -0.4087, -0.4219, -0.426, -0.4481, -0.4426, -0.4295, -0.4184, -0.4274, -0.4481, -0.4495, -0.444, -0.4281, -0.39, -0.39, -0.3852, -0.388, -0.3472, -0.3396, -0.3458, -0.2828, -0.2842, -0.3091, -0.2884, -0.287, -0.2669, -0.2808, -0.3181, -0.2856, -0.2766, -0.2559, -0.2185, -0.1383, -0.1072, -0.0802, -0.0913, -0.0719, -0.0878, -0.1459, -0.1134, -0.0373, -0.0892, 0.0173, 0.0, -0.0353, -0.0498, -0.0546, -0.0581, -0.0194, 0.0698, 0.0698, 0.1383, 0.0844, 0.0567, 0.0263, 0.0263, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2046896671775494625", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-22T10:19:30+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AXTI, $SNDK fit the definition of a bottleneck", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long AXTI and SNDK as multi-year supply chokepoints in the current supercycle.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "These are chokepoints over multiple year supercycles not bottlenecks. \n\n$AXTI, $SNDK fit the definition of a bottleneck.\n\nBut stuff like glass core or dfb lasers should scale past 2028 and this is the beginning of the next volume ramp from architectural shifts in photonics or advanced packaging.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit When identifying bottlenecks, what time horizon do you usually focus on, 1 year, 2 years, or longer?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ThatIsIt11", "ret_m1d": -0.13768116959474874, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.13768116959474874, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12765599466395083, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.11215848173352327, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010025174930797909, "bench_c_m1d": -0.025522687861225468, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.13423056671990452, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.13423056671990452, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.13034984277007933, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.1447584690595557, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0038807239498251933, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010527902339651174, "ret_p1w": -0.18253970900538818, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.18253970900538818, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.18305994227791889, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2302506345777089, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0005202332725307013, "bench_c_p1w": 0.047710925572320706, "ret_p1m": 0.39199440124962703, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.39199440124962703, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3476896983391269, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.20104580138268502, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04430470291050015, "bench_c_p1m": 0.19094859986694201, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7999, -0.7953, -0.8022, -0.8064, -0.8116, -0.7867, -0.7591, -0.7729, -0.7843, -0.765, -0.7233, -0.6806, -0.7199, -0.6917, -0.7149, -0.7212, -0.7212, -0.733, -0.7292, -0.7261, -0.6586, -0.673, -0.5965, -0.5288, -0.573, -0.5641, -0.4672, -0.5197, -0.5499, -0.5537, -0.6277, -0.5565, -0.4905, -0.4553, -0.4625, -0.438, -0.4434, -0.4898, -0.4392, -0.3318, -0.3761, -0.2588, -0.2128, -0.2253, -0.327, -0.3026, -0.3935, -0.3446, -0.4578, -0.3922, -0.3922, -0.517, -0.4771, -0.3883, -0.274, -0.2618, -0.2357, -0.2259, -0.2762, -0.0594, -0.0504, -0.0941, -0.1377, 0.0, -0.1342, -0.124, -0.1931, -0.2097, -0.1825, -0.0888, 0.1042, 0.2192, 0.2371, 0.2058, 0.2471, 0.3384, 0.4471, 0.4136, 0.4026, 0.3225, 0.4237, 0.2179, 0.2984, 0.2032, 0.392, 0.6199, 0.6199, 0.5252, 0.4121, 0.3308, 0.1866, 0.1866, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2046896671775494625", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-22T10:19:30+00:00", "symbol": "SNDK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AXTI, $SNDK fit the definition of a bottleneck", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long AXTI and SNDK as multi-year supply chokepoints in the current supercycle.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNDK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "These are chokepoints over multiple year supercycles not bottlenecks. \n\n$AXTI, $SNDK fit the definition of a bottleneck.\n\nBut stuff like glass core or dfb lasers should scale past 2028 and this is the beginning of the next volume ramp from architectural shifts in photonics or advanced packaging.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit When identifying bottlenecks, what time horizon do you usually focus on, 1 year, 2 years, or longer?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ThatIsIt11", "ret_m1d": -0.07719572300698152, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07719572300698152, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06717054807618361, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06717054807618361, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010025174930797909, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010025174930797909, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04763705792183737, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04763705792183737, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.043756333972012174, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.043756333972012174, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0038807239498251933, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0038807239498251933, "ret_p1w": 0.08696002632739952, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08696002632739952, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08643979305486882, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08643979305486882, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0005202332725307013, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0005202332725307013, "ret_p1m": 0.5752091052705108, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5752091052705108, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5309044023600107, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5309044023600107, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04430470291050015, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04430470291050015, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.516, -0.5191, -0.5083, -0.4611, -0.4492, -0.4114, -0.3205, -0.2896, -0.403, -0.4115, -0.3893, -0.4041, -0.4468, -0.3878, -0.3562, -0.36, -0.36, -0.3968, -0.3868, -0.3656, -0.3361, -0.3193, -0.3478, -0.3541, -0.3342, -0.3511, -0.3677, -0.4225, -0.3881, -0.4223, -0.4614, -0.3987, -0.3679, -0.3306, -0.368, -0.3242, -0.2813, -0.2644, -0.2302, -0.2114, -0.2751, -0.2825, -0.2825, -0.3076, -0.3839, -0.371, -0.4153, -0.3511, -0.2925, -0.2834, -0.2834, -0.2599, -0.274, -0.2024, -0.1302, -0.13, -0.0271, -0.0353, -0.0892, -0.0609, -0.0593, -0.0675, -0.0772, 0.0, -0.0476, 0.0111, 0.0931, 0.0238, 0.087, 0.12, 0.2124, 0.2827, 0.4364, 0.4401, 0.3686, 0.5957, 0.5806, 0.4831, 0.4782, 0.4123, 0.4377, 0.3615, 0.4129, 0.4223, 0.5752, 0.5103, 0.5103, 0.6235, 0.6239, 0.6767, 0.7312, 0.7312, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2052282576627220521", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-07T07:01:10+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "CPO is a completely new opportunity and massive TAM expansion for all photonics players", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "CPO is an unpriced TAM expansion for photonics; bullish LITE, SIVE, and SOI as new beneficiaries of the architectural shift.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$LITE was priced in for EML and current pluggable optical transceivers. \n\nCPO is a completely new opportunity and massive TAM expansion for all photonics players.\n\nIt's a massive architectural shift, and completely new optical companies benefit like $SIVE or $SOI that didn't as much before.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $LITE: If you say that this still isn’t priced in, then why has the stock risen by nearly 300 percent over the last six months?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "KimSchmitz10", "ret_m1d": 0.05792199154938871, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05792199154938871, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05484645647811881, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05484645647811881, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003075535071269897, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003075535071269897, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012570268758319791, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012570268758319791, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004314195757077588, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004314195757077588, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008256073001242203, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008256073001242203, "ret_p1w": 0.12237556115683845, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12237556115683845, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09969866261837668, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09969866261837668, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022676898538461776, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022676898538461776, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3534, -0.3713, -0.3568, -0.3463, -0.3695, -0.3695, -0.3273, -0.3342, -0.2879, -0.2519, -0.2441, -0.2289, -0.1896, -0.2415, -0.2147, -0.1225, -0.222, -0.2373, -0.2709, -0.3744, -0.2822, -0.2471, -0.2471, -0.3098, -0.3026, -0.3, -0.2723, -0.2148, -0.1349, -0.2086, -0.1833, -0.1015, -0.1293, -0.2283, -0.2127, -0.2664, -0.2127, -0.1433, -0.0736, -0.0736, -0.1348, -0.0861, 0.0039, 0.0017, 0.0053, -0.024, -0.0446, -0.0768, -0.0015, 0.0017, 0.0028, -0.0624, -0.0213, -0.0512, -0.0123, -0.0369, -0.1134, -0.0384, 0.0109, 0.0643, 0.0937, 0.1143, 0.0579, 0.0, 0.0126, 0.1798, 0.1118, 0.1544, 0.1224, 0.0875, -0.0085, -0.0028, -0.0275, 0.0806, 0.0609, 0.0609, 0.0204, 0.0109, -0.0358, -0.0421, -0.0421, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2057827802372841789", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-22T14:15:55+00:00", "symbol": "INTC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm pretty sure $INTC, $RKLB, and $NBIS will be around in 2029", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Holding INTC, RKLB, and NBIS long-term through 2029; letting positions compound rather than rotating.", "resolved_tickers": ["INTC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@realstockfox Yep, I'm pretty sure $INTC, $RKLB, and $NBIS will be around in 2029... \n\nDon't need to keep entering new/different US positions, just let the ones you have compound over time.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Let the winners win, as they say.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "realstockfox", "ret_m1d": -0.011181545217278543, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011181545217278543, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.007265387436114823, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.007265387436114823, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0039161577811637205, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0039161577811637205, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.04305737809075161, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.04305737809075161, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.057595178647798506, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.057595178647798506, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014537800557046898, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014537800557046898, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6152, -0.6088, -0.6207, -0.6194, -0.6203, -0.6404, -0.6197, -0.6166, -0.6377, -0.6197, -0.6096, -0.5996, -0.6224, -0.6181, -0.6182, -0.6323, -0.6242, -0.6147, -0.6339, -0.6328, -0.6323, -0.6063, -0.632, -0.6401, -0.6563, -0.6318, -0.5992, -0.5796, -0.5796, -0.5763, -0.5585, -0.5081, -0.485, -0.4795, -0.4561, -0.4675, -0.4581, -0.4284, -0.4284, -0.4518, -0.4471, -0.4554, -0.4428, -0.3112, -0.2908, -0.2947, -0.2094, -0.2116, -0.1687, -0.2008, -0.0975, -0.057, -0.0853, 0.0424, 0.0801, 0.0064, 0.0038, -0.0326, -0.0924, -0.0974, -0.0754, -0.0073, -0.0112, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0307, 0.0161, 0.0088, -0.0431, -0.0431, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2057827802372841789", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-22T14:15:55+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm pretty sure $INTC, $RKLB, and $NBIS will be around in 2029", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Holding INTC, RKLB, and NBIS long-term through 2029; letting positions compound rather than rotating.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@realstockfox Yep, I'm pretty sure $INTC, $RKLB, and $NBIS will be around in 2029... \n\nDon't need to keep entering new/different US positions, just let the ones you have compound over time.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Let the winners win, as they say.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "realstockfox", "ret_m1d": -0.07594282539599406, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07594282539599406, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07202666761483034, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06872383801565274, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0039161577811637205, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007218987380341324, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.056865067273661474, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.056865067273661474, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.042327266716614576, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04894749973262358, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014537800557046898, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007917567541037895, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4846, -0.4829, -0.4649, -0.491, -0.4772, -0.4834, -0.4703, -0.4844, -0.4836, -0.4735, -0.4923, -0.4699, -0.4964, -0.4961, -0.4747, -0.4211, -0.4882, -0.4702, -0.5048, -0.4991, -0.5133, -0.4632, -0.5143, -0.5512, -0.5773, -0.527, -0.5174, -0.5011, -0.5011, -0.5015, -0.5115, -0.4912, -0.5084, -0.4987, -0.4798, -0.468, -0.4579, -0.3891, -0.3754, -0.341, -0.3618, -0.3368, -0.3768, -0.4131, -0.3939, -0.4211, -0.4327, -0.3922, -0.4195, -0.4084, -0.4199, -0.3765, -0.4212, -0.2231, -0.1356, -0.1341, -0.0855, -0.0236, -0.081, -0.0339, -0.0622, -0.0109, -0.0759, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0548, 0.1066, 0.0904, 0.0569, 0.0569, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2057827802372841789", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-05-22T14:15:55+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm pretty sure $INTC, $RKLB, and $NBIS will be around in 2029", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Holding INTC, RKLB, and NBIS long-term through 2029; letting positions compound rather than rotating.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@realstockfox Yep, I'm pretty sure $INTC, $RKLB, and $NBIS will be around in 2029... \n\nDon't need to keep entering new/different US positions, just let the ones you have compound over time.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Let the winners win, as they say.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "realstockfox", "ret_m1d": 0.024025647439920306, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.024025647439920306, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.027941805221084026, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.018482607471764778, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0039161577811637205, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005543039968155528, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.07598822806152139, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07598822806152139, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06145042750447449, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07399616709878631, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014537800557046898, "bench_c_p1w": 0.001992060962735076, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5224, -0.5059, -0.5117, -0.5754, -0.5762, -0.5958, -0.5447, -0.5546, -0.5841, -0.5579, -0.551, -0.4785, -0.497, -0.4741, -0.3954, -0.4584, -0.448, -0.4342, -0.4523, -0.4685, -0.465, -0.4641, -0.5066, -0.5306, -0.5704, -0.5169, -0.5253, -0.4933, -0.4933, -0.476, -0.4534, -0.418, -0.3652, -0.325, -0.2803, -0.246, -0.2235, -0.2302, -0.2683, -0.2589, -0.2711, -0.273, -0.2686, -0.3148, -0.325, -0.369, -0.3426, -0.3564, -0.2807, -0.1786, -0.1809, -0.0916, -0.1397, -0.1756, -0.1335, -0.166, -0.0349, 0.0297, 0.0241, -0.0694, -0.0793, -0.1069, 0.024, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0312, -0.0298, 0.0539, 0.076, 0.076, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2050247765540941919", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-01T16:15:33+00:00", "symbol": "RDDT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "There's nothing more compelling in the larger cap software/social media bucket than $RDDT", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "RDDT is the most compelling large-cap software/social media name; bullish stance.", "resolved_tickers": ["RDDT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Rumbourbon23 There's nothing more compelling in the larger cap software/social media bucket than $RDDT", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit 91.5% gross margin. 7th consecutive quarter of 60% sales growth. Just WOW.\n\nI even added before and after the earnings calls. Really think I don’t own enough 🤣", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MultiBaggerss", "ret_m1d": -0.11562950801311, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11562950801311, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11286804100122816, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1138303383568694, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0027614670118818463, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0017991696562406068, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.015557494372588243, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.015557494372588243, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.019220874042330194, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02086937528500943, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0036633796697419507, "bench_c_p1d": -0.005311880912421185, "ret_p1w": -0.06415180772385476, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06415180772385476, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08769995193840985, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06603667080132447, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02354814421455509, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0018848630774697117, "ret_p1m": 0.057184073262720236, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.057184073262720236, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.007465132249959261, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06600860006639353, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.049718941012760975, "bench_c_p1m": -0.008824526803673294, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0064, -0.0828, -0.0927, -0.1601, -0.1486, -0.0991, -0.1633, -0.2127, -0.1612, -0.1612, -0.1637, -0.1142, -0.1222, -0.098, -0.1443, -0.1466, -0.101, -0.0915, -0.1242, -0.1164, -0.1249, -0.1153, -0.133, -0.1627, -0.1659, -0.1943, -0.1764, -0.2056, -0.2049, -0.1591, -0.133, -0.1423, -0.1704, -0.16, -0.1533, -0.1824, -0.1613, -0.2356, -0.2681, -0.2544, -0.1912, -0.182, -0.1831, -0.1831, -0.169, -0.1522, -0.129, -0.1688, -0.1607, -0.1029, -0.0717, -0.0481, -0.0242, -0.0161, -0.0012, -0.058, -0.013, -0.0812, -0.0696, -0.0377, -0.1114, -0.1125, -0.1156, 0.0, 0.0156, 0.0309, 0.0005, -0.0152, -0.0642, -0.0419, -0.0849, -0.0742, -0.0611, -0.0499, -0.0443, -0.0697, -0.1187, -0.0988, -0.149, -0.149, -0.1312, -0.0738, 0.0073, 0.0572, 0.0572, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2037442444367974907", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-27T08:11:47+00:00", "symbol": "3105.TWO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's highly asymmetrical to long both the supply chain as exposure to where photonics and hyperscalers architecture are heading.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on SIVE as a ~$300M undervalued photonics disruptor supplying WDM DFB arrays to hyperscalers, and Win Semi (3105.TWO) as its foundry; JBL named as next-step in supply chain.", "resolved_tickers": ["3105.TWO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TWO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "You cant spell Winner without Win.\n\nBecause of that: I’m bullish on $SIVE supply chain. \n\n$SIVE -> WIN (TPE:3105) -> Ayar SuperNova -> $JBL -> Hyperscalers, as one flow. \n\nIf you compare to $LITE and others that’s also in the same CPO CW WDM space. \n\nThere’s a reason why:\n\n-> $POET / $MRVL Celestial.\n-> Ayar / $JBL and O-Net use $SIVE.\n\nIt’s designed in as the light source for the next-gen photonics architecture for hyperscalers. \n\nAt a ~$300M valuation. \n\nAnd I do think WDM DFB arrays are the superior architecture for scale up. And are incredibly hard to develop. \n\nIt's not a zero-sum architectural game and will likely be split with how you handle scale out with single emitters like $LITE and $COHR. \n\nAs well as captive suppliers like $MRVL and how they design their architectures. \n\nBut if you look at the MC difference (~$300m with $SIVE, $55B with $LITE). \n\nAnyone can see how clear how valuable the $330M incoming disruptor in $SIVE is to the photonics space. \n\nAnd especially with the $4B foundry in Win Semi that captures fabless laser production from $SIVE, $AVGO, $MTSI and other players at scale.\n\nIt’s highly asymmetrical to long both the supply chain as exposure to where photonics and hyperscalers architecture are heading.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I am long Win Semi (3105.TWO) at $4.1B MC.\n\nI believe markets are sleeping on of the most important foundries in the world (aside from $TSM).\n\nIMO their strategic positioning exceeds far beyond $4B MC. \n\nThey sit in almost every major chokepoints:\n\n-&gt; In the SpaceX Starlink LEO https://t.co/xNxc1f9nuh", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06274509803921569, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06274509803921569, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08009279242663636, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07152334856596676, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.017347694387420676, "bench_c_m1d": 0.008778250526751075, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.020915032679738488, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.020915032679738488, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.024258495062923102, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.028542012037773623, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0033434623831846144, "bench_c_p1d": -0.007626979358035135, "ret_p1w": -0.016993464052287632, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.016993464052287632, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05127880101332816, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03541336358669589, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.034285336961040525, "bench_c_p1w": 0.018419899534408257, "ret_p1m": 0.2875816993464053, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2875816993464053, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15971349038438598, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03056628476307366, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12786820896201934, "bench_c_p1m": 0.25701541458333166, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5163, -0.5216, -0.5216, -0.532, -0.5216, -0.519, -0.5137, -0.4837, -0.434, -0.3908, -0.451, -0.4366, -0.4196, -0.4288, -0.4431, -0.4065, -0.4196, -0.3869, -0.3974, -0.3882, -0.3699, -0.3255, -0.3595, -0.3869, -0.4209, -0.3817, -0.3425, -0.3725, -0.4261, -0.3817, -0.332, -0.3569, -0.3569, -0.3569, -0.3569, -0.3569, -0.3569, -0.3569, -0.3569, -0.2928, -0.2222, -0.1582, -0.1163, -0.1163, -0.1333, -0.1477, -0.2327, -0.2157, -0.2196, -0.2967, -0.2889, -0.2183, -0.1987, -0.1817, -0.2065, -0.2327, -0.1569, -0.0732, -0.1007, -0.1765, -0.1804, -0.0993, -0.0627, 0.0, 0.0209, -0.081, -0.0157, -0.017, -0.017, -0.017, 0.0641, 0.1503, 0.1399, 0.2131, 0.1974, 0.1948, 0.1673, 0.2824, 0.4092, 0.5477, 0.6131, 0.5686, 0.4641, 0.4301, 0.2876, 0.3059, 0.3124, 0.4013, 0.4013, 0.3699, 0.451, 0.3072, 0.3072, 0.2876, 0.3752, 0.3386, 0.2954, 0.2641, 0.1987, 0.1778, 0.1935, 0.1673, 0.2627, 0.3882, 0.4196, 0.4693, 0.4641, 0.3804, 0.3778, 0.417, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2037442444367974907", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-27T08:11:47+00:00", "symbol": "JBL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SIVE -> WIN (TPE:3105) -> Ayar SuperNova -> $JBL -> Hyperscalers, as one flow.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on SIVE as a ~$300M undervalued photonics disruptor supplying WDM DFB arrays to hyperscalers, and Win Semi (3105.TWO) as its foundry; JBL named as next-step in supply chain.", "resolved_tickers": ["JBL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "You cant spell Winner without Win.\n\nBecause of that: I’m bullish on $SIVE supply chain. \n\n$SIVE -> WIN (TPE:3105) -> Ayar SuperNova -> $JBL -> Hyperscalers, as one flow. \n\nIf you compare to $LITE and others that’s also in the same CPO CW WDM space. \n\nThere’s a reason why:\n\n-> $POET / $MRVL Celestial.\n-> Ayar / $JBL and O-Net use $SIVE.\n\nIt’s designed in as the light source for the next-gen photonics architecture for hyperscalers. \n\nAt a ~$300M valuation. \n\nAnd I do think WDM DFB arrays are the superior architecture for scale up. And are incredibly hard to develop. \n\nIt's not a zero-sum architectural game and will likely be split with how you handle scale out with single emitters like $LITE and $COHR. \n\nAs well as captive suppliers like $MRVL and how they design their architectures. \n\nBut if you look at the MC difference (~$300m with $SIVE, $55B with $LITE). \n\nAnyone can see how clear how valuable the $330M incoming disruptor in $SIVE is to the photonics space. \n\nAnd especially with the $4B foundry in Win Semi that captures fabless laser production from $SIVE, $AVGO, $MTSI and other players at scale.\n\nIt’s highly asymmetrical to long both the supply chain as exposure to where photonics and hyperscalers architecture are heading.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I am long Win Semi (3105.TWO) at $4.1B MC.\n\nI believe markets are sleeping on of the most important foundries in the world (aside from $TSM).\n\nIMO their strategic positioning exceeds far beyond $4B MC. \n\nThey sit in almost every major chokepoints:\n\n-&gt; In the SpaceX Starlink LEO https://t.co/xNxc1f9nuh", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.011681367552382804, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011681367552382804, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0056663268350378715, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0056663268350378715, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.017347694387420676, "bench_c_m1d": 0.017347694387420676, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05216393475970249, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05216393475970249, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.048820472376517876, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.048820472376517876, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0033434623831846144, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0033434623831846144, "ret_p1w": 0.02853307298878982, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02853307298878982, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.005752263972250704, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.005752263972250704, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.034285336961040525, "bench_c_p1w": 0.034285336961040525, "ret_p1m": 0.30524704069878705, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.30524704069878705, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.17737883173676772, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.17737883173676772, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12786820896201934, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12786820896201934, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1134, -0.127, -0.127, -0.0796, -0.1445, -0.1409, -0.1406, -0.1507, -0.1341, -0.1172, -0.0874, -0.076, -0.0306, -0.0379, -0.0379, -0.0553, -0.0308, -0.0631, -0.0691, -0.0742, -0.0724, -0.0672, -0.0661, -0.0919, -0.0688, -0.0595, -0.0962, -0.0741, -0.0112, 0.0183, -0.0086, -0.0004, -0.0385, -0.0253, -0.0253, -0.0142, -0.0021, 0.0051, 0.0383, 0.0007, 0.0198, 0.0631, 0.0414, 0.0149, 0.0003, -0.0263, -0.0227, -0.034, -0.0766, -0.0522, -0.0381, -0.0216, -0.0343, -0.04, -0.0119, 0.0048, -0.0093, 0.0161, -0.0286, 0.0198, 0.0624, 0.0848, 0.0117, 0.0, -0.0522, 0.0173, 0.0416, 0.0285, 0.0285, 0.0244, 0.045, 0.0997, 0.1223, 0.1471, 0.1696, 0.1718, 0.1679, 0.1877, 0.2321, 0.265, 0.278, 0.2884, 0.2966, 0.3085, 0.3052, 0.2671, 0.2787, 0.2926, 0.3116, 0.3052, 0.2917, 0.426, 0.339, 0.3602, 0.3989, 0.3435, 0.3613, 0.3571, 0.3018, 0.2976, 0.2752, 0.3222, 0.3653, 0.3958, 0.3958, 0.4567, 0.4227, 0.3931, 0.3966, 0.3966, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2054365028820881794", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-13T00:56:05+00:00", "symbol": "FOCI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "FOCI (3363) is looks extremely compelling around now at ~$3.35B MC for CPO exposure… I'm very confident about this theme directionally over time… over the next 1-2 years, I think it has high potential to be re-rated", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long FOCI as a pure-play CPO name: leading FAU/optical supplier for NVDA/TSM with up to 50% share, as CPO TAM grows from near-zero to $91B in 2 years.", "resolved_tickers": ["3363.TWO"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "FOCI fiber optics Taiwan; retrying TWO (OTC market) suffix", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TWO')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "FOCI (3363) is looks extremely compelling around now at ~$3.35B MC for CPO exposure.\n\n1. $TSM COUPE advanced packaging director hinted that FAU supplies by FOCI be a pretty big bottleneck for mass production. \n\n2. Leading supplier for $NVDA and $TSM expected with up to 50% market share from Morgan Stanley note. \n\n3. $HIMX signaled record demand and that Foci should scale up capacity (meaning high medium term demand visibility)\n\n4. FAU and optical components make a large % of CPO related BOM from Goldman Sachs research note.\n\n5. Overarching CPO tam basically goes from near 0 to $91B in the next two years from the GS note.\n\nI’m very confident about this theme directionally over time (NFA), despite any recent market volatility. \n\nRisks include getting designed out for later generations. \n\nBut over the next 1-2 years, I think it has high potential to be re-rated compared to other names but might need to be actively monitored.\n\nJust throwing out ideas over long positions I hold, for more purer play CPO exposure.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0785463071512309, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0785463071512309, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08411002702082149, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0900369666523042, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005563719869590589, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011490659501073308, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05744431418522855, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05744431418522855, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.049550057916505796, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05090833756080526, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007894256268722755, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00653597662442329, "ret_p1w": -0.08909730363423207, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08909730363423207, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08766933208315497, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0581042357184659, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0014279715510771007, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03099306791576617, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4654, -0.4654, -0.4654, -0.4654, -0.4654, -0.4654, -0.4127, -0.354, -0.3025, -0.2943, -0.2943, -0.2638, -0.272, -0.3447, -0.2814, -0.306, -0.3751, -0.3318, -0.2884, -0.3142, -0.2685, -0.2614, -0.2849, -0.2579, -0.2169, -0.1395, -0.2251, -0.2204, -0.2052, -0.2509, -0.2474, -0.2837, -0.3552, -0.2907, -0.2966, -0.2966, -0.2966, -0.2263, -0.1559, -0.1055, -0.0809, -0.1243, -0.1231, -0.0363, -0.027, 0.0539, 0.1583, 0.1606, 0.1208, 0.068, -0.0375, -0.1336, -0.1266, -0.1161, -0.0985, -0.0985, -0.0176, 0.0223, -0.0445, -0.0445, -0.0504, 0.0, 0.0785, 0.0, 0.0574, -0.0141, -0.0574, -0.0914, -0.0891, -0.041, -0.0012, -0.0082, 0.0375, -0.007, -0.0445, -0.0657, -0.0469, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2048666474739634662", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-27T07:32:04+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SIVE is like a mini $LITE", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish SIVE on Apple Watch laser revenue (~50M units/year); LITE cited as the comparable.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@piyush1337 Yeah $SIVE is like a mini $LITE.\n\n$AAPL Watch if/when it gets released is likely going to massive for Sivers revenue given they do ~50M units/year.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I also did my deep research yesterday on photonics as a whole..got to know that LITE's first customer after their rebirth was Apple..so now I understand why you are so convinced that apple is the SIVE's new customer for lasers", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "piyush1337", "ret_m1d": 0.025544414386456715, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.025544414386456715, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.027264257917563817, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.027264257917563817, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0017198435311071014, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0017198435311071014, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07945979683204762, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07945979683204762, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07459384810390146, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07459384810390146, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004865948728146163, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004865948728146163, "ret_p1w": 0.13551554182084669, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.13551554182084669, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.13154442037652636, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13154442037652636, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003971121444320325, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003971121444320325, "ret_p1m": 0.05947562502143233, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05947562502143233, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.009948876427787523, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.009948876427787523, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04952674859364481, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04952674859364481, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5522, -0.5563, -0.5442, -0.5075, -0.4939, -0.4585, -0.4132, -0.3579, -0.3286, -0.3473, -0.3322, -0.3213, -0.3454, -0.3454, -0.3016, -0.3087, -0.2606, -0.2232, -0.2151, -0.1994, -0.1585, -0.2125, -0.1847, -0.0889, -0.1922, -0.2081, -0.243, -0.3504, -0.2547, -0.2183, -0.2183, -0.2833, -0.2759, -0.2732, -0.2444, -0.1848, -0.1018, -0.1784, -0.1521, -0.0671, -0.096, -0.1988, -0.1826, -0.2383, -0.1825, -0.1105, -0.0382, -0.0382, -0.1017, -0.0511, 0.0423, 0.0401, 0.0438, 0.0134, -0.008, -0.0415, 0.0367, 0.04, 0.0412, -0.0265, 0.0162, -0.0149, 0.0255, 0.0, -0.0795, -0.0016, 0.0496, 0.105, 0.1355, 0.1569, 0.0984, 0.0383, 0.0513, 0.225, 0.1543, 0.1986, 0.1653, 0.1291, 0.0294, 0.0354, 0.0098, 0.1219, 0.1015, 0.1015, 0.0595, 0.0496, 0.0011, -0.0055, -0.0055, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2050098063273001303", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-01T06:20:41+00:00", "symbol": "Shunsin", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Shunsin I expect to 3x as well, just on a slower timeframe", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Expects Shunsin to 3x, on a slower timeline than 1 year.", "resolved_tickers": ["6451.TW"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Shunsin Technology listed on TWSE as 6451.TW", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TW')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@yuntungshieh Shunsin I expect to 3x as well, just on a slower timeframe.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I expect ShunSin to be on the list as well! For 1 year timeframe", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "yuntungshieh", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0027614670118818463, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0010003775265532422, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0027614670118818463, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0010003775265532422, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09976798143851506, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09976798143851506, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10343136110825701, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09487743530717863, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0036633796697419507, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004890546131336437, "ret_p1w": 0.023201856148491906, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.023201856148491906, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.00034628806606318285, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04504310668736, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02354814421455509, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06824496283585191, "ret_p1m": 0.42227378190255216, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.42227378190255216, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3725548408897912, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.27989301737227423, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.049718941012760975, "bench_c_p1m": 0.14238076453027793, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5603, -0.5174, -0.5406, -0.5858, -0.5986, -0.5882, -0.6148, -0.6148, -0.6148, -0.6148, -0.6148, -0.6148, -0.6148, -0.6148, -0.5766, -0.5348, -0.5104, -0.5151, -0.5151, -0.5255, -0.5186, -0.5661, -0.5476, -0.5592, -0.6032, -0.5998, -0.5603, -0.5452, -0.5, -0.4501, -0.3956, -0.3527, -0.3689, -0.3631, -0.3492, -0.3271, -0.2599, -0.2297, -0.1531, -0.2378, -0.3132, -0.2923, -0.3144, -0.3144, -0.3144, -0.2459, -0.1705, -0.0882, 0.0023, 0.1021, 0.1044, 0.058, 0.1462, 0.1717, 0.1763, 0.0998, 0.1508, 0.036, -0.0673, -0.1195, -0.0603, -0.0777, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0998, 0.2088, 0.1079, 0.1369, 0.0232, 0.0568, 0.0592, 0.109, 0.2181, 0.3387, 0.2065, 0.123, 0.1265, 0.1578, 0.2158, 0.3364, 0.4664, 0.3968, 0.3202, 0.3225, 0.4223, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2054728301806256484", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-14T00:59:36+00:00", "symbol": "AMZN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Amazon's robotics program have the simplest route for mass production since each one they make internally lowers opex, cuts headcount, and improves profitability", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AMZN robotics as simplest mass-production path; bullish Nextronics (8147.T) as undiscovered supplier that scales with Amazon.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMZN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Now that I think about it more…\n\nNextronics (8147) is a pretty undiscovered supplier to robotics supply chains like $AMZN too.\n\nSo as Amazon scales up, so does their revenue (it’s only ~$200m mc so it should be material if they’re hitting 38-40% gross margins).\n\nI was only focusing on $NVDA CPO supply chains as their largest growth vector earlier. \n\nBut I do think Amazon’s robotics program have the simplest route for mass production since each one they make internally lowers opex, cuts headcount, and improves profitability. \n\nAnd their whole ecosystem should benefit.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@Dog_Ziller I actually think $AMZN for robotics is extremely underrated.\n\nSince since there’s immediate practical upside to lower opex + headcount for automation.\n\nBut for general purpose $TSLA, Unitree, Figure, Boston Dynamics, Agibot, Agility, and others should do well.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.010889917105067148, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.010889917105067148, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.018722342202862285, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.010468554902915317, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007832425097795137, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0004213622021518315, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011526033074604314, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011526033074604314, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0005033188181202686, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006507163374946612, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012029351892724582, "bench_c_p1d": -0.018033196449550926, "ret_p1w": 0.00464033466323821, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.00464033466323821, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.011924791847462979, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.00438754305828537, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0072844571842247685, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00025279160495284003, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2561, -0.2472, -0.2336, -0.2334, -0.2137, -0.2318, -0.2195, -0.2117, -0.2219, -0.2141, -0.2202, -0.2189, -0.1886, -0.1807, -0.2021, -0.2011, -0.1979, -0.2042, -0.2159, -0.2229, -0.2076, -0.1947, -0.2146, -0.2188, -0.2315, -0.2136, -0.2245, -0.2077, -0.2233, -0.254, -0.248, -0.2206, -0.212, -0.215, -0.215, -0.2037, -0.2, -0.172, -0.1256, -0.1079, -0.1023, -0.0681, -0.0701, -0.0656, -0.0623, -0.0709, -0.0648, -0.0444, -0.0454, -0.0121, -0.0228, -0.0281, -0.0156, -0.0081, 0.0039, 0.0181, 0.0237, 0.0291, 0.0148, 0.0204, 0.0066, -0.0052, 0.0109, 0.0, -0.0115, -0.0088, -0.0295, -0.0083, 0.0046, -0.0034, -0.0034, -0.0072, 0.0173, 0.0254, 0.0128, 0.0128, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2039730314495566143", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-02T15:42:57+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI does look like an early $SNDK. Largely dependent on execution, but the fact they project they'll have the largest 1.6T capacity in the US from projections (from inp laser fab to assembly), is pretty bullish.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AAOI on largest projected 1.6T US capacity from laser fab to assembly; compares to early SNDK trajectory.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Market_Nick_ $AAOI does look like an early $SNDK. \n\nLargely dependent on execution, but the fact they project they'll have the largest 1.6T capacity in the US from projections (from inp laser fab to assembly), is pretty bullish.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I can see $AAOI pull a $SNDK type move", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Market_Nick_", "ret_m1d": -0.16899244123875934, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.16899244123875934, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.16809277693536728, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.16809277693536728, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0008996643033920559, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0008996643033920559, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.28284090418491115, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.28284090418491115, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.24612414004297833, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.24612414004297833, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03671676414193281, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03671676414193281, "ret_p1m": 0.7660474260357724, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.7660474260357724, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6672108286932952, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.6672108286932952, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09883659734247718, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09883659734247718, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6633, -0.6284, -0.6338, -0.6823, -0.6724, -0.6755, -0.6711, -0.6683, -0.6439, -0.6435, -0.6435, -0.6222, -0.6306, -0.6329, -0.6562, -0.6642, -0.6402, -0.5647, -0.6192, -0.5803, -0.575, -0.5562, -0.616, -0.633, -0.5737, -0.5389, -0.5333, -0.5342, -0.5767, -0.5721, -0.5721, -0.5774, -0.5819, -0.5479, -0.5026, -0.4807, -0.4585, -0.4407, -0.4833, -0.1894, -0.0135, -0.0825, -0.0404, -0.0267, -0.0802, 0.0646, 0.1596, 0.2223, 0.0219, -0.0683, -0.0947, -0.1692, -0.1086, -0.0192, -0.1575, -0.0784, 0.0961, 0.101, -0.0625, -0.0549, -0.1802, -0.1859, -0.169, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0341, 0.1321, 0.2771, 0.2828, 0.4493, 0.4743, 0.4088, 0.3719, 0.514, 0.5342, 0.5732, 0.449, 0.438, 0.3255, 0.5607, 0.4029, 0.321, 0.4708, 0.5818, 0.766, 0.6647, 0.7378, 0.7182, 0.5162, 0.4334, 0.7794, 0.812, 1.1471, 0.9591, 0.832, 0.6674, 0.6488, 0.5904, 0.7016, 0.7466, 0.7466, 0.7094, 0.7306, 0.6266, 0.5245, 0.5245, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2044315704036601963", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-15T07:23:40+00:00", "symbol": "MTSI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "like $MTSI or $LITE", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "SIVE has potential to reach $10B+ market cap like MTSI or LITE over 2-3 years; implicitly bullish on all three.", "resolved_tickers": ["MTSI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@CryptoGuru365 I think $SIVE has the potential to be a $10B+ laser company like $MTSI or $LITE", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Price target in the next 2-3 years in your opinion?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "CryptoGuru365", "ret_m1d": 0.010568271277848096, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.010568271277848096, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.018397485852862716, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.018397485852862716, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00782921457501462, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00782921457501462, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0009955956577538672, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0009955956577538672, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0014617159648504519, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0014617159648504519, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002457311622604319, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002457311622604319, "ret_p1w": 0.0606524587064432, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0606524587064432, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04455105074013188, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04455105074013188, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01610140796631132, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01610140796631132, "ret_p1m": 0.46867817498902453, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.46867817498902453, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.39977229691301397, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.39977229691301397, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06890587807601056, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06890587807601056, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.155, -0.155, -0.1511, -0.1337, -0.1412, -0.1604, -0.1619, -0.1607, -0.1337, -0.128, -0.1612, -0.1248, -0.1319, -0.1766, -0.1277, -0.0968, -0.0975, -0.1172, -0.0927, -0.0849, -0.0651, -0.0651, -0.0596, -0.0551, -0.0712, -0.0673, -0.0598, -0.0493, -0.0298, -0.0538, -0.0499, -0.01, -0.0772, -0.0849, -0.1232, -0.2054, -0.1625, -0.1553, -0.1478, -0.1732, -0.166, -0.1388, -0.1527, -0.1619, -0.1402, -0.1616, -0.1221, -0.0916, -0.0617, -0.1251, -0.1368, -0.1978, -0.1497, -0.1218, -0.0875, -0.0875, -0.1077, -0.0925, -0.0542, -0.0515, -0.0117, 0.0095, 0.0106, 0.0, 0.001, 0.0605, 0.0763, 0.094, 0.0607, 0.089, 0.1014, 0.07, 0.017, 0.0324, 0.0783, 0.0881, 0.117, 0.1624, 0.1863, 0.319, 0.378, 0.401, 0.389, 0.461, 0.4687, 0.4382, 0.3641, 0.3746, 0.4386, 0.4568, 0.4779, 0.4779, 0.5687, 0.5342, 0.4975, 0.3962, 0.3962, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2044315704036601963", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-04-15T07:23:40+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "like $MTSI or $LITE", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "SIVE has potential to reach $10B+ market cap like MTSI or LITE over 2-3 years; implicitly bullish on all three.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@CryptoGuru365 I think $SIVE has the potential to be a $10B+ laser company like $MTSI or $LITE", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Price target in the next 2-3 years in your opinion?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "CryptoGuru365", "ret_m1d": 0.0349267216667728, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0349267216667728, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04275593624178742, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04275593624178742, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00782921457501462, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00782921457501462, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08156449574759006, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08156449574759006, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07910718412498574, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07910718412498574, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002457311622604319, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002457311622604319, "ret_p1w": 0.06018126628633724, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06018126628633724, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04407985832002592, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04407985832002592, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01610140796631132, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01610140796631132, "ret_p1m": 0.21577406304025448, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21577406304025448, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14686818496424392, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14686818496424392, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06890587807601056, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06890587807601056, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6065, -0.6065, -0.567, -0.5602, -0.5698, -0.5884, -0.5965, -0.5502, -0.5328, -0.5371, -0.5245, -0.4861, -0.472, -0.435, -0.3878, -0.3301, -0.2996, -0.319, -0.3033, -0.2919, -0.3171, -0.3171, -0.2713, -0.2788, -0.2286, -0.1896, -0.1812, -0.1647, -0.1221, -0.1784, -0.1494, -0.0495, -0.1573, -0.1738, -0.2102, -0.3223, -0.2225, -0.1845, -0.1845, -0.2523, -0.2445, -0.2417, -0.2117, -0.1495, -0.063, -0.1428, -0.1154, -0.0267, -0.0568, -0.1641, -0.1472, -0.2054, -0.1471, -0.072, 0.0035, 0.0035, -0.0628, -0.01, 0.0874, 0.0851, 0.0889, 0.0572, 0.0349, 0.0, 0.0816, 0.085, 0.0863, 0.0157, 0.0602, 0.0278, 0.0699, 0.0433, -0.0396, 0.0416, 0.095, 0.1528, 0.1847, 0.207, 0.146, 0.0832, 0.0968, 0.278, 0.2043, 0.2504, 0.2158, 0.178, 0.074, 0.0802, 0.0535, 0.1705, 0.1491, 0.1491, 0.1053, 0.095, 0.0444, 0.0376, 0.0376, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2052441036035916266", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-07T17:30:50+00:00", "symbol": "FLNC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Would probably make them derisk $FLNC over time, adding to buying pressure", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Hyperscaler deal conversions expected in coming months will likely force short-side derisking, creating buying pressure in FLNC.", "resolved_tickers": ["FLNC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@pennycheck Yeah not sure why many funds like directionality shorting US energy companies...\n\nHaving 2 hyperscaler deals convert sometime in the next few months with unknown figures is probably scary for them. Would probably make them derisk $FLNC over time, adding to buying pressure.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit this could get painful for some https://t.co/JNFcMGi2z0", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "pennycheck", "ret_m1d": -0.28518708959199934, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.28518708959199934, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.28826262466326924, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.28826262466326924, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003075535071269897, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003075535071269897, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.2735899168116449, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.2735899168116449, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.2653338438104027, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.2653338438104027, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008256073001242203, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008256073001242203, "ret_p1w": 0.10384824944702475, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10384824944702475, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08117135090856298, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08117135090856298, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022676898538461776, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022676898538461776, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0227, 0.0011, -0.0764, -0.0807, -0.0269, -0.0269, -0.0627, -0.0812, -0.127, -0.1276, -0.1529, -0.1307, -0.1392, -0.146, -0.1808, -0.203, -0.2135, -0.1671, -0.1692, -0.2209, -0.1724, -0.1102, -0.098, -0.1344, -0.1365, -0.1154, -0.1302, -0.1571, -0.155, -0.2024, -0.1903, -0.1487, -0.1381, -0.2114, -0.2541, -0.3147, -0.2746, -0.3137, -0.2989, -0.2989, -0.3042, -0.3015, -0.3084, -0.2852, -0.2736, -0.2804, -0.2198, -0.1982, -0.2103, -0.2865, -0.3342, -0.3268, -0.2884, -0.2873, -0.2947, -0.2957, -0.349, -0.3764, -0.3579, -0.3574, -0.35, -0.331, -0.2852, 0.0, 0.2736, 0.33, 0.1218, 0.165, 0.1038, 0.0949, 0.03, -0.0559, -0.0016, 0.0643, 0.1328, 0.1328, 0.1244, 0.1186, 0.126, -0.0047, -0.0047, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2041174053596332429", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-06T15:19:52+00:00", "symbol": "transformer manufacturer Canada", "kind": "equity", "geography": "global", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "there's one relatively small 2B+ CAD company with a very large market share", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on a ~2B CAD Canadian transformer company as the single beneficiary of the hyperscaler scramble amid 2–5Y transformer supply bottlenecks.", "resolved_tickers": ["HMM-A.TO"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Hammond Power Solutions ~2B CAD Canadian transformer maker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@clarity_99X Yeah there’s a pretty big transformers bottleneck right now ~2Y for one type and 3-5Y for the others.\n\nHyperscalers are kinda scrambling abroad for them, and it just so happens there’s one relatively small 2B+ CAD company with a very large market share. https://t.co/qUZ4TsWOys", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I just saw this on the news 3 days ago.. crazy you covered it so quick https://t.co/ABgLKq15t9", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "clarity_99X", "ret_m1d": -0.015037668789816938, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.015037668789816938, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010333108942193192, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010333108942193192, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004704559847623746, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004704559847623746, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.018796973948468798, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.018796973948468798, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01835689984262001, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01835689984262001, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004400741058487867, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0004400741058487867, "ret_p1w": 0.0009397814741420873, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0009397814741420873, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.040293707989320415, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.040293707989320415, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0412334894634625, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0412334894634625, "ret_p1m": 0.45488712807711207, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.45488712807711207, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3564851315430546, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3564851315430546, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09840199653405746, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09840199653405746, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0318, 0.0028, 0.0075, 0.0028, 0.0028, 0.0028, -0.0028, 0.0028, 0.0047, 0.0075, -0.0066, -0.016, -0.0216, -0.0534, -0.0581, -0.0609, -0.0394, -0.0497, -0.0628, -0.0675, -0.0628, -0.0581, -0.03, -0.016, -0.0431, -0.015, -0.0347, 0.0028, 0.0028, 0.0318, 0.0375, 0.0234, 0.0356, 0.0459, 0.0506, 0.045, 0.0712, 0.059, 0.045, 0.0318, 0.0197, 0.0262, 0.0309, 0.0309, 0.044, 0.0131, -0.0056, -0.0263, 0.0009, -0.0028, -0.0019, -0.0075, -0.0357, -0.0235, -0.0291, -0.032, -0.0461, -0.0338, -0.0451, -0.0423, -0.0414, -0.015, -0.015, 0.0, 0.0188, 0.0132, 0.0103, -0.0038, 0.0009, 0.0038, -0.0273, -0.0282, -0.0385, -0.0404, -0.0367, -0.0498, -0.0376, -0.0489, 0.0273, 0.0291, 0.2218, 0.219, 0.2406, 0.3355, 0.4549, 0.5226, 0.5338, 0.5028, 0.4709, 0.4558, 0.563, 0.6128, 0.609, 0.609, 0.5818, 0.593, 0.6682, 0.6447, 0.6776, 0.7359, 0.7143, 0.7077, 0.734, 0.734, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2049596330000150768", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-29T21:06:59+00:00", "symbol": "TOWA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "SK Hynix, Micron, and Samsung since this is upstream... and the big 3 increased capex projections + building out HMB4 so that capex does flow to Towa", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long TOWA: big-3 memory capex increases + HBM4 buildout flow upstream to Towa.", "resolved_tickers": ["6315.T"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "TOWA Corp listed on TSE as 6315.T (HBM compression molding)", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$TOWA biggest signal is SK Hynix, Micron, and Samsung since this is upstream... and the big 3 increased capex projections + building out HMB4 so that capex does flow to Towa.\n\nMSSCORP more nuanced. This is for CPO, which is not volume ramped yet... You'd probably want to look at like $ASX and other signals. \n\nBut they all get derived mainly from hyperscaler capex as an overarching umbrella, which was largely bullish today.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $TOWA and $MssCorp go brrr!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "inversorBetico", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00015456498063604052, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01675406409815572, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00015456498063604052, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01675406409815572, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.017421602787456525, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.017421602787456525, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0074719753602523475, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0031295677973706137, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009949627427204177, "bench_c_p1d": 0.014292034990085911, "ret_p1w": 0.06271777003484313, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06271777003484313, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03144932591664529, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03772665236417283, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03126844411819785, "bench_c_p1w": 0.10044442239901596, "ret_p1m": 0.08885017421602792, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08885017421602792, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.028393222836149423, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11181845385575873, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0604569513798785, "bench_c_p1m": 0.20066862807178665, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0307, -0.0083, 0.0279, 0.0214, 0.0245, 0.0338, 0.0031, -0.0142, -0.0142, -0.0087, -0.074, -0.0318, -0.0481, -0.0546, -0.035, 0.0051, 0.0051, -0.0222, 0.0186, 0.0556, 0.04, 0.0179, -0.0318, -0.1179, -0.0529, -0.0298, -0.1393, -0.0875, -0.0699, -0.0965, -0.1103, -0.1034, -0.1348, -0.0771, -0.1241, -0.1241, -0.1763, -0.1669, -0.1334, -0.1635, -0.1721, -0.2017, -0.2268, -0.1686, -0.1951, -0.1875, -0.1955, -0.2059, -0.1129, -0.1192, -0.046, -0.0753, -0.0303, -0.0554, -0.0314, -0.0819, -0.0871, -0.0871, -0.0948, -0.0955, -0.0944, -0.0446, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0174, 0.0627, 0.0627, 0.0627, 0.0627, 0.1516, 0.1777, 0.176, -0.0679, -0.0634, -0.0352, -0.1014, -0.0394, -0.084, -0.0955, -0.0662, 0.008, 0.0098, 0.0697, 0.0697, 0.0889, 0.047, 0.0213, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2050499238673383709", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-02T08:54:49+00:00", "symbol": "000660.KS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Better to just long Sk Hynix itself.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefer direct long SK Hynix over SK Square; avoids holding-co discount with no arbitrage mechanism.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Not a fan of SK Square. Holding companies trade under NAV for a reason since there's no good way to force an arbitrage on their assets.\n\nThat's exactly why Grayscale holdings and others were traded under NAV of their crypto assets in the past.  \n\nBetter to just long Sk Hynix itself.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thoughts on SK Square (ticker $402340)? Holding company that owns ~20% of SK Hynix. Seems very discounted considering their ownership is worth a lot more than the company itself?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "AstuteKara", "ret_m1d": -0.11126471123153359, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11126471123153359, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11494156059648775, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.10154531289738034, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00367684936495416, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00971939833415325, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008022185884992261, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.060394920863043655, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008022185884992261, "bench_c_p1d": 0.060394920863043655, "ret_p1w": 0.2992397226039425, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2992397226039425, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.26958835599654196, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.12037787028633962, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02965136660740053, "bench_c_p1w": 0.17886185231760288, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3792, -0.4192, -0.4212, -0.3881, -0.3957, -0.4068, -0.3874, -0.393, -0.393, -0.393, -0.393, -0.3833, -0.3454, -0.344, -0.3067, -0.2978, -0.2405, -0.2668, -0.2668, -0.3511, -0.4133, -0.3497, -0.3614, -0.4223, -0.3518, -0.34, -0.3573, -0.3711, -0.3269, -0.3296, -0.2702, -0.2999, -0.3041, -0.3552, -0.3186, -0.3124, -0.3552, -0.3552, -0.3967, -0.4423, -0.3801, -0.4264, -0.3946, -0.3877, -0.367, -0.2861, -0.3103, -0.2903, -0.2813, -0.2377, -0.2149, -0.2018, -0.2205, -0.1942, -0.1541, -0.1548, -0.1534, -0.1555, -0.1071, -0.1016, -0.1064, -0.1113, -0.1113, 0.0, 0.0, 0.1064, 0.1431, 0.1652, 0.2992, 0.2681, 0.3656, 0.3614, 0.2571, 0.2716, 0.2059, 0.2059, 0.3407, 0.3414, 0.3414, 0.4181, 0.5501, 0.5822, 0.6126, 0.6461, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2050499238673383709", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-02T08:54:49+00:00", "symbol": "SK Square", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Not a fan of SK Square. Holding companies trade under NAV for a reason since there's no good way to force an arbitrage on their assets.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Prefer direct long SK Hynix over SK Square; avoids holding-co discount with no arbitrage mechanism.", "resolved_tickers": ["402340.KS"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "SK Square listed on KOSPI as 402340.KS", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Not a fan of SK Square. Holding companies trade under NAV for a reason since there's no good way to force an arbitrage on their assets.\n\nThat's exactly why Grayscale holdings and others were traded under NAV of their crypto assets in the past.  \n\nBetter to just long Sk Hynix itself.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thoughts on SK Square (ticker $402340)? Holding company that owns ~20% of SK Hynix. Seems very discounted considering their ownership is worth a lot more than the company itself?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "AstuteKara", "ret_m1d": -0.1513622656958512, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.1513622656958512, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.15503911506080537, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.15734107097655603, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00367684936495416, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005978805280704824, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008022185884992261, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03137392929694083, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008022185884992261, "bench_c_p1d": 0.03137392929694083, "ret_p1w": 0.1977800044419613, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1977800044419613, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.16812863783456078, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.060602893919843304, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02965136660740053, "bench_c_p1w": 0.137177110522118, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4258, -0.4612, -0.4813, -0.4319, -0.4521, -0.4632, -0.4248, -0.4369, -0.4369, -0.4369, -0.4369, -0.4289, -0.4147, -0.4147, -0.3774, -0.3471, -0.3148, -0.3491, -0.3491, -0.4137, -0.4884, -0.4289, -0.442, -0.4864, -0.441, -0.4299, -0.441, -0.4612, -0.4329, -0.4077, -0.3643, -0.3835, -0.3865, -0.4379, -0.3996, -0.3895, -0.4369, -0.4511, -0.4854, -0.5293, -0.4945, -0.5262, -0.5126, -0.5086, -0.4965, -0.4168, -0.4349, -0.4268, -0.4147, -0.3542, -0.329, -0.3037, -0.3118, -0.2926, -0.2755, -0.2735, -0.2654, -0.2684, -0.2038, -0.1816, -0.1625, -0.1514, -0.1514, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0989, 0.109, 0.108, 0.1978, 0.1362, 0.2008, 0.1832, 0.1094, 0.1044, 0.0306, 0.0397, 0.1913, 0.1973, 0.1973, 0.1933, 0.2893, 0.2499, 0.2458, 0.2893, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2041616322208137538", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-07T20:37:17+00:00", "symbol": "AEHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "they said they're expecting significant near term volume from one of the hyperscalers (this part is bullish) This is not reflected in current financial statements but in next quarter earnings", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish AEHR next quarter on expected significant volume ramp from a hyperscaler, not yet in current financials.", "resolved_tickers": ["AEHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It’s nuanced. If you look at current numbers alone, it’s not bullish because $AEHR is currently in their qualification cycles. \n\nIt’s all about volume ramp, and they said they’re expecting significant near term volume from one of the hyperscalers (this part is bullish)\n\nThis is not reflected in current financial statements but in next quarter earnings.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit So you feel positive on that results because I'm confused 🤔", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "KiakotosC", "ret_m1d": 0.038009947212181316, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.038009947212181316, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.038449827738000986, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.047812355239151505, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0004398805258196692, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009802408026970189, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.25691541984899713, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.25691541984899713, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.23144586521066945, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.19935097903230425, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.025469554638327674, "bench_c_p1d": 0.057564440816692874, "ret_p1w": 0.4801989503167754, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.4801989503167754, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.4267417541824652, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.34991636242305835, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.053457196134310214, "bench_c_p1w": 0.13028258789371705, "ret_p1m": 0.9249751911827582, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.9249751911827582, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.8117959039910496, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5502314598589402, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.11317928719170856, "bench_c_p1m": 0.374743731323818, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5483, -0.4762, -0.4756, -0.4665, -0.4832, -0.472, -0.4267, -0.4267, -0.4217, -0.4189, -0.3849, -0.442, -0.4671, -0.4478, -0.4432, -0.4651, -0.4898, -0.4814, -0.4589, -0.5258, -0.5423, -0.4748, -0.4509, -0.4661, -0.3264, -0.445, -0.4261, -0.4261, -0.433, -0.4227, -0.3976, -0.3313, -0.317, -0.2193, -0.1745, -0.208, -0.2551, -0.1238, -0.1713, -0.151, -0.1942, -0.2913, -0.1865, -0.165, -0.1552, -0.2507, -0.2901, -0.2541, -0.2619, -0.2774, -0.2486, -0.313, -0.2607, -0.2201, -0.2233, -0.312, -0.3528, -0.4006, -0.2621, -0.2119, -0.118, -0.118, 0.038, 0.0, 0.2569, 0.3703, 0.4016, 0.4261, 0.4802, 0.4571, 0.609, 0.6689, 0.794, 0.8651, 0.9375, 0.9007, 0.9087, 0.7608, 0.6404, 0.6281, 0.8022, 0.8521, 0.7037, 0.8147, 0.925, 0.8161, 0.9349, 1.0808, 0.9248, 1.0547, 1.1162, 0.9801, 0.6631, 0.6147, 0.6386, 0.8169, 0.8909, 0.8909, 1.1875, 1.0661, 0.9899, 0.8374, 0.8374, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2046507698037170575", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-21T08:33:52+00:00", "symbol": "MRVL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$MRVL CPO ramp", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish SIVE as validated laser supplier in GFS/AMD CPO ecosystem ahead of 1.6T/CPO inflection; Swedish media criticism dismissed as non-technical meme labeling.", "resolved_tickers": ["MRVL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm genuinely laughing. This is gotta be the funniest headline I've seen to date since $RPI.  \n\nYou have non-technical journalists in Sweden, with no understanding of semiconductors/photonics. \n\nDoing an analysis on $SIVE and telling all the locals (who hold majority) to sell, because it's a \"meme\".\n\nDon't understand hyperscaler qualification cycles from upcoming $JBL 1.6T or $MRVL CPO ramp?  \n\nOr the fact they just got validated as the laser supplier in $GFS ecosystem with $AMD driving new CPO demand? \n\n> Must be a meme. It's only possible to value a company based on TTM 2025 balance sheets and old revenue projections right? \n\nAt least this volatility helps transfer control over to US investors/institutions before CPO/1.6T inflection point next year.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Just 1 month ago, journalists and media tried downplaying my $SOI and $RPI thesis.\n\nAs “meme stocks that were set to crash” citing my WSB tag without analyzing the underlying thesis. \n\nThey’re both up 100% and held their gains.\n\nSame is happening to companies like $SIVE.\n\nI never https://t.co/skDvrU0ZJQ", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.022933059789121968, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.022933059789121968, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.029523153955491654, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.029523153955491654, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006590094166369687, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006590094166369687, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03971984576430687, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03971984576430687, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.029593148926236212, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.029593148926236212, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010126696838070659, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010126696838070659, "ret_p1w": 0.012689169254674004, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.012689169254674004, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0018807594619678625, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0018807594619678625, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010808409792706142, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010808409792706142, "ret_p1m": 0.2345516229317286, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2345516229317286, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.18175935215575922, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.18175935215575922, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.052792270775969374, "bench_c_p1m": 0.052792270775969374, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4511, -0.47, -0.4599, -0.4522, -0.4476, -0.4627, -0.4787, -0.4804, -0.501, -0.513, -0.5098, -0.4697, -0.456, -0.4583, -0.4627, -0.4832, -0.4807, -0.4807, -0.4781, -0.4776, -0.4741, -0.475, -0.4861, -0.4822, -0.4655, -0.4762, -0.4604, -0.4659, -0.488, -0.4842, -0.5001, -0.4083, -0.388, -0.3837, -0.4026, -0.4209, -0.4196, -0.3951, -0.4003, -0.4212, -0.4086, -0.4193, -0.4044, -0.3899, -0.3497, -0.3548, -0.3733, -0.42, -0.3457, -0.2951, -0.2925, -0.2925, -0.2766, -0.2775, -0.244, -0.2078, -0.1508, -0.1322, -0.1155, -0.1104, -0.1186, -0.0768, -0.0229, 0.0, 0.0397, 0.0942, 0.0859, 0.0456, 0.0127, 0.0348, 0.0915, 0.0901, 0.0816, 0.1153, 0.1377, 0.0575, 0.1244, 0.1291, 0.0872, 0.1761, 0.2067, 0.1691, 0.1164, 0.165, 0.2346, 0.2603, 0.2975, 0.2975, 0.3764, 0.3132, 0.3537, 0.3548, 0.3548, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2046507698037170575", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-04-21T08:33:52+00:00", "symbol": "GlobalFoundries", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "validated as the laser supplier in $GFS ecosystem with $AMD driving new CPO demand", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish SIVE as validated laser supplier in GFS/AMD CPO ecosystem ahead of 1.6T/CPO inflection; Swedish media criticism dismissed as non-technical meme labeling.", "resolved_tickers": ["GFS"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "GlobalFoundries trades as GFS on NASDAQ", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm genuinely laughing. This is gotta be the funniest headline I've seen to date since $RPI.  \n\nYou have non-technical journalists in Sweden, with no understanding of semiconductors/photonics. \n\nDoing an analysis on $SIVE and telling all the locals (who hold majority) to sell, because it's a \"meme\".\n\nDon't understand hyperscaler qualification cycles from upcoming $JBL 1.6T or $MRVL CPO ramp?  \n\nOr the fact they just got validated as the laser supplier in $GFS ecosystem with $AMD driving new CPO demand? \n\n> Must be a meme. It's only possible to value a company based on TTM 2025 balance sheets and old revenue projections right? \n\nAt least this volatility helps transfer control over to US investors/institutions before CPO/1.6T inflection point next year.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Just 1 month ago, journalists and media tried downplaying my $SOI and $RPI thesis.\n\nAs “meme stocks that were set to crash” citing my WSB tag without analyzing the underlying thesis. \n\nThey’re both up 100% and held their gains.\n\nSame is happening to companies like $SIVE.\n\nI never https://t.co/skDvrU0ZJQ", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.008186355288978486, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.008186355288978486, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.014776449455348173, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0066798511751872125, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006590094166369687, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0015065041137912738, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.019326533520240385, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.019326533520240385, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.009199836682169726, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0068646230549789244, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010126696838070659, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02619115657521931, "ret_p1w": 0.0041354165077074345, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0041354165077074345, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.006672993284998707, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05300310969149469, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010808409792706142, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05713852619920212, "ret_p1m": 0.19486880229192183, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.19486880229192183, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14207653151595245, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0203422524455108, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.052792270775969374, "bench_c_p1m": 0.21521105473743263, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2404, -0.2767, -0.2536, -0.1998, -0.2271, -0.2496, -0.2877, -0.288, -0.3132, -0.3063, -0.3085, -0.2757, -0.2653, -0.2928, -0.1773, -0.178, -0.1731, -0.1731, -0.1861, -0.2143, -0.233, -0.2204, -0.2209, -0.1962, -0.1753, -0.208, -0.1974, -0.1582, -0.203, -0.1971, -0.1842, -0.2087, -0.2003, -0.2129, -0.2558, -0.298, -0.2934, -0.2612, -0.27, -0.2831, -0.2681, -0.2728, -0.258, -0.2222, -0.2111, -0.2477, -0.2752, -0.3015, -0.2492, -0.2533, -0.2615, -0.2615, -0.2639, -0.2585, -0.1932, -0.178, -0.1741, -0.1724, -0.1829, -0.1846, -0.1495, -0.0759, -0.0082, 0.0, 0.0193, 0.0387, 0.043, 0.0187, 0.0041, 0.059, 0.0904, 0.0956, 0.1436, 0.2497, 0.2204, 0.1972, 0.2511, 0.2658, 0.2178, 0.2658, 0.2463, 0.1989, 0.1451, 0.1255, 0.1949, 0.3731, 0.4455, 0.4455, 0.5184, 0.3691, 0.361, 0.3498, 0.3498, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2037698708612210693", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-28T01:10:05+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI on the other hand, has material TAM increase if you look at optical transciever projections that they've been bearish on", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish AAOI on material TAM increase from optical transceiver projections, disagrees with bearish consensus.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Great callout on $HIMX and now down -31.54% (accelerated by macro). \n\nThis is a good lesson around chokepoints. \n\nThey missed two things on this \"Meme Stock\":\n\n- Chokepoints can be designed out.\n- Chokepoint may not be material enough to translate into revenue like $AXTI. \n\n$AAOI on the other hand, has material TAM increase if you look at optical transciever projections that they've been bearish on.\n\nLargely disagreed with a large number of photonics picks (eg. calling for $POET at 7x the valuation over $SIVE the laser supplier). \n\nOr being bearish on $AAOI without looking at optionality + revenue ramp in a massive TAM. \n\nBut we'll see who's right or wrong in a years time, most of the recent drop across the board was accelerated by macro (not whether a $SIVE or $HIMX thesis was wrong).  \n\nBut very interesting to see chip designers go the other way of plays mentioned by analysts.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$HIMX -31.54% since I published my analysis rebutting the @citrini / @hntrbrkmedia report.\n\nThe thesis was simple:\n- Himax's microlens monopoly for TSMC COUPE Gen 1 &amp; Gen 2? Real.\n- The market treating it as an unbreakable moat? Wrong.\n\n1. My full patent-by-patent breakdown: https://t.co/eALFIxVtmF", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.1528347959846763, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.1528347959846763, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.14948011735970157, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.14948011735970157, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007043151617800558, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007043151617800558, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03611107731671537, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03611107731671537, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "ret_p1w": 0.26129820247565294, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.26129820247565294, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.21863791286939094, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.21863791286939094, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "bench_c_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "ret_p1m": 0.6112218637538305, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6112218637538305, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.48507657927206105, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.48507657927206105, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5908, -0.5908, -0.5352, -0.5893, -0.5468, -0.5533, -0.6125, -0.6004, -0.6042, -0.5988, -0.5954, -0.5657, -0.5652, -0.5652, -0.5391, -0.5495, -0.5522, -0.5807, -0.5904, -0.5611, -0.4691, -0.5355, -0.4881, -0.4816, -0.4586, -0.5316, -0.5524, -0.48, -0.4376, -0.4308, -0.4319, -0.4836, -0.4781, -0.4781, -0.4846, -0.4901, -0.4485, -0.3934, -0.3666, -0.3395, -0.3178, -0.3698, -0.0113, 0.2033, 0.1191, 0.1704, 0.1872, 0.122, 0.2985, 0.4144, 0.4909, 0.2465, 0.1364, 0.1042, 0.0134, 0.0873, 0.1964, 0.0276, 0.1241, 0.337, 0.343, 0.1436, 0.1528, 0.0, -0.007, 0.0136, 0.2197, 0.2197, 0.2613, 0.3809, 0.5577, 0.5647, 0.7678, 0.7982, 0.7184, 0.6733, 0.8467, 0.8713, 0.9189, 0.7675, 0.754, 0.6167, 0.9036, 0.7112, 0.6112, 0.794, 0.9293, 1.1541, 1.0305, 1.1196, 1.0958, 0.8494, 0.7483, 1.1704, 1.2101, 1.6189, 1.3896, 1.2345, 1.0338, 1.0112, 0.9399, 1.0755, 1.1304, 1.1304, 1.085, 1.1109, 0.984, 0.8595, 0.8595, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2037201137515061370", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-26T16:12:55+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if companies like $LITE and $COHR are sold out until 2028... Crashes like these from Macro are often a way to exchange hands for those who can reposition long", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Dip in photonics names seen as repositioning opportunity; bullish LITE, COHR (sold out to 2028), SIVE (CW lasers, $340M MC), and AXTI (substrate bottleneck).", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Photonics are not having a fun time.\n\nLaser Companies from:\n$LITE, $SIVE, $COHR, $MTSI, $AAOI all down.\n\nSubstrate, Foundries, and Epiwafer from:\n$IQE, $AXTI, $SOI, $TSEM all down. \n\nAlmost everything is red. \n\nFrom 6% on lower beta like Coherent all the way to to 22%. \n\nGood lesson to learn: \n\nEmbrace the volatility and don't use leverage.\n\nIf a name can go up 25% in a day, it can also drop 20% today. \n\nMacro-driven liquidity vacuums and stop losses cause pretty violent swings. \n\nHowever, if companies like $LITE and $COHR are sold out until 2028... \n\nOr if you know $SIVE is coming next for CW lasers at a ~$340M MC and $AXTI will become a bottleneck for substrates. \n\nCrashes like these from Macro are often a way to exchange hands for those who can reposition long.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.12829558171210165, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.12829558171210165, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.1101121034680983, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.1101121034680983, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.018183478244003348, "bench_c_m1d": 0.018183478244003348, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02022356696087546, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02022356696087546, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03727545048420344, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03727545048420344, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017051883523327982, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017051883523327982, "ret_p1w": 0.20046460443803915, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.20046460443803915, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.18381578057274428, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.18381578057274428, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01664882386529487, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01664882386529487, "ret_p1m": 0.2799652007447919, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2799652007447919, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1732359494470297, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1732359494470297, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.10672925129776223, "bench_c_p1m": 0.10672925129776223, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.459, -0.4611, -0.4649, -0.4649, -0.4394, -0.4816, -0.423, -0.4296, -0.4944, -0.4898, -0.5066, -0.4754, -0.5186, -0.5016, -0.5293, -0.5293, -0.482, -0.4738, -0.4854, -0.5076, -0.5173, -0.4619, -0.4411, -0.4462, -0.4311, -0.3853, -0.3683, -0.3241, -0.2677, -0.1986, -0.1621, -0.1854, -0.1665, -0.1529, -0.183, -0.183, -0.1283, -0.1373, -0.0772, -0.0305, -0.0204, -0.0008, 0.0502, -0.0171, 0.0176, 0.1371, 0.0082, -0.0116, -0.0551, -0.1893, -0.0698, -0.0244, -0.0244, -0.1056, -0.0963, -0.0929, -0.057, 0.0174, 0.121, 0.0255, 0.0583, 0.1643, 0.1283, 0.0, 0.0202, -0.0494, 0.0203, 0.1101, 0.2005, 0.2005, 0.1212, 0.1843, 0.3008, 0.2981, 0.3027, 0.2648, 0.2381, 0.1963, 0.2939, 0.298, 0.2995, 0.215, 0.2683, 0.2295, 0.28, 0.2481, 0.1489, 0.2461, 0.31, 0.3791, 0.4172, 0.4439, 0.3709, 0.2958, 0.3121, 0.5289, 0.4407, 0.4959, 0.4544, 0.4093, 0.2848, 0.2922, 0.2603, 0.4003, 0.3747, 0.3747, 0.3223, 0.31, 0.2494, 0.2412, 0.2412, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2037201137515061370", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-26T16:12:55+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if companies like $LITE and $COHR are sold out until 2028... Crashes like these from Macro are often a way to exchange hands for those who can reposition long", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Dip in photonics names seen as repositioning opportunity; bullish LITE, COHR (sold out to 2028), SIVE (CW lasers, $340M MC), and AXTI (substrate bottleneck).", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Photonics are not having a fun time.\n\nLaser Companies from:\n$LITE, $SIVE, $COHR, $MTSI, $AAOI all down.\n\nSubstrate, Foundries, and Epiwafer from:\n$IQE, $AXTI, $SOI, $TSEM all down. \n\nAlmost everything is red. \n\nFrom 6% on lower beta like Coherent all the way to to 22%. \n\nGood lesson to learn: \n\nEmbrace the volatility and don't use leverage.\n\nIf a name can go up 25% in a day, it can also drop 20% today. \n\nMacro-driven liquidity vacuums and stop losses cause pretty violent swings. \n\nHowever, if companies like $LITE and $COHR are sold out until 2028... \n\nOr if you know $SIVE is coming next for CW lasers at a ~$340M MC and $AXTI will become a bottleneck for substrates. \n\nCrashes like these from Macro are often a way to exchange hands for those who can reposition long.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.11817179519165943, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.11817179519165943, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.09998831694765609, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.09998831694765609, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.018183478244003348, "bench_c_m1d": 0.018183478244003348, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0007809710495687572, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0007809710495687572, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01783285457289674, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01783285457289674, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017051883523327982, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017051883523327982, "ret_p1w": 0.06112051784426642, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06112051784426642, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04447169397897155, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04447169397897155, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01664882386529487, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01664882386529487, "ret_p1m": 0.38143781336134097, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.38143781336134097, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.27470856206357874, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.27470856206357874, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.10672925129776223, "bench_c_p1m": 0.10672925129776223, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2231, -0.2322, -0.2414, -0.2414, -0.2012, -0.234, -0.2021, -0.2124, -0.2883, -0.2681, -0.2389, -0.2189, -0.2432, -0.1945, -0.2148, -0.2148, -0.2048, -0.1719, -0.1668, -0.1905, -0.1871, -0.1204, -0.091, -0.1127, -0.1279, -0.0857, -0.058, -0.1327, -0.14, -0.0642, -0.0034, -0.0613, -0.0806, -0.1118, -0.1071, -0.1071, -0.0959, -0.0797, -0.0444, 0.0201, 0.023, 0.0476, 0.1012, 0.0282, 0.0643, 0.2286, 0.1542, 0.1298, 0.0435, -0.0311, 0.0371, 0.0713, 0.0334, -0.0083, -0.0022, 0.0168, 0.0103, 0.0572, 0.1327, 0.0425, 0.0483, 0.1194, 0.1182, 0.0, 0.0008, -0.0972, -0.0209, 0.0185, 0.0611, 0.0611, 0.0408, 0.0485, 0.1582, 0.168, 0.2639, 0.2657, 0.2883, 0.2668, 0.3482, 0.4181, 0.4284, 0.4131, 0.4405, 0.388, 0.3814, 0.3216, 0.2494, 0.2534, 0.3141, 0.3544, 0.356, 0.38, 0.4167, 0.312, 0.378, 0.5606, 0.5373, 0.6594, 0.6644, 0.572, 0.4913, 0.4535, 0.4736, 0.5537, 0.5519, 0.5519, 0.5675, 0.5627, 0.5494, 0.4858, 0.4858, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2037201137515061370", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-03-26T16:12:55+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AXTI will become a bottleneck for substrates", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Dip in photonics names seen as repositioning opportunity; bullish LITE, COHR (sold out to 2028), SIVE (CW lasers, $340M MC), and AXTI (substrate bottleneck).", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Photonics are not having a fun time.\n\nLaser Companies from:\n$LITE, $SIVE, $COHR, $MTSI, $AAOI all down.\n\nSubstrate, Foundries, and Epiwafer from:\n$IQE, $AXTI, $SOI, $TSEM all down. \n\nAlmost everything is red. \n\nFrom 6% on lower beta like Coherent all the way to to 22%. \n\nGood lesson to learn: \n\nEmbrace the volatility and don't use leverage.\n\nIf a name can go up 25% in a day, it can also drop 20% today. \n\nMacro-driven liquidity vacuums and stop losses cause pretty violent swings. \n\nHowever, if companies like $LITE and $COHR are sold out until 2028... \n\nOr if you know $SIVE is coming next for CW lasers at a ~$340M MC and $AXTI will become a bottleneck for substrates. \n\nCrashes like these from Macro are often a way to exchange hands for those who can reposition long.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.1510852915087939, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.1510852915087939, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.13290181326479056, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.10334872798973671, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.018183478244003348, "bench_c_m1d": 0.047736563519057196, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0362331705246659, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0362331705246659, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.053285054047993885, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05353701571230163, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017051883523327982, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017303845187635725, "ret_p1w": -0.0969064831926103, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0969064831926103, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11355530705790517, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12705040477836405, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01664882386529487, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03014392158575374, "ret_p1m": 0.30165793619721426, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.30165793619721426, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.19492868489945203, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02813937320114057, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.10672925129776223, "bench_c_p1m": 0.32979730939835483, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7506, -0.73, -0.7206, -0.7206, -0.7136, -0.7151, -0.6553, -0.5879, -0.5585, -0.6071, -0.6199, -0.6324, -0.6223, -0.5604, -0.6225, -0.6225, -0.6341, -0.6619, -0.6937, -0.7026, -0.6958, -0.706, -0.7124, -0.72, -0.6831, -0.6421, -0.6626, -0.6795, -0.6508, -0.5888, -0.5254, -0.5838, -0.542, -0.5763, -0.5857, -0.5857, -0.6033, -0.5977, -0.5931, -0.4927, -0.5141, -0.4004, -0.2998, -0.3656, -0.3522, -0.2083, -0.2863, -0.3312, -0.3369, -0.4468, -0.341, -0.2429, -0.1906, -0.2013, -0.1649, -0.173, -0.2418, -0.1666, -0.0072, -0.073, 0.1014, 0.1697, 0.1511, 0.0, 0.0362, -0.0988, -0.0261, -0.1943, -0.0969, -0.0969, -0.2823, -0.223, -0.0911, 0.0788, 0.0969, 0.1357, 0.1502, 0.0755, 0.3977, 0.411, 0.3461, 0.2813, 0.4859, 0.2864, 0.3017, 0.1989, 0.1743, 0.2147, 0.354, 0.6407, 0.8117, 0.8381, 0.7917, 0.853, 0.9887, 1.1502, 1.1005, 1.0841, 0.9651, 1.1155, 0.8096, 0.9292, 0.7879, 1.0684, 1.4069, 1.4069, 1.2663, 1.0983, 0.9774, 0.7631, 0.7631, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2039657844392202498", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-02T10:54:59+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's hard to see the stock appreciating much in value when $6,000,000,000 of structural dilution works against you in every rally. Better to wait after current shareholders get diluted first before going long.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish IREN: $6B ATM dilution destroys rallies and GW moat is gone; bullish NBIS on hyperscaler deals and NVDA backing as the differentiated alternative.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It still baffles me how people are still “Buying the Dip” on $IREN.\n\nAmid their $6,000,0000,000 ATM, diluted and sold into the open market. \n\nThinking that it will increase their share price.\n\nWhile $NBIS was able to differentiate themselves and secure more hyperscaler deals + $NVDA backing.\n\n$IREN GW raw asset moat they had two years ago is now almost gone.\n\nIt’s hard to see the stock appreciating much in value when $6,000,000,000 of structural dilution works against you in every rally.\n\nBetter to wait after current shareholders get diluted first before going long.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.019557097964430614, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.019557097964430614, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01865743366103856, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.017740014281692695, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0008996643033920559, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0018170836827379189, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.06586140021220555, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06586140021220555, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.029144636070272734, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.029519726557446724, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03671676414193281, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03634167365475882, "ret_p1m": 0.31320101369791176, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.31320101369791176, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.21436441635543457, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.26494744114487867, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09883659734247718, "bench_c_p1m": 0.048253572553033086, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3874, 0.3204, 0.2547, 0.3138, 0.3238, 0.4475, 0.524, 0.5209, 0.4924, 0.6629, 0.6629, 0.5605, 0.5381, 0.503, 0.6301, 0.5059, 0.7253, 0.8102, 0.721, 0.5456, 0.5266, 0.5643, 0.2925, 0.1444, 0.203, 0.3273, 0.2347, 0.2272, 0.1513, 0.2143, 0.2143, 0.1783, 0.2102, 0.245, 0.1498, 0.2183, 0.3072, 0.2663, 0.2724, 0.1777, 0.1904, 0.1173, 0.2609, 0.154, 0.0555, 0.1171, 0.0963, 0.2074, 0.1898, 0.1959, 0.2925, 0.2355, 0.214, 0.1982, 0.1875, 0.2125, 0.1826, 0.1915, 0.0771, 0.0092, -0.0906, -0.0141, -0.0196, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0104, 0.0279, 0.0592, 0.0659, 0.1309, 0.2387, 0.3624, 0.4041, 0.3719, 0.384, 0.4012, 0.2991, 0.3917, 0.4961, 0.4564, 0.3909, 0.2781, 0.2327, 0.3089, 0.3132, 0.4231, 0.5743, 0.7538, 0.635, 0.7601, 0.5861, 0.6267, 0.5867, 0.6796, 0.5226, 0.4513, 0.373, 0.516, 0.6698, 0.6345, 0.6345, 0.7193, 0.9511, 0.8421, 0.8274, 0.8274, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2039657844392202498", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-02T10:54:59+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS was able to differentiate themselves and secure more hyperscaler deals + $NVDA backing", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish IREN: $6B ATM dilution destroys rallies and GW moat is gone; bullish NBIS on hyperscaler deals and NVDA backing as the differentiated alternative.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It still baffles me how people are still “Buying the Dip” on $IREN.\n\nAmid their $6,000,0000,000 ATM, diluted and sold into the open market. \n\nThinking that it will increase their share price.\n\nWhile $NBIS was able to differentiate themselves and secure more hyperscaler deals + $NVDA backing.\n\n$IREN GW raw asset moat they had two years ago is now almost gone.\n\nIt’s hard to see the stock appreciating much in value when $6,000,000,000 of structural dilution works against you in every rally.\n\nBetter to wait after current shareholders get diluted first before going long.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06313180266355756, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06313180266355756, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0622321383601655, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05901363706785212, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0008996643033920559, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004118165595705436, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.252802813943942, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.252802813943942, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.21608604980200918, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.22979475875111088, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03671676414193281, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02300805519283111, "ret_p1m": 0.4196839361001399, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4196839361001399, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3208473387576627, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3747420882074579, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09883659734247718, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04494184789268196, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1469, -0.0788, -0.1159, -0.1059, -0.1001, -0.0137, -0.0312, -0.0629, -0.0454, -0.0008, -0.0008, -0.0876, -0.0914, -0.11, -0.1316, -0.1595, -0.1006, -0.0771, -0.1278, -0.2171, -0.1899, -0.1734, -0.2429, -0.3212, -0.2088, -0.1465, -0.1565, -0.1857, -0.1754, -0.0993, -0.0993, -0.1038, -0.0645, -0.0111, -0.1002, -0.0754, -0.0573, -0.0248, -0.0362, -0.162, -0.1637, -0.2024, -0.1015, -0.121, -0.1791, -0.1276, -0.1139, 0.0292, -0.0072, 0.038, 0.1933, 0.069, 0.0895, 0.1167, 0.0809, 0.049, 0.056, 0.0576, -0.0262, -0.0735, -0.1522, -0.0465, -0.0631, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0342, 0.0788, 0.1487, 0.2528, 0.3322, 0.4203, 0.4881, 0.5325, 0.5194, 0.444, 0.4626, 0.4386, 0.4348, 0.4435, 0.3523, 0.3321, 0.2453, 0.2975, 0.2703, 0.4197, 0.6212, 0.6166, 0.7928, 0.6979, 0.627, 0.7102, 0.6459, 0.9047, 1.0323, 1.0211, 0.8366, 0.817, 0.7627, 1.021, 0.9736, 0.9736, 0.912, 0.9148, 1.0799, 1.1236, 1.1236, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2053843200973165039", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-11T14:22:32+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I posted I was bearish on $IREN at $71. $NVDA isn't giving them any funding, so they need to raise elsewhere to buy GPUs for their 5 GW capacity.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish IREN: no NVDA funding means dilutive capital raises needed to fund GPU purchases for 5 GW build-out.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@LMutaaya People were saying \"WERE YOU KIDDING\" when I posted I was bearish on $IREN at $71.\n\n$NVDA isn't giving them any funding, so they need to raise elsewhere to buy GPUs for their 5 GW capacity.\n\nConvertible notes is actually a lot better way to go than ATMs though.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Let me also leave this here https://t.co/nukvBpiTVY", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LMutaaya", "ret_m1d": 0.10970079908740549, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10970079908740549, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11197320907458341, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1085284393192687, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0022724099871779257, "bench_c_m1d": 0.001172359768136788, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.025566632971904424, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.025566632971904424, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.027081572963356337, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.017751050254167344, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0015149399914519135, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00781558271773708, "ret_p1w": -0.0850408397396959, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0850408397396959, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0841616791964277, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09598264063754358, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0008791605432681981, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010941800897847687, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2263, -0.2742, -0.2345, -0.2345, -0.2571, -0.237, -0.215, -0.2751, -0.2319, -0.1759, -0.2016, -0.1978, -0.2575, -0.2495, -0.2956, -0.2051, -0.2724, -0.3345, -0.2957, -0.3088, -0.2388, -0.2499, -0.2461, -0.1851, -0.221, -0.2346, -0.2446, -0.2513, -0.2355, -0.2544, -0.2488, -0.3209, -0.3637, -0.4267, -0.3784, -0.3819, -0.3695, -0.3695, -0.363, -0.3519, -0.3322, -0.328, -0.287, -0.219, -0.1411, -0.1148, -0.1351, -0.1275, -0.1166, -0.181, -0.1226, -0.0568, -0.0818, -0.1231, -0.1942, -0.2228, -0.1748, -0.1721, -0.1028, -0.0074, 0.1057, 0.0308, 0.1097, 0.0, 0.0256, 0.0004, 0.0589, -0.0401, -0.085, -0.1344, -0.0442, 0.0528, 0.0305, 0.0305, 0.084, 0.2301, 0.1614, 0.1521, 0.1521, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2048129936813428922", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-25T20:00:04+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "There's probably still 50%+ with $LITE and $COHR", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish photonics supercycle; 50%+ upside still in LITE/COHR, transitional bridge plays AAOI/JBL, and early-stage CPO/quantum-dot names AXTI, POET, ALMU.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It's highly nuanced, and I'll explain why it's not late, but late to some: \n\nPhotonics is the newest supercycle (maybe H1 into H2 2025 was the start).\n\nThen there's many different architectural changes in each supercycle:\n\n-> $LITE, $COHR, Innolight, $AXTI and these names led the first \n\nI did a thesis post on mentioning all four of them as the largest beneficiaries (all are up 500-1000% 1Y)\n\n-> $AAOI, $JBL and others types of names are benefit immensely as the transitional bridge (eg. 1.6T pluggable) \n\n-> $SIVE, Celestial, Ayar, $POET are others future gens eg. CPO (what I'm focusing on now)\n\n-> VisEra, QD Laser, $ALMU and others are likely going to be future gens (quantum dot, different packaging types, etc) if you fast forward 4 years. \n\nOf course, $LITE does everything. $AXTI will be used for everything. \n\nBut the amount of pure play exposure for each architectural shift in each mini supercycle is different. \n\nFor example, inp usage with quantum dot is still there, but less used. Or DFB laser arrays for CPO instead of EML. \n\nThere's probably still 50%+ with $LITE and $COHR. And you're a little on the \"late\" side of things. \n\nBut you're extremely early to new architecture generations. \n\nWhat I'm trying to do is point regular retail investors into the direction of new gold mines for free. \n\nBefore institutions figure out sooner or later by paying $20k for equity research reports.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit Missed the opportunity to make money by investing in photonics. Do you think there is 50% upside from here?", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.025544414386456715, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.025544414386456715, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.027264257917563817, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.027264257917563817, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0017198435311071014, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0017198435311071014, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07945979683204762, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07945979683204762, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07459384810390146, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07459384810390146, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004865948728146163, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004865948728146163, "ret_p1w": 0.13551554182084669, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.13551554182084669, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.13154442037652636, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.13154442037652636, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003971121444320325, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003971121444320325, "ret_p1m": 0.05947562502143233, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05947562502143233, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.009948876427787523, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.009948876427787523, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04952674859364481, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04952674859364481, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5522, -0.5563, -0.5442, -0.5075, -0.4939, -0.4585, -0.4132, -0.3579, -0.3286, -0.3473, -0.3322, -0.3213, -0.3454, -0.3454, -0.3016, -0.3087, -0.2606, -0.2232, -0.2151, -0.1994, -0.1585, -0.2125, -0.1847, -0.0889, -0.1922, -0.2081, -0.243, -0.3504, -0.2547, -0.2183, -0.2183, -0.2833, -0.2759, -0.2732, -0.2444, -0.1848, -0.1018, -0.1784, -0.1521, -0.0671, -0.096, -0.1988, -0.1826, -0.2383, -0.1825, -0.1105, -0.0382, -0.0382, -0.1017, -0.0511, 0.0423, 0.0401, 0.0438, 0.0134, -0.008, -0.0415, 0.0367, 0.04, 0.0412, -0.0265, 0.0162, -0.0149, 0.0255, 0.0, -0.0795, -0.0016, 0.0496, 0.105, 0.1355, 0.1569, 0.0984, 0.0383, 0.0513, 0.225, 0.1543, 0.1986, 0.1653, 0.1291, 0.0294, 0.0354, 0.0098, 0.1219, 0.1015, 0.1015, 0.0595, 0.0496, 0.0011, -0.0055, -0.0055, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2048129936813428922", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-25T20:00:04+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "There's probably still 50%+ with $LITE and $COHR", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish photonics supercycle; 50%+ upside still in LITE/COHR, transitional bridge plays AAOI/JBL, and early-stage CPO/quantum-dot names AXTI, POET, ALMU.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It's highly nuanced, and I'll explain why it's not late, but late to some: \n\nPhotonics is the newest supercycle (maybe H1 into H2 2025 was the start).\n\nThen there's many different architectural changes in each supercycle:\n\n-> $LITE, $COHR, Innolight, $AXTI and these names led the first \n\nI did a thesis post on mentioning all four of them as the largest beneficiaries (all are up 500-1000% 1Y)\n\n-> $AAOI, $JBL and others types of names are benefit immensely as the transitional bridge (eg. 1.6T pluggable) \n\n-> $SIVE, Celestial, Ayar, $POET are others future gens eg. CPO (what I'm focusing on now)\n\n-> VisEra, QD Laser, $ALMU and others are likely going to be future gens (quantum dot, different packaging types, etc) if you fast forward 4 years. \n\nOf course, $LITE does everything. $AXTI will be used for everything. \n\nBut the amount of pure play exposure for each architectural shift in each mini supercycle is different. \n\nFor example, inp usage with quantum dot is still there, but less used. Or DFB laser arrays for CPO instead of EML. \n\nThere's probably still 50%+ with $LITE and $COHR. And you're a little on the \"late\" side of things. \n\nBut you're extremely early to new architecture generations. \n\nWhat I'm trying to do is point regular retail investors into the direction of new gold mines for free. \n\nBefore institutions figure out sooner or later by paying $20k for equity research reports.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit Missed the opportunity to make money by investing in photonics. Do you think there is 50% upside from here?", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04528348090029377, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04528348090029377, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04700332443140087, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04700332443140087, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0017198435311071014, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0017198435311071014, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05461387001294149, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05461387001294149, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04974792128479533, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04974792128479533, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004865948728146163, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004865948728146163, "ret_p1w": 0.02600073368233069, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02600073368233069, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.022029612238010365, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.022029612238010365, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003971121444320325, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003971121444320325, "ret_p1m": 0.18604798168546677, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.18604798168546677, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.13652123309182196, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.13652123309182196, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04952674859364481, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04952674859364481, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3122, -0.3286, -0.3401, -0.3082, -0.2872, -0.3438, -0.3492, -0.2919, -0.2459, -0.2897, -0.3043, -0.3279, -0.3244, -0.3244, -0.3159, -0.3037, -0.277, -0.2281, -0.2259, -0.2074, -0.1668, -0.222, -0.1947, -0.0704, -0.1266, -0.1451, -0.2104, -0.2669, -0.2153, -0.1894, -0.2181, -0.2496, -0.245, -0.2306, -0.2355, -0.2, -0.1429, -0.2112, -0.2068, -0.153, -0.1539, -0.2433, -0.2427, -0.3169, -0.2591, -0.2293, -0.1971, -0.1971, -0.2125, -0.2066, -0.1236, -0.1162, -0.0436, -0.0423, -0.0252, -0.0415, 0.0201, 0.0731, 0.0808, 0.0692, 0.09, 0.0502, 0.0453, 0.0, -0.0546, -0.0516, -0.0057, 0.0248, 0.026, 0.0442, 0.072, -0.0073, 0.0427, 0.1809, 0.1632, 0.2556, 0.2594, 0.1895, 0.1284, 0.0998, 0.115, 0.1756, 0.1743, 0.1743, 0.186, 0.1824, 0.1724, 0.1242, 0.1242, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2048129936813428922", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-04-25T20:00:04+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI, $JBL and others types of names are benefit immensely as the transitional bridge", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish photonics supercycle; 50%+ upside still in LITE/COHR, transitional bridge plays AAOI/JBL, and early-stage CPO/quantum-dot names AXTI, POET, ALMU.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It's highly nuanced, and I'll explain why it's not late, but late to some: \n\nPhotonics is the newest supercycle (maybe H1 into H2 2025 was the start).\n\nThen there's many different architectural changes in each supercycle:\n\n-> $LITE, $COHR, Innolight, $AXTI and these names led the first \n\nI did a thesis post on mentioning all four of them as the largest beneficiaries (all are up 500-1000% 1Y)\n\n-> $AAOI, $JBL and others types of names are benefit immensely as the transitional bridge (eg. 1.6T pluggable) \n\n-> $SIVE, Celestial, Ayar, $POET are others future gens eg. CPO (what I'm focusing on now)\n\n-> VisEra, QD Laser, $ALMU and others are likely going to be future gens (quantum dot, different packaging types, etc) if you fast forward 4 years. \n\nOf course, $LITE does everything. $AXTI will be used for everything. \n\nBut the amount of pure play exposure for each architectural shift in each mini supercycle is different. \n\nFor example, inp usage with quantum dot is still there, but less used. Or DFB laser arrays for CPO instead of EML. \n\nThere's probably still 50%+ with $LITE and $COHR. And you're a little on the \"late\" side of things. \n\nBut you're extremely early to new architecture generations. \n\nWhat I'm trying to do is point regular retail investors into the direction of new gold mines for free. \n\nBefore institutions figure out sooner or later by paying $20k for equity research reports.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit Missed the opportunity to make money by investing in photonics. Do you think there is 50% upside from here?", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.11242968532646258, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.11242968532646258, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.11414952885756968, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.11414952885756968, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0017198435311071014, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0017198435311071014, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0584442608300455, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0584442608300455, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05357831210189934, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05357831210189934, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004865948728146163, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004865948728146163, "ret_p1w": 0.18658250223627415, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.18658250223627415, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.18261138079195383, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.18261138079195383, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003971121444320325, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003971121444320325, "ret_p1m": 0.21841128141381505, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.21841128141381505, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.16888453282017024, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.16888453282017024, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04952674859364481, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04952674859364481, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6897, -0.7286, -0.7009, -0.6971, -0.6836, -0.7263, -0.7384, -0.6961, -0.6714, -0.6674, -0.668, -0.6982, -0.695, -0.695, -0.6988, -0.702, -0.6777, -0.6455, -0.6299, -0.614, -0.6013, -0.6317, -0.4222, -0.2968, -0.346, -0.316, -0.3062, -0.3444, -0.2412, -0.1735, -0.1288, -0.2716, -0.3359, -0.3547, -0.4078, -0.3646, -0.3009, -0.3995, -0.3431, -0.2187, -0.2152, -0.3317, -0.3263, -0.4156, -0.4197, -0.4077, -0.2872, -0.2872, -0.2629, -0.193, -0.0897, -0.0856, 0.0331, 0.0508, 0.0042, -0.0222, 0.0792, 0.0936, 0.1213, 0.0329, 0.025, -0.0552, 0.1124, 0.0, -0.0584, 0.0484, 0.1275, 0.2588, 0.1866, 0.2386, 0.2247, 0.0807, 0.0217, 0.2683, 0.2915, 0.5304, 0.3964, 0.3058, 0.1885, 0.1753, 0.1336, 0.2129, 0.245, 0.245, 0.2184, 0.2336, 0.1594, 0.0866, 0.0866, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2048129936813428922", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-04-25T20:00:04+00:00", "symbol": "JBL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI, $JBL and others types of names are benefit immensely as the transitional bridge", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish photonics supercycle; 50%+ upside still in LITE/COHR, transitional bridge plays AAOI/JBL, and early-stage CPO/quantum-dot names AXTI, POET, ALMU.", "resolved_tickers": ["JBL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It's highly nuanced, and I'll explain why it's not late, but late to some: \n\nPhotonics is the newest supercycle (maybe H1 into H2 2025 was the start).\n\nThen there's many different architectural changes in each supercycle:\n\n-> $LITE, $COHR, Innolight, $AXTI and these names led the first \n\nI did a thesis post on mentioning all four of them as the largest beneficiaries (all are up 500-1000% 1Y)\n\n-> $AAOI, $JBL and others types of names are benefit immensely as the transitional bridge (eg. 1.6T pluggable) \n\n-> $SIVE, Celestial, Ayar, $POET are others future gens eg. CPO (what I'm focusing on now)\n\n-> VisEra, QD Laser, $ALMU and others are likely going to be future gens (quantum dot, different packaging types, etc) if you fast forward 4 years. \n\nOf course, $LITE does everything. $AXTI will be used for everything. \n\nBut the amount of pure play exposure for each architectural shift in each mini supercycle is different. \n\nFor example, inp usage with quantum dot is still there, but less used. Or DFB laser arrays for CPO instead of EML. \n\nThere's probably still 50%+ with $LITE and $COHR. And you're a little on the \"late\" side of things. \n\nBut you're extremely early to new architecture generations. \n\nWhat I'm trying to do is point regular retail investors into the direction of new gold mines for free. \n\nBefore institutions figure out sooner or later by paying $20k for equity research reports.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit Missed the opportunity to make money by investing in photonics. Do you think there is 50% upside from here?", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0024940856600106365, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0024940856600106365, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004213929191117738, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.004213929191117738, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0017198435311071014, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0017198435311071014, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.029254766739039928, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.029254766739039928, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.024388818010893765, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.024388818010893765, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004865948728146163, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004865948728146163, "ret_p1w": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.003971121444320325, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.003971121444320325, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003971121444320325, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003971121444320325, "ret_p1m": 0.11600901869113267, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11600901869113267, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06648227009748786, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06648227009748786, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04952674859364481, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04952674859364481, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2854, -0.2845, -0.3042, -0.2866, -0.2795, -0.3076, -0.2906, -0.2425, -0.2198, -0.2405, -0.2342, -0.2633, -0.2532, -0.2532, -0.2447, -0.2355, -0.2299, -0.2045, -0.2333, -0.2187, -0.1855, -0.2021, -0.2224, -0.2336, -0.254, -0.2512, -0.2599, -0.2926, -0.2739, -0.2631, -0.2504, -0.2602, -0.2645, -0.243, -0.2302, -0.241, -0.2215, -0.2558, -0.2187, -0.1861, -0.1689, -0.2249, -0.2339, -0.2738, -0.2206, -0.202, -0.212, -0.212, -0.2152, -0.1994, -0.1575, -0.1402, -0.1212, -0.104, -0.1022, -0.1052, -0.0901, -0.0561, -0.0309, -0.0209, -0.0129, -0.0067, 0.0025, 0.0, -0.0293, -0.0204, -0.0097, 0.0049, 0.0, -0.0104, 0.0925, 0.0258, 0.0421, 0.0717, 0.0293, 0.0429, 0.0397, -0.0027, -0.0058, -0.023, 0.013, 0.046, 0.0693, 0.0693, 0.116, 0.09, 0.0673, 0.07, 0.07, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2048129936813428922", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-04-25T20:00:04+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AXTI will be used for everything", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish photonics supercycle; 50%+ upside still in LITE/COHR, transitional bridge plays AAOI/JBL, and early-stage CPO/quantum-dot names AXTI, POET, ALMU.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It's highly nuanced, and I'll explain why it's not late, but late to some: \n\nPhotonics is the newest supercycle (maybe H1 into H2 2025 was the start).\n\nThen there's many different architectural changes in each supercycle:\n\n-> $LITE, $COHR, Innolight, $AXTI and these names led the first \n\nI did a thesis post on mentioning all four of them as the largest beneficiaries (all are up 500-1000% 1Y)\n\n-> $AAOI, $JBL and others types of names are benefit immensely as the transitional bridge (eg. 1.6T pluggable) \n\n-> $SIVE, Celestial, Ayar, $POET are others future gens eg. CPO (what I'm focusing on now)\n\n-> VisEra, QD Laser, $ALMU and others are likely going to be future gens (quantum dot, different packaging types, etc) if you fast forward 4 years. \n\nOf course, $LITE does everything. $AXTI will be used for everything. \n\nBut the amount of pure play exposure for each architectural shift in each mini supercycle is different. \n\nFor example, inp usage with quantum dot is still there, but less used. Or DFB laser arrays for CPO instead of EML. \n\nThere's probably still 50%+ with $LITE and $COHR. And you're a little on the \"late\" side of things. \n\nBut you're extremely early to new architecture generations. \n\nWhat I'm trying to do is point regular retail investors into the direction of new gold mines for free. \n\nBefore institutions figure out sooner or later by paying $20k for equity research reports.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit Missed the opportunity to make money by investing in photonics. Do you think there is 50% upside from here?", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.08567358525307123, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08567358525307123, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08739342878417833, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08531805119486147, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0017198435311071014, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00035553405820976103, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.020527475553582475, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.020527475553582475, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01566152682543631, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.009200367887013061, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004865948728146163, "bench_c_p1d": -0.029727843440595536, "ret_p1w": 0.5110477219433236, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.5110477219433236, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.5070766004990033, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.5100008314738547, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003971121444320325, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0010468904694689307, "ret_p1m": 0.8902352561546047, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.8902352561546047, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.8407085075609599, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.7008463985847553, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04952674859364481, "bench_c_p1m": 0.18938885756984947, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7601, -0.7665, -0.7357, -0.7015, -0.7186, -0.7327, -0.7088, -0.657, -0.6041, -0.6529, -0.618, -0.6466, -0.6545, -0.6545, -0.6691, -0.6644, -0.6606, -0.5769, -0.5947, -0.4999, -0.416, -0.4708, -0.4597, -0.3397, -0.4047, -0.4422, -0.4469, -0.5386, -0.4503, -0.3685, -0.3249, -0.3339, -0.3035, -0.3102, -0.3676, -0.3049, -0.1719, -0.2268, -0.0814, -0.0244, -0.0399, -0.1659, -0.1357, -0.2483, -0.1877, -0.328, -0.2468, -0.2468, -0.4014, -0.352, -0.2419, -0.1002, -0.0851, -0.0527, -0.0406, -0.1029, 0.1658, 0.1769, 0.1227, 0.0687, 0.2393, 0.073, 0.0857, 0.0, -0.0205, 0.0131, 0.1293, 0.3685, 0.511, 0.5331, 0.4944, 0.5455, 0.6587, 0.7934, 0.752, 0.7383, 0.6391, 0.7645, 0.5093, 0.6091, 0.4912, 0.7252, 1.0076, 1.0076, 0.8902, 0.7501, 0.6493, 0.4706, 0.4706, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2048129936813428922", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2026-04-25T20:00:04+00:00", "symbol": "POET Technologies", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$POET are others future gens eg. CPO (what I'm focusing on now)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish photonics supercycle; 50%+ upside still in LITE/COHR, transitional bridge plays AAOI/JBL, and early-stage CPO/quantum-dot names AXTI, POET, ALMU.", "resolved_tickers": ["POET"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "POET Technologies trades as POET on NASDAQ", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It's highly nuanced, and I'll explain why it's not late, but late to some: \n\nPhotonics is the newest supercycle (maybe H1 into H2 2025 was the start).\n\nThen there's many different architectural changes in each supercycle:\n\n-> $LITE, $COHR, Innolight, $AXTI and these names led the first \n\nI did a thesis post on mentioning all four of them as the largest beneficiaries (all are up 500-1000% 1Y)\n\n-> $AAOI, $JBL and others types of names are benefit immensely as the transitional bridge (eg. 1.6T pluggable) \n\n-> $SIVE, Celestial, Ayar, $POET are others future gens eg. CPO (what I'm focusing on now)\n\n-> VisEra, QD Laser, $ALMU and others are likely going to be future gens (quantum dot, different packaging types, etc) if you fast forward 4 years. \n\nOf course, $LITE does everything. $AXTI will be used for everything. \n\nBut the amount of pure play exposure for each architectural shift in each mini supercycle is different. \n\nFor example, inp usage with quantum dot is still there, but less used. Or DFB laser arrays for CPO instead of EML. \n\nThere's probably still 50%+ with $LITE and $COHR. And you're a little on the \"late\" side of things. \n\nBut you're extremely early to new architecture generations. \n\nWhat I'm trying to do is point regular retail investors into the direction of new gold mines for free. \n\nBefore institutions figure out sooner or later by paying $20k for equity research reports.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit Missed the opportunity to make money by investing in photonics. Do you think there is 50% upside from here?", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.8993711627353491, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.8993711627353491, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.9010910062664562, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.8990156286771394, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0017198435311071014, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00035553405820976103, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010062883726465133, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010062883726465133, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014928832454611296, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03979072716706067, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004865948728146163, "bench_c_p1d": -0.029727843440595536, "ret_p1w": -0.10566033910740158, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10566033910740158, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1096314605517219, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10670722957687051, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003971121444320325, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0010468904694689307, "ret_p1m": 0.6792453712906117, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6792453712906117, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6297186226969669, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4898565137207622, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04952674859364481, "bench_c_p1m": 0.18938885756984947, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2176, -0.2516, -0.2704, -0.2654, -0.2403, -0.2943, -0.3484, -0.2616, -0.2189, -0.2654, -0.2667, -0.2893, -0.2981, -0.2981, -0.3057, -0.2981, -0.2994, -0.2843, -0.3057, -0.2314, -0.2, -0.2151, -0.2453, -0.1308, -0.1145, -0.1396, -0.1648, -0.2101, -0.1585, -0.1195, -0.0642, -0.0642, -0.1409, -0.1308, -0.1736, -0.2226, -0.2164, -0.2541, -0.2377, -0.278, -0.2327, -0.3094, -0.3472, -0.361, -0.2528, -0.2956, -0.2314, -0.2314, -0.2352, -0.2503, -0.2176, -0.2352, -0.1145, -0.0818, -0.156, -0.1233, -0.0767, -0.0868, 0.0805, 0.2893, 0.6063, 0.4742, 0.8994, 0.0, 0.0101, -0.1698, -0.1044, -0.0805, -0.1057, 0.1585, 0.2226, 0.205, 0.3774, 0.7484, 0.727, 0.8075, 1.5874, 1.0088, 0.7874, 0.644, 0.8591, 0.8642, 0.8352, 0.8352, 0.6792, 0.6704, 0.6679, 0.5459, 0.5459, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2048129936813428922", "ticker_idx": 6, "ts": "2026-04-25T20:00:04+00:00", "symbol": "ALMU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ALMU and others are likely going to be future gens (quantum dot, different packaging types, etc) if you fast forward 4 years", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish photonics supercycle; 50%+ upside still in LITE/COHR, transitional bridge plays AAOI/JBL, and early-stage CPO/quantum-dot names AXTI, POET, ALMU.", "resolved_tickers": ["ALMU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It's highly nuanced, and I'll explain why it's not late, but late to some: \n\nPhotonics is the newest supercycle (maybe H1 into H2 2025 was the start).\n\nThen there's many different architectural changes in each supercycle:\n\n-> $LITE, $COHR, Innolight, $AXTI and these names led the first \n\nI did a thesis post on mentioning all four of them as the largest beneficiaries (all are up 500-1000% 1Y)\n\n-> $AAOI, $JBL and others types of names are benefit immensely as the transitional bridge (eg. 1.6T pluggable) \n\n-> $SIVE, Celestial, Ayar, $POET are others future gens eg. CPO (what I'm focusing on now)\n\n-> VisEra, QD Laser, $ALMU and others are likely going to be future gens (quantum dot, different packaging types, etc) if you fast forward 4 years. \n\nOf course, $LITE does everything. $AXTI will be used for everything. \n\nBut the amount of pure play exposure for each architectural shift in each mini supercycle is different. \n\nFor example, inp usage with quantum dot is still there, but less used. Or DFB laser arrays for CPO instead of EML. \n\nThere's probably still 50%+ with $LITE and $COHR. And you're a little on the \"late\" side of things. \n\nBut you're extremely early to new architecture generations. \n\nWhat I'm trying to do is point regular retail investors into the direction of new gold mines for free. \n\nBefore institutions figure out sooner or later by paying $20k for equity research reports.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit Missed the opportunity to make money by investing in photonics. Do you think there is 50% upside from here?", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03878877058490304, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03878877058490304, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03706892705379594, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.039144304643112804, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0017198435311071014, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00035553405820976103, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05355353950646069, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05355353950646069, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04868759077831453, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.023825696065865154, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004865948728146163, "bench_c_p1d": -0.029727843440595536, "ret_p1w": 0.1491491296552243, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1491491296552243, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14517800821090399, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14810223918575538, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003971121444320325, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0010468904694689307, "ret_p1m": 0.2192192777009938, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2192192777009938, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.169692529107349, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.029830420131144342, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04952674859364481, "bench_c_p1m": 0.18938885756984947, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1416, -0.1406, -0.2097, -0.207, -0.2035, -0.2613, -0.3063, -0.2462, -0.2543, -0.1677, -0.1597, -0.2305, -0.2778, -0.2778, -0.2002, -0.2032, -0.1997, -0.2302, -0.2177, -0.1116, -0.1812, -0.1992, -0.2257, -0.037, -0.035, -0.0811, -0.2132, -0.2482, -0.2292, -0.2082, -0.1952, -0.2598, -0.2588, -0.2528, -0.2828, -0.2858, -0.2963, -0.3358, -0.3504, -0.3504, -0.3584, -0.3594, -0.3894, -0.3659, -0.3448, -0.3569, -0.3273, -0.3273, -0.4127, -0.4144, -0.4249, -0.463, -0.4615, -0.2317, -0.2863, -0.1677, -0.1316, -0.1932, -0.1657, -0.1351, 0.0606, -0.0636, -0.0388, 0.0, -0.0536, -0.0405, 0.1657, 0.2803, 0.1491, 0.3701, 0.4227, 0.1997, 0.2217, 0.4104, 0.3569, 0.5761, 0.3338, 0.2442, 0.039, 0.0978, 0.0485, 0.1667, 0.1331, 0.1331, 0.2192, 0.1597, 0.1557, 0.0801, 0.0801, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2046365283099844807", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-20T23:07:57+00:00", "symbol": "JBL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I just timed my long after OFC but did not expect all of this lol", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author holds a long position across JBL, GOOGL, MRVL, GFS, AMD with NVDA CPO investment as additional catalyst stack.", "resolved_tickers": ["JBL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It's legit coincidence that it's catalyst ( $JBL ) after catalyst (Nasdaq listing) after catalyst ( $GOOGL + $MRVL ), after catalyst ( $GFS ),  after catalyst ( $GFS + $AMD ).\n\nAlongside $NVDA investing into CPO everywhere. \n\nI just timed my long after OFC but did not expect all of this lol.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Good find, I love how you are able to find the greatest links and make connections to existing supply chain!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "beard219", "ret_m1d": -0.02600818415901196, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02600818415901196, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02801185839427267, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02801185839427267, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01029429202181742, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01029429202181742, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.016841241176753674, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.016841241176753674, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "ret_p1w": 0.03185180714796476, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03185180714796476, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02275087522328345, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02275087522328345, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "ret_p1m": 0.008099779569102905, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.008099779569102905, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0271892073361375, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0271892073361375, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2338, -0.2593, -0.2641, -0.2681, -0.2667, -0.2626, -0.2617, -0.2821, -0.2638, -0.2565, -0.2855, -0.268, -0.2183, -0.195, -0.2163, -0.2098, -0.2399, -0.2294, -0.2294, -0.2207, -0.2112, -0.2054, -0.1792, -0.2089, -0.1938, -0.1596, -0.1767, -0.1977, -0.2092, -0.2302, -0.2274, -0.2364, -0.27, -0.2508, -0.2396, -0.2265, -0.2366, -0.2411, -0.2188, -0.2057, -0.2168, -0.1967, -0.2321, -0.1938, -0.1602, -0.1424, -0.2002, -0.2095, -0.2507, -0.1957, -0.1766, -0.1869, -0.1869, -0.1902, -0.1739, -0.1306, -0.1128, -0.0932, -0.0754, -0.0736, -0.0767, -0.0611, -0.026, 0.0, 0.0103, 0.0185, 0.025, 0.0344, 0.0319, 0.0017, 0.0108, 0.0218, 0.0369, 0.0319, 0.0211, 0.1273, 0.0585, 0.0753, 0.1058, 0.0621, 0.0761, 0.0728, 0.0291, 0.0258, 0.0081, 0.0453, 0.0794, 0.1034, 0.1034, 0.1516, 0.1247, 0.1013, 0.104, 0.104, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2046365283099844807", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-20T23:07:57+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "catalyst ( $GOOGL + $MRVL ), after catalyst ( $GFS ), after catalyst ( $GFS + $AMD )", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author holds a long position across JBL, GOOGL, MRVL, GFS, AMD with NVDA CPO investment as additional catalyst stack.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It's legit coincidence that it's catalyst ( $JBL ) after catalyst (Nasdaq listing) after catalyst ( $GOOGL + $MRVL ), after catalyst ( $GFS ),  after catalyst ( $GFS + $AMD ).\n\nAlongside $NVDA investing into CPO everywhere. \n\nI just timed my long after OFC but did not expect all of this lol.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Good find, I love how you are able to find the greatest links and make connections to existing supply chain!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "beard219", "ret_m1d": 0.012625152861477362, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.012625152861477362, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010621478626216652, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009677797289931345, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0029473555715460176, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.015203617683191117, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.015203617683191117, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008656668528254863, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.001814174837796334, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013389442845394783, "ret_p1w": 0.03829050558947755, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03829050558947755, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.029189573664796242, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0630484208855302, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "bench_c_p1w": -0.024757915296052646, "ret_p1m": 0.14889451791553254, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14889451791553254, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11360553101029214, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.17331558339661812, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02442106548108558, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0275, -0.0211, -0.0288, -0.013, -0.0092, -0.0049, 0.0018, 0.001, 0.0179, 0.0061, -0.0137, -0.019, -0.0438, -0.0395, -0.0565, -0.0791, -0.0849, -0.0946, -0.0946, -0.1055, -0.1017, -0.1031, -0.0672, -0.0775, -0.0792, -0.0733, -0.0897, -0.0767, -0.0922, -0.1009, -0.1023, -0.1089, -0.1159, -0.0921, -0.09, -0.0851, -0.1004, -0.1041, -0.0944, -0.0785, -0.0881, -0.0898, -0.1079, -0.1048, -0.1392, -0.1378, -0.1674, -0.1869, -0.1894, -0.1478, -0.1186, -0.1234, -0.1234, -0.1109, -0.0947, -0.0596, -0.0561, -0.0598, -0.0477, -0.0134, -0.0009, -0.0041, 0.0126, 0.0, -0.0152, 0.0056, 0.0044, 0.0207, 0.0383, 0.0366, 0.0371, 0.1404, 0.1431, 0.1358, 0.1512, 0.1797, 0.1795, 0.1878, 0.1518, 0.148, 0.1932, 0.1886, 0.1759, 0.1764, 0.1489, 0.1526, 0.1489, 0.135, 0.135, 0.1525, 0.1524, 0.1562, 0.1272, 0.1272, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2046365283099844807", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-04-20T23:07:57+00:00", "symbol": "MRVL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "catalyst ( $GOOGL + $MRVL ), after catalyst ( $GFS ), after catalyst ( $GFS + $AMD )", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author holds a long position across JBL, GOOGL, MRVL, GFS, AMD with NVDA CPO investment as additional catalyst stack.", "resolved_tickers": ["MRVL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It's legit coincidence that it's catalyst ( $JBL ) after catalyst (Nasdaq listing) after catalyst ( $GOOGL + $MRVL ), after catalyst ( $GFS ),  after catalyst ( $GFS + $AMD ).\n\nAlongside $NVDA investing into CPO everywhere. \n\nI just timed my long after OFC but did not expect all of this lol.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Good find, I love how you are able to find the greatest links and make connections to existing supply chain!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "beard219", "ret_m1d": -0.05512712458310287, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05512712458310287, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05713079881836358, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05713079881836358, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.023471329184643563, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.023471329184643563, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030018278339579818, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030018278339579818, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "ret_p1w": 0.07014347018972966, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07014347018972966, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06104253826504835, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06104253826504835, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "ret_p1m": 0.19230254761095278, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.19230254761095278, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15701356070571237, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.15701356070571237, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4419, -0.4382, -0.4576, -0.4472, -0.4393, -0.4347, -0.4501, -0.4664, -0.4682, -0.4893, -0.5015, -0.4983, -0.4573, -0.4433, -0.4456, -0.4501, -0.4711, -0.4685, -0.4685, -0.4658, -0.4653, -0.4618, -0.4627, -0.4741, -0.47, -0.4529, -0.4639, -0.4477, -0.4533, -0.476, -0.4721, -0.4884, -0.3944, -0.3736, -0.3692, -0.3886, -0.4073, -0.406, -0.3809, -0.3862, -0.4076, -0.3947, -0.4057, -0.3905, -0.3756, -0.3344, -0.3396, -0.3585, -0.4063, -0.3304, -0.2786, -0.2759, -0.2759, -0.2596, -0.2605, -0.2262, -0.1892, -0.1309, -0.1119, -0.0948, -0.0896, -0.0979, -0.0551, 0.0, 0.0235, 0.0641, 0.1199, 0.1114, 0.0701, 0.0365, 0.0591, 0.1171, 0.1157, 0.107, 0.1414, 0.1644, 0.0823, 0.1508, 0.1556, 0.1127, 0.2037, 0.235, 0.1965, 0.1427, 0.1923, 0.2635, 0.2898, 0.328, 0.328, 0.4087, 0.344, 0.3855, 0.3866, 0.3866, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2046365283099844807", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-04-20T23:07:57+00:00", "symbol": "GFS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "after catalyst ( $GFS ), after catalyst ( $GFS + $AMD )", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author holds a long position across JBL, GOOGL, MRVL, GFS, AMD with NVDA CPO investment as additional catalyst stack.", "resolved_tickers": ["GFS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It's legit coincidence that it's catalyst ( $JBL ) after catalyst (Nasdaq listing) after catalyst ( $GOOGL + $MRVL ), after catalyst ( $GFS ),  after catalyst ( $GFS + $AMD ).\n\nAlongside $NVDA investing into CPO everywhere. \n\nI just timed my long after OFC but did not expect all of this lol.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Good find, I love how you are able to find the greatest links and make connections to existing supply chain!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "beard219", "ret_m1d": -0.06824367658403585, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06824367658403585, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07024735081929656, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06867477454660798, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0004310979625721245, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00825392485033194, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00825392485033194, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014800874005268194, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006745147757643677, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0015087770926882627, "ret_p1w": 0.027059227331618585, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.027059227331618585, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.017958295406937275, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0641124665419952, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "bench_c_p1w": 0.09117169387361379, "ret_p1m": 0.13478560602239176, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13478560602239176, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09949661911715135, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.03764312057250452, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "bench_c_p1m": 0.17242872659489628, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.219, -0.2341, -0.2708, -0.2474, -0.1932, -0.2207, -0.2434, -0.2818, -0.2822, -0.3075, -0.3005, -0.3028, -0.2697, -0.2593, -0.2869, -0.1705, -0.1712, -0.1663, -0.1663, -0.1794, -0.2078, -0.2267, -0.2139, -0.2144, -0.1896, -0.1685, -0.2015, -0.1908, -0.1513, -0.1964, -0.1904, -0.1775, -0.2022, -0.1937, -0.2064, -0.2497, -0.2922, -0.2876, -0.2551, -0.264, -0.2772, -0.2621, -0.2668, -0.2519, -0.2158, -0.2046, -0.2415, -0.2692, -0.2958, -0.243, -0.2471, -0.2554, -0.2554, -0.2578, -0.2524, -0.1865, -0.1712, -0.1673, -0.1656, -0.1761, -0.1778, -0.1424, -0.0682, 0.0, 0.0083, 0.0277, 0.0473, 0.0516, 0.0271, 0.0124, 0.0677, 0.0994, 0.1047, 0.153, 0.26, 0.2304, 0.2071, 0.2614, 0.2762, 0.2279, 0.2762, 0.2566, 0.2088, 0.1545, 0.1348, 0.2047, 0.3844, 0.4575, 0.4575, 0.531, 0.3804, 0.3722, 0.361, 0.361, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2046365283099844807", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-04-20T23:07:57+00:00", "symbol": "AMD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "after catalyst ( $GFS + $AMD )", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author holds a long position across JBL, GOOGL, MRVL, GFS, AMD with NVDA CPO investment as additional catalyst stack.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It's legit coincidence that it's catalyst ( $JBL ) after catalyst (Nasdaq listing) after catalyst ( $GOOGL + $MRVL ), after catalyst ( $GFS ),  after catalyst ( $GFS + $AMD ).\n\nAlongside $NVDA investing into CPO everywhere. \n\nI just timed my long after OFC but did not expect all of this lol.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Good find, I love how you are able to find the greatest links and make connections to existing supply chain!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "beard219", "ret_m1d": 0.012511374026839439, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.012511374026839439, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010507699791578728, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.010507699791578728, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.034697136220384506, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.034697136220384506, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04124408537532076, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04124408537532076, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "ret_p1w": 0.21705761056974793, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.21705761056974793, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.20795667864506662, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.20795667864506662, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "ret_p1m": 0.5059100542290513, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5059100542290513, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4706210673238109, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4706210673238109, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0915, -0.0772, -0.0555, -0.086, -0.0834, -0.0808, -0.0828, -0.139, -0.1043, -0.1194, -0.2719, -0.2999, -0.2419, -0.2144, -0.2232, -0.2232, -0.251, -0.246, -0.246, -0.2614, -0.2722, -0.2603, -0.272, -0.285, -0.2223, -0.2331, -0.2592, -0.2718, -0.2776, -0.3055, -0.2651, -0.2746, -0.3001, -0.2628, -0.2608, -0.255, -0.2808, -0.2966, -0.285, -0.286, -0.2746, -0.2534, -0.2678, -0.2628, -0.2531, -0.1989, -0.2589, -0.2654, -0.287, -0.2601, -0.2355, -0.2089, -0.2089, -0.1992, -0.1943, -0.1569, -0.1393, -0.1088, -0.1023, -0.0723, -0.0612, 0.012, 0.0125, 0.0, 0.0347, 0.1037, 0.1105, 0.265, 0.2171, 0.1755, 0.2261, 0.2893, 0.3113, 0.2422, 0.2921, 0.5326, 0.4856, 0.6555, 0.6686, 0.6304, 0.6203, 0.6356, 0.5425, 0.5312, 0.5059, 0.6279, 0.6352, 0.7003, 0.7003, 0.8327, 0.8023, 0.8843, 0.8771, 0.8771, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2046365283099844807", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2026-04-20T23:07:57+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NVDA investing into CPO everywhere", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author holds a long position across JBL, GOOGL, MRVL, GFS, AMD with NVDA CPO investment as additional catalyst stack.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It's legit coincidence that it's catalyst ( $JBL ) after catalyst (Nasdaq listing) after catalyst ( $GOOGL + $MRVL ), after catalyst ( $GFS ),  after catalyst ( $GFS + $AMD ).\n\nAlongside $NVDA investing into CPO everywhere. \n\nI just timed my long after OFC but did not expect all of this lol.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Good find, I love how you are able to find the greatest links and make connections to existing supply chain!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "beard219", "ret_m1d": -0.0018806537038698057, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0018806537038698057, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0038843279391305163, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0038843279391305163, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.010788838474320439, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.010788838474320439, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0042418893193841845, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0042418893193841845, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "ret_p1w": 0.07200833033534293, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07200833033534293, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06290739841066162, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06290739841066162, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "ret_p1m": 0.09180443074279787, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09180443074279787, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.056515443837557466, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.056515443837557466, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0928, -0.0853, -0.0713, -0.0772, -0.0671, -0.0522, -0.0473, -0.0541, -0.0815, -0.1075, -0.138, -0.1494, -0.0825, -0.0595, -0.067, -0.0595, -0.0749, -0.0953, -0.0953, -0.0846, -0.0697, -0.0701, -0.0606, -0.0521, -0.0456, -0.0322, -0.085, -0.1231, -0.097, -0.109, -0.0942, -0.0927, -0.12, -0.0961, -0.0856, -0.0793, -0.0936, -0.1079, -0.0932, -0.0996, -0.1072, -0.1163, -0.1453, -0.1308, -0.1329, -0.1157, -0.1525, -0.1709, -0.1826, -0.1369, -0.1302, -0.1221, -0.1221, -0.1209, -0.1186, -0.0989, -0.0898, -0.0665, -0.0631, -0.0275, -0.0158, -0.0184, -0.0019, 0.0, -0.0108, 0.0022, -0.012, 0.0307, 0.072, 0.055, 0.0356, -0.0123, -0.0179, -0.0177, -0.0275, 0.0286, 0.0467, 0.065, 0.086, 0.0926, 0.1176, 0.1667, 0.1151, 0.1003, 0.0918, 0.106, 0.0864, 0.0657, 0.0657, 0.0633, 0.0522, 0.0603, 0.0449, 0.0449, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2051813377148862799", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-05T23:56:44+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the big ones in Asia like Sumitomo + $COHR", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "SIVE and COHR named as beneficiaries of LITE being forced to source CW lasers externally due to EML contracts through 2027-2028.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is new information discovery that $LITE is forced to buy CW lasers from external competitors. \n\nLikely because they have EML contracted from 2027-2028 and can't produce enough CW... \n\nSo $SIVE is a massive beneficiary of other hyperscaler suppliers going to other CW laser suppliers + the big ones in Asia like Sumitomo + $COHR. \n\nWe'll see if markets can put 1+1 together.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Interesting to see how SIVE will react to the earnings of LITE today 🧐", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "itsakek", "ret_m1d": -0.017394918972937545, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.017394918972937545, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00943657639147022, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00943657639147022, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007958342581467326, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007958342581467326, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02662854719225649, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02662854719225649, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0127291077472389, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0127291077472389, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.013899439445017592, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013899439445017592, "ret_p1w": 0.11402018743226305, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11402018743226305, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09411058527180893, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09411058527180893, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01990960216045412, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01990960216045412, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3768, -0.3218, -0.2778, -0.3198, -0.3337, -0.3563, -0.353, -0.353, -0.3448, -0.3331, -0.3075, -0.2608, -0.2587, -0.2409, -0.202, -0.2549, -0.2288, -0.1097, -0.1636, -0.1813, -0.2438, -0.2979, -0.2484, -0.2237, -0.2512, -0.2814, -0.2769, -0.2632, -0.2679, -0.2339, -0.1792, -0.2445, -0.2403, -0.1888, -0.1897, -0.2753, -0.2748, -0.3458, -0.2905, -0.2619, -0.231, -0.231, -0.2458, -0.2402, -0.1607, -0.1536, -0.0841, -0.0828, -0.0665, -0.082, -0.023, 0.0277, 0.0351, 0.024, 0.0439, 0.0058, 0.0011, -0.0423, -0.0946, -0.0917, -0.0477, -0.0186, -0.0174, 0.0, 0.0266, -0.0493, -0.0014, 0.1309, 0.114, 0.2025, 0.2061, 0.1392, 0.0807, 0.0533, 0.0678, 0.1259, 0.1246, 0.1246, 0.1359, 0.1324, 0.1228, 0.0767, 0.0767, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2045965735386820934", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-19T20:40:18+00:00", "symbol": "MRVL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "my long term opinion doesn't change on any of them from $MRVL, $AMD, $ARM and others", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Reaffirms unchanged long-term long theses on MRVL, AMD, ARM, LITE, NBIS, and AXTI despite short-term entry-point adjustments.", "resolved_tickers": ["MRVL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Wow, majority of these 30 stocks I’ve liked are up a lot in just two weeks (just a recap to new folks)\n\nBy the way, my long term opinion doesn’t change on any of them from $MRVL, $AMD, $ARM and others.\n\nShort term entry points do though with names like $AAOI to $AEHR. And they make the difference between +10-20%. \n\nI focus a lot about the “undiscovered” ones like Riber or $SIVE or $RPI or $IQE in analysis when I make a new entry -> wait for it to play out.\n\nBut the same thesis around $LITE or $NBIS or $AXTI from last year is still the same. \n\nAnd I don’t need to post that same thesis multiple times, since it’s not new anymore.\n\nBut the reason they’re not new is because markets have validated the thesis and are repricing the stocks live because of them.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Here's a bunch of random 30 US-available random stocks I like today and why:  \n\n1. $INTC - America's hope for foundry, national security\n2. $MRVL - scales rev from future maia asics and add ons like cpo, they do everything lost count\n3. $TSM - backbone of semis/ai\n4. $COHR - They", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05512712458310287, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05512712458310287, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05713079881836358, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05713079881836358, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.023471329184643563, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.023471329184643563, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030018278339579818, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030018278339579818, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "ret_p1w": 0.07014347018972966, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07014347018972966, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06104253826504835, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06104253826504835, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "ret_p1m": 0.19230254761095278, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.19230254761095278, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15701356070571237, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.15701356070571237, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4419, -0.4382, -0.4576, -0.4472, -0.4393, -0.4347, -0.4501, -0.4664, -0.4682, -0.4893, -0.5015, -0.4983, -0.4573, -0.4433, -0.4456, -0.4501, -0.4711, -0.4685, -0.4685, -0.4658, -0.4653, -0.4618, -0.4627, -0.4741, -0.47, -0.4529, -0.4639, -0.4477, -0.4533, -0.476, -0.4721, -0.4884, -0.3944, -0.3736, -0.3692, -0.3886, -0.4073, -0.406, -0.3809, -0.3862, -0.4076, -0.3947, -0.4057, -0.3905, -0.3756, -0.3344, -0.3396, -0.3585, -0.4063, -0.3304, -0.2786, -0.2759, -0.2759, -0.2596, -0.2605, -0.2262, -0.1892, -0.1309, -0.1119, -0.0948, -0.0896, -0.0979, -0.0551, 0.0, 0.0235, 0.0641, 0.1199, 0.1114, 0.0701, 0.0365, 0.0591, 0.1171, 0.1157, 0.107, 0.1414, 0.1644, 0.0823, 0.1508, 0.1556, 0.1127, 0.2037, 0.235, 0.1965, 0.1427, 0.1923, 0.2635, 0.2898, 0.328, 0.328, 0.4087, 0.344, 0.3855, 0.3866, 0.3866, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2045965735386820934", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-19T20:40:18+00:00", "symbol": "AMD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "my long term opinion doesn't change on any of them from $MRVL, $AMD, $ARM and others", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Reaffirms unchanged long-term long theses on MRVL, AMD, ARM, LITE, NBIS, and AXTI despite short-term entry-point adjustments.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Wow, majority of these 30 stocks I’ve liked are up a lot in just two weeks (just a recap to new folks)\n\nBy the way, my long term opinion doesn’t change on any of them from $MRVL, $AMD, $ARM and others.\n\nShort term entry points do though with names like $AAOI to $AEHR. And they make the difference between +10-20%. \n\nI focus a lot about the “undiscovered” ones like Riber or $SIVE or $RPI or $IQE in analysis when I make a new entry -> wait for it to play out.\n\nBut the same thesis around $LITE or $NBIS or $AXTI from last year is still the same. \n\nAnd I don’t need to post that same thesis multiple times, since it’s not new anymore.\n\nBut the reason they’re not new is because markets have validated the thesis and are repricing the stocks live because of them.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Here's a bunch of random 30 US-available random stocks I like today and why:  \n\n1. $INTC - America's hope for foundry, national security\n2. $MRVL - scales rev from future maia asics and add ons like cpo, they do everything lost count\n3. $TSM - backbone of semis/ai\n4. $COHR - They", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.012511374026839439, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.012511374026839439, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010507699791578728, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.010507699791578728, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.034697136220384506, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.034697136220384506, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04124408537532076, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04124408537532076, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "ret_p1w": 0.21705761056974793, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.21705761056974793, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.20795667864506662, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.20795667864506662, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "ret_p1m": 0.5059100542290513, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5059100542290513, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4706210673238109, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4706210673238109, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0915, -0.0772, -0.0555, -0.086, -0.0834, -0.0808, -0.0828, -0.139, -0.1043, -0.1194, -0.2719, -0.2999, -0.2419, -0.2144, -0.2232, -0.2232, -0.251, -0.246, -0.246, -0.2614, -0.2722, -0.2603, -0.272, -0.285, -0.2223, -0.2331, -0.2592, -0.2718, -0.2776, -0.3055, -0.2651, -0.2746, -0.3001, -0.2628, -0.2608, -0.255, -0.2808, -0.2966, -0.285, -0.286, -0.2746, -0.2534, -0.2678, -0.2628, -0.2531, -0.1989, -0.2589, -0.2654, -0.287, -0.2601, -0.2355, -0.2089, -0.2089, -0.1992, -0.1943, -0.1569, -0.1393, -0.1088, -0.1023, -0.0723, -0.0612, 0.012, 0.0125, 0.0, 0.0347, 0.1037, 0.1105, 0.265, 0.2171, 0.1755, 0.2261, 0.2893, 0.3113, 0.2422, 0.2921, 0.5326, 0.4856, 0.6555, 0.6686, 0.6304, 0.6203, 0.6356, 0.5425, 0.5312, 0.5059, 0.6279, 0.6352, 0.7003, 0.7003, 0.8327, 0.8023, 0.8843, 0.8771, 0.8771, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2045965735386820934", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-04-19T20:40:18+00:00", "symbol": "ARM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "my long term opinion doesn't change on any of them from $MRVL, $AMD, $ARM and others", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Reaffirms unchanged long-term long theses on MRVL, AMD, ARM, LITE, NBIS, and AXTI despite short-term entry-point adjustments.", "resolved_tickers": ["ARM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Wow, majority of these 30 stocks I’ve liked are up a lot in just two weeks (just a recap to new folks)\n\nBy the way, my long term opinion doesn’t change on any of them from $MRVL, $AMD, $ARM and others.\n\nShort term entry points do though with names like $AAOI to $AEHR. And they make the difference between +10-20%. \n\nI focus a lot about the “undiscovered” ones like Riber or $SIVE or $RPI or $IQE in analysis when I make a new entry -> wait for it to play out.\n\nBut the same thesis around $LITE or $NBIS or $AXTI from last year is still the same. \n\nAnd I don’t need to post that same thesis multiple times, since it’s not new anymore.\n\nBut the reason they’re not new is because markets have validated the thesis and are repricing the stocks live because of them.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Here's a bunch of random 30 US-available random stocks I like today and why:  \n\n1. $INTC - America's hope for foundry, national security\n2. $MRVL - scales rev from future maia asics and add ons like cpo, they do everything lost count\n3. $TSM - backbone of semis/ai\n4. $COHR - They", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.047801314016107876, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.047801314016107876, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04980498825136859, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04823241197868, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0004310979625721245, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0022272951230959404, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0022272951230959404, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.008774244278032195, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0007185180304076777, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0015087770926882627, "ret_p1w": 0.232895473202831, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.232895473202831, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.22379454127814968, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1417237793292172, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "bench_c_p1w": 0.09117169387361379, "ret_p1m": 0.27441454093703777, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.27441454093703777, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.23912555403179736, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10198581434214149, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "bench_c_p1m": 0.17242872659489628, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3494, -0.3192, -0.3371, -0.3448, -0.3439, -0.372, -0.3808, -0.3983, -0.3893, -0.4029, -0.4009, -0.3668, -0.2935, -0.2883, -0.2807, -0.2845, -0.3022, -0.2845, -0.2845, -0.2753, -0.2733, -0.2751, -0.2828, -0.2931, -0.2682, -0.2476, -0.2618, -0.2721, -0.2897, -0.3049, -0.2912, -0.3111, -0.3468, -0.3282, -0.3115, -0.3141, -0.3425, -0.3389, -0.305, -0.2729, -0.2669, -0.2586, -0.2441, -0.2182, -0.2292, -0.103, -0.1159, -0.1769, -0.2178, -0.136, -0.1144, -0.1484, -0.1484, -0.1504, -0.1784, -0.1496, -0.1445, -0.1495, -0.1001, -0.0793, -0.09, -0.0729, -0.0478, 0.0, 0.0022, 0.1226, 0.1685, 0.341, 0.2329, 0.1345, 0.1519, 0.2011, 0.2061, 0.1608, 0.1927, 0.3552, 0.2182, 0.218, 0.2144, 0.1874, 0.2633, 0.305, 0.1945, 0.2286, 0.2744, 0.4662, 0.7032, 0.7505, 0.7505, 0.8345, 0.7288, 0.9147, 1.0176, 1.0176, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2045965735386820934", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-04-19T20:40:18+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the same thesis around $LITE or $NBIS or $AXTI from last year is still the same", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Reaffirms unchanged long-term long theses on MRVL, AMD, ARM, LITE, NBIS, and AXTI despite short-term entry-point adjustments.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Wow, majority of these 30 stocks I’ve liked are up a lot in just two weeks (just a recap to new folks)\n\nBy the way, my long term opinion doesn’t change on any of them from $MRVL, $AMD, $ARM and others.\n\nShort term entry points do though with names like $AAOI to $AEHR. And they make the difference between +10-20%. \n\nI focus a lot about the “undiscovered” ones like Riber or $SIVE or $RPI or $IQE in analysis when I make a new entry -> wait for it to play out.\n\nBut the same thesis around $LITE or $NBIS or $AXTI from last year is still the same. \n\nAnd I don’t need to post that same thesis multiple times, since it’s not new anymore.\n\nBut the reason they’re not new is because markets have validated the thesis and are repricing the stocks live because of them.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Here's a bunch of random 30 US-available random stocks I like today and why:  \n\n1. $INTC - America's hope for foundry, national security\n2. $MRVL - scales rev from future maia asics and add ons like cpo, they do everything lost count\n3. $TSM - backbone of semis/ai\n4. $COHR - They", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0011618438452960511, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0011618438452960511, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0031655180805567618, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0031655180805567618, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06500877366321811, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06500877366321811, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05846182450828186, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05846182450828186, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "ret_p1w": -0.03958171985073522, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03958171985073522, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04868265177541653, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04868265177541653, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "ret_p1m": -0.0056082029898505414, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0056082029898505414, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.040897189895090946, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.040897189895090946, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5951, -0.604, -0.6211, -0.6286, -0.5859, -0.5699, -0.5739, -0.5622, -0.527, -0.5139, -0.4799, -0.4365, -0.3833, -0.3552, -0.3731, -0.3586, -0.3482, -0.3713, -0.3713, -0.3292, -0.3361, -0.2899, -0.254, -0.2462, -0.2311, -0.1918, -0.2437, -0.217, -0.125, -0.2242, -0.2394, -0.2729, -0.3761, -0.2842, -0.2493, -0.2493, -0.3117, -0.3046, -0.3019, -0.2743, -0.2171, -0.1374, -0.2109, -0.1856, -0.104, -0.1318, -0.2305, -0.2149, -0.2685, -0.2149, -0.1457, -0.0762, -0.0762, -0.1372, -0.0887, 0.001, -0.0011, 0.0024, -0.0267, -0.0473, -0.0794, -0.0043, -0.0012, 0.0, -0.065, -0.024, -0.0539, -0.015, -0.0396, -0.1159, -0.0411, 0.0081, 0.0612, 0.0906, 0.1111, 0.0549, -0.0028, 0.0097, 0.1765, 0.1087, 0.1511, 0.1192, 0.0844, -0.0113, -0.0056, -0.0302, 0.0775, 0.0579, 0.0579, 0.0175, 0.008, -0.0385, -0.0449, -0.0449, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2045965735386820934", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-04-19T20:40:18+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the same thesis around $LITE or $NBIS or $AXTI from last year is still the same", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Reaffirms unchanged long-term long theses on MRVL, AMD, ARM, LITE, NBIS, and AXTI despite short-term entry-point adjustments.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Wow, majority of these 30 stocks I’ve liked are up a lot in just two weeks (just a recap to new folks)\n\nBy the way, my long term opinion doesn’t change on any of them from $MRVL, $AMD, $ARM and others.\n\nShort term entry points do though with names like $AAOI to $AEHR. And they make the difference between +10-20%. \n\nI focus a lot about the “undiscovered” ones like Riber or $SIVE or $RPI or $IQE in analysis when I make a new entry -> wait for it to play out.\n\nBut the same thesis around $LITE or $NBIS or $AXTI from last year is still the same. \n\nAnd I don’t need to post that same thesis multiple times, since it’s not new anymore.\n\nBut the reason they’re not new is because markets have validated the thesis and are repricing the stocks live because of them.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Here's a bunch of random 30 US-available random stocks I like today and why:  \n\n1. $INTC - America's hope for foundry, national security\n2. $MRVL - scales rev from future maia asics and add ons like cpo, they do everything lost count\n3. $TSM - backbone of semis/ai\n4. $COHR - They", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0126916576148699, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0126916576148699, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01469533185013061, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015639013186415918, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0029473555715460176, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01639859606872396, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01639859606872396, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009851646913787704, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.003009153223329175, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013389442845394783, "ret_p1w": -0.08921837535508126, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08921837535508126, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09831930727976257, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06446046005902861, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "bench_c_p1w": -0.024757915296052646, "ret_p1m": 0.24233470204808683, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.24233470204808683, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.20704571514284642, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2667557675291724, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02442106548108558, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3788, -0.3915, -0.4063, -0.4254, -0.3851, -0.369, -0.4037, -0.4648, -0.4461, -0.4348, -0.4823, -0.5359, -0.459, -0.4164, -0.4233, -0.4433, -0.4362, -0.3842, -0.3842, -0.3873, -0.3604, -0.3239, -0.3848, -0.3679, -0.3555, -0.3332, -0.341, -0.4271, -0.4282, -0.4546, -0.3856, -0.399, -0.4387, -0.4035, -0.3941, -0.2963, -0.3212, -0.2903, -0.1842, -0.2691, -0.2551, -0.2365, -0.261, -0.2828, -0.278, -0.2769, -0.3342, -0.3665, -0.4203, -0.3481, -0.3594, -0.3163, -0.3163, -0.2929, -0.2624, -0.2146, -0.1434, -0.0892, -0.0289, 0.0175, 0.0478, 0.0388, -0.0127, 0.0, -0.0164, -0.019, -0.0131, -0.0754, -0.0892, -0.1486, -0.1129, -0.1315, -0.0293, 0.1084, 0.1053, 0.2257, 0.1609, 0.1124, 0.1693, 0.1253, 0.3023, 0.3895, 0.3819, 0.2557, 0.2423, 0.2052, 0.3818, 0.3494, 0.3494, 0.3072, 0.3092, 0.4221, 0.4519, 0.4519, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2045965735386820934", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2026-04-19T20:40:18+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the same thesis around $LITE or $NBIS or $AXTI from last year is still the same", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Reaffirms unchanged long-term long theses on MRVL, AMD, ARM, LITE, NBIS, and AXTI despite short-term entry-point adjustments.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Wow, majority of these 30 stocks I’ve liked are up a lot in just two weeks (just a recap to new folks)\n\nBy the way, my long term opinion doesn’t change on any of them from $MRVL, $AMD, $ARM and others.\n\nShort term entry points do though with names like $AAOI to $AEHR. And they make the difference between +10-20%. \n\nI focus a lot about the “undiscovered” ones like Riber or $SIVE or $RPI or $IQE in analysis when I make a new entry -> wait for it to play out.\n\nBut the same thesis around $LITE or $NBIS or $AXTI from last year is still the same. \n\nAnd I don’t need to post that same thesis multiple times, since it’s not new anymore.\n\nBut the reason they’re not new is because markets have validated the thesis and are repricing the stocks live because of them.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Here's a bunch of random 30 US-available random stocks I like today and why:  \n\n1. $INTC - America's hope for foundry, national security\n2. $MRVL - scales rev from future maia asics and add ons like cpo, they do everything lost count\n3. $TSM - backbone of semis/ai\n4. $COHR - They", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04824778211395242, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04824778211395242, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04624410787869171, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.047816684151380295, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0004310979625721245, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04812088385893909, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04812088385893909, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.041573934704002835, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04962966095162735, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0015087770926882627, "ret_p1w": -0.10931945628263084, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10931945628263084, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11842038820731215, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.20049115015624464, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "bench_c_p1w": 0.09117169387361379, "ret_p1m": 0.43321475611656846, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.43321475611656846, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.39792576921132805, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2607860295216722, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "bench_c_p1m": 0.17242872659489628, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7489, -0.7725, -0.7791, -0.774, -0.7816, -0.7863, -0.792, -0.7646, -0.7341, -0.7494, -0.7619, -0.7406, -0.6945, -0.6474, -0.6908, -0.6597, -0.6852, -0.6922, -0.6922, -0.7053, -0.7011, -0.6977, -0.6232, -0.639, -0.5546, -0.4798, -0.5287, -0.5188, -0.4119, -0.4698, -0.5032, -0.5074, -0.589, -0.5104, -0.4375, -0.3987, -0.4067, -0.3796, -0.3856, -0.4368, -0.3809, -0.2624, -0.3113, -0.1818, -0.131, -0.1449, -0.2571, -0.2302, -0.3305, -0.2765, -0.4015, -0.3291, -0.3291, -0.4669, -0.4228, -0.3248, -0.1986, -0.1851, -0.1563, -0.1455, -0.201, 0.0383, 0.0482, 0.0, -0.0481, 0.1039, -0.0443, -0.033, -0.1093, -0.1276, -0.0976, 0.0058, 0.2189, 0.3459, 0.3655, 0.331, 0.3766, 0.4774, 0.5974, 0.5604, 0.5482, 0.4599, 0.5716, 0.3443, 0.4332, 0.3282, 0.5366, 0.7881, 0.7881, 0.6836, 0.5588, 0.469, 0.3098, 0.3098, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2048087918158471282", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-25T17:13:05+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "By the time they do, you miss out on all the upside", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish RKLB and AMD: sentiment-driven skepticism creates early-entry opportunities before eventual validation; waiting costs upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "You had the media/banks/analysts going after $RKLB because everyone thought they couldn't compete against SpaceX.\n\nThen you have the media going against $AMD because they couldn't compete against $INTC (and now $NVDA).\n\nThey were genuinely the leaders in the space, as seen with Rocketlab success with their small reusable rockets.\n\nBut it's hard to find because sentiment is always going against these small players until they get \"validated\". \n\nBy the time they do, you miss out on all the upside.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Just follow the leader boys", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jonesrrrrrr", "ret_m1d": -0.03171710513201709, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03171710513201709, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.029997261600909986, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.031485273427151905, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0017198435311071014, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0002318317048651819, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.044962991086059945, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.044962991086059945, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04009704235791378, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.036093946810273114, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004865948728146163, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00886904427578683, "ret_p1w": -0.024061287336308523, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.024061287336308523, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.028032408780628848, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.015192243060521693, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003971121444320325, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00886904427578683, "ret_p1m": 0.74018708658468, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.74018708658468, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6906603379910352, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.7298108266465873, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04952674859364481, "bench_c_p1m": 0.010376259938092769, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0763, 0.0412, -0.027, -0.0989, -0.0124, -0.1116, -0.1941, -0.1212, -0.0784, -0.1247, -0.154, -0.1978, -0.1805, -0.1805, -0.1507, -0.0956, -0.0694, -0.1389, -0.1468, -0.1497, -0.1469, -0.1171, -0.1603, -0.1376, -0.1478, -0.1261, -0.1493, -0.148, -0.1314, -0.1624, -0.1255, -0.1692, -0.1687, -0.1334, -0.045, -0.1557, -0.1259, -0.183, -0.1737, -0.1971, -0.1144, -0.1987, -0.2596, -0.3027, -0.2196, -0.2038, -0.1769, -0.1769, -0.1777, -0.1941, -0.1605, -0.189, -0.173, -0.1418, -0.1224, -0.1056, 0.0078, 0.0305, 0.0871, 0.0529, 0.0942, 0.0281, -0.0317, 0.0, -0.045, -0.064, 0.0027, -0.0423, -0.0241, -0.0429, 0.0287, -0.0451, 0.2817, 0.4261, 0.4286, 0.5087, 0.6108, 0.5162, 0.5939, 0.5471, 0.6318, 0.5245, 0.6498, 0.6498, 0.7402, 0.8256, 0.7989, 0.7436, 0.7436, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2048087918158471282", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-25T17:13:05+00:00", "symbol": "AMD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "By the time they do, you miss out on all the upside", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish RKLB and AMD: sentiment-driven skepticism creates early-entry opportunities before eventual validation; waiting costs upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "You had the media/banks/analysts going after $RKLB because everyone thought they couldn't compete against SpaceX.\n\nThen you have the media going against $AMD because they couldn't compete against $INTC (and now $NVDA).\n\nThey were genuinely the leaders in the space, as seen with Rocketlab success with their small reusable rockets.\n\nBut it's hard to find because sentiment is always going against these small players until they get \"validated\". \n\nBy the time they do, you miss out on all the upside.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Just follow the leader boys", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jonesrrrrrr", "ret_m1d": 0.03938676294254262, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03938676294254262, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04110660647364972, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04110660647364972, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0017198435311071014, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0017198435311071014, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03412728464601866, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03412728464601866, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0292613359178725, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0292613359178725, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004865948728146163, "bench_c_p1d": -0.004865948728146163, "ret_p1w": 0.02064968341535689, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.02064968341535689, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.016678561971036565, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.016678561971036565, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003971121444320325, "bench_c_p1w": 0.003971121444320325, "ret_p1m": 0.5058124116063647, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5058124116063647, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4562856630127199, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4562856630127199, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04952674859364481, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04952674859364481, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2447, -0.2464, -0.2926, -0.2641, -0.2765, -0.4018, -0.4247, -0.3771, -0.3545, -0.3618, -0.3617, -0.3846, -0.3805, -0.3805, -0.3931, -0.402, -0.3923, -0.4019, -0.4125, -0.361, -0.3699, -0.3913, -0.4017, -0.4064, -0.4294, -0.3961, -0.404, -0.4249, -0.3943, -0.3927, -0.3879, -0.4091, -0.4221, -0.4125, -0.4134, -0.4039, -0.3866, -0.3984, -0.3943, -0.3863, -0.3418, -0.3911, -0.3964, -0.4142, -0.3921, -0.3718, -0.35, -0.35, -0.342, -0.338, -0.3072, -0.2928, -0.2677, -0.2624, -0.2378, -0.2286, -0.1685, -0.1681, -0.1783, -0.1498, -0.0931, -0.0876, 0.0394, 0.0, -0.0341, 0.0074, 0.0593, 0.0774, 0.0206, 0.0617, 0.2593, 0.2206, 0.3603, 0.371, 0.3397, 0.3313, 0.3439, 0.2674, 0.2581, 0.2373, 0.3375, 0.3435, 0.3971, 0.3971, 0.5058, 0.4809, 0.5482, 0.5423, 0.5423, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2049592634398875731", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-29T20:52:18+00:00", "symbol": "semiconductors", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "all the semi supply chain names still likely to keep going brr next quarter, since there's so much capex funneled into them", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish US semi supply chain sector next quarter on massive hyperscaler capex ramp from META, MSFT, AMZN.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMH"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "US semiconductors proxied by SMH ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I've monitored the situation for you.\n\nTLDR on hyperscaler capex spend (signal aside from $TSM). \n\nFrom $MSFT, $AMZN, $META earnings: \n\nUpstream semi supply chains go brrr.\n\n$META: 2026 FY capex $115-$135B\nRevised Q1 ER: $125B-$145B capex raised. \n\n-> Higher component prices (price hikes)\n-> Aggressive AI infra spending\n-> Custom Model Training\n\n$MSFT: was actually $31.9B vs ($35.29B) but due to supply chain bottlenecks, rather than lack of resources. \n\nStill waiting for confirmation around $AMZN but their original capex projection was ~$200B from Jassy's note earlier this year.\n\nSo you can sleep easy, all the semi supply chain names still likely to keep going brr next quarter, since there's so much capex funneled into them.  \n\nThen you get the new fed chair who is gung-ho all in on AI + rate cuts, with Jerome keeping stuff chill in the back (which markets probably like)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01675406409815572, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01675406409815572, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01690862907879176, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01690862907879176, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00015456498063604052, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00015456498063604052, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014292034990085911, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014292034990085911, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.004342407562881734, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004342407562881734, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009949627427204177, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009949627427204177, "ret_p1w": 0.10044442239901596, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10044442239901596, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06917597828081812, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06917597828081812, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03126844411819785, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03126844411819785, "ret_p1m": 0.20066862807178665, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.20066862807178665, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14021167669190815, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14021167669190815, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0604569513798785, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0604569513798785, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1924, -0.1834, -0.204, -0.2353, -0.2372, -0.196, -0.186, -0.1898, -0.1697, -0.1871, -0.1839, -0.1839, -0.1843, -0.1742, -0.1789, -0.1692, -0.1735, -0.161, -0.147, -0.1753, -0.1866, -0.1865, -0.2172, -0.2011, -0.2086, -0.2382, -0.2106, -0.2047, -0.1973, -0.2231, -0.2247, -0.2115, -0.2056, -0.212, -0.2095, -0.2299, -0.2166, -0.2102, -0.2013, -0.2377, -0.2509, -0.2743, -0.2326, -0.2154, -0.2147, -0.2147, -0.2074, -0.1995, -0.1534, -0.1387, -0.1255, -0.1126, -0.0952, -0.0932, -0.0896, -0.0709, -0.0713, -0.0699, -0.0455, -0.0355, 0.0137, 0.0134, -0.0168, 0.0, 0.0143, 0.0205, 0.0144, 0.0463, 0.1004, 0.0811, 0.134, 0.1536, 0.1234, 0.1459, 0.1577, 0.1136, 0.0932, 0.0888, 0.1303, 0.1367, 0.1536, 0.1536, 0.2053, 0.192, 0.2007, 0.1989, 0.1989, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2049991374813188605", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-30T23:16:45+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "retail shorts might turn out terribly wrong", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AXTI; institutions driving valuation, retail shorts risk being badly wrong, vertical integration and substrate scarcity support upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It’s majority institutions moving $AXTI at these valuations, retail shorts might turn out terribly wrong.\n\nIf AXT goes down from export controls the photonics buildout does too. (Eg. AXT -> IQE -> Macom/lite) and there are bigger problems to worry about. \n\nIf you just split out AXT’s 10+ upstream JVs into one merchant Western company it would probably be worth more strategically than 5N. \n\nAlso revenue numbers are misleading since these are TTM contracts, not new ones signed. All the upstream materials like 7n high purity indium has spiked immensely since last year. \n\nIt’s all vertically integrated so there might be a NAND style price hike off limited substrates, but unlike Sumitomo, AXT does the entire supply chain minus a few like red phosphorus. \n\nSo it’s more dangerous than you think.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Like I said in my replies, you nailed this trade and early. I'm jealous I didn't buy it in the low teens when I first had it hit my radar. I do think it's gotten way over done and they've used these moments to dilute shareholders multiple times. There's export risks, valuation", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ThematicTrader", "ret_m1d": -0.10287807877171562, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10287807877171562, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09302647116971041, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08878742785752836, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009851607602005208, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014090650914187264, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.21181517950938433, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.21181517950938433, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.20904606568101336, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.2056973904028805, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027691138283709726, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006117789106503846, "ret_p1w": 0.36859374524487065, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.36859374524487065, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.3506157801040264, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.3027191512189371, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017977965140844265, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06587459402593354, "ret_p1m": 0.3021964412082063, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3021964412082063, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2495707089599839, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1202221926430389, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05262573224822242, "bench_c_p1m": 0.18197424856516742, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7357, -0.7508, -0.7633, -0.7421, -0.6963, -0.6495, -0.6926, -0.6617, -0.6871, -0.694, -0.694, -0.707, -0.7029, -0.6994, -0.6253, -0.6411, -0.5572, -0.4828, -0.5314, -0.5216, -0.4153, -0.4729, -0.5061, -0.5102, -0.5914, -0.5133, -0.4408, -0.4022, -0.4101, -0.3832, -0.3892, -0.44, -0.3845, -0.2667, -0.3153, -0.1866, -0.1361, -0.1498, -0.2614, -0.2347, -0.3344, -0.2807, -0.4049, -0.333, -0.333, -0.47, -0.4262, -0.3287, -0.2032, -0.1899, -0.1612, -0.1505, -0.2056, 0.0323, 0.0422, -0.0058, -0.0536, 0.0975, -0.0499, -0.0386, -0.1145, -0.1327, -0.1029, 0.0, 0.2118, 0.338, 0.3576, 0.3233, 0.3686, 0.4688, 0.5881, 0.5514, 0.5393, 0.4514, 0.5625, 0.3365, 0.4249, 0.3205, 0.5276, 0.7777, 0.7777, 0.6738, 0.5497, 0.4605, 0.3022, 0.3022, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2041613317723320561", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-07T20:25:20+00:00", "symbol": "AEHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is bullish for $AEHR and I expect sometime this quarter we'll see how much revenue that translates to", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish AEHR on confirmed near-term production ramp and significant follow-up orders; expects revenue translation this quarter.", "resolved_tickers": ["AEHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@r99rr99r In $AEHR ER, they confirmed near term production ramp, and “signficiant” follow up orders. \n\nThis is bullish for $AEHR and I expect sometime this quarter we’ll see how much revenue that translates to.\n\nI wouldn’t look at today’s numbers to price in future earnings.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit So long-term buy, short-term uncertainty?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "r99rr99r", "ret_m1d": 0.038009947212181316, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.038009947212181316, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.038449827738000986, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.047812355239151505, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0004398805258196692, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009802408026970189, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.25691541984899713, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.25691541984899713, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.23144586521066945, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.19935097903230425, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.025469554638327674, "bench_c_p1d": 0.057564440816692874, "ret_p1w": 0.4801989503167754, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.4801989503167754, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.4267417541824652, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.34991636242305835, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.053457196134310214, "bench_c_p1w": 0.13028258789371705, "ret_p1m": 0.9249751911827582, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.9249751911827582, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.8117959039910496, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5502314598589402, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.11317928719170856, "bench_c_p1m": 0.374743731323818, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5483, -0.4762, -0.4756, -0.4665, -0.4832, -0.472, -0.4267, -0.4267, -0.4217, -0.4189, -0.3849, -0.442, -0.4671, -0.4478, -0.4432, -0.4651, -0.4898, -0.4814, -0.4589, -0.5258, -0.5423, -0.4748, -0.4509, -0.4661, -0.3264, -0.445, -0.4261, -0.4261, -0.433, -0.4227, -0.3976, -0.3313, -0.317, -0.2193, -0.1745, -0.208, -0.2551, -0.1238, -0.1713, -0.151, -0.1942, -0.2913, -0.1865, -0.165, -0.1552, -0.2507, -0.2901, -0.2541, -0.2619, -0.2774, -0.2486, -0.313, -0.2607, -0.2201, -0.2233, -0.312, -0.3528, -0.4006, -0.2621, -0.2119, -0.118, -0.118, 0.038, 0.0, 0.2569, 0.3703, 0.4016, 0.4261, 0.4802, 0.4571, 0.609, 0.6689, 0.794, 0.8651, 0.9375, 0.9007, 0.9087, 0.7608, 0.6404, 0.6281, 0.8022, 0.8521, 0.7037, 0.8147, 0.925, 0.8161, 0.9349, 1.0808, 0.9248, 1.0547, 1.1162, 0.9801, 0.6631, 0.6147, 0.6386, 0.8169, 0.8909, 0.8909, 1.1875, 1.0661, 0.9899, 0.8374, 0.8374, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2038620067135713761", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-30T14:11:14+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I personally bought a decent amount of $AAOI at ~$84 just now, $6.6B MC feels way too cheap for me, especially with their new $500m warchest", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bought AAOI at ~$84; $6.6B MC seen as too cheap given new $500M warchest.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@mi20483980476 I personally bought a decent amount of $AAOI at ~$84 just now, $6.6B MC feels way too cheap for me, especially with their new $500m warchest.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Are you a buyer here?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mi20483980476", "ret_m1d": 0.1528347959846763, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.1528347959846763, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.14948011735970157, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.14948011735970157, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007043151617800558, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007043151617800558, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03611107731671537, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03611107731671537, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "ret_p1w": 0.26129820247565294, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.26129820247565294, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.21863791286939094, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.21863791286939094, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "bench_c_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "ret_p1m": 0.6112218637538305, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6112218637538305, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.48507657927206105, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.48507657927206105, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5908, -0.5908, -0.5352, -0.5893, -0.5468, -0.5533, -0.6125, -0.6004, -0.6042, -0.5988, -0.5954, -0.5657, -0.5652, -0.5652, -0.5391, -0.5495, -0.5522, -0.5807, -0.5904, -0.5611, -0.4691, -0.5355, -0.4881, -0.4816, -0.4586, -0.5316, -0.5524, -0.48, -0.4376, -0.4308, -0.4319, -0.4836, -0.4781, -0.4781, -0.4846, -0.4901, -0.4485, -0.3934, -0.3666, -0.3395, -0.3178, -0.3698, -0.0113, 0.2033, 0.1191, 0.1704, 0.1872, 0.122, 0.2985, 0.4144, 0.4909, 0.2465, 0.1364, 0.1042, 0.0134, 0.0873, 0.1964, 0.0276, 0.1241, 0.337, 0.343, 0.1436, 0.1528, 0.0, -0.007, 0.0136, 0.2197, 0.2197, 0.2613, 0.3809, 0.5577, 0.5647, 0.7678, 0.7982, 0.7184, 0.6733, 0.8467, 0.8713, 0.9189, 0.7675, 0.754, 0.6167, 0.9036, 0.7112, 0.6112, 0.794, 0.9293, 1.1541, 1.0305, 1.1196, 1.0958, 0.8494, 0.7483, 1.1704, 1.2101, 1.6189, 1.3896, 1.2345, 1.0338, 1.0112, 0.9399, 1.0755, 1.1304, 1.1304, 1.085, 1.1109, 0.984, 0.8595, 0.8595, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2041612047058924009", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-07T20:20:17+00:00", "symbol": "AEHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is what is expected with $AEHR transitioning from qualification to mass volume like $AAOI and we got that confirmation. H2 is probably more confirmation around siph customer volume ramp into 2027", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish AEHR: hyperscaler volume ramp confirmed, transitioning from qualification to mass production, follow-on order expected in FY2027.", "resolved_tickers": ["AEHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AEHR earnings:\n\n- Current Backlog: $38.7 million as of the end of the quarter, with an \"effective backlog\" of $50.9 million\n\n-H2 FY26 Guidance: Reiterated expectations for $25 million to $30 million in revenue for the second half of the year\n\nThoughts on earnings: \n\nCan just ignore current earnings, main indicators are around hyperscaler volume ramp H2. \n\nVolume ramp indication confirmations: \n\n1. \"We are seeing significant forecasts from our lead hyperscale customer for our Sonoma systems for high-volume production burn-in of their custom AI processor ASICs\"\n\n2. \"We expect a significant near-term follow-on production order from this customer for a large number of systems to be shipped during Aehr's fiscal year 2027\"\n\nThis is what is expected with $AEHR transitioning from qualification to mass volume like $AAOI and we got that confirmation.\n\nH2 is probably more confirmation around siph customer volume ramp into 2027.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.038009947212181316, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.038009947212181316, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.038449827738000986, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.047812355239151505, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0004398805258196692, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009802408026970189, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.25691541984899713, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.25691541984899713, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.23144586521066945, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.19935097903230425, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.025469554638327674, "bench_c_p1d": 0.057564440816692874, "ret_p1w": 0.4801989503167754, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.4801989503167754, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.4267417541824652, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.34991636242305835, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.053457196134310214, "bench_c_p1w": 0.13028258789371705, "ret_p1m": 0.9249751911827582, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.9249751911827582, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.8117959039910496, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5502314598589402, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.11317928719170856, "bench_c_p1m": 0.374743731323818, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5483, -0.4762, -0.4756, -0.4665, -0.4832, -0.472, -0.4267, -0.4267, -0.4217, -0.4189, -0.3849, -0.442, -0.4671, -0.4478, -0.4432, -0.4651, -0.4898, -0.4814, -0.4589, -0.5258, -0.5423, -0.4748, -0.4509, -0.4661, -0.3264, -0.445, -0.4261, -0.4261, -0.433, -0.4227, -0.3976, -0.3313, -0.317, -0.2193, -0.1745, -0.208, -0.2551, -0.1238, -0.1713, -0.151, -0.1942, -0.2913, -0.1865, -0.165, -0.1552, -0.2507, -0.2901, -0.2541, -0.2619, -0.2774, -0.2486, -0.313, -0.2607, -0.2201, -0.2233, -0.312, -0.3528, -0.4006, -0.2621, -0.2119, -0.118, -0.118, 0.038, 0.0, 0.2569, 0.3703, 0.4016, 0.4261, 0.4802, 0.4571, 0.609, 0.6689, 0.794, 0.8651, 0.9375, 0.9007, 0.9087, 0.7608, 0.6404, 0.6281, 0.8022, 0.8521, 0.7037, 0.8147, 0.925, 0.8161, 0.9349, 1.0808, 0.9248, 1.0547, 1.1162, 0.9801, 0.6631, 0.6147, 0.6386, 0.8169, 0.8909, 0.8909, 1.1875, 1.0661, 0.9899, 0.8374, 0.8374, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2046419572203683922", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-21T02:43:41+00:00", "symbol": "ARM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Bullish on $ARM, given the new bottleneck shifting back to CPUs... $15B annual revenue target.. Starting to look reasonable?", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long ARM on inference shift back to CPUs, edge AI rollout, and ARM-based hyperscaler chips driving toward $15B revenue target.", "resolved_tickers": ["ARM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bullish on $ARM, given the new bottleneck shifting back to CPUs. MS shows stuff like Orchestration/RAG requiring CPUs. \n\nBut I'm predicting parts of localized inference to be handled by CPUs more and more... as models like Gemma get  lightweight in the future. \n\nNot every robot needs to be able to solve the mysteries of the universe. \n\nData centers will need an astronomical amount of traditional CPU compute (AWS Graviton, $GOOGL Axion, and $MSFT Cobalt), which are all ARM based.\n\n$META + OpenAI are also buyers of the AGI CPU.\n\nAnd AI will flow down to edge. \n\n$15B annual revenue target.. Starting to look reasonable?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "FYI: I went long on $ARM at $139. \n\nGenuinely a compelling long at $143B MC as markets shift more from training -&gt; inference. \n\nThen $ARM AI CPUs cannibalize the market for inference and $NVDA market share. \n\nEspecially as LLMs get more lightweight. \n\nThe projections to https://t.co/xvoSrRw1cu", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.002222345304238038, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.002222345304238038, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.008812439470607725, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0007158411904467643, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006590094166369687, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0015065041137912738, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.12012081127820018, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.12012081127820018, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10999411444012952, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09392965470298087, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010126696838070659, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02619115657521931, "ret_p1w": 0.13197326160105716, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.13197326160105716, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12116485180835102, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07483473540185503, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010808409792706142, "bench_c_p1w": 0.05713852619920212, "ret_p1m": 0.4629323776294978, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4629323776294978, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4101401068535284, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.24772132289206517, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.052792270775969374, "bench_c_p1m": 0.21521105473743263, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3208, -0.3386, -0.3462, -0.3454, -0.3734, -0.3821, -0.3996, -0.3907, -0.4042, -0.4022, -0.3682, -0.2951, -0.2899, -0.2823, -0.2861, -0.3037, -0.2861, -0.2861, -0.2769, -0.2749, -0.2767, -0.2844, -0.2947, -0.2698, -0.2493, -0.2634, -0.2737, -0.2913, -0.3064, -0.2928, -0.3127, -0.3482, -0.3297, -0.3131, -0.3156, -0.344, -0.3404, -0.3065, -0.2745, -0.2686, -0.2602, -0.2458, -0.22, -0.231, -0.105, -0.1179, -0.1787, -0.2196, -0.138, -0.1164, -0.1503, -0.1503, -0.1523, -0.1802, -0.1515, -0.1464, -0.1513, -0.1021, -0.0813, -0.092, -0.075, -0.0499, -0.0022, 0.0, 0.1201, 0.1659, 0.338, 0.2302, 0.132, 0.1493, 0.1985, 0.2034, 0.1582, 0.19, 0.3522, 0.2155, 0.2153, 0.2117, 0.1848, 0.2605, 0.3021, 0.1919, 0.2258, 0.2716, 0.4629, 0.6994, 0.7466, 0.7466, 0.8304, 0.7249, 0.9105, 1.0132, 1.0132, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2049528030171988163", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-29T16:35:35+00:00", "symbol": "MSSCorp", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I personally just entered MSSCorp recently", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Just entered MSSCorp; bullish on fundamentals and market cap rather than chart performance.", "resolved_tickers": ["6830.TW"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "MSSCorp (6830) TWSE-listed CPO yields inspection company", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@forget8106 I’d disagree, I personally just entered MSSCorp recently. \n\nIt’s better to look at fundamentals and MC rather than just looking at the chart to see how much it ran up.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit imo only reasonable ones to enter now are towa and probably lpk on a pullback\n\nlong term obviously all early in their journey but the rest of these have ran/priced in imo", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "aphexinvests", "ret_m1d": -0.07373868046571797, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07373868046571797, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.073893245446354, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.056984616367562246, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00015456498063604052, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01675406409815572, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09961190168175937, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09961190168175937, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0896622742545552, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08531986669167346, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009949627427204177, "bench_c_p1d": 0.014292034990085911, "ret_p1w": 0.13583441138421737, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.13583441138421737, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10456596726601952, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.035389988985201404, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03126844411819785, "bench_c_p1w": 0.10044442239901596, "ret_p1m": -0.11254851228978002, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11254851228978002, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.17300546366965852, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.31321714036156667, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0604569513798785, "bench_c_p1m": 0.20066862807178665, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.772, -0.763, -0.7565, -0.7326, -0.7061, -0.7352, -0.7087, -0.7132, -0.7178, -0.7178, -0.7178, -0.7178, -0.7178, -0.7178, -0.7178, -0.7178, -0.7074, -0.6952, -0.6648, -0.6319, -0.6319, -0.595, -0.5989, -0.575, -0.533, -0.4865, -0.5008, -0.513, -0.4924, -0.4988, -0.5485, -0.5414, -0.5201, -0.5033, -0.4588, -0.4187, -0.411, -0.4698, -0.4433, -0.3877, -0.4388, -0.4161, -0.3961, -0.3361, -0.2702, -0.2702, -0.2702, -0.2224, -0.1449, -0.1617, -0.0944, -0.0039, 0.0349, 0.0259, 0.0414, 0.1449, 0.1203, 0.1332, 0.1514, 0.0388, -0.0647, -0.1578, -0.0737, 0.0, 0.0996, 0.0996, 0.1966, 0.2613, 0.1358, 0.1307, 0.0181, -0.0246, 0.0091, -0.0349, -0.0595, -0.0492, -0.0466, -0.0789, -0.1151, -0.1035, -0.0737, 0.0181, 0.0065, -0.0686, -0.1125, -0.1229, -0.1216, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2048459173185327358", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-04-26T17:48:20+00:00", "symbol": "Shunsin", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Shunsin for optical test/packaging", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Would open new positions in SIVE (CPO/1.6T lasers), LPK (glass core substrates), Shunsin (optical test/packaging), HPS.A, and SOI this week.", "resolved_tickers": ["6451.TW"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Shunsin Technology listed on TWSE as 6451.TW", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TW')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@wdh37 $SIVE for CPO/1.6T lasers\n$LPK for glass core substrates\nShunsin for optical test/packaging.\n\nMany others I like though like $HPS.A or $SOI.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit If you were opening new positions this week which 3 would you be opening into", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "wdh37", "ret_m1d": 0.059288537549407216, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.059288537549407216, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06100838108051432, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.050816896144756596, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0017198435311071014, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00847164140465062, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06719367588932812, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06719367588932812, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07205962461747428, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06845298455873983, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004865948728146163, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0012593086694117073, "ret_p1w": 0.24901185770750978, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.24901185770750978, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.24504073626318945, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.21398031516094806, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003971121444320325, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03503154254656171, "ret_p1m": 0.6653491436100132, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6653491436100132, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6158223950163684, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.49603029788720376, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04952674859364481, "bench_c_p1m": 0.16931884572280942, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5797, -0.5534, -0.5758, -0.5455, -0.5007, -0.4519, -0.4783, -0.5296, -0.5441, -0.5323, -0.5626, -0.5626, -0.5626, -0.5626, -0.5626, -0.5626, -0.5626, -0.5626, -0.5191, -0.4717, -0.444, -0.4493, -0.4493, -0.4611, -0.4532, -0.5072, -0.4862, -0.4993, -0.5494, -0.5455, -0.5007, -0.4835, -0.4321, -0.3755, -0.3136, -0.2648, -0.2833, -0.2767, -0.2609, -0.2358, -0.1594, -0.1252, -0.0382, -0.1344, -0.22, -0.1963, -0.2213, -0.2213, -0.2213, -0.1436, -0.058, 0.0356, 0.1383, 0.2516, 0.2543, 0.2016, 0.3017, 0.3307, 0.336, 0.249, 0.307, 0.1765, 0.0593, 0.0, 0.0672, 0.0474, 0.1357, 0.1357, 0.249, 0.3729, 0.2582, 0.2912, 0.1621, 0.2003, 0.2029, 0.2596, 0.3834, 0.5204, 0.3702, 0.2754, 0.2793, 0.3149, 0.3808, 0.5178, 0.6653, 0.5863, 0.4993, 0.502, 0.6153, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2038954532944875733", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-31T12:20:17+00:00", "symbol": "MRVL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "validates Marvell and Celestial AI's optical fabric CPO roadmap", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "NVDA's $2B investment validates MRVL's CPO roadmap; SIVE flagged as overlooked light-source supplier beneficiary.", "resolved_tickers": ["MRVL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just in: $NVDA invests $2B in $MRVL.\n\nThis deal is largely for “joint silicon photonics work” and validates Marvell and Celestial AI's optical fabric CPO roadmap.\n\nBut… guess who powers the light source for $MRVL that markets might have missed? (Hint: $SIVE) https://t.co/9lqJLIx7nG", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.11347802813553998, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11347802813553998, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08523117972738214, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08523117972738214, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.028246848408157832, "bench_c_m1d": -0.028246848408157832, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0773346652090221, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0773346652090221, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06980020142613208, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06980020142613208, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007534463782890022, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007534463782890022, "ret_p1w": 0.10429073689295154, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10429073689295154, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09063642763784907, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09063642763784907, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01365430925510247, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01365430925510247, "ret_p1m": 0.581508156556942, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.581508156556942, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4873420469750309, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4873420469750309, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09416610958191107, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09416610958191107, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1427, -0.0982, -0.0897, -0.1099, -0.1461, -0.1581, -0.1598, -0.1631, -0.1615, -0.1801, -0.1885, -0.1877, -0.1877, -0.1943, -0.1666, -0.161, -0.19, -0.1745, -0.1627, -0.1558, -0.1788, -0.2032, -0.2059, -0.2374, -0.2556, -0.2508, -0.1895, -0.1686, -0.172, -0.1788, -0.2102, -0.2064, -0.2064, -0.2023, -0.2015, -0.1963, -0.1976, -0.2146, -0.2086, -0.183, -0.1995, -0.1753, -0.1836, -0.2175, -0.2116, -0.2359, -0.0957, -0.0646, -0.0581, -0.0869, -0.1149, -0.113, -0.0754, -0.0834, -0.1154, -0.0961, -0.1125, -0.0898, -0.0675, -0.0061, -0.0138, -0.0421, -0.1135, 0.0, 0.0773, 0.0814, 0.0814, 0.1056, 0.1043, 0.1555, 0.2108, 0.2979, 0.3263, 0.3518, 0.3596, 0.3472, 0.411, 0.4933, 0.5284, 0.5891, 0.6723, 0.6597, 0.5981, 0.5478, 0.5815, 0.6682, 0.6662, 0.6531, 0.7045, 0.7389, 0.6163, 0.7185, 0.7256, 0.6616, 0.7975, 0.8442, 0.7868, 0.7064, 0.7805, 0.8869, 0.9262, 0.9831, 0.9831, 1.1036, 1.0071, 1.069, 1.0707, 1.0707, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2054524864866980010", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-13T11:31:13+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Glad my high conviction Neocloud pick is performing wonders and happy management is executing so well", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds high-conviction long NBIS; stellar earnings, $7-9B ARR 2026 target, 40% EBITDA margins vastly outperforming expectations.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NBIS earnings were stellar and it’s now trading $200+ premarket.\n\nReiterated $7-9B ARR in 2026. 40% adj. EBITDA margin projections, which is vastly outperforming expectations. \n\n4 GW contracted capacity. $6.3B capital secured by $NVDA off solid financial offering structures. \n\nGlad my high conviction Neocloud pick is performing wonders and happy management is executing so well. \n\nIn the words of Jensen: “Nebius will take care of you”", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.13586145164107988, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.13586145164107988, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1302977317714893, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.12815331949468933, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005563719869590589, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007708132146390545, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06696574196900151, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06696574196900151, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05907148570027876, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06396815317388715, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007894256268722755, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0029975887951143587, "ret_p1w": -0.0745404382195739, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0745404382195739, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0731124666684968, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06888778619804248, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0014279715510771007, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0056526520215314235, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5271, -0.5271, -0.5295, -0.5089, -0.4808, -0.5276, -0.5146, -0.5051, -0.488, -0.494, -0.56, -0.5609, -0.5812, -0.5282, -0.5385, -0.569, -0.542, -0.5348, -0.4597, -0.4787, -0.4551, -0.3735, -0.4388, -0.428, -0.4137, -0.4325, -0.4493, -0.4456, -0.4447, -0.4887, -0.5136, -0.5549, -0.4994, -0.5081, -0.475, -0.475, -0.457, -0.4336, -0.3969, -0.3423, -0.3006, -0.2543, -0.2187, -0.1954, -0.2023, -0.2419, -0.2321, -0.2447, -0.2467, -0.2421, -0.29, -0.3006, -0.3462, -0.3188, -0.3331, -0.2546, -0.1488, -0.1513, -0.0588, -0.1086, -0.1458, -0.1021, -0.1359, 0.0, 0.067, 0.0611, -0.0358, -0.046, -0.0745, 0.0611, 0.0362, 0.0362, 0.0038, 0.0053, 0.092, 0.1149, 0.1149, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2044958395485311178", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-17T01:57:29+00:00", "symbol": "PCL Technologies", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I expect PCL Technologies (4977) to double as well. Since they're doing everything in $AVGO photonics ecosystem for assembly, optical, testing.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Expects PCL Technologies (4977) to double on AVGO photonics ecosystem assembly/optical/testing work.", "resolved_tickers": ["4977.TW"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "PCL Technologies (4977) TWSE-listed in AVGO photonics ecosystem", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TW')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I actually don’t have positions but gave some slight DD away for subscribers earlier.\n\nI expect PCL Technologies (4977) to double as well.\n\nSince they’re doing everything in $AVGO photonics ecosystem for assembly, optical, testing.\n\nThink I mentioned this around ~$450M MC? https://t.co/vmgilSKANV", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Shunsin (6451). Foxconn’s optical packaging/assembly arm.\n\nPreviously 15-16% gross margins as OSAT but CPO/1.6T could be 30-35%, which brings blended up. \n\nSince they’re doing harder FAU optical alignment in $NVDA CPO supply chains.\n\nCompared to $FN or $ASX that trades in the", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08917197452229297, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08917197452229297, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07723060897608536, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.066701381886483, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011941365546207616, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02247059263580997, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02547770700636942, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02547770700636942, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.027477374559275125, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02103171912172308, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.001999667552905704, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004445987884646341, "ret_p1w": -0.0849256900212314, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0849256900212314, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0902767302591907, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.14344521712712588, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0053510402379592925, "bench_c_p1w": 0.058519527105894475, "ret_p1m": -0.11252653927813161, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.11252653927813161, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.15267356546667732, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.21514611137930095, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04014702618854571, "bench_c_p1m": 0.10261957210116934, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.465, -0.4798, -0.4841, -0.4777, -0.4883, -0.4671, -0.414, -0.4204, -0.4501, -0.4416, -0.4352, -0.4225, -0.4246, -0.4607, -0.4416, -0.4098, -0.4671, -0.4671, -0.4671, -0.4671, -0.4671, -0.4671, -0.4671, -0.4671, -0.4459, -0.3907, -0.3312, -0.2654, -0.2654, -0.2611, -0.2696, -0.3227, -0.3163, -0.2909, -0.3609, -0.3588, -0.2951, -0.2781, -0.2059, -0.2102, -0.2399, -0.2038, -0.1847, -0.1486, -0.2144, -0.2293, -0.1529, -0.1677, -0.1507, -0.1932, -0.2484, -0.2251, -0.2442, -0.2442, -0.2442, -0.2038, -0.2081, -0.1975, -0.138, -0.1741, -0.1996, -0.172, -0.0892, 0.0, 0.0255, 0.0701, 0.0276, -0.0425, -0.0849, -0.1295, -0.0955, -0.1062, -0.0764, -0.0764, -0.0679, -0.0149, -0.0531, -0.0318, -0.0318, 0.0446, 0.1486, 0.034, 0.0, -0.0382, -0.1125, -0.138, -0.1465, -0.1316, -0.0679, -0.0212, 0.0, -0.0616, -0.1062, -0.1062, -0.0934, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2051070690032566401", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-03T22:45:34+00:00", "symbol": "HOOD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm not sure why anyone still uses Robinhood for investing anymore", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Recommends switching from Robinhood to IBKR for international equities; dismisses HOOD as no-longer relevant.", "resolved_tickers": ["HOOD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "US retail investors should switch from $HOOD to $IBKR for international equities. \n\nI’m not sure why anyone still uses Robinhood for investing anymore.\n\nUnless you have $50 and no clue what you’re doing.\n\nThey had their chance to innovate but focused on Melania Coin integrations", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit bro how do we buy these tickers 😭 they don't even show up in my brokerage", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03775309306904173, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03775309306904173, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04142994243399589, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.044344724046571526, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00367684936495416, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006591630977529794, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.006270355433095398, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006270355433095398, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.001751830451896863, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0060765143865992854, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008022185884992261, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00019384104649611267, "ret_p1w": 0.05525794329072764, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05525794329072764, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02560657668332711, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06301291637485185, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02965136660740053, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007754973084124206, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0532, -0.0506, 0.0819, 0.1308, 0.1182, 0.0185, -0.0709, -0.0076, -0.0076, -0.0145, -0.0175, -0.0118, -0.0057, -0.0623, -0.0413, 0.0128, 0.0379, -0.0091, 0.0291, -0.0063, 0.0739, 0.0524, 0.0071, 0.0366, 0.0259, 0.028, -0.0056, -0.0413, -0.0162, 0.0105, -0.0216, -0.0312, -0.0739, -0.053, -0.0976, -0.0524, -0.081, -0.1376, -0.1488, -0.0947, -0.0841, -0.0999, -0.0999, -0.0884, -0.0901, -0.0617, -0.084, -0.0961, -0.0637, 0.0332, 0.1407, 0.1346, 0.1855, 0.1924, 0.1291, 0.1552, 0.0913, 0.1066, 0.0967, 0.0721, -0.0699, -0.0478, -0.0378, 0.0, 0.0063, 0.0327, -0.0035, 0.0063, 0.0553, 0.0225, 0.0026, 0.0542, 0.0077, 0.0078, -0.0312, -0.0103, -0.0082, -0.038, -0.038, -0.0321, -0.0042, 0.1083, 0.2319, 0.2319, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2051070690032566401", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-03T22:45:34+00:00", "symbol": "IBKR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "US retail investors should switch from $HOOD to $IBKR for international equities", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Recommends switching from Robinhood to IBKR for international equities; dismisses HOOD as no-longer relevant.", "resolved_tickers": ["IBKR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "US retail investors should switch from $HOOD to $IBKR for international equities. \n\nI’m not sure why anyone still uses Robinhood for investing anymore.\n\nUnless you have $50 and no clue what you’re doing.\n\nThey had their chance to innovate but focused on Melania Coin integrations", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit bro how do we buy these tickers 😭 they don't even show up in my brokerage", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.015418528113179453, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.015418528113179453, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.019095377478133613, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019095377478133613, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00367684936495416, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00367684936495416, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.026798854731923782, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.026798854731923782, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.01877666884693152, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01877666884693152, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008022185884992261, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008022185884992261, "ret_p1w": 0.03903576105916762, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03903576105916762, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.009384394451767086, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.009384394451767086, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02965136660740053, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02965136660740053, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1023, -0.1506, -0.0882, -0.0414, -0.0563, -0.0667, -0.1069, -0.0863, -0.0863, -0.1041, -0.0844, -0.0956, -0.0906, -0.1255, -0.1209, -0.0997, -0.0886, -0.1289, -0.123, -0.1508, -0.1538, -0.1673, -0.1838, -0.1741, -0.1618, -0.1631, -0.1811, -0.19, -0.1645, -0.1602, -0.1624, -0.1717, -0.1988, -0.1698, -0.1909, -0.1596, -0.1899, -0.2144, -0.2206, -0.1793, -0.169, -0.1711, -0.1711, -0.1603, -0.1665, -0.1151, -0.1198, -0.1286, -0.0877, -0.0565, -0.0248, -0.0286, -0.0001, -0.0058, -0.0257, -0.0442, -0.0712, -0.0624, -0.0505, -0.0518, -0.0571, -0.0272, -0.0154, 0.0, 0.0268, 0.0651, 0.0244, 0.033, 0.039, 0.0351, 0.0416, 0.0803, 0.0646, 0.0538, 0.0212, 0.0253, 0.0258, -0.0045, -0.0045, 0.0143, -0.0094, 0.017, 0.0642, 0.0642, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2044544090549981244", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-15T22:31:11+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This announcement is the most bullish catalyst for $HIMS revenue re-acceleration to date. Short sellers are likely in trouble", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long HIMS: FDA peptide reclassification is a major bullish catalyst; high short interest, new acquisitions, and peptide subscription ARR potential signal forced short covering. Incidental bearish lean on NVO via lawsuit mention.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This announcement is the most bullish catalyst for $HIMS revenue re-acceleration to date.\n\nThis is amid:\n- 30%+ of the float sold short\n- new $NVO partnership/lawsuit dropped\n- new global acquisitions\n- recovering macro climate. \n\nThe share price is still $25, down from $70 last year. \n\nShort sellers are likely in trouble: \n\n$HIMS can capture market share at the ~70%-80% gross margins typical of their compounded products for the holy grail of the \"Grey Market\" TAM for peptides. \n\n- EG. Healing: BPC-157 and Thymosin beta-4\n- Hair & Skin: GHK-Cu\n- Weight Loss & Muscle: MOTS-c and Ibutamoren\n\nAnd now they're probably the world's largest independent DTC distribution network to date from their new acquisitions... \n\nSo just running a peptide protocol subscription between $150 to $300, for 200k subscribers is $360M+ in high-margin ARR. \n\nAs just one example, but now they have a worldwide net of customers. \n\nThey burned through capex last year to acquire peptide manufacturing facilities too... so now that's turned into a massive cash-cow business. \n\nI said $HIMS would need fundamental changes in order to force shorts to cover, and this is probably that signal as seen with market data. \n\nAnd $HIMS is turning into a fundamentally sound company after regulatory de-risking.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Today, we took long-overdue action to restore science, accountability, and the rule of law.\n\nIn September 2023, the Biden FDA pushed a number of peptides into Category 2 — “Bulk Drug Substances that Raise Significant Safety Risks” — driving a dangerous black market that puts", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.12062577993987578, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.12062577993987578, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11279656536486116, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.11279656536486116, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00782921457501462, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00782921457501462, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.11115680336861788, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.11115680336861788, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10869949174601357, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.10869949174601357, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002457311622604319, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002457311622604319, "ret_p1w": 0.19431861405724526, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.19431861405724526, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.17821720609093394, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.17821720609093394, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01610140796631132, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01610140796631132, "ret_p1m": -0.0020585073085450656, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0020585073085450656, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07096438538455563, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07096438538455563, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06890587807601056, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06890587807601056, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2919, 0.2919, 0.2544, 0.1894, 0.2565, 0.2194, 0.2466, 0.2219, 0.1803, 0.2297, 0.1153, 0.0885, 0.0515, 0.0045, -0.0333, -0.0523, -0.2042, -0.2902, -0.3129, -0.3495, -0.3289, -0.3289, -0.3302, -0.3479, -0.3487, -0.3565, -0.3615, -0.3635, -0.3487, -0.3578, -0.4022, -0.3215, -0.3487, -0.3228, -0.3462, -0.352, -0.0877, -0.0338, 0.0655, -0.0185, 0.0198, 0.0243, 0.0284, -0.0469, -0.0054, -0.0935, -0.0753, -0.1214, -0.142, -0.1412, -0.2021, -0.2268, -0.1453, -0.1832, -0.212, -0.212, -0.163, -0.1972, -0.2017, -0.1869, -0.2001, -0.1293, -0.1206, 0.0, 0.1112, 0.1865, 0.2767, 0.2252, 0.1943, 0.1589, 0.2581, 0.21, 0.149, 0.084, 0.1186, 0.1284, 0.1227, 0.084, 0.1066, 0.056, 0.1639, 0.1997, 0.0305, -0.0062, -0.0021, 0.0313, -0.0823, -0.0762, -0.0515, -0.0115, -0.0222, -0.0222, -0.0181, 0.0375, 0.0449, 0.0766, 0.0766, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2044544090549981244", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-15T22:31:11+00:00", "symbol": "NVO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "new $NVO partnership/lawsuit dropped", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long HIMS: FDA peptide reclassification is a major bullish catalyst; high short interest, new acquisitions, and peptide subscription ARR potential signal forced short covering. Incidental bearish lean on NVO via lawsuit mention.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This announcement is the most bullish catalyst for $HIMS revenue re-acceleration to date.\n\nThis is amid:\n- 30%+ of the float sold short\n- new $NVO partnership/lawsuit dropped\n- new global acquisitions\n- recovering macro climate. \n\nThe share price is still $25, down from $70 last year. \n\nShort sellers are likely in trouble: \n\n$HIMS can capture market share at the ~70%-80% gross margins typical of their compounded products for the holy grail of the \"Grey Market\" TAM for peptides. \n\n- EG. Healing: BPC-157 and Thymosin beta-4\n- Hair & Skin: GHK-Cu\n- Weight Loss & Muscle: MOTS-c and Ibutamoren\n\nAnd now they're probably the world's largest independent DTC distribution network to date from their new acquisitions... \n\nSo just running a peptide protocol subscription between $150 to $300, for 200k subscribers is $360M+ in high-margin ARR. \n\nAs just one example, but now they have a worldwide net of customers. \n\nThey burned through capex last year to acquire peptide manufacturing facilities too... so now that's turned into a massive cash-cow business. \n\nI said $HIMS would need fundamental changes in order to force shorts to cover, and this is probably that signal as seen with market data. \n\nAnd $HIMS is turning into a fundamentally sound company after regulatory de-risking.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Today, we took long-overdue action to restore science, accountability, and the rule of law.\n\nIn September 2023, the Biden FDA pushed a number of peptides into Category 2 — “Bulk Drug Substances that Raise Significant Safety Risks” — driving a dangerous black market that puts", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03651069905236415, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03651069905236415, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.028681484477349528, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.028681484477349528, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00782921457501462, "bench_c_m1d": -0.00782921457501462, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0029404294988164548, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0029404294988164548, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00048311787621213576, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00048311787621213576, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002457311622604319, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002457311622604319, "ret_p1w": -0.04067629971947351, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04067629971947351, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05677770768578483, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05677770768578483, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01610140796631132, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01610140796631132, "ret_p1m": 0.12227389600225158, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12227389600225158, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05336801792624102, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05336801792624102, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06890587807601056, "bench_c_p1m": 0.06890587807601056, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.4733, 0.4733, 0.4343, 0.4021, 0.4709, 0.4716, 0.5123, 0.4865, 0.426, 0.4024, 0.4047, 0.3929, 0.1889, 0.1154, 0.0244, 0.1261, 0.167, 0.161, 0.1521, 0.1566, 0.1717, 0.1717, 0.167, 0.1636, 0.1452, 0.1209, -0.0633, -0.0879, -0.098, -0.1108, -0.1148, -0.1075, -0.1335, -0.09, -0.0765, -0.0881, -0.0597, -0.0848, -0.0822, -0.1013, -0.1027, -0.0881, -0.0916, -0.1148, -0.1235, -0.1365, -0.1297, -0.128, -0.1413, -0.1396, -0.1481, -0.1353, -0.0995, -0.1061, -0.0938, -0.0938, -0.1014, -0.0956, -0.0784, -0.0826, -0.0806, -0.0693, -0.0365, 0.0, 0.0029, -0.0071, -0.0086, -0.0341, -0.0407, -0.0561, 0.0088, 0.0096, 0.0088, -0.0127, 0.0346, 0.0752, 0.0877, 0.0995, 0.1213, 0.1223, 0.1289, 0.137, 0.1517, 0.1536, 0.1223, 0.0963, 0.085, 0.085, 0.1044, 0.0877, 0.1017, 0.1017, 0.0828, 0.0916, 0.1152, 0.1169, 0.1169, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2052186100266148313", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-07T00:37:48+00:00", "symbol": "INTC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if people are long glass core substrates, Samsung, $INTC, and others are probably a bit bigger", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Favorite exposure is LPK for broad supply chain; also long glass core substrate plays like Samsung and INTC as bigger names in the space.", "resolved_tickers": ["INTC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "No. $LPK is probably my favorite exposure right now since they supply to everyone. \n\nI'm just saying if people are long glass core substrates, Samsung, $INTC, and others are probably a bit bigger.\n\nSKC is probably the lowest MC leader in that space. \n\nThen if you see them succeeding, then HB gets a piggyback + probably ends up supplying yields related stuff to the other players.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Do you prefer these over $LPKFF?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "CjL0222", "ret_m1d": 0.030925007340908195, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.030925007340908195, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.027849472269638298, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.027849472269638298, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003075535071269897, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003075535071269897, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.13957302535134564, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.13957302535134564, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.13131695235010343, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.13131695235010343, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008256073001242203, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008256073001242203, "ret_p1w": 0.057562464883175624, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.057562464883175624, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03488556634471385, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03488556634471385, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022676898538461776, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022676898538461776, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5417, -0.5701, -0.5595, -0.576, -0.5732, -0.5732, -0.5787, -0.5853, -0.593, -0.5976, -0.602, -0.5793, -0.5723, -0.5853, -0.5839, -0.5849, -0.6068, -0.5842, -0.5808, -0.6039, -0.5842, -0.5733, -0.5623, -0.5872, -0.5825, -0.5826, -0.5981, -0.5892, -0.5787, -0.5998, -0.5985, -0.5981, -0.5696, -0.5977, -0.6065, -0.6242, -0.5974, -0.5619, -0.5404, -0.5404, -0.5368, -0.5173, -0.4622, -0.437, -0.4309, -0.4054, -0.4179, -0.4076, -0.3751, -0.3751, -0.4007, -0.3955, -0.4046, -0.3908, -0.247, -0.2247, -0.229, -0.1357, -0.1381, -0.0912, -0.1263, -0.0134, 0.0309, 0.0, 0.1396, 0.1808, 0.1003, 0.0973, 0.0576, -0.0078, -0.0132, 0.0108, 0.0852, 0.081, 0.0932, 0.0932, 0.1268, 0.1108, 0.1028, 0.0462, 0.0462, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2052186100266148313", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-05-07T00:37:48+00:00", "symbol": "Samsung", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if people are long glass core substrates, Samsung, $INTC, and others are probably a bit bigger", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Favorite exposure is LPK for broad supply chain; also long glass core substrate plays like Samsung and INTC as bigger names in the space.", "resolved_tickers": ["005930.KS"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Samsung Electronics KOSPI 005930.KS", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Consumer Electronics'", "bench_c_industry": "Consumer Electronics", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "No. $LPK is probably my favorite exposure right now since they supply to everyone. \n\nI'm just saying if people are long glass core substrates, Samsung, $INTC, and others are probably a bit bigger.\n\nSKC is probably the lowest MC leader in that space. \n\nThen if you see them succeeding, then HB gets a piggyback + probably ends up supplying yields related stuff to the other players.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Do you prefer these over $LPKFF?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "CjL0222", "ret_m1d": -0.02025782688766109, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02025782688766109, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.023333361958930987, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.022261458999152217, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003075535071269897, "bench_c_m1d": 0.002003632111491127, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.011049723756906049, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.011049723756906049, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.019305796758148253, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.045406502277595795, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008256073001242203, "bench_c_p1d": 0.034356778520689746, "ret_p1w": 0.09023941068139973, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09023941068139973, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06756251214293796, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03242812293637698, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022676898538461776, "bench_c_p1w": 0.057811287745022755, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3884, -0.3906, -0.3832, -0.3435, -0.334, -0.334, -0.334, -0.334, -0.3016, -0.3013, -0.2906, -0.2649, -0.252, -0.1987, -0.2042, -0.2042, -0.2829, -0.3671, -0.2957, -0.3082, -0.3623, -0.3093, -0.3016, -0.3093, -0.3255, -0.3064, -0.2873, -0.2336, -0.263, -0.2671, -0.3152, -0.3027, -0.3053, -0.338, -0.338, -0.3506, -0.3842, -0.3015, -0.3429, -0.3142, -0.2888, -0.2762, -0.2247, -0.2486, -0.2413, -0.2597, -0.2394, -0.2228, -0.1989, -0.2044, -0.2099, -0.1934, -0.1989, -0.1731, -0.1915, -0.1731, -0.1823, -0.1676, -0.1878, -0.1878, -0.1436, -0.1436, -0.0203, 0.0, -0.011, 0.0516, 0.0276, 0.046, 0.0902, -0.0037, 0.035, 0.0147, 0.0166, 0.1031, 0.0773, 0.0773, 0.1013, 0.1308, 0.1031, 0.1676, 0.2762, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2043708829570072606", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-13T15:12:09+00:00", "symbol": "MRVL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Sivers are in hyperscaler supply chains through $MRVL", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long Sivers Semiconductors to $10B+ MC as AI DC laser underdog; MRVL/AVGO called out as likely acquirers or supply-chain beneficiaries.", "resolved_tickers": ["MRVL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I actually thought $SIVE should be trading at $2B+ MC today (from ~$520m) if they were listed as a US company.\n\nNot later this year. \n\nSince I’m not sure how:\n\n- $LWLG trades at 3.5x+ the valuation\n\n- packaging companies that buy their lasers trade at 5-6x their valuation.\n\n- laser companies from $MTSI to $LITE have premiums trading in the tens of billions. \n\nAnd Sivers are in hyperscaler supply chains through $MRVL, $JBL, O-Net, and others rather than being dependent on one customer.\n\nThere’s not very many publicly listed AI DC laser companies in the world either.\n\nSo either it’s a highly sought after acquisition target for $AVGO or $MRVL that want to vertically integrate upstream.\n\nOr they can pull a $LITE that went from $17->$800 and downstream TAM expansion the ELS/optical transceiver stack through IP acquisitions.\n\nDepends how ambitious the company is of course but i just don’t think anyone noticed this laser supplier in Sweden since my thesis post.\n\nJust might require a little patience for the US listing and I’m almost certain US institutions are interested like they were with $IQE. \n\nDD periods usually last a few weeks after they read my thesis but I see a clear path to $10B+ MC from here over the next few years.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit $SIVE is ripping today too and still have along way to go, do you still support your 2/3B MC for this year ?", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.021401351814790637, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.021401351814790637, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011723529559206636, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.011723529559206636, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009677822255584001, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009677822255584001, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.019268840217007144, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.019268840217007144, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007083959464637024, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.007083959464637024, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01218488075237012, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01218488075237012, "ret_p1w": 0.12597100458263388, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12597100458263388, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09300205556340413, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09300205556340413, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.032968949019229754, "bench_c_p1w": 0.032968949019229754, "ret_p1m": 0.25285602571657906, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.25285602571657906, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.17694869596428342, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.17694869596428342, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07590732975229564, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07590732975229564, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3818, -0.3881, -0.3875, -0.3875, -0.3925, -0.3716, -0.3674, -0.3893, -0.3775, -0.3687, -0.3635, -0.3808, -0.3992, -0.4012, -0.425, -0.4387, -0.4351, -0.3889, -0.3731, -0.3757, -0.3808, -0.4045, -0.4016, -0.4016, -0.3985, -0.3979, -0.394, -0.395, -0.4078, -0.4033, -0.384, -0.3964, -0.3781, -0.3845, -0.41, -0.4056, -0.4239, -0.3182, -0.2947, -0.2898, -0.3115, -0.3326, -0.3312, -0.3029, -0.3089, -0.333, -0.3185, -0.3308, -0.3137, -0.2969, -0.2506, -0.2564, -0.2777, -0.3316, -0.246, -0.1877, -0.1846, -0.1846, -0.1664, -0.1674, -0.1288, -0.0871, -0.0214, 0.0, 0.0193, 0.0251, 0.0158, 0.0639, 0.126, 0.1524, 0.1982, 0.2609, 0.2514, 0.205, 0.167, 0.1925, 0.2578, 0.2563, 0.2465, 0.2852, 0.3111, 0.2187, 0.2957, 0.3011, 0.2529, 0.3553, 0.3906, 0.3472, 0.2866, 0.3425, 0.4227, 0.4523, 0.4953, 0.4953, 0.5861, 0.5133, 0.56, 0.5613, 0.5613, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2043708829570072606", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-04-13T15:12:09+00:00", "symbol": "AVGO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it's a highly sought after acquisition target for $AVGO or $MRVL that want to vertically integrate upstream", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long Sivers Semiconductors to $10B+ MC as AI DC laser underdog; MRVL/AVGO called out as likely acquirers or supply-chain beneficiaries.", "resolved_tickers": ["AVGO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I actually thought $SIVE should be trading at $2B+ MC today (from ~$520m) if they were listed as a US company.\n\nNot later this year. \n\nSince I’m not sure how:\n\n- $LWLG trades at 3.5x+ the valuation\n\n- packaging companies that buy their lasers trade at 5-6x their valuation.\n\n- laser companies from $MTSI to $LITE have premiums trading in the tens of billions. \n\nAnd Sivers are in hyperscaler supply chains through $MRVL, $JBL, O-Net, and others rather than being dependent on one customer.\n\nThere’s not very many publicly listed AI DC laser companies in the world either.\n\nSo either it’s a highly sought after acquisition target for $AVGO or $MRVL that want to vertically integrate upstream.\n\nOr they can pull a $LITE that went from $17->$800 and downstream TAM expansion the ELS/optical transceiver stack through IP acquisitions.\n\nDepends how ambitious the company is of course but i just don’t think anyone noticed this laser supplier in Sweden since my thesis post.\n\nJust might require a little patience for the US listing and I’m almost certain US institutions are interested like they were with $IQE. \n\nDD periods usually last a few weeks after they read my thesis but I see a clear path to $10B+ MC from here over the next few years.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit $SIVE is ripping today too and still have along way to go, do you still support your 2/3B MC for this year ?", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.021593185535302872, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.021593185535302872, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.011915363279718871, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.007021995233413958, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009677822255584001, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014571190301888914, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00271230751625251, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00271230751625251, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00947257323611761, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016821241754382488, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01218488075237012, "bench_c_p1d": 0.019533549270634998, "ret_p1w": 0.052350243272712316, 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{"unit_id": "quote:2041363738327204264", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-07T03:53:36+00:00", "symbol": "3105.TWO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$5.4B price tag is underselling its importance to robotics, space, and AI hyperscaler supply chains imo", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Win Semi as undervalued at $5.4B given strategic role in robotics, space, and AI hyperscaler supply chains.", "resolved_tickers": ["3105.TWO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TWO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "What a sleeper OP pick. \n\nStill almost nobody talks about Win Semi ($3105.TWO)…\n\nFrom $LITE to $SIVE. And $AAPL to $AVGO to SpaceX.\n\nFeels like everyone uses them? \n\n$5.4B price tag is underselling its importance to robotics, space, and AI hyperscaler supply chains imo. https://t.co/lMg92KzufM", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I am long Win Semi (3105.TWO) at $4.1B MC.\n\nI believe markets are sleeping on of the most important foundries in the world (aside from $TSM).\n\nIMO their strategic positioning exceeds far beyond $4B MC. \n\nThey sit in almost every major chokepoints:\n\n-&gt; In the SpaceX Starlink LEO https://t.co/xNxc1f9nuh", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.07616707616707619, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07616707616707619, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07572719564125652, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06878753312128205, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0004398805258196692, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007379543045794135, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08108108108108114, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08108108108108114, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05561152644275347, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.017867478535570136, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.025469554638327674, "bench_c_p1d": 0.063213602545511, "ret_p1w": 0.12285012285012287, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12285012285012287, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06939292671581265, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.006030303505942802, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.053457196134310214, "bench_c_p1w": 0.11681981934418006, "ret_p1m": 0.22850122850122845, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.22850122850122845, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1153219413095199, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09216152389581111, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.11317928719170856, "bench_c_p1m": 0.32066275239703956, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5147, -0.4681, -0.4275, -0.484, -0.4705, -0.4545, -0.4631, -0.4767, -0.4423, -0.4545, -0.4238, -0.4337, -0.4251, -0.4079, -0.3661, -0.398, -0.4238, -0.4558, -0.4189, -0.3821, -0.4103, -0.4607, -0.4189, -0.3722, -0.3956, -0.3956, -0.3956, -0.3956, -0.3956, -0.3956, -0.3956, -0.3956, -0.3354, -0.269, -0.2088, -0.1695, -0.1695, -0.1855, -0.199, -0.2789, -0.2629, -0.2666, -0.3391, -0.3317, -0.2654, -0.2469, -0.231, -0.2543, -0.2789, -0.2076, -0.129, -0.1548, -0.226, -0.2297, -0.1536, -0.1192, -0.0602, -0.0405, -0.1364, -0.0749, -0.0762, -0.0762, -0.0762, 0.0, 0.0811, 0.0713, 0.14, 0.1253, 0.1229, 0.0971, 0.2052, 0.3243, 0.4545, 0.516, 0.4742, 0.3759, 0.344, 0.2101, 0.2273, 0.2334, 0.317, 0.317, 0.2875, 0.3636, 0.2285, 0.2285, 0.2101, 0.2924, 0.258, 0.2174, 0.188, 0.1265, 0.1069, 0.1216, 0.0971, 0.1867, 0.3047, 0.3342, 0.3808, 0.3759, 0.2973, 0.2948, 0.3317, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2054583956167877111", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-13T15:26:02+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Remains one of my top high conviction optical longs moving forward into 2027 due to massive revenue ramp + Made in America supply chains", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "High-conviction long AAOI into 2027 on massive revenue ramp and domestic supply chain advantage.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AAOI is now up ~6-7x at $200+.\n\nFeels like nobody else was long last year aside from me and like two other people on X?\n\nRemains one of my top high conviction optical longs moving forward into 2027 due to massive revenue ramp + Made in America supply chains. https://t.co/HD0724F2vE", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.15607353819642078, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.15607353819642078, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1505098183268302, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1505098183268302, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005563719869590589, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005563719869590589, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08753921221425331, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08753921221425331, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.09543346848297607, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.09543346848297607, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007894256268722755, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007894256268722755, "ret_p1w": -0.2592559839278653, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.2592559839278653, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2578280123767882, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2578280123767882, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0014279715510771007, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0014279715510771007, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.8007, -0.8007, -0.8032, -0.8053, -0.7894, -0.7684, -0.7581, -0.7478, -0.7395, -0.7593, -0.6225, -0.5405, -0.5727, -0.5531, -0.5467, -0.5716, -0.5042, -0.4599, -0.4307, -0.524, -0.5661, -0.5784, -0.613, -0.5848, -0.5432, -0.6076, -0.5708, -0.4895, -0.4872, -0.5633, -0.5598, -0.6182, -0.6208, -0.613, -0.5342, -0.5342, -0.5184, -0.4727, -0.4052, -0.4025, -0.325, -0.3134, -0.3438, -0.361, -0.2948, -0.2854, -0.2673, -0.3251, -0.3303, -0.3827, -0.2731, -0.3466, -0.3848, -0.315, -0.2633, -0.1775, -0.2247, -0.1906, -0.1997, -0.2938, -0.3324, -0.1712, -0.1561, 0.0, -0.0875, -0.1468, -0.2234, -0.232, -0.2593, -0.2075, -0.1865, -0.1865, -0.2039, -0.1939, -0.2424, -0.29, -0.29, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2058376970178847075", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-24T02:38:07+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI has the end-to-end manufacturing scale for 800G/1.6T optical transceivers in a time where hyperscalers will buy anything $AAOI or optical players can make", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long AAOI on end-to-end 800G/1.6T scale, insatiable hyperscaler demand, US manufacturing premium and tax credits; near-term dilution headwind noted.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yes $AAOI has the end-to-end manufacturing scale for 800G/1.6T optical transceivers in a time where hyperscalers will buy anything $AAOI or optical players can make. \n\nThe fact they're trying to do it all in America + receive tax credits (eg. Texas) should give it premiums.  \n\nJust annoying there's a $600m dilution affecting near term prices.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I am a Korean investor.\nDo you continue to see the outlook for AAOI positively?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "UNICONTSLA", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.021323545423124313, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.021323545423124313, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.027962154014114504, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.027962154014114504, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0066386085909901915, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0066386085909901915, "ret_p1w": -0.1271695472615103, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1271695472615103, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1417073478185572, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1417073478185572, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014537800557046898, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014537800557046898, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6798, -0.7042, -0.5359, -0.4352, -0.4747, -0.4506, -0.4427, -0.4734, -0.3905, -0.3361, -0.3002, -0.4149, -0.4666, -0.4817, -0.5243, -0.4896, -0.4384, -0.5177, -0.4724, -0.3724, -0.3696, -0.4632, -0.4589, -0.5306, -0.5339, -0.5242, -0.4275, -0.4275, -0.408, -0.3518, -0.2688, -0.2655, -0.1702, -0.1559, -0.1934, -0.2146, -0.1332, -0.1216, -0.0993, -0.1704, -0.1767, -0.2411, -0.1065, -0.1968, -0.2437, -0.1579, -0.0944, 0.0111, -0.0469, -0.0051, -0.0163, -0.1319, -0.1793, 0.0188, 0.0374, 0.2293, 0.1217, 0.0489, -0.0453, -0.056, -0.0894, -0.0258, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0213, -0.0091, -0.0687, -0.1272, -0.1272, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2044597208860016877", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-16T02:02:16+00:00", "symbol": "3105.TWO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I long the $SIVE laser ecosystem with Win Semi (3105)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long both Sivers (SIVE) and Win Semi as the two beneficiaries of the laser architectural supercycle for mass production.", "resolved_tickers": ["3105.TWO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TWO')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This is exactly why I long the $SIVE laser ecosystem with Win Semi (3105).\n\nThe beneficiaries of the next architectural supercycle for laser mass production?\n\nSivers + Win.\n\nEspecially with the announcement yesterday that Sivers is powering $JBL 1.6T optical transceivers. https://t.co/05wYF3fR0U", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I am long Win Semi (3105.TWO) at $4.1B MC.\n\nI believe markets are sleeping on of the most important foundries in the world (aside from $TSM).\n\nIMO their strategic positioning exceeds far beyond $4B MC. \n\nThey sit in almost every major chokepoints:\n\n-&gt; In the SpaceX Starlink LEO https://t.co/xNxc1f9nuh", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08970438328236496, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08970438328236496, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08725309523836144, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08220591220930629, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002451288044003519, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007498471073058677, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09887869520897041, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09887869520897041, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0867930100787464, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07589156820641851, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.012085685130224011, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0229871270025519, "ret_p1w": 0.1416921508664628, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1416921508664628, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1320150432610938, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10616665063467368, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009677107605368995, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03552550023178913, "ret_p1m": -0.06523955147808358, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06523955147808358, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11869850766953005, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1873047081029443, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05345895619144647, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12206515662486073, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5657, -0.5372, -0.5474, -0.5219, -0.5301, -0.5229, -0.5087, -0.474, -0.5005, -0.5219, -0.5484, -0.5178, -0.4873, -0.5107, -0.5525, -0.5178, -0.4791, -0.4985, -0.4985, -0.4985, -0.4985, -0.4985, -0.4985, -0.4985, -0.4985, -0.4485, -0.3935, -0.3435, -0.3109, -0.3109, -0.3242, -0.3354, -0.4016, -0.3884, -0.3914, -0.4516, -0.4455, -0.3904, -0.3751, -0.3619, -0.3812, -0.4016, -0.3425, -0.2773, -0.2987, -0.3578, -0.3609, -0.2977, -0.2691, -0.2202, -0.2039, -0.2834, -0.2324, -0.2334, -0.2334, -0.2334, -0.1702, -0.103, -0.1111, -0.054, -0.0663, -0.0683, -0.0897, 0.0, 0.0989, 0.2069, 0.2579, 0.2232, 0.1417, 0.1152, 0.0041, 0.0183, 0.0234, 0.0928, 0.0928, 0.0683, 0.1315, 0.0194, 0.0194, 0.0041, 0.0724, 0.0438, 0.0102, -0.0143, -0.0652, -0.0815, -0.0693, -0.0897, -0.0153, 0.0826, 0.107, 0.1458, 0.1417, 0.0765, 0.0744, 0.105, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2058756539448713504", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-25T03:46:23+00:00", "symbol": "FOCI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "X found this early, mainstream institutions are likely about to enter after seeing this sort of confirmation", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish FOCI and MSScorps; retail found them early on TSMC COUPE/AI optics theme before mainstream institutions pile in.", "resolved_tickers": ["3363.TWO"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "FOCI fiber optics Taiwan; retrying TWO (OTC market) suffix", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TWO')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Oh look, a new UDN article about $TSM COUPE + AI optical markets. \n\nInstitutional investors are optimistic that Taiwanese companies: \n\nFOCI (3363), and MSScorps (6830) are expected to benefit\n\nBut... that \"Institutional\" should be changed to retail investors on X?\n\nFor FOCI: \"Its FAU products have been developed in cooperation with TSMC for at least three years, and the specifications have been promoted to 1.6T,  3.2T, and the subsequent mass production schedule has become the focus  of market observation.\"\n\nFor MSS: \"cut into the silicon photonics and CPO detection analysis, the main  \"light loss detection\" technology ... and launch of the silicon photonics test  platform, lock in research and development, engineering verification,  failure analysis and a small number of diverse test applications.\"\n\nThese are still two extremely small companies... and things like MSS weren't even mentioned by GS, despite the news claims about relations. \n\nSo feels like X found this early, mainstream institutions are likely about to enter after seeing this sort of confirmation.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.007092198581560183, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007092198581560183, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007092198581560183, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007092198581560183, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.046099290780141855, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.046099290780141855, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.039460682189151663, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00863019344314564, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0066386085909901915, "bench_c_p1d": 0.054729484223287495, "ret_p1w": -0.03900709219858156, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03900709219858156, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05354489275562846, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10034540969170302, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014537800557046898, "bench_c_p1w": 0.061338317493121464, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2967, -0.2884, -0.2884, -0.2577, -0.266, -0.3392, -0.2754, -0.3002, -0.37, -0.3262, -0.2825, -0.3085, -0.2624, -0.2553, -0.279, -0.2518, -0.2104, -0.1324, -0.2187, -0.2139, -0.1986, -0.2447, -0.2411, -0.2778, -0.3499, -0.2849, -0.2908, -0.2908, -0.2908, -0.2199, -0.1489, -0.0981, -0.0733, -0.117, -0.1158, -0.0284, -0.0189, 0.0626, 0.1678, 0.1702, 0.13, 0.0768, -0.0296, -0.1265, -0.1194, -0.1087, -0.091, -0.091, -0.0095, 0.0307, -0.0366, -0.0366, -0.0426, 0.0083, 0.0875, 0.0083, 0.0662, -0.0059, -0.0496, -0.0839, -0.0816, -0.0331, 0.0071, 0.0, 0.0461, 0.0012, -0.0366, -0.0579, -0.039, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2058756539448713504", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-25T03:46:23+00:00", "symbol": "MSScorps", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "X found this early, mainstream institutions are likely about to enter after seeing this sort of confirmation", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish FOCI and MSScorps; retail found them early on TSMC COUPE/AI optics theme before mainstream institutions pile in.", "resolved_tickers": ["6830.TW"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Same as MSSCorp, Taiwan 6830.TW", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Oh look, a new UDN article about $TSM COUPE + AI optical markets. \n\nInstitutional investors are optimistic that Taiwanese companies: \n\nFOCI (3363), and MSScorps (6830) are expected to benefit\n\nBut... that \"Institutional\" should be changed to retail investors on X?\n\nFor FOCI: \"Its FAU products have been developed in cooperation with TSMC for at least three years, and the specifications have been promoted to 1.6T,  3.2T, and the subsequent mass production schedule has become the focus  of market observation.\"\n\nFor MSS: \"cut into the silicon photonics and CPO detection analysis, the main  \"light loss detection\" technology ... and launch of the silicon photonics test  platform, lock in research and development, engineering verification,  failure analysis and a small number of diverse test applications.\"\n\nThese are still two extremely small companies... and things like MSS weren't even mentioned by GS, despite the news claims about relations. \n\nSo feels like X found this early, mainstream institutions are likely about to enter after seeing this sort of confirmation.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.09021601016518421, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09021601016518421, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09021601016518421, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09021601016518421, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01143583227445999, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01143583227445999, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01807444086545018, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05623734358082222, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0066386085909901915, "bench_c_p1d": 0.04480151130636223, "ret_p1w": -0.13722998729351965, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.13722998729351965, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.15176778785056655, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.17646163822394256, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014537800557046898, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03923165093042291, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6708, -0.6384, -0.6384, -0.6023, -0.6061, -0.5826, -0.5414, -0.4957, -0.5096, -0.5217, -0.5014, -0.5077, -0.5566, -0.5496, -0.5287, -0.5122, -0.4684, -0.4291, -0.4215, -0.4792, -0.4532, -0.3986, -0.4487, -0.4265, -0.4069, -0.3479, -0.2832, -0.2832, -0.2832, -0.2362, -0.1601, -0.1766, -0.1105, -0.0216, 0.0165, 0.0076, 0.0229, 0.1245, 0.1004, 0.1131, 0.1309, 0.0203, -0.0813, -0.1728, -0.0902, -0.0178, 0.0801, 0.0801, 0.1753, 0.2389, 0.1156, 0.1105, 0.0, -0.0419, -0.0089, -0.0521, -0.0762, -0.0661, -0.0635, -0.0953, -0.1309, -0.1194, -0.0902, 0.0, -0.0114, -0.0851, -0.1283, -0.1385, -0.1372, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2045199509807112202", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-17T17:55:35+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "yes I have positions, as I've disclosed earlier", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Confirms holding a long position in HIMS.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@commieserenity Thats a weird question to ask considering I’m talking about $HIMS and their pills. \n\nBut yes I have positions, as I’ve disclosed earlier", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit are you long?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "commieserenity", "ret_m1d": -0.06349756915627947, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06349756915627947, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05155620361007185, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05155620361007185, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011941365546207616, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011941365546207616, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0759889159350311, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0759889159350311, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0779885834879368, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0779885834879368, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.001999667552905704, "bench_c_p1d": -0.001999667552905704, "ret_p1w": 0.06037473246159153, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06037473246159153, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05502369222363224, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05502369222363224, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0053510402379592925, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0053510402379592925, "ret_p1m": -0.22657872478984087, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.22657872478984087, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2667257509783866, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2667257509783866, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04014702618854571, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04014702618854571, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0573, 0.0024, 0.059, 0.0278, 0.0507, 0.0298, -0.0052, 0.0364, -0.06, -0.0826, -0.1138, -0.1534, -0.1853, -0.2012, -0.3293, -0.4018, -0.4209, -0.4518, -0.4344, -0.4344, -0.4355, -0.4504, -0.4511, -0.4577, -0.4618, -0.4636, -0.4511, -0.4587, -0.4962, -0.4282, -0.4511, -0.4292, -0.449, -0.4539, -0.2311, -0.1856, -0.102, -0.1728, -0.1405, -0.1367, -0.1332, -0.1967, -0.1617, -0.2359, -0.2207, -0.2595, -0.2769, -0.2762, -0.3276, -0.3484, -0.2797, -0.3116, -0.3359, -0.3359, -0.2946, -0.3234, -0.3272, -0.3147, -0.3258, -0.2661, -0.2588, -0.1572, -0.0635, 0.0, 0.076, 0.0326, 0.0066, -0.0232, 0.0604, 0.0198, -0.0316, -0.0864, -0.0573, -0.0489, -0.0538, -0.0864, -0.0673, -0.11, -0.0191, 0.0111, -0.1315, -0.1624, -0.1589, -0.1308, -0.2266, -0.2214, -0.2006, -0.1669, -0.1759, -0.1759, -0.1724, -0.1256, -0.1194, -0.0926, -0.0926, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2039718433424839152", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-02T14:55:45+00:00", "symbol": "AEHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AEHR is high conviction now in the test space. Tons of potential there", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "High-conviction long on AEHR in the semiconductor test space.", "resolved_tickers": ["AEHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@TD_btc24 Yeah $AEHR is high conviction now in the test space. Tons of potential there", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What about AEHR?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TD_btc24", "ret_m1d": -0.10649822322210745, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10649822322210745, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.10559855891871539, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.10560607880688166, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0008996643033920559, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0008921444152257818, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.5537003854806699, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.5537003854806699, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.5169836213387371, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.45686619521471306, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03671676414193281, "bench_c_p1w": 0.09683419026595685, "ret_p1m": 1.0999548812202073, "ret_signed_p1m": 1.0999548812202073, "alpha_spy_p1m": 1.0011182838777302, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.8004544789812353, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09883659734247718, "bench_c_p1m": 0.299500402238972, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.47, -0.442, -0.4544, -0.4878, -0.4061, -0.4055, -0.3951, -0.414, -0.4014, -0.35, -0.35, -0.3443, -0.3412, -0.3026, -0.3673, -0.3958, -0.3739, -0.3687, -0.3935, -0.4215, -0.412, -0.3865, -0.4623, -0.481, -0.4046, -0.3775, -0.3946, -0.2362, -0.3707, -0.3493, -0.3493, -0.3572, -0.3454, -0.317, -0.2419, -0.2256, -0.1148, -0.0641, -0.102, -0.1555, -0.0065, -0.0605, -0.0375, -0.0864, -0.1965, -0.0776, -0.0532, -0.0422, -0.1505, -0.1952, -0.1543, -0.1631, -0.1807, -0.148, -0.2211, -0.1618, -0.1157, -0.1194, -0.22, -0.2662, -0.3204, -0.1634, -0.1065, 0.0, 0.0, 0.1769, 0.1338, 0.4251, 0.5537, 0.5891, 0.6169, 0.6782, 0.6521, 0.8242, 0.8921, 1.0341, 1.1146, 1.1968, 1.155, 1.164, 0.9964, 0.8599, 0.8459, 1.0433, 1.1, 0.9316, 1.0575, 1.1825, 1.0591, 1.1938, 1.3592, 1.1823, 1.3296, 1.3994, 1.245, 0.8856, 0.8308, 0.8579, 1.06, 1.144, 1.144, 1.4801, 1.3425, 1.2561, 1.0833, 1.0833, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2043513749924135386", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-13T02:16:59+00:00", "symbol": "Shunsin", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "NT $12.72B revenue 2027 ... ~NT$17.61+ EPS to $20+ ... should scale up based on optical projections for 2028, 2029, 2030", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Detailed 2027 model for Shunsin: NT$12.7B rev, 26% gross margin, NT$1.87B net income, EPS NT$17.61–$20+, driven by 3.5–4M SiPh/CPO units at NT$2,350 ASP in Hanoi/Bac Giang.", "resolved_tickers": ["6451.TW"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Shunsin Technology listed on TWSE as 6451.TW", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TW')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Good question! Basically:\n\n-NT $12.72B revenue 2027\n-Gross profit (26% margin): NT $3.3B\n-Opex (~NT$1.1B)\n-Operating income: NT $2.2B\n-Blended Tax + non-op: NT$330m\n-Net income: NT$1.87B\n~NT$17.61+ EPS to $20+ \n\nLot of capex/depreciation in former years because of scaling up CPO facilities in Hanoi/Bac Giang, so gross margin expansion and 80% utilization to 26%. \n\nModeled based off Shunsin capturing 3.5-4M SiPh/CPO packaging units witH ASP NT$2,350\n\n3.5M × NT2,350= NT $8.2B\n\nLegacy Business (Stabilized): NT$4.5B\n\n8.2 + 4.5 = 12.7B rev for 2027. And should scale up based on optical projections for 2028, 2029, 2030.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What are the assumptions behind your earnings estimate for 2027?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DynamicMoats", "ret_m1d": -0.09052631578947368, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09052631578947368, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08084849353388968, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07365946607323626, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009677822255584001, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01686684971623742, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.002105263157894832, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.002105263157894832, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010079617594475287, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.022811640688437107, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01218488075237012, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02491690384633194, "ret_p1w": 0.06736842105263152, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06736842105263152, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03439947203340177, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0007378152899386592, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.032968949019229754, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06810623634257018, "ret_p1m": -0.03894736842105262, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03894736842105262, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11485469817334826, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.23713282821489523, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07590732975229564, "bench_c_p1m": 0.1981854597938426, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.68, -0.6853, -0.6884, -0.6926, -0.6916, -0.6789, -0.68, -0.6884, -0.6916, -0.6874, -0.6642, -0.6432, -0.6611, -0.6368, -0.6011, -0.5621, -0.5832, -0.6242, -0.6358, -0.6263, -0.6505, -0.6505, -0.6505, -0.6505, -0.6505, -0.6505, -0.6505, -0.6505, -0.6158, -0.5779, -0.5558, -0.56, -0.56, -0.5695, -0.5632, -0.6063, -0.5895, -0.6, -0.64, -0.6368, -0.6011, -0.5874, -0.5463, -0.5011, -0.4516, -0.4126, -0.4274, -0.4221, -0.4095, -0.3895, -0.3284, -0.3011, -0.2316, -0.3084, -0.3768, -0.3579, -0.3779, -0.3779, -0.3779, -0.3158, -0.2474, -0.1726, -0.0905, 0.0, 0.0021, -0.04, 0.04, 0.0632, 0.0674, -0.0021, 0.0442, -0.06, -0.1537, -0.2011, -0.1474, -0.1632, -0.0926, -0.0926, -0.0021, 0.0968, 0.0053, 0.0316, -0.0716, -0.0411, -0.0389, 0.0063, 0.1053, 0.2147, 0.0947, 0.0189, 0.0221, 0.0505, 0.1032, 0.2126, 0.3305, 0.2674, 0.1979, 0.2, 0.2905, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2059537337324085541", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-27T07:29:00+00:00", "symbol": "XFAB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$XFAB (photonics + power semis) is an interesting long idea at $1.28B MC, that I took positions in", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long XFAB on Silicon Photonics/CPO, SiC foundry, EU/US CHIPS Act grants, power semi exposure via NVTS/POWI, and depressed 1.29x P/B with 2028 fwd PE of 6.5-8.5x.", "resolved_tickers": ["XFAB.PA"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "X-FAB Silicon Foundries listed on Euronext Paris as XFAB.PA", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$XFAB (photonics + power semis) is an interesting long idea at $1.28B MC, that I took positions in.\n\nGiven EU CHIPS act 2 is today as the catalyst for European photonics players.\n\n> 800 VDC power semi exposure to $NVDA push through $NVTS + $POWI\n\n> Silicon Photonics / CPO exposure with $NVDA as evaluation stage for high volume manufacturing (optical transceivers/switches)\n\n> The only high-volume SiC foundry in the US.\n\n> One of the critical MEMS foundries \n\n> ~1.29 P/B, which was around what $SOI was sitting at when I went long. Depressed valuations due to legacy drag\n\n> ~6.5-8.5 fwd p/e 2028 personal est.\n\n> backstopped by Government:\n\n- EU CHIPS act, $128M Euros \n- US CHIPS act $50M PMT (department of commerce).\n\nWith likely more coming (just signals critical importance to Western supply chains).\n\nSo at a certain point with all the grants, they’re just getting the capex funded by the Governments. \n\nEU CHIPS act 2 is coming out this week, and I’m gonna go ahead and guess $XFAB might get included given they were before, and this package is specifically targeting photonics.\n\n~$1.3B MC seems compelling to me if it can pull a Soitec reversal (low p/b, very high growth segments, auto legacy drag).\n\nAs for the $NVDA silicon photonics relationships it’s under “photonixFAB”.\n\nMarkets probably missed this silicon photonics relationship (like $TSEM when I went long) with Nvidia since XFab leads this…  Just under a different name. \n\nFor power semis, XFAB is named for SiC + $NVTS. In PCN-22181, $POWI explicitly names XFAB as its foundry. \n\nGiven its exposure to power semis and photonics as growth, low P/B, gov backstop (of course dyor, just sharing my personal thoughts) \n\nThought it personally seemed compelling.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.2512500286102295, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.2512500286102295, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.2514232621989698, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.262400347079478, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00017323358874032913, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011150318469248521, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05333336194356286, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05333336194356286, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05884991644622517, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06060459131357765, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055165545026623075, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007271229370014787, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6098, -0.6085, -0.6213, -0.6168, -0.6212, -0.621, -0.6152, -0.5935, -0.6033, -0.6033, -0.607, -0.6027, -0.6027, -0.6002, -0.6212, -0.6208, -0.6125, -0.6063, -0.5905, -0.596, -0.6095, -0.6107, -0.6038, -0.594, -0.6075, -0.6075, -0.6075, -0.6112, -0.58, -0.5873, -0.5675, -0.5742, -0.5458, -0.5458, -0.53, -0.4912, -0.4742, -0.4662, -0.46, -0.4463, -0.4363, -0.4329, -0.4379, -0.4262, -0.4758, -0.4758, -0.4717, -0.4642, -0.4404, -0.4454, -0.4337, -0.3858, -0.4037, -0.3662, -0.3529, -0.3317, -0.385, -0.4029, -0.37, -0.3742, -0.3425, -0.3279, -0.2513, 0.0, -0.0533, -0.1033, -0.1033, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2037702874931827105", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-28T01:26:38+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI I have high conviction on given revenue projections ramp in a massive TAM for optical transceivers", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "High-conviction long AAOI on revenue ramp into a massive optical transceiver TAM.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yes that's a great way to approach it from the tech angle.\n\nWhether something is a great long, is extremely multifaceted. \n\nI was also looking at $HIMX if it translated into material revenue as well and decided not to take a long position. \n\n$AAOI I have high conviction on given revenue projections ramp in a massive TAM for optical transceivers. \n\nDisagree with many picks and went the other way. Not all lesser known chokepoints make great longs.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Appreciate the thoughtful breakdown.\nAgreed. The recent drop was accelerated by macro, not purely stock itself. \n\nTime will tell how much of each.\n\nFrom my side, I focused strictly on the technology. Wether the chokepoint is structurally durable or designable-out. That was the", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "PhotonCap", "ret_m1d": 0.1528347959846763, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.1528347959846763, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.14948011735970157, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.14948011735970157, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007043151617800558, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007043151617800558, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03611107731671537, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03611107731671537, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "ret_p1w": 0.26129820247565294, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.26129820247565294, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.21863791286939094, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.21863791286939094, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "bench_c_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "ret_p1m": 0.6112218637538305, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6112218637538305, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.48507657927206105, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.48507657927206105, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5908, -0.5908, -0.5352, -0.5893, -0.5468, -0.5533, -0.6125, -0.6004, -0.6042, -0.5988, -0.5954, -0.5657, -0.5652, -0.5652, -0.5391, -0.5495, -0.5522, -0.5807, -0.5904, -0.5611, -0.4691, -0.5355, -0.4881, -0.4816, -0.4586, -0.5316, -0.5524, -0.48, -0.4376, -0.4308, -0.4319, -0.4836, -0.4781, -0.4781, -0.4846, -0.4901, -0.4485, -0.3934, -0.3666, -0.3395, -0.3178, -0.3698, -0.0113, 0.2033, 0.1191, 0.1704, 0.1872, 0.122, 0.2985, 0.4144, 0.4909, 0.2465, 0.1364, 0.1042, 0.0134, 0.0873, 0.1964, 0.0276, 0.1241, 0.337, 0.343, 0.1436, 0.1528, 0.0, -0.007, 0.0136, 0.2197, 0.2197, 0.2613, 0.3809, 0.5577, 0.5647, 0.7678, 0.7982, 0.7184, 0.6733, 0.8467, 0.8713, 0.9189, 0.7675, 0.754, 0.6167, 0.9036, 0.7112, 0.6112, 0.794, 0.9293, 1.1541, 1.0305, 1.1196, 1.0958, 0.8494, 0.7483, 1.1704, 1.2101, 1.6189, 1.3896, 1.2345, 1.0338, 1.0112, 0.9399, 1.0755, 1.1304, 1.1304, 1.085, 1.1109, 0.984, 0.8595, 0.8595, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2049593821055549667", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-29T20:57:01+00:00", "symbol": "semiconductors", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": "small cap supply chain", "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "i think the small semi supply chain players do lol", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Small semi supply chain players likely benefit from META's aggressive $145B capex spending.", "resolved_tickers": ["SOXS", "SOXX"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Small cap semi supply chain; SOXX covers broad semi sector", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@joestar1402 So markets might not like $META aggressive capex spending $145 billion… but i think the small semi supply chain players do lol.\n\nDepends on what you’re looking at. But earnings were generally positive across the board.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Any thoughts with how earnings will affect market in the short term with only Google being up?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "joestar1402", "ret_m1d": 0.028785853309026554, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.028785853309026554, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.028631288328390514, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.028631288328390514, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00015456498063604052, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00015456498063604052, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.025471906803709976, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.025471906803709976, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03542153423091415, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03542153423091415, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009949627427204177, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009949627427204177, "ret_p1w": -0.09617356513378245, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.09617356513378245, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1274420092519803, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1274420092519803, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03126844411819785, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03126844411819785, "ret_p1m": -0.14814428703669635, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.14814428703669635, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.20860123841657485, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.20860123841657485, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0604569513798785, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0604569513798785, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.7426, 0.667, 0.7419, 0.9041, 0.9115, 0.6761, 0.6395, 0.6449, 0.5581, 0.6381, 0.6071, 0.6071, 0.6134, 0.5763, 0.6015, 0.571, 0.5957, 0.5464, 0.5047, 0.5819, 0.6252, 0.6249, 0.7918, 0.7097, 0.7569, 0.9162, 0.7447, 0.7143, 0.6803, 0.8057, 0.7914, 0.7146, 0.6903, 0.7098, 0.6916, 0.7709, 0.7248, 0.6796, 0.6343, 0.7953, 0.856, 1.0366, 0.7492, 0.6352, 0.6249, 0.6249, 0.582, 0.5472, 0.3477, 0.2957, 0.2521, 0.2155, 0.1767, 0.1736, 0.1552, 0.1171, 0.1108, 0.0994, 0.0631, 0.0351, -0.0177, -0.0068, 0.0288, 0.0, -0.0255, -0.0318, -0.0262, -0.064, -0.0962, -0.0849, -0.1146, -0.1233, -0.1159, -0.1231, -0.1239, -0.1145, -0.1035, -0.1033, -0.1253, -0.1291, -0.1346, -0.1346, -0.1481, -0.1466, -0.1481, -0.1479, -0.1479, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2057008127917347125", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-20T07:58:49+00:00", "symbol": "IQE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "hard to see any dip not being bought out at these levels", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on SIVE, IQE, and SOI as core European photonics plays; dips expected to be bought at current levels.", "resolved_tickers": ["IQE.L"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "IQE plc LSE-listed epiwafer supplier", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just your average day in European photonics?\n\nWith $SIVE, $IQE, and $SOI all hitting double digit recoveries. \n\nThese are all core players going forward, hard to see any dip not being bought out at these levels. https://t.co/fYaYAov3Vn", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.1478029121125225, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1478029121125225, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1376578604683404, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.11114376828017469, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010145051644182113, "bench_c_m1d": -0.03665914383234781, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06125164537395067, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06125164537395067, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05926854830396744, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.055549042229709356, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0019830970699832307, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005702603144241314, "ret_p1w": 0.350199781439684, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.350199781439684, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.33777479395549337, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.29558279365547135, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01242498748419063, "bench_c_p1w": 0.054616987784212645, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7209, -0.6597, -0.6751, -0.5734, -0.4674, -0.494, -0.3182, -0.3076, -0.285, -0.4288, -0.4764, -0.4919, -0.3955, -0.3529, -0.3955, -0.3808, -0.3848, -0.4248, -0.3196, -0.3915, -0.3715, -0.3742, -0.3196, -0.2144, -0.2916, -0.3475, -0.3848, -0.3502, -0.3316, -0.3715, -0.3715, -0.3715, -0.3209, -0.2357, -0.2011, -0.0146, 0.3076, 0.273, 0.4381, 0.5606, 0.3875, 0.5606, 0.6778, 0.6671, 0.3249, 0.2676, 0.3156, 0.0719, 0.0759, 0.1518, 0.0959, 0.0959, 0.3316, 0.1864, 0.2157, 0.2543, 0.4514, 0.2557, 0.3449, 0.3209, 0.225, 0.0413, -0.1478, 0.0, 0.0613, 0.2184, 0.2184, 0.4381, 0.3502, 0.269, 0.265, 0.265, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2041521462075633945", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-07T14:20:20+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AXTI is a bottleneck", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AXTI as a bottleneck, TSEM on capacity maxing out in 1-2 years, SOI on monopoly in SOI substrates driving material revenue growth from siph/cpo demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AXTI is a bottleneck.\n$TSEM not yet so far, but I'd expect it to be maxed out on capacity next year or two. \n$SIVE upcoming with CW lasers. \n$COHR does way too much, on EML yes, on other things no.\n$SOI not exactly a bottleneck but it's a monopoly over soi substrates, which are required for siph and cpo. so this leads to material revenue increases from everything that gets made.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit How about $SIVE $AXTI $TSEM $COHR $SOI etc ?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "degenlurker_", "ret_m1d": -0.07633078477538013, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07633078477538013, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07589090424956046, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06652837674840995, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0004398805258196692, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009802408026970189, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.16981965191767845, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.16981965191767845, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.14435009727935078, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.11225521110098557, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.025469554638327674, "bench_c_p1d": 0.057564440816692874, "ret_p1w": 0.4804224462631994, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.4804224462631994, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.4269652501288892, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.35013985836948236, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.053457196134310214, "bench_c_p1w": 0.13028258789371705, "ret_p1m": 1.3059833687251543, "ret_signed_p1m": 1.3059833687251543, "alpha_spy_p1m": 1.1928040815334457, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.9312396374013363, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.11317928719170856, "bench_c_p1m": 0.374743731323818, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4318, -0.4943, -0.5108, -0.5268, -0.5139, -0.4342, -0.5141, -0.5141, -0.529, -0.5649, -0.6058, -0.6172, -0.6084, -0.6216, -0.6298, -0.6397, -0.5922, -0.5394, -0.5658, -0.5875, -0.5506, -0.4707, -0.3891, -0.4644, -0.4105, -0.4547, -0.4668, -0.4668, -0.4894, -0.4822, -0.4762, -0.3471, -0.3746, -0.2283, -0.0988, -0.1835, -0.1663, 0.0189, -0.0814, -0.1392, -0.1465, -0.2879, -0.1518, -0.0255, 0.0418, 0.0279, 0.0748, 0.0645, -0.0242, 0.0726, 0.2778, 0.1931, 0.4175, 0.5055, 0.4815, 0.2871, 0.3337, 0.1599, 0.2534, 0.037, 0.1623, 0.1623, -0.0763, 0.0, 0.1698, 0.3885, 0.4118, 0.4617, 0.4804, 0.3843, 0.7989, 0.8161, 0.7325, 0.6491, 0.9125, 0.6557, 0.6753, 0.5431, 0.5114, 0.5634, 0.7426, 1.1117, 1.3317, 1.3658, 1.306, 1.385, 1.5596, 1.7675, 1.7035, 1.6824, 1.5293, 1.7228, 1.3291, 1.4831, 1.3011, 1.6621, 2.0979, 2.0979, 1.9169, 1.7006, 1.5451, 1.2692, 1.2692, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2041521462075633945", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-07T14:20:20+00:00", "symbol": "TSEM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'd expect it to be maxed out on capacity next year or two", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AXTI as a bottleneck, TSEM on capacity maxing out in 1-2 years, SOI on monopoly in SOI substrates driving material revenue growth from siph/cpo demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSEM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AXTI is a bottleneck.\n$TSEM not yet so far, but I'd expect it to be maxed out on capacity next year or two. \n$SIVE upcoming with CW lasers. \n$COHR does way too much, on EML yes, on other things no.\n$SOI not exactly a bottleneck but it's a monopoly over soi substrates, which are required for siph and cpo. so this leads to material revenue increases from everything that gets made.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit How about $SIVE $AXTI $TSEM $COHR $SOI etc ?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "degenlurker_", "ret_m1d": -0.003510416885689649, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.003510416885689649, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0030705363598699797, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0030705363598699797, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0004398805258196692, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0004398805258196692, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.067169611361378, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.067169611361378, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04170005672305033, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04170005672305033, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.025469554638327674, "bench_c_p1d": 0.025469554638327674, "ret_p1w": 0.12181703827752699, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12181703827752699, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06835984214321678, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06835984214321678, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.053457196134310214, "bench_c_p1w": 0.053457196134310214, "ret_p1m": 0.13627787081451603, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13627787081451603, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.023098583622807478, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.023098583622807478, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.11317928719170856, "bench_c_p1m": 0.11317928719170856, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3853, -0.3711, -0.3645, -0.3462, -0.3545, -0.3503, -0.3198, -0.3198, -0.3241, -0.301, -0.319, -0.3261, -0.3343, -0.3051, -0.2721, -0.2942, -0.2941, -0.2828, -0.2853, -0.3646, -0.3237, -0.2715, -0.227, -0.2844, -0.2956, -0.3001, -0.3255, -0.3255, -0.3305, -0.3275, -0.3406, -0.3269, -0.3323, -0.3398, -0.34, -0.3511, -0.3458, -0.2739, -0.3423, -0.3529, -0.3684, -0.4206, -0.3951, -0.3876, -0.3742, -0.3789, -0.3466, -0.2745, -0.2777, -0.2562, -0.1298, -0.1427, -0.0981, -0.0526, -0.0111, -0.0848, -0.0992, -0.1691, -0.0806, -0.0199, 0.0364, 0.0364, -0.0035, 0.0, 0.0672, 0.0679, 0.0667, 0.0975, 0.1218, 0.1298, 0.1252, 0.1865, 0.1762, 0.1355, 0.0798, 0.0545, 0.0507, 0.0653, 0.0141, 0.0436, 0.1582, 0.1423, 0.1268, 0.1817, 0.1363, 0.1003, 0.1056, 0.1992, 0.157, 0.4187, 0.4707, 0.4355, 0.2997, 0.3166, 0.3857, 0.4619, 0.485, 0.485, 0.5117, 0.4555, 0.4435, 0.3373, 0.3373, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2061252644195504239", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-06-01T01:05:01+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I personally think it easily rerates once the mechanical selling pressure stops. And personally think it could be a 4-5x return in 12-24M.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long AAOI as favorite US photonics play; sees 4-5x return in 12-24 months once ATM selling pressure clears.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AAOI is actually my favorite photonics exposure in the US market right now.\n\nI went long last year with low sizing at $28, back when I guessed they were qualifying with $AMZN and $MSFT.\n\nHigh conviction post earnings at ~$70, when they announced 1.6T and other volume orders with hyperscalers.\n\nCapacity projections at $90 for 2027 timelines were bullish. \n\nNow at $150, the story from 2025 is coming together with all the laser fab bottlenecks, GS optical TAM projections, Made in America efforts, $NVDA / $AMD discussion rumors. \n\nThe only thing holding them back is ATM after ATM, and now another $600m ATM… \n\nI personally think it easily rerates once the mechanical selling pressure stops.\n\nAnd personally think it could be a 4-5x return in 12-24M.\n\nAlso I don’t know who calculates those forward p/e’s on the screener websites but they’re all extremely off.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit What do you think of $AAOI at these levels? Too late? Looking at a 12-24 month horizon, it’s got a super high fwd PE like around 85 or higher", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": null, "ret_signed_p1d": null, "alpha_spy_p1d": null, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": null, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3706, -0.3615, -0.3966, -0.3017, -0.2394, -0.1982, -0.3297, -0.3889, -0.4062, -0.455, -0.4153, -0.3566, -0.4474, -0.3955, -0.281, -0.2778, -0.385, -0.38, -0.4622, -0.466, -0.4549, -0.344, -0.344, -0.3217, -0.2574, -0.1623, -0.1585, -0.0493, -0.033, -0.0759, -0.1001, -0.0069, 0.0064, 0.0319, -0.0495, -0.0568, -0.1305, 0.0237, -0.0797, -0.1335, -0.0352, 0.0376, 0.1584, 0.092, 0.1399, 0.1271, -0.0054, -0.0598, 0.1672, 0.1886, 0.4084, 0.2851, 0.2017, 0.0937, 0.0816, 0.0432, 0.1162, 0.1457, 0.1457, 0.1213, 0.1352, 0.067, 0.0, 0.0, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2059848338028241193", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-28T04:04:48+00:00", "symbol": "XFAB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$XFAB (photonics + power semis) is an interesting long idea at $1.28B MC, that I took positions in", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long XFAB on EU CHIPS Act catalyst, 800V power semi exposure via NVDA/NVTS/POWI, and silicon photonics/CPO thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["XFAB.PA"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "X-FAB Silicon Foundries listed on Euronext Paris as XFAB.PA", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Appreciate the more neutral coverage by Reuters and Bloomberg on $XFAB today.\n\nAlthough it would be nicer to focus more on the structural thesis presented…\n\nAround 800 vdc power semis $NVDA exposure + with ongoing $NVDA / $NOK evaluations for photonics.\n\nAnd around CHIPS Act semiconductor sovereignty as the near term catalyst.\n\nRather than around volatility from novel information synthesis. \n\nI spend a lot of time looking at regulatory filings to find compelling things market missed you know…", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$XFAB (photonics + power semis) is an interesting long idea at $1.28B MC, that I took positions in.\n\nGiven EU CHIPS act 2 is today as the catalyst for European photonics players.\n\n&gt; 800 VDC power semi exposure to $NVDA push through $NVTS + $POWI\n\n&gt; Silicon Photonics / CPO https://t.co/AZFFLbQk8O", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.05633806009374043, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05633806009374043, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06182434918362101, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06355680034760669, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0054862890898805805, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007218740253866263, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05281685263456315, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05281685263456315, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05530824535075385, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05131638685522599, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002491392716190699, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0015004657793371567, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5864, -0.6, -0.5952, -0.5998, -0.5996, -0.5935, -0.5706, -0.581, -0.581, -0.5849, -0.5803, -0.5803, -0.5776, -0.5998, -0.5995, -0.5907, -0.5842, -0.5674, -0.5732, -0.5875, -0.5887, -0.5815, -0.5711, -0.5854, -0.5854, -0.5854, -0.5893, -0.5563, -0.5641, -0.5431, -0.5502, -0.5202, -0.5202, -0.5035, -0.4626, -0.4445, -0.4362, -0.4296, -0.4151, -0.4045, -0.401, -0.4062, -0.3939, -0.4463, -0.4463, -0.4419, -0.434, -0.4089, -0.4142, -0.4018, -0.3512, -0.3702, -0.3305, -0.3165, -0.294, -0.3504, -0.3693, -0.3345, -0.3389, -0.3055, -0.2901, -0.2091, 0.0563, 0.0, -0.0528, -0.0528, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2047427315416887497", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-23T21:28:06+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm still bearish on $IREN due to $6B ATM overhang, even if there's rumors they're doing colo.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish IREN on $6B ATM overhang despite colo rumors.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@BitcoinAIGuy I’m still bearish on $IREN due to $6B ATM overhang, even if there’s rumors they’re doing colo. I was long last year you know.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit well well well, look who’s back", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BitcoinAIGuy", "ret_m1d": -0.069780873436603, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.069780873436603, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07367671607626458, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07769592852252605, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003895842639661584, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00791505508592305, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0265282786615062, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0265282786615062, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.034277576621530415, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.019192350597565966, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007749297960024215, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0073359280639402336, "ret_p1w": -0.125144215281507, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.125144215281507, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.139555903843263, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1315149070945405, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014411688561756009, "bench_c_p1w": 0.006370691813033513, "ret_p1m": 0.09246446234071781, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09246446234071781, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0399695766034045, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08976177138105701, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05249488573731331, "bench_c_p1m": 0.002702690959660803, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0065, 0.1532, 0.2099, 0.1503, 0.0331, 0.0204, 0.0456, -0.1361, -0.2351, -0.1959, -0.1128, -0.1747, -0.1797, -0.2305, -0.1884, -0.1884, -0.2124, -0.1911, -0.1678, -0.2314, -0.1857, -0.1263, -0.1536, -0.1496, -0.2128, -0.2043, -0.2532, -0.1572, -0.2287, -0.2945, -0.2534, -0.2672, -0.193, -0.2047, -0.2007, -0.1361, -0.1742, -0.1886, -0.1992, -0.2063, -0.1895, -0.2095, -0.2036, -0.2801, -0.3255, -0.3922, -0.341, -0.3447, -0.3316, -0.3316, -0.3247, -0.313, -0.292, -0.2876, -0.2441, -0.172, -0.0894, -0.0615, -0.083, -0.075, -0.0634, -0.1317, -0.0698, 0.0, -0.0265, -0.0704, -0.1457, -0.1761, -0.1251, -0.1223, -0.0488, 0.0523, 0.1722, 0.0928, 0.1765, 0.0602, 0.0873, 0.0606, 0.1226, 0.0177, -0.03, -0.0823, 0.0133, 0.1161, 0.0925, 0.0925, 0.1492, 0.3041, 0.2313, 0.2215, 0.2215, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2057780545292308506", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-22T11:08:08+00:00", "symbol": "FUTU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Feels like $FUTU and $TIGR are kinda screwed? The Chinese Gov is going after their historical revenues.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish FUTU and TIGR on Chinese regulatory risk; avoid broad China exposure including BABA and PDD due to lack of legal recourse.", "resolved_tickers": ["FUTU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Feels like $FUTU and $TIGR are kinda screwed? The Chinese Gov is going after their historical revenues.\n\nThere's basically no fair law in China (esp. with IP), so if Gov wants something done, courts will be rigged against them. \n\nSo no chance of an appeal, unless they make a hidden deal. Also don't think the brokerages are able to pull a $GOOGL like their 20 decillion fine, given local operations\n\nSo TLDR: Good lesson learned to avoid Chinese exposure from $BABA to $PDD as much as possible...\n\nAnd (as seen with $META + Manus + this case), even if something looks cheap. \n\nThere's a reason why all the US equities have premiums, even if a little high.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.379901934743349, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.379901934743349, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.3838180925245127, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.3838180925245127, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0039161577811637205, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0039161577811637205, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.1594251026963569, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1594251026963569, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.14488730213931, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.14488730213931, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014537800557046898, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014537800557046898, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.5786, 0.6636, 0.6811, 0.632, 0.6407, 0.5866, 0.6037, 0.5842, 0.573, 0.5708, 0.684, 0.6737, 0.5681, 0.5476, 0.6343, 0.6147, 0.5863, 0.5293, 0.4805, 0.5355, 0.5383, 0.5417, 0.495, 0.4686, 0.4405, 0.4996, 0.5355, 0.5369, 0.5369, 0.547, 0.5457, 0.723, 0.7025, 0.6941, 0.715, 0.7746, 0.8061, 0.8389, 0.8597, 0.8358, 0.8121, 0.7914, 0.7177, 0.7813, 0.7826, 0.7281, 0.7067, 0.7214, 0.7252, 0.7384, 0.7514, 0.8717, 0.6142, 0.6109, 0.5582, 0.5266, 0.5902, 0.5765, 0.5, 0.4672, 0.387, 0.3895, 0.3799, 0.0, 0.0, 0.1999, 0.2279, 0.1688, 0.1594, 0.1594, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2057780545292308506", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-22T11:08:08+00:00", "symbol": "TIGR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Feels like $FUTU and $TIGR are kinda screwed? The Chinese Gov is going after their historical revenues.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish FUTU and TIGR on Chinese regulatory risk; avoid broad China exposure including BABA and PDD due to lack of legal recourse.", "resolved_tickers": ["TIGR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Feels like $FUTU and $TIGR are kinda screwed? The Chinese Gov is going after their historical revenues.\n\nThere's basically no fair law in China (esp. with IP), so if Gov wants something done, courts will be rigged against them. \n\nSo no chance of an appeal, unless they make a hidden deal. Also don't think the brokerages are able to pull a $GOOGL like their 20 decillion fine, given local operations\n\nSo TLDR: Good lesson learned to avoid Chinese exposure from $BABA to $PDD as much as possible...\n\nAnd (as seen with $META + Manus + this case), even if something looks cheap. \n\nThere's a reason why all the US equities have premiums, even if a little high.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.3394495352642395, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.3394495352642395, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.3433656930454032, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.3433656930454032, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0039161577811637205, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0039161577811637205, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.1788990158453201, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1788990158453201, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1643612152882732, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1643612152882732, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014537800557046898, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014537800557046898, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.789, 0.8578, 0.8532, 0.7936, 0.7913, 0.6995, 0.7454, 0.6789, 0.6514, 0.6766, 0.7844, 0.7431, 0.6858, 0.6743, 0.6881, 0.7064, 0.617, 0.5665, 0.5069, 0.5665, 0.5344, 0.5138, 0.422, 0.3922, 0.3945, 0.445, 0.4748, 0.4633, 0.4633, 0.4817, 0.4404, 0.5436, 0.5298, 0.5252, 0.5757, 0.6124, 0.6583, 0.6284, 0.6743, 0.6307, 0.5803, 0.6124, 0.5138, 0.5917, 0.5528, 0.5367, 0.4954, 0.5138, 0.5528, 0.539, 0.5275, 0.5894, 0.4748, 0.4817, 0.4633, 0.4358, 0.5229, 0.4862, 0.4128, 0.3807, 0.3349, 0.3509, 0.3394, 0.0, 0.0, 0.1491, 0.1697, 0.1491, 0.1789, 0.1789, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2057780545292308506", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-05-22T11:08:08+00:00", "symbol": "BABA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Good lesson learned to avoid Chinese exposure from $BABA to $PDD as much as possible", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish FUTU and TIGR on Chinese regulatory risk; avoid broad China exposure including BABA and PDD due to lack of legal recourse.", "resolved_tickers": ["BABA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Feels like $FUTU and $TIGR are kinda screwed? The Chinese Gov is going after their historical revenues.\n\nThere's basically no fair law in China (esp. with IP), so if Gov wants something done, courts will be rigged against them. \n\nSo no chance of an appeal, unless they make a hidden deal. Also don't think the brokerages are able to pull a $GOOGL like their 20 decillion fine, given local operations\n\nSo TLDR: Good lesson learned to avoid Chinese exposure from $BABA to $PDD as much as possible...\n\nAnd (as seen with $META + Manus + this case), even if something looks cheap. \n\nThere's a reason why all the US equities have premiums, even if a little high.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.011307701697716332, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011307701697716332, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.015223859478880053, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.015335251250531257, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0039161577811637205, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004027549552814924, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.04446152907151446, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04446152907151446, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05899932962856136, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05864178110271756, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014537800557046898, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0141802520312031, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1778, 0.1714, 0.1388, 0.1085, 0.0966, 0.043, 0.0252, 0.0027, 0.0061, 0.0203, 0.0527, 0.0484, 0.0323, 0.0401, 0.0516, 0.0505, 0.0341, -0.0392, -0.0584, -0.0303, -0.0348, -0.001, -0.0353, -0.0562, -0.0617, -0.0349, -0.0482, -0.0612, -0.0612, -0.0592, -0.0791, -0.036, -0.0178, -0.0205, -0.0153, 0.0104, 0.0252, 0.0661, 0.0847, 0.0782, 0.0414, 0.0494, 0.0131, 0.0448, 0.0194, 0.0065, 0.0033, 0.0145, 0.0115, 0.0252, 0.0174, 0.088, 0.0846, 0.0774, 0.0562, 0.0368, 0.1216, 0.0855, 0.0199, 0.0251, 0.0434, 0.0344, 0.0113, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0041, -0.0172, -0.0295, -0.0445, -0.0445, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2057780545292308506", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-05-22T11:08:08+00:00", "symbol": "PDD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Good lesson learned to avoid Chinese exposure from $BABA to $PDD as much as possible", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish FUTU and TIGR on Chinese regulatory risk; avoid broad China exposure including BABA and PDD due to lack of legal recourse.", "resolved_tickers": ["PDD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Feels like $FUTU and $TIGR are kinda screwed? The Chinese Gov is going after their historical revenues.\n\nThere's basically no fair law in China (esp. with IP), so if Gov wants something done, courts will be rigged against them. \n\nSo no chance of an appeal, unless they make a hidden deal. Also don't think the brokerages are able to pull a $GOOGL like their 20 decillion fine, given local operations\n\nSo TLDR: Good lesson learned to avoid Chinese exposure from $BABA to $PDD as much as possible...\n\nAnd (as seen with $META + Manus + this case), even if something looks cheap. \n\nThere's a reason why all the US equities have premiums, even if a little high.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.034595899159935106, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.034595899159935106, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03851205694109883, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03851205694109883, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0039161577811637205, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0039161577811637205, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": -0.10664403892993135, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10664403892993135, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12118183948697825, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.12118183948697825, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014537800557046898, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014537800557046898, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1308, 0.131, 0.115, 0.0974, 0.0878, 0.0655, 0.0706, 0.0658, 0.0788, 0.0859, 0.1094, 0.0891, 0.0751, 0.086, 0.0986, 0.1042, 0.0656, 0.0308, 0.0177, 0.0183, 0.0378, 0.0856, 0.0645, 0.056, 0.0413, 0.081, 0.0768, 0.0672, 0.0672, 0.0676, 0.0531, 0.0977, 0.064, 0.0598, 0.0664, 0.0802, 0.0788, 0.0972, 0.1087, 0.1024, 0.0473, 0.0585, 0.0344, 0.0371, 0.0418, 0.0293, 0.0333, 0.0567, 0.055, 0.0346, 0.0236, 0.0824, 0.074, 0.0451, 0.0453, 0.0128, 0.0537, 0.0112, 0.0139, 0.0048, 0.0298, 0.0384, 0.0346, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0224, -0.0837, -0.1216, -0.1066, -0.1066, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2046696582696083634", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-21T21:04:25+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LITE and $MTSI were silently removed from Ayar's website sequentially over time. This find looks structurally massive for $SIVE as it undercuts narratives about $LITE and others being primary suppliers", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "SIVE likely primary laser supplier for AMD/Ayar CPO program, displacing LITE and MTSI; structurally massive positive for SIVE.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Woah... Sivers looks like the primary laser supplier to $AMD's CPO program if AMD goes the Ayar route at $GFS.\n\nThe interesting thing is: $LITE and $MTSI were silently removed from Ayar's website sequentially over time. \n\n(Special thanks to one of my followers Setian for the DM.)\n\nSo $SIVE likely became the primary laser supplier for Ayar first-gen... and by extension for all of Ayar's customers routing through Alchip or other ASIC design firms.\n\nAyar also raised $500M last month for VOLUME PRODUCTION, where $SIVE is designed in.\n\nThis find looks structurally massive for $SIVE as it undercuts narratives about $LITE and others being primary suppliers.\n\nAnd especially about $SIVE having only a small % laser share for CPO if they're likely to be the primary laser supplier.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The $AMD and $GFS CPO announcement is probably bigger than markets expect for $SIVE.\n\nWith the news, it's likely $SIVE lasers power $AMD's CPO program.\n\nEither through two potential paths: \n\n1. Enosemi (AMD's in-house PIC design post-acquisition). Enosemi's chiplets are fabbed at", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.06952875260436087, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06952875260436087, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06293865843799118, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06293865843799118, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006590094166369687, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006590094166369687, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04382735915593372, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04382735915593372, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03370066231786306, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03370066231786306, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010126696838070659, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010126696838070659, "ret_p1w": -0.05442573809097184, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05442573809097184, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06523414788367798, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06523414788367798, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010808409792706142, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010808409792706142, "ret_p1m": 0.03721983588651678, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03721983588651678, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.015572434889452591, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.015572434889452591, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.052792270775969374, "bench_c_p1m": 0.052792270775969374, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5764, -0.5947, -0.6028, -0.5571, -0.54, -0.5442, -0.5318, -0.4941, -0.4801, -0.4437, -0.3973, -0.3405, -0.3104, -0.3295, -0.314, -0.3028, -0.3276, -0.3276, -0.2826, -0.2899, -0.2405, -0.2021, -0.1938, -0.1776, -0.1357, -0.1911, -0.1625, -0.0641, -0.1703, -0.1865, -0.2224, -0.3327, -0.2345, -0.1971, -0.1971, -0.2639, -0.2562, -0.2534, -0.2239, -0.1626, -0.0774, -0.156, -0.129, -0.0417, -0.0714, -0.177, -0.1603, -0.2176, -0.1603, -0.0864, -0.012, -0.012, -0.0772, -0.0253, 0.0706, 0.0684, 0.0721, 0.0409, 0.019, -0.0154, 0.0649, 0.0683, 0.0695, 0.0, 0.0438, 0.0119, 0.0534, 0.0272, -0.0544, 0.0256, 0.0781, 0.135, 0.1664, 0.1884, 0.1283, 0.0665, 0.0799, 0.2583, 0.1857, 0.2311, 0.197, 0.1598, 0.0574, 0.0635, 0.0372, 0.1524, 0.1314, 0.1314, 0.0883, 0.0781, 0.0283, 0.0216, 0.0216, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2050802865862836381", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-03T05:01:19+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$IREN, with $6,000,000,000 active ATM, sold over time into the open market", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish IREN, SLNH, and BKKT on massive dilutive ATM offerings destroying equity value for retail holders.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$IREN and $SLNH investors are probably the most braindead communities I've interacted with on X. \n\nI've never seen a community so bullish on a $219M MC stock that has a new $1,000,000,000 dilution.  \n\nAnd an ongoing $500,000,000 ATM. \n\nThen you have $IREN, with $6,000,000,000 active ATM, sold over time into the open market. \n\nMaybe, it's a better idea to just go long on a stock without the toxic financing... So you can actually benefit from equity appreciation without just being liquidity? \n\nIt's just so hard to explain to people the nuances in financial dilution who lack the brain cells.  \n\nAnd it just so happens $SLNH gets mentioned positively by $BKKT, $IREN investors the moment after they file a $500M ATM since they need exit liquidity. \n\nThe company is selling offloading shares directly to these idiots.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.07720290481335701, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07720290481335701, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08087975417831117, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0837945357908868, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00367684936495416, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006591630977529794, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10630562216841799, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.10630562216841799, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.09828343628342573, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.10611178112192188, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008022185884992261, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00019384104649611267, "ret_p1w": 0.11459179539406916, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11459179539406916, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08494042878666863, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.12234676847819337, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02965136660740053, "bench_c_p1w": -0.007754973084124206, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0918, -0.1958, -0.1546, -0.0673, -0.1324, -0.1376, -0.191, -0.1467, -0.1467, -0.172, -0.1496, -0.1251, -0.192, -0.1439, -0.0814, -0.1101, -0.1059, -0.1724, -0.1635, -0.2148, -0.114, -0.1891, -0.2583, -0.215, -0.2296, -0.1516, -0.1639, -0.1597, -0.0918, -0.1318, -0.1469, -0.158, -0.1655, -0.1479, -0.169, -0.1627, -0.2431, -0.2908, -0.361, -0.3072, -0.311, -0.2973, -0.2973, -0.29, -0.2777, -0.2557, -0.251, -0.2053, -0.1295, -0.0426, -0.0133, -0.036, -0.0275, -0.0154, -0.0871, -0.022, 0.0513, 0.0234, -0.0226, -0.1019, -0.1338, -0.0802, -0.0772, 0.0, 0.1063, 0.2324, 0.1489, 0.2369, 0.1146, 0.1431, 0.115, 0.1803, 0.0699, 0.0198, -0.0352, 0.0653, 0.1734, 0.1485, 0.1485, 0.2082, 0.3711, 0.2945, 0.2842, 0.2842, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2050802865862836381", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-03T05:01:19+00:00", "symbol": "SLNH", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "an ongoing $500,000,000 ATM... The company is selling offloading shares directly to these idiots", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish IREN, SLNH, and BKKT on massive dilutive ATM offerings destroying equity value for retail holders.", "resolved_tickers": ["SLNH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$IREN and $SLNH investors are probably the most braindead communities I've interacted with on X. \n\nI've never seen a community so bullish on a $219M MC stock that has a new $1,000,000,000 dilution.  \n\nAnd an ongoing $500,000,000 ATM. \n\nThen you have $IREN, with $6,000,000,000 active ATM, sold over time into the open market. \n\nMaybe, it's a better idea to just go long on a stock without the toxic financing... So you can actually benefit from equity appreciation without just being liquidity? \n\nIt's just so hard to explain to people the nuances in financial dilution who lack the brain cells.  \n\nAnd it just so happens $SLNH gets mentioned positively by $BKKT, $IREN investors the moment after they file a $500M ATM since they need exit liquidity. \n\nThe company is selling offloading shares directly to these idiots.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.179104480267527, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.179104480267527, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.17542763090257285, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.17542763090257285, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00367684936495416, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00367684936495416, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.15671635351247049, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.15671635351247049, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.14869416762747822, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.14869416762747822, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008022185884992261, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008022185884992261, "ret_p1w": 0.29104475819419284, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.29104475819419284, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2613933915867923, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2613933915867923, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02965136660740053, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02965136660740053, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2612, -0.4328, -0.2388, -0.2164, -0.2687, -0.306, -0.3209, -0.3433, -0.3433, -0.3657, -0.3582, -0.3134, -0.3284, -0.3433, -0.3134, -0.2537, -0.2985, -0.3507, -0.2985, -0.3507, -0.291, -0.3582, -0.4254, -0.4403, -0.4104, -0.3731, -0.4179, -0.4179, -0.4104, -0.403, -0.4403, -0.4403, -0.4701, -0.4478, -0.4701, -0.4104, -0.4701, -0.5373, -0.5448, -0.4701, -0.5, -0.4701, -0.4701, -0.4701, -0.4701, -0.4552, -0.4627, -0.4701, -0.306, -0.2164, -0.2164, -0.1567, -0.1567, 0.0448, -0.0224, 0.097, 0.0, -0.1045, -0.1567, -0.194, -0.0448, 0.2388, 0.1791, 0.0, 0.1567, 0.209, 0.1343, 0.3657, 0.291, 0.3284, 0.6119, 0.6119, 0.6567, 0.4552, 0.3657, 0.2388, 0.306, 0.2761, 0.2761, 0.4403, 0.3881, 0.3657, 0.2687, 0.2687, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2050802865862836381", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-05-03T05:01:19+00:00", "symbol": "BKKT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SLNH gets mentioned positively by $BKKT, $IREN investors the moment after they file a $500M ATM since they need exit liquidity", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish IREN, SLNH, and BKKT on massive dilutive ATM offerings destroying equity value for retail holders.", "resolved_tickers": ["BKKT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$IREN and $SLNH investors are probably the most braindead communities I've interacted with on X. \n\nI've never seen a community so bullish on a $219M MC stock that has a new $1,000,000,000 dilution.  \n\nAnd an ongoing $500,000,000 ATM. \n\nThen you have $IREN, with $6,000,000,000 active ATM, sold over time into the open market. \n\nMaybe, it's a better idea to just go long on a stock without the toxic financing... So you can actually benefit from equity appreciation without just being liquidity? \n\nIt's just so hard to explain to people the nuances in financial dilution who lack the brain cells.  \n\nAnd it just so happens $SLNH gets mentioned positively by $BKKT, $IREN investors the moment after they file a $500M ATM since they need exit liquidity. \n\nThe company is selling offloading shares directly to these idiots.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04352682384624296, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04352682384624296, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04720367321119712, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04720367321119712, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00367684936495416, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00367684936495416, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014508941282080912, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.014508941282080912, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0064867553970886505, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0064867553970886505, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008022185884992261, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008022185884992261, "ret_p1w": 0.1071428609441738, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1071428609441738, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.07749149433677327, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07749149433677327, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02965136660740053, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02965136660740053, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2958, 0.1049, 0.3292, 0.2723, 0.1853, 0.1607, 0.1228, 0.202, 0.202, 0.1451, 0.1562, 0.1607, 0.1652, 0.1328, 0.1272, 0.2143, 0.1607, 0.067, 0.1116, 0.0703, 0.1384, 0.1105, 0.0368, 0.029, 0.0312, 0.0368, 0.0279, 0.0547, 0.0759, 0.0748, -0.0033, 0.0045, -0.0458, -0.0112, -0.077, -0.0647, -0.1105, -0.183, -0.2243, -0.1786, -0.192, -0.1775, -0.1775, -0.1484, -0.1484, -0.1127, -0.0636, -0.0926, -0.0268, 0.0022, 0.0312, 0.067, 0.0257, 0.0011, -0.0324, 0.019, -0.0312, -0.0145, 0.0045, -0.0424, -0.1228, -0.0379, -0.0435, 0.0, 0.0145, 0.0201, -0.0458, 0.0993, 0.1071, -0.01, -0.1049, -0.0312, -0.0759, -0.0268, 0.0804, 0.1362, 0.375, 0.3259, 0.3259, 0.3181, 0.2824, 0.2277, 0.2132, 0.2132, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2052485912714752144", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-07T20:29:09+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it's actually extremely positive so far contrary to market reactions. It's a forward growth story", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish AAOI: market mispriced earnings; 800G capacity ramp + sell-out demand = forward growth story into Q3.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AAOI reported earnings, it's actually extremely positive so far contrary to market reactions.\n\nLike all 2027 hyperbolic forward growth companies: \n\nNobody should care about current financials. \n\nKey things market missed was: \n\nAOI: hit They hit 100K units/month capacity for 800G transceivers. \n\nAnd: -> \"Significant larger growth expected starting in Q3 as capacity comes online\"\n\nIf you do look at financials: \n\nIt's ~29.2% non GAAP gross margin \n\non ~$151.1M revenue, guiding $180-$198m Q2.\n\nWe already know from Lumentum earnings that it's more of capacity bottleneck, not a demand one. And anything they make they sell out.\n\nIt's a forward growth story, so important thing aside from these notes is the earnings call on hyperscaler demand implications and capacity ramp.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.1332274822456172, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.1332274822456172, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.1301519471743473, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.1301519471743473, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003075535071269897, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003075535071269897, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0546493204923838, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0546493204923838, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.062905393493626, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.062905393493626, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008256073001242203, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008256073001242203, "ret_p1w": 0.2920977682072312, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2920977682072312, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.26942086966876944, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.26942086966876944, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022676898538461776, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022676898538461776, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6959, -0.6922, -0.6928, -0.7208, -0.7178, -0.7178, -0.7213, -0.7243, -0.7018, -0.672, -0.6575, -0.6428, -0.6311, -0.6592, -0.4654, -0.3493, -0.3949, -0.3671, -0.358, -0.3933, -0.2979, -0.2352, -0.1938, -0.326, -0.3855, -0.4029, -0.452, -0.4121, -0.3531, -0.4444, -0.3922, -0.2771, -0.2738, -0.3817, -0.3766, -0.4593, -0.4631, -0.4519, -0.3405, -0.3405, -0.318, -0.2533, -0.1577, -0.1539, -0.0441, -0.0277, -0.0708, -0.0952, -0.0015, 0.0119, 0.0376, -0.0443, -0.0516, -0.1258, 0.0293, -0.0747, -0.1288, -0.03, 0.0432, 0.1648, 0.0979, 0.1461, 0.1332, 0.0, -0.0546, 0.1736, 0.195, 0.4161, 0.2921, 0.2083, 0.0997, 0.0875, 0.0489, 0.1222, 0.152, 0.152, 0.1274, 0.1414, 0.0728, 0.0055, 0.0055, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2053847817899421807", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-11T14:40:53+00:00", "symbol": "FLNC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I actually think $FLNC should be a lot higher. The implications of having 2 incoming direct hyperscaler contracts in 1 quarter is enormous.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish FLNC: two hyperscaler MSAs in one quarter, high short interest squeeze potential, and possible generational run if GOOGL signs a massive contract.", "resolved_tickers": ["FLNC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I actually think $FLNC should be a lot higher. \n\nThe implications of having 2 incoming direct hyperscaler contracts in 1 quarter is enormous. \n\n$MSFT to $AMZN don't sign tiny deals. \n\nObviously markets like to wait more until actual news/purchase order numbers come out... in the off-chance it doesn't go through or lower than expected. \n\nBut a company doesn't just randomly announce 2 hyperscalers MSas and an expectation of the orders to hit Q3.  \n\nAlso winning multiple hyperscaler deals, in a single quarter is a leading indicator for more, especially as Fluence BESS becomes standardized. \n\nGiven short interest is around 27.69%, I'm not sure if pre-earnings short sellers are very comfortable to take a risk... \n\nI think there's a chance for a generational run if a hyperscaler like $GOOGL signs a massive contract.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit @Jess252530 Buying the flnc dip as well", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0424098182416921, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0424098182416921, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04013740825451417, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04013740825451417, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0022724099871779257, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0022724099871779257, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.15655960869037344, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.15655960869037344, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.15504466869892153, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.15504466869892153, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0015149399914519135, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0015149399914519135, "ret_p1w": -0.22552511811122433, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.22552511811122433, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.22464595756795613, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.22464595756795613, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0008791605432681981, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0008791605432681981, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3056, -0.3088, -0.2683, -0.2683, -0.2953, -0.3092, -0.3436, -0.344, -0.3631, -0.3464, -0.3528, -0.3579, -0.3841, -0.4007, -0.4086, -0.3738, -0.3753, -0.4142, -0.3777, -0.331, -0.3218, -0.3492, -0.3508, -0.3349, -0.346, -0.3662, -0.3646, -0.4003, -0.3912, -0.3599, -0.352, -0.4071, -0.4392, -0.4847, -0.4546, -0.4839, -0.4728, -0.4728, -0.4768, -0.4748, -0.48, -0.4625, -0.4538, -0.459, -0.4134, -0.3971, -0.4063, -0.4635, -0.4994, -0.4939, -0.4649, -0.4641, -0.4697, -0.4705, -0.5105, -0.5311, -0.5172, -0.5168, -0.5113, -0.497, -0.4625, -0.2481, -0.0424, 0.0, -0.1566, -0.1241, -0.17, -0.1768, -0.2255, -0.2901, -0.2493, -0.1998, -0.1482, -0.1482, -0.1546, -0.1589, -0.1534, -0.2517, -0.2517, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2049941088165892196", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-30T19:56:56+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "there's only a few in the entire world like $LITE, $COHR, and $MTSI", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish Sivers (SIVE) on imminent US institutional inflows via NASDAQ listing + $1B MC unlock; LITE/COHR/MTSI cited as rare CPO/silicon-photonics plays with similar demand tailwinds.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Fun fact: don’t think any large US institution had positions in $SIVE / $SIVEF since it was a majority owned local Swedish retail stock.\n\nThere’s also fund mandates preventing US funds from entering (eg. Nasdaq listing / $1B MC)\n\nThat’s definitely changed now thanks to European media shaking out the local holders, Sivers upcoming NASDAQ listing, and hitting $1B+ MC.\n\nAgain $1.3B is literal spare change for hyperscalers and US institutions. \n\nAnd I have high confidence many would want exposure to CPO, silicon photonics and lasers, since there’s only a few in the entire world like $LITE, $COHR, and $MTSI.\n\nEspecially… a CHIPS Act laser supplier likely in $AMD, $MRVL, $AAPL, Lightmatter, Ayar, AlChip, GUC, O-Net and other supply chains like the Golden Dome.\n\nPart of it is game theory for share accumulation. \n\nSince US/Western retail now owns a large part of the float (off of the Swedish sellers).\n\nAnd US institutions now want exposure.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Also feels like there’s an infinite TWAP on $SIVE\n\nPrice goes up, long time holders sell, price goes up even more. \n\nFeel like large institutional bids averaging their buys.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04876318783009104, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04876318783009104, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03891158022808583, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03891158022808583, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009851607602005208, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009851607602005208, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05276396950650275, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05276396950650275, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04999485567813178, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04999485567813178, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027691138283709726, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0027691138283709726, "ret_p1w": -0.01079438575595637, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01079438575595637, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.028772350896800636, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.028772350896800636, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017977965140844265, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017977965140844265, "ret_p1m": -0.0524869059392864, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0524869059392864, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10511263818750882, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10511263818750882, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05262573224822242, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05262573224822242, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5307, -0.5178, -0.4841, -0.441, -0.3883, -0.3604, -0.3781, -0.3637, -0.3534, -0.3763, -0.3763, -0.3346, -0.3414, -0.2955, -0.2599, -0.2522, -0.2372, -0.1983, -0.2497, -0.2232, -0.132, -0.2304, -0.2455, -0.2787, -0.3811, -0.29, -0.2553, -0.2553, -0.3172, -0.3101, -0.3075, -0.2801, -0.2233, -0.1443, -0.2172, -0.1921, -0.1112, -0.1387, -0.2366, -0.2212, -0.2743, -0.2212, -0.1526, -0.0836, -0.0836, -0.1441, -0.0959, -0.007, -0.0091, -0.0056, -0.0345, -0.0549, -0.0868, -0.0123, -0.0091, -0.008, -0.0725, -0.0318, -0.0614, -0.0229, -0.0473, -0.123, -0.0488, 0.0, 0.0528, 0.0819, 0.1022, 0.0465, -0.0108, 0.0016, 0.1671, 0.0998, 0.1419, 0.1103, 0.0758, -0.0192, -0.0136, -0.038, 0.0689, 0.0494, 0.0494, 0.0094, -0.0, -0.0462, -0.0525, -0.0525, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2049941088165892196", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-04-30T19:56:56+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "there's only a few in the entire world like $LITE, $COHR, and $MTSI", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish Sivers (SIVE) on imminent US institutional inflows via NASDAQ listing + $1B MC unlock; LITE/COHR/MTSI cited as rare CPO/silicon-photonics plays with similar demand tailwinds.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Fun fact: don’t think any large US institution had positions in $SIVE / $SIVEF since it was a majority owned local Swedish retail stock.\n\nThere’s also fund mandates preventing US funds from entering (eg. Nasdaq listing / $1B MC)\n\nThat’s definitely changed now thanks to European media shaking out the local holders, Sivers upcoming NASDAQ listing, and hitting $1B+ MC.\n\nAgain $1.3B is literal spare change for hyperscalers and US institutions. \n\nAnd I have high confidence many would want exposure to CPO, silicon photonics and lasers, since there’s only a few in the entire world like $LITE, $COHR, and $MTSI.\n\nEspecially… a CHIPS Act laser supplier likely in $AMD, $MRVL, $AAPL, Lightmatter, Ayar, AlChip, GUC, O-Net and other supply chains like the Golden Dome.\n\nPart of it is game theory for share accumulation. \n\nSince US/Western retail now owns a large part of the float (off of the Swedish sellers).\n\nAnd US institutions now want exposure.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Also feels like there’s an infinite TWAP on $SIVE\n\nPrice goes up, long time holders sell, price goes up even more. \n\nFeel like large institutional bids averaging their buys.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04622939280699201, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04622939280699201, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0363777852049868, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0363777852049868, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009851607602005208, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009851607602005208, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03062152828056819, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03062152828056819, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.027852414452197216, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.027852414452197216, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027691138283709726, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0027691138283709726, "ret_p1w": -0.001626439672108071, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.001626439672108071, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.019604404812952336, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.019604404812952336, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017977965140844265, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017977965140844265, "ret_p1m": 0.13061840693675242, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13061840693675242, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07799267468853, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07799267468853, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05262573224822242, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05262573224822242, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3042, -0.2832, -0.34, -0.3455, -0.2879, -0.2416, -0.2857, -0.3003, -0.3241, -0.3205, -0.3205, -0.312, -0.2997, -0.2728, -0.2237, -0.2215, -0.2028, -0.1621, -0.2176, -0.1901, -0.0651, -0.1217, -0.1403, -0.2059, -0.2627, -0.2108, -0.1848, -0.2136, -0.2453, -0.2407, -0.2263, -0.2312, -0.1955, -0.1381, -0.2067, -0.2022, -0.1482, -0.1491, -0.239, -0.2384, -0.313, -0.2549, -0.2249, -0.1925, -0.1925, -0.208, -0.2021, -0.1186, -0.1112, -0.0382, -0.0368, -0.0197, -0.036, 0.0259, 0.0792, 0.087, 0.0753, 0.0962, 0.0562, 0.0512, 0.0057, -0.0492, -0.0462, 0.0, 0.0306, 0.0318, 0.0501, 0.0781, -0.0016, 0.0486, 0.1876, 0.1698, 0.2627, 0.2666, 0.1962, 0.1349, 0.1061, 0.1213, 0.1823, 0.181, 0.181, 0.1928, 0.1891, 0.179, 0.1306, 0.1306, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2049941088165892196", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-04-30T19:56:56+00:00", "symbol": "MTSI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "there's only a few in the entire world like $LITE, $COHR, and $MTSI", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish Sivers (SIVE) on imminent US institutional inflows via NASDAQ listing + $1B MC unlock; LITE/COHR/MTSI cited as rare CPO/silicon-photonics plays with similar demand tailwinds.", "resolved_tickers": ["MTSI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Fun fact: don’t think any large US institution had positions in $SIVE / $SIVEF since it was a majority owned local Swedish retail stock.\n\nThere’s also fund mandates preventing US funds from entering (eg. Nasdaq listing / $1B MC)\n\nThat’s definitely changed now thanks to European media shaking out the local holders, Sivers upcoming NASDAQ listing, and hitting $1B+ MC.\n\nAgain $1.3B is literal spare change for hyperscalers and US institutions. \n\nAnd I have high confidence many would want exposure to CPO, silicon photonics and lasers, since there’s only a few in the entire world like $LITE, $COHR, and $MTSI.\n\nEspecially… a CHIPS Act laser supplier likely in $AMD, $MRVL, $AAPL, Lightmatter, Ayar, AlChip, GUC, O-Net and other supply chains like the Golden Dome.\n\nPart of it is game theory for share accumulation. \n\nSince US/Western retail now owns a large part of the float (off of the Swedish sellers).\n\nAnd US institutions now want exposure.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Also feels like there’s an infinite TWAP on $SIVE\n\nPrice goes up, long time holders sell, price goes up even more. \n\nFeel like large institutional bids averaging their buys.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0425410358009648, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0425410358009648, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03268942819895959, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03268942819895959, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009851607602005208, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009851607602005208, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009126122857505692, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009126122857505692, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006357009029134719, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006357009029134719, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027691138283709726, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0027691138283709726, "ret_p1w": 0.2232165730581821, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2232165730581821, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.20523860791733783, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.20523860791733783, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017977965140844265, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017977965140844265, "ret_p1m": 0.2948405014588533, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2948405014588533, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2422147692106309, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2422147692106309, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05262573224822242, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05262573224822242, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1884, -0.195, -0.2364, -0.1911, -0.1624, -0.163, -0.1814, -0.1586, -0.1513, -0.133, -0.133, -0.1279, -0.1238, -0.1387, -0.135, -0.1281, -0.1183, -0.1003, -0.1225, -0.1189, -0.0819, -0.1442, -0.1513, -0.1869, -0.2631, -0.2233, -0.2167, -0.2097, -0.2332, -0.2266, -0.2013, -0.2142, -0.2227, -0.2027, -0.2225, -0.1859, -0.1576, -0.1299, -0.1886, -0.1995, -0.2561, -0.2114, -0.1855, -0.1538, -0.1538, -0.1725, -0.1584, -0.1229, -0.1204, -0.0834, -0.0638, -0.0628, -0.0726, -0.0717, -0.0165, -0.0019, 0.0146, -0.0164, 0.0099, 0.0214, -0.0077, -0.0568, -0.0425, 0.0, 0.0091, 0.0359, 0.078, 0.1001, 0.2232, 0.2779, 0.2992, 0.2882, 0.3549, 0.362, 0.3338, 0.265, 0.2747, 0.3342, 0.351, 0.3706, 0.3706, 0.4548, 0.4227, 0.3888, 0.2948, 0.2948, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2039370303302963209", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-01T15:52:24+00:00", "symbol": "NKE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Nike has definitely lost its 'cool factor' and when the stock is at 26 fwd p/e, maybe there's better longs out there", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish NKE: brand lost cool factor to On/NB/Lululemon/Vuori, valuation at 26x fwd P/E looks unattractive versus better opportunities elsewhere.", "resolved_tickers": ["NKE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Footwear & Accessories'", "bench_c_industry": "Footwear & Accessories", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NKE is a good lesson to trust your real life instincts.\n\n- If you see everyone wearing Oncloud / new balance shoes instead of Nike\n\n- You see everyone wearing vuori or lululemon shorts instead of Nike\n\n- Even Uniqlo / GU for casual/athletic wear instead of Nike\n\nThen the only place you see Nike are at your local Walmart or Ross discount stores.\n\nNike has definitely lost its “cool factor” and when the stock is at 26 fwd p/e, maybe there’s better longs out there.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.18350881538652075, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.18350881538652075, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.19098693554392077, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1909769362611412, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0074781201574000145, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007468120874620454, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.009858893813036396, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009858893813036396, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010759368241127554, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005168442070562107, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009004744280911581, "bench_c_p1d": -0.015027335883598503, "ret_p1w": -0.03360967878335175, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03360967878335175, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06530801808010422, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.042899265438332, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.031698339296752476, "bench_c_p1w": 0.009289586654980253, "ret_p1m": -0.0060497524378633205, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0060497524378633205, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10283869062136963, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08391856104193018, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09678893818350631, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07786880860406686, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.4085, 0.4364, 0.4546, 0.4072, 0.4526, 0.4673, 0.4611, 0.4758, 0.4595, 0.4377, 0.433, 0.433, 0.4163, 0.4559, 0.4571, 0.4477, 0.4466, 0.4043, 0.3854, 0.3934, 0.3758, 0.384, 0.3562, 0.4295, 0.3956, 0.4228, 0.3892, 0.4032, 0.3878, 0.36, 0.4052, 0.4052, 0.4428, 0.4591, 0.4604, 0.4557, 0.4043, 0.4266, 0.4112, 0.4234, 0.384, 0.367, 0.3307, 0.3139, 0.3, 0.2774, 0.2666, 0.2566, 0.248, 0.2129, 0.2095, 0.2276, 0.235, 0.1981, 0.1974, 0.1734, 0.181, 0.1985, 0.1871, 0.1667, 0.151, 0.1481, 0.1835, 0.0, -0.0099, -0.0099, -0.0134, -0.0435, -0.0336, -0.0141, -0.045, -0.0385, -0.0096, 0.0181, 0.024, 0.0314, 0.0415, 0.0394, 0.0235, 0.0034, 0.0013, 0.0114, 0.009, -0.0054, -0.006, -0.0052, -0.0345, -0.0352, -0.0168, -0.0049, -0.011, -0.0502, -0.0511, -0.0513, -0.0585, -0.0616, -0.0462, -0.0495, -0.0099, -0.0054, 0.0009, 0.0009, 0.0069, 0.0302, 0.0614, 0.0359, 0.0359, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2037356570670244332", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-27T02:30:33+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "They have the potential to be a $COHR or Innolight at $55B", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish AAOI on path to $55B MC from $7B today on $1.8B Q4-2026 revenue potential; COHR cited as comparable at that scale.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@KaneCapz Revenue hasn’t even hit $AAOI earnings yet? \n\nIf they’re implicitly saying they can do $1.8B q4 2026… and it’s a $7B MC today.\n\nThey have the potential to be a $COHR or Innolight at $55B.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit CPO ramp same for AAOI correct?\n\nMan so u still think these names have &gt;12 months to go? Insane", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "KaneCapz", "ret_m1d": -0.008043996771121553, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.008043996771121553, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02539169115854223, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02539169115854223, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.017347694387420676, "bench_c_m1d": 0.017347694387420676, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.1325730247881136, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.1325730247881136, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.129229562404929, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.129229562404929, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0033434623831846144, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0033434623831846144, "ret_p1w": 0.058038943394491005, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.058038943394491005, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02375360643345048, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02375360643345048, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.034285336961040525, "bench_c_p1w": 0.034285336961040525, "ret_p1m": 0.4843702284724407, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4843702284724407, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3565020195104214, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3565020195104214, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12786820896201934, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12786820896201934, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6332, -0.645, -0.645, -0.5968, -0.6437, -0.6069, -0.6125, -0.6639, -0.6534, -0.6567, -0.652, -0.649, -0.6233, -0.6228, -0.6228, -0.6002, -0.6092, -0.6115, -0.6363, -0.6447, -0.6193, -0.5395, -0.5971, -0.556, -0.5504, -0.5304, -0.5937, -0.6118, -0.5489, -0.5122, -0.5063, -0.5072, -0.5521, -0.5473, -0.5473, -0.5529, -0.5577, -0.5216, -0.4738, -0.4506, -0.427, -0.4082, -0.4533, -0.1423, 0.0438, -0.0292, 0.0153, 0.0298, -0.0268, 0.1264, 0.2269, 0.2932, 0.0813, -0.0143, -0.0422, -0.121, -0.0568, 0.0378, -0.1086, -0.0249, 0.1598, 0.165, -0.008, 0.0, -0.1326, -0.1387, -0.1208, 0.058, 0.058, 0.0941, 0.1978, 0.3512, 0.3573, 0.5334, 0.5598, 0.4906, 0.4515, 0.6019, 0.6233, 0.6645, 0.5331, 0.5214, 0.4024, 0.6513, 0.4844, 0.3976, 0.5562, 0.6736, 0.8685, 0.7613, 0.8386, 0.8179, 0.6042, 0.5165, 0.8827, 0.9171, 1.2717, 1.0728, 0.9383, 0.7642, 0.7445, 0.6827, 0.8003, 0.848, 0.848, 0.8086, 0.8311, 0.721, 0.613, 0.613, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2037356570670244332", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-27T02:30:33+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "a $COHR or Innolight at $55B", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish AAOI on path to $55B MC from $7B today on $1.8B Q4-2026 revenue potential; COHR cited as comparable at that scale.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@KaneCapz Revenue hasn’t even hit $AAOI earnings yet? \n\nIf they’re implicitly saying they can do $1.8B q4 2026… and it’s a $7B MC today.\n\nThey have the potential to be a $COHR or Innolight at $55B.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit CPO ramp same for AAOI correct?\n\nMan so u still think these names have &gt;12 months to go? Insane", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "KaneCapz", "ret_m1d": -0.0007803616097433741, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0007803616097433741, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01812805599716405, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01812805599716405, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.017347694387420676, "bench_c_m1d": 0.017347694387420676, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0978725244340859, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0978725244340859, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.09452906205090128, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.09452906205090128, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0033434623831846144, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0033434623831846144, "ret_p1w": 0.06029246012882994, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06029246012882994, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.026007123167789414, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.026007123167789414, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.034285336961040525, "bench_c_p1w": 0.034285336961040525, "ret_p1m": 0.3205602284431528, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3205602284431528, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.19269201948113346, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.19269201948113346, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12786820896201934, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12786820896201934, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2328, -0.242, -0.242, -0.2019, -0.2346, -0.2028, -0.213, -0.2889, -0.2687, -0.2394, -0.2195, -0.2438, -0.1952, -0.2154, -0.2154, -0.2054, -0.1726, -0.1674, -0.1911, -0.1878, -0.1211, -0.0918, -0.1134, -0.1286, -0.0864, -0.0587, -0.1334, -0.1406, -0.0649, -0.0042, -0.0621, -0.0813, -0.1125, -0.1078, -0.1078, -0.0966, -0.0805, -0.0452, 0.0193, 0.0222, 0.0467, 0.1003, 0.0274, 0.0635, 0.2277, 0.1533, 0.1289, 0.0427, -0.0319, 0.0363, 0.0705, 0.0326, -0.0091, -0.003, 0.016, 0.0095, 0.0564, 0.1318, 0.0417, 0.0475, 0.1185, 0.1173, -0.0008, 0.0, -0.0979, -0.0216, 0.0177, 0.0603, 0.0603, 0.04, 0.0477, 0.1573, 0.1671, 0.2629, 0.2647, 0.2873, 0.2658, 0.3471, 0.417, 0.4273, 0.412, 0.4394, 0.3869, 0.3804, 0.3206, 0.2484, 0.2524, 0.3131, 0.3533, 0.3549, 0.3789, 0.4156, 0.3109, 0.377, 0.5594, 0.5361, 0.6581, 0.6631, 0.5708, 0.4902, 0.4524, 0.4724, 0.5525, 0.5507, 0.5507, 0.5662, 0.5614, 0.5482, 0.4846, 0.4846, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2041740090691698750", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-08T04:49:05+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Too many shorts on $AAOI to $LITE and $SMH right now that might be screwed", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Iran peace deal could squeeze excessive short positions in AAOI, LITE, and SMH.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This has gotta be the biggest taco supreme I’ve ever seen?\n\nYesterday: “GG Iran as a civilization”\n\nToday: “Hurray for World Peace, Iran can reconstruct, US is helping flow of passage through the strait. Big money to be made”\n\nToo many shorts on $AAOI to $LITE and $SMH right now that might be screwed.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.11348905730923031, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11348905730923031, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08865208918752876, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08865208918752876, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.024836968121701553, "bench_c_m1d": -0.024836968121701553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004521523114651149, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004521523114651149, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0012475680564372205, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0012475680564372205, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00576909117108837, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00576909117108837, "ret_p1w": 0.0742276287116832, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0742276287116832, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03882875542565323, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03882875542565323, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.035398873286029975, "bench_c_p1w": 0.035398873286029975, "ret_p1m": 0.18726455670687048, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.18726455670687048, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10506162106767025, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10506162106767025, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08220293563920023, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08220293563920023, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7435, -0.7459, -0.7424, -0.7402, -0.7212, -0.7209, -0.7209, -0.7041, -0.7108, -0.7125, -0.7308, -0.7371, -0.7182, -0.6592, -0.7018, -0.6714, -0.6672, -0.6524, -0.6993, -0.7127, -0.6662, -0.639, -0.6346, -0.6353, -0.6685, -0.665, -0.665, -0.6691, -0.6726, -0.646, -0.6106, -0.5934, -0.576, -0.562, -0.5954, -0.3653, -0.2275, -0.2815, -0.2486, -0.2378, -0.2797, -0.1664, -0.092, -0.0429, -0.1998, -0.2705, -0.2911, -0.3494, -0.302, -0.232, -0.3403, -0.2784, -0.1417, -0.1378, -0.2659, -0.2599, -0.358, -0.3625, -0.3493, -0.217, -0.217, -0.1903, -0.1135, 0.0, 0.0045, 0.1349, 0.1544, 0.1032, 0.0742, 0.1855, 0.2014, 0.2319, 0.1347, 0.126, 0.0379, 0.2221, 0.0986, 0.0344, 0.1517, 0.2386, 0.3829, 0.3035, 0.3607, 0.3454, 0.1873, 0.1224, 0.3934, 0.4188, 0.6812, 0.5341, 0.4345, 0.3057, 0.2911, 0.2454, 0.3324, 0.3677, 0.3677, 0.3385, 0.3552, 0.2737, 0.1937, 0.1937, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2041740090691698750", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-08T04:49:05+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Too many shorts on $AAOI to $LITE and $SMH right now that might be screwed", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Iran peace deal could squeeze excessive short positions in AAOI, LITE, and SMH.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This has gotta be the biggest taco supreme I’ve ever seen?\n\nYesterday: “GG Iran as a civilization”\n\nToday: “Hurray for World Peace, Iran can reconstruct, US is helping flow of passage through the strait. Big money to be made”\n\nToo many shorts on $AAOI to $LITE and $SMH right now that might be screwed.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0895850737500743, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0895850737500743, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06474810562837274, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06474810562837274, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.024836968121701553, "bench_c_m1d": -0.024836968121701553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.002109344219146214, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.002109344219146214, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.007878435390234584, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007878435390234584, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00576909117108837, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00576909117108837, "ret_p1w": -0.08036651882320311, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08036651882320311, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.11576539210923309, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11576539210923309, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.035398873286029975, "bench_c_p1w": 0.035398873286029975, "ret_p1m": -0.0038392026588935924, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0038392026588935924, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08604213829809382, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.08604213829809382, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08220293563920023, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08220293563920023, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6078, -0.6207, -0.5967, -0.6299, -0.6169, -0.6381, -0.6381, -0.6018, -0.5955, -0.6044, -0.6214, -0.629, -0.5863, -0.5703, -0.5743, -0.5627, -0.5274, -0.5144, -0.4804, -0.437, -0.384, -0.3559, -0.3738, -0.3593, -0.3488, -0.372, -0.372, -0.3299, -0.3368, -0.2906, -0.2547, -0.247, -0.2319, -0.1927, -0.2444, -0.2178, -0.1259, -0.225, -0.2402, -0.2737, -0.3768, -0.285, -0.25, -0.25, -0.3124, -0.3053, -0.3026, -0.2751, -0.2179, -0.1383, -0.2117, -0.1865, -0.1049, -0.1326, -0.2313, -0.2157, -0.2692, -0.2157, -0.1466, -0.0772, -0.0772, -0.1381, -0.0896, 0.0, -0.0021, 0.0014, -0.0277, -0.0482, -0.0804, -0.0054, -0.0022, -0.001, -0.066, -0.025, -0.0548, -0.016, -0.0406, -0.1168, -0.0421, 0.007, 0.0602, 0.0895, 0.11, 0.0539, -0.0038, 0.0087, 0.1753, 0.1075, 0.1499, 0.1181, 0.0833, -0.0123, -0.0066, -0.0312, 0.0764, 0.0568, 0.0568, 0.0165, 0.007, -0.0395, -0.0458, -0.0458, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2041740090691698750", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-04-08T04:49:05+00:00", "symbol": "SMH", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Too many shorts on $AAOI to $LITE and $SMH right now that might be screwed", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "days", "summary": "Iran peace deal could squeeze excessive short positions in AAOI, LITE, and SMH.", "resolved_tickers": ["SMH"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "This has gotta be the biggest taco supreme I’ve ever seen?\n\nYesterday: “GG Iran as a civilization”\n\nToday: “Hurray for World Peace, Iran can reconstruct, US is helping flow of passage through the strait. Big money to be made”\n\nToo many shorts on $AAOI to $LITE and $SMH right now that might be screwed.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.054431142533725274, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.054431142533725274, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02959417441202372, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02959417441202372, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.024836968121701553, "bench_c_m1d": -0.024836968121701553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01747371582386026, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01747371582386026, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011704624652771889, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011704624652771889, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00576909117108837, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00576909117108837, "ret_p1w": 0.07112452855675855, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07112452855675855, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.035725655270728573, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.035725655270728573, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.035398873286029975, "bench_c_p1w": 0.035398873286029975, "ret_p1m": 0.2770735799624815, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2770735799624815, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.19487064432328127, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.19487064432328127, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08220293563920023, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08220293563920023, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0797, -0.0763, -0.0742, -0.0817, -0.0627, -0.0533, -0.0533, -0.0769, -0.0496, -0.0475, -0.054, -0.057, -0.0371, -0.0149, -0.0128, -0.046, -0.0353, -0.0597, -0.0967, -0.099, -0.0503, -0.0385, -0.0429, -0.0192, -0.0397, -0.0359, -0.0359, -0.0364, -0.0245, -0.0301, -0.0187, -0.0237, -0.0089, 0.0077, -0.0258, -0.0391, -0.0391, -0.0753, -0.0563, -0.0652, -0.1002, -0.0675, -0.0605, -0.0518, -0.0823, -0.0842, -0.0686, -0.0616, -0.0692, -0.0662, -0.0903, -0.0746, -0.067, -0.0565, -0.0995, -0.1151, -0.1428, -0.0934, -0.0732, -0.0724, -0.0724, -0.0637, -0.0544, 0.0, 0.0175, 0.033, 0.0483, 0.0688, 0.0711, 0.0754, 0.0975, 0.097, 0.0987, 0.1275, 0.1393, 0.1975, 0.1971, 0.1615, 0.1813, 0.1981, 0.2055, 0.1983, 0.2359, 0.2999, 0.2771, 0.3396, 0.3627, 0.3271, 0.3536, 0.3675, 0.3155, 0.2914, 0.2862, 0.3351, 0.3428, 0.3627, 0.3627, 0.4238, 0.4081, 0.4183, 0.4162, 0.4162, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2049658990628659481", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-30T01:15:58+00:00", "symbol": "CEVA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$5-10B+ MC isn't far fetched from $1.4B if they manage to maintain their status", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on CPO inspection market leader; sees $5-10B MC from current $1.4B on 90% market share thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["CEVA"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "CEVA Inc NASDAQ-listed semiconductor IP company", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "CPO is the holy grail of next-gen photonics architectures. \n\nThe CEO's claim was to \"seize a 90 percent share of the CPO inspection market\" (basically 100% but they can't say that otherwise antitrust).\n\n$5-10B+ MC isn't far fetched from $1.4B if they manage to maintain their status.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What’s the upside potential with this one you think?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DocSynapsee", "ret_m1d": -0.10412574360988269, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10412574360988269, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09427413600787748, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09003509269569543, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009851607602005208, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014090650914187264, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.056974388068366855, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.056974388068366855, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05420527423999588, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05085659896186301, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027691138283709726, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006117789106503846, "ret_p1w": 0.10412574360988258, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10412574360988258, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08614777846903832, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03825114958394904, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017977965140844265, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06587459402593354, "ret_p1m": 0.3091027617458073, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3091027617458073, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2564770294975849, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1271285131806399, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05262573224822242, "bench_c_p1m": 0.18197424856516742, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3098, -0.3222, -0.3232, -0.3143, -0.262, -0.2485, -0.2436, -0.2246, -0.2616, -0.2577, -0.2577, -0.3304, -0.3422, -0.3559, -0.3628, -0.3857, -0.3409, -0.3019, -0.2927, -0.317, -0.298, -0.3134, -0.3274, -0.3621, -0.3736, -0.3553, -0.3454, -0.3494, -0.3975, -0.4028, -0.389, -0.3942, -0.3936, -0.3788, -0.3919, -0.3831, -0.3749, -0.3641, -0.3838, -0.4034, -0.4365, -0.3883, -0.3618, -0.3569, -0.3569, -0.3572, -0.3674, -0.3232, -0.3369, -0.3258, -0.3153, -0.297, -0.2747, -0.2682, -0.2331, -0.2171, -0.1922, -0.1909, -0.1932, -0.0547, -0.1113, -0.1866, -0.1041, 0.0, 0.057, 0.0652, 0.1041, 0.1349, 0.1041, 0.2105, 0.1938, 0.2141, 0.2492, 0.2439, 0.1955, 0.1981, 0.1932, 0.2453, 0.2587, 0.2911, 0.2911, 0.3684, 0.3278, 0.3674, 0.3091, 0.3091, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2048689099197059165", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-27T09:01:58+00:00", "symbol": "Towa", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "markets missed Towa given record capex spend from all your memory makers", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Towa: market has overlooked it despite record capex from memory makers.", "resolved_tickers": ["6315.T"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Towa Corp listed on TSE as 6315.T", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@reallldealll I think markets missed Towa given record capex spend from all your memory makers https://t.co/iVmufEGXF8", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit is there something that did not go brrr yet ?😭", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "reallldealll", "ret_m1d": -0.05215171407731578, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05215171407731578, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05043187054620868, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05250724813552554, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0017198435311071014, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00035553405820976103, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0466812545587163, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0466812545587163, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.051547203286862464, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07640909799931184, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004865948728146163, "bench_c_p1d": -0.029727843440595536, "ret_p1w": 0.11232676878191095, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11232676878191095, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10835564733759062, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.11127987831244202, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003971121444320325, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0010468904694689307, "ret_p1m": 0.11962071480671033, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11962071480671033, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07009396621306552, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06976814276313914, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04952674859364481, "bench_c_p1m": 0.18938885756984947, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1049, 0.1103, 0.0788, 0.0379, 0.0759, 0.069, 0.0723, 0.0821, 0.0499, 0.0318, 0.0318, 0.0376, -0.0308, 0.0134, -0.0036, -0.0105, 0.0101, 0.052, 0.052, 0.0235, 0.0662, 0.1049, 0.0886, 0.0654, 0.0134, -0.0767, -0.0087, 0.0155, -0.0991, -0.0449, -0.0264, -0.0543, -0.0687, -0.0615, -0.0944, -0.034, -0.0832, -0.0832, -0.1378, -0.1281, -0.093, -0.1244, -0.1335, -0.1645, -0.1907, -0.1298, -0.1575, -0.1495, -0.1579, -0.1689, -0.0715, -0.078, -0.0015, -0.0321, 0.015, -0.0113, 0.0139, -0.039, -0.0445, -0.0445, -0.0525, -0.0532, -0.0522, 0.0, 0.0467, 0.0467, 0.0649, 0.1123, 0.1123, 0.1123, 0.1123, 0.2053, 0.2327, 0.2309, -0.0244, -0.0197, 0.0098, -0.0594, 0.0055, -0.0412, -0.0532, -0.0226, 0.0551, 0.0569, 0.1196, 0.1196, 0.1397, 0.0959, 0.0689, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2054687492750889323", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-13T22:17:27+00:00", "symbol": "TSEM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this just means you're early to the next supercycle and there's a lot of room to go", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish photonics supercycle; SIVE, TSEM, AAOI named as early-stage plays with lots of room to run.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSEM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "What an insane day for photonics.\n\n$SIVE up 31.3%\n$TSEM up 23.1%\n$AAOI 20.01%.\n\nIt feels like a lot… but this just means you’re early to the next supercycle and there’s a lot of room to go.\n\nLot of people on X ask what’s next after $SNDK?\n\nHere they are. https://t.co/jTeHpYtf0n", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.184436936177944, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.184436936177944, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1788732163083534, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1788732163083534, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005563719869590589, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005563719869590589, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03663631063350037, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03663631063350037, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.028742054364777614, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.028742054364777614, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007894256268722755, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007894256268722755, "ret_p1w": -0.023229967435667853, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.023229967435667853, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.021801995884590752, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.021801995884590752, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0014279715510771007, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0014279715510771007, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5245, -0.5245, -0.5281, -0.526, -0.5352, -0.5255, -0.5294, -0.5346, -0.5348, -0.5426, -0.5388, -0.4882, -0.5364, -0.5439, -0.5548, -0.5916, -0.5736, -0.5683, -0.5589, -0.5622, -0.5394, -0.4886, -0.4909, -0.4757, -0.3866, -0.3957, -0.3643, -0.3322, -0.303, -0.3549, -0.3651, -0.4143, -0.3519, -0.3091, -0.2695, -0.2695, -0.2976, -0.2951, -0.2478, -0.2473, -0.2481, -0.2264, -0.2093, -0.2036, -0.2069, -0.1637, -0.1709, -0.1996, -0.2388, -0.2567, -0.2594, -0.2491, -0.2852, -0.2644, -0.1836, -0.1949, -0.2057, -0.1671, -0.1991, -0.2244, -0.2207, -0.1547, -0.1844, 0.0, 0.0366, 0.0119, -0.0838, -0.072, -0.0232, 0.0304, 0.0468, 0.0468, 0.0656, 0.0259, 0.0175, -0.0574, -0.0574, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2054687492750889323", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-05-13T22:17:27+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this just means you're early to the next supercycle and there's a lot of room to go", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish photonics supercycle; SIVE, TSEM, AAOI named as early-stage plays with lots of room to run.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "What an insane day for photonics.\n\n$SIVE up 31.3%\n$TSEM up 23.1%\n$AAOI 20.01%.\n\nIt feels like a lot… but this just means you’re early to the next supercycle and there’s a lot of room to go.\n\nLot of people on X ask what’s next after $SNDK?\n\nHere they are. https://t.co/jTeHpYtf0n", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.15607353819642078, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.15607353819642078, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1505098183268302, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1505098183268302, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.005563719869590589, "bench_c_m1d": -0.005563719869590589, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08753921221425331, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08753921221425331, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.09543346848297607, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.09543346848297607, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007894256268722755, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007894256268722755, "ret_p1w": -0.2592559839278653, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.2592559839278653, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2578280123767882, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2578280123767882, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0014279715510771007, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0014279715510771007, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.8007, -0.8007, -0.8032, -0.8053, -0.7894, -0.7684, -0.7581, -0.7478, -0.7395, -0.7593, -0.6225, -0.5405, -0.5727, -0.5531, -0.5467, -0.5716, -0.5042, -0.4599, -0.4307, -0.524, -0.5661, -0.5784, -0.613, -0.5848, -0.5432, -0.6076, -0.5708, -0.4895, -0.4872, -0.5633, -0.5598, -0.6182, -0.6208, -0.613, -0.5342, -0.5342, -0.5184, -0.4727, -0.4052, -0.4025, -0.325, -0.3134, -0.3438, -0.361, -0.2948, -0.2854, -0.2673, -0.3251, -0.3303, -0.3827, -0.2731, -0.3466, -0.3848, -0.315, -0.2633, -0.1775, -0.2247, -0.1906, -0.1997, -0.2938, -0.3324, -0.1712, -0.1561, 0.0, -0.0875, -0.1468, -0.2234, -0.232, -0.2593, -0.2075, -0.1865, -0.1865, -0.2039, -0.1939, -0.2424, -0.29, -0.29, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2049945161174823025", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-30T20:13:07+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "a realistic path to competing with $60B+ $LITE over next few years", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "SIVE should be ~$3B now, $10B next year on volume ramp, with multi-year path to challenge LITE at $60B+.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I think $SIVE realistically should be valued around ~$3B today after information discovery/news around $YSS + Golden Dome and Lightmatter. \n\nNASDAQ listing doesn’t change it fundamentally, but gives it more liquidity to bridge that valuation gap.\n\nNext year $10B very possible on volume ramp. \n\nAnd I see a realistic path to competing with $60B+ $LITE over next few years if they want to speedrun it with downstream IP acquisitions.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Honestly and realistically, what’s possible this year in a conservative case ?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Berlinergy", "ret_m1d": -0.04876318783009104, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04876318783009104, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03891158022808583, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03891158022808583, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009851607602005208, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009851607602005208, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05276396950650275, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05276396950650275, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04999485567813178, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04999485567813178, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027691138283709726, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0027691138283709726, "ret_p1w": -0.01079438575595637, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01079438575595637, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.028772350896800636, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.028772350896800636, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017977965140844265, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017977965140844265, "ret_p1m": -0.0524869059392864, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0524869059392864, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10511263818750882, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.10511263818750882, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05262573224822242, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05262573224822242, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5307, -0.5178, -0.4841, -0.441, -0.3883, -0.3604, -0.3781, -0.3637, -0.3534, -0.3763, -0.3763, -0.3346, -0.3414, -0.2955, -0.2599, -0.2522, -0.2372, -0.1983, -0.2497, -0.2232, -0.132, -0.2304, -0.2455, -0.2787, -0.3811, -0.29, -0.2553, -0.2553, -0.3172, -0.3101, -0.3075, -0.2801, -0.2233, -0.1443, -0.2172, -0.1921, -0.1112, -0.1387, -0.2366, -0.2212, -0.2743, -0.2212, -0.1526, -0.0836, -0.0836, -0.1441, -0.0959, -0.007, -0.0091, -0.0056, -0.0345, -0.0549, -0.0868, -0.0123, -0.0091, -0.008, -0.0725, -0.0318, -0.0614, -0.0229, -0.0473, -0.123, -0.0488, 0.0, 0.0528, 0.0819, 0.1022, 0.0465, -0.0108, 0.0016, 0.1671, 0.0998, 0.1419, 0.1103, 0.0758, -0.0192, -0.0136, -0.038, 0.0689, 0.0494, 0.0494, 0.0094, -0.0, -0.0462, -0.0525, -0.0525, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2058620094532718772", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-24T18:44:12+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AXTI owns many many material chokepoints upstream required to make the finished substrates. And they're roughly ~40% of the entire InP supply chain like indium/gallium/precursors to pBN crucibles + processing. It's a materials problem, they can always price hike if they wanted to.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AXTI: controls ~40% of InP supply chain upstream chokepoints with pricing power.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "You're comparing Sumitomo finished InP substrates vs AXT. \n\n$AXTI owns many many material chokepoints upstream required to make the finished substrates. And they're roughly ~40% of the entire InP supply chain like indium/gallium/precursors to pBN crucibles + processing. \n\nIt's a materials problem, they can always price hike if they wanted to.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Doesn’t $SMTOY produce more than $AXTI despite being less than 1% of revenues?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "M3Invest", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05843922190253248, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05843922190253248, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06507783049352267, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.10324073320889471, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0066386085909901915, "bench_c_p1d": 0.04480151130636223, "ret_p1w": -0.26748560448174785, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.26748560448174785, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.28202340503879475, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.30671725541217076, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014537800557046898, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03923165093042291, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7091, -0.7364, -0.7309, -0.6711, -0.7035, -0.7221, -0.7245, -0.7701, -0.7262, -0.6854, -0.6637, -0.6682, -0.6531, -0.6564, -0.685, -0.6538, -0.5875, -0.6149, -0.5424, -0.514, -0.5218, -0.5845, -0.5695, -0.6256, -0.5954, -0.6653, -0.6248, -0.6248, -0.7018, -0.6772, -0.6224, -0.5518, -0.5443, -0.5282, -0.5221, -0.5531, -0.4193, -0.4138, -0.4407, -0.4677, -0.3827, -0.4655, -0.4592, -0.5019, -0.5121, -0.4953, -0.4375, -0.3183, -0.2473, -0.2363, -0.2556, -0.2301, -0.1738, -0.1067, -0.1273, -0.1341, -0.1836, -0.1211, -0.2482, -0.1985, -0.2572, -0.1407, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0584, -0.1282, -0.1784, -0.2675, -0.2675, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2049949682022203738", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-30T20:31:05+00:00", "symbol": "RDDT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Reddit looks like a literal, high growth money printer. I do have Reddit positions. Reddit money printer go brrr.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long RDDT with held positions; blowout quarter with 69% revenue growth, massive EPS beat, and strong forward guidance make it a high-growth compounder.", "resolved_tickers": ["RDDT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Wow, $RDDT just posted an absolute blowout quarter.\n\n-> $663M revenue (69% growth Y/Y) vs. ~$608M consensus.\n-> $1.01 EPS reported vs. $0.6 consensus (68.3% beat). \n-> 91.5% gross margins.\n-> Q1 GAAP net income was $204M. This is probably the most important figure for true profitability since it includes SBC. \n\nNext quarter they projected, $715M to $725M revenue growth with $285 million to $295 million adjusted EBITDA. \n\nReddit looks like a literal, high growth money printer. (Disclosure: I do have Reddit positions.)\n\nExpect a lot of chart volatility from short term option flows. \n\nBut fundamentally, if you look at Reddit earnings without the noise, Reddit money printer go brrr.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.003531918002791068, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.003531918002791068, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.013383525604796276, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.014003132476520297, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009851607602005208, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010471214473729229, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.13074781334384933, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.13074781334384933, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.12797869951547836, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.1289454008417268, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027691138283709726, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0018024125021225412, "ret_p1w": 0.1135638233097882, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1135638233097882, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09558585816894394, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10609669515567277, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017977965140844265, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007467128154115432, "ret_p1m": 0.19540857914376453, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.19540857914376453, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1427828468955421, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.20244659888275163, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05262573224822242, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0070380197389871, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2032, 0.1235, 0.0371, 0.0259, -0.0503, -0.0373, 0.0187, -0.0539, -0.1098, -0.0515, -0.0515, -0.0543, 0.0016, -0.0075, 0.02, -0.0324, -0.035, 0.0166, 0.0273, -0.0096, -0.0008, -0.0105, 0.0004, -0.0196, -0.0532, -0.0568, -0.089, -0.0687, -0.1017, -0.101, -0.0491, -0.0197, -0.0302, -0.0619, -0.0501, -0.0426, -0.0755, -0.0516, -0.1356, -0.1725, -0.1569, -0.0854, -0.0751, -0.0763, -0.0763, -0.0604, -0.0414, -0.0151, -0.0601, -0.0509, 0.0144, 0.0497, 0.0764, 0.1034, 0.1125, 0.1294, 0.0651, 0.116, 0.0389, 0.052, 0.0882, 0.0048, 0.0035, 0.0, 0.1307, 0.1483, 0.1657, 0.1313, 0.1136, 0.0582, 0.0834, 0.0348, 0.0468, 0.0617, 0.0743, 0.0807, 0.052, -0.0035, 0.0191, -0.0378, -0.0378, -0.0176, 0.0473, 0.139, 0.1954, 0.1954, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2058944319248380287", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-25T16:12:33+00:00", "symbol": "RDDT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Really doubt anyone is quitting $RDDT to join FB's Forums.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish RDDT; dismisses competitive threat from Facebook Forums as a reason to leave Reddit.", "resolved_tickers": ["RDDT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@EndratoxHatesW Really doubt anyone is quitting $RDDT to join FB's Forums.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Are you still bullish on RDDT after all the bad news? Thinking of entering", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "EndratoxHatesW", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.020964221494245594, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.020964221494245594, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014325612903255402, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.020184696394654145, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0066386085909901915, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0007795250995914493, "ret_p1w": 0.24232372608712272, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.24232372608712272, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.22778592553007582, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.24033166512438764, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014537800557046898, "bench_c_p1w": 0.001992060962735076, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0565, 0.0676, 0.0292, 0.0384, 0.0284, 0.0397, 0.0188, -0.0161, -0.0198, -0.0532, -0.0321, -0.0665, -0.0657, -0.0118, 0.0188, 0.0079, -0.0251, -0.0128, -0.005, -0.0392, -0.0144, -0.1017, -0.14, -0.1238, -0.0496, -0.0388, -0.04, -0.04, -0.0235, -0.0037, 0.0235, -0.0232, -0.0137, 0.0542, 0.0908, 0.1187, 0.1467, 0.1562, 0.1737, 0.1069, 0.1598, 0.0797, 0.0933, 0.1309, 0.0442, 0.0429, 0.0392, 0.1751, 0.1934, 0.2115, 0.1757, 0.1573, 0.0997, 0.1259, 0.0754, 0.0879, 0.1033, 0.1165, 0.1231, 0.0932, 0.0356, 0.0591, 0.0, 0.0, 0.021, 0.0884, 0.1837, 0.2423, 0.2423, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2039635527402664030", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-02T09:26:18+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if there's any indication that they hit their targets and macro clears up, we probably won't see current valuations again", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long AAOI: largest 1.6T transceiver capacity in US, $4.35B annualized revenue potential by H2 2027, vertically integrated supply chain; current valuation won't persist once execution risk clears.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just a gentle reminder:\n\n$AAOI expects to have the largest production capacity of 1.6T optical transceivers in America.\n\nJust as optical TAM is expected to ramp to $100B in a bull case (Lightcounting).\n\nAOI: “We expect that we will soon have the largest production capacity for … 1.6T transceivers in the US” from their former ER transcript.\n\nThey expect shipments to begin Q3 of 2026 and projected $378M / month capacity starting H2 2027, which is $4.35B annualized if hyperscalers buy anything they make.\n\nWe’re in H1 of 2026, so it’s a tad early to be panicking from market volatility. \n\nSince AOI does the entire supply chain from InP laser fab, design, and assembly all captive. \n\nAnd especially in the USA + Taiwan operations that they’re reshoring (rather than sourcing to China/Malaysia/Thailand)\n\nMarkets miss this part especially:\n\n-> They have TAM expansion optionality for ELS to merchant models in any parts of their vertically integrated supply chain.\n\n$AAOI is trading at $6.4B largely because of execution uncertainty and macro. And execution will always be an speculative overhang until it comes time to deliver.\n\nBut if there’s any indication that they hit their targets and macro clears up, we probably won’t see current valuations again.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.16899244123875934, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.16899244123875934, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.16809277693536728, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.16809277693536728, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0008996643033920559, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0008996643033920559, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.28284090418491115, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.28284090418491115, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.24612414004297833, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.24612414004297833, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03671676414193281, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03671676414193281, "ret_p1m": 0.7660474260357724, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.7660474260357724, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6672108286932952, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.6672108286932952, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09883659734247718, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09883659734247718, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6633, -0.6284, -0.6338, -0.6823, -0.6724, -0.6755, -0.6711, -0.6683, -0.6439, -0.6435, -0.6435, -0.6222, -0.6306, -0.6329, -0.6562, -0.6642, -0.6402, -0.5647, -0.6192, -0.5803, -0.575, -0.5562, -0.616, -0.633, -0.5737, -0.5389, -0.5333, -0.5342, -0.5767, -0.5721, -0.5721, -0.5774, -0.5819, -0.5479, -0.5026, -0.4807, -0.4585, -0.4407, -0.4833, -0.1894, -0.0135, -0.0825, -0.0404, -0.0267, -0.0802, 0.0646, 0.1596, 0.2223, 0.0219, -0.0683, -0.0947, -0.1692, -0.1086, -0.0192, -0.1575, -0.0784, 0.0961, 0.101, -0.0625, -0.0549, -0.1802, -0.1859, -0.169, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0341, 0.1321, 0.2771, 0.2828, 0.4493, 0.4743, 0.4088, 0.3719, 0.514, 0.5342, 0.5732, 0.449, 0.438, 0.3255, 0.5607, 0.4029, 0.321, 0.4708, 0.5818, 0.766, 0.6647, 0.7378, 0.7182, 0.5162, 0.4334, 0.7794, 0.812, 1.1471, 0.9591, 0.832, 0.6674, 0.6488, 0.5904, 0.7016, 0.7466, 0.7466, 0.7094, 0.7306, 0.6266, 0.5245, 0.5245, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2059830121117446415", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-28T02:52:25+00:00", "symbol": "MRVL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$MRVL earnings were a bullish indicator on the broader CPO theme", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish MRVL on CPO/Celestial scale-up ramp; bullish SIVE as direct laser supplier to Celestial with 2x+ revenue ramp ahead.", "resolved_tickers": ["MRVL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$MRVL earnings were a bullish indicator on the broader CPO theme (and $SIVE as the likely laser supplier).\n\n- “Scale-up interconnect represents one of the newest and most strategically important opportunities emerging in AI infrastructure.” \n\nCPO thematically go brrr \n\n- Confirmation Celestial was selected by T1 hyperscaler for scale up.\n\nI’ve found Celestial $AMZN warrants in the past)… so probably Amazon.\n\n- Scale-up optics revenue next year should be more than 2x prior ~$150M outlook with Celestial\n\nForward revenue ramp expectations go brrr. \n\n- Celestial team plus $MRVL optics team was a “home run”.\n\nMarvell sees celestial as growth vector, upstream celestial suppliers go brr\n\n- $MRVL is now focused on bringing Celestial to high volume manufacturing. \n\nVolume ramp indicator\n\nIf you don’t recall, there was OSINT mapping $SIVE directly to Celestial, not through $POET.\n\nSo Celestial forward growth is a volume ramp indicator for Sivers lasers.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.029927280320333982, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.029927280320333982, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0244409912304534, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0244409912304534, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0054862890898805805, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0054862890898805805, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0008299476025270813, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0008299476025270813, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0016614451136636177, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0016614451136636177, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002491392716190699, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002491392716190699, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6054, -0.6218, -0.6189, -0.6307, -0.5629, -0.5479, -0.5447, -0.5587, -0.5722, -0.5713, -0.5531, -0.557, -0.5724, -0.5631, -0.571, -0.5601, -0.5493, -0.5196, -0.5234, -0.537, -0.5715, -0.5167, -0.4793, -0.4773, -0.4773, -0.4656, -0.4663, -0.4415, -0.4148, -0.3727, -0.359, -0.3466, -0.3429, -0.3489, -0.318, -0.2782, -0.2613, -0.2319, -0.1917, -0.1978, -0.2276, -0.2519, -0.2356, -0.1937, -0.1947, -0.201, -0.1761, -0.1595, -0.2188, -0.1694, -0.1659, -0.1969, -0.1312, -0.1086, -0.1364, -0.1753, -0.1394, -0.088, -0.069, -0.0415, -0.0415, 0.0167, -0.0299, 0.0, 0.0008, 0.0008, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2037942075422027868", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-28T17:17:08+00:00", "symbol": "NEXT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Extremely solid multi-year long (eg. 3-5 years) for $NEXT, especially when capacity is sold out already", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Multi-year long on NEXT (sold-out capacity); LNG exporters like LNG benefit from Iran geopolitics.", "resolved_tickers": ["NEXT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Extremely solid multi-year long (eg. 3-5 years) for $NEXT, especially when capacity is sold out already. LNG production is first half of 2027 though? Though I do think the sector as a whole will get attention. \n\nThe main beneficiaries of Iran are the LNG exporters like $LNG now backstopping the rest of the world though.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Looked at $NEXT yet big dawg?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Evan_ss6", "ret_m1d": 0.009937878485783314, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.009937878485783314, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006583199860808575, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006583199860808575, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04844724646983545, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04844724646983545, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07751517216875026, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07751517216875026, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "ret_p1w": 0.03229816431322363, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03229816431322363, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.010362125293038371, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.010362125293038371, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "bench_c_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "ret_p1m": -0.08074535154863083, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.08074535154863083, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.20689063603040025, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.20689063603040025, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3453, -0.3453, -0.3317, -0.3317, -0.3689, -0.3764, -0.3528, -0.3925, -0.4037, -0.3478, -0.3441, -0.3689, -0.3429, -0.3429, -0.3963, -0.3901, -0.3503, -0.3453, -0.3478, -0.3565, -0.3478, -0.3441, -0.3429, -0.3689, -0.3714, -0.3727, -0.4012, -0.3491, -0.3317, -0.3317, -0.3267, -0.3665, -0.354, -0.354, -0.3689, -0.3354, -0.3068, -0.3193, -0.3267, -0.3416, -0.3354, -0.3503, -0.3304, -0.3031, -0.3031, -0.2634, -0.3193, -0.3019, -0.3093, -0.3093, -0.2807, -0.277, -0.2832, -0.287, -0.2571, -0.1379, -0.0957, -0.0894, -0.1043, -0.1019, -0.0882, 0.0124, 0.0099, 0.0, -0.0484, -0.0882, -0.0248, -0.0248, 0.0323, 0.0857, 0.0037, -0.0851, -0.0634, -0.0646, -0.0795, -0.1106, -0.0634, -0.1503, -0.1112, -0.0671, -0.0696, -0.077, -0.1193, -0.1006, -0.0807, -0.0447, -0.0273, -0.0273, 0.0584, -0.0199, -0.0708, -0.0534, -0.0609, 0.0037, 0.0559, 0.0609, 0.1081, 0.1329, 0.0894, 0.1143, 0.082, 0.0497, 0.0509, 0.0509, 0.0398, -0.0099, 0.0, -0.0174, -0.0174, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2037942075422027868", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-28T17:17:08+00:00", "symbol": "LNG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The main beneficiaries of Iran are the LNG exporters like $LNG now backstopping the rest of the world", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Multi-year long on NEXT (sold-out capacity); LNG exporters like LNG benefit from Iran geopolitics.", "resolved_tickers": ["LNG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Extremely solid multi-year long (eg. 3-5 years) for $NEXT, especially when capacity is sold out already. LNG production is first half of 2027 though? Though I do think the sector as a whole will get attention. \n\nThe main beneficiaries of Iran are the LNG exporters like $LNG now backstopping the rest of the world though.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Looked at $NEXT yet big dawg?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Evan_ss6", "ret_m1d": 0.011136013367007758, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011136013367007758, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007781334742033019, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007781334742033019, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03364669202495274, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03364669202495274, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06271461772386755, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06271461772386755, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "ret_p1w": -0.032659166822486596, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.032659166822486596, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0753194564287486, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0753194564287486, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "bench_c_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "ret_p1m": -0.0976024908969031, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0976024908969031, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.22374777537867252, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.22374777537867252, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3397, -0.3397, -0.3282, -0.325, -0.3391, -0.334, -0.3326, -0.3405, -0.343, -0.3421, -0.3216, -0.3114, -0.2979, -0.2979, -0.3104, -0.2959, -0.2976, -0.2957, -0.2986, -0.3012, -0.2934, -0.2766, -0.2816, -0.2943, -0.2835, -0.2736, -0.2849, -0.2742, -0.2656, -0.2563, -0.2528, -0.2587, -0.2481, -0.2481, -0.2542, -0.2381, -0.2297, -0.2287, -0.2394, -0.2475, -0.2485, -0.2082, -0.1972, -0.1523, -0.162, -0.1521, -0.1502, -0.1311, -0.1459, -0.1631, -0.1475, -0.1355, -0.1409, -0.1442, -0.1435, -0.0934, -0.0401, -0.0434, -0.0219, 0.0032, -0.0315, -0.0076, 0.0111, 0.0, -0.0336, -0.0606, -0.0425, -0.0425, -0.0327, -0.0319, -0.0628, -0.0949, -0.0957, -0.1091, -0.1157, -0.1256, -0.1052, -0.145, -0.1406, -0.1221, -0.1231, -0.1241, -0.1245, -0.1166, -0.0976, -0.0729, -0.0636, -0.0803, -0.0708, -0.0821, -0.1097, -0.1596, -0.1823, -0.1784, -0.1661, -0.1829, -0.1771, -0.1745, -0.1544, -0.1577, -0.1683, -0.1792, -0.1779, -0.1779, -0.2011, -0.2116, -0.2164, -0.2325, -0.2325, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2038619535247393044", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-30T14:09:07+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I do think $AAOI outperforms macro climate personally", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AAOI: supply bottleneck and low BOM share of optical transceivers make it outperform despite macro headwinds.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm actually bearish on the market. \n\nHowever, there's some individual stocks like $AAOI that I expect to outperform despite macro climate.\n\nIf you're sold out because nobody can make enough... even if hyperscalers cut back capex, you have the same problem in the bottleneck. \n\nAlso BOM share of optical transceivers is actually not that much compared to others like memory, so they'd happily pay. \n\nTLDR pretty nuanced, but I do think $AAOI outpetforms macro climate personally.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I think you’re ignoring an elephant in the room. People are offloading volatile stocks because Trump may start a retarded war", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "CyberrBandera", "ret_m1d": 0.1528347959846763, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.1528347959846763, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.14948011735970157, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.14948011735970157, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007043151617800558, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007043151617800558, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03611107731671537, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03611107731671537, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "ret_p1w": 0.26129820247565294, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.26129820247565294, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.21863791286939094, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.21863791286939094, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "bench_c_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "ret_p1m": 0.6112218637538305, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6112218637538305, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.48507657927206105, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.48507657927206105, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5908, -0.5908, -0.5352, -0.5893, -0.5468, -0.5533, -0.6125, -0.6004, -0.6042, -0.5988, -0.5954, -0.5657, -0.5652, -0.5652, -0.5391, -0.5495, -0.5522, -0.5807, -0.5904, -0.5611, -0.4691, -0.5355, -0.4881, -0.4816, -0.4586, -0.5316, -0.5524, -0.48, -0.4376, -0.4308, -0.4319, -0.4836, -0.4781, -0.4781, -0.4846, -0.4901, -0.4485, -0.3934, -0.3666, -0.3395, -0.3178, -0.3698, -0.0113, 0.2033, 0.1191, 0.1704, 0.1872, 0.122, 0.2985, 0.4144, 0.4909, 0.2465, 0.1364, 0.1042, 0.0134, 0.0873, 0.1964, 0.0276, 0.1241, 0.337, 0.343, 0.1436, 0.1528, 0.0, -0.007, 0.0136, 0.2197, 0.2197, 0.2613, 0.3809, 0.5577, 0.5647, 0.7678, 0.7982, 0.7184, 0.6733, 0.8467, 0.8713, 0.9189, 0.7675, 0.754, 0.6167, 0.9036, 0.7112, 0.6112, 0.794, 0.9293, 1.1541, 1.0305, 1.1196, 1.0958, 0.8494, 0.7483, 1.1704, 1.2101, 1.6189, 1.3896, 1.2345, 1.0338, 1.0112, 0.9399, 1.0755, 1.1304, 1.1304, 1.085, 1.1109, 0.984, 0.8595, 0.8595, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2042533797405823299", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-10T09:23:00+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LITE backlog order fill into 2028 signals extreme demand", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long LITE on extreme backlog demand into 2028; long AAOI with $40B MC target on 800G/1.6T capacity leadership and vertically integrated InP laser fab.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm not sure people understand yet: \n\n$LITE backlog order fill into 2028 signals extreme demand. And a lack of capacity. \n\nThen by second order effect of hyperscaler demand spillover:\n\nGuess who is projected to have the largest 800G/1.6T capacity in America?\n\n$AAOI. \n\nThey fab their own inp lasers, design their own transceivers, and assemble it.\n\nIf $AAOI can execute on capacity ramp, that likely all translates into revenue due to everything being sold out.  \n\nMy $40B MC price target from $5B is starting to look more and more likely?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "We're now in the photonics supercycle. \n\nThe trio from $COHR, $LITE, $AAOI in America are expected to perform well from a surge in demand. \n\nNew Report: \n\n\" Lumentum is experiencing a surge in demand from the artificial intelligence sector, with its order pipeline now fully https://t.co/gGjrxL7AZ6", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.003532801686483067, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.003532801686483067, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00419502044450315, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00419502044450315, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0006622187580200833, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0006622187580200833, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.029109545829186012, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.029109545829186012, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.038881943613537806, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.038881943613537806, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009772397784351794, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009772397784351794, "ret_p1w": -0.00359966623502872, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.00359966623502872, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.048753158248744266, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.048753158248744266, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.045153492013715546, "bench_c_p1w": 0.045153492013715546, "ret_p1m": 0.1736208404622075, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1736208404622075, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08555095572258598, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08555095572258598, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08806988473962152, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08806988473962152, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5973, -0.6304, -0.6174, -0.6386, -0.6386, -0.6023, -0.5961, -0.6049, -0.622, -0.6295, -0.5869, -0.5709, -0.5749, -0.5633, -0.5281, -0.5151, -0.4812, -0.4378, -0.3848, -0.3568, -0.3746, -0.3602, -0.3498, -0.3729, -0.3729, -0.3309, -0.3377, -0.2916, -0.2558, -0.248, -0.233, -0.1938, -0.2455, -0.2189, -0.1271, -0.2261, -0.2413, -0.2747, -0.3776, -0.286, -0.2511, -0.2511, -0.3134, -0.3063, -0.3036, -0.2761, -0.219, -0.1395, -0.2128, -0.1876, -0.1062, -0.1339, -0.2324, -0.2168, -0.2703, -0.2168, -0.1478, -0.0785, -0.0785, -0.1393, -0.0909, -0.0014, -0.0035, 0.0, -0.0291, -0.0496, -0.0817, -0.0068, -0.0036, -0.0024, -0.0673, -0.0264, -0.0562, -0.0175, -0.0419, -0.1181, -0.0434, 0.0056, 0.0587, 0.0879, 0.1084, 0.0524, -0.0053, 0.0072, 0.1736, 0.106, 0.1483, 0.1165, 0.0818, -0.0137, -0.008, -0.0326, 0.0749, 0.0553, 0.0553, 0.0151, 0.0056, -0.0409, -0.0472, -0.0472, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2042533797405823299", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-10T09:23:00+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My $40B MC price target from $5B is starting to look more and more likely?", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long LITE on extreme backlog demand into 2028; long AAOI with $40B MC target on 800G/1.6T capacity leadership and vertically integrated InP laser fab.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm not sure people understand yet: \n\n$LITE backlog order fill into 2028 signals extreme demand. And a lack of capacity. \n\nThen by second order effect of hyperscaler demand spillover:\n\nGuess who is projected to have the largest 800G/1.6T capacity in America?\n\n$AAOI. \n\nThey fab their own inp lasers, design their own transceivers, and assemble it.\n\nIf $AAOI can execute on capacity ramp, that likely all translates into revenue due to everything being sold out.  \n\nMy $40B MC price target from $5B is starting to look more and more likely?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "We're now in the photonics supercycle. \n\nThe trio from $COHR, $LITE, $AAOI in America are expected to perform well from a surge in demand. \n\nNew Report: \n\n\" Lumentum is experiencing a surge in demand from the artificial intelligence sector, with its order pipeline now fully https://t.co/gGjrxL7AZ6", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.11487385358979718, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11487385358979718, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11553607234781726, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.11553607234781726, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0006622187580200833, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0006622187580200833, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01719785015221298, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01719785015221298, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007425452367861185, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.007425452367861185, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009772397784351794, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009772397784351794, "ret_p1w": 0.05856568199185341, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05856568199185341, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.013412189978137867, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.013412189978137867, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.045153492013715546, "bench_c_p1w": 0.045153492013715546, "ret_p1m": 0.22775555380384582, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.22775555380384582, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1396856690642243, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1396856690642243, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08806988473962152, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08806988473962152, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.773, -0.7711, -0.7543, -0.7541, -0.7541, -0.7393, -0.7452, -0.7467, -0.7628, -0.7683, -0.7517, -0.6997, -0.7373, -0.7104, -0.7068, -0.6938, -0.7351, -0.7468, -0.7058, -0.6819, -0.678, -0.6786, -0.7079, -0.7048, -0.7048, -0.7084, -0.7116, -0.688, -0.6568, -0.6417, -0.6264, -0.6141, -0.6435, -0.4407, -0.3193, -0.3669, -0.3379, -0.3284, -0.3653, -0.2655, -0.1999, -0.1566, -0.2949, -0.3572, -0.3754, -0.4268, -0.3849, -0.3232, -0.4187, -0.3641, -0.2437, -0.2403, -0.3531, -0.3479, -0.4343, -0.4383, -0.4266, -0.31, -0.31, -0.2865, -0.2189, -0.1189, -0.1149, 0.0, 0.0172, -0.028, -0.0535, 0.0446, 0.0586, 0.0855, -0.0002, -0.0078, -0.0855, 0.0768, -0.032, -0.0886, 0.0148, 0.0914, 0.2185, 0.1486, 0.199, 0.1855, 0.0461, -0.011, 0.2278, 0.2502, 0.4814, 0.3517, 0.264, 0.1505, 0.1376, 0.0973, 0.174, 0.2051, 0.2051, 0.1794, 0.1941, 0.1223, 0.0519, 0.0519, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2056558267896311996", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-19T02:11:14+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I cut some exposure too in $LITE $COHR like Leopold, last month", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Rotated from LITE/COHR into CPO names like SIVE; bullish on photonics supercycle/CPO paradigm; still sees upside in COHR and Lumentum but less explosive.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "A good looking guy that would mog Clavicular side by side has no impact to any fundamentals.\n\nI cut some exposure too in $LITE $COHR like Leopold, last month. \n\nBut rotated it to a specific optical theme with CPO names like $SIVE / Foci.\n\nThe entire photonics supply chain is in the start of a massive supercycle and there’s nothing more compelling going long on CPO as an architectural paradigm shift.\n\nMarkets conflate two companies as the entire theme and sell off anything with it.\n\nGreat buying opportunity for people who understands the nuance though. \n\nI still think there’s upside for Lumentum and $COHR, just less likely to double at current prices as fast if you’re going shares only.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit People panicking Leopold exited optical stocks, what do you think on that ?", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.005741044425328079, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.005741044425328079, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.012446568359581578, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.012446568359581578, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006705523934253499, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006705523934253499, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.024739092526452455, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.024739092526452455, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03498812109476279, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03498812109476279, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010249028568310337, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010249028568310337, "ret_p1w": 0.023278511249390066, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.023278511249390066, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.000299967595023487, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.000299967595023487, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02297854365436658, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02297854365436658, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2859, -0.2498, -0.242, -0.2267, -0.1873, -0.2394, -0.2125, -0.12, -0.2198, -0.2351, -0.2688, -0.3726, -0.2802, -0.245, -0.245, -0.3078, -0.3006, -0.298, -0.2702, -0.2127, -0.1325, -0.2064, -0.181, -0.099, -0.1269, -0.2261, -0.2105, -0.2644, -0.2105, -0.1409, -0.071, -0.071, -0.1324, -0.0835, 0.0067, 0.0045, 0.0081, -0.0212, -0.0419, -0.0742, 0.0013, 0.0045, 0.0056, -0.0597, -0.0185, -0.0485, -0.0095, -0.0342, -0.1109, -0.0357, 0.0137, 0.0672, 0.0967, 0.1174, 0.0609, 0.0028, 0.0154, 0.1831, 0.1149, 0.1576, 0.1255, 0.0906, -0.0057, 0.0, -0.0247, 0.0836, 0.0638, 0.0638, 0.0233, 0.0137, -0.0331, -0.0395, -0.0395, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2056558267896311996", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-19T02:11:14+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I still think there's upside for Lumentum and $COHR, just less likely to double at current prices as fast", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Rotated from LITE/COHR into CPO names like SIVE; bullish on photonics supercycle/CPO paradigm; still sees upside in COHR and Lumentum but less explosive.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "A good looking guy that would mog Clavicular side by side has no impact to any fundamentals.\n\nI cut some exposure too in $LITE $COHR like Leopold, last month. \n\nBut rotated it to a specific optical theme with CPO names like $SIVE / Foci.\n\nThe entire photonics supply chain is in the start of a massive supercycle and there’s nothing more compelling going long on CPO as an architectural paradigm shift.\n\nMarkets conflate two companies as the entire theme and sell off anything with it.\n\nGreat buying opportunity for people who understands the nuance though. \n\nI still think there’s upside for Lumentum and $COHR, just less likely to double at current prices as fast if you’re going shares only.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit People panicking Leopold exited optical stocks, what do you think on that ?", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.026015840178782, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.026015840178782, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.019310316244528503, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.019310316244528503, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006705523934253499, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006705523934253499, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01377144204378622, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01377144204378622, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.003522413475475883, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.003522413475475883, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010249028568310337, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010249028568310337, "ret_p1w": 0.07838701704593509, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07838701704593509, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.055408473391568513, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.055408473391568513, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02297854365436658, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02297854365436658, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3426, -0.2982, -0.2962, -0.2793, -0.2424, -0.2927, -0.2678, -0.1547, -0.2059, -0.2227, -0.2821, -0.3334, -0.2865, -0.263, -0.2891, -0.3177, -0.3135, -0.3005, -0.3049, -0.2727, -0.2207, -0.2828, -0.2788, -0.2299, -0.2307, -0.312, -0.3115, -0.3789, -0.3264, -0.2993, -0.27, -0.27, -0.2839, -0.2786, -0.2032, -0.1964, -0.1304, -0.1292, -0.1137, -0.1285, -0.0725, -0.0243, -0.0173, -0.0278, -0.0089, -0.0451, -0.0496, -0.0908, -0.1404, -0.1377, -0.0959, -0.0682, -0.0671, -0.0506, -0.0253, -0.0974, -0.0519, 0.0737, 0.0576, 0.1416, 0.1451, 0.0815, 0.026, 0.0, 0.0138, 0.0689, 0.0677, 0.0677, 0.0784, 0.0751, 0.0659, 0.0222, 0.0222, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2056558267896311996", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-05-19T02:11:14+00:00", "symbol": "Lumentum", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I still think there's upside for Lumentum and $COHR", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Rotated from LITE/COHR into CPO names like SIVE; bullish on photonics supercycle/CPO paradigm; still sees upside in COHR and Lumentum but less explosive.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Lumentum Holdings trades as LITE on NASDAQ", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "A good looking guy that would mog Clavicular side by side has no impact to any fundamentals.\n\nI cut some exposure too in $LITE $COHR like Leopold, last month. \n\nBut rotated it to a specific optical theme with CPO names like $SIVE / Foci.\n\nThe entire photonics supply chain is in the start of a massive supercycle and there’s nothing more compelling going long on CPO as an architectural paradigm shift.\n\nMarkets conflate two companies as the entire theme and sell off anything with it.\n\nGreat buying opportunity for people who understands the nuance though. \n\nI still think there’s upside for Lumentum and $COHR, just less likely to double at current prices as fast if you’re going shares only.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit People panicking Leopold exited optical stocks, what do you think on that ?", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.005741044425328079, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005741044425328079, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012446568359581578, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012446568359581578, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006705523934253499, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006705523934253499, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.024739092526452455, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.024739092526452455, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03498812109476279, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03498812109476279, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010249028568310337, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010249028568310337, "ret_p1w": 0.023278511249390066, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.023278511249390066, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.000299967595023487, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.000299967595023487, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02297854365436658, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02297854365436658, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2859, -0.2498, -0.242, -0.2267, -0.1873, -0.2394, -0.2125, -0.12, -0.2198, -0.2351, -0.2688, -0.3726, -0.2802, -0.245, -0.245, -0.3078, -0.3006, -0.298, -0.2702, -0.2127, -0.1325, -0.2064, -0.181, -0.099, -0.1269, -0.2261, -0.2105, -0.2644, -0.2105, -0.1409, -0.071, -0.071, -0.1324, -0.0835, 0.0067, 0.0045, 0.0081, -0.0212, -0.0419, -0.0742, 0.0013, 0.0045, 0.0056, -0.0597, -0.0185, -0.0485, -0.0095, -0.0342, -0.1109, -0.0357, 0.0137, 0.0672, 0.0967, 0.1174, 0.0609, 0.0028, 0.0154, 0.1831, 0.1149, 0.1576, 0.1255, 0.0906, -0.0057, 0.0, -0.0247, 0.0836, 0.0638, 0.0638, 0.0233, 0.0137, -0.0331, -0.0395, -0.0395, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2041881445397098659", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-08T14:10:47+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm hanging on to $AAOI for potential $40B MC one day", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Still holding AAOI with a long-term target of $40B market cap.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@raghavrmehta I’m hanging on to $AAOI for potential $40B MC one day.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit How much more runway do you think these stocks have? What in your opinion is the fair value?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "raghavrmehta", "ret_m1d": -0.11348905730923031, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11348905730923031, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08865208918752876, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08865208918752876, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.024836968121701553, "bench_c_m1d": -0.024836968121701553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004521523114651149, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004521523114651149, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0012475680564372205, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0012475680564372205, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00576909117108837, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00576909117108837, "ret_p1w": 0.0742276287116832, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0742276287116832, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03882875542565323, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03882875542565323, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.035398873286029975, "bench_c_p1w": 0.035398873286029975, "ret_p1m": 0.18726455670687048, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.18726455670687048, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.10506162106767025, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.10506162106767025, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08220293563920023, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08220293563920023, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7435, -0.7459, -0.7424, -0.7402, -0.7212, -0.7209, -0.7209, -0.7041, -0.7108, -0.7125, -0.7308, -0.7371, -0.7182, -0.6592, -0.7018, -0.6714, -0.6672, -0.6524, -0.6993, -0.7127, -0.6662, -0.639, -0.6346, -0.6353, -0.6685, -0.665, -0.665, -0.6691, -0.6726, -0.646, -0.6106, -0.5934, -0.576, -0.562, -0.5954, -0.3653, -0.2275, -0.2815, -0.2486, -0.2378, -0.2797, -0.1664, -0.092, -0.0429, -0.1998, -0.2705, -0.2911, -0.3494, -0.302, -0.232, -0.3403, -0.2784, -0.1417, -0.1378, -0.2659, -0.2599, -0.358, -0.3625, -0.3493, -0.217, -0.217, -0.1903, -0.1135, 0.0, 0.0045, 0.1349, 0.1544, 0.1032, 0.0742, 0.1855, 0.2014, 0.2319, 0.1347, 0.126, 0.0379, 0.2221, 0.0986, 0.0344, 0.1517, 0.2386, 0.3829, 0.3035, 0.3607, 0.3454, 0.1873, 0.1224, 0.3934, 0.4188, 0.6812, 0.5341, 0.4345, 0.3057, 0.2911, 0.2454, 0.3324, 0.3677, 0.3677, 0.3385, 0.3552, 0.2737, 0.1937, 0.1937, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2049655082250314014", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-30T01:00:27+00:00", "symbol": "MSSCorps", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I am now long MSSCorps (6830) ~$1.4B MC ... I do see the massive re-rating potential with MSSCorp holding a critical yields chokepoint over CPO, so I went long", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long MSSCorps (6830) as a functional monopoly in CPO inspection with massive pricing power, litigation moat, and re-rating potential.", "resolved_tickers": ["6830.TW"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "MSSCorps is MSSCorp 6830.TW per tweet context", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I am now long MSSCorps (6830) ~$1.4B MC\n\nThis appears to be a functional monopoly in CPO for inspection. \n\nBut markets might have conflated that with Material/Failure Analysis with MA-tek and iST (oligopoly).\n\nFor customers from mapping:\n1. $TSM \n2. $NVDA\n3. $AAPL\n4. $AMAT\n5. $LRCX \n6. $ASML \n7. $INTC\n\nAnd high probability $AVGO, MediaTek, Samsung, $MRVL, and others (they did mention EU too). \n\nIf you're curious:\n - Taipei times names TSM as a client that Msscorps provides them with advanced material and failure analysis and name drops Apple, Nvidia, Lam, AMAT (also S/O to Latent for doing DD with me on this. there's other supply chain relationships to Nvidia through things like linkedin)\n- For $AMSL, Taipei Times, Sept 10, 2024 \"ASML adopted Msscorps' ultra-sensitive materials analysis of photoresists\"\n\nFor Intel -  Material analysis lab MSSCORPS has secured orders from major manufacturers such as Nvidia and Intel (Industrial Technology Research).
\n\nFor inspection (non-destructive infrared (IR) leakage detection), they're a monopoly. \n\nAnd have aggressively used litigation (like the Enli Tech lawsuit) to lock out rivals, which I view as a positive thing. \n\nThis creates massive pricing power with yields and every major player goes through them.\n\nCPO inspection market is also extremely critical and like $AXTI in the InP substrate section, this massive chokepoint has pure pricing power with price hikes.\n\nThe risk is the patent suit doesn't go as plan, but Nvidia and other hyperscalers aren't likely to go with other parties in case MSSCorps wins, so this creates a massive multi-year advantage anyway. Hyperscalers aren't going to wait to see how an emerging competitor is going to win or not + take the risk. \n\nI do see the massive re-rating potential with MSSCorp holding a critical yields chokepoint over CPO, so I went long (NFA, DYOR), this is just my thought process.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.09058823529411764, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09058823529411764, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08073662769211243, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07649758437993037, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009851607602005208, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014090650914187264, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0027691138283709726, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006117789106503846, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027691138283709726, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006117789106503846, "ret_p1w": 0.028235294117647136, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.028235294117647136, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.01025732897680287, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.037639299908286405, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017977965140844265, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06587459402593354, "ret_p1m": -0.20235294117647062, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.20235294117647062, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.25497867342469305, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.38432718974163804, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05262573224822242, "bench_c_p1m": 0.18197424856516742, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7844, -0.7786, -0.7568, -0.7328, -0.7592, -0.7351, -0.7392, -0.7433, -0.7433, -0.7433, -0.7433, -0.7433, -0.7433, -0.7433, -0.7433, -0.7339, -0.7228, -0.6952, -0.6652, -0.6652, -0.6317, -0.6353, -0.6135, -0.5753, -0.5331, -0.546, -0.5571, -0.5383, -0.5442, -0.5894, -0.583, -0.5636, -0.5483, -0.5078, -0.4714, -0.4643, -0.5178, -0.4937, -0.4432, -0.4896, -0.469, -0.4508, -0.3962, -0.3363, -0.3363, -0.3363, -0.2928, -0.2224, -0.2376, -0.1765, -0.0941, -0.0588, -0.0671, -0.0529, 0.0412, 0.0188, 0.0306, 0.0471, -0.0553, -0.1494, -0.2341, -0.1576, -0.0906, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0882, 0.1471, 0.0329, 0.0282, -0.0741, -0.1129, -0.0824, -0.1224, -0.1447, -0.1353, -0.1329, -0.1624, -0.1953, -0.1847, -0.1576, -0.0741, -0.0847, -0.1529, -0.1929, -0.2024, -0.2012, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2059561586956837085", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-05-27T09:05:21+00:00", "symbol": "XFAB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "would not be surprised to see $SIVE, $SOI, and $XFAB funding with EU Chips Act 2", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long SIVE, SOI, XFAB (and IQE) as EU Chips Act 2.0 funding beneficiaries per blueprint inclusion.", "resolved_tickers": ["XFAB.PA"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "X-FAB Silicon Foundries listed on Euronext Paris as XFAB.PA", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yeah would not be surprised to see $SIVE, $SOI, and $XFAB funding with EU Chips Act 2. \n\nGlad to all my longs there (aside from $IQE) listed on the blueprint, I didn’t see that earlier in my research!\n\nLooks like formal announcement got pushed back to next week though. https://t.co/2SdG4Gocql", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit It was included in the March 2026 blueprint. Let’s see the publication of today and the proposal for EU CHIPS ACT 2.0 https://t.co/pIqOJ0Fczi", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.2512500286102295, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.2512500286102295, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.2514232621989698, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.262400347079478, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00017323358874032913, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011150318469248521, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05333336194356286, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05333336194356286, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05884991644622517, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06060459131357765, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055165545026623075, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007271229370014787, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6098, -0.6085, -0.6213, -0.6168, -0.6212, -0.621, -0.6152, -0.5935, -0.6033, -0.6033, -0.607, -0.6027, -0.6027, -0.6002, -0.6212, -0.6208, -0.6125, -0.6063, -0.5905, -0.596, -0.6095, -0.6107, -0.6038, -0.594, -0.6075, -0.6075, -0.6075, -0.6112, -0.58, -0.5873, -0.5675, -0.5742, -0.5458, -0.5458, -0.53, -0.4912, -0.4742, -0.4662, -0.46, -0.4463, -0.4363, -0.4329, -0.4379, -0.4262, -0.4758, -0.4758, -0.4717, -0.4642, -0.4404, -0.4454, -0.4337, -0.3858, -0.4037, -0.3662, -0.3529, -0.3317, -0.385, -0.4029, -0.37, -0.3742, -0.3425, -0.3279, -0.2513, 0.0, -0.0533, -0.1033, -0.1033, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2059561586956837085", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-05-27T09:05:21+00:00", "symbol": "IQE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Glad to all my longs there (aside from $IQE) listed on the blueprint", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long SIVE, SOI, XFAB (and IQE) as EU Chips Act 2.0 funding beneficiaries per blueprint inclusion.", "resolved_tickers": ["IQE.L"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "IQE plc LSE-listed epiwafer supplier", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yeah would not be surprised to see $SIVE, $SOI, and $XFAB funding with EU Chips Act 2. \n\nGlad to all my longs there (aside from $IQE) listed on the blueprint, I didn’t see that earlier in my research!\n\nLooks like formal announcement got pushed back to next week though. https://t.co/2SdG4Gocql", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit It was included in the March 2026 blueprint. Let’s see the publication of today and the proposal for EU CHIPS ACT 2.0 https://t.co/pIqOJ0Fczi", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.06508874136887144, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06508874136887144, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06491550778013111, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05393842289962292, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00017323358874032913, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011150318469248521, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06015777497364516, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06015777497364516, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06567432947630747, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06742900434365995, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055165545026623075, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007271229370014787, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6252, -0.4951, -0.4872, -0.4704, -0.5769, -0.6122, -0.6237, -0.5523, -0.5207, -0.5523, -0.5414, -0.5444, -0.574, -0.4961, -0.5493, -0.5345, -0.5365, -0.4961, -0.4181, -0.4753, -0.5168, -0.5444, -0.5187, -0.5049, -0.5345, -0.5345, -0.5345, -0.497, -0.4339, -0.4083, -0.2702, -0.0316, -0.0572, 0.0651, 0.1558, 0.0276, 0.1558, 0.2426, 0.2347, -0.0187, -0.0611, -0.0256, -0.2061, -0.2032, -0.1469, -0.1884, -0.1884, -0.0138, -0.1213, -0.0996, -0.071, 0.075, -0.07, -0.0039, -0.0217, -0.0927, -0.2288, -0.3688, -0.2594, -0.214, -0.0976, -0.0976, 0.0651, 0.0, -0.0602, -0.0631, -0.0631, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2044533682963419359", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-15T21:49:50+00:00", "symbol": "RDDT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "매크로 환경이 다시 긍정적으로 돌아서면 주가도 회복될 것입니다", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "RDDT selloff is macro-driven not fundamental; expects price to recover when macro turns positive.", "resolved_tickers": ["RDDT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "ko", "tweet_text": "@Banbo_Insight $RDDT 에 대한 새로운 소식은 없습니다. 저는 이번 매도세가 기초 펀더멘털의 문제라기보다는 매크로(거시 경제) 요인 때문이라고 느꼈습니다.\n\n따라서 매크로 환경이 다시 긍정적으로 돌아서면 주가도 회복될 것입니다.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $RDDT 는 무슨 좋은 소식이있나요", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Banbo_Insight", "ret_m1d": -0.02486119729697589, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02486119729697589, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.01703198272196127, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01804453874553369, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00782921457501462, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006816658551442201, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.025050487933684806, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.025050487933684806, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.022593176311080487, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012524915225282207, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002457311622604319, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0125255727084026, "ret_p1w": 0.03678698882020237, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03678698882020237, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02068558085389105, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03235620626769675, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01610140796631132, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004430782552505619, "ret_p1m": -0.013692568320584741, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.013692568320584741, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0825984463965953, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.01156237064931831, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06890587807601056, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0021301976712664317, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.4577, 0.4577, 0.422, 0.3259, 0.3537, 0.3811, 0.348, 0.2386, 0.2187, 0.1992, 0.1375, 0.1178, 0.0437, -0.0365, -0.0469, -0.1177, -0.1056, -0.0536, -0.1211, -0.173, -0.1188, -0.1188, -0.1215, -0.0695, -0.0779, -0.0524, -0.1011, -0.1035, -0.0556, -0.0456, -0.0799, -0.0717, -0.0807, -0.0706, -0.0892, -0.1205, -0.1238, -0.1536, -0.1348, -0.1655, -0.1648, -0.1166, -0.0893, -0.099, -0.1285, -0.1176, -0.1106, -0.1411, -0.1189, -0.197, -0.2312, -0.2167, -0.1504, -0.1407, -0.1418, -0.1418, -0.1271, -0.1094, -0.0851, -0.1268, -0.1183, -0.0576, -0.0249, 0.0, 0.0251, 0.0336, 0.0492, -0.0105, 0.0368, -0.0348, -0.0227, 0.0109, -0.0666, -0.0677, -0.071, 0.0505, 0.0668, 0.083, 0.051, 0.0345, -0.0169, 0.0065, -0.0387, -0.0275, -0.0137, -0.002, 0.004, -0.0227, -0.0742, -0.0533, -0.1061, -0.1061, -0.0873, -0.0271, 0.0581, 0.1106, 0.1106, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2056745774760026410", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-19T14:36:19+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$IREN is facing endless dilution like $BKKT, $ASST, $SLNH as retail wealth transfers capital over from $6,000,000,000 ATMs, on a dwindling \"5 GW capacity\" moat.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short IREN on endless dilution/weak NVDA deal; long NBIS as the superior Neocloud with real Nvidia capital and equity-appreciating financing.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$IREN back down -34% from $70 to $46.\n\nI wonder if one of the dumbest communities on X finally learned to read?\n\n$NBIS is objectively the better Neocloud, with actual financing.\n\n-> Nvidia didn’t fund $IREN at all. They got a free purchase agreement to let IREN use their logos and dilute for GPUS.\n\n$NVDA actually gave $NBIS capital.\n\n-> $IREN is facing endless dilution like $BKKT, $ASST, $SLNH as retail wealth transfers capital over from $6,000,000,000 ATMs, on a dwindling “5 GW capacity” moat. \n\n$NBIS actually uses equity appreciating financing structures. \n\nAnd this is reflected in the YTD differences between them both.\n\nI’ve said the same thing last year too. One is up ~100%.\n\nThe other is flat, and even negative depending on entry points. \n\nIREN is literally a marketing company at this point by how they manage to convince retail to wealth transfer over capital.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I still am bearish on $IREN.\n\nAlgorithms/retail probably read $NVDA + $IREN partnership and bought it up. \n\nHowever, if you look at the realtity, it's just looks like brand agreement giving $NVDA risk-free convertible notes. \n\nSo $IREN can continue selling their $6,000,000,000 https://t.co/bERp6GLRac", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.05697522644270703, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05697522644270703, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05026970250845353, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04445070152183406, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006705523934253499, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01252452492087297, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10410551385144973, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.10410551385144973, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.09385648528313939, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.09314658254004038, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010249028568310337, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010958931311409348, "ret_p1w": 0.25219934389446697, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.25219934389446697, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2292208002401004, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.23752223973799969, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02297854365436658, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01467710415646728, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0932, -0.1625, -0.1127, -0.048, -0.0777, -0.0733, -0.1422, -0.133, -0.1862, -0.0817, -0.1595, -0.2313, -0.1864, -0.2015, -0.1207, -0.1334, -0.129, -0.0587, -0.1001, -0.1158, -0.1274, -0.1351, -0.1169, -0.1387, -0.1322, -0.2155, -0.265, -0.3377, -0.2819, -0.2859, -0.2717, -0.2717, -0.2641, -0.2514, -0.2285, -0.2237, -0.1764, -0.0978, -0.0078, 0.0226, -0.0008, 0.008, 0.0205, -0.0538, 0.0136, 0.0897, 0.0607, 0.013, -0.0691, -0.1022, -0.0467, -0.0436, 0.0364, 0.1466, 0.2773, 0.1908, 0.2819, 0.1552, 0.1848, 0.1556, 0.2233, 0.1089, 0.057, 0.0, 0.1041, 0.2162, 0.1904, 0.1904, 0.2522, 0.421, 0.3416, 0.331, 0.331, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2056745774760026410", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-19T14:36:19+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS is objectively the better Neocloud, with actual financing. $NVDA actually gave $NBIS capital. $NBIS actually uses equity appreciating financing structures.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Short IREN on endless dilution/weak NVDA deal; long NBIS as the superior Neocloud with real Nvidia capital and equity-appreciating financing.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$IREN back down -34% from $70 to $46.\n\nI wonder if one of the dumbest communities on X finally learned to read?\n\n$NBIS is objectively the better Neocloud, with actual financing.\n\n-> Nvidia didn’t fund $IREN at all. They got a free purchase agreement to let IREN use their logos and dilute for GPUS.\n\n$NVDA actually gave $NBIS capital.\n\n-> $IREN is facing endless dilution like $BKKT, $ASST, $SLNH as retail wealth transfers capital over from $6,000,000,000 ATMs, on a dwindling “5 GW capacity” moat. \n\n$NBIS actually uses equity appreciating financing structures. \n\nAnd this is reflected in the YTD differences between them both.\n\nI’ve said the same thing last year too. One is up ~100%.\n\nThe other is flat, and even negative depending on entry points. \n\nIREN is literally a marketing company at this point by how they manage to convince retail to wealth transfer over capital.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I still am bearish on $IREN.\n\nAlgorithms/retail probably read $NVDA + $IREN partnership and bought it up. \n\nHowever, if you look at the realtity, it's just looks like brand agreement giving $NVDA risk-free convertible notes. \n\nSo $IREN can continue selling their $6,000,000,000 https://t.co/bERp6GLRac", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.010772290137241125, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.010772290137241125, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.004066766202987626, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0010182556297229084, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006705523934253499, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009754034507518217, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.029889184903761135, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.029889184903761135, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04013821347207147, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03204714781522233, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010249028568310337, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0021579629114611976, "ret_p1w": 0.05224296795762262, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05224296795762262, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.029264424303256042, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05483248393789508, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02297854365436658, "bench_c_p1w": -0.002589515980272461, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4558, -0.5048, -0.4912, -0.4812, -0.4633, -0.4696, -0.5388, -0.5397, -0.561, -0.5055, -0.5163, -0.5482, -0.5199, -0.5123, -0.4336, -0.4536, -0.4288, -0.3433, -0.4117, -0.4004, -0.3854, -0.4051, -0.4227, -0.4189, -0.4179, -0.4641, -0.4901, -0.5334, -0.4752, -0.4844, -0.4497, -0.4497, -0.4308, -0.4063, -0.3678, -0.3105, -0.2668, -0.2183, -0.181, -0.1566, -0.1638, -0.2053, -0.1951, -0.2083, -0.2103, -0.2056, -0.2558, -0.2669, -0.3147, -0.2859, -0.3009, -0.2187, -0.1078, -0.1103, -0.0134, -0.0655, -0.1046, -0.0588, -0.0942, 0.0482, 0.1184, 0.1123, 0.0108, 0.0, -0.0299, 0.1123, 0.0862, 0.0862, 0.0522, 0.0538, 0.1447, 0.1687, 0.1687, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2037100035780075760", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-26T09:31:10+00:00", "symbol": "Mag7", "kind": "sector", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Long term I expect Mag7 to recover.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long-term bullish on Mag7 recovery despite near-term liquidity drains from SpaceX IPO and geopolitical uncertainty.", "resolved_tickers": ["MAGS"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "Mag7 proxied by MAGS ETF (Magnificent 7)", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The US tech selloff from $MSFT, $GOOGL and $META looks really overdone now?\n\nMag7 roughly down:\n\nMicrosoft down -21.9% YTD\nGoogle down -7.69% YTD \n$AMZN down -7.36 YTD\nMeta down -8.54% YTD\n\nWhat makes things worse is SpaceX IPOing at $1.7T if they get fast-index inclusion. \n\nMega-IPOs typically serve as a massive market liquidity vacuum (good for SpaceX though)\n\nHowever, I don’t think markets are truly convinced War in Iran is ending anytime soon. \n\n-> Massive liquidity drain from large caps, -> more upcoming soon with SpaceX IPO\n-> despite improving fundamentals \n\n= don’t touch short term options.\n\nLong term I expect Mag7 to recover.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.033666526823415976, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.033666526823415976, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.015483048579412628, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.015483048579412628, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.018183478244003348, "bench_c_m1d": 0.018183478244003348, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.027704682626277677, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.027704682626277677, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010652799102949695, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010652799102949695, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017051883523327982, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017051883523327982, "ret_p1w": 0.021742972207759337, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.021742972207759337, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.005094148342464466, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.005094148342464466, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01664882386529487, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01664882386529487, "ret_p1m": 0.1672803983820279, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1672803983820279, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06055114708426568, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06055114708426568, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.10672925129776223, "bench_c_p1m": 0.10672925129776223, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1658, 0.1645, 0.1566, 0.1566, 0.1459, 0.1554, 0.1511, 0.1555, 0.1552, 0.1638, 0.1623, 0.1571, 0.1394, 0.1413, 0.138, 0.138, 0.1036, 0.1159, 0.1385, 0.1506, 0.1559, 0.1669, 0.1668, 0.1639, 0.1599, 0.16, 0.1412, 0.1238, 0.1015, 0.1066, 0.1194, 0.1149, 0.108, 0.0824, 0.0722, 0.0722, 0.0743, 0.0817, 0.08, 0.0977, 0.0801, 0.0926, 0.1094, 0.0919, 0.0757, 0.0803, 0.0747, 0.0912, 0.09, 0.0694, 0.0822, 0.0859, 0.0898, 0.0687, 0.051, 0.0675, 0.0719, 0.0556, 0.0442, 0.0235, 0.0395, 0.026, 0.0337, 0.0, -0.0277, -0.0288, 0.016, 0.0289, 0.0217, 0.0217, 0.0237, 0.0221, 0.0489, 0.0647, 0.0721, 0.0829, 0.1154, 0.1443, 0.1452, 0.1652, 0.1531, 0.1452, 0.165, 0.1455, 0.1673, 0.1762, 0.1724, 0.1675, 0.1615, 0.1725, 0.1743, 0.1767, 0.2004, 0.208, 0.2208, 0.2176, 0.212, 0.2367, 0.2439, 0.2246, 0.218, 0.2016, 0.2185, 0.2187, 0.2162, 0.2162, 0.2209, 0.2332, 0.2427, 0.2399, 0.2399, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2049360475046224050", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-29T05:29:47+00:00", "symbol": "HOOD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My opinion is $HOOD missed earnings since they lost track of what they should actually do to help out retail investors", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish HOOD on strategic missteps (prediction markets/crapcoins over intl equities) causing missed earnings; IBKR benefiting with all-time high new accounts.", "resolved_tickers": ["HOOD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Product innovation from $HOOD would have been enabling international stock trading ASAP. \n\nInstead they doubled down on \"prediction markets\" + \"raffles\" + new crapcoin listings where retail recklessly lose their money.\n\nThey also lost retail to $IBKR that now enabled Korean stock trading. \n\nEspecially due to international stock growth from Taiwah, Korea, Europe, Japan. \n\nAs a result, we saw new IBKR accounts grow to an all time high this quarter (just from qualitative experiences).\n\nMy opinion is $HOOD missed earnings since they lost track of what they should actually do to help out retail investors.\n\nIf they had retail investors all spending tons of TX fees from int. Equities trading, likely more margin usage, fees, cash on platform, wealth appreciation, and so on, which is the basis of the platform.\n\nMaybe things would have gone better despite digital asset downturn.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.15266858444507836, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.15266858444507836, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.15251401946444232, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.15401680665796136, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00015456498063604052, "bench_c_m1d": -0.001348222212882999, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.023735990362959924, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.023735990362959924, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.013786362935755747, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01969125025171059, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009949627427204177, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004044740111249334, "ret_p1w": 0.11025289943793215, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11025289943793215, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0789844553197343, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.111793693335827, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03126844411819785, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0015407938978948543, "ret_p1m": 0.19157303334667053, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.19157303334667053, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13111608196679203, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.20409225010524157, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0604569513798785, "bench_c_p1m": -0.012519216758571039, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.3972, 0.2628, 0.2229, 0.1323, 0.0208, 0.1632, 0.2157, 0.2022, 0.0951, -0.0011, 0.067, 0.067, 0.0596, 0.0563, 0.0625, 0.069, 0.0081, 0.0308, 0.0889, 0.1159, 0.0653, 0.1065, 0.0684, 0.1546, 0.1315, 0.0827, 0.1145, 0.1029, 0.1052, 0.0691, 0.0308, 0.0577, 0.0864, 0.052, 0.0416, -0.0044, 0.0181, -0.0298, 0.0188, -0.0119, -0.0728, -0.0848, -0.0267, -0.0153, -0.0323, -0.0323, -0.0199, -0.0218, 0.0088, -0.0152, -0.0282, 0.0066, 0.1108, 0.2264, 0.2198, 0.2746, 0.282, 0.2139, 0.242, 0.1733, 0.1897, 0.1791, 0.1527, 0.0, 0.0237, 0.0346, 0.0751, 0.0819, 0.1103, 0.0713, 0.0819, 0.1346, 0.0993, 0.0779, 0.1334, 0.0834, 0.0836, 0.0416, 0.064, 0.0663, 0.0343, 0.0343, 0.0406, 0.0706, 0.1916, 0.3244, 0.3244, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2049360475046224050", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-29T05:29:47+00:00", "symbol": "IBKR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "They also lost retail to $IBKR that now enabled Korean stock trading. As a result, we saw new IBKR accounts grow to an all time high this quarter", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish HOOD on strategic missteps (prediction markets/crapcoins over intl equities) causing missed earnings; IBKR benefiting with all-time high new accounts.", "resolved_tickers": ["IBKR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Product innovation from $HOOD would have been enabling international stock trading ASAP. \n\nInstead they doubled down on \"prediction markets\" + \"raffles\" + new crapcoin listings where retail recklessly lose their money.\n\nThey also lost retail to $IBKR that now enabled Korean stock trading. \n\nEspecially due to international stock growth from Taiwah, Korea, Europe, Japan. \n\nAs a result, we saw new IBKR accounts grow to an all time high this quarter (just from qualitative experiences).\n\nMy opinion is $HOOD missed earnings since they lost track of what they should actually do to help out retail investors.\n\nIf they had retail investors all spending tons of TX fees from int. Equities trading, likely more margin usage, fees, cash on platform, wealth appreciation, and so on, which is the basis of the platform.\n\nMaybe things would have gone better despite digital asset downturn.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0057105099881198385, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0057105099881198385, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005555945007483798, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.005555945007483798, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00015456498063604052, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00015456498063604052, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03179749320186809, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03179749320186809, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02184786577466391, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02184786577466391, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009949627427204177, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009949627427204177, "ret_p1w": 0.1296560346280431, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1296560346280431, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09838759050984525, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09838759050984525, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03126844411819785, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03126844411819785, "ret_p1m": 0.07865019232410653, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07865019232410653, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.01819324094422803, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.01819324094422803, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0604569513798785, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0604569513798785, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0292, -0.0242, -0.0286, -0.0479, -0.0991, -0.033, 0.0167, 0.0009, -0.0101, -0.0528, -0.0309, -0.0309, -0.0498, -0.0289, -0.0407, -0.0354, -0.0725, -0.0676, -0.0452, -0.0334, -0.0761, -0.0698, -0.0993, -0.1025, -0.1168, -0.1343, -0.1241, -0.111, -0.1124, -0.1315, -0.1409, -0.1138, -0.1093, -0.1116, -0.1215, -0.1503, -0.1195, -0.1419, -0.1086, -0.1408, -0.1668, -0.1734, -0.1295, -0.1186, -0.1208, -0.1208, -0.1094, -0.116, -0.0615, -0.0665, -0.0758, -0.0324, 0.0006, 0.0343, 0.0302, 0.0605, 0.0545, 0.0334, 0.0138, -0.0149, -0.0056, 0.007, 0.0057, 0.0, 0.0318, 0.0443, 0.0606, 0.089, 0.1297, 0.0864, 0.0957, 0.102, 0.0979, 0.1047, 0.1457, 0.1291, 0.1177, 0.0831, 0.0875, 0.088, 0.0558, 0.0558, 0.0758, 0.0506, 0.0787, 0.1287, 0.1287, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2059634164912226613", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-27T13:53:45+00:00", "symbol": "photonics", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I think it's probably the most compelling theme going forward (even more than power semis). I've been personally adding to positions since I have high conviction in the photonics theme (CPO especially) given TAM expansion overall next 2 years.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "High conviction long photonics sector (CPO focus) on TAM expansion; adding to LITE, AAOI, SIVE on dip despite near-term AAOI ATM overhang.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR", "LITE", "AAOI", "FN", "POET"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Photonics sector basket of optical component names", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Interesting photonics selloff today on no news?\n\n$LITE down -4.95%\n$AAOI down -4.85%\n$SIVE down -14.8%\n$SOI down -5.73%\n$AXTI down -8.13%\n$IQE down -12.13%\n\nI think it’s probably the most compelling theme going forward (even more than power semis). \n\nJust tends to be very volatile on the way up. \n\nSurprised about $AAOI though given there’s some institutional notes apparently about long term $AMD or $NVDA agreements. (Rosenblatt). Maybe $600m ATM caps some near term upside.\n\n$SIVE as well, given EU Chips Act 2 is next week around photonics, and they’re listed on the blueprint. Same with MSCI/NASDAQ omx inflow next week. \n\nI’ve been personally adding to positions since I have high conviction in the photonics theme (CPO especially) given TAM expansion overall next 2 years.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0006889312707461182, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0006889312707461182, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0008621648594864473, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0008621648594864473, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00017323358874032913, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00017323358874032913, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.028781118143714736, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.028781118143714736, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03429767264637704, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03429767264637704, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055165545026623075, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0055165545026623075, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3655, -0.2818, -0.3253, -0.3264, -0.3512, -0.4088, -0.3479, -0.3164, -0.3128, -0.3571, -0.3776, -0.3734, -0.3862, -0.3676, -0.3193, -0.3759, -0.3474, -0.2909, -0.2873, -0.3683, -0.368, -0.4248, -0.3835, -0.364, -0.3109, -0.3109, -0.3231, -0.302, -0.2342, -0.2325, -0.173, -0.1637, -0.1838, -0.192, -0.1486, -0.1328, -0.1038, -0.1093, -0.0626, -0.1042, -0.0103, -0.1591, -0.2054, -0.1926, -0.1428, -0.0962, -0.1016, -0.0711, -0.0667, -0.1324, -0.1119, 0.0373, 0.0176, 0.108, 0.1886, 0.0788, -0.0024, -0.032, -0.0198, 0.0372, 0.035, 0.035, -0.0007, 0.0, -0.0288, -0.0686, -0.0686, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2059634164912226613", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-27T13:53:45+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I've been personally adding to positions since I have high conviction in the photonics theme", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "High conviction long photonics sector (CPO focus) on TAM expansion; adding to LITE, AAOI, SIVE on dip despite near-term AAOI ATM overhang.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Interesting photonics selloff today on no news?\n\n$LITE down -4.95%\n$AAOI down -4.85%\n$SIVE down -14.8%\n$SOI down -5.73%\n$AXTI down -8.13%\n$IQE down -12.13%\n\nI think it’s probably the most compelling theme going forward (even more than power semis). \n\nJust tends to be very volatile on the way up. \n\nSurprised about $AAOI though given there’s some institutional notes apparently about long term $AMD or $NVDA agreements. (Rosenblatt). Maybe $600m ATM caps some near term upside.\n\n$SIVE as well, given EU Chips Act 2 is next week around photonics, and they’re listed on the blueprint. Same with MSCI/NASDAQ omx inflow next week. \n\nI’ve been personally adding to positions since I have high conviction in the photonics theme (CPO especially) given TAM expansion overall next 2 years.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.009420265787809745, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.009420265787809745, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009247032199069416, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009247032199069416, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00017323358874032913, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00017323358874032913, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.046203635728528036, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.046203635728528036, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.051720190231190344, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.051720190231190344, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055165545026623075, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0055165545026623075, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2232, -0.132, -0.2304, -0.2455, -0.2787, -0.3811, -0.2899, -0.2552, -0.2552, -0.3172, -0.3101, -0.3075, -0.2801, -0.2233, -0.1443, -0.2172, -0.1921, -0.1112, -0.1387, -0.2366, -0.2212, -0.2743, -0.2212, -0.1526, -0.0836, -0.0836, -0.1441, -0.0959, -0.007, -0.0091, -0.0056, -0.0345, -0.0549, -0.0868, -0.0123, -0.0091, -0.008, -0.0725, -0.0318, -0.0614, -0.0229, -0.0472, -0.123, -0.0488, 0.0, 0.0528, 0.0819, 0.1022, 0.0465, -0.0108, 0.0017, 0.1671, 0.0998, 0.1419, 0.1103, 0.0758, -0.0192, -0.0135, -0.0379, 0.0689, 0.0494, 0.0494, 0.0094, 0.0, -0.0462, -0.0525, -0.0525, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2059634164912226613", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-05-27T13:53:45+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Surprised about $AAOI though given there's some institutional notes apparently about long term $AMD or $NVDA agreements. (Rosenblatt). Maybe $600m ATM caps some near term upside.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "High conviction long photonics sector (CPO focus) on TAM expansion; adding to LITE, AAOI, SIVE on dip despite near-term AAOI ATM overhang.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Interesting photonics selloff today on no news?\n\n$LITE down -4.95%\n$AAOI down -4.85%\n$SIVE down -14.8%\n$SOI down -5.73%\n$AXTI down -8.13%\n$IQE down -12.13%\n\nI think it’s probably the most compelling theme going forward (even more than power semis). \n\nJust tends to be very volatile on the way up. \n\nSurprised about $AAOI though given there’s some institutional notes apparently about long term $AMD or $NVDA agreements. (Rosenblatt). Maybe $600m ATM caps some near term upside.\n\n$SIVE as well, given EU Chips Act 2 is next week around photonics, and they’re listed on the blueprint. Same with MSCI/NASDAQ omx inflow next week. \n\nI’ve been personally adding to positions since I have high conviction in the photonics theme (CPO especially) given TAM expansion overall next 2 years.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.012289421628007502, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.012289421628007502, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012462655216747831, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012462655216747831, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00017323358874032913, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00017323358874032913, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06011231412180851, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06011231412180851, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06562886862447082, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06562886862447082, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055165545026623075, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0055165545026623075, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5316, -0.43, -0.4698, -0.4455, -0.4376, -0.4685, -0.3849, -0.33, -0.2937, -0.4095, -0.4617, -0.4769, -0.5199, -0.4849, -0.4332, -0.5132, -0.4675, -0.3666, -0.3638, -0.4583, -0.4539, -0.5263, -0.5296, -0.5198, -0.4222, -0.4222, -0.4025, -0.3458, -0.2621, -0.2587, -0.1625, -0.1481, -0.186, -0.2073, -0.1252, -0.1135, -0.091, -0.1627, -0.1691, -0.2341, -0.0982, -0.1893, -0.2367, -0.1501, -0.086, 0.0205, -0.0381, 0.0041, -0.0072, -0.1239, -0.1718, 0.0282, 0.047, 0.2406, 0.132, 0.0586, -0.0365, -0.0473, -0.081, -0.0168, 0.0092, 0.0092, -0.0123, 0.0, -0.0601, -0.1191, -0.1191, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2056614672313524561", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-19T05:55:22+00:00", "symbol": "Sivers Semiconductors", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I personally think it's going much higher", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long SIVE on MSCI inclusion buying pressure, $6.6M CHIPS Act funding, and gov backstop as critical chokepoint.", "resolved_tickers": ["SIVE.ST"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Sivers Semiconductors on Nasdaq Stockholm as SIVE.ST", "bench_c": "FEZ", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='ST')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SIVE just got MSCI inclusion and that's another likely tens of millions buying pressure in 2 weeks.\n\nThen there's new $6.6M CHIPS ACT funding coming in, which is an amazing capital injection. \n\nThe largest thing is revenue implications from this CHIPS ACT development, whatever black magic they're working on. Gov backstopping Sivers as a critical chokepoint is a cherry on top.\n\nI personally think it's going much higher.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit You love to see it but i have unfilled orders...", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Clearingkarma17", "ret_m1d": 0.05807301897967165, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05807301897967165, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.051367495045418154, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04826309545722074, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006705523934253499, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009809923522450914, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.18785748102762878, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.18785748102762878, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.17760845245931844, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.15934735424565805, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010249028568310337, "bench_c_p1d": 0.028510126781970735, "ret_p1w": 0.9104707484207941, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.9104707484207941, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.8874922047664275, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.8637202402719948, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02297854365436658, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04675050814879933, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.9292, -0.9305, -0.9319, -0.9292, -0.9306, -0.9362, -0.9335, -0.9333, -0.9348, -0.9272, -0.9258, -0.9208, -0.9241, -0.9192, -0.9093, -0.91, -0.9068, -0.838, -0.8481, -0.8038, -0.7692, -0.8145, -0.7495, -0.7259, -0.6817, -0.7505, -0.7819, -0.78, -0.7644, -0.7547, -0.7822, -0.7822, -0.7822, -0.7878, -0.7407, -0.7499, -0.7052, -0.6293, -0.6489, -0.5429, -0.4985, -0.4795, -0.315, -0.2477, -0.3401, -0.3762, -0.297, -0.3493, -0.2978, -0.1227, -0.1641, -0.1641, 0.2308, 0.2033, 0.0616, 0.0941, -0.0427, 0.0889, -0.051, 0.2462, 0.2462, 0.2253, 0.0581, 0.0, 0.1879, 0.2989, 0.6036, 0.8819, 0.9105, 0.6146, 0.5442, 0.5167, 0.5167, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2038468247121809829", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-30T04:07:57+00:00", "symbol": "MTSI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "機関投資家の次のローテーション（資金の向かう先）は、「CPO」や $MTSI 、古河電工などの企業が手掛ける同技術向けの「外部光源」になるのではないかと考えています。", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Expects next institutional rotation into external light sources for CPO tech, naming MTSI and Furukawa Electric as beneficiaries.", "resolved_tickers": ["MTSI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "ja", "tweet_text": "日本の視聴者に向けて、最新の注目テクノロジーについて発信してくださるのは、いつも本当に素晴らしいですね！\n\n機関投資家の次のローテーション（資金の向かう先）は、「CPO」や $MTSI 、古河電工などの企業が手掛ける同技術向けの「外部光源」になるのではないかと考えています。\n\nとはいえ、現在の個別銘柄の値動きの多くは、マクロ環境の影響を大きく受けているのも事実です。", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "CPO業界構図（Miraeアナリストノート）\n\n■ Scale-Across（スケール横展開領域）\n・CPO ASIC： $AVGO $MRVL  \n・光トランシーバー： $COHR  $LITE Innolight  \n・DSP / PAM4： $AVGO $MRVL  \n・コヒーレントDCI： $CIEN $NOK  \n・OCS装置：iPronics、Polatis  \n・光ケーブル / ファイバー： $GLW", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "beauty_oe", "ret_m1d": 0.07613726922529795, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07613726922529795, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07278259060032322, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07278259060032322, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.060050606239853144, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.060050606239853144, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030982680540938334, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030982680540938334, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "ret_p1w": 0.11241580588787192, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11241580588787192, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06975551628160992, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06975551628160992, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "bench_c_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "ret_p1m": 0.2678885788669747, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2678885788669747, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.14174329438520528, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14174329438520528, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1824, -0.1824, -0.1648, -0.1849, -0.1801, -0.1855, -0.1997, -0.1653, -0.057, 0.0192, 0.0263, 0.0451, 0.0534, 0.0534, 0.0583, 0.08, 0.0706, 0.0466, 0.0449, 0.0464, 0.08, 0.0871, 0.0457, 0.091, 0.0822, 0.0264, 0.0874, 0.1259, 0.1251, 0.1005, 0.131, 0.1408, 0.1655, 0.1655, 0.1723, 0.1779, 0.1579, 0.1628, 0.172, 0.1852, 0.2095, 0.1796, 0.1844, 0.2341, 0.1505, 0.1409, 0.093, -0.0095, 0.0441, 0.053, 0.0623, 0.0308, 0.0397, 0.0737, 0.0563, 0.0449, 0.0718, 0.0452, 0.0944, 0.1324, 0.1697, 0.0907, 0.0761, 0.0, 0.0601, 0.0948, 0.1375, 0.1375, 0.1124, 0.1313, 0.1791, 0.1824, 0.2321, 0.2584, 0.2598, 0.2466, 0.2479, 0.3221, 0.3417, 0.3638, 0.3223, 0.3576, 0.373, 0.3339, 0.2679, 0.2871, 0.3443, 0.3565, 0.3925, 0.4491, 0.4789, 0.6443, 0.7179, 0.7465, 0.7316, 0.8213, 0.8309, 0.7929, 0.7006, 0.7136, 0.7935, 0.8161, 0.8425, 0.8425, 0.9556, 0.9125, 0.8669, 0.7406, 0.7406, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2038468247121809829", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-30T04:07:57+00:00", "symbol": "古河電工", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "機関投資家の次のローテーション（資金の向かう先）は、「CPO」や $MTSI 、古河電工などの企業が手掛ける同技術向けの「外部光源」になるのではないかと考えています。", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Expects next institutional rotation into external light sources for CPO tech, naming MTSI and Furukawa Electric as beneficiaries.", "resolved_tickers": ["5801.T"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "古河電工 = Furukawa Electric, TSE 5801.T", "bench_c": "EWJ", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='T')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "ja", "tweet_text": "日本の視聴者に向けて、最新の注目テクノロジーについて発信してくださるのは、いつも本当に素晴らしいですね！\n\n機関投資家の次のローテーション（資金の向かう先）は、「CPO」や $MTSI 、古河電工などの企業が手掛ける同技術向けの「外部光源」になるのではないかと考えています。\n\nとはいえ、現在の個別銘柄の値動きの多くは、マクロ環境の影響を大きく受けているのも事実です。", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "CPO業界構図（Miraeアナリストノート）\n\n■ Scale-Across（スケール横展開領域）\n・CPO ASIC： $AVGO $MRVL  \n・光トランシーバー： $COHR  $LITE Innolight  \n・DSP / PAM4： $AVGO $MRVL  \n・コヒーレントDCI： $CIEN $NOK  \n・OCS装置：iPronics、Polatis  \n・光ケーブル / ファイバー： $GLW", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "beauty_oe", "ret_m1d": -0.008723747980613927, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.008723747980613927, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012078426605588666, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.007619769305483803, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "bench_c_m1d": -0.001103978675130124, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06995153473344107, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06995153473344107, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.09901946043235588, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.10577103815080535, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "bench_c_p1d": 0.035819503417364285, "ret_p1w": 0.20516962843295627, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.20516962843295627, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.16250933882669427, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15548852908882038, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04968109934413589, "ret_p1m": 0.38610662358642966, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.38610662358642966, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.25996133910466024, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.31201436200338084, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07409226158304882, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6788, -0.6788, -0.6788, -0.6618, -0.6621, -0.6752, -0.6815, -0.6786, -0.6786, -0.6803, -0.6802, -0.6847, -0.6669, -0.656, -0.6406, -0.6125, -0.621, -0.6083, -0.5965, -0.586, -0.5376, -0.5563, -0.5658, -0.5798, -0.5429, -0.5093, -0.5387, -0.5347, -0.4384, -0.3101, -0.3101, -0.2894, -0.3102, -0.3206, -0.3221, -0.2969, -0.2664, -0.2512, -0.2512, -0.1364, -0.0975, -0.1013, -0.0983, -0.0431, -0.062, -0.1119, -0.0865, -0.0967, -0.1881, -0.119, -0.0453, -0.0716, -0.0151, -0.0564, -0.1194, -0.0784, -0.0565, -0.0565, -0.1117, -0.0987, 0.0025, 0.0336, -0.0087, 0.0, -0.07, 0.0498, 0.0475, 0.1567, 0.2052, 0.1796, 0.3874, 0.4423, 0.4798, 0.464, 0.5147, 0.4294, 0.4772, 0.4527, 0.3916, 0.43, 0.4233, 0.3742, 0.3877, 0.3771, 0.3861, 0.3861, 0.369, 0.3309, 0.3309, 0.3309, 0.3309, 0.496, 0.4498, 0.4032, 0.6294, 0.8782, 0.8488, 0.7603, 0.7719, 0.6236, 0.6433, 0.5922, 0.7334, 0.8766, 0.9431, 0.8129, 0.6801, 0.6821, 0.6811, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2040443528573251638", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-04T14:57:01+00:00", "symbol": "SOFI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if they ban out all the competition, that's largely bullish for SOFI", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Conditional bullish on SOFI if competition is banned out; reduced competitive pressure seen as tailwind.", "resolved_tickers": ["SOFI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@FinDataByLig I’m looking out for retail investors, don’t give a sht about lining up the pockets of $SOFI CEO.\n\nBut yes if they ban out all the competition, that’s largely bullish for SOFI but enjoy the sht interest rates.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Sounds good for $SOFI then right? Even if overall destructive", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "FinDataByLig", "ret_m1d": -0.025814386261650668, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.025814386261650668, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.021109826414026922, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.021109826414026922, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004704559847623746, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004704559847623746, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00983404074434191, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00983404074434191, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010274114850190696, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.010274114850190696, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004400741058487867, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0004400741058487867, "ret_p1w": 0.04794091932091349, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04794091932091349, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.006707429857450986, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.006707429857450986, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0412334894634625, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0412334894634625, "ret_p1m": -0.015365703316910784, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.015365703316910784, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11376769985096824, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11376769985096824, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09840199653405746, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09840199653405746, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.6595, 0.7037, 0.6841, 0.6349, 0.6681, 0.6392, 0.6251, 0.606, 0.606, 0.5667, 0.5759, 0.6036, 0.5888, 0.5857, 0.5648, 0.512, 0.4972, 0.402, 0.3571, 0.3374, 0.2754, 0.1961, 0.2821, 0.3122, 0.3018, 0.2631, 0.1862, 0.2053, 0.2053, 0.1991, 0.201, 0.1862, 0.169, 0.1199, 0.1469, 0.1856, 0.1739, 0.0916, 0.1303, 0.1438, 0.1494, 0.1832, 0.1616, 0.1549, 0.1242, 0.1389, 0.0879, 0.0916, 0.0836, 0.0676, 0.0559, 0.0498, 0.0387, 0.0541, 0.0264, 0.0178, -0.0246, -0.0639, -0.0688, -0.024, -0.0393, -0.0258, -0.0258, 0.0, -0.0098, 0.0135, 0.0, -0.0031, 0.0479, 0.1008, 0.1549, 0.1696, 0.1942, 0.1985, 0.1573, 0.1715, 0.126, 0.1334, 0.153, 0.1285, -0.0458, -0.0104, 0.0098, -0.0043, -0.0154, 0.0018, -0.0166, -0.032, -0.0006, -0.0227, -0.059, -0.0154, -0.0406, -0.0344, -0.0639, -0.0356, -0.0381, -0.04, -0.04, -0.0178, -0.0061, 0.043, 0.1199, 0.1199, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2048824585974649005", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-27T18:00:21+00:00", "symbol": "IQE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$MTSI plans to buy $IQE out of debt and be a strategic investor? How could this be bearish.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish IQE: MTSI buying it out of debt as strategic investor removes bearish case.", "resolved_tickers": ["IQE.L"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "IQE plc LSE-listed epiwafer supplier", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@JeremyMaine4 $MTSI plans to buy $IQE out of debt and be a strategic investor? How could this be bearish.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit are you bullish on $IQE after this? isn't dilution a concern?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JeremyMaine4", "ret_m1d": -0.03643730761455255, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03643730761455255, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03471746408344545, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03679284167276231, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0017198435311071014, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00035553405820976103, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.18522269723181173, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.18522269723181173, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.18035674850366556, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.1554948537912162, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004865948728146163, "bench_c_p1d": -0.029727843440595536, "ret_p1w": -0.16700404342453545, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.16700404342453545, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.17097516486885578, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.16805093389400438, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003971121444320325, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0010468904694689307, "ret_p1m": 0.09311737514241414, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.09311737514241414, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04359062654876933, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.09627148242743533, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04952674859364481, "bench_c_p1m": 0.18938885756984947, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.8377, -0.8431, -0.8399, -0.8374, -0.8441, -0.8391, -0.8419, -0.8397, -0.8346, -0.7976, -0.7927, -0.7915, -0.7854, -0.7874, -0.785, -0.7883, -0.7899, -0.7879, -0.7413, -0.753, -0.6757, -0.5951, -0.6154, -0.4818, -0.4737, -0.4565, -0.5658, -0.602, -0.6138, -0.5405, -0.5081, -0.5405, -0.5294, -0.5324, -0.5628, -0.4828, -0.5374, -0.5223, -0.5243, -0.4828, -0.4028, -0.4615, -0.504, -0.5324, -0.5061, -0.4919, -0.5223, -0.5223, -0.5223, -0.4838, -0.419, -0.3927, -0.251, -0.0061, -0.0324, 0.0931, 0.1862, 0.0547, 0.1862, 0.2753, 0.2672, 0.0071, -0.0364, 0.0, -0.1852, -0.1822, -0.1245, -0.167, -0.167, 0.0121, -0.0982, -0.0759, -0.0466, 0.1032, -0.0455, 0.0223, 0.004, -0.0688, -0.2085, -0.3522, -0.2399, -0.1933, -0.0739, -0.0739, 0.0931, 0.0263, -0.0354, -0.0385, -0.0385, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2051029592241279153", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-03T20:02:15+00:00", "symbol": "MSSCorp", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "2. MSSCorp", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Picks 4 high-upside rockets (SIVE, MSSCorp, PCL, AAOI) and 4-5 compounders (Shunsin, Sumitomo, Furukawa, COHR, LITE) for a sub-$300k portfolio.", "resolved_tickers": ["6830.TW"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "MSSCorp (6830) TWSE-listed CPO yields inspection company", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Meatusmax Maybe here's what I'd do personally:\n\n\"High Upside Rockets\":\n1. $SIVE \n2. MSSCorp \n3. PCL \n4. $AAOI\n\nCompounders:\n1. Shunsin \n2. Sumitomo\n3. Furukawa\n4. $COHR\n5. $LITE", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit For those of us with a sub $300k portfolio. Which 5 names would you pick assuming we want one compounder and 4 high upside rockets?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Meatusmax", "ret_m1d": -0.08108108108108103, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08108108108108103, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08475793044603519, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08705988636178585, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00367684936495416, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005978805280704824, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.054054054054053946, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.054054054054053946, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.046031868169061685, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.022680124757113118, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008022185884992261, "bench_c_p1d": 0.03137392929694083, "ret_p1w": -0.18486486486486486, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.18486486486486486, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2145162314722654, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.32204197538698287, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02965136660740053, "bench_c_p1w": 0.137177110522118, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7766, -0.7544, -0.7787, -0.7566, -0.7604, -0.7641, -0.7641, -0.7641, -0.7641, -0.7641, -0.7641, -0.7641, -0.7641, -0.7555, -0.7453, -0.7199, -0.6924, -0.6924, -0.6616, -0.6648, -0.6449, -0.6098, -0.5709, -0.5828, -0.593, -0.5758, -0.5812, -0.6227, -0.6168, -0.599, -0.585, -0.5477, -0.5142, -0.5078, -0.5569, -0.5348, -0.4883, -0.531, -0.5121, -0.4954, -0.4452, -0.3901, -0.3901, -0.3901, -0.3502, -0.2854, -0.2995, -0.2432, -0.1676, -0.1351, -0.1427, -0.1297, -0.0432, -0.0638, -0.053, -0.0378, -0.1319, -0.2184, -0.2962, -0.2259, -0.1643, -0.0811, -0.0811, 0.0, 0.0541, -0.0508, -0.0551, -0.1492, -0.1849, -0.1568, -0.1935, -0.2141, -0.2054, -0.2032, -0.2303, -0.2605, -0.2508, -0.2259, -0.1492, -0.1589, -0.2216, -0.2584, -0.267, -0.2659, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2051029592241279153", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-05-03T20:02:15+00:00", "symbol": "PCL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "3. PCL", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Picks 4 high-upside rockets (SIVE, MSSCorp, PCL, AAOI) and 4-5 compounders (Shunsin, Sumitomo, Furukawa, COHR, LITE) for a sub-$300k portfolio.", "resolved_tickers": ["4977.TW"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "PCL is PCL Technologies 4977.TW per context", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TW')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Meatusmax Maybe here's what I'd do personally:\n\n\"High Upside Rockets\":\n1. $SIVE \n2. MSSCorp \n3. PCL \n4. $AAOI\n\nCompounders:\n1. Shunsin \n2. Sumitomo\n3. Furukawa\n4. $COHR\n5. $LITE", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit For those of us with a sub $300k portfolio. Which 5 names would you pick assuming we want one compounder and 4 high upside rockets?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Meatusmax", "ret_m1d": -0.009111617312072884, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.009111617312072884, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012788466677027044, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004244872222108342, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00367684936495416, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0048667450899645415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.056947608200455635, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.056947608200455635, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.048925422315463374, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030844379737186678, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008022185884992261, "bench_c_p1d": 0.026103228463268957, "ret_p1w": 0.12072892938496582, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12072892938496582, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09107756277756529, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.046179680510261445, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02965136660740053, "bench_c_p1w": 0.07454924887470438, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3804, -0.3827, -0.4214, -0.4009, -0.3667, -0.4282, -0.4282, -0.4282, -0.4282, -0.4282, -0.4282, -0.4282, -0.4282, -0.4055, -0.3462, -0.2825, -0.2118, -0.2118, -0.2073, -0.2164, -0.2733, -0.2665, -0.2392, -0.3144, -0.3121, -0.2437, -0.2255, -0.1481, -0.1526, -0.1845, -0.1458, -0.1253, -0.0866, -0.1572, -0.1731, -0.0911, -0.1071, -0.0888, -0.1344, -0.1936, -0.1686, -0.1891, -0.1891, -0.1891, -0.1458, -0.1503, -0.139, -0.0752, -0.1139, -0.1412, -0.1116, -0.0228, 0.0729, 0.1002, 0.1481, 0.1025, 0.0273, -0.0182, -0.0661, -0.0296, -0.041, -0.0091, -0.0091, 0.0, 0.0569, 0.0159, 0.0387, 0.0387, 0.1207, 0.2323, 0.1093, 0.0729, 0.0319, -0.0478, -0.0752, -0.0843, -0.0683, 0.0, 0.0501, 0.0729, 0.0068, -0.041, -0.041, -0.0273, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2051029592241279153", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-05-03T20:02:15+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "4. $AAOI", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Picks 4 high-upside rockets (SIVE, MSSCorp, PCL, AAOI) and 4-5 compounders (Shunsin, Sumitomo, Furukawa, COHR, LITE) for a sub-$300k portfolio.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Meatusmax Maybe here's what I'd do personally:\n\n\"High Upside Rockets\":\n1. $SIVE \n2. MSSCorp \n3. PCL \n4. $AAOI\n\nCompounders:\n1. Shunsin \n2. Sumitomo\n3. Furukawa\n4. $COHR\n5. $LITE", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit For those of us with a sub $300k portfolio. Which 5 names would you pick assuming we want one compounder and 4 high upside rockets?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Meatusmax", "ret_m1d": 0.06087408393675009, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06087408393675009, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05719723457179593, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05719723457179593, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00367684936495416, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00367684936495416, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04387797308444097, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04387797308444097, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03585578719944871, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03585578719944871, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008022185884992261, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008022185884992261, "ret_p1w": 0.06890969166007221, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06890969166007221, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03925832505267168, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03925832505267168, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02965136660740053, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02965136660740053, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7693, -0.7796, -0.7439, -0.723, -0.7197, -0.7202, -0.7457, -0.743, -0.743, -0.7462, -0.7489, -0.7284, -0.7012, -0.6881, -0.6747, -0.664, -0.6896, -0.5131, -0.4074, -0.4488, -0.4236, -0.4153, -0.4475, -0.3605, -0.3034, -0.2658, -0.3861, -0.4403, -0.4562, -0.5009, -0.4645, -0.4108, -0.4939, -0.4464, -0.3415, -0.3386, -0.4368, -0.4322, -0.5075, -0.511, -0.5008, -0.3993, -0.3993, -0.3788, -0.3199, -0.2329, -0.2294, -0.1294, -0.1144, -0.1537, -0.1759, -0.0905, -0.0784, -0.055, -0.1296, -0.1362, -0.2038, -0.0625, -0.1572, -0.2065, -0.1165, -0.0498, 0.0609, 0.0, 0.0439, 0.0321, -0.0892, -0.139, 0.0689, 0.0884, 0.2897, 0.1768, 0.1005, 0.0016, -0.0095, -0.0446, 0.0221, 0.0492, 0.0492, 0.0268, 0.0396, -0.0229, -0.0842, -0.0842, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2051029592241279153", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-05-03T20:02:15+00:00", "symbol": "Shunsin", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Compounders: 1. Shunsin", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Picks 4 high-upside rockets (SIVE, MSSCorp, PCL, AAOI) and 4-5 compounders (Shunsin, Sumitomo, Furukawa, COHR, LITE) for a sub-$300k portfolio.", "resolved_tickers": ["6451.TW"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Shunsin Technology listed on TWSE as 6451.TW", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TW')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Meatusmax Maybe here's what I'd do personally:\n\n\"High Upside Rockets\":\n1. $SIVE \n2. MSSCorp \n3. PCL \n4. $AAOI\n\nCompounders:\n1. Shunsin \n2. Sumitomo\n3. Furukawa\n4. $COHR\n5. $LITE", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit For those of us with a sub $300k portfolio. Which 5 names would you pick assuming we want one compounder and 4 high upside rockets?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Meatusmax", "ret_m1d": -0.09071729957805907, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09071729957805907, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09439414894301323, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08585055448809453, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00367684936495416, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0048667450899645415, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09915611814345993, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09915611814345993, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09113393225846766, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07305288968019097, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008022185884992261, "bench_c_p1d": 0.026103228463268957, "ret_p1w": -0.039029535864978926, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.039029535864978926, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06868090247237946, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1135787847396833, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02965136660740053, "bench_c_p1w": 0.07454924887470438, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5612, -0.5823, -0.6234, -0.635, -0.6255, -0.6498, -0.6498, -0.6498, -0.6498, -0.6498, -0.6498, -0.6498, -0.6498, -0.615, -0.577, -0.5549, -0.5591, -0.5591, -0.5686, -0.5622, -0.6055, -0.5886, -0.5992, -0.6392, -0.6361, -0.6002, -0.5865, -0.5454, -0.5, -0.4504, -0.4114, -0.4262, -0.4209, -0.4082, -0.3882, -0.327, -0.2996, -0.23, -0.307, -0.3755, -0.3565, -0.3766, -0.3766, -0.3766, -0.3143, -0.2458, -0.1709, -0.0886, 0.0021, 0.0042, -0.038, 0.0422, 0.0654, 0.0696, 0.0, 0.0464, -0.058, -0.1519, -0.1994, -0.1456, -0.1614, -0.0907, -0.0907, 0.0, 0.0992, 0.0074, 0.0338, -0.0696, -0.039, -0.0369, 0.0084, 0.1076, 0.2173, 0.097, 0.0211, 0.0243, 0.0527, 0.1055, 0.2152, 0.3333, 0.27, 0.2004, 0.2025, 0.2932, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2051029592241279153", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2026-05-03T20:02:15+00:00", "symbol": "Sumitomo", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "2. Sumitomo", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Picks 4 high-upside rockets (SIVE, MSSCorp, PCL, AAOI) and 4-5 compounders (Shunsin, Sumitomo, Furukawa, COHR, LITE) for a sub-$300k portfolio.", "resolved_tickers": ["5802.T"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Sumitomo Electric listed on TSE as 5802.T in photonics context", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Auto Parts'", "bench_c_industry": "Auto Parts", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Meatusmax Maybe here's what I'd do personally:\n\n\"High Upside Rockets\":\n1. $SIVE \n2. MSSCorp \n3. PCL \n4. $AAOI\n\nCompounders:\n1. Shunsin \n2. Sumitomo\n3. Furukawa\n4. $COHR\n5. $LITE", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit For those of us with a sub $300k portfolio. Which 5 names would you pick assuming we want one compounder and 4 high upside rockets?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Meatusmax", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00367684936495416, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0077301734903041375, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00367684936495416, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0077301734903041375, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008022185884992261, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.002973143650117027, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008022185884992261, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002973143650117027, "ret_p1w": 0.1323232323232324, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1323232323232324, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10267186571583187, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.11830690961877144, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02965136660740053, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01401632270446096, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2175, -0.26, -0.2467, -0.1641, -0.1281, -0.1281, -0.1239, -0.1415, -0.1355, -0.1357, -0.1183, -0.0689, -0.0262, -0.0262, 0.038, 0.0704, 0.023, 0.0365, 0.0854, 0.0315, -0.0065, -0.0035, -0.0113, -0.0884, -0.0079, 0.0704, 0.0355, 0.038, 0.014, -0.0484, -0.0005, -0.0062, -0.0062, -0.0795, -0.0507, 0.02, -0.0125, -0.0529, -0.0909, -0.1535, -0.0637, -0.0804, -0.0505, -0.0362, -0.0716, 0.0419, 0.0515, 0.0687, 0.0026, 0.0177, -0.0353, 0.0242, 0.0077, 0.0077, 0.0404, 0.0808, 0.0308, 0.0116, 0.0162, 0.0293, 0.0293, 0.0293, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.146, 0.1419, 0.1323, 0.1768, 0.2904, 0.2227, 0.1091, 0.1495, 0.0949, 0.0631, 0.0838, 0.1939, 0.2389, 0.2061, 0.2136, 0.2076, 0.2712, 0.3369, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2051029592241279153", "ticker_idx": 6, "ts": "2026-05-03T20:02:15+00:00", "symbol": "Furukawa", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "3. Furukawa", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Picks 4 high-upside rockets (SIVE, MSSCorp, PCL, AAOI) and 4-5 compounders (Shunsin, Sumitomo, Furukawa, COHR, LITE) for a sub-$300k portfolio.", "resolved_tickers": ["5801.T"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Furukawa Electric Co listed on TSE as 5801.T", "bench_c": "EWJ", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='T')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Meatusmax Maybe here's what I'd do personally:\n\n\"High Upside Rockets\":\n1. $SIVE \n2. MSSCorp \n3. PCL \n4. $AAOI\n\nCompounders:\n1. Shunsin \n2. Sumitomo\n3. Furukawa\n4. $COHR\n5. $LITE", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit For those of us with a sub $300k portfolio. Which 5 names would you pick assuming we want one compounder and 4 high upside rockets?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Meatusmax", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00367684936495416, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0020426724871245305, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00367684936495416, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0020426724871245305, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008022185884992261, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012936896891922345, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008022185884992261, "bench_c_p1d": 0.012936896891922345, "ret_p1w": 0.054382131585336335, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.054382131585336335, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.024730764977935804, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.007400750961071401, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02965136660740053, "bench_c_p1w": 0.046981380624264935, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6313, -0.6534, -0.6504, -0.578, -0.4816, -0.4816, -0.466, -0.4817, -0.4895, -0.4906, -0.4717, -0.4488, -0.4373, -0.4373, -0.3511, -0.3218, -0.3247, -0.3224, -0.281, -0.2952, -0.3327, -0.3136, -0.3212, -0.3899, -0.338, -0.2826, -0.3024, -0.26, -0.291, -0.3383, -0.3075, -0.2911, -0.2911, -0.3326, -0.3228, -0.2467, -0.2233, -0.2552, -0.2486, -0.3012, -0.2112, -0.2129, -0.1309, -0.0944, -0.1136, 0.0425, 0.0838, 0.1119, 0.1, 0.1381, 0.074, 0.11, 0.0915, 0.0456, 0.0745, 0.0694, 0.0325, 0.0427, 0.0347, 0.0415, 0.0415, 0.0286, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.1241, 0.0893, 0.0544, 0.2243, 0.4113, 0.3892, 0.3227, 0.3314, 0.22, 0.2348, 0.1964, 0.3025, 0.4101, 0.4601, 0.3622, 0.2624, 0.2639, 0.2632, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2051029592241279153", "ticker_idx": 7, "ts": "2026-05-03T20:02:15+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "4. $COHR", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Picks 4 high-upside rockets (SIVE, MSSCorp, PCL, AAOI) and 4-5 compounders (Shunsin, Sumitomo, Furukawa, COHR, LITE) for a sub-$300k portfolio.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Meatusmax Maybe here's what I'd do personally:\n\n\"High Upside Rockets\":\n1. $SIVE \n2. MSSCorp \n3. PCL \n4. $AAOI\n\nCompounders:\n1. Shunsin \n2. Sumitomo\n3. Furukawa\n4. $COHR\n5. $LITE", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit For those of us with a sub $300k portfolio. Which 5 names would you pick assuming we want one compounder and 4 high upside rockets?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Meatusmax", "ret_m1d": -0.0011822566040780025, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0011822566040780025, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0048591059690321625, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0048591059690321625, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00367684936495416, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00367684936495416, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01770285876677491, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01770285876677491, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.009680672881782648, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.009680672881782648, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008022185884992261, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008022185884992261, "ret_p1w": 0.1509593670061229, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1509593670061229, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12130800039872236, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.12130800039872236, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02965136660740053, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02965136660740053, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3604, -0.3657, -0.3098, -0.265, -0.3077, -0.3219, -0.3449, -0.3415, -0.3415, -0.3332, -0.3213, -0.2953, -0.2477, -0.2455, -0.2274, -0.1879, -0.2417, -0.2151, -0.0939, -0.1488, -0.1668, -0.2304, -0.2855, -0.2351, -0.2099, -0.2379, -0.2686, -0.2641, -0.2501, -0.2549, -0.2203, -0.1647, -0.2312, -0.2269, -0.1745, -0.1754, -0.2625, -0.2619, -0.3342, -0.2779, -0.2488, -0.2174, -0.2174, -0.2324, -0.2267, -0.1458, -0.1386, -0.0679, -0.0666, -0.0499, -0.0657, -0.0057, 0.0459, 0.0534, 0.0421, 0.0624, 0.0236, 0.0188, -0.0253, -0.0786, -0.0757, -0.0309, -0.0012, 0.0, 0.0177, 0.0448, -0.0324, 0.0163, 0.151, 0.1337, 0.2238, 0.2275, 0.1593, 0.0999, 0.072, 0.0867, 0.1458, 0.1445, 0.1445, 0.156, 0.1524, 0.1427, 0.0957, 0.0957, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2051029592241279153", "ticker_idx": 8, "ts": "2026-05-03T20:02:15+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "5. $LITE", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Picks 4 high-upside rockets (SIVE, MSSCorp, PCL, AAOI) and 4-5 compounders (Shunsin, Sumitomo, Furukawa, COHR, LITE) for a sub-$300k portfolio.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Meatusmax Maybe here's what I'd do personally:\n\n\"High Upside Rockets\":\n1. $SIVE \n2. MSSCorp \n3. PCL \n4. $AAOI\n\nCompounders:\n1. Shunsin \n2. Sumitomo\n3. Furukawa\n4. $COHR\n5. $LITE", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit For those of us with a sub $300k portfolio. Which 5 names would you pick assuming we want one compounder and 4 high upside rockets?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Meatusmax", "ret_m1d": -0.026890532685521218, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.026890532685521218, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.030567382050475378, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.030567382050475378, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00367684936495416, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00367684936495416, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01882849988804991, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01882849988804991, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010806314003057649, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.010806314003057649, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008022185884992261, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008022185884992261, "ret_p1w": 0.07878667225468883, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07878667225468883, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.049135305647288297, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.049135305647288297, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02965136660740053, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02965136660740053, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5231, -0.4833, -0.4345, -0.4088, -0.4252, -0.4119, -0.4023, -0.4235, -0.4235, -0.3849, -0.3912, -0.3488, -0.3159, -0.3088, -0.2949, -0.259, -0.3065, -0.282, -0.1976, -0.2886, -0.3026, -0.3333, -0.4279, -0.3437, -0.3116, -0.3116, -0.3689, -0.3623, -0.3599, -0.3346, -0.2821, -0.209, -0.2764, -0.2533, -0.1784, -0.2039, -0.2944, -0.2801, -0.3292, -0.2801, -0.2167, -0.1529, -0.1529, -0.2089, -0.1643, -0.0821, -0.0841, -0.0808, -0.1076, -0.1264, -0.1559, -0.087, -0.0841, -0.083, -0.1427, -0.1051, -0.1324, -0.0968, -0.1193, -0.1893, -0.1207, -0.0757, -0.0269, 0.0, 0.0188, -0.0327, -0.0856, -0.0741, 0.0788, 0.0166, 0.0555, 0.0263, -0.0056, -0.0934, -0.0882, -0.1107, -0.012, -0.03, -0.03, -0.067, -0.0757, -0.1184, -0.1242, -0.1242, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2038785650632397005", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-31T01:09:12+00:00", "symbol": "LASR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "We start to do more research and deploy Energy Directed Weapons like $LASR and HPM?", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on directed-energy plays like LASR; bearish on legacy missile makers LMT and RTX as funding should shift away from expensive missiles.", "resolved_tickers": ["LASR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Or... instead of spending billions on \"cheaper missiles\". \n\nSince blowing $3-4M Patriots to down cheap drones isn't working.\n\nWe start to do more research and deploy Energy Directed Weapons like $LASR and HPM?\n\nWith HEL (High Energy Lasers):\n\n It's a beam of light... pew pew. $3.50 per shot. \n\nWith HPM (High Powered Microwaves) - It's a cone of energy for drone swarms. \n\nMaybe ~$0.05 per burst? Ammo is basically free and infinite. \n\nEven though $LMT and $RTX are developing these too... it's like we just keep buying expensive missiles to line their pockets at this point. \n\nMore funding around this infinite ammo new tech, instead used for all those missiles...\n\nProbably could have made energy weapons better by now (eg. fixing problems with dwell time, weather changes, range, power). \n\nFiring billions of dollars of missiles at cheap drones clearly is not sustainable for extended conflicts in Iran.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.052963879928423885, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.052963879928423885, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.024717031520266053, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.024717031520266053, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.028246848408157832, "bench_c_m1d": -0.028246848408157832, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02244824217854946, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02244824217854946, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014913778395659438, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.014913778395659438, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007534463782890022, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007534463782890022, "ret_p1w": 0.012276407529283828, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.012276407529283828, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0013779017258186421, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0013779017258186421, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01365430925510247, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01365430925510247, "ret_p1m": 0.1394247755018565, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1394247755018565, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.04525866591994543, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.04525866591994543, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09416610958191107, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09416610958191107, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3422, -0.3271, -0.332, -0.3388, -0.3415, -0.298, -0.2981, -0.271, -0.2508, -0.2429, -0.2313, -0.2294, -0.2294, -0.2064, -0.1943, -0.1582, -0.2296, -0.2357, -0.2121, -0.1936, -0.1738, -0.2001, -0.1568, -0.1235, -0.2308, -0.1917, -0.1035, -0.0426, -0.0719, -0.0382, -0.0805, -0.0831, -0.0831, -0.1075, -0.0468, -0.0235, -0.0177, -0.0407, 0.0109, 0.0628, 0.104, -0.0146, 0.1871, 0.1061, 0.1754, 0.0972, 0.0284, 0.0698, 0.1187, 0.1661, 0.1008, 0.0979, 0.2013, 0.2476, 0.202, 0.2431, 0.1533, 0.2268, 0.255, 0.2583, 0.12, 0.128, -0.053, 0.0, 0.0224, 0.0544, 0.0544, 0.0207, 0.0123, 0.0579, 0.1, 0.1464, 0.2252, 0.1727, 0.1649, 0.2185, 0.2352, 0.2511, 0.2666, 0.2624, 0.3013, 0.3292, 0.2283, 0.1536, 0.1394, 0.225, 0.2448, 0.2173, 0.1741, 0.2503, 0.1608, 0.2962, 0.4898, 0.4698, 0.4104, 0.4263, 0.326, 0.2422, 0.2187, 0.2504, 0.3404, 0.3775, 0.3775, 0.4306, 0.4274, 0.3881, 0.2999, 0.2999, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2038785650632397005", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-31T01:09:12+00:00", "symbol": "LMT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it's like we just keep buying expensive missiles to line their pockets at this point", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on directed-energy plays like LASR; bearish on legacy missile makers LMT and RTX as funding should shift away from expensive missiles.", "resolved_tickers": ["LMT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Or... instead of spending billions on \"cheaper missiles\". \n\nSince blowing $3-4M Patriots to down cheap drones isn't working.\n\nWe start to do more research and deploy Energy Directed Weapons like $LASR and HPM?\n\nWith HEL (High Energy Lasers):\n\n It's a beam of light... pew pew. $3.50 per shot. \n\nWith HPM (High Powered Microwaves) - It's a cone of energy for drone swarms. \n\nMaybe ~$0.05 per burst? Ammo is basically free and infinite. \n\nEven though $LMT and $RTX are developing these too... it's like we just keep buying expensive missiles to line their pockets at this point. \n\nMore funding around this infinite ammo new tech, instead used for all those missiles...\n\nProbably could have made energy weapons better by now (eg. fixing problems with dwell time, weather changes, range, power). \n\nFiring billions of dollars of missiles at cheap drones clearly is not sustainable for extended conflicts in Iran.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.009629555722564631, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.009629555722564631, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0186172926855932, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.022028116029390254, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.028246848408157832, "bench_c_m1d": -0.031657671751954886, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02192293002674317, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02192293002674317, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.014388466243853149, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005228457637151518, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007534463782890022, "bench_c_p1d": 0.016694472389591652, "ret_p1w": 0.03856780720004571, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03856780720004571, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02491349794494324, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02280076880814641, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01365430925510247, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015767038391899302, "ret_p1m": -0.1564883846482129, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1564883846482129, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.250654494230124, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2071901540469857, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09416610958191107, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0507017693987728, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2039, -0.1819, -0.158, -0.1408, -0.1822, -0.1467, -0.1064, -0.0927, -0.0811, -0.0574, -0.0489, -0.0414, -0.0414, -0.0519, -0.0351, -0.0225, -0.0276, -0.0427, -0.0208, -0.017, 0.0246, 0.0439, 0.0468, 0.034, -0.0079, 0.0026, 0.0263, 0.0506, 0.0362, 0.0348, 0.0491, 0.0741, 0.0741, 0.0691, 0.0695, 0.097, 0.0834, 0.0873, 0.0936, 0.0657, 0.0561, 0.0831, 0.1196, 0.1049, 0.0994, 0.0837, 0.1115, 0.0989, 0.0775, 0.0746, 0.0801, 0.0688, 0.0675, 0.0528, 0.0627, 0.0548, 0.0381, 0.0196, 0.0096, 0.0328, 0.038, 0.0189, -0.0096, 0.0, 0.0219, 0.0304, 0.0304, 0.0554, 0.0386, 0.0399, 0.0322, 0.0154, 0.0253, 0.0119, 0.0111, 0.0051, -0.0202, -0.0382, -0.0537, -0.081, -0.1234, -0.1505, -0.1506, -0.1524, -0.1565, -0.143, -0.1516, -0.1427, -0.1579, -0.1491, -0.1522, -0.1619, -0.1525, -0.138, -0.1397, -0.139, -0.1462, -0.1259, -0.1287, -0.1353, -0.135, -0.1177, -0.1177, -0.1183, -0.1212, -0.1112, -0.1223, -0.1223, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2038785650632397005", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-31T01:09:12+00:00", "symbol": "RTX", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it's like we just keep buying expensive missiles to line their pockets at this point", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on directed-energy plays like LASR; bearish on legacy missile makers LMT and RTX as funding should shift away from expensive missiles.", "resolved_tickers": ["RTX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Or... instead of spending billions on \"cheaper missiles\". \n\nSince blowing $3-4M Patriots to down cheap drones isn't working.\n\nWe start to do more research and deploy Energy Directed Weapons like $LASR and HPM?\n\nWith HEL (High Energy Lasers):\n\n It's a beam of light... pew pew. $3.50 per shot. \n\nWith HPM (High Powered Microwaves) - It's a cone of energy for drone swarms. \n\nMaybe ~$0.05 per burst? Ammo is basically free and infinite. \n\nEven though $LMT and $RTX are developing these too... it's like we just keep buying expensive missiles to line their pockets at this point. \n\nMore funding around this infinite ammo new tech, instead used for all those missiles...\n\nProbably could have made energy weapons better by now (eg. fixing problems with dwell time, weather changes, range, power). \n\nFiring billions of dollars of missiles at cheap drones clearly is not sustainable for extended conflicts in Iran.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.029808205328698545, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.029808205328698545, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.001561356920540713, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0018494664232563407, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.028246848408157832, "bench_c_m1d": -0.031657671751954886, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009434961153594212, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.009434961153594212, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0019004973707041906, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00725951123599744, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007534463782890022, "bench_c_p1d": 0.016694472389591652, "ret_p1w": 0.026023847104397646, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.026023847104397646, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.012369537849295176, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.010256808712498344, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01365430925510247, "bench_c_p1w": 0.015767038391899302, "ret_p1m": -0.10425091542897058, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.10425091542897058, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.19841702501088165, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.15495268482774338, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09416610958191107, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0507017693987728, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0524, -0.0325, -0.0273, -0.0162, -0.0404, -0.0329, -0.026, 0.0016, 0.0028, 0.0274, 0.0325, 0.0433, 0.0433, 0.0146, 0.0205, 0.0145, 0.0123, 0.003, 0.04, 0.0306, 0.0328, 0.0382, 0.039, 0.0515, 0.0165, 0.0126, 0.0265, 0.0137, 0.0085, 0.0153, 0.0393, 0.0337, 0.0337, 0.0515, 0.0582, 0.0613, 0.0623, 0.0468, 0.0288, 0.016, 0.0245, 0.0504, 0.0998, 0.0706, 0.0825, 0.0568, 0.0874, 0.0795, 0.0731, 0.0744, 0.0526, 0.0602, 0.0682, 0.0541, 0.0604, 0.0406, 0.0273, 0.01, 0.0057, 0.0109, -0.0003, -0.0165, -0.0298, 0.0, 0.0094, 0.0172, 0.0172, 0.0286, 0.026, 0.0548, 0.0533, 0.0449, 0.0441, 0.0514, 0.0285, 0.0153, 0.0182, 0.015, -0.0297, -0.0622, -0.0705, -0.0966, -0.1012, -0.0893, -0.1043, -0.0872, -0.098, -0.1037, -0.1038, -0.0838, -0.0836, -0.0871, -0.0741, -0.0726, -0.0767, -0.0893, -0.1126, -0.0879, -0.0954, -0.0936, -0.0877, -0.0786, -0.0786, -0.0683, -0.0807, -0.0684, -0.0648, -0.0648, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2058618801554604040", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-24T18:39:04+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "You're not bullish enough", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish on AI capex beneficiaries: NVDA, AXTI, SOI, SIVE, IQE, NBIS, MU, SNDK as $3-4T annual spend by 2030 flows through photonics, memory, and neoclouds.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "AI capex spend is expected to go to \"$3 to $4 trillion annually\" by 2030 from $NVDA Jensen Huang projections. \n\nYou're not bullish enough. \n\nAnd it might be a good idea to stay exposed + own the keys of the AI Kingdom:\n\n-> $AXTI controls the materials buildout with photonics.\n-> $SOI controls the AI buildout with silicon photonics.\n-> $SIVE controls laser chokepoints for CPO.\n-> $IQE controls Western epiwafer supply chains for photonics. \n\nAll these started off as tiny companies, yet the trillions of projected capex gradually upward to them. \n\nThere's many more in other industries as well. \n\n-> AI Capex flows to Neoclouds like $NBIS. \n-> AI Capex flows to memory like $MU and $SNDK. \n\nAnd many of the \"commodity\" materials or \"science projects\" for the past 20 years now a sudden shift in exponential TAM expansion.  \n\nWe're witnessing the next industrial revolution with Artificial Intelligence + Physical AI.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00218270197699566, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00218270197699566, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008821310567985852, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008821310567985852, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0066386085909901915, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0066386085909901915, "ret_p1w": -0.019458516722131836, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.019458516722131836, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.033996317279178734, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.033996317279178734, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014537800557046898, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014537800557046898, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0919, -0.1414, -0.1772, -0.1526, -0.1639, -0.15, -0.1486, -0.1742, -0.1518, -0.142, -0.1361, -0.1495, -0.1629, -0.1491, -0.1551, -0.1622, -0.1708, -0.198, -0.1843, -0.1864, -0.1702, -0.2048, -0.222, -0.2329, -0.1901, -0.1838, -0.1762, -0.1762, -0.175, -0.1729, -0.1544, -0.1459, -0.124, -0.1208, -0.0874, -0.0764, -0.0789, -0.0634, -0.0616, -0.0718, -0.0596, -0.0729, -0.0328, 0.0059, -0.01, -0.0282, -0.0732, -0.0784, -0.0783, -0.0874, -0.0348, -0.0178, -0.0006, 0.0191, 0.0253, 0.0488, 0.0948, 0.0464, 0.0325, 0.0245, 0.0378, 0.0194, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0022, -0.0127, -0.005, -0.0195, -0.0195, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2058618801554604040", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-24T18:39:04+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AXTI controls the materials buildout with photonics", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish on AI capex beneficiaries: NVDA, AXTI, SOI, SIVE, IQE, NBIS, MU, SNDK as $3-4T annual spend by 2030 flows through photonics, memory, and neoclouds.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "AI capex spend is expected to go to \"$3 to $4 trillion annually\" by 2030 from $NVDA Jensen Huang projections. \n\nYou're not bullish enough. \n\nAnd it might be a good idea to stay exposed + own the keys of the AI Kingdom:\n\n-> $AXTI controls the materials buildout with photonics.\n-> $SOI controls the AI buildout with silicon photonics.\n-> $SIVE controls laser chokepoints for CPO.\n-> $IQE controls Western epiwafer supply chains for photonics. \n\nAll these started off as tiny companies, yet the trillions of projected capex gradually upward to them. \n\nThere's many more in other industries as well. \n\n-> AI Capex flows to Neoclouds like $NBIS. \n-> AI Capex flows to memory like $MU and $SNDK. \n\nAnd many of the \"commodity\" materials or \"science projects\" for the past 20 years now a sudden shift in exponential TAM expansion.  \n\nWe're witnessing the next industrial revolution with Artificial Intelligence + Physical AI.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05843922190253248, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05843922190253248, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06507783049352267, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.10324073320889471, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0066386085909901915, "bench_c_p1d": 0.04480151130636223, "ret_p1w": -0.26748560448174785, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.26748560448174785, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.28202340503879475, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.30671725541217076, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014537800557046898, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03923165093042291, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7091, -0.7364, -0.7309, -0.6711, -0.7035, -0.7221, -0.7245, -0.7701, -0.7262, -0.6854, -0.6637, -0.6682, -0.6531, -0.6564, -0.685, -0.6538, -0.5875, -0.6149, -0.5424, -0.514, -0.5218, -0.5845, -0.5695, -0.6256, -0.5954, -0.6653, -0.6248, -0.6248, -0.7018, -0.6772, -0.6224, -0.5518, -0.5443, -0.5282, -0.5221, -0.5531, -0.4193, -0.4138, -0.4407, -0.4677, -0.3827, -0.4655, -0.4592, -0.5019, -0.5121, -0.4953, -0.4375, -0.3183, -0.2473, -0.2363, -0.2556, -0.2301, -0.1738, -0.1067, -0.1273, -0.1341, -0.1836, -0.1211, -0.2482, -0.1985, -0.2572, -0.1407, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0584, -0.1282, -0.1784, -0.2675, -0.2675, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2058618801554604040", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-05-24T18:39:04+00:00", "symbol": "IQE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$IQE controls Western epiwafer supply chains for photonics", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish on AI capex beneficiaries: NVDA, AXTI, SOI, SIVE, IQE, NBIS, MU, SNDK as $3-4T annual spend by 2030 flows through photonics, memory, and neoclouds.", "resolved_tickers": ["IQE.L"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "IQE plc LSE-listed epiwafer supplier", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "AI capex spend is expected to go to \"$3 to $4 trillion annually\" by 2030 from $NVDA Jensen Huang projections. \n\nYou're not bullish enough. \n\nAnd it might be a good idea to stay exposed + own the keys of the AI Kingdom:\n\n-> $AXTI controls the materials buildout with photonics.\n-> $SOI controls the AI buildout with silicon photonics.\n-> $SIVE controls laser chokepoints for CPO.\n-> $IQE controls Western epiwafer supply chains for photonics. \n\nAll these started off as tiny companies, yet the trillions of projected capex gradually upward to them. \n\nThere's many more in other industries as well. \n\n-> AI Capex flows to Neoclouds like $NBIS. \n-> AI Capex flows to memory like $MU and $SNDK. \n\nAnd many of the \"commodity\" materials or \"science projects\" for the past 20 years now a sudden shift in exponential TAM expansion.  \n\nWe're witnessing the next industrial revolution with Artificial Intelligence + Physical AI.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.180327868852459, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.180327868852459, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.1736892602614688, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.13552635754609677, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0066386085909901915, "bench_c_p1d": 0.04480151130636223, "ret_p1w": 0.03825136612021862, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03825136612021862, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.023713565563171723, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0009802848102042905, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014537800557046898, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03923165093042291, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6498, -0.5628, -0.5847, -0.4404, -0.4317, -0.4131, -0.5311, -0.5703, -0.583, -0.5038, -0.4689, -0.5038, -0.4918, -0.4951, -0.5279, -0.4415, -0.5005, -0.4842, -0.4863, -0.4415, -0.3552, -0.4186, -0.4645, -0.4951, -0.4667, -0.4514, -0.4842, -0.4842, -0.4842, -0.4426, -0.3727, -0.3443, -0.1913, 0.0732, 0.0448, 0.1803, 0.2809, 0.1388, 0.2809, 0.377, 0.3683, 0.0874, 0.0404, 0.0798, -0.1202, -0.1169, -0.0546, -0.1005, -0.1005, 0.0929, -0.0262, -0.0022, 0.0295, 0.1913, 0.0306, 0.1038, 0.0842, 0.0055, -0.1454, -0.3005, -0.1792, -0.129, 0.0, 0.0, 0.1803, 0.1082, 0.0415, 0.0383, 0.0383, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2058618801554604040", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2026-05-24T18:39:04+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "AI Capex flows to Neoclouds like $NBIS", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish on AI capex beneficiaries: NVDA, AXTI, SOI, SIVE, IQE, NBIS, MU, SNDK as $3-4T annual spend by 2030 flows through photonics, memory, and neoclouds.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "AI capex spend is expected to go to \"$3 to $4 trillion annually\" by 2030 from $NVDA Jensen Huang projections. \n\nYou're not bullish enough. \n\nAnd it might be a good idea to stay exposed + own the keys of the AI Kingdom:\n\n-> $AXTI controls the materials buildout with photonics.\n-> $SOI controls the AI buildout with silicon photonics.\n-> $SIVE controls laser chokepoints for CPO.\n-> $IQE controls Western epiwafer supply chains for photonics. \n\nAll these started off as tiny companies, yet the trillions of projected capex gradually upward to them. \n\nThere's many more in other industries as well. \n\n-> AI Capex flows to Neoclouds like $NBIS. \n-> AI Capex flows to memory like $MU and $SNDK. \n\nAnd many of the \"commodity\" materials or \"science projects\" for the past 20 years now a sudden shift in exponential TAM expansion.  \n\nWe're witnessing the next industrial revolution with Artificial Intelligence + Physical AI.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.031242755414553902, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.031242755414553902, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.037881364005544094, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03202228051414535, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0066386085909901915, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0007795250995914493, "ret_p1w": 0.07598822806152139, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07598822806152139, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06145042750447449, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07399616709878631, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014537800557046898, "bench_c_p1w": 0.001992060962735076, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5059, -0.5117, -0.5754, -0.5762, -0.5958, -0.5447, -0.5546, -0.5841, -0.5579, -0.551, -0.4785, -0.497, -0.4741, -0.3954, -0.4584, -0.448, -0.4342, -0.4523, -0.4685, -0.465, -0.4641, -0.5066, -0.5306, -0.5704, -0.5169, -0.5253, -0.4933, -0.4933, -0.476, -0.4534, -0.418, -0.3652, -0.325, -0.2803, -0.246, -0.2235, -0.2302, -0.2683, -0.2589, -0.2711, -0.273, -0.2686, -0.3148, -0.325, -0.369, -0.3426, -0.3564, -0.2807, -0.1786, -0.1809, -0.0916, -0.1397, -0.1756, -0.1335, -0.166, -0.0349, 0.0297, 0.0241, -0.0694, -0.0793, -0.1069, 0.024, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0312, -0.0298, 0.0539, 0.076, 0.076, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2058618801554604040", "ticker_idx": 6, "ts": "2026-05-24T18:39:04+00:00", "symbol": "MU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "AI Capex flows to memory like $MU", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish on AI capex beneficiaries: NVDA, AXTI, SOI, SIVE, IQE, NBIS, MU, SNDK as $3-4T annual spend by 2030 flows through photonics, memory, and neoclouds.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "AI capex spend is expected to go to \"$3 to $4 trillion annually\" by 2030 from $NVDA Jensen Huang projections. \n\nYou're not bullish enough. \n\nAnd it might be a good idea to stay exposed + own the keys of the AI Kingdom:\n\n-> $AXTI controls the materials buildout with photonics.\n-> $SOI controls the AI buildout with silicon photonics.\n-> $SIVE controls laser chokepoints for CPO.\n-> $IQE controls Western epiwafer supply chains for photonics. \n\nAll these started off as tiny companies, yet the trillions of projected capex gradually upward to them. \n\nThere's many more in other industries as well. \n\n-> AI Capex flows to Neoclouds like $NBIS. \n-> AI Capex flows to memory like $MU and $SNDK. \n\nAnd many of the \"commodity\" materials or \"science projects\" for the past 20 years now a sudden shift in exponential TAM expansion.  \n\nWe're witnessing the next industrial revolution with Artificial Intelligence + Physical AI.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.19291611835261313, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.19291611835261313, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.18627750976162294, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.1481146070462509, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0066386085909901915, "bench_c_p1d": 0.04480151130636223, "ret_p1w": 0.292942743009321, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.292942743009321, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2784049424522741, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2537110920788981, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014537800557046898, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03923165093042291, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.429, -0.4469, -0.4511, -0.4507, -0.4946, -0.4666, -0.4715, -0.5071, -0.4818, -0.4635, -0.4427, -0.4605, -0.4328, -0.412, -0.3855, -0.3854, -0.4087, -0.4371, -0.4618, -0.4736, -0.4914, -0.5269, -0.5245, -0.5715, -0.5501, -0.5102, -0.5123, -0.5123, -0.497, -0.4972, -0.4584, -0.4387, -0.44, -0.432, -0.3799, -0.3925, -0.3912, -0.394, -0.4029, -0.4016, -0.3509, -0.3586, -0.3386, -0.3015, -0.3285, -0.3096, -0.3114, -0.278, -0.2324, -0.1475, -0.1124, -0.139, -0.0056, 0.059, 0.0207, 0.0701, 0.0333, -0.0351, -0.0925, -0.0696, -0.0253, 0.0148, 0.0, 0.0, 0.1929, 0.2362, 0.2297, 0.2929, 0.2929, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2058618801554604040", "ticker_idx": 7, "ts": "2026-05-24T18:39:04+00:00", "symbol": "SNDK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "AI Capex flows to memory like $MU and $SNDK", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish on AI capex beneficiaries: NVDA, AXTI, SOI, SIVE, IQE, NBIS, MU, SNDK as $3-4T annual spend by 2030 flows through photonics, memory, and neoclouds.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNDK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "AI capex spend is expected to go to \"$3 to $4 trillion annually\" by 2030 from $NVDA Jensen Huang projections. \n\nYou're not bullish enough. \n\nAnd it might be a good idea to stay exposed + own the keys of the AI Kingdom:\n\n-> $AXTI controls the materials buildout with photonics.\n-> $SOI controls the AI buildout with silicon photonics.\n-> $SIVE controls laser chokepoints for CPO.\n-> $IQE controls Western epiwafer supply chains for photonics. \n\nAll these started off as tiny companies, yet the trillions of projected capex gradually upward to them. \n\nThere's many more in other industries as well. \n\n-> AI Capex flows to Neoclouds like $NBIS. \n-> AI Capex flows to memory like $MU and $SNDK. \n\nAnd many of the \"commodity\" materials or \"science projects\" for the past 20 years now a sudden shift in exponential TAM expansion.  \n\nWe're witnessing the next industrial revolution with Artificial Intelligence + Physical AI.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.07497184116667888, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.07497184116667888, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06833323257568868, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06833323257568868, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0066386085909901915, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0066386085909901915, "ret_p1w": 0.1462713940265299, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1462713940265299, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.131733593469483, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.131733593469483, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014537800557046898, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014537800557046898, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5723, -0.5591, -0.5703, -0.5813, -0.6176, -0.5949, -0.6175, -0.6434, -0.6019, -0.5815, -0.5567, -0.5815, -0.5526, -0.5242, -0.513, -0.4903, -0.4779, -0.52, -0.5249, -0.5249, -0.5416, -0.5921, -0.5835, -0.6128, -0.5703, -0.5315, -0.5255, -0.5255, -0.51, -0.5193, -0.4719, -0.4241, -0.424, -0.3558, -0.3613, -0.397, -0.3782, -0.3772, -0.3825, -0.389, -0.3379, -0.3694, -0.3306, -0.2763, -0.3221, -0.2803, -0.2585, -0.1973, -0.1507, -0.0489, -0.0465, -0.0938, 0.0566, 0.0466, -0.018, -0.0213, -0.0649, -0.0481, -0.0985, -0.0645, -0.0582, 0.043, 0.0, 0.0, 0.075, 0.0752, 0.1102, 0.1463, 0.1463, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2052695450869014930", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-08T10:21:47+00:00", "symbol": "FLNC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Agreed high-level directionally, $FLNC compelling at $3B valuation post-earnings after taking a closer look. Very rare to see a US energy player that small get 2 direct Hyperscaler deals... The $5.6B+ backlog derisks the company growth", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish FLNC at $3B valuation: rare dual hyperscaler deals + $5.6B+ backlog derisk growth and likely drive massive re-rating.", "resolved_tickers": ["FLNC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It’s still premarket…\n\nBut +18.66% off $FLNC having 2 direct hyperscaler contracts coming up. \n\nEspecially at this tiny MC, having these types of contracts typically leads to massive re-rating. https://t.co/fVroq5VrN4", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Agreed high-level directionally, $FLNC compelling at $3B valuation post-earnings after taking a closer look. \n\nVery rare to see a US energy player that small get 2 direct Hyperscaler deals...\n\nThe $5.6B+ backlog derisks the company growth, not including new hyperscalers backlog https://t.co/v4xAvGRifv", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.2148179042564664, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.2148179042564664, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.2066294358481715, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.2066294358481715, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.008188468408294902, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008188468408294902, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.044288067118462005, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.044288067118462005, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04201048152303044, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04201048152303044, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002277585595431564, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002277585595431564, "ret_p1w": -0.14031454515971598, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.14031454515971598, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.14241588162460184, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.14241588162460184, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0021013364648858612, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0021013364648858612, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.214, -0.2748, -0.2781, -0.2359, -0.2359, -0.2641, -0.2786, -0.3146, -0.315, -0.3349, -0.3175, -0.3241, -0.3295, -0.3568, -0.3742, -0.3825, -0.346, -0.3477, -0.3882, -0.3502, -0.3013, -0.2918, -0.3204, -0.322, -0.3055, -0.3171, -0.3382, -0.3365, -0.3738, -0.3642, -0.3315, -0.3233, -0.3808, -0.4143, -0.4619, -0.4305, -0.4611, -0.4495, -0.4495, -0.4536, -0.4516, -0.457, -0.4387, -0.4296, -0.435, -0.3874, -0.3704, -0.38, -0.4398, -0.4772, -0.4714, -0.4412, -0.4404, -0.4462, -0.447, -0.4888, -0.5103, -0.4959, -0.4954, -0.4897, -0.4748, -0.4387, -0.2148, 0.0, 0.0443, -0.1192, -0.0853, -0.1333, -0.1403, -0.1912, -0.2587, -0.2161, -0.1643, -0.1105, -0.1105, -0.1171, -0.1217, -0.1159, -0.2185, -0.2185, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2047036412600680485", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-22T19:34:47+00:00", "symbol": "AMSC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Trump + DoE are more likely going to give funding to the names with America in its name tbh", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AMSC on expected Trump/DoE funding bias toward 'American'-named companies.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMSC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Specialty Industrial Machinery'", "bench_c_industry": "Specialty Industrial Machinery", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@auer_trist24737 I liked it $AMSC more for exposure because it's called \"American Superconductor Corp\" \n\nAnd Trump + DoE are more likely going to give funding to the names with America in its name tbh...", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Glad you're in $AMSC as well. Good times ahead!", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "BottleneckFindr", "ret_m1d": -0.1291796681950279, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1291796681950279, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11915449326423, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.13151835605152384, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010025174930797909, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0023386878564959357, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.041536862650462636, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.041536862650462636, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03765613870063744, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.059252099770573, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0038807239498251933, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01771523712011036, "ret_p1w": -0.009345809941409766, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.009345809941409766, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.009866043213940467, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0028560961088405223, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0005202332725307013, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006489713832569244, "ret_p1m": 0.02637583806479893, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.02637583806479893, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01792886484570122, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.029357564718534013, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04430470291050015, "bench_c_p1m": -0.002981726653735084, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3088, -0.3448, -0.3319, -0.3391, -0.3468, -0.3786, -0.3765, -0.3769, -0.4266, -0.4611, -0.415, -0.4021, -0.3379, -0.2885, -0.3364, -0.2885, -0.2885, -0.2386, -0.2777, -0.2984, -0.293, -0.3248, -0.2999, -0.2798, -0.2806, -0.3234, -0.3144, -0.3543, -0.3383, -0.3595, -0.4247, -0.3969, -0.3836, -0.3632, -0.3923, -0.3558, -0.3583, -0.3526, -0.374, -0.363, -0.4031, -0.3603, -0.331, -0.303, -0.329, -0.2997, -0.331, -0.297, -0.3219, -0.3335, -0.3335, -0.3225, -0.345, -0.3142, -0.2492, -0.2168, -0.2147, -0.1807, -0.2162, -0.2114, -0.1751, -0.1541, -0.1292, 0.0, -0.0415, 0.0276, 0.0309, -0.0135, -0.0093, 0.1119, 0.0906, 0.0447, 0.1425, 0.1853, 0.1053, 0.1462, 0.2195, 0.1321, 0.1574, 0.136, 0.1435, 0.0415, -0.022, 0.0222, 0.0264, 0.0766, 0.0766, 0.1032, 0.0941, 0.066, 0.0579, 0.0579, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2055116243582247014", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-15T02:41:09+00:00", "symbol": "6324.T", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I do like Harmonic Drive (6324) as the Western Leader (eg. harmonic reduction gear) at ~$4.2B MC. Very large part of robotics/humanoid BOM value.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long Harmonic Drive as Western leader in harmonic reduction gears with high humanoid BOM value; author holds a position.", "resolved_tickers": ["6324.T"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWJ", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='T')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I do like Harmonic Drive (6324) as the Western Leader (eg. harmonic reduction gear) at ~$4.2B MC.\n\nVery large part of robotics/humanoid BOM value.\n\nI actually like Leader Drive more (since it's cheaper for mass production, covers more parts). And maybe Sanhua for $TSLA Optimus. \n\nBut prefer to advance Western supply chains with my capital over ones in China. \n\nIt's not just profiting off markets, but what you want to get accomplished as well (helping advance US supply chains and Robotics leaders).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Imo harmonic drive (6324) one of the better humanoid exposure names at $4B valuation listed in GS research report.\n\nPersonally I picked some up for exposure.\n\nChinese competitors might be used for mass production.\n\nBut personal preference in investing in Western supply chains + https://t.co/ZMHaAOXBQT", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.09436619718309858, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09436619718309858, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1065420162884233, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.10523693251951027, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012175819105324726, "bench_c_m1d": 0.010870735336411697, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04225352112676062, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04225352112676062, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.041550085505570156, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.040606419706078034, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0007034356211904624, "bench_c_p1d": -0.001647101420682584, "ret_p1w": -0.012676056338028152, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.012676056338028152, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.02142916034369735, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01860557118745043, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008753104005669199, "bench_c_p1w": 0.005929514849422279, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4731, -0.4745, -0.464, -0.3853, -0.3853, -0.3551, -0.3579, -0.3579, -0.36, -0.3418, -0.3635, -0.4043, -0.3881, -0.4015, -0.4654, -0.438, -0.4085, -0.4036, -0.4092, -0.3987, -0.4127, -0.3874, -0.419, -0.419, -0.4626, -0.4542, -0.4282, -0.4303, -0.4289, -0.4662, -0.512, -0.4852, -0.4979, -0.4768, -0.4606, -0.4634, -0.4148, -0.4451, -0.438, -0.4148, -0.4254, -0.3873, -0.3387, -0.3761, -0.3641, -0.3676, -0.3824, -0.3986, -0.4092, -0.312, -0.3317, -0.3317, -0.2648, -0.2746, -0.2746, -0.2746, -0.2746, -0.1958, -0.1225, -0.0986, -0.0704, -0.0183, -0.0944, 0.0, -0.0423, -0.1507, -0.1662, -0.0775, -0.0127, 0.0789, 0.1268, 0.1056, 0.0831, 0.0986, 0.1296, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2053843896518811981", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-11T14:25:18+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It was actually extremely bullish projections, people shouldn't care about the current earnings reports for $AAOI if it's a 2027 late H1 growth company", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long AAOI; bullish projections for late-H1 2027 growth mean current earnings misses are irrelevant.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Jess252530 Yeah I ended up buying that drop and cost averaging up.\n\nIt was actually extremely bullish projections, people shouldn't care about the current earnings reports for $AAOI if it's a 2027 late H1 growth company.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Really appreciate that Serenity will post even through volatility. One of very few who do this.  As retail who aren’t as experienced it can be hard to sit through even when you think you’re right.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Jess252530", "ret_m1d": -0.19448346480319623, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.19448346480319623, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1922110548160183, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1922110548160183, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0022724099871779257, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0022724099871779257, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01828017844448815, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01828017844448815, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.019795118435940062, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.019795118435940062, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0015149399914519135, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0015149399914519135, "ret_p1w": -0.06295294631629378, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.06295294631629378, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06207378577302558, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06207378577302558, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0008791605432681981, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0008791605432681981, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7382, -0.7621, -0.7595, -0.7595, -0.7625, -0.7651, -0.7459, -0.7205, -0.7082, -0.6957, -0.6857, -0.7096, -0.5445, -0.4456, -0.4844, -0.4607, -0.453, -0.4831, -0.4017, -0.3484, -0.3131, -0.4257, -0.4764, -0.4912, -0.5331, -0.499, -0.4488, -0.5266, -0.4821, -0.384, -0.3812, -0.4731, -0.4688, -0.5393, -0.5425, -0.533, -0.438, -0.438, -0.4189, -0.3638, -0.2823, -0.2791, -0.1855, -0.1715, -0.2083, -0.229, -0.1492, -0.1378, -0.1159, -0.1857, -0.1919, -0.2551, -0.1229, -0.2116, -0.2577, -0.1734, -0.1111, -0.0075, -0.0645, -0.0234, -0.0344, -0.1479, -0.1945, 0.0, 0.0183, 0.2066, 0.101, 0.0295, -0.063, -0.0734, -0.1062, -0.0438, -0.0184, -0.0184, -0.0394, -0.0274, -0.0859, -0.1433, -0.1433, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2040847684496675027", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-05T17:42:59+00:00", "symbol": "AEHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "IMO it will blow away $60+ if it shifts into mass order ramp like $AAOI earnings", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish AEHR past $60 on mass order ramp from a major optical transceiver customer; not overvalued, driven by fundamentals.", "resolved_tickers": ["AEHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It's not greed, it's fundamentals. $AEHR went up in price is because they landed the leader in optical transcivers.\n\nThis could be $AVGO, $LITE, $COHR, $MRVL, $CSCO or others.\n\nMarkets are forward looking. IMO it will blow away $60+ if it shifts into mass order ramp like $AAOI earnings.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $AEHR is interesting but ahead of itself heading into Tuesday earnings…can easily see it fading back to $35-37, orders arent revenues.  And even if they can do $100M in sales, the stock is fairly valued now.  You gotta buy the fear and sell the greed in all of these names.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "AtlasShrug1", "ret_m1d": -0.15030675183134357, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.15030675183134357, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.14560219198371982, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1410638517844628, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004704559847623746, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009242900046880775, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03661809534124971, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03661809534124971, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0370581694470985, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.046517541781468164, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004400741058487867, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009899446440218451, "ret_p1w": 0.3738497674797203, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.3738497674797203, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.3326162780162578, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2542478076898922, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0412334894634625, "bench_c_p1w": 0.11960195978982813, "ret_p1m": 0.748274591797772, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.748274591797772, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6498725952637145, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4282837136232345, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09840199653405746, "bench_c_p1m": 0.31999087817453753, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5364, -0.5648, -0.4954, -0.4948, -0.486, -0.5021, -0.4914, -0.4477, -0.4477, -0.4429, -0.4402, -0.4074, -0.4624, -0.4866, -0.468, -0.4636, -0.4847, -0.5084, -0.5004, -0.4787, -0.5431, -0.559, -0.4941, -0.4711, -0.4856, -0.351, -0.4653, -0.4471, -0.4471, -0.4538, -0.4438, -0.4197, -0.3558, -0.342, -0.2479, -0.2048, -0.237, -0.2824, -0.1559, -0.2017, -0.1821, -0.2237, -0.3173, -0.2163, -0.1956, -0.1862, -0.2782, -0.3161, -0.2814, -0.2889, -0.3039, -0.2761, -0.3382, -0.2878, -0.2487, -0.2517, -0.3372, -0.3765, -0.4225, -0.2891, -0.2408, -0.1503, -0.1503, 0.0, -0.0366, 0.2109, 0.3202, 0.3503, 0.3738, 0.426, 0.4038, 0.55, 0.6077, 0.7283, 0.7968, 0.8666, 0.8311, 0.8388, 0.6963, 0.5803, 0.5684, 0.7362, 0.7843, 0.6413, 0.7483, 0.8545, 0.7496, 0.8641, 1.0046, 0.8543, 0.9795, 1.0387, 0.9076, 0.6022, 0.5556, 0.5786, 0.7504, 0.8217, 0.8217, 1.1074, 0.9904, 0.917, 0.7701, 0.7701, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2037902349067223115", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-28T14:39:17+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The reason I flipped bearish is because... who is funding the monetization of their GW capacity? It's existing holders getting diluted. $IREN filed a $6B ATM since they likely didn't have any other way to finance it.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish IREN due to $6B ATM dilution financing buildout; would only flip long after dilution cycle completes.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I saw large potential with $IREN last year. \n\nThe reason I flipped bearish is because... who is funding the monetization of their GW capacity? It's existing holders getting diluted. \n\n$IREN filed a $6B ATM since they likely didn't have any other way to finance it.\n\nI would consider flipping long again after they already financed their buildout from dilution.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Massive potential on $IREN as will imo. Got the highest ceiling out of the three thanks to their business strategy. It’s the high risk, high reward play in the Neocloud market.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Kaizen_Investor", "ret_m1d": 0.10974064583353815, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10974064583353815, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.10638596720856341, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1211136654803332, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011373019646795046, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08412390479012921, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08412390479012921, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0550559790912144, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06323891081192379, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "bench_c_p1d": 0.020884993978205424, "ret_p1w": 0.11100569689190842, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11100569689190842, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06834540728564642, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07957475316610729, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03143094372580113, "ret_p1m": 0.40543951445974713, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.40543951445974713, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2792942299779777, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.33327247931247106, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07216703514727607, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1945, 0.1945, 0.3504, 0.5256, 0.4519, 0.3797, 0.4447, 0.4557, 0.5917, 0.6758, 0.6724, 0.641, 0.8286, 0.8286, 0.716, 0.6913, 0.6528, 0.7925, 0.6559, 0.8972, 0.9905, 0.8925, 0.6996, 0.6787, 0.7201, 0.4213, 0.2584, 0.3229, 0.4595, 0.3577, 0.3495, 0.266, 0.3352, 0.3352, 0.2957, 0.3308, 0.3691, 0.2644, 0.3397, 0.4374, 0.3925, 0.3991, 0.2951, 0.309, 0.2287, 0.3865, 0.269, 0.1607, 0.2283, 0.2056, 0.3276, 0.3083, 0.315, 0.4213, 0.3586, 0.3349, 0.3175, 0.3058, 0.3333, 0.3004, 0.3102, 0.1844, 0.1097, 0.0, 0.0841, 0.0781, 0.0996, 0.0996, 0.111, 0.1303, 0.1648, 0.172, 0.2435, 0.3621, 0.4981, 0.544, 0.5085, 0.5218, 0.5408, 0.4285, 0.5304, 0.6452, 0.6015, 0.5294, 0.4054, 0.3555, 0.4393, 0.444, 0.5648, 0.7312, 0.9285, 0.7979, 0.9355, 0.7441, 0.7887, 0.7448, 0.8469, 0.6743, 0.5958, 0.5098, 0.667, 0.8362, 0.7973, 0.7973, 0.8906, 1.1455, 1.0256, 1.0095, 1.0095, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2044464193538298321", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-15T17:13:42+00:00", "symbol": "Enplas", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I still think Enplas doubles within 6 months", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Expects Enplas to double in 6 months; sub-$1B company serving hyperscalers with chokepoints in photonics/ASIC-GPU testing.", "resolved_tickers": ["6961.T"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Enplas Corp listed on TSE as 6961.T", "bench_c": "EWJ", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='T')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Letterkees I still think Enplas doubles within 6 months. \n\nNormally you don't see &lt;$1B companies serving to hyperscalers stay in that MC range for too long and they own two different chokepoints in photonics/ASIC-GPU testing.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Carrying me out of the underclass is an understatement 😭\n\nI wanted to ask what your realistic expectations are for Enplas given Japanese companies don’t price hike \n\nThanks for all you do legend", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Letterkees", "ret_m1d": -0.05282112845138054, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05282112845138054, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04499191387636592, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.056638395415005705, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00782921457501462, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0038172669636251655, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.021608643457383003, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.021608643457383003, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.019151331834778684, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.017791376493757838, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002457311622604319, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0038172669636251655, "ret_p1w": 0.01680672268907557, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.01680672268907557, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0007053147227642498, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03151422873019072, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01610140796631132, "bench_c_p1w": -0.014707506041115148, "ret_p1m": -0.07863145258103243, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.07863145258103243, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.147537330657043, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11220053166505617, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06890587807601056, "bench_c_p1m": 0.033569079084023734, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4366, -0.4504, -0.4665, -0.4683, -0.4288, -0.4282, -0.4462, -0.4426, -0.4605, -0.4456, -0.4581, -0.3684, -0.3212, -0.2763, -0.2614, -0.2087, -0.1758, -0.2045, -0.2045, -0.1782, -0.1938, -0.2129, -0.2003, -0.1549, -0.1716, -0.1393, -0.1393, -0.1208, -0.1322, -0.1471, -0.1477, -0.1393, -0.1459, -0.1824, -0.0861, -0.0688, -0.1728, -0.0718, -0.049, -0.0963, -0.052, -0.0532, -0.1519, -0.1029, -0.125, -0.125, -0.171, -0.1507, -0.1041, -0.1836, -0.247, -0.2815, -0.3001, -0.2497, -0.2785, -0.2467, -0.2269, -0.2389, -0.1453, -0.1477, -0.0852, -0.1086, -0.0528, 0.0, 0.0216, -0.0036, 0.0336, 0.0558, 0.0168, -0.0036, 0.012, -0.0012, -0.0054, -0.0054, 0.027, -0.2131, -0.2131, -0.2131, -0.2131, -0.2029, -0.1747, -0.1471, -0.1285, -0.0606, -0.0786, -0.1669, -0.1627, -0.2125, -0.2329, -0.2209, -0.1867, -0.1717, -0.2413, -0.2605, -0.2527, -0.2755, -0.2623, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2038980162214347005", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-31T14:02:07+00:00", "symbol": "MRVL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": true, "quote": "****. Sorry $MRVL holders.", "tweet_type": "sarcasm", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Sarcastic reaction to Cramer going all-in on Marvell; implied bearish on MRVL.", "resolved_tickers": ["MRVL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "****. Sorry $MRVL holders. https://t.co/JMZ16QJRsL", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "I am all in Marvell..", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.11347802813553998, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11347802813553998, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08523117972738214, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08523117972738214, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.028246848408157832, "bench_c_m1d": -0.028246848408157832, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0773346652090221, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0773346652090221, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.06980020142613208, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06980020142613208, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007534463782890022, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007534463782890022, "ret_p1w": 0.10429073689295154, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10429073689295154, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09063642763784907, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09063642763784907, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01365430925510247, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01365430925510247, "ret_p1m": 0.581508156556942, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.581508156556942, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4873420469750309, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4873420469750309, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09416610958191107, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09416610958191107, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1427, -0.0982, -0.0897, -0.1099, -0.1461, -0.1581, -0.1598, -0.1631, -0.1615, -0.1801, -0.1885, -0.1877, -0.1877, -0.1943, -0.1666, -0.161, -0.19, -0.1745, -0.1627, -0.1558, -0.1788, -0.2032, -0.2059, -0.2374, -0.2556, -0.2508, -0.1895, -0.1686, -0.172, -0.1788, -0.2102, -0.2064, -0.2064, -0.2023, -0.2015, -0.1963, -0.1976, -0.2146, -0.2086, -0.183, -0.1995, -0.1753, -0.1836, -0.2175, -0.2116, -0.2359, -0.0957, -0.0646, -0.0581, -0.0869, -0.1149, -0.113, -0.0754, -0.0834, -0.1154, -0.0961, -0.1125, -0.0898, -0.0675, -0.0061, -0.0138, -0.0421, -0.1135, 0.0, 0.0773, 0.0814, 0.0814, 0.1056, 0.1043, 0.1555, 0.2108, 0.2979, 0.3263, 0.3518, 0.3596, 0.3472, 0.411, 0.4933, 0.5284, 0.5891, 0.6723, 0.6597, 0.5981, 0.5478, 0.5815, 0.6682, 0.6662, 0.6531, 0.7045, 0.7389, 0.6163, 0.7185, 0.7256, 0.6616, 0.7975, 0.8442, 0.7868, 0.7064, 0.7805, 0.8869, 0.9262, 0.9831, 0.9831, 1.1036, 1.0071, 1.069, 1.0707, 1.0707, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2038617810738520159", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-30T14:02:16+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$6.69B for a US company that makes the entire transceiver supply chain: From Laser -> Design -> Assembly. With likely $MSFT, $AMZN, $ORCL buying anything they can make, is a steal for me personally.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AAOI at $6.69B market cap; vertically integrated transceiver supply chain with hyperscaler demand is a steal.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "And... this is why I don't like Jane Street owning the same stocks I do like $AAOI. \n\nThey trade volatility, especially with retail favorite names and trigger stop losses/panic.\n\nIf you know what you own though: \n\n$6.69B for a US company that makes the entire transceiver supply chain:\n\nFrom Laser -> Design -> Assembly.\n\nWith likely $MSFT, $AMZN, $ORCL buying anything they can make, is a steal for me personally. \n\nWith high beta stocks, it's really important to build conviction and manage sizing correctly before entering a trade. \n\nOtherwise you'll end up capitulating the bottom and buying the top over and over.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.1528347959846763, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.1528347959846763, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.14948011735970157, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.14948011735970157, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.007043151617800558, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.007043151617800558, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03611107731671537, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03611107731671537, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "ret_p1w": 0.26129820247565294, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.26129820247565294, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.21863791286939094, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.21863791286939094, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "bench_c_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "ret_p1m": 0.6112218637538305, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6112218637538305, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.48507657927206105, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.48507657927206105, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5908, -0.5908, -0.5352, -0.5893, -0.5468, -0.5533, -0.6125, -0.6004, -0.6042, -0.5988, -0.5954, -0.5657, -0.5652, -0.5652, -0.5391, -0.5495, -0.5522, -0.5807, -0.5904, -0.5611, -0.4691, -0.5355, -0.4881, -0.4816, -0.4586, -0.5316, -0.5524, -0.48, -0.4376, -0.4308, -0.4319, -0.4836, -0.4781, -0.4781, -0.4846, -0.4901, -0.4485, -0.3934, -0.3666, -0.3395, -0.3178, -0.3698, -0.0113, 0.2033, 0.1191, 0.1704, 0.1872, 0.122, 0.2985, 0.4144, 0.4909, 0.2465, 0.1364, 0.1042, 0.0134, 0.0873, 0.1964, 0.0276, 0.1241, 0.337, 0.343, 0.1436, 0.1528, 0.0, -0.007, 0.0136, 0.2197, 0.2197, 0.2613, 0.3809, 0.5577, 0.5647, 0.7678, 0.7982, 0.7184, 0.6733, 0.8467, 0.8713, 0.9189, 0.7675, 0.754, 0.6167, 0.9036, 0.7112, 0.6112, 0.794, 0.9293, 1.1541, 1.0305, 1.1196, 1.0958, 0.8494, 0.7483, 1.1704, 1.2101, 1.6189, 1.3896, 1.2345, 1.0338, 1.0112, 0.9399, 1.0755, 1.1304, 1.1304, 1.085, 1.1109, 0.984, 0.8595, 0.8595, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2058145137214329150", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-23T11:16:53+00:00", "symbol": "Sivers Semiconductors", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "est. to be around ~$15-20M worth of passive inflow, with strict ETF-only being around ~$.5M. We're able to see a lot of institutional inflow into Sivers, as this is on top of the MSCI index inclusion EOM", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish Sivers on $15-20M passive inflow from NASDAQ Stockholm index + upcoming MSCI inclusion driving institutional buying.", "resolved_tickers": ["SIVE.ST"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Sivers Semiconductors on Nasdaq Stockholm as SIVE.ST", "bench_c": "FEZ", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='ST')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Wow, NASDAQ just added $SIVE to its Stockholm index.\n\nThis is est. to be around ~$15-20M worth of passive inflow, with strict ETF-only being around ~$.5M.\n\nWe’re able to see a lot of institutional inflow into Sivers, as this is on top of the MSCI index inclusion EOM. https://t.co/qHYeT8b3Ja", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit Sweden finally brining in some Sive acceptance. \n https://t.co/Go6l4YaTe1", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.14786675715517683, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.14786675715517683, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.14786675715517683, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.14786675715517683, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01519573788415629, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01519573788415629, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0085571292931661, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0011757226628255069, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0066386085909901915, "bench_c_p1d": 0.016371460546981798, "ret_p1w": -0.19403863835601043, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.19403863835601043, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.20857643891305733, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.20475453647390385, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014537800557046898, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010715898117893419, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.9631, -0.9661, -0.9647, -0.9646, -0.9653, -0.9613, -0.9606, -0.9579, -0.9597, -0.9571, -0.9518, -0.9522, -0.9505, -0.9139, -0.9193, -0.8957, -0.8774, -0.9014, -0.8669, -0.8544, -0.8309, -0.8674, -0.8841, -0.8831, -0.8748, -0.8697, -0.8843, -0.8843, -0.8843, -0.8873, -0.8622, -0.8671, -0.8434, -0.803, -0.8134, -0.7571, -0.7335, -0.7234, -0.636, -0.6002, -0.6493, -0.6685, -0.6264, -0.6542, -0.6269, -0.5338, -0.5558, -0.5558, -0.346, -0.3606, -0.4359, -0.4186, -0.4913, -0.4214, -0.4957, -0.3378, -0.3378, -0.3489, -0.4378, -0.4686, -0.3688, -0.3098, -0.1479, 0.0, 0.0152, -0.142, -0.1794, -0.194, -0.194, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2051820971510866428", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-06T00:26:55+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Yes, $LITE admitting they're forced to buy CW lasers from their competitors is a massive win for $AAOI. Since they have their own CW Laser fab (and target 350% increase in capacity by 2027).", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long AAOI as CW laser bottleneck beneficiary with own fab; also long SIVE as elevated Tier-2 player freed from Nvidia allocation constraints.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yes, $LITE admitting they're forced to buy CW lasers from their competitors is a massive win for $AAOI.\n\nSince they have their own CW Laser fab (and target 350% increase in capacity by 2027). \n\nThe massive nuanced takeaway from $LITE earnings call: $NVDA caused a massive upstream bottleneck for CW lasers. \n\nIt's likely $COHR and $LITE have multi-year EML agreements, so they're locked up and can't produce enough CW lasers. \n\nA lot of the former \"Tier 2\" players I own like $AAOI and $SIVE, are likely elevated in status now given they're not fully allocated to Nvidia.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit Isn’t this a win for $aaoi because they manufacture their own CW lasers? If they scale that up successfully then it’s clear skies for them", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.011370080174880393, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011370080174880393, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.025078973684700023, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.025078973684700023, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.01370889350981963, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01370889350981963, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.11756464110949028, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.11756464110949028, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.11449853595216397, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.11449853595216397, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0030661051573263043, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0030661051573263043, "ret_p1w": 0.2495800072422416, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2495800072422416, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.23802422419812586, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.23802422419812586, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011555783044115753, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011555783044115753, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7519, -0.7317, -0.7284, -0.7289, -0.7536, -0.751, -0.751, -0.7541, -0.7567, -0.7369, -0.7105, -0.6978, -0.6848, -0.6745, -0.6993, -0.5282, -0.4258, -0.466, -0.4415, -0.4335, -0.4647, -0.3804, -0.3251, -0.2886, -0.4052, -0.4578, -0.4731, -0.5165, -0.4812, -0.4291, -0.5097, -0.4636, -0.362, -0.3592, -0.4544, -0.4499, -0.5229, -0.5262, -0.5164, -0.418, -0.418, -0.3982, -0.3411, -0.2567, -0.2534, -0.1565, -0.142, -0.1801, -0.2016, -0.1189, -0.1071, -0.0844, -0.1567, -0.1631, -0.2286, -0.0917, -0.1835, -0.2312, -0.144, -0.0794, 0.0278, -0.0311, 0.0114, 0.0, -0.1176, -0.1658, 0.0356, 0.0546, 0.2496, 0.1402, 0.0662, -0.0296, -0.0404, -0.0744, -0.0097, 0.0165, 0.0165, -0.0052, 0.0072, -0.0533, -0.1127, -0.1127, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2047586879328170151", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-24T08:02:09+00:00", "symbol": "Sivers Semiconductors", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Sivers is one of the most undervalued photonic stocks I've seen in the market and definitely not priced for upside yet", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Strongly bullish on Sivers Semiconductors as deeply undervalued photonic stock not yet priced for upside, with CPO timelines accelerated by NVDA.", "resolved_tickers": ["SIVE.ST"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Sivers Semiconductors on Nasdaq Stockholm as SIVE.ST", "bench_c": "FEZ", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='ST')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Hi, appreciate the more productive discussion.  \n\nBut I've never seen anyone aside from Europeans complain about 2.5% $13M dilution to get listed on NASDAQ. \n\nOver in the US... we have random Bitcoin miners with $6B+ dilution (over half the MC) just to attempt a pivot and buy GPUs. So the amount to hyperscalers supply chains is very tiny. \n\nAnd you do realize you're talking about US hyperscalers suppliers right? Like $JBL, $MRVL... All the CPO timelines have been accelerated by $NVDA recently. \n\nIf anything Sivers is one of the most undervalued photonic stocks I've seen in the market and definitely not priced for upside yet. \n\nUS markets typically price things 12 months in advance, but I understand if Europe does things previous 12 months.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Not sure abot $SIVE's timing. You are confusing  bullish wins with volume production.\n- Dilution: 125M SEK issue post-Jabil\n- Slow ramp: partners guiding for 26/27\n- Priced for perfection: hype means any slip = fast 40% drawdown \nStellar 2-yr thesis, risky short-term.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "UnmaskedBillion", "ret_m1d": -0.11264075648456773, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11264075648456773, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1049510483639956, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.10067648372775762, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007689708120572125, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011964272756810113, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07446806098073055, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07446806098073055, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0761908674694326, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0681073434779309, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0017228064887020444, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006360717502799651, "ret_p1w": 0.1889862668507334, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1889862668507334, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.17958768720859197, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.189592065976386, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009398579642141414, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0006057991256526174, "ret_p1m": 1.6767836515152204, "ret_signed_p1m": 1.6767836515152204, "alpha_spy_p1m": 1.632382144247622, "alpha_c_p1m": 1.6592158235044, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.044401507267598284, "bench_c_p1m": 0.017567828010820463, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.8902, -0.8907, -0.8948, -0.8955, -0.8942, -0.8974, -0.8959, -0.8982, -0.8927, -0.8971, -0.8985, -0.8993, -0.9073, -0.9051, -0.9034, -0.9035, -0.903, -0.8992, -0.9011, -0.9032, -0.8992, -0.9013, -0.9093, -0.9054, -0.9052, -0.9072, -0.8965, -0.8945, -0.8874, -0.8921, -0.8851, -0.871, -0.872, -0.8674, -0.7696, -0.7839, -0.7209, -0.6718, -0.7361, -0.6436, -0.6101, -0.5472, -0.6452, -0.6898, -0.6871, -0.6649, -0.6511, -0.6902, -0.6902, -0.6902, -0.6982, -0.6311, -0.6442, -0.5807, -0.4728, -0.5006, -0.3498, -0.2866, -0.2597, -0.0257, 0.0701, -0.0613, -0.1126, 0.0, -0.0745, -0.0013, 0.2478, 0.189, 0.189, 0.7506, 0.7115, 0.51, 0.5563, 0.3617, 0.5488, 0.3498, 0.7725, 0.7725, 0.7428, 0.505, 0.4224, 0.6896, 0.8476, 1.281, 1.6768, 1.7175, 1.2966, 1.1965, 1.1574, 1.1574, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2038199478902210795", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-29T10:19:58+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "with the $6B ATM I'm extreme bearish due to structural overhang", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Extremely bearish IREN due to $6B ATM structural overhang from dilution; would only flip long once ATM is exhausted.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yes, basically it. I’ve been bullish on $IREN last year. \n\nBut with the $6B ATM I’m extreme bearish due to structural overhang. But if they manage to raise all that after diluting existing shareholders.\n\nI’d consider flipping long again. This is just market mechanics of dilution…", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit In fairness to @aleabitoreddit previous posts (last 2 wks), he clearly said he thinks $IREN will do well long term. \nHe also said he is ok to rebuy only  after the $6B ATM is exhausted on the open market.\n\nThe author isn't doom posting about $IREN or scaremongering anybody TBF.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "GMGoz1x", "ret_m1d": 0.10974064583353815, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10974064583353815, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.10638596720856341, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1211136654803332, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011373019646795046, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08412390479012921, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08412390479012921, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0550559790912144, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06323891081192379, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "bench_c_p1d": 0.020884993978205424, "ret_p1w": 0.11100569689190842, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11100569689190842, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06834540728564642, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07957475316610729, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03143094372580113, "ret_p1m": 0.40543951445974713, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.40543951445974713, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2792942299779777, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.33327247931247106, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07216703514727607, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1945, 0.1945, 0.3504, 0.5256, 0.4519, 0.3797, 0.4447, 0.4557, 0.5917, 0.6758, 0.6724, 0.641, 0.8286, 0.8286, 0.716, 0.6913, 0.6528, 0.7925, 0.6559, 0.8972, 0.9905, 0.8925, 0.6996, 0.6787, 0.7201, 0.4213, 0.2584, 0.3229, 0.4595, 0.3577, 0.3495, 0.266, 0.3352, 0.3352, 0.2957, 0.3308, 0.3691, 0.2644, 0.3397, 0.4374, 0.3925, 0.3991, 0.2951, 0.309, 0.2287, 0.3865, 0.269, 0.1607, 0.2283, 0.2056, 0.3276, 0.3083, 0.315, 0.4213, 0.3586, 0.3349, 0.3175, 0.3058, 0.3333, 0.3004, 0.3102, 0.1844, 0.1097, 0.0, 0.0841, 0.0781, 0.0996, 0.0996, 0.111, 0.1303, 0.1648, 0.172, 0.2435, 0.3621, 0.4981, 0.544, 0.5085, 0.5218, 0.5408, 0.4285, 0.5304, 0.6452, 0.6015, 0.5294, 0.4054, 0.3555, 0.4393, 0.444, 0.5648, 0.7312, 0.9285, 0.7979, 0.9355, 0.7441, 0.7887, 0.7448, 0.8469, 0.6743, 0.5958, 0.5098, 0.667, 0.8362, 0.7973, 0.7973, 0.8906, 1.1455, 1.0256, 1.0095, 1.0095, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2055127004970938373", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-15T03:23:55+00:00", "symbol": "FOCI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "High conviction Foci outperforms once institutions find this name.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "High-conviction long FOCI as the CPO bottleneck/main supplier for TSM and NVDA; POET seen as overvalued relative to FOCI at comparable market cap.", "resolved_tickers": ["3363.TWO"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "FOCI fiber optics Taiwan; retrying TWO (OTC market) suffix", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TWO')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "HOW DOES $POET ($3.14B) HAVE A HIGHER VALUATION THAN FOCI (3363, $3.1B)???\n\nFOCI IS LITERALLY THE BOTTLENECK FOR CPO VOLUME RAMP AND MAIN SUPPLIER FOR $TSM AND $NVDA.\n\nHigh conviction Foci outperforms once institutions find this name. \n\nAlso, can Foci management please pursue NASDAQ ADR like $HIMX? Thank you.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "FOCI (3363) is one of the most undervalued CPO players in the entire market right now at ~$3B. \n\nTheir BOM is massive relative to MC and they're expected to capture a dominant market share for $NVDA / $TSM. \n\nYou only start to see this show up 2027 / 2028, even though we're https://t.co/QVbwrUPS4E", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.07253269916765759, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.07253269916765759, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06035688006233286, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.026520378464282235, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012175819105324726, "bench_c_m1d": 0.04601232070337535, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04399524375743158, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04399524375743158, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.04329180813624112, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.04925382573982384, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0007034356211904624, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005258581982392263, "ret_p1w": 0.013079667063020217, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.013079667063020217, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.004326563057351018, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04783178816209532, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008753104005669199, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06091145522511554, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4578, -0.4578, -0.4578, -0.4578, -0.4043, -0.3448, -0.2925, -0.2842, -0.2842, -0.2533, -0.2616, -0.3353, -0.2711, -0.2961, -0.3662, -0.3222, -0.2782, -0.3044, -0.258, -0.2509, -0.2747, -0.2473, -0.2057, -0.1272, -0.214, -0.2093, -0.1938, -0.2402, -0.2366, -0.2735, -0.346, -0.2806, -0.2866, -0.2866, -0.2866, -0.2152, -0.1439, -0.0927, -0.0678, -0.1118, -0.1106, -0.0226, -0.0131, 0.069, 0.1748, 0.1772, 0.1367, 0.0832, -0.0238, -0.1213, -0.1141, -0.1034, -0.0856, -0.0856, -0.0036, 0.0369, -0.0309, -0.0309, -0.0369, 0.0143, 0.0939, 0.0143, 0.0725, 0.0, -0.044, -0.0785, -0.0761, -0.0273, 0.0131, 0.0059, 0.0523, 0.0071, -0.0309, -0.0523, -0.0333, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2055127004970938373", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-15T03:23:55+00:00", "symbol": "POET", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "HOW DOES $POET ($3.14B) HAVE A HIGHER VALUATION THAN FOCI (3363, $3.1B)???", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "High-conviction long FOCI as the CPO bottleneck/main supplier for TSM and NVDA; POET seen as overvalued relative to FOCI at comparable market cap.", "resolved_tickers": ["POET"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "HOW DOES $POET ($3.14B) HAVE A HIGHER VALUATION THAN FOCI (3363, $3.1B)???\n\nFOCI IS LITERALLY THE BOTTLENECK FOR CPO VOLUME RAMP AND MAIN SUPPLIER FOR $TSM AND $NVDA.\n\nHigh conviction Foci outperforms once institutions find this name. \n\nAlso, can Foci management please pursue NASDAQ ADR like $HIMX? Thank you.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "FOCI (3363) is one of the most undervalued CPO players in the entire market right now at ~$3B. \n\nTheir BOM is massive relative to MC and they're expected to capture a dominant market share for $NVDA / $TSM. \n\nYou only start to see this show up 2027 / 2028, even though we're https://t.co/QVbwrUPS4E", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.28804003449470406, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.28804003449470406, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.27586421538937933, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.2484958727626283, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012175819105324726, "bench_c_m1d": 0.039544161732075755, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.11020664993446994, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.11020664993446994, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10950321431327947, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09190839128053674, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0007034356211904624, "bench_c_p1d": -0.018298258653933197, "ret_p1w": -0.08641202826339489, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08641202826339489, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09516513226906409, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.12232528185702951, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008753104005669199, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03591325359363462, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6544, -0.6506, -0.6512, -0.6437, -0.6544, -0.6174, -0.6018, -0.6093, -0.6243, -0.5673, -0.5592, -0.5717, -0.5842, -0.6068, -0.5811, -0.5617, -0.5341, -0.5341, -0.5723, -0.5673, -0.5886, -0.613, -0.6099, -0.6287, -0.6205, -0.6406, -0.618, -0.6562, -0.675, -0.6819, -0.6281, -0.6493, -0.6174, -0.6174, -0.6193, -0.6268, -0.6105, -0.6193, -0.5592, -0.5429, -0.5798, -0.5636, -0.5404, -0.5454, -0.4621, -0.3582, -0.2004, -0.2661, -0.0545, -0.5022, -0.4972, -0.5867, -0.5542, -0.5423, -0.5548, -0.4233, -0.3914, -0.4001, -0.3143, -0.1296, -0.1403, -0.1002, 0.288, 0.0, -0.1102, -0.1816, -0.0745, -0.072, -0.0864, -0.0864, -0.1641, -0.1684, -0.1697, -0.2304, -0.2304, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2048135124286619955", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-25T20:20:40+00:00", "symbol": "AEHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AEHR long term is very early. The only started volume ramp with one customer… And others will pick up (like their t1 optical transceiver one) over the next few years.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long AEHR long-term as customer ramp is early-stage with more wins expected over coming years, though near-term upside is priced in.", "resolved_tickers": ["AEHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@workoutwithp $AEHR long term is very early. The only started volume ramp with one customer…\n\nAnd others will pick up (like their t1 optical transceiver one) over the next few years.\n\nFor current valuations, I’d say it’s more priced in near term.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Are we still early on AEHR?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "workoutwithp", "ret_m1d": 0.08397377964829777, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08397377964829777, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08569362317940488, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08361824559008801, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0017198435311071014, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00035553405820976103, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.06837706625475293, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.06837706625475293, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06351111752660676, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03864922281415739, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004865948728146163, "bench_c_p1d": -0.029727843440595536, "ret_p1w": -0.03243673867194907, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03243673867194907, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0364078601162694, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.033483629141418, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003971121444320325, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0010468904694689307, "ret_p1m": 0.24231457954992952, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.24231457954992952, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1927878309562847, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.052925721980080054, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04952674859364481, "bench_c_p1m": 0.18938885756984947, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6838, -0.6962, -0.7102, -0.7055, -0.6927, -0.7307, -0.7401, -0.7017, -0.6882, -0.6968, -0.6174, -0.6848, -0.6741, -0.6741, -0.678, -0.6721, -0.6579, -0.6203, -0.6121, -0.5566, -0.5312, -0.5502, -0.577, -0.5024, -0.5294, -0.5179, -0.5424, -0.5975, -0.538, -0.5258, -0.5202, -0.5745, -0.5969, -0.5764, -0.5808, -0.5896, -0.5732, -0.6099, -0.5801, -0.5571, -0.5589, -0.6093, -0.6325, -0.6596, -0.5809, -0.5524, -0.4991, -0.4991, -0.4105, -0.4321, -0.2862, -0.2217, -0.204, -0.1901, -0.1594, -0.1725, -0.0862, -0.0522, 0.0189, 0.0592, 0.1004, 0.0795, 0.084, 0.0, -0.0684, -0.0754, 0.0235, 0.0519, -0.0324, 0.0306, 0.0932, 0.0314, 0.0989, 0.1817, 0.0931, 0.1669, 0.2019, 0.1245, -0.0555, -0.083, -0.0694, 0.0319, 0.0739, 0.0739, 0.2423, 0.1734, 0.1301, 0.0435, 0.0435, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2056930958276985055", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-20T02:52:11+00:00", "symbol": "BOT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "people are buying into a $2,000,000,000 effective ATM that's slow dripping via a equity facility. Retail not only gave: Exit liquidity. But exit liquidity at massively inflated valuations... you're basically playing pyramid hot potato with the float", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish BOT: trading at 4x NAV with $2B ATM dilution, illiquid assets at inflated valuations, retail exit liquidity trap.", "resolved_tickers": ["BOT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Asset Management'", "bench_c_industry": "Asset Management", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I'm not sure how anyone thought it was a good idea to buy $145m worth of illiquid assets in $BOT that frequently trade under NAV.\n\nFor $750M MC. \n\nEven after the 37% drop, it's still ~$490M MC. \n\nOn top of that, people are buying into a $2,000,000,000 effective ATM that's slow dripping via a equity facility. \n\nRetail not only gave:\n\n> Exit liquidity. \n> But exit liquidity at massively inflated valuations\n> While wealth transferring whatever you buy over after the effective ATM got filed. \n\nMaybe the fund had good intentions, but at current valuations:\n\nIf you are a retail investor, you're basically playing pyramid hot potato with the float.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$BOT is still trading at 4x NAV.\n\nWith a $2,000,000,000 effective ATM.\n\nEven after the 21% drop.\n\nSo now it’s ~$600M MC, off $146M in private assets.\n\nThen off those assets, they own ~$37M of Figure. \n\nWhich you’re essentially buying at $160B valuations while the leading humanoid https://t.co/nCfgcm0rWJ", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.14270540790751363, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.14270540790751363, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.1325603562633315, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.1318652728911549, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010145051644182113, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01084013501635872, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10800287426094468, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.10800287426094468, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.10601977719096145, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.10664786661419723, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0019830970699832307, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0013550076467474526, "ret_p1w": 0.01558075558157812, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01558075558157812, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.00315576809738749, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.020226548829268554, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01242498748419063, "bench_c_p1w": -0.004645793247690433, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.381, -0.1006, -0.256, -0.0404, 0.2751, 0.0042, -0.1427, 0.0, 0.108, -0.1367, -0.1367, -0.0836, 0.0156, 0.0262, -0.119, -0.119, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2056750124798464203", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-19T14:53:36+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I see no reason to long $IREN today when upside is structurally capped with excessive and toxic dilution structures", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish IREN: upside structurally capped by excessive and toxic dilution structures.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@IggyPacoRico1 I see no reason to long $IREN today when upside is structurally capped with excessive and toxic dilution structures.\n\n$AAOI would have returned 300%+ in the same period $IREN was flat to negative.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit This should be fun to watch.  Legend Serenity is a definite IREN bear. Stud Leopold Aschenbrenner has IREN as one of his largest holdings. Only one can be correct. Who is right?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "IggyPacoRico1", "ret_m1d": 0.05697522644270703, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05697522644270703, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05026970250845353, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04445070152183406, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006705523934253499, "bench_c_m1d": 0.01252452492087297, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.10410551385144973, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.10410551385144973, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.09385648528313939, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.09314658254004038, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010249028568310337, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010958931311409348, "ret_p1w": 0.25219934389446697, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.25219934389446697, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2292208002401004, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.23752223973799969, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02297854365436658, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01467710415646728, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0932, -0.1625, -0.1127, -0.048, -0.0777, -0.0733, -0.1422, -0.133, -0.1862, -0.0817, -0.1595, -0.2313, -0.1864, -0.2015, -0.1207, -0.1334, -0.129, -0.0587, -0.1001, -0.1158, -0.1274, -0.1351, -0.1169, -0.1387, -0.1322, -0.2155, -0.265, -0.3377, -0.2819, -0.2859, -0.2717, -0.2717, -0.2641, -0.2514, -0.2285, -0.2237, -0.1764, -0.0978, -0.0078, 0.0226, -0.0008, 0.008, 0.0205, -0.0538, 0.0136, 0.0897, 0.0607, 0.013, -0.0691, -0.1022, -0.0467, -0.0436, 0.0364, 0.1466, 0.2773, 0.1908, 0.2819, 0.1552, 0.1848, 0.1556, 0.2233, 0.1089, 0.057, 0.0, 0.1041, 0.2162, 0.1904, 0.1904, 0.2522, 0.421, 0.3416, 0.331, 0.331, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2039248989946794374", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-01T07:50:21+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "new supercycles from photonics < $SIVE to $AAOI >", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish on photonics/AI supercycle plays SIVE, AAOI, AEHR, NBIS, AMKR, POET; OpenAI $122B raise fuels 2-year rally, with new supercycles just getting started.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Modest +1,124.09% return over the past year.\n\nAnon, only a few years left to escape the permanent underclass due to AI?\n\nOpenAI raising $122B is enough to fuel the rally for another 2 years.\n\nAnd new supercycles from photonics < $SIVE to $AAOI >, testing with $AEHR, $NBIS DCs, and advanced packing from $AMKR to $POET.\n\nIs just getting started.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.02038219070447278, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02038219070447278, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012904070547072766, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012904070547072766, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0074781201574000145, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0074781201574000145, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.20335848868892548, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.20335848868892548, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.20245801426083432, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.20245801426083432, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009004744280911581, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0009004744280911581, "ret_p1w": 0.5367689553348642, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.5367689553348642, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.5050706160381118, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.5050706160381118, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.031698339296752476, "bench_c_p1w": 0.031698339296752476, "ret_p1m": 0.903416369597388, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.903416369597388, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.8066274314138817, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.8066274314138817, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09678893818350631, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09678893818350631, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5414, -0.5948, -0.5529, -0.5593, -0.6177, -0.6058, -0.6095, -0.6042, -0.6008, -0.5715, -0.571, -0.571, -0.5453, -0.5555, -0.5582, -0.5863, -0.5959, -0.567, -0.4762, -0.5417, -0.495, -0.4886, -0.4659, -0.5379, -0.5584, -0.487, -0.4452, -0.4384, -0.4395, -0.4906, -0.4851, -0.4851, -0.4915, -0.4969, -0.4559, -0.4015, -0.3751, -0.3483, -0.3269, -0.3782, -0.0246, 0.1871, 0.1041, 0.1547, 0.1713, 0.1069, 0.2811, 0.3954, 0.4709, 0.2298, 0.1211, 0.0894, -0.0002, 0.0727, 0.1803, 0.0138, 0.109, 0.3191, 0.325, 0.1282, 0.1373, -0.0134, -0.0204, 0.0, 0.2034, 0.2034, 0.2444, 0.3624, 0.5368, 0.5437, 0.7441, 0.7741, 0.6953, 0.6508, 0.8219, 0.8462, 0.8931, 0.7437, 0.7304, 0.595, 0.8781, 0.6882, 0.5896, 0.7699, 0.9034, 1.1252, 1.0032, 1.0911, 1.0676, 0.8246, 0.7248, 1.1413, 1.1804, 1.5837, 1.3575, 1.2045, 1.0065, 0.9841, 0.9138, 1.0476, 1.1018, 1.1018, 1.057, 1.0826, 0.9574, 0.8345, 0.8345, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2039248989946794374", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-04-01T07:50:21+00:00", "symbol": "AEHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "testing with $AEHR", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish on photonics/AI supercycle plays SIVE, AAOI, AEHR, NBIS, AMKR, POET; OpenAI $122B raise fuels 2-year rally, with new supercycles just getting started.", "resolved_tickers": ["AEHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Modest +1,124.09% return over the past year.\n\nAnon, only a few years left to escape the permanent underclass due to AI?\n\nOpenAI raising $122B is enough to fuel the rally for another 2 years.\n\nAnd new supercycles from photonics < $SIVE to $AAOI >, testing with $AEHR, $NBIS DCs, and advanced packing from $AMKR to $POET.\n\nIs just getting started.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06363628131736532, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06363628131736532, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0561581611599653, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04177234454279233, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0074781201574000145, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02186393677457299, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.11919195461049537, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.11919195461049537, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.11829148018240421, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.11829901356290096, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009004744280911581, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0008929410475944088, "ret_p1w": 0.594949552553333, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.594949552553333, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.5632512132565806, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.5159893971571436, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.031698339296752476, "bench_c_p1w": 0.07896015539618939, "ret_p1m": 1.2868687133353154, "ret_signed_p1m": 1.2868687133353154, "alpha_spy_p1m": 1.190079775151809, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.9941167179207766, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09678893818350631, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2927519954145388, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4404, -0.4068, -0.3755, -0.3894, -0.4268, -0.3354, -0.3346, -0.323, -0.3442, -0.3301, -0.2725, -0.2725, -0.2662, -0.2626, -0.2194, -0.2919, -0.3237, -0.2992, -0.2934, -0.3212, -0.3525, -0.3419, -0.3134, -0.3982, -0.4192, -0.3336, -0.3033, -0.3225, -0.1452, -0.2957, -0.2717, -0.2717, -0.2806, -0.2674, -0.2356, -0.1515, -0.1333, -0.0093, 0.0475, 0.0051, -0.0548, 0.1119, 0.0515, 0.0773, 0.0225, -0.1008, 0.0323, 0.0596, 0.072, -0.0492, -0.0992, -0.0535, -0.0634, -0.0831, -0.0465, -0.1283, -0.0619, -0.0104, -0.0144, -0.127, -0.1788, -0.2394, -0.0636, 0.0, 0.1192, 0.1192, 0.3172, 0.2689, 0.5949, 0.7389, 0.7785, 0.8096, 0.8783, 0.849, 1.0417, 1.1177, 1.2765, 1.3667, 1.4586, 1.4119, 1.422, 1.2343, 1.0816, 1.0659, 1.2869, 1.3503, 1.1619, 1.3028, 1.4427, 1.3045, 1.4553, 1.6404, 1.4424, 1.6073, 1.6854, 1.5126, 1.1104, 1.049, 1.0793, 1.3056, 1.3995, 1.3995, 1.7758, 1.6217, 1.525, 1.3316, 1.3316, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2039248989946794374", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-04-01T07:50:21+00:00", "symbol": "NBIS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NBIS DCs", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish on photonics/AI supercycle plays SIVE, AAOI, AEHR, NBIS, AMKR, POET; OpenAI $122B raise fuels 2-year rally, with new supercycles just getting started.", "resolved_tickers": ["NBIS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Modest +1,124.09% return over the past year.\n\nAnon, only a few years left to escape the permanent underclass due to AI?\n\nOpenAI raising $122B is enough to fuel the rally for another 2 years.\n\nAnd new supercycles from photonics < $SIVE to $AAOI >, testing with $AEHR, $NBIS DCs, and advanced packing from $AMKR to $POET.\n\nIs just getting started.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.017753852301802153, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.017753852301802153, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.025231972459202168, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02116986507342533, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0074781201574000145, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003416012771623178, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06738600247403426, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06738600247403426, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0664855280459431, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0632508074604925, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009004744280911581, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004135195013541759, "ret_p1w": 0.2260912578885097, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2260912578885097, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.19439291859175722, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.202988059900574, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.031698339296752476, "bench_c_p1w": 0.023103197987935697, "ret_p1m": 0.35586071471601355, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.35586071471601355, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.25907177653250724, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3084856304507759, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09678893818350631, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04737508426523762, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1177, -0.0895, -0.0168, -0.0563, -0.0456, -0.0394, 0.0528, 0.0341, 0.0003, 0.019, 0.0665, 0.0665, -0.0261, -0.0302, -0.05, -0.0731, -0.1029, -0.04, -0.0149, -0.0691, -0.1644, -0.1353, -0.1177, -0.1919, -0.2754, -0.1555, -0.089, -0.0997, -0.1308, -0.1199, -0.0386, -0.0386, -0.0435, -0.0015, 0.0555, -0.0395, -0.0131, 0.0062, 0.0409, 0.0287, -0.1055, -0.1073, -0.1486, -0.0409, -0.0618, -0.1238, -0.0688, -0.0541, 0.0985, 0.0597, 0.1079, 0.2737, 0.141, 0.1629, 0.192, 0.1537, 0.1197, 0.1271, 0.1289, 0.0394, -0.0111, -0.095, 0.0178, 0.0, 0.0674, 0.0674, 0.1039, 0.1515, 0.2261, 0.3372, 0.422, 0.516, 0.5884, 0.6358, 0.6218, 0.5413, 0.5612, 0.5356, 0.5315, 0.5408, 0.4435, 0.4219, 0.3292, 0.3849, 0.3559, 0.5154, 0.7305, 0.7256, 0.9136, 0.8124, 0.7366, 0.8254, 0.7568, 1.0331, 1.1692, 1.1573, 0.9604, 0.9395, 0.8815, 1.1572, 1.1066, 1.1066, 1.0408, 1.0438, 1.2201, 1.2667, 1.2667, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2039248989946794374", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-04-01T07:50:21+00:00", "symbol": "AMKR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "advanced packing from $AMKR to $POET", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish on photonics/AI supercycle plays SIVE, AAOI, AEHR, NBIS, AMKR, POET; OpenAI $122B raise fuels 2-year rally, with new supercycles just getting started.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMKR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Modest +1,124.09% return over the past year.\n\nAnon, only a few years left to escape the permanent underclass due to AI?\n\nOpenAI raising $122B is enough to fuel the rally for another 2 years.\n\nAnd new supercycles from photonics < $SIVE to $AAOI >, testing with $AEHR, $NBIS DCs, and advanced packing from $AMKR to $POET.\n\nIs just getting started.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03140466436778311, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03140466436778311, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.023926544210383094, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.023926544210383094, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0074781201574000145, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0074781201574000145, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.00451708059563094, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.00451708059563094, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.003616606167539782, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.003616606167539782, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009004744280911581, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0009004744280911581, "ret_p1w": 0.12755423266042087, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12755423266042087, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0958558933636684, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0958558933636684, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.031698339296752476, "bench_c_p1w": 0.031698339296752476, "ret_p1m": 0.5003225958648814, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5003225958648814, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.40353365768137506, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.40353365768137506, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09678893818350631, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09678893818350631, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0786, 0.0333, 0.1011, 0.1318, 0.0949, 0.1226, 0.1074, 0.1153, 0.0449, 0.0563, 0.0305, 0.0305, 0.053, 0.1477, 0.126, 0.0672, 0.0818, 0.0893, 0.0941, 0.0734, 0.0376, 0.0348, -0.0073, -0.0582, -0.0496, 0.0597, 0.1275, 0.1477, 0.2059, 0.1076, 0.0193, 0.0193, 0.0056, 0.0035, 0.0378, 0.0292, 0.0105, 0.0419, 0.0936, 0.0417, 0.0266, 0.0264, -0.0427, -0.0174, -0.0433, -0.1067, -0.0721, -0.0567, -0.0571, -0.1123, -0.0753, -0.04, -0.0032, 0.0082, 0.0353, -0.0146, -0.008, 0.0811, 0.074, -0.029, -0.0439, -0.1127, -0.0314, 0.0, 0.0045, 0.0045, 0.0116, 0.0243, 0.1276, 0.1861, 0.2467, 0.3001, 0.319, 0.2846, 0.353, 0.4491, 0.4937, 0.5102, 0.5541, 0.5683, 0.6799, 0.6266, 0.535, 0.5188, 0.5003, 0.5291, 0.5263, 0.65, 0.661, 0.5545, 0.6479, 0.6496, 0.5799, 0.6049, 0.5507, 0.5132, 0.4205, 0.4098, 0.4732, 0.4175, 0.4143, 0.4143, 0.5801, 0.5528, 0.5182, 0.4962, 0.4962, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2039248989946794374", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2026-04-01T07:50:21+00:00", "symbol": "POET", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "advanced packing from $AMKR to $POET", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish on photonics/AI supercycle plays SIVE, AAOI, AEHR, NBIS, AMKR, POET; OpenAI $122B raise fuels 2-year rally, with new supercycles just getting started.", "resolved_tickers": ["POET"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Modest +1,124.09% return over the past year.\n\nAnon, only a few years left to escape the permanent underclass due to AI?\n\nOpenAI raising $122B is enough to fuel the rally for another 2 years.\n\nAnd new supercycles from photonics < $SIVE to $AAOI >, testing with $AEHR, $NBIS DCs, and advanced packing from $AMKR to $POET.\n\nIs just getting started.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.06071431399608196, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06071431399608196, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06819243415348197, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08257825077065495, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0074781201574000145, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02186393677457299, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09107147099412294, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09107147099412294, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09017099656603178, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09017852994652853, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009004744280911581, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0008929410475944088, "ret_p1w": 0.11071426716386035, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11071426716386035, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07901592786710787, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.031754111767670956, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.031698339296752476, "bench_c_p1w": 0.07896015539618939, "ret_p1m": 0.27142857264499276, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.27142857264499276, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.17463963446148645, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02132342276954602, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09678893818350631, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2927519954145388, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2786, 0.3268, 0.3125, 0.3304, 0.3, 0.3196, 0.2875, 0.275, 0.4446, 0.4839, 0.4821, 0.4821, 0.4714, 0.4946, 0.2393, 0.2339, 0.1536, 0.2125, 0.1107, 0.0625, 0.0357, 0.0429, 0.0786, 0.0018, -0.075, 0.0482, 0.1089, 0.0429, 0.0411, 0.0089, -0.0036, -0.0036, -0.0143, -0.0036, -0.0054, 0.0161, -0.0143, 0.0911, 0.1357, 0.1143, 0.0714, 0.2339, 0.2571, 0.2214, 0.1857, 0.1214, 0.1946, 0.25, 0.3286, 0.3286, 0.2196, 0.2339, 0.1732, 0.1036, 0.1125, 0.0589, 0.0821, 0.025, 0.0893, -0.0196, -0.0732, -0.0929, 0.0607, 0.0, 0.0911, 0.0911, 0.0857, 0.0643, 0.1107, 0.0857, 0.2571, 0.3036, 0.1982, 0.2446, 0.3107, 0.2964, 0.5339, 0.8304, 1.2804, 1.0929, 1.6964, 0.4196, 0.4339, 0.1786, 0.2714, 0.3054, 0.2696, 0.6446, 0.7357, 0.7107, 0.9554, 1.4821, 1.4518, 1.5661, 2.6732, 1.8518, 1.5375, 1.3339, 1.6393, 1.6464, 1.6054, 1.6054, 1.3839, 1.3714, 1.3679, 1.1946, 1.1946, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2045982374606012430", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-19T21:46:25+00:00", "symbol": "JBL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$700M going into $JBL", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Dismisses SIVE pullback fears: $700M supply-chain spend + CHIPS Act receipts support forward growth; JBL and MRVL are named beneficiaries.", "resolved_tickers": ["JBL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "What pullback it’s $700M going into $JBL, $MRVl, Ayar, O-Net and other supply chains?\n\nPeople also forget $SIVE was a CHIPS act recipient with likely more follow-ups.\n\nBetter to do fundamental analysis on forward growth to derive MC and just wait for it to play out, not look at swiggly lines.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Bit afraid of a $SIVE PULLBACK after the Sharp run.. your take ?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Berlinergy", "ret_m1d": -0.02600818415901196, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02600818415901196, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02801185839427267, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02801185839427267, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01029429202181742, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01029429202181742, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.016841241176753674, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.016841241176753674, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "ret_p1w": 0.03185180714796476, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03185180714796476, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02275087522328345, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02275087522328345, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "ret_p1m": 0.008099779569102905, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.008099779569102905, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0271892073361375, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0271892073361375, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2338, -0.2593, -0.2641, -0.2681, -0.2667, -0.2626, -0.2617, -0.2821, -0.2638, -0.2565, -0.2855, -0.268, -0.2183, -0.195, -0.2163, -0.2098, -0.2399, -0.2294, -0.2294, -0.2207, -0.2112, -0.2054, -0.1792, -0.2089, -0.1938, -0.1596, -0.1767, -0.1977, -0.2092, -0.2302, -0.2274, -0.2364, -0.27, -0.2508, -0.2396, -0.2265, -0.2366, -0.2411, -0.2188, -0.2057, -0.2168, -0.1967, -0.2321, -0.1938, -0.1602, -0.1424, -0.2002, -0.2095, -0.2507, -0.1957, -0.1766, -0.1869, -0.1869, -0.1902, -0.1739, -0.1306, -0.1128, -0.0932, -0.0754, -0.0736, -0.0767, -0.0611, -0.026, 0.0, 0.0103, 0.0185, 0.025, 0.0344, 0.0319, 0.0017, 0.0108, 0.0218, 0.0369, 0.0319, 0.0211, 0.1273, 0.0585, 0.0753, 0.1058, 0.0621, 0.0761, 0.0728, 0.0291, 0.0258, 0.0081, 0.0453, 0.0794, 0.1034, 0.1034, 0.1516, 0.1247, 0.1013, 0.104, 0.104, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2045982374606012430", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-04-19T21:46:25+00:00", "symbol": "MRVL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$700M going into $JBL, $MRVl, Ayar, O-Net and other supply chains", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Dismisses SIVE pullback fears: $700M supply-chain spend + CHIPS Act receipts support forward growth; JBL and MRVL are named beneficiaries.", "resolved_tickers": ["MRVL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "What pullback it’s $700M going into $JBL, $MRVl, Ayar, O-Net and other supply chains?\n\nPeople also forget $SIVE was a CHIPS act recipient with likely more follow-ups.\n\nBetter to do fundamental analysis on forward growth to derive MC and just wait for it to play out, not look at swiggly lines.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Bit afraid of a $SIVE PULLBACK after the Sharp run.. your take ?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Berlinergy", "ret_m1d": -0.05512712458310287, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05512712458310287, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05713079881836358, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05713079881836358, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.023471329184643563, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.023471329184643563, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030018278339579818, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030018278339579818, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "ret_p1w": 0.07014347018972966, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07014347018972966, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06104253826504835, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06104253826504835, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "ret_p1m": 0.19230254761095278, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.19230254761095278, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15701356070571237, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.15701356070571237, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4419, -0.4382, -0.4576, -0.4472, -0.4393, -0.4347, -0.4501, -0.4664, -0.4682, -0.4893, -0.5015, -0.4983, -0.4573, -0.4433, -0.4456, -0.4501, -0.4711, -0.4685, -0.4685, -0.4658, -0.4653, -0.4618, -0.4627, -0.4741, -0.47, -0.4529, -0.4639, -0.4477, -0.4533, -0.476, -0.4721, -0.4884, -0.3944, -0.3736, -0.3692, -0.3886, -0.4073, -0.406, -0.3809, -0.3862, -0.4076, -0.3947, -0.4057, -0.3905, -0.3756, -0.3344, -0.3396, -0.3585, -0.4063, -0.3304, -0.2786, -0.2759, -0.2759, -0.2596, -0.2605, -0.2262, -0.1892, -0.1309, -0.1119, -0.0948, -0.0896, -0.0979, -0.0551, 0.0, 0.0235, 0.0641, 0.1199, 0.1114, 0.0701, 0.0365, 0.0591, 0.1171, 0.1157, 0.107, 0.1414, 0.1644, 0.0823, 0.1508, 0.1556, 0.1127, 0.2037, 0.235, 0.1965, 0.1427, 0.1923, 0.2635, 0.2898, 0.328, 0.328, 0.4087, 0.344, 0.3855, 0.3866, 0.3866, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2038553399806066975", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-30T09:46:19+00:00", "symbol": "MRVL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$MRVL is a really good long term long", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "MRVL is a good long-term long.", "resolved_tickers": ["MRVL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@StocksAREnuts $MRVL is a really good long term long. \n\nI’m just sharing thought about how a competitor could potentially chokepoint their growth verticals for a rounding error of $350m with $SIVE", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Bought more $MRVL", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "StocksAREnuts", "ret_m1d": 0.08051471208241812, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08051471208241812, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07716003345744338, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07716003345744338, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.12800362736287552, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.12800362736287552, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0989357016639607, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0989357016639607, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "ret_p1w": 0.2471245273466547, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2471245273466547, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.20446423774039268, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.20446423774039268, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "bench_c_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "ret_p1m": 0.7458910953144187, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.7458910953144187, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6197458108326492, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.6197458108326492, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0329, -0.0329, 0.0173, 0.0268, 0.0041, -0.0368, -0.0503, -0.0523, -0.056, -0.0542, -0.0752, -0.0846, -0.0837, -0.0837, -0.0912, -0.0599, -0.0536, -0.0863, -0.0688, -0.0556, -0.0477, -0.0737, -0.1012, -0.1042, -0.1397, -0.1603, -0.1549, -0.0858, -0.0622, -0.0661, -0.0737, -0.1091, -0.1048, -0.1048, -0.1002, -0.0993, -0.0934, -0.0949, -0.1141, -0.1073, -0.0785, -0.097, -0.0697, -0.0791, -0.1173, -0.1107, -0.1381, 0.02, 0.0551, 0.0625, 0.03, -0.0016, 0.0006, 0.0429, 0.0339, -0.0022, 0.0196, 0.0011, 0.0268, 0.0518, 0.1212, 0.1124, 0.0805, 0.0, 0.128, 0.2152, 0.2198, 0.2198, 0.2471, 0.2456, 0.3034, 0.3658, 0.464, 0.496, 0.5248, 0.5336, 0.5196, 0.5916, 0.6845, 0.724, 0.7925, 0.8864, 0.8721, 0.8026, 0.7459, 0.7839, 0.8817, 0.8794, 0.8647, 0.9227, 0.9615, 0.8231, 0.9384, 0.9465, 0.8743, 1.0275, 1.0803, 1.0155, 0.9248, 1.0084, 1.1284, 1.1727, 1.237, 1.237, 1.3729, 1.264, 1.3338, 1.3358, 1.3358, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2044478349133942901", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-15T18:09:57+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I didn't manage to time the very bottom for $META but don't need to in the long run. Not every day does mag7 growing at record paces sell off -20% in short timeframes", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long META for the long run; views the -20% selloff as a rare buying opportunity in a record-growth Mag7 name.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@mi20483980476 Nice… I didn’t manage to time the very bottom for $META but don’t need to in the long run. \n\nNot every day does mag7 growing at record paces sell off -20% in short timeframes. https://t.co/kLtzZeuFQl", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Yah bought meta at 530", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "mi20483980476", "ret_m1d": -0.013535284886614929, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.013535284886614929, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.005706070311600309, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.006718626335172728, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00782921457501462, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006816658551442201, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.007876913983037692, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.007876913983037692, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005419602360433373, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.004648658725364907, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002457311622604319, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0125255727084026, "ret_p1w": 0.004675472070904574, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.004675472070904574, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.011425935895406747, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.00024468951839895503, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01610140796631132, "bench_c_p1w": 0.004430782552505619, "ret_p1m": -0.079141759822422, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.079141759822422, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.14804763789843256, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07701156215115557, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06890587807601056, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0021301976712664317, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0772, -0.0772, -0.1012, -0.0881, -0.0365, -0.0199, 0.0003, 0.0012, -0.0051, 0.0984, 0.066, 0.051, 0.0291, -0.0047, -0.0029, -0.0159, 0.0075, -0.0021, -0.0052, -0.0332, -0.0482, -0.0482, -0.0489, -0.043, -0.0407, -0.0245, -0.0519, -0.0489, -0.0275, -0.0225, -0.0357, -0.0277, -0.0254, -0.0066, -0.0172, -0.0406, -0.0368, -0.0269, -0.0257, -0.0505, -0.087, -0.0657, -0.0728, -0.0832, -0.0966, -0.116, -0.1005, -0.1171, -0.1142, -0.1847, -0.2172, -0.2013, -0.1481, -0.1375, -0.1446, -0.1446, -0.1468, -0.1437, -0.0881, -0.0643, -0.0621, -0.0552, -0.0135, 0.0, 0.0079, 0.0253, -0.001, -0.0041, 0.0047, -0.0185, 0.0051, 0.0105, -0.0004, -0.0037, -0.0889, -0.0936, -0.0911, -0.0992, -0.0874, -0.0816, -0.0922, -0.1083, -0.1021, -0.0818, -0.0791, -0.0854, -0.0899, -0.1027, -0.0991, -0.0956, -0.0913, -0.0913, -0.0882, -0.0541, -0.054, -0.0582, -0.0582, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2052444164227518880", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-07T17:43:15+00:00", "symbol": "FLNC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$FLNC has two new hyperscaler deals not included in their massive backlog / financials yet. Supplying to two different hyperscalers is enormous for a company this size", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish FLNC on two new hyperscaler deals not yet in backlog/financials, significant upside for company size.", "resolved_tickers": ["FLNC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Kevin1151268 Uhh… going all in is never the best idea.\n\nBut on the bright side $FLNC has two new hyperscaler deals not included in their massive backlog / financials yet. \n\nSupplying to two different hyperscalers is enormous for a company this size, who knows how big the contracts are.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit yesterday  all in 😂 https://t.co/g8xJolYM3Z", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Kevin1151268", "ret_m1d": -0.28518708959199934, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.28518708959199934, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.28826262466326924, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.28826262466326924, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003075535071269897, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003075535071269897, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.2735899168116449, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.2735899168116449, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.2653338438104027, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.2653338438104027, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008256073001242203, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008256073001242203, "ret_p1w": 0.10384824944702475, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10384824944702475, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08117135090856298, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08117135090856298, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.022676898538461776, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022676898538461776, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0227, 0.0011, -0.0764, -0.0807, -0.0269, -0.0269, -0.0627, -0.0812, -0.127, -0.1276, -0.1529, -0.1307, -0.1392, -0.146, -0.1808, -0.203, -0.2135, -0.1671, -0.1692, -0.2209, -0.1724, -0.1102, -0.098, -0.1344, -0.1365, -0.1154, -0.1302, -0.1571, -0.155, -0.2024, -0.1903, -0.1487, -0.1381, -0.2114, -0.2541, -0.3147, -0.2746, -0.3137, -0.2989, -0.2989, -0.3042, -0.3015, -0.3084, -0.2852, -0.2736, -0.2804, -0.2198, -0.1982, -0.2103, -0.2865, -0.3342, -0.3268, -0.2884, -0.2873, -0.2947, -0.2957, -0.349, -0.3764, -0.3579, -0.3574, -0.35, -0.331, -0.2852, 0.0, 0.2736, 0.33, 0.1218, 0.165, 0.1038, 0.0949, 0.03, -0.0559, -0.0016, 0.0643, 0.1328, 0.1328, 0.1244, 0.1186, 0.126, -0.0047, -0.0047, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2037741312787853791", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-28T03:59:23+00:00", "symbol": "RDDT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "remain long overall. This is $RDDT for example, but I did buy more at $125", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still long RDDT; added more at $125 on the drawdown.", "resolved_tickers": ["RDDT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ram_blings I've trimmed concentrations here and there, but remain long overall. This is $RDDT for example, but I did buy more at $125. https://t.co/u8x8jgEebD", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit are you reducing exposure to your other longs? im so tempted to use margin on the drawdowns", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ram_blings", "ret_m1d": -0.01844840865380981, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.01844840865380981, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02180308727878455, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.009926750847704557, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "bench_c_m1d": -0.008521657806105254, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08474983385030832, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08474983385030832, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05568190815139351, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05788801882185668, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02686181502845164, "ret_p1w": 0.11447675339476726, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11447675339476726, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07181646378850526, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07927850326524921, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03519825012951805, "ret_p1m": 0.19173443928927458, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.19173443928927458, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06558915480750516, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.11957807599186387, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07215636329741071, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.8518, 0.8518, 0.9487, 0.9661, 1.0447, 1.0583, 1.0458, 0.9702, 0.9658, 1.086, 1.0332, 0.8428, 0.861, 0.861, 0.8155, 0.6928, 0.7283, 0.7633, 0.721, 0.5814, 0.5559, 0.5311, 0.4523, 0.4271, 0.3326, 0.2301, 0.2169, 0.1265, 0.1419, 0.2082, 0.1221, 0.0559, 0.125, 0.125, 0.1216, 0.1879, 0.1772, 0.2098, 0.1477, 0.1446, 0.2058, 0.2185, 0.1747, 0.1851, 0.1737, 0.1866, 0.1628, 0.1229, 0.1187, 0.0806, 0.1046, 0.0654, 0.0663, 0.1278, 0.1627, 0.1503, 0.1127, 0.1266, 0.1356, 0.0966, 0.1249, 0.0252, -0.0184, 0.0, 0.0847, 0.0971, 0.0956, 0.0956, 0.1145, 0.137, 0.1681, 0.1148, 0.1257, 0.2032, 0.245, 0.2767, 0.3087, 0.3196, 0.3396, 0.2634, 0.3237, 0.2323, 0.2478, 0.2907, 0.1917, 0.1903, 0.1861, 0.3412, 0.362, 0.3827, 0.3418, 0.3208, 0.2551, 0.285, 0.2273, 0.2416, 0.2592, 0.2742, 0.2818, 0.2477, 0.182, 0.2087, 0.1413, 0.1413, 0.1652, 0.2422, 0.3509, 0.4179, 0.4179, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2042549862496113041", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-10T10:26:50+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LITE capacity order filled into 2028, signaling massive demand for photonics across the board", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "LITE capacity booked to 2028 signals massive photonics demand; bullish read across photonics names.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@thgstar2 $LITE capacity order filled into 2028, signaling massive demand for photonics across the board.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Why are all these iqe, soitec, nitto, sive, .. up massive this morning? Any specific news or just picking up from where they left when the war started?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "thgstar2", "ret_m1d": -0.003532801686483067, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.003532801686483067, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00419502044450315, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00419502044450315, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0006622187580200833, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0006622187580200833, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.029109545829186012, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.029109545829186012, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.038881943613537806, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.038881943613537806, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009772397784351794, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009772397784351794, "ret_p1w": -0.00359966623502872, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.00359966623502872, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.048753158248744266, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.048753158248744266, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.045153492013715546, "bench_c_p1w": 0.045153492013715546, "ret_p1m": 0.1736208404622075, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1736208404622075, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08555095572258598, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08555095572258598, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08806988473962152, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08806988473962152, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5973, -0.6304, -0.6174, -0.6386, -0.6386, -0.6023, -0.5961, -0.6049, -0.622, -0.6295, -0.5869, -0.5709, -0.5749, -0.5633, -0.5281, -0.5151, -0.4812, -0.4378, -0.3848, -0.3568, -0.3746, -0.3602, -0.3498, -0.3729, -0.3729, -0.3309, -0.3377, -0.2916, -0.2558, -0.248, -0.233, -0.1938, -0.2455, -0.2189, -0.1271, -0.2261, -0.2413, -0.2747, -0.3776, -0.286, -0.2511, -0.2511, -0.3134, -0.3063, -0.3036, -0.2761, -0.219, -0.1395, -0.2128, -0.1876, -0.1062, -0.1339, -0.2324, -0.2168, -0.2703, -0.2168, -0.1478, -0.0785, -0.0785, -0.1393, -0.0909, -0.0014, -0.0035, 0.0, -0.0291, -0.0496, -0.0817, -0.0068, -0.0036, -0.0024, -0.0673, -0.0264, -0.0562, -0.0175, -0.0419, -0.1181, -0.0434, 0.0056, 0.0587, 0.0879, 0.1084, 0.0524, -0.0053, 0.0072, 0.1736, 0.106, 0.1483, 0.1165, 0.0818, -0.0137, -0.008, -0.0326, 0.0749, 0.0553, 0.0553, 0.0151, 0.0056, -0.0409, -0.0472, -0.0472, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2041963517071519963", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-08T19:36:54+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Both are really solid profitable longs over the next year. Probably not 200% gains but 50-100% seem reasonable here.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long COHR and MRVL as underappreciated 'do-everything' semis; targets 50-100% gains over the next year.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I feel like $COHR and $MRVL are the two \"They Do Everything\" longs.\n\nThat nobody actually knows what they do if you ask them in public.\n\n$NVDA? GPUs.\n$INTC? Foundry. \n\nMarvell? No clue.\nCoherent? No clue. \n\nThey're the Deloitte of Semis. \n\nBoth are really solid profitable longs over the next year.\n\nProbably not 200% gains but 50-100% seem reasonable here.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.09471592899700498, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09471592899700498, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06987896087530343, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06987896087530343, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.024836968121701553, "bench_c_m1d": -0.024836968121701553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.008446022962638411, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.008446022962638411, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0026769317915500412, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0026769317915500412, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00576909117108837, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00576909117108837, "ret_p1w": 0.0937222856072244, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0937222856072244, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05832341232119442, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05832341232119442, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.035398873286029975, "bench_c_p1w": 0.035398873286029975, "ret_p1m": 0.13272292402987107, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13272292402987107, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.050519988390670845, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.050519988390670845, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08220293563920023, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08220293563920023, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3681, -0.3428, -0.3256, -0.3466, -0.3046, -0.322, -0.322, -0.3135, -0.2851, -0.2806, -0.3011, -0.2982, -0.2406, -0.2152, -0.234, -0.247, -0.2106, -0.1867, -0.2512, -0.2575, -0.192, -0.1396, -0.1896, -0.2062, -0.2331, -0.2291, -0.2291, -0.2194, -0.2055, -0.175, -0.1193, -0.1168, -0.0956, -0.0493, -0.1123, -0.0811, 0.0608, -0.0035, -0.0246, -0.0991, -0.1635, -0.1046, -0.0751, -0.1078, -0.1438, -0.1385, -0.1221, -0.1277, -0.0872, -0.0221, -0.0999, -0.0949, -0.0336, -0.0346, -0.1366, -0.136, -0.2205, -0.1547, -0.1206, -0.0839, -0.0839, -0.1014, -0.0947, 0.0, 0.0084, 0.0912, 0.0928, 0.1122, 0.0937, 0.164, 0.2244, 0.2332, 0.22, 0.2437, 0.1983, 0.1927, 0.141, 0.0787, 0.0821, 0.1346, 0.1693, 0.1707, 0.1914, 0.2231, 0.1327, 0.1898, 0.3474, 0.3273, 0.4327, 0.437, 0.3572, 0.2876, 0.2549, 0.2722, 0.3414, 0.3399, 0.3399, 0.3533, 0.3492, 0.3377, 0.2828, 0.2828, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2041963517071519963", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-08T19:36:54+00:00", "symbol": "MRVL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Both are really solid profitable longs over the next year. Probably not 200% gains but 50-100% seem reasonable here.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long COHR and MRVL as underappreciated 'do-everything' semis; targets 50-100% gains over the next year.", "resolved_tickers": ["MRVL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I feel like $COHR and $MRVL are the two \"They Do Everything\" longs.\n\nThat nobody actually knows what they do if you ask them in public.\n\n$NVDA? GPUs.\n$INTC? Foundry. \n\nMarvell? No clue.\nCoherent? No clue. \n\nThey're the Deloitte of Semis. \n\nBoth are really solid profitable longs over the next year.\n\nProbably not 200% gains but 50-100% seem reasonable here.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04429884981577248, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04429884981577248, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.019461881694070926, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019461881694070926, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.024836968121701553, "bench_c_m1d": -0.024836968121701553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04788115796750425, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04788115796750425, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04211206679641588, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04211206679641588, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00576909117108837, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00576909117108837, "ret_p1w": 0.17664816887909818, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.17664816887909818, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1412492955930682, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.1412492955930682, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.035398873286029975, "bench_c_p1w": 0.035398873286029975, "ret_p1m": 0.39877755201606546, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.39877755201606546, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.31657461637686524, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.31657461637686524, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08220293563920023, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08220293563920023, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2729, -0.2758, -0.2744, -0.2904, -0.2977, -0.297, -0.297, -0.3028, -0.2787, -0.2739, -0.299, -0.2855, -0.2754, -0.2694, -0.2893, -0.3104, -0.3127, -0.34, -0.3558, -0.3516, -0.2986, -0.2805, -0.2834, -0.2893, -0.3165, -0.3131, -0.3131, -0.3097, -0.309, -0.3044, -0.3055, -0.3203, -0.3151, -0.293, -0.3072, -0.2862, -0.2935, -0.3228, -0.3177, -0.3388, -0.2174, -0.1905, -0.1848, -0.2098, -0.234, -0.2323, -0.1998, -0.2067, -0.2344, -0.2177, -0.2319, -0.2122, -0.193, -0.1398, -0.1465, -0.171, -0.2328, -0.1346, -0.0676, -0.0641, -0.0641, -0.0432, -0.0443, 0.0, 0.0479, 0.1232, 0.1478, 0.1699, 0.1766, 0.1659, 0.2211, 0.2924, 0.3227, 0.3753, 0.4473, 0.4364, 0.383, 0.3395, 0.3687, 0.4437, 0.442, 0.4307, 0.4752, 0.5049, 0.3988, 0.4872, 0.4935, 0.438, 0.5556, 0.5961, 0.5463, 0.4768, 0.5409, 0.633, 0.667, 0.7163, 0.7163, 0.8206, 0.737, 0.7906, 0.7921, 0.7921, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2045565771234021468", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-18T18:10:59+00:00", "symbol": "ASML.AS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ASML, $TSM earnings = Good Outlook. Semis + capex go brrr.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long ASML/TSM on capex cycle, UMC on foundry price hikes, and Taiwan OSATs (Shunsin 6451) on demand outstripping supply in CoWoS/SiP/optical packaging.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASML.AS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just some TLDRs to save you time: \n\n1. $ASML, $TSM earnings = Good Outlook. Semis + capex go brrr.\n\n2. Opus 4.7 + Anthropic go brrr. Software = sad.\n\n3. Samsung go brrr because of partly bc of $TSLA AI Chips.\n\n4. $UMC = price hike for foundry. foundries go brrr. \n\n5. Training = brrr in China. H100 rental increase go up. Neoclouds happy. \n\n6. Helium supply shortage = not significant... I've already said this before, but I'm not sure how many times $TSM needs to say this. \n\n7. MLCC, inductor prices = price hike. Will cover beneficiaries later.\n\n8. \"Taiwan's OSAT expansion could tighten global test capacity and raise costs\"\n\nI went long on Taiwan OSATs recently like Shunsin (6451) for a reason. Demand will just outstrip supply, even after expansion.  (cowos, sip, optical).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0008032201127731176, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0008032201127731176, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.002806894348033828, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.001234318075345242, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0004310979625721245, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006425662636939999, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006425662636939999, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00012128651799625523, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.007934439729628262, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0015087770926882627, "ret_p1w": -0.023870495054408525, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.023870495054408525, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.032971426979089835, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.11504218892802232, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "bench_c_p1w": 0.09117169387361379, "ret_p1m": 0.005431120092117769, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.005431120092117769, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.029857866813122635, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1669976065027785, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "bench_c_p1m": 0.17242872659489628, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0737, -0.0564, -0.0549, -0.0551, -0.0233, -0.0419, -0.0439, -0.0249, -0.0175, -0.0451, -0.0851, -0.0779, -0.0424, -0.0323, -0.0418, -0.0299, -0.0524, -0.0439, -0.0402, -0.0368, -0.0002, -0.0055, 0.0085, 0.0034, 0.0148, 0.0349, -0.0101, -0.0093, -0.0278, -0.0668, -0.0363, -0.0474, -0.0787, -0.0782, -0.0361, -0.0371, -0.0519, -0.0525, -0.0382, -0.0411, -0.0434, -0.0614, -0.0938, -0.0559, -0.0349, -0.0268, -0.0636, -0.0792, -0.1068, -0.101, -0.0461, -0.0675, -0.0675, -0.0675, -0.1054, -0.026, -0.0082, 0.0201, 0.0119, 0.0315, -0.012, -0.018, -0.0008, 0.0, -0.0064, 0.0039, -0.017, 0.0059, -0.0239, -0.0567, -0.04, -0.016, -0.016, -0.0442, -0.0107, 0.0505, 0.0465, 0.0621, 0.051, 0.019, 0.0682, 0.1004, 0.0518, 0.0178, 0.0054, 0.0731, 0.0829, 0.1342, 0.1516, 0.1188, 0.108, 0.1197, 0.1147, 0.1147, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2045565771234021468", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-18T18:10:59+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ASML, $TSM earnings = Good Outlook. Semis + capex go brrr.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long ASML/TSM on capex cycle, UMC on foundry price hikes, and Taiwan OSATs (Shunsin 6451) on demand outstripping supply in CoWoS/SiP/optical packaging.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just some TLDRs to save you time: \n\n1. $ASML, $TSM earnings = Good Outlook. Semis + capex go brrr.\n\n2. Opus 4.7 + Anthropic go brrr. Software = sad.\n\n3. Samsung go brrr because of partly bc of $TSLA AI Chips.\n\n4. $UMC = price hike for foundry. foundries go brrr. \n\n5. Training = brrr in China. H100 rental increase go up. Neoclouds happy. \n\n6. Helium supply shortage = not significant... I've already said this before, but I'm not sure how many times $TSM needs to say this. \n\n7. MLCC, inductor prices = price hike. Will cover beneficiaries later.\n\n8. \"Taiwan's OSAT expansion could tighten global test capacity and raise costs\"\n\nI went long on Taiwan OSATs recently like Shunsin (6451) for a reason. Demand will just outstrip supply, even after expansion.  (cowos, sip, optical).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.011631743881652001, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011631743881652001, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00962806964639129, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00962806964639129, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.005024018094564431, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.005024018094564431, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011570967249500685, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011570967249500685, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "ret_p1w": 0.10577769163646344, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10577769163646344, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09667675971178213, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09667675971178213, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "ret_p1m": 0.07200195451160885, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07200195451160885, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.03671296760636844, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.03671296760636844, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.112, -0.1086, -0.0882, -0.0941, -0.0788, -0.068, -0.0755, -0.1, -0.0706, -0.0858, -0.1131, -0.0995, -0.0502, -0.0323, -0.0146, 0.0186, 0.0023, -0.0025, -0.0025, -0.0084, -0.0136, -0.0187, 0.0089, 0.0075, 0.0503, 0.0557, 0.026, 0.0199, 0.005, -0.0385, -0.0268, -0.0365, -0.0773, -0.0506, -0.055, -0.0346, -0.0832, -0.0789, -0.0736, -0.0553, -0.0728, -0.075, -0.101, -0.0759, -0.0628, -0.0505, -0.1096, -0.1079, -0.1358, -0.0772, -0.0676, -0.0743, -0.0743, -0.0668, -0.0571, -0.0009, -0.002, 0.0119, 0.0091, 0.0373, 0.0242, -0.0079, 0.0116, 0.0, 0.005, 0.0579, 0.0448, 0.0989, 0.1058, 0.0713, 0.0753, 0.0814, 0.0858, 0.0966, 0.0769, 0.1454, 0.1308, 0.1241, 0.1046, 0.0848, 0.0916, 0.1406, 0.1041, 0.0811, 0.072, 0.0966, 0.1117, 0.1045, 0.1045, 0.1258, 0.1542, 0.1601, 0.1426, 0.1426, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2045565771234021468", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-04-18T18:10:59+00:00", "symbol": "UMC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$UMC = price hike for foundry. foundries go brrr.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long ASML/TSM on capex cycle, UMC on foundry price hikes, and Taiwan OSATs (Shunsin 6451) on demand outstripping supply in CoWoS/SiP/optical packaging.", "resolved_tickers": ["UMC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just some TLDRs to save you time: \n\n1. $ASML, $TSM earnings = Good Outlook. Semis + capex go brrr.\n\n2. Opus 4.7 + Anthropic go brrr. Software = sad.\n\n3. Samsung go brrr because of partly bc of $TSLA AI Chips.\n\n4. $UMC = price hike for foundry. foundries go brrr. \n\n5. Training = brrr in China. H100 rental increase go up. Neoclouds happy. \n\n6. Helium supply shortage = not significant... I've already said this before, but I'm not sure how many times $TSM needs to say this. \n\n7. MLCC, inductor prices = price hike. Will cover beneficiaries later.\n\n8. \"Taiwan's OSAT expansion could tighten global test capacity and raise costs\"\n\nI went long on Taiwan OSATs recently like Shunsin (6451) for a reason. Demand will just outstrip supply, even after expansion.  (cowos, sip, optical).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.07753168269717192, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07753168269717192, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07953535693243263, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07796278065974405, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0004310979625721245, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.024525348987071927, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.024525348987071927, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.017978399832135672, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02603412607976019, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0015087770926882627, "ret_p1w": -0.0751582861658151, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0751582861658151, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08425921809049641, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1663299800394289, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "bench_c_p1w": 0.09117169387361379, "ret_p1m": 0.390822740997228, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.390822740997228, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3555337540919876, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.21839401440233175, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "bench_c_p1m": 0.17242872659489628, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1195, -0.1377, -0.1661, -0.1036, -0.0127, -0.0997, -0.163, -0.1946, -0.2057, -0.2207, -0.2128, -0.2112, -0.2041, -0.2049, -0.216, -0.1851, -0.1859, -0.1756, -0.1756, -0.1875, -0.1907, -0.1986, -0.1772, -0.1756, -0.1361, -0.1653, -0.1851, -0.1741, -0.1685, -0.2168, -0.2184, -0.2286, -0.2405, -0.2302, -0.25, -0.2326, -0.2603, -0.2666, -0.2508, -0.2468, -0.2642, -0.2674, -0.2785, -0.2809, -0.284, -0.2634, -0.2864, -0.2983, -0.3188, -0.2896, -0.2903, -0.3141, -0.3141, -0.3125, -0.2634, -0.2508, -0.246, -0.2294, -0.2326, -0.2413, -0.2128, -0.1598, -0.0775, 0.0, -0.0245, 0.0055, -0.0506, -0.0285, -0.0752, -0.0775, 0.0087, 0.0332, 0.0324, 0.0269, 0.1084, 0.2049, 0.1994, 0.2199, 0.2334, 0.2706, 0.2595, 0.3552, 0.3608, 0.3544, 0.3908, 0.3892, 0.4517, 0.4415, 0.4415, 0.6677, 0.7579, 0.7943, 0.7547, 0.7547, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2045565771234021468", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-04-18T18:10:59+00:00", "symbol": "6451.TW", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I went long on Taiwan OSATs recently like Shunsin (6451) for a reason. Demand will just outstrip supply, even after expansion.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long ASML/TSM on capex cycle, UMC on foundry price hikes, and Taiwan OSATs (Shunsin 6451) on demand outstripping supply in CoWoS/SiP/optical packaging.", "resolved_tickers": ["6451.TW"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TW')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just some TLDRs to save you time: \n\n1. $ASML, $TSM earnings = Good Outlook. Semis + capex go brrr.\n\n2. Opus 4.7 + Anthropic go brrr. Software = sad.\n\n3. Samsung go brrr because of partly bc of $TSLA AI Chips.\n\n4. $UMC = price hike for foundry. foundries go brrr. \n\n5. Training = brrr in China. H100 rental increase go up. Neoclouds happy. \n\n6. Helium supply shortage = not significant... I've already said this before, but I'm not sure how many times $TSM needs to say this. \n\n7. MLCC, inductor prices = price hike. Will cover beneficiaries later.\n\n8. \"Taiwan's OSAT expansion could tighten global test capacity and raise costs\"\n\nI went long on Taiwan OSATs recently like Shunsin (6451) for a reason. Demand will just outstrip supply, even after expansion.  (cowos, sip, optical).", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0039447731755424265, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0039447731755424265, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.005948447410803137, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0004815353948263157, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "bench_c_m1d": -0.004426308570368742, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0650887573964497, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0650887573964497, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05854180824151345, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06437099736268648, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0007177600337632262, "ret_p1w": -0.25147928994082835, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.25147928994082835, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.26058022186550966, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2964607745796318, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04498148463880347, "ret_p1m": -0.04536489151873768, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.04536489151873768, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08065387842397809, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.12001503826525117, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07465014674651349, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6992, -0.7002, -0.7081, -0.711, -0.7071, -0.6854, -0.6657, -0.6824, -0.6598, -0.6262, -0.5897, -0.6095, -0.6479, -0.6588, -0.6499, -0.6726, -0.6726, -0.6726, -0.6726, -0.6726, -0.6726, -0.6726, -0.6726, -0.64, -0.6045, -0.5838, -0.5878, -0.5878, -0.5966, -0.5907, -0.6312, -0.6154, -0.6252, -0.6627, -0.6598, -0.6262, -0.6134, -0.575, -0.5325, -0.4862, -0.4497, -0.4635, -0.4586, -0.4467, -0.428, -0.3708, -0.3452, -0.2801, -0.3521, -0.4162, -0.3984, -0.4172, -0.4172, -0.4172, -0.359, -0.2949, -0.2249, -0.1479, -0.0631, -0.0611, -0.1006, -0.0256, -0.0039, 0.0, -0.0651, -0.0217, -0.1193, -0.2071, -0.2515, -0.2012, -0.216, -0.1499, -0.1499, -0.0651, 0.0276, -0.0582, -0.0335, -0.1302, -0.1016, -0.0996, -0.0572, 0.0355, 0.1381, 0.0256, -0.0454, -0.0424, -0.0158, 0.0335, 0.1361, 0.2465, 0.1874, 0.1223, 0.1243, 0.2091, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2059674880761860125", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-27T16:35:33+00:00", "symbol": "XFAB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "They're literally getting CHIPS ACT funding from the EU because of how critical they are. And have $NVDA / $NOK evaluating their SiPH side of things, while they traded at a low ~1.28 P/B.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish XFAB on CHIPS Act funding, SiPH evaluation by NVDA/NOK, and only high-volume SiC foundry in US; also constructive on power semi peers NVTS, POWI, WOLF and SOI.", "resolved_tickers": ["XFAB.PA"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "X-FAB Silicon Foundries listed on Euronext Paris as XFAB.PA", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bro media… how is $XFAB a meme stock? \n\nCan you not repeat the same mistake with $RPI this time?\n\nThey’re literally getting CHIPS ACT funding from the EU because of how critical they are. \n\nAnd have $NVDA / $NOK evaluating their SiPH side of things, while they traded at a low ~1.28 P/B.\n\nThis just reminded me of $SOI low p/b but high growth verticals out of legacy segment drag.\n\n$XFAB was literally mentioned for CHIPS ACT 2 next week in the blueprints… Which focuses around photonics. \n\nThe main revenue ramp was around power semis with $NVDA pushing 800 vdc.\n\nSo $NVTS, $POWI, $WOLF and everyone have been taking off recently.\n\nMarkets just missed $XFAB, because they’re a lesser known foundry in power semis…But US Dpt. Of commerce pointed them out as the only high volume SiC foundry in the US 2Y ago. \n\n I just happened to point out the connections.\n\nJust because you don’t understand something, don’t just go call it a “meme stock” with price detached from fundamentals.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.2512500286102295, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.2512500286102295, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.2514232621989698, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.262400347079478, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00017323358874032913, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011150318469248521, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05333336194356286, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05333336194356286, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05884991644622517, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06060459131357765, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055165545026623075, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007271229370014787, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6098, -0.6085, -0.6213, -0.6168, -0.6212, -0.621, -0.6152, -0.5935, -0.6033, -0.6033, -0.607, -0.6027, -0.6027, -0.6002, -0.6212, -0.6208, -0.6125, -0.6063, -0.5905, -0.596, -0.6095, -0.6107, -0.6038, -0.594, -0.6075, -0.6075, -0.6075, -0.6112, -0.58, -0.5873, -0.5675, -0.5742, -0.5458, -0.5458, -0.53, -0.4912, -0.4742, -0.4662, -0.46, -0.4463, -0.4363, -0.4329, -0.4379, -0.4262, -0.4758, -0.4758, -0.4717, -0.4642, -0.4404, -0.4454, -0.4337, -0.3858, -0.4037, -0.3662, -0.3529, -0.3317, -0.385, -0.4029, -0.37, -0.3742, -0.3425, -0.3279, -0.2513, 0.0, -0.0533, -0.1033, -0.1033, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2059674880761860125", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-05-27T16:35:33+00:00", "symbol": "NVTS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NVTS, $POWI, $WOLF and everyone have been taking off recently.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish XFAB on CHIPS Act funding, SiPH evaluation by NVDA/NOK, and only high-volume SiC foundry in US; also constructive on power semi peers NVTS, POWI, WOLF and SOI.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVTS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bro media… how is $XFAB a meme stock? \n\nCan you not repeat the same mistake with $RPI this time?\n\nThey’re literally getting CHIPS ACT funding from the EU because of how critical they are. \n\nAnd have $NVDA / $NOK evaluating their SiPH side of things, while they traded at a low ~1.28 P/B.\n\nThis just reminded me of $SOI low p/b but high growth verticals out of legacy segment drag.\n\n$XFAB was literally mentioned for CHIPS ACT 2 next week in the blueprints… Which focuses around photonics. \n\nThe main revenue ramp was around power semis with $NVDA pushing 800 vdc.\n\nSo $NVTS, $POWI, $WOLF and everyone have been taking off recently.\n\nMarkets just missed $XFAB, because they’re a lesser known foundry in power semis…But US Dpt. Of commerce pointed them out as the only high volume SiC foundry in the US 2Y ago. \n\n I just happened to point out the connections.\n\nJust because you don’t understand something, don’t just go call it a “meme stock” with price detached from fundamentals.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.10076183654167048, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.10076183654167048, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.10058860295293015, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.10058860295293015, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00017323358874032913, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00017323358874032913, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.012811597736727354, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.012811597736727354, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01832815223938966, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01832815223938966, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055165545026623075, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0055165545026623075, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6884, -0.6693, -0.6918, -0.6807, -0.6898, -0.7161, -0.7098, -0.6994, -0.6247, -0.6544, -0.6503, -0.6368, -0.66, -0.6863, -0.6825, -0.697, -0.6821, -0.6787, -0.6717, -0.6877, -0.7133, -0.7289, -0.6963, -0.7043, -0.6953, -0.6953, -0.6941, -0.7033, -0.6693, -0.6738, -0.6697, -0.66, -0.6582, -0.6447, -0.5717, -0.5734, -0.5429, -0.4692, -0.3605, -0.3591, -0.4017, -0.3663, -0.4765, -0.464, -0.4287, -0.3958, -0.4488, -0.3923, -0.4224, -0.4533, -0.3698, -0.2157, -0.3334, -0.267, -0.2271, -0.2618, -0.3189, -0.3272, -0.2039, -0.1558, 0.0128, 0.0128, 0.1008, 0.0, -0.0128, -0.0789, -0.0789, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2059674880761860125", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-05-27T16:35:33+00:00", "symbol": "POWI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NVTS, $POWI, $WOLF and everyone have been taking off recently.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish XFAB on CHIPS Act funding, SiPH evaluation by NVDA/NOK, and only high-volume SiC foundry in US; also constructive on power semi peers NVTS, POWI, WOLF and SOI.", "resolved_tickers": ["POWI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bro media… how is $XFAB a meme stock? \n\nCan you not repeat the same mistake with $RPI this time?\n\nThey’re literally getting CHIPS ACT funding from the EU because of how critical they are. \n\nAnd have $NVDA / $NOK evaluating their SiPH side of things, while they traded at a low ~1.28 P/B.\n\nThis just reminded me of $SOI low p/b but high growth verticals out of legacy segment drag.\n\n$XFAB was literally mentioned for CHIPS ACT 2 next week in the blueprints… Which focuses around photonics. \n\nThe main revenue ramp was around power semis with $NVDA pushing 800 vdc.\n\nSo $NVTS, $POWI, $WOLF and everyone have been taking off recently.\n\nMarkets just missed $XFAB, because they’re a lesser known foundry in power semis…But US Dpt. Of commerce pointed them out as the only high volume SiC foundry in the US 2Y ago. \n\n I just happened to point out the connections.\n\nJust because you don’t understand something, don’t just go call it a “meme stock” with price detached from fundamentals.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03233603217593761, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03233603217593761, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03250926576467794, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.043486350645186134, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00017323358874032913, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011150318469248521, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.001956252363684019, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.001956252363684019, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0035603021389782885, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.005314977006330768, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055165545026623075, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007271229370014787, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4486, -0.4219, -0.4476, -0.4595, -0.4498, -0.47, -0.4574, -0.4814, -0.4609, -0.4666, -0.454, -0.4618, -0.4519, -0.4697, -0.4634, -0.4655, -0.4525, -0.4153, -0.4017, -0.4241, -0.4304, -0.449, -0.4108, -0.3974, -0.3974, -0.3974, -0.4081, -0.4061, -0.3799, -0.3724, -0.3725, -0.3857, -0.3783, -0.3686, -0.355, -0.3251, -0.2885, -0.2247, -0.1746, -0.1642, -0.1537, -0.1873, -0.2403, -0.198, -0.1633, -0.1563, -0.1617, -0.113, -0.0998, -0.1734, -0.1567, -0.1445, -0.184, -0.1812, -0.1753, -0.1572, -0.2219, -0.2143, -0.2045, -0.189, -0.1847, -0.1847, -0.0323, 0.0, 0.002, -0.031, -0.031, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2059674880761860125", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-05-27T16:35:33+00:00", "symbol": "WOLF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NVTS, $POWI, $WOLF and everyone have been taking off recently.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish XFAB on CHIPS Act funding, SiPH evaluation by NVDA/NOK, and only high-volume SiC foundry in US; also constructive on power semi peers NVTS, POWI, WOLF and SOI.", "resolved_tickers": ["WOLF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Bro media… how is $XFAB a meme stock? \n\nCan you not repeat the same mistake with $RPI this time?\n\nThey’re literally getting CHIPS ACT funding from the EU because of how critical they are. \n\nAnd have $NVDA / $NOK evaluating their SiPH side of things, while they traded at a low ~1.28 P/B.\n\nThis just reminded me of $SOI low p/b but high growth verticals out of legacy segment drag.\n\n$XFAB was literally mentioned for CHIPS ACT 2 next week in the blueprints… Which focuses around photonics. \n\nThe main revenue ramp was around power semis with $NVDA pushing 800 vdc.\n\nSo $NVTS, $POWI, $WOLF and everyone have been taking off recently.\n\nMarkets just missed $XFAB, because they’re a lesser known foundry in power semis…But US Dpt. Of commerce pointed them out as the only high volume SiC foundry in the US 2Y ago. \n\n I just happened to point out the connections.\n\nJust because you don’t understand something, don’t just go call it a “meme stock” with price detached from fundamentals.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.1618716716750399, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.1618716716750399, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.16169843808629958, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.1507213532057914, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00017323358874032913, "bench_c_m1d": 0.011150318469248521, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.028295997118534588, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.028295997118534588, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02277944261587228, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0210247677485198, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0055165545026623075, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007271229370014787, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6883, -0.6647, -0.6704, -0.6745, -0.7006, -0.7381, -0.7193, -0.7379, -0.7123, -0.7317, -0.736, -0.7101, -0.7172, -0.7347, -0.7303, -0.742, -0.7376, -0.7365, -0.7076, -0.7341, -0.7559, -0.766, -0.742, -0.74, -0.7238, -0.7238, -0.7147, -0.7008, -0.675, -0.6138, -0.6329, -0.6182, -0.6364, -0.6222, -0.5805, -0.596, -0.5838, -0.6095, -0.5613, -0.5645, -0.5063, -0.531, -0.5914, -0.5948, -0.5332, -0.4189, -0.4319, -0.421, -0.319, -0.2861, -0.2634, -0.2047, -0.1508, -0.0104, 0.1059, -0.0179, -0.0618, -0.07, -0.0733, 0.0986, 0.1048, 0.1048, 0.1619, 0.0, 0.0283, -0.0629, -0.0629, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2046494023297429645", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-21T07:39:31+00:00", "symbol": "AMD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The $AMD and $GFS CPO announcement is probably bigger than markets expect", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "AMD/GFS CPO announcement underappreciated for SIVE as likely laser supplier via Ayar SuperNova for MI500 2027; LITE also designed in.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The $AMD and $GFS CPO announcement is probably bigger than markets expect for $SIVE.\n\nWith the news, it's likely $SIVE lasers power $AMD's CPO program.\n\nEither through two potential paths: \n\n1. Enosemi (AMD's in-house PIC design post-acquisition). Enosemi's chiplets are fabbed at GF but for the ELS, $AMD could source it from multiple players with $SIVE as the underlying multi-source laser source. \n\n2. Ayar ( $AMD invested in March 2026, Series E). Ayar's SuperNova light source already uses $SIVE DFB laser arrays alongside $LITE.\n\nAyar's SuperNova is the most likely first-gen CPO path for MI500 in 2027 given timelines and the enormous fundraise last month. That path already has $SIVE designed in alongside $LITE and they both appear with $GFS's slide.\n\nEnosemi becomes more relevant for 2028+ generations?\n\nRegardless, $AMD through Enosemi/Ayar needs lasers for their 2027 MI500 rollout...\n\nIt seems likely Sivers ends up powering $AMD's CPO program as the light source since they're designed into Ayar. \n\nThe $AMD / $GFS materiality looks large for Sivers.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "What a crazy timeline?\n\nToday, $AMD announced it's pushing into CPO and collaborating with $GFS. \n\nThis is highly bullish for $SIVE since for CPO/SiPH, it requires external laser light source. \n\nAnd... guess who are the two public laser suppliers in the GlobalFoundries CPO https://t.co/prOl6zPkAA", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.033533615785512505, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.033533615785512505, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04012370995188219, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04012370995188219, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006590094166369687, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006590094166369687, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06668073349461201, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06668073349461201, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05655403665654135, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05655403665654135, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010126696838070659, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010126696838070659, "ret_p1w": 0.1361032111843512, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1361032111843512, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.12529480139164506, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.12529480139164506, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010808409792706142, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010808409792706142, "ret_p1m": 0.5732714750474353, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5732714750474353, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5204792042714659, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5204792042714659, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.052792270775969374, "bench_c_p1m": 0.052792270775969374, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1081, -0.0872, -0.1166, -0.1141, -0.1116, -0.1136, -0.1679, -0.1343, -0.149, -0.2963, -0.3234, -0.2673, -0.2407, -0.2493, -0.2493, -0.2761, -0.2713, -0.2713, -0.2862, -0.2966, -0.2851, -0.2965, -0.3089, -0.2483, -0.2588, -0.2841, -0.2962, -0.3018, -0.3288, -0.2897, -0.2989, -0.3236, -0.2876, -0.2856, -0.28, -0.3049, -0.3202, -0.309, -0.31, -0.2989, -0.2785, -0.2923, -0.2876, -0.2781, -0.2257, -0.2837, -0.29, -0.3109, -0.2849, -0.2611, -0.2355, -0.2355, -0.2261, -0.2213, -0.1851, -0.1682, -0.1387, -0.1324, -0.1034, -0.0927, -0.0219, -0.0214, -0.0335, 0.0, 0.0667, 0.0733, 0.2226, 0.1762, 0.1361, 0.185, 0.2461, 0.2673, 0.2005, 0.2488, 0.4812, 0.4358, 0.6, 0.6127, 0.5758, 0.566, 0.5807, 0.4907, 0.4798, 0.4554, 0.5733, 0.5803, 0.6433, 0.6433, 0.7712, 0.7419, 0.8211, 0.8141, 0.8141, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2046494023297429645", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-04-21T07:39:31+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Ayar's SuperNova light source already uses $SIVE DFB laser arrays alongside $LITE", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "AMD/GFS CPO announcement underappreciated for SIVE as likely laser supplier via Ayar SuperNova for MI500 2027; LITE also designed in.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The $AMD and $GFS CPO announcement is probably bigger than markets expect for $SIVE.\n\nWith the news, it's likely $SIVE lasers power $AMD's CPO program.\n\nEither through two potential paths: \n\n1. Enosemi (AMD's in-house PIC design post-acquisition). Enosemi's chiplets are fabbed at GF but for the ELS, $AMD could source it from multiple players with $SIVE as the underlying multi-source laser source. \n\n2. Ayar ( $AMD invested in March 2026, Series E). Ayar's SuperNova light source already uses $SIVE DFB laser arrays alongside $LITE.\n\nAyar's SuperNova is the most likely first-gen CPO path for MI500 in 2027 given timelines and the enormous fundraise last month. That path already has $SIVE designed in alongside $LITE and they both appear with $GFS's slide.\n\nEnosemi becomes more relevant for 2028+ generations?\n\nRegardless, $AMD through Enosemi/Ayar needs lasers for their 2027 MI500 rollout...\n\nIt seems likely Sivers ends up powering $AMD's CPO program as the light source since they're designed into Ayar. \n\nThe $AMD / $GFS materiality looks large for Sivers.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "What a crazy timeline?\n\nToday, $AMD announced it's pushing into CPO and collaborating with $GFS. \n\nThis is highly bullish for $SIVE since for CPO/SiPH, it requires external laser light source. \n\nAnd... guess who are the two public laser suppliers in the GlobalFoundries CPO https://t.co/prOl6zPkAA", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.06952875260436087, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06952875260436087, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06293865843799118, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06293865843799118, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006590094166369687, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006590094166369687, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04382735915593372, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04382735915593372, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03370066231786306, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03370066231786306, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010126696838070659, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010126696838070659, "ret_p1w": -0.05442573809097184, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05442573809097184, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06523414788367798, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06523414788367798, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.010808409792706142, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010808409792706142, "ret_p1m": 0.03721983588651678, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03721983588651678, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.015572434889452591, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.015572434889452591, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.052792270775969374, "bench_c_p1m": 0.052792270775969374, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5764, -0.5947, -0.6028, -0.5571, -0.54, -0.5442, -0.5318, -0.4941, -0.4801, -0.4437, -0.3973, -0.3405, -0.3104, -0.3295, -0.314, -0.3028, -0.3276, -0.3276, -0.2826, -0.2899, -0.2405, -0.2021, -0.1938, -0.1776, -0.1357, -0.1911, -0.1625, -0.0641, -0.1703, -0.1865, -0.2224, -0.3327, -0.2345, -0.1971, -0.1971, -0.2639, -0.2562, -0.2534, -0.2239, -0.1626, -0.0774, -0.156, -0.129, -0.0417, -0.0714, -0.177, -0.1603, -0.2176, -0.1603, -0.0864, -0.012, -0.012, -0.0772, -0.0253, 0.0706, 0.0684, 0.0721, 0.0409, 0.019, -0.0154, 0.0649, 0.0683, 0.0695, 0.0, 0.0438, 0.0119, 0.0534, 0.0272, -0.0544, 0.0256, 0.0781, 0.135, 0.1664, 0.1884, 0.1283, 0.0665, 0.0799, 0.2583, 0.1857, 0.2311, 0.197, 0.1598, 0.0574, 0.0635, 0.0372, 0.1524, 0.1314, 0.1314, 0.0883, 0.0781, 0.0283, 0.0216, 0.0216, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2054198288556109906", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-12T13:53:31+00:00", "symbol": "FLNC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Net negative and very material to short term trade ideas. Since it expands the float and it introduces short term selling pressure. I personally cut concentration on the surprising news since it's changes my trade idea with the float structure.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Cut FLNC concentration on share unlock expanding float; near-term selling pressure overhang, still holding some.", "resolved_tickers": ["FLNC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$FLNC 20M share offering if you’re wondering why it’s trading down.\n\nThe 20M share is not dilution, but share unlock + transfer. So change of hands. \n\nThe biggest problem was the clause that made active shelf-registered resale capacity of the 117,666,665 shares, so there’s an unlock of the other remaining ~97m shares to my knowledge. \n\nNet negative and very material to short term trade ideas. Since it expands the float and it introduces short term selling pressure.\n\nThat’s the overhang…\n\nI personally cut concentration on the surprising news since it’s changes my trade idea with the float structure.\n\nBut holding some anyway to see where it heads after hyperscaler deals. \n\nDefinitely not telling people what to do, presenting new material overhang created by company management.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.1856202409838119, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1856202409838119, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.18410300246705447, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.18410300246705447, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0015172385167574465, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0015172385167574465, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03853381900212138, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03853381900212138, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03293897096534115, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03293897096534115, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005594848036780231, "bench_c_p1d": 0.005594848036780231, "ret_p1w": -0.15836469598181346, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.15836469598181346, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15233633941406, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15233633941406, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.006028356567753468, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006028356567753468, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1805, -0.1325, -0.1325, -0.1645, -0.1809, -0.2218, -0.2223, -0.2448, -0.2251, -0.2326, -0.2387, -0.2697, -0.2895, -0.2989, -0.2575, -0.2594, -0.3055, -0.2622, -0.2068, -0.196, -0.2284, -0.2303, -0.2115, -0.2246, -0.2486, -0.2467, -0.289, -0.2782, -0.2411, -0.2317, -0.297, -0.3351, -0.3891, -0.3534, -0.3882, -0.375, -0.375, -0.3797, -0.3773, -0.3835, -0.3628, -0.3524, -0.3586, -0.3045, -0.2852, -0.2961, -0.364, -0.4065, -0.3999, -0.3656, -0.3647, -0.3712, -0.3722, -0.4196, -0.4441, -0.4276, -0.4272, -0.4206, -0.4037, -0.3628, -0.1086, 0.1353, 0.1856, 0.0, 0.0385, -0.016, -0.024, -0.0818, -0.1584, -0.11, -0.0512, 0.0099, 0.0099, 0.0023, -0.0028, 0.0038, -0.1128, -0.1128, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2058644487224848654", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-24T20:21:08+00:00", "symbol": "AEVA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I actually personally liked Aeva for 4D AI first", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long SIVE as core laser supplier across hyperscaler AI DC and physical AI supply chains; long AEVA for 4D lidar in robotics and self-driving.", "resolved_tickers": ["AEVA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Fun fact: Lot of the same companies are often used across different supply chains.\n\nOne likely example is: $SIVE as the upstream laser supplier to Boston Dynamics via: \n\nSivers -> $AEVA FMCW (CW DFB lasers) -> LG Innotek -> Boston Dynamics.\n\nI actually personally liked Aeva for 4D AI first. \n\nJust so happened to find out Sivers was their high confidence laser supplier for 4D FMCW lidar.  \n\nSo you actually get robotics exposure with photonics while the same CW lasers used for hyperscaler AI DCs. \n\nNear term revenue ramp though it's probably $SIVE supplying laser volume ramp for $NVDA self-driving car related architectures though Aeva. \n\nHumanoids are probably later in 2028? \n\nYou can always get more indirect exposure like MU with memory or $INTC with edge CPUs, but of course there's  more direct exposure out there. \n\nThink I've already covered a lot of names in the past like $VPG or Harmonic Drive. But hilariously enough CPO players like $SIVE are a core part of frontier physical AI development.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit Any thoughts re physical AI so far?", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.11097944312048269, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.11097944312048269, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.1043408345294925, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.1043408345294925, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0066386085909901915, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0066386085909901915, "ret_p1w": 0.11295421188082355, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11295421188082355, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09841641132377665, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.09841641132377665, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014537800557046898, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014537800557046898, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4613, -0.4613, -0.4763, -0.4273, -0.4483, -0.4072, -0.4044, -0.4404, -0.4171, -0.3602, -0.34, -0.3957, -0.4013, -0.3859, -0.3811, -0.4234, -0.3993, -0.4427, -0.3926, -0.3894, -0.3973, -0.4392, -0.4959, -0.5411, -0.4803, -0.4787, -0.4775, -0.4775, -0.4988, -0.5043, -0.4862, -0.4846, -0.4727, -0.4629, -0.4423, -0.4103, -0.4171, -0.3788, -0.3764, -0.3472, -0.3555, -0.3882, -0.3614, -0.3649, -0.3835, -0.4179, -0.3685, -0.3491, -0.3788, -0.3981, -0.3456, -0.4605, -0.4641, -0.3867, -0.2461, -0.1998, -0.1615, -0.1914, -0.2318, -0.2496, -0.1663, -0.1513, 0.0, 0.0, 0.111, 0.1568, 0.0205, 0.113, 0.113, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2053270948414099915", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-10T00:28:36+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This was most goated call with AXT as the upstream chokepoint", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long AXT as InP substrate upstream chokepoint; long CPO (co-packaged optics) as next major supercycle.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Did you remember my $AXTI InP substrate bottleneck call last year anon?\n\nIntelliEPI CEO (Q1 2026 ER): \n\n\"The InP substrate shortage is a bottleneck for the entire AI infrastructure\"\n\nDigitimes: \"Taiwan's IntelliEPI warns of severe indium phosphide supply shortage\"\n\nI said as photonics ramps: There was going to be a major InP bottleneck as all the next-gen AI architectures go optical.\n\nThis was most goated call with AXT as the upstream chokepoint.\n\nI'm usually a few months ahead of time, but they play out directionally. \n\nWhile I'm sitting in existing bottlenecks up 1800%+, I'm long CPO as the next major supercycle.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@Yalovenko Thanks, we might not see a InP substrate bottleneck yet, but we’ll likely see it when hyperscaler ASICs (TPU, Trainium, Maia, etc.) ramp up -&gt; supply strains like memory mid-2026.\n\nThat doesn’t quite mean material providers should be valued like $LITE, but the fact that the", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.07511324323681845, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07511324323681845, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07284083324964052, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05816052755838419, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0022724099871779257, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01695271567843426, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02313008575776787, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02313008575776787, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.021615145766315957, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.003001679476900998, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0015149399914519135, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02613176523466887, "ret_p1w": -0.1584134861451988, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1584134861451988, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1575343256019306, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10609784952291867, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0008791605432681981, "bench_c_p1w": -0.052315636622280115, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.787, -0.803, -0.8073, -0.8073, -0.8155, -0.8129, -0.8107, -0.7641, -0.774, -0.7212, -0.6744, -0.705, -0.6988, -0.6318, -0.6681, -0.689, -0.6916, -0.7427, -0.6935, -0.6479, -0.6236, -0.6286, -0.6116, -0.6154, -0.6474, -0.6124, -0.5383, -0.5689, -0.4878, -0.456, -0.4647, -0.5349, -0.5181, -0.5809, -0.5471, -0.6253, -0.58, -0.58, -0.6662, -0.6387, -0.5773, -0.4983, -0.4899, -0.4718, -0.4651, -0.4998, -0.35, -0.3438, -0.374, -0.4041, -0.309, -0.4017, -0.3946, -0.4424, -0.4539, -0.4351, -0.3703, -0.2369, -0.1575, -0.1451, -0.1668, -0.1382, -0.0751, 0.0, -0.0231, -0.0308, -0.0861, -0.0161, -0.1584, -0.1028, -0.1685, -0.0381, 0.1194, 0.1194, 0.054, -0.0242, -0.0804, -0.18, -0.18, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2053270948414099915", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-10T00:28:36+00:00", "symbol": "CPO", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm long CPO as the next major supercycle", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long AXT as InP substrate upstream chokepoint; long CPO (co-packaged optics) as next major supercycle.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR", "LITE", "AAOI", "FN", "POET"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Co-packaged optics sector basket", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Did you remember my $AXTI InP substrate bottleneck call last year anon?\n\nIntelliEPI CEO (Q1 2026 ER): \n\n\"The InP substrate shortage is a bottleneck for the entire AI infrastructure\"\n\nDigitimes: \"Taiwan's IntelliEPI warns of severe indium phosphide supply shortage\"\n\nI said as photonics ramps: There was going to be a major InP bottleneck as all the next-gen AI architectures go optical.\n\nThis was most goated call with AXT as the upstream chokepoint.\n\nI'm usually a few months ahead of time, but they play out directionally. \n\nWhile I'm sitting in existing bottlenecks up 1800%+, I'm long CPO as the next major supercycle.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@Yalovenko Thanks, we might not see a InP substrate bottleneck yet, but we’ll likely see it when hyperscaler ASICs (TPU, Trainium, Maia, etc.) ramp up -&gt; supply strains like memory mid-2026.\n\nThat doesn’t quite mean material providers should be valued like $LITE, but the fact that the", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.14179737941104745, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.14179737941104745, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.13952496942386952, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.13952496942386952, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0022724099871779257, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0022724099871779257, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.017947826823694068, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.017947826823694068, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016432886832242154, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016432886832242154, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0015149399914519135, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0015149399914519135, "ret_p1w": -0.0333175640847597, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0333175640847597, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0324384035414915, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0324384035414915, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0008791605432681981, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0008791605432681981, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4936, -0.5042, -0.4977, -0.4977, -0.4902, -0.4862, -0.4676, -0.4365, -0.4254, -0.4059, -0.3775, -0.4186, -0.385, -0.3045, -0.3455, -0.346, -0.3701, -0.4253, -0.3671, -0.3368, -0.3341, -0.3761, -0.3963, -0.3919, -0.4053, -0.3882, -0.3418, -0.3964, -0.3682, -0.3134, -0.3091, -0.3874, -0.3874, -0.4432, -0.4035, -0.3855, -0.3349, -0.3349, -0.3455, -0.326, -0.2605, -0.2585, -0.1995, -0.1892, -0.2082, -0.2155, -0.1751, -0.1591, -0.131, -0.1355, -0.0916, -0.1314, -0.0411, -0.1844, -0.2292, -0.218, -0.1695, -0.1248, -0.1304, -0.1031, -0.097, -0.1613, -0.1418, 0.0, -0.0179, 0.0708, 0.1496, 0.0438, -0.0333, -0.0626, -0.051, 0.0033, 0.0017, 0.0017, -0.0323, -0.0313, -0.0587, -0.0976, -0.0976, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2041620405639856627", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-07T20:53:30+00:00", "symbol": "AEHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "if they state mass order ramp for 2027 in their earnings call, it's going to get priced in now", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AEHR: mass-order ramp announcement in earnings call will be priced in immediately, justifying current valuation above near-term revenue.", "resolved_tickers": ["AEHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If $AEHR lands a major optical company like $LITE or $COHR. \n\nIt’s not going to show up in current financial numbers because these are small qualification orders before mass volume ramp. \n\nThis is misunderstanding how qualification cycles work. Markets are forward looking so if they state mass order ramp for 2027 in their earnings call, it’s going to get priced in now.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $1 billion+ Market Cap for a company who “Reiterated expectations for $25 million to $30 million in revenue for the second half of the year”\n\n🧐🤔🤨\n\nI’m all for investing ahead of financial catalysts but sheeeshhhh", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "straightcash385", "ret_m1d": 0.038009947212181316, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.038009947212181316, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.038449827738000986, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.047812355239151505, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0004398805258196692, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009802408026970189, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.25691541984899713, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.25691541984899713, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.23144586521066945, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.19935097903230425, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.025469554638327674, "bench_c_p1d": 0.057564440816692874, "ret_p1w": 0.4801989503167754, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.4801989503167754, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.4267417541824652, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.34991636242305835, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.053457196134310214, "bench_c_p1w": 0.13028258789371705, "ret_p1m": 0.9249751911827582, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.9249751911827582, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.8117959039910496, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5502314598589402, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.11317928719170856, "bench_c_p1m": 0.374743731323818, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5483, -0.4762, -0.4756, -0.4665, -0.4832, -0.472, -0.4267, -0.4267, -0.4217, -0.4189, -0.3849, -0.442, -0.4671, -0.4478, -0.4432, -0.4651, -0.4898, -0.4814, -0.4589, -0.5258, -0.5423, -0.4748, -0.4509, -0.4661, -0.3264, -0.445, -0.4261, -0.4261, -0.433, -0.4227, -0.3976, -0.3313, -0.317, -0.2193, -0.1745, -0.208, -0.2551, -0.1238, -0.1713, -0.151, -0.1942, -0.2913, -0.1865, -0.165, -0.1552, -0.2507, -0.2901, -0.2541, -0.2619, -0.2774, -0.2486, -0.313, -0.2607, -0.2201, -0.2233, -0.312, -0.3528, -0.4006, -0.2621, -0.2119, -0.118, -0.118, 0.038, 0.0, 0.2569, 0.3703, 0.4016, 0.4261, 0.4802, 0.4571, 0.609, 0.6689, 0.794, 0.8651, 0.9375, 0.9007, 0.9087, 0.7608, 0.6404, 0.6281, 0.8022, 0.8521, 0.7037, 0.8147, 0.925, 0.8161, 0.9349, 1.0808, 0.9248, 1.0547, 1.1162, 0.9801, 0.6631, 0.6147, 0.6386, 0.8169, 0.8909, 0.8909, 1.1875, 1.0661, 0.9899, 0.8374, 0.8374, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2038163974437659019", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-29T07:58:53+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$IREN looks like the $AMC of datacenters with a dwindling moat, and looming $6B in shares sold into the open market … There are better longs out there than $IREN", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish IREN: $6B ATM structurally wipes out retail equity; excessive dilution at any price, dwindling moat — avoid.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$IREN filed to dilute $6,000,000,000 at a $11.7B MC.\n\nThat is not noise.\n\nThis is Iren's way to monetize their 4.5GW capacity by selling all those new shares onto the open market. \n\nIf you want some history on how this turns out:\n\nLook at $BKKT that crashed 99% with Mike and $IREN board of directors history with excessive ATMs. Or his recent company $ASST.\n\nIt’s accretive to the company and executives: Because it wipes out all retail shareholders and they can always issue SBC. \n\nSo they don’t actually care what stock price it needs to be at to sell.\n\nAfter they’re finished, they have $6B in new cash to use for scaling without paying interest.\n\nBut the reason why convertible notes with interest, and $NVDA funding balance sheets is much better for retail capital:\n\nIs because it doesn’t wipe out retail equity to achieve this. Because at this point $IREN looks like the $AMC of datacenters with a dwindling moat, and looming $6B in shares sold into the open market.\n\nReason I post about $IREN is because\n\n- people dismiss a $6B ATM as “Noise”\n- it’s one of the most popular retail “buy the dip” companies that they’re buying into a $6B dilution machine\n- people still don’t understand the risk at all.\n- the amount they have now is not enough to finance GPUs/GW capacity monetization.\n- they likely will have to use the ATM, it’s not “optionality”\n\nAgain: I have zero positions in the company.\n\nI’m just warning retail investors that this ATM structurally wipes out your equity appreciation by how structural mechanics of $6B+ ATMs work. \n\nBecause $IREN likely needs to sell new shares at any price to monetize their GW, otherwise there would be zero need to file it.\n\nExecutives actually don't need to care because they can make up for stock price dropping by issuing SBC like $SNAP.\n\nIf you have to wonder if your equity gets wiped out from an excessive ATM:\n\nThere are better longs out there than $IREN.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit @Kaizen_Investor I feel like you are way too much focused on the dilution. If they excecute their GW pipeline properly the dilution is just noise. Demand for available GW is so massive and i do think most data centers will have massive delays and also though time to get financed. So imo $iren ☝️", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.10974064583353815, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10974064583353815, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.10638596720856341, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1211136654803332, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011373019646795046, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08412390479012921, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08412390479012921, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0550559790912144, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06323891081192379, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "bench_c_p1d": 0.020884993978205424, "ret_p1w": 0.11100569689190842, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.11100569689190842, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.06834540728564642, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.07957475316610729, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03143094372580113, "ret_p1m": 0.40543951445974713, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.40543951445974713, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2792942299779777, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.33327247931247106, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07216703514727607, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1945, 0.1945, 0.3504, 0.5256, 0.4519, 0.3797, 0.4447, 0.4557, 0.5917, 0.6758, 0.6724, 0.641, 0.8286, 0.8286, 0.716, 0.6913, 0.6528, 0.7925, 0.6559, 0.8972, 0.9905, 0.8925, 0.6996, 0.6787, 0.7201, 0.4213, 0.2584, 0.3229, 0.4595, 0.3577, 0.3495, 0.266, 0.3352, 0.3352, 0.2957, 0.3308, 0.3691, 0.2644, 0.3397, 0.4374, 0.3925, 0.3991, 0.2951, 0.309, 0.2287, 0.3865, 0.269, 0.1607, 0.2283, 0.2056, 0.3276, 0.3083, 0.315, 0.4213, 0.3586, 0.3349, 0.3175, 0.3058, 0.3333, 0.3004, 0.3102, 0.1844, 0.1097, 0.0, 0.0841, 0.0781, 0.0996, 0.0996, 0.111, 0.1303, 0.1648, 0.172, 0.2435, 0.3621, 0.4981, 0.544, 0.5085, 0.5218, 0.5408, 0.4285, 0.5304, 0.6452, 0.6015, 0.5294, 0.4054, 0.3555, 0.4393, 0.444, 0.5648, 0.7312, 0.9285, 0.7979, 0.9355, 0.7441, 0.7887, 0.7448, 0.8469, 0.6743, 0.5958, 0.5098, 0.667, 0.8362, 0.7973, 0.7973, 0.8906, 1.1455, 1.0256, 1.0095, 1.0095, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2049761085872570864", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-30T08:01:40+00:00", "symbol": "MRVL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$MRVL is likely buying lasers direct from $SIVE now instead of through Poet", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish SIVE: Celestial AI's Marvell deal means MRVL buys lasers directly from Sivers, bypassing POET; vertically integrating for higher margins.", "resolved_tickers": ["MRVL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Great find. Basically from old investor deck + fundraising amounts: \n\nLooks like Celestial has been direct customers of $SIVE.\n\nSo: $MRVL is likely buying lasers direct from $SIVE now instead of through Poet (which bought Sivers lasers to package them).\n\nSince Celestial is designed around Sivers lasers originally. \n\nMarvell probably prepared to vertically integrate away packaging IP +\nassembly for higher margins anyway.\n\nGoing direct to $MRVL is very bullish for $SIVE.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Just remembered something that we dug up a couple of years ago, and it solidifies our firm belief that Sivers ( $SIVE / $SIVEF ) already has a direct connection to Celestial AI. 🚨\n\nWhile retail algos panic-sold the Marvell/POET cancellation thinking the bridge was burned, smart https://t.co/ozSvoxdhHX", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0519526908226442, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0519526908226442, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04210108322063899, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04210108322063899, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009851607602005208, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009851607602005208, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0012110018506421572, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0012110018506421572, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00398011567901313, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00398011567901313, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027691138283709726, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0027691138283709726, "ret_p1w": -0.031123218768449812, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.031123218768449812, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04910118390929408, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04910118390929408, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017977965140844265, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017977965140844265, "ret_p1m": 0.2412958375795855, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2412958375795855, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.18867010533136308, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.18867010533136308, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05262573224822242, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05262573224822242, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5239, -0.5428, -0.5538, -0.5509, -0.5141, -0.5016, -0.5037, -0.5077, -0.5265, -0.5242, -0.5242, -0.5218, -0.5213, -0.5182, -0.519, -0.5292, -0.5256, -0.5103, -0.5201, -0.5056, -0.5106, -0.5309, -0.5274, -0.542, -0.4579, -0.4393, -0.4353, -0.4527, -0.4694, -0.4683, -0.4458, -0.4505, -0.4697, -0.4582, -0.468, -0.4543, -0.441, -0.4042, -0.4088, -0.4258, -0.4686, -0.4005, -0.3542, -0.3518, -0.3518, -0.3372, -0.338, -0.3073, -0.2742, -0.222, -0.205, -0.1896, -0.185, -0.1924, -0.1542, -0.1048, -0.0838, -0.0474, 0.0025, -0.0051, -0.042, -0.0722, -0.052, 0.0, -0.0012, -0.009, 0.0218, 0.0424, -0.0311, 0.0302, 0.0345, -0.0039, 0.0775, 0.1055, 0.0711, 0.0229, 0.0673, 0.1311, 0.1546, 0.1888, 0.1888, 0.261, 0.2031, 0.2403, 0.2413, 0.2413, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2049920512105816146", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-30T18:35:10+00:00", "symbol": "YSS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$YSS is very compelling since I expect defense budgets to keep expanding into space", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish YSS on expected expansion of defense budgets into space.", "resolved_tickers": ["YSS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@LNMDad Don’t have open positions but $YSS is very compelling since I expect defense budgets to keep expanding into space", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Serenity, any thoughts on $YSS. Owned it a few weeks back and was just thinking it looked interesting again and now a big pop today on this news", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "LNMDad", "ret_m1d": -0.11821471937068995, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11821471937068995, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.10836311176868474, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0915793137887072, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009851607602005208, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02663540558198274, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03588662664455611, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03588662664455611, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03865574047292708, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02660724126137115, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027691138283709726, "bench_c_p1d": -0.009279385383184957, "ret_p1w": 0.006634536239911837, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.006634536239911837, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.011343428900932429, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.009956805829620996, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017977965140844265, "bench_c_p1w": -0.003322269589709159, "ret_p1m": -0.015681557905804833, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.015681557905804833, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06830729015402726, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.007375927632955026, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05262573224822242, "bench_c_p1m": -0.008305630272849807, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1188, -0.2002, -0.2491, -0.3025, -0.2328, -0.2096, -0.1728, -0.174, -0.2627, -0.2174, -0.2174, -0.1556, -0.1568, -0.1384, -0.2186, -0.1797, -0.1571, -0.2021, -0.2108, -0.228, -0.2159, -0.2684, -0.301, -0.3127, -0.3546, -0.3471, -0.3378, -0.3613, -0.3975, -0.4026, -0.4023, -0.4367, -0.4511, -0.4668, -0.3646, -0.3004, -0.3549, -0.3218, -0.361, -0.3468, -0.3655, -0.3314, -0.2883, -0.1547, -0.1547, -0.1526, -0.1689, -0.1571, 0.0859, 0.0048, 0.0214, 0.0392, 0.1966, 0.1553, 0.0772, 0.1601, 0.247, 0.3103, 0.0769, -0.0633, -0.0175, -0.0371, -0.1182, 0.0, -0.0359, -0.0332, -0.0136, 0.1119, 0.0066, 0.0492, 0.082, -0.0359, -0.1484, -0.1273, -0.2756, -0.218, -0.2256, -0.2204, -0.142, -0.1245, -0.1245, 0.0006, 0.0588, -0.0353, -0.0157, -0.0157, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2060685584365150508", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-30T11:31:43+00:00", "symbol": "6451.TW", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Shunsin (6451). Lot of these exponentially scaling volume shipments won't show up in balance sheet yet, but will likely soon H2. This is called frontrunning the next supercycle.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long Shunsin (6451.TW) as Foxconn's advanced optical subsidiary set to ramp CPO switches to 10K units in 2026 with explosive growth; H2 upside not yet in balance sheet.", "resolved_tickers": ["6451.TW"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TW')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Per Foxconn shareholder meeting:\n\nCPO switch products expected to begin Q3. 10K units 2026, explosive grow to next year.\n\nAims/expected to be #1 globally. \n\nAnyone remember which Foxconn subsidiary handles their advanced optical work?\n\ncough.. cough.. Shunsin (6451).\n\nLot of these exponentially scaling volume shipments won’t show up in balance sheet yet, but will likely soon H2.\n\nThis is called frontrunning the next supercycle.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.07014681892332786, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07014681892332786, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07014681892332786, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07014681892332786, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": null, "ret_signed_p1d": null, "alpha_spy_p1d": null, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": null, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6949, -0.6819, -0.69, -0.721, -0.7186, -0.6909, -0.6803, -0.6485, -0.6134, -0.575, -0.5449, -0.5563, -0.5522, -0.5424, -0.5269, -0.4796, -0.4584, -0.4046, -0.4641, -0.5171, -0.5024, -0.5179, -0.5179, -0.5179, -0.4698, -0.4168, -0.3589, -0.2953, -0.2251, -0.2235, -0.2561, -0.1941, -0.1762, -0.1729, -0.2268, -0.1909, -0.2716, -0.3442, -0.3809, -0.3393, -0.3515, -0.2969, -0.2969, -0.2268, -0.1501, -0.221, -0.2007, -0.2806, -0.2569, -0.2553, -0.2202, -0.1436, -0.0587, -0.1517, -0.2104, -0.208, -0.186, -0.1452, -0.0604, 0.031, -0.0179, -0.0718, -0.0701, 0.0, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2053980270135738816", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-11T23:27:12+00:00", "symbol": "FLNC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have positions after $FLNC earnings announced 2 new hyperscaler deals. But I do think $FLNC Is compelling since hyperscalers from $GOOGL to $AMZN don't sign small deals in general.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Holds a long position in FLNC post-earnings, sees 2 new hyperscaler deals as compelling given hyperscalers rarely sign small contracts.", "resolved_tickers": ["FLNC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Not sure why people ask these types of questions across every single stock from $AAOI to $LPK under every post? \n\nI've already said multiple times, I have positions after $FLNC earnings announced 2 new hyperscaler deals.\n\nBut I do think $FLNC Is compelling since hyperscalers from $GOOGL to $AMZN don't sign small deals in general. \n\nEspecially when you look at $MSFT contract with $NBIS a lot of it is a major surprise.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Are you long on this?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MakeVenezuelaGA", "ret_m1d": -0.0424098182416921, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0424098182416921, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04013740825451417, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04013740825451417, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0022724099871779257, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0022724099871779257, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.15655960869037344, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.15655960869037344, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.15504466869892153, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.15504466869892153, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0015149399914519135, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0015149399914519135, "ret_p1w": -0.22552511811122433, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.22552511811122433, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.22464595756795613, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.22464595756795613, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0008791605432681981, "bench_c_p1w": -0.0008791605432681981, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3056, -0.3088, -0.2683, -0.2683, -0.2953, -0.3092, -0.3436, -0.344, -0.3631, -0.3464, -0.3528, -0.3579, -0.3841, -0.4007, -0.4086, -0.3738, -0.3753, -0.4142, -0.3777, -0.331, -0.3218, -0.3492, -0.3508, -0.3349, -0.346, -0.3662, -0.3646, -0.4003, -0.3912, -0.3599, -0.352, -0.4071, -0.4392, -0.4847, -0.4546, -0.4839, -0.4728, -0.4728, -0.4768, -0.4748, -0.48, -0.4625, -0.4538, -0.459, -0.4134, -0.3971, -0.4063, -0.4635, -0.4994, -0.4939, -0.4649, -0.4641, -0.4697, -0.4705, -0.5105, -0.5311, -0.5172, -0.5168, -0.5113, -0.497, -0.4625, -0.2481, -0.0424, 0.0, -0.1566, -0.1241, -0.17, -0.1768, -0.2255, -0.2901, -0.2493, -0.1998, -0.1482, -0.1482, -0.1546, -0.1589, -0.1534, -0.2517, -0.2517, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2042688553780687251", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-10T19:37:57+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I think it's actually bullish given the nuance of Win Semi's history", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish NVDA on expected Win Semi stake acquisition; believes market will misread as bearish but it's actually positive.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Sim_Wizard My guess was $NVDA buying Win Semi stake given their recent history in photonics + size.\n\nAlgos/people might mistake this as bearish and sell, but I think it's actually bullish given the nuance of Win Semi's history.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Nvidia stake incoming? Bullish", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Sim_Wizard", "ret_m1d": -0.025022536704250475, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.025022536704250475, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.02568475546227056, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.02568475546227056, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0006622187580200833, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0006622187580200833, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0036049019677633076, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0036049019677633076, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006167495816588486, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.006167495816588486, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009772397784351794, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009772397784351794, "ret_p1w": 0.06918299027281538, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06918299027281538, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.024029498259099835, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.024029498259099835, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.045153492013715546, "bench_c_p1w": 0.045153492013715546, "ret_p1m": 0.16333561342870473, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.16333561342870473, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07526572868908321, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07526572868908321, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08806988473962152, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08806988473962152, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.015, -0.0292, -0.0084, -0.0128, -0.0128, -0.056, -0.0282, -0.0201, -0.0051, -0.0115, -0.0006, 0.0153, 0.0205, 0.0132, -0.0161, -0.044, -0.0766, -0.0888, -0.0171, 0.0074, -0.0005, 0.0075, -0.009, -0.0309, -0.0309, -0.0195, -0.0035, -0.0039, 0.0063, 0.0154, 0.0223, 0.0367, -0.0199, -0.0607, -0.0327, -0.0455, -0.0297, -0.0281, -0.0574, -0.0318, -0.0205, -0.0138, -0.0291, -0.0444, -0.0287, -0.0355, -0.0436, -0.0534, -0.0845, -0.0689, -0.0712, -0.0527, -0.0922, -0.1119, -0.1244, -0.0754, -0.0683, -0.0596, -0.0596, -0.0583, -0.0558, -0.0347, -0.025, 0.0, 0.0036, 0.0418, 0.0543, 0.0515, 0.0692, 0.0712, 0.0596, 0.0735, 0.0584, 0.1041, 0.1483, 0.1301, 0.1093, 0.058, 0.0521, 0.0522, 0.0417, 0.1018, 0.1212, 0.1409, 0.1633, 0.1704, 0.1972, 0.2497, 0.1945, 0.1786, 0.1695, 0.1847, 0.1637, 0.1415, 0.1415, 0.1391, 0.1271, 0.1358, 0.1193, 0.1193, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2049951607945838625", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-30T20:38:44+00:00", "symbol": "RDDT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I expect $RDDT to outperform broader market after these earnings. they just keep printing FCF and growing at fast rates, and raw net income usually drowns out the false narratives", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long RDDT post-earnings; FCF growth and net income will outperform broader market despite AI-disruption narrative.", "resolved_tickers": ["RDDT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ruth_capital Yeah I expect $RDDT to outperform broader market after these earnings. Algorithms bundle Reddit up with software names disrupted by AI.\n\nBut they just keep printing FCF and growing at fast rates, and raw net income usually drowns out the false narratives.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit 2X from here very doable and realistic to say the least", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ruth_capital", "ret_m1d": 0.003531918002791068, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.003531918002791068, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.013383525604796276, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.014003132476520297, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009851607602005208, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010471214473729229, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.13074781334384933, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.13074781334384933, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.12797869951547836, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.1289454008417268, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027691138283709726, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0018024125021225412, "ret_p1w": 0.1135638233097882, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1135638233097882, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09558585816894394, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10609669515567277, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017977965140844265, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007467128154115432, "ret_p1m": 0.19540857914376453, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.19540857914376453, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1427828468955421, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.20244659888275163, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05262573224822242, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0070380197389871, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2032, 0.1235, 0.0371, 0.0259, -0.0503, -0.0373, 0.0187, -0.0539, -0.1098, -0.0515, -0.0515, -0.0543, 0.0016, -0.0075, 0.02, -0.0324, -0.035, 0.0166, 0.0273, -0.0096, -0.0008, -0.0105, 0.0004, -0.0196, -0.0532, -0.0568, -0.089, -0.0687, -0.1017, -0.101, -0.0491, -0.0197, -0.0302, -0.0619, -0.0501, -0.0426, -0.0755, -0.0516, -0.1356, -0.1725, -0.1569, -0.0854, -0.0751, -0.0763, -0.0763, -0.0604, -0.0414, -0.0151, -0.0601, -0.0509, 0.0144, 0.0497, 0.0764, 0.1034, 0.1125, 0.1294, 0.0651, 0.116, 0.0389, 0.052, 0.0882, 0.0048, 0.0035, 0.0, 0.1307, 0.1483, 0.1657, 0.1313, 0.1136, 0.0582, 0.0834, 0.0348, 0.0468, 0.0617, 0.0743, 0.0807, 0.052, -0.0035, 0.0191, -0.0378, -0.0378, -0.0176, 0.0473, 0.139, 0.1954, 0.1954, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2039252805240885563", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-01T08:05:30+00:00", "symbol": "POET", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NVDA handing $2B to $MRVL does make me a bit more bullish on the celestial ecosystem like $POET and $SIVE", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "More bullish on POET and SIVE as beneficiaries of NVDA's $2B Marvell spend boosting the celestial ecosystem.", "resolved_tickers": ["POET"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@B38B37 @PhotonCap $NVDA handing $2B to $MRVL does make me a bit more bullish on the celestial ecosystem like $POET and $SIVE.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit @PhotonCap \"liked\" as in it have changed and you are now more bullish on $POET than before ? 😜", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "B38B37", "ret_m1d": 0.06071431399608196, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06071431399608196, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06819243415348197, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08257825077065495, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0074781201574000145, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02186393677457299, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09107147099412294, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09107147099412294, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09017099656603178, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09017852994652853, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009004744280911581, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0008929410475944088, "ret_p1w": 0.11071426716386035, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11071426716386035, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07901592786710787, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.031754111767670956, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.031698339296752476, "bench_c_p1w": 0.07896015539618939, "ret_p1m": 0.27142857264499276, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.27142857264499276, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.17463963446148645, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02132342276954602, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09678893818350631, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2927519954145388, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2786, 0.3268, 0.3125, 0.3304, 0.3, 0.3196, 0.2875, 0.275, 0.4446, 0.4839, 0.4821, 0.4821, 0.4714, 0.4946, 0.2393, 0.2339, 0.1536, 0.2125, 0.1107, 0.0625, 0.0357, 0.0429, 0.0786, 0.0018, -0.075, 0.0482, 0.1089, 0.0429, 0.0411, 0.0089, -0.0036, -0.0036, -0.0143, -0.0036, -0.0054, 0.0161, -0.0143, 0.0911, 0.1357, 0.1143, 0.0714, 0.2339, 0.2571, 0.2214, 0.1857, 0.1214, 0.1946, 0.25, 0.3286, 0.3286, 0.2196, 0.2339, 0.1732, 0.1036, 0.1125, 0.0589, 0.0821, 0.025, 0.0893, -0.0196, -0.0732, -0.0929, 0.0607, 0.0, 0.0911, 0.0911, 0.0857, 0.0643, 0.1107, 0.0857, 0.2571, 0.3036, 0.1982, 0.2446, 0.3107, 0.2964, 0.5339, 0.8304, 1.2804, 1.0929, 1.6964, 0.4196, 0.4339, 0.1786, 0.2714, 0.3054, 0.2696, 0.6446, 0.7357, 0.7107, 0.9554, 1.4821, 1.4518, 1.5661, 2.6732, 1.8518, 1.5375, 1.3339, 1.6393, 1.6464, 1.6054, 1.6054, 1.3839, 1.3714, 1.3679, 1.1946, 1.1946, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2050835734626730011", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-03T07:11:56+00:00", "symbol": "GFS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm long on them both", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long both Sivers Semiconductors and GlobalFoundries on fabless scalability via Win Semi and GFS partnerships.", "resolved_tickers": ["GFS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Leon8995385220 $SIVE likely locked up allocation agreements with Win Semi to scale. And works with $GFS. \n\nWhich is why I'm long on them both, easy to scale as fabless, kinda like $NVDA + $TSM.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What about Sivers' production capacity? Isn't that also pretty quickly exhausted given the company's current size?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Leon8995385220", "ret_m1d": -0.04191876513491699, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04191876513491699, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04559561449987115, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.047897570415621815, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00367684936495416, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005978805280704824, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09284134192660276, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09284134192660276, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0848191560416105, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.06146741262966193, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008022185884992261, "bench_c_p1d": 0.03137392929694083, "ret_p1w": 0.10686343710360924, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10686343710360924, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0772120704962087, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03031367341850877, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02965136660740053, "bench_c_p1w": 0.137177110522118, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3934, -0.3953, -0.3666, -0.3576, -0.3815, -0.2806, -0.2812, -0.2769, -0.2769, -0.2883, -0.3129, -0.3293, -0.3182, -0.3187, -0.2971, -0.2788, -0.3075, -0.2982, -0.2639, -0.303, -0.2979, -0.2866, -0.308, -0.3007, -0.3117, -0.3492, -0.3861, -0.3821, -0.3539, -0.3616, -0.3731, -0.36, -0.3641, -0.3511, -0.3199, -0.3101, -0.3421, -0.3662, -0.3892, -0.3435, -0.347, -0.3542, -0.3542, -0.3563, -0.3516, -0.2945, -0.2812, -0.2778, -0.2763, -0.2855, -0.2869, -0.2562, -0.1919, -0.1327, -0.1255, -0.1086, -0.0917, -0.088, -0.1092, -0.1219, -0.0739, -0.0465, -0.0419, 0.0, 0.0928, 0.0672, 0.0469, 0.094, 0.1069, 0.0649, 0.1069, 0.0899, 0.0484, 0.0013, -0.0158, 0.0449, 0.2007, 0.2641, 0.2641, 0.3278, 0.1972, 0.1901, 0.1804, 0.1804, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2050792105166225884", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-03T04:18:34+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Anything CPO is EXTREMELY early. All the optical companies from the pluggable supercycles like $LITE are now in the tens of billions.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "CPO is extremely early; optical names like LITE, SIVE, and MSSCorps still have massive upside as CPO will dwarf projections.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MontagueCap Anything CPO is EXTREMELY early. All the optical companies from the pluggable supercycles like $LITE are now in the tens of billions.\n\nCPO will dwarf a ton of projections, and companies like $SIVE, MSSCorps are still in the $1B range.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Are all those photonics still a buy at these levels or too late now?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MontagueCap", "ret_m1d": -0.026890532685521218, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.026890532685521218, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.030567382050475378, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.030567382050475378, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00367684936495416, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00367684936495416, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01882849988804991, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01882849988804991, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010806314003057649, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.010806314003057649, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008022185884992261, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008022185884992261, "ret_p1w": 0.07878667225468883, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07878667225468883, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.049135305647288297, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.049135305647288297, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02965136660740053, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02965136660740053, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5231, -0.4833, -0.4345, -0.4088, -0.4252, -0.4119, -0.4023, -0.4235, -0.4235, -0.3849, -0.3912, -0.3488, -0.3159, -0.3088, -0.2949, -0.259, -0.3065, -0.282, -0.1976, -0.2886, -0.3026, -0.3333, -0.4279, -0.3437, -0.3116, -0.3116, -0.3689, -0.3623, -0.3599, -0.3346, -0.2821, -0.209, -0.2764, -0.2533, -0.1784, -0.2039, -0.2944, -0.2801, -0.3292, -0.2801, -0.2167, -0.1529, -0.1529, -0.2089, -0.1643, -0.0821, -0.0841, -0.0808, -0.1076, -0.1264, -0.1559, -0.087, -0.0841, -0.083, -0.1427, -0.1051, -0.1324, -0.0968, -0.1193, -0.1893, -0.1207, -0.0757, -0.0269, 0.0, 0.0188, -0.0327, -0.0856, -0.0741, 0.0788, 0.0166, 0.0555, 0.0263, -0.0056, -0.0934, -0.0882, -0.1107, -0.012, -0.03, -0.03, -0.067, -0.0757, -0.1184, -0.1242, -0.1242, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2050792105166225884", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-05-03T04:18:34+00:00", "symbol": "MSSCorps", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "companies like $SIVE, MSSCorps are still in the $1B range", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "CPO is extremely early; optical names like LITE, SIVE, and MSSCorps still have massive upside as CPO will dwarf projections.", "resolved_tickers": ["6830.TW"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "MSSCorps is MSSCorp 6830.TW per tweet context", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MontagueCap Anything CPO is EXTREMELY early. All the optical companies from the pluggable supercycles like $LITE are now in the tens of billions.\n\nCPO will dwarf a ton of projections, and companies like $SIVE, MSSCorps are still in the $1B range.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Are all those photonics still a buy at these levels or too late now?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MontagueCap", "ret_m1d": -0.08108108108108103, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08108108108108103, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08475793044603519, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08705988636178585, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00367684936495416, "bench_c_m1d": 0.005978805280704824, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.054054054054053946, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.054054054054053946, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.046031868169061685, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.022680124757113118, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.008022185884992261, "bench_c_p1d": 0.03137392929694083, "ret_p1w": -0.18486486486486486, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.18486486486486486, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.2145162314722654, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.32204197538698287, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02965136660740053, "bench_c_p1w": 0.137177110522118, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7766, -0.7544, -0.7787, -0.7566, -0.7604, -0.7641, -0.7641, -0.7641, -0.7641, -0.7641, -0.7641, -0.7641, -0.7641, -0.7555, -0.7453, -0.7199, -0.6924, -0.6924, -0.6616, -0.6648, -0.6449, -0.6098, -0.5709, -0.5828, -0.593, -0.5758, -0.5812, -0.6227, -0.6168, -0.599, -0.585, -0.5477, -0.5142, -0.5078, -0.5569, -0.5348, -0.4883, -0.531, -0.5121, -0.4954, -0.4452, -0.3901, -0.3901, -0.3901, -0.3502, -0.2854, -0.2995, -0.2432, -0.1676, -0.1351, -0.1427, -0.1297, -0.0432, -0.0638, -0.053, -0.0378, -0.1319, -0.2184, -0.2962, -0.2259, -0.1643, -0.0811, -0.0811, 0.0, 0.0541, -0.0508, -0.0551, -0.1492, -0.1849, -0.1568, -0.1935, -0.2141, -0.2054, -0.2032, -0.2303, -0.2605, -0.2508, -0.2259, -0.1492, -0.1589, -0.2216, -0.2584, -0.267, -0.2659, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2058625256911475161", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-24T19:04:43+00:00", "symbol": "Foci", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Foci (fau/optical components) ... personally my favorites right now for CPO related stuff. Since they all basically go from 0 to 100 full steam ahead in the next 2 years.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Author's top CPO picks: SIVE, Foci, Shunsin, MSSCorp — all expected to surge in the next 2 years.", "resolved_tickers": ["3363.TWO"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Foci Taiwan CPO; retrying .TWO for Taipei OTC listing", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TWO')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SIVE (laser), Foci (fau/optical components), Shunsin (packaging/test), MSSCorp (yields) are personally my favorites right now for CPO related stuff. \n\nSince they all basically go from 0 to 100 full steam ahead in the next 2 years.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Can one enter AXTI or SOI now, Serenity? What do you suggest for small retailers: go full port on SIVE, or diversify across 3 to 4 of your picks?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "vas_203", "ret_m1d": 0.007092198581560183, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007092198581560183, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007092198581560183, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007092198581560183, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.046099290780141855, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.046099290780141855, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.039460682189151663, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00863019344314564, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0066386085909901915, "bench_c_p1d": 0.054729484223287495, "ret_p1w": -0.03900709219858156, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03900709219858156, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05354489275562846, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10034540969170302, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014537800557046898, "bench_c_p1w": 0.061338317493121464, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2967, -0.2884, -0.2884, -0.2577, -0.266, -0.3392, -0.2754, -0.3002, -0.37, -0.3262, -0.2825, -0.3085, -0.2624, -0.2553, -0.279, -0.2518, -0.2104, -0.1324, -0.2187, -0.2139, -0.1986, -0.2447, -0.2411, -0.2778, -0.3499, -0.2849, -0.2908, -0.2908, -0.2908, -0.2199, -0.1489, -0.0981, -0.0733, -0.117, -0.1158, -0.0284, -0.0189, 0.0626, 0.1678, 0.1702, 0.13, 0.0768, -0.0296, -0.1265, -0.1194, -0.1087, -0.091, -0.091, -0.0095, 0.0307, -0.0366, -0.0366, -0.0426, 0.0083, 0.0875, 0.0083, 0.0662, -0.0059, -0.0496, -0.0839, -0.0816, -0.0331, 0.0071, 0.0, 0.0461, 0.0012, -0.0366, -0.0579, -0.039, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2058625256911475161", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-05-24T19:04:43+00:00", "symbol": "Shunsin", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Shunsin (packaging/test) ... personally my favorites right now for CPO related stuff. Since they all basically go from 0 to 100 full steam ahead in the next 2 years.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Author's top CPO picks: SIVE, Foci, Shunsin, MSSCorp — all expected to surge in the next 2 years.", "resolved_tickers": ["6451.TW"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Shunsin Technology listed on TWSE as 6451.TW", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TW')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SIVE (laser), Foci (fau/optical components), Shunsin (packaging/test), MSSCorp (yields) are personally my favorites right now for CPO related stuff. \n\nSince they all basically go from 0 to 100 full steam ahead in the next 2 years.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Can one enter AXTI or SOI now, Serenity? What do you suggest for small retailers: go full port on SIVE, or diversify across 3 to 4 of your picks?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "vas_203", "ret_m1d": -0.09027777777777779, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09027777777777779, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09027777777777779, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09027777777777779, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09722222222222232, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09722222222222232, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09058361363123213, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.042492737998934826, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0066386085909901915, "bench_c_p1d": 0.054729484223287495, "ret_p1w": 0.06423611111111116, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06423611111111116, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04969831055406426, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.002897793617989697, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014537800557046898, "bench_c_p1w": 0.061338317493121464, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6337, -0.6372, -0.6372, -0.645, -0.6398, -0.6753, -0.6615, -0.6701, -0.7031, -0.7005, -0.671, -0.6597, -0.6259, -0.5885, -0.5477, -0.5156, -0.5278, -0.5234, -0.513, -0.4965, -0.4462, -0.4236, -0.3663, -0.4297, -0.4861, -0.4705, -0.487, -0.487, -0.487, -0.4358, -0.3793, -0.3177, -0.25, -0.1753, -0.1736, -0.2083, -0.1424, -0.1233, -0.1198, -0.1771, -0.1389, -0.2248, -0.3021, -0.3411, -0.2969, -0.3099, -0.2517, -0.2517, -0.1771, -0.0955, -0.171, -0.1493, -0.2344, -0.2092, -0.2075, -0.1701, -0.0885, 0.0017, -0.0972, -0.1597, -0.1571, -0.1337, -0.0903, 0.0, 0.0972, 0.0451, -0.0122, -0.0104, 0.0642, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2058625256911475161", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-05-24T19:04:43+00:00", "symbol": "MSSCorp", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "MSSCorp (yields) ... personally my favorites right now for CPO related stuff. Since they all basically go from 0 to 100 full steam ahead in the next 2 years.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Author's top CPO picks: SIVE, Foci, Shunsin, MSSCorp — all expected to surge in the next 2 years.", "resolved_tickers": ["6830.TW"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "MSSCorp (6830) TWSE-listed CPO yields inspection company", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SIVE (laser), Foci (fau/optical components), Shunsin (packaging/test), MSSCorp (yields) are personally my favorites right now for CPO related stuff. \n\nSince they all basically go from 0 to 100 full steam ahead in the next 2 years.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Can one enter AXTI or SOI now, Serenity? What do you suggest for small retailers: go full port on SIVE, or diversify across 3 to 4 of your picks?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "vas_203", "ret_m1d": -0.09021601016518421, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09021601016518421, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09021601016518421, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.09021601016518421, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.01143583227445999, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.01143583227445999, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01807444086545018, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05623734358082222, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0066386085909901915, "bench_c_p1d": 0.04480151130636223, "ret_p1w": -0.13722998729351965, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.13722998729351965, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.15176778785056655, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.17646163822394256, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014537800557046898, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03923165093042291, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6708, -0.6384, -0.6384, -0.6023, -0.6061, -0.5826, -0.5414, -0.4957, -0.5096, -0.5217, -0.5014, -0.5077, -0.5566, -0.5496, -0.5287, -0.5122, -0.4684, -0.4291, -0.4215, -0.4792, -0.4532, -0.3986, -0.4487, -0.4265, -0.4069, -0.3479, -0.2832, -0.2832, -0.2832, -0.2362, -0.1601, -0.1766, -0.1105, -0.0216, 0.0165, 0.0076, 0.0229, 0.1245, 0.1004, 0.1131, 0.1309, 0.0203, -0.0813, -0.1728, -0.0902, -0.0178, 0.0801, 0.0801, 0.1753, 0.2389, 0.1156, 0.1105, 0.0, -0.0419, -0.0089, -0.0521, -0.0762, -0.0661, -0.0635, -0.0953, -0.1309, -0.1194, -0.0902, 0.0, -0.0114, -0.0851, -0.1283, -0.1385, -0.1372, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2047387839789433134", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-23T18:51:14+00:00", "symbol": "AAPL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I wouldn't have high conviction long on a $850m MC photonics company if they weren't likely volume ramping to $AAPL, $MRVL, $JBL, Ayar, and others in a years time", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "High-conviction long on an unnamed $850M photonics company ramping to Apple, Marvell, Jabil, and Ayar within a year.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAPL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@centraly22 I wouldn’t have high conviction long on a $850m MC photonics company if they weren’t likely volume ramping to $AAPL, $MRVL, $JBL, Ayar, and others in a years time.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit holy shit you are absolutely right. https://t.co/VTRJO3GdjF", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "centraly22", "ret_m1d": -0.0009507896268192706, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0009507896268192706, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.004846632266480855, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.004846632266480855, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003895842639661584, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003895842639661584, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008667702544387201, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008667702544387201, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016417000504411416, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.016417000504411416, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007749297960024215, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007749297960024215, "ret_p1w": -0.007606987292754219, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.007606987292754219, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.022018675854510228, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.022018675854510228, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014411688561756009, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014411688561756009, "ret_p1m": 0.13047043363759858, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13047043363759858, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07797554790028527, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07797554790028527, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05249488573731331, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05249488573731331, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0668, -0.0563, -0.063, -0.0563, -0.0519, -0.0134, -0.0154, 0.0102, 0.0081, 0.0162, 0.0044, 0.0009, 0.0076, -0.0428, -0.0646, -0.0646, -0.0349, -0.0332, -0.047, -0.0324, -0.0265, -0.0047, 0.0029, -0.0018, -0.0338, -0.0319, -0.0354, -0.0399, -0.0481, -0.0584, -0.0496, -0.0461, -0.0462, -0.0646, -0.0853, -0.0754, -0.0702, -0.0859, -0.0895, -0.093, -0.0802, -0.0797, -0.0761, -0.0751, -0.0901, -0.098, -0.0718, -0.0651, -0.064, -0.064, -0.0533, -0.0729, -0.0531, -0.0473, -0.0474, -0.052, -0.0534, -0.0256, -0.0367, -0.0117, -0.0014, -0.0266, -0.001, 0.0, -0.0087, -0.0213, -0.0099, -0.0119, -0.0076, 0.0245, 0.0124, 0.0393, 0.0515, 0.0512, 0.0727, 0.0714, 0.0791, 0.094, 0.0916, 0.099, 0.0903, 0.0944, 0.1064, 0.1165, 0.1305, 0.1305, 0.1287, 0.1379, 0.144, 0.1423, 0.1423, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2047387839789433134", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-23T18:51:14+00:00", "symbol": "MRVL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I wouldn't have high conviction long on a $850m MC photonics company if they weren't likely volume ramping to $AAPL, $MRVL, $JBL, Ayar, and others in a years time", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "High-conviction long on an unnamed $850M photonics company ramping to Apple, Marvell, Jabil, and Ayar within a year.", "resolved_tickers": ["MRVL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@centraly22 I wouldn’t have high conviction long on a $850m MC photonics company if they weren’t likely volume ramping to $AAPL, $MRVL, $JBL, Ayar, and others in a years time.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit holy shit you are absolutely right. https://t.co/VTRJO3GdjF", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "centraly22", "ret_m1d": -0.0497704177088959, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0497704177088959, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05366626034855748, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05366626034855748, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003895842639661584, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003895842639661584, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0075501329936756845, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0075501329936756845, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0152994309536999, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0152994309536999, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007749297960024215, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007749297960024215, "ret_p1w": -0.00247646574145588, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.00247646574145588, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01688815430321189, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01688815430321189, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014411688561756009, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014411688561756009, "ret_p1m": 0.18585409957843857, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.18585409957843857, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.13335921384112526, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.13335921384112526, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05249488573731331, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05249488573731331, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5063, -0.4993, -0.4952, -0.5089, -0.5236, -0.5251, -0.544, -0.5549, -0.552, -0.5153, -0.5028, -0.5049, -0.5089, -0.5277, -0.5254, -0.5254, -0.523, -0.5225, -0.5194, -0.5202, -0.5304, -0.5268, -0.5115, -0.5213, -0.5068, -0.5118, -0.5321, -0.5286, -0.5431, -0.4593, -0.4407, -0.4367, -0.454, -0.4707, -0.4696, -0.4471, -0.4519, -0.471, -0.4595, -0.4693, -0.4557, -0.4424, -0.4056, -0.4103, -0.4272, -0.4699, -0.402, -0.3558, -0.3534, -0.3534, -0.3389, -0.3397, -0.3091, -0.276, -0.2239, -0.2069, -0.1917, -0.187, -0.1944, -0.1563, -0.107, -0.0861, -0.0498, 0.0, -0.0076, -0.0444, -0.0745, -0.0543, -0.0025, -0.0037, -0.0115, 0.0193, 0.0398, -0.0335, 0.0276, 0.0319, -0.0064, 0.0748, 0.1028, 0.0684, 0.0204, 0.0647, 0.1283, 0.1518, 0.1859, 0.1859, 0.2579, 0.2002, 0.2372, 0.2382, 0.2382, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2047387839789433134", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-04-23T18:51:14+00:00", "symbol": "JBL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I wouldn't have high conviction long on a $850m MC photonics company if they weren't likely volume ramping to $AAPL, $MRVL, $JBL, Ayar, and others in a years time", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "High-conviction long on an unnamed $850M photonics company ramping to Apple, Marvell, Jabil, and Ayar within a year.", "resolved_tickers": ["JBL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@centraly22 I wouldn’t have high conviction long on a $850m MC photonics company if they weren’t likely volume ramping to $AAPL, $MRVL, $JBL, Ayar, and others in a years time.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit holy shit you are absolutely right. https://t.co/VTRJO3GdjF", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "centraly22", "ret_m1d": -0.00629190205695962, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00629190205695962, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010187744696621204, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010187744696621204, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003895842639661584, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003895842639661584, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009216311048266146, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009216311048266146, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0014670130882419308, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0014670130882419308, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007749297960024215, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007749297960024215, "ret_p1w": -0.003072103682755456, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.003072103682755456, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.017483792244511465, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.017483792244511465, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014411688561756009, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014411688561756009, "ret_p1m": 0.0765140554311341, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0765140554311341, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.024019169693820785, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.024019169693820785, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05249488573731331, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05249488573731331, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2859, -0.2845, -0.2806, -0.2797, -0.2996, -0.2818, -0.2746, -0.3029, -0.2859, -0.2374, -0.2146, -0.2354, -0.229, -0.2584, -0.2482, -0.2482, -0.2397, -0.2304, -0.2248, -0.1992, -0.2282, -0.2135, -0.1801, -0.1968, -0.2172, -0.2285, -0.249, -0.2462, -0.255, -0.2878, -0.269, -0.2581, -0.2454, -0.2552, -0.2596, -0.2379, -0.225, -0.2359, -0.2163, -0.2508, -0.2135, -0.1806, -0.1633, -0.2197, -0.2287, -0.269, -0.2153, -0.1966, -0.2067, -0.2067, -0.2099, -0.194, -0.1518, -0.1344, -0.1153, -0.098, -0.0962, -0.0992, -0.084, -0.0497, -0.0244, -0.0143, -0.0063, 0.0, 0.0092, 0.0067, -0.0227, -0.0138, -0.0031, 0.0116, 0.0067, -0.0038, 0.0999, 0.0327, 0.0491, 0.0789, 0.0362, 0.0499, 0.0467, 0.004, 0.0008, -0.0165, 0.0198, 0.0531, 0.0765, 0.0765, 0.1235, 0.0973, 0.0744, 0.0771, 0.0771, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2047182611160965383", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-23T05:15:43+00:00", "symbol": "INTC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$INTC and $AMD planning to further price hikes Q3", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "CPU supply tight through 2026-27; INTC and AMD raising prices Q3, TSMC boosting capex — all implicitly bullish on pricing power and demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["INTC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "CPU \"serious supply shortage\"\n\nIt's still funny to see CPUs become more like memory day-by-day with the price hikes like $SNDK.\n\n\"Server CPUs have jumped between 10% and 20% since March\" with \n\n$INTC and $AMD planning to further price hikes Q3.\n\n\"CPU supply is likely to remain tight through 2026 and 2027\" with \"server CPU shortages reaching up to six months for Intel and 8-12 weeks for AMD\"\n\n$TSM is also increasing capex in response to this shortage. \n\n\"The main reason behind the fear is the simultaneous outbreak of CPU and AI ASIC demand; inventory currently includes Intel, AMD mainstream generation CPU, and $NVDA's upcoming Vera CPU, all using 3nm process\n\nLooks like we've come full circle?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.022611592749812948, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.022611592749812948, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.026507435389474532, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.026507435389474532, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003895842639661584, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003895842639661584, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.2359988383395475, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.2359988383395475, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.22824954037952327, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.22824954037952327, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007749297960024215, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007749297960024215, "ret_p1w": 0.41479492488736414, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.41479492488736414, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.4003832363256081, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.4003832363256081, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014411688561756009, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014411688561756009, "ret_p1m": 0.7945492442123765, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.7945492442123765, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.7420543584750632, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.7420543584750632, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05249488573731331, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05249488573731331, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3637, -0.3422, -0.2695, -0.2713, -0.3041, -0.2691, -0.2625, -0.2722, -0.2776, -0.2424, -0.2477, -0.2942, -0.2769, -0.304, -0.2993, -0.2993, -0.3085, -0.3193, -0.3318, -0.3395, -0.3467, -0.3094, -0.298, -0.3193, -0.317, -0.3187, -0.3546, -0.3175, -0.3119, -0.3498, -0.3175, -0.2995, -0.2815, -0.3224, -0.3146, -0.3148, -0.3402, -0.3257, -0.3085, -0.3431, -0.341, -0.3402, -0.2935, -0.3396, -0.3541, -0.3832, -0.3392, -0.2808, -0.2456, -0.2456, -0.2396, -0.2077, -0.1173, -0.0758, -0.0659, -0.024, -0.0445, -0.0276, 0.0258, 0.0258, -0.0162, -0.0078, -0.0226, 0.0, 0.236, 0.2727, 0.2656, 0.4188, 0.4148, 0.4918, 0.4343, 0.6195, 0.6923, 0.6415, 0.8706, 0.9383, 0.8061, 0.8013, 0.736, 0.6288, 0.6198, 0.6592, 0.7814, 0.7745, 0.7945, 0.7945, 0.8497, 0.8235, 0.8103, 0.7173, 0.7173, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2047182611160965383", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-23T05:15:43+00:00", "symbol": "AMD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$INTC and $AMD planning to further price hikes Q3", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "CPU supply tight through 2026-27; INTC and AMD raising prices Q3, TSMC boosting capex — all implicitly bullish on pricing power and demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "CPU \"serious supply shortage\"\n\nIt's still funny to see CPUs become more like memory day-by-day with the price hikes like $SNDK.\n\n\"Server CPUs have jumped between 10% and 20% since March\" with \n\n$INTC and $AMD planning to further price hikes Q3.\n\n\"CPU supply is likely to remain tight through 2026 and 2027\" with \"server CPU shortages reaching up to six months for Intel and 8-12 weeks for AMD\"\n\n$TSM is also increasing capex in response to this shortage. \n\n\"The main reason behind the fear is the simultaneous outbreak of CPU and AI ASIC demand; inventory currently includes Intel, AMD mainstream generation CPU, and $NVDA's upcoming Vera CPU, all using 3nm process\n\nLooks like we've come full circle?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.00612450528747821, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00612450528747821, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.010020347927139794, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.010020347927139794, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003895842639661584, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003895842639661584, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1391281985212871, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1391281985212871, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.1313789005612629, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.1313789005612629, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007749297960024215, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007749297960024215, "ret_p1w": 0.16100614359564114, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16100614359564114, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.14659445503388513, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.14659445503388513, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014411688561756009, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014411688561756009, "ret_p1m": 0.5311631032839106, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5311631032839106, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4786682175465973, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4786682175465973, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05249488573731331, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05249488573731331, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1769, -0.1746, -0.1722, -0.1741, -0.2247, -0.1934, -0.2071, -0.3443, -0.3695, -0.3173, -0.2926, -0.3005, -0.3005, -0.3255, -0.321, -0.321, -0.3349, -0.3446, -0.3339, -0.3445, -0.3561, -0.2996, -0.3094, -0.3329, -0.3443, -0.3495, -0.3746, -0.3382, -0.3468, -0.3698, -0.3362, -0.3344, -0.3292, -0.3524, -0.3666, -0.3562, -0.3571, -0.3467, -0.3277, -0.3406, -0.3362, -0.3274, -0.2786, -0.3326, -0.3385, -0.3579, -0.3337, -0.3115, -0.2877, -0.2877, -0.2789, -0.2745, -0.2408, -0.225, -0.1975, -0.1916, -0.1646, -0.1546, -0.0887, -0.0882, -0.0995, -0.0683, -0.0061, 0.0, 0.1391, 0.096, 0.0586, 0.1041, 0.161, 0.1808, 0.1186, 0.1635, 0.3801, 0.3378, 0.4908, 0.5026, 0.4682, 0.4591, 0.4728, 0.389, 0.3788, 0.3561, 0.4659, 0.4725, 0.5312, 0.5312, 0.6503, 0.623, 0.6968, 0.6903, 0.6903, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2047182611160965383", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-04-23T05:15:43+00:00", "symbol": "TSM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TSM is also increasing capex in response to this shortage", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "CPU supply tight through 2026-27; INTC and AMD raising prices Q3, TSMC boosting capex — all implicitly bullish on pricing power and demand.", "resolved_tickers": ["TSM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "CPU \"serious supply shortage\"\n\nIt's still funny to see CPUs become more like memory day-by-day with the price hikes like $SNDK.\n\n\"Server CPUs have jumped between 10% and 20% since March\" with \n\n$INTC and $AMD planning to further price hikes Q3.\n\n\"CPU supply is likely to remain tight through 2026 and 2027\" with \"server CPU shortages reaching up to six months for Intel and 8-12 weeks for AMD\"\n\n$TSM is also increasing capex in response to this shortage. \n\n\"The main reason behind the fear is the simultaneous outbreak of CPU and AI ASIC demand; inventory currently includes Intel, AMD mainstream generation CPU, and $NVDA's upcoming Vera CPU, all using 3nm process\n\nLooks like we've come full circle?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.012491503511084634, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.012491503511084634, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.00859566087142305, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.00859566087142305, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003895842639661584, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003895842639661584, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05174302933016284, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05174302933016284, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04399373137013862, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04399373137013862, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007749297960024215, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007749297960024215, "ret_p1w": 0.03501801538766669, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03501801538766669, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02060632682591068, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02060632682591068, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014411688561756009, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014411688561756009, "ret_p1m": 0.05712639194679192, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.05712639194679192, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.004631506209478609, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.004631506209478609, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05249488573731331, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05249488573731331, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.133, -0.1183, -0.108, -0.1152, -0.1386, -0.1104, -0.1251, -0.1511, -0.1381, -0.0909, -0.0738, -0.0569, -0.0251, -0.0408, -0.0453, -0.0453, -0.0509, -0.056, -0.0608, -0.0344, -0.0357, 0.0052, 0.0104, -0.0181, -0.0239, -0.0381, -0.0798, -0.0685, -0.0779, -0.1169, -0.0913, -0.0955, -0.076, -0.1226, -0.1184, -0.1134, -0.0959, -0.1126, -0.1146, -0.1396, -0.1155, -0.103, -0.0912, -0.1478, -0.1461, -0.1729, -0.1168, -0.1076, -0.114, -0.114, -0.1069, -0.0976, -0.0438, -0.0449, -0.0315, -0.0342, -0.0072, -0.0198, -0.0505, -0.0318, -0.0429, -0.0381, 0.0125, 0.0, 0.0517, 0.0583, 0.0253, 0.0292, 0.035, 0.0392, 0.0495, 0.0307, 0.0963, 0.0823, 0.0758, 0.0572, 0.0382, 0.0448, 0.0916, 0.0567, 0.0347, 0.026, 0.0495, 0.064, 0.0571, 0.0571, 0.0775, 0.1047, 0.1103, 0.0935, 0.0935, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2038444117458604178", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-30T02:32:04+00:00", "symbol": "MU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "gross margins will be high for $MU to SK Hynix moving forward", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish memory (MU, SK Hynix) on structural demand and high gross margins; bearish EWY on macro/war/energy crisis risk overriding individual performance.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "No, I'm largely bullish on memory since I think demand is structural. Price hikes are not, but gross margins will be high for $MU to SK Hynix moving forward. \n\nHowever, Macro/War overshadows $EWY and other names. \n\nSo individual performance won't matter as much if there's a global energy criss.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Do you think memory, namely $EWY is cooked?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TexasMike48", "ret_m1d": 0.1096023022659065, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.1096023022659065, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.10624762364093177, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.07727393975751706, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "bench_c_m1d": 0.03232836250838944, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04984465243436009, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04984465243436009, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.020776726735445283, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0077229838645958004, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "bench_c_p1d": 0.05756763629895589, "ret_p1w": 0.17389690520640522, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.17389690520640522, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.1312366156001432, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08162864514609747, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "bench_c_p1w": 0.09226826006030775, "ret_p1m": 0.5670914470927786, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5670914470927786, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.44094616261100916, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.21214153092289, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "bench_c_p1m": 0.3549499161698886, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1135, -0.1135, -0.0202, -0.0304, 0.0668, 0.0547, 0.0158, 0.0719, 0.0743, 0.0503, 0.0355, 0.0456, 0.1268, 0.1268, 0.1338, 0.2087, 0.235, 0.2414, 0.2086, 0.2743, 0.3521, 0.3537, 0.2887, 0.3599, 0.3029, 0.1785, 0.1893, 0.226, 0.1912, 0.1594, 0.2746, 0.2859, 0.2787, 0.2787, 0.2418, 0.3076, 0.2964, 0.33, 0.3076, 0.2984, 0.3326, 0.2908, 0.2809, 0.2818, 0.1794, 0.2449, 0.2333, 0.1502, 0.2093, 0.2521, 0.3005, 0.2591, 0.3237, 0.3723, 0.4341, 0.4342, 0.38, 0.3136, 0.256, 0.2286, 0.1869, 0.1041, 0.1096, 0.0, 0.0498, 0.1431, 0.1381, 0.1381, 0.1739, 0.1733, 0.2639, 0.3099, 0.307, 0.3255, 0.447, 0.4177, 0.4209, 0.4141, 0.3935, 0.3965, 0.5149, 0.497, 0.5436, 0.6301, 0.5671, 0.6111, 0.6071, 0.6849, 0.7913, 0.9894, 1.0714, 1.0094, 1.3207, 1.4715, 1.3822, 1.4973, 1.4115, 1.2519, 1.1179, 1.1713, 1.2747, 1.3682, 1.3337, 1.3337, 1.784, 1.8851, 1.8699, 2.0174, 2.0174, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2038444117458604178", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-30T02:32:04+00:00", "symbol": "SK Hynix", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "gross margins will be high for $MU to SK Hynix moving forward", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish memory (MU, SK Hynix) on structural demand and high gross margins; bearish EWY on macro/war/energy crisis risk overriding individual performance.", "resolved_tickers": ["000660.KS"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "SK Hynix listed on KOSPI as 000660.KS", "bench_c": "EWY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='KS')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "No, I'm largely bullish on memory since I think demand is structural. Price hikes are not, but gross margins will be high for $MU to SK Hynix moving forward. \n\nHowever, Macro/War overshadows $EWY and other names. \n\nSo individual performance won't matter as much if there's a global energy criss.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Do you think memory, namely $EWY is cooked?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TexasMike48", "ret_m1d": 0.0687284851813359, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0687284851813359, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06537380655636116, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.029649183971752757, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "bench_c_m1d": 0.03907930120958314, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.07560141246406815, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.07560141246406815, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.10466933816298296, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.13211607203469244, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "bench_c_p1d": 0.05651465957062429, "ret_p1w": 0.014891163435468258, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.014891163435468258, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.027769126170793745, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06678883408496206, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "bench_c_p1w": 0.08167999752043031, "ret_p1m": 0.4891179188388093, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4891179188388093, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.36297263435703986, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.16325693187181756, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "bench_c_p1m": 0.32586098696699173, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2557, -0.2557, -0.2259, -0.2042, -0.1699, -0.1516, -0.1356, -0.1493, -0.1436, -0.1562, -0.1516, -0.1436, -0.1356, -0.1265, -0.1505, -0.1539, -0.1368, -0.123, -0.1585, -0.0853, -0.0384, -0.0156, 0.0393, -0.051, 0.037, 0.029, -0.0373, -0.0407, 0.0142, 0.0016, -0.0167, 0.0153, 0.0062, 0.0062, 0.0062, 0.0062, 0.0222, 0.0851, 0.0873, 0.1491, 0.1639, 0.2589, 0.2153, 0.2153, 0.0756, -0.0275, 0.0779, 0.0584, -0.0424, 0.0745, 0.0939, 0.0653, 0.0424, 0.1157, 0.1111, 0.2096, 0.1604, 0.1535, 0.0687, 0.1294, 0.1397, 0.0687, 0.0687, 0.0, -0.0756, 0.0275, -0.0493, 0.0034, 0.0149, 0.0493, 0.1833, 0.1432, 0.1764, 0.1913, 0.2635, 0.3013, 0.323, 0.2921, 0.3356, 0.4021, 0.4009, 0.4032, 0.3998, 0.48, 0.4891, 0.4811, 0.4731, 0.4731, 0.6575, 0.6575, 0.8339, 0.8946, 0.9313, 1.1535, 1.1019, 1.2635, 1.2566, 1.0836, 1.1077, 0.9989, 0.9989, 1.2222, 1.2234, 1.2234, 1.3505, 1.5693, 1.6224, 1.6728, 1.7284, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2038444117458604178", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-03-30T02:32:04+00:00", "symbol": "EWY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Macro/War overshadows $EWY and other names. So individual performance won't matter as much if there's a global energy criss", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish memory (MU, SK Hynix) on structural demand and high gross margins; bearish EWY on macro/war/energy crisis risk overriding individual performance.", "resolved_tickers": ["EWY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "No, I'm largely bullish on memory since I think demand is structural. Price hikes are not, but gross margins will be high for $MU to SK Hynix moving forward. \n\nHowever, Macro/War overshadows $EWY and other names. \n\nSo individual performance won't matter as much if there's a global energy criss.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Do you think memory, namely $EWY is cooked?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "TexasMike48", "ret_m1d": 0.03907930120958314, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03907930120958314, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0357246225846084, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0357246225846084, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05651465957062429, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05651465957062429, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.027446733871709483, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.027446733871709483, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "ret_p1w": 0.08167999752043031, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08167999752043031, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03901970791416831, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03901970791416831, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "bench_c_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "ret_p1m": 0.32586098696699173, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.32586098696699173, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1997157024852223, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1997157024852223, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.165, -0.165, -0.122, -0.0996, -0.0758, -0.0807, -0.0845, -0.0648, -0.0644, -0.0764, -0.0583, -0.0462, -0.0362, -0.0362, -0.0469, -0.0066, -0.0038, 0.0132, 0.0076, 0.0539, 0.0784, 0.0693, 0.0514, 0.0386, 0.0678, 0.0329, 0.0325, 0.0711, 0.0826, 0.0689, 0.1217, 0.1234, 0.1506, 0.1506, 0.1224, 0.1417, 0.1613, 0.2186, 0.1964, 0.2415, 0.2788, 0.2918, 0.3001, 0.2672, 0.1366, 0.1541, 0.08, 0.0885, 0.15, 0.1191, 0.141, 0.0607, 0.0663, 0.1432, 0.1546, 0.1327, 0.1579, 0.0803, 0.1493, 0.1058, 0.0971, 0.0306, 0.0391, 0.0, 0.0565, 0.0841, 0.0553, 0.0553, 0.0817, 0.0924, 0.203, 0.1963, 0.1915, 0.213, 0.2598, 0.2447, 0.2666, 0.3083, 0.2891, 0.2608, 0.3381, 0.2934, 0.3276, 0.3461, 0.3259, 0.3223, 0.3807, 0.3914, 0.4051, 0.4899, 0.563, 0.5181, 0.6336, 0.6564, 0.5331, 0.6201, 0.6363, 0.5362, 0.5125, 0.4946, 0.5469, 0.6011, 0.5634, 0.5634, 0.7234, 0.7031, 0.7728, 0.7678, 0.7678, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2039261671739560026", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-01T08:40:44+00:00", "symbol": "IQE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$IQE probably has most binary upside at these levels and legitimately could 5-10x upon successful restructuring and conversion toward InP AI segments", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on IQE (5-10x on restructuring/InP), POET (low downside, upside on new partners), AXTI ($10B+ if supply chain weaponized), AAOI (4x in a year possible).", "resolved_tickers": ["IQE.L"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "IQE plc LSE-listed epiwafer supplier", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$IQE probably has most binary upside at these levels and legitimately could 5-10x upon successful restructuring and conversion toward InP AI segments. \n\n$POET has pretty low downside risk due to cash balance sheet. I personally wasn’t a fan… but I see the upside if they can qualify with other leading partners aside from Celestial.\n\n$AXTI if they weaponized their supply chain I can see it being $10B+ from $3B. Otherwise current valuations are reasonable .\n\n$AAOI is more so. Can they do it? Yes they can for a 4x in a year. \n\nWe’ll see what happens, there’s obviously downside risks with each too like $IQE debt. My thesis was just their raw value in terms of reactors/underlying capacity relative to landmark outweighs mc.\n\nHaven’t said too much since it’s waiting periods for news", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit In terms of current price what would you ranks the 3 for potential returns \n\nI feel like the best value rn is\n\n$POET $AXTI $AAOI then $IQE", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ryansfinance", "ret_m1d": -0.027888476187284628, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.027888476187284628, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.020410356029884613, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.006024539412711638, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0074781201574000145, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02186393677457299, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05976095526705194, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05976095526705194, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0606614296951431, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06065389631464635, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009004744280911581, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0008929410475944088, "ret_p1w": 0.14342630783892152, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.14342630783892152, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.11172796854216904, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06446615244273213, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.031698339296752476, "bench_c_p1w": 0.07896015539618939, "ret_p1m": 0.7231075435333321, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.7231075435333321, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6263186053498258, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4303555481187933, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09678893818350631, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2927519954145388, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7948, -0.7996, -0.7976, -0.7777, -0.755, -0.7076, -0.5841, -0.6068, -0.6414, -0.6753, -0.6873, -0.6442, -0.6896, -0.6956, -0.6892, -0.6801, -0.6952, -0.6948, -0.6805, -0.6912, -0.6849, -0.6801, -0.6932, -0.6833, -0.6888, -0.6845, -0.6745, -0.6016, -0.592, -0.5896, -0.5777, -0.5817, -0.5769, -0.5833, -0.5865, -0.5825, -0.4908, -0.5139, -0.3618, -0.2032, -0.243, 0.0199, 0.0359, 0.0697, -0.1454, -0.2167, -0.2398, -0.0956, -0.0319, -0.0956, -0.0737, -0.0797, -0.1394, 0.0179, -0.0896, -0.0598, -0.0637, 0.0179, 0.1753, 0.0598, -0.0239, -0.0797, -0.0279, 0.0, -0.0598, -0.0598, -0.0598, 0.0159, 0.1434, 0.1952, 0.4741, 0.9562, 0.9044, 1.1514, 1.3347, 1.0757, 1.3347, 1.51, 1.494, 0.9821, 0.8964, 0.9681, 0.6036, 0.6096, 0.7231, 0.6394, 0.6394, 0.992, 0.7749, 0.8187, 0.8765, 1.1713, 0.8785, 1.012, 0.9761, 0.8327, 0.5578, 0.2749, 0.496, 0.5876, 0.8227, 0.8227, 1.1514, 1.0199, 0.8984, 0.8924, 0.8924, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2039261671739560026", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-01T08:40:44+00:00", "symbol": "POET", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$POET has pretty low downside risk due to cash balance sheet. I see the upside if they can qualify with other leading partners aside from Celestial", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on IQE (5-10x on restructuring/InP), POET (low downside, upside on new partners), AXTI ($10B+ if supply chain weaponized), AAOI (4x in a year possible).", "resolved_tickers": ["POET"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$IQE probably has most binary upside at these levels and legitimately could 5-10x upon successful restructuring and conversion toward InP AI segments. \n\n$POET has pretty low downside risk due to cash balance sheet. I personally wasn’t a fan… but I see the upside if they can qualify with other leading partners aside from Celestial.\n\n$AXTI if they weaponized their supply chain I can see it being $10B+ from $3B. Otherwise current valuations are reasonable .\n\n$AAOI is more so. Can they do it? Yes they can for a 4x in a year. \n\nWe’ll see what happens, there’s obviously downside risks with each too like $IQE debt. My thesis was just their raw value in terms of reactors/underlying capacity relative to landmark outweighs mc.\n\nHaven’t said too much since it’s waiting periods for news", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit In terms of current price what would you ranks the 3 for potential returns \n\nI feel like the best value rn is\n\n$POET $AXTI $AAOI then $IQE", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ryansfinance", "ret_m1d": 0.06071431399608196, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06071431399608196, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06819243415348197, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08257825077065495, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0074781201574000145, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02186393677457299, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09107147099412294, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09107147099412294, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09017099656603178, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09017852994652853, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009004744280911581, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0008929410475944088, "ret_p1w": 0.11071426716386035, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11071426716386035, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07901592786710787, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.031754111767670956, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.031698339296752476, "bench_c_p1w": 0.07896015539618939, "ret_p1m": 0.27142857264499276, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.27142857264499276, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.17463963446148645, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.02132342276954602, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09678893818350631, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2927519954145388, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2786, 0.3268, 0.3125, 0.3304, 0.3, 0.3196, 0.2875, 0.275, 0.4446, 0.4839, 0.4821, 0.4821, 0.4714, 0.4946, 0.2393, 0.2339, 0.1536, 0.2125, 0.1107, 0.0625, 0.0357, 0.0429, 0.0786, 0.0018, -0.075, 0.0482, 0.1089, 0.0429, 0.0411, 0.0089, -0.0036, -0.0036, -0.0143, -0.0036, -0.0054, 0.0161, -0.0143, 0.0911, 0.1357, 0.1143, 0.0714, 0.2339, 0.2571, 0.2214, 0.1857, 0.1214, 0.1946, 0.25, 0.3286, 0.3286, 0.2196, 0.2339, 0.1732, 0.1036, 0.1125, 0.0589, 0.0821, 0.025, 0.0893, -0.0196, -0.0732, -0.0929, 0.0607, 0.0, 0.0911, 0.0911, 0.0857, 0.0643, 0.1107, 0.0857, 0.2571, 0.3036, 0.1982, 0.2446, 0.3107, 0.2964, 0.5339, 0.8304, 1.2804, 1.0929, 1.6964, 0.4196, 0.4339, 0.1786, 0.2714, 0.3054, 0.2696, 0.6446, 0.7357, 0.7107, 0.9554, 1.4821, 1.4518, 1.5661, 2.6732, 1.8518, 1.5375, 1.3339, 1.6393, 1.6464, 1.6054, 1.6054, 1.3839, 1.3714, 1.3679, 1.1946, 1.1946, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2039261671739560026", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-04-01T08:40:44+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AXTI if they weaponized their supply chain I can see it being $10B+ from $3B", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on IQE (5-10x on restructuring/InP), POET (low downside, upside on new partners), AXTI ($10B+ if supply chain weaponized), AAOI (4x in a year possible).", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$IQE probably has most binary upside at these levels and legitimately could 5-10x upon successful restructuring and conversion toward InP AI segments. \n\n$POET has pretty low downside risk due to cash balance sheet. I personally wasn’t a fan… but I see the upside if they can qualify with other leading partners aside from Celestial.\n\n$AXTI if they weaponized their supply chain I can see it being $10B+ from $3B. Otherwise current valuations are reasonable .\n\n$AAOI is more so. Can they do it? Yes they can for a 4x in a year. \n\nWe’ll see what happens, there’s obviously downside risks with each too like $IQE debt. My thesis was just their raw value in terms of reactors/underlying capacity relative to landmark outweighs mc.\n\nHaven’t said too much since it’s waiting periods for news", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit In terms of current price what would you ranks the 3 for potential returns \n\nI feel like the best value rn is\n\n$POET $AXTI $AAOI then $IQE", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ryansfinance", "ret_m1d": 0.2087399295713328, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.2087399295713328, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.21621804972873282, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.2306038663459058, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0074781201574000145, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02186393677457299, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.12091643692704679, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.12091643692704679, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.12001596249895563, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.12002349587945238, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009004744280911581, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0008929410475944088, "ret_p1w": 0.12812899859421045, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12812899859421045, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09643065929745798, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04916884319802106, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.031698339296752476, "bench_c_p1w": 0.07896015539618939, "ret_p1m": 0.6805261401445668, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6805261401445668, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5837372019610605, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.387774144730028, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09678893818350631, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2927519954145388, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6445, -0.6464, -0.5721, -0.4885, -0.4521, -0.5123, -0.5282, -0.5437, -0.5312, -0.4544, -0.5314, -0.5314, -0.5458, -0.5804, -0.6199, -0.6309, -0.6224, -0.6351, -0.643, -0.6525, -0.6067, -0.5558, -0.5812, -0.6022, -0.5666, -0.4896, -0.4109, -0.4835, -0.4315, -0.4741, -0.4858, -0.4858, -0.5076, -0.5006, -0.4949, -0.3704, -0.3969, -0.2558, -0.1309, -0.2126, -0.196, -0.0174, -0.1141, -0.1699, -0.1769, -0.3133, -0.182, -0.0602, 0.0047, -0.0087, 0.0365, 0.0265, -0.059, 0.0344, 0.2323, 0.1506, 0.367, 0.4518, 0.4287, 0.2412, 0.2862, 0.1186, 0.2087, 0.0, 0.1209, 0.1209, -0.1092, -0.0356, 0.1281, 0.339, 0.3615, 0.4096, 0.4277, 0.335, 0.7348, 0.7514, 0.6708, 0.5904, 0.8443, 0.5967, 0.6156, 0.4881, 0.4576, 0.5076, 0.6805, 1.0365, 1.2486, 1.2815, 1.2238, 1.3, 1.4684, 1.6689, 1.6071, 1.5868, 1.4391, 1.6258, 1.2461, 1.3946, 1.2191, 1.5672, 1.9875, 1.9875, 1.8129, 1.6044, 1.4544, 1.1884, 1.1884, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2039261671739560026", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-04-01T08:40:44+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI is more so. Can they do it? Yes they can for a 4x in a year", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on IQE (5-10x on restructuring/InP), POET (low downside, upside on new partners), AXTI ($10B+ if supply chain weaponized), AAOI (4x in a year possible).", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$IQE probably has most binary upside at these levels and legitimately could 5-10x upon successful restructuring and conversion toward InP AI segments. \n\n$POET has pretty low downside risk due to cash balance sheet. I personally wasn’t a fan… but I see the upside if they can qualify with other leading partners aside from Celestial.\n\n$AXTI if they weaponized their supply chain I can see it being $10B+ from $3B. Otherwise current valuations are reasonable .\n\n$AAOI is more so. Can they do it? Yes they can for a 4x in a year. \n\nWe’ll see what happens, there’s obviously downside risks with each too like $IQE debt. My thesis was just their raw value in terms of reactors/underlying capacity relative to landmark outweighs mc.\n\nHaven’t said too much since it’s waiting periods for news", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit In terms of current price what would you ranks the 3 for potential returns \n\nI feel like the best value rn is\n\n$POET $AXTI $AAOI then $IQE", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ryansfinance", "ret_m1d": -0.02038219070447278, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.02038219070447278, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012904070547072766, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012904070547072766, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0074781201574000145, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0074781201574000145, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.20335848868892548, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.20335848868892548, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.20245801426083432, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.20245801426083432, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009004744280911581, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0009004744280911581, "ret_p1w": 0.5367689553348642, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.5367689553348642, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.5050706160381118, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.5050706160381118, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.031698339296752476, "bench_c_p1w": 0.031698339296752476, "ret_p1m": 0.903416369597388, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.903416369597388, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.8066274314138817, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.8066274314138817, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09678893818350631, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09678893818350631, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5414, -0.5948, -0.5529, -0.5593, -0.6177, -0.6058, -0.6095, -0.6042, -0.6008, -0.5715, -0.571, -0.571, -0.5453, -0.5555, -0.5582, -0.5863, -0.5959, -0.567, -0.4762, -0.5417, -0.495, -0.4886, -0.4659, -0.5379, -0.5584, -0.487, -0.4452, -0.4384, -0.4395, -0.4906, -0.4851, -0.4851, -0.4915, -0.4969, -0.4559, -0.4015, -0.3751, -0.3483, -0.3269, -0.3782, -0.0246, 0.1871, 0.1041, 0.1547, 0.1713, 0.1069, 0.2811, 0.3954, 0.4709, 0.2298, 0.1211, 0.0894, -0.0002, 0.0727, 0.1803, 0.0138, 0.109, 0.3191, 0.325, 0.1282, 0.1373, -0.0134, -0.0204, 0.0, 0.2034, 0.2034, 0.2444, 0.3624, 0.5368, 0.5437, 0.7441, 0.7741, 0.6953, 0.6508, 0.8219, 0.8462, 0.8931, 0.7437, 0.7304, 0.595, 0.8781, 0.6882, 0.5896, 0.7699, 0.9034, 1.1252, 1.0032, 1.0911, 1.0676, 0.8246, 0.7248, 1.1413, 1.1804, 1.5837, 1.3575, 1.2045, 1.0065, 0.9841, 0.9138, 1.0476, 1.1018, 1.1018, 1.057, 1.0826, 0.9574, 0.8345, 0.8345, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2054740298182603024", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-14T01:47:16+00:00", "symbol": "6451.TW", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm very bullish on it as a completely backdoored, hidden + major beneficiary of $NVDA CPO ramp", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author very bullish on Shunsin (6451.TW) as a hidden NVDA CPO ramp beneficiary; also implies AVGO CPO/SiPH orders are a durable positive.", "resolved_tickers": ["6451.TW"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TW')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Interesting report that I missed that Shunsin (6451) landed $AVGO CPO/SiPH orders…\n\nAnd their EPS growth rate could reach over 1240%.\n\nOf course this is confidential and is media speculation. \n\nBut makes sense that all your top players use Foxconn for optical packaging/test. https://t.co/aqnUQEQdYS", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Pretty sure institutions like GS missed Shunsin (6451) at $1.65B for CPO packaging/test/assembly.\n\nWhich is why I'm very bullish on it as a completely backdoored, hidden + major beneficiary of $NVDA CPO ramp. \n\nFoxconn is a major supply chain partner among $TSM and $ASX.\n\nBut… https://t.co/fTdwipUDXj", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08952380952380956, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08952380952380956, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08169138442601442, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0830302744925604, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007832425097795137, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006493535031249165, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09904761904761905, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09904761904761905, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.11107697094034363, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.14303593523918656, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012029351892724582, "bench_c_p1d": -0.04398831619156751, "ret_p1w": -0.049523809523809526, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.049523809523809526, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04223935233958476, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0389456559762571, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0072844571842247685, "bench_c_p1w": -0.010578153547552427, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6838, -0.6838, -0.6838, -0.6838, -0.6838, -0.6524, -0.6181, -0.5981, -0.6019, -0.6019, -0.6105, -0.6048, -0.6438, -0.6286, -0.6381, -0.6743, -0.6714, -0.639, -0.6267, -0.5895, -0.5486, -0.5038, -0.4686, -0.4819, -0.4771, -0.4657, -0.4476, -0.3924, -0.3676, -0.3048, -0.3743, -0.4362, -0.419, -0.4371, -0.4371, -0.4371, -0.381, -0.319, -0.2514, -0.1771, -0.0952, -0.0933, -0.1314, -0.059, -0.0381, -0.0343, -0.0971, -0.0552, -0.1495, -0.2343, -0.2771, -0.2286, -0.2429, -0.179, -0.179, -0.0971, -0.0076, -0.0905, -0.0667, -0.16, -0.1324, -0.1305, -0.0895, 0.0, 0.099, -0.0095, -0.0781, -0.0752, -0.0495, -0.0019, 0.0971, 0.2038, 0.1467, 0.0838, 0.0857, 0.1676, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2054740298182603024", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-14T01:47:16+00:00", "symbol": "AVGO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Shunsin (6451) landed $AVGO CPO/SiPH orders… And their EPS growth rate could reach over 1240%", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author very bullish on Shunsin (6451.TW) as a hidden NVDA CPO ramp beneficiary; also implies AVGO CPO/SiPH orders are a durable positive.", "resolved_tickers": ["AVGO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Interesting report that I missed that Shunsin (6451) landed $AVGO CPO/SiPH orders…\n\nAnd their EPS growth rate could reach over 1240%.\n\nOf course this is confidential and is media speculation. \n\nBut makes sense that all your top players use Foxconn for optical packaging/test. https://t.co/aqnUQEQdYS", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Pretty sure institutions like GS missed Shunsin (6451) at $1.65B for CPO packaging/test/assembly.\n\nWhich is why I'm very bullish on it as a completely backdoored, hidden + major beneficiary of $NVDA CPO ramp. \n\nFoxconn is a major supply chain partner among $TSM and $ASX.\n\nBut… https://t.co/fTdwipUDXj", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05229768651656552, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05229768651656552, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.044465261418770385, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04213064877099726, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007832425097795137, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010167037745568264, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0331976757539828, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0331976757539828, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02116832386125822, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0048422298005708075, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.012029351892724582, "bench_c_p1d": -0.03803990555455361, "ret_p1w": -0.05734555294729271, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05734555294729271, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05006109576306794, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.039259268950092796, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0072844571842247685, "bench_c_p1w": -0.018086283997199915, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2622, -0.2454, -0.2432, -0.2422, -0.2452, -0.2504, -0.2614, -0.246, -0.27, -0.2749, -0.2766, -0.2879, -0.2795, -0.2449, -0.2501, -0.2155, -0.2227, -0.225, -0.2377, -0.269, -0.2627, -0.2709, -0.2831, -0.2743, -0.2954, -0.2667, -0.2763, -0.2751, -0.2964, -0.3163, -0.3328, -0.2962, -0.2872, -0.2848, -0.2848, -0.285, -0.2406, -0.2027, -0.193, -0.1552, -0.1365, -0.1342, -0.0979, -0.094, -0.0756, -0.0913, -0.0855, -0.039, -0.0451, -0.0387, -0.0491, -0.0909, -0.0781, -0.0508, -0.0421, -0.053, -0.0283, -0.0326, -0.0619, -0.0223, -0.0258, -0.0466, -0.0523, 0.0, -0.0332, -0.0434, -0.0653, -0.0501, -0.0573, -0.0583, -0.0583, -0.0404, -0.0408, -0.03, 0.0159, 0.0159, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2049392965391695891", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-29T07:38:53+00:00", "symbol": "INTC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "without the drag SKC has or other segments $INTC has", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long LPK as pure-play monopoly on glass substrate laser etching; INTC flagged as having drag vs pure-play exposure.", "resolved_tickers": ["INTC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@MickaelLacoste2 No. Glass substrates are the next advanced packaging wave.\n\nAnd $LPK has a functional monopoly over laser induced deep etching. \n\nIt’s more of pure play exposure to the next packaging paradigm without the drag SKC has or other segments $INTC has.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Bonjour, jouer les résultats qui ont lieu demain n'est t'il pas risqué ? Merci", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "MickaelLacoste2", "ret_m1d": -0.10796837316024899, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.10796837316024899, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.10812293814088503, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.10812293814088503, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00015456498063604052, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00015456498063604052, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0028495687922576174, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0028495687922576174, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.012799196219461795, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012799196219461795, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009949627427204177, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009949627427204177, "ret_p1w": 0.19271770064623195, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.19271770064623195, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1614492565280341, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1614492565280341, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03126844411819785, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03126844411819785, "ret_p1m": 0.27588389857148754, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.27588389857148754, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.21542694719160904, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.21542694719160904, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0604569513798785, "bench_c_p1m": 0.0604569513798785, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5096, -0.4849, -0.4802, -0.4871, -0.4909, -0.4661, -0.4698, -0.5026, -0.4903, -0.5094, -0.5062, -0.5062, -0.5126, -0.5202, -0.5291, -0.5345, -0.5395, -0.5132, -0.5052, -0.5202, -0.5186, -0.5198, -0.5451, -0.5189, -0.515, -0.5417, -0.5189, -0.5063, -0.4936, -0.5224, -0.5169, -0.517, -0.535, -0.5247, -0.5126, -0.537, -0.5355, -0.535, -0.5021, -0.5346, -0.5448, -0.5653, -0.5342, -0.4931, -0.4683, -0.4683, -0.4641, -0.4416, -0.3778, -0.3486, -0.3416, -0.3121, -0.3265, -0.3146, -0.277, -0.277, -0.3066, -0.3007, -0.3111, -0.2952, -0.1289, -0.103, -0.108, 0.0, -0.0028, 0.0514, 0.0109, 0.1414, 0.1927, 0.1569, 0.3184, 0.3661, 0.2729, 0.2696, 0.2235, 0.148, 0.1416, 0.1694, 0.2555, 0.2507, 0.2648, 0.2648, 0.3036, 0.2852, 0.2759, 0.2103, 0.2103, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2044097166915055730", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-14T16:55:16+00:00", "symbol": "FORM", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "probably going to keep going up", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "FORM likely continues higher but author prefers lesser-known Taiwan/Japan players for more upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["FORM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@JonkooTrades I was long $FORM earlier this year/last year. IMO probably going to keep going up but there’s higher upside from some lesser known players over in Taiwan/Japan.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $FORM I am actually really interested in. Is this a position you’re also long on?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "JonkooTrades", "ret_m1d": -0.00046770782011762435, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.00046770782011762435, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01157048894025392, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01869159231729245, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.012038196760371545, "bench_c_m1d": -0.019159300137410074, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.010445871146257613, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.010445871146257613, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0025548762792186874, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00823348176572658, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007890994867038925, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0022123893805310324, "ret_p1w": 0.10726531523055072, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10726531523055072, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09341283299570402, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07925645757101663, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.013852482234846697, "bench_c_p1w": 0.028008857659534092, "ret_p1m": 0.008029301442923797, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.008029301442923797, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.06087311780651938, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2584751719479086, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06890241924944318, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2665044733908324, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4132, -0.3895, -0.3895, -0.381, -0.3494, -0.3686, -0.4294, -0.4231, -0.425, -0.4344, -0.4284, -0.4505, -0.4444, -0.4178, -0.4421, -0.3462, -0.2961, -0.2604, -0.2727, -0.2511, -0.2697, -0.2459, -0.2459, -0.2565, -0.2619, -0.2806, -0.2629, -0.2507, -0.2159, -0.175, -0.238, -0.2292, -0.2228, -0.2767, -0.2781, -0.3244, -0.3373, -0.3059, -0.2904, -0.2842, -0.3109, -0.299, -0.2957, -0.2617, -0.2502, -0.2587, -0.2811, -0.2423, -0.1773, -0.1575, -0.2177, -0.2366, -0.2874, -0.2439, -0.2134, -0.1958, -0.1958, -0.1856, -0.1805, -0.0817, -0.0562, -0.0349, -0.0005, 0.0, 0.0104, -0.0047, 0.0696, 0.1228, 0.1073, 0.1395, 0.1566, 0.2089, 0.122, 0.046, 0.0565, 0.0596, 0.0709, 0.0475, 0.1303, 0.1625, 0.1278, 0.1527, 0.1802, 0.0292, 0.008, -0.0023, -0.0157, -0.0847, -0.0864, -0.0232, -0.0022, 0.0055, 0.0055, 0.0639, 0.037, 0.0151, -0.0288, -0.0288, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2046296091461869737", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-20T18:33:01+00:00", "symbol": "TTD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I do have short term positions at $22 as a potential mean reversion the bottom, but this is not high conviction by any means", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Long TTD at $22 as a short-term mean reversion play; low conviction; ChatGPT ad monetization angle seen as undervalued catalyst.", "resolved_tickers": ["TTD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Advertising Agencies", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Can you believe $TTD was once $139 not too long ago?\n\nThink the short-term ChatGPT monetization angle is undervalued given they’re moving to ads.\n\nI do have short term positions at $22 as a potential mean reversion the bottom, but this is not high conviction by any means. https://t.co/7VMfVACrrl", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@TD_btc24 Stuff like $TTD at $22 is compelling, probably 40-50% upside back to low 30's.. Same with $HIMS at $28, I can see mean reversion to $40. \n\nAnd $RDDT at $163, went long around $140, posted some thesis on the way down to $125, but glad it's recovered a bit. \n\nCould probably chop a", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06569646460825274, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06569646460825274, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06770013884351345, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06770013884351345, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.035342973018114066, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.035342973018114066, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02879602386317781, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.02879602386317781, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "ret_p1w": -0.03783783269355867, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.03783783269355867, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04693876461823998, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04693876461823998, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "ret_p1m": -0.12016629859991879, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.12016629859991879, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1554552855051592, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1554552855051592, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.469, 0.531, 0.5198, 0.4058, 0.3385, 0.3252, 0.2994, 0.2611, 0.237, 0.1301, 0.1339, 0.0911, 0.1243, 0.1243, 0.1696, 0.1322, 0.0869, 0.0732, 0.0732, 0.0503, 0.0603, 0.0495, 0.0437, 0.005, 0.037, 0.0462, -0.0042, -0.0096, 0.0112, 0.0395, 0.0466, 0.2387, 0.2175, 0.1875, 0.1501, 0.1343, 0.1029, 0.1368, 0.126, 0.0424, -0.0208, -0.0225, 0.0025, -0.0042, -0.0711, -0.0865, -0.096, -0.1152, -0.0848, -0.0565, -0.0861, -0.0832, -0.0832, -0.0765, -0.1393, -0.158, -0.143, -0.1647, -0.1177, -0.126, -0.0694, -0.0536, -0.0657, 0.0, -0.0353, -0.0204, -0.0595, -0.0033, -0.0378, -0.0341, 0.0133, -0.0191, 0.0079, 0.0021, 0.0233, -0.0017, -0.0233, -0.0403, -0.1052, -0.121, -0.148, -0.1514, -0.1206, -0.074, -0.1202, -0.126, -0.1152, -0.0694, -0.0694, -0.0778, -0.0732, -0.1206, -0.1035, -0.1035, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2048088702279438429", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-25T17:16:12+00:00", "symbol": "ATOMERA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Pretty negative. They have a massive dilution vote from 45m -> 95m shares in 2-3 weeks as well, and I have an extreme distaste for massive dilution cycles.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bearish ATOMERA: no-revenue R&D partnership plus massive upcoming dilution vote (45m→95m shares).", "resolved_tickers": ["ATOM"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Atomera Inc trades as ATOM on NASDAQ", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Pretty negative. It's big news, but a no-revenue R&D partnership like $LWLG and $TSEM.\n\nThey have a massive dilution vote from 45m -> 95m shares in 2-3 weeks as well, and I have an extreme distaste for massive dilution cycles.\n\nBut I expect people to just buy into the fomo/news anyway.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What do you think of $ATOMERA? And their recent collab with Synopsys? Theirs definitely some validity there.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "manny_c5", "ret_m1d": 0.12712978407338915, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.12712978407338915, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.12884962760449625, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1267742500151794, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0017198435311071014, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00035553405820976103, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04193973353365077, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04193973353365077, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.037073784805504606, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.012211890093055233, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004865948728146163, "bench_c_p1d": -0.029727843440595536, "ret_p1w": 0.35910874574330665, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.35910874574330665, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.3551376242989863, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.3580618552738377, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003971121444320325, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0010468904694689307, "ret_p1m": 0.5871558945008739, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.5871558945008739, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.5376291459072291, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.39776703693102444, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04952674859364481, "bench_c_p1m": 0.18938885756984947, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.633, -0.6003, -0.616, -0.637, -0.6514, -0.6737, -0.6959, -0.6632, -0.6697, -0.6776, -0.6776, -0.6868, -0.4862, -0.4862, -0.249, -0.2818, -0.1271, -0.0826, -0.2156, -0.3047, -0.1966, -0.3172, -0.3394, -0.3132, -0.3696, -0.3722, -0.3761, -0.405, -0.4024, -0.3421, -0.3316, -0.3591, -0.3971, -0.3748, -0.3814, -0.4286, -0.4286, -0.443, -0.3984, -0.3683, -0.4037, -0.4882, -0.5098, -0.5308, -0.5007, -0.4705, -0.4666, -0.4666, -0.4495, -0.4666, -0.4207, -0.4063, -0.3329, -0.2857, -0.3394, -0.3263, -0.3028, -0.2988, -0.1691, -0.1337, -0.1691, -0.1887, 0.1271, 0.0, -0.0419, -0.0498, 0.0721, 0.4535, 0.3591, 0.384, 0.1966, 0.0616, 0.1022, 0.0852, 0.0944, 0.2962, 0.2621, 0.1533, 0.0491, -0.0183, 0.0066, 0.1153, 0.211, 0.211, 0.5872, 0.4456, 0.464, 0.308, 0.308, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2048687868919611836", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-04-27T08:57:05+00:00", "symbol": "Towa", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "there's some over in Japan like Towa for (HBM4/compression molding) too that I own", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author suggests LPK, ALRIB, and Towa as monopoly/duopoly plays with multibagger potential in glass substrates, quantum/MBE, and HBM4 molding.", "resolved_tickers": ["6315.T"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Towa Corp listed on TSE as 6315.T", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "European “monopolies” like $LPK (Glass Core Substrates) have also been going brrr lately. \n\n$ALRIB is technically a duopoly but it’s there too… (Quantum / MBE)\n\nThen there’s some over in Japan like Towa for (HBM4/compression molding) too that I own.  \n\nUsually monopolies get higher multiples. \n\nI'll mention some more over time, just gotta find them all.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit @aleabitoreddit  Hey Serenity. what other gems do you suggest for multibagger returns like SIVE? Just want to diversify the portfolio a bit. Thanks!!", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05215171407731578, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05215171407731578, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05043187054620868, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05250724813552554, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0017198435311071014, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00035553405820976103, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0466812545587163, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0466812545587163, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.051547203286862464, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07640909799931184, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004865948728146163, "bench_c_p1d": -0.029727843440595536, "ret_p1w": 0.11232676878191095, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11232676878191095, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10835564733759062, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.11127987831244202, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003971121444320325, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0010468904694689307, "ret_p1m": 0.11962071480671033, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11962071480671033, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07009396621306552, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.06976814276313914, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04952674859364481, "bench_c_p1m": 0.18938885756984947, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1049, 0.1103, 0.0788, 0.0379, 0.0759, 0.069, 0.0723, 0.0821, 0.0499, 0.0318, 0.0318, 0.0376, -0.0308, 0.0134, -0.0036, -0.0105, 0.0101, 0.052, 0.052, 0.0235, 0.0662, 0.1049, 0.0886, 0.0654, 0.0134, -0.0767, -0.0087, 0.0155, -0.0991, -0.0449, -0.0264, -0.0543, -0.0687, -0.0615, -0.0944, -0.034, -0.0832, -0.0832, -0.1378, -0.1281, -0.093, -0.1244, -0.1335, -0.1645, -0.1907, -0.1298, -0.1575, -0.1495, -0.1579, -0.1689, -0.0715, -0.078, -0.0015, -0.0321, 0.015, -0.0113, 0.0139, -0.039, -0.0445, -0.0445, -0.0525, -0.0532, -0.0522, 0.0, 0.0467, 0.0467, 0.0649, 0.1123, 0.1123, 0.1123, 0.1123, 0.2053, 0.2327, 0.2309, -0.0244, -0.0197, 0.0098, -0.0594, 0.0055, -0.0412, -0.0532, -0.0226, 0.0551, 0.0569, 0.1196, 0.1196, 0.1397, 0.0959, 0.0689, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2038963583065932069", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-31T12:56:14+00:00", "symbol": "POET", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$POET is beneficiary", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Both POET and SIVE flagged as beneficiaries/key suppliers to NVDA and MRVL Celestial platform.", "resolved_tickers": ["POET"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@marioyep5 Yes, $POET is beneficiary but $SIVE is incredibly important to $NVDA and $MRVL Celestial now as the light source. https://t.co/mn3oESTKlw", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Should $POET experience some upside as well given the integration", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "marioyep5", "ret_m1d": -0.14478116586362955, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.14478116586362955, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11653431745547171, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0903471662563623, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.028246848408157832, "bench_c_m1d": -0.05443399960726725, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05723908237586606, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05723908237586606, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06477354615875608, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07959173615950854, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007534463782890022, "bench_c_p1d": 0.022352653783642484, "ret_p1w": 0.0033670001235441838, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0033670001235441838, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.010287309131558287, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.039668994301784055, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01365430925510247, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04303599442532824, "ret_p1m": 0.11111108435257266, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11111108435257266, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.01694497477066159, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.19191446214013053, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09416610958191107, "bench_c_p1m": 0.3030255464927032, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0657, 0.2054, 0.2508, 0.2374, 0.2542, 0.2256, 0.2441, 0.2138, 0.202, 0.362, 0.399, 0.3973, 0.3973, 0.3872, 0.4091, 0.1684, 0.1633, 0.0875, 0.1431, 0.0471, 0.0017, -0.0236, -0.0168, 0.0168, -0.0556, -0.1279, -0.0118, 0.0455, -0.0168, -0.0185, -0.0488, -0.0606, -0.0606, -0.0707, -0.0606, -0.0623, -0.0421, -0.0707, 0.0286, 0.0707, 0.0505, 0.0101, 0.1633, 0.1852, 0.1515, 0.1178, 0.0572, 0.1263, 0.1785, 0.2525, 0.2525, 0.1498, 0.1633, 0.1061, 0.0404, 0.0488, -0.0017, 0.0202, -0.0337, 0.0269, -0.0758, -0.1263, -0.1448, 0.0, -0.0572, 0.0286, 0.0286, 0.0236, 0.0034, 0.0471, 0.0236, 0.1852, 0.229, 0.1296, 0.1734, 0.2357, 0.2222, 0.4461, 0.7256, 1.1498, 0.9731, 1.5421, 0.3384, 0.3519, 0.1111, 0.1987, 0.2306, 0.197, 0.5505, 0.6364, 0.6128, 0.8434, 1.3401, 1.3114, 1.4192, 2.463, 1.6886, 1.3923, 1.2003, 1.4882, 1.4949, 1.4562, 1.4562, 1.2475, 1.2357, 1.2323, 1.069, 1.069, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2045570512034910342", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-18T18:29:49+00:00", "symbol": "EWY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm still personally long 2028 leaps on $EWY for memory exposure", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Still long 2028 LEAPS on EWY and flags DRAM ETF as vehicles for memory exposure, expecting Samsung/SK Hynix to be printing.", "resolved_tickers": ["EWY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ArkhamInvests I'm still personally long 2028 leaps on $EWY for memory exposure. Those are up over triple digits, since I expect Samsung/Sk Hynix to be printing.\n\n$DRAM was another good vehicle for exposure.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thoughts on memory?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ArkhamInvests", "ret_m1d": 0.014924415669391067, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.014924415669391067, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.012920741434130356, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.012920741434130356, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.021986828784569146, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.021986828784569146, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.015439879629632891, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.015439879629632891, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "ret_p1w": 0.04424011960597363, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04424011960597363, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.035139187681292317, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.035139187681292317, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "ret_p1m": 0.15943772748649954, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.15943772748649954, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.12414874058125913, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.12414874058125913, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2294, -0.2272, -0.214, -0.2183, -0.1825, -0.1634, -0.1705, -0.1844, -0.1943, -0.1717, -0.1987, -0.1991, -0.1691, -0.1602, -0.1708, -0.1299, -0.1285, -0.1074, -0.1074, -0.1293, -0.1143, -0.0991, -0.0547, -0.0719, -0.0369, -0.008, 0.0021, 0.0085, -0.017, -0.1183, -0.1047, -0.1622, -0.1556, -0.1079, -0.1319, -0.1149, -0.1772, -0.1728, -0.1132, -0.1043, -0.1213, -0.1017, -0.162, -0.1085, -0.1422, -0.1489, -0.2005, -0.194, -0.2243, -0.1804, -0.159, -0.1814, -0.1814, -0.1609, -0.1526, -0.0668, -0.072, -0.0757, -0.059, -0.0227, -0.0344, -0.0175, 0.0149, 0.0, -0.022, 0.038, 0.0033, 0.0298, 0.0442, 0.0285, 0.0258, 0.0711, 0.0794, 0.0899, 0.1558, 0.2125, 0.1776, 0.2672, 0.2849, 0.1893, 0.2568, 0.2694, 0.1917, 0.1733, 0.1594, 0.2, 0.2421, 0.2128, 0.2128, 0.3369, 0.3211, 0.3752, 0.3714, 0.3714, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2045570512034910342", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-18T18:29:49+00:00", "symbol": "DRAM", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$DRAM was another good vehicle for exposure", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Still long 2028 LEAPS on EWY and flags DRAM ETF as vehicles for memory exposure, expecting Samsung/SK Hynix to be printing.", "resolved_tickers": ["DRAM"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ArkhamInvests I'm still personally long 2028 leaps on $EWY for memory exposure. Those are up over triple digits, since I expect Samsung/Sk Hynix to be printing.\n\n$DRAM was another good vehicle for exposure.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Thoughts on memory?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ArkhamInvests", "ret_m1d": 0.014827501063263915, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.014827501063263915, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.012823826828003204, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.012823826828003204, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0039919985989934625, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0039919985989934625, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.002554950555942792, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.002554950555942792, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "ret_p1w": 0.09980040007005031, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09980040007005031, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.090699468145369, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.090699468145369, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "ret_p1m": 0.4191617020489722, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4191617020489722, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.3838727151437318, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.3838727151437318, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, -0.2084, -0.2084, -0.1685, -0.1605, -0.0741, -0.0767, -0.0753, -0.0433, 0.0143, -0.0171, -0.0009, 0.0148, 0.0, -0.004, 0.0636, 0.0368, 0.0607, 0.0998, 0.0644, 0.0901, 0.1215, 0.1523, 0.211, 0.3199, 0.3881, 0.3273, 0.5056, 0.5706, 0.4628, 0.5552, 0.5338, 0.4571, 0.4063, 0.4192, 0.4688, 0.5495, 0.5061, 0.5061, 0.7254, 0.7317, 0.7841, 0.8021, 0.8021, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2049529141083701417", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-29T16:40:00+00:00", "symbol": "TOWA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$TOWA is still a must have so not a concern. Even with hybrid bonding end of decade hbm5, they might just lose one step of the process but remain a critical chokepoint", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "TOWA remains a critical chokepoint even under HBM5 hybrid bonding; not threatened by the process shift.", "resolved_tickers": ["6315.T"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "TOWA Corp listed on TSE as 6315.T (HBM compression molding)", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@johndoestocks Good question, $TOWA is still a must have so not a concern.\n\nEven with hybrid bonding end of decade hbm5, they might just lose one step of the process but remain a critical chokepoint", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Any concerns with HBM5 expected to use hybrid bonding instead of $TOWA compression?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "johndoestocks", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00015456498063604052, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01675406409815572, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.00015456498063604052, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01675406409815572, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.017421602787456525, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.017421602787456525, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0074719753602523475, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0031295677973706137, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009949627427204177, "bench_c_p1d": 0.014292034990085911, "ret_p1w": 0.06271777003484313, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06271777003484313, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03144932591664529, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03772665236417283, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03126844411819785, "bench_c_p1w": 0.10044442239901596, "ret_p1m": 0.08885017421602792, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.08885017421602792, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.028393222836149423, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11181845385575873, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.0604569513798785, "bench_c_p1m": 0.20066862807178665, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0307, -0.0083, 0.0279, 0.0214, 0.0245, 0.0338, 0.0031, -0.0142, -0.0142, -0.0087, -0.074, -0.0318, -0.0481, -0.0546, -0.035, 0.0051, 0.0051, -0.0222, 0.0186, 0.0556, 0.04, 0.0179, -0.0318, -0.1179, -0.0529, -0.0298, -0.1393, -0.0875, -0.0699, -0.0965, -0.1103, -0.1034, -0.1348, -0.0771, -0.1241, -0.1241, -0.1763, -0.1669, -0.1334, -0.1635, -0.1721, -0.2017, -0.2268, -0.1686, -0.1951, -0.1875, -0.1955, -0.2059, -0.1129, -0.1192, -0.046, -0.0753, -0.0303, -0.0554, -0.0314, -0.0819, -0.0871, -0.0871, -0.0948, -0.0955, -0.0944, -0.0446, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0174, 0.0627, 0.0627, 0.0627, 0.0627, 0.1516, 0.1777, 0.176, -0.0679, -0.0634, -0.0352, -0.1014, -0.0394, -0.084, -0.0955, -0.0662, 0.008, 0.0098, 0.0697, 0.0697, 0.0889, 0.047, 0.0213, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2054047445550805428", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-12T03:54:08+00:00", "symbol": "TOWA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "今年の下半期に向けてTOWAの業績は伸びると確信してるよ。それに、市場は今回の決算を誤解してると思うから、たぶんここから持ち直すんじゃないかな。", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish TOWA into H2: earnings growth expected and market misread Q results; expects price recovery from here.", "resolved_tickers": ["6315.T"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "TOWA Corp listed on TSE as 6315.T (HBM compression molding)", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "ja", "tweet_text": "うん、現実の人たちの生活に影響が出るってわかってるから、たとえ短期的なスパンであっても、自分の考えが間違っていると本当に辛いんだ。\nだから、間違いないって確信できるくらい、全力でリサーチするようにしてる。\n全てが思い通りにいくわけじゃないけど、それでも今年の下半期に向けてTOWAの業績は伸びると確信してるよ。\nそれに、市場は今回の決算を誤解してると思うから、たぶんここから持ち直すんじゃないかな。", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit 日本株は値動きはげしいね。\nセレニティが推奨した銘柄買う人は、エントリーについて特に日本株は気をつけてほしい。", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "beauty_oe", "ret_m1d": 0.26168224299065423, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.26168224299065423, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.2601650044738968, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.2348492852025139, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0015172385167574465, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02683295778814032, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.004859813084112208, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.004859813084112208, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0007350349526680233, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01511350000748024, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.005594848036780231, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01997331309159245, "ret_p1w": -0.017196261682242975, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.017196261682242975, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.011167905114489507, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.013609935248436345, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.006028356567753468, "bench_c_p1w": -0.03080619693067932, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0636, -0.0065, 0.0387, 0.0213, 0.0143, 0.0354, 0.0784, 0.0784, 0.0491, 0.0929, 0.1325, 0.1158, 0.0921, 0.0387, -0.0536, 0.0161, 0.041, -0.0766, -0.021, -0.002, -0.0306, -0.0454, -0.038, -0.0717, -0.0098, -0.0602, -0.0602, -0.1162, -0.1062, -0.0703, -0.1025, -0.1118, -0.1436, -0.1705, -0.108, -0.1364, -0.1282, -0.1368, -0.148, -0.0482, -0.055, 0.0236, -0.0079, 0.0404, 0.0135, 0.0393, -0.015, -0.0206, -0.0206, -0.0288, -0.0295, -0.0284, 0.025, 0.0729, 0.0729, 0.0916, 0.1402, 0.1402, 0.1402, 0.1402, 0.2355, 0.2636, 0.2617, 0.0, 0.0049, 0.0351, -0.0359, 0.0307, -0.0172, -0.0295, 0.0019, 0.0815, 0.0834, 0.1477, 0.1477, 0.1682, 0.1234, 0.0957, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2049985874193195425", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-30T22:54:53+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "AXTI becomes a mini-monopoly. The valuation comes from owning the entire supply chain, not just 'InP substrate creation'", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AXTI: controls entire InP supply chain (raw materials, pBN crucibles, substrates), not just substrates — mini-monopoly thesis; COHR dependent on AXTI upstream.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Retail short sellers should really not touch $AXTI.\n\nI keep seeing people misunderstand $AXTI as only \"InP Substrate\" with Sumitomo, over and over but just never made a comment. \n\nThis is wrong.\n\nThey are literally 40%+ of the InP supply chain, which is why institutions are funding them. \n\nThey hold MANY chokepoints, not just InP Substrates.\n\nAs seen with the Gulf, removing ~20% of a supply is catastrophic, but do that with 3-4 other chokepoints. \n\n-> All the raw materials (indium, gallium, germanium). \nVital and $AXTI (captive, JinMei) are the duopoly alongside Chinese companies. With Western 5N and others only holding a small fractional share.\n\nSince China (Vital, AXT) controls majority. \n\n-> pBN Crucible chokepoints:\n\n$AXTI is a another massive chokepoint (BoYu). there's a few other players like ShinEtsu/Morgan/etc, but this is another bottleneck in refinery layers. \n\nInP substrates:\n$AXT / Sumitomo are duopoly here, with JX, $COHR holding just a tiny percentage. \n\nThere's many other processes (eg. Red Phosphorus) here too (eg. Nippon Chemical/Rasa) in the middle. \n\nThis is a materials problem. \n\n$COHR can't just make InP substrates without all the upstream materials + refineries that $AXT controls. \n\nIf $LITE CEO can't sleep at night because of InP substrates, $5B valuations mean nothing to the Western hyperscaler buildout stay online. \n\nJapan is actively getting export controlled on upstream materials, while AXT holds them all captive. \n\nSo TLDR: It's not just \"InP Substrates\" that i see a lot of short sellers conflating.\n\nIt's all the indium, gallium -> refinery processing -> pBN Crucible that goes into the final duopoly InP substrate creation process they share with Sumitomo. \n\nif Vital and multiple chokepoints upstream stops shipping, downstream to the Western InP substate makers. \n\nAXTI becomes a mini-monopoly. \n\nThe valuation comes from owning the entire supply chain, not just \"InP substrate creation\" that even institutional analysts dont understand.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$AXTI is a short bro. If they 4x quarterly revenue by 2028, that puts them at ~$400M annual revs. They are a $5.2B MC company. We paying 13x FY28 revenue for this stock for real? \n\nYes, they are one of few suppliers of InP, but it's not necessarily proprietary. It was a small TAM", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.10287807877171562, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10287807877171562, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.09302647116971041, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.08878742785752836, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009851607602005208, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014090650914187264, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.21181517950938433, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.21181517950938433, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.20904606568101336, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.2056973904028805, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027691138283709726, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006117789106503846, "ret_p1w": 0.36859374524487065, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.36859374524487065, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.3506157801040264, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.3027191512189371, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017977965140844265, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06587459402593354, "ret_p1m": 0.3021964412082063, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3021964412082063, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2495707089599839, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1202221926430389, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05262573224822242, "bench_c_p1m": 0.18197424856516742, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7357, -0.7508, -0.7633, -0.7421, -0.6963, -0.6495, -0.6926, -0.6617, -0.6871, -0.694, -0.694, -0.707, -0.7029, -0.6994, -0.6253, -0.6411, -0.5572, -0.4828, -0.5314, -0.5216, -0.4153, -0.4729, -0.5061, -0.5102, -0.5914, -0.5133, -0.4408, -0.4022, -0.4101, -0.3832, -0.3892, -0.44, -0.3845, -0.2667, -0.3153, -0.1866, -0.1361, -0.1498, -0.2614, -0.2347, -0.3344, -0.2807, -0.4049, -0.333, -0.333, -0.47, -0.4262, -0.3287, -0.2032, -0.1899, -0.1612, -0.1505, -0.2056, 0.0323, 0.0422, -0.0058, -0.0536, 0.0975, -0.0499, -0.0386, -0.1145, -0.1327, -0.1029, 0.0, 0.2118, 0.338, 0.3576, 0.3233, 0.3686, 0.4688, 0.5881, 0.5514, 0.5393, 0.4514, 0.5625, 0.3365, 0.4249, 0.3205, 0.5276, 0.7777, 0.7777, 0.6738, 0.5497, 0.4605, 0.3022, 0.3022, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2049985874193195425", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-30T22:54:53+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$COHR can't just make InP substrates without all the upstream materials + refineries that $AXT controls", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AXTI: controls entire InP supply chain (raw materials, pBN crucibles, substrates), not just substrates — mini-monopoly thesis; COHR dependent on AXTI upstream.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Retail short sellers should really not touch $AXTI.\n\nI keep seeing people misunderstand $AXTI as only \"InP Substrate\" with Sumitomo, over and over but just never made a comment. \n\nThis is wrong.\n\nThey are literally 40%+ of the InP supply chain, which is why institutions are funding them. \n\nThey hold MANY chokepoints, not just InP Substrates.\n\nAs seen with the Gulf, removing ~20% of a supply is catastrophic, but do that with 3-4 other chokepoints. \n\n-> All the raw materials (indium, gallium, germanium). \nVital and $AXTI (captive, JinMei) are the duopoly alongside Chinese companies. With Western 5N and others only holding a small fractional share.\n\nSince China (Vital, AXT) controls majority. \n\n-> pBN Crucible chokepoints:\n\n$AXTI is a another massive chokepoint (BoYu). there's a few other players like ShinEtsu/Morgan/etc, but this is another bottleneck in refinery layers. \n\nInP substrates:\n$AXT / Sumitomo are duopoly here, with JX, $COHR holding just a tiny percentage. \n\nThere's many other processes (eg. Red Phosphorus) here too (eg. Nippon Chemical/Rasa) in the middle. \n\nThis is a materials problem. \n\n$COHR can't just make InP substrates without all the upstream materials + refineries that $AXT controls. \n\nIf $LITE CEO can't sleep at night because of InP substrates, $5B valuations mean nothing to the Western hyperscaler buildout stay online. \n\nJapan is actively getting export controlled on upstream materials, while AXT holds them all captive. \n\nSo TLDR: It's not just \"InP Substrates\" that i see a lot of short sellers conflating.\n\nIt's all the indium, gallium -> refinery processing -> pBN Crucible that goes into the final duopoly InP substrate creation process they share with Sumitomo. \n\nif Vital and multiple chokepoints upstream stops shipping, downstream to the Western InP substate makers. \n\nAXTI becomes a mini-monopoly. \n\nThe valuation comes from owning the entire supply chain, not just \"InP substrate creation\" that even institutional analysts dont understand.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$AXTI is a short bro. If they 4x quarterly revenue by 2028, that puts them at ~$400M annual revs. They are a $5.2B MC company. We paying 13x FY28 revenue for this stock for real? \n\nYes, they are one of few suppliers of InP, but it's not necessarily proprietary. It was a small TAM", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04622939280699201, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04622939280699201, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0363777852049868, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0363777852049868, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009851607602005208, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009851607602005208, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03062152828056819, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03062152828056819, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.027852414452197216, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.027852414452197216, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027691138283709726, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0027691138283709726, "ret_p1w": -0.001626439672108071, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.001626439672108071, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.019604404812952336, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.019604404812952336, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017977965140844265, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017977965140844265, "ret_p1m": 0.13061840693675242, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.13061840693675242, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.07799267468853, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.07799267468853, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05262573224822242, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05262573224822242, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3042, -0.2832, -0.34, -0.3455, -0.2879, -0.2416, -0.2857, -0.3003, -0.3241, -0.3205, -0.3205, -0.312, -0.2997, -0.2728, -0.2237, -0.2215, -0.2028, -0.1621, -0.2176, -0.1901, -0.0651, -0.1217, -0.1403, -0.2059, -0.2627, -0.2108, -0.1848, -0.2136, -0.2453, -0.2407, -0.2263, -0.2312, -0.1955, -0.1381, -0.2067, -0.2022, -0.1482, -0.1491, -0.239, -0.2384, -0.313, -0.2549, -0.2249, -0.1925, -0.1925, -0.208, -0.2021, -0.1186, -0.1112, -0.0382, -0.0368, -0.0197, -0.036, 0.0259, 0.0792, 0.087, 0.0753, 0.0962, 0.0562, 0.0512, 0.0057, -0.0492, -0.0462, 0.0, 0.0306, 0.0318, 0.0501, 0.0781, -0.0016, 0.0486, 0.1876, 0.1698, 0.2627, 0.2666, 0.1962, 0.1349, 0.1061, 0.1213, 0.1823, 0.181, 0.181, 0.1928, 0.1891, 0.179, 0.1306, 0.1306, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2057146050084045024", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-20T17:06:52+00:00", "symbol": "RDDT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "One of the most profitable names right now with high growth... But if it's related to software or not burning $1T+ in AI capex, markets don't care?", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish RDDT: underappreciated despite high profitability and growth because it lacks AI capex narrative.", "resolved_tickers": ["RDDT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "There's some things in the market that don't make much sense.\n\n$RDDT is the perfect example post-earnings. \n\nOne of the most profitable names right now with high growth...\n\nBut if it's related to software or not burning $1T+ in AI capex, markets don't care? https://t.co/uWJ55OuZMO", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.055616164082732844, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.055616164082732844, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06576121572691496, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0577694802178379, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010145051644182113, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0021533161351050545, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02262808095561275, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02262808095561275, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02064498388562952, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.02262808095561275, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0019830970699832307, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.05091331214935302, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05091331214935302, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03848832466516239, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.049535158280168856, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01242498748419063, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0013781538691841622, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0235, -0.029, -0.0316, 0.0201, 0.0309, -0.0062, 0.0027, -0.007, 0.0039, -0.0162, -0.05, -0.0536, -0.0858, -0.0654, -0.0986, -0.0979, -0.0458, -0.0163, -0.0268, -0.0586, -0.0468, -0.0393, -0.0722, -0.0483, -0.1326, -0.1696, -0.154, -0.0823, -0.0718, -0.0731, -0.0731, -0.0571, -0.038, -0.0117, -0.0568, -0.0476, 0.0179, 0.0533, 0.0802, 0.1072, 0.1164, 0.1333, 0.0688, 0.1199, 0.0425, 0.0557, 0.0919, 0.0082, 0.007, 0.0035, 0.1347, 0.1523, 0.1698, 0.1352, 0.1174, 0.0619, 0.0872, 0.0384, 0.0504, 0.0654, 0.078, 0.0844, 0.0556, 0.0, 0.0226, -0.0344, -0.0344, -0.0142, 0.0509, 0.1429, 0.1996, 0.1996, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2043499958134022631", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-13T01:22:11+00:00", "symbol": "COIN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$COIN is probably going to sell out the industry because they got their conditional banking charter approved", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bearish COIN: author claims Coinbase will betray the crypto industry after securing its conditional banking charter under the Clarity Act regime.", "resolved_tickers": ["COIN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Financial Data & Stock Exchanges'", "bench_c_industry": "Financial Data & Stock Exchanges", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Let's get this straight: The Clarity Act is a bank lobbyist bill.\n\nWhere JPM and others lobbied both sides to get control over digital assets / $CRCL stablecoins.\n\n$COIN is probably going to sell out the industry because they got their conditional banking charter approved. \n\nBut effectively, this bans competition in yields:\n\n-> So banks can continue offering .3% interest checking accs. \n\nInstead of handing out 4.3% treasury yields and keep the 4% difference.\n\n-> Hands them chokepoints over on/off-ramps and stablecoins. \n\n-> Bans any non-banks from offerings, like startups giving out 4.3% yields by holding stablecoins.\n\nTheir claim? \n\n1. “Safety”. These are the same institutions that operate on fractional reserve models and would GG on a bank run vs. 1-1 collateralized tokens.\n\n2. “Just become a bank”. While they secretly lobby behind the scenes to prevent any new competitive firm from becoming a bank. \n\nIf you want to see how it's things are doing under this administration:\n\nJust look at how things are going. \n\nAny genuinely helpful to retail are just going to get banned.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The last administration drove away the digital asset industry. It’s time to welcome them home with clear rules of the road.\n\nPass the Clarity Act.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03827418049906983, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03827418049906983, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.02859635824348583, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.021046162839812643, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009677822255584001, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01722801765925719, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.056609207310579945, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.056609207310579945, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.044424326558209826, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05428634760792406, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01218488075237012, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0023228597026558884, "ret_p1w": 0.21257094117344666, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.21257094117344666, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1796019921542169, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.19379430115083318, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.032968949019229754, "bench_c_p1w": 0.018776640022613478, "ret_p1m": 0.189709510353123, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.189709510353123, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11380218060082736, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.19125805887410074, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07590732975229564, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0015485485209777439, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.466, 0.371, 0.3817, 0.3817, 0.3048, 0.3002, 0.2785, 0.2431, 0.2232, 0.208, 0.2, 0.1412, 0.1158, 0.0764, 0.0294, -0.0339, -0.1628, -0.0539, -0.0417, -0.0689, -0.1222, -0.1916, -0.0585, -0.0585, -0.0488, -0.06, -0.0492, -0.0182, -0.0819, -0.0716, 0.0539, 0.0374, 0.0076, 0.0614, 0.0449, 0.1971, 0.1787, 0.13, 0.1447, 0.126, 0.1381, 0.1071, 0.1203, 0.165, 0.2045, 0.1591, 0.1626, 0.1316, 0.1495, 0.0373, 0.0376, -0.0066, -0.0767, -0.0787, 0.0005, -0.0088, -0.0176, -0.0176, 0.0015, 0.0037, 0.0032, -0.0316, -0.0383, 0.0, 0.0566, 0.1224, 0.145, 0.1822, 0.2126, 0.1227, 0.1817, 0.1341, 0.1446, 0.1269, 0.1121, 0.0413, 0.0759, 0.0958, 0.1631, 0.133, 0.1342, 0.1056, 0.1526, 0.241, 0.1897, 0.1562, 0.2147, 0.1198, 0.0854, 0.1084, 0.096, 0.109, 0.0599, 0.0599, 0.0314, -0.0043, 0.0442, 0.0831, 0.0831, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2037071138749087748", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-26T07:36:21+00:00", "symbol": "VLN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I still think it's undervalued. Net assets ($92.6M pure cash) vs. $132M MC. Net assets is $105M with zero debt. So EV is ~$27M? For a growing company with 60% GAAP gross margins on $70.6M FY 2025 revenue.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still bullish VLN despite market disagreement; EV ~$27M vs $105M net assets and 60% margins makes valuation look deeply undervalued.", "resolved_tickers": ["VLN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "As for $VLN, I don't think I'm wrong. But markets clearly disagree with my opnion.\n\n I've learned two things:\n\n- Some stocks like Japanese ones can trade way under book value\n- Markets don't like stocks from Israel like $ETOR for some reason (lost a lot on that too). \n\nI still think it's undervalued. Net assets ($92.6M pure cash) vs. $132M MC. \n\nNet assets is $105M with zero debt.\n\nSo EV is ~$27M? For a growing company with 60% GAAP gross margins on $70.6M FY 2025 revenue.\n\nSo valuation looks stupid. But somehow stocks operate that way.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit What about $VLN ? The valuation mismatch or name misunderstanding which you believed never played out ?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Focussed_Swings", "ret_m1d": 0.03278685320900654, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03278685320900654, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01460337496500319, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.014949710310050657, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.018183478244003348, "bench_c_m1d": 0.047736563519057196, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.032786950921536606, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.032786950921536606, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.015735067398208624, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.015483105733900882, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.017051883523327982, "bench_c_p1d": -0.017303845187635725, "ret_p1w": -0.02459013990675485, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.02459013990675485, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04123896377204972, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.05473406149250859, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01664882386529487, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03014392158575374, "ret_p1m": 0.4672130490784634, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4672130490784634, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.36048379778070117, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.13741573968010856, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.10672925129776223, "bench_c_p1m": 0.32979730939835483, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1557, 0.1311, 0.1639, 0.1639, 0.2787, 0.2869, 0.3033, 0.2705, 0.2787, 1.0328, 0.8934, 0.918, 0.7131, 0.7131, 0.6311, 0.6311, 0.5902, 0.6066, 0.7213, 0.6066, 0.5082, 0.5082, 0.4508, 0.4426, 0.3934, 0.3689, 0.3115, 0.2623, 0.1721, 0.2623, 0.2459, 0.2705, 0.2623, 0.2295, 0.2459, 0.2459, 0.1967, 0.2213, 0.2213, 0.2377, 0.2131, 0.2541, 0.2623, 0.3115, 0.2131, 0.2131, 0.1803, 0.1803, 0.1475, 0.1066, 0.1066, 0.1311, 0.1721, 0.1066, 0.0902, 0.0902, 0.0984, 0.0246, 0.0492, 0.0, 0.0328, 0.0246, 0.0328, 0.0, -0.0328, -0.0902, -0.0738, -0.041, -0.0246, -0.0246, -0.0246, -0.0328, 0.0738, 0.0984, 0.0902, 0.1066, 0.1311, 0.2049, 0.2705, 0.2459, 0.2049, 0.2295, 0.3197, 0.3525, 0.4672, 0.3197, 0.2377, 0.2377, 0.7787, 0.918, 0.8443, 0.9836, 1.0492, 0.9754, 1.2869, 1.3361, 1.2131, 1.418, 1.7623, 1.5, 1.3115, 1.1803, 1.377, 1.5082, 1.6393, 1.6393, 1.6721, 1.582, 1.8689, 1.8934, 1.8934, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2043522770194325946", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-13T02:52:49+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I do expect the next architectural \"supercycle\" to blow away a lot of projections like what's happening with $LITE and their supply chain rn", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish LITE as a supercycle beneficiary blowing away projections.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@Liudas Was showing baseline modeling, if they hit upper bounds of unit projections (eg. ~4m units instead of 3.5), it hits 20.\n\nAnd I do expect the next architectural \"supercycle\" to blow away a lot of projections like what's happening with $LITE and their supply chain rn.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Help me understand. Your model shows NT$1.87B net income in 2027. At ~20x that's roughly NT$37B market cap — but the stock is already at NT$46B today. What multiple are you actually using?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Liudas", "ret_m1d": 0.02998231747375346, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02998231747375346, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03966013972933746, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03966013972933746, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009677822255584001, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009677822255584001, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.021109317021794305, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.021109317021794305, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.033294197774164425, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.033294197774164425, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01218488075237012, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01218488075237012, "ret_p1w": 0.0274684828358851, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0274684828358851, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.005500466183344654, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.005500466183344654, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.032968949019229754, "bench_c_p1w": 0.032968949019229754, "ret_p1m": 0.13911017638178058, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13911017638178058, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06320284662948494, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06320284662948494, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07590732975229564, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07590732975229564, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6193, -0.606, -0.6278, -0.6278, -0.5904, -0.584, -0.5931, -0.6107, -0.6184, -0.5745, -0.5581, -0.5622, -0.5502, -0.514, -0.5006, -0.4656, -0.421, -0.3664, -0.3375, -0.3559, -0.341, -0.3303, -0.354, -0.354, -0.3108, -0.3179, -0.2704, -0.2335, -0.2255, -0.21, -0.1696, -0.2229, -0.1954, -0.1009, -0.2029, -0.2185, -0.2529, -0.359, -0.2646, -0.2286, -0.2286, -0.2928, -0.2855, -0.2828, -0.2544, -0.1956, -0.1137, -0.1892, -0.1633, -0.0794, -0.1079, -0.2093, -0.1934, -0.2484, -0.1933, -0.1223, -0.0509, -0.0509, -0.1135, -0.0636, 0.0285, 0.0263, 0.03, 0.0, -0.0211, -0.0541, 0.023, 0.0263, 0.0275, -0.0393, 0.0028, -0.0279, 0.012, -0.0132, -0.0916, -0.0148, 0.0357, 0.0904, 0.1205, 0.1416, 0.0839, 0.0246, 0.0374, 0.2088, 0.1391, 0.1827, 0.1499, 0.1142, 0.0158, 0.0217, -0.0036, 0.1071, 0.0869, 0.0869, 0.0455, 0.0357, -0.0121, -0.0186, -0.0186, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2043542019143086493", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-13T04:09:19+00:00", "symbol": "6451 Shunsin", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "個人的に銘柄としてすごく推してたのに！", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Strongly recommends Shunsin (6451) as a rare de-risked play in NVDA's CPO supply chain.", "resolved_tickers": ["6451.TW"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Shunsin Technology 6451 listed on TWSE", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TW')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "ja", "tweet_text": "@beauty_oe 日本の人たちが6451にアクセス（取引）できないのはショックだな。個人的に銘柄としてすごく推してたのに！\n\n$NVDA のCPOサプライチェーンで、あそこまでディリスクされた企業はレアだったよ。", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "6451 Shunsin\n\n日本から買える証券会社探しましたが、ありませんでした🥺", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "beauty_oe", "ret_m1d": -0.09052631578947368, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09052631578947368, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.08084849353388968, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07365946607323626, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009677822255584001, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01686684971623742, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.002105263157894832, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.002105263157894832, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010079617594475287, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.022811640688437107, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01218488075237012, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02491690384633194, "ret_p1w": 0.06736842105263152, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06736842105263152, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03439947203340177, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0007378152899386592, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.032968949019229754, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06810623634257018, "ret_p1m": -0.03894736842105262, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.03894736842105262, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11485469817334826, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.23713282821489523, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07590732975229564, "bench_c_p1m": 0.1981854597938426, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.68, -0.6853, -0.6884, -0.6926, -0.6916, -0.6789, -0.68, -0.6884, -0.6916, -0.6874, -0.6642, -0.6432, -0.6611, -0.6368, -0.6011, -0.5621, -0.5832, -0.6242, -0.6358, -0.6263, -0.6505, -0.6505, -0.6505, -0.6505, -0.6505, -0.6505, -0.6505, -0.6505, -0.6158, -0.5779, -0.5558, -0.56, -0.56, -0.5695, -0.5632, -0.6063, -0.5895, -0.6, -0.64, -0.6368, -0.6011, -0.5874, -0.5463, -0.5011, -0.4516, -0.4126, -0.4274, -0.4221, -0.4095, -0.3895, -0.3284, -0.3011, -0.2316, -0.3084, -0.3768, -0.3579, -0.3779, -0.3779, -0.3779, -0.3158, -0.2474, -0.1726, -0.0905, 0.0, 0.0021, -0.04, 0.04, 0.0632, 0.0674, -0.0021, 0.0442, -0.06, -0.1537, -0.2011, -0.1474, -0.1632, -0.0926, -0.0926, -0.0021, 0.0968, 0.0053, 0.0316, -0.0716, -0.0411, -0.0389, 0.0063, 0.1053, 0.2147, 0.0947, 0.0189, 0.0221, 0.0505, 0.1032, 0.2126, 0.3305, 0.2674, 0.1979, 0.2, 0.2905, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2041249789195813291", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-06T20:20:48+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If it passes for 50m more share authorized dilution, I personally would not hold", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bearish AXTI if dilution vote passes on the 14th; also flags IREN's $6B dilution as a red flag with same bearish logic.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you’re curious about $AXTI:\n\nIt’s down 21% on the new potential dilution news.\n\nBoard wanted to add 50M more shares (up to $2B worth to dilute) for shareholders vote in the 14th.\n\n70m -> 120m shares.\n\nI say this about $IREN excessive $6B dilution and it’s the same with AXT price proposal that I hold. \n\nI would not “trust in management” to use it wisely and the fact it’s filed is a red flag.\n\nThat being said: we’ll see what happens on the 14th. If it passes for 50m more share authorized dilution, I personally would not hold.\n\nBut it fails, I expect a recovery.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.25839480925015446, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.25839480925015446, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.2630993690977782, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.26763770929703523, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004704559847623746, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009242900046880775, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08263865842580653, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08263865842580653, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.08219858431995775, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07273921198558808, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004400741058487867, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009899446440218451, "ret_p1w": 0.5825195115988504, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.5825195115988504, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.5412860221353879, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.4629175518090223, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0412334894634625, "bench_c_p1w": 0.11960195978982813, "ret_p1m": 1.5613240950859817, "ret_signed_p1m": -1.5613240950859817, "alpha_spy_p1m": -1.4629220985519242, "alpha_c_p1m": -1.2413332169114442, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09840199653405746, "bench_c_p1m": 0.31999087817453753, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4258, -0.3849, -0.4525, -0.4704, -0.4877, -0.4737, -0.3875, -0.4739, -0.4739, -0.4901, -0.5289, -0.5732, -0.5856, -0.5761, -0.5904, -0.5992, -0.6099, -0.5585, -0.5013, -0.5299, -0.5535, -0.5135, -0.427, -0.3387, -0.4201, -0.3618, -0.4096, -0.4227, -0.4227, -0.4472, -0.4394, -0.433, -0.2932, -0.3229, -0.1646, -0.0243, -0.116, -0.0974, 0.1031, -0.0055, -0.0681, -0.076, -0.2291, -0.0817, 0.055, 0.1279, 0.1129, 0.1636, 0.1524, 0.0564, 0.1612, 0.3834, 0.2917, 0.5347, 0.6299, 0.604, 0.3934, 0.4439, 0.2558, 0.357, 0.1226, 0.2584, 0.2584, 0.0, 0.0826, 0.2665, 0.5032, 0.5285, 0.5825, 0.6028, 0.4987, 0.9476, 0.9662, 0.8757, 0.7854, 1.0705, 0.7926, 0.8138, 0.6706, 0.6363, 0.6925, 0.8866, 1.2863, 1.5244, 1.5613, 1.4965, 1.582, 1.7711, 1.9962, 1.9269, 1.904, 1.7383, 1.9478, 1.5216, 1.6883, 1.4913, 1.8821, 2.3539, 2.3539, 2.1579, 1.9238, 1.7554, 1.4568, 1.4568, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2041249789195813291", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-06T20:20:48+00:00", "symbol": "IREN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I say this about $IREN excessive $6B dilution", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bearish AXTI if dilution vote passes on the 14th; also flags IREN's $6B dilution as a red flag with same bearish logic.", "resolved_tickers": ["IREN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "If you’re curious about $AXTI:\n\nIt’s down 21% on the new potential dilution news.\n\nBoard wanted to add 50M more shares (up to $2B worth to dilute) for shareholders vote in the 14th.\n\n70m -> 120m shares.\n\nI say this about $IREN excessive $6B dilution and it’s the same with AXT price proposal that I hold. \n\nI would not “trust in management” to use it wisely and the fact it’s filed is a red flag.\n\nThat being said: we’ll see what happens on the 14th. If it passes for 50m more share authorized dilution, I personally would not hold.\n\nBut it fails, I expect a recovery.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.01024766864235327, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.01024766864235327, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.005543108794729523, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.003230782489115125, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004704559847623746, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007016886153238144, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.017364093134207614, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.017364093134207614, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.016924019028358828, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.017364093134207614, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004400741058487867, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.2260176027696026, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.2260176027696026, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.18478411330614009, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.19033198245724248, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0412334894634625, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03568562031236011, "ret_p1m": 0.5582123545151279, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.5582123545151279, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.4598103579810704, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.5239300961379174, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09840199653405746, "bench_c_p1m": 0.03428225837721044, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2418, 0.3003, 0.3103, 0.4327, 0.5084, 0.5053, 0.4771, 0.6459, 0.6459, 0.5445, 0.5223, 0.4876, 0.6134, 0.4905, 0.7077, 0.7916, 0.7034, 0.5297, 0.511, 0.5482, 0.2792, 0.1327, 0.1907, 0.3137, 0.222, 0.2146, 0.1395, 0.2018, 0.2018, 0.1662, 0.1978, 0.2323, 0.1381, 0.2058, 0.2938, 0.2533, 0.2593, 0.1657, 0.1782, 0.1059, 0.2479, 0.1422, 0.0447, 0.1056, 0.0851, 0.195, 0.1776, 0.1836, 0.2792, 0.2229, 0.2015, 0.1859, 0.1753, 0.2001, 0.1705, 0.1793, 0.066, -0.0011, -0.0999, -0.0242, -0.0296, -0.0102, -0.0102, 0.0, 0.0174, 0.0484, 0.0549, 0.1193, 0.226, 0.3484, 0.3897, 0.3578, 0.3698, 0.3868, 0.2858, 0.3775, 0.4808, 0.4415, 0.3766, 0.265, 0.22, 0.2955, 0.2997, 0.4085, 0.5582, 0.7358, 0.6183, 0.7421, 0.5699, 0.61, 0.5705, 0.6624, 0.507, 0.4364, 0.359, 0.5004, 0.6527, 0.6177, 0.6177, 0.7017, 0.9311, 0.8232, 0.8087, 0.8087, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2051593478245851178", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-05-05T09:22:56+00:00", "symbol": "CPO", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I have never seen a sector more bullish than CPO", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Extremely bullish CPO sector on 55,000%+ growth curve from $164M to $91B by 2028; names SIVE, SOI as key plays on NVDA-driven architectural shift.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR", "LITE", "AAOI", "FN", "POET"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Co-packaged optics sector basket", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just reiterating my disbelief:\n\nI have never seen a sector more bullish than CPO. \n\nGS reported Optical TAM 9X from $15b in 2026 -> US$154b in 2028\n\nCPO making up $91B of that.\n \nStarting from ~$164M (Modor for 2026 / sampling) to $91 Billion (GS 2028) \n\n55,000%+ CPO growth curve starting from today\n\nThis is exactly why algorithms / analysts mess up because they might look at TTM revenue at these CPO names. \n\nBut everything happens in the next two years with $SIVE to Shunsin to MSSCorps to $SOI. \n\nThis is Zero to 100 from a massive architectural shift pushed by $NVDA. \n\nI genuinely still don't think retail or markets understand what's coming yet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04377468516901421, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04377468516901421, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03581634258754689, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03581634258754689, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007958342581467326, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007958342581467326, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009726312676535032, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009726312676535032, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.00417312676848256, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.00417312676848256, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.013899439445017592, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013899439445017592, "ret_p1w": 0.12123090860961697, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12123090860961697, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10132130644916285, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10132130644916285, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01990960216045412, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01990960216045412, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4851, -0.4242, -0.3996, -0.4294, -0.4301, -0.4426, -0.4369, -0.4369, -0.4293, -0.4246, -0.4051, -0.3717, -0.3617, -0.3373, -0.3059, -0.3495, -0.316, -0.2247, -0.2671, -0.2696, -0.2968, -0.3568, -0.2933, -0.2597, -0.254, -0.2979, -0.3226, -0.3174, -0.3332, -0.3175, -0.2686, -0.3278, -0.2983, -0.2437, -0.2371, -0.3229, -0.325, -0.3838, -0.3361, -0.3193, -0.2632, -0.2632, -0.2749, -0.2553, -0.1851, -0.184, -0.1161, -0.1042, -0.1275, -0.1337, -0.088, -0.0715, -0.0334, -0.0269, 0.0363, -0.0127, 0.1032, -0.0941, -0.1402, -0.1383, -0.0844, -0.0367, -0.0438, 0.0, 0.0097, -0.0582, -0.0276, 0.1413, 0.1212, 0.2177, 0.3409, 0.1994, 0.1067, 0.0685, 0.0927, 0.1498, 0.1464, 0.1464, 0.1032, 0.1035, 0.0751, 0.0277, 0.0277, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2051593478245851178", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-05-05T09:22:56+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "This is Zero to 100 from a massive architectural shift pushed by $NVDA", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Extremely bullish CPO sector on 55,000%+ growth curve from $164M to $91B by 2028; names SIVE, SOI as key plays on NVDA-driven architectural shift.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just reiterating my disbelief:\n\nI have never seen a sector more bullish than CPO. \n\nGS reported Optical TAM 9X from $15b in 2026 -> US$154b in 2028\n\nCPO making up $91B of that.\n \nStarting from ~$164M (Modor for 2026 / sampling) to $91 Billion (GS 2028) \n\n55,000%+ CPO growth curve starting from today\n\nThis is exactly why algorithms / analysts mess up because they might look at TTM revenue at these CPO names. \n\nBut everything happens in the next two years with $SIVE to Shunsin to MSSCorps to $SOI. \n\nThis is Zero to 100 from a massive architectural shift pushed by $NVDA. \n\nI genuinely still don't think retail or markets understand what's coming yet.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.010076314135058828, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.010076314135058828, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.018034656716526154, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.018034656716526154, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007958342581467326, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007958342581467326, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05765904239722497, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05765904239722497, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04375960295220738, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04375960295220738, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.013899439445017592, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013899439445017592, "ret_p1w": 0.12356233475469147, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12356233475469147, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.10365273259423735, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10365273259423735, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01990960216045412, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01990960216045412, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1253, -0.0565, -0.0329, -0.0406, -0.0329, -0.0487, -0.0697, -0.0697, -0.0587, -0.0434, -0.0438, -0.034, -0.0252, -0.0186, -0.0048, -0.0591, -0.0983, -0.0714, -0.0838, -0.0685, -0.067, -0.0951, -0.0705, -0.0597, -0.0533, -0.068, -0.0827, -0.0676, -0.0741, -0.0819, -0.0913, -0.1211, -0.1062, -0.1084, -0.0907, -0.1285, -0.1475, -0.1594, -0.1125, -0.1056, -0.0973, -0.0973, -0.096, -0.0936, -0.0734, -0.0641, -0.0401, -0.0366, 0.0001, 0.0121, 0.0094, 0.0264, 0.0283, 0.0172, 0.0305, 0.016, 0.0599, 0.1023, 0.0848, 0.0649, 0.0156, 0.0099, 0.0101, 0.0, 0.0577, 0.0763, 0.0952, 0.1167, 0.1236, 0.1493, 0.1997, 0.1467, 0.1314, 0.1227, 0.1373, 0.1171, 0.0958, 0.0958, 0.0934, 0.0819, 0.0903, 0.0745, 0.0745, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2040845588632318002", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-05T17:34:40+00:00", "symbol": "AEHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Markets are forward looking, so a lot of the repricing would happen around now imo", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish AEHR into earnings; multiple hyperscaler/optical transceiver qualifications suggest volume ramp projections and positive repricing around this ER.", "resolved_tickers": ["AEHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AEHR earnings should be fun. \n\nI haven't seen so many hyperscalers/optical transceiver (prob $AMD, $GOOGL, $INTC, and others) companies qualifying a small $1.3B company before.\n\nMy guess is maybe next earnings, we'll see more volume ramp projections? They just begun qualification with that new optical transceiver company last week.\n\nWould be nice if it happened this ER though. Markets are forward looking, so a lot of the repricing would happen around now imo.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $AEHR’s earnings is this week by the way", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "platochi", "ret_m1d": -0.15030675183134357, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.15030675183134357, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.14560219198371982, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1410638517844628, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.004704559847623746, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009242900046880775, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03661809534124971, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03661809534124971, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0370581694470985, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.046517541781468164, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0004400741058487867, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009899446440218451, "ret_p1w": 0.3738497674797203, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.3738497674797203, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.3326162780162578, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2542478076898922, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0412334894634625, "bench_c_p1w": 0.11960195978982813, "ret_p1m": 0.748274591797772, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.748274591797772, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6498725952637145, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4282837136232345, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09840199653405746, "bench_c_p1m": 0.31999087817453753, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5364, -0.5648, -0.4954, -0.4948, -0.486, -0.5021, -0.4914, -0.4477, -0.4477, -0.4429, -0.4402, -0.4074, -0.4624, -0.4866, -0.468, -0.4636, -0.4847, -0.5084, -0.5004, -0.4787, -0.5431, -0.559, -0.4941, -0.4711, -0.4856, -0.351, -0.4653, -0.4471, -0.4471, -0.4538, -0.4438, -0.4197, -0.3558, -0.342, -0.2479, -0.2048, -0.237, -0.2824, -0.1559, -0.2017, -0.1821, -0.2237, -0.3173, -0.2163, -0.1956, -0.1862, -0.2782, -0.3161, -0.2814, -0.2889, -0.3039, -0.2761, -0.3382, -0.2878, -0.2487, -0.2517, -0.3372, -0.3765, -0.4225, -0.2891, -0.2408, -0.1503, -0.1503, 0.0, -0.0366, 0.2109, 0.3202, 0.3503, 0.3738, 0.426, 0.4038, 0.55, 0.6077, 0.7283, 0.7968, 0.8666, 0.8311, 0.8388, 0.6963, 0.5803, 0.5684, 0.7362, 0.7843, 0.6413, 0.7483, 0.8545, 0.7496, 0.8641, 1.0046, 0.8543, 0.9795, 1.0387, 0.9076, 0.6022, 0.5556, 0.5786, 0.7504, 0.8217, 0.8217, 1.1074, 0.9904, 0.917, 0.7701, 0.7701, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2052084166960001150", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-06T17:52:45+00:00", "symbol": "SIVEF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SIVEF or $AAOI on the other hand are volume ramping soon <8M and directly in the CW space", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long SIVEF and AAOI on near-term CPO volume ramp; bearish ALMU/QD as years away from relevance.", "resolved_tickers": ["SIVEF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "MicroLED still feels far away before any CPO related volume ramp per Goldman Sachs note. \n\nQuantum Dot like $ALMU / QD isn't even mentioned since it's way way out by years.\n\nIn a correction, \"premiums\" disappear, but valuation floors are backed by revenue. \n\n$SIVEF or $AAOI on the other hand are volume ramping soon <8M and directly in the CW space. \n\nWould prefer immediate upside after years of R&D/expansion... \n\nThan waiting years at the beginning for R&D into sampling into qualification... Then inflection point of volume ramp. \n\n\"Technology readiness\" is low for MicroLED.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit Its because MicroLED is far superior", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0635208511966967, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0635208511966967, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.07722974470651633, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.11276053186346491, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.01370889350981963, "bench_c_m1d": -0.049239680666768204, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0780399795487926, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0780399795487926, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0749738743914663, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.060468613847228014, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0030661051573263043, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01757136570156459, "ret_p1w": 0.06388380127989657, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06388380127989657, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.052328018235780815, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.022593034756684505, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011555783044115753, "bench_c_p1w": 0.041290766523212064, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, -0.7523, -0.7314, -0.7783, -0.8113, -0.8221, -0.7949, -0.7949, -0.7964, -0.7964, -0.8058, -0.8103, -0.7713, -0.7768, -0.7441, -0.637, -0.677, -0.5681, -0.4755, -0.5299, -0.3321, -0.3811, -0.3866, -0.4343, -0.3575, -0.3657, -0.3757, -0.2486, -0.1252, -0.1071, 0.0635, 0.0635, 0.0, -0.078, -0.1279, 0.0145, -0.1252, 0.0639, 0.1579, 0.0799, -0.0886, -0.069, 0.0526, 0.1434, 0.3466, 0.3466, 0.706, 0.5299, 0.3993, 0.3303, 0.3303, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2052084166960001150", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-06T17:52:45+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SIVEF or $AAOI on the other hand are volume ramping soon <8M and directly in the CW space", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long SIVEF and AAOI on near-term CPO volume ramp; bearish ALMU/QD as years away from relevance.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "MicroLED still feels far away before any CPO related volume ramp per Goldman Sachs note. \n\nQuantum Dot like $ALMU / QD isn't even mentioned since it's way way out by years.\n\nIn a correction, \"premiums\" disappear, but valuation floors are backed by revenue. \n\n$SIVEF or $AAOI on the other hand are volume ramping soon <8M and directly in the CW space. \n\nWould prefer immediate upside after years of R&D/expansion... \n\nThan waiting years at the beginning for R&D into sampling into qualification... Then inflection point of volume ramp. \n\n\"Technology readiness\" is low for MicroLED.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit Its because MicroLED is far superior", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.011370080174880393, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011370080174880393, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.025078973684700023, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.025078973684700023, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.01370889350981963, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01370889350981963, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.11756464110949028, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.11756464110949028, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.11449853595216397, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.11449853595216397, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0030661051573263043, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0030661051573263043, "ret_p1w": 0.2495800072422416, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2495800072422416, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.23802422419812586, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.23802422419812586, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011555783044115753, "bench_c_p1w": 0.011555783044115753, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7519, -0.7317, -0.7284, -0.7289, -0.7536, -0.751, -0.751, -0.7541, -0.7567, -0.7369, -0.7105, -0.6978, -0.6848, -0.6745, -0.6993, -0.5282, -0.4258, -0.466, -0.4415, -0.4335, -0.4647, -0.3804, -0.3251, -0.2886, -0.4052, -0.4578, -0.4731, -0.5165, -0.4812, -0.4291, -0.5097, -0.4636, -0.362, -0.3592, -0.4544, -0.4499, -0.5229, -0.5262, -0.5164, -0.418, -0.418, -0.3982, -0.3411, -0.2567, -0.2534, -0.1565, -0.142, -0.1801, -0.2016, -0.1189, -0.1071, -0.0844, -0.1567, -0.1631, -0.2286, -0.0917, -0.1835, -0.2312, -0.144, -0.0794, 0.0278, -0.0311, 0.0114, 0.0, -0.1176, -0.1658, 0.0356, 0.0546, 0.2496, 0.1402, 0.0662, -0.0296, -0.0404, -0.0744, -0.0097, 0.0165, 0.0165, -0.0052, 0.0072, -0.0533, -0.1127, -0.1127, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2052084166960001150", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-05-06T17:52:45+00:00", "symbol": "ALMU", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Quantum Dot like $ALMU / QD isn't even mentioned since it's way way out by years", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long SIVEF and AAOI on near-term CPO volume ramp; bearish ALMU/QD as years away from relevance.", "resolved_tickers": ["ALMU"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "MicroLED still feels far away before any CPO related volume ramp per Goldman Sachs note. \n\nQuantum Dot like $ALMU / QD isn't even mentioned since it's way way out by years.\n\nIn a correction, \"premiums\" disappear, but valuation floors are backed by revenue. \n\n$SIVEF or $AAOI on the other hand are volume ramping soon <8M and directly in the CW space. \n\nWould prefer immediate upside after years of R&D/expansion... \n\nThan waiting years at the beginning for R&D into sampling into qualification... Then inflection point of volume ramp. \n\n\"Technology readiness\" is low for MicroLED.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit Its because MicroLED is far superior", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03693928813519742, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03693928813519742, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.023230394625377793, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.01230039253157078, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.01370889350981963, "bench_c_m1d": -0.049239680666768204, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.15672823371258426, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.15672823371258426, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.15366212855525796, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.13915686801101967, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0030661051573263043, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01757136570156459, "ret_p1w": 0.10782763821718833, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.10782763821718833, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09627185517307257, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.06653687169397626, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.011555783044115753, "bench_c_p1w": 0.041290766523212064, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4702, -0.4758, -0.415, -0.4093, -0.4591, -0.4923, -0.4923, -0.4378, -0.4399, -0.4375, -0.4589, -0.4501, -0.3755, -0.4245, -0.4371, -0.4558, -0.3231, -0.3217, -0.3541, -0.447, -0.4716, -0.4582, -0.4434, -0.4343, -0.4797, -0.479, -0.4748, -0.4959, -0.498, -0.5054, -0.5332, -0.5434, -0.5434, -0.549, -0.5497, -0.5708, -0.5543, -0.5395, -0.5479, -0.5272, -0.5272, -0.5872, -0.5884, -0.5958, -0.6225, -0.6215, -0.46, -0.4983, -0.415, -0.3896, -0.4329, -0.4135, -0.3921, -0.2545, -0.3418, -0.3244, -0.2971, -0.3347, -0.3256, -0.1807, -0.1001, -0.1923, -0.0369, 0.0, -0.1567, -0.1412, -0.0086, -0.0463, 0.1078, -0.0624, -0.1254, -0.2697, -0.2283, -0.263, -0.1799, -0.2035, -0.2035, -0.143, -0.1849, -0.1877, -0.2408, -0.2408, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2046095854621413511", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-20T05:17:21+00:00", "symbol": "ASTS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "short", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it does matter for future revenue recognition, when they dont have satellites in space... this hurts forward earnings growth a lot... Seems like in a pretty bad spot", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish ASTS on delayed launches hurting forward revenue/earnings growth; bullish RKLB as beneficiary of Blue Origin failure.", "resolved_tickers": ["ASTS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Space sector with $ASTS looks like it’s having fun.\n\nLot of optimism on X somehow, even after Blue Origin had a major failure... (positive for SpaceX and byproduct $RKLB.)\n\nAs for $ASTS it does matter for future revenue recognition, when they dont have satellites in space. \n\nBlue Origin launches probably got delayed a ton of months, maybe like ~4-7M? \n\nIf a company that is priced primarily by forward growth gets delayed. \n\nThen it's not just one satellite, but the subsequent ones ones as well... this hurts forward earnings growth a lot (since it doesn’t look like they hit 45 targets)\n\nAfter months of investigation Blue Origin will likely be backlogged from $AMZN Kuiper and DoD payloads too. \n\nSeems like in a pretty bad spot being dependent on their competitor SpaceX. \n\nDefinitely not \"immaterial\" as others were claiming with their squiggly line charts, but no comment about buying opportunity.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.055925910855517014, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.055925910855517014, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0539222366202563, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0539222366202563, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": -0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.012222195849006523, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012222195849006523, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.005675246694070268, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.005675246694070268, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "ret_p1w": -0.04691361792293591, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04691361792293591, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05601454984761722, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05601454984761722, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "ret_p1m": 0.0876543021496432, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0876543021496432, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.0523653152444028, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0523653152444028, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2778, 0.4367, 0.4021, 0.2936, 0.3746, 0.4967, 0.5073, 0.373, 0.2907, 0.4291, 0.2778, 0.1515, 0.2567, 0.2607, 0.1885, 0.1965, 0.0151, 0.0186, 0.0186, 0.0251, 0.0423, 0.0667, -0.0099, 0.0358, 0.0595, 0.0168, 0.0588, -0.0223, 0.0731, 0.1442, 0.2949, 0.1588, 0.1046, 0.1081, 0.0806, 0.089, 0.0752, 0.0659, 0.1001, 0.1815, 0.1202, 0.1616, 0.1102, 0.0916, 0.0738, 0.1859, 0.0847, -0.0288, -0.0886, 0.0231, 0.0369, 0.1435, 0.1435, 0.1705, 0.1428, 0.1909, 0.131, 0.1716, 0.2219, 0.0935, 0.073, 0.1227, 0.0559, 0.0, -0.0122, 0.0452, -0.0278, -0.0568, -0.0469, -0.1126, -0.1377, -0.0877, -0.1248, -0.1552, -0.2115, -0.1274, -0.1932, -0.0735, 0.0191, -0.0993, -0.0764, 0.0248, 0.033, 0.072, 0.0877, 0.1059, 0.188, 0.3069, 0.3069, 0.4778, 0.6, 0.6431, 0.4001, 0.4001, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2046095854621413511", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-20T05:17:21+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "positive for SpaceX and byproduct $RKLB", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bearish ASTS on delayed launches hurting forward revenue/earnings growth; bullish RKLB as beneficiary of Blue Origin failure.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Space sector with $ASTS looks like it’s having fun.\n\nLot of optimism on X somehow, even after Blue Origin had a major failure... (positive for SpaceX and byproduct $RKLB.)\n\nAs for $ASTS it does matter for future revenue recognition, when they dont have satellites in space. \n\nBlue Origin launches probably got delayed a ton of months, maybe like ~4-7M? \n\nIf a company that is priced primarily by forward growth gets delayed. \n\nThen it's not just one satellite, but the subsequent ones ones as well... this hurts forward earnings growth a lot (since it doesn’t look like they hit 45 targets)\n\nAfter months of investigation Blue Origin will likely be backlogged from $AMZN Kuiper and DoD payloads too. \n\nSeems like in a pretty bad spot being dependent on their competitor SpaceX. \n\nDefinitely not \"immaterial\" as others were claiming with their squiggly line charts, but no comment about buying opportunity.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.052090275882013315, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.052090275882013315, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.054093950117274026, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.049847611112970314, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0022426647690430013, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.031522465053475224, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.031522465053475224, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.02497551589853897, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.017376452739395143, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "bench_c_p1d": -0.01414601231408008, "ret_p1w": -0.08014753233090288, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.08014753233090288, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.08924846425558419, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0721544360776859, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "bench_c_p1w": -0.00799309625321698, "ret_p1m": 0.42309410755058474, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.42309410755058474, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.38780512064534434, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4527662673230103, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "bench_c_p1m": -0.029672159772425544, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0183, -0.0165, -0.0063, -0.1004, -0.0275, -0.0099, -0.0423, -0.105, -0.1711, -0.0915, -0.1828, -0.2587, -0.1916, -0.1522, -0.1948, -0.2218, -0.2621, -0.2461, -0.2461, -0.2188, -0.1681, -0.144, -0.2079, -0.2152, -0.2179, -0.2153, -0.1879, -0.2276, -0.2067, -0.2161, -0.1962, -0.2175, -0.2163, -0.201, -0.2295, -0.1956, -0.2357, -0.2353, -0.2029, -0.1215, -0.2233, -0.196, -0.2485, -0.2399, -0.2615, -0.1853, -0.2629, -0.3189, -0.3586, -0.2821, -0.2676, -0.2429, -0.2429, -0.2436, -0.2587, -0.2278, -0.254, -0.2393, -0.2106, -0.1927, -0.1773, -0.073, -0.0521, 0.0, -0.0315, 0.0065, -0.0543, -0.1093, -0.0801, -0.1215, -0.1391, -0.0777, -0.119, -0.1023, -0.1196, -0.0538, -0.1216, 0.179, 0.3118, 0.3141, 0.3878, 0.4817, 0.3947, 0.4661, 0.4231, 0.501, 0.4023, 0.5175, 0.5175, 0.6007, 0.6793, 0.6547, 0.6038, 0.6038, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2059977635061706817", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-28T12:38:35+00:00", "symbol": "XFAB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "interested in being a part of their long term growth vectors with power semis/photonics", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long XFAB for long-term growth in power semis and photonics; not trading volatility, committed to the thesis.", "resolved_tickers": ["XFAB.PA"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "X-FAB Silicon Foundries listed on Euronext Paris as XFAB.PA", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I mean all my European longs from $SOI, $IQE, $RPI, $SIVE, $ALRIB followed this trend if we just look at chart.\n\nLong term they’ve all ended up directionally right, and now they’re all up hundreds of percent. \n\nI don’t control or trade volatility with $XFAB, but interested in being a part of their long term growth vectors with power semis/photonics.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit you have a great track record and seem to do this for the right reasons, and you have specific knowledge of the tech. Price currently only 10%  up on yesterday. Don’t expect $SIVE success but even a 2* rating would be a win. If people want a 1 day win they should looks elsewhere", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "reedy1991", "ret_m1d": 0.05633806009374043, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05633806009374043, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.06182434918362101, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.06355680034760669, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0054862890898805805, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007218740253866263, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05281685263456315, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05281685263456315, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05530824535075385, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.05131638685522599, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002491392716190699, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0015004657793371567, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5864, -0.6, -0.5952, -0.5998, -0.5996, -0.5935, -0.5706, -0.581, -0.581, -0.5849, -0.5803, -0.5803, -0.5776, -0.5998, -0.5995, -0.5907, -0.5842, -0.5674, -0.5732, -0.5875, -0.5887, -0.5815, -0.5711, -0.5854, -0.5854, -0.5854, -0.5893, -0.5563, -0.5641, -0.5431, -0.5502, -0.5202, -0.5202, -0.5035, -0.4626, -0.4445, -0.4362, -0.4296, -0.4151, -0.4045, -0.401, -0.4062, -0.3939, -0.4463, -0.4463, -0.4419, -0.434, -0.4089, -0.4142, -0.4018, -0.3512, -0.3702, -0.3305, -0.3165, -0.294, -0.3504, -0.3693, -0.3345, -0.3389, -0.3055, -0.2901, -0.2091, 0.0563, 0.0, -0.0528, -0.0528, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2058068571746660682", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-23T06:12:39+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI is more pure manufacturing scale and I'm extremely bullish on them", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Extremely bullish AAOI on manufacturing scale; extremely bullish Sivers on unique IP moat with major CPO hyperscaler adoption.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AAOI is more pure manufacturing scale and I'm extremely bullish on them. \n\nSo it's more like Furukawa + Innolight in my view? So extremely bullish for revenue ramp. \n\n$SIVE is just pure one-of-a-kind IP, where major CPO hyperscaler supplier seems to all use them, like Ayar/Celestial and others. \n\nEven $JBL made groundbreaking 1.6T LRO moats with Sivers. \n\nSky is the limit here with Sivers and they can always vertically integrate like $COHR / $AAOI down the road too with capex spend. \n\nBut their main focus right now should just creating the largest IP moat possible + outsource manufacturing to keep capex light. \n\nCan always vertically integrate the assembly, laser fab down the road too. \n\nI like them both for different reasons.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Is it better than aaoi?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "northyvt", "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.021323545423124313, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.021323545423124313, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.027962154014114504, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.027962154014114504, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0066386085909901915, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0066386085909901915, "ret_p1w": -0.1271695472615103, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1271695472615103, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1417073478185572, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1417073478185572, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014537800557046898, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014537800557046898, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6798, -0.7042, -0.5359, -0.4352, -0.4747, -0.4506, -0.4427, -0.4734, -0.3905, -0.3361, -0.3002, -0.4149, -0.4666, -0.4817, -0.5243, -0.4896, -0.4384, -0.5177, -0.4724, -0.3724, -0.3696, -0.4632, -0.4589, -0.5306, -0.5339, -0.5242, -0.4275, -0.4275, -0.408, -0.3518, -0.2688, -0.2655, -0.1702, -0.1559, -0.1934, -0.2146, -0.1332, -0.1216, -0.0993, -0.1704, -0.1767, -0.2411, -0.1065, -0.1968, -0.2437, -0.1579, -0.0944, 0.0111, -0.0469, -0.0051, -0.0163, -0.1319, -0.1793, 0.0188, 0.0374, 0.2293, 0.1217, 0.0489, -0.0453, -0.056, -0.0894, -0.0258, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0213, -0.0091, -0.0687, -0.1272, -0.1272, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2058068571746660682", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-23T06:12:39+00:00", "symbol": "Sivers Semiconductors", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Sky is the limit here with Sivers", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Extremely bullish AAOI on manufacturing scale; extremely bullish Sivers on unique IP moat with major CPO hyperscaler adoption.", "resolved_tickers": ["SIVE.ST"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Sivers Semiconductors on Nasdaq Stockholm as SIVE.ST", "bench_c": "FEZ", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='ST')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AAOI is more pure manufacturing scale and I'm extremely bullish on them. \n\nSo it's more like Furukawa + Innolight in my view? So extremely bullish for revenue ramp. \n\n$SIVE is just pure one-of-a-kind IP, where major CPO hyperscaler supplier seems to all use them, like Ayar/Celestial and others. \n\nEven $JBL made groundbreaking 1.6T LRO moats with Sivers. \n\nSky is the limit here with Sivers and they can always vertically integrate like $COHR / $AAOI down the road too with capex spend. \n\nBut their main focus right now should just creating the largest IP moat possible + outsource manufacturing to keep capex light. \n\nCan always vertically integrate the assembly, laser fab down the road too. \n\nI like them both for different reasons.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Is it better than aaoi?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "northyvt", "ret_m1d": -0.14786675715517683, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.14786675715517683, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.14786675715517683, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.14786675715517683, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01519573788415629, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01519573788415629, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0085571292931661, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0011757226628255069, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0066386085909901915, "bench_c_p1d": 0.016371460546981798, "ret_p1w": -0.19403863835601043, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.19403863835601043, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.20857643891305733, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.20475453647390385, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014537800557046898, "bench_c_p1w": 0.010715898117893419, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.9631, -0.9661, -0.9647, -0.9646, -0.9653, -0.9613, -0.9606, -0.9579, -0.9597, -0.9571, -0.9518, -0.9522, -0.9505, -0.9139, -0.9193, -0.8957, -0.8774, -0.9014, -0.8669, -0.8544, -0.8309, -0.8674, -0.8841, -0.8831, -0.8748, -0.8697, -0.8843, -0.8843, -0.8843, -0.8873, -0.8622, -0.8671, -0.8434, -0.803, -0.8134, -0.7571, -0.7335, -0.7234, -0.636, -0.6002, -0.6493, -0.6685, -0.6264, -0.6542, -0.6269, -0.5338, -0.5558, -0.5558, -0.346, -0.3606, -0.4359, -0.4186, -0.4913, -0.4214, -0.4957, -0.3378, -0.3378, -0.3489, -0.4378, -0.4686, -0.3688, -0.3098, -0.1479, 0.0, 0.0152, -0.142, -0.1794, -0.194, -0.194, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2045698178645889281", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-19T02:57:07+00:00", "symbol": "MRVL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I expect Celestial to be delivering volume much earlier than $MRVL projections than 2028", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish MRVL on earlier-than-expected Celestial volume ramp; bullish Sivers on accelerating CPO orders past 2027.", "resolved_tickers": ["MRVL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "CPO expectations have been bumped up months with $NVDA accelerating everything in the ecosystem as seen with $ASX. So I expect Celestial to be delivering volume much earlier than $MRVL projections than 2028.\n\nMain thesis was $SIVE was $JBL 1.6T bridging the gap with Sivers into accelerating volume orders past 2027.\n\nMarkets usually are forward looking", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit the Celestial AI photonic fabric isn't expected to generate meaningful Marvell revenue until ~2028. the Amazon warrant vests on actual purchases through 2030. the volume ramp is years away", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "tengyanAI", "ret_m1d": -0.05512712458310287, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05512712458310287, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05713079881836358, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05713079881836358, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.023471329184643563, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.023471329184643563, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030018278339579818, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030018278339579818, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "ret_p1w": 0.07014347018972966, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07014347018972966, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06104253826504835, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06104253826504835, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "ret_p1m": 0.19230254761095278, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.19230254761095278, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15701356070571237, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.15701356070571237, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4419, -0.4382, -0.4576, -0.4472, -0.4393, -0.4347, -0.4501, -0.4664, -0.4682, -0.4893, -0.5015, -0.4983, -0.4573, -0.4433, -0.4456, -0.4501, -0.4711, -0.4685, -0.4685, -0.4658, -0.4653, -0.4618, -0.4627, -0.4741, -0.47, -0.4529, -0.4639, -0.4477, -0.4533, -0.476, -0.4721, -0.4884, -0.3944, -0.3736, -0.3692, -0.3886, -0.4073, -0.406, -0.3809, -0.3862, -0.4076, -0.3947, -0.4057, -0.3905, -0.3756, -0.3344, -0.3396, -0.3585, -0.4063, -0.3304, -0.2786, -0.2759, -0.2759, -0.2596, -0.2605, -0.2262, -0.1892, -0.1309, -0.1119, -0.0948, -0.0896, -0.0979, -0.0551, 0.0, 0.0235, 0.0641, 0.1199, 0.1114, 0.0701, 0.0365, 0.0591, 0.1171, 0.1157, 0.107, 0.1414, 0.1644, 0.0823, 0.1508, 0.1556, 0.1127, 0.2037, 0.235, 0.1965, 0.1427, 0.1923, 0.2635, 0.2898, 0.328, 0.328, 0.4087, 0.344, 0.3855, 0.3866, 0.3866, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2045698178645889281", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-19T02:57:07+00:00", "symbol": "Sivers Semiconductors", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$SIVE was $JBL 1.6T bridging the gap with Sivers into accelerating volume orders past 2027", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish MRVL on earlier-than-expected Celestial volume ramp; bullish Sivers on accelerating CPO orders past 2027.", "resolved_tickers": ["SIVE.ST"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Sivers Semiconductors on Nasdaq Stockholm as SIVE.ST", "bench_c": "FEZ", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='ST')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "CPO expectations have been bumped up months with $NVDA accelerating everything in the ecosystem as seen with $ASX. So I expect Celestial to be delivering volume much earlier than $MRVL projections than 2028.\n\nMain thesis was $SIVE was $JBL 1.6T bridging the gap with Sivers into accelerating volume orders past 2027.\n\nMarkets usually are forward looking", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit the Celestial AI photonic fabric isn't expected to generate meaningful Marvell revenue until ~2028. the Amazon warrant vests on actual purchases through 2030. the volume ramp is years away", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "tengyanAI", "ret_m1d": -0.24020551345042196, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.24020551345042196, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.24220918768568267, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.24391691484197087, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0037114013915489075, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09826594198034, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09826594198034, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10481289113527625, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.12097970037454275, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "bench_c_p1d": -0.022713758394202754, "ret_p1w": -0.0500963229453677, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0500963229453677, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05919725487004901, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02411651320452468, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02597980974084302, "ret_p1m": 0.4598587018464899, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4598587018464899, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4245697149412495, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.49133142642149885, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03147272457500894, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.8969, -0.8893, -0.8885, -0.8879, -0.8873, -0.8878, -0.892, -0.8927, -0.8915, -0.8947, -0.8932, -0.8956, -0.8899, -0.8944, -0.8958, -0.8967, -0.9049, -0.9026, -0.9009, -0.901, -0.9004, -0.8966, -0.8985, -0.9006, -0.8966, -0.8987, -0.9069, -0.9029, -0.9027, -0.9048, -0.8938, -0.8917, -0.8844, -0.8892, -0.8821, -0.8676, -0.8687, -0.8639, -0.7635, -0.7783, -0.7136, -0.6631, -0.7291, -0.6342, -0.5999, -0.5353, -0.6358, -0.6816, -0.6789, -0.6561, -0.6419, -0.6821, -0.6821, -0.6821, -0.6903, -0.6214, -0.6349, -0.5697, -0.4589, -0.4875, -0.3327, -0.2678, -0.2402, 0.0, 0.0983, -0.0366, -0.0893, 0.0263, -0.0501, 0.025, 0.2807, 0.2203, 0.2203, 0.7967, 0.7566, 0.5498, 0.5973, 0.3976, 0.5896, 0.3854, 0.8192, 0.8192, 0.7887, 0.5446, 0.4599, 0.7341, 0.8963, 1.341, 1.7473, 1.789, 1.3571, 1.2543, 1.2142, 1.2142, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2060002002994971046", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-28T14:15:25+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I do think this ends up the next $80B+ $LITE one day", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long SIVE as top CPO/photonics pick; targets $80B+ market cap long-term; holding and adding; LITE cited as valuation comp implying eventual upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SIVE is the most compelling CPO/photonics exposure to me.\n\nAddressing the disinformation: I haven’t sold and don’t plan to sell a single share. \n\nI do think this ends up the next $80B+ $LITE one day from ~$2.1B.\n\nAnd I personally have plans to acquire more ownership + support their M&A prospects.\n\nI believe earnings transcripts will be strongly positive. \n\nAs in the part few months we’ve discovered:\n\n> AlChip/Amazon private placements, which is positive for Ayar -> $SIVE implying Trainium 4 design in\n\n> Wiwynn + Ayar CPO scale up\n\n> $JBL 1.6T optical transceiver ramp with Sivers incoming faster than markets expected (with relatively dramatic moat + demand as much as they can produce) \n\n> O-Net scaling up ELS efforts with $SIVE\n\n> $YSS acquisition of $SIVE allspace lead partner, designing Sivers into Space defense primes\n\n> New CHIPS ACT funding for $SIVE\n\n> $POET H2 volume ramp and their new $50m -> $500m order (with $SIVE as light source)\n\n> information discovery around $AAPL using $SIVE lasers for next gen consumer devices\n\n> information discovery around links to Lightelligence (went public $10B+ MC) + Lightmatter as likely customers. \n\n> Celestial volume ramp with $MRVL indicators.\n\n> new customers working on TFLN with $SIVE like Lightium\n\n> $AMD going with $GFS for CPO, and GFS listing sivers as one of two laser suppliers\n\n> Ayar removing $MTSI / $LITE from their website and signaling $SIVE as primary source/sole source\n\n> Ayar raising $500m for volume ramp (intel, Mediatek, Nvidia, amd etc)\n\n> pluggable TAM expansion signaled from 2025 annual report\n\n> Nasdaq listing expected soon\n\n> MSCI small cap index / Nasdaq omx inclusion, making Blackrock, Vanguard and others passive buyers \n\n> M&A signaled from 2025 annual report + 2 new board members that have experience in that area\n\n> $NOK as likely customer from 2025 annual report.\n\n> $LITE getting cw bottlenecked from EML contracts, $SIVE signaling capacity agreements in place with Win, making the a likely bottleneck owner + chokepoint in CPO sector. \n\nAll of this market research was done before earnings. \n\nAny results is just confirmation of supply chain mapping done.\n\nI don’t think anyone cares about former quarter revenue since $SIVE is an exceptionally compelling 2027 long, especially H2 onward. \n\nOnly thing I’m looking at are:\n\n> TAM expansion of the overall photonics supercycle (eg. optical engine, ELS, pluggables) either from M&A or developments\n\n> volume ramp expectations from existing companies \n\n> Nasdaq listing timelines for more liquidity to support their M&A efforts \n\n> any new customers signaled for CPO/Pluggables", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.048441824124397126, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.048441824124397126, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.053928113214277706, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.053928113214277706, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0054862890898805805, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0054862890898805805, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.006576622872630944, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.006576622872630944, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009068015588821643, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009068015588821643, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002491392716190699, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002491392716190699, "ret_p1w": null, "ret_signed_p1w": null, "alpha_spy_p1w": null, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": null, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0899, -0.1931, -0.2089, -0.2438, -0.3511, -0.2555, -0.2192, -0.2192, -0.2841, -0.2767, -0.274, -0.2452, -0.1857, -0.1028, -0.1793, -0.153, -0.0681, -0.097, -0.1996, -0.1835, -0.2392, -0.1834, -0.1115, -0.0392, -0.0392, 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{"unit_id": "quote:2047030798554132901", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-22T19:12:29+00:00", "symbol": "AMSC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "My favorite... i made a mini ETF of with $AMSC", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long basket of Defense Production Act grid-infra beneficiaries (AMSC, CLF, PLPC, HPS.A held; POWL flagged for likely DOE contracts in 3-6 months).", "resolved_tickers": ["AMSC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Specialty Industrial Machinery'", "bench_c_industry": "Specialty Industrial Machinery", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yes. The President invoked the \"Defense Production Act\" 2 days ago.\n\nTo expand on domestic infra.\n \nImplicit beneficiaries were:\n\nTransmission & Advanced Conductors:\n$AMSC - HTS Wires (advanced conductors), power electronics\n$PLPC - advanced conductors \n$ATKR - transmission components\n$VMI - grid components\n\nPower Electronics\n$AEIS - power control electronics\n$VICR - power delivery\n\nCapacitor Banks\n$VSH - power capacitors and capacitor banks\n\nSubstations & High-Voltage Circuit Breakers\n$POWL - substations/switchgear\n$AZZ - substations\n\nTransformers\n$HPS.A - My favorite for transformers\n$SPXC - power transformers\n\nElectrical Core Steel\n$CLF - Only producer of electrical steel in America?\n\nThis included: \n-Transformers\n- transmission components\n- advanced conductors\n- power electronics\n- substations\n- high-voltage circuit breakers\n-  protective relays, capacitor banks\n- electrical core steel\n\nTLDR: The executive action declared a national energy emergency regarding the domestic supply chain for grid infrastructure. Authorized federal funding, purchase commitments, and expedited actions to rapidly expand the manufacturing. \n\nLot of beneficiaries, I made a mini ETF of with $AMSC, $CLF, $PLPC, and then $HPS.A; dont have any of the others. \n\nThere's probably going to be a bunch of DOE contracts in the next 3-6 months like \" DoE Awards ___ to $POWL \" off this act is my guess.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit Did you look into superconductor companies like $asmc yet?", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.1291796681950279, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1291796681950279, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11915449326423, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.13151835605152384, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010025174930797909, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0023386878564959357, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.041536862650462636, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.041536862650462636, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03765613870063744, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.059252099770573, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0038807239498251933, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01771523712011036, "ret_p1w": -0.009345809941409766, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.009345809941409766, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.009866043213940467, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0028560961088405223, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0005202332725307013, "bench_c_p1w": -0.006489713832569244, "ret_p1m": 0.02637583806479893, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.02637583806479893, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.01792886484570122, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.029357564718534013, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04430470291050015, "bench_c_p1m": -0.002981726653735084, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3088, -0.3448, -0.3319, -0.3391, -0.3468, -0.3786, -0.3765, -0.3769, -0.4266, -0.4611, -0.415, -0.4021, -0.3379, -0.2885, -0.3364, -0.2885, -0.2885, -0.2386, -0.2777, -0.2984, -0.293, -0.3248, -0.2999, -0.2798, -0.2806, -0.3234, -0.3144, -0.3543, -0.3383, -0.3595, -0.4247, -0.3969, -0.3836, -0.3632, -0.3923, -0.3558, -0.3583, -0.3526, -0.374, -0.363, -0.4031, -0.3603, -0.331, -0.303, -0.329, -0.2997, -0.331, -0.297, -0.3219, -0.3335, -0.3335, -0.3225, -0.345, -0.3142, -0.2492, -0.2168, -0.2147, -0.1807, -0.2162, -0.2114, -0.1751, -0.1541, -0.1292, 0.0, -0.0415, 0.0276, 0.0309, -0.0135, -0.0093, 0.1119, 0.0906, 0.0447, 0.1425, 0.1853, 0.1053, 0.1462, 0.2195, 0.1321, 0.1574, 0.136, 0.1435, 0.0415, -0.022, 0.0222, 0.0264, 0.0766, 0.0766, 0.1032, 0.0941, 0.066, 0.0579, 0.0579, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2047030798554132901", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-22T19:12:29+00:00", "symbol": "CLF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "i made a mini ETF of with $AMSC, $CLF, $PLPC, and then $HPS.A", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long basket of Defense Production Act grid-infra beneficiaries (AMSC, CLF, PLPC, HPS.A held; POWL flagged for likely DOE contracts in 3-6 months).", "resolved_tickers": ["CLF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yes. The President invoked the \"Defense Production Act\" 2 days ago.\n\nTo expand on domestic infra.\n \nImplicit beneficiaries were:\n\nTransmission & Advanced Conductors:\n$AMSC - HTS Wires (advanced conductors), power electronics\n$PLPC - advanced conductors \n$ATKR - transmission components\n$VMI - grid components\n\nPower Electronics\n$AEIS - power control electronics\n$VICR - power delivery\n\nCapacitor Banks\n$VSH - power capacitors and capacitor banks\n\nSubstations & High-Voltage Circuit Breakers\n$POWL - substations/switchgear\n$AZZ - substations\n\nTransformers\n$HPS.A - My favorite for transformers\n$SPXC - power transformers\n\nElectrical Core Steel\n$CLF - Only producer of electrical steel in America?\n\nThis included: \n-Transformers\n- transmission components\n- advanced conductors\n- power electronics\n- substations\n- high-voltage circuit breakers\n-  protective relays, capacitor banks\n- electrical core steel\n\nTLDR: The executive action declared a national energy emergency regarding the domestic supply chain for grid infrastructure. Authorized federal funding, purchase commitments, and expedited actions to rapidly expand the manufacturing. \n\nLot of beneficiaries, I made a mini ETF of with $AMSC, $CLF, $PLPC, and then $HPS.A; dont have any of the others. \n\nThere's probably going to be a bunch of DOE contracts in the next 3-6 months like \" DoE Awards ___ to $POWL \" off this act is my guess.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit Did you look into superconductor companies like $asmc yet?", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.038947356374640196, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.038947356374640196, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.028922181443842288, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.028922181443842288, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010025174930797909, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010025174930797909, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.043157878674958905, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.043157878674958905, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03927715472513371, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03927715472513371, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0038807239498251933, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0038807239498251933, "ret_p1w": 0.07894736842105265, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07894736842105265, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07842713514852195, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07842713514852195, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0005202332725307013, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0005202332725307013, "ret_p1m": 0.12631576939633016, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12631576939633016, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08201106648583001, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08201106648583001, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04430470291050015, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04430470291050015, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.5884, 0.4758, 0.5021, 0.4789, 0.4958, 0.4484, 0.4579, 0.5, 0.5295, 0.4579, 0.5505, 0.2958, 0.2916, 0.3137, 0.1326, 0.0926, 0.0926, 0.1074, 0.1105, 0.0811, 0.1211, 0.1347, 0.1147, 0.1358, 0.1632, 0.1221, 0.2, 0.1663, 0.14, 0.1242, 0.0347, 0.0053, 0.0042, -0.0232, -0.0611, -0.1095, -0.0937, -0.1211, -0.1389, -0.1389, -0.1768, -0.1547, -0.1253, -0.1011, -0.1063, -0.1463, -0.1463, -0.1105, -0.1295, -0.1158, -0.1158, -0.1021, -0.0832, -0.0484, -0.0284, -0.0484, -0.0168, -0.0053, 0.0168, 0.0232, 0.0463, 0.0242, -0.0389, 0.0, -0.0432, 0.0274, 0.1168, 0.0758, 0.0789, 0.0737, 0.1063, 0.0789, 0.1211, 0.1737, 0.1211, 0.16, 0.1832, 0.1358, 0.1568, 0.1505, 0.0853, 0.1221, 0.0684, 0.0884, 0.1263, 0.1821, 0.1821, 0.2611, 0.3505, 0.3989, 0.4316, 0.4316, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2047030798554132901", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-04-22T19:12:29+00:00", "symbol": "PLPC", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "i made a mini ETF of with $AMSC, $CLF, $PLPC, and then $HPS.A", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long basket of Defense Production Act grid-infra beneficiaries (AMSC, CLF, PLPC, HPS.A held; POWL flagged for likely DOE contracts in 3-6 months).", "resolved_tickers": ["PLPC"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yes. The President invoked the \"Defense Production Act\" 2 days ago.\n\nTo expand on domestic infra.\n \nImplicit beneficiaries were:\n\nTransmission & Advanced Conductors:\n$AMSC - HTS Wires (advanced conductors), power electronics\n$PLPC - advanced conductors \n$ATKR - transmission components\n$VMI - grid components\n\nPower Electronics\n$AEIS - power control electronics\n$VICR - power delivery\n\nCapacitor Banks\n$VSH - power capacitors and capacitor banks\n\nSubstations & High-Voltage Circuit Breakers\n$POWL - substations/switchgear\n$AZZ - substations\n\nTransformers\n$HPS.A - My favorite for transformers\n$SPXC - power transformers\n\nElectrical Core Steel\n$CLF - Only producer of electrical steel in America?\n\nThis included: \n-Transformers\n- transmission components\n- advanced conductors\n- power electronics\n- substations\n- high-voltage circuit breakers\n-  protective relays, capacitor banks\n- electrical core steel\n\nTLDR: The executive action declared a national energy emergency regarding the domestic supply chain for grid infrastructure. Authorized federal funding, purchase commitments, and expedited actions to rapidly expand the manufacturing. \n\nLot of beneficiaries, I made a mini ETF of with $AMSC, $CLF, $PLPC, and then $HPS.A; dont have any of the others. \n\nThere's probably going to be a bunch of DOE contracts in the next 3-6 months like \" DoE Awards ___ to $POWL \" off this act is my guess.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit Did you look into superconductor companies like $asmc yet?", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.022853637114866876, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.022853637114866876, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012828462184068967, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012828462184068967, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010025174930797909, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010025174930797909, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.0007597629821438634, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0007597629821438634, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.00312096096768133, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00312096096768133, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0038807239498251933, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0038807239498251933, "ret_p1w": 0.025041850957726153, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.025041850957726153, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02452161768519545, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02452161768519545, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0005202332725307013, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0005202332725307013, "ret_p1m": 0.03665095883906133, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.03665095883906133, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.007653744071438817, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.007653744071438817, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04430470291050015, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04430470291050015, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2801, -0.2684, -0.2681, -0.2466, -0.2193, -0.238, -0.2102, -0.1802, -0.2089, -0.1964, -0.1485, -0.1675, -0.1752, -0.1524, -0.1755, -0.1527, -0.1527, -0.1703, -0.2347, -0.2099, -0.2025, -0.2256, -0.2126, -0.2059, -0.2095, -0.2297, -0.2141, -0.2372, -0.2239, -0.2438, -0.2842, -0.2613, -0.1949, -0.1885, -0.2079, -0.2054, -0.2413, -0.23, -0.222, -0.2023, -0.2011, -0.1669, -0.1607, -0.1602, -0.1719, -0.1622, -0.199, -0.1778, -0.1144, -0.0798, -0.0798, -0.1123, -0.1399, -0.0787, -0.0313, -0.0519, -0.053, -0.0249, -0.0483, -0.0928, -0.0318, -0.0244, -0.0229, 0.0, -0.0008, 0.0672, 0.0742, 0.0834, 0.025, 0.0097, 0.0142, -0.0586, 0.09, 0.1126, 0.0493, 0.0523, 0.0849, 0.0462, 0.0549, 0.076, 0.0559, 0.0194, 0.0009, 0.0249, 0.0367, 0.0874, 0.0874, 0.1454, 0.155, 0.1457, 0.1239, 0.1239, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2047030798554132901", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-04-22T19:12:29+00:00", "symbol": "POWL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "There's probably going to be a bunch of DOE contracts in the next 3-6 months like 'DoE Awards ___ to $POWL' off this act is my guess", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long basket of Defense Production Act grid-infra beneficiaries (AMSC, CLF, PLPC, HPS.A held; POWL flagged for likely DOE contracts in 3-6 months).", "resolved_tickers": ["POWL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Yes. The President invoked the \"Defense Production Act\" 2 days ago.\n\nTo expand on domestic infra.\n \nImplicit beneficiaries were:\n\nTransmission & Advanced Conductors:\n$AMSC - HTS Wires (advanced conductors), power electronics\n$PLPC - advanced conductors \n$ATKR - transmission components\n$VMI - grid components\n\nPower Electronics\n$AEIS - power control electronics\n$VICR - power delivery\n\nCapacitor Banks\n$VSH - power capacitors and capacitor banks\n\nSubstations & High-Voltage Circuit Breakers\n$POWL - substations/switchgear\n$AZZ - substations\n\nTransformers\n$HPS.A - My favorite for transformers\n$SPXC - power transformers\n\nElectrical Core Steel\n$CLF - Only producer of electrical steel in America?\n\nThis included: \n-Transformers\n- transmission components\n- advanced conductors\n- power electronics\n- substations\n- high-voltage circuit breakers\n-  protective relays, capacitor banks\n- electrical core steel\n\nTLDR: The executive action declared a national energy emergency regarding the domestic supply chain for grid infrastructure. Authorized federal funding, purchase commitments, and expedited actions to rapidly expand the manufacturing. \n\nLot of beneficiaries, I made a mini ETF of with $AMSC, $CLF, $PLPC, and then $HPS.A; dont have any of the others. \n\nThere's probably going to be a bunch of DOE contracts in the next 3-6 months like \" DoE Awards ___ to $POWL \" off this act is my guess.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit Did you look into superconductor companies like $asmc yet?", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.007414411625845663, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.007414411625845663, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.002610763304952246, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.002610763304952246, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010025174930797909, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010025174930797909, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03876092986595592, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03876092986595592, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04264165381578111, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.04264165381578111, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0038807239498251933, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0038807239498251933, "ret_p1w": 0.04415707029009841, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04415707029009841, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04363683701756771, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04363683701756771, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0005202332725307013, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0005202332725307013, "ret_p1m": 0.11563694281332282, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11563694281332282, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.07133223990282267, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.07133223990282267, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04430470291050015, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04430470291050015, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4264, -0.4189, -0.393, -0.3914, -0.3729, -0.3912, -0.3957, -0.378, -0.2763, -0.2605, -0.1982, -0.2289, -0.2174, -0.1871, -0.1863, -0.1971, -0.1971, -0.2292, -0.2545, -0.2636, -0.2492, -0.2529, -0.2322, -0.2462, -0.2711, -0.2811, -0.2689, -0.2982, -0.2958, -0.3093, -0.3359, -0.2859, -0.2729, -0.2926, -0.2949, -0.3098, -0.2972, -0.2831, -0.3104, -0.2786, -0.2915, -0.255, -0.2305, -0.1974, -0.28, -0.2612, -0.31, -0.2571, -0.2393, -0.2478, -0.2478, -0.2309, -0.1692, -0.1017, -0.0493, -0.0487, -0.0568, -0.0344, -0.0537, -0.041, -0.0072, -0.0046, -0.0074, 0.0, 0.0388, 0.0412, 0.0731, 0.0527, 0.0442, 0.1421, 0.1341, 0.112, 0.2139, 0.3194, 0.2602, 0.2744, 0.3266, 0.2689, 0.2392, 0.2233, 0.2055, 0.099, 0.0775, 0.1169, 0.1156, 0.1505, 0.1505, 0.2031, 0.2194, 0.1904, 0.172, 0.172, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2046918449168085183", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-22T11:46:02+00:00", "symbol": "POET", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Markets haven't fully priced in either yet imo", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Author says POET and SIVE are not fully priced in on large purchase orders and MRVL supplier relationship.", "resolved_tickers": ["POET"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Oh wow, I missed this.\n\nThat's probably why $POET is up 20.2% pre-market confirming \"far in excess\" of purchase orders on top of $MRVL supplier relationships. \n\nThat translates materially to $SIVE laser production as well.\n\nMarkets haven't fully priced in either yet imo.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit $POET CFO also said that he's expecting purchase orders \"far in excess\" of the $5 million order they received last Oct. \n\nIf these orders come through, revenues could ramp meaningfully in the coming quarters https://t.co/jKUN350TIm", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.19733753856144998, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.19733753856144998, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.18731236363065207, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1718148507002245, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010025174930797909, "bench_c_m1d": -0.025522687861225468, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.08222397440060414, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.08222397440060414, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.07834325045077895, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.09275187674025531, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0038807239498251933, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010527902339651174, "ret_p1w": -0.48316369083448063, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.48316369083448063, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.48368392410701133, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.5308746164068013, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0005202332725307013, "bench_c_p1w": 0.047710925572320706, "ret_p1m": 0.16053243254304084, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.16053243254304084, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11622772963254069, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.030416167323901178, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04430470291050015, "bench_c_p1m": 0.19094859986694201, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4589, -0.4941, -0.4683, -0.5129, -0.5341, -0.5458, -0.5427, -0.527, -0.5607, -0.5944, -0.5403, -0.5137, -0.5427, -0.5435, -0.5576, -0.563, -0.563, -0.5677, -0.563, -0.5638, -0.5544, -0.5677, -0.5215, -0.502, -0.5114, -0.5301, -0.4589, -0.4487, -0.4644, -0.48, -0.5082, -0.4761, -0.4518, -0.4174, -0.4174, -0.4652, -0.4589, -0.4855, -0.5161, -0.5121, -0.5356, -0.5255, -0.5505, -0.5223, -0.5701, -0.5936, -0.6022, -0.5348, -0.5615, -0.5215, -0.5215, -0.5239, -0.5333, -0.5129, -0.5239, -0.4487, -0.4283, -0.4745, -0.4542, -0.4252, -0.4315, -0.3273, -0.1973, 0.0, -0.0822, 0.1825, -0.3774, -0.3712, -0.4832, -0.4424, -0.4276, -0.4432, -0.2788, -0.2388, -0.2498, -0.1425, 0.0885, 0.0752, 0.1253, 0.6108, 0.2506, 0.1128, 0.0235, 0.1574, 0.1605, 0.1425, 0.1425, 0.0454, 0.0399, 0.0384, -0.0376, -0.0376, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2038196733407351227", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-29T10:09:03+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I'm actually bullish on $ETH again around $1.6k-2.2k", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish ETH at current $1.6k-2.2k range after prior bearish stance at $3-4K.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@halldj00 So I was bearish on Ethereum earlier at $3-4K. I’m actually bullish on $ETH again around $1.6k-2.2k. \n\nThat said, I’m slightly bearish overall on the market due to escalating Iran tensions, and Ethereum typically isn’t the flight to safety asset.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Are you bullish on Ethereum?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "halldj00", "ret_m1d": -0.015934115454319664, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.015934115454319664, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.019288794079294402, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": 0.040124913175980215, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.040124913175980215, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.011056987477065405, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": 0.04163378403601126, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04163378403601126, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0010265055702507464, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": 0.13140737739640018, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13140737739640018, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.005262092914630756, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.4663, 0.4828, 0.5441, 0.5943, 0.6288, 0.565, 0.5342, 0.5236, 0.5282, 0.6417, 0.6579, 0.6393, 0.6286, 0.5748, 0.4507, 0.4721, 0.4577, 0.4595, 0.4462, 0.4935, 0.4858, 0.3927, 0.3355, 0.1586, 0.1008, 0.0593, -0.0997, 0.0197, 0.0396, -0.002, -0.041, -0.0378, 0.0124, -0.0126, -0.0155, -0.0344, -0.0372, -0.0269, -0.083, -0.0843, 0.0154, 0.0016, -0.0458, 0.0019, -0.0201, 0.0509, 0.0238, -0.0221, -0.0151, 0.0067, 0.0139, 0.0245, 0.0341, 0.1619, 0.1456, 0.089, 0.0563, 0.0608, 0.0636, 0.0653, 0.0714, 0.0178, -0.0159, 0.0, 0.0401, 0.0569, 0.0165, 0.0148, 0.0416, 0.1079, 0.0824, 0.0819, 0.1095, 0.1716, 0.1482, 0.166, 0.1607, 0.1965, 0.1442, 0.1505, 0.1742, 0.1522, 0.1444, 0.1382, 0.1314, 0.1136, 0.115, 0.1342, 0.1596, 0.1669, 0.1617, 0.1322, 0.1401, 0.1561, 0.1241, 0.1157, 0.1272, 0.0987, 0.0519, 0.0427, 0.0511, 0.0533, 0.0203, 0.0434, 0.0234, -0.0007, -0.0079, -0.0057, -0.0073, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2050095622641144280", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-01T06:11:00+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "next year it's possible if they become largest 1.6T + laser fab capacity in US", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Bullish AAOI into next year; another 3x possible if it becomes the largest 1.6T + laser fab in the US.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ExtensiveRsrch I called out $AAOI at like $30 and it's like $160 now? \n\nLess likely to 3x as fast but next year it's possible if they become largest 1.6T + laser fab capacity in US.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit $AAOI ?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ExtensiveRsrch", "ret_m1d": -0.10435395602265696, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.10435395602265696, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.10159248901077511, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.10159248901077511, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0027614670118818463, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0027614670118818463, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05738106421721145, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05738106421721145, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0537176845474695, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0537176845474695, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0036633796697419507, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0036633796697419507, "ret_p1w": -0.18838206691866, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.18838206691866, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.21193021113321509, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.21193021113321509, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02354814421455509, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02354814421455509, "ret_p1m": -0.13677724154578164, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.13677724154578164, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.1864961825585426, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.1864961825585426, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.049718941012760975, "bench_c_p1m": 0.049718941012760975, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7487, -0.7826, -0.7922, -0.7586, -0.7389, -0.7358, -0.7363, -0.7603, -0.7577, -0.7577, -0.7607, -0.7633, -0.744, -0.7184, -0.706, -0.6934, -0.6833, -0.7074, -0.541, -0.4414, -0.4805, -0.4567, -0.4489, -0.4792, -0.3972, -0.3434, -0.3079, -0.4213, -0.4725, -0.4874, -0.5296, -0.4952, -0.4446, -0.523, -0.4782, -0.3793, -0.3765, -0.4691, -0.4648, -0.5358, -0.539, -0.5295, -0.4338, -0.4338, -0.4145, -0.3589, -0.2769, -0.2736, -0.1793, -0.1652, -0.2023, -0.2232, -0.1427, -0.1313, -0.1092, -0.1795, -0.1858, -0.2495, -0.1163, -0.2056, -0.252, -0.1672, -0.1044, 0.0, -0.0574, -0.016, -0.0271, -0.1415, -0.1884, 0.0076, 0.026, 0.2157, 0.1093, 0.0373, -0.0559, -0.0664, -0.0994, -0.0365, -0.011, -0.011, -0.0321, -0.0201, -0.079, -0.1368, -0.1368, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2043326734565863534", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-12T13:53:51+00:00", "symbol": "VIRT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I completely forgot to take call options on market makers like $VIRT. Since they are probably cheering and profiting off of increased volatility in these environments", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Regrets not being long VIRT via calls; market makers benefit from volatility spike on Hormuz blockade news.", "resolved_tickers": ["VIRT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The US navy to blockade any ships trying to enter or leave the Strait of Hormuz.\n\nNot quite sure what the game plan is here?\n\nRegardless, I completely forgot to take call options on market makers like $VIRT.\n\nSince they are probably cheering and profiting off of increased volatility in these environments…", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.04499903601871835, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.04499903601871835, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03532121376313435, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.03532121376313435, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009677822255584001, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009677822255584001, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.007663576229630875, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.007663576229630875, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0045213045227392445, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.0045213045227392445, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01218488075237012, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01218488075237012, "ret_p1w": -0.006484535671355207, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.006484535671355207, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.03945348469058496, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.03945348469058496, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.032968949019229754, "bench_c_p1w": 0.032968949019229754, "ret_p1m": 0.01886419917442428, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.01886419917442428, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.05704313057787136, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05704313057787136, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07590732975229564, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07590732975229564, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3127, -0.299, -0.2793, -0.2793, -0.2844, -0.2789, -0.275, -0.274, -0.2672, -0.2646, -0.2675, -0.2056, -0.189, -0.2275, -0.2517, -0.2611, -0.2535, -0.2472, -0.233, -0.2306, -0.259, -0.2656, -0.2509, -0.2509, -0.2365, -0.231, -0.2308, -0.222, -0.2189, -0.2019, -0.2039, -0.1845, -0.1863, -0.1603, -0.1818, -0.1932, -0.1965, -0.1941, -0.1759, -0.1934, -0.2057, -0.2205, -0.2319, -0.2364, -0.2169, -0.2163, -0.2222, -0.182, -0.1574, -0.1486, -0.1405, -0.1464, -0.1645, -0.1582, -0.1358, -0.1277, -0.0918, -0.0918, -0.0668, -0.0635, -0.0383, -0.0242, -0.045, 0.0, 0.0077, -0.0059, -0.0069, -0.0047, -0.0065, -0.0609, -0.0519, -0.0529, -0.0464, -0.0639, -0.0389, -0.0014, -0.0242, -0.0544, -0.0263, -0.0055, -0.0138, -0.0265, 0.0083, 0.0128, 0.0189, 0.0531, 0.0806, 0.0707, 0.0823, 0.0643, 0.0566, 0.0365, 0.031, 0.031, 0.0198, -0.0195, -0.0411, -0.0145, -0.0145, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2048929438679896317", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-28T00:57:00+00:00", "symbol": "AVGO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "going long on Broadcom and Marvell doesn't hurt too", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long AAOI, JBL, SIVE as top beneficiaries of 1.6T optical module mass adoption supercycle; also long AVGO and MRVL as cited beneficiaries.", "resolved_tickers": ["AVGO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "“1.6T optical modules are near mass adoption this year”\n\nSo nothing new but this just confirms timelines for volume production/mass adoption H2 2026. \n\n$AVGO and $MRVL are cited as main beneficiaries in the report but names like $AAOI are probably the most profound beneficiaries (largest 1.6T capacity US projected) for the pure play exposure.\n\n$JBL also set to go brrrr but my guess is H1 2027 with wave2 architectures since their LRO architectures remove the DSP (with $INTC SiPH acquisition IP).\n\nJabil would be a good contrarian long in the broader 1.6T supercycle coming up if this gets broader adoption from $META validation but benefits anyway. \n\nAnd especially $SIVE that powers Jabil 1.6T LRO, that when they scale, it scales laser demand too. \n\nI think everyone focuses on the upstream supply chains nowadays but going long on Broadcom and Marvell doesn’t hurt too.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.045944592080877866, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.045944592080877866, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04105485011905152, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.015305927207703629, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004889741961826344, "bench_c_m1d": 0.030638664873174237, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.014056038375075408, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.014056038375075408, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.014210579469070228, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.002983507364606286, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00015454109399481997, "bench_c_p1d": 0.017039545739681694, "ret_p1w": 0.06885426232112057, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06885426232112057, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05188055600460073, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.004767595653211387, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016973706316519843, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06408666666790919, "ret_p1m": 0.0550984156244998, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0550984156244998, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0006224227086910616, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.15721405838685043, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.054475992915808735, "bench_c_p1m": 0.21231247401135023, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1746, -0.1731, -0.1736, -0.2005, -0.2312, -0.225, -0.1691, -0.1416, -0.1503, -0.1445, -0.1735, -0.1884, -0.1884, -0.17, -0.1676, -0.1664, -0.1698, -0.1755, -0.1876, -0.1706, -0.1971, -0.2025, -0.2043, -0.2167, -0.2075, -0.1695, -0.1752, -0.1371, -0.145, -0.1475, -0.1615, -0.1959, -0.1891, -0.1981, -0.2115, -0.2017, -0.225, -0.1934, -0.2039, -0.2026, -0.2261, -0.248, -0.2662, -0.2259, -0.2159, -0.2133, -0.2133, -0.2136, -0.1647, -0.1231, -0.1123, -0.0707, -0.0502, -0.0476, -0.0078, -0.0034, 0.0168, -0.0005, 0.0059, 0.0571, 0.0503, 0.0573, 0.0459, 0.0, 0.0141, 0.044, 0.0536, 0.0417, 0.0689, 0.0641, 0.0318, 0.0755, 0.0715, 0.0487, 0.0424, 0.0999, 0.0634, 0.0522, 0.0281, 0.0448, 0.0369, 0.0358, 0.0358, 0.0555, 0.0551, 0.0669, 0.1174, 0.1174, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2048929438679896317", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-28T00:57:00+00:00", "symbol": "MRVL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "going long on Broadcom and Marvell doesn't hurt too", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long AAOI, JBL, SIVE as top beneficiaries of 1.6T optical module mass adoption supercycle; also long AVGO and MRVL as cited beneficiaries.", "resolved_tickers": ["MRVL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "“1.6T optical modules are near mass adoption this year”\n\nSo nothing new but this just confirms timelines for volume production/mass adoption H2 2026. \n\n$AVGO and $MRVL are cited as main beneficiaries in the report but names like $AAOI are probably the most profound beneficiaries (largest 1.6T capacity US projected) for the pure play exposure.\n\n$JBL also set to go brrrr but my guess is H1 2027 with wave2 architectures since their LRO architectures remove the DSP (with $INTC SiPH acquisition IP).\n\nJabil would be a good contrarian long in the broader 1.6T supercycle coming up if this gets broader adoption from $META validation but benefits anyway. \n\nAnd especially $SIVE that powers Jabil 1.6T LRO, that when they scale, it scales laser demand too. \n\nI think everyone focuses on the upstream supply chains nowadays but going long on Broadcom and Marvell doesn’t hurt too.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03250023575790717, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03250023575790717, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.027610493796080826, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.027610493796080826, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004889741961826344, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004889741961826344, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.021797374468499164, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.021797374468499164, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.021951915562493984, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.021951915562493984, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00015454109399481997, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00015454109399481997, "ret_p1w": 0.10128567973112346, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10128567973112346, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08431197341460361, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08431197341460361, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016973706316519843, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016973706316519843, "ret_p1m": 0.29674347378795285, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.29674347378795285, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.24226748087214411, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.24226748087214411, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.054475992915808735, "bench_c_p1m": 0.054475992915808735, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4694, -0.4852, -0.4869, -0.5073, -0.5191, -0.5159, -0.4763, -0.4628, -0.4651, -0.4694, -0.4897, -0.4872, -0.4872, -0.4846, -0.4841, -0.4807, -0.4816, -0.4926, -0.4887, -0.4722, -0.4828, -0.4671, -0.4726, -0.4944, -0.4906, -0.5063, -0.4157, -0.3957, -0.3914, -0.4101, -0.4281, -0.4269, -0.4026, -0.4078, -0.4285, -0.416, -0.4266, -0.4119, -0.3975, -0.3578, -0.3628, -0.3811, -0.4272, -0.3539, -0.3039, -0.3013, -0.3013, -0.2857, -0.2865, -0.2535, -0.2177, -0.1615, -0.1431, -0.1266, -0.1216, -0.1296, -0.0884, -0.0352, -0.0125, 0.0267, 0.0805, 0.0723, 0.0325, 0.0, 0.0218, 0.0778, 0.0765, 0.0681, 0.1013, 0.1235, 0.0442, 0.1103, 0.1149, 0.0735, 0.1613, 0.1915, 0.1544, 0.1025, 0.1504, 0.2191, 0.2445, 0.2813, 0.2813, 0.3591, 0.2967, 0.3367, 0.3379, 0.3379, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2048929438679896317", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-04-28T00:57:00+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "names like $AAOI are probably the most profound beneficiaries (largest 1.6T capacity US projected) for the pure play exposure", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long AAOI, JBL, SIVE as top beneficiaries of 1.6T optical module mass adoption supercycle; also long AVGO and MRVL as cited beneficiaries.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "“1.6T optical modules are near mass adoption this year”\n\nSo nothing new but this just confirms timelines for volume production/mass adoption H2 2026. \n\n$AVGO and $MRVL are cited as main beneficiaries in the report but names like $AAOI are probably the most profound beneficiaries (largest 1.6T capacity US projected) for the pure play exposure.\n\n$JBL also set to go brrrr but my guess is H1 2027 with wave2 architectures since their LRO architectures remove the DSP (with $INTC SiPH acquisition IP).\n\nJabil would be a good contrarian long in the broader 1.6T supercycle coming up if this gets broader adoption from $META validation but benefits anyway. \n\nAnd especially $SIVE that powers Jabil 1.6T LRO, that when they scale, it scales laser demand too. \n\nI think everyone focuses on the upstream supply chains nowadays but going long on Broadcom and Marvell doesn’t hurt too.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.06207201379449723, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.06207201379449723, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05718227183267088, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05718227183267088, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004889741961826344, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004889741961826344, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.11343441605225557, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.11343441605225557, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.11358895714625039, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.11358895714625039, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00015454109399481997, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00015454109399481997, "ret_p1w": 0.3155326719412468, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.3155326719412468, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.29855896562472695, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.29855896562472695, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016973706316519843, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016973706316519843, "ret_p1m": 0.3101414033795451, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3101414033795451, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.25566541046373636, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.25566541046373636, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.054475992915808735, "bench_c_p1m": 0.054475992915808735, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7117, -0.6823, -0.6783, -0.664, -0.7093, -0.7222, -0.6773, -0.651, -0.6467, -0.6474, -0.6795, -0.6761, -0.6761, -0.6801, -0.6835, -0.6577, -0.6235, -0.6069, -0.59, -0.5766, -0.6088, -0.3863, -0.2532, -0.3054, -0.2736, -0.2632, -0.3037, -0.1941, -0.1222, -0.0747, -0.2264, -0.2947, -0.3147, -0.371, -0.3251, -0.2575, -0.3622, -0.3023, -0.1702, -0.1665, -0.2903, -0.2845, -0.3794, -0.3837, -0.3709, -0.243, -0.243, -0.2172, -0.1429, -0.0332, -0.0289, 0.0972, 0.1161, 0.0665, 0.0385, 0.1461, 0.1614, 0.191, 0.097, 0.0886, 0.0034, 0.1815, 0.0621, 0.0, 0.1134, 0.1974, 0.337, 0.2602, 0.3155, 0.3007, 0.1478, 0.0851, 0.3471, 0.3717, 0.6254, 0.4831, 0.3869, 0.2623, 0.2482, 0.204, 0.2881, 0.3222, 0.3222, 0.294, 0.3101, 0.2314, 0.1541, 0.1541, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2048929438679896317", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-04-28T00:57:00+00:00", "symbol": "JBL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Jabil would be a good contrarian long in the broader 1.6T supercycle coming up", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long AAOI, JBL, SIVE as top beneficiaries of 1.6T optical module mass adoption supercycle; also long AVGO and MRVL as cited beneficiaries.", "resolved_tickers": ["JBL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "“1.6T optical modules are near mass adoption this year”\n\nSo nothing new but this just confirms timelines for volume production/mass adoption H2 2026. \n\n$AVGO and $MRVL are cited as main beneficiaries in the report but names like $AAOI are probably the most profound beneficiaries (largest 1.6T capacity US projected) for the pure play exposure.\n\n$JBL also set to go brrrr but my guess is H1 2027 with wave2 architectures since their LRO architectures remove the DSP (with $INTC SiPH acquisition IP).\n\nJabil would be a good contrarian long in the broader 1.6T supercycle coming up if this gets broader adoption from $META validation but benefits anyway. \n\nAnd especially $SIVE that powers Jabil 1.6T LRO, that when they scale, it scales laser demand too. \n\nI think everyone focuses on the upstream supply chains nowadays but going long on Broadcom and Marvell doesn’t hurt too.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03013640009414864, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03013640009414864, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.025246658132322297, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.025246658132322297, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004889741961826344, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004889741961826344, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009158817953811349, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009158817953811349, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.009313359047806169, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.009313359047806169, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00015454109399481997, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00015454109399481997, "ret_p1w": 0.019436088446141753, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.019436088446141753, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0024623821296219095, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0024623821296219095, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016973706316519843, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016973706316519843, "ret_p1m": 0.12282411757167178, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12282411757167178, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06834812465586304, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06834812465586304, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.054475992915808735, "bench_c_p1m": 0.054475992915808735, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2629, -0.2833, -0.265, -0.2578, -0.2867, -0.2692, -0.2196, -0.1963, -0.2176, -0.2111, -0.2411, -0.2307, -0.2307, -0.222, -0.2125, -0.2067, -0.1806, -0.2102, -0.1952, -0.161, -0.1781, -0.199, -0.2105, -0.2315, -0.2287, -0.2376, -0.2713, -0.252, -0.2408, -0.2278, -0.2379, -0.2424, -0.2201, -0.207, -0.2181, -0.198, -0.2334, -0.1952, -0.1616, -0.1439, -0.2016, -0.2108, -0.2519, -0.1971, -0.1779, -0.1883, -0.1883, -0.1915, -0.1753, -0.1321, -0.1143, -0.0947, -0.077, -0.0751, -0.0782, -0.0627, -0.0276, -0.0017, 0.0086, 0.0168, 0.0233, 0.0327, 0.0301, 0.0, 0.0092, 0.0201, 0.0352, 0.0301, 0.0194, 0.1255, 0.0567, 0.0735, 0.104, 0.0604, 0.0744, 0.0711, 0.0274, 0.0241, 0.0064, 0.0435, 0.0776, 0.1016, 0.1016, 0.1496, 0.1228, 0.0995, 0.1022, 0.1022, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2041366490298102045", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-07T04:04:32+00:00", "symbol": "IBKR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I recommend $IBKR for international stock access. Probably want to get an account anyway since they have the best execution", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Recommends IBKR as best broker for international stock access with best execution.", "resolved_tickers": ["IBKR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@japhy_zeng I recommend $IBKR for international stock access. Probably want to get an account anyway since they have the best execution", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit How do you trade international stocks like $SIVE . It is not available to buy on platforms like Webull and Fidelity. Great work by the way. 🐐", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jzengTrades", "ret_m1d": 0.007487918538543692, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.007487918538543692, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007927799064363361, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007927799064363361, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0004398805258196692, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0004398805258196692, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.061664908392378814, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.061664908392378814, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.03619535375405114, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03619535375405114, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.025469554638327674, "bench_c_p1d": 0.025469554638327674, "ret_p1w": 0.13199233274420497, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.13199233274420497, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07853513660989475, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07853513660989475, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.053457196134310214, "bench_c_p1w": 0.053457196134310214, "ret_p1m": 0.2779327578261501, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2779327578261501, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.16475347063444157, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.16475347063444157, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.11317928719170856, "bench_c_p1m": 0.11317928719170856, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.029, 0.0335, 0.0382, 0.0353, 0.0464, 0.0806, 0.0759, 0.0759, 0.0488, 0.1117, 0.1324, 0.1378, 0.1051, 0.107, 0.1066, 0.1097, 0.0982, 0.1039, 0.099, 0.0771, 0.0192, 0.094, 0.1501, 0.1322, 0.1198, 0.0715, 0.0963, 0.0963, 0.0749, 0.0985, 0.0852, 0.0912, 0.0492, 0.0548, 0.0802, 0.0935, 0.0452, 0.0523, 0.0189, 0.0153, -0.0009, -0.0207, -0.0091, 0.0057, 0.0041, -0.0175, -0.0282, 0.0025, 0.0076, 0.005, -0.0062, -0.0388, -0.004, -0.0292, 0.0084, -0.028, -0.0574, -0.0649, -0.0153, -0.0029, -0.0054, -0.0054, 0.0075, 0.0, 0.0617, 0.0561, 0.0455, 0.0946, 0.132, 0.17, 0.1655, 0.1997, 0.1929, 0.169, 0.1468, 0.1144, 0.1249, 0.1392, 0.1377, 0.1313, 0.1672, 0.1813, 0.1998, 0.232, 0.2779, 0.229, 0.2395, 0.2467, 0.242, 0.2497, 0.2961, 0.2773, 0.2644, 0.2252, 0.2302, 0.2308, 0.1944, 0.1944, 0.217, 0.1885, 0.2202, 0.2769, 0.2769, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2044695311764099291", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-16T08:32:05+00:00", "symbol": "VECO", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Riber effective, profitable duopoly with $VECO on MBE equipment, that traded at low fwd multiples", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long ALRIB on hyperscaler quantum/silicon photonics exposure; duopoly supplier re-rating to triple digits. VECO named as duopoly partner at low multiples.", "resolved_tickers": ["VECO"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It doesn't need to be detailed with $ALRIB?\n\n> Riber effective, profitable duopoly with $VECO on MBE equipment, that traded at low fwd multiples. \n> $MSFT Quantum as core hyperscaler buyer of Riber from public information discovery\n> $IQE, QD Laser (Quantum dot), IntelliEPI and others using it. \n\nThought process: \n\nWhat other companies under $1B supply directly to hyperscalers like $GOOGL to $MSFT for their frontier programs? \n\nAnd are critical suppliers that can't be replaced?\n\nCan't really name any aside from $AEHR, but that's now $2.3B from $600m... \n\nSo thought $ALRIB was compelling for Quantum/Silicon Photonics exposure. \n\nIf a profitable ~300m company is powering a hyperscaler's quantum frontier program…\n\nProbably going to get re-rated triple digits over time.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit I think many people are interested in your detailed thoughts on $ALRIB.", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.005362544777555711, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005362544777555711, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.002911256733552192, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00140478787060494, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.002451288044003519, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003957756906950771, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.001865279370323325, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.001865279370323325, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.010220405759900686, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.018715231008673117, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.012085685130224011, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02058051037899644, "ret_p1w": 0.16973650927712325, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16973650927712325, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.16005940167175425, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.11025977436819345, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009677107605368995, "bench_c_p1w": 0.059476734908929796, "ret_p1m": 0.3672184710686026, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.3672184710686026, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.31375951487715614, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.14395540645145388, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05345895619144647, "bench_c_p1m": 0.22326306461714873, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2313, -0.2698, -0.2308, -0.2164, -0.2457, -0.2637, -0.2478, -0.2471, -0.2367, -0.2719, -0.2651, -0.2994, -0.3124, -0.3248, -0.2844, -0.2886, -0.2665, -0.2399, -0.2497, -0.2164, -0.2164, -0.1991, -0.3164, -0.3241, -0.3164, -0.3301, -0.3155, -0.3364, -0.2849, -0.2875, -0.2381, -0.2429, -0.2453, -0.2576, -0.2935, -0.2821, -0.266, -0.2623, -0.2665, -0.2784, -0.2695, -0.2828, -0.2772, -0.2677, -0.2854, -0.2632, -0.1982, -0.1383, -0.1599, -0.1777, -0.2346, -0.2105, -0.1917, -0.1989, -0.1989, -0.1805, -0.1809, -0.1117, -0.0916, -0.0664, -0.0648, -0.0506, -0.0054, 0.0, 0.0019, 0.0895, 0.1152, 0.1744, 0.1697, 0.2061, 0.1597, 0.1152, 0.1154, 0.1623, 0.1716, 0.1875, 0.155, 0.4458, 0.3458, 0.3854, 0.4271, 0.433, 0.405, 0.3875, 0.3672, 0.2975, 0.2751, 0.3206, 0.3462, 0.3884, 0.3884, 0.4567, 0.4045, 0.3786, 0.3439, 0.3439, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2049956624480276628", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-30T20:58:40+00:00", "symbol": "SNDK", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "disclosure I do own Sandisk... Astronomical earnings from memory players and they'll likely keep marching upward over this year", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long SNDK and memory sector broadly; blowout Q3/Q4 guidance confirms memory companies will keep marching higher through the year.", "resolved_tickers": ["SNDK"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SNDK earnings are just way too good...\n\nQ3 earnings:\nRevenue: $5.95B vs. ~$4.7B (252% Y/Y growth, 26% beat)\nEPS: $23.41 vs. ~$14.5 (62% beat)\nGross Margin: ~78.4% vs. 67.3% (+1,110 bps vs. Est.)\n\nQ4 2024 projections: \nRevenue: $7.75B-$8.25B vs. ~$6.5B (23% above estimates)\nEPS: $30-33 vs. ~$23 (37.0% above estimates)\n\nMemory companies (disclosure I do own Sandisk) are a bit easier to price in ahead of time vs. names like $RDDT (off of traffic data). \n\nJust purely from third party stuff like NAND price hike reports... so all the repricing does happen ahead of time, not on actual earnings. \n\nRegardless, this is formal confirmation that memory companies are going brrr...\n\nAstronomical earnings from memory players and they'll likely keep marching upward over this year.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.029457139962661194, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.029457139962661194, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.019605532360655986, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.019605532360655986, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009851607602005208, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009851607602005208, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08252545752292484, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08252545752292484, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07975634369455387, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07975634369455387, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027691138283709726, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0027691138283709726, "ret_p1w": 0.22202255246526348, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.22202255246526348, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.2040445873244192, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.2040445873244192, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017977965140844265, "bench_c_p1w": 0.017977965140844265, "ret_p1m": 0.5457952644053343, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5457952644053343, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4931695321571119, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4931695321571119, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05262573224822242, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05262573224822242, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3933, -0.3657, -0.4669, -0.4745, -0.4547, -0.4679, -0.506, -0.4534, -0.4252, -0.4286, -0.4286, -0.4614, -0.4524, -0.4336, -0.4072, -0.3922, -0.4177, -0.4233, -0.4055, -0.4206, -0.4354, -0.4844, -0.4537, -0.4842, -0.5191, -0.4631, -0.4356, -0.4023, -0.4356, -0.3966, -0.3583, -0.3432, -0.3126, -0.2959, -0.3528, -0.3593, -0.3593, -0.3818, -0.4499, -0.4384, -0.4779, -0.4206, -0.3682, -0.3602, -0.3602, -0.3391, -0.3518, -0.2878, -0.2234, -0.2232, -0.1313, -0.1387, -0.1868, -0.1615, -0.1601, -0.1673, -0.176, -0.1071, -0.1496, -0.0972, -0.024, -0.0859, -0.0295, 0.0, 0.0825, 0.1453, 0.2825, 0.2859, 0.222, 0.4248, 0.4114, 0.3242, 0.3199, 0.261, 0.2837, 0.2157, 0.2615, 0.27, 0.4065, 0.3485, 0.3485, 0.4496, 0.45, 0.4972, 0.5458, 0.5458, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2049956624480276628", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-30T20:58:40+00:00", "symbol": "memory companies", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Astronomical earnings from memory players and they'll likely keep marching upward over this year", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long SNDK and memory sector broadly; blowout Q3/Q4 guidance confirms memory companies will keep marching higher through the year.", "resolved_tickers": ["MU", "000660.KS", "005930.KS", "2337.TW", "2344.TW"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "Memory sector basket: Micron, SK Hynix, Samsung, Macronix, Winbond", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SNDK earnings are just way too good...\n\nQ3 earnings:\nRevenue: $5.95B vs. ~$4.7B (252% Y/Y growth, 26% beat)\nEPS: $23.41 vs. ~$14.5 (62% beat)\nGross Margin: ~78.4% vs. 67.3% (+1,110 bps vs. Est.)\n\nQ4 2024 projections: \nRevenue: $7.75B-$8.25B vs. ~$6.5B (23% above estimates)\nEPS: $30-33 vs. ~$23 (37.0% above estimates)\n\nMemory companies (disclosure I do own Sandisk) are a bit easier to price in ahead of time vs. names like $RDDT (off of traffic data). \n\nJust purely from third party stuff like NAND price hike reports... so all the repricing does happen ahead of time, not on actual earnings. \n\nRegardless, this is formal confirmation that memory companies are going brrr...\n\nAstronomical earnings from memory players and they'll likely keep marching upward over this year.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02992198121649863, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02992198121649863, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03977358881850383, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.04401263213068589, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009851607602005208, "bench_c_m1d": -0.014090650914187264, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.009687543556710754, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.009687543556710754, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006918429728339781, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.003569754450206908, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027691138283709726, "bench_c_p1d": 0.006117789106503846, "ret_p1w": 0.22109376437951228, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.22109376437951228, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.20311579923866802, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.15521917035357874, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017977965140844265, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06587459402593354, "ret_p1m": 0.5940587802653918, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5940587802653918, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5414330480171694, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.4120845317002244, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05262573224822242, "bench_c_p1m": 0.18197424856516742, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1986, -0.202, -0.2037, -0.2358, -0.252, -0.2099, -0.224, -0.1943, -0.1788, -0.1786, -0.1786, -0.1832, -0.175, -0.1662, -0.1534, -0.1257, -0.0837, -0.0902, -0.0569, -0.0654, -0.053, -0.1456, -0.1995, -0.139, -0.1737, -0.2188, -0.1767, -0.1356, -0.1585, -0.1452, -0.0932, -0.0521, 0.0014, -0.015, -0.0479, -0.0989, -0.1243, -0.1245, -0.1755, -0.1857, -0.2065, -0.2413, -0.1739, -0.1955, -0.1813, -0.169, -0.1569, -0.0834, -0.1097, -0.0929, -0.0892, -0.0509, -0.0702, -0.0662, -0.087, -0.1033, -0.0622, -0.0475, -0.0604, -0.0509, 0.0049, 0.0184, 0.0299, 0.0, 0.0097, 0.072, 0.112, 0.2131, 0.2211, 0.2316, 0.3277, 0.3042, 0.3656, 0.3929, 0.3079, 0.303, 0.2402, 0.2452, 0.3051, 0.3302, 0.3418, 0.4593, 0.5335, 0.5134, 0.5941, 0.6684, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2037320624746729756", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-27T00:07:43+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Yeah there's bear cases around Meta capex but it's growing forward revs 30-33% Y/Y round ~17 fwd p/e so that spend is definitely delivering ROI. But at this point the selloff looks way overblown", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Buyer of META and RDDT; selloff overblown — META growing 30-33% at 17x fwd P/E, RDDT at 24x EV/FCF with 91% margins and 52% growth.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Are we not using social media anymore?\n\n$SNAP down -50.6% YTD\n$RDDT down -44.6% YTD\n$PINS down -32.2% YTD\n$META down -26.35% 6M\n\nCompanies like Snapchat with excessive SBC makes sense… \n\nYeah there’s bear cases around Meta capex but it’s growing forward revs 30-33% Y/Y round ~17 fwd p/e so that spend is definitely delivering ROI.\n\nBut at this point the selloff looks way overblown especially with Reddit with fwd ev/fcf: ~24x; 91% gross margins, 52% growth?\n\nEveryone’s hyper focusing around “AI” disruption but if anything, it makes these social media companies more lean/profitable.\n\nI’m a buyer here. But a confused one.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0415049998862238, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0415049998862238, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.024157305498803128, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.02496915694968238, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.017347694387420676, "bench_c_m1d": 0.016535842936541423, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02027701965635864, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02027701965635864, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.023620482039543256, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.01168211904839489, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0033434623831846144, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008594900607963751, "ret_p1w": 0.09271105148306202, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09271105148306202, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0584257145220215, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.049175961863692885, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.034285336961040525, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04353508961936914, "ret_p1m": 0.2908392926553012, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2908392926553012, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.16297108369328184, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2089073366757097, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12786820896201934, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08193195597959146, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2657, 0.2545, 0.2545, 0.2361, 0.252, 0.2555, 0.2329, 0.2279, 0.2412, 0.2201, 0.1994, 0.1698, 0.1798, 0.1788, 0.1788, 0.1481, 0.1649, 0.2308, 0.252, 0.2778, 0.279, 0.2709, 0.4032, 0.3617, 0.3426, 0.3146, 0.2714, 0.2738, 0.2571, 0.2871, 0.2747, 0.2709, 0.235, 0.2159, 0.2159, 0.215, 0.2225, 0.2254, 0.2461, 0.2111, 0.215, 0.2424, 0.2487, 0.2319, 0.2421, 0.245, 0.269, 0.2554, 0.2256, 0.2304, 0.2431, 0.2446, 0.2129, 0.1664, 0.1935, 0.1844, 0.1711, 0.154, 0.1292, 0.149, 0.1278, 0.1316, 0.0415, 0.0, 0.0203, 0.0883, 0.1018, 0.0927, 0.0927, 0.09, 0.0938, 0.1649, 0.1953, 0.1981, 0.207, 0.2602, 0.2774, 0.2875, 0.3097, 0.2762, 0.2722, 0.2834, 0.2538, 0.284, 0.2908, 0.277, 0.2728, 0.1639, 0.1579, 0.1611, 0.1507, 0.1658, 0.1733, 0.1596, 0.1391, 0.147, 0.1729, 0.1763, 0.1684, 0.1626, 0.1463, 0.1509, 0.1553, 0.1608, 0.1608, 0.1648, 0.2084, 0.2084, 0.2031, 0.2031, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2037320624746729756", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-27T00:07:43+00:00", "symbol": "RDDT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the selloff looks way overblown especially with Reddit with fwd ev/fcf: ~24x; 91% gross margins, 52% growth? I'm a buyer here.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Buyer of META and RDDT; selloff overblown — META growing 30-33% at 17x fwd P/E, RDDT at 24x EV/FCF with 91% margins and 52% growth.", "resolved_tickers": ["RDDT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Are we not using social media anymore?\n\n$SNAP down -50.6% YTD\n$RDDT down -44.6% YTD\n$PINS down -32.2% YTD\n$META down -26.35% 6M\n\nCompanies like Snapchat with excessive SBC makes sense… \n\nYeah there’s bear cases around Meta capex but it’s growing forward revs 30-33% Y/Y round ~17 fwd p/e so that spend is definitely delivering ROI.\n\nBut at this point the selloff looks way overblown especially with Reddit with fwd ev/fcf: ~24x; 91% gross margins, 52% growth?\n\nEveryone’s hyper focusing around “AI” disruption but if anything, it makes these social media companies more lean/profitable.\n\nI’m a buyer here. But a confused one.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.04448461885462396, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04448461885462396, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.027136924467203283, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.027948775918082536, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.017347694387420676, "bench_c_m1d": 0.016535842936541423, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.018795149247843312, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.018795149247843312, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.022138611631027927, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.010200248639879561, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0033434623831846144, "bench_c_p1d": 0.008594900607963751, "ret_p1w": 0.11621802435745643, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.11621802435745643, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0819326873964159, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07268293473808729, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.034285336961040525, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04353508961936914, "ret_p1m": 0.31492130276799757, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.31492130276799757, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.18705309380597823, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2329893467884061, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12786820896201934, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08193195597959146, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.9153, 0.8867, 0.8867, 0.9853, 1.003, 1.0831, 1.097, 1.0843, 1.0072, 1.0028, 1.1252, 1.0714, 0.8775, 0.896, 0.896, 0.8496, 0.7246, 0.7608, 0.7965, 0.7534, 0.6111, 0.5852, 0.5598, 0.4796, 0.454, 0.3576, 0.2532, 0.2397, 0.1477, 0.1633, 0.231, 0.1432, 0.0758, 0.1462, 0.1462, 0.1427, 0.2103, 0.1994, 0.2325, 0.1692, 0.1661, 0.2284, 0.2414, 0.1967, 0.2074, 0.1957, 0.2089, 0.1847, 0.144, 0.1397, 0.1009, 0.1254, 0.0854, 0.0863, 0.149, 0.1846, 0.1719, 0.1336, 0.1478, 0.1569, 0.1172, 0.146, 0.0445, 0.0, 0.0188, 0.1051, 0.1177, 0.1162, 0.1162, 0.1354, 0.1584, 0.1901, 0.1358, 0.1468, 0.2258, 0.2684, 0.3007, 0.3333, 0.3444, 0.3647, 0.2871, 0.3486, 0.2554, 0.2713, 0.3149, 0.2141, 0.2127, 0.2084, 0.3664, 0.3876, 0.4087, 0.367, 0.3456, 0.2787, 0.3092, 0.2504, 0.2649, 0.2829, 0.2982, 0.3059, 0.2712, 0.2042, 0.2315, 0.1628, 0.1628, 0.1871, 0.2655, 0.3763, 0.4445, 0.4445, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2058374522353672558", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-24T02:28:23+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "It's the same with $AAOI which volume ramps in H1 2027.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long SIVE as architecturally unique CW laser chokepoint for CPO players with volume ramp in 2027; also long AAOI into H1 2027 ramp.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Photonics is nuanced and using ChatGPT/Gemini makes you miss all of it: \n\n1. $SIVE is actually a chokepoint and partially a bottleneck. \n\nThe reason it's a chokepoint is leading CPO/optical hyperscaler players go through Sivers, likely: \n\nAyar. Celestial. Lightmatter. Lightelligence. Poet. \n\nIf you take out Sivers, you literally can't make some of their products + delay their roadmap by years. \n\nAs many are sole/primary source but are heading the direction on multi-source. \n\nAs for the bottleneck argument: Win Semi is the bottleneck for scaling laser production. \n\nBut... the nuance is when you have capacity allocated for the next few years. \n\nYou become part of the bottleneck itself if players fight you for allocation of finished lasers. \n\nThat's the nuance people miss with capacity allocation dynamics. \n\nIt's like saying $SNDK is not part of the NAND bottleneck when Kioxia makes all of it. \n\nBut when Sandisk has the ultimate control of output supply, they become the bottleneck + have all the pricing power. \n\nSivers controls output supply of CW lasers given allocations, and as seen with $LITE earnings, CW laser is currently bottlenecked as everyone seems to be stuck producing EMLs. \n\n2. Like how LLMs always uses em-dashes. \n\nYou can tell when people use AI when they always use the same \"CW is a dumb interchangeable laser\" argument or compare \"power\" specs after conflating different architectures. \n\nThat's why your \"analysts\" using AI will get this wrong over and over. \n\nThere's CW lasers... and then there's a specific architectural design that Sivers achieves with DFB lasers.  \n\nIf you compare power specs with $LITE vs. Sivers, Lumentum wins in isolation. But they're completely different laser architectures. \n\nAll the leading CPO players like Ayar, chose $SIVE for an architectural reason for high power, low thermal, laser arrays. $JBL 1.6T LRO also made one of the most dramatic moats cited by their fireside chat, using Sivers lasers. \n\nIf you think CW lasers are interchangeable with Sumitomo/Furukawa, and others. And can be plug-and-play... i don't know what to tell you?  \n\nAgain: $SIVE makes architecturally unique CW lasers for leading CPO players. \n\n3. I'm not sure how many times I need to say this:\n\n$SIVE for 2024-2025 has been going through development contracts. People using TTM revenue or former P/S metrics are using completely the wrong metrics, when there's volume ramp in 2027. \n\nIt's the same with $AAOI which volume ramps in H1 2027. \n\n$AEHR which volume ramps after qualification.  \n\n$LPK that volume ramps after qualification. \n\nThis is just missing qualification cycles in semiconductors and how to model financials currently. \n\nAs for the $LITE comparisons (which was also my long last year):\n\n$LITE literally started off selling laser dies before acquisition of Cloud Lite and other downstream optical engine components.\n\nThis is where $SIVE is at today with starting off in the laser chokepoint for CPO: \n\nPeople are modeling laser revenue off very isolated TAM projections. Meanwhile Sivers is targeting M&A to expand revenue for TAM projections. \n\nThis is not a simple component FAU + ramp valuation modeling over with a Taiwanese company.\n\nSince Laser companies like $LITE, $COHR are known to downstream expand to make their lasers more valuable, then vertically integrate (fabs, assembly) afterward. \n\nAgain, Sivers worked with Ayar and these types of companies before they all became billion dollar companies. I have high conviction knowing they know what to acquire down the ELS/optical engine stack + pluggable transceiver for TAM expansion.\n\nIt's just annoying when I get people who don't understand the nuances backseat commenting wrong things about my longs.  \n\nI got the same thing about $AXTI is not a bottleneck! InP isn't needed! China! back at $14. \n\nNow it's $140\n\nI got the same thing about $AAOI \"is going down 50%!\" back at $65. or \"AOI management is shady at $30\".\n\nNow it's $170\n\nI got the \"there's nothing new with $SOI\" back at $45. \n\nNow it's $170. \n\nI think I'm one of the few who actually understands the nuances with photonics, since I did call out $LITE, $TSEM, Innolight, $AXTI, $AAOI, $SOI, that outperformed both photonics markets and overall markets over the past year. \n\nAnd now I'm long on $SIVE.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.021323545423124313, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.021323545423124313, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.027962154014114504, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.027962154014114504, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0066386085909901915, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0066386085909901915, "ret_p1w": -0.1271695472615103, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1271695472615103, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.1417073478185572, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.1417073478185572, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014537800557046898, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014537800557046898, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6798, -0.7042, -0.5359, -0.4352, -0.4747, -0.4506, -0.4427, -0.4734, -0.3905, -0.3361, -0.3002, -0.4149, -0.4666, -0.4817, -0.5243, -0.4896, -0.4384, -0.5177, -0.4724, -0.3724, -0.3696, -0.4632, -0.4589, -0.5306, -0.5339, -0.5242, -0.4275, -0.4275, -0.408, -0.3518, -0.2688, -0.2655, -0.1702, -0.1559, -0.1934, -0.2146, -0.1332, -0.1216, -0.0993, -0.1704, -0.1767, -0.2411, -0.1065, -0.1968, -0.2437, -0.1579, -0.0944, 0.0111, -0.0469, -0.0051, -0.0163, -0.1319, -0.1793, 0.0188, 0.0374, 0.2293, 0.1217, 0.0489, -0.0453, -0.056, -0.0894, -0.0258, 0.0, 0.0, -0.0213, -0.0091, -0.0687, -0.1272, -0.1272, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2039887575520026653", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-03T02:07:51+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "If they become the largest 800G/1.6T capacity in the US and optical demand does take off. The revenue translation would be pretty insane.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AAOI: endless hyperscaler orders + potential to become largest 800G/1.6T US player implies massive revenue upside.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Applied Optoelectronics ( $AAOI ) said it received a new $71 million order from its hyperscaler customer today.\n\nThe orders flowing in are endless.\n\nIf they become the largest 800G/1.6T capacity in the US and optical demand does take off.\n\nThe revenue translation would be pretty insane.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03406787759958152, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03406787759958152, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.029341080250943508, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.029341080250943508, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.004726797348638012, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004726797348638012, "ret_p1w": 0.4493311596180001, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.4493311596180001, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.4133004744296833, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.4133004744296833, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03603068518831676, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03603068518831676, "ret_p1m": 0.6647097452717727, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.6647097452717727, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.5698986035803684, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.5698986035803684, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09481114169140437, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09481114169140437, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6284, -0.6338, -0.6823, -0.6724, -0.6755, -0.6711, -0.6683, -0.6439, -0.6435, -0.6435, -0.6222, -0.6306, -0.6329, -0.6562, -0.6642, -0.6402, -0.5647, -0.6192, -0.5803, -0.575, -0.5562, -0.616, -0.633, -0.5737, -0.5389, -0.5333, -0.5342, -0.5767, -0.5721, -0.5721, -0.5774, -0.5819, -0.5479, -0.5026, -0.4807, -0.4585, -0.4407, -0.4833, -0.1894, -0.0135, -0.0825, -0.0404, -0.0267, -0.0802, 0.0646, 0.1596, 0.2223, 0.0219, -0.0683, -0.0947, -0.1692, -0.1086, -0.0192, -0.1575, -0.0784, 0.0961, 0.101, -0.0625, -0.0549, -0.1802, -0.1859, -0.169, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0341, 0.1321, 0.2771, 0.2828, 0.4493, 0.4743, 0.4088, 0.3719, 0.514, 0.5342, 0.5732, 0.449, 0.438, 0.3255, 0.5607, 0.4029, 0.321, 0.4708, 0.5818, 0.766, 0.6647, 0.7378, 0.7182, 0.5162, 0.4334, 0.7794, 0.812, 1.1471, 0.9591, 0.832, 0.6674, 0.6488, 0.5904, 0.7016, 0.7466, 0.7466, 0.7094, 0.7306, 0.6266, 0.5245, 0.5245, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2047790368700445153", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-24T21:30:44+00:00", "symbol": "SIVEF", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "still can 10x from here in a year... once ~ $AAPL, $JBL, and $MRVL require mass production of their lasers in 2027", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long SIVE/SIVEF; author claims 10x upside in ~1 year as Apple, Jabil, and Marvell ramp laser mass production in 2027.", "resolved_tickers": ["SIVEF"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Did you listen anon?\n\nThe fact that $SIVE is up 600%+.\n\nBut still can 10x from here in a year... once ~ $AAPL, $JBL, and $MRVL require mass production of their lasers in 2027.\n\nIs incredible.\n\nProbably my most legendary thesis post since $AXTI. https://t.co/8rOZNdV9bX", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "The more I look into Sivers \n&lt; $SIVE /  $SIVEF &gt;\n\nthe more I wonder:\n\nHow is the laser company for the hyperscaler photonic supply chains…\n\nValued at ~$200M USD MC?\n\nAll the companies that buy and repackage their lasers are now worth $1-4B+?\n\nPre-product SV AI companies are https://t.co/0hrfWo98Or", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.11949148684023714, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11949148684023714, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11180177871966501, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07093687776640989, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007689708120572125, "bench_c_m1d": -0.04855460907382725, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.012711886095724712, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.012711886095724712, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.014434692584426756, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012356478397056447, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0017228064887020444, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00035540769866826416, "ret_p1w": 0.3898305450033257, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.3898305450033257, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.3804319653611843, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.38315649700846266, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.009398579642141414, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0066740479948630416, "ret_p1m": 1.0960452418790188, "ret_signed_p1m": 1.0960452418790188, "alpha_spy_p1m": 1.0516437346114205, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.95806245113196, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.044401507267598284, "bench_c_p1m": 0.13798279074705877, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, -0.6144, -0.5819, -0.6549, -0.7062, -0.7232, -0.6808, -0.6808, -0.6831, -0.6831, -0.6977, -0.7048, -0.6441, -0.6525, -0.6017, -0.435, -0.4972, -0.3277, -0.1836, -0.2684, 0.0395, -0.0367, -0.0452, -0.1195, 0.0, -0.0127, -0.0282, 0.1695, 0.3616, 0.3898, 0.6554, 0.6554, 0.5565, 0.435, 0.3573, 0.5791, 0.3616, 0.6559, 0.8023, 0.6808, 0.4186, 0.4492, 0.6384, 0.7797, 1.096, 1.096, 1.6554, 1.3814, 1.178, 1.0706, 1.0706, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2055184755524866519", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-15T07:13:23+00:00", "symbol": "AMZN", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "The new $SIVE / Ayar / AlChip / $AMZN trainium supply chain is more bullish than the recent $POET $50m -> $500m purchase order", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish on SIVE and AMZN via Ayar/AlChip Trainium supply chain connection, calling it more bullish than POET's $500m order.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMZN"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLY", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Retail'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Retail", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@DanilSer33 The new $SIVE / Ayar / AlChip / $AMZN trainium supply chain is more bullish than the recent $POET $50m -&gt; $500m purchase order. \n\nMarkets probably won’t see the connection between Ayar AlChip and $SIVE unless someone points it out though.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Well.. I haven't thought the news flow will this bullish in such a short period of time", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "DanilSer33", "ret_m1d": 0.011660431594830545, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011660431594830545, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0005153875104941807, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.006703933050032473, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.012175819105324726, "bench_c_m1d": 0.018364364644863018, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0027257161474880665, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0027257161474880665, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.003429151768678529, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.004527819354151474, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0007034356211904624, "bench_c_p1d": -0.001802103206663408, "ret_p1w": 0.008253170874858773, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.008253170874858773, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.000499933130810426, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.014487767541333074, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.008753104005669199, "bench_c_p1w": 0.022740938416191847, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2385, -0.2247, -0.2244, -0.2046, -0.2229, -0.2104, -0.2025, -0.2128, -0.205, -0.2111, -0.2098, -0.1791, -0.1711, -0.1928, -0.1918, -0.1886, -0.1949, -0.2067, -0.2138, -0.1984, -0.1853, -0.2055, -0.2097, -0.2225, -0.2044, -0.2154, -0.1985, -0.2143, -0.2453, -0.2392, -0.2115, -0.2028, -0.2058, -0.2058, -0.1944, -0.1907, -0.1624, -0.1154, -0.0975, -0.0918, -0.0572, -0.0592, -0.0547, -0.0514, -0.06, -0.0539, -0.0332, -0.0343, -0.0006, -0.0114, -0.0168, -0.0042, 0.0035, 0.0156, 0.0299, 0.0356, 0.0411, 0.0266, 0.0323, 0.0184, 0.0064, 0.0227, 0.0117, 0.0, 0.0027, -0.0182, 0.0033, 0.0164, 0.0083, 0.0083, 0.0044, 0.0292, 0.0373, 0.0246, 0.0246, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
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{"unit_id": "orig:2046187732800782587", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-04-20T11:22:26+00:00", "symbol": "Advantest", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ATEYY / $KEYS for testing", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "GFS CPO/photonics webinar names SIVE, FN, LITE, ATEYY, KEYS as architectural suppliers; author flags inclusion as bullish for each named beneficiary.", "resolved_tickers": ["6857.T"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Advantest Corp listed on TSE as 6857.T", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Did $GFS give the first direct confirmation about $SIVE...\n\nAs the laser supplier for their CPO / photonics ecosystem? \n\nThis is explicit laser architectural inclusion vs. previous supply chain mapping with Ayar/Celestial. \n\nYou get a hint of the other major players here:\n- $FN / $ASX for assembly\n- $LITE / $SIVE for lasers\n- $ATEYY / $KEYS for testing. \n\nThere's no text-based news yet, since this was the $GFS March 2026 webinar image-based presentation.\n\nBut having a <$1B company on the tiny list of laser providers next to $LITE... \n\nQuite special right?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.028413284132841277, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.028413284132841277, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.026409609897580566, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.027982186170269152, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0004310979625721245, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0036900369003689537, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0036900369003689537, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010236986055305208, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.002181259807680691, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0015087770926882627, "ret_p1w": 0.16236162361623618, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.16236162361623618, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.15326069169155487, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0711899297426224, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "bench_c_p1w": 0.09117169387361379, "ret_p1m": -0.06678966789667895, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06678966789667895, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.10207865480191936, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.23921839449157523, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "bench_c_p1m": 0.17242872659489628, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1978, -0.158, -0.1329, -0.1313, -0.0804, -0.0588, -0.0102, -0.0601, -0.1044, -0.0408, -0.0612, -0.1064, -0.0961, 0.008, 0.0198, 0.0198, -0.012, -0.0003, -0.0014, -0.0126, -0.0065, -0.0421, -0.0612, -0.0612, -0.019, 0.0545, 0.0364, -0.0106, -0.0493, -0.052, -0.0972, -0.059, -0.0526, -0.1571, -0.1128, -0.083, -0.0972, -0.1285, -0.1104, -0.1324, -0.074, -0.1163, -0.1163, -0.1624, -0.1766, -0.1368, -0.1537, -0.1867, -0.2279, -0.2498, -0.1697, -0.2205, -0.2046, -0.1908, -0.1808, -0.0694, -0.0849, -0.0779, -0.0819, -0.0037, 0.0179, 0.0563, 0.0284, 0.0, 0.0037, 0.0295, 0.0295, 0.0863, 0.1624, 0.0978, 0.0978, 0.0428, 0.0264, 0.0264, 0.0264, 0.0264, 0.0965, 0.1028, 0.062, 0.0592, 0.0439, 0.0559, -0.0273, -0.0351, -0.0668, -0.0544, -0.0131, -0.0094, 0.0242, -0.0378, 0.0011, -0.028, -0.0343, -0.0557, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2046187732800782587", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-04-20T11:22:26+00:00", "symbol": "KEYS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ATEYY / $KEYS for testing", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "GFS CPO/photonics webinar names SIVE, FN, LITE, ATEYY, KEYS as architectural suppliers; author flags inclusion as bullish for each named beneficiary.", "resolved_tickers": ["KEYS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLK", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Scientific & Technical Instruments'", "bench_c_industry": "Scientific & Technical Instruments", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Did $GFS give the first direct confirmation about $SIVE...\n\nAs the laser supplier for their CPO / photonics ecosystem? \n\nThis is explicit laser architectural inclusion vs. previous supply chain mapping with Ayar/Celestial. \n\nYou get a hint of the other major players here:\n- $FN / $ASX for assembly\n- $LITE / $SIVE for lasers\n- $ATEYY / $KEYS for testing. \n\nThere's no text-based news yet, since this was the $GFS March 2026 webinar image-based presentation.\n\nBut having a <$1B company on the tiny list of laser providers next to $LITE... \n\nQuite special right?", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.002387116654470778, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.002387116654470778, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0043907908897314885, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0010284762663036462, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0013586403881671316, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012412642366489868, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012412642366489868, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.018959591521426122, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.011571513453019211, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0008411289134706568, "ret_p1w": 0.016411051380329722, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.016411051380329722, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.007310119455648412, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02247358798663579, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03888463936696551, "ret_p1m": 0.0267648454707341, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.0267648454707341, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.008524141434506305, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.0940944210253638, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "bench_c_p1m": 0.1208592664960979, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3534, -0.3563, -0.3646, -0.3604, -0.3501, -0.3391, -0.3401, -0.3545, -0.3338, -0.3222, -0.3388, -0.339, -0.3109, -0.296, -0.2988, -0.2898, -0.3153, -0.3032, -0.3032, -0.3006, -0.2844, -0.2853, -0.2733, -0.269, -0.1004, -0.0983, -0.0869, -0.083, -0.0653, -0.0973, -0.1021, -0.1511, -0.1871, -0.1585, -0.148, -0.1518, -0.1562, -0.1652, -0.1468, -0.1425, -0.1522, -0.1341, -0.1719, -0.1378, -0.1091, -0.1254, -0.1613, -0.1673, -0.1961, -0.1575, -0.1352, -0.131, -0.131, -0.126, -0.103, -0.0502, -0.0364, -0.0327, -0.012, -0.014, -0.0295, -0.0155, -0.0024, 0.0, 0.0124, 0.0114, 0.034, 0.0353, 0.0164, -0.0085, 0.001, 0.0441, 0.0515, 0.0484, 0.062, 0.0941, 0.0594, 0.0751, 0.0932, 0.0791, 0.0777, 0.0788, 0.0414, 0.0159, 0.0268, 0.0207, 0.0072, 0.0341, 0.0341, 0.0615, 0.0373, 0.0119, 0.0095, 0.0095, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2048819178443083852", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-27T17:38:52+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I still have my AXT positions. But selling off any laser or upstream player doesn't make much sense and it's a good buying opportunity for some.", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Still long AXTI; views any selloff in laser/upstream photonics players as a buying opportunity.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "They're all different parts of the supply chains. $AXTI makes the materials needed for anything to do with photonics. I still have my AXT positions. \n\nPackaging layer players might be impacted given nuances of hyperscaler vertical integration.\n\nBut selling off any laser or upstream player doesn't make much sense and it's a good buying opportunity for some.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Will this impact $AXTI ? You still long on this one?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "HS91302778", "ret_m1d": 0.08567358525307123, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08567358525307123, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.08739342878417833, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08531805119486147, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0017198435311071014, "bench_c_m1d": 0.00035553405820976103, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.020527475553582475, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.020527475553582475, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01566152682543631, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.009200367887013061, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.004865948728146163, "bench_c_p1d": -0.029727843440595536, "ret_p1w": 0.5110477219433236, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.5110477219433236, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.5070766004990033, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.5100008314738547, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.003971121444320325, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0010468904694689307, "ret_p1m": 0.8902352561546047, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.8902352561546047, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.8407085075609599, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.7008463985847553, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04952674859364481, "bench_c_p1m": 0.18938885756984947, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7601, -0.7665, -0.7357, -0.7015, -0.7186, -0.7327, -0.7088, -0.657, -0.6041, -0.6529, -0.618, -0.6466, -0.6545, -0.6545, -0.6691, -0.6644, -0.6606, -0.5769, -0.5947, -0.4999, -0.416, -0.4708, -0.4597, -0.3397, -0.4047, -0.4422, -0.4469, -0.5386, -0.4503, -0.3685, -0.3249, -0.3339, -0.3035, -0.3102, -0.3676, -0.3049, -0.1719, -0.2268, -0.0814, -0.0244, -0.0399, -0.1659, -0.1357, -0.2483, -0.1877, -0.328, -0.2468, -0.2468, -0.4014, -0.352, -0.2419, -0.1002, -0.0851, -0.0527, -0.0406, -0.1029, 0.1658, 0.1769, 0.1227, 0.0687, 0.2393, 0.073, 0.0857, 0.0, -0.0205, 0.0131, 0.1293, 0.3685, 0.511, 0.5331, 0.4944, 0.5455, 0.6587, 0.7934, 0.752, 0.7383, 0.6391, 0.7645, 0.5093, 0.6091, 0.4912, 0.7252, 1.0076, 1.0076, 0.8902, 0.7501, 0.6493, 0.4706, 0.4706, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2043336940385407168", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-12T14:34:24+00:00", "symbol": "S&P500", "kind": "index", "geography": "US", "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Markets are more resilient than people think... I'd remain long", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Remain long on US markets: heavy short positioning + OpenAI capex spend alleviates contagion fears; indexes still down YTD.", "resolved_tickers": ["SPY"], "resolution_method": "etf", "resolution_reason": "S&P 500 proxied by SPY ETF", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Markets are more resilient than people think. \n\nObviously escalation is concerning, but there's too many people short right now (which adds fuel to the fire) and indexes are still down YTD. \n\nOpenAI raised $122B+ for capex spend, so I'd remain long (main contagion fears recently were related to them not being able to fulfill contract obligations)", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit If this sticks, markets going to get crushed this week.  Things intensifying..", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "jpm7019", "ret_m1d": -0.009677822255584001, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.009677822255584001, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009677822255584001, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009677822255584001, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01218488075237012, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01218488075237012, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01218488075237012, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01218488075237012, "ret_p1w": 0.032968949019229754, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.032968949019229754, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.032968949019229754, "bench_c_p1w": 0.032968949019229754, "ret_p1m": 0.07590732975229564, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.07590732975229564, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07590732975229564, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07590732975229564, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0035, 0.0062, 0.0054, 0.0054, -0.0151, -0.0037, 0.0015, 0.0018, 0.0069, 0.0109, 0.0108, 0.0088, 0.0058, 0.0108, 0.0023, -0.0026, -0.015, 0.0038, 0.0087, 0.006, 0.0058, -0.0097, -0.009, -0.009, -0.0074, -0.0024, -0.0051, 0.0021, -0.0081, -0.0009, 0.0075, 0.0019, -0.0029, -0.0023, -0.0111, -0.0041, -0.0097, -0.0227, -0.0141, -0.0157, -0.0169, -0.0319, -0.0373, -0.0275, -0.025, -0.0386, -0.041, -0.0547, -0.0448, -0.048, -0.0427, -0.0598, -0.0758, -0.0789, -0.0521, -0.045, -0.0441, -0.0441, -0.0396, -0.0392, -0.0147, -0.009, -0.0097, 0.0, 0.0122, 0.0202, 0.0227, 0.035, 0.033, 0.0262, 0.0366, 0.0326, 0.0406, 0.0424, 0.0373, 0.0371, 0.0475, 0.0504, 0.0465, 0.0549, 0.0696, 0.0663, 0.0751, 0.0775, 0.0759, 0.0819, 0.0905, 0.0774, 0.0766, 0.0694, 0.0804, 0.0825, 0.0868, 0.0868, 0.094, 0.0938, 0.0998, 0.1026, 0.1026, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2038957674998685992", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-31T12:32:46+00:00", "symbol": "POET", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$POET is a massive beneficary", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long POET as massive Celestial AI/Nvidia ecosystem beneficiary; long SIVE as overlooked light-source supplier for POET's ELS.", "resolved_tickers": ["POET"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@InvestWithFelix Yep $POET is a massive beneficary. It’s more well known with Celestial.\n\nEven analysts miss though Poet’s light source for ELS comes from $SIVE.\n\nBut huge for their whole ecosystem that Nvidia is validating it", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I think you’re missing Poet here as they have a partnership with Celestial AI", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "InvestWithFelix", "ret_m1d": -0.14478116586362955, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.14478116586362955, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11653431745547171, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0903471662563623, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.028246848408157832, "bench_c_m1d": -0.05443399960726725, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.05723908237586606, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.05723908237586606, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06477354615875608, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07959173615950854, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007534463782890022, "bench_c_p1d": 0.022352653783642484, "ret_p1w": 0.0033670001235441838, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0033670001235441838, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.010287309131558287, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.039668994301784055, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01365430925510247, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04303599442532824, "ret_p1m": 0.11111108435257266, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.11111108435257266, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.01694497477066159, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.19191446214013053, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09416610958191107, "bench_c_p1m": 0.3030255464927032, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0657, 0.2054, 0.2508, 0.2374, 0.2542, 0.2256, 0.2441, 0.2138, 0.202, 0.362, 0.399, 0.3973, 0.3973, 0.3872, 0.4091, 0.1684, 0.1633, 0.0875, 0.1431, 0.0471, 0.0017, -0.0236, -0.0168, 0.0168, -0.0556, -0.1279, -0.0118, 0.0455, -0.0168, -0.0185, -0.0488, -0.0606, -0.0606, -0.0707, -0.0606, -0.0623, -0.0421, -0.0707, 0.0286, 0.0707, 0.0505, 0.0101, 0.1633, 0.1852, 0.1515, 0.1178, 0.0572, 0.1263, 0.1785, 0.2525, 0.2525, 0.1498, 0.1633, 0.1061, 0.0404, 0.0488, -0.0017, 0.0202, -0.0337, 0.0269, -0.0758, -0.1263, -0.1448, 0.0, -0.0572, 0.0286, 0.0286, 0.0236, 0.0034, 0.0471, 0.0236, 0.1852, 0.229, 0.1296, 0.1734, 0.2357, 0.2222, 0.4461, 0.7256, 1.1498, 0.9731, 1.5421, 0.3384, 0.3519, 0.1111, 0.1987, 0.2306, 0.197, 0.5505, 0.6364, 0.6128, 0.8434, 1.3401, 1.3114, 1.4192, 2.463, 1.6886, 1.3923, 1.2003, 1.4882, 1.4949, 1.4562, 1.4562, 1.2475, 1.2357, 1.2323, 1.069, 1.069, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2042485208646316052", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-10T06:09:55+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LITE last year", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long SIVE frontrunning 2027 architectural supercycle now in H1; also bullish current optical transceiver cycle names AAOI, LITE, COHR, Innolight.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SIVE / Win benefits from CW lasers from the next architectural supercycle in 2027. I'm just frontrunning that now H1 like $LITE last year.\n\nYou already kinda know they're in $MRVL Celestial, $JBL 1.6T LRO, and O-Net so thats huge ramp into 2029.  \n\nStuff like $AAOI, $LITE, $COHR, Innolight are current optical transceiver cycles.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit how about $sive", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Kelvinccccccccc", "ret_m1d": -0.003532801686483067, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.003532801686483067, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.00419502044450315, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00419502044450315, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0006622187580200833, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0006622187580200833, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.029109545829186012, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.029109545829186012, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.038881943613537806, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.038881943613537806, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009772397784351794, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009772397784351794, "ret_p1w": -0.00359966623502872, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.00359966623502872, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.048753158248744266, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.048753158248744266, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.045153492013715546, "bench_c_p1w": 0.045153492013715546, "ret_p1m": 0.1736208404622075, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1736208404622075, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08555095572258598, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08555095572258598, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08806988473962152, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08806988473962152, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5973, -0.6304, -0.6174, -0.6386, -0.6386, -0.6023, -0.5961, -0.6049, -0.622, -0.6295, -0.5869, -0.5709, -0.5749, -0.5633, -0.5281, -0.5151, -0.4812, -0.4378, -0.3848, -0.3568, -0.3746, -0.3602, -0.3498, -0.3729, -0.3729, -0.3309, -0.3377, -0.2916, -0.2558, -0.248, -0.233, -0.1938, -0.2455, -0.2189, -0.1271, -0.2261, -0.2413, -0.2747, -0.3776, -0.286, -0.2511, -0.2511, -0.3134, -0.3063, -0.3036, -0.2761, -0.219, -0.1395, -0.2128, -0.1876, -0.1062, -0.1339, -0.2324, -0.2168, -0.2703, -0.2168, -0.1478, -0.0785, -0.0785, -0.1393, -0.0909, -0.0014, -0.0035, 0.0, -0.0291, -0.0496, -0.0817, -0.0068, -0.0036, -0.0024, -0.0673, -0.0264, -0.0562, -0.0175, -0.0419, -0.1181, -0.0434, 0.0056, 0.0587, 0.0879, 0.1084, 0.0524, -0.0053, 0.0072, 0.1736, 0.106, 0.1483, 0.1165, 0.0818, -0.0137, -0.008, -0.0326, 0.0749, 0.0553, 0.0553, 0.0151, 0.0056, -0.0409, -0.0472, -0.0472, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2042485208646316052", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-04-10T06:09:55+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI, $LITE, $COHR, Innolight are current optical transceiver cycles", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long SIVE frontrunning 2027 architectural supercycle now in H1; also bullish current optical transceiver cycle names AAOI, LITE, COHR, Innolight.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SIVE / Win benefits from CW lasers from the next architectural supercycle in 2027. I'm just frontrunning that now H1 like $LITE last year.\n\nYou already kinda know they're in $MRVL Celestial, $JBL 1.6T LRO, and O-Net so thats huge ramp into 2029.  \n\nStuff like $AAOI, $LITE, $COHR, Innolight are current optical transceiver cycles.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit how about $sive", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Kelvinccccccccc", "ret_m1d": -0.11487385358979718, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.11487385358979718, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.11553607234781726, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.11553607234781726, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0006622187580200833, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0006622187580200833, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.01719785015221298, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.01719785015221298, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.007425452367861185, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.007425452367861185, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009772397784351794, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009772397784351794, "ret_p1w": 0.05856568199185341, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05856568199185341, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.013412189978137867, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.013412189978137867, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.045153492013715546, "bench_c_p1w": 0.045153492013715546, "ret_p1m": 0.22775555380384582, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.22775555380384582, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1396856690642243, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1396856690642243, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08806988473962152, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08806988473962152, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.773, -0.7711, -0.7543, -0.7541, -0.7541, -0.7393, -0.7452, -0.7467, -0.7628, -0.7683, -0.7517, -0.6997, -0.7373, -0.7104, -0.7068, -0.6938, -0.7351, -0.7468, -0.7058, -0.6819, -0.678, -0.6786, -0.7079, -0.7048, -0.7048, -0.7084, -0.7116, -0.688, -0.6568, -0.6417, -0.6264, -0.6141, -0.6435, -0.4407, -0.3193, -0.3669, -0.3379, -0.3284, -0.3653, -0.2655, -0.1999, -0.1566, -0.2949, -0.3572, -0.3754, -0.4268, -0.3849, -0.3232, -0.4187, -0.3641, -0.2437, -0.2403, -0.3531, -0.3479, -0.4343, -0.4383, -0.4266, -0.31, -0.31, -0.2865, -0.2189, -0.1189, -0.1149, 0.0, 0.0172, -0.028, -0.0535, 0.0446, 0.0586, 0.0855, -0.0002, -0.0078, -0.0855, 0.0768, -0.032, -0.0886, 0.0148, 0.0914, 0.2185, 0.1486, 0.199, 0.1855, 0.0461, -0.011, 0.2278, 0.2502, 0.4814, 0.3517, 0.264, 0.1505, 0.1376, 0.0973, 0.174, 0.2051, 0.2051, 0.1794, 0.1941, 0.1223, 0.0519, 0.0519, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2042485208646316052", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-04-10T06:09:55+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOI, $LITE, $COHR, Innolight are current optical transceiver cycles", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long SIVE frontrunning 2027 architectural supercycle now in H1; also bullish current optical transceiver cycle names AAOI, LITE, COHR, Innolight.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$SIVE / Win benefits from CW lasers from the next architectural supercycle in 2027. I'm just frontrunning that now H1 like $LITE last year.\n\nYou already kinda know they're in $MRVL Celestial, $JBL 1.6T LRO, and O-Net so thats huge ramp into 2029.  \n\nStuff like $AAOI, $LITE, $COHR, Innolight are current optical transceiver cycles.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit how about $sive", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "Kelvinccccccccc", "ret_m1d": -0.07586987503175813, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07586987503175813, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07653209378977821, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07653209378977821, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0006622187580200833, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0006622187580200833, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0013983501651422259, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0013983501651422259, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008374047619209568, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.008374047619209568, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.009772397784351794, "bench_c_p1d": 0.009772397784351794, "ret_p1w": 0.12201622443470539, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12201622443470539, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07686273242098984, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.07686273242098984, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.045153492013715546, "bench_c_p1w": 0.045153492013715546, "ret_p1m": 0.23476423558180892, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.23476423558180892, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1466943508421874, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1466943508421874, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08806988473962152, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08806988473962152, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.382, -0.4013, -0.3627, -0.3787, -0.3787, -0.3709, -0.3448, -0.3407, -0.3595, -0.3569, -0.3041, -0.2808, -0.298, -0.31, -0.2766, -0.2547, -0.3138, -0.3195, -0.2596, -0.2115, -0.2573, -0.2726, -0.2972, -0.2936, -0.2936, -0.2847, -0.2719, -0.244, -0.1929, -0.1906, -0.1712, -0.1288, -0.1865, -0.158, -0.0279, -0.0868, -0.1061, -0.1744, -0.2334, -0.1794, -0.1524, -0.1824, -0.2154, -0.2105, -0.1955, -0.2007, -0.1635, -0.1038, -0.1752, -0.1706, -0.1144, -0.1153, -0.2088, -0.2082, -0.2857, -0.2253, -0.1941, -0.1605, -0.1605, -0.1765, -0.1704, -0.0836, -0.0759, 0.0, 0.0014, 0.0193, 0.0023, 0.0667, 0.122, 0.1301, 0.118, 0.1397, 0.0981, 0.093, 0.0456, -0.0115, -0.0084, 0.0397, 0.0715, 0.0728, 0.0918, 0.1209, 0.038, 0.0903, 0.2348, 0.2163, 0.3129, 0.3169, 0.2437, 0.1799, 0.15, 0.1659, 0.2293, 0.2279, 0.2279, 0.2402, 0.2364, 0.2259, 0.1755, 0.1755, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2047168499211235609", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-23T04:19:39+00:00", "symbol": "6451.TW", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Same with Shunsin as Foxconn's photonics packaging/test arm", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long Win (3105) and Shunsin (6451) over 12 months; CPO-related names expected to heavily outperform and reach new ATHs despite macro/geopolitical volatility.", "resolved_tickers": ["6451.TW"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TW')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I think many newcomers will be surprised to learn:\n\nStocks don’t move in a straight line up as seen with Win (3105) and Shunsin (6451) today.\n\nWin is very compelling over the next 12 months, despite short term volatility. Same with Shunsin as Foxconn’s photonics packaging/test arm. \n\nProbably going to be War volatility, with Iran seizing two ships… \n\nBut I expect CPO related names to heavily outperform any macro climate and lead to more ATHs.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.11086226203807392, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.11086226203807392, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.10696641939841234, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.08771405896249673, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003895842639661584, "bench_c_m1d": 0.02314820307557719, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.09966405375139975, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.09966405375139975, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.10741335171142397, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.1453667908329841, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007749297960024215, "bench_c_p1d": 0.045702737081584344, "ret_p1w": -0.034714445688689755, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.034714445688689755, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04912613425044576, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10166600709268303, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014411688561756009, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06695156140399328, "ret_p1m": 0.1735722284434491, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1735722284434491, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1210773427061358, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0239995931912802, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05249488573731331, "bench_c_p1m": 0.1495726352521689, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6719, -0.6674, -0.6428, -0.6204, -0.6394, -0.6137, -0.5756, -0.5342, -0.5566, -0.6002, -0.6125, -0.6025, -0.6282, -0.6282, -0.6282, -0.6282, -0.6282, -0.6282, -0.6282, -0.6282, -0.5913, -0.551, -0.5274, -0.5319, -0.5319, -0.542, -0.5353, -0.5812, -0.5633, -0.5745, -0.617, -0.6137, -0.5756, -0.561, -0.5174, -0.4692, -0.4166, -0.3751, -0.3908, -0.3852, -0.3718, -0.3505, -0.2856, -0.2564, -0.1825, -0.2643, -0.3371, -0.3169, -0.3382, -0.3382, -0.3382, -0.2721, -0.1993, -0.1198, -0.0325, 0.0638, 0.0661, 0.0213, 0.1064, 0.131, 0.1355, 0.0616, 0.1109, 0.0, -0.0997, -0.1501, -0.0929, -0.1097, -0.0347, -0.0347, 0.0616, 0.1669, 0.0694, 0.0974, -0.0123, 0.0202, 0.0224, 0.0705, 0.1758, 0.2923, 0.1646, 0.084, 0.0873, 0.1176, 0.1736, 0.29, 0.4155, 0.3483, 0.2744, 0.2766, 0.3729, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2047168499211235609", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-04-23T04:19:39+00:00", "symbol": "CPO related names", "kind": "sector", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "kept_implicit_alias_present", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "I expect CPO related names to heavily outperform any macro climate and lead to more ATHs", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long Win (3105) and Shunsin (6451) over 12 months; CPO-related names expected to heavily outperform and reach new ATHs despite macro/geopolitical volatility.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR", "LITE", "AAOI", "FN"], "resolution_method": "basket", "resolution_reason": "CPO photonics basket; removed delisted FNSR", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I think many newcomers will be surprised to learn:\n\nStocks don’t move in a straight line up as seen with Win (3105) and Shunsin (6451) today.\n\nWin is very compelling over the next 12 months, despite short term volatility. Same with Shunsin as Foxconn’s photonics packaging/test arm. \n\nProbably going to be War volatility, with Iran seizing two ships… \n\nBut I expect CPO related names to heavily outperform any macro climate and lead to more ATHs.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03879035955304505, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03879035955304505, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.034894516913383467, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.034894516913383467, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.003895842639661584, "bench_c_m1d": 0.003895842639661584, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.06458590805497116, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.06458590805497116, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.05683661009494695, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.05683661009494695, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007749297960024215, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007749297960024215, "ret_p1w": 0.04922411935822635, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04922411935822635, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03481243079647034, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03481243079647034, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014411688561756009, "bench_c_p1w": 0.014411688561756009, "ret_p1m": 0.14370739048515918, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14370739048515918, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09121250474784587, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09121250474784587, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05249488573731331, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05249488573731331, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5202, -0.4835, -0.4589, -0.4758, -0.4706, -0.449, -0.4555, -0.4805, -0.4665, -0.4053, -0.3812, -0.4082, -0.4083, -0.4204, -0.4127, -0.4127, -0.4001, -0.3966, -0.3687, -0.3273, -0.3095, -0.2936, -0.2593, -0.3136, -0.2507, -0.1506, -0.2135, -0.2101, -0.2389, -0.3097, -0.232, -0.1931, -0.1948, -0.2608, -0.2787, -0.2757, -0.2883, -0.2531, -0.187, -0.2612, -0.224, -0.137, -0.1396, -0.2404, -0.2339, -0.3111, -0.2735, -0.2401, -0.1738, -0.1738, -0.1885, -0.1546, -0.0648, -0.0595, 0.006, 0.0134, -0.0033, -0.0212, 0.0354, 0.0589, 0.0721, 0.0271, 0.0388, 0.0, 0.0646, 0.0047, -0.061, -0.0101, 0.0492, 0.1136, 0.1067, 0.1093, 0.1042, 0.0128, 0.0106, 0.1631, 0.1417, 0.2604, 0.2357, 0.177, 0.0983, 0.0813, 0.0618, 0.1405, 0.1437, 0.1437, 0.1205, 0.1233, 0.0821, 0.0447, 0.0447, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2041752476542759313", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-08T05:38:18+00:00", "symbol": "MSFT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Buying back some names that crashed from macro like $MSFT (-21%)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author suggests buying macro-crashed names MSFT, RDDT, HOOD and crypto ETH/IBIT, as rate-cut odds spike and Korean equities near ATHs.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSFT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Samsung, SK Hynix both back close to ATHs with $EWY following suit.\n\nBuying back some names that crashed from macro like $MSFT (-21%), $RDDT(-36%), or $HOOD (-31%)…\n\nOr others like $ETH or $IBIT here might not be the worst idea.\n\nEspecially as rate cut odds (2-3) spiked on derivative markets today. \n\nLooks like markets and derivatives really believe in TACO Tuesday this time.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "This has gotta be the biggest taco supreme I’ve ever seen?\n\nYesterday: “GG Iran as a civilization”\n\nToday: “Hurray for World Peace, Iran can reconstruct, US is helping flow of passage through the strait. Big money to be made”\n\nToo many shorts on $AAOI to $LITE and $SMH right now https://t.co/TXZymzkvUj", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.005449716394477666, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005449716394477666, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.019387251727223886, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.019387251727223886, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.024836968121701553, "bench_c_m1d": -0.024836968121701553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.003365977272341003, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.003365977272341003, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009135068443429373, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.009135068443429373, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00576909117108837, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00576909117108837, "ret_p1w": 0.09854940579446803, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09854940579446803, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06315053250843805, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06315053250843805, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.035398873286029975, "bench_c_p1w": 0.035398873286029975, "ret_p1m": 0.1240616474350007, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1240616474350007, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.041858711795800474, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.041858711795800474, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08220293563920023, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08220293563920023, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2775, 0.2719, 0.2545, 0.2244, 0.2172, 0.2257, 0.2257, 0.2115, 0.1837, 0.2024, 0.2419, 0.2535, 0.2809, 0.2837, 0.1554, 0.1469, 0.1284, 0.096, 0.104, 0.0493, 0.0692, 0.1024, 0.1015, 0.0778, 0.071, 0.0697, 0.0697, 0.0578, 0.0651, 0.0645, 0.0612, 0.0271, 0.0392, 0.0702, 0.0732, 0.0492, 0.0647, 0.0791, 0.0825, 0.0971, 0.0925, 0.0937, 0.084, 0.0816, 0.0735, 0.0567, 0.0684, 0.067, 0.0466, 0.0392, 0.0201, 0.0232, -0.0042, -0.0088, -0.0223, -0.0469, -0.0411, -0.0111, -0.0133, -0.0023, -0.0023, -0.0039, -0.0054, 0.0, -0.0034, -0.0092, 0.0268, 0.0502, 0.0985, 0.1227, 0.1295, 0.1168, 0.1331, 0.1565, 0.1107, 0.1343, 0.1349, 0.1467, 0.1339, 0.0894, 0.1072, 0.105, 0.099, 0.1059, 0.1241, 0.109, 0.1024, 0.0893, 0.0825, 0.0938, 0.1271, 0.1315, 0.1151, 0.1248, 0.122, 0.1206, 0.1206, 0.1138, 0.1048, 0.1431, 0.2054, 0.2054, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2041752476542759313", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-08T05:38:18+00:00", "symbol": "RDDT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$RDDT(-36%)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author suggests buying macro-crashed names MSFT, RDDT, HOOD and crypto ETH/IBIT, as rate-cut odds spike and Korean equities near ATHs.", "resolved_tickers": ["RDDT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Samsung, SK Hynix both back close to ATHs with $EWY following suit.\n\nBuying back some names that crashed from macro like $MSFT (-21%), $RDDT(-36%), or $HOOD (-31%)…\n\nOr others like $ETH or $IBIT here might not be the worst idea.\n\nEspecially as rate cut odds (2-3) spiked on derivative markets today. \n\nLooks like markets and derivatives really believe in TACO Tuesday this time.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "This has gotta be the biggest taco supreme I’ve ever seen?\n\nYesterday: “GG Iran as a civilization”\n\nToday: “Hurray for World Peace, Iran can reconstruct, US is helping flow of passage through the strait. Big money to be made”\n\nToo many shorts on $AAOI to $LITE and $SMH right now https://t.co/TXZymzkvUj", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.026620693864493505, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.026620693864493505, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0017837257427919528, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.00913542977119619, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.024836968121701553, "bench_c_m1d": -0.017485264093297315, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.04565513873922411, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.04565513873922411, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.05142422991031248, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.049696954874364874, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00576909117108837, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004041816135140763, "ret_p1w": 0.09296548777613145, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.09296548777613145, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.057566614490101475, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0617731221851372, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.035398873286029975, "bench_c_p1w": 0.031192365590994253, "ret_p1m": 0.13068963412580814, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13068963412580814, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.048486698486607915, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.0993215665446956, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08220293563920023, "bench_c_p1m": 0.031368067581112546, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.6866, 0.6829, 0.7857, 0.7406, 0.5776, 0.5932, 0.5932, 0.5542, 0.4492, 0.4796, 0.5095, 0.4733, 0.3538, 0.332, 0.3107, 0.2432, 0.2217, 0.1408, 0.053, 0.0417, -0.0357, -0.0225, 0.0343, -0.0394, -0.0961, -0.0369, -0.0369, -0.0398, 0.017, 0.0078, 0.0357, -0.0175, -0.0201, 0.0322, 0.0431, 0.0056, 0.0146, 0.0048, 0.0158, -0.0046, -0.0387, -0.0423, -0.075, -0.0543, -0.0879, -0.0872, -0.0345, -0.0046, -0.0152, -0.0474, -0.0355, -0.0279, -0.0612, -0.037, -0.1223, -0.1597, -0.1439, -0.0714, -0.0608, -0.0621, -0.0621, -0.0459, -0.0266, 0.0, -0.0457, -0.0363, 0.03, 0.0658, 0.093, 0.1203, 0.1297, 0.1468, 0.0815, 0.1332, 0.0549, 0.0682, 0.1049, 0.0202, 0.019, 0.0154, 0.1481, 0.166, 0.1837, 0.1487, 0.1307, 0.0745, 0.1001, 0.0507, 0.0629, 0.078, 0.0908, 0.0973, 0.0681, 0.0119, 0.0348, -0.023, -0.023, -0.0025, 0.0634, 0.1565, 0.2138, 0.2138, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2041752476542759313", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-04-08T05:38:18+00:00", "symbol": "HOOD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$HOOD (-31%)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author suggests buying macro-crashed names MSFT, RDDT, HOOD and crypto ETH/IBIT, as rate-cut odds spike and Korean equities near ATHs.", "resolved_tickers": ["HOOD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLF", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Capital Markets'", "bench_c_industry": "Capital Markets", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Samsung, SK Hynix both back close to ATHs with $EWY following suit.\n\nBuying back some names that crashed from macro like $MSFT (-21%), $RDDT(-36%), or $HOOD (-31%)…\n\nOr others like $ETH or $IBIT here might not be the worst idea.\n\nEspecially as rate cut odds (2-3) spiked on derivative markets today. \n\nLooks like markets and derivatives really believe in TACO Tuesday this time.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "This has gotta be the biggest taco supreme I’ve ever seen?\n\nYesterday: “GG Iran as a civilization”\n\nToday: “Hurray for World Peace, Iran can reconstruct, US is helping flow of passage through the strait. Big money to be made”\n\nToo many shorts on $AAOI to $LITE and $SMH right now https://t.co/TXZymzkvUj", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.030349439643662768, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.030349439643662768, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.005512471521961215, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0045681959882977186, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.024836968121701553, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02578124365536505, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.023806195752223425, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.023806195752223425, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.029575286923311794, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.026345279076013806, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00576909117108837, "bench_c_p1d": 0.002539083323790381, "ret_p1w": 0.2156480226772408, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2156480226772408, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.18024914939121084, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.19670276112349527, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.035398873286029975, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01894526155374554, "ret_p1m": 0.06195178664631884, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.06195178664631884, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.020251148992881385, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.05511587905050419, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08220293563920023, "bench_c_p1m": 0.00683590759581465, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.6048, 0.6361, 0.674, 0.666, 0.5363, 0.5139, 0.5139, 0.4726, 0.4746, 0.4792, 0.4895, 0.4896, 0.4651, 0.4395, 0.4094, 0.3849, 0.2517, 0.2122, 0.1224, 0.0118, 0.153, 0.2051, 0.1917, 0.0855, -0.0099, 0.0576, 0.0576, 0.0503, 0.0471, 0.0532, 0.0596, -0.0007, 0.0217, 0.0794, 0.1061, 0.056, 0.0968, 0.059, 0.1445, 0.1215, 0.0732, 0.1047, 0.0933, 0.0955, 0.0597, 0.0217, 0.0484, 0.0768, 0.0427, 0.0324, -0.0131, 0.0092, -0.0383, 0.0099, -0.0206, -0.0809, -0.0929, -0.0352, -0.0239, -0.0408, -0.0408, -0.0285, -0.0303, 0.0, -0.0238, -0.0368, -0.0022, 0.1011, 0.2156, 0.2091, 0.2634, 0.2707, 0.2033, 0.2311, 0.163, 0.1793, 0.1687, 0.1426, -0.0088, 0.0148, 0.0255, 0.0657, 0.0724, 0.1005, 0.062, 0.0724, 0.1246, 0.0897, 0.0685, 0.1235, 0.0739, 0.0741, 0.0324, 0.0547, 0.0569, 0.0252, 0.0252, 0.0315, 0.0613, 0.1811, 0.3128, 0.3128, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2041752476542759313", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-04-08T05:38:18+00:00", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "kind": "crypto", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": false, "explicit_audit": "flipped_to_implicit", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "others like $ETH or $IBIT here might not be the worst idea", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author suggests buying macro-crashed names MSFT, RDDT, HOOD and crypto ETH/IBIT, as rate-cut odds spike and Korean equities near ATHs.", "resolved_tickers": ["ETH-USD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": null, "bench_c_reason": "no_country_fallback (all FX/crypto/index)", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Samsung, SK Hynix both back close to ATHs with $EWY following suit.\n\nBuying back some names that crashed from macro like $MSFT (-21%), $RDDT(-36%), or $HOOD (-31%)…\n\nOr others like $ETH or $IBIT here might not be the worst idea.\n\nEspecially as rate cut odds (2-3) spiked on derivative markets today. \n\nLooks like markets and derivatives really believe in TACO Tuesday this time.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "This has gotta be the biggest taco supreme I’ve ever seen?\n\nYesterday: “GG Iran as a civilization”\n\nToday: “Hurray for World Peace, Iran can reconstruct, US is helping flow of passage through the strait. Big money to be made”\n\nToo many shorts on $AAOI to $LITE and $SMH right now https://t.co/TXZymzkvUj", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.02349922767519863, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02349922767519863, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.04833619579690018, "alpha_c_m1d": null, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.024836968121701553, "bench_c_m1d": null, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": null, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": null, "ret_p1d": -0.0005439378020498653, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.0005439378020498653, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.006313028973138235, "alpha_c_p1d": null, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00576909117108837, "bench_c_p1d": null, "ret_p1w": 0.07720349983849051, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07720349983849051, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.04180462655246053, "alpha_c_p1w": null, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.035398873286029975, "bench_c_p1w": null, "ret_p1m": 0.04600766372695042, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.04600766372695042, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.036195271912249805, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08220293563920023, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.4076, 0.4118, 0.5167, 0.5316, 0.5144, 0.5046, 0.4549, 0.3403, 0.36, 0.3467, 0.3483, 0.3361, 0.3798, 0.3727, 0.2867, 0.2338, 0.0703, 0.017, -0.0214, -0.1683, -0.058, -0.0396, -0.078, -0.114, -0.1111, -0.0647, -0.0878, -0.0905, -0.1079, -0.1105, -0.101, -0.1529, -0.154, -0.062, -0.0747, -0.1185, -0.0744, -0.0948, -0.0291, -0.0542, -0.0966, -0.0901, -0.07, -0.0634, -0.0535, -0.0446, 0.0734, 0.0583, 0.0061, -0.0242, -0.02, -0.0174, -0.0158, -0.0102, -0.0597, -0.0909, -0.0762, -0.0391, -0.0236, -0.0609, -0.0625, -0.0377, 0.0235, 0.0, -0.0005, 0.025, 0.0824, 0.0607, 0.0772, 0.0723, 0.1053, 0.057, 0.0628, 0.0848, 0.0645, 0.0572, 0.0515, 0.0452, 0.0288, 0.0301, 0.0478, 0.0713, 0.078, 0.0733, 0.046, 0.0533, 0.068, 0.0385, 0.0307, 0.0414, 0.0151, -0.0282, -0.0367, -0.0289, -0.0269, -0.0574, -0.0361, -0.0545, -0.0768, -0.0834, -0.0814, -0.0829, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2041752476542759313", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-04-08T05:38:18+00:00", "symbol": "IBIT", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$ETH or $IBIT here might not be the worst idea", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author suggests buying macro-crashed names MSFT, RDDT, HOOD and crypto ETH/IBIT, as rate-cut odds spike and Korean equities near ATHs.", "resolved_tickers": ["IBIT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Samsung, SK Hynix both back close to ATHs with $EWY following suit.\n\nBuying back some names that crashed from macro like $MSFT (-21%), $RDDT(-36%), or $HOOD (-31%)…\n\nOr others like $ETH or $IBIT here might not be the worst idea.\n\nEspecially as rate cut odds (2-3) spiked on derivative markets today. \n\nLooks like markets and derivatives really believe in TACO Tuesday this time.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "This has gotta be the biggest taco supreme I’ve ever seen?\n\nYesterday: “GG Iran as a civilization”\n\nToday: “Hurray for World Peace, Iran can reconstruct, US is helping flow of passage through the strait. Big money to be made”\n\nToo many shorts on $AAOI to $LITE and $SMH right now https://t.co/TXZymzkvUj", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03265709437459541, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03265709437459541, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.007820126252893855, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.007820126252893855, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.024836968121701553, "bench_c_m1d": -0.024836968121701553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.012122753603766023, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.012122753603766023, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006353662432677654, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006353662432677654, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00576909117108837, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00576909117108837, "ret_p1w": 0.05294416876025165, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.05294416876025165, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.017545295474221678, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.017545295474221678, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.035398873286029975, "bench_c_p1w": 0.035398873286029975, "ret_p1m": 0.12320642213090771, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.12320642213090771, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.041003486491707486, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.041003486491707486, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08220293563920023, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08220293563920023, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2657, 0.2833, 0.3253, 0.3716, 0.336, 0.3419, 0.3419, 0.2558, 0.2645, 0.2536, 0.2543, 0.2284, 0.2526, 0.2496, 0.1776, 0.1749, 0.094, 0.0713, 0.0285, -0.1069, -0.0183, -0.0077, -0.0359, -0.0527, -0.0834, -0.0359, -0.0359, -0.0502, -0.0713, -0.0581, -0.0495, -0.0957, -0.0962, -0.0294, -0.0534, -0.0799, -0.0303, -0.0426, 0.0252, -0.0007, -0.045, -0.0319, -0.0176, -0.0087, -0.0116, -0.0012, 0.0376, 0.0458, -0.004, -0.0148, -0.0161, -0.0092, -0.0282, -0.0062, -0.0396, -0.0747, -0.0678, -0.0495, -0.044, -0.0606, -0.0606, -0.0223, -0.0327, 0.0, 0.0121, 0.0282, 0.0289, 0.0423, 0.0529, 0.0571, 0.0871, 0.07, 0.0517, 0.1071, 0.0898, 0.0891, 0.0777, 0.0705, 0.0576, 0.0717, 0.1002, 0.1232, 0.145, 0.1428, 0.1232, 0.1244, 0.1497, 0.1331, 0.1163, 0.1423, 0.1089, 0.0769, 0.0762, 0.0883, 0.0886, 0.0628, 0.0628, 0.0636, 0.0502, 0.0282, 0.0299, 0.0299, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2041752476542759313", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2026-04-08T05:38:18+00:00", "symbol": "EWY", "kind": "etf", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Samsung, SK Hynix both back close to ATHs with $EWY following suit", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Author suggests buying macro-crashed names MSFT, RDDT, HOOD and crypto ETH/IBIT, as rate-cut odds spike and Korean equities near ATHs.", "resolved_tickers": ["EWY"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Samsung, SK Hynix both back close to ATHs with $EWY following suit.\n\nBuying back some names that crashed from macro like $MSFT (-21%), $RDDT(-36%), or $HOOD (-31%)…\n\nOr others like $ETH or $IBIT here might not be the worst idea.\n\nEspecially as rate cut odds (2-3) spiked on derivative markets today. \n\nLooks like markets and derivatives really believe in TACO Tuesday this time.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "This has gotta be the biggest taco supreme I’ve ever seen?\n\nYesterday: “GG Iran as a civilization”\n\nToday: “Hurray for World Peace, Iran can reconstruct, US is helping flow of passage through the strait. Big money to be made”\n\nToo many shorts on $AAOI to $LITE and $SMH right now https://t.co/TXZymzkvUj", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.09195405304005788, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.09195405304005788, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.06711708491835633, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06711708491835633, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.024836968121701553, "bench_c_m1d": -0.024836968121701553, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.00556874418004738, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.00556874418004738, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.01133783535113575, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.01133783535113575, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.00576909117108837, "bench_c_p1d": 0.00576909117108837, "ret_p1w": 0.03462547719798659, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03462547719798659, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0007733960880433877, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0007733960880433877, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.035398873286029975, "bench_c_p1w": 0.035398873286029975, "ret_p1m": 0.2618689994845107, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.2618689994845107, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.17966606384531048, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.17966606384531048, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.08220293563920023, "bench_c_p1m": 0.08220293563920023, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2226, -0.2223, -0.2322, -0.2172, -0.2072, -0.1988, -0.1988, -0.2078, -0.1743, -0.1719, -0.1578, -0.1624, -0.124, -0.1036, -0.1112, -0.1261, -0.1366, -0.1124, -0.1414, -0.1418, -0.1097, -0.1001, -0.1115, -0.0676, -0.0662, -0.0435, -0.0435, -0.067, -0.051, -0.0347, 0.0129, -0.0055, 0.032, 0.063, 0.0738, 0.0807, 0.0533, -0.0552, -0.0407, -0.1023, -0.0952, -0.0441, -0.0698, -0.0515, -0.1183, -0.1137, -0.0498, -0.0403, -0.0585, -0.0375, -0.102, -0.0447, -0.0808, -0.088, -0.1434, -0.1363, -0.1688, -0.1218, -0.0989, -0.1228, -0.1228, -0.1009, -0.092, 0.0, -0.0056, -0.0096, 0.0083, 0.0472, 0.0346, 0.0528, 0.0875, 0.0715, 0.048, 0.1123, 0.0751, 0.1035, 0.1189, 0.1021, 0.0992, 0.1477, 0.1566, 0.1679, 0.2385, 0.2992, 0.2619, 0.3579, 0.3768, 0.2744, 0.3467, 0.3602, 0.2769, 0.2572, 0.2424, 0.2859, 0.3309, 0.2996, 0.2996, 0.4325, 0.4156, 0.4736, 0.4695, 0.4695, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2045932788218794257", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-19T18:29:22+00:00", "symbol": "MRVL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$MRVL in talks to develop $GOOGL TPU for two different chip models", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "MRVL/GOOGL TPU talks seen as structural multi-year catalyst; POET and Sivers named as likely photonics beneficiaries past 2028.", "resolved_tickers": ["MRVL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$MRVL in talks to develop $GOOGL TPU for two different chip models.\n\nHigh possibility $SIVE likely became the light source for Google's supply chains if talks go well. \n\nEspecially as their custom ASIC likely pushes Celestial IP for scale up (Photonic Fabric) in the MPU's architecture. And this maps to both $POET and Sivers.\n\nCustom ASICs take years, so there's probably no material revenue from Google until H2 2028.\n\nVendors are also probably multi-sourced, but having Google as a likely end user is a structural multi-year catalyst past 2028. \n\nMarkets are typically forward looking.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.05512712458310287, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.05512712458310287, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05713079881836358, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05713079881836358, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.023471329184643563, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.023471329184643563, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.030018278339579818, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.030018278339579818, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "bench_c_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "ret_p1w": 0.07014347018972966, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.07014347018972966, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.06104253826504835, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.06104253826504835, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "bench_c_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "ret_p1m": 0.19230254761095278, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.19230254761095278, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.15701356070571237, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.15701356070571237, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "bench_c_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4419, -0.4382, -0.4576, -0.4472, -0.4393, -0.4347, -0.4501, -0.4664, -0.4682, -0.4893, -0.5015, -0.4983, -0.4573, -0.4433, -0.4456, -0.4501, -0.4711, -0.4685, -0.4685, -0.4658, -0.4653, -0.4618, -0.4627, -0.4741, -0.47, -0.4529, -0.4639, -0.4477, -0.4533, -0.476, -0.4721, -0.4884, -0.3944, -0.3736, -0.3692, -0.3886, -0.4073, -0.406, -0.3809, -0.3862, -0.4076, -0.3947, -0.4057, -0.3905, -0.3756, -0.3344, -0.3396, -0.3585, -0.4063, -0.3304, -0.2786, -0.2759, -0.2759, -0.2596, -0.2605, -0.2262, -0.1892, -0.1309, -0.1119, -0.0948, -0.0896, -0.0979, -0.0551, 0.0, 0.0235, 0.0641, 0.1199, 0.1114, 0.0701, 0.0365, 0.0591, 0.1171, 0.1157, 0.107, 0.1414, 0.1644, 0.0823, 0.1508, 0.1556, 0.1127, 0.2037, 0.235, 0.1965, 0.1427, 0.1923, 0.2635, 0.2898, 0.328, 0.328, 0.4087, 0.344, 0.3855, 0.3866, 0.3866, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2045932788218794257", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-19T18:29:22+00:00", "symbol": "GOOGL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$MRVL in talks to develop $GOOGL TPU for two different chip models", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "MRVL/GOOGL TPU talks seen as structural multi-year catalyst; POET and Sivers named as likely photonics beneficiaries past 2028.", "resolved_tickers": ["GOOGL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$MRVL in talks to develop $GOOGL TPU for two different chip models.\n\nHigh possibility $SIVE likely became the light source for Google's supply chains if talks go well. \n\nEspecially as their custom ASIC likely pushes Celestial IP for scale up (Photonic Fabric) in the MPU's architecture. And this maps to both $POET and Sivers.\n\nCustom ASICs take years, so there's probably no material revenue from Google until H2 2028.\n\nVendors are also probably multi-sourced, but having Google as a likely end user is a structural multi-year catalyst past 2028. \n\nMarkets are typically forward looking.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.012625152861477362, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.012625152861477362, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.010621478626216652, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009677797289931345, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0029473555715460176, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.015203617683191117, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.015203617683191117, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.008656668528254863, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.001814174837796334, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "bench_c_p1d": -0.013389442845394783, "ret_p1w": 0.03829050558947755, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.03829050558947755, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.029189573664796242, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.0630484208855302, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "bench_c_p1w": -0.024757915296052646, "ret_p1m": 0.14889451791553254, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14889451791553254, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.11360553101029214, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.17331558339661812, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "bench_c_p1m": -0.02442106548108558, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0275, -0.0211, -0.0288, -0.013, -0.0092, -0.0049, 0.0018, 0.001, 0.0179, 0.0061, -0.0137, -0.019, -0.0438, -0.0395, -0.0565, -0.0791, -0.0849, -0.0946, -0.0946, -0.1055, -0.1017, -0.1031, -0.0672, -0.0775, -0.0792, -0.0733, -0.0897, -0.0767, -0.0922, -0.1009, -0.1023, -0.1089, -0.1159, -0.0921, -0.09, -0.0851, -0.1004, -0.1041, -0.0944, -0.0785, -0.0881, -0.0898, -0.1079, -0.1048, -0.1392, -0.1378, -0.1674, -0.1869, -0.1894, -0.1478, -0.1186, -0.1234, -0.1234, -0.1109, -0.0947, -0.0596, -0.0561, -0.0598, -0.0477, -0.0134, -0.0009, -0.0041, 0.0126, 0.0, -0.0152, 0.0056, 0.0044, 0.0207, 0.0383, 0.0366, 0.0371, 0.1404, 0.1431, 0.1358, 0.1512, 0.1797, 0.1795, 0.1878, 0.1518, 0.148, 0.1932, 0.1886, 0.1759, 0.1764, 0.1489, 0.1526, 0.1489, 0.135, 0.135, 0.1525, 0.1524, 0.1562, 0.1272, 0.1272, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2045932788218794257", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-04-19T18:29:22+00:00", "symbol": "POET Technologies", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "this maps to both $POET and Sivers", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "MRVL/GOOGL TPU talks seen as structural multi-year catalyst; POET and Sivers named as likely photonics beneficiaries past 2028.", "resolved_tickers": ["POET"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "POET Technologies trades as POET on NASDAQ", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$MRVL in talks to develop $GOOGL TPU for two different chip models.\n\nHigh possibility $SIVE likely became the light source for Google's supply chains if talks go well. \n\nEspecially as their custom ASIC likely pushes Celestial IP for scale up (Photonic Fabric) in the MPU's architecture. And this maps to both $POET and Sivers.\n\nCustom ASICs take years, so there's probably no material revenue from Google until H2 2028.\n\nVendors are also probably multi-sourced, but having Google as a likely end user is a structural multi-year catalyst past 2028. \n\nMarkets are typically forward looking.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.1548311874366345, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1548311874366345, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.1568348616718952, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.1552622853992066, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0004310979625721245, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.19324794155120073, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.19324794155120073, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.19979489070613698, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.19173916445851247, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0015087770926882627, "ret_p1w": -0.0745052772938476, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0745052772938476, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0836062092185289, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.16567697116746138, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "bench_c_p1w": 0.09117169387361379, "ret_p1m": 0.5215366079925678, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.5215366079925678, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.48624762108732744, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.34910788139767157, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "bench_c_p1m": 0.17242872659489628, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0256, -0.1921, -0.1956, -0.248, -0.2095, -0.2759, -0.3073, -0.3248, -0.3201, -0.2969, -0.3469, -0.397, -0.3166, -0.2771, -0.3201, -0.3213, -0.3423, -0.3504, -0.3504, -0.3574, -0.3504, -0.3516, -0.3376, -0.3574, -0.2887, -0.2596, -0.2736, -0.3015, -0.1956, -0.1804, -0.2037, -0.227, -0.2689, -0.2212, -0.1851, -0.1339, -0.1339, -0.2049, -0.1956, -0.2352, -0.2806, -0.2747, -0.3097, -0.2945, -0.3318, -0.2899, -0.3609, -0.3958, -0.4086, -0.3085, -0.3481, -0.2887, -0.2887, -0.2922, -0.3062, -0.2759, -0.2922, -0.1804, -0.1502, -0.2189, -0.1886, -0.1455, -0.1548, 0.0, 0.1932, 0.4866, 0.3644, 0.7579, -0.0745, -0.0652, -0.2317, -0.1711, -0.149, -0.1723, 0.0722, 0.1315, 0.1153, 0.2747, 0.6182, 0.5984, 0.6729, 1.3946, 0.8591, 0.6542, 0.5215, 0.7206, 0.7253, 0.6985, 0.6985, 0.5541, 0.546, 0.5437, 0.4307, 0.4307, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2045932788218794257", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-04-19T18:29:22+00:00", "symbol": "Sivers Semiconductors", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "High possibility $SIVE likely became the light source for Google's supply chains if talks go well", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "MRVL/GOOGL TPU talks seen as structural multi-year catalyst; POET and Sivers named as likely photonics beneficiaries past 2028.", "resolved_tickers": ["SIVE.ST"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Sivers Semiconductors on Nasdaq Stockholm as SIVE.ST", "bench_c": "FEZ", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='ST')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$MRVL in talks to develop $GOOGL TPU for two different chip models.\n\nHigh possibility $SIVE likely became the light source for Google's supply chains if talks go well. \n\nEspecially as their custom ASIC likely pushes Celestial IP for scale up (Photonic Fabric) in the MPU's architecture. And this maps to both $POET and Sivers.\n\nCustom ASICs take years, so there's probably no material revenue from Google until H2 2028.\n\nVendors are also probably multi-sourced, but having Google as a likely end user is a structural multi-year catalyst past 2028. \n\nMarkets are typically forward looking.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.24020551345042196, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.24020551345042196, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.24220918768568267, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.24391691484197087, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0037114013915489075, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.09826594198034, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.09826594198034, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.10481289113527625, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.12097970037454275, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "bench_c_p1d": -0.022713758394202754, "ret_p1w": -0.0500963229453677, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0500963229453677, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.05919725487004901, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.02411651320452468, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "bench_c_p1w": -0.02597980974084302, "ret_p1m": 0.4598587018464899, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.4598587018464899, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.4245697149412495, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.49133142642149885, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "bench_c_p1m": -0.03147272457500894, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.8969, -0.8893, -0.8885, -0.8879, -0.8873, -0.8878, -0.892, -0.8927, -0.8915, -0.8947, -0.8932, -0.8956, -0.8899, -0.8944, -0.8958, -0.8967, -0.9049, -0.9026, -0.9009, -0.901, -0.9004, -0.8966, -0.8985, -0.9006, -0.8966, -0.8987, -0.9069, -0.9029, -0.9027, -0.9048, -0.8938, -0.8917, -0.8844, -0.8892, -0.8821, -0.8676, -0.8687, -0.8639, -0.7635, -0.7783, -0.7136, -0.6631, -0.7291, -0.6342, -0.5999, -0.5353, -0.6358, -0.6816, -0.6789, -0.6561, -0.6419, -0.6821, -0.6821, -0.6821, -0.6903, -0.6214, -0.6349, -0.5697, -0.4589, -0.4875, -0.3327, -0.2678, -0.2402, 0.0, 0.0983, -0.0366, -0.0893, 0.0263, -0.0501, 0.025, 0.2807, 0.2203, 0.2203, 0.7967, 0.7566, 0.5498, 0.5973, 0.3976, 0.5896, 0.3854, 0.8192, 0.8192, 0.7887, 0.5446, 0.4599, 0.7341, 0.8963, 1.341, 1.7473, 1.789, 1.3571, 1.2543, 1.2142, 1.2142, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2039642106894143772", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-02T09:52:27+00:00", "symbol": "AAOI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AAOIがInPレーザーのファブ（製造）から組み立てに至るまで、すべてをアメリカ国内で完結させているところが本当に気に入っています。そしてこれにより、彼らはマイクロンやSKハイニックスのようなプレミアム（プレミアム評価）を獲得できるだけでなく、マーチャント・モデル（外販）への移行や、まだ過小評価されているTAM（獲得可能な最大市場規模）の拡大という新たな機会へピボット（方向転換）するためのオプショナリティ（柔軟な選択肢）も得られるのです。", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AAOI: full US vertical integration (InP laser fab to assembly) enables premium valuation, merchant-model pivot, and underappreciated TAM expansion.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAOI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "ja", "tweet_text": "実行リスクは常につきものです！しかし、$AAOI\nがInPレーザーのファブ（製造）から組み立てに至るまで、すべてをアメリカ国内で完結させているところが本当に気に入っています。\nそしてこれにより、彼らはマイクロンやSKハイニックスのようなプレミアム（プレミアム評価）を獲得できるだけでなく、マーチャント・モデル（外販）への移行や、まだ過小評価されているTAM（獲得可能な最大市場規模）の拡大という新たな機会へピボット（方向転換）するためのオプショナリティ（柔軟な選択肢）も得られるのです。", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "🌟ちょっとしたリマインダー\nbyセレ様\n\n$AAOI は、米国内で 1.6T光トランシーバーの最大生産能力を持つ見込み。\n\nまた、光通信市場は強気シナリオでは 1,000億ドル規模まで拡大すると予想されている。\n\nAOI（決算説明会の過去発言）：", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "beauty_oe", "ret_m1d": -0.16899244123875934, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.16899244123875934, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.16809277693536728, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.16809277693536728, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0008996643033920559, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0008996643033920559, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.28284090418491115, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.28284090418491115, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.24612414004297833, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.24612414004297833, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.03671676414193281, "bench_c_p1w": 0.03671676414193281, "ret_p1m": 0.7660474260357724, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.7660474260357724, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.6672108286932952, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.6672108286932952, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09883659734247718, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09883659734247718, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6633, -0.6284, -0.6338, -0.6823, -0.6724, -0.6755, -0.6711, -0.6683, -0.6439, -0.6435, -0.6435, -0.6222, -0.6306, -0.6329, -0.6562, -0.6642, -0.6402, -0.5647, -0.6192, -0.5803, -0.575, -0.5562, -0.616, -0.633, -0.5737, -0.5389, -0.5333, -0.5342, -0.5767, -0.5721, -0.5721, -0.5774, -0.5819, -0.5479, -0.5026, -0.4807, -0.4585, -0.4407, -0.4833, -0.1894, -0.0135, -0.0825, -0.0404, -0.0267, -0.0802, 0.0646, 0.1596, 0.2223, 0.0219, -0.0683, -0.0947, -0.1692, -0.1086, -0.0192, -0.1575, -0.0784, 0.0961, 0.101, -0.0625, -0.0549, -0.1802, -0.1859, -0.169, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0341, 0.1321, 0.2771, 0.2828, 0.4493, 0.4743, 0.4088, 0.3719, 0.514, 0.5342, 0.5732, 0.449, 0.438, 0.3255, 0.5607, 0.4029, 0.321, 0.4708, 0.5818, 0.766, 0.6647, 0.7378, 0.7182, 0.5162, 0.4334, 0.7794, 0.812, 1.1471, 0.9591, 0.832, 0.6674, 0.6488, 0.5904, 0.7016, 0.7466, 0.7466, 0.7094, 0.7306, 0.6266, 0.5245, 0.5245, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2051566667009073315", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-05T07:36:24+00:00", "symbol": "JBL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$JBL 1.6T", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long SIVE as bleeding-edge CPO play targeting $10B+ by next year as CPO supercycle starts H2 2026; ecosystem names JBL, MRVL, POET, GFS, AMD, AEVA all mapped as beneficiaries.", "resolved_tickers": ["JBL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just a recap of recent information discovery + likely mapping with $SIVE:\n \n-> $JBL 1.6T\n-> Lightmatter\n-> Ayar\n-> $MRVL Celestial\n-> Lightelligence \n-> $POET \n-> $GFS ecosystem\n-> $AMD CPO\n-> O-Net / Enablence\n-> $AAPL Silicon Photonics\n_\n-> $YSS Golden Dome/DoD\n-> $RTX / $ERIC (Space)\n-> Bae Systems\n-> $AEVA \n\nWith $JBL to Ayar feeding into hyperscalers like $MSFT, $GOOGL, $AMZN, $META.\n\nWith likely Lightelligence to O-Net feeding into Asian Hyperscalers like Tencent, Bytedance, and Baidu.\n\nOn top of that... the overarching TAM with CPO from the GS report goes from 0 ->  $91B. \n\nAnd Sivers happens to be the bleeding edge for CPO (also starting from 0). \n\nThis is definitely high-beta and volatile. \n\nBut if Win volume ramps alongside $SIVE, I see them both becoming $10B+ companies next year. \n\nThis is just extremely early on (H1) before the CPO supercycle starts H2 2026.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.010496304544521884, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.010496304544521884, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.01845464712598921, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.01845464712598921, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007958342581467326, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007958342581467326, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1040146201759986, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1040146201759986, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.09011518073098101, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.09011518073098101, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.013899439445017592, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013899439445017592, "ret_p1w": 0.04014701632506079, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04014701632506079, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02023741416460667, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.02023741416460667, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01990960216045412, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01990960216045412, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2832, -0.2345, -0.2117, -0.2325, -0.2261, -0.2556, -0.2454, -0.2454, -0.2368, -0.2275, -0.2218, -0.1962, -0.2253, -0.2105, -0.177, -0.1938, -0.2143, -0.2256, -0.2462, -0.2434, -0.2522, -0.2852, -0.2663, -0.2553, -0.2425, -0.2524, -0.2568, -0.235, -0.2221, -0.233, -0.2133, -0.248, -0.2105, -0.1775, -0.1602, -0.2168, -0.2258, -0.2662, -0.2124, -0.1936, -0.2037, -0.2037, -0.2069, -0.191, -0.1486, -0.1312, -0.112, -0.0946, -0.0928, -0.0958, -0.0805, -0.0462, -0.0207, -0.0106, -0.0026, 0.0038, 0.013, 0.0105, -0.0191, -0.0101, 0.0007, 0.0154, 0.0105, 0.0, 0.104, 0.0366, 0.053, 0.083, 0.0401, 0.0539, 0.0506, 0.0078, 0.0046, -0.0128, 0.0236, 0.057, 0.0806, 0.0806, 0.1277, 0.1014, 0.0785, 0.0812, 0.0812, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2051566667009073315", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-05-05T07:36:24+00:00", "symbol": "MRVL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$MRVL Celestial", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long SIVE as bleeding-edge CPO play targeting $10B+ by next year as CPO supercycle starts H2 2026; ecosystem names JBL, MRVL, POET, GFS, AMD, AEVA all mapped as beneficiaries.", "resolved_tickers": ["MRVL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just a recap of recent information discovery + likely mapping with $SIVE:\n \n-> $JBL 1.6T\n-> Lightmatter\n-> Ayar\n-> $MRVL Celestial\n-> Lightelligence \n-> $POET \n-> $GFS ecosystem\n-> $AMD CPO\n-> O-Net / Enablence\n-> $AAPL Silicon Photonics\n_\n-> $YSS Golden Dome/DoD\n-> $RTX / $ERIC (Space)\n-> Bae Systems\n-> $AEVA \n\nWith $JBL to Ayar feeding into hyperscalers like $MSFT, $GOOGL, $AMZN, $META.\n\nWith likely Lightelligence to O-Net feeding into Asian Hyperscalers like Tencent, Bytedance, and Baidu.\n\nOn top of that... the overarching TAM with CPO from the GS report goes from 0 ->  $91B. \n\nAnd Sivers happens to be the bleeding edge for CPO (also starting from 0). \n\nThis is definitely high-beta and volatile. \n\nBut if Win volume ramps alongside $SIVE, I see them both becoming $10B+ companies next year. \n\nThis is just extremely early on (H1) before the CPO supercycle starts H2 2026.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03016294126157404, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03016294126157404, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.022204598680106713, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.022204598680106713, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007958342581467326, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007958342581467326, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.02014811197916666, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.02014811197916666, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006248672534149069, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006248672534149069, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.013899439445017592, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013899439445017592, "ret_p1w": -0.0251851851851852, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.0251851851851852, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.04509478734563932, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.04509478734563932, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01990960216045412, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01990960216045412, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.5605, -0.5245, -0.5122, -0.5143, -0.5182, -0.5366, -0.5344, -0.5344, -0.532, -0.5316, -0.5285, -0.5292, -0.5393, -0.5357, -0.5207, -0.5304, -0.5162, -0.5211, -0.5409, -0.5375, -0.5518, -0.4695, -0.4512, -0.4474, -0.4643, -0.4807, -0.4796, -0.4576, -0.4623, -0.481, -0.4697, -0.4793, -0.466, -0.453, -0.4169, -0.4214, -0.438, -0.4799, -0.4133, -0.368, -0.3656, -0.3656, -0.3514, -0.3521, -0.3221, -0.2897, -0.2386, -0.2219, -0.2069, -0.2024, -0.2097, -0.1722, -0.1239, -0.1033, -0.0677, -0.0189, -0.0263, -0.0625, -0.092, -0.0722, -0.0213, -0.0225, -0.0302, 0.0, 0.0201, -0.0518, 0.0082, 0.0124, -0.0252, 0.0545, 0.082, 0.0482, 0.0011, 0.0446, 0.107, 0.13, 0.1634, 0.1634, 0.2341, 0.1775, 0.2138, 0.2148, 0.2148, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2051566667009073315", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-05-05T07:36:24+00:00", "symbol": "POET", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$POET", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long SIVE as bleeding-edge CPO play targeting $10B+ by next year as CPO supercycle starts H2 2026; ecosystem names JBL, MRVL, POET, GFS, AMD, AEVA all mapped as beneficiaries.", "resolved_tickers": ["POET"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just a recap of recent information discovery + likely mapping with $SIVE:\n \n-> $JBL 1.6T\n-> Lightmatter\n-> Ayar\n-> $MRVL Celestial\n-> Lightelligence \n-> $POET \n-> $GFS ecosystem\n-> $AMD CPO\n-> O-Net / Enablence\n-> $AAPL Silicon Photonics\n_\n-> $YSS Golden Dome/DoD\n-> $RTX / $ERIC (Space)\n-> Bae Systems\n-> $AEVA \n\nWith $JBL to Ayar feeding into hyperscalers like $MSFT, $GOOGL, $AMZN, $META.\n\nWith likely Lightelligence to O-Net feeding into Asian Hyperscalers like Tencent, Bytedance, and Baidu.\n\nOn top of that... the overarching TAM with CPO from the GS report goes from 0 ->  $91B. \n\nAnd Sivers happens to be the bleeding edge for CPO (also starting from 0). \n\nThis is definitely high-beta and volatile. \n\nBut if Win volume ramps alongside $SIVE, I see them both becoming $10B+ companies next year. \n\nThis is just extremely early on (H1) before the CPO supercycle starts H2 2026.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.22801301801678198, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.22801301801678198, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.22005467543531465, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.19759346948473067, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007958342581467326, "bench_c_m1d": -0.03041954853205131, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.05537461745596772, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.05537461745596772, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.04147517801095013, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0035848238923279485, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.013899439445017592, "bench_c_p1d": 0.051789793563639774, "ret_p1w": 0.49077084531682225, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.49077084531682225, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.4708612431563681, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.41699863353070454, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01990960216045412, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0737722117861177, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4376, -0.3626, -0.3257, -0.3659, -0.367, -0.3865, -0.3941, -0.3941, -0.4007, -0.3941, -0.3952, -0.3822, -0.4007, -0.3366, -0.3094, -0.3225, -0.3485, -0.2497, -0.2356, -0.2573, -0.279, -0.3181, -0.2736, -0.24, -0.1922, -0.1922, -0.2584, -0.2497, -0.2866, -0.329, -0.3236, -0.3561, -0.342, -0.3768, -0.3377, -0.4039, -0.4365, -0.4484, -0.355, -0.392, -0.3366, -0.3366, -0.3398, -0.3529, -0.3246, -0.3398, -0.2356, -0.2074, -0.2714, -0.2432, -0.203, -0.2117, -0.0673, 0.1129, 0.3865, 0.2725, 0.6395, -0.1368, -0.1281, -0.2834, -0.2269, -0.2063, -0.228, 0.0, 0.0554, 0.0402, 0.1889, 0.5092, 0.4908, 0.5603, 1.2334, 0.734, 0.5429, 0.4191, 0.6048, 0.6091, 0.5841, 0.5841, 0.4495, 0.4419, 0.4397, 0.3344, 0.3344, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2051566667009073315", "ticker_idx": 4, "ts": "2026-05-05T07:36:24+00:00", "symbol": "GFS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$GFS ecosystem", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long SIVE as bleeding-edge CPO play targeting $10B+ by next year as CPO supercycle starts H2 2026; ecosystem names JBL, MRVL, POET, GFS, AMD, AEVA all mapped as beneficiaries.", "resolved_tickers": ["GFS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductors'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductors", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just a recap of recent information discovery + likely mapping with $SIVE:\n \n-> $JBL 1.6T\n-> Lightmatter\n-> Ayar\n-> $MRVL Celestial\n-> Lightelligence \n-> $POET \n-> $GFS ecosystem\n-> $AMD CPO\n-> O-Net / Enablence\n-> $AAPL Silicon Photonics\n_\n-> $YSS Golden Dome/DoD\n-> $RTX / $ERIC (Space)\n-> Bae Systems\n-> $AEVA \n\nWith $JBL to Ayar feeding into hyperscalers like $MSFT, $GOOGL, $AMZN, $META.\n\nWith likely Lightelligence to O-Net feeding into Asian Hyperscalers like Tencent, Bytedance, and Baidu.\n\nOn top of that... the overarching TAM with CPO from the GS report goes from 0 ->  $91B. \n\nAnd Sivers happens to be the bleeding edge for CPO (also starting from 0). \n\nThis is definitely high-beta and volatile. \n\nBut if Win volume ramps alongside $SIVE, I see them both becoming $10B+ companies next year. \n\nThis is just extremely early on (H1) before the CPO supercycle starts H2 2026.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.08495409019110689, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.08495409019110689, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07699574760963956, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05453454165905558, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007958342581467326, "bench_c_m1d": -0.03041954853205131, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.02350078122979371, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.02350078122979371, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.0374002206748113, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.07529057479343348, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.013899439445017592, "bench_c_p1d": 0.051789793563639774, "ret_p1w": -0.025526733742274654, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.025526733742274654, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.045436335902728775, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09929894552839236, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01990960216045412, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0737722117861177, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4467, -0.4204, -0.4121, -0.4341, -0.3417, -0.3422, -0.3383, -0.3383, -0.3487, -0.3713, -0.3863, -0.3761, -0.3766, -0.3568, -0.3401, -0.3663, -0.3578, -0.3264, -0.3622, -0.3575, -0.3472, -0.3668, -0.3601, -0.3702, -0.4045, -0.4383, -0.4346, -0.4088, -0.4159, -0.4264, -0.4144, -0.4182, -0.4063, -0.3776, -0.3687, -0.398, -0.42, -0.4411, -0.3992, -0.4025, -0.4091, -0.4091, -0.411, -0.4067, -0.3544, -0.3422, -0.3391, -0.3378, -0.3462, -0.3475, -0.3194, -0.2605, -0.2064, -0.1998, -0.1844, -0.1688, -0.1655, -0.1849, -0.1965, -0.1526, -0.1275, -0.1233, -0.085, 0.0, -0.0235, -0.042, 0.0011, 0.0128, -0.0255, 0.0128, -0.0027, -0.0407, -0.0837, -0.0994, -0.0439, 0.0987, 0.1567, 0.1567, 0.215, 0.0955, 0.089, 0.0801, 0.0801, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2051566667009073315", "ticker_idx": 5, "ts": "2026-05-05T07:36:24+00:00", "symbol": "AMD", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AMD CPO", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long SIVE as bleeding-edge CPO play targeting $10B+ by next year as CPO supercycle starts H2 2026; ecosystem names JBL, MRVL, POET, GFS, AMD, AEVA all mapped as beneficiaries.", "resolved_tickers": ["AMD"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just a recap of recent information discovery + likely mapping with $SIVE:\n \n-> $JBL 1.6T\n-> Lightmatter\n-> Ayar\n-> $MRVL Celestial\n-> Lightelligence \n-> $POET \n-> $GFS ecosystem\n-> $AMD CPO\n-> O-Net / Enablence\n-> $AAPL Silicon Photonics\n_\n-> $YSS Golden Dome/DoD\n-> $RTX / $ERIC (Space)\n-> Bae Systems\n-> $AEVA \n\nWith $JBL to Ayar feeding into hyperscalers like $MSFT, $GOOGL, $AMZN, $META.\n\nWith likely Lightelligence to O-Net feeding into Asian Hyperscalers like Tencent, Bytedance, and Baidu.\n\nOn top of that... the overarching TAM with CPO from the GS report goes from 0 ->  $91B. \n\nAnd Sivers happens to be the bleeding edge for CPO (also starting from 0). \n\nThis is definitely high-beta and volatile. \n\nBut if Win volume ramps alongside $SIVE, I see them both becoming $10B+ companies next year. \n\nThis is just extremely early on (H1) before the CPO supercycle starts H2 2026.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.03861960491909744, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.03861960491909744, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.030661262337630113, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.030661262337630113, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007958342581467326, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007958342581467326, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.1861453669565576, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.1861453669565576, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.17224592751154, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.17224592751154, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.013899439445017592, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013899439445017592, "ret_p1w": 0.2618645392727186, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2618645392727186, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.24195493711226446, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.24195493711226446, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01990960216045412, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01990960216045412, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4581, -0.4133, -0.392, -0.3988, -0.3988, -0.4203, -0.4164, -0.4164, -0.4284, -0.4367, -0.4275, -0.4366, -0.4466, -0.3981, -0.4065, -0.4267, -0.4364, -0.4409, -0.4625, -0.4312, -0.4386, -0.4583, -0.4295, -0.4279, -0.4234, -0.4434, -0.4556, -0.4467, -0.4474, -0.4386, -0.4222, -0.4333, -0.4295, -0.4219, -0.38, -0.4264, -0.4314, -0.4482, -0.4274, -0.4083, -0.3878, -0.3878, -0.3802, -0.3764, -0.3475, -0.3339, -0.3103, -0.3052, -0.282, -0.2734, -0.2167, -0.2164, -0.2261, -0.1992, -0.1458, -0.1405, -0.021, -0.0581, -0.0902, -0.0511, -0.0022, 0.0149, -0.0386, 0.0, 0.1861, 0.1497, 0.2813, 0.2914, 0.2619, 0.254, 0.2658, 0.1938, 0.185, 0.1655, 0.2599, 0.2655, 0.316, 0.316, 0.4184, 0.3949, 0.4583, 0.4527, 0.4527, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2051566667009073315", "ticker_idx": 6, "ts": "2026-05-05T07:36:24+00:00", "symbol": "AEVA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AEVA", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long SIVE as bleeding-edge CPO play targeting $10B+ by next year as CPO supercycle starts H2 2026; ecosystem names JBL, MRVL, POET, GFS, AMD, AEVA all mapped as beneficiaries.", "resolved_tickers": ["AEVA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Just a recap of recent information discovery + likely mapping with $SIVE:\n \n-> $JBL 1.6T\n-> Lightmatter\n-> Ayar\n-> $MRVL Celestial\n-> Lightelligence \n-> $POET \n-> $GFS ecosystem\n-> $AMD CPO\n-> O-Net / Enablence\n-> $AAPL Silicon Photonics\n_\n-> $YSS Golden Dome/DoD\n-> $RTX / $ERIC (Space)\n-> Bae Systems\n-> $AEVA \n\nWith $JBL to Ayar feeding into hyperscalers like $MSFT, $GOOGL, $AMZN, $META.\n\nWith likely Lightelligence to O-Net feeding into Asian Hyperscalers like Tencent, Bytedance, and Baidu.\n\nOn top of that... the overarching TAM with CPO from the GS report goes from 0 ->  $91B. \n\nAnd Sivers happens to be the bleeding edge for CPO (also starting from 0). \n\nThis is definitely high-beta and volatile. \n\nBut if Win volume ramps alongside $SIVE, I see them both becoming $10B+ companies next year. \n\nThis is just extremely early on (H1) before the CPO supercycle starts H2 2026.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.03215221643551325, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.03215221643551325, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.040110559016980574, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.040110559016980574, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.007958342581467326, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007958342581467326, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08727033751185376, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08727033751185376, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.07337089806683617, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07337089806683617, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.013899439445017592, "bench_c_p1d": 0.013899439445017592, "ret_p1w": 0.25262470074087484, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.25262470074087484, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.23271509858042072, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.23271509858042072, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01990960216045412, "bench_c_p1w": 0.01990960216045412, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2552, -0.1864, -0.0814, -0.1509, -0.164, -0.1581, -0.1089, -0.1089, -0.1535, -0.1496, -0.1555, -0.1772, -0.1824, -0.143, -0.105, -0.105, -0.1299, -0.0486, -0.0833, -0.0151, -0.0105, -0.0702, -0.0315, 0.063, 0.0965, 0.0039, -0.0052, 0.0203, 0.0282, -0.042, -0.002, -0.0741, 0.0092, 0.0144, 0.0013, -0.0682, -0.1624, -0.2375, -0.1365, -0.1339, -0.1319, -0.1319, -0.1673, -0.1765, -0.1463, -0.1437, -0.124, -0.1076, -0.0735, -0.0203, -0.0315, 0.0322, 0.0361, 0.0846, 0.0709, 0.0164, 0.061, 0.0551, 0.0243, -0.0328, 0.0492, 0.0814, 0.0322, 0.0, 0.0873, -0.1037, -0.1096, 0.019, 0.2526, 0.3294, 0.393, 0.3435, 0.2762, 0.2467, 0.3852, 0.4101, 0.6614, 0.6614, 0.8458, 0.9219, 0.6955, 0.8491, 0.8491, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2038876668765610085", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-31T07:10:52+00:00", "symbol": "AXTI", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "They control 40% of the InP supply chain. Both in the raw materials and processing. Two separate different bottlenecks... the current valuation is derived from strategic control. Then the main value comes when AXT exerts its control with price hikes: Since the AI buildout with photonics has no other choice at scale.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long AXTI: controls 40% of InP supply chain — a dual chokepoint on photonics; pricing power when AI buildout scales with no alternative at scale.", "resolved_tickers": ["AXTI"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Introducing the Strait of $AXTI: \n\n20% of the world's total global oil supply passes through the Strait of Hormuz.\n\nIt is the single most critical chokepoint in the global energy trade.\n\nNow... Double That with $LITE and $GOOGL instead of South Korea/Japan as recipients? \n\nWelcome to $AXTI. \n\nThey control 40% of the InP supply chain. \n\nBoth in the raw materials and processing. Two separate different bottlenecks (think of Iran producing oil, then shipping it through the Strait). \n\nSo, if you 2x the chokepoint with the Hormuz oil bottleneck (but on AI industry level for photonics, instead of Country economies):\n\nYou suddenly realize AXT's chokepoint (and China) on the photonics market.\n\nThe current valuation is derived from strategic control. Then the main value comes when AXT exerts its control with price hikes:\n\nSince the AI buildout with photonics has no other choice at scale.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.07458757518679326, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07458757518679326, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.04634072677863543, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.020153575579526017, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.028246848408157832, "bench_c_m1d": -0.05443399960726725, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.1726921767574604, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.1726921767574604, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.18022664054035042, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.1950448305411029, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.007534463782890022, "bench_c_p1d": 0.022352653783642484, "ret_p1w": -0.20217621183419787, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.20217621183419787, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.21583052108930034, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.2452122062595261, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01365430925510247, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04303599442532824, "ret_p1m": 0.24727975194425378, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.24727975194425378, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1531136423623427, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.05574579454844941, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09416610958191107, "bench_c_p1m": 0.3030255464927032, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.7131, -0.7059, -0.7074, -0.646, -0.5769, -0.5467, -0.5965, -0.6097, -0.6225, -0.6121, -0.5486, -0.6123, -0.6123, -0.6243, -0.6529, -0.6855, -0.6946, -0.6876, -0.6981, -0.7046, -0.7125, -0.6746, -0.6325, -0.6536, -0.6709, -0.6415, -0.5777, -0.5126, -0.5727, -0.5297, -0.5649, -0.5746, -0.5746, -0.5927, -0.5869, -0.5821, -0.4791, -0.5011, -0.3843, -0.281, -0.3485, -0.3349, -0.1871, -0.2671, -0.3133, -0.3191, -0.4319, -0.3233, -0.2225, -0.1688, -0.1799, -0.1425, -0.1508, -0.2215, -0.1443, 0.0195, -0.0481, 0.1309, 0.2011, 0.182, 0.0269, 0.0641, -0.0746, 0.0, -0.1727, -0.0727, -0.0727, -0.2631, -0.2022, -0.0667, 0.1078, 0.1264, 0.1662, 0.1811, 0.1044, 0.4352, 0.4489, 0.3822, 0.3157, 0.5258, 0.321, 0.3366, 0.2311, 0.2059, 0.2473, 0.3903, 0.6848, 0.8603, 0.8875, 0.8398, 0.9028, 1.0421, 1.208, 1.1569, 1.14, 1.0179, 1.1723, 0.8582, 0.981, 0.8359, 1.1239, 1.4716, 1.4716, 1.3271, 1.1546, 1.0305, 0.8105, 0.8105, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2037933841802014891", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-28T16:44:25+00:00", "symbol": "AA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AA - Bauxite mining, alumina refining, and aluminum smelting. They capture mine -> refinery -> smelter as a pure play way for Aluminum.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long aluminum plays (CNEX, AA, CME ALI futures) on supply shock from Iran drone strike on UAE aluminum plant.", "resolved_tickers": ["AA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLB", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aluminum'", "bench_c_industry": "Aluminum", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Iran has now just drone striked the major UAE Aluminum Plant. \n\nIf your first thought like everyone else was:\n\nHow do I profit off this?\n\nHere's how:\n\n$CNEX - Smelting process for aluminum production. They benefit when primary aluminum prices hike from global prices.\n\n$AA - Bauxite mining, alumina refining, and aluminum smelting. They capture mine -> refinery -> smelter as a pure play way for Aluminum. \n\nAnd of course: Long CME/COMEX Aluminum (ALI).\n\nMost people are long oil, but Aluminum from Iran drone striking everything, is a large beneficary of the war.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.07608357075850225, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07608357075850225, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07943824938347699, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07241682998408216, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0036667407744200853, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.04919333461700659, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.04919333461700659, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.02012540891809178, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03126705502075677, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "bench_c_p1d": 0.017926279596249817, "ret_p1w": 0.12322055018334654, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.12322055018334654, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08056026057708454, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10020158370131726, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02301896648202928, "ret_p1m": -0.0007909337369530478, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0007909337369530478, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.12693621821872247, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.047847388536520596, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04705645479956755, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1608, -0.1608, -0.1071, -0.0297, 0.0037, -0.0092, -0.0353, 0.0055, 0.0371, 0.0323, 0.0197, 0.0077, -0.0514, -0.0514, -0.019, 0.0086, -0.0029, -0.0176, -0.0754, -0.0579, -0.0523, -0.0424, -0.1029, -0.0808, -0.0312, -0.0815, -0.1097, -0.0658, -0.0152, -0.0247, -0.0027, -0.0444, -0.0533, -0.0533, -0.0924, -0.0492, -0.0574, -0.0447, -0.0555, -0.0302, 0.0249, 0.0023, -0.0196, 0.0119, 0.0082, -0.028, -0.0465, -0.058, -0.0342, -0.0302, 0.0497, 0.0429, 0.0059, 0.0535, 0.0348, 0.016, -0.0723, -0.1071, -0.1129, -0.1034, -0.0715, -0.0889, -0.0761, 0.0, 0.0492, 0.1398, 0.1314, 0.1314, 0.1232, 0.1541, 0.1351, 0.159, 0.1552, 0.1596, 0.1363, 0.1133, 0.1137, 0.038, 0.0524, 0.0622, 0.084, 0.034, 0.0441, 0.0655, -0.0008, -0.012, 0.009, -0.0093, -0.012, -0.0025, 0.0006, -0.0092, -0.0006, 0.0335, 0.0696, 0.0826, 0.0443, -0.0109, -0.01, 0.0128, 0.0162, 0.0499, 0.1309, 0.1309, 0.1814, 0.1589, 0.1974, 0.2301, 0.2301, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2046290739727098166", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-20T18:11:45+00:00", "symbol": "AEHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AEHR is cooking. Once you reach a certain point with MC it's mostly institutions driving price. If you find a name that a ton of hyperscalers use… it's feels bound to get repriced?", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish AEHR: hyperscaler adoption by multiple major customers will drive institutional repricing.", "resolved_tickers": ["AEHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Told ya. $AEHR is cooking.\n\nOnce you reach a certain point with MC it’s mostly institutions driving price.\n\nIf you find a name that a ton of hyperscalers use… it’s feels bound to get repriced? https://t.co/AHqpgbqHJK", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "$AEHR looks extremely promising at ~$1.1B MC. \n\nAehr is starting to remind me of an early $TER, mixed with pre-earnings $AAOI.  \n\nIf we look at the timeline and speculated customers:\n\nFeb 11th: Sonoma production win for Hyperscaler's AI ASIC processors. (likely $GOOGL, $AMZN, https://t.co/QszZmBJUDo", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.0697726101948174, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0697726101948174, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07177628443007811, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.07020370815738952, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0020036742352607106, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0004310979625721245, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03960066150192354, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03960066150192354, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.046147610656859794, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.03809188440923528, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.006546949154936255, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0015087770926882627, "ret_p1w": -0.01852466046232859, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.01852466046232859, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0276255923870099, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.10969635433594238, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.00910093192468131, "bench_c_p1w": 0.09117169387361379, "ret_p1m": -0.09994455888771125, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.09994455888771125, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.13523354579295166, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.27237328548260753, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.035288986905240405, "bench_c_p1m": 0.17242872659489628, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6761, -0.6571, -0.689, -0.7029, -0.6922, -0.6896, -0.7018, -0.7156, -0.7109, -0.6984, -0.7357, -0.7449, -0.7073, -0.694, -0.7024, -0.6245, -0.6906, -0.6801, -0.6801, -0.684, -0.6782, -0.6642, -0.6273, -0.6193, -0.5648, -0.5399, -0.5585, -0.5848, -0.5116, -0.5381, -0.5268, -0.5509, -0.605, -0.5465, -0.5346, -0.5291, -0.5824, -0.6043, -0.5842, -0.5886, -0.5972, -0.5811, -0.6171, -0.5879, -0.5653, -0.5671, -0.6165, -0.6393, -0.6659, -0.5887, -0.5607, -0.5084, -0.5084, -0.4214, -0.4426, -0.2994, -0.2362, -0.2187, -0.2051, -0.1749, -0.1878, -0.1032, -0.0698, 0.0, 0.0396, 0.08, 0.0595, 0.0639, -0.0185, -0.0856, -0.0925, 0.0045, 0.0324, -0.0504, 0.0115, 0.073, 0.0123, 0.0785, 0.1598, 0.0729, 0.1453, 0.1796, 0.1037, -0.073, -0.0999, -0.0866, 0.0128, 0.054, 0.054, 0.2193, 0.1516, 0.1092, 0.0242, 0.0242, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2045196575010587104", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-17T17:43:56+00:00", "symbol": "HIMS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "short interest can only be so much of the float… So it's inherent buying pressure to cover over time, which does limit downside if fundamentals improves", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish HIMS: 36%+ short interest creates inherent buying pressure to cover, limiting downside as fundamentals improve.", "resolved_tickers": ["HIMS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "It’s still pretty incredible $HIMS is down 44% even after:\n\n1. $NVO de-risking + partnership\n2. Multiple global acquisitions expanding DTC distribution network\n3. Peptide arc, with Huberman saying HIMS was set to soar under these conditions\n4. Entering a friendlier macro climate.\n5. Short interest reaching unsustainable 36%+\n\nThe good news is: short interest can only be so much of the float… So it’s inherent buying pressure to cover over time, which does limit downside if fundamentals improves.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "Huberman did say $HIMS was set to soar… in this type of arc playing out today.\n\nInteresting to see takes from Stanford professors on public equities. https://t.co/jqVtpEaoGB", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06349756915627947, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06349756915627947, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.05155620361007185, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.05155620361007185, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.011941365546207616, "bench_c_m1d": -0.011941365546207616, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0759889159350311, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0759889159350311, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0779885834879368, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0779885834879368, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.001999667552905704, "bench_c_p1d": -0.001999667552905704, "ret_p1w": 0.06037473246159153, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06037473246159153, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.05502369222363224, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.05502369222363224, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0053510402379592925, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0053510402379592925, "ret_p1m": -0.22657872478984087, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.22657872478984087, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.2667257509783866, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.2667257509783866, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04014702618854571, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04014702618854571, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.0573, 0.0024, 0.059, 0.0278, 0.0507, 0.0298, -0.0052, 0.0364, -0.06, -0.0826, -0.1138, -0.1534, -0.1853, -0.2012, -0.3293, -0.4018, -0.4209, -0.4518, -0.4344, -0.4344, -0.4355, -0.4504, -0.4511, -0.4577, -0.4618, -0.4636, -0.4511, -0.4587, -0.4962, -0.4282, -0.4511, -0.4292, -0.449, -0.4539, -0.2311, -0.1856, -0.102, -0.1728, -0.1405, -0.1367, -0.1332, -0.1967, -0.1617, -0.2359, -0.2207, -0.2595, -0.2769, -0.2762, -0.3276, -0.3484, -0.2797, -0.3116, -0.3359, -0.3359, -0.2946, -0.3234, -0.3272, -0.3147, -0.3258, -0.2661, -0.2588, -0.1572, -0.0635, 0.0, 0.076, 0.0326, 0.0066, -0.0232, 0.0604, 0.0198, -0.0316, -0.0864, -0.0573, -0.0489, -0.0538, -0.0864, -0.0673, -0.11, -0.0191, 0.0111, -0.1315, -0.1624, -0.1589, -0.1308, -0.2266, -0.2214, -0.2006, -0.1669, -0.1759, -0.1759, -0.1724, -0.1256, -0.1194, -0.0926, -0.0926, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2057620897796878725", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-22T00:33:45+00:00", "symbol": "RKLB", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Not much revenue, but implication/narratives go brrr with the US space buildup", "tweet_type": "news_reaction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish RKLB on narrative/implication boost from $90M Space Force contract and US space buildup momentum ahead of SpaceX IPO.", "resolved_tickers": ["RKLB"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLI", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Aerospace & Defense'", "bench_c_industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$RKLB $90M US Space Force contract. \n\nNot much revenue, but implication/narratives go brrr with the US space buildup. \n\nFun to see before the SpaceX IPO as well. https://t.co/jamx5EHans", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.07594282539599406, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.07594282539599406, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.07202666761483034, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.06872383801565274, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0039161577811637205, "bench_c_m1d": -0.007218987380341324, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0, "ret_p1w": 0.056865067273661474, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.056865067273661474, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.042327266716614576, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.04894749973262358, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.014537800557046898, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007917567541037895, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4846, -0.4829, -0.4649, -0.491, -0.4772, -0.4834, -0.4703, -0.4844, -0.4836, -0.4735, -0.4923, -0.4699, -0.4964, -0.4961, -0.4747, -0.4211, -0.4882, -0.4702, -0.5048, -0.4991, -0.5133, -0.4632, -0.5143, -0.5512, -0.5773, -0.527, -0.5174, -0.5011, -0.5011, -0.5015, -0.5115, -0.4912, -0.5084, -0.4987, -0.4798, -0.468, -0.4579, -0.3891, -0.3754, -0.341, -0.3618, -0.3368, -0.3768, -0.4131, -0.3939, -0.4211, -0.4327, -0.3922, -0.4195, -0.4084, -0.4199, -0.3765, -0.4212, -0.2231, -0.1356, -0.1341, -0.0855, -0.0236, -0.081, -0.0339, -0.0622, -0.0109, -0.0759, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0548, 0.1066, 0.0904, 0.0569, 0.0569, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2056628641203937693", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-19T06:50:53+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LITE did go from $2.8B to $80B in 2 years, so not really impossible do a 60x in the next few years if the stars align", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Bullish SIVE to $10B+ by 2027 (8-10x); uses LITE's historical 60x run as comparable upside scenario.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I personally think $SIVE ends up a $10B+ company in 2027, so 8-10x.  \n\n$LITE did go from $2.8B to $80B in 2 years, so not really impossible do a 60x in the next few years if the stars align. \n\nThey're going down the right path. \n> $LITE / UC Berkeley executives running company.  \n> Likely more US executive photonics related board members. \n> NASDAQ listing\n> Likely US institution private placement for funding\n> use that for downstream IP acquisition.  \n> sell full pluggable transceiver/ELS for TAM expansion\n> every hyperscaler kinda maps to Sivers right now, just no scale yet since CPO hasnt ramped up.  \n\nThey just capture more revenue expansion along the way like $LITE did starting from the laser source.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit yes! 5x more from here i think in 3 years based on my modeling", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ram_blings", "ret_m1d": -0.005741044425328079, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.005741044425328079, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.012446568359581578, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.012446568359581578, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.006705523934253499, "bench_c_m1d": 0.006705523934253499, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.024739092526452455, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.024739092526452455, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.03498812109476279, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.03498812109476279, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.010249028568310337, "bench_c_p1d": 0.010249028568310337, "ret_p1w": 0.023278511249390066, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.023278511249390066, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.000299967595023487, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.000299967595023487, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02297854365436658, "bench_c_p1w": 0.02297854365436658, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2859, -0.2498, -0.242, -0.2267, -0.1873, -0.2394, -0.2125, -0.12, -0.2198, -0.2351, -0.2688, -0.3726, -0.2802, -0.245, -0.245, -0.3078, -0.3006, -0.298, -0.2702, -0.2127, -0.1325, -0.2064, -0.181, -0.099, -0.1269, -0.2261, -0.2105, -0.2644, -0.2105, -0.1409, -0.071, -0.071, -0.1324, -0.0835, 0.0067, 0.0045, 0.0081, -0.0212, -0.0419, -0.0742, 0.0013, 0.0045, 0.0056, -0.0597, -0.0185, -0.0485, -0.0095, -0.0342, -0.1109, -0.0357, 0.0137, 0.0672, 0.0967, 0.1174, 0.0609, 0.0028, 0.0154, 0.1831, 0.1149, 0.1576, 0.1255, 0.0906, -0.0057, 0.0, -0.0247, 0.0836, 0.0638, 0.0638, 0.0233, 0.0137, -0.0331, -0.0395, -0.0395, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2047019381637677061", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-22T18:27:07+00:00", "symbol": "NVTS", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Personally very small exposure to $NVTS since they're they have a high exposure for SiC/GaN ICs for 800V DCs", "tweet_type": "position_disclosure", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long NVTS (small position) as a SiC/GaN IC play on Nvidia's push to 800V DC infrastructure.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVTS"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$NVDA actively pushing to 800V, and today was a pretty big signal. \n\n\"On April 22, 2026, NVIDIA has initiated discussions with major South Korean power equipment companies to explore designing DC infra based on an approximately 800V direct current (DC) system\"\n\nPrevious named Nvidia partners include: Infineon, $TXN, $STM, $NVTS, Delta, Flex, $ETN, Schneider, and $VRT. \n\nIt's been known they're been pushing for this but... looks like Nvidia is really driving it. \n\nPersonally very small exposure to $NVTS since they're they have a high exposure for SiC/GaN ICs for 800V DCs. \n\nI know others really liked $VICR for exposure.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.1700053874597658, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.1700053874597658, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.15998021252896788, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.15998021252896788, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.010025174930797909, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010025174930797909, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0021657237149121933, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0021657237149121933, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.006046447664737387, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.006046447664737387, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0038807239498251933, "bench_c_p1d": -0.0038807239498251933, "ret_p1w": -0.16188413006362612, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.16188413006362612, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.16240436333615682, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.16240436333615682, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.0005202332725307013, "bench_c_p1w": 0.0005202332725307013, "ret_p1m": 0.31997834689354643, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.31997834689354643, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.2756736439830463, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.2756736439830463, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.04430470291050015, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04430470291050015, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4494, -0.4921, -0.4824, -0.4483, -0.4878, -0.5355, -0.5333, -0.51, -0.556, -0.5977, -0.5203, -0.5008, -0.5241, -0.5257, -0.5468, -0.5506, -0.5506, -0.555, -0.562, -0.5625, -0.5734, -0.5604, -0.5528, -0.4651, -0.4851, -0.5127, -0.4829, -0.5181, -0.5008, -0.5149, -0.556, -0.5463, -0.53, -0.4131, -0.4597, -0.4532, -0.4321, -0.4683, -0.5095, -0.5035, -0.5263, -0.503, -0.4976, -0.4867, -0.5116, -0.5517, -0.5761, -0.5252, -0.5376, -0.5236, -0.5236, -0.5217, -0.536, -0.4829, -0.49, -0.4835, -0.4683, -0.4656, -0.4445, -0.3303, -0.333, -0.2853, -0.17, 0.0, 0.0022, -0.0644, -0.0092, -0.1814, -0.1619, -0.1067, -0.0552, -0.1381, -0.0498, -0.0969, -0.1451, -0.0146, 0.2263, 0.0422, 0.1462, 0.2084, 0.1543, 0.065, 0.052, 0.2447, 0.32, 0.5836, 0.5836, 0.7212, 0.5636, 0.5436, 0.4402, 0.4402, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2039388766083944750", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-01T17:05:46+00:00", "symbol": "AEHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$AEHR looks extremely promising at ~$1.1B MC. This timeline is just bottling up for $AEHR. feels like a matter of time before we see mass orders.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Bullish AEHR at $1.1B MC; customer win timeline across AI ASICs, silicon photonics seen as a catalyst for mass orders within 1-2 quarters.", "resolved_tickers": ["AEHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "$AEHR looks extremely promising at ~$1.1B MC. \n\nAehr is starting to remind me of an early $TER, mixed with pre-earnings $AAOI.  \n\nIf we look at the timeline and speculated customers:\n\nFeb 11th: Sonoma production win for Hyperscaler's AI ASIC processors. (likely $GOOGL, $AMZN, $META).\n\n- Probably Google? Aehr bought Incal, who was speculated to be used by Google for their TPUs. \n\nFeb 26th: $14 million from AI lead customer (likely $AMD, $NVDA)\n\n- Probably $AMD here for Instinct MI300/MI400. \n\nMarch 3rd: Lead silicon photonics customer for one FOX-XP system (likely $INTC siph)\n\n- Very likely $INTC has been their lead customer. \n\nMarch 31st: Initial order from major new silicon photonics customer (likely $AVGO, $MRVL, $CSCO )\n\n- New customer (rules out Intel), prob one of these transitioning to 800G/1.6T silicon photonics transceivers\n\n(All speculative, very confidential BOM)\n\nRegardless. This timeline is just bottling up for $AEHR.  \n\nCould be next earnings. Or two quarters from now. \n\nBut feels like a matter of time before we see mass orders.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.06363628131736532, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.06363628131736532, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0561581611599653, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.04177234454279233, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0074781201574000145, "bench_c_m1d": -0.02186393677457299, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.11919195461049537, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.11919195461049537, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.11829148018240421, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.11829901356290096, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009004744280911581, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0008929410475944088, "ret_p1w": 0.594949552553333, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.594949552553333, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.5632512132565806, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.5159893971571436, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.031698339296752476, "bench_c_p1w": 0.07896015539618939, "ret_p1m": 1.2868687133353154, "ret_signed_p1m": 1.2868687133353154, "alpha_spy_p1m": 1.190079775151809, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.9941167179207766, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09678893818350631, "bench_c_p1m": 0.2927519954145388, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.4404, -0.4068, -0.3755, -0.3894, -0.4268, -0.3354, -0.3346, -0.323, -0.3442, -0.3301, -0.2725, -0.2725, -0.2662, -0.2626, -0.2194, -0.2919, -0.3237, -0.2992, -0.2934, -0.3212, -0.3525, -0.3419, -0.3134, -0.3982, -0.4192, -0.3336, -0.3033, -0.3225, -0.1452, -0.2957, -0.2717, -0.2717, -0.2806, -0.2674, -0.2356, -0.1515, -0.1333, -0.0093, 0.0475, 0.0051, -0.0548, 0.1119, 0.0515, 0.0773, 0.0225, -0.1008, 0.0323, 0.0596, 0.072, -0.0492, -0.0992, -0.0535, -0.0634, -0.0831, -0.0465, -0.1283, -0.0619, -0.0104, -0.0144, -0.127, -0.1788, -0.2394, -0.0636, 0.0, 0.1192, 0.1192, 0.3172, 0.2689, 0.5949, 0.7389, 0.7785, 0.8096, 0.8783, 0.849, 1.0417, 1.1177, 1.2765, 1.3667, 1.4586, 1.4119, 1.422, 1.2343, 1.0816, 1.0659, 1.2869, 1.3503, 1.1619, 1.3028, 1.4427, 1.3045, 1.4553, 1.6404, 1.4424, 1.6073, 1.6854, 1.5126, 1.1104, 1.049, 1.0793, 1.3056, 1.3995, 1.3995, 1.7758, 1.6217, 1.525, 1.3316, 1.3316, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2043517574374453338", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-13T02:32:11+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$LITE sold out into 2029. Confirmation CPO mass production H2 2026.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long LITE on sold-out capacity to 2029 and CPO mass production H2 2026; NVDA CPO/photonics upstream supply chain bullish.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@itsakek - $LITE sold out into 2029.\n- Confirmation CPO mass production H2 2026. \n\n$NVDA CPO/photonics upstream supply chain go brrr", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I’m surprised at optics and semicon strength. What do you think is the reason why it’s holding up so strong?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "itsakek", "ret_m1d": 0.02998231747375346, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.02998231747375346, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.03966013972933746, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.03966013972933746, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009677822255584001, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009677822255584001, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.021109317021794305, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.021109317021794305, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.033294197774164425, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.033294197774164425, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01218488075237012, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01218488075237012, "ret_p1w": 0.0274684828358851, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.0274684828358851, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.005500466183344654, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.005500466183344654, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.032968949019229754, "bench_c_p1w": 0.032968949019229754, "ret_p1m": 0.13911017638178058, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.13911017638178058, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.06320284662948494, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.06320284662948494, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07590732975229564, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07590732975229564, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6193, -0.606, -0.6278, -0.6278, -0.5904, -0.584, -0.5931, -0.6107, -0.6184, -0.5745, -0.5581, -0.5622, -0.5502, -0.514, -0.5006, -0.4656, -0.421, -0.3664, -0.3375, -0.3559, -0.341, -0.3303, -0.354, -0.354, -0.3108, -0.3179, -0.2704, -0.2335, -0.2255, -0.21, -0.1696, -0.2229, -0.1954, -0.1009, -0.2029, -0.2185, -0.2529, -0.359, -0.2646, -0.2286, -0.2286, -0.2928, -0.2855, -0.2828, -0.2544, -0.1956, -0.1137, -0.1892, -0.1633, -0.0794, -0.1079, -0.2093, -0.1934, -0.2484, -0.1933, -0.1223, -0.0509, -0.0509, -0.1135, -0.0636, 0.0285, 0.0263, 0.03, 0.0, -0.0211, -0.0541, 0.023, 0.0263, 0.0275, -0.0393, 0.0028, -0.0279, 0.012, -0.0132, -0.0916, -0.0148, 0.0357, 0.0904, 0.1205, 0.1416, 0.0839, 0.0246, 0.0374, 0.2088, 0.1391, 0.1827, 0.1499, 0.1142, 0.0158, 0.0217, -0.0036, 0.1071, 0.0869, 0.0869, 0.0455, 0.0357, -0.0121, -0.0186, -0.0186, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2043517574374453338", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-13T02:32:11+00:00", "symbol": "NVDA", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$NVDA CPO/photonics upstream supply chain go brrr", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long LITE on sold-out capacity to 2029 and CPO mass production H2 2026; NVDA CPO/photonics upstream supply chain bullish.", "resolved_tickers": ["NVDA"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@itsakek - $LITE sold out into 2029.\n- Confirmation CPO mass production H2 2026. \n\n$NVDA CPO/photonics upstream supply chain go brrr", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit I’m surprised at optics and semicon strength. What do you think is the reason why it’s holding up so strong?", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "itsakek", "ret_m1d": -0.0035919533281425498, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.0035919533281425498, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.006085868927441451, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.006085868927441451, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009677822255584001, "bench_c_m1d": -0.009677822255584001, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.03803284053190947, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.03803284053190947, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.025847959779539353, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.025847959779539353, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.01218488075237012, "bench_c_p1d": 0.01218488075237012, "ret_p1w": 0.06734985032184437, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.06734985032184437, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03438090130261462, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03438090130261462, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.032968949019229754, "bench_c_p1w": 0.032968949019229754, "ret_p1m": 0.16623528406608723, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.16623528406608723, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09032795431379159, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09032795431379159, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.07590732975229564, "bench_c_p1m": 0.07590732975229564, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0326, -0.012, -0.0163, -0.0163, -0.0594, -0.0317, -0.0237, -0.0087, -0.0151, -0.0042, 0.0116, 0.0168, 0.0096, -0.0196, -0.0474, -0.0799, -0.0921, -0.0207, 0.0038, -0.0041, 0.0039, -0.0126, -0.0344, -0.0344, -0.023, -0.0071, -0.0075, 0.0026, 0.0118, 0.0186, 0.033, -0.0234, -0.0641, -0.0361, -0.049, -0.0332, -0.0316, -0.0607, -0.0352, -0.024, -0.0173, -0.0326, -0.0479, -0.0322, -0.039, -0.0471, -0.0568, -0.0877, -0.0722, -0.0745, -0.0562, -0.0955, -0.1151, -0.1275, -0.0788, -0.0716, -0.063, -0.063, -0.0616, -0.0592, -0.0382, -0.0285, -0.0036, 0.0, 0.038, 0.0505, 0.0478, 0.0653, 0.0673, 0.0558, 0.0697, 0.0546, 0.1002, 0.1442, 0.126, 0.1053, 0.0542, 0.0483, 0.0484, 0.038, 0.0978, 0.1172, 0.1368, 0.1592, 0.1662, 0.1929, 0.2453, 0.1902, 0.1744, 0.1653, 0.1804, 0.1595, 0.1374, 0.1374, 0.135, 0.123, 0.1317, 0.1153, 0.1153, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2037944481199358169", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-03-28T17:26:42+00:00", "symbol": "LNG", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "the most obvious ideas like long $LNG. Are probably the best ones instead of contrarian longs in Wartime?", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long LNG exporters (Cheniere + Chevron) as obvious plays on geopolitical escalation; still more upside if tensions rise.", "resolved_tickers": ["LNG"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Honestly... the most obvious ideas like long $LNG.\n\nOr going long on $CVX.\n\nAre probably the best ones instead of contrarian longs in Wartime?\n\nEspecially with low 18-30 IV, this would have easily been a few hundred percent gain by now. \n\nThere’s probably a lot more for oil and LNG exporters to run if tensions escalate.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@dfyz_ivan US/Australia and Indonesia/Malaysia can also up their exports to SK. I’m sure there’s alternatives like you mentioned. \n\nBut one of the biggest catalyst was for US exporters like $LNG. However point of the data was that lot of disruption/pricing fears are overblown to SK", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.011136013367007758, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.011136013367007758, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.007781334742033019, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.007781334742033019, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.03364669202495274, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.03364669202495274, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.06271461772386755, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.06271461772386755, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "ret_p1w": -0.032659166822486596, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.032659166822486596, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.0753194564287486, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0753194564287486, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "bench_c_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "ret_p1m": -0.0976024908969031, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.0976024908969031, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.22374777537867252, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.22374777537867252, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.3397, -0.3397, -0.3282, -0.325, -0.3391, -0.334, -0.3326, -0.3405, -0.343, -0.3421, -0.3216, -0.3114, -0.2979, -0.2979, -0.3104, -0.2959, -0.2976, -0.2957, -0.2986, -0.3012, -0.2934, -0.2766, -0.2816, -0.2943, -0.2835, -0.2736, -0.2849, -0.2742, -0.2656, -0.2563, -0.2528, -0.2587, -0.2481, -0.2481, -0.2542, -0.2381, -0.2297, -0.2287, -0.2394, -0.2475, -0.2485, -0.2082, -0.1972, -0.1523, -0.162, -0.1521, -0.1502, -0.1311, -0.1459, -0.1631, -0.1475, -0.1355, -0.1409, -0.1442, -0.1435, -0.0934, -0.0401, -0.0434, -0.0219, 0.0032, -0.0315, -0.0076, 0.0111, 0.0, -0.0336, -0.0606, -0.0425, -0.0425, -0.0327, -0.0319, -0.0628, -0.0949, -0.0957, -0.1091, -0.1157, -0.1256, -0.1052, -0.145, -0.1406, -0.1221, -0.1231, -0.1241, -0.1245, -0.1166, -0.0976, -0.0729, -0.0636, -0.0803, -0.0708, -0.0821, -0.1097, -0.1596, -0.1823, -0.1784, -0.1661, -0.1829, -0.1771, -0.1745, -0.1544, -0.1577, -0.1683, -0.1792, -0.1779, -0.1779, -0.2011, -0.2116, -0.2164, -0.2325, -0.2325, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2037944481199358169", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-03-28T17:26:42+00:00", "symbol": "CVX", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Or going long on $CVX. Are probably the best ones instead of contrarian longs in Wartime?", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Long LNG exporters (Cheniere + Chevron) as obvious plays on geopolitical escalation; still more upside if tensions rise.", "resolved_tickers": ["CVX"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Honestly... the most obvious ideas like long $LNG.\n\nOr going long on $CVX.\n\nAre probably the best ones instead of contrarian longs in Wartime?\n\nEspecially with low 18-30 IV, this would have easily been a few hundred percent gain by now. \n\nThere’s probably a lot more for oil and LNG exporters to run if tensions escalate.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@dfyz_ivan US/Australia and Indonesia/Malaysia can also up their exports to SK. I’m sure there’s alternatives like you mentioned. \n\nBut one of the biggest catalyst was for US exporters like $LNG. However point of the data was that lot of disruption/pricing fears are overblown to SK", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.002088095822207814, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.002088095822207814, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0012665828027669246, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.0012665828027669246, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "bench_c_m1d": 0.0033546786249747385, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.018081800476024146, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.018081800476024146, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.047149726174938955, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.047149726174938955, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "bench_c_p1d": 0.02906792569891481, "ret_p1w": -0.05623849411554238, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.05623849411554238, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.09889878372180438, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.09889878372180438, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "bench_c_p1w": 0.042660289606262, "ret_p1m": -0.10606997682435071, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.10606997682435071, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.23221526130612014, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.23221526130612014, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "bench_c_p1m": 0.12614528448176943, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2837, -0.2837, -0.2673, -0.2299, -0.2643, -0.2706, -0.2515, -0.2381, -0.237, -0.2298, -0.214, -0.2191, -0.2186, -0.2186, -0.2231, -0.2164, -0.2167, -0.2164, -0.2128, -0.2055, -0.2013, -0.1954, -0.1686, -0.1821, -0.1632, -0.1482, -0.1576, -0.15, -0.1418, -0.1434, -0.1267, -0.1427, -0.1364, -0.1364, -0.1431, -0.1274, -0.1231, -0.1271, -0.1224, -0.1204, -0.1257, -0.126, -0.1137, -0.1002, -0.1041, -0.1171, -0.0988, -0.0986, -0.1009, -0.1159, -0.0898, -0.0652, -0.0659, -0.0658, -0.0605, -0.0574, -0.044, -0.0426, -0.0261, -0.0186, -0.0264, -0.0139, 0.0021, 0.0, -0.0181, -0.0631, -0.0557, -0.0557, -0.0562, -0.0435, -0.0846, -0.0966, -0.1052, -0.0898, -0.1124, -0.1224, -0.1071, -0.1268, -0.1303, -0.1174, -0.1158, -0.1097, -0.121, -0.1231, -0.1061, -0.0878, -0.0826, -0.0953, -0.0875, -0.0858, -0.1213, -0.1339, -0.1381, -0.1232, -0.1175, -0.1173, -0.1142, -0.0931, -0.0692, -0.0553, -0.0837, -0.0852, -0.0832, -0.0832, -0.1154, -0.1264, -0.1234, -0.1261, -0.1261, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2044281164295483779", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-15T05:06:25+00:00", "symbol": "Shunsin", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Shunsin is literally Foxconn's optical packaging arm with low forward P/E in $NVDA's CPO supply chains", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish Shunsin: low forward P/E, positioned in NVDA's CPO supply chain as Foxconn's optical packaging arm.", "resolved_tickers": ["6451.TW"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Shunsin Technology listed on TWSE as 6451.TW", "bench_c": "EWT", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='TW')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@KDREAM111111 Are you stupid. Shunsin is literally Foxconn's optical packaging arm with low forward P/E in $NVDA's CPO supply chains.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Beware the pump. I am bag holding 6451", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "KDREAM111111", "ret_m1d": 0.04385964912280693, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.04385964912280693, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05168886369782155, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05042391458378859, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.00782921457501462, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006564265460981655, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08333333333333326, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08333333333333326, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08087602171072894, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.07577821038942623, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.002457311622604319, "bench_c_p1d": 0.007555122943907033, "ret_p1w": 0.08771929824561409, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.08771929824561409, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.07161789027930276, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.020218620491914363, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.01610140796631132, "bench_c_p1w": 0.06750067775369972, "ret_p1m": 0.1513157894736843, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1513157894736843, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08240991139767373, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.031245591293683095, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.06890587807601056, "bench_c_p1m": 0.1825613807673674, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.6754, -0.6798, -0.6787, -0.6656, -0.6667, -0.6754, -0.6787, -0.6743, -0.6502, -0.6283, -0.6469, -0.6217, -0.5844, -0.5439, -0.5658, -0.6086, -0.6206, -0.6107, -0.636, -0.636, -0.636, -0.636, -0.636, -0.636, -0.636, -0.636, -0.5998, -0.5603, -0.5373, -0.5417, -0.5417, -0.5515, -0.545, -0.5899, -0.5724, -0.5833, -0.625, -0.6217, -0.5844, -0.5702, -0.5274, -0.4803, -0.4287, -0.3882, -0.4035, -0.398, -0.3849, -0.364, -0.3004, -0.2719, -0.1996, -0.2796, -0.3509, -0.3311, -0.352, -0.352, -0.352, -0.2873, -0.216, -0.1382, -0.0526, 0.0417, 0.0439, 0.0, 0.0833, 0.1075, 0.1118, 0.0395, 0.0877, -0.0208, -0.1184, -0.1678, -0.1118, -0.1283, -0.0548, -0.0548, 0.0395, 0.1425, 0.0471, 0.0746, -0.0329, -0.0011, 0.0011, 0.0482, 0.1513, 0.2654, 0.1404, 0.0614, 0.0647, 0.0943, 0.1491, 0.2632, 0.386, 0.3202, 0.2478, 0.25, 0.3443, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2049260098191835418", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-28T22:50:55+00:00", "symbol": "AAPL", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "consumer hardware (eg. $AAPL)", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long SIVE as a bleeding-edge photonics leader for AI/robotics/space with massive TAM; also names AAPL, LITE, COHR as sector leaders.", "resolved_tickers": ["AAPL"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I mean $SIVE is a stock I don't plan on selling.\n\nPhotonics TAM is absolutely massive for AI, robotics, consumer hardware (eg. $AAPL), Space... \n\nAnd Sivers happens to be in the bleeding edge for next-gen arhictectures and one of the few publicly traded leaders apart from $LITE and $COHR. \n\nTAM expansion is also massive, especially with IP acquisition downstream.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Sive right??", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "KaneCapz", "ret_m1d": -0.011451448017818944, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.011451448017818944, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.016341189979645288, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.016341189979645288, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004889741961826344, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004889741961826344, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.001994705758897597, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.001994705758897597, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.001840164664902777, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.001840164664902777, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00015454109399481997, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00015454109399481997, "ret_p1w": 0.04975808071348142, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.04975808071348142, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.03278437439696158, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03278437439696158, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016973706316519843, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016973706316519843, "ret_p1m": 0.14933472196207376, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14933472196207376, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.09485872904626502, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.09485872904626502, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.054475992915808735, "bench_c_p1m": 0.054475992915808735, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0468, -0.0424, -0.0035, -0.0055, 0.0204, 0.0183, 0.0264, 0.0144, 0.011, 0.0177, -0.0332, -0.0552, -0.0552, -0.0252, -0.0235, -0.0374, -0.0226, -0.0167, 0.0053, 0.013, 0.0083, -0.0241, -0.0221, -0.0257, -0.0303, -0.0385, -0.0489, -0.04, -0.0365, -0.0366, -0.0552, -0.0761, -0.0661, -0.0609, -0.0767, -0.0803, -0.0839, -0.071, -0.0704, -0.0668, -0.0658, -0.0809, -0.089, -0.0625, -0.0557, -0.0546, -0.0546, -0.0438, -0.0636, -0.0436, -0.0378, -0.0378, -0.0425, -0.0439, -0.0158, -0.027, -0.0018, 0.0086, -0.0168, 0.0091, 0.01, 0.0013, -0.0115, 0.0, -0.002, 0.0024, 0.0348, 0.0226, 0.0498, 0.0621, 0.0618, 0.0835, 0.0822, 0.09, 0.105, 0.1026, 0.1101, 0.1012, 0.1054, 0.1175, 0.1277, 0.1418, 0.1418, 0.14, 0.1493, 0.1555, 0.1538, 0.1538, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2049260098191835418", "ticker_idx": 2, "ts": "2026-04-28T22:50:55+00:00", "symbol": "LITE", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "one of the few publicly traded leaders apart from $LITE and $COHR", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long SIVE as a bleeding-edge photonics leader for AI/robotics/space with massive TAM; also names AAPL, LITE, COHR as sector leaders.", "resolved_tickers": ["LITE"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Communication Equipment", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I mean $SIVE is a stock I don't plan on selling.\n\nPhotonics TAM is absolutely massive for AI, robotics, consumer hardware (eg. $AAPL), Space... \n\nAnd Sivers happens to be in the bleeding edge for next-gen arhictectures and one of the few publicly traded leaders apart from $LITE and $COHR. \n\nTAM expansion is also massive, especially with IP acquisition downstream.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Sive right??", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "KaneCapz", "ret_m1d": 0.08631866002005584, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.08631866002005584, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0814289180582295, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.0814289180582295, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004889741961826344, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004889741961826344, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.08460013978305714, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.08460013978305714, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.08475468087705196, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.08475468087705196, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00015454109399481997, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00015454109399481997, "ret_p1w": 0.2567572737090158, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.2567572737090158, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.23978356739249596, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.23978356739249596, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016973706316519843, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016973706316519843, "ret_p1m": 0.14018727412703846, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.14018727412703846, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.08571128121122973, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.08571128121122973, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.054475992915808735, "bench_c_p1m": 0.054475992915808735, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.518, -0.5049, -0.465, -0.4502, -0.4117, -0.3626, -0.3025, -0.2707, -0.2909, -0.2745, -0.2627, -0.2889, -0.2889, -0.2413, -0.2491, -0.1968, -0.1562, -0.1474, -0.1303, -0.0859, -0.1445, -0.1143, -0.0103, -0.1225, -0.1397, -0.1776, -0.2943, -0.1904, -0.1508, -0.1508, -0.2215, -0.2134, -0.2104, -0.1792, -0.1144, -0.0243, -0.1074, -0.0789, 0.0134, -0.0179, -0.1296, -0.112, -0.1726, -0.112, -0.0338, 0.0449, 0.0449, -0.0241, 0.0308, 0.1322, 0.1299, 0.1339, 0.1009, 0.0776, 0.0412, 0.1262, 0.1298, 0.1311, 0.0576, 0.1039, 0.0702, 0.1141, 0.0863, 0.0, 0.0846, 0.1402, 0.2004, 0.2335, 0.2568, 0.1932, 0.1279, 0.1421, 0.3307, 0.254, 0.302, 0.2659, 0.2266, 0.1183, 0.1247, 0.0969, 0.2188, 0.1965, 0.1965, 0.1509, 0.1402, 0.0875, 0.0804, 0.0804, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2049260098191835418", "ticker_idx": 3, "ts": "2026-04-28T22:50:55+00:00", "symbol": "COHR", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "one of the few publicly traded leaders apart from $LITE and $COHR", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "years", "summary": "Long SIVE as a bleeding-edge photonics leader for AI/robotics/space with massive TAM; also names AAPL, LITE, COHR as sector leaders.", "resolved_tickers": ["COHR"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "I mean $SIVE is a stock I don't plan on selling.\n\nPhotonics TAM is absolutely massive for AI, robotics, consumer hardware (eg. $AAPL), Space... \n\nAnd Sivers happens to be in the bleeding edge for next-gen arhictectures and one of the few publicly traded leaders apart from $LITE and $COHR. \n\nTAM expansion is also massive, especially with IP acquisition downstream.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Sive right??", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "KaneCapz", "ret_m1d": 0.05776885050523117, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.05776885050523117, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.05287910854340483, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.05287910854340483, "bench_spy_m1d": 0.004889741961826344, "bench_c_m1d": 0.004889741961826344, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0031581782781948675, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0031581782781948675, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0033127193721896875, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.0033127193721896875, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.00015454109399481997, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00015454109399481997, "ret_p1w": 0.10448402683844127, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.10448402683844127, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08751032052192143, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.08751032052192143, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.016973706316519843, "bench_c_p1w": 0.016973706316519843, "ret_p1m": 0.25071550202003134, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.25071550202003134, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1962395091042226, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.1962395091042226, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.054475992915808735, "bench_c_p1m": 0.054475992915808735, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.2899, -0.302, -0.2682, -0.246, -0.3059, -0.3116, -0.251, -0.2024, -0.2487, -0.2641, -0.2891, -0.2854, -0.2854, -0.2764, -0.2634, -0.2352, -0.1835, -0.1812, -0.1616, -0.1187, -0.1771, -0.1482, -0.0166, -0.0762, -0.0958, -0.1648, -0.2245, -0.1699, -0.1425, -0.1729, -0.2063, -0.2014, -0.1862, -0.1914, -0.1538, -0.0934, -0.1656, -0.1609, -0.1041, -0.105, -0.1996, -0.199, -0.2774, -0.2163, -0.1848, -0.1507, -0.1507, -0.167, -0.1608, -0.073, -0.0651, 0.0116, 0.013, 0.0311, 0.0139, 0.0791, 0.135, 0.1432, 0.131, 0.153, 0.1109, 0.1057, 0.0578, 0.0, 0.0032, 0.0518, 0.084, 0.0853, 0.1045, 0.1339, 0.0501, 0.1029, 0.2491, 0.2304, 0.3281, 0.3322, 0.2582, 0.1936, 0.1634, 0.1794, 0.2435, 0.2421, 0.2421, 0.2546, 0.2507, 0.2401, 0.1892, 0.1892, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2039145387664314541", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-01T00:58:40+00:00", "symbol": "MSFT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$MSFT to $META has largely crashed due to Macro, and we might see a recovery if this plays out. I wouldn't try and fade this rally.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish broad large-cap equities (MSFT through META) on potential US-Iran war resolution; don't fade the geopolitical relief rally.", "resolved_tickers": ["MSFT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SPY", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='')", "bench_c_industry": "Software - Infrastructure", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The War is finally over? \n\n$MSFT to $META has largely crashed due to Macro, and we might see a recovery if this plays out.  \n\nTrump: \"We'll be leaving very soon,\" he told reporters in the White House's Oval Office, adding ​that the exit could take place \n\n\"Within ​two weeks, maybe two weeks, maybe ⁠three.\"\n\nThis is following Iran's President to end the War, giving the US an Offramp:\n\n\"Expresses 'Necessary Will' to End War with US and Israel, Seeks Assurance Against Recurrence of Aggression\"\n\nIt's likely a back channel deal if this date is said with this much confidence.\n\nI wouldn't try and fade this rally.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.0021658710456375907, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.0021658710456375907, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.009643991203037605, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.009643991203037605, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0074781201574000145, "bench_c_m1d": -0.0074781201574000145, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.011072868751592857, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.011072868751592857, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.010172394323501699, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.010172394323501699, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009004744280911581, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0009004744280911581, "ret_p1w": 0.013428268003647714, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.013428268003647714, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.01827007129310476, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.01827007129310476, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.031698339296752476, "bench_c_p1w": 0.031698339296752476, "ret_p1m": 0.1039878920538746, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.1039878920538746, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.007198953870368285, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.007198953870368285, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09678893818350631, "bench_c_p1m": 0.09678893818350631, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2775, 0.2772, 0.2925, 0.3059, 0.2914, 0.2946, 0.2889, 0.2713, 0.2409, 0.2335, 0.2421, 0.2421, 0.2277, 0.1996, 0.2186, 0.2586, 0.2703, 0.2981, 0.301, 0.1709, 0.1623, 0.1436, 0.1107, 0.1188, 0.0634, 0.0835, 0.1172, 0.1163, 0.0923, 0.0854, 0.084, 0.084, 0.072, 0.0794, 0.0788, 0.0754, 0.0409, 0.0531, 0.0845, 0.0876, 0.0633, 0.079, 0.0936, 0.097, 0.1118, 0.1072, 0.1084, 0.0985, 0.0961, 0.088, 0.0709, 0.0828, 0.0813, 0.0607, 0.0532, 0.0338, 0.0369, 0.0091, 0.0045, -0.0092, -0.0341, -0.0282, 0.0022, 0.0, 0.0111, 0.0111, 0.0095, 0.0079, 0.0134, 0.01, 0.0041, 0.0406, 0.0643, 0.1133, 0.1378, 0.1446, 0.1318, 0.1483, 0.172, 0.1256, 0.1496, 0.1501, 0.1621, 0.1491, 0.104, 0.122, 0.1198, 0.1137, 0.1207, 0.1392, 0.1239, 0.1172, 0.104, 0.097, 0.1085, 0.1423, 0.1467, 0.1301, 0.1399, 0.1371, 0.1357, 0.1357, 0.1288, 0.1196, 0.1585, 0.2216, 0.2216, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "orig:2039145387664314541", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-04-01T00:58:40+00:00", "symbol": "META", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "$MSFT to $META has largely crashed due to Macro, and we might see a recovery if this plays out. I wouldn't try and fade this rally.", "tweet_type": "prediction", "timeline": "weeks", "summary": "Bullish broad large-cap equities (MSFT through META) on potential US-Iran war resolution; don't fade the geopolitical relief rally.", "resolved_tickers": ["META"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "original", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "The War is finally over? \n\n$MSFT to $META has largely crashed due to Macro, and we might see a recovery if this plays out.  \n\nTrump: \"We'll be leaving very soon,\" he told reporters in the White House's Oval Office, adding ​that the exit could take place \n\n\"Within ​two weeks, maybe two weeks, maybe ⁠three.\"\n\nThis is following Iran's President to end the War, giving the US an Offramp:\n\n\"Expresses 'Necessary Will' to End War with US and Israel, Seeks Assurance Against Recurrence of Aggression\"\n\nIt's likely a back channel deal if this date is said with this much confidence.\n\nI wouldn't try and fade this rally.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.012257610664751395, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.012257610664751395, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.0047794905073513805, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.008841597893128217, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0074781201574000145, "bench_c_m1d": -0.003416012771623178, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.008234999321398373, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.008234999321398373, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.009135473749489531, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.012370194334940132, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0009004744280911581, "bench_c_p1d": 0.004135195013541759, "ret_p1w": 0.057300215045061664, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.057300215045061664, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.02560187574830919, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.03419701705712597, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.031698339296752476, "bench_c_p1w": 0.023103197987935697, "ret_p1m": 0.056419718898760296, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.056419718898760296, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.040369219284746016, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.009044634633522675, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.09678893818350631, "bench_c_p1m": 0.04737508426523762, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.1219, 0.1364, 0.1395, 0.119, 0.1144, 0.1265, 0.1074, 0.0886, 0.0617, 0.0709, 0.0699, 0.0699, 0.0421, 0.0573, 0.1171, 0.1363, 0.1598, 0.1608, 0.1535, 0.2736, 0.2359, 0.2185, 0.1932, 0.154, 0.1561, 0.141, 0.1682, 0.157, 0.1535, 0.1209, 0.1036, 0.1036, 0.1027, 0.1095, 0.1122, 0.131, 0.0992, 0.1028, 0.1276, 0.1333, 0.1181, 0.1274, 0.13, 0.1518, 0.1395, 0.1124, 0.1167, 0.1282, 0.1296, 0.1008, 0.0586, 0.0832, 0.075, 0.0629, 0.0474, 0.0249, 0.0429, 0.0236, 0.027, -0.0547, -0.0924, -0.074, -0.0123, 0.0, -0.0082, -0.0082, -0.0107, -0.0072, 0.0573, 0.0849, 0.0874, 0.0955, 0.1437, 0.1594, 0.1686, 0.1887, 0.1583, 0.1547, 0.1649, 0.138, 0.1654, 0.1716, 0.159, 0.1552, 0.0564, 0.051, 0.0538, 0.0444, 0.0581, 0.0649, 0.0525, 0.0339, 0.041, 0.0646, 0.0677, 0.0604, 0.0552, 0.0404, 0.0446, 0.0486, 0.0536, 0.0536, 0.0572, 0.0967, 0.0968, 0.092, 0.092, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2053946950425460946", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-11T21:14:48+00:00", "symbol": "6315.T", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": "packaging", "direction": "long", "conviction": "high", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "it's an amazing structural long and setup for H2 2026 rather than H1. TLDR: Near term bearish algorithmically since they miss the nuance, very positive H2", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "quarters", "summary": "Long Towa (6315.T) into H2 2026 on margin inflection, HBM compression demand ramp, sandbagged guidance, and dividend hikes; near-term algo selloff seen as noise.", "resolved_tickers": ["6315.T"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "For Towa (6315):\n\nEarnings are very nuanced. I got the current ER \"Beat\" wrong in my original thesis (short term), my bad.\n\nBut it's an amazing structural long and setup for H2 2026 rather than H1. \n\nTLDR: Near term bearish algorithmically since they miss the nuance, very positive H2 (markets are forward looking)\n\nRevenue ¥54.36B (+1.7% YoY),\nNet Profit at ¥4.59B (-43.4% YoY).\nOperating Profit ¥6.91B (-22.1% YoY)\n\nNews headlines say \"EPS crashed -43.4%\"  or \"order miss\" that might trigger an algorithmic selloff. \n\n1. As you've seen with US Towa trading, \"EPS crashing -43.4%\", and algos might have sold headlines. \n\n-> But this was due to last year, of one-off \"compensation for damage\" payout and one-time ¥1.3 billion yen stock sales from last year. \n\n-> Also \"increased initial costs for new customers in compression equipment.\" for new equipment is caused profitability losses this quarter.  \n\nSo a bit of an accounting mirage, not really any profitability issues + scaling new orders, so one-off. \n\nHowever: \n\nMargin inflection point is already here. Which is the biggest signal.\n\nFull year operating margin was 12.7%. For the annual average to reach 12.7% when Q1-Q3 was hovering around ~10%, Q4 should have been around ~18.4% or something? \n\nWhich is extremely bullish moving forward for profitability, and shows HBM compression machines are doing work, compared to legacy equipment. \n\n2. Order book \"miss\":\n\n\"Acceleration expected during the second half of fiscal year 3/27 as front-end process production capacity expands.\"\n\nThis signals $MU, Sk Hynix, and others don't have the floor space ready yet, since they're still building front-end wafer fab lines. \n\nBut H2, is setup for massive beat. Demand visibility is there... just revenue/profit ramp deferred to H2. \n\n_\n\nTowa forward guidance forcasted ¥64.0B in Sales (+17.7% YoY) and ¥10.24B in Operating Profit (+48.0% YoY), which signals all time high profitability in the future.\n\nIMO they also sandbagged revenue guidance, since they literally said acceleration second-half but didn't give much of a projection beat. \n\nJapanese companies tend to be ultra conservative too, their dividend hike is a large signal too\n\nRegardless, I think the US selloff was probably just due to negative accounting headlines + lower liquidity. Also I was a bit too early by like 4-6 months. \n\nBut Towa is an extremely positive setup for H2. Just not your explosive $SNDK $AAOI 10%+ a day type company. \n\nTLDR: Long term bullish, short term lot of nuances missed with headlines. \n\nJust need to wait a few more months if you have patience. Margins are increasing, revenue/orders deferred H2, dividend hikes, etc.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "@aleabitoreddit @aleabitoreddit What do you think of TOWA earnings report? I'm thinking of adding a bit more today 🤔", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.001481481481481417, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.001481481481481417, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.0037538914686593428, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.018434197159915677, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0022724099871779257, "bench_c_m1d": -0.01695271567843426, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": -0.20740740740740737, "ret_signed_p1d": -0.20740740740740737, "alpha_spy_p1d": -0.20589246741595546, "alpha_c_p1d": -0.1812756421727385, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0015149399914519135, "bench_c_p1d": -0.02613176523466887, "ret_p1w": -0.1831111111111111, "ret_signed_p1w": -0.1831111111111111, "alpha_spy_p1w": -0.18223195056784292, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.130795474488831, "bench_spy_p1w": -0.0008791605432681981, "bench_c_p1w": -0.052315636622280115, "ret_p1m": null, "ret_signed_p1m": null, "alpha_spy_p1m": null, "alpha_c_p1m": null, "bench_spy_p1m": null, "bench_c_p1m": null, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1617, -0.157, -0.2126, -0.1767, -0.1905, -0.1961, -0.1794, -0.1453, -0.1453, -0.1685, -0.1338, -0.1024, -0.1156, -0.1344, -0.1767, -0.2499, -0.1946, -0.1749, -0.2681, -0.224, -0.209, -0.2317, -0.2434, -0.2375, -0.2643, -0.2152, -0.2552, -0.2552, -0.2995, -0.2916, -0.2631, -0.2887, -0.296, -0.3212, -0.3425, -0.293, -0.3156, -0.309, -0.3159, -0.3247, -0.2456, -0.251, -0.1887, -0.2136, -0.1754, -0.1967, -0.1763, -0.2193, -0.2237, -0.2237, -0.2302, -0.2308, -0.2299, -0.1876, -0.1496, -0.1496, -0.1348, -0.0963, -0.0963, -0.0963, -0.0963, -0.0207, 0.0015, 0.0, -0.2074, -0.2036, -0.1796, -0.2359, -0.1831, -0.221, -0.2308, -0.2059, -0.1428, -0.1413, -0.0904, -0.0904, -0.0741, -0.1096, -0.1316, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "reply:2049950844859388399", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-04-30T20:35:42+00:00", "symbol": "RDDT", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Their profitability is absurd and they're still growing at insane rates. Valuations will catch up to fundamentals eventually.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "unspecified", "summary": "Bullish RDDT: strong profitability + high growth rate means valuation will eventually reflect fundamentals.", "resolved_tickers": ["RDDT"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "XLC", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Internet Content & Information'", "bench_c_industry": "Internet Content & Information", "unit_kind": "reply_other", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "@ConfusedNDazzed I would ignore the lines on the chart and just look at pure numbers for $RDDT. Their profitability is absurd and they’re still growing at insane rates.\n\nValuations will catch up to fundamentals eventually.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": "@aleabitoreddit Wish the market treated it as such.", "quoted_text": null, "parent_author": "ConfusedNDazzed", "ret_m1d": 0.003531918002791068, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.003531918002791068, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.013383525604796276, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.014003132476520297, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.009851607602005208, "bench_c_m1d": -0.010471214473729229, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.13074781334384933, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.13074781334384933, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.12797869951547836, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.1289454008417268, "bench_spy_p1d": 0.0027691138283709726, "bench_c_p1d": 0.0018024125021225412, "ret_p1w": 0.1135638233097882, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1135638233097882, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.09558585816894394, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.10609669515567277, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.017977965140844265, "bench_c_p1w": 0.007467128154115432, "ret_p1m": 0.19540857914376453, "ret_signed_p1m": 0.19540857914376453, "alpha_spy_p1m": 0.1427828468955421, "alpha_c_p1m": 0.20244659888275163, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.05262573224822242, "bench_c_p1m": -0.0070380197389871, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [0.2032, 0.1235, 0.0371, 0.0259, -0.0503, -0.0373, 0.0187, -0.0539, -0.1098, -0.0515, -0.0515, -0.0543, 0.0016, -0.0075, 0.02, -0.0324, -0.035, 0.0166, 0.0273, -0.0096, -0.0008, -0.0105, 0.0004, -0.0196, -0.0532, -0.0568, -0.089, -0.0687, -0.1017, -0.101, -0.0491, -0.0197, -0.0302, -0.0619, -0.0501, -0.0426, -0.0755, -0.0516, -0.1356, -0.1725, -0.1569, -0.0854, -0.0751, -0.0763, -0.0763, -0.0604, -0.0414, -0.0151, -0.0601, -0.0509, 0.0144, 0.0497, 0.0764, 0.1034, 0.1125, 0.1294, 0.0651, 0.116, 0.0389, 0.052, 0.0882, 0.0048, 0.0035, 0.0, 0.1307, 0.1483, 0.1657, 0.1313, 0.1136, 0.0582, 0.0834, 0.0348, 0.0468, 0.0617, 0.0743, 0.0807, 0.052, -0.0035, 0.0191, -0.0378, -0.0378, -0.0176, 0.0473, 0.139, 0.1954, 0.1954, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2050031111103984072", "ticker_idx": 0, "ts": "2026-05-01T01:54:39+00:00", "symbol": "6315.T", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Towa seems like a pretty steady compounder up throughout the duration of new memory cycles. Bc it receives unavoidable capex inflows from $MU, SK Hynix, and Samsung their monopoly status.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long Towa as a steady compounder on monopoly HBM capex inflows; long Enplas on AI segment sandbagging with 225%+ op profit growth and 1.6T optical lens ramp.", "resolved_tickers": ["6315.T"], "resolution_method": "identity", "resolution_reason": "structural marker; pre-classified as canonical yfinance ticker", "bench_c": "SMH", "bench_c_reason": "industry='Semiconductor Equipment & Materials'", "bench_c_industry": "Semiconductor Equipment & Materials", "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Wow, names like $TOWA (6315) are super boring to watch…\n\nEspecially since KR/TW markets are closed today.\n\nOnly up ~11% so far. But like Hammond or Tower Semi…\n\nTowa seems like a pretty steady compounder up throughout the duration of new memory cycles.\n\nBc it receives unavoidable capex inflows from $MU, SK Hynix, and Samsung their monopoly status. \n\nAt least Enplas has some volatility… (, they grew their AI test segment 225%+ operating profit y/y)\n\nThen \"Mass production of lenses for 1.6T optical transceivers has launched.\"\n\nPretty sure they’re sandbagging + have legacy drag confusing algorithms regarding AI segment acceleration. \n\nGood time to take a break from watching markets I guess.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "So just putting it out there: Towa (6315), at $1.35B...\n\nIs a rare, living definition of monopoly over HBM4 (compression molding).\n\nIt's been kinda flat YTD, but every memory company like $MU, Sk Hynix, Samsung are their customers. And each of the memory company earnings signaled https://t.co/EDFFGl6ytB", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": -0.042622950819672156, "ret_signed_m1d": -0.042622950819672156, "alpha_spy_m1d": -0.03986148380779031, "alpha_c_m1d": -0.036542361476413654, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0027614670118818463, "bench_c_m1d": -0.006080589343258502, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0036633796697419507, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.00594327161697672, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0036633796697419507, "bench_c_p1d": -0.00594327161697672, "ret_p1w": 0.1081967213114754, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.1081967213114754, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.08464857709692031, "alpha_c_p1w": -0.0030581723534843785, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02354814421455509, "bench_c_p1w": 0.11125489366495978, "ret_p1m": -0.039016393442622976, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.039016393442622976, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.08873533445538395, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.21380354198795903, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.049718941012760975, "bench_c_p1m": 0.17478714854533606, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.0327, -0.0389, -0.036, -0.0272, -0.0561, -0.0724, -0.0724, -0.0672, -0.1286, -0.089, -0.1043, -0.1104, -0.0919, -0.0542, -0.0542, -0.0799, -0.0415, -0.0067, -0.0214, -0.0422, -0.089, -0.1699, -0.1088, -0.087, -0.1901, -0.1413, -0.1247, -0.1498, -0.1628, -0.1563, -0.1859, -0.1316, -0.1758, -0.1758, -0.2249, -0.2161, -0.1846, -0.2129, -0.221, -0.2489, -0.2725, -0.2177, -0.2426, -0.2354, -0.243, -0.2528, -0.1652, -0.1711, -0.1023, -0.1298, -0.0875, -0.1111, -0.0885, -0.1361, -0.141, -0.141, -0.1482, -0.1489, -0.1479, -0.101, -0.059, -0.059, -0.0426, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0836, 0.1082, 0.1066, -0.123, -0.1187, -0.0921, -0.1544, -0.0961, -0.138, -0.1489, -0.1213, -0.0515, -0.0498, 0.0066, 0.0066, 0.0246, -0.0148, -0.039, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}
{"unit_id": "quote:2050031111103984072", "ticker_idx": 1, "ts": "2026-05-01T01:54:39+00:00", "symbol": "Enplas", "kind": "equity", "geography": null, "sub_sector": null, "direction": "long", "conviction": "low", "explicit": true, "explicit_audit": "verified", "polarity_reversed": false, "quote": "Pretty sure they're sandbagging + have legacy drag confusing algorithms regarding AI segment acceleration.", "tweet_type": "analysis", "timeline": "months", "summary": "Long Towa as a steady compounder on monopoly HBM capex inflows; long Enplas on AI segment sandbagging with 225%+ op profit growth and 1.6T optical lens ramp.", "resolved_tickers": ["6961.T"], "resolution_method": "exchange_ticker", "resolution_reason": "Enplas Corp listed on TSE as 6961.T", "bench_c": "EWJ", "bench_c_reason": "country_fallback (suffix='T')", "bench_c_industry": null, "unit_kind": "quote", "lang": "en", "tweet_text": "Wow, names like $TOWA (6315) are super boring to watch…\n\nEspecially since KR/TW markets are closed today.\n\nOnly up ~11% so far. But like Hammond or Tower Semi…\n\nTowa seems like a pretty steady compounder up throughout the duration of new memory cycles.\n\nBc it receives unavoidable capex inflows from $MU, SK Hynix, and Samsung their monopoly status. \n\nAt least Enplas has some volatility… (, they grew their AI test segment 225%+ operating profit y/y)\n\nThen \"Mass production of lenses for 1.6T optical transceivers has launched.\"\n\nPretty sure they’re sandbagging + have legacy drag confusing algorithms regarding AI segment acceleration. \n\nGood time to take a break from watching markets I guess.", "reply_text": null, "parent_text": null, "quoted_text": "So just putting it out there: Towa (6315), at $1.35B...\n\nIs a rare, living definition of monopoly over HBM4 (compression molding).\n\nIt's been kinda flat YTD, but every memory company like $MU, Sk Hynix, Samsung are their customers. And each of the memory company earnings signaled https://t.co/EDFFGl6ytB", "parent_author": null, "ret_m1d": 0.30511060259344003, "ret_signed_m1d": 0.30511060259344003, "alpha_spy_m1d": 0.3078720696053219, "alpha_c_m1d": 0.2960506320983727, "bench_spy_m1d": -0.0027614670118818463, "bench_c_m1d": 0.009059970495067349, "ret_t0": 0.0, "ret_signed_t0": 0.0, "alpha_spy_t0": 0.0, "alpha_c_t0": 0.0, "bench_spy_t0": 0.0, "bench_c_t0": 0.0, "ret_p1d": 0.0, "ret_signed_p1d": 0.0, "alpha_spy_p1d": 0.0036633796697419507, "alpha_c_p1d": 0.002038508481933765, "bench_spy_p1d": -0.0036633796697419507, "bench_c_p1d": -0.002038508481933765, "ret_p1w": 0.048817696414950484, "ret_signed_p1w": 0.048817696414950484, "alpha_spy_p1w": 0.025269552200395395, "alpha_c_p1w": 0.004423607700734022, "bench_spy_p1w": 0.02354814421455509, "bench_c_p1w": 0.04439408871421646, "ret_p1m": -0.06254767353165525, "ret_signed_p1m": -0.06254767353165525, "alpha_spy_p1m": -0.11226661454441622, "alpha_c_p1m": -0.11532225871466317, "bench_spy_p1m": 0.049718941012760975, "bench_c_p1m": 0.05277458518300793, "ret_p3m": null, "ret_signed_p3m": null, "alpha_spy_p3m": null, "alpha_c_p3m": null, "bench_spy_p3m": null, "bench_c_p3m": null, "ret_p6m": null, "ret_signed_p6m": null, "alpha_spy_p6m": null, "alpha_c_p6m": null, "bench_spy_p6m": null, "bench_c_p6m": null, "price_path": [-0.1373, -0.0803, -0.0613, 0.0055, 0.0473, 0.0109, 0.0109, 0.0443, 0.0245, 0.0002, 0.0162, 0.074, 0.0527, 0.0937, 0.0937, 0.1173, 0.1028, 0.0838, 0.0831, 0.0937, 0.0854, 0.039, 0.1614, 0.1834, 0.0511, 0.1796, 0.2085, 0.1484, 0.2047, 0.2032, 0.0778, 0.1401, 0.112, 0.112, 0.0534, 0.0793, 0.1386, 0.0375, -0.0431, -0.087, -0.1106, -0.0465, -0.0831, -0.0427, -0.0175, -0.0328, 0.0862, 0.0831, 0.1625, 0.1327, 0.2037, 0.2708, 0.2982, 0.2662, 0.3135, 0.3417, 0.2921, 0.2662, 0.286, 0.2693, 0.2639, 0.2639, 0.3051, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.013, 0.0488, 0.0839, 0.1076, 0.1937, 0.1709, 0.0587, 0.0641, 0.0008, -0.0252, -0.0099, 0.0336, 0.0526, -0.0359, -0.0603, -0.0503, -0.0793, -0.0625, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null]}